Parent Section Magnitude-Probability Distributions
Only fault sections with at least one triggered aftershock are plotted. Sections are sorted by total supraseismogenic trigger rate (decreasing)
Table Of Contents
San Andreas (Parkfield)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.556969E-4 | 7.9314655E-4 | 0.0015 | 1.8912016 | 0.0014925913 | 7.0E-4 | 0.0023793848 | 0.0033953465 | 0.004 | 1.178083 | 0.005388556 | 0.002 | 0.028586963 | 0.04077081 | 0.0486 | 1.1920294 | 0.059763547 | 0.0198 | 0.25176284 | 0.33939293 | 0.4317 | 1.2719771 | 0.4431743 | 0.1571 |
6.1 | 1.925858E-4 | 3.069976E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.97720635 | 4.069669E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 8.2510663E-4 | 0.0013151392 | 6.0E-4 | 0.45622545 | 0.0016147447 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0099994885 | 0.01598204 | 0.0099 | 0.6194453 | 0.0193277 | 0.0034 | 0.095613256 | 0.150809 | 0.1021 | 0.67701524 | 0.17849264 | 0.0326 |
6.2 | 9.4306815E-5 | 1.8362013E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0892053 | 2.8360175E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.0410945E-4 | 7.867073E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.5084483 | 9.8655E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0049089384 | 0.009536299 | 0.0058 | 0.6082024 | 0.011517227 | 0.002 | 0.048019063 | 0.09238957 | 0.0602 | 0.65158874 | 0.108545035 | 0.0178 |
6.3 | 9.283051E-5 | 1.805816E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.1075325 | 2.8056354E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.9778434E-4 | 7.736928E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.51700103 | 9.735381E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0048322747 | 0.009379223 | 0.0058 | 0.6183881 | 0.011360465 | 0.002 | 0.047285385 | 0.09104203 | 0.0595 | 0.6535443 | 0.10703969 | 0.0176 |
6.4 | 9.138826E-5 | 1.7819573E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.1223614 | 2.781779E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.916052E-4 | 7.634736E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.5239212 | 9.6332096E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0047573745 | 0.009255865 | 0.0057 | 0.6158258 | 0.011237353 | 0.002 | 0.046568092 | 0.089943774 | 0.0583 | 0.6481827 | 0.10568775 | 0.0173 |
6.5 | 9.000255E-5 | 1.757689E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.1378578 | 2.757513E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.8566816E-4 | 7.5307896E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.5311528 | 9.529284E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0046854047 | 0.009130398 | 0.0057 | 0.62428826 | 0.011112137 | 0.002 | 0.045878403 | 0.088830434 | 0.0573 | 0.6450492 | 0.1042292 | 0.0169 |
6.6 | 8.8109264E-5 | 1.725657E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.1589788 | 2.7254844E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.7755648E-4 | 7.3935883E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.40575698 | 8.392849E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0045870654 | 0.0089647565 | 0.0055 | 0.6135136 | 0.010847724 | 0.0019 | 0.04493529 | 0.08735626 | 0.0565 | 0.64677674 | 0.102597415 | 0.0167 |
6.7 | 8.738073E-5 | 1.7123322E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.1679977 | 2.712161E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.7443507E-4 | 7.336514E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.40891355 | 8.33578E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0045492216 | 0.0088958815 | 0.0055 | 0.6182636 | 0.010778979 | 0.0019 | 0.04457213 | 0.086755075 | 0.0563 | 0.64895344 | 0.101914935 | 0.0166 |
6.8 | 8.710195E-5 | 1.7068561E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.171745 | 2.7066853E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.7324068E-4 | 7.3130586E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.41022506 | 8.312327E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0045347405 | 0.008867566 | 0.0055 | 0.6202379 | 0.010750717 | 0.0019 | 0.04443313 | 0.08650194 | 0.0561 | 0.6485404 | 0.10139196 | 0.0163 |
6.9 | 8.6801556E-5 | 1.7009281E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.1758286 | 2.700758E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.7195362E-4 | 7.287667E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.41165438 | 8.2869385E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0045191357 | 0.008836903 | 0.0055 | 0.62239003 | 0.010720112 | 0.0019 | 0.044283327 | 0.08622729 | 0.0559 | 0.64828664 | 0.10112179 | 0.0163 |
7.0 | 8.5571606E-5 | 1.6761184E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.1932331 | 2.6759508E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.6668387E-4 | 7.1813987E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.41774592 | 8.1806805E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004455241 | 0.008708562 | 0.0055 | 0.6315624 | 0.010592015 | 0.0019 | 0.043669727 | 0.08507222 | 0.0554 | 0.6512114 | 0.09989405 | 0.0162 |
7.1 | 7.82589E-5 | 1.523794E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.3125134 | 2.5236417E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.3535215E-4 | 6.528919E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.45949414 | 7.528266E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0040752706 | 0.00792016 | 0.005 | 0.6313004 | 0.009705904 | 0.0018 | 0.040013418 | 0.07794469 | 0.0487 | 0.62480205 | 0.09122228 | 0.0144 |
7.2 | 7.690929E-5 | 1.4973937E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.3356541 | 2.497244E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.2956956E-4 | 6.4158306E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.4675934 | 7.4151886E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004005129 | 0.0077834656 | 0.005 | 0.6423874 | 0.009569456 | 0.0018 | 0.0393371 | 0.07671345 | 0.0483 | 0.6296158 | 0.089916445 | 0.0143 |
7.3 | 7.5543794E-5 | 1.4668968E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.3634225 | 2.4667502E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.2371894E-4 | 6.285193E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.47731233 | 7.284564E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.003934157 | 0.007625538 | 0.0048 | 0.6294638 | 0.009312575 | 0.0017 | 0.038652334 | 0.07526963 | 0.047 | 0.62442183 | 0.08775349 | 0.0135 |
7.4 | 7.4214564E-5 | 1.4368497E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.391934 | 2.436706E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.1802364E-4 | 6.156481E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.48729134 | 7.1558653E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.003865065 | 0.0074699163 | 0.0047 | 0.62919044 | 0.009057964 | 0.0016 | 0.03798529 | 0.073838376 | 0.0463 | 0.6270452 | 0.086063705 | 0.0132 |
7.5 | 6.149578E-5 | 1.1281705E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.7727817 | 2.1280577E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.6352672E-4 | 4.8341215E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.41372564 | 5.833638E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0032037178 | 0.005869692 | 0.0037 | 0.6303567 | 0.007162062 | 0.0013 | 0.03157923 | 0.05897833 | 0.0353 | 0.5985249 | 0.06791803 | 0.0095 |
7.6 | 6.0643448E-5 | 1.11094574E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.8002679 | 2.1108346E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.598746E-4 | 4.7603284E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.42013907 | 5.7598524E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0031593828 | 0.00578033 | 0.0036 | 0.62280184 | 0.0069733933 | 0.0012 | 0.031148417 | 0.05813581 | 0.0351 | 0.6037587 | 0.06698933 | 0.0094 |
7.7 | 5.1652263E-5 | 9.25566E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.16084 | 1.9254735E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.2134806E-4 | 3.9661085E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.50427264 | 4.965712E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.002691582 | 0.0048180562 | 0.0027 | 0.56039196 | 0.005813238 | 0.001 | 0.026592141 | 0.04891614 | 0.0286 | 0.5846741 | 0.056239486 | 0.0077 |
7.8 | 4.8090482E-5 | 8.63411E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.3163939 | 1.8633246E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.060858E-4 | 3.6998081E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.54056853 | 4.6994383E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0025062072 | 0.004495221 | 0.0024 | 0.5339003 | 0.0053911754 | 9.0E-4 | 0.024781305 | 0.045653466 | 0.0271 | 0.59360224 | 0.05271563 | 0.0074 |
7.9 | 3.970278E-5 | 6.808419E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.9375393 | 1.6807739E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.7014367E-4 | 2.9175676E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.6855025 | 3.917276E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.002069531 | 0.003546357 | 0.0019 | 0.53576106 | 0.004144229 | 6.0E-4 | 0.020503636 | 0.03615921 | 0.0207 | 0.5724682 | 0.041460335 | 0.0055 |
8.0 | 2.8982335E-5 | 4.1065407E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 4.8702793 | 1.410613E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2420409E-4 | 1.7598273E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.1364751 | 2.7596514E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0015111357 | 0.0021404854 | 8.0E-4 | 0.37374696 | 0.0024398435 | 3.0E-4 | 0.015009012 | 0.022194585 | 0.0118 | 0.5316612 | 0.024736878 | 0.0026 |
8.1 | 1.8836186E-5 | 1.8887895E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 10.588793 | 1.18886004E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 8.0724014E-5 | 8.094561E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.470795 | 1.8093751E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 9.823717E-4 | 9.850678E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.50757927 | 0.0011848708 | 2.0E-4 | 0.009780403 | 0.010596832 | 0.0051 | 0.4812759 | 0.011685176 | 0.0011 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.5536157E-6 | 2.0E-4 | 36.012573 | 1.0555306E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3800994E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 8.40301 | 1.2379861E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8973864E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.6902773 | 3.8970966E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0032917638 | 0.0013 | 0.39492503 | 0.0036904472 | 4.0E-4 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.7872784E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.7872784E-7 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.3374008E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3374008E-6 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.0632116E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0632116E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.792776E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.20864734 | 4.792776E-4 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.986481E-4 | 0.0012293548 | 0.0027 | 2.1962743 | 0.0033267732 | 0.0021 | 0.0025631124 | 0.0052531953 | 0.0061 | 1.161198 | 0.009630081 | 0.0044 | 0.030762846 | 0.06129305 | 0.0433 | 0.70644224 | 0.07527979 | 0.0149 | 0.26835477 | 0.42639592 | 0.3359 | 0.7877655 | 0.4730299 | 0.0813 |
6.1 | 5.015945E-4 | 0.001023245 | 0.0024 | 2.3454792 | 0.0030211986 | 0.002 | 0.00214792 | 0.0043741725 | 0.005 | 1.1430733 | 0.008257113 | 0.0039 | 0.025839351 | 0.051321894 | 0.0346 | 0.6741762 | 0.06346498 | 0.0128 | 0.23032776 | 0.37329772 | 0.269 | 0.7206044 | 0.41353202 | 0.0642 |
6.2 | 4.073338E-4 | 8.1215537E-4 | 0.0022 | 2.7088413 | 0.0026106935 | 0.0018 | 0.0017445484 | 0.003473358 | 0.0041 | 1.1804138 | 0.0066622435 | 0.0032 | 0.021034058 | 0.04100611 | 0.0281 | 0.68526375 | 0.050979644 | 0.0104 | 0.19150782 | 0.31351072 | 0.2246 | 0.71640295 | 0.35071844 | 0.0542 |
6.3 | 3.464099E-4 | 6.753493E-4 | 0.0021 | 3.109502 | 0.0023742013 | 0.0017 | 0.0014837692 | 0.0028891885 | 0.0035 | 1.2114129 | 0.005581388 | 0.0027 | 0.017915873 | 0.0342631 | 0.0231 | 0.6741947 | 0.042665012 | 0.0087 | 0.16538359 | 0.271823 | 0.1941 | 0.71406764 | 0.30510068 | 0.0457 |
6.4 | 2.935057E-4 | 5.55868E-4 | 0.0014 | 2.5185833 | 0.001755201 | 0.0012 | 0.0012572751 | 0.0023787874 | 0.0026 | 1.0929939 | 0.004473792 | 0.0021 | 0.015200248 | 0.028338738 | 0.019 | 0.67046034 | 0.035140365 | 0.007 | 0.14201577 | 0.2335198 | 0.1621 | 0.69415957 | 0.26318258 | 0.0387 |
6.5 | 2.3409708E-4 | 4.2238348E-4 | 0.0011 | 2.6042686 | 0.0013220033 | 9.0E-4 | 0.0010028875 | 0.0018082355 | 0.002 | 1.1060506 | 0.0034053423 | 0.0016 | 0.012141965 | 0.02166229 | 0.0142 | 0.65551704 | 0.026162643 | 0.0046 | 0.11499573 | 0.18739071 | 0.1239 | 0.6611854 | 0.21103765 | 0.0291 |
6.6 | 1.5842178E-4 | 2.5215113E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 1.9829377 | 5.520755E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 6.7877385E-4 | 0.0010801882 | 0.001 | 0.9257646 | 0.0016795401 | 6.0E-4 | 0.0082328 | 0.0130706085 | 0.0081 | 0.61971104 | 0.015735317 | 0.0027 | 0.07934396 | 0.12375488 | 0.0743 | 0.60038036 | 0.13996542 | 0.0185 |
6.7 | 1.5616413E-4 | 2.4751283E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 2.0200973 | 5.4743857E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 6.691031E-4 | 0.00106033 | 0.001 | 0.94310266 | 0.0016596938 | 6.0E-4 | 0.0081159435 | 0.012832309 | 0.0079 | 0.61563355 | 0.015497662 | 0.0027 | 0.0782586 | 0.12178206 | 0.0732 | 0.6010738 | 0.13785344 | 0.0183 |
6.8 | 1.5538467E-4 | 2.457482E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 2.0346026 | 5.4567447E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 6.6576427E-4 | 0.0010527746 | 0.001 | 0.94987094 | 0.001652143 | 6.0E-4 | 0.008075596 | 0.012741555 | 0.0079 | 0.62001854 | 0.0154071525 | 0.0027 | 0.07788358 | 0.121012345 | 0.0724 | 0.5982861 | 0.13700992 | 0.0182 |
6.9 | 1.5153569E-4 | 2.3682811E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 2.1112359 | 5.3675706E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 6.49277E-4 | 0.0010145848 | 0.001 | 0.98562485 | 0.0016139761 | 6.0E-4 | 0.007876333 | 0.012283134 | 0.0079 | 0.6431583 | 0.01494997 | 0.0027 | 0.07602952 | 0.117080405 | 0.0699 | 0.59702563 | 0.13279638 | 0.0178 |
7.0 | 1.4588932E-4 | 2.25384E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 2.218436 | 5.253164E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 6.250901E-4 | 9.6557586E-4 | 0.001 | 1.0356514 | 0.0015649965 | 6.0E-4 | 0.0075839474 | 0.011693022 | 0.0078 | 0.6670645 | 0.01436145 | 0.0027 | 0.073302895 | 0.11192394 | 0.0671 | 0.5995143 | 0.12711003 | 0.0171 |
7.1 | 1.1565079E-4 | 1.6404269E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.8287922 | 2.6402628E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.955521E-4 | 7.0285157E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.9959429 | 0.0010026407 | 3.0E-4 | 0.006016669 | 0.008523848 | 0.0052 | 0.6100531 | 0.010308505 | 0.0018 | 0.058563538 | 0.08421866 | 0.0485 | 0.5758819 | 0.096123815 | 0.013 |
7.2 | 1.0393792E-4 | 1.4731043E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 2.0365157 | 2.472957E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.4537216E-4 | 6.3117844E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.95060277 | 8.310522E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.005408933 | 0.0076576932 | 0.0047 | 0.61376184 | 0.009344675 | 0.0017 | 0.052791595 | 0.076142415 | 0.0444 | 0.58311784 | 0.086951554 | 0.0117 |
7.3 | 9.332884E-5 | 1.2881887E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.5525676 | 2.2880598E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.999194E-4 | 5.519647E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.72468406 | 7.5185427E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0048581534 | 0.0066996 | 0.004 | 0.5970506 | 0.00828888 | 0.0016 | 0.047533102 | 0.066950046 | 0.0403 | 0.60194135 | 0.077026986 | 0.0108 |
7.4 | 8.670252E-5 | 1.1797538E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.695269 | 2.1796358E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.715293E-4 | 5.055114E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.7912779 | 7.054103E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.004513991 | 0.006137355 | 0.0034 | 0.5539845 | 0.0074293767 | 0.0013 | 0.044233937 | 0.061590843 | 0.0363 | 0.58937335 | 0.07088109 | 0.0099 |
7.5 | 7.3036405E-5 | 9.0854934E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.2013113 | 1.9084585E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.129756E-4 | 3.8932028E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.7705738 | 5.8924244E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0038038217 | 0.004729694 | 0.0027 | 0.5708614 | 0.005824492 | 0.0011 | 0.03739367 | 0.048257034 | 0.0276 | 0.5719373 | 0.05529993 | 0.0074 |
7.6 | 6.3935775E-5 | 8.3519415E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.3946528 | 1.8351106E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.7398168E-4 | 3.5789132E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.55882883 | 4.5785555E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0033306254 | 0.0043486403 | 0.0023 | 0.528901 | 0.0052447263 | 9.0E-4 | 0.032811474 | 0.044332474 | 0.025 | 0.5639207 | 0.050831016 | 0.0068 |
7.7 | 5.5050095E-5 | 6.725357E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.97382 | 1.6724684E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.3590765E-4 | 2.8819774E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.693968 | 3.881689E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0028683927 | 0.0035031664 | 0.0018 | 0.5138209 | 0.004200714 | 7.0E-4 | 0.0283165 | 0.036103286 | 0.02 | 0.55396616 | 0.041404717 | 0.0055 |
7.8 | 5.027131E-5 | 6.220918E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 3.2149594 | 1.6220297E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.1543067E-4 | 2.6658358E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.75023377 | 3.665569E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0026197135 | 0.003240828 | 0.0017 | 0.52455735 | 0.0039385594 | 7.0E-4 | 0.025890453 | 0.03340843 | 0.0191 | 0.571712 | 0.038531363 | 0.0053 |
7.9 | 3.7271806E-5 | 5.069165E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 3.945423 | 1.5068658E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5972654E-4 | 2.1723185E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.92067534 | 3.1721013E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0019429359 | 0.002641592 | 0.0014 | 0.52998346 | 0.0030405354 | 4.0E-4 | 0.019260362 | 0.027296338 | 0.0154 | 0.5641782 | 0.031381693 | 0.0042 |
8.0 | 2.7310243E-5 | 3.1736527E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 6.301887 | 1.3173335E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.17038646E-4 | 1.360066E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.4705169 | 2.35993E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0014240141 | 0.0016546234 | 6.0E-4 | 0.36262026 | 0.0018542925 | 2.0E-4 | 0.014149235 | 0.017370835 | 0.009 | 0.5181098 | 0.019532619 | 0.0022 |
8.1 | 1.7940547E-5 | 1.7597373E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 11.365334 | 1.1759561E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 7.688579E-5 | 7.541513E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.6519876 | 1.754076E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 9.3568244E-4 | 9.17793E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.54478514 | 0.0011176094 | 2.0E-4 | 0.009317525 | 0.009902639 | 0.0047 | 0.47462097 | 0.010991746 | 0.0011 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.5536157E-6 | 2.0E-4 | 36.012573 | 1.0555306E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3800994E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 8.40301 | 1.2379861E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8973864E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.6902773 | 3.8970966E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0032917638 | 0.0013 | 0.39492503 | 0.0036904472 | 4.0E-4 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.7872784E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.7872784E-7 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.3374008E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3374008E-6 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.0632116E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0632116E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.792776E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.20864734 | 4.792776E-4 | 0.0 |
Mendocino
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.5409013E-4 | 0.0010849746 | 9.0E-4 | 0.8295125 | 0.0013846491 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0023725112 | 0.0046396083 | 0.0035 | 0.75437397 | 0.0064312574 | 0.0018 | 0.028505474 | 0.05472244 | 0.0303 | 0.55370337 | 0.06483691 | 0.0107 | 0.25113493 | 0.41214156 | 0.2532 | 0.61435205 | 0.4575242 | 0.0772 |
6.1 | 4.2515888E-4 | 8.236463E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.8498793 | 0.0011233992 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0018208373 | 0.0035235647 | 0.0026 | 0.7378891 | 0.0051179267 | 0.0016 | 0.021944538 | 0.04179114 | 0.025 | 0.5982129 | 0.05108577 | 0.0097 | 0.19899574 | 0.33021384 | 0.2169 | 0.65684706 | 0.37877333 | 0.0725 |
6.2 | 4.2515888E-4 | 8.236463E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.8498793 | 0.0011233992 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0018208373 | 0.0035235647 | 0.0026 | 0.7378891 | 0.0051179267 | 0.0016 | 0.021944538 | 0.04179114 | 0.025 | 0.5982129 | 0.05108577 | 0.0097 | 0.19899574 | 0.33021384 | 0.2169 | 0.65684706 | 0.37877333 | 0.0725 |
6.3 | 3.2773745E-4 | 6.20076E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.96762323 | 8.1995205E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0014038329 | 0.002653514 | 0.0024 | 0.904461 | 0.004149534 | 0.0015 | 0.016958237 | 0.03163045 | 0.0211 | 0.66707873 | 0.039764754 | 0.0084 | 0.1572094 | 0.261043 | 0.1748 | 0.66962147 | 0.30523264 | 0.0598 |
6.4 | 2.7417165E-4 | 5.054923E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.9891347 | 7.053912E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0011744922 | 0.0021635906 | 0.0019 | 0.87816983 | 0.003460778 | 0.0013 | 0.014205975 | 0.025874628 | 0.0171 | 0.6608791 | 0.03288833 | 0.0072 | 0.13331394 | 0.21975073 | 0.1438 | 0.6543778 | 0.25868517 | 0.0499 |
6.5 | 2.3984899E-4 | 4.3304637E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.9236886 | 5.3300307E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0010275192 | 0.0018537827 | 0.0018 | 0.97098756 | 0.0030515583 | 0.0012 | 0.012438473 | 0.022216516 | 0.0155 | 0.69767916 | 0.028572109 | 0.0065 | 0.11764851 | 0.19230998 | 0.1267 | 0.6588322 | 0.22776756 | 0.0439 |
6.6 | 2.1023539E-4 | 3.700294E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.8107464 | 4.699924E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 9.0069766E-4 | 0.001584218 | 0.0016 | 1.009962 | 0.0026824754 | 0.0011 | 0.010910975 | 0.019024828 | 0.0135 | 0.709599 | 0.024714485 | 0.0058 | 0.10390546 | 0.16776834 | 0.1116 | 0.6652029 | 0.19939315 | 0.038 |
6.7 | 1.2592976E-4 | 1.8489864E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0816737 | 2.8488014E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.395873E-4 | 7.9210714E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.7574733 | 0.0010918695 | 3.0E-4 | 0.006549705 | 0.00958969 | 0.0064 | 0.66738343 | 0.011669552 | 0.0021 | 0.063599944 | 0.09125746 | 0.054 | 0.59173244 | 0.10497947 | 0.0151 |
6.8 | 1.13663555E-4 | 1.5462427E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.293458 | 2.546088E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.8703855E-4 | 6.624789E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.754741 | 8.623464E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0059135845 | 0.008031673 | 0.0053 | 0.6598875 | 0.009718019 | 0.0017 | 0.057586733 | 0.07767376 | 0.0445 | 0.57290906 | 0.089664005 | 0.013 |
6.9 | 9.926894E-5 | 1.235785E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.6184045 | 2.2356614E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.2536893E-4 | 5.295083E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.7554178 | 6.294553E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0051665753 | 0.0064267255 | 0.0044 | 0.684641 | 0.007718371 | 0.0013 | 0.050480947 | 0.06313082 | 0.0381 | 0.6035088 | 0.07390481 | 0.0115 |
7.0 | 9.168125E-5 | 1.08398955E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.92251813 | 2.0838811E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.9286047E-4 | 4.6448034E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.6458831 | 5.644339E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004772591 | 0.005640021 | 0.0038 | 0.67375636 | 0.006733817 | 0.0011 | 0.04671385 | 0.055886663 | 0.035 | 0.6262675 | 0.06608309 | 0.0108 |
7.1 | 8.2854116E-5 | 9.158845E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0918407 | 1.915793E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.5504074E-4 | 3.924633E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.50960183 | 4.92424E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004314056 | 0.0047678365 | 0.0032 | 0.6711639 | 0.005862592 | 0.0011 | 0.042312626 | 0.04773876 | 0.0315 | 0.6598412 | 0.057737503 | 0.0105 |
7.2 | 7.8255274E-5 | 8.352801E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1972033 | 1.8351966E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.3533663E-4 | 3.579289E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.5587702 | 4.578931E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0040750825 | 0.004349226 | 0.003 | 0.6897779 | 0.005344877 | 0.001 | 0.040011603 | 0.043778207 | 0.0288 | 0.65786153 | 0.052957937 | 0.0096 |
7.3 | 6.887904E-5 | 6.300889E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5870776 | 1.630026E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.9516246E-4 | 2.700107E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.74071133 | 3.6998373E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0035876823 | 0.0032825232 | 0.0023 | 0.7006805 | 0.0040798974 | 8.0E-4 | 0.035303112 | 0.033561993 | 0.0222 | 0.6614625 | 0.04090692 | 0.0076 |
7.4 | 5.4898497E-5 | 3.7679853E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.7679853E-5 | 0.0 | 2.3525805E-4 | 1.6147541E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.61928934 | 1.6147541E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0028605047 | 0.0019642473 | 0.0014 | 0.7127412 | 0.0023634618 | 4.0E-4 | 0.02823963 | 0.020559061 | 0.0123 | 0.5982763 | 0.024770657 | 0.0043 |
7.5 | 3.9103943E-5 | 1.1425505E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1425505E-5 | 0.0 | 1.6757756E-4 | 4.896554E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.0422525 | 4.896554E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0020383475 | 5.95994E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.6711477 | 5.95994E-4 | 0.0 | 0.020197518 | 0.006695274 | 0.0036 | 0.5376927 | 0.0076885787 | 0.001 |
7.6 | 3.641042E-5 | 9.088634E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.088634E-6 | 0.0 | 1.5603533E-4 | 3.8950715E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.8950715E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0018980748 | 4.7412314E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.632747 | 4.7412314E-4 | 0.0 | 0.018819444 | 0.0054118335 | 0.0026 | 0.4804287 | 0.0060085864 | 6.0E-4 |
7.7 | 3.1318774E-5 | 4.5350466E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.5350466E-6 | 0.0 | 1.342164E-4 | 1.943577E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.943577E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0016328598 | 2.36605E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.36605E-4 | 0.0 | 0.016209139 | 0.0029157822 | 0.0011 | 0.37725726 | 0.0032149074 | 3.0E-4 |
7.8 | 2.209241E-5 | 2.7340805E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7340805E-6 | 0.0 | 9.467832E-5 | 1.1717435E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1717435E-5 | 0.0 | 0.001152099 | 1.4265046E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4265046E-4 | 0.0 | 0.011461443 | 0.0017705099 | 0.001 | 0.564809 | 0.0019701559 | 2.0E-4 |
7.9 | 1.2640477E-5 | 2.0808989E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0808989E-6 | 0.0 | 5.4172346E-5 | 8.918108E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.918108E-6 | 0.0 | 6.593487E-4 | 1.08572574E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.08572574E-4 | 0.0 | 0.006573958 | 0.0013214104 | 6.0E-4 | 0.45406032 | 0.001521146 | 2.0E-4 |
8.0 | 6.5548907E-6 | 1.6687843E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6687843E-6 | 0.0 | 2.8092087E-5 | 7.151913E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.151913E-6 | 0.0 | 3.4196748E-4 | 8.707109E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.707109E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0034144172 | 0.0010486946 | 2.0E-4 | 0.19071329 | 0.0011485898 | 1.0E-4 |
8.1 | 3.1916707E-6 | 1.3849678E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3849678E-6 | 0.0 | 1.3678517E-5 | 5.935563E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.935563E-6 | 0.0 | 1.6652321E-4 | 7.226311E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.226311E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0016639848 | 8.7824557E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.22772674 | 9.781577E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
8.2 | 2.1193785E-6 | 1.0489846E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0489846E-6 | 0.0 | 9.083019E-6 | 4.4956405E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.4956405E-6 | 0.0 | 1.1058014E-4 | 5.4733067E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.4733067E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0011052513 | 6.6106085E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.6106085E-4 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 7.536878E-7 | 3.989106E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.989106E-7 | 0.0 | 3.2300866E-6 | 1.7096158E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7096158E-6 | 0.0 | 3.9325594E-5 | 2.0814387E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0814387E-5 | 0.0 | 3.9318635E-4 | 2.447874E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.447874E-4 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Mojave S)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.760892E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.8874569 | 7.7602157E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0013306376 | 0.002894436 | 0.0016 | 0.55278474 | 0.003093857 | 2.0E-4 | 0.016080605 | 0.034797605 | 0.025 | 0.71844023 | 0.041071422 | 0.0065 | 0.1496549 | 0.28709772 | 0.2089 | 0.72762686 | 0.330157 | 0.0604 |
6.1 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.760892E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.8874569 | 7.7602157E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0013306376 | 0.002894436 | 0.0016 | 0.55278474 | 0.003093857 | 2.0E-4 | 0.016080605 | 0.034797605 | 0.025 | 0.71844023 | 0.041071422 | 0.0065 | 0.1496549 | 0.28709772 | 0.2089 | 0.72762686 | 0.330157 | 0.0604 |
6.2 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.760892E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.8874569 | 7.7602157E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0013306376 | 0.002894436 | 0.0016 | 0.55278474 | 0.003093857 | 2.0E-4 | 0.016080605 | 0.034797605 | 0.025 | 0.71844023 | 0.041071422 | 0.0065 | 0.1496549 | 0.28709772 | 0.2089 | 0.72762686 | 0.330157 | 0.0604 |
6.3 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.760892E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.8874569 | 7.7602157E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0013306376 | 0.002894436 | 0.0016 | 0.55278474 | 0.003093857 | 2.0E-4 | 0.016080605 | 0.034797605 | 0.025 | 0.71844023 | 0.041071422 | 0.0065 | 0.1496549 | 0.28709772 | 0.2089 | 0.72762686 | 0.330157 | 0.0604 |
6.4 | 1.9872203E-4 | 4.3320356E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.92335343 | 5.3316023E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 8.5138786E-4 | 0.0018552939 | 0.0011 | 0.59289795 | 0.0019551085 | 1.0E-4 | 0.010316478 | 0.022360403 | 0.0166 | 0.7423837 | 0.026270961 | 0.004 | 0.098504856 | 0.19756073 | 0.1432 | 0.7248404 | 0.22821392 | 0.0382 |
6.5 | 1.291105E-4 | 2.88864E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.6923674 | 3.888351E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.5321335E-4 | 0.001237404 | 6.0E-4 | 0.48488614 | 0.0013372801 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006714592 | 0.014962156 | 0.0114 | 0.76192224 | 0.018114278 | 0.0032 | 0.065152965 | 0.13859284 | 0.0978 | 0.70566416 | 0.16012803 | 0.025 |
6.6 | 1.291105E-4 | 2.88864E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.6923674 | 3.888351E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.5321335E-4 | 0.001237404 | 6.0E-4 | 0.48488614 | 0.0013372801 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006714592 | 0.014962156 | 0.0114 | 0.76192224 | 0.018114278 | 0.0032 | 0.065152965 | 0.13859284 | 0.0978 | 0.70566416 | 0.16012803 | 0.025 |
6.7 | 1.08001186E-4 | 2.4465597E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.8174744 | 3.446315E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.6278012E-4 | 0.0010481048 | 4.0E-4 | 0.3816412 | 0.001148 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0056198016 | 0.012686318 | 0.0094 | 0.74095577 | 0.015352064 | 0.0027 | 0.054797906 | 0.11973853 | 0.0815 | 0.68064976 | 0.13840006 | 0.0212 |
6.8 | 1.0624356E-4 | 2.3982889E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.83392787 | 3.3980492E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.5525006E-4 | 0.0010274338 | 4.0E-4 | 0.3893195 | 0.001127331 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0055285925 | 0.012437538 | 0.0091 | 0.7316561 | 0.014906445 | 0.0025 | 0.053930566 | 0.11768725 | 0.079 | 0.67127067 | 0.13586289 | 0.0206 |
6.9 | 1.0393785E-4 | 2.3352726E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.85643107 | 3.335039E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.4537184E-4 | 0.0010004477 | 4.0E-4 | 0.399821 | 0.0011003476 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0054089287 | 0.012112676 | 0.0088 | 0.7265116 | 0.014384817 | 0.0023 | 0.05279156 | 0.11498711 | 0.0768 | 0.6679009 | 0.13259888 | 0.0199 |
7.0 | 1.0155622E-4 | 2.2721694E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.88021606 | 3.2719423E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.3516833E-4 | 9.734239E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.41092068 | 0.0010733266 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005285311 | 0.011787263 | 0.0085 | 0.7211174 | 0.014060153 | 0.0023 | 0.05161361 | 0.11224282 | 0.074 | 0.65928495 | 0.1294653 | 0.0194 |
7.1 | 9.885595E-5 | 2.2009437E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.9087011 | 3.2007234E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.2359953E-4 | 9.429209E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.42421374 | 0.0010428266 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0051451353 | 0.0114198355 | 0.0082 | 0.7180489 | 0.01369357 | 0.0023 | 0.05027629 | 0.109127656 | 0.0711 | 0.65153056 | 0.12587605 | 0.0188 |
7.2 | 9.6411415E-5 | 2.1371811E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.9358121 | 3.1369674E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.1312634E-4 | 9.156136E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.32764912 | 0.001015522 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005018219 | 0.011090801 | 0.0077 | 0.69426906 | 0.013266401 | 0.0022 | 0.049064007 | 0.10631593 | 0.0686 | 0.6452466 | 0.12240225 | 0.018 |
7.3 | 9.1180635E-5 | 1.9596702E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0205799 | 2.9594742E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.907156E-4 | 8.395884E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.35731795 | 9.395045E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004746591 | 0.010174193 | 0.0069 | 0.6781864 | 0.012252828 | 0.0021 | 0.046464786 | 0.09850191 | 0.062 | 0.6294294 | 0.11301603 | 0.0161 |
7.4 | 8.887388E-5 | 1.8843838E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0613549 | 2.8841954E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.8083247E-4 | 8.0734317E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.37158918 | 9.0726244E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0046267817 | 0.009785202 | 0.0064 | 0.65404886 | 0.01166661 | 0.0019 | 0.045316286 | 0.09513697 | 0.0602 | 0.6327719 | 0.10889088 | 0.0152 |
7.5 | 8.6750515E-5 | 1.8174096E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.1004673 | 2.8172278E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.7173493E-4 | 7.7865744E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.38527855 | 8.7857957E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004516484 | 0.009439033 | 0.0061 | 0.64625263 | 0.011222043 | 0.0018 | 0.04425787 | 0.092098996 | 0.0584 | 0.63410026 | 0.10571751 | 0.015 |
7.6 | 8.453092E-5 | 1.7560195E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.1389395 | 2.7558437E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.6222505E-4 | 7.523628E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.3987438 | 8.522875E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0044011753 | 0.009121621 | 0.0059 | 0.6468148 | 0.0109052025 | 0.0018 | 0.04315024 | 0.08925212 | 0.0559 | 0.62631565 | 0.10218474 | 0.0142 |
7.7 | 8.259102E-5 | 1.7080999E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.1708916 | 2.7079292E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.539135E-4 | 7.318375E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.40992707 | 8.317643E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004300386 | 0.0088737905 | 0.0059 | 0.6648794 | 0.010657817 | 0.0018 | 0.042181134 | 0.08699787 | 0.0537 | 0.6172565 | 0.09950599 | 0.0137 |
7.8 | 7.444844E-5 | 1.5392757E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.2993125 | 2.5391218E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.1902574E-4 | 6.5952283E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.4548743 | 7.594569E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0038772223 | 0.008000177 | 0.0054 | 0.674985 | 0.0094881775 | 0.0015 | 0.03810269 | 0.078785755 | 0.0485 | 0.6155935 | 0.089748204 | 0.0119 |
7.9 | 5.2586525E-5 | 1.00814E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.9838514 | 2.0080392E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.2535135E-4 | 4.3198848E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.4629753 | 5.3194526E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0027402006 | 0.005246788 | 0.0034 | 0.64801556 | 0.006142066 | 9.0E-4 | 0.027066574 | 0.052550577 | 0.032 | 0.6089372 | 0.05975119 | 0.0076 |
8.0 | 3.379877E-5 | 5.4508146E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 3.6691763 | 1.5450269E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4484383E-4 | 2.3358542E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.8562178 | 3.3356206E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0017620471 | 0.0028401955 | 0.0015 | 0.5281326 | 0.0032390596 | 4.0E-4 | 0.017481409 | 0.029048033 | 0.0161 | 0.5542544 | 0.032446366 | 0.0035 |
8.1 | 1.8668277E-5 | 1.9515712E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 10.248153 | 1.1951376E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 8.000444E-5 | 8.3636085E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.3913124 | 1.8362772E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 9.736188E-4 | 0.0010177944 | 7.0E-4 | 0.6877617 | 0.0012175908 | 2.0E-4 | 0.009693642 | 0.010907022 | 0.0057 | 0.5225991 | 0.012192843 | 0.0013 |
8.2 | 8.541571E-6 | 5.539318E-6 | 2.0E-4 | 36.10553 | 1.0553876E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.660622E-5 | 2.3739718E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 8.4247 | 1.2373735E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.455896E-4 | 2.8899283E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.69205874 | 3.8896393E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0044469717 | 0.0032837226 | 0.0013 | 0.39589214 | 0.003682409 | 4.0E-4 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.7872784E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.7872784E-7 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.3374008E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3374008E-6 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.0632116E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0632116E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.792776E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.20864734 | 4.792776E-4 | 0.0 |
Cerro Prieto
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.9101528E-4 | 5.9808954E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.5015971 | 7.9796993E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0012466122 | 0.0025609662 | 0.0016 | 0.6247642 | 0.0031594296 | 6.0E-4 | 0.015072231 | 0.030695252 | 0.0192 | 0.6255039 | 0.036317218 | 0.0058 | 0.14089979 | 0.25457677 | 0.1775 | 0.69723564 | 0.28938803 | 0.0467 |
6.1 | 2.9101528E-4 | 5.9808954E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.5015971 | 7.9796993E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0012466122 | 0.0025609662 | 0.0016 | 0.6247642 | 0.0031594296 | 6.0E-4 | 0.015072231 | 0.030695252 | 0.0192 | 0.6255039 | 0.036317218 | 0.0058 | 0.14089979 | 0.25457677 | 0.1775 | 0.69723564 | 0.28938803 | 0.0467 |
6.2 | 2.9101528E-4 | 5.9808954E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.5015971 | 7.9796993E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0012466122 | 0.0025609662 | 0.0016 | 0.6247642 | 0.0031594296 | 6.0E-4 | 0.015072231 | 0.030695252 | 0.0192 | 0.6255039 | 0.036317218 | 0.0058 | 0.14089979 | 0.25457677 | 0.1775 | 0.69723564 | 0.28938803 | 0.0467 |
6.3 | 2.9101528E-4 | 5.9808954E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.5015971 | 7.9796993E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0012466122 | 0.0025609662 | 0.0016 | 0.6247642 | 0.0031594296 | 6.0E-4 | 0.015072231 | 0.030695252 | 0.0192 | 0.6255039 | 0.036317218 | 0.0058 | 0.14089979 | 0.25457677 | 0.1775 | 0.69723564 | 0.28938803 | 0.0467 |
6.4 | 2.508648E-4 | 5.155046E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.58195406 | 7.1540155E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0010746918 | 0.0022076345 | 0.0015 | 0.6794603 | 0.0027065307 | 5.0E-4 | 0.013006088 | 0.0265219 | 0.017 | 0.6409797 | 0.031681333 | 0.0053 | 0.12270685 | 0.22494599 | 0.1559 | 0.6930552 | 0.25734326 | 0.0418 |
6.5 | 2.508648E-4 | 5.155046E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.58195406 | 7.1540155E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0010746918 | 0.0022076345 | 0.0015 | 0.6794603 | 0.0027065307 | 5.0E-4 | 0.013006088 | 0.0265219 | 0.017 | 0.6409797 | 0.031681333 | 0.0053 | 0.12270685 | 0.22494599 | 0.1559 | 0.6930552 | 0.25734326 | 0.0418 |
6.6 | 2.294914E-4 | 4.7264987E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.4231462 | 5.726026E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 9.831638E-4 | 0.0020242583 | 0.0014 | 0.69161135 | 0.0024234487 | 4.0E-4 | 0.011904482 | 0.024354722 | 0.0155 | 0.63642687 | 0.029232949 | 0.005 | 0.11286586 | 0.2090983 | 0.1456 | 0.6963232 | 0.24033892 | 0.0395 |
6.7 | 1.9621674E-4 | 4.0559118E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.49310735 | 5.0555065E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 8.4065786E-4 | 0.0017372493 | 0.0012 | 0.69074714 | 0.0020367282 | 3.0E-4 | 0.010187071 | 0.020967446 | 0.013 | 0.6200087 | 0.025177287 | 0.0043 | 0.09732539 | 0.18345389 | 0.1256 | 0.6846407 | 0.21162473 | 0.0345 |
6.8 | 1.5476145E-4 | 3.0681433E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.65186006 | 4.0678366E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.6309475E-4 | 0.0013143589 | 9.0E-4 | 0.68474454 | 0.0015140959 | 2.0E-4 | 0.008043335 | 0.015882768 | 0.0091 | 0.57294804 | 0.019228766 | 0.0034 | 0.07758363 | 0.14385986 | 0.095 | 0.66036487 | 0.16714688 | 0.0272 |
6.9 | 1.20509176E-4 | 2.2677695E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.88192385 | 3.2675426E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.1636563E-4 | 9.71603E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.7204589 | 0.0011714087 | 2.0E-4 | 0.006268645 | 0.0117801335 | 0.006 | 0.50933206 | 0.014349505 | 0.0026 | 0.060947374 | 0.10990398 | 0.0693 | 0.63055044 | 0.1277059 | 0.02 |
7.0 | 9.3269155E-5 | 1.6792802E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.1909865 | 2.6791124E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.9966372E-4 | 7.195365E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.6948918 | 9.1939257E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0048550544 | 0.008732889 | 0.0044 | 0.5038424 | 0.010616296 | 0.0019 | 0.04750344 | 0.08351717 | 0.0511 | 0.6118502 | 0.09662288 | 0.0143 |
7.1 | 5.029709E-5 | 8.213458E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2175139 | 1.8212637E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.1554115E-4 | 3.5197733E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.2841092 | 4.5194215E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0026210553 | 0.0042803525 | 0.002 | 0.4672512 | 0.0051765004 | 9.0E-4 | 0.025903556 | 0.042642303 | 0.0277 | 0.6495897 | 0.050492633 | 0.0082 |
7.2 | 6.5445185E-8 | 6.905684E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.905684E-8 | 0.0 | 2.8047933E-7 | 2.9595788E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9595788E-7 | 0.0 | 3.4148304E-6 | 3.6032873E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.6032873E-6 | 0.0 | 3.414778E-5 | 3.6032874E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.7752435 | 3.6032874E-5 | 0.0 |
Garlock (Central)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.5131142E-5 | 7.0341346E-5 | 9.0E-4 | 12.794751 | 9.7027805E-4 | 9.0E-4 | 2.3625491E-4 | 3.0142843E-4 | 0.0034 | 11.279626 | 0.0037004035 | 0.0034 | 0.0028726095 | 0.0036637802 | 0.0201 | 5.486137 | 0.0217971 | 0.0182 | 0.028357591 | 0.0361292 | 0.0616 | 1.704992 | 0.079021454 | 0.0445 |
6.1 | 5.5131142E-5 | 7.0341346E-5 | 9.0E-4 | 12.794751 | 9.7027805E-4 | 9.0E-4 | 2.3625491E-4 | 3.0142843E-4 | 0.0034 | 11.279626 | 0.0037004035 | 0.0034 | 0.0028726095 | 0.0036637802 | 0.0201 | 5.486137 | 0.0217971 | 0.0182 | 0.028357591 | 0.0361292 | 0.0616 | 1.704992 | 0.079021454 | 0.0445 |
6.2 | 4.216245E-5 | 5.1746258E-5 | 4.0E-4 | 7.7300277 | 4.5172556E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.806837E-4 | 2.21751E-4 | 0.0016 | 7.2153 | 0.0018213962 | 0.0016 | 0.0021976046 | 0.0026965071 | 0.012 | 4.4502015 | 0.013367655 | 0.0107 | 0.021759989 | 0.02672878 | 0.0399 | 1.4927729 | 0.05349374 | 0.0275 |
6.3 | 4.216245E-5 | 5.1746258E-5 | 4.0E-4 | 7.7300277 | 4.5172556E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.806837E-4 | 2.21751E-4 | 0.0016 | 7.2153 | 0.0018213962 | 0.0016 | 0.0021976046 | 0.0026965071 | 0.012 | 4.4502015 | 0.013367655 | 0.0107 | 0.021759989 | 0.02672878 | 0.0399 | 1.4927729 | 0.05349374 | 0.0275 |
6.4 | 3.6858168E-5 | 4.4192322E-5 | 4.0E-4 | 9.051346 | 4.4417466E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.5795401E-4 | 1.8938206E-4 | 0.0014 | 7.3924637 | 0.0015891169 | 0.0014 | 0.0019213937 | 0.0023033135 | 0.0101 | 4.384987 | 0.011083044 | 0.0088 | 0.019048655 | 0.022871464 | 0.0317 | 1.3860066 | 0.043391164 | 0.021 |
6.5 | 3.39199E-5 | 4.0098344E-5 | 4.0E-4 | 9.975474 | 4.400823E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.453629E-4 | 1.7183885E-4 | 0.0014 | 8.147168 | 0.0015715982 | 0.0014 | 0.0017683565 | 0.0020901524 | 0.0093 | 4.4494367 | 0.010173222 | 0.0081 | 0.017543508 | 0.020798644 | 0.0291 | 1.3991296 | 0.03979515 | 0.0194 |
6.6 | 3.3571985E-5 | 3.9551946E-5 | 4.0E-4 | 10.113282 | 4.3953612E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.4387199E-4 | 1.6949745E-4 | 0.0014 | 8.259711 | 0.0015692601 | 0.0014 | 0.0017502342 | 0.0020617 | 0.0093 | 4.5108404 | 0.010145 | 0.0081 | 0.017365133 | 0.02051964 | 0.0289 | 1.4084067 | 0.03942361 | 0.0193 |
6.7 | 3.2580007E-5 | 3.8167844E-5 | 4.0E-4 | 10.480025 | 4.3815258E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.3962112E-4 | 1.6356635E-4 | 0.0013 | 7.9478455 | 0.0014633538 | 0.0013 | 0.0016985617 | 0.0019896228 | 0.0088 | 4.422949 | 0.009674302 | 0.0077 | 0.016856372 | 0.019814886 | 0.0278 | 1.4029856 | 0.037850294 | 0.0184 |
6.8 | 3.2185937E-5 | 3.75947E-5 | 4.0E-4 | 10.639797 | 4.3757967E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.3793244E-4 | 1.611103E-4 | 0.0013 | 8.069005 | 0.0014609009 | 0.0013 | 0.0016780337 | 0.0019597749 | 0.0087 | 4.4392853 | 0.00954488 | 0.0076 | 0.016654192 | 0.019521544 | 0.0275 | 1.4087001 | 0.037366252 | 0.0182 |
6.9 | 3.165394E-5 | 3.679874E-5 | 4.0E-4 | 10.869937 | 4.3678403E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.3565269E-4 | 1.5769948E-4 | 0.0012 | 7.60941 | 0.0013575102 | 0.0012 | 0.0016503202 | 0.0019183218 | 0.0084 | 4.378827 | 0.009204318 | 0.0073 | 0.01638118 | 0.019114584 | 0.0271 | 1.4177656 | 0.036672432 | 0.0179 |
7.0 | 3.0903822E-5 | 3.5703426E-5 | 4.0E-4 | 11.203406 | 4.3568914E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.3243823E-4 | 1.5300584E-4 | 0.0011 | 7.189268 | 0.0012528375 | 0.0011 | 0.0016112428 | 0.0018612756 | 0.0083 | 4.459307 | 0.009047874 | 0.0072 | 0.015996104 | 0.018552903 | 0.0262 | 1.4121779 | 0.03533565 | 0.0171 |
7.1 | 3.0069863E-5 | 3.446902E-5 | 3.0E-4 | 8.703467 | 3.344587E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.2886449E-4 | 1.4771613E-4 | 0.001 | 6.7697415 | 0.0011475685 | 0.001 | 0.0015677959 | 0.0017969814 | 0.0076 | 4.229315 | 0.008584762 | 0.0068 | 0.01556781 | 0.017920064 | 0.0247 | 1.3783432 | 0.033927966 | 0.0163 |
7.2 | 2.7957109E-5 | 3.1356696E-5 | 3.0E-4 | 9.567334 | 3.3134728E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.1981068E-4 | 1.3437902E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 5.95331 | 9.3427155E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 0.0014577188 | 0.0016348565 | 0.0066 | 4.0370517 | 0.0074253744 | 0.0058 | 0.014481937 | 0.016322942 | 0.0218 | 1.3355435 | 0.030291157 | 0.0142 |
7.3 | 2.4519275E-5 | 2.6785401E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.733377 | 1.2678272E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0507837E-4 | 1.14789604E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 4.355795 | 6.147322E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.0012785783 | 0.0013966822 | 0.0047 | 3.3651178 | 0.0053910953 | 0.004 | 0.012712469 | 0.013965154 | 0.0163 | 1.1671909 | 0.023924105 | 0.0101 |
7.4 | 2.3225532E-5 | 2.5268542E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.9574897 | 1.2526601E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 9.95342E-5 | 1.0828934E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 4.6172595 | 6.082352E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.0012111551 | 0.0013176398 | 0.0044 | 3.3393042 | 0.0050127646 | 0.0037 | 0.012045753 | 0.013182204 | 0.0152 | 1.1530696 | 0.022458293 | 0.0094 |
7.5 | 2.097765E-5 | 2.2549391E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.4347095 | 1.2254714E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 8.9901114E-5 | 9.663674E-5 | 4.0E-4 | 4.1392126 | 4.965981E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0010939965 | 0.0011759291 | 0.0036 | 3.0614092 | 0.0042722835 | 0.0031 | 0.010886264 | 0.011774428 | 0.013 | 1.1040876 | 0.019779056 | 0.0081 |
7.6 | 1.511254E-5 | 1.6052463E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6052463E-5 | 0.0 | 6.476642E-5 | 6.87945E-5 | 3.0E-4 | 4.3608136 | 3.6877385E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 7.882459E-4 | 8.37259E-4 | 0.0026 | 3.1053712 | 0.0028355846 | 0.002 | 0.007854558 | 0.008415242 | 0.0086 | 1.0219553 | 0.013174849 | 0.0048 |
7.7 | 9.934069E-6 | 1.0735516E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0735516E-5 | 0.0 | 4.2573887E-5 | 4.6008547E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.6008547E-5 | 0.0 | 5.182138E-4 | 5.6001043E-4 | 0.0012 | 2.142817 | 0.0012596184 | 7.0E-4 | 0.00517007 | 0.005657376 | 0.0048 | 0.84844995 | 0.0074471924 | 0.0018 |
7.8 | 6.7562896E-6 | 8.4750955E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.4750955E-6 | 0.0 | 2.8955206E-5 | 3.632133E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.632133E-5 | 0.0 | 3.5247262E-4 | 4.4212263E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.5832711 | 7.4199E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0035191406 | 0.004471134 | 0.0037 | 0.82753056 | 0.0058648745 | 0.0014 |
7.9 | 3.975453E-6 | 5.3994363E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.3994363E-6 | 0.0 | 1.7037546E-5 | 2.3140237E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3140237E-5 | 0.0 | 2.0741238E-4 | 2.8169606E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 1.7749627 | 4.8163973E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.002072189 | 0.0028485248 | 0.0026 | 0.91275316 | 0.0037459612 | 9.0E-4 |
8.0 | 1.6729537E-6 | 2.087034E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.087034E-6 | 0.0 | 7.169782E-6 | 8.944402E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.944402E-6 | 0.0 | 8.7288594E-5 | 1.0889268E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.8366706 | 1.0889268E-4 | 0.0 | 8.7254314E-4 | 0.0011021082 | 9.0E-4 | 0.81661683 | 0.0015016673 | 4.0E-4 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 3.1624552E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1624552E-7 | 0.0 | 1.5742813E-6 | 1.3553373E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3553373E-6 | 0.0 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.6501122E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 6.0601935 | 1.6501122E-5 | 0.0 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.6715302E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 2.3930168 | 3.671196E-4 | 2.0E-4 |
Imperial
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.7496446E-4 | 5.075037E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.5911287 | 6.0745294E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0011778869 | 0.0021732424 | 0.0015 | 0.69021297 | 0.0026721556 | 5.0E-4 | 0.0142467655 | 0.026154283 | 0.0133 | 0.5085209 | 0.030731358 | 0.0047 | 0.13367249 | 0.22868972 | 0.1467 | 0.6414805 | 0.26023632 | 0.0409 |
6.1 | 2.5356023E-4 | 4.883024E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.6143734 | 5.8825355E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.001086234 | 0.0020910846 | 0.0014 | 0.66950905 | 0.002590039 | 5.0E-4 | 0.013144928 | 0.025164463 | 0.0126 | 0.5007061 | 0.029551223 | 0.0045 | 0.123940155 | 0.22006333 | 0.1396 | 0.6343629 | 0.24970092 | 0.038 |
6.2 | 2.4820742E-4 | 4.7922434E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.41734108 | 5.791764E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0010633124 | 0.00205224 | 0.0013 | 0.63345414 | 0.0025512138 | 5.0E-4 | 0.01286919 | 0.024702799 | 0.0121 | 0.48982304 | 0.028896576 | 0.0043 | 0.12148927 | 0.21656275 | 0.1362 | 0.62891704 | 0.24484484 | 0.0361 |
6.3 | 2.3205351E-4 | 4.6042612E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.43438023 | 5.6038005E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 9.94136E-4 | 0.0019717994 | 0.0013 | 0.6592962 | 0.0024708137 | 5.0E-4 | 0.012036599 | 0.023740618 | 0.0117 | 0.49282628 | 0.027840907 | 0.0042 | 0.11405133 | 0.20846377 | 0.1308 | 0.6274471 | 0.23545517 | 0.0341 |
6.4 | 2.0304754E-4 | 4.0024717E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.49969122 | 5.002071E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 8.6991355E-4 | 0.001714232 | 0.001 | 0.5833516 | 0.0020137178 | 3.0E-4 | 0.010539869 | 0.020671966 | 0.0102 | 0.49342185 | 0.024197547 | 0.0036 | 0.100537635 | 0.18559903 | 0.1137 | 0.61261094 | 0.2088909 | 0.0286 |
6.5 | 1.854992E-4 | 3.7127198E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.26934433 | 4.7123485E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 7.9475436E-4 | 0.0015902078 | 7.0E-4 | 0.44019404 | 0.0018897307 | 3.0E-4 | 0.009633281 | 0.019185921 | 0.0092 | 0.4795183 | 0.02252069 | 0.0034 | 0.0922623 | 0.17380771 | 0.1056 | 0.60756797 | 0.19570181 | 0.0265 |
6.6 | 1.6586106E-4 | 3.4160705E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.29273403 | 4.415729E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 7.106394E-4 | 0.0014632189 | 7.0E-4 | 0.4783973 | 0.00176278 | 3.0E-4 | 0.008617763 | 0.01766407 | 0.009 | 0.50950885 | 0.021004012 | 0.0034 | 0.08291132 | 0.16125175 | 0.0981 | 0.6083655 | 0.18154946 | 0.0242 |
6.7 | 1.4224656E-4 | 3.087515E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.32388508 | 4.0872063E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.094856E-4 | 0.0013225579 | 5.0E-4 | 0.37805527 | 0.0016221611 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0073952693 | 0.015983172 | 0.0081 | 0.506783 | 0.01883682 | 0.0029 | 0.07153955 | 0.1469044 | 0.0894 | 0.608559 | 0.16541657 | 0.0217 |
6.8 | 1.2317259E-4 | 2.7882427E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.35864887 | 3.7879637E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.2777573E-4 | 0.00119442 | 5.0E-4 | 0.4186132 | 0.0014940618 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0064067547 | 0.014446496 | 0.0067 | 0.46378028 | 0.016811825 | 0.0024 | 0.06225166 | 0.13330324 | 0.0803 | 0.60238594 | 0.14951047 | 0.0187 |
6.9 | 9.859898E-5 | 2.508232E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.3986872 | 3.5079813E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.2249862E-4 | 0.001074518 | 5.0E-4 | 0.4653249 | 0.0013741957 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0051317946 | 0.013004753 | 0.0063 | 0.48443827 | 0.015274842 | 0.0023 | 0.05014893 | 0.11968495 | 0.0729 | 0.60909915 | 0.13429818 | 0.0166 |
7.0 | 7.3191884E-5 | 2.1317044E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.4691082 | 3.1314912E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.136418E-4 | 9.132709E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.54748267 | 0.0012129969 | 3.0E-4 | 0.003811904 | 0.011063075 | 0.005 | 0.45195395 | 0.012843161 | 0.0018 | 0.037471764 | 0.10227145 | 0.0616 | 0.6023186 | 0.11466011 | 0.0138 |
7.1 | 7.1760296E-5 | 2.1017724E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.47578892 | 3.1015623E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.0750787E-4 | 9.004518E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.5552768 | 0.0012001817 | 3.0E-4 | 0.003737482 | 0.010908575 | 0.005 | 0.458355 | 0.012688939 | 0.0018 | 0.03675245 | 0.10090546 | 0.0612 | 0.6065083 | 0.11322305 | 0.0137 |
7.2 | 6.46614E-5 | 1.9184423E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5212562 | 2.9182504E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.7709085E-4 | 8.219335E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.6083217 | 0.0011216869 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0033683628 | 0.009961749 | 0.0047 | 0.4718047 | 0.011446807 | 0.0015 | 0.033177625 | 0.09270755 | 0.0545 | 0.5878701 | 0.10350433 | 0.0119 |
7.3 | 6.088115E-5 | 1.7854004E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.56009847 | 2.7852217E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.6089314E-4 | 7.6495006E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.6536374 | 0.0010647206 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0031717476 | 0.009274075 | 0.0042 | 0.45287535 | 0.010760164 | 0.0015 | 0.031268585 | 0.086752206 | 0.05 | 0.5763542 | 0.09698059 | 0.0112 |
7.4 | 4.199346E-5 | 1.1545471E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.8661405 | 2.1544317E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.7995955E-4 | 4.9471296E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.60641223 | 6.94614E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0021888057 | 0.0060066665 | 0.0032 | 0.5327414 | 0.007298858 | 0.0013 | 0.02167372 | 0.05759545 | 0.0329 | 0.57122564 | 0.06485197 | 0.0077 |
7.5 | 3.130448E-5 | 8.362292E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1958444 | 1.8361455E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.3415517E-4 | 3.5833503E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.83720535 | 5.582634E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0016321153 | 0.004354062 | 0.002 | 0.4593412 | 0.0051505785 | 8.0E-4 | 0.016201803 | 0.04226402 | 0.0234 | 0.5536624 | 0.047244247 | 0.0052 |
7.6 | 2.3074248E-5 | 6.109197E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.6368763 | 1.6108586E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 9.888588E-5 | 2.6179658E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.1459279 | 4.617442E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0012032706 | 0.003182738 | 0.0015 | 0.47129232 | 0.00388051 | 7.0E-4 | 0.011967761 | 0.03113993 | 0.0173 | 0.5555568 | 0.0348216 | 0.0038 |
7.7 | 1.45864815E-5 | 4.032974E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.4795597 | 1.403257E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.2511994E-5 | 1.7283032E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.7358065 | 3.7279577E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 7.608177E-4 | 0.0021021839 | 0.0011 | 0.52326536 | 0.002601133 | 5.0E-4 | 0.007582182 | 0.020722158 | 0.011 | 0.5308327 | 0.023072425 | 0.0024 |
7.8 | 1.0352979E-5 | 3.1134772E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.211843 | 1.3113166E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.4369157E-5 | 1.3342792E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.4989365 | 2.3341458E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.400606E-4 | 0.001623277 | 9.0E-4 | 0.55443406 | 0.0020226277 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0053875 | 0.016097035 | 0.0088 | 0.54668456 | 0.01796645 | 0.0019 |
7.9 | 8.137906E-6 | 2.2288528E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.4866133 | 1.2228629E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.4876273E-5 | 9.551877E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0469147 | 1.9550922E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.2453592E-4 | 0.0011623215 | 8.0E-4 | 0.68827766 | 0.0015618566 | 4.0E-4 | 0.004237258 | 0.011683164 | 0.0063 | 0.5392375 | 0.013462135 | 0.0018 |
8.0 | 6.93792E-6 | 1.8128583E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 5.516151 | 1.1812677E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.9733603E-5 | 7.769162E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2871401 | 1.7768385E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.6194647E-4 | 9.454858E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.74036014 | 0.0013451076 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0036135751 | 0.009557875 | 0.0048 | 0.5022037 | 0.01084545 | 0.0013 |
8.1 | 3.4286315E-6 | 6.4352657E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 15.539374 | 1.0643462E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4694053E-5 | 2.757942E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.6258922 | 1.2757666E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.7888541E-4 | 3.3572782E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.89358103 | 5.3566066E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0017874148 | 0.0035136545 | 0.0015 | 0.42690593 | 0.0041115466 | 6.0E-4 |
8.2 | 1.4906886E-6 | 1.9581485E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 51.068653 | 1.0195795E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.3886496E-6 | 8.392038E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 11.916057 | 1.083912E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 7.7779034E-5 | 1.021683E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.97877717 | 2.0215809E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 7.775182E-4 | 0.0011185883 | 4.0E-4 | 0.3575936 | 0.0013183645 | 2.0E-4 |
8.3 | 2.5758007E-8 | 1.4715068E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4715068E-8 | 0.0 | 1.10391454E-7 | 6.3064576E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.3064576E-8 | 0.0 | 1.3440151E-6 | 7.6781123E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.6781123E-7 | 0.0 | 1.344007E-5 | 8.001273E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.001273E-6 | 0.0 |
Brawley (Seismic Zone) alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2521618E-4 | 4.7770946E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.83732903 | 5.776617E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 9.6485513E-4 | 0.0020457571 | 0.0017 | 0.8309882 | 0.0025447342 | 5.0E-4 | 0.011683988 | 0.024615502 | 0.015 | 0.6093721 | 0.029297348 | 0.0048 | 0.11088423 | 0.21397778 | 0.1548 | 0.7234396 | 0.24534008 | 0.0399 |
6.1 | 2.2521618E-4 | 4.7770946E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.6279968 | 5.776617E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 9.6485513E-4 | 0.0020457571 | 0.0014 | 0.6843432 | 0.0025447342 | 5.0E-4 | 0.011683988 | 0.024615502 | 0.0122 | 0.49562263 | 0.028809655 | 0.0043 | 0.11088423 | 0.21397778 | 0.1353 | 0.6323086 | 0.24196018 | 0.0356 |
6.2 | 2.198148E-4 | 4.685232E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.42687318 | 5.684764E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 9.417233E-4 | 0.0020064483 | 0.0013 | 0.6479111 | 0.0025054452 | 5.0E-4 | 0.011405343 | 0.024148071 | 0.0117 | 0.48451075 | 0.028149065 | 0.0041 | 0.10837428 | 0.21040754 | 0.1318 | 0.6264034 | 0.23701681 | 0.0337 |
6.3 | 2.1704129E-4 | 4.6287E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.43208677 | 5.628237E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 9.298453E-4 | 0.0019822572 | 0.0013 | 0.65581805 | 0.0024812662 | 5.0E-4 | 0.011262234 | 0.023861049 | 0.0117 | 0.49033886 | 0.02786322 | 0.0041 | 0.107082725 | 0.20829713 | 0.1306 | 0.62698895 | 0.23474 | 0.0334 |
6.4 | 1.876142E-4 | 4.0175187E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.4978197 | 5.017117E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 8.038131E-4 | 0.001720672 | 0.001 | 0.5811683 | 0.0020201558 | 3.0E-4 | 0.00974259 | 0.020744761 | 0.0102 | 0.49169037 | 0.024172155 | 0.0035 | 0.093263686 | 0.1850492 | 0.1135 | 0.6133504 | 0.20778634 | 0.0279 |
6.5 | 1.7390939E-4 | 3.7602396E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.2659405 | 4.7598637E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 7.45113E-4 | 0.0016105482 | 7.0E-4 | 0.4346346 | 0.0019100651 | 3.0E-4 | 0.009034078 | 0.019430682 | 0.0093 | 0.47862446 | 0.02266656 | 0.0033 | 0.086755216 | 0.1748626 | 0.1064 | 0.6084778 | 0.19623365 | 0.0259 |
6.6 | 1.591791E-4 | 3.5010767E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.2856264 | 4.5007266E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.8201777E-4 | 0.0014996089 | 7.0E-4 | 0.4667884 | 0.0017991589 | 3.0E-4 | 0.008271996 | 0.018105397 | 0.0091 | 0.50261253 | 0.02134565 | 0.0033 | 0.07970774 | 0.16425665 | 0.0997 | 0.606977 | 0.18439806 | 0.0241 |
6.7 | 1.4268003E-4 | 3.2168423E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.31086385 | 4.2165208E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.1134255E-4 | 0.0013779266 | 5.0E-4 | 0.36286402 | 0.0016775132 | 3.0E-4 | 0.007417723 | 0.016647182 | 0.0083 | 0.49858284 | 0.019498907 | 0.0029 | 0.07174956 | 0.15235497 | 0.0925 | 0.60713476 | 0.17108792 | 0.0221 |
6.8 | 1.239713E-4 | 2.9147213E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.34308597 | 3.91443E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.3119735E-4 | 0.0012485745 | 5.0E-4 | 0.40045667 | 0.0015481999 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0064481674 | 0.015096881 | 0.0069 | 0.45704803 | 0.01746065 | 0.0024 | 0.06264243 | 0.1387481 | 0.0833 | 0.60036856 | 0.15519801 | 0.0191 |
6.9 | 1.0180238E-4 | 2.6326656E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.37984315 | 3.6324022E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.3622297E-4 | 0.0011278017 | 5.0E-4 | 0.44334036 | 0.0014274634 | 3.0E-4 | 0.005298089 | 0.013645543 | 0.0065 | 0.47634602 | 0.015914159 | 0.0023 | 0.05173543 | 0.12525491 | 0.0758 | 0.60516584 | 0.14021306 | 0.0171 |
7.0 | 7.6619996E-5 | 2.2454008E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.4453548 | 3.2451763E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.283301E-4 | 9.619629E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.51977056 | 0.0012616743 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0039900932 | 0.011649718 | 0.0052 | 0.44636276 | 0.013428749 | 0.0018 | 0.039192066 | 0.10749045 | 0.0645 | 0.6000533 | 0.12025333 | 0.0143 |
7.1 | 7.5127435E-5 | 2.2136481E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.45174298 | 3.2134267E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.2193496E-4 | 9.483646E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.5272234 | 0.00124808 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0039125155 | 0.011485915 | 0.0052 | 0.4527284 | 0.01326524 | 0.0018 | 0.038443442 | 0.106051944 | 0.064 | 0.60347784 | 0.118746005 | 0.0142 |
7.2 | 6.788582E-5 | 2.0262353E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.4935261 | 3.0260326E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.9090676E-4 | 8.6810056E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.5759701 | 0.0011678402 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0035360386 | 0.010518548 | 0.0049 | 0.46584377 | 0.01200277 | 0.0015 | 0.034803 | 0.09771717 | 0.0571 | 0.58433944 | 0.10890548 | 0.0124 |
7.3 | 6.399602E-5 | 1.8891136E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5293488 | 2.8889248E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.7423984E-4 | 8.093718E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.61776304 | 0.001109129 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0033337586 | 0.009810171 | 0.0043 | 0.43832058 | 0.0112954555 | 0.0015 | 0.03284188 | 0.09160584 | 0.0525 | 0.57310754 | 0.10223406 | 0.0117 |
7.4 | 4.506759E-5 | 1.2568699E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.79562736 | 2.2567442E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.9313251E-4 | 5.3854816E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.5570532 | 7.384405E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0023488526 | 0.006537287 | 0.0033 | 0.50479656 | 0.007828789 | 0.0013 | 0.023241805 | 0.06253748 | 0.0353 | 0.5644615 | 0.070224665 | 0.0082 |
7.5 | 3.43289E-5 | 9.368794E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0673733 | 1.9367857E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4711556E-4 | 4.0145824E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.7472757 | 6.01378E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0017896603 | 0.0048768627 | 0.0021 | 0.4306047 | 0.005672961 | 8.0E-4 | 0.01775316 | 0.047205705 | 0.0258 | 0.5465441 | 0.052636635 | 0.0057 |
7.6 | 2.5980507E-5 | 7.0821734E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4119959 | 1.7081466E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1134028E-4 | 3.0348654E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.98851174 | 5.0342584E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.001354725 | 0.0036887128 | 0.0016 | 0.43375564 | 0.0043861307 | 7.0E-4 | 0.013464959 | 0.035973072 | 0.0198 | 0.5504117 | 0.04011839 | 0.0043 |
7.7 | 1.7292105E-5 | 4.9655337E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.0138822 | 1.4965037E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 7.4106916E-5 | 2.1279126E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.4098324 | 4.1274872E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 9.018782E-4 | 0.0025876614 | 0.0012 | 0.4637392 | 0.0030863676 | 5.0E-4 | 0.008982267 | 0.025403626 | 0.0132 | 0.5196108 | 0.028229957 | 0.0029 |
7.8 | 1.2927471E-5 | 3.990871E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.5057187 | 1.3990472E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.5402274E-5 | 1.7102613E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.1694119 | 2.7100902E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.743139E-4 | 0.0020802573 | 0.001 | 0.4807098 | 0.0024794252 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0067227143 | 0.020530317 | 0.0106 | 0.5163096 | 0.022685152 | 0.0022 |
7.9 | 1.0200774E-5 | 2.8919683E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.4578526 | 1.2891678E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.371687E-5 | 1.2393562E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.8068706 | 2.2392323E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.321229E-4 | 0.0015078728 | 8.0E-4 | 0.53054875 | 0.0019072696 | 4.0E-4 | 0.005308505 | 0.015072432 | 0.0073 | 0.4843279 | 0.016943796 | 0.0019 |
8.0 | 8.650396E-6 | 2.3426488E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.268672 | 1.2342415E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.70726E-5 | 1.0039538E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.9960618 | 2.0038534E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.5126543E-4 | 0.0012216292 | 7.0E-4 | 0.5730053 | 0.0016211405 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0045035016 | 0.01228076 | 0.0056 | 0.45599782 | 0.013564795 | 0.0013 |
8.1 | 3.9368224E-6 | 7.3916713E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 13.52874 | 1.0739093E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.6871985E-5 | 3.1678206E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.1567442 | 1.3167504E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.0539707E-4 | 3.8561405E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.77797997 | 5.8553694E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0020520731 | 0.004032899 | 0.0016 | 0.39673692 | 0.0046304795 | 6.0E-4 |
8.2 | 1.7101195E-6 | 2.2425388E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 44.592316 | 1.0224232E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 7.329063E-6 | 9.610846E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 10.404911 | 1.09609886E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 8.922769E-5 | 1.17005795E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.8546585 | 2.169941E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 8.9191867E-4 | 0.0012793662 | 4.0E-4 | 0.3126548 | 0.0014791103 | 2.0E-4 |
8.3 | 3.0346666E-8 | 1.7469624E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7469624E-8 | 0.0 | 1.3005713E-7 | 7.486982E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.486982E-8 | 0.0 | 1.5834444E-6 | 9.115399E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.115399E-7 | 0.0 | 1.5834332E-5 | 9.501729E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.501729E-6 | 0.0 |
Tank Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.8284557E-5 | 5.7987254E-5 | 3.0E-4 | 5.1735506 | 3.5796987E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 2.0691741E-4 | 2.4849697E-4 | 0.0015 | 6.036291 | 0.0017481243 | 0.0015 | 0.0025163088 | 0.0030219224 | 0.012 | 3.9709823 | 0.013290796 | 0.0103 | 0.02488006 | 0.029875208 | 0.0437 | 1.4627514 | 0.0585909 | 0.0296 |
6.1 | 1.7796336E-5 | 2.0880292E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 9.57841 | 2.2087611E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 7.626778E-5 | 8.948412E-5 | 5.0E-4 | 5.5875835 | 5.8943935E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 9.281647E-4 | 0.001088963 | 0.0043 | 3.948711 | 0.0045851516 | 0.0035 | 0.009242975 | 0.010840205 | 0.0164 | 1.5128865 | 0.021424215 | 0.0107 |
6.2 | 1.7796336E-5 | 2.0880292E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 9.57841 | 2.2087611E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 7.626778E-5 | 8.948412E-5 | 5.0E-4 | 5.5875835 | 5.8943935E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 9.281647E-4 | 0.001088963 | 0.0043 | 3.948711 | 0.0045851516 | 0.0035 | 0.009242975 | 0.010840205 | 0.0164 | 1.5128865 | 0.021424215 | 0.0107 |
6.3 | 1.3515912E-5 | 1.5764594E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 6.343329 | 1.1576302E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.792405E-5 | 6.7560926E-5 | 3.0E-4 | 4.4404364 | 3.6754066E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 7.049971E-4 | 8.222676E-4 | 0.0033 | 4.013292 | 0.0034201297 | 0.0026 | 0.007027647 | 0.008194706 | 0.0124 | 1.5131719 | 0.015831606 | 0.0077 |
6.4 | 1.0870146E-5 | 1.2621889E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 7.9227443 | 1.12620626E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.658551E-5 | 5.4092787E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 3.6973505 | 2.5408197E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 5.67031E-4 | 6.5839844E-4 | 0.0025 | 3.797093 | 0.0025571475 | 0.0019 | 0.005655863 | 0.00656633 | 0.0095 | 1.4467747 | 0.012526932 | 0.006 |
6.5 | 7.964826E-6 | 9.1987595E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 10.871031 | 1.0919784E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.4134522E-5 | 3.9422717E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 5.073217 | 2.3941483E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 4.1550855E-4 | 4.7987647E-4 | 0.0018 | 3.750965 | 0.0019791566 | 0.0015 | 0.0041473247 | 0.0047895485 | 0.0068 | 1.419758 | 0.009267996 | 0.0045 |
6.6 | 6.6317E-6 | 7.6143924E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 13.133024 | 1.0761363E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.8421264E-5 | 3.2632754E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 6.1288114 | 2.3262623E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 3.4597394E-4 | 3.9724045E-4 | 0.0015 | 3.7760506 | 0.001696724 | 0.0013 | 0.0034543579 | 0.0039663003 | 0.0054 | 1.3614703 | 0.0075520216 | 0.0036 |
6.7 | 4.793663E-6 | 5.4321117E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.4321117E-6 | 0.0 | 2.0544108E-5 | 2.3280296E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.295478 | 1.2327796E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.500958E-4 | 2.8340513E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 1.7642589 | 7.832634E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.0024981452 | 0.002830972 | 0.0025 | 0.8830889 | 0.0042270087 | 0.0014 |
6.8 | 4.382823E-6 | 4.970436E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.970436E-6 | 0.0 | 1.8783392E-5 | 2.1301717E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.694457 | 1.21299585E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.286638E-4 | 2.5932182E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.5424849 | 6.592181E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0022842865 | 0.002590703 | 0.0023 | 0.88778985 | 0.0038873353 | 0.0013 |
6.9 | 2.729601E-6 | 3.0742299E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0742299E-6 | 0.0 | 1.1698237E-5 | 1.3175211E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 7.5900106 | 1.131739E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4241673E-4 | 1.6039763E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.8703519 | 4.603495E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.001423255 | 0.001603092 | 0.0014 | 0.87331235 | 0.0026014887 | 0.001 |
7.0 | 1.8987357E-6 | 2.1273077E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1273077E-6 | 0.0 | 8.137413E-6 | 9.117005E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 10.968514 | 1.09116096E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 9.90685E-5 | 1.1099458E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.8018898 | 3.109724E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 9.902435E-4 | 0.0011094601 | 7.0E-4 | 0.6309375 | 0.0016089054 | 5.0E-4 |
7.1 | 1.4928986E-6 | 1.6644209E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6644209E-6 | 0.0 | 6.398121E-6 | 7.133216E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 14.018922 | 1.071325E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 7.789434E-5 | 8.684403E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.3029792 | 2.8682666E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 7.786704E-4 | 8.681589E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.80630404 | 0.0013677247 | 5.0E-4 |
7.2 | 1.069082E-6 | 1.18309E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.18309E-6 | 0.0 | 4.581772E-6 | 5.070379E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.070379E-6 | 0.0 | 5.5781646E-5 | 6.173065E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.173065E-5 | 0.0 | 5.576765E-4 | 6.171873E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.6481015 | 8.1706385E-4 | 2.0E-4 |
7.3 | 8.776551E-7 | 9.77203E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.77203E-7 | 0.0 | 3.7613736E-6 | 4.188009E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.188009E-6 | 0.0 | 4.579376E-5 | 5.0988336E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0988336E-5 | 0.0 | 4.5784327E-4 | 5.098174E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.78459466 | 7.097155E-4 | 2.0E-4 |
7.4 | 7.55721E-7 | 8.51098E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.51098E-7 | 0.0 | 3.2388E-6 | 3.6475606E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.6475606E-6 | 0.0 | 3.9431678E-5 | 4.440866E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.440866E-5 | 0.0 | 3.942468E-4 | 4.4404875E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.900802 | 6.439599E-4 | 2.0E-4 |
7.5 | 5.587665E-7 | 6.3061736E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.3061736E-7 | 0.0 | 2.3947114E-6 | 2.7026458E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7026458E-6 | 0.0 | 2.915522E-5 | 3.2904714E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2904714E-5 | 0.0 | 2.9151395E-4 | 3.2904715E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.2156312 | 5.289813E-4 | 2.0E-4 |
Hayward (So) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.8091932E-4 | 3.5765613E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.1183927 | 4.5762036E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 7.751381E-4 | 0.0015319216 | 0.0015 | 0.9791624 | 0.0020311556 | 5.0E-4 | 0.00939654 | 0.018494058 | 0.0124 | 0.6704856 | 0.022616383 | 0.0042 | 0.090090066 | 0.16695498 | 0.1163 | 0.69659495 | 0.19169642 | 0.0297 |
6.1 | 1.8091932E-4 | 3.5765613E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.1183927 | 4.5762036E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 7.751381E-4 | 0.0015319216 | 0.0015 | 0.9791624 | 0.0020311556 | 5.0E-4 | 0.00939654 | 0.018494058 | 0.0124 | 0.6704856 | 0.022616383 | 0.0042 | 0.090090066 | 0.16695498 | 0.1163 | 0.69659495 | 0.19169642 | 0.0297 |
6.2 | 1.8091932E-4 | 3.5765613E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.1183927 | 4.5762036E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 7.751381E-4 | 0.0015319216 | 0.0015 | 0.9791624 | 0.0020311556 | 5.0E-4 | 0.00939654 | 0.018494058 | 0.0124 | 0.6704856 | 0.022616383 | 0.0042 | 0.090090066 | 0.16695498 | 0.1163 | 0.69659495 | 0.19169642 | 0.0297 |
6.3 | 1.7322872E-4 | 3.4321143E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.1654624 | 4.4317712E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 7.4219756E-4 | 0.0014700866 | 0.0015 | 1.0203481 | 0.0019693517 | 5.0E-4 | 0.0089988755 | 0.017753698 | 0.0116 | 0.653385 | 0.021486234 | 0.0038 | 0.08643075 | 0.1608773 | 0.1116 | 0.6936964 | 0.18462448 | 0.0283 |
6.4 | 1.6334097E-4 | 3.2401126E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.234525 | 4.2397887E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.998449E-4 | 0.0013878894 | 0.0013 | 0.93667406 | 0.001687473 | 3.0E-4 | 0.008487372 | 0.016768651 | 0.0111 | 0.6619495 | 0.020111637 | 0.0034 | 0.081704415 | 0.15277977 | 0.1058 | 0.69250005 | 0.1748075 | 0.026 |
6.5 | 1.5600289E-4 | 3.1074387E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.2872337 | 4.1071282E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.684125E-4 | 0.0013310881 | 0.0013 | 0.9766446 | 0.0016306888 | 3.0E-4 | 0.008107598 | 0.016087472 | 0.0107 | 0.6651138 | 0.019235993 | 0.0032 | 0.078181036 | 0.1470464 | 0.1015 | 0.6902583 | 0.16768788 | 0.0242 |
6.6 | 1.4046066E-4 | 2.8085662E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.4242142 | 3.808285E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.018354E-4 | 0.0012031228 | 0.0012 | 0.99740446 | 0.0015027619 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0073027555 | 0.014551144 | 0.0093 | 0.639125 | 0.017310401 | 0.0028 | 0.07067384 | 0.13412571 | 0.0922 | 0.6874148 | 0.15352128 | 0.0224 |
6.7 | 1.14696966E-4 | 2.3318871E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.715349 | 3.331654E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.914658E-4 | 9.990025E-4 | 0.0012 | 1.2011982 | 0.0012987028 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0059671924 | 0.012096093 | 0.0081 | 0.66963774 | 0.014368271 | 0.0023 | 0.058094822 | 0.11294632 | 0.0764 | 0.67642754 | 0.12873587 | 0.0178 |
6.8 | 9.3874296E-5 | 1.8900879E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 2.1163037 | 2.889899E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.0225635E-4 | 8.0978987E-4 | 0.0011 | 1.3583771 | 0.001109547 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0048864787 | 0.0098153595 | 0.0068 | 0.6927917 | 0.011894748 | 0.0021 | 0.047804173 | 0.0927506 | 0.0615 | 0.6630685 | 0.10563354 | 0.0142 |
6.9 | 5.551852E-5 | 1.07537395E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 3.7196364 | 2.0752664E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.3791482E-4 | 4.6079376E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.5191178 | 6.607016E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0028927654 | 0.0055958517 | 0.0044 | 0.7862967 | 0.007087458 | 0.0015 | 0.028553981 | 0.054349884 | 0.0385 | 0.7083732 | 0.062009647 | 0.0081 |
7.0 | 4.2662363E-5 | 8.265846E-5 | 3.0E-4 | 3.6293929 | 1.8265018E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.8282588E-4 | 3.542028E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 1.6939447 | 5.54132E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0022236328 | 0.0043039657 | 0.0037 | 0.85967225 | 0.005399232 | 0.0011 | 0.022015138 | 0.0421553 | 0.0288 | 0.68318814 | 0.047615014 | 0.0057 |
7.1 | 3.305886E-5 | 6.3179745E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 3.1655717 | 1.6317342E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4167312E-4 | 2.7074234E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.4774195 | 4.706882E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0017235056 | 0.0032913245 | 0.0027 | 0.8203385 | 0.0040886914 | 8.0E-4 | 0.017101998 | 0.032528557 | 0.0213 | 0.6548093 | 0.0361082 | 0.0037 |
7.2 | 2.9856887E-5 | 5.7165485E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 3.4986145 | 1.5715977E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2795182E-4 | 2.4497203E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.6328394 | 4.4492303E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0015567001 | 0.0029784723 | 0.0023 | 0.772208 | 0.0037760893 | 8.0E-4 | 0.015458403 | 0.029525472 | 0.0189 | 0.6401253 | 0.032825086 | 0.0034 |
7.3 | 2.4559737E-5 | 4.611859E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.168323 | 1.4611398E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0525176E-4 | 1.976362E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0119604 | 3.9759668E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0012806869 | 0.0024035785 | 0.0019 | 0.79048806 | 0.0031018958 | 7.0E-4 | 0.012733313 | 0.023918502 | 0.0158 | 0.66057646 | 0.026944356 | 0.0031 |
7.4 | 1.9002231E-5 | 3.5155885E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.8444738 | 1.3515237E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 8.143559E-5 | 1.5065944E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.3274974 | 3.506293E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 9.910273E-4 | 0.0018327453 | 0.0019 | 1.0366962 | 0.0025314623 | 7.0E-4 | 0.009866194 | 0.018309457 | 0.0117 | 0.63901407 | 0.020763684 | 0.0025 |
7.5 | 1.2783333E-5 | 2.3410546E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.2715793 | 1.234082E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.4784563E-5 | 1.0032709E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.9934796 | 3.0030703E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 6.667979E-4 | 0.0012208037 | 0.0012 | 0.98295903 | 0.0018200711 | 6.0E-4 | 0.006648007 | 0.012249034 | 0.0075 | 0.6122932 | 0.01392821 | 0.0017 |
7.6 | 4.8149627E-6 | 8.922251E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.922251E-6 | 0.0 | 2.063539E-5 | 3.8237664E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.8237664E-5 | 0.0 | 2.5120692E-4 | 4.6544537E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.859392 | 4.6544537E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0025092314 | 0.0046974504 | 0.0022 | 0.46833915 | 0.0050955717 | 4.0E-4 |
7.7 | 6.0838227E-7 | 1.2142598E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2142598E-6 | 0.0 | 2.6073499E-6 | 5.20396E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.20396E-6 | 0.0 | 3.174402E-5 | 6.3356376E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.3356376E-5 | 0.0 | 3.1739488E-4 | 6.5709534E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.15218492 | 6.5709534E-4 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.5542808E-7 | 9.867612E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.867612E-7 | 0.0 | 1.9518332E-6 | 4.22897E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.22897E-6 | 0.0 | 2.376331E-5 | 5.148649E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.148649E-5 | 0.0 | 2.3760769E-4 | 5.357891E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.1866406 | 5.357891E-4 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 3.3016747E-7 | 7.442432E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.442432E-7 | 0.0 | 1.4150027E-6 | 3.1896097E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1896097E-6 | 0.0 | 1.7227521E-5 | 3.8832808E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.8832808E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7226185E-4 | 4.020222E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.24874248 | 4.020222E-4 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 2.347038E-7 | 5.5114964E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.5114964E-7 | 0.0 | 1.0058731E-6 | 2.3620678E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3620678E-6 | 0.0 | 1.2246436E-5 | 2.8757797E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8757797E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2245761E-4 | 2.9548028E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.33843207 | 2.9548028E-4 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.18822804E-7 | 2.6242208E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6242208E-7 | 0.0 | 5.092405E-7 | 1.1246656E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1246656E-6 | 0.0 | 6.1999854E-6 | 1.3692717E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3692717E-5 | 0.0 | 6.199812E-5 | 1.4007684E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4007684E-4 | 0.0 |
Laguna Salada
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.6465593E-5 | 4.6373963E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.1563826 | 4.6373963E-5 | 0.0 | 1.9912305E-4 | 1.9873051E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 2.51597 | 3.9869075E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0024216278 | 0.0024169385 | 0.007 | 2.896226 | 0.006806304 | 0.0044 | 0.02395408 | 0.024003977 | 0.0525 | 2.1871376 | 0.050941467 | 0.0276 |
6.1 | 3.982297E-5 | 3.7267266E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.7267266E-5 | 0.0 | 1.706587E-4 | 1.5970763E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.6261442 | 2.5969165E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0020757897 | 0.0019428025 | 0.0026 | 1.3382729 | 0.003539694 | 0.0016 | 0.020565065 | 0.019357445 | 0.0199 | 1.0280282 | 0.030046448 | 0.0109 |
6.2 | 3.6067784E-5 | 3.2620814E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2620814E-5 | 0.0 | 1.5456705E-4 | 1.3979647E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.71532565 | 2.3978249E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0018802295 | 0.0017007876 | 0.0021 | 1.2347221 | 0.0029985765 | 0.0013 | 0.018644003 | 0.016968282 | 0.0177 | 1.0431226 | 0.026601993 | 0.0098 |
6.3 | 3.2859112E-5 | 2.8864519E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8864519E-5 | 0.0 | 1.4081717E-4 | 1.2369965E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2369965E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0017131006 | 0.0015050957 | 0.0019 | 1.2623782 | 0.00260344 | 0.0011 | 0.016999546 | 0.015035219 | 0.0152 | 1.0109596 | 0.022717943 | 0.0078 |
6.4 | 2.9132116E-5 | 2.4865003E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4865003E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2484594E-4 | 1.0656044E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0656044E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0015189396 | 0.00129669 | 0.0016 | 1.233911 | 0.0022953933 | 0.001 | 0.015085992 | 0.012966283 | 0.0127 | 0.97946346 | 0.019382002 | 0.0065 |
6.5 | 2.7075037E-5 | 2.2836139E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2836139E-5 | 0.0 | 1.1603071E-4 | 9.786599E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.786599E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0014117584 | 0.0011909555 | 0.0014 | 1.1755267 | 0.0021897645 | 0.001 | 0.014028233 | 0.011916563 | 0.0118 | 0.9902184 | 0.01804268 | 0.0062 |
6.6 | 2.2367465E-5 | 1.8582496E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8582496E-5 | 0.0 | 9.5857045E-5 | 7.9637306E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.9637306E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0011664346 | 9.6923526E-4 | 0.001 | 1.0317413 | 0.0017684599 | 8.0E-4 | 0.011603311 | 0.009705469 | 0.0096 | 0.989133 | 0.014755972 | 0.0051 |
6.7 | 1.9458053E-5 | 1.592166E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.592166E-5 | 0.0 | 8.338899E-5 | 6.823435E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.823435E-5 | 0.0 | 0.001014788 | 8.3051703E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 0.9632554 | 0.0015299356 | 7.0E-4 | 0.010101665 | 0.008322222 | 0.0082 | 0.98531383 | 0.012586436 | 0.0043 |
6.8 | 1.0767866E-5 | 9.187752E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.187752E-6 | 0.0 | 4.614718E-5 | 3.9375875E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.9375875E-5 | 0.0 | 5.6169706E-4 | 4.7936453E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.417219 | 6.792687E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0056027942 | 0.0048108255 | 0.0043 | 0.89381754 | 0.0069007226 | 0.0021 |
6.9 | 2.1384765E-6 | 1.7916673E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7916673E-6 | 0.0 | 9.164866E-6 | 7.678554E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.678554E-6 | 0.0 | 1.1157654E-4 | 9.348277E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.348277E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0011152053 | 9.344727E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.10701222 | 9.344727E-4 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.0952946E-6 | 1.7496012E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7496012E-6 | 0.0 | 8.979802E-6 | 7.4982718E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.4982718E-6 | 0.0 | 1.0932361E-4 | 9.128802E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.128802E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010926984 | 9.1254344E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.109583825 | 9.1254344E-4 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.7887576E-6 | 1.4502972E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4502972E-6 | 0.0 | 7.666081E-6 | 6.2155464E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.2155464E-6 | 0.0 | 9.333054E-5 | 7.567195E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.567195E-5 | 0.0 | 9.329135E-4 | 7.5649226E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.13218905 | 7.5649226E-4 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 9.723109E-7 | 7.1374023E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.1374023E-7 | 0.0 | 4.16704E-6 | 3.058884E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.058884E-6 | 0.0 | 5.073253E-5 | 3.7241443E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.7241443E-5 | 0.0 | 5.072095E-4 | 3.7236826E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.26855135 | 3.7236826E-4 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Cholame) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2302514E-4 | 2.5353258E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.7888532 | 3.5350723E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.27144E-4 | 0.0010861174 | 5.0E-4 | 0.4603554 | 0.0012859001 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0063991086 | 0.013143817 | 0.0091 | 0.69234073 | 0.015413586 | 0.0023 | 0.06217949 | 0.12502015 | 0.0852 | 0.6814902 | 0.14619465 | 0.0242 |
6.1 | 1.2302514E-4 | 2.5353258E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.7888532 | 3.5350723E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.27144E-4 | 0.0010861174 | 5.0E-4 | 0.4603554 | 0.0012859001 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0063991086 | 0.013143817 | 0.0091 | 0.69234073 | 0.015413586 | 0.0023 | 0.06217949 | 0.12502015 | 0.0852 | 0.6814902 | 0.14619465 | 0.0242 |
6.2 | 1.2203569E-4 | 2.5169857E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.79460126 | 3.516734E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.2290526E-4 | 0.0010782639 | 5.0E-4 | 0.4637084 | 0.0012780481 | 2.0E-4 | 0.006347804 | 0.013049348 | 0.0088 | 0.67436314 | 0.015319335 | 0.0023 | 0.061695136 | 0.12420747 | 0.0844 | 0.67950827 | 0.14540164 | 0.0242 |
6.3 | 1.2142645E-4 | 2.5055723E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.7982208 | 3.5053218E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.202953E-4 | 0.0010733764 | 5.0E-4 | 0.4658198 | 0.0012731617 | 2.0E-4 | 0.006316212 | 0.012990556 | 0.0087 | 0.6697173 | 0.015260678 | 0.0023 | 0.06139677 | 0.123700656 | 0.084 | 0.6790586 | 0.14473185 | 0.024 |
6.4 | 1.1865206E-4 | 2.4560327E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.8143214 | 3.455787E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.0840975E-4 | 0.0010521624 | 5.0E-4 | 0.4752118 | 0.001251952 | 2.0E-4 | 0.006172335 | 0.01273532 | 0.0085 | 0.66743517 | 0.015006029 | 0.0023 | 0.060036868 | 0.121496946 | 0.0819 | 0.67409104 | 0.14205392 | 0.0234 |
6.5 | 1.17443946E-4 | 2.435299E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.8212544 | 3.4350556E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.032341E-4 | 0.0010432837 | 5.0E-4 | 0.47925603 | 0.001243075 | 2.0E-4 | 0.006109677 | 0.012628476 | 0.0085 | 0.673082 | 0.014899431 | 0.0023 | 0.059444077 | 0.12057233 | 0.0811 | 0.6726253 | 0.14079916 | 0.023 |
6.6 | 1.13579066E-4 | 2.3660231E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.84530026 | 3.3657867E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.866766E-4 | 0.0010136174 | 3.0E-4 | 0.29596967 | 0.001113516 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0059092017 | 0.012271411 | 0.0081 | 0.6600708 | 0.014444414 | 0.0022 | 0.057545185 | 0.117488034 | 0.0792 | 0.6741112 | 0.1372563 | 0.0224 |
6.7 | 1.1271412E-4 | 2.3504205E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.85091156 | 3.3501856E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.829711E-4 | 0.0010069357 | 3.0E-4 | 0.2979336 | 0.0011068351 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005864331 | 0.012190975 | 0.0081 | 0.6644259 | 0.014364155 | 0.0022 | 0.057119697 | 0.11678986 | 0.0785 | 0.6721474 | 0.13639712 | 0.0222 |
6.8 | 1.1217975E-4 | 2.3392268E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.8549833 | 3.3389928E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.8068175E-4 | 0.0010021421 | 3.0E-4 | 0.29935873 | 0.0011020419 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005836608 | 0.012133265 | 0.0081 | 0.6675862 | 0.014306571 | 0.0022 | 0.056856725 | 0.11628858 | 0.0781 | 0.67160505 | 0.13564186 | 0.0219 |
6.9 | 1.1146753E-4 | 2.3240627E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.86056197 | 3.3238303E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.7763053E-4 | 9.956482E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.30131125 | 0.0010955486 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0057996577 | 0.012055079 | 0.0081 | 0.67191595 | 0.014228558 | 0.0022 | 0.056506127 | 0.11560858 | 0.0774 | 0.66950047 | 0.13479987 | 0.0217 |
7.0 | 1.0965793E-4 | 2.2862821E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.8747827 | 3.2860535E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.698779E-4 | 9.794688E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.30628848 | 0.0010793708 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005705768 | 0.011860255 | 0.0081 | 0.68295324 | 0.014034163 | 0.0022 | 0.055614736 | 0.113908455 | 0.0765 | 0.67159194 | 0.13287081 | 0.0214 |
7.1 | 9.927982E-5 | 2.0676776E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.9672688 | 3.0674707E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.2541555E-4 | 8.858476E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.3386587 | 9.85759E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0051671406 | 0.010732157 | 0.0077 | 0.71746993 | 0.01280962 | 0.0021 | 0.05048634 | 0.10396924 | 0.0681 | 0.6550014 | 0.12072501 | 0.0187 |
7.2 | 9.696786E-5 | 2.0180116E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.99107456 | 3.0178096E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.1551032E-4 | 8.645765E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.3469907 | 9.6449E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.00504711 | 0.0104757 | 0.0074 | 0.7063967 | 0.012553701 | 0.0021 | 0.04934009 | 0.10170234 | 0.0661 | 0.6499359 | 0.11805136 | 0.0182 |
7.3 | 9.4727984E-5 | 1.9607002E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0200437 | 2.9605042E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.0591392E-4 | 8.400305E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.3571299 | 9.399465E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0049308087 | 0.010179684 | 0.0071 | 0.6974676 | 0.012159324 | 0.002 | 0.048228268 | 0.09906598 | 0.064 | 0.6460341 | 0.114652134 | 0.0173 |
7.4 | 9.220358E-5 | 1.8975048E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0540158 | 2.897315E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.9509835E-4 | 8.129638E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.3690201 | 9.1288256E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004799717 | 0.0098531665 | 0.0069 | 0.7002825 | 0.011734446 | 0.0019 | 0.046973653 | 0.09613071 | 0.0621 | 0.64599544 | 0.11131571 | 0.0168 |
7.5 | 7.71631E-5 | 1.5293561E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.30774 | 2.5292032E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.306571E-4 | 6.5527385E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.3052159 | 7.552083E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0040183207 | 0.007948848 | 0.0055 | 0.6919241 | 0.00953613 | 0.0016 | 0.03946433 | 0.07880516 | 0.049 | 0.62178665 | 0.0907807 | 0.013 |
7.6 | 7.5634416E-5 | 1.4951441E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.3376637 | 2.4949946E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.241072E-4 | 6.406189E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.3121981 | 7.405548E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0039388672 | 0.007771711 | 0.0054 | 0.6948277 | 0.009260054 | 0.0015 | 0.038697794 | 0.07716541 | 0.0484 | 0.627224 | 0.088977695 | 0.0128 |
7.7 | 6.3783E-5 | 1.2460953E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.6050137 | 2.2459707E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.7332708E-4 | 5.339316E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.37457982 | 6.3387817E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0033226798 | 0.0064812684 | 0.0042 | 0.6480213 | 0.007673491 | 0.0012 | 0.032734364 | 0.06501345 | 0.0397 | 0.61064285 | 0.07473731 | 0.0104 |
7.8 | 5.863422E-5 | 1.150899E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.737772 | 2.1507838E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.512653E-4 | 4.931492E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.40555677 | 5.930999E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.003054864 | 0.005987584 | 0.0038 | 0.6346466 | 0.007080998 | 0.0011 | 0.030132094 | 0.060091686 | 0.037 | 0.61572576 | 0.069020815 | 0.0095 |
7.9 | 4.595283E-5 | 8.494302E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.3545196 | 1.8493453E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.9692584E-4 | 3.6399075E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.5494645 | 4.6395435E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0023949358 | 0.004422589 | 0.0027 | 0.6105021 | 0.005119493 | 7.0E-4 | 0.023692891 | 0.044683352 | 0.0262 | 0.5863481 | 0.050606318 | 0.0062 |
8.0 | 3.2950178E-5 | 5.119775E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 3.906422 | 1.5119262E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.412074E-4 | 2.1940048E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.9115751 | 3.1937854E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0017178444 | 0.0026679304 | 0.0013 | 0.4872691 | 0.0030668632 | 4.0E-4 | 0.017046256 | 0.027389893 | 0.0151 | 0.55129826 | 0.030502247 | 0.0032 |
8.1 | 1.9177472E-5 | 1.9395513E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 10.311663 | 1.19393575E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 8.218658E-5 | 8.312098E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.4061313 | 1.8311267E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0010001622 | 0.0010115288 | 6.0E-4 | 0.5931616 | 0.0012113265 | 2.0E-4 | 0.009956728 | 0.010868762 | 0.0055 | 0.5060374 | 0.012055719 | 0.0012 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.5536157E-6 | 2.0E-4 | 36.012573 | 1.0555306E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3800994E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 8.40301 | 1.2379861E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8973864E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.6902773 | 3.8970966E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0032917638 | 0.0013 | 0.39492503 | 0.0036904472 | 4.0E-4 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.7872784E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.7872784E-7 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.3374008E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3374008E-6 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.0632116E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0632116E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.792776E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.20864734 | 4.792776E-4 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Offshore) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.7072787E-4 | 1.931722E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.51767284 | 1.931722E-4 | 0.0 | 7.3148566E-4 | 8.276206E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 0.96662647 | 0.0013272068 | 5.0E-4 | 0.008869528 | 0.010030246 | 0.0079 | 0.78761774 | 0.012802161 | 0.0028 | 0.085237645 | 0.09722937 | 0.0675 | 0.69423467 | 0.11853476 | 0.0236 |
6.1 | 1.7072787E-4 | 1.931722E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.51767284 | 1.931722E-4 | 0.0 | 7.3148566E-4 | 8.276206E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 0.96662647 | 0.0013272068 | 5.0E-4 | 0.008869528 | 0.010030246 | 0.0079 | 0.78761774 | 0.012802161 | 0.0028 | 0.085237645 | 0.09722937 | 0.0675 | 0.69423467 | 0.11853476 | 0.0236 |
6.2 | 1.6312556E-4 | 1.849565E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.54066765 | 1.849565E-4 | 0.0 | 6.989222E-4 | 7.9243234E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 1.0095499 | 0.0012920361 | 5.0E-4 | 0.008476226 | 0.009605687 | 0.0077 | 0.80160844 | 0.012279752 | 0.0027 | 0.08160117 | 0.0932325 | 0.0649 | 0.6961092 | 0.114088155 | 0.023 |
6.3 | 1.5103363E-4 | 1.6963574E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5894984 | 1.6963574E-4 | 0.0 | 6.471264E-4 | 7.2680996E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 1.1007004 | 0.0012264466 | 5.0E-4 | 0.007850339 | 0.008813457 | 0.0074 | 0.8396252 | 0.0114896605 | 0.0027 | 0.075787395 | 0.08585153 | 0.0594 | 0.6918922 | 0.10559713 | 0.0216 |
6.4 | 1.5047993E-4 | 1.6849337E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5934952 | 1.6849337E-4 | 0.0 | 6.4475456E-4 | 7.219168E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 1.108161 | 0.0012215559 | 5.0E-4 | 0.007821669 | 0.0087543605 | 0.0074 | 0.845293 | 0.0114307245 | 0.0027 | 0.0755203 | 0.085331134 | 0.059 | 0.6914241 | 0.10499652 | 0.0215 |
6.5 | 1.2760791E-4 | 1.3808094E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.7242129 | 1.3808094E-4 | 0.0 | 5.467764E-4 | 5.9164263E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 1.0141257 | 8.9146517E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0066367025 | 0.007179735 | 0.0063 | 0.87746966 | 0.0091653755 | 0.002 | 0.064419635 | 0.07060439 | 0.0495 | 0.7010895 | 0.087426454 | 0.0181 |
6.6 | 1.1063525E-4 | 1.16224124E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.16224124E-4 | 0.0 | 4.740649E-4 | 4.980094E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.80319774 | 6.979098E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0057564764 | 0.006046612 | 0.0048 | 0.79383296 | 0.0076369373 | 0.0016 | 0.05609626 | 0.059807096 | 0.0411 | 0.6872094 | 0.07390999 | 0.015 |
6.7 | 1.0391049E-4 | 1.0709033E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0709033E-4 | 0.0 | 4.4525467E-4 | 4.5887884E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.8716898 | 6.5878703E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0054075094 | 0.0055727283 | 0.0045 | 0.80750394 | 0.0069649266 | 0.0014 | 0.052778035 | 0.05528944 | 0.0372 | 0.6728229 | 0.067476206 | 0.0129 |
6.8 | 1.0096706E-4 | 1.0219972E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0219972E-4 | 0.0 | 4.3264418E-4 | 4.3792624E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.9133958 | 6.378387E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0052547283 | 0.005318897 | 0.0043 | 0.8084383 | 0.0067114504 | 0.0014 | 0.051321987 | 0.05298314 | 0.0353 | 0.6662497 | 0.06472615 | 0.0124 |
6.9 | 9.800265E-5 | 9.6493844E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.6493844E-5 | 0.0 | 4.1994374E-4 | 4.1348045E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.48369882 | 4.1348045E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0051008356 | 0.005022675 | 0.0039 | 0.77647865 | 0.00611715 | 0.0011 | 0.049853306 | 0.05030631 | 0.033 | 0.65598136 | 0.060942877 | 0.0112 |
7.0 | 9.4642375E-5 | 9.061357E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.061357E-5 | 0.0 | 4.0554712E-4 | 3.8828698E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.51508296 | 3.8828698E-4 | 0.0 | 0.004926363 | 0.0047173114 | 0.0037 | 0.7843451 | 0.005613066 | 9.0E-4 | 0.048185747 | 0.047482535 | 0.031 | 0.6528716 | 0.057293463 | 0.0103 |
7.1 | 9.0996844E-5 | 8.411894E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.411894E-5 | 0.0 | 3.8992817E-4 | 3.6046078E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.2774227 | 3.6046078E-4 | 0.0 | 0.004737046 | 0.0043799374 | 0.0032 | 0.730604 | 0.0052759955 | 9.0E-4 | 0.04637333 | 0.04432635 | 0.0292 | 0.6587504 | 0.053883087 | 0.01 |
7.2 | 8.848287E-5 | 8.038044E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.038044E-5 | 0.0 | 3.791572E-4 | 3.44443E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.2903238 | 3.44443E-4 | 0.0 | 0.004606472 | 0.004185686 | 0.003 | 0.71672845 | 0.0050819186 | 9.0E-4 | 0.045121472 | 0.04246427 | 0.0276 | 0.64995813 | 0.051369354 | 0.0093 |
7.3 | 7.9280784E-5 | 6.173059E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.173059E-5 | 0.0 | 3.3973053E-4 | 2.6453342E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.37802404 | 2.6453342E-4 | 0.0 | 0.004128377 | 0.003216042 | 0.0021 | 0.6529766 | 0.003913791 | 7.0E-4 | 0.040525194 | 0.033132788 | 0.0214 | 0.6458859 | 0.040287606 | 0.0074 |
7.4 | 6.468038E-5 | 3.823813E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.823813E-5 | 0.0 | 2.771722E-4 | 1.6386773E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.61024827 | 1.6386773E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0033693502 | 0.0019933227 | 0.0014 | 0.7023449 | 0.0023925253 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0331872 | 0.02098371 | 0.0125 | 0.59570014 | 0.025291383 | 0.0044 |
7.5 | 4.930574E-5 | 1.2845645E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2845645E-5 | 0.0 | 2.1129321E-4 | 5.505161E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.8164773 | 5.505161E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0025694598 | 6.700489E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.5969714 | 6.700489E-4 | 0.0 | 0.02539953 | 0.0075664837 | 0.004 | 0.5286472 | 0.00865816 | 0.0011 |
7.6 | 4.612566E-5 | 1.0463181E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0463181E-5 | 0.0 | 1.9766642E-4 | 4.484144E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.484144E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0024039324 | 5.4580916E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.5496427 | 5.4580916E-4 | 0.0 | 0.023780935 | 0.0062489733 | 0.003 | 0.48007885 | 0.006944599 | 7.0E-4 |
7.7 | 3.9435414E-5 | 5.6729614E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.6729614E-6 | 0.0 | 1.6899795E-4 | 2.4312465E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4312465E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0020556084 | 2.9596424E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9596424E-4 | 0.0 | 0.020366974 | 0.003602467 | 0.0015 | 0.41638133 | 0.004001026 | 4.0E-4 |
7.8 | 2.7787428E-5 | 3.8256385E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.8256385E-6 | 0.0 | 1.1908354E-4 | 1.639549E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.639549E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0014488777 | 1.9959683E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9959683E-4 | 0.0 | 0.014394675 | 0.0024306213 | 0.0014 | 0.5759844 | 0.002729892 | 3.0E-4 |
7.9 | 1.590671E-5 | 3.0961621E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0961621E-6 | 0.0 | 6.816983E-5 | 1.32691985E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.32691985E-5 | 0.0 | 8.2965166E-4 | 1.6154055E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6154055E-4 | 0.0 | 0.008265611 | 0.0019372021 | 9.0E-4 | 0.46458757 | 0.002236621 | 3.0E-4 |
8.0 | 9.193638E-6 | 2.6383473E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6383473E-6 | 0.0 | 3.940071E-5 | 1.1307154E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1307154E-5 | 0.0 | 4.7959806E-4 | 1.3765592E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3765592E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0047856434 | 0.0016384409 | 5.0E-4 | 0.30516815 | 0.0018381132 | 2.0E-4 |
8.1 | 5.601576E-6 | 2.276788E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.276788E-6 | 0.0 | 2.4006533E-5 | 9.757627E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.757627E-6 | 0.0 | 2.9224035E-4 | 1.1879266E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1879266E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0029185633 | 0.0014266082 | 5.0E-4 | 0.35048166 | 0.0016263229 | 2.0E-4 |
8.2 | 4.3508785E-6 | 1.8911306E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8911306E-6 | 0.0 | 1.864649E-5 | 8.10482E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.10482E-6 | 0.0 | 2.2699735E-4 | 9.867175E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.867175E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0022676561 | 0.001178614 | 3.0E-4 | 0.25453627 | 0.0012784961 | 1.0E-4 |
8.3 | 1.9573292E-6 | 7.640128E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.640128E-7 | 0.0 | 8.388526E-6 | 3.2743364E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2743364E-6 | 0.0 | 1.0212552E-4 | 3.9864335E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.9864335E-5 | 0.0 | 0.001020786 | 4.712801E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.21218804 | 4.712801E-4 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (San Bernardino N)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.4273766E-4 | 3.1718667E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.63054353 | 4.1715495E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.115894E-4 | 0.0013586691 | 6.0E-4 | 0.4416086 | 0.0014585333 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0074207084 | 0.016417839 | 0.0102 | 0.6212755 | 0.018975152 | 0.0026 | 0.07177748 | 0.15071979 | 0.0928 | 0.6157121 | 0.1688944 | 0.0214 |
6.1 | 1.4273766E-4 | 3.1718667E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.63054353 | 4.1715495E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.115894E-4 | 0.0013586691 | 6.0E-4 | 0.4416086 | 0.0014585333 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0074207084 | 0.016417839 | 0.0102 | 0.6212755 | 0.018975152 | 0.0026 | 0.07177748 | 0.15071979 | 0.0928 | 0.6157121 | 0.1688944 | 0.0214 |
6.2 | 1.4273766E-4 | 3.1718667E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.63054353 | 4.1715495E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.115894E-4 | 0.0013586691 | 6.0E-4 | 0.4416086 | 0.0014585333 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0074207084 | 0.016417839 | 0.0102 | 0.6212755 | 0.018975152 | 0.0026 | 0.07177748 | 0.15071979 | 0.0928 | 0.6157121 | 0.1688944 | 0.0214 |
6.3 | 1.3730655E-4 | 3.0623007E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.6531037 | 4.0619946E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.883239E-4 | 0.0013117602 | 6.0E-4 | 0.45740068 | 0.001411629 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0071393442 | 0.015855137 | 0.0102 | 0.6433246 | 0.018413913 | 0.0026 | 0.06914291 | 0.14600654 | 0.0901 | 0.61709565 | 0.1635134 | 0.0205 |
6.4 | 1.3730655E-4 | 3.0623007E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.6531037 | 4.0619946E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.883239E-4 | 0.0013117602 | 6.0E-4 | 0.45740068 | 0.001411629 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0071393442 | 0.015855137 | 0.0102 | 0.6433246 | 0.018413913 | 0.0026 | 0.06914291 | 0.14600654 | 0.0901 | 0.61709565 | 0.1635134 | 0.0205 |
6.5 | 1.2942807E-4 | 2.9036644E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.68878484 | 3.903374E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.545738E-4 | 0.0012438393 | 6.0E-4 | 0.48237744 | 0.0013437149 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0067310524 | 0.015039843 | 0.0097 | 0.64495355 | 0.017502243 | 0.0025 | 0.06530788 | 0.13913164 | 0.0869 | 0.6245884 | 0.15643509 | 0.0201 |
6.6 | 1.1125901E-4 | 2.5473273E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.78513664 | 3.5470724E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.767372E-4 | 0.0010912572 | 6.0E-4 | 0.54982454 | 0.0011911482 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005788839 | 0.013205757 | 0.0092 | 0.6966658 | 0.015672743 | 0.0025 | 0.056403454 | 0.12344817 | 0.0801 | 0.64885527 | 0.14036563 | 0.0193 |
6.7 | 1.02209575E-4 | 2.3607444E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.84719044 | 3.3605084E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.3796748E-4 | 0.0010113567 | 5.0E-4 | 0.49438542 | 0.0011112556 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0053192247 | 0.012244175 | 0.0086 | 0.7023748 | 0.014417238 | 0.0022 | 0.051936906 | 0.115236945 | 0.0741 | 0.64302295 | 0.13125116 | 0.0181 |
6.8 | 9.610582E-5 | 2.2131765E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.90367854 | 3.2129552E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.1181705E-4 | 9.4816013E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.42186967 | 0.0010480653 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0050023515 | 0.0114830155 | 0.0081 | 0.7053896 | 0.013460049 | 0.002 | 0.048912346 | 0.10864592 | 0.0697 | 0.6415335 | 0.124155484 | 0.0174 |
6.9 | 9.3877505E-5 | 2.158682E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.92649126 | 3.158466E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.0227012E-4 | 9.2482206E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.43251562 | 0.0010247296 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0048866454 | 0.011201826 | 0.0078 | 0.69631505 | 0.0129816625 | 0.0018 | 0.04780577 | 0.106241345 | 0.0678 | 0.63816965 | 0.12134587 | 0.0169 |
7.0 | 9.1019785E-5 | 2.0913074E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.95633954 | 3.0910983E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.900265E-4 | 8.9596736E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.44644484 | 9.958778E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0047382377 | 0.01085407 | 0.0078 | 0.7186245 | 0.0126345325 | 0.0018 | 0.046384744 | 0.103202306 | 0.0661 | 0.6404896 | 0.11773043 | 0.0162 |
7.1 | 8.771155E-5 | 2.0086822E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.99567765 | 3.0084813E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.758525E-4 | 8.605803E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.46480265 | 9.604943E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0045664064 | 0.010427429 | 0.0075 | 0.7192569 | 0.01220866 | 0.0018 | 0.044737056 | 0.09951838 | 0.0634 | 0.6370682 | 0.11356589 | 0.0156 |
7.2 | 8.0830236E-5 | 1.8490726E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0816233 | 2.8488875E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.4636928E-4 | 7.922191E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.3786831 | 8.921399E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0042088944 | 0.00960272 | 0.0067 | 0.697719 | 0.011286395 | 0.0017 | 0.041300658 | 0.092239186 | 0.059 | 0.6396414 | 0.10531094 | 0.0144 |
7.3 | 7.7668235E-5 | 1.7432451E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.1472857 | 2.7430707E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.328214E-4 | 7.468912E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.40166494 | 8.468165E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0040445733 | 0.009055566 | 0.0062 | 0.68466175 | 0.0106410775 | 0.0016 | 0.03971748 | 0.08750436 | 0.0545 | 0.62282616 | 0.09954929 | 0.0132 |
7.4 | 7.520177E-5 | 1.6651141E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.201119 | 2.6649475E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.2225347E-4 | 7.134252E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.4205066 | 8.1335386E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0039163795 | 0.008651427 | 0.0057 | 0.65885085 | 0.010039315 | 0.0014 | 0.038480744 | 0.08396015 | 0.0524 | 0.6241056 | 0.095135845 | 0.0122 |
7.5 | 7.274697E-5 | 1.5937503E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.2549018 | 2.593591E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.1173544E-4 | 6.828571E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.43933058 | 7.827888E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.003788775 | 0.008282151 | 0.0054 | 0.65200454 | 0.009571385 | 0.0013 | 0.03724827 | 0.08067502 | 0.0501 | 0.62101007 | 0.09161499 | 0.0119 |
7.6 | 7.1185845E-5 | 1.5506543E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.2897782 | 2.550499E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.0504653E-4 | 6.643969E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.45153734 | 7.6433044E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0037076178 | 0.0080590835 | 0.0052 | 0.64523464 | 0.009348607 | 0.0013 | 0.036463667 | 0.07866204 | 0.0488 | 0.62037545 | 0.08925743 | 0.0115 |
7.7 | 6.709961E-5 | 1.4413072E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.3876292 | 2.4411631E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.8753807E-4 | 6.175569E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.4857852 | 7.1749516E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.003495157 | 0.0074928743 | 0.0051 | 0.68064666 | 0.008783134 | 0.0013 | 0.034406938 | 0.073482595 | 0.0457 | 0.621916 | 0.08339633 | 0.0107 |
7.8 | 6.300812E-5 | 1.3292296E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.504631 | 2.3290966E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.7000686E-4 | 5.695455E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.52673584 | 6.694885E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0032823787 | 0.0069121984 | 0.0048 | 0.6944245 | 0.008103904 | 0.0012 | 0.032343175 | 0.068121836 | 0.042 | 0.6165424 | 0.07716106 | 0.0097 |
7.9 | 4.983037E-5 | 9.794547E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.0419526 | 1.9793567E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.1354125E-4 | 4.1969877E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.47653225 | 5.196568E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0025967648 | 0.005097871 | 0.0034 | 0.6669451 | 0.005993283 | 9.0E-4 | 0.025666296 | 0.05098043 | 0.0319 | 0.62573034 | 0.05819298 | 0.0076 |
8.0 | 3.2211527E-5 | 5.3722746E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 3.722818 | 1.5371737E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.380421E-4 | 2.3022003E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.8687341 | 3.30197E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0016793669 | 0.002799328 | 0.0015 | 0.5358429 | 0.0031982083 | 4.0E-4 | 0.016667323 | 0.02856583 | 0.0161 | 0.56361043 | 0.031965848 | 0.0035 |
8.1 | 1.743376E-5 | 1.901976E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 10.51538 | 1.1901786E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 7.471398E-5 | 8.151071E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.453665 | 1.8150256E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 9.0926304E-4 | 9.919418E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.70568657 | 0.0011917434 | 2.0E-4 | 0.009055517 | 0.010585882 | 0.0057 | 0.53845304 | 0.01187212 | 0.0013 |
8.2 | 7.831616E-6 | 5.2270884E-6 | 2.0E-4 | 38.26222 | 1.05226565E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.3563636E-5 | 2.2401617E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 8.927927 | 1.2239937E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.0856065E-4 | 2.7270563E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.7333915 | 3.7267836E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004078103 | 0.0030809694 | 0.0013 | 0.4219451 | 0.003479737 | 4.0E-4 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.7872784E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.7872784E-7 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.3374008E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3374008E-6 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.0632116E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0632116E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.792776E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.20864734 | 4.792776E-4 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Carrizo) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4470224E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.81731987 | 3.4467777E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.001048304 | 3.0E-4 | 0.28617653 | 0.0011481992 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006073493 | 0.012688899 | 0.0082 | 0.6462341 | 0.014860984 | 0.0022 | 0.0591016 | 0.121248126 | 0.0799 | 0.65897924 | 0.14084429 | 0.0223 |
6.1 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4470224E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.81731987 | 3.4467777E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.001048304 | 3.0E-4 | 0.28617653 | 0.0011481992 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006073493 | 0.012688899 | 0.0082 | 0.6462341 | 0.014860984 | 0.0022 | 0.0591016 | 0.121248126 | 0.0799 | 0.65897924 | 0.14084429 | 0.0223 |
6.2 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4470224E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.81731987 | 3.4467777E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.001048304 | 3.0E-4 | 0.28617653 | 0.0011481992 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006073493 | 0.012688899 | 0.0082 | 0.6462341 | 0.014860984 | 0.0022 | 0.0591016 | 0.121248126 | 0.0799 | 0.65897924 | 0.14084429 | 0.0223 |
6.3 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4470224E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.81731987 | 3.4467777E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.001048304 | 3.0E-4 | 0.28617653 | 0.0011481992 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006073493 | 0.012688899 | 0.0082 | 0.6462341 | 0.014860984 | 0.0022 | 0.0591016 | 0.121248126 | 0.0799 | 0.65897924 | 0.14084429 | 0.0223 |
6.4 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4470224E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.81731987 | 3.4467777E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.001048304 | 3.0E-4 | 0.28617653 | 0.0011481992 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006073493 | 0.012688899 | 0.0082 | 0.6462341 | 0.014860984 | 0.0022 | 0.0591016 | 0.121248126 | 0.0799 | 0.65897924 | 0.14084429 | 0.0223 |
6.5 | 1.13136164E-4 | 2.378953E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.84070593 | 3.3787152E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.847792E-4 | 0.0010191546 | 3.0E-4 | 0.29436165 | 0.0011190526 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0058862255 | 0.012338066 | 0.0082 | 0.6646099 | 0.014510921 | 0.0022 | 0.057327334 | 0.11822496 | 0.0778 | 0.65806746 | 0.13744766 | 0.0218 |
6.6 | 1.13136164E-4 | 2.378953E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.84070593 | 3.3787152E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.847792E-4 | 0.0010191546 | 3.0E-4 | 0.29436165 | 0.0011190526 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0058862255 | 0.012338066 | 0.0082 | 0.6646099 | 0.014510921 | 0.0022 | 0.057327334 | 0.11822496 | 0.0778 | 0.65806746 | 0.13744766 | 0.0218 |
6.7 | 1.1149675E-4 | 2.348044E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.8517728 | 3.3478093E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.777557E-4 | 0.001005918 | 3.0E-4 | 0.29823503 | 0.0011058174 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0058011734 | 0.012178721 | 0.0082 | 0.6733055 | 0.014351928 | 0.0022 | 0.05652051 | 0.1168465 | 0.0769 | 0.6581284 | 0.13565767 | 0.0213 |
6.8 | 1.1103589E-4 | 2.3382419E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.85534346 | 3.3380082E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.7578133E-4 | 0.0010017203 | 3.0E-4 | 0.2994848 | 0.0011016201 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005777263 | 0.012128185 | 0.0082 | 0.6761111 | 0.014301502 | 0.0022 | 0.056293584 | 0.11640763 | 0.0767 | 0.6588915 | 0.1351398 | 0.0212 |
6.9 | 1.1053259E-4 | 2.327461E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.8593055 | 3.3272282E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.7362508E-4 | 9.971034E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.3008715 | 0.0010970037 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0057511497 | 0.012072598 | 0.0082 | 0.67922413 | 0.014246038 | 0.0022 | 0.05604569 | 0.1159236 | 0.0762 | 0.6573295 | 0.13448921 | 0.021 |
7.0 | 1.1005377E-4 | 2.3175264E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.86298907 | 3.3172948E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.7157376E-4 | 9.92849E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.30216074 | 0.0010927498 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0057263062 | 0.012021373 | 0.0082 | 0.6821184 | 0.014194926 | 0.0022 | 0.055809796 | 0.11547625 | 0.0758 | 0.656412 | 0.13387434 | 0.0208 |
7.1 | 1.0308142E-4 | 2.1682428E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.92240596 | 3.168026E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.417027E-4 | 9.28917E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.3229567 | 0.0010288241 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0053644776 | 0.011251237 | 0.0079 | 0.702145 | 0.013426485 | 0.0022 | 0.052368138 | 0.10871285 | 0.0715 | 0.6576959 | 0.12582557 | 0.0192 |
7.2 | 1.0027479E-4 | 2.1089287E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.9483488 | 3.1087178E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.296783E-4 | 9.0351456E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.3320367 | 0.0010034242 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0052187922 | 0.010945109 | 0.0076 | 0.6943741 | 0.013121029 | 0.0022 | 0.050979212 | 0.10600912 | 0.0692 | 0.65277404 | 0.122637354 | 0.0186 |
7.3 | 9.816942E-5 | 2.0562547E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.9726422 | 3.0560492E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.2065824E-4 | 8.8095537E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.3405394 | 9.808673E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005109493 | 0.010673174 | 0.0073 | 0.68395776 | 0.012750761 | 0.0021 | 0.049935985 | 0.10358724 | 0.0673 | 0.64969397 | 0.11954338 | 0.0178 |
7.4 | 9.5634205E-5 | 1.9929527E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0035361 | 2.9927533E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.0979648E-4 | 8.538439E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.35135227 | 9.5375854E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0049778637 | 0.010346266 | 0.0071 | 0.68623793 | 0.012325574 | 0.002 | 0.048678253 | 0.100660495 | 0.0653 | 0.64871526 | 0.116219066 | 0.0173 |
7.5 | 8.052417E-5 | 1.6233712E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.232004 | 2.623209E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.4505792E-4 | 6.9554517E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.28754422 | 7.954756E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0041929903 | 0.008435464 | 0.0058 | 0.68757325 | 0.010220281 | 0.0018 | 0.04114753 | 0.08335199 | 0.0522 | 0.6262598 | 0.0958184 | 0.0136 |
7.6 | 7.897024E-5 | 1.5885358E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.259021 | 2.5883768E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.384E-4 | 6.806236E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.2938482 | 7.8055554E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0041122385 | 0.008255185 | 0.0057 | 0.6904751 | 0.009941151 | 0.0017 | 0.040369697 | 0.08169014 | 0.0516 | 0.63165516 | 0.0939955 | 0.0134 |
7.7 | 6.707427E-5 | 1.3383802E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.4943436 | 2.3382464E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.8742946E-4 | 5.734655E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.34875682 | 6.7340815E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.003493839 | 0.0069596246 | 0.0045 | 0.6465866 | 0.008349881 | 0.0014 | 0.034394164 | 0.06954329 | 0.0428 | 0.615444 | 0.07977831 | 0.011 |
7.8 | 6.147705E-5 | 1.2294934E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.6266863 | 2.2293703E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.6344648E-4 | 5.268193E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.3796368 | 6.2676665E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0032027436 | 0.0063951877 | 0.004 | 0.6254703 | 0.0075875134 | 0.0012 | 0.031569764 | 0.063965194 | 0.0393 | 0.61439663 | 0.073138334 | 0.0098 |
7.9 | 4.7636717E-5 | 8.950161E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.2345967 | 1.8949267E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.0414138E-4 | 3.8352195E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.5214825 | 4.834836E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0024825884 | 0.0046593905 | 0.0027 | 0.5794749 | 0.0053561293 | 7.0E-4 | 0.024550365 | 0.04695969 | 0.0277 | 0.5898676 | 0.05296384 | 0.0063 |
8.0 | 3.3554235E-5 | 5.2569692E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 3.8044734 | 1.5256443E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4379594E-4 | 2.2527923E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.8877871 | 3.252567E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0017493097 | 0.0027393268 | 0.0013 | 0.47456917 | 0.0031382309 | 4.0E-4 | 0.017356034 | 0.028094308 | 0.0155 | 0.55171317 | 0.031204408 | 0.0032 |
8.1 | 1.9175432E-5 | 1.939534E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 10.311755 | 1.193934E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 8.217783E-5 | 8.312024E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.4061527 | 1.8311193E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0010000558 | 0.0010115198 | 6.0E-4 | 0.5931669 | 0.0012113175 | 2.0E-4 | 0.009955673 | 0.010868643 | 0.0055 | 0.5060429 | 0.012055601 | 0.0012 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.5536157E-6 | 2.0E-4 | 36.012573 | 1.0555306E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3800994E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 8.40301 | 1.2379861E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8973864E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.6902773 | 3.8970966E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0032917638 | 0.0013 | 0.39492503 | 0.0036904472 | 4.0E-4 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.7872784E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.7872784E-7 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.3374008E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3374008E-6 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.0632116E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0632116E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.792776E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.20864734 | 4.792776E-4 | 0.0 |
Hayward (So) extension 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1721256E-4 | 2.3691346E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.42209506 | 2.3691346E-4 | 0.0 | 5.022428E-4 | 0.0010147474 | 9.0E-4 | 0.8869202 | 0.0012145445 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0060976758 | 0.012260972 | 0.008 | 0.65247685 | 0.014631545 | 0.0024 | 0.0593305 | 0.11292799 | 0.0866 | 0.76686037 | 0.13004848 | 0.0193 |
6.1 | 6.99169E-5 | 1.3823979E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.7233807 | 1.3823979E-4 | 0.0 | 2.9960944E-4 | 5.922275E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.5065621 | 5.922275E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0036416445 | 0.007180446 | 0.004 | 0.55706847 | 0.008272547 | 0.0011 | 0.035825435 | 0.06787363 | 0.0484 | 0.71308994 | 0.07887272 | 0.0118 |
6.2 | 6.99169E-5 | 1.3823979E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.7233807 | 1.3823979E-4 | 0.0 | 2.9960944E-4 | 5.922275E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.5065621 | 5.922275E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0036416445 | 0.007180446 | 0.004 | 0.55706847 | 0.008272547 | 0.0011 | 0.035825435 | 0.06787363 | 0.0484 | 0.71308994 | 0.07887272 | 0.0118 |
6.3 | 6.970908E-5 | 1.3792109E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.72505224 | 1.3792109E-4 | 0.0 | 2.9871898E-4 | 5.908625E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.50773233 | 5.908625E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0036308395 | 0.007163975 | 0.004 | 0.55834925 | 0.0082560945 | 0.0011 | 0.035720866 | 0.06772254 | 0.0483 | 0.7132042 | 0.078723416 | 0.0118 |
6.4 | 6.9517155E-5 | 1.3759012E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.7267963 | 1.3759012E-4 | 0.0 | 2.9789665E-4 | 5.8944494E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.5089534 | 5.8944494E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0036208609 | 0.0071468796 | 0.004 | 0.5596848 | 0.008239018 | 0.0011 | 0.03562429 | 0.067566514 | 0.0482 | 0.7133711 | 0.07847599 | 0.0117 |
6.5 | 4.786248E-5 | 9.428399E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0606254 | 9.428399E-5 | 0.0 | 2.0510878E-4 | 4.040142E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.74254817 | 4.040142E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0024943394 | 0.0049082153 | 0.0025 | 0.5093501 | 0.0056047793 | 7.0E-4 | 0.02466527 | 0.04696078 | 0.0351 | 0.74743223 | 0.055728737 | 0.0092 |
6.6 | 4.4662214E-5 | 8.894691E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1242661 | 8.894691E-5 | 0.0 | 1.9139545E-4 | 3.8114795E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.7870959 | 3.8114795E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0023277493 | 0.0046310676 | 0.0022 | 0.47505245 | 0.005228289 | 6.0E-4 | 0.02303517 | 0.044350334 | 0.0331 | 0.7463304 | 0.05276005 | 0.0088 |
6.7 | 3.884542E-5 | 7.877139E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2694964 | 7.877139E-5 | 0.0 | 1.6646975E-4 | 3.375505E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.8887559 | 3.375505E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002024885 | 0.0041023786 | 0.002 | 0.48752204 | 0.0046999175 | 6.0E-4 | 0.020065336 | 0.03938758 | 0.0281 | 0.7134229 | 0.046688233 | 0.0076 |
6.8 | 3.4221863E-5 | 6.8666755E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4563088 | 6.8666755E-5 | 0.0 | 1.4665688E-4 | 2.9425527E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.0195229 | 2.9425527E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0017840851 | 0.0035770948 | 0.0018 | 0.50320166 | 0.0040753065 | 5.0E-4 | 0.017698295 | 0.034469817 | 0.0241 | 0.6991624 | 0.04103542 | 0.0068 |
6.9 | 1.6927712E-5 | 3.0118359E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.320234 | 3.0118359E-5 | 0.0 | 7.2545314E-5 | 1.2907262E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.5495154 | 1.2907262E-4 | 0.0 | 8.828813E-4 | 0.0015703834 | 0.001 | 0.6367872 | 0.0019697554 | 4.0E-4 | 0.008793819 | 0.015490304 | 0.0127 | 0.81986773 | 0.01923144 | 0.0038 |
7.0 | 1.2509653E-5 | 2.251353E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.4417734 | 2.251353E-5 | 0.0 | 5.3611697E-5 | 9.6483236E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.0728989 | 9.6483236E-5 | 0.0 | 6.525269E-4 | 0.0011740946 | 9.0E-4 | 0.7665481 | 0.0014737424 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0065061417 | 0.011607329 | 0.009 | 0.7753722 | 0.01417715 | 0.0026 |
7.1 | 8.751583E-6 | 1.4963537E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4963537E-5 | 0.0 | 3.750624E-5 | 6.4127904E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.4127904E-5 | 0.0 | 4.5654282E-4 | 7.804834E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.5125029 | 8.8040537E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0045560603 | 0.0077824336 | 0.0058 | 0.74526817 | 0.0093699815 | 0.0016 |
7.2 | 6.354379E-6 | 1.1533883E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1533883E-5 | 0.0 | 2.7232769E-5 | 4.943002E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.943002E-5 | 0.0 | 3.3150852E-4 | 6.0164917E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.49862948 | 7.01589E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0033101442 | 0.0060180235 | 0.0043 | 0.71452034 | 0.007210802 | 0.0012 |
7.3 | 4.645554E-6 | 8.848987E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.848987E-6 | 0.0 | 1.9909365E-5 | 3.79237E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.79237E-5 | 0.0 | 2.4236954E-4 | 4.6162718E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.64987504 | 5.6158105E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0024210536 | 0.0046261647 | 0.0031 | 0.6701015 | 0.0054224636 | 8.0E-4 |
7.4 | 4.23437E-6 | 8.021096E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.021096E-6 | 0.0 | 1.8147173E-5 | 3.437569E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.437569E-5 | 0.0 | 2.2091944E-4 | 4.1844757E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.7169357 | 5.184057E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0022069993 | 0.004196382 | 0.0027 | 0.6434114 | 0.0048934445 | 7.0E-4 |
7.5 | 2.2187417E-6 | 3.969897E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.969897E-6 | 0.0 | 9.508858E-6 | 1.701375E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.701375E-5 | 0.0 | 1.157642E-4 | 2.0712535E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0712535E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011570391 | 0.0020828075 | 0.0015 | 0.72018176 | 0.0024819744 | 4.0E-4 |
7.6 | 2.7952495E-8 | 3.8856825E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.8856825E-8 | 0.0 | 1.1979641E-7 | 1.6652923E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6652923E-7 | 0.0 | 1.4585203E-6 | 2.0274915E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0274915E-6 | 0.0 | 1.4585107E-5 | 2.03613E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.03613E-5 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.7192724E-8 | 2.3485004E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3485004E-8 | 0.0 | 7.36831E-8 | 1.0065001E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0065001E-7 | 0.0 | 8.9709135E-7 | 1.2254133E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2254133E-6 | 0.0 | 8.970877E-6 | 1.2317584E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2317584E-5 | 0.0 |
Hunting Creek - Berryessa 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1270982E-4 | 2.004215E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.99789685 | 2.004215E-4 | 0.0 | 4.8295266E-4 | 8.5865654E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.81522703 | 9.585707E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0058641075 | 0.01039388 | 0.0086 | 0.8274099 | 0.012373093 | 0.002 | 0.057117578 | 0.09810527 | 0.091 | 0.92757505 | 0.114158995 | 0.0178 |
6.1 | 1.1239393E-4 | 1.9990253E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0004876 | 1.9990253E-4 | 0.0 | 4.8159933E-4 | 8.564338E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.467053 | 9.563482E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0058477195 | 0.010367103 | 0.0072 | 0.6945045 | 0.011950516 | 0.0016 | 0.056962132 | 0.09786357 | 0.0735 | 0.7510456 | 0.11112497 | 0.0147 |
6.2 | 7.596265E-5 | 1.2944541E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2944541E-4 | 0.0 | 3.2551357E-4 | 5.5460486E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.3606171 | 6.545494E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0039559277 | 0.006726756 | 0.0039 | 0.5797742 | 0.007819357 | 0.0011 | 0.038862433 | 0.064639345 | 0.0492 | 0.7611463 | 0.07380588 | 0.0098 |
6.3 | 6.78794E-5 | 1.14579154E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.14579154E-4 | 0.0 | 2.9087928E-4 | 4.9092947E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.9092947E-4 | 0.0 | 0.003535705 | 0.0059575005 | 0.0032 | 0.537138 | 0.0067527345 | 8.0E-4 | 0.034799766 | 0.05750884 | 0.0436 | 0.7581443 | 0.06561426 | 0.0086 |
6.4 | 6.2165134E-5 | 1.0443812E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0443812E-4 | 0.0 | 2.6639478E-4 | 4.4748944E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.4748944E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0032385332 | 0.00543196 | 0.003 | 0.55228686 | 0.0061281575 | 7.0E-4 | 0.03191742 | 0.052591655 | 0.0395 | 0.7510697 | 0.05998144 | 0.0078 |
6.5 | 5.4368087E-5 | 9.07844E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.07844E-5 | 0.0 | 2.3298527E-4 | 3.8899828E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.8899828E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0028329059 | 0.0047238227 | 0.0025 | 0.5292324 | 0.005320988 | 6.0E-4 | 0.027970633 | 0.045917444 | 0.0338 | 0.73610365 | 0.05173735 | 0.0061 |
6.6 | 4.729947E-5 | 7.8542726E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.8542726E-5 | 0.0 | 2.0269625E-4 | 3.3655725E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3655725E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002465034 | 0.004088469 | 0.0021 | 0.5136397 | 0.0046860157 | 6.0E-4 | 0.02437869 | 0.03988562 | 0.03 | 0.7521508 | 0.04507024 | 0.0054 |
6.7 | 3.6875328E-5 | 6.0504968E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0504968E-5 | 0.0 | 1.5802756E-4 | 2.592712E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.592712E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0019222875 | 0.0031514375 | 0.0015 | 0.47597325 | 0.003550177 | 4.0E-4 | 0.019057442 | 0.030922001 | 0.022 | 0.7114675 | 0.034313776 | 0.0035 |
6.8 | 2.0292036E-5 | 2.8990444E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8990444E-5 | 0.0 | 8.6962966E-5 | 1.2423864E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2423864E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0010582599 | 0.001511543 | 8.0E-4 | 0.52926046 | 0.0017112407 | 2.0E-4 | 0.010532344 | 0.014985861 | 0.0108 | 0.7206793 | 0.016660385 | 0.0017 |
6.9 | 1.7871042E-5 | 2.4484749E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4484749E-5 | 0.0 | 7.658793E-5 | 1.04930405E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.04930405E-4 | 0.0 | 9.320591E-4 | 0.0012767784 | 6.0E-4 | 0.46993276 | 0.0013766508 | 1.0E-4 | 0.009281595 | 0.01268619 | 0.0085 | 0.6700199 | 0.013870967 | 0.0012 |
7.0 | 1.6415532E-5 | 2.1917964E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1917964E-5 | 0.0 | 7.035038E-5 | 9.3930765E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.3930765E-5 | 0.0 | 8.561793E-4 | 0.0011430084 | 5.0E-4 | 0.43744215 | 0.001242894 | 1.0E-4 | 0.008528882 | 0.0113706 | 0.0072 | 0.6332119 | 0.012260367 | 9.0E-4 |
7.1 | 1.5409885E-5 | 2.0357553E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0357553E-5 | 0.0 | 6.6040695E-5 | 8.724375E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.724375E-5 | 0.0 | 8.0374884E-4 | 0.0010616778 | 4.0E-4 | 0.37676212 | 0.0011615717 | 1.0E-4 | 0.00800848 | 0.010566531 | 0.0062 | 0.5867583 | 0.011457021 | 9.0E-4 |
7.2 | 1.4497423E-5 | 1.9065661E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9065661E-5 | 0.0 | 6.213033E-5 | 8.170743E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.170743E-5 | 0.0 | 7.5617427E-4 | 9.94337E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.40227807 | 0.0010942377 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0075360634 | 0.009899622 | 0.0056 | 0.5656781 | 0.010790712 | 9.0E-4 |
7.3 | 1.3615175E-5 | 1.783644E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.783644E-5 | 0.0 | 5.8349444E-5 | 7.643967E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.643967E-5 | 0.0 | 7.101729E-4 | 9.3025854E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.42998797 | 0.0010301656 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0070790765 | 0.009264388 | 0.0051 | 0.550495 | 0.01015605 | 9.0E-4 |
7.4 | 1.2252825E-5 | 1.6035796E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6035796E-5 | 0.0 | 5.251105E-5 | 6.872304E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.872304E-5 | 0.0 | 6.391345E-4 | 8.363847E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.47824883 | 9.363011E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0063729943 | 0.008333002 | 0.0046 | 0.5520219 | 0.009126335 | 8.0E-4 |
7.5 | 1.0913301E-5 | 1.4249328E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4249328E-5 | 0.0 | 4.6770452E-5 | 6.1067134E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.1067134E-5 | 0.0 | 5.6928146E-4 | 7.4324146E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.5381831 | 8.4316713E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0056782532 | 0.0074081584 | 0.0041 | 0.55344385 | 0.007904454 | 5.0E-4 |
7.6 | 8.623192E-6 | 1.1241596E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1241596E-5 | 0.0 | 3.6956015E-5 | 4.8177397E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.8177397E-5 | 0.0 | 4.4984656E-4 | 5.864045E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.51159227 | 6.8634585E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.00448937 | 0.005849086 | 0.0031 | 0.52999735 | 0.0063461615 | 5.0E-4 |
7.7 | 2.0993634E-6 | 2.6637122E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6637122E-6 | 0.0 | 8.997241E-6 | 1.1415859E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1415859E-5 | 0.0 | 1.09535904E-4 | 1.389793E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.4390632 | 2.389654E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0010948193 | 0.0013889574 | 4.0E-4 | 0.2879858 | 0.0014888186 | 1.0E-4 |
7.8 | 1.8428308E-7 | 2.1680233E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1680233E-7 | 0.0 | 7.897844E-7 | 9.291526E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.291526E-7 | 0.0 | 9.615583E-6 | 1.1312378E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1312378E-5 | 0.0 | 9.615166E-5 | 1.1311122E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1311122E-4 | 0.0 |
Calaveras (So) - Paicines extension 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5183659E-4 | 3.0563123E-4 | 9.0E-4 | 2.9447253 | 0.0010054173 | 7.0E-4 | 6.5056595E-4 | 0.0013086265 | 0.0014 | 1.069824 | 0.002407187 | 0.0011 | 0.007891912 | 0.015717926 | 0.0118 | 0.75073516 | 0.019556627 | 0.0039 | 0.076174594 | 0.13866186 | 0.0901 | 0.6497822 | 0.15451048 | 0.0184 |
6.1 | 1.5024997E-4 | 3.0257157E-4 | 9.0E-4 | 2.9745028 | 0.0010023598 | 7.0E-4 | 6.437695E-4 | 0.0012955286 | 0.0014 | 1.08064 | 0.0023941034 | 0.0011 | 0.0078097614 | 0.015561221 | 0.0115 | 0.73901653 | 0.019203644 | 0.0037 | 0.075409345 | 0.13733093 | 0.0891 | 0.64879775 | 0.15294524 | 0.0181 |
6.2 | 1.2743923E-4 | 2.5354073E-4 | 9.0E-4 | 3.5497258 | 9.5336325E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 5.460538E-4 | 0.0010857576 | 0.0013 | 1.1973206 | 0.0020846718 | 0.001 | 0.0066279583 | 0.013068075 | 0.01 | 0.7652236 | 0.016423644 | 0.0034 | 0.064337276 | 0.117428556 | 0.0772 | 0.65742105 | 0.13163796 | 0.0161 |
6.3 | 1.1525114E-4 | 2.2639988E-4 | 9.0E-4 | 3.9752672 | 9.262414E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 4.9383997E-4 | 9.6962904E-4 | 0.0012 | 1.2375867 | 0.0018687564 | 9.0E-4 | 0.0059959386 | 0.011689216 | 0.0093 | 0.7956051 | 0.014752979 | 0.0031 | 0.058367174 | 0.10654606 | 0.0719 | 0.67482555 | 0.11976918 | 0.0148 |
6.4 | 1.07200925E-4 | 2.0880895E-4 | 9.0E-4 | 4.31016 | 9.086628E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 4.5935164E-4 | 8.9435896E-4 | 0.0011 | 1.2299312 | 0.001793554 | 9.0E-4 | 0.0055782744 | 0.010794002 | 0.0088 | 0.8152676 | 0.013662699 | 0.0029 | 0.0544031 | 0.0993692 | 0.0679 | 0.68331033 | 0.112068094 | 0.0141 |
6.5 | 9.69631E-5 | 1.8773874E-4 | 9.0E-4 | 4.793896 | 8.8760734E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 4.1548995E-4 | 8.041741E-4 | 0.0011 | 1.3678629 | 0.0017034503 | 9.0E-4 | 0.0050468626 | 0.009715498 | 0.0081 | 0.83371943 | 0.01219121 | 0.0025 | 0.04933773 | 0.090259485 | 0.0608 | 0.6736134 | 0.10181319 | 0.0127 |
6.6 | 8.0552316E-5 | 1.5110608E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 3.3089337 | 5.5104564E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 3.4517853E-4 | 6.473959E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.0812548 | 0.0012470075 | 6.0E-4 | 0.0041944524 | 0.007847086 | 0.0067 | 0.8538202 | 0.009930607 | 0.0021 | 0.04116161 | 0.07503125 | 0.0499 | 0.6650562 | 0.08446593 | 0.0102 |
6.7 | 7.815757E-5 | 1.4650828E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 3.4127765 | 5.464497E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 3.34918E-4 | 6.277063E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.9558611 | 0.0011273924 | 5.0E-4 | 0.004070005 | 0.007609736 | 0.0065 | 0.8541689 | 0.009594517 | 0.002 | 0.039962657 | 0.07287987 | 0.0483 | 0.66273445 | 0.08196565 | 0.0098 |
6.8 | 6.965264E-5 | 1.2760005E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 3.9184935 | 5.27549E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 2.9847719E-4 | 5.467247E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 1.0974444 | 0.0010464514 | 5.0E-4 | 0.0036279052 | 0.0066328445 | 0.0056 | 0.84428334 | 0.008520242 | 0.0019 | 0.03569247 | 0.06396683 | 0.0411 | 0.6425204 | 0.07248474 | 0.0091 |
6.9 | 5.8000453E-5 | 1.01770755E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 3.930402 | 4.0174022E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 2.4854968E-4 | 4.36088E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 1.1465576 | 8.359136E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0030218933 | 0.005296544 | 0.0043 | 0.81185013 | 0.006689129 | 0.0014 | 0.029811295 | 0.051656783 | 0.0329 | 0.6368961 | 0.058390018 | 0.0071 |
7.0 | 4.9865852E-5 | 8.5977066E-5 | 3.0E-4 | 3.4893024 | 2.8595986E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 2.1369329E-4 | 3.684216E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.0857127 | 6.683111E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0025986114 | 0.004476397 | 0.0037 | 0.82655764 | 0.0056710253 | 0.0012 | 0.025684336 | 0.043922614 | 0.0278 | 0.63293135 | 0.04965908 | 0.006 |
7.1 | 4.283875E-5 | 7.1388095E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.8015873 | 1.7138096E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.8358172E-4 | 3.0591342E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.9806696 | 5.058522E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0022328163 | 0.003718192 | 0.003 | 0.80684376 | 0.0047144736 | 0.001 | 0.022105146 | 0.03686305 | 0.0235 | 0.6374947 | 0.04158242 | 0.0049 |
7.2 | 3.450115E-5 | 5.6031025E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 3.569451 | 1.5602542E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.478537E-4 | 2.4011103E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.249422 | 4.40063E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0017986323 | 0.002919462 | 0.0023 | 0.78781635 | 0.0037171266 | 8.0E-4 | 0.017841442 | 0.029202318 | 0.0182 | 0.6232382 | 0.03240595 | 0.0033 |
7.3 | 2.5709045E-5 | 4.081237E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.4502375 | 1.4080829E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1017697E-4 | 1.7489852E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.1435202 | 3.7486354E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0013405791 | 0.002127327 | 0.0018 | 0.8461322 | 0.0029256253 | 8.0E-4 | 0.013325208 | 0.021406483 | 0.014 | 0.6540075 | 0.024244403 | 0.0029 |
7.4 | 1.8003093E-5 | 2.86487E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.4905598 | 1.2864583E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 7.715383E-5 | 1.2277438E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.6290044 | 3.227498E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 9.3894306E-4 | 0.0014937555 | 0.0012 | 0.80334437 | 0.0019930087 | 5.0E-4 | 0.009349857 | 0.015118833 | 0.0084 | 0.55559844 | 0.016990107 | 0.0019 |
7.5 | 1.5595824E-5 | 2.5954996E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.8528228 | 1.259524E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.683753E-5 | 1.1123097E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.7980604 | 3.112087E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 8.134431E-4 | 0.001353398 | 0.0011 | 0.81276906 | 0.0018527213 | 5.0E-4 | 0.008104719 | 0.013716114 | 0.0077 | 0.5613835 | 0.015491425 | 0.0018 |
7.6 | 1.1110309E-5 | 1.933605E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.933605E-5 | 0.0 | 4.761474E-5 | 8.286616E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.286616E-5 | 0.0 | 5.795553E-4 | 0.0010084299 | 5.0E-4 | 0.49582028 | 0.0010084299 | 0.0 | 0.0057804612 | 0.010258753 | 0.0057 | 0.55562305 | 0.0112484945 | 0.001 |
7.7 | 6.2140443E-6 | 1.0520348E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0520348E-5 | 0.0 | 2.6631347E-5 | 4.5086428E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.5086428E-5 | 0.0 | 3.241884E-4 | 5.487891E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.18221936 | 5.487891E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0032371588 | 0.005660631 | 0.0032 | 0.565308 | 0.006157801 | 5.0E-4 |
7.8 | 5.305533E-6 | 9.507715E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.507715E-6 | 0.0 | 2.27378E-5 | 4.0746712E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0746712E-5 | 0.0 | 2.7679754E-4 | 4.959784E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.20162168 | 4.959784E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0027645302 | 0.005110789 | 0.0031 | 0.60655993 | 0.0056082336 | 5.0E-4 |
7.9 | 3.363505E-6 | 7.440443E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.440443E-6 | 0.0 | 1.4414942E-5 | 3.1887223E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1887223E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7548777E-4 | 3.8815787E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.25762713 | 3.8815787E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0017534926 | 0.0039754207 | 0.0024 | 0.6037097 | 0.004274228 | 3.0E-4 |
8.0 | 2.0271132E-6 | 4.444865E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.444865E-6 | 0.0 | 8.687599E-6 | 1.9049283E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9049283E-5 | 0.0 | 1.05766376E-4 | 2.319004E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.319004E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0010571606 | 0.0023666255 | 0.0014 | 0.5915596 | 0.0024663887 | 1.0E-4 |
8.1 | 1.2206116E-6 | 2.3928044E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3928044E-6 | 0.0 | 5.2311816E-6 | 1.0254836E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0254836E-5 | 0.0 | 6.3687774E-5 | 1.2484551E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2484551E-4 | 0.0 | 6.366953E-4 | 0.0012793794 | 9.0E-4 | 0.7034661 | 0.0013792514 | 1.0E-4 |
San Andreas (Coachella) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1925945E-4 | 3.279737E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.609805 | 4.2794092E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.110118E-4 | 0.0014048491 | 7.0E-4 | 0.49827415 | 0.0017044278 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0062038354 | 0.016971242 | 0.0078 | 0.459601 | 0.019232208 | 0.0023 | 0.060334753 | 0.15290245 | 0.0906 | 0.59253466 | 0.16865847 | 0.0186 |
6.1 | 1.1925945E-4 | 3.279737E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.609805 | 4.2794092E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.110118E-4 | 0.0014048491 | 7.0E-4 | 0.49827415 | 0.0017044278 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0062038354 | 0.016971242 | 0.0078 | 0.459601 | 0.019232208 | 0.0023 | 0.060334753 | 0.15290245 | 0.0906 | 0.59253466 | 0.16865847 | 0.0186 |
6.2 | 1.07432395E-4 | 3.0297614E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.660118 | 4.0294585E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.603433E-4 | 0.0012978271 | 7.0E-4 | 0.5393631 | 0.0015974378 | 3.0E-4 | 0.005590286 | 0.015687669 | 0.0075 | 0.4780825 | 0.017853156 | 0.0022 | 0.05451731 | 0.14206561 | 0.0845 | 0.5947956 | 0.15716526 | 0.0176 |
6.3 | 1.0718766E-4 | 3.0242917E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.66131186 | 4.0239893E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.592948E-4 | 0.0012954852 | 7.0E-4 | 0.5403381 | 0.0015950965 | 3.0E-4 | 0.005577586 | 0.015659567 | 0.0075 | 0.47894043 | 0.017825115 | 0.0022 | 0.054396555 | 0.1418339 | 0.0845 | 0.5957673 | 0.15693763 | 0.0176 |
6.4 | 1.0355944E-4 | 2.94509E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.6790964 | 3.9447955E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.4375064E-4 | 0.0012615749 | 7.0E-4 | 0.554862 | 0.0015611964 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0053892885 | 0.01525256 | 0.0074 | 0.48516446 | 0.017419005 | 0.0022 | 0.052604496 | 0.13842165 | 0.0828 | 0.5981723 | 0.15341312 | 0.0174 |
6.5 | 1.0227914E-4 | 2.91703E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.68562883 | 3.9167385E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.382655E-4 | 0.0012495607 | 7.0E-4 | 0.5601968 | 0.001549186 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0053228354 | 0.015108326 | 0.0074 | 0.48979613 | 0.017275088 | 0.0022 | 0.051971316 | 0.1372045 | 0.082 | 0.597648 | 0.1519583 | 0.0171 |
6.6 | 1.0116757E-4 | 2.893602E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.69118 | 3.8933128E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.3350324E-4 | 0.0012395298 | 7.0E-4 | 0.5647303 | 0.0015391579 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0052651367 | 0.014987885 | 0.0074 | 0.4937321 | 0.017154912 | 0.0022 | 0.051421247 | 0.13618305 | 0.0815 | 0.5984592 | 0.15095432 | 0.0171 |
6.7 | 1.0050676E-4 | 2.8794564E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.69457555 | 3.8791687E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.3067214E-4 | 0.0012334731 | 7.0E-4 | 0.5675033 | 0.0015331031 | 3.0E-4 | 0.005230834 | 0.014915157 | 0.0073 | 0.48943502 | 0.017082343 | 0.0022 | 0.051094085 | 0.13556758 | 0.0809 | 0.5967504 | 0.15026292 | 0.017 |
6.8 | 9.976819E-5 | 2.859814E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.6993462 | 3.859528E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.2750788E-4 | 0.0012250628 | 7.0E-4 | 0.5713993 | 0.0015246953 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0051924936 | 0.014814159 | 0.0073 | 0.49277183 | 0.016981568 | 0.0022 | 0.050728295 | 0.13471949 | 0.0801 | 0.5945688 | 0.14942926 | 0.017 |
6.9 | 9.77719E-5 | 2.8094585E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.7118809 | 3.8091777E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.1895514E-4 | 0.001203502 | 7.0E-4 | 0.58163595 | 0.0015031409 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0050888555 | 0.0145551935 | 0.0073 | 0.50153923 | 0.01672317 | 0.0022 | 0.049738888 | 0.13254745 | 0.0786 | 0.59299517 | 0.1472074 | 0.0169 |
7.0 | 8.500761E-5 | 2.4825553E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.80562156 | 3.482307E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.6426744E-4 | 0.0010635217 | 7.0E-4 | 0.6581906 | 0.0013632026 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0044259406 | 0.012872281 | 0.0061 | 0.47388652 | 0.01464911 | 0.0018 | 0.04338823 | 0.11838864 | 0.0698 | 0.58958364 | 0.13178913 | 0.0152 |
7.1 | 8.319876E-5 | 2.442758E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.8187466 | 3.442514E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.5651738E-4 | 0.0010464796 | 7.0E-4 | 0.6689094 | 0.0013461657 | 3.0E-4 | 0.004331963 | 0.012667225 | 0.006 | 0.47366336 | 0.014444424 | 0.0018 | 0.042484846 | 0.11660665 | 0.0691 | 0.5925906 | 0.12985756 | 0.015 |
7.2 | 7.563917E-5 | 2.2474145E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.8899115 | 3.2471897E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.2412758E-4 | 9.628252E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.7270271 | 0.0012625364 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0039391145 | 0.011660083 | 0.0058 | 0.49742356 | 0.013142593 | 0.0015 | 0.03870018 | 0.108008005 | 0.0622 | 0.5758832 | 0.119782306 | 0.0132 |
7.3 | 7.082985E-5 | 2.078795E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.96209586 | 3.0785872E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.0352117E-4 | 8.9061086E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.6736949 | 0.0011903436 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0036891096 | 0.010789906 | 0.005 | 0.46339607 | 0.01227372 | 0.0015 | 0.03628465 | 0.10052468 | 0.057 | 0.56702495 | 0.111678176 | 0.0124 |
7.4 | 5.146215E-5 | 1.4321263E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.3965249 | 2.431983E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.2053342E-4 | 6.136249E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.651864 | 8.135022E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0026816884 | 0.0074454816 | 0.004 | 0.5372386 | 0.008735803 | 0.0013 | 0.02649557 | 0.07105745 | 0.0397 | 0.5587029 | 0.079325035 | 0.0089 |
7.5 | 4.0285166E-5 | 1.0982844E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.821022 | 2.0981746E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.7263928E-4 | 4.706087E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.849963 | 6.705146E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.002099857 | 0.005714678 | 0.0028 | 0.48996633 | 0.006510107 | 8.0E-4 | 0.020801254 | 0.055196077 | 0.03 | 0.5435169 | 0.061242823 | 0.0064 |
7.6 | 3.1168736E-5 | 8.475612E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.3597116 | 1.8474764E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.3357346E-4 | 3.6319005E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.1013517 | 5.6311744E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0016250437 | 0.0044129 | 0.0023 | 0.52119917 | 0.005109811 | 7.0E-4 | 0.016132116 | 0.04297639 | 0.0236 | 0.5491387 | 0.047665805 | 0.0049 |
7.7 | 2.2100989E-5 | 6.2710875E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 3.1892395 | 1.627046E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 9.4715084E-5 | 2.6873325E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.488465 | 4.686795E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.001152546 | 0.003266925 | 0.0019 | 0.58158666 | 0.0037652915 | 5.0E-4 | 0.011465867 | 0.032047648 | 0.0166 | 0.5179787 | 0.035338685 | 0.0034 |
7.8 | 1.7484861E-5 | 5.2084022E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 3.8399491 | 1.5207882E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 7.493296E-5 | 2.2319815E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.3440971 | 3.2317583E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 9.1192697E-4 | 0.0027140542 | 0.0017 | 0.62636924 | 0.0031129685 | 4.0E-4 | 0.009081938 | 0.026772073 | 0.0137 | 0.5117273 | 0.029399788 | 0.0027 |
7.9 | 1.3967285E-5 | 3.8459413E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 5.2002873 | 1.3845557E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.985842E-5 | 1.6481565E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.213477 | 2.6479916E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 7.2853256E-4 | 0.002004785 | 0.0014 | 0.69832927 | 0.0024039831 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0072614877 | 0.020019427 | 0.0095 | 0.47453904 | 0.022273382 | 0.0023 |
8.0 | 1.1887396E-5 | 3.1269272E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 6.396055 | 1.3126615E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.094499E-5 | 1.340043E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.4924896 | 2.339909E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.200787E-4 | 0.0016302823 | 0.0012 | 0.73606884 | 0.0020296301 | 4.0E-4 | 0.006183513 | 0.016374735 | 0.0071 | 0.43359476 | 0.017850174 | 0.0015 |
8.1 | 5.100864E-6 | 9.058064E-6 | 2.0E-4 | 22.079773 | 1.0905716E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.1860664E-5 | 3.88197E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 5.1520233 | 1.3881581E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.6612106E-4 | 4.725275E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.8465116 | 6.72433E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.002658026 | 0.0049600964 | 0.0018 | 0.36289617 | 0.0055571203 | 6.0E-4 |
8.2 | 2.3004484E-6 | 2.8204922E-6 | 2.0E-4 | 70.90961 | 1.0282021E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 9.859027E-6 | 1.2087768E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 16.545652 | 1.12086556E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2002704E-4 | 1.4715867E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.3590773 | 2.4714394E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0011996223 | 0.0016150365 | 5.0E-4 | 0.30959052 | 0.0018147135 | 2.0E-4 |
8.3 | 1.0424446E-7 | 5.9034264E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.9034264E-8 | 0.0 | 4.4676187E-7 | 2.5300395E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5300395E-7 | 0.0 | 5.439312E-6 | 3.0803192E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0803192E-6 | 0.0 | 5.4391792E-5 | 3.2372034E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2372034E-5 | 0.0 |
Elsinore (Glen Ivy) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.941327E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.3599303 | 3.9410332E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0012600938 | 6.0E-4 | 0.47615504 | 0.0015597157 | 3.0E-4 | 0.008420097 | 0.015255029 | 0.008 | 0.5244172 | 0.016929096 | 0.0017 | 0.081081145 | 0.13978311 | 0.0882 | 0.63097745 | 0.15406272 | 0.0166 |
6.1 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.941327E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.3599303 | 3.9410332E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0012600938 | 6.0E-4 | 0.47615504 | 0.0015597157 | 3.0E-4 | 0.008420097 | 0.015255029 | 0.008 | 0.5244172 | 0.016929096 | 0.0017 | 0.081081145 | 0.13978311 | 0.0882 | 0.63097745 | 0.15406272 | 0.0166 |
6.2 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.941327E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.3599303 | 3.9410332E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0012600938 | 6.0E-4 | 0.47615504 | 0.0015597157 | 3.0E-4 | 0.008420097 | 0.015255029 | 0.008 | 0.5244172 | 0.016929096 | 0.0017 | 0.081081145 | 0.13978311 | 0.0882 | 0.63097745 | 0.15406272 | 0.0166 |
6.3 | 1.0111737E-4 | 1.7736456E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.1276209 | 1.7736456E-4 | 0.0 | 4.332882E-4 | 7.600296E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.5262953 | 9.5987757E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.005262531 | 0.009234881 | 0.0051 | 0.55225396 | 0.010324723 | 0.0011 | 0.0513964 | 0.0872148 | 0.0595 | 0.6822237 | 0.09643393 | 0.0101 |
6.4 | 1.0111737E-4 | 1.7736456E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.1276209 | 1.7736456E-4 | 0.0 | 4.332882E-4 | 7.600296E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.5262953 | 9.5987757E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.005262531 | 0.009234881 | 0.0051 | 0.55225396 | 0.010324723 | 0.0011 | 0.0513964 | 0.0872148 | 0.0595 | 0.6822237 | 0.09643393 | 0.0101 |
6.5 | 3.6624708E-5 | 4.642631E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.642631E-5 | 0.0 | 1.569536E-4 | 1.9895675E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.50262177 | 2.9893685E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.001909235 | 0.0024199684 | 0.002 | 0.8264571 | 0.0028190003 | 4.0E-4 | 0.01892915 | 0.023715464 | 0.0163 | 0.6873152 | 0.026058547 | 0.0024 |
6.6 | 2.5051324E-5 | 2.6173208E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6173208E-5 | 0.0 | 1.073584E-4 | 1.1216632E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.8915332 | 2.1215511E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0013063047 | 0.001364814 | 0.0014 | 1.0257808 | 0.0016644046 | 3.0E-4 | 0.012986525 | 0.0135804955 | 0.0086 | 0.63326114 | 0.014764199 | 0.0012 |
6.7 | 2.2189772E-5 | 2.2089307E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2089307E-5 | 0.0 | 9.509556E-5 | 9.466523E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.466523E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0011571734 | 0.0011519762 | 0.0012 | 1.0416882 | 0.0013517458 | 2.0E-4 | 0.011511663 | 0.011476635 | 0.0072 | 0.6273616 | 0.012366306 | 9.0E-4 |
6.8 | 1.6654378E-5 | 1.444795E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.444795E-5 | 0.0 | 7.137396E-5 | 6.191834E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.191834E-5 | 0.0 | 8.686314E-4 | 7.5360027E-4 | 9.0E-4 | 1.1942672 | 9.534495E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.008652439 | 0.007515814 | 0.0041 | 0.54551643 | 0.008210553 | 7.0E-4 |
6.9 | 1.5042909E-5 | 1.2340899E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2340899E-5 | 0.0 | 6.446802E-5 | 5.2888514E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.2888514E-5 | 0.0 | 7.8461546E-4 | 6.437306E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 1.242756 | 8.436018E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.007818509 | 0.0064228764 | 0.0035 | 0.5449272 | 0.0071183806 | 7.0E-4 |
7.0 | 1.4361385E-5 | 1.1459702E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1459702E-5 | 0.0 | 6.154734E-5 | 4.9112103E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.9112103E-5 | 0.0 | 7.490812E-4 | 5.9777877E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 1.3382878 | 7.976592E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.007465612 | 0.0059654056 | 0.0032 | 0.5364262 | 0.00666123 | 7.0E-4 |
7.1 | 1.3265571E-5 | 1.025239E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.025239E-5 | 0.0 | 5.6851208E-5 | 4.393809E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.393809E-5 | 0.0 | 6.919436E-4 | 5.3481746E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 1.4958375 | 7.3471054E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.006897931 | 0.005338533 | 0.003 | 0.5619521 | 0.00593533 | 6.0E-4 |
7.2 | 1.1596403E-5 | 8.511288E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.511288E-6 | 0.0 | 4.9697923E-5 | 3.6476446E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.6476446E-5 | 0.0 | 6.049042E-4 | 4.4401194E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 1.8017534 | 6.439231E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.006032603 | 0.004432667 | 0.0028 | 0.63167393 | 0.0049304506 | 5.0E-4 |
7.3 | 1.0150827E-5 | 7.2440353E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.2440353E-6 | 0.0 | 4.3502816E-5 | 3.1045503E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1045503E-5 | 0.0 | 5.2951806E-4 | 3.779149E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 1.587659 | 3.779149E-4 | 0.0 | 0.005282581 | 0.0037731125 | 0.0021 | 0.55656964 | 0.0040719807 | 3.0E-4 |
7.4 | 9.080705E-6 | 6.3571392E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.3571392E-6 | 0.0 | 3.8916725E-5 | 2.7244607E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7244607E-5 | 0.0 | 4.7370812E-4 | 3.3165395E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 1.5075954 | 3.3165395E-4 | 0.0 | 0.004726996 | 0.0033117416 | 0.0017 | 0.51332504 | 0.003610748 | 3.0E-4 |
7.5 | 7.671649E-6 | 5.229524E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.229524E-6 | 0.0 | 3.287808E-5 | 2.2412061E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2412061E-5 | 0.0 | 4.0021708E-4 | 2.7283392E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.09957 | 2.7283392E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0039949706 | 0.0027251148 | 0.001 | 0.366957 | 0.0028248425 | 1.0E-4 |
7.6 | 6.990086E-6 | 4.691115E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.691115E-6 | 0.0 | 2.9957167E-5 | 2.010463E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.010463E-5 | 0.0 | 3.6466747E-4 | 2.4474753E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.2257528 | 2.4474753E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0036406964 | 0.0024448964 | 8.0E-4 | 0.32721224 | 0.0024448964 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.163505E-6 | 2.33142E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.33142E-6 | 0.0 | 1.7843471E-5 | 9.991766E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.991766E-6 | 0.0 | 2.172226E-4 | 1.2164371E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.6441458 | 1.2164371E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0021701038 | 0.0012158444 | 5.0E-4 | 0.41123682 | 0.0012158444 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.2692414E-7 | 9.391389E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.391389E-8 | 0.0 | 9.725317E-7 | 4.0248807E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0248807E-7 | 0.0 | 1.1840509E-5 | 4.9002842E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.9002842E-6 | 0.0 | 1.1839878E-4 | 4.900209E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.900209E-5 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.4415768E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.4415768E-9 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.4749616E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4749616E-8 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.7957656E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7957656E-7 | 0.0 | 3.4838679E-6 | 1.7957643E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7957643E-6 | 0.0 |
Calaveras (So) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5950744E-4 | 3.0758316E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 1.6255766 | 7.0746016E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 6.834242E-4 | 0.0013173817 | 0.001 | 0.7590814 | 0.0019165913 | 6.0E-4 | 0.00828899 | 0.015881706 | 0.0094 | 0.5918759 | 0.018538827 | 0.0027 | 0.079865426 | 0.14458649 | 0.0949 | 0.65635455 | 0.16006948 | 0.0181 |
6.1 | 1.3584697E-4 | 2.6078877E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 1.9172605 | 6.606844E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 5.8207137E-4 | 0.0011170284 | 7.0E-4 | 0.6266627 | 0.0016164699 | 5.0E-4 | 0.007063716 | 0.013483461 | 0.0075 | 0.55623704 | 0.015653796 | 0.0022 | 0.06843361 | 0.124208316 | 0.0767 | 0.617511 | 0.13699488 | 0.0146 |
6.2 | 1.14676266E-4 | 2.1755957E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 2.298221 | 6.174726E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 4.9137714E-4 | 9.319772E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.64379257 | 0.0014315111 | 5.0E-4 | 0.0059661185 | 0.011266091 | 0.007 | 0.62133354 | 0.013342432 | 0.0021 | 0.058084648 | 0.10519438 | 0.0668 | 0.6350149 | 0.116289966 | 0.0124 |
6.3 | 8.691518E-5 | 1.6026295E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 3.1198726 | 5.6019885E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 3.7244044E-4 | 6.8662164E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.87384367 | 0.0011862783 | 5.0E-4 | 0.004525038 | 0.008320916 | 0.0065 | 0.781164 | 0.010403442 | 0.0021 | 0.044339992 | 0.07950515 | 0.0527 | 0.66285014 | 0.0890783 | 0.0104 |
6.4 | 8.50982E-5 | 1.5732495E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 3.1781356 | 5.57262E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 3.646556E-4 | 6.7403674E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.8901592 | 0.0011736997 | 5.0E-4 | 0.0044306475 | 0.00816885 | 0.0065 | 0.7957056 | 0.010251695 | 0.0021 | 0.04343345 | 0.07811055 | 0.0522 | 0.6682835 | 0.08769821 | 0.0104 |
6.5 | 8.4062965E-5 | 1.5556815E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 3.2140255 | 5.555059E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 3.602201E-4 | 6.6651154E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.9002095 | 0.0011661783 | 5.0E-4 | 0.004376863 | 0.008078006 | 0.0065 | 0.804654 | 0.010161042 | 0.0021 | 0.042916555 | 0.077281624 | 0.0519 | 0.6715697 | 0.0868779 | 0.0104 |
6.6 | 8.194716E-5 | 1.5192376E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 2.6328998 | 4.5187818E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 3.5115483E-4 | 6.509011E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.7681658 | 0.0010506407 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0042669317 | 0.007889715 | 0.0063 | 0.798508 | 0.009873935 | 0.002 | 0.04185927 | 0.075566 | 0.051 | 0.67490673 | 0.084995225 | 0.0102 |
6.7 | 8.012326E-5 | 1.4860037E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 2.6917834 | 4.485558E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 3.433402E-4 | 6.3666824E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.7853384 | 0.0010364136 | 4.0E-4 | 0.004172157 | 0.0077180937 | 0.0063 | 0.81626374 | 0.009702657 | 0.002 | 0.040946912 | 0.07400743 | 0.0499 | 0.6742566 | 0.08317476 | 0.0099 |
6.8 | 7.119773E-5 | 1.2917024E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 3.0966885 | 4.291315E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 3.0509746E-4 | 5.5345113E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.9034221 | 9.532298E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0037082357 | 0.006714225 | 0.0054 | 0.80426264 | 0.008601468 | 0.0019 | 0.036469642 | 0.064843036 | 0.0428 | 0.66005546 | 0.07344648 | 0.0092 |
6.9 | 5.7343088E-5 | 9.950044E-5 | 3.0E-4 | 3.015062 | 2.9948054E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 2.4573295E-4 | 4.2636116E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.93817174 | 7.2623324E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0029876942 | 0.005178667 | 0.0039 | 0.75308955 | 0.0064719347 | 0.0013 | 0.02947844 | 0.050653677 | 0.0334 | 0.6593796 | 0.0572991 | 0.007 |
7.0 | 4.8746577E-5 | 8.312215E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.4060977 | 1.8311384E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.0889717E-4 | 3.561895E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.8422483 | 5.5611826E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0025403565 | 0.0043280507 | 0.0033 | 0.7624679 | 0.00542329 | 0.0011 | 0.025115121 | 0.042614684 | 0.0279 | 0.6547039 | 0.04826326 | 0.0059 |
7.1 | 4.2998014E-5 | 7.28921E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.7437816 | 1.7288481E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.8426418E-4 | 3.1235765E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.9604375 | 5.1229517E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.002241108 | 0.0037963835 | 0.0031 | 0.81656665 | 0.004792587 | 0.001 | 0.022186412 | 0.037539266 | 0.0244 | 0.6499861 | 0.04235157 | 0.005 |
7.2 | 3.221292E-5 | 5.41334E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 3.6945767 | 1.5412799E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.3804805E-4 | 2.3197981E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.293216 | 4.319334E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0016794393 | 0.0028207244 | 0.0024 | 0.8508452 | 0.0036184678 | 8.0E-4 | 0.016668037 | 0.028146314 | 0.0179 | 0.6359625 | 0.031256247 | 0.0032 |
7.3 | 2.3756531E-5 | 3.9672002E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.5206692 | 1.3966803E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0180973E-4 | 1.7001189E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.1763883 | 3.6997788E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0012388286 | 0.002067947 | 0.0019 | 0.91878563 | 0.0028662926 | 8.0E-4 | 0.012319452 | 0.020741245 | 0.0137 | 0.66051966 | 0.023483168 | 0.0028 |
7.4 | 1.5997684E-5 | 2.745663E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.6421077 | 1.2745388E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.8559704E-5 | 1.1766597E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.6997267 | 3.1764244E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 8.343947E-4 | 0.0014316443 | 0.0013 | 0.9080468 | 0.0019309284 | 5.0E-4 | 0.008312687 | 0.014432074 | 0.0081 | 0.5612499 | 0.016206097 | 0.0018 |
7.5 | 1.3814293E-5 | 2.4893852E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.017056 | 1.2489136E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.9202768E-5 | 1.0668359E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.8747026 | 3.0666226E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 7.205553E-4 | 0.0012981013 | 0.0012 | 0.92442715 | 0.0017974522 | 5.0E-4 | 0.007182234 | 0.013109234 | 0.0076 | 0.57974404 | 0.014786948 | 0.0017 |
7.6 | 8.817309E-6 | 1.6521872E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6521872E-5 | 0.0 | 3.7787922E-5 | 7.0806105E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0806105E-5 | 0.0 | 4.5997082E-4 | 8.617247E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.58023167 | 8.617247E-4 | 0.0 | 0.004590199 | 0.008764109 | 0.005 | 0.57050866 | 0.009656222 | 9.0E-4 |
7.7 | 4.0352206E-6 | 7.768831E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.768831E-6 | 0.0 | 1.7293689E-5 | 3.3294564E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3294564E-5 | 0.0 | 2.1053031E-4 | 4.05286E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.24673934 | 4.05286E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0021033096 | 0.004195467 | 0.0025 | 0.5958812 | 0.0045937886 | 4.0E-4 |
7.8 | 3.413169E-6 | 6.841251E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.841251E-6 | 0.0 | 1.4627784E-5 | 2.9319317E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9319317E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7807873E-4 | 3.569043E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.28018716 | 3.569043E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0017793609 | 0.0036929992 | 0.0024 | 0.64987826 | 0.004091522 | 4.0E-4 |
7.9 | 2.4740732E-6 | 5.3191607E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.3191607E-6 | 0.0 | 1.06031275E-5 | 2.2796205E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2796205E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2908543E-4 | 2.775085E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.36034933 | 2.775085E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0012901047 | 0.0028543144 | 0.0019 | 0.665659 | 0.0030537434 | 2.0E-4 |
8.0 | 1.5231818E-6 | 3.3126942E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3126942E-6 | 0.0 | 6.527906E-6 | 1.4197184E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4197184E-5 | 0.0 | 7.9474354E-5 | 1.7283704E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7283704E-4 | 0.0 | 7.944594E-4 | 0.001768134 | 0.001 | 0.56556803 | 0.0018679572 | 1.0E-4 |
8.1 | 1.0104524E-6 | 2.0606942E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0606942E-6 | 0.0 | 4.330503E-6 | 8.831517E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.831517E-6 | 0.0 | 5.2722597E-5 | 1.0751845E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0751845E-4 | 0.0 | 5.271009E-4 | 0.0011003951 | 7.0E-4 | 0.6361351 | 0.0012002852 | 1.0E-4 |
Owl Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.0320643E-5 | 6.640467E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 3.0118365 | 2.6639138E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 2.1564208E-4 | 2.8456666E-4 | 0.0011 | 3.8655267 | 9.843674E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.0026222812 | 0.0034600073 | 0.0072 | 2.0809205 | 0.008044091 | 0.0046 | 0.02591553 | 0.034164894 | 0.0392 | 1.1473765 | 0.049811423 | 0.0162 |
6.1 | 5.0320643E-5 | 6.640467E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 3.0118365 | 2.6639138E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 2.1564208E-4 | 2.8456666E-4 | 0.0011 | 3.8655267 | 9.843674E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.0026222812 | 0.0034600073 | 0.0072 | 2.0809205 | 0.008044091 | 0.0046 | 0.02591553 | 0.034164894 | 0.0392 | 1.1473765 | 0.049811423 | 0.0162 |
6.2 | 2.4125871E-5 | 3.1004914E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 6.4505906 | 2.3099872E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0339249E-4 | 1.3287259E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 5.268204 | 7.327929E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.0012580766 | 0.0016166979 | 0.005 | 3.0927238 | 0.0055103926 | 0.0039 | 0.012509781 | 0.016083142 | 0.0229 | 1.4238513 | 0.027791752 | 0.0119 |
6.3 | 1.7433485E-5 | 2.2375143E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 8.93849 | 2.2237067E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 7.471279E-5 | 9.589084E-5 | 5.0E-4 | 5.214262 | 5.958429E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 9.0924866E-4 | 0.0011669847 | 0.0045 | 3.856092 | 0.0047627836 | 0.0036 | 0.009055373 | 0.011639125 | 0.0177 | 1.520733 | 0.021423897 | 0.0099 |
6.4 | 1.7433485E-5 | 2.2375143E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 8.93849 | 2.2237067E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 7.471279E-5 | 9.589084E-5 | 5.0E-4 | 5.214262 | 5.958429E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 9.0924866E-4 | 0.0011669847 | 0.0045 | 3.856092 | 0.0047627836 | 0.0036 | 0.009055373 | 0.011639125 | 0.0177 | 1.520733 | 0.021423897 | 0.0099 |
6.5 | 1.5182742E-5 | 1.9447225E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 10.284244 | 2.1944333E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 6.506727E-5 | 8.3343446E-5 | 5.0E-4 | 5.9992723 | 5.8330176E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 7.919061E-4 | 0.001014371 | 0.0042 | 4.1404967 | 0.0043110237 | 0.0033 | 0.0078909 | 0.010127813 | 0.0159 | 1.5699342 | 0.01913565 | 0.0091 |
6.6 | 6.7271576E-6 | 8.559488E-6 | 2.0E-4 | 23.365881 | 2.0855777E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 2.8830356E-5 | 3.668304E-5 | 5.0E-4 | 13.630278 | 5.366647E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 3.5095305E-4 | 4.4653015E-4 | 0.0029 | 6.494522 | 0.0029454138 | 0.0025 | 0.0035039932 | 0.0044740955 | 0.0088 | 1.966878 | 0.010646356 | 0.0062 |
6.7 | 6.682835E-6 | 8.491916E-6 | 2.0E-4 | 23.551813 | 2.0849022E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 2.8640408E-5 | 3.639345E-5 | 5.0E-4 | 13.738737 | 5.363753E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 3.4864116E-4 | 4.430058E-4 | 0.0029 | 6.54619 | 0.0029418983 | 0.0025 | 0.003480947 | 0.004438951 | 0.0088 | 1.9824502 | 0.01061143 | 0.0062 |
6.8 | 6.5774975E-6 | 8.33833E-6 | 2.0E-4 | 23.985619 | 2.0833666E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 2.8188972E-5 | 3.573524E-5 | 5.0E-4 | 13.99179 | 5.3571735E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 3.4314668E-4 | 4.3499537E-4 | 0.0029 | 6.666738 | 0.0029339078 | 0.0025 | 0.0034261728 | 0.0043591084 | 0.0088 | 2.0187614 | 0.010532082 | 0.0062 |
6.9 | 6.363419E-6 | 8.011343E-6 | 2.0E-4 | 24.964602 | 2.0800975E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 2.727151E-5 | 3.433391E-5 | 5.0E-4 | 14.562862 | 5.3431676E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 3.3198006E-4 | 4.1794076E-4 | 0.0028 | 6.699514 | 0.0028169376 | 0.0024 | 0.0033148455 | 0.0041890363 | 0.0087 | 2.07685 | 0.010263483 | 0.0061 |
7.0 | 6.1342453E-6 | 7.643341E-6 | 2.0E-4 | 26.166567 | 2.0764182E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 2.6289357E-5 | 3.2756794E-5 | 5.0E-4 | 15.2640085 | 5.3274044E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 3.2002592E-4 | 3.9874652E-4 | 0.0028 | 7.022005 | 0.0027977896 | 0.0024 | 0.0031956544 | 0.0039976123 | 0.0085 | 2.1262693 | 0.009973627 | 0.006 |
7.1 | 5.842926E-6 | 7.1535937E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 13.978989 | 1.07152875E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.504087E-5 | 3.0657928E-5 | 4.0E-4 | 13.047196 | 4.3064565E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 3.0482994E-4 | 3.7320176E-4 | 0.0023 | 6.162886 | 0.0025723807 | 0.0022 | 0.0030441214 | 0.00374276 | 0.0077 | 2.0573053 | 0.009521052 | 0.0058 |
7.2 | 4.77173E-6 | 5.368815E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 18.626085 | 1.0536828E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.045011E-5 | 2.3009026E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 8.692241 | 2.2300442E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 2.4895166E-4 | 2.8010295E-4 | 0.0015 | 5.355174 | 0.0016797108 | 0.0014 | 0.0024867293 | 0.0028138845 | 0.0055 | 1.9545933 | 0.006902348 | 0.0041 |
7.3 | 3.0494948E-6 | 2.7179788E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7179788E-6 | 0.0 | 1.3069198E-5 | 1.164843E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 8.584848 | 1.1164726E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5910587E-4 | 1.4181057E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 2.8206644 | 5.4175383E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0015899199 | 0.0014272605 | 0.0016 | 1.1210287 | 0.0026255478 | 0.0012 |
7.4 | 2.7263884E-6 | 2.312722E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.312722E-6 | 0.0 | 1.1684469E-5 | 9.911629E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 10.089159 | 1.0991064E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4224913E-4 | 1.2066751E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 2.4861705 | 4.2063132E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0014215811 | 0.001215011 | 0.0013 | 1.0699493 | 0.0023136744 | 0.0011 |
7.5 | 2.6090431E-6 | 2.1725177E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1725177E-6 | 0.0 | 1.1181565E-5 | 9.310757E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 10.740265 | 1.09309825E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.3612706E-4 | 1.1335267E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 2.6466074 | 4.1331866E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.001360437 | 0.0011416764 | 0.0012 | 1.0510858 | 0.0021405348 | 0.001 |
7.6 | 2.3008756E-6 | 1.8793033E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8793033E-6 | 0.0 | 9.860858E-6 | 8.054133E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 12.415986 | 1.08053326E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.20049335E-4 | 9.8054734E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.0396771 | 2.9803513E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.001199845 | 9.885007E-4 | 0.001 | 1.0116332 | 0.0017877098 | 8.0E-4 |
7.7 | 1.7184348E-6 | 1.3479334E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3479334E-6 | 0.0 | 7.3646997E-6 | 5.7768452E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.7768452E-6 | 0.0 | 8.966153E-5 | 7.033086E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.033086E-5 | 0.0 | 8.962536E-4 | 7.1112585E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.42186627 | 8.110547E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.8 | 8.4612907E-7 | 8.448996E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.448996E-7 | 0.0 | 3.6262625E-6 | 3.6209933E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.6209933E-6 | 0.0 | 4.4148852E-5 | 4.4084725E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.4084725E-5 | 0.0 | 4.414008E-4 | 4.464337E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.22399743 | 5.46389E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.9 | 2.716738E-7 | 3.787158E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.787158E-7 | 0.0 | 1.1643157E-6 | 1.6230667E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6230667E-6 | 0.0 | 1.4175452E-5 | 1.976067E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.976067E-5 | 0.0 | 1.4174548E-4 | 1.9956048E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5011012 | 2.9954052E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
8.0 | 2.1995428E-8 | 3.398418E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.398418E-8 | 0.0 | 9.426611E-8 | 1.4564648E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4564648E-7 | 0.0 | 1.1476893E-6 | 1.7732452E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7732452E-6 | 0.0 | 1.14768345E-5 | 1.8277846E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 5.471104 | 1.1827602E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
San Andreas (Big Bend)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.0203188E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.9899428 | 3.0201167E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.655646E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.23106305 | 9.654781E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0052979486 | 0.010487616 | 0.007 | 0.6674539 | 0.012565592 | 0.0021 | 0.051734097 | 0.10204338 | 0.0638 | 0.6252243 | 0.11739844 | 0.0171 |
6.1 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.0203188E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.9899428 | 3.0201167E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.655646E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.23106305 | 9.654781E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0052979486 | 0.010487616 | 0.007 | 0.6674539 | 0.012565592 | 0.0021 | 0.051734097 | 0.10204338 | 0.0638 | 0.6252243 | 0.11739844 | 0.0171 |
6.2 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.0203188E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.9899428 | 3.0201167E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.655646E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.23106305 | 9.654781E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0052979486 | 0.010487616 | 0.007 | 0.6674539 | 0.012565592 | 0.0021 | 0.051734097 | 0.10204338 | 0.0638 | 0.6252243 | 0.11739844 | 0.0171 |
6.3 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.0203188E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.9899428 | 3.0201167E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.655646E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.23106305 | 9.654781E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0052979486 | 0.010487616 | 0.007 | 0.6674539 | 0.012565592 | 0.0021 | 0.051734097 | 0.10204338 | 0.0638 | 0.6252243 | 0.11739844 | 0.0171 |
6.4 | 9.1639464E-5 | 1.855804E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0777 | 2.8556184E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.9268145E-4 | 7.951024E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.25153995 | 8.950229E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0047704205 | 0.009637524 | 0.0064 | 0.66407096 | 0.011519213 | 0.0019 | 0.046693064 | 0.09434208 | 0.0588 | 0.6232637 | 0.10828922 | 0.0154 |
6.5 | 9.1639464E-5 | 1.855804E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0777 | 2.8556184E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.9268145E-4 | 7.951024E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.25153995 | 8.950229E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0047704205 | 0.009637524 | 0.0064 | 0.66407096 | 0.011519213 | 0.0019 | 0.046693064 | 0.09434208 | 0.0588 | 0.6232637 | 0.10828922 | 0.0154 |
6.6 | 9.042622E-5 | 1.8364786E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0890408 | 2.836295E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.8748336E-4 | 7.868251E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.2541861 | 8.867464E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0047074095 | 0.009537633 | 0.0063 | 0.66054124 | 0.011419511 | 0.0019 | 0.046089325 | 0.093438126 | 0.0583 | 0.6239423 | 0.10739918 | 0.0154 |
6.7 | 8.9836685E-5 | 1.8279013E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.094151 | 2.8277186E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.8495753E-4 | 7.8315125E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.2553785 | 8.8307296E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.00467679 | 0.009493294 | 0.0063 | 0.6636264 | 0.011375257 | 0.0019 | 0.045795817 | 0.09303213 | 0.0577 | 0.62021583 | 0.10681804 | 0.0152 |
6.8 | 8.9471854E-5 | 1.8225674E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0973531 | 2.8223853E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.8339442E-4 | 7.808667E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.25612566 | 8.8078866E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004657841 | 0.009465721 | 0.0063 | 0.6655594 | 0.011347737 | 0.0019 | 0.04561414 | 0.09277857 | 0.0577 | 0.6219108 | 0.10656834 | 0.0152 |
6.9 | 8.858234E-5 | 1.810744E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.1045184 | 2.8105627E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.7958333E-4 | 7.7580253E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.25779757 | 8.7572495E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004611638 | 0.009404599 | 0.0063 | 0.66988504 | 0.01118767 | 0.0018 | 0.04517103 | 0.09221845 | 0.0574 | 0.6224351 | 0.105925955 | 0.0151 |
7.0 | 8.7433385E-5 | 1.794592E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.1144595 | 2.7944124E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.746607E-4 | 7.688843E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.26011714 | 8.6880743E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004551957 | 0.009321094 | 0.0062 | 0.66515803 | 0.0111043155 | 0.0018 | 0.044598386 | 0.0914515 | 0.0571 | 0.6243746 | 0.105170585 | 0.0151 |
7.1 | 8.684964E-5 | 1.7857668E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.1199671 | 2.7855881E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.7215967E-4 | 7.651043E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.26140225 | 8.6502783E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0045216335 | 0.009275464 | 0.0062 | 0.66843015 | 0.011058768 | 0.0018 | 0.04430731 | 0.09103237 | 0.057 | 0.6261509 | 0.10475778 | 0.0151 |
7.2 | 8.606521E-5 | 1.7748086E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.1268821 | 2.774631E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.6879873E-4 | 7.6041074E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.26301575 | 8.603347E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0044808835 | 0.009218805 | 0.0061 | 0.66169095 | 0.011002211 | 0.0018 | 0.043916024 | 0.090511784 | 0.0565 | 0.62422806 | 0.10415411 | 0.015 |
7.3 | 8.568266E-5 | 1.7689851E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.1305918 | 2.7688083E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.6715972E-4 | 7.5791636E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.26388136 | 8.578406E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0044610105 | 0.009188693 | 0.0061 | 0.66385937 | 0.010972153 | 0.0018 | 0.043725148 | 0.090232216 | 0.0564 | 0.6250539 | 0.10378776 | 0.0149 |
7.4 | 8.5432206E-5 | 1.7652287E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.1329978 | 2.7650522E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.6608664E-4 | 7.563074E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.26444274 | 8.562318E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004447999 | 0.009169268 | 0.0061 | 0.6652657 | 0.010952764 | 0.0018 | 0.043600157 | 0.090051875 | 0.0562 | 0.6240847 | 0.103519104 | 0.0148 |
7.5 | 8.4791965E-5 | 1.7521094E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.1414813 | 2.7519342E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.633435E-4 | 7.5068814E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.2664222 | 8.5061305E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0044147377 | 0.009101427 | 0.0061 | 0.67022455 | 0.010885045 | 0.0018 | 0.043280575 | 0.0894272 | 0.056 | 0.62620765 | 0.102812625 | 0.0147 |
7.6 | 8.241105E-5 | 1.6964413E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.1789385 | 2.6962717E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.531424E-4 | 7.2684383E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.27516225 | 8.267712E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0042910352 | 0.008813508 | 0.006 | 0.6807732 | 0.010498525 | 0.0017 | 0.042091176 | 0.086798504 | 0.0544 | 0.62673897 | 0.09967464 | 0.0141 |
7.7 | 7.00432E-5 | 1.4316475E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.3969918 | 2.4315044E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.001506E-4 | 6.13419E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.32604143 | 7.1335764E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0036482112 | 0.0074428427 | 0.0048 | 0.6449149 | 0.008832422 | 0.0014 | 0.035888977 | 0.07402863 | 0.0454 | 0.61327624 | 0.08486249 | 0.0117 |
7.8 | 6.415362E-5 | 1.3069893E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.5302345 | 2.3068585E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.749151E-4 | 5.6001806E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.35713133 | 6.5996207E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0033419547 | 0.0067969346 | 0.0042 | 0.6179256 | 0.007988779 | 0.0012 | 0.03292141 | 0.067716375 | 0.0416 | 0.614327 | 0.07741213 | 0.0104 |
7.9 | 4.939911E-5 | 9.413718E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.124559 | 1.9412777E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.116933E-4 | 4.033827E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.49580708 | 5.0334237E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0025743195 | 0.004900134 | 0.0028 | 0.5714129 | 0.0055967043 | 7.0E-4 | 0.025447013 | 0.049254965 | 0.0292 | 0.59283364 | 0.05572003 | 0.0068 |
8.0 | 3.344983E-5 | 5.2659285E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 3.7980008 | 1.5265401E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4334853E-4 | 2.2566313E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.88627684 | 3.2564058E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0017438711 | 0.0027439888 | 0.0013 | 0.47376287 | 0.0031428912 | 4.0E-4 | 0.017302496 | 0.028135225 | 0.0155 | 0.55091083 | 0.031245193 | 0.0032 |
8.1 | 1.9104898E-5 | 1.9383097E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 10.318269 | 1.19381155E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 8.1875565E-5 | 8.3067775E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.4076726 | 1.8305947E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 9.963791E-4 | 0.0010108815 | 6.0E-4 | 0.5935414 | 0.0012106794 | 2.0E-4 | 0.009919235 | 0.010860208 | 0.0055 | 0.50643593 | 0.012047176 | 0.0012 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.5536157E-6 | 2.0E-4 | 36.012573 | 1.0555306E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3800994E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 8.40301 | 1.2379861E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8973864E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.6902773 | 3.8970966E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0032917638 | 0.0013 | 0.39492503 | 0.0036904472 | 4.0E-4 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.7872784E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.7872784E-7 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.3374008E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3374008E-6 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.0632116E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0632116E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.792776E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.20864734 | 4.792776E-4 | 0.0 |
Calaveras (Central) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5010907E-4 | 2.4854988E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.609335 | 4.4850016E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 6.4316596E-4 | 0.0010646776 | 8.0E-4 | 0.7514011 | 0.0014642518 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0078024664 | 0.012876651 | 0.0084 | 0.6523435 | 0.01534446 | 0.0025 | 0.07534136 | 0.120618545 | 0.0746 | 0.6184787 | 0.13416103 | 0.0154 |
6.1 | 1.4521465E-4 | 2.4016028E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.6655544 | 4.4011226E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 6.222001E-4 | 0.0010287508 | 7.0E-4 | 0.6804369 | 0.0013284421 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0075490056 | 0.012445705 | 0.008 | 0.642792 | 0.014717081 | 0.0023 | 0.07297657 | 0.11688869 | 0.0721 | 0.6168262 | 0.12987041 | 0.0147 |
6.2 | 1.429998E-4 | 2.3946541E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.6703874 | 4.3941752E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 6.127123E-4 | 0.0010257753 | 7.0E-4 | 0.68241066 | 0.0013254676 | 3.0E-4 | 0.007434286 | 0.0124099385 | 0.008 | 0.6446446 | 0.014681396 | 0.0023 | 0.07190444 | 0.11653886 | 0.072 | 0.61781967 | 0.12952574 | 0.0147 |
6.3 | 1.3536277E-4 | 2.3275973E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.7185103 | 4.327132E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 5.799972E-4 | 9.970631E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.7020619 | 0.001296764 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0070386264 | 0.012065202 | 0.0079 | 0.65477556 | 0.014337452 | 0.0023 | 0.0681982 | 0.11344335 | 0.0705 | 0.62145555 | 0.1261211 | 0.0143 |
6.4 | 1.2993296E-4 | 2.269819E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.7622552 | 4.269365E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 5.5673666E-4 | 9.723198E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.7199277 | 0.0012720281 | 3.0E-4 | 0.006757223 | 0.011767313 | 0.0078 | 0.6628531 | 0.0140402485 | 0.0023 | 0.06555412 | 0.11071556 | 0.0691 | 0.62412184 | 0.12325447 | 0.0141 |
6.5 | 1.0498927E-4 | 1.8024998E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 2.2191405 | 3.8021393E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 4.498764E-4 | 7.722703E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.9064184 | 0.0010720387 | 3.0E-4 | 0.005463498 | 0.009361765 | 0.0069 | 0.73704046 | 0.011442106 | 0.0021 | 0.053311124 | 0.08938528 | 0.0577 | 0.64552015 | 0.10040372 | 0.0121 |
6.6 | 1.0157505E-4 | 1.7511995E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 2.2841487 | 3.7508493E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 4.35249E-4 | 7.502974E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.7996829 | 0.0010500724 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0052862884 | 0.009096545 | 0.0065 | 0.714557 | 0.011177443 | 0.0021 | 0.05162293 | 0.086960845 | 0.056 | 0.643968 | 0.09791732 | 0.012 |
6.7 | 9.660386E-5 | 1.6770198E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 2.3851836 | 3.6766843E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 4.1395082E-4 | 7.1852433E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.8350448 | 0.0010183088 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0050282106 | 0.008712904 | 0.0063 | 0.7230655 | 0.010794606 | 0.0021 | 0.049159497 | 0.08344614 | 0.0536 | 0.64233047 | 0.09398651 | 0.0115 |
6.8 | 9.089927E-5 | 1.5682819E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 2.550562 | 3.567968E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 3.8951015E-4 | 6.719476E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.74410564 | 9.71746E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0047319788 | 0.0081502395 | 0.0058 | 0.71163553 | 0.010233124 | 0.0021 | 0.046324775 | 0.07833386 | 0.0511 | 0.652336 | 0.08856436 | 0.0111 |
6.9 | 7.353187E-5 | 1.2328938E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 3.2443993 | 3.232647E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 3.150985E-4 | 5.2827667E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.9464738 | 8.281182E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0038295772 | 0.0064129224 | 0.0046 | 0.71730167 | 0.008201379 | 0.0018 | 0.037642512 | 0.062341366 | 0.0423 | 0.67852217 | 0.07096782 | 0.0092 |
7.0 | 5.746064E-5 | 9.416931E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.1238344 | 1.9415989E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.4623662E-4 | 4.0352068E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.7434563 | 6.0344E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0029938098 | 0.0049018688 | 0.0036 | 0.7344138 | 0.0061954963 | 0.0013 | 0.02953797 | 0.04811951 | 0.032 | 0.66501087 | 0.054877862 | 0.0071 |
7.1 | 4.9557195E-5 | 8.077031E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.4761574 | 1.8076223E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.123707E-4 | 3.4611288E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.86676925 | 5.460437E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0025825473 | 0.0042058453 | 0.0032 | 0.7608459 | 0.005301219 | 0.0011 | 0.0255274 | 0.041490447 | 0.0274 | 0.66039294 | 0.047049806 | 0.0058 |
7.2 | 3.687595E-5 | 5.9754122E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 3.3470495 | 1.5974815E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5803022E-4 | 2.5606412E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.1715815 | 4.560129E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0019223199 | 0.0031131532 | 0.0025 | 0.8030443 | 0.0040103514 | 9.0E-4 | 0.01905776 | 0.030995104 | 0.0202 | 0.6517158 | 0.034677323 | 0.0038 |
7.3 | 2.5846984E-5 | 4.2672225E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.3434446 | 1.4266797E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1076809E-4 | 1.8286826E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0936836 | 3.8283167E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0013477671 | 0.0022241652 | 0.002 | 0.89921373 | 0.0031221635 | 9.0E-4 | 0.013396223 | 0.022273581 | 0.0151 | 0.67793316 | 0.025304534 | 0.0031 |
7.4 | 1.7747854E-5 | 3.0051217E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.3276525 | 1.3004821E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 7.6060016E-5 | 1.2878458E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.5529809 | 3.2875882E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 9.2563726E-4 | 0.0015668275 | 0.0014 | 0.8935253 | 0.0021658875 | 6.0E-4 | 0.009217911 | 0.015764812 | 0.009 | 0.5708917 | 0.01763486 | 0.0019 |
7.5 | 1.4883479E-5 | 2.6351172E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.7948978 | 1.2634853E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.378478E-5 | 1.1292872E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.7710286 | 3.1290614E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 7.76303E-4 | 0.0013740428 | 0.0013 | 0.94611317 | 0.0019732183 | 6.0E-4 | 0.0077359667 | 0.013854642 | 0.0082 | 0.5918594 | 0.015629703 | 0.0018 |
7.6 | 8.166975E-6 | 1.5043279E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5043279E-5 | 0.0 | 3.5000852E-5 | 6.4469605E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.4469605E-5 | 0.0 | 4.2605202E-4 | 7.846361E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.5097904 | 7.846361E-4 | 0.0 | 0.004252361 | 0.007978201 | 0.0044 | 0.55150276 | 0.008871021 | 9.0E-4 |
7.7 | 3.3858064E-6 | 6.3037724E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.3037724E-6 | 0.0 | 1.4510518E-5 | 2.7015887E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7015887E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7665124E-4 | 3.2886886E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2886886E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0017651088 | 0.0034128537 | 0.0019 | 0.5567188 | 0.0038114886 | 4.0E-4 |
7.8 | 2.7721615E-6 | 5.409279E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.409279E-6 | 0.0 | 1.1880637E-5 | 2.3182418E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3182418E-5 | 0.0 | 1.4463716E-4 | 2.8220942E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8220942E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0014454306 | 0.002928597 | 0.0018 | 0.6146288 | 0.0033274256 | 4.0E-4 |
7.9 | 1.9736292E-6 | 4.1600506E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.1600506E-6 | 0.0 | 8.4583835E-6 | 1.7828668E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7828668E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0297595E-4 | 2.1704244E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1704244E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0010292825 | 0.0022390748 | 0.0014 | 0.62525827 | 0.002438627 | 2.0E-4 |
8.0 | 1.1767289E-6 | 2.5732104E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5732104E-6 | 0.0 | 5.0431145E-6 | 1.1027998E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1027998E-5 | 0.0 | 6.139818E-5 | 1.3425763E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3425763E-4 | 0.0 | 6.1381224E-4 | 0.0013752669 | 8.0E-4 | 0.5817053 | 0.0014751294 | 1.0E-4 |
8.1 | 7.5112825E-7 | 1.5523256E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5523256E-6 | 0.0 | 3.2191172E-6 | 6.652807E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.652807E-6 | 0.0 | 3.9192048E-5 | 8.099494E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.099494E-5 | 0.0 | 3.9185135E-4 | 8.291874E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.603 | 9.2910446E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
San Andreas (Mojave N)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9534229E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0238439 | 2.9532277E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.3691283E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.35846028 | 9.3682914E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010141938 | 0.0079 | 0.77894384 | 0.012418612 | 0.0023 | 0.05023708 | 0.09890564 | 0.0646 | 0.6531478 | 0.11440446 | 0.0172 |
6.1 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9534229E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0238439 | 2.9532277E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.3691283E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.35846028 | 9.3682914E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010141938 | 0.0079 | 0.77894384 | 0.012418612 | 0.0023 | 0.05023708 | 0.09890564 | 0.0646 | 0.6531478 | 0.11440446 | 0.0172 |
6.2 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9534229E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0238439 | 2.9532277E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.3691283E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.35846028 | 9.3682914E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010141938 | 0.0079 | 0.77894384 | 0.012418612 | 0.0023 | 0.05023708 | 0.09890564 | 0.0646 | 0.6531478 | 0.11440446 | 0.0172 |
6.3 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9534229E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0238439 | 2.9532277E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.3691283E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.35846028 | 9.3682914E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010141938 | 0.0079 | 0.77894384 | 0.012418612 | 0.0023 | 0.05023708 | 0.09890564 | 0.0646 | 0.6531478 | 0.11440446 | 0.0172 |
6.4 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9534229E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0238439 | 2.9532277E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.3691283E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.35846028 | 9.3682914E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010141938 | 0.0079 | 0.77894384 | 0.012418612 | 0.0023 | 0.05023708 | 0.09890564 | 0.0646 | 0.6531478 | 0.11440446 | 0.0172 |
6.5 | 9.861474E-5 | 1.9507951E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0252229 | 2.9506002E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.2256617E-4 | 8.357874E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.35894296 | 9.357038E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0051326132 | 0.010128363 | 0.0079 | 0.7799878 | 0.012405069 | 0.0023 | 0.050156746 | 0.09878342 | 0.0645 | 0.65294355 | 0.114284344 | 0.0172 |
6.6 | 9.861474E-5 | 1.9507951E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0252229 | 2.9506002E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.2256617E-4 | 8.357874E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.35894296 | 9.357038E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0051326132 | 0.010128363 | 0.0079 | 0.7799878 | 0.012405069 | 0.0023 | 0.050156746 | 0.09878342 | 0.0645 | 0.65294355 | 0.114284344 | 0.0172 |
6.7 | 9.8552715E-5 | 1.9497889E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0257521 | 2.949594E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.223004E-4 | 8.353564E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.35912815 | 9.3527284E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0051293927 | 0.010123165 | 0.0079 | 0.78038836 | 0.012399882 | 0.0023 | 0.050125998 | 0.09873676 | 0.0644 | 0.6522393 | 0.11423849 | 0.0172 |
6.8 | 9.8464974E-5 | 1.9483015E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0265352 | 2.9481068E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.219245E-4 | 8.347194E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.3594022 | 9.3463593E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0051248376 | 0.010115481 | 0.0079 | 0.7809811 | 0.012392215 | 0.0023 | 0.05008251 | 0.09866643 | 0.0644 | 0.65270424 | 0.11416937 | 0.0172 |
6.9 | 9.825824E-5 | 1.945095E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0282274 | 2.9449005E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.2103877E-4 | 8.33346E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.35999453 | 9.332627E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0051141046 | 0.010098916 | 0.0078 | 0.77236015 | 0.012375688 | 0.0023 | 0.049980022 | 0.09851554 | 0.0641 | 0.6506588 | 0.11402107 | 0.0172 |
7.0 | 9.781462E-5 | 1.9382163E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0318766 | 2.9380224E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.1913814E-4 | 8.3039986E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.36127174 | 9.303168E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005091073 | 0.010063378 | 0.0077 | 0.7651506 | 0.012340233 | 0.0023 | 0.04976007 | 0.09819152 | 0.064 | 0.65178746 | 0.113702625 | 0.0172 |
7.1 | 9.7121134E-5 | 1.9283664E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0371473 | 2.9281736E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.1616702E-4 | 8.261812E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.36311647 | 9.2609855E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005055068 | 0.010012489 | 0.0077 | 0.7690395 | 0.012289461 | 0.0023 | 0.04941613 | 0.09772747 | 0.0638 | 0.6528359 | 0.11324655 | 0.0172 |
7.2 | 9.663819E-5 | 1.92143E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0408914 | 2.921238E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.1409794E-4 | 8.232103E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.36442694 | 9.23128E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0050299936 | 0.009976651 | 0.0076 | 0.7617787 | 0.012253704 | 0.0023 | 0.049176537 | 0.09740033 | 0.0635 | 0.6519485 | 0.11292504 | 0.0172 |
7.3 | 9.6277574E-5 | 1.9166627E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0434804 | 2.916471E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.125529E-4 | 8.211685E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.36533308 | 9.2108635E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0050112694 | 0.009952018 | 0.0076 | 0.7636642 | 0.012229129 | 0.0023 | 0.04899759 | 0.097173125 | 0.0635 | 0.65347284 | 0.11270175 | 0.0172 |
7.4 | 9.593308E-5 | 1.91062E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0467806 | 2.910429E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.1107697E-4 | 8.185804E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.36648813 | 9.1849855E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0049933824 | 0.009920796 | 0.0076 | 0.76606756 | 0.012197979 | 0.0023 | 0.04882661 | 0.096890934 | 0.0634 | 0.65434396 | 0.112334095 | 0.0171 |
7.5 | 9.561707E-5 | 1.9052092E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0497534 | 2.9050186E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.0972308E-4 | 8.1626297E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.36752862 | 9.161813E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0049769743 | 0.009892838 | 0.0076 | 0.7682325 | 0.012170085 | 0.0023 | 0.048669744 | 0.096636474 | 0.0633 | 0.65503216 | 0.112083994 | 0.0171 |
7.6 | 9.418194E-5 | 1.870332E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0693289 | 2.870145E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.0357444E-4 | 8.013248E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.37438002 | 9.0124464E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004902454 | 0.009712601 | 0.0075 | 0.7721928 | 0.011990262 | 0.0023 | 0.047957025 | 0.09501434 | 0.0616 | 0.6483232 | 0.10985611 | 0.0164 |
7.7 | 8.202141E-5 | 1.6141271E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.2390598 | 2.6139658E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.51473E-4 | 6.915854E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.4337859 | 7.915163E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.00427079 | 0.008387603 | 0.0064 | 0.7630308 | 0.010469989 | 0.0021 | 0.04189639 | 0.082775444 | 0.0527 | 0.63666224 | 0.09552487 | 0.0139 |
7.8 | 7.2859846E-5 | 1.4624366E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.3675807 | 2.4622903E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.1221908E-4 | 6.2660803E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.4787682 | 7.2654535E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.003794643 | 0.007602309 | 0.0053 | 0.6971566 | 0.009090906 | 0.0015 | 0.037304975 | 0.07521693 | 0.0477 | 0.63416576 | 0.086406805 | 0.0121 |
7.9 | 5.3874453E-5 | 1.0121536E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.9759847 | 2.0120523E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.3087008E-4 | 4.33708E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.46113974 | 5.3366466E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0028072202 | 0.005267622 | 0.0034 | 0.64545256 | 0.006162881 | 9.0E-4 | 0.02772022 | 0.052779637 | 0.0324 | 0.6138731 | 0.060073234 | 0.0077 |
8.0 | 3.468538E-5 | 5.4698838E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 3.656385 | 1.5469336E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4864317E-4 | 2.3440253E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.8532331 | 3.343791E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0018082283 | 0.0028501179 | 0.0015 | 0.52629405 | 0.0032489777 | 4.0E-4 | 0.017935853 | 0.029163266 | 0.0163 | 0.55892235 | 0.032561194 | 0.0035 |
8.1 | 1.9152367E-5 | 1.9611292E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 10.198206 | 1.1960933E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 8.207899E-5 | 8.4045685E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.379658 | 1.8403729E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 9.988535E-4 | 0.0010227766 | 7.0E-4 | 0.68441147 | 0.001222572 | 2.0E-4 | 0.009943757 | 0.010965731 | 0.0058 | 0.5289205 | 0.012251476 | 0.0013 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.5536157E-6 | 2.0E-4 | 36.012573 | 1.0555306E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3800994E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 8.40301 | 1.2379861E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8973864E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.6902773 | 3.8970966E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0032917638 | 0.0013 | 0.39492503 | 0.0036904472 | 4.0E-4 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.7872784E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.7872784E-7 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.3374008E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3374008E-6 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.0632116E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0632116E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.792776E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.20864734 | 4.792776E-4 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (San Bernardino S)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2336002E-4 | 3.008007E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.33244604 | 4.007706E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0012885351 | 4.0E-4 | 0.31043005 | 0.0013884061 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006416472 | 0.0155800395 | 0.0089 | 0.5712437 | 0.01754888 | 0.002 | 0.06234337 | 0.14298686 | 0.0801 | 0.56019133 | 0.15712757 | 0.0165 |
6.1 | 1.2336002E-4 | 3.008007E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.33244604 | 4.007706E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0012885351 | 4.0E-4 | 0.31043005 | 0.0013884061 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006416472 | 0.0155800395 | 0.0089 | 0.5712437 | 0.01754888 | 0.002 | 0.06234337 | 0.14298686 | 0.0801 | 0.56019133 | 0.15712757 | 0.0165 |
6.2 | 1.2336002E-4 | 3.008007E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.33244604 | 4.007706E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0012885351 | 4.0E-4 | 0.31043005 | 0.0013884061 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006416472 | 0.0155800395 | 0.0089 | 0.5712437 | 0.01754888 | 0.002 | 0.06234337 | 0.14298686 | 0.0801 | 0.56019133 | 0.15712757 | 0.0165 |
6.3 | 1.1712257E-4 | 2.886753E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.34640995 | 3.8864644E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.018573E-4 | 0.0012366191 | 4.0E-4 | 0.32346258 | 0.0013364954 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006093008 | 0.014956758 | 0.0087 | 0.58167684 | 0.016926844 | 0.002 | 0.059286322 | 0.13768905 | 0.0775 | 0.56286246 | 0.15157226 | 0.0161 |
6.4 | 1.1712257E-4 | 2.886753E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.34640995 | 3.8864644E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.018573E-4 | 0.0012366191 | 4.0E-4 | 0.32346258 | 0.0013364954 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006093008 | 0.014956758 | 0.0087 | 0.58167684 | 0.016926844 | 0.002 | 0.059286322 | 0.13768905 | 0.0775 | 0.56286246 | 0.15157226 | 0.0161 |
6.5 | 1.0689076E-4 | 2.6879078E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.37203658 | 3.687639E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.5802278E-4 | 0.0011514768 | 4.0E-4 | 0.34738 | 0.0012513616 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0055621783 | 0.013933743 | 0.008 | 0.5741458 | 0.01580727 | 0.0019 | 0.05425003 | 0.12892485 | 0.0733 | 0.56854826 | 0.14233941 | 0.0154 |
6.6 | 9.7648895E-5 | 2.512251E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.3980494 | 3.5119997E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.1842813E-4 | 0.0010762584 | 4.0E-4 | 0.37165797 | 0.0011761507 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005082469 | 0.013029097 | 0.0075 | 0.5756347 | 0.014805644 | 0.0018 | 0.049677886 | 0.12109803 | 0.0695 | 0.57391524 | 0.13410577 | 0.0148 |
6.7 | 8.757013E-5 | 2.319215E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.4311804 | 3.318983E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.7524657E-4 | 9.93593E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.4025793 | 0.0010934937 | 1.0E-4 | 0.00455906 | 0.012033994 | 0.0072 | 0.5983051 | 0.013812333 | 0.0018 | 0.04466656 | 0.112376615 | 0.0643 | 0.5721831 | 0.12471458 | 0.0139 |
6.8 | 8.562978E-5 | 2.275147E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.43953204 | 3.2749196E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.6693315E-4 | 9.747209E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.41037387 | 0.0010746234 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004458263 | 0.011806732 | 0.007 | 0.5928821 | 0.01348666 | 0.0017 | 0.043698758 | 0.11038928 | 0.0632 | 0.5725194 | 0.122576945 | 0.0137 |
6.9 | 6.124075E-5 | 1.7128915E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5838081 | 2.7127203E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.6243398E-4 | 7.338907E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.40878022 | 8.338173E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0031904527 | 0.008898722 | 0.0054 | 0.60682875 | 0.010385374 | 0.0015 | 0.031450346 | 0.08445025 | 0.0501 | 0.59324867 | 0.09497907 | 0.0115 |
7.0 | 5.8598747E-5 | 1.6557299E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.60396326 | 2.6555642E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.5111332E-4 | 7.0940633E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.4228888 | 8.093354E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0030530186 | 0.008603015 | 0.0052 | 0.60443926 | 0.009990971 | 0.0014 | 0.03011414 | 0.08176124 | 0.0489 | 0.5980829 | 0.09186187 | 0.011 |
7.1 | 5.613814E-5 | 1.59752E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.62597024 | 2.5973603E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.4056983E-4 | 6.8447256E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.43829367 | 7.844041E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0029250039 | 0.008301794 | 0.0051 | 0.61432505 | 0.009690171 | 0.0014 | 0.028868021 | 0.07906632 | 0.0472 | 0.5969672 | 0.0890124 | 0.0108 |
7.2 | 4.991222E-5 | 1.4580184E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.6858624 | 2.4578726E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.1389198E-4 | 6.2471576E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.32014558 | 7.246533E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.002601025 | 0.0075794933 | 0.0044 | 0.5805137 | 0.0088696405 | 0.0013 | 0.025707912 | 0.07250567 | 0.0439 | 0.6054699 | 0.08196611 | 0.0102 |
7.3 | 4.7410045E-5 | 1.3773046E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.7260558 | 2.3771668E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.0317009E-4 | 5.901402E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.33890253 | 6.9008116E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0024707897 | 0.0071613733 | 0.0041 | 0.5725159 | 0.00835278 | 0.0012 | 0.024434982 | 0.06878738 | 0.0401 | 0.5829558 | 0.07744766 | 0.0093 |
7.4 | 4.5556746E-5 | 1.3179917E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.7587301 | 2.3178599E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.952286E-4 | 5.647316E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.35415053 | 6.6467514E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.002374317 | 0.006854011 | 0.0039 | 0.56900984 | 0.007946472 | 0.0011 | 0.023491086 | 0.06603999 | 0.039 | 0.5905513 | 0.07416544 | 0.0087 |
7.5 | 4.3084514E-5 | 1.2414035E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.80553985 | 2.2412794E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.8463485E-4 | 5.319219E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.37599504 | 6.318687E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0022456115 | 0.006456991 | 0.0036 | 0.55753523 | 0.007450534 | 0.001 | 0.022230545 | 0.06243805 | 0.0363 | 0.58137625 | 0.07031357 | 0.0084 |
7.6 | 3.408608E-5 | 9.8877055E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.011357 | 1.9886717E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4607502E-4 | 4.2369007E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.47204316 | 5.236477E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0017770125 | 0.005146252 | 0.003 | 0.58294857 | 0.0060416204 | 9.0E-4 | 0.017628696 | 0.05025189 | 0.0295 | 0.58704257 | 0.056710176 | 0.0068 |
7.7 | 2.8315713E-5 | 8.297733E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2051485 | 1.8296903E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2134742E-4 | 3.5556869E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.56247926 | 4.5553313E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0014764034 | 0.0043204646 | 0.0029 | 0.67122406 | 0.005216576 | 9.0E-4 | 0.01466633 | 0.042490926 | 0.0243 | 0.5718868 | 0.047852978 | 0.0056 |
7.8 | 2.6222975E-5 | 7.508956E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.331743 | 1.7508205E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1237934E-4 | 3.2177276E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.62155664 | 4.2174058E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0013673597 | 0.0039105522 | 0.0028 | 0.7160114 | 0.0048070326 | 9.0E-4 | 0.013589768 | 0.03864302 | 0.0222 | 0.57448924 | 0.043449808 | 0.005 |
7.9 | 2.1469694E-5 | 5.8261867E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.7163886 | 1.5825604E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 9.200973E-5 | 2.4966983E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.40052897 | 3.4964486E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0011196428 | 0.0030354962 | 0.0023 | 0.75770146 | 0.0038330678 | 8.0E-4 | 0.011140184 | 0.030326871 | 0.0173 | 0.5704512 | 0.034593433 | 0.0044 |
8.0 | 1.2420249E-5 | 3.1534346E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.1711454 | 1.315312E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.322855E-5 | 1.351402E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.73997223 | 2.3512669E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.478649E-4 | 0.0016440913 | 0.0011 | 0.6690626 | 0.0020434337 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0064597935 | 0.016623398 | 0.0074 | 0.44515568 | 0.018393476 | 0.0018 |
8.1 | 4.9197724E-6 | 7.903168E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 12.653153 | 1.0790238E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.1084568E-5 | 3.387028E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.9524407 | 1.338669E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.566744E-4 | 4.1229278E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.9701843 | 6.122103E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.002563781 | 0.004425192 | 0.0014 | 0.3163705 | 0.004922979 | 5.0E-4 |
8.2 | 2.5634774E-6 | 2.9441167E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 33.966045 | 1.0294382E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0986286E-5 | 1.2617582E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 7.925449 | 1.1261632E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.3374983E-4 | 1.5360827E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.6510066 | 2.535929E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0013366934 | 0.0017246727 | 4.0E-4 | 0.23192805 | 0.0019243278 | 2.0E-4 |
8.3 | 5.2850464E-7 | 3.258785E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.258785E-7 | 0.0 | 2.2650179E-6 | 1.3966214E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3966214E-6 | 0.0 | 2.7576245E-5 | 1.7003747E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7003747E-5 | 0.0 | 2.7572823E-4 | 2.015122E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.015122E-4 | 0.0 |
Little Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.8424427E-5 | 3.1212283E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1212283E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2181328E-4 | 1.3376081E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 5.980825 | 8.336672E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.0014820677 | 0.0016274547 | 0.0058 | 3.5638475 | 0.006918829 | 0.0053 | 0.014722223 | 0.016168775 | 0.0221 | 1.366832 | 0.03230361 | 0.0164 |
6.1 | 2.8424427E-5 | 3.1212283E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1212283E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2181328E-4 | 1.3376081E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 5.980825 | 8.336672E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.0014820677 | 0.0016274547 | 0.0058 | 3.5638475 | 0.006918829 | 0.0053 | 0.014722223 | 0.016168775 | 0.0221 | 1.366832 | 0.03230361 | 0.0164 |
6.2 | 2.8424427E-5 | 3.1212283E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1212283E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2181328E-4 | 1.3376081E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 5.980825 | 8.336672E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.0014820677 | 0.0016274547 | 0.0058 | 3.5638475 | 0.006918829 | 0.0053 | 0.014722223 | 0.016168775 | 0.0221 | 1.366832 | 0.03230361 | 0.0164 |
6.3 | 1.48860645E-5 | 1.6084436E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6084436E-5 | 0.0 | 6.379586E-5 | 6.893163E-5 | 4.0E-4 | 5.802851 | 3.6891096E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 7.7643775E-4 | 8.3894766E-4 | 0.0028 | 3.3375144 | 0.0034367663 | 0.0026 | 0.007737305 | 0.008360625 | 0.0123 | 1.4711819 | 0.017682035 | 0.0094 |
6.4 | 1.48860645E-5 | 1.6084436E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6084436E-5 | 0.0 | 6.379586E-5 | 6.893163E-5 | 4.0E-4 | 5.802851 | 3.6891096E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 7.7643775E-4 | 8.3894766E-4 | 0.0028 | 3.3375144 | 0.0034367663 | 0.0026 | 0.007737305 | 0.008360625 | 0.0123 | 1.4711819 | 0.017682035 | 0.0094 |
6.5 | 1.2797581E-5 | 1.376811E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.376811E-5 | 0.0 | 5.4845623E-5 | 5.9004997E-5 | 4.0E-4 | 6.779087 | 3.589873E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 6.675408E-4 | 7.1817474E-4 | 0.0027 | 3.7595305 | 0.0032163793 | 0.0025 | 0.006655392 | 0.0071610897 | 0.0114 | 1.5919365 | 0.015997356 | 0.0089 |
6.6 | 9.661896E-6 | 1.0290833E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0290833E-5 | 0.0 | 4.1407468E-5 | 4.410292E-5 | 4.0E-4 | 9.0696945 | 3.440897E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 5.040193E-4 | 5.36837E-4 | 0.0021 | 3.911802 | 0.002435817 | 0.0019 | 0.005028777 | 0.005357007 | 0.0087 | 1.6240412 | 0.012418972 | 0.0071 |
6.7 | 7.767871E-6 | 8.201055E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.201055E-6 | 0.0 | 3.329045E-5 | 3.5146983E-5 | 3.0E-4 | 8.5355835 | 2.3513995E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 4.0523586E-4 | 4.278442E-4 | 0.0018 | 4.207139 | 0.0020271596 | 0.0016 | 0.004044977 | 0.0042715576 | 0.0075 | 1.7557999 | 0.010345501 | 0.0061 |
6.8 | 6.4235196E-6 | 6.736853E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.736853E-6 | 0.0 | 2.752908E-5 | 2.8871978E-5 | 3.0E-4 | 10.3906975 | 2.288662E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 3.35115E-4 | 3.514725E-4 | 0.0018 | 5.121311 | 0.0019509101 | 0.0016 | 0.003346101 | 0.003510427 | 0.0059 | 1.6807073 | 0.008791822 | 0.0053 |
6.9 | 3.1283696E-6 | 3.1125696E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1125696E-6 | 0.0 | 1.3407229E-5 | 1.3339524E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 14.993038 | 1.1333819E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.6322079E-4 | 1.6239811E-4 | 0.0011 | 6.7734776 | 0.0011622357 | 0.001 | 0.0016310095 | 0.0016229427 | 0.0033 | 2.0333436 | 0.0047179116 | 0.0031 |
7.0 | 2.290603E-6 | 2.228975E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.228975E-6 | 0.0 | 9.816834E-6 | 9.552721E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 10.468222 | 9.552721E-6 | 0.0 | 1.19513395E-4 | 1.1629921E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 4.2992554 | 5.162527E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0011944914 | 0.0011624857 | 0.0022 | 1.8924965 | 0.0031601607 | 0.002 |
7.1 | 1.293693E-6 | 1.177863E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.177863E-6 | 0.0 | 5.5443866E-6 | 5.0479784E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0479784E-6 | 0.0 | 6.750081E-5 | 6.14581E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 3.2542493 | 2.6144582E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 6.7480316E-4 | 6.144796E-4 | 0.0014 | 2.2783508 | 0.0020136193 | 0.0014 |
7.2 | 4.715842E-7 | 3.0926154E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0926154E-7 | 0.0 | 2.0210737E-6 | 1.325406E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.325406E-6 | 0.0 | 2.4606294E-5 | 1.6136702E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6136702E-5 | 0.0 | 2.460357E-4 | 1.6135586E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.2394964 | 3.613236E-4 | 2.0E-4 |
7.3 | 3.9430947E-7 | 2.3105072E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3105072E-7 | 0.0 | 1.6898966E-6 | 9.90217E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.90217E-7 | 0.0 | 2.0574296E-5 | 1.2055826E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2055826E-5 | 0.0 | 2.0572392E-4 | 1.2055179E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.659038 | 3.2052767E-4 | 2.0E-4 |
7.4 | 3.547123E-7 | 1.9686148E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9686148E-7 | 0.0 | 1.5201948E-6 | 8.436918E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.436918E-7 | 0.0 | 1.8508214E-5 | 1.02719E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.02719E-5 | 0.0 | 1.8506673E-4 | 1.0271431E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.9471483 | 3.0269378E-4 | 2.0E-4 |
7.5 | 2.6354266E-7 | 1.4427935E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4427935E-7 | 0.0 | 1.129468E-6 | 6.183399E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.183399E-7 | 0.0 | 1.3751187E-5 | 7.5282633E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.5282633E-6 | 0.0 | 1.3750336E-4 | 7.5280135E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.6567435 | 2.7526508E-4 | 2.0E-4 |
7.6 | 1.269913E-7 | 7.574545E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.574545E-8 | 0.0 | 5.4424834E-7 | 3.246233E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.246233E-7 | 0.0 | 6.6262032E-6 | 3.952282E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.952282E-6 | 0.0 | 6.626006E-5 | 3.9522154E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.5302265 | 1.395182E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
San Andreas (San Gorgonio Pass-Garnet HIll)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.344391E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.42655003 | 3.3441564E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.001004349 | 4.0E-4 | 0.39826792 | 0.0012041482 | 2.0E-4 | 0.004329778 | 0.012159292 | 0.0062 | 0.5098981 | 0.013739836 | 0.0016 | 0.042463828 | 0.112831645 | 0.0655 | 0.5805109 | 0.12542944 | 0.0142 |
6.1 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.344391E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.42655003 | 3.3441564E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.001004349 | 4.0E-4 | 0.39826792 | 0.0012041482 | 2.0E-4 | 0.004329778 | 0.012159292 | 0.0062 | 0.5098981 | 0.013739836 | 0.0016 | 0.042463828 | 0.112831645 | 0.0655 | 0.5805109 | 0.12542944 | 0.0142 |
6.2 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.344391E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.42655003 | 3.3441564E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.001004349 | 4.0E-4 | 0.39826792 | 0.0012041482 | 2.0E-4 | 0.004329778 | 0.012159292 | 0.0062 | 0.5098981 | 0.013739836 | 0.0016 | 0.042463828 | 0.112831645 | 0.0655 | 0.5805109 | 0.12542944 | 0.0142 |
6.3 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.344391E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.42655003 | 3.3441564E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.001004349 | 4.0E-4 | 0.39826792 | 0.0012041482 | 2.0E-4 | 0.004329778 | 0.012159292 | 0.0062 | 0.5098981 | 0.013739836 | 0.0016 | 0.042463828 | 0.112831645 | 0.0655 | 0.5805109 | 0.12542944 | 0.0142 |
6.4 | 8.059055E-5 | 2.3001047E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.4347628 | 3.2998747E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.4534236E-4 | 9.853884E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.4059313 | 0.0011851913 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0041964394 | 0.011931319 | 0.006 | 0.5028782 | 0.013413422 | 0.0015 | 0.041180745 | 0.11081183 | 0.0641 | 0.5784581 | 0.12326046 | 0.014 |
6.5 | 8.059055E-5 | 2.3001047E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.4347628 | 3.2998747E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.4534236E-4 | 9.853884E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.4059313 | 0.0011851913 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0041964394 | 0.011931319 | 0.006 | 0.5028782 | 0.013413422 | 0.0015 | 0.041180745 | 0.11081183 | 0.0641 | 0.5784581 | 0.12326046 | 0.014 |
6.6 | 7.619237E-5 | 2.2245095E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.4495373 | 3.224287E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.2649786E-4 | 9.530152E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.4197205 | 0.0011528246 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0039678677 | 0.01154178 | 0.0059 | 0.5111863 | 0.013024467 | 0.0015 | 0.03897764 | 0.10734715 | 0.0624 | 0.5812916 | 0.11939797 | 0.0135 |
6.7 | 7.440636E-5 | 2.1920777E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.45618823 | 3.1918584E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.188454E-4 | 9.391259E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.425928 | 0.001138938 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0038750346 | 0.011374451 | 0.0057 | 0.5011231 | 0.01285739 | 0.0015 | 0.038081564 | 0.10585546 | 0.0612 | 0.5781468 | 0.117837 | 0.0134 |
6.8 | 7.3735864E-5 | 2.1767865E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.4593928 | 3.1765687E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.1597257E-4 | 9.3257724E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.4289189 | 0.0011323907 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0038401815 | 0.011295553 | 0.0056 | 0.4957703 | 0.01267974 | 0.0014 | 0.03774495 | 0.105156794 | 0.0605 | 0.5753314 | 0.1170582 | 0.0133 |
6.9 | 7.27575E-5 | 2.1536741E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.4643228 | 3.1534588E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.117806E-4 | 9.2267897E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.43352023 | 0.0011224945 | 2.0E-4 | 0.003789323 | 0.011176284 | 0.0056 | 0.50106096 | 0.012560638 | 0.0014 | 0.037253562 | 0.10410455 | 0.0602 | 0.57826483 | 0.11593037 | 0.0132 |
7.0 | 7.102591E-5 | 2.1120526E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.47347304 | 3.1118415E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.0436125E-4 | 9.048537E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.44206044 | 0.0011046727 | 2.0E-4 | 0.003699303 | 0.010961464 | 0.0055 | 0.5017578 | 0.012346117 | 0.0014 | 0.03638325 | 0.10220576 | 0.0592 | 0.5792237 | 0.11387709 | 0.013 |
7.1 | 7.028513E-5 | 2.0956052E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.47718912 | 3.0953955E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.0118722E-4 | 8.9780963E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.44552875 | 0.00109763 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0036607897 | 0.0108765615 | 0.0054 | 0.4964804 | 0.012261335 | 0.0014 | 0.036010686 | 0.10144856 | 0.0586 | 0.57763267 | 0.113039866 | 0.0129 |
7.2 | 6.8498244E-5 | 2.056363E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.48629546 | 3.0561574E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.9353087E-4 | 8.81003E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.45402795 | 0.0010808269 | 2.0E-4 | 0.003567883 | 0.010673962 | 0.0052 | 0.48716682 | 0.012059018 | 0.0014 | 0.035111405 | 0.09963993 | 0.0577 | 0.5790851 | 0.11116454 | 0.0128 |
7.3 | 6.622592E-5 | 1.979015E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5053019 | 2.9788172E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.8379448E-4 | 8.478758E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.35382542 | 0.0010477062 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0034497243 | 0.010274511 | 0.0048 | 0.46717554 | 0.011660126 | 0.0014 | 0.033966612 | 0.09613408 | 0.0553 | 0.5752382 | 0.10734202 | 0.0124 |
7.4 | 5.1050705E-5 | 1.4739239E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.6784611 | 2.4737764E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.1877038E-4 | 6.315296E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.3166914 | 7.3146645E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.002660276 | 0.00766196 | 0.0041 | 0.5351111 | 0.008852766 | 0.0012 | 0.02628654 | 0.07308217 | 0.041 | 0.5610123 | 0.08170251 | 0.0093 |
7.5 | 3.9302922E-5 | 1.1173577E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.89496857 | 2.1172459E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.6843023E-4 | 4.7878E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.4177284 | 5.787321E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0020487092 | 0.005813637 | 0.0027 | 0.4644253 | 0.006509567 | 7.0E-4 | 0.020299247 | 0.05620449 | 0.0308 | 0.5479989 | 0.0626223 | 0.0068 |
7.6 | 2.9851626E-5 | 8.533946E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1717908 | 1.8533092E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2792926E-4 | 3.656894E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.5469122 | 4.6565282E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0015564259 | 0.004443205 | 0.0022 | 0.49513808 | 0.005040539 | 6.0E-4 | 0.0154556995 | 0.04336948 | 0.0241 | 0.5556903 | 0.04834396 | 0.0052 |
7.7 | 2.1135214E-5 | 6.387581E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5655379 | 1.6386942E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 9.0576345E-5 | 2.7372476E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.730661 | 3.7369737E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0011022091 | 0.0033275117 | 0.0018 | 0.54094476 | 0.0037261806 | 4.0E-4 | 0.010967582 | 0.03273992 | 0.0174 | 0.5314613 | 0.036415506 | 0.0038 |
7.8 | 1.883379E-5 | 5.595829E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.7870452 | 1.559527E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 8.0713755E-5 | 2.3979922E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.83403105 | 3.3977523E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 9.822468E-4 | 0.0029156501 | 0.0018 | 0.617358 | 0.0033144837 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0097791655 | 0.028840289 | 0.0153 | 0.53050786 | 0.032045115 | 0.0033 |
7.9 | 1.5156185E-5 | 4.1920215E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.385484 | 1.4191603E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.495346E-5 | 1.7964569E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.55665123 | 2.7962774E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 7.9052144E-4 | 0.0021849938 | 0.0015 | 0.6865008 | 0.0025841198 | 4.0E-4 | 0.007877152 | 0.021880554 | 0.0112 | 0.51187 | 0.024619289 | 0.0028 |
8.0 | 1.1405907E-5 | 3.017233E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.3142948 | 1.3016931E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.8881542E-5 | 1.2930359E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.7733738 | 2.2929066E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.9497025E-4 | 0.0015731353 | 0.0011 | 0.69924057 | 0.001972506 | 4.0E-4 | 0.005933798 | 0.015865454 | 0.007 | 0.44121018 | 0.017538482 | 0.0017 |
8.1 | 4.3511436E-6 | 7.442611E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 13.436145 | 1.0744187E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.8647626E-5 | 3.1896518E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.1351385 | 1.3189332E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.2701119E-4 | 3.8827103E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.0302082 | 5.8819336E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0022677942 | 0.004153124 | 0.0014 | 0.33709565 | 0.0046510473 | 5.0E-4 |
8.2 | 2.3042528E-6 | 2.7671629E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 36.138096 | 1.02766884E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 9.875332E-6 | 1.1859216E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 8.4322605 | 1.1185803E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2022553E-4 | 1.4437643E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.6926338 | 2.44362E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0012016051 | 0.0016159099 | 4.0E-4 | 0.24753857 | 0.0018155867 | 2.0E-4 |
8.3 | 5.202968E-7 | 3.208977E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.208977E-7 | 0.0 | 2.2298414E-6 | 1.3752752E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3752752E-6 | 0.0 | 2.714798E-5 | 1.6743861E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6743861E-5 | 0.0 | 2.7144665E-4 | 1.9840282E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9840282E-4 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Superstition Mtn)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.4193904E-5 | 9.610718E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.610718E-5 | 0.0 | 2.7508775E-4 | 4.118289E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.118289E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0033440501 | 0.0050038868 | 0.0029 | 0.5795495 | 0.006496381 | 0.0015 | 0.03294174 | 0.048879065 | 0.0341 | 0.6976402 | 0.06086319 | 0.0126 |
6.1 | 6.4193904E-5 | 9.610718E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.610718E-5 | 0.0 | 2.7508775E-4 | 4.118289E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.118289E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0033440501 | 0.0050038868 | 0.0029 | 0.5795495 | 0.006496381 | 0.0015 | 0.03294174 | 0.048879065 | 0.0341 | 0.6976402 | 0.06086319 | 0.0126 |
6.2 | 5.7023593E-5 | 8.324784E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.324784E-5 | 0.0 | 2.4436394E-4 | 3.567371E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.567371E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002971072 | 0.0043362663 | 0.0023 | 0.53041023 | 0.005531063 | 0.0012 | 0.029316625 | 0.04255864 | 0.0287 | 0.6743637 | 0.05232454 | 0.0102 |
6.3 | 5.6940098E-5 | 8.3093146E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.3093146E-5 | 0.0 | 2.4400617E-4 | 3.560743E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.560743E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002966728 | 0.004328229 | 0.0023 | 0.53139514 | 0.0055230353 | 0.0012 | 0.029274331 | 0.042481992 | 0.0287 | 0.6755804 | 0.052248675 | 0.0102 |
6.4 | 5.4171585E-5 | 7.758344E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.758344E-5 | 0.0 | 2.3214328E-4 | 3.324674E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.324674E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0028226813 | 0.004041927 | 0.0023 | 0.56903553 | 0.0052370764 | 0.0012 | 0.02787096 | 0.03977029 | 0.0262 | 0.65878326 | 0.04879645 | 0.0094 |
6.5 | 4.375144E-5 | 5.6517936E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.6517936E-5 | 0.0 | 1.874927E-4 | 2.4220388E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4220388E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0022803338 | 0.0029460208 | 0.0017 | 0.57704955 | 0.0038433692 | 9.0E-4 | 0.022570757 | 0.029288672 | 0.0189 | 0.6453007 | 0.03579244 | 0.0067 |
6.6 | 2.772192E-5 | 2.5580053E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5580053E-5 | 0.0 | 1.1880282E-4 | 1.096243E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.096243E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0014454646 | 0.0013338781 | 6.0E-4 | 0.4498162 | 0.001633478 | 3.0E-4 | 0.014360986 | 0.0135867875 | 0.0084 | 0.6182477 | 0.015658256 | 0.0021 |
6.7 | 2.7124124E-5 | 2.4790574E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4790574E-5 | 0.0 | 1.1624106E-4 | 1.06241096E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.06241096E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0014143161 | 0.0012927371 | 6.0E-4 | 0.4641315 | 0.0015923493 | 3.0E-4 | 0.014053487 | 0.013180112 | 0.0083 | 0.62973666 | 0.015153752 | 0.002 |
6.8 | 2.5475807E-5 | 2.225328E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.225328E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0917746E-4 | 9.536778E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.536778E-5 | 0.0 | 0.001328425 | 0.0011604963 | 6.0E-4 | 0.5170202 | 0.0014601481 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0132051185 | 0.011867624 | 0.0074 | 0.6235452 | 0.013448636 | 0.0016 |
6.9 | 2.1162023E-5 | 1.7708095E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7708095E-5 | 0.0 | 9.069123E-5 | 7.588965E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.588965E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0011036064 | 9.235687E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.32482696 | 0.0010234764 | 1.0E-4 | 0.010981417 | 0.009489403 | 0.0061 | 0.6428223 | 0.010578965 | 0.0011 |
7.0 | 1.8754288E-5 | 1.62397E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.62397E-5 | 0.0 | 8.037304E-5 | 6.959686E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.959686E-5 | 0.0 | 9.781026E-4 | 8.470149E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.23612335 | 8.470149E-4 | 0.0 | 0.009738087 | 0.008710861 | 0.0047 | 0.5395563 | 0.009305635 | 6.0E-4 |
7.1 | 1.8678527E-5 | 1.6164757E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6164757E-5 | 0.0 | 8.0048376E-5 | 6.927571E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.927571E-5 | 0.0 | 9.7415317E-4 | 8.431078E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.23721758 | 8.431078E-4 | 0.0 | 0.009698939 | 0.008671751 | 0.0047 | 0.5419897 | 0.009266549 | 6.0E-4 |
7.2 | 1.7804578E-5 | 1.545851E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.545851E-5 | 0.0 | 7.6303106E-5 | 6.624909E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.624909E-5 | 0.0 | 9.285943E-4 | 8.062865E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.24805078 | 8.062865E-4 | 0.0 | 0.009247236 | 0.00830262 | 0.0046 | 0.554042 | 0.008897638 | 6.0E-4 |
7.3 | 1.6583685E-5 | 1.4606742E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4606742E-5 | 0.0 | 7.1070994E-5 | 6.259883E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.259883E-5 | 0.0 | 8.649459E-4 | 7.6187635E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.2625098 | 7.6187635E-4 | 0.0 | 0.00861587 | 0.007857469 | 0.0045 | 0.57270354 | 0.0084527545 | 6.0E-4 |
7.4 | 1.6387552E-5 | 1.447148E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.447148E-5 | 0.0 | 7.023047E-5 | 6.201917E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.201917E-5 | 0.0 | 8.5472054E-4 | 7.548238E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.2649625 | 7.548238E-4 | 0.0 | 0.008514405 | 0.0077868006 | 0.0044 | 0.56505877 | 0.008382129 | 6.0E-4 |
7.5 | 1.5790754E-5 | 1.4111401E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4111401E-5 | 0.0 | 6.767291E-5 | 6.047604E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.047604E-5 | 0.0 | 8.236062E-4 | 7.36049E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.27172104 | 7.36049E-4 | 0.0 | 0.008205604 | 0.0075969812 | 0.0043 | 0.5660143 | 0.008192423 | 6.0E-4 |
7.6 | 1.4248672E-5 | 1.3128446E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3128446E-5 | 0.0 | 6.106431E-5 | 5.6263565E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.6263565E-5 | 0.0 | 7.432043E-4 | 6.847953E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.29205808 | 6.847953E-4 | 0.0 | 0.007407237 | 0.0070786485 | 0.0039 | 0.5509526 | 0.0076744016 | 6.0E-4 |
7.7 | 1.15449975E-5 | 1.0974111E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0974111E-5 | 0.0 | 4.947762E-5 | 4.7031062E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.7031062E-5 | 0.0 | 6.022235E-4 | 5.724535E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.34937334 | 5.724535E-4 | 0.0 | 0.006005941 | 0.005947096 | 0.0031 | 0.5212628 | 0.006245312 | 3.0E-4 |
7.8 | 9.1391985E-6 | 9.582113E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.582113E-6 | 0.0 | 3.9167408E-5 | 4.1065556E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.1065556E-5 | 0.0 | 4.767588E-4 | 4.9985904E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.40011278 | 4.9985904E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0047573727 | 0.0052124476 | 0.0028 | 0.53717566 | 0.005510884 | 3.0E-4 |
7.9 | 6.973017E-6 | 7.4426357E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.4426357E-6 | 0.0 | 2.9884017E-5 | 3.1896623E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1896623E-5 | 0.0 | 3.6377716E-4 | 3.8827272E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.25755093 | 3.8827272E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0036318225 | 0.0040837065 | 0.0022 | 0.5387263 | 0.00428289 | 2.0E-4 |
8.0 | 5.7638235E-6 | 6.315232E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.315232E-6 | 0.0 | 2.4701867E-5 | 2.7065003E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7065003E-5 | 0.0 | 3.0070372E-4 | 3.294671E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.30352044 | 3.294671E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0030029714 | 0.0034826207 | 0.002 | 0.57428014 | 0.0036819242 | 2.0E-4 |
8.1 | 5.1124434E-6 | 5.546099E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.546099E-6 | 0.0 | 2.1910288E-5 | 2.3768784E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3768784E-5 | 0.0 | 2.6672508E-4 | 2.89347E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.3456058 | 2.89347E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0026640517 | 0.0030669817 | 0.0019 | 0.6195016 | 0.0032663683 | 2.0E-4 |
8.2 | 1.1075938E-6 | 5.406956E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.406956E-7 | 0.0 | 4.7468216E-6 | 2.3172652E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3172652E-6 | 0.0 | 5.779102E-5 | 2.821236E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.821236E-5 | 0.0 | 5.777599E-4 | 3.173936E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.63013244 | 4.1736185E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
8.3 | 1.3584393E-8 | 4.540229E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.540229E-9 | 0.0 | 5.8218827E-8 | 1.9458126E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9458126E-8 | 0.0 | 7.0881396E-7 | 2.3690268E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3690268E-7 | 0.0 | 7.0881174E-6 | 2.6544185E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6544185E-6 | 0.0 |
Airport Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.310466E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 7.630873 | 1.1310335E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.616178E-5 | 7.0E-4 | 12.463992 | 6.561281E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.8358355E-4 | 0.0052 | 7.6069703 | 0.0053803707 | 0.0047 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0068176193 | 0.0148 | 2.1708457 | 0.018537171 | 0.0118 |
6.1 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.310466E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 7.630873 | 1.1310335E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.616178E-5 | 7.0E-4 | 12.463992 | 6.561281E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.8358355E-4 | 0.0052 | 7.6069703 | 0.0053803707 | 0.0047 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0068176193 | 0.0148 | 2.1708457 | 0.018537171 | 0.0118 |
6.2 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.310466E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 7.630873 | 1.1310335E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.616178E-5 | 7.0E-4 | 12.463992 | 6.561281E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.8358355E-4 | 0.0052 | 7.6069703 | 0.0053803707 | 0.0047 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0068176193 | 0.0148 | 2.1708457 | 0.018537171 | 0.0118 |
6.3 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.310466E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 7.630873 | 1.1310335E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.616178E-5 | 7.0E-4 | 12.463992 | 6.561281E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.8358355E-4 | 0.0052 | 7.6069703 | 0.0053803707 | 0.0047 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0068176193 | 0.0148 | 2.1708457 | 0.018537171 | 0.0118 |
6.4 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.310466E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 7.630873 | 1.1310335E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.616178E-5 | 7.0E-4 | 12.463992 | 6.561281E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.8358355E-4 | 0.0052 | 7.6069703 | 0.0053803707 | 0.0047 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0068176193 | 0.0148 | 2.1708457 | 0.018537171 | 0.0118 |
6.5 | 6.9922594E-6 | 7.3857477E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.3857477E-6 | 0.0 | 2.996648E-5 | 3.1652853E-5 | 5.0E-4 | 15.796365 | 4.316402E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 3.6478083E-4 | 3.8531076E-4 | 0.0036 | 9.343108 | 0.0036840392 | 0.0033 | 0.003641826 | 0.0038469643 | 0.0097 | 2.5214686 | 0.012015419 | 0.0082 |
6.6 | 6.9922594E-6 | 7.3857477E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.3857477E-6 | 0.0 | 2.996648E-5 | 3.1652853E-5 | 5.0E-4 | 15.796365 | 4.316402E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 3.6478083E-4 | 3.8531076E-4 | 0.0036 | 9.343108 | 0.0036840392 | 0.0033 | 0.003641826 | 0.0038469643 | 0.0097 | 2.5214686 | 0.012015419 | 0.0082 |
6.7 | 5.477277E-6 | 5.7867155E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.7867155E-6 | 0.0 | 2.3473833E-5 | 2.4799996E-5 | 4.0E-4 | 16.129036 | 3.2479255E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 2.8575645E-4 | 3.01902E-4 | 0.003 | 9.936999 | 0.0030010869 | 0.0027 | 0.0028538927 | 0.0030153026 | 0.0081 | 2.6862977 | 0.009894497 | 0.0069 |
6.8 | 3.9950432E-6 | 4.2195566E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.2195566E-6 | 0.0 | 1.7121502E-5 | 1.8083703E-5 | 3.0E-4 | 16.589521 | 2.1808008E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 2.0843433E-4 | 2.201496E-4 | 0.0023 | 10.447441 | 0.0023196873 | 0.0021 | 0.0020823893 | 0.0021995862 | 0.0062 | 2.818712 | 0.0077872686 | 0.0056 |
6.9 | 2.95695E-6 | 3.1233722E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1233722E-6 | 0.0 | 1.2672582E-5 | 1.3385825E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 14.941178 | 1.13384485E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5427776E-4 | 1.629625E-4 | 0.0018 | 11.045486 | 0.0017627018 | 0.0016 | 0.001541707 | 0.0016286524 | 0.0041 | 2.5174186 | 0.0053226263 | 0.0037 |
7.0 | 1.456072E-6 | 1.5409898E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5409898E-6 | 0.0 | 6.2402937E-6 | 6.604231E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 15.141808 | 6.604231E-6 | 0.0 | 7.597293E-5 | 8.0404556E-5 | 5.0E-4 | 6.218553 | 4.803724E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 7.594696E-4 | 8.0385356E-4 | 0.0018 | 2.2392137 | 0.0024025673 | 0.0016 |
7.1 | 6.995192E-7 | 7.409844E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.409844E-7 | 0.0 | 2.997936E-6 | 3.1756472E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1756472E-6 | 0.0 | 3.649926E-5 | 3.8663504E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 5.172837 | 2.3865578E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 3.6493264E-4 | 3.8663505E-4 | 0.0011 | 2.84506 | 0.0014862098 | 0.0011 |
Green Valley 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.9629346E-5 | 1.7316075E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5774981 | 2.7314344E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.2691303E-4 | 7.4188446E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.26958376 | 9.417361E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0051852856 | 0.008993628 | 0.0048 | 0.5337112 | 0.010678339 | 0.0017 | 0.050659515 | 0.08558589 | 0.0601 | 0.70221853 | 0.09610166 | 0.0115 |
6.1 | 9.88615E-5 | 1.7163092E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5826456 | 2.7161377E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.2362334E-4 | 7.353318E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.27198607 | 9.351847E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0051454236 | 0.00891451 | 0.0047 | 0.5272303 | 0.010599355 | 0.0017 | 0.050279044 | 0.084872425 | 0.059 | 0.695161 | 0.09521337 | 0.0113 |
6.2 | 9.696895E-5 | 1.6801736E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5951766 | 2.6800056E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.15515E-4 | 7.1985484E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.1389169 | 8.1978284E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0050471667 | 0.0087276865 | 0.0045 | 0.51560056 | 0.010313722 | 0.0016 | 0.04934063 | 0.08317977 | 0.0578 | 0.6948805 | 0.093264796 | 0.011 |
6.3 | 9.275224E-5 | 1.5980966E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.6257444 | 2.5979368E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.9744904E-4 | 6.846977E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.14604986 | 7.846292E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0048282105 | 0.008302957 | 0.0043 | 0.51788783 | 0.0097905025 | 0.0015 | 0.047246475 | 0.07931792 | 0.0552 | 0.6959335 | 0.08898508 | 0.0105 |
6.4 | 8.391499E-5 | 1.4374856E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.6956591 | 2.4373419E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.595861E-4 | 6.1590155E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.16236362 | 7.158399E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004369175 | 0.007471708 | 0.0038 | 0.50858516 | 0.0087619955 | 0.0013 | 0.04284265 | 0.071678385 | 0.0499 | 0.6961652 | 0.081054434 | 0.0101 |
6.5 | 5.9519385E-5 | 9.940625E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.005973 | 1.9939631E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.5505814E-4 | 4.2593988E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.23477492 | 5.2589725E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0031009112 | 0.0051723677 | 0.0028 | 0.54133815 | 0.006266678 | 0.0011 | 0.030579966 | 0.050180767 | 0.0357 | 0.711428 | 0.05730441 | 0.0075 |
6.6 | 4.5361558E-5 | 7.4090676E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.4090676E-5 | 0.0 | 1.9439218E-4 | 3.174824E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.174824E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0023641558 | 0.00385754 | 0.0014 | 0.36292562 | 0.00455484 | 7.0E-4 | 0.023391623 | 0.03769878 | 0.0275 | 0.7294666 | 0.042991437 | 0.0055 |
6.7 | 3.8808106E-5 | 6.270957E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.270957E-5 | 0.0 | 1.6630985E-4 | 2.6871765E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6871765E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0020229418 | 0.0032661217 | 0.0012 | 0.36740822 | 0.0037644887 | 5.0E-4 | 0.020046256 | 0.03203665 | 0.0228 | 0.7116848 | 0.03581171 | 0.0039 |
6.8 | 2.2284667E-5 | 3.130395E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.130395E-5 | 0.0 | 9.550222E-5 | 1.3415272E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3415272E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011621192 | 0.0016320843 | 5.0E-4 | 0.30635673 | 0.0019315947 | 3.0E-4 | 0.011560607 | 0.016174562 | 0.0116 | 0.7171755 | 0.018240597 | 0.0021 |
6.9 | 1.8050168E-5 | 2.4465095E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4465095E-5 | 0.0 | 7.735557E-5 | 1.04846185E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.04846185E-4 | 0.0 | 9.4139716E-4 | 0.0012757576 | 3.0E-4 | 0.2351544 | 0.0013756299 | 1.0E-4 | 0.009374191 | 0.0126769645 | 0.0087 | 0.6862842 | 0.014059217 | 0.0014 |
7.0 | 1.4763166E-5 | 1.9595645E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9595645E-5 | 0.0 | 6.326917E-5 | 8.3978644E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.3978644E-5 | 0.0 | 7.7002996E-4 | 0.0010219617 | 3.0E-4 | 0.29355308 | 0.0011218594 | 1.0E-4 | 0.007673672 | 0.010172426 | 0.0072 | 0.70779574 | 0.011162253 | 0.001 |
7.1 | 1.2399713E-5 | 1.6314632E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6314632E-5 | 0.0 | 5.3140546E-5 | 6.9917995E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.9917995E-5 | 0.0 | 6.467941E-4 | 8.5092103E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.23503943 | 9.50836E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006449148 | 0.008477002 | 0.0059 | 0.69600075 | 0.009468526 | 0.001 |
7.2 | 1.0584195E-5 | 1.3932011E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3932011E-5 | 0.0 | 4.5360044E-5 | 5.970726E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.970726E-5 | 0.0 | 5.521186E-4 | 7.2669506E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.2752186 | 8.266224E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0055074887 | 0.007243837 | 0.0049 | 0.6764371 | 0.008236594 | 0.001 |
7.3 | 7.998173E-6 | 1.0549708E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0549708E-5 | 0.0 | 3.4277433E-5 | 4.521226E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.521226E-5 | 0.0 | 4.1724785E-4 | 5.503213E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.36342406 | 6.5026624E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004164653 | 0.0054902164 | 0.0037 | 0.67392606 | 0.0062858243 | 8.0E-4 |
7.4 | 6.7571127E-6 | 8.93814E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.93814E-6 | 0.0 | 2.8958733E-5 | 3.830576E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.830576E-5 | 0.0 | 3.5251552E-4 | 4.6627375E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.42893258 | 5.662271E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0035195686 | 0.004653349 | 0.0032 | 0.6876768 | 0.0053500915 | 7.0E-4 |
7.5 | 5.69878E-6 | 7.52065E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.52065E-6 | 0.0 | 2.4423114E-5 | 3.2230964E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2230964E-5 | 0.0 | 2.9731085E-4 | 3.923422E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.50975907 | 4.9230293E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.002969134 | 0.003916874 | 0.0027 | 0.68932515 | 0.0043153074 | 4.0E-4 |
7.6 | 4.503664E-6 | 5.9396157E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.9396157E-6 | 0.0 | 1.9301275E-5 | 2.545525E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.545525E-5 | 0.0 | 2.3496768E-4 | 3.0987445E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.6454227 | 4.0984346E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.002347194 | 0.003094749 | 0.002 | 0.64625597 | 0.0034935111 | 4.0E-4 |
7.7 | 1.0873546E-6 | 1.4112346E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4112346E-6 | 0.0 | 4.6600826E-6 | 6.0481343E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0481343E-6 | 0.0 | 5.6735033E-5 | 7.363358E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.7161522 | 1.736262E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.672055E-4 | 7.3612086E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.40754175 | 8.360473E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.8 | 4.9373917E-8 | 6.1790004E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.1790004E-8 | 0.0 | 2.1160248E-7 | 2.6481428E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6481428E-7 | 0.0 | 2.5762572E-6 | 3.2241103E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2241103E-6 | 0.0 | 2.5762274E-5 | 3.2233616E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2233616E-5 | 0.0 |
Garlock (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5092507E-5 | 6.295866E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.295866E-5 | 0.0 | 1.9323928E-4 | 2.6979743E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.37064844 | 3.6977045E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0023501497 | 0.0032802825 | 0.0045 | 1.3718331 | 0.0054730657 | 0.0022 | 0.023254504 | 0.03240208 | 0.034 | 1.0493153 | 0.04256186 | 0.0105 |
6.1 | 4.5092507E-5 | 6.295866E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.295866E-5 | 0.0 | 1.9323928E-4 | 2.6979743E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.37064844 | 3.6977045E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0023501497 | 0.0032802825 | 0.0045 | 1.3718331 | 0.0054730657 | 0.0022 | 0.023254504 | 0.03240208 | 0.034 | 1.0493153 | 0.04256186 | 0.0105 |
6.2 | 2.6674514E-5 | 3.4553505E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.4553505E-5 | 0.0 | 1.1431433E-4 | 1.4807824E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.6753187 | 2.480634E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0013908884 | 0.0018013947 | 0.0028 | 1.5543511 | 0.0034983323 | 0.0017 | 0.01382215 | 0.017902449 | 0.0194 | 1.0836506 | 0.024777131 | 0.007 |
6.3 | 2.6674514E-5 | 3.4553505E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.4553505E-5 | 0.0 | 1.1431433E-4 | 1.4807824E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.6753187 | 2.480634E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0013908884 | 0.0018013947 | 0.0028 | 1.5543511 | 0.0034983323 | 0.0017 | 0.01382215 | 0.017902449 | 0.0194 | 1.0836506 | 0.024777131 | 0.007 |
6.4 | 2.5312667E-5 | 3.238142E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.238142E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0847834E-4 | 1.3877031E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.72061527 | 2.3875643E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0013199237 | 0.0016882486 | 0.0027 | 1.5992905 | 0.0033853785 | 0.0017 | 0.013121112 | 0.01680208 | 0.0186 | 1.1070058 | 0.023389505 | 0.0067 |
6.5 | 2.5312667E-5 | 3.238142E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.238142E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0847834E-4 | 1.3877031E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.72061527 | 2.3875643E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0013199237 | 0.0016882486 | 0.0027 | 1.5992905 | 0.0033853785 | 0.0017 | 0.013121112 | 0.01680208 | 0.0186 | 1.1070058 | 0.023389505 | 0.0067 |
6.6 | 2.246556E-5 | 2.81743E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.81743E-5 | 0.0 | 9.627742E-5 | 1.2074154E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.82821536 | 2.2072946E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0011715472 | 0.0014690605 | 0.0026 | 1.7698386 | 0.00306671 | 0.0016 | 0.011653901 | 0.014644603 | 0.0171 | 1.1676656 | 0.020753806 | 0.0062 |
6.7 | 2.2241198E-5 | 2.7843893E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7843893E-5 | 0.0 | 9.531594E-5 | 1.1932565E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.8380428 | 2.1931372E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0011598538 | 0.001451845 | 0.0026 | 1.7908247 | 0.0030495222 | 0.0016 | 0.011538187 | 0.014473881 | 0.017 | 1.1745296 | 0.02048559 | 0.0061 |
6.8 | 1.9528685E-5 | 2.3936049E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3936049E-5 | 0.0 | 8.369167E-5 | 1.0257914E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.97485703 | 2.0256889E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0010184698 | 0.0012482053 | 0.0023 | 1.8426456 | 0.002746333 | 0.0015 | 0.010138147 | 0.0124552 | 0.0144 | 1.1561437 | 0.01798545 | 0.0056 |
6.9 | 1.3318621E-5 | 1.523086E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.523086E-5 | 0.0 | 5.7078556E-5 | 6.527351E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.532015 | 1.6526699E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.9470983E-4 | 7.94421E-4 | 0.0019 | 2.391679 | 0.0020933882 | 0.0013 | 0.0069254204 | 0.007955738 | 0.0095 | 1.1941067 | 0.012023119 | 0.0041 |
7.0 | 1.1760853E-5 | 1.3138568E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3138568E-5 | 0.0 | 5.0402683E-5 | 5.630696E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.7759794 | 1.5630134E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.134799E-4 | 6.8532664E-4 | 0.0018 | 2.6264849 | 0.0019844358 | 0.0013 | 0.0061178906 | 0.0068718344 | 0.0085 | 1.2369332 | 0.010844347 | 0.004 |
7.1 | 1.0064758E-5 | 1.0932549E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0932549E-5 | 0.0 | 4.3133965E-5 | 4.685296E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.1343367 | 1.4684828E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.2502943E-4 | 5.7028903E-4 | 0.0018 | 3.1562943 | 0.0018695476 | 0.0013 | 0.005237907 | 0.005728991 | 0.0072 | 1.2567658 | 0.009507221 | 0.0038 |
7.2 | 9.768808E-6 | 1.0528209E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0528209E-5 | 0.0 | 4.186565E-5 | 4.5120134E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.2163055 | 1.4511563E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.095951E-4 | 5.4920267E-4 | 0.0018 | 3.2774787 | 0.0018484887 | 0.0013 | 0.0050842804 | 0.0055192127 | 0.007 | 1.2682968 | 0.009198791 | 0.0037 |
7.3 | 9.344516E-6 | 9.973293E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.973293E-6 | 0.0 | 4.004731E-5 | 4.2742005E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.3396187 | 1.4273773E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.8746695E-4 | 5.2026316E-4 | 0.0017 | 3.2675772 | 0.0017196388 | 0.0012 | 0.0048639905 | 0.005230607 | 0.0064 | 1.2235674 | 0.008612823 | 0.0034 |
7.4 | 9.023491E-6 | 9.518881E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.518881E-6 | 0.0 | 3.867153E-5 | 4.0794584E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.4513059 | 1.4079051E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.7072413E-4 | 4.965642E-4 | 0.0016 | 3.222141 | 0.001596018 | 0.0011 | 0.004697283 | 0.0049937647 | 0.006 | 1.2014984 | 0.007978783 | 0.003 |
7.5 | 7.081253E-6 | 7.112707E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.112707E-6 | 0.0 | 3.0347876E-5 | 3.0482679E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0482679E-5 | 0.0 | 3.6942272E-4 | 3.7106415E-4 | 9.0E-4 | 2.4254565 | 9.708415E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.003688092 | 0.0037373551 | 0.004 | 1.0702755 | 0.0056302543 | 0.0019 |
7.6 | 6.116396E-6 | 5.9830163E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.9830163E-6 | 0.0 | 2.6212863E-5 | 2.5641248E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5641248E-5 | 0.0 | 3.1909486E-4 | 3.1213774E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 2.562971 | 8.119817E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.0031863707 | 0.0031480652 | 0.0032 | 1.0164974 | 0.004543658 | 0.0014 |
7.7 | 4.797145E-6 | 4.779705E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.779705E-6 | 0.0 | 2.055903E-5 | 2.0484289E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0484289E-5 | 0.0 | 2.5027743E-4 | 2.493678E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 3.2081127 | 7.4924313E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.0024999576 | 0.002521054 | 0.0026 | 1.0313147 | 0.0037180285 | 0.0012 |
7.8 | 3.4028885E-6 | 3.9985553E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.9985553E-6 | 0.0 | 1.4583726E-5 | 1.7136554E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7136554E-5 | 0.0 | 1.775424E-4 | 2.0861764E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.9173834 | 4.0857593E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0017740062 | 0.0021116734 | 0.002 | 0.9471162 | 0.0030097729 | 9.0E-4 |
7.9 | 2.5928412E-6 | 3.389497E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.389497E-6 | 0.0 | 1.1112129E-5 | 1.4526335E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4526335E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3528178E-4 | 1.7684384E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.696412 | 2.7682615E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0013519945 | 0.0017900281 | 0.0017 | 0.9497058 | 0.002388954 | 6.0E-4 |
8.0 | 1.3743648E-6 | 1.6811745E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6811745E-6 | 0.0 | 5.8901214E-6 | 7.2050134E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.2050134E-6 | 0.0 | 7.1709874E-5 | 8.771754E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.2800457 | 8.771754E-5 | 0.0 | 7.1686733E-4 | 8.876992E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 0.9012062 | 0.0011874329 | 3.0E-4 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 3.1624552E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1624552E-7 | 0.0 | 1.5742813E-6 | 1.3553373E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3553373E-6 | 0.0 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.6501122E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 6.0601935 | 1.6501122E-5 | 0.0 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.6715302E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 2.3930168 | 3.671196E-4 | 2.0E-4 |
Panamint Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.399739E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 5.882805 | 2.3399059E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.4569511E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 4.8045535 | 8.455931E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.0015751923 | 0.0017724243 | 0.005 | 2.8209949 | 0.006064803 | 0.0043 | 0.015640736 | 0.017589863 | 0.0194 | 1.1029079 | 0.028396375 | 0.011 |
6.1 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.399739E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 5.882805 | 2.3399059E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.4569511E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 4.8045535 | 8.455931E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.0015751923 | 0.0017724243 | 0.005 | 2.8209949 | 0.006064803 | 0.0043 | 0.015640736 | 0.017589863 | 0.0194 | 1.1029079 | 0.028396375 | 0.011 |
6.2 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.399739E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 5.882805 | 2.3399059E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.4569511E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 4.8045535 | 8.455931E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.0015751923 | 0.0017724243 | 0.005 | 2.8209949 | 0.006064803 | 0.0043 | 0.015640736 | 0.017589863 | 0.0194 | 1.1029079 | 0.028396375 | 0.011 |
6.3 | 2.8573924E-5 | 3.211487E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 6.227645 | 2.3210845E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.2245393E-4 | 1.3762806E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 5.0861726 | 8.375317E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.001489857 | 0.0016743615 | 0.0047 | 2.8070402 | 0.005767497 | 0.0041 | 0.01479908 | 0.01662406 | 0.0177 | 1.0647218 | 0.027047845 | 0.0106 |
6.4 | 2.8573924E-5 | 3.211487E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 6.227645 | 2.3210845E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.2245393E-4 | 1.3762806E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 5.0861726 | 8.375317E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.001489857 | 0.0016743615 | 0.0047 | 2.8070402 | 0.005767497 | 0.0041 | 0.01479908 | 0.01662406 | 0.0177 | 1.0647218 | 0.027047845 | 0.0106 |
6.5 | 2.7468774E-5 | 3.0840125E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 6.485058 | 2.3083396E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.1771801E-4 | 1.3216543E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 5.296393 | 8.320729E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.0014322745 | 0.0016079537 | 0.0047 | 2.9229698 | 0.005701361 | 0.0041 | 0.014230782 | 0.015969694 | 0.0171 | 1.0707781 | 0.02620361 | 0.0104 |
6.6 | 2.6135967E-5 | 2.9263689E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 6.8344083 | 2.2925784E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.1200648E-4 | 1.2540993E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 5.581695 | 8.253221E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.0013628257 | 0.001525823 | 0.0046 | 3.0147665 | 0.0056195674 | 0.0041 | 0.013544982 | 0.015159937 | 0.016 | 1.0554134 | 0.025008338 | 0.01 |
6.7 | 2.4498746E-5 | 2.7352397E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 7.3119736 | 2.2734693E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.04990395E-4 | 1.1721943E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 5.9717064 | 8.1713736E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.0012775084 | 0.0014262374 | 0.0043 | 3.014926 | 0.005220818 | 0.0038 | 0.012701893 | 0.014177105 | 0.0149 | 1.0509902 | 0.023345258 | 0.0093 |
6.8 | 2.2244329E-5 | 2.494569E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 8.017417 | 2.249407E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 9.532935E-5 | 1.0690584E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 6.5478177 | 8.06831E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.0011600169 | 0.0013008233 | 0.004 | 3.0749757 | 0.00489614 | 0.0036 | 0.011539802 | 0.012937944 | 0.0135 | 1.0434425 | 0.021426678 | 0.0086 |
6.9 | 1.9902658E-5 | 2.2299711E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 8.968726 | 2.2229525E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 8.529431E-5 | 9.556679E-5 | 7.0E-4 | 7.32472 | 7.954999E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.0010379635 | 0.0011629232 | 0.0038 | 3.2676277 | 0.0045589693 | 0.0034 | 0.010331288 | 0.011573873 | 0.0122 | 1.0540982 | 0.019580126 | 0.0081 |
7.0 | 1.8353881E-5 | 2.0575173E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 9.720453 | 2.2057106E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 7.865712E-5 | 8.8176435E-5 | 7.0E-4 | 7.938629 | 7.8811473E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 9.5722964E-4 | 0.001073037 | 0.0037 | 3.4481568 | 0.004369496 | 0.0033 | 0.009531168 | 0.0106837945 | 0.0114 | 1.0670366 | 0.01830153 | 0.0077 |
7.1 | 1.7667631E-5 | 1.9781386E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 10.110515 | 2.1977743E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 7.571623E-5 | 8.4774714E-5 | 7.0E-4 | 8.257179 | 7.8471535E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 9.2145515E-4 | 0.001031661 | 0.0036 | 3.4895184 | 0.0042283596 | 0.0032 | 0.009176437 | 0.010273907 | 0.0112 | 1.0901402 | 0.017795825 | 0.0076 |
7.2 | 1.6381597E-5 | 1.8166309E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 11.009391 | 2.1816268E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 7.020495E-5 | 7.785338E-5 | 6.0E-4 | 7.7067943 | 6.778067E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 8.544101E-4 | 9.474701E-4 | 0.0032 | 3.3774154 | 0.003744817 | 0.0028 | 0.008511325 | 0.009439194 | 0.0103 | 1.0911949 | 0.016175007 | 0.0068 |
7.3 | 1.4520491E-5 | 1.5972872E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 6.260615 | 1.1597128E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.222919E-5 | 6.845346E-5 | 4.0E-4 | 5.843386 | 4.6842606E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 7.57377E-4 | 8.331184E-4 | 0.0025 | 3.000774 | 0.0030312855 | 0.0022 | 0.0075480095 | 0.008303196 | 0.0088 | 1.0598329 | 0.014253377 | 0.006 |
7.4 | 1.2852287E-5 | 1.4151001E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 7.066638 | 1.1414959E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.5080065E-5 | 6.0645823E-5 | 3.0E-4 | 4.9467545 | 3.6062763E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 6.7039346E-4 | 7.381286E-4 | 0.0024 | 3.251466 | 0.0028365785 | 0.0021 | 0.0066837464 | 0.0073598395 | 0.0082 | 1.1141547 | 0.013017888 | 0.0057 |
7.5 | 1.1637851E-5 | 1.2842109E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 7.7868834 | 1.12840826E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.987555E-5 | 5.5036537E-5 | 3.0E-4 | 5.4509244 | 3.5502002E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 6.070656E-4 | 6.698795E-4 | 0.0024 | 3.5827339 | 0.0027684728 | 0.0021 | 0.006054099 | 0.0066816593 | 0.0082 | 1.2272401 | 0.012343574 | 0.0057 |
7.6 | 3.0068115E-6 | 3.3351353E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3351353E-6 | 0.0 | 1.2886271E-5 | 1.42933995E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 13.992473 | 2.1429054E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.5687906E-4 | 1.7401553E-4 | 0.0013 | 7.4705977 | 0.0013738067 | 0.0012 | 0.0015676835 | 0.0017403212 | 0.0026 | 1.4939771 | 0.0040363185 | 0.0023 |
Hayward (No) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.3068506E-5 | 1.7426522E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.147676 | 2.7424778E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.9880406E-4 | 7.466372E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.8036032 | 9.464879E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0048446343 | 0.009052299 | 0.0061 | 0.6738619 | 0.010439626 | 0.0014 | 0.047403704 | 0.086493865 | 0.0525 | 0.6069795 | 0.096085675 | 0.0105 |
6.1 | 9.055486E-5 | 1.6977437E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.1780342 | 2.6975738E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.880345E-4 | 7.27402E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.6873778 | 9.2725654E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0047140904 | 0.008820233 | 0.0059 | 0.6689166 | 0.010207885 | 0.0014 | 0.046153355 | 0.08439077 | 0.0518 | 0.6138112 | 0.0939131 | 0.0104 |
6.2 | 9.006742E-5 | 1.6897969E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.1835742 | 2.689628E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.859461E-4 | 7.239983E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.6906094 | 9.238535E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0046887742 | 0.008779165 | 0.0058 | 0.6606551 | 0.010166874 | 0.0014 | 0.0459107 | 0.08401475 | 0.0516 | 0.6141778 | 0.093541 | 0.0104 |
6.3 | 8.8336754E-5 | 1.6577414E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.2064608 | 2.6575755E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.7853114E-4 | 7.102678E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.7039598 | 9.1012573E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.004598882 | 0.0086133825 | 0.0058 | 0.6733707 | 0.010001324 | 0.0014 | 0.04504866 | 0.08250652 | 0.0508 | 0.61570895 | 0.09186495 | 0.0102 |
6.4 | 8.526157E-5 | 1.6003703E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.2497107 | 2.6002104E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.6535555E-4 | 6.8569335E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.7291889 | 8.855562E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0044391346 | 0.008316521 | 0.0056 | 0.6733585 | 0.009704878 | 0.0014 | 0.043514993 | 0.079814784 | 0.0492 | 0.6164272 | 0.088832594 | 0.0098 |
6.5 | 8.152396E-5 | 1.533587E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.304132 | 2.5334337E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.493416E-4 | 6.570868E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.76093453 | 8.5695536E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0042449418 | 0.007970838 | 0.0055 | 0.6900153 | 0.009260476 | 0.0013 | 0.04164765 | 0.07664576 | 0.048 | 0.6262577 | 0.08550996 | 0.0096 |
6.6 | 7.987405E-5 | 1.5039995E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.3297876 | 2.503849E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.4227243E-4 | 6.444127E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.7759003 | 8.442838E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0041592065 | 0.007817659 | 0.0055 | 0.70353544 | 0.009107496 | 0.0013 | 0.04082218 | 0.07523814 | 0.047 | 0.6246832 | 0.08402337 | 0.0095 |
6.7 | 7.777665E-5 | 1.4678622E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.3625257 | 2.4677155E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.332859E-4 | 6.289328E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.79499745 | 8.28807E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.004050208 | 0.0076305284 | 0.0055 | 0.7207889 | 0.008920609 | 0.0013 | 0.039771806 | 0.07351168 | 0.0463 | 0.62983185 | 0.08222067 | 0.0094 |
6.8 | 7.3284005E-5 | 1.3827685E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.4463737 | 2.3826302E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.140365E-4 | 5.924811E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.8439088 | 7.923626E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0038166929 | 0.0071897367 | 0.0054 | 0.7510706 | 0.0084803905 | 0.0013 | 0.037518036 | 0.069418624 | 0.0436 | 0.6280735 | 0.07788692 | 0.0091 |
6.9 | 6.458263E-5 | 1.2154995E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.6454141 | 2.2153779E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.7675333E-4 | 5.2082486E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.7680125 | 7.207207E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0033642664 | 0.0063227075 | 0.0046 | 0.72753644 | 0.007316385 | 0.001 | 0.033137884 | 0.061333496 | 0.039 | 0.6358679 | 0.06884283 | 0.008 |
7.0 | 5.3853604E-5 | 1.0045085E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.9910235 | 2.004408E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.3078074E-4 | 4.3043293E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.9292969 | 6.303468E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0028061352 | 0.0052279932 | 0.0041 | 0.7842397 | 0.006123288 | 9.0E-4 | 0.027709642 | 0.051051028 | 0.0324 | 0.6346591 | 0.05693451 | 0.0062 |
7.1 | 4.4308683E-5 | 8.188011E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.4425955 | 1.8187192E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.8988053E-4 | 3.5086778E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.1400306 | 5.507976E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0023093442 | 0.0042634895 | 0.0035 | 0.8209238 | 0.0050600786 | 8.0E-4 | 0.022854926 | 0.041905515 | 0.0266 | 0.6347613 | 0.04640856 | 0.0047 |
7.2 | 3.295973E-5 | 6.0924012E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.6413889 | 1.6091792E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4124835E-4 | 2.610769E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.1490867 | 4.610247E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0017183421 | 0.0031740014 | 0.0025 | 0.78764933 | 0.003971462 | 8.0E-4 | 0.017051157 | 0.03144163 | 0.0198 | 0.6297384 | 0.03550957 | 0.0042 |
7.3 | 2.452256E-5 | 4.530614E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.2072062 | 1.4530162E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.05092455E-4 | 1.941548E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0301058 | 3.9411598E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0012787496 | 0.002361286 | 0.0019 | 0.8046463 | 0.003059633 | 7.0E-4 | 0.0127141625 | 0.023501672 | 0.0151 | 0.6425075 | 0.026528817 | 0.0031 |
7.4 | 1.8829967E-5 | 3.4704895E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.881438 | 1.3470142E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 8.069736E-5 | 1.4872683E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.3447472 | 3.486971E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 9.820475E-4 | 0.0018092552 | 0.0019 | 1.0501559 | 0.0025079888 | 7.0E-4 | 0.009777189 | 0.018068705 | 0.0118 | 0.6530629 | 0.020523533 | 0.0025 |
7.5 | 1.26374125E-5 | 2.2997488E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.348301 | 1.2299519E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.4159216E-5 | 9.855697E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.029283 | 2.9853726E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 6.5918895E-4 | 0.0011992764 | 0.0012 | 1.0006033 | 0.0017985569 | 6.0E-4 | 0.00657237 | 0.012026367 | 0.0076 | 0.6319448 | 0.013705922 | 0.0017 |
7.6 | 4.666429E-6 | 8.509862E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.509862E-6 | 0.0 | 1.9998828E-5 | 3.6470334E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.6470334E-5 | 0.0 | 2.4345852E-4 | 4.4393708E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.9010286 | 4.4393708E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0024319198 | 0.0044734143 | 0.0022 | 0.49179438 | 0.004871625 | 4.0E-4 |
7.7 | 3.8399318E-7 | 7.1806693E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.1806693E-7 | 0.0 | 1.6456839E-6 | 3.077426E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.077426E-6 | 0.0 | 2.003602E-5 | 3.746702E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.746702E-5 | 0.0 | 2.0034213E-4 | 3.884248E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.25745007 | 3.884248E-4 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.5637698E-7 | 5.4068045E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.4068045E-7 | 0.0 | 1.098758E-6 | 2.3172E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3172E-6 | 0.0 | 1.3377297E-5 | 2.8211545E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8211545E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3376492E-4 | 2.944142E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.33965755 | 2.944142E-4 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.7141245E-7 | 3.7572062E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.7572062E-7 | 0.0 | 7.3462456E-7 | 1.6102301E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6102301E-6 | 0.0 | 8.944017E-6 | 1.9604377E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9604377E-5 | 0.0 | 8.943657E-5 | 2.0382134E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.49062574 | 2.0382134E-4 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.1808895E-7 | 2.770807E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.770807E-7 | 0.0 | 5.060954E-7 | 1.1874881E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1874881E-6 | 0.0 | 6.161694E-6 | 1.4457572E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4457572E-5 | 0.0 | 6.161523E-5 | 1.4911758E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.67061174 | 1.4911758E-4 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 5.138535E-8 | 1.13073256E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.13073256E-7 | 0.0 | 2.2022292E-7 | 4.845996E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.845996E-7 | 0.0 | 2.6812106E-6 | 5.899984E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.899984E-6 | 0.0 | 2.6811784E-5 | 6.05383E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.05383E-5 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Santa Cruz Mts) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.7221631E-4 | 1.3886303E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 2.8805363 | 4.388214E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 7.378611E-4 | 5.949936E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.1764833 | 0.0010946961 | 5.0E-4 | 0.008946515 | 0.007220367 | 0.0047 | 0.6509364 | 0.008709537 | 0.0015 | 0.08594794 | 0.07099041 | 0.0427 | 0.60148966 | 0.08055922 | 0.0103 |
6.1 | 1.7221631E-4 | 1.3886303E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 2.8805363 | 4.388214E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 7.378611E-4 | 5.949936E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.1764833 | 0.0010946961 | 5.0E-4 | 0.008946515 | 0.007220367 | 0.0047 | 0.6509364 | 0.008709537 | 0.0015 | 0.08594794 | 0.07099041 | 0.0427 | 0.60148966 | 0.08055922 | 0.0103 |
6.2 | 1.7221631E-4 | 1.3886303E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 2.8805363 | 4.388214E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 7.378611E-4 | 5.949936E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.1764833 | 0.0010946961 | 5.0E-4 | 0.008946515 | 0.007220367 | 0.0047 | 0.6509364 | 0.008709537 | 0.0015 | 0.08594794 | 0.07099041 | 0.0427 | 0.60148966 | 0.08055922 | 0.0103 |
6.3 | 1.716926E-4 | 1.3805534E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 2.8973887 | 4.3801393E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 7.3561794E-4 | 5.9153367E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.1833645 | 0.0010912379 | 5.0E-4 | 0.008919428 | 0.00717852 | 0.0047 | 0.65473104 | 0.008667752 | 0.0015 | 0.08569809 | 0.07060165 | 0.0425 | 0.60196894 | 0.080081515 | 0.0102 |
6.4 | 1.6392978E-4 | 1.3679561E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 2.9240704 | 4.3675458E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 7.02367E-4 | 5.8613723E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.1942595 | 0.0010858441 | 5.0E-4 | 0.008517839 | 0.007113248 | 0.0047 | 0.66073895 | 0.008602578 | 0.0015 | 0.08198654 | 0.06982407 | 0.0423 | 0.60580826 | 0.07931186 | 0.0102 |
6.5 | 1.5742714E-4 | 1.2736555E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 3.1405666 | 4.2732735E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 6.745133E-4 | 5.4573995E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.2826623 | 0.0010454671 | 5.0E-4 | 0.00818132 | 0.006624457 | 0.004 | 0.6038231 | 0.007915845 | 0.0013 | 0.078865945 | 0.06527971 | 0.0397 | 0.6081523 | 0.07434649 | 0.0097 |
6.6 | 1.3038084E-4 | 1.1669526E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 3.4277315 | 4.1666024E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 5.5865536E-4 | 5.0002796E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.3999218 | 9.997779E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.006780438 | 0.006071079 | 0.0038 | 0.6259184 | 0.0073631867 | 0.0013 | 0.0657725 | 0.05970802 | 0.0361 | 0.6046089 | 0.06817065 | 0.009 |
6.7 | 1.2867592E-4 | 1.1395497E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 3.5101583 | 4.139208E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 5.5135164E-4 | 4.8828835E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.4335792 | 9.880442E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.0066920654 | 0.0059289346 | 0.0038 | 0.64092463 | 0.0072212266 | 0.0013 | 0.06494093 | 0.05841705 | 0.0353 | 0.60427564 | 0.06679714 | 0.0089 |
6.8 | 1.2801298E-4 | 1.1332945E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 3.5295327 | 4.1329546E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 5.485117E-4 | 4.8560853E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.4414903 | 9.853657E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.0066577005 | 0.0058964975 | 0.0038 | 0.64445037 | 0.007188832 | 0.0013 | 0.06461738 | 0.05813055 | 0.0349 | 0.60037273 | 0.06651319 | 0.0089 |
6.9 | 1.269149E-4 | 1.1174811E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 3.579479 | 4.1171457E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 5.4380763E-4 | 4.7883383E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.461885 | 9.785944E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.006600777 | 0.0058144582 | 0.0038 | 0.65354323 | 0.0071068997 | 0.0013 | 0.06408122 | 0.057401318 | 0.0342 | 0.59580517 | 0.06560192 | 0.0087 |
7.0 | 1.2030331E-4 | 1.090361E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 3.66851 | 4.0900338E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 5.154837E-4 | 4.6721514E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.4982392 | 9.669815E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.006257969 | 0.0056737456 | 0.0038 | 0.6697516 | 0.0069663697 | 0.0013 | 0.06084648 | 0.056066796 | 0.0334 | 0.595718 | 0.06399583 | 0.0084 |
7.1 | 8.049617E-5 | 5.45254E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 3.6680152 | 1.5451995E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.4493793E-4 | 2.3365956E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.7118922 | 4.3361282E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0041915346 | 0.0028411294 | 0.0014 | 0.4927618 | 0.0033397088 | 5.0E-4 | 0.041133516 | 0.029915657 | 0.0164 | 0.5482079 | 0.03399001 | 0.0042 |
7.2 | 7.093979E-5 | 4.346831E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 4.601053 | 1.4346396E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.0399222E-4 | 1.8627959E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.6104825 | 2.8626097E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0036948253 | 0.0022656182 | 0.0012 | 0.52965677 | 0.002664712 | 4.0E-4 | 0.03633994 | 0.024208244 | 0.0132 | 0.5452688 | 0.027038042 | 0.0029 |
7.3 | 6.193693E-5 | 2.9291405E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 6.827942 | 1.2928847E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.6541698E-4 | 1.2552856E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.5932629 | 2.25516E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0032266637 | 0.0015272405 | 7.0E-4 | 0.458343 | 0.0018267824 | 3.0E-4 | 0.031802133 | 0.016707154 | 0.0099 | 0.5925605 | 0.018968727 | 0.0023 |
7.4 | 5.906492E-5 | 2.7397451E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 7.299949 | 1.2739471E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.5311083E-4 | 1.1741237E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.7033981 | 2.1740062E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0030772698 | 0.0014285597 | 7.0E-4 | 0.49000403 | 0.0017281311 | 3.0E-4 | 0.030350044 | 0.015668107 | 0.0095 | 0.6063272 | 0.017833639 | 0.0022 |
7.5 | 5.424296E-5 | 2.5020641E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 7.9934006 | 1.2501814E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.324491E-4 | 1.07226915E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.8652034 | 2.0721619E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.002826395 | 0.0013047071 | 6.0E-4 | 0.45987332 | 0.0015044461 | 2.0E-4 | 0.027907165 | 0.014344936 | 0.0086 | 0.59951466 | 0.01621768 | 0.0019 |
7.6 | 4.43084E-5 | 2.0173753E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 9.913872 | 1.2017174E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.8987931E-4 | 8.645607E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.3133135 | 1.8644743E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0023093296 | 0.0010520947 | 5.0E-4 | 0.4752424 | 0.0012518843 | 2.0E-4 | 0.022854783 | 0.011556238 | 0.0065 | 0.5624668 | 0.0131377475 | 0.0016 |
7.7 | 4.118098E-5 | 1.9193818E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 10.420022 | 1.191919E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.7647797E-4 | 8.225662E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.431415 | 1.822484E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.002146502 | 0.0010010145 | 5.0E-4 | 0.49949324 | 0.0012008144 | 2.0E-4 | 0.021258866 | 0.01100773 | 0.0063 | 0.57232505 | 0.012491219 | 0.0015 |
7.8 | 3.5408906E-5 | 1.881464E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 10.630019 | 1.1881276E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5174363E-4 | 8.063168E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.4804146 | 1.8062363E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0018459131 | 9.812489E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.50955474 | 0.0011810526 | 2.0E-4 | 0.018306552 | 0.010785256 | 0.0062 | 0.5748589 | 0.012269078 | 0.0015 |
7.9 | 2.5860836E-5 | 1.7541553E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 11.401499 | 1.175398E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.10827445E-4 | 7.517592E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.6604264 | 1.751684E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.001348489 | 9.1488275E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.5465181 | 0.0011146998 | 2.0E-4 | 0.013403354 | 0.010026833 | 0.0055 | 0.54852813 | 0.011511792 | 0.0015 |
8.0 | 1.9777332E-5 | 1.5029343E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 13.307302 | 1.1502784E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 8.4757245E-5 | 6.4409876E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 3.1051137 | 1.6440343E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0010314309 | 7.839083E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.63782966 | 9.837515E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.010266567 | 0.008609542 | 0.0048 | 0.557521 | 0.00989835 | 0.0013 |
8.1 | 1.468494E-5 | 1.2261045E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 16.311823 | 1.1225982E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.293394E-5 | 5.254628E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 3.8061686 | 1.5254102E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 7.6595135E-4 | 6.3956337E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.78178334 | 8.3943544E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0076331664 | 0.007051126 | 0.0032 | 0.45382825 | 0.0079447795 | 9.0E-4 |
8.2 | 8.63836E-6 | 5.5477717E-6 | 2.0E-4 | 36.05051 | 1.0554722E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.7021015E-5 | 2.3775949E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 8.411862 | 1.2377357E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.5063766E-4 | 2.894338E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.6910043 | 3.8940486E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004497249 | 0.0032887247 | 0.0013 | 0.39529002 | 0.0036874092 | 4.0E-4 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.7872784E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.7872784E-7 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.3374008E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3374008E-6 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.0632116E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0632116E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.792776E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.20864734 | 4.792776E-4 | 0.0 |
West Napa 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.773104E-5 | 4.4545905E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.4545905E-5 | 0.0 | 1.6169442E-4 | 1.9089885E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0476753 | 2.9087975E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.001966852 | 0.0023220335 | 0.0018 | 0.7751826 | 0.0033197114 | 0.001 | 0.019495348 | 0.023011351 | 0.0208 | 0.90390176 | 0.032292742 | 0.0095 |
6.1 | 3.773104E-5 | 4.4545905E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.4545905E-5 | 0.0 | 1.6169442E-4 | 1.9089885E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0476753 | 2.9087975E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.001966852 | 0.0023220335 | 0.0018 | 0.7751826 | 0.0033197114 | 0.001 | 0.019495348 | 0.023011351 | 0.0208 | 0.90390176 | 0.032292742 | 0.0095 |
6.2 | 3.773104E-5 | 4.4545905E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.4545905E-5 | 0.0 | 1.6169442E-4 | 1.9089885E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0476753 | 2.9087975E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.001966852 | 0.0023220335 | 0.0018 | 0.7751826 | 0.0033197114 | 0.001 | 0.019495348 | 0.023011351 | 0.0208 | 0.90390176 | 0.032292742 | 0.0095 |
6.3 | 2.147964E-5 | 2.4996629E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4996629E-5 | 0.0 | 9.2052345E-5 | 1.0712453E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.866986 | 2.0711382E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.001120161 | 0.0013035525 | 0.0012 | 0.92056125 | 0.0018029008 | 5.0E-4 | 0.011145315 | 0.01296987 | 0.0118 | 0.90980095 | 0.018595941 | 0.0057 |
6.4 | 2.147964E-5 | 2.4996629E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4996629E-5 | 0.0 | 9.2052345E-5 | 1.0712453E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.866986 | 2.0711382E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.001120161 | 0.0013035525 | 0.0012 | 0.92056125 | 0.0018029008 | 5.0E-4 | 0.011145315 | 0.01296987 | 0.0118 | 0.90980095 | 0.018595941 | 0.0057 |
6.5 | 1.688201E-5 | 1.955496E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.955496E-5 | 0.0 | 7.234947E-5 | 8.380469E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1932507 | 1.837963E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 8.804988E-4 | 0.0010199173 | 0.001 | 0.9804717 | 0.0015194073 | 5.0E-4 | 0.008770182 | 0.010161222 | 0.0088 | 0.8660376 | 0.014615496 | 0.0045 |
6.6 | 1.6846381E-5 | 1.9514642E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9514642E-5 | 0.0 | 7.219678E-5 | 8.363191E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1957159 | 1.8362355E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 8.7864127E-4 | 0.0010178157 | 0.001 | 0.9824962 | 0.0015173068 | 5.0E-4 | 0.008751754 | 0.010140398 | 0.0088 | 0.8678161 | 0.014594765 | 0.0045 |
6.7 | 1.3396501E-5 | 1.5473894E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5473894E-5 | 0.0 | 5.7412315E-5 | 6.6315355E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5079464 | 1.6630873E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.9877075E-4 | 8.0715393E-4 | 0.001 | 1.238921 | 0.0013067503 | 5.0E-4 | 0.0069657755 | 0.008050136 | 0.0072 | 0.8943948 | 0.011819545 | 0.0038 |
6.8 | 1.0139058E-5 | 1.1677143E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1677143E-5 | 0.0 | 4.3452383E-5 | 5.0044255E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.9982314 | 1.5003925E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.289043E-4 | 6.09174E-4 | 9.0E-4 | 1.4774103 | 0.0010089304 | 4.0E-4 | 0.005276473 | 0.0060821506 | 0.0055 | 0.9042854 | 0.008765729 | 0.0027 |
6.9 | 7.761281E-6 | 8.89475E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.89475E-6 | 0.0 | 3.326221E-5 | 3.8120088E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.6232886 | 1.3811627E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.0489217E-4 | 4.6406468E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.5084105 | 8.6387905E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0040415525 | 0.0046376577 | 0.0038 | 0.81937915 | 0.0063297735 | 0.0017 |
7.0 | 2.2109202E-6 | 2.3683883E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3683883E-6 | 0.0 | 9.475338E-6 | 1.0150196E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0150196E-5 | 0.0 | 1.1535613E-4 | 1.2357172E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.6184933 | 1.2357172E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011529627 | 0.0012367003 | 7.0E-4 | 0.56602234 | 0.0015363294 | 3.0E-4 |
7.1 | 1.9008926E-6 | 2.0149791E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0149791E-6 | 0.0 | 8.146657E-6 | 8.635597E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.635597E-6 | 0.0 | 9.918104E-5 | 1.0513334E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.9023461 | 1.0513334E-4 | 0.0 | 9.913679E-4 | 0.0010525014 | 6.0E-4 | 0.5700705 | 0.0013521856 | 3.0E-4 |
7.2 | 1.8495944E-6 | 1.9577728E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9577728E-6 | 0.0 | 7.926808E-6 | 8.390428E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.390428E-6 | 0.0 | 9.650462E-5 | 1.021487E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.95793 | 1.021487E-4 | 0.0 | 9.6462725E-4 | 0.0010226828 | 6.0E-4 | 0.58669215 | 0.001322376 | 3.0E-4 |
7.3 | 1.7883189E-6 | 1.8897184E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8897184E-6 | 0.0 | 7.664201E-6 | 8.098768E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.098768E-6 | 0.0 | 9.330765E-5 | 9.8598066E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0142187 | 9.8598066E-5 | 0.0 | 9.3268487E-4 | 9.872087E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.40518284 | 0.0011870113 | 2.0E-4 |
7.4 | 1.6520572E-6 | 1.7430496E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7430496E-6 | 0.0 | 7.0802257E-6 | 7.470191E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.470191E-6 | 0.0 | 8.6198335E-5 | 9.094581E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.099556 | 9.094581E-5 | 0.0 | 8.616491E-4 | 9.107507E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.3293986 | 0.0010106596 | 1.0E-4 |
7.5 | 1.4040345E-6 | 1.4813993E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4813993E-6 | 0.0 | 6.0172765E-6 | 6.3488387E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.3488387E-6 | 0.0 | 7.325788E-5 | 7.72944E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2937549 | 7.72944E-5 | 0.0 | 7.3233736E-4 | 7.7429926E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.25829807 | 8.742218E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.6 | 1.3013842E-7 | 1.447959E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.447959E-7 | 0.0 | 5.57736E-7 | 6.205537E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.205537E-7 | 0.0 | 6.790414E-6 | 7.5552152E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.5552152E-6 | 0.0 | 6.790207E-5 | 7.6481294E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.6481294E-5 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 8.541512E-8 | 9.774433E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.774433E-8 | 0.0 | 3.6606474E-7 | 4.1890422E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.1890422E-7 | 0.0 | 4.456829E-6 | 5.100147E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.100147E-6 | 0.0 | 4.4567398E-5 | 5.1906267E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.1906267E-5 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 5.6074793E-8 | 6.9435714E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.9435714E-8 | 0.0 | 2.403205E-7 | 2.975816E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.975816E-7 | 0.0 | 2.9258983E-6 | 3.62305E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.62305E-6 | 0.0 | 2.9258597E-5 | 3.7064437E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.7064437E-5 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.9475839E-8 | 3.8852686E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.8852686E-8 | 0.0 | 1.2632502E-7 | 1.6651151E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6651151E-7 | 0.0 | 1.538006E-6 | 2.0272757E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0272757E-6 | 0.0 | 1.5379954E-5 | 2.0812508E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0812508E-5 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.3337122E-8 | 2.1798726E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1798726E-8 | 0.0 | 5.7159088E-8 | 9.3423104E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.3423104E-8 | 0.0 | 6.959117E-7 | 1.1374257E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1374257E-6 | 0.0 | 6.959095E-6 | 1.1730147E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1730147E-5 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 2.6589986E-10 | 4.896824E-10 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.896824E-10 | 0.0 | 1.1395708E-9 | 2.0986395E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0986395E-9 | 0.0 | 1.3874274E-8 | 2.5550936E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5550936E-8 | 0.0 | 1.3874273E-7 | 2.621495E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.621495E-7 | 0.0 |
Calaveras (No) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.8694856E-5 | 6.761747E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.761747E-5 | 0.0 | 2.0867554E-4 | 2.8975765E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.690232 | 2.8975765E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0025376645 | 0.0035220913 | 0.0024 | 0.68141335 | 0.0043192734 | 8.0E-4 | 0.02508881 | 0.034842145 | 0.0286 | 0.820845 | 0.04294947 | 0.0084 |
6.1 | 4.8694856E-5 | 6.761747E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.761747E-5 | 0.0 | 2.0867554E-4 | 2.8975765E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.690232 | 2.8975765E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0025376645 | 0.0035220913 | 0.0024 | 0.68141335 | 0.0043192734 | 8.0E-4 | 0.02508881 | 0.034842145 | 0.0285 | 0.8179749 | 0.04294947 | 0.0084 |
6.2 | 4.7541962E-5 | 6.594738E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.594738E-5 | 0.0 | 2.0373536E-4 | 2.8260172E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.3538549 | 2.8260172E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0024776561 | 0.0034352676 | 0.0022 | 0.6404159 | 0.004132863 | 7.0E-4 | 0.024502134 | 0.034003012 | 0.0271 | 0.7969882 | 0.04173099 | 0.008 |
6.3 | 4.6717287E-5 | 6.478014E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.478014E-5 | 0.0 | 2.0020158E-4 | 2.7760045E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.36022994 | 2.7760045E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0024347296 | 0.003374577 | 0.0021 | 0.6223002 | 0.004072215 | 7.0E-4 | 0.024082264 | 0.033415187 | 0.0263 | 0.7870673 | 0.04095455 | 0.0078 |
6.4 | 4.6276386E-5 | 6.414134E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.414134E-5 | 0.0 | 1.983123E-4 | 2.7486336E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.36381716 | 2.7486336E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0024117786 | 0.0033413628 | 0.0021 | 0.6284861 | 0.0040390235 | 7.0E-4 | 0.02385771 | 0.033093844 | 0.026 | 0.7856446 | 0.040539023 | 0.0077 |
6.5 | 4.5720994E-5 | 6.3341475E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.3341475E-5 | 0.0 | 1.9593239E-4 | 2.714363E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.3684106 | 2.714363E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002382867 | 0.003299774 | 0.0021 | 0.63640726 | 0.003997464 | 7.0E-4 | 0.023574775 | 0.03269119 | 0.0258 | 0.7892035 | 0.040042736 | 0.0076 |
6.6 | 4.549134E-5 | 6.299437E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.299437E-5 | 0.0 | 1.949483E-4 | 2.6994897E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.37044036 | 2.6994897E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0023709119 | 0.0032817204 | 0.0021 | 0.63990825 | 0.0039794235 | 7.0E-4 | 0.023457756 | 0.03251651 | 0.0257 | 0.7903678 | 0.039772633 | 0.0075 |
6.7 | 3.701047E-5 | 5.0490173E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0490173E-5 | 0.0 | 1.5860666E-4 | 2.1636875E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1636875E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0019293258 | 0.002631151 | 0.0016 | 0.6080989 | 0.0031298352 | 5.0E-4 | 0.019126613 | 0.02619032 | 0.0194 | 0.7407317 | 0.03135151 | 0.0053 |
6.8 | 3.5523568E-5 | 4.8470778E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.8470778E-5 | 0.0 | 1.5223498E-4 | 2.0771561E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0771561E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0018518851 | 0.0025260479 | 0.0016 | 0.6334005 | 0.0030247848 | 5.0E-4 | 0.018365284 | 0.025162166 | 0.0183 | 0.72728235 | 0.029938873 | 0.0049 |
6.9 | 3.2946147E-5 | 4.478826E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.478826E-5 | 0.0 | 1.4119013E-4 | 1.919358E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.919358E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0017176344 | 0.0023343563 | 0.0015 | 0.6425754 | 0.0028331892 | 5.0E-4 | 0.017044188 | 0.023282373 | 0.0169 | 0.72587097 | 0.027677603 | 0.0045 |
7.0 | 2.7682381E-5 | 3.7144746E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.7144746E-5 | 0.0 | 1.1863338E-4 | 1.5918222E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5918222E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0014434044 | 0.0019363513 | 0.0014 | 0.7230093 | 0.0023355768 | 4.0E-4 | 0.01434065 | 0.019372474 | 0.0135 | 0.696865 | 0.022804672 | 0.0035 |
7.1 | 2.471967E-5 | 3.340569E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.340569E-5 | 0.0 | 1.05937135E-4 | 1.4315956E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4315956E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0012890215 | 0.0017416034 | 0.0012 | 0.6890203 | 0.002041081 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0128157 | 0.017446307 | 0.0121 | 0.6935565 | 0.020197459 | 0.0028 |
7.2 | 1.9748062E-5 | 2.689025E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.689025E-5 | 0.0 | 8.463181E-5 | 1.15238974E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.15238974E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0010299052 | 0.0014021551 | 0.0012 | 0.85582536 | 0.0017017345 | 3.0E-4 | 0.01025145 | 0.014089779 | 0.0098 | 0.69553965 | 0.01616019 | 0.0021 |
7.3 | 1.1603734E-5 | 1.5884763E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5884763E-5 | 0.0 | 4.9729337E-5 | 6.807586E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.807586E-5 | 0.0 | 6.052865E-4 | 8.285229E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 0.9655738 | 0.0011282744 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0060364045 | 0.008360269 | 0.0061 | 0.7296416 | 0.009748564 | 0.0014 |
7.4 | 4.885381E-6 | 6.058302E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.058302E-6 | 0.0 | 2.0937177E-5 | 2.5963895E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5963895E-5 | 0.0 | 2.5488032E-4 | 3.1606475E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.63278174 | 3.1606475E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0025458818 | 0.003212821 | 0.0016 | 0.49800473 | 0.0036115358 | 4.0E-4 |
7.5 | 3.0571264E-6 | 4.17649E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.17649E-6 | 0.0 | 1.3101904E-5 | 1.7899121E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7899121E-5 | 0.0 | 1.5950401E-4 | 2.1790012E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.45892587 | 2.1790012E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0015938957 | 0.0022319162 | 0.0012 | 0.53765464 | 0.0026310233 | 4.0E-4 |
7.6 | 1.764948E-6 | 2.81587E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.81587E-6 | 0.0 | 7.564041E-6 | 1.2067958E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2067958E-5 | 0.0 | 9.208831E-5 | 1.4691756E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4691756E-4 | 0.0 | 9.205016E-4 | 0.0015225235 | 0.001 | 0.6568043 | 0.0018220667 | 3.0E-4 |
7.7 | 1.3173734E-6 | 2.0763187E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0763187E-6 | 0.0 | 5.645874E-6 | 8.898478E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.898478E-6 | 0.0 | 6.873634E-5 | 1.0833361E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0833361E-4 | 0.0 | 6.8715087E-4 | 0.001135133 | 6.0E-4 | 0.52857244 | 0.0013349059 | 2.0E-4 |
7.8 | 9.4429885E-7 | 1.5628669E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5628669E-6 | 0.0 | 4.0469886E-6 | 6.697984E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.697984E-6 | 0.0 | 4.9270973E-5 | 8.154492E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.154492E-5 | 0.0 | 4.926005E-4 | 8.571436E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.58333284 | 0.0010569722 | 2.0E-4 |
7.9 | 6.388233E-7 | 1.1247364E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1247364E-6 | 0.0 | 2.7378112E-6 | 4.82029E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.82029E-6 | 0.0 | 3.3332344E-5 | 5.8685462E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.8685462E-5 | 0.0 | 3.3327343E-4 | 6.145594E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.48815462 | 7.1449793E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
8.0 | 3.087986E-7 | 5.805593E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.805593E-7 | 0.0 | 1.323422E-6 | 2.488109E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.488109E-6 | 0.0 | 1.6112543E-5 | 3.0292307E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0292307E-5 | 0.0 | 1.6111376E-4 | 3.1360646E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.6377419 | 3.1360646E-4 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.6725647E-7 | 2.7683552E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7683552E-7 | 0.0 | 7.168133E-7 | 1.1864374E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1864374E-6 | 0.0 | 8.7271665E-6 | 1.4444782E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4444782E-5 | 0.0 | 8.726824E-5 | 1.4989411E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.66713756 | 1.4989411E-4 | 0.0 |
King Range 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2462566E-5 | 1.3026107E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3026107E-5 | 0.0 | 5.34099E-5 | 5.5825174E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.7913066 | 1.558196E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.5007154E-4 | 6.7949446E-4 | 0.0022 | 3.2377012 | 0.0015788829 | 9.0E-4 | 0.0064817313 | 0.006778579 | 0.0176 | 2.5964143 | 0.014922995 | 0.0082 |
6.1 | 1.2462566E-5 | 1.3026107E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3026107E-5 | 0.0 | 5.34099E-5 | 5.5825174E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.7913066 | 1.558196E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.5007154E-4 | 6.7949446E-4 | 0.0022 | 3.2377012 | 0.0015788829 | 9.0E-4 | 0.0064817313 | 0.006778579 | 0.0176 | 2.5964143 | 0.014922995 | 0.0082 |
6.2 | 1.2462566E-5 | 1.3026107E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3026107E-5 | 0.0 | 5.34099E-5 | 5.5825174E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.7913066 | 1.558196E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.5007154E-4 | 6.7949446E-4 | 0.0022 | 3.2377012 | 0.0015788829 | 9.0E-4 | 0.0064817313 | 0.006778579 | 0.0176 | 2.5964143 | 0.014922995 | 0.0082 |
6.3 | 7.988484E-6 | 8.216509E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.216509E-6 | 0.0 | 3.423591E-5 | 3.5213205E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5213205E-5 | 0.0 | 4.1674246E-4 | 4.286494E-4 | 0.001 | 2.332909 | 8.284779E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.004159618 | 0.0042804675 | 0.0089 | 2.0792122 | 0.00796463 | 0.0037 |
6.4 | 7.988484E-6 | 8.216509E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.216509E-6 | 0.0 | 3.423591E-5 | 3.5213205E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5213205E-5 | 0.0 | 4.1674246E-4 | 4.286494E-4 | 0.001 | 2.332909 | 8.284779E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.004159618 | 0.0042804675 | 0.0089 | 2.0792122 | 0.00796463 | 0.0037 |
6.5 | 5.0522513E-6 | 5.084562E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.084562E-6 | 0.0 | 2.1652326E-5 | 2.1790804E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1790804E-5 | 0.0 | 2.6358519E-4 | 2.6527166E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 2.2618322 | 5.651921E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0026327274 | 0.0026506132 | 0.0044 | 1.6599932 | 0.004645312 | 0.002 |
6.6 | 4.53682E-6 | 4.541192E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.541192E-6 | 0.0 | 1.944337E-5 | 1.9462112E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9462112E-5 | 0.0 | 2.3669732E-4 | 2.3692605E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 2.1103632 | 5.3685496E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0023644536 | 0.0023677652 | 0.0032 | 1.3514854 | 0.0038642136 | 0.0015 |
6.7 | 4.1144335E-6 | 4.0991795E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0991795E-6 | 0.0 | 1.7633167E-5 | 1.7567796E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7567796E-5 | 0.0 | 2.1466266E-4 | 2.1386733E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.4027388 | 3.1384593E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0021445542 | 0.002137625 | 0.0022 | 1.0291797 | 0.0031354872 | 0.001 |
6.8 | 3.8321214E-6 | 3.8095554E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.8095554E-6 | 0.0 | 1.6423275E-5 | 1.6326567E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6326567E-5 | 0.0 | 1.9993502E-4 | 1.9875815E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.5093721 | 2.9873828E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0019975523 | 0.0019868072 | 0.002 | 1.0066402 | 0.0028850192 | 9.0E-4 |
6.9 | 3.4999944E-6 | 3.4659233E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.4659233E-6 | 0.0 | 1.499989E-5 | 1.4853875E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4853875E-5 | 0.0 | 1.8260835E-4 | 1.8083116E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.659006 | 2.8081308E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0018245836 | 0.0018078359 | 0.0018 | 0.9956656 | 0.0027062087 | 9.0E-4 |
7.0 | 2.9470837E-6 | 2.8888921E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8888921E-6 | 0.0 | 1.26302975E-5 | 1.2380909E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2380909E-5 | 0.0 | 1.5376302E-4 | 1.5072731E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.9903493 | 2.5071224E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0015365666 | 0.0015072359 | 0.0016 | 1.0615458 | 0.002206181 | 7.0E-4 |
7.1 | 2.4850247E-6 | 2.3999512E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3999512E-6 | 0.0 | 1.0650062E-5 | 1.0285466E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0285466E-5 | 0.0 | 1.296568E-4 | 1.2521849E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.5972083 | 2.2520596E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0012958117 | 0.0012524625 | 0.0012 | 0.95811254 | 0.0017518363 | 5.0E-4 |
7.2 | 2.1800304E-6 | 2.0781297E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0781297E-6 | 0.0 | 9.342954E-6 | 8.90624E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.90624E-6 | 0.0 | 1.1374453E-4 | 1.0842816E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0842816E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011368633 | 0.0010847212 | 9.0E-4 | 0.8297063 | 0.0013843958 | 3.0E-4 |
7.3 | 2.0378504E-6 | 1.9514785E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9514785E-6 | 0.0 | 8.733615E-6 | 8.363452E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.363452E-6 | 0.0 | 1.0632657E-4 | 1.0182036E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0182036E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0010627571 | 0.0010186889 | 8.0E-4 | 0.7853232 | 0.0013183833 | 3.0E-4 |
7.4 | 1.4577047E-6 | 1.4106648E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4106648E-6 | 0.0 | 6.247291E-6 | 6.045693E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.045693E-6 | 0.0 | 7.605811E-5 | 7.36039E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.36039E-5 | 0.0 | 7.603208E-4 | 7.366743E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.678726 | 0.0010364533 | 3.0E-4 |
7.5 | 8.0685743E-7 | 6.5434546E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.5434546E-7 | 0.0 | 3.457956E-6 | 2.804335E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.804335E-6 | 0.0 | 4.20998E-5 | 3.4142293E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.4142293E-5 | 0.0 | 4.2091825E-4 | 3.4208022E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 1.4616455 | 6.419776E-4 | 3.0E-4 |
7.6 | 3.1239435E-7 | 1.3328665E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3328665E-7 | 0.0 | 1.3388321E-6 | 5.712284E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.712284E-7 | 0.0 | 1.630016E-5 | 6.954684E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.954684E-6 | 0.0 | 1.6298964E-4 | 7.0190894E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0190894E-5 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.7747207E-7 | 4.8011067E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.8011067E-8 | 0.0 | 7.605944E-7 | 2.057617E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.057617E-7 | 0.0 | 9.260198E-6 | 2.5051459E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5051459E-6 | 0.0 | 9.2598115E-5 | 2.5461713E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5461713E-5 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.1035538E-8 | 2.2159057E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2159057E-9 | 0.0 | 9.0152305E-8 | 9.496739E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.496739E-9 | 0.0 | 1.0976038E-6 | 1.156228E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.156228E-7 | 0.0 | 1.0975983E-5 | 1.1935838E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1935838E-6 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.4782963E-9 | 9.147127E-13 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.147127E-13 | 0.0 | 6.335555E-9 | 3.9209747E-12 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.9209747E-12 | 0.0 | 7.713538E-8 | 4.773615E-11 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.773615E-11 | 0.0 | 7.7135354E-7 | 6.891E-10 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.891E-10 | 0.0 |
Cady
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9892565E-5 | 2.1863018E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1863018E-5 | 0.0 | 8.525106E-5 | 9.3695795E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.3695795E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010374374 | 0.0011402402 | 8.0E-4 | 0.7016065 | 0.0015397841 | 4.0E-4 | 0.010326075 | 0.011352916 | 0.0123 | 1.0834221 | 0.019558687 | 0.0083 |
6.1 | 1.9892565E-5 | 2.1863018E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1863018E-5 | 0.0 | 8.525106E-5 | 9.3695795E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.3695795E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010374374 | 0.0011402402 | 8.0E-4 | 0.7016065 | 0.0015397841 | 4.0E-4 | 0.010326075 | 0.011352916 | 0.0123 | 1.0834221 | 0.019558687 | 0.0083 |
6.2 | 1.9892565E-5 | 2.1863018E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1863018E-5 | 0.0 | 8.525106E-5 | 9.3695795E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.3695795E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010374374 | 0.0011402402 | 8.0E-4 | 0.7016065 | 0.0015397841 | 4.0E-4 | 0.010326075 | 0.011352916 | 0.0123 | 1.0834221 | 0.019558687 | 0.0083 |
6.3 | 1.1117327E-5 | 1.2178886E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2178886E-5 | 0.0 | 4.764482E-5 | 5.219436E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.219436E-5 | 0.0 | 5.7992124E-4 | 6.353126E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.944417 | 9.3512196E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0057841022 | 0.0063380706 | 0.0064 | 1.009771 | 0.0105114505 | 0.0042 |
6.4 | 1.1117327E-5 | 1.2178886E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2178886E-5 | 0.0 | 4.764482E-5 | 5.219436E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.219436E-5 | 0.0 | 5.7992124E-4 | 6.353126E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.944417 | 9.3512196E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0057841022 | 0.0063380706 | 0.0064 | 1.009771 | 0.0105114505 | 0.0042 |
6.5 | 6.103093E-6 | 6.6732555E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.6732555E-6 | 0.0 | 2.615585E-5 | 2.8599423E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8599423E-5 | 0.0 | 3.1840094E-4 | 3.4815492E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.57445693 | 4.481201E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0031794512 | 0.0034773292 | 0.0028 | 0.8052157 | 0.005370722 | 0.0019 |
6.6 | 5.817237E-6 | 6.3668494E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.3668494E-6 | 0.0 | 2.4930776E-5 | 2.7286284E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7286284E-5 | 0.0 | 3.034899E-4 | 3.3217232E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.60209715 | 4.321391E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0030307577 | 0.0033179806 | 0.0028 | 0.8438868 | 0.0052116765 | 0.0019 |
6.7 | 4.8846314E-6 | 5.341558E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.341558E-6 | 0.0 | 2.0933967E-5 | 2.2892256E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2892256E-5 | 0.0 | 2.5484123E-4 | 2.7868935E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.71764493 | 3.7866147E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0025454918 | 0.0027845544 | 0.0024 | 0.8618973 | 0.004380099 | 0.0016 |
6.8 | 1.7788773E-6 | 1.9402564E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9402564E-6 | 0.0 | 7.6237375E-6 | 8.315367E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.315367E-6 | 0.0 | 9.281505E-5 | 1.01236474E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.9755726 | 2.0122634E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 9.2776294E-4 | 0.0010120582 | 7.0E-4 | 0.6916598 | 0.0015115523 | 5.0E-4 |
6.9 | 7.5455404E-7 | 8.2987316E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.2987316E-7 | 0.0 | 3.233799E-6 | 3.5565963E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5565963E-6 | 0.0 | 3.937079E-5 | 4.3301035E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.3094137 | 1.4329671E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.9363815E-4 | 4.3295894E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.46193758 | 6.3287234E-4 | 2.0E-4 |
7.0 | 6.8578805E-7 | 7.543308E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.543308E-7 | 0.0 | 2.9390883E-6 | 3.2328442E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2328442E-6 | 0.0 | 3.578281E-5 | 3.9359496E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.5406828 | 1.3935556E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.577705E-4 | 3.9355774E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.2540923 | 4.9351837E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
Ortigalita (North)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.711876E-5 | 1.0512432E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.9025092 | 2.0511381E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.3046713E-4 | 4.5045366E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 1.109992 | 5.504086E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004016016 | 0.005471653 | 0.0046 | 0.84069663 | 0.006565634 | 0.0011 | 0.039442103 | 0.053489465 | 0.0412 | 0.77024513 | 0.06030434 | 0.0072 |
6.1 | 4.607858E-5 | 6.027583E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.027583E-5 | 0.0 | 1.9746469E-4 | 2.5830086E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.77429086 | 2.5830086E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0024014818 | 0.0031405955 | 0.0025 | 0.79602736 | 0.0037387111 | 6.0E-4 | 0.023756953 | 0.03099323 | 0.0246 | 0.7937217 | 0.035450663 | 0.0046 |
6.2 | 4.607858E-5 | 6.027583E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.027583E-5 | 0.0 | 1.9746469E-4 | 2.5830086E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.77429086 | 2.5830086E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0024014818 | 0.0031405955 | 0.0025 | 0.79602736 | 0.0037387111 | 6.0E-4 | 0.023756953 | 0.03099323 | 0.0246 | 0.7937217 | 0.035450663 | 0.0046 |
6.3 | 3.327423E-5 | 4.2499472E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.2499472E-5 | 0.0 | 1.4259605E-4 | 1.8212963E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5490595 | 1.8212963E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0017347244 | 0.0022154208 | 0.0017 | 0.7673486 | 0.0026145347 | 4.0E-4 | 0.017212452 | 0.0219576 | 0.0166 | 0.7560024 | 0.02518514 | 0.0033 |
6.4 | 2.7732503E-5 | 3.501747E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.501747E-5 | 0.0 | 1.1884817E-4 | 1.5006775E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.6663657 | 1.5006775E-4 | 0.0 | 0.001446016 | 0.0018257776 | 0.0012 | 0.6572542 | 0.0021252297 | 3.0E-4 | 0.014366428 | 0.018130744 | 0.0136 | 0.7501071 | 0.020879978 | 0.0028 |
6.5 | 2.7689714E-5 | 3.496727E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.496727E-5 | 0.0 | 1.186648E-4 | 1.4985261E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.66732234 | 1.4985261E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0014437864 | 0.0018231627 | 0.0012 | 0.65819687 | 0.0021226157 | 3.0E-4 | 0.014344421 | 0.018105023 | 0.0136 | 0.7511728 | 0.020854328 | 0.0028 |
6.6 | 2.2976905E-5 | 2.8732931E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8732931E-5 | 0.0 | 9.846873E-5 | 1.2313675E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.81210524 | 1.2313675E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011981975 | 0.0014983977 | 0.0012 | 0.8008555 | 0.0017979481 | 3.0E-4 | 0.011917574 | 0.014906267 | 0.0119 | 0.79832196 | 0.017270492 | 0.0024 |
6.7 | 1.9871539E-5 | 2.4917535E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4917535E-5 | 0.0 | 8.516096E-5 | 1.0678647E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.9364482 | 1.0678647E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0010363415 | 0.0012995923 | 0.0012 | 0.92336655 | 0.0015992024 | 3.0E-4 | 0.010315218 | 0.0129436 | 0.0107 | 0.8266634 | 0.015213829 | 0.0023 |
6.8 | 6.5640475E-6 | 7.6078904E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.6078904E-6 | 0.0 | 2.813133E-5 | 3.2604854E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.067028 | 3.2604854E-5 | 0.0 | 3.424451E-4 | 3.9689467E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.50391203 | 3.9689467E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0034191788 | 0.0039621457 | 0.0029 | 0.7319267 | 0.0044601643 | 5.0E-4 |
6.9 | 5.6219683E-6 | 6.503859E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.503859E-6 | 0.0 | 2.4093928E-5 | 2.7873399E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.58765 | 2.7873399E-5 | 0.0 | 2.933041E-4 | 3.3930838E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.29471716 | 3.3930838E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0029291727 | 0.0033881601 | 0.0025 | 0.7378636 | 0.0037868049 | 4.0E-4 |
7.0 | 3.875591E-6 | 4.486155E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.486155E-6 | 0.0 | 1.6609569E-5 | 1.9226249E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 5.201223 | 1.9226249E-5 | 0.0 | 2.0220275E-4 | 2.3405654E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.4272472 | 2.3405654E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0020201886 | 0.0023383086 | 0.0018 | 0.76978713 | 0.0027373733 | 4.0E-4 |
7.1 | 1.6017933E-6 | 1.8576296E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8576296E-6 | 0.0 | 6.8648105E-6 | 7.961251E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.961251E-6 | 0.0 | 8.357586E-5 | 9.692499E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.692499E-5 | 0.0 | 8.3544437E-4 | 9.6893194E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.72244495 | 0.0011687381 | 2.0E-4 |
Maacama 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.368203E-4 | 2.5820537E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.3872886 | 2.5820537E-4 | 0.0 | 5.862409E-4 | 0.0011060374 | 1.0E-4 | 0.09041286 | 0.0011060374 | 0.0 | 0.0071141496 | 0.013365526 | 0.0068 | 0.5087716 | 0.014253496 | 9.0E-4 | 0.06890667 | 0.124318324 | 0.0614 | 0.4938934 | 0.13106108 | 0.0077 |
6.1 | 1.368203E-4 | 2.5820537E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.3872886 | 2.5820537E-4 | 0.0 | 5.862409E-4 | 0.0011060374 | 1.0E-4 | 0.09041286 | 0.0011060374 | 0.0 | 0.0071141496 | 0.013365526 | 0.0068 | 0.5087716 | 0.014253496 | 9.0E-4 | 0.06890667 | 0.124318324 | 0.0614 | 0.4938934 | 0.13106108 | 0.0077 |
6.2 | 1.360743E-4 | 2.569513E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.3891788 | 2.569513E-4 | 0.0 | 5.8304524E-4 | 0.0011006679 | 1.0E-4 | 0.09085393 | 0.0011006679 | 0.0 | 0.007075496 | 0.013301026 | 0.0068 | 0.51123875 | 0.014189055 | 9.0E-4 | 0.06854413 | 0.12375237 | 0.0609 | 0.4921118 | 0.13049948 | 0.0077 |
6.3 | 1.1917239E-4 | 2.2388119E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.4466655 | 2.2388119E-4 | 0.0 | 5.1063887E-4 | 9.590585E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.10426892 | 9.590585E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0061993203 | 0.011601479 | 0.0058 | 0.49993625 | 0.012293357 | 7.0E-4 | 0.060292065 | 0.10896647 | 0.0529 | 0.48547044 | 0.1149364 | 0.0067 |
6.4 | 1.1859289E-4 | 2.2291631E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.44859886 | 2.2291631E-4 | 0.0 | 5.0815626E-4 | 9.549265E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.1047201 | 9.549265E-4 | 0.0 | 0.006169266 | 0.011551761 | 0.0058 | 0.50208795 | 0.012243674 | 7.0E-4 | 0.06000784 | 0.10852304 | 0.0527 | 0.48561117 | 0.11440679 | 0.0066 |
6.5 | 1.09512424E-4 | 2.0543968E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.48676088 | 2.0543968E-4 | 0.0 | 4.6925453E-4 | 8.801129E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.11362179 | 8.801129E-4 | 0.0 | 0.005698218 | 0.010652737 | 0.0053 | 0.4975247 | 0.011246345 | 6.0E-4 | 0.055543028 | 0.10061185 | 0.0482 | 0.47906882 | 0.106098115 | 0.0061 |
6.6 | 1.0502928E-4 | 1.9700814E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5075933 | 1.9700814E-4 | 0.0 | 4.500478E-4 | 8.4401114E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.118481845 | 8.4401114E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0054655746 | 0.010218582 | 0.0052 | 0.50887686 | 0.01081245 | 6.0E-4 | 0.053330887 | 0.09676257 | 0.0469 | 0.48469156 | 0.10200135 | 0.0058 |
6.7 | 9.739358E-5 | 1.8284019E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5469257 | 1.8284019E-4 | 0.0 | 4.173343E-4 | 7.833297E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.12766016 | 7.833297E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0050692135 | 0.009488146 | 0.0047 | 0.49535498 | 0.00988435 | 4.0E-4 | 0.049551267 | 0.09023203 | 0.0432 | 0.47876567 | 0.09532673 | 0.0056 |
6.8 | 8.969524E-5 | 1.668103E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5994833 | 1.668103E-4 | 0.0 | 3.8435153E-4 | 7.1468053E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.13992266 | 7.1468053E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0046694432 | 0.008660928 | 0.0043 | 0.49648258 | 0.009057464 | 4.0E-4 | 0.045725387 | 0.08275715 | 0.0398 | 0.48092523 | 0.08743509 | 0.0051 |
6.9 | 7.838291E-5 | 1.4439215E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.69255847 | 1.4439215E-4 | 0.0 | 3.358835E-4 | 6.1865116E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.16164199 | 6.1865116E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0040817154 | 0.0075022043 | 0.0037 | 0.4931884 | 0.007899203 | 4.0E-4 | 0.04007554 | 0.07214711 | 0.0344 | 0.47680357 | 0.076508015 | 0.0047 |
7.0 | 6.961957E-5 | 1.2726351E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.7857712 | 1.2726351E-4 | 0.0 | 2.9833548E-4 | 5.4529234E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.18338788 | 5.4529234E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0036261857 | 0.006616134 | 0.0034 | 0.5138953 | 0.0070134876 | 4.0E-4 | 0.035675827 | 0.0639577 | 0.0306 | 0.47844124 | 0.06807628 | 0.0044 |
7.1 | 5.999398E-5 | 1.09215245E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.09215245E-4 | 0.0 | 2.570917E-4 | 4.6797498E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.6797498E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0031255994 | 0.005681187 | 0.0028 | 0.49285474 | 0.0059794826 | 3.0E-4 | 0.030820016 | 0.055216193 | 0.0262 | 0.47449848 | 0.05880637 | 0.0038 |
7.2 | 5.116532E-5 | 9.319736E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.319736E-5 | 0.0 | 2.1926152E-4 | 3.9935124E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.9935124E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002666241 | 0.0048505315 | 0.0024 | 0.49479115 | 0.005049561 | 2.0E-4 | 0.026344774 | 0.047372494 | 0.0225 | 0.47495914 | 0.050706692 | 0.0035 |
7.3 | 4.2087835E-5 | 7.6286524E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.6286524E-5 | 0.0 | 1.8036396E-4 | 3.2689763E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2689763E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0021937196 | 0.0039722477 | 0.002 | 0.50349325 | 0.0041714534 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0217219 | 0.038961593 | 0.0191 | 0.49022636 | 0.04184471 | 0.003 |
7.4 | 2.8991652E-5 | 5.1238512E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.1238512E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2424402E-4 | 2.1957472E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1957472E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0015116213 | 0.0026699943 | 0.0017 | 0.6367055 | 0.0028694603 | 2.0E-4 | 0.015013801 | 0.026369266 | 0.0134 | 0.5081674 | 0.02841389 | 0.0021 |
7.5 | 1.1292299E-6 | 1.4962387E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4962387E-6 | 0.0 | 4.8395473E-6 | 6.412443E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.412443E-6 | 0.0 | 5.8919897E-5 | 7.806994E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.806994E-5 | 0.0 | 5.890428E-4 | 7.81124E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.38406196 | 8.810459E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.6 | 2.6535366E-7 | 3.4764884E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.4764884E-7 | 0.0 | 1.1372296E-6 | 1.4899227E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4899227E-6 | 0.0 | 1.3845682E-5 | 1.8139659E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8139659E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3844819E-4 | 1.8191144E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8191144E-4 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 9.727789E-8 | 1.2323821E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2323821E-7 | 0.0 | 4.1690518E-7 | 5.2816364E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.2816364E-7 | 0.0 | 5.0758085E-6 | 6.430373E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.430373E-6 | 0.0 | 5.0756928E-5 | 6.467501E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.467501E-5 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 6.1939325E-9 | 7.727789E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.727789E-9 | 0.0 | 2.6545425E-8 | 3.3119097E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3119097E-8 | 0.0 | 3.231905E-7 | 4.032249E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.032249E-7 | 0.0 | 3.2319003E-6 | 4.067872E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.067872E-6 | 0.0 |
Santa Ynez (West)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.7352758E-5 | 5.49916E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.49916E-5 | 0.0 | 2.0292461E-4 | 2.3565863E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.42434263 | 2.3565863E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0024678076 | 0.0028656393 | 0.0017 | 0.59323585 | 0.0033642065 | 5.0E-4 | 0.024405818 | 0.028314985 | 0.0237 | 0.83701265 | 0.034145094 | 0.006 |
6.1 | 4.7352758E-5 | 5.49916E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.49916E-5 | 0.0 | 2.0292461E-4 | 2.3565863E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.42434263 | 2.3565863E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0024678076 | 0.0028656393 | 0.0014 | 0.48854718 | 0.003264493 | 4.0E-4 | 0.024405818 | 0.028314985 | 0.0203 | 0.71693486 | 0.032979075 | 0.0048 |
6.2 | 3.0415853E-5 | 3.393571E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.393571E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3034715E-4 | 1.4543084E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4543084E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0015858212 | 0.0017692168 | 6.0E-4 | 0.33913308 | 0.001968863 | 2.0E-4 | 0.015745522 | 0.017555265 | 0.0146 | 0.8316594 | 0.02119031 | 0.0037 |
6.3 | 3.0415853E-5 | 3.393571E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.393571E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3034715E-4 | 1.4543084E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4543084E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0015858212 | 0.0017692168 | 6.0E-4 | 0.33913308 | 0.001968863 | 2.0E-4 | 0.015745522 | 0.017555265 | 0.0146 | 0.8316594 | 0.02119031 | 0.0037 |
6.4 | 2.5452082E-5 | 2.7920501E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7920501E-5 | 0.0 | 1.09075794E-4 | 1.1965389E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1965389E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0013271887 | 0.0014558316 | 4.0E-4 | 0.27475706 | 0.001555686 | 1.0E-4 | 0.013192902 | 0.014465114 | 0.0118 | 0.8157558 | 0.016830398 | 0.0024 |
6.5 | 2.3143784E-5 | 2.5135165E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5135165E-5 | 0.0 | 9.9183875E-5 | 1.0771777E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0771777E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0012068948 | 0.0013106895 | 2.0E-4 | 0.15259144 | 0.0014105585 | 1.0E-4 | 0.012003611 | 0.013031261 | 0.0108 | 0.8287763 | 0.015103895 | 0.0021 |
6.6 | 1.9118515E-5 | 2.035951E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.035951E-5 | 0.0 | 8.193392E-5 | 8.725217E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.725217E-5 | 0.0 | 9.97089E-4 | 0.0010617854 | 2.0E-4 | 0.18836199 | 0.0011616792 | 1.0E-4 | 0.00992627 | 0.010568035 | 0.0085 | 0.8043122 | 0.012052183 | 0.0015 |
6.7 | 1.722807E-5 | 1.8150777E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8150777E-5 | 0.0 | 7.3832496E-5 | 7.778675E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.778675E-5 | 0.0 | 8.985399E-4 | 9.4664784E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.105635904 | 9.4664784E-4 | 0.0 | 0.008949154 | 0.0094268 | 0.0072 | 0.7637799 | 0.010714545 | 0.0013 |
6.8 | 1.5317364E-5 | 1.5930196E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5930196E-5 | 0.0 | 6.56442E-5 | 6.827051E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.827051E-5 | 0.0 | 7.98925E-4 | 8.308807E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.12035422 | 8.308807E-4 | 0.0 | 0.007960589 | 0.00827823 | 0.0062 | 0.7489524 | 0.009468297 | 0.0012 |
6.9 | 1.3071226E-5 | 1.3332525E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3332525E-5 | 0.0 | 5.6018336E-5 | 5.7138153E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.7138153E-5 | 0.0 | 6.8180985E-4 | 6.9543725E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.14379443 | 6.9543725E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0067972173 | 0.0069328705 | 0.0054 | 0.7788981 | 0.007925938 | 0.001 |
7.0 | 1.1836986E-5 | 1.1935314E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1935314E-5 | 0.0 | 5.0728955E-5 | 5.1150353E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.1150353E-5 | 0.0 | 6.1745E-4 | 6.225793E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.1606221 | 6.225793E-4 | 0.0 | 0.006157372 | 0.0062085446 | 0.005 | 0.8053417 | 0.007202336 | 0.001 |
7.1 | 1.0597169E-5 | 1.0544395E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0544395E-5 | 0.0 | 4.541565E-5 | 4.518949E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.518949E-5 | 0.0 | 5.5279525E-4 | 5.5004423E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.18180355 | 5.5004423E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0055142213 | 0.0054869596 | 0.0043 | 0.78367627 | 0.00628257 | 8.0E-4 |
7.2 | 9.59113E-6 | 9.461171E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.461171E-6 | 0.0 | 4.11042E-5 | 4.0547253E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0547253E-5 | 0.0 | 5.0032866E-4 | 4.9355207E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.20261288 | 4.9355207E-4 | 0.0 | 0.004992037 | 0.0049246782 | 0.0041 | 0.83254176 | 0.0056212307 | 7.0E-4 |
7.3 | 8.586084E-6 | 8.381451E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.381451E-6 | 0.0 | 3.679698E-5 | 3.5920013E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5920013E-5 | 0.0 | 4.4791115E-4 | 4.3723945E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.22870763 | 4.3723945E-4 | 0.0 | 0.004470094 | 0.0043639033 | 0.0035 | 0.8020343 | 0.0050608483 | 7.0E-4 |
7.4 | 7.2622997E-6 | 6.95318E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.95318E-6 | 0.0 | 3.112377E-5 | 2.9799008E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9799008E-5 | 0.0 | 3.78866E-4 | 3.627435E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.2756769 | 3.627435E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0037822074 | 0.0036216143 | 0.0031 | 0.8559719 | 0.004319079 | 7.0E-4 |
7.5 | 5.627296E-6 | 5.252651E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.252651E-6 | 0.0 | 2.411676E-5 | 2.2511173E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2511173E-5 | 0.0 | 2.9358198E-4 | 2.7403978E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.36491054 | 2.7403978E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0029319443 | 0.0027370905 | 0.0025 | 0.91337866 | 0.0034351745 | 7.0E-4 |
7.6 | 2.265244E-6 | 2.0611387E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0611387E-6 | 0.0 | 9.708152E-6 | 8.833423E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.833423E-6 | 0.0 | 1.18190335E-4 | 1.07541695E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.07541695E-4 | 0.0 | 0.001181275 | 0.0010749052 | 7.0E-4 | 0.65122026 | 0.0013745826 | 3.0E-4 |
7.7 | 1.3099874E-6 | 1.1017688E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1017688E-6 | 0.0 | 5.61422E-6 | 4.7218577E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.7218577E-6 | 0.0 | 6.8350986E-5 | 5.7487126E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.7487126E-5 | 0.0 | 6.832996E-4 | 5.74725E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.5219888 | 7.7461003E-4 | 2.0E-4 |
7.8 | 7.903951E-7 | 6.07186E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.07186E-7 | 0.0 | 3.3874032E-6 | 2.6022233E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6022233E-6 | 0.0 | 4.1240855E-5 | 3.1681622E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1681622E-5 | 0.0 | 4.12332E-4 | 3.1677238E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.3156841 | 3.1677238E-4 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.0753297E-9 | 5.090426E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.090426E-9 | 0.0 | 3.032284E-8 | 2.1816112E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1816112E-8 | 0.0 | 3.6918053E-7 | 2.6561113E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6561113E-7 | 0.0 | 3.691799E-6 | 2.6561092E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6561092E-6 | 0.0 |
Elmore Ranch
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.102099E-5 | 8.962159E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.962159E-5 | 0.0 | 3.9003167E-4 | 3.8403473E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.5207862 | 3.8403473E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0047383 | 0.0046662055 | 0.0032 | 0.685782 | 0.005263406 | 6.0E-4 | 0.046385348 | 0.04588316 | 0.034 | 0.7410126 | 0.053039037 | 0.0075 |
6.1 | 3.8306698E-5 | 4.1530962E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.1530962E-5 | 0.0 | 1.6416123E-4 | 1.7798175E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.1237108 | 1.7798175E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0019968306 | 0.002165218 | 0.0015 | 0.6927709 | 0.002364785 | 2.0E-4 | 0.019789828 | 0.021621784 | 0.0146 | 0.6752449 | 0.024361243 | 0.0028 |
6.2 | 3.8306698E-5 | 4.1530962E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.1530962E-5 | 0.0 | 1.6416123E-4 | 1.7798175E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.1237108 | 1.7798175E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0019968306 | 0.002165218 | 0.0015 | 0.6927709 | 0.002364785 | 2.0E-4 | 0.019789828 | 0.021621784 | 0.0146 | 0.6752449 | 0.024361243 | 0.0028 |
6.3 | 3.3197924E-5 | 3.6583027E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.6583027E-5 | 0.0 | 1.4226905E-4 | 1.5677896E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.6378407 | 1.5677896E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0017307495 | 0.0019076503 | 0.0011 | 0.57662565 | 0.0020074595 | 1.0E-4 | 0.017173318 | 0.019081328 | 0.0132 | 0.69177574 | 0.021533625 | 0.0025 |
6.4 | 2.5148964E-5 | 2.744243E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.744243E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0777682E-4 | 1.1760877E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.8502767 | 1.1760877E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0013113929 | 0.0014315953 | 0.001 | 0.69852144 | 0.001531452 | 1.0E-4 | 0.01303681 | 0.014382674 | 0.0096 | 0.66746974 | 0.015959661 | 0.0016 |
6.5 | 2.5148964E-5 | 2.744243E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.744243E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0777682E-4 | 1.1760877E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.8502767 | 1.1760877E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0013113929 | 0.0014315953 | 0.001 | 0.69852144 | 0.001531452 | 1.0E-4 | 0.01303681 | 0.014382674 | 0.0096 | 0.66746974 | 0.015959661 | 0.0016 |
San Andreas (North Coast) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5333705E-4 | 7.167932E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.790205 | 1.7167216E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.5699324E-4 | 3.071611E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.9766862 | 4.071304E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.007969595 | 0.003733308 | 0.0025 | 0.6696474 | 0.0042314413 | 5.0E-4 | 0.0768977 | 0.039660268 | 0.0229 | 0.5774041 | 0.04676678 | 0.0074 |
6.1 | 1.5333705E-4 | 7.167932E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.790205 | 1.7167216E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.5699324E-4 | 3.071611E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.9766862 | 4.071304E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.007969595 | 0.003733308 | 0.0025 | 0.6696474 | 0.0042314413 | 5.0E-4 | 0.0768977 | 0.039660268 | 0.0229 | 0.5774041 | 0.04676678 | 0.0074 |
6.2 | 1.3912938E-4 | 6.1015588E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 3.2778509 | 1.6100949E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.961325E-4 | 2.6146934E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.1473621 | 3.6144318E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.007233787 | 0.0031787695 | 0.0024 | 0.7550091 | 0.00367718 | 5.0E-4 | 0.07002798 | 0.033958483 | 0.0199 | 0.5860097 | 0.03994794 | 0.0062 |
6.3 | 1.3912938E-4 | 6.1015588E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 3.2778509 | 1.6100949E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.961325E-4 | 2.6146934E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.1473621 | 3.6144318E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.007233787 | 0.0031787695 | 0.0024 | 0.7550091 | 0.00367718 | 5.0E-4 | 0.07002798 | 0.033958483 | 0.0199 | 0.5860097 | 0.03994794 | 0.0062 |
6.4 | 1.2623647E-4 | 5.0898136E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 3.929417 | 1.5089304E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.4090127E-4 | 2.1811674E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.3754102 | 3.1809494E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0065656058 | 0.0026523576 | 0.0017 | 0.64093924 | 0.002951562 | 3.0E-4 | 0.06374981 | 0.028551826 | 0.0157 | 0.5498773 | 0.033311922 | 0.0049 |
6.5 | 1.1736096E-4 | 4.394048E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 4.551612 | 1.4393608E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.028786E-4 | 1.8830283E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.5931784 | 2.88284E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006105373 | 0.002290193 | 0.0017 | 0.7422955 | 0.0025895059 | 3.0E-4 | 0.05940335 | 0.024805196 | 0.0139 | 0.56036645 | 0.028901014 | 0.0042 |
6.6 | 1.1586959E-4 | 4.2833766E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 4.669214 | 1.4282948E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.964894E-4 | 1.8356045E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.634339 | 2.835421E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006028018 | 0.0022325744 | 0.0016 | 0.71666145 | 0.0025319045 | 3.0E-4 | 0.058671024 | 0.024207871 | 0.0136 | 0.5618008 | 0.028306197 | 0.0042 |
6.7 | 1.13693764E-4 | 4.1136653E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 4.861844 | 1.4113254E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.87168E-4 | 1.7628811E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.7017596 | 2.762705E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005915152 | 0.0021442112 | 0.0016 | 0.74619514 | 0.002443568 | 3.0E-4 | 0.057601593 | 0.02329484 | 0.0131 | 0.5623563 | 0.027201662 | 0.004 |
6.8 | 1.1204889E-4 | 4.034739E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 4.95695 | 1.4034336E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.8012115E-4 | 1.72906E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.7350467 | 2.7288872E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005829819 | 0.0021031143 | 0.0016 | 0.7607765 | 0.0024024835 | 3.0E-4 | 0.05679232 | 0.022852013 | 0.013 | 0.5688777 | 0.026760604 | 0.004 |
6.9 | 1.1005794E-4 | 3.9394883E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 5.076802 | 1.3939095E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.7159163E-4 | 1.6882436E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.7769946 | 2.688075E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0057265228 | 0.002053515 | 0.0015 | 0.7304548 | 0.0023528992 | 3.0E-4 | 0.055811852 | 0.022314645 | 0.0126 | 0.5646516 | 0.026127618 | 0.0039 |
7.0 | 1.0647948E-4 | 3.753372E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 5.3285418 | 1.3752996E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.562608E-4 | 1.6084897E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.8651036 | 2.608329E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0055408357 | 0.001956593 | 0.0015 | 0.76663876 | 0.002256006 | 3.0E-4 | 0.054047033 | 0.021268172 | 0.0117 | 0.5501178 | 0.024497988 | 0.0033 |
7.1 | 1.04795035E-4 | 3.657561E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 5.468125 | 1.3657195E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.4904428E-4 | 1.5674328E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.9139576 | 2.567276E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0054534175 | 0.0019066947 | 0.0015 | 0.7867017 | 0.0022061227 | 3.0E-4 | 0.053215165 | 0.020730965 | 0.0112 | 0.54025465 | 0.023766698 | 0.0031 |
7.2 | 1.02724036E-4 | 3.5474754E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 5.637812 | 1.3547121E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.401716E-4 | 1.520259E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.973348 | 2.5201068E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0053459285 | 0.0018493595 | 0.0014 | 0.75701886 | 0.0021488047 | 3.0E-4 | 0.052191395 | 0.020116186 | 0.0109 | 0.54185224 | 0.023153827 | 0.0031 |
7.3 | 1.00650694E-4 | 3.4934947E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 5.7249265 | 1.3493146E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.312888E-4 | 1.497127E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 2.003838 | 2.4969774E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005238306 | 0.0018212438 | 0.0012 | 0.65889037 | 0.0021206974 | 3.0E-4 | 0.051165357 | 0.019789664 | 0.0107 | 0.5406863 | 0.022828316 | 0.0031 |
7.4 | 9.672919E-5 | 3.3706103E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 5.9336433 | 1.3370274E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.144878E-4 | 1.4444682E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 2.076889 | 2.4443236E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005034718 | 0.0017572368 | 0.0012 | 0.6828903 | 0.0020567097 | 3.0E-4 | 0.049221683 | 0.019053483 | 0.0103 | 0.5405836 | 0.021898227 | 0.0029 |
7.5 | 8.7600405E-5 | 2.2947434E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 8.715571 | 1.2294514E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.753763E-4 | 9.834245E-5 | 3.0E-4 | 3.0505648 | 1.9833261E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0045606326 | 0.0011966635 | 8.0E-4 | 0.66852546 | 0.0012965439 | 1.0E-4 | 0.04468165 | 0.013273387 | 0.0068 | 0.5123033 | 0.01485215 | 0.0016 |
7.6 | 7.9562284E-5 | 1.9450288E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 10.282624 | 1.1944834E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.4093665E-4 | 8.335572E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.3993554 | 1.8334738E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0041430052 | 0.0010143849 | 7.0E-4 | 0.6900734 | 0.0011142835 | 1.0E-4 | 0.040666126 | 0.011352753 | 0.0055 | 0.484464 | 0.01253913 | 0.0012 |
7.7 | 6.3866544E-5 | 1.2118746E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 16.503357 | 1.1211754E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.7368503E-4 | 5.1936448E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 3.85086 | 1.5193125E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0033270244 | 6.321431E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.4745761 | 7.3207985E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.032776527 | 0.0073147705 | 0.0031 | 0.42380002 | 0.008108919 | 8.0E-4 |
7.8 | 4.2543215E-5 | 9.219069E-6 | 2.0E-4 | 21.694162 | 1.0921815E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.8231533E-4 | 3.95097E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 5.062048 | 1.3950575E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0022174292 | 4.8092453E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.41586566 | 5.808764E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.021954332 | 0.0055735633 | 0.0029 | 0.5203135 | 0.0062696617 | 7.0E-4 |
7.9 | 2.2636612E-5 | 7.935117E-6 | 2.0E-4 | 25.204418 | 1.0793432E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 9.7010445E-5 | 3.40072E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 5.8811073 | 1.340038E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0011804621 | 4.139591E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.48313951 | 5.139177E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.011742111 | 0.0047514983 | 0.0023 | 0.4840578 | 0.0054481723 | 7.0E-4 |
8.0 | 1.5167874E-5 | 7.1584263E-6 | 2.0E-4 | 27.939102 | 1.0715771E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.500356E-5 | 3.067861E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 6.5192003 | 1.3067554E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 7.9113094E-4 | 3.7344813E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.5355496 | 4.734108E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.007883203 | 0.004276193 | 0.0018 | 0.42093515 | 0.0048736273 | 6.0E-4 |
8.1 | 1.0681047E-5 | 6.4855203E-6 | 2.0E-4 | 30.837925 | 1.0648487E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.5775112E-5 | 2.7794791E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 7.195593 | 1.2779201E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.5716943E-4 | 3.3834914E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.5911054 | 4.383153E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0055577457 | 0.0038717387 | 0.0017 | 0.43907923 | 0.0044694156 | 6.0E-4 |
8.2 | 8.226114E-6 | 5.189745E-6 | 2.0E-4 | 38.537537 | 1.05189225E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.52543E-5 | 2.2241575E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 8.992168 | 1.2223935E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.2913653E-4 | 2.7075762E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.7386681 | 3.7073053E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004283088 | 0.003086007 | 0.0013 | 0.42125633 | 0.0034847725 | 4.0E-4 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.7872784E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.7872784E-7 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.3374008E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3374008E-6 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.0632116E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0632116E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.792776E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.20864734 | 4.792776E-4 | 0.0 |
Rodgers Creek - Healdsburg 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.390182E-5 | 1.3157546E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.5200403 | 2.315623E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.1668364E-4 | 5.6377164E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.88688385 | 8.636025E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0038488081 | 0.0068422775 | 0.0043 | 0.6284457 | 0.0077361194 | 9.0E-4 | 0.037828278 | 0.06627545 | 0.0404 | 0.6095772 | 0.072811514 | 0.007 |
6.1 | 7.318768E-5 | 1.3055494E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.5319221 | 2.3054189E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.1362378E-4 | 5.593999E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.893815 | 8.5923204E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0038116854 | 0.006789399 | 0.0042 | 0.61861145 | 0.007683289 | 9.0E-4 | 0.037469655 | 0.065779746 | 0.0396 | 0.60200906 | 0.07222586 | 0.0069 |
6.2 | 7.1379836E-5 | 1.2748159E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.568854 | 2.2746884E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.058777E-4 | 5.4623396E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.91535866 | 8.460701E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.003717703 | 0.0066300887 | 0.0041 | 0.61839294 | 0.0075241216 | 9.0E-4 | 0.0365612 | 0.06430117 | 0.0386 | 0.60030013 | 0.070757486 | 0.0069 |
6.3 | 6.9255926E-5 | 1.2402236E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.6126125 | 2.2400996E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.9677735E-4 | 5.3141586E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.94088274 | 8.3125645E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0036072785 | 0.0064508435 | 0.0041 | 0.63557583 | 0.0073450375 | 9.0E-4 | 0.035492823 | 0.06263153 | 0.0379 | 0.6051265 | 0.0689119 | 0.0067 |
6.4 | 6.6757144E-5 | 1.1978689E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.6696317 | 2.1977491E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.8607066E-4 | 5.1327166E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.7793144 | 7.13169E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0034773487 | 0.00623125 | 0.004 | 0.6419258 | 0.007026265 | 8.0E-4 | 0.034234364 | 0.060580563 | 0.0371 | 0.6124076 | 0.06678073 | 0.0066 |
6.5 | 6.5735134E-5 | 1.1827664E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.690951 | 2.1826482E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.8169158E-4 | 5.068018E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.7892632 | 7.0670043E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.003424202 | 0.006152939 | 0.0039 | 0.6338434 | 0.006948017 | 8.0E-4 | 0.03371918 | 0.059844565 | 0.0367 | 0.6132554 | 0.06595557 | 0.0065 |
6.6 | 6.289601E-5 | 1.13628324E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.7601246 | 2.1361696E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.6952647E-4 | 4.8688802E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.8215442 | 6.867906E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0032765474 | 0.00591183 | 0.0038 | 0.642779 | 0.0067071007 | 8.0E-4 | 0.032286562 | 0.057581577 | 0.0351 | 0.60956997 | 0.0637073 | 0.0065 |
6.7 | 6.115274E-5 | 1.1079681E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.8051062 | 2.1078573E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.6205686E-4 | 4.7475743E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.8425355 | 6.746625E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0031858748 | 0.005764932 | 0.0038 | 0.6591578 | 0.00656032 | 8.0E-4 | 0.031405866 | 0.05619894 | 0.0345 | 0.6138906 | 0.061956126 | 0.0061 |
6.8 | 5.9232367E-5 | 1.0746847E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.861011 | 2.0745772E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.538283E-4 | 4.604982E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.86862445 | 6.6040613E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0030859804 | 0.00559223 | 0.0038 | 0.6795143 | 0.006387756 | 8.0E-4 | 0.030434765 | 0.054565135 | 0.0335 | 0.6139452 | 0.060332287 | 0.0061 |
6.9 | 5.4030377E-5 | 9.840589E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.0323985 | 1.9839605E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.315382E-4 | 4.2167172E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.94860524 | 6.215874E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0028153337 | 0.0051218346 | 0.0037 | 0.72239745 | 0.005917737 | 8.0E-4 | 0.027799325 | 0.050099872 | 0.0312 | 0.62275606 | 0.05541931 | 0.0056 |
7.0 | 4.8260714E-5 | 8.757361E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.2837932 | 1.8756484E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.0681522E-4 | 3.7526173E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.0659226 | 5.751867E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0025150678 | 0.0045592953 | 0.0033 | 0.7237961 | 0.0053556478 | 8.0E-4 | 0.024867928 | 0.044745993 | 0.0278 | 0.62128466 | 0.04933121 | 0.0048 |
7.1 | 4.0294493E-5 | 7.404648E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.7010062 | 1.7403907E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.7267925E-4 | 3.1730367E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.260622 | 5.172402E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0021003427 | 0.0038563672 | 0.0032 | 0.8297965 | 0.004653282 | 8.0E-4 | 0.02080602 | 0.03799622 | 0.024 | 0.63164175 | 0.042229038 | 0.0044 |
7.2 | 3.096388E-5 | 5.7118054E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.75076 | 1.5711234E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.326956E-4 | 2.447688E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.2256464 | 4.4471986E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0016143717 | 0.00297601 | 0.0025 | 0.84005094 | 0.0037736292 | 8.0E-4 | 0.01602694 | 0.029503003 | 0.0186 | 0.6304443 | 0.03338499 | 0.004 |
7.3 | 2.3615226E-5 | 4.3747285E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.285856 | 1.4374292E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0120418E-4 | 1.8747497E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.066809 | 3.8743747E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0012314644 | 0.0022801321 | 0.0019 | 0.83328503 | 0.002978536 | 7.0E-4 | 0.0122466255 | 0.022694463 | 0.0147 | 0.6477351 | 0.02562638 | 0.003 |
7.4 | 1.8251132E-5 | 3.36383E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.972802 | 1.3363494E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 7.821679E-5 | 1.4415622E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.3873837 | 3.441274E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 9.518733E-4 | 0.001753699 | 0.0019 | 1.0834242 | 0.0024524713 | 7.0E-4 | 0.009478063 | 0.017512318 | 0.0115 | 0.65668064 | 0.019870289 | 0.0024 |
7.5 | 1.2411432E-5 | 2.2533064E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.4379225 | 1.2253081E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.3190768E-5 | 9.6566735E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.0711064 | 2.9654743E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 6.4740516E-4 | 0.0011750717 | 0.0012 | 1.0212142 | 0.0017743667 | 6.0E-4 | 0.006455223 | 0.0117792245 | 0.0075 | 0.6367142 | 0.0134592 | 0.0017 |
7.6 | 4.4771446E-6 | 8.111678E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.111678E-6 | 0.0 | 1.918762E-5 | 3.4763878E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.4763878E-5 | 0.0 | 2.3358424E-4 | 4.2316923E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.9452483 | 4.2316923E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0023333887 | 0.004258931 | 0.0021 | 0.49308145 | 0.0046572275 | 4.0E-4 |
7.7 | 2.157941E-7 | 3.553147E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.553147E-7 | 0.0 | 9.248315E-7 | 1.5227764E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5227764E-6 | 0.0 | 1.1259765E-5 | 1.8539646E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8539646E-5 | 0.0 | 1.1259195E-4 | 1.9158375E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9158375E-4 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 9.9623286E-8 | 2.0038753E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0038753E-7 | 0.0 | 4.269569E-7 | 8.588034E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.588034E-7 | 0.0 | 5.1981874E-6 | 1.0455881E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0455881E-5 | 0.0 | 5.198066E-5 | 1.0969823E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0969823E-4 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 5.6745257E-8 | 1.1860751E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1860751E-7 | 0.0 | 2.4319394E-7 | 5.083178E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.083178E-7 | 0.0 | 2.960882E-6 | 6.1887513E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.1887513E-6 | 0.0 | 2.9608427E-5 | 6.5134234E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.5134234E-5 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 2.8614323E-8 | 6.625312E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.625312E-8 | 0.0 | 1.2263281E-7 | 2.8394192E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8394192E-7 | 0.0 | 1.4930534E-6 | 3.4569875E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.4569875E-6 | 0.0 | 1.4930434E-5 | 3.6050915E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.6050915E-5 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 3.5045191E-9 | 9.025382E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.025382E-9 | 0.0 | 1.5019367E-8 | 3.868021E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.868021E-8 | 0.0 | 1.8286079E-7 | 4.7093144E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.7093144E-7 | 0.0 | 1.8286064E-6 | 4.860295E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.860295E-6 | 0.0 |
Hunter Mountain-Saline Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5103672E-5 | 5.4594766E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 3.6633549 | 1.545893E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.9328714E-4 | 2.3395738E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.7097131 | 5.338872E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.002350731 | 0.0028448845 | 0.0033 | 1.1599767 | 0.0049389102 | 0.0021 | 0.023260195 | 0.028105218 | 0.0183 | 0.65112466 | 0.034519725 | 0.0066 |
6.1 | 4.5103672E-5 | 5.4594766E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 3.6633549 | 1.545893E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.9328714E-4 | 2.3395738E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.7097131 | 5.338872E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.002350731 | 0.0028448845 | 0.0033 | 1.1599767 | 0.0049389102 | 0.0021 | 0.023260195 | 0.028105218 | 0.0183 | 0.65112466 | 0.034519725 | 0.0066 |
6.2 | 3.9363465E-5 | 4.7084E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 4.2477274 | 1.4707929E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.6868966E-4 | 2.0177383E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.9824176 | 5.017133E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.002051862 | 0.0024539623 | 0.0032 | 1.3040135 | 0.004548809 | 0.0021 | 0.020330196 | 0.0242846 | 0.0167 | 0.68767864 | 0.030626748 | 0.0065 |
6.3 | 3.9363465E-5 | 4.7084E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 4.2477274 | 1.4707929E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.6868966E-4 | 2.0177383E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.9824176 | 5.017133E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.002051862 | 0.0024539623 | 0.0032 | 1.3040135 | 0.004548809 | 0.0021 | 0.020330196 | 0.0242846 | 0.0167 | 0.68767864 | 0.030626748 | 0.0065 |
6.4 | 3.2311684E-5 | 3.7967282E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 5.2676935 | 1.3796349E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.384713E-4 | 1.6270719E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 2.458404 | 4.6265838E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0016845843 | 0.0019792293 | 0.0032 | 1.616791 | 0.0040750727 | 0.0021 | 0.016718714 | 0.019624965 | 0.0148 | 0.75414145 | 0.025899366 | 0.0064 |
6.5 | 3.2311684E-5 | 3.7967282E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 5.2676935 | 1.3796349E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.384713E-4 | 1.6270719E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 2.458404 | 4.6265838E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0016845843 | 0.0019792293 | 0.0032 | 1.616791 | 0.0040750727 | 0.0021 | 0.016718714 | 0.019624965 | 0.0148 | 0.75414145 | 0.025899366 | 0.0064 |
6.6 | 2.9305844E-5 | 3.4196255E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 5.8485937 | 1.3419283E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2559042E-4 | 1.465475E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 2.7294903 | 4.4650355E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0015279909 | 0.0017828173 | 0.0028 | 1.5705479 | 0.0037792516 | 0.002 | 0.015175272 | 0.017693229 | 0.0137 | 0.77430755 | 0.023881761 | 0.0063 |
6.7 | 2.7826512E-5 | 3.2357773E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.0904474 | 1.3235454E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.19251024E-4 | 1.3866914E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 2.163423 | 4.3862752E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0014509142 | 0.0016870496 | 0.0027 | 1.6004272 | 0.0036836755 | 0.002 | 0.014414776 | 0.016750282 | 0.0132 | 0.7880465 | 0.022944754 | 0.0063 |
6.8 | 2.3389874E-5 | 2.6877658E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.720562 | 1.2687498E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0023846E-4 | 1.1518515E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 2.6045024 | 4.151506E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.00121972 | 0.0014015244 | 0.0024 | 1.7124212 | 0.0033987213 | 0.002 | 0.01213047 | 0.013933235 | 0.0113 | 0.81101054 | 0.019849636 | 0.006 |
6.9 | 2.069209E-5 | 2.3579525E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.2409678 | 1.2357716E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 8.867737E-5 | 1.01051395E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 2.9687862 | 4.0102107E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0010791123 | 0.0012296425 | 0.0023 | 1.8704623 | 0.0032271831 | 0.002 | 0.010738871 | 0.012233584 | 0.0104 | 0.8501188 | 0.018160183 | 0.006 |
7.0 | 1.7462342E-5 | 1.964133E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 5.0913053 | 1.19639364E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 7.483646E-5 | 8.4174535E-5 | 3.0E-4 | 3.5640233 | 3.841493E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 9.1075303E-4 | 0.0010243658 | 0.0023 | 2.2452917 | 0.003022317 | 0.002 | 0.009070295 | 0.010200239 | 0.0101 | 0.99017286 | 0.016139038 | 0.006 |
7.1 | 1.4807709E-5 | 1.644825E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 6.0796742 | 1.1644661E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.3460066E-5 | 7.049069E-5 | 3.0E-4 | 4.2558813 | 3.7046956E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 7.723524E-4 | 8.5790275E-4 | 0.0023 | 2.6809566 | 0.0028561868 | 0.002 | 0.007696735 | 0.008549062 | 0.0092 | 1.0761415 | 0.014398622 | 0.0059 |
7.2 | 1.4180048E-5 | 1.5704565E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 6.367575 | 1.15703E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.077022E-5 | 6.7303634E-5 | 3.0E-4 | 4.4574113 | 3.6728344E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 7.396263E-4 | 8.191299E-4 | 0.0023 | 2.8078573 | 0.0028174918 | 0.002 | 0.0073716943 | 0.008164224 | 0.0088 | 1.0778733 | 0.0139168715 | 0.0058 |
7.3 | 1.3730402E-5 | 1.5178125E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 6.588429 | 1.15176605E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.8843252E-5 | 6.504758E-5 | 3.0E-4 | 4.612009 | 3.6502807E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 7.161811E-4 | 7.9168257E-4 | 0.0023 | 2.9052048 | 0.0027900992 | 0.002 | 0.007138774 | 0.007891722 | 0.0084 | 1.0644065 | 0.013546739 | 0.0057 |
7.4 | 1.2810095E-5 | 1.4114831E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 7.0847464 | 1.1411342E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.489925E-5 | 6.049082E-5 | 3.0E-4 | 4.95943 | 3.6047268E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 6.681934E-4 | 7.362427E-4 | 0.0023 | 3.1239698 | 0.0027347703 | 0.002 | 0.006661878 | 0.007341097 | 0.0081 | 1.1033773 | 0.012899987 | 0.0056 |
7.5 | 1.1595659E-5 | 1.2805939E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 7.8088765 | 1.1280466E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.9694736E-5 | 5.488153E-5 | 3.0E-4 | 5.46632 | 3.5486507E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 6.0486543E-4 | 6.6799344E-4 | 0.0023 | 3.4431474 | 0.0026666576 | 0.002 | 0.006032217 | 0.0066629043 | 0.0081 | 1.2156861 | 0.012225592 | 0.0056 |
7.6 | 2.997694E-6 | 3.3272543E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3272543E-6 | 0.0 | 1.28471975E-5 | 1.4259624E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 14.025616 | 2.1425677E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.564034E-4 | 1.7360438E-4 | 0.0012 | 6.912268 | 0.0012734134 | 0.0011 | 0.0015629337 | 0.001736228 | 0.0025 | 1.439903 | 0.0039324085 | 0.0022 |
Mission Ridge-Arroyo Parida-Santa Ana
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.169034E-5 | 4.7156427E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.1206017 | 4.7156427E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7866064E-4 | 2.020882E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.49483347 | 2.020882E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0021730233 | 0.0024584779 | 0.0023 | 0.93553823 | 0.0030570028 | 6.0E-4 | 0.021518968 | 0.024394657 | 0.0224 | 0.9182338 | 0.029955609 | 0.0057 |
6.1 | 1.73813E-5 | 1.6858885E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6858885E-5 | 0.0 | 7.4489166E-5 | 7.225042E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.225042E-5 | 0.0 | 9.065282E-4 | 8.793046E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.5686312 | 9.792167E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.009028391 | 0.008759435 | 0.0073 | 0.833387 | 0.010642793 | 0.0019 |
6.2 | 1.4622182E-5 | 1.3676966E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3676966E-5 | 0.0 | 6.2664985E-5 | 5.8614274E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.8614274E-5 | 0.0 | 7.6267915E-4 | 7.13399E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.7008701 | 8.133276E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.007600669 | 0.0071115703 | 0.0056 | 0.7874491 | 0.008501614 | 0.0014 |
6.3 | 1.3552434E-5 | 1.2485606E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2485606E-5 | 0.0 | 5.8080568E-5 | 5.350866E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.350866E-5 | 0.0 | 7.069015E-4 | 6.512764E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.76772326 | 7.5121125E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.00704657 | 0.006494079 | 0.0053 | 0.8161281 | 0.0077856365 | 0.0013 |
6.4 | 1.30977305E-5 | 1.1982454E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1982454E-5 | 0.0 | 5.613192E-5 | 5.135238E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.135238E-5 | 0.0 | 6.831918E-4 | 6.250389E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.63996017 | 7.249764E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006810953 | 0.006233193 | 0.005 | 0.80215704 | 0.0074257134 | 0.0012 |
6.5 | 1.225205E-5 | 1.1051916E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1051916E-5 | 0.0 | 5.2507727E-5 | 4.736451E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.736451E-5 | 0.0 | 6.3909404E-4 | 5.76513E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.6938265 | 6.764554E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006372592 | 0.0057505225 | 0.0043 | 0.74775815 | 0.006844197 | 0.0011 |
6.6 | 1.1352241E-5 | 1.0066462E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0066462E-5 | 0.0 | 4.8651553E-5 | 4.3141277E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.3141277E-5 | 0.0 | 5.921717E-4 | 5.251206E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.57129735 | 5.251206E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0059059616 | 0.005239082 | 0.0038 | 0.7253179 | 0.006134367 | 9.0E-4 |
6.7 | 1.0864116E-5 | 9.519822E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.519822E-6 | 0.0 | 4.6559664E-5 | 4.079861E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.079861E-5 | 0.0 | 5.667165E-4 | 4.966119E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.40272897 | 4.966119E-4 | 0.0 | 0.005652734 | 0.0049552936 | 0.0034 | 0.68613493 | 0.005850834 | 9.0E-4 |
6.8 | 1.0666365E-5 | 9.302531E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.302531E-6 | 0.0 | 4.571219E-5 | 3.986739E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.986739E-5 | 0.0 | 5.564038E-4 | 4.852794E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.4121337 | 4.852794E-4 | 0.0 | 0.005550127 | 0.0048424676 | 0.0031 | 0.64016944 | 0.00573811 | 9.0E-4 |
6.9 | 1.0038665E-5 | 8.5946185E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.5946185E-6 | 0.0 | 4.302214E-5 | 3.6833568E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.6833568E-5 | 0.0 | 5.236687E-4 | 4.4835822E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.4460719 | 4.4835822E-4 | 0.0 | 0.005224364 | 0.0044747856 | 0.003 | 0.67042315 | 0.005271206 | 8.0E-4 |
7.0 | 9.5379955E-6 | 8.0274895E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0274895E-6 | 0.0 | 4.0876483E-5 | 3.440308E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.440308E-5 | 0.0 | 4.975576E-4 | 4.1877874E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.47757918 | 4.1877874E-4 | 0.0 | 0.00496445 | 0.004180134 | 0.0029 | 0.6937577 | 0.0049767895 | 8.0E-4 |
7.1 | 9.207389E-6 | 7.654685E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.654685E-6 | 0.0 | 3.945964E-5 | 3.2805387E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2805387E-5 | 0.0 | 4.803152E-4 | 3.993341E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.5008338 | 3.993341E-4 | 0.0 | 0.004792784 | 0.0039863996 | 0.0029 | 0.72747344 | 0.004783211 | 8.0E-4 |
7.2 | 7.638091E-6 | 5.932878E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.932878E-6 | 0.0 | 3.2734264E-5 | 2.5426376E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5426376E-5 | 0.0 | 3.984668E-4 | 3.0952247E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.64615667 | 3.0952247E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0039775306 | 0.0030910086 | 0.0022 | 0.71174175 | 0.0035894632 | 5.0E-4 |
7.3 | 7.2500147E-6 | 5.597794E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.597794E-6 | 0.0 | 3.1071122E-5 | 2.3990326E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3990326E-5 | 0.0 | 3.7822526E-4 | 2.9204338E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.6848298 | 2.9204338E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0037758215 | 0.0029166897 | 0.0018 | 0.61713797 | 0.0032158147 | 3.0E-4 |
7.4 | 6.3899715E-6 | 4.919928E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.919928E-6 | 0.0 | 2.7385306E-5 | 2.1085236E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1085236E-5 | 0.0 | 3.3336508E-4 | 2.5668272E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.77917206 | 2.5668272E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0033286542 | 0.0025639453 | 0.0017 | 0.6630407 | 0.0028631762 | 3.0E-4 |
7.5 | 5.379025E-6 | 4.0850177E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0850177E-6 | 0.0 | 2.305276E-5 | 1.7507102E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7507102E-5 | 0.0 | 2.806312E-4 | 2.1312822E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.93840224 | 2.1312822E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0028027708 | 0.0021292495 | 0.0011 | 0.5166139 | 0.0024286108 | 3.0E-4 |
7.6 | 4.1270696E-6 | 3.0891235E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0891235E-6 | 0.0 | 1.768732E-5 | 1.3239034E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3239034E-5 | 0.0 | 2.1532185E-4 | 1.6117339E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.6204498 | 1.6117339E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0021511333 | 0.0016105731 | 7.0E-4 | 0.4346279 | 0.0017104121 | 1.0E-4 |
7.7 | 2.5406805E-6 | 1.8286743E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8286743E-6 | 0.0 | 1.0888585E-5 | 7.837152E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.837152E-6 | 0.0 | 1.3256045E-4 | 9.541321E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0480728 | 9.541321E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0013248142 | 9.537287E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.31455487 | 0.0010536333 | 1.0E-4 |
7.8 | 4.8608285E-7 | 3.5105234E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5105234E-7 | 0.0 | 2.0832106E-6 | 1.5045091E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5045091E-6 | 0.0 | 2.5362791E-5 | 1.8317245E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8317245E-5 | 0.0 | 2.5359896E-4 | 1.8315748E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8315748E-4 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.0472514E-8 | 1.26930715E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.26930715E-8 | 0.0 | 8.7739345E-8 | 5.439888E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.439888E-8 | 0.0 | 1.068226E-6 | 6.6230615E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.6230615E-7 | 0.0 | 1.0682209E-5 | 6.6230427E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.6230427E-6 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 4.443582E-9 | 2.0339028E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0339028E-9 | 0.0 | 1.9043922E-8 | 8.716726E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.716726E-9 | 0.0 | 2.3185973E-7 | 1.0612614E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0612614E-7 | 0.0 | 2.3185949E-6 | 1.061261E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.061261E-6 | 0.0 |
Ash Hill
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.319797E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.319797E-5 | 0.0 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.941653E-5 | 4.0E-4 | 4.0234756 | 4.9937674E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0011236023 | 0.0012098042 | 0.0023 | 1.9011341 | 0.0032073846 | 0.002 | 0.011179381 | 0.012040167 | 0.0115 | 0.95513624 | 0.017967926 | 0.006 |
6.1 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.319797E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.319797E-5 | 0.0 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.941653E-5 | 4.0E-4 | 4.0234756 | 4.9937674E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0011236023 | 0.0012098042 | 0.0023 | 1.9011341 | 0.0032073846 | 0.002 | 0.011179381 | 0.012040167 | 0.0115 | 0.95513624 | 0.017967926 | 0.006 |
6.2 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.319797E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.319797E-5 | 0.0 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.941653E-5 | 4.0E-4 | 4.0234756 | 4.9937674E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0011236023 | 0.0012098042 | 0.0023 | 1.9011341 | 0.0032073846 | 0.002 | 0.011179381 | 0.012040167 | 0.0115 | 0.95513624 | 0.017967926 | 0.006 |
6.3 | 1.0025529E-5 | 1.0748468E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0748468E-5 | 0.0 | 4.2965847E-5 | 4.6064124E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.1708868 | 1.4605952E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.229836E-4 | 5.606996E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 1.0700916 | 0.0010604193 | 5.0E-4 | 0.005217545 | 0.0055941627 | 0.005 | 0.8937888 | 0.008080177 | 0.0025 |
6.4 | 1.0025529E-5 | 1.0748468E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0748468E-5 | 0.0 | 4.2965847E-5 | 4.6064124E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.1708868 | 1.4605952E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.229836E-4 | 5.606996E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 1.0700916 | 0.0010604193 | 5.0E-4 | 0.005217545 | 0.0055941627 | 0.005 | 0.8937888 | 0.008080177 | 0.0025 |
6.5 | 6.9617327E-6 | 7.4576856E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.4576856E-6 | 0.0 | 2.9835655E-5 | 3.1961168E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1961168E-5 | 0.0 | 3.6318856E-4 | 3.8906638E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 1.2851278 | 7.889108E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0036259557 | 0.003884707 | 0.0035 | 0.90096885 | 0.005777326 | 0.0019 |
6.6 | 4.9919777E-6 | 5.347442E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.347442E-6 | 0.0 | 2.1394015E-5 | 2.2917444E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2917444E-5 | 0.0 | 2.60441E-4 | 2.7899086E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.4337387 | 5.7890714E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0026013597 | 0.002787065 | 0.0023 | 0.8252409 | 0.00398372 | 0.0012 |
6.7 | 3.6630722E-6 | 3.9251795E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.9251795E-6 | 0.0 | 1.5698786E-5 | 1.6822121E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6822121E-5 | 0.0 | 1.9111596E-4 | 2.0479583E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.9765824 | 4.0475486E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0019095168 | 0.0020466342 | 0.0014 | 0.68404996 | 0.0027452016 | 7.0E-4 |
6.8 | 2.5599613E-6 | 2.7453184E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7453184E-6 | 0.0 | 1.0971216E-5 | 1.17656255E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.17656255E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3356637E-4 | 1.4324202E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.3962383 | 3.4321338E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0013348613 | 0.001431982 | 0.0011 | 0.76816607 | 0.0021309797 | 7.0E-4 |
6.9 | 1.7684905E-6 | 1.8971439E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8971439E-6 | 0.0 | 7.579223E-6 | 8.130616E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.130616E-6 | 0.0 | 9.2273134E-5 | 9.8990255E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.8990255E-5 | 0.0 | 9.223483E-4 | 9.899025E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.6061203 | 0.0013895066 | 4.0E-4 |
Calico-Hidalgo
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.0906612E-5 | 5.071949E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.9716287 | 5.071949E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7530227E-4 | 2.1735334E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.92016065 | 2.1735334E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0021322158 | 0.0026434613 | 0.003 | 1.1348757 | 0.0037405535 | 0.0011 | 0.02111873 | 0.026160482 | 0.0196 | 0.7492217 | 0.031711366 | 0.0057 |
6.1 | 4.0906612E-5 | 5.071949E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.9716287 | 5.071949E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7530227E-4 | 2.1735334E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.92016065 | 2.1735334E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0021322158 | 0.0026434613 | 0.003 | 1.1348757 | 0.0037405535 | 0.0011 | 0.02111873 | 0.026160482 | 0.0196 | 0.7492217 | 0.031711366 | 0.0057 |
6.2 | 4.0906612E-5 | 5.071949E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.9716287 | 5.071949E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7530227E-4 | 2.1735334E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.92016065 | 2.1735334E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0021322158 | 0.0026434613 | 0.003 | 1.1348757 | 0.0037405535 | 0.0011 | 0.02111873 | 0.026160482 | 0.0196 | 0.7492217 | 0.031711366 | 0.0057 |
6.3 | 2.4242801E-5 | 3.0097084E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0097084E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0389358E-4 | 1.2898132E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.7753061 | 1.2898132E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0012641704 | 0.0015692497 | 0.0017 | 1.0833204 | 0.002168308 | 6.0E-4 | 0.01257003 | 0.0155853685 | 0.0128 | 0.8212831 | 0.019424586 | 0.0039 |
6.4 | 2.4242801E-5 | 3.0097084E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0097084E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0389358E-4 | 1.2898132E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.7753061 | 1.2898132E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0012641704 | 0.0015692497 | 0.0017 | 1.0833204 | 0.002168308 | 6.0E-4 | 0.01257003 | 0.0155853685 | 0.0128 | 0.8212831 | 0.019424586 | 0.0039 |
6.5 | 2.0286952E-5 | 2.5320429E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5320429E-5 | 0.0 | 8.694118E-5 | 1.0851171E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.9215595 | 1.0851171E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0010579949 | 0.0013203465 | 0.0015 | 1.1360655 | 0.0018196863 | 5.0E-4 | 0.010529719 | 0.0131269535 | 0.011 | 0.8379705 | 0.016284948 | 0.0032 |
6.6 | 2.0269223E-5 | 2.5301377E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5301377E-5 | 0.0 | 8.6865206E-5 | 1.0843006E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.9222535 | 1.0843006E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0010570707 | 0.0013193536 | 0.0015 | 1.1369203 | 0.0018186939 | 5.0E-4 | 0.010520565 | 0.013117142 | 0.011 | 0.8385973 | 0.016275167 | 0.0032 |
6.7 | 1.799852E-5 | 2.254457E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.254457E-5 | 0.0 | 7.713423E-5 | 9.661608E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0350244 | 9.661608E-5 | 0.0 | 9.3870464E-4 | 0.0011756807 | 0.0015 | 1.2758567 | 0.0016750928 | 5.0E-4 | 0.009347493 | 0.01169622 | 0.01 | 0.8549771 | 0.014661131 | 0.003 |
6.8 | 1.7458793E-5 | 2.1845864E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1845864E-5 | 0.0 | 7.4821255E-5 | 9.362186E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0681267 | 9.362186E-5 | 0.0 | 9.10568E-4 | 0.0011392646 | 0.0014 | 1.228863 | 0.0015388088 | 4.0E-4 | 0.009068459 | 0.011335826 | 0.0093 | 0.8204078 | 0.013906352 | 0.0026 |
6.9 | 1.542884E-5 | 1.9029081E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9029081E-5 | 0.0 | 6.612192E-5 | 8.155073E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2262306 | 8.155073E-5 | 0.0 | 8.04737E-4 | 9.92441E-4 | 0.0012 | 1.20914 | 0.0012921432 | 3.0E-4 | 0.008018291 | 0.009881487 | 0.0079 | 0.7994748 | 0.01215876 | 0.0023 |
7.0 | 1.468253E-5 | 1.803341E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.803341E-5 | 0.0 | 6.292361E-5 | 7.7283825E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2939318 | 7.7283825E-5 | 0.0 | 7.658257E-4 | 9.405374E-4 | 0.0012 | 1.2758664 | 0.0012402552 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0076319184 | 0.009366934 | 0.0078 | 0.8327164 | 0.011546327 | 0.0022 |
7.1 | 1.3139281E-5 | 1.620339E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.620339E-5 | 0.0 | 5.6309986E-5 | 6.9441325E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.9441325E-5 | 0.0 | 6.853584E-4 | 8.451328E-4 | 9.0E-4 | 1.0649214 | 9.450483E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0068324856 | 0.008420485 | 0.0071 | 0.8431818 | 0.010403644 | 0.002 |
7.2 | 1.1127404E-5 | 1.3868697E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3868697E-5 | 0.0 | 4.7688E-5 | 5.943598E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.943598E-5 | 0.0 | 5.8044674E-4 | 7.234037E-4 | 9.0E-4 | 1.2441186 | 8.2333136E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0057893298 | 0.0072115967 | 0.0065 | 0.90132606 | 0.008998616 | 0.0018 |
7.3 | 9.808154E-6 | 1.2177887E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2177887E-5 | 0.0 | 4.2034266E-5 | 5.218996E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.218996E-5 | 0.0 | 5.11647E-4 | 6.3523825E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.1019487 | 7.351747E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0051047057 | 0.0063353 | 0.0056 | 0.88393605 | 0.007825797 | 0.0015 |
7.4 | 7.942452E-6 | 9.793294E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.793294E-6 | 0.0 | 3.4038632E-5 | 4.1970638E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.1970638E-5 | 0.0 | 4.1434157E-4 | 5.108822E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 1.1744391 | 5.108822E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0041356985 | 0.005098019 | 0.0049 | 0.96115774 | 0.006291901 | 0.0012 |
7.5 | 4.7121216E-6 | 5.7734387E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.7734387E-6 | 0.0 | 2.019465E-5 | 2.4743118E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4743118E-5 | 0.0 | 2.4584212E-4 | 3.0121347E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.3279618 | 3.0121347E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0024557032 | 0.0030088047 | 0.0032 | 1.0635452 | 0.0037066985 | 7.0E-4 |
7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.6041212E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6041212E-7 | 0.0 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.1160516E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1160516E-6 | 0.0 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.3587873E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3587873E-5 | 0.0 | 1.1539775E-4 | 1.3587323E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.73598015 | 1.3587323E-4 | 0.0 |
San Clemente
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.681379E-5 | 8.16743E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2243754 | 8.16743E-5 | 0.0 | 2.8631336E-4 | 3.4998887E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.28572336 | 3.4998887E-4 | 0.0 | 0.003480294 | 0.0042532785 | 0.0029 | 0.681827 | 0.0049503013 | 7.0E-4 | 0.03426291 | 0.041773956 | 0.0302 | 0.7229384 | 0.04733167 | 0.0058 |
6.1 | 6.681379E-5 | 8.16743E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2243754 | 8.16743E-5 | 0.0 | 2.8631336E-4 | 3.4998887E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.28572336 | 3.4998887E-4 | 0.0 | 0.003480294 | 0.0042532785 | 0.0023 | 0.5407593 | 0.0048507266 | 6.0E-4 | 0.03426291 | 0.041773956 | 0.024 | 0.5745206 | 0.04627762 | 0.0047 |
6.2 | 3.9400576E-5 | 4.6469024E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.6469024E-5 | 0.0 | 1.6884868E-4 | 1.9913798E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9913798E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0020537945 | 0.0024218638 | 0.0011 | 0.45419565 | 0.0027211371 | 3.0E-4 | 0.020349167 | 0.023961358 | 0.0135 | 0.5634072 | 0.025913434 | 0.002 |
6.3 | 3.2590255E-5 | 3.794153E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.794153E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3966505E-4 | 1.6259658E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6259658E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0016990956 | 0.0019778463 | 0.001 | 0.5056005 | 0.0021774506 | 2.0E-4 | 0.01686163 | 0.019606225 | 0.0111 | 0.56614673 | 0.021174856 | 0.0016 |
6.4 | 2.9454652E-5 | 3.410849E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.410849E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2622811E-4 | 1.461712E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.461712E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0015357438 | 0.0017782076 | 0.001 | 0.56236404 | 0.001977852 | 2.0E-4 | 0.015251739 | 0.017642964 | 0.0104 | 0.58947015 | 0.019116499 | 0.0015 |
6.5 | 2.790836E-5 | 3.2257463E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2257463E-5 | 0.0 | 1.1960178E-4 | 1.3823908E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3823908E-4 | 0.0 | 0.001455179 | 0.0016817868 | 0.001 | 0.5946056 | 0.0018814505 | 2.0E-4 | 0.014456868 | 0.016693613 | 0.0097 | 0.5810606 | 0.01797191 | 0.0013 |
6.6 | 2.2492153E-5 | 2.5770154E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5770154E-5 | 0.0 | 9.639138E-5 | 1.1043892E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1043892E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011729331 | 0.0013437793 | 7.0E-4 | 0.5209189 | 0.0015435105 | 2.0E-4 | 0.011667615 | 0.013358254 | 0.0068 | 0.5090486 | 0.01444356 | 0.0011 |
6.7 | 1.9862755E-5 | 2.267278E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.267278E-5 | 0.0 | 8.512331E-5 | 9.716551E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.716551E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010358836 | 0.0011823593 | 6.0E-4 | 0.50745994 | 0.0013821229 | 2.0E-4 | 0.010310682 | 0.01176198 | 0.0058 | 0.49311423 | 0.012849042 | 0.0011 |
6.8 | 1.6697575E-5 | 1.8982853E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8982853E-5 | 0.0 | 7.155907E-5 | 8.1352606E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.1352606E-5 | 0.0 | 8.7088346E-4 | 9.900272E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.30302197 | 0.0010899282 | 1.0E-4 | 0.008674784 | 0.009857195 | 0.005 | 0.5072437 | 0.0108473385 | 0.001 |
6.9 | 1.5218415E-5 | 1.727402E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.727402E-5 | 0.0 | 6.522015E-5 | 7.402946E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.402946E-5 | 0.0 | 7.93766E-4 | 9.009448E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.33298376 | 0.0010008548 | 1.0E-4 | 0.007909367 | 0.0089738695 | 0.0045 | 0.5014559 | 0.009964895 | 0.001 |
7.0 | 1.2392958E-5 | 1.40367E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.40367E-5 | 0.0 | 5.3111595E-5 | 6.015594E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.015594E-5 | 0.0 | 6.4644177E-4 | 7.3216006E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.40974647 | 8.3208684E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0064456454 | 0.0072982656 | 0.0036 | 0.4932679 | 0.008191697 | 9.0E-4 |
7.1 | 1.0934128E-5 | 1.2378374E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2378374E-5 | 0.0 | 4.6859706E-5 | 5.3049134E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.3049134E-5 | 0.0 | 5.7036756E-4 | 6.4568914E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.46461987 | 7.456246E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0056890585 | 0.0064388774 | 0.0032 | 0.49698102 | 0.0073330826 | 9.0E-4 |
7.2 | 9.5798805E-6 | 1.0847776E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0847776E-5 | 0.0 | 4.1055984E-5 | 4.648968E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.648968E-5 | 0.0 | 4.9974193E-4 | 5.6587206E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.5301552 | 6.658155E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0049861963 | 0.0056450358 | 0.0026 | 0.46058166 | 0.0061422135 | 5.0E-4 |
7.3 | 8.0167365E-6 | 9.086316E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.086316E-6 | 0.0 | 3.4356988E-5 | 3.8940812E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.8940812E-5 | 0.0 | 4.1821605E-4 | 4.7400832E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.4219335 | 4.7400832E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0041742986 | 0.0047306763 | 0.0022 | 0.4650498 | 0.0051287836 | 4.0E-4 |
7.4 | 2.9581017E-6 | 3.3632907E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3632907E-6 | 0.0 | 1.2677518E-5 | 1.4414052E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4414052E-5 | 0.0 | 1.5433785E-4 | 1.75482E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.75482E-4 | 0.0 | 0.001542307 | 0.0017539297 | 7.0E-4 | 0.39910382 | 0.0018537543 | 1.0E-4 |
Garberville - Briceland 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.8399295E-5 | 6.456981E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.456981E-5 | 0.0 | 2.0740906E-4 | 2.76702E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.4455986 | 5.76619E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.002522281 | 0.0033642966 | 0.0025 | 0.74309736 | 0.0040619415 | 7.0E-4 | 0.024938442 | 0.033199932 | 0.0209 | 0.62951934 | 0.038904056 | 0.0059 |
6.1 | 4.8399295E-5 | 6.456981E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.456981E-5 | 0.0 | 2.0740906E-4 | 2.76702E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.4455986 | 5.76619E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.002522281 | 0.0033642966 | 0.0025 | 0.74309736 | 0.0040619415 | 7.0E-4 | 0.024938442 | 0.033199932 | 0.0209 | 0.62951934 | 0.038904056 | 0.0059 |
6.2 | 4.8399295E-5 | 6.456981E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.456981E-5 | 0.0 | 2.0740906E-4 | 2.76702E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.4455986 | 5.76619E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.002522281 | 0.0033642966 | 0.0025 | 0.74309736 | 0.0040619415 | 7.0E-4 | 0.024938442 | 0.033199932 | 0.0209 | 0.62951934 | 0.038904056 | 0.0059 |
6.3 | 4.8399295E-5 | 6.456981E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.456981E-5 | 0.0 | 2.0740906E-4 | 2.76702E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.4455986 | 5.76619E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.002522281 | 0.0033642966 | 0.0025 | 0.74309736 | 0.0040619415 | 7.0E-4 | 0.024938442 | 0.033199932 | 0.0209 | 0.62951934 | 0.038904056 | 0.0059 |
6.4 | 4.8399295E-5 | 6.456981E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.456981E-5 | 0.0 | 2.0740906E-4 | 2.76702E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.4455986 | 5.76619E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.002522281 | 0.0033642966 | 0.0025 | 0.74309736 | 0.0040619415 | 7.0E-4 | 0.024938442 | 0.033199932 | 0.0209 | 0.62951934 | 0.038904056 | 0.0059 |
6.5 | 4.8399295E-5 | 6.456981E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.456981E-5 | 0.0 | 2.0740906E-4 | 2.76702E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.4455986 | 5.76619E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.002522281 | 0.0033642966 | 0.0025 | 0.74309736 | 0.0040619415 | 7.0E-4 | 0.024938442 | 0.033199932 | 0.0209 | 0.62951934 | 0.038904056 | 0.0059 |
6.6 | 4.8399295E-5 | 6.456981E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.456981E-5 | 0.0 | 2.0740906E-4 | 2.76702E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.4455986 | 5.76619E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.002522281 | 0.0033642966 | 0.0025 | 0.74309736 | 0.0040619415 | 7.0E-4 | 0.024938442 | 0.033199932 | 0.0209 | 0.62951934 | 0.038904056 | 0.0059 |
6.7 | 3.495179E-5 | 4.6339086E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.6339086E-5 | 0.0 | 1.4978478E-4 | 1.9858389E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0071311 | 2.9856403E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0018221042 | 0.0024156088 | 0.0016 | 0.6623589 | 0.0028146426 | 4.0E-4 | 0.018072363 | 0.023945963 | 0.0152 | 0.6347625 | 0.0282406 | 0.0044 |
6.8 | 2.7517597E-5 | 3.626468E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.626468E-5 | 0.0 | 1.1792722E-4 | 1.5541336E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.2868906 | 2.553978E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0014348183 | 0.0018909883 | 0.001 | 0.528824 | 0.002190421 | 3.0E-4 | 0.014255894 | 0.018795334 | 0.0118 | 0.6278154 | 0.02213143 | 0.0034 |
6.9 | 2.74461E-5 | 3.6182377E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.6182377E-5 | 0.0 | 1.1762084E-4 | 1.5506068E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.2898176 | 2.550452E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.001431093 | 0.001886702 | 0.001 | 0.5300254 | 0.002186136 | 3.0E-4 | 0.014219119 | 0.018753195 | 0.0117 | 0.6238937 | 0.021991309 | 0.0033 |
7.0 | 1.9023773E-5 | 2.4722609E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4722609E-5 | 0.0 | 8.152791E-5 | 1.05951854E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.8876498 | 2.0594127E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 9.921503E-4 | 0.0012896006 | 6.0E-4 | 0.46526033 | 0.0014893427 | 2.0E-4 | 0.009877323 | 0.012860258 | 0.0077 | 0.5987438 | 0.014834538 | 0.002 |
7.1 | 5.566844E-6 | 6.51435E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.51435E-6 | 0.0 | 2.3857683E-5 | 2.7918368E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.5818713 | 1.2791557E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.9042858E-4 | 3.3985736E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.1769644 | 4.3982337E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.002900493 | 0.003393797 | 0.0024 | 0.7071726 | 0.003991761 | 6.0E-4 |
7.2 | 4.011353E-6 | 4.6761556E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.6761556E-6 | 0.0 | 1.7191402E-5 | 2.0040534E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.989887 | 1.2003853E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.0928521E-4 | 2.4396961E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.2296613 | 3.439452E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0020908823 | 0.0024373555 | 0.0019 | 0.7795334 | 0.0028363806 | 4.0E-4 |
7.3 | 2.0974871E-6 | 2.4403803E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4403803E-6 | 0.0 | 8.989199E-6 | 1.0458745E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0458745E-5 | 0.0 | 1.09438006E-4 | 1.2733028E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.78535914 | 1.2733028E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0010938413 | 0.0012728187 | 0.0015 | 1.1784868 | 0.0014725641 | 2.0E-4 |
Pleito
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.4864676E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4864676E-5 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.06558946E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.06558946E-4 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0012966552 | 0.0021 | 1.6195517 | 0.0019957474 | 7.0E-4 | 0.00870863 | 0.013005144 | 0.0179 | 1.3763785 | 0.018729713 | 0.0058 |
6.1 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.4864676E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4864676E-5 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.06558946E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.06558946E-4 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0012966552 | 0.0021 | 1.6195517 | 0.0019957474 | 7.0E-4 | 0.00870863 | 0.013005144 | 0.0179 | 1.3763785 | 0.018729713 | 0.0058 |
6.2 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.4864676E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4864676E-5 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.06558946E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.06558946E-4 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0012966552 | 0.0021 | 1.6195517 | 0.0019957474 | 7.0E-4 | 0.00870863 | 0.013005144 | 0.0179 | 1.3763785 | 0.018729713 | 0.0058 |
6.3 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.4864676E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4864676E-5 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.06558946E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.06558946E-4 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0012966552 | 0.0021 | 1.6195517 | 0.0019957474 | 7.0E-4 | 0.00870863 | 0.013005144 | 0.0179 | 1.3763785 | 0.018729713 | 0.0058 |
6.4 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.4864676E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4864676E-5 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.06558946E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.06558946E-4 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0012966552 | 0.0021 | 1.6195517 | 0.0019957474 | 7.0E-4 | 0.00870863 | 0.013005144 | 0.0179 | 1.3763785 | 0.018729713 | 0.0058 |
6.5 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.4864676E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4864676E-5 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.06558946E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.06558946E-4 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0012966552 | 0.0021 | 1.6195517 | 0.0019957474 | 7.0E-4 | 0.00870863 | 0.013005144 | 0.0179 | 1.3763785 | 0.018729713 | 0.0058 |
6.6 | 9.910213E-6 | 1.731394E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.731394E-5 | 0.0 | 4.247165E-5 | 7.420051E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.420051E-5 | 0.0 | 5.169696E-4 | 9.0302044E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.7751762 | 0.0012027496 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0051576863 | 0.009101368 | 0.007 | 0.76911515 | 0.011479525 | 0.0024 |
6.7 | 9.910213E-6 | 1.731394E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.731394E-5 | 0.0 | 4.247165E-5 | 7.420051E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.420051E-5 | 0.0 | 5.169696E-4 | 9.0302044E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.7751762 | 0.0012027496 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0051576863 | 0.009101368 | 0.007 | 0.76911515 | 0.011479525 | 0.0024 |
6.8 | 8.300162E-6 | 1.5573269E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5573269E-5 | 0.0 | 3.557164E-5 | 6.6740875E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.6740875E-5 | 0.0 | 4.3299864E-4 | 8.122687E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.73867184 | 0.0010121062 | 2.0E-4 | 0.004321559 | 0.008200706 | 0.0053 | 0.64628583 | 0.009985945 | 0.0018 |
6.9 | 8.183114E-6 | 1.5444439E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5444439E-5 | 0.0 | 3.5070017E-5 | 6.618878E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.618878E-5 | 0.0 | 4.2689382E-4 | 8.055519E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.74483097 | 0.0010053908 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0042607468 | 0.008134031 | 0.0052 | 0.63928944 | 0.009820203 | 0.0017 |
7.0 | 7.1748823E-6 | 1.4230174E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4230174E-5 | 0.0 | 3.0749135E-5 | 6.0985036E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0985036E-5 | 0.0 | 3.743064E-4 | 7.422404E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.8083634 | 9.42092E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0037367654 | 0.0075047268 | 0.0044 | 0.58629715 | 0.008794971 | 0.0013 |
7.1 | 7.1671807E-6 | 1.4220532E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4220532E-5 | 0.0 | 3.0716128E-5 | 6.0943716E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0943716E-5 | 0.0 | 3.7390468E-4 | 7.4173766E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.8089113 | 9.415893E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0037327618 | 0.0074997335 | 0.0044 | 0.5866875 | 0.008789984 | 0.0013 |
7.2 | 7.0649667E-6 | 1.4067496E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4067496E-5 | 0.0 | 3.0278077E-5 | 6.0287875E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0287875E-5 | 0.0 | 3.6857324E-4 | 7.337582E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.8177081 | 9.336115E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0036796255 | 0.00742033 | 0.0043 | 0.57948905 | 0.008710683 | 0.0013 |
7.3 | 7.02082E-6 | 1.4010761E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4010761E-5 | 0.0 | 3.008888E-5 | 6.0044742E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0044742E-5 | 0.0 | 3.6627054E-4 | 7.3080003E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.82101804 | 9.306539E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0036566744 | 0.0073907333 | 0.0043 | 0.58180964 | 0.008681125 | 0.0013 |
7.4 | 6.987146E-6 | 1.3970217E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3970217E-5 | 0.0 | 2.9944567E-5 | 5.987099E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.987099E-5 | 0.0 | 3.6451413E-4 | 7.28686E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.8233999 | 9.2854025E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0036391679 | 0.007369615 | 0.0042 | 0.5699076 | 0.008560772 | 0.0012 |
7.5 | 6.9494554E-6 | 1.3927042E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3927042E-5 | 0.0 | 2.9783041E-5 | 5.968596E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.968596E-5 | 0.0 | 3.625482E-4 | 7.264348E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.82595164 | 9.2628953E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0036195726 | 0.007347203 | 0.0042 | 0.5716461 | 0.008538386 | 0.0012 |
7.6 | 6.92694E-6 | 1.3886004E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3886004E-5 | 0.0 | 2.9686547E-5 | 5.9510094E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.9510094E-5 | 0.0 | 3.6137376E-4 | 7.2429504E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.82839173 | 9.2415017E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0036078666 | 0.007325881 | 0.0042 | 0.5733099 | 0.00851709 | 0.0012 |
7.7 | 6.395867E-6 | 1.2760947E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2760947E-5 | 0.0 | 2.741057E-5 | 5.468863E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.468863E-5 | 0.0 | 3.336726E-4 | 6.6563097E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.75116694 | 7.6556444E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0033317201 | 0.0067424737 | 0.0037 | 0.54876 | 0.0076364055 | 9.0E-4 |
7.8 | 5.8664327E-6 | 1.16205465E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.16205465E-5 | 0.0 | 2.5141611E-5 | 4.9801394E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.9801394E-5 | 0.0 | 3.060561E-4 | 6.061635E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.65988797 | 7.061029E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0030563495 | 0.006143856 | 0.0032 | 0.5208456 | 0.0069389404 | 8.0E-4 |
7.9 | 3.7167474E-6 | 7.1653176E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.1653176E-6 | 0.0 | 1.592882E-5 | 3.0708143E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0708143E-5 | 0.0 | 1.9391612E-4 | 3.7380768E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.80255175 | 4.7377028E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0019374699 | 0.0037936948 | 0.0018 | 0.4744715 | 0.0043914183 | 6.0E-4 |
8.0 | 1.0903841E-6 | 1.2991558E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2991558E-6 | 0.0 | 4.6730665E-6 | 5.5677983E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.5677983E-6 | 0.0 | 5.68931E-5 | 6.778585E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.778585E-5 | 0.0 | 5.6878536E-4 | 7.0008886E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.7141951 | 8.999488E-4 | 2.0E-4 |
8.1 | 2.6894583E-7 | 1.1245098E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1245098E-7 | 0.0 | 1.1526245E-6 | 4.8193266E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.8193266E-7 | 0.0 | 1.4033113E-5 | 5.8675146E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.8675146E-6 | 0.0 | 1.4032227E-4 | 6.560494E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5242755 | 6.560494E-5 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 5.2967013E-9 | 2.5019755E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5019755E-9 | 0.0 | 2.2700148E-8 | 1.07227525E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.07227525E-8 | 0.0 | 2.7637427E-7 | 1.3054951E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3054951E-7 | 0.0 | 2.7637393E-6 | 1.4841239E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4841239E-6 | 0.0 |
Pinto Mtn
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.787792E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.787792E-5 | 0.0 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0517586E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.9747735 | 3.0515535E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0023034236 | 0.002495318 | 0.0017 | 0.6812759 | 0.0028943198 | 4.0E-4 | 0.022796938 | 0.02469053 | 0.0181 | 0.7330746 | 0.02985967 | 0.0053 |
6.1 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.787792E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.787792E-5 | 0.0 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0517586E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.9747735 | 3.0515535E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0023034236 | 0.002495318 | 0.0017 | 0.6812759 | 0.0028943198 | 4.0E-4 | 0.022796938 | 0.02469053 | 0.0181 | 0.7330746 | 0.02985967 | 0.0053 |
6.2 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.787792E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.787792E-5 | 0.0 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0517586E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.9747735 | 3.0515535E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0023034236 | 0.002495318 | 0.0017 | 0.6812759 | 0.0028943198 | 4.0E-4 | 0.022796938 | 0.02469053 | 0.0181 | 0.7330746 | 0.02985967 | 0.0053 |
6.3 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.787792E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.787792E-5 | 0.0 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0517586E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.9747735 | 3.0515535E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0023034236 | 0.002495318 | 0.0017 | 0.6812759 | 0.0028943198 | 4.0E-4 | 0.022796938 | 0.02469053 | 0.0181 | 0.7330746 | 0.02985967 | 0.0053 |
6.4 | 3.729929E-5 | 3.9624276E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.9624276E-5 | 0.0 | 1.5984432E-4 | 1.698078E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.1778022 | 2.6979082E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0019443673 | 0.0020655429 | 0.0015 | 0.72620136 | 0.0022651297 | 2.0E-4 | 0.019274427 | 0.02047348 | 0.0158 | 0.77173007 | 0.024881348 | 0.0045 |
6.5 | 3.729929E-5 | 3.9624276E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.9624276E-5 | 0.0 | 1.5984432E-4 | 1.698078E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.1778022 | 2.6979082E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0019443673 | 0.0020655429 | 0.0015 | 0.72620136 | 0.0022651297 | 2.0E-4 | 0.019274427 | 0.02047348 | 0.0158 | 0.77173007 | 0.024881348 | 0.0045 |
6.6 | 3.0204548E-5 | 3.1223328E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1223328E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2944164E-4 | 1.3380758E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.4946835 | 2.3379421E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0015748127 | 0.0016279246 | 0.0011 | 0.6757069 | 0.0017277619 | 1.0E-4 | 0.015636992 | 0.016163867 | 0.0119 | 0.73621 | 0.019705677 | 0.0036 |
6.7 | 2.9857754E-5 | 3.0832613E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0832613E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2795553E-4 | 1.3213327E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.5136234 | 2.3212006E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0015567453 | 0.0016075701 | 0.0011 | 0.6842626 | 0.0017074093 | 1.0E-4 | 0.015458848 | 0.015963258 | 0.0119 | 0.7454618 | 0.019505791 | 0.0036 |
6.8 | 2.4819734E-5 | 2.502553E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.502553E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0636595E-4 | 1.07247986E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.8648368 | 2.0723726E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0012942362 | 0.0013049837 | 9.0E-4 | 0.6896637 | 0.0014048533 | 1.0E-4 | 0.012867244 | 0.012975576 | 0.0099 | 0.76297194 | 0.016035352 | 0.0031 |
6.9 | 2.331124E-5 | 2.335345E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.335345E-5 | 0.0 | 9.990149E-5 | 1.0008249E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.9983516 | 2.0007248E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.001215622 | 0.0012178435 | 8.0E-4 | 0.65689886 | 0.0013177218 | 1.0E-4 | 0.012089936 | 0.012113892 | 0.0091 | 0.7512037 | 0.014879973 | 0.0028 |
7.0 | 2.1818534E-5 | 2.1776275E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1776275E-5 | 0.0 | 9.3504656E-5 | 9.3323666E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.143079 | 1.9331434E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0011378246 | 0.0011356432 | 8.0E-4 | 0.70444655 | 0.0012355297 | 1.0E-4 | 0.011320163 | 0.011300503 | 0.0087 | 0.7698772 | 0.013871122 | 0.0026 |
7.1 | 2.066081E-5 | 2.0555635E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0555635E-5 | 0.0 | 8.854332E-5 | 8.809271E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.2703352 | 1.8808391E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0010774818 | 0.0010720206 | 8.0E-4 | 0.74625427 | 0.0011719135 | 1.0E-4 | 0.010722724 | 0.0106705455 | 0.0082 | 0.7684705 | 0.013044937 | 0.0024 |
7.2 | 1.8990233E-5 | 1.9068626E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9068626E-5 | 0.0 | 8.138417E-5 | 8.172024E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2236872 | 1.8171206E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 9.904018E-4 | 9.945091E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.7038649 | 0.0010944096 | 1.0E-4 | 0.009859995 | 0.009902586 | 0.0079 | 0.7977714 | 0.012179811 | 0.0023 |
7.3 | 1.3335872E-5 | 1.4920173E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4920173E-5 | 0.0 | 5.7152483E-5 | 6.3942105E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5639148 | 1.639357E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.956093E-4 | 7.782298E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.6424837 | 8.78152E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006934359 | 0.0077563464 | 0.0063 | 0.8122381 | 0.009343936 | 0.0016 |
7.4 | 9.414066E-6 | 1.1873779E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1873779E-5 | 0.0 | 4.0345374E-5 | 5.0886687E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.9651506 | 1.5088159E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.910942E-4 | 6.1937876E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.8072605 | 7.1931677E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0049001034 | 0.0061774743 | 0.0044 | 0.7122652 | 0.007270679 | 0.0011 |
7.5 | 7.2101157E-6 | 9.170668E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.170668E-6 | 0.0 | 3.090013E-5 | 3.9302315E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.5443795 | 1.3929838E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.7614413E-4 | 4.7840844E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.83610564 | 5.783606E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0037550807 | 0.0047745616 | 0.0035 | 0.73305154 | 0.005670265 | 9.0E-4 |
7.6 | 3.296375E-6 | 4.5575193E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.5575193E-6 | 0.0 | 1.4127245E-5 | 1.9532088E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 5.1197805 | 1.1953014E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.7198564E-4 | 2.3777861E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.8411186 | 3.3775484E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0017185259 | 0.0023753801 | 0.0012 | 0.5051823 | 0.002574905 | 2.0E-4 |
7.7 | 2.5741092E-6 | 3.5957398E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5957398E-6 | 0.0 | 1.103185E-5 | 1.5410229E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 6.489196 | 1.15408686E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.3430449E-4 | 1.8760472E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0660713 | 2.8758595E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0013422335 | 0.0018745941 | 8.0E-4 | 0.42675903 | 0.0020742193 | 2.0E-4 |
Concord 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.7865112E-5 | 9.7666845E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.023889 | 1.9765708E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.4796976E-4 | 4.1850324E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.7168403 | 7.183777E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0030148525 | 0.0050839093 | 0.0028 | 0.5507573 | 0.0064767916 | 0.0014 | 0.029742775 | 0.049292166 | 0.0316 | 0.64107555 | 0.054521058 | 0.0055 |
6.1 | 5.7865112E-5 | 9.7666845E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.023889 | 1.9765708E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.4796976E-4 | 4.1850324E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.7168403 | 7.183777E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0030148525 | 0.0050839093 | 0.0028 | 0.5507573 | 0.0064767916 | 0.0014 | 0.029742775 | 0.049292166 | 0.0316 | 0.64107555 | 0.054521058 | 0.0055 |
6.2 | 5.6789337E-5 | 9.586835E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.043097 | 1.9585877E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.4336016E-4 | 4.1079795E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.730286 | 7.106747E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0029588845 | 0.0049905754 | 0.0027 | 0.5410198 | 0.0062840874 | 0.0013 | 0.029197963 | 0.048408285 | 0.0311 | 0.642452 | 0.05335656 | 0.0052 |
6.3 | 5.203322E-5 | 8.8105575E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1350019 | 1.8809676E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.2298045E-4 | 3.775451E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.26486903 | 4.7750733E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0027114071 | 0.0045877076 | 0.0024 | 0.5231371 | 0.00558312 | 0.001 | 0.026785625 | 0.04457668 | 0.0285 | 0.63934773 | 0.048971627 | 0.0046 |
6.4 | 4.7120942E-5 | 7.9017955E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2655352 | 1.7901005E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.0193127E-4 | 3.386086E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.29532623 | 4.3857476E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0024557412 | 0.004115512 | 0.002 | 0.48596624 | 0.00491222 | 8.0E-4 | 0.024287801 | 0.04009287 | 0.0252 | 0.6285407 | 0.04422047 | 0.0043 |
6.5 | 2.9598437E-5 | 4.6714948E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.1406424 | 1.4671027E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2684427E-4 | 2.0019274E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.49951863 | 3.0017272E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.001543235 | 0.0024348327 | 0.0015 | 0.61605877 | 0.0031331282 | 7.0E-4 | 0.015325619 | 0.023927266 | 0.0157 | 0.6561552 | 0.026855484 | 0.003 |
6.6 | 2.0443718E-5 | 3.0022491E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0022491E-5 | 0.0 | 8.7613E-5 | 1.2866168E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2866168E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0010661662 | 0.0015653666 | 4.0E-4 | 0.2555312 | 0.0018648971 | 3.0E-4 | 0.010610655 | 0.015484323 | 0.0099 | 0.6393563 | 0.017158 | 0.0017 |
6.7 | 1.798539E-5 | 2.5595002E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5595002E-5 | 0.0 | 7.7077966E-5 | 1.0968837E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0968837E-4 | 0.0 | 9.380202E-4 | 0.0013346595 | 3.0E-4 | 0.22477643 | 0.0015343926 | 2.0E-4 | 0.009340706 | 0.013234832 | 0.0082 | 0.61957717 | 0.014320274 | 0.0011 |
6.8 | 1.613555E-5 | 2.1975631E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1975631E-5 | 0.0 | 6.915052E-5 | 9.417796E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.417796E-5 | 0.0 | 8.4158237E-4 | 0.0011460275 | 3.0E-4 | 0.26177382 | 0.0013457983 | 2.0E-4 | 0.008384023 | 0.011385578 | 0.007 | 0.6148129 | 0.012374192 | 0.001 |
6.9 | 1.2916435E-5 | 1.7096578E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7096578E-5 | 0.0 | 5.5354973E-5 | 7.326902E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.326902E-5 | 0.0 | 6.7373837E-4 | 8.916911E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.22429293 | 9.916018E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006716994 | 0.008875473 | 0.0053 | 0.5971513 | 0.00956926 | 7.0E-4 |
7.0 | 9.81129E-6 | 1.264222E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.264222E-5 | 0.0 | 4.2047708E-5 | 5.4179825E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.4179825E-5 | 0.0 | 5.118106E-4 | 6.594414E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.303287 | 7.5937546E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005106334 | 0.006575606 | 0.0042 | 0.63872445 | 0.0069729756 | 4.0E-4 |
7.1 | 8.0889195E-6 | 1.0427976E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0427976E-5 | 0.0 | 3.4666336E-5 | 4.4690565E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.4690565E-5 | 0.0 | 4.219809E-4 | 5.439729E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.3676654 | 6.4391847E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004211805 | 0.005426708 | 0.0035 | 0.6449582 | 0.00572508 | 3.0E-4 |
7.2 | 6.267438E-6 | 8.124594E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.124594E-6 | 0.0 | 2.6860173E-5 | 3.481923E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.481923E-5 | 0.0 | 3.2697353E-4 | 4.238424E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.4718735 | 5.2380003E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0032649285 | 0.0042307875 | 0.0027 | 0.63817906 | 0.004529518 | 3.0E-4 |
7.3 | 3.6761196E-6 | 4.8442653E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.8442653E-6 | 0.0 | 1.5754704E-5 | 2.0760972E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0760972E-5 | 0.0 | 1.9179663E-4 | 2.5273574E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.3956702 | 3.5271046E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0019163118 | 0.0025248902 | 0.0017 | 0.67329663 | 0.0026246377 | 1.0E-4 |
7.4 | 2.8044356E-6 | 3.713519E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.713519E-6 | 0.0 | 1.2018954E-5 | 1.5914984E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5914984E-5 | 0.0 | 1.4632095E-4 | 1.9374782E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.51613486 | 2.9372846E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0014622464 | 0.001936026 | 0.0014 | 0.72313076 | 0.0020358325 | 1.0E-4 |
7.5 | 2.4578699E-6 | 3.2481973E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2481973E-6 | 0.0 | 1.0533685E-5 | 1.3920772E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3920772E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2824008E-4 | 1.6947233E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5900668 | 2.694554E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0012816609 | 0.0016936563 | 0.0012 | 0.70852625 | 0.001793487 | 1.0E-4 |
7.6 | 1.7713267E-6 | 2.338302E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.338302E-6 | 0.0 | 7.591378E-6 | 1.00212565E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.00212565E-5 | 0.0 | 9.2421105E-5 | 1.2200206E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.81965834 | 2.2198986E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 9.2382677E-4 | 0.0012195694 | 7.0E-4 | 0.5739731 | 0.0013194474 | 1.0E-4 |
7.7 | 5.1912366E-7 | 6.832616E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.832616E-7 | 0.0 | 2.2248137E-6 | 2.9282608E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9282608E-6 | 0.0 | 2.708677E-5 | 3.5651003E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.8049703 | 1.3564744E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.708347E-4 | 3.56472E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.28052694 | 4.5643636E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
Monte Vista - Shannon 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.7907707E-5 | 2.7597327E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7597327E-5 | 0.0 | 1.19598975E-4 | 1.1826959E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.6910517 | 2.1825777E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0014551448 | 0.001439105 | 0.0012 | 0.83385164 | 0.0017386732 | 3.0E-4 | 0.014456532 | 0.014327008 | 0.0129 | 0.90039736 | 0.019156806 | 0.0049 |
6.1 | 2.7907707E-5 | 2.7597327E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7597327E-5 | 0.0 | 1.19598975E-4 | 1.1826959E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.6910517 | 2.1825777E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0014551448 | 0.001439105 | 0.0012 | 0.83385164 | 0.0017386732 | 3.0E-4 | 0.014456532 | 0.014327008 | 0.0129 | 0.90039736 | 0.019156806 | 0.0049 |
6.2 | 2.7907707E-5 | 2.7597327E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7597327E-5 | 0.0 | 1.19598975E-4 | 1.1826959E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.6910517 | 2.1825777E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0014551448 | 0.001439105 | 0.0012 | 0.83385164 | 0.0017386732 | 3.0E-4 | 0.014456532 | 0.014327008 | 0.0129 | 0.90039736 | 0.019156806 | 0.0049 |
6.3 | 2.7907707E-5 | 2.7597327E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7597327E-5 | 0.0 | 1.19598975E-4 | 1.1826959E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.6910517 | 2.1825777E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0014551448 | 0.001439105 | 0.0012 | 0.83385164 | 0.0017386732 | 3.0E-4 | 0.014456532 | 0.014327008 | 0.0129 | 0.90039736 | 0.019156806 | 0.0049 |
6.4 | 2.7907707E-5 | 2.7597327E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7597327E-5 | 0.0 | 1.19598975E-4 | 1.1826959E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.6910517 | 2.1825777E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0014551448 | 0.001439105 | 0.0012 | 0.83385164 | 0.0017386732 | 3.0E-4 | 0.014456532 | 0.014327008 | 0.0129 | 0.90039736 | 0.019156806 | 0.0049 |
6.5 | 1.7990213E-5 | 1.6650753E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6650753E-5 | 0.0 | 7.709863E-5 | 7.135879E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.8027382 | 1.7135165E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 9.382716E-4 | 8.685133E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 0.92111427 | 0.0011682528 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0093431985 | 0.008674626 | 0.0073 | 0.8415348 | 0.01115294 | 0.0025 |
6.6 | 9.650407E-6 | 7.46617E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.46617E-6 | 0.0 | 4.135823E-5 | 3.1997522E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.125242 | 1.3199433E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.0342013E-4 | 3.8950803E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.77020234 | 5.8943016E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.005022812 | 0.0039059948 | 0.0028 | 0.7168468 | 0.005001698 | 0.0011 |
6.7 | 9.62828E-6 | 7.4440745E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.4440745E-6 | 0.0 | 4.1263404E-5 | 3.190283E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.1345181 | 1.3189964E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.022661E-4 | 3.8835558E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.77248794 | 5.882779E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0050113243 | 0.0038945104 | 0.0028 | 0.7189607 | 0.0049902266 | 0.0011 |
6.8 | 6.887523E-6 | 4.4700632E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.4700632E-6 | 0.0 | 2.9517621E-5 | 1.9157285E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 5.2199464 | 1.1915537E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.5931775E-4 | 2.3321722E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.85756963 | 3.331939E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0035873733 | 0.002346939 | 0.0017 | 0.7243478 | 0.0031450614 | 8.0E-4 |
6.9 | 6.2722347E-6 | 3.811814E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.811814E-6 | 0.0 | 2.6880729E-5 | 1.6336255E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 6.121354 | 1.16334624E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.2722374E-4 | 1.9887778E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0056428 | 2.988579E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.003267423 | 0.0020041983 | 0.0015 | 0.74842894 | 0.0027027954 | 7.0E-4 |
7.0 | 5.5320347E-6 | 3.0387812E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0387812E-6 | 0.0 | 2.3708504E-5 | 1.3023294E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3023294E-5 | 0.0 | 2.8861282E-4 | 1.585489E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.63072026 | 1.585489E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0028823826 | 0.0016015442 | 0.0011 | 0.6868371 | 0.0019010638 | 3.0E-4 |
7.1 | 3.8794055E-6 | 1.2914027E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2914027E-6 | 0.0 | 1.6625918E-5 | 5.5345713E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.5345713E-6 | 0.0 | 2.0240174E-4 | 6.7381334E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4840904 | 6.7381334E-5 | 0.0 | 0.002022175 | 6.906216E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.0135796 | 8.904835E-4 | 2.0E-4 |
7.2 | 3.4813652E-6 | 9.743652E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.743652E-7 | 0.0 | 1.49200505E-5 | 4.1758444E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.1758444E-6 | 0.0 | 1.8163648E-4 | 5.0839728E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.9669657 | 5.0839728E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0018148809 | 5.252816E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.76149637 | 5.252816E-4 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.1682148E-6 | 7.7894396E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.7894396E-7 | 0.0 | 1.3577992E-5 | 3.338327E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.338327E-6 | 0.0 | 1.6529951E-4 | 4.0643376E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.4604256 | 4.0643376E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0016517661 | 4.2333477E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.708659 | 4.2333477E-4 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.9707667E-6 | 7.413947E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.413947E-7 | 0.0 | 1.2731795E-5 | 3.1774018E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1774018E-6 | 0.0 | 1.5499859E-4 | 3.8684182E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.5850358 | 3.8684182E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0015489052 | 4.035375E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.7434253 | 4.035375E-4 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.3462758E-6 | 6.0658414E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0658414E-7 | 0.0 | 1.0055429E-5 | 2.5996437E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5996437E-6 | 0.0 | 1.2241797E-4 | 3.1650205E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.159537 | 3.1650205E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0012235056 | 3.314655E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.60338104 | 3.314655E-4 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.112783E-6 | 5.3060506E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.3060506E-7 | 0.0 | 9.054753E-6 | 2.2740196E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2740196E-6 | 0.0 | 1.1023604E-4 | 2.7685839E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.611955 | 2.7685839E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0011018137 | 2.9140097E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.34316978 | 2.9140097E-4 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.7022471E-6 | 4.2791277E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.2791277E-7 | 0.0 | 7.2953244E-6 | 1.8339105E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8339105E-6 | 0.0 | 8.881695E-5 | 2.2327633E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.478755 | 2.2327633E-5 | 0.0 | 8.878146E-4 | 2.3649132E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.4228485 | 2.3649132E-4 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 7.230914E-7 | 3.7716887E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.7716887E-7 | 0.0 | 3.0989595E-6 | 1.616437E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.616437E-6 | 0.0 | 3.772918E-5 | 1.9679945E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 5.081315 | 1.9679945E-5 | 0.0 | 3.7722773E-4 | 2.0953974E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.47723645 | 2.0953974E-4 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 4.3588446E-7 | 3.4681136E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.4681136E-7 | 0.0 | 1.868075E-6 | 1.4863336E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4863336E-6 | 0.0 | 2.2743576E-5 | 1.8095963E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 5.5260944 | 1.8095963E-5 | 0.0 | 2.2741247E-4 | 1.9191172E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5210729 | 1.9191172E-4 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 2.3317523E-7 | 3.1843098E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1843098E-7 | 0.0 | 9.99322E-7 | 1.3647035E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3647035E-6 | 0.0 | 1.2166677E-5 | 1.6615139E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 6.018607 | 1.6615139E-5 | 0.0 | 1.21660116E-4 | 1.7569962E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5691532 | 1.7569962E-4 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.4662456E-7 | 2.050237E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.050237E-7 | 0.0 | 6.283908E-7 | 8.7867267E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.7867267E-7 | 0.0 | 7.650631E-6 | 1.0697789E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 9.347727 | 1.0697789E-5 | 0.0 | 7.650368E-5 | 1.1232932E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.89023954 | 1.1232932E-4 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 5.4931775E-9 | 5.1271325E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.1271325E-9 | 0.0 | 2.3542189E-8 | 2.1973424E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1973424E-8 | 0.0 | 2.8662612E-7 | 2.6752642E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6752642E-7 | 0.0 | 2.8662573E-6 | 2.7811748E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7811748E-6 | 0.0 |
Hunting Creek - Bartlett Springs connector 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.940016E-5 | 6.7914334E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.9448862 | 6.7914334E-5 | 0.0 | 2.1169778E-4 | 2.910261E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.3744472 | 3.9099698E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.002574374 | 0.0035373413 | 0.0031 | 0.8763644 | 0.004135219 | 6.0E-4 | 0.025447546 | 0.034796044 | 0.0306 | 0.87941027 | 0.039815105 | 0.0052 |
6.1 | 4.940016E-5 | 6.7914334E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.9448862 | 6.7914334E-5 | 0.0 | 2.1169778E-4 | 2.910261E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.3744472 | 3.9099698E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.002574374 | 0.0035373413 | 0.0031 | 0.8763644 | 0.004135219 | 6.0E-4 | 0.025447546 | 0.034796044 | 0.0306 | 0.87941027 | 0.039815105 | 0.0052 |
6.2 | 4.472471E-5 | 6.104415E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 3.2763171 | 6.104415E-5 | 0.0 | 1.9166325E-4 | 2.615899E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.5291109 | 3.6156375E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0023310026 | 0.0031801076 | 0.0029 | 0.9119188 | 0.0037781994 | 6.0E-4 | 0.02306703 | 0.031336576 | 0.0253 | 0.8073632 | 0.035114367 | 0.0039 |
6.3 | 4.472471E-5 | 6.104415E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 3.2763171 | 6.104415E-5 | 0.0 | 1.9166325E-4 | 2.615899E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.5291109 | 3.6156375E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0023310026 | 0.0031801076 | 0.0029 | 0.9119188 | 0.0037781994 | 6.0E-4 | 0.02306703 | 0.031336576 | 0.0253 | 0.8073632 | 0.035114367 | 0.0039 |
6.4 | 4.0001003E-5 | 5.4138003E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 3.6942627 | 5.4138003E-5 | 0.0 | 1.714216E-4 | 2.3199919E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.86207193 | 2.3199919E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0020850603 | 0.0028208806 | 0.0023 | 0.81534827 | 0.0033194702 | 5.0E-4 | 0.02065605 | 0.027845427 | 0.0202 | 0.7254333 | 0.030859107 | 0.0031 |
6.5 | 3.8033053E-5 | 5.1297422E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 3.8988316 | 5.1297422E-5 | 0.0 | 1.6298861E-4 | 2.1982734E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.90980494 | 2.1982734E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0019825802 | 0.0026730858 | 0.0021 | 0.7856089 | 0.0030720166 | 4.0E-4 | 0.019649856 | 0.02640647 | 0.0181 | 0.6854381 | 0.028743094 | 0.0024 |
6.6 | 3.653754E-5 | 4.915885E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 4.0684433 | 4.915885E-5 | 0.0 | 1.5658008E-4 | 2.1066378E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.9493801 | 2.1066378E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0019046954 | 0.0025618074 | 0.0018 | 0.7026289 | 0.0029607827 | 4.0E-4 | 0.018884527 | 0.025321629 | 0.0165 | 0.6516168 | 0.027368454 | 0.0021 |
6.7 | 3.372024E-5 | 4.5166544E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.2140281 | 4.5166544E-5 | 0.0 | 1.4450731E-4 | 1.9355648E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5166451 | 1.9355648E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0017579567 | 0.0023540214 | 0.0016 | 0.679688 | 0.0026533152 | 3.0E-4 | 0.017441148 | 0.023291877 | 0.0148 | 0.63541466 | 0.02504995 | 0.0018 |
6.8 | 2.9650024E-5 | 3.9433417E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.5359201 | 3.9433417E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2706534E-4 | 1.6898921E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5917538 | 1.6898921E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0015459227 | 0.0020554923 | 0.0011 | 0.5351516 | 0.0023548757 | 3.0E-4 | 0.015352124 | 0.020362703 | 0.0123 | 0.6040455 | 0.021930123 | 0.0016 |
6.9 | 2.860775E-5 | 3.783323E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.6431792 | 3.783323E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2259888E-4 | 1.6213233E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.6167801 | 1.6213233E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0014916194 | 0.0019721806 | 9.0E-4 | 0.45634767 | 0.002171786 | 2.0E-4 | 0.014816469 | 0.019546606 | 0.0112 | 0.5729895 | 0.020821195 | 0.0013 |
7.0 | 2.6696067E-5 | 3.508623E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.850121 | 3.508623E-5 | 0.0 | 1.144067E-4 | 1.5036094E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.66506636 | 1.5036094E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0013920115 | 0.0018291157 | 8.0E-4 | 0.43736982 | 0.0020287498 | 2.0E-4 | 0.013833242 | 0.018141165 | 0.01 | 0.5512325 | 0.019319396 | 0.0012 |
7.1 | 2.456087E-5 | 3.2030614E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.122013 | 3.2030614E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0525662E-4 | 1.3726689E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.7285078 | 1.3726689E-4 | 0.0 | 0.001280746 | 0.0016699523 | 6.0E-4 | 0.3592917 | 0.0017697853 | 1.0E-4 | 0.012733897 | 0.01657554 | 0.0083 | 0.50073785 | 0.017657306 | 0.0011 |
7.2 | 2.295761E-5 | 2.9839379E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.3512762 | 2.9839379E-5 | 0.0 | 9.8386045E-5 | 1.2787683E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.78200245 | 1.2787683E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011971919 | 0.0015557979 | 6.0E-4 | 0.3856542 | 0.0016556423 | 1.0E-4 | 0.011907627 | 0.01545073 | 0.0076 | 0.49188614 | 0.016533734 | 0.0011 |
7.3 | 2.1256936E-5 | 2.7557317E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.6288004 | 2.7557317E-5 | 0.0 | 9.109797E-5 | 1.1809749E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.84675807 | 1.1809749E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011085535 | 0.0014368974 | 6.0E-4 | 0.41756633 | 0.0015367537 | 1.0E-4 | 0.011030397 | 0.014277649 | 0.0068 | 0.4762689 | 0.015361943 | 0.0011 |
7.4 | 1.8784336E-5 | 2.4320507E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.1117563 | 2.4320507E-5 | 0.0 | 8.050181E-5 | 1.0422662E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.95944774 | 1.0422662E-4 | 0.0 | 9.796688E-4 | 0.001268228 | 6.0E-4 | 0.47310102 | 0.0013681012 | 1.0E-4 | 0.009753612 | 0.012611193 | 0.0064 | 0.5074857 | 0.013598582 | 0.001 |
7.5 | 1.7248298E-5 | 2.2281372E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.488054 | 2.2281372E-5 | 0.0 | 7.391918E-5 | 9.548815E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0472504 | 9.548815E-5 | 0.0 | 8.9959445E-4 | 0.0011619556 | 6.0E-4 | 0.51637083 | 0.0012618394 | 1.0E-4 | 0.008959615 | 0.011560005 | 0.0059 | 0.5103804 | 0.012251913 | 7.0E-4 |
7.6 | 1.0653709E-5 | 1.3730191E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 7.28322 | 1.3730191E-5 | 0.0 | 4.5657955E-5 | 5.8842365E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.6994559 | 5.8842365E-5 | 0.0 | 5.557438E-4 | 7.1617303E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.55852425 | 8.161014E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0055435603 | 0.0071391985 | 0.0039 | 0.5462798 | 0.0077349152 | 6.0E-4 |
7.7 | 3.286316E-6 | 4.0920513E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0920513E-6 | 0.0 | 1.4084137E-5 | 1.7537244E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7537244E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7146087E-4 | 2.134952E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.9367892 | 3.1347384E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0017132863 | 0.0021329436 | 9.0E-4 | 0.42195207 | 0.002332517 | 2.0E-4 |
7.8 | 5.1855085E-7 | 5.9737005E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.9737005E-7 | 0.0 | 2.222359E-6 | 2.5601548E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5601548E-6 | 0.0 | 2.7056883E-5 | 3.116945E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.116945E-5 | 0.0 | 2.705359E-4 | 3.116446E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.32087833 | 3.116446E-4 | 0.0 |
Red Mountain
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7605867E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.1005814 | 1.4760111E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.0401012E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.9803435 | 3.039897E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024811588 | 0.0015 | 0.60455626 | 0.0029799182 | 5.0E-4 | 0.021580452 | 0.02455219 | 0.0168 | 0.6842566 | 0.028649073 | 0.0042 |
6.1 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7605867E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.1005814 | 1.4760111E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.0401012E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.9803435 | 3.039897E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024811588 | 0.0015 | 0.60455626 | 0.0029799182 | 5.0E-4 | 0.021580452 | 0.02455219 | 0.0168 | 0.6842566 | 0.028649073 | 0.0042 |
6.2 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7605867E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.1005814 | 1.4760111E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.0401012E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.9803435 | 3.039897E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024811588 | 0.0015 | 0.60455626 | 0.0029799182 | 5.0E-4 | 0.021580452 | 0.02455219 | 0.0168 | 0.6842566 | 0.028649073 | 0.0042 |
6.3 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7605867E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.1005814 | 1.4760111E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.0401012E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.9803435 | 3.039897E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024811588 | 0.0015 | 0.60455626 | 0.0029799182 | 5.0E-4 | 0.021580452 | 0.02455219 | 0.0168 | 0.6842566 | 0.028649073 | 0.0042 |
6.4 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7605867E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.1005814 | 1.4760111E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.0401012E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.9803435 | 3.039897E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024811588 | 0.0015 | 0.60455626 | 0.0029799182 | 5.0E-4 | 0.021580452 | 0.02455219 | 0.0168 | 0.6842566 | 0.028649073 | 0.0042 |
6.5 | 3.154503E-5 | 3.5370977E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5370977E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3518598E-4 | 1.515816E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.65971065 | 1.515816E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0016446467 | 0.001844036 | 0.0012 | 0.6507465 | 0.002143483 | 3.0E-4 | 0.01632528 | 0.018296996 | 0.0133 | 0.7268952 | 0.021536617 | 0.0033 |
6.6 | 3.1535834E-5 | 3.5360354E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5360354E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3514658E-4 | 1.515361E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.65990883 | 1.515361E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0016441676 | 0.0018434828 | 0.0012 | 0.6509418 | 0.0021429297 | 3.0E-4 | 0.01632056 | 0.018291555 | 0.0133 | 0.72711146 | 0.021531194 | 0.0033 |
6.7 | 2.8267326E-5 | 3.147913E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.147913E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2114006E-4 | 1.3490407E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.7412675 | 1.3490407E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0014738824 | 0.0016413047 | 0.001 | 0.6092714 | 0.0019408123 | 3.0E-4 | 0.014641452 | 0.016300596 | 0.0117 | 0.7177652 | 0.019251693 | 0.003 |
6.8 | 2.8212884E-5 | 3.1417E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1417E-5 | 0.0 | 1.20906756E-4 | 1.3463781E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.7427334 | 1.3463781E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0014710457 | 0.0016380679 | 0.001 | 0.6104753 | 0.0019375766 | 3.0E-4 | 0.014613459 | 0.016268702 | 0.0117 | 0.71917224 | 0.019219898 | 0.003 |
6.9 | 2.4227871E-5 | 2.6715077E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6715077E-5 | 0.0 | 1.03829596E-4 | 1.1448859E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.8734495 | 1.1448859E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0012633923 | 0.0013930833 | 0.001 | 0.7178322 | 0.0016926654 | 3.0E-4 | 0.012562336 | 0.013851198 | 0.0101 | 0.7291788 | 0.01631657 | 0.0025 |
7.0 | 2.348524E-5 | 2.5843561E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5843561E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0064714E-4 | 1.1075385E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.9029032 | 1.1075385E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0012246901 | 0.0013476696 | 9.0E-4 | 0.66781944 | 0.0016472654 | 3.0E-4 | 0.012179627 | 0.01340261 | 0.0099 | 0.73866206 | 0.015869103 | 0.0025 |
7.1 | 2.2311642E-5 | 2.4470162E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4470162E-5 | 0.0 | 9.561782E-5 | 1.0486833E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.9535767 | 1.0486833E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011635252 | 0.001276099 | 8.0E-4 | 0.62691057 | 0.0015757162 | 3.0E-4 | 0.01157452 | 0.012695235 | 0.0096 | 0.7561892 | 0.015163497 | 0.0025 |
7.2 | 1.6533986E-5 | 1.7675313E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7675313E-5 | 0.0 | 7.085802E-5 | 7.574949E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.574949E-5 | 0.0 | 8.623549E-4 | 9.219234E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.6508133 | 0.001121739 | 2.0E-4 | 0.008590161 | 0.009187271 | 0.0076 | 0.8272315 | 0.011069815 | 0.0019 |
7.3 | 1.4703092E-5 | 1.556384E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.556384E-5 | 0.0 | 6.301173E-5 | 6.670081E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.670081E-5 | 0.0 | 7.668978E-4 | 8.118415E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.61588377 | 0.0010116792 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0076425658 | 0.008094836 | 0.0063 | 0.77827394 | 0.009582694 | 0.0015 |
7.4 | 6.1331984E-6 | 5.5297896E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.5297896E-6 | 0.0 | 2.6284872E-5 | 2.3698887E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3698887E-5 | 0.0 | 3.199713E-4 | 2.8849626E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.6932499 | 4.884386E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0031951098 | 0.002881272 | 0.0025 | 0.8676724 | 0.003579255 | 7.0E-4 |
7.5 | 5.954766E-6 | 5.3393874E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.3393874E-6 | 0.0 | 2.5520176E-5 | 2.288289E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.288289E-5 | 0.0 | 3.1066386E-4 | 2.785641E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.7179676 | 4.785084E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.003102299 | 0.0027822033 | 0.0024 | 0.8626257 | 0.0034802556 | 7.0E-4 |
7.6 | 4.9726646E-6 | 4.3160226E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.3160226E-6 | 0.0 | 2.1311245E-5 | 1.849711E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.849711E-5 | 0.0 | 2.5943352E-4 | 2.2517939E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.88818073 | 4.2513435E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0025913084 | 0.0022495468 | 0.0019 | 0.8446145 | 0.002748422 | 5.0E-4 |
7.7 | 3.3613894E-6 | 2.8531529E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8531529E-6 | 0.0 | 1.4405875E-5 | 1.2227742E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2227742E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7537741E-4 | 1.4886286E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4886286E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0017523908 | 0.0014876577 | 0.0013 | 0.87385696 | 0.0017872114 | 3.0E-4 |
7.8 | 1.1828961E-6 | 1.0124201E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0124201E-6 | 0.0 | 5.069545E-6 | 4.3389364E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.3389364E-6 | 0.0 | 6.171996E-5 | 5.2825297E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.2825297E-5 | 0.0 | 6.170282E-4 | 5.2813033E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.7573888 | 7.280247E-4 | 2.0E-4 |
7.9 | 2.2967266E-7 | 1.8621728E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8621728E-7 | 0.0 | 9.843111E-7 | 7.980738E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.980738E-7 | 0.0 | 1.19839215E-5 | 9.716508E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.716508E-6 | 0.0 | 1.1983275E-4 | 9.716112E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.0584364 | 2.971417E-4 | 2.0E-4 |
Coyote Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.5090034E-5 | 4.037636E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.037636E-5 | 0.0 | 1.503772E-4 | 1.7303151E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7303151E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0018293047 | 0.0021048808 | 0.0014 | 0.66512084 | 0.0025040389 | 4.0E-4 | 0.018143194 | 0.020875376 | 0.019 | 0.9101633 | 0.0249877 | 0.0042 |
6.1 | 3.5090034E-5 | 4.037636E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.037636E-5 | 0.0 | 1.503772E-4 | 1.7303151E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7303151E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0018293047 | 0.0021048808 | 0.0014 | 0.66512084 | 0.0025040389 | 4.0E-4 | 0.018143194 | 0.020875376 | 0.019 | 0.9101633 | 0.0249877 | 0.0042 |
6.2 | 1.841879E-5 | 2.1065785E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1065785E-5 | 0.0 | 7.8935285E-5 | 9.027939E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.027939E-5 | 0.0 | 9.606133E-4 | 0.0010986994 | 9.0E-4 | 0.8191503 | 0.0013983698 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0095647145 | 0.010942766 | 0.011 | 1.0052303 | 0.013613221 | 0.0027 |
6.3 | 1.841879E-5 | 2.1065785E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1065785E-5 | 0.0 | 7.8935285E-5 | 9.027939E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.027939E-5 | 0.0 | 9.606133E-4 | 0.0010986994 | 9.0E-4 | 0.8191503 | 0.0013983698 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0095647145 | 0.010942766 | 0.011 | 1.0052303 | 0.013613221 | 0.0027 |
6.4 | 1.712201E-5 | 1.957075E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.957075E-5 | 0.0 | 7.337798E-5 | 8.387252E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.387252E-5 | 0.0 | 8.930107E-4 | 0.0010207702 | 8.0E-4 | 0.783722 | 0.001320464 | 3.0E-4 | 0.008894307 | 0.010170738 | 0.0105 | 1.0323734 | 0.012843277 | 0.0027 |
6.5 | 1.4744935E-5 | 1.6841712E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6841712E-5 | 0.0 | 6.3191044E-5 | 7.2177296E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.2177296E-5 | 0.0 | 7.6907943E-4 | 8.7849784E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.7968147 | 0.0011782343 | 3.0E-4 | 0.007664232 | 0.008759452 | 0.0092 | 1.0502939 | 0.01113843 | 0.0024 |
6.6 | 1.2017839E-5 | 1.3727956E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3727956E-5 | 0.0 | 5.150401E-5 | 5.883327E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.883327E-5 | 0.0 | 6.268809E-4 | 7.161483E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.9774512 | 0.0010159335 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0062511545 | 0.0071471026 | 0.0076 | 1.063368 | 0.009132808 | 0.002 |
6.7 | 1.00956095E-5 | 1.1536777E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1536777E-5 | 0.0 | 4.326618E-5 | 4.9442882E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.9442882E-5 | 0.0 | 5.266384E-4 | 6.018878E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.83071953 | 9.017073E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.005253921 | 0.006011109 | 0.0063 | 1.0480596 | 0.0076014907 | 0.0016 |
Eaton Roughs 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.8044945E-5 | 8.848526E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.2602632 | 8.848526E-5 | 0.0 | 2.9158857E-4 | 3.7916636E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.7912094 | 3.7916636E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0035443127 | 0.004607257 | 0.0027 | 0.58603203 | 0.0048063355 | 2.0E-4 | 0.03488314 | 0.045188148 | 0.0304 | 0.6727428 | 0.049771246 | 0.0048 |
6.1 | 6.8044945E-5 | 8.848526E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.2602632 | 8.848526E-5 | 0.0 | 2.9158857E-4 | 3.7916636E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.7912094 | 3.7916636E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0035443127 | 0.004607257 | 0.0027 | 0.58603203 | 0.0048063355 | 2.0E-4 | 0.03488314 | 0.045188148 | 0.0304 | 0.6727428 | 0.049771246 | 0.0048 |
6.2 | 6.8044945E-5 | 8.848526E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.2602632 | 8.848526E-5 | 0.0 | 2.9158857E-4 | 3.7916636E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.7912094 | 3.7916636E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0035443127 | 0.004607257 | 0.0027 | 0.58603203 | 0.0048063355 | 2.0E-4 | 0.03488314 | 0.045188148 | 0.0304 | 0.6727428 | 0.049771246 | 0.0048 |
6.3 | 6.8044945E-5 | 8.848526E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.2602632 | 8.848526E-5 | 0.0 | 2.9158857E-4 | 3.7916636E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.7912094 | 3.7916636E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0035443127 | 0.004607257 | 0.0027 | 0.58603203 | 0.0048063355 | 2.0E-4 | 0.03488314 | 0.045188148 | 0.0304 | 0.6727428 | 0.049771246 | 0.0048 |
6.4 | 4.5830013E-5 | 5.7182817E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 3.4975543 | 5.7182817E-5 | 0.0 | 1.9639956E-4 | 2.4504925E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.8161625 | 2.4504925E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0023885423 | 0.0029797624 | 0.0018 | 0.604075 | 0.0031791665 | 2.0E-4 | 0.023630321 | 0.029435728 | 0.0202 | 0.6862409 | 0.03263859 | 0.0033 |
6.5 | 4.5830013E-5 | 5.7182817E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 3.4975543 | 5.7182817E-5 | 0.0 | 1.9639956E-4 | 2.4504925E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.8161625 | 2.4504925E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0023885423 | 0.0029797624 | 0.0018 | 0.604075 | 0.0031791665 | 2.0E-4 | 0.023630321 | 0.029435728 | 0.0202 | 0.6862409 | 0.03263859 | 0.0033 |
6.6 | 3.222194E-5 | 3.827706E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.612531 | 3.827706E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3808672E-4 | 1.6403486E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.6096265 | 1.6403486E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0016799092 | 0.0019953828 | 0.001 | 0.501157 | 0.0021949837 | 2.0E-4 | 0.016672665 | 0.019784007 | 0.0136 | 0.68742394 | 0.021646418 | 0.0019 |
6.7 | 2.4155654E-5 | 2.7794362E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.597852 | 2.7794362E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0352012E-4 | 1.191133E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.83953685 | 1.191133E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0012596287 | 0.0014492478 | 4.0E-4 | 0.27600524 | 0.001549103 | 1.0E-4 | 0.012525126 | 0.014399208 | 0.0093 | 0.64586884 | 0.01577905 | 0.0014 |
6.8 | 2.1814667E-5 | 2.4947763E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.008375 | 2.4947763E-5 | 0.0 | 9.348808E-5 | 1.0691463E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.9353257 | 1.0691463E-4 | 0.0 | 0.001137623 | 0.0013009121 | 3.0E-4 | 0.23060744 | 0.001400782 | 1.0E-4 | 0.011318169 | 0.012933678 | 0.008 | 0.6185402 | 0.014118157 | 0.0012 |
6.9 | 2.0700467E-5 | 2.3635363E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.2309484 | 2.3635363E-5 | 0.0 | 8.871327E-5 | 1.012905E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.98725945 | 1.012905E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0010795488 | 0.0012325174 | 3.0E-4 | 0.24340427 | 0.0013323941 | 1.0E-4 | 0.010743194 | 0.012257437 | 0.0077 | 0.62819004 | 0.013442728 | 0.0012 |
7.0 | 2.0104066E-5 | 2.2942706E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.358684 | 2.2942706E-5 | 0.0 | 8.615744E-5 | 9.832219E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0170643 | 9.832219E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010484619 | 0.0011964184 | 3.0E-4 | 0.2507484 | 0.0012962987 | 1.0E-4 | 0.010435291 | 0.01190036 | 0.0075 | 0.63023305 | 0.01308608 | 0.0012 |
7.1 | 1.8225232E-5 | 2.0778598E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.8126445 | 2.0778598E-5 | 0.0 | 7.81058E-5 | 8.90481E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1229886 | 8.90481E-5 | 0.0 | 9.5052324E-4 | 0.0010836229 | 3.0E-4 | 0.27684906 | 0.0011835146 | 1.0E-4 | 0.009464677 | 0.010783778 | 0.0073 | 0.6769427 | 0.011970838 | 0.0012 |
7.2 | 1.7526572E-5 | 1.9998855E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 5.0002866 | 1.9998855E-5 | 0.0 | 7.511172E-5 | 8.570657E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1667717 | 8.570657E-5 | 0.0 | 9.141015E-4 | 0.0010429794 | 3.0E-4 | 0.2876375 | 0.0011428752 | 1.0E-4 | 0.009103506 | 0.01038121 | 0.0067 | 0.6453968 | 0.011469791 | 0.0011 |
7.3 | 1.5727232E-5 | 1.8026487E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 5.5473924 | 1.8026487E-5 | 0.0 | 6.740067E-5 | 7.7254095E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2944298 | 7.7254095E-5 | 0.0 | 8.2029426E-4 | 9.40164E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.31909326 | 0.00104007 | 1.0E-4 | 0.008172729 | 0.009362173 | 0.0062 | 0.6622394 | 0.010253747 | 9.0E-4 |
7.4 | 1.4457361E-5 | 1.660299E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 6.0230117 | 1.660299E-5 | 0.0 | 6.195865E-5 | 7.1153736E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4054075 | 7.1153736E-5 | 0.0 | 7.540854E-4 | 8.6595333E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.346439 | 9.658667E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.007515317 | 0.008626039 | 0.0057 | 0.66078997 | 0.00932 | 7.0E-4 |
7.5 | 1.33280955E-5 | 1.5349786E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 6.514749 | 1.5349786E-5 | 0.0 | 5.711916E-5 | 6.578314E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5201464 | 6.578314E-5 | 0.0 | 6.9520384E-4 | 8.006163E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.37471133 | 9.005362E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.00693033 | 0.007977548 | 0.0053 | 0.6643645 | 0.008671964 | 7.0E-4 |
7.6 | 1.0699478E-5 | 1.2391409E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 8.070107 | 1.2391409E-5 | 0.0 | 4.5854096E-5 | 5.310496E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.8830632 | 5.310496E-5 | 0.0 | 5.581306E-4 | 6.463616E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.46413645 | 7.46297E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005567309 | 0.006444986 | 0.0047 | 0.72924906 | 0.0071404744 | 7.0E-4 |
7.7 | 5.9390236E-6 | 6.8547984E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.8547984E-6 | 0.0 | 2.545271E-5 | 2.937738E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.937738E-5 | 0.0 | 3.0984267E-4 | 3.5761113E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.27963334 | 3.5761113E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0030941102 | 0.0035703962 | 0.0023 | 0.6441862 | 0.003968968 | 4.0E-4 |
7.8 | 2.1622036E-6 | 2.3300493E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3300493E-6 | 0.0 | 9.266554E-6 | 9.985887E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.985887E-6 | 0.0 | 1.1281446E-4 | 1.21571466E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.21571466E-4 | 0.0 | 0.001127572 | 0.0012150499 | 0.0012 | 0.98761374 | 0.0014148069 | 2.0E-4 |
7.9 | 4.9586197E-7 | 5.2194645E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.2194645E-7 | 0.0 | 2.125121E-6 | 2.2369118E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2369118E-6 | 0.0 | 2.5873042E-5 | 2.723408E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.723408E-5 | 0.0 | 2.5870028E-4 | 2.7230952E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.1016876 | 2.7230952E-4 | 0.0 |
Goldstone Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.671352E-5 | 3.0384148E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0384148E-5 | 0.0 | 1.1448149E-4 | 1.3021239E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.7679761 | 1.3021239E-4 | 0.0 | 0.001392921 | 0.0015843794 | 0.0014 | 0.88362676 | 0.0024829535 | 9.0E-4 | 0.013842222 | 0.015750345 | 0.0183 | 1.1618793 | 0.020474743 | 0.0048 |
6.1 | 2.671352E-5 | 3.0384148E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0384148E-5 | 0.0 | 1.1448149E-4 | 1.3021239E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.7679761 | 1.3021239E-4 | 0.0 | 0.001392921 | 0.0015843794 | 0.0014 | 0.88362676 | 0.0024829535 | 9.0E-4 | 0.013842222 | 0.015750345 | 0.0183 | 1.1618793 | 0.020474743 | 0.0048 |
6.2 | 1.4197047E-5 | 1.6100306E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6100306E-5 | 0.0 | 6.0843064E-5 | 6.9000045E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4492745 | 6.9000045E-5 | 0.0 | 7.4051257E-4 | 8.398504E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.8334818 | 0.0011395984 | 3.0E-4 | 0.007380498 | 0.008376466 | 0.0105 | 1.2535119 | 0.010954687 | 0.0026 |
6.3 | 1.4197047E-5 | 1.6100306E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6100306E-5 | 0.0 | 6.0843064E-5 | 6.9000045E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4492745 | 6.9000045E-5 | 0.0 | 7.4051257E-4 | 8.398504E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.8334818 | 0.0011395984 | 3.0E-4 | 0.007380498 | 0.008376466 | 0.0105 | 1.2535119 | 0.010954687 | 0.0026 |
6.4 | 1.3238931E-5 | 1.5012229E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5012229E-5 | 0.0 | 5.6737044E-5 | 6.433709E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5543134 | 6.433709E-5 | 0.0 | 6.9055456E-4 | 7.831206E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.89385974 | 0.0010828857 | 3.0E-4 | 0.006884126 | 0.00781324 | 0.0098 | 1.2542812 | 0.010194489 | 0.0024 |
6.5 | 1.3238931E-5 | 1.5012229E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5012229E-5 | 0.0 | 5.6737044E-5 | 6.433709E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5543134 | 6.433709E-5 | 0.0 | 6.9055456E-4 | 7.831206E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.89385974 | 0.0010828857 | 3.0E-4 | 0.006884126 | 0.00781324 | 0.0098 | 1.2542812 | 0.010194489 | 0.0024 |
6.6 | 1.1328278E-5 | 1.28583915E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.28583915E-5 | 0.0 | 4.8548856E-5 | 5.5106768E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.8146591 | 5.5106768E-5 | 0.0 | 5.90922E-4 | 6.7081413E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.8944355 | 9.7061286E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0058935313 | 0.0066972864 | 0.0087 | 1.2990336 | 0.008981883 | 0.0023 |
6.7 | 8.651175E-6 | 9.826997E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.826997E-6 | 0.0 | 3.707594E-5 | 4.211553E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.374421 | 4.211553E-5 | 0.0 | 4.5130608E-4 | 5.1272655E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.5851072 | 7.12624E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0045039062 | 0.005124319 | 0.006 | 1.1708874 | 0.00671612 | 0.0016 |
6.8 | 1.0215377E-6 | 1.1756098E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1756098E-6 | 0.0 | 4.378012E-6 | 5.0383187E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0383187E-6 | 0.0 | 5.3300988E-5 | 6.133992E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.6302599 | 1.6133378E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.3288206E-4 | 6.132411E-4 | 9.0E-4 | 1.467612 | 9.130571E-4 | 3.0E-4 |
6.9 | 7.9360774E-7 | 9.284379E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.284379E-7 | 0.0 | 3.4011714E-6 | 3.979014E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.979014E-6 | 0.0 | 4.1408475E-5 | 4.844349E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.844349E-5 | 0.0 | 4.140076E-4 | 4.8433628E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 1.2388088 | 6.8423944E-4 | 2.0E-4 |
7.0 | 7.4382757E-7 | 8.7482294E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.7482294E-7 | 0.0 | 3.1878285E-6 | 3.7492362E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.7492362E-6 | 0.0 | 3.8811122E-5 | 4.5646062E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.5646062E-5 | 0.0 | 3.8804344E-4 | 4.563735E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 1.3147126 | 6.5628224E-4 | 2.0E-4 |
7.1 | 6.4709513E-7 | 7.7120546E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.7120546E-7 | 0.0 | 2.773262E-6 | 3.3051624E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3051624E-6 | 0.0 | 3.376394E-5 | 4.023967E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.023967E-5 | 0.0 | 3.375881E-4 | 4.023298E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 1.4913138 | 6.0224935E-4 | 2.0E-4 |
7.2 | 6.356704E-7 | 7.589096E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.589096E-7 | 0.0 | 2.7242988E-6 | 3.2524658E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2524658E-6 | 0.0 | 3.3167835E-5 | 3.9598115E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.9598115E-5 | 0.0 | 3.3162883E-4 | 3.9591652E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 1.515471 | 5.958373E-4 | 2.0E-4 |
7.3 | 5.7695723E-7 | 6.897233E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.897233E-7 | 0.0 | 2.4726714E-6 | 2.9559542E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9559542E-6 | 0.0 | 3.0104358E-5 | 3.5988207E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5988207E-5 | 0.0 | 3.0100282E-4 | 3.5982952E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 1.389547 | 4.5979352E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.4 | 5.209647E-7 | 6.1940716E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.1940716E-7 | 0.0 | 2.232704E-6 | 2.6545997E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6545997E-6 | 0.0 | 2.718283E-5 | 3.231933E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.231933E-5 | 0.0 | 2.7179506E-4 | 3.2315185E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.2378082 | 4.2311955E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.5 | 4.512955E-7 | 5.34934E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.34934E-7 | 0.0 | 1.934122E-6 | 2.2925724E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2925724E-6 | 0.0 | 2.3547682E-5 | 2.7911767E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7911767E-5 | 0.0 | 2.3545188E-4 | 2.7908792E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.7166201 | 2.7908792E-4 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.6041212E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6041212E-7 | 0.0 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.1160516E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1160516E-6 | 0.0 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.3587873E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3587873E-5 | 0.0 | 1.1539775E-4 | 1.3587323E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.73598015 | 1.3587323E-4 | 0.0 |
Honey Lake 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.155506E-5 | 7.959183E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.959183E-5 | 0.0 | 2.6378073E-4 | 3.410655E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.29319882 | 3.410655E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0032068014 | 0.00414501 | 0.0028 | 0.67551106 | 0.0047425227 | 6.0E-4 | 0.03160919 | 0.04072542 | 0.0256 | 0.6286 | 0.04532994 | 0.0048 |
6.1 | 6.155506E-5 | 7.959183E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.959183E-5 | 0.0 | 2.6378073E-4 | 3.410655E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.29319882 | 3.410655E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0032068014 | 0.00414501 | 0.0027 | 0.65138566 | 0.0046429373 | 5.0E-4 | 0.03160919 | 0.04072542 | 0.0233 | 0.57212424 | 0.0448503 | 0.0043 |
6.2 | 4.1335024E-5 | 5.260448E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.260448E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7713808E-4 | 2.2542929E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2542929E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0021545228 | 0.0027412993 | 0.0019 | 0.69310194 | 0.0028410254 | 1.0E-4 | 0.021337535 | 0.02709096 | 0.0153 | 0.564764 | 0.029036777 | 0.002 |
6.3 | 4.1335024E-5 | 5.260448E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.260448E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7713808E-4 | 2.2542929E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2542929E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0021545228 | 0.0027412993 | 0.0019 | 0.69310194 | 0.0028410254 | 1.0E-4 | 0.021337535 | 0.02709096 | 0.0153 | 0.564764 | 0.029036777 | 0.002 |
6.4 | 3.2393702E-5 | 4.090835E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.090835E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3882275E-4 | 1.7531037E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7531037E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0016888566 | 0.0021324214 | 0.0015 | 0.7034257 | 0.0021324214 | 0.0 | 0.016760793 | 0.02113062 | 0.0119 | 0.5631638 | 0.022403149 | 0.0013 |
6.5 | 2.7205504E-5 | 3.4229153E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.4229153E-5 | 0.0 | 1.1658981E-4 | 1.4668866E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4668866E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0014185566 | 0.001784565 | 0.0014 | 0.7845049 | 0.001784565 | 0.0 | 0.014095354 | 0.017711867 | 0.01 | 0.5645932 | 0.018792383 | 0.0011 |
6.6 | 2.069265E-5 | 2.5968484E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5968484E-5 | 0.0 | 8.867977E-5 | 1.1128924E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1128924E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0010791414 | 0.0013541887 | 9.0E-4 | 0.6646046 | 0.0013541887 | 0.0 | 0.010739161 | 0.013467745 | 0.0071 | 0.5271855 | 0.014355624 | 9.0E-4 |
6.7 | 1.8060919E-5 | 2.2668266E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2668266E-5 | 0.0 | 7.7401644E-5 | 9.714655E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.714655E-5 | 0.0 | 9.419576E-4 | 0.0011821985 | 7.0E-4 | 0.59211713 | 0.0011821985 | 0.0 | 0.009379748 | 0.011767146 | 0.0063 | 0.53538895 | 0.012557733 | 8.0E-4 |
6.8 | 1.4474663E-5 | 1.8190507E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8190507E-5 | 0.0 | 6.203279E-5 | 7.795742E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.795742E-5 | 0.0 | 7.5498753E-4 | 9.487948E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.52698433 | 9.487948E-4 | 0.0 | 0.007524277 | 0.009454975 | 0.0048 | 0.5076692 | 0.010049302 | 6.0E-4 |
6.9 | 8.564552E-6 | 1.08079075E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.08079075E-5 | 0.0 | 3.6704707E-5 | 4.6319157E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.6319157E-5 | 0.0 | 4.4678818E-4 | 5.6385633E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.17735015 | 5.6385633E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0044589094 | 0.0056307605 | 0.0029 | 0.5150281 | 0.0060285083 | 4.0E-4 |
Mount Diablo Thrust South
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2377444E-5 | 2.6965981E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6965981E-5 | 0.0 | 9.5899806E-5 | 1.1556449E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1556449E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011669548 | 0.0014062878 | 0.0015 | 1.066638 | 0.0027044595 | 0.0013 | 0.011608457 | 0.013994078 | 0.0138 | 0.98613137 | 0.018825507 | 0.0049 |
6.1 | 2.2377444E-5 | 2.6965981E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6965981E-5 | 0.0 | 9.5899806E-5 | 1.1556449E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1556449E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011669548 | 0.0014062878 | 0.0015 | 1.066638 | 0.0027044595 | 0.0013 | 0.011608457 | 0.013994078 | 0.0138 | 0.98613137 | 0.018825507 | 0.0049 |
6.2 | 2.2377444E-5 | 2.6965981E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6965981E-5 | 0.0 | 9.5899806E-5 | 1.1556449E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1556449E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011669548 | 0.0014062878 | 0.0015 | 1.066638 | 0.0027044595 | 0.0013 | 0.011608457 | 0.013994078 | 0.0138 | 0.98613137 | 0.018825507 | 0.0049 |
6.3 | 2.2377444E-5 | 2.6965981E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6965981E-5 | 0.0 | 9.5899806E-5 | 1.1556449E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1556449E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011669548 | 0.0014062878 | 0.0015 | 1.066638 | 0.0027044595 | 0.0013 | 0.011608457 | 0.013994078 | 0.0138 | 0.98613137 | 0.018825507 | 0.0049 |
6.4 | 1.2228463E-5 | 1.4752545E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4752545E-5 | 0.0 | 5.2406645E-5 | 6.3223735E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.3223735E-5 | 0.0 | 6.378641E-4 | 7.6948997E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.77973723 | 0.0011691822 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0063603627 | 0.007670218 | 0.0052 | 0.67794687 | 0.00876178 | 0.0011 |
6.5 | 1.2228463E-5 | 1.4752545E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4752545E-5 | 0.0 | 5.2406645E-5 | 6.3223735E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.3223735E-5 | 0.0 | 6.378641E-4 | 7.6948997E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.77973723 | 0.0011691822 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0063603627 | 0.007670218 | 0.0052 | 0.67794687 | 0.00876178 | 0.0011 |
6.6 | 1.2068118E-5 | 1.455726E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.455726E-5 | 0.0 | 5.1719482E-5 | 6.238684E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.238684E-5 | 0.0 | 6.2950276E-4 | 7.593079E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.7901933 | 0.0011590042 | 4.0E-4 | 0.006277225 | 0.007569095 | 0.0051 | 0.6737926 | 0.008660769 | 0.0011 |
6.7 | 1.1499428E-5 | 1.3879664E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3879664E-5 | 0.0 | 4.9282335E-5 | 5.948299E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.948299E-5 | 0.0 | 5.9984723E-4 | 7.239775E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.6906292 | 0.0010237603 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0059823063 | 0.007218135 | 0.0047 | 0.6511377 | 0.008210917 | 0.001 |
6.8 | 8.82118E-6 | 1.0834118E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0834118E-5 | 0.0 | 3.780451E-5 | 4.643114E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.643114E-5 | 0.0 | 4.601727E-4 | 5.6515815E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.5308249 | 6.6510163E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0045922096 | 0.0056384364 | 0.0033 | 0.5852686 | 0.006036181 | 4.0E-4 |
6.9 | 8.047112E-6 | 9.942817E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.942817E-6 | 0.0 | 3.4487166E-5 | 4.2611406E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.2611406E-5 | 0.0 | 4.1980037E-4 | 5.1867566E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.57839614 | 6.186238E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004190082 | 0.005175843 | 0.0029 | 0.5602952 | 0.00547429 | 3.0E-4 |
7.0 | 6.2574763E-6 | 7.751359E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.751359E-6 | 0.0 | 2.681748E-5 | 3.3219705E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3219705E-5 | 0.0 | 3.264539E-4 | 4.0437854E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.49458608 | 4.0437854E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0032597475 | 0.004037377 | 0.0023 | 0.56967676 | 0.0041369735 | 1.0E-4 |
7.1 | 3.6485903E-6 | 4.5142924E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.5142924E-6 | 0.0 | 1.5636722E-5 | 1.9346828E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9346828E-5 | 0.0 | 1.9036046E-4 | 2.3552257E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.42458776 | 2.3552257E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0019019748 | 0.0023528356 | 0.0014 | 0.5950267 | 0.0023528356 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.3034274E-6 | 2.9060848E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9060848E-6 | 0.0 | 9.871795E-6 | 1.245459E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.245459E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2018247E-4 | 1.5162434E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.65952474 | 1.5162434E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0012011749 | 0.0015153944 | 7.0E-4 | 0.46192592 | 0.0015153944 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.224035E-6 | 1.5682622E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5682622E-6 | 0.0 | 5.245854E-6 | 6.721107E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.721107E-6 | 0.0 | 6.38664E-5 | 8.182652E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.182652E-5 | 0.0 | 6.384805E-4 | 8.1810314E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.6111699 | 8.1810314E-4 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.1601154E-7 | 6.724685E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.724685E-7 | 0.0 | 2.2114762E-6 | 2.8820048E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8820048E-6 | 0.0 | 2.6924388E-5 | 3.508786E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.508786E-5 | 0.0 | 2.6921128E-4 | 3.5078867E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.8552157 | 3.5078867E-4 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 3.552894E-7 | 4.665793E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.665793E-7 | 0.0 | 1.5226678E-6 | 1.9996241E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9996241E-6 | 0.0 | 1.8538323E-5 | 2.4345167E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4345167E-5 | 0.0 | 1.8536777E-4 | 2.4343736E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.2323499 | 2.4343736E-4 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.3124082E-7 | 1.7192494E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7192494E-7 | 0.0 | 5.6246057E-7 | 7.36821E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.36821E-7 | 0.0 | 6.8479358E-6 | 8.970767E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.970767E-6 | 0.0 | 6.8477246E-5 | 8.9704095E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1147763 | 8.9704095E-5 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 3.6193022E-8 | 4.7337167E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.7337167E-8 | 0.0 | 1.5511293E-7 | 2.0287355E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0287355E-7 | 0.0 | 1.8884983E-6 | 2.4699839E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4699839E-6 | 0.0 | 1.8884823E-5 | 2.470406E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.470406E-5 | 0.0 |
Chino alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.939946E-5 | 4.898163E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.898163E-5 | 0.0 | 1.6884391E-4 | 2.0990732E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.47640073 | 2.0990732E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0020537362 | 0.0025531386 | 0.0023 | 0.90085196 | 0.0032513514 | 7.0E-4 | 0.020348595 | 0.025298217 | 0.0183 | 0.72337115 | 0.029781844 | 0.0046 |
6.1 | 2.1505624E-5 | 2.6902339E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6902339E-5 | 0.0 | 9.2163704E-5 | 1.1529127E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1529127E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011215154 | 0.0014028774 | 0.0013 | 0.92666686 | 0.0018023163 | 4.0E-4 | 0.011158722 | 0.013960431 | 0.0097 | 0.69482094 | 0.015538095 | 0.0016 |
6.2 | 2.1505624E-5 | 2.6902339E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6902339E-5 | 0.0 | 9.2163704E-5 | 1.1529127E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1529127E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011215154 | 0.0014028774 | 0.0013 | 0.92666686 | 0.0018023163 | 4.0E-4 | 0.011158722 | 0.013960431 | 0.0097 | 0.69482094 | 0.015538095 | 0.0016 |
6.3 | 1.4290785E-5 | 1.8184768E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8184768E-5 | 0.0 | 6.1244784E-5 | 7.7932644E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.7932644E-5 | 0.0 | 7.454001E-4 | 9.484622E-4 | 9.0E-4 | 0.94890445 | 0.0010483674 | 1.0E-4 | 0.007429048 | 0.009457948 | 0.0061 | 0.64496017 | 0.010052273 | 6.0E-4 |
6.4 | 1.4290785E-5 | 1.8184768E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8184768E-5 | 0.0 | 6.1244784E-5 | 7.7932644E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.7932644E-5 | 0.0 | 7.454001E-4 | 9.484622E-4 | 9.0E-4 | 0.94890445 | 0.0010483674 | 1.0E-4 | 0.007429048 | 0.009457948 | 0.0061 | 0.64496017 | 0.010052273 | 6.0E-4 |
6.5 | 1.3017944E-5 | 1.667116E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.667116E-5 | 0.0 | 5.5789995E-5 | 7.144612E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.144612E-5 | 0.0 | 6.790315E-4 | 8.695532E-4 | 9.0E-4 | 1.0350143 | 9.6946623E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0067696036 | 0.008675157 | 0.006 | 0.6916301 | 0.009269952 | 6.0E-4 |
6.6 | 9.470016E-6 | 1.2055214E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2055214E-5 | 0.0 | 4.058515E-5 | 5.166437E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.166437E-5 | 0.0 | 4.940122E-4 | 6.288662E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.1131144 | 7.2880334E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004929154 | 0.00628299 | 0.0045 | 0.7162195 | 0.0067798486 | 5.0E-4 |
6.7 | 8.314155E-6 | 1.0416118E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0416118E-5 | 0.0 | 3.5631605E-5 | 4.4639924E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.4639924E-5 | 0.0 | 4.3372845E-4 | 5.4338784E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 1.1041837 | 6.433335E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004328829 | 0.0054331543 | 0.0041 | 0.7546261 | 0.0058309813 | 4.0E-4 |
6.8 | 3.4856364E-6 | 3.8163416E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.8163416E-6 | 0.0 | 1.4938357E-5 | 1.635566E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.635566E-5 | 0.0 | 1.8185932E-4 | 1.9911403E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.5066743 | 2.9909413E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0018171056 | 0.0019913313 | 0.0013 | 0.6528295 | 0.002190933 | 2.0E-4 |
6.9 | 2.2645952E-6 | 2.1547792E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1547792E-6 | 0.0 | 9.705372E-6 | 9.234736E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.234736E-6 | 0.0 | 1.18156495E-4 | 1.1242733E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.7789268 | 2.124161E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0011809369 | 0.0011245658 | 8.0E-4 | 0.71138567 | 0.0013243409 | 2.0E-4 |
7.0 | 1.7864003E-6 | 1.5446867E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5446867E-6 | 0.0 | 7.655979E-6 | 6.6200696E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.6200696E-6 | 0.0 | 9.3207556E-5 | 8.059642E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.4814997 | 1.8058837E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 9.316847E-4 | 8.061203E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.6202548 | 9.0603967E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.1 | 1.7315456E-6 | 1.4749259E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4749259E-6 | 0.0 | 7.420889E-6 | 6.321096E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.321096E-6 | 0.0 | 9.034557E-5 | 7.695668E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.5988648 | 1.7694899E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 9.0308854E-4 | 7.697338E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.64957523 | 8.6965685E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.2 | 1.6008337E-6 | 1.3589153E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3589153E-6 | 0.0 | 6.860698E-6 | 5.8239098E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.8239098E-6 | 0.0 | 8.352579E-5 | 7.090385E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.8207214 | 1.7089676E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 8.34944E-4 | 7.092318E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.7049881 | 8.0916093E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.3 | 1.3320939E-6 | 1.1231142E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1231142E-6 | 0.0 | 5.7089615E-6 | 4.813338E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.813338E-6 | 0.0 | 6.9504385E-5 | 5.8600865E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.7064595 | 5.8600865E-5 | 0.0 | 6.9482654E-4 | 5.8599655E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.5119484 | 5.8599655E-4 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.114294E-6 | 9.249076E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.249076E-7 | 0.0 | 4.775537E-6 | 3.963884E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.963884E-6 | 0.0 | 5.8140613E-5 | 4.825926E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.825926E-5 | 0.0 | 5.81254E-4 | 4.825052E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.20725167 | 4.825052E-4 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 9.354081E-7 | 7.63435E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.63435E-7 | 0.0 | 4.0088858E-6 | 3.2718606E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2718606E-6 | 0.0 | 4.8807087E-5 | 3.983421E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.983421E-5 | 0.0 | 4.879637E-4 | 3.982741E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.25108337 | 3.982741E-4 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 8.521771E-7 | 6.8911964E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.8911964E-7 | 0.0 | 3.6521824E-6 | 2.9533667E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9533667E-6 | 0.0 | 4.4464414E-5 | 3.595668E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.595668E-5 | 0.0 | 4.4455516E-4 | 3.595118E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.278155 | 3.595118E-4 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.1803626E-7 | 1.4214484E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4214484E-7 | 0.0 | 9.344408E-7 | 6.091921E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.091921E-7 | 0.0 | 1.1376757E-5 | 7.4168984E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.4168984E-6 | 0.0 | 1.13761744E-4 | 7.4167474E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.4167474E-5 | 0.0 |
Garlock (West)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.5181727E-5 | 2.5271314E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5271314E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0791722E-4 | 1.0830116E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.92335117 | 2.0829032E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0013131002 | 0.0013177724 | 0.0021 | 1.5935984 | 0.0028157958 | 0.0015 | 0.013053683 | 0.01317984 | 0.0122 | 0.92565614 | 0.017916577 | 0.0048 |
6.1 | 2.5077732E-5 | 2.5172343E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5172343E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0747157E-4 | 1.0787703E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.92698145 | 2.0786624E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.001307681 | 0.0013126149 | 0.0021 | 1.59986 | 0.002810646 | 0.0015 | 0.013000126 | 0.013128875 | 0.0122 | 0.92924947 | 0.017865857 | 0.0048 |
6.2 | 2.494612E-5 | 2.505396E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.505396E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0690756E-4 | 1.0736971E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.9313613 | 2.0735897E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0013008224 | 0.0013064458 | 0.0021 | 1.6074146 | 0.002804486 | 0.0015 | 0.012932341 | 0.01306791 | 0.0122 | 0.9335846 | 0.017805185 | 0.0048 |
6.3 | 2.4733758E-5 | 2.487327E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.487327E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0599751E-4 | 1.0659539E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.93812686 | 2.0658474E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0012897556 | 0.0012970297 | 0.0021 | 1.619084 | 0.0027950841 | 0.0015 | 0.012822957 | 0.012974853 | 0.0121 | 0.9325732 | 0.017613871 | 0.0047 |
6.4 | 2.3237335E-5 | 2.3252047E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3252047E-5 | 0.0 | 9.958477E-5 | 9.964784E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0035341 | 1.9963787E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0012117702 | 0.0012125401 | 0.002 | 1.64943 | 0.0027107212 | 0.0015 | 0.012051838 | 0.012139459 | 0.0111 | 0.9143735 | 0.016584832 | 0.0045 |
6.5 | 2.2732203E-5 | 2.3066392E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3066392E-5 | 0.0 | 9.742009E-5 | 9.885224E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0116109 | 1.9884235E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0011854442 | 0.0012028643 | 0.002 | 1.6626979 | 0.00270106 | 0.0015 | 0.011791403 | 0.012043755 | 0.0111 | 0.9216395 | 0.016489558 | 0.0045 |
6.6 | 2.1319436E-5 | 2.1845752E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1845752E-5 | 0.0 | 9.136581E-5 | 9.3621304E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.068133 | 1.9361194E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.001111811 | 0.0011392457 | 0.002 | 1.7555476 | 0.0026375367 | 0.0015 | 0.011062649 | 0.0114142485 | 0.0105 | 0.9199029 | 0.015665166 | 0.0043 |
6.7 | 1.970802E-5 | 2.0464886E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0464886E-5 | 0.0 | 8.446021E-5 | 8.770372E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1402025 | 1.8769495E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.001027818 | 0.0010672715 | 0.002 | 1.8739376 | 0.0025656705 | 0.0015 | 0.010230771 | 0.010701619 | 0.01 | 0.934438 | 0.014955603 | 0.0043 |
6.8 | 1.8744462E-5 | 1.9972165E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9972165E-5 | 0.0 | 8.033094E-5 | 8.55922E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1683308 | 1.8558363E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 9.775903E-4 | 0.0010415885 | 0.002 | 1.9201441 | 0.002540026 | 0.0015 | 0.009733009 | 0.010447211 | 0.0096 | 0.91890556 | 0.014603333 | 0.0042 |
6.9 | 1.7559682E-5 | 1.902407E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.902407E-5 | 0.0 | 7.5253614E-5 | 8.1529186E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2265546 | 1.8152104E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 9.158276E-4 | 9.921673E-4 | 0.002 | 2.015789 | 0.002490679 | 0.0015 | 0.0091206245 | 0.009957534 | 0.0092 | 0.9239235 | 0.014016708 | 0.0041 |
7.0 | 1.6794445E-5 | 1.8286382E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8286382E-5 | 0.0 | 7.197421E-5 | 7.836787E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2760332 | 1.7836003E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 8.759337E-4 | 9.537125E-4 | 0.002 | 2.097068 | 0.002452282 | 0.0015 | 0.008724891 | 0.009576178 | 0.0089 | 0.92938954 | 0.013636916 | 0.0041 |
7.1 | 1.6337795E-5 | 1.7786813E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7786813E-5 | 0.0 | 7.0017246E-5 | 7.622698E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.3118714 | 1.7621936E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 8.521265E-4 | 9.276697E-4 | 0.002 | 2.1559398 | 0.002426278 | 0.0015 | 0.008488664 | 0.009317847 | 0.0086 | 0.92296 | 0.013379644 | 0.0041 |
7.2 | 1.5780008E-5 | 1.7235197E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7235197E-5 | 0.0 | 6.762685E-5 | 7.386305E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.3538569 | 1.7385566E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 8.2304585E-4 | 8.989129E-4 | 0.002 | 2.2249098 | 0.0023975645 | 0.0015 | 0.008200042 | 0.009032569 | 0.0084 | 0.929968 | 0.013095535 | 0.0041 |
7.3 | 1.5058865E-5 | 1.6687756E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6687756E-5 | 0.0 | 6.45364E-5 | 7.1517E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.3982688 | 1.7150985E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 7.854473E-4 | 8.7037287E-4 | 0.002 | 2.2978656 | 0.0023690674 | 0.0015 | 0.00782677 | 0.008749014 | 0.0083 | 0.9486784 | 0.012714017 | 0.004 |
7.4 | 1.4887923E-5 | 1.6523503E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6523503E-5 | 0.0 | 6.380382E-5 | 7.08131E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4121681 | 1.7080602E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 7.7653467E-4 | 8.6180965E-4 | 0.0019 | 2.2046633 | 0.002260603 | 0.0014 | 0.0077382675 | 0.0086638415 | 0.0081 | 0.9349202 | 0.012530052 | 0.0039 |
7.5 | 1.4509299E-5 | 1.6115027E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6115027E-5 | 0.0 | 6.218123E-5 | 6.906258E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.447962 | 1.6905568E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 7.567935E-4 | 8.4051373E-4 | 0.0018 | 2.1415474 | 0.0021394212 | 0.0013 | 0.0075422134 | 0.0084519 | 0.0079 | 0.934701 | 0.012120629 | 0.0037 |
7.6 | 1.2756717E-5 | 1.41163155E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.41163155E-5 | 0.0 | 5.4670498E-5 | 6.0497096E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.652972 | 1.6049105E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.6541E-4 | 7.3630386E-4 | 0.0015 | 2.0372024 | 0.0017355676 | 0.001 | 0.006634211 | 0.007415429 | 0.0066 | 0.8900361 | 0.010194666 | 0.0028 |
7.7 | 1.0328985E-5 | 1.15219445E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.15219445E-5 | 0.0 | 4.4266326E-5 | 4.937883E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.937883E-5 | 0.0 | 5.388092E-4 | 6.010218E-4 | 0.0012 | 1.9965998 | 0.001300601 | 7.0E-4 | 0.0053750467 | 0.0060705696 | 0.0051 | 0.8401189 | 0.007859643 | 0.0018 |
7.8 | 7.0306583E-6 | 8.949078E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.949078E-6 | 0.0 | 3.0131043E-5 | 3.8352628E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.8352628E-5 | 0.0 | 3.667837E-4 | 4.6684337E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.4994322 | 7.6670334E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.003661789 | 0.0047211903 | 0.0039 | 0.82606286 | 0.0061145807 | 0.0014 |
7.9 | 4.060633E-6 | 5.4943594E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.4943594E-6 | 0.0 | 1.7402595E-5 | 2.3547042E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3547042E-5 | 0.0 | 2.11856E-4 | 2.866476E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 1.7443019 | 4.865903E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0021165414 | 0.002899386 | 0.0027 | 0.9312317 | 0.0037967765 | 9.0E-4 |
8.0 | 1.6729537E-6 | 2.087034E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.087034E-6 | 0.0 | 7.169782E-6 | 8.944402E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.944402E-6 | 0.0 | 8.7288594E-5 | 1.0889268E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.8366706 | 1.0889268E-4 | 0.0 | 8.7254314E-4 | 0.0011021082 | 9.0E-4 | 0.81661683 | 0.0015016673 | 4.0E-4 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 3.1624552E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1624552E-7 | 0.0 | 1.5742813E-6 | 1.3553373E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3553373E-6 | 0.0 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.6501122E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 6.0601935 | 1.6501122E-5 | 0.0 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.6715302E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 2.3930168 | 3.671196E-4 | 2.0E-4 |
Blackwater
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0708583E-5 | 3.3100958E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3100958E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3160157E-4 | 1.4185431E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4185431E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0016010714 | 0.0017258448 | 0.0017 | 0.98502487 | 0.0029237738 | 0.0012 | 0.015895851 | 0.01713826 | 0.0135 | 0.78771126 | 0.021855995 | 0.0048 |
6.1 | 3.0708583E-5 | 3.3100958E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3100958E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3160157E-4 | 1.4185431E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4185431E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0016010714 | 0.0017258448 | 0.0017 | 0.98502487 | 0.0029237738 | 0.0012 | 0.015895851 | 0.01713826 | 0.0135 | 0.78771126 | 0.021855995 | 0.0048 |
6.2 | 1.1707779E-5 | 1.2546903E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2546903E-5 | 0.0 | 5.017523E-5 | 5.3771386E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.3771386E-5 | 0.0 | 6.107122E-4 | 6.544796E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 1.2223452 | 0.0011541523 | 5.0E-4 | 0.006090366 | 0.006526493 | 0.0053 | 0.8120747 | 0.008215398 | 0.0017 |
6.3 | 1.1707779E-5 | 1.2546903E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2546903E-5 | 0.0 | 5.017523E-5 | 5.3771386E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.3771386E-5 | 0.0 | 6.107122E-4 | 6.544796E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 1.2223452 | 0.0011541523 | 5.0E-4 | 0.006090366 | 0.006526493 | 0.0053 | 0.8120747 | 0.008215398 | 0.0017 |
6.4 | 7.929244E-6 | 8.481266E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.481266E-6 | 0.0 | 3.3982033E-5 | 3.6347803E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.6347803E-5 | 0.0 | 4.136527E-4 | 4.4244868E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.90405965 | 5.424044E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0041288356 | 0.0044160835 | 0.0034 | 0.769913 | 0.0054116673 | 0.001 |
6.5 | 5.8832115E-6 | 6.2868444E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.2868444E-6 | 0.0 | 2.521352E-5 | 2.6943355E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6943355E-5 | 0.0 | 3.0693135E-4 | 3.2798853E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.2195549 | 4.2795573E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0030650778 | 0.0032752978 | 0.0029 | 0.8854157 | 0.00417235 | 9.0E-4 |
6.6 | 5.8832115E-6 | 6.2868444E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.2868444E-6 | 0.0 | 2.521352E-5 | 2.6943355E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6943355E-5 | 0.0 | 3.0693135E-4 | 3.2798853E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.2195549 | 4.2795573E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0030650778 | 0.0032752978 | 0.0029 | 0.8854157 | 0.00417235 | 9.0E-4 |
6.7 | 3.0715053E-6 | 3.2819112E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2819112E-6 | 0.0 | 1.3163528E-5 | 1.4065264E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4065264E-5 | 0.0 | 1.6025416E-4 | 1.712323E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.7520059 | 1.712323E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0016013865 | 0.0017111182 | 0.002 | 1.1688263 | 0.0022102627 | 5.0E-4 |
6.8 | 2.2722281E-6 | 2.4290855E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4290855E-6 | 0.0 | 9.738084E-6 | 1.041033E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.041033E-5 | 0.0 | 1.1855473E-4 | 1.2673931E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 2.3670635 | 1.2673931E-4 | 0.0 | 0.001184915 | 0.0012667605 | 0.0016 | 1.2630643 | 0.0015663805 | 3.0E-4 |
6.9 | 9.952399E-7 | 1.0654977E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0654977E-6 | 0.0 | 4.265307E-6 | 4.5664137E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.5664137E-6 | 0.0 | 5.1928873E-5 | 5.5595185E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 3.5974338 | 5.5595185E-5 | 0.0 | 5.191674E-4 | 5.558634E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 1.4392025 | 7.557522E-4 | 2.0E-4 |
7.0 | 4.7385504E-7 | 5.0762753E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0762753E-7 | 0.0 | 2.0308057E-6 | 2.1755466E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1755466E-6 | 0.0 | 2.4724779E-5 | 2.648728E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.775397 | 2.648728E-5 | 0.0 | 2.4722028E-4 | 2.648728E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.1326191 | 3.6484632E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
Sargent 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.7327867E-5 | 3.6676654E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 5.45306 | 3.6676654E-5 | 0.0 | 1.5996677E-4 | 1.5717841E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.2724394 | 1.5717841E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0019458556 | 0.0019123807 | 0.0019 | 0.99352604 | 0.002611042 | 7.0E-4 | 0.01928905 | 0.01903168 | 0.0184 | 0.9668091 | 0.023740327 | 0.0048 |
6.1 | 2.3771476E-5 | 1.8493098E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 5.4074225 | 1.8493098E-5 | 0.0 | 1.01873775E-4 | 7.925422E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2617624 | 7.925422E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0012396075 | 9.6457405E-4 | 9.0E-4 | 0.9330543 | 0.0010644776 | 1.0E-4 | 0.012327154 | 0.009643748 | 0.0088 | 0.91250825 | 0.011921568 | 0.0023 |
6.2 | 2.3112721E-5 | 1.7724202E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 5.642003 | 1.7724202E-5 | 0.0 | 9.9050754E-5 | 7.595915E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.3164972 | 7.595915E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0012052758 | 9.244907E-4 | 9.0E-4 | 0.973509 | 0.0010243983 | 1.0E-4 | 0.011987597 | 0.009246272 | 0.0086 | 0.9301046 | 0.01142593 | 0.0022 |
6.3 | 1.728509E-5 | 1.0469156E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 9.5518675 | 1.0469156E-5 | 0.0 | 7.407686E-5 | 4.486731E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.228794 | 4.486731E-5 | 0.0 | 9.015125E-4 | 5.46169E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.91546756 | 5.46169E-4 | 0.0 | 0.008978641 | 0.005484853 | 0.0047 | 0.8569054 | 0.006678271 | 0.0012 |
6.4 | 1.48395575E-5 | 7.4648765E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 13.39607 | 7.4648765E-6 | 0.0 | 6.3596555E-5 | 3.199215E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.1257668 | 3.199215E-5 | 0.0 | 7.7401294E-4 | 3.8947247E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.0270302 | 3.8947247E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0077132257 | 0.0039237007 | 0.0034 | 0.8665289 | 0.0050193844 | 0.0011 |
6.5 | 1.4358964E-5 | 6.9034627E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 14.485484 | 6.9034627E-6 | 0.0 | 6.1536964E-5 | 2.9586148E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.37996 | 2.9586148E-5 | 0.0 | 7.48955E-4 | 3.6018935E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.110527 | 3.6018935E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0074643586 | 0.0036318526 | 0.0032 | 0.881093 | 0.004528584 | 9.0E-4 |
6.6 | 9.772591E-6 | 1.3801209E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3801209E-6 | 0.0 | 4.188186E-5 | 5.9147906E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.9147906E-6 | 0.0 | 5.097923E-4 | 7.2010225E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.2010225E-5 | 0.0 | 0.005086244 | 7.520928E-4 | 0.001 | 1.3296231 | 0.0012517167 | 5.0E-4 |
6.7 | 9.752745E-6 | 1.3588092E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3588092E-6 | 0.0 | 4.179681E-5 | 5.823455E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.823455E-6 | 0.0 | 5.0875737E-4 | 7.0898284E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0898284E-5 | 0.0 | 0.005075942 | 7.409809E-4 | 0.001 | 1.3495624 | 0.0012406104 | 5.0E-4 |
6.8 | 9.608213E-6 | 1.2425566E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2425566E-6 | 0.0 | 4.1177405E-5 | 5.3252315E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.3252315E-6 | 0.0 | 5.012196E-4 | 6.4832784E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.4832784E-5 | 0.0 | 0.005000906 | 6.800625E-4 | 9.0E-4 | 1.3234076 | 0.0011797225 | 5.0E-4 |
6.9 | 9.427164E-6 | 1.127087E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.127087E-6 | 0.0 | 4.04015E-5 | 4.830364E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.830364E-6 | 0.0 | 4.9177726E-4 | 5.8808113E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.8808113E-5 | 0.0 | 0.004906904 | 6.191662E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.1305528 | 0.0010189185 | 4.0E-4 |
7.0 | 9.247601E-6 | 9.933524E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.933524E-7 | 0.0 | 3.9631974E-5 | 4.2572174E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.2572174E-6 | 0.0 | 4.8241246E-4 | 5.1830408E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.1830408E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0048136655 | 5.4892275E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.2752249 | 9.487032E-4 | 4.0E-4 |
7.1 | 8.995454E-6 | 8.3249694E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.3249694E-7 | 0.0 | 3.8551374E-5 | 3.5678393E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5678393E-6 | 0.0 | 4.6926187E-4 | 4.343759E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.343759E-5 | 0.0 | 0.004682722 | 4.641086E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.5082676 | 8.6392293E-4 | 4.0E-4 |
7.2 | 8.520861E-6 | 5.3238335E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.3238335E-7 | 0.0 | 3.6517464E-5 | 2.281641E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.281641E-6 | 0.0 | 4.445094E-4 | 2.7778631E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7778631E-5 | 0.0 | 0.004436213 | 3.058189E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.3079636 | 4.057883E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.3 | 8.043592E-6 | 3.4990975E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.4990975E-7 | 0.0 | 3.4472083E-5 | 1.4996124E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4996124E-6 | 0.0 | 4.196168E-4 | 1.8257628E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8257628E-5 | 0.0 | 0.004188253 | 2.0929541E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.4333807 | 3.0927447E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.4 | 7.662316E-6 | 2.968094E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.968094E-7 | 0.0 | 3.2838085E-5 | 1.2720396E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2720396E-6 | 0.0 | 3.9973034E-4 | 1.5486974E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5486974E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0039901207 | 1.7976371E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.1125716 | 2.7974573E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.5 | 6.961638E-6 | 2.3906216E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3906216E-7 | 0.0 | 2.9835252E-5 | 1.0245517E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0245517E-6 | 0.0 | 3.6318362E-4 | 1.2473846E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2473846E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0036259065 | 1.461523E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.3684355 | 2.461377E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.6 | 6.282332E-6 | 1.7151976E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7151976E-7 | 0.0 | 2.6924003E-5 | 7.350845E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.350845E-7 | 0.0 | 3.2775043E-4 | 8.949617E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.949617E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0032726745 | 1.06669184E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.8749558 | 2.0665851E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.7 | 4.934408E-6 | 5.088603E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.088603E-8 | 0.0 | 2.114729E-5 | 2.1808296E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1808296E-7 | 0.0 | 2.5743784E-4 | 2.6551568E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6551568E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0025713982 | 3.3146618E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3146618E-5 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.373212E-6 | 3.5880674E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5880674E-8 | 0.0 | 1.0170869E-5 | 1.5377431E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5377431E-7 | 0.0 | 1.238233E-4 | 1.8722006E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8722006E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0012375432 | 2.4616835E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4616835E-5 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.8227792E-6 | 3.125148E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.125148E-8 | 0.0 | 7.811887E-6 | 1.3393492E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3393492E-7 | 0.0 | 9.510558E-5 | 1.6306564E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6306564E-6 | 0.0 | 9.5064886E-4 | 2.1851753E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1851753E-5 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.9095137E-7 | 1.34596405E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.34596405E-8 | 0.0 | 8.1836276E-7 | 5.7684176E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.7684176E-8 | 0.0 | 9.963521E-6 | 7.023046E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.023046E-7 | 0.0 | 9.963074E-5 | 8.5837855E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.5837855E-6 | 0.0 |
Bullion Mountains
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6420427E-5 | 1.4695344E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4695344E-5 | 0.0 | 7.037136E-5 | 6.297875E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.297875E-5 | 0.0 | 8.5643446E-4 | 7.665348E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.9132005 | 0.0012661516 | 5.0E-4 | 0.008531413 | 0.007642703 | 0.0081 | 1.0598344 | 0.012306782 | 0.0047 |
6.1 | 1.6420427E-5 | 1.4695344E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4695344E-5 | 0.0 | 7.037136E-5 | 6.297875E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.297875E-5 | 0.0 | 8.5643446E-4 | 7.665348E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.9132005 | 0.0012661516 | 5.0E-4 | 0.008531413 | 0.007642703 | 0.0081 | 1.0598344 | 0.012306782 | 0.0047 |
6.2 | 1.6420427E-5 | 1.4695344E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4695344E-5 | 0.0 | 7.037136E-5 | 6.297875E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.297875E-5 | 0.0 | 8.5643446E-4 | 7.665348E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.9132005 | 0.0012661516 | 5.0E-4 | 0.008531413 | 0.007642703 | 0.0081 | 1.0598344 | 0.012306782 | 0.0047 |
6.3 | 1.2046778E-5 | 9.8645905E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.8645905E-6 | 0.0 | 5.1628023E-5 | 4.227626E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.227626E-5 | 0.0 | 6.283899E-4 | 5.146151E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 1.1659199 | 9.144093E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0062661595 | 0.005136517 | 0.0055 | 1.0707645 | 0.008618539 | 0.0035 |
6.4 | 1.2046778E-5 | 9.8645905E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.8645905E-6 | 0.0 | 5.1628023E-5 | 4.227626E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.227626E-5 | 0.0 | 6.283899E-4 | 5.146151E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 1.1659199 | 9.144093E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0062661595 | 0.005136517 | 0.0055 | 1.0707645 | 0.008618539 | 0.0035 |
6.5 | 1.0244343E-5 | 7.88132E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.88132E-6 | 0.0 | 4.390359E-5 | 3.3776763E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3776763E-5 | 0.0 | 5.343951E-4 | 4.111752E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 1.2160267 | 8.110107E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.005331118 | 0.004106176 | 0.0045 | 1.0959101 | 0.006894679 | 0.0028 |
6.6 | 9.605408E-6 | 7.1792206E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.1792206E-6 | 0.0 | 4.1165385E-5 | 3.076784E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.076784E-5 | 0.0 | 5.010733E-4 | 3.7455442E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 1.3349195 | 7.744046E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.00499945 | 0.0037412292 | 0.004 | 1.0691673 | 0.00613225 | 0.0024 |
6.7 | 8.60418E-6 | 6.125515E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.125515E-6 | 0.0 | 3.687454E-5 | 2.6252053E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6252053E-5 | 0.0 | 4.48855E-4 | 3.1959137E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 1.5644978 | 7.194635E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.004479495 | 0.0031932304 | 0.0034 | 1.0647525 | 0.0053862054 | 0.0022 |
6.8 | 5.187994E-6 | 2.5639572E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5639572E-6 | 0.0 | 2.223407E-5 | 1.0988365E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0988365E-5 | 0.0 | 2.7066618E-4 | 1.3377912E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.4950016 | 3.3375237E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0027033675 | 0.0013373777 | 0.0013 | 0.9720515 | 0.0023360404 | 0.001 |
6.9 | 4.5302368E-6 | 2.3450157E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3450157E-6 | 0.0 | 1.9415156E-5 | 1.0050051E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0050051E-5 | 0.0 | 2.3635388E-4 | 1.2235646E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.6345682 | 3.22332E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0023610266 | 0.0012232803 | 0.001 | 0.81747407 | 0.0019224241 | 7.0E-4 |
7.0 | 3.431668E-6 | 1.6887847E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6887847E-6 | 0.0 | 1.4707065E-5 | 7.2376483E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.2376483E-6 | 0.0 | 1.7904381E-4 | 8.811837E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1348372 | 1.8810955E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0017889962 | 8.811837E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.5674186 | 0.0012808312 | 4.0E-4 |
Gravel Hills-Harper Lk
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0679566E-5 | 3.1472664E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1472664E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3147724E-4 | 1.3487709E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3487709E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0015995599 | 0.0016411088 | 0.002 | 1.2186882 | 0.0024397958 | 8.0E-4 | 0.015880952 | 0.016311478 | 0.0138 | 0.84603006 | 0.020934813 | 0.0047 |
6.1 | 3.0679566E-5 | 3.1472664E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1472664E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3147724E-4 | 1.3487709E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3487709E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0015995599 | 0.0016411088 | 0.002 | 1.2186882 | 0.0024397958 | 8.0E-4 | 0.015880952 | 0.016311478 | 0.0138 | 0.84603006 | 0.020934813 | 0.0047 |
6.2 | 1.514536E-5 | 1.3637958E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3637958E-5 | 0.0 | 6.490707E-5 | 5.844715E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.844715E-5 | 0.0 | 7.8995706E-4 | 7.113736E-4 | 9.0E-4 | 1.265158 | 0.001211018 | 5.0E-4 | 0.007871548 | 0.007092166 | 0.0054 | 0.76140344 | 0.008978691 | 0.0019 |
6.3 | 1.514536E-5 | 1.3637958E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3637958E-5 | 0.0 | 6.490707E-5 | 5.844715E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.844715E-5 | 0.0 | 7.8995706E-4 | 7.113736E-4 | 9.0E-4 | 1.265158 | 0.001211018 | 5.0E-4 | 0.007871548 | 0.007092166 | 0.0054 | 0.76140344 | 0.008978691 | 0.0019 |
6.4 | 1.2532521E-5 | 1.0691693E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0691693E-5 | 0.0 | 5.37097E-5 | 4.582077E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.582077E-5 | 0.0 | 6.537194E-4 | 5.577309E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.8964897 | 8.575636E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0065179965 | 0.0055639017 | 0.0035 | 0.62905496 | 0.0066577815 | 0.0011 |
6.5 | 1.1094058E-5 | 9.085293E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.085293E-6 | 0.0 | 4.7545094E-5 | 3.893641E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.893641E-5 | 0.0 | 5.787078E-4 | 4.7395175E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.6329759 | 6.7385694E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0057720304 | 0.0047298167 | 0.0029 | 0.6131316 | 0.005426506 | 7.0E-4 |
6.6 | 9.688328E-6 | 7.533003E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.533003E-6 | 0.0 | 4.1520743E-5 | 3.2283915E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2283915E-5 | 0.0 | 5.053978E-4 | 3.9298832E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.7633815 | 5.929097E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0050424994 | 0.0039231903 | 0.0026 | 0.6627259 | 0.0045208363 | 6.0E-4 |
6.7 | 8.974824E-6 | 6.750571E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.750571E-6 | 0.0 | 3.8462964E-5 | 2.893071E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.893071E-5 | 0.0 | 4.6818596E-4 | 3.5217666E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.8518452 | 5.5210624E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.004672008 | 0.0035164068 | 0.0025 | 0.71095306 | 0.0041142968 | 6.0E-4 |
6.8 | 7.4780046E-6 | 5.1170555E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.1170555E-6 | 0.0 | 3.20482E-5 | 2.1930062E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1930062E-5 | 0.0 | 3.9011694E-4 | 2.6696717E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.37457788 | 2.6696717E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0038943281 | 0.0026666028 | 0.0018 | 0.67501616 | 0.002965803 | 3.0E-4 |
6.9 | 6.3409307E-6 | 3.9081633E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.9081633E-6 | 0.0 | 2.7175134E-5 | 1.6749169E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6749169E-5 | 0.0 | 3.3080703E-4 | 2.0390305E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.49042916 | 2.0390305E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0033031502 | 0.0020372577 | 0.0015 | 0.73628384 | 0.0023366467 | 3.0E-4 |
7.0 | 5.1239335E-6 | 2.6063155E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6063155E-6 | 0.0 | 2.195953E-5 | 1.1169877E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1169877E-5 | 0.0 | 2.6732447E-4 | 1.3598503E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.73537505 | 1.3598503E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0026700313 | 0.0013590434 | 0.0011 | 0.8093928 | 0.0015587716 | 2.0E-4 |
7.1 | 4.438899E-6 | 2.0988566E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0988566E-6 | 0.0 | 1.9023713E-5 | 8.99507E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.99507E-6 | 0.0 | 2.315891E-4 | 1.09509696E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.91316116 | 1.09509696E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002313479 | 0.0010945792 | 0.001 | 0.9135931 | 0.0012943603 | 2.0E-4 |
7.2 | 3.50367E-6 | 1.2618497E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2618497E-6 | 0.0 | 1.5015643E-5 | 5.4079164E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.4079164E-6 | 0.0 | 1.8280011E-4 | 6.583948E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5188456 | 6.583948E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0018264982 | 6.582079E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.0634937 | 8.5807627E-4 | 2.0E-4 |
7.3 | 2.561638E-6 | 7.120912E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.120912E-7 | 0.0 | 1.0978401E-5 | 3.0518158E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0518158E-6 | 0.0 | 1.3365384E-4 | 3.7155245E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.69141 | 3.7155245E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0013357349 | 3.7149232E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 1.6151074 | 4.714552E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.4 | 2.0368864E-6 | 5.306253E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.306253E-7 | 0.0 | 8.729483E-6 | 2.2741065E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2741065E-6 | 0.0 | 1.06276275E-4 | 2.76869E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.6118164 | 2.76869E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010622547 | 2.7683505E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.4449037 | 3.7680735E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.5 | 1.1681728E-6 | 3.6039168E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.6039168E-7 | 0.0 | 5.0064455E-6 | 1.5445349E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5445349E-6 | 0.0 | 6.0951766E-5 | 1.8804556E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8804556E-5 | 0.0 | 6.093505E-4 | 1.8803011E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5318297 | 1.8803011E-4 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.3154387E-7 | 7.120964E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.120964E-8 | 0.0 | 5.6375933E-7 | 3.0518413E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0518413E-7 | 0.0 | 6.863748E-6 | 3.7156121E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.7156121E-6 | 0.0 | 6.863536E-5 | 3.715566E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.69138 | 3.715566E-5 | 0.0 |
Pisgah-Bullion Mtn-Mesquite Lk
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0240792E-5 | 2.4096253E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4096253E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2959696E-4 | 1.0326614E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.9683716 | 1.0326614E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0015767008 | 0.0012566408 | 7.0E-4 | 0.55704063 | 0.0016561382 | 4.0E-4 | 0.015655609 | 0.012505378 | 0.0113 | 0.9036113 | 0.017146602 | 0.0047 |
6.1 | 3.0240792E-5 | 2.4096253E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4096253E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2959696E-4 | 1.0326614E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.9683716 | 1.0326614E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0015767008 | 0.0012566408 | 7.0E-4 | 0.55704063 | 0.0016561382 | 4.0E-4 | 0.015655609 | 0.012505378 | 0.0113 | 0.9036113 | 0.017146602 | 0.0047 |
6.2 | 3.0240792E-5 | 2.4096253E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4096253E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2959696E-4 | 1.0326614E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.9683716 | 1.0326614E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0015767008 | 0.0012566408 | 7.0E-4 | 0.55704063 | 0.0016561382 | 4.0E-4 | 0.015655609 | 0.012505378 | 0.0113 | 0.9036113 | 0.017146602 | 0.0047 |
6.3 | 2.0498217E-5 | 1.3640496E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3640496E-5 | 0.0 | 8.784654E-5 | 5.845805E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.845805E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010690069 | 7.1151054E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.70273024 | 0.0010112971 | 3.0E-4 | 0.01063879 | 0.007093952 | 0.0062 | 0.8739839 | 0.010271251 | 0.0032 |
6.4 | 2.0498217E-5 | 1.3640496E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3640496E-5 | 0.0 | 8.784654E-5 | 5.845805E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.845805E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010690069 | 7.1151054E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.70273024 | 0.0010112971 | 3.0E-4 | 0.01063879 | 0.007093952 | 0.0062 | 0.8739839 | 0.010271251 | 0.0032 |
6.5 | 1.7316182E-5 | 1.0478719E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0478719E-5 | 0.0 | 7.42101E-5 | 4.4908076E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.4908076E-5 | 0.0 | 9.0313336E-4 | 5.4662867E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.54881865 | 6.46574E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.008994718 | 0.005453837 | 0.0046 | 0.84344286 | 0.007840748 | 0.0024 |
6.6 | 1.5251077E-5 | 8.415433E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.415433E-6 | 0.0 | 6.536012E-5 | 3.606568E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.606568E-5 | 0.0 | 7.9546886E-4 | 4.3901842E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.45556176 | 5.3897453E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.007926274 | 0.004382229 | 0.0034 | 0.7758609 | 0.006174341 | 0.0018 |
6.7 | 1.2997425E-5 | 6.412142E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.412142E-6 | 0.0 | 5.570206E-5 | 2.7480346E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7480346E-5 | 0.0 | 6.7796157E-4 | 3.345265E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.59786 | 4.3449303E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0067589693 | 0.0033406895 | 0.0027 | 0.8082164 | 0.0047360123 | 0.0014 |
6.8 | 1.035386E-5 | 4.334024E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.334024E-6 | 0.0 | 4.437293E-5 | 1.8574263E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8574263E-5 | 0.0 | 5.401065E-4 | 2.2611905E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.88448983 | 3.2609643E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0053879567 | 0.0022589767 | 0.002 | 0.88535666 | 0.0031569435 | 9.0E-4 |
6.9 | 8.816252E-6 | 3.5812868E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5812868E-6 | 0.0 | 3.778339E-5 | 1.5348285E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5348285E-5 | 0.0 | 4.5991567E-4 | 1.8684994E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8684994E-4 | 0.0 | 0.00458965 | 0.0018669867 | 0.0016 | 0.8569959 | 0.0025656798 | 7.0E-4 |
7.0 | 6.8232207E-6 | 2.5680085E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5680085E-6 | 0.0 | 2.9242048E-5 | 1.1005706E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1005706E-5 | 0.0 | 3.5596377E-4 | 1.3398656E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3398656E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0035539411 | 0.0013390888 | 0.0011 | 0.82145417 | 0.0017385532 | 4.0E-4 |
7.1 | 5.837013E-6 | 2.2278264E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2278264E-6 | 0.0 | 2.501553E-5 | 9.547794E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.547794E-6 | 0.0 | 3.045215E-4 | 1.1623849E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1623849E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0030410455 | 0.0011618059 | 0.001 | 0.8607289 | 0.0015613412 | 4.0E-4 |
7.2 | 4.278052E-6 | 1.6278752E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6278752E-6 | 0.0 | 1.833438E-5 | 6.9765906E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.9765906E-6 | 0.0 | 2.231982E-4 | 8.493692E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.493692E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0022297418 | 8.4906776E-4 | 9.0E-4 | 1.0599861 | 0.0012487281 | 4.0E-4 |
7.3 | 1.8803692E-6 | 8.3462135E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.3462135E-7 | 0.0 | 8.0587E-6 | 3.5769444E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5769444E-6 | 0.0 | 9.811026E-5 | 4.3548574E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.3548574E-5 | 0.0 | 9.806695E-4 | 4.354149E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 1.1483301 | 6.3532783E-4 | 2.0E-4 |
San Diego Trough south
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.279495E-5 | 1.04307226E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.04307226E-4 | 0.0 | 3.5478722E-4 | 4.469593E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.223734 | 4.469593E-4 | 0.0 | 0.004310982 | 0.0054286052 | 0.002 | 0.36841875 | 0.005726977 | 3.0E-4 | 0.042283054 | 0.05301837 | 0.0308 | 0.58093077 | 0.056900993 | 0.0041 |
6.1 | 4.6961468E-5 | 5.7755435E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.7755435E-5 | 0.0 | 2.0124791E-4 | 2.4750078E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.40403914 | 2.4750078E-4 | 0.0 | 0.00244744 | 0.0030092376 | 0.0011 | 0.36554107 | 0.0032086358 | 2.0E-4 | 0.024206603 | 0.029692695 | 0.017 | 0.5725314 | 0.03173034 | 0.0021 |
6.2 | 3.5079658E-5 | 4.2159343E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.2159343E-5 | 0.0 | 1.5033272E-4 | 1.8067063E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5534934 | 1.8067063E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0018287642 | 0.002197466 | 8.0E-4 | 0.3640557 | 0.0022972464 | 1.0E-4 | 0.018137876 | 0.02175977 | 0.0122 | 0.56066763 | 0.023227131 | 0.0015 |
6.3 | 3.5079658E-5 | 4.2159343E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.2159343E-5 | 0.0 | 1.5033272E-4 | 1.8067063E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5534934 | 1.8067063E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0018287642 | 0.002197466 | 8.0E-4 | 0.3640557 | 0.0022972464 | 1.0E-4 | 0.018137876 | 0.02175977 | 0.0122 | 0.56066763 | 0.023227131 | 0.0015 |
6.4 | 2.7196904E-5 | 3.209867E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.209867E-5 | 0.0 | 1.16552954E-4 | 1.3755856E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.72696316 | 1.3755856E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0014181085 | 0.0016734999 | 7.0E-4 | 0.41828507 | 0.0017733326 | 1.0E-4 | 0.014090929 | 0.016610572 | 0.0084 | 0.505702 | 0.017495623 | 9.0E-4 |
6.5 | 2.5584688E-5 | 3.0112242E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0112242E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0964406E-4 | 1.2904615E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.7749166 | 1.2904615E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0013340989 | 0.0015700158 | 7.0E-4 | 0.44585538 | 0.0016698588 | 1.0E-4 | 0.013261181 | 0.015590781 | 0.0077 | 0.4938816 | 0.016476749 | 9.0E-4 |
6.6 | 2.2034688E-5 | 2.575136E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.575136E-5 | 0.0 | 9.443096E-5 | 1.1035835E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.90613896 | 1.1035835E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011490905 | 0.0013427921 | 6.0E-4 | 0.44683015 | 0.0014426578 | 1.0E-4 | 0.011431668 | 0.013347778 | 0.0066 | 0.49446434 | 0.0141370995 | 8.0E-4 |
6.7 | 1.9394853E-5 | 2.2549064E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2549064E-5 | 0.0 | 8.311815E-5 | 9.6635296E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0348186 | 9.6635296E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010114936 | 0.0011759049 | 4.0E-4 | 0.34016356 | 0.0011759049 | 0.0 | 0.01006902 | 0.011697533 | 0.006 | 0.51292866 | 0.012290514 | 6.0E-4 |
6.8 | 1.7615313E-5 | 2.0409623E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0409623E-5 | 0.0 | 7.549201E-5 | 8.7466906E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1432896 | 8.7466906E-5 | 0.0 | 9.1872766E-4 | 0.0010643937 | 4.0E-4 | 0.37580082 | 0.0010643937 | 0.0 | 0.009149387 | 0.010593523 | 0.0056 | 0.52862483 | 0.011088227 | 5.0E-4 |
6.9 | 1.5621423E-5 | 1.8031646E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8031646E-5 | 0.0 | 6.6947236E-5 | 7.727621E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2940594 | 7.727621E-5 | 0.0 | 8.147778E-4 | 9.404353E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.42533496 | 9.404353E-4 | 0.0 | 0.008117969 | 0.009365001 | 0.0051 | 0.5445809 | 0.009860318 | 5.0E-4 |
7.0 | 1.3444376E-5 | 1.5452673E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5452673E-5 | 0.0 | 5.7617483E-5 | 6.622408E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5100248 | 6.622408E-5 | 0.0 | 7.0126704E-4 | 8.059827E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.4962886 | 8.059827E-4 | 0.0 | 0.006990582 | 0.008030929 | 0.0044 | 0.54788184 | 0.008427716 | 4.0E-4 |
7.1 | 1.2268361E-5 | 1.4077152E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4077152E-5 | 0.0 | 5.2577634E-5 | 6.0329272E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.6575701 | 6.0329272E-5 | 0.0 | 6.399447E-4 | 7.34264E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.5447632 | 7.34264E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0063810493 | 0.0073186844 | 0.0039 | 0.53288263 | 0.0076164887 | 3.0E-4 |
7.2 | 1.0922655E-5 | 1.2517193E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2517193E-5 | 0.0 | 4.681054E-5 | 5.3644024E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.8641405 | 5.3644024E-5 | 0.0 | 5.697693E-4 | 6.5292284E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.4594724 | 6.5292284E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0056831064 | 0.0065103257 | 0.0037 | 0.56832796 | 0.0068083727 | 3.0E-4 |
7.3 | 6.1106753E-6 | 6.9307744E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.9307744E-6 | 0.0 | 2.6188345E-5 | 2.9702984E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.3666651 | 2.9702984E-5 | 0.0 | 3.1879646E-4 | 3.6157423E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.8297052 | 3.6157423E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0031833951 | 0.0036099046 | 0.0021 | 0.5817328 | 0.0038091827 | 2.0E-4 |
7.4 | 4.933187E-6 | 5.5910364E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.5910364E-6 | 0.0 | 2.114206E-5 | 2.3961367E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.1733847 | 2.3961367E-5 | 0.0 | 2.5737417E-4 | 2.91691E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.0284857 | 2.91691E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002570763 | 0.0029131223 | 0.0018 | 0.6178937 | 0.0031125399 | 2.0E-4 |
7.5 | 1.7489613E-6 | 1.9701774E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9701774E-6 | 0.0 | 7.495527E-6 | 8.4435915E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.4435915E-6 | 0.0 | 9.125422E-5 | 1.02796104E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.9455991 | 1.02796104E-4 | 0.0 | 9.1216754E-4 | 0.0010275076 | 8.0E-4 | 0.7785831 | 0.0011274049 | 1.0E-4 |
7.6 | 1.6988751E-7 | 1.753494E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.753494E-7 | 0.0 | 7.2808916E-7 | 7.5149717E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.5149717E-7 | 0.0 | 8.864449E-6 | 9.149442E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.149442E-6 | 0.0 | 8.8640954E-5 | 9.149085E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0930055 | 9.149085E-5 | 0.0 |
Mission (connected) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.8735573E-5 | 2.692323E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.692323E-5 | 0.0 | 8.029284E-5 | 1.1537881E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.7334206 | 2.1536727E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 9.771269E-4 | 0.0014037342 | 0.0025 | 1.780964 | 0.0021027515 | 7.0E-4 | 0.009728416 | 0.013957432 | 0.0157 | 1.1248487 | 0.018000206 | 0.0041 |
6.1 | 1.7515964E-5 | 2.5564199E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5564199E-5 | 0.0 | 7.506625E-5 | 1.09554894E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.91278446 | 1.09554894E-4 | 0.0 | 9.135484E-4 | 0.0013329166 | 0.0015 | 1.1253518 | 0.0019321168 | 6.0E-4 | 0.009098019 | 0.013257892 | 0.011 | 0.8296945 | 0.01602077 | 0.0028 |
6.2 | 1.6486343E-5 | 2.4408591E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4408591E-5 | 0.0 | 7.065384E-5 | 1.04602696E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.9559983 | 1.04602696E-4 | 0.0 | 8.5987104E-4 | 0.001272696 | 0.0013 | 1.0214537 | 0.0017720596 | 5.0E-4 | 0.008565514 | 0.012662735 | 0.01 | 0.7897188 | 0.015131079 | 0.0025 |
6.3 | 1.5229385E-5 | 2.2837155E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2837155E-5 | 0.0 | 6.526716E-5 | 9.78685E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0217792 | 9.78685E-5 | 0.0 | 7.9433795E-4 | 0.0011907999 | 0.001 | 0.8397717 | 0.0014904425 | 3.0E-4 | 0.007915046 | 0.011855493 | 0.0091 | 0.76757663 | 0.013930596 | 0.0021 |
6.4 | 1.4435828E-5 | 2.1435902E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1435902E-5 | 0.0 | 6.186637E-5 | 9.186357E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0885708 | 9.186357E-5 | 0.0 | 7.529627E-4 | 0.0011177683 | 9.0E-4 | 0.8051758 | 0.0013175448 | 2.0E-4 | 0.007504165 | 0.011137924 | 0.0081 | 0.727245 | 0.012917876 | 0.0018 |
6.5 | 1.30127955E-5 | 1.9070389E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9070389E-5 | 0.0 | 5.576793E-5 | 8.172759E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2235771 | 8.172759E-5 | 0.0 | 6.78763E-4 | 9.945439E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 0.8043888 | 0.001194345 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0067669353 | 0.009928844 | 0.0073 | 0.7352316 | 0.0117109725 | 0.0018 |
6.6 | 1.1220718E-5 | 1.642485E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.642485E-5 | 0.0 | 4.8087906E-5 | 7.039032E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.039032E-5 | 0.0 | 5.8531296E-4 | 8.566647E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.58365893 | 0.0010564934 | 2.0E-4 | 0.005837737 | 0.008565849 | 0.0061 | 0.71213025 | 0.010251287 | 0.0017 |
6.7 | 8.086152E-6 | 1.17767495E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.17767495E-5 | 0.0 | 3.4654473E-5 | 5.047081E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.047081E-5 | 0.0 | 4.2183654E-4 | 6.143097E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.6511374 | 8.141868E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.004210367 | 0.006163477 | 0.0049 | 0.79500586 | 0.0076542315 | 0.0015 |
6.8 | 6.8361655E-6 | 1.0219172E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0219172E-5 | 0.0 | 2.9297524E-5 | 4.3795717E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.3795717E-5 | 0.0 | 3.5663895E-4 | 5.3308305E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.75035214 | 7.329764E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0035606713 | 0.0053510936 | 0.0046 | 0.8596373 | 0.0068430672 | 0.0015 |
6.9 | 5.2517353E-6 | 7.889001E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.889001E-6 | 0.0 | 2.2507242E-5 | 3.3809567E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3809567E-5 | 0.0 | 2.739912E-4 | 4.1155398E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.7289445 | 6.1147165E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0027365363 | 0.004140271 | 0.0038 | 0.9178143 | 0.0055344747 | 0.0014 |
7.0 | 4.4602784E-6 | 6.719784E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.719784E-6 | 0.0 | 1.911534E-5 | 2.8798757E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8798757E-5 | 0.0 | 2.327044E-4 | 3.5056862E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.57050174 | 4.5053355E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0023246086 | 0.003531614 | 0.0031 | 0.87778556 | 0.0045280824 | 0.001 |
7.1 | 4.1492594E-6 | 6.2674326E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.2674326E-6 | 0.0 | 1.7782419E-5 | 2.6860149E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6860149E-5 | 0.0 | 2.1647944E-4 | 3.269734E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.30583528 | 4.269407E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0021626868 | 0.0032958682 | 0.0026 | 0.7888665 | 0.004192902 | 9.0E-4 |
7.2 | 2.213247E-6 | 3.373964E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.373964E-6 | 0.0 | 9.485309E-6 | 1.4459766E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4459766E-5 | 0.0 | 1.15477524E-4 | 1.7603347E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5680738 | 2.7601587E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0011541754 | 0.0017874757 | 0.0016 | 0.89511704 | 0.002286582 | 5.0E-4 |
7.3 | 1.7362703E-6 | 2.7483154E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7483154E-6 | 0.0 | 7.4411373E-6 | 1.1778441E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1778441E-5 | 0.0 | 9.0592075E-5 | 1.433931E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.6973836 | 2.4337877E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 9.0555154E-4 | 0.0014582266 | 0.0013 | 0.8914938 | 0.0019574976 | 5.0E-4 |
7.4 | 1.1628409E-6 | 1.8573909E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8573909E-6 | 0.0 | 4.9835944E-6 | 7.960222E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.960222E-6 | 0.0 | 6.0673574E-5 | 9.691141E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0318702 | 1.9690172E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.065701E-4 | 9.893979E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 0.8085726 | 0.0013890021 | 4.0E-4 |
7.5 | 5.5610667E-7 | 9.4054224E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.4054224E-7 | 0.0 | 2.3833122E-6 | 4.030889E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.030889E-6 | 0.0 | 2.9016439E-5 | 4.9074974E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.0376985 | 1.4907007E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.901265E-4 | 5.0721003E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.78862786 | 6.0715934E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.6 | 4.4307663E-7 | 7.843462E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.843462E-7 | 0.0 | 1.8988985E-6 | 3.3614792E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3614792E-6 | 0.0 | 2.3118844E-5 | 4.0925243E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0925243E-5 | 0.0 | 2.3116439E-4 | 4.250631E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.47051838 | 4.250631E-4 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 3.639119E-7 | 6.4076636E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.4076636E-7 | 0.0 | 1.5596215E-6 | 2.7461385E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7461385E-6 | 0.0 | 1.8988227E-5 | 3.3433727E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3433727E-5 | 0.0 | 1.8986604E-4 | 3.4955924E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.5721491 | 3.4955924E-4 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.1152942E-7 | 5.519411E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.519411E-7 | 0.0 | 1.3351254E-6 | 2.3654597E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3654597E-6 | 0.0 | 1.6255031E-5 | 2.8799095E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8799095E-5 | 0.0 | 1.6253842E-4 | 2.9995668E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.666763 | 2.9995668E-4 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.8035962E-7 | 3.7461479E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.7461479E-7 | 0.0 | 7.729696E-7 | 1.605491E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.605491E-6 | 0.0 | 9.410865E-6 | 1.9546678E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9546678E-5 | 0.0 | 9.410465E-5 | 2.0207842E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.98971486 | 2.0207842E-4 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 9.279334E-8 | 1.9830004E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9830004E-7 | 0.0 | 3.976857E-7 | 8.4985703E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.4985703E-7 | 0.0 | 4.841813E-6 | 1.0346961E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0346961E-5 | 0.0 | 4.841707E-5 | 1.0595763E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.94377345 | 1.0595763E-4 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 5.9253985E-8 | 1.1927906E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1927906E-7 | 0.0 | 2.5394561E-7 | 5.111959E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.111959E-7 | 0.0 | 3.0917836E-6 | 6.2237928E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.2237928E-6 | 0.0 | 3.0917407E-5 | 6.361017E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5720757 | 6.361017E-5 | 0.0 |
Ortigalita (South)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.72394E-5 | 4.3269527E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.3110955 | 4.3269527E-5 | 0.0 | 1.5958765E-4 | 1.8542854E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.617874 | 2.8541E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0019412481 | 0.0022554111 | 0.0017 | 0.7537429 | 0.0027542834 | 5.0E-4 | 0.019243775 | 0.02234161 | 0.0183 | 0.81909937 | 0.026447777 | 0.0042 |
6.1 | 2.7299884E-5 | 3.150166E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.174436 | 3.150166E-5 | 0.0 | 1.16994255E-4 | 1.3500043E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 2.222215 | 2.3498693E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0014234743 | 0.0016424471 | 0.0014 | 0.85238665 | 0.0020417902 | 4.0E-4 | 0.014143906 | 0.016309015 | 0.0134 | 0.82163143 | 0.01916172 | 0.0029 |
6.2 | 2.7299884E-5 | 3.150166E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.174436 | 3.150166E-5 | 0.0 | 1.16994255E-4 | 1.3500043E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 2.222215 | 2.3498693E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0014234743 | 0.0016424471 | 0.0014 | 0.85238665 | 0.0020417902 | 4.0E-4 | 0.014143906 | 0.016309015 | 0.0134 | 0.82163143 | 0.01916172 | 0.0029 |
6.3 | 2.0546433E-5 | 2.3638513E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3638513E-5 | 0.0 | 8.805317E-5 | 1.0130409E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.974254 | 2.0129395E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.00107152 | 0.0012326984 | 0.001 | 0.81122845 | 0.0015323285 | 3.0E-4 | 0.010663681 | 0.012260672 | 0.0095 | 0.7748352 | 0.01423615 | 0.002 |
6.4 | 2.0546433E-5 | 2.3638513E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3638513E-5 | 0.0 | 8.805317E-5 | 1.0130409E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.974254 | 2.0129395E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.00107152 | 0.0012326984 | 0.001 | 0.81122845 | 0.0015323285 | 3.0E-4 | 0.010663681 | 0.012260672 | 0.0095 | 0.7748352 | 0.01423615 | 0.002 |
6.5 | 1.7779594E-5 | 2.045308E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.045308E-5 | 0.0 | 7.619603E-5 | 8.765319E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1408597 | 8.765319E-5 | 0.0 | 9.272918E-4 | 0.0010666688 | 9.0E-4 | 0.8437484 | 0.0012664554 | 2.0E-4 | 0.009234319 | 0.010616956 | 0.0081 | 0.7629305 | 0.012298908 | 0.0017 |
6.6 | 1.6272212E-5 | 1.872056E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.872056E-5 | 0.0 | 6.973618E-5 | 8.022857E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2464387 | 8.022857E-5 | 0.0 | 8.487073E-4 | 9.7635743E-4 | 9.0E-4 | 0.9217936 | 0.0011761622 | 2.0E-4 | 0.008454733 | 0.009721981 | 0.0073 | 0.7508758 | 0.0111083705 | 0.0014 |
6.7 | 1.3051484E-5 | 1.5043318E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5043318E-5 | 0.0 | 5.593373E-5 | 6.446982E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5511134 | 6.446982E-5 | 0.0 | 6.807804E-4 | 7.846469E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.76467514 | 7.846469E-4 | 0.0 | 0.006786986 | 0.007819749 | 0.0052 | 0.664983 | 0.008811929 | 0.001 |
6.8 | 1.04277415E-5 | 1.1990799E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1990799E-5 | 0.0 | 4.4689557E-5 | 5.1388168E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.9459732 | 5.1388168E-5 | 0.0 | 5.439595E-4 | 6.254788E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.79938763 | 6.254788E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0054262993 | 0.0062379385 | 0.0045 | 0.72139215 | 0.0071323244 | 9.0E-4 |
6.9 | 7.639968E-6 | 8.794136E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.794136E-6 | 0.0 | 3.274231E-5 | 3.7688646E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.6533191 | 3.7688646E-5 | 0.0 | 3.9856473E-4 | 4.587685E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.8718994 | 4.587685E-4 | 0.0 | 0.003978506 | 0.004578801 | 0.0036 | 0.786232 | 0.005375138 | 8.0E-4 |
7.0 | 3.919831E-6 | 4.5348106E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.5348106E-6 | 0.0 | 1.679917E-5 | 1.943477E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 5.145417 | 1.943477E-5 | 0.0 | 2.045107E-4 | 2.3659476E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.42266363 | 2.3659476E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0020432258 | 0.0023636373 | 0.0018 | 0.76153815 | 0.0027626918 | 4.0E-4 |
7.1 | 1.6017933E-6 | 1.8576296E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8576296E-6 | 0.0 | 6.8648105E-6 | 7.961251E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.961251E-6 | 0.0 | 8.357586E-5 | 9.692499E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.692499E-5 | 0.0 | 8.3544437E-4 | 9.6893194E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.72244495 | 0.0011687381 | 2.0E-4 |
Great Valley 05 Pittsburg - Kirby Hills alt1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.187212E-5 | 5.347151E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.347151E-5 | 0.0 | 1.794396E-4 | 2.2914926E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.3091904 | 2.2914926E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002182488 | 0.0027872948 | 0.0011 | 0.3946479 | 0.0029867373 | 2.0E-4 | 0.021611776 | 0.027617814 | 0.0189 | 0.6843409 | 0.031312868 | 0.0038 |
6.1 | 4.187212E-5 | 5.347151E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.347151E-5 | 0.0 | 1.794396E-4 | 2.2914926E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.3091904 | 2.2914926E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002182488 | 0.0027872948 | 0.0011 | 0.3946479 | 0.0029867373 | 2.0E-4 | 0.021611776 | 0.027617814 | 0.0189 | 0.6843409 | 0.031312868 | 0.0038 |
6.2 | 1.7353306E-5 | 2.216655E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.216655E-5 | 0.0 | 7.436919E-5 | 9.4998366E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.4998366E-5 | 0.0 | 9.050688E-4 | 0.0011563788 | 3.0E-4 | 0.25943056 | 0.0011563788 | 0.0 | 0.009013915 | 0.011541356 | 0.0088 | 0.7624754 | 0.01312289 | 0.0016 |
6.3 | 1.7353306E-5 | 2.216655E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.216655E-5 | 0.0 | 7.436919E-5 | 9.4998366E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.4998366E-5 | 0.0 | 9.050688E-4 | 0.0011563788 | 3.0E-4 | 0.25943056 | 0.0011563788 | 0.0 | 0.009013915 | 0.011541356 | 0.0088 | 0.7624754 | 0.01312289 | 0.0016 |
6.4 | 1.4028824E-5 | 1.791064E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.791064E-5 | 0.0 | 6.0122147E-5 | 7.675988E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.675988E-5 | 0.0 | 7.3174125E-4 | 9.3453156E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.32101646 | 9.3453156E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0072933645 | 0.009343195 | 0.007 | 0.74920845 | 0.010631048 | 0.0013 |
McLean Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.7360222E-5 | 1.8504044E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8504044E-5 | 0.0 | 7.439883E-5 | 7.930091E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.930091E-5 | 0.0 | 9.0542925E-4 | 9.6510956E-4 | 0.0014 | 1.4506124 | 0.0019641444 | 0.001 | 0.009017491 | 0.009614025 | 0.0133 | 1.3833956 | 0.01347653 | 0.0039 |
6.1 | 9.062689E-6 | 9.5933065E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.5933065E-6 | 0.0 | 3.8839516E-5 | 4.1113573E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.1113573E-5 | 0.0 | 4.727685E-4 | 5.0045166E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 1.198917 | 0.0010002014 | 5.0E-4 | 0.0047176396 | 0.0049941298 | 0.0068 | 1.3615986 | 0.007083642 | 0.0021 |
6.2 | 9.062689E-6 | 9.5933065E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.5933065E-6 | 0.0 | 3.8839516E-5 | 4.1113573E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.1113573E-5 | 0.0 | 4.727685E-4 | 5.0045166E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 1.198917 | 0.0010002014 | 5.0E-4 | 0.0047176396 | 0.0049941298 | 0.0068 | 1.3615986 | 0.007083642 | 0.0021 |
6.3 | 7.2575485E-6 | 7.668569E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.668569E-6 | 0.0 | 3.110341E-5 | 3.2864926E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2864926E-5 | 0.0 | 3.786182E-4 | 4.0006413E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.9998397 | 6.999441E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0037797375 | 0.003994144 | 0.0047 | 1.1767228 | 0.0052889516 | 0.0013 |
6.4 | 7.2575485E-6 | 7.668569E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.668569E-6 | 0.0 | 3.110341E-5 | 3.2864926E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2864926E-5 | 0.0 | 3.786182E-4 | 4.0006413E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.9998397 | 6.999441E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0037797375 | 0.003994144 | 0.0047 | 1.1767228 | 0.0052889516 | 0.0013 |
6.5 | 6.06582E-6 | 6.4045857E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.4045857E-6 | 0.0 | 2.5996113E-5 | 2.7447972E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7447972E-5 | 0.0 | 3.164567E-4 | 3.341343E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.5985617 | 4.341009E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0031600643 | 0.003336958 | 0.0039 | 1.1687292 | 0.0042339545 | 9.0E-4 |
6.6 | 5.598744E-6 | 5.910915E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.910915E-6 | 0.0 | 2.3994397E-5 | 2.5332283E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5332283E-5 | 0.0 | 2.9209262E-4 | 3.0838329E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.6485436 | 4.0835244E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0029170897 | 0.0030801827 | 0.0038 | 1.233693 | 0.0038777187 | 8.0E-4 |
6.7 | 5.246996E-6 | 5.539774E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.539774E-6 | 0.0 | 2.2486933E-5 | 2.374171E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.374171E-5 | 0.0 | 2.73744E-4 | 2.8902333E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.69198567 | 3.889944E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0027340704 | 0.0028870984 | 0.0036 | 1.2469267 | 0.0036847887 | 8.0E-4 |
6.8 | 4.02324E-6 | 4.247373E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.247373E-6 | 0.0 | 1.7242342E-5 | 1.8202934E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8202934E-5 | 0.0 | 2.099053E-4 | 2.2160415E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.4512551 | 2.2160415E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0020970714 | 0.0022144162 | 0.0024 | 1.0838071 | 0.0024139732 | 2.0E-4 |
6.9 | 6.835972E-7 | 7.140558E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.140558E-7 | 0.0 | 2.9296991E-6 | 3.0602373E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0602373E-6 | 0.0 | 3.56685E-5 | 3.7258073E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.7258073E-5 | 0.0 | 3.5662777E-4 | 3.7254952E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.8789449 | 4.7251224E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
Keddie Ridge 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2591947E-5 | 2.5194968E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5194968E-5 | 0.0 | 9.6819036E-5 | 1.0797441E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.9261453 | 1.0797441E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011781343 | 0.0013138748 | 0.0011 | 0.8372183 | 0.0019130865 | 6.0E-4 | 0.011719079 | 0.013069018 | 0.0105 | 0.80342686 | 0.017016742 | 0.004 |
6.1 | 2.2591947E-5 | 2.5194968E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5194968E-5 | 0.0 | 9.6819036E-5 | 1.0797441E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.9261453 | 1.0797441E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011781343 | 0.0013138748 | 9.0E-4 | 0.6849968 | 0.0017133493 | 4.0E-4 | 0.011719079 | 0.013069018 | 0.0091 | 0.6963033 | 0.01632589 | 0.0033 |
6.2 | 1.3775145E-5 | 1.5326263E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5326263E-5 | 0.0 | 5.9035E-5 | 6.568246E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5224764 | 6.568246E-5 | 0.0 | 7.185141E-4 | 7.994148E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.6254575 | 8.9933485E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0071619535 | 0.007967811 | 0.0053 | 0.6651764 | 0.00945586 | 0.0015 |
6.3 | 9.705435E-6 | 1.07707165E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.07707165E-5 | 0.0 | 4.1594063E-5 | 4.6159465E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.1664028 | 4.6159465E-5 | 0.0 | 5.0629E-4 | 5.61859E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.3559612 | 5.61859E-4 | 0.0 | 0.005051381 | 0.0056056157 | 0.0036 | 0.6422131 | 0.00660001 | 0.001 |
6.4 | 7.2549733E-6 | 8.0289865E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0289865E-6 | 0.0 | 3.109237E-5 | 3.4409535E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.9061713 | 3.4409535E-5 | 0.0 | 3.7848388E-4 | 4.1886352E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.4774825 | 4.1886352E-4 | 0.0 | 0.003778399 | 0.004181528 | 0.0027 | 0.645697 | 0.0048786006 | 7.0E-4 |
6.5 | 5.983293E-6 | 6.614426E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.614426E-6 | 0.0 | 2.5642432E-5 | 2.8347271E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8347271E-5 | 0.0 | 3.1215188E-4 | 3.450801E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.450801E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0031171376 | 0.0034461054 | 0.0023 | 0.6674201 | 0.004044038 | 6.0E-4 |
6.6 | 4.0336154E-6 | 4.4587537E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.4587537E-6 | 0.0 | 1.728681E-5 | 1.9108827E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9108827E-5 | 0.0 | 2.1044657E-4 | 2.3262917E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3262917E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002102474 | 0.0023242526 | 0.0016 | 0.68839335 | 0.002723323 | 4.0E-4 |
6.7 | 1.5832104E-6 | 1.7820614E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7820614E-6 | 0.0 | 6.7851697E-6 | 7.637385E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.637385E-6 | 0.0 | 8.260631E-5 | 9.298147E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.298147E-5 | 0.0 | 8.2575605E-4 | 9.2945236E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.6455414 | 0.0012291735 | 3.0E-4 |
6.8 | 7.5177275E-7 | 8.59276E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.59276E-7 | 0.0 | 3.221879E-6 | 3.682607E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.682607E-6 | 0.0 | 3.9225673E-5 | 4.4834986E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.4834986E-5 | 0.0 | 3.921875E-4 | 4.4827597E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.66923064 | 6.481863E-4 | 2.0E-4 |
Almanor 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.1479834E-5 | 8.332679E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.332679E-5 | 0.0 | 2.6345838E-4 | 3.5706963E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.56011486 | 4.5703392E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0032028882 | 0.0043393364 | 0.0021 | 0.48394495 | 0.0047376007 | 4.0E-4 | 0.031571172 | 0.042613592 | 0.024 | 0.5632006 | 0.0463474 | 0.0039 |
6.1 | 4.4387216E-5 | 5.9806192E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.9806192E-5 | 0.0 | 1.9021705E-4 | 2.562891E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.39018437 | 2.562891E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0023134327 | 0.0031163595 | 0.0014 | 0.44924214 | 0.0033157363 | 2.0E-4 | 0.022894967 | 0.030774908 | 0.0169 | 0.5491487 | 0.03348874 | 0.0028 |
6.2 | 4.4387216E-5 | 5.9806192E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.9806192E-5 | 0.0 | 1.9021705E-4 | 2.562891E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.39018437 | 2.562891E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0023134327 | 0.0031163595 | 0.0014 | 0.44924214 | 0.0033157363 | 2.0E-4 | 0.022894967 | 0.030774908 | 0.0169 | 0.5491487 | 0.03348874 | 0.0028 |
6.3 | 2.9523822E-5 | 3.9572184E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.9572184E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2652454E-4 | 1.6958476E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5896756 | 1.6958476E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0015393476 | 0.0020631023 | 7.0E-4 | 0.33929485 | 0.0022626899 | 2.0E-4 | 0.015287281 | 0.020473847 | 0.0102 | 0.49819657 | 0.02213904 | 0.0017 |
6.4 | 2.0512744E-5 | 2.7448028E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7448028E-5 | 0.0 | 8.79088E-5 | 1.17629694E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.8501255 | 1.17629694E-4 | 0.0 | 0.001069764 | 0.0014315207 | 5.0E-4 | 0.34927893 | 0.0016312344 | 2.0E-4 | 0.010646289 | 0.014253425 | 0.0072 | 0.50514174 | 0.015633471 | 0.0014 |
6.5 | 1.6750226E-5 | 2.2404536E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2404536E-5 | 0.0 | 7.178471E-5 | 9.601642E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.601642E-5 | 0.0 | 8.7362836E-4 | 0.0011686971 | 3.0E-4 | 0.2566961 | 0.0012685803 | 1.0E-4 | 0.008702018 | 0.0116564315 | 0.0058 | 0.4975794 | 0.012842444 | 0.0012 |
6.6 | 1.4745303E-5 | 1.9719348E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9719348E-5 | 0.0 | 6.319262E-5 | 8.4509324E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.4509324E-5 | 0.0 | 7.690986E-4 | 0.0010287465 | 2.0E-4 | 0.19441135 | 0.0011286436 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0076644225 | 0.01027151 | 0.0051 | 0.49651903 | 0.011360211 | 0.0011 |
6.7 | 9.951145E-7 | 1.1620207E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1620207E-6 | 0.0 | 4.26477E-6 | 4.98008E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.98008E-6 | 0.0 | 5.1922336E-5 | 6.0630966E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0630966E-5 | 0.0 | 5.1910203E-4 | 6.061615E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.6598902 | 8.0604025E-4 | 2.0E-4 |
6.8 | 5.866312E-7 | 6.851662E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.851662E-7 | 0.0 | 2.5141312E-6 | 2.936424E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.936424E-6 | 0.0 | 3.0609117E-5 | 3.5750505E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5750505E-5 | 0.0 | 3.06049E-4 | 3.5746038E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.83925384 | 5.573889E-4 | 2.0E-4 |
White Mountains
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.503579E-5 | 3.3790075E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3790075E-5 | 0.0 | 1.5014476E-4 | 1.4480726E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4480726E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0018264796 | 0.0017617234 | 0.0014 | 0.79467636 | 0.0022608426 | 5.0E-4 | 0.018115403 | 0.017489912 | 0.0118 | 0.67467463 | 0.0213217 | 0.0039 |
6.1 | 3.503579E-5 | 3.3790075E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3790075E-5 | 0.0 | 1.5014476E-4 | 1.4480726E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4480726E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0018264796 | 0.0017617234 | 0.0014 | 0.79467636 | 0.0022608426 | 5.0E-4 | 0.018115403 | 0.017489912 | 0.0118 | 0.67467463 | 0.0213217 | 0.0039 |
6.2 | 3.503579E-5 | 3.3790075E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3790075E-5 | 0.0 | 1.5014476E-4 | 1.4480726E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4480726E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0018264796 | 0.0017617234 | 0.0014 | 0.79467636 | 0.0022608426 | 5.0E-4 | 0.018115403 | 0.017489912 | 0.0118 | 0.67467463 | 0.0213217 | 0.0039 |
6.3 | 1.7818425E-5 | 1.5918904E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5918904E-5 | 0.0 | 7.636245E-5 | 6.8222165E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.8222165E-5 | 0.0 | 9.293162E-4 | 8.303026E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.7226281 | 0.0010301366 | 2.0E-4 | 0.009254395 | 0.008273463 | 0.0055 | 0.664776 | 0.010256916 | 0.002 |
6.4 | 1.7818425E-5 | 1.5918904E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5918904E-5 | 0.0 | 7.636245E-5 | 6.8222165E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.8222165E-5 | 0.0 | 9.293162E-4 | 8.303026E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.7226281 | 0.0010301366 | 2.0E-4 | 0.009254395 | 0.008273463 | 0.0055 | 0.664776 | 0.010256916 | 0.002 |
6.5 | 1.3397557E-5 | 1.1338343E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1338343E-5 | 0.0 | 5.741684E-5 | 4.8592035E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.8592035E-5 | 0.0 | 6.988258E-4 | 5.914544E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 1.0144484 | 7.913361E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.006966323 | 0.0058995085 | 0.0042 | 0.7119237 | 0.0073906593 | 0.0015 |
6.6 | 1.0818695E-5 | 8.626926E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.626926E-6 | 0.0 | 4.6365014E-5 | 3.697204E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.697204E-5 | 0.0 | 5.6434784E-4 | 4.5004595E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 1.1109977 | 5.500009E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005629168 | 0.0044917823 | 0.0034 | 0.75693786 | 0.005586841 | 0.0011 |
6.7 | 9.067908E-6 | 6.8036725E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.8036725E-6 | 0.0 | 3.8861883E-5 | 2.9158287E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9158287E-5 | 0.0 | 4.7304068E-4 | 3.5494752E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.1269271 | 4.5491202E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.00472035 | 0.0035441231 | 0.0027 | 0.76182455 | 0.0044409335 | 9.0E-4 |
6.8 | 7.295947E-6 | 4.9373375E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.9373375E-6 | 0.0 | 3.126797E-5 | 2.1159853E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1159853E-5 | 0.0 | 3.8062103E-4 | 2.575919E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.776422 | 2.575919E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0037996976 | 0.002573046 | 0.0014 | 0.54410225 | 0.0030717594 | 5.0E-4 |
6.9 | 6.2243444E-6 | 3.8330186E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.8330186E-6 | 0.0 | 2.6675489E-5 | 1.6427122E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6427122E-5 | 0.0 | 3.2472567E-4 | 1.9998239E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0000881 | 1.9998239E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0032425157 | 0.001998077 | 0.0013 | 0.6506256 | 0.002497078 | 5.0E-4 |
7.0 | 4.9878413E-6 | 2.6802163E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6802163E-6 | 0.0 | 2.1376287E-5 | 1.14865925E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.14865925E-5 | 0.0 | 2.602252E-4 | 1.3984054E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.4302003 | 1.3984054E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002599207 | 0.0013975517 | 9.0E-4 | 0.6439833 | 0.0015972722 | 2.0E-4 |
7.1 | 4.0252844E-6 | 1.8863122E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8863122E-6 | 0.0 | 1.7251105E-5 | 8.084171E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.084171E-6 | 0.0 | 2.1001195E-4 | 9.842047E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0160489 | 9.842047E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0020981359 | 9.837815E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.5082429 | 0.0010836832 | 1.0E-4 |
7.2 | 3.3284066E-6 | 1.28235E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.28235E-6 | 0.0 | 1.4264522E-5 | 5.495775E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.495775E-6 | 0.0 | 1.736567E-4 | 6.690911E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4945649 | 6.690911E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0017352107 | 6.688997E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.597997 | 7.688328E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.3 | 2.458226E-6 | 6.06072E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.06072E-7 | 0.0 | 1.0535211E-5 | 2.5974489E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5974489E-6 | 0.0 | 1.2825865E-4 | 3.162352E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.162352E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0012818464 | 3.1619394E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.3162616 | 3.1619394E-4 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.965953E-6 | 3.111974E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.111974E-7 | 0.0 | 8.425486E-6 | 1.3337024E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3337024E-6 | 0.0 | 1.0257547E-4 | 1.6237707E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6237707E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010252813 | 1.6236534E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6236534E-4 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.2014192E-6 | 1.8265449E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8265449E-7 | 0.0 | 5.148929E-6 | 7.8280476E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.8280476E-7 | 0.0 | 6.2686406E-5 | 9.530607E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.530607E-6 | 0.0 | 6.266873E-4 | 9.5302064E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.5302064E-5 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.5612175E-7 | 4.90036E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.90036E-8 | 0.0 | 1.0976642E-6 | 2.1001541E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1001541E-7 | 0.0 | 1.3363979E-5 | 2.556935E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.556935E-6 | 0.0 | 1.3363175E-4 | 2.5569092E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5569092E-5 | 0.0 |
Coronado Bank alt1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.533492E-5 | 9.399735E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.399735E-5 | 0.0 | 3.22824E-4 | 4.0278555E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0278555E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0039233007 | 0.004893489 | 0.0024 | 0.4904476 | 0.0049929996 | 1.0E-4 | 0.03854755 | 0.047926564 | 0.0307 | 0.64056337 | 0.051734857 | 0.004 |
6.1 | 4.1807285E-5 | 5.0514016E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0514016E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7916178E-4 | 2.1647113E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1647113E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0021791123 | 0.0026324259 | 0.0014 | 0.5318288 | 0.0026324259 | 0.0 | 0.021578677 | 0.026021734 | 0.013 | 0.4995824 | 0.027677497 | 0.0017 |
6.2 | 4.1807285E-5 | 5.0514016E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0514016E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7916178E-4 | 2.1647113E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1647113E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0021791123 | 0.0026324259 | 0.0014 | 0.5318288 | 0.0026324259 | 0.0 | 0.021578677 | 0.026021734 | 0.013 | 0.4995824 | 0.027677497 | 0.0017 |
6.3 | 3.1793104E-5 | 3.7725185E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.7725185E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3624904E-4 | 1.6166955E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6166955E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0016575698 | 0.0019665817 | 0.001 | 0.5084966 | 0.0019665817 | 0.0 | 0.016452603 | 0.019495685 | 0.0087 | 0.44625258 | 0.020770341 | 0.0013 |
6.4 | 2.9878007E-5 | 3.5348734E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5348734E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2804232E-4 | 1.5148598E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5148598E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0015578003 | 0.0018428134 | 0.001 | 0.5426485 | 0.0018428134 | 0.0 | 0.015469253 | 0.018279089 | 0.0081 | 0.4431293 | 0.019555327 | 0.0013 |
6.5 | 2.4512565E-5 | 2.877412E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.877412E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0504962E-4 | 1.2331198E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2331198E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0012782287 | 0.0015003162 | 9.0E-4 | 0.59987354 | 0.0015003162 | 0.0 | 0.012709012 | 0.014904842 | 0.0065 | 0.4360999 | 0.015889937 | 0.001 |
6.6 | 2.1317413E-5 | 2.49151E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.49151E-5 | 0.0 | 9.135714E-5 | 1.0677475E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0677475E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011117056 | 0.0012992296 | 8.0E-4 | 0.61574954 | 0.0012992296 | 0.0 | 0.011061605 | 0.01291875 | 0.0061 | 0.47218192 | 0.013905831 | 0.001 |
6.7 | 1.8585655E-5 | 2.1642025E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1642025E-5 | 0.0 | 7.9650374E-5 | 9.274835E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.274835E-5 | 0.0 | 9.6931186E-4 | 0.0011286467 | 7.0E-4 | 0.6202118 | 0.0011286467 | 0.0 | 0.0096509475 | 0.01123131 | 0.0053 | 0.4718951 | 0.012220079 | 0.001 |
6.8 | 1.5862879E-5 | 1.8425459E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8425459E-5 | 0.0 | 6.798199E-5 | 7.8963974E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.8963974E-5 | 0.0 | 8.273665E-4 | 9.6098165E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.6243616 | 9.6098165E-4 | 0.0 | 0.008242928 | 0.009570245 | 0.0048 | 0.5015546 | 0.010362588 | 8.0E-4 |
6.9 | 1.3021509E-5 | 1.5100124E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5100124E-5 | 0.0 | 5.5805274E-5 | 6.471331E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.471331E-5 | 0.0 | 6.792174E-4 | 7.876179E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.6348256 | 7.876179E-4 | 0.0 | 0.006771452 | 0.007850089 | 0.0044 | 0.5605032 | 0.008544594 | 7.0E-4 |
7.0 | 1.0974371E-5 | 1.2724205E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2724205E-5 | 0.0 | 4.7032172E-5 | 5.4531265E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.4531265E-5 | 0.0 | 5.7246623E-4 | 6.6373346E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.60265154 | 6.6373346E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0057099373 | 0.0066192616 | 0.0036 | 0.5438673 | 0.007314628 | 7.0E-4 |
7.1 | 8.766221E-6 | 1.0167129E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0167129E-5 | 0.0 | 3.7568978E-5 | 4.357278E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.357278E-5 | 0.0 | 4.573063E-4 | 5.3038675E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.37708333 | 5.3038675E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0045636636 | 0.0052929097 | 0.003 | 0.566796 | 0.0059892046 | 7.0E-4 |
7.2 | 8.026024E-7 | 8.332893E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.332893E-7 | 0.0 | 3.43972E-6 | 3.571235E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.571235E-6 | 0.0 | 4.1877785E-5 | 4.347893E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.2999647 | 4.347893E-5 | 0.0 | 4.1869894E-4 | 4.3470532E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.9201636 | 4.3470532E-4 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.7293114E-7 | 3.700495E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.700495E-7 | 0.0 | 1.5982754E-6 | 1.5859255E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5859255E-6 | 0.0 | 1.9458828E-5 | 1.930847E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 5.179074 | 1.930847E-5 | 0.0 | 1.9457124E-4 | 1.93068E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0359044 | 1.93068E-4 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.0557036E-7 | 1.9676327E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9676327E-7 | 0.0 | 8.810155E-7 | 8.4327087E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.4327087E-7 | 0.0 | 1.0726311E-5 | 1.0266775E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0266775E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0725793E-4 | 1.02663034E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.9740604 | 1.02663034E-4 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.845446E-8 | 6.2800716E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.2800716E-8 | 0.0 | 2.9337625E-7 | 2.691459E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.691459E-7 | 0.0 | 3.5718497E-6 | 3.2768464E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2768464E-6 | 0.0 | 3.5717923E-5 | 3.2767988E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.0517588 | 3.2767988E-5 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.0975145E-9 | 5.532084E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.532084E-9 | 0.0 | 2.6132206E-8 | 2.3708932E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3708932E-8 | 0.0 | 3.1815955E-7 | 2.886562E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.886562E-7 | 0.0 | 3.181591E-6 | 2.8865593E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8865593E-6 | 0.0 |
Palos Verdes
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.126063E-5 | 7.626235E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.626235E-5 | 0.0 | 2.6251914E-4 | 3.2680106E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.30599657 | 3.2680106E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0031914865 | 0.003972081 | 0.003 | 0.75527155 | 0.004470095 | 5.0E-4 | 0.031460393 | 0.03906746 | 0.0235 | 0.60152364 | 0.042719003 | 0.0038 |
6.1 | 6.126063E-5 | 7.626235E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.626235E-5 | 0.0 | 2.6251914E-4 | 3.2680106E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.30599657 | 3.2680106E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0031914865 | 0.003972081 | 0.003 | 0.75527155 | 0.004470095 | 5.0E-4 | 0.031460393 | 0.03906746 | 0.0235 | 0.60152364 | 0.042719003 | 0.0038 |
6.2 | 6.126063E-5 | 7.626235E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.626235E-5 | 0.0 | 2.6251914E-4 | 3.2680106E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.30599657 | 3.2680106E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0031914865 | 0.003972081 | 0.003 | 0.75527155 | 0.004470095 | 5.0E-4 | 0.031460393 | 0.03906746 | 0.0235 | 0.60152364 | 0.042719003 | 0.0038 |
6.3 | 4.0838047E-5 | 4.9770555E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.9770555E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7500846E-4 | 2.1328621E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.46885356 | 2.1328621E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0021286458 | 0.0025938775 | 0.0015 | 0.5782848 | 0.0028930993 | 3.0E-4 | 0.021083709 | 0.025657712 | 0.0147 | 0.5729272 | 0.028288437 | 0.0027 |
6.4 | 4.0838047E-5 | 4.9770555E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.9770555E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7500846E-4 | 2.1328621E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.46885356 | 2.1328621E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0021286458 | 0.0025938775 | 0.0015 | 0.5782848 | 0.0028930993 | 3.0E-4 | 0.021083709 | 0.025657712 | 0.0147 | 0.5729272 | 0.028288437 | 0.0027 |
6.5 | 3.0512005E-5 | 3.657606E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.657606E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3075917E-4 | 1.5674581E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.6379756 | 1.5674581E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0015908304 | 0.0019068262 | 0.0011 | 0.57687485 | 0.0021064447 | 2.0E-4 | 0.015794903 | 0.018916588 | 0.0107 | 0.5656411 | 0.02058443 | 0.0017 |
6.6 | 2.9255087E-5 | 3.5168527E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5168527E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2537291E-4 | 1.507142E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.66350746 | 1.507142E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0015253464 | 0.001833515 | 0.0011 | 0.59994054 | 0.0020331482 | 2.0E-4 | 0.015149189 | 0.018195493 | 0.0105 | 0.57706594 | 0.019766381 | 0.0016 |
6.7 | 2.287198E-5 | 2.7258708E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7258708E-5 | 0.0 | 9.801909E-5 | 1.1681832E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.8560301 | 1.1681832E-4 | 0.0 | 0.001192729 | 0.0014214269 | 9.0E-4 | 0.6331666 | 0.0015212847 | 1.0E-4 | 0.011863477 | 0.01413259 | 0.0075 | 0.5306883 | 0.015315631 | 0.0012 |
6.8 | 2.1325764E-5 | 2.544167E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.544167E-5 | 0.0 | 9.139293E-5 | 1.0903168E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.9171646 | 1.0903168E-4 | 0.0 | 0.001112141 | 0.0013267426 | 6.0E-4 | 0.45223543 | 0.0014266099 | 1.0E-4 | 0.011065915 | 0.013197261 | 0.0069 | 0.5228358 | 0.0143814245 | 0.0012 |
6.9 | 1.9009392E-5 | 2.2622127E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2622127E-5 | 0.0 | 8.1466285E-5 | 9.694886E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0314716 | 9.694886E-5 | 0.0 | 9.914007E-4 | 0.0011798007 | 4.0E-4 | 0.3390403 | 0.0012796827 | 1.0E-4 | 0.009869894 | 0.011744064 | 0.0063 | 0.5364412 | 0.012831146 | 0.0011 |
7.0 | 1.7098473E-5 | 2.0327021E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0327021E-5 | 0.0 | 7.3277115E-5 | 8.7113374E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1479293 | 8.7113374E-5 | 0.0 | 8.917837E-4 | 0.0010601747 | 4.0E-4 | 0.37729633 | 0.0011600686 | 1.0E-4 | 0.008882134 | 0.010559612 | 0.0054 | 0.51138246 | 0.011549052 | 0.001 |
7.1 | 1.5982785E-5 | 1.900193E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.900193E-5 | 0.0 | 6.849585E-5 | 8.143478E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2279766 | 8.143478E-5 | 0.0 | 8.336179E-4 | 9.911022E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.3026933 | 0.0010910031 | 1.0E-4 | 0.008304977 | 0.009875191 | 0.0051 | 0.5164457 | 0.010865316 | 0.001 |
7.2 | 1.4468002E-5 | 1.7203736E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7203736E-5 | 0.0 | 6.200425E-5 | 7.372869E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.372869E-5 | 0.0 | 7.546402E-4 | 8.973612E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.2228757 | 9.972715E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.007520827 | 0.008945653 | 0.0049 | 0.5477521 | 0.009936707 | 0.001 |
7.3 | 5.288233E-6 | 6.2058593E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.2058593E-6 | 0.0 | 2.2663658E-5 | 2.6596466E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6596466E-5 | 0.0 | 2.7589512E-4 | 3.237988E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.30883375 | 4.237664E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0027555283 | 0.0032366957 | 0.0012 | 0.3707485 | 0.0037350773 | 5.0E-4 |
7.4 | 8.279556E-7 | 8.408606E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.408606E-7 | 0.0 | 3.5483763E-6 | 3.6036838E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.6036838E-6 | 0.0 | 4.3200624E-5 | 4.387404E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.387404E-5 | 0.0 | 4.3192226E-4 | 4.38661E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.38661E-4 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.559831E-7 | 6.6674454E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.6674454E-7 | 0.0 | 2.8113532E-6 | 2.8574739E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8574739E-6 | 0.0 | 3.4227687E-5 | 3.4789256E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.4789256E-5 | 0.0 | 3.4222414E-4 | 3.4784473E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.4784473E-4 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.5018968E-7 | 3.562124E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.562124E-7 | 0.0 | 1.500812E-6 | 1.526624E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.526624E-6 | 0.0 | 1.8272232E-5 | 1.8586536E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8586536E-5 | 0.0 | 1.8270731E-4 | 1.8585441E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8585441E-4 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.1986104E-7 | 1.2198805E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2198805E-7 | 0.0 | 5.1369005E-7 | 5.228058E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.228058E-7 | 0.0 | 6.2541585E-6 | 6.365143E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.365143E-6 | 0.0 | 6.2539824E-5 | 6.364965E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.364965E-5 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.0445005E-8 | 3.1028762E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1028762E-8 | 0.0 | 1.3047858E-7 | 1.329804E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.329804E-7 | 0.0 | 1.5885756E-6 | 1.6190354E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6190354E-6 | 0.0 | 1.5885644E-5 | 1.6190257E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6190257E-5 | 0.0 |
Whittier alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.2554693E-5 | 4.727002E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.727002E-5 | 0.0 | 1.8236451E-4 | 2.0257189E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0257189E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002218027 | 0.002463845 | 0.0015 | 0.6088045 | 0.0027631058 | 3.0E-4 | 0.02196019 | 0.02439963 | 0.0163 | 0.6680429 | 0.028009351 | 0.0037 |
6.1 | 4.2554693E-5 | 4.727002E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.727002E-5 | 0.0 | 1.8236451E-4 | 2.0257189E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0257189E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002218027 | 0.002463845 | 0.0015 | 0.6088045 | 0.0027631058 | 3.0E-4 | 0.02196019 | 0.02439963 | 0.0163 | 0.6680429 | 0.028009351 | 0.0037 |
6.2 | 4.2554693E-5 | 4.727002E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.727002E-5 | 0.0 | 1.8236451E-4 | 2.0257189E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0257189E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002218027 | 0.002463845 | 0.0015 | 0.6088045 | 0.0027631058 | 3.0E-4 | 0.02196019 | 0.02439963 | 0.0163 | 0.6680429 | 0.028009351 | 0.0037 |
6.3 | 1.9617712E-5 | 1.827824E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.827824E-5 | 0.0 | 8.40732E-5 | 7.833307E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.833307E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010231105 | 9.5330685E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 0.8391841 | 0.0010532115 | 1.0E-4 | 0.01018413 | 0.009495753 | 0.0062 | 0.65292346 | 0.010783408 | 0.0013 |
6.4 | 1.5611336E-5 | 1.3612437E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3612437E-5 | 0.0 | 6.690401E-5 | 5.8337748E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.8337748E-5 | 0.0 | 8.142519E-4 | 7.100366E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 1.1267024 | 8.099656E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.008112748 | 0.0070799356 | 0.0045 | 0.635599 | 0.007973564 | 9.0E-4 |
6.5 | 1.5150166E-5 | 1.3108997E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3108997E-5 | 0.0 | 6.492767E-5 | 5.618024E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.618024E-5 | 0.0 | 7.9020765E-4 | 6.8378565E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 1.1699573 | 7.8371726E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.007874036 | 0.0068190573 | 0.0043 | 0.6305857 | 0.007613602 | 8.0E-4 |
6.6 | 1.295588E-5 | 1.0387315E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0387315E-5 | 0.0 | 5.552402E-5 | 4.4516317E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.4516317E-5 | 0.0 | 6.7579525E-4 | 5.418533E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.2918626 | 6.417991E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006737438 | 0.0054068724 | 0.0033 | 0.61033434 | 0.006202547 | 8.0E-4 |
6.7 | 1.2542085E-5 | 9.905748E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.905748E-6 | 0.0 | 5.3750682E-5 | 4.2452524E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.2452524E-5 | 0.0 | 6.542181E-4 | 5.167388E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.3546495 | 6.166871E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006522954 | 0.005156908 | 0.003 | 0.58174396 | 0.005753814 | 6.0E-4 |
6.8 | 1.2195878E-5 | 9.50157E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.50157E-6 | 0.0 | 5.2267E-5 | 4.072039E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.072039E-5 | 0.0 | 6.36165E-4 | 4.956598E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 1.2105076 | 5.956103E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0063434686 | 0.0049470123 | 0.0028 | 0.5659982 | 0.005544044 | 6.0E-4 |
6.9 | 1.1580298E-5 | 8.778675E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.778675E-6 | 0.0 | 4.9628903E-5 | 3.762236E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.762236E-5 | 0.0 | 6.040644E-4 | 4.5795762E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 1.3101649 | 5.579118E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.00602425 | 0.0045715463 | 0.0026 | 0.5687353 | 0.0051688035 | 6.0E-4 |
7.0 | 1.0964795E-5 | 8.089428E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.089428E-6 | 0.0 | 4.6991136E-5 | 3.4668523E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.4668523E-5 | 0.0 | 5.7196687E-4 | 4.2200906E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 1.4217705 | 5.2196684E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0057049696 | 0.004213378 | 0.0023 | 0.5458803 | 0.0047112713 | 5.0E-4 |
7.1 | 1.0230601E-5 | 7.331466E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.331466E-6 | 0.0 | 4.3844695E-5 | 3.1420197E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1420197E-5 | 0.0 | 5.336784E-4 | 3.8247506E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 1.5687298 | 4.824368E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005323986 | 0.0038193513 | 0.0022 | 0.57601404 | 0.0042178235 | 4.0E-4 |
7.2 | 9.40865E-6 | 6.5476665E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.5476665E-6 | 0.0 | 4.032216E-5 | 2.8061133E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8061133E-5 | 0.0 | 4.908117E-4 | 3.4159195E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 1.7564816 | 4.4155782E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0048972913 | 0.0034117836 | 0.0022 | 0.644824 | 0.003810419 | 4.0E-4 |
7.3 | 8.237384E-6 | 5.601519E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.601519E-6 | 0.0 | 3.5302593E-5 | 2.4006295E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4006295E-5 | 0.0 | 4.2972428E-4 | 2.922385E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 1.7109314 | 2.922385E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0042889426 | 0.0029188825 | 0.0017 | 0.5824147 | 0.0032180068 | 3.0E-4 |
7.4 | 7.5316966E-6 | 5.0312383E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0312383E-6 | 0.0 | 3.2278298E-5 | 2.1562277E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1562277E-5 | 0.0 | 3.9291743E-4 | 2.6249012E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.5238669 | 2.6249012E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0039222343 | 0.0026219133 | 0.0014 | 0.5339612 | 0.0029211268 | 3.0E-4 |
7.5 | 6.149649E-6 | 3.93657E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.93657E-6 | 0.0 | 2.6355372E-5 | 1.687091E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.687091E-5 | 0.0 | 3.208294E-4 | 2.0538487E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.9737816 | 2.0538487E-4 | 0.0 | 0.003203666 | 0.0020520398 | 7.0E-4 | 0.34112397 | 0.0021518348 | 1.0E-4 |
7.6 | 5.457711E-6 | 3.3977947E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3977947E-6 | 0.0 | 2.338998E-5 | 1.4561901E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4561901E-5 | 0.0 | 2.8473578E-4 | 1.7727753E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.1281745 | 1.7727753E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0028437122 | 0.001771442 | 5.0E-4 | 0.28225592 | 0.001771442 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.1676276E-6 | 2.3350815E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3350815E-6 | 0.0 | 1.7861139E-5 | 1.00074585E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.00074585E-5 | 0.0 | 2.1743766E-4 | 1.2183474E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.641568 | 1.2183474E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0021722503 | 0.0012177526 | 5.0E-4 | 0.41059244 | 0.0012177526 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.2692414E-7 | 9.391389E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.391389E-8 | 0.0 | 9.725317E-7 | 4.0248807E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0248807E-7 | 0.0 | 1.1840509E-5 | 4.9002842E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.9002842E-6 | 0.0 | 1.1839878E-4 | 4.900209E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.900209E-5 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.4415768E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.4415768E-9 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.4749616E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4749616E-8 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.7957656E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7957656E-7 | 0.0 | 3.4838679E-6 | 1.7957643E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7957643E-6 | 0.0 |
Ludlow
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2407607E-5 | 2.3659872E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3659872E-5 | 0.0 | 9.602906E-5 | 1.0139576E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0139576E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011685267 | 0.0012338384 | 7.0E-4 | 0.56733525 | 0.001333715 | 1.0E-4 | 0.011624013 | 0.012274393 | 0.0116 | 0.945057 | 0.015928978 | 0.0037 |
6.1 | 2.2407607E-5 | 2.3659872E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3659872E-5 | 0.0 | 9.602906E-5 | 1.0139576E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0139576E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011685267 | 0.0012338384 | 7.0E-4 | 0.56733525 | 0.001333715 | 1.0E-4 | 0.011624013 | 0.012274393 | 0.0116 | 0.945057 | 0.015928978 | 0.0037 |
6.2 | 1.0781252E-5 | 1.1366887E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1366887E-5 | 0.0 | 4.620455E-5 | 4.871434E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.871434E-5 | 0.0 | 5.623952E-4 | 5.9293973E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.33730242 | 5.9293973E-4 | 0.0 | 0.00560974 | 0.0059139957 | 0.0052 | 0.8792702 | 0.0077033504 | 0.0018 |
6.3 | 1.0781252E-5 | 1.1366887E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1366887E-5 | 0.0 | 4.620455E-5 | 4.871434E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.871434E-5 | 0.0 | 5.623952E-4 | 5.9293973E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.33730242 | 5.9293973E-4 | 0.0 | 0.00560974 | 0.0059139957 | 0.0052 | 0.8792702 | 0.0077033504 | 0.0018 |
6.4 | 7.814439E-6 | 8.238614E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.238614E-6 | 0.0 | 3.3490025E-5 | 3.5307876E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5307876E-5 | 0.0 | 4.0766477E-4 | 4.2979003E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.46534353 | 4.2979003E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0040691774 | 0.0042897346 | 0.004 | 0.9324586 | 0.005683729 | 0.0014 |
6.5 | 6.4986366E-6 | 6.8516565E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.8516565E-6 | 0.0 | 2.7851002E-5 | 2.9363919E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9363919E-5 | 0.0 | 3.390332E-4 | 3.5744798E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.279761 | 3.5744798E-4 | 0.0 | 0.003385164 | 0.0035688265 | 0.003 | 0.8406125 | 0.0045652576 | 0.001 |
6.6 | 5.582177E-6 | 5.8866412E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.8866412E-6 | 0.0 | 2.3923398E-5 | 2.5228223E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5228223E-5 | 0.0 | 2.9122844E-4 | 3.0711104E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.32561514 | 3.0711104E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0029084706 | 0.0030669395 | 0.0027 | 0.88035643 | 0.0040638726 | 0.001 |
6.7 | 4.6858763E-6 | 4.94096E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.94096E-6 | 0.0 | 2.0082172E-5 | 2.1175374E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1175374E-5 | 0.0 | 2.4447302E-4 | 2.5778022E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.38792735 | 2.5778022E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0024420423 | 0.0025748685 | 0.0022 | 0.85441256 | 0.0034725512 | 9.0E-4 |
6.8 | 3.5584908E-6 | 3.7524233E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.7524233E-6 | 0.0 | 1.5250586E-5 | 1.6081716E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6081716E-5 | 0.0 | 1.8566006E-4 | 1.9577773E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5107834 | 1.9577773E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0018550502 | 0.0019560936 | 0.0016 | 0.8179568 | 0.0025549198 | 6.0E-4 |
6.9 | 2.532834E-6 | 2.6712926E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6712926E-6 | 0.0 | 1.0854958E-5 | 1.1448348E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1448348E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3215111E-4 | 1.39375E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.39375E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0013207254 | 0.0013929035 | 0.0012 | 0.8615098 | 0.0018922071 | 5.0E-4 |
7.0 | 1.7083285E-6 | 1.8021398E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8021398E-6 | 0.0 | 7.3213873E-6 | 7.7234345E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.7234345E-6 | 0.0 | 8.913424E-5 | 9.402892E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.402892E-5 | 0.0 | 8.9098496E-4 | 9.3990786E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.74475384 | 0.0013395319 | 4.0E-4 |
7.1 | 1.0905424E-6 | 1.1498859E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1498859E-6 | 0.0 | 4.6737446E-6 | 4.9280734E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.9280734E-6 | 0.0 | 5.6901354E-5 | 5.999774E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.999774E-5 | 0.0 | 5.6886784E-4 | 5.9982523E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.5001457 | 7.997052E-4 | 2.0E-4 |
7.2 | 6.06668E-7 | 6.387947E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.387947E-7 | 0.0 | 2.600003E-6 | 2.737689E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.737689E-6 | 0.0 | 3.1654577E-5 | 3.3330925E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3330925E-5 | 0.0 | 3.1650066E-4 | 3.332661E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.9001816 | 5.3319946E-4 | 2.0E-4 |
San Diego Trough north alt1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.329252E-5 | 8.824872E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.824872E-5 | 0.0 | 3.14073E-4 | 3.78157E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.52888083 | 4.781192E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0038171355 | 0.0045949104 | 0.0028 | 0.6093699 | 0.0049930722 | 4.0E-4 | 0.03752231 | 0.04506296 | 0.0305 | 0.6768308 | 0.048596226 | 0.0037 |
6.1 | 3.7940346E-5 | 4.490157E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.490157E-5 | 0.0 | 1.6259136E-4 | 1.9242105E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5196937 | 1.9242105E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0019777524 | 0.0023402898 | 0.0013 | 0.55548674 | 0.0024400558 | 1.0E-4 | 0.019602431 | 0.02316512 | 0.0145 | 0.62594104 | 0.02482574 | 0.0017 |
6.2 | 2.8645263E-5 | 3.330762E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.330762E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2275964E-4 | 1.4273915E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.70057863 | 1.4273915E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0014935739 | 0.0017364867 | 9.0E-4 | 0.5182879 | 0.0017364867 | 0.0 | 0.0148357535 | 0.017231833 | 0.0102 | 0.59192777 | 0.018214602 | 0.001 |
6.3 | 2.8645263E-5 | 3.330762E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.330762E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2275964E-4 | 1.4273915E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.70057863 | 1.4273915E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0014935739 | 0.0017364867 | 9.0E-4 | 0.5182879 | 0.0017364867 | 0.0 | 0.0148357535 | 0.017231833 | 0.0102 | 0.59192777 | 0.018214602 | 0.001 |
6.4 | 2.2204576E-5 | 2.5455778E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5455778E-5 | 0.0 | 9.5159E-5 | 1.0909168E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.9166602 | 1.0909168E-4 | 0.0 | 0.001157945 | 0.0013273912 | 7.0E-4 | 0.5273502 | 0.0013273912 | 0.0 | 0.011519298 | 0.013195796 | 0.0073 | 0.5532065 | 0.013886559 | 7.0E-4 |
6.5 | 2.1004838E-5 | 2.403162E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.403162E-5 | 0.0 | 9.0017624E-5 | 1.0298863E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.97098094 | 1.0298863E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0010954136 | 0.0012531743 | 7.0E-4 | 0.55858153 | 0.0012531743 | 0.0 | 0.010900296 | 0.012462159 | 0.0073 | 0.58577335 | 0.013153435 | 7.0E-4 |
6.6 | 1.820557E-5 | 2.0710482E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0710482E-5 | 0.0 | 7.802154E-5 | 8.875621E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1266817 | 8.875621E-5 | 0.0 | 9.4949827E-4 | 0.0010800766 | 6.0E-4 | 0.5555162 | 0.0010800766 | 0.0 | 0.009454516 | 0.010748942 | 0.0059 | 0.5488912 | 0.011342494 | 6.0E-4 |
6.7 | 1.5884485E-5 | 1.7988401E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7988401E-5 | 0.0 | 6.807459E-5 | 7.709089E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2971702 | 7.709089E-5 | 0.0 | 8.284929E-4 | 9.3818014E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.42635736 | 9.3818014E-4 | 0.0 | 0.008254109 | 0.0093425615 | 0.0046 | 0.4923703 | 0.00983789 | 5.0E-4 |
6.8 | 1.4331171E-5 | 1.6205291E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6205291E-5 | 0.0 | 6.141786E-5 | 6.944941E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4398971 | 6.944941E-5 | 0.0 | 7.4750587E-4 | 8.452205E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.4732493 | 8.452205E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0074499645 | 0.008420326 | 0.0042 | 0.49879307 | 0.0088169575 | 4.0E-4 |
6.9 | 1.2574203E-5 | 1.4209517E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4209517E-5 | 0.0 | 5.3888325E-5 | 6.0896517E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.6421301 | 6.0896517E-5 | 0.0 | 6.558929E-4 | 7.4116426E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.53969145 | 7.4116426E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0065396037 | 0.0073871105 | 0.0039 | 0.52794665 | 0.0076848944 | 3.0E-4 |
7.0 | 1.0883844E-5 | 1.2292431E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2292431E-5 | 0.0 | 4.664421E-5 | 5.268079E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.8982252 | 5.268079E-5 | 0.0 | 5.677453E-4 | 6.4120087E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.4678721 | 6.4120087E-4 | 0.0 | 0.00566297 | 0.006393636 | 0.0034 | 0.5317788 | 0.006691718 | 3.0E-4 |
7.1 | 9.393088E-6 | 1.060976E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.060976E-5 | 0.0 | 4.025547E-5 | 4.546961E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.1992712 | 4.546961E-5 | 0.0 | 4.900001E-4 | 5.5345264E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.5420518 | 5.5345264E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0048892107 | 0.0055208397 | 0.0028 | 0.50716925 | 0.0057197353 | 2.0E-4 |
7.2 | 8.190791E-6 | 9.261039E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.261039E-6 | 0.0 | 3.510292E-5 | 3.9689567E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.519554 | 3.9689567E-5 | 0.0 | 4.2729423E-4 | 4.83114E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.62097144 | 4.83114E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0042647356 | 0.004820718 | 0.0026 | 0.53933877 | 0.0050197537 | 2.0E-4 |
7.3 | 6.268162E-6 | 7.091572E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.091572E-6 | 0.0 | 2.6863276E-5 | 3.0392099E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.2903287 | 3.0392099E-5 | 0.0 | 3.2701128E-4 | 3.699614E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.81089544 | 3.699614E-4 | 0.0 | 0.003265305 | 0.003693501 | 0.0021 | 0.56856626 | 0.0038927624 | 2.0E-4 |
7.4 | 4.985186E-6 | 5.6441677E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.6441677E-6 | 0.0 | 2.1364907E-5 | 2.4189068E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.134099 | 2.4189068E-5 | 0.0 | 2.600867E-4 | 2.944625E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.0188055 | 2.944625E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002597825 | 0.0029407647 | 0.0018 | 0.6120857 | 0.0031401764 | 2.0E-4 |
7.5 | 1.7489613E-6 | 1.9701774E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9701774E-6 | 0.0 | 7.495527E-6 | 8.4435915E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.4435915E-6 | 0.0 | 9.125422E-5 | 1.02796104E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.9455991 | 1.02796104E-4 | 0.0 | 9.1216754E-4 | 0.0010275076 | 8.0E-4 | 0.7785831 | 0.0011274049 | 1.0E-4 |
7.6 | 1.6988751E-7 | 1.753494E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.753494E-7 | 0.0 | 7.2808916E-7 | 7.5149717E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.5149717E-7 | 0.0 | 8.864449E-6 | 9.149442E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.149442E-6 | 0.0 | 8.8640954E-5 | 9.149085E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0930055 | 9.149085E-5 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 09 (Laguna Seca)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.4353277E-5 | 7.05442E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.417551 | 7.05442E-5 | 0.0 | 2.3292181E-4 | 3.0229776E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.66159934 | 3.0229776E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0028321352 | 0.0036742606 | 0.0017 | 0.4626781 | 0.0037738932 | 1.0E-4 | 0.02796312 | 0.036137305 | 0.0245 | 0.67796975 | 0.039510828 | 0.0035 |
6.1 | 4.5578287E-5 | 5.8255642E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.7165719 | 5.8255642E-5 | 0.0 | 1.953209E-4 | 2.4964302E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.80114394 | 2.4964302E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0023754383 | 0.0030351593 | 0.0013 | 0.4283136 | 0.0030351593 | 0.0 | 0.023502063 | 0.029937185 | 0.0176 | 0.5878976 | 0.032556355 | 0.0027 |
6.2 | 2.8536782E-5 | 3.475515E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.8772714 | 3.475515E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2229476E-4 | 1.4894147E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.3428093 | 1.4894147E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0014879217 | 0.0018118289 | 8.0E-4 | 0.4415428 | 0.0018118289 | 0.0 | 0.014779986 | 0.01796772 | 0.0112 | 0.6233401 | 0.01953897 | 0.0016 |
6.3 | 2.3698774E-5 | 2.8227823E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.542604 | 2.8227823E-5 | 0.0 | 1.01562226E-4 | 1.2096998E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.6533028 | 1.2096998E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0012358186 | 0.0014718039 | 8.0E-4 | 0.54355067 | 0.0014718039 | 0.0 | 0.012289686 | 0.014618806 | 0.0091 | 0.6224859 | 0.015407111 | 8.0E-4 |
6.4 | 1.9191197E-5 | 2.2133412E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.5180564 | 2.2133412E-5 | 0.0 | 8.2245395E-5 | 9.48538E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.054254 | 9.48538E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010008777 | 0.0011542377 | 5.0E-4 | 0.43318635 | 0.0011542377 | 0.0 | 0.009963818 | 0.011482391 | 0.0064 | 0.5573752 | 0.0120755015 | 6.0E-4 |
6.5 | 1.5203241E-5 | 1.6808468E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 5.949382 | 1.6808468E-5 | 0.0 | 6.5155116E-5 | 7.2034E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.3882332 | 7.2034E-5 | 0.0 | 7.9297484E-4 | 8.766742E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.34220237 | 8.766742E-4 | 0.0 | 0.007901512 | 0.008733264 | 0.0048 | 0.5496227 | 0.0093280235 | 6.0E-4 |
6.6 | 1.0984925E-5 | 1.1246372E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 8.891757 | 1.1246372E-5 | 0.0 | 4.70774E-5 | 4.8197868E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.0747807 | 4.8197868E-5 | 0.0 | 5.730166E-4 | 5.866549E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.34091595 | 5.866549E-4 | 0.0 | 0.005715413 | 0.0058514527 | 0.0029 | 0.49560344 | 0.006149697 | 3.0E-4 |
6.7 | 9.134616E-6 | 9.022793E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 11.083043 | 9.022793E-6 | 0.0 | 3.9147766E-5 | 3.8668553E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.5860808 | 3.8668553E-5 | 0.0 | 4.7651984E-4 | 4.706903E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.42490783 | 4.706903E-4 | 0.0 | 0.004754993 | 0.004697179 | 0.0021 | 0.44707686 | 0.0047967094 | 1.0E-4 |
6.8 | 7.785589E-6 | 7.4543377E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.4543377E-6 | 0.0 | 3.3366385E-5 | 3.1946784E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1946784E-5 | 0.0 | 4.0616E-4 | 3.8888468E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.25714564 | 3.8888468E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0040541845 | 0.0038822459 | 0.0018 | 0.46364915 | 0.0039818576 | 1.0E-4 |
6.9 | 5.579095E-6 | 4.900089E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.900089E-6 | 0.0 | 2.3910188E-5 | 2.100022E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.100022E-5 | 0.0 | 2.9106764E-4 | 2.5564907E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.3911612 | 2.5564907E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002906867 | 0.0025536872 | 0.0013 | 0.50906783 | 0.0026534318 | 1.0E-4 |
7.0 | 2.6816688E-6 | 1.5220992E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5220992E-6 | 0.0 | 1.1492816E-5 | 6.523266E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.523266E-6 | 0.0 | 1.3991605E-4 | 7.941796E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.941796E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0013982799 | 7.9390453E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.5038389 | 7.9390453E-4 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.9951021E-6 | 7.4566793E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.4566793E-7 | 0.0 | 8.55041E-6 | 3.195716E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.195716E-6 | 0.0 | 1.0409627E-4 | 3.890719E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.890719E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010404752 | 3.8900794E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.25706416 | 3.8900794E-4 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.9951021E-6 | 7.4566793E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.4566793E-7 | 0.0 | 8.55041E-6 | 3.195716E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.195716E-6 | 0.0 | 1.0409627E-4 | 3.890719E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.890719E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010404752 | 3.8900794E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.25706416 | 3.8900794E-4 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.7087556E-6 | 6.580828E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.580828E-7 | 0.0 | 7.3232177E-6 | 2.820352E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.820352E-6 | 0.0 | 8.915652E-5 | 3.4337285E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.4337285E-5 | 0.0 | 8.9120766E-4 | 3.4332383E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.2912702 | 3.4332383E-4 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.3804846E-6 | 6.0752086E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0752086E-7 | 0.0 | 5.916349E-6 | 2.6036585E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6036585E-6 | 0.0 | 7.2029165E-5 | 3.169912E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.169912E-5 | 0.0 | 7.200583E-4 | 3.1695003E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.31550714 | 3.1695003E-4 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3804846E-6 | 6.0752086E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0752086E-7 | 0.0 | 5.916349E-6 | 2.6036585E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6036585E-6 | 0.0 | 7.2029165E-5 | 3.169912E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.169912E-5 | 0.0 | 7.200583E-4 | 3.1695003E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.31550714 | 3.1695003E-4 | 0.0 |
Trinidad (alt1)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0167168E-5 | 3.404185E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.404185E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2928146E-4 | 1.4588643E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.6854647 | 1.4588643E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0015728653 | 0.0017748888 | 8.0E-4 | 0.45073247 | 0.0020743564 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0156177925 | 0.017624097 | 0.0131 | 0.74330044 | 0.021062413 | 0.0035 |
6.1 | 3.0167168E-5 | 3.404185E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.404185E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2928146E-4 | 1.4588643E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.6854647 | 1.4588643E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0015728653 | 0.0017748888 | 8.0E-4 | 0.45073247 | 0.0020743564 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0156177925 | 0.017624097 | 0.0131 | 0.74330044 | 0.021062413 | 0.0035 |
6.2 | 3.0167168E-5 | 3.404185E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.404185E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2928146E-4 | 1.4588643E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.6854647 | 1.4588643E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0015728653 | 0.0017748888 | 8.0E-4 | 0.45073247 | 0.0020743564 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0156177925 | 0.017624097 | 0.0131 | 0.74330044 | 0.021062413 | 0.0035 |
6.3 | 3.0167168E-5 | 3.404185E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.404185E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2928146E-4 | 1.4588643E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.6854647 | 1.4588643E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0015728653 | 0.0017748888 | 8.0E-4 | 0.45073247 | 0.0020743564 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0156177925 | 0.017624097 | 0.0131 | 0.74330044 | 0.021062413 | 0.0035 |
6.4 | 3.0167168E-5 | 3.404185E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.404185E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2928146E-4 | 1.4588643E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.6854647 | 1.4588643E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0015728653 | 0.0017748888 | 8.0E-4 | 0.45073247 | 0.0020743564 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0156177925 | 0.017624097 | 0.0131 | 0.74330044 | 0.021062413 | 0.0035 |
6.5 | 3.0167168E-5 | 3.404185E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.404185E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2928146E-4 | 1.4588643E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.6854647 | 1.4588643E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0015728653 | 0.0017748888 | 8.0E-4 | 0.45073247 | 0.0020743564 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0156177925 | 0.017624097 | 0.0131 | 0.74330044 | 0.021062413 | 0.0035 |
6.6 | 3.0167168E-5 | 3.404185E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.404185E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2928146E-4 | 1.4588643E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.6854647 | 1.4588643E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0015728653 | 0.0017748888 | 8.0E-4 | 0.45073247 | 0.0020743564 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0156177925 | 0.017624097 | 0.0131 | 0.74330044 | 0.021062413 | 0.0035 |
6.7 | 3.0167168E-5 | 3.404185E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.404185E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2928146E-4 | 1.4588643E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.6854647 | 1.4588643E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0015728653 | 0.0017748888 | 8.0E-4 | 0.45073247 | 0.0020743564 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0156177925 | 0.017624097 | 0.0131 | 0.74330044 | 0.021062413 | 0.0035 |
6.8 | 1.717077E-5 | 1.9200179E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9200179E-5 | 0.0 | 7.358694E-5 | 8.228413E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.228413E-5 | 0.0 | 8.9555274E-4 | 0.0010013934 | 4.0E-4 | 0.39944342 | 0.0012011932 | 2.0E-4 | 0.008919522 | 0.009973263 | 0.0083 | 0.83222514 | 0.012250325 | 0.0023 |
6.9 | 1.717077E-5 | 1.9200179E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9200179E-5 | 0.0 | 7.358694E-5 | 8.228413E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.228413E-5 | 0.0 | 8.9555274E-4 | 0.0010013934 | 4.0E-4 | 0.39944342 | 0.0012011932 | 2.0E-4 | 0.008919522 | 0.009973263 | 0.0083 | 0.83222514 | 0.012250325 | 0.0023 |
7.0 | 1.2858572E-5 | 1.4340644E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4340644E-5 | 0.0 | 5.5107E-5 | 6.145864E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.145864E-5 | 0.0 | 6.707212E-4 | 7.480341E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.40105122 | 8.479593E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006687004 | 0.0074583427 | 0.0068 | 0.9117307 | 0.0094434265 | 0.002 |
7.1 | 1.0588431E-5 | 1.18039525E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.18039525E-5 | 0.0 | 4.53782E-5 | 5.058755E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.058755E-5 | 0.0 | 5.5233954E-4 | 6.157583E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.48720416 | 7.156967E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005509687 | 0.006143372 | 0.0058 | 0.9441069 | 0.007832929 | 0.0017 |
7.2 | 8.138061E-6 | 9.069269E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.069269E-6 | 0.0 | 3.487694E-5 | 3.8867856E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.8867856E-5 | 0.0 | 4.2454398E-4 | 4.7313827E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.2113547 | 4.7313827E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0042373384 | 0.0047237515 | 0.0046 | 0.9738023 | 0.005918083 | 0.0012 |
7.3 | 5.787542E-6 | 6.4618107E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.4618107E-6 | 0.0 | 2.4803514E-5 | 2.7693302E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7693302E-5 | 0.0 | 3.0194095E-4 | 3.3713534E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3713534E-4 | 0.0 | 0.00301531 | 0.0033683507 | 0.0032 | 0.95001984 | 0.004165656 | 8.0E-4 |
7.4 | 4.303563E-6 | 4.8019524E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.8019524E-6 | 0.0 | 1.844371E-5 | 2.0579746E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0579746E-5 | 0.0 | 2.2452902E-4 | 2.5054938E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5054938E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0022430231 | 0.0025046081 | 0.0022 | 0.87838095 | 0.0030033558 | 5.0E-4 |
7.5 | 5.6063425E-7 | 6.144149E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.144149E-7 | 0.0 | 2.402716E-6 | 2.633204E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.633204E-6 | 0.0 | 2.9252675E-5 | 3.2058804E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2058804E-5 | 0.0 | 2.9248823E-4 | 3.2054336E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.3119703 | 3.2054336E-4 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.6699128E-7 | 5.126792E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.126792E-7 | 0.0 | 2.0013897E-6 | 2.197195E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.197195E-6 | 0.0 | 2.4366647E-5 | 2.6750535E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6750535E-5 | 0.0 | 2.4363975E-4 | 2.6747456E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.37386733 | 2.6747456E-4 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.2080937E-7 | 2.4351854E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4351854E-7 | 0.0 | 9.4632554E-7 | 1.0436505E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0436505E-6 | 0.0 | 1.15214525E-5 | 1.2706377E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2706377E-5 | 0.0 | 1.1520855E-4 | 1.270571E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.7870477 | 1.270571E-4 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.1438307E-8 | 1.26857005E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.26857005E-8 | 0.0 | 4.9021317E-8 | 5.4367288E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.4367288E-8 | 0.0 | 5.9683435E-7 | 6.619217E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.619217E-7 | 0.0 | 5.9683275E-6 | 6.6192174E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.6192174E-6 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 07 (Orestimba)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.9687902E-5 | 3.2764223E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.0521095 | 1.3276095E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2722766E-4 | 1.4041095E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.71219516 | 2.4039691E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0015478961 | 0.0017082348 | 0.001 | 0.5853996 | 0.0019078931 | 2.0E-4 | 0.015371585 | 0.016958589 | 0.015 | 0.8845076 | 0.020202626 | 0.0033 |
6.1 | 2.9687902E-5 | 3.2764223E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.0521095 | 1.3276095E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2722766E-4 | 1.4041095E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.71219516 | 2.4039691E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0015478961 | 0.0017082348 | 9.0E-4 | 0.5268597 | 0.0019078931 | 2.0E-4 | 0.015371585 | 0.016958589 | 0.0119 | 0.70170933 | 0.019809408 | 0.0029 |
6.2 | 1.9231524E-5 | 2.1163376E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.7251444 | 1.2116126E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 8.2418206E-5 | 9.0697155E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1025704 | 1.906881E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0010029797 | 0.0011037017 | 7.0E-4 | 0.63422936 | 0.0013034809 | 2.0E-4 | 0.00998465 | 0.010984614 | 0.0074 | 0.6736696 | 0.013259349 | 0.0023 |
6.3 | 1.324766E-5 | 1.4551368E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 6.872206 | 1.1454991E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.6774446E-5 | 6.236156E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.6035517 | 1.6235533E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.910097E-4 | 7.5899676E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.7905172 | 8.5892086E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006888649 | 0.0075649917 | 0.0046 | 0.6080641 | 0.009053645 | 0.0015 |
6.4 | 7.818645E-6 | 8.5744805E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.5744805E-6 | 0.0 | 3.3508048E-5 | 3.6747275E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.6747275E-5 | 0.0 | 4.078841E-4 | 4.473096E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.44711763 | 4.473096E-4 | 0.0 | 0.004071363 | 0.0044644326 | 0.0029 | 0.6495786 | 0.0052608615 | 8.0E-4 |
6.5 | 5.3076565E-6 | 5.81891E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.81891E-6 | 0.0 | 2.27469E-5 | 2.493796E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.493796E-5 | 0.0 | 2.7690834E-4 | 3.0357947E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.6588061 | 3.0357947E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0027656353 | 0.003031857 | 0.0021 | 0.69264483 | 0.0034306443 | 4.0E-4 |
6.6 | 3.6003578E-6 | 3.949253E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.949253E-6 | 0.0 | 1.5430012E-5 | 1.6925267E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6925267E-5 | 0.0 | 1.8784421E-4 | 2.0604722E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.9706513 | 2.0604722E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0018768552 | 0.0020587158 | 0.0012 | 0.58288765 | 0.002258304 | 2.0E-4 |
6.7 | 2.5361826E-6 | 2.7840063E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7840063E-6 | 0.0 | 1.0869308E-5 | 1.1931408E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1931408E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3232579E-4 | 1.4525653E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.3768743 | 1.4525653E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0013224703 | 0.0014517459 | 0.0011 | 0.7577084 | 0.0016514555 | 2.0E-4 |
6.8 | 1.2115831E-6 | 1.3316409E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3316409E-6 | 0.0 | 5.1924885E-6 | 5.7070256E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.7070256E-6 | 0.0 | 6.3216714E-5 | 6.9481786E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.878452 | 6.9481786E-5 | 0.0 | 6.3198735E-4 | 6.946958E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.7197395 | 6.946958E-4 | 0.0 |
Elysian Park (Upper)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.7050297E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.7050297E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5878E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.6298022 | 1.5878E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0019319047 | 0.0016 | 0.8281982 | 0.0020317114 | 1.0E-4 | 0.016495159 | 0.019197576 | 0.0141 | 0.73446774 | 0.022532303 | 0.0034 |
6.1 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.7050297E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.7050297E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5878E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.6298022 | 1.5878E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0019319047 | 0.0016 | 0.8281982 | 0.0020317114 | 1.0E-4 | 0.016495159 | 0.019197576 | 0.0141 | 0.73446774 | 0.022532303 | 0.0034 |
6.2 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.7050297E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.7050297E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5878E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.6298022 | 1.5878E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0019319047 | 0.0016 | 0.8281982 | 0.0020317114 | 1.0E-4 | 0.016495159 | 0.019197576 | 0.0141 | 0.73446774 | 0.022532303 | 0.0034 |
6.3 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.7050297E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.7050297E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5878E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.6298022 | 1.5878E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0019319047 | 0.0016 | 0.8281982 | 0.0020317114 | 1.0E-4 | 0.016495159 | 0.019197576 | 0.0141 | 0.73446774 | 0.022532303 | 0.0034 |
6.4 | 1.9273462E-5 | 2.1209538E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1209538E-5 | 0.0 | 8.259794E-5 | 9.089578E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1001611 | 9.089578E-5 | 0.0 | 0.001005166 | 0.0011062655 | 0.0011 | 0.99433637 | 0.0012061548 | 1.0E-4 | 0.010006315 | 0.011024404 | 0.0079 | 0.71659195 | 0.013002356 | 0.002 |
6.5 | 1.9273462E-5 | 2.1209538E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1209538E-5 | 0.0 | 8.259794E-5 | 9.089578E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1001611 | 9.089578E-5 | 0.0 | 0.001005166 | 0.0011062655 | 0.0011 | 0.99433637 | 0.0012061548 | 1.0E-4 | 0.010006315 | 0.011024404 | 0.0079 | 0.71659195 | 0.013002356 | 0.002 |
6.6 | 9.813258E-6 | 9.6676595E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.6676595E-6 | 0.0 | 4.205614E-5 | 4.143221E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.4135811 | 4.143221E-5 | 0.0 | 5.119132E-4 | 5.0432765E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.99141896 | 6.042772E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005107356 | 0.005032555 | 0.0042 | 0.8345661 | 0.0061270194 | 0.0011 |
6.7 | 9.801478E-6 | 9.655228E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.655228E-6 | 0.0 | 4.2005657E-5 | 4.137893E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.416689 | 4.137893E-5 | 0.0 | 5.112989E-4 | 5.036793E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.9926952 | 6.036289E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0051012407 | 0.005026101 | 0.0042 | 0.8356378 | 0.0061205723 | 0.0011 |
6.8 | 8.102489E-6 | 7.7746645E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.7746645E-6 | 0.0 | 3.4724493E-5 | 3.3319593E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.0012374 | 3.3319593E-5 | 0.0 | 4.2268867E-4 | 4.055955E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 1.2327553 | 5.055549E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004218856 | 0.0040490464 | 0.0033 | 0.8150067 | 0.004646617 | 6.0E-4 |
6.9 | 6.08275E-6 | 5.482499E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.482499E-6 | 0.0 | 2.6068668E-5 | 2.3496219E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.256004 | 2.3496219E-5 | 0.0 | 3.173398E-4 | 2.8602968E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.0488422 | 3.8600108E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0031688702 | 0.002856693 | 0.0022 | 0.7701213 | 0.0032555503 | 4.0E-4 |
7.0 | 5.5995934E-6 | 4.9837386E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.9837386E-6 | 0.0 | 2.3998036E-5 | 2.135871E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.135871E-5 | 0.0 | 2.9213692E-4 | 2.6001193E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.38459775 | 2.6001193E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0029175316 | 0.0025971443 | 0.0019 | 0.73157275 | 0.002796625 | 2.0E-4 |
7.1 | 4.709881E-6 | 4.088206E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.088206E-6 | 0.0 | 2.0185047E-5 | 1.7520768E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7520768E-5 | 0.0 | 2.4572524E-4 | 2.1329487E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.46883452 | 2.1329487E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002454537 | 0.002130943 | 0.0015 | 0.70391375 | 0.0023305167 | 2.0E-4 |
7.2 | 3.6063436E-6 | 2.9785592E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9785592E-6 | 0.0 | 1.5455667E-5 | 1.2765192E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2765192E-5 | 0.0 | 1.881565E-4 | 1.5540524E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5540524E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0018799726 | 0.0015529769 | 0.0013 | 0.837102 | 0.0017526663 | 2.0E-4 |
7.3 | 2.471135E-6 | 2.0959303E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0959303E-6 | 0.0 | 1.0590536E-5 | 8.982528E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.982528E-6 | 0.0 | 1.2893214E-4 | 1.0935686E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0935686E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0012885736 | 0.0010930377 | 0.001 | 0.9148815 | 0.0010930377 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.163943E-6 | 1.0278206E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0278206E-6 | 0.0 | 4.988318E-6 | 4.4049384E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.4049384E-6 | 0.0 | 6.0731076E-5 | 5.3628835E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.3628835E-5 | 0.0 | 6.071448E-4 | 5.3616194E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.74604326 | 5.3616194E-4 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.99459E-7 | 4.9187946E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.9187946E-7 | 0.0 | 2.140537E-6 | 2.1080534E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1080534E-6 | 0.0 | 2.6060725E-5 | 2.5665264E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5665264E-5 | 0.0 | 2.605767E-4 | 2.5662457E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.3896743 | 2.5662457E-4 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.4667852E-7 | 2.4783398E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4783398E-7 | 0.0 | 1.0571932E-6 | 1.0621452E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0621452E-6 | 0.0 | 1.2871251E-5 | 1.2931545E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2931545E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2870505E-4 | 1.2930829E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.7733456 | 1.2930829E-4 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 8.2312795E-8 | 7.389191E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.389191E-8 | 0.0 | 3.527691E-7 | 3.166796E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.166796E-7 | 0.0 | 4.294955E-6 | 3.8555686E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.8555686E-6 | 0.0 | 4.2948723E-5 | 3.8555132E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.5936885 | 3.8555132E-5 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.7819295E-8 | 1.7585192E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7585192E-8 | 0.0 | 1.1922555E-7 | 7.53651E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.53651E-8 | 0.0 | 1.45157E-6 | 9.1756993E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.1756993E-7 | 0.0 | 1.45156055E-5 | 9.1756765E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.1756765E-6 | 0.0 |
Rose Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5923203E-5 | 4.9801987E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.9801987E-5 | 0.0 | 1.9679888E-4 | 2.1342098E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.937115 | 2.1342098E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0023933933 | 0.0025954961 | 0.0026 | 1.0017352 | 0.0028947175 | 3.0E-4 | 0.023677798 | 0.025698043 | 0.0251 | 0.976728 | 0.02920553 | 0.0036 |
6.1 | 4.5923203E-5 | 4.9801987E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.9801987E-5 | 0.0 | 1.9679888E-4 | 2.1342098E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.937115 | 2.1342098E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0023933933 | 0.0025954961 | 0.0013 | 0.5008676 | 0.002794977 | 2.0E-4 | 0.023677798 | 0.025698043 | 0.0157 | 0.6109414 | 0.027549218 | 0.0019 |
6.2 | 2.8844734E-5 | 2.9745968E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9745968E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2361443E-4 | 1.274767E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.5689143 | 1.274767E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0015039665 | 0.0015509513 | 4.0E-4 | 0.25790623 | 0.0015509513 | 0.0 | 0.0149382865 | 0.015406392 | 0.0095 | 0.61662716 | 0.016587904 | 0.0012 |
6.3 | 2.3171577E-5 | 2.323454E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.323454E-5 | 0.0 | 9.9302975E-5 | 9.957287E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.0085793 | 9.957287E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0012083431 | 0.001211639 | 4.0E-4 | 0.33013135 | 0.001211639 | 0.0 | 0.012017938 | 0.012060704 | 0.0071 | 0.5886887 | 0.012851056 | 8.0E-4 |
6.4 | 2.0066604E-5 | 1.9713169E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9713169E-5 | 0.0 | 8.599689E-5 | 8.448233E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.3673592 | 8.448233E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010465092 | 0.0010280971 | 4.0E-4 | 0.3890683 | 0.0010280971 | 0.0 | 0.010415946 | 0.010241615 | 0.0064 | 0.6249015 | 0.011033421 | 8.0E-4 |
6.5 | 1.776989E-5 | 1.7142245E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7142245E-5 | 0.0 | 7.615444E-5 | 7.346474E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.7223945 | 7.346474E-5 | 0.0 | 9.267859E-4 | 8.9407316E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.335543 | 8.9407316E-4 | 0.0 | 0.009229303 | 0.00891359 | 0.0053 | 0.5945977 | 0.009508241 | 6.0E-4 |
6.6 | 1.5227364E-5 | 1.4350491E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4350491E-5 | 0.0 | 6.52585E-5 | 6.150069E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 3.2519963 | 6.150069E-5 | 0.0 | 7.942326E-4 | 7.4851885E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.40079153 | 7.4851885E-4 | 0.0 | 0.007914 | 0.007458934 | 0.0047 | 0.6301168 | 0.008054459 | 6.0E-4 |
6.7 | 1.2703898E-5 | 1.16766705E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.16766705E-5 | 0.0 | 5.4444143E-5 | 5.0041937E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 3.9966476 | 5.0041937E-5 | 0.0 | 6.626558E-4 | 6.090945E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.49253437 | 6.090945E-4 | 0.0 | 0.006606833 | 0.006071081 | 0.0039 | 0.6423897 | 0.006568046 | 5.0E-4 |
6.8 | 1.1554917E-5 | 1.0612592E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0612592E-5 | 0.0 | 4.9520135E-5 | 4.5481767E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 4.3973665 | 4.5481767E-5 | 0.0 | 6.0274085E-4 | 5.5360387E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.54190373 | 5.5360387E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0060110865 | 0.005512376 | 0.0034 | 0.61679393 | 0.005810722 | 3.0E-4 |
6.9 | 8.732078E-6 | 7.8834755E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.8834755E-6 | 0.0 | 3.7422655E-5 | 3.3785902E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 5.9196286 | 3.3785902E-5 | 0.0 | 4.5552556E-4 | 4.1126867E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.72945017 | 4.1126867E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0045459294 | 0.0040901336 | 0.0025 | 0.611227 | 0.0042893155 | 2.0E-4 |
7.0 | 5.9337494E-6 | 5.1083503E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.1083503E-6 | 0.0 | 2.5430107E-5 | 2.1892747E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.567723 | 2.1892747E-5 | 0.0 | 3.0956755E-4 | 2.6651172E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.750436 | 2.6651172E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0030913667 | 0.0026619367 | 0.0017 | 0.6386328 | 0.0028614043 | 2.0E-4 |
7.1 | 5.013409E-6 | 4.1781122E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.1781122E-6 | 0.0 | 2.1485863E-5 | 1.7906072E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 5.5846977 | 1.7906072E-5 | 0.0 | 2.6155898E-4 | 2.1798472E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.9174955 | 2.1798472E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0026125133 | 0.0021777207 | 0.0013 | 0.5969544 | 0.002277503 | 1.0E-4 |
7.2 | 4.120763E-6 | 3.2827104E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2827104E-6 | 0.0 | 1.7660293E-5 | 1.4068683E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 7.1079855 | 1.4068683E-5 | 0.0 | 2.1499286E-4 | 1.7127286E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.1677274 | 1.7127286E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0021478499 | 0.001711418 | 0.0013 | 0.759604 | 0.0018112469 | 1.0E-4 |
7.3 | 3.2081239E-6 | 2.4409628E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4409628E-6 | 0.0 | 1.374903E-5 | 1.0461228E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 9.559107 | 1.0461228E-5 | 0.0 | 1.6738157E-4 | 1.2735807E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.5703754 | 1.2735807E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0016725556 | 0.0012728579 | 8.0E-4 | 0.62850696 | 0.0012728579 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.4194755E-6 | 1.7683502E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7683502E-6 | 0.0 | 1.0369139E-5 | 7.578622E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.578622E-6 | 0.0 | 1.2623696E-4 | 9.226587E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.226587E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0012616527 | 9.2228095E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.4337073 | 9.2228095E-4 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3842889E-6 | 9.3805556E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.3805556E-7 | 0.0 | 5.9326535E-6 | 4.020232E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.020232E-6 | 0.0 | 7.222766E-5 | 4.894526E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.894526E-5 | 0.0 | 7.220419E-4 | 4.893484E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.6130602 | 4.893484E-4 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.0021575E-6 | 6.412578E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.412578E-7 | 0.0 | 4.2949537E-6 | 2.7482452E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7482452E-6 | 0.0 | 5.2289808E-5 | 3.3459393E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3459393E-5 | 0.0 | 5.2277505E-4 | 3.3454568E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.59782565 | 3.3454568E-4 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 8.7620116E-8 | 6.4499396E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.4499396E-8 | 0.0 | 3.7551473E-7 | 2.7642596E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7642596E-7 | 0.0 | 4.5718825E-6 | 3.3654812E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3654812E-6 | 0.0 | 4.5717883E-5 | 3.365433E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.365433E-5 | 0.0 |
Ventura-Pitas Point
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.3745982E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3745982E-5 | 0.0 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4461907E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.6914717 | 1.4461907E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017595721 | 9.0E-4 | 0.511488 | 0.002059044 | 3.0E-4 | 0.017163932 | 0.01748186 | 0.0147 | 0.8408716 | 0.020429416 | 0.003 |
6.1 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.3745982E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3745982E-5 | 0.0 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4461907E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.6914717 | 1.4461907E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017595721 | 9.0E-4 | 0.511488 | 0.002059044 | 3.0E-4 | 0.017163932 | 0.01748186 | 0.0147 | 0.8408716 | 0.020429416 | 0.003 |
6.2 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.3745982E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3745982E-5 | 0.0 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4461907E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.6914717 | 1.4461907E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017595721 | 9.0E-4 | 0.511488 | 0.002059044 | 3.0E-4 | 0.017163932 | 0.01748186 | 0.0147 | 0.8408716 | 0.020429416 | 0.003 |
6.3 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.3745982E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3745982E-5 | 0.0 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4461907E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.6914717 | 1.4461907E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017595721 | 9.0E-4 | 0.511488 | 0.002059044 | 3.0E-4 | 0.017163932 | 0.01748186 | 0.0147 | 0.8408716 | 0.020429416 | 0.003 |
6.4 | 1.8754668E-5 | 1.7025108E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7025108E-5 | 0.0 | 8.037467E-5 | 7.296284E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.3705606 | 7.296284E-5 | 0.0 | 9.781223E-4 | 8.8798365E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.6756881 | 8.8798365E-4 | 0.0 | 0.009738282 | 0.008846607 | 0.0069 | 0.7799601 | 0.009936876 | 0.0011 |
6.5 | 1.8754668E-5 | 1.7025108E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7025108E-5 | 0.0 | 8.037467E-5 | 7.296284E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.3705606 | 7.296284E-5 | 0.0 | 9.781223E-4 | 8.8798365E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.6756881 | 8.8798365E-4 | 0.0 | 0.009738282 | 0.008846607 | 0.0069 | 0.7799601 | 0.009936876 | 0.0011 |
6.6 | 1.4361558E-5 | 1.2126657E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2126657E-5 | 0.0 | 6.154808E-5 | 5.1970364E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.9241735 | 5.1970364E-5 | 0.0 | 7.490902E-4 | 6.325578E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.7904416 | 6.325578E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0074657016 | 0.006307744 | 0.0052 | 0.8243835 | 0.0073014363 | 0.001 |
6.7 | 1.4361558E-5 | 1.2126657E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2126657E-5 | 0.0 | 6.154808E-5 | 5.1970364E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.9241735 | 5.1970364E-5 | 0.0 | 7.490902E-4 | 6.325578E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.7904416 | 6.325578E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0074657016 | 0.006307744 | 0.0052 | 0.8243835 | 0.0073014363 | 0.001 |
6.8 | 1.3663846E-5 | 1.1348623E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1348623E-5 | 0.0 | 5.8558027E-5 | 4.863606E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.0560877 | 4.863606E-5 | 0.0 | 7.127108E-4 | 5.9198507E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.8446159 | 5.9198507E-4 | 0.0 | 0.007104293 | 0.0059042117 | 0.0047 | 0.79604197 | 0.006798898 | 9.0E-4 |
6.9 | 1.3644157E-5 | 1.1326719E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1326719E-5 | 0.0 | 5.8473648E-5 | 4.8542188E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.0600636 | 4.8542188E-5 | 0.0 | 7.116841E-4 | 5.908428E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.84624875 | 5.908428E-4 | 0.0 | 0.007094092 | 0.0058928495 | 0.0047 | 0.7975768 | 0.006787546 | 9.0E-4 |
7.0 | 1.3568845E-5 | 1.1246264E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1246264E-5 | 0.0 | 5.8150898E-5 | 4.819739E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.074801 | 4.819739E-5 | 0.0 | 7.077572E-4 | 5.866472E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.852301 | 5.866472E-4 | 0.0 | 0.007055073 | 0.005851115 | 0.0047 | 0.8032657 | 0.006745849 | 9.0E-4 |
7.1 | 1.306572E-5 | 1.072458E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.072458E-5 | 0.0 | 5.599474E-5 | 4.5961682E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.1757255 | 4.5961682E-5 | 0.0 | 6.815227E-4 | 5.594417E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.8937482 | 5.594417E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0067943637 | 0.0055804523 | 0.0045 | 0.80638623 | 0.00647543 | 9.0E-4 |
7.2 | 1.232604E-5 | 9.998935E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.998935E-6 | 0.0 | 5.2824813E-5 | 4.2851883E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.3336198 | 4.2851883E-5 | 0.0 | 6.429523E-4 | 5.2159856E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.95859164 | 5.2159856E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0064109527 | 0.0052038487 | 0.0043 | 0.82631147 | 0.0060991654 | 9.0E-4 |
7.3 | 1.0917261E-5 | 8.845898E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.845898E-6 | 0.0 | 4.678742E-5 | 3.791045E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.6377952 | 3.791045E-5 | 0.0 | 5.69488E-4 | 4.6146353E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 1.0835092 | 4.6146353E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0056803077 | 0.0046051326 | 0.0041 | 0.89031094 | 0.005500988 | 9.0E-4 |
7.4 | 1.039959E-5 | 8.425484E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.425484E-6 | 0.0 | 4.456891E-5 | 3.6108726E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.7694137 | 3.6108726E-5 | 0.0 | 5.424914E-4 | 4.3953658E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 1.1375617 | 4.3953658E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0054116896 | 0.0043867487 | 0.0038 | 0.86624515 | 0.0051832395 | 8.0E-4 |
7.5 | 9.015877E-6 | 7.299042E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.299042E-6 | 0.0 | 3.86389E-5 | 3.128124E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.128124E-5 | 0.0 | 4.7032707E-4 | 3.8078398E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.0504644 | 3.8078398E-4 | 0.0 | 0.004693329 | 0.0038013733 | 0.0031 | 0.8154947 | 0.0044987123 | 7.0E-4 |
7.6 | 4.900162E-6 | 3.8747658E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.8747658E-6 | 0.0 | 2.1000526E-5 | 1.6606034E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6606034E-5 | 0.0 | 2.556514E-4 | 2.0215983E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.4839743 | 2.0215983E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0025535747 | 0.002019773 | 0.0023 | 1.1387419 | 0.002518763 | 5.0E-4 |
7.7 | 3.8850626E-6 | 3.1272562E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1272562E-6 | 0.0 | 1.6650163E-5 | 1.3402458E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3402458E-5 | 0.0 | 2.0269687E-4 | 1.631628E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.2257696 | 1.631628E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002025121 | 0.0016304393 | 0.0021 | 1.2879964 | 0.0021296241 | 5.0E-4 |
7.8 | 2.4654719E-6 | 2.0302323E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0302323E-6 | 0.0 | 1.0566265E-5 | 8.700967E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.700967E-6 | 0.0 | 1.2863669E-4 | 1.0592917E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.944027 | 1.0592917E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0012856225 | 0.0010587915 | 0.0011 | 1.0389203 | 0.0013584739 | 3.0E-4 |
7.9 | 4.095894E-7 | 3.276988E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.276988E-7 | 0.0 | 1.7553821E-6 | 1.4044227E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4044227E-6 | 0.0 | 2.1371567E-5 | 1.7098717E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7098717E-5 | 0.0 | 2.1369511E-4 | 1.7097432E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 2.3395326 | 3.7094014E-4 | 2.0E-4 |
8.0 | 7.791402E-9 | 5.6844636E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.6844636E-9 | 0.0 | 3.3391725E-8 | 2.4361986E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4361986E-8 | 0.0 | 4.0654416E-7 | 2.9660717E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9660717E-7 | 0.0 | 4.065434E-6 | 2.9660696E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9660696E-6 | 0.0 |
Bicycle Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9621975E-5 | 2.210261E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.210261E-5 | 0.0 | 8.4091465E-5 | 9.4722796E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.4722796E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010233327 | 0.0011527749 | 0.0012 | 1.0409664 | 0.0016521986 | 5.0E-4 | 0.01018633 | 0.011481269 | 0.0132 | 1.1496986 | 0.014842233 | 0.0034 |
6.1 | 1.9621975E-5 | 2.210261E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.210261E-5 | 0.0 | 8.4091465E-5 | 9.4722796E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.4722796E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010233327 | 0.0011527749 | 0.0012 | 1.0409664 | 0.0016521986 | 5.0E-4 | 0.01018633 | 0.011481269 | 0.0132 | 1.1496986 | 0.014842233 | 0.0034 |
6.2 | 9.9971285E-6 | 1.1258451E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1258451E-5 | 0.0 | 4.2844134E-5 | 4.8249905E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.8249905E-5 | 0.0 | 5.2150246E-4 | 5.873363E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.6810408 | 6.872775E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0052028033 | 0.0058629476 | 0.007 | 1.1939386 | 0.007552981 | 0.0017 |
6.3 | 9.589428E-6 | 1.0801047E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0801047E-5 | 0.0 | 4.10969E-5 | 4.628967E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.628967E-5 | 0.0 | 5.002399E-4 | 5.634829E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.7098707 | 6.634266E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0049911533 | 0.005625634 | 0.0067 | 1.1909769 | 0.007216633 | 0.0016 |
6.4 | 9.589428E-6 | 1.0801047E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0801047E-5 | 0.0 | 4.10969E-5 | 4.628967E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.628967E-5 | 0.0 | 5.002399E-4 | 5.634829E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.7098707 | 6.634266E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0049911533 | 0.005625634 | 0.0067 | 1.1909769 | 0.007216633 | 0.0016 |
6.5 | 5.557707E-6 | 6.2872346E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.2872346E-6 | 0.0 | 2.3818526E-5 | 2.6945163E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6945163E-5 | 0.0 | 2.8995197E-4 | 3.280349E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.60969126 | 4.2800207E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0028957394 | 0.0032781442 | 0.0042 | 1.2812127 | 0.004374538 | 0.0011 |
6.6 | 4.8742945E-6 | 5.5147234E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.5147234E-6 | 0.0 | 2.0889667E-5 | 2.3634462E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3634462E-5 | 0.0 | 2.54302E-4 | 2.8773778E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.69507724 | 3.8770903E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.002540112 | 0.0028762226 | 0.0035 | 1.2168738 | 0.0038733464 | 0.001 |
6.7 | 3.991108E-6 | 4.517088E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.517088E-6 | 0.0 | 1.7104636E-5 | 1.935895E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.935895E-5 | 0.0 | 2.0822904E-4 | 2.356952E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.42427677 | 3.3567165E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0020803404 | 0.002356952 | 0.0027 | 1.1455473 | 0.0031550664 | 8.0E-4 |
Great Valley 04b Gordon Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.1181217E-5 | 2.398826E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.398826E-5 | 0.0 | 9.077348E-5 | 1.02803715E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.02803715E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011046068 | 0.0012510833 | 3.0E-4 | 0.23979217 | 0.0013509582 | 1.0E-4 | 0.010991322 | 0.012456861 | 0.0098 | 0.78671503 | 0.015715754 | 0.0033 |
6.1 | 2.1181217E-5 | 2.398826E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.398826E-5 | 0.0 | 9.077348E-5 | 1.02803715E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.02803715E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011046068 | 0.0012510833 | 3.0E-4 | 0.23979217 | 0.0013509582 | 1.0E-4 | 0.010991322 | 0.012456861 | 0.0098 | 0.78671503 | 0.015715754 | 0.0033 |
6.2 | 2.1181217E-5 | 2.398826E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.398826E-5 | 0.0 | 9.077348E-5 | 1.02803715E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.02803715E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011046068 | 0.0012510833 | 3.0E-4 | 0.23979217 | 0.0013509582 | 1.0E-4 | 0.010991322 | 0.012456861 | 0.0098 | 0.78671503 | 0.015715754 | 0.0033 |
6.3 | 2.1181217E-5 | 2.398826E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.398826E-5 | 0.0 | 9.077348E-5 | 1.02803715E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.02803715E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011046068 | 0.0012510833 | 3.0E-4 | 0.23979217 | 0.0013509582 | 1.0E-4 | 0.010991322 | 0.012456861 | 0.0098 | 0.78671503 | 0.015715754 | 0.0033 |
6.4 | 1.0988268E-5 | 1.2257301E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2257301E-5 | 0.0 | 4.7091726E-5 | 5.2530326E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.2530326E-5 | 0.0 | 5.731909E-4 | 6.3938496E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.1564003 | 7.3932105E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005717147 | 0.0063770413 | 0.0048 | 0.75270015 | 0.007867476 | 0.0015 |
6.5 | 1.0988268E-5 | 1.2257301E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2257301E-5 | 0.0 | 4.7091726E-5 | 5.2530326E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.2530326E-5 | 0.0 | 5.731909E-4 | 6.3938496E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.1564003 | 7.3932105E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005717147 | 0.0063770413 | 0.0048 | 0.75270015 | 0.007867476 | 0.0015 |
6.6 | 1.0517822E-5 | 1.1726731E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1726731E-5 | 0.0 | 4.5075605E-5 | 5.0256538E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0256538E-5 | 0.0 | 5.4865726E-4 | 6.117172E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.16347423 | 7.11656E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0054730466 | 0.006101888 | 0.0046 | 0.75386506 | 0.0075927353 | 0.0015 |
6.7 | 7.789219E-6 | 8.679609E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.679609E-6 | 0.0 | 3.3381937E-5 | 3.7197824E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.7197824E-5 | 0.0 | 4.063493E-4 | 4.5279457E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.2208507 | 5.527493E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004056071 | 0.0045192377 | 0.0033 | 0.7302117 | 0.005514718 | 0.001 |
6.8 | 7.5850853E-6 | 8.454308E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.454308E-6 | 0.0 | 3.2507105E-5 | 3.623227E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.623227E-5 | 0.0 | 3.957021E-4 | 4.4104378E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.22673486 | 5.409997E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0039499826 | 0.0044021974 | 0.0033 | 0.7496257 | 0.0053977952 | 0.001 |
6.9 | 6.604105E-6 | 7.360218E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.360218E-6 | 0.0 | 2.8303E-5 | 3.1543434E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1543434E-5 | 0.0 | 3.4453452E-4 | 3.8397752E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.8397752E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0034400085 | 0.0038335272 | 0.0028 | 0.7303978 | 0.004530844 | 7.0E-4 |
7.0 | 5.3701115E-6 | 5.9897875E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.9897875E-6 | 0.0 | 2.301456E-5 | 2.5670282E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5670282E-5 | 0.0 | 2.8016625E-4 | 3.1249376E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1249376E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0027981328 | 0.0031208321 | 0.0026 | 0.8331111 | 0.0037189596 | 6.0E-4 |
7.1 | 4.4685607E-6 | 4.987626E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.987626E-6 | 0.0 | 1.9150835E-5 | 2.137538E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.137538E-5 | 0.0 | 2.3313647E-4 | 2.6021665E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6021665E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0023289204 | 0.0025993644 | 0.0023 | 0.8848317 | 0.0031978048 | 6.0E-4 |
7.2 | 2.833378E-6 | 3.1651539E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1651539E-6 | 0.0 | 1.2142991E-5 | 1.3564885E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3564885E-5 | 0.0 | 1.4783088E-4 | 1.6514171E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6514171E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0014773258 | 0.0016503618 | 0.0014 | 0.84829885 | 0.0020497018 | 4.0E-4 |
7.3 | 7.0087293E-7 | 7.774509E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.774509E-7 | 0.0 | 3.0037377E-6 | 3.3319307E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3319307E-6 | 0.0 | 3.656989E-5 | 4.056596E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.056596E-5 | 0.0 | 3.6563876E-4 | 4.0563053E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.7395893 | 5.0559E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.4 | 3.112171E-8 | 3.2070304E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2070304E-8 | 0.0 | 1.3337875E-7 | 1.3744415E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3744415E-7 | 0.0 | 1.6238852E-6 | 1.6733812E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6733812E-6 | 0.0 | 1.6238733E-5 | 1.6733695E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6733695E-5 | 0.0 |
San Gregorio (North) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.0283932E-5 | 4.3109347E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.3109347E-5 | 0.0 | 2.1548476E-4 | 1.8474138E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8474138E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0026203706 | 0.00224692 | 0.0012 | 0.5340644 | 0.002646021 | 4.0E-4 | 0.02589687 | 0.022319192 | 0.0142 | 0.6362238 | 0.025643306 | 0.0034 |
6.1 | 5.0283932E-5 | 4.3109347E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.3109347E-5 | 0.0 | 2.1548476E-4 | 1.8474138E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8474138E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0026203706 | 0.00224692 | 0.0012 | 0.5340644 | 0.002646021 | 4.0E-4 | 0.02589687 | 0.022319192 | 0.0142 | 0.6362238 | 0.025643306 | 0.0034 |
6.2 | 4.2998647E-5 | 3.4488472E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.4488472E-5 | 0.0 | 1.842669E-4 | 1.4779945E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4779945E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0022411412 | 0.0017979855 | 9.0E-4 | 0.5005602 | 0.0021972663 | 4.0E-4 | 0.022186736 | 0.017910182 | 0.0115 | 0.6420928 | 0.020758243 | 0.0029 |
6.3 | 4.2998647E-5 | 3.4488472E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.4488472E-5 | 0.0 | 1.842669E-4 | 1.4779945E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4779945E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0022411412 | 0.0017979855 | 9.0E-4 | 0.5005602 | 0.0021972663 | 4.0E-4 | 0.022186736 | 0.017910182 | 0.0115 | 0.6420928 | 0.020758243 | 0.0029 |
6.4 | 4.1101295E-5 | 3.237238E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.237238E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7613651E-4 | 1.3873147E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3873147E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0021423528 | 0.0016877603 | 6.0E-4 | 0.3555007 | 0.0018874228 | 2.0E-4 | 0.02121817 | 0.01682586 | 0.0103 | 0.61215293 | 0.019283796 | 0.0025 |
6.5 | 4.1032585E-5 | 3.2290383E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2290383E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7584208E-4 | 1.383801E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.383801E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0021387753 | 0.001683489 | 6.0E-4 | 0.3564027 | 0.0018831523 | 2.0E-4 | 0.021183075 | 0.016783798 | 0.0103 | 0.6136871 | 0.019241838 | 0.0025 |
6.6 | 4.011629E-5 | 3.1311505E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1311505E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7191563E-4 | 1.3418535E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3418535E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0020910634 | 0.001632496 | 6.0E-4 | 0.36753535 | 0.0018321696 | 2.0E-4 | 0.020714961 | 0.016279789 | 0.0101 | 0.6204012 | 0.018640717 | 0.0024 |
6.7 | 3.8583938E-5 | 2.9497498E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9497498E-5 | 0.0 | 1.6534925E-4 | 1.264118E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.264118E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0020112682 | 0.0015379915 | 6.0E-4 | 0.3901192 | 0.0017376838 | 2.0E-4 | 0.019931622 | 0.01534918 | 0.0096 | 0.62544054 | 0.017416947 | 0.0021 |
6.8 | 3.44341E-5 | 2.44921E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.44921E-5 | 0.0 | 1.4756636E-4 | 1.04961975E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.04961975E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0017951399 | 0.0012771734 | 5.0E-4 | 0.39148954 | 0.0014769179 | 2.0E-4 | 0.017807078 | 0.012773107 | 0.0081 | 0.63414484 | 0.014451393 | 0.0017 |
6.9 | 3.221199E-5 | 2.1814461E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1814461E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3804408E-4 | 9.3487244E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.3487244E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0016793909 | 0.0011376211 | 5.0E-4 | 0.43951365 | 0.0013373935 | 2.0E-4 | 0.01666756 | 0.011391758 | 0.0078 | 0.68470556 | 0.0127758095 | 0.0014 |
7.0 | 2.9186718E-5 | 1.8179682E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8179682E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2507994E-4 | 7.791062E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.791062E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0015217843 | 9.4815344E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.42187265 | 0.0010480586 | 1.0E-4 | 0.015114053 | 0.009514139 | 0.0066 | 0.6937044 | 0.010603673 | 0.0011 |
7.1 | 2.6840138E-5 | 1.5315509E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5315509E-5 | 0.0 | 1.1502409E-4 | 6.563625E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.563625E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0013995186 | 7.988304E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.50073206 | 8.9875056E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.013907375 | 0.008032066 | 0.0061 | 0.7594559 | 0.009024034 | 0.001 |
7.2 | 2.453002E-5 | 1.2636457E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2636457E-5 | 0.0 | 1.05124425E-4 | 5.4155124E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.4155124E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0012791384 | 6.591397E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.45513868 | 7.590738E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.012718005 | 0.0066433153 | 0.005 | 0.75263625 | 0.0074380008 | 8.0E-4 |
7.3 | 2.3330727E-5 | 1.151786E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.151786E-5 | 0.0 | 9.9985E-5 | 4.9361326E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.9361326E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0012166376 | 6.008089E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.16644228 | 6.008089E-4 | 0.0 | 0.012099981 | 0.0060620634 | 0.0046 | 0.75881755 | 0.00675782 | 7.0E-4 |
7.4 | 2.2136466E-5 | 1.0397319E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0397319E-5 | 0.0 | 9.486712E-5 | 4.4559176E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.4559176E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0011543952 | 5.4237316E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.1843749 | 5.4237316E-4 | 0.0 | 0.011484168 | 0.0054792026 | 0.004 | 0.7300332 | 0.0060759154 | 6.0E-4 |
7.5 | 2.0994974E-5 | 9.454394E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.454394E-6 | 0.0 | 8.997535E-5 | 4.0518204E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0518204E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010948994 | 4.931977E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.20275845 | 4.931977E-4 | 0.0 | 0.010895205 | 0.004987942 | 0.0036 | 0.72174054 | 0.005485448 | 5.0E-4 |
7.6 | 1.7091823E-5 | 6.915414E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.915414E-6 | 0.0 | 7.3248615E-5 | 2.963715E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.963715E-5 | 0.0 | 8.9143694E-4 | 3.6077268E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.27718285 | 3.6077268E-4 | 0.0 | 0.008878695 | 0.0036600076 | 0.0025 | 0.6830587 | 0.0038592755 | 2.0E-4 |
7.7 | 1.2772179E-5 | 4.0363207E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0363207E-6 | 0.0 | 5.473676E-5 | 1.7298402E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7298402E-5 | 0.0 | 6.6621625E-4 | 2.105877E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.4748615 | 2.105877E-4 | 0.0 | 0.006642225 | 0.0021452615 | 0.0013 | 0.6059868 | 0.0023448323 | 2.0E-4 |
7.8 | 7.041923E-6 | 1.9507527E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9507527E-6 | 0.0 | 3.017932E-5 | 8.360342E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.360342E-6 | 0.0 | 3.6737128E-4 | 1.0178241E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0178241E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0036676454 | 0.0010434401 | 8.0E-4 | 0.7666947 | 0.0012432314 | 2.0E-4 |
7.9 | 2.946768E-6 | 1.0094176E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0094176E-6 | 0.0 | 1.2628945E-5 | 4.3260684E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.3260684E-6 | 0.0 | 1.5374656E-4 | 5.266861E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.266861E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0015364023 | 5.372541E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.93065834 | 6.3720037E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
8.0 | 1.1433375E-6 | 5.2168156E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.2168156E-7 | 0.0 | 4.9000087E-6 | 2.2357763E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2357763E-6 | 0.0 | 5.965597E-5 | 2.7220236E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7220236E-5 | 0.0 | 5.963996E-4 | 2.7583833E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.0875936 | 3.7581078E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
8.1 | 2.6675295E-7 | 1.6422842E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6422842E-7 | 0.0 | 1.1432264E-6 | 7.0383595E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0383595E-7 | 0.0 | 1.3918692E-5 | 8.569169E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.569169E-6 | 0.0 | 1.391782E-4 | 8.7082975E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1483301 | 8.7082975E-5 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.2704569E-8 | 9.55138E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.55138E-9 | 0.0 | 5.444815E-8 | 4.093448E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.093448E-8 | 0.0 | 6.629061E-7 | 4.983772E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.983772E-7 | 0.0 | 6.629041E-6 | 5.1769052E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.1769052E-6 | 0.0 |
Bennett Valley 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.3893934E-5 | 2.8250002E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8250002E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0239855E-4 | 1.21066856E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.8259899 | 2.2105475E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0012459893 | 0.0014731773 | 0.002 | 1.3576097 | 0.0018725881 | 4.0E-4 | 0.012390262 | 0.0146568725 | 0.0137 | 0.9347151 | 0.01800704 | 0.0034 |
6.1 | 2.3893934E-5 | 2.8250002E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8250002E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0239855E-4 | 1.21066856E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.8259899 | 2.2105475E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0012459893 | 0.0014731773 | 0.0019 | 1.2897292 | 0.0018725881 | 4.0E-4 | 0.012390262 | 0.0146568725 | 0.0129 | 0.8801332 | 0.017908504 | 0.0033 |
6.2 | 1.6657146E-5 | 1.9862246E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9862246E-5 | 0.0 | 7.138582E-5 | 8.512193E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1747854 | 1.8511341E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 8.6877577E-4 | 0.0010360084 | 0.001 | 0.9652432 | 0.0012358011 | 2.0E-4 | 0.008653872 | 0.010330158 | 0.0088 | 0.85187465 | 0.012606398 | 0.0023 |
6.3 | 1.6657146E-5 | 1.9862246E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9862246E-5 | 0.0 | 7.138582E-5 | 8.512193E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1747854 | 1.8511341E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 8.6877577E-4 | 0.0010360084 | 0.001 | 0.9652432 | 0.0012358011 | 2.0E-4 | 0.008653872 | 0.010330158 | 0.0088 | 0.85187465 | 0.012606398 | 0.0023 |
6.4 | 1.29418495E-5 | 1.5574657E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5574657E-5 | 0.0 | 5.546389E-5 | 6.674756E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4981822 | 1.6674088E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.7506364E-4 | 8.1247883E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.73848075 | 0.0010123163 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0067301663 | 0.00811233 | 0.007 | 0.86288404 | 0.0098977275 | 0.0018 |
6.5 | 1.2582504E-5 | 1.5141546E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5141546E-5 | 0.0 | 5.39239E-5 | 6.4891465E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5410348 | 1.6488497E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.563257E-4 | 7.898974E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.7595923 | 9.897394E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.006543907 | 0.007888167 | 0.0069 | 0.87472785 | 0.009673969 | 0.0018 |
6.6 | 1.0846706E-5 | 1.304311E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.304311E-5 | 0.0 | 4.6485053E-5 | 5.5898567E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.7889546 | 1.5589298E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.6580856E-4 | 6.8048097E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.7347744 | 8.803449E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.005643701 | 0.006801081 | 0.0065 | 0.95573044 | 0.008588839 | 0.0018 |
6.7 | 1.6803231E-6 | 2.380907E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.380907E-6 | 0.0 | 7.2013645E-6 | 1.0203848E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 9.800224 | 1.10202825E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 8.7673085E-5 | 1.242249E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.8049916 | 2.2421248E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 8.76385E-4 | 0.0012459469 | 0.0011 | 0.88286275 | 0.001545573 | 3.0E-4 |
6.8 | 1.4609833E-6 | 2.0968864E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0968864E-6 | 0.0 | 6.261342E-6 | 8.986625E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 11.127647 | 1.08985725E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 7.6229175E-5 | 1.0940674E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.9140205 | 2.093958E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 7.620303E-4 | 0.001097871 | 8.0E-4 | 0.72868305 | 0.0012976514 | 2.0E-4 |
6.9 | 1.3492396E-6 | 1.9487888E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9487888E-6 | 0.0 | 5.7824427E-6 | 8.351926E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 11.973286 | 1.08351094E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 7.0398964E-5 | 1.01680016E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.9834774 | 2.0166986E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 7.037667E-4 | 0.0010206468 | 7.0E-4 | 0.6858396 | 0.0011205447 | 1.0E-4 |
7.0 | 1.2347921E-6 | 1.7917356E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7917356E-6 | 0.0 | 5.291955E-6 | 7.678845E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 13.022793 | 1.07678075E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.442765E-5 | 9.348598E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0696791 | 1.9347663E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.440897E-4 | 9.3877985E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.74564874 | 0.0010386859 | 1.0E-4 |
7.1 | 1.1262973E-6 | 1.6384605E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6384605E-6 | 0.0 | 4.8269794E-6 | 7.021955E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 14.241049 | 1.0702125E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.876689E-5 | 8.5488995E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1697412 | 1.8548044E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.875135E-4 | 8.588588E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.815035 | 9.5877296E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.2 | 9.351744E-7 | 1.363626E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.363626E-6 | 0.0 | 4.007884E-6 | 5.8440983E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 17.11128 | 1.05843515E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.8794896E-5 | 7.1149596E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4054893 | 1.7114248E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.878418E-4 | 7.155271E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.6987856 | 8.154555E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.3 | 8.5039534E-7 | 1.240895E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.240895E-6 | 0.0 | 3.6445463E-6 | 5.3181107E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 18.80367 | 1.0531758E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.437145E-5 | 6.47461E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5444946 | 1.6473963E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.436259E-4 | 6.51245E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.7677602 | 7.511799E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.4 | 6.7875015E-7 | 9.616898E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.616898E-7 | 0.0 | 2.908926E-6 | 4.1215217E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 24.262884 | 1.0412111E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.54156E-5 | 5.017838E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.9928902 | 1.5017336E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.5409955E-4 | 5.049457E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.5941233 | 6.048952E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.5 | 5.826867E-7 | 8.2016646E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.2016646E-7 | 0.0 | 2.4972264E-6 | 3.5149944E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 28.449547 | 1.0351464E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.0403306E-5 | 4.2794225E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.3367639 | 1.4278994E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.0399146E-4 | 4.3071818E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.6965111 | 5.306751E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.6 | 2.7734902E-7 | 3.6879948E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.6879948E-7 | 0.0 | 1.1886381E-6 | 1.5805682E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5805682E-6 | 0.0 | 1.4471572E-5 | 1.9243249E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9243249E-5 | 0.0 | 1.447063E-4 | 1.9342806E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9342806E-4 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.0530888E-7 | 1.3781809E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3781809E-7 | 0.0 | 4.513237E-7 | 5.9064877E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.9064877E-7 | 0.0 | 5.4948523E-6 | 7.1911254E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.1911254E-6 | 0.0 | 5.4947162E-5 | 7.272322E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.272322E-5 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.2714258E-8 | 1.9744261E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9744261E-8 | 0.0 | 5.448968E-8 | 8.4618264E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.4618264E-8 | 0.0 | 6.6341164E-7 | 1.0302268E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0302268E-6 | 0.0 | 6.6340967E-6 | 1.07139085E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.07139085E-5 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 4.075888E-9 | 7.62142E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.62142E-9 | 0.0 | 1.7468091E-8 | 3.2663227E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2663227E-8 | 0.0 | 2.12674E-7 | 3.976747E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.976747E-7 | 0.0 | 2.1267379E-6 | 4.2257807E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.2257807E-6 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.9126138E-9 | 4.026725E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.026725E-9 | 0.0 | 8.196917E-9 | 1.7257394E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7257394E-8 | 0.0 | 9.9797454E-8 | 2.1010875E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1010875E-7 | 0.0 | 9.979741E-7 | 2.2133217E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2133217E-6 | 0.0 |
Lenwood-Lockhart-Old Woman Springs
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.3969532E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.3969532E-5 | 0.0 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8842822E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0614121 | 2.8840938E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0019519776 | 0.002291872 | 0.0016 | 0.6981193 | 0.0030900384 | 8.0E-4 | 0.019349206 | 0.022700373 | 0.0152 | 0.66959256 | 0.025827732 | 0.0032 |
6.1 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.3969532E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.3969532E-5 | 0.0 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8842822E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0614121 | 2.8840938E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0019519776 | 0.002291872 | 0.0016 | 0.6981193 | 0.0030900384 | 8.0E-4 | 0.019349206 | 0.022700373 | 0.0152 | 0.66959256 | 0.025827732 | 0.0032 |
6.2 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.3969532E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.3969532E-5 | 0.0 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8842822E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0614121 | 2.8840938E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0019519776 | 0.002291872 | 0.0016 | 0.6981193 | 0.0030900384 | 8.0E-4 | 0.019349206 | 0.022700373 | 0.0152 | 0.66959256 | 0.025827732 | 0.0032 |
6.3 | 2.1079984E-5 | 2.5356216E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5356216E-5 | 0.0 | 9.0339665E-5 | 1.0866508E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.8405176 | 2.0865421E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0010993304 | 0.0013222144 | 6.0E-4 | 0.4537842 | 0.00152195 | 2.0E-4 | 0.010939079 | 0.01314569 | 0.009 | 0.68463504 | 0.015119399 | 0.002 |
6.4 | 2.1079984E-5 | 2.5356216E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5356216E-5 | 0.0 | 9.0339665E-5 | 1.0866508E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.8405176 | 2.0865421E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0010993304 | 0.0013222144 | 6.0E-4 | 0.4537842 | 0.00152195 | 2.0E-4 | 0.010939079 | 0.01314569 | 0.009 | 0.68463504 | 0.015119399 | 0.002 |
6.5 | 1.7397282E-5 | 2.0664718E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0664718E-5 | 0.0 | 7.455765E-5 | 8.856014E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1291763 | 8.856014E-5 | 0.0 | 9.073613E-4 | 0.0010776981 | 4.0E-4 | 0.37116146 | 0.0011775903 | 1.0E-4 | 0.009036654 | 0.010726013 | 0.0073 | 0.6805884 | 0.012110996 | 0.0014 |
6.6 | 1.52050325E-5 | 1.768136E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.768136E-5 | 0.0 | 6.51628E-5 | 7.57751E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.3196948 | 7.57751E-5 | 0.0 | 7.9306826E-4 | 9.221792E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.43375516 | 0.001022087 | 1.0E-4 | 0.007902439 | 0.0091843875 | 0.0061 | 0.66417056 | 0.010373366 | 0.0012 |
6.7 | 1.332523E-5 | 1.5265508E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5265508E-5 | 0.0 | 5.7106878E-5 | 6.5422E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5285378 | 6.5422E-5 | 0.0 | 6.950544E-4 | 7.962276E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.5023689 | 8.96148E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006928845 | 0.007934378 | 0.0055 | 0.693186 | 0.009124857 | 0.0012 |
6.8 | 1.1525329E-5 | 1.303235E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.303235E-5 | 0.0 | 4.9393333E-5 | 5.5851757E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.790454 | 5.5851757E-5 | 0.0 | 6.011979E-4 | 6.7978725E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.44131458 | 7.7971927E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.00599574 | 0.0067775296 | 0.005 | 0.73773193 | 0.007969396 | 0.0012 |
6.9 | 1.0253909E-5 | 1.1515601E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1515601E-5 | 0.0 | 4.3944583E-5 | 4.935166E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.0262742 | 4.935166E-5 | 0.0 | 5.3489394E-4 | 6.0069445E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.49942198 | 7.006344E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0053360825 | 0.005991087 | 0.0045 | 0.7511158 | 0.006985096 | 0.001 |
7.0 | 8.104563E-6 | 8.991998E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.991998E-6 | 0.0 | 3.4733377E-5 | 3.853658E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.5949373 | 3.853658E-5 | 0.0 | 4.2279682E-4 | 4.6908422E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.639544 | 5.6903734E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0042199334 | 0.004681189 | 0.0033 | 0.70494914 | 0.00527838 | 6.0E-4 |
7.1 | 6.7986157E-6 | 7.516428E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.516428E-6 | 0.0 | 2.91366E-5 | 3.221288E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.1043484 | 3.221288E-5 | 0.0 | 3.5468035E-4 | 3.9212336E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.7650654 | 4.9208413E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.003541148 | 0.003914531 | 0.0029 | 0.7408295 | 0.0044125738 | 5.0E-4 |
7.2 | 5.6893327E-6 | 6.2804797E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.2804797E-6 | 0.0 | 2.4382627E-5 | 2.6916076E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.715252 | 2.6916076E-5 | 0.0 | 2.9681803E-4 | 3.2765593E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.91559464 | 4.2762316E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.002964219 | 0.003271927 | 0.0025 | 0.76407576 | 0.0037702909 | 5.0E-4 |
7.3 | 4.253348E-6 | 4.707329E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.707329E-6 | 0.0 | 1.8228506E-5 | 2.0174122E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0174122E-5 | 0.0 | 2.2190946E-4 | 2.4559407E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4559407E-4 | 0.0 | 0.00221688 | 0.0024534077 | 0.0015 | 0.6113945 | 0.002652917 | 2.0E-4 |
7.4 | 2.5448119E-6 | 2.852198E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.852198E-6 | 0.0 | 1.0906291E-5 | 1.2223658E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2223658E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3277601E-4 | 1.4881452E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4881452E-4 | 0.0 | 0.001326967 | 0.0014873109 | 0.001 | 0.6723544 | 0.0015871621 | 1.0E-4 |
7.5 | 4.3706837E-8 | 4.5633072E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.5633072E-8 | 0.0 | 1.8731501E-7 | 1.955703E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.955703E-7 | 0.0 | 2.2805577E-6 | 2.3810662E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3810662E-6 | 0.0 | 2.2805343E-5 | 2.3810462E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3810462E-5 | 0.0 |
Greenville (No) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.286654E-5 | 4.0390813E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0390813E-5 | 0.0 | 1.4084899E-4 | 1.7309222E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5777267 | 1.7309222E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0017134876 | 0.0021053986 | 0.0013 | 0.6174603 | 0.0026043458 | 5.0E-4 | 0.017003356 | 0.0208594 | 0.0169 | 0.8101863 | 0.023992648 | 0.0032 |
6.1 | 3.286654E-5 | 4.0390813E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0390813E-5 | 0.0 | 1.4084899E-4 | 1.7309222E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7309222E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0017134876 | 0.0021053986 | 9.0E-4 | 0.4274725 | 0.0025045564 | 4.0E-4 | 0.017003356 | 0.0208594 | 0.0142 | 0.6807483 | 0.023111423 | 0.0023 |
6.2 | 3.1697953E-5 | 3.895307E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.895307E-5 | 0.0 | 1.358413E-4 | 1.6693125E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6693125E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0016526132 | 0.0020305302 | 9.0E-4 | 0.44323397 | 0.0024297182 | 4.0E-4 | 0.01640377 | 0.020124469 | 0.0137 | 0.6807633 | 0.022378182 | 0.0023 |
6.3 | 3.1363317E-5 | 3.8541755E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.8541755E-5 | 0.0 | 1.344073E-4 | 1.651687E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.651687E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0016351803 | 0.0020091112 | 9.0E-4 | 0.4479593 | 0.0024083075 | 4.0E-4 | 0.016232004 | 0.019914145 | 0.0135 | 0.67791015 | 0.022070333 | 0.0022 |
6.4 | 3.0228604E-5 | 3.7148257E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.7148257E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2954473E-4 | 1.591973E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.591973E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0015760659 | 0.0019365402 | 9.0E-4 | 0.46474636 | 0.0023357656 | 4.0E-4 | 0.015649348 | 0.019201173 | 0.013 | 0.67704195 | 0.02126085 | 0.0021 |
6.5 | 2.9537814E-5 | 3.6303332E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.6303332E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2658449E-4 | 1.5557664E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5557664E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0015400766 | 0.0018925361 | 9.0E-4 | 0.47555238 | 0.002291779 | 4.0E-4 | 0.01529447 | 0.01876865 | 0.0126 | 0.6713323 | 0.020829234 | 0.0021 |
6.6 | 2.7345395E-5 | 3.3611443E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3611443E-5 | 0.0 | 1.1718928E-4 | 1.4404126E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4404126E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0014258457 | 0.0017523228 | 9.0E-4 | 0.513604 | 0.0021516217 | 4.0E-4 | 0.014167317 | 0.01738887 | 0.0115 | 0.66134256 | 0.01915757 | 0.0018 |
6.7 | 2.5615784E-5 | 3.1587653E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1587653E-5 | 0.0 | 1.09777306E-4 | 1.353688E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.353688E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0013357193 | 0.0016468999 | 9.0E-4 | 0.5464813 | 0.0020462412 | 4.0E-4 | 0.013277191 | 0.016350621 | 0.0106 | 0.64829344 | 0.018022824 | 0.0017 |
6.8 | 2.0059057E-5 | 2.4729448E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4729448E-5 | 0.0 | 8.596455E-5 | 1.0597914E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0597914E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0010461159 | 0.0012895486 | 6.0E-4 | 0.4652791 | 0.0015891617 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0104120495 | 0.012822673 | 0.0085 | 0.66288835 | 0.014106003 | 0.0013 |
6.9 | 1.6321746E-5 | 2.020013E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.020013E-5 | 0.0 | 6.9948466E-5 | 8.656918E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.656918E-5 | 0.0 | 8.5128983E-4 | 0.0010534825 | 5.0E-4 | 0.47461632 | 0.0013531665 | 3.0E-4 | 0.008480361 | 0.010486412 | 0.0064 | 0.61031365 | 0.011475925 | 0.001 |
7.0 | 1.22527645E-5 | 1.5145875E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5145875E-5 | 0.0 | 5.2510793E-5 | 6.4909305E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.4909305E-5 | 0.0 | 6.3913135E-4 | 7.899885E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.37975237 | 8.899095E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0063729626 | 0.0078725815 | 0.005 | 0.6351157 | 0.008467858 | 6.0E-4 |
7.1 | 8.996482E-6 | 1.1172974E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1172974E-5 | 0.0 | 3.8555783E-5 | 4.7883303E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.7883303E-5 | 0.0 | 4.6931554E-4 | 5.828245E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.3431565 | 6.827662E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004683256 | 0.0058134114 | 0.0039 | 0.67086256 | 0.0061116675 | 3.0E-4 |
7.2 | 6.0273087E-6 | 7.5762746E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.5762746E-6 | 0.0 | 2.5831067E-5 | 3.246935E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.246935E-5 | 0.0 | 3.1444785E-4 | 3.9524332E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.50601745 | 4.9520377E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0031400328 | 0.0039458917 | 0.0026 | 0.6589132 | 0.004244708 | 3.0E-4 |
7.3 | 3.1209995E-6 | 3.9684146E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.9684146E-6 | 0.0 | 1.3375643E-5 | 1.7007382E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7007382E-5 | 0.0 | 1.6283628E-4 | 2.0704535E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.48298597 | 3.0702466E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0016271701 | 0.0020689745 | 0.0015 | 0.7249968 | 0.0021687676 | 1.0E-4 |
7.4 | 2.0254208E-6 | 2.6113983E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6113983E-6 | 0.0 | 8.680347E-6 | 1.1191659E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1191659E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0567809E-4 | 1.3624999E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.733945 | 2.3623636E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0010562785 | 0.0013619498 | 0.0012 | 0.8810897 | 0.0014618137 | 1.0E-4 |
7.5 | 1.6763418E-6 | 2.1747528E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1747528E-6 | 0.0 | 7.184302E-6 | 9.320336E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.320336E-6 | 0.0 | 8.746537E-5 | 1.13469236E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.88129616 | 2.1345788E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 8.743095E-4 | 0.0011344026 | 0.001 | 0.8815213 | 0.0012342891 | 1.0E-4 |
7.6 | 1.1935462E-6 | 1.54715E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.54715E-6 | 0.0 | 5.115188E-6 | 6.630626E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.630626E-6 | 0.0 | 6.2275634E-5 | 8.072492E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2387748 | 1.8071686E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.2258187E-4 | 8.0723653E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.7432766 | 9.071558E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.7 | 3.0464201E-7 | 3.987992E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.987992E-7 | 0.0 | 1.3056081E-6 | 1.7091384E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7091384E-6 | 0.0 | 1.589566E-5 | 2.0808566E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.805713 | 1.20806486E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5894524E-4 | 2.0807415E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.48059788 | 3.0805334E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
Bartlett Springs 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.2326144E-5 | 8.06516E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2399011 | 8.06516E-5 | 0.0 | 2.6708472E-4 | 3.4560452E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.28934807 | 3.4560452E-4 | 0.0 | 0.003246908 | 0.0041997083 | 0.0024 | 0.57146823 | 0.0045980285 | 4.0E-4 | 0.031998757 | 0.041220505 | 0.0279 | 0.67684764 | 0.044288598 | 0.0032 |
6.1 | 6.227657E-5 | 8.058907E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2408631 | 8.058907E-5 | 0.0 | 2.668723E-4 | 3.4533662E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.28957254 | 3.4533662E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0032443295 | 0.004196459 | 0.0023 | 0.54808116 | 0.0044952002 | 3.0E-4 | 0.031973712 | 0.041189224 | 0.0278 | 0.67493385 | 0.044161536 | 0.0031 |
6.2 | 6.22452E-5 | 8.054965E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2414703 | 8.054965E-5 | 0.0 | 2.6673786E-4 | 3.4516773E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.28971422 | 3.4516773E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0032426978 | 0.004194411 | 0.0023 | 0.5483488 | 0.0044931527 | 3.0E-4 | 0.03195787 | 0.041169506 | 0.0278 | 0.6752571 | 0.04414188 | 0.0031 |
6.3 | 6.219006E-5 | 8.0479454E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2425532 | 8.0479454E-5 | 0.0 | 2.6650162E-4 | 3.4486694E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.2899669 | 3.4486694E-4 | 0.0 | 0.00323983 | 0.004190763 | 0.0023 | 0.5488261 | 0.0044895057 | 3.0E-4 | 0.031930014 | 0.041134387 | 0.0278 | 0.6758336 | 0.04410687 | 0.0031 |
6.4 | 5.2175856E-5 | 6.7290894E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4860852 | 6.7290894E-5 | 0.0 | 2.2359163E-4 | 2.8835796E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.3467912 | 2.8835796E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0027188298 | 0.0035051545 | 0.002 | 0.5705883 | 0.0038041028 | 3.0E-4 | 0.026858058 | 0.03450812 | 0.0222 | 0.6433269 | 0.037114948 | 0.0027 |
6.5 | 5.205166E-5 | 6.713348E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4895698 | 6.713348E-5 | 0.0 | 2.2305945E-4 | 2.8768345E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.34760427 | 2.8768345E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0027123666 | 0.0034969691 | 0.002 | 0.57192385 | 0.00379592 | 3.0E-4 | 0.026794989 | 0.034428824 | 0.0222 | 0.64480853 | 0.037035868 | 0.0027 |
6.6 | 5.0085426E-5 | 6.452825E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5497088 | 6.452825E-5 | 0.0 | 2.1463417E-4 | 2.765206E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.36163673 | 2.765206E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0026100394 | 0.0033614908 | 0.002 | 0.59497416 | 0.0036604824 | 3.0E-4 | 0.025795965 | 0.033115637 | 0.0211 | 0.63716125 | 0.035629533 | 0.0026 |
6.7 | 4.8930866E-5 | 6.305212E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5859896 | 6.305212E-5 | 0.0 | 2.0968684E-4 | 2.7019563E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.3701022 | 2.7019563E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0025499484 | 0.0032847193 | 0.002 | 0.60888 | 0.003583734 | 3.0E-4 | 0.025208864 | 0.032370612 | 0.0209 | 0.64564735 | 0.034789685 | 0.0025 |
6.8 | 4.5679535E-5 | 5.8773876E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.7014362 | 5.8773876E-5 | 0.0 | 1.9575475E-4 | 2.518639E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.3970398 | 2.518639E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002380709 | 0.003062169 | 0.0018 | 0.5878186 | 0.0033612505 | 3.0E-4 | 0.023553653 | 0.030206777 | 0.0191 | 0.6323084 | 0.032437302 | 0.0023 |
6.9 | 4.1439176E-5 | 5.324878E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.8779774 | 5.324878E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7758438E-4 | 2.2818922E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.4382328 | 2.2818922E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002159946 | 0.0027746896 | 0.0016 | 0.5766411 | 0.0030738572 | 3.0E-4 | 0.021390721 | 0.027405495 | 0.0174 | 0.63490915 | 0.029447943 | 0.0021 |
7.0 | 3.5920104E-5 | 4.6033012E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.172354 | 4.6033012E-5 | 0.0 | 1.5393422E-4 | 1.972695E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.50692075 | 1.972695E-4 | 0.0 | 0.001872538 | 0.0023991265 | 0.0013 | 0.54186386 | 0.0026984068 | 3.0E-4 | 0.018568378 | 0.023735547 | 0.0141 | 0.5940457 | 0.025492823 | 0.0018 |
7.1 | 3.338812E-5 | 4.271182E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.341272 | 4.271182E-5 | 0.0 | 1.430841E-4 | 1.830379E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5463349 | 1.830379E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0017406568 | 0.0022262232 | 0.001 | 0.44919124 | 0.002425778 | 2.0E-4 | 0.017270854 | 0.02204206 | 0.0128 | 0.58070797 | 0.023704588 | 0.0017 |
7.2 | 2.8619615E-5 | 3.6420344E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.7457182 | 3.6420344E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2264973E-4 | 1.560779E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.6407057 | 1.560779E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0014922376 | 0.001898602 | 7.0E-4 | 0.36869234 | 0.0020982223 | 2.0E-4 | 0.014822568 | 0.018825885 | 0.0102 | 0.54180723 | 0.020199528 | 0.0014 |
7.3 | 2.6376783E-5 | 3.3440003E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.9904306 | 3.3440003E-5 | 0.0 | 1.13038455E-4 | 1.4330648E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.69780517 | 1.4330648E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0013753743 | 0.0017433693 | 7.0E-4 | 0.40152135 | 0.0019430206 | 2.0E-4 | 0.01366893 | 0.01729881 | 0.009 | 0.520267 | 0.018576322 | 0.0013 |
7.4 | 2.3738676E-5 | 2.9994439E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.3339515 | 2.9994439E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0173322E-4 | 1.285413E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.77796006 | 1.285413E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0012378981 | 0.0015638749 | 7.0E-4 | 0.44760612 | 0.0017635622 | 2.0E-4 | 0.012310251 | 0.01553022 | 0.0085 | 0.54732 | 0.016711583 | 0.0012 |
7.5 | 2.1789481E-5 | 2.7453336E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.6425445 | 2.7453336E-5 | 0.0 | 9.338015E-5 | 1.1765189E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.84996504 | 1.1765189E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011363103 | 0.0014314785 | 7.0E-4 | 0.4890049 | 0.0016311922 | 2.0E-4 | 0.011305175 | 0.014223979 | 0.0076 | 0.53430897 | 0.015111177 | 9.0E-4 |
7.6 | 1.3895281E-5 | 1.7377411E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 5.754597 | 1.7377411E-5 | 0.0 | 5.9549846E-5 | 7.447251E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.3427774 | 7.447251E-5 | 0.0 | 7.2477816E-4 | 9.063285E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.55167633 | 0.0011061472 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0072241887 | 0.00902693 | 0.0053 | 0.58713204 | 0.009819709 | 8.0E-4 |
7.7 | 4.245981E-6 | 5.164425E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.164425E-6 | 0.0 | 1.8196934E-5 | 2.2133063E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2133063E-5 | 0.0 | 2.2152514E-4 | 2.6943692E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.7422888 | 3.6940997E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0022130446 | 0.002691149 | 0.0011 | 0.40874735 | 0.0028906108 | 2.0E-4 |
7.8 | 6.145192E-7 | 7.048893E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.048893E-7 | 0.0 | 2.633651E-6 | 3.0209508E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0209508E-6 | 0.0 | 3.206423E-5 | 3.6779467E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.6779467E-5 | 0.0 | 3.2059604E-4 | 3.6772783E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.27194026 | 3.6772783E-4 | 0.0 |
South Klamath Lake East
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.3539369E-5 | 2.5050493E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5050493E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0087911E-4 | 1.0735531E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0735531E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0012275111 | 0.0013063503 | 8.0E-4 | 0.61239314 | 0.0018056972 | 5.0E-4 | 0.012207527 | 0.01299506 | 0.0112 | 0.861866 | 0.015561272 | 0.0026 |
6.1 | 2.3539369E-5 | 2.5050493E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5050493E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0087911E-4 | 1.0735531E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0735531E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0012275111 | 0.0013063503 | 8.0E-4 | 0.61239314 | 0.0018056972 | 5.0E-4 | 0.012207527 | 0.01299506 | 0.0112 | 0.861866 | 0.015561272 | 0.0026 |
6.2 | 2.3539369E-5 | 2.5050493E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5050493E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0087911E-4 | 1.0735531E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0735531E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0012275111 | 0.0013063503 | 8.0E-4 | 0.61239314 | 0.0018056972 | 5.0E-4 | 0.012207527 | 0.01299506 | 0.0112 | 0.861866 | 0.015561272 | 0.0026 |
6.3 | 9.807823E-6 | 1.0397281E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0397281E-5 | 0.0 | 4.2032847E-5 | 4.455906E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.455906E-5 | 0.0 | 5.1162974E-4 | 5.423799E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.18437262 | 5.423799E-4 | 0.0 | 0.005104534 | 0.005411398 | 0.0047 | 0.86853707 | 0.006405987 | 0.001 |
6.4 | 9.807823E-6 | 1.0397281E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0397281E-5 | 0.0 | 4.2032847E-5 | 4.455906E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.455906E-5 | 0.0 | 5.1162974E-4 | 5.423799E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.18437262 | 5.423799E-4 | 0.0 | 0.005104534 | 0.005411398 | 0.0047 | 0.86853707 | 0.006405987 | 0.001 |
6.5 | 6.191981E-6 | 6.5515933E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.5515933E-6 | 0.0 | 2.653679E-5 | 2.807797E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.807797E-5 | 0.0 | 3.2303753E-4 | 3.4179844E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.4179844E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0032256835 | 0.0034130057 | 0.003 | 0.8789906 | 0.004010958 | 6.0E-4 |
6.6 | 4.3693776E-6 | 4.6170753E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.6170753E-6 | 0.0 | 1.8725768E-5 | 1.9787323E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9787323E-5 | 0.0 | 2.2796239E-4 | 2.4088516E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4088516E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0022772867 | 0.002406353 | 0.0019 | 0.7895766 | 0.00290515 | 5.0E-4 |
6.7 | 3.360834E-6 | 3.5516393E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5516393E-6 | 0.0 | 1.4403494E-5 | 1.5221227E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5221227E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7534842E-4 | 1.8530349E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8530349E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0017521014 | 0.0018515697 | 0.0017 | 0.9181399 | 0.002250829 | 4.0E-4 |
6.8 | 2.57873E-6 | 2.7254778E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7254778E-6 | 0.0 | 1.1051653E-5 | 1.168057E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.168057E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3454557E-4 | 1.4220228E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4220228E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0013446413 | 0.0014211736 | 0.0011 | 0.7740082 | 0.0016208893 | 2.0E-4 |
6.9 | 9.987825E-7 | 1.0567426E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0567426E-6 | 0.0 | 4.2804895E-6 | 4.528891E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.528891E-6 | 0.0 | 5.211371E-5 | 5.513818E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.513818E-5 | 0.0 | 5.210149E-4 | 5.512772E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.5441909 | 5.512772E-4 | 0.0 |
South Klamath Lake West
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.174025E-5 | 2.3044764E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3044764E-5 | 0.0 | 9.3169176E-5 | 9.8759905E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.8759905E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0011337444 | 0.0012018044 | 0.001 | 0.83208215 | 0.0017012035 | 5.0E-4 | 0.011279777 | 0.011959654 | 0.0112 | 0.93648195 | 0.014429755 | 0.0025 |
6.1 | 2.174025E-5 | 2.3044764E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3044764E-5 | 0.0 | 9.3169176E-5 | 9.8759905E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.8759905E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0011337444 | 0.0012018044 | 0.001 | 0.83208215 | 0.0017012035 | 5.0E-4 | 0.011279777 | 0.011959654 | 0.0112 | 0.93648195 | 0.014429755 | 0.0025 |
6.2 | 9.834929E-6 | 1.0395013E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0395013E-5 | 0.0 | 4.2149015E-5 | 4.4549346E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.4549346E-5 | 0.0 | 5.1304343E-4 | 5.4226234E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.55323774 | 5.4226234E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0051186057 | 0.005410294 | 0.0056 | 1.0350639 | 0.0063054245 | 9.0E-4 |
6.3 | 9.834929E-6 | 1.0395013E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0395013E-5 | 0.0 | 4.2149015E-5 | 4.4549346E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.4549346E-5 | 0.0 | 5.1304343E-4 | 5.4226234E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.55323774 | 5.4226234E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0051186057 | 0.005410294 | 0.0056 | 1.0350639 | 0.0063054245 | 9.0E-4 |
6.4 | 6.066321E-6 | 6.401129E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.401129E-6 | 0.0 | 2.5998259E-5 | 2.7433138E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7433138E-5 | 0.0 | 3.1648282E-4 | 3.3394998E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3394998E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0031603249 | 0.0033347518 | 0.0037 | 1.1095278 | 0.003932751 | 6.0E-4 |
6.5 | 6.066321E-6 | 6.401129E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.401129E-6 | 0.0 | 2.5998259E-5 | 2.7433138E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7433138E-5 | 0.0 | 3.1648282E-4 | 3.3394998E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3394998E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0031603249 | 0.0033347518 | 0.0037 | 1.1095278 | 0.003932751 | 6.0E-4 |
6.6 | 4.2321803E-6 | 4.4617705E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.4617705E-6 | 0.0 | 1.8137789E-5 | 1.9121739E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9121739E-5 | 0.0 | 2.208052E-4 | 2.3278332E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3278332E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0022058594 | 0.0023254966 | 0.0026 | 1.1180407 | 0.0027245665 | 4.0E-4 |
6.7 | 3.186646E-6 | 3.3606684E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3606684E-6 | 0.0 | 1.3656982E-5 | 1.4402789E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4402789E-5 | 0.0 | 1.6626107E-4 | 1.7534052E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7534052E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0016613674 | 0.0017520889 | 0.0019 | 1.0844198 | 0.0020515632 | 3.0E-4 |
6.8 | 2.380121E-6 | 2.5111806E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5111806E-6 | 0.0 | 1.0200479E-5 | 1.0762161E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0762161E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2418375E-4 | 1.310219E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.310219E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0012411437 | 0.0013094923 | 0.0011 | 0.8400202 | 0.0015092305 | 2.0E-4 |
6.9 | 8.928287E-7 | 9.431302E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.431302E-7 | 0.0 | 3.826403E-6 | 4.0419814E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0419814E-6 | 0.0 | 4.658546E-5 | 4.9210234E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.9210234E-5 | 0.0 | 4.6575698E-4 | 4.92015E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 1.0162292 | 4.92015E-4 | 0.0 |
Quien Sabe 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.729899E-5 | 7.0985E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0985E-5 | 0.0 | 1.5984301E-4 | 3.0415558E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.9863373 | 4.0412517E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0019443515 | 0.0036874518 | 0.0016 | 0.43390396 | 0.004185608 | 5.0E-4 | 0.019274272 | 0.035370078 | 0.0176 | 0.49759573 | 0.03826397 | 0.003 |
6.1 | 1.7825725E-5 | 3.3232085E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3232085E-5 | 0.0 | 7.639373E-5 | 1.4238115E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4238115E-4 | 0.0 | 9.296967E-4 | 0.0017277669 | 2.0E-4 | 0.115756355 | 0.0017277669 | 0.0 | 0.009258169 | 0.016708735 | 0.0071 | 0.42492744 | 0.017888684 | 0.0012 |
6.2 | 4.8865336E-6 | 7.813568E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.813568E-6 | 0.0 | 2.0942118E-5 | 3.348512E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.348512E-5 | 0.0 | 2.5494045E-4 | 4.0725817E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0725817E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0025464818 | 0.004016477 | 0.0018 | 0.4481539 | 0.0041160756 | 1.0E-4 |
6.3 | 3.858491E-6 | 5.7949605E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.7949605E-6 | 0.0 | 1.6536285E-5 | 2.4835335E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4835335E-5 | 0.0 | 2.0131067E-4 | 3.0233295E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0233295E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002011284 | 0.0030044075 | 0.0013 | 0.43269762 | 0.003104107 | 1.0E-4 |
6.4 | 3.0771805E-6 | 4.3898985E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.3898985E-6 | 0.0 | 1.318785E-5 | 1.881373E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.881373E-5 | 0.0 | 1.6055023E-4 | 2.2903549E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2903549E-4 | 0.0 | 0.001604343 | 0.0022888307 | 9.0E-4 | 0.39321387 | 0.002388602 | 1.0E-4 |
6.5 | 2.5081235E-6 | 3.4680918E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.4680918E-6 | 0.0 | 1.0749056E-5 | 1.4863174E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4863174E-5 | 0.0 | 1.308619E-4 | 1.8094559E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8094559E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0013078486 | 0.0018145656 | 9.0E-4 | 0.49598646 | 0.0019143842 | 1.0E-4 |
6.6 | 1.7505364E-6 | 2.4057533E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4057533E-6 | 0.0 | 7.502277E-6 | 1.0310335E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0310335E-5 | 0.0 | 9.13364E-5 | 1.2552181E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2552181E-4 | 0.0 | 9.129886E-4 | 0.0012599227 | 8.0E-4 | 0.6349595 | 0.0013597969 | 1.0E-4 |
6.7 | 1.505737E-6 | 2.0668413E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0668413E-6 | 0.0 | 6.4531428E-6 | 8.8578645E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.8578645E-6 | 0.0 | 7.8564175E-5 | 1.0783976E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0783976E-4 | 0.0 | 7.853641E-4 | 0.0010832886 | 8.0E-4 | 0.7384921 | 0.0011831803 | 1.0E-4 |
6.8 | 1.2924105E-6 | 1.7511461E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7511461E-6 | 0.0 | 5.5388905E-6 | 7.5048933E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.5048933E-6 | 0.0 | 6.74339E-5 | 9.136879E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.136879E-5 | 0.0 | 6.741344E-4 | 9.1740646E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.6540176 | 0.0010173147 | 1.0E-4 |
6.9 | 8.9075286E-7 | 1.1267791E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1267791E-6 | 0.0 | 3.8175067E-6 | 4.829046E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.829046E-6 | 0.0 | 4.6477155E-5 | 5.8792266E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.8792266E-5 | 0.0 | 4.6467435E-4 | 5.912028E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.67658675 | 6.911437E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.0 | 6.6891175E-7 | 8.531756E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.531756E-7 | 0.0 | 2.8667614E-6 | 3.656463E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.656463E-6 | 0.0 | 3.4902263E-5 | 4.4516724E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.4516724E-5 | 0.0 | 3.4896782E-4 | 4.4746176E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.67044836 | 5.4741703E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.1 | 4.4205015E-7 | 5.3967443E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.3967443E-7 | 0.0 | 1.8944993E-6 | 2.3128894E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3128894E-6 | 0.0 | 2.3065284E-5 | 2.8159235E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8159235E-5 | 0.0 | 2.3062891E-4 | 2.8288856E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.3534961 | 2.8288856E-4 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.6620965E-7 | 1.6007769E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6007769E-7 | 0.0 | 7.123269E-7 | 6.860471E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.860471E-7 | 0.0 | 8.672545E-6 | 8.352596E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.352596E-6 | 0.0 | 8.6722066E-5 | 8.364014E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.364014E-5 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.2142488E-7 | 1.1735274E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1735274E-7 | 0.0 | 5.2039223E-7 | 5.029402E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.029402E-7 | 0.0 | 6.335757E-6 | 6.1232836E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.1232836E-6 | 0.0 | 6.3355765E-5 | 6.1301296E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.1301296E-5 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.4192937E-8 | 2.4557309E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4557309E-8 | 0.0 | 1.0368401E-7 | 1.05245604E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.05245604E-7 | 0.0 | 1.2623522E-6 | 1.2813646E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2813646E-6 | 0.0 | 1.2623449E-5 | 1.2835184E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2835184E-5 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.4432802E-8 | 1.4511174E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4511174E-8 | 0.0 | 6.185486E-8 | 6.219074E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.219074E-8 | 0.0 | 7.530827E-7 | 7.5717213E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.5717213E-7 | 0.0 | 7.530801E-6 | 7.5914077E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.5914077E-6 | 0.0 |
Cleghorn Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5467183E-5 | 1.6797072E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6797072E-5 | 0.0 | 6.6286244E-5 | 7.198577E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.3891634 | 1.7197857E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 8.067362E-4 | 8.7612926E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.45655364 | 0.0010759541 | 2.0E-4 | 0.008038137 | 0.008732181 | 0.0095 | 1.0879298 | 0.011606857 | 0.0029 |
6.1 | 1.5467183E-5 | 1.6797072E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6797072E-5 | 0.0 | 6.6286244E-5 | 7.198577E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.3891634 | 1.7197857E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 8.067362E-4 | 8.7612926E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.45655364 | 0.0010759541 | 2.0E-4 | 0.008038137 | 0.008732181 | 0.0095 | 1.0879298 | 0.011606857 | 0.0029 |
6.2 | 1.2624631E-5 | 1.3683825E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3683825E-5 | 0.0 | 5.410444E-5 | 5.864392E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.7052066 | 1.5863805E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.585225E-4 | 7.1380456E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.4202831 | 8.1373315E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0065657445 | 0.0071199154 | 0.0076 | 1.0674285 | 0.00940354 | 0.0023 |
6.3 | 1.2624631E-5 | 1.3683825E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3683825E-5 | 0.0 | 5.410444E-5 | 5.864392E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.7052066 | 1.5863805E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.585225E-4 | 7.1380456E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.4202831 | 8.1373315E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0065657445 | 0.0071199154 | 0.0076 | 1.0674285 | 0.00940354 | 0.0023 |
6.4 | 9.417684E-6 | 1.0171737E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0171737E-5 | 0.0 | 4.036088E-5 | 4.359266E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.2939641 | 1.435883E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.912829E-4 | 5.306525E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.5653417 | 6.3059945E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004901982 | 0.0052978913 | 0.0059 | 1.1136507 | 0.0072872955 | 0.002 |
6.5 | 9.368219E-6 | 1.0119157E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0119157E-5 | 0.0 | 4.014889E-5 | 4.3367327E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.3058834 | 1.43363E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.8870314E-4 | 5.2791036E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.56827825 | 6.278576E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004876298 | 0.0052706003 | 0.0059 | 1.1194171 | 0.007260059 | 0.002 |
6.6 | 7.803798E-6 | 8.443205E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.443205E-6 | 0.0 | 3.3444423E-5 | 3.6184887E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.6184887E-5 | 0.0 | 4.0710976E-4 | 4.405019E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.45402756 | 4.405019E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0040636472 | 0.004400206 | 0.0048 | 1.0908581 | 0.0057940455 | 0.0014 |
6.7 | 2.3108669E-6 | 2.4441129E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4441129E-6 | 0.0 | 9.903678E-6 | 1.0474728E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0474728E-5 | 0.0 | 1.205706E-4 | 1.2752254E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2752254E-4 | 0.0 | 0.001205052 | 0.0012745123 | 0.0013 | 1.0199981 | 0.0015741299 | 3.0E-4 |
6.8 | 2.0882828E-6 | 2.2065296E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2065296E-6 | 0.0 | 8.949753E-6 | 9.456522E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.456522E-6 | 0.0 | 1.08957785E-4 | 1.15127244E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.15127244E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0010890438 | 0.0011506929 | 0.001 | 0.8690416 | 0.0014503477 | 3.0E-4 |
6.9 | 1.876935E-6 | 1.981269E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.981269E-6 | 0.0 | 8.043982E-6 | 8.491126E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.491126E-6 | 0.0 | 9.7931086E-5 | 1.0337472E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0337472E-4 | 0.0 | 9.788794E-4 | 0.0010332823 | 8.0E-4 | 0.7742318 | 0.0013329723 | 3.0E-4 |
7.0 | 1.5357559E-6 | 1.6204576E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6204576E-6 | 0.0 | 6.5817944E-6 | 6.9448006E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.9448006E-6 | 0.0 | 8.01304E-5 | 8.454979E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.454979E-5 | 0.0 | 8.010151E-4 | 8.451887E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.7099006 | 0.0011449351 | 3.0E-4 |
7.1 | 1.0905424E-6 | 1.1498859E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1498859E-6 | 0.0 | 4.6737446E-6 | 4.9280734E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.9280734E-6 | 0.0 | 5.6901354E-5 | 5.999774E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.999774E-5 | 0.0 | 5.6886784E-4 | 5.9982523E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.5001457 | 7.997052E-4 | 2.0E-4 |
7.2 | 6.06668E-7 | 6.387947E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.387947E-7 | 0.0 | 2.600003E-6 | 2.737689E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.737689E-6 | 0.0 | 3.1654577E-5 | 3.3330925E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3330925E-5 | 0.0 | 3.1650066E-4 | 3.332661E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.9001816 | 5.3319946E-4 | 2.0E-4 |
Cleghorn Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.0522846E-5 | 1.10417195E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.10417195E-5 | 0.0 | 4.509713E-5 | 4.7321093E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.7321093E-5 | 0.0 | 5.4891926E-4 | 5.7603465E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.2152047 | 7.759194E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0054756533 | 0.005750582 | 0.0084 | 1.4607217 | 0.008435056 | 0.0027 |
6.1 | 1.0522846E-5 | 1.10417195E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.10417195E-5 | 0.0 | 4.509713E-5 | 4.7321093E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.7321093E-5 | 0.0 | 5.4891926E-4 | 5.7603465E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.2152047 | 7.759194E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0054756533 | 0.005750582 | 0.0084 | 1.4607217 | 0.008435056 | 0.0027 |
6.2 | 2.1045846E-6 | 2.208418E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.208418E-6 | 0.0 | 9.019617E-6 | 9.464638E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.464638E-6 | 0.0 | 1.098083E-4 | 1.15230076E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 2.603487 | 1.15230076E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0010975406 | 0.0011521147 | 0.002 | 1.7359382 | 0.0016515387 | 5.0E-4 |
6.3 | 2.1045846E-6 | 2.208418E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.208418E-6 | 0.0 | 9.019617E-6 | 9.464638E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.464638E-6 | 0.0 | 1.098083E-4 | 1.15230076E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 2.603487 | 1.15230076E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0010975406 | 0.0011521147 | 0.002 | 1.7359382 | 0.0016515387 | 5.0E-4 |
6.4 | 1.7259927E-6 | 1.8110537E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8110537E-6 | 0.0 | 7.3970905E-6 | 7.761659E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.761659E-6 | 0.0 | 9.005586E-5 | 9.4498195E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.1164424 | 9.4498195E-5 | 0.0 | 9.001937E-4 | 9.4498193E-4 | 0.0016 | 1.693154 | 0.001344604 | 4.0E-4 |
Manix-Afton Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.3783202E-5 | 1.4713058E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4713058E-5 | 0.0 | 5.906953E-5 | 6.305454E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.305454E-5 | 0.0 | 7.189342E-4 | 7.6743605E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.9121281 | 9.6728257E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0071661277 | 0.0076496154 | 0.0058 | 0.75820804 | 0.010229726 | 0.0026 |
6.1 | 1.3783202E-5 | 1.4713058E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4713058E-5 | 0.0 | 5.906953E-5 | 6.305454E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.305454E-5 | 0.0 | 7.189342E-4 | 7.6743605E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.9121281 | 9.6728257E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0071661277 | 0.0076496154 | 0.0058 | 0.75820804 | 0.010229726 | 0.0026 |
6.2 | 1.3783202E-5 | 1.4713058E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4713058E-5 | 0.0 | 5.906953E-5 | 6.305454E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.305454E-5 | 0.0 | 7.189342E-4 | 7.6743605E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.9121281 | 9.6728257E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0071661277 | 0.0076496154 | 0.0058 | 0.75820804 | 0.010229726 | 0.0026 |
6.3 | 1.10494875E-5 | 1.1794713E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1794713E-5 | 0.0 | 4.7354086E-5 | 5.054785E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.054785E-5 | 0.0 | 5.763835E-4 | 6.1525666E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.1377366 | 8.151336E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.005748908 | 0.006136574 | 0.0046 | 0.7496039 | 0.0084224595 | 0.0023 |
6.4 | 1.10494875E-5 | 1.1794713E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1794713E-5 | 0.0 | 4.7354086E-5 | 5.054785E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.054785E-5 | 0.0 | 5.763835E-4 | 6.1525666E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.1377366 | 8.151336E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.005748908 | 0.006136574 | 0.0046 | 0.7496039 | 0.0084224595 | 0.0023 |
6.5 | 9.788949E-6 | 1.0455732E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0455732E-5 | 0.0 | 4.1951964E-5 | 4.4809563E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.4809563E-5 | 0.0 | 5.1064545E-4 | 5.454292E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 1.1000512 | 7.453201E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0050947363 | 0.005441832 | 0.004 | 0.73504657 | 0.00762986 | 0.0022 |
6.6 | 8.810006E-6 | 9.414911E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.414911E-6 | 0.0 | 3.775662E-5 | 4.0349045E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0349045E-5 | 0.0 | 4.5958988E-4 | 4.9114774E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 1.2216283 | 6.9104956E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0045864056 | 0.0049015055 | 0.0037 | 0.7548701 | 0.0067921923 | 0.0019 |
6.7 | 8.80128E-6 | 9.4053885E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.4053885E-6 | 0.0 | 3.7719226E-5 | 4.0308238E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0308238E-5 | 0.0 | 4.591348E-4 | 4.906512E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 1.2228647 | 6.9055305E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.004581874 | 0.004896561 | 0.0037 | 0.75563234 | 0.0067872577 | 0.0019 |
6.8 | 6.8994877E-6 | 7.3810984E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.3810984E-6 | 0.0 | 2.9568899E-5 | 3.1632942E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1632942E-5 | 0.0 | 3.5994186E-4 | 3.8507115E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 1.2984613 | 4.8503265E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.003593594 | 0.0038448444 | 0.0026 | 0.6762302 | 0.004940615 | 0.0011 |
6.9 | 4.9328037E-6 | 5.27168E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.27168E-6 | 0.0 | 2.1140417E-5 | 2.2592754E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2592754E-5 | 0.0 | 2.5735417E-4 | 2.750382E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.4543433 | 3.750107E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0025705635 | 0.0027475837 | 0.0015 | 0.54593426 | 0.0033459351 | 6.0E-4 |
7.0 | 3.347973E-6 | 3.5905464E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5905464E-6 | 0.0 | 1.4348378E-5 | 1.5387988E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5387988E-5 | 0.0 | 1.746775E-4 | 1.8733674E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.6013943 | 2.8731802E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0017454025 | 0.001872191 | 8.0E-4 | 0.42730683 | 0.0021716293 | 3.0E-4 |
7.1 | 1.2073567E-6 | 1.293665E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.293665E-6 | 0.0 | 5.1743755E-6 | 5.544276E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.544276E-6 | 0.0 | 6.29962E-5 | 6.75011E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.75011E-5 | 0.0 | 6.297835E-4 | 6.749662E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.5926222 | 8.748312E-4 | 2.0E-4 |
Great Valley 03 Mysterious Ridge
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.1182444E-5 | 3.6045352E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.6045352E-5 | 0.0 | 1.336322E-4 | 1.5447199E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5447199E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0016257578 | 0.0018792601 | 7.0E-4 | 0.37248704 | 0.0020788843 | 2.0E-4 | 0.016139153 | 0.018652432 | 0.0124 | 0.66479266 | 0.021203937 | 0.0026 |
6.1 | 3.1182444E-5 | 3.6045352E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.6045352E-5 | 0.0 | 1.336322E-4 | 1.5447199E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5447199E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0016257578 | 0.0018792601 | 7.0E-4 | 0.37248704 | 0.0020788843 | 2.0E-4 | 0.016139153 | 0.018652432 | 0.0124 | 0.66479266 | 0.021203937 | 0.0026 |
6.2 | 3.1182444E-5 | 3.6045352E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.6045352E-5 | 0.0 | 1.336322E-4 | 1.5447199E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5447199E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0016257578 | 0.0018792601 | 7.0E-4 | 0.37248704 | 0.0020788843 | 2.0E-4 | 0.016139153 | 0.018652432 | 0.0124 | 0.66479266 | 0.021203937 | 0.0026 |
6.3 | 2.106934E-5 | 2.3856586E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3856586E-5 | 0.0 | 9.0294045E-5 | 1.02238686E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.02238686E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0010987755 | 0.0012440763 | 4.0E-4 | 0.3215237 | 0.0012440763 | 0.0 | 0.010933585 | 0.012374367 | 0.0082 | 0.6626602 | 0.014152093 | 0.0018 |
6.4 | 2.106934E-5 | 2.3856586E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3856586E-5 | 0.0 | 9.0294045E-5 | 1.02238686E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.02238686E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0010987755 | 0.0012440763 | 4.0E-4 | 0.3215237 | 0.0012440763 | 0.0 | 0.010933585 | 0.012374367 | 0.0082 | 0.6626602 | 0.014152093 | 0.0018 |
6.5 | 1.9389783E-5 | 2.1890599E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1890599E-5 | 0.0 | 8.309642E-5 | 9.3813636E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.3813636E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010112294 | 0.0011416103 | 4.0E-4 | 0.35038227 | 0.0011416103 | 0.0 | 0.010066401 | 0.011360333 | 0.0077 | 0.677797 | 0.013139885 | 0.0018 |
6.6 | 1.9370193E-5 | 2.1870519E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1870519E-5 | 0.0 | 8.301247E-5 | 9.372758E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.372758E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010102082 | 0.0011405637 | 4.0E-4 | 0.35070378 | 0.0011405637 | 0.0 | 0.010056281 | 0.011349975 | 0.0077 | 0.6784156 | 0.013129545 | 0.0018 |
6.7 | 1.6723505E-5 | 1.880393E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.880393E-5 | 0.0 | 7.16702E-5 | 8.0585894E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0585894E-5 | 0.0 | 8.722353E-4 | 9.807112E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.30590045 | 9.807112E-4 | 0.0 | 0.008688197 | 0.009765843 | 0.0071 | 0.7270238 | 0.011449241 | 0.0017 |
6.8 | 1.426937E-5 | 1.6001068E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6001068E-5 | 0.0 | 6.115301E-5 | 6.857428E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.857428E-5 | 0.0 | 7.4428355E-4 | 8.345865E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.35945943 | 8.345865E-4 | 0.0 | 0.007417957 | 0.008316002 | 0.0066 | 0.7936506 | 0.009902696 | 0.0016 |
6.9 | 1.2469891E-5 | 1.3960242E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3960242E-5 | 0.0 | 5.3441294E-5 | 5.98283E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.98283E-5 | 0.0 | 6.504535E-4 | 7.2817825E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.41198704 | 7.2817825E-4 | 0.0 | 0.006485529 | 0.007259147 | 0.0053 | 0.7301133 | 0.008648984 | 0.0014 |
7.0 | 8.7746275E-6 | 9.793992E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.793992E-6 | 0.0 | 3.7605005E-5 | 4.197362E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.197362E-5 | 0.0 | 4.5774475E-4 | 5.1091635E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.19572677 | 5.1091635E-4 | 0.0 | 0.00456803 | 0.00509815 | 0.004 | 0.7845983 | 0.005993562 | 9.0E-4 |
7.1 | 6.1067153E-6 | 6.815295E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.815295E-6 | 0.0 | 2.6171374E-5 | 2.9208111E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9208111E-5 | 0.0 | 3.1858988E-4 | 3.5555632E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5555632E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0031813353 | 0.0035504254 | 0.003 | 0.84496915 | 0.004347585 | 8.0E-4 |
7.2 | 2.939283E-6 | 3.2748485E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2748485E-6 | 0.0 | 1.2596866E-5 | 1.4034999E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4034999E-5 | 0.0 | 1.5335606E-4 | 1.7086447E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7086447E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0015325027 | 0.0017075031 | 0.0015 | 0.8784757 | 0.0022066494 | 5.0E-4 |
7.3 | 7.2387763E-7 | 8.01021E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.01021E-7 | 0.0 | 3.102329E-6 | 3.4329453E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.4329453E-6 | 0.0 | 3.77702E-5 | 4.1795764E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.1795764E-5 | 0.0 | 3.7763783E-4 | 4.1792405E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.7178338 | 5.1788223E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.4 | 3.112171E-8 | 3.2070304E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2070304E-8 | 0.0 | 1.3337875E-7 | 1.3744415E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3744415E-7 | 0.0 | 1.6238852E-6 | 1.6733812E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6733812E-6 | 0.0 | 1.6238733E-5 | 1.6733695E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6733695E-5 | 0.0 |
Mono Lake 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.0341662E-5 | 2.3836292E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3836292E-5 | 0.0 | 8.717564E-5 | 1.0215453E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0215453E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0010608466 | 0.0012435531 | 0.0011 | 0.88456213 | 0.0016430557 | 4.0E-4 | 0.010557966 | 0.012418052 | 0.0107 | 0.86164886 | 0.015084523 | 0.0027 |
6.1 | 2.0341662E-5 | 2.3836292E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3836292E-5 | 0.0 | 8.717564E-5 | 1.0215453E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0215453E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0010608466 | 0.0012435531 | 0.0011 | 0.88456213 | 0.0016430557 | 4.0E-4 | 0.010557966 | 0.012418052 | 0.0107 | 0.86164886 | 0.015084523 | 0.0027 |
6.2 | 2.0341662E-5 | 2.3836292E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3836292E-5 | 0.0 | 8.717564E-5 | 1.0215453E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0215453E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0010608466 | 0.0012435531 | 0.0011 | 0.88456213 | 0.0016430557 | 4.0E-4 | 0.010557966 | 0.012418052 | 0.0107 | 0.86164886 | 0.015084523 | 0.0027 |
6.3 | 2.0341662E-5 | 2.3836292E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3836292E-5 | 0.0 | 8.717564E-5 | 1.0215453E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0215453E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0010608466 | 0.0012435531 | 0.0011 | 0.88456213 | 0.0016430557 | 4.0E-4 | 0.010557966 | 0.012418052 | 0.0107 | 0.86164886 | 0.015084523 | 0.0027 |
6.4 | 1.749821E-5 | 2.0497962E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0497962E-5 | 0.0 | 7.499018E-5 | 8.7848406E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.7848406E-5 | 0.0 | 9.1262296E-4 | 0.0010695539 | 0.001 | 0.93496925 | 0.0014691261 | 4.0E-4 | 0.009088841 | 0.010695495 | 0.0096 | 0.8975742 | 0.0129708955 | 0.0023 |
6.5 | 1.749821E-5 | 2.0497962E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0497962E-5 | 0.0 | 7.499018E-5 | 8.7848406E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.7848406E-5 | 0.0 | 9.1262296E-4 | 0.0010695539 | 0.001 | 0.93496925 | 0.0014691261 | 4.0E-4 | 0.009088841 | 0.010695495 | 0.0096 | 0.8975742 | 0.0129708955 | 0.0023 |
Monterey Bay-Tularcitos
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0131365E-5 | 3.280467E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.280467E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2912804E-4 | 1.4058445E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4058445E-4 | 0.0 | 0.001571 | 0.0017103775 | 0.0011 | 0.64313287 | 0.0018102064 | 1.0E-4 | 0.015599402 | 0.016982947 | 0.0118 | 0.6948146 | 0.019145584 | 0.0022 |
6.1 | 3.0131365E-5 | 3.280467E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.280467E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2912804E-4 | 1.4058445E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4058445E-4 | 0.0 | 0.001571 | 0.0017103775 | 0.0011 | 0.64313287 | 0.0018102064 | 1.0E-4 | 0.015599402 | 0.016982947 | 0.0118 | 0.6948146 | 0.019145584 | 0.0022 |
6.2 | 3.0131365E-5 | 3.280467E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.280467E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2912804E-4 | 1.4058445E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4058445E-4 | 0.0 | 0.001571 | 0.0017103775 | 0.0011 | 0.64313287 | 0.0018102064 | 1.0E-4 | 0.015599402 | 0.016982947 | 0.0118 | 0.6948146 | 0.019145584 | 0.0022 |
6.3 | 1.6998249E-5 | 1.8333772E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8333772E-5 | 0.0 | 7.28476E-5 | 7.857105E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.857105E-5 | 0.0 | 8.865586E-4 | 9.5620146E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.31374142 | 0.0010561058 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0088303005 | 0.009522797 | 0.0064 | 0.6720715 | 0.01110756 | 0.0016 |
6.4 | 1.6998249E-5 | 1.8333772E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8333772E-5 | 0.0 | 7.28476E-5 | 7.857105E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.857105E-5 | 0.0 | 8.865586E-4 | 9.5620146E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.31374142 | 0.0010561058 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0088303005 | 0.009522797 | 0.0064 | 0.6720715 | 0.01110756 | 0.0016 |
6.5 | 1.27470785E-5 | 1.369545E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.369545E-5 | 0.0 | 5.4629192E-5 | 5.8693528E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.8693528E-5 | 0.0 | 6.649074E-4 | 7.1436976E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.4199506 | 8.142983E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0066292146 | 0.0071217865 | 0.0048 | 0.67398816 | 0.008412528 | 0.0013 |
6.6 | 1.2739422E-5 | 1.3687537E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3687537E-5 | 0.0 | 5.4596385E-5 | 5.8659614E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.8659614E-5 | 0.0 | 6.645082E-4 | 7.139571E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.4201933 | 8.138857E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0066252467 | 0.007117687 | 0.0048 | 0.6743764 | 0.008408434 | 0.0013 |
6.7 | 1.0160109E-5 | 1.0887417E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0887417E-5 | 0.0 | 4.35426E-5 | 4.6659567E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.6659567E-5 | 0.0 | 5.300022E-4 | 5.679392E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.35215038 | 6.678824E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005287399 | 0.005665589 | 0.0038 | 0.67071575 | 0.006759357 | 0.0011 |
6.8 | 8.349859E-6 | 8.933944E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.933944E-6 | 0.0 | 3.578462E-5 | 3.82878E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.82878E-5 | 0.0 | 4.3559066E-4 | 4.6605992E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.42912936 | 5.6601333E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004347378 | 0.00465139 | 0.003 | 0.6449685 | 0.005447669 | 8.0E-4 |
6.9 | 5.193639E-6 | 5.5372743E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.5372743E-6 | 0.0 | 2.2258262E-5 | 2.3730978E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3730978E-5 | 0.0 | 2.7096065E-4 | 2.888896E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.346153 | 2.888896E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0027063051 | 0.0028854618 | 0.0017 | 0.58916044 | 0.003384019 | 5.0E-4 |
7.0 | 4.359381E-6 | 4.644085E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.644085E-6 | 0.0 | 1.8682927E-5 | 1.9903087E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9903087E-5 | 0.0 | 2.274409E-4 | 2.4229613E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.41271812 | 2.4229613E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0022720827 | 0.0024206124 | 0.0014 | 0.57836604 | 0.0029194022 | 5.0E-4 |
7.1 | 3.0398533E-6 | 3.2315647E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2315647E-6 | 0.0 | 1.3027877E-5 | 1.3849504E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3849504E-5 | 0.0 | 1.5860285E-4 | 1.686073E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.686073E-4 | 0.0 | 0.001584897 | 0.0016850514 | 0.0011 | 0.65279907 | 0.002184209 | 5.0E-4 |
7.2 | 1.642335E-6 | 1.733624E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.733624E-6 | 0.0 | 7.0385595E-6 | 7.4298077E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.4298077E-6 | 0.0 | 8.569109E-5 | 9.045622E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.045622E-5 | 0.0 | 8.5658056E-4 | 9.043968E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.6634256 | 0.0012041255 | 3.0E-4 |
7.3 | 3.356842E-7 | 3.2962515E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2962515E-7 | 0.0 | 1.4386458E-6 | 1.4126784E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4126784E-6 | 0.0 | 1.7515373E-5 | 1.7199225E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7199225E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7513991E-4 | 1.7197905E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.1629324 | 3.7194465E-4 | 2.0E-4 |
7.4 | 2.1973483E-7 | 2.1015819E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1015819E-7 | 0.0 | 9.417204E-7 | 9.006776E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.006776E-7 | 0.0 | 1.1465385E-5 | 1.0965695E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0965695E-5 | 0.0 | 1.1464794E-4 | 1.0965158E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.8239591 | 3.0962966E-4 | 2.0E-4 |
7.5 | 1.1944135E-7 | 1.0704781E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0704781E-7 | 0.0 | 5.118914E-7 | 4.5877624E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.5877624E-7 | 0.0 | 6.23226E-6 | 5.585586E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.585586E-6 | 0.0 | 6.2320854E-5 | 5.5854474E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.7903669 | 1.5584889E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.6 | 4.636058E-8 | 3.3424197E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3424197E-8 | 0.0 | 1.9868818E-7 | 1.4324655E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4324655E-7 | 0.0 | 2.419026E-6 | 1.7440253E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7440253E-6 | 0.0 | 2.4189996E-5 | 1.7440118E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7440118E-5 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.8588572E-8 | 8.033703E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.033703E-9 | 0.0 | 7.9665305E-8 | 3.443015E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.443015E-8 | 0.0 | 9.699246E-7 | 4.1918702E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.1918702E-7 | 0.0 | 9.699204E-6 | 4.1918624E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.1918624E-6 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.7960154E-9 | 7.656863E-10 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.656863E-10 | 0.0 | 1.1982923E-8 | 3.281513E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.281513E-9 | 0.0 | 1.4589209E-7 | 3.995242E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.995242E-8 | 0.0 | 1.4589199E-6 | 3.9952417E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.9952417E-7 | 0.0 |
Death Valley (So)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.5627864E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5627864E-5 | 0.0 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.09829176E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.09829176E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0010787029 | 0.0013363669 | 0.0011 | 0.8231272 | 0.001635966 | 3.0E-4 | 0.010734817 | 0.01328546 | 0.0115 | 0.8656079 | 0.015850918 | 0.0026 |
6.1 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.5627864E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5627864E-5 | 0.0 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.09829176E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.09829176E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0010787029 | 0.0013363669 | 0.0011 | 0.8231272 | 0.001635966 | 3.0E-4 | 0.010734817 | 0.01328546 | 0.0115 | 0.8656079 | 0.015850918 | 0.0026 |
6.2 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.5627864E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5627864E-5 | 0.0 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.09829176E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.09829176E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0010787029 | 0.0013363669 | 0.0011 | 0.8231272 | 0.001635966 | 3.0E-4 | 0.010734817 | 0.01328546 | 0.0115 | 0.8656079 | 0.015850918 | 0.0026 |
6.3 | 2.0240292E-5 | 2.5127823E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5127823E-5 | 0.0 | 8.6741224E-5 | 1.0768632E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0768632E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0010555626 | 0.0013103092 | 0.001 | 0.76317865 | 0.0015100471 | 2.0E-4 | 0.010505628 | 0.013027957 | 0.0112 | 0.8596897 | 0.015396689 | 0.0024 |
6.4 | 2.0240292E-5 | 2.5127823E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5127823E-5 | 0.0 | 8.6741224E-5 | 1.0768632E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0768632E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0010555626 | 0.0013103092 | 0.001 | 0.76317865 | 0.0015100471 | 2.0E-4 | 0.010505628 | 0.013027957 | 0.0112 | 0.8596897 | 0.015396689 | 0.0024 |
6.5 | 1.9962767E-5 | 2.4817004E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4817004E-5 | 0.0 | 8.55519E-5 | 1.0635434E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0635434E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0010410968 | 0.0012941117 | 0.001 | 0.7727308 | 0.0014938528 | 2.0E-4 | 0.010362327 | 0.012867865 | 0.0111 | 0.8626139 | 0.015236982 | 0.0024 |
6.6 | 1.8937297E-5 | 2.332037E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.332037E-5 | 0.0 | 8.115732E-5 | 9.99407E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.99407E-5 | 0.0 | 9.876423E-4 | 0.0012161133 | 9.0E-4 | 0.7400626 | 0.0014158702 | 2.0E-4 | 0.009832645 | 0.012096784 | 0.0105 | 0.8679993 | 0.014368962 | 0.0023 |
6.7 | 1.8621096E-5 | 2.2920907E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2920907E-5 | 0.0 | 7.980225E-5 | 9.822885E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.822885E-5 | 0.0 | 9.711593E-4 | 0.0011952945 | 9.0E-4 | 0.75295246 | 0.0013950556 | 2.0E-4 | 0.009669261 | 0.011890838 | 0.0103 | 0.8662131 | 0.014064679 | 0.0022 |
6.8 | 1.7830353E-5 | 2.1814458E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1814458E-5 | 0.0 | 7.641356E-5 | 9.348726E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.348726E-5 | 0.0 | 9.29938E-4 | 0.0011376272 | 8.0E-4 | 0.7032181 | 0.0013373996 | 2.0E-4 | 0.009260561 | 0.0113193495 | 0.0096 | 0.8481053 | 0.013395579 | 0.0021 |
6.9 | 1.3135183E-5 | 1.530884E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.530884E-5 | 0.0 | 5.6292425E-5 | 6.56077E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.56077E-5 | 0.0 | 6.8514474E-4 | 7.984875E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.62618387 | 8.9840766E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006830362 | 0.007955789 | 0.0061 | 0.76673734 | 0.0091462415 | 0.0012 |
7.0 | 1.1507512E-5 | 1.31579645E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.31579645E-5 | 0.0 | 4.9316975E-5 | 5.6390087E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.6390087E-5 | 0.0 | 6.002687E-4 | 6.863388E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.58280253 | 7.862702E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0059864987 | 0.0068415613 | 0.0053 | 0.774677 | 0.007934036 | 0.0011 |
7.1 | 9.715903E-6 | 1.0867917E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0867917E-5 | 0.0 | 4.1638916E-5 | 4.657598E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.657598E-5 | 0.0 | 5.068359E-4 | 5.669193E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.70556784 | 6.668626E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0050568148 | 0.005655111 | 0.0038 | 0.6719585 | 0.006450587 | 8.0E-4 |
7.2 | 9.233269E-6 | 1.0288746E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0288746E-5 | 0.0 | 3.9570554E-5 | 4.4093904E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.4093904E-5 | 0.0 | 4.81665E-4 | 5.3671526E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.7452741 | 6.366616E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0048062233 | 0.005354622 | 0.0036 | 0.6723164 | 0.0060508735 | 7.0E-4 |
7.3 | 8.8041315E-6 | 9.810394E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.810394E-6 | 0.0 | 3.7731446E-5 | 4.2043892E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.2043892E-5 | 0.0 | 4.592835E-4 | 5.1176833E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.78160363 | 6.117172E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0045833546 | 0.005106325 | 0.0033 | 0.64625734 | 0.0058027506 | 7.0E-4 |
7.4 | 8.708749E-6 | 9.7093925E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.7093925E-6 | 0.0 | 3.7322676E-5 | 4.161104E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.161104E-5 | 0.0 | 4.5430884E-4 | 5.065009E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.7897321 | 6.0645025E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004533812 | 0.0050538913 | 0.0031 | 0.6133888 | 0.005650859 | 6.0E-4 |
7.5 | 8.612678E-6 | 9.607022E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.607022E-6 | 0.0 | 3.6910955E-5 | 4.1172323E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.1172323E-5 | 0.0 | 4.492982E-4 | 5.011619E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.79814523 | 6.011118E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004483909 | 0.005000743 | 0.0031 | 0.61990786 | 0.0055977427 | 6.0E-4 |
7.6 | 8.319024E-6 | 9.28606E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.28606E-6 | 0.0 | 3.5652476E-5 | 3.9796818E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.9796818E-5 | 0.0 | 4.3398244E-4 | 4.8442275E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.8257251 | 5.843743E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0043313587 | 0.0048340918 | 0.0028 | 0.57921946 | 0.005331675 | 5.0E-4 |
7.7 | 7.4718328E-6 | 8.347111E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.347111E-6 | 0.0 | 3.2021748E-5 | 3.5772868E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5772868E-5 | 0.0 | 3.8979502E-4 | 4.3545166E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.91858643 | 5.354081E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.00389112 | 0.0043463893 | 0.0027 | 0.6212053 | 0.004844216 | 5.0E-4 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.64866E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.64866E-7 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5637105E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5637105E-6 | 0.0 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.9038014E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9038014E-5 | 0.0 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.9036427E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.52530867 | 1.9036427E-4 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6699005E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6699005E-9 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1442431E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1442431E-8 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.393116E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.393116E-7 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3931159E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3931159E-6 | 0.0 |
Santa Susana East (connector)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.858397E-5 | 3.2035285E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2035285E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2249697E-4 | 1.3728799E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3728799E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0014903803 | 0.0016704713 | 9.0E-4 | 0.53877014 | 0.002169636 | 5.0E-4 | 0.014804244 | 0.016605916 | 0.0094 | 0.56606334 | 0.01916274 | 0.0026 |
6.1 | 2.858397E-5 | 3.2035285E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2035285E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2249697E-4 | 1.3728799E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3728799E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0014903803 | 0.0016704713 | 9.0E-4 | 0.53877014 | 0.002169636 | 5.0E-4 | 0.014804244 | 0.016605916 | 0.0094 | 0.56606334 | 0.01916274 | 0.0026 |
6.2 | 2.858397E-5 | 3.2035285E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2035285E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2249697E-4 | 1.3728799E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3728799E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0014903803 | 0.0016704713 | 9.0E-4 | 0.53877014 | 0.002169636 | 5.0E-4 | 0.014804244 | 0.016605916 | 0.0094 | 0.56606334 | 0.01916274 | 0.0026 |
6.3 | 1.943582E-5 | 2.0374586E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0374586E-5 | 0.0 | 8.329371E-5 | 8.731737E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.731737E-5 | 0.0 | 0.001013629 | 0.0010626826 | 4.0E-4 | 0.3764059 | 0.0011625764 | 1.0E-4 | 0.010090181 | 0.010587283 | 0.0057 | 0.53838176 | 0.011972461 | 0.0014 |
6.4 | 1.943582E-5 | 2.0374586E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0374586E-5 | 0.0 | 8.329371E-5 | 8.731737E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.731737E-5 | 0.0 | 0.001013629 | 0.0010626826 | 4.0E-4 | 0.3764059 | 0.0011625764 | 1.0E-4 | 0.010090181 | 0.010587283 | 0.0057 | 0.53838176 | 0.011972461 | 0.0014 |
6.5 | 1.943582E-5 | 2.0374586E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0374586E-5 | 0.0 | 8.329371E-5 | 8.731737E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.731737E-5 | 0.0 | 0.001013629 | 0.0010626826 | 4.0E-4 | 0.3764059 | 0.0011625764 | 1.0E-4 | 0.010090181 | 0.010587283 | 0.0057 | 0.53838176 | 0.011972461 | 0.0014 |
6.6 | 1.943582E-5 | 2.0374586E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0374586E-5 | 0.0 | 8.329371E-5 | 8.731737E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.731737E-5 | 0.0 | 0.001013629 | 0.0010626826 | 4.0E-4 | 0.3764059 | 0.0011625764 | 1.0E-4 | 0.010090181 | 0.010587283 | 0.0057 | 0.53838176 | 0.011972461 | 0.0014 |
6.7 | 1.9404439E-5 | 2.0362002E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0362002E-5 | 0.0 | 8.3159226E-5 | 8.726344E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.726344E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010119933 | 0.0010620267 | 4.0E-4 | 0.37663835 | 0.0011619205 | 1.0E-4 | 0.010073971 | 0.0105807865 | 0.0057 | 0.5387123 | 0.011965973 | 0.0014 |
6.8 | 1.2217526E-5 | 1.1596022E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1596022E-5 | 0.0 | 5.2359774E-5 | 4.9696384E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.9696384E-5 | 0.0 | 6.372938E-4 | 6.0490234E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.4959478 | 6.0490234E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0063546924 | 0.0060344394 | 0.0035 | 0.58000416 | 0.0069290088 | 9.0E-4 |
6.9 | 1.2217526E-5 | 1.1596022E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1596022E-5 | 0.0 | 5.2359774E-5 | 4.9696384E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.9696384E-5 | 0.0 | 6.372938E-4 | 6.0490234E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.4959478 | 6.0490234E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0063546924 | 0.0060344394 | 0.0035 | 0.58000416 | 0.0069290088 | 9.0E-4 |
7.0 | 9.276017E-6 | 8.060654E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.060654E-6 | 0.0 | 3.9753755E-5 | 3.4545224E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.4545224E-5 | 0.0 | 4.8389446E-4 | 4.205104E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.23780626 | 4.205104E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0048284214 | 0.0041977055 | 0.0026 | 0.61938596 | 0.004795187 | 6.0E-4 |
7.1 | 9.130355E-6 | 7.9438005E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.9438005E-6 | 0.0 | 3.9129503E-5 | 3.4044435E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.4044435E-5 | 0.0 | 4.7629757E-4 | 4.144156E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.24130365 | 4.144156E-4 | 0.0 | 0.00475278 | 0.004136986 | 0.0026 | 0.62847686 | 0.004734504 | 6.0E-4 |
7.2 | 8.851015E-6 | 7.742927E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.742927E-6 | 0.0 | 3.7932372E-5 | 3.318357E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.318357E-5 | 0.0 | 4.6172875E-4 | 4.0393847E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.24756245 | 4.0393847E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0046077054 | 0.004032598 | 0.0026 | 0.6447457 | 0.004630178 | 6.0E-4 |
7.3 | 8.573006E-6 | 7.5516114E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.5516114E-6 | 0.0 | 3.6740938E-5 | 3.2363667E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2363667E-5 | 0.0 | 4.472291E-4 | 3.939598E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.253833 | 3.939598E-4 | 0.0 | 0.004463301 | 0.0039331596 | 0.0026 | 0.6610461 | 0.0045308 | 6.0E-4 |
7.4 | 7.852282E-6 | 6.8188915E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.8188915E-6 | 0.0 | 3.36522E-5 | 2.922351E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.922351E-5 | 0.0 | 4.096385E-4 | 3.5574118E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.28110325 | 3.5574118E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0040888423 | 0.0035522126 | 0.0022 | 0.6193323 | 0.0041500814 | 6.0E-4 |
7.5 | 4.8869324E-6 | 4.27982E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.27982E-6 | 0.0 | 2.0943828E-5 | 1.8341967E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8341967E-5 | 0.0 | 2.5496128E-4 | 2.2329221E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.44784364 | 2.2329221E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0025466895 | 0.0022307558 | 0.001 | 0.44827855 | 0.0026298636 | 4.0E-4 |
7.6 | 1.3894544E-6 | 1.157005E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.157005E-6 | 0.0 | 5.954791E-6 | 4.958585E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.958585E-6 | 0.0 | 7.249717E-5 | 6.0369322E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0369322E-5 | 0.0 | 7.247352E-4 | 6.0355105E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.6627443 | 8.0343033E-4 | 2.0E-4 |
7.7 | 2.9924632E-7 | 2.3729595E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3729595E-7 | 0.0 | 1.2824837E-6 | 1.0169823E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0169823E-6 | 0.0 | 1.5614127E-5 | 1.2381696E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2381696E-5 | 0.0 | 1.5613029E-4 | 1.2381078E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2381078E-4 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.8188564E-8 | 2.639631E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.639631E-8 | 0.0 | 2.065224E-7 | 1.1312703E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1312703E-7 | 0.0 | 2.5144072E-6 | 1.3773208E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3773208E-6 | 0.0 | 2.5143789E-5 | 1.3773131E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3773131E-5 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.6127251E-9 | 2.7684366E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7684366E-9 | 0.0 | 1.1197393E-8 | 1.1864729E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1864729E-8 | 0.0 | 1.3632825E-7 | 1.4445307E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4445307E-7 | 0.0 | 1.3632817E-6 | 1.4445308E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4445308E-6 | 0.0 |
Santa Ynez (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.676393E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.676393E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5755351E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.63470495 | 1.5755351E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0019171119 | 8.0E-4 | 0.41729435 | 0.0020169201 | 1.0E-4 | 0.016697178 | 0.019063229 | 0.0127 | 0.66620404 | 0.021319384 | 0.0023 |
6.1 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.676393E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.676393E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5755351E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.63470495 | 1.5755351E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0019171119 | 8.0E-4 | 0.41729435 | 0.0020169201 | 1.0E-4 | 0.016697178 | 0.019063229 | 0.0127 | 0.66620404 | 0.021319384 | 0.0023 |
6.2 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.676393E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.676393E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5755351E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.63470495 | 1.5755351E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0019171119 | 8.0E-4 | 0.41729435 | 0.0020169201 | 1.0E-4 | 0.016697178 | 0.019063229 | 0.0127 | 0.66620404 | 0.021319384 | 0.0023 |
6.3 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.676393E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.676393E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5755351E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.63470495 | 1.5755351E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0019171119 | 8.0E-4 | 0.41729435 | 0.0020169201 | 1.0E-4 | 0.016697178 | 0.019063229 | 0.0127 | 0.66620404 | 0.021319384 | 0.0023 |
6.4 | 1.4404779E-5 | 1.4852704E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4852704E-5 | 0.0 | 6.1733306E-5 | 6.365292E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.365292E-5 | 0.0 | 7.513438E-4 | 7.7470386E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.12908158 | 7.7470386E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0074880854 | 0.0077205827 | 0.006 | 0.7771434 | 0.008613634 | 9.0E-4 |
6.5 | 1.4404779E-5 | 1.4852704E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4852704E-5 | 0.0 | 6.1733306E-5 | 6.365292E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.365292E-5 | 0.0 | 7.513438E-4 | 7.7470386E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.12908158 | 7.7470386E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0074880854 | 0.0077205827 | 0.006 | 0.7771434 | 0.008613634 | 9.0E-4 |
6.6 | 1.280208E-5 | 1.3014734E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3014734E-5 | 0.0 | 5.4864904E-5 | 5.577625E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.577625E-5 | 0.0 | 6.6777546E-4 | 6.78866E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.14730448 | 6.78866E-4 | 0.0 | 0.006657724 | 0.006768133 | 0.0047 | 0.6944308 | 0.007463395 | 7.0E-4 |
6.7 | 1.2457027E-5 | 1.263117E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.263117E-5 | 0.0 | 5.3386164E-5 | 5.413247E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.413247E-5 | 0.0 | 6.497827E-4 | 6.588652E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.15177612 | 6.588652E-4 | 0.0 | 0.00647886 | 0.0065693157 | 0.0045 | 0.68500286 | 0.007264717 | 7.0E-4 |
6.8 | 1.2095134E-5 | 1.2233539E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2233539E-5 | 0.0 | 5.1835254E-5 | 5.2428408E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.2428408E-5 | 0.0 | 6.309115E-4 | 6.381305E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.15670775 | 6.381305E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0062912325 | 0.0063631698 | 0.0045 | 0.70719475 | 0.0070587154 | 7.0E-4 |
6.9 | 1.1104036E-5 | 1.1159792E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1159792E-5 | 0.0 | 4.758786E-5 | 4.782681E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.782681E-5 | 0.0 | 5.7922816E-4 | 5.821371E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.821371E-4 | 0.0 | 0.005777207 | 0.0058062673 | 0.0044 | 0.75780183 | 0.0065022027 | 7.0E-4 |
7.0 | 1.0577444E-5 | 1.0584018E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0584018E-5 | 0.0 | 4.5331115E-5 | 4.5359295E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.5359295E-5 | 0.0 | 5.5176654E-4 | 5.5211067E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.5211067E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0055039856 | 0.005507529 | 0.0042 | 0.7625925 | 0.0062036733 | 7.0E-4 |
7.1 | 1.0021775E-5 | 9.983227E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.983227E-6 | 0.0 | 4.294976E-5 | 4.2784563E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.2784563E-5 | 0.0 | 5.2278786E-4 | 5.2077876E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.2077876E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0052155964 | 0.005195716 | 0.0042 | 0.80835825 | 0.0058920793 | 7.0E-4 |
7.2 | 8.874109E-6 | 8.750828E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.750828E-6 | 0.0 | 3.8031343E-5 | 3.7503014E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.7503014E-5 | 0.0 | 4.629332E-4 | 4.5650464E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.5650464E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0046197 | 0.004555787 | 0.0039 | 0.85605407 | 0.005252598 | 7.0E-4 |
7.3 | 7.5504267E-6 | 7.5068824E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.5068824E-6 | 0.0 | 3.235857E-5 | 3.2171964E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2171964E-5 | 0.0 | 3.9389438E-4 | 3.9162426E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.9162426E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0039319694 | 0.003909448 | 0.0032 | 0.81852984 | 0.0045071025 | 6.0E-4 |
7.4 | 6.309394E-6 | 6.184688E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.184688E-6 | 0.0 | 2.703998E-5 | 2.6505542E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6505542E-5 | 0.0 | 3.2916202E-4 | 3.2265813E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2265813E-4 | 0.0 | 0.003286749 | 0.003221994 | 0.0029 | 0.90006375 | 0.0038200608 | 6.0E-4 |
7.5 | 4.6103073E-6 | 4.441822E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.441822E-6 | 0.0 | 1.975831E-5 | 1.9036246E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9036246E-5 | 0.0 | 2.4053088E-4 | 2.3174234E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3174234E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002402707 | 0.0023150763 | 0.0022 | 0.95029265 | 0.0029136871 | 6.0E-4 |
7.6 | 1.2858658E-6 | 1.3009627E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3009627E-6 | 0.0 | 5.5108417E-6 | 5.575543E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.575543E-6 | 0.0 | 6.7092435E-5 | 6.788019E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.788019E-5 | 0.0 | 6.707218E-4 | 6.7860144E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.7368095 | 8.7846577E-4 | 2.0E-4 |
7.7 | 5.3302307E-7 | 5.6127305E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.6127305E-7 | 0.0 | 2.2843826E-6 | 2.4054539E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4054539E-6 | 0.0 | 2.7812002E-5 | 2.9286044E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9286044E-5 | 0.0 | 2.7808524E-4 | 2.9282543E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.0245012 | 3.9279615E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.8 | 4.613933E-8 | 4.8034003E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.8034003E-8 | 0.0 | 1.9773998E-7 | 2.0585999E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0585999E-7 | 0.0 | 2.4074816E-6 | 2.5063428E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5063428E-6 | 0.0 | 2.4074554E-5 | 2.5063155E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5063155E-5 | 0.0 |
Garlic Springs
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6760017E-5 | 1.8781318E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8781318E-5 | 0.0 | 7.182667E-5 | 8.048954E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.048954E-5 | 0.0 | 8.7413884E-4 | 9.79637E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.7145504 | 0.0012793432 | 3.0E-4 | 0.008707083 | 0.0097647365 | 0.0116 | 1.1879481 | 0.012141301 | 0.0024 |
6.1 | 9.852767E-6 | 1.0976064E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0976064E-5 | 0.0 | 4.222546E-5 | 4.7039826E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.7039826E-5 | 0.0 | 5.139737E-4 | 5.726304E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 1.0477964 | 7.7251584E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.005127866 | 0.0057185097 | 0.0074 | 1.2940434 | 0.007607645 | 0.0019 |
6.2 | 9.852767E-6 | 1.0976064E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0976064E-5 | 0.0 | 4.222546E-5 | 4.7039826E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.7039826E-5 | 0.0 | 5.139737E-4 | 5.726304E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 1.0477964 | 7.7251584E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.005127866 | 0.0057185097 | 0.0074 | 1.2940434 | 0.007607645 | 0.0019 |
6.3 | 4.3167724E-6 | 4.7790413E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.7790413E-6 | 0.0 | 1.8500323E-5 | 2.0481575E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0481575E-5 | 0.0 | 2.2521814E-4 | 2.4935766E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.2030911 | 3.4933272E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0022499003 | 0.002493038 | 0.0034 | 1.3637979 | 0.0030915423 | 6.0E-4 |
6.4 | 4.3167724E-6 | 4.7790413E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.7790413E-6 | 0.0 | 1.8500323E-5 | 2.0481575E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0481575E-5 | 0.0 | 2.2521814E-4 | 2.4935766E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.2030911 | 3.4933272E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0022499003 | 0.002493038 | 0.0034 | 1.3637979 | 0.0030915423 | 6.0E-4 |
6.5 | 4.3167724E-6 | 4.7790413E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.7790413E-6 | 0.0 | 1.8500323E-5 | 2.0481575E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0481575E-5 | 0.0 | 2.2521814E-4 | 2.4935766E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.2030911 | 3.4933272E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0022499003 | 0.002493038 | 0.0034 | 1.3637979 | 0.0030915423 | 6.0E-4 |
6.6 | 4.301311E-6 | 4.761906E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.761906E-6 | 0.0 | 1.8434059E-5 | 2.0408139E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0408139E-5 | 0.0 | 2.2441156E-4 | 2.484638E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.2074194 | 3.4843895E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0022418506 | 0.0024841193 | 0.0034 | 1.3686943 | 0.0030826288 | 6.0E-4 |
6.7 | 3.8599724E-6 | 4.271962E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.271962E-6 | 0.0 | 1.6542634E-5 | 1.8308408E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8308408E-5 | 0.0 | 2.0138794E-4 | 2.2290487E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.3458656 | 3.2288258E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0020120554 | 0.0022290489 | 0.0033 | 1.4804522 | 0.0028277114 | 6.0E-4 |
Big Lagoon - Bald Mtn 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.8699735E-5 | 1.9852614E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9852614E-5 | 0.0 | 8.013926E-5 | 8.508007E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.508007E-5 | 0.0 | 9.752587E-4 | 0.0010353954 | 3.0E-4 | 0.28974438 | 0.0011352919 | 1.0E-4 | 0.009709897 | 0.010309531 | 0.0089 | 0.8632788 | 0.012783757 | 0.0025 |
6.1 | 1.8699735E-5 | 1.9852614E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9852614E-5 | 0.0 | 8.013926E-5 | 8.508007E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.508007E-5 | 0.0 | 9.752587E-4 | 0.0010353954 | 3.0E-4 | 0.28974438 | 0.0011352919 | 1.0E-4 | 0.009709897 | 0.010309531 | 0.0089 | 0.8632788 | 0.012783757 | 0.0025 |
6.2 | 1.8699735E-5 | 1.9852614E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9852614E-5 | 0.0 | 8.013926E-5 | 8.508007E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.508007E-5 | 0.0 | 9.752587E-4 | 0.0010353954 | 3.0E-4 | 0.28974438 | 0.0011352919 | 1.0E-4 | 0.009709897 | 0.010309531 | 0.0089 | 0.8632788 | 0.012783757 | 0.0025 |
6.3 | 1.8699735E-5 | 1.9852614E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9852614E-5 | 0.0 | 8.013926E-5 | 8.508007E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.508007E-5 | 0.0 | 9.752587E-4 | 0.0010353954 | 3.0E-4 | 0.28974438 | 0.0011352919 | 1.0E-4 | 0.009709897 | 0.010309531 | 0.0089 | 0.8632788 | 0.012783757 | 0.0025 |
6.4 | 1.8699735E-5 | 1.9852614E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9852614E-5 | 0.0 | 8.013926E-5 | 8.508007E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.508007E-5 | 0.0 | 9.752587E-4 | 0.0010353954 | 3.0E-4 | 0.28974438 | 0.0011352919 | 1.0E-4 | 0.009709897 | 0.010309531 | 0.0089 | 0.8632788 | 0.012783757 | 0.0025 |
6.5 | 1.8699735E-5 | 1.9852614E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9852614E-5 | 0.0 | 8.013926E-5 | 8.508007E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.508007E-5 | 0.0 | 9.752587E-4 | 0.0010353954 | 3.0E-4 | 0.28974438 | 0.0011352919 | 1.0E-4 | 0.009709897 | 0.010309531 | 0.0089 | 0.8632788 | 0.012783757 | 0.0025 |
6.6 | 1.8699735E-5 | 1.9852614E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9852614E-5 | 0.0 | 8.013926E-5 | 8.508007E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.508007E-5 | 0.0 | 9.752587E-4 | 0.0010353954 | 3.0E-4 | 0.28974438 | 0.0011352919 | 1.0E-4 | 0.009709897 | 0.010309531 | 0.0089 | 0.8632788 | 0.012783757 | 0.0025 |
6.7 | 1.8699735E-5 | 1.9852614E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9852614E-5 | 0.0 | 8.013926E-5 | 8.508007E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.508007E-5 | 0.0 | 9.752587E-4 | 0.0010353954 | 3.0E-4 | 0.28974438 | 0.0011352919 | 1.0E-4 | 0.009709897 | 0.010309531 | 0.0089 | 0.8632788 | 0.012783757 | 0.0025 |
6.8 | 1.18505095E-5 | 1.2501166E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2501166E-5 | 0.0 | 5.078691E-5 | 5.3575353E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.3575353E-5 | 0.0 | 6.181552E-4 | 6.5208954E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.46005952 | 7.520243E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006164385 | 0.006502265 | 0.0064 | 0.9842724 | 0.008389911 | 0.0019 |
6.9 | 1.18505095E-5 | 1.2501166E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2501166E-5 | 0.0 | 5.078691E-5 | 5.3575353E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.3575353E-5 | 0.0 | 6.181552E-4 | 6.5208954E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.46005952 | 7.520243E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006164385 | 0.006502265 | 0.0064 | 0.9842724 | 0.008389911 | 0.0019 |
7.0 | 9.719786E-6 | 1.02365675E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.02365675E-5 | 0.0 | 4.1655563E-5 | 4.3870277E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.3870277E-5 | 0.0 | 5.0703844E-4 | 5.339921E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.5618061 | 6.3393865E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005058831 | 0.005327336 | 0.0056 | 1.051182 | 0.006918812 | 0.0016 |
7.1 | 8.523418E-6 | 8.970396E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.970396E-6 | 0.0 | 3.652842E-5 | 3.8444E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.8444E-5 | 0.0 | 4.4464276E-4 | 4.679567E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.6410849 | 5.679099E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0044375416 | 0.004669877 | 0.0047 | 1.0064505 | 0.006063339 | 0.0014 |
7.2 | 7.378894E-6 | 7.761912E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.761912E-6 | 0.0 | 3.162345E-5 | 3.3264918E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3264918E-5 | 0.0 | 3.8494746E-4 | 4.04926E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.74087614 | 5.048855E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0038428132 | 0.0040419777 | 0.0046 | 1.1380568 | 0.005436319 | 0.0014 |
7.3 | 6.4640294E-6 | 6.7931296E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.7931296E-6 | 0.0 | 2.7702688E-5 | 2.9113091E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9113091E-5 | 0.0 | 3.3722803E-4 | 3.543949E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.84651333 | 4.5435946E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0033671674 | 0.0035383673 | 0.0037 | 1.04568 | 0.0046344753 | 0.0011 |
7.4 | 5.9959093E-6 | 6.2994322E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.2994322E-6 | 0.0 | 2.5696501E-5 | 2.6997292E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6997292E-5 | 0.0 | 3.1280998E-4 | 3.2864304E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.608563 | 3.2864304E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0031237002 | 0.0032816324 | 0.0035 | 1.0665424 | 0.0042783506 | 0.001 |
7.5 | 4.929265E-6 | 5.1769116E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.1769116E-6 | 0.0 | 2.112525E-5 | 2.2186578E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2186578E-5 | 0.0 | 2.5716957E-4 | 2.700885E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.37024903 | 2.700885E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0025687215 | 0.0026976431 | 0.0029 | 1.0750124 | 0.0034954848 | 8.0E-4 |
7.6 | 3.8982403E-6 | 4.0893237E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0893237E-6 | 0.0 | 1.6706637E-5 | 1.7525557E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7525557E-5 | 0.0 | 2.0338432E-4 | 2.1335304E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.4687067 | 2.1335304E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0020319829 | 0.0021315098 | 0.0026 | 1.2197926 | 0.0029298046 | 8.0E-4 |
7.7 | 2.820968E-6 | 2.957495E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.957495E-6 | 0.0 | 1.2089806E-5 | 1.2674918E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2674918E-5 | 0.0 | 1.4718344E-4 | 1.5430637E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5430637E-4 | 0.0 | 0.00147086 | 0.00154201 | 0.0019 | 1.2321581 | 0.002041239 | 5.0E-4 |
7.8 | 1.9314455E-6 | 2.0262153E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0262153E-6 | 0.0 | 8.277597E-6 | 8.683752E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.683752E-6 | 0.0 | 1.0077508E-4 | 1.0571968E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0571968E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0010072939 | 0.0010567068 | 0.0015 | 1.4195045 | 0.0012564954 | 2.0E-4 |
7.9 | 4.9586197E-7 | 5.2194645E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.2194645E-7 | 0.0 | 2.125121E-6 | 2.2369118E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2369118E-6 | 0.0 | 2.5873042E-5 | 2.723408E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.723408E-5 | 0.0 | 2.5870028E-4 | 2.7230952E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.1016876 | 2.7230952E-4 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Peninsula) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.6200685E-5 | 2.5585367E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 7.8169684 | 1.2558281E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.6937918E-4 | 1.0964697E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.8240359 | 2.0963601E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0044879215 | 0.001334136 | 7.0E-4 | 0.52468413 | 0.0015338692 | 2.0E-4 | 0.043983612 | 0.014976911 | 0.0096 | 0.6409866 | 0.01743947 | 0.0025 |
6.1 | 8.6200685E-5 | 2.5585367E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 7.8169684 | 1.2558281E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.6937918E-4 | 1.0964697E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.8240359 | 2.0963601E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0044879215 | 0.001334136 | 7.0E-4 | 0.52468413 | 0.0015338692 | 2.0E-4 | 0.043983612 | 0.014976911 | 0.0096 | 0.6409866 | 0.01743947 | 0.0025 |
6.2 | 8.6200685E-5 | 2.5585367E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 7.8169684 | 1.2558281E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.6937918E-4 | 1.0964697E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.8240359 | 2.0963601E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0044879215 | 0.001334136 | 7.0E-4 | 0.52468413 | 0.0015338692 | 2.0E-4 | 0.043983612 | 0.014976911 | 0.0096 | 0.6409866 | 0.01743947 | 0.0025 |
6.3 | 8.551163E-5 | 2.527481E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 7.913017 | 1.2527229E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.6642692E-4 | 1.08316126E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.8464471 | 2.083053E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004452125 | 0.0013179526 | 7.0E-4 | 0.5311268 | 0.0015176891 | 2.0E-4 | 0.043639794 | 0.014802409 | 0.0093 | 0.6282761 | 0.017166883 | 0.0024 |
6.4 | 8.551163E-5 | 2.527481E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 7.913017 | 1.2527229E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.6642692E-4 | 1.08316126E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.8464471 | 2.083053E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004452125 | 0.0013179526 | 7.0E-4 | 0.5311268 | 0.0015176891 | 2.0E-4 | 0.043639794 | 0.014802409 | 0.0093 | 0.6282761 | 0.017166883 | 0.0024 |
6.5 | 8.511146E-5 | 2.509482E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 7.9697723 | 1.2509231E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.647124E-4 | 1.075448E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.8596901 | 2.0753405E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004431336 | 0.0013085732 | 7.0E-4 | 0.53493375 | 0.0015083115 | 2.0E-4 | 0.04344007 | 0.014701557 | 0.0093 | 0.63258606 | 0.017066274 | 0.0024 |
6.6 | 8.4985084E-5 | 2.502506E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 7.9919887 | 1.2502256E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.6417096E-4 | 1.07245854E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.8648739 | 2.0723513E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0044247704 | 0.0013049379 | 7.0E-4 | 0.536424 | 0.0015046769 | 2.0E-4 | 0.043376986 | 0.014663307 | 0.0092 | 0.62741643 | 0.017028116 | 0.0024 |
6.7 | 8.462618E-5 | 2.4852341E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 8.047531 | 1.2484986E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.6263323E-4 | 1.0650569E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.8778338 | 2.0649504E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004406125 | 0.0012959371 | 7.0E-4 | 0.5401496 | 0.001495678 | 2.0E-4 | 0.043197807 | 0.014567543 | 0.0091 | 0.6246764 | 0.01693258 | 0.0024 |
6.8 | 8.42337E-5 | 2.4747147E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 8.081739 | 1.2474468E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.6095164E-4 | 1.06054904E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.8858157 | 2.060443E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004385734 | 0.0012904552 | 7.0E-4 | 0.5424442 | 0.0014901971 | 2.0E-4 | 0.043001823 | 0.014507679 | 0.0091 | 0.627254 | 0.01687286 | 0.0024 |
6.9 | 8.365989E-5 | 2.4550456E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 8.146488 | 1.24548E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.5849313E-4 | 1.05212006E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.9009237 | 2.0520149E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004355922 | 0.0012802051 | 6.0E-4 | 0.4686749 | 0.0014799491 | 2.0E-4 | 0.04271523 | 0.014399567 | 0.0088 | 0.6111295 | 0.016666448 | 0.0023 |
7.0 | 8.30936E-5 | 2.431079E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 8.2268 | 1.2430835E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.560668E-4 | 1.0418495E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.9196631 | 2.0417453E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004326499 | 0.0012677154 | 6.0E-4 | 0.47329238 | 0.0014674618 | 2.0E-4 | 0.042432297 | 0.014269966 | 0.0088 | 0.6166798 | 0.016537145 | 0.0023 |
7.1 | 8.041264E-5 | 2.3994393E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 8.33528 | 1.23992E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.4458007E-4 | 1.0282907E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.9449753 | 2.0281879E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0041871946 | 0.0012512265 | 6.0E-4 | 0.47952947 | 0.0014509764 | 2.0E-4 | 0.041091725 | 0.014091101 | 0.0087 | 0.61741096 | 0.01635869 | 0.0023 |
7.2 | 7.8427016E-5 | 2.3414497E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 8.541717 | 1.2341216E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.3607247E-4 | 1.0034399E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.9931438 | 2.0033396E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004084008 | 0.0012210051 | 6.0E-4 | 0.49139845 | 0.0014207609 | 2.0E-4 | 0.040097635 | 0.013773698 | 0.0081 | 0.5880773 | 0.015647529 | 0.0019 |
7.3 | 7.721087E-5 | 2.3198158E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 8.621374 | 1.2319584E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.3086175E-4 | 9.9416895E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.0117304 | 1.9940696E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004020803 | 0.0012097303 | 6.0E-4 | 0.49597833 | 0.0014094883 | 2.0E-4 | 0.03948827 | 0.013656755 | 0.008 | 0.5857907 | 0.015530807 | 0.0019 |
7.4 | 7.3536525E-5 | 2.1292115E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 9.393148 | 1.2128999E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.1511846E-4 | 9.124873E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.1918113 | 1.9123961E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0038298194 | 0.0011103884 | 6.0E-4 | 0.54035145 | 0.0013101664 | 2.0E-4 | 0.037644852 | 0.012602318 | 0.0075 | 0.59512866 | 0.014379634 | 0.0018 |
7.5 | 6.806207E-5 | 1.9066867E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 10.489401 | 1.1906496E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.9166197E-4 | 8.171259E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.4476032 | 1.8170441E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0035452035 | 9.943978E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.60338026 | 0.001194199 | 2.0E-4 | 0.034891766 | 0.011339614 | 0.0068 | 0.59966767 | 0.013020337 | 0.0017 |
7.6 | 5.6731416E-5 | 1.4403744E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 13.885279 | 1.14402304E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.43112E-4 | 6.172887E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 3.239975 | 1.617227E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0029558712 | 7.5129E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.665522 | 9.511397E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.02916862 | 0.008613232 | 0.0048 | 0.55728215 | 0.010001173 | 0.0014 |
7.7 | 4.946994E-5 | 1.3455742E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 14.863543 | 1.134544E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.1199681E-4 | 5.766619E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 3.4682367 | 1.5766043E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.002578006 | 7.018599E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.56991434 | 9.017195E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.02548303 | 0.008025776 | 0.0046 | 0.5731533 | 0.009315342 | 0.0013 |
7.8 | 3.9718198E-5 | 1.3183966E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 15.169942 | 1.1318265E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.7020974E-4 | 5.650149E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 3.5397298 | 1.5649584E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0020703338 | 6.8768865E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.5816586 | 8.875511E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.020511515 | 0.007830912 | 0.0046 | 0.5874156 | 0.009120733 | 0.0013 |
7.9 | 2.4115114E-5 | 1.2363695E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 16.176395 | 1.1236246E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0334639E-4 | 5.2986186E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 3.7745688 | 1.5298088E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.001257516 | 6.4491597E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.6202358 | 8.44787E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.012504238 | 0.007256123 | 0.0041 | 0.56504005 | 0.0085466895 | 0.0013 |
8.0 | 1.7756569E-5 | 1.1569681E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 17.28656 | 1.1156852E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 7.6097356E-5 | 4.9583407E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 4.0336075 | 1.4957845E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 9.260915E-4 | 6.035109E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.66278833 | 8.033902E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.009222416 | 0.0067455554 | 0.0036 | 0.53368473 | 0.00793746 | 0.0012 |
8.1 | 1.3159258E-5 | 9.879972E-6 | 2.0E-4 | 20.242973 | 1.0987899E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.6395602E-5 | 4.234205E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 4.723437 | 1.4233781E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.864001E-4 | 5.1539263E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.7761073 | 7.1528956E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0068428386 | 0.005761693 | 0.0025 | 0.43390024 | 0.0066565075 | 9.0E-4 |
8.2 | 8.635426E-6 | 5.5455935E-6 | 2.0E-4 | 36.06467 | 1.0554504E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.700844E-5 | 2.3766612E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 8.415167 | 1.2376424E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.5048463E-4 | 2.8932016E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.6912757 | 3.8929124E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004495725 | 0.00328752 | 0.0013 | 0.39543486 | 0.003686205 | 4.0E-4 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.7872784E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.7872784E-7 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.3374008E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3374008E-6 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.0632116E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0632116E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.792776E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.20864734 | 4.792776E-4 | 0.0 |
Elsinore (Coyote Mountains)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.20513E-5 | 4.8656337E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.0552306 | 4.8656337E-5 | 0.0 | 1.8020741E-4 | 2.0851374E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.4387541 | 2.0851374E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0021918174 | 0.0025362293 | 0.0015 | 0.5914292 | 0.002935215 | 4.0E-4 | 0.021703249 | 0.025124125 | 0.0141 | 0.56121355 | 0.027463827 | 0.0024 |
6.1 | 4.20513E-5 | 4.8656337E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.0552306 | 4.8656337E-5 | 0.0 | 1.8020741E-4 | 2.0851374E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.4387541 | 2.0851374E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0021918174 | 0.0025362293 | 0.0015 | 0.5914292 | 0.002935215 | 4.0E-4 | 0.021703249 | 0.025124125 | 0.0141 | 0.56121355 | 0.027463827 | 0.0024 |
6.2 | 2.3413893E-5 | 2.4707664E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4707664E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0034139E-4 | 1.0588623E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.94440985 | 1.0588623E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0012209718 | 0.001288491 | 6.0E-4 | 0.46566102 | 0.001288491 | 0.0 | 0.012142851 | 0.012818878 | 0.0066 | 0.5148657 | 0.014299649 | 0.0015 |
6.3 | 2.3413893E-5 | 2.4707664E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4707664E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0034139E-4 | 1.0588623E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.94440985 | 1.0588623E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0012209718 | 0.001288491 | 6.0E-4 | 0.46566102 | 0.001288491 | 0.0 | 0.012142851 | 0.012818878 | 0.0066 | 0.5148657 | 0.014299649 | 0.0015 |
6.4 | 1.6894814E-5 | 1.6576523E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6576523E-5 | 0.0 | 7.240433E-5 | 7.104052E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4076473 | 7.104052E-5 | 0.0 | 8.811662E-4 | 8.646121E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.578294 | 8.646121E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0087768035 | 0.008616141 | 0.0041 | 0.4758511 | 0.009607525 | 0.001 |
6.5 | 1.6894814E-5 | 1.6576523E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6576523E-5 | 0.0 | 7.240433E-5 | 7.104052E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4076473 | 7.104052E-5 | 0.0 | 8.811662E-4 | 8.646121E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.578294 | 8.646121E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0087768035 | 0.008616141 | 0.0041 | 0.4758511 | 0.009607525 | 0.001 |
6.6 | 1.1910969E-5 | 1.05363215E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.05363215E-5 | 0.0 | 5.1046012E-5 | 4.515496E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.515496E-5 | 0.0 | 6.21308E-4 | 5.496361E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.36387715 | 5.496361E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0061957375 | 0.005484068 | 0.0021 | 0.38292742 | 0.005981326 | 5.0E-4 |
6.7 | 9.1486E-6 | 7.207078E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.207078E-6 | 0.0 | 3.9207694E-5 | 3.088713E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.088713E-5 | 0.0 | 4.7724912E-4 | 3.7598977E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.5319294 | 3 |