Parent Section Magnitude-Probability Distributions

Only fault sections with at least one triggered aftershock are plotted. Sections are sorted by total supraseismogenic trigger rate (decreasing)

Table Of Contents

San Andreas (Parkfield)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.556969E-47.9314655E-40.00151.89120160.00149259137.0E-40.00237938480.00339534650.0041.1780830.0053885560.0020.0285869630.040770810.04861.19202940.0597635470.01980.251762840.339392930.43171.27197710.44317430.1571
6.11.925858E-43.069976E-43.0E-40.977206354.069669E-41.0E-48.2510663E-40.00131513926.0E-40.456225450.00161474473.0E-40.00999948850.015982040.00990.61944530.01932770.00340.0956132560.1508090.10210.677015240.178492640.0326
6.29.4306815E-51.8362013E-42.0E-41.08920532.8360175E-41.0E-44.0410945E-47.867073E-44.0E-40.50844839.8655E-42.0E-40.00490893840.0095362990.00580.60820240.0115172270.0020.0480190630.092389570.06020.651588740.1085450350.0178
6.39.283051E-51.805816E-42.0E-41.10753252.8056354E-41.0E-43.9778434E-47.736928E-44.0E-40.517001039.735381E-42.0E-40.00483227470.0093792230.00580.61838810.0113604650.0020.0472853850.091042030.05950.65354430.107039690.0176
6.49.138826E-51.7819573E-42.0E-41.12236142.781779E-41.0E-43.916052E-47.634736E-44.0E-40.52392129.6332096E-42.0E-40.00475737450.0092558650.00570.61582580.0112373530.0020.0465680920.0899437740.05830.64818270.105687750.0173
6.59.000255E-51.757689E-42.0E-41.13785782.757513E-41.0E-43.8566816E-47.5307896E-44.0E-40.53115289.529284E-42.0E-40.00468540470.0091303980.00570.624288260.0111121370.0020.0458784030.0888304340.05730.64504920.10422920.0169
6.68.8109264E-51.725657E-42.0E-41.15897882.7254844E-41.0E-43.7755648E-47.3935883E-43.0E-40.405756988.392849E-41.0E-40.00458706540.00896475650.00550.61351360.0108477240.00190.044935290.087356260.05650.646776740.1025974150.0167
6.78.738073E-51.7123322E-42.0E-41.16799772.712161E-41.0E-43.7443507E-47.336514E-43.0E-40.408913558.33578E-41.0E-40.00454922160.00889588150.00550.61826360.0107789790.00190.044572130.0867550750.05630.648953440.1019149350.0166
6.88.710195E-51.7068561E-42.0E-41.1717452.7066853E-41.0E-43.7324068E-47.3130586E-43.0E-40.410225068.312327E-41.0E-40.00453474050.0088675660.00550.62023790.0107507170.00190.044433130.086501940.05610.64854040.101391960.0163
6.98.6801556E-51.7009281E-42.0E-41.17582862.700758E-41.0E-43.7195362E-47.287667E-43.0E-40.411654388.2869385E-41.0E-40.00451913570.0088369030.00550.622390030.0107201120.00190.0442833270.086227290.05590.648286640.101121790.0163
7.08.5571606E-51.6761184E-42.0E-41.19323312.6759508E-41.0E-43.6668387E-47.1813987E-43.0E-40.417745928.1806805E-41.0E-40.0044552410.0087085620.00550.63156240.0105920150.00190.0436697270.085072220.05540.65121140.099894050.0162
7.17.82589E-51.523794E-42.0E-41.31251342.5236417E-41.0E-43.3535215E-46.528919E-43.0E-40.459494147.528266E-41.0E-40.00407527060.007920160.0050.63130040.0097059040.00180.0400134180.077944690.04870.624802050.091222280.0144
7.27.690929E-51.4973937E-42.0E-41.33565412.497244E-41.0E-43.2956956E-46.4158306E-43.0E-40.46759347.4151886E-41.0E-40.0040051290.00778346560.0050.64238740.0095694560.00180.03933710.076713450.04830.62961580.0899164450.0143
7.37.5543794E-51.4668968E-42.0E-41.36342252.4667502E-41.0E-43.2371894E-46.285193E-43.0E-40.477312337.284564E-41.0E-40.0039341570.0076255380.00480.62946380.0093125750.00170.0386523340.075269630.0470.624421830.087753490.0135
7.47.4214564E-51.4368497E-42.0E-41.3919342.436706E-41.0E-43.1802364E-46.156481E-43.0E-40.487291347.1558653E-41.0E-40.0038650650.00746991630.00470.629190440.0090579640.00160.037985290.0738383760.04630.62704520.0860637050.0132
7.56.149578E-51.1281705E-42.0E-41.77278172.1280577E-41.0E-42.6352672E-44.8341215E-42.0E-40.413725645.833638E-41.0E-40.00320371780.0058696920.00370.63035670.0071620620.00130.031579230.058978330.03530.59852490.067918030.0095
7.66.0643448E-51.11094574E-42.0E-41.80026792.1108346E-41.0E-42.598746E-44.7603284E-42.0E-40.420139075.7598524E-41.0E-40.00315938280.005780330.00360.622801840.00697339330.00120.0311484170.058135810.03510.60375870.066989330.0094
7.75.1652263E-59.25566E-52.0E-42.160841.9254735E-41.0E-42.2134806E-43.9661085E-42.0E-40.504272644.965712E-41.0E-40.0026915820.00481805620.00270.560391960.0058132380.0010.0265921410.048916140.02860.58467410.0562394860.0077
7.84.8090482E-58.63411E-52.0E-42.31639391.8633246E-41.0E-42.060858E-43.6998081E-42.0E-40.540568534.6994383E-41.0E-40.00250620720.0044952210.00240.53390030.00539117549.0E-40.0247813050.0456534660.02710.593602240.052715630.0074
7.93.970278E-56.808419E-52.0E-42.93753931.6807739E-41.0E-41.7014367E-42.9175676E-42.0E-40.68550253.917276E-41.0E-40.0020695310.0035463570.00190.535761060.0041442296.0E-40.0205036360.036159210.02070.57246820.0414603350.0055
8.02.8982335E-54.1065407E-52.0E-44.87027931.410613E-41.0E-41.2420409E-41.7598273E-42.0E-41.13647512.7596514E-41.0E-40.00151113570.00214048548.0E-40.373746960.00243984353.0E-40.0150090120.0221945850.01180.53166120.0247368780.0026
8.11.8836186E-51.8887895E-52.0E-410.5887931.18886004E-41.0E-48.0724014E-58.094561E-52.0E-42.4707951.8093751E-41.0E-49.823717E-49.850678E-45.0E-40.507579270.00118487082.0E-40.0097804030.0105968320.00510.48127590.0116851760.0011
8.28.643924E-65.5536157E-62.0E-436.0125731.0555306E-41.0E-43.704486E-52.3800994E-52.0E-48.403011.2379861E-41.0E-44.5092785E-42.8973864E-42.0E-40.69027733.8970966E-41.0E-40.00450013950.00329176380.00130.394925030.00369044724.0E-4
8.31.983087E-67.7872784E-70.00.07.7872784E-70.08.498917E-63.3374008E-60.00.03.3374008E-60.01.034694E-44.0632116E-50.00.04.0632116E-50.00.00103421244.792776E-41.0E-40.208647344.792776E-40.0

San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.986481E-40.00122935480.00272.19627430.00332677320.00210.00256311240.00525319530.00611.1611980.0096300810.00440.0307628460.061293050.04330.706442240.075279790.01490.268354770.426395920.33590.78776550.47302990.0813
6.15.015945E-40.0010232450.00242.34547920.00302119860.0020.002147920.00437417250.0051.14307330.0082571130.00390.0258393510.0513218940.03460.67417620.063464980.01280.230327760.373297720.2690.72060440.413532020.0642
6.24.073338E-48.1215537E-40.00222.70884130.00261069350.00180.00174454840.0034733580.00411.18041380.00666224350.00320.0210340580.041006110.02810.685263750.0509796440.01040.191507820.313510720.22460.716402950.350718440.0542
6.33.464099E-46.753493E-40.00213.1095020.00237420130.00170.00148376920.00288918850.00351.21141290.0055813880.00270.0179158730.03426310.02310.67419470.0426650120.00870.165383590.2718230.19410.714067640.305100680.0457
6.42.935057E-45.55868E-40.00142.51858330.0017552010.00120.00125727510.00237878740.00261.09299390.0044737920.00210.0152002480.0283387380.0190.670460340.0351403650.0070.142015770.23351980.16210.694159570.263182580.0387
6.52.3409708E-44.2238348E-40.00112.60426860.00132200339.0E-40.00100288750.00180823550.0021.10605060.00340534230.00160.0121419650.021662290.01420.655517040.0261626430.00460.114995730.187390710.12390.66118540.211037650.0291
6.61.5842178E-42.5215113E-45.0E-41.98293775.520755E-43.0E-46.7877385E-40.00108018820.0010.92576460.00167954016.0E-40.00823280.01307060850.00810.619711040.0157353170.00270.079343960.123754880.07430.600380360.139965420.0185
6.71.5616413E-42.4751283E-45.0E-42.02009735.4743857E-43.0E-46.691031E-40.001060330.0010.943102660.00165969386.0E-40.00811594350.0128323090.00790.615633550.0154976620.00270.07825860.121782060.07320.60107380.137853440.0183
6.81.5538467E-42.457482E-45.0E-42.03460265.4567447E-43.0E-46.6576427E-40.00105277460.0010.949870940.0016521436.0E-40.0080755960.0127415550.00790.620018540.01540715250.00270.077883580.1210123450.07240.59828610.137009920.0182
6.91.5153569E-42.3682811E-45.0E-42.11123595.3675706E-43.0E-46.49277E-40.00101458480.0010.985624850.00161397616.0E-40.0078763330.0122831340.00790.64315830.014949970.00270.076029520.1170804050.06990.597025630.132796380.0178
7.01.4588932E-42.25384E-45.0E-42.2184365.253164E-43.0E-46.250901E-49.6557586E-40.0011.03565140.00156499656.0E-40.00758394740.0116930220.00780.66706450.014361450.00270.0733028950.111923940.06710.59951430.127110030.0171
7.11.1565079E-41.6404269E-43.0E-41.82879222.6402628E-41.0E-44.955521E-47.0285157E-47.0E-40.99594290.00100264073.0E-40.0060166690.0085238480.00520.61005310.0103085050.00180.0585635380.084218660.04850.57588190.0961238150.013
7.21.0393792E-41.4731043E-43.0E-42.03651572.472957E-41.0E-44.4537216E-46.3117844E-46.0E-40.950602778.310522E-42.0E-40.0054089330.00765769320.00470.613761840.0093446750.00170.0527915950.0761424150.04440.583117840.0869515540.0117
7.39.332884E-51.2881887E-42.0E-41.55256762.2880598E-41.0E-43.999194E-45.519647E-44.0E-40.724684067.5185427E-42.0E-40.00485815340.00669960.0040.59705060.008288880.00160.0475331020.0669500460.04030.601941350.0770269860.0108
7.48.670252E-51.1797538E-42.0E-41.6952692.1796358E-41.0E-43.715293E-45.055114E-44.0E-40.79127797.054103E-42.0E-40.0045139910.0061373550.00340.55398450.00742937670.00130.0442339370.0615908430.03630.589373350.070881090.0099
7.57.3036405E-59.0854934E-52.0E-42.20131131.9084585E-41.0E-43.129756E-43.8932028E-43.0E-40.77057385.8924244E-42.0E-40.00380382170.0047296940.00270.57086140.0058244920.00110.037393670.0482570340.02760.57193730.055299930.0074
7.66.3935775E-58.3519415E-52.0E-42.39465281.8351106E-41.0E-42.7398168E-43.5789132E-42.0E-40.558828834.5785555E-41.0E-40.00333062540.00434864030.00230.5289010.00524472639.0E-40.0328114740.0443324740.0250.56392070.0508310160.0068
7.75.5050095E-56.725357E-52.0E-42.973821.6724684E-41.0E-42.3590765E-42.8819774E-42.0E-40.6939683.881689E-41.0E-40.00286839270.00350316640.00180.51382090.0042007147.0E-40.02831650.0361032860.020.553966160.0414047170.0055
7.85.027131E-56.220918E-52.0E-43.21495941.6220297E-41.0E-42.1543067E-42.6658358E-42.0E-40.750233773.665569E-41.0E-40.00261971350.0032408280.00170.524557350.00393855947.0E-40.0258904530.033408430.01910.5717120.0385313630.0053
7.93.7271806E-55.069165E-52.0E-43.9454231.5068658E-41.0E-41.5972654E-42.1723185E-42.0E-40.920675343.1721013E-41.0E-40.00194293590.0026415920.00140.529983460.00304053544.0E-40.0192603620.0272963380.01540.56417820.0313816930.0042
8.02.7310243E-53.1736527E-52.0E-46.3018871.3173335E-41.0E-41.17038646E-41.360066E-42.0E-41.47051692.35993E-41.0E-40.00142401410.00165462346.0E-40.362620260.00185429252.0E-40.0141492350.0173708350.0090.51810980.0195326190.0022
8.11.7940547E-51.7597373E-52.0E-411.3653341.1759561E-41.0E-47.688579E-57.541513E-52.0E-42.65198761.754076E-41.0E-49.3568244E-49.17793E-45.0E-40.544785140.00111760942.0E-40.0093175250.0099026390.00470.474620970.0109917460.0011
8.28.643924E-65.5536157E-62.0E-436.0125731.0555306E-41.0E-43.704486E-52.3800994E-52.0E-48.403011.2379861E-41.0E-44.5092785E-42.8973864E-42.0E-40.69027733.8970966E-41.0E-40.00450013950.00329176380.00130.394925030.00369044724.0E-4
8.31.983087E-67.7872784E-70.00.07.7872784E-70.08.498917E-63.3374008E-60.00.03.3374008E-60.01.034694E-44.0632116E-50.00.04.0632116E-50.00.00103421244.792776E-41.0E-40.208647344.792776E-40.0

Mendocino

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.5409013E-40.00108497469.0E-40.82951250.00138464913.0E-40.00237251120.00463960830.00350.754373970.00643125740.00180.0285054740.054722440.03030.553703370.064836910.01070.251134930.412141560.25320.614352050.45752420.0772
6.14.2515888E-48.236463E-47.0E-40.84987930.00112339923.0E-40.00182083730.00352356470.00260.73788910.00511792670.00160.0219445380.041791140.0250.59821290.051085770.00970.198995740.330213840.21690.656847060.378773330.0725
6.24.2515888E-48.236463E-47.0E-40.84987930.00112339923.0E-40.00182083730.00352356470.00260.73788910.00511792670.00160.0219445380.041791140.0250.59821290.051085770.00970.198995740.330213840.21690.656847060.378773330.0725
6.33.2773745E-46.20076E-46.0E-40.967623238.1995205E-42.0E-40.00140383290.0026535140.00240.9044610.0041495340.00150.0169582370.031630450.02110.667078730.0397647540.00840.15720940.2610430.17480.669621470.305232640.0598
6.42.7417165E-45.054923E-45.0E-40.98913477.053912E-42.0E-40.00117449220.00216359060.00190.878169830.0034607780.00130.0142059750.0258746280.01710.66087910.032888330.00720.133313940.219750730.14380.65437780.258685170.0499
6.52.3984899E-44.3304637E-44.0E-40.92368865.3300307E-41.0E-40.00102751920.00185378270.00180.970987560.00305155830.00120.0124384730.0222165160.01550.697679160.0285721090.00650.117648510.192309980.12670.65883220.227767560.0439
6.62.1023539E-43.700294E-43.0E-40.81074644.699924E-41.0E-49.0069766E-40.0015842180.00161.0099620.00268247540.00110.0109109750.0190248280.01350.7095990.0247144850.00580.103905460.167768340.11160.66520290.199393150.038
6.71.2592976E-41.8489864E-42.0E-41.08167372.8488014E-41.0E-45.395873E-47.9210714E-46.0E-40.75747330.00109186953.0E-40.0065497050.009589690.00640.667383430.0116695520.00210.0635999440.091257460.0540.591732440.104979470.0151
6.81.13663555E-41.5462427E-42.0E-41.2934582.546088E-41.0E-44.8703855E-46.624789E-45.0E-40.7547418.623464E-42.0E-40.00591358450.0080316730.00530.65988750.0097180190.00170.0575867330.077673760.04450.572909060.0896640050.013
6.99.926894E-51.235785E-42.0E-41.61840452.2356614E-41.0E-44.2536893E-45.295083E-44.0E-40.75541786.294553E-41.0E-40.00516657530.00642672550.00440.6846410.0077183710.00130.0504809470.063130820.03810.60350880.073904810.0115
7.09.168125E-51.08398955E-41.0E-40.922518132.0838811E-41.0E-43.9286047E-44.6448034E-43.0E-40.64588315.644339E-41.0E-40.0047725910.0056400210.00380.673756360.0067338170.00110.046713850.0558866630.0350.62626750.066083090.0108
7.18.2854116E-59.158845E-51.0E-41.09184071.915793E-41.0E-43.5504074E-43.924633E-42.0E-40.509601834.92424E-41.0E-40.0043140560.00476783650.00320.67116390.0058625920.00110.0423126260.047738760.03150.65984120.0577375030.0105
7.27.8255274E-58.352801E-51.0E-41.19720331.8351966E-41.0E-43.3533663E-43.579289E-42.0E-40.55877024.578931E-41.0E-40.00407508250.0043492260.0030.68977790.0053448770.0010.0400116030.0437782070.02880.657861530.0529579370.0096
7.36.887904E-56.300889E-51.0E-41.58707761.630026E-41.0E-42.9516246E-42.700107E-42.0E-40.740711333.6998373E-41.0E-40.00358768230.00328252320.00230.70068050.00407989748.0E-40.0353031120.0335619930.02220.66146250.040906920.0076
7.45.4898497E-53.7679853E-50.00.03.7679853E-50.02.3525805E-41.6147541E-41.0E-40.619289341.6147541E-40.00.00286050470.00196424730.00140.71274120.00236346184.0E-40.028239630.0205590610.01230.59827630.0247706570.0043
7.53.9103943E-51.1425505E-50.00.01.1425505E-50.01.6757756E-44.896554E-51.0E-42.04225254.896554E-50.00.00203834755.95994E-44.0E-40.67114775.95994E-40.00.0201975180.0066952740.00360.53769270.00768857870.001
7.63.641042E-59.088634E-60.00.09.088634E-60.01.5603533E-43.8950715E-50.00.03.8950715E-50.00.00189807484.7412314E-43.0E-40.6327474.7412314E-40.00.0188194440.00541183350.00260.48042870.00600858646.0E-4
7.73.1318774E-54.5350466E-60.00.04.5350466E-60.01.342164E-41.943577E-50.00.01.943577E-50.00.00163285982.36605E-40.00.02.36605E-40.00.0162091390.00291578220.00110.377257260.00321490743.0E-4
7.82.209241E-52.7340805E-60.00.02.7340805E-60.09.467832E-51.1717435E-50.00.01.1717435E-50.00.0011520991.4265046E-40.00.01.4265046E-40.00.0114614430.00177050990.0010.5648090.00197015592.0E-4
7.91.2640477E-52.0808989E-60.00.02.0808989E-60.05.4172346E-58.918108E-60.00.08.918108E-60.06.593487E-41.08572574E-40.00.01.08572574E-40.00.0065739580.00132141046.0E-40.454060320.0015211462.0E-4
8.06.5548907E-61.6687843E-60.00.01.6687843E-60.02.8092087E-57.151913E-60.00.07.151913E-60.03.4196748E-48.707109E-50.00.08.707109E-50.00.00341441720.00104869462.0E-40.190713290.00114858981.0E-4
8.13.1916707E-61.3849678E-60.00.01.3849678E-60.01.3678517E-55.935563E-60.00.05.935563E-60.01.6652321E-47.226311E-50.00.07.226311E-50.00.00166398488.7824557E-42.0E-40.227726749.781577E-41.0E-4
8.22.1193785E-61.0489846E-60.00.01.0489846E-60.09.083019E-64.4956405E-60.00.04.4956405E-60.01.1058014E-45.4733067E-50.00.05.4733067E-50.00.00110525136.6106085E-40.00.06.6106085E-40.0
8.37.536878E-73.989106E-70.00.03.989106E-70.03.2300866E-61.7096158E-60.00.01.7096158E-60.03.9325594E-52.0814387E-50.00.02.0814387E-50.03.9318635E-42.447874E-40.00.02.447874E-40.0

San Andreas (Mojave S)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.1064058E-46.760892E-46.0E-40.88745697.7602157E-41.0E-40.00133063760.0028944360.00160.552784740.0030938572.0E-40.0160806050.0347976050.0250.718440230.0410714220.00650.14965490.287097720.20890.727626860.3301570.0604
6.13.1064058E-46.760892E-46.0E-40.88745697.7602157E-41.0E-40.00133063760.0028944360.00160.552784740.0030938572.0E-40.0160806050.0347976050.0250.718440230.0410714220.00650.14965490.287097720.20890.727626860.3301570.0604
6.23.1064058E-46.760892E-46.0E-40.88745697.7602157E-41.0E-40.00133063760.0028944360.00160.552784740.0030938572.0E-40.0160806050.0347976050.0250.718440230.0410714220.00650.14965490.287097720.20890.727626860.3301570.0604
6.33.1064058E-46.760892E-46.0E-40.88745697.7602157E-41.0E-40.00133063760.0028944360.00160.552784740.0030938572.0E-40.0160806050.0347976050.0250.718440230.0410714220.00650.14965490.287097720.20890.727626860.3301570.0604
6.41.9872203E-44.3320356E-44.0E-40.923353435.3316023E-41.0E-48.5138786E-40.00185529390.00110.592897950.00195510851.0E-40.0103164780.0223604030.01660.74238370.0262709610.0040.0985048560.197560730.14320.72484040.228213920.0382
6.51.291105E-42.88864E-42.0E-40.69236743.888351E-41.0E-45.5321335E-40.0012374046.0E-40.484886140.00133728011.0E-40.0067145920.0149621560.01140.761922240.0181142780.00320.0651529650.138592840.09780.705664160.160128030.025
6.61.291105E-42.88864E-42.0E-40.69236743.888351E-41.0E-45.5321335E-40.0012374046.0E-40.484886140.00133728011.0E-40.0067145920.0149621560.01140.761922240.0181142780.00320.0651529650.138592840.09780.705664160.160128030.025
6.71.08001186E-42.4465597E-42.0E-40.81747443.446315E-41.0E-44.6278012E-40.00104810484.0E-40.38164120.0011481.0E-40.00561980160.0126863180.00940.740955770.0153520640.00270.0547979060.119738530.08150.680649760.138400060.0212
6.81.0624356E-42.3982889E-42.0E-40.833927873.3980492E-41.0E-44.5525006E-40.00102743384.0E-40.38931950.0011273311.0E-40.00552859250.0124375380.00910.73165610.0149064450.00250.0539305660.117687250.0790.671270670.135862890.0206
6.91.0393785E-42.3352726E-42.0E-40.856431073.335039E-41.0E-44.4537184E-40.00100044774.0E-40.3998210.00110034761.0E-40.00540892870.0121126760.00880.72651160.0143848170.00230.052791560.114987110.07680.66790090.132598880.0199
7.01.0155622E-42.2721694E-42.0E-40.880216063.2719423E-41.0E-44.3516833E-49.734239E-44.0E-40.410920680.00107332661.0E-40.0052853110.0117872630.00850.72111740.0140601530.00230.051613610.112242820.0740.659284950.12946530.0194
7.19.885595E-52.2009437E-42.0E-40.90870113.2007234E-41.0E-44.2359953E-49.429209E-44.0E-40.424213740.00104282661.0E-40.00514513530.01141983550.00820.71804890.013693570.00230.050276290.1091276560.07110.651530560.125876050.0188
7.29.6411415E-52.1371811E-42.0E-40.93581213.1369674E-41.0E-44.1312634E-49.156136E-43.0E-40.327649120.0010155221.0E-40.0050182190.0110908010.00770.694269060.0132664010.00220.0490640070.106315930.06860.64524660.122402250.018
7.39.1180635E-51.9596702E-42.0E-41.02057992.9594742E-41.0E-43.907156E-48.395884E-43.0E-40.357317959.395045E-41.0E-40.0047465910.0101741930.00690.67818640.0122528280.00210.0464647860.098501910.0620.62942940.113016030.0161
7.48.887388E-51.8843838E-42.0E-41.06135492.8841954E-41.0E-43.8083247E-48.0734317E-43.0E-40.371589189.0726244E-41.0E-40.00462678170.0097852020.00640.654048860.011666610.00190.0453162860.095136970.06020.63277190.108890880.0152
7.58.6750515E-51.8174096E-42.0E-41.10046732.8172278E-41.0E-43.7173493E-47.7865744E-43.0E-40.385278558.7857957E-41.0E-40.0045164840.0094390330.00610.646252630.0112220430.00180.044257870.0920989960.05840.634100260.105717510.015
7.68.453092E-51.7560195E-42.0E-41.13893952.7558437E-41.0E-43.6222505E-47.523628E-43.0E-40.39874388.522875E-41.0E-40.00440117530.0091216210.00590.64681480.01090520250.00180.043150240.089252120.05590.626315650.102184740.0142
7.78.259102E-51.7080999E-42.0E-41.17089162.7079292E-41.0E-43.539135E-47.318375E-43.0E-40.409927078.317643E-41.0E-40.0043003860.00887379050.00590.66487940.0106578170.00180.0421811340.086997870.05370.61725650.099505990.0137
7.87.444844E-51.5392757E-42.0E-41.29931252.5391218E-41.0E-43.1902574E-46.5952283E-43.0E-40.45487437.594569E-41.0E-40.00387722230.0080001770.00540.6749850.00948817750.00150.038102690.0787857550.04850.61559350.0897482040.0119
7.95.2586525E-51.00814E-42.0E-41.98385142.0080392E-41.0E-42.2535135E-44.3198848E-42.0E-40.46297535.3194526E-41.0E-40.00274020060.0052467880.00340.648015560.0061420669.0E-40.0270665740.0525505770.0320.60893720.059751190.0076
8.03.379877E-55.4508146E-52.0E-43.66917631.5450269E-41.0E-41.4484383E-42.3358542E-42.0E-40.85621783.3356206E-41.0E-40.00176204710.00284019550.00150.52813260.00323905964.0E-40.0174814090.0290480330.01610.55425440.0324463660.0035
8.11.8668277E-51.9515712E-52.0E-410.2481531.1951376E-41.0E-48.000444E-58.3636085E-52.0E-42.39131241.8362772E-41.0E-49.736188E-40.00101779447.0E-40.68776170.00121759082.0E-40.0096936420.0109070220.00570.52259910.0121928430.0013
8.28.541571E-65.539318E-62.0E-436.105531.0553876E-41.0E-43.660622E-52.3739718E-52.0E-48.42471.2373735E-41.0E-44.455896E-42.8899283E-42.0E-40.692058743.8896393E-41.0E-40.00444697170.00328372260.00130.395892140.0036824094.0E-4
8.31.983087E-67.7872784E-70.00.07.7872784E-70.08.498917E-63.3374008E-60.00.03.3374008E-60.01.034694E-44.0632116E-50.00.04.0632116E-50.00.00103421244.792776E-41.0E-40.208647344.792776E-40.0

Cerro Prieto

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.9101528E-45.9808954E-43.0E-40.50159717.9796993E-42.0E-40.00124661220.00256096620.00160.62476420.00315942966.0E-40.0150722310.0306952520.01920.62550390.0363172180.00580.140899790.254576770.17750.697235640.289388030.0467
6.12.9101528E-45.9808954E-43.0E-40.50159717.9796993E-42.0E-40.00124661220.00256096620.00160.62476420.00315942966.0E-40.0150722310.0306952520.01920.62550390.0363172180.00580.140899790.254576770.17750.697235640.289388030.0467
6.22.9101528E-45.9808954E-43.0E-40.50159717.9796993E-42.0E-40.00124661220.00256096620.00160.62476420.00315942966.0E-40.0150722310.0306952520.01920.62550390.0363172180.00580.140899790.254576770.17750.697235640.289388030.0467
6.32.9101528E-45.9808954E-43.0E-40.50159717.9796993E-42.0E-40.00124661220.00256096620.00160.62476420.00315942966.0E-40.0150722310.0306952520.01920.62550390.0363172180.00580.140899790.254576770.17750.697235640.289388030.0467
6.42.508648E-45.155046E-43.0E-40.581954067.1540155E-42.0E-40.00107469180.00220763450.00150.67946030.00270653075.0E-40.0130060880.02652190.0170.64097970.0316813330.00530.122706850.224945990.15590.69305520.257343260.0418
6.52.508648E-45.155046E-43.0E-40.581954067.1540155E-42.0E-40.00107469180.00220763450.00150.67946030.00270653075.0E-40.0130060880.02652190.0170.64097970.0316813330.00530.122706850.224945990.15590.69305520.257343260.0418
6.62.294914E-44.7264987E-42.0E-40.42314625.726026E-41.0E-49.831638E-40.00202425830.00140.691611350.00242344874.0E-40.0119044820.0243547220.01550.636426870.0292329490.0050.112865860.20909830.14560.69632320.240338920.0395
6.71.9621674E-44.0559118E-42.0E-40.493107355.0555065E-41.0E-48.4065786E-40.00173724930.00120.690747140.00203672823.0E-40.0101870710.0209674460.0130.62000870.0251772870.00430.097325390.183453890.12560.68464070.211624730.0345
6.81.5476145E-43.0681433E-42.0E-40.651860064.0678366E-41.0E-46.6309475E-40.00131435899.0E-40.684744540.00151409592.0E-40.0080433350.0158827680.00910.572948040.0192287660.00340.077583630.143859860.0950.660364870.167146880.0272
6.91.20509176E-42.2677695E-42.0E-40.881923853.2675426E-41.0E-45.1636563E-49.71603E-47.0E-40.72045890.00117140872.0E-40.0062686450.01178013350.0060.509332060.0143495050.00260.0609473740.109903980.06930.630550440.12770590.02
7.09.3269155E-51.6792802E-42.0E-41.19098652.6791124E-41.0E-43.9966372E-47.195365E-45.0E-40.69489189.1939257E-42.0E-40.00485505440.0087328890.00440.50384240.0106162960.00190.047503440.083517170.05110.61185020.096622880.0143
7.15.029709E-58.213458E-51.0E-41.21751391.8212637E-41.0E-42.1554115E-43.5197733E-41.0E-40.28410924.5194215E-41.0E-40.00262105530.00428035250.0020.46725120.00517650049.0E-40.0259035560.0426423030.02770.64958970.0504926330.0082
7.26.5445185E-86.905684E-80.00.06.905684E-80.02.8047933E-72.9595788E-70.00.02.9595788E-70.03.4148304E-63.6032873E-60.00.03.6032873E-60.03.414778E-53.6032874E-51.0E-42.77524353.6032874E-50.0

Garlock (Central)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.5131142E-57.0341346E-59.0E-412.7947519.7027805E-49.0E-42.3625491E-43.0142843E-40.003411.2796260.00370040350.00340.00287260950.00366378020.02015.4861370.02179710.01820.0283575910.03612920.06161.7049920.0790214540.0445
6.15.5131142E-57.0341346E-59.0E-412.7947519.7027805E-49.0E-42.3625491E-43.0142843E-40.003411.2796260.00370040350.00340.00287260950.00366378020.02015.4861370.02179710.01820.0283575910.03612920.06161.7049920.0790214540.0445
6.24.216245E-55.1746258E-54.0E-47.73002774.5172556E-44.0E-41.806837E-42.21751E-40.00167.21530.00182139620.00160.00219760460.00269650710.0124.45020150.0133676550.01070.0217599890.026728780.03991.49277290.053493740.0275
6.34.216245E-55.1746258E-54.0E-47.73002774.5172556E-44.0E-41.806837E-42.21751E-40.00167.21530.00182139620.00160.00219760460.00269650710.0124.45020150.0133676550.01070.0217599890.026728780.03991.49277290.053493740.0275
6.43.6858168E-54.4192322E-54.0E-49.0513464.4417466E-44.0E-41.5795401E-41.8938206E-40.00147.39246370.00158911690.00140.00192139370.00230331350.01014.3849870.0110830440.00880.0190486550.0228714640.03171.38600660.0433911640.021
6.53.39199E-54.0098344E-54.0E-49.9754744.400823E-44.0E-41.453629E-41.7183885E-40.00148.1471680.00157159820.00140.00176835650.00209015240.00934.44943670.0101732220.00810.0175435080.0207986440.02911.39912960.039795150.0194
6.63.3571985E-53.9551946E-54.0E-410.1132824.3953612E-44.0E-41.4387199E-41.6949745E-40.00148.2597110.00156926010.00140.00175023420.00206170.00934.51084040.0101450.00810.0173651330.020519640.02891.40840670.039423610.0193
6.73.2580007E-53.8167844E-54.0E-410.4800254.3815258E-44.0E-41.3962112E-41.6356635E-40.00137.94784550.00146335380.00130.00169856170.00198962280.00884.4229490.0096743020.00770.0168563720.0198148860.02781.40298560.0378502940.0184
6.83.2185937E-53.75947E-54.0E-410.6397974.3757967E-44.0E-41.3793244E-41.611103E-40.00138.0690050.00146090090.00130.00167803370.00195977490.00874.43928530.009544880.00760.0166541920.0195215440.02751.40870010.0373662520.0182
6.93.165394E-53.679874E-54.0E-410.8699374.3678403E-44.0E-41.3565269E-41.5769948E-40.00127.609410.00135751020.00120.00165032020.00191832180.00844.3788270.0092043180.00730.016381180.0191145840.02711.41776560.0366724320.0179
7.03.0903822E-53.5703426E-54.0E-411.2034064.3568914E-44.0E-41.3243823E-41.5300584E-40.00117.1892680.00125283750.00110.00161124280.00186127560.00834.4593070.0090478740.00720.0159961040.0185529030.02621.41217790.035335650.0171
7.13.0069863E-53.446902E-53.0E-48.7034673.344587E-43.0E-41.2886449E-41.4771613E-40.0016.76974150.00114756850.0010.00156779590.00179698140.00764.2293150.0085847620.00680.015567810.0179200640.02471.37834320.0339279660.0163
7.22.7957109E-53.1356696E-53.0E-49.5673343.3134728E-43.0E-41.1981068E-41.3437902E-48.0E-45.953319.3427155E-48.0E-40.00145771880.00163485650.00664.03705170.00742537440.00580.0144819370.0163229420.02181.33554350.0302911570.0142
7.32.4519275E-52.6785401E-51.0E-43.7333771.2678272E-41.0E-41.0507837E-41.14789604E-45.0E-44.3557956.147322E-45.0E-40.00127857830.00139668220.00473.36511780.00539109530.0040.0127124690.0139651540.01631.16719090.0239241050.0101
7.42.3225532E-52.5268542E-51.0E-43.95748971.2526601E-41.0E-49.95342E-51.0828934E-45.0E-44.61725956.082352E-45.0E-40.00121115510.00131763980.00443.33930420.00501276460.00370.0120457530.0131822040.01521.15306960.0224582930.0094
7.52.097765E-52.2549391E-51.0E-44.43470951.2254714E-41.0E-48.9901114E-59.663674E-54.0E-44.13921264.965981E-44.0E-40.00109399650.00117592910.00363.06140920.00427228350.00310.0108862640.0117744280.0131.10408760.0197790560.0081
7.61.511254E-51.6052463E-50.00.01.6052463E-50.06.476642E-56.87945E-53.0E-44.36081363.6877385E-43.0E-47.882459E-48.37259E-40.00263.10537120.00283558460.0020.0078545580.0084152420.00861.02195530.0131748490.0048
7.79.934069E-61.0735516E-50.00.01.0735516E-50.04.2573887E-54.6008547E-50.00.04.6008547E-50.05.182138E-45.6001043E-40.00122.1428170.00125961847.0E-40.005170070.0056573760.00480.848449950.00744719240.0018
7.86.7562896E-68.4750955E-60.00.08.4750955E-60.02.8955206E-53.632133E-50.00.03.632133E-50.03.5247262E-44.4212263E-47.0E-41.58327117.4199E-43.0E-40.00351914060.0044711340.00370.827530560.00586487450.0014
7.93.975453E-65.3994363E-60.00.05.3994363E-60.01.7037546E-52.3140237E-50.00.02.3140237E-50.02.0741238E-42.8169606E-45.0E-41.77496274.8163973E-42.0E-40.0020721890.00284852480.00260.912753160.00374596129.0E-4
8.01.6729537E-62.087034E-60.00.02.087034E-60.07.169782E-68.944402E-60.00.08.944402E-60.08.7288594E-51.0889268E-42.0E-41.83667061.0889268E-40.08.7254314E-40.00110210829.0E-40.816616830.00150166734.0E-4
8.13.6733252E-73.1624552E-70.00.03.1624552E-70.01.5742813E-61.3553373E-60.00.01.3553373E-60.01.9166706E-51.6501122E-51.0E-46.06019351.6501122E-50.01.9165053E-41.6715302E-44.0E-42.39301683.671196E-42.0E-4

Imperial

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.7496446E-45.075037E-43.0E-40.59112876.0745294E-41.0E-40.00117788690.00217324240.00150.690212970.00267215565.0E-40.01424676550.0261542830.01330.50852090.0307313580.00470.133672490.228689720.14670.64148050.260236320.0409
6.12.5356023E-44.883024E-43.0E-40.61437345.8825355E-41.0E-40.0010862340.00209108460.00140.669509050.0025900395.0E-40.0131449280.0251644630.01260.50070610.0295512230.00450.1239401550.220063330.13960.63436290.249700920.038
6.22.4820742E-44.7922434E-42.0E-40.417341085.791764E-41.0E-40.00106331240.002052240.00130.633454140.00255121385.0E-40.012869190.0247027990.01210.489823040.0288965760.00430.121489270.216562750.13620.628917040.244844840.0361
6.32.3205351E-44.6042612E-42.0E-40.434380235.6038005E-41.0E-49.94136E-40.00197179940.00130.65929620.00247081375.0E-40.0120365990.0237406180.01170.492826280.0278409070.00420.114051330.208463770.13080.62744710.235455170.0341
6.42.0304754E-44.0024717E-42.0E-40.499691225.002071E-41.0E-48.6991355E-40.0017142320.0010.58335160.00201371783.0E-40.0105398690.0206719660.01020.493421850.0241975470.00360.1005376350.185599030.11370.612610940.20889090.0286
6.51.854992E-43.7127198E-41.0E-40.269344334.7123485E-41.0E-47.9475436E-40.00159020787.0E-40.440194040.00188973073.0E-40.0096332810.0191859210.00920.47951830.022520690.00340.09226230.173807710.10560.607567970.195701810.0265
6.61.6586106E-43.4160705E-41.0E-40.292734034.415729E-41.0E-47.106394E-40.00146321897.0E-40.47839730.001762783.0E-40.0086177630.017664070.0090.509508850.0210040120.00340.082911320.161251750.09810.60836550.181549460.0242
6.71.4224656E-43.087515E-41.0E-40.323885084.0872063E-41.0E-46.094856E-40.00132255795.0E-40.378055270.00162216113.0E-40.00739526930.0159831720.00810.5067830.018836820.00290.071539550.14690440.08940.6085590.165416570.0217
6.81.2317259E-42.7882427E-41.0E-40.358648873.7879637E-41.0E-45.2777573E-40.001194425.0E-40.41861320.00149406183.0E-40.00640675470.0144464960.00670.463780280.0168118250.00240.062251660.133303240.08030.602385940.149510470.0187
6.99.859898E-52.508232E-41.0E-40.39868723.5079813E-41.0E-44.2249862E-40.0010745185.0E-40.46532490.00137419573.0E-40.00513179460.0130047530.00630.484438270.0152748420.00230.050148930.119684950.07290.609099150.134298180.0166
7.07.3191884E-52.1317044E-41.0E-40.46910823.1314912E-41.0E-43.136418E-49.132709E-45.0E-40.547482670.00121299693.0E-40.0038119040.0110630750.0050.451953950.0128431610.00180.0374717640.102271450.06160.60231860.114660110.0138
7.17.1760296E-52.1017724E-41.0E-40.475788923.1015623E-41.0E-43.0750787E-49.004518E-45.0E-40.55527680.00120018173.0E-40.0037374820.0109085750.0050.4583550.0126889390.00180.036752450.100905460.06120.60650830.113223050.0137
7.26.46614E-51.9184423E-41.0E-40.52125622.9182504E-41.0E-42.7709085E-48.219335E-45.0E-40.60832170.00112168693.0E-40.00336836280.0099617490.00470.47180470.0114468070.00150.0331776250.092707550.05450.58787010.103504330.0119
7.36.088115E-51.7854004E-41.0E-40.560098472.7852217E-41.0E-42.6089314E-47.6495006E-45.0E-40.65363740.00106472063.0E-40.00317174760.0092740750.00420.452875350.0107601640.00150.0312685850.0867522060.050.57635420.096980590.0112
7.44.199346E-51.1545471E-41.0E-40.86614052.1544317E-41.0E-41.7995955E-44.9471296E-43.0E-40.606412236.94614E-42.0E-40.00218880570.00600666650.00320.53274140.0072988580.00130.021673720.057595450.03290.571225640.064851970.0077
7.53.130448E-58.362292E-51.0E-41.19584441.8361455E-41.0E-41.3415517E-43.5833503E-43.0E-40.837205355.582634E-42.0E-40.00163211530.0043540620.0020.45934120.00515057858.0E-40.0162018030.042264020.02340.55366240.0472442470.0052
7.62.3074248E-56.109197E-51.0E-41.63687631.6108586E-41.0E-49.888588E-52.6179658E-43.0E-41.14592794.617442E-42.0E-40.00120327060.0031827380.00150.471292320.003880517.0E-40.0119677610.031139930.01730.55555680.03482160.0038
7.71.45864815E-54.032974E-51.0E-42.47955971.403257E-41.0E-46.2511994E-51.7283032E-43.0E-41.73580653.7279577E-42.0E-47.608177E-40.00210218390.00110.523265360.0026011335.0E-40.0075821820.0207221580.0110.53083270.0230724250.0024
7.81.0352979E-53.1134772E-51.0E-43.2118431.3113166E-41.0E-44.4369157E-51.3342792E-42.0E-41.49893652.3341458E-41.0E-45.400606E-40.0016232779.0E-40.554434060.00202262774.0E-40.00538750.0160970350.00880.546684560.017966450.0019
7.98.137906E-62.2288528E-51.0E-44.48661331.2228629E-41.0E-43.4876273E-59.551877E-51.0E-41.04691471.9550922E-41.0E-44.2453592E-40.00116232158.0E-40.688277660.00156185664.0E-40.0042372580.0116831640.00630.53923750.0134621350.0018
8.06.93792E-61.8128583E-51.0E-45.5161511.1812677E-41.0E-42.9733603E-57.769162E-51.0E-41.28714011.7768385E-41.0E-43.6194647E-49.454858E-47.0E-40.740360140.00134510764.0E-40.00361357510.0095578750.00480.50220370.010845450.0013
8.13.4286315E-66.4352657E-61.0E-415.5393741.0643462E-41.0E-41.4694053E-52.757942E-51.0E-43.62589221.2757666E-41.0E-41.7888541E-43.3572782E-43.0E-40.893581035.3566066E-42.0E-40.00178741480.00351365450.00150.426905930.00411154666.0E-4
8.21.4906886E-61.9581485E-61.0E-451.0686531.0195795E-41.0E-46.3886496E-68.392038E-61.0E-411.9160571.083912E-41.0E-47.7779034E-51.021683E-41.0E-40.978777172.0215809E-41.0E-47.775182E-40.00111858834.0E-40.35759360.00131836452.0E-4
8.32.5758007E-81.4715068E-80.00.01.4715068E-80.01.10391454E-76.3064576E-80.00.06.3064576E-80.01.3440151E-67.6781123E-70.00.07.6781123E-70.01.344007E-58.001273E-60.00.08.001273E-60.0

Brawley (Seismic Zone) alt 1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.2521618E-44.7770946E-44.0E-40.837329035.776617E-41.0E-49.6485513E-40.00204575710.00170.83098820.00254473425.0E-40.0116839880.0246155020.0150.60937210.0292973480.00480.110884230.213977780.15480.72343960.245340080.0399
6.12.2521618E-44.7770946E-43.0E-40.62799685.776617E-41.0E-49.6485513E-40.00204575710.00140.68434320.00254473425.0E-40.0116839880.0246155020.01220.495622630.0288096550.00430.110884230.213977780.13530.63230860.241960180.0356
6.22.198148E-44.685232E-42.0E-40.426873185.684764E-41.0E-49.417233E-40.00200644830.00130.64791110.00250544525.0E-40.0114053430.0241480710.01170.484510750.0281490650.00410.108374280.210407540.13180.62640340.237016810.0337
6.32.1704129E-44.6287E-42.0E-40.432086775.628237E-41.0E-49.298453E-40.00198225720.00130.655818050.00248126625.0E-40.0112622340.0238610490.01170.490338860.027863220.00410.1070827250.208297130.13060.626988950.234740.0334
6.41.876142E-44.0175187E-42.0E-40.49781975.017117E-41.0E-48.038131E-40.0017206720.0010.58116830.00202015583.0E-40.009742590.0207447610.01020.491690370.0241721550.00350.0932636860.18504920.11350.61335040.207786340.0279
6.51.7390939E-43.7602396E-41.0E-40.26594054.7598637E-41.0E-47.45113E-40.00161054827.0E-40.43463460.00191006513.0E-40.0090340780.0194306820.00930.478624460.022666560.00330.0867552160.17486260.10640.60847780.196233650.0259
6.61.591791E-43.5010767E-41.0E-40.28562644.5007266E-41.0E-46.8201777E-40.00149960897.0E-40.46678840.00179915893.0E-40.0082719960.0181053970.00910.502612530.021345650.00330.079707740.164256650.09970.6069770.184398060.0241
6.71.4268003E-43.2168423E-41.0E-40.310863854.2165208E-41.0E-46.1134255E-40.00137792665.0E-40.362864020.00167751323.0E-40.0074177230.0166471820.00830.498582840.0194989070.00290.071749560.152354970.09250.607134760.171087920.0221
6.81.239713E-42.9147213E-41.0E-40.343085973.91443E-41.0E-45.3119735E-40.00124857455.0E-40.400456670.00154819993.0E-40.00644816740.0150968810.00690.457048030.017460650.00240.062642430.13874810.08330.600368560.155198010.0191
6.91.0180238E-42.6326656E-41.0E-40.379843153.6324022E-41.0E-44.3622297E-40.00112780175.0E-40.443340360.00142746343.0E-40.0052980890.0136455430.00650.476346020.0159141590.00230.051735430.125254910.07580.605165840.140213060.0171
7.07.6619996E-52.2454008E-41.0E-40.44535483.2451763E-41.0E-43.283301E-49.619629E-45.0E-40.519770560.00126167433.0E-40.00399009320.0116497180.00520.446362760.0134287490.00180.0391920660.107490450.06450.60005330.120253330.0143
7.17.5127435E-52.2136481E-41.0E-40.451742983.2134267E-41.0E-43.2193496E-49.483646E-45.0E-40.52722340.001248083.0E-40.00391251550.0114859150.00520.45272840.013265240.00180.0384434420.1060519440.0640.603477840.1187460050.0142
7.26.788582E-52.0262353E-41.0E-40.49352613.0260326E-41.0E-42.9090676E-48.6810056E-45.0E-40.57597010.00116784023.0E-40.00353603860.0105185480.00490.465843770.012002770.00150.0348030.097717170.05710.584339440.108905480.0124
7.36.399602E-51.8891136E-41.0E-40.52934882.8889248E-41.0E-42.7423984E-48.093718E-45.0E-40.617763040.0011091293.0E-40.00333375860.0098101710.00430.438320580.01129545550.00150.032841880.091605840.05250.573107540.102234060.0117
7.44.506759E-51.2568699E-41.0E-40.795627362.2567442E-41.0E-41.9313251E-45.3854816E-43.0E-40.55705327.384405E-42.0E-40.00234885260.0065372870.00330.504796560.0078287890.00130.0232418050.062537480.03530.56446150.0702246650.0082
7.53.43289E-59.368794E-51.0E-41.06737331.9367857E-41.0E-41.4711556E-44.0145824E-43.0E-40.74727576.01378E-42.0E-40.00178966030.00487686270.00210.43060470.0056729618.0E-40.017753160.0472057050.02580.54654410.0526366350.0057
7.62.5980507E-57.0821734E-51.0E-41.41199591.7081466E-41.0E-41.1134028E-43.0348654E-43.0E-40.988511745.0342584E-42.0E-40.0013547250.00368871280.00160.433755640.00438613077.0E-40.0134649590.0359730720.01980.55041170.040118390.0043
7.71.7292105E-54.9655337E-51.0E-42.01388221.4965037E-41.0E-47.4106916E-52.1279126E-43.0E-41.40983244.1274872E-42.0E-49.018782E-40.00258766140.00120.46373920.00308636765.0E-40.0089822670.0254036260.01320.51961080.0282299570.0029
7.81.2927471E-53.990871E-51.0E-42.50571871.3990472E-41.0E-45.5402274E-51.7102613E-42.0E-41.16941192.7100902E-41.0E-46.743139E-40.00208025730.0010.48070980.00247942524.0E-40.00672271430.0205303170.01060.51630960.0226851520.0022
7.91.0200774E-52.8919683E-51.0E-43.45785261.2891678E-41.0E-44.371687E-51.2393562E-41.0E-40.80687062.2392323E-41.0E-45.321229E-40.00150787288.0E-40.530548750.00190726964.0E-40.0053085050.0150724320.00730.48432790.0169437960.0019
8.08.650396E-62.3426488E-51.0E-44.2686721.2342415E-41.0E-43.70726E-51.0039538E-41.0E-40.99606182.0038534E-41.0E-44.5126543E-40.00122162927.0E-40.57300530.00162114054.0E-40.00450350160.012280760.00560.455997820.0135647950.0013
8.13.9368224E-67.3916713E-61.0E-413.528741.0739093E-41.0E-41.6871985E-53.1678206E-51.0E-43.15674421.3167504E-41.0E-42.0539707E-43.8561405E-43.0E-40.777979975.8553694E-42.0E-40.00205207310.0040328990.00160.396736920.00463047956.0E-4
8.21.7101195E-62.2425388E-61.0E-444.5923161.0224232E-41.0E-47.329063E-69.610846E-61.0E-410.4049111.09609886E-41.0E-48.922769E-51.17005795E-41.0E-40.85465852.169941E-41.0E-48.9191867E-40.00127936624.0E-40.31265480.00147911032.0E-4
8.33.0346666E-81.7469624E-80.00.01.7469624E-80.01.3005713E-77.486982E-80.00.07.486982E-80.01.5834444E-69.115399E-70.00.09.115399E-70.01.5834332E-59.501729E-60.00.09.501729E-60.0

Tank Canyon

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.8284557E-55.7987254E-53.0E-45.17355063.5796987E-43.0E-42.0691741E-42.4849697E-40.00156.0362910.00174812430.00150.00251630880.00302192240.0123.97098230.0132907960.01030.024880060.0298752080.04371.46275140.05859090.0296
6.11.7796336E-52.0880292E-52.0E-49.578412.2087611E-42.0E-47.626778E-58.948412E-55.0E-45.58758355.8943935E-45.0E-49.281647E-40.0010889630.00433.9487110.00458515160.00350.0092429750.0108402050.01641.51288650.0214242150.0107
6.21.7796336E-52.0880292E-52.0E-49.578412.2087611E-42.0E-47.626778E-58.948412E-55.0E-45.58758355.8943935E-45.0E-49.281647E-40.0010889630.00433.9487110.00458515160.00350.0092429750.0108402050.01641.51288650.0214242150.0107
6.31.3515912E-51.5764594E-51.0E-46.3433291.1576302E-41.0E-45.792405E-56.7560926E-53.0E-44.44043643.6754066E-43.0E-47.049971E-48.222676E-40.00334.0132920.00342012970.00260.0070276470.0081947060.01241.51317190.0158316060.0077
6.41.0870146E-51.2621889E-51.0E-47.92274431.12620626E-41.0E-44.658551E-55.4092787E-52.0E-43.69735052.5408197E-42.0E-45.67031E-46.5839844E-40.00253.7970930.00255714750.00190.0056558630.006566330.00951.44677470.0125269320.006
6.57.964826E-69.1987595E-61.0E-410.8710311.0919784E-41.0E-43.4134522E-53.9422717E-52.0E-45.0732172.3941483E-42.0E-44.1550855E-44.7987647E-40.00183.7509650.00197915660.00150.00414732470.00478954850.00681.4197580.0092679960.0045
6.66.6317E-67.6143924E-61.0E-413.1330241.0761363E-41.0E-42.8421264E-53.2632754E-52.0E-46.12881142.3262623E-42.0E-43.4597394E-43.9724045E-40.00153.77605060.0016967240.00130.00345435790.00396630030.00541.36147030.00755202160.0036
6.74.793663E-65.4321117E-60.00.05.4321117E-60.02.0544108E-52.3280296E-51.0E-44.2954781.2327796E-41.0E-42.500958E-42.8340513E-45.0E-41.76425897.832634E-45.0E-40.00249814520.0028309720.00250.88308890.00422700870.0014
6.84.382823E-64.970436E-60.00.04.970436E-60.01.8783392E-52.1301717E-51.0E-44.6944571.21299585E-41.0E-42.286638E-42.5932182E-44.0E-41.54248496.592181E-44.0E-40.00228428650.0025907030.00230.887789850.00388733530.0013
6.92.729601E-63.0742299E-60.00.03.0742299E-60.01.1698237E-51.3175211E-51.0E-47.59001061.131739E-41.0E-41.4241673E-41.6039763E-43.0E-41.87035194.603495E-43.0E-40.0014232550.0016030920.00140.873312350.00260148870.001
7.01.8987357E-62.1273077E-60.00.02.1273077E-60.08.137413E-69.117005E-61.0E-410.9685141.09116096E-41.0E-49.90685E-51.1099458E-42.0E-41.80188983.109724E-42.0E-49.902435E-40.00110946017.0E-40.63093750.00160890545.0E-4
7.11.4928986E-61.6644209E-60.00.01.6644209E-60.06.398121E-67.133216E-61.0E-414.0189221.071325E-41.0E-47.789434E-58.684403E-52.0E-42.30297922.8682666E-42.0E-47.786704E-48.681589E-47.0E-40.806304040.00136772475.0E-4
7.21.069082E-61.18309E-60.00.01.18309E-60.04.581772E-65.070379E-60.00.05.070379E-60.05.5781646E-56.173065E-50.00.06.173065E-50.05.576765E-46.171873E-44.0E-40.64810158.1706385E-42.0E-4
7.38.776551E-79.77203E-70.00.09.77203E-70.03.7613736E-64.188009E-60.00.04.188009E-60.04.579376E-55.0988336E-50.00.05.0988336E-50.04.5784327E-45.098174E-44.0E-40.784594667.097155E-42.0E-4
7.47.55721E-78.51098E-70.00.08.51098E-70.03.2388E-63.6475606E-60.00.03.6475606E-60.03.9431678E-54.440866E-50.00.04.440866E-50.03.942468E-44.4404875E-44.0E-40.9008026.439599E-42.0E-4
7.55.587665E-76.3061736E-70.00.06.3061736E-70.02.3947114E-62.7026458E-60.00.02.7026458E-60.02.915522E-53.2904714E-50.00.03.2904714E-50.02.9151395E-43.2904715E-44.0E-41.21563125.289813E-42.0E-4

Hayward (So) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.8091932E-43.5765613E-44.0E-41.11839274.5762036E-41.0E-47.751381E-40.00153192160.00150.97916240.00203115565.0E-40.009396540.0184940580.01240.67048560.0226163830.00420.0900900660.166954980.11630.696594950.191696420.0297
6.11.8091932E-43.5765613E-44.0E-41.11839274.5762036E-41.0E-47.751381E-40.00153192160.00150.97916240.00203115565.0E-40.009396540.0184940580.01240.67048560.0226163830.00420.0900900660.166954980.11630.696594950.191696420.0297
6.21.8091932E-43.5765613E-44.0E-41.11839274.5762036E-41.0E-47.751381E-40.00153192160.00150.97916240.00203115565.0E-40.009396540.0184940580.01240.67048560.0226163830.00420.0900900660.166954980.11630.696594950.191696420.0297
6.31.7322872E-43.4321143E-44.0E-41.16546244.4317712E-41.0E-47.4219756E-40.00147008660.00151.02034810.00196935175.0E-40.00899887550.0177536980.01160.6533850.0214862340.00380.086430750.16087730.11160.69369640.184624480.0283
6.41.6334097E-43.2401126E-44.0E-41.2345254.2397887E-41.0E-46.998449E-40.00138788940.00130.936674060.0016874733.0E-40.0084873720.0167686510.01110.66194950.0201116370.00340.0817044150.152779770.10580.692500050.17480750.026
6.51.5600289E-43.1074387E-44.0E-41.28723374.1071282E-41.0E-46.684125E-40.00133108810.00130.97664460.00163068883.0E-40.0081075980.0160874720.01070.66511380.0192359930.00320.0781810360.14704640.10150.69025830.167687880.0242
6.61.4046066E-42.8085662E-44.0E-41.42421423.808285E-41.0E-46.018354E-40.00120312280.00120.997404460.00150276193.0E-40.00730275550.0145511440.00930.6391250.0173104010.00280.070673840.134125710.09220.68741480.153521280.0224
6.71.14696966E-42.3318871E-44.0E-41.7153493.331654E-41.0E-44.914658E-49.990025E-40.00121.20119820.00129870283.0E-40.00596719240.0120960930.00810.669637740.0143682710.00230.0580948220.112946320.07640.676427540.128735870.0178
6.89.3874296E-51.8900879E-44.0E-42.11630372.889899E-41.0E-44.0225635E-48.0978987E-40.00111.35837710.0011095473.0E-40.00488647870.00981535950.00680.69279170.0118947480.00210.0478041730.09275060.06150.66306850.105633540.0142
6.95.551852E-51.07537395E-44.0E-43.71963642.0752664E-41.0E-42.3791482E-44.6079376E-47.0E-41.51911786.607016E-42.0E-40.00289276540.00559585170.00440.78629670.0070874580.00150.0285539810.0543498840.03850.70837320.0620096470.0081
7.04.2662363E-58.265846E-53.0E-43.62939291.8265018E-41.0E-41.8282588E-43.542028E-46.0E-41.69394475.54132E-42.0E-40.00222363280.00430396570.00370.859672250.0053992320.00110.0220151380.04215530.02880.683188140.0476150140.0057
7.13.305886E-56.3179745E-52.0E-43.16557171.6317342E-41.0E-41.4167312E-42.7074234E-44.0E-41.47741954.706882E-42.0E-40.00172350560.00329132450.00270.82033850.00408869148.0E-40.0171019980.0325285570.02130.65480930.03610820.0037
7.22.9856887E-55.7165485E-52.0E-43.49861451.5715977E-41.0E-41.2795182E-42.4497203E-44.0E-41.63283944.4492303E-42.0E-40.00155670010.00297847230.00230.7722080.00377608938.0E-40.0154584030.0295254720.01890.64012530.0328250860.0034
7.32.4559737E-54.611859E-51.0E-42.1683231.4611398E-41.0E-41.0525176E-41.976362E-42.0E-41.01196043.9759668E-42.0E-40.00128068690.00240357850.00190.790488060.00310189587.0E-40.0127333130.0239185020.01580.660576460.0269443560.0031
7.41.9002231E-53.5155885E-51.0E-42.84447381.3515237E-41.0E-48.143559E-51.5065944E-42.0E-41.32749743.506293E-42.0E-49.910273E-40.00183274530.00191.03669620.00253146237.0E-40.0098661940.0183094570.01170.639014070.0207636840.0025
7.51.2783333E-52.3410546E-51.0E-44.27157931.234082E-41.0E-45.4784563E-51.0032709E-42.0E-41.99347963.0030703E-42.0E-46.667979E-40.00122080370.00120.982959030.00182007116.0E-40.0066480070.0122490340.00750.61229320.013928210.0017
7.64.8149627E-68.922251E-60.00.08.922251E-60.02.063539E-53.8237664E-50.00.03.8237664E-50.02.5120692E-44.6544537E-44.0E-40.8593924.6544537E-40.00.00250923140.00469745040.00220.468339150.00509557174.0E-4
7.76.0838227E-71.2142598E-60.00.01.2142598E-60.02.6073499E-65.20396E-60.00.05.20396E-60.03.174402E-56.3356376E-50.00.06.3356376E-50.03.1739488E-46.5709534E-41.0E-40.152184926.5709534E-40.0
7.84.5542808E-79.867612E-70.00.09.867612E-70.01.9518332E-64.22897E-60.00.04.22897E-60.02.376331E-55.148649E-50.00.05.148649E-50.02.3760769E-45.357891E-41.0E-40.18664065.357891E-40.0
7.93.3016747E-77.442432E-70.00.07.442432E-70.01.4150027E-63.1896097E-60.00.03.1896097E-60.01.7227521E-53.8832808E-50.00.03.8832808E-50.01.7226185E-44.020222E-41.0E-40.248742484.020222E-40.0
8.02.347038E-75.5114964E-70.00.05.5114964E-70.01.0058731E-62.3620678E-60.00.02.3620678E-60.01.2246436E-52.8757797E-50.00.02.8757797E-50.01.2245761E-42.9548028E-41.0E-40.338432072.9548028E-40.0
8.11.18822804E-72.6242208E-70.00.02.6242208E-70.05.092405E-71.1246656E-60.00.01.1246656E-60.06.1999854E-61.3692717E-50.00.01.3692717E-50.06.199812E-51.4007684E-40.00.01.4007684E-40.0

Laguna Salada

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.6465593E-54.6373963E-51.0E-42.15638264.6373963E-50.01.9912305E-41.9873051E-45.0E-42.515973.9869075E-42.0E-40.00242162780.00241693850.0072.8962260.0068063040.00440.023954080.0240039770.05252.18713760.0509414670.0276
6.13.982297E-53.7267266E-50.00.03.7267266E-50.01.706587E-41.5970763E-41.0E-40.62614422.5969165E-41.0E-40.00207578970.00194280250.00261.33827290.0035396940.00160.0205650650.0193574450.01991.02802820.0300464480.0109
6.23.6067784E-53.2620814E-50.00.03.2620814E-50.01.5456705E-41.3979647E-41.0E-40.715325652.3978249E-41.0E-40.00188022950.00170078760.00211.23472210.00299857650.00130.0186440030.0169682820.01771.04312260.0266019930.0098
6.33.2859112E-52.8864519E-50.00.02.8864519E-50.01.4081717E-41.2369965E-40.00.01.2369965E-40.00.00171310060.00150509570.00191.26237820.002603440.00110.0169995460.0150352190.01521.01095960.0227179430.0078
6.42.9132116E-52.4865003E-50.00.02.4865003E-50.01.2484594E-41.0656044E-40.00.01.0656044E-40.00.00151893960.001296690.00161.2339110.00229539330.0010.0150859920.0129662830.01270.979463460.0193820020.0065
6.52.7075037E-52.2836139E-50.00.02.2836139E-50.01.1603071E-49.786599E-50.00.09.786599E-50.00.00141175840.00119095550.00141.17552670.00218976450.0010.0140282330.0119165630.01180.99021840.018042680.0062
6.62.2367465E-51.8582496E-50.00.01.8582496E-50.09.5857045E-57.9637306E-50.00.07.9637306E-50.00.00116643469.6923526E-40.0011.03174130.00176845998.0E-40.0116033110.0097054690.00960.9891330.0147559720.0051
6.71.9458053E-51.592166E-50.00.01.592166E-50.08.338899E-56.823435E-50.00.06.823435E-50.00.0010147888.3051703E-48.0E-40.96325540.00152993567.0E-40.0101016650.0083222220.00820.985313830.0125864360.0043
6.81.0767866E-59.187752E-60.00.09.187752E-60.04.614718E-53.9375875E-50.00.03.9375875E-50.05.6169706E-44.7936453E-42.0E-40.4172196.792687E-42.0E-40.00560279420.00481082550.00430.893817540.00690072260.0021
6.92.1384765E-61.7916673E-60.00.01.7916673E-60.09.164866E-67.678554E-60.00.07.678554E-60.01.1157654E-49.348277E-50.00.09.348277E-50.00.00111520539.344727E-41.0E-40.107012229.344727E-40.0
7.02.0952946E-61.7496012E-60.00.01.7496012E-60.08.979802E-67.4982718E-60.00.07.4982718E-60.01.0932361E-49.128802E-50.00.09.128802E-50.00.00109269849.1254344E-41.0E-40.1095838259.1254344E-40.0
7.11.7887576E-61.4502972E-60.00.01.4502972E-60.07.666081E-66.2155464E-60.00.06.2155464E-60.09.333054E-57.567195E-50.00.07.567195E-50.09.329135E-47.5649226E-41.0E-40.132189057.5649226E-40.0
7.29.723109E-77.1374023E-70.00.07.1374023E-70.04.16704E-63.058884E-60.00.03.058884E-60.05.073253E-53.7241443E-50.00.03.7241443E-50.05.072095E-43.7236826E-41.0E-40.268551353.7236826E-40.0

San Andreas (Cholame) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2302514E-42.5353258E-42.0E-40.78885323.5350723E-41.0E-45.27144E-40.00108611745.0E-40.46035540.00128590012.0E-40.00639910860.0131438170.00910.692340730.0154135860.00230.062179490.125020150.08520.68149020.146194650.0242
6.11.2302514E-42.5353258E-42.0E-40.78885323.5350723E-41.0E-45.27144E-40.00108611745.0E-40.46035540.00128590012.0E-40.00639910860.0131438170.00910.692340730.0154135860.00230.062179490.125020150.08520.68149020.146194650.0242
6.21.2203569E-42.5169857E-42.0E-40.794601263.516734E-41.0E-45.2290526E-40.00107826395.0E-40.46370840.00127804812.0E-40.0063478040.0130493480.00880.674363140.0153193350.00230.0616951360.124207470.08440.679508270.145401640.0242
6.31.2142645E-42.5055723E-42.0E-40.79822083.5053218E-41.0E-45.202953E-40.00107337645.0E-40.46581980.00127316172.0E-40.0063162120.0129905560.00870.66971730.0152606780.00230.061396770.1237006560.0840.67905860.144731850.024
6.41.1865206E-42.4560327E-42.0E-40.81432143.455787E-41.0E-45.0840975E-40.00105216245.0E-40.47521180.0012519522.0E-40.0061723350.012735320.00850.667435170.0150060290.00230.0600368680.1214969460.08190.674091040.142053920.0234
6.51.17443946E-42.435299E-42.0E-40.82125443.4350556E-41.0E-45.032341E-40.00104328375.0E-40.479256030.0012430752.0E-40.0061096770.0126284760.00850.6730820.0148994310.00230.0594440770.120572330.08110.67262530.140799160.023
6.61.13579066E-42.3660231E-42.0E-40.845300263.3657867E-41.0E-44.866766E-40.00101361743.0E-40.295969670.0011135161.0E-40.00590920170.0122714110.00810.66007080.0144444140.00220.0575451850.1174880340.07920.67411120.13725630.0224
6.71.1271412E-42.3504205E-42.0E-40.850911563.3501856E-41.0E-44.829711E-40.00100693573.0E-40.29793360.00110683511.0E-40.0058643310.0121909750.00810.66442590.0143641550.00220.0571196970.116789860.07850.67214740.136397120.0222
6.81.1217975E-42.3392268E-42.0E-40.85498333.3389928E-41.0E-44.8068175E-40.00100214213.0E-40.299358730.00110204191.0E-40.0058366080.0121332650.00810.66758620.0143065710.00220.0568567250.116288580.07810.671605050.135641860.0219
6.91.1146753E-42.3240627E-42.0E-40.860561973.3238303E-41.0E-44.7763053E-49.956482E-43.0E-40.301311250.00109554861.0E-40.00579965770.0120550790.00810.671915950.0142285580.00220.0565061270.115608580.07740.669500470.134799870.0217
7.01.0965793E-42.2862821E-42.0E-40.87478273.2860535E-41.0E-44.698779E-49.794688E-43.0E-40.306288480.00107937081.0E-40.0057057680.0118602550.00810.682953240.0140341630.00220.0556147360.1139084550.07650.671591940.132870810.0214
7.19.927982E-52.0676776E-42.0E-40.96726883.0674707E-41.0E-44.2541555E-48.858476E-43.0E-40.33865879.85759E-41.0E-40.00516714060.0107321570.00770.717469930.012809620.00210.050486340.103969240.06810.65500140.120725010.0187
7.29.696786E-52.0180116E-42.0E-40.991074563.0178096E-41.0E-44.1551032E-48.645765E-43.0E-40.34699079.6449E-41.0E-40.005047110.01047570.00740.70639670.0125537010.00210.049340090.101702340.06610.64993590.118051360.0182
7.39.4727984E-51.9607002E-42.0E-41.02004372.9605042E-41.0E-44.0591392E-48.400305E-43.0E-40.35712999.399465E-41.0E-40.00493080870.0101796840.00710.69746760.0121593240.0020.0482282680.099065980.0640.64603410.1146521340.0173
7.49.220358E-51.8975048E-42.0E-41.05401582.897315E-41.0E-43.9509835E-48.129638E-43.0E-40.36902019.1288256E-41.0E-40.0047997170.00985316650.00690.70028250.0117344460.00190.0469736530.096130710.06210.645995440.111315710.0168
7.57.71631E-51.5293561E-42.0E-41.307742.5292032E-41.0E-43.306571E-46.5527385E-42.0E-40.30521597.552083E-41.0E-40.00401832070.0079488480.00550.69192410.009536130.00160.039464330.078805160.0490.621786650.09078070.013
7.67.5634416E-51.4951441E-42.0E-41.33766372.4949946E-41.0E-43.241072E-46.406189E-42.0E-40.31219817.405548E-41.0E-40.00393886720.0077717110.00540.69482770.0092600540.00150.0386977940.077165410.04840.6272240.0889776950.0128
7.76.3783E-51.2460953E-42.0E-41.60501372.2459707E-41.0E-42.7332708E-45.339316E-42.0E-40.374579826.3387817E-41.0E-40.00332267980.00648126840.00420.64802130.0076734910.00120.0327343640.065013450.03970.610642850.074737310.0104
7.85.863422E-51.150899E-42.0E-41.7377722.1507838E-41.0E-42.512653E-44.931492E-42.0E-40.405556775.930999E-41.0E-40.0030548640.0059875840.00380.63464660.0070809980.00110.0301320940.0600916860.0370.615725760.0690208150.0095
7.94.595283E-58.494302E-52.0E-42.35451961.8493453E-41.0E-41.9692584E-43.6399075E-42.0E-40.54946454.6395435E-41.0E-40.00239493580.0044225890.00270.61050210.0051194937.0E-40.0236928910.0446833520.02620.58634810.0506063180.0062
8.03.2950178E-55.119775E-52.0E-43.9064221.5119262E-41.0E-41.412074E-42.1940048E-42.0E-40.91157513.1937854E-41.0E-40.00171784440.00266793040.00130.48726910.00306686324.0E-40.0170462560.0273898930.01510.551298260.0305022470.0032
8.11.9177472E-51.9395513E-52.0E-410.3116631.19393575E-41.0E-48.218658E-58.312098E-52.0E-42.40613131.8311267E-41.0E-40.00100016220.00101152886.0E-40.59316160.00121132652.0E-40.0099567280.0108687620.00550.50603740.0120557190.0012
8.28.643924E-65.5536157E-62.0E-436.0125731.0555306E-41.0E-43.704486E-52.3800994E-52.0E-48.403011.2379861E-41.0E-44.5092785E-42.8973864E-42.0E-40.69027733.8970966E-41.0E-40.00450013950.00329176380.00130.394925030.00369044724.0E-4
8.31.983087E-67.7872784E-70.00.07.7872784E-70.08.498917E-63.3374008E-60.00.03.3374008E-60.01.034694E-44.0632116E-50.00.04.0632116E-50.00.00103421244.792776E-41.0E-40.208647344.792776E-40.0

San Andreas (Offshore) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.7072787E-41.931722E-41.0E-40.517672841.931722E-40.07.3148566E-48.276206E-48.0E-40.966626470.00132720685.0E-40.0088695280.0100302460.00790.787617740.0128021610.00280.0852376450.097229370.06750.694234670.118534760.0236
6.11.7072787E-41.931722E-41.0E-40.517672841.931722E-40.07.3148566E-48.276206E-48.0E-40.966626470.00132720685.0E-40.0088695280.0100302460.00790.787617740.0128021610.00280.0852376450.097229370.06750.694234670.118534760.0236
6.21.6312556E-41.849565E-41.0E-40.540667651.849565E-40.06.989222E-47.9243234E-48.0E-41.00954990.00129203615.0E-40.0084762260.0096056870.00770.801608440.0122797520.00270.081601170.09323250.06490.69610920.1140881550.023
6.31.5103363E-41.6963574E-41.0E-40.58949841.6963574E-40.06.471264E-47.2680996E-48.0E-41.10070040.00122644665.0E-40.0078503390.0088134570.00740.83962520.01148966050.00270.0757873950.085851530.05940.69189220.105597130.0216
6.41.5047993E-41.6849337E-41.0E-40.59349521.6849337E-40.06.4475456E-47.219168E-48.0E-41.1081610.00122155595.0E-40.0078216690.00875436050.00740.8452930.01143072450.00270.07552030.0853311340.0590.69142410.104996520.0215
6.51.2760791E-41.3808094E-41.0E-40.72421291.3808094E-40.05.467764E-45.9164263E-46.0E-41.01412578.9146517E-43.0E-40.00663670250.0071797350.00630.877469660.00916537550.0020.0644196350.070604390.04950.70108950.0874264540.0181
6.61.1063525E-41.16224124E-40.00.01.16224124E-40.04.740649E-44.980094E-44.0E-40.803197746.979098E-42.0E-40.00575647640.0060466120.00480.793832960.00763693730.00160.056096260.0598070960.04110.68720940.073909990.015
6.71.0391049E-41.0709033E-40.00.01.0709033E-40.04.4525467E-44.5887884E-44.0E-40.87168986.5878703E-42.0E-40.00540750940.00557272830.00450.807503940.00696492660.00140.0527780350.055289440.03720.67282290.0674762060.0129
6.81.0096706E-41.0219972E-40.00.01.0219972E-40.04.3264418E-44.3792624E-44.0E-40.91339586.378387E-42.0E-40.00525472830.0053188970.00430.80843830.00671145040.00140.0513219870.052983140.03530.66624970.064726150.0124
6.99.800265E-59.6493844E-50.00.09.6493844E-50.04.1994374E-44.1348045E-42.0E-40.483698824.1348045E-40.00.00510083560.0050226750.00390.776478650.006117150.00110.0498533060.050306310.0330.655981360.0609428770.0112
7.09.4642375E-59.061357E-50.00.09.061357E-50.04.0554712E-43.8828698E-42.0E-40.515082963.8828698E-40.00.0049263630.00471731140.00370.78434510.0056130669.0E-40.0481857470.0474825350.0310.65287160.0572934630.0103
7.19.0996844E-58.411894E-50.00.08.411894E-50.03.8992817E-43.6046078E-41.0E-40.27742273.6046078E-40.00.0047370460.00437993740.00320.7306040.00527599559.0E-40.046373330.044326350.02920.65875040.0538830870.01
7.28.848287E-58.038044E-50.00.08.038044E-50.03.791572E-43.44443E-41.0E-40.29032383.44443E-40.00.0046064720.0041856860.0030.716728450.00508191869.0E-40.0451214720.042464270.02760.649958130.0513693540.0093
7.37.9280784E-56.173059E-50.00.06.173059E-50.03.3973053E-42.6453342E-41.0E-40.378024042.6453342E-40.00.0041283770.0032160420.00210.65297660.0039137917.0E-40.0405251940.0331327880.02140.64588590.0402876060.0074
7.46.468038E-53.823813E-50.00.03.823813E-50.02.771722E-41.6386773E-41.0E-40.610248271.6386773E-40.00.00336935020.00199332270.00140.70234490.00239252534.0E-40.03318720.020983710.01250.595700140.0252913830.0044
7.54.930574E-51.2845645E-50.00.01.2845645E-50.02.1129321E-45.505161E-51.0E-41.81647735.505161E-50.00.00256945986.700489E-44.0E-40.59697146.700489E-40.00.025399530.00756648370.0040.52864720.008658160.0011
7.64.612566E-51.0463181E-50.00.01.0463181E-50.01.9766642E-44.484144E-50.00.04.484144E-50.00.00240393245.4580916E-43.0E-40.54964275.4580916E-40.00.0237809350.00624897330.0030.480078850.0069445997.0E-4
7.73.9435414E-55.6729614E-60.00.05.6729614E-60.01.6899795E-42.4312465E-50.00.02.4312465E-50.00.00205560842.9596424E-40.00.02.9596424E-40.00.0203669740.0036024670.00150.416381330.0040010264.0E-4
7.82.7787428E-53.8256385E-60.00.03.8256385E-60.01.1908354E-41.639549E-50.00.01.639549E-50.00.00144887771.9959683E-40.00.01.9959683E-40.00.0143946750.00243062130.00140.57598440.0027298923.0E-4
7.91.590671E-53.0961621E-60.00.03.0961621E-60.06.816983E-51.32691985E-50.00.01.32691985E-50.08.2965166E-41.6154055E-40.00.01.6154055E-40.00.0082656110.00193720219.0E-40.464587570.0022366213.0E-4
8.09.193638E-62.6383473E-60.00.02.6383473E-60.03.940071E-51.1307154E-50.00.01.1307154E-50.04.7959806E-41.3765592E-40.00.01.3765592E-40.00.00478564340.00163844095.0E-40.305168150.00183811322.0E-4
8.15.601576E-62.276788E-60.00.02.276788E-60.02.4006533E-59.757627E-60.00.09.757627E-60.02.9224035E-41.1879266E-40.00.01.1879266E-40.00.00291856330.00142660825.0E-40.350481660.00162632292.0E-4
8.24.3508785E-61.8911306E-60.00.01.8911306E-60.01.864649E-58.10482E-60.00.08.10482E-60.02.2699735E-49.867175E-50.00.09.867175E-50.00.00226765610.0011786143.0E-40.254536270.00127849611.0E-4
8.31.9573292E-67.640128E-70.00.07.640128E-70.08.388526E-63.2743364E-60.00.03.2743364E-60.01.0212552E-43.9864335E-50.00.03.9864335E-50.00.0010207864.712801E-41.0E-40.212188044.712801E-40.0

San Andreas (San Bernardino N)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.4273766E-43.1718667E-42.0E-40.630543534.1715495E-41.0E-46.115894E-40.00135866916.0E-40.44160860.00145853331.0E-40.00742070840.0164178390.01020.62127550.0189751520.00260.071777480.150719790.09280.61571210.16889440.0214
6.11.4273766E-43.1718667E-42.0E-40.630543534.1715495E-41.0E-46.115894E-40.00135866916.0E-40.44160860.00145853331.0E-40.00742070840.0164178390.01020.62127550.0189751520.00260.071777480.150719790.09280.61571210.16889440.0214
6.21.4273766E-43.1718667E-42.0E-40.630543534.1715495E-41.0E-46.115894E-40.00135866916.0E-40.44160860.00145853331.0E-40.00742070840.0164178390.01020.62127550.0189751520.00260.071777480.150719790.09280.61571210.16889440.0214
6.31.3730655E-43.0623007E-42.0E-40.65310374.0619946E-41.0E-45.883239E-40.00131176026.0E-40.457400680.0014116291.0E-40.00713934420.0158551370.01020.64332460.0184139130.00260.069142910.146006540.09010.617095650.16351340.0205
6.41.3730655E-43.0623007E-42.0E-40.65310374.0619946E-41.0E-45.883239E-40.00131176026.0E-40.457400680.0014116291.0E-40.00713934420.0158551370.01020.64332460.0184139130.00260.069142910.146006540.09010.617095650.16351340.0205
6.51.2942807E-42.9036644E-42.0E-40.688784843.903374E-41.0E-45.545738E-40.00124383936.0E-40.482377440.00134371491.0E-40.00673105240.0150398430.00970.644953550.0175022430.00250.065307880.139131640.08690.62458840.156435090.0201
6.61.1125901E-42.5473273E-42.0E-40.785136643.5470724E-41.0E-44.767372E-40.00109125726.0E-40.549824540.00119114821.0E-40.0057888390.0132057570.00920.69666580.0156727430.00250.0564034540.123448170.08010.648855270.140365630.0193
6.71.02209575E-42.3607444E-42.0E-40.847190443.3605084E-41.0E-44.3796748E-40.00101135675.0E-40.494385420.00111125561.0E-40.00531922470.0122441750.00860.70237480.0144172380.00220.0519369060.1152369450.07410.643022950.131251160.0181
6.89.610582E-52.2131765E-42.0E-40.903678543.2129552E-41.0E-44.1181705E-49.4816013E-44.0E-40.421869670.00104806531.0E-40.00500235150.01148301550.00810.70538960.0134600490.0020.0489123460.108645920.06970.64153350.1241554840.0174
6.99.3877505E-52.158682E-42.0E-40.926491263.158466E-41.0E-44.0227012E-49.2482206E-44.0E-40.432515620.00102472961.0E-40.00488664540.0112018260.00780.696315050.01298166250.00180.047805770.1062413450.06780.638169650.121345870.0169
7.09.1019785E-52.0913074E-42.0E-40.956339543.0910983E-41.0E-43.900265E-48.9596736E-44.0E-40.446444849.958778E-41.0E-40.00473823770.010854070.00780.71862450.01263453250.00180.0463847440.1032023060.06610.64048960.117730430.0162
7.18.771155E-52.0086822E-42.0E-40.995677653.0084813E-41.0E-43.758525E-48.605803E-44.0E-40.464802659.604943E-41.0E-40.00456640640.0104274290.00750.71925690.012208660.00180.0447370560.099518380.06340.63706820.113565890.0156
7.28.0830236E-51.8490726E-42.0E-41.08162332.8488875E-41.0E-43.4636928E-47.922191E-43.0E-40.37868318.921399E-41.0E-40.00420889440.009602720.00670.6977190.0112863950.00170.0413006580.0922391860.0590.63964140.105310940.0144
7.37.7668235E-51.7432451E-42.0E-41.14728572.7430707E-41.0E-43.328214E-47.468912E-43.0E-40.401664948.468165E-41.0E-40.00404457330.0090555660.00620.684661750.01064107750.00160.039717480.087504360.05450.622826160.099549290.0132
7.47.520177E-51.6651141E-42.0E-41.2011192.6649475E-41.0E-43.2225347E-47.134252E-43.0E-40.42050668.1335386E-41.0E-40.00391637950.0086514270.00570.658850850.0100393150.00140.0384807440.083960150.05240.62410560.0951358450.0122
7.57.274697E-51.5937503E-42.0E-41.25490182.593591E-41.0E-43.1173544E-46.828571E-43.0E-40.439330587.827888E-41.0E-40.0037887750.0082821510.00540.652004540.0095713850.00130.037248270.080675020.05010.621010070.091614990.0119
7.67.1185845E-51.5506543E-42.0E-41.28977822.550499E-41.0E-43.0504653E-46.643969E-43.0E-40.451537347.6433044E-41.0E-40.00370761780.00805908350.00520.645234640.0093486070.00130.0364636670.078662040.04880.620375450.089257430.0115
7.76.709961E-51.4413072E-42.0E-41.38762922.4411631E-41.0E-42.8753807E-46.175569E-43.0E-40.48578527.1749516E-41.0E-40.0034951570.00749287430.00510.680646660.0087831340.00130.0344069380.0734825950.04570.6219160.083396330.0107
7.86.300812E-51.3292296E-42.0E-41.5046312.3290966E-41.0E-42.7000686E-45.695455E-43.0E-40.526735846.694885E-41.0E-40.00328237870.00691219840.00480.69442450.0081039040.00120.0323431750.0681218360.0420.61654240.077161060.0097
7.94.983037E-59.794547E-52.0E-42.04195261.9793567E-41.0E-42.1354125E-44.1969877E-42.0E-40.476532255.196568E-41.0E-40.00259676480.0050978710.00340.66694510.0059932839.0E-40.0256662960.050980430.03190.625730340.058192980.0076
8.03.2211527E-55.3722746E-52.0E-43.7228181.5371737E-41.0E-41.380421E-42.3022003E-42.0E-40.86873413.30197E-41.0E-40.00167936690.0027993280.00150.53584290.00319820834.0E-40.0166673230.028565830.01610.563610430.0319658480.0035
8.11.743376E-51.901976E-52.0E-410.515381.1901786E-41.0E-47.471398E-58.151071E-52.0E-42.4536651.8150256E-41.0E-49.0926304E-49.919418E-47.0E-40.705686570.00119174342.0E-40.0090555170.0105858820.00570.538453040.011872120.0013
8.27.831616E-65.2270884E-62.0E-438.262221.05226565E-41.0E-43.3563636E-52.2401617E-52.0E-48.9279271.2239937E-41.0E-44.0856065E-42.7270563E-42.0E-40.73339153.7267836E-41.0E-40.0040781030.00308096940.00130.42194510.0034797374.0E-4
8.31.983087E-67.7872784E-70.00.07.7872784E-70.08.498917E-63.3374008E-60.00.03.3374008E-60.01.034694E-44.0632116E-50.00.04.0632116E-50.00.00103421244.792776E-41.0E-40.208647344.792776E-40.0

San Andreas (Carrizo) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1674632E-42.4470224E-42.0E-40.817319873.4467777E-41.0E-45.002454E-40.0010483043.0E-40.286176530.00114819921.0E-40.0060734930.0126888990.00820.64623410.0148609840.00220.05910160.1212481260.07990.658979240.140844290.0223
6.11.1674632E-42.4470224E-42.0E-40.817319873.4467777E-41.0E-45.002454E-40.0010483043.0E-40.286176530.00114819921.0E-40.0060734930.0126888990.00820.64623410.0148609840.00220.05910160.1212481260.07990.658979240.140844290.0223
6.21.1674632E-42.4470224E-42.0E-40.817319873.4467777E-41.0E-45.002454E-40.0010483043.0E-40.286176530.00114819921.0E-40.0060734930.0126888990.00820.64623410.0148609840.00220.05910160.1212481260.07990.658979240.140844290.0223
6.31.1674632E-42.4470224E-42.0E-40.817319873.4467777E-41.0E-45.002454E-40.0010483043.0E-40.286176530.00114819921.0E-40.0060734930.0126888990.00820.64623410.0148609840.00220.05910160.1212481260.07990.658979240.140844290.0223
6.41.1674632E-42.4470224E-42.0E-40.817319873.4467777E-41.0E-45.002454E-40.0010483043.0E-40.286176530.00114819921.0E-40.0060734930.0126888990.00820.64623410.0148609840.00220.05910160.1212481260.07990.658979240.140844290.0223
6.51.13136164E-42.378953E-42.0E-40.840705933.3787152E-41.0E-44.847792E-40.00101915463.0E-40.294361650.00111905261.0E-40.00588622550.0123380660.00820.66460990.0145109210.00220.0573273340.118224960.07780.658067460.137447660.0218
6.61.13136164E-42.378953E-42.0E-40.840705933.3787152E-41.0E-44.847792E-40.00101915463.0E-40.294361650.00111905261.0E-40.00588622550.0123380660.00820.66460990.0145109210.00220.0573273340.118224960.07780.658067460.137447660.0218
6.71.1149675E-42.348044E-42.0E-40.85177283.3478093E-41.0E-44.777557E-40.0010059183.0E-40.298235030.00110581741.0E-40.00580117340.0121787210.00820.67330550.0143519280.00220.056520510.11684650.07690.65812840.135657670.0213
6.81.1103589E-42.3382419E-42.0E-40.855343463.3380082E-41.0E-44.7578133E-40.00100172033.0E-40.29948480.00110162011.0E-40.0057772630.0121281850.00820.67611110.0143015020.00220.0562935840.116407630.07670.65889150.13513980.0212
6.91.1053259E-42.327461E-42.0E-40.85930553.3272282E-41.0E-44.7362508E-49.971034E-43.0E-40.30087150.00109700371.0E-40.00575114970.0120725980.00820.679224130.0142460380.00220.056045690.11592360.07620.65732950.134489210.021
7.01.1005377E-42.3175264E-42.0E-40.862989073.3172948E-41.0E-44.7157376E-49.92849E-43.0E-40.302160740.00109274981.0E-40.00572630620.0120213730.00820.68211840.0141949260.00220.0558097960.115476250.07580.6564120.133874340.0208
7.11.0308142E-42.1682428E-42.0E-40.922405963.168026E-41.0E-44.417027E-49.28917E-43.0E-40.32295670.00102882411.0E-40.00536447760.0112512370.00790.7021450.0134264850.00220.0523681380.108712850.07150.65769590.125825570.0192
7.21.0027479E-42.1089287E-42.0E-40.94834883.1087178E-41.0E-44.296783E-49.0351456E-43.0E-40.33203670.00100342421.0E-40.00521879220.0109451090.00760.69437410.0131210290.00220.0509792120.106009120.06920.652774040.1226373540.0186
7.39.816942E-52.0562547E-42.0E-40.97264223.0560492E-41.0E-44.2065824E-48.8095537E-43.0E-40.34053949.808673E-41.0E-40.0051094930.0106731740.00730.683957760.0127507610.00210.0499359850.103587240.06730.649693970.119543380.0178
7.49.5634205E-51.9929527E-42.0E-41.00353612.9927533E-41.0E-44.0979648E-48.538439E-43.0E-40.351352279.5375854E-41.0E-40.00497786370.0103462660.00710.686237930.0123255740.0020.0486782530.1006604950.06530.648715260.1162190660.0173
7.58.052417E-51.6233712E-42.0E-41.2320042.623209E-41.0E-43.4505792E-46.9554517E-42.0E-40.287544227.954756E-41.0E-40.00419299030.0084354640.00580.687573250.0102202810.00180.041147530.083351990.05220.62625980.09581840.0136
7.67.897024E-51.5885358E-42.0E-41.2590212.5883768E-41.0E-43.384E-46.806236E-42.0E-40.29384827.8055554E-41.0E-40.00411223850.0082551850.00570.69047510.0099411510.00170.0403696970.081690140.05160.631655160.09399550.0134
7.76.707427E-51.3383802E-42.0E-41.49434362.3382464E-41.0E-42.8742946E-45.734655E-42.0E-40.348756826.7340815E-41.0E-40.0034938390.00695962460.00450.64658660.0083498810.00140.0343941640.069543290.04280.6154440.079778310.011
7.86.147705E-51.2294934E-42.0E-41.62668632.2293703E-41.0E-42.6344648E-45.268193E-42.0E-40.37963686.2676665E-41.0E-40.00320274360.00639518770.0040.62547030.00758751340.00120.0315697640.0639651940.03930.614396630.0731383340.0098
7.94.7636717E-58.950161E-52.0E-42.23459671.8949267E-41.0E-42.0414138E-43.8352195E-42.0E-40.52148254.834836E-41.0E-40.00248258840.00465939050.00270.57947490.00535612937.0E-40.0245503650.046959690.02770.58986760.052963840.0063
8.03.3554235E-55.2569692E-52.0E-43.80447341.5256443E-41.0E-41.4379594E-42.2527923E-42.0E-40.88778713.252567E-41.0E-40.00174930970.00273932680.00130.474569170.00313823094.0E-40.0173560340.0280943080.01550.551713170.0312044080.0032
8.11.9175432E-51.939534E-52.0E-410.3117551.193934E-41.0E-48.217783E-58.312024E-52.0E-42.40615271.8311193E-41.0E-40.00100005580.00101151986.0E-40.59316690.00121131752.0E-40.0099556730.0108686430.00550.50604290.0120556010.0012
8.28.643924E-65.5536157E-62.0E-436.0125731.0555306E-41.0E-43.704486E-52.3800994E-52.0E-48.403011.2379861E-41.0E-44.5092785E-42.8973864E-42.0E-40.69027733.8970966E-41.0E-40.00450013950.00329176380.00130.394925030.00369044724.0E-4
8.31.983087E-67.7872784E-70.00.07.7872784E-70.08.498917E-63.3374008E-60.00.03.3374008E-60.01.034694E-44.0632116E-50.00.04.0632116E-50.00.00103421244.792776E-41.0E-40.208647344.792776E-40.0

Hayward (So) extension 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1721256E-42.3691346E-41.0E-40.422095062.3691346E-40.05.022428E-40.00101474749.0E-40.88692020.00121454452.0E-40.00609767580.0122609720.0080.652476850.0146315450.00240.05933050.112927990.08660.766860370.130048480.0193
6.16.99169E-51.3823979E-41.0E-40.72338071.3823979E-40.02.9960944E-45.922275E-43.0E-40.50656215.922275E-40.00.00364164450.0071804460.0040.557068470.0082725470.00110.0358254350.067873630.04840.713089940.078872720.0118
6.26.99169E-51.3823979E-41.0E-40.72338071.3823979E-40.02.9960944E-45.922275E-43.0E-40.50656215.922275E-40.00.00364164450.0071804460.0040.557068470.0082725470.00110.0358254350.067873630.04840.713089940.078872720.0118
6.36.970908E-51.3792109E-41.0E-40.725052241.3792109E-40.02.9871898E-45.908625E-43.0E-40.507732335.908625E-40.00.00363083950.0071639750.0040.558349250.00825609450.00110.0357208660.067722540.04830.71320420.0787234160.0118
6.46.9517155E-51.3759012E-41.0E-40.72679631.3759012E-40.02.9789665E-45.8944494E-43.0E-40.50895345.8944494E-40.00.00362086090.00714687960.0040.55968480.0082390180.00110.035624290.0675665140.04820.71337110.078475990.0117
6.54.786248E-59.428399E-51.0E-41.06062549.428399E-50.02.0510878E-44.040142E-43.0E-40.742548174.040142E-40.00.00249433940.00490821530.00250.50935010.00560477937.0E-40.024665270.046960780.03510.747432230.0557287370.0092
6.64.4662214E-58.894691E-51.0E-41.12426618.894691E-50.01.9139545E-43.8114795E-43.0E-40.78709593.8114795E-40.00.00232774930.00463106760.00220.475052450.0052282896.0E-40.023035170.0443503340.03310.74633040.052760050.0088
6.73.884542E-57.877139E-51.0E-41.26949647.877139E-50.01.6646975E-43.375505E-43.0E-40.88875593.375505E-40.00.0020248850.00410237860.0020.487522040.00469991756.0E-40.0200653360.039387580.02810.71342290.0466882330.0076
6.83.4221863E-56.8666755E-51.0E-41.45630886.8666755E-50.01.4665688E-42.9425527E-43.0E-41.01952292.9425527E-40.00.00178408510.00357709480.00180.503201660.00407530655.0E-40.0176982950.0344698170.02410.69916240.041035420.0068
6.91.6927712E-53.0118359E-51.0E-43.3202343.0118359E-50.07.2545314E-51.2907262E-42.0E-41.54951541.2907262E-40.08.828813E-40.00157038340.0010.63678720.00196975544.0E-40.0087938190.0154903040.01270.819867730.019231440.0038
7.01.2509653E-52.251353E-51.0E-44.44177342.251353E-50.05.3611697E-59.6483236E-52.0E-42.07289899.6483236E-50.06.525269E-40.00117409469.0E-40.76654810.00147374243.0E-40.00650614170.0116073290.0090.77537220.014177150.0026
7.18.751583E-61.4963537E-50.00.01.4963537E-50.03.750624E-56.4127904E-50.00.06.4127904E-50.04.5654282E-47.804834E-44.0E-40.51250298.8040537E-41.0E-40.00455606030.00778243360.00580.745268170.00936998150.0016
7.26.354379E-61.1533883E-50.00.01.1533883E-50.02.7232769E-54.943002E-50.00.04.943002E-50.03.3150852E-46.0164917E-43.0E-40.498629487.01589E-41.0E-40.00331014420.00601802350.00430.714520340.0072108020.0012
7.34.645554E-68.848987E-60.00.08.848987E-60.01.9909365E-53.79237E-50.00.03.79237E-50.02.4236954E-44.6162718E-43.0E-40.649875045.6158105E-41.0E-40.00242105360.00462616470.00310.67010150.00542246368.0E-4
7.44.23437E-68.021096E-60.00.08.021096E-60.01.8147173E-53.437569E-50.00.03.437569E-50.02.2091944E-44.1844757E-43.0E-40.71693575.184057E-41.0E-40.00220699930.0041963820.00270.64341140.00489344457.0E-4
7.52.2187417E-63.969897E-60.00.03.969897E-60.09.508858E-61.701375E-50.00.01.701375E-50.01.157642E-42.0712535E-40.00.02.0712535E-40.00.00115703910.00208280750.00150.720181760.00248197444.0E-4
7.62.7952495E-83.8856825E-80.00.03.8856825E-80.01.1979641E-71.6652923E-70.00.01.6652923E-70.01.4585203E-62.0274915E-60.00.02.0274915E-60.01.4585107E-52.03613E-50.00.02.03613E-50.0
7.71.7192724E-82.3485004E-80.00.02.3485004E-80.07.36831E-81.0065001E-70.00.01.0065001E-70.08.9709135E-71.2254133E-60.00.01.2254133E-60.08.970877E-61.2317584E-50.00.01.2317584E-50.0

Hunting Creek - Berryessa 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1270982E-42.004215E-42.0E-40.997896852.004215E-40.04.8295266E-48.5865654E-47.0E-40.815227039.585707E-41.0E-40.00586410750.010393880.00860.82740990.0123730930.0020.0571175780.098105270.0910.927575050.1141589950.0178
6.11.1239393E-41.9990253E-42.0E-41.00048761.9990253E-40.04.8159933E-48.564338E-44.0E-40.4670539.563482E-41.0E-40.00584771950.0103671030.00720.69450450.0119505160.00160.0569621320.097863570.07350.75104560.111124970.0147
6.27.596265E-51.2944541E-40.00.01.2944541E-40.03.2551357E-45.5460486E-42.0E-40.36061716.545494E-41.0E-40.00395592770.0067267560.00390.57977420.0078193570.00110.0388624330.0646393450.04920.76114630.073805880.0098
6.36.78794E-51.14579154E-40.00.01.14579154E-40.02.9087928E-44.9092947E-40.00.04.9092947E-40.00.0035357050.00595750050.00320.5371380.00675273458.0E-40.0347997660.057508840.04360.75814430.065614260.0086
6.46.2165134E-51.0443812E-40.00.01.0443812E-40.02.6639478E-44.4748944E-40.00.04.4748944E-40.00.00323853320.005431960.0030.552286860.00612815757.0E-40.031917420.0525916550.03950.75106970.059981440.0078
6.55.4368087E-59.07844E-50.00.09.07844E-50.02.3298527E-43.8899828E-40.00.03.8899828E-40.00.00283290590.00472382270.00250.52923240.0053209886.0E-40.0279706330.0459174440.03380.736103650.051737350.0061
6.64.729947E-57.8542726E-50.00.07.8542726E-50.02.0269625E-43.3655725E-40.00.03.3655725E-40.00.0024650340.0040884690.00210.51363970.00468601576.0E-40.024378690.039885620.030.75215080.045070240.0054
6.73.6875328E-56.0504968E-50.00.06.0504968E-50.01.5802756E-42.592712E-40.00.02.592712E-40.00.00192228750.00315143750.00150.475973250.0035501774.0E-40.0190574420.0309220010.0220.71146750.0343137760.0035
6.82.0292036E-52.8990444E-50.00.02.8990444E-50.08.6962966E-51.2423864E-40.00.01.2423864E-40.00.00105825990.0015115438.0E-40.529260460.00171124072.0E-40.0105323440.0149858610.01080.72067930.0166603850.0017
6.91.7871042E-52.4484749E-50.00.02.4484749E-50.07.658793E-51.04930405E-40.00.01.04930405E-40.09.320591E-40.00127677846.0E-40.469932760.00137665081.0E-40.0092815950.012686190.00850.67001990.0138709670.0012
7.01.6415532E-52.1917964E-50.00.02.1917964E-50.07.035038E-59.3930765E-50.00.09.3930765E-50.08.561793E-40.00114300845.0E-40.437442150.0012428941.0E-40.0085288820.01137060.00720.63321190.0122603679.0E-4
7.11.5409885E-52.0357553E-50.00.02.0357553E-50.06.6040695E-58.724375E-50.00.08.724375E-50.08.0374884E-40.00106167784.0E-40.376762120.00116157171.0E-40.008008480.0105665310.00620.58675830.0114570219.0E-4
7.21.4497423E-51.9065661E-50.00.01.9065661E-50.06.213033E-58.170743E-50.00.08.170743E-50.07.5617427E-49.94337E-44.0E-40.402278070.00109423771.0E-40.00753606340.0098996220.00560.56567810.0107907129.0E-4
7.31.3615175E-51.783644E-50.00.01.783644E-50.05.8349444E-57.643967E-50.00.07.643967E-50.07.101729E-49.3025854E-44.0E-40.429987970.00103016561.0E-40.00707907650.0092643880.00510.5504950.010156059.0E-4
7.41.2252825E-51.6035796E-50.00.01.6035796E-50.05.251105E-56.872304E-50.00.06.872304E-50.06.391345E-48.363847E-44.0E-40.478248839.363011E-41.0E-40.00637299430.0083330020.00460.55202190.0091263358.0E-4
7.51.0913301E-51.4249328E-50.00.01.4249328E-50.04.6770452E-56.1067134E-50.00.06.1067134E-50.05.6928146E-47.4324146E-44.0E-40.53818318.4316713E-41.0E-40.00567825320.00740815840.00410.553443850.0079044545.0E-4
7.68.623192E-61.1241596E-50.00.01.1241596E-50.03.6956015E-54.8177397E-50.00.04.8177397E-50.04.4984656E-45.864045E-43.0E-40.511592276.8634585E-41.0E-40.004489370.0058490860.00310.529997350.00634616155.0E-4
7.72.0993634E-62.6637122E-60.00.02.6637122E-60.08.997241E-61.1415859E-50.00.01.1415859E-50.01.09535904E-41.389793E-42.0E-41.43906322.389654E-41.0E-40.00109481930.00138895744.0E-40.28798580.00148881861.0E-4
7.81.8428308E-72.1680233E-70.00.02.1680233E-70.07.897844E-79.291526E-70.00.09.291526E-70.09.615583E-61.1312378E-50.00.01.1312378E-50.09.615166E-51.1311122E-40.00.01.1311122E-40.0

Calaveras (So) - Paicines extension 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5183659E-43.0563123E-49.0E-42.94472530.00100541737.0E-46.5056595E-40.00130862650.00141.0698240.0024071870.00110.0078919120.0157179260.01180.750735160.0195566270.00390.0761745940.138661860.09010.64978220.154510480.0184
6.11.5024997E-43.0257157E-49.0E-42.97450280.00100235987.0E-46.437695E-40.00129552860.00141.080640.00239410340.00110.00780976140.0155612210.01150.739016530.0192036440.00370.0754093450.137330930.08910.648797750.152945240.0181
6.21.2743923E-42.5354073E-49.0E-43.54972589.5336325E-47.0E-45.460538E-40.00108575760.00131.19732060.00208467180.0010.00662795830.0130680750.010.76522360.0164236440.00340.0643372760.1174285560.07720.657421050.131637960.0161
6.31.1525114E-42.2639988E-49.0E-43.97526729.262414E-47.0E-44.9383997E-49.6962904E-40.00121.23758670.00186875649.0E-40.00599593860.0116892160.00930.79560510.0147529790.00310.0583671740.106546060.07190.674825550.119769180.0148
6.41.07200925E-42.0880895E-49.0E-44.310169.086628E-47.0E-44.5935164E-48.9435896E-40.00111.22993120.0017935549.0E-40.00557827440.0107940020.00880.81526760.0136626990.00290.05440310.09936920.06790.683310330.1120680940.0141
6.59.69631E-51.8773874E-49.0E-44.7938968.8760734E-47.0E-44.1548995E-48.041741E-40.00111.36786290.00170345039.0E-40.00504686260.0097154980.00810.833719430.012191210.00250.049337730.0902594850.06080.67361340.101813190.0127
6.68.0552316E-51.5110608E-45.0E-43.30893375.5104564E-44.0E-43.4517853E-46.473959E-47.0E-41.08125480.00124700756.0E-40.00419445240.0078470860.00670.85382020.0099306070.00210.041161610.075031250.04990.66505620.084465930.0102
6.77.815757E-51.4650828E-45.0E-43.41277655.464497E-44.0E-43.34918E-46.277063E-46.0E-40.95586110.00112739245.0E-40.0040700050.0076097360.00650.85416890.0095945170.0020.0399626570.072879870.04830.662734450.081965650.0098
6.86.965264E-51.2760005E-45.0E-43.91849355.27549E-44.0E-42.9847719E-45.467247E-46.0E-41.09744440.00104645145.0E-40.00362790520.00663284450.00560.844283340.0085202420.00190.035692470.063966830.04110.64252040.072484740.0091
6.95.8000453E-51.01770755E-44.0E-43.9304024.0174022E-43.0E-42.4854968E-44.36088E-45.0E-41.14655768.359136E-44.0E-40.00302189330.0052965440.00430.811850130.0066891290.00140.0298112950.0516567830.03290.63689610.0583900180.0071
7.04.9865852E-58.5977066E-53.0E-43.48930242.8595986E-42.0E-42.1369329E-43.684216E-44.0E-41.08571276.683111E-43.0E-40.00259861140.0044763970.00370.826557640.00567102530.00120.0256843360.0439226140.02780.632931350.049659080.006
7.14.283875E-57.1388095E-52.0E-42.80158731.7138096E-41.0E-41.8358172E-43.0591342E-43.0E-40.98066965.058522E-42.0E-40.00223281630.0037181920.0030.806843760.00471447360.0010.0221051460.036863050.02350.63749470.041582420.0049
7.23.450115E-55.6031025E-52.0E-43.5694511.5602542E-41.0E-41.478537E-42.4011103E-43.0E-41.2494224.40063E-42.0E-40.00179863230.0029194620.00230.787816350.00371712668.0E-40.0178414420.0292023180.01820.62323820.032405950.0033
7.32.5709045E-54.081237E-51.0E-42.45023751.4080829E-41.0E-41.1017697E-41.7489852E-42.0E-41.14352023.7486354E-42.0E-40.00134057910.0021273270.00180.84613220.00292562538.0E-40.0133252080.0214064830.0140.65400750.0242444030.0029
7.41.8003093E-52.86487E-51.0E-43.49055981.2864583E-41.0E-47.715383E-51.2277438E-42.0E-41.62900443.227498E-42.0E-49.3894306E-40.00149375550.00120.803344370.00199300875.0E-40.0093498570.0151188330.00840.555598440.0169901070.0019
7.51.5595824E-52.5954996E-51.0E-43.85282281.259524E-41.0E-46.683753E-51.1123097E-42.0E-41.79806043.112087E-42.0E-48.134431E-40.0013533980.00110.812769060.00185272135.0E-40.0081047190.0137161140.00770.56138350.0154914250.0018
7.61.1110309E-51.933605E-50.00.01.933605E-50.04.761474E-58.286616E-50.00.08.286616E-50.05.795553E-40.00100842995.0E-40.495820280.00100842990.00.00578046120.0102587530.00570.555623050.01124849450.001
7.76.2140443E-61.0520348E-50.00.01.0520348E-50.02.6631347E-54.5086428E-50.00.04.5086428E-50.03.241884E-45.487891E-41.0E-40.182219365.487891E-40.00.00323715880.0056606310.00320.5653080.0061578015.0E-4
7.85.305533E-69.507715E-60.00.09.507715E-60.02.27378E-54.0746712E-50.00.04.0746712E-50.02.7679754E-44.959784E-41.0E-40.201621684.959784E-40.00.00276453020.0051107890.00310.606559930.00560823365.0E-4
7.93.363505E-67.440443E-60.00.07.440443E-60.01.4414942E-53.1887223E-50.00.03.1887223E-50.01.7548777E-43.8815787E-41.0E-40.257627133.8815787E-40.00.00175349260.00397542070.00240.60370970.0042742283.0E-4
8.02.0271132E-64.444865E-60.00.04.444865E-60.08.687599E-61.9049283E-50.00.01.9049283E-50.01.05766376E-42.319004E-40.00.02.319004E-40.00.00105716060.00236662550.00140.59155960.00246638871.0E-4
8.11.2206116E-62.3928044E-60.00.02.3928044E-60.05.2311816E-61.0254836E-50.00.01.0254836E-50.06.3687774E-51.2484551E-40.00.01.2484551E-40.06.366953E-40.00127937949.0E-40.70346610.00137925141.0E-4

San Andreas (Coachella) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1925945E-43.279737E-42.0E-40.6098054.2794092E-41.0E-45.110118E-40.00140484917.0E-40.498274150.00170442783.0E-40.00620383540.0169712420.00780.4596010.0192322080.00230.0603347530.152902450.09060.592534660.168658470.0186
6.11.1925945E-43.279737E-42.0E-40.6098054.2794092E-41.0E-45.110118E-40.00140484917.0E-40.498274150.00170442783.0E-40.00620383540.0169712420.00780.4596010.0192322080.00230.0603347530.152902450.09060.592534660.168658470.0186
6.21.07432395E-43.0297614E-42.0E-40.6601184.0294585E-41.0E-44.603433E-40.00129782717.0E-40.53936310.00159743783.0E-40.0055902860.0156876690.00750.47808250.0178531560.00220.054517310.142065610.08450.59479560.157165260.0176
6.31.0718766E-43.0242917E-42.0E-40.661311864.0239893E-41.0E-44.592948E-40.00129548527.0E-40.54033810.00159509653.0E-40.0055775860.0156595670.00750.478940430.0178251150.00220.0543965550.14183390.08450.59576730.156937630.0176
6.41.0355944E-42.94509E-42.0E-40.67909643.9447955E-41.0E-44.4375064E-40.00126157497.0E-40.5548620.00156119643.0E-40.00538928850.015252560.00740.485164460.0174190050.00220.0526044960.138421650.08280.59817230.153413120.0174
6.51.0227914E-42.91703E-42.0E-40.685628833.9167385E-41.0E-44.382655E-40.00124956077.0E-40.56019680.0015491863.0E-40.00532283540.0151083260.00740.489796130.0172750880.00220.0519713160.13720450.0820.5976480.15195830.0171
6.61.0116757E-42.893602E-42.0E-40.691183.8933128E-41.0E-44.3350324E-40.00123952987.0E-40.56473030.00153915793.0E-40.00526513670.0149878850.00740.49373210.0171549120.00220.0514212470.136183050.08150.59845920.150954320.0171
6.71.0050676E-42.8794564E-42.0E-40.694575553.8791687E-41.0E-44.3067214E-40.00123347317.0E-40.56750330.00153310313.0E-40.0052308340.0149151570.00730.489435020.0170823430.00220.0510940850.135567580.08090.59675040.150262920.017
6.89.976819E-52.859814E-42.0E-40.69934623.859528E-41.0E-44.2750788E-40.00122506287.0E-40.57139930.00152469533.0E-40.00519249360.0148141590.00730.492771830.0169815680.00220.0507282950.134719490.08010.59456880.149429260.017
6.99.77719E-52.8094585E-42.0E-40.71188093.8091777E-41.0E-44.1895514E-40.0012035027.0E-40.581635950.00150314093.0E-40.00508885550.01455519350.00730.501539230.016723170.00220.0497388880.132547450.07860.592995170.14720740.0169
7.08.500761E-52.4825553E-42.0E-40.805621563.482307E-41.0E-43.6426744E-40.00106352177.0E-40.65819060.00136320263.0E-40.00442594060.0128722810.00610.473886520.014649110.00180.043388230.118388640.06980.589583640.131789130.0152
7.18.319876E-52.442758E-42.0E-40.81874663.442514E-41.0E-43.5651738E-40.00104647967.0E-40.66890940.00134616573.0E-40.0043319630.0126672250.0060.473663360.0144444240.00180.0424848460.116606650.06910.59259060.129857560.015
7.27.563917E-52.2474145E-42.0E-40.88991153.2471897E-41.0E-43.2412758E-49.628252E-47.0E-40.72702710.00126253643.0E-40.00393911450.0116600830.00580.497423560.0131425930.00150.038700180.1080080050.06220.57588320.1197823060.0132
7.37.082985E-52.078795E-42.0E-40.962095863.0785872E-41.0E-43.0352117E-48.9061086E-46.0E-40.67369490.00119034363.0E-40.00368910960.0107899060.0050.463396070.012273720.00150.036284650.100524680.0570.567024950.1116781760.0124
7.45.146215E-51.4321263E-42.0E-41.39652492.431983E-41.0E-42.2053342E-46.136249E-44.0E-40.6518648.135022E-42.0E-40.00268168840.00744548160.0040.53723860.0087358030.00130.026495570.071057450.03970.55870290.0793250350.0089
7.54.0285166E-51.0982844E-42.0E-41.8210222.0981746E-41.0E-41.7263928E-44.706087E-44.0E-40.8499636.705146E-42.0E-40.0020998570.0057146780.00280.489966330.0065101078.0E-40.0208012540.0551960770.030.54351690.0612428230.0064
7.63.1168736E-58.475612E-52.0E-42.35971161.8474764E-41.0E-41.3357346E-43.6319005E-44.0E-41.10135175.6311744E-42.0E-40.00162504370.00441290.00230.521199170.0051098117.0E-40.0161321160.042976390.02360.54913870.0476658050.0049
7.72.2100989E-56.2710875E-52.0E-43.18923951.627046E-41.0E-49.4715084E-52.6873325E-44.0E-41.4884654.686795E-42.0E-40.0011525460.0032669250.00190.581586660.00376529155.0E-40.0114658670.0320476480.01660.51797870.0353386850.0034
7.81.7484861E-55.2084022E-52.0E-43.83994911.5207882E-41.0E-47.493296E-52.2319815E-43.0E-41.34409713.2317583E-41.0E-49.1192697E-40.00271405420.00170.626369240.00311296854.0E-40.0090819380.0267720730.01370.51172730.0293997880.0027
7.91.3967285E-53.8459413E-52.0E-45.20028731.3845557E-41.0E-45.985842E-51.6481565E-42.0E-41.2134772.6479916E-41.0E-47.2853256E-40.0020047850.00140.698329270.00240398314.0E-40.00726148770.0200194270.00950.474539040.0222733820.0023
8.01.1887396E-53.1269272E-52.0E-46.3960551.3126615E-41.0E-45.094499E-51.340043E-42.0E-41.49248962.339909E-41.0E-46.200787E-40.00163028230.00120.736068840.00202963014.0E-40.0061835130.0163747350.00710.433594760.0178501740.0015
8.15.100864E-69.058064E-62.0E-422.0797731.0905716E-41.0E-42.1860664E-53.88197E-52.0E-45.15202331.3881581E-41.0E-42.6612106E-44.725275E-44.0E-40.84651166.72433E-42.0E-40.0026580260.00496009640.00180.362896170.00555712036.0E-4
8.22.3004484E-62.8204922E-62.0E-470.909611.0282021E-41.0E-49.859027E-61.2087768E-52.0E-416.5456521.12086556E-41.0E-41.2002704E-41.4715867E-42.0E-41.35907732.4714394E-41.0E-40.00119962230.00161503655.0E-40.309590520.00181471352.0E-4
8.31.0424446E-75.9034264E-80.00.05.9034264E-80.04.4676187E-72.5300395E-70.00.02.5300395E-70.05.439312E-63.0803192E-60.00.03.0803192E-60.05.4391792E-53.2372034E-50.00.03.2372034E-50.0

Elsinore (Glen Ivy) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6204086E-42.941327E-44.0E-41.35993033.9410332E-41.0E-46.94276E-40.00126009386.0E-40.476155040.00155971573.0E-40.0084200970.0152550290.0080.52441720.0169290960.00170.0810811450.139783110.08820.630977450.154062720.0166
6.11.6204086E-42.941327E-44.0E-41.35993033.9410332E-41.0E-46.94276E-40.00126009386.0E-40.476155040.00155971573.0E-40.0084200970.0152550290.0080.52441720.0169290960.00170.0810811450.139783110.08820.630977450.154062720.0166
6.21.6204086E-42.941327E-44.0E-41.35993033.9410332E-41.0E-46.94276E-40.00126009386.0E-40.476155040.00155971573.0E-40.0084200970.0152550290.0080.52441720.0169290960.00170.0810811450.139783110.08820.630977450.154062720.0166
6.31.0111737E-41.7736456E-42.0E-41.12762091.7736456E-40.04.332882E-47.600296E-44.0E-40.52629539.5987757E-42.0E-40.0052625310.0092348810.00510.552253960.0103247230.00110.05139640.08721480.05950.68222370.096433930.0101
6.41.0111737E-41.7736456E-42.0E-41.12762091.7736456E-40.04.332882E-47.600296E-44.0E-40.52629539.5987757E-42.0E-40.0052625310.0092348810.00510.552253960.0103247230.00110.05139640.08721480.05950.68222370.096433930.0101
6.53.6624708E-54.642631E-50.00.04.642631E-50.01.569536E-41.9895675E-41.0E-40.502621772.9893685E-41.0E-40.0019092350.00241996840.0020.82645710.00281900034.0E-40.018929150.0237154640.01630.68731520.0260585470.0024
6.62.5051324E-52.6173208E-50.00.02.6173208E-50.01.073584E-41.1216632E-41.0E-40.89153322.1215511E-41.0E-40.00130630470.0013648140.00141.02578080.00166440463.0E-40.0129865250.01358049550.00860.633261140.0147641990.0012
6.72.2189772E-52.2089307E-50.00.02.2089307E-50.09.509556E-59.466523E-50.00.09.466523E-50.00.00115717340.00115197620.00121.04168820.00135174582.0E-40.0115116630.0114766350.00720.62736160.0123663069.0E-4
6.81.6654378E-51.444795E-50.00.01.444795E-50.07.137396E-56.191834E-50.00.06.191834E-50.08.686314E-47.5360027E-49.0E-41.19426729.534495E-42.0E-40.0086524390.0075158140.00410.545516430.0082105537.0E-4
6.91.5042909E-51.2340899E-50.00.01.2340899E-50.06.446802E-55.2888514E-50.00.05.2888514E-50.07.8461546E-46.437306E-48.0E-41.2427568.436018E-42.0E-40.0078185090.00642287640.00350.54492720.00711838067.0E-4
7.01.4361385E-51.1459702E-50.00.01.1459702E-50.06.154734E-54.9112103E-50.00.04.9112103E-50.07.490812E-45.9777877E-48.0E-41.33828787.976592E-42.0E-40.0074656120.00596540560.00320.53642620.006661237.0E-4
7.11.3265571E-51.025239E-50.00.01.025239E-50.05.6851208E-54.393809E-50.00.04.393809E-50.06.919436E-45.3481746E-48.0E-41.49583757.3471054E-42.0E-40.0068979310.0053385330.0030.56195210.005935336.0E-4
7.21.1596403E-58.511288E-60.00.08.511288E-60.04.9697923E-53.6476446E-50.00.03.6476446E-50.06.049042E-44.4401194E-48.0E-41.80175346.439231E-42.0E-40.0060326030.0044326670.00280.631673930.00493045065.0E-4
7.31.0150827E-57.2440353E-60.00.07.2440353E-60.04.3502816E-53.1045503E-50.00.03.1045503E-50.05.2951806E-43.779149E-46.0E-41.5876593.779149E-40.00.0052825810.00377311250.00210.556569640.00407198073.0E-4
7.49.080705E-66.3571392E-60.00.06.3571392E-60.03.8916725E-52.7244607E-50.00.02.7244607E-50.04.7370812E-43.3165395E-45.0E-41.50759543.3165395E-40.00.0047269960.00331174160.00170.513325040.0036107483.0E-4
7.57.671649E-65.229524E-60.00.05.229524E-60.03.287808E-52.2412061E-50.00.02.2412061E-50.04.0021708E-42.7283392E-43.0E-41.099572.7283392E-40.00.00399497060.00272511480.0010.3669570.00282484251.0E-4
7.66.990086E-64.691115E-60.00.04.691115E-60.02.9957167E-52.010463E-50.00.02.010463E-50.03.6466747E-42.4474753E-43.0E-41.22575282.4474753E-40.00.00364069640.00244489648.0E-40.327212240.00244489640.0
7.74.163505E-62.33142E-60.00.02.33142E-60.01.7843471E-59.991766E-60.00.09.991766E-60.02.172226E-41.2164371E-42.0E-41.64414581.2164371E-40.00.00217010380.00121584445.0E-40.411236820.00121584440.0
7.82.2692414E-79.391389E-80.00.09.391389E-80.09.725317E-74.0248807E-70.00.04.0248807E-70.01.1840509E-54.9002842E-60.00.04.9002842E-60.01.1839878E-44.900209E-50.00.04.900209E-50.0
7.96.676829E-93.4415768E-90.00.03.4415768E-90.02.861498E-81.4749616E-80.00.01.4749616E-80.03.4838732E-71.7957656E-70.00.01.7957656E-70.03.4838679E-61.7957643E-60.00.01.7957643E-60.0

Calaveras (So) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5950744E-43.0758316E-45.0E-41.62557667.0746016E-44.0E-46.834242E-40.00131738170.0010.75908140.00191659136.0E-40.008288990.0158817060.00940.59187590.0185388270.00270.0798654260.144586490.09490.656354550.160069480.0181
6.11.3584697E-42.6078877E-45.0E-41.91726056.606844E-44.0E-45.8207137E-40.00111702847.0E-40.62666270.00161646995.0E-40.0070637160.0134834610.00750.556237040.0156537960.00220.068433610.1242083160.07670.6175110.136994880.0146
6.21.14676266E-42.1755957E-45.0E-42.2982216.174726E-44.0E-44.9137714E-49.319772E-46.0E-40.643792570.00143151115.0E-40.00596611850.0112660910.0070.621333540.0133424320.00210.0580846480.105194380.06680.63501490.1162899660.0124
6.38.691518E-51.6026295E-45.0E-43.11987265.6019885E-44.0E-43.7244044E-46.8662164E-46.0E-40.873843670.00118627835.0E-40.0045250380.0083209160.00650.7811640.0104034420.00210.0443399920.079505150.05270.662850140.08907830.0104
6.48.50982E-51.5732495E-45.0E-43.17813565.57262E-44.0E-43.646556E-46.7403674E-46.0E-40.89015920.00117369975.0E-40.00443064750.008168850.00650.79570560.0102516950.00210.043433450.078110550.05220.66828350.087698210.0104
6.58.4062965E-51.5556815E-45.0E-43.21402555.555059E-44.0E-43.602201E-46.6651154E-46.0E-40.90020950.00116617835.0E-40.0043768630.0080780060.00650.8046540.0101610420.00210.0429165550.0772816240.05190.67156970.08687790.0104
6.68.194716E-51.5192376E-44.0E-42.63289984.5187818E-43.0E-43.5115483E-46.509011E-45.0E-40.76816580.00105064074.0E-40.00426693170.0078897150.00630.7985080.0098739350.0020.041859270.0755660.0510.674906730.0849952250.0102
6.78.012326E-51.4860037E-44.0E-42.69178344.485558E-43.0E-43.433402E-46.3666824E-45.0E-40.78533840.00103641364.0E-40.0041721570.00771809370.00630.816263740.0097026570.0020.0409469120.074007430.04990.67425660.083174760.0099
6.87.119773E-51.2917024E-44.0E-43.09668854.291315E-43.0E-43.0509746E-45.5345113E-45.0E-40.90342219.532298E-44.0E-40.00370823570.0067142250.00540.804262640.0086014680.00190.0364696420.0648430360.04280.660055460.073446480.0092
6.95.7343088E-59.950044E-53.0E-43.0150622.9948054E-42.0E-42.4573295E-44.2636116E-44.0E-40.938171747.2623324E-43.0E-40.00298769420.0051786670.00390.753089550.00647193470.00130.029478440.0506536770.03340.65937960.05729910.007
7.04.8746577E-58.312215E-52.0E-42.40609771.8311384E-41.0E-42.0889717E-43.561895E-43.0E-40.84224835.5611826E-42.0E-40.00254035650.00432805070.00330.76246790.005423290.00110.0251151210.0426146840.02790.65470390.048263260.0059
7.14.2998014E-57.28921E-52.0E-42.74378161.7288481E-41.0E-41.8426418E-43.1235765E-43.0E-40.96043755.1229517E-42.0E-40.0022411080.00379638350.00310.816566650.0047925870.0010.0221864120.0375392660.02440.64998610.042351570.005
7.23.221292E-55.41334E-52.0E-43.69457671.5412799E-41.0E-41.3804805E-42.3197981E-43.0E-41.2932164.319334E-42.0E-40.00167943930.00282072440.00240.85084520.00361846788.0E-40.0166680370.0281463140.01790.63596250.0312562470.0032
7.32.3756531E-53.9672002E-51.0E-42.52066921.3966803E-41.0E-41.0180973E-41.7001189E-42.0E-41.17638833.6997788E-42.0E-40.00123882860.0020679470.00190.918785630.00286629268.0E-40.0123194520.0207412450.01370.660519660.0234831680.0028
7.41.5997684E-52.745663E-51.0E-43.64210771.2745388E-41.0E-46.8559704E-51.1766597E-42.0E-41.69972673.1764244E-42.0E-48.343947E-40.00143164430.00130.90804680.00193092845.0E-40.0083126870.0144320740.00810.56124990.0162060970.0018
7.51.3814293E-52.4893852E-51.0E-44.0170561.2489136E-41.0E-45.9202768E-51.0668359E-42.0E-41.87470263.0666226E-42.0E-47.205553E-40.00129810130.00120.924427150.00179745225.0E-40.0071822340.0131092340.00760.579744040.0147869480.0017
7.68.817309E-61.6521872E-50.00.01.6521872E-50.03.7787922E-57.0806105E-50.00.07.0806105E-50.04.5997082E-48.617247E-45.0E-40.580231678.617247E-40.00.0045901990.0087641090.0050.570508660.0096562229.0E-4
7.74.0352206E-67.768831E-60.00.07.768831E-60.01.7293689E-53.3294564E-50.00.03.3294564E-50.02.1053031E-44.05286E-41.0E-40.246739344.05286E-40.00.00210330960.0041954670.00250.59588120.00459378864.0E-4
7.83.413169E-66.841251E-60.00.06.841251E-60.01.4627784E-52.9319317E-50.00.02.9319317E-50.01.7807873E-43.569043E-41.0E-40.280187163.569043E-40.00.00177936090.00369299920.00240.649878260.0040915224.0E-4
7.92.4740732E-65.3191607E-60.00.05.3191607E-60.01.06031275E-52.2796205E-50.00.02.2796205E-50.01.2908543E-42.775085E-41.0E-40.360349332.775085E-40.00.00129010470.00285431440.00190.6656590.00305374342.0E-4
8.01.5231818E-63.3126942E-60.00.03.3126942E-60.06.527906E-61.4197184E-50.00.01.4197184E-50.07.9474354E-51.7283704E-40.00.01.7283704E-40.07.944594E-40.0017681340.0010.565568030.00186795721.0E-4
8.11.0104524E-62.0606942E-60.00.02.0606942E-60.04.330503E-68.831517E-60.00.08.831517E-60.05.2722597E-51.0751845E-40.00.01.0751845E-40.05.271009E-40.00110039517.0E-40.63613510.00120028521.0E-4

Owl Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.0320643E-56.640467E-52.0E-43.01183652.6639138E-42.0E-42.1564208E-42.8456666E-40.00113.86552679.843674E-47.0E-40.00262228120.00346000730.00722.08092050.0080440910.00460.025915530.0341648940.03921.14737650.0498114230.0162
6.15.0320643E-56.640467E-52.0E-43.01183652.6639138E-42.0E-42.1564208E-42.8456666E-40.00113.86552679.843674E-47.0E-40.00262228120.00346000730.00722.08092050.0080440910.00460.025915530.0341648940.03921.14737650.0498114230.0162
6.22.4125871E-53.1004914E-52.0E-46.45059062.3099872E-42.0E-41.0339249E-41.3287259E-47.0E-45.2682047.327929E-46.0E-40.00125807660.00161669790.0053.09272380.00551039260.00390.0125097810.0160831420.02291.42385130.0277917520.0119
6.31.7433485E-52.2375143E-52.0E-48.938492.2237067E-42.0E-47.471279E-59.589084E-55.0E-45.2142625.958429E-45.0E-49.0924866E-40.00116698470.00453.8560920.00476278360.00360.0090553730.0116391250.01771.5207330.0214238970.0099
6.41.7433485E-52.2375143E-52.0E-48.938492.2237067E-42.0E-47.471279E-59.589084E-55.0E-45.2142625.958429E-45.0E-49.0924866E-40.00116698470.00453.8560920.00476278360.00360.0090553730.0116391250.01771.5207330.0214238970.0099
6.51.5182742E-51.9447225E-52.0E-410.2842442.1944333E-42.0E-46.506727E-58.3343446E-55.0E-45.99927235.8330176E-45.0E-47.919061E-40.0010143710.00424.14049670.00431102370.00330.00789090.0101278130.01591.56993420.019135650.0091
6.66.7271576E-68.559488E-62.0E-423.3658812.0855777E-42.0E-42.8830356E-53.668304E-55.0E-413.6302785.366647E-45.0E-43.5095305E-44.4653015E-40.00296.4945220.00294541380.00250.00350399320.00447409550.00881.9668780.0106463560.0062
6.76.682835E-68.491916E-62.0E-423.5518132.0849022E-42.0E-42.8640408E-53.639345E-55.0E-413.7387375.363753E-45.0E-43.4864116E-44.430058E-40.00296.546190.00294189830.00250.0034809470.0044389510.00881.98245020.010611430.0062
6.86.5774975E-68.33833E-62.0E-423.9856192.0833666E-42.0E-42.8188972E-53.573524E-55.0E-413.991795.3571735E-45.0E-43.4314668E-44.3499537E-40.00296.6667380.00293390780.00250.00342617280.00435910840.00882.01876140.0105320820.0062
6.96.363419E-68.011343E-62.0E-424.9646022.0800975E-42.0E-42.727151E-53.433391E-55.0E-414.5628625.3431676E-45.0E-43.3198006E-44.1794076E-40.00286.6995140.00281693760.00240.00331484550.00418903630.00872.076850.0102634830.0061
7.06.1342453E-67.643341E-62.0E-426.1665672.0764182E-42.0E-42.6289357E-53.2756794E-55.0E-415.26400855.3274044E-45.0E-43.2002592E-43.9874652E-40.00287.0220050.00279778960.00240.00319565440.00399761230.00852.12626930.0099736270.006
7.15.842926E-67.1535937E-61.0E-413.9789891.07152875E-41.0E-42.504087E-53.0657928E-54.0E-413.0471964.3064565E-44.0E-43.0482994E-43.7320176E-40.00236.1628860.00257238070.00220.00304412140.003742760.00772.05730530.0095210520.0058
7.24.77173E-65.368815E-61.0E-418.6260851.0536828E-41.0E-42.045011E-52.3009026E-52.0E-48.6922412.2300442E-42.0E-42.4895166E-42.8010295E-40.00155.3551740.00167971080.00140.00248672930.00281388450.00551.95459330.0069023480.0041
7.33.0494948E-62.7179788E-60.00.02.7179788E-60.01.3069198E-51.164843E-51.0E-48.5848481.1164726E-41.0E-41.5910587E-41.4181057E-44.0E-42.82066445.4175383E-44.0E-40.00158991990.00142726050.00161.12102870.00262554780.0012
7.42.7263884E-62.312722E-60.00.02.312722E-60.01.1684469E-59.911629E-61.0E-410.0891591.0991064E-41.0E-41.4224913E-41.2066751E-43.0E-42.48617054.2063132E-43.0E-40.00142158110.0012150110.00131.06994930.00231367440.0011
7.52.6090431E-62.1725177E-60.00.02.1725177E-60.01.1181565E-59.310757E-61.0E-410.7402651.09309825E-41.0E-41.3612706E-41.1335267E-43.0E-42.64660744.1331866E-43.0E-40.0013604370.00114167640.00121.05108580.00214053480.001
7.62.3008756E-61.8793033E-60.00.01.8793033E-60.09.860858E-68.054133E-61.0E-412.4159861.08053326E-41.0E-41.20049335E-49.8054734E-52.0E-42.03967712.9803513E-42.0E-40.0011998459.885007E-40.0011.01163320.00178770988.0E-4
7.71.7184348E-61.3479334E-60.00.01.3479334E-60.07.3646997E-65.7768452E-60.00.05.7768452E-60.08.966153E-57.033086E-50.00.07.033086E-50.08.962536E-47.1112585E-43.0E-40.421866278.110547E-41.0E-4
7.88.4612907E-78.448996E-70.00.08.448996E-70.03.6262625E-63.6209933E-60.00.03.6209933E-60.04.4148852E-54.4084725E-50.00.04.4084725E-50.04.414008E-44.464337E-41.0E-40.223997435.46389E-41.0E-4
7.92.716738E-73.787158E-70.00.03.787158E-70.01.1643157E-61.6230667E-60.00.01.6230667E-60.01.4175452E-51.976067E-50.00.01.976067E-50.01.4174548E-41.9956048E-41.0E-40.50110122.9954052E-41.0E-4
8.02.1995428E-83.398418E-80.00.03.398418E-80.09.426611E-81.4564648E-70.00.01.4564648E-70.01.1476893E-61.7732452E-60.00.01.7732452E-60.01.14768345E-51.8277846E-51.0E-45.4711041.1827602E-41.0E-4

San Andreas (Big Bend)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.0179969E-42.0203188E-42.0E-40.98994283.0201167E-41.0E-44.362114E-48.655646E-42.0E-40.231063059.654781E-41.0E-40.00529794860.0104876160.0070.66745390.0125655920.00210.0517340970.102043380.06380.62522430.117398440.0171
6.11.0179969E-42.0203188E-42.0E-40.98994283.0201167E-41.0E-44.362114E-48.655646E-42.0E-40.231063059.654781E-41.0E-40.00529794860.0104876160.0070.66745390.0125655920.00210.0517340970.102043380.06380.62522430.117398440.0171
6.21.0179969E-42.0203188E-42.0E-40.98994283.0201167E-41.0E-44.362114E-48.655646E-42.0E-40.231063059.654781E-41.0E-40.00529794860.0104876160.0070.66745390.0125655920.00210.0517340970.102043380.06380.62522430.117398440.0171
6.31.0179969E-42.0203188E-42.0E-40.98994283.0201167E-41.0E-44.362114E-48.655646E-42.0E-40.231063059.654781E-41.0E-40.00529794860.0104876160.0070.66745390.0125655920.00210.0517340970.102043380.06380.62522430.117398440.0171
6.49.1639464E-51.855804E-42.0E-41.07772.8556184E-41.0E-43.9268145E-47.951024E-42.0E-40.251539958.950229E-41.0E-40.00477042050.0096375240.00640.664070960.0115192130.00190.0466930640.094342080.05880.62326370.108289220.0154
6.59.1639464E-51.855804E-42.0E-41.07772.8556184E-41.0E-43.9268145E-47.951024E-42.0E-40.251539958.950229E-41.0E-40.00477042050.0096375240.00640.664070960.0115192130.00190.0466930640.094342080.05880.62326370.108289220.0154
6.69.042622E-51.8364786E-42.0E-41.08904082.836295E-41.0E-43.8748336E-47.868251E-42.0E-40.25418618.867464E-41.0E-40.00470740950.0095376330.00630.660541240.0114195110.00190.0460893250.0934381260.05830.62394230.107399180.0154
6.78.9836685E-51.8279013E-42.0E-41.0941512.8277186E-41.0E-43.8495753E-47.8315125E-42.0E-40.25537858.8307296E-41.0E-40.004676790.0094932940.00630.66362640.0113752570.00190.0457958170.093032130.05770.620215830.106818040.0152
6.88.9471854E-51.8225674E-42.0E-41.09735312.8223853E-41.0E-43.8339442E-47.808667E-42.0E-40.256125668.8078866E-41.0E-40.0046578410.0094657210.00630.66555940.0113477370.00190.045614140.092778570.05770.62191080.106568340.0152
6.98.858234E-51.810744E-42.0E-41.10451842.8105627E-41.0E-43.7958333E-47.7580253E-42.0E-40.257797578.7572495E-41.0E-40.0046116380.0094045990.00630.669885040.011187670.00180.045171030.092218450.05740.62243510.1059259550.0151
7.08.7433385E-51.794592E-42.0E-41.11445952.7944124E-41.0E-43.746607E-47.688843E-42.0E-40.260117148.6880743E-41.0E-40.0045519570.0093210940.00620.665158030.01110431550.00180.0445983860.09145150.05710.62437460.1051705850.0151
7.18.684964E-51.7857668E-42.0E-41.11996712.7855881E-41.0E-43.7215967E-47.651043E-42.0E-40.261402258.6502783E-41.0E-40.00452163350.0092754640.00620.668430150.0110587680.00180.044307310.091032370.0570.62615090.104757780.0151
7.28.606521E-51.7748086E-42.0E-41.12688212.774631E-41.0E-43.6879873E-47.6041074E-42.0E-40.263015758.603347E-41.0E-40.00448088350.0092188050.00610.661690950.0110022110.00180.0439160240.0905117840.05650.624228060.104154110.015
7.38.568266E-51.7689851E-42.0E-41.13059182.7688083E-41.0E-43.6715972E-47.5791636E-42.0E-40.263881368.578406E-41.0E-40.00446101050.0091886930.00610.663859370.0109721530.00180.0437251480.0902322160.05640.62505390.103787760.0149
7.48.5432206E-51.7652287E-42.0E-41.13299782.7650522E-41.0E-43.6608664E-47.563074E-42.0E-40.264442748.562318E-41.0E-40.0044479990.0091692680.00610.66526570.0109527640.00180.0436001570.0900518750.05620.62408470.1035191040.0148
7.58.4791965E-51.7521094E-42.0E-41.14148132.7519342E-41.0E-43.633435E-47.5068814E-42.0E-40.26642228.5061305E-41.0E-40.00441473770.0091014270.00610.670224550.0108850450.00180.0432805750.08942720.0560.626207650.1028126250.0147
7.68.241105E-51.6964413E-42.0E-41.17893852.6962717E-41.0E-43.531424E-47.2684383E-42.0E-40.275162258.267712E-41.0E-40.00429103520.0088135080.0060.68077320.0104985250.00170.0420911760.0867985040.05440.626738970.099674640.0141
7.77.00432E-51.4316475E-42.0E-41.39699182.4315044E-41.0E-43.001506E-46.13419E-42.0E-40.326041437.1335764E-41.0E-40.00364821120.00744284270.00480.64491490.0088324220.00140.0358889770.074028630.04540.613276240.084862490.0117
7.86.415362E-51.3069893E-42.0E-41.53023452.3068585E-41.0E-42.749151E-45.6001806E-42.0E-40.357131336.5996207E-41.0E-40.00334195470.00679693460.00420.61792560.0079887790.00120.032921410.0677163750.04160.6143270.077412130.0104
7.94.939911E-59.413718E-52.0E-42.1245591.9412777E-41.0E-42.116933E-44.033827E-42.0E-40.495807085.0334237E-41.0E-40.00257431950.0049001340.00280.57141290.00559670437.0E-40.0254470130.0492549650.02920.592833640.055720030.0068
8.03.344983E-55.2659285E-52.0E-43.79800081.5265401E-41.0E-41.4334853E-42.2566313E-42.0E-40.886276843.2564058E-41.0E-40.00174387110.00274398880.00130.473762870.00314289124.0E-40.0173024960.0281352250.01550.550910830.0312451930.0032
8.11.9104898E-51.9383097E-52.0E-410.3182691.19381155E-41.0E-48.1875565E-58.3067775E-52.0E-42.40767261.8305947E-41.0E-49.963791E-40.00101088156.0E-40.59354140.00121067942.0E-40.0099192350.0108602080.00550.506435930.0120471760.0012
8.28.643924E-65.5536157E-62.0E-436.0125731.0555306E-41.0E-43.704486E-52.3800994E-52.0E-48.403011.2379861E-41.0E-44.5092785E-42.8973864E-42.0E-40.69027733.8970966E-41.0E-40.00450013950.00329176380.00130.394925030.00369044724.0E-4
8.31.983087E-67.7872784E-70.00.07.7872784E-70.08.498917E-63.3374008E-60.00.03.3374008E-60.01.034694E-44.0632116E-50.00.04.0632116E-50.00.00103421244.792776E-41.0E-40.208647344.792776E-40.0

Calaveras (Central) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5010907E-42.4854988E-44.0E-41.6093354.4850016E-42.0E-46.4316596E-40.00106467768.0E-40.75140110.00146425184.0E-40.00780246640.0128766510.00840.65234350.015344460.00250.075341360.1206185450.07460.61847870.134161030.0154
6.11.4521465E-42.4016028E-44.0E-41.66555444.4011226E-42.0E-46.222001E-40.00102875087.0E-40.68043690.00132844213.0E-40.00754900560.0124457050.0080.6427920.0147170810.00230.072976570.116888690.07210.61682620.129870410.0147
6.21.429998E-42.3946541E-44.0E-41.67038744.3941752E-42.0E-46.127123E-40.00102577537.0E-40.682410660.00132546763.0E-40.0074342860.01240993850.0080.64464460.0146813960.00230.071904440.116538860.0720.617819670.129525740.0147
6.31.3536277E-42.3275973E-44.0E-41.71851034.327132E-42.0E-45.799972E-49.970631E-47.0E-40.70206190.0012967643.0E-40.00703862640.0120652020.00790.654775560.0143374520.00230.06819820.113443350.07050.621455550.12612110.0143
6.41.2993296E-42.269819E-44.0E-41.76225524.269365E-42.0E-45.5673666E-49.723198E-47.0E-40.71992770.00127202813.0E-40.0067572230.0117673130.00780.66285310.01404024850.00230.065554120.110715560.06910.624121840.123254470.0141
6.51.0498927E-41.8024998E-44.0E-42.21914053.8021393E-42.0E-44.498764E-47.722703E-47.0E-40.90641840.00107203873.0E-40.0054634980.0093617650.00690.737040460.0114421060.00210.0533111240.089385280.05770.645520150.100403720.0121
6.61.0157505E-41.7511995E-44.0E-42.28414873.7508493E-42.0E-44.35249E-47.502974E-46.0E-40.79968290.00105007243.0E-40.00528628840.0090965450.00650.7145570.0111774430.00210.051622930.0869608450.0560.6439680.097917320.012
6.79.660386E-51.6770198E-44.0E-42.38518363.6766843E-42.0E-44.1395082E-47.1852433E-46.0E-40.83504480.00101830883.0E-40.00502821060.0087129040.00630.72306550.0107946060.00210.0491594970.083446140.05360.642330470.093986510.0115
6.89.089927E-51.5682819E-44.0E-42.5505623.567968E-42.0E-43.8951015E-46.719476E-45.0E-40.744105649.71746E-43.0E-40.00473197880.00815023950.00580.711635530.0102331240.00210.0463247750.078333860.05110.6523360.088564360.0111
6.97.353187E-51.2328938E-44.0E-43.24439933.232647E-42.0E-43.150985E-45.2827667E-45.0E-40.94647388.281182E-43.0E-40.00382957720.00641292240.00460.717301670.0082013790.00180.0376425120.0623413660.04230.678522170.070967820.0092
7.05.746064E-59.416931E-52.0E-42.12383441.9415989E-41.0E-42.4623662E-44.0352068E-43.0E-40.74345636.0344E-42.0E-40.00299380980.00490186880.00360.73441380.00619549630.00130.029537970.048119510.0320.665010870.0548778620.0071
7.14.9557195E-58.077031E-52.0E-42.47615741.8076223E-41.0E-42.123707E-43.4611288E-43.0E-40.866769255.460437E-42.0E-40.00258254730.00420584530.00320.76084590.0053012190.00110.02552740.0414904470.02740.660392940.0470498060.0058
7.23.687595E-55.9754122E-52.0E-43.34704951.5974815E-41.0E-41.5803022E-42.5606412E-43.0E-41.17158154.560129E-42.0E-40.00192231990.00311315320.00250.80304430.00401035149.0E-40.019057760.0309951040.02020.65171580.0346773230.0038
7.32.5846984E-54.2672225E-51.0E-42.34344461.4266797E-41.0E-41.1076809E-41.8286826E-42.0E-41.09368363.8283167E-42.0E-40.00134776710.00222416520.0020.899213730.00312216359.0E-40.0133962230.0222735810.01510.677933160.0253045340.0031
7.41.7747854E-53.0051217E-51.0E-43.32765251.3004821E-41.0E-47.6060016E-51.2878458E-42.0E-41.55298093.2875882E-42.0E-49.2563726E-40.00156682750.00140.89352530.00216588756.0E-40.0092179110.0157648120.0090.57089170.017634860.0019
7.51.4883479E-52.6351172E-51.0E-43.79489781.2634853E-41.0E-46.378478E-51.1292872E-42.0E-41.77102863.1290614E-42.0E-47.76303E-40.00137404280.00130.946113170.00197321836.0E-40.00773596670.0138546420.00820.59185940.0156297030.0018
7.68.166975E-61.5043279E-50.00.01.5043279E-50.03.5000852E-56.4469605E-50.00.06.4469605E-50.04.2605202E-47.846361E-44.0E-40.50979047.846361E-40.00.0042523610.0079782010.00440.551502760.0088710219.0E-4
7.73.3858064E-66.3037724E-60.00.06.3037724E-60.01.4510518E-52.7015887E-50.00.02.7015887E-50.01.7665124E-43.2886886E-40.00.03.2886886E-40.00.00176510880.00341285370.00190.55671880.00381148864.0E-4
7.82.7721615E-65.409279E-60.00.05.409279E-60.01.1880637E-52.3182418E-50.00.02.3182418E-50.01.4463716E-42.8220942E-40.00.02.8220942E-40.00.00144543060.0029285970.00180.61462880.00332742564.0E-4
7.91.9736292E-64.1600506E-60.00.04.1600506E-60.08.4583835E-61.7828668E-50.00.01.7828668E-50.01.0297595E-42.1704244E-40.00.02.1704244E-40.00.00102928250.00223907480.00140.625258270.0024386272.0E-4
8.01.1767289E-62.5732104E-60.00.02.5732104E-60.05.0431145E-61.1027998E-50.00.01.1027998E-50.06.139818E-51.3425763E-40.00.01.3425763E-40.06.1381224E-40.00137526698.0E-40.58170530.00147512941.0E-4
8.17.5112825E-71.5523256E-60.00.01.5523256E-60.03.2191172E-66.652807E-60.00.06.652807E-60.03.9192048E-58.099494E-50.00.08.099494E-50.03.9185135E-48.291874E-45.0E-40.6039.2910446E-41.0E-4

San Andreas (Mojave N)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.877682E-51.9534229E-42.0E-41.02384392.9532277E-41.0E-44.2326056E-48.3691283E-43.0E-40.358460289.3682914E-41.0E-40.00514102770.0101419380.00790.778943840.0124186120.00230.050237080.098905640.06460.65314780.114404460.0172
6.19.877682E-51.9534229E-42.0E-41.02384392.9532277E-41.0E-44.2326056E-48.3691283E-43.0E-40.358460289.3682914E-41.0E-40.00514102770.0101419380.00790.778943840.0124186120.00230.050237080.098905640.06460.65314780.114404460.0172
6.29.877682E-51.9534229E-42.0E-41.02384392.9532277E-41.0E-44.2326056E-48.3691283E-43.0E-40.358460289.3682914E-41.0E-40.00514102770.0101419380.00790.778943840.0124186120.00230.050237080.098905640.06460.65314780.114404460.0172
6.39.877682E-51.9534229E-42.0E-41.02384392.9532277E-41.0E-44.2326056E-48.3691283E-43.0E-40.358460289.3682914E-41.0E-40.00514102770.0101419380.00790.778943840.0124186120.00230.050237080.098905640.06460.65314780.114404460.0172
6.49.877682E-51.9534229E-42.0E-41.02384392.9532277E-41.0E-44.2326056E-48.3691283E-43.0E-40.358460289.3682914E-41.0E-40.00514102770.0101419380.00790.778943840.0124186120.00230.050237080.098905640.06460.65314780.114404460.0172
6.59.861474E-51.9507951E-42.0E-41.02522292.9506002E-41.0E-44.2256617E-48.357874E-43.0E-40.358942969.357038E-41.0E-40.00513261320.0101283630.00790.77998780.0124050690.00230.0501567460.098783420.06450.652943550.1142843440.0172
6.69.861474E-51.9507951E-42.0E-41.02522292.9506002E-41.0E-44.2256617E-48.357874E-43.0E-40.358942969.357038E-41.0E-40.00513261320.0101283630.00790.77998780.0124050690.00230.0501567460.098783420.06450.652943550.1142843440.0172
6.79.8552715E-51.9497889E-42.0E-41.02575212.949594E-41.0E-44.223004E-48.353564E-43.0E-40.359128159.3527284E-41.0E-40.00512939270.0101231650.00790.780388360.0123998820.00230.0501259980.098736760.06440.65223930.114238490.0172
6.89.8464974E-51.9483015E-42.0E-41.02653522.9481068E-41.0E-44.219245E-48.347194E-43.0E-40.35940229.3463593E-41.0E-40.00512483760.0101154810.00790.78098110.0123922150.00230.050082510.098666430.06440.652704240.114169370.0172
6.99.825824E-51.945095E-42.0E-41.02822742.9449005E-41.0E-44.2103877E-48.33346E-43.0E-40.359994539.332627E-41.0E-40.00511410460.0100989160.00780.772360150.0123756880.00230.0499800220.098515540.06410.65065880.114021070.0172
7.09.781462E-51.9382163E-42.0E-41.03187662.9380224E-41.0E-44.1913814E-48.3039986E-43.0E-40.361271749.303168E-41.0E-40.0050910730.0100633780.00770.76515060.0123402330.00230.049760070.098191520.0640.651787460.1137026250.0172
7.19.7121134E-51.9283664E-42.0E-41.03714732.9281736E-41.0E-44.1616702E-48.261812E-43.0E-40.363116479.2609855E-41.0E-40.0050550680.0100124890.00770.76903950.0122894610.00230.049416130.097727470.06380.65283590.113246550.0172
7.29.663819E-51.92143E-42.0E-41.04089142.921238E-41.0E-44.1409794E-48.232103E-43.0E-40.364426949.23128E-41.0E-40.00502999360.0099766510.00760.76177870.0122537040.00230.0491765370.097400330.06350.65194850.112925040.0172
7.39.6277574E-51.9166627E-42.0E-41.04348042.916471E-41.0E-44.125529E-48.211685E-43.0E-40.365333089.2108635E-41.0E-40.00501126940.0099520180.00760.76366420.0122291290.00230.048997590.0971731250.06350.653472840.112701750.0172
7.49.593308E-51.91062E-42.0E-41.04678062.910429E-41.0E-44.1107697E-48.185804E-43.0E-40.366488139.1849855E-41.0E-40.00499338240.0099207960.00760.766067560.0121979790.00230.048826610.0968909340.06340.654343960.1123340950.0171
7.59.561707E-51.9052092E-42.0E-41.04975342.9050186E-41.0E-44.0972308E-48.1626297E-43.0E-40.367528629.161813E-41.0E-40.00497697430.0098928380.00760.76823250.0121700850.00230.0486697440.0966364740.06330.655032160.1120839940.0171
7.69.418194E-51.870332E-42.0E-41.06932892.870145E-41.0E-44.0357444E-48.013248E-43.0E-40.374380029.0124464E-41.0E-40.0049024540.0097126010.00750.77219280.0119902620.00230.0479570250.095014340.06160.64832320.109856110.0164
7.78.202141E-51.6141271E-42.0E-41.23905982.6139658E-41.0E-43.51473E-46.915854E-43.0E-40.43378597.915163E-41.0E-40.004270790.0083876030.00640.76303080.0104699890.00210.041896390.0827754440.05270.636662240.095524870.0139
7.87.2859846E-51.4624366E-42.0E-41.36758072.4622903E-41.0E-43.1221908E-46.2660803E-43.0E-40.47876827.2654535E-41.0E-40.0037946430.0076023090.00530.69715660.0090909060.00150.0373049750.075216930.04770.634165760.0864068050.0121
7.95.3874453E-51.0121536E-42.0E-41.97598472.0120523E-41.0E-42.3087008E-44.33708E-42.0E-40.461139745.3366466E-41.0E-40.00280722020.0052676220.00340.645452560.0061628819.0E-40.027720220.0527796370.03240.61387310.0600732340.0077
8.03.468538E-55.4698838E-52.0E-43.6563851.5469336E-41.0E-41.4864317E-42.3440253E-42.0E-40.85323313.343791E-41.0E-40.00180822830.00285011790.00150.526294050.00324897774.0E-40.0179358530.0291632660.01630.558922350.0325611940.0035
8.11.9152367E-51.9611292E-52.0E-410.1982061.1960933E-41.0E-48.207899E-58.4045685E-52.0E-42.3796581.8403729E-41.0E-49.988535E-40.00102277667.0E-40.684411470.0012225722.0E-40.0099437570.0109657310.00580.52892050.0122514760.0013
8.28.643924E-65.5536157E-62.0E-436.0125731.0555306E-41.0E-43.704486E-52.3800994E-52.0E-48.403011.2379861E-41.0E-44.5092785E-42.8973864E-42.0E-40.69027733.8970966E-41.0E-40.00450013950.00329176380.00130.394925030.00369044724.0E-4
8.31.983087E-67.7872784E-70.00.07.7872784E-70.08.498917E-63.3374008E-60.00.03.3374008E-60.01.034694E-44.0632116E-50.00.04.0632116E-50.00.00103421244.792776E-41.0E-40.208647344.792776E-40.0

San Andreas (San Bernardino S)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2336002E-43.008007E-41.0E-40.332446044.007706E-41.0E-45.2857865E-40.00128853514.0E-40.310430050.00138840611.0E-40.0064164720.01558003950.00890.57124370.017548880.0020.062343370.142986860.08010.560191330.157127570.0165
6.11.2336002E-43.008007E-41.0E-40.332446044.007706E-41.0E-45.2857865E-40.00128853514.0E-40.310430050.00138840611.0E-40.0064164720.01558003950.00890.57124370.017548880.0020.062343370.142986860.08010.560191330.157127570.0165
6.21.2336002E-43.008007E-41.0E-40.332446044.007706E-41.0E-45.2857865E-40.00128853514.0E-40.310430050.00138840611.0E-40.0064164720.01558003950.00890.57124370.017548880.0020.062343370.142986860.08010.560191330.157127570.0165
6.31.1712257E-42.886753E-41.0E-40.346409953.8864644E-41.0E-45.018573E-40.00123661914.0E-40.323462580.00133649541.0E-40.0060930080.0149567580.00870.581676840.0169268440.0020.0592863220.137689050.07750.562862460.151572260.0161
6.41.1712257E-42.886753E-41.0E-40.346409953.8864644E-41.0E-45.018573E-40.00123661914.0E-40.323462580.00133649541.0E-40.0060930080.0149567580.00870.581676840.0169268440.0020.0592863220.137689050.07750.562862460.151572260.0161
6.51.0689076E-42.6879078E-41.0E-40.372036583.687639E-41.0E-44.5802278E-40.00115147684.0E-40.347380.00125136161.0E-40.00556217830.0139337430.0080.57414580.015807270.00190.054250030.128924850.07330.568548260.142339410.0154
6.69.7648895E-52.512251E-41.0E-40.39804943.5119997E-41.0E-44.1842813E-40.00107625844.0E-40.371657970.00117615071.0E-40.0050824690.0130290970.00750.57563470.0148056440.00180.0496778860.121098030.06950.573915240.134105770.0148
6.78.757013E-52.319215E-41.0E-40.43118043.318983E-41.0E-43.7524657E-49.93593E-44.0E-40.40257930.00109349371.0E-40.004559060.0120339940.00720.59830510.0138123330.00180.044666560.1123766150.06430.57218310.124714580.0139
6.88.562978E-52.275147E-41.0E-40.439532043.2749196E-41.0E-43.6693315E-49.747209E-44.0E-40.410373870.00107462341.0E-40.0044582630.0118067320.0070.59288210.013486660.00170.0436987580.110389280.06320.57251940.1225769450.0137
6.96.124075E-51.7128915E-41.0E-40.58380812.7127203E-41.0E-42.6243398E-47.338907E-43.0E-40.408780228.338173E-41.0E-40.00319045270.0088987220.00540.606828750.0103853740.00150.0314503460.084450250.05010.593248670.094979070.0115
7.05.8598747E-51.6557299E-41.0E-40.603963262.6555642E-41.0E-42.5111332E-47.0940633E-43.0E-40.42288888.093354E-41.0E-40.00305301860.0086030150.00520.604439260.0099909710.00140.030114140.081761240.04890.59808290.091861870.011
7.15.613814E-51.59752E-41.0E-40.625970242.5973603E-41.0E-42.4056983E-46.8447256E-43.0E-40.438293677.844041E-41.0E-40.00292500390.0083017940.00510.614325050.0096901710.00140.0288680210.079066320.04720.59696720.08901240.0108
7.24.991222E-51.4580184E-41.0E-40.68586242.4578726E-41.0E-42.1389198E-46.2471576E-42.0E-40.320145587.246533E-41.0E-40.0026010250.00757949330.00440.58051370.00886964050.00130.0257079120.072505670.04390.60546990.081966110.0102
7.34.7410045E-51.3773046E-41.0E-40.72605582.3771668E-41.0E-42.0317009E-45.901402E-42.0E-40.338902536.9008116E-41.0E-40.00247078970.00716137330.00410.57251590.008352780.00120.0244349820.068787380.04010.58295580.077447660.0093
7.44.5556746E-51.3179917E-41.0E-40.75873012.3178599E-41.0E-41.952286E-45.647316E-42.0E-40.354150536.6467514E-41.0E-40.0023743170.0068540110.00390.569009840.0079464720.00110.0234910860.066039990.0390.59055130.074165440.0087
7.54.3084514E-51.2414035E-41.0E-40.805539852.2412794E-41.0E-41.8463485E-45.319219E-42.0E-40.375995046.318687E-41.0E-40.00224561150.0064569910.00360.557535230.0074505340.0010.0222305450.062438050.03630.581376250.070313570.0084
7.63.408608E-59.8877055E-51.0E-41.0113571.9886717E-41.0E-41.4607502E-44.2369007E-42.0E-40.472043165.236477E-41.0E-40.00177701250.0051462520.0030.582948570.00604162049.0E-40.0176286960.050251890.02950.587042570.0567101760.0068
7.72.8315713E-58.297733E-51.0E-41.20514851.8296903E-41.0E-41.2134742E-43.5556869E-42.0E-40.562479264.5553313E-41.0E-40.00147640340.00432046460.00290.671224060.0052165769.0E-40.014666330.0424909260.02430.57188680.0478529780.0056
7.82.6222975E-57.508956E-51.0E-41.3317431.7508205E-41.0E-41.1237934E-43.2177276E-42.0E-40.621556644.2174058E-41.0E-40.00136735970.00391055220.00280.71601140.00480703269.0E-40.0135897680.038643020.02220.574489240.0434498080.005
7.92.1469694E-55.8261867E-51.0E-41.71638861.5825604E-41.0E-49.200973E-52.4966983E-41.0E-40.400528973.4964486E-41.0E-40.00111964280.00303549620.00230.757701460.00383306788.0E-40.0111401840.0303268710.01730.57045120.0345934330.0044
8.01.2420249E-53.1534346E-51.0E-43.17114541.315312E-41.0E-45.322855E-51.351402E-41.0E-40.739972232.3512669E-41.0E-46.478649E-40.00164409130.00110.66906260.00204343374.0E-40.00645979350.0166233980.00740.445155680.0183934760.0018
8.14.9197724E-67.903168E-61.0E-412.6531531.0790238E-41.0E-42.1084568E-53.387028E-51.0E-42.95244071.338669E-41.0E-42.566744E-44.1229278E-44.0E-40.97018436.122103E-42.0E-40.0025637810.0044251920.00140.31637050.0049229795.0E-4
8.22.5634774E-62.9441167E-61.0E-433.9660451.0294382E-41.0E-41.0986286E-51.2617582E-51.0E-47.9254491.1261632E-41.0E-41.3374983E-41.5360827E-41.0E-40.65100662.535929E-41.0E-40.00133669340.00172467274.0E-40.231928050.00192432782.0E-4
8.35.2850464E-73.258785E-70.00.03.258785E-70.02.2650179E-61.3966214E-60.00.01.3966214E-60.02.7576245E-51.7003747E-50.00.01.7003747E-50.02.7572823E-42.015122E-40.00.02.015122E-40.0

Little Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.8424427E-53.1212283E-50.00.03.1212283E-50.01.2181328E-41.3376081E-48.0E-45.9808258.336672E-47.0E-40.00148206770.00162745470.00583.56384750.0069188290.00530.0147222230.0161687750.02211.3668320.032303610.0164
6.12.8424427E-53.1212283E-50.00.03.1212283E-50.01.2181328E-41.3376081E-48.0E-45.9808258.336672E-47.0E-40.00148206770.00162745470.00583.56384750.0069188290.00530.0147222230.0161687750.02211.3668320.032303610.0164
6.22.8424427E-53.1212283E-50.00.03.1212283E-50.01.2181328E-41.3376081E-48.0E-45.9808258.336672E-47.0E-40.00148206770.00162745470.00583.56384750.0069188290.00530.0147222230.0161687750.02211.3668320.032303610.0164
6.31.48860645E-51.6084436E-50.00.01.6084436E-50.06.379586E-56.893163E-54.0E-45.8028513.6891096E-43.0E-47.7643775E-48.3894766E-40.00283.33751440.00343676630.00260.0077373050.0083606250.01231.47118190.0176820350.0094
6.41.48860645E-51.6084436E-50.00.01.6084436E-50.06.379586E-56.893163E-54.0E-45.8028513.6891096E-43.0E-47.7643775E-48.3894766E-40.00283.33751440.00343676630.00260.0077373050.0083606250.01231.47118190.0176820350.0094
6.51.2797581E-51.376811E-50.00.01.376811E-50.05.4845623E-55.9004997E-54.0E-46.7790873.589873E-43.0E-46.675408E-47.1817474E-40.00273.75953050.00321637930.00250.0066553920.00716108970.01141.59193650.0159973560.0089
6.69.661896E-61.0290833E-50.00.01.0290833E-50.04.1407468E-54.410292E-54.0E-49.06969453.440897E-43.0E-45.040193E-45.36837E-40.00213.9118020.0024358170.00190.0050287770.0053570070.00871.62404120.0124189720.0071
6.77.767871E-68.201055E-60.00.08.201055E-60.03.329045E-53.5146983E-53.0E-48.53558352.3513995E-42.0E-44.0523586E-44.278442E-40.00184.2071390.00202715960.00160.0040449770.00427155760.00751.75579990.0103455010.0061
6.86.4235196E-66.736853E-60.00.06.736853E-60.02.752908E-52.8871978E-53.0E-410.39069752.288662E-42.0E-43.35115E-43.514725E-40.00185.1213110.00195091010.00160.0033461010.0035104270.00591.68070730.0087918220.0053
6.93.1283696E-63.1125696E-60.00.03.1125696E-60.01.3407229E-51.3339524E-52.0E-414.9930381.1333819E-41.0E-41.6322079E-41.6239811E-40.00116.77347760.00116223570.0010.00163100950.00162294270.00332.03334360.00471791160.0031
7.02.290603E-62.228975E-60.00.02.228975E-60.09.816834E-69.552721E-61.0E-410.4682229.552721E-60.01.19513395E-41.1629921E-45.0E-44.29925545.162527E-44.0E-40.00119449140.00116248570.00221.89249650.00316016070.002
7.11.293693E-61.177863E-60.00.01.177863E-60.05.5443866E-65.0479784E-60.00.05.0479784E-60.06.750081E-56.14581E-52.0E-43.25424932.6144582E-42.0E-46.7480316E-46.144796E-40.00142.27835080.00201361930.0014
7.24.715842E-73.0926154E-70.00.03.0926154E-70.02.0210737E-61.325406E-60.00.01.325406E-60.02.4606294E-51.6136702E-50.00.01.6136702E-50.02.460357E-41.6135586E-42.0E-41.23949643.613236E-42.0E-4
7.33.9430947E-72.3105072E-70.00.02.3105072E-70.01.6898966E-69.90217E-70.00.09.90217E-70.02.0574296E-51.2055826E-50.00.01.2055826E-50.02.0572392E-41.2055179E-42.0E-41.6590383.2052767E-42.0E-4
7.43.547123E-71.9686148E-70.00.01.9686148E-70.01.5201948E-68.436918E-70.00.08.436918E-70.01.8508214E-51.02719E-50.00.01.02719E-50.01.8506673E-41.0271431E-42.0E-41.94714833.0269378E-42.0E-4
7.52.6354266E-71.4427935E-70.00.01.4427935E-70.01.129468E-66.183399E-70.00.06.183399E-70.01.3751187E-57.5282633E-60.00.07.5282633E-60.01.3750336E-47.5280135E-52.0E-42.65674352.7526508E-42.0E-4
7.61.269913E-77.574545E-80.00.07.574545E-80.05.4424834E-73.246233E-70.00.03.246233E-70.06.6262032E-63.952282E-60.00.03.952282E-60.06.626006E-53.9522154E-51.0E-42.53022651.395182E-41.0E-4

San Andreas (San Gorgonio Pass-Garnet HIll)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.31567E-52.344391E-41.0E-40.426550033.3441564E-41.0E-43.5633717E-40.0010043494.0E-40.398267920.00120414822.0E-40.0043297780.0121592920.00620.50989810.0137398360.00160.0424638280.1128316450.06550.58051090.125429440.0142
6.18.31567E-52.344391E-41.0E-40.426550033.3441564E-41.0E-43.5633717E-40.0010043494.0E-40.398267920.00120414822.0E-40.0043297780.0121592920.00620.50989810.0137398360.00160.0424638280.1128316450.06550.58051090.125429440.0142
6.28.31567E-52.344391E-41.0E-40.426550033.3441564E-41.0E-43.5633717E-40.0010043494.0E-40.398267920.00120414822.0E-40.0043297780.0121592920.00620.50989810.0137398360.00160.0424638280.1128316450.06550.58051090.125429440.0142
6.38.31567E-52.344391E-41.0E-40.426550033.3441564E-41.0E-43.5633717E-40.0010043494.0E-40.398267920.00120414822.0E-40.0043297780.0121592920.00620.50989810.0137398360.00160.0424638280.1128316450.06550.58051090.125429440.0142
6.48.059055E-52.3001047E-41.0E-40.43476283.2998747E-41.0E-43.4534236E-49.853884E-44.0E-40.40593130.00118519132.0E-40.00419643940.0119313190.0060.50287820.0134134220.00150.0411807450.110811830.06410.57845810.123260460.014
6.58.059055E-52.3001047E-41.0E-40.43476283.2998747E-41.0E-43.4534236E-49.853884E-44.0E-40.40593130.00118519132.0E-40.00419643940.0119313190.0060.50287820.0134134220.00150.0411807450.110811830.06410.57845810.123260460.014
6.67.619237E-52.2245095E-41.0E-40.44953733.224287E-41.0E-43.2649786E-49.530152E-44.0E-40.41972050.00115282462.0E-40.00396786770.011541780.00590.51118630.0130244670.00150.038977640.107347150.06240.58129160.119397970.0135
6.77.440636E-52.1920777E-41.0E-40.456188233.1918584E-41.0E-43.188454E-49.391259E-44.0E-40.4259280.0011389382.0E-40.00387503460.0113744510.00570.50112310.012857390.00150.0380815640.105855460.06120.57814680.1178370.0134
6.87.3735864E-52.1767865E-41.0E-40.45939283.1765687E-41.0E-43.1597257E-49.3257724E-44.0E-40.42891890.00113239072.0E-40.00384018150.0112955530.00560.49577030.012679740.00140.037744950.1051567940.06050.57533140.11705820.0133
6.97.27575E-52.1536741E-41.0E-40.46432283.1534588E-41.0E-43.117806E-49.2267897E-44.0E-40.433520230.00112249452.0E-40.0037893230.0111762840.00560.501060960.0125606380.00140.0372535620.104104550.06020.578264830.115930370.0132
7.07.102591E-52.1120526E-41.0E-40.473473043.1118415E-41.0E-43.0436125E-49.048537E-44.0E-40.442060440.00110467272.0E-40.0036993030.0109614640.00550.50175780.0123461170.00140.036383250.102205760.05920.57922370.113877090.013
7.17.028513E-52.0956052E-41.0E-40.477189123.0953955E-41.0E-43.0118722E-48.9780963E-44.0E-40.445528750.001097632.0E-40.00366078970.01087656150.00540.49648040.0122613350.00140.0360106860.101448560.05860.577632670.1130398660.0129
7.26.8498244E-52.056363E-41.0E-40.486295463.0561574E-41.0E-42.9353087E-48.81003E-44.0E-40.454027950.00108082692.0E-40.0035678830.0106739620.00520.487166820.0120590180.00140.0351114050.099639930.05770.57908510.111164540.0128
7.36.622592E-51.979015E-41.0E-40.50530192.9788172E-41.0E-42.8379448E-48.478758E-43.0E-40.353825420.00104770622.0E-40.00344972430.0102745110.00480.467175540.0116601260.00140.0339666120.096134080.05530.57523820.107342020.0124
7.45.1050705E-51.4739239E-41.0E-40.67846112.4737764E-41.0E-42.1877038E-46.315296E-42.0E-40.31669147.3146645E-41.0E-40.0026602760.007661960.00410.53511110.0088527660.00120.026286540.073082170.0410.56101230.081702510.0093
7.53.9302922E-51.1173577E-41.0E-40.894968572.1172459E-41.0E-41.6843023E-44.7878E-42.0E-40.41772845.787321E-41.0E-40.00204870920.0058136370.00270.46442530.0065095677.0E-40.0202992470.056204490.03080.54799890.06262230.0068
7.62.9851626E-58.533946E-51.0E-41.17179081.8533092E-41.0E-41.2792926E-43.656894E-42.0E-40.54691224.6565282E-41.0E-40.00155642590.0044432050.00220.495138080.0050405396.0E-40.01545569950.043369480.02410.55569030.048343960.0052
7.72.1135214E-56.387581E-51.0E-41.56553791.6386942E-41.0E-49.0576345E-52.7372476E-42.0E-40.7306613.7369737E-41.0E-40.00110220910.00332751170.00180.540944760.00372618064.0E-40.0109675820.032739920.01740.53146130.0364155060.0038
7.81.883379E-55.595829E-51.0E-41.78704521.559527E-41.0E-48.0713755E-52.3979922E-42.0E-40.834031053.3977523E-41.0E-49.822468E-40.00291565010.00180.6173580.00331448374.0E-40.00977916550.0288402890.01530.530507860.0320451150.0033
7.91.5156185E-54.1920215E-51.0E-42.3854841.4191603E-41.0E-46.495346E-51.7964569E-41.0E-40.556651232.7962774E-41.0E-47.9052144E-40.00218499380.00150.68650080.00258411984.0E-40.0078771520.0218805540.01120.511870.0246192890.0028
8.01.1405907E-53.017233E-51.0E-43.31429481.3016931E-41.0E-44.8881542E-51.2930359E-41.0E-40.77337382.2929066E-41.0E-45.9497025E-40.00157313530.00110.699240570.0019725064.0E-40.0059337980.0158654540.0070.441210180.0175384820.0017
8.14.3511436E-67.442611E-61.0E-413.4361451.0744187E-41.0E-41.8647626E-53.1896518E-51.0E-43.13513851.3189332E-41.0E-42.2701119E-43.8827103E-44.0E-41.03020825.8819336E-42.0E-40.00226779420.0041531240.00140.337095650.00465104735.0E-4
8.22.3042528E-62.7671629E-61.0E-436.1380961.02766884E-41.0E-49.875332E-61.1859216E-51.0E-48.43226051.1185803E-41.0E-41.2022553E-41.4437643E-41.0E-40.69263382.44362E-41.0E-40.00120160510.00161590994.0E-40.247538570.00181558672.0E-4
8.35.202968E-73.208977E-70.00.03.208977E-70.02.2298414E-61.3752752E-60.00.01.3752752E-60.02.714798E-51.6743861E-50.00.01.6743861E-50.02.7144665E-41.9840282E-40.00.01.9840282E-40.0

San Jacinto (Superstition Mtn)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.4193904E-59.610718E-50.00.09.610718E-50.02.7508775E-44.118289E-40.00.04.118289E-40.00.00334405010.00500388680.00290.57954950.0064963810.00150.032941740.0488790650.03410.69764020.060863190.0126
6.16.4193904E-59.610718E-50.00.09.610718E-50.02.7508775E-44.118289E-40.00.04.118289E-40.00.00334405010.00500388680.00290.57954950.0064963810.00150.032941740.0488790650.03410.69764020.060863190.0126
6.25.7023593E-58.324784E-50.00.08.324784E-50.02.4436394E-43.567371E-40.00.03.567371E-40.00.0029710720.00433626630.00230.530410230.0055310630.00120.0293166250.042558640.02870.67436370.052324540.0102
6.35.6940098E-58.3093146E-50.00.08.3093146E-50.02.4400617E-43.560743E-40.00.03.560743E-40.00.0029667280.0043282290.00230.531395140.00552303530.00120.0292743310.0424819920.02870.67558040.0522486750.0102
6.45.4171585E-57.758344E-50.00.07.758344E-50.02.3214328E-43.324674E-40.00.03.324674E-40.00.00282268130.0040419270.00230.569035530.00523707640.00120.027870960.039770290.02620.658783260.048796450.0094
6.54.375144E-55.6517936E-50.00.05.6517936E-50.01.874927E-42.4220388E-40.00.02.4220388E-40.00.00228033380.00294602080.00170.577049550.00384336929.0E-40.0225707570.0292886720.01890.64530070.035792440.0067
6.62.772192E-52.5580053E-50.00.02.5580053E-50.01.1880282E-41.096243E-40.00.01.096243E-40.00.00144546460.00133387816.0E-40.44981620.0016334783.0E-40.0143609860.01358678750.00840.61824770.0156582560.0021
6.72.7124124E-52.4790574E-50.00.02.4790574E-50.01.1624106E-41.06241096E-40.00.01.06241096E-40.00.00141431610.00129273716.0E-40.46413150.00159234933.0E-40.0140534870.0131801120.00830.629736660.0151537520.002
6.82.5475807E-52.225328E-50.00.02.225328E-50.01.0917746E-49.536778E-50.00.09.536778E-50.00.0013284250.00116049636.0E-40.51702020.00146014813.0E-40.01320511850.0118676240.00740.62354520.0134486360.0016
6.92.1162023E-51.7708095E-50.00.01.7708095E-50.09.069123E-57.588965E-50.00.07.588965E-50.00.00110360649.235687E-43.0E-40.324826960.00102347641.0E-40.0109814170.0094894030.00610.64282230.0105789650.0011
7.01.8754288E-51.62397E-50.00.01.62397E-50.08.037304E-56.959686E-50.00.06.959686E-50.09.781026E-48.470149E-42.0E-40.236123358.470149E-40.00.0097380870.0087108610.00470.53955630.0093056356.0E-4
7.11.8678527E-51.6164757E-50.00.01.6164757E-50.08.0048376E-56.927571E-50.00.06.927571E-50.09.7415317E-48.431078E-42.0E-40.237217588.431078E-40.00.0096989390.0086717510.00470.54198970.0092665496.0E-4
7.21.7804578E-51.545851E-50.00.01.545851E-50.07.6303106E-56.624909E-50.00.06.624909E-50.09.285943E-48.062865E-42.0E-40.248050788.062865E-40.00.0092472360.008302620.00460.5540420.0088976386.0E-4
7.31.6583685E-51.4606742E-50.00.01.4606742E-50.07.1070994E-56.259883E-50.00.06.259883E-50.08.649459E-47.6187635E-42.0E-40.26250987.6187635E-40.00.008615870.0078574690.00450.572703540.00845275456.0E-4
7.41.6387552E-51.447148E-50.00.01.447148E-50.07.023047E-56.201917E-50.00.06.201917E-50.08.5472054E-47.548238E-42.0E-40.26496257.548238E-40.00.0085144050.00778680060.00440.565058770.0083821296.0E-4
7.51.5790754E-51.4111401E-50.00.01.4111401E-50.06.767291E-56.047604E-50.00.06.047604E-50.08.236062E-47.36049E-42.0E-40.271721047.36049E-40.00.0082056040.00759698120.00430.56601430.0081924236.0E-4
7.61.4248672E-51.3128446E-50.00.01.3128446E-50.06.106431E-55.6263565E-50.00.05.6263565E-50.07.432043E-46.847953E-42.0E-40.292058086.847953E-40.00.0074072370.00707864850.00390.55095260.00767440166.0E-4
7.71.15449975E-51.0974111E-50.00.01.0974111E-50.04.947762E-54.7031062E-50.00.04.7031062E-50.06.022235E-45.724535E-42.0E-40.349373345.724535E-40.00.0060059410.0059470960.00310.52126280.0062453123.0E-4
7.89.1391985E-69.582113E-60.00.09.582113E-60.03.9167408E-54.1065556E-50.00.04.1065556E-50.04.767588E-44.9985904E-42.0E-40.400112784.9985904E-40.00.00475737270.00521244760.00280.537175660.0055108843.0E-4
7.96.973017E-67.4426357E-60.00.07.4426357E-60.02.9884017E-53.1896623E-50.00.03.1896623E-50.03.6377716E-43.8827272E-41.0E-40.257550933.8827272E-40.00.00363182250.00408370650.00220.53872630.004282892.0E-4
8.05.7638235E-66.315232E-60.00.06.315232E-60.02.4701867E-52.7065003E-50.00.02.7065003E-50.03.0070372E-43.294671E-41.0E-40.303520443.294671E-40.00.00300297140.00348262070.0020.574280140.00368192422.0E-4
8.15.1124434E-65.546099E-60.00.05.546099E-60.02.1910288E-52.3768784E-50.00.02.3768784E-50.02.6672508E-42.89347E-41.0E-40.34560582.89347E-40.00.00266405170.00306698170.00190.61950160.00326636832.0E-4
8.21.1075938E-65.406956E-70.00.05.406956E-70.04.7468216E-62.3172652E-60.00.02.3172652E-60.05.779102E-52.821236E-50.00.02.821236E-50.05.777599E-43.173936E-42.0E-40.630132444.1736185E-41.0E-4
8.31.3584393E-84.540229E-90.00.04.540229E-90.05.8218827E-81.9458126E-80.00.01.9458126E-80.07.0881396E-72.3690268E-70.00.02.3690268E-70.07.0881174E-62.6544185E-60.00.02.6544185E-60.0

Airport Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2387061E-51.310466E-51.0E-47.6308731.1310335E-41.0E-45.3086325E-55.616178E-57.0E-412.4639926.561281E-46.0E-46.461343E-46.8358355E-40.00527.60697030.00538037070.00470.00644258880.00681761930.01482.17084570.0185371710.0118
6.11.2387061E-51.310466E-51.0E-47.6308731.1310335E-41.0E-45.3086325E-55.616178E-57.0E-412.4639926.561281E-46.0E-46.461343E-46.8358355E-40.00527.60697030.00538037070.00470.00644258880.00681761930.01482.17084570.0185371710.0118
6.21.2387061E-51.310466E-51.0E-47.6308731.1310335E-41.0E-45.3086325E-55.616178E-57.0E-412.4639926.561281E-46.0E-46.461343E-46.8358355E-40.00527.60697030.00538037070.00470.00644258880.00681761930.01482.17084570.0185371710.0118
6.31.2387061E-51.310466E-51.0E-47.6308731.1310335E-41.0E-45.3086325E-55.616178E-57.0E-412.4639926.561281E-46.0E-46.461343E-46.8358355E-40.00527.60697030.00538037070.00470.00644258880.00681761930.01482.17084570.0185371710.0118
6.41.2387061E-51.310466E-51.0E-47.6308731.1310335E-41.0E-45.3086325E-55.616178E-57.0E-412.4639926.561281E-46.0E-46.461343E-46.8358355E-40.00527.60697030.00538037070.00470.00644258880.00681761930.01482.17084570.0185371710.0118
6.56.9922594E-67.3857477E-60.00.07.3857477E-60.02.996648E-53.1652853E-55.0E-415.7963654.316402E-44.0E-43.6478083E-43.8531076E-40.00369.3431080.00368403920.00330.0036418260.00384696430.00972.52146860.0120154190.0082
6.66.9922594E-67.3857477E-60.00.07.3857477E-60.02.996648E-53.1652853E-55.0E-415.7963654.316402E-44.0E-43.6478083E-43.8531076E-40.00369.3431080.00368403920.00330.0036418260.00384696430.00972.52146860.0120154190.0082
6.75.477277E-65.7867155E-60.00.05.7867155E-60.02.3473833E-52.4799996E-54.0E-416.1290363.2479255E-43.0E-42.8575645E-43.01902E-40.0039.9369990.00300108690.00270.00285389270.00301530260.00812.68629770.0098944970.0069
6.83.9950432E-64.2195566E-60.00.04.2195566E-60.01.7121502E-51.8083703E-53.0E-416.5895212.1808008E-42.0E-42.0843433E-42.201496E-40.002310.4474410.00231968730.00210.00208238930.00219958620.00622.8187120.00778726860.0056
6.92.95695E-63.1233722E-60.00.03.1233722E-60.01.2672582E-51.3385825E-52.0E-414.9411781.13384485E-41.0E-41.5427776E-41.629625E-40.001811.0454860.00176270180.00160.0015417070.00162865240.00412.51741860.00532262630.0037
7.01.456072E-61.5409898E-60.00.01.5409898E-60.06.2402937E-66.604231E-61.0E-415.1418086.604231E-60.07.597293E-58.0404556E-55.0E-46.2185534.803724E-44.0E-47.594696E-48.0385356E-40.00182.23921370.00240256730.0016
7.16.995192E-77.409844E-70.00.07.409844E-70.02.997936E-63.1756472E-60.00.03.1756472E-60.03.649926E-53.8663504E-52.0E-45.1728372.3865578E-42.0E-43.6493264E-43.8663505E-40.00112.845060.00148620980.0011

Green Valley 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.9629346E-51.7316075E-41.0E-40.57749812.7314344E-41.0E-44.2691303E-47.4188446E-42.0E-40.269583769.417361E-42.0E-40.00518528560.0089936280.00480.53371120.0106783390.00170.0506595150.085585890.06010.702218530.096101660.0115
6.19.88615E-51.7163092E-41.0E-40.58264562.7161377E-41.0E-44.2362334E-47.353318E-42.0E-40.271986079.351847E-42.0E-40.00514542360.008914510.00470.52723030.0105993550.00170.0502790440.0848724250.0590.6951610.095213370.0113
6.29.696895E-51.6801736E-41.0E-40.59517662.6800056E-41.0E-44.15515E-47.1985484E-41.0E-40.13891698.1978284E-41.0E-40.00504716670.00872768650.00450.515600560.0103137220.00160.049340630.083179770.05780.69488050.0932647960.011
6.39.275224E-51.5980966E-41.0E-40.62574442.5979368E-41.0E-43.9744904E-46.846977E-41.0E-40.146049867.846292E-41.0E-40.00482821050.0083029570.00430.517887830.00979050250.00150.0472464750.079317920.05520.69593350.088985080.0105
6.48.391499E-51.4374856E-41.0E-40.69565912.4373419E-41.0E-43.595861E-46.1590155E-41.0E-40.162363627.158399E-41.0E-40.0043691750.0074717080.00380.508585160.00876199550.00130.042842650.0716783850.04990.69616520.0810544340.0101
6.55.9519385E-59.940625E-51.0E-41.0059731.9939631E-41.0E-42.5505814E-44.2593988E-41.0E-40.234774925.2589725E-41.0E-40.00310091120.00517236770.00280.541338150.0062666780.00110.0305799660.0501807670.03570.7114280.057304410.0075
6.64.5361558E-57.4090676E-50.00.07.4090676E-50.01.9439218E-43.174824E-40.00.03.174824E-40.00.00236415580.003857540.00140.362925620.004554847.0E-40.0233916230.037698780.02750.72946660.0429914370.0055
6.73.8808106E-56.270957E-50.00.06.270957E-50.01.6630985E-42.6871765E-40.00.02.6871765E-40.00.00202294180.00326612170.00120.367408220.00376448875.0E-40.0200462560.032036650.02280.71168480.035811710.0039
6.82.2284667E-53.130395E-50.00.03.130395E-50.09.550222E-51.3415272E-40.00.01.3415272E-40.00.00116211920.00163208435.0E-40.306356730.00193159473.0E-40.0115606070.0161745620.01160.71717550.0182405970.0021
6.91.8050168E-52.4465095E-50.00.02.4465095E-50.07.735557E-51.04846185E-40.00.01.04846185E-40.09.4139716E-40.00127575763.0E-40.23515440.00137562991.0E-40.0093741910.01267696450.00870.68628420.0140592170.0014
7.01.4763166E-51.9595645E-50.00.01.9595645E-50.06.326917E-58.3978644E-50.00.08.3978644E-50.07.7002996E-40.00102196173.0E-40.293553080.00112185941.0E-40.0076736720.0101724260.00720.707795740.0111622530.001
7.11.2399713E-51.6314632E-50.00.01.6314632E-50.05.3140546E-56.9917995E-50.00.06.9917995E-50.06.467941E-48.5092103E-42.0E-40.235039439.50836E-41.0E-40.0064491480.0084770020.00590.696000750.0094685260.001
7.21.0584195E-51.3932011E-50.00.01.3932011E-50.04.5360044E-55.970726E-50.00.05.970726E-50.05.521186E-47.2669506E-42.0E-40.27521868.266224E-41.0E-40.00550748870.0072438370.00490.67643710.0082365940.001
7.37.998173E-61.0549708E-50.00.01.0549708E-50.03.4277433E-54.521226E-50.00.04.521226E-50.04.1724785E-45.503213E-42.0E-40.363424066.5026624E-41.0E-40.0041646530.00549021640.00370.673926060.00628582438.0E-4
7.46.7571127E-68.93814E-60.00.08.93814E-60.02.8958733E-53.830576E-50.00.03.830576E-50.03.5251552E-44.6627375E-42.0E-40.428932585.662271E-41.0E-40.00351956860.0046533490.00320.68767680.00535009157.0E-4
7.55.69878E-67.52065E-60.00.07.52065E-60.02.4423114E-53.2230964E-50.00.03.2230964E-50.02.9731085E-43.923422E-42.0E-40.509759074.9230293E-41.0E-40.0029691340.0039168740.00270.689325150.00431530744.0E-4
7.64.503664E-65.9396157E-60.00.05.9396157E-60.01.9301275E-52.545525E-50.00.02.545525E-50.02.3496768E-43.0987445E-42.0E-40.64542274.0984346E-41.0E-40.0023471940.0030947490.0020.646255970.00349351114.0E-4
7.71.0873546E-61.4112346E-60.00.01.4112346E-60.04.6600826E-66.0481343E-60.00.06.0481343E-60.05.6735033E-57.363358E-52.0E-42.71615221.736262E-41.0E-45.672055E-47.3612086E-43.0E-40.407541758.360473E-41.0E-4
7.84.9373917E-86.1790004E-80.00.06.1790004E-80.02.1160248E-72.6481428E-70.00.02.6481428E-70.02.5762572E-63.2241103E-60.00.03.2241103E-60.02.5762274E-53.2233616E-50.00.03.2233616E-50.0

Garlock (East)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5092507E-56.295866E-50.00.06.295866E-50.01.9323928E-42.6979743E-41.0E-40.370648443.6977045E-41.0E-40.00235014970.00328028250.00451.37183310.00547306570.00220.0232545040.032402080.0341.04931530.042561860.0105
6.14.5092507E-56.295866E-50.00.06.295866E-50.01.9323928E-42.6979743E-41.0E-40.370648443.6977045E-41.0E-40.00235014970.00328028250.00451.37183310.00547306570.00220.0232545040.032402080.0341.04931530.042561860.0105
6.22.6674514E-53.4553505E-50.00.03.4553505E-50.01.1431433E-41.4807824E-41.0E-40.67531872.480634E-41.0E-40.00139088840.00180139470.00281.55435110.00349833230.00170.013822150.0179024490.01941.08365060.0247771310.007
6.32.6674514E-53.4553505E-50.00.03.4553505E-50.01.1431433E-41.4807824E-41.0E-40.67531872.480634E-41.0E-40.00139088840.00180139470.00281.55435110.00349833230.00170.013822150.0179024490.01941.08365060.0247771310.007
6.42.5312667E-53.238142E-50.00.03.238142E-50.01.0847834E-41.3877031E-41.0E-40.720615272.3875643E-41.0E-40.00131992370.00168824860.00271.59929050.00338537850.00170.0131211120.016802080.01861.10700580.0233895050.0067
6.52.5312667E-53.238142E-50.00.03.238142E-50.01.0847834E-41.3877031E-41.0E-40.720615272.3875643E-41.0E-40.00131992370.00168824860.00271.59929050.00338537850.00170.0131211120.016802080.01861.10700580.0233895050.0067
6.62.246556E-52.81743E-50.00.02.81743E-50.09.627742E-51.2074154E-41.0E-40.828215362.2072946E-41.0E-40.00117154720.00146906050.00261.76983860.003066710.00160.0116539010.0146446030.01711.16766560.0207538060.0062
6.72.2241198E-52.7843893E-50.00.02.7843893E-50.09.531594E-51.1932565E-41.0E-40.83804282.1931372E-41.0E-40.00115985380.0014518450.00261.79082470.00304952220.00160.0115381870.0144738810.0171.17452960.020485590.0061
6.81.9528685E-52.3936049E-50.00.02.3936049E-50.08.369167E-51.0257914E-41.0E-40.974857032.0256889E-41.0E-40.00101846980.00124820530.00231.84264560.0027463330.00150.0101381470.01245520.01441.15614370.017985450.0056
6.91.3318621E-51.523086E-50.00.01.523086E-50.05.7078556E-56.527351E-51.0E-41.5320151.6526699E-41.0E-46.9470983E-47.94421E-40.00192.3916790.00209338820.00130.00692542040.0079557380.00951.19410670.0120231190.0041
7.01.1760853E-51.3138568E-50.00.01.3138568E-50.05.0402683E-55.630696E-51.0E-41.77597941.5630134E-41.0E-46.134799E-46.8532664E-40.00182.62648490.00198443580.00130.00611789060.00687183440.00851.23693320.0108443470.004
7.11.0064758E-51.0932549E-50.00.01.0932549E-50.04.3133965E-54.685296E-51.0E-42.13433671.4684828E-41.0E-45.2502943E-45.7028903E-40.00183.15629430.00186954760.00130.0052379070.0057289910.00721.25676580.0095072210.0038
7.29.768808E-61.0528209E-50.00.01.0528209E-50.04.186565E-54.5120134E-51.0E-42.21630551.4511563E-41.0E-45.095951E-45.4920267E-40.00183.27747870.00184848870.00130.00508428040.00551921270.0071.26829680.0091987910.0037
7.39.344516E-69.973293E-60.00.09.973293E-60.04.004731E-54.2742005E-51.0E-42.33961871.4273773E-41.0E-44.8746695E-45.2026316E-40.00173.26757720.00171963880.00120.00486399050.0052306070.00641.22356740.0086128230.0034
7.49.023491E-69.518881E-60.00.09.518881E-60.03.867153E-54.0794584E-51.0E-42.45130591.4079051E-41.0E-44.7072413E-44.965642E-40.00163.2221410.0015960180.00110.0046972830.00499376470.0061.20149840.0079787830.003
7.57.081253E-67.112707E-60.00.07.112707E-60.03.0347876E-53.0482679E-50.00.03.0482679E-50.03.6942272E-43.7106415E-49.0E-42.42545659.708415E-46.0E-40.0036880920.00373735510.0041.07027550.00563025430.0019
7.66.116396E-65.9830163E-60.00.05.9830163E-60.02.6212863E-52.5641248E-50.00.02.5641248E-50.03.1909486E-43.1213774E-48.0E-42.5629718.119817E-45.0E-40.00318637070.00314806520.00321.01649740.0045436580.0014
7.74.797145E-64.779705E-60.00.04.779705E-60.02.055903E-52.0484289E-50.00.02.0484289E-50.02.5027743E-42.493678E-48.0E-43.20811277.4924313E-45.0E-40.00249995760.0025210540.00261.03131470.00371802850.0012
7.83.4028885E-63.9985553E-60.00.03.9985553E-60.01.4583726E-51.7136554E-50.00.01.7136554E-50.01.775424E-42.0861764E-44.0E-41.91738344.0857593E-42.0E-40.00177400620.00211167340.0020.94711620.00300977299.0E-4
7.92.5928412E-63.389497E-60.00.03.389497E-60.01.1112129E-51.4526335E-50.00.01.4526335E-50.01.3528178E-41.7684384E-43.0E-41.6964122.7682615E-41.0E-40.00135199450.00179002810.00170.94970580.0023889546.0E-4
8.01.3743648E-61.6811745E-60.00.01.6811745E-60.05.8901214E-67.2050134E-60.00.07.2050134E-60.07.1709874E-58.771754E-52.0E-42.28004578.771754E-50.07.1686733E-48.876992E-48.0E-40.90120620.00118743293.0E-4
8.13.6733252E-73.1624552E-70.00.03.1624552E-70.01.5742813E-61.3553373E-60.00.01.3553373E-60.01.9166706E-51.6501122E-51.0E-46.06019351.6501122E-50.01.9165053E-41.6715302E-44.0E-42.39301683.671196E-42.0E-4

Panamint Valley

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0211835E-53.399739E-52.0E-45.8828052.3399059E-42.0E-41.2947287E-41.4569511E-47.0E-44.80455358.455931E-47.0E-40.00157519230.00177242430.0052.82099490.0060648030.00430.0156407360.0175898630.01941.10290790.0283963750.011
6.13.0211835E-53.399739E-52.0E-45.8828052.3399059E-42.0E-41.2947287E-41.4569511E-47.0E-44.80455358.455931E-47.0E-40.00157519230.00177242430.0052.82099490.0060648030.00430.0156407360.0175898630.01941.10290790.0283963750.011
6.23.0211835E-53.399739E-52.0E-45.8828052.3399059E-42.0E-41.2947287E-41.4569511E-47.0E-44.80455358.455931E-47.0E-40.00157519230.00177242430.0052.82099490.0060648030.00430.0156407360.0175898630.01941.10290790.0283963750.011
6.32.8573924E-53.211487E-52.0E-46.2276452.3210845E-42.0E-41.2245393E-41.3762806E-47.0E-45.08617268.375317E-47.0E-40.0014898570.00167436150.00472.80704020.0057674970.00410.014799080.016624060.01771.06472180.0270478450.0106
6.42.8573924E-53.211487E-52.0E-46.2276452.3210845E-42.0E-41.2245393E-41.3762806E-47.0E-45.08617268.375317E-47.0E-40.0014898570.00167436150.00472.80704020.0057674970.00410.014799080.016624060.01771.06472180.0270478450.0106
6.52.7468774E-53.0840125E-52.0E-46.4850582.3083396E-42.0E-41.1771801E-41.3216543E-47.0E-45.2963938.320729E-47.0E-40.00143227450.00160795370.00472.92296980.0057013610.00410.0142307820.0159696940.01711.07077810.026203610.0104
6.62.6135967E-52.9263689E-52.0E-46.83440832.2925784E-42.0E-41.1200648E-41.2540993E-47.0E-45.5816958.253221E-47.0E-40.00136282570.0015258230.00463.01476650.00561956740.00410.0135449820.0151599370.0161.05541340.0250083380.01
6.72.4498746E-52.7352397E-52.0E-47.31197362.2734693E-42.0E-41.04990395E-41.1721943E-47.0E-45.97170648.1713736E-47.0E-40.00127750840.00142623740.00433.0149260.0052208180.00380.0127018930.0141771050.01491.05099020.0233452580.0093
6.82.2244329E-52.494569E-52.0E-48.0174172.249407E-42.0E-49.532935E-51.0690584E-47.0E-46.54781778.06831E-47.0E-40.00116001690.00130082330.0043.07497570.004896140.00360.0115398020.0129379440.01351.04344250.0214266780.0086
6.91.9902658E-52.2299711E-52.0E-48.9687262.2229525E-42.0E-48.529431E-59.556679E-57.0E-47.324727.954999E-47.0E-40.00103796350.00116292320.00383.26762770.00455896930.00340.0103312880.0115738730.01221.05409820.0195801260.0081
7.01.8353881E-52.0575173E-52.0E-49.7204532.2057106E-42.0E-47.865712E-58.8176435E-57.0E-47.9386297.8811473E-47.0E-49.5722964E-40.0010730370.00373.44815680.0043694960.00330.0095311680.01068379450.01141.06703660.018301530.0077
7.11.7667631E-51.9781386E-52.0E-410.1105152.1977743E-42.0E-47.571623E-58.4774714E-57.0E-48.2571797.8471535E-47.0E-49.2145515E-40.0010316610.00363.48951840.00422835960.00320.0091764370.0102739070.01121.09014020.0177958250.0076
7.21.6381597E-51.8166309E-52.0E-411.0093912.1816268E-42.0E-47.020495E-57.785338E-56.0E-47.70679436.778067E-46.0E-48.544101E-49.474701E-40.00323.37741540.0037448170.00280.0085113250.0094391940.01031.09119490.0161750070.0068
7.31.4520491E-51.5972872E-51.0E-46.2606151.1597128E-41.0E-46.222919E-56.845346E-54.0E-45.8433864.6842606E-44.0E-47.57377E-48.331184E-40.00253.0007740.00303128550.00220.00754800950.0083031960.00881.05983290.0142533770.006
7.41.2852287E-51.4151001E-51.0E-47.0666381.1414959E-41.0E-45.5080065E-56.0645823E-53.0E-44.94675453.6062763E-43.0E-46.7039346E-47.381286E-40.00243.2514660.00283657850.00210.00668374640.00735983950.00821.11415470.0130178880.0057
7.51.1637851E-51.2842109E-51.0E-47.78688341.12840826E-41.0E-44.987555E-55.5036537E-53.0E-45.45092443.5502002E-43.0E-46.070656E-46.698795E-40.00243.58273390.00276847280.00210.0060540990.00668165930.00821.22724010.0123435740.0057
7.63.0068115E-63.3351353E-60.00.03.3351353E-60.01.2886271E-51.42933995E-52.0E-413.9924732.1429054E-42.0E-41.5687906E-41.7401553E-40.00137.47059770.00137380670.00120.00156768350.00174032120.00261.49397710.00403631850.0023

Hayward (No) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.3068506E-51.7426522E-42.0E-41.1476762.7424778E-41.0E-43.9880406E-47.466372E-46.0E-40.80360329.464879E-42.0E-40.00484463430.0090522990.00610.67386190.0104396260.00140.0474037040.0864938650.05250.60697950.0960856750.0105
6.19.055486E-51.6977437E-42.0E-41.17803422.6975738E-41.0E-43.880345E-47.27402E-45.0E-40.68737789.2725654E-42.0E-40.00471409040.0088202330.00590.66891660.0102078850.00140.0461533550.084390770.05180.61381120.09391310.0104
6.29.006742E-51.6897969E-42.0E-41.18357422.689628E-41.0E-43.859461E-47.239983E-45.0E-40.69060949.238535E-42.0E-40.00468877420.0087791650.00580.66065510.0101668740.00140.04591070.084014750.05160.61417780.0935410.0104
6.38.8336754E-51.6577414E-42.0E-41.20646082.6575755E-41.0E-43.7853114E-47.102678E-45.0E-40.70395989.1012573E-42.0E-40.0045988820.00861338250.00580.67337070.0100013240.00140.045048660.082506520.05080.615708950.091864950.0102
6.48.526157E-51.6003703E-42.0E-41.24971072.6002104E-41.0E-43.6535555E-46.8569335E-45.0E-40.72918898.855562E-42.0E-40.00443913460.0083165210.00560.67335850.0097048780.00140.0435149930.0798147840.04920.61642720.0888325940.0098
6.58.152396E-51.533587E-42.0E-41.3041322.5334337E-41.0E-43.493416E-46.570868E-45.0E-40.760934538.5695536E-42.0E-40.00424494180.0079708380.00550.69001530.0092604760.00130.041647650.076645760.0480.62625770.085509960.0096
6.67.987405E-51.5039995E-42.0E-41.32978762.503849E-41.0E-43.4227243E-46.444127E-45.0E-40.77590038.442838E-42.0E-40.00415920650.0078176590.00550.703535440.0091074960.00130.040822180.075238140.0470.62468320.084023370.0095
6.77.777665E-51.4678622E-42.0E-41.36252572.4677155E-41.0E-43.332859E-46.289328E-45.0E-40.794997458.28807E-42.0E-40.0040502080.00763052840.00550.72078890.0089206090.00130.0397718060.073511680.04630.629831850.082220670.0094
6.87.3284005E-51.3827685E-42.0E-41.44637372.3826302E-41.0E-43.140365E-45.924811E-45.0E-40.84390887.923626E-42.0E-40.00381669290.00718973670.00540.75107060.00848039050.00130.0375180360.0694186240.04360.62807350.077886920.0091
6.96.458263E-51.2154995E-42.0E-41.64541412.2153779E-41.0E-42.7675333E-45.2082486E-44.0E-40.76801257.207207E-42.0E-40.00336426640.00632270750.00460.727536440.0073163850.0010.0331378840.0613334960.0390.63586790.068842830.008
7.05.3853604E-51.0045085E-42.0E-41.99102352.004408E-41.0E-42.3078074E-44.3043293E-44.0E-40.92929696.303468E-42.0E-40.00280613520.00522799320.00410.78423970.0061232889.0E-40.0277096420.0510510280.03240.63465910.056934510.0062
7.14.4308683E-58.188011E-52.0E-42.44259551.8187192E-41.0E-41.8988053E-43.5086778E-44.0E-41.14003065.507976E-42.0E-40.00230934420.00426348950.00350.82092380.00506007868.0E-40.0228549260.0419055150.02660.63476130.046408560.0047
7.23.295973E-56.0924012E-51.0E-41.64138891.6091792E-41.0E-41.4124835E-42.610769E-43.0E-41.14908674.610247E-42.0E-40.00171834210.00317400140.00250.787649330.0039714628.0E-40.0170511570.031441630.01980.62973840.035509570.0042
7.32.452256E-54.530614E-51.0E-42.20720621.4530162E-41.0E-41.05092455E-41.941548E-42.0E-41.03010583.9411598E-42.0E-40.00127874960.0023612860.00190.80464630.0030596337.0E-40.01271416250.0235016720.01510.64250750.0265288170.0031
7.41.8829967E-53.4704895E-51.0E-42.8814381.3470142E-41.0E-48.069736E-51.4872683E-42.0E-41.34474723.486971E-42.0E-49.820475E-40.00180925520.00191.05015590.00250798887.0E-40.0097771890.0180687050.01180.65306290.0205235330.0025
7.51.26374125E-52.2997488E-51.0E-44.3483011.2299519E-41.0E-45.4159216E-59.855697E-52.0E-42.0292832.9853726E-42.0E-46.5918895E-40.00119927640.00121.00060330.00179855696.0E-40.006572370.0120263670.00760.63194480.0137059220.0017
7.64.666429E-68.509862E-60.00.08.509862E-60.01.9998828E-53.6470334E-50.00.03.6470334E-50.02.4345852E-44.4393708E-44.0E-40.90102864.4393708E-40.00.00243191980.00447341430.00220.491794380.0048716254.0E-4
7.73.8399318E-77.1806693E-70.00.07.1806693E-70.01.6456839E-63.077426E-60.00.03.077426E-60.02.003602E-53.746702E-50.00.03.746702E-50.02.0034213E-43.884248E-41.0E-40.257450073.884248E-40.0
7.82.5637698E-75.4068045E-70.00.05.4068045E-70.01.098758E-62.3172E-60.00.02.3172E-60.01.3377297E-52.8211545E-50.00.02.8211545E-50.01.3376492E-42.944142E-41.0E-40.339657552.944142E-40.0
7.91.7141245E-73.7572062E-70.00.03.7572062E-70.07.3462456E-71.6102301E-60.00.01.6102301E-60.08.944017E-61.9604377E-50.00.01.9604377E-50.08.943657E-52.0382134E-41.0E-40.490625742.0382134E-40.0
8.01.1808895E-72.770807E-70.00.02.770807E-70.05.060954E-71.1874881E-60.00.01.1874881E-60.06.161694E-61.4457572E-50.00.01.4457572E-50.06.161523E-51.4911758E-41.0E-40.670611741.4911758E-40.0
8.15.138535E-81.13073256E-70.00.01.13073256E-70.02.2022292E-74.845996E-70.00.04.845996E-70.02.6812106E-65.899984E-60.00.05.899984E-60.02.6811784E-56.05383E-50.00.06.05383E-50.0

San Andreas (Santa Cruz Mts) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.7221631E-41.3886303E-44.0E-42.88053634.388214E-43.0E-47.378611E-45.949936E-47.0E-41.17648330.00109469615.0E-40.0089465150.0072203670.00470.65093640.0087095370.00150.085947940.070990410.04270.601489660.080559220.0103
6.11.7221631E-41.3886303E-44.0E-42.88053634.388214E-43.0E-47.378611E-45.949936E-47.0E-41.17648330.00109469615.0E-40.0089465150.0072203670.00470.65093640.0087095370.00150.085947940.070990410.04270.601489660.080559220.0103
6.21.7221631E-41.3886303E-44.0E-42.88053634.388214E-43.0E-47.378611E-45.949936E-47.0E-41.17648330.00109469615.0E-40.0089465150.0072203670.00470.65093640.0087095370.00150.085947940.070990410.04270.601489660.080559220.0103
6.31.716926E-41.3805534E-44.0E-42.89738874.3801393E-43.0E-47.3561794E-45.9153367E-47.0E-41.18336450.00109123795.0E-40.0089194280.007178520.00470.654731040.0086677520.00150.085698090.070601650.04250.601968940.0800815150.0102
6.41.6392978E-41.3679561E-44.0E-42.92407044.3675458E-43.0E-47.02367E-45.8613723E-47.0E-41.19425950.00108584415.0E-40.0085178390.0071132480.00470.660738950.0086025780.00150.081986540.069824070.04230.605808260.079311860.0102
6.51.5742714E-41.2736555E-44.0E-43.14056664.2732735E-43.0E-46.745133E-45.4573995E-47.0E-41.28266230.00104546715.0E-40.008181320.0066244570.0040.60382310.0079158450.00130.0788659450.065279710.03970.60815230.074346490.0097
6.61.3038084E-41.1669526E-44.0E-43.42773154.1666024E-43.0E-45.5865536E-45.0002796E-47.0E-41.39992189.997779E-45.0E-40.0067804380.0060710790.00380.62591840.00736318670.00130.06577250.059708020.03610.60460890.068170650.009
6.71.2867592E-41.1395497E-44.0E-43.51015834.139208E-43.0E-45.5135164E-44.8828835E-47.0E-41.43357929.880442E-45.0E-40.00669206540.00592893460.00380.640924630.00722122660.00130.064940930.058417050.03530.604275640.066797140.0089
6.81.2801298E-41.1332945E-44.0E-43.52953274.1329546E-43.0E-45.485117E-44.8560853E-47.0E-41.44149039.853657E-45.0E-40.00665770050.00589649750.00380.644450370.0071888320.00130.064617380.058130550.03490.600372730.066513190.0089
6.91.269149E-41.1174811E-44.0E-43.5794794.1171457E-43.0E-45.4380763E-44.7883383E-47.0E-41.4618859.785944E-45.0E-40.0066007770.00581445820.00380.653543230.00710689970.00130.064081220.0574013180.03420.595805170.065601920.0087
7.01.2030331E-41.090361E-44.0E-43.668514.0900338E-43.0E-45.154837E-44.6721514E-47.0E-41.49823929.669815E-45.0E-40.0062579690.00567374560.00380.66975160.00696636970.00130.060846480.0560667960.03340.5957180.063995830.0084
7.18.049617E-55.45254E-52.0E-43.66801521.5451995E-41.0E-43.4493793E-42.3365956E-44.0E-41.71189224.3361282E-42.0E-40.00419153460.00284112940.00140.49276180.00333970885.0E-40.0411335160.0299156570.01640.54820790.033990010.0042
7.27.093979E-54.346831E-52.0E-44.6010531.4346396E-41.0E-43.0399222E-41.8627959E-43.0E-41.61048252.8626097E-41.0E-40.00369482530.00226561820.00120.529656770.0026647124.0E-40.036339940.0242082440.01320.54526880.0270380420.0029
7.36.193693E-52.9291405E-52.0E-46.8279421.2928847E-41.0E-42.6541698E-41.2552856E-42.0E-41.59326292.25516E-41.0E-40.00322666370.00152724057.0E-40.4583430.00182678243.0E-40.0318021330.0167071540.00990.59256050.0189687270.0023
7.45.906492E-52.7397451E-52.0E-47.2999491.2739471E-41.0E-42.5311083E-41.1741237E-42.0E-41.70339812.1740062E-41.0E-40.00307726980.00142855977.0E-40.490004030.00172813113.0E-40.0303500440.0156681070.00950.60632720.0178336390.0022
7.55.424296E-52.5020641E-52.0E-47.99340061.2501814E-41.0E-42.324491E-41.07226915E-42.0E-41.86520342.0721619E-41.0E-40.0028263950.00130470716.0E-40.459873320.00150444612.0E-40.0279071650.0143449360.00860.599514660.016217680.0019
7.64.43084E-52.0173753E-52.0E-49.9138721.2017174E-41.0E-41.8987931E-48.645607E-52.0E-42.31331351.8644743E-41.0E-40.00230932960.00105209475.0E-40.47524240.00125188432.0E-40.0228547830.0115562380.00650.56246680.01313774750.0016
7.74.118098E-51.9193818E-52.0E-410.4200221.191919E-41.0E-41.7647797E-48.225662E-52.0E-42.4314151.822484E-41.0E-40.0021465020.00100101455.0E-40.499493240.00120081442.0E-40.0212588660.011007730.00630.572325050.0124912190.0015
7.83.5408906E-51.881464E-52.0E-410.6300191.1881276E-41.0E-41.5174363E-48.063168E-52.0E-42.48041461.8062363E-41.0E-40.00184591319.812489E-45.0E-40.509554740.00118105262.0E-40.0183065520.0107852560.00620.57485890.0122690780.0015
7.92.5860836E-51.7541553E-52.0E-411.4014991.175398E-41.0E-41.10827445E-47.517592E-52.0E-42.66042641.751684E-41.0E-40.0013484899.1488275E-45.0E-40.54651810.00111469982.0E-40.0134033540.0100268330.00550.548528130.0115117920.0015
8.01.9777332E-51.5029343E-52.0E-413.3073021.1502784E-41.0E-48.4757245E-56.4409876E-52.0E-43.10511371.6440343E-41.0E-40.00103143097.839083E-45.0E-40.637829669.837515E-42.0E-40.0102665670.0086095420.00480.5575210.009898350.0013
8.11.468494E-51.2261045E-52.0E-416.3118231.1225982E-41.0E-46.293394E-55.254628E-52.0E-43.80616861.5254102E-41.0E-47.6595135E-46.3956337E-45.0E-40.781783348.3943544E-42.0E-40.00763316640.0070511260.00320.453828250.00794477959.0E-4
8.28.63836E-65.5477717E-62.0E-436.050511.0554722E-41.0E-43.7021015E-52.3775949E-52.0E-48.4118621.2377357E-41.0E-44.5063766E-42.894338E-42.0E-40.69100433.8940486E-41.0E-40.0044972490.00328872470.00130.395290020.00368740924.0E-4
8.31.983087E-67.7872784E-70.00.07.7872784E-70.08.498917E-63.3374008E-60.00.03.3374008E-60.01.034694E-44.0632116E-50.00.04.0632116E-50.00.00103421244.792776E-41.0E-40.208647344.792776E-40.0

West Napa 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.773104E-54.4545905E-50.00.04.4545905E-50.01.6169442E-41.9089885E-42.0E-41.04767532.9087975E-41.0E-40.0019668520.00232203350.00180.77518260.00331971140.0010.0194953480.0230113510.02080.903901760.0322927420.0095
6.13.773104E-54.4545905E-50.00.04.4545905E-50.01.6169442E-41.9089885E-42.0E-41.04767532.9087975E-41.0E-40.0019668520.00232203350.00180.77518260.00331971140.0010.0194953480.0230113510.02080.903901760.0322927420.0095
6.23.773104E-54.4545905E-50.00.04.4545905E-50.01.6169442E-41.9089885E-42.0E-41.04767532.9087975E-41.0E-40.0019668520.00232203350.00180.77518260.00331971140.0010.0194953480.0230113510.02080.903901760.0322927420.0095
6.32.147964E-52.4996629E-50.00.02.4996629E-50.09.2052345E-51.0712453E-42.0E-41.8669862.0711382E-41.0E-40.0011201610.00130355250.00120.920561250.00180290085.0E-40.0111453150.012969870.01180.909800950.0185959410.0057
6.42.147964E-52.4996629E-50.00.02.4996629E-50.09.2052345E-51.0712453E-42.0E-41.8669862.0711382E-41.0E-40.0011201610.00130355250.00120.920561250.00180290085.0E-40.0111453150.012969870.01180.909800950.0185959410.0057
6.51.688201E-51.955496E-50.00.01.955496E-50.07.234947E-58.380469E-51.0E-41.19325071.837963E-41.0E-48.804988E-40.00101991730.0010.98047170.00151940735.0E-40.0087701820.0101612220.00880.86603760.0146154960.0045
6.61.6846381E-51.9514642E-50.00.01.9514642E-50.07.219678E-58.363191E-51.0E-41.19571591.8362355E-41.0E-48.7864127E-40.00101781570.0010.98249620.00151730685.0E-40.0087517540.0101403980.00880.86781610.0145947650.0045
6.71.3396501E-51.5473894E-50.00.01.5473894E-50.05.7412315E-56.6315355E-51.0E-41.50794641.6630873E-41.0E-46.9877075E-48.0715393E-40.0011.2389210.00130675035.0E-40.00696577550.0080501360.00720.89439480.0118195450.0038
6.81.0139058E-51.1677143E-50.00.01.1677143E-50.04.3452383E-55.0044255E-51.0E-41.99823141.5003925E-41.0E-45.289043E-46.09174E-49.0E-41.47741030.00100893044.0E-40.0052764730.00608215060.00550.90428540.0087657290.0027
6.97.761281E-68.89475E-60.00.08.89475E-60.03.326221E-53.8120088E-51.0E-42.62328861.3811627E-41.0E-44.0489217E-44.6406468E-47.0E-41.50841058.6387905E-44.0E-40.00404155250.00463765770.00380.819379150.00632977350.0017
7.02.2109202E-62.3683883E-60.00.02.3683883E-60.09.475338E-61.0150196E-50.00.01.0150196E-50.01.1535613E-41.2357172E-42.0E-41.61849331.2357172E-40.00.00115296270.00123670037.0E-40.566022340.00153632943.0E-4
7.11.9008926E-62.0149791E-60.00.02.0149791E-60.08.146657E-68.635597E-60.00.08.635597E-60.09.918104E-51.0513334E-42.0E-41.90234611.0513334E-40.09.913679E-40.00105250146.0E-40.57007050.00135218563.0E-4
7.21.8495944E-61.9577728E-60.00.01.9577728E-60.07.926808E-68.390428E-60.00.08.390428E-60.09.650462E-51.021487E-42.0E-41.957931.021487E-40.09.6462725E-40.00102268286.0E-40.586692150.0013223763.0E-4
7.31.7883189E-61.8897184E-60.00.01.8897184E-60.07.664201E-68.098768E-60.00.08.098768E-60.09.330765E-59.8598066E-51.0E-41.01421879.8598066E-50.09.3268487E-49.872087E-44.0E-40.405182840.00118701132.0E-4
7.41.6520572E-61.7430496E-60.00.01.7430496E-60.07.0802257E-67.470191E-60.00.07.470191E-60.08.6198335E-59.094581E-51.0E-41.0995569.094581E-50.08.616491E-49.107507E-43.0E-40.32939860.00101065961.0E-4
7.51.4040345E-61.4813993E-60.00.01.4813993E-60.06.0172765E-66.3488387E-60.00.06.3488387E-60.07.325788E-57.72944E-51.0E-41.29375497.72944E-50.07.3233736E-47.7429926E-42.0E-40.258298078.742218E-41.0E-4
7.61.3013842E-71.447959E-70.00.01.447959E-70.05.57736E-76.205537E-70.00.06.205537E-70.06.790414E-67.5552152E-60.00.07.5552152E-60.06.790207E-57.6481294E-50.00.07.6481294E-50.0
7.78.541512E-89.774433E-80.00.09.774433E-80.03.6606474E-74.1890422E-70.00.04.1890422E-70.04.456829E-65.100147E-60.00.05.100147E-60.04.4567398E-55.1906267E-50.00.05.1906267E-50.0
7.85.6074793E-86.9435714E-80.00.06.9435714E-80.02.403205E-72.975816E-70.00.02.975816E-70.02.9258983E-63.62305E-60.00.03.62305E-60.02.9258597E-53.7064437E-50.00.03.7064437E-50.0
7.92.9475839E-83.8852686E-80.00.03.8852686E-80.01.2632502E-71.6651151E-70.00.01.6651151E-70.01.538006E-62.0272757E-60.00.02.0272757E-60.01.5379954E-52.0812508E-50.00.02.0812508E-50.0
8.01.3337122E-82.1798726E-80.00.02.1798726E-80.05.7159088E-89.3423104E-80.00.09.3423104E-80.06.959117E-71.1374257E-60.00.01.1374257E-60.06.959095E-61.1730147E-50.00.01.1730147E-50.0
8.12.6589986E-104.896824E-100.00.04.896824E-100.01.1395708E-92.0986395E-90.00.02.0986395E-90.01.3874274E-82.5550936E-80.00.02.5550936E-80.01.3874273E-72.621495E-70.00.02.621495E-70.0

Calaveras (No) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.8694856E-56.761747E-50.00.06.761747E-50.02.0867554E-42.8975765E-42.0E-40.6902322.8975765E-40.00.00253766450.00352209130.00240.681413350.00431927348.0E-40.025088810.0348421450.02860.8208450.042949470.0084
6.14.8694856E-56.761747E-50.00.06.761747E-50.02.0867554E-42.8975765E-42.0E-40.6902322.8975765E-40.00.00253766450.00352209130.00240.681413350.00431927348.0E-40.025088810.0348421450.02850.81797490.042949470.0084
6.24.7541962E-56.594738E-50.00.06.594738E-50.02.0373536E-42.8260172E-41.0E-40.35385492.8260172E-40.00.00247765610.00343526760.00220.64041590.0041328637.0E-40.0245021340.0340030120.02710.79698820.041730990.008
6.34.6717287E-56.478014E-50.00.06.478014E-50.02.0020158E-42.7760045E-41.0E-40.360229942.7760045E-40.00.00243472960.0033745770.00210.62230020.0040722157.0E-40.0240822640.0334151870.02630.78706730.040954550.0078
6.44.6276386E-56.414134E-50.00.06.414134E-50.01.983123E-42.7486336E-41.0E-40.363817162.7486336E-40.00.00241177860.00334136280.00210.62848610.00403902357.0E-40.023857710.0330938440.0260.78564460.0405390230.0077
6.54.5720994E-56.3341475E-50.00.06.3341475E-50.01.9593239E-42.714363E-41.0E-40.36841062.714363E-40.00.0023828670.0032997740.00210.636407260.0039974647.0E-40.0235747750.032691190.02580.78920350.0400427360.0076
6.64.549134E-56.299437E-50.00.06.299437E-50.01.949483E-42.6994897E-41.0E-40.370440362.6994897E-40.00.00237091190.00328172040.00210.639908250.00397942357.0E-40.0234577560.032516510.02570.79036780.0397726330.0075
6.73.701047E-55.0490173E-50.00.05.0490173E-50.01.5860666E-42.1636875E-40.00.02.1636875E-40.00.00192932580.0026311510.00160.60809890.00312983525.0E-40.0191266130.026190320.01940.74073170.031351510.0053
6.83.5523568E-54.8470778E-50.00.04.8470778E-50.01.5223498E-42.0771561E-40.00.02.0771561E-40.00.00185188510.00252604790.00160.63340050.00302478485.0E-40.0183652840.0251621660.01830.727282350.0299388730.0049
6.93.2946147E-54.478826E-50.00.04.478826E-50.01.4119013E-41.919358E-40.00.01.919358E-40.00.00171763440.00233435630.00150.64257540.00283318925.0E-40.0170441880.0232823730.01690.725870970.0276776030.0045
7.02.7682381E-53.7144746E-50.00.03.7144746E-50.01.1863338E-41.5918222E-40.00.01.5918222E-40.00.00144340440.00193635130.00140.72300930.00233557684.0E-40.014340650.0193724740.01350.6968650.0228046720.0035
7.12.471967E-53.340569E-50.00.03.340569E-50.01.05937135E-41.4315956E-40.00.01.4315956E-40.00.00128902150.00174160340.00120.68902030.0020410813.0E-40.01281570.0174463070.01210.69355650.0201974590.0028
7.21.9748062E-52.689025E-50.00.02.689025E-50.08.463181E-51.15238974E-40.00.01.15238974E-40.00.00102990520.00140215510.00120.855825360.00170173453.0E-40.010251450.0140897790.00980.695539650.016160190.0021
7.31.1603734E-51.5884763E-50.00.01.5884763E-50.04.9729337E-56.807586E-50.00.06.807586E-50.06.052865E-48.285229E-48.0E-40.96557380.00112827443.0E-40.00603640450.0083602690.00610.72964160.0097485640.0014
7.44.885381E-66.058302E-60.00.06.058302E-60.02.0937177E-52.5963895E-50.00.02.5963895E-50.02.5488032E-43.1606475E-42.0E-40.632781743.1606475E-40.00.00254588180.0032128210.00160.498004730.00361153584.0E-4
7.53.0571264E-64.17649E-60.00.04.17649E-60.01.3101904E-51.7899121E-50.00.01.7899121E-50.01.5950401E-42.1790012E-41.0E-40.458925872.1790012E-40.00.00159389570.00223191620.00120.537654640.00263102334.0E-4
7.61.764948E-62.81587E-60.00.02.81587E-60.07.564041E-61.2067958E-50.00.01.2067958E-50.09.208831E-51.4691756E-40.00.01.4691756E-40.09.205016E-40.00152252350.0010.65680430.00182206673.0E-4
7.71.3173734E-62.0763187E-60.00.02.0763187E-60.05.645874E-68.898478E-60.00.08.898478E-60.06.873634E-51.0833361E-40.00.01.0833361E-40.06.8715087E-40.0011351336.0E-40.528572440.00133490592.0E-4
7.89.4429885E-71.5628669E-60.00.01.5628669E-60.04.0469886E-66.697984E-60.00.06.697984E-60.04.9270973E-58.154492E-50.00.08.154492E-50.04.926005E-48.571436E-45.0E-40.583332840.00105697222.0E-4
7.96.388233E-71.1247364E-60.00.01.1247364E-60.02.7378112E-64.82029E-60.00.04.82029E-60.03.3332344E-55.8685462E-50.00.05.8685462E-50.03.3327343E-46.145594E-43.0E-40.488154627.1449793E-41.0E-4
8.03.087986E-75.805593E-70.00.05.805593E-70.01.323422E-62.488109E-60.00.02.488109E-60.01.6112543E-53.0292307E-50.00.03.0292307E-50.01.6111376E-43.1360646E-42.0E-40.63774193.1360646E-40.0
8.11.6725647E-72.7683552E-70.00.02.7683552E-70.07.168133E-71.1864374E-60.00.01.1864374E-60.08.7271665E-61.4444782E-50.00.01.4444782E-50.08.726824E-51.4989411E-41.0E-40.667137561.4989411E-40.0

King Range 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2462566E-51.3026107E-50.00.01.3026107E-50.05.34099E-55.5825174E-51.0E-41.79130661.558196E-41.0E-46.5007154E-46.7949446E-40.00223.23770120.00157888299.0E-40.00648173130.0067785790.01762.59641430.0149229950.0082
6.11.2462566E-51.3026107E-50.00.01.3026107E-50.05.34099E-55.5825174E-51.0E-41.79130661.558196E-41.0E-46.5007154E-46.7949446E-40.00223.23770120.00157888299.0E-40.00648173130.0067785790.01762.59641430.0149229950.0082
6.21.2462566E-51.3026107E-50.00.01.3026107E-50.05.34099E-55.5825174E-51.0E-41.79130661.558196E-41.0E-46.5007154E-46.7949446E-40.00223.23770120.00157888299.0E-40.00648173130.0067785790.01762.59641430.0149229950.0082
6.37.988484E-68.216509E-60.00.08.216509E-60.03.423591E-53.5213205E-50.00.03.5213205E-50.04.1674246E-44.286494E-40.0012.3329098.284779E-44.0E-40.0041596180.00428046750.00892.07921220.007964630.0037
6.47.988484E-68.216509E-60.00.08.216509E-60.03.423591E-53.5213205E-50.00.03.5213205E-50.04.1674246E-44.286494E-40.0012.3329098.284779E-44.0E-40.0041596180.00428046750.00892.07921220.007964630.0037
6.55.0522513E-65.084562E-60.00.05.084562E-60.02.1652326E-52.1790804E-50.00.02.1790804E-50.02.6358519E-42.6527166E-46.0E-42.26183225.651921E-43.0E-40.00263272740.00265061320.00441.65999320.0046453120.002
6.64.53682E-64.541192E-60.00.04.541192E-60.01.944337E-51.9462112E-50.00.01.9462112E-50.02.3669732E-42.3692605E-45.0E-42.11036325.3685496E-43.0E-40.00236445360.00236776520.00321.35148540.00386421360.0015
6.74.1144335E-64.0991795E-60.00.04.0991795E-60.01.7633167E-51.7567796E-50.00.01.7567796E-50.02.1466266E-42.1386733E-43.0E-41.40273883.1384593E-41.0E-40.00214455420.0021376250.00221.02917970.00313548720.001
6.83.8321214E-63.8095554E-60.00.03.8095554E-60.01.6423275E-51.6326567E-50.00.01.6326567E-50.01.9993502E-41.9875815E-43.0E-41.50937212.9873828E-41.0E-40.00199755230.00198680720.0021.00664020.00288501929.0E-4
6.93.4999944E-63.4659233E-60.00.03.4659233E-60.01.499989E-51.4853875E-50.00.01.4853875E-50.01.8260835E-41.8083116E-43.0E-41.6590062.8081308E-41.0E-40.00182458360.00180783590.00180.99566560.00270620879.0E-4
7.02.9470837E-62.8888921E-60.00.02.8888921E-60.01.26302975E-51.2380909E-50.00.01.2380909E-50.01.5376302E-41.5072731E-43.0E-41.99034932.5071224E-41.0E-40.00153656660.00150723590.00161.06154580.0022061817.0E-4
7.12.4850247E-62.3999512E-60.00.02.3999512E-60.01.0650062E-51.0285466E-50.00.01.0285466E-50.01.296568E-41.2521849E-42.0E-41.59720832.2520596E-41.0E-40.00129581170.00125246250.00120.958112540.00175183635.0E-4
7.22.1800304E-62.0781297E-60.00.02.0781297E-60.09.342954E-68.90624E-60.00.08.90624E-60.01.1374453E-41.0842816E-40.00.01.0842816E-40.00.00113686330.00108472129.0E-40.82970630.00138439583.0E-4
7.32.0378504E-61.9514785E-60.00.01.9514785E-60.08.733615E-68.363452E-60.00.08.363452E-60.01.0632657E-41.0182036E-40.00.01.0182036E-40.00.00106275710.00101868898.0E-40.78532320.00131838333.0E-4
7.41.4577047E-61.4106648E-60.00.01.4106648E-60.06.247291E-66.045693E-60.00.06.045693E-60.07.605811E-57.36039E-50.00.07.36039E-50.07.603208E-47.366743E-45.0E-40.6787260.00103645333.0E-4
7.58.0685743E-76.5434546E-70.00.06.5434546E-70.03.457956E-62.804335E-60.00.02.804335E-60.04.20998E-53.4142293E-50.00.03.4142293E-50.04.2091825E-43.4208022E-45.0E-41.46164556.419776E-43.0E-4
7.63.1239435E-71.3328665E-70.00.01.3328665E-70.01.3388321E-65.712284E-70.00.05.712284E-70.01.630016E-56.954684E-60.00.06.954684E-60.01.6298964E-47.0190894E-50.00.07.0190894E-50.0
7.71.7747207E-74.8011067E-80.00.04.8011067E-80.07.605944E-72.057617E-70.00.02.057617E-70.09.260198E-62.5051459E-60.00.02.5051459E-60.09.2598115E-52.5461713E-50.00.02.5461713E-50.0
7.82.1035538E-82.2159057E-90.00.02.2159057E-90.09.0152305E-89.496739E-90.00.09.496739E-90.01.0976038E-61.156228E-70.00.01.156228E-70.01.0975983E-51.1935838E-60.00.01.1935838E-60.0
7.91.4782963E-99.147127E-130.00.09.147127E-130.06.335555E-93.9209747E-120.00.03.9209747E-120.07.713538E-84.773615E-110.00.04.773615E-110.07.7135354E-76.891E-100.00.06.891E-100.0

Cady

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.9892565E-52.1863018E-50.00.02.1863018E-50.08.525106E-59.3695795E-50.00.09.3695795E-50.00.00103743740.00114024028.0E-40.70160650.00153978414.0E-40.0103260750.0113529160.01231.08342210.0195586870.0083
6.11.9892565E-52.1863018E-50.00.02.1863018E-50.08.525106E-59.3695795E-50.00.09.3695795E-50.00.00103743740.00114024028.0E-40.70160650.00153978414.0E-40.0103260750.0113529160.01231.08342210.0195586870.0083
6.21.9892565E-52.1863018E-50.00.02.1863018E-50.08.525106E-59.3695795E-50.00.09.3695795E-50.00.00103743740.00114024028.0E-40.70160650.00153978414.0E-40.0103260750.0113529160.01231.08342210.0195586870.0083
6.31.1117327E-51.2178886E-50.00.01.2178886E-50.04.764482E-55.219436E-50.00.05.219436E-50.05.7992124E-46.353126E-46.0E-40.9444179.3512196E-43.0E-40.00578410220.00633807060.00641.0097710.01051145050.0042
6.41.1117327E-51.2178886E-50.00.01.2178886E-50.04.764482E-55.219436E-50.00.05.219436E-50.05.7992124E-46.353126E-46.0E-40.9444179.3512196E-43.0E-40.00578410220.00633807060.00641.0097710.01051145050.0042
6.56.103093E-66.6732555E-60.00.06.6732555E-60.02.615585E-52.8599423E-50.00.02.8599423E-50.03.1840094E-43.4815492E-42.0E-40.574456934.481201E-41.0E-40.00317945120.00347732920.00280.80521570.0053707220.0019
6.65.817237E-66.3668494E-60.00.06.3668494E-60.02.4930776E-52.7286284E-50.00.02.7286284E-50.03.034899E-43.3217232E-42.0E-40.602097154.321391E-41.0E-40.00303075770.00331798060.00280.84388680.00521167650.0019
6.74.8846314E-65.341558E-60.00.05.341558E-60.02.0933967E-52.2892256E-50.00.02.2892256E-50.02.5484123E-42.7868935E-42.0E-40.717644933.7866147E-41.0E-40.00254549180.00278455440.00240.86189730.0043800990.0016
6.81.7788773E-61.9402564E-60.00.01.9402564E-60.07.6237375E-68.315367E-60.00.08.315367E-60.09.281505E-51.01236474E-42.0E-41.97557262.0122634E-41.0E-49.2776294E-40.00101205827.0E-40.69165980.00151155235.0E-4
6.97.5455404E-78.2987316E-70.00.08.2987316E-70.03.233799E-63.5565963E-60.00.03.5565963E-60.03.937079E-54.3301035E-51.0E-42.30941371.4329671E-41.0E-43.9363815E-44.3295894E-42.0E-40.461937586.3287234E-42.0E-4
7.06.8578805E-77.543308E-70.00.07.543308E-70.02.9390883E-63.2328442E-60.00.03.2328442E-60.03.578281E-53.9359496E-51.0E-42.54068281.3935556E-41.0E-43.577705E-43.9355774E-41.0E-40.25409234.9351837E-41.0E-4

Ortigalita (North)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.711876E-51.0512432E-42.0E-41.90250922.0511381E-41.0E-43.3046713E-44.5045366E-45.0E-41.1099925.504086E-41.0E-40.0040160160.0054716530.00460.840696630.0065656340.00110.0394421030.0534894650.04120.770245130.060304340.0072
6.14.607858E-56.027583E-50.00.06.027583E-50.01.9746469E-42.5830086E-42.0E-40.774290862.5830086E-40.00.00240148180.00314059550.00250.796027360.00373871116.0E-40.0237569530.030993230.02460.79372170.0354506630.0046
6.24.607858E-56.027583E-50.00.06.027583E-50.01.9746469E-42.5830086E-42.0E-40.774290862.5830086E-40.00.00240148180.00314059550.00250.796027360.00373871116.0E-40.0237569530.030993230.02460.79372170.0354506630.0046
6.33.327423E-54.2499472E-50.00.04.2499472E-50.01.4259605E-41.8212963E-41.0E-40.54905951.8212963E-40.00.00173472440.00221542080.00170.76734860.00261453474.0E-40.0172124520.02195760.01660.75600240.025185140.0033
6.42.7732503E-53.501747E-50.00.03.501747E-50.01.1884817E-41.5006775E-41.0E-40.66636571.5006775E-40.00.0014460160.00182577760.00120.65725420.00212522973.0E-40.0143664280.0181307440.01360.75010710.0208799780.0028
6.52.7689714E-53.496727E-50.00.03.496727E-50.01.186648E-41.4985261E-41.0E-40.667322341.4985261E-40.00.00144378640.00182316270.00120.658196870.00212261573.0E-40.0143444210.0181050230.01360.75117280.0208543280.0028
6.62.2976905E-52.8732931E-50.00.02.8732931E-50.09.846873E-51.2313675E-41.0E-40.812105241.2313675E-40.00.00119819750.00149839770.00120.80085550.00179794813.0E-40.0119175740.0149062670.01190.798321960.0172704920.0024
6.71.9871539E-52.4917535E-50.00.02.4917535E-50.08.516096E-51.0678647E-41.0E-40.93644821.0678647E-40.00.00103634150.00129959230.00120.923366550.00159920243.0E-40.0103152180.01294360.01070.82666340.0152138290.0023
6.86.5640475E-67.6078904E-60.00.07.6078904E-60.02.813133E-53.2604854E-51.0E-43.0670283.2604854E-50.03.424451E-43.9689467E-42.0E-40.503912033.9689467E-40.00.00341917880.00396214570.00290.73192670.00446016435.0E-4
6.95.6219683E-66.503859E-60.00.06.503859E-60.02.4093928E-52.7873399E-51.0E-43.587652.7873399E-50.02.933041E-43.3930838E-41.0E-40.294717163.3930838E-40.00.00292917270.00338816010.00250.73786360.00378680494.0E-4
7.03.875591E-64.486155E-60.00.04.486155E-60.01.6609569E-51.9226249E-51.0E-45.2012231.9226249E-50.02.0220275E-42.3405654E-41.0E-40.42724722.3405654E-40.00.00202018860.00233830860.00180.769787130.00273737334.0E-4
7.11.6017933E-61.8576296E-60.00.01.8576296E-60.06.8648105E-67.961251E-60.00.07.961251E-60.08.357586E-59.692499E-50.00.09.692499E-50.08.3544437E-49.6893194E-47.0E-40.722444950.00116873812.0E-4

Maacama 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.368203E-42.5820537E-41.0E-40.38728862.5820537E-40.05.862409E-40.00110603741.0E-40.090412860.00110603740.00.00711414960.0133655260.00680.50877160.0142534969.0E-40.068906670.1243183240.06140.49389340.131061080.0077
6.11.368203E-42.5820537E-41.0E-40.38728862.5820537E-40.05.862409E-40.00110603741.0E-40.090412860.00110603740.00.00711414960.0133655260.00680.50877160.0142534969.0E-40.068906670.1243183240.06140.49389340.131061080.0077
6.21.360743E-42.569513E-41.0E-40.38917882.569513E-40.05.8304524E-40.00110066791.0E-40.090853930.00110066790.00.0070754960.0133010260.00680.511238750.0141890559.0E-40.068544130.123752370.06090.49211180.130499480.0077
6.31.1917239E-42.2388119E-41.0E-40.44666552.2388119E-40.05.1063887E-49.590585E-41.0E-40.104268929.590585E-40.00.00619932030.0116014790.00580.499936250.0122933577.0E-40.0602920650.108966470.05290.485470440.11493640.0067
6.41.1859289E-42.2291631E-41.0E-40.448598862.2291631E-40.05.0815626E-49.549265E-41.0E-40.10472019.549265E-40.00.0061692660.0115517610.00580.502087950.0122436747.0E-40.060007840.108523040.05270.485611170.114406790.0066
6.51.09512424E-42.0543968E-41.0E-40.486760882.0543968E-40.04.6925453E-48.801129E-41.0E-40.113621798.801129E-40.00.0056982180.0106527370.00530.49752470.0112463456.0E-40.0555430280.100611850.04820.479068820.1060981150.0061
6.61.0502928E-41.9700814E-41.0E-40.50759331.9700814E-40.04.500478E-48.4401114E-41.0E-40.1184818458.4401114E-40.00.00546557460.0102185820.00520.508876860.010812456.0E-40.0533308870.096762570.04690.484691560.102001350.0058
6.79.739358E-51.8284019E-41.0E-40.54692571.8284019E-40.04.173343E-47.833297E-41.0E-40.127660167.833297E-40.00.00506921350.0094881460.00470.495354980.009884354.0E-40.0495512670.090232030.04320.478765670.095326730.0056
6.88.969524E-51.668103E-41.0E-40.59948331.668103E-40.03.8435153E-47.1468053E-41.0E-40.139922667.1468053E-40.00.00466944320.0086609280.00430.496482580.0090574644.0E-40.0457253870.082757150.03980.480925230.087435090.0051
6.97.838291E-51.4439215E-41.0E-40.692558471.4439215E-40.03.358835E-46.1865116E-41.0E-40.161641996.1865116E-40.00.00408171540.00750220430.00370.49318840.0078992034.0E-40.040075540.072147110.03440.476803570.0765080150.0047
7.06.961957E-51.2726351E-41.0E-40.78577121.2726351E-40.02.9833548E-45.4529234E-41.0E-40.183387885.4529234E-40.00.00362618570.0066161340.00340.51389530.00701348764.0E-40.0356758270.06395770.03060.478441240.068076280.0044
7.15.999398E-51.09215245E-40.00.01.09215245E-40.02.570917E-44.6797498E-40.00.04.6797498E-40.00.00312559940.0056811870.00280.492854740.00597948263.0E-40.0308200160.0552161930.02620.474498480.058806370.0038
7.25.116532E-59.319736E-50.00.09.319736E-50.02.1926152E-43.9935124E-40.00.03.9935124E-40.00.0026662410.00485053150.00240.494791150.0050495612.0E-40.0263447740.0473724940.02250.474959140.0507066920.0035
7.34.2087835E-57.6286524E-50.00.07.6286524E-50.01.8036396E-43.2689763E-40.00.03.2689763E-40.00.00219371960.00397224770.0020.503493250.00417145342.0E-40.02172190.0389615930.01910.490226360.041844710.003
7.42.8991652E-55.1238512E-50.00.05.1238512E-50.01.2424402E-42.1957472E-40.00.02.1957472E-40.00.00151162130.00266999430.00170.63670550.00286946032.0E-40.0150138010.0263692660.01340.50816740.028413890.0021
7.51.1292299E-61.4962387E-60.00.01.4962387E-60.04.8395473E-66.412443E-60.00.06.412443E-60.05.8919897E-57.806994E-50.00.07.806994E-50.05.890428E-47.81124E-43.0E-40.384061968.810459E-41.0E-4
7.62.6535366E-73.4764884E-70.00.03.4764884E-70.01.1372296E-61.4899227E-60.00.01.4899227E-60.01.3845682E-51.8139659E-50.00.01.8139659E-50.01.3844819E-41.8191144E-40.00.01.8191144E-40.0
7.79.727789E-81.2323821E-70.00.01.2323821E-70.04.1690518E-75.2816364E-70.00.05.2816364E-70.05.0758085E-66.430373E-60.00.06.430373E-60.05.0756928E-56.467501E-50.00.06.467501E-50.0
7.86.1939325E-97.727789E-90.00.07.727789E-90.02.6545425E-83.3119097E-80.00.03.3119097E-80.03.231905E-74.032249E-70.00.04.032249E-70.03.2319003E-64.067872E-60.00.04.067872E-60.0

Santa Ynez (West)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.7352758E-55.49916E-50.00.05.49916E-50.02.0292461E-42.3565863E-41.0E-40.424342632.3565863E-40.00.00246780760.00286563930.00170.593235850.00336420655.0E-40.0244058180.0283149850.02370.837012650.0341450940.006
6.14.7352758E-55.49916E-50.00.05.49916E-50.02.0292461E-42.3565863E-41.0E-40.424342632.3565863E-40.00.00246780760.00286563930.00140.488547180.0032644934.0E-40.0244058180.0283149850.02030.716934860.0329790750.0048
6.23.0415853E-53.393571E-50.00.03.393571E-50.01.3034715E-41.4543084E-40.00.01.4543084E-40.00.00158582120.00176921686.0E-40.339133080.0019688632.0E-40.0157455220.0175552650.01460.83165940.021190310.0037
6.33.0415853E-53.393571E-50.00.03.393571E-50.01.3034715E-41.4543084E-40.00.01.4543084E-40.00.00158582120.00176921686.0E-40.339133080.0019688632.0E-40.0157455220.0175552650.01460.83165940.021190310.0037
6.42.5452082E-52.7920501E-50.00.02.7920501E-50.01.09075794E-41.1965389E-40.00.01.1965389E-40.00.00132718870.00145583164.0E-40.274757060.0015556861.0E-40.0131929020.0144651140.01180.81575580.0168303980.0024
6.52.3143784E-52.5135165E-50.00.02.5135165E-50.09.9183875E-51.0771777E-40.00.01.0771777E-40.00.00120689480.00131068952.0E-40.152591440.00141055851.0E-40.0120036110.0130312610.01080.82877630.0151038950.0021
6.61.9118515E-52.035951E-50.00.02.035951E-50.08.193392E-58.725217E-50.00.08.725217E-50.09.97089E-40.00106178542.0E-40.188361990.00116167921.0E-40.009926270.0105680350.00850.80431220.0120521830.0015
6.71.722807E-51.8150777E-50.00.01.8150777E-50.07.3832496E-57.778675E-50.00.07.778675E-50.08.985399E-49.4664784E-41.0E-40.1056359049.4664784E-40.00.0089491540.00942680.00720.76377990.0107145450.0013
6.81.5317364E-51.5930196E-50.00.01.5930196E-50.06.56442E-56.827051E-50.00.06.827051E-50.07.98925E-48.308807E-41.0E-40.120354228.308807E-40.00.0079605890.008278230.00620.74895240.0094682970.0012
6.91.3071226E-51.3332525E-50.00.01.3332525E-50.05.6018336E-55.7138153E-50.00.05.7138153E-50.06.8180985E-46.9543725E-41.0E-40.143794436.9543725E-40.00.00679721730.00693287050.00540.77889810.0079259380.001
7.01.1836986E-51.1935314E-50.00.01.1935314E-50.05.0728955E-55.1150353E-50.00.05.1150353E-50.06.1745E-46.225793E-41.0E-40.16062216.225793E-40.00.0061573720.00620854460.0050.80534170.0072023360.001
7.11.0597169E-51.0544395E-50.00.01.0544395E-50.04.541565E-54.518949E-50.00.04.518949E-50.05.5279525E-45.5004423E-41.0E-40.181803555.5004423E-40.00.00551422130.00548695960.00430.783676270.006282578.0E-4
7.29.59113E-69.461171E-60.00.09.461171E-60.04.11042E-54.0547253E-50.00.04.0547253E-50.05.0032866E-44.9355207E-41.0E-40.202612884.9355207E-40.00.0049920370.00492467820.00410.832541760.00562123077.0E-4
7.38.586084E-68.381451E-60.00.08.381451E-60.03.679698E-53.5920013E-50.00.03.5920013E-50.04.4791115E-44.3723945E-41.0E-40.228707634.3723945E-40.00.0044700940.00436390330.00350.80203430.00506084837.0E-4
7.47.2622997E-66.95318E-60.00.06.95318E-60.03.112377E-52.9799008E-50.00.02.9799008E-50.03.78866E-43.627435E-41.0E-40.27567693.627435E-40.00.00378220740.00362161430.00310.85597190.0043190797.0E-4
7.55.627296E-65.252651E-60.00.05.252651E-60.02.411676E-52.2511173E-50.00.02.2511173E-50.02.9358198E-42.7403978E-41.0E-40.364910542.7403978E-40.00.00293194430.00273709050.00250.913378660.00343517457.0E-4
7.62.265244E-62.0611387E-60.00.02.0611387E-60.09.708152E-68.833423E-60.00.08.833423E-60.01.18190335E-41.07541695E-40.00.01.07541695E-40.00.0011812750.00107490527.0E-40.651220260.00137458263.0E-4
7.71.3099874E-61.1017688E-60.00.01.1017688E-60.05.61422E-64.7218577E-60.00.04.7218577E-60.06.8350986E-55.7487126E-50.00.05.7487126E-50.06.832996E-45.74725E-43.0E-40.52198887.7461003E-42.0E-4
7.87.903951E-76.07186E-70.00.06.07186E-70.03.3874032E-62.6022233E-60.00.02.6022233E-60.04.1240855E-53.1681622E-50.00.03.1681622E-50.04.12332E-43.1677238E-41.0E-40.31568413.1677238E-40.0
7.97.0753297E-95.090426E-90.00.05.090426E-90.03.032284E-82.1816112E-80.00.02.1816112E-80.03.6918053E-72.6561113E-70.00.02.6561113E-70.03.691799E-62.6561092E-60.00.02.6561092E-60.0

Elmore Ranch

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.102099E-58.962159E-50.00.08.962159E-50.03.9003167E-43.8403473E-42.0E-40.52078623.8403473E-40.00.00473830.00466620550.00320.6857820.0052634066.0E-40.0463853480.045883160.0340.74101260.0530390370.0075
6.13.8306698E-54.1530962E-50.00.04.1530962E-50.01.6416123E-41.7798175E-42.0E-41.12371081.7798175E-40.00.00199683060.0021652180.00150.69277090.0023647852.0E-40.0197898280.0216217840.01460.67524490.0243612430.0028
6.23.8306698E-54.1530962E-50.00.04.1530962E-50.01.6416123E-41.7798175E-42.0E-41.12371081.7798175E-40.00.00199683060.0021652180.00150.69277090.0023647852.0E-40.0197898280.0216217840.01460.67524490.0243612430.0028
6.33.3197924E-53.6583027E-50.00.03.6583027E-50.01.4226905E-41.5677896E-41.0E-40.63784071.5677896E-40.00.00173074950.00190765030.00110.576625650.00200745951.0E-40.0171733180.0190813280.01320.691775740.0215336250.0025
6.42.5148964E-52.744243E-50.00.02.744243E-50.01.0777682E-41.1760877E-41.0E-40.85027671.1760877E-40.00.00131139290.00143159530.0010.698521440.0015314521.0E-40.013036810.0143826740.00960.667469740.0159596610.0016
6.52.5148964E-52.744243E-50.00.02.744243E-50.01.0777682E-41.1760877E-41.0E-40.85027671.1760877E-40.00.00131139290.00143159530.0010.698521440.0015314521.0E-40.013036810.0143826740.00960.667469740.0159596610.0016

San Andreas (North Coast) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5333705E-47.167932E-52.0E-42.7902051.7167216E-41.0E-46.5699324E-43.071611E-43.0E-40.97668624.071304E-41.0E-40.0079695950.0037333080.00250.66964740.00423144135.0E-40.07689770.0396602680.02290.57740410.046766780.0074
6.11.5333705E-47.167932E-52.0E-42.7902051.7167216E-41.0E-46.5699324E-43.071611E-43.0E-40.97668624.071304E-41.0E-40.0079695950.0037333080.00250.66964740.00423144135.0E-40.07689770.0396602680.02290.57740410.046766780.0074
6.21.3912938E-46.1015588E-52.0E-43.27785091.6100949E-41.0E-45.961325E-42.6146934E-43.0E-41.14736213.6144318E-41.0E-40.0072337870.00317876950.00240.75500910.003677185.0E-40.070027980.0339584830.01990.58600970.039947940.0062
6.31.3912938E-46.1015588E-52.0E-43.27785091.6100949E-41.0E-45.961325E-42.6146934E-43.0E-41.14736213.6144318E-41.0E-40.0072337870.00317876950.00240.75500910.003677185.0E-40.070027980.0339584830.01990.58600970.039947940.0062
6.41.2623647E-45.0898136E-52.0E-43.9294171.5089304E-41.0E-45.4090127E-42.1811674E-43.0E-41.37541023.1809494E-41.0E-40.00656560580.00265235760.00170.640939240.0029515623.0E-40.063749810.0285518260.01570.54987730.0333119220.0049
6.51.1736096E-44.394048E-52.0E-44.5516121.4393608E-41.0E-45.028786E-41.8830283E-43.0E-41.59317842.88284E-41.0E-40.0061053730.0022901930.00170.74229550.00258950593.0E-40.059403350.0248051960.01390.560366450.0289010140.0042
6.61.1586959E-44.2833766E-52.0E-44.6692141.4282948E-41.0E-44.964894E-41.8356045E-43.0E-41.6343392.835421E-41.0E-40.0060280180.00223257440.00160.716661450.00253190453.0E-40.0586710240.0242078710.01360.56180080.0283061970.0042
6.71.13693764E-44.1136653E-52.0E-44.8618441.4113254E-41.0E-44.87168E-41.7628811E-43.0E-41.70175962.762705E-41.0E-40.0059151520.00214421120.00160.746195140.0024435683.0E-40.0576015930.023294840.01310.56235630.0272016620.004
6.81.1204889E-44.034739E-52.0E-44.956951.4034336E-41.0E-44.8012115E-41.72906E-43.0E-41.73504672.7288872E-41.0E-40.0058298190.00210311430.00160.76077650.00240248353.0E-40.056792320.0228520130.0130.56887770.0267606040.004
6.91.1005794E-43.9394883E-52.0E-45.0768021.3939095E-41.0E-44.7159163E-41.6882436E-43.0E-41.77699462.688075E-41.0E-40.00572652280.0020535150.00150.73045480.00235289923.0E-40.0558118520.0223146450.01260.56465160.0261276180.0039
7.01.0647948E-43.753372E-52.0E-45.32854181.3752996E-41.0E-44.562608E-41.6084897E-43.0E-41.86510362.608329E-41.0E-40.00554083570.0019565930.00150.766638760.0022560063.0E-40.0540470330.0212681720.01170.55011780.0244979880.0033
7.11.04795035E-43.657561E-52.0E-45.4681251.3657195E-41.0E-44.4904428E-41.5674328E-43.0E-41.91395762.567276E-41.0E-40.00545341750.00190669470.00150.78670170.00220612273.0E-40.0532151650.0207309650.01120.540254650.0237666980.0031
7.21.02724036E-43.5474754E-52.0E-45.6378121.3547121E-41.0E-44.401716E-41.520259E-43.0E-41.9733482.5201068E-41.0E-40.00534592850.00184935950.00140.757018860.00214880473.0E-40.0521913950.0201161860.01090.541852240.0231538270.0031
7.31.00650694E-43.4934947E-52.0E-45.72492651.3493146E-41.0E-44.312888E-41.497127E-43.0E-42.0038382.4969774E-41.0E-40.0052383060.00182124380.00120.658890370.00212069743.0E-40.0511653570.0197896640.01070.54068630.0228283160.0031
7.49.672919E-53.3706103E-52.0E-45.93364331.3370274E-41.0E-44.144878E-41.4444682E-43.0E-42.0768892.4443236E-41.0E-40.0050347180.00175723680.00120.68289030.00205670973.0E-40.0492216830.0190534830.01030.54058360.0218982270.0029
7.58.7600405E-52.2947434E-52.0E-48.7155711.2294514E-41.0E-43.753763E-49.834245E-53.0E-43.05056481.9833261E-41.0E-40.00456063260.00119666358.0E-40.668525460.00129654391.0E-40.044681650.0132733870.00680.51230330.014852150.0016
7.67.9562284E-51.9450288E-52.0E-410.2826241.1944834E-41.0E-43.4093665E-48.335572E-52.0E-42.39935541.8334738E-41.0E-40.00414300520.00101438497.0E-40.69007340.00111428351.0E-40.0406661260.0113527530.00550.4844640.012539130.0012
7.76.3866544E-51.2118746E-52.0E-416.5033571.1211754E-41.0E-42.7368503E-45.1936448E-52.0E-43.850861.5193125E-41.0E-40.00332702446.321431E-43.0E-40.47457617.3207985E-41.0E-40.0327765270.00731477050.00310.423800020.0081089198.0E-4
7.84.2543215E-59.219069E-62.0E-421.6941621.0921815E-41.0E-41.8231533E-43.95097E-52.0E-45.0620481.3950575E-41.0E-40.00221742924.8092453E-42.0E-40.415865665.808764E-41.0E-40.0219543320.00557356330.00290.52031350.00626966177.0E-4
7.92.2636612E-57.935117E-62.0E-425.2044181.0793432E-41.0E-49.7010445E-53.40072E-52.0E-45.88110731.340038E-41.0E-40.00118046214.139591E-42.0E-40.483139515.139177E-41.0E-40.0117421110.00475149830.00230.48405780.00544817237.0E-4
8.01.5167874E-57.1584263E-62.0E-427.9391021.0715771E-41.0E-46.500356E-53.067861E-52.0E-46.51920031.3067554E-41.0E-47.9113094E-43.7344813E-42.0E-40.53554964.734108E-41.0E-40.0078832030.0042761930.00180.420935150.00487362736.0E-4
8.11.0681047E-56.4855203E-62.0E-430.8379251.0648487E-41.0E-44.5775112E-52.7794791E-52.0E-47.1955931.2779201E-41.0E-45.5716943E-43.3834914E-42.0E-40.59110544.383153E-41.0E-40.00555774570.00387173870.00170.439079230.00446941566.0E-4
8.28.226114E-65.189745E-62.0E-438.5375371.05189225E-41.0E-43.52543E-52.2241575E-52.0E-48.9921681.2223935E-41.0E-44.2913653E-42.7075762E-42.0E-40.73866813.7073053E-41.0E-40.0042830880.0030860070.00130.421256330.00348477254.0E-4
8.31.983087E-67.7872784E-70.00.07.7872784E-70.08.498917E-63.3374008E-60.00.03.3374008E-60.01.034694E-44.0632116E-50.00.04.0632116E-50.00.00103421244.792776E-41.0E-40.208647344.792776E-40.0

Rodgers Creek - Healdsburg 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.390182E-51.3157546E-42.0E-41.52004032.315623E-41.0E-43.1668364E-45.6377164E-45.0E-40.886883858.636025E-43.0E-40.00384880810.00684227750.00430.62844570.00773611949.0E-40.0378282780.066275450.04040.60957720.0728115140.007
6.17.318768E-51.3055494E-42.0E-41.53192212.3054189E-41.0E-43.1362378E-45.593999E-45.0E-40.8938158.5923204E-43.0E-40.00381168540.0067893990.00420.618611450.0076832899.0E-40.0374696550.0657797460.03960.602009060.072225860.0069
6.27.1379836E-51.2748159E-42.0E-41.5688542.2746884E-41.0E-43.058777E-45.4623396E-45.0E-40.915358668.460701E-43.0E-40.0037177030.00663008870.00410.618392940.00752412169.0E-40.03656120.064301170.03860.600300130.0707574860.0069
6.36.9255926E-51.2402236E-42.0E-41.61261252.2400996E-41.0E-42.9677735E-45.3141586E-45.0E-40.940882748.3125645E-43.0E-40.00360727850.00645084350.00410.635575830.00734503759.0E-40.0354928230.062631530.03790.60512650.06891190.0067
6.46.6757144E-51.1978689E-42.0E-41.66963172.1977491E-41.0E-42.8607066E-45.1327166E-44.0E-40.77931447.13169E-42.0E-40.00347734870.006231250.0040.64192580.0070262658.0E-40.0342343640.0605805630.03710.61240760.066780730.0066
6.56.5735134E-51.1827664E-42.0E-41.6909512.1826482E-41.0E-42.8169158E-45.068018E-44.0E-40.78926327.0670043E-42.0E-40.0034242020.0061529390.00390.63384340.0069480178.0E-40.033719180.0598445650.03670.61325540.065955570.0065
6.66.289601E-51.13628324E-42.0E-41.76012462.1361696E-41.0E-42.6952647E-44.8688802E-44.0E-40.82154426.867906E-42.0E-40.00327654740.005911830.00380.6427790.00670710078.0E-40.0322865620.0575815770.03510.609569970.06370730.0065
6.76.115274E-51.1079681E-42.0E-41.80510622.1078573E-41.0E-42.6205686E-44.7475743E-44.0E-40.84253556.746625E-42.0E-40.00318587480.0057649320.00380.65915780.006560328.0E-40.0314058660.056198940.03450.61389060.0619561260.0061
6.85.9232367E-51.0746847E-42.0E-41.8610112.0745772E-41.0E-42.538283E-44.604982E-44.0E-40.868624456.6040613E-42.0E-40.00308598040.005592230.00380.67951430.0063877568.0E-40.0304347650.0545651350.03350.61394520.0603322870.0061
6.95.4030377E-59.840589E-52.0E-42.03239851.9839605E-41.0E-42.315382E-44.2167172E-44.0E-40.948605246.215874E-42.0E-40.00281533370.00512183460.00370.722397450.0059177378.0E-40.0277993250.0500998720.03120.622756060.055419310.0056
7.04.8260714E-58.757361E-52.0E-42.28379321.8756484E-41.0E-42.0681522E-43.7526173E-44.0E-41.06592265.751867E-42.0E-40.00251506780.00455929530.00330.72379610.00535564788.0E-40.0248679280.0447459930.02780.621284660.049331210.0048
7.14.0294493E-57.404648E-52.0E-42.70100621.7403907E-41.0E-41.7267925E-43.1730367E-44.0E-41.2606225.172402E-42.0E-40.00210034270.00385636720.00320.82979650.0046532828.0E-40.020806020.037996220.0240.631641750.0422290380.0044
7.23.096388E-55.7118054E-51.0E-41.750761.5711234E-41.0E-41.326956E-42.447688E-43.0E-41.22564644.4471986E-42.0E-40.00161437170.002976010.00250.840050940.00377362928.0E-40.016026940.0295030030.01860.63044430.033384990.004
7.32.3615226E-54.3747285E-51.0E-42.2858561.4374292E-41.0E-41.0120418E-41.8747497E-42.0E-41.0668093.8743747E-42.0E-40.00123146440.00228013210.00190.833285030.0029785367.0E-40.01224662550.0226944630.01470.64773510.025626380.003
7.41.8251132E-53.36383E-51.0E-42.9728021.3363494E-41.0E-47.821679E-51.4415622E-42.0E-41.38738373.441274E-42.0E-49.518733E-40.0017536990.00191.08342420.00245247137.0E-40.0094780630.0175123180.01150.656680640.0198702890.0024
7.51.2411432E-52.2533064E-51.0E-44.43792251.2253081E-41.0E-45.3190768E-59.6566735E-52.0E-42.07110642.9654743E-42.0E-46.4740516E-40.00117507170.00121.02121420.00177436676.0E-40.0064552230.01177922450.00750.63671420.01345920.0017
7.64.4771446E-68.111678E-60.00.08.111678E-60.01.918762E-53.4763878E-50.00.03.4763878E-50.02.3358424E-44.2316923E-44.0E-40.94524834.2316923E-40.00.00233338870.0042589310.00210.493081450.00465722754.0E-4
7.72.157941E-73.553147E-70.00.03.553147E-70.09.248315E-71.5227764E-60.00.01.5227764E-60.01.1259765E-51.8539646E-50.00.01.8539646E-50.01.1259195E-41.9158375E-40.00.01.9158375E-40.0
7.89.9623286E-82.0038753E-70.00.02.0038753E-70.04.269569E-78.588034E-70.00.08.588034E-70.05.1981874E-61.0455881E-50.00.01.0455881E-50.05.198066E-51.0969823E-40.00.01.0969823E-40.0
7.95.6745257E-81.1860751E-70.00.01.1860751E-70.02.4319394E-75.083178E-70.00.05.083178E-70.02.960882E-66.1887513E-60.00.06.1887513E-60.02.9608427E-56.5134234E-50.00.06.5134234E-50.0
8.02.8614323E-86.625312E-80.00.06.625312E-80.01.2263281E-72.8394192E-70.00.02.8394192E-70.01.4930534E-63.4569875E-60.00.03.4569875E-60.01.4930434E-53.6050915E-50.00.03.6050915E-50.0
8.13.5045191E-99.025382E-90.00.09.025382E-90.01.5019367E-83.868021E-80.00.03.868021E-80.01.8286079E-74.7093144E-70.00.04.7093144E-70.01.8286064E-64.860295E-60.00.04.860295E-60.0

Hunter Mountain-Saline Valley

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5103672E-55.4594766E-52.0E-43.66335491.545893E-41.0E-41.9328714E-42.3395738E-44.0E-41.70971315.338872E-43.0E-40.0023507310.00284488450.00331.15997670.00493891020.00210.0232601950.0281052180.01830.651124660.0345197250.0066
6.14.5103672E-55.4594766E-52.0E-43.66335491.545893E-41.0E-41.9328714E-42.3395738E-44.0E-41.70971315.338872E-43.0E-40.0023507310.00284488450.00331.15997670.00493891020.00210.0232601950.0281052180.01830.651124660.0345197250.0066
6.23.9363465E-54.7084E-52.0E-44.24772741.4707929E-41.0E-41.6868966E-42.0177383E-44.0E-41.98241765.017133E-43.0E-40.0020518620.00245396230.00321.30401350.0045488090.00210.0203301960.02428460.01670.687678640.0306267480.0065
6.33.9363465E-54.7084E-52.0E-44.24772741.4707929E-41.0E-41.6868966E-42.0177383E-44.0E-41.98241765.017133E-43.0E-40.0020518620.00245396230.00321.30401350.0045488090.00210.0203301960.02428460.01670.687678640.0306267480.0065
6.43.2311684E-53.7967282E-52.0E-45.26769351.3796349E-41.0E-41.384713E-41.6270719E-44.0E-42.4584044.6265838E-43.0E-40.00168458430.00197922930.00321.6167910.00407507270.00210.0167187140.0196249650.01480.754141450.0258993660.0064
6.53.2311684E-53.7967282E-52.0E-45.26769351.3796349E-41.0E-41.384713E-41.6270719E-44.0E-42.4584044.6265838E-43.0E-40.00168458430.00197922930.00321.6167910.00407507270.00210.0167187140.0196249650.01480.754141450.0258993660.0064
6.62.9305844E-53.4196255E-52.0E-45.84859371.3419283E-41.0E-41.2559042E-41.465475E-44.0E-42.72949034.4650355E-43.0E-40.00152799090.00178281730.00281.57054790.00377925160.0020.0151752720.0176932290.01370.774307550.0238817610.0063
6.72.7826512E-53.2357773E-51.0E-43.09044741.3235454E-41.0E-41.19251024E-41.3866914E-43.0E-42.1634234.3862752E-43.0E-40.00145091420.00168704960.00271.60042720.00368367550.0020.0144147760.0167502820.01320.78804650.0229447540.0063
6.82.3389874E-52.6877658E-51.0E-43.7205621.2687498E-41.0E-41.0023846E-41.1518515E-43.0E-42.60450244.151506E-43.0E-40.001219720.00140152440.00241.71242120.00339872130.0020.012130470.0139332350.01130.811010540.0198496360.006
6.92.069209E-52.3579525E-51.0E-44.24096781.2357716E-41.0E-48.867737E-51.01051395E-43.0E-42.96878624.0102107E-43.0E-40.00107911230.00122964250.00231.87046230.00322718310.0020.0107388710.0122335840.01040.85011880.0181601830.006
7.01.7462342E-51.964133E-51.0E-45.09130531.19639364E-41.0E-47.483646E-58.4174535E-53.0E-43.56402333.841493E-43.0E-49.1075303E-40.00102436580.00232.24529170.0030223170.0020.0090702950.0102002390.01010.990172860.0161390380.006
7.11.4807709E-51.644825E-51.0E-46.07967421.1644661E-41.0E-46.3460066E-57.049069E-53.0E-44.25588133.7046956E-43.0E-47.723524E-48.5790275E-40.00232.68095660.00285618680.0020.0076967350.0085490620.00921.07614150.0143986220.0059
7.21.4180048E-51.5704565E-51.0E-46.3675751.15703E-41.0E-46.077022E-56.7303634E-53.0E-44.45741133.6728344E-43.0E-47.396263E-48.191299E-40.00232.80785730.00281749180.0020.00737169430.0081642240.00881.07787330.01391687150.0058
7.31.3730402E-51.5178125E-51.0E-46.5884291.15176605E-41.0E-45.8843252E-56.504758E-53.0E-44.6120093.6502807E-43.0E-47.161811E-47.9168257E-40.00232.90520480.00279009920.0020.0071387740.0078917220.00841.06440650.0135467390.0057
7.41.2810095E-51.4114831E-51.0E-47.08474641.1411342E-41.0E-45.489925E-56.049082E-53.0E-44.959433.6047268E-43.0E-46.681934E-47.362427E-40.00233.12396980.00273477030.0020.0066618780.0073410970.00811.10337730.0128999870.0056
7.51.1595659E-51.2805939E-51.0E-47.80887651.1280466E-41.0E-44.9694736E-55.488153E-53.0E-45.466323.5486507E-43.0E-46.0486543E-46.6799344E-40.00233.44314740.00266665760.0020.0060322170.00666290430.00811.21568610.0122255920.0056
7.62.997694E-63.3272543E-60.00.03.3272543E-60.01.28471975E-51.4259624E-52.0E-414.0256162.1425677E-42.0E-41.564034E-41.7360438E-40.00126.9122680.00127341340.00110.00156293370.0017362280.00251.4399030.00393240850.0022

Mission Ridge-Arroyo Parida-Santa Ana

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.169034E-54.7156427E-51.0E-42.12060174.7156427E-50.01.7866064E-42.020882E-41.0E-40.494833472.020882E-40.00.00217302330.00245847790.00230.935538230.00305700286.0E-40.0215189680.0243946570.02240.91823380.0299556090.0057
6.11.73813E-51.6858885E-50.00.01.6858885E-50.07.4489166E-57.225042E-50.00.07.225042E-50.09.065282E-48.793046E-45.0E-40.56863129.792167E-41.0E-40.0090283910.0087594350.00730.8333870.0106427930.0019
6.21.4622182E-51.3676966E-50.00.01.3676966E-50.06.2664985E-55.8614274E-50.00.05.8614274E-50.07.6267915E-47.13399E-45.0E-40.70087018.133276E-41.0E-40.0076006690.00711157030.00560.78744910.0085016140.0014
6.31.3552434E-51.2485606E-50.00.01.2485606E-50.05.8080568E-55.350866E-50.00.05.350866E-50.07.069015E-46.512764E-45.0E-40.767723267.5121125E-41.0E-40.007046570.0064940790.00530.81612810.00778563650.0013
6.41.30977305E-51.1982454E-50.00.01.1982454E-50.05.613192E-55.135238E-50.00.05.135238E-50.06.831918E-46.250389E-44.0E-40.639960177.249764E-41.0E-40.0068109530.0062331930.0050.802157040.00742571340.0012
6.51.225205E-51.1051916E-50.00.01.1051916E-50.05.2507727E-54.736451E-50.00.04.736451E-50.06.3909404E-45.76513E-44.0E-40.69382656.764554E-41.0E-40.0063725920.00575052250.00430.747758150.0068441970.0011
6.61.1352241E-51.0066462E-50.00.01.0066462E-50.04.8651553E-54.3141277E-50.00.04.3141277E-50.05.921717E-45.251206E-43.0E-40.571297355.251206E-40.00.00590596160.0052390820.00380.72531790.0061343679.0E-4
6.71.0864116E-59.519822E-60.00.09.519822E-60.04.6559664E-54.079861E-50.00.04.079861E-50.05.667165E-44.966119E-42.0E-40.402728974.966119E-40.00.0056527340.00495529360.00340.686134930.0058508349.0E-4
6.81.0666365E-59.302531E-60.00.09.302531E-60.04.571219E-53.986739E-50.00.03.986739E-50.05.564038E-44.852794E-42.0E-40.41213374.852794E-40.00.0055501270.00484246760.00310.640169440.005738119.0E-4
6.91.0038665E-58.5946185E-60.00.08.5946185E-60.04.302214E-53.6833568E-50.00.03.6833568E-50.05.236687E-44.4835822E-42.0E-40.44607194.4835822E-40.00.0052243640.00447478560.0030.670423150.0052712068.0E-4
7.09.5379955E-68.0274895E-60.00.08.0274895E-60.04.0876483E-53.440308E-50.00.03.440308E-50.04.975576E-44.1877874E-42.0E-40.477579184.1877874E-40.00.004964450.0041801340.00290.69375770.00497678958.0E-4
7.19.207389E-67.654685E-60.00.07.654685E-60.03.945964E-53.2805387E-50.00.03.2805387E-50.04.803152E-43.993341E-42.0E-40.50083383.993341E-40.00.0047927840.00398639960.00290.727473440.0047832118.0E-4
7.27.638091E-65.932878E-60.00.05.932878E-60.03.2734264E-52.5426376E-50.00.02.5426376E-50.03.984668E-43.0952247E-42.0E-40.646156673.0952247E-40.00.00397753060.00309100860.00220.711741750.00358946325.0E-4
7.37.2500147E-65.597794E-60.00.05.597794E-60.03.1071122E-52.3990326E-50.00.02.3990326E-50.03.7822526E-42.9204338E-42.0E-40.68482982.9204338E-40.00.00377582150.00291668970.00180.617137970.00321581473.0E-4
7.46.3899715E-64.919928E-60.00.04.919928E-60.02.7385306E-52.1085236E-50.00.02.1085236E-50.03.3336508E-42.5668272E-42.0E-40.779172062.5668272E-40.00.00332865420.00256394530.00170.66304070.00286317623.0E-4
7.55.379025E-64.0850177E-60.00.04.0850177E-60.02.305276E-51.7507102E-50.00.01.7507102E-50.02.806312E-42.1312822E-42.0E-40.938402242.1312822E-40.00.00280277080.00212924950.00110.51661390.00242861083.0E-4
7.64.1270696E-63.0891235E-60.00.03.0891235E-60.01.768732E-51.3239034E-50.00.01.3239034E-50.02.1532185E-41.6117339E-41.0E-40.62044981.6117339E-40.00.00215113330.00161057317.0E-40.43462790.00171041211.0E-4
7.72.5406805E-61.8286743E-60.00.01.8286743E-60.01.0888585E-57.837152E-60.00.07.837152E-60.01.3256045E-49.541321E-51.0E-41.04807289.541321E-50.00.00132481429.537287E-43.0E-40.314554870.00105363331.0E-4
7.84.8608285E-73.5105234E-70.00.03.5105234E-70.02.0832106E-61.5045091E-60.00.01.5045091E-60.02.5362791E-51.8317245E-50.00.01.8317245E-50.02.5359896E-41.8315748E-40.00.01.8315748E-40.0
7.92.0472514E-81.26930715E-80.00.01.26930715E-80.08.7739345E-85.439888E-80.00.05.439888E-80.01.068226E-66.6230615E-70.00.06.6230615E-70.01.0682209E-56.6230427E-60.00.06.6230427E-60.0
8.04.443582E-92.0339028E-90.00.02.0339028E-90.01.9043922E-88.716726E-90.00.08.716726E-90.02.3185973E-71.0612614E-70.00.01.0612614E-70.02.3185949E-61.061261E-60.00.01.061261E-60.0

Ash Hill

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.1545662E-52.319797E-50.00.02.319797E-50.09.2335285E-59.941653E-54.0E-44.02347564.9937674E-44.0E-40.00112360230.00120980420.00231.90113410.00320738460.0020.0111793810.0120401670.01150.955136240.0179679260.006
6.12.1545662E-52.319797E-50.00.02.319797E-50.09.2335285E-59.941653E-54.0E-44.02347564.9937674E-44.0E-40.00112360230.00120980420.00231.90113410.00320738460.0020.0111793810.0120401670.01150.955136240.0179679260.006
6.22.1545662E-52.319797E-50.00.02.319797E-50.09.2335285E-59.941653E-54.0E-44.02347564.9937674E-44.0E-40.00112360230.00120980420.00231.90113410.00320738460.0020.0111793810.0120401670.01150.955136240.0179679260.006
6.31.0025529E-51.0748468E-50.00.01.0748468E-50.04.2965847E-54.6064124E-51.0E-42.17088681.4605952E-41.0E-45.229836E-45.606996E-46.0E-41.07009160.00106041935.0E-40.0052175450.00559416270.0050.89378880.0080801770.0025
6.41.0025529E-51.0748468E-50.00.01.0748468E-50.04.2965847E-54.6064124E-51.0E-42.17088681.4605952E-41.0E-45.229836E-45.606996E-46.0E-41.07009160.00106041935.0E-40.0052175450.00559416270.0050.89378880.0080801770.0025
6.56.9617327E-67.4576856E-60.00.07.4576856E-60.02.9835655E-53.1961168E-50.00.03.1961168E-50.03.6318856E-43.8906638E-45.0E-41.28512787.889108E-44.0E-40.00362595570.0038847070.00350.900968850.0057773260.0019
6.64.9919777E-65.347442E-60.00.05.347442E-60.02.1394015E-52.2917444E-50.00.02.2917444E-50.02.60441E-42.7899086E-44.0E-41.43373875.7890714E-43.0E-40.00260135970.0027870650.00230.82524090.003983720.0012
6.73.6630722E-63.9251795E-60.00.03.9251795E-60.01.5698786E-51.6822121E-50.00.01.6822121E-50.01.9111596E-42.0479583E-42.0E-40.97658244.0475486E-42.0E-40.00190951680.00204663420.00140.684049960.00274520167.0E-4
6.82.5599613E-62.7453184E-60.00.02.7453184E-60.01.0971216E-51.17656255E-50.00.01.17656255E-50.01.3356637E-41.4324202E-42.0E-41.39623833.4321338E-42.0E-40.00133486130.0014319820.00110.768166070.00213097977.0E-4
6.91.7684905E-61.8971439E-60.00.01.8971439E-60.07.579223E-68.130616E-60.00.08.130616E-60.09.2273134E-59.8990255E-50.00.09.8990255E-50.09.223483E-49.899025E-46.0E-40.60612030.00138950664.0E-4

Calico-Hidalgo

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.0906612E-55.071949E-51.0E-41.97162875.071949E-50.01.7530227E-42.1735334E-42.0E-40.920160652.1735334E-40.00.00213221580.00264346130.0031.13487570.00374055350.00110.021118730.0261604820.01960.74922170.0317113660.0057
6.14.0906612E-55.071949E-51.0E-41.97162875.071949E-50.01.7530227E-42.1735334E-42.0E-40.920160652.1735334E-40.00.00213221580.00264346130.0031.13487570.00374055350.00110.021118730.0261604820.01960.74922170.0317113660.0057
6.24.0906612E-55.071949E-51.0E-41.97162875.071949E-50.01.7530227E-42.1735334E-42.0E-40.920160652.1735334E-40.00.00213221580.00264346130.0031.13487570.00374055350.00110.021118730.0261604820.01960.74922170.0317113660.0057
6.32.4242801E-53.0097084E-50.00.03.0097084E-50.01.0389358E-41.2898132E-41.0E-40.77530611.2898132E-40.00.00126417040.00156924970.00171.08332040.0021683086.0E-40.012570030.01558536850.01280.82128310.0194245860.0039
6.42.4242801E-53.0097084E-50.00.03.0097084E-50.01.0389358E-41.2898132E-41.0E-40.77530611.2898132E-40.00.00126417040.00156924970.00171.08332040.0021683086.0E-40.012570030.01558536850.01280.82128310.0194245860.0039
6.52.0286952E-52.5320429E-50.00.02.5320429E-50.08.694118E-51.0851171E-41.0E-40.92155951.0851171E-40.00.00105799490.00132034650.00151.13606550.00181968635.0E-40.0105297190.01312695350.0110.83797050.0162849480.0032
6.62.0269223E-52.5301377E-50.00.02.5301377E-50.08.6865206E-51.0843006E-41.0E-40.92225351.0843006E-40.00.00105707070.00131935360.00151.13692030.00181869395.0E-40.0105205650.0131171420.0110.83859730.0162751670.0032
6.71.799852E-52.254457E-50.00.02.254457E-50.07.713423E-59.661608E-51.0E-41.03502449.661608E-50.09.3870464E-40.00117568070.00151.27585670.00167509285.0E-40.0093474930.011696220.010.85497710.0146611310.003
6.81.7458793E-52.1845864E-50.00.02.1845864E-50.07.4821255E-59.362186E-51.0E-41.06812679.362186E-50.09.10568E-40.00113926460.00141.2288630.00153880884.0E-40.0090684590.0113358260.00930.82040780.0139063520.0026
6.91.542884E-51.9029081E-50.00.01.9029081E-50.06.612192E-58.155073E-51.0E-41.22623068.155073E-50.08.04737E-49.92441E-40.00121.209140.00129214323.0E-40.0080182910.0098814870.00790.79947480.012158760.0023
7.01.468253E-51.803341E-50.00.01.803341E-50.06.292361E-57.7283825E-51.0E-41.29393187.7283825E-50.07.658257E-49.405374E-40.00121.27586640.00124025523.0E-40.00763191840.0093669340.00780.83271640.0115463270.0022
7.11.3139281E-51.620339E-50.00.01.620339E-50.05.6309986E-56.9441325E-50.00.06.9441325E-50.06.853584E-48.451328E-49.0E-41.06492149.450483E-41.0E-40.00683248560.0084204850.00710.84318180.0104036440.002
7.21.1127404E-51.3868697E-50.00.01.3868697E-50.04.7688E-55.943598E-50.00.05.943598E-50.05.8044674E-47.234037E-49.0E-41.24411868.2333136E-41.0E-40.00578932980.00721159670.00650.901326060.0089986160.0018
7.39.808154E-61.2177887E-50.00.01.2177887E-50.04.2034266E-55.218996E-50.00.05.218996E-50.05.11647E-46.3523825E-47.0E-41.10194877.351747E-41.0E-40.00510470570.00633530.00560.883936050.0078257970.0015
7.47.942452E-69.793294E-60.00.09.793294E-60.03.4038632E-54.1970638E-50.00.04.1970638E-50.04.1434157E-45.108822E-46.0E-41.17443915.108822E-40.00.00413569850.0050980190.00490.961157740.0062919010.0012
7.54.7121216E-65.7734387E-60.00.05.7734387E-60.02.019465E-52.4743118E-50.00.02.4743118E-50.02.4584212E-43.0121347E-44.0E-41.32796183.0121347E-40.00.00245570320.00300880470.00321.06354520.00370669857.0E-4
7.62.21172E-72.6041212E-70.00.02.6041212E-70.09.478797E-71.1160516E-60.00.01.1160516E-60.01.1540374E-51.3587873E-50.00.01.3587873E-50.01.1539775E-41.3587323E-41.0E-40.735980151.3587323E-40.0

San Clemente

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.681379E-58.16743E-51.0E-41.22437548.16743E-50.02.8631336E-43.4998887E-41.0E-40.285723363.4998887E-40.00.0034802940.00425327850.00290.6818270.00495030137.0E-40.034262910.0417739560.03020.72293840.047331670.0058
6.16.681379E-58.16743E-51.0E-41.22437548.16743E-50.02.8631336E-43.4998887E-41.0E-40.285723363.4998887E-40.00.0034802940.00425327850.00230.54075930.00485072666.0E-40.034262910.0417739560.0240.57452060.046277620.0047
6.23.9400576E-54.6469024E-50.00.04.6469024E-50.01.6884868E-41.9913798E-40.00.01.9913798E-40.00.00205379450.00242186380.00110.454195650.00272113713.0E-40.0203491670.0239613580.01350.56340720.0259134340.002
6.33.2590255E-53.794153E-50.00.03.794153E-50.01.3966505E-41.6259658E-40.00.01.6259658E-40.00.00169909560.00197784630.0010.50560050.00217745062.0E-40.016861630.0196062250.01110.566146730.0211748560.0016
6.42.9454652E-53.410849E-50.00.03.410849E-50.01.2622811E-41.461712E-40.00.01.461712E-40.00.00153574380.00177820760.0010.562364040.0019778522.0E-40.0152517390.0176429640.01040.589470150.0191164990.0015
6.52.790836E-53.2257463E-50.00.03.2257463E-50.01.1960178E-41.3823908E-40.00.01.3823908E-40.00.0014551790.00168178680.0010.59460560.00188145052.0E-40.0144568680.0166936130.00970.58106060.017971910.0013
6.62.2492153E-52.5770154E-50.00.02.5770154E-50.09.639138E-51.1043892E-40.00.01.1043892E-40.00.00117293310.00134377937.0E-40.52091890.00154351052.0E-40.0116676150.0133582540.00680.50904860.014443560.0011
6.71.9862755E-52.267278E-50.00.02.267278E-50.08.512331E-59.716551E-50.00.09.716551E-50.00.00103588360.00118235936.0E-40.507459940.00138212292.0E-40.0103106820.011761980.00580.493114230.0128490420.0011
6.81.6697575E-51.8982853E-50.00.01.8982853E-50.07.155907E-58.1352606E-50.00.08.1352606E-50.08.7088346E-49.900272E-43.0E-40.303021970.00108992821.0E-40.0086747840.0098571950.0050.50724370.01084733850.001
6.91.5218415E-51.727402E-50.00.01.727402E-50.06.522015E-57.402946E-50.00.07.402946E-50.07.93766E-49.009448E-43.0E-40.332983760.00100085481.0E-40.0079093670.00897386950.00450.50145590.0099648950.001
7.01.2392958E-51.40367E-50.00.01.40367E-50.05.3111595E-56.015594E-50.00.06.015594E-50.06.4644177E-47.3216006E-43.0E-40.409746478.3208684E-41.0E-40.00644564540.00729826560.00360.49326790.0081916979.0E-4
7.11.0934128E-51.2378374E-50.00.01.2378374E-50.04.6859706E-55.3049134E-50.00.05.3049134E-50.05.7036756E-46.4568914E-43.0E-40.464619877.456246E-41.0E-40.00568905850.00643887740.00320.496981020.00733308269.0E-4
7.29.5798805E-61.0847776E-50.00.01.0847776E-50.04.1055984E-54.648968E-50.00.04.648968E-50.04.9974193E-45.6587206E-43.0E-40.53015526.658155E-41.0E-40.00498619630.00564503580.00260.460581660.00614221355.0E-4
7.38.0167365E-69.086316E-60.00.09.086316E-60.03.4356988E-53.8940812E-50.00.03.8940812E-50.04.1821605E-44.7400832E-42.0E-40.42193354.7400832E-40.00.00417429860.00473067630.00220.46504980.00512878364.0E-4
7.42.9581017E-63.3632907E-60.00.03.3632907E-60.01.2677518E-51.4414052E-50.00.01.4414052E-50.01.5433785E-41.75482E-40.00.01.75482E-40.00.0015423070.00175392977.0E-40.399103820.00185375431.0E-4

Garberville - Briceland 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.8399295E-56.456981E-50.00.06.456981E-50.02.0740906E-42.76702E-44.0E-41.44559865.76619E-43.0E-40.0025222810.00336429660.00250.743097360.00406194157.0E-40.0249384420.0331999320.02090.629519340.0389040560.0059
6.14.8399295E-56.456981E-50.00.06.456981E-50.02.0740906E-42.76702E-44.0E-41.44559865.76619E-43.0E-40.0025222810.00336429660.00250.743097360.00406194157.0E-40.0249384420.0331999320.02090.629519340.0389040560.0059
6.24.8399295E-56.456981E-50.00.06.456981E-50.02.0740906E-42.76702E-44.0E-41.44559865.76619E-43.0E-40.0025222810.00336429660.00250.743097360.00406194157.0E-40.0249384420.0331999320.02090.629519340.0389040560.0059
6.34.8399295E-56.456981E-50.00.06.456981E-50.02.0740906E-42.76702E-44.0E-41.44559865.76619E-43.0E-40.0025222810.00336429660.00250.743097360.00406194157.0E-40.0249384420.0331999320.02090.629519340.0389040560.0059
6.44.8399295E-56.456981E-50.00.06.456981E-50.02.0740906E-42.76702E-44.0E-41.44559865.76619E-43.0E-40.0025222810.00336429660.00250.743097360.00406194157.0E-40.0249384420.0331999320.02090.629519340.0389040560.0059
6.54.8399295E-56.456981E-50.00.06.456981E-50.02.0740906E-42.76702E-44.0E-41.44559865.76619E-43.0E-40.0025222810.00336429660.00250.743097360.00406194157.0E-40.0249384420.0331999320.02090.629519340.0389040560.0059
6.64.8399295E-56.456981E-50.00.06.456981E-50.02.0740906E-42.76702E-44.0E-41.44559865.76619E-43.0E-40.0025222810.00336429660.00250.743097360.00406194157.0E-40.0249384420.0331999320.02090.629519340.0389040560.0059
6.73.495179E-54.6339086E-50.00.04.6339086E-50.01.4978478E-41.9858389E-42.0E-41.00713112.9856403E-41.0E-40.00182210420.00241560880.00160.66235890.00281464264.0E-40.0180723630.0239459630.01520.63476250.02824060.0044
6.82.7517597E-53.626468E-50.00.03.626468E-50.01.1792722E-41.5541336E-42.0E-41.28689062.553978E-41.0E-40.00143481830.00189098830.0010.5288240.0021904213.0E-40.0142558940.0187953340.01180.62781540.022131430.0034
6.92.74461E-53.6182377E-50.00.03.6182377E-50.01.1762084E-41.5506068E-42.0E-41.28981762.550452E-41.0E-40.0014310930.0018867020.0010.53002540.0021861363.0E-40.0142191190.0187531950.01170.62389370.0219913090.0033
7.01.9023773E-52.4722609E-50.00.02.4722609E-50.08.152791E-51.05951854E-42.0E-41.88764982.0594127E-41.0E-49.921503E-40.00128960066.0E-40.465260330.00148934272.0E-40.0098773230.0128602580.00770.59874380.0148345380.002
7.15.566844E-66.51435E-60.00.06.51435E-60.02.3857683E-52.7918368E-51.0E-43.58187131.2791557E-41.0E-42.9042858E-43.3985736E-44.0E-41.17696444.3982337E-41.0E-40.0029004930.0033937970.00240.70717260.0039917616.0E-4
7.24.011353E-64.6761556E-60.00.04.6761556E-60.01.7191402E-52.0040534E-51.0E-44.9898871.2003853E-41.0E-42.0928521E-42.4396961E-43.0E-41.22966133.439452E-41.0E-40.00209088230.00243735550.00190.77953340.00283638064.0E-4
7.32.0974871E-62.4403803E-60.00.02.4403803E-60.08.989199E-61.0458745E-50.00.01.0458745E-50.01.09438006E-41.2733028E-41.0E-40.785359141.2733028E-40.00.00109384130.00127281870.00151.17848680.00147256412.0E-4

Pleito

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6763008E-52.4864676E-50.00.02.4864676E-50.07.183948E-51.06558946E-40.00.01.06558946E-40.08.742947E-40.00129665520.00211.61955170.00199574747.0E-40.008708630.0130051440.01791.37637850.0187297130.0058
6.11.6763008E-52.4864676E-50.00.02.4864676E-50.07.183948E-51.06558946E-40.00.01.06558946E-40.08.742947E-40.00129665520.00211.61955170.00199574747.0E-40.008708630.0130051440.01791.37637850.0187297130.0058
6.21.6763008E-52.4864676E-50.00.02.4864676E-50.07.183948E-51.06558946E-40.00.01.06558946E-40.08.742947E-40.00129665520.00211.61955170.00199574747.0E-40.008708630.0130051440.01791.37637850.0187297130.0058
6.31.6763008E-52.4864676E-50.00.02.4864676E-50.07.183948E-51.06558946E-40.00.01.06558946E-40.08.742947E-40.00129665520.00211.61955170.00199574747.0E-40.008708630.0130051440.01791.37637850.0187297130.0058
6.41.6763008E-52.4864676E-50.00.02.4864676E-50.07.183948E-51.06558946E-40.00.01.06558946E-40.08.742947E-40.00129665520.00211.61955170.00199574747.0E-40.008708630.0130051440.01791.37637850.0187297130.0058
6.51.6763008E-52.4864676E-50.00.02.4864676E-50.07.183948E-51.06558946E-40.00.01.06558946E-40.08.742947E-40.00129665520.00211.61955170.00199574747.0E-40.008708630.0130051440.01791.37637850.0187297130.0058
6.69.910213E-61.731394E-50.00.01.731394E-50.04.247165E-57.420051E-50.00.07.420051E-50.05.169696E-49.0302044E-47.0E-40.77517620.00120274963.0E-40.00515768630.0091013680.0070.769115150.0114795250.0024
6.79.910213E-61.731394E-50.00.01.731394E-50.04.247165E-57.420051E-50.00.07.420051E-50.05.169696E-49.0302044E-47.0E-40.77517620.00120274963.0E-40.00515768630.0091013680.0070.769115150.0114795250.0024
6.88.300162E-61.5573269E-50.00.01.5573269E-50.03.557164E-56.6740875E-50.00.06.6740875E-50.04.3299864E-48.122687E-46.0E-40.738671840.00101210622.0E-40.0043215590.0082007060.00530.646285830.0099859450.0018
6.98.183114E-61.5444439E-50.00.01.5444439E-50.03.5070017E-56.618878E-50.00.06.618878E-50.04.2689382E-48.055519E-46.0E-40.744830970.00100539082.0E-40.00426074680.0081340310.00520.639289440.0098202030.0017
7.07.1748823E-61.4230174E-50.00.01.4230174E-50.03.0749135E-56.0985036E-50.00.06.0985036E-50.03.743064E-47.422404E-46.0E-40.80836349.42092E-42.0E-40.00373676540.00750472680.00440.586297150.0087949710.0013
7.17.1671807E-61.4220532E-50.00.01.4220532E-50.03.0716128E-56.0943716E-50.00.06.0943716E-50.03.7390468E-47.4173766E-46.0E-40.80891139.415893E-42.0E-40.00373276180.00749973350.00440.58668750.0087899840.0013
7.27.0649667E-61.4067496E-50.00.01.4067496E-50.03.0278077E-56.0287875E-50.00.06.0287875E-50.03.6857324E-47.337582E-46.0E-40.81770819.336115E-42.0E-40.00367962550.007420330.00430.579489050.0087106830.0013
7.37.02082E-61.4010761E-50.00.01.4010761E-50.03.008888E-56.0044742E-50.00.06.0044742E-50.03.6627054E-47.3080003E-46.0E-40.821018049.306539E-42.0E-40.00365667440.00739073330.00430.581809640.0086811250.0013
7.46.987146E-61.3970217E-50.00.01.3970217E-50.02.9944567E-55.987099E-50.00.05.987099E-50.03.6451413E-47.28686E-46.0E-40.82339999.2854025E-42.0E-40.00363916790.0073696150.00420.56990760.0085607720.0012
7.56.9494554E-61.3927042E-50.00.01.3927042E-50.02.9783041E-55.968596E-50.00.05.968596E-50.03.625482E-47.264348E-46.0E-40.825951649.2628953E-42.0E-40.00361957260.0073472030.00420.57164610.0085383860.0012
7.66.92694E-61.3886004E-50.00.01.3886004E-50.02.9686547E-55.9510094E-50.00.05.9510094E-50.03.6137376E-47.2429504E-46.0E-40.828391739.2415017E-42.0E-40.00360786660.0073258810.00420.57330990.008517090.0012
7.76.395867E-61.2760947E-50.00.01.2760947E-50.02.741057E-55.468863E-50.00.05.468863E-50.03.336726E-46.6563097E-45.0E-40.751166947.6556444E-41.0E-40.00333172010.00674247370.00370.548760.00763640559.0E-4
7.85.8664327E-61.16205465E-50.00.01.16205465E-50.02.5141611E-54.9801394E-50.00.04.9801394E-50.03.060561E-46.061635E-44.0E-40.659887977.061029E-41.0E-40.00305634950.0061438560.00320.52084560.00693894048.0E-4
7.93.7167474E-67.1653176E-60.00.07.1653176E-60.01.592882E-53.0708143E-50.00.03.0708143E-50.01.9391612E-43.7380768E-43.0E-40.802551754.7377028E-41.0E-40.00193746990.00379369480.00180.47447150.00439141836.0E-4
8.01.0903841E-61.2991558E-60.00.01.2991558E-60.04.6730665E-65.5677983E-60.00.05.5677983E-60.05.68931E-56.778585E-50.00.06.778585E-50.05.6878536E-47.0008886E-45.0E-40.71419518.999488E-42.0E-4
8.12.6894583E-71.1245098E-70.00.01.1245098E-70.01.1526245E-64.8193266E-70.00.04.8193266E-70.01.4033113E-55.8675146E-60.00.05.8675146E-60.01.4032227E-46.560494E-51.0E-41.52427556.560494E-50.0
8.25.2967013E-92.5019755E-90.00.02.5019755E-90.02.2700148E-81.07227525E-80.00.01.07227525E-80.02.7637427E-71.3054951E-70.00.01.3054951E-70.02.7637393E-61.4841239E-60.00.01.4841239E-60.0

Pinto Mtn

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.4194956E-54.787792E-50.00.04.787792E-50.01.893932E-42.0517586E-42.0E-40.97477353.0515535E-41.0E-40.00230342360.0024953180.00170.68127590.00289431984.0E-40.0227969380.024690530.01810.73307460.029859670.0053
6.14.4194956E-54.787792E-50.00.04.787792E-50.01.893932E-42.0517586E-42.0E-40.97477353.0515535E-41.0E-40.00230342360.0024953180.00170.68127590.00289431984.0E-40.0227969380.024690530.01810.73307460.029859670.0053
6.24.4194956E-54.787792E-50.00.04.787792E-50.01.893932E-42.0517586E-42.0E-40.97477353.0515535E-41.0E-40.00230342360.0024953180.00170.68127590.00289431984.0E-40.0227969380.024690530.01810.73307460.029859670.0053
6.34.4194956E-54.787792E-50.00.04.787792E-50.01.893932E-42.0517586E-42.0E-40.97477353.0515535E-41.0E-40.00230342360.0024953180.00170.68127590.00289431984.0E-40.0227969380.024690530.01810.73307460.029859670.0053
6.43.729929E-53.9624276E-50.00.03.9624276E-50.01.5984432E-41.698078E-42.0E-41.17780222.6979082E-41.0E-40.00194436730.00206554290.00150.726201360.00226512972.0E-40.0192744270.020473480.01580.771730070.0248813480.0045
6.53.729929E-53.9624276E-50.00.03.9624276E-50.01.5984432E-41.698078E-42.0E-41.17780222.6979082E-41.0E-40.00194436730.00206554290.00150.726201360.00226512972.0E-40.0192744270.020473480.01580.771730070.0248813480.0045
6.63.0204548E-53.1223328E-50.00.03.1223328E-50.01.2944164E-41.3380758E-42.0E-41.49468352.3379421E-41.0E-40.00157481270.00162792460.00110.67570690.00172776191.0E-40.0156369920.0161638670.01190.736210.0197056770.0036
6.72.9857754E-53.0832613E-50.00.03.0832613E-50.01.2795553E-41.3213327E-42.0E-41.51362342.3212006E-41.0E-40.00155674530.00160757010.00110.68426260.00170740931.0E-40.0154588480.0159632580.01190.74546180.0195057910.0036
6.82.4819734E-52.502553E-50.00.02.502553E-50.01.0636595E-41.07247986E-42.0E-41.86483682.0723726E-41.0E-40.00129423620.00130498379.0E-40.68966370.00140485331.0E-40.0128672440.0129755760.00990.762971940.0160353520.0031
6.92.331124E-52.335345E-50.00.02.335345E-50.09.990149E-51.0008249E-42.0E-41.99835162.0007248E-41.0E-40.0012156220.00121784358.0E-40.656898860.00131772181.0E-40.0120899360.0121138920.00910.75120370.0148799730.0028
7.02.1818534E-52.1776275E-50.00.02.1776275E-50.09.3504656E-59.3323666E-52.0E-42.1430791.9331434E-41.0E-40.00113782460.00113564328.0E-40.704446550.00123552971.0E-40.0113201630.0113005030.00870.76987720.0138711220.0026
7.12.066081E-52.0555635E-50.00.02.0555635E-50.08.854332E-58.809271E-52.0E-42.27033521.8808391E-41.0E-40.00107748180.00107202068.0E-40.746254270.00117191351.0E-40.0107227240.01067054550.00820.76847050.0130449370.0024
7.21.8990233E-51.9068626E-50.00.01.9068626E-50.08.138417E-58.172024E-51.0E-41.22368721.8171206E-41.0E-49.904018E-49.945091E-47.0E-40.70386490.00109440961.0E-40.0098599950.0099025860.00790.79777140.0121798110.0023
7.31.3335872E-51.4920173E-50.00.01.4920173E-50.05.7152483E-56.3942105E-51.0E-41.56391481.639357E-41.0E-46.956093E-47.782298E-45.0E-40.64248378.78152E-41.0E-40.0069343590.00775634640.00630.81223810.0093439360.0016
7.49.414066E-61.1873779E-50.00.01.1873779E-50.04.0345374E-55.0886687E-51.0E-41.96515061.5088159E-41.0E-44.910942E-46.1937876E-45.0E-40.80726057.1931677E-41.0E-40.00490010340.00617747430.00440.71226520.0072706790.0011
7.57.2101157E-69.170668E-60.00.09.170668E-60.03.090013E-53.9302315E-51.0E-42.54437951.3929838E-41.0E-43.7614413E-44.7840844E-44.0E-40.836105645.783606E-41.0E-40.00375508070.00477456160.00350.733051540.0056702659.0E-4
7.63.296375E-64.5575193E-60.00.04.5575193E-60.01.4127245E-51.9532088E-51.0E-45.11978051.1953014E-41.0E-41.7198564E-42.3777861E-42.0E-40.84111863.3775484E-41.0E-40.00171852590.00237538010.00120.50518230.0025749052.0E-4
7.72.5741092E-63.5957398E-60.00.03.5957398E-60.01.103185E-51.5410229E-51.0E-46.4891961.15408686E-41.0E-41.3430449E-41.8760472E-42.0E-41.06607132.8758595E-41.0E-40.00134223350.00187459418.0E-40.426759030.00207421932.0E-4

Concord 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.7865112E-59.7666845E-51.0E-41.0238891.9765708E-41.0E-42.4796976E-44.1850324E-43.0E-40.71684037.183777E-43.0E-40.00301485250.00508390930.00280.55075730.00647679160.00140.0297427750.0492921660.03160.641075550.0545210580.0055
6.15.7865112E-59.7666845E-51.0E-41.0238891.9765708E-41.0E-42.4796976E-44.1850324E-43.0E-40.71684037.183777E-43.0E-40.00301485250.00508390930.00280.55075730.00647679160.00140.0297427750.0492921660.03160.641075550.0545210580.0055
6.25.6789337E-59.586835E-51.0E-41.0430971.9585877E-41.0E-42.4336016E-44.1079795E-43.0E-40.7302867.106747E-43.0E-40.00295888450.00499057540.00270.54101980.00628408740.00130.0291979630.0484082850.03110.6424520.053356560.0052
6.35.203322E-58.8105575E-51.0E-41.13500191.8809676E-41.0E-42.2298045E-43.775451E-41.0E-40.264869034.7750733E-41.0E-40.00271140710.00458770760.00240.52313710.005583120.0010.0267856250.044576680.02850.639347730.0489716270.0046
6.44.7120942E-57.9017955E-51.0E-41.26553521.7901005E-41.0E-42.0193127E-43.386086E-41.0E-40.295326234.3857476E-41.0E-40.00245574120.0041155120.0020.485966240.004912228.0E-40.0242878010.040092870.02520.62854070.044220470.0043
6.52.9598437E-54.6714948E-51.0E-42.14064241.4671027E-41.0E-41.2684427E-42.0019274E-41.0E-40.499518633.0017272E-41.0E-40.0015432350.00243483270.00150.616058770.00313312827.0E-40.0153256190.0239272660.01570.65615520.0268554840.003
6.62.0443718E-53.0022491E-50.00.03.0022491E-50.08.7613E-51.2866168E-40.00.01.2866168E-40.00.00106616620.00156536664.0E-40.25553120.00186489713.0E-40.0106106550.0154843230.00990.63935630.0171580.0017
6.71.798539E-52.5595002E-50.00.02.5595002E-50.07.7077966E-51.0968837E-40.00.01.0968837E-40.09.380202E-40.00133465953.0E-40.224776430.00153439262.0E-40.0093407060.0132348320.00820.619577170.0143202740.0011
6.81.613555E-52.1975631E-50.00.02.1975631E-50.06.915052E-59.417796E-50.00.09.417796E-50.08.4158237E-40.00114602753.0E-40.261773820.00134579832.0E-40.0083840230.0113855780.0070.61481290.0123741920.001
6.91.2916435E-51.7096578E-50.00.01.7096578E-50.05.5354973E-57.326902E-50.00.07.326902E-50.06.7373837E-48.916911E-42.0E-40.224292939.916018E-41.0E-40.0067169940.0088754730.00530.59715130.009569267.0E-4
7.09.81129E-61.264222E-50.00.01.264222E-50.04.2047708E-55.4179825E-50.00.05.4179825E-50.05.118106E-46.594414E-42.0E-40.3032877.5937546E-41.0E-40.0051063340.0065756060.00420.638724450.00697297564.0E-4
7.18.0889195E-61.0427976E-50.00.01.0427976E-50.03.4666336E-54.4690565E-50.00.04.4690565E-50.04.219809E-45.439729E-42.0E-40.36766546.4391847E-41.0E-40.0042118050.0054267080.00350.64495820.005725083.0E-4
7.26.267438E-68.124594E-60.00.08.124594E-60.02.6860173E-53.481923E-50.00.03.481923E-50.03.2697353E-44.238424E-42.0E-40.47187355.2380003E-41.0E-40.00326492850.00423078750.00270.638179060.0045295183.0E-4
7.33.6761196E-64.8442653E-60.00.04.8442653E-60.01.5754704E-52.0760972E-50.00.02.0760972E-50.01.9179663E-42.5273574E-41.0E-40.39567023.5271046E-41.0E-40.00191631180.00252489020.00170.673296630.00262463771.0E-4
7.42.8044356E-63.713519E-60.00.03.713519E-60.01.2018954E-51.5914984E-50.00.01.5914984E-50.01.4632095E-41.9374782E-41.0E-40.516134862.9372846E-41.0E-40.00146224640.0019360260.00140.723130760.00203583251.0E-4
7.52.4578699E-63.2481973E-60.00.03.2481973E-60.01.0533685E-51.3920772E-50.00.01.3920772E-50.01.2824008E-41.6947233E-41.0E-40.59006682.694554E-41.0E-40.00128166090.00169365630.00120.708526250.0017934871.0E-4
7.61.7713267E-62.338302E-60.00.02.338302E-60.07.591378E-61.00212565E-50.00.01.00212565E-50.09.2421105E-51.2200206E-41.0E-40.819658342.2198986E-41.0E-49.2382677E-40.00121956947.0E-40.57397310.00131944741.0E-4
7.75.1912366E-76.832616E-70.00.06.832616E-70.02.2248137E-62.9282608E-60.00.02.9282608E-60.02.708677E-53.5651003E-51.0E-42.80497031.3564744E-41.0E-42.708347E-43.56472E-41.0E-40.280526944.5643636E-41.0E-4

Monte Vista - Shannon 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.7907707E-52.7597327E-50.00.02.7597327E-50.01.19598975E-41.1826959E-42.0E-41.69105172.1825777E-41.0E-40.00145514480.0014391050.00120.833851640.00173867323.0E-40.0144565320.0143270080.01290.900397360.0191568060.0049
6.12.7907707E-52.7597327E-50.00.02.7597327E-50.01.19598975E-41.1826959E-42.0E-41.69105172.1825777E-41.0E-40.00145514480.0014391050.00120.833851640.00173867323.0E-40.0144565320.0143270080.01290.900397360.0191568060.0049
6.22.7907707E-52.7597327E-50.00.02.7597327E-50.01.19598975E-41.1826959E-42.0E-41.69105172.1825777E-41.0E-40.00145514480.0014391050.00120.833851640.00173867323.0E-40.0144565320.0143270080.01290.900397360.0191568060.0049
6.32.7907707E-52.7597327E-50.00.02.7597327E-50.01.19598975E-41.1826959E-42.0E-41.69105172.1825777E-41.0E-40.00145514480.0014391050.00120.833851640.00173867323.0E-40.0144565320.0143270080.01290.900397360.0191568060.0049
6.42.7907707E-52.7597327E-50.00.02.7597327E-50.01.19598975E-41.1826959E-42.0E-41.69105172.1825777E-41.0E-40.00145514480.0014391050.00120.833851640.00173867323.0E-40.0144565320.0143270080.01290.900397360.0191568060.0049
6.51.7990213E-51.6650753E-50.00.01.6650753E-50.07.709863E-57.135879E-52.0E-42.80273821.7135165E-41.0E-49.382716E-48.685133E-48.0E-40.921114270.00116825283.0E-40.00934319850.0086746260.00730.84153480.011152940.0025
6.69.650407E-67.46617E-60.00.07.46617E-60.04.135823E-53.1997522E-51.0E-43.1252421.3199433E-41.0E-45.0342013E-43.8950803E-43.0E-40.770202345.8943016E-42.0E-40.0050228120.00390599480.00280.71684680.0050016980.0011
6.79.62828E-67.4440745E-60.00.07.4440745E-60.04.1263404E-53.190283E-51.0E-43.13451811.3189964E-41.0E-45.022661E-43.8835558E-43.0E-40.772487945.882779E-42.0E-40.00501132430.00389451040.00280.71896070.00499022660.0011
6.86.887523E-64.4700632E-60.00.04.4700632E-60.02.9517621E-51.9157285E-51.0E-45.21994641.1915537E-41.0E-43.5931775E-42.3321722E-42.0E-40.857569633.331939E-41.0E-40.00358737330.0023469390.00170.72434780.00314506148.0E-4
6.96.2722347E-63.811814E-60.00.03.811814E-60.02.6880729E-51.6336255E-51.0E-46.1213541.16334624E-41.0E-43.2722374E-41.9887778E-42.0E-41.00564282.988579E-41.0E-40.0032674230.00200419830.00150.748428940.00270279547.0E-4
7.05.5320347E-63.0387812E-60.00.03.0387812E-60.02.3708504E-51.3023294E-50.00.01.3023294E-50.02.8861282E-41.585489E-41.0E-40.630720261.585489E-40.00.00288238260.00160154420.00110.68683710.00190106383.0E-4
7.13.8794055E-61.2914027E-60.00.01.2914027E-60.01.6625918E-55.5345713E-60.00.05.5345713E-60.02.0240174E-46.7381334E-51.0E-41.48409046.7381334E-50.00.0020221756.906216E-47.0E-41.01357968.904835E-42.0E-4
7.23.4813652E-69.743652E-70.00.09.743652E-70.01.49200505E-54.1758444E-60.00.04.1758444E-60.01.8163648E-45.0839728E-51.0E-41.96696575.0839728E-50.00.00181488095.252816E-44.0E-40.761496375.252816E-40.0
7.33.1682148E-67.7894396E-70.00.07.7894396E-70.01.3577992E-53.338327E-60.00.03.338327E-60.01.6529951E-44.0643376E-51.0E-42.46042564.0643376E-50.00.00165176614.2333477E-43.0E-40.7086594.2333477E-40.0
7.42.9707667E-67.413947E-70.00.07.413947E-70.01.2731795E-53.1774018E-60.00.03.1774018E-60.01.5499859E-43.8684182E-51.0E-42.58503583.8684182E-50.00.00154890524.035375E-43.0E-40.74342534.035375E-40.0
7.52.3462758E-66.0658414E-70.00.06.0658414E-70.01.0055429E-52.5996437E-60.00.02.5996437E-60.01.2241797E-43.1650205E-51.0E-43.1595373.1650205E-50.00.00122350563.314655E-42.0E-40.603381043.314655E-40.0
7.62.112783E-65.3060506E-70.00.05.3060506E-70.09.054753E-62.2740196E-60.00.02.2740196E-60.01.1023604E-42.7685839E-51.0E-43.6119552.7685839E-50.00.00110181372.9140097E-41.0E-40.343169782.9140097E-40.0
7.71.7022471E-64.2791277E-70.00.04.2791277E-70.07.2953244E-61.8339105E-60.00.01.8339105E-60.08.881695E-52.2327633E-51.0E-44.4787552.2327633E-50.08.878146E-42.3649132E-41.0E-40.42284852.3649132E-40.0
7.87.230914E-73.7716887E-70.00.03.7716887E-70.03.0989595E-61.616437E-60.00.01.616437E-60.03.772918E-51.9679945E-51.0E-45.0813151.9679945E-50.03.7722773E-42.0953974E-41.0E-40.477236452.0953974E-40.0
7.94.3588446E-73.4681136E-70.00.03.4681136E-70.01.868075E-61.4863336E-60.00.01.4863336E-60.02.2743576E-51.8095963E-51.0E-45.52609441.8095963E-50.02.2741247E-41.9191172E-41.0E-40.52107291.9191172E-40.0
8.02.3317523E-73.1843098E-70.00.03.1843098E-70.09.99322E-71.3647035E-60.00.01.3647035E-60.01.2166677E-51.6615139E-51.0E-46.0186071.6615139E-50.01.21660116E-41.7569962E-41.0E-40.56915321.7569962E-40.0
8.11.4662456E-72.050237E-70.00.02.050237E-70.06.283908E-78.7867267E-70.00.08.7867267E-70.07.650631E-61.0697789E-51.0E-49.3477271.0697789E-50.07.650368E-51.1232932E-41.0E-40.890239541.1232932E-40.0
8.25.4931775E-95.1271325E-90.00.05.1271325E-90.02.3542189E-82.1973424E-80.00.02.1973424E-80.02.8662612E-72.6752642E-70.00.02.6752642E-70.02.8662573E-62.7811748E-60.00.02.7811748E-60.0

Hunting Creek - Bartlett Springs connector 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.940016E-56.7914334E-52.0E-42.94488626.7914334E-50.02.1169778E-42.910261E-44.0E-41.37444723.9099698E-41.0E-40.0025743740.00353734130.00310.87636440.0041352196.0E-40.0254475460.0347960440.03060.879410270.0398151050.0052
6.14.940016E-56.7914334E-52.0E-42.94488626.7914334E-50.02.1169778E-42.910261E-44.0E-41.37444723.9099698E-41.0E-40.0025743740.00353734130.00310.87636440.0041352196.0E-40.0254475460.0347960440.03060.879410270.0398151050.0052
6.24.472471E-56.104415E-52.0E-43.27631716.104415E-50.01.9166325E-42.615899E-44.0E-41.52911093.6156375E-41.0E-40.00233100260.00318010760.00290.91191880.00377819946.0E-40.023067030.0313365760.02530.80736320.0351143670.0039
6.34.472471E-56.104415E-52.0E-43.27631716.104415E-50.01.9166325E-42.615899E-44.0E-41.52911093.6156375E-41.0E-40.00233100260.00318010760.00290.91191880.00377819946.0E-40.023067030.0313365760.02530.80736320.0351143670.0039
6.44.0001003E-55.4138003E-52.0E-43.69426275.4138003E-50.01.714216E-42.3199919E-42.0E-40.862071932.3199919E-40.00.00208506030.00282088060.00230.815348270.00331947025.0E-40.020656050.0278454270.02020.72543330.0308591070.0031
6.53.8033053E-55.1297422E-52.0E-43.89883165.1297422E-50.01.6298861E-42.1982734E-42.0E-40.909804942.1982734E-40.00.00198258020.00267308580.00210.78560890.00307201664.0E-40.0196498560.026406470.01810.68543810.0287430940.0024
6.63.653754E-54.915885E-52.0E-44.06844334.915885E-50.01.5658008E-42.1066378E-42.0E-40.94938012.1066378E-40.00.00190469540.00256180740.00180.70262890.00296078274.0E-40.0188845270.0253216290.01650.65161680.0273684540.0021
6.73.372024E-54.5166544E-51.0E-42.21402814.5166544E-50.01.4450731E-41.9355648E-41.0E-40.51664511.9355648E-40.00.00175795670.00235402140.00160.6796880.00265331523.0E-40.0174411480.0232918770.01480.635414660.025049950.0018
6.82.9650024E-53.9433417E-51.0E-42.53592013.9433417E-50.01.2706534E-41.6898921E-41.0E-40.59175381.6898921E-40.00.00154592270.00205549230.00110.53515160.00235487573.0E-40.0153521240.0203627030.01230.60404550.0219301230.0016
6.92.860775E-53.783323E-51.0E-42.64317923.783323E-50.01.2259888E-41.6213233E-41.0E-40.61678011.6213233E-40.00.00149161940.00197218069.0E-40.456347670.0021717862.0E-40.0148164690.0195466060.01120.57298950.0208211950.0013
7.02.6696067E-53.508623E-51.0E-42.8501213.508623E-50.01.144067E-41.5036094E-41.0E-40.665066361.5036094E-40.00.00139201150.00182911578.0E-40.437369820.00202874982.0E-40.0138332420.0181411650.010.55123250.0193193960.0012
7.12.456087E-53.2030614E-51.0E-43.1220133.2030614E-50.01.0525662E-41.3726689E-41.0E-40.72850781.3726689E-40.00.0012807460.00166995236.0E-40.35929170.00176978531.0E-40.0127338970.016575540.00830.500737850.0176573060.0011
7.22.295761E-52.9839379E-51.0E-43.35127622.9839379E-50.09.8386045E-51.2787683E-41.0E-40.782002451.2787683E-40.00.00119719190.00155579796.0E-40.38565420.00165564231.0E-40.0119076270.015450730.00760.491886140.0165337340.0011
7.32.1256936E-52.7557317E-51.0E-43.62880042.7557317E-50.09.109797E-51.1809749E-41.0E-40.846758071.1809749E-40.00.00110855350.00143689746.0E-40.417566330.00153675371.0E-40.0110303970.0142776490.00680.47626890.0153619430.0011
7.41.8784336E-52.4320507E-51.0E-44.11175632.4320507E-50.08.050181E-51.0422662E-41.0E-40.959447741.0422662E-40.09.796688E-40.0012682286.0E-40.473101020.00136810121.0E-40.0097536120.0126111930.00640.50748570.0135985820.001
7.51.7248298E-52.2281372E-51.0E-44.4880542.2281372E-50.07.391918E-59.548815E-51.0E-41.04725049.548815E-50.08.9959445E-40.00116195566.0E-40.516370830.00126183941.0E-40.0089596150.0115600050.00590.51038040.0122519137.0E-4
7.61.0653709E-51.3730191E-51.0E-47.283221.3730191E-50.04.5657955E-55.8842365E-51.0E-41.69945595.8842365E-50.05.557438E-47.1617303E-44.0E-40.558524258.161014E-41.0E-40.00554356030.00713919850.00390.54627980.00773491526.0E-4
7.73.286316E-64.0920513E-60.00.04.0920513E-60.01.4084137E-51.7537244E-50.00.01.7537244E-50.01.7146087E-42.134952E-42.0E-40.93678923.1347384E-41.0E-40.00171328630.00213294369.0E-40.421952070.0023325172.0E-4
7.85.1855085E-75.9737005E-70.00.05.9737005E-70.02.222359E-62.5601548E-60.00.02.5601548E-60.02.7056883E-53.116945E-50.00.03.116945E-50.02.705359E-43.116446E-41.0E-40.320878333.116446E-40.0

Red Mountain

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.1810763E-54.7605867E-51.0E-42.10058141.4760111E-41.0E-41.7917668E-42.0401012E-42.0E-40.98034353.039897E-41.0E-40.00217929340.00248115880.00150.604556260.00297991825.0E-40.0215804520.024552190.01680.68425660.0286490730.0042
6.14.1810763E-54.7605867E-51.0E-42.10058141.4760111E-41.0E-41.7917668E-42.0401012E-42.0E-40.98034353.039897E-41.0E-40.00217929340.00248115880.00150.604556260.00297991825.0E-40.0215804520.024552190.01680.68425660.0286490730.0042
6.24.1810763E-54.7605867E-51.0E-42.10058141.4760111E-41.0E-41.7917668E-42.0401012E-42.0E-40.98034353.039897E-41.0E-40.00217929340.00248115880.00150.604556260.00297991825.0E-40.0215804520.024552190.01680.68425660.0286490730.0042
6.34.1810763E-54.7605867E-51.0E-42.10058141.4760111E-41.0E-41.7917668E-42.0401012E-42.0E-40.98034353.039897E-41.0E-40.00217929340.00248115880.00150.604556260.00297991825.0E-40.0215804520.024552190.01680.68425660.0286490730.0042
6.44.1810763E-54.7605867E-51.0E-42.10058141.4760111E-41.0E-41.7917668E-42.0401012E-42.0E-40.98034353.039897E-41.0E-40.00217929340.00248115880.00150.604556260.00297991825.0E-40.0215804520.024552190.01680.68425660.0286490730.0042
6.53.154503E-53.5370977E-50.00.03.5370977E-50.01.3518598E-41.515816E-41.0E-40.659710651.515816E-40.00.00164464670.0018440360.00120.65074650.0021434833.0E-40.016325280.0182969960.01330.72689520.0215366170.0033
6.63.1535834E-53.5360354E-50.00.03.5360354E-50.01.3514658E-41.515361E-41.0E-40.659908831.515361E-40.00.00164416760.00184348280.00120.65094180.00214292973.0E-40.016320560.0182915550.01330.727111460.0215311940.0033
6.72.8267326E-53.147913E-50.00.03.147913E-50.01.2114006E-41.3490407E-41.0E-40.74126751.3490407E-40.00.00147388240.00164130470.0010.60927140.00194081233.0E-40.0146414520.0163005960.01170.71776520.0192516930.003
6.82.8212884E-53.1417E-50.00.03.1417E-50.01.20906756E-41.3463781E-41.0E-40.74273341.3463781E-40.00.00147104570.00163806790.0010.61047530.00193757663.0E-40.0146134590.0162687020.01170.719172240.0192198980.003
6.92.4227871E-52.6715077E-50.00.02.6715077E-50.01.03829596E-41.1448859E-41.0E-40.87344951.1448859E-40.00.00126339230.00139308330.0010.71783220.00169266543.0E-40.0125623360.0138511980.01010.72917880.016316570.0025
7.02.348524E-52.5843561E-50.00.02.5843561E-50.01.0064714E-41.1075385E-41.0E-40.90290321.1075385E-40.00.00122469010.00134766969.0E-40.667819440.00164726543.0E-40.0121796270.013402610.00990.738662060.0158691030.0025
7.12.2311642E-52.4470162E-50.00.02.4470162E-50.09.561782E-51.0486833E-41.0E-40.95357671.0486833E-40.00.00116352520.0012760998.0E-40.626910570.00157571623.0E-40.011574520.0126952350.00960.75618920.0151634970.0025
7.21.6533986E-51.7675313E-50.00.01.7675313E-50.07.085802E-57.574949E-50.00.07.574949E-50.08.623549E-49.219234E-46.0E-40.65081330.0011217392.0E-40.0085901610.0091872710.00760.82723150.0110698150.0019
7.31.4703092E-51.556384E-50.00.01.556384E-50.06.301173E-56.670081E-50.00.06.670081E-50.07.668978E-48.118415E-45.0E-40.615883770.00101167922.0E-40.00764256580.0080948360.00630.778273940.0095826940.0015
7.46.1331984E-65.5297896E-60.00.05.5297896E-60.02.6284872E-52.3698887E-50.00.02.3698887E-50.03.199713E-42.8849626E-42.0E-40.69324994.884386E-42.0E-40.00319510980.0028812720.00250.86767240.0035792557.0E-4
7.55.954766E-65.3393874E-60.00.05.3393874E-60.02.5520176E-52.288289E-50.00.02.288289E-50.03.1066386E-42.785641E-42.0E-40.71796764.785084E-42.0E-40.0031022990.00278220330.00240.86262570.00348025567.0E-4
7.64.9726646E-64.3160226E-60.00.04.3160226E-60.02.1311245E-51.849711E-50.00.01.849711E-50.02.5943352E-42.2517939E-42.0E-40.888180734.2513435E-42.0E-40.00259130840.00224954680.00190.84461450.0027484225.0E-4
7.73.3613894E-62.8531529E-60.00.02.8531529E-60.01.4405875E-51.2227742E-50.00.01.2227742E-50.01.7537741E-41.4886286E-40.00.01.4886286E-40.00.00175239080.00148765770.00130.873856960.00178721143.0E-4
7.81.1828961E-61.0124201E-60.00.01.0124201E-60.05.069545E-64.3389364E-60.00.04.3389364E-60.06.171996E-55.2825297E-50.00.05.2825297E-50.06.170282E-45.2813033E-44.0E-40.75738887.280247E-42.0E-4
7.92.2967266E-71.8621728E-70.00.01.8621728E-70.09.843111E-77.980738E-70.00.07.980738E-70.01.19839215E-59.716508E-60.00.09.716508E-60.01.1983275E-49.716112E-52.0E-42.05843642.971417E-42.0E-4

Coyote Canyon

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.5090034E-54.037636E-50.00.04.037636E-50.01.503772E-41.7303151E-40.00.01.7303151E-40.00.00182930470.00210488080.00140.665120840.00250403894.0E-40.0181431940.0208753760.0190.91016330.02498770.0042
6.13.5090034E-54.037636E-50.00.04.037636E-50.01.503772E-41.7303151E-40.00.01.7303151E-40.00.00182930470.00210488080.00140.665120840.00250403894.0E-40.0181431940.0208753760.0190.91016330.02498770.0042
6.21.841879E-52.1065785E-50.00.02.1065785E-50.07.8935285E-59.027939E-50.00.09.027939E-50.09.606133E-40.00109869949.0E-40.81915030.00139836983.0E-40.00956471450.0109427660.0111.00523030.0136132210.0027
6.31.841879E-52.1065785E-50.00.02.1065785E-50.07.8935285E-59.027939E-50.00.09.027939E-50.09.606133E-40.00109869949.0E-40.81915030.00139836983.0E-40.00956471450.0109427660.0111.00523030.0136132210.0027
6.41.712201E-51.957075E-50.00.01.957075E-50.07.337798E-58.387252E-50.00.08.387252E-50.08.930107E-40.00102077028.0E-40.7837220.0013204643.0E-40.0088943070.0101707380.01051.03237340.0128432770.0027
6.51.4744935E-51.6841712E-50.00.01.6841712E-50.06.3191044E-57.2177296E-50.00.07.2177296E-50.07.6907943E-48.7849784E-47.0E-40.79681470.00117823433.0E-40.0076642320.0087594520.00921.05029390.011138430.0024
6.61.2017839E-51.3727956E-50.00.01.3727956E-50.05.150401E-55.883327E-50.00.05.883327E-50.06.268809E-47.161483E-47.0E-40.97745120.00101593353.0E-40.00625115450.00714710260.00761.0633680.0091328080.002
6.71.00956095E-51.1536777E-50.00.01.1536777E-50.04.326618E-54.9442882E-50.00.04.9442882E-50.05.266384E-46.018878E-45.0E-40.830719539.017073E-43.0E-40.0052539210.0060111090.00631.04805960.00760149070.0016

Eaton Roughs 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.8044945E-58.848526E-52.0E-42.26026328.848526E-50.02.9158857E-43.7916636E-43.0E-40.79120943.7916636E-40.00.00354431270.0046072570.00270.586032030.00480633552.0E-40.034883140.0451881480.03040.67274280.0497712460.0048
6.16.8044945E-58.848526E-52.0E-42.26026328.848526E-50.02.9158857E-43.7916636E-43.0E-40.79120943.7916636E-40.00.00354431270.0046072570.00270.586032030.00480633552.0E-40.034883140.0451881480.03040.67274280.0497712460.0048
6.26.8044945E-58.848526E-52.0E-42.26026328.848526E-50.02.9158857E-43.7916636E-43.0E-40.79120943.7916636E-40.00.00354431270.0046072570.00270.586032030.00480633552.0E-40.034883140.0451881480.03040.67274280.0497712460.0048
6.36.8044945E-58.848526E-52.0E-42.26026328.848526E-50.02.9158857E-43.7916636E-43.0E-40.79120943.7916636E-40.00.00354431270.0046072570.00270.586032030.00480633552.0E-40.034883140.0451881480.03040.67274280.0497712460.0048
6.44.5830013E-55.7182817E-52.0E-43.49755435.7182817E-50.01.9639956E-42.4504925E-42.0E-40.81616252.4504925E-40.00.00238854230.00297976240.00180.6040750.00317916652.0E-40.0236303210.0294357280.02020.68624090.032638590.0033
6.54.5830013E-55.7182817E-52.0E-43.49755435.7182817E-50.01.9639956E-42.4504925E-42.0E-40.81616252.4504925E-40.00.00238854230.00297976240.00180.6040750.00317916652.0E-40.0236303210.0294357280.02020.68624090.032638590.0033
6.63.222194E-53.827706E-51.0E-42.6125313.827706E-50.01.3808672E-41.6403486E-41.0E-40.60962651.6403486E-40.00.00167990920.00199538280.0010.5011570.00219498372.0E-40.0166726650.0197840070.01360.687423940.0216464180.0019
6.72.4155654E-52.7794362E-51.0E-43.5978522.7794362E-50.01.0352012E-41.191133E-41.0E-40.839536851.191133E-40.00.00125962870.00144924784.0E-40.276005240.0015491031.0E-40.0125251260.0143992080.00930.645868840.015779050.0014
6.82.1814667E-52.4947763E-51.0E-44.0083752.4947763E-50.09.348808E-51.0691463E-41.0E-40.93532571.0691463E-40.00.0011376230.00130091213.0E-40.230607440.0014007821.0E-40.0113181690.0129336780.0080.61854020.0141181570.0012
6.92.0700467E-52.3635363E-51.0E-44.23094842.3635363E-50.08.871327E-51.012905E-41.0E-40.987259451.012905E-40.00.00107954880.00123251743.0E-40.243404270.00133239411.0E-40.0107431940.0122574370.00770.628190040.0134427280.0012
7.02.0104066E-52.2942706E-51.0E-44.3586842.2942706E-50.08.615744E-59.832219E-51.0E-41.01706439.832219E-50.00.00104846190.00119641843.0E-40.25074840.00129629871.0E-40.0104352910.011900360.00750.630233050.013086080.0012
7.11.8225232E-52.0778598E-51.0E-44.81264452.0778598E-50.07.81058E-58.90481E-51.0E-41.12298868.90481E-50.09.5052324E-40.00108362293.0E-40.276849060.00118351461.0E-40.0094646770.0107837780.00730.67694270.0119708380.0012
7.21.7526572E-51.9998855E-51.0E-45.00028661.9998855E-50.07.511172E-58.570657E-51.0E-41.16677178.570657E-50.09.141015E-40.00104297943.0E-40.28763750.00114287521.0E-40.0091035060.010381210.00670.64539680.0114697910.0011
7.31.5727232E-51.8026487E-51.0E-45.54739241.8026487E-50.06.740067E-57.7254095E-51.0E-41.29442987.7254095E-50.08.2029426E-49.40164E-43.0E-40.319093260.001040071.0E-40.0081727290.0093621730.00620.66223940.0102537479.0E-4
7.41.4457361E-51.660299E-51.0E-46.02301171.660299E-50.06.195865E-57.1153736E-51.0E-41.40540757.1153736E-50.07.540854E-48.6595333E-43.0E-40.3464399.658667E-41.0E-40.0075153170.0086260390.00570.660789970.009327.0E-4
7.51.33280955E-51.5349786E-51.0E-46.5147491.5349786E-50.05.711916E-56.578314E-51.0E-41.52014646.578314E-50.06.9520384E-48.006163E-43.0E-40.374711339.005362E-41.0E-40.006930330.0079775480.00530.66436450.0086719647.0E-4
7.61.0699478E-51.2391409E-51.0E-48.0701071.2391409E-50.04.5854096E-55.310496E-51.0E-41.88306325.310496E-50.05.581306E-46.463616E-43.0E-40.464136457.46297E-41.0E-40.0055673090.0064449860.00470.729249060.00714047447.0E-4
7.75.9390236E-66.8547984E-60.00.06.8547984E-60.02.545271E-52.937738E-50.00.02.937738E-50.03.0984267E-43.5761113E-41.0E-40.279633343.5761113E-40.00.00309411020.00357039620.00230.64418620.0039689684.0E-4
7.82.1622036E-62.3300493E-60.00.02.3300493E-60.09.266554E-69.985887E-60.00.09.985887E-60.01.1281446E-41.21571466E-40.00.01.21571466E-40.00.0011275720.00121504990.00120.987613740.00141480692.0E-4
7.94.9586197E-75.2194645E-70.00.05.2194645E-70.02.125121E-62.2369118E-60.00.02.2369118E-60.02.5873042E-52.723408E-50.00.02.723408E-50.02.5870028E-42.7230952E-43.0E-41.10168762.7230952E-40.0

Goldstone Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.671352E-53.0384148E-50.00.03.0384148E-50.01.1448149E-41.3021239E-41.0E-40.76797611.3021239E-40.00.0013929210.00158437940.00140.883626760.00248295359.0E-40.0138422220.0157503450.01831.16187930.0204747430.0048
6.12.671352E-53.0384148E-50.00.03.0384148E-50.01.1448149E-41.3021239E-41.0E-40.76797611.3021239E-40.00.0013929210.00158437940.00140.883626760.00248295359.0E-40.0138422220.0157503450.01831.16187930.0204747430.0048
6.21.4197047E-51.6100306E-50.00.01.6100306E-50.06.0843064E-56.9000045E-51.0E-41.44927456.9000045E-50.07.4051257E-48.398504E-47.0E-40.83348180.00113959843.0E-40.0073804980.0083764660.01051.25351190.0109546870.0026
6.31.4197047E-51.6100306E-50.00.01.6100306E-50.06.0843064E-56.9000045E-51.0E-41.44927456.9000045E-50.07.4051257E-48.398504E-47.0E-40.83348180.00113959843.0E-40.0073804980.0083764660.01051.25351190.0109546870.0026
6.41.3238931E-51.5012229E-50.00.01.5012229E-50.05.6737044E-56.433709E-51.0E-41.55431346.433709E-50.06.9055456E-47.831206E-47.0E-40.893859740.00108288573.0E-40.0068841260.007813240.00981.25428120.0101944890.0024
6.51.3238931E-51.5012229E-50.00.01.5012229E-50.05.6737044E-56.433709E-51.0E-41.55431346.433709E-50.06.9055456E-47.831206E-47.0E-40.893859740.00108288573.0E-40.0068841260.007813240.00981.25428120.0101944890.0024
6.61.1328278E-51.28583915E-50.00.01.28583915E-50.04.8548856E-55.5106768E-51.0E-41.81465915.5106768E-50.05.90922E-46.7081413E-46.0E-40.89443559.7061286E-43.0E-40.00589353130.00669728640.00871.29903360.0089818830.0023
6.78.651175E-69.826997E-60.00.09.826997E-60.03.707594E-54.211553E-51.0E-42.3744214.211553E-50.04.5130608E-45.1272655E-43.0E-40.58510727.12624E-42.0E-40.00450390620.0051243190.0061.17088740.006716120.0016
6.81.0215377E-61.1756098E-60.00.01.1756098E-60.04.378012E-65.0383187E-60.00.05.0383187E-60.05.3300988E-56.133992E-51.0E-41.63025991.6133378E-41.0E-45.3288206E-46.132411E-49.0E-41.4676129.130571E-43.0E-4
6.97.9360774E-79.284379E-70.00.09.284379E-70.03.4011714E-63.979014E-60.00.03.979014E-60.04.1408475E-54.844349E-50.00.04.844349E-50.04.140076E-44.8433628E-46.0E-41.23880886.8423944E-42.0E-4
7.07.4382757E-78.7482294E-70.00.08.7482294E-70.03.1878285E-63.7492362E-60.00.03.7492362E-60.03.8811122E-54.5646062E-50.00.04.5646062E-50.03.8804344E-44.563735E-46.0E-41.31471266.5628224E-42.0E-4
7.16.4709513E-77.7120546E-70.00.07.7120546E-70.02.773262E-63.3051624E-60.00.03.3051624E-60.03.376394E-54.023967E-50.00.04.023967E-50.03.375881E-44.023298E-46.0E-41.49131386.0224935E-42.0E-4
7.26.356704E-77.589096E-70.00.07.589096E-70.02.7242988E-63.2524658E-60.00.03.2524658E-60.03.3167835E-53.9598115E-50.00.03.9598115E-50.03.3162883E-43.9591652E-46.0E-41.5154715.958373E-42.0E-4
7.35.7695723E-76.897233E-70.00.06.897233E-70.02.4726714E-62.9559542E-60.00.02.9559542E-60.03.0104358E-53.5988207E-50.00.03.5988207E-50.03.0100282E-43.5982952E-45.0E-41.3895474.5979352E-41.0E-4
7.45.209647E-76.1940716E-70.00.06.1940716E-70.02.232704E-62.6545997E-60.00.02.6545997E-60.02.718283E-53.231933E-50.00.03.231933E-50.02.7179506E-43.2315185E-44.0E-41.23780824.2311955E-41.0E-4
7.54.512955E-75.34934E-70.00.05.34934E-70.01.934122E-62.2925724E-60.00.02.2925724E-60.02.3547682E-52.7911767E-50.00.02.7911767E-50.02.3545188E-42.7908792E-42.0E-40.71662012.7908792E-40.0
7.62.21172E-72.6041212E-70.00.02.6041212E-70.09.478797E-71.1160516E-60.00.01.1160516E-60.01.1540374E-51.3587873E-50.00.01.3587873E-50.01.1539775E-41.3587323E-41.0E-40.735980151.3587323E-40.0

Honey Lake 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.155506E-57.959183E-50.00.07.959183E-50.02.6378073E-43.410655E-41.0E-40.293198823.410655E-40.00.00320680140.004145010.00280.675511060.00474252276.0E-40.031609190.040725420.02560.62860.045329940.0048
6.16.155506E-57.959183E-50.00.07.959183E-50.02.6378073E-43.410655E-41.0E-40.293198823.410655E-40.00.00320680140.004145010.00270.651385660.00464293735.0E-40.031609190.040725420.02330.572124240.04485030.0043
6.24.1335024E-55.260448E-50.00.05.260448E-50.01.7713808E-42.2542929E-40.00.02.2542929E-40.00.00215452280.00274129930.00190.693101940.00284102541.0E-40.0213375350.027090960.01530.5647640.0290367770.002
6.34.1335024E-55.260448E-50.00.05.260448E-50.01.7713808E-42.2542929E-40.00.02.2542929E-40.00.00215452280.00274129930.00190.693101940.00284102541.0E-40.0213375350.027090960.01530.5647640.0290367770.002
6.43.2393702E-54.090835E-50.00.04.090835E-50.01.3882275E-41.7531037E-40.00.01.7531037E-40.00.00168885660.00213242140.00150.70342570.00213242140.00.0167607930.021130620.01190.56316380.0224031490.0013
6.52.7205504E-53.4229153E-50.00.03.4229153E-50.01.1658981E-41.4668866E-40.00.01.4668866E-40.00.00141855660.0017845650.00140.78450490.0017845650.00.0140953540.0177118670.010.56459320.0187923830.0011
6.62.069265E-52.5968484E-50.00.02.5968484E-50.08.867977E-51.1128924E-40.00.01.1128924E-40.00.00107914140.00135418879.0E-40.66460460.00135418870.00.0107391610.0134677450.00710.52718550.0143556249.0E-4
6.71.8060919E-52.2668266E-50.00.02.2668266E-50.07.7401644E-59.714655E-50.00.09.714655E-50.09.419576E-40.00118219857.0E-40.592117130.00118219850.00.0093797480.0117671460.00630.535388950.0125577338.0E-4
6.81.4474663E-51.8190507E-50.00.01.8190507E-50.06.203279E-57.795742E-50.00.07.795742E-50.07.5498753E-49.487948E-45.0E-40.526984339.487948E-40.00.0075242770.0094549750.00480.50766920.0100493026.0E-4
6.98.564552E-61.08079075E-50.00.01.08079075E-50.03.6704707E-54.6319157E-50.00.04.6319157E-50.04.4678818E-45.6385633E-41.0E-40.177350155.6385633E-40.00.00445890940.00563076050.00290.51502810.00602850834.0E-4

Mount Diablo Thrust South

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.2377444E-52.6965981E-50.00.02.6965981E-50.09.5899806E-51.1556449E-40.00.01.1556449E-40.00.00116695480.00140628780.00151.0666380.00270445950.00130.0116084570.0139940780.01380.986131370.0188255070.0049
6.12.2377444E-52.6965981E-50.00.02.6965981E-50.09.5899806E-51.1556449E-40.00.01.1556449E-40.00.00116695480.00140628780.00151.0666380.00270445950.00130.0116084570.0139940780.01380.986131370.0188255070.0049
6.22.2377444E-52.6965981E-50.00.02.6965981E-50.09.5899806E-51.1556449E-40.00.01.1556449E-40.00.00116695480.00140628780.00151.0666380.00270445950.00130.0116084570.0139940780.01380.986131370.0188255070.0049
6.32.2377444E-52.6965981E-50.00.02.6965981E-50.09.5899806E-51.1556449E-40.00.01.1556449E-40.00.00116695480.00140628780.00151.0666380.00270445950.00130.0116084570.0139940780.01380.986131370.0188255070.0049
6.41.2228463E-51.4752545E-50.00.01.4752545E-50.05.2406645E-56.3223735E-50.00.06.3223735E-50.06.378641E-47.6948997E-46.0E-40.779737230.00116918224.0E-40.00636036270.0076702180.00520.677946870.008761780.0011
6.51.2228463E-51.4752545E-50.00.01.4752545E-50.05.2406645E-56.3223735E-50.00.06.3223735E-50.06.378641E-47.6948997E-46.0E-40.779737230.00116918224.0E-40.00636036270.0076702180.00520.677946870.008761780.0011
6.61.2068118E-51.455726E-50.00.01.455726E-50.05.1719482E-56.238684E-50.00.06.238684E-50.06.2950276E-47.593079E-46.0E-40.79019330.00115900424.0E-40.0062772250.0075690950.00510.67379260.0086607690.0011
6.71.1499428E-51.3879664E-50.00.01.3879664E-50.04.9282335E-55.948299E-50.00.05.948299E-50.05.9984723E-47.239775E-45.0E-40.69062920.00102376033.0E-40.00598230630.0072181350.00470.65113770.0082109170.001
6.88.82118E-61.0834118E-50.00.01.0834118E-50.03.780451E-54.643114E-50.00.04.643114E-50.04.601727E-45.6515815E-43.0E-40.53082496.6510163E-41.0E-40.00459220960.00563843640.00330.58526860.0060361814.0E-4
6.98.047112E-69.942817E-60.00.09.942817E-60.03.4487166E-54.2611406E-50.00.04.2611406E-50.04.1980037E-45.1867566E-43.0E-40.578396146.186238E-41.0E-40.0041900820.0051758430.00290.56029520.005474293.0E-4
7.06.2574763E-67.751359E-60.00.07.751359E-60.02.681748E-53.3219705E-50.00.03.3219705E-50.03.264539E-44.0437854E-42.0E-40.494586084.0437854E-40.00.00325974750.0040373770.00230.569676760.00413697351.0E-4
7.13.6485903E-64.5142924E-60.00.04.5142924E-60.01.5636722E-51.9346828E-50.00.01.9346828E-50.01.9036046E-42.3552257E-41.0E-40.424587762.3552257E-40.00.00190197480.00235283560.00140.59502670.00235283560.0
7.22.3034274E-62.9060848E-60.00.02.9060848E-60.09.871795E-61.245459E-50.00.01.245459E-50.01.2018247E-41.5162434E-41.0E-40.659524741.5162434E-40.00.00120117490.00151539447.0E-40.461925920.00151539440.0
7.31.224035E-61.5682622E-60.00.01.5682622E-60.05.245854E-66.721107E-60.00.06.721107E-60.06.38664E-58.182652E-50.00.08.182652E-50.06.384805E-48.1810314E-45.0E-40.61116998.1810314E-40.0
7.45.1601154E-76.724685E-70.00.06.724685E-70.02.2114762E-62.8820048E-60.00.02.8820048E-60.02.6924388E-53.508786E-50.00.03.508786E-50.02.6921128E-43.5078867E-43.0E-40.85521573.5078867E-40.0
7.53.552894E-74.665793E-70.00.04.665793E-70.01.5226678E-61.9996241E-60.00.01.9996241E-60.01.8538323E-52.4345167E-50.00.02.4345167E-50.01.8536777E-42.4343736E-43.0E-41.23234992.4343736E-40.0
7.61.3124082E-71.7192494E-70.00.01.7192494E-70.05.6246057E-77.36821E-70.00.07.36821E-70.06.8479358E-68.970767E-60.00.08.970767E-60.06.8477246E-58.9704095E-51.0E-41.11477638.9704095E-50.0
7.73.6193022E-84.7337167E-80.00.04.7337167E-80.01.5511293E-72.0287355E-70.00.02.0287355E-70.01.8884983E-62.4699839E-60.00.02.4699839E-60.01.8884823E-52.470406E-50.00.02.470406E-50.0

Chino alt 1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.939946E-54.898163E-50.00.04.898163E-50.01.6884391E-42.0990732E-41.0E-40.476400732.0990732E-40.00.00205373620.00255313860.00230.900851960.00325135147.0E-40.0203485950.0252982170.01830.723371150.0297818440.0046
6.12.1505624E-52.6902339E-50.00.02.6902339E-50.09.2163704E-51.1529127E-40.00.01.1529127E-40.00.00112151540.00140287740.00130.926666860.00180231634.0E-40.0111587220.0139604310.00970.694820940.0155380950.0016
6.22.1505624E-52.6902339E-50.00.02.6902339E-50.09.2163704E-51.1529127E-40.00.01.1529127E-40.00.00112151540.00140287740.00130.926666860.00180231634.0E-40.0111587220.0139604310.00970.694820940.0155380950.0016
6.31.4290785E-51.8184768E-50.00.01.8184768E-50.06.1244784E-57.7932644E-50.00.07.7932644E-50.07.454001E-49.484622E-49.0E-40.948904450.00104836741.0E-40.0074290480.0094579480.00610.644960170.0100522736.0E-4
6.41.4290785E-51.8184768E-50.00.01.8184768E-50.06.1244784E-57.7932644E-50.00.07.7932644E-50.07.454001E-49.484622E-49.0E-40.948904450.00104836741.0E-40.0074290480.0094579480.00610.644960170.0100522736.0E-4
6.51.3017944E-51.667116E-50.00.01.667116E-50.05.5789995E-57.144612E-50.00.07.144612E-50.06.790315E-48.695532E-49.0E-41.03501439.6946623E-41.0E-40.00676960360.0086751570.0060.69163010.0092699526.0E-4
6.69.470016E-61.2055214E-50.00.01.2055214E-50.04.058515E-55.166437E-50.00.05.166437E-50.04.940122E-46.288662E-47.0E-41.11311447.2880334E-41.0E-40.0049291540.006282990.00450.71621950.00677984865.0E-4
6.78.314155E-61.0416118E-50.00.01.0416118E-50.03.5631605E-54.4639924E-50.00.04.4639924E-50.04.3372845E-45.4338784E-46.0E-41.10418376.433335E-41.0E-40.0043288290.00543315430.00410.75462610.00583098134.0E-4
6.83.4856364E-63.8163416E-60.00.03.8163416E-60.01.4938357E-51.635566E-50.00.01.635566E-50.01.8185932E-41.9911403E-43.0E-41.50667432.9909413E-41.0E-40.00181710560.00199133130.00130.65282950.0021909332.0E-4
6.92.2645952E-62.1547792E-60.00.02.1547792E-60.09.705372E-69.234736E-60.00.09.234736E-60.01.18156495E-41.1242733E-42.0E-41.77892682.124161E-41.0E-40.00118093690.00112456588.0E-40.711385670.00132434092.0E-4
7.01.7864003E-61.5446867E-60.00.01.5446867E-60.07.655979E-66.6200696E-60.00.06.6200696E-60.09.3207556E-58.059642E-52.0E-42.48149971.8058837E-41.0E-49.316847E-48.061203E-45.0E-40.62025489.0603967E-41.0E-4
7.11.7315456E-61.4749259E-60.00.01.4749259E-60.07.420889E-66.321096E-60.00.06.321096E-60.09.034557E-57.695668E-52.0E-42.59886481.7694899E-41.0E-49.0308854E-47.697338E-45.0E-40.649575238.6965685E-41.0E-4
7.21.6008337E-61.3589153E-60.00.01.3589153E-60.06.860698E-65.8239098E-60.00.05.8239098E-60.08.352579E-57.090385E-52.0E-42.82072141.7089676E-41.0E-48.34944E-47.092318E-45.0E-40.70498818.0916093E-41.0E-4
7.31.3320939E-61.1231142E-60.00.01.1231142E-60.05.7089615E-64.813338E-60.00.04.813338E-60.06.9504385E-55.8600865E-51.0E-41.70645955.8600865E-50.06.9482654E-45.8599655E-43.0E-40.51194845.8599655E-40.0
7.41.114294E-69.249076E-70.00.09.249076E-70.04.775537E-63.963884E-60.00.03.963884E-60.05.8140613E-54.825926E-50.00.04.825926E-50.05.81254E-44.825052E-41.0E-40.207251674.825052E-40.0
7.59.354081E-77.63435E-70.00.07.63435E-70.04.0088858E-63.2718606E-60.00.03.2718606E-60.04.8807087E-53.983421E-50.00.03.983421E-50.04.879637E-43.982741E-41.0E-40.251083373.982741E-40.0
7.68.521771E-76.8911964E-70.00.06.8911964E-70.03.6521824E-62.9533667E-60.00.02.9533667E-60.04.4464414E-53.595668E-50.00.03.595668E-50.04.4455516E-43.595118E-41.0E-40.2781553.595118E-40.0
7.72.1803626E-71.4214484E-70.00.01.4214484E-70.09.344408E-76.091921E-70.00.06.091921E-70.01.1376757E-57.4168984E-60.00.07.4168984E-60.01.13761744E-47.4167474E-50.00.07.4167474E-50.0

Garlock (West)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.5181727E-52.5271314E-50.00.02.5271314E-50.01.0791722E-41.0830116E-41.0E-40.923351172.0829032E-41.0E-40.00131310020.00131777240.00211.59359840.00281579580.00150.0130536830.013179840.01220.925656140.0179165770.0048
6.12.5077732E-52.5172343E-50.00.02.5172343E-50.01.0747157E-41.0787703E-41.0E-40.926981452.0786624E-41.0E-40.0013076810.00131261490.00211.599860.0028106460.00150.0130001260.0131288750.01220.929249470.0178658570.0048
6.22.494612E-52.505396E-50.00.02.505396E-50.01.0690756E-41.0736971E-41.0E-40.93136132.0735897E-41.0E-40.00130082240.00130644580.00211.60741460.0028044860.00150.0129323410.013067910.01220.93358460.0178051850.0048
6.32.4733758E-52.487327E-50.00.02.487327E-50.01.0599751E-41.0659539E-41.0E-40.938126862.0658474E-41.0E-40.00128975560.00129702970.00211.6190840.00279508410.00150.0128229570.0129748530.01210.93257320.0176138710.0047
6.42.3237335E-52.3252047E-50.00.02.3252047E-50.09.958477E-59.964784E-51.0E-41.00353411.9963787E-41.0E-40.00121177020.00121254010.0021.649430.00271072120.00150.0120518380.0121394590.01110.91437350.0165848320.0045
6.52.2732203E-52.3066392E-50.00.02.3066392E-50.09.742009E-59.885224E-51.0E-41.01161091.9884235E-41.0E-40.00118544420.00120286430.0021.66269790.002701060.00150.0117914030.0120437550.01110.92163950.0164895580.0045
6.62.1319436E-52.1845752E-50.00.02.1845752E-50.09.136581E-59.3621304E-51.0E-41.0681331.9361194E-41.0E-40.0011118110.00113924570.0021.75554760.00263753670.00150.0110626490.01141424850.01050.91990290.0156651660.0043
6.71.970802E-52.0464886E-50.00.02.0464886E-50.08.446021E-58.770372E-51.0E-41.14020251.8769495E-41.0E-40.0010278180.00106727150.0021.87393760.00256567050.00150.0102307710.0107016190.010.9344380.0149556030.0043
6.81.8744462E-51.9972165E-50.00.01.9972165E-50.08.033094E-58.55922E-51.0E-41.16833081.8558363E-41.0E-49.775903E-40.00104158850.0021.92014410.0025400260.00150.0097330090.0104472110.00960.918905560.0146033330.0042
6.91.7559682E-51.902407E-50.00.01.902407E-50.07.5253614E-58.1529186E-51.0E-41.22655461.8152104E-41.0E-49.158276E-49.921673E-40.0022.0157890.0024906790.00150.00912062450.0099575340.00920.92392350.0140167080.0041
7.01.6794445E-51.8286382E-50.00.01.8286382E-50.07.197421E-57.836787E-51.0E-41.27603321.7836003E-41.0E-48.759337E-49.537125E-40.0022.0970680.0024522820.00150.0087248910.0095761780.00890.929389540.0136369160.0041
7.11.6337795E-51.7786813E-50.00.01.7786813E-50.07.0017246E-57.622698E-51.0E-41.31187141.7621936E-41.0E-48.521265E-49.276697E-40.0022.15593980.0024262780.00150.0084886640.0093178470.00860.922960.0133796440.0041
7.21.5780008E-51.7235197E-50.00.01.7235197E-50.06.762685E-57.386305E-51.0E-41.35385691.7385566E-41.0E-48.2304585E-48.989129E-40.0022.22490980.00239756450.00150.0082000420.0090325690.00840.9299680.0130955350.0041
7.31.5058865E-51.6687756E-50.00.01.6687756E-50.06.45364E-57.1517E-51.0E-41.39826881.7150985E-41.0E-47.854473E-48.7037287E-40.0022.29786560.00236906740.00150.007826770.0087490140.00830.94867840.0127140170.004
7.41.4887923E-51.6523503E-50.00.01.6523503E-50.06.380382E-57.08131E-51.0E-41.41216811.7080602E-41.0E-47.7653467E-48.6180965E-40.00192.20466330.0022606030.00140.00773826750.00866384150.00810.93492020.0125300520.0039
7.51.4509299E-51.6115027E-50.00.01.6115027E-50.06.218123E-56.906258E-51.0E-41.4479621.6905568E-41.0E-47.567935E-48.4051373E-40.00182.14154740.00213942120.00130.00754221340.00845190.00790.9347010.0121206290.0037
7.61.2756717E-51.41163155E-50.00.01.41163155E-50.05.4670498E-56.0497096E-51.0E-41.6529721.6049105E-41.0E-46.6541E-47.3630386E-40.00152.03720240.00173556760.0010.0066342110.0074154290.00660.89003610.0101946660.0028
7.71.0328985E-51.15219445E-50.00.01.15219445E-50.04.4266326E-54.937883E-50.00.04.937883E-50.05.388092E-46.010218E-40.00121.99659980.0013006017.0E-40.00537504670.00607056960.00510.84011890.0078596430.0018
7.87.0306583E-68.949078E-60.00.08.949078E-60.03.0131043E-53.8352628E-50.00.03.8352628E-50.03.667837E-44.6684337E-47.0E-41.49943227.6670334E-43.0E-40.0036617890.00472119030.00390.826062860.00611458070.0014
7.94.060633E-65.4943594E-60.00.05.4943594E-60.01.7402595E-52.3547042E-50.00.02.3547042E-50.02.11856E-42.866476E-45.0E-41.74430194.865903E-42.0E-40.00211654140.0028993860.00270.93123170.00379677659.0E-4
8.01.6729537E-62.087034E-60.00.02.087034E-60.07.169782E-68.944402E-60.00.08.944402E-60.08.7288594E-51.0889268E-42.0E-41.83667061.0889268E-40.08.7254314E-40.00110210829.0E-40.816616830.00150166734.0E-4
8.13.6733252E-73.1624552E-70.00.03.1624552E-70.01.5742813E-61.3553373E-60.00.01.3553373E-60.01.9166706E-51.6501122E-51.0E-46.06019351.6501122E-50.01.9165053E-41.6715302E-44.0E-42.39301683.671196E-42.0E-4

Blackwater

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0708583E-53.3100958E-50.00.03.3100958E-50.01.3160157E-41.4185431E-40.00.01.4185431E-40.00.00160107140.00172584480.00170.985024870.00292377380.00120.0158958510.017138260.01350.787711260.0218559950.0048
6.13.0708583E-53.3100958E-50.00.03.3100958E-50.01.3160157E-41.4185431E-40.00.01.4185431E-40.00.00160107140.00172584480.00170.985024870.00292377380.00120.0158958510.017138260.01350.787711260.0218559950.0048
6.21.1707779E-51.2546903E-50.00.01.2546903E-50.05.017523E-55.3771386E-50.00.05.3771386E-50.06.107122E-46.544796E-48.0E-41.22234520.00115415235.0E-40.0060903660.0065264930.00530.81207470.0082153980.0017
6.31.1707779E-51.2546903E-50.00.01.2546903E-50.05.017523E-55.3771386E-50.00.05.3771386E-50.06.107122E-46.544796E-48.0E-41.22234520.00115415235.0E-40.0060903660.0065264930.00530.81207470.0082153980.0017
6.47.929244E-68.481266E-60.00.08.481266E-60.03.3982033E-53.6347803E-50.00.03.6347803E-50.04.136527E-44.4244868E-44.0E-40.904059655.424044E-41.0E-40.00412883560.00441608350.00340.7699130.00541166730.001
6.55.8832115E-66.2868444E-60.00.06.2868444E-60.02.521352E-52.6943355E-50.00.02.6943355E-50.03.0693135E-43.2798853E-44.0E-41.21955494.2795573E-41.0E-40.00306507780.00327529780.00290.88541570.004172359.0E-4
6.65.8832115E-66.2868444E-60.00.06.2868444E-60.02.521352E-52.6943355E-50.00.02.6943355E-50.03.0693135E-43.2798853E-44.0E-41.21955494.2795573E-41.0E-40.00306507780.00327529780.00290.88541570.004172359.0E-4
6.73.0715053E-63.2819112E-60.00.03.2819112E-60.01.3163528E-51.4065264E-50.00.01.4065264E-50.01.6025416E-41.712323E-43.0E-41.75200591.712323E-40.00.00160138650.00171111820.0021.16882630.00221026275.0E-4
6.82.2722281E-62.4290855E-60.00.02.4290855E-60.09.738084E-61.041033E-50.00.01.041033E-50.01.1855473E-41.2673931E-43.0E-42.36706351.2673931E-40.00.0011849150.00126676050.00161.26306430.00156638053.0E-4
6.99.952399E-71.0654977E-60.00.01.0654977E-60.04.265307E-64.5664137E-60.00.04.5664137E-60.05.1928873E-55.5595185E-52.0E-43.59743385.5595185E-50.05.191674E-45.558634E-48.0E-41.43920257.557522E-42.0E-4
7.04.7385504E-75.0762753E-70.00.05.0762753E-70.02.0308057E-62.1755466E-60.00.02.1755466E-60.02.4724779E-52.648728E-51.0E-43.7753972.648728E-50.02.4722028E-42.648728E-43.0E-41.13261913.6484632E-41.0E-4

Sargent 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.7327867E-53.6676654E-52.0E-45.453063.6676654E-50.01.5996677E-41.5717841E-42.0E-41.27243941.5717841E-40.00.00194585560.00191238070.00190.993526040.0026110427.0E-40.019289050.019031680.01840.96680910.0237403270.0048
6.12.3771476E-51.8493098E-51.0E-45.40742251.8493098E-50.01.01873775E-47.925422E-51.0E-41.26176247.925422E-50.00.00123960759.6457405E-49.0E-40.93305430.00106447761.0E-40.0123271540.0096437480.00880.912508250.0119215680.0023
6.22.3112721E-51.7724202E-51.0E-45.6420031.7724202E-50.09.9050754E-57.595915E-51.0E-41.31649727.595915E-50.00.00120527589.244907E-49.0E-40.9735090.00102439831.0E-40.0119875970.0092462720.00860.93010460.011425930.0022
6.31.728509E-51.0469156E-51.0E-49.55186751.0469156E-50.07.407686E-54.486731E-51.0E-42.2287944.486731E-50.09.015125E-45.46169E-45.0E-40.915467565.46169E-40.00.0089786410.0054848530.00470.85690540.0066782710.0012
6.41.48395575E-57.4648765E-61.0E-413.396077.4648765E-60.06.3596555E-53.199215E-51.0E-43.12576683.199215E-50.07.7401294E-43.8947247E-44.0E-41.02703023.8947247E-40.00.00771322570.00392370070.00340.86652890.00501938440.0011
6.51.4358964E-56.9034627E-61.0E-414.4854846.9034627E-60.06.1536964E-52.9586148E-51.0E-43.379962.9586148E-50.07.48955E-43.6018935E-44.0E-41.1105273.6018935E-40.00.00746435860.00363185260.00320.8810930.0045285849.0E-4
6.69.772591E-61.3801209E-60.00.01.3801209E-60.04.188186E-55.9147906E-60.00.05.9147906E-60.05.097923E-47.2010225E-50.00.07.2010225E-50.00.0050862447.520928E-40.0011.32962310.00125171675.0E-4
6.79.752745E-61.3588092E-60.00.01.3588092E-60.04.179681E-55.823455E-60.00.05.823455E-60.05.0875737E-47.0898284E-50.00.07.0898284E-50.00.0050759427.409809E-40.0011.34956240.00124061045.0E-4
6.89.608213E-61.2425566E-60.00.01.2425566E-60.04.1177405E-55.3252315E-60.00.05.3252315E-60.05.012196E-46.4832784E-50.00.06.4832784E-50.00.0050009066.800625E-49.0E-41.32340760.00117972255.0E-4
6.99.427164E-61.127087E-60.00.01.127087E-60.04.04015E-54.830364E-60.00.04.830364E-60.04.9177726E-45.8808113E-50.00.05.8808113E-50.00.0049069046.191662E-47.0E-41.13055280.00101891854.0E-4
7.09.247601E-69.933524E-70.00.09.933524E-70.03.9631974E-54.2572174E-60.00.04.2572174E-60.04.8241246E-45.1830408E-50.00.05.1830408E-50.00.00481366555.4892275E-47.0E-41.27522499.487032E-44.0E-4
7.18.995454E-68.3249694E-70.00.08.3249694E-70.03.8551374E-53.5678393E-60.00.03.5678393E-60.04.6926187E-44.343759E-50.00.04.343759E-50.00.0046827224.641086E-47.0E-41.50826768.6392293E-44.0E-4
7.28.520861E-65.3238335E-70.00.05.3238335E-70.03.6517464E-52.281641E-60.00.02.281641E-60.04.445094E-42.7778631E-50.00.02.7778631E-50.00.0044362133.058189E-44.0E-41.30796364.057883E-41.0E-4
7.38.043592E-63.4990975E-70.00.03.4990975E-70.03.4472083E-51.4996124E-60.00.01.4996124E-60.04.196168E-41.8257628E-50.00.01.8257628E-50.00.0041882532.0929541E-43.0E-41.43338073.0927447E-41.0E-4
7.47.662316E-62.968094E-70.00.02.968094E-70.03.2838085E-51.2720396E-60.00.01.2720396E-60.03.9973034E-41.5486974E-50.00.01.5486974E-50.00.00399012071.7976371E-42.0E-41.11257162.7974573E-41.0E-4
7.56.961638E-62.3906216E-70.00.02.3906216E-70.02.9835252E-51.0245517E-60.00.01.0245517E-60.03.6318362E-41.2473846E-50.00.01.2473846E-50.00.00362590651.461523E-42.0E-41.36843552.461377E-41.0E-4
7.66.282332E-61.7151976E-70.00.01.7151976E-70.02.6924003E-57.350845E-70.00.07.350845E-70.03.2775043E-48.949617E-60.00.08.949617E-60.00.00327267451.06669184E-42.0E-41.87495582.0665851E-41.0E-4
7.74.934408E-65.088603E-80.00.05.088603E-80.02.114729E-52.1808296E-70.00.02.1808296E-70.02.5743784E-42.6551568E-60.00.02.6551568E-60.00.00257139823.3146618E-50.00.03.3146618E-50.0
7.82.373212E-63.5880674E-80.00.03.5880674E-80.01.0170869E-51.5377431E-70.00.01.5377431E-70.01.238233E-41.8722006E-60.00.01.8722006E-60.00.00123754322.4616835E-50.00.02.4616835E-50.0
7.91.8227792E-63.125148E-80.00.03.125148E-80.07.811887E-61.3393492E-70.00.01.3393492E-70.09.510558E-51.6306564E-60.00.01.6306564E-60.09.5064886E-42.1851753E-50.00.02.1851753E-50.0
8.01.9095137E-71.34596405E-80.00.01.34596405E-80.08.1836276E-75.7684176E-80.00.05.7684176E-80.09.963521E-67.023046E-70.00.07.023046E-70.09.963074E-58.5837855E-60.00.08.5837855E-60.0

Bullion Mountains

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6420427E-51.4695344E-50.00.01.4695344E-50.07.037136E-56.297875E-50.00.06.297875E-50.08.5643446E-47.665348E-47.0E-40.91320050.00126615165.0E-40.0085314130.0076427030.00811.05983440.0123067820.0047
6.11.6420427E-51.4695344E-50.00.01.4695344E-50.07.037136E-56.297875E-50.00.06.297875E-50.08.5643446E-47.665348E-47.0E-40.91320050.00126615165.0E-40.0085314130.0076427030.00811.05983440.0123067820.0047
6.21.6420427E-51.4695344E-50.00.01.4695344E-50.07.037136E-56.297875E-50.00.06.297875E-50.08.5643446E-47.665348E-47.0E-40.91320050.00126615165.0E-40.0085314130.0076427030.00811.05983440.0123067820.0047
6.31.2046778E-59.8645905E-60.00.09.8645905E-60.05.1628023E-54.227626E-50.00.04.227626E-50.06.283899E-45.146151E-46.0E-41.16591999.144093E-44.0E-40.00626615950.0051365170.00551.07076450.0086185390.0035
6.41.2046778E-59.8645905E-60.00.09.8645905E-60.05.1628023E-54.227626E-50.00.04.227626E-50.06.283899E-45.146151E-46.0E-41.16591999.144093E-44.0E-40.00626615950.0051365170.00551.07076450.0086185390.0035
6.51.0244343E-57.88132E-60.00.07.88132E-60.04.390359E-53.3776763E-50.00.03.3776763E-50.05.343951E-44.111752E-45.0E-41.21602678.110107E-44.0E-40.0053311180.0041061760.00451.09591010.0068946790.0028
6.69.605408E-67.1792206E-60.00.07.1792206E-60.04.1165385E-53.076784E-50.00.03.076784E-50.05.010733E-43.7455442E-45.0E-41.33491957.744046E-44.0E-40.004999450.00374122920.0041.06916730.006132250.0024
6.78.60418E-66.125515E-60.00.06.125515E-60.03.687454E-52.6252053E-50.00.02.6252053E-50.04.48855E-43.1959137E-45.0E-41.56449787.194635E-44.0E-40.0044794950.00319323040.00341.06475250.00538620540.0022
6.85.187994E-62.5639572E-60.00.02.5639572E-60.02.223407E-51.0988365E-50.00.01.0988365E-50.02.7066618E-41.3377912E-42.0E-41.49500163.3375237E-42.0E-40.00270336750.00133737770.00130.97205150.00233604040.001
6.94.5302368E-62.3450157E-60.00.02.3450157E-60.01.9415156E-51.0050051E-50.00.01.0050051E-50.02.3635388E-41.2235646E-42.0E-41.63456823.22332E-42.0E-40.00236102660.00122328030.0010.817474070.00192242417.0E-4
7.03.431668E-61.6887847E-60.00.01.6887847E-60.01.4707065E-57.2376483E-60.00.07.2376483E-60.01.7904381E-48.811837E-51.0E-41.13483721.8810955E-41.0E-40.00178899628.811837E-45.0E-40.56741860.00128083124.0E-4

Gravel Hills-Harper Lk

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0679566E-53.1472664E-50.00.03.1472664E-50.01.3147724E-41.3487709E-40.00.01.3487709E-40.00.00159955990.00164110880.0021.21868820.00243979588.0E-40.0158809520.0163114780.01380.846030060.0209348130.0047
6.13.0679566E-53.1472664E-50.00.03.1472664E-50.01.3147724E-41.3487709E-40.00.01.3487709E-40.00.00159955990.00164110880.0021.21868820.00243979588.0E-40.0158809520.0163114780.01380.846030060.0209348130.0047
6.21.514536E-51.3637958E-50.00.01.3637958E-50.06.490707E-55.844715E-50.00.05.844715E-50.07.8995706E-47.113736E-49.0E-41.2651580.0012110185.0E-40.0078715480.0070921660.00540.761403440.0089786910.0019
6.31.514536E-51.3637958E-50.00.01.3637958E-50.06.490707E-55.844715E-50.00.05.844715E-50.07.8995706E-47.113736E-49.0E-41.2651580.0012110185.0E-40.0078715480.0070921660.00540.761403440.0089786910.0019
6.41.2532521E-51.0691693E-50.00.01.0691693E-50.05.37097E-54.582077E-50.00.04.582077E-50.06.537194E-45.577309E-45.0E-40.89648978.575636E-43.0E-40.00651799650.00556390170.00350.629054960.00665778150.0011
6.51.1094058E-59.085293E-60.00.09.085293E-60.04.7545094E-53.893641E-50.00.03.893641E-50.05.787078E-44.7395175E-43.0E-40.63297596.7385694E-42.0E-40.00577203040.00472981670.00290.61313160.0054265067.0E-4
6.69.688328E-67.533003E-60.00.07.533003E-60.04.1520743E-53.2283915E-50.00.03.2283915E-50.05.053978E-43.9298832E-43.0E-40.76338155.929097E-42.0E-40.00504249940.00392319030.00260.66272590.00452083636.0E-4
6.78.974824E-66.750571E-60.00.06.750571E-60.03.8462964E-52.893071E-50.00.02.893071E-50.04.6818596E-43.5217666E-43.0E-40.85184525.5210624E-42.0E-40.0046720080.00351640680.00250.710953060.00411429686.0E-4
6.87.4780046E-65.1170555E-60.00.05.1170555E-60.03.20482E-52.1930062E-50.00.02.1930062E-50.03.9011694E-42.6696717E-41.0E-40.374577882.6696717E-40.00.00389432810.00266660280.00180.675016160.0029658033.0E-4
6.96.3409307E-63.9081633E-60.00.03.9081633E-60.02.7175134E-51.6749169E-50.00.01.6749169E-50.03.3080703E-42.0390305E-41.0E-40.490429162.0390305E-40.00.00330315020.00203725770.00150.736283840.00233664673.0E-4
7.05.1239335E-62.6063155E-60.00.02.6063155E-60.02.195953E-51.1169877E-50.00.01.1169877E-50.02.6732447E-41.3598503E-41.0E-40.735375051.3598503E-40.00.00267003130.00135904340.00110.80939280.00155877162.0E-4
7.14.438899E-62.0988566E-60.00.02.0988566E-60.01.9023713E-58.99507E-60.00.08.99507E-60.02.315891E-41.09509696E-41.0E-40.913161161.09509696E-40.00.0023134790.00109457920.0010.91359310.00129436032.0E-4
7.23.50367E-61.2618497E-60.00.01.2618497E-60.01.5015643E-55.4079164E-60.00.05.4079164E-60.01.8280011E-46.583948E-51.0E-41.51884566.583948E-50.00.00182649826.582079E-47.0E-41.06349378.5807627E-42.0E-4
7.32.561638E-67.120912E-70.00.07.120912E-70.01.0978401E-53.0518158E-60.00.03.0518158E-60.01.3365384E-43.7155245E-51.0E-42.691413.7155245E-50.00.00133573493.7149232E-46.0E-41.61510744.714552E-41.0E-4
7.42.0368864E-65.306253E-70.00.05.306253E-70.08.729483E-62.2741065E-60.00.02.2741065E-60.01.06276275E-42.76869E-51.0E-43.61181642.76869E-50.00.00106225472.7683505E-44.0E-41.44490373.7680735E-41.0E-4
7.51.1681728E-63.6039168E-70.00.03.6039168E-70.05.0064455E-61.5445349E-60.00.01.5445349E-60.06.0951766E-51.8804556E-50.00.01.8804556E-50.06.093505E-41.8803011E-41.0E-40.53182971.8803011E-40.0
7.61.3154387E-77.120964E-80.00.07.120964E-80.05.6375933E-73.0518413E-70.00.03.0518413E-70.06.863748E-63.7156121E-60.00.03.7156121E-60.06.863536E-53.715566E-51.0E-42.691383.715566E-50.0

Pisgah-Bullion Mtn-Mesquite Lk

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0240792E-52.4096253E-50.00.02.4096253E-50.01.2959696E-41.0326614E-41.0E-40.96837161.0326614E-40.00.00157670080.00125664087.0E-40.557040630.00165613824.0E-40.0156556090.0125053780.01130.90361130.0171466020.0047
6.13.0240792E-52.4096253E-50.00.02.4096253E-50.01.2959696E-41.0326614E-41.0E-40.96837161.0326614E-40.00.00157670080.00125664087.0E-40.557040630.00165613824.0E-40.0156556090.0125053780.01130.90361130.0171466020.0047
6.23.0240792E-52.4096253E-50.00.02.4096253E-50.01.2959696E-41.0326614E-41.0E-40.96837161.0326614E-40.00.00157670080.00125664087.0E-40.557040630.00165613824.0E-40.0156556090.0125053780.01130.90361130.0171466020.0047
6.32.0498217E-51.3640496E-50.00.01.3640496E-50.08.784654E-55.845805E-50.00.05.845805E-50.00.00106900697.1151054E-45.0E-40.702730240.00101129713.0E-40.010638790.0070939520.00620.87398390.0102712510.0032
6.42.0498217E-51.3640496E-50.00.01.3640496E-50.08.784654E-55.845805E-50.00.05.845805E-50.00.00106900697.1151054E-45.0E-40.702730240.00101129713.0E-40.010638790.0070939520.00620.87398390.0102712510.0032
6.51.7316182E-51.0478719E-50.00.01.0478719E-50.07.42101E-54.4908076E-50.00.04.4908076E-50.09.0313336E-45.4662867E-43.0E-40.548818656.46574E-41.0E-40.0089947180.0054538370.00460.843442860.0078407480.0024
6.61.5251077E-58.415433E-60.00.08.415433E-60.06.536012E-53.606568E-50.00.03.606568E-50.07.9546886E-44.3901842E-42.0E-40.455561765.3897453E-41.0E-40.0079262740.0043822290.00340.77586090.0061743410.0018
6.71.2997425E-56.412142E-60.00.06.412142E-60.05.570206E-52.7480346E-50.00.02.7480346E-50.06.7796157E-43.345265E-42.0E-40.597864.3449303E-41.0E-40.00675896930.00334068950.00270.80821640.00473601230.0014
6.81.035386E-54.334024E-60.00.04.334024E-60.04.437293E-51.8574263E-50.00.01.8574263E-50.05.401065E-42.2611905E-42.0E-40.884489833.2609643E-41.0E-40.00538795670.00225897670.0020.885356660.00315694359.0E-4
6.98.816252E-63.5812868E-60.00.03.5812868E-60.03.778339E-51.5348285E-50.00.01.5348285E-50.04.5991567E-41.8684994E-40.00.01.8684994E-40.00.004589650.00186698670.00160.85699590.00256567987.0E-4
7.06.8232207E-62.5680085E-60.00.02.5680085E-60.02.9242048E-51.1005706E-50.00.01.1005706E-50.03.5596377E-41.3398656E-40.00.01.3398656E-40.00.00355394110.00133908880.00110.821454170.00173855324.0E-4
7.15.837013E-62.2278264E-60.00.02.2278264E-60.02.501553E-59.547794E-60.00.09.547794E-60.03.045215E-41.1623849E-40.00.01.1623849E-40.00.00304104550.00116180590.0010.86072890.00156134124.0E-4
7.24.278052E-61.6278752E-60.00.01.6278752E-60.01.833438E-56.9765906E-60.00.06.9765906E-60.02.231982E-48.493692E-50.00.08.493692E-50.00.00222974188.4906776E-49.0E-41.05998610.00124872814.0E-4
7.31.8803692E-68.3462135E-70.00.08.3462135E-70.08.0587E-63.5769444E-60.00.03.5769444E-60.09.811026E-54.3548574E-50.00.04.3548574E-50.09.806695E-44.354149E-45.0E-41.14833016.3532783E-42.0E-4

San Diego Trough south

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.279495E-51.04307226E-40.00.01.04307226E-40.03.5478722E-44.469593E-41.0E-40.2237344.469593E-40.00.0043109820.00542860520.0020.368418750.0057269773.0E-40.0422830540.053018370.03080.580930770.0569009930.0041
6.14.6961468E-55.7755435E-50.00.05.7755435E-50.02.0124791E-42.4750078E-41.0E-40.404039142.4750078E-40.00.002447440.00300923760.00110.365541070.00320863582.0E-40.0242066030.0296926950.0170.57253140.031730340.0021
6.23.5079658E-54.2159343E-50.00.04.2159343E-50.01.5033272E-41.8067063E-41.0E-40.55349341.8067063E-40.00.00182876420.0021974668.0E-40.36405570.00229724641.0E-40.0181378760.021759770.01220.560667630.0232271310.0015
6.33.5079658E-54.2159343E-50.00.04.2159343E-50.01.5033272E-41.8067063E-41.0E-40.55349341.8067063E-40.00.00182876420.0021974668.0E-40.36405570.00229724641.0E-40.0181378760.021759770.01220.560667630.0232271310.0015
6.42.7196904E-53.209867E-50.00.03.209867E-50.01.16552954E-41.3755856E-41.0E-40.726963161.3755856E-40.00.00141810850.00167349997.0E-40.418285070.00177333261.0E-40.0140909290.0166105720.00840.5057020.0174956239.0E-4
6.52.5584688E-53.0112242E-50.00.03.0112242E-50.01.0964406E-41.2904615E-41.0E-40.77491661.2904615E-40.00.00133409890.00157001587.0E-40.445855380.00166985881.0E-40.0132611810.0155907810.00770.49388160.0164767499.0E-4
6.62.2034688E-52.575136E-50.00.02.575136E-50.09.443096E-51.1035835E-41.0E-40.906138961.1035835E-40.00.00114909050.00134279216.0E-40.446830150.00144265781.0E-40.0114316680.0133477780.00660.494464340.01413709958.0E-4
6.71.9394853E-52.2549064E-50.00.02.2549064E-50.08.311815E-59.6635296E-51.0E-41.03481869.6635296E-50.00.00101149360.00117590494.0E-40.340163560.00117590490.00.010069020.0116975330.0060.512928660.0122905146.0E-4
6.81.7615313E-52.0409623E-50.00.02.0409623E-50.07.549201E-58.7466906E-51.0E-41.14328968.7466906E-50.09.1872766E-40.00106439374.0E-40.375800820.00106439370.00.0091493870.0105935230.00560.528624830.0110882275.0E-4
6.91.5621423E-51.8031646E-50.00.01.8031646E-50.06.6947236E-57.727621E-51.0E-41.29405947.727621E-50.08.147778E-49.404353E-44.0E-40.425334969.404353E-40.00.0081179690.0093650010.00510.54458090.0098603185.0E-4
7.01.3444376E-51.5452673E-50.00.01.5452673E-50.05.7617483E-56.622408E-51.0E-41.51002486.622408E-50.07.0126704E-48.059827E-44.0E-40.49628868.059827E-40.00.0069905820.0080309290.00440.547881840.0084277164.0E-4
7.11.2268361E-51.4077152E-50.00.01.4077152E-50.05.2577634E-56.0329272E-51.0E-41.65757016.0329272E-50.06.399447E-47.34264E-44.0E-40.54476327.34264E-40.00.00638104930.00731868440.00390.532882630.00761648873.0E-4
7.21.0922655E-51.2517193E-50.00.01.2517193E-50.04.681054E-55.3644024E-51.0E-41.86414055.3644024E-50.05.697693E-46.5292284E-43.0E-40.45947246.5292284E-40.00.00568310640.00651032570.00370.568327960.00680837273.0E-4
7.36.1106753E-66.9307744E-60.00.06.9307744E-60.02.6188345E-52.9702984E-51.0E-43.36666512.9702984E-50.03.1879646E-43.6157423E-43.0E-40.82970523.6157423E-40.00.00318339510.00360990460.00210.58173280.00380918272.0E-4
7.44.933187E-65.5910364E-60.00.05.5910364E-60.02.114206E-52.3961367E-51.0E-44.17338472.3961367E-50.02.5737417E-42.91691E-43.0E-41.02848572.91691E-40.00.0025707630.00291312230.00180.61789370.00311253992.0E-4
7.51.7489613E-61.9701774E-60.00.01.9701774E-60.07.495527E-68.4435915E-60.00.08.4435915E-60.09.125422E-51.02796104E-42.0E-41.94559911.02796104E-40.09.1216754E-40.00102750768.0E-40.77858310.00112740491.0E-4
7.61.6988751E-71.753494E-70.00.01.753494E-70.07.2808916E-77.5149717E-70.00.07.5149717E-70.08.864449E-69.149442E-60.00.09.149442E-60.08.8640954E-59.149085E-51.0E-41.09300559.149085E-50.0

Mission (connected) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.8735573E-52.692323E-50.00.02.692323E-50.08.029284E-51.1537881E-42.0E-41.73342062.1536727E-41.0E-49.771269E-40.00140373420.00251.7809640.00210275157.0E-40.0097284160.0139574320.01571.12484870.0180002060.0041
6.11.7515964E-52.5564199E-50.00.02.5564199E-50.07.506625E-51.09554894E-41.0E-40.912784461.09554894E-40.09.135484E-40.00133291660.00151.12535180.00193211686.0E-40.0090980190.0132578920.0110.82969450.016020770.0028
6.21.6486343E-52.4408591E-50.00.02.4408591E-50.07.065384E-51.04602696E-41.0E-40.95599831.04602696E-40.08.5987104E-40.0012726960.00131.02145370.00177205965.0E-40.0085655140.0126627350.010.78971880.0151310790.0025
6.31.5229385E-52.2837155E-50.00.02.2837155E-50.06.526716E-59.78685E-51.0E-41.02177929.78685E-50.07.9433795E-40.00119079990.0010.83977170.00149044253.0E-40.0079150460.0118554930.00910.767576630.0139305960.0021
6.41.4435828E-52.1435902E-50.00.02.1435902E-50.06.186637E-59.186357E-51.0E-41.08857089.186357E-50.07.529627E-40.00111776839.0E-40.80517580.00131754482.0E-40.0075041650.0111379240.00810.7272450.0129178760.0018
6.51.30127955E-51.9070389E-50.00.01.9070389E-50.05.576793E-58.172759E-51.0E-41.22357718.172759E-50.06.78763E-49.945439E-48.0E-40.80438880.0011943452.0E-40.00676693530.0099288440.00730.73523160.01171097250.0018
6.61.1220718E-51.642485E-50.00.01.642485E-50.04.8087906E-57.039032E-50.00.07.039032E-50.05.8531296E-48.566647E-45.0E-40.583658930.00105649342.0E-40.0058377370.0085658490.00610.712130250.0102512870.0017
6.78.086152E-61.17767495E-50.00.01.17767495E-50.03.4654473E-55.047081E-50.00.05.047081E-50.04.2183654E-46.143097E-44.0E-40.65113748.141868E-42.0E-40.0042103670.0061634770.00490.795005860.00765423150.0015
6.86.8361655E-61.0219172E-50.00.01.0219172E-50.02.9297524E-54.3795717E-50.00.04.3795717E-50.03.5663895E-45.3308305E-44.0E-40.750352147.329764E-42.0E-40.00356067130.00535109360.00460.85963730.00684306720.0015
6.95.2517353E-67.889001E-60.00.07.889001E-60.02.2507242E-53.3809567E-50.00.03.3809567E-50.02.739912E-44.1155398E-43.0E-40.72894456.1147165E-42.0E-40.00273653630.0041402710.00380.91781430.00553447470.0014
7.04.4602784E-66.719784E-60.00.06.719784E-60.01.911534E-52.8798757E-50.00.02.8798757E-50.02.327044E-43.5056862E-42.0E-40.570501744.5053355E-41.0E-40.00232460860.0035316140.00310.877785560.00452808240.001
7.14.1492594E-66.2674326E-60.00.06.2674326E-60.01.7782419E-52.6860149E-50.00.02.6860149E-50.02.1647944E-43.269734E-41.0E-40.305835284.269407E-41.0E-40.00216268680.00329586820.00260.78886650.0041929029.0E-4
7.22.213247E-63.373964E-60.00.03.373964E-60.09.485309E-61.4459766E-50.00.01.4459766E-50.01.15477524E-41.7603347E-41.0E-40.56807382.7601587E-41.0E-40.00115417540.00178747570.00160.895117040.0022865825.0E-4
7.31.7362703E-62.7483154E-60.00.02.7483154E-60.07.4411373E-61.1778441E-50.00.01.1778441E-50.09.0592075E-51.433931E-41.0E-40.69738362.4337877E-41.0E-49.0555154E-40.00145822660.00130.89149380.00195749765.0E-4
7.41.1628409E-61.8573909E-60.00.01.8573909E-60.04.9835944E-67.960222E-60.00.07.960222E-60.06.0673574E-59.691141E-51.0E-41.03187021.9690172E-41.0E-46.065701E-49.893979E-48.0E-40.80857260.00138900214.0E-4
7.55.5610667E-79.4054224E-70.00.09.4054224E-70.02.3833122E-64.030889E-60.00.04.030889E-60.02.9016439E-54.9074974E-51.0E-42.03769851.4907007E-41.0E-42.901265E-45.0721003E-44.0E-40.788627866.0715934E-41.0E-4
7.64.4307663E-77.843462E-70.00.07.843462E-70.01.8988985E-63.3614792E-60.00.03.3614792E-60.02.3118844E-54.0925243E-50.00.04.0925243E-50.02.3116439E-44.250631E-42.0E-40.470518384.250631E-40.0
7.73.639119E-76.4076636E-70.00.06.4076636E-70.01.5596215E-62.7461385E-60.00.02.7461385E-60.01.8988227E-53.3433727E-50.00.03.3433727E-50.01.8986604E-43.4955924E-42.0E-40.57214913.4955924E-40.0
7.83.1152942E-75.519411E-70.00.05.519411E-70.01.3351254E-62.3654597E-60.00.02.3654597E-60.01.6255031E-52.8799095E-50.00.02.8799095E-50.01.6253842E-42.9995668E-42.0E-40.6667632.9995668E-40.0
7.91.8035962E-73.7461479E-70.00.03.7461479E-70.07.729696E-71.605491E-60.00.01.605491E-60.09.410865E-61.9546678E-50.00.01.9546678E-50.09.410465E-52.0207842E-42.0E-40.989714862.0207842E-40.0
8.09.279334E-81.9830004E-70.00.01.9830004E-70.03.976857E-78.4985703E-70.00.08.4985703E-70.04.841813E-61.0346961E-50.00.01.0346961E-50.04.841707E-51.0595763E-41.0E-40.943773451.0595763E-40.0
8.15.9253985E-81.1927906E-70.00.01.1927906E-70.02.5394561E-75.111959E-70.00.05.111959E-70.03.0917836E-66.2237928E-60.00.06.2237928E-60.03.0917407E-56.361017E-51.0E-41.57207576.361017E-50.0

Ortigalita (South)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.72394E-54.3269527E-51.0E-42.31109554.3269527E-50.01.5958765E-41.8542854E-43.0E-41.6178742.8541E-41.0E-40.00194124810.00225541110.00170.75374290.00275428345.0E-40.0192437750.022341610.01830.819099370.0264477770.0042
6.12.7299884E-53.150166E-51.0E-43.1744363.150166E-50.01.16994255E-41.3500043E-43.0E-42.2222152.3498693E-41.0E-40.00142347430.00164244710.00140.852386650.00204179024.0E-40.0141439060.0163090150.01340.821631430.019161720.0029
6.22.7299884E-53.150166E-51.0E-43.1744363.150166E-50.01.16994255E-41.3500043E-43.0E-42.2222152.3498693E-41.0E-40.00142347430.00164244710.00140.852386650.00204179024.0E-40.0141439060.0163090150.01340.821631430.019161720.0029
6.32.0546433E-52.3638513E-50.00.02.3638513E-50.08.805317E-51.0130409E-42.0E-41.9742542.0129395E-41.0E-40.001071520.00123269840.0010.811228450.00153232853.0E-40.0106636810.0122606720.00950.77483520.014236150.002
6.42.0546433E-52.3638513E-50.00.02.3638513E-50.08.805317E-51.0130409E-42.0E-41.9742542.0129395E-41.0E-40.001071520.00123269840.0010.811228450.00153232853.0E-40.0106636810.0122606720.00950.77483520.014236150.002
6.51.7779594E-52.045308E-50.00.02.045308E-50.07.619603E-58.765319E-51.0E-41.14085978.765319E-50.09.272918E-40.00106666889.0E-40.84374840.00126645542.0E-40.0092343190.0106169560.00810.76293050.0122989080.0017
6.61.6272212E-51.872056E-50.00.01.872056E-50.06.973618E-58.022857E-51.0E-41.24643878.022857E-50.08.487073E-49.7635743E-49.0E-40.92179360.00117616222.0E-40.0084547330.0097219810.00730.75087580.01110837050.0014
6.71.3051484E-51.5043318E-50.00.01.5043318E-50.05.593373E-56.446982E-51.0E-41.55111346.446982E-50.06.807804E-47.846469E-46.0E-40.764675147.846469E-40.00.0067869860.0078197490.00520.6649830.0088119290.001
6.81.04277415E-51.1990799E-50.00.01.1990799E-50.04.4689557E-55.1388168E-51.0E-41.94597325.1388168E-50.05.439595E-46.254788E-45.0E-40.799387636.254788E-40.00.00542629930.00623793850.00450.721392150.00713232449.0E-4
6.97.639968E-68.794136E-60.00.08.794136E-60.03.274231E-53.7688646E-51.0E-42.65331913.7688646E-50.03.9856473E-44.587685E-44.0E-40.87189944.587685E-40.00.0039785060.0045788010.00360.7862320.0053751388.0E-4
7.03.919831E-64.5348106E-60.00.04.5348106E-60.01.679917E-51.943477E-51.0E-45.1454171.943477E-50.02.045107E-42.3659476E-41.0E-40.422663632.3659476E-40.00.00204322580.00236363730.00180.761538150.00276269184.0E-4
7.11.6017933E-61.8576296E-60.00.01.8576296E-60.06.8648105E-67.961251E-60.00.07.961251E-60.08.357586E-59.692499E-50.00.09.692499E-50.08.3544437E-49.6893194E-47.0E-40.722444950.00116873812.0E-4

Great Valley 05 Pittsburg - Kirby Hills alt1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.187212E-55.347151E-50.00.05.347151E-50.01.794396E-42.2914926E-43.0E-41.30919042.2914926E-40.00.0021824880.00278729480.00110.39464790.00298673732.0E-40.0216117760.0276178140.01890.68434090.0313128680.0038
6.14.187212E-55.347151E-50.00.05.347151E-50.01.794396E-42.2914926E-43.0E-41.30919042.2914926E-40.00.0021824880.00278729480.00110.39464790.00298673732.0E-40.0216117760.0276178140.01890.68434090.0313128680.0038
6.21.7353306E-52.216655E-50.00.02.216655E-50.07.436919E-59.4998366E-50.00.09.4998366E-50.09.050688E-40.00115637883.0E-40.259430560.00115637880.00.0090139150.0115413560.00880.76247540.013122890.0016
6.31.7353306E-52.216655E-50.00.02.216655E-50.07.436919E-59.4998366E-50.00.09.4998366E-50.09.050688E-40.00115637883.0E-40.259430560.00115637880.00.0090139150.0115413560.00880.76247540.013122890.0016
6.41.4028824E-51.791064E-50.00.01.791064E-50.06.0122147E-57.675988E-50.00.07.675988E-50.07.3174125E-49.3453156E-43.0E-40.321016469.3453156E-40.00.00729336450.0093431950.0070.749208450.0106310480.0013

McLean Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.7360222E-51.8504044E-50.00.01.8504044E-50.07.439883E-57.930091E-50.00.07.930091E-50.09.0542925E-49.6510956E-40.00141.45061240.00196414440.0010.0090174910.0096140250.01331.38339560.013476530.0039
6.19.062689E-69.5933065E-60.00.09.5933065E-60.03.8839516E-54.1113573E-50.00.04.1113573E-50.04.727685E-45.0045166E-46.0E-41.1989170.00100020145.0E-40.00471763960.00499412980.00681.36159860.0070836420.0021
6.29.062689E-69.5933065E-60.00.09.5933065E-60.03.8839516E-54.1113573E-50.00.04.1113573E-50.04.727685E-45.0045166E-46.0E-41.1989170.00100020145.0E-40.00471763960.00499412980.00681.36159860.0070836420.0021
6.37.2575485E-67.668569E-60.00.07.668569E-60.03.110341E-53.2864926E-50.00.03.2864926E-50.03.786182E-44.0006413E-44.0E-40.99983976.999441E-43.0E-40.00377973750.0039941440.00471.17672280.00528895160.0013
6.47.2575485E-67.668569E-60.00.07.668569E-60.03.110341E-53.2864926E-50.00.03.2864926E-50.03.786182E-44.0006413E-44.0E-40.99983976.999441E-43.0E-40.00377973750.0039941440.00471.17672280.00528895160.0013
6.56.06582E-66.4045857E-60.00.06.4045857E-60.02.5996113E-52.7447972E-50.00.02.7447972E-50.03.164567E-43.341343E-42.0E-40.59856174.341009E-41.0E-40.00316006430.0033369580.00391.16872920.00423395459.0E-4
6.65.598744E-65.910915E-60.00.05.910915E-60.02.3994397E-52.5332283E-50.00.02.5332283E-50.02.9209262E-43.0838329E-42.0E-40.64854364.0835244E-41.0E-40.00291708970.00308018270.00381.2336930.00387771878.0E-4
6.75.246996E-65.539774E-60.00.05.539774E-60.02.2486933E-52.374171E-50.00.02.374171E-50.02.73744E-42.8902333E-42.0E-40.691985673.889944E-41.0E-40.00273407040.00288709840.00361.24692670.00368478878.0E-4
6.84.02324E-64.247373E-60.00.04.247373E-60.01.7242342E-51.8202934E-50.00.01.8202934E-50.02.099053E-42.2160415E-41.0E-40.45125512.2160415E-40.00.00209707140.00221441620.00241.08380710.00241397322.0E-4
6.96.835972E-77.140558E-70.00.07.140558E-70.02.9296991E-63.0602373E-60.00.03.0602373E-60.03.56685E-53.7258073E-50.00.03.7258073E-50.03.5662777E-43.7254952E-47.0E-41.87894494.7251224E-41.0E-4

Keddie Ridge 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.2591947E-52.5194968E-50.00.02.5194968E-50.09.6819036E-51.0797441E-41.0E-40.92614531.0797441E-40.00.00117813430.00131387480.00110.83721830.00191308656.0E-40.0117190790.0130690180.01050.803426860.0170167420.004
6.12.2591947E-52.5194968E-50.00.02.5194968E-50.09.6819036E-51.0797441E-41.0E-40.92614531.0797441E-40.00.00117813430.00131387489.0E-40.68499680.00171334934.0E-40.0117190790.0130690180.00910.69630330.016325890.0033
6.21.3775145E-51.5326263E-50.00.01.5326263E-50.05.9035E-56.568246E-51.0E-41.52247646.568246E-50.07.185141E-47.994148E-45.0E-40.62545758.9933485E-41.0E-40.00716195350.0079678110.00530.66517640.009455860.0015
6.39.705435E-61.07707165E-50.00.01.07707165E-50.04.1594063E-54.6159465E-51.0E-42.16640284.6159465E-50.05.0629E-45.61859E-42.0E-40.35596125.61859E-40.00.0050513810.00560561570.00360.64221310.006600010.001
6.47.2549733E-68.0289865E-60.00.08.0289865E-60.03.109237E-53.4409535E-51.0E-42.90617133.4409535E-50.03.7848388E-44.1886352E-42.0E-40.47748254.1886352E-40.00.0037783990.0041815280.00270.6456970.00487860067.0E-4
6.55.983293E-66.614426E-60.00.06.614426E-60.02.5642432E-52.8347271E-50.00.02.8347271E-50.03.1215188E-43.450801E-40.00.03.450801E-40.00.00311713760.00344610540.00230.66742010.0040440386.0E-4
6.64.0336154E-64.4587537E-60.00.04.4587537E-60.01.728681E-51.9108827E-50.00.01.9108827E-50.02.1044657E-42.3262917E-40.00.02.3262917E-40.00.0021024740.00232425260.00160.688393350.0027233234.0E-4
6.71.5832104E-61.7820614E-60.00.01.7820614E-60.06.7851697E-67.637385E-60.00.07.637385E-60.08.260631E-59.298147E-50.00.09.298147E-50.08.2575605E-49.2945236E-46.0E-40.64554140.00122917353.0E-4
6.87.5177275E-78.59276E-70.00.08.59276E-70.03.221879E-63.682607E-60.00.03.682607E-60.03.9225673E-54.4834986E-50.00.04.4834986E-50.03.921875E-44.4827597E-43.0E-40.669230646.481863E-42.0E-4

Almanor 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.1479834E-58.332679E-50.00.08.332679E-50.02.6345838E-43.5706963E-42.0E-40.560114864.5703392E-41.0E-40.00320288820.00433933640.00210.483944950.00473760074.0E-40.0315711720.0426135920.0240.56320060.04634740.0039
6.14.4387216E-55.9806192E-50.00.05.9806192E-50.01.9021705E-42.562891E-41.0E-40.390184372.562891E-40.00.00231343270.00311635950.00140.449242140.00331573632.0E-40.0228949670.0307749080.01690.54914870.033488740.0028
6.24.4387216E-55.9806192E-50.00.05.9806192E-50.01.9021705E-42.562891E-41.0E-40.390184372.562891E-40.00.00231343270.00311635950.00140.449242140.00331573632.0E-40.0228949670.0307749080.01690.54914870.033488740.0028
6.32.9523822E-53.9572184E-50.00.03.9572184E-50.01.2652454E-41.6958476E-41.0E-40.58967561.6958476E-40.00.00153934760.00206310237.0E-40.339294850.00226268992.0E-40.0152872810.0204738470.01020.498196570.022139040.0017
6.42.0512744E-52.7448028E-50.00.02.7448028E-50.08.79088E-51.17629694E-41.0E-40.85012551.17629694E-40.00.0010697640.00143152075.0E-40.349278930.00163123442.0E-40.0106462890.0142534250.00720.505141740.0156334710.0014
6.51.6750226E-52.2404536E-50.00.02.2404536E-50.07.178471E-59.601642E-50.00.09.601642E-50.08.7362836E-40.00116869713.0E-40.25669610.00126858031.0E-40.0087020180.01165643150.00580.49757940.0128424440.0012
6.61.4745303E-51.9719348E-50.00.01.9719348E-50.06.319262E-58.4509324E-50.00.08.4509324E-50.07.690986E-40.00102874652.0E-40.194411350.00112864361.0E-40.00766442250.010271510.00510.496519030.0113602110.0011
6.79.951145E-71.1620207E-60.00.01.1620207E-60.04.26477E-64.98008E-60.00.04.98008E-60.05.1922336E-56.0630966E-50.00.06.0630966E-50.05.1910203E-46.061615E-44.0E-40.65989028.0604025E-42.0E-4
6.85.866312E-76.851662E-70.00.06.851662E-70.02.5141312E-62.936424E-60.00.02.936424E-60.03.0609117E-53.5750505E-50.00.03.5750505E-50.03.06049E-43.5746038E-43.0E-40.839253845.573889E-42.0E-4

White Mountains

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.503579E-53.3790075E-50.00.03.3790075E-50.01.5014476E-41.4480726E-40.00.01.4480726E-40.00.00182647960.00176172340.00140.794676360.00226084265.0E-40.0181154030.0174899120.01180.674674630.02132170.0039
6.13.503579E-53.3790075E-50.00.03.3790075E-50.01.5014476E-41.4480726E-40.00.01.4480726E-40.00.00182647960.00176172340.00140.794676360.00226084265.0E-40.0181154030.0174899120.01180.674674630.02132170.0039
6.23.503579E-53.3790075E-50.00.03.3790075E-50.01.5014476E-41.4480726E-40.00.01.4480726E-40.00.00182647960.00176172340.00140.794676360.00226084265.0E-40.0181154030.0174899120.01180.674674630.02132170.0039
6.31.7818425E-51.5918904E-50.00.01.5918904E-50.07.636245E-56.8222165E-50.00.06.8222165E-50.09.293162E-48.303026E-46.0E-40.72262810.00103013662.0E-40.0092543950.0082734630.00550.6647760.0102569160.002
6.41.7818425E-51.5918904E-50.00.01.5918904E-50.07.636245E-56.8222165E-50.00.06.8222165E-50.09.293162E-48.303026E-46.0E-40.72262810.00103013662.0E-40.0092543950.0082734630.00550.6647760.0102569160.002
6.51.3397557E-51.1338343E-50.00.01.1338343E-50.05.741684E-54.8592035E-50.00.04.8592035E-50.06.988258E-45.914544E-46.0E-41.01444847.913361E-42.0E-40.0069663230.00589950850.00420.71192370.00739065930.0015
6.61.0818695E-58.626926E-60.00.08.626926E-60.04.6365014E-53.697204E-50.00.03.697204E-50.05.6434784E-44.5004595E-45.0E-41.11099775.500009E-41.0E-40.0056291680.00449178230.00340.756937860.0055868410.0011
6.79.067908E-66.8036725E-60.00.06.8036725E-60.03.8861883E-52.9158287E-50.00.02.9158287E-50.04.7304068E-43.5494752E-44.0E-41.12692714.5491202E-41.0E-40.004720350.00354412310.00270.761824550.00444093359.0E-4
6.87.295947E-64.9373375E-60.00.04.9373375E-60.03.126797E-52.1159853E-50.00.02.1159853E-50.03.8062103E-42.575919E-42.0E-40.7764222.575919E-40.00.00379969760.0025730460.00140.544102250.00307175945.0E-4
6.96.2243444E-63.8330186E-60.00.03.8330186E-60.02.6675489E-51.6427122E-50.00.01.6427122E-50.03.2472567E-41.9998239E-42.0E-41.00008811.9998239E-40.00.00324251570.0019980770.00130.65062560.0024970785.0E-4
7.04.9878413E-62.6802163E-60.00.02.6802163E-60.02.1376287E-51.14865925E-50.00.01.14865925E-50.02.602252E-41.3984054E-42.0E-41.43020031.3984054E-40.00.0025992070.00139755179.0E-40.64398330.00159727222.0E-4
7.14.0252844E-61.8863122E-60.00.01.8863122E-60.01.7251105E-58.084171E-60.00.08.084171E-60.02.1001195E-49.842047E-51.0E-41.01604899.842047E-50.00.00209813599.837815E-45.0E-40.50824290.00108368321.0E-4
7.23.3284066E-61.28235E-60.00.01.28235E-60.01.4264522E-55.495775E-60.00.05.495775E-60.01.736567E-46.690911E-51.0E-41.49456496.690911E-50.00.00173521076.688997E-44.0E-40.5979977.688328E-41.0E-4
7.32.458226E-66.06072E-70.00.06.06072E-70.01.0535211E-52.5974489E-60.00.02.5974489E-60.01.2825865E-43.162352E-50.00.03.162352E-50.00.00128184643.1619394E-41.0E-40.31626163.1619394E-40.0
7.41.965953E-63.111974E-70.00.03.111974E-70.08.425486E-61.3337024E-60.00.01.3337024E-60.01.0257547E-41.6237707E-50.00.01.6237707E-50.00.00102528131.6236534E-40.00.01.6236534E-40.0
7.51.2014192E-61.8265449E-70.00.01.8265449E-70.05.148929E-67.8280476E-70.00.07.8280476E-70.06.2686406E-59.530607E-60.00.09.530607E-60.06.266873E-49.5302064E-50.00.09.5302064E-50.0
7.62.5612175E-74.90036E-80.00.04.90036E-80.01.0976642E-62.1001541E-70.00.02.1001541E-70.01.3363979E-52.556935E-60.00.02.556935E-60.01.3363175E-42.5569092E-50.00.02.5569092E-50.0

Coronado Bank alt1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.533492E-59.399735E-50.00.09.399735E-50.03.22824E-44.0278555E-40.00.04.0278555E-40.00.00392330070.0048934890.00240.49044760.00499299961.0E-40.038547550.0479265640.03070.640563370.0517348570.004
6.14.1807285E-55.0514016E-50.00.05.0514016E-50.01.7916178E-42.1647113E-40.00.02.1647113E-40.00.00217911230.00263242590.00140.53182880.00263242590.00.0215786770.0260217340.0130.49958240.0276774970.0017
6.24.1807285E-55.0514016E-50.00.05.0514016E-50.01.7916178E-42.1647113E-40.00.02.1647113E-40.00.00217911230.00263242590.00140.53182880.00263242590.00.0215786770.0260217340.0130.49958240.0276774970.0017
6.33.1793104E-53.7725185E-50.00.03.7725185E-50.01.3624904E-41.6166955E-40.00.01.6166955E-40.00.00165756980.00196658170.0010.50849660.00196658170.00.0164526030.0194956850.00870.446252580.0207703410.0013
6.42.9878007E-53.5348734E-50.00.03.5348734E-50.01.2804232E-41.5148598E-40.00.01.5148598E-40.00.00155780030.00184281340.0010.54264850.00184281340.00.0154692530.0182790890.00810.44312930.0195553270.0013
6.52.4512565E-52.877412E-50.00.02.877412E-50.01.0504962E-41.2331198E-40.00.01.2331198E-40.00.00127822870.00150031629.0E-40.599873540.00150031620.00.0127090120.0149048420.00650.43609990.0158899370.001
6.62.1317413E-52.49151E-50.00.02.49151E-50.09.135714E-51.0677475E-40.00.01.0677475E-40.00.00111170560.00129922968.0E-40.615749540.00129922960.00.0110616050.012918750.00610.472181920.0139058310.001
6.71.8585655E-52.1642025E-50.00.02.1642025E-50.07.9650374E-59.274835E-50.00.09.274835E-50.09.6931186E-40.00112864677.0E-40.62021180.00112864670.00.00965094750.011231310.00530.47189510.0122200790.001
6.81.5862879E-51.8425459E-50.00.01.8425459E-50.06.798199E-57.8963974E-50.00.07.8963974E-50.08.273665E-49.6098165E-46.0E-40.62436169.6098165E-40.00.0082429280.0095702450.00480.50155460.0103625888.0E-4
6.91.3021509E-51.5100124E-50.00.01.5100124E-50.05.5805274E-56.471331E-50.00.06.471331E-50.06.792174E-47.876179E-45.0E-40.63482567.876179E-40.00.0067714520.0078500890.00440.56050320.0085445947.0E-4
7.01.0974371E-51.2724205E-50.00.01.2724205E-50.04.7032172E-55.4531265E-50.00.05.4531265E-50.05.7246623E-46.6373346E-44.0E-40.602651546.6373346E-40.00.00570993730.00661926160.00360.54386730.0073146287.0E-4
7.18.766221E-61.0167129E-50.00.01.0167129E-50.03.7568978E-54.357278E-50.00.04.357278E-50.04.573063E-45.3038675E-42.0E-40.377083335.3038675E-40.00.00456366360.00529290970.0030.5667960.00598920467.0E-4
7.28.026024E-78.332893E-70.00.08.332893E-70.03.43972E-63.571235E-60.00.03.571235E-60.04.1877785E-54.347893E-51.0E-42.29996474.347893E-50.04.1869894E-44.3470532E-44.0E-40.92016364.3470532E-40.0
7.33.7293114E-73.700495E-70.00.03.700495E-70.01.5982754E-61.5859255E-60.00.01.5859255E-60.01.9458828E-51.930847E-51.0E-45.1790741.930847E-50.01.9457124E-41.93068E-42.0E-41.03590441.93068E-40.0
7.42.0557036E-71.9676327E-70.00.01.9676327E-70.08.810155E-78.4327087E-70.00.08.4327087E-70.01.0726311E-51.0266775E-50.00.01.0266775E-50.01.0725793E-41.02663034E-41.0E-40.97406041.02663034E-40.0
7.56.845446E-86.2800716E-80.00.06.2800716E-80.02.9337625E-72.691459E-70.00.02.691459E-70.03.5718497E-63.2768464E-60.00.03.2768464E-60.03.5717923E-53.2767988E-51.0E-43.05175883.2767988E-50.0
7.66.0975145E-95.532084E-90.00.05.532084E-90.02.6132206E-82.3708932E-80.00.02.3708932E-80.03.1815955E-72.886562E-70.00.02.886562E-70.03.181591E-62.8865593E-60.00.02.8865593E-60.0

Palos Verdes

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.126063E-57.626235E-50.00.07.626235E-50.02.6251914E-43.2680106E-41.0E-40.305996573.2680106E-40.00.00319148650.0039720810.0030.755271550.0044700955.0E-40.0314603930.039067460.02350.601523640.0427190030.0038
6.16.126063E-57.626235E-50.00.07.626235E-50.02.6251914E-43.2680106E-41.0E-40.305996573.2680106E-40.00.00319148650.0039720810.0030.755271550.0044700955.0E-40.0314603930.039067460.02350.601523640.0427190030.0038
6.26.126063E-57.626235E-50.00.07.626235E-50.02.6251914E-43.2680106E-41.0E-40.305996573.2680106E-40.00.00319148650.0039720810.0030.755271550.0044700955.0E-40.0314603930.039067460.02350.601523640.0427190030.0038
6.34.0838047E-54.9770555E-50.00.04.9770555E-50.01.7500846E-42.1328621E-41.0E-40.468853562.1328621E-40.00.00212864580.00259387750.00150.57828480.00289309933.0E-40.0210837090.0256577120.01470.57292720.0282884370.0027
6.44.0838047E-54.9770555E-50.00.04.9770555E-50.01.7500846E-42.1328621E-41.0E-40.468853562.1328621E-40.00.00212864580.00259387750.00150.57828480.00289309933.0E-40.0210837090.0256577120.01470.57292720.0282884370.0027
6.53.0512005E-53.657606E-50.00.03.657606E-50.01.3075917E-41.5674581E-41.0E-40.63797561.5674581E-40.00.00159083040.00190682620.00110.576874850.00210644472.0E-40.0157949030.0189165880.01070.56564110.020584430.0017
6.62.9255087E-53.5168527E-50.00.03.5168527E-50.01.2537291E-41.507142E-41.0E-40.663507461.507142E-40.00.00152534640.0018335150.00110.599940540.00203314822.0E-40.0151491890.0181954930.01050.577065940.0197663810.0016
6.72.287198E-52.7258708E-50.00.02.7258708E-50.09.801909E-51.1681832E-41.0E-40.85603011.1681832E-40.00.0011927290.00142142699.0E-40.63316660.00152128471.0E-40.0118634770.014132590.00750.53068830.0153156310.0012
6.82.1325764E-52.544167E-50.00.02.544167E-50.09.139293E-51.0903168E-41.0E-40.91716461.0903168E-40.00.0011121410.00132674266.0E-40.452235430.00142660991.0E-40.0110659150.0131972610.00690.52283580.01438142450.0012
6.91.9009392E-52.2622127E-50.00.02.2622127E-50.08.1466285E-59.694886E-51.0E-41.03147169.694886E-50.09.914007E-40.00117980074.0E-40.33904030.00127968271.0E-40.0098698940.0117440640.00630.53644120.0128311460.0011
7.01.7098473E-52.0327021E-50.00.02.0327021E-50.07.3277115E-58.7113374E-51.0E-41.14792938.7113374E-50.08.917837E-40.00106017474.0E-40.377296330.00116006861.0E-40.0088821340.0105596120.00540.511382460.0115490520.001
7.11.5982785E-51.900193E-50.00.01.900193E-50.06.849585E-58.143478E-51.0E-41.22797668.143478E-50.08.336179E-49.911022E-43.0E-40.30269330.00109100311.0E-40.0083049770.0098751910.00510.51644570.0108653160.001
7.21.4468002E-51.7203736E-50.00.01.7203736E-50.06.200425E-57.372869E-50.00.07.372869E-50.07.546402E-48.973612E-42.0E-40.22287579.972715E-41.0E-40.0075208270.0089456530.00490.54775210.0099367070.001
7.35.288233E-66.2058593E-60.00.06.2058593E-60.02.2663658E-52.6596466E-50.00.02.6596466E-50.02.7589512E-43.237988E-41.0E-40.308833754.237664E-41.0E-40.00275552830.00323669570.00120.37074850.00373507735.0E-4
7.48.279556E-78.408606E-70.00.08.408606E-70.03.5483763E-63.6036838E-60.00.03.6036838E-60.04.3200624E-54.387404E-50.00.04.387404E-50.04.3192226E-44.38661E-40.00.04.38661E-40.0
7.56.559831E-76.6674454E-70.00.06.6674454E-70.02.8113532E-62.8574739E-60.00.02.8574739E-60.03.4227687E-53.4789256E-50.00.03.4789256E-50.03.4222414E-43.4784473E-40.00.03.4784473E-40.0
7.63.5018968E-73.562124E-70.00.03.562124E-70.01.500812E-61.526624E-60.00.01.526624E-60.01.8272232E-51.8586536E-50.00.01.8586536E-50.01.8270731E-41.8585441E-40.00.01.8585441E-40.0
7.71.1986104E-71.2198805E-70.00.01.2198805E-70.05.1369005E-75.228058E-70.00.05.228058E-70.06.2541585E-66.365143E-60.00.06.365143E-60.06.2539824E-56.364965E-50.00.06.364965E-50.0
7.83.0445005E-83.1028762E-80.00.03.1028762E-80.01.3047858E-71.329804E-70.00.01.329804E-70.01.5885756E-61.6190354E-60.00.01.6190354E-60.01.5885644E-51.6190257E-50.00.01.6190257E-50.0

Whittier alt 1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.2554693E-54.727002E-50.00.04.727002E-50.01.8236451E-42.0257189E-40.00.02.0257189E-40.00.0022180270.0024638450.00150.60880450.00276310583.0E-40.021960190.024399630.01630.66804290.0280093510.0037
6.14.2554693E-54.727002E-50.00.04.727002E-50.01.8236451E-42.0257189E-40.00.02.0257189E-40.00.0022180270.0024638450.00150.60880450.00276310583.0E-40.021960190.024399630.01630.66804290.0280093510.0037
6.24.2554693E-54.727002E-50.00.04.727002E-50.01.8236451E-42.0257189E-40.00.02.0257189E-40.00.0022180270.0024638450.00150.60880450.00276310583.0E-40.021960190.024399630.01630.66804290.0280093510.0037
6.31.9617712E-51.827824E-50.00.01.827824E-50.08.40732E-57.833307E-50.00.07.833307E-50.00.00102311059.5330685E-48.0E-40.83918410.00105321151.0E-40.010184130.0094957530.00620.652923460.0107834080.0013
6.41.5611336E-51.3612437E-50.00.01.3612437E-50.06.690401E-55.8337748E-50.00.05.8337748E-50.08.142519E-47.100366E-48.0E-41.12670248.099656E-41.0E-40.0081127480.00707993560.00450.6355990.0079735649.0E-4
6.51.5150166E-51.3108997E-50.00.01.3108997E-50.06.492767E-55.618024E-50.00.05.618024E-50.07.9020765E-46.8378565E-48.0E-41.16995737.8371726E-41.0E-40.0078740360.00681905730.00430.63058570.0076136028.0E-4
6.61.295588E-51.0387315E-50.00.01.0387315E-50.05.552402E-54.4516317E-50.00.04.4516317E-50.06.7579525E-45.418533E-47.0E-41.29186266.417991E-41.0E-40.0067374380.00540687240.00330.610334340.0062025478.0E-4
6.71.2542085E-59.905748E-60.00.09.905748E-60.05.3750682E-54.2452524E-50.00.04.2452524E-50.06.542181E-45.167388E-47.0E-41.35464956.166871E-41.0E-40.0065229540.0051569080.0030.581743960.0057538146.0E-4
6.81.2195878E-59.50157E-60.00.09.50157E-60.05.2267E-54.072039E-50.00.04.072039E-50.06.36165E-44.956598E-46.0E-41.21050765.956103E-41.0E-40.00634346860.00494701230.00280.56599820.0055440446.0E-4
6.91.1580298E-58.778675E-60.00.08.778675E-60.04.9628903E-53.762236E-50.00.03.762236E-50.06.040644E-44.5795762E-46.0E-41.31016495.579118E-41.0E-40.006024250.00457154630.00260.56873530.00516880356.0E-4
7.01.0964795E-58.089428E-60.00.08.089428E-60.04.6991136E-53.4668523E-50.00.03.4668523E-50.05.7196687E-44.2200906E-46.0E-41.42177055.2196684E-41.0E-40.00570496960.0042133780.00230.54588030.00471127135.0E-4
7.11.0230601E-57.331466E-60.00.07.331466E-60.04.3844695E-53.1420197E-50.00.03.1420197E-50.05.336784E-43.8247506E-46.0E-41.56872984.824368E-41.0E-40.0053239860.00381935130.00220.576014040.00421782354.0E-4
7.29.40865E-66.5476665E-60.00.06.5476665E-60.04.032216E-52.8061133E-50.00.02.8061133E-50.04.908117E-43.4159195E-46.0E-41.75648164.4155782E-41.0E-40.00489729130.00341178360.00220.6448240.0038104194.0E-4
7.38.237384E-65.601519E-60.00.05.601519E-60.03.5302593E-52.4006295E-50.00.02.4006295E-50.04.2972428E-42.922385E-45.0E-41.71093142.922385E-40.00.00428894260.00291888250.00170.58241470.00321800683.0E-4
7.47.5316966E-65.0312383E-60.00.05.0312383E-60.03.2278298E-52.1562277E-50.00.02.1562277E-50.03.9291743E-42.6249012E-44.0E-41.52386692.6249012E-40.00.00392223430.00262191330.00140.53396120.00292112683.0E-4
7.56.149649E-63.93657E-60.00.03.93657E-60.02.6355372E-51.687091E-50.00.01.687091E-50.03.208294E-42.0538487E-42.0E-40.97378162.0538487E-40.00.0032036660.00205203987.0E-40.341123970.00215183481.0E-4
7.65.457711E-63.3977947E-60.00.03.3977947E-60.02.338998E-51.4561901E-50.00.01.4561901E-50.02.8473578E-41.7727753E-42.0E-41.12817451.7727753E-40.00.00284371220.0017714425.0E-40.282255920.0017714420.0
7.74.1676276E-62.3350815E-60.00.02.3350815E-60.01.7861139E-51.00074585E-50.00.01.00074585E-50.02.1743766E-41.2183474E-42.0E-41.6415681.2183474E-40.00.00217225030.00121775265.0E-40.410592440.00121775260.0
7.82.2692414E-79.391389E-80.00.09.391389E-80.09.725317E-74.0248807E-70.00.04.0248807E-70.01.1840509E-54.9002842E-60.00.04.9002842E-60.01.1839878E-44.900209E-50.00.04.900209E-50.0
7.96.676829E-93.4415768E-90.00.03.4415768E-90.02.861498E-81.4749616E-80.00.01.4749616E-80.03.4838732E-71.7957656E-70.00.01.7957656E-70.03.4838679E-61.7957643E-60.00.01.7957643E-60.0

Ludlow

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.2407607E-52.3659872E-50.00.02.3659872E-50.09.602906E-51.0139576E-40.00.01.0139576E-40.00.00116852670.00123383847.0E-40.567335250.0013337151.0E-40.0116240130.0122743930.01160.9450570.0159289780.0037
6.12.2407607E-52.3659872E-50.00.02.3659872E-50.09.602906E-51.0139576E-40.00.01.0139576E-40.00.00116852670.00123383847.0E-40.567335250.0013337151.0E-40.0116240130.0122743930.01160.9450570.0159289780.0037
6.21.0781252E-51.1366887E-50.00.01.1366887E-50.04.620455E-54.871434E-50.00.04.871434E-50.05.623952E-45.9293973E-42.0E-40.337302425.9293973E-40.00.005609740.00591399570.00520.87927020.00770335040.0018
6.31.0781252E-51.1366887E-50.00.01.1366887E-50.04.620455E-54.871434E-50.00.04.871434E-50.05.623952E-45.9293973E-42.0E-40.337302425.9293973E-40.00.005609740.00591399570.00520.87927020.00770335040.0018
6.47.814439E-68.238614E-60.00.08.238614E-60.03.3490025E-53.5307876E-50.00.03.5307876E-50.04.0766477E-44.2979003E-42.0E-40.465343534.2979003E-40.00.00406917740.00428973460.0040.93245860.0056837290.0014
6.56.4986366E-66.8516565E-60.00.06.8516565E-60.02.7851002E-52.9363919E-50.00.02.9363919E-50.03.390332E-43.5744798E-41.0E-40.2797613.5744798E-40.00.0033851640.00356882650.0030.84061250.00456525760.001
6.65.582177E-65.8866412E-60.00.05.8866412E-60.02.3923398E-52.5228223E-50.00.02.5228223E-50.02.9122844E-43.0711104E-41.0E-40.325615143.0711104E-40.00.00290847060.00306693950.00270.880356430.00406387260.001
6.74.6858763E-64.94096E-60.00.04.94096E-60.02.0082172E-52.1175374E-50.00.02.1175374E-50.02.4447302E-42.5778022E-41.0E-40.387927352.5778022E-40.00.00244204230.00257486850.00220.854412560.00347255129.0E-4
6.83.5584908E-63.7524233E-60.00.03.7524233E-60.01.5250586E-51.6081716E-50.00.01.6081716E-50.01.8566006E-41.9577773E-41.0E-40.51078341.9577773E-40.00.00185505020.00195609360.00160.81795680.00255491986.0E-4
6.92.532834E-62.6712926E-60.00.02.6712926E-60.01.0854958E-51.1448348E-50.00.01.1448348E-50.01.3215111E-41.39375E-40.00.01.39375E-40.00.00132072540.00139290350.00120.86150980.00189220715.0E-4
7.01.7083285E-61.8021398E-60.00.01.8021398E-60.07.3213873E-67.7234345E-60.00.07.7234345E-60.08.913424E-59.402892E-50.00.09.402892E-50.08.9098496E-49.3990786E-47.0E-40.744753840.00133953194.0E-4
7.11.0905424E-61.1498859E-60.00.01.1498859E-60.04.6737446E-64.9280734E-60.00.04.9280734E-60.05.6901354E-55.999774E-50.00.05.999774E-50.05.6886784E-45.9982523E-43.0E-40.50014577.997052E-42.0E-4
7.26.06668E-76.387947E-70.00.06.387947E-70.02.600003E-62.737689E-60.00.02.737689E-60.03.1654577E-53.3330925E-50.00.03.3330925E-50.03.1650066E-43.332661E-43.0E-40.90018165.3319946E-42.0E-4

San Diego Trough north alt1

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.329252E-58.824872E-50.00.08.824872E-50.03.14073E-43.78157E-42.0E-40.528880834.781192E-41.0E-40.00381713550.00459491040.00280.60936990.00499307224.0E-40.037522310.045062960.03050.67683080.0485962260.0037
6.13.7940346E-54.490157E-50.00.04.490157E-50.01.6259136E-41.9242105E-41.0E-40.51969371.9242105E-40.00.00197775240.00234028980.00130.555486740.00244005581.0E-40.0196024310.023165120.01450.625941040.024825740.0017
6.22.8645263E-53.330762E-50.00.03.330762E-50.01.2275964E-41.4273915E-41.0E-40.700578631.4273915E-40.00.00149357390.00173648679.0E-40.51828790.00173648670.00.01483575350.0172318330.01020.591927770.0182146020.001
6.32.8645263E-53.330762E-50.00.03.330762E-50.01.2275964E-41.4273915E-41.0E-40.700578631.4273915E-40.00.00149357390.00173648679.0E-40.51828790.00173648670.00.01483575350.0172318330.01020.591927770.0182146020.001
6.42.2204576E-52.5455778E-50.00.02.5455778E-50.09.5159E-51.0909168E-41.0E-40.91666021.0909168E-40.00.0011579450.00132739127.0E-40.52735020.00132739120.00.0115192980.0131957960.00730.55320650.0138865597.0E-4
6.52.1004838E-52.403162E-50.00.02.403162E-50.09.0017624E-51.0298863E-41.0E-40.970980941.0298863E-40.00.00109541360.00125317437.0E-40.558581530.00125317430.00.0109002960.0124621590.00730.585773350.0131534357.0E-4
6.61.820557E-52.0710482E-50.00.02.0710482E-50.07.802154E-58.875621E-51.0E-41.12668178.875621E-50.09.4949827E-40.00108007666.0E-40.55551620.00108007660.00.0094545160.0107489420.00590.54889120.0113424946.0E-4
6.71.5884485E-51.7988401E-50.00.01.7988401E-50.06.807459E-57.709089E-51.0E-41.29717027.709089E-50.08.284929E-49.3818014E-44.0E-40.426357369.3818014E-40.00.0082541090.00934256150.00460.49237030.009837895.0E-4
6.81.4331171E-51.6205291E-50.00.01.6205291E-50.06.141786E-56.944941E-51.0E-41.43989716.944941E-50.07.4750587E-48.452205E-44.0E-40.47324938.452205E-40.00.00744996450.0084203260.00420.498793070.00881695754.0E-4
6.91.2574203E-51.4209517E-50.00.01.4209517E-50.05.3888325E-56.0896517E-51.0E-41.64213016.0896517E-50.06.558929E-47.4116426E-44.0E-40.539691457.4116426E-40.00.00653960370.00738711050.00390.527946650.00768489443.0E-4
7.01.0883844E-51.2292431E-50.00.01.2292431E-50.04.664421E-55.268079E-51.0E-41.89822525.268079E-50.05.677453E-46.4120087E-43.0E-40.46787216.4120087E-40.00.005662970.0063936360.00340.53177880.0066917183.0E-4
7.19.393088E-61.060976E-50.00.01.060976E-50.04.025547E-54.546961E-51.0E-42.19927124.546961E-50.04.900001E-45.5345264E-43.0E-40.54205185.5345264E-40.00.00488921070.00552083970.00280.507169250.00571973532.0E-4
7.28.190791E-69.261039E-60.00.09.261039E-60.03.510292E-53.9689567E-51.0E-42.5195543.9689567E-50.04.2729423E-44.83114E-43.0E-40.620971444.83114E-40.00.00426473560.0048207180.00260.539338770.00501975372.0E-4
7.36.268162E-67.091572E-60.00.07.091572E-60.02.6863276E-53.0392099E-51.0E-43.29032873.0392099E-50.03.2701128E-43.699614E-43.0E-40.810895443.699614E-40.00.0032653050.0036935010.00210.568566260.00389276242.0E-4
7.44.985186E-65.6441677E-60.00.05.6441677E-60.02.1364907E-52.4189068E-51.0E-44.1340992.4189068E-50.02.600867E-42.944625E-43.0E-41.01880552.944625E-40.00.0025978250.00294076470.00180.61208570.00314017642.0E-4
7.51.7489613E-61.9701774E-60.00.01.9701774E-60.07.495527E-68.4435915E-60.00.08.4435915E-60.09.125422E-51.02796104E-42.0E-41.94559911.02796104E-40.09.1216754E-40.00102750768.0E-40.77858310.00112740491.0E-4
7.61.6988751E-71.753494E-70.00.01.753494E-70.07.2808916E-77.5149717E-70.00.07.5149717E-70.08.864449E-69.149442E-60.00.09.149442E-60.08.8640954E-59.149085E-51.0E-41.09300559.149085E-50.0

Great Valley 09 (Laguna Seca)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.4353277E-57.05442E-51.0E-41.4175517.05442E-50.02.3292181E-43.0229776E-42.0E-40.661599343.0229776E-40.00.00283213520.00367426060.00170.46267810.00377389321.0E-40.027963120.0361373050.02450.677969750.0395108280.0035
6.14.5578287E-55.8255642E-51.0E-41.71657195.8255642E-50.01.953209E-42.4964302E-42.0E-40.801143942.4964302E-40.00.00237543830.00303515930.00130.42831360.00303515930.00.0235020630.0299371850.01760.58789760.0325563550.0027
6.22.8536782E-53.475515E-51.0E-42.87727143.475515E-50.01.2229476E-41.4894147E-42.0E-41.34280931.4894147E-40.00.00148792170.00181182898.0E-40.44154280.00181182890.00.0147799860.017967720.01120.62334010.019538970.0016
6.32.3698774E-52.8227823E-51.0E-43.5426042.8227823E-50.01.01562226E-41.2096998E-42.0E-41.65330281.2096998E-40.00.00123581860.00147180398.0E-40.543550670.00147180390.00.0122896860.0146188060.00910.62248590.0154071118.0E-4
6.41.9191197E-52.2133412E-51.0E-44.51805642.2133412E-50.08.2245395E-59.48538E-51.0E-41.0542549.48538E-50.00.00100087770.00115423775.0E-40.433186350.00115423770.00.0099638180.0114823910.00640.55737520.01207550156.0E-4
6.51.5203241E-51.6808468E-51.0E-45.9493821.6808468E-50.06.5155116E-57.2034E-51.0E-41.38823327.2034E-50.07.9297484E-48.766742E-43.0E-40.342202378.766742E-40.00.0079015120.0087332640.00480.54962270.00932802356.0E-4
6.61.0984925E-51.1246372E-51.0E-48.8917571.1246372E-50.04.70774E-54.8197868E-51.0E-42.07478074.8197868E-50.05.730166E-45.866549E-42.0E-40.340915955.866549E-40.00.0057154130.00585145270.00290.495603440.0061496973.0E-4
6.79.134616E-69.022793E-61.0E-411.0830439.022793E-60.03.9147766E-53.8668553E-51.0E-42.58608083.8668553E-50.04.7651984E-44.706903E-42.0E-40.424907834.706903E-40.00.0047549930.0046971790.00210.447076860.00479670941.0E-4
6.87.785589E-67.4543377E-60.00.07.4543377E-60.03.3366385E-53.1946784E-50.00.03.1946784E-50.04.0616E-43.8888468E-41.0E-40.257145643.8888468E-40.00.00405418450.00388224590.00180.463649150.00398185761.0E-4
6.95.579095E-64.900089E-60.00.04.900089E-60.02.3910188E-52.100022E-50.00.02.100022E-50.02.9106764E-42.5564907E-41.0E-40.39116122.5564907E-40.00.0029068670.00255368720.00130.509067830.00265343181.0E-4
7.02.6816688E-61.5220992E-60.00.01.5220992E-60.01.1492816E-56.523266E-60.00.06.523266E-60.01.3991605E-47.941796E-50.00.07.941796E-50.00.00139827997.9390453E-44.0E-40.50383897.9390453E-40.0
7.11.9951021E-67.4566793E-70.00.07.4566793E-70.08.55041E-63.195716E-60.00.03.195716E-60.01.0409627E-43.890719E-50.00.03.890719E-50.00.00104047523.8900794E-41.0E-40.257064163.8900794E-40.0
7.21.9951021E-67.4566793E-70.00.07.4566793E-70.08.55041E-63.195716E-60.00.03.195716E-60.01.0409627E-43.890719E-50.00.03.890719E-50.00.00104047523.8900794E-41.0E-40.257064163.8900794E-40.0
7.31.7087556E-66.580828E-70.00.06.580828E-70.07.3232177E-62.820352E-60.00.02.820352E-60.08.915652E-53.4337285E-50.00.03.4337285E-50.08.9120766E-43.4332383E-41.0E-40.29127023.4332383E-40.0
7.41.3804846E-66.0752086E-70.00.06.0752086E-70.05.916349E-62.6036585E-60.00.02.6036585E-60.07.2029165E-53.169912E-50.00.03.169912E-50.07.200583E-43.1695003E-41.0E-40.315507143.1695003E-40.0
7.51.3804846E-66.0752086E-70.00.06.0752086E-70.05.916349E-62.6036585E-60.00.02.6036585E-60.07.2029165E-53.169912E-50.00.03.169912E-50.07.200583E-43.1695003E-41.0E-40.315507143.1695003E-40.0

Trinidad (alt1)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0167168E-53.404185E-50.00.03.404185E-50.01.2928146E-41.4588643E-41.0E-40.68546471.4588643E-40.00.00157286530.00177488888.0E-40.450732470.00207435643.0E-40.01561779250.0176240970.01310.743300440.0210624130.0035
6.13.0167168E-53.404185E-50.00.03.404185E-50.01.2928146E-41.4588643E-41.0E-40.68546471.4588643E-40.00.00157286530.00177488888.0E-40.450732470.00207435643.0E-40.01561779250.0176240970.01310.743300440.0210624130.0035
6.23.0167168E-53.404185E-50.00.03.404185E-50.01.2928146E-41.4588643E-41.0E-40.68546471.4588643E-40.00.00157286530.00177488888.0E-40.450732470.00207435643.0E-40.01561779250.0176240970.01310.743300440.0210624130.0035
6.33.0167168E-53.404185E-50.00.03.404185E-50.01.2928146E-41.4588643E-41.0E-40.68546471.4588643E-40.00.00157286530.00177488888.0E-40.450732470.00207435643.0E-40.01561779250.0176240970.01310.743300440.0210624130.0035
6.43.0167168E-53.404185E-50.00.03.404185E-50.01.2928146E-41.4588643E-41.0E-40.68546471.4588643E-40.00.00157286530.00177488888.0E-40.450732470.00207435643.0E-40.01561779250.0176240970.01310.743300440.0210624130.0035
6.53.0167168E-53.404185E-50.00.03.404185E-50.01.2928146E-41.4588643E-41.0E-40.68546471.4588643E-40.00.00157286530.00177488888.0E-40.450732470.00207435643.0E-40.01561779250.0176240970.01310.743300440.0210624130.0035
6.63.0167168E-53.404185E-50.00.03.404185E-50.01.2928146E-41.4588643E-41.0E-40.68546471.4588643E-40.00.00157286530.00177488888.0E-40.450732470.00207435643.0E-40.01561779250.0176240970.01310.743300440.0210624130.0035
6.73.0167168E-53.404185E-50.00.03.404185E-50.01.2928146E-41.4588643E-41.0E-40.68546471.4588643E-40.00.00157286530.00177488888.0E-40.450732470.00207435643.0E-40.01561779250.0176240970.01310.743300440.0210624130.0035
6.81.717077E-51.9200179E-50.00.01.9200179E-50.07.358694E-58.228413E-50.00.08.228413E-50.08.9555274E-40.00100139344.0E-40.399443420.00120119322.0E-40.0089195220.0099732630.00830.832225140.0122503250.0023
6.91.717077E-51.9200179E-50.00.01.9200179E-50.07.358694E-58.228413E-50.00.08.228413E-50.08.9555274E-40.00100139344.0E-40.399443420.00120119322.0E-40.0089195220.0099732630.00830.832225140.0122503250.0023
7.01.2858572E-51.4340644E-50.00.01.4340644E-50.05.5107E-56.145864E-50.00.06.145864E-50.06.707212E-47.480341E-43.0E-40.401051228.479593E-41.0E-40.0066870040.00745834270.00680.91173070.00944342650.002
7.11.0588431E-51.18039525E-50.00.01.18039525E-50.04.53782E-55.058755E-50.00.05.058755E-50.05.5233954E-46.157583E-43.0E-40.487204167.156967E-41.0E-40.0055096870.0061433720.00580.94410690.0078329290.0017
7.28.138061E-69.069269E-60.00.09.069269E-60.03.487694E-53.8867856E-50.00.03.8867856E-50.04.2454398E-44.7313827E-41.0E-40.21135474.7313827E-40.00.00423733840.00472375150.00460.97380230.0059180830.0012
7.35.787542E-66.4618107E-60.00.06.4618107E-60.02.4803514E-52.7693302E-50.00.02.7693302E-50.03.0194095E-43.3713534E-40.00.03.3713534E-40.00.003015310.00336835070.00320.950019840.0041656568.0E-4
7.44.303563E-64.8019524E-60.00.04.8019524E-60.01.844371E-52.0579746E-50.00.02.0579746E-50.02.2452902E-42.5054938E-40.00.02.5054938E-40.00.00224302310.00250460810.00220.878380950.00300335585.0E-4
7.55.6063425E-76.144149E-70.00.06.144149E-70.02.402716E-62.633204E-60.00.02.633204E-60.02.9252675E-53.2058804E-50.00.03.2058804E-50.02.9248823E-43.2054336E-41.0E-40.31197033.2054336E-40.0
7.64.6699128E-75.126792E-70.00.05.126792E-70.02.0013897E-62.197195E-60.00.02.197195E-60.02.4366647E-52.6750535E-50.00.02.6750535E-50.02.4363975E-42.6747456E-41.0E-40.373867332.6747456E-40.0
7.72.2080937E-72.4351854E-70.00.02.4351854E-70.09.4632554E-71.0436505E-60.00.01.0436505E-60.01.15214525E-51.2706377E-50.00.01.2706377E-50.01.1520855E-41.270571E-41.0E-40.78704771.270571E-40.0
7.81.1438307E-81.26857005E-80.00.01.26857005E-80.04.9021317E-85.4367288E-80.00.05.4367288E-80.05.9683435E-76.619217E-70.00.06.619217E-70.05.9683275E-66.6192174E-60.00.06.6192174E-60.0

Great Valley 07 (Orestimba)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.9687902E-53.2764223E-51.0E-43.05210951.3276095E-41.0E-41.2722766E-41.4041095E-41.0E-40.712195162.4039691E-41.0E-40.00154789610.00170823480.0010.58539960.00190789312.0E-40.0153715850.0169585890.0150.88450760.0202026260.0033
6.12.9687902E-53.2764223E-51.0E-43.05210951.3276095E-41.0E-41.2722766E-41.4041095E-41.0E-40.712195162.4039691E-41.0E-40.00154789610.00170823489.0E-40.52685970.00190789312.0E-40.0153715850.0169585890.01190.701709330.0198094080.0029
6.21.9231524E-52.1163376E-51.0E-44.72514441.2116126E-41.0E-48.2418206E-59.0697155E-51.0E-41.10257041.906881E-41.0E-40.00100297970.00110370177.0E-40.634229360.00130348092.0E-40.009984650.0109846140.00740.67366960.0132593490.0023
6.31.324766E-51.4551368E-51.0E-46.8722061.1454991E-41.0E-45.6774446E-56.236156E-51.0E-41.60355171.6235533E-41.0E-46.910097E-47.5899676E-46.0E-40.79051728.5892086E-41.0E-40.0068886490.00756499170.00460.60806410.0090536450.0015
6.47.818645E-68.5744805E-60.00.08.5744805E-60.03.3508048E-53.6747275E-50.00.03.6747275E-50.04.078841E-44.473096E-42.0E-40.447117634.473096E-40.00.0040713630.00446443260.00290.64957860.00526086158.0E-4
6.55.3076565E-65.81891E-60.00.05.81891E-60.02.27469E-52.493796E-50.00.02.493796E-50.02.7690834E-43.0357947E-42.0E-40.65880613.0357947E-40.00.00276563530.0030318570.00210.692644830.00343064434.0E-4
6.63.6003578E-63.949253E-60.00.03.949253E-60.01.5430012E-51.6925267E-50.00.01.6925267E-50.01.8784421E-42.0604722E-42.0E-40.97065132.0604722E-40.00.00187685520.00205871580.00120.582887650.0022583042.0E-4
6.72.5361826E-62.7840063E-60.00.02.7840063E-60.01.0869308E-51.1931408E-50.00.01.1931408E-50.01.3232579E-41.4525653E-42.0E-41.37687431.4525653E-40.00.00132247030.00145174590.00110.75770840.00165145552.0E-4
6.81.2115831E-61.3316409E-60.00.01.3316409E-60.05.1924885E-65.7070256E-60.00.05.7070256E-60.06.3216714E-56.9481786E-52.0E-42.8784526.9481786E-50.06.3198735E-46.946958E-45.0E-40.71973956.946958E-40.0

Elysian Park (Upper)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.1876025E-53.7050297E-50.00.03.7050297E-50.01.3660437E-41.5878E-41.0E-40.62980221.5878E-40.00.00166188950.00193190470.00160.82819820.00203171141.0E-40.0164951590.0191975760.01410.734467740.0225323030.0034
6.13.1876025E-53.7050297E-50.00.03.7050297E-50.01.3660437E-41.5878E-41.0E-40.62980221.5878E-40.00.00166188950.00193190470.00160.82819820.00203171141.0E-40.0164951590.0191975760.01410.734467740.0225323030.0034
6.23.1876025E-53.7050297E-50.00.03.7050297E-50.01.3660437E-41.5878E-41.0E-40.62980221.5878E-40.00.00166188950.00193190470.00160.82819820.00203171141.0E-40.0164951590.0191975760.01410.734467740.0225323030.0034
6.33.1876025E-53.7050297E-50.00.03.7050297E-50.01.3660437E-41.5878E-41.0E-40.62980221.5878E-40.00.00166188950.00193190470.00160.82819820.00203171141.0E-40.0164951590.0191975760.01410.734467740.0225323030.0034
6.41.9273462E-52.1209538E-50.00.02.1209538E-50.08.259794E-59.089578E-51.0E-41.10016119.089578E-50.00.0010051660.00110626550.00110.994336370.00120615481.0E-40.0100063150.0110244040.00790.716591950.0130023560.002
6.51.9273462E-52.1209538E-50.00.02.1209538E-50.08.259794E-59.089578E-51.0E-41.10016119.089578E-50.00.0010051660.00110626550.00110.994336370.00120615481.0E-40.0100063150.0110244040.00790.716591950.0130023560.002
6.69.813258E-69.6676595E-60.00.09.6676595E-60.04.205614E-54.143221E-51.0E-42.41358114.143221E-50.05.119132E-45.0432765E-45.0E-40.991418966.042772E-41.0E-40.0051073560.0050325550.00420.83456610.00612701940.0011
6.79.801478E-69.655228E-60.00.09.655228E-60.04.2005657E-54.137893E-51.0E-42.4166894.137893E-50.05.112989E-45.036793E-45.0E-40.99269526.036289E-41.0E-40.00510124070.0050261010.00420.83563780.00612057230.0011
6.88.102489E-67.7746645E-60.00.07.7746645E-60.03.4724493E-53.3319593E-51.0E-43.00123743.3319593E-50.04.2268867E-44.055955E-45.0E-41.23275535.055549E-41.0E-40.0042188560.00404904640.00330.81500670.0046466176.0E-4
6.96.08275E-65.482499E-60.00.05.482499E-60.02.6068668E-52.3496219E-51.0E-44.2560042.3496219E-50.03.173398E-42.8602968E-43.0E-41.04884223.8600108E-41.0E-40.00316887020.0028566930.00220.77012130.00325555034.0E-4
7.05.5995934E-64.9837386E-60.00.04.9837386E-60.02.3998036E-52.135871E-50.00.02.135871E-50.02.9213692E-42.6001193E-41.0E-40.384597752.6001193E-40.00.00291753160.00259714430.00190.731572750.0027966252.0E-4
7.14.709881E-64.088206E-60.00.04.088206E-60.02.0185047E-51.7520768E-50.00.01.7520768E-50.02.4572524E-42.1329487E-41.0E-40.468834522.1329487E-40.00.0024545370.0021309430.00150.703913750.00233051672.0E-4
7.23.6063436E-62.9785592E-60.00.02.9785592E-60.01.5455667E-51.2765192E-50.00.01.2765192E-50.01.881565E-41.5540524E-40.00.01.5540524E-40.00.00187997260.00155297690.00130.8371020.00175266632.0E-4
7.32.471135E-62.0959303E-60.00.02.0959303E-60.01.0590536E-58.982528E-60.00.08.982528E-60.01.2893214E-41.0935686E-40.00.01.0935686E-40.00.00128857360.00109303770.0010.91488150.00109303770.0
7.41.163943E-61.0278206E-60.00.01.0278206E-60.04.988318E-64.4049384E-60.00.04.4049384E-60.06.0731076E-55.3628835E-50.00.05.3628835E-50.06.071448E-45.3616194E-44.0E-40.746043265.3616194E-40.0
7.54.99459E-74.9187946E-70.00.04.9187946E-70.02.140537E-62.1080534E-60.00.02.1080534E-60.02.6060725E-52.5665264E-50.00.02.5665264E-50.02.605767E-42.5662457E-41.0E-40.38967432.5662457E-40.0
7.62.4667852E-72.4783398E-70.00.02.4783398E-70.01.0571932E-61.0621452E-60.00.01.0621452E-60.01.2871251E-51.2931545E-50.00.01.2931545E-50.01.2870505E-41.2930829E-41.0E-40.77334561.2930829E-40.0
7.78.2312795E-87.389191E-80.00.07.389191E-80.03.527691E-73.166796E-70.00.03.166796E-70.04.294955E-63.8555686E-60.00.03.8555686E-60.04.2948723E-53.8555132E-51.0E-42.59368853.8555132E-50.0
7.82.7819295E-81.7585192E-80.00.01.7585192E-80.01.1922555E-77.53651E-80.00.07.53651E-80.01.45157E-69.1756993E-70.00.09.1756993E-70.01.45156055E-59.1756765E-60.00.09.1756765E-60.0

Rose Canyon

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5923203E-54.9801987E-50.00.04.9801987E-50.01.9679888E-42.1342098E-42.0E-40.9371152.1342098E-40.00.00239339330.00259549610.00261.00173520.00289471753.0E-40.0236777980.0256980430.02510.9767280.029205530.0036
6.14.5923203E-54.9801987E-50.00.04.9801987E-50.01.9679888E-42.1342098E-42.0E-40.9371152.1342098E-40.00.00239339330.00259549610.00130.50086760.0027949772.0E-40.0236777980.0256980430.01570.61094140.0275492180.0019
6.22.8844734E-52.9745968E-50.00.02.9745968E-50.01.2361443E-41.274767E-42.0E-41.56891431.274767E-40.00.00150396650.00155095134.0E-40.257906230.00155095130.00.01493828650.0154063920.00950.616627160.0165879040.0012
6.32.3171577E-52.323454E-50.00.02.323454E-50.09.9302975E-59.957287E-52.0E-42.00857939.957287E-50.00.00120834310.0012116394.0E-40.330131350.0012116390.00.0120179380.0120607040.00710.58868870.0128510568.0E-4
6.42.0066604E-51.9713169E-50.00.01.9713169E-50.08.599689E-58.448233E-52.0E-42.36735928.448233E-50.00.00104650920.00102809714.0E-40.38906830.00102809710.00.0104159460.0102416150.00640.62490150.0110334218.0E-4
6.51.776989E-51.7142245E-50.00.01.7142245E-50.07.615444E-57.346474E-52.0E-42.72239457.346474E-50.09.267859E-48.9407316E-43.0E-40.3355438.9407316E-40.00.0092293030.008913590.00530.59459770.0095082416.0E-4
6.61.5227364E-51.4350491E-50.00.01.4350491E-50.06.52585E-56.150069E-52.0E-43.25199636.150069E-50.07.942326E-47.4851885E-43.0E-40.400791537.4851885E-40.00.0079140.0074589340.00470.63011680.0080544596.0E-4
6.71.2703898E-51.16766705E-50.00.01.16766705E-50.05.4444143E-55.0041937E-52.0E-43.99664765.0041937E-50.06.626558E-46.090945E-43.0E-40.492534376.090945E-40.00.0066068330.0060710810.00390.64238970.0065680465.0E-4
6.81.1554917E-51.0612592E-50.00.01.0612592E-50.04.9520135E-54.5481767E-52.0E-44.39736654.5481767E-50.06.0274085E-45.5360387E-43.0E-40.541903735.5360387E-40.00.00601108650.0055123760.00340.616793930.0058107223.0E-4
6.98.732078E-67.8834755E-60.00.07.8834755E-60.03.7422655E-53.3785902E-52.0E-45.91962863.3785902E-50.04.5552556E-44.1126867E-43.0E-40.729450174.1126867E-40.00.00454592940.00409013360.00250.6112270.00428931552.0E-4
7.05.9337494E-65.1083503E-60.00.05.1083503E-60.02.5430107E-52.1892747E-51.0E-44.5677232.1892747E-50.03.0956755E-42.6651172E-42.0E-40.7504362.6651172E-40.00.00309136670.00266193670.00170.63863280.00286140432.0E-4
7.15.013409E-64.1781122E-60.00.04.1781122E-60.02.1485863E-51.7906072E-51.0E-45.58469771.7906072E-50.02.6155898E-42.1798472E-42.0E-40.91749552.1798472E-40.00.00261251330.00217772070.00130.59695440.0022775031.0E-4
7.24.120763E-63.2827104E-60.00.03.2827104E-60.01.7660293E-51.4068683E-51.0E-47.10798551.4068683E-50.02.1499286E-41.7127286E-42.0E-41.16772741.7127286E-40.00.00214784990.0017114180.00130.7596040.00181124691.0E-4
7.33.2081239E-62.4409628E-60.00.02.4409628E-60.01.374903E-51.0461228E-51.0E-49.5591071.0461228E-50.01.6738157E-41.2735807E-42.0E-41.57037541.2735807E-40.00.00167255560.00127285798.0E-40.628506960.00127285790.0
7.42.4194755E-61.7683502E-60.00.01.7683502E-60.01.0369139E-57.578622E-60.00.07.578622E-60.01.2623696E-49.226587E-50.00.09.226587E-50.00.00126165279.2228095E-44.0E-40.43370739.2228095E-40.0
7.51.3842889E-69.3805556E-70.00.09.3805556E-70.05.9326535E-64.020232E-60.00.04.020232E-60.07.222766E-54.894526E-50.00.04.894526E-50.07.220419E-44.893484E-43.0E-40.61306024.893484E-40.0
7.61.0021575E-66.412578E-70.00.06.412578E-70.04.2949537E-62.7482452E-60.00.02.7482452E-60.05.2289808E-53.3459393E-50.00.03.3459393E-50.05.2277505E-43.3454568E-42.0E-40.597825653.3454568E-40.0
7.78.7620116E-86.4499396E-80.00.06.4499396E-80.03.7551473E-72.7642596E-70.00.02.7642596E-70.04.5718825E-63.3654812E-60.00.03.3654812E-60.04.5717883E-53.365433E-50.00.03.365433E-50.0

Ventura-Pitas Point

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.3179622E-53.3745982E-50.00.03.3745982E-50.01.4219063E-41.4461907E-41.0E-40.69147171.4461907E-40.00.00172979620.00175957219.0E-40.5114880.0020590443.0E-40.0171639320.017481860.01470.84087160.0204294160.003
6.13.3179622E-53.3745982E-50.00.03.3745982E-50.01.4219063E-41.4461907E-41.0E-40.69147171.4461907E-40.00.00172979620.00175957219.0E-40.5114880.0020590443.0E-40.0171639320.017481860.01470.84087160.0204294160.003
6.23.3179622E-53.3745982E-50.00.03.3745982E-50.01.4219063E-41.4461907E-41.0E-40.69147171.4461907E-40.00.00172979620.00175957219.0E-40.5114880.0020590443.0E-40.0171639320.017481860.01470.84087160.0204294160.003
6.33.3179622E-53.3745982E-50.00.03.3745982E-50.01.4219063E-41.4461907E-41.0E-40.69147171.4461907E-40.00.00172979620.00175957219.0E-40.5114880.0020590443.0E-40.0171639320.017481860.01470.84087160.0204294160.003
6.41.8754668E-51.7025108E-50.00.01.7025108E-50.08.037467E-57.296284E-51.0E-41.37056067.296284E-50.09.781223E-48.8798365E-46.0E-40.67568818.8798365E-40.00.0097382820.0088466070.00690.77996010.0099368760.0011
6.51.8754668E-51.7025108E-50.00.01.7025108E-50.08.037467E-57.296284E-51.0E-41.37056067.296284E-50.09.781223E-48.8798365E-46.0E-40.67568818.8798365E-40.00.0097382820.0088466070.00690.77996010.0099368760.0011
6.61.4361558E-51.2126657E-50.00.01.2126657E-50.06.154808E-55.1970364E-51.0E-41.92417355.1970364E-50.07.490902E-46.325578E-45.0E-40.79044166.325578E-40.00.00746570160.0063077440.00520.82438350.00730143630.001
6.71.4361558E-51.2126657E-50.00.01.2126657E-50.06.154808E-55.1970364E-51.0E-41.92417355.1970364E-50.07.490902E-46.325578E-45.0E-40.79044166.325578E-40.00.00746570160.0063077440.00520.82438350.00730143630.001
6.81.3663846E-51.1348623E-50.00.01.1348623E-50.05.8558027E-54.863606E-51.0E-42.05608774.863606E-50.07.127108E-45.9198507E-45.0E-40.84461595.9198507E-40.00.0071042930.00590421170.00470.796041970.0067988989.0E-4
6.91.3644157E-51.1326719E-50.00.01.1326719E-50.05.8473648E-54.8542188E-51.0E-42.06006364.8542188E-50.07.116841E-45.908428E-45.0E-40.846248755.908428E-40.00.0070940920.00589284950.00470.79757680.0067875469.0E-4
7.01.3568845E-51.1246264E-50.00.01.1246264E-50.05.8150898E-54.819739E-51.0E-42.0748014.819739E-50.07.077572E-45.866472E-45.0E-40.8523015.866472E-40.00.0070550730.0058511150.00470.80326570.0067458499.0E-4
7.11.306572E-51.072458E-50.00.01.072458E-50.05.599474E-54.5961682E-51.0E-42.17572554.5961682E-50.06.815227E-45.594417E-45.0E-40.89374825.594417E-40.00.00679436370.00558045230.00450.806386230.006475439.0E-4
7.21.232604E-59.998935E-60.00.09.998935E-60.05.2824813E-54.2851883E-51.0E-42.33361984.2851883E-50.06.429523E-45.2159856E-45.0E-40.958591645.2159856E-40.00.00641095270.00520384870.00430.826311470.00609916549.0E-4
7.31.0917261E-58.845898E-60.00.08.845898E-60.04.678742E-53.791045E-51.0E-42.63779523.791045E-50.05.69488E-44.6146353E-45.0E-41.08350924.6146353E-40.00.00568030770.00460513260.00410.890310940.0055009889.0E-4
7.41.039959E-58.425484E-60.00.08.425484E-60.04.456891E-53.6108726E-51.0E-42.76941373.6108726E-50.05.424914E-44.3953658E-45.0E-41.13756174.3953658E-40.00.00541168960.00438674870.00380.866245150.00518323958.0E-4
7.59.015877E-67.299042E-60.00.07.299042E-60.03.86389E-53.128124E-50.00.03.128124E-50.04.7032707E-43.8078398E-44.0E-41.05046443.8078398E-40.00.0046933290.00380137330.00310.81549470.00449871237.0E-4
7.64.900162E-63.8747658E-60.00.03.8747658E-60.02.1000526E-51.6606034E-50.00.01.6606034E-50.02.556514E-42.0215983E-43.0E-41.48397432.0215983E-40.00.00255357470.0020197730.00231.13874190.0025187635.0E-4
7.73.8850626E-63.1272562E-60.00.03.1272562E-60.01.6650163E-51.3402458E-50.00.01.3402458E-50.02.0269687E-41.631628E-42.0E-41.22576961.631628E-40.00.0020251210.00163043930.00211.28799640.00212962415.0E-4
7.82.4654719E-62.0302323E-60.00.02.0302323E-60.01.0566265E-58.700967E-60.00.08.700967E-60.01.2863669E-41.0592917E-41.0E-40.9440271.0592917E-40.00.00128562250.00105879150.00111.03892030.00135847393.0E-4
7.94.095894E-73.276988E-70.00.03.276988E-70.01.7553821E-61.4044227E-60.00.01.4044227E-60.02.1371567E-51.7098717E-50.00.01.7098717E-50.02.1369511E-41.7097432E-44.0E-42.33953263.7094014E-42.0E-4
8.07.791402E-95.6844636E-90.00.05.6844636E-90.03.3391725E-82.4361986E-80.00.02.4361986E-80.04.0654416E-72.9660717E-70.00.02.9660717E-70.04.065434E-62.9660696E-60.00.02.9660696E-60.0

Bicycle Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.9621975E-52.210261E-50.00.02.210261E-50.08.4091465E-59.4722796E-50.00.09.4722796E-50.00.00102333270.00115277490.00121.04096640.00165219865.0E-40.010186330.0114812690.01321.14969860.0148422330.0034
6.11.9621975E-52.210261E-50.00.02.210261E-50.08.4091465E-59.4722796E-50.00.09.4722796E-50.00.00102333270.00115277490.00121.04096640.00165219865.0E-40.010186330.0114812690.01321.14969860.0148422330.0034
6.29.9971285E-61.1258451E-50.00.01.1258451E-50.04.2844134E-54.8249905E-50.00.04.8249905E-50.05.2150246E-45.873363E-44.0E-40.68104086.872775E-41.0E-40.00520280330.00586294760.0071.19393860.0075529810.0017
6.39.589428E-61.0801047E-50.00.01.0801047E-50.04.10969E-54.628967E-50.00.04.628967E-50.05.002399E-45.634829E-44.0E-40.70987076.634266E-41.0E-40.00499115330.0056256340.00671.19097690.0072166330.0016
6.49.589428E-61.0801047E-50.00.01.0801047E-50.04.10969E-54.628967E-50.00.04.628967E-50.05.002399E-45.634829E-44.0E-40.70987076.634266E-41.0E-40.00499115330.0056256340.00671.19097690.0072166330.0016
6.55.557707E-66.2872346E-60.00.06.2872346E-60.02.3818526E-52.6945163E-50.00.02.6945163E-50.02.8995197E-43.280349E-42.0E-40.609691264.2800207E-41.0E-40.00289573940.00327814420.00421.28121270.0043745380.0011
6.64.8742945E-65.5147234E-60.00.05.5147234E-60.02.0889667E-52.3634462E-50.00.02.3634462E-50.02.54302E-42.8773778E-42.0E-40.695077243.8770903E-41.0E-40.0025401120.00287622260.00351.21687380.00387334640.001
6.73.991108E-64.517088E-60.00.04.517088E-60.01.7104636E-51.935895E-50.00.01.935895E-50.02.0822904E-42.356952E-41.0E-40.424276773.3567165E-41.0E-40.00208034040.0023569520.00271.14554730.00315506648.0E-4

Great Valley 04b Gordon Valley

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.1181217E-52.398826E-50.00.02.398826E-50.09.077348E-51.02803715E-40.00.01.02803715E-40.00.00110460680.00125108333.0E-40.239792170.00135095821.0E-40.0109913220.0124568610.00980.786715030.0157157540.0033
6.12.1181217E-52.398826E-50.00.02.398826E-50.09.077348E-51.02803715E-40.00.01.02803715E-40.00.00110460680.00125108333.0E-40.239792170.00135095821.0E-40.0109913220.0124568610.00980.786715030.0157157540.0033
6.22.1181217E-52.398826E-50.00.02.398826E-50.09.077348E-51.02803715E-40.00.01.02803715E-40.00.00110460680.00125108333.0E-40.239792170.00135095821.0E-40.0109913220.0124568610.00980.786715030.0157157540.0033
6.32.1181217E-52.398826E-50.00.02.398826E-50.09.077348E-51.02803715E-40.00.01.02803715E-40.00.00110460680.00125108333.0E-40.239792170.00135095821.0E-40.0109913220.0124568610.00980.786715030.0157157540.0033
6.41.0988268E-51.2257301E-50.00.01.2257301E-50.04.7091726E-55.2530326E-50.00.05.2530326E-50.05.731909E-46.3938496E-41.0E-40.15640037.3932105E-41.0E-40.0057171470.00637704130.00480.752700150.0078674760.0015
6.51.0988268E-51.2257301E-50.00.01.2257301E-50.04.7091726E-55.2530326E-50.00.05.2530326E-50.05.731909E-46.3938496E-41.0E-40.15640037.3932105E-41.0E-40.0057171470.00637704130.00480.752700150.0078674760.0015
6.61.0517822E-51.1726731E-50.00.01.1726731E-50.04.5075605E-55.0256538E-50.00.05.0256538E-50.05.4865726E-46.117172E-41.0E-40.163474237.11656E-41.0E-40.00547304660.0061018880.00460.753865060.00759273530.0015
6.77.789219E-68.679609E-60.00.08.679609E-60.03.3381937E-53.7197824E-50.00.03.7197824E-50.04.063493E-44.5279457E-41.0E-40.22085075.527493E-41.0E-40.0040560710.00451923770.00330.73021170.0055147180.001
6.87.5850853E-68.454308E-60.00.08.454308E-60.03.2507105E-53.623227E-50.00.03.623227E-50.03.957021E-44.4104378E-41.0E-40.226734865.409997E-41.0E-40.00394998260.00440219740.00330.74962570.00539779520.001
6.96.604105E-67.360218E-60.00.07.360218E-60.02.8303E-53.1543434E-50.00.03.1543434E-50.03.4453452E-43.8397752E-40.00.03.8397752E-40.00.00344000850.00383352720.00280.73039780.0045308447.0E-4
7.05.3701115E-65.9897875E-60.00.05.9897875E-60.02.301456E-52.5670282E-50.00.02.5670282E-50.02.8016625E-43.1249376E-40.00.03.1249376E-40.00.00279813280.00312083210.00260.83311110.00371895966.0E-4
7.14.4685607E-64.987626E-60.00.04.987626E-60.01.9150835E-52.137538E-50.00.02.137538E-50.02.3313647E-42.6021665E-40.00.02.6021665E-40.00.00232892040.00259936440.00230.88483170.00319780486.0E-4
7.22.833378E-63.1651539E-60.00.03.1651539E-60.01.2142991E-51.3564885E-50.00.01.3564885E-50.01.4783088E-41.6514171E-40.00.01.6514171E-40.00.00147732580.00165036180.00140.848298850.00204970184.0E-4
7.37.0087293E-77.774509E-70.00.07.774509E-70.03.0037377E-63.3319307E-60.00.03.3319307E-60.03.656989E-54.056596E-50.00.04.056596E-50.03.6563876E-44.0563053E-43.0E-40.73958935.0559E-41.0E-4
7.43.112171E-83.2070304E-80.00.03.2070304E-80.01.3337875E-71.3744415E-70.00.01.3744415E-70.01.6238852E-61.6733812E-60.00.01.6733812E-60.01.6238733E-51.6733695E-50.00.01.6733695E-50.0

San Gregorio (North) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.0283932E-54.3109347E-50.00.04.3109347E-50.02.1548476E-41.8474138E-40.00.01.8474138E-40.00.00262037060.002246920.00120.53406440.0026460214.0E-40.025896870.0223191920.01420.63622380.0256433060.0034
6.15.0283932E-54.3109347E-50.00.04.3109347E-50.02.1548476E-41.8474138E-40.00.01.8474138E-40.00.00262037060.002246920.00120.53406440.0026460214.0E-40.025896870.0223191920.01420.63622380.0256433060.0034
6.24.2998647E-53.4488472E-50.00.03.4488472E-50.01.842669E-41.4779945E-40.00.01.4779945E-40.00.00224114120.00179798559.0E-40.50056020.00219726634.0E-40.0221867360.0179101820.01150.64209280.0207582430.0029
6.34.2998647E-53.4488472E-50.00.03.4488472E-50.01.842669E-41.4779945E-40.00.01.4779945E-40.00.00224114120.00179798559.0E-40.50056020.00219726634.0E-40.0221867360.0179101820.01150.64209280.0207582430.0029
6.44.1101295E-53.237238E-50.00.03.237238E-50.01.7613651E-41.3873147E-40.00.01.3873147E-40.00.00214235280.00168776036.0E-40.35550070.00188742282.0E-40.021218170.016825860.01030.612152930.0192837960.0025
6.54.1032585E-53.2290383E-50.00.03.2290383E-50.01.7584208E-41.383801E-40.00.01.383801E-40.00.00213877530.0016834896.0E-40.35640270.00188315232.0E-40.0211830750.0167837980.01030.61368710.0192418380.0025
6.64.011629E-53.1311505E-50.00.03.1311505E-50.01.7191563E-41.3418535E-40.00.01.3418535E-40.00.00209106340.0016324966.0E-40.367535350.00183216962.0E-40.0207149610.0162797890.01010.62040120.0186407170.0024
6.73.8583938E-52.9497498E-50.00.02.9497498E-50.01.6534925E-41.264118E-40.00.01.264118E-40.00.00201126820.00153799156.0E-40.39011920.00173768382.0E-40.0199316220.015349180.00960.625440540.0174169470.0021
6.83.44341E-52.44921E-50.00.02.44921E-50.01.4756636E-41.04961975E-40.00.01.04961975E-40.00.00179513990.00127717345.0E-40.391489540.00147691792.0E-40.0178070780.0127731070.00810.634144840.0144513930.0017
6.93.221199E-52.1814461E-50.00.02.1814461E-50.01.3804408E-49.3487244E-50.00.09.3487244E-50.00.00167939090.00113762115.0E-40.439513650.00133739352.0E-40.016667560.0113917580.00780.684705560.01277580950.0014
7.02.9186718E-51.8179682E-50.00.01.8179682E-50.01.2507994E-47.791062E-50.00.07.791062E-50.00.00152178439.4815344E-44.0E-40.421872650.00104805861.0E-40.0151140530.0095141390.00660.69370440.0106036730.0011
7.12.6840138E-51.5315509E-50.00.01.5315509E-50.01.1502409E-46.563625E-50.00.06.563625E-50.00.00139951867.988304E-44.0E-40.500732068.9875056E-41.0E-40.0139073750.0080320660.00610.75945590.0090240340.001
7.22.453002E-51.2636457E-50.00.01.2636457E-50.01.05124425E-45.4155124E-50.00.05.4155124E-50.00.00127913846.591397E-43.0E-40.455138687.590738E-41.0E-40.0127180050.00664331530.0050.752636250.00743800088.0E-4
7.32.3330727E-51.151786E-50.00.01.151786E-50.09.9985E-54.9361326E-50.00.04.9361326E-50.00.00121663766.008089E-41.0E-40.166442286.008089E-40.00.0120999810.00606206340.00460.758817550.006757827.0E-4
7.42.2136466E-51.0397319E-50.00.01.0397319E-50.09.486712E-54.4559176E-50.00.04.4559176E-50.00.00115439525.4237316E-41.0E-40.18437495.4237316E-40.00.0114841680.00547920260.0040.73003320.00607591546.0E-4
7.52.0994974E-59.454394E-60.00.09.454394E-60.08.997535E-54.0518204E-50.00.04.0518204E-50.00.00109489944.931977E-41.0E-40.202758454.931977E-40.00.0108952050.0049879420.00360.721740540.0054854485.0E-4
7.61.7091823E-56.915414E-60.00.06.915414E-60.07.3248615E-52.963715E-50.00.02.963715E-50.08.9143694E-43.6077268E-41.0E-40.277182853.6077268E-40.00.0088786950.00366000760.00250.68305870.00385927552.0E-4
7.71.2772179E-54.0363207E-60.00.04.0363207E-60.05.473676E-51.7298402E-50.00.01.7298402E-50.06.6621625E-42.105877E-41.0E-40.47486152.105877E-40.00.0066422250.00214526150.00130.60598680.00234483232.0E-4
7.87.041923E-61.9507527E-60.00.01.9507527E-60.03.017932E-58.360342E-60.00.08.360342E-60.03.6737128E-41.0178241E-40.00.01.0178241E-40.00.00366764540.00104344018.0E-40.76669470.00124323142.0E-4
7.92.946768E-61.0094176E-60.00.01.0094176E-60.01.2628945E-54.3260684E-60.00.04.3260684E-60.01.5374656E-45.266861E-50.00.05.266861E-50.00.00153640235.372541E-45.0E-40.930658346.3720037E-41.0E-4
8.01.1433375E-65.2168156E-70.00.05.2168156E-70.04.9000087E-62.2357763E-60.00.02.2357763E-60.05.965597E-52.7220236E-50.00.02.7220236E-50.05.963996E-42.7583833E-43.0E-41.08759363.7581078E-41.0E-4
8.12.6675295E-71.6422842E-70.00.01.6422842E-70.01.1432264E-67.0383595E-70.00.07.0383595E-70.01.3918692E-58.569169E-60.00.08.569169E-60.01.391782E-48.7082975E-51.0E-41.14833018.7082975E-50.0
8.21.2704569E-89.55138E-90.00.09.55138E-90.05.444815E-84.093448E-80.00.04.093448E-80.06.629061E-74.983772E-70.00.04.983772E-70.06.629041E-65.1769052E-60.00.05.1769052E-60.0

Bennett Valley 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.3893934E-52.8250002E-50.00.02.8250002E-50.01.0239855E-41.21066856E-41.0E-40.82598992.2105475E-41.0E-40.00124598930.00147317730.0021.35760970.00187258814.0E-40.0123902620.01465687250.01370.93471510.018007040.0034
6.12.3893934E-52.8250002E-50.00.02.8250002E-50.01.0239855E-41.21066856E-41.0E-40.82598992.2105475E-41.0E-40.00124598930.00147317730.00191.28972920.00187258814.0E-40.0123902620.01465687250.01290.88013320.0179085040.0033
6.21.6657146E-51.9862246E-50.00.01.9862246E-50.07.138582E-58.512193E-51.0E-41.17478541.8511341E-41.0E-48.6877577E-40.00103600840.0010.96524320.00123580112.0E-40.0086538720.0103301580.00880.851874650.0126063980.0023
6.31.6657146E-51.9862246E-50.00.01.9862246E-50.07.138582E-58.512193E-51.0E-41.17478541.8511341E-41.0E-48.6877577E-40.00103600840.0010.96524320.00123580112.0E-40.0086538720.0103301580.00880.851874650.0126063980.0023
6.41.29418495E-51.5574657E-50.00.01.5574657E-50.05.546389E-56.674756E-51.0E-41.49818221.6674088E-41.0E-46.7506364E-48.1247883E-46.0E-40.738480750.00101231632.0E-40.00673016630.008112330.0070.862884040.00989772750.0018
6.51.2582504E-51.5141546E-50.00.01.5141546E-50.05.39239E-56.4891465E-51.0E-41.54103481.6488497E-41.0E-46.563257E-47.898974E-46.0E-40.75959239.897394E-42.0E-40.0065439070.0078881670.00690.874727850.0096739690.0018
6.61.0846706E-51.304311E-50.00.01.304311E-50.04.6485053E-55.5898567E-51.0E-41.78895461.5589298E-41.0E-45.6580856E-46.8048097E-45.0E-40.73477448.803449E-42.0E-40.0056437010.0068010810.00650.955730440.0085888390.0018
6.71.6803231E-62.380907E-60.00.02.380907E-60.07.2013645E-61.0203848E-51.0E-49.8002241.10202825E-41.0E-48.7673085E-51.242249E-41.0E-40.80499162.2421248E-41.0E-48.76385E-40.00124594690.00110.882862750.0015455733.0E-4
6.81.4609833E-62.0968864E-60.00.02.0968864E-60.06.261342E-68.986625E-61.0E-411.1276471.08985725E-41.0E-47.6229175E-51.0940674E-41.0E-40.91402052.093958E-41.0E-47.620303E-40.0010978718.0E-40.728683050.00129765142.0E-4
6.91.3492396E-61.9487888E-60.00.01.9487888E-60.05.7824427E-68.351926E-61.0E-411.9732861.08351094E-41.0E-47.0398964E-51.01680016E-41.0E-40.98347742.0166986E-41.0E-47.037667E-40.00102064687.0E-40.68583960.00112054471.0E-4
7.01.2347921E-61.7917356E-60.00.01.7917356E-60.05.291955E-67.678845E-61.0E-413.0227931.07678075E-41.0E-46.442765E-59.348598E-51.0E-41.06967911.9347663E-41.0E-46.440897E-49.3877985E-47.0E-40.745648740.00103868591.0E-4
7.11.1262973E-61.6384605E-60.00.01.6384605E-60.04.8269794E-67.021955E-61.0E-414.2410491.0702125E-41.0E-45.876689E-58.5488995E-51.0E-41.16974121.8548044E-41.0E-45.875135E-48.588588E-47.0E-40.8150359.5877296E-41.0E-4
7.29.351744E-71.363626E-60.00.01.363626E-60.04.007884E-65.8440983E-61.0E-417.111281.05843515E-41.0E-44.8794896E-57.1149596E-51.0E-41.40548931.7114248E-41.0E-44.878418E-47.155271E-45.0E-40.69878568.154555E-41.0E-4
7.38.5039534E-71.240895E-60.00.01.240895E-60.03.6445463E-65.3181107E-61.0E-418.803671.0531758E-41.0E-44.437145E-56.47461E-51.0E-41.54449461.6473963E-41.0E-44.436259E-46.51245E-45.0E-40.76776027.511799E-41.0E-4
7.46.7875015E-79.616898E-70.00.09.616898E-70.02.908926E-64.1215217E-61.0E-424.2628841.0412111E-41.0E-43.54156E-55.017838E-51.0E-41.99289021.5017336E-41.0E-43.5409955E-45.049457E-43.0E-40.59412336.048952E-41.0E-4
7.55.826867E-78.2016646E-70.00.08.2016646E-70.02.4972264E-63.5149944E-61.0E-428.4495471.0351464E-41.0E-43.0403306E-54.2794225E-51.0E-42.33676391.4278994E-41.0E-43.0399146E-44.3071818E-43.0E-40.69651115.306751E-41.0E-4
7.62.7734902E-73.6879948E-70.00.03.6879948E-70.01.1886381E-61.5805682E-60.00.01.5805682E-60.01.4471572E-51.9243249E-50.00.01.9243249E-50.01.447063E-41.9342806E-40.00.01.9342806E-40.0
7.71.0530888E-71.3781809E-70.00.01.3781809E-70.04.513237E-75.9064877E-70.00.05.9064877E-70.05.4948523E-67.1911254E-60.00.07.1911254E-60.05.4947162E-57.272322E-50.00.07.272322E-50.0
7.81.2714258E-81.9744261E-80.00.01.9744261E-80.05.448968E-88.4618264E-80.00.08.4618264E-80.06.6341164E-71.0302268E-60.00.01.0302268E-60.06.6340967E-61.07139085E-50.00.01.07139085E-50.0
7.94.075888E-97.62142E-90.00.07.62142E-90.01.7468091E-83.2663227E-80.00.03.2663227E-80.02.12674E-73.976747E-70.00.03.976747E-70.02.1267379E-64.2257807E-60.00.04.2257807E-60.0
8.01.9126138E-94.026725E-90.00.04.026725E-90.08.196917E-91.7257394E-80.00.01.7257394E-80.09.9797454E-82.1010875E-70.00.02.1010875E-70.09.979741E-72.2133217E-60.00.02.2133217E-60.0

Lenwood-Lockhart-Old Woman Springs

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.744542E-54.3969532E-50.00.04.3969532E-50.01.604705E-41.8842822E-42.0E-41.06141212.8840938E-41.0E-40.00195197760.0022918720.00160.69811930.00309003848.0E-40.0193492060.0227003730.01520.669592560.0258277320.0032
6.13.744542E-54.3969532E-50.00.04.3969532E-50.01.604705E-41.8842822E-42.0E-41.06141212.8840938E-41.0E-40.00195197760.0022918720.00160.69811930.00309003848.0E-40.0193492060.0227003730.01520.669592560.0258277320.0032
6.23.744542E-54.3969532E-50.00.04.3969532E-50.01.604705E-41.8842822E-42.0E-41.06141212.8840938E-41.0E-40.00195197760.0022918720.00160.69811930.00309003848.0E-40.0193492060.0227003730.01520.669592560.0258277320.0032
6.32.1079984E-52.5356216E-50.00.02.5356216E-50.09.0339665E-51.0866508E-42.0E-41.84051762.0865421E-41.0E-40.00109933040.00132221446.0E-40.45378420.001521952.0E-40.0109390790.013145690.0090.684635040.0151193990.002
6.42.1079984E-52.5356216E-50.00.02.5356216E-50.09.0339665E-51.0866508E-42.0E-41.84051762.0865421E-41.0E-40.00109933040.00132221446.0E-40.45378420.001521952.0E-40.0109390790.013145690.0090.684635040.0151193990.002
6.51.7397282E-52.0664718E-50.00.02.0664718E-50.07.455765E-58.856014E-51.0E-41.12917638.856014E-50.09.073613E-40.00107769814.0E-40.371161460.00117759031.0E-40.0090366540.0107260130.00730.68058840.0121109960.0014
6.61.52050325E-51.768136E-50.00.01.768136E-50.06.51628E-57.57751E-51.0E-41.31969487.57751E-50.07.9306826E-49.221792E-44.0E-40.433755160.0010220871.0E-40.0079024390.00918438750.00610.664170560.0103733660.0012
6.71.332523E-51.5265508E-50.00.01.5265508E-50.05.7106878E-56.5422E-51.0E-41.52853786.5422E-50.06.950544E-47.962276E-44.0E-40.50236898.96148E-41.0E-40.0069288450.0079343780.00550.6931860.0091248570.0012
6.81.1525329E-51.303235E-50.00.01.303235E-50.04.9393333E-55.5851757E-51.0E-41.7904545.5851757E-50.06.011979E-46.7978725E-43.0E-40.441314587.7971927E-41.0E-40.005995740.00677752960.0050.737731930.0079693960.0012
6.91.0253909E-51.1515601E-50.00.01.1515601E-50.04.3944583E-54.935166E-51.0E-42.02627424.935166E-50.05.3489394E-46.0069445E-43.0E-40.499421987.006344E-41.0E-40.00533608250.0059910870.00450.75111580.0069850960.001
7.08.104563E-68.991998E-60.00.08.991998E-60.03.4733377E-53.853658E-51.0E-42.59493733.853658E-50.04.2279682E-44.6908422E-43.0E-40.6395445.6903734E-41.0E-40.00421993340.0046811890.00330.704949140.005278386.0E-4
7.16.7986157E-67.516428E-60.00.07.516428E-60.02.91366E-53.221288E-51.0E-43.10434843.221288E-50.03.5468035E-43.9212336E-43.0E-40.76506544.9208413E-41.0E-40.0035411480.0039145310.00290.74082950.00441257385.0E-4
7.25.6893327E-66.2804797E-60.00.06.2804797E-60.02.4382627E-52.6916076E-51.0E-43.7152522.6916076E-50.02.9681803E-43.2765593E-43.0E-40.915594644.2762316E-41.0E-40.0029642190.0032719270.00250.764075760.00377029095.0E-4
7.34.253348E-64.707329E-60.00.04.707329E-60.01.8228506E-52.0174122E-50.00.02.0174122E-50.02.2190946E-42.4559407E-40.00.02.4559407E-40.00.002216880.00245340770.00150.61139450.0026529172.0E-4
7.42.5448119E-62.852198E-60.00.02.852198E-60.01.0906291E-51.2223658E-50.00.01.2223658E-50.01.3277601E-41.4881452E-40.00.01.4881452E-40.00.0013269670.00148731090.0010.67235440.00158716211.0E-4
7.54.3706837E-84.5633072E-80.00.04.5633072E-80.01.8731501E-71.955703E-70.00.01.955703E-70.02.2805577E-62.3810662E-60.00.02.3810662E-60.02.2805343E-52.3810462E-50.00.02.3810462E-50.0

Greenville (No) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.286654E-54.0390813E-50.00.04.0390813E-50.01.4084899E-41.7309222E-41.0E-40.57772671.7309222E-40.00.00171348760.00210539860.00130.61746030.00260434585.0E-40.0170033560.02085940.01690.81018630.0239926480.0032
6.13.286654E-54.0390813E-50.00.04.0390813E-50.01.4084899E-41.7309222E-40.00.01.7309222E-40.00.00171348760.00210539869.0E-40.42747250.00250455644.0E-40.0170033560.02085940.01420.68074830.0231114230.0023
6.23.1697953E-53.895307E-50.00.03.895307E-50.01.358413E-41.6693125E-40.00.01.6693125E-40.00.00165261320.00203053029.0E-40.443233970.00242971824.0E-40.016403770.0201244690.01370.68076330.0223781820.0023
6.33.1363317E-53.8541755E-50.00.03.8541755E-50.01.344073E-41.651687E-40.00.01.651687E-40.00.00163518030.00200911129.0E-40.44795930.00240830754.0E-40.0162320040.0199141450.01350.677910150.0220703330.0022
6.43.0228604E-53.7148257E-50.00.03.7148257E-50.01.2954473E-41.591973E-40.00.01.591973E-40.00.00157606590.00193654029.0E-40.464746360.00233576564.0E-40.0156493480.0192011730.0130.677041950.021260850.0021
6.52.9537814E-53.6303332E-50.00.03.6303332E-50.01.2658449E-41.5557664E-40.00.01.5557664E-40.00.00154007660.00189253619.0E-40.475552380.0022917794.0E-40.015294470.018768650.01260.67133230.0208292340.0021
6.62.7345395E-53.3611443E-50.00.03.3611443E-50.01.1718928E-41.4404126E-40.00.01.4404126E-40.00.00142584570.00175232289.0E-40.5136040.00215162174.0E-40.0141673170.017388870.01150.661342560.019157570.0018
6.72.5615784E-53.1587653E-50.00.03.1587653E-50.01.09777306E-41.353688E-40.00.01.353688E-40.00.00133571930.00164689999.0E-40.54648130.00204624124.0E-40.0132771910.0163506210.01060.648293440.0180228240.0017
6.82.0059057E-52.4729448E-50.00.02.4729448E-50.08.596455E-51.0597914E-40.00.01.0597914E-40.00.00104611590.00128954866.0E-40.46527910.00158916173.0E-40.01041204950.0128226730.00850.662888350.0141060030.0013
6.91.6321746E-52.020013E-50.00.02.020013E-50.06.9948466E-58.656918E-50.00.08.656918E-50.08.5128983E-40.00105348255.0E-40.474616320.00135316653.0E-40.0084803610.0104864120.00640.610313650.0114759250.001
7.01.22527645E-51.5145875E-50.00.01.5145875E-50.05.2510793E-56.4909305E-50.00.06.4909305E-50.06.3913135E-47.899885E-43.0E-40.379752378.899095E-41.0E-40.00637296260.00787258150.0050.63511570.0084678586.0E-4
7.18.996482E-61.1172974E-50.00.01.1172974E-50.03.8555783E-54.7883303E-50.00.04.7883303E-50.04.6931554E-45.828245E-42.0E-40.34315656.827662E-41.0E-40.0046832560.00581341140.00390.670862560.00611166753.0E-4
7.26.0273087E-67.5762746E-60.00.07.5762746E-60.02.5831067E-53.246935E-50.00.03.246935E-50.03.1444785E-43.9524332E-42.0E-40.506017454.9520377E-41.0E-40.00314003280.00394589170.00260.65891320.0042447083.0E-4
7.33.1209995E-63.9684146E-60.00.03.9684146E-60.01.3375643E-51.7007382E-50.00.01.7007382E-50.01.6283628E-42.0704535E-41.0E-40.482985973.0702466E-41.0E-40.00162717010.00206897450.00150.72499680.00216876761.0E-4
7.42.0254208E-62.6113983E-60.00.02.6113983E-60.08.680347E-61.1191659E-50.00.01.1191659E-50.01.0567809E-41.3624999E-41.0E-40.7339452.3623636E-41.0E-40.00105627850.00136194980.00120.88108970.00146181371.0E-4
7.51.6763418E-62.1747528E-60.00.02.1747528E-60.07.184302E-69.320336E-60.00.09.320336E-60.08.746537E-51.13469236E-41.0E-40.881296162.1345788E-41.0E-48.743095E-40.00113440260.0010.88152130.00123428911.0E-4
7.61.1935462E-61.54715E-60.00.01.54715E-60.05.115188E-66.630626E-60.00.06.630626E-60.06.2275634E-58.072492E-51.0E-41.23877481.8071686E-41.0E-46.2258187E-48.0723653E-46.0E-40.74327669.071558E-41.0E-4
7.73.0464201E-73.987992E-70.00.03.987992E-70.01.3056081E-61.7091384E-60.00.01.7091384E-60.01.589566E-52.0808566E-51.0E-44.8057131.20806486E-41.0E-41.5894524E-42.0807415E-41.0E-40.480597883.0805334E-41.0E-4

Bartlett Springs 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.2326144E-58.06516E-51.0E-41.23990118.06516E-50.02.6708472E-43.4560452E-41.0E-40.289348073.4560452E-40.00.0032469080.00419970830.00240.571468230.00459802854.0E-40.0319987570.0412205050.02790.676847640.0442885980.0032
6.16.227657E-58.058907E-51.0E-41.24086318.058907E-50.02.668723E-43.4533662E-41.0E-40.289572543.4533662E-40.00.00324432950.0041964590.00230.548081160.00449520023.0E-40.0319737120.0411892240.02780.674933850.0441615360.0031
6.26.22452E-58.054965E-51.0E-41.24147038.054965E-50.02.6673786E-43.4516773E-41.0E-40.289714223.4516773E-40.00.00324269780.0041944110.00230.54834880.00449315273.0E-40.031957870.0411695060.02780.67525710.044141880.0031
6.36.219006E-58.0479454E-51.0E-41.24255328.0479454E-50.02.6650162E-43.4486694E-41.0E-40.28996693.4486694E-40.00.003239830.0041907630.00230.54882610.00448950573.0E-40.0319300140.0411343870.02780.67583360.044106870.0031
6.45.2175856E-56.7290894E-51.0E-41.48608526.7290894E-50.02.2359163E-42.8835796E-41.0E-40.34679122.8835796E-40.00.00271882980.00350515450.0020.57058830.00380410283.0E-40.0268580580.034508120.02220.64332690.0371149480.0027
6.55.205166E-56.713348E-51.0E-41.48956986.713348E-50.02.2305945E-42.8768345E-41.0E-40.347604272.8768345E-40.00.00271236660.00349696910.0020.571923850.003795923.0E-40.0267949890.0344288240.02220.644808530.0370358680.0027
6.65.0085426E-56.452825E-51.0E-41.54970886.452825E-50.02.1463417E-42.765206E-41.0E-40.361636732.765206E-40.00.00261003940.00336149080.0020.594974160.00366048243.0E-40.0257959650.0331156370.02110.637161250.0356295330.0026
6.74.8930866E-56.305212E-51.0E-41.58598966.305212E-50.02.0968684E-42.7019563E-41.0E-40.37010222.7019563E-40.00.00254994840.00328471930.0020.608880.0035837343.0E-40.0252088640.0323706120.02090.645647350.0347896850.0025
6.84.5679535E-55.8773876E-51.0E-41.70143625.8773876E-50.01.9575475E-42.518639E-41.0E-40.39703982.518639E-40.00.0023807090.0030621690.00180.58781860.00336125053.0E-40.0235536530.0302067770.01910.63230840.0324373020.0023
6.94.1439176E-55.324878E-51.0E-41.87797745.324878E-50.01.7758438E-42.2818922E-41.0E-40.43823282.2818922E-40.00.0021599460.00277468960.00160.57664110.00307385723.0E-40.0213907210.0274054950.01740.634909150.0294479430.0021
7.03.5920104E-54.6033012E-51.0E-42.1723544.6033012E-50.01.5393422E-41.972695E-41.0E-40.506920751.972695E-40.00.0018725380.00239912650.00130.541863860.00269840683.0E-40.0185683780.0237355470.01410.59404570.0254928230.0018
7.13.338812E-54.271182E-51.0E-42.3412724.271182E-50.01.430841E-41.830379E-41.0E-40.54633491.830379E-40.00.00174065680.00222622320.0010.449191240.0024257782.0E-40.0172708540.022042060.01280.580707970.0237045880.0017
7.22.8619615E-53.6420344E-51.0E-42.74571823.6420344E-50.01.2264973E-41.560779E-41.0E-40.64070571.560779E-40.00.00149223760.0018986027.0E-40.368692340.00209822232.0E-40.0148225680.0188258850.01020.541807230.0201995280.0014
7.32.6376783E-53.3440003E-51.0E-42.99043063.3440003E-50.01.13038455E-41.4330648E-41.0E-40.697805171.4330648E-40.00.00137537430.00174336937.0E-40.401521350.00194302062.0E-40.013668930.017298810.0090.5202670.0185763220.0013
7.42.3738676E-52.9994439E-51.0E-43.33395152.9994439E-50.01.0173322E-41.285413E-41.0E-40.777960061.285413E-40.00.00123789810.00156387497.0E-40.447606120.00176356222.0E-40.0123102510.015530220.00850.547320.0167115830.0012
7.52.1789481E-52.7453336E-51.0E-43.64254452.7453336E-50.09.338015E-51.1765189E-41.0E-40.849965041.1765189E-40.00.00113631030.00143147857.0E-40.48900490.00163119222.0E-40.0113051750.0142239790.00760.534308970.0151111779.0E-4
7.61.3895281E-51.7377411E-51.0E-45.7545971.7377411E-50.05.9549846E-57.447251E-51.0E-41.34277747.447251E-50.07.2477816E-49.063285E-45.0E-40.551676330.00110614722.0E-40.00722418870.009026930.00530.587132040.0098197098.0E-4
7.74.245981E-65.164425E-60.00.05.164425E-60.01.8196934E-52.2133063E-50.00.02.2133063E-50.02.2152514E-42.6943692E-42.0E-40.74228883.6940997E-41.0E-40.00221304460.0026911490.00110.408747350.00289061082.0E-4
7.86.145192E-77.048893E-70.00.07.048893E-70.02.633651E-63.0209508E-60.00.03.0209508E-60.03.206423E-53.6779467E-50.00.03.6779467E-50.03.2059604E-43.6772783E-41.0E-40.271940263.6772783E-40.0

South Klamath Lake East

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.3539369E-52.5050493E-50.00.02.5050493E-50.01.0087911E-41.0735531E-40.00.01.0735531E-40.00.00122751110.00130635038.0E-40.612393140.00180569725.0E-40.0122075270.012995060.01120.8618660.0155612720.0026
6.12.3539369E-52.5050493E-50.00.02.5050493E-50.01.0087911E-41.0735531E-40.00.01.0735531E-40.00.00122751110.00130635038.0E-40.612393140.00180569725.0E-40.0122075270.012995060.01120.8618660.0155612720.0026
6.22.3539369E-52.5050493E-50.00.02.5050493E-50.01.0087911E-41.0735531E-40.00.01.0735531E-40.00.00122751110.00130635038.0E-40.612393140.00180569725.0E-40.0122075270.012995060.01120.8618660.0155612720.0026
6.39.807823E-61.0397281E-50.00.01.0397281E-50.04.2032847E-54.455906E-50.00.04.455906E-50.05.1162974E-45.423799E-41.0E-40.184372625.423799E-40.00.0051045340.0054113980.00470.868537070.0064059870.001
6.49.807823E-61.0397281E-50.00.01.0397281E-50.04.2032847E-54.455906E-50.00.04.455906E-50.05.1162974E-45.423799E-41.0E-40.184372625.423799E-40.00.0051045340.0054113980.00470.868537070.0064059870.001
6.56.191981E-66.5515933E-60.00.06.5515933E-60.02.653679E-52.807797E-50.00.02.807797E-50.03.2303753E-43.4179844E-40.00.03.4179844E-40.00.00322568350.00341300570.0030.87899060.0040109586.0E-4
6.64.3693776E-64.6170753E-60.00.04.6170753E-60.01.8725768E-51.9787323E-50.00.01.9787323E-50.02.2796239E-42.4088516E-40.00.02.4088516E-40.00.00227728670.0024063530.00190.78957660.002905155.0E-4
6.73.360834E-63.5516393E-60.00.03.5516393E-60.01.4403494E-51.5221227E-50.00.01.5221227E-50.01.7534842E-41.8530349E-40.00.01.8530349E-40.00.00175210140.00185156970.00170.91813990.0022508294.0E-4
6.82.57873E-62.7254778E-60.00.02.7254778E-60.01.1051653E-51.168057E-50.00.01.168057E-50.01.3454557E-41.4220228E-40.00.01.4220228E-40.00.00134464130.00142117360.00110.77400820.00162088932.0E-4
6.99.987825E-71.0567426E-60.00.01.0567426E-60.04.2804895E-64.528891E-60.00.04.528891E-60.05.211371E-55.513818E-50.00.05.513818E-50.05.210149E-45.512772E-43.0E-40.54419095.512772E-40.0

South Klamath Lake West

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.174025E-52.3044764E-50.00.02.3044764E-50.09.3169176E-59.8759905E-50.00.09.8759905E-50.00.00113374440.00120180440.0010.832082150.00170120355.0E-40.0112797770.0119596540.01120.936481950.0144297550.0025
6.12.174025E-52.3044764E-50.00.02.3044764E-50.09.3169176E-59.8759905E-50.00.09.8759905E-50.00.00113374440.00120180440.0010.832082150.00170120355.0E-40.0112797770.0119596540.01120.936481950.0144297550.0025
6.29.834929E-61.0395013E-50.00.01.0395013E-50.04.2149015E-54.4549346E-50.00.04.4549346E-50.05.1304343E-45.4226234E-43.0E-40.553237745.4226234E-40.00.00511860570.0054102940.00561.03506390.00630542459.0E-4
6.39.834929E-61.0395013E-50.00.01.0395013E-50.04.2149015E-54.4549346E-50.00.04.4549346E-50.05.1304343E-45.4226234E-43.0E-40.553237745.4226234E-40.00.00511860570.0054102940.00561.03506390.00630542459.0E-4
6.46.066321E-66.401129E-60.00.06.401129E-60.02.5998259E-52.7433138E-50.00.02.7433138E-50.03.1648282E-43.3394998E-40.00.03.3394998E-40.00.00316032490.00333475180.00371.10952780.0039327516.0E-4
6.56.066321E-66.401129E-60.00.06.401129E-60.02.5998259E-52.7433138E-50.00.02.7433138E-50.03.1648282E-43.3394998E-40.00.03.3394998E-40.00.00316032490.00333475180.00371.10952780.0039327516.0E-4
6.64.2321803E-64.4617705E-60.00.04.4617705E-60.01.8137789E-51.9121739E-50.00.01.9121739E-50.02.208052E-42.3278332E-40.00.02.3278332E-40.00.00220585940.00232549660.00261.11804070.00272456654.0E-4
6.73.186646E-63.3606684E-60.00.03.3606684E-60.01.3656982E-51.4402789E-50.00.01.4402789E-50.01.6626107E-41.7534052E-40.00.01.7534052E-40.00.00166136740.00175208890.00191.08441980.00205156323.0E-4
6.82.380121E-62.5111806E-60.00.02.5111806E-60.01.0200479E-51.0762161E-50.00.01.0762161E-50.01.2418375E-41.310219E-40.00.01.310219E-40.00.00124114370.00130949230.00110.84002020.00150923052.0E-4
6.98.928287E-79.431302E-70.00.09.431302E-70.03.826403E-64.0419814E-60.00.04.0419814E-60.04.658546E-54.9210234E-50.00.04.9210234E-50.04.6575698E-44.92015E-45.0E-41.01622924.92015E-40.0

Quien Sabe 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.729899E-57.0985E-50.00.07.0985E-50.01.5984301E-43.0415558E-43.0E-40.98633734.0412517E-41.0E-40.00194435150.00368745180.00160.433903960.0041856085.0E-40.0192742720.0353700780.01760.497595730.038263970.003
6.11.7825725E-53.3232085E-50.00.03.3232085E-50.07.639373E-51.4238115E-40.00.01.4238115E-40.09.296967E-40.00172776692.0E-40.1157563550.00172776690.00.0092581690.0167087350.00710.424927440.0178886840.0012
6.24.8865336E-67.813568E-60.00.07.813568E-60.02.0942118E-53.348512E-50.00.03.348512E-50.02.5494045E-44.0725817E-40.00.04.0725817E-40.00.00254648180.0040164770.00180.44815390.00411607561.0E-4
6.33.858491E-65.7949605E-60.00.05.7949605E-60.01.6536285E-52.4835335E-50.00.02.4835335E-50.02.0131067E-43.0233295E-40.00.03.0233295E-40.00.0020112840.00300440750.00130.432697620.0031041071.0E-4
6.43.0771805E-64.3898985E-60.00.04.3898985E-60.01.318785E-51.881373E-50.00.01.881373E-50.01.6055023E-42.2903549E-40.00.02.2903549E-40.00.0016043430.00228883079.0E-40.393213870.0023886021.0E-4
6.52.5081235E-63.4680918E-60.00.03.4680918E-60.01.0749056E-51.4863174E-50.00.01.4863174E-50.01.308619E-41.8094559E-40.00.01.8094559E-40.00.00130784860.00181456569.0E-40.495986460.00191438421.0E-4
6.61.7505364E-62.4057533E-60.00.02.4057533E-60.07.502277E-61.0310335E-50.00.01.0310335E-50.09.13364E-51.2552181E-40.00.01.2552181E-40.09.129886E-40.00125992278.0E-40.63495950.00135979691.0E-4
6.71.505737E-62.0668413E-60.00.02.0668413E-60.06.4531428E-68.8578645E-60.00.08.8578645E-60.07.8564175E-51.0783976E-40.00.01.0783976E-40.07.853641E-40.00108328868.0E-40.73849210.00118318031.0E-4
6.81.2924105E-61.7511461E-60.00.01.7511461E-60.05.5388905E-67.5048933E-60.00.07.5048933E-60.06.74339E-59.136879E-50.00.09.136879E-50.06.741344E-49.1740646E-46.0E-40.65401760.00101731471.0E-4
6.98.9075286E-71.1267791E-60.00.01.1267791E-60.03.8175067E-64.829046E-60.00.04.829046E-60.04.6477155E-55.8792266E-50.00.05.8792266E-50.04.6467435E-45.912028E-44.0E-40.676586756.911437E-41.0E-4
7.06.6891175E-78.531756E-70.00.08.531756E-70.02.8667614E-63.656463E-60.00.03.656463E-60.03.4902263E-54.4516724E-50.00.04.4516724E-50.03.4896782E-44.4746176E-43.0E-40.670448365.4741703E-41.0E-4
7.14.4205015E-75.3967443E-70.00.05.3967443E-70.01.8944993E-62.3128894E-60.00.02.3128894E-60.02.3065284E-52.8159235E-50.00.02.8159235E-50.02.3062891E-42.8288856E-41.0E-40.35349612.8288856E-40.0
7.21.6620965E-71.6007769E-70.00.01.6007769E-70.07.123269E-76.860471E-70.00.06.860471E-70.08.672545E-68.352596E-60.00.08.352596E-60.08.6722066E-58.364014E-50.00.08.364014E-50.0
7.31.2142488E-71.1735274E-70.00.01.1735274E-70.05.2039223E-75.029402E-70.00.05.029402E-70.06.335757E-66.1232836E-60.00.06.1232836E-60.06.3355765E-56.1301296E-50.00.06.1301296E-50.0
7.42.4192937E-82.4557309E-80.00.02.4557309E-80.01.0368401E-71.05245604E-70.00.01.05245604E-70.01.2623522E-61.2813646E-60.00.01.2813646E-60.01.2623449E-51.2835184E-50.00.01.2835184E-50.0
7.51.4432802E-81.4511174E-80.00.01.4511174E-80.06.185486E-86.219074E-80.00.06.219074E-80.07.530827E-77.5717213E-70.00.07.5717213E-70.07.530801E-67.5914077E-60.00.07.5914077E-60.0

Cleghorn Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5467183E-51.6797072E-50.00.01.6797072E-50.06.6286244E-57.198577E-51.0E-41.38916341.7197857E-41.0E-48.067362E-48.7612926E-44.0E-40.456553640.00107595412.0E-40.0080381370.0087321810.00951.08792980.0116068570.0029
6.11.5467183E-51.6797072E-50.00.01.6797072E-50.06.6286244E-57.198577E-51.0E-41.38916341.7197857E-41.0E-48.067362E-48.7612926E-44.0E-40.456553640.00107595412.0E-40.0080381370.0087321810.00951.08792980.0116068570.0029
6.21.2624631E-51.3683825E-50.00.01.3683825E-50.05.410444E-55.864392E-51.0E-41.70520661.5863805E-41.0E-46.585225E-47.1380456E-43.0E-40.42028318.1373315E-41.0E-40.00656574450.00711991540.00761.06742850.009403540.0023
6.31.2624631E-51.3683825E-50.00.01.3683825E-50.05.410444E-55.864392E-51.0E-41.70520661.5863805E-41.0E-46.585225E-47.1380456E-43.0E-40.42028318.1373315E-41.0E-40.00656574450.00711991540.00761.06742850.009403540.0023
6.49.417684E-61.0171737E-50.00.01.0171737E-50.04.036088E-54.359266E-51.0E-42.29396411.435883E-41.0E-44.912829E-45.306525E-43.0E-40.56534176.3059945E-41.0E-40.0049019820.00529789130.00591.11365070.00728729550.002
6.59.368219E-61.0119157E-50.00.01.0119157E-50.04.014889E-54.3367327E-51.0E-42.30588341.43363E-41.0E-44.8870314E-45.2791036E-43.0E-40.568278256.278576E-41.0E-40.0048762980.00527060030.00591.11941710.0072600590.002
6.67.803798E-68.443205E-60.00.08.443205E-60.03.3444423E-53.6184887E-50.00.03.6184887E-50.04.0710976E-44.405019E-42.0E-40.454027564.405019E-40.00.00406364720.0044002060.00481.09085810.00579404550.0014
6.72.3108669E-62.4441129E-60.00.02.4441129E-60.09.903678E-61.0474728E-50.00.01.0474728E-50.01.205706E-41.2752254E-40.00.01.2752254E-40.00.0012050520.00127451230.00131.01999810.00157412993.0E-4
6.82.0882828E-62.2065296E-60.00.02.2065296E-60.08.949753E-69.456522E-60.00.09.456522E-60.01.08957785E-41.15127244E-40.00.01.15127244E-40.00.00108904380.00115069290.0010.86904160.00145034773.0E-4
6.91.876935E-61.981269E-60.00.01.981269E-60.08.043982E-68.491126E-60.00.08.491126E-60.09.7931086E-51.0337472E-40.00.01.0337472E-40.09.788794E-40.00103328238.0E-40.77423180.00133297233.0E-4
7.01.5357559E-61.6204576E-60.00.01.6204576E-60.06.5817944E-66.9448006E-60.00.06.9448006E-60.08.01304E-58.454979E-50.00.08.454979E-50.08.010151E-48.451887E-46.0E-40.70990060.00114493513.0E-4
7.11.0905424E-61.1498859E-60.00.01.1498859E-60.04.6737446E-64.9280734E-60.00.04.9280734E-60.05.6901354E-55.999774E-50.00.05.999774E-50.05.6886784E-45.9982523E-43.0E-40.50014577.997052E-42.0E-4
7.26.06668E-76.387947E-70.00.06.387947E-70.02.600003E-62.737689E-60.00.02.737689E-60.03.1654577E-53.3330925E-50.00.03.3330925E-50.03.1650066E-43.332661E-43.0E-40.90018165.3319946E-42.0E-4

Cleghorn Pass

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.0522846E-51.10417195E-50.00.01.10417195E-50.04.509713E-54.7321093E-50.00.04.7321093E-50.05.4891926E-45.7603465E-47.0E-41.21520477.759194E-42.0E-40.00547565330.0057505820.00841.46072170.0084350560.0027
6.11.0522846E-51.10417195E-50.00.01.10417195E-50.04.509713E-54.7321093E-50.00.04.7321093E-50.05.4891926E-45.7603465E-47.0E-41.21520477.759194E-42.0E-40.00547565330.0057505820.00841.46072170.0084350560.0027
6.22.1045846E-62.208418E-60.00.02.208418E-60.09.019617E-69.464638E-60.00.09.464638E-60.01.098083E-41.15230076E-43.0E-42.6034871.15230076E-40.00.00109754060.00115211470.0021.73593820.00165153875.0E-4
6.32.1045846E-62.208418E-60.00.02.208418E-60.09.019617E-69.464638E-60.00.09.464638E-60.01.098083E-41.15230076E-43.0E-42.6034871.15230076E-40.00.00109754060.00115211470.0021.73593820.00165153875.0E-4
6.41.7259927E-61.8110537E-60.00.01.8110537E-60.07.3970905E-67.761659E-60.00.07.761659E-60.09.005586E-59.4498195E-52.0E-42.11644249.4498195E-50.09.001937E-49.4498193E-40.00161.6931540.0013446044.0E-4

Manix-Afton Hills

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.3783202E-51.4713058E-50.00.01.4713058E-50.05.906953E-56.305454E-50.00.06.305454E-50.07.189342E-47.6743605E-47.0E-40.91212819.6728257E-42.0E-40.00716612770.00764961540.00580.758208040.0102297260.0026
6.11.3783202E-51.4713058E-50.00.01.4713058E-50.05.906953E-56.305454E-50.00.06.305454E-50.07.189342E-47.6743605E-47.0E-40.91212819.6728257E-42.0E-40.00716612770.00764961540.00580.758208040.0102297260.0026
6.21.3783202E-51.4713058E-50.00.01.4713058E-50.05.906953E-56.305454E-50.00.06.305454E-50.07.189342E-47.6743605E-47.0E-40.91212819.6728257E-42.0E-40.00716612770.00764961540.00580.758208040.0102297260.0026
6.31.10494875E-51.1794713E-50.00.01.1794713E-50.04.7354086E-55.054785E-50.00.05.054785E-50.05.763835E-46.1525666E-47.0E-41.13773668.151336E-42.0E-40.0057489080.0061365740.00460.74960390.00842245950.0023
6.41.10494875E-51.1794713E-50.00.01.1794713E-50.04.7354086E-55.054785E-50.00.05.054785E-50.05.763835E-46.1525666E-47.0E-41.13773668.151336E-42.0E-40.0057489080.0061365740.00460.74960390.00842245950.0023
6.59.788949E-61.0455732E-50.00.01.0455732E-50.04.1951964E-54.4809563E-50.00.04.4809563E-50.05.1064545E-45.454292E-46.0E-41.10005127.453201E-42.0E-40.00509473630.0054418320.0040.735046570.007629860.0022
6.68.810006E-69.414911E-60.00.09.414911E-60.03.775662E-54.0349045E-50.00.04.0349045E-50.04.5958988E-44.9114774E-46.0E-41.22162836.9104956E-42.0E-40.00458640560.00490150550.00370.75487010.00679219230.0019
6.78.80128E-69.4053885E-60.00.09.4053885E-60.03.7719226E-54.0308238E-50.00.04.0308238E-50.04.591348E-44.906512E-46.0E-41.22286476.9055305E-42.0E-40.0045818740.0048965610.00370.755632340.00678725770.0019
6.86.8994877E-67.3810984E-60.00.07.3810984E-60.02.9568899E-53.1632942E-50.00.03.1632942E-50.03.5994186E-43.8507115E-45.0E-41.29846134.8503265E-41.0E-40.0035935940.00384484440.00260.67623020.0049406150.0011
6.94.9328037E-65.27168E-60.00.05.27168E-60.02.1140417E-52.2592754E-50.00.02.2592754E-50.02.5735417E-42.750382E-44.0E-41.45434333.750107E-41.0E-40.00257056350.00274758370.00150.545934260.00334593516.0E-4
7.03.347973E-63.5905464E-60.00.03.5905464E-60.01.4348378E-51.5387988E-50.00.01.5387988E-50.01.746775E-41.8733674E-43.0E-41.60139432.8731802E-41.0E-40.00174540250.0018721918.0E-40.427306830.00217162933.0E-4
7.11.2073567E-61.293665E-60.00.01.293665E-60.05.1743755E-65.544276E-60.00.05.544276E-60.06.29962E-56.75011E-50.00.06.75011E-50.06.297835E-46.749662E-44.0E-40.59262228.748312E-42.0E-4

Great Valley 03 Mysterious Ridge

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.1182444E-53.6045352E-50.00.03.6045352E-50.01.336322E-41.5447199E-40.00.01.5447199E-40.00.00162575780.00187926017.0E-40.372487040.00207888432.0E-40.0161391530.0186524320.01240.664792660.0212039370.0026
6.13.1182444E-53.6045352E-50.00.03.6045352E-50.01.336322E-41.5447199E-40.00.01.5447199E-40.00.00162575780.00187926017.0E-40.372487040.00207888432.0E-40.0161391530.0186524320.01240.664792660.0212039370.0026
6.23.1182444E-53.6045352E-50.00.03.6045352E-50.01.336322E-41.5447199E-40.00.01.5447199E-40.00.00162575780.00187926017.0E-40.372487040.00207888432.0E-40.0161391530.0186524320.01240.664792660.0212039370.0026
6.32.106934E-52.3856586E-50.00.02.3856586E-50.09.0294045E-51.02238686E-40.00.01.02238686E-40.00.00109877550.00124407634.0E-40.32152370.00124407630.00.0109335850.0123743670.00820.66266020.0141520930.0018
6.42.106934E-52.3856586E-50.00.02.3856586E-50.09.0294045E-51.02238686E-40.00.01.02238686E-40.00.00109877550.00124407634.0E-40.32152370.00124407630.00.0109335850.0123743670.00820.66266020.0141520930.0018
6.51.9389783E-52.1890599E-50.00.02.1890599E-50.08.309642E-59.3813636E-50.00.09.3813636E-50.00.00101122940.00114161034.0E-40.350382270.00114161030.00.0100664010.0113603330.00770.6777970.0131398850.0018
6.61.9370193E-52.1870519E-50.00.02.1870519E-50.08.301247E-59.372758E-50.00.09.372758E-50.00.00101020820.00114056374.0E-40.350703780.00114056370.00.0100562810.0113499750.00770.67841560.0131295450.0018
6.71.6723505E-51.880393E-50.00.01.880393E-50.07.16702E-58.0585894E-50.00.08.0585894E-50.08.722353E-49.807112E-43.0E-40.305900459.807112E-40.00.0086881970.0097658430.00710.72702380.0114492410.0017
6.81.426937E-51.6001068E-50.00.01.6001068E-50.06.115301E-56.857428E-50.00.06.857428E-50.07.4428355E-48.345865E-43.0E-40.359459438.345865E-40.00.0074179570.0083160020.00660.79365060.0099026960.0016
6.91.2469891E-51.3960242E-50.00.01.3960242E-50.05.3441294E-55.98283E-50.00.05.98283E-50.06.504535E-47.2817825E-43.0E-40.411987047.2817825E-40.00.0064855290.0072591470.00530.73011330.0086489840.0014
7.08.7746275E-69.793992E-60.00.09.793992E-60.03.7605005E-54.197362E-50.00.04.197362E-50.04.5774475E-45.1091635E-41.0E-40.195726775.1091635E-40.00.004568030.005098150.0040.78459830.0059935629.0E-4
7.16.1067153E-66.815295E-60.00.06.815295E-60.02.6171374E-52.9208111E-50.00.02.9208111E-50.03.1858988E-43.5555632E-40.00.03.5555632E-40.00.00318133530.00355042540.0030.844969150.0043475858.0E-4
7.22.939283E-63.2748485E-60.00.03.2748485E-60.01.2596866E-51.4034999E-50.00.01.4034999E-50.01.5335606E-41.7086447E-40.00.01.7086447E-40.00.00153250270.00170750310.00150.87847570.00220664945.0E-4
7.37.2387763E-78.01021E-70.00.08.01021E-70.03.102329E-63.4329453E-60.00.03.4329453E-60.03.77702E-54.1795764E-50.00.04.1795764E-50.03.7763783E-44.1792405E-43.0E-40.71783385.1788223E-41.0E-4
7.43.112171E-83.2070304E-80.00.03.2070304E-80.01.3337875E-71.3744415E-70.00.01.3744415E-70.01.6238852E-61.6733812E-60.00.01.6733812E-60.01.6238733E-51.6733695E-50.00.01.6733695E-50.0

Mono Lake 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.0341662E-52.3836292E-50.00.02.3836292E-50.08.717564E-51.0215453E-40.00.01.0215453E-40.00.00106084660.00124355310.00110.884562130.00164305574.0E-40.0105579660.0124180520.01070.861648860.0150845230.0027
6.12.0341662E-52.3836292E-50.00.02.3836292E-50.08.717564E-51.0215453E-40.00.01.0215453E-40.00.00106084660.00124355310.00110.884562130.00164305574.0E-40.0105579660.0124180520.01070.861648860.0150845230.0027
6.22.0341662E-52.3836292E-50.00.02.3836292E-50.08.717564E-51.0215453E-40.00.01.0215453E-40.00.00106084660.00124355310.00110.884562130.00164305574.0E-40.0105579660.0124180520.01070.861648860.0150845230.0027
6.32.0341662E-52.3836292E-50.00.02.3836292E-50.08.717564E-51.0215453E-40.00.01.0215453E-40.00.00106084660.00124355310.00110.884562130.00164305574.0E-40.0105579660.0124180520.01070.861648860.0150845230.0027
6.41.749821E-52.0497962E-50.00.02.0497962E-50.07.499018E-58.7848406E-50.00.08.7848406E-50.09.1262296E-40.00106955390.0010.934969250.00146912614.0E-40.0090888410.0106954950.00960.89757420.01297089550.0023
6.51.749821E-52.0497962E-50.00.02.0497962E-50.07.499018E-58.7848406E-50.00.08.7848406E-50.09.1262296E-40.00106955390.0010.934969250.00146912614.0E-40.0090888410.0106954950.00960.89757420.01297089550.0023

Monterey Bay-Tularcitos

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0131365E-53.280467E-50.00.03.280467E-50.01.2912804E-41.4058445E-40.00.01.4058445E-40.00.0015710.00171037750.00110.643132870.00181020641.0E-40.0155994020.0169829470.01180.69481460.0191455840.0022
6.13.0131365E-53.280467E-50.00.03.280467E-50.01.2912804E-41.4058445E-40.00.01.4058445E-40.00.0015710.00171037750.00110.643132870.00181020641.0E-40.0155994020.0169829470.01180.69481460.0191455840.0022
6.23.0131365E-53.280467E-50.00.03.280467E-50.01.2912804E-41.4058445E-40.00.01.4058445E-40.00.0015710.00171037750.00110.643132870.00181020641.0E-40.0155994020.0169829470.01180.69481460.0191455840.0022
6.31.6998249E-51.8333772E-50.00.01.8333772E-50.07.28476E-57.857105E-50.00.07.857105E-50.08.865586E-49.5620146E-43.0E-40.313741420.00105610581.0E-40.00883030050.0095227970.00640.67207150.011107560.0016
6.41.6998249E-51.8333772E-50.00.01.8333772E-50.07.28476E-57.857105E-50.00.07.857105E-50.08.865586E-49.5620146E-43.0E-40.313741420.00105610581.0E-40.00883030050.0095227970.00640.67207150.011107560.0016
6.51.27470785E-51.369545E-50.00.01.369545E-50.05.4629192E-55.8693528E-50.00.05.8693528E-50.06.649074E-47.1436976E-43.0E-40.41995068.142983E-41.0E-40.00662921460.00712178650.00480.673988160.0084125280.0013
6.61.2739422E-51.3687537E-50.00.01.3687537E-50.05.4596385E-55.8659614E-50.00.05.8659614E-50.06.645082E-47.139571E-43.0E-40.42019338.138857E-41.0E-40.00662524670.0071176870.00480.67437640.0084084340.0013
6.71.0160109E-51.0887417E-50.00.01.0887417E-50.04.35426E-54.6659567E-50.00.04.6659567E-50.05.300022E-45.679392E-42.0E-40.352150386.678824E-41.0E-40.0052873990.0056655890.00380.670715750.0067593570.0011
6.88.349859E-68.933944E-60.00.08.933944E-60.03.578462E-53.82878E-50.00.03.82878E-50.04.3559066E-44.6605992E-42.0E-40.429129365.6601333E-41.0E-40.0043473780.004651390.0030.64496850.0054476698.0E-4
6.95.193639E-65.5372743E-60.00.05.5372743E-60.02.2258262E-52.3730978E-50.00.02.3730978E-50.02.7096065E-42.888896E-41.0E-40.3461532.888896E-40.00.00270630510.00288546180.00170.589160440.0033840195.0E-4
7.04.359381E-64.644085E-60.00.04.644085E-60.01.8682927E-51.9903087E-50.00.01.9903087E-50.02.274409E-42.4229613E-41.0E-40.412718122.4229613E-40.00.00227208270.00242061240.00140.578366040.00291940225.0E-4
7.13.0398533E-63.2315647E-60.00.03.2315647E-60.01.3027877E-51.3849504E-50.00.01.3849504E-50.01.5860285E-41.686073E-40.00.01.686073E-40.00.0015848970.00168505140.00110.652799070.0021842095.0E-4
7.21.642335E-61.733624E-60.00.01.733624E-60.07.0385595E-67.4298077E-60.00.07.4298077E-60.08.569109E-59.045622E-50.00.09.045622E-50.08.5658056E-49.043968E-46.0E-40.66342560.00120412553.0E-4
7.33.356842E-73.2962515E-70.00.03.2962515E-70.01.4386458E-61.4126784E-60.00.01.4126784E-60.01.7515373E-51.7199225E-50.00.01.7199225E-50.01.7513991E-41.7197905E-42.0E-41.16293243.7194465E-42.0E-4
7.42.1973483E-72.1015819E-70.00.02.1015819E-70.09.417204E-79.006776E-70.00.09.006776E-70.01.1465385E-51.0965695E-50.00.01.0965695E-50.01.1464794E-41.0965158E-42.0E-41.82395913.0962966E-42.0E-4
7.51.1944135E-71.0704781E-70.00.01.0704781E-70.05.118914E-74.5877624E-70.00.04.5877624E-70.06.23226E-65.585586E-60.00.05.585586E-60.06.2320854E-55.5854474E-51.0E-41.79036691.5584889E-41.0E-4
7.64.636058E-83.3424197E-80.00.03.3424197E-80.01.9868818E-71.4324655E-70.00.01.4324655E-70.02.419026E-61.7440253E-60.00.01.7440253E-60.02.4189996E-51.7440118E-50.00.01.7440118E-50.0
7.71.8588572E-88.033703E-90.00.08.033703E-90.07.9665305E-83.443015E-80.00.03.443015E-80.09.699246E-74.1918702E-70.00.04.1918702E-70.09.699204E-64.1918624E-60.00.04.1918624E-60.0
7.82.7960154E-97.656863E-100.00.07.656863E-100.01.1982923E-83.281513E-90.00.03.281513E-90.01.4589209E-73.995242E-80.00.03.995242E-80.01.4589199E-63.9952417E-70.00.03.9952417E-70.0

Death Valley (So)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.0684236E-52.5627864E-50.00.02.5627864E-50.08.864371E-51.09829176E-40.00.01.09829176E-40.00.00107870290.00133636690.00110.82312720.0016359663.0E-40.0107348170.013285460.01150.86560790.0158509180.0026
6.12.0684236E-52.5627864E-50.00.02.5627864E-50.08.864371E-51.09829176E-40.00.01.09829176E-40.00.00107870290.00133636690.00110.82312720.0016359663.0E-40.0107348170.013285460.01150.86560790.0158509180.0026
6.22.0684236E-52.5627864E-50.00.02.5627864E-50.08.864371E-51.09829176E-40.00.01.09829176E-40.00.00107870290.00133636690.00110.82312720.0016359663.0E-40.0107348170.013285460.01150.86560790.0158509180.0026
6.32.0240292E-52.5127823E-50.00.02.5127823E-50.08.6741224E-51.0768632E-40.00.01.0768632E-40.00.00105556260.00131030920.0010.763178650.00151004712.0E-40.0105056280.0130279570.01120.85968970.0153966890.0024
6.42.0240292E-52.5127823E-50.00.02.5127823E-50.08.6741224E-51.0768632E-40.00.01.0768632E-40.00.00105556260.00131030920.0010.763178650.00151004712.0E-40.0105056280.0130279570.01120.85968970.0153966890.0024
6.51.9962767E-52.4817004E-50.00.02.4817004E-50.08.55519E-51.0635434E-40.00.01.0635434E-40.00.00104109680.00129411170.0010.77273080.00149385282.0E-40.0103623270.0128678650.01110.86261390.0152369820.0024
6.61.8937297E-52.332037E-50.00.02.332037E-50.08.115732E-59.99407E-50.00.09.99407E-50.09.876423E-40.00121611339.0E-40.74006260.00141587022.0E-40.0098326450.0120967840.01050.86799930.0143689620.0023
6.71.8621096E-52.2920907E-50.00.02.2920907E-50.07.980225E-59.822885E-50.00.09.822885E-50.09.711593E-40.00119529459.0E-40.752952460.00139505562.0E-40.0096692610.0118908380.01030.86621310.0140646790.0022
6.81.7830353E-52.1814458E-50.00.02.1814458E-50.07.641356E-59.348726E-50.00.09.348726E-50.09.29938E-40.00113762728.0E-40.70321810.00133739962.0E-40.0092605610.01131934950.00960.84810530.0133955790.0021
6.91.3135183E-51.530884E-50.00.01.530884E-50.05.6292425E-56.56077E-50.00.06.56077E-50.06.8514474E-47.984875E-45.0E-40.626183878.9840766E-41.0E-40.0068303620.0079557890.00610.766737340.00914624150.0012
7.01.1507512E-51.31579645E-50.00.01.31579645E-50.04.9316975E-55.6390087E-50.00.05.6390087E-50.06.002687E-46.863388E-44.0E-40.582802537.862702E-41.0E-40.00598649870.00684156130.00530.7746770.0079340360.0011
7.19.715903E-61.0867917E-50.00.01.0867917E-50.04.1638916E-54.657598E-50.00.04.657598E-50.05.068359E-45.669193E-44.0E-40.705567846.668626E-41.0E-40.00505681480.0056551110.00380.67195850.0064505878.0E-4
7.29.233269E-61.0288746E-50.00.01.0288746E-50.03.9570554E-54.4093904E-50.00.04.4093904E-50.04.81665E-45.3671526E-44.0E-40.74527416.366616E-41.0E-40.00480622330.0053546220.00360.67231640.00605087357.0E-4
7.38.8041315E-69.810394E-60.00.09.810394E-60.03.7731446E-54.2043892E-50.00.04.2043892E-50.04.592835E-45.1176833E-44.0E-40.781603636.117172E-41.0E-40.00458335460.0051063250.00330.646257340.00580275067.0E-4
7.48.708749E-69.7093925E-60.00.09.7093925E-60.03.7322676E-54.161104E-50.00.04.161104E-50.04.5430884E-45.065009E-44.0E-40.78973216.0645025E-41.0E-40.0045338120.00505389130.00310.61338880.0056508596.0E-4
7.58.612678E-69.607022E-60.00.09.607022E-60.03.6910955E-54.1172323E-50.00.04.1172323E-50.04.492982E-45.011619E-44.0E-40.798145236.011118E-41.0E-40.0044839090.0050007430.00310.619907860.00559774276.0E-4
7.68.319024E-69.28606E-60.00.09.28606E-60.03.5652476E-53.9796818E-50.00.03.9796818E-50.04.3398244E-44.8442275E-44.0E-40.82572515.843743E-41.0E-40.00433135870.00483409180.00280.579219460.0053316755.0E-4
7.77.4718328E-68.347111E-60.00.08.347111E-60.03.2021748E-53.5772868E-50.00.03.5772868E-50.03.8979502E-44.3545166E-44.0E-40.918586435.354081E-41.0E-40.003891120.00434638930.00270.62120530.0048442165.0E-4
7.83.4586725E-73.64866E-70.00.03.64866E-70.01.4822873E-61.5637105E-60.00.01.5637105E-60.01.80467E-51.9038014E-50.00.01.9038014E-50.01.8045233E-41.9036427E-41.0E-40.525308671.9036427E-40.0
7.92.5591178E-92.6699005E-90.00.02.6699005E-90.01.0967647E-81.1442431E-80.00.01.1442431E-80.01.335311E-71.393116E-70.00.01.393116E-70.01.3353102E-61.3931159E-60.00.01.3931159E-60.0

Santa Susana East (connector)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.858397E-53.2035285E-50.00.03.2035285E-50.01.2249697E-41.3728799E-40.00.01.3728799E-40.00.00149038030.00167047139.0E-40.538770140.0021696365.0E-40.0148042440.0166059160.00940.566063340.019162740.0026
6.12.858397E-53.2035285E-50.00.03.2035285E-50.01.2249697E-41.3728799E-40.00.01.3728799E-40.00.00149038030.00167047139.0E-40.538770140.0021696365.0E-40.0148042440.0166059160.00940.566063340.019162740.0026
6.22.858397E-53.2035285E-50.00.03.2035285E-50.01.2249697E-41.3728799E-40.00.01.3728799E-40.00.00149038030.00167047139.0E-40.538770140.0021696365.0E-40.0148042440.0166059160.00940.566063340.019162740.0026
6.31.943582E-52.0374586E-50.00.02.0374586E-50.08.329371E-58.731737E-50.00.08.731737E-50.00.0010136290.00106268264.0E-40.37640590.00116257641.0E-40.0100901810.0105872830.00570.538381760.0119724610.0014
6.41.943582E-52.0374586E-50.00.02.0374586E-50.08.329371E-58.731737E-50.00.08.731737E-50.00.0010136290.00106268264.0E-40.37640590.00116257641.0E-40.0100901810.0105872830.00570.538381760.0119724610.0014
6.51.943582E-52.0374586E-50.00.02.0374586E-50.08.329371E-58.731737E-50.00.08.731737E-50.00.0010136290.00106268264.0E-40.37640590.00116257641.0E-40.0100901810.0105872830.00570.538381760.0119724610.0014
6.61.943582E-52.0374586E-50.00.02.0374586E-50.08.329371E-58.731737E-50.00.08.731737E-50.00.0010136290.00106268264.0E-40.37640590.00116257641.0E-40.0100901810.0105872830.00570.538381760.0119724610.0014
6.71.9404439E-52.0362002E-50.00.02.0362002E-50.08.3159226E-58.726344E-50.00.08.726344E-50.00.00101199330.00106202674.0E-40.376638350.00116192051.0E-40.0100739710.01058078650.00570.53871230.0119659730.0014
6.81.2217526E-51.1596022E-50.00.01.1596022E-50.05.2359774E-54.9696384E-50.00.04.9696384E-50.06.372938E-46.0490234E-43.0E-40.49594786.0490234E-40.00.00635469240.00603443940.00350.580004160.00692900889.0E-4
6.91.2217526E-51.1596022E-50.00.01.1596022E-50.05.2359774E-54.9696384E-50.00.04.9696384E-50.06.372938E-46.0490234E-43.0E-40.49594786.0490234E-40.00.00635469240.00603443940.00350.580004160.00692900889.0E-4
7.09.276017E-68.060654E-60.00.08.060654E-60.03.9753755E-53.4545224E-50.00.03.4545224E-50.04.8389446E-44.205104E-41.0E-40.237806264.205104E-40.00.00482842140.00419770550.00260.619385960.0047951876.0E-4
7.19.130355E-67.9438005E-60.00.07.9438005E-60.03.9129503E-53.4044435E-50.00.03.4044435E-50.04.7629757E-44.144156E-41.0E-40.241303654.144156E-40.00.004752780.0041369860.00260.628476860.0047345046.0E-4
7.28.851015E-67.742927E-60.00.07.742927E-60.03.7932372E-53.318357E-50.00.03.318357E-50.04.6172875E-44.0393847E-41.0E-40.247562454.0393847E-40.00.00460770540.0040325980.00260.64474570.0046301786.0E-4
7.38.573006E-67.5516114E-60.00.07.5516114E-60.03.6740938E-53.2363667E-50.00.03.2363667E-50.04.472291E-43.939598E-41.0E-40.2538333.939598E-40.00.0044633010.00393315960.00260.66104610.00453086.0E-4
7.47.852282E-66.8188915E-60.00.06.8188915E-60.03.36522E-52.922351E-50.00.02.922351E-50.04.096385E-43.5574118E-41.0E-40.281103253.5574118E-40.00.00408884230.00355221260.00220.61933230.00415008146.0E-4
7.54.8869324E-64.27982E-60.00.04.27982E-60.02.0943828E-51.8341967E-50.00.01.8341967E-50.02.5496128E-42.2329221E-41.0E-40.447843642.2329221E-40.00.00254668950.00223075580.0010.448278550.00262986364.0E-4
7.61.3894544E-61.157005E-60.00.01.157005E-60.05.954791E-64.958585E-60.00.04.958585E-60.07.249717E-56.0369322E-50.00.06.0369322E-50.07.247352E-46.0355105E-44.0E-40.66274438.0343033E-42.0E-4
7.72.9924632E-72.3729595E-70.00.02.3729595E-70.01.2824837E-61.0169823E-60.00.01.0169823E-60.01.5614127E-51.2381696E-50.00.01.2381696E-50.01.5613029E-41.2381078E-40.00.01.2381078E-40.0
7.84.8188564E-82.639631E-80.00.02.639631E-80.02.065224E-71.1312703E-70.00.01.1312703E-70.02.5144072E-61.3773208E-60.00.01.3773208E-60.02.5143789E-51.3773131E-50.00.01.3773131E-50.0
7.92.6127251E-92.7684366E-90.00.02.7684366E-90.01.1197393E-81.1864729E-80.00.01.1864729E-80.01.3632825E-71.4445307E-70.00.01.4445307E-70.01.3632817E-61.4445308E-60.00.01.4445308E-60.0

Santa Ynez (East)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.2269712E-53.676393E-50.00.03.676393E-50.01.3829143E-41.5755351E-41.0E-40.634704951.5755351E-40.00.00168239790.00191711198.0E-40.417294350.00201692011.0E-40.0166971780.0190632290.01270.666204040.0213193840.0023
6.13.2269712E-53.676393E-50.00.03.676393E-50.01.3829143E-41.5755351E-41.0E-40.634704951.5755351E-40.00.00168239790.00191711198.0E-40.417294350.00201692011.0E-40.0166971780.0190632290.01270.666204040.0213193840.0023
6.23.2269712E-53.676393E-50.00.03.676393E-50.01.3829143E-41.5755351E-41.0E-40.634704951.5755351E-40.00.00168239790.00191711198.0E-40.417294350.00201692011.0E-40.0166971780.0190632290.01270.666204040.0213193840.0023
6.33.2269712E-53.676393E-50.00.03.676393E-50.01.3829143E-41.5755351E-41.0E-40.634704951.5755351E-40.00.00168239790.00191711198.0E-40.417294350.00201692011.0E-40.0166971780.0190632290.01270.666204040.0213193840.0023
6.41.4404779E-51.4852704E-50.00.01.4852704E-50.06.1733306E-56.365292E-50.00.06.365292E-50.07.513438E-47.7470386E-41.0E-40.129081587.7470386E-40.00.00748808540.00772058270.0060.77714340.0086136349.0E-4
6.51.4404779E-51.4852704E-50.00.01.4852704E-50.06.1733306E-56.365292E-50.00.06.365292E-50.07.513438E-47.7470386E-41.0E-40.129081587.7470386E-40.00.00748808540.00772058270.0060.77714340.0086136349.0E-4
6.61.280208E-51.3014734E-50.00.01.3014734E-50.05.4864904E-55.577625E-50.00.05.577625E-50.06.6777546E-46.78866E-41.0E-40.147304486.78866E-40.00.0066577240.0067681330.00470.69443080.0074633957.0E-4
6.71.2457027E-51.263117E-50.00.01.263117E-50.05.3386164E-55.413247E-50.00.05.413247E-50.06.497827E-46.588652E-41.0E-40.151776126.588652E-40.00.006478860.00656931570.00450.685002860.0072647177.0E-4
6.81.2095134E-51.2233539E-50.00.01.2233539E-50.05.1835254E-55.2428408E-50.00.05.2428408E-50.06.309115E-46.381305E-41.0E-40.156707756.381305E-40.00.00629123250.00636316980.00450.707194750.00705871547.0E-4
6.91.1104036E-51.1159792E-50.00.01.1159792E-50.04.758786E-54.782681E-50.00.04.782681E-50.05.7922816E-45.821371E-40.00.05.821371E-40.00.0057772070.00580626730.00440.757801830.00650220277.0E-4
7.01.0577444E-51.0584018E-50.00.01.0584018E-50.04.5331115E-54.5359295E-50.00.04.5359295E-50.05.5176654E-45.5211067E-40.00.05.5211067E-40.00.00550398560.0055075290.00420.76259250.00620367337.0E-4
7.11.0021775E-59.983227E-60.00.09.983227E-60.04.294976E-54.2784563E-50.00.04.2784563E-50.05.2278786E-45.2077876E-40.00.05.2077876E-40.00.00521559640.0051957160.00420.808358250.00589207937.0E-4
7.28.874109E-68.750828E-60.00.08.750828E-60.03.8031343E-53.7503014E-50.00.03.7503014E-50.04.629332E-44.5650464E-40.00.04.5650464E-40.00.00461970.0045557870.00390.856054070.0052525987.0E-4
7.37.5504267E-67.5068824E-60.00.07.5068824E-60.03.235857E-53.2171964E-50.00.03.2171964E-50.03.9389438E-43.9162426E-40.00.03.9162426E-40.00.00393196940.0039094480.00320.818529840.00450710256.0E-4
7.46.309394E-66.184688E-60.00.06.184688E-60.02.703998E-52.6505542E-50.00.02.6505542E-50.03.2916202E-43.2265813E-40.00.03.2265813E-40.00.0032867490.0032219940.00290.900063750.00382006086.0E-4
7.54.6103073E-64.441822E-60.00.04.441822E-60.01.975831E-51.9036246E-50.00.01.9036246E-50.02.4053088E-42.3174234E-40.00.02.3174234E-40.00.0024027070.00231507630.00220.950292650.00291368716.0E-4
7.61.2858658E-61.3009627E-60.00.01.3009627E-60.05.5108417E-65.575543E-60.00.05.575543E-60.06.7092435E-56.788019E-50.00.06.788019E-50.06.707218E-46.7860144E-45.0E-40.73680958.7846577E-42.0E-4
7.75.3302307E-75.6127305E-70.00.05.6127305E-70.02.2843826E-62.4054539E-60.00.02.4054539E-60.02.7812002E-52.9286044E-50.00.02.9286044E-50.02.7808524E-42.9282543E-43.0E-41.02450123.9279615E-41.0E-4
7.84.613933E-84.8034003E-80.00.04.8034003E-80.01.9773998E-72.0585999E-70.00.02.0585999E-70.02.4074816E-62.5063428E-60.00.02.5063428E-60.02.4074554E-52.5063155E-50.00.02.5063155E-50.0

Garlic Springs

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6760017E-51.8781318E-50.00.01.8781318E-50.07.182667E-58.048954E-50.00.08.048954E-50.08.7413884E-49.79637E-47.0E-40.71455040.00127934323.0E-40.0087070830.00976473650.01161.18794810.0121413010.0024
6.19.852767E-61.0976064E-50.00.01.0976064E-50.04.222546E-54.7039826E-50.00.04.7039826E-50.05.139737E-45.726304E-46.0E-41.04779647.7251584E-42.0E-40.0051278660.00571850970.00741.29404340.0076076450.0019
6.29.852767E-61.0976064E-50.00.01.0976064E-50.04.222546E-54.7039826E-50.00.04.7039826E-50.05.139737E-45.726304E-46.0E-41.04779647.7251584E-42.0E-40.0051278660.00571850970.00741.29404340.0076076450.0019
6.34.3167724E-64.7790413E-60.00.04.7790413E-60.01.8500323E-52.0481575E-50.00.02.0481575E-50.02.2521814E-42.4935766E-43.0E-41.20309113.4933272E-41.0E-40.00224990030.0024930380.00341.36379790.00309154236.0E-4
6.44.3167724E-64.7790413E-60.00.04.7790413E-60.01.8500323E-52.0481575E-50.00.02.0481575E-50.02.2521814E-42.4935766E-43.0E-41.20309113.4933272E-41.0E-40.00224990030.0024930380.00341.36379790.00309154236.0E-4
6.54.3167724E-64.7790413E-60.00.04.7790413E-60.01.8500323E-52.0481575E-50.00.02.0481575E-50.02.2521814E-42.4935766E-43.0E-41.20309113.4933272E-41.0E-40.00224990030.0024930380.00341.36379790.00309154236.0E-4
6.64.301311E-64.761906E-60.00.04.761906E-60.01.8434059E-52.0408139E-50.00.02.0408139E-50.02.2441156E-42.484638E-43.0E-41.20741943.4843895E-41.0E-40.00224185060.00248411930.00341.36869430.00308262886.0E-4
6.73.8599724E-64.271962E-60.00.04.271962E-60.01.6542634E-51.8308408E-50.00.01.8308408E-50.02.0138794E-42.2290487E-43.0E-41.34586563.2288258E-41.0E-40.00201205540.00222904890.00331.48045220.00282771146.0E-4

Big Lagoon - Bald Mtn 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.8699735E-51.9852614E-50.00.01.9852614E-50.08.013926E-58.508007E-50.00.08.508007E-50.09.752587E-40.00103539543.0E-40.289744380.00113529191.0E-40.0097098970.0103095310.00890.86327880.0127837570.0025
6.11.8699735E-51.9852614E-50.00.01.9852614E-50.08.013926E-58.508007E-50.00.08.508007E-50.09.752587E-40.00103539543.0E-40.289744380.00113529191.0E-40.0097098970.0103095310.00890.86327880.0127837570.0025
6.21.8699735E-51.9852614E-50.00.01.9852614E-50.08.013926E-58.508007E-50.00.08.508007E-50.09.752587E-40.00103539543.0E-40.289744380.00113529191.0E-40.0097098970.0103095310.00890.86327880.0127837570.0025
6.31.8699735E-51.9852614E-50.00.01.9852614E-50.08.013926E-58.508007E-50.00.08.508007E-50.09.752587E-40.00103539543.0E-40.289744380.00113529191.0E-40.0097098970.0103095310.00890.86327880.0127837570.0025
6.41.8699735E-51.9852614E-50.00.01.9852614E-50.08.013926E-58.508007E-50.00.08.508007E-50.09.752587E-40.00103539543.0E-40.289744380.00113529191.0E-40.0097098970.0103095310.00890.86327880.0127837570.0025
6.51.8699735E-51.9852614E-50.00.01.9852614E-50.08.013926E-58.508007E-50.00.08.508007E-50.09.752587E-40.00103539543.0E-40.289744380.00113529191.0E-40.0097098970.0103095310.00890.86327880.0127837570.0025
6.61.8699735E-51.9852614E-50.00.01.9852614E-50.08.013926E-58.508007E-50.00.08.508007E-50.09.752587E-40.00103539543.0E-40.289744380.00113529191.0E-40.0097098970.0103095310.00890.86327880.0127837570.0025
6.71.8699735E-51.9852614E-50.00.01.9852614E-50.08.013926E-58.508007E-50.00.08.508007E-50.09.752587E-40.00103539543.0E-40.289744380.00113529191.0E-40.0097098970.0103095310.00890.86327880.0127837570.0025
6.81.18505095E-51.2501166E-50.00.01.2501166E-50.05.078691E-55.3575353E-50.00.05.3575353E-50.06.181552E-46.5208954E-43.0E-40.460059527.520243E-41.0E-40.0061643850.0065022650.00640.98427240.0083899110.0019
6.91.18505095E-51.2501166E-50.00.01.2501166E-50.05.078691E-55.3575353E-50.00.05.3575353E-50.06.181552E-46.5208954E-43.0E-40.460059527.520243E-41.0E-40.0061643850.0065022650.00640.98427240.0083899110.0019
7.09.719786E-61.02365675E-50.00.01.02365675E-50.04.1655563E-54.3870277E-50.00.04.3870277E-50.05.0703844E-45.339921E-43.0E-40.56180616.3393865E-41.0E-40.0050588310.0053273360.00561.0511820.0069188120.0016
7.18.523418E-68.970396E-60.00.08.970396E-60.03.652842E-53.8444E-50.00.03.8444E-50.04.4464276E-44.679567E-43.0E-40.64108495.679099E-41.0E-40.00443754160.0046698770.00471.00645050.0060633390.0014
7.27.378894E-67.761912E-60.00.07.761912E-60.03.162345E-53.3264918E-50.00.03.3264918E-50.03.8494746E-44.04926E-43.0E-40.740876145.048855E-41.0E-40.00384281320.00404197770.00461.13805680.0054363190.0014
7.36.4640294E-66.7931296E-60.00.06.7931296E-60.02.7702688E-52.9113091E-50.00.02.9113091E-50.03.3722803E-43.543949E-43.0E-40.846513334.5435946E-41.0E-40.00336716740.00353836730.00371.045680.00463447530.0011
7.45.9959093E-66.2994322E-60.00.06.2994322E-60.02.5696501E-52.6997292E-50.00.02.6997292E-50.03.1280998E-43.2864304E-42.0E-40.6085633.2864304E-40.00.00312370020.00328163240.00351.06654240.00427835060.001
7.54.929265E-65.1769116E-60.00.05.1769116E-60.02.112525E-52.2186578E-50.00.02.2186578E-50.02.5716957E-42.700885E-41.0E-40.370249032.700885E-40.00.00256872150.00269764310.00291.07501240.00349548488.0E-4
7.63.8982403E-64.0893237E-60.00.04.0893237E-60.01.6706637E-51.7525557E-50.00.01.7525557E-50.02.0338432E-42.1335304E-41.0E-40.46870672.1335304E-40.00.00203198290.00213150980.00261.21979260.00292980468.0E-4
7.72.820968E-62.957495E-60.00.02.957495E-60.01.2089806E-51.2674918E-50.00.01.2674918E-50.01.4718344E-41.5430637E-40.00.01.5430637E-40.00.001470860.001542010.00191.23215810.0020412395.0E-4
7.81.9314455E-62.0262153E-60.00.02.0262153E-60.08.277597E-68.683752E-60.00.08.683752E-60.01.0077508E-41.0571968E-40.00.01.0571968E-40.00.00100729390.00105670680.00151.41950450.00125649542.0E-4
7.94.9586197E-75.2194645E-70.00.05.2194645E-70.02.125121E-62.2369118E-60.00.02.2369118E-60.02.5873042E-52.723408E-50.00.02.723408E-50.02.5870028E-42.7230952E-43.0E-41.10168762.7230952E-40.0

San Andreas (Peninsula) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.6200685E-52.5585367E-52.0E-47.81696841.2558281E-41.0E-43.6937918E-41.0964697E-42.0E-41.82403592.0963601E-41.0E-40.00448792150.0013341367.0E-40.524684130.00153386922.0E-40.0439836120.0149769110.00960.64098660.017439470.0025
6.18.6200685E-52.5585367E-52.0E-47.81696841.2558281E-41.0E-43.6937918E-41.0964697E-42.0E-41.82403592.0963601E-41.0E-40.00448792150.0013341367.0E-40.524684130.00153386922.0E-40.0439836120.0149769110.00960.64098660.017439470.0025
6.28.6200685E-52.5585367E-52.0E-47.81696841.2558281E-41.0E-43.6937918E-41.0964697E-42.0E-41.82403592.0963601E-41.0E-40.00448792150.0013341367.0E-40.524684130.00153386922.0E-40.0439836120.0149769110.00960.64098660.017439470.0025
6.38.551163E-52.527481E-52.0E-47.9130171.2527229E-41.0E-43.6642692E-41.08316126E-42.0E-41.84644712.083053E-41.0E-40.0044521250.00131795267.0E-40.53112680.00151768912.0E-40.0436397940.0148024090.00930.62827610.0171668830.0024
6.48.551163E-52.527481E-52.0E-47.9130171.2527229E-41.0E-43.6642692E-41.08316126E-42.0E-41.84644712.083053E-41.0E-40.0044521250.00131795267.0E-40.53112680.00151768912.0E-40.0436397940.0148024090.00930.62827610.0171668830.0024
6.58.511146E-52.509482E-52.0E-47.96977231.2509231E-41.0E-43.647124E-41.075448E-42.0E-41.85969012.0753405E-41.0E-40.0044313360.00130857327.0E-40.534933750.00150831152.0E-40.043440070.0147015570.00930.632586060.0170662740.0024
6.68.4985084E-52.502506E-52.0E-47.99198871.2502256E-41.0E-43.6417096E-41.07245854E-42.0E-41.86487392.0723513E-41.0E-40.00442477040.00130493797.0E-40.5364240.00150467692.0E-40.0433769860.0146633070.00920.627416430.0170281160.0024
6.78.462618E-52.4852341E-52.0E-48.0475311.2484986E-41.0E-43.6263323E-41.0650569E-42.0E-41.87783382.0649504E-41.0E-40.0044061250.00129593717.0E-40.54014960.0014956782.0E-40.0431978070.0145675430.00910.62467640.016932580.0024
6.88.42337E-52.4747147E-52.0E-48.0817391.2474468E-41.0E-43.6095164E-41.06054904E-42.0E-41.88581572.060443E-41.0E-40.0043857340.00129045527.0E-40.54244420.00149019712.0E-40.0430018230.0145076790.00910.6272540.016872860.0024
6.98.365989E-52.4550456E-52.0E-48.1464881.24548E-41.0E-43.5849313E-41.05212006E-42.0E-41.90092372.0520149E-41.0E-40.0043559220.00128020516.0E-40.46867490.00147994912.0E-40.042715230.0143995670.00880.61112950.0166664480.0023
7.08.30936E-52.431079E-52.0E-48.22681.2430835E-41.0E-43.560668E-41.0418495E-42.0E-41.91966312.0417453E-41.0E-40.0043264990.00126771546.0E-40.473292380.00146746182.0E-40.0424322970.0142699660.00880.61667980.0165371450.0023
7.18.041264E-52.3994393E-52.0E-48.335281.23992E-41.0E-43.4458007E-41.0282907E-42.0E-41.94497532.0281879E-41.0E-40.00418719460.00125122656.0E-40.479529470.00145097642.0E-40.0410917250.0140911010.00870.617410960.016358690.0023
7.27.8427016E-52.3414497E-52.0E-48.5417171.2341216E-41.0E-43.3607247E-41.0034399E-42.0E-41.99314382.0033396E-41.0E-40.0040840080.00122100516.0E-40.491398450.00142076092.0E-40.0400976350.0137736980.00810.58807730.0156475290.0019
7.37.721087E-52.3198158E-52.0E-48.6213741.2319584E-41.0E-43.3086175E-49.9416895E-52.0E-42.01173041.9940696E-41.0E-40.0040208030.00120973036.0E-40.495978330.00140948832.0E-40.039488270.0136567550.0080.58579070.0155308070.0019
7.47.3536525E-52.1292115E-52.0E-49.3931481.2128999E-41.0E-43.1511846E-49.124873E-52.0E-42.19181131.9123961E-41.0E-40.00382981940.00111038846.0E-40.540351450.00131016642.0E-40.0376448520.0126023180.00750.595128660.0143796340.0018
7.56.806207E-51.9066867E-52.0E-410.4894011.1906496E-41.0E-42.9166197E-48.171259E-52.0E-42.44760321.8170441E-41.0E-40.00354520359.943978E-46.0E-40.603380260.0011941992.0E-40.0348917660.0113396140.00680.599667670.0130203370.0017
7.65.6731416E-51.4403744E-52.0E-413.8852791.14402304E-41.0E-42.43112E-46.172887E-52.0E-43.2399751.617227E-41.0E-40.00295587127.5129E-45.0E-40.6655229.511397E-42.0E-40.029168620.0086132320.00480.557282150.0100011730.0014
7.74.946994E-51.3455742E-52.0E-414.8635431.134544E-41.0E-42.1199681E-45.766619E-52.0E-43.46823671.5766043E-41.0E-40.0025780067.018599E-44.0E-40.569914349.017195E-42.0E-40.025483030.0080257760.00460.57315330.0093153420.0013
7.83.9718198E-51.3183966E-52.0E-415.1699421.1318265E-41.0E-41.7020974E-45.650149E-52.0E-43.53972981.5649584E-41.0E-40.00207033386.8768865E-44.0E-40.58165868.875511E-42.0E-40.0205115150.0078309120.00460.58741560.0091207330.0013
7.92.4115114E-51.2363695E-52.0E-416.1763951.1236246E-41.0E-41.0334639E-45.2986186E-52.0E-43.77456881.5298088E-41.0E-40.0012575166.4491597E-44.0E-40.62023588.44787E-42.0E-40.0125042380.0072561230.00410.565040050.00854668950.0013
8.01.7756569E-51.1569681E-52.0E-417.286561.1156852E-41.0E-47.6097356E-54.9583407E-52.0E-44.03360751.4957845E-41.0E-49.260915E-46.035109E-44.0E-40.662788338.033902E-42.0E-40.0092224160.00674555540.00360.533684730.007937460.0012
8.11.3159258E-59.879972E-62.0E-420.2429731.0987899E-41.0E-45.6395602E-54.234205E-52.0E-44.7234371.4233781E-41.0E-46.864001E-45.1539263E-44.0E-40.77610737.1528956E-42.0E-40.00684283860.0057616930.00250.433900240.00665650759.0E-4
8.28.635426E-65.5455935E-62.0E-436.064671.0554504E-41.0E-43.700844E-52.3766612E-52.0E-48.4151671.2376424E-41.0E-44.5048463E-42.8932016E-42.0E-40.69127573.8929124E-41.0E-40.0044957250.003287520.00130.395434860.0036862054.0E-4
8.31.983087E-67.7872784E-70.00.07.7872784E-70.08.498917E-63.3374008E-60.00.03.3374008E-60.01.034694E-44.0632116E-50.00.04.0632116E-50.00.00103421244.792776E-41.0E-40.208647344.792776E-40.0

Elsinore (Coyote Mountains)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.20513E-54.8656337E-51.0E-42.05523064.8656337E-50.01.8020741E-42.0851374E-43.0E-41.43875412.0851374E-40.00.00219181740.00253622930.00150.59142920.0029352154.0E-40.0217032490.0251241250.01410.561213550.0274638270.0024
6.14.20513E-54.8656337E-51.0E-42.05523064.8656337E-50.01.8020741E-42.0851374E-43.0E-41.43875412.0851374E-40.00.00219181740.00253622930.00150.59142920.0029352154.0E-40.0217032490.0251241250.01410.561213550.0274638270.0024
6.22.3413893E-52.4707664E-50.00.02.4707664E-50.01.0034139E-41.0588623E-41.0E-40.944409851.0588623E-40.00.00122097180.0012884916.0E-40.465661020.0012884910.00.0121428510.0128188780.00660.51486570.0142996490.0015
6.32.3413893E-52.4707664E-50.00.02.4707664E-50.01.0034139E-41.0588623E-41.0E-40.944409851.0588623E-40.00.00122097180.0012884916.0E-40.465661020.0012884910.00.0121428510.0128188780.00660.51486570.0142996490.0015
6.41.6894814E-51.6576523E-50.00.01.6576523E-50.07.240433E-57.104052E-51.0E-41.40764737.104052E-50.08.811662E-48.646121E-45.0E-40.5782948.646121E-40.00.00877680350.0086161410.00410.47585110.0096075250.001
6.51.6894814E-51.6576523E-50.00.01.6576523E-50.07.240433E-57.104052E-51.0E-41.40764737.104052E-50.08.811662E-48.646121E-45.0E-40.5782948.646121E-40.00.00877680350.0086161410.00410.47585110.0096075250.001
6.61.1910969E-51.05363215E-50.00.01.05363215E-50.05.1046012E-54.515496E-50.00.04.515496E-50.06.21308E-45.496361E-42.0E-40.363877155.496361E-40.00.00619573750.0054840680.00210.382927420.0059813265.0E-4
6.79.1486E-67.207078E-60.00.07.207078E-60.03.9207694E-53.088713E-50.00.03.088713E-50.04.7724912E-43.7598977E-42.0E-40.53192943