Parent Section Magnitude-Probability Distributions
Only fault sections with at least one triggered aftershock are plotted. Sections are sorted by total supraseismogenic trigger rate (decreasing)
Table Of Contents
San Andreas (Parkfield)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.556969E-4 | 6.915928E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.0121562 | 8.914545E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0023793848 | 0.0029610072 | 0.0033 | 1.1144856 | 0.0043568616 | 0.0014 | 0.028586963 | 0.036040716 | 0.0429 | 1.1903204 | 0.052620817 | 0.0172 | 0.25176284 | 0.32376227 | 0.4058 | 1.2533889 | 0.4430506 | 0.1764 |
6.1 | 1.925858E-4 | 2.7917596E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.71639407 | 3.7914806E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 8.2510663E-4 | 0.0011959877 | 7.0E-4 | 0.5852903 | 0.0014956289 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0099994885 | 0.014605583 | 0.0111 | 0.7599834 | 0.01874424 | 0.0042 | 0.095613256 | 0.14387657 | 0.0995 | 0.691565 | 0.1767517 | 0.0384 |
6.2 | 9.4306815E-5 | 1.7635812E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.134056 | 2.763405E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.0410945E-4 | 7.5560284E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.52937865 | 9.554517E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0049089384 | 0.009160873 | 0.0063 | 0.68770736 | 0.011241635 | 0.0021 | 0.048019063 | 0.08919295 | 0.0614 | 0.6883952 | 0.10868422 | 0.0214 |
6.3 | 9.283051E-5 | 1.7334851E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.1537452 | 2.7333118E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.9778434E-4 | 7.427118E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.5385669 | 9.425633E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0048322747 | 0.009005226 | 0.0063 | 0.6995937 | 0.011086315 | 0.0021 | 0.047285385 | 0.08785068 | 0.0604 | 0.6875302 | 0.10718825 | 0.0212 |
6.4 | 9.138826E-5 | 1.7101326E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.1695 | 2.7099616E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.916052E-4 | 7.3270925E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.5459191 | 9.325627E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0047573745 | 0.008884443 | 0.0063 | 0.70910466 | 0.010965785 | 0.0021 | 0.046568092 | 0.08676816 | 0.0598 | 0.68919295 | 0.105854705 | 0.0209 |
6.5 | 9.000255E-5 | 1.6863071E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.1860236 | 2.6861386E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.8566816E-4 | 7.22504E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.5536301 | 9.223595E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0046854047 | 0.008761203 | 0.0061 | 0.6962514 | 0.010842805 | 0.0021 | 0.045878403 | 0.08566827 | 0.0591 | 0.6898703 | 0.104594946 | 0.0207 |
6.6 | 8.8109264E-5 | 1.655251E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.208276 | 2.6550854E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.7755648E-4 | 7.092015E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.56401455 | 9.0905966E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0045870654 | 0.008600547 | 0.006 | 0.69763005 | 0.010682486 | 0.0021 | 0.04493529 | 0.08422824 | 0.0577 | 0.6850434 | 0.10309314 | 0.0206 |
6.7 | 8.738073E-5 | 1.6421343E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.2179272 | 2.64197E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.7443507E-4 | 7.035831E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.56851846 | 9.0344244E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0045492216 | 0.008532719 | 0.006 | 0.7031756 | 0.0106148 | 0.0021 | 0.04457213 | 0.08363384 | 0.0574 | 0.6863251 | 0.10232771 | 0.0204 |
6.8 | 8.710195E-5 | 1.6368246E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.221878 | 2.636661E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.7324068E-4 | 7.013088E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.57036215 | 9.011685E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0045347405 | 0.008505253 | 0.006 | 0.70544636 | 0.010587392 | 0.0021 | 0.04443313 | 0.08338616 | 0.0573 | 0.68716437 | 0.10208508 | 0.0204 |
6.9 | 8.6801556E-5 | 1.6310447E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.2262079 | 2.6308818E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.7195362E-4 | 6.98833E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.5723828 | 8.986933E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0045191357 | 0.008475346 | 0.006 | 0.7079357 | 0.010557548 | 0.0021 | 0.044283327 | 0.08311642 | 0.057 | 0.6857851 | 0.10163747 | 0.0202 |
7.0 | 8.5571606E-5 | 1.6068204E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.2446941 | 2.6066598E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.6668387E-4 | 6.884567E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.5810097 | 8.88319E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.004455241 | 0.008349989 | 0.006 | 0.71856385 | 0.010432454 | 0.0021 | 0.043669727 | 0.08198201 | 0.0564 | 0.6879558 | 0.10025057 | 0.0199 |
7.1 | 7.82589E-5 | 1.4571106E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.3725793 | 2.456965E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.3535215E-4 | 6.243273E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.6406896 | 8.242024E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0040752706 | 0.007574851 | 0.0053 | 0.6996837 | 0.009559701 | 0.002 | 0.040013418 | 0.074967965 | 0.0508 | 0.6776228 | 0.091711044 | 0.0181 |
7.2 | 7.690929E-5 | 1.4312443E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.3973855 | 2.4311012E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.2956956E-4 | 6.132469E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.6522658 | 8.131243E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.004005129 | 0.0074408767 | 0.0052 | 0.69884235 | 0.009425995 | 0.002 | 0.0393371 | 0.07375384 | 0.0499 | 0.67657495 | 0.0905189 | 0.0181 |
7.3 | 7.5543794E-5 | 1.401607E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.4269335 | 2.4014668E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.2371894E-4 | 6.005511E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.6660549 | 8.00431E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.003934157 | 0.0072873486 | 0.0051 | 0.69984305 | 0.009272774 | 0.002 | 0.038652334 | 0.07233999 | 0.049 | 0.677357 | 0.08875957 | 0.0177 |
7.4 | 7.4214564E-5 | 1.3724575E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.45724 | 2.3723203E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.1802364E-4 | 5.8806414E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.6801979 | 7.879465E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.003865065 | 0.0071363254 | 0.005 | 0.7006407 | 0.009122053 | 0.002 | 0.03798529 | 0.07094129 | 0.0477 | 0.67238694 | 0.08710691 | 0.0174 |
7.5 | 6.149578E-5 | 1.0727601E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.8643497 | 2.0726529E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.6352672E-4 | 4.5967344E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.870183 | 6.595815E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0032037178 | 0.0055821915 | 0.004 | 0.7165645 | 0.0069743763 | 0.0014 | 0.03157923 | 0.056411415 | 0.0366 | 0.64880484 | 0.069055505 | 0.0134 |
7.6 | 6.0643448E-5 | 1.0560471E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.8938549 | 2.0559414E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.598746E-4 | 4.5251322E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.66296405 | 6.524227E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0031593828 | 0.005495459 | 0.0038 | 0.69148 | 0.006887765 | 0.0014 | 0.031148417 | 0.0555888 | 0.0357 | 0.64221567 | 0.06814947 | 0.0133 |
7.7 | 5.1652263E-5 | 8.763357E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1411152 | 1.876248E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.2134806E-4 | 3.755184E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.53259706 | 5.7544326E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.002691582 | 0.0045623607 | 0.0033 | 0.72330976 | 0.0058564297 | 0.0013 | 0.026592141 | 0.046601843 | 0.0292 | 0.62658465 | 0.056803204 | 0.0107 |
7.8 | 4.8090482E-5 | 8.180837E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2223688 | 1.8180019E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.060858E-4 | 3.505602E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.5705154 | 5.504901E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0025062072 | 0.0042597246 | 0.0031 | 0.72774655 | 0.005355039 | 0.0011 | 0.024781305 | 0.043516047 | 0.0274 | 0.6296528 | 0.05288959 | 0.0098 |
7.9 | 3.970278E-5 | 6.4554115E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.549088 | 1.6454766E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.7014367E-4 | 2.7663115E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.7229844 | 4.7657583E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.002069531 | 0.0033627863 | 0.0027 | 0.8029056 | 0.0042597596 | 9.0E-4 | 0.020503636 | 0.03446445 | 0.0227 | 0.65864974 | 0.042381838 | 0.0082 |
8.0 | 2.8982335E-5 | 3.8823757E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.5757425 | 1.3881987E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2420409E-4 | 1.6637692E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.2020898 | 3.6634365E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0015111357 | 0.0020237581 | 0.0016 | 0.7906083 | 0.002622544 | 6.0E-4 | 0.015009012 | 0.021072684 | 0.0138 | 0.6548763 | 0.026260998 | 0.0053 |
8.1 | 1.8836186E-5 | 1.7631566E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 5.6716456 | 1.176298E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 8.0724014E-5 | 7.556167E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.6468446 | 2.7554657E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 9.823717E-4 | 9.195756E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.6524749 | 0.0012192997 | 3.0E-4 | 0.009780403 | 0.009935726 | 0.0066 | 0.6642695 | 0.0124108875 | 0.0025 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.06885E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.06885E-6 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.1723463E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.6033177 | 1.2172129E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.6445114E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.7562834 | 3.644247E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0030259273 | 0.0022 | 0.7270499 | 0.003723809 | 7.0E-4 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 6.9765395E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.9765395E-7 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 2.9899422E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9899422E-6 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.640195E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.640195E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.3255524E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.46236867 | 5.32512E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.986481E-4 | 0.0012183406 | 0.0013 | 1.0670252 | 0.0020173658 | 8.0E-4 | 0.0025631124 | 0.0052061584 | 0.0037 | 0.71069676 | 0.006897308 | 0.0017 | 0.030762846 | 0.06075491 | 0.0378 | 0.62217194 | 0.07296509 | 0.013 | 0.26835477 | 0.4235579 | 0.3282 | 0.77486455 | 0.48206678 | 0.1015 |
6.1 | 5.015945E-4 | 0.001014465 | 0.0011 | 1.0843153 | 0.0017137548 | 7.0E-4 | 0.00214792 | 0.004336627 | 0.0026 | 0.5995443 | 0.0056309896 | 0.0013 | 0.025839351 | 0.0508862 | 0.0307 | 0.603307 | 0.061136626 | 0.0108 | 0.23032776 | 0.37064585 | 0.2665 | 0.7190152 | 0.42275637 | 0.0828 |
6.2 | 4.073338E-4 | 8.035464E-4 | 9.0E-4 | 1.1200349 | 0.0013031446 | 5.0E-4 | 0.0017445484 | 0.0034364844 | 0.0024 | 0.69838816 | 0.004532704 | 0.0011 | 0.021034058 | 0.040573902 | 0.0243 | 0.5989072 | 0.04892091 | 0.0087 | 0.19150782 | 0.31064123 | 0.2191 | 0.70531523 | 0.35875848 | 0.0698 |
6.3 | 3.464099E-4 | 6.667307E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 1.1998848 | 0.001066464 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0014837692 | 0.0028522785 | 0.0022 | 0.7713132 | 0.0038494263 | 0.001 | 0.017915873 | 0.033827774 | 0.0202 | 0.59714246 | 0.040880833 | 0.0073 | 0.16538359 | 0.26877975 | 0.1861 | 0.6923884 | 0.31214112 | 0.0593 |
6.4 | 2.935057E-4 | 5.472123E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.7309777 | 6.471576E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0012572751 | 0.002341721 | 0.0013 | 0.5551473 | 0.002940316 | 6.0E-4 | 0.015200248 | 0.027899187 | 0.0165 | 0.5914151 | 0.033731792 | 0.006 | 0.14201577 | 0.23030765 | 0.1563 | 0.6786574 | 0.26856136 | 0.0497 |
6.5 | 2.3409708E-4 | 4.1372047E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.7251273 | 5.136791E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0010028875 | 0.0017711387 | 0.0011 | 0.6210694 | 0.002370076 | 6.0E-4 | 0.012141965 | 0.021219624 | 0.0126 | 0.59378994 | 0.026015649 | 0.0049 | 0.11499573 | 0.18398552 | 0.1202 | 0.6533123 | 0.21572848 | 0.0389 |
6.6 | 1.5842178E-4 | 2.4354956E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.2317822 | 3.435252E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.7877385E-4 | 0.0010433596 | 0.001 | 0.9584423 | 0.0016427336 | 6.0E-4 | 0.0082328 | 0.012627537 | 0.0082 | 0.6493745 | 0.015688391 | 0.0031 | 0.07934396 | 0.12010763 | 0.0756 | 0.6294355 | 0.14184096 | 0.0247 |
6.7 | 1.5616413E-4 | 2.3893468E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.2555733 | 3.389108E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.691031E-4 | 0.0010236005 | 0.001 | 0.9769437 | 0.0016229863 | 6.0E-4 | 0.0081159435 | 0.012390325 | 0.008 | 0.64566505 | 0.015353153 | 0.003 | 0.0782586 | 0.11813531 | 0.0742 | 0.62809336 | 0.13947643 | 0.0242 |
6.8 | 1.5538467E-4 | 2.3719038E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.2648067 | 3.3716668E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.6576427E-4 | 0.0010161317 | 0.001 | 0.98412436 | 0.0016155221 | 6.0E-4 | 0.008075596 | 0.012300573 | 0.008 | 0.6503762 | 0.015263672 | 0.003 | 0.07788358 | 0.11737025 | 0.0738 | 0.6287795 | 0.13864163 | 0.0241 |
6.9 | 1.5153569E-4 | 2.2834647E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.3137931 | 3.2832363E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.49277E-4 | 9.782626E-4 | 0.001 | 1.0222204 | 0.0015776757 | 6.0E-4 | 0.007876333 | 0.0118457945 | 0.0077 | 0.6500197 | 0.014612626 | 0.0028 | 0.07602952 | 0.11345131 | 0.071 | 0.62581915 | 0.13375327 | 0.0229 |
7.0 | 1.4588932E-4 | 2.1704847E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.3821799 | 3.1702674E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.250901E-4 | 9.29878E-4 | 0.001 | 1.0754099 | 0.00152932 | 6.0E-4 | 0.0075839474 | 0.011262964 | 0.0075 | 0.6658993 | 0.014031428 | 0.0028 | 0.073302895 | 0.10833193 | 0.0681 | 0.6286235 | 0.12821613 | 0.0223 |
7.1 | 1.1565079E-4 | 1.5682573E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.9129515 | 2.5681005E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.955521E-4 | 6.719379E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 1.1905862 | 0.0010716692 | 4.0E-4 | 0.006016669 | 0.008150345 | 0.0061 | 0.7484346 | 0.010530784 | 0.0024 | 0.058563538 | 0.08097166 | 0.0508 | 0.62738 | 0.096227534 | 0.0166 |
7.2 | 1.0393792E-4 | 1.4054266E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.4230555 | 2.4052859E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.4537216E-4 | 6.0218736E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.8303064 | 8.020669E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.005408933 | 0.007307142 | 0.0053 | 0.7253178 | 0.009292528 | 0.002 | 0.052791595 | 0.07306646 | 0.0461 | 0.63093245 | 0.08715585 | 0.0152 |
7.3 | 9.332884E-5 | 1.2286415E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.627814 | 2.2285187E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.999194E-4 | 5.26455E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.759799 | 7.263497E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0048581534 | 0.0063908785 | 0.0046 | 0.71977586 | 0.008278736 | 0.0019 | 0.047533102 | 0.0641969 | 0.041 | 0.63866013 | 0.07720456 | 0.0139 |
7.4 | 8.670252E-5 | 1.1232113E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.7806088 | 2.123099E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.715293E-4 | 4.8128804E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.83110315 | 6.811918E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.004513991 | 0.0058440515 | 0.0042 | 0.7186795 | 0.0075341165 | 0.0017 | 0.044233937 | 0.058958188 | 0.0378 | 0.6411323 | 0.07100353 | 0.0128 |
7.5 | 7.3036405E-5 | 8.6087464E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.3232186 | 1.8607885E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.129756E-4 | 3.6889417E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.0843219 | 5.688204E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0038038217 | 0.004482057 | 0.0035 | 0.7808915 | 0.0057762302 | 0.0013 | 0.03739367 | 0.045975607 | 0.0289 | 0.6285942 | 0.055229645 | 0.0097 |
7.6 | 6.3935775E-5 | 7.9179175E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.5259166 | 1.7917126E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.7398168E-4 | 3.3929528E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.8841856 | 5.392274E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0033306254 | 0.0041231127 | 0.0033 | 0.8003662 | 0.0054177525 | 0.0013 | 0.032811474 | 0.04225656 | 0.0272 | 0.643687 | 0.051355124 | 0.0095 |
7.7 | 5.5050095E-5 | 6.341782E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5768439 | 1.6341147E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.3590765E-4 | 2.7176237E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.7359371 | 4.7170802E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0028683927 | 0.0033036903 | 0.0028 | 0.84753704 | 0.0044000563 | 0.0011 | 0.0283165 | 0.034240767 | 0.0217 | 0.6337475 | 0.04129081 | 0.0073 |
7.8 | 5.027131E-5 | 5.869966E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.7035874 | 1.5869379E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.1543067E-4 | 2.5154572E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.79508406 | 4.514954E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0026197135 | 0.0030582712 | 0.0026 | 0.8501535 | 0.003955519 | 9.0E-4 | 0.025890453 | 0.03169936 | 0.0201 | 0.63408226 | 0.037993312 | 0.0065 |
7.9 | 3.7271806E-5 | 4.786388E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.0892582 | 1.4785909E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5972654E-4 | 2.0511479E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.97506374 | 4.0507378E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0019429359 | 0.0024944143 | 0.0023 | 0.92206013 | 0.0032924188 | 8.0E-4 | 0.019260362 | 0.025904132 | 0.0171 | 0.6601264 | 0.031553887 | 0.0058 |
8.0 | 2.7310243E-5 | 2.986441E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.3484674 | 1.2986142E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.17038646E-4 | 1.2798405E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.5626947 | 3.2795846E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0014240141 | 0.0015570929 | 0.0014 | 0.8991114 | 0.0020563144 | 5.0E-4 | 0.014149235 | 0.016417434 | 0.0107 | 0.65174615 | 0.019958332 | 0.0036 |
8.1 | 1.7940547E-5 | 1.6404678E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 6.095822 | 1.1640304E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 7.688579E-5 | 7.0303875E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.8447936 | 2.702898E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 9.3568244E-4 | 8.5561397E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.7012508 | 0.0011553573 | 3.0E-4 | 0.009317525 | 0.009273962 | 0.0063 | 0.6793213 | 0.011552632 | 0.0023 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.06885E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.06885E-6 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.1723463E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.6033177 | 1.2172129E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.6445114E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.7562834 | 3.644247E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0030259273 | 0.0022 | 0.7270499 | 0.003723809 | 7.0E-4 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 6.9765395E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.9765395E-7 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 2.9899422E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9899422E-6 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.640195E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.640195E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.3255524E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.46236867 | 5.32512E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
San Andreas (Mojave S)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.6695944E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.74967074 | 9.6675934E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0013306376 | 0.0028553943 | 0.0016 | 0.5603429 | 0.0035533954 | 7.0E-4 | 0.016080605 | 0.034179125 | 0.0223 | 0.652445 | 0.042388603 | 0.0085 | 0.1496549 | 0.2840769 | 0.2074 | 0.730084 | 0.34034845 | 0.0786 |
6.1 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.6695944E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.74967074 | 9.6675934E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0013306376 | 0.0028553943 | 0.0016 | 0.5603429 | 0.0035533954 | 7.0E-4 | 0.016080605 | 0.034179125 | 0.0223 | 0.652445 | 0.042388603 | 0.0085 | 0.1496549 | 0.2840769 | 0.2074 | 0.730084 | 0.34034845 | 0.0786 |
6.2 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.6695944E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.74967074 | 9.6675934E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0013306376 | 0.0028553943 | 0.0016 | 0.5603429 | 0.0035533954 | 7.0E-4 | 0.016080605 | 0.034179125 | 0.0223 | 0.652445 | 0.042388603 | 0.0085 | 0.1496549 | 0.2840769 | 0.2074 | 0.730084 | 0.34034845 | 0.0786 |
6.3 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.6695944E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.74967074 | 9.6675934E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0013306376 | 0.0028553943 | 0.0016 | 0.5603429 | 0.0035533954 | 7.0E-4 | 0.016080605 | 0.034179125 | 0.0223 | 0.652445 | 0.042388603 | 0.0085 | 0.1496549 | 0.2840769 | 0.2074 | 0.730084 | 0.34034845 | 0.0786 |
6.4 | 1.9872203E-4 | 4.2452608E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.70667034 | 6.244412E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 8.5138786E-4 | 0.001818157 | 0.001 | 0.5500075 | 0.002317248 | 5.0E-4 | 0.010316478 | 0.021917434 | 0.0147 | 0.67069894 | 0.027394695 | 0.0056 | 0.098504856 | 0.19425216 | 0.1403 | 0.7222571 | 0.23397553 | 0.0493 |
6.5 | 1.291105E-4 | 2.8063892E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.71265954 | 3.8061084E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.5321335E-4 | 0.0012021866 | 7.0E-4 | 0.58227235 | 0.0016017057 | 4.0E-4 | 0.006714592 | 0.01453919 | 0.0103 | 0.7084301 | 0.018776672 | 0.0043 | 0.065152965 | 0.13517067 | 0.0934 | 0.6909783 | 0.16319114 | 0.0324 |
6.6 | 1.291105E-4 | 2.8063892E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.71265954 | 3.8061084E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.5321335E-4 | 0.0012021866 | 7.0E-4 | 0.58227235 | 0.0016017057 | 4.0E-4 | 0.006714592 | 0.01453919 | 0.0103 | 0.7084301 | 0.018776672 | 0.0043 | 0.065152965 | 0.13517067 | 0.0934 | 0.6909783 | 0.16319114 | 0.0324 |
6.7 | 1.08001186E-4 | 2.365581E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.84545827 | 3.3653443E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.6278012E-4 | 0.001013427 | 6.0E-4 | 0.5920505 | 0.0014130217 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0056198016 | 0.01226895 | 0.0083 | 0.6765045 | 0.015627237 | 0.0034 | 0.054797906 | 0.1162747 | 0.0795 | 0.6837257 | 0.14013529 | 0.027 |
6.8 | 1.0624356E-4 | 2.317545E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.86298215 | 3.3173134E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.5525006E-4 | 9.92856E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.60431725 | 0.0013924589 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0055285925 | 0.01202128 | 0.0078 | 0.64884937 | 0.015084013 | 0.0031 | 0.053930566 | 0.11422407 | 0.0773 | 0.67674005 | 0.13734283 | 0.0261 |
6.9 | 1.0393785E-4 | 2.2548415E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.8869803 | 3.2546162E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.4537184E-4 | 9.660032E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.5175966 | 0.0012657134 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0054089287 | 0.011697898 | 0.007 | 0.59839815 | 0.014465143 | 0.0028 | 0.05279156 | 0.11151534 | 0.0733 | 0.65730864 | 0.13328321 | 0.0245 |
7.0 | 1.0155622E-4 | 2.1920961E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.9123688 | 3.191877E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.3516833E-4 | 9.391319E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.53240657 | 0.0012388502 | 3.0E-4 | 0.005285311 | 0.011374196 | 0.0066 | 0.5802608 | 0.01384576 | 0.0025 | 0.05161361 | 0.10878251 | 0.0713 | 0.6554363 | 0.1300826 | 0.0239 |
7.1 | 9.885595E-5 | 2.1212734E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.9428299 | 3.1210613E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.2359953E-4 | 9.0880075E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.5501756 | 0.0012085282 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0051451353 | 0.0110086985 | 0.0064 | 0.58135843 | 0.013283378 | 0.0023 | 0.05027629 | 0.10567342 | 0.0686 | 0.64916986 | 0.12606406 | 0.0228 |
7.2 | 9.6411415E-5 | 2.0578885E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.97186995 | 3.0576828E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.1312634E-4 | 8.8165444E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.5671156 | 0.0011813899 | 3.0E-4 | 0.005018219 | 0.010681479 | 0.006 | 0.56171995 | 0.01285798 | 0.0022 | 0.049064007 | 0.10286741 | 0.0655 | 0.636742 | 0.12269404 | 0.0221 |
7.3 | 9.1180635E-5 | 1.8825143E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0624089 | 2.882326E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.907156E-4 | 8.0654246E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.4959441 | 0.0010063812 | 2.0E-4 | 0.004746591 | 0.009775544 | 0.0052 | 0.53193974 | 0.011458925 | 0.0017 | 0.046464786 | 0.09512141 | 0.0593 | 0.6234138 | 0.11303801 | 0.0198 |
7.4 | 8.887388E-5 | 1.8081242E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.1061187 | 2.8079434E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.8083247E-4 | 7.746803E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.51634204 | 9.7452535E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0046267817 | 0.009391031 | 0.0051 | 0.5430713 | 0.010976005 | 0.0016 | 0.045316286 | 0.09177658 | 0.057 | 0.6210735 | 0.10876036 | 0.0187 |
7.5 | 8.6750515E-5 | 1.7419644E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.1481291 | 2.74179E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.7173493E-4 | 7.4634264E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.53594685 | 9.4619335E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.004516484 | 0.009048939 | 0.0049 | 0.5414999 | 0.0106344605 | 0.0016 | 0.04425787 | 0.088759765 | 0.0542 | 0.61063707 | 0.10507096 | 0.0179 |
7.6 | 8.453092E-5 | 1.6815437E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.1893834 | 2.6813755E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.6222505E-4 | 7.204626E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.55519885 | 9.203185E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0044011753 | 0.0087364195 | 0.0047 | 0.5379778 | 0.010322441 | 0.0016 | 0.04315024 | 0.08594257 | 0.0522 | 0.60738236 | 0.101938576 | 0.0175 |
7.7 | 8.259102E-5 | 1.6344519E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.2236518 | 2.6342884E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.539135E-4 | 7.002914E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.5711908 | 9.001513E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.004300386 | 0.008492777 | 0.0045 | 0.529862 | 0.010079189 | 0.0016 | 0.042181134 | 0.08371713 | 0.0503 | 0.6008329 | 0.09929393 | 0.017 |
7.8 | 7.444844E-5 | 1.4721302E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.3585755 | 2.471983E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.1902574E-4 | 6.3076045E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.63415515 | 8.306343E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0038772223 | 0.0076525114 | 0.0043 | 0.56190705 | 0.009141033 | 0.0015 | 0.03810269 | 0.075767994 | 0.0451 | 0.5952381 | 0.0897239 | 0.0151 |
7.9 | 5.2586525E-5 | 9.6212076E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0393705 | 1.9620245E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.2535135E-4 | 4.1227232E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.72767437 | 6.121899E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0027402006 | 0.005007873 | 0.003 | 0.5990567 | 0.0061023645 | 0.0011 | 0.027066574 | 0.050396647 | 0.0309 | 0.613136 | 0.060462445 | 0.0106 |
8.0 | 3.379877E-5 | 5.18389E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.9290533 | 1.5183371E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4484383E-4 | 2.2214779E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.3504523 | 4.2210336E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0017620471 | 0.0027012965 | 0.0018 | 0.6663467 | 0.0033994056 | 7.0E-4 | 0.017481409 | 0.027737081 | 0.0169 | 0.6092927 | 0.033667885 | 0.0061 |
8.1 | 1.8668277E-5 | 1.8253817E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 5.4783063 | 1.1825199E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 8.000444E-5 | 7.82283E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.5566194 | 2.7821265E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 9.736188E-4 | 9.52014E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.6302428 | 0.0012517284 | 3.0E-4 | 0.009693642 | 0.010245123 | 0.0068 | 0.66373044 | 0.012818486 | 0.0026 |
8.2 | 8.541571E-6 | 5.0561516E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0561516E-6 | 0.0 | 3.660622E-5 | 2.166904E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.6148787 | 1.21666875E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.455896E-4 | 2.637887E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.7581826 | 3.6376234E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0044469717 | 0.0030187676 | 0.0022 | 0.72877425 | 0.0037166544 | 7.0E-4 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 6.9765395E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.9765395E-7 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 2.9899422E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9899422E-6 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.640195E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.640195E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.3255524E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.46236867 | 5.32512E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
Mendocino
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.5409013E-4 | 0.0010796934 | 3.0E-4 | 0.27785665 | 0.0012794775 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0023725112 | 0.0046170084 | 0.0024 | 0.5198171 | 0.005512853 | 9.0E-4 | 0.028505474 | 0.05446236 | 0.0273 | 0.5012636 | 0.063161306 | 0.0092 | 0.25113493 | 0.41066006 | 0.2478 | 0.60341877 | 0.45951635 | 0.0829 |
6.1 | 4.2515888E-4 | 8.1907253E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.24417862 | 0.0010189087 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0018208373 | 0.0035039976 | 0.002 | 0.57077664 | 0.004400844 | 9.0E-4 | 0.021944538 | 0.041563198 | 0.0223 | 0.53653234 | 0.049614068 | 0.0084 | 0.19899574 | 0.32874507 | 0.2121 | 0.64518076 | 0.38083446 | 0.0776 |
6.2 | 4.2515888E-4 | 8.1907253E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.24417862 | 0.0010189087 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0018208373 | 0.0035039976 | 0.002 | 0.57077664 | 0.004400844 | 9.0E-4 | 0.021944538 | 0.041563198 | 0.0223 | 0.53653234 | 0.049614068 | 0.0084 | 0.19899574 | 0.32874507 | 0.2121 | 0.64518076 | 0.38083446 | 0.0776 |
6.3 | 3.2773745E-4 | 6.1586214E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.324748 | 8.15739E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0014038329 | 0.0026356152 | 0.002 | 0.75883615 | 0.003533243 | 9.0E-4 | 0.016958237 | 0.031419706 | 0.0185 | 0.58880246 | 0.038877774 | 0.0077 | 0.1572094 | 0.25955155 | 0.1681 | 0.64765555 | 0.30642194 | 0.0633 |
6.4 | 2.7417165E-4 | 5.014441E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.39884803 | 7.013438E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0011744922 | 0.002146392 | 0.0014 | 0.65225744 | 0.002745104 | 6.0E-4 | 0.014205975 | 0.025670903 | 0.0152 | 0.59211004 | 0.03151688 | 0.006 | 0.13331394 | 0.21823153 | 0.1376 | 0.630523 | 0.25833625 | 0.0513 |
6.5 | 2.3984899E-4 | 4.2912093E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.4660691 | 6.290351E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0010275192 | 0.0018371117 | 0.0014 | 0.76206577 | 0.0024360095 | 6.0E-4 | 0.012438473 | 0.022018315 | 0.0134 | 0.6085843 | 0.027103819 | 0.0052 | 0.11764851 | 0.19078137 | 0.12 | 0.6289922 | 0.2275199 | 0.0454 |
6.6 | 2.1023539E-4 | 3.6620436E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.5461432 | 5.661311E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 9.0069766E-4 | 0.0015679767 | 0.001 | 0.63776463 | 0.0020671927 | 5.0E-4 | 0.010910975 | 0.018831093 | 0.0111 | 0.58945066 | 0.023050118 | 0.0043 | 0.10390546 | 0.16622992 | 0.1024 | 0.61601424 | 0.19816332 | 0.0383 |
6.7 | 1.2592976E-4 | 1.812945E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5515887 | 2.8127639E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.395873E-4 | 7.7668705E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.257504 | 8.7660935E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006549705 | 0.009403987 | 0.0046 | 0.48915422 | 0.01118706 | 0.0018 | 0.063599944 | 0.089650325 | 0.0472 | 0.52649 | 0.10521731 | 0.0171 |
6.8 | 1.13663555E-4 | 1.5119594E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.6613934 | 2.511808E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.8703855E-4 | 6.477909E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.3087416 | 7.477261E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0059135845 | 0.007854334 | 0.0035 | 0.44561386 | 0.009144124 | 0.0013 | 0.057586733 | 0.076110475 | 0.038 | 0.49927425 | 0.08904493 | 0.014 |
6.9 | 9.926894E-5 | 1.2036246E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.8308238 | 2.2035043E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.2536893E-4 | 5.1573163E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.38779858 | 6.1568007E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0051665753 | 0.0062600407 | 0.003 | 0.4792301 | 0.0075519024 | 0.0013 | 0.050480947 | 0.061634526 | 0.0302 | 0.4899851 | 0.07308258 | 0.0122 |
7.0 | 9.168125E-5 | 1.0529014E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.9497565 | 2.0527962E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.9286047E-4 | 4.511643E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.44329748 | 5.511192E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004772591 | 0.00547874 | 0.0028 | 0.5110664 | 0.006771618 | 0.0013 | 0.04671385 | 0.054426186 | 0.0276 | 0.5071088 | 0.06520573 | 0.0114 |
7.1 | 8.2854116E-5 | 8.860998E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1285411 | 1.8860112E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.5504074E-4 | 3.7970228E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.52672845 | 4.796643E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004314056 | 0.0046131397 | 0.0024 | 0.52025306 | 0.0058076037 | 0.0012 | 0.042312626 | 0.046324518 | 0.0251 | 0.5418297 | 0.056338113 | 0.0105 |
7.2 | 7.8255274E-5 | 8.06163E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.240444 | 1.8060824E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.3533663E-4 | 3.4545347E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.5789492 | 4.454189E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0040750825 | 0.004197925 | 0.002 | 0.4764259 | 0.005293307 | 0.0011 | 0.040011603 | 0.04238875 | 0.023 | 0.5425968 | 0.05129453 | 0.0093 |
7.3 | 6.887904E-5 | 6.0630904E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.6493239 | 1.6062484E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.9516246E-4 | 2.598214E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.7697596 | 3.597954E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0035876823 | 0.0031588287 | 0.0017 | 0.53817415 | 0.004255354 | 0.0011 | 0.035303112 | 0.03239243 | 0.0183 | 0.5649468 | 0.03984301 | 0.0077 |
7.4 | 5.4898497E-5 | 3.6060723E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.6060723E-5 | 0.0 | 2.3525805E-4 | 1.545371E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.6470938 | 1.545371E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0028605047 | 0.0018799186 | 9.0E-4 | 0.47874412 | 0.0024787907 | 6.0E-4 | 0.02823963 | 0.01972282 | 0.0103 | 0.5222377 | 0.023839984 | 0.0042 |
7.5 | 3.9103943E-5 | 1.0709808E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0709808E-5 | 0.0 | 1.6757756E-4 | 4.5898378E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.1787262 | 4.5898378E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0020383475 | 5.5867096E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.35799247 | 6.586151E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.020197518 | 0.0062736664 | 0.0029 | 0.46224964 | 0.0070686475 | 8.0E-4 |
7.6 | 3.641042E-5 | 8.449839E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.449839E-6 | 0.0 | 1.5603533E-4 | 3.62131E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.62131E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0018980748 | 4.4080656E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.22685687 | 5.407625E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.018819444 | 0.0050302963 | 0.0019 | 0.37771133 | 0.0056272782 | 6.0E-4 |
7.7 | 3.1318774E-5 | 4.0567656E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0567656E-6 | 0.0 | 1.342164E-4 | 1.7386024E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7386024E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0016328598 | 2.1165445E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.47246823 | 3.1163328E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.016209139 | 0.0026171117 | 8.0E-4 | 0.30568048 | 0.0029163265 | 3.0E-4 |
7.8 | 2.209241E-5 | 2.4255278E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4255278E-6 | 0.0 | 9.467832E-5 | 1.0395078E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0395078E-5 | 0.0 | 0.001152099 | 1.2655274E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2655274E-4 | 0.0 | 0.011461443 | 0.0015782781 | 3.0E-4 | 0.19008057 | 0.0016781203 | 1.0E-4 |
7.9 | 1.2640477E-5 | 1.8575885E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8575885E-6 | 0.0 | 5.4172346E-5 | 7.961069E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.961069E-6 | 0.0 | 6.593487E-4 | 9.692173E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.692173E-5 | 0.0 | 0.006573958 | 0.0011860284 | 3.0E-4 | 0.25294507 | 0.0012859097 | 1.0E-4 |
8.0 | 6.5548907E-6 | 1.4963324E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4963324E-6 | 0.0 | 2.8092087E-5 | 6.412837E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.412837E-6 | 0.0 | 3.4196748E-4 | 7.807351E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.807351E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0034144172 | 9.470385E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.21118465 | 0.0010469438 | 1.0E-4 |
8.1 | 3.1916707E-6 | 1.2333625E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2333625E-6 | 0.0 | 1.3678517E-5 | 5.2858286E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.2858286E-6 | 0.0 | 1.6652321E-4 | 6.435308E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.435308E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0016639848 | 7.898634E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.25320834 | 8.897844E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
8.2 | 2.1193785E-6 | 9.373281E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.373281E-7 | 0.0 | 9.083019E-6 | 4.0171144E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0171144E-6 | 0.0 | 1.1058014E-4 | 4.8907285E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.8907285E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0011052513 | 5.969148E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.33505622 | 6.968551E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
8.3 | 7.536878E-7 | 3.609915E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.609915E-7 | 0.0 | 3.2300866E-6 | 1.5471055E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5471055E-6 | 0.0 | 3.9325594E-5 | 1.8835857E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8835857E-5 | 0.0 | 3.9318635E-4 | 2.2327069E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2327069E-4 | 0.0 |
Cerro Prieto
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.9101528E-4 | 5.876785E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.6806443 | 7.8756094E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0012466122 | 0.002516427 | 0.0022 | 0.8742554 | 0.0035139106 | 0.001 | 0.015072231 | 0.030233428 | 0.0182 | 0.6019827 | 0.037215747 | 0.0072 | 0.14089979 | 0.2514084 | 0.1744 | 0.69369197 | 0.29220665 | 0.0545 |
6.1 | 2.9101528E-4 | 5.876785E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.6806443 | 7.8756094E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0012466122 | 0.002516427 | 0.0022 | 0.8742554 | 0.0035139106 | 0.001 | 0.015072231 | 0.030233428 | 0.0182 | 0.6019827 | 0.037215747 | 0.0072 | 0.14089979 | 0.2514084 | 0.1744 | 0.69369197 | 0.29220665 | 0.0545 |
6.2 | 2.9101528E-4 | 5.876785E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.6806443 | 7.8756094E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0012466122 | 0.002516427 | 0.0022 | 0.8742554 | 0.0035139106 | 0.001 | 0.015072231 | 0.030233428 | 0.0182 | 0.6019827 | 0.037215747 | 0.0072 | 0.14089979 | 0.2514084 | 0.1744 | 0.69369197 | 0.29220665 | 0.0545 |
6.3 | 2.9101528E-4 | 5.876785E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.6806443 | 7.8756094E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0012466122 | 0.002516427 | 0.0022 | 0.8742554 | 0.0035139106 | 0.001 | 0.015072231 | 0.030233428 | 0.0182 | 0.6019827 | 0.037215747 | 0.0072 | 0.14089979 | 0.2514084 | 0.1744 | 0.69369197 | 0.29220665 | 0.0545 |
6.4 | 2.508648E-4 | 5.056167E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.59333485 | 7.0551556E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0010746918 | 0.0021653222 | 0.0018 | 0.83128506 | 0.0030633733 | 9.0E-4 | 0.013006088 | 0.02607972 | 0.0156 | 0.5981659 | 0.032118026 | 0.0062 | 0.12270685 | 0.22188032 | 0.1514 | 0.68234986 | 0.25907445 | 0.0478 |
6.5 | 2.508648E-4 | 5.056167E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.59333485 | 7.0551556E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0010746918 | 0.0021653222 | 0.0018 | 0.83128506 | 0.0030633733 | 9.0E-4 | 0.013006088 | 0.02607972 | 0.0156 | 0.5981659 | 0.032118026 | 0.0062 | 0.12270685 | 0.22188032 | 0.1514 | 0.68234986 | 0.25907445 | 0.0478 |
6.6 | 2.294914E-4 | 4.6307954E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.64783686 | 6.6298695E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 9.831638E-4 | 0.0019832992 | 0.0016 | 0.8067366 | 0.0027817125 | 8.0E-4 | 0.011904482 | 0.023857418 | 0.0144 | 0.60358584 | 0.029323816 | 0.0056 | 0.11286586 | 0.20606163 | 0.14 | 0.6794084 | 0.24139188 | 0.0445 |
6.7 | 1.9621674E-4 | 3.965335E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.50437105 | 4.964938E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 8.4065786E-4 | 0.0016984757 | 0.0011 | 0.6476395 | 0.0021976265 | 5.0E-4 | 0.010187071 | 0.020493843 | 0.0122 | 0.59530073 | 0.025293423 | 0.0049 | 0.09732539 | 0.18046996 | 0.1206 | 0.66825527 | 0.21210381 | 0.0386 |
6.8 | 1.5476145E-4 | 2.9933505E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.6681476 | 3.993051E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.6309475E-4 | 0.0012823322 | 0.0011 | 0.85781205 | 0.0017816911 | 5.0E-4 | 0.008043335 | 0.0154983625 | 0.009 | 0.5807065 | 0.019633269 | 0.0042 | 0.07758363 | 0.14124227 | 0.0896 | 0.63437104 | 0.16657561 | 0.0295 |
6.9 | 1.20509176E-4 | 2.2068103E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.45314273 | 2.2068103E-4 | 0.0 | 5.1636563E-4 | 9.4549364E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.740354 | 0.0012452101 | 3.0E-4 | 0.006268645 | 0.011465097 | 0.0061 | 0.5320496 | 0.013936434 | 0.0025 | 0.060947374 | 0.10765188 | 0.0681 | 0.63259465 | 0.12674813 | 0.0214 |
7.0 | 9.3269155E-5 | 1.6304594E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6304594E-4 | 0.0 | 3.9966372E-4 | 6.986223E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.5725554 | 8.9848257E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0048550544 | 0.008479855 | 0.0038 | 0.44812086 | 0.009867983 | 0.0014 | 0.04750344 | 0.08164473 | 0.0504 | 0.6173087 | 0.09569556 | 0.0153 |
7.1 | 5.029709E-5 | 7.938922E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.938922E-5 | 0.0 | 2.1554115E-4 | 3.4021336E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.29393318 | 4.4017934E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0026210553 | 0.0041374615 | 0.0016 | 0.38671055 | 0.0048345653 | 7.0E-4 | 0.025903556 | 0.041418772 | 0.0229 | 0.5528894 | 0.047937125 | 0.0068 |
7.2 | 6.5445185E-8 | 6.3428644E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.3428644E-8 | 0.0 | 2.8047933E-7 | 2.7183705E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7183705E-7 | 0.0 | 3.4148304E-6 | 3.309616E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.309616E-6 | 0.0 | 3.414778E-5 | 3.309616E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.309616E-5 | 0.0 |
Brawley (Seismic Zone) alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2521618E-4 | 4.6808246E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 1.0681878 | 6.6798885E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 9.6485513E-4 | 0.0020045617 | 0.0013 | 0.6485208 | 0.0025035595 | 5.0E-4 | 0.011683988 | 0.024126746 | 0.0177 | 0.73362565 | 0.030665096 | 0.0067 | 0.11088423 | 0.21067296 | 0.1521 | 0.7219721 | 0.248166 | 0.0475 |
6.1 | 2.2521618E-4 | 4.6808246E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.6409127 | 5.6803564E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 9.6485513E-4 | 0.0020045617 | 0.001 | 0.49886218 | 0.0024037599 | 4.0E-4 | 0.011683988 | 0.024126746 | 0.0152 | 0.63000625 | 0.029591637 | 0.0056 | 0.11088423 | 0.21067296 | 0.1326 | 0.6294116 | 0.24232498 | 0.0401 |
6.2 | 2.198148E-4 | 4.5911694E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.6534283 | 5.59071E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 9.417233E-4 | 0.001966196 | 0.001 | 0.50859624 | 0.0023654096 | 4.0E-4 | 0.011405343 | 0.023670143 | 0.0146 | 0.61681086 | 0.028747058 | 0.0052 | 0.10837428 | 0.20714925 | 0.1291 | 0.6232221 | 0.2371983 | 0.0379 |
6.3 | 2.1704129E-4 | 4.5351146E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.66150475 | 5.5346615E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 9.298453E-4 | 0.0019422086 | 9.0E-4 | 0.46338996 | 0.002241626 | 3.0E-4 | 0.011262234 | 0.023385217 | 0.0142 | 0.60722125 | 0.02826829 | 0.005 | 0.107082725 | 0.2050432 | 0.1274 | 0.6213325 | 0.23461558 | 0.0372 |
6.4 | 1.876142E-4 | 3.9275855E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.5092187 | 4.927193E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 8.038131E-4 | 0.0016821788 | 7.0E-4 | 0.416127 | 0.0019816742 | 3.0E-4 | 0.00974259 | 0.02028862 | 0.0115 | 0.5668202 | 0.024207465 | 0.004 | 0.093263686 | 0.18180731 | 0.1089 | 0.59898585 | 0.20774402 | 0.0317 |
6.5 | 1.7390939E-4 | 3.6738385E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.5443897 | 4.673471E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 7.45113E-4 | 0.0015735638 | 7.0E-4 | 0.44485012 | 0.0018730917 | 3.0E-4 | 0.009034078 | 0.018991657 | 0.0109 | 0.5739362 | 0.022719488 | 0.0038 | 0.086755216 | 0.171686 | 0.102 | 0.59410787 | 0.1959556 | 0.0293 |
6.6 | 1.591791E-4 | 3.4193942E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.58489895 | 4.4190523E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.8201777E-4 | 0.0014646412 | 7.0E-4 | 0.47793275 | 0.0017642018 | 3.0E-4 | 0.008271996 | 0.017689798 | 0.0101 | 0.57095057 | 0.021226116 | 0.0036 | 0.07970774 | 0.16118653 | 0.094 | 0.5831753 | 0.18299568 | 0.026 |
6.7 | 1.4268003E-4 | 3.1407524E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.6367901 | 4.140438E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.1134255E-4 | 0.00134535 | 7.0E-4 | 0.52031064 | 0.0016449465 | 3.0E-4 | 0.007417723 | 0.016260115 | 0.0093 | 0.5719517 | 0.019506456 | 0.0033 | 0.07174956 | 0.14943002 | 0.0882 | 0.5902428 | 0.17043911 | 0.0247 |
6.8 | 1.239713E-4 | 2.8513794E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.7014149 | 3.8510942E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.3119735E-4 | 0.0012214533 | 7.0E-4 | 0.5730878 | 0.0015210869 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0064481674 | 0.014771148 | 0.0088 | 0.595756 | 0.017726835 | 0.003 | 0.06264243 | 0.1362273 | 0.0806 | 0.59165823 | 0.1552303 | 0.022 |
6.9 | 1.0180238E-4 | 2.584756E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.7737675 | 3.5844973E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.3622297E-4 | 0.0011072864 | 7.0E-4 | 0.6321761 | 0.0014069543 | 3.0E-4 | 0.005298089 | 0.013398845 | 0.0078 | 0.58213973 | 0.016259989 | 0.0029 | 0.05173543 | 0.123307586 | 0.0713 | 0.57822883 | 0.13996474 | 0.019 |
7.0 | 7.6619996E-5 | 2.2098933E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.9050211 | 3.2096723E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.283301E-4 | 9.467565E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.7393665 | 0.0012464725 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0039900932 | 0.011466531 | 0.0069 | 0.6017513 | 0.013839011 | 0.0024 | 0.039192066 | 0.10603327 | 0.061 | 0.5752911 | 0.12051553 | 0.0162 |
7.1 | 7.5127435E-5 | 2.178644E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.9180022 | 3.178426E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.2193496E-4 | 9.333736E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.74996763 | 0.0012330936 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0039125155 | 0.011305296 | 0.0068 | 0.601488 | 0.013678163 | 0.0024 | 0.038443442 | 0.104612865 | 0.0604 | 0.5773669 | 0.11902859 | 0.0161 |
7.2 | 6.788582E-5 | 1.9925722E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0037278 | 2.992373E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.9090676E-4 | 8.53683E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.8199765 | 0.001153427 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0035360386 | 0.010344682 | 0.0065 | 0.62834215 | 0.01262089 | 0.0023 | 0.034803 | 0.09631735 | 0.0557 | 0.5782966 | 0.10978223 | 0.0149 |
7.3 | 6.399602E-5 | 1.856939E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0770413 | 2.8567534E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.7423984E-4 | 7.955911E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.87984896 | 0.0010953525 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0033337586 | 0.009643878 | 0.0063 | 0.6532642 | 0.011921696 | 0.0023 | 0.03284188 | 0.090255514 | 0.0524 | 0.5805739 | 0.10290097 | 0.0139 |
7.4 | 4.506759E-5 | 1.2317323E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.81186473 | 1.2317323E-4 | 0.0 | 1.9313251E-4 | 5.2777934E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.94736564 | 7.2767376E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0023488526 | 0.006406951 | 0.0042 | 0.65553796 | 0.007897341 | 0.0015 | 0.023241805 | 0.0614344 | 0.0347 | 0.5648301 | 0.07044463 | 0.0096 |
7.5 | 3.43289E-5 | 9.161006E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0915831 | 9.161006E-5 | 0.0 | 1.4711556E-4 | 3.9255578E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.7642226 | 4.925165E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0017896603 | 0.004768953 | 0.0029 | 0.6080999 | 0.005565138 | 8.0E-4 | 0.01775316 | 0.046273734 | 0.0252 | 0.5445854 | 0.053331308 | 0.0074 |
7.6 | 2.5980507E-5 | 6.9008114E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4491049 | 6.9008114E-5 | 0.0 | 1.1134028E-4 | 2.9571567E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.014488 | 3.956861E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.001354725 | 0.0035944178 | 0.0022 | 0.6120601 | 0.004291902 | 7.0E-4 | 0.013464959 | 0.035150543 | 0.0206 | 0.5860507 | 0.04074667 | 0.0058 |
7.7 | 1.7292105E-5 | 4.8103666E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.0788436 | 4.8103666E-5 | 0.0 | 7.4106916E-5 | 2.0614231E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.9702036 | 3.0612168E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 9.018782E-4 | 0.0025068994 | 9.0E-4 | 0.35900924 | 0.0029058966 | 4.0E-4 | 0.008982267 | 0.024695786 | 0.0147 | 0.5952433 | 0.029182184 | 0.0046 |
7.8 | 1.2927471E-5 | 3.8554692E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.593718 | 3.8554692E-5 | 0.0 | 5.5402274E-5 | 1.6522394E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.2104783 | 2.652074E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.743139E-4 | 0.002009748 | 8.0E-4 | 0.39805987 | 0.002408944 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0067227143 | 0.019911647 | 0.0112 | 0.56248486 | 0.023145938 | 0.0033 |
7.9 | 1.0200774E-5 | 2.7821396E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7821396E-5 | 0.0 | 4.371687E-5 | 1.192291E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.8387214 | 2.1921718E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.321229E-4 | 0.0014506488 | 6.0E-4 | 0.41360804 | 0.0017502136 | 3.0E-4 | 0.005308505 | 0.014562595 | 0.0086 | 0.5905541 | 0.017223276 | 0.0027 |
8.0 | 8.650396E-6 | 2.2482072E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2482072E-5 | 0.0 | 3.70726E-5 | 9.634819E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0379022 | 1.9633856E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.5126543E-4 | 0.0011724087 | 5.0E-4 | 0.42647243 | 0.0014720571 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0045035016 | 0.011839272 | 0.007 | 0.5912525 | 0.014210858 | 0.0024 |
8.1 | 3.9368224E-6 | 6.982285E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.982285E-6 | 0.0 | 1.6871985E-5 | 2.9923734E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.3418288 | 1.2992074E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.0539707E-4 | 3.642607E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.27452865 | 4.6422426E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0020520731 | 0.003829169 | 0.0021 | 0.54842186 | 0.004626106 | 8.0E-4 |
8.2 | 1.7101195E-6 | 2.0818159E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0818159E-6 | 0.0 | 7.329063E-6 | 8.9220375E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 11.208201 | 1.08921144E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 8.922769E-5 | 1.0862042E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.9206372 | 2.0860956E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 8.9191867E-4 | 0.0011966586 | 8.0E-4 | 0.6685282 | 0.0013964192 | 2.0E-4 |
8.3 | 3.0346666E-8 | 1.5886812E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5886812E-8 | 0.0 | 1.3005713E-7 | 6.808634E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.808634E-8 | 0.0 | 1.5834444E-6 | 8.2895104E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.2895104E-7 | 0.0 | 1.5834332E-5 | 8.65772E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.65772E-6 | 0.0 |
Imperial
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.7496446E-4 | 4.941084E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.60715425 | 5.94059E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0011778869 | 0.0021159272 | 0.001 | 0.4726061 | 0.002614869 | 5.0E-4 | 0.0142467655 | 0.02547419 | 0.0161 | 0.63201225 | 0.031321343 | 0.006 | 0.13367249 | 0.22422479 | 0.1419 | 0.6328471 | 0.25859165 | 0.0443 |
6.1 | 2.5356023E-4 | 4.7646931E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.62963134 | 5.764217E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.001086234 | 0.0020404507 | 9.0E-4 | 0.44107905 | 0.0024396344 | 4.0E-4 | 0.013144928 | 0.024563523 | 0.0154 | 0.6269459 | 0.030221054 | 0.0058 | 0.123940155 | 0.21605164 | 0.1364 | 0.63133055 | 0.24882068 | 0.0418 |
6.2 | 2.4820742E-4 | 4.676119E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.64155763 | 5.6756515E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0010633124 | 0.002002549 | 9.0E-4 | 0.44942725 | 0.0024017477 | 4.0E-4 | 0.01286919 | 0.024112629 | 0.0148 | 0.6137863 | 0.02938242 | 0.0054 | 0.12148927 | 0.21259417 | 0.1329 | 0.62513477 | 0.24377544 | 0.0396 |
6.3 | 2.3205351E-4 | 4.4995442E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.6667342 | 5.499094E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 9.94136E-4 | 0.001926987 | 8.0E-4 | 0.4151559 | 0.0022264088 | 3.0E-4 | 0.012036599 | 0.02320783 | 0.0141 | 0.60755354 | 0.028091792 | 0.005 | 0.11405133 | 0.20481737 | 0.1269 | 0.61957633 | 0.2345572 | 0.0374 |
6.4 | 2.0304754E-4 | 3.9014025E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.5126362 | 4.901012E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 8.6991355E-4 | 0.0016709722 | 7.0E-4 | 0.4189178 | 0.0019704709 | 3.0E-4 | 0.010539869 | 0.020158699 | 0.0115 | 0.5704734 | 0.024078064 | 0.004 | 0.100537635 | 0.18195471 | 0.1087 | 0.59740144 | 0.20805036 | 0.0319 |
6.5 | 1.854992E-4 | 3.6183832E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.55273306 | 4.6180215E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 7.9475436E-4 | 0.0015498258 | 7.0E-4 | 0.45166367 | 0.0018493609 | 3.0E-4 | 0.009633281 | 0.018713417 | 0.0109 | 0.5824698 | 0.022442305 | 0.0038 | 0.0922623 | 0.1703268 | 0.1011 | 0.5935648 | 0.19438733 | 0.029 |
6.6 | 1.6586106E-4 | 3.3304666E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.6005165 | 4.3301334E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 7.106394E-4 | 0.0014265716 | 7.0E-4 | 0.4906869 | 0.0017261436 | 3.0E-4 | 0.008617763 | 0.017235743 | 0.01 | 0.58018965 | 0.020675419 | 0.0035 | 0.08291132 | 0.15800339 | 0.0916 | 0.5797344 | 0.1792217 | 0.0252 |
6.7 | 1.4224656E-4 | 3.0128242E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.66382897 | 4.0125227E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.094856E-4 | 0.0012905791 | 7.0E-4 | 0.5423922 | 0.001590192 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0073952693 | 0.015603036 | 0.0092 | 0.5896288 | 0.018753106 | 0.0032 | 0.07153955 | 0.14399408 | 0.0848 | 0.5889131 | 0.16428141 | 0.0237 |
6.8 | 1.2317259E-4 | 2.7265126E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.7335378 | 3.72624E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.2777573E-4 | 0.0011679879 | 7.0E-4 | 0.59932125 | 0.0014676375 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0064067547 | 0.014128845 | 0.0087 | 0.6157616 | 0.016987871 | 0.0029 | 0.06225166 | 0.13081221 | 0.0774 | 0.59168786 | 0.14915207 | 0.0211 |
6.9 | 9.859898E-5 | 2.462987E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.81202215 | 3.462741E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.2249862E-4 | 0.001055143 | 7.0E-4 | 0.6634172 | 0.0013548264 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0051317946 | 0.012771627 | 0.0077 | 0.6028989 | 0.015535867 | 0.0028 | 0.05014893 | 0.11783075 | 0.0681 | 0.5779476 | 0.13379802 | 0.0181 |
7.0 | 7.3191884E-5 | 2.0989825E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.9528426 | 3.0987727E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.136418E-4 | 8.992569E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.77842045 | 0.0011989871 | 3.0E-4 | 0.003811904 | 0.010894161 | 0.0068 | 0.6241876 | 0.013169104 | 0.0023 | 0.037471764 | 0.1009212 | 0.058 | 0.5747058 | 0.114767015 | 0.0154 |
7.1 | 7.1760296E-5 | 2.069551E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.9663932 | 3.069344E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.0750787E-4 | 8.8665204E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.7894867 | 0.0011863861 | 3.0E-4 | 0.003737482 | 0.010742219 | 0.0067 | 0.62370723 | 0.013017513 | 0.0023 | 0.03675245 | 0.09957358 | 0.0574 | 0.57645816 | 0.1133501 | 0.0153 |
7.2 | 6.46614E-5 | 1.8875535E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0595726 | 2.8873648E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.7709085E-4 | 8.087037E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.86558276 | 0.0011084611 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0033683628 | 0.009802124 | 0.0064 | 0.65291965 | 0.01198056 | 0.0022 | 0.033177625 | 0.09141615 | 0.0527 | 0.57648456 | 0.10422718 | 0.0141 |
7.3 | 6.088115E-5 | 1.7559815E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.1389642 | 2.755806E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.6089314E-4 | 7.5234927E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.9304189 | 0.0010521236 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0031717476 | 0.009121943 | 0.0062 | 0.6796797 | 0.011301875 | 0.0022 | 0.031268585 | 0.08551075 | 0.0494 | 0.5777051 | 0.097490564 | 0.0131 |
7.4 | 4.199346E-5 | 1.1321578E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.88326913 | 1.1321578E-4 | 0.0 | 1.7995955E-4 | 4.851211E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 1.0306705 | 6.850241E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0021888057 | 0.005890519 | 0.0041 | 0.6960338 | 0.007282272 | 0.0014 | 0.02167372 | 0.056605965 | 0.0317 | 0.5600117 | 0.064907834 | 0.0088 |
7.5 | 3.130448E-5 | 8.1818864E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2222121 | 8.1818864E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3415517E-4 | 3.5060546E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.85566264 | 4.505704E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0016321153 | 0.004260325 | 0.0028 | 0.65722686 | 0.0049573425 | 7.0E-4 | 0.016201803 | 0.04144808 | 0.0222 | 0.53560984 | 0.047774523 | 0.0066 |
7.6 | 2.3074248E-5 | 5.9549977E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.6792618 | 5.9549977E-5 | 0.0 | 9.888588E-5 | 2.5518934E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.1755977 | 3.5516382E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0012032706 | 0.0031025265 | 0.0021 | 0.6768677 | 0.003700665 | 6.0E-4 | 0.011967761 | 0.03043447 | 0.0176 | 0.57829165 | 0.0352823 | 0.005 |
7.7 | 1.45864815E-5 | 3.9047158E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.5610058 | 3.9047158E-5 | 0.0 | 6.2511994E-5 | 1.6733426E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.1952125 | 2.6731752E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 7.608177E-4 | 0.0020353962 | 8.0E-4 | 0.39304388 | 0.0023347856 | 3.0E-4 | 0.007582182 | 0.020132141 | 0.0119 | 0.5910946 | 0.02385564 | 0.0038 |
7.8 | 1.0352979E-5 | 3.004081E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.328805 | 3.004081E-5 | 0.0 | 4.4369157E-5 | 1.2874E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.5535189 | 2.2872712E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.400606E-4 | 0.0015662847 | 7.0E-4 | 0.44691747 | 0.0018658148 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0053875 | 0.015593325 | 0.0084 | 0.53869206 | 0.018054342 | 0.0025 |
7.9 | 8.137906E-6 | 2.1405322E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1405322E-5 | 0.0 | 3.4876273E-5 | 9.173387E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.09011 | 1.917247E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.2453592E-4 | 0.0011162885 | 5.0E-4 | 0.44791287 | 0.0013160653 | 2.0E-4 | 0.004237258 | 0.011269916 | 0.0063 | 0.5590104 | 0.013148502 | 0.0019 |
8.0 | 6.93792E-6 | 1.736568E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.736568E-5 | 0.0 | 2.9733603E-5 | 7.442223E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.3436847 | 1.7441479E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.6194647E-4 | 9.0571464E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.4416402 | 0.0011055334 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0036135751 | 0.009198632 | 0.0051 | 0.5544303 | 0.010783914 | 0.0016 |
8.1 | 3.4286315E-6 | 6.075972E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.075972E-6 | 0.0 | 1.4694053E-5 | 2.6039621E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.8403015 | 1.2603702E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.7888541E-4 | 3.1698638E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.31547096 | 4.169547E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0017874148 | 0.0033346196 | 0.0019 | 0.5697802 | 0.0040322854 | 7.0E-4 |
8.2 | 1.4906886E-6 | 1.816707E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.816707E-6 | 0.0 | 6.3886496E-6 | 7.785864E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 12.84379 | 1.0778508E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 7.7779034E-5 | 9.47888E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0549769 | 1.9477932E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 7.775182E-4 | 0.0010457897 | 8.0E-4 | 0.76497215 | 0.0012455806 | 2.0E-4 |
8.3 | 2.5758007E-8 | 1.33742954E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.33742954E-8 | 0.0 | 1.10391454E-7 | 5.731841E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.731841E-8 | 0.0 | 1.3440151E-6 | 6.978516E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.978516E-7 | 0.0 | 1.344007E-5 | 7.2859425E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.2859425E-6 | 0.0 |
Hayward (So) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.8091932E-4 | 3.539255E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.847636 | 6.5381936E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 7.751381E-4 | 0.0015159517 | 8.0E-4 | 0.5277213 | 0.0021150422 | 6.0E-4 | 0.00939654 | 0.018302882 | 0.0134 | 0.73212516 | 0.023604047 | 0.0054 | 0.090090066 | 0.16552255 | 0.1179 | 0.7122897 | 0.1986513 | 0.0397 |
6.1 | 1.8091932E-4 | 3.539255E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.847636 | 6.5381936E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 7.751381E-4 | 0.0015159517 | 8.0E-4 | 0.5277213 | 0.0021150422 | 6.0E-4 | 0.00939654 | 0.018302882 | 0.0134 | 0.73212516 | 0.023604047 | 0.0054 | 0.090090066 | 0.16552255 | 0.1179 | 0.7122897 | 0.1986513 | 0.0397 |
6.2 | 1.8091932E-4 | 3.539255E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.847636 | 6.5381936E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 7.751381E-4 | 0.0015159517 | 8.0E-4 | 0.5277213 | 0.0021150422 | 6.0E-4 | 0.00939654 | 0.018302882 | 0.0134 | 0.73212516 | 0.023604047 | 0.0054 | 0.090090066 | 0.16552255 | 0.1179 | 0.7122897 | 0.1986513 | 0.0397 |
6.3 | 1.7322872E-4 | 3.3957043E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.88346916 | 6.3946855E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 7.4219756E-4 | 0.0014544997 | 8.0E-4 | 0.5500173 | 0.002053627 | 6.0E-4 | 0.0089988755 | 0.017566977 | 0.013 | 0.74002486 | 0.022577386 | 0.0051 | 0.08643075 | 0.1594756 | 0.1135 | 0.71170765 | 0.19116336 | 0.0377 |
6.4 | 1.6334097E-4 | 3.204747E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.93611133 | 6.2037853E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 6.998449E-4 | 0.0013727486 | 8.0E-4 | 0.58277243 | 0.001971925 | 6.0E-4 | 0.008487372 | 0.016587108 | 0.0126 | 0.7596261 | 0.021504173 | 0.005 | 0.081704415 | 0.1514034 | 0.1092 | 0.72125196 | 0.18195288 | 0.036 |
6.5 | 1.5600289E-4 | 3.073029E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.9762355 | 6.072107E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 6.684125E-4 | 0.0013163559 | 8.0E-4 | 0.6077384 | 0.001915566 | 6.0E-4 | 0.008107598 | 0.015910717 | 0.0119 | 0.74792355 | 0.020732755 | 0.0049 | 0.078181036 | 0.14570418 | 0.1045 | 0.7172066 | 0.17509195 | 0.0344 |
6.6 | 1.4046066E-4 | 2.7758576E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.080747 | 5.775025E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 6.018354E-4 | 0.0011891176 | 8.0E-4 | 0.67276776 | 0.0017884041 | 6.0E-4 | 0.0073027555 | 0.014382874 | 0.0111 | 0.7717512 | 0.018916711 | 0.0046 | 0.07067384 | 0.13282835 | 0.0949 | 0.7144559 | 0.1593638 | 0.0306 |
6.7 | 1.14696966E-4 | 2.3023236E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.8686876 | 4.301863E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 4.914658E-4 | 9.86342E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.6083083 | 0.0013859475 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0059671924 | 0.011943632 | 0.0094 | 0.7870303 | 0.015797053 | 0.0039 | 0.058094822 | 0.111717105 | 0.0774 | 0.6928214 | 0.13312472 | 0.0241 |
6.8 | 9.3874296E-5 | 1.8655111E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0720922 | 3.865138E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 4.0225635E-4 | 7.992634E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.62557596 | 0.0010990236 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0048864787 | 0.009688334 | 0.0073 | 0.75348353 | 0.012758301 | 0.0031 | 0.047804173 | 0.09170098 | 0.0633 | 0.6902871 | 0.109321974 | 0.0194 |
6.9 | 5.551852E-5 | 1.0598216E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.94355506 | 2.0597156E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.3791482E-4 | 4.541308E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.6606027 | 5.5408536E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0028927654 | 0.005515141 | 0.0032 | 0.5802209 | 0.0066090743 | 0.0011 | 0.028553981 | 0.053640194 | 0.0351 | 0.65436006 | 0.063198425 | 0.0101 |
7.0 | 4.2662363E-5 | 8.141774E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.141774E-5 | 0.0 | 1.8282588E-4 | 3.488869E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.57325166 | 3.488869E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0022236328 | 0.004239497 | 0.0019 | 0.4481664 | 0.0049365293 | 7.0E-4 | 0.022015138 | 0.04157589 | 0.0261 | 0.6277677 | 0.048668228 | 0.0074 |
7.1 | 3.305886E-5 | 6.2143736E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.2143736E-5 | 0.0 | 1.4167312E-4 | 2.663032E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.75102365 | 2.663032E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0017235056 | 0.0032374393 | 0.0015 | 0.46332914 | 0.003835497 | 6.0E-4 | 0.017101998 | 0.032036316 | 0.0211 | 0.65862757 | 0.037650503 | 0.0058 |
7.2 | 2.9856887E-5 | 5.6185974E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.6185974E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2795182E-4 | 2.407749E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.41532567 | 2.407749E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0015567001 | 0.00292751 | 0.0014 | 0.47822207 | 0.0035257537 | 6.0E-4 | 0.015458403 | 0.029057471 | 0.0198 | 0.6814082 | 0.03449475 | 0.0056 |
7.3 | 2.4559737E-5 | 4.5321412E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.5321412E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0525176E-4 | 1.9422024E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5148794 | 1.9422024E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0012806869 | 0.0023620797 | 0.0012 | 0.5080269 | 0.0029606624 | 6.0E-4 | 0.012733313 | 0.023532469 | 0.0154 | 0.65441495 | 0.027828926 | 0.0044 |
7.4 | 1.9002231E-5 | 3.451874E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.451874E-5 | 0.0 | 8.143559E-5 | 1.4792912E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.67599946 | 1.4792912E-4 | 0.0 | 9.910273E-4 | 0.0017995588 | 0.0011 | 0.61126095 | 0.002398479 | 6.0E-4 | 0.009866194 | 0.01799831 | 0.0127 | 0.70562184 | 0.021729916 | 0.0038 |
7.5 | 1.2783333E-5 | 2.2958719E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2958719E-5 | 0.0 | 5.4784563E-5 | 9.839083E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0163549 | 9.839083E-5 | 0.0 | 6.667979E-4 | 0.0011972557 | 7.0E-4 | 0.5846704 | 0.0015967768 | 4.0E-4 | 0.006648007 | 0.0120266555 | 0.0087 | 0.72339314 | 0.014496589 | 0.0025 |
7.6 | 4.8149627E-6 | 8.725462E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.725462E-6 | 0.0 | 2.063539E-5 | 3.7394308E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.7394308E-5 | 0.0 | 2.5120692E-4 | 4.5518178E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.21969245 | 5.5513624E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0025092314 | 0.004600609 | 0.0029 | 0.6303513 | 0.0053969286 | 8.0E-4 |
7.7 | 6.0838227E-7 | 1.1582868E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1582868E-6 | 0.0 | 2.6073499E-6 | 4.9640767E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.9640767E-6 | 0.0 | 3.174402E-5 | 6.0435963E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0435963E-5 | 0.0 | 3.1739488E-4 | 6.2984857E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.6350733 | 8.297226E-4 | 2.0E-4 |
7.8 | 4.5542808E-7 | 9.379453E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.379453E-7 | 0.0 | 1.9518332E-6 | 4.019759E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.019759E-6 | 0.0 | 2.376331E-5 | 4.8939473E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.8939473E-5 | 0.0 | 2.3760769E-4 | 5.120918E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.390555 | 6.120406E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.9 | 3.3016747E-7 | 7.085488E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.085488E-7 | 0.0 | 1.4150027E-6 | 3.036634E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.036634E-6 | 0.0 | 1.7227521E-5 | 3.6970396E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.6970396E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7226185E-4 | 3.847631E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.51980036 | 4.8472462E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
8.0 | 2.347038E-7 | 5.261874E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.261874E-7 | 0.0 | 1.0058731E-6 | 2.2550869E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2550869E-6 | 0.0 | 1.2246436E-5 | 2.7455339E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7455339E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2245761E-4 | 2.834492E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.3527969 | 3.8342085E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
8.1 | 1.18822804E-7 | 2.510997E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.510997E-7 | 0.0 | 5.092405E-7 | 1.0761411E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0761411E-6 | 0.0 | 6.1999854E-6 | 1.3101941E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3101941E-5 | 0.0 | 6.199812E-5 | 1.3453381E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3453381E-4 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (San Bernardino N)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.4273766E-4 | 3.1027544E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.9668828 | 4.1024442E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.115894E-4 | 0.0013290802 | 6.0E-4 | 0.45144004 | 0.0016286814 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0074207084 | 0.016062956 | 0.0098 | 0.6100994 | 0.019506736 | 0.0035 | 0.07177748 | 0.14784859 | 0.0981 | 0.66351664 | 0.1743505 | 0.0311 |
6.1 | 1.4273766E-4 | 3.1027544E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.9668828 | 4.1024442E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.115894E-4 | 0.0013290802 | 6.0E-4 | 0.45144004 | 0.0016286814 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0074207084 | 0.016062956 | 0.0098 | 0.6100994 | 0.019506736 | 0.0035 | 0.07177748 | 0.14784859 | 0.0981 | 0.66351664 | 0.1743505 | 0.0311 |
6.2 | 1.4273766E-4 | 3.1027544E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.9668828 | 4.1024442E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.115894E-4 | 0.0013290802 | 6.0E-4 | 0.45144004 | 0.0016286814 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0074207084 | 0.016062956 | 0.0098 | 0.6100994 | 0.019506736 | 0.0035 | 0.07177748 | 0.14784859 | 0.0981 | 0.66351664 | 0.1743505 | 0.0311 |
6.3 | 1.3730655E-4 | 2.993538E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.0021588 | 3.9932385E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.883239E-4 | 0.0012823195 | 6.0E-4 | 0.46790206 | 0.0015819349 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0071393442 | 0.01550185 | 0.0095 | 0.6128301 | 0.018849144 | 0.0034 | 0.06914291 | 0.1431491 | 0.095 | 0.6636437 | 0.16876894 | 0.0299 |
6.4 | 1.3730655E-4 | 2.993538E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.0021588 | 3.9932385E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.883239E-4 | 0.0012823195 | 6.0E-4 | 0.46790206 | 0.0015819349 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0071393442 | 0.01550185 | 0.0095 | 0.6128301 | 0.018849144 | 0.0034 | 0.06914291 | 0.1431491 | 0.095 | 0.6636437 | 0.16876894 | 0.0299 |
6.5 | 1.2942807E-4 | 2.8354194E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.0580446 | 3.8351357E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.545738E-4 | 0.0012146189 | 6.0E-4 | 0.4939821 | 0.0015142545 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0067310524 | 0.014688933 | 0.009 | 0.6127062 | 0.018038992 | 0.0034 | 0.06530788 | 0.13630696 | 0.0903 | 0.66247535 | 0.16074948 | 0.0283 |
6.6 | 1.1125901E-4 | 2.480459E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.80630237 | 3.480211E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.767372E-4 | 0.001062623 | 5.0E-4 | 0.47053376 | 0.0013623042 | 3.0E-4 | 0.005788839 | 0.012861304 | 0.0082 | 0.63757145 | 0.015921434 | 0.0031 | 0.056403454 | 0.12057618 | 0.081 | 0.67177445 | 0.14335325 | 0.0259 |
6.7 | 1.02209575E-4 | 2.2943947E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.8716896 | 3.294165E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.3796748E-4 | 9.829428E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.5086766 | 0.001282648 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0053192247 | 0.011902068 | 0.0077 | 0.64694643 | 0.014767552 | 0.0029 | 0.051936906 | 0.112358645 | 0.075 | 0.6675054 | 0.13348451 | 0.0238 |
6.8 | 9.610582E-5 | 2.1477597E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.9312029 | 3.147545E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.1181705E-4 | 9.2014443E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.54339296 | 0.0012198684 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0050023515 | 0.011145466 | 0.0072 | 0.6460026 | 0.013815373 | 0.0027 | 0.048912346 | 0.10578429 | 0.0704 | 0.66550523 | 0.12590414 | 0.0225 |
6.9 | 9.3877505E-5 | 2.0935519E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.9553142 | 3.0933425E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.0227012E-4 | 8.9692866E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.5574579 | 0.0011966596 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0048866454 | 0.010865662 | 0.0066 | 0.6074181 | 0.013338499 | 0.0025 | 0.04780577 | 0.1033734 | 0.0676 | 0.65393996 | 0.12256121 | 0.0214 |
7.0 | 9.1019785E-5 | 2.0265987E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.9868752 | 3.0263962E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.900265E-4 | 8.682538E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.5758685 | 0.0011679933 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0047382377 | 0.0105199665 | 0.0063 | 0.5988612 | 0.012696822 | 0.0022 | 0.046384744 | 0.10035603 | 0.0651 | 0.64869046 | 0.118798725 | 0.0205 |
7.1 | 8.771155E-5 | 1.9444637E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0285612 | 2.9442692E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.758525E-4 | 8.3307596E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.60018533 | 0.0011328261 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0045664064 | 0.010095717 | 0.0061 | 0.60421664 | 0.012075526 | 0.002 | 0.044737056 | 0.09668185 | 0.0623 | 0.6443816 | 0.11420622 | 0.0194 |
7.2 | 8.0830236E-5 | 1.7858752E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.119899 | 2.7856967E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.4636928E-4 | 7.6515076E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.653466 | 0.0010649213 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0042088944 | 0.009276018 | 0.0053 | 0.5713659 | 0.0110593205 | 0.0018 | 0.041300658 | 0.08945525 | 0.057 | 0.63719016 | 0.1059361 | 0.0181 |
7.3 | 7.7668235E-5 | 1.6811478E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.1896634 | 2.6809797E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.328214E-4 | 7.20293E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.5553295 | 9.20149E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0040445733 | 0.008734378 | 0.0048 | 0.54955256 | 0.010221276 | 0.0015 | 0.03971748 | 0.08475616 | 0.054 | 0.63712186 | 0.10049835 | 0.0172 |
7.4 | 7.520177E-5 | 1.6038917E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.246967 | 2.6037314E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.2225347E-4 | 6.8720116E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.5820712 | 8.8706374E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0039163795 | 0.008334639 | 0.0047 | 0.5639117 | 0.0097229695 | 0.0014 | 0.038480744 | 0.0812339 | 0.0513 | 0.6315098 | 0.096026026 | 0.0161 |
7.5 | 7.274697E-5 | 1.5333353E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.3043462 | 2.533182E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.1173544E-4 | 6.569782E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.60884815 | 8.5684686E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.003788775 | 0.007969426 | 0.0045 | 0.564658 | 0.009358269 | 0.0014 | 0.03724827 | 0.07797131 | 0.0481 | 0.6168936 | 0.09189394 | 0.0151 |
7.6 | 7.1185845E-5 | 1.4907555E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.3416016 | 2.4906066E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.0504653E-4 | 6.3873886E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.62623405 | 8.386111E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0037076178 | 0.007748963 | 0.0044 | 0.5678179 | 0.009138115 | 0.0014 | 0.036463667 | 0.07597367 | 0.0467 | 0.61468667 | 0.08974166 | 0.0149 |
7.7 | 6.709961E-5 | 1.3828526E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.4462857 | 2.3827143E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.8753807E-4 | 5.9251656E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.6750866 | 7.9239806E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.003495157 | 0.007190062 | 0.0039 | 0.5424153 | 0.008480716 | 0.0013 | 0.034406938 | 0.07084266 | 0.0434 | 0.61262524 | 0.08385086 | 0.014 |
7.8 | 6.300812E-5 | 1.2737786E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.5701317 | 2.2736512E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.7000686E-4 | 5.457909E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.7328814 | 7.4568175E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0032823787 | 0.0066247834 | 0.0038 | 0.57360363 | 0.007916171 | 0.0013 | 0.032343175 | 0.065600194 | 0.0395 | 0.6021324 | 0.07737363 | 0.0126 |
7.9 | 4.983037E-5 | 9.3563816E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0687892 | 1.9355446E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.1354125E-4 | 4.009262E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.7482674 | 6.00846E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0025967648 | 0.0048703603 | 0.0028 | 0.5749062 | 0.00586549 | 0.001 | 0.025666296 | 0.048933394 | 0.0294 | 0.60081667 | 0.058348954 | 0.0099 |
8.0 | 3.2211527E-5 | 5.1141207E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.9553703 | 1.5113609E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.380421E-4 | 2.191582E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.3688742 | 4.1911437E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0016793669 | 0.002664988 | 0.0018 | 0.67542523 | 0.0033631222 | 7.0E-4 | 0.016667323 | 0.027303511 | 0.0166 | 0.60798043 | 0.03313969 | 0.006 |
8.1 | 1.743376E-5 | 1.7819275E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 5.611901 | 1.1781749E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 7.471398E-5 | 7.636609E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.6189635 | 2.7635082E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 9.0926304E-4 | 9.293611E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.6456048 | 0.0012290824 | 3.0E-4 | 0.009055517 | 0.009959804 | 0.0065 | 0.65262324 | 0.012434904 | 0.0025 |
8.2 | 7.831616E-6 | 4.781141E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.781141E-6 | 0.0 | 3.3563636E-5 | 2.0490445E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.880324 | 1.20488396E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.0856065E-4 | 2.4944267E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.80178744 | 3.494177E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004078103 | 0.0028377294 | 0.002 | 0.70478886 | 0.0034360266 | 6.0E-4 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 6.9765395E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.9765395E-7 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 2.9899422E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9899422E-6 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.640195E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.640195E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.3255524E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.46236867 | 5.32512E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
Elsinore (Glen Ivy) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.9251605E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.68372315 | 4.9245753E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0012531171 | 8.0E-4 | 0.638408 | 0.0018523652 | 6.0E-4 | 0.008420097 | 0.015171497 | 0.0095 | 0.6261742 | 0.018322948 | 0.0032 | 0.081081145 | 0.13933165 | 0.0915 | 0.65670645 | 0.1641189 | 0.0288 |
6.1 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.9251605E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.68372315 | 4.9245753E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0012531171 | 8.0E-4 | 0.638408 | 0.0018523652 | 6.0E-4 | 0.008420097 | 0.015171497 | 0.0095 | 0.6261742 | 0.018322948 | 0.0032 | 0.081081145 | 0.13933165 | 0.0915 | 0.65670645 | 0.1641189 | 0.0288 |
6.2 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.9251605E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.68372315 | 4.9245753E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0012531171 | 8.0E-4 | 0.638408 | 0.0018523652 | 6.0E-4 | 0.008420097 | 0.015171497 | 0.0095 | 0.6261742 | 0.018322948 | 0.0032 | 0.081081145 | 0.13933165 | 0.0915 | 0.65670645 | 0.1641189 | 0.0288 |
6.3 | 1.0111737E-4 | 1.7629775E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.56722224 | 2.7628013E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.332882E-4 | 7.554589E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.39710963 | 8.5538335E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005262531 | 0.009179472 | 0.006 | 0.65363234 | 0.010962949 | 0.0018 | 0.0513964 | 0.08675405 | 0.0624 | 0.7192748 | 0.10410572 | 0.019 |
6.4 | 1.0111737E-4 | 1.7629775E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.56722224 | 2.7628013E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.332882E-4 | 7.554589E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.39710963 | 8.5538335E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005262531 | 0.009179472 | 0.006 | 0.65363234 | 0.010962949 | 0.0018 | 0.0513964 | 0.08675405 | 0.0624 | 0.7192748 | 0.10410572 | 0.019 |
6.5 | 3.6624708E-5 | 4.609726E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.1693263 | 1.4609264E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.569536E-4 | 1.9754675E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.5186279 | 2.97527E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.001909235 | 0.0024028358 | 0.0018 | 0.74911493 | 0.0027021149 | 3.0E-4 | 0.01892915 | 0.023553308 | 0.0191 | 0.81092644 | 0.028826121 | 0.0054 |
6.6 | 2.5051324E-5 | 2.597092E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.597092E-5 | 0.0 | 1.073584E-4 | 1.1129944E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.89847714 | 1.1129944E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0013063047 | 0.0013542724 | 0.0011 | 0.8122443 | 0.0015540015 | 2.0E-4 | 0.012986525 | 0.013476744 | 0.0101 | 0.7494391 | 0.016140357 | 0.0027 |
6.7 | 2.2189772E-5 | 2.1921272E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1921272E-5 | 0.0 | 9.509556E-5 | 9.394513E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0644511 | 9.394513E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0011571734 | 0.0011432177 | 8.0E-4 | 0.6997792 | 0.0012431034 | 1.0E-4 | 0.011511663 | 0.01139007 | 0.0076 | 0.66724783 | 0.013169568 | 0.0018 |
6.8 | 1.6654378E-5 | 1.4349544E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4349544E-5 | 0.0 | 7.137396E-5 | 6.149663E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.6261055 | 6.149663E-5 | 0.0 | 8.686314E-4 | 7.4846926E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.53442407 | 8.483944E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.008652439 | 0.007464598 | 0.0053 | 0.71001816 | 0.00865564 | 0.0012 |
6.9 | 1.5042909E-5 | 1.2265607E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2265607E-5 | 0.0 | 6.446802E-5 | 5.2565847E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.2565847E-5 | 0.0 | 7.8461546E-4 | 6.398044E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.46889332 | 7.397404E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.007818509 | 0.0063835797 | 0.0045 | 0.70493364 | 0.007178473 | 8.0E-4 |
7.0 | 1.4361385E-5 | 1.1392162E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1392162E-5 | 0.0 | 6.154734E-5 | 4.8822654E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.8822654E-5 | 0.0 | 7.490812E-4 | 5.9425656E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.50483245 | 6.9419714E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.007465612 | 0.005930479 | 0.0042 | 0.7082058 | 0.006526921 | 6.0E-4 |
7.1 | 1.3265571E-5 | 1.0195621E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0195621E-5 | 0.0 | 5.6851208E-5 | 4.3694803E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.3694803E-5 | 0.0 | 6.919436E-4 | 5.3185684E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.5640615 | 6.318037E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006897931 | 0.005309098 | 0.0042 | 0.79109484 | 0.0059059127 | 6.0E-4 |
7.2 | 1.1596403E-5 | 8.46623E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.46623E-6 | 0.0 | 4.9697923E-5 | 3.6283345E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.6283345E-5 | 0.0 | 6.049042E-4 | 4.4166186E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.6792527 | 5.416177E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006032603 | 0.0044091586 | 0.0037 | 0.8391624 | 0.005006513 | 6.0E-4 |
7.3 | 1.0150827E-5 | 7.2083226E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.2083226E-6 | 0.0 | 4.3502816E-5 | 3.0892454E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0892454E-5 | 0.0 | 5.2951806E-4 | 3.7605214E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.79776174 | 4.7601454E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005282581 | 0.0037545003 | 0.0035 | 0.93221456 | 0.0042526233 | 5.0E-4 |
7.4 | 9.080705E-6 | 6.32672E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.32672E-6 | 0.0 | 3.8916725E-5 | 2.7114238E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7114238E-5 | 0.0 | 4.7370812E-4 | 3.300672E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.9089058 | 4.3003418E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004726996 | 0.0032959157 | 0.0028 | 0.8495363 | 0.0037942675 | 5.0E-4 |
7.5 | 7.671649E-6 | 5.204376E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.204376E-6 | 0.0 | 3.287808E-5 | 2.2304284E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2304284E-5 | 0.0 | 4.0021708E-4 | 2.7152206E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.1048826 | 3.714949E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0039949706 | 0.0027120274 | 0.0021 | 0.7743285 | 0.0032106712 | 5.0E-4 |
7.6 | 6.990086E-6 | 4.6680852E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.6680852E-6 | 0.0 | 2.9957167E-5 | 2.0005933E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0005933E-5 | 0.0 | 3.6466747E-4 | 2.4354616E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.2317994 | 3.4352182E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0036406964 | 0.002432908 | 0.002 | 0.8220615 | 0.0029316915 | 5.0E-4 |
7.7 | 4.163505E-6 | 2.3176701E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3176701E-6 | 0.0 | 1.7843471E-5 | 9.932838E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.932838E-6 | 0.0 | 2.172226E-4 | 1.20926336E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.20926336E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0021701038 | 0.0012086778 | 8.0E-4 | 0.6618803 | 0.001408436 | 2.0E-4 |
7.8 | 2.2692414E-7 | 9.313546E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.313546E-8 | 0.0 | 9.725317E-7 | 3.9915196E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.9915196E-7 | 0.0 | 1.1840509E-5 | 4.8596676E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.8596676E-6 | 0.0 | 1.1839878E-4 | 4.859593E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.859593E-5 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.4267709E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.4267709E-9 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.4686159E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4686159E-8 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.7880397E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7880397E-7 | 0.0 | 3.4838679E-6 | 1.7880385E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7880385E-6 | 0.0 |
Calaveras (So) - Paicines extension 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5183659E-4 | 3.032064E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.3192333 | 6.031154E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 6.5056595E-4 | 0.0012982524 | 0.001 | 0.77026623 | 0.0017976033 | 5.0E-4 | 0.007891912 | 0.015593609 | 0.0104 | 0.6669399 | 0.019629674 | 0.0041 | 0.076174594 | 0.13766919 | 0.0923 | 0.6704477 | 0.1629355 | 0.0293 |
6.1 | 1.5024997E-4 | 3.0015956E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.3326246 | 6.000695E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 6.437695E-4 | 0.0012852083 | 0.001 | 0.778084 | 0.0017845657 | 5.0E-4 | 0.0078097614 | 0.015437521 | 0.0102 | 0.66072786 | 0.019375771 | 0.004 | 0.075409345 | 0.13634166 | 0.0916 | 0.6718416 | 0.16121502 | 0.0288 |
6.2 | 1.2743923E-4 | 2.5119618E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.5923809 | 5.5112084E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 5.460538E-4 | 0.0010756905 | 0.001 | 0.9296354 | 0.0015751527 | 5.0E-4 | 0.0066279583 | 0.012947148 | 0.0085 | 0.65651524 | 0.016204422 | 0.0033 | 0.064337276 | 0.11644054 | 0.0789 | 0.6775991 | 0.13826446 | 0.0247 |
6.3 | 1.1525114E-4 | 2.2406246E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.7852165 | 5.2399526E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 4.9383997E-4 | 9.5960597E-4 | 9.0E-4 | 0.9378849 | 0.0014591261 | 5.0E-4 | 0.0059959386 | 0.0115687195 | 0.0075 | 0.64829993 | 0.014534013 | 0.003 | 0.058367174 | 0.1055504 | 0.0717 | 0.6792963 | 0.12558608 | 0.0224 |
6.4 | 1.07200925E-4 | 2.0648453E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.937191 | 5.064226E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 4.5935164E-4 | 8.843949E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.79150164 | 0.0013839527 | 5.0E-4 | 0.0055782744 | 0.0106741395 | 0.0072 | 0.67452747 | 0.013543184 | 0.0029 | 0.0544031 | 0.098371424 | 0.0668 | 0.67905897 | 0.11685481 | 0.0205 |
6.5 | 9.69631E-5 | 1.8546813E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 2.1567047 | 4.8541249E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 4.1548995E-4 | 7.944251E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.88114035 | 0.0012940279 | 5.0E-4 | 0.0050468626 | 0.009598055 | 0.0066 | 0.6876393 | 0.0121731 | 0.0026 | 0.04933773 | 0.08927215 | 0.0605 | 0.67770296 | 0.10602954 | 0.0184 |
6.6 | 8.0552316E-5 | 1.4884338E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 2.6873887 | 4.4879873E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 3.4517853E-4 | 6.377057E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.097685 | 0.0011373869 | 5.0E-4 | 0.0041944524 | 0.007730144 | 0.0056 | 0.7244367 | 0.010111592 | 0.0024 | 0.04116161 | 0.07403277 | 0.0522 | 0.7050932 | 0.08894084 | 0.0161 |
6.7 | 7.815757E-5 | 1.4426565E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 2.7726629 | 4.4422236E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 3.34918E-4 | 6.181004E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.1325021 | 0.0011177914 | 5.0E-4 | 0.004070005 | 0.007493781 | 0.0055 | 0.7339419 | 0.009875796 | 0.0024 | 0.039962657 | 0.07188739 | 0.0501 | 0.6969234 | 0.086273134 | 0.0155 |
6.8 | 6.965264E-5 | 1.2550168E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.5936042 | 3.2547658E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 2.9847719E-4 | 5.377415E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.74385184 | 8.375802E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0036279052 | 0.006524231 | 0.0044 | 0.67440903 | 0.008511182 | 0.002 | 0.03569247 | 0.06302707 | 0.0441 | 0.6996994 | 0.07530141 | 0.0131 |
6.9 | 5.8000453E-5 | 9.988629E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0011383 | 1.998763E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.4854968E-4 | 4.2801443E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.7009109 | 6.279288E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0030218933 | 0.00519872 | 0.0033 | 0.63477165 | 0.0065914416 | 0.0014 | 0.029811295 | 0.050786078 | 0.0358 | 0.7049176 | 0.06103759 | 0.0108 |
7.0 | 4.9865852E-5 | 8.426625E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1867148 | 1.8425782E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.1369329E-4 | 3.6109154E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.83081424 | 5.6101935E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0025986114 | 0.0043875147 | 0.0027 | 0.61538255 | 0.0055822497 | 0.0012 | 0.025684336 | 0.043122705 | 0.0303 | 0.7026461 | 0.051925976 | 0.0092 |
7.1 | 4.283875E-5 | 6.986125E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4314088 | 1.6985426E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.8358172E-4 | 2.9937128E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.0021001 | 4.993114E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0022328163 | 0.003638809 | 0.0024 | 0.65955645 | 0.0048344424 | 0.0012 | 0.022105146 | 0.036136176 | 0.0253 | 0.7001294 | 0.043557927 | 0.0077 |
7.2 | 3.450115E-5 | 5.468102E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.468102E-5 | 0.0 | 1.478537E-4 | 2.3432633E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.42675528 | 2.3432633E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0017986323 | 0.0028492191 | 0.0017 | 0.5966547 | 0.0036469398 | 8.0E-4 | 0.017841442 | 0.028552301 | 0.021 | 0.73549235 | 0.0341867 | 0.0058 |
7.3 | 2.5709045E-5 | 3.9722894E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.9722894E-5 | 0.0 | 1.1017697E-4 | 1.7022996E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.58744067 | 1.7022996E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0013405791 | 0.0020705962 | 0.0014 | 0.67613375 | 0.0027691468 | 7.0E-4 | 0.013325208 | 0.020875327 | 0.0148 | 0.70897096 | 0.025281388 | 0.0045 |
7.4 | 1.8003093E-5 | 2.7765243E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7765243E-5 | 0.0 | 7.715383E-5 | 1.18988486E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.84041744 | 1.18988486E-4 | 0.0 | 9.3894306E-4 | 0.0014477244 | 0.0011 | 0.75981313 | 0.0019470005 | 5.0E-4 | 0.009349857 | 0.014686927 | 0.0109 | 0.74215657 | 0.017938461 | 0.0033 |
7.5 | 1.5595824E-5 | 2.5115387E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5115387E-5 | 0.0 | 6.683753E-5 | 1.0763294E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.9290836 | 1.0763294E-4 | 0.0 | 8.134431E-4 | 0.0013096455 | 9.0E-4 | 0.6872089 | 0.0018089907 | 5.0E-4 | 0.008104719 | 0.013305535 | 0.0096 | 0.7215043 | 0.016265618 | 0.003 |
7.6 | 1.1110309E-5 | 1.8640747E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8640747E-5 | 0.0 | 4.761474E-5 | 7.988648E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.988648E-5 | 0.0 | 5.795553E-4 | 9.721852E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.61716634 | 0.0013717964 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0057804612 | 0.009919345 | 0.0071 | 0.71577305 | 0.012196531 | 0.0023 |
7.7 | 6.2140443E-6 | 9.999991E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.999991E-6 | 0.0 | 2.6631347E-5 | 4.2856398E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.2856398E-5 | 0.0 | 3.241884E-4 | 5.216518E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.5750962 | 7.215475E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0032371588 | 0.005405837 | 0.0039 | 0.7214424 | 0.0067982688 | 0.0014 |
7.8 | 5.305533E-6 | 9.042565E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.042565E-6 | 0.0 | 2.27378E-5 | 3.875327E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.875327E-5 | 0.0 | 2.7679754E-4 | 4.7171902E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.6359718 | 6.716247E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0027645302 | 0.0048840386 | 0.0036 | 0.73709494 | 0.006177689 | 0.0013 |
7.9 | 3.363505E-6 | 7.0971623E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0971623E-6 | 0.0 | 1.4414942E-5 | 3.0416057E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0416057E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7548777E-4 | 3.7025264E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.81025755 | 5.7017856E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0017534926 | 0.0038095808 | 0.0031 | 0.81373787 | 0.005005009 | 0.0012 |
8.0 | 2.0271132E-6 | 4.2518654E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.2518654E-6 | 0.0 | 8.687599E-6 | 1.8222154E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8222154E-5 | 0.0 | 1.05766376E-4 | 2.2183218E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.45079124 | 3.2181E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0010571606 | 0.0022725454 | 0.0017 | 0.74805987 | 0.0030707275 | 8.0E-4 |
8.1 | 1.2206116E-6 | 2.2872487E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2872487E-6 | 0.0 | 5.2311816E-6 | 9.8024575E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.8024575E-6 | 0.0 | 6.3687774E-5 | 1.1933842E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.8379531 | 2.193265E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.366953E-4 | 0.0012269221 | 0.0011 | 0.8965524 | 0.0017263087 | 5.0E-4 |
Hayward (So) extension 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1721256E-4 | 2.3552943E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.2737262 | 5.354588E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 5.022428E-4 | 0.0010087783 | 7.0E-4 | 0.69390863 | 0.0016081731 | 6.0E-4 | 0.0060976758 | 0.012189463 | 0.011 | 0.9024188 | 0.016041923 | 0.0039 | 0.0593305 | 0.11236339 | 0.0926 | 0.8241118 | 0.13721721 | 0.028 |
6.1 | 6.99169E-5 | 1.3713294E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.4584389 | 3.371055E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 2.9960944E-4 | 5.874885E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.68086433 | 8.873123E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0036416445 | 0.007123227 | 0.0066 | 0.9265463 | 0.009704707 | 0.0026 | 0.035825435 | 0.06739801 | 0.0496 | 0.73592675 | 0.08297247 | 0.0167 |
6.2 | 6.99169E-5 | 1.3713294E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.4584389 | 3.371055E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 2.9960944E-4 | 5.874885E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.68086433 | 8.873123E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0036416445 | 0.007123227 | 0.0066 | 0.9265463 | 0.009704707 | 0.0026 | 0.035825435 | 0.06739801 | 0.0496 | 0.73592675 | 0.08297247 | 0.0167 |
6.3 | 6.970908E-5 | 1.3681513E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.4618267 | 3.3678775E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 2.9871898E-4 | 5.861274E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.68244547 | 8.8595157E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0036308395 | 0.007106802 | 0.0066 | 0.92868775 | 0.009688324 | 0.0026 | 0.035720866 | 0.06724723 | 0.0495 | 0.7360898 | 0.0828242 | 0.0167 |
6.4 | 6.9517155E-5 | 1.3648531E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.4653592 | 3.36458E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 2.9789665E-4 | 5.847147E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.6840943 | 8.845393E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0036208609 | 0.0070897634 | 0.0066 | 0.93091965 | 0.0096713295 | 0.0026 | 0.03562429 | 0.06709161 | 0.0493 | 0.73481625 | 0.082577884 | 0.0166 |
6.5 | 4.786248E-5 | 9.3337476E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.1427622 | 2.933188E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 2.0510878E-4 | 3.9995875E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.75007737 | 6.9983874E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0024943394 | 0.0048590563 | 0.0054 | 1.1113269 | 0.0072473944 | 0.0024 | 0.02466527 | 0.04654288 | 0.0346 | 0.7434005 | 0.057698328 | 0.0117 |
6.6 | 4.4662214E-5 | 8.802983E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.2719572 | 2.8801223E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.9139545E-4 | 3.772187E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.79529464 | 6.771055E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0023277493 | 0.0045834226 | 0.005 | 1.0908879 | 0.0068728807 | 0.0023 | 0.02303517 | 0.04394475 | 0.0325 | 0.739565 | 0.05427015 | 0.0108 |
6.7 | 3.884542E-5 | 7.791142E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2835089 | 1.7790362E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.6646975E-4 | 3.3386578E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.5990431 | 5.33799E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.002024885 | 0.004057677 | 0.0043 | 1.0597197 | 0.0061491556 | 0.0021 | 0.020065336 | 0.03900498 | 0.0275 | 0.70503813 | 0.047846135 | 0.0092 |
6.8 | 3.4221863E-5 | 6.790448E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4726567 | 1.678977E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4665688E-4 | 2.909891E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.687311 | 4.909309E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0017840851 | 0.0035374507 | 0.0036 | 1.0176821 | 0.0054307296 | 0.0019 | 0.017698295 | 0.034127906 | 0.0238 | 0.69737655 | 0.041275356 | 0.0074 |
6.9 | 1.6927712E-5 | 2.97324E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.3633342 | 1.2972942E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 7.2545314E-5 | 1.2741867E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.78481436 | 2.2740592E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 8.828813E-4 | 0.001550274 | 0.0012 | 0.77405673 | 0.002049499 | 5.0E-4 | 0.008793819 | 0.01530549 | 0.009 | 0.5880243 | 0.017570287 | 0.0023 |
7.0 | 1.2509653E-5 | 2.2215043E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2215043E-5 | 0.0 | 5.3611697E-5 | 9.5204094E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.5204094E-5 | 0.0 | 6.525269E-4 | 0.0011585366 | 6.0E-4 | 0.51789474 | 0.001458189 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0065061417 | 0.011463639 | 0.006 | 0.523394 | 0.012946444 | 0.0015 |
7.1 | 8.751583E-6 | 1.4751799E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4751799E-5 | 0.0 | 3.750624E-5 | 6.32205E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.32205E-5 | 0.0 | 4.5654282E-4 | 7.6944346E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.5198563 | 0.0010692126 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0045560603 | 0.0076783346 | 0.0047 | 0.6121119 | 0.009166817 | 0.0015 |
7.2 | 6.354379E-6 | 1.1349041E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1349041E-5 | 0.0 | 2.7232769E-5 | 4.8637867E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.8637867E-5 | 0.0 | 3.3150852E-4 | 5.9200986E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.6756644 | 8.918322E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0033101442 | 0.005926665 | 0.0041 | 0.69178873 | 0.007119553 | 0.0012 |
7.3 | 4.645554E-6 | 8.697949E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.697949E-6 | 0.0 | 1.9909365E-5 | 3.727641E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.727641E-5 | 0.0 | 2.4236954E-4 | 4.5374964E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.8815434 | 7.5361354E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0024210536 | 0.004550928 | 0.0034 | 0.7471004 | 0.0054468317 | 9.0E-4 |
7.4 | 4.23437E-6 | 7.884618E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.884618E-6 | 0.0 | 1.8147173E-5 | 3.3790802E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3790802E-5 | 0.0 | 2.2091944E-4 | 4.113291E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.729343 | 7.112057E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0022069993 | 0.004128105 | 0.003 | 0.7267257 | 0.00502439 | 9.0E-4 |
7.5 | 2.2187417E-6 | 3.9043584E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.9043584E-6 | 0.0 | 9.508858E-6 | 1.6732873E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6732873E-5 | 0.0 | 1.157642E-4 | 2.0370622E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.49090302 | 3.0368584E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0011570391 | 0.0020493872 | 0.0014 | 0.68313104 | 0.0022489773 | 2.0E-4 |
7.6 | 2.7952495E-8 | 3.8377937E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.8377937E-8 | 0.0 | 1.1979641E-7 | 1.6447686E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6447686E-7 | 0.0 | 1.4585203E-6 | 2.0025038E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0025038E-6 | 0.0 | 1.4585107E-5 | 2.0106805E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0106805E-5 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.7192724E-8 | 2.318467E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.318467E-8 | 0.0 | 7.36831E-8 | 9.9362865E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.9362865E-8 | 0.0 | 8.9709135E-7 | 1.2097422E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2097422E-6 | 0.0 | 8.970877E-6 | 1.2155684E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2155684E-5 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Offshore) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.7072787E-4 | 1.8788998E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5322264 | 2.878712E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 7.3148566E-4 | 8.049966E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.37267238 | 9.049161E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.008869528 | 0.009757282 | 0.0065 | 0.6661691 | 0.012529962 | 0.0028 | 0.085237645 | 0.09488444 | 0.0675 | 0.7113916 | 0.121675864 | 0.0296 |
6.1 | 1.7072787E-4 | 1.8788998E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5322264 | 2.878712E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 7.3148566E-4 | 8.049966E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.37267238 | 9.049161E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.008869528 | 0.009757282 | 0.0065 | 0.6661691 | 0.012529962 | 0.0028 | 0.085237645 | 0.09488444 | 0.0675 | 0.7113916 | 0.121675864 | 0.0296 |
6.2 | 1.6312556E-4 | 1.7988299E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5559169 | 2.79865E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.989222E-4 | 7.707017E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.38925567 | 8.7062456E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.008476226 | 0.009343399 | 0.0063 | 0.67427284 | 0.012117237 | 0.0028 | 0.08160117 | 0.09097799 | 0.0646 | 0.71006185 | 0.11697602 | 0.0286 |
6.3 | 1.5103363E-4 | 1.6488209E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.606494 | 2.648656E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.471264E-4 | 7.064483E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.42465955 | 8.063776E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.007850339 | 0.008567513 | 0.0059 | 0.6886479 | 0.011046095 | 0.0025 | 0.075787395 | 0.08371411 | 0.059 | 0.7047796 | 0.106987774 | 0.0254 |
6.4 | 1.5047993E-4 | 1.6374406E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.6107092 | 2.6372768E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.4475456E-4 | 7.015736E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.42761016 | 8.015034E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.007821669 | 0.008508627 | 0.0059 | 0.6934138 | 0.010987356 | 0.0025 | 0.0755203 | 0.08319424 | 0.0587 | 0.7055777 | 0.106389426 | 0.0253 |
6.5 | 1.2760791E-4 | 1.3392228E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.7467018 | 2.3390888E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.467764E-4 | 5.738277E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.52280504 | 6.737703E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0066367025 | 0.0069642337 | 0.0042 | 0.60308146 | 0.008950305 | 0.002 | 0.064419635 | 0.06866497 | 0.0451 | 0.65681237 | 0.08701227 | 0.0197 |
6.6 | 1.1063525E-4 | 1.1251009E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.88880914 | 2.1249884E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.740649E-4 | 4.82098E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.4148534 | 5.820498E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0057564764 | 0.005853939 | 0.0027 | 0.46122792 | 0.0070469137 | 0.0012 | 0.05609626 | 0.05804642 | 0.0358 | 0.6167478 | 0.07302348 | 0.0159 |
6.7 | 1.0391049E-4 | 1.03543854E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.96577436 | 2.035335E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.4525467E-4 | 4.4368487E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.45077038 | 5.436405E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0054075094 | 0.005388662 | 0.0025 | 0.46393704 | 0.006482735 | 0.0011 | 0.052778035 | 0.053603534 | 0.0318 | 0.5932445 | 0.06675845 | 0.0139 |
6.8 | 1.0096706E-4 | 9.873078E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0128554 | 1.9872091E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.3264418E-4 | 4.230642E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.47274148 | 5.230219E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0052547283 | 0.00513881 | 0.0023 | 0.44757447 | 0.006133671 | 0.001 | 0.051321987 | 0.051328793 | 0.03 | 0.5844673 | 0.06394612 | 0.0133 |
6.9 | 9.800265E-5 | 9.309545E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0741663 | 1.9308615E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.1994374E-4 | 3.9892035E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.5013532 | 4.9888046E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0051008356 | 0.004846199 | 0.0022 | 0.45396402 | 0.005841353 | 0.001 | 0.049853306 | 0.048679516 | 0.0279 | 0.5731363 | 0.060285624 | 0.0122 |
7.0 | 9.4642375E-5 | 8.730125E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1454589 | 1.8729252E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.0554712E-4 | 3.740954E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.53462297 | 4.7405798E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004926363 | 0.0045452532 | 0.0022 | 0.48402143 | 0.005540708 | 0.001 | 0.048185747 | 0.045889534 | 0.0262 | 0.57093626 | 0.056670982 | 0.0113 |
7.1 | 9.0996844E-5 | 8.090374E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2360368 | 1.8089564E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.8992817E-4 | 3.4668506E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.5768925 | 4.4665037E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004737046 | 0.0042128693 | 0.0021 | 0.4984726 | 0.0052086567 | 0.001 | 0.04637333 | 0.04277487 | 0.0245 | 0.5727662 | 0.052825734 | 0.0105 |
7.2 | 8.848287E-5 | 7.724345E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2946081 | 1.7723572E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.791572E-4 | 3.3100217E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.60422564 | 4.3096908E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004606472 | 0.0040226504 | 0.0019 | 0.4723254 | 0.0050186277 | 0.001 | 0.045121472 | 0.04094475 | 0.0231 | 0.56417483 | 0.050055776 | 0.0095 |
7.3 | 7.9280784E-5 | 5.9151804E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.6905655 | 1.5914589E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.3973053E-4 | 2.5348365E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.7890055 | 3.534583E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004128377 | 0.0030818924 | 0.0016 | 0.5191615 | 0.0040788106 | 0.001 | 0.040525194 | 0.031847615 | 0.0184 | 0.5777513 | 0.039496016 | 0.0079 |
7.4 | 6.468038E-5 | 3.6469926E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.6469926E-5 | 0.0 | 2.771722E-4 | 1.5629063E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.6398337 | 1.5629063E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0033693502 | 0.0019012319 | 9.0E-4 | 0.4733773 | 0.0025000912 | 6.0E-4 | 0.0331872 | 0.02006188 | 0.0109 | 0.543319 | 0.024373608 | 0.0044 |
7.5 | 4.930574E-5 | 1.1981234E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1981234E-5 | 0.0 | 2.1129321E-4 | 5.1347146E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.947528 | 5.1347146E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0025694598 | 6.249737E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.3200135 | 7.2491117E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.02539953 | 0.0070586544 | 0.0035 | 0.4958452 | 0.008051596 | 0.001 |
7.6 | 4.612566E-5 | 9.685278E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.685278E-6 | 0.0 | 1.9766642E-4 | 4.1507683E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.1507683E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0024039324 | 5.052401E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.19792569 | 6.051896E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.023780935 | 0.0057867896 | 0.0024 | 0.41473773 | 0.0065821605 | 8.0E-4 |
7.7 | 3.9435414E-5 | 5.0818167E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0818167E-6 | 0.0 | 1.6899795E-4 | 2.1779033E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1779033E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0020556084 | 2.6512763E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.37717685 | 3.6510112E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.020366974 | 0.0032383797 | 0.0013 | 0.40143532 | 0.0037367605 | 5.0E-4 |
7.8 | 2.7787428E-5 | 3.4085647E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.4085647E-6 | 0.0 | 1.1908354E-4 | 1.4608052E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4608052E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0014488777 | 1.7783855E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7783855E-4 | 0.0 | 0.014394675 | 0.0021755663 | 8.0E-4 | 0.36772034 | 0.0024749136 | 3.0E-4 |
7.9 | 1.590671E-5 | 2.771042E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.771042E-6 | 0.0 | 6.816983E-5 | 1.1875841E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1875841E-5 | 0.0 | 8.2965166E-4 | 1.445788E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.445788E-4 | 0.0 | 0.008265611 | 0.0017431267 | 8.0E-4 | 0.45894542 | 0.0020426037 | 3.0E-4 |
8.0 | 9.193638E-6 | 2.3671562E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3671562E-6 | 0.0 | 3.940071E-5 | 1.0144915E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0144915E-5 | 0.0 | 4.7959806E-4 | 1.2350736E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2350736E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0047856434 | 0.0014800847 | 7.0E-4 | 0.4729459 | 0.0017796407 | 3.0E-4 |
8.1 | 5.601576E-6 | 2.0290495E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0290495E-6 | 0.0 | 2.4006533E-5 | 8.695897E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.695897E-6 | 0.0 | 2.9224035E-4 | 1.05867424E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.05867424E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0029185633 | 0.0012829766 | 7.0E-4 | 0.5456062 | 0.0015825917 | 3.0E-4 |
8.2 | 4.3508785E-6 | 1.689455E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.689455E-6 | 0.0 | 1.864649E-5 | 7.2405014E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.2405014E-6 | 0.0 | 2.2699735E-4 | 8.814956E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.814956E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0022676561 | 0.0010627359 | 6.0E-4 | 0.56458056 | 0.001362417 | 3.0E-4 |
8.3 | 1.9573292E-6 | 6.8427966E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.8427966E-7 | 0.0 | 8.388526E-6 | 2.932624E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.932624E-6 | 0.0 | 1.0212552E-4 | 3.5704124E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5704124E-5 | 0.0 | 0.001020786 | 4.2527242E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.47028682 | 5.252299E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
San Andreas (Cholame) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2302514E-4 | 2.443905E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.81836236 | 3.443661E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.27144E-4 | 0.0010469691 | 5.0E-4 | 0.477569 | 0.0012467597 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0063991086 | 0.012672823 | 0.0078 | 0.6154903 | 0.015634805 | 0.003 | 0.06217949 | 0.12118142 | 0.0815 | 0.6725453 | 0.14728233 | 0.0297 |
6.1 | 1.2302514E-4 | 2.443905E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.81836236 | 3.443661E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.27144E-4 | 0.0010469691 | 5.0E-4 | 0.477569 | 0.0012467597 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0063991086 | 0.012672823 | 0.0078 | 0.6154903 | 0.015634805 | 0.003 | 0.06217949 | 0.12118142 | 0.0815 | 0.6725453 | 0.14728233 | 0.0297 |
6.2 | 1.2203569E-4 | 2.4256832E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.82451 | 3.4254405E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.2290526E-4 | 0.0010391659 | 5.0E-4 | 0.48115513 | 0.0012389581 | 2.0E-4 | 0.006347804 | 0.0125789195 | 0.0077 | 0.61213523 | 0.015442441 | 0.0029 | 0.061695136 | 0.12036795 | 0.0811 | 0.6737674 | 0.14622913 | 0.0294 |
6.3 | 1.2142645E-4 | 2.4143397E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.82838386 | 3.4140982E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.202953E-4 | 0.0010343082 | 5.0E-4 | 0.4834149 | 0.0012341014 | 2.0E-4 | 0.006316212 | 0.0125204595 | 0.0077 | 0.61499345 | 0.01538415 | 0.0029 | 0.06139677 | 0.119861625 | 0.081 | 0.6757792 | 0.14564969 | 0.0293 |
6.4 | 1.1865206E-4 | 2.36538E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.8455301 | 3.3651435E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.0840975E-4 | 0.001013342 | 5.0E-4 | 0.49341685 | 0.0012131393 | 2.0E-4 | 0.006172335 | 0.012268093 | 0.0077 | 0.62764436 | 0.015132517 | 0.0029 | 0.060036868 | 0.11767016 | 0.0797 | 0.677317 | 0.14272833 | 0.0284 |
6.5 | 1.17443946E-4 | 2.3450455E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.8528619 | 3.344811E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.032341E-4 | 0.001004634 | 5.0E-4 | 0.49769375 | 0.001204433 | 2.0E-4 | 0.006109677 | 0.012163259 | 0.0075 | 0.61661106 | 0.015027985 | 0.0029 | 0.059444077 | 0.11675669 | 0.0789 | 0.67576426 | 0.14166416 | 0.0282 |
6.6 | 1.13579066E-4 | 2.2769204E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.8783794 | 3.2766926E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.866766E-4 | 9.754596E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.5125789 | 0.0011752645 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0059092017 | 0.011811963 | 0.0072 | 0.6095515 | 0.014480071 | 0.0027 | 0.057545185 | 0.11370243 | 0.0761 | 0.6692909 | 0.13798699 | 0.0274 |
6.7 | 1.1271412E-4 | 2.261541E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.8843528 | 3.2613147E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.829711E-4 | 9.6887327E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.5160634 | 0.0011686794 | 2.0E-4 | 0.005864331 | 0.011732642 | 0.0072 | 0.61367255 | 0.014400964 | 0.0027 | 0.057119697 | 0.11301033 | 0.0755 | 0.6680805 | 0.13704775 | 0.0271 |
6.8 | 1.1217975E-4 | 2.2505703E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.88866365 | 3.2503452E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.8068175E-4 | 9.6417504E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.51857805 | 0.0011639822 | 2.0E-4 | 0.005836608 | 0.011676055 | 0.0072 | 0.6166466 | 0.01434453 | 0.0027 | 0.056856725 | 0.1125135 | 0.0753 | 0.66925305 | 0.13647564 | 0.027 |
6.9 | 1.1146753E-4 | 2.2356493E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.8945947 | 3.2354257E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.7763053E-4 | 9.57785E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.5220378 | 0.0011575934 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0057996577 | 0.011599088 | 0.0071 | 0.61211705 | 0.014267771 | 0.0027 | 0.056506127 | 0.111840345 | 0.0748 | 0.66881055 | 0.1354654 | 0.0266 |
7.0 | 1.0965793E-4 | 2.198592E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.9096731 | 3.198372E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.698779E-4 | 9.419149E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.53083354 | 0.0011417265 | 2.0E-4 | 0.005705768 | 0.011407909 | 0.0071 | 0.6223752 | 0.014077108 | 0.0027 | 0.055614736 | 0.11016121 | 0.0739 | 0.6708351 | 0.13356397 | 0.0263 |
7.1 | 9.927982E-5 | 1.9833326E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0084037 | 2.9831342E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.2541555E-4 | 8.497238E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.58842653 | 0.0010495539 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0051671406 | 0.010296586 | 0.0062 | 0.6021413 | 0.012572904 | 0.0023 | 0.05048634 | 0.100334436 | 0.0662 | 0.6597934 | 0.12111671 | 0.0231 |
7.2 | 9.696786E-5 | 1.9342742E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0339797 | 2.9340808E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.1551032E-4 | 8.2871225E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.60334575 | 0.0010285465 | 2.0E-4 | 0.00504711 | 0.010043155 | 0.0062 | 0.61733586 | 0.012320057 | 0.0023 | 0.04934009 | 0.098083615 | 0.0647 | 0.65964127 | 0.11855712 | 0.0227 |
7.3 | 9.4727984E-5 | 1.8783515E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0647634 | 2.8781637E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.0591392E-4 | 8.047604E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.62130296 | 0.0010045994 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0049308087 | 0.009754189 | 0.0061 | 0.6253723 | 0.0120317545 | 0.0023 | 0.048228268 | 0.09548677 | 0.0631 | 0.66082454 | 0.11547651 | 0.0221 |
7.4 | 9.220358E-5 | 1.8167321E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.1008778 | 2.8165506E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.9509835E-4 | 7.7836803E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.6423696 | 9.782123E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.004799717 | 0.009435683 | 0.006 | 0.63588405 | 0.011713981 | 0.0023 | 0.046973653 | 0.09261491 | 0.0606 | 0.65432227 | 0.11194222 | 0.0213 |
7.5 | 7.71631E-5 | 1.4588078E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.3709825 | 2.458662E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.306571E-4 | 6.250537E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.7999312 | 8.249287E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0040183207 | 0.00758354 | 0.0049 | 0.6461362 | 0.009270648 | 0.0017 | 0.03946433 | 0.075632 | 0.048 | 0.634652 | 0.09097651 | 0.0166 |
7.6 | 7.5634416E-5 | 1.4255154E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.4030013 | 2.4253728E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.241072E-4 | 6.107923E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.65488714 | 8.1067014E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0039388672 | 0.007411101 | 0.0047 | 0.63418376 | 0.009098502 | 0.0017 | 0.038697794 | 0.0740237 | 0.0468 | 0.63223 | 0.089209706 | 0.0164 |
7.7 | 6.3783E-5 | 1.18372816E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.84478855 | 2.1836098E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.7332708E-4 | 5.0721347E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.5914669 | 7.07112E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0033226798 | 0.006157862 | 0.004 | 0.6495761 | 0.0077480096 | 0.0016 | 0.032734364 | 0.062154178 | 0.0378 | 0.6081651 | 0.074721314 | 0.0134 |
7.8 | 5.863422E-5 | 1.0941851E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.9139221 | 2.0940758E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.512653E-4 | 4.6885226E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.6398604 | 6.6875847E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.003054864 | 0.005693354 | 0.0038 | 0.6674449 | 0.0070853834 | 0.0014 | 0.030132094 | 0.057480242 | 0.0349 | 0.60716516 | 0.06907324 | 0.0123 |
7.9 | 4.595283E-5 | 8.0794285E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2377113 | 1.8078621E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.9692584E-4 | 3.462153E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.86651284 | 5.4614607E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0023949358 | 0.00420703 | 0.003 | 0.7130921 | 0.005302402 | 0.0011 | 0.023692891 | 0.04271993 | 0.0273 | 0.639046 | 0.052101273 | 0.0098 |
8.0 | 3.2950178E-5 | 4.8598806E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.0576637 | 1.4859394E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.412074E-4 | 2.0826398E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.4404795 | 4.0822232E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0017178444 | 0.002532667 | 0.0018 | 0.7107132 | 0.0032308942 | 7.0E-4 | 0.017046256 | 0.026106775 | 0.0166 | 0.63585025 | 0.032047525 | 0.0061 |
8.1 | 1.9177472E-5 | 1.8116843E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 5.5197253 | 1.1811503E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 8.218658E-5 | 7.764131E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.5759485 | 2.7762578E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0010001622 | 9.448735E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.63500565 | 0.00124459 | 3.0E-4 | 0.009956728 | 0.010196007 | 0.0068 | 0.66692775 | 0.012769497 | 0.0026 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.06885E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.06885E-6 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.1723463E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.6033177 | 1.2172129E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.6445114E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.7562834 | 3.644247E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0030259273 | 0.0022 | 0.7270499 | 0.003723809 | 7.0E-4 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 6.9765395E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.9765395E-7 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 2.9899422E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9899422E-6 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.640195E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.640195E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.3255524E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.46236867 | 5.32512E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
Calaveras (Central) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5010907E-4 | 2.4544963E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.6296623 | 5.45376E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 6.4316596E-4 | 0.0010513924 | 0.001 | 0.9511197 | 0.0016507615 | 6.0E-4 | 0.0078024664 | 0.012716977 | 0.0087 | 0.6841248 | 0.016468653 | 0.0038 | 0.07534136 | 0.119297616 | 0.0796 | 0.66723883 | 0.14254816 | 0.0264 |
6.1 | 1.4521465E-4 | 2.3709307E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.6871011 | 5.3702196E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 6.222001E-4 | 0.0010156208 | 9.0E-4 | 0.8861576 | 0.0016150114 | 6.0E-4 | 0.0075490056 | 0.01228778 | 0.0081 | 0.6591915 | 0.015547231 | 0.0033 | 0.07297657 | 0.11557705 | 0.0759 | 0.6567048 | 0.13733386 | 0.0246 |
6.2 | 1.429998E-4 | 2.3643125E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.6918237 | 5.363603E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 6.127123E-4 | 0.0010127869 | 9.0E-4 | 0.8886371 | 0.0016121792 | 6.0E-4 | 0.007434286 | 0.012253713 | 0.0081 | 0.66102415 | 0.015513276 | 0.0033 | 0.07190444 | 0.11524468 | 0.0758 | 0.657731 | 0.13700967 | 0.0246 |
6.3 | 1.3536277E-4 | 2.298372E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.7403623 | 5.2976824E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 5.799972E-4 | 9.845498E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 0.8125542 | 0.0014840575 | 5.0E-4 | 0.0070386264 | 0.011914644 | 0.0079 | 0.6630496 | 0.014977708 | 0.0031 | 0.0681982 | 0.11219911 | 0.0743 | 0.6622156 | 0.13359511 | 0.0241 |
6.4 | 1.2993296E-4 | 2.2418803E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.7842166 | 5.2412075E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 5.5673666E-4 | 9.603574E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.72889525 | 0.0013599733 | 4.0E-4 | 0.006757223 | 0.011623348 | 0.0076 | 0.65385634 | 0.0144896405 | 0.0029 | 0.06555412 | 0.109525286 | 0.0725 | 0.6619476 | 0.1301843 | 0.0232 |
6.5 | 1.0498927E-4 | 1.7770223E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.6882174 | 3.776667E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 4.498764E-4 | 7.613576E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.65672165 | 0.0010611292 | 3.0E-4 | 0.005463498 | 0.0092300465 | 0.0061 | 0.6608851 | 0.011806048 | 0.0026 | 0.053311124 | 0.088270396 | 0.0601 | 0.6808625 | 0.10559326 | 0.019 |
6.6 | 1.0157505E-4 | 1.7261496E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.1586481 | 3.7258043E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 4.35249E-4 | 7.395678E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.5408564 | 0.001039346 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0052862884 | 0.008967002 | 0.0057 | 0.635664 | 0.011543687 | 0.0026 | 0.05162293 | 0.08586156 | 0.0583 | 0.679 | 0.10259029 | 0.0183 |
6.7 | 9.660386E-5 | 1.6526728E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.2101609 | 3.6523424E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 4.1395082E-4 | 7.080952E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.5648958 | 0.0010078828 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0050282106 | 0.008586943 | 0.0055 | 0.6405073 | 0.0109663345 | 0.0024 | 0.049159497 | 0.08237361 | 0.056 | 0.67982936 | 0.098799124 | 0.0179 |
6.8 | 9.089927E-5 | 1.5451256E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.2943932 | 3.5448166E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 3.8951015E-4 | 6.62028E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.60420406 | 9.618294E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0047319788 | 0.00803037 | 0.0049 | 0.6101836 | 0.010113507 | 0.0021 | 0.046324775 | 0.07730841 | 0.0522 | 0.6752176 | 0.0929019 | 0.0169 |
6.9 | 7.353187E-5 | 1.21389705E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.6475861 | 3.2136543E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 3.150985E-4 | 5.201385E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.769026 | 8.1998244E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0038295772 | 0.006314416 | 0.004 | 0.63347113 | 0.008003681 | 0.0017 | 0.037642512 | 0.061467934 | 0.043 | 0.69955176 | 0.07451353 | 0.0139 |
7.0 | 5.746064E-5 | 9.2639624E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.1589034 | 2.926211E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 2.4623662E-4 | 3.969669E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.0076407 | 6.968478E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0029938098 | 0.004822431 | 0.0029 | 0.60135645 | 0.006016644 | 0.0012 | 0.02953797 | 0.047399387 | 0.034 | 0.7173089 | 0.05787799 | 0.011 |
7.1 | 4.9557195E-5 | 7.9420795E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.518232 | 2.7940492E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 2.123707E-4 | 3.4033076E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.1753272 | 6.402287E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0025825473 | 0.0041357162 | 0.0027 | 0.65284944 | 0.0053307535 | 0.0012 | 0.0255274 | 0.040848695 | 0.0296 | 0.72462535 | 0.0497688 | 0.0093 |
7.2 | 3.687595E-5 | 5.860752E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.860752E-5 | 0.0 | 1.5803022E-4 | 2.5115107E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.39816675 | 2.5115107E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0019223199 | 0.0030535052 | 0.0017 | 0.55673724 | 0.0037513678 | 7.0E-4 | 0.01905776 | 0.030441998 | 0.0231 | 0.7588201 | 0.036744125 | 0.0065 |
7.3 | 2.5846984E-5 | 4.1754945E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.1754945E-5 | 0.0 | 1.1076809E-4 | 1.7893758E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5588541 | 1.7893758E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0013477671 | 0.0021764056 | 0.0014 | 0.64326245 | 0.0027750998 | 6.0E-4 | 0.013396223 | 0.021826541 | 0.0163 | 0.7467972 | 0.026717408 | 0.005 |
7.4 | 1.7747854E-5 | 2.9332767E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9332767E-5 | 0.0 | 7.6060016E-5 | 1.2570582E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.79550815 | 1.2570582E-4 | 0.0 | 9.2563726E-4 | 0.0015293966 | 0.0011 | 0.71923786 | 0.0019287849 | 4.0E-4 | 0.009217911 | 0.015413866 | 0.012 | 0.77851975 | 0.019056836 | 0.0037 |
7.5 | 1.4883479E-5 | 2.5675161E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5675161E-5 | 0.0 | 6.378478E-5 | 1.10031775E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.9088284 | 1.10031775E-4 | 0.0 | 7.76303E-4 | 0.0013388164 | 9.0E-4 | 0.6722356 | 0.0017382808 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0077359667 | 0.013523881 | 0.0103 | 0.7616157 | 0.016680604 | 0.0032 |
7.6 | 8.166975E-6 | 1.4557649E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4557649E-5 | 0.0 | 3.5000852E-5 | 6.238844E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.238844E-5 | 0.0 | 4.2605202E-4 | 7.593158E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.52679 | 9.5916394E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.004252361 | 0.0077398284 | 0.0057 | 0.73645043 | 0.009327445 | 0.0016 |
7.7 | 3.3858064E-6 | 5.987491E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.987491E-6 | 0.0 | 1.4510518E-5 | 2.5660423E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5660423E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7665124E-4 | 3.1237092E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.64026445 | 4.123397E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0017651088 | 0.0032567768 | 0.0026 | 0.7983353 | 0.0040541715 | 8.0E-4 |
7.8 | 2.7721615E-6 | 5.13817E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.13817E-6 | 0.0 | 1.1880637E-5 | 2.2020542E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2020542E-5 | 0.0 | 1.4463716E-4 | 2.6806715E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.7460817 | 3.6804035E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0014454306 | 0.002795346 | 0.0024 | 0.8585699 | 0.0035931098 | 8.0E-4 |
7.9 | 1.9736292E-6 | 3.9626007E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.9626007E-6 | 0.0 | 8.4583835E-6 | 1.6982463E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6982463E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0297595E-4 | 2.0674191E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.9673897 | 3.0672122E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0010292825 | 0.002142844 | 0.0022 | 1.026673 | 0.0028413439 | 7.0E-4 |
8.0 | 1.1767289E-6 | 2.4601638E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4601638E-6 | 0.0 | 5.0431145E-6 | 1.0543517E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0543517E-5 | 0.0 | 6.139818E-5 | 1.2835978E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.7790602 | 2.2834695E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.1381224E-4 | 0.0013201305 | 0.0011 | 0.8332509 | 0.0018194705 | 5.0E-4 |
8.1 | 7.5112825E-7 | 1.4854528E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4854528E-6 | 0.0 | 3.2191172E-6 | 6.3662105E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.3662105E-6 | 0.0 | 3.9192048E-5 | 7.750588E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2902247 | 1.7749814E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.9185135E-4 | 7.962679E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 1.0046871 | 0.001096029 | 3.0E-4 |
Laguna Salada
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.6465593E-5 | 4.6047095E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.1716897 | 1.4604248E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.9912305E-4 | 1.973304E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 3.54735 | 4.972712E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0024216278 | 0.0023999254 | 0.0058 | 2.4167418 | 0.0058915257 | 0.0035 | 0.02395408 | 0.023787132 | 0.0521 | 2.19026 | 0.05258541 | 0.0295 |
6.1 | 3.982297E-5 | 3.69807E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.7041135 | 1.36977E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.706587E-4 | 1.5847947E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.8929896 | 3.5844778E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0020757897 | 0.0019278713 | 0.003 | 1.5561205 | 0.0038242084 | 0.0019 | 0.020565065 | 0.01915973 | 0.0202 | 1.0542946 | 0.029850889 | 0.0109 |
6.2 | 3.6067784E-5 | 3.2347285E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.0914497 | 1.3234405E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5456705E-4 | 1.3862418E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 2.1641247 | 3.3859644E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0018802295 | 0.0016865331 | 0.0029 | 1.7195038 | 0.0035833288 | 0.0019 | 0.018644003 | 0.016806161 | 0.0175 | 1.0412848 | 0.025851544 | 0.0092 |
6.3 | 3.2859112E-5 | 2.860466E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.495934 | 1.286018E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4081717E-4 | 1.2258608E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 2.44726 | 3.2256157E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0017131006 | 0.0014915534 | 0.0027 | 1.8101934 | 0.0031890178 | 0.0017 | 0.016999546 | 0.014879571 | 0.0162 | 1.0887411 | 0.022957558 | 0.0082 |
6.4 | 2.9132116E-5 | 2.4622716E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.0612903 | 1.2462026E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2484594E-4 | 1.0552216E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 2.8430047 | 3.0550105E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0015189396 | 0.0012840616 | 0.0027 | 2.1027029 | 0.0029818786 | 0.0017 | 0.015085992 | 0.012819267 | 0.0139 | 1.0843054 | 0.019828249 | 0.0071 |
6.5 | 2.7075037E-5 | 2.2603566E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.424081 | 1.2260131E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1603071E-4 | 9.686931E-5 | 3.0E-4 | 3.096956 | 2.9684993E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0014117584 | 0.0011788317 | 0.0024 | 2.035914 | 0.0026770635 | 0.0015 | 0.014028233 | 0.011774382 | 0.013 | 1.104092 | 0.01829667 | 0.0066 |
6.6 | 2.2367465E-5 | 1.839545E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.839545E-5 | 0.0 | 9.5857045E-5 | 7.883572E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.536921 | 1.7882783E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0011664346 | 9.5948234E-4 | 0.0019 | 1.9802345 | 0.002158331 | 0.0012 | 0.011603311 | 0.00959434 | 0.0109 | 1.1360865 | 0.015041571 | 0.0055 |
6.7 | 1.9458053E-5 | 1.5768637E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5768637E-5 | 0.0 | 8.338899E-5 | 6.757856E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.9595184 | 1.6757181E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.001014788 | 8.225366E-4 | 0.0016 | 1.9452021 | 0.0017217963 | 9.0E-4 | 0.010101665 | 0.008242495 | 0.0099 | 1.2010926 | 0.013002931 | 0.0048 |
6.8 | 1.0767866E-5 | 9.067874E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.067874E-6 | 0.0 | 4.614718E-5 | 3.8862112E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.8862112E-5 | 0.0 | 5.6169706E-4 | 4.7311006E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 1.6909385 | 7.729681E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0056027942 | 0.0047480883 | 0.0061 | 1.2847276 | 0.0075347936 | 0.0028 |
6.9 | 2.1384765E-6 | 1.7897423E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7897423E-6 | 0.0 | 9.164866E-6 | 7.670304E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.670304E-6 | 0.0 | 1.1157654E-4 | 9.338234E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0708663 | 9.338234E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0011152053 | 9.3346916E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 0.8570181 | 0.0012331891 | 3.0E-4 |
7.0 | 2.0952946E-6 | 1.7476945E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7476945E-6 | 0.0 | 8.979802E-6 | 7.4901E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.4901E-6 | 0.0 | 1.0932361E-4 | 9.1188536E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.096629 | 9.1188536E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010926984 | 9.115493E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 0.87762666 | 0.0012112758 | 3.0E-4 |
7.1 | 1.7887576E-6 | 1.4485462E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4485462E-6 | 0.0 | 7.666081E-6 | 6.208042E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.208042E-6 | 0.0 | 9.333054E-5 | 7.55806E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.55806E-5 | 0.0 | 9.329135E-4 | 7.5557927E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.7940927 | 0.0010553526 | 3.0E-4 |
7.2 | 9.723109E-7 | 7.125322E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.125322E-7 | 0.0 | 4.16704E-6 | 3.053707E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.053707E-6 | 0.0 | 5.073253E-5 | 3.717841E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.717841E-5 | 0.0 | 5.072095E-4 | 3.7173813E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.0760263 | 5.716638E-4 | 2.0E-4 |
Hunting Creek - Berryessa 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1270982E-4 | 1.9940689E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5014872 | 1.9940689E-4 | 0.0 | 4.8295266E-4 | 8.542511E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.46824643 | 0.0010540802 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0058641075 | 0.01034132 | 0.0094 | 0.9089748 | 0.014003057 | 0.0037 | 0.057117578 | 0.09765978 | 0.0847 | 0.86729664 | 0.12139133 | 0.0263 |
6.1 | 1.1239393E-4 | 1.988906E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.988906E-4 | 0.0 | 4.8159933E-4 | 8.5203996E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.23473078 | 9.5195475E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0058477195 | 0.01031468 | 0.0069 | 0.66894954 | 0.012887862 | 0.0026 | 0.056962132 | 0.09741914 | 0.0702 | 0.72059757 | 0.11700515 | 0.0217 |
6.2 | 7.596265E-5 | 1.2870526E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2870526E-4 | 0.0 | 3.2551357E-4 | 5.51466E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.18133484 | 5.51466E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0039559277 | 0.0066889296 | 0.0046 | 0.6877035 | 0.008178896 | 0.0015 | 0.038862433 | 0.06430455 | 0.0453 | 0.7044602 | 0.07777857 | 0.0144 |
6.3 | 6.78794E-5 | 1.13912276E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.13912276E-4 | 0.0 | 2.9087928E-4 | 4.8809202E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.2048794 | 4.8809202E-4 | 0.0 | 0.003535705 | 0.0059231822 | 0.0042 | 0.7090783 | 0.0073148897 | 0.0014 | 0.034799766 | 0.057201747 | 0.0394 | 0.68879014 | 0.069081 | 0.0126 |
6.4 | 6.2165134E-5 | 1.0382523E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0382523E-4 | 0.0 | 2.6639478E-4 | 4.4488598E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.22477669 | 4.4488598E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0032385332 | 0.0054004393 | 0.0039 | 0.7221635 | 0.0066934186 | 0.0013 | 0.03191742 | 0.052307636 | 0.0363 | 0.69397134 | 0.063395634 | 0.0117 |
6.5 | 5.4368087E-5 | 9.023392E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.023392E-5 | 0.0 | 2.3298527E-4 | 3.8665588E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.25862792 | 3.8665588E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0028329059 | 0.004695443 | 0.0037 | 0.7879981 | 0.0059893387 | 0.0013 | 0.027970633 | 0.04565968 | 0.0318 | 0.6964569 | 0.055012215 | 0.0098 |
6.6 | 4.729947E-5 | 7.8045974E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.8045974E-5 | 0.0 | 2.0269625E-4 | 3.344384E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.29900873 | 3.344384E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002465034 | 0.004062789 | 0.0032 | 0.7876362 | 0.00515832 | 0.0011 | 0.02437869 | 0.03965023 | 0.0272 | 0.6859985 | 0.0475251 | 0.0082 |
6.7 | 3.6875328E-5 | 6.0107366E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0107366E-5 | 0.0 | 1.5802756E-4 | 2.575781E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.575781E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0019222875 | 0.0031308257 | 0.0021 | 0.6707496 | 0.003928321 | 8.0E-4 | 0.019057442 | 0.03073008 | 0.0199 | 0.64757395 | 0.0365457 | 0.006 |
6.8 | 2.0292036E-5 | 2.8875764E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8875764E-5 | 0.0 | 8.6962966E-5 | 1.2374739E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2374739E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0010582599 | 0.0015055726 | 0.0011 | 0.7306191 | 0.0017052714 | 2.0E-4 | 0.010532344 | 0.014927712 | 0.0092 | 0.6163034 | 0.017685914 | 0.0028 |
6.9 | 1.7871042E-5 | 2.440453E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.440453E-5 | 0.0 | 7.658793E-5 | 1.0458663E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0458663E-4 | 0.0 | 9.320591E-4 | 0.0012725984 | 0.001 | 0.7857939 | 0.0014723438 | 2.0E-4 | 0.009281595 | 0.012644729 | 0.0075 | 0.59313256 | 0.01481691 | 0.0022 |
7.0 | 1.6415532E-5 | 2.1844406E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1844406E-5 | 0.0 | 7.035038E-5 | 9.361554E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.361554E-5 | 0.0 | 8.561793E-4 | 0.0011391746 | 9.0E-4 | 0.7900457 | 0.0012390607 | 1.0E-4 | 0.008528882 | 0.011332817 | 0.0069 | 0.60885125 | 0.013211285 | 0.0019 |
7.1 | 1.5409885E-5 | 2.0292511E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0292511E-5 | 0.0 | 6.6040695E-5 | 8.6965025E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.6965025E-5 | 0.0 | 8.0374884E-4 | 0.0010582876 | 8.0E-4 | 0.75593823 | 0.0011581817 | 1.0E-4 | 0.00800848 | 0.0105329 | 0.0064 | 0.60761994 | 0.012313941 | 0.0018 |
7.2 | 1.4497423E-5 | 1.9004163E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9004163E-5 | 0.0 | 6.213033E-5 | 8.144388E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.144388E-5 | 0.0 | 7.5617427E-4 | 9.911313E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.70626366 | 0.0010910322 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0075360634 | 0.009867775 | 0.006 | 0.6080398 | 0.011551 | 0.0017 |
7.3 | 1.3615175E-5 | 1.7777578E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7777578E-5 | 0.0 | 5.8349444E-5 | 7.618741E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.618741E-5 | 0.0 | 7.101729E-4 | 9.2718995E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.6471166 | 0.0010270972 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0070790765 | 0.009233719 | 0.0055 | 0.59564304 | 0.010918021 | 0.0017 |
7.4 | 1.2252825E-5 | 1.5983189E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5983189E-5 | 0.0 | 5.251105E-5 | 6.8497604E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.8497604E-5 | 0.0 | 6.391345E-4 | 8.3364197E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.7197334 | 9.335586E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0063729943 | 0.008305561 | 0.0052 | 0.62608653 | 0.009991442 | 0.0017 |
7.5 | 1.0913301E-5 | 1.4202664E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4202664E-5 | 0.0 | 4.6770452E-5 | 6.0867154E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0867154E-5 | 0.0 | 5.6928146E-4 | 7.408084E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.80992603 | 8.407343E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0056782532 | 0.0073837684 | 0.0047 | 0.6365313 | 0.008872693 | 0.0015 |
7.6 | 8.623192E-6 | 1.1203514E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1203514E-5 | 0.0 | 3.6956015E-5 | 4.8014193E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.8014193E-5 | 0.0 | 4.4984656E-4 | 5.8441854E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.684441 | 6.843601E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.00448937 | 0.005829101 | 0.0036 | 0.61759096 | 0.006922689 | 0.0011 |
7.7 | 2.0993634E-6 | 2.655011E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.655011E-6 | 0.0 | 8.997241E-6 | 1.137857E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.137857E-5 | 0.0 | 1.09535904E-4 | 1.3852536E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3852536E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0010948193 | 0.001384442 | 3.0E-4 | 0.2166938 | 0.0014843036 | 1.0E-4 |
7.8 | 1.8428308E-7 | 2.164475E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.164475E-7 | 0.0 | 7.897844E-7 | 9.276319E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.276319E-7 | 0.0 | 9.615583E-6 | 1.1293863E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1293863E-5 | 0.0 | 9.615166E-5 | 1.1294148E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1294148E-4 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Carrizo) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.3566867E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.8486491 | 3.356451E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010096192 | 5.0E-4 | 0.49523622 | 0.0012094172 | 2.0E-4 | 0.006073493 | 0.0122232875 | 0.0072 | 0.58903956 | 0.014791506 | 0.0026 | 0.0591016 | 0.11745107 | 0.0777 | 0.6615521 | 0.14083862 | 0.0265 |
6.1 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.3566867E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.8486491 | 3.356451E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010096192 | 5.0E-4 | 0.49523622 | 0.0012094172 | 2.0E-4 | 0.006073493 | 0.0122232875 | 0.0072 | 0.58903956 | 0.014791506 | 0.0026 | 0.0591016 | 0.11745107 | 0.0777 | 0.6615521 | 0.14083862 | 0.0265 |
6.2 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.3566867E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.8486491 | 3.356451E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010096192 | 5.0E-4 | 0.49523622 | 0.0012094172 | 2.0E-4 | 0.006073493 | 0.0122232875 | 0.0072 | 0.58903956 | 0.014791506 | 0.0026 | 0.0591016 | 0.11745107 | 0.0777 | 0.6615521 | 0.14083862 | 0.0265 |
6.3 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.3566867E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.8486491 | 3.356451E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010096192 | 5.0E-4 | 0.49523622 | 0.0012094172 | 2.0E-4 | 0.006073493 | 0.0122232875 | 0.0072 | 0.58903956 | 0.014791506 | 0.0026 | 0.0591016 | 0.11745107 | 0.0777 | 0.6615521 | 0.14083862 | 0.0265 |
6.4 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.3566867E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.8486491 | 3.356451E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010096192 | 5.0E-4 | 0.49523622 | 0.0012094172 | 2.0E-4 | 0.006073493 | 0.0122232875 | 0.0072 | 0.58903956 | 0.014791506 | 0.0026 | 0.0591016 | 0.11745107 | 0.0777 | 0.6615521 | 0.14083862 | 0.0265 |
6.5 | 1.13136164E-4 | 2.2890302E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.87373245 | 3.2888015E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.847792E-4 | 9.806457E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.5098682 | 0.0011804495 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0058862255 | 0.01187442 | 0.0072 | 0.6063454 | 0.014443546 | 0.0026 | 0.057327334 | 0.11442959 | 0.0764 | 0.66765946 | 0.13763154 | 0.0262 |
6.6 | 1.13136164E-4 | 2.2890302E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.87373245 | 3.2888015E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.847792E-4 | 9.806457E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.5098682 | 0.0011804495 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0058862255 | 0.01187442 | 0.0072 | 0.6063454 | 0.014443546 | 0.0026 | 0.057327334 | 0.11442959 | 0.0764 | 0.66765946 | 0.13763154 | 0.0262 |
6.7 | 1.1149675E-4 | 2.2583081E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.88561875 | 3.258082E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.777557E-4 | 9.6748874E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.5168019 | 0.0011672953 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0058011734 | 0.011715965 | 0.0072 | 0.614546 | 0.014285504 | 0.0026 | 0.05652051 | 0.113049 | 0.0751 | 0.66431373 | 0.13619842 | 0.0261 |
6.8 | 1.1103589E-4 | 2.2486152E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.8894363 | 3.2483903E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.7578133E-4 | 9.633377E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.5190288 | 0.0011631451 | 2.0E-4 | 0.005777263 | 0.011665969 | 0.0072 | 0.61717975 | 0.014235637 | 0.0026 | 0.056293584 | 0.11261146 | 0.0747 | 0.66334283 | 0.13550608 | 0.0258 |
6.9 | 1.1053259E-4 | 2.2379539E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.8936735 | 3.23773E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.7362508E-4 | 9.5877197E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.5215004 | 0.0011585802 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0057511497 | 0.0116109755 | 0.0071 | 0.6114904 | 0.014180787 | 0.0026 | 0.05604569 | 0.11213082 | 0.0743 | 0.6626189 | 0.13486028 | 0.0256 |
7.0 | 1.1005377E-4 | 2.2281319E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.8976129 | 3.227909E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.7157376E-4 | 9.5456565E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.52379847 | 0.0011543747 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0057263062 | 0.011560308 | 0.0071 | 0.6141705 | 0.014130251 | 0.0026 | 0.055809796 | 0.11168503 | 0.074 | 0.6625776 | 0.1344259 | 0.0256 |
7.1 | 1.0308142E-4 | 2.0805502E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.96128416 | 3.080342E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.417027E-4 | 8.913607E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.56094015 | 0.0010911823 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0053644776 | 0.010798607 | 0.0062 | 0.5741481 | 0.01307377 | 0.0023 | 0.052368138 | 0.104947984 | 0.0684 | 0.65175146 | 0.1258922 | 0.0234 |
7.2 | 1.0027479E-4 | 2.0219231E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.98915726 | 3.021721E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.296783E-4 | 8.662517E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.57719946 | 0.0010660784 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0052187922 | 0.010495889 | 0.0062 | 0.5907074 | 0.012771749 | 0.0023 | 0.050979212 | 0.10226731 | 0.0667 | 0.6522123 | 0.12291516 | 0.023 |
7.3 | 9.816942E-5 | 1.9704713E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0149856 | 2.9702744E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.2065824E-4 | 8.4421533E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.59226596 | 0.0010440465 | 2.0E-4 | 0.005109493 | 0.010230146 | 0.0062 | 0.6060519 | 0.012506617 | 0.0023 | 0.049935985 | 0.09987908 | 0.0654 | 0.6547918 | 0.1201318 | 0.0225 |
7.4 | 9.5634205E-5 | 1.908743E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.04781 | 2.908552E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.0979648E-4 | 8.177771E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.61141354 | 0.0010176136 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0049778637 | 0.009911227 | 0.0061 | 0.6154636 | 0.012188432 | 0.0023 | 0.048678253 | 0.09701487 | 0.063 | 0.64938504 | 0.11669994 | 0.0218 |
7.5 | 8.052417E-5 | 1.5494163E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.2908087 | 2.5492613E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.4505792E-4 | 6.6386675E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.7531632 | 8.63734E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0041929903 | 0.0080526965 | 0.005 | 0.62091 | 0.009739007 | 0.0017 | 0.04114753 | 0.080045626 | 0.0505 | 0.6308902 | 0.09577684 | 0.0171 |
7.6 | 7.897024E-5 | 1.5155076E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.3196899 | 2.515356E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.384E-4 | 6.4934173E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.61600846 | 8.492119E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0041122385 | 0.007877147 | 0.0048 | 0.6093577 | 0.009563755 | 0.0017 | 0.040369697 | 0.07841491 | 0.0494 | 0.62998223 | 0.0939897 | 0.0169 |
7.7 | 6.707427E-5 | 1.2726369E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.7857701 | 2.2725096E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.8742946E-4 | 5.453018E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.55015403 | 7.4519275E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.003493839 | 0.006618868 | 0.0041 | 0.6194413 | 0.008208278 | 0.0016 | 0.034394164 | 0.0665482 | 0.0405 | 0.6085815 | 0.07961652 | 0.014 |
7.8 | 6.147705E-5 | 1.1699638E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.8547273 | 2.1698468E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.6344648E-4 | 5.0131674E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.5984241 | 7.0121646E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0032027436 | 0.006086472 | 0.0038 | 0.6243354 | 0.007477951 | 0.0014 | 0.031569764 | 0.061238818 | 0.0374 | 0.61072373 | 0.07325496 | 0.0128 |
7.9 | 4.7636717E-5 | 8.5202E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1736814 | 1.8519348E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.0414138E-4 | 3.6510034E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.82169193 | 5.6502735E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0024825884 | 0.0044360436 | 0.003 | 0.6762783 | 0.005531164 | 0.0011 | 0.024550365 | 0.04493226 | 0.0286 | 0.6365137 | 0.05438743 | 0.0099 |
8.0 | 3.3554235E-5 | 4.99211E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.003161 | 1.499161E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4379594E-4 | 2.1393002E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.4023277 | 4.1388723E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0017493097 | 0.0026014885 | 0.0018 | 0.6919115 | 0.0032996675 | 7.0E-4 | 0.017356034 | 0.026788611 | 0.017 | 0.634598 | 0.0327252 | 0.0061 |
8.1 | 1.9175432E-5 | 1.8116692E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 5.5197716 | 1.18114884E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 8.217783E-5 | 7.764066E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.57597 | 2.7762513E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0010000558 | 9.448657E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.6350109 | 0.0012445822 | 3.0E-4 | 0.009955673 | 0.0101959035 | 0.0068 | 0.6669345 | 0.012769395 | 0.0026 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.06885E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.06885E-6 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.1723463E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.6033177 | 1.2172129E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.6445114E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.7562834 | 3.644247E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0030259273 | 0.0022 | 0.7270499 | 0.003723809 | 7.0E-4 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 6.9765395E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.9765395E-7 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 2.9899422E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9899422E-6 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.640195E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.640195E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.3255524E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.46236867 | 5.32512E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
Calaveras (So) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5950744E-4 | 3.005846E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 1.9961102 | 7.0046436E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 6.834242E-4 | 0.001287444 | 0.0012 | 0.9320794 | 0.0019865427 | 7.0E-4 | 0.00828899 | 0.015540312 | 0.0098 | 0.630618 | 0.018690582 | 0.0032 | 0.079865426 | 0.14351726 | 0.0982 | 0.68423826 | 0.16535757 | 0.0255 |
6.1 | 1.3584697E-4 | 2.539517E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 2.362654 | 6.538501E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 5.8207137E-4 | 0.0010878303 | 0.0012 | 1.1031132 | 0.0017870688 | 7.0E-4 | 0.007063716 | 0.013150011 | 0.0082 | 0.6235736 | 0.01591319 | 0.0028 | 0.06843361 | 0.123182006 | 0.0802 | 0.6510691 | 0.14238432 | 0.0219 |
6.2 | 1.14676266E-4 | 2.1086262E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 2.8454545 | 6.107783E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 4.9137714E-4 | 9.033606E-4 | 0.0012 | 1.3283732 | 0.0016027283 | 7.0E-4 | 0.0059661185 | 0.01093883 | 0.007 | 0.6399222 | 0.013609295 | 0.0027 | 0.058084648 | 0.10419942 | 0.0699 | 0.6708291 | 0.122115426 | 0.02 |
6.3 | 8.691518E-5 | 1.5810462E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 3.7949555 | 5.580414E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 3.7244044E-4 | 6.7737664E-4 | 0.001 | 1.4762837 | 0.0012769701 | 6.0E-4 | 0.004525038 | 0.0082094055 | 0.006 | 0.730869 | 0.010688881 | 0.0025 | 0.044339992 | 0.07855428 | 0.0545 | 0.69378775 | 0.093942426 | 0.0167 |
6.4 | 8.50982E-5 | 1.5519738E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 3.8660445 | 5.551353E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 3.646556E-4 | 6.649234E-4 | 0.001 | 1.5039326 | 0.0012645244 | 6.0E-4 | 0.0044306475 | 0.008058916 | 0.0059 | 0.7321084 | 0.010538768 | 0.0025 | 0.04343345 | 0.07717166 | 0.0538 | 0.69714713 | 0.09249061 | 0.0166 |
6.5 | 8.4062965E-5 | 1.5345492E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 3.9099429 | 5.5339356E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 3.602201E-4 | 6.574603E-4 | 0.001 | 1.5210043 | 0.0012570658 | 6.0E-4 | 0.004376863 | 0.007968811 | 0.0058 | 0.72783756 | 0.010349686 | 0.0024 | 0.042916555 | 0.07634799 | 0.053 | 0.69418985 | 0.09158825 | 0.0165 |
6.6 | 8.194716E-5 | 1.4983947E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 3.3369045 | 5.497795E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 3.5115483E-4 | 6.419747E-4 | 9.0E-4 | 1.4019245 | 0.0012415894 | 6.0E-4 | 0.0042669317 | 0.007782005 | 0.0056 | 0.7196089 | 0.010163328 | 0.0024 | 0.04185927 | 0.07464305 | 0.052 | 0.6966489 | 0.08972637 | 0.0163 |
6.7 | 8.012326E-5 | 1.4653517E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 3.4121504 | 5.4647657E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 3.433402E-4 | 6.278225E-4 | 9.0E-4 | 1.4335263 | 0.0012274458 | 6.0E-4 | 0.004172157 | 0.007611339 | 0.0056 | 0.73574436 | 0.009993072 | 0.0024 | 0.040946912 | 0.07309096 | 0.0507 | 0.6936562 | 0.087828815 | 0.0159 |
6.8 | 7.119773E-5 | 1.2726037E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 2.3573718 | 4.2722217E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 3.0509746E-4 | 5.452755E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 1.1003611 | 9.450574E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0037082357 | 0.006615392 | 0.0045 | 0.6802318 | 0.008602161 | 0.002 | 0.036469642 | 0.063984774 | 0.0447 | 0.6986037 | 0.07662098 | 0.0135 |
6.9 | 5.7343088E-5 | 9.786235E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.0436869 | 2.9784278E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 2.4573295E-4 | 4.193431E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 1.1923411 | 7.192173E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0029876942 | 0.005093624 | 0.0034 | 0.6675012 | 0.0064864927 | 0.0014 | 0.02947844 | 0.049890667 | 0.0354 | 0.7095516 | 0.06024686 | 0.0109 |
7.0 | 4.8746577E-5 | 8.166659E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.4489818 | 2.8165025E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 2.0889717E-4 | 3.4995307E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 1.428763 | 6.498481E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0025403565 | 0.00425242 | 0.0029 | 0.68196464 | 0.005447317 | 0.0012 | 0.025115121 | 0.04192746 | 0.0298 | 0.71075135 | 0.050837535 | 0.0093 |
7.1 | 4.2998014E-5 | 7.1568575E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.7945228 | 2.7155425E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.8426418E-4 | 3.066867E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 1.6303282 | 6.065947E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.002241108 | 0.003727577 | 0.0027 | 0.72433114 | 0.004923104 | 0.0012 | 0.022186412 | 0.036909323 | 0.0261 | 0.7071384 | 0.044614047 | 0.008 |
7.2 | 3.221292E-5 | 5.299794E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.299794E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3804805E-4 | 2.271144E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.88061345 | 2.271144E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0016794393 | 0.0027616392 | 0.0017 | 0.61557645 | 0.003459706 | 7.0E-4 | 0.016668037 | 0.027598785 | 0.0206 | 0.7464097 | 0.03304423 | 0.0056 |
7.3 | 2.3756531E-5 | 3.8752434E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.8752434E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0180973E-4 | 1.6607139E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.2043014 | 1.6607139E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0012388286 | 0.0020200608 | 0.0014 | 0.6930484 | 0.0026188488 | 6.0E-4 | 0.012319452 | 0.020294076 | 0.0147 | 0.7243493 | 0.024506813 | 0.0043 |
7.4 | 1.5997684E-5 | 2.6730915E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6730915E-5 | 0.0 | 6.8559704E-5 | 1.1455605E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.7458702 | 1.1455605E-4 | 0.0 | 8.343947E-4 | 0.0013938299 | 0.0011 | 0.7891924 | 0.0017932724 | 4.0E-4 | 0.008312687 | 0.0140787335 | 0.0107 | 0.76001155 | 0.01713509 | 0.0031 |
7.5 | 1.3814293E-5 | 2.4194247E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4194247E-5 | 0.0 | 5.9202768E-5 | 1.03685525E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.9289095 | 1.03685525E-4 | 0.0 | 7.205553E-4 | 0.0012616426 | 9.0E-4 | 0.7133558 | 0.0016611379 | 4.0E-4 | 0.007182234 | 0.01276821 | 0.0093 | 0.7283715 | 0.015532459 | 0.0028 |
7.6 | 8.817309E-6 | 1.5965174E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5965174E-5 | 0.0 | 3.7787922E-5 | 6.8420384E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.8420384E-5 | 0.0 | 4.5997082E-4 | 8.327011E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.6004555 | 0.0011324513 | 3.0E-4 | 0.004590199 | 0.008491839 | 0.006 | 0.7065607 | 0.010375706 | 0.0019 |
7.7 | 4.0352206E-6 | 7.382077E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.382077E-6 | 0.0 | 1.7293689E-5 | 3.163709E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.163709E-5 | 0.0 | 2.1053031E-4 | 3.8511356E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.778991 | 5.850365E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0021033096 | 0.00400553 | 0.0029 | 0.723999 | 0.005101124 | 0.0011 |
7.8 | 3.413169E-6 | 6.5029626E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.5029626E-6 | 0.0 | 1.4627784E-5 | 2.7869542E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7869542E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7807873E-4 | 3.392589E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.8842804 | 5.3919107E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0017793609 | 0.0035274676 | 0.0026 | 0.7370727 | 0.00452394 | 0.001 |
7.9 | 2.4740732E-6 | 5.0703898E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0703898E-6 | 0.0 | 1.06031275E-5 | 2.173006E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.173006E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2908543E-4 | 2.6453144E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.1340808 | 4.6447854E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0012901047 | 0.0027334618 | 0.0024 | 0.87800753 | 0.0036310018 | 9.0E-4 |
8.0 | 1.5231818E-6 | 3.167996E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.167996E-6 | 0.0 | 6.527906E-6 | 1.3577056E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3577056E-5 | 0.0 | 7.9474354E-5 | 1.6528815E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.605004 | 2.6527164E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 7.944594E-4 | 0.00169748 | 0.0012 | 0.7069303 | 0.0022964615 | 6.0E-4 |
8.1 | 1.0104524E-6 | 1.9716344E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9716344E-6 | 0.0 | 4.330503E-6 | 8.449834E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.449834E-6 | 0.0 | 5.2722597E-5 | 1.0287191E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.9720827 | 2.0286163E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.271009E-4 | 0.0010564383 | 9.0E-4 | 0.8519191 | 0.0014560157 | 4.0E-4 |
San Andreas (San Bernardino S)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2336002E-4 | 2.9618776E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.012871 | 2.9618776E-4 | 0.0 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0012687844 | 8.0E-4 | 0.6305248 | 0.0015684037 | 3.0E-4 | 0.006416472 | 0.015342925 | 0.0085 | 0.5540013 | 0.017607635 | 0.0023 | 0.06234337 | 0.14110295 | 0.0865 | 0.6130276 | 0.16111526 | 0.0233 |
6.1 | 1.2336002E-4 | 2.9618776E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.012871 | 2.9618776E-4 | 0.0 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0012687844 | 8.0E-4 | 0.6305248 | 0.0015684037 | 3.0E-4 | 0.006416472 | 0.015342925 | 0.0085 | 0.5540013 | 0.017607635 | 0.0023 | 0.06234337 | 0.14110295 | 0.0865 | 0.6130276 | 0.16111526 | 0.0233 |
6.2 | 1.2336002E-4 | 2.9618776E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.012871 | 2.9618776E-4 | 0.0 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0012687844 | 8.0E-4 | 0.6305248 | 0.0015684037 | 3.0E-4 | 0.006416472 | 0.015342925 | 0.0085 | 0.5540013 | 0.017607635 | 0.0023 | 0.06234337 | 0.14110295 | 0.0865 | 0.6130276 | 0.16111526 | 0.0233 |
6.3 | 1.1712257E-4 | 2.8411296E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.0559181 | 2.8411296E-4 | 0.0 | 5.018573E-4 | 0.0012170841 | 8.0E-4 | 0.6573087 | 0.001516719 | 3.0E-4 | 0.006093008 | 0.014722097 | 0.0083 | 0.5637784 | 0.016889708 | 0.0022 | 0.059286322 | 0.13579075 | 0.0828 | 0.6097617 | 0.15514904 | 0.0224 |
6.4 | 1.1712257E-4 | 2.8411296E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.0559181 | 2.8411296E-4 | 0.0 | 5.018573E-4 | 0.0012170841 | 8.0E-4 | 0.6573087 | 0.001516719 | 3.0E-4 | 0.006093008 | 0.014722097 | 0.0083 | 0.5637784 | 0.016889708 | 0.0022 | 0.059286322 | 0.13579075 | 0.0828 | 0.6097617 | 0.15514904 | 0.0224 |
6.5 | 1.0689076E-4 | 2.6430876E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.1350361 | 2.6430876E-4 | 0.0 | 4.5802278E-4 | 0.0011322846 | 7.0E-4 | 0.61821914 | 0.0014319449 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0055621783 | 0.013702982 | 0.0077 | 0.5619215 | 0.015675576 | 0.002 | 0.05425003 | 0.12707 | 0.0776 | 0.6106871 | 0.14531423 | 0.0209 |
6.6 | 9.7648895E-5 | 2.4682246E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.81029904 | 2.4682246E-4 | 0.0 | 4.1842813E-4 | 0.001057405 | 6.0E-4 | 0.56742686 | 0.0013570879 | 3.0E-4 | 0.005082469 | 0.012802218 | 0.0073 | 0.5702137 | 0.014776614 | 0.002 | 0.049677886 | 0.119251 | 0.0732 | 0.61383134 | 0.13704214 | 0.0202 |
6.7 | 8.757013E-5 | 2.2759548E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.8787521 | 2.2759548E-4 | 0.0 | 3.7524657E-4 | 9.750665E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.5127855 | 0.0011748715 | 2.0E-4 | 0.00455906 | 0.011810845 | 0.0065 | 0.55034167 | 0.013391947 | 0.0016 | 0.04466656 | 0.11054304 | 0.0672 | 0.607908 | 0.12699799 | 0.0185 |
6.8 | 8.562978E-5 | 2.2322101E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.895973 | 2.2322101E-4 | 0.0 | 3.6693315E-4 | 9.5633266E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.5228306 | 0.0011561414 | 2.0E-4 | 0.004458263 | 0.0115852 | 0.0063 | 0.54379725 | 0.013166663 | 0.0016 | 0.043698758 | 0.10856522 | 0.0658 | 0.6060873 | 0.12478933 | 0.0182 |
6.9 | 6.124075E-5 | 1.6741737E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.1946192 | 1.6741737E-4 | 0.0 | 2.6243398E-4 | 7.1730657E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.69705206 | 9.171631E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0031904527 | 0.008698438 | 0.0053 | 0.6093048 | 0.00998713 | 0.0013 | 0.031450346 | 0.0827536 | 0.0503 | 0.6078285 | 0.09550333 | 0.0139 |
7.0 | 5.8598747E-5 | 1.6174205E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.2365369 | 1.6174205E-4 | 0.0 | 2.5111332E-4 | 6.9299684E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.72150403 | 8.9285825E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0030530186 | 0.008404786 | 0.0052 | 0.6186951 | 0.00969386 | 0.0013 | 0.03011414 | 0.08008375 | 0.048 | 0.59937257 | 0.09231863 | 0.0133 |
7.1 | 5.613814E-5 | 1.5595989E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.2823809 | 1.5595989E-4 | 0.0 | 2.4056983E-4 | 6.6822907E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.74824643 | 8.6809543E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0029250039 | 0.0081055155 | 0.0051 | 0.6292012 | 0.009394979 | 0.0013 | 0.028868021 | 0.07739528 | 0.046 | 0.5943515 | 0.089481406 | 0.0131 |
7.2 | 4.991222E-5 | 1.4210024E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.4074572 | 1.4210024E-4 | 0.0 | 2.1389198E-4 | 6.0885923E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.8212079 | 8.087375E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.002601025 | 0.0073877648 | 0.0042 | 0.56850755 | 0.008479638 | 0.0011 | 0.025707912 | 0.07090222 | 0.0414 | 0.5839027 | 0.082237214 | 0.0122 |
7.3 | 4.7410045E-5 | 1.3410991E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.4913142 | 1.3410991E-4 | 0.0 | 2.0317009E-4 | 5.7463045E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.6960995 | 6.74573E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0024707897 | 0.006973766 | 0.004 | 0.5735782 | 0.007966792 | 0.001 | 0.024434982 | 0.06721762 | 0.0394 | 0.58615583 | 0.078411005 | 0.012 |
7.4 | 4.5556746E-5 | 1.2824156E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.5595568 | 1.2824156E-4 | 0.0 | 1.952286E-4 | 5.494912E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.72794616 | 6.4943626E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.002374317 | 0.0066696093 | 0.0039 | 0.5847419 | 0.007563607 | 9.0E-4 | 0.023491086 | 0.06448845 | 0.0379 | 0.58770216 | 0.075059734 | 0.0113 |
7.5 | 4.3084514E-5 | 1.20658246E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.6575742 | 1.20658246E-4 | 0.0 | 1.8463485E-4 | 5.170046E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.77368754 | 6.169529E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0022456115 | 0.006276433 | 0.0037 | 0.5895068 | 0.007170784 | 9.0E-4 | 0.022230545 | 0.06091187 | 0.0347 | 0.5696755 | 0.07067838 | 0.0104 |
7.6 | 3.408608E-5 | 9.567774E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0451752 | 9.567774E-5 | 0.0 | 1.4607502E-4 | 4.099831E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.7317375 | 5.0994207E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0017770125 | 0.004980144 | 0.0029 | 0.58231246 | 0.005875662 | 9.0E-4 | 0.017628696 | 0.04883141 | 0.0293 | 0.6000236 | 0.057296813 | 0.0089 |
7.7 | 2.8315713E-5 | 7.997012E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.250467 | 7.997012E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2134742E-4 | 3.4268413E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.8754418 | 4.4264985E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0014764034 | 0.004164206 | 0.002 | 0.48028368 | 0.004861291 | 7.0E-4 | 0.01466633 | 0.041144393 | 0.0253 | 0.61490756 | 0.04881524 | 0.008 |
7.8 | 2.6222975E-5 | 7.227602E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.3835847 | 7.227602E-5 | 0.0 | 1.1237934E-4 | 3.097176E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.96862423 | 4.0968665E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0013673597 | 0.0037642978 | 0.002 | 0.5313076 | 0.004461663 | 7.0E-4 | 0.013589768 | 0.037376933 | 0.0222 | 0.5939492 | 0.044115297 | 0.007 |
7.9 | 2.1469694E-5 | 5.5910103E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.5910103E-5 | 0.0 | 9.200973E-5 | 2.3959273E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.8347499 | 3.3956877E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0011196428 | 0.0029131423 | 0.0017 | 0.5835623 | 0.0035113944 | 6.0E-4 | 0.011140184 | 0.029254515 | 0.0172 | 0.58794343 | 0.03469069 | 0.0056 |
8.0 | 1.2420249E-5 | 3.0215788E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0215788E-5 | 0.0 | 5.322855E-5 | 1.2948981E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.544523 | 2.2947686E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.478649E-4 | 0.0015753993 | 0.0011 | 0.6982357 | 0.0020746116 | 5.0E-4 | 0.0064597935 | 0.016005795 | 0.0094 | 0.5872873 | 0.019351374 | 0.0034 |
8.1 | 4.9197724E-6 | 7.4157283E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.4157283E-6 | 0.0 | 2.1084568E-5 | 3.1781306E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.146504 | 1.3177813E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.566744E-4 | 3.868688E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.5169711 | 4.8683013E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.002563781 | 0.0041793785 | 0.0022 | 0.52639407 | 0.004976035 | 8.0E-4 |
8.2 | 2.5634774E-6 | 2.7189453E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7189453E-6 | 0.0 | 1.0986286E-5 | 1.1652571E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 8.581798 | 1.116514E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.3374983E-4 | 1.4186084E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.7049161 | 2.4184666E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0013366934 | 0.0016060494 | 0.0011 | 0.6849105 | 0.002005407 | 4.0E-4 |
8.3 | 5.2850464E-7 | 2.9571643E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9571643E-7 | 0.0 | 2.2650179E-6 | 1.2673556E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2673556E-6 | 0.0 | 2.7576245E-5 | 1.5429956E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5429956E-5 | 0.0 | 2.7572823E-4 | 1.8442706E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8442706E-4 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Big Bend)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.0179969E-4 | 1.9400888E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0308806 | 2.939895E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.312027E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.48123038 | 0.0010310365 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0052979486 | 0.010073204 | 0.0062 | 0.6154944 | 0.012350036 | 0.0023 | 0.051734097 | 0.09853886 | 0.0639 | 0.6484751 | 0.11873159 | 0.0224 |
6.1 | 1.0179969E-4 | 1.9400888E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0308806 | 2.939895E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.312027E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.48123038 | 0.0010310365 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0052979486 | 0.010073204 | 0.0062 | 0.6154944 | 0.012350036 | 0.0023 | 0.051734097 | 0.09853886 | 0.0639 | 0.6484751 | 0.11873159 | 0.0224 |
6.2 | 1.0179969E-4 | 1.9400888E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0308806 | 2.939895E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.312027E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.48123038 | 0.0010310365 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0052979486 | 0.010073204 | 0.0062 | 0.6154944 | 0.012350036 | 0.0023 | 0.051734097 | 0.09853886 | 0.0639 | 0.6484751 | 0.11873159 | 0.0224 |
6.3 | 1.0179969E-4 | 1.9400888E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0308806 | 2.939895E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.312027E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.48123038 | 0.0010310365 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0052979486 | 0.010073204 | 0.0062 | 0.6154944 | 0.012350036 | 0.0023 | 0.051734097 | 0.09853886 | 0.0639 | 0.6484751 | 0.11873159 | 0.0224 |
6.4 | 9.1639464E-5 | 1.7771713E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.1253839 | 2.7769935E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.9268145E-4 | 7.6142274E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.52533233 | 9.612705E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0047704205 | 0.009231024 | 0.0054 | 0.5849838 | 0.011113485 | 0.0019 | 0.046693064 | 0.09087049 | 0.0578 | 0.6360701 | 0.10905308 | 0.02 |
6.5 | 9.1639464E-5 | 1.7771713E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.1253839 | 2.7769935E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.9268145E-4 | 7.6142274E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.52533233 | 9.612705E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0047704205 | 0.009231024 | 0.0054 | 0.5849838 | 0.011113485 | 0.0019 | 0.046693064 | 0.09087049 | 0.0578 | 0.6360701 | 0.10905308 | 0.02 |
6.6 | 9.042622E-5 | 1.7580374E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.1376323 | 2.7578615E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.8748336E-4 | 7.532272E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.53104824 | 9.530766E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0047074095 | 0.009132083 | 0.0052 | 0.56942105 | 0.010915645 | 0.0018 | 0.046089325 | 0.08997144 | 0.0569 | 0.6324229 | 0.10771699 | 0.0195 |
6.7 | 8.9836685E-5 | 1.7495266E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.1431664 | 2.7493516E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.8495753E-4 | 7.4958184E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.53363085 | 9.494319E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.00467679 | 0.00908807 | 0.0052 | 0.57217866 | 0.010871712 | 0.0018 | 0.045795817 | 0.08956706 | 0.0569 | 0.6352782 | 0.107320495 | 0.0195 |
6.8 | 8.9471854E-5 | 1.7442678E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.1466129 | 2.7440934E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.8339442E-4 | 7.473294E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.5352392 | 9.471799E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.004657841 | 0.009060875 | 0.0052 | 0.573896 | 0.010844565 | 0.0018 | 0.04561414 | 0.089316614 | 0.0565 | 0.63258106 | 0.10689281 | 0.0193 |
6.9 | 8.858234E-5 | 1.732572E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.1543531 | 2.732399E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.7958333E-4 | 7.4231974E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.5388514 | 9.4217126E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.004611638 | 0.009000388 | 0.0052 | 0.5777529 | 0.010784187 | 0.0018 | 0.04517103 | 0.08875989 | 0.0562 | 0.6331689 | 0.1062557 | 0.0192 |
7.0 | 8.7433385E-5 | 1.716617E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.1650823 | 2.7164453E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.746607E-4 | 7.354857E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.5438583 | 9.353386E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.004551957 | 0.008917867 | 0.0052 | 0.58309907 | 0.010701816 | 0.0018 | 0.044598386 | 0.0879994 | 0.0555 | 0.63068604 | 0.10523622 | 0.0189 |
7.1 | 8.684964E-5 | 1.7079155E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.1710181 | 2.7077447E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.7215967E-4 | 7.317586E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.54662836 | 9.316123E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0045216335 | 0.00887286 | 0.0051 | 0.5747864 | 0.010557776 | 0.0017 | 0.04430731 | 0.08758441 | 0.0553 | 0.63139087 | 0.104737826 | 0.0188 |
7.2 | 8.606521E-5 | 1.6970815E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.1784939 | 2.6969117E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.6879873E-4 | 7.2711805E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.550117 | 9.2697266E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0044808835 | 0.008816821 | 0.005 | 0.56709784 | 0.010501832 | 0.0017 | 0.043916024 | 0.08706802 | 0.0552 | 0.63398707 | 0.10423114 | 0.0188 |
7.3 | 8.568266E-5 | 1.6914045E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.1824493 | 2.6912353E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.6715972E-4 | 7.246864E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.55196285 | 9.245415E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0044610105 | 0.008787454 | 0.005 | 0.568993 | 0.010472516 | 0.0017 | 0.043725148 | 0.08679365 | 0.0551 | 0.63483906 | 0.10396194 | 0.0188 |
7.4 | 8.5432206E-5 | 1.687742E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.1850152 | 2.687573E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.6608664E-4 | 7.231177E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.5531603 | 9.2297303E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.004447999 | 0.008768509 | 0.005 | 0.5702224 | 0.010453602 | 0.0017 | 0.043600157 | 0.08661687 | 0.0551 | 0.6361348 | 0.103788465 | 0.0188 |
7.5 | 8.4791965E-5 | 1.6749436E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.1940701 | 2.6747762E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.633435E-4 | 7.176357E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.55738586 | 9.1749214E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0044147377 | 0.0087023005 | 0.005 | 0.5745607 | 0.010387506 | 0.0017 | 0.043280575 | 0.086004674 | 0.0548 | 0.63717467 | 0.10309639 | 0.0187 |
7.6 | 8.241105E-5 | 1.6205799E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.2341261 | 2.6204178E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.531424E-4 | 6.943495E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.5760787 | 8.9421065E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0042910352 | 0.008421018 | 0.0048 | 0.5700024 | 0.010106701 | 0.0017 | 0.042091176 | 0.083418645 | 0.0532 | 0.6377471 | 0.100192085 | 0.0183 |
7.7 | 7.00432E-5 | 1.3631982E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.733569 | 2.363062E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.001506E-4 | 5.84097E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.5136133 | 7.839802E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0036482112 | 0.007088228 | 0.0042 | 0.59253174 | 0.008676887 | 0.0016 | 0.035888977 | 0.07092976 | 0.0437 | 0.61610246 | 0.08495872 | 0.0151 |
7.8 | 6.415362E-5 | 1.2452235E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.80306864 | 2.245099E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.749151E-4 | 5.3355814E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.562263 | 7.334514E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0033419547 | 0.0064767473 | 0.0039 | 0.60215414 | 0.00786768 | 0.0014 | 0.03292141 | 0.064902715 | 0.0398 | 0.61322546 | 0.077620044 | 0.0136 |
7.9 | 4.939911E-5 | 8.969914E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1148379 | 1.8969017E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.116933E-4 | 3.8436826E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.7805015 | 5.842914E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0025743195 | 0.0046696505 | 0.0031 | 0.6638613 | 0.0057645137 | 0.0011 | 0.025447013 | 0.04717012 | 0.03 | 0.63599586 | 0.056984268 | 0.0103 |
8.0 | 3.344983E-5 | 5.001127E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.9995493 | 1.5000626E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4334853E-4 | 2.1431642E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.3997995 | 4.1427356E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0017438711 | 0.0026061817 | 0.0018 | 0.6906656 | 0.0033043572 | 7.0E-4 | 0.017302496 | 0.026830563 | 0.017 | 0.6336058 | 0.032766897 | 0.0061 |
8.1 | 1.9104898E-5 | 1.8106268E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 5.522949 | 1.1810446E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 8.1875565E-5 | 7.7595985E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.577453 | 2.7758046E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 9.963791E-4 | 9.443222E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.63537633 | 0.0012440389 | 3.0E-4 | 0.009919235 | 0.01018861 | 0.0068 | 0.6674119 | 0.01276212 | 0.0026 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.06885E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.06885E-6 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.1723463E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.6033177 | 1.2172129E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.6445114E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.7562834 | 3.644247E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0030259273 | 0.0022 | 0.7270499 | 0.003723809 | 7.0E-4 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 6.9765395E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.9765395E-7 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 2.9899422E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9899422E-6 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.640195E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.640195E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.3255524E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.46236867 | 5.32512E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
San Andreas (Coachella) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1925945E-4 | 3.2356716E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.9271645 | 4.235348E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.110118E-4 | 0.0013859841 | 0.001 | 0.721509 | 0.0016855684 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0062038354 | 0.016745102 | 0.0096 | 0.57330203 | 0.020186493 | 0.0035 | 0.060334753 | 0.15119813 | 0.089 | 0.58863163 | 0.16978689 | 0.0219 |
6.1 | 1.1925945E-4 | 3.2356716E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.9271645 | 4.235348E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.110118E-4 | 0.0013859841 | 0.001 | 0.721509 | 0.0016855684 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0062038354 | 0.016745102 | 0.0096 | 0.57330203 | 0.020186493 | 0.0035 | 0.060334753 | 0.15119813 | 0.089 | 0.58863163 | 0.16978689 | 0.0219 |
6.2 | 1.07432395E-4 | 2.9859913E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.0046915 | 3.9856927E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.603433E-4 | 0.0012790869 | 0.001 | 0.7818077 | 0.0015787032 | 3.0E-4 | 0.005590286 | 0.015462755 | 0.009 | 0.58204377 | 0.018810183 | 0.0034 | 0.05451731 | 0.14036946 | 0.0822 | 0.5855975 | 0.15867959 | 0.0213 |
6.3 | 1.0718766E-4 | 2.980524E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.0065345 | 3.980226E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.592948E-4 | 0.0012767459 | 0.001 | 0.78324115 | 0.001576363 | 3.0E-4 | 0.005577586 | 0.015434659 | 0.009 | 0.5831033 | 0.018782182 | 0.0034 | 0.054396555 | 0.14013737 | 0.0822 | 0.5865673 | 0.15845245 | 0.0213 |
6.4 | 1.0355944E-4 | 2.9013876E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.033988 | 3.9010975E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.4375064E-4 | 0.0012428632 | 9.0E-4 | 0.7241344 | 0.0015424903 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0053892885 | 0.015027897 | 0.0088 | 0.5855776 | 0.018278306 | 0.0033 | 0.052604496 | 0.13668689 | 0.0804 | 0.58820564 | 0.1549028 | 0.0211 |
6.5 | 1.0227914E-4 | 2.8733484E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.044078 | 3.8730612E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.382655E-4 | 0.0012308578 | 9.0E-4 | 0.7311974 | 0.0015304885 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0053228354 | 0.014883738 | 0.0088 | 0.59124935 | 0.018134622 | 0.0033 | 0.051971316 | 0.13546863 | 0.0799 | 0.5898045 | 0.15362379 | 0.021 |
6.6 | 1.0116757E-4 | 2.8499638E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.052645 | 3.8496786E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.3350324E-4 | 0.0012208452 | 9.0E-4 | 0.73719424 | 0.0015204789 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0052651367 | 0.014763491 | 0.0088 | 0.596065 | 0.018014772 | 0.0033 | 0.051421247 | 0.13444701 | 0.0793 | 0.5898235 | 0.15262362 | 0.021 |
6.7 | 1.0050676E-4 | 2.8358385E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.0578882 | 3.8355548E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.3067214E-4 | 0.0012147971 | 9.0E-4 | 0.74086446 | 0.0015144326 | 3.0E-4 | 0.005230834 | 0.014690852 | 0.0087 | 0.5922053 | 0.01784384 | 0.0032 | 0.051094085 | 0.13383092 | 0.0789 | 0.5895499 | 0.15193385 | 0.0209 |
6.8 | 9.976819E-5 | 2.8162592E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.0652429 | 3.8159775E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.2750788E-4 | 0.0012064138 | 9.0E-4 | 0.7460127 | 0.0015060519 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0051924936 | 0.014590157 | 0.0087 | 0.5962924 | 0.017743468 | 0.0032 | 0.050728295 | 0.13298313 | 0.0781 | 0.5872925 | 0.15101708 | 0.0208 |
6.9 | 9.77719E-5 | 2.766273E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.0844916 | 3.7659964E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.1895514E-4 | 0.0011850108 | 9.0E-4 | 0.7594868 | 0.0014846553 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0050888555 | 0.014333033 | 0.0085 | 0.5930357 | 0.017290033 | 0.003 | 0.049738888 | 0.13081968 | 0.0775 | 0.59241855 | 0.14863788 | 0.0205 |
7.0 | 8.500761E-5 | 2.4420972E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.2284523 | 3.441853E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.6426744E-4 | 0.0010461964 | 9.0E-4 | 0.86025906 | 0.0013458825 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0044259406 | 0.012663806 | 0.0078 | 0.6159286 | 0.015329613 | 0.0027 | 0.04338823 | 0.116740264 | 0.0684 | 0.5859161 | 0.13299224 | 0.0184 |
7.1 | 8.319876E-5 | 2.4028315E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.248527 | 3.402591E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.5651738E-4 | 0.0010293816 | 9.0E-4 | 0.87431127 | 0.0013290729 | 3.0E-4 | 0.004331963 | 0.012461445 | 0.0076 | 0.6098811 | 0.015029046 | 0.0026 | 0.042484846 | 0.114976116 | 0.0673 | 0.58533895 | 0.13099505 | 0.0181 |
7.2 | 7.563917E-5 | 2.2088508E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.3581723 | 3.20863E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.2412758E-4 | 9.4630994E-4 | 9.0E-4 | 0.9510626 | 0.001246026 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0039391145 | 0.011461131 | 0.0072 | 0.62821025 | 0.013833624 | 0.0024 | 0.03870018 | 0.10641468 | 0.0623 | 0.5854455 | 0.12142692 | 0.0168 |
7.3 | 7.082985E-5 | 2.0418932E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.4692248 | 3.041689E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.0352117E-4 | 8.748064E-4 | 9.0E-4 | 1.028799 | 0.001174544 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0036891096 | 0.010599364 | 0.0069 | 0.6509825 | 0.012973925 | 0.0024 | 0.03628465 | 0.09898346 | 0.058 | 0.5859565 | 0.113039315 | 0.0156 |
7.4 | 5.146215E-5 | 1.4023531E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.4261744 | 1.4023531E-4 | 0.0 | 2.2053342E-4 | 6.008709E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.1649758 | 8.007507E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0026816884 | 0.0072912476 | 0.0048 | 0.6583235 | 0.0088795815 | 0.0016 | 0.02649557 | 0.0697578 | 0.0402 | 0.57627964 | 0.08017651 | 0.0112 |
7.5 | 4.0285166E-5 | 1.072944E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.8640302 | 1.072944E-4 | 0.0 | 1.7263928E-4 | 4.5975242E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 1.0875418 | 5.597064E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.002099857 | 0.0055831866 | 0.0034 | 0.6089712 | 0.006478162 | 9.0E-4 | 0.020801254 | 0.05406535 | 0.0301 | 0.5567336 | 0.06257876 | 0.009 |
7.6 | 3.1168736E-5 | 8.250048E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2121141 | 8.250048E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3357346E-4 | 3.535257E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.1314595 | 4.5349036E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0016250437 | 0.0042957067 | 0.0025 | 0.5819764 | 0.00509227 | 8.0E-4 | 0.016132116 | 0.041957147 | 0.0249 | 0.59346265 | 0.049046665 | 0.0074 |
7.7 | 2.2100989E-5 | 6.0723614E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.6468058 | 6.0723614E-5 | 0.0 | 9.4715084E-5 | 2.6021813E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.1528789 | 3.6019212E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.001152546 | 0.0031635594 | 0.0012 | 0.37931958 | 0.0036619776 | 5.0E-4 | 0.011465867 | 0.031142674 | 0.0189 | 0.6068843 | 0.03714959 | 0.0062 |
7.8 | 1.7484861E-5 | 5.0309278E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.987705 | 5.0309278E-5 | 0.0 | 7.493296E-5 | 2.1559339E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.3915083 | 3.1557182E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 9.1192697E-4 | 0.0026216926 | 0.0011 | 0.41957626 | 0.0031203819 | 5.0E-4 | 0.009081938 | 0.02596122 | 0.0153 | 0.58934057 | 0.03073401 | 0.0049 |
7.9 | 1.3967285E-5 | 3.7001482E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.7001482E-5 | 0.0 | 5.985842E-5 | 1.5856815E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.2612873 | 2.585523E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 7.2853256E-4 | 0.0019288589 | 9.0E-4 | 0.4665971 | 0.0023280873 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0072614877 | 0.019343149 | 0.0116 | 0.5996955 | 0.023265777 | 0.004 |
8.0 | 1.1887396E-5 | 3.0013814E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0013814E-5 | 0.0 | 5.094499E-5 | 1.286243E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.5549161 | 2.2861143E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.200787E-4 | 0.0015648769 | 8.0E-4 | 0.51122236 | 0.0019642508 | 4.0E-4 | 0.006183513 | 0.015787795 | 0.0096 | 0.60806465 | 0.019330958 | 0.0036 |
8.1 | 5.100864E-6 | 8.54409E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.54409E-6 | 0.0 | 2.1860664E-5 | 3.6617013E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.7309709 | 1.3661335E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.6612106E-4 | 4.4572106E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.22435556 | 5.456765E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.002658026 | 0.004703141 | 0.0029 | 0.6166092 | 0.0058974973 | 0.0012 |
8.2 | 2.3004484E-6 | 2.6136363E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6136363E-6 | 0.0 | 9.859027E-6 | 1.120125E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 8.927575 | 1.1120013E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2002704E-4 | 1.3636671E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.7333168 | 2.3635308E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0011996223 | 0.0015078917 | 0.0012 | 0.7958131 | 0.0018074394 | 3.0E-4 |
8.3 | 1.0424446E-7 | 5.368235E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.368235E-8 | 0.0 | 4.4676187E-7 | 2.300672E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.300672E-7 | 0.0 | 5.439312E-6 | 2.8010647E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8010647E-6 | 0.0 | 5.4391792E-5 | 2.9512299E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9512299E-5 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Mojave N)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.871493E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0686655 | 2.871306E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.0182205E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.49886382 | 0.0010016616 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.009718601 | 0.0054 | 0.5556355 | 0.011600136 | 0.0019 | 0.05023708 | 0.09529735 | 0.0599 | 0.62855893 | 0.11339141 | 0.02 |
6.1 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.871493E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0686655 | 2.871306E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.0182205E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.49886382 | 0.0010016616 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.009718601 | 0.0054 | 0.5556355 | 0.011600136 | 0.0019 | 0.05023708 | 0.09529735 | 0.0599 | 0.62855893 | 0.11339141 | 0.02 |
6.2 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.871493E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0686655 | 2.871306E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.0182205E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.49886382 | 0.0010016616 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.009718601 | 0.0054 | 0.5556355 | 0.011600136 | 0.0019 | 0.05023708 | 0.09529735 | 0.0599 | 0.62855893 | 0.11339141 | 0.02 |
6.3 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.871493E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0686655 | 2.871306E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.0182205E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.49886382 | 0.0010016616 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.009718601 | 0.0054 | 0.5556355 | 0.011600136 | 0.0019 | 0.05023708 | 0.09529735 | 0.0599 | 0.62855893 | 0.11339141 | 0.02 |
6.4 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.871493E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0686655 | 2.871306E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.0182205E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.49886382 | 0.0010016616 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.009718601 | 0.0054 | 0.5556355 | 0.011600136 | 0.0019 | 0.05023708 | 0.09529735 | 0.0599 | 0.62855893 | 0.11339141 | 0.02 |
6.5 | 9.861474E-5 | 1.8688908E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0701535 | 2.868704E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.2256617E-4 | 8.007075E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.4995582 | 0.0010005473 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0051326132 | 0.009705152 | 0.0054 | 0.5564055 | 0.011586713 | 0.0019 | 0.050156746 | 0.09517572 | 0.0594 | 0.62410873 | 0.113272205 | 0.02 |
6.6 | 9.861474E-5 | 1.8688908E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0701535 | 2.868704E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.2256617E-4 | 8.007075E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.4995582 | 0.0010005473 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0051326132 | 0.009705152 | 0.0054 | 0.5564055 | 0.011586713 | 0.0019 | 0.050156746 | 0.09517572 | 0.0594 | 0.62410873 | 0.113272205 | 0.02 |
6.7 | 9.8552715E-5 | 1.8678943E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0707244 | 2.8677075E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.223004E-4 | 8.002807E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.49982464 | 0.0010001207 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0051293927 | 0.009700002 | 0.0054 | 0.5567009 | 0.011581573 | 0.0019 | 0.050125998 | 0.09512895 | 0.0594 | 0.6244156 | 0.11322638 | 0.02 |
6.8 | 9.8464974E-5 | 1.8664311E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0715637 | 2.8662445E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.219245E-4 | 7.9965405E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.5002163 | 9.994941E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0051248376 | 0.009692441 | 0.0054 | 0.5571352 | 0.011574025 | 0.0019 | 0.05008251 | 0.0950595 | 0.0594 | 0.6248718 | 0.11315831 | 0.02 |
6.9 | 9.825824E-5 | 1.8632699E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0733818 | 2.8630835E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.2103877E-4 | 7.983E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.5010648 | 9.981403E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0051141046 | 0.009676102 | 0.0054 | 0.55807596 | 0.011557718 | 0.0019 | 0.049980022 | 0.094909616 | 0.0594 | 0.6258586 | 0.11301142 | 0.02 |
7.0 | 9.781462E-5 | 1.8564856E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0773042 | 2.8563E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.1913814E-4 | 7.953943E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.50289524 | 9.952352E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.005091073 | 0.009641038 | 0.0054 | 0.5601056 | 0.011522721 | 0.0019 | 0.04976007 | 0.09458864 | 0.0591 | 0.62481076 | 0.112606324 | 0.0199 |
7.1 | 9.7121134E-5 | 1.8467633E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0829757 | 2.8465787E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.1616702E-4 | 7.912301E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.5055419 | 9.910719E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.005055068 | 0.009590787 | 0.0053 | 0.5526137 | 0.011373524 | 0.0018 | 0.04941613 | 0.094128594 | 0.0589 | 0.62573975 | 0.112064846 | 0.0198 |
7.2 | 9.663819E-5 | 1.8399193E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0870042 | 2.8397352E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.1409794E-4 | 7.882987E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.50742185 | 9.88141E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0050299936 | 0.0095554115 | 0.0052 | 0.5441943 | 0.011338212 | 0.0018 | 0.049176537 | 0.09380427 | 0.0588 | 0.62683713 | 0.111746944 | 0.0198 |
7.3 | 9.6277574E-5 | 1.8352667E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0897598 | 2.8350833E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.125529E-4 | 7.863059E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.5087078 | 9.861487E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0050112694 | 0.009531362 | 0.0052 | 0.5455674 | 0.011314205 | 0.0018 | 0.04899759 | 0.09358144 | 0.0586 | 0.62619257 | 0.11152852 | 0.0198 |
7.4 | 9.593308E-5 | 1.8293511E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0932838 | 2.8291682E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.1107697E-4 | 7.837722E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.5103524 | 9.836155E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0049933824 | 0.009500783 | 0.0052 | 0.5473233 | 0.011283682 | 0.0018 | 0.04882661 | 0.09330343 | 0.0585 | 0.6269866 | 0.11116535 | 0.0197 |
7.5 | 9.561707E-5 | 1.8240555E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0964578 | 2.823873E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.0972308E-4 | 7.815041E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.51183355 | 9.813478E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0049769743 | 0.009473409 | 0.0052 | 0.54890484 | 0.011256357 | 0.0018 | 0.048669744 | 0.0930533 | 0.0585 | 0.62867194 | 0.11092015 | 0.0197 |
7.6 | 9.418194E-5 | 1.7898521E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.1174108 | 2.7896732E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.0357444E-4 | 7.6685415E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.5216116 | 9.667008E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.004902454 | 0.009296581 | 0.0051 | 0.54858875 | 0.011079848 | 0.0018 | 0.047957025 | 0.09145252 | 0.0575 | 0.62874156 | 0.10916919 | 0.0195 |
7.7 | 8.202141E-5 | 1.5405942E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.6491002 | 2.5404402E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.51473E-4 | 6.600876E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.45448512 | 8.599556E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.00427079 | 0.008007003 | 0.0044 | 0.549519 | 0.009693391 | 0.0017 | 0.04189639 | 0.07947151 | 0.0481 | 0.6052483 | 0.09466024 | 0.0165 |
7.8 | 7.2859846E-5 | 1.3962708E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.71619344 | 2.3961312E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.1221908E-4 | 5.9826457E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.5014504 | 7.981449E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.003794643 | 0.007259581 | 0.0041 | 0.5647709 | 0.0087486915 | 0.0015 | 0.037304975 | 0.07222319 | 0.0436 | 0.60368425 | 0.08586151 | 0.0147 |
7.9 | 5.3874453E-5 | 9.656534E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0355682 | 1.9655569E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.3087008E-4 | 4.1378583E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.7250128 | 6.1370304E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0028072202 | 0.005026215 | 0.0031 | 0.6167663 | 0.0061206864 | 0.0011 | 0.02772022 | 0.0506002 | 0.0312 | 0.61659837 | 0.060663838 | 0.0106 |
8.0 | 3.468538E-5 | 5.2004732E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.9229019 | 1.5199953E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4864317E-4 | 2.2285839E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.3461463 | 4.228138E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0018082283 | 0.0027099266 | 0.0018 | 0.6642246 | 0.0034080297 | 7.0E-4 | 0.017935853 | 0.027838226 | 0.017 | 0.6106711 | 0.03376841 | 0.0061 |
8.1 | 1.9152367E-5 | 1.8336963E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 5.453466 | 1.1833513E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 8.207899E-5 | 7.858462E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.5450273 | 2.785689E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 9.988535E-4 | 9.563484E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.62738645 | 0.0012560615 | 3.0E-4 | 0.009943757 | 0.010296682 | 0.0068 | 0.66040695 | 0.01286991 | 0.0026 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.06885E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.06885E-6 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.1723463E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.6033177 | 1.2172129E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.6445114E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.7562834 | 3.644247E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0030259273 | 0.0022 | 0.7270499 | 0.003723809 | 7.0E-4 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 6.9765395E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.9765395E-7 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 2.9899422E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9899422E-6 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.640195E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.640195E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.3255524E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.46236867 | 5.32512E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
Green Valley 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.9629346E-5 | 1.723003E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.723003E-4 | 0.0 | 4.2691303E-4 | 7.3821814E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.13546132 | 8.3814433E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0051852856 | 0.008949381 | 0.0057 | 0.63691556 | 0.011030587 | 0.0021 | 0.050659515 | 0.08519073 | 0.0564 | 0.66204387 | 0.10110841 | 0.0174 |
6.1 | 9.88615E-5 | 1.7077432E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7077432E-4 | 0.0 | 4.2362334E-4 | 7.3168206E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.1366714 | 8.316089E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0051454236 | 0.008870459 | 0.0056 | 0.6313089 | 0.010951832 | 0.0021 | 0.050279044 | 0.08447853 | 0.0546 | 0.6463181 | 0.099676184 | 0.0166 |
6.2 | 9.696895E-5 | 1.6717147E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6717147E-4 | 0.0 | 4.15515E-4 | 7.1624975E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.1396161 | 8.1617816E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0050471667 | 0.008684165 | 0.0053 | 0.61030626 | 0.010666797 | 0.002 | 0.04934063 | 0.08278945 | 0.0533 | 0.6438018 | 0.0978317 | 0.0164 |
6.3 | 9.275224E-5 | 1.589701E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.589701E-4 | 0.0 | 3.9744904E-4 | 6.811196E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.811196E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0048282105 | 0.008259743 | 0.0049 | 0.5932388 | 0.009945702 | 0.0017 | 0.047246475 | 0.07892925 | 0.0511 | 0.6474152 | 0.09329796 | 0.0156 |
6.4 | 8.391499E-5 | 1.4298713E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4298713E-4 | 0.0 | 3.595861E-4 | 6.126609E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.126609E-4 | 0.0 | 0.004369175 | 0.007432519 | 0.0043 | 0.5785387 | 0.00892137 | 0.0015 | 0.04284265 | 0.071316466 | 0.0469 | 0.6576322 | 0.08478238 | 0.0145 |
6.5 | 5.9519385E-5 | 9.880607E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.880607E-5 | 0.0 | 2.5505814E-4 | 4.2338544E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.2338544E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0031009112 | 0.0051414133 | 0.0034 | 0.6612968 | 0.006534215 | 0.0014 | 0.030579966 | 0.049905717 | 0.0344 | 0.68929976 | 0.05940666 | 0.01 |
6.6 | 4.5361558E-5 | 7.362437E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.362437E-5 | 0.0 | 1.9439218E-4 | 3.1549318E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1549318E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0023641558 | 0.003833405 | 0.0026 | 0.6782482 | 0.004929188 | 0.0011 | 0.023391623 | 0.03748022 | 0.0262 | 0.6990354 | 0.044506613 | 0.0073 |
6.7 | 3.8808106E-5 | 6.230829E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.230829E-5 | 0.0 | 1.6630985E-4 | 2.670088E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.670088E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0020229418 | 0.0032453204 | 0.0021 | 0.64708555 | 0.0041424 | 9.0E-4 | 0.020046256 | 0.03184677 | 0.0211 | 0.6625476 | 0.03746206 | 0.0058 |
6.8 | 2.2284667E-5 | 3.1184663E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1184663E-5 | 0.0 | 9.550222E-5 | 1.3364178E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3364178E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011621192 | 0.0016258745 | 0.0011 | 0.676559 | 0.0019253867 | 3.0E-4 | 0.011560607 | 0.016117869 | 0.0105 | 0.6514509 | 0.018872738 | 0.0028 |
6.9 | 1.8050168E-5 | 2.4380426E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4380426E-5 | 0.0 | 7.735557E-5 | 1.0448336E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0448336E-4 | 0.0 | 9.4139716E-4 | 0.0012713457 | 0.001 | 0.7865681 | 0.0015709642 | 3.0E-4 | 0.009374191 | 0.012633375 | 0.0081 | 0.6411589 | 0.014706844 | 0.0021 |
7.0 | 1.4763166E-5 | 1.95367E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.95367E-5 | 0.0 | 6.326917E-5 | 8.3726045E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.3726045E-5 | 0.0 | 7.7002996E-4 | 0.0010188891 | 9.0E-4 | 0.8833149 | 0.0012186854 | 2.0E-4 | 0.007673672 | 0.010142356 | 0.0073 | 0.71975386 | 0.0119241 | 0.0018 |
7.1 | 1.2399713E-5 | 1.626603E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.626603E-5 | 0.0 | 5.3140546E-5 | 6.9709706E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.9709706E-5 | 0.0 | 6.467941E-4 | 8.483872E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.82509494 | 9.4830233E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006449148 | 0.008452031 | 0.0063 | 0.74538296 | 0.009939353 | 0.0015 |
7.2 | 1.0584195E-5 | 1.3887744E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3887744E-5 | 0.0 | 4.5360044E-5 | 5.9517555E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.9517555E-5 | 0.0 | 5.521186E-4 | 7.243869E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.9663344 | 8.243145E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0055074887 | 0.007221006 | 0.0055 | 0.7616668 | 0.008412341 | 0.0012 |
7.3 | 7.998173E-6 | 1.0516018E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0516018E-5 | 0.0 | 3.4277433E-5 | 4.5067874E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.5067874E-5 | 0.0 | 4.1724785E-4 | 5.485643E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.9114702 | 6.485095E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004164653 | 0.005472412 | 0.004 | 0.73093915 | 0.006466939 | 0.001 |
7.4 | 6.7571127E-6 | 8.911162E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.911162E-6 | 0.0 | 2.8958733E-5 | 3.819014E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.819014E-5 | 0.0 | 3.5251552E-4 | 4.6486672E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 1.0755771 | 5.6482025E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0035195686 | 0.0046391184 | 0.0034 | 0.7328979 | 0.005534943 | 9.0E-4 |
7.5 | 5.69878E-6 | 7.4981904E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.4981904E-6 | 0.0 | 2.4423114E-5 | 3.213471E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.213471E-5 | 0.0 | 2.9731085E-4 | 3.9117076E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 1.2782142 | 4.911316E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.002969134 | 0.0039049806 | 0.0029 | 0.7426413 | 0.0046022474 | 7.0E-4 |
7.6 | 4.503664E-6 | 5.9203985E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.9203985E-6 | 0.0 | 1.9301275E-5 | 2.5372896E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5372896E-5 | 0.0 | 2.3496768E-4 | 3.0887203E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.2950346 | 4.0884115E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.002347194 | 0.0030845234 | 0.0025 | 0.810498 | 0.0036826727 | 6.0E-4 |
7.7 | 1.0873546E-6 | 1.4062297E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4062297E-6 | 0.0 | 4.6600826E-6 | 6.0266852E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0266852E-6 | 0.0 | 5.6735033E-5 | 7.337245E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.337245E-5 | 0.0 | 5.672055E-4 | 7.335298E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.13632712 | 7.335298E-4 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.9373917E-8 | 6.172147E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.172147E-8 | 0.0 | 2.1160248E-7 | 2.645206E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.645206E-7 | 0.0 | 2.5762572E-6 | 3.2205346E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2205346E-6 | 0.0 | 2.5762274E-5 | 3.221324E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.221324E-5 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (San Gorgonio Pass-Garnet HIll)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.3059062E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.3010069 | 3.3056756E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.5633717E-4 | 9.878688E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 0.80982417 | 0.0012875723 | 3.0E-4 | 0.004329778 | 0.011960901 | 0.0083 | 0.69392765 | 0.014727411 | 0.0028 | 0.042463828 | 0.11124487 | 0.0671 | 0.6031739 | 0.1270647 | 0.0178 |
6.1 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.3059062E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.3010069 | 3.3056756E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.5633717E-4 | 9.878688E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 0.80982417 | 0.0012875723 | 3.0E-4 | 0.004329778 | 0.011960901 | 0.0083 | 0.69392765 | 0.014727411 | 0.0028 | 0.042463828 | 0.11124487 | 0.0671 | 0.6031739 | 0.1270647 | 0.0178 |
6.2 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.3059062E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.3010069 | 3.3056756E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.5633717E-4 | 9.878688E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 0.80982417 | 0.0012875723 | 3.0E-4 | 0.004329778 | 0.011960901 | 0.0083 | 0.69392765 | 0.014727411 | 0.0028 | 0.042463828 | 0.11124487 | 0.0671 | 0.6031739 | 0.1270647 | 0.0178 |
6.3 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.3059062E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.3010069 | 3.3056756E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.5633717E-4 | 9.878688E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 0.80982417 | 0.0012875723 | 3.0E-4 | 0.004329778 | 0.011960901 | 0.0083 | 0.69392765 | 0.014727411 | 0.0028 | 0.042463828 | 0.11124487 | 0.0671 | 0.6031739 | 0.1270647 | 0.0178 |
6.4 | 8.059055E-5 | 2.261841E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.3263532 | 3.2616148E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.4534236E-4 | 9.6900074E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 0.82559276 | 0.00126871 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0041964394 | 0.011734002 | 0.0082 | 0.69882375 | 0.014501147 | 0.0028 | 0.041180745 | 0.109230734 | 0.0651 | 0.59598607 | 0.124462895 | 0.0171 |
6.5 | 8.059055E-5 | 2.261841E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.3263532 | 3.2616148E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.4534236E-4 | 9.6900074E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 0.82559276 | 0.00126871 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0041964394 | 0.011734002 | 0.0082 | 0.69882375 | 0.014501147 | 0.0028 | 0.041180745 | 0.109230734 | 0.0651 | 0.59598607 | 0.124462895 | 0.0171 |
6.6 | 7.619237E-5 | 2.1865996E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.3719933 | 3.186381E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.2649786E-4 | 9.3677983E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 0.85398936 | 0.0012364988 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0039678677 | 0.011346183 | 0.008 | 0.70508295 | 0.014114413 | 0.0028 | 0.03897764 | 0.105775096 | 0.0625 | 0.59087634 | 0.120440386 | 0.0164 |
6.7 | 7.440636E-5 | 2.1542578E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.392591 | 3.1540424E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.188454E-4 | 9.2292886E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 0.8668057 | 0.001222652 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0038750346 | 0.011179286 | 0.0078 | 0.697719 | 0.013849102 | 0.0027 | 0.038081564 | 0.10428466 | 0.0617 | 0.59164983 | 0.118795246 | 0.0162 |
6.8 | 7.3735864E-5 | 2.1390217E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.4025104 | 3.1388077E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.1597257E-4 | 9.1640366E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 0.87297773 | 0.0012161288 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0038401815 | 0.011100656 | 0.0077 | 0.6936527 | 0.013770685 | 0.0027 | 0.03774495 | 0.10358733 | 0.0608 | 0.5869444 | 0.11801957 | 0.0161 |
6.9 | 7.27575E-5 | 2.1159927E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.4177742 | 3.115781E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.117806E-4 | 9.0654107E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 0.8824752 | 0.0012062691 | 3.0E-4 | 0.003789323 | 0.010981795 | 0.0077 | 0.7011604 | 0.013652145 | 0.0027 | 0.037253562 | 0.10253687 | 0.0604 | 0.5890564 | 0.11689628 | 0.016 |
7.0 | 7.102591E-5 | 2.0745603E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.4460895 | 3.074353E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.0436125E-4 | 8.887965E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 0.90009356 | 0.0011885299 | 3.0E-4 | 0.003699303 | 0.010767909 | 0.0076 | 0.70580095 | 0.013438835 | 0.0027 | 0.03638325 | 0.10064339 | 0.059 | 0.5862283 | 0.11476328 | 0.0157 |
7.1 | 7.028513E-5 | 2.0582002E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.4575841 | 3.0579945E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.0118722E-4 | 8.817898E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 0.9072457 | 0.0011815253 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0036607897 | 0.0106834425 | 0.0074 | 0.6926606 | 0.013255665 | 0.0026 | 0.036010686 | 0.099888735 | 0.0577 | 0.57764274 | 0.11384045 | 0.0155 |
7.2 | 6.8498244E-5 | 2.0191442E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.485778 | 3.0189424E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.9353087E-4 | 8.650627E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 0.9247885 | 0.0011648032 | 3.0E-4 | 0.003567883 | 0.010481765 | 0.0071 | 0.67736685 | 0.012856608 | 0.0024 | 0.035111405 | 0.09808491 | 0.0563 | 0.57399243 | 0.111703835 | 0.0151 |
7.3 | 6.622592E-5 | 1.942334E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.5445335 | 2.94214E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.8379448E-4 | 8.321655E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 0.9613473 | 0.0011319158 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0034497243 | 0.0100850165 | 0.0068 | 0.67426765 | 0.012460812 | 0.0024 | 0.033966612 | 0.09459592 | 0.0544 | 0.5750777 | 0.1079959 | 0.0148 |
7.4 | 5.1050705E-5 | 1.442501E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.3864809 | 1.442501E-4 | 0.0 | 2.1877038E-4 | 6.180691E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.1325594 | 8.1794546E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.002660276 | 0.0074992147 | 0.0051 | 0.68007123 | 0.009186466 | 0.0017 | 0.02628654 | 0.071720764 | 0.0412 | 0.57445014 | 0.08258163 | 0.0117 |
7.5 | 3.9302922E-5 | 1.090516E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.8339942 | 1.090516E-4 | 0.0 | 1.6843023E-4 | 4.6728062E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 1.0700208 | 5.672339E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0020487092 | 0.0056743682 | 0.0036 | 0.63443184 | 0.006668694 | 0.001 | 0.020299247 | 0.055015538 | 0.0294 | 0.5343945 | 0.0635204 | 0.009 |
7.6 | 2.9851626E-5 | 8.29471E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2055876 | 8.29471E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2792926E-4 | 3.5543926E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.1253681 | 4.554037E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0015564259 | 0.0043189107 | 0.0027 | 0.62515765 | 0.0052150236 | 9.0E-4 | 0.0154556995 | 0.04229576 | 0.024 | 0.5674327 | 0.049478546 | 0.0075 |
7.7 | 2.1135214E-5 | 6.1746876E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.6195152 | 6.1746876E-5 | 0.0 | 9.0576345E-5 | 2.6460266E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.1337755 | 3.645762E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0011022091 | 0.0032167835 | 0.0014 | 0.43521735 | 0.0038148533 | 6.0E-4 | 0.010967582 | 0.031777527 | 0.0183 | 0.5758786 | 0.03787733 | 0.0063 |
7.8 | 1.883379E-5 | 5.400391E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.8517178 | 5.400391E-5 | 0.0 | 8.0713755E-5 | 2.3142481E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.2963173 | 3.3140168E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 9.822468E-4 | 0.0028139595 | 0.0014 | 0.4975196 | 0.0034122712 | 6.0E-4 | 0.0097791655 | 0.027952103 | 0.0159 | 0.5688302 | 0.033298366 | 0.0055 |
7.9 | 1.5156185E-5 | 4.0309144E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0309144E-5 | 0.0 | 6.495346E-5 | 1.7274205E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.1577958 | 2.7272478E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 7.9052144E-4 | 0.002101107 | 0.0012 | 0.57112753 | 0.0026000564 | 5.0E-4 | 0.007877152 | 0.021137748 | 0.0122 | 0.5771665 | 0.02524897 | 0.0042 |
8.0 | 1.1405907E-5 | 2.8952269E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8952269E-5 | 0.0 | 4.8881542E-5 | 1.2407526E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.6119249 | 2.2406285E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.9497025E-4 | 0.0015095704 | 0.0011 | 0.7286841 | 0.0020088155 | 5.0E-4 | 0.005933798 | 0.015296753 | 0.0091 | 0.5948975 | 0.018743213 | 0.0035 |
8.1 | 4.3511436E-6 | 6.9981506E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.9981506E-6 | 0.0 | 1.8647626E-5 | 2.999173E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.3342524 | 1.2998874E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.2701119E-4 | 3.6508826E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.54781276 | 4.6505174E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0022677942 | 0.0039306437 | 0.0021 | 0.5342636 | 0.0046278923 | 7.0E-4 |
8.2 | 2.3042528E-6 | 2.5601144E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5601144E-6 | 0.0 | 9.875332E-6 | 1.0971872E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 9.114215 | 1.10970774E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2022553E-4 | 1.335744E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.7486465 | 2.3356103E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0012016051 | 0.0015073891 | 0.001 | 0.66339874 | 0.0018069368 | 3.0E-4 |
8.3 | 5.202968E-7 | 2.9122552E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9122552E-7 | 0.0 | 2.2298414E-6 | 1.2481089E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2481089E-6 | 0.0 | 2.714798E-5 | 1.519563E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.519563E-5 | 0.0 | 2.7144665E-4 | 1.8159587E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8159587E-4 | 0.0 |
West Napa 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.773104E-5 | 4.4435765E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.2504394 | 4.4435765E-5 | 0.0 | 1.6169442E-4 | 1.9042689E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 3.1508155 | 4.9036974E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.001966852 | 0.0023162982 | 0.004 | 1.7268934 | 0.004710739 | 0.0024 | 0.019495348 | 0.022954646 | 0.0266 | 1.1588068 | 0.036633283 | 0.014 |
6.1 | 3.773104E-5 | 4.4435765E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.2504394 | 4.4435765E-5 | 0.0 | 1.6169442E-4 | 1.9042689E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 3.1508155 | 4.9036974E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.001966852 | 0.0023162982 | 0.004 | 1.7268934 | 0.004710739 | 0.0024 | 0.019495348 | 0.022954646 | 0.0266 | 1.1588068 | 0.036633283 | 0.014 |
6.2 | 3.773104E-5 | 4.4435765E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.2504394 | 4.4435765E-5 | 0.0 | 1.6169442E-4 | 1.9042689E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 3.1508155 | 4.9036974E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.001966852 | 0.0023162982 | 0.004 | 1.7268934 | 0.004710739 | 0.0024 | 0.019495348 | 0.022954646 | 0.0266 | 1.1588068 | 0.036633283 | 0.014 |
6.3 | 2.147964E-5 | 2.4935453E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.010354 | 2.4935453E-5 | 0.0 | 9.2052345E-5 | 1.0686237E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 3.7431326 | 3.06841E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.001120161 | 0.0013003643 | 0.0023 | 1.7687353 | 0.0025986738 | 0.0013 | 0.011145315 | 0.012937902 | 0.0148 | 1.1439259 | 0.020439573 | 0.0076 |
6.4 | 2.147964E-5 | 2.4935453E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.010354 | 2.4935453E-5 | 0.0 | 9.2052345E-5 | 1.0686237E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 3.7431326 | 3.06841E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.001120161 | 0.0013003643 | 0.0023 | 1.7687353 | 0.0025986738 | 0.0013 | 0.011145315 | 0.012937902 | 0.0148 | 1.1439259 | 0.020439573 | 0.0076 |
6.5 | 1.688201E-5 | 1.9506135E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 5.126592 | 1.9506135E-5 | 0.0 | 7.234947E-5 | 8.359545E-5 | 4.0E-4 | 4.7849493 | 2.8357873E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 8.804988E-4 | 0.0010173719 | 0.0016 | 1.5726796 | 0.0019164563 | 9.0E-4 | 0.008770182 | 0.010135547 | 0.0114 | 1.1247543 | 0.015579802 | 0.0055 |
6.6 | 1.6846381E-5 | 1.9465882E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 5.137193 | 1.9465882E-5 | 0.0 | 7.219678E-5 | 8.342295E-5 | 4.0E-4 | 4.794843 | 2.8340626E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 8.7864127E-4 | 0.0010152736 | 0.0016 | 1.5759298 | 0.0019143599 | 9.0E-4 | 0.008751754 | 0.010114756 | 0.0114 | 1.1270663 | 0.015559125 | 0.0055 |
6.7 | 1.3396501E-5 | 1.5433696E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 6.4793296 | 1.5433696E-5 | 0.0 | 5.7412315E-5 | 6.614309E-5 | 3.0E-4 | 4.535621 | 2.6612985E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 6.9877075E-4 | 8.050579E-4 | 0.0011 | 1.3663614 | 0.0015044943 | 7.0E-4 | 0.0069657755 | 0.008028875 | 0.0089 | 1.1084989 | 0.011897563 | 0.0039 |
6.8 | 1.0139058E-5 | 1.1644727E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1644727E-5 | 0.0 | 4.3452383E-5 | 4.990533E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.003794 | 1.4990034E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.289043E-4 | 6.074833E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.9876814 | 0.0011071796 | 5.0E-4 | 0.005276473 | 0.0060648876 | 0.006 | 0.9893011 | 0.008748513 | 0.0027 |
6.9 | 7.761281E-6 | 8.868197E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.868197E-6 | 0.0 | 3.326221E-5 | 3.8006292E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.631143 | 1.3800249E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.0489217E-4 | 4.6267957E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 1.2967938 | 9.6244825E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.0040415525 | 0.004623417 | 0.0045 | 0.9733062 | 0.006813245 | 0.0022 |
7.0 | 2.2109202E-6 | 2.3560385E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3560385E-6 | 0.0 | 9.475338E-6 | 1.0097269E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0097269E-5 | 0.0 | 1.1535613E-4 | 1.2292739E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2292739E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011529627 | 0.0012298371 | 8.0E-4 | 0.65049267 | 0.0016293451 | 4.0E-4 |
7.1 | 1.9008926E-6 | 2.0032421E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0032421E-6 | 0.0 | 8.146657E-6 | 8.585295E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.585295E-6 | 0.0 | 9.918104E-5 | 1.0452099E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0452099E-4 | 0.0 | 9.913679E-4 | 0.0010459563 | 7.0E-4 | 0.66924405 | 0.0013456425 | 3.0E-4 |
7.2 | 1.8495944E-6 | 1.9461174E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9461174E-6 | 0.0 | 7.926808E-6 | 8.340477E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.340477E-6 | 0.0 | 9.650462E-5 | 1.015406E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.015406E-4 | 0.0 | 9.6462725E-4 | 0.00101618 | 7.0E-4 | 0.6888543 | 0.0013158752 | 3.0E-4 |
7.3 | 1.7883189E-6 | 1.8781811E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8781811E-6 | 0.0 | 7.664201E-6 | 8.049323E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.049323E-6 | 0.0 | 9.330765E-5 | 9.7996126E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.7996126E-5 | 0.0 | 9.3268487E-4 | 9.807666E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.7137274 | 0.0012804724 | 3.0E-4 |
7.4 | 1.6520572E-6 | 1.7319906E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7319906E-6 | 0.0 | 7.0802257E-6 | 7.4227955E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.4227955E-6 | 0.0 | 8.6198335E-5 | 9.036881E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.036881E-5 | 0.0 | 8.616491E-4 | 9.045526E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.66331136 | 0.0012042812 | 3.0E-4 |
7.5 | 1.4040345E-6 | 1.4710724E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4710724E-6 | 0.0 | 6.0172765E-6 | 6.304581E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.304581E-6 | 0.0 | 7.325788E-5 | 7.67556E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.67556E-5 | 0.0 | 7.3233736E-4 | 7.6848734E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.6506288 | 9.683337E-4 | 2.0E-4 |
7.6 | 1.3013842E-7 | 1.4044763E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4044763E-7 | 0.0 | 5.57736E-7 | 6.0191826E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0191826E-7 | 0.0 | 6.790414E-6 | 7.32833E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.32833E-6 | 0.0 | 6.790207E-5 | 7.421106E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.6950161 | 1.7420364E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.7 | 8.541512E-8 | 9.388289E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.388289E-8 | 0.0 | 3.6606474E-7 | 4.0235517E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0235517E-7 | 0.0 | 4.456829E-6 | 4.898663E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.898663E-6 | 0.0 | 4.4567398E-5 | 4.9890572E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.9890572E-5 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 5.6074793E-8 | 6.6233895E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.6233895E-8 | 0.0 | 2.403205E-7 | 2.8385952E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8385952E-7 | 0.0 | 2.9258983E-6 | 3.4559841E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.4559841E-6 | 0.0 | 2.9258597E-5 | 3.539599E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.539599E-5 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.9475839E-8 | 3.6982183E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.6982183E-8 | 0.0 | 1.2632502E-7 | 1.5849507E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5849507E-7 | 0.0 | 1.538006E-6 | 1.9296756E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9296756E-6 | 0.0 | 1.5379954E-5 | 1.9840134E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9840134E-5 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.3337122E-8 | 2.0687857E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0687857E-8 | 0.0 | 5.7159088E-8 | 8.866224E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.866224E-8 | 0.0 | 6.959117E-7 | 1.0794622E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0794622E-6 | 0.0 | 6.959095E-6 | 1.1155702E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1155702E-5 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 2.6589986E-10 | 4.6516824E-10 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.6516824E-10 | 0.0 | 1.1395708E-9 | 1.9935782E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9935782E-9 | 0.0 | 1.3874274E-8 | 2.4271815E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4271815E-8 | 0.0 | 1.3874273E-7 | 2.495504E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.495504E-7 | 0.0 |
Hayward (No) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.3068506E-5 | 1.725135E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.725135E-4 | 0.0 | 3.9880406E-4 | 7.3913194E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.40588152 | 8.39058E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0048446343 | 0.008961689 | 0.0045 | 0.5021375 | 0.010448246 | 0.0015 | 0.047403704 | 0.08572861 | 0.0543 | 0.6333941 | 0.09880269 | 0.0143 |
6.1 | 9.055486E-5 | 1.6804136E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6804136E-4 | 0.0 | 3.880345E-4 | 7.1997853E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.41667908 | 8.1990653E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0047140904 | 0.008730584 | 0.0041 | 0.4696135 | 0.010118362 | 0.0014 | 0.046153355 | 0.08363212 | 0.0529 | 0.6325321 | 0.09655291 | 0.0141 |
6.2 | 9.006742E-5 | 1.6725084E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6725084E-4 | 0.0 | 3.859461E-4 | 7.165929E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.41864777 | 8.1652123E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0046887742 | 0.008689726 | 0.0039 | 0.4488059 | 0.010077559 | 0.0014 | 0.0459107 | 0.08325764 | 0.0527 | 0.632975 | 0.0961837 | 0.0141 |
6.3 | 8.8336754E-5 | 1.6405726E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6405726E-4 | 0.0 | 3.7853114E-4 | 7.0291373E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.42679492 | 8.028434E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004598882 | 0.008524548 | 0.0039 | 0.45750225 | 0.009912614 | 0.0014 | 0.04504866 | 0.08175838 | 0.0521 | 0.63724357 | 0.09470558 | 0.0141 |
6.4 | 8.526157E-5 | 1.5834384E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5834384E-4 | 0.0 | 3.6535555E-4 | 6.784406E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.4421905 | 7.7837275E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0044391346 | 0.008228888 | 0.0039 | 0.47394013 | 0.009617367 | 0.0014 | 0.043514993 | 0.07904674 | 0.0503 | 0.6363324 | 0.09138751 | 0.0134 |
6.5 | 8.152396E-5 | 1.5169044E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5169044E-4 | 0.0 | 3.493416E-4 | 6.4994063E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.4615806 | 7.498756E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0042449418 | 0.007884464 | 0.0037 | 0.46927726 | 0.009174215 | 0.0013 | 0.04164765 | 0.07588829 | 0.0481 | 0.6338264 | 0.08790174 | 0.013 |
6.6 | 7.987405E-5 | 1.4874262E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4874262E-4 | 0.0 | 3.4227243E-4 | 6.373133E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.4707261 | 7.3724956E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0041592065 | 0.0077318386 | 0.0037 | 0.47854078 | 0.009021787 | 0.0013 | 0.04082218 | 0.07448446 | 0.0475 | 0.6377169 | 0.0862385 | 0.0127 |
6.7 | 7.777665E-5 | 1.4514761E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4514761E-4 | 0.0 | 3.332859E-4 | 6.219135E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.48238215 | 7.2185136E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004050208 | 0.0075456616 | 0.0037 | 0.49034798 | 0.008835852 | 0.0013 | 0.039771806 | 0.0727652 | 0.0462 | 0.63491887 | 0.08435564 | 0.0125 |
6.8 | 7.3284005E-5 | 1.3671412E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3671412E-4 | 0.0 | 3.140365E-4 | 5.857867E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.3414212 | 5.857867E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0038166929 | 0.0071087657 | 0.0033 | 0.4642156 | 0.0083002355 | 0.0012 | 0.037518036 | 0.06870273 | 0.0431 | 0.6273405 | 0.07950577 | 0.0116 |
6.9 | 6.458263E-5 | 1.2015803E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2015803E-4 | 0.0 | 2.7675333E-4 | 5.1486184E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.38845372 | 5.1486184E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0033642664 | 0.0062505254 | 0.0029 | 0.463961 | 0.007244275 | 0.001 | 0.033137884 | 0.06068818 | 0.0381 | 0.62779933 | 0.070550956 | 0.0105 |
7.0 | 5.3853604E-5 | 9.924897E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.924897E-5 | 0.0 | 2.3078074E-4 | 4.252837E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.4702743 | 4.252837E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0028061352 | 0.0051655998 | 0.0027 | 0.52268857 | 0.0060609505 | 9.0E-4 | 0.027709642 | 0.050485056 | 0.0316 | 0.6259278 | 0.05884079 | 0.0088 |
7.1 | 4.4308683E-5 | 8.082263E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.082263E-5 | 0.0 | 1.8988053E-4 | 3.4633692E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.5774723 | 3.4633692E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0023093442 | 0.00420854 | 0.002 | 0.47522417 | 0.0048060147 | 6.0E-4 | 0.022854926 | 0.041401397 | 0.0246 | 0.59418285 | 0.04791987 | 0.0068 |
7.2 | 3.295973E-5 | 6.0015085E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0015085E-5 | 0.0 | 1.4124835E-4 | 2.5718228E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.3888293 | 2.5718228E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0017183421 | 0.0031267207 | 0.0016 | 0.5117183 | 0.0037248447 | 6.0E-4 | 0.017051157 | 0.03100248 | 0.0195 | 0.6289819 | 0.036525767 | 0.0057 |
7.3 | 2.452256E-5 | 4.4564884E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.4564884E-5 | 0.0 | 1.05092455E-4 | 1.9097845E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5236193 | 1.9097845E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0012787496 | 0.0023226966 | 0.0014 | 0.6027477 | 0.002921303 | 6.0E-4 | 0.0127141625 | 0.023140486 | 0.0155 | 0.6698217 | 0.027536355 | 0.0045 |
7.4 | 1.8829967E-5 | 3.4095287E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.4095287E-5 | 0.0 | 8.069736E-5 | 1.4611453E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.6843946 | 1.4611453E-4 | 0.0 | 9.820475E-4 | 0.0017775025 | 0.0011 | 0.6188458 | 0.002376436 | 6.0E-4 | 0.009777189 | 0.017770462 | 0.0123 | 0.69215983 | 0.02140471 | 0.0037 |
7.5 | 1.26374125E-5 | 2.2572262E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2572262E-5 | 0.0 | 5.4159216E-5 | 9.673471E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0337552 | 9.673471E-5 | 0.0 | 6.5918895E-4 | 0.0011771143 | 7.0E-4 | 0.5946746 | 0.0015766436 | 4.0E-4 | 0.00657237 | 0.011816552 | 0.0085 | 0.71932995 | 0.014287011 | 0.0025 |
7.6 | 4.666429E-6 | 8.338984E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.338984E-6 | 0.0 | 1.9998828E-5 | 3.573802E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.573802E-5 | 0.0 | 2.4345852E-4 | 4.350247E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.229872 | 5.349812E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0024319198 | 0.0043889293 | 0.0027 | 0.6151842 | 0.0051854183 | 8.0E-4 |
7.7 | 3.8399318E-7 | 6.8722426E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.8722426E-7 | 0.0 | 1.6456839E-6 | 2.9452435E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9452435E-6 | 0.0 | 2.003602E-5 | 3.585775E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.585775E-5 | 0.0 | 2.0034213E-4 | 3.7331492E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.53574073 | 5.732403E-4 | 2.0E-4 |
7.8 | 2.5637698E-7 | 5.140948E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.140948E-7 | 0.0 | 1.098758E-6 | 2.2032614E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2032614E-6 | 0.0 | 1.3377297E-5 | 2.6824378E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6824378E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3376492E-4 | 2.8144897E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.3553042 | 3.8142083E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.9 | 1.7141245E-7 | 3.5750372E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5750372E-7 | 0.0 | 7.3462456E-7 | 1.532158E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.532158E-6 | 0.0 | 8.944017E-6 | 1.8653864E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8653864E-5 | 0.0 | 8.943657E-5 | 1.9497327E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5128908 | 2.9495376E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
8.0 | 1.1808895E-7 | 2.643345E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.643345E-7 | 0.0 | 5.060954E-7 | 1.1328616E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1328616E-6 | 0.0 | 6.161694E-6 | 1.37925035E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.37925035E-5 | 0.0 | 6.161523E-5 | 1.4298939E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.69935256 | 2.4297509E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
8.1 | 5.138535E-8 | 1.0803121E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0803121E-7 | 0.0 | 2.2022292E-7 | 4.629908E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.629908E-7 | 0.0 | 2.6812106E-6 | 5.636899E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.636899E-6 | 0.0 | 2.6811784E-5 | 5.8068086E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.8068086E-5 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Superstition Mtn)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.4193904E-5 | 9.526121E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0497452 | 1.9525169E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.7508775E-4 | 4.082048E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.7148256 | 5.0816394E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0033440501 | 0.0049599917 | 0.0036 | 0.72580767 | 0.0065520555 | 0.0016 | 0.03294174 | 0.048500113 | 0.0356 | 0.7340189 | 0.06105991 | 0.0132 |
6.1 | 6.4193904E-5 | 9.526121E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0497452 | 1.9525169E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.7508775E-4 | 4.082048E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.7148256 | 5.0816394E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0033440501 | 0.0049599917 | 0.0036 | 0.72580767 | 0.0065520555 | 0.0016 | 0.03294174 | 0.048500113 | 0.0356 | 0.7340189 | 0.06105991 | 0.0132 |
6.2 | 5.7023593E-5 | 8.244546E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.212923 | 1.8243722E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.4436394E-4 | 3.5329885E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 1.4152325 | 4.532635E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.002971072 | 0.004294566 | 0.003 | 0.6985572 | 0.005588983 | 0.0013 | 0.029316625 | 0.04215797 | 0.0299 | 0.70923716 | 0.052790016 | 0.0111 |
6.3 | 5.6940098E-5 | 8.229117E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2151972 | 1.8228294E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.4400617E-4 | 3.5263775E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 1.4178855 | 4.526025E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.002966728 | 0.004286549 | 0.003 | 0.6998637 | 0.0055809766 | 0.0013 | 0.029274331 | 0.04208148 | 0.0299 | 0.71052635 | 0.052714378 | 0.0111 |
6.4 | 5.4171585E-5 | 7.6791446E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.3022283 | 1.7678377E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.3214328E-4 | 3.2907393E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 1.5194154 | 4.2904104E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0028226813 | 0.004000755 | 0.003 | 0.74985844 | 0.005295554 | 0.0013 | 0.02787096 | 0.039372634 | 0.0283 | 0.71877337 | 0.049555283 | 0.0106 |
6.5 | 4.375144E-5 | 5.5749737E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.7937304 | 1.5574416E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.874927E-4 | 2.3891217E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.2556916 | 3.3888826E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0022803338 | 0.0029060438 | 0.002 | 0.68822086 | 0.0036040095 | 7.0E-4 | 0.022570757 | 0.028898444 | 0.0184 | 0.6367125 | 0.035210606 | 0.0065 |
6.6 | 2.772192E-5 | 2.4909828E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.0144796 | 1.2490734E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1880282E-4 | 1.06752144E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.8734987 | 2.0674148E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0014454646 | 0.0012989512 | 0.0013 | 1.0008074 | 0.0018981718 | 6.0E-4 | 0.014360986 | 0.013240181 | 0.009 | 0.679749 | 0.016003108 | 0.0028 |
6.7 | 2.7124124E-5 | 2.412848E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.14448 | 1.2412606E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1624106E-4 | 1.0340377E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.9341654 | 2.0339343E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0014143161 | 0.0012582325 | 0.0013 | 1.0331954 | 0.0018574775 | 6.0E-4 | 0.014053487 | 0.01283759 | 0.0087 | 0.6776973 | 0.015404212 | 0.0026 |
6.8 | 2.5475807E-5 | 2.1622998E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.624706 | 1.2162083E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0917746E-4 | 9.266676E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.158271 | 1.9265749E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.001328425 | 0.0011276455 | 0.0011 | 0.9754839 | 0.0015271944 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0132051185 | 0.011539911 | 0.0072 | 0.62392163 | 0.013615677 | 0.0021 |
6.9 | 2.1162023E-5 | 1.7161407E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 5.8270283 | 1.1715969E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 9.069123E-5 | 7.3546835E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.7193558 | 1.7353948E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0011036064 | 8.9506846E-4 | 9.0E-4 | 1.0055096 | 0.0010948895 | 2.0E-4 | 0.010981417 | 0.009203641 | 0.0053 | 0.57585907 | 0.010491676 | 0.0013 |
7.0 | 1.8754288E-5 | 1.5732507E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 6.3562665 | 1.1573093E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 8.037304E-5 | 6.7423294E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4831669 | 1.6741655E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 9.781026E-4 | 8.2057185E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.85306364 | 9.204898E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.009738087 | 0.008445316 | 0.0045 | 0.5328397 | 0.009337715 | 9.0E-4 |
7.1 | 1.8678527E-5 | 1.5658765E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 6.3862 | 1.15657196E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 8.0048376E-5 | 6.710728E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4901513 | 1.6710057E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 9.7415317E-4 | 8.1672723E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.8570793 | 9.166456E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.009698939 | 0.008406885 | 0.0043 | 0.5114855 | 0.009299319 | 9.0E-4 |
7.2 | 1.7804578E-5 | 1.4961859E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 6.6836615 | 1.1496036E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 7.6303106E-5 | 6.4120686E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5595591 | 1.6411427E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 9.285943E-4 | 7.80392E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.7688444 | 8.803139E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.009247236 | 0.00804255 | 0.0042 | 0.52222246 | 0.008935311 | 9.0E-4 |
7.3 | 1.6583685E-5 | 1.4119139E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 7.082585 | 1.1411773E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 7.1070994E-5 | 6.0509203E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.6526412 | 1.6050316E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 8.649459E-4 | 7.3645246E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.8147165 | 8.3637884E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.00861587 | 0.007602046 | 0.0041 | 0.5393285 | 0.008495204 | 9.0E-4 |
7.4 | 1.6387552E-5 | 1.3984926E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 7.150556 | 1.1398353E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 7.023047E-5 | 5.9934035E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.6685011 | 1.5992804E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 8.5472054E-4 | 7.294545E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.8225325 | 8.293815E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.008514405 | 0.007531886 | 0.0041 | 0.54435235 | 0.008425107 | 9.0E-4 |
7.5 | 1.5790754E-5 | 1.3629862E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 7.3368316 | 1.136285E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.767291E-5 | 5.8412395E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.7119653 | 1.5840656E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 8.236062E-4 | 7.109408E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.70329344 | 8.108697E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.008205604 | 0.0073446203 | 0.0039 | 0.5310009 | 0.00823801 | 9.0E-4 |
7.6 | 1.4248672E-5 | 1.2659667E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 7.899102 | 1.126584E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.106431E-5 | 5.4254597E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.8431618 | 1.5424917E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 7.432043E-4 | 6.603511E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.7571729 | 7.602851E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.007407237 | 0.0068327114 | 0.0039 | 0.5707837 | 0.0077265617 | 9.0E-4 |
7.7 | 1.15449975E-5 | 1.0530548E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 9.4961815 | 1.10529494E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.947762E-5 | 4.5130142E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.2158139 | 1.4512562E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.022235E-4 | 5.493217E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.9102135 | 6.4926676E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006005941 | 0.0057139946 | 0.0033 | 0.57752943 | 0.0065094233 | 8.0E-4 |
7.8 | 9.1391985E-6 | 9.158651E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 10.918639 | 1.09157736E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.9167408E-5 | 3.925077E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.5477207 | 1.3924684E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.767588E-4 | 4.777739E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 1.0465201 | 5.777261E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0047573727 | 0.0049894555 | 0.0032 | 0.64135253 | 0.005785464 | 8.0E-4 |
7.9 | 6.973017E-6 | 7.0668393E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 14.150599 | 1.0706613E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.9884017E-5 | 3.0286104E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.3018444 | 1.3028308E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.6377716E-4 | 3.6867143E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.81373274 | 4.6863456E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0036318225 | 0.0038853926 | 0.0025 | 0.6434356 | 0.004582673 | 7.0E-4 |
8.0 | 5.7638235E-6 | 5.9720514E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 16.744665 | 1.05971456E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.4701867E-5 | 2.5594258E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.9071264 | 1.255917E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.0070372E-4 | 3.1156596E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.9628779 | 4.1153483E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0030029714 | 0.003301288 | 0.0021 | 0.6361154 | 0.0038993072 | 6.0E-4 |
8.1 | 5.1124434E-6 | 5.2342634E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 19.104885 | 1.0523374E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.1910288E-5 | 2.2432367E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.4578443 | 1.2243012E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.6672508E-4 | 2.7308028E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.098578 | 3.73053E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0026640517 | 0.0029019194 | 0.0019 | 0.654739 | 0.0035001785 | 6.0E-4 |
8.2 | 1.1075938E-6 | 4.960156E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.960156E-7 | 0.0 | 4.7468216E-6 | 2.1257797E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1257797E-6 | 0.0 | 5.779102E-5 | 2.5881078E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.8638265 | 2.5881078E-5 | 0.0 | 5.777599E-4 | 2.9245572E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.0257963 | 2.9245572E-4 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.3584393E-8 | 4.120862E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.120862E-9 | 0.0 | 5.8218827E-8 | 1.7660836E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7660836E-8 | 0.0 | 7.0881396E-7 | 2.1502069E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1502069E-7 | 0.0 | 7.0881174E-6 | 2.418362E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.418362E-6 | 0.0 |
Ortigalita (North)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.711876E-5 | 1.0468789E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.9552203 | 1.0468789E-4 | 0.0 | 3.3046713E-4 | 4.4859215E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.4458393 | 5.485473E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004016016 | 0.0054490888 | 0.0031 | 0.5689025 | 0.0060458193 | 6.0E-4 | 0.039442103 | 0.053277437 | 0.0372 | 0.6982318 | 0.063691385 | 0.011 |
6.1 | 4.607858E-5 | 6.0052193E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0052193E-5 | 0.0 | 1.9746469E-4 | 2.573422E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.38858765 | 3.5731646E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0024014818 | 0.0031289689 | 0.0014 | 0.44743174 | 0.0035277172 | 4.0E-4 | 0.023756953 | 0.030881127 | 0.0208 | 0.67355055 | 0.03679275 | 0.0061 |
6.2 | 4.607858E-5 | 6.0052193E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0052193E-5 | 0.0 | 1.9746469E-4 | 2.573422E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.38858765 | 3.5731646E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0024014818 | 0.0031289689 | 0.0014 | 0.44743174 | 0.0035277172 | 4.0E-4 | 0.023756953 | 0.030881127 | 0.0208 | 0.67355055 | 0.03679275 | 0.0061 |
6.3 | 3.327423E-5 | 4.2353746E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.2353746E-5 | 0.0 | 1.4259605E-4 | 1.8150471E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5509499 | 2.8148654E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0017347244 | 0.0022078266 | 9.0E-4 | 0.4076407 | 0.0025071644 | 3.0E-4 | 0.017212452 | 0.021883437 | 0.0139 | 0.6351836 | 0.026089339 | 0.0043 |
6.4 | 2.7732503E-5 | 3.4902085E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.4902085E-5 | 0.0 | 1.1884817E-4 | 1.4957308E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.6685695 | 2.4955813E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.001446016 | 0.0018197665 | 7.0E-4 | 0.38466474 | 0.0020194026 | 2.0E-4 | 0.014366428 | 0.018071692 | 0.0114 | 0.6308208 | 0.021312056 | 0.0033 |
6.5 | 2.7689714E-5 | 3.485199E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.485199E-5 | 0.0 | 1.186648E-4 | 1.4935841E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.6695304 | 2.493435E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0014437864 | 0.0018171573 | 7.0E-4 | 0.38521707 | 0.0020167937 | 2.0E-4 | 0.014344421 | 0.018046025 | 0.0114 | 0.6317181 | 0.021286473 | 0.0033 |
6.6 | 2.2976905E-5 | 2.8641503E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8641503E-5 | 0.0 | 9.846873E-5 | 1.2274482E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.81469834 | 2.2273255E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0011981975 | 0.0014936309 | 5.0E-4 | 0.3347547 | 0.0016933322 | 2.0E-4 | 0.011917574 | 0.014859187 | 0.0089 | 0.59895605 | 0.017026497 | 0.0022 |
6.7 | 1.9871539E-5 | 2.4836998E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4836998E-5 | 0.0 | 8.516096E-5 | 1.064412E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.93948585 | 2.0643056E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0010363415 | 0.0012953919 | 4.0E-4 | 0.30878687 | 0.0013952623 | 1.0E-4 | 0.010315218 | 0.012901974 | 0.0077 | 0.5968079 | 0.01487617 | 0.002 |
6.8 | 6.5640475E-6 | 7.5928892E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.5928892E-6 | 0.0 | 2.813133E-5 | 3.2540564E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2540564E-5 | 0.0 | 3.424451E-4 | 3.961122E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.2524537 | 3.961122E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0034191788 | 0.0039543477 | 0.0024 | 0.6069269 | 0.0047511845 | 8.0E-4 |
6.9 | 5.6219683E-6 | 6.491215E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.491215E-6 | 0.0 | 2.4093928E-5 | 2.7819211E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7819211E-5 | 0.0 | 2.933041E-4 | 3.3864882E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.29529116 | 3.3864882E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0029291727 | 0.0033815838 | 0.0021 | 0.6210108 | 0.003979555 | 6.0E-4 |
7.0 | 3.875591E-6 | 4.4773983E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.4773983E-6 | 0.0 | 1.6609569E-5 | 1.9188721E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9188721E-5 | 0.0 | 2.0220275E-4 | 2.3359974E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.42808267 | 2.3359974E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0020201886 | 0.0023337496 | 0.0016 | 0.685592 | 0.0026330494 | 3.0E-4 |
7.1 | 1.6017933E-6 | 1.8539527E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8539527E-6 | 0.0 | 6.8648105E-6 | 7.945493E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.945493E-6 | 0.0 | 8.357586E-5 | 9.673315E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.673315E-5 | 0.0 | 8.3544437E-4 | 9.6701476E-4 | 9.0E-4 | 0.93069935 | 0.001066918 | 1.0E-4 |
San Andreas (Santa Cruz Mts) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.7221631E-4 | 1.3359381E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.4970754 | 2.3358045E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 7.378611E-4 | 5.7242124E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.2228757 | 0.001072135 | 5.0E-4 | 0.008946515 | 0.00694732 | 0.0039 | 0.5613676 | 0.008238289 | 0.0013 | 0.08594794 | 0.068459615 | 0.0423 | 0.61788255 | 0.080476485 | 0.0129 |
6.1 | 1.7221631E-4 | 1.3359381E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.4970754 | 2.3358045E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 7.378611E-4 | 5.7242124E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.2228757 | 0.001072135 | 5.0E-4 | 0.008946515 | 0.00694732 | 0.0039 | 0.5613676 | 0.008238289 | 0.0013 | 0.08594794 | 0.068459615 | 0.0423 | 0.61788255 | 0.080476485 | 0.0129 |
6.2 | 1.7221631E-4 | 1.3359381E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.4970754 | 2.3358045E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 7.378611E-4 | 5.7242124E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.2228757 | 0.001072135 | 5.0E-4 | 0.008946515 | 0.00694732 | 0.0039 | 0.5613676 | 0.008238289 | 0.0013 | 0.08594794 | 0.068459615 | 0.0423 | 0.61788255 | 0.080476485 | 0.0129 |
6.3 | 1.716926E-4 | 1.3279845E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.5060416 | 2.3278517E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 7.3561794E-4 | 5.6901405E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.230198 | 0.0010687296 | 5.0E-4 | 0.008919428 | 0.0069061005 | 0.0039 | 0.5647181 | 0.008197122 | 0.0013 | 0.08569809 | 0.06807798 | 0.0423 | 0.6213463 | 0.08009978 | 0.0129 |
6.4 | 1.6392978E-4 | 1.3165445E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.5191282 | 2.3164129E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 7.02367E-4 | 5.641133E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.2408854 | 0.0010638313 | 5.0E-4 | 0.008517839 | 0.0068468098 | 0.0039 | 0.5696084 | 0.008137909 | 0.0013 | 0.08198654 | 0.06737431 | 0.042 | 0.623383 | 0.07931192 | 0.0128 |
6.5 | 1.5742714E-4 | 1.2240767E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.6338845 | 2.2239542E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.745133E-4 | 5.245005E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.3346032 | 0.0010242382 | 5.0E-4 | 0.00818132 | 0.006367395 | 0.0036 | 0.56538033 | 0.007559754 | 0.0012 | 0.078865945 | 0.062878974 | 0.0393 | 0.6250102 | 0.074124426 | 0.012 |
6.6 | 1.3038084E-4 | 1.12178415E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.7828742 | 2.121672E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.5865536E-4 | 4.806773E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.4562784 | 9.804369E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.006780438 | 0.005836761 | 0.0035 | 0.59964764 | 0.007029757 | 0.0012 | 0.0657725 | 0.05756303 | 0.0356 | 0.6184525 | 0.06764711 | 0.0107 |
6.7 | 1.2867592E-4 | 1.0947125E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.8269637 | 2.094603E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.5135164E-4 | 4.6907936E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.4922848 | 9.688448E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.0066920654 | 0.005696302 | 0.0034 | 0.59687847 | 0.0067900363 | 0.0011 | 0.06494093 | 0.056283895 | 0.0346 | 0.61474067 | 0.06600417 | 0.0103 |
6.8 | 1.2801298E-4 | 1.0885359E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.8373305 | 2.088427E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.485117E-4 | 4.6643318E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.5007509 | 9.6619996E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.0066577005 | 0.0056642666 | 0.0034 | 0.60025424 | 0.006758036 | 0.0011 | 0.06461738 | 0.056000307 | 0.0345 | 0.61606807 | 0.0657235 | 0.0103 |
6.9 | 1.269149E-4 | 1.0729105E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.8640884 | 2.0728032E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.4380763E-4 | 4.5973898E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.5226032 | 9.595091E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.006600777 | 0.0055831852 | 0.0034 | 0.6089714 | 0.0066770436 | 0.0011 | 0.06408122 | 0.05527711 | 0.0342 | 0.618701 | 0.06491328 | 0.0102 |
7.0 | 1.2030331E-4 | 1.0465304E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.9110769 | 2.0464257E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.154837E-4 | 4.4843715E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.5609769 | 9.482129E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.006257969 | 0.005446281 | 0.0033 | 0.60591805 | 0.00654029 | 0.0011 | 0.06084648 | 0.053984426 | 0.0335 | 0.6205493 | 0.063444585 | 0.01 |
7.1 | 8.049617E-5 | 5.119293E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 3.9067895 | 1.511878E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.4493793E-4 | 2.1937999E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 2.2791505 | 5.193142E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0041915346 | 0.002667712 | 0.002 | 0.74970615 | 0.0032661112 | 6.0E-4 | 0.041133516 | 0.028252317 | 0.0169 | 0.59818107 | 0.032916706 | 0.0048 |
7.2 | 7.093979E-5 | 4.053063E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.4672697 | 1.4052658E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.0399222E-4 | 1.7369125E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.7272027 | 3.736565E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0036948253 | 0.002112661 | 0.0015 | 0.71000504 | 0.0025118159 | 4.0E-4 | 0.03633994 | 0.022721484 | 0.0131 | 0.57654685 | 0.026532872 | 0.0039 |
7.3 | 6.193693E-5 | 2.7079577E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.6928198 | 1.2707687E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.6541698E-4 | 1.1605017E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.7233925 | 3.1602697E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0032266637 | 0.0014119967 | 9.0E-4 | 0.6373953 | 0.001711573 | 3.0E-4 | 0.031802133 | 0.015540426 | 0.0089 | 0.5726999 | 0.018198466 | 0.0027 |
7.4 | 5.906492E-5 | 2.5300913E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.9524267 | 1.2529838E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.5311083E-4 | 1.0842798E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.8445424 | 3.084063E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0030772698 | 0.0013193125 | 8.0E-4 | 0.6063764 | 0.0016189166 | 3.0E-4 | 0.030350044 | 0.0145563455 | 0.0085 | 0.58393776 | 0.017019955 | 0.0025 |
7.5 | 5.424296E-5 | 2.308302E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.332189 | 1.2308071E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.324491E-4 | 9.8923476E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.0217648 | 2.989037E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.002826395 | 0.001203729 | 8.0E-4 | 0.66460145 | 0.0015033678 | 3.0E-4 | 0.027907165 | 0.013312764 | 0.0079 | 0.5934155 | 0.015483475 | 0.0022 |
7.6 | 4.43084E-5 | 1.861554E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 5.3718557 | 1.1861368E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.8987931E-4 | 7.9778445E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.5069427 | 2.797625E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0023093296 | 9.7087E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 0.8240032 | 0.0012705787 | 3.0E-4 | 0.022854783 | 0.010722251 | 0.0069 | 0.6435216 | 0.012799733 | 0.0021 |
7.7 | 4.118098E-5 | 1.770064E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 5.649513 | 1.1769887E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.7647797E-4 | 7.5857686E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.636516 | 2.7584253E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.002146502 | 9.231762E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 0.86657345 | 0.0012228993 | 3.0E-4 | 0.021258866 | 0.010208172 | 0.0068 | 0.666133 | 0.012286735 | 0.0021 |
7.8 | 3.5408906E-5 | 1.7357746E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 5.7611165 | 1.1735601E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5174363E-4 | 7.438822E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.6885977 | 2.7437333E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0018459131 | 9.053005E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.77322394 | 0.0011051195 | 2.0E-4 | 0.018306552 | 0.010006634 | 0.0066 | 0.65956247 | 0.011986621 | 0.002 |
7.9 | 2.5860836E-5 | 1.6212196E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 6.168196 | 1.1621058E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.10827445E-4 | 6.9478985E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.8785682 | 2.694651E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.001348489 | 8.455786E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.8278355 | 0.0010454095 | 2.0E-4 | 0.013403354 | 0.009321108 | 0.006 | 0.64370024 | 0.011203399 | 0.0019 |
8.0 | 1.9777332E-5 | 1.389101E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 7.1989007 | 1.1388962E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 8.4757245E-5 | 5.953154E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 3.3595636 | 2.5951964E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0010314309 | 7.2455563E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.8280937 | 9.2441076E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.010266567 | 0.008004486 | 0.0051 | 0.6371427 | 0.009393279 | 0.0014 |
8.1 | 1.468494E-5 | 1.132595E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 8.829281 | 1.11324814E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.293394E-5 | 4.8538885E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 4.1204076 | 2.485292E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 7.6595135E-4 | 5.9080083E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.6770471 | 7.906827E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0076331664 | 0.006551777 | 0.0041 | 0.6257844 | 0.00784326 | 0.0013 |
8.2 | 8.63836E-6 | 5.063271E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.063271E-6 | 0.0 | 3.7021015E-5 | 2.1699554E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.60839 | 1.2169738E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.5063766E-4 | 2.641601E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.7571166 | 3.6413368E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004497249 | 0.0030230249 | 0.0022 | 0.72774786 | 0.003720909 | 7.0E-4 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 6.9765395E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.9765395E-7 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 2.9899422E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9899422E-6 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.640195E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.640195E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.3255524E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.46236867 | 5.32512E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
Maacama 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.368203E-4 | 2.5635184E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.3900889 | 2.5635184E-4 | 0.0 | 5.862409E-4 | 0.0010980846 | 6.0E-4 | 0.546406 | 0.0011979748 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0071141496 | 0.01327047 | 0.0063 | 0.47473824 | 0.013862508 | 6.0E-4 | 0.06890667 | 0.12352369 | 0.063 | 0.5100236 | 0.13465494 | 0.0127 |
6.1 | 1.368203E-4 | 2.5635184E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.3900889 | 2.5635184E-4 | 0.0 | 5.862409E-4 | 0.0010980846 | 6.0E-4 | 0.546406 | 0.0011979748 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0071141496 | 0.01327047 | 0.0063 | 0.47473824 | 0.013862508 | 6.0E-4 | 0.06890667 | 0.12352369 | 0.063 | 0.5100236 | 0.13465494 | 0.0127 |
6.2 | 1.360743E-4 | 2.5510418E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.3919967 | 2.5510418E-4 | 0.0 | 5.8304524E-4 | 0.0010927428 | 6.0E-4 | 0.5490771 | 0.0011926334 | 1.0E-4 | 0.007075496 | 0.013206296 | 0.0062 | 0.46947306 | 0.013699692 | 5.0E-4 | 0.06854413 | 0.12295995 | 0.0627 | 0.50992215 | 0.13392295 | 0.0125 |
6.3 | 1.1917239E-4 | 2.2215783E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.4501304 | 2.2215783E-4 | 0.0 | 5.1063887E-4 | 9.516658E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.5253945 | 0.0010515706 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0061993203 | 0.0115129175 | 0.0056 | 0.48641014 | 0.012007161 | 5.0E-4 | 0.060292065 | 0.10821077 | 0.0553 | 0.5110397 | 0.11793128 | 0.0109 |
6.4 | 1.1859289E-4 | 2.2119796E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.45208374 | 2.2119796E-4 | 0.0 | 5.0815626E-4 | 9.4755524E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.5276737 | 0.0010474605 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006169266 | 0.01146345 | 0.0056 | 0.48850912 | 0.011957719 | 5.0E-4 | 0.06000784 | 0.10776911 | 0.0552 | 0.51220614 | 0.117405206 | 0.0108 |
6.5 | 1.09512424E-4 | 2.0379502E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.49068913 | 2.0379502E-4 | 0.0 | 4.6925453E-4 | 8.7303045E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.45817417 | 9.7294315E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005698218 | 0.010567845 | 0.0051 | 0.48259604 | 0.011062561 | 5.0E-4 | 0.055543028 | 0.09987926 | 0.0508 | 0.5086141 | 0.10861043 | 0.0097 |
6.6 | 1.0502928E-4 | 1.9539754E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.51177716 | 1.9539754E-4 | 0.0 | 4.500478E-4 | 8.370793E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.477852 | 9.369956E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0054655746 | 0.010135436 | 0.0048 | 0.47358593 | 0.010630368 | 5.0E-4 | 0.053330887 | 0.096041255 | 0.0485 | 0.5049913 | 0.10453847 | 0.0094 |
6.7 | 9.739358E-5 | 1.8128623E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.55161387 | 1.8128623E-4 | 0.0 | 4.173343E-4 | 7.76656E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.5150286 | 8.7657827E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0050692135 | 0.009408074 | 0.0046 | 0.48894173 | 0.00990337 | 5.0E-4 | 0.049551267 | 0.08953129 | 0.0453 | 0.5059684 | 0.097452365 | 0.0087 |
6.8 | 8.969524E-5 | 1.6537543E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.6046847 | 1.6537543E-4 | 0.0 | 3.8435153E-4 | 7.085191E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.56455785 | 8.0844824E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0046694432 | 0.008586911 | 0.0043 | 0.50076216 | 0.009082617 | 5.0E-4 | 0.045725387 | 0.08210195 | 0.0412 | 0.5018151 | 0.089353345 | 0.0079 |
6.9 | 7.838291E-5 | 1.4312066E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.69871116 | 1.4312066E-4 | 0.0 | 3.358835E-4 | 6.132103E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.65230477 | 7.1314897E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0040817154 | 0.007436715 | 0.0038 | 0.5109783 | 0.00783374 | 4.0E-4 | 0.04007554 | 0.07155836 | 0.0346 | 0.48352146 | 0.07740754 | 0.0063 |
7.0 | 6.961957E-5 | 1.2612199E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2612199E-4 | 0.0 | 2.9833548E-4 | 5.403989E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.5551455 | 6.403448E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0036261857 | 0.0065571754 | 0.0036 | 0.5490169 | 0.0068552084 | 3.0E-4 | 0.035675827 | 0.063420855 | 0.0305 | 0.48091435 | 0.06847838 | 0.0054 |
7.1 | 5.999398E-5 | 1.0820933E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0820933E-4 | 0.0 | 2.570917E-4 | 4.6366043E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.21567509 | 4.6366043E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0031255994 | 0.0056291055 | 0.0031 | 0.5507091 | 0.0058279797 | 2.0E-4 | 0.030820016 | 0.054735687 | 0.0264 | 0.48231786 | 0.059367485 | 0.0049 |
7.2 | 5.116532E-5 | 9.23087E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.23087E-5 | 0.0 | 2.1926152E-4 | 3.955426E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.25281727 | 3.955426E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002666241 | 0.004804493 | 0.0028 | 0.5827878 | 0.0049040127 | 1.0E-4 | 0.026344774 | 0.046942685 | 0.0234 | 0.4984802 | 0.050754916 | 0.004 |
7.3 | 4.2087835E-5 | 7.556372E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.556372E-5 | 0.0 | 1.8036396E-4 | 3.2380017E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.30883247 | 3.2380017E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0021937196 | 0.0039347745 | 0.0024 | 0.609946 | 0.004034381 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0217219 | 0.03860835 | 0.0204 | 0.52838314 | 0.04178094 | 0.0033 |
7.4 | 2.8991652E-5 | 5.077215E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.077215E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2424402E-4 | 2.1757593E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.45960966 | 2.1757593E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0015116213 | 0.0026457685 | 0.0014 | 0.5291468 | 0.0026457685 | 0.0 | 0.015013801 | 0.02613686 | 0.0145 | 0.5547721 | 0.028571518 | 0.0025 |
7.5 | 1.1292299E-6 | 1.4882911E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4882911E-6 | 0.0 | 4.8395473E-6 | 6.378382E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.378382E-6 | 0.0 | 5.8919897E-5 | 7.765527E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2877426 | 7.765527E-5 | 0.0 | 5.890428E-4 | 7.769498E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.25741687 | 8.768721E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.6 | 2.6535366E-7 | 3.4464765E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.4464765E-7 | 0.0 | 1.1372296E-6 | 1.4770604E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4770604E-6 | 0.0 | 1.3845682E-5 | 1.7983064E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7983064E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3844819E-4 | 1.8031562E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.55458313 | 2.802976E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.7 | 9.727789E-8 | 1.217252E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.217252E-7 | 0.0 | 4.1690518E-7 | 5.216793E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.216793E-7 | 0.0 | 5.0758085E-6 | 6.3514267E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.3514267E-6 | 0.0 | 5.0756928E-5 | 6.3888314E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5652314 | 1.6388192E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.8 | 6.1939325E-9 | 7.616068E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.616068E-9 | 0.0 | 2.6545425E-8 | 3.2640294E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2640294E-8 | 0.0 | 3.231905E-7 | 3.973955E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.973955E-7 | 0.0 | 3.2319003E-6 | 4.0111067E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0111067E-6 | 0.0 |
Rodgers Creek - Healdsburg 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.390182E-5 | 1.3031342E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.5347613 | 2.3030039E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.1668364E-4 | 5.5836583E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.71637625 | 7.5825414E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0038488081 | 0.0067768767 | 0.004 | 0.5902424 | 0.007968744 | 0.0012 | 0.037828278 | 0.06568972 | 0.0403 | 0.6134902 | 0.076340854 | 0.0114 |
6.1 | 7.318768E-5 | 1.2929743E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.7734106 | 2.292845E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.1362378E-4 | 5.5401365E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.5415029 | 7.5390283E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0038116854 | 0.006724231 | 0.0039 | 0.57999194 | 0.007916162 | 0.0012 | 0.037469655 | 0.06519586 | 0.0396 | 0.60740054 | 0.07575914 | 0.0113 |
6.2 | 7.1379836E-5 | 1.2623613E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.79216623 | 2.262235E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.058777E-4 | 5.408993E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.5546319 | 7.407911E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.003717703 | 0.006565535 | 0.0037 | 0.5635489 | 0.0077576563 | 0.0012 | 0.0365612 | 0.06372185 | 0.0385 | 0.6041883 | 0.074020915 | 0.011 |
6.3 | 6.9255926E-5 | 1.2279439E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.81436944 | 2.2278211E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.9677735E-4 | 5.261558E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.5701733 | 7.260506E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0036072785 | 0.00638718 | 0.0035 | 0.5479726 | 0.0074801543 | 0.0011 | 0.035492823 | 0.062059175 | 0.0377 | 0.6074847 | 0.07209514 | 0.0107 |
6.4 | 6.6757144E-5 | 1.1857733E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1857733E-4 | 0.0 | 2.8607066E-4 | 5.080899E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.19681557 | 5.080899E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0034773487 | 0.0061685205 | 0.0032 | 0.51876295 | 0.007062969 | 9.0E-4 | 0.034234364 | 0.060015246 | 0.0365 | 0.6081788 | 0.06960309 | 0.0102 |
6.5 | 6.5735134E-5 | 1.1707417E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1707417E-4 | 0.0 | 2.8169158E-4 | 5.016503E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.19934203 | 5.016503E-4 | 0.0 | 0.003424202 | 0.0060905716 | 0.0031 | 0.50898343 | 0.0068856995 | 8.0E-4 | 0.03371918 | 0.059280805 | 0.0356 | 0.60053164 | 0.068499856 | 0.0098 |
6.6 | 6.289601E-5 | 1.1244678E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1244678E-4 | 0.0 | 2.6952647E-4 | 4.8182617E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.20754373 | 4.8182617E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0032765474 | 0.0058505335 | 0.003 | 0.51277375 | 0.006645853 | 8.0E-4 | 0.032286562 | 0.057026185 | 0.0341 | 0.5979709 | 0.065701544 | 0.0092 |
6.7 | 6.115274E-5 | 1.0962786E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0962786E-4 | 0.0 | 2.6205686E-4 | 4.6974944E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.21287943 | 4.6974944E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0031858748 | 0.0057042795 | 0.0029 | 0.50839025 | 0.006499716 | 8.0E-4 | 0.031405866 | 0.05564904 | 0.0338 | 0.607378 | 0.06433707 | 0.0092 |
6.8 | 5.9232367E-5 | 1.06314415E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.06314415E-4 | 0.0 | 2.538283E-4 | 4.55554E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.21951294 | 4.55554E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0030859804 | 0.00553234 | 0.0029 | 0.5241905 | 0.0063279145 | 8.0E-4 | 0.030434765 | 0.054020785 | 0.0331 | 0.6127271 | 0.06244 | 0.0089 |
6.9 | 5.4030377E-5 | 9.731323E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.731323E-5 | 0.0 | 2.315382E-4 | 4.1699034E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.23981372 | 4.1699034E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0028153337 | 0.005065104 | 0.0024 | 0.47383034 | 0.005861052 | 8.0E-4 | 0.027799325 | 0.04958083 | 0.0305 | 0.61515707 | 0.057469312 | 0.0083 |
7.0 | 4.8260714E-5 | 8.655727E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.655727E-5 | 0.0 | 2.0681522E-4 | 3.7090728E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.26960918 | 3.7090728E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0025150678 | 0.004506499 | 0.0023 | 0.510374 | 0.0053028935 | 8.0E-4 | 0.024867928 | 0.044259977 | 0.0274 | 0.61906946 | 0.051332455 | 0.0074 |
7.1 | 4.0294493E-5 | 7.31159E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.31159E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7267925E-4 | 3.1331644E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.31916615 | 3.1331644E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0021003427 | 0.003807993 | 0.0019 | 0.4989505 | 0.004405708 | 6.0E-4 | 0.02080602 | 0.037548725 | 0.0225 | 0.5992214 | 0.043515924 | 0.0062 |
7.2 | 3.096388E-5 | 5.6294935E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.6294935E-5 | 0.0 | 1.326956E-4 | 2.4124181E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.41452184 | 2.4124181E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0016143717 | 0.0029331848 | 0.0016 | 0.54548216 | 0.0035314248 | 6.0E-4 | 0.01602694 | 0.029103395 | 0.0184 | 0.6322287 | 0.034152057 | 0.0052 |
7.3 | 2.3615226E-5 | 4.3046974E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.3046974E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0120418E-4 | 1.8447405E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.54208165 | 1.8447405E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0012314644 | 0.0022436716 | 0.0014 | 0.62397724 | 0.0028423253 | 6.0E-4 | 0.0122466255 | 0.022352643 | 0.0149 | 0.6665878 | 0.026556527 | 0.0043 |
7.4 | 1.8251132E-5 | 3.3060413E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3060413E-5 | 0.0 | 7.821679E-5 | 1.4167985E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.7058167 | 1.4167985E-4 | 0.0 | 9.518733E-4 | 0.0017235968 | 0.0011 | 0.6382003 | 0.0023225627 | 6.0E-4 | 0.009478063 | 0.017229114 | 0.0119 | 0.69069135 | 0.020668812 | 0.0035 |
7.5 | 1.2411432E-5 | 2.2128861E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2128861E-5 | 0.0 | 5.3190768E-5 | 9.483456E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0544679 | 9.483456E-5 | 0.0 | 6.4740516E-4 | 0.0011540048 | 7.0E-4 | 0.60658324 | 0.0015535433 | 4.0E-4 | 0.006455223 | 0.011579441 | 0.0083 | 0.71678764 | 0.013951651 | 0.0024 |
7.6 | 4.4771446E-6 | 7.959984E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.959984E-6 | 0.0 | 1.918762E-5 | 3.411378E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.411378E-5 | 0.0 | 2.3358424E-4 | 4.1525727E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.24081457 | 5.1521574E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0023333887 | 0.0041836957 | 0.0026 | 0.62146014 | 0.004880767 | 7.0E-4 |
7.7 | 2.157941E-7 | 3.4273316E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.4273316E-7 | 0.0 | 9.248315E-7 | 1.4688554E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4688554E-6 | 0.0 | 1.1259765E-5 | 1.7883169E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7883169E-5 | 0.0 | 1.1259195E-4 | 1.8532724E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.53958607 | 2.8530872E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.8 | 9.9623286E-8 | 1.9087027E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9087027E-7 | 0.0 | 4.269569E-7 | 8.1801517E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.1801517E-7 | 0.0 | 5.1981874E-6 | 9.959289E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.959289E-6 | 0.0 | 5.198066E-5 | 1.05007646E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.05007646E-4 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 5.6745257E-8 | 1.1275879E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1275879E-7 | 0.0 | 2.4319394E-7 | 4.832519E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.832519E-7 | 0.0 | 2.960882E-6 | 5.883576E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.883576E-6 | 0.0 | 2.9608427E-5 | 6.2265266E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.2265266E-5 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 2.8614323E-8 | 6.316886E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.316886E-8 | 0.0 | 1.2263281E-7 | 2.7072366E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7072366E-7 | 0.0 | 1.4930534E-6 | 3.2960556E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2960556E-6 | 0.0 | 1.4930434E-5 | 3.45655E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.45655E-5 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 3.5045191E-9 | 8.63407E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.63407E-9 | 0.0 | 1.5019367E-8 | 3.7003158E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.7003158E-8 | 0.0 | 1.8286079E-7 | 4.5051337E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.5051337E-7 | 0.0 | 1.8286064E-6 | 4.6761565E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.6761565E-6 | 0.0 |
Mission Ridge-Arroyo Parida-Santa Ana
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.169034E-5 | 4.7031077E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.7031077E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7866064E-4 | 2.0155103E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.49615228 | 2.0155103E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0021730233 | 0.002451958 | 0.0028 | 1.1419445 | 0.0032499963 | 8.0E-4 | 0.021518968 | 0.024330473 | 0.0261 | 1.0727289 | 0.032721233 | 0.0086 |
6.1 | 1.73813E-5 | 1.6825945E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6825945E-5 | 0.0 | 7.4489166E-5 | 7.210926E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.210926E-5 | 0.0 | 9.065282E-4 | 8.7758724E-4 | 0.0012 | 1.3673854 | 0.001177324 | 3.0E-4 | 0.009028391 | 0.008742256 | 0.009 | 1.0294826 | 0.011616903 | 0.0029 |
6.2 | 1.4622182E-5 | 1.3650147E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3650147E-5 | 0.0 | 6.2664985E-5 | 5.8499336E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.8499336E-5 | 0.0 | 7.6267915E-4 | 7.1200053E-4 | 9.0E-4 | 1.2640439 | 9.1185817E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.007600669 | 0.007097535 | 0.007 | 0.9862579 | 0.00928192 | 0.0022 |
6.3 | 1.3552434E-5 | 1.2460481E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2460481E-5 | 0.0 | 5.8080568E-5 | 5.340099E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.340099E-5 | 0.0 | 7.069015E-4 | 6.4996624E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.076979 | 8.498362E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.00704657 | 0.0064809136 | 0.0061 | 0.94122535 | 0.008467952 | 0.002 |
6.4 | 1.30977305E-5 | 1.1957998E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1957998E-5 | 0.0 | 5.613192E-5 | 5.124757E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.124757E-5 | 0.0 | 6.831918E-4 | 6.237636E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.12222 | 8.236388E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.006810953 | 0.006220371 | 0.0059 | 0.94849646 | 0.008009175 | 0.0018 |
6.5 | 1.225205E-5 | 1.1028621E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1028621E-5 | 0.0 | 5.2507727E-5 | 4.7264675E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.7264675E-5 | 0.0 | 6.3909404E-4 | 5.7529815E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.2167603 | 7.7518314E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.006372592 | 0.0057382965 | 0.0054 | 0.9410458 | 0.0074285413 | 0.0017 |
6.6 | 1.1352241E-5 | 1.004433E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.004433E-5 | 0.0 | 4.8651553E-5 | 4.304643E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.304643E-5 | 0.0 | 5.921717E-4 | 5.239664E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.9542597 | 6.23914E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0059059616 | 0.0052274545 | 0.0047 | 0.8990992 | 0.0068190903 | 0.0016 |
6.7 | 1.0864116E-5 | 9.498515E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.498515E-6 | 0.0 | 4.6559664E-5 | 4.07073E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.07073E-5 | 0.0 | 5.667165E-4 | 4.9550063E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.8072643 | 4.9550063E-4 | 0.0 | 0.005652734 | 0.0049440903 | 0.0044 | 0.8899514 | 0.006237663 | 0.0013 |
6.8 | 1.0666365E-5 | 9.281492E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.281492E-6 | 0.0 | 4.571219E-5 | 3.9777227E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.9777227E-5 | 0.0 | 5.564038E-4 | 4.8418212E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.8261354 | 4.8418212E-4 | 0.0 | 0.005550127 | 0.0048314026 | 0.0044 | 0.91070867 | 0.006125122 | 0.0013 |
6.9 | 1.0038665E-5 | 8.574703E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.574703E-6 | 0.0 | 4.302214E-5 | 3.674822E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.674822E-5 | 0.0 | 5.236687E-4 | 4.4731953E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.6706615 | 4.4731953E-4 | 0.0 | 0.005224364 | 0.0044643003 | 0.0041 | 0.918397 | 0.005658943 | 0.0012 |
7.0 | 9.5379955E-6 | 8.008555E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.008555E-6 | 0.0 | 4.0876483E-5 | 3.4321936E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.4321936E-5 | 0.0 | 4.975576E-4 | 4.1779116E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.7180621 | 4.1779116E-4 | 0.0 | 0.00496445 | 0.0041701547 | 0.004 | 0.95919704 | 0.0053651505 | 0.0012 |
7.1 | 9.207389E-6 | 7.63643E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.63643E-6 | 0.0 | 3.945964E-5 | 3.2727155E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2727155E-5 | 0.0 | 4.803152E-4 | 3.9838196E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.7530461 | 3.9838196E-4 | 0.0 | 0.004792784 | 0.0039767725 | 0.0039 | 0.9806948 | 0.005072398 | 0.0011 |
7.2 | 7.638091E-6 | 5.9180916E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.9180916E-6 | 0.0 | 3.2734264E-5 | 2.5363004E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5363004E-5 | 0.0 | 3.984668E-4 | 3.0875113E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.9716563 | 3.0875113E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0039775306 | 0.0030831771 | 0.0033 | 1.0703245 | 0.0039804024 | 9.0E-4 |
7.3 | 7.2500147E-6 | 5.58367E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.58367E-6 | 0.0 | 3.1071122E-5 | 2.3929797E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3929797E-5 | 0.0 | 3.7822526E-4 | 2.913066E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.0298427 | 2.913066E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0037758215 | 0.0029092017 | 0.0031 | 1.0655844 | 0.0038065834 | 9.0E-4 |
7.4 | 6.3899715E-6 | 4.907415E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.907415E-6 | 0.0 | 2.7385306E-5 | 2.103161E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.103161E-5 | 0.0 | 3.3336508E-4 | 2.5602998E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.7811585 | 2.5602998E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0033286542 | 0.002557293 | 0.0026 | 1.0167 | 0.003255503 | 7.0E-4 |
7.5 | 5.379025E-6 | 4.07452E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.07452E-6 | 0.0 | 2.305276E-5 | 1.7462113E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7462113E-5 | 0.0 | 2.806312E-4 | 2.1258058E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.47040984 | 2.1258058E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0028027708 | 0.0021237836 | 0.002 | 0.94171554 | 0.002822297 | 7.0E-4 |
7.6 | 4.1270696E-6 | 3.0808028E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0808028E-6 | 0.0 | 1.768732E-5 | 1.3203375E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3203375E-5 | 0.0 | 2.1532185E-4 | 1.607393E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.6221254 | 1.607393E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0021511333 | 0.0016062384 | 0.0013 | 0.80934435 | 0.002005596 | 4.0E-4 |
7.7 | 2.5406805E-6 | 1.8229407E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8229407E-6 | 0.0 | 1.0888585E-5 | 7.8125795E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.8125795E-6 | 0.0 | 1.3256045E-4 | 9.511407E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.511407E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0013248142 | 9.5073966E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.7362689 | 0.0010506446 | 1.0E-4 |
7.8 | 4.8608285E-7 | 3.502888E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.502888E-7 | 0.0 | 2.0832106E-6 | 1.5012369E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5012369E-6 | 0.0 | 2.5362791E-5 | 1.8277406E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8277406E-5 | 0.0 | 2.5359896E-4 | 1.8275915E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8275915E-4 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.0472514E-8 | 1.2655905E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2655905E-8 | 0.0 | 8.7739345E-8 | 5.4239592E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.4239592E-8 | 0.0 | 1.068226E-6 | 6.603668E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.603668E-7 | 0.0 | 1.0682209E-5 | 6.60365E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.60365E-6 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 4.443582E-9 | 2.0207183E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0207183E-9 | 0.0 | 1.9043922E-8 | 8.660222E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.660222E-9 | 0.0 | 2.3185973E-7 | 1.054382E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.054382E-7 | 0.0 | 2.3185949E-6 | 1.0543815E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0543815E-6 | 0.0 |
Elmore Ranch
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.102099E-5 | 8.916474E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.916474E-5 | 0.0 | 3.9003167E-4 | 3.82064E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.5234725 | 3.82064E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0047383 | 0.004642422 | 0.0041 | 0.88315976 | 0.0058368505 | 0.0012 | 0.046385348 | 0.045659773 | 0.0322 | 0.70521593 | 0.05577578 | 0.0106 |
6.1 | 3.8306698E-5 | 4.1321364E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.1321364E-5 | 0.0 | 1.6416123E-4 | 1.7708354E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5647052 | 1.7708354E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0019968306 | 0.0021543251 | 0.0024 | 1.1140379 | 0.0029526018 | 8.0E-4 | 0.019789828 | 0.021515239 | 0.0156 | 0.72506744 | 0.026016269 | 0.0046 |
6.2 | 3.8306698E-5 | 4.1321364E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.1321364E-5 | 0.0 | 1.6416123E-4 | 1.7708354E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5647052 | 1.7708354E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0019968306 | 0.0021543251 | 0.0024 | 1.1140379 | 0.0029526018 | 8.0E-4 | 0.019789828 | 0.021515239 | 0.0156 | 0.72506744 | 0.026016269 | 0.0046 |
6.3 | 3.3197924E-5 | 3.6413116E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.6413116E-5 | 0.0 | 1.4226905E-4 | 1.5605082E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.64081687 | 1.5605082E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0017307495 | 0.0018988051 | 0.0022 | 1.1586233 | 0.002597476 | 7.0E-4 | 0.017173318 | 0.018994208 | 0.0132 | 0.6949487 | 0.02272203 | 0.0038 |
6.4 | 2.5148964E-5 | 2.7331169E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7331169E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0777682E-4 | 1.1713195E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.853738 | 1.1713195E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0013113929 | 0.0014257922 | 0.0013 | 0.9117738 | 0.0019250794 | 5.0E-4 | 0.01303681 | 0.014326015 | 0.0095 | 0.6631293 | 0.0170859 | 0.0028 |
6.5 | 2.5148964E-5 | 2.7331169E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7331169E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0777682E-4 | 1.1713195E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.853738 | 1.1713195E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0013113929 | 0.0014257922 | 0.0013 | 0.9117738 | 0.0019250794 | 5.0E-4 | 0.01303681 | 0.014326015 | 0.0095 | 0.6631293 | 0.0170859 | 0.0028 |
Calaveras (No) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.8694856E-5 | 6.6912864E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.9889617 | 2.6689947E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 2.0867554E-4 | 2.867386E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.69749945 | 4.8668124E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0025376645 | 0.0034854615 | 0.003 | 0.86071813 | 0.004481976 | 0.001 | 0.02508881 | 0.034494597 | 0.0281 | 0.8146203 | 0.044149652 | 0.01 |
6.1 | 4.8694856E-5 | 6.6912864E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.9889617 | 2.6689947E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 2.0867554E-4 | 2.867386E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.69749945 | 4.8668124E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0025376645 | 0.0034854615 | 0.003 | 0.86071813 | 0.004481976 | 0.001 | 0.02508881 | 0.034494597 | 0.028 | 0.8117213 | 0.044149652 | 0.01 |
6.2 | 4.7541962E-5 | 6.525071E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 3.0651007 | 2.6523767E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 2.0373536E-4 | 2.7961668E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.7152649 | 4.7956075E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0024776561 | 0.0033990468 | 0.003 | 0.88260037 | 0.004395648 | 0.001 | 0.024502134 | 0.03365904 | 0.0272 | 0.8081038 | 0.043129183 | 0.0098 |
6.3 | 4.6717287E-5 | 6.408853E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 3.1206834 | 2.640757E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 2.0020158E-4 | 2.7463702E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.728234 | 4.7458208E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0024347296 | 0.003338614 | 0.003 | 0.89857644 | 0.0043352754 | 0.001 | 0.024082264 | 0.033073444 | 0.0268 | 0.81031775 | 0.042259246 | 0.0095 |
6.4 | 4.6276386E-5 | 6.345275E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 3.1519513 | 2.6344007E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.983123E-4 | 2.7191287E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.7355297 | 4.7185848E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0024117786 | 0.0033055563 | 0.0029 | 0.87731075 | 0.004202581 | 9.0E-4 | 0.02385771 | 0.032753475 | 0.0264 | 0.80602133 | 0.041652143 | 0.0092 |
6.5 | 4.5720994E-5 | 6.265719E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 3.1919718 | 2.6264467E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.9593239E-4 | 2.6850423E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.7448672 | 4.6845054E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.002382867 | 0.0032641885 | 0.0028 | 0.85779357 | 0.004161251 | 9.0E-4 | 0.023574775 | 0.032352775 | 0.0262 | 0.8098223 | 0.04125513 | 0.0092 |
6.6 | 4.549134E-5 | 6.231187E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 3.2096612 | 2.622994E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.949483E-4 | 2.670246E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.7489947 | 4.669712E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0023709119 | 0.0032462277 | 0.0027 | 0.83173466 | 0.004143306 | 9.0E-4 | 0.023457756 | 0.03217897 | 0.026 | 0.80798113 | 0.041082922 | 0.0092 |
6.7 | 3.701047E-5 | 4.9871855E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 4.0102777 | 2.4986189E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.5860666E-4 | 2.1371925E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.9358071 | 4.1367652E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0019293258 | 0.0025989695 | 0.0018 | 0.6925822 | 0.0032971504 | 7.0E-4 | 0.019126613 | 0.025882177 | 0.018 | 0.69545925 | 0.031629473 | 0.0059 |
6.8 | 3.5523568E-5 | 4.7866695E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 4.178271 | 2.4785713E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.5223498E-4 | 2.0512709E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.9750053 | 4.0508606E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0018518851 | 0.002494604 | 0.0017 | 0.6814709 | 0.0031928578 | 7.0E-4 | 0.018365284 | 0.02486094 | 0.0177 | 0.7119602 | 0.030419232 | 0.0057 |
6.9 | 3.2946147E-5 | 4.4215958E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 4.523254 | 2.4420713E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.4119013E-4 | 1.8948343E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0555013 | 3.8944554E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0017176344 | 0.0023045614 | 0.0017 | 0.7376675 | 0.0030029481 | 7.0E-4 | 0.017044188 | 0.022996224 | 0.0163 | 0.708812 | 0.028174344 | 0.0053 |
7.0 | 2.7682381E-5 | 3.6654685E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 5.456329 | 2.3664735E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.1863338E-4 | 1.570822E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.2732186 | 3.570508E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0014434044 | 0.001910828 | 0.0013 | 0.6803333 | 0.0025096815 | 6.0E-4 | 0.01434065 | 0.01912627 | 0.014 | 0.7319775 | 0.02363829 | 0.0046 |
7.1 | 2.471967E-5 | 3.296512E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 6.067019 | 2.3295853E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.05937135E-4 | 1.412716E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.4157128 | 3.4124334E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0012890215 | 0.0017186532 | 0.0013 | 0.75640625 | 0.002317622 | 6.0E-4 | 0.0128157 | 0.017224036 | 0.0129 | 0.74895334 | 0.021253418 | 0.0041 |
7.2 | 1.9748062E-5 | 2.6486183E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6486183E-5 | 0.0 | 8.463181E-5 | 1.13507405E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.13507405E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0010299052 | 0.0013810998 | 9.0E-4 | 0.6516546 | 0.0017805473 | 4.0E-4 | 0.01025145 | 0.013884725 | 0.0106 | 0.76342887 | 0.016744459 | 0.0029 |
7.3 | 1.1603734E-5 | 1.5594125E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5594125E-5 | 0.0 | 4.9729337E-5 | 6.683033E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.683033E-5 | 0.0 | 6.052865E-4 | 8.133695E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.86061746 | 0.0011131255 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0060364045 | 0.008212586 | 0.0062 | 0.75493884 | 0.010295339 | 0.0021 |
7.4 | 4.885381E-6 | 5.912488E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.912488E-6 | 0.0 | 2.0937177E-5 | 2.533899E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.533899E-5 | 0.0 | 2.5488032E-4 | 3.084587E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.29677 | 4.0842785E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0025458818 | 0.0031391063 | 0.0026 | 0.8282612 | 0.004135967 | 0.001 |
7.5 | 3.0571264E-6 | 4.0416694E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0416694E-6 | 0.0 | 1.3101904E-5 | 1.7321327E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7321327E-5 | 0.0 | 1.5950401E-4 | 2.1086683E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.9484659 | 3.1084573E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0015938957 | 0.0021636873 | 0.0016 | 0.7394784 | 0.0028621727 | 7.0E-4 |
7.6 | 1.764948E-6 | 2.687692E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.687692E-6 | 0.0 | 7.564041E-6 | 1.1518629E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1518629E-5 | 0.0 | 9.208831E-5 | 1.4023036E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.4262247 | 2.4021634E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 9.205016E-4 | 0.0014581193 | 0.0013 | 0.8915594 | 0.0020572445 | 6.0E-4 |
7.7 | 1.3173734E-6 | 1.9671156E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9671156E-6 | 0.0 | 5.645874E-6 | 8.4304675E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.4304675E-6 | 0.0 | 6.873634E-5 | 1.02636135E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.97431576 | 2.0262587E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.8715087E-4 | 0.0010798593 | 9.0E-4 | 0.8334419 | 0.0015793194 | 5.0E-4 |
7.8 | 9.4429885E-7 | 1.4786972E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4786972E-6 | 0.0 | 4.0469886E-6 | 6.3372586E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.3372586E-6 | 0.0 | 4.9270973E-5 | 7.71534E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2961191 | 1.7714569E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.926005E-4 | 8.1469695E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 0.98196024 | 0.0013142896 | 5.0E-4 |
7.9 | 6.388233E-7 | 1.0661734E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0661734E-6 | 0.0 | 2.7378112E-6 | 4.5693064E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.5693064E-6 | 0.0 | 3.3332344E-5 | 5.5629895E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.7975947 | 1.5562434E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.3327343E-4 | 5.8521796E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 1.025259 | 9.849839E-4 | 4.0E-4 |
8.0 | 3.087986E-7 | 5.5286125E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.5286125E-7 | 0.0 | 1.323422E-6 | 2.369403E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.369403E-6 | 0.0 | 1.6112543E-5 | 2.8847104E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.4665525 | 1.2884421E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.6111376E-4 | 2.9974311E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.334476 | 5.996532E-4 | 3.0E-4 |
8.1 | 1.6725647E-7 | 2.6365475E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6365475E-7 | 0.0 | 7.168133E-7 | 1.1299484E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1299484E-6 | 0.0 | 8.7271665E-6 | 1.3757037E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 7.269007 | 1.1375566E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 8.726824E-5 | 1.4317138E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 2.095391 | 3.4314275E-4 | 2.0E-4 |
Honey Lake 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.155506E-5 | 7.931081E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.931081E-5 | 0.0 | 2.6378073E-4 | 3.3986222E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.2942369 | 4.3982823E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0032068014 | 0.004130419 | 0.0023 | 0.55684423 | 0.0055246362 | 0.0014 | 0.03160919 | 0.040585518 | 0.0262 | 0.64555043 | 0.04941213 | 0.0092 |
6.1 | 6.155506E-5 | 7.931081E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.931081E-5 | 0.0 | 2.6378073E-4 | 3.3986222E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.2942369 | 4.3982823E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0032068014 | 0.004130419 | 0.0023 | 0.55684423 | 0.0055246362 | 0.0014 | 0.03160919 | 0.040585518 | 0.0247 | 0.60859144 | 0.048932426 | 0.0087 |
6.2 | 4.1335024E-5 | 5.242969E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.242969E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7713808E-4 | 2.2468017E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2468017E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0021545228 | 0.0027322022 | 0.0013 | 0.47580665 | 0.0035300164 | 8.0E-4 | 0.021337535 | 0.027002474 | 0.0157 | 0.5814282 | 0.031770162 | 0.0049 |
6.3 | 4.1335024E-5 | 5.242969E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.242969E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7713808E-4 | 2.2468017E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2468017E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0021545228 | 0.0027322022 | 0.0013 | 0.47580665 | 0.0035300164 | 8.0E-4 | 0.021337535 | 0.027002474 | 0.0157 | 0.5814282 | 0.031770162 | 0.0049 |
6.4 | 3.2393702E-5 | 4.077656E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.077656E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3882275E-4 | 1.7474558E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7474558E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0016888566 | 0.0021255575 | 8.0E-4 | 0.37637183 | 0.0025247075 | 4.0E-4 | 0.016760793 | 0.021063395 | 0.0116 | 0.5507184 | 0.024881247 | 0.0039 |
6.5 | 2.7205504E-5 | 3.412049E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.412049E-5 | 0.0 | 1.1658981E-4 | 1.4622297E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4622297E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0014185566 | 0.0017789049 | 7.0E-4 | 0.39350054 | 0.0020783711 | 3.0E-4 | 0.014095354 | 0.017656205 | 0.0096 | 0.54371816 | 0.020505004 | 0.0029 |
6.6 | 2.069265E-5 | 2.5886791E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5886791E-5 | 0.0 | 8.867977E-5 | 1.1093912E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1093912E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0010791414 | 0.0013499307 | 4.0E-4 | 0.2963115 | 0.0015496607 | 2.0E-4 | 0.010739161 | 0.0134256575 | 0.0075 | 0.55863184 | 0.015793435 | 0.0024 |
6.7 | 1.8060919E-5 | 2.2596809E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2596809E-5 | 0.0 | 7.7401644E-5 | 9.684032E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.684032E-5 | 0.0 | 9.419576E-4 | 0.0011784737 | 3.0E-4 | 0.25456658 | 0.0012783558 | 1.0E-4 | 0.009379748 | 0.011730251 | 0.0065 | 0.55412287 | 0.013607963 | 0.0019 |
6.8 | 1.4474663E-5 | 1.8132809E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8132809E-5 | 0.0 | 6.203279E-5 | 7.7710145E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.7710145E-5 | 0.0 | 7.5498753E-4 | 9.4578636E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.31719637 | 0.0010456918 | 1.0E-4 | 0.007524277 | 0.009425106 | 0.0054 | 0.57293785 | 0.011010026 | 0.0016 |
6.9 | 8.564552E-6 | 1.0772938E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0772938E-5 | 0.0 | 3.6704707E-5 | 4.6169287E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.6169287E-5 | 0.0 | 4.4678818E-4 | 5.6203216E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.17792577 | 5.6203216E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0044589094 | 0.005612575 | 0.0027 | 0.48106262 | 0.006507524 | 9.0E-4 |
Santa Ynez (West)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.7352758E-5 | 5.4863427E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.4863427E-5 | 0.0 | 2.0292461E-4 | 2.3510944E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.85066766 | 2.3510944E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0024678076 | 0.002858967 | 0.0019 | 0.6645757 | 0.0034572517 | 6.0E-4 | 0.024405818 | 0.028250016 | 0.0234 | 0.8283181 | 0.034857914 | 0.0068 |
6.1 | 4.7352758E-5 | 5.4863427E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.4863427E-5 | 0.0 | 2.0292461E-4 | 2.3510944E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.42533383 | 2.3510944E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0024678076 | 0.002858967 | 0.0016 | 0.5596427 | 0.0034572517 | 6.0E-4 | 0.024405818 | 0.028250016 | 0.0197 | 0.6973447 | 0.03378899 | 0.0057 |
6.2 | 3.0415853E-5 | 3.387049E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.387049E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3034715E-4 | 1.4515137E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4515137E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0015858212 | 0.0017658203 | 9.0E-4 | 0.5096781 | 0.002165114 | 4.0E-4 | 0.015745522 | 0.017521858 | 0.013 | 0.7419305 | 0.021550018 | 0.0041 |
6.3 | 3.0415853E-5 | 3.387049E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.387049E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3034715E-4 | 1.4515137E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4515137E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0015858212 | 0.0017658203 | 9.0E-4 | 0.5096781 | 0.002165114 | 4.0E-4 | 0.015745522 | 0.017521858 | 0.013 | 0.7419305 | 0.021550018 | 0.0041 |
6.4 | 2.5452082E-5 | 2.7871116E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7871116E-5 | 0.0 | 1.09075794E-4 | 1.1944228E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1944228E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0013271887 | 0.0014532587 | 7.0E-4 | 0.48167613 | 0.0018526773 | 4.0E-4 | 0.013192902 | 0.014439725 | 0.0106 | 0.734086 | 0.0180863 | 0.0037 |
6.5 | 2.3143784E-5 | 2.5092928E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5092928E-5 | 0.0 | 9.9183875E-5 | 1.07536776E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.07536776E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0012068948 | 0.0013084883 | 7.0E-4 | 0.53496844 | 0.0017079649 | 4.0E-4 | 0.012003611 | 0.013009507 | 0.0102 | 0.78404194 | 0.016365275 | 0.0034 |
6.6 | 1.9118515E-5 | 2.0328342E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0328342E-5 | 0.0 | 8.193392E-5 | 8.71186E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.71186E-5 | 0.0 | 9.97089E-4 | 0.0010601607 | 5.0E-4 | 0.4716266 | 0.0012599487 | 2.0E-4 | 0.00992627 | 0.010551942 | 0.0085 | 0.80553895 | 0.013421341 | 0.0029 |
6.7 | 1.722807E-5 | 1.8124241E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8124241E-5 | 0.0 | 7.3832496E-5 | 7.7673045E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.7673045E-5 | 0.0 | 8.985399E-4 | 9.452646E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.5289524 | 0.0011450755 | 2.0E-4 | 0.008949154 | 0.009413082 | 0.0076 | 0.807387 | 0.01188955 | 0.0025 |
6.8 | 1.5317364E-5 | 1.5908156E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5908156E-5 | 0.0 | 6.56442E-5 | 6.817605E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.817605E-5 | 0.0 | 7.98925E-4 | 8.2973164E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.6026045 | 0.0010295657 | 2.0E-4 | 0.007960589 | 0.008266823 | 0.0072 | 0.87095124 | 0.010646983 | 0.0024 |
6.9 | 1.3071226E-5 | 1.3315548E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3315548E-5 | 0.0 | 5.6018336E-5 | 5.7065397E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.7065397E-5 | 0.0 | 6.8180985E-4 | 6.94552E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.4319331 | 7.9448253E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0067972173 | 0.0069240727 | 0.0061 | 0.8809844 | 0.009009532 | 0.0021 |
7.0 | 1.1836986E-5 | 1.1920642E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1920642E-5 | 0.0 | 5.0728955E-5 | 5.1087474E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.1087474E-5 | 0.0 | 6.1745E-4 | 6.2181416E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.48245928 | 7.2175195E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006157372 | 0.006200935 | 0.0058 | 0.9353427 | 0.008188534 | 0.002 |
7.1 | 1.0597169E-5 | 1.0531843E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0531843E-5 | 0.0 | 4.541565E-5 | 4.5135694E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.5135694E-5 | 0.0 | 5.5279525E-4 | 5.493897E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.36404034 | 6.4933475E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0055142213 | 0.0054804455 | 0.0049 | 0.8940879 | 0.007171129 | 0.0017 |
7.2 | 9.59113E-6 | 9.449662E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.449662E-6 | 0.0 | 4.11042E-5 | 4.0497926E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0497926E-5 | 0.0 | 5.0032866E-4 | 4.929518E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.40571922 | 5.929025E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004992037 | 0.0049187015 | 0.0046 | 0.9352062 | 0.0066103395 | 0.0017 |
7.3 | 8.586084E-6 | 8.370943E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.370943E-6 | 0.0 | 3.679698E-5 | 3.587498E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.587498E-5 | 0.0 | 4.4791115E-4 | 4.3669136E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.45798936 | 5.366477E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004470094 | 0.0043584434 | 0.0044 | 1.0095347 | 0.006051034 | 0.0017 |
7.4 | 7.2622997E-6 | 6.9441107E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.9441107E-6 | 0.0 | 3.112377E-5 | 2.976014E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.976014E-5 | 0.0 | 3.78866E-4 | 3.6227042E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.5520738 | 4.622342E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0037822074 | 0.0036168988 | 0.0033 | 0.91238385 | 0.0049121967 | 0.0013 |
7.5 | 5.627296E-6 | 5.245828E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.245828E-6 | 0.0 | 2.411676E-5 | 2.248193E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.248193E-5 | 0.0 | 2.9358198E-4 | 2.7368384E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.36538512 | 3.7365645E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0029319443 | 0.0027335398 | 0.0028 | 1.0243129 | 0.0039302595 | 0.0012 |
7.6 | 2.265244E-6 | 2.0583977E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0583977E-6 | 0.0 | 9.708152E-6 | 8.821676E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.821676E-6 | 0.0 | 1.18190335E-4 | 1.0739869E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0739869E-4 | 0.0 | 0.001181275 | 0.0010734765 | 0.0011 | 1.024708 | 0.0016728324 | 6.0E-4 |
7.7 | 1.3099874E-6 | 1.099968E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.099968E-6 | 0.0 | 5.61422E-6 | 4.7141402E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.7141402E-6 | 0.0 | 6.8350986E-5 | 5.739317E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.739317E-5 | 0.0 | 6.832996E-4 | 5.7378586E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.87140524 | 7.736711E-4 | 2.0E-4 |
7.8 | 7.903951E-7 | 6.059593E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.059593E-7 | 0.0 | 3.3874032E-6 | 2.596966E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.596966E-6 | 0.0 | 4.1240855E-5 | 3.1617616E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1617616E-5 | 0.0 | 4.12332E-4 | 3.161325E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.9489692 | 3.161325E-4 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.0753297E-9 | 5.087606E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.087606E-9 | 0.0 | 3.032284E-8 | 2.1804023E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1804023E-8 | 0.0 | 3.6918053E-7 | 2.6546397E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6546397E-7 | 0.0 | 3.691799E-6 | 2.6546375E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6546375E-6 | 0.0 |
San Clemente
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.681379E-5 | 8.144936E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.144936E-5 | 0.0 | 2.8631336E-4 | 3.4902518E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.8595368 | 5.489554E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.003480294 | 0.004241595 | 0.0039 | 0.9194655 | 0.0054365047 | 0.0012 | 0.03426291 | 0.0416618 | 0.0315 | 0.7560883 | 0.050574344 | 0.0093 |
6.1 | 6.681379E-5 | 8.144936E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.144936E-5 | 0.0 | 2.8631336E-4 | 3.4902518E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.5730245 | 4.489903E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.003480294 | 0.004241595 | 0.0027 | 0.63655305 | 0.0050382013 | 8.0E-4 | 0.03426291 | 0.0416618 | 0.0244 | 0.5856684 | 0.048370168 | 0.007 |
6.2 | 3.9400576E-5 | 4.6365072E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.6365072E-5 | 0.0 | 1.6884868E-4 | 1.9869264E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0065799 | 2.9867276E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0020537945 | 0.0024164524 | 0.0017 | 0.70351064 | 0.002915244 | 5.0E-4 | 0.020349167 | 0.023908481 | 0.0142 | 0.5939315 | 0.02752002 | 0.0037 |
6.3 | 3.2590255E-5 | 3.7863927E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.7863927E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3966505E-4 | 1.6226407E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.61627936 | 1.6226407E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0016990956 | 0.0019738053 | 0.001 | 0.50663555 | 0.0022732131 | 3.0E-4 | 0.01686163 | 0.019566547 | 0.0111 | 0.5672948 | 0.021723501 | 0.0022 |
6.4 | 2.9454652E-5 | 3.4041437E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.4041437E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2622811E-4 | 1.4588387E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.6854768 | 1.4588387E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0015357438 | 0.0017747153 | 9.0E-4 | 0.5071236 | 0.0020741827 | 3.0E-4 | 0.015251739 | 0.017608598 | 0.0093 | 0.5281511 | 0.019376902 | 0.0018 |
6.5 | 2.790836E-5 | 3.2194945E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2194945E-5 | 0.0 | 1.1960178E-4 | 1.3797119E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.724789 | 1.3797119E-4 | 0.0 | 0.001455179 | 0.0016785304 | 9.0E-4 | 0.5361833 | 0.001978027 | 3.0E-4 | 0.014456868 | 0.016661536 | 0.0089 | 0.5341644 | 0.018333212 | 0.0017 |
6.6 | 2.2492153E-5 | 2.5723535E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5723535E-5 | 0.0 | 9.639138E-5 | 1.10239154E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.90711874 | 1.10239154E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011729331 | 0.00134135 | 7.0E-4 | 0.5218623 | 0.0016409475 | 3.0E-4 | 0.011667615 | 0.013334249 | 0.0075 | 0.5624614 | 0.014814248 | 0.0015 |
6.7 | 1.9862755E-5 | 2.2633001E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2633001E-5 | 0.0 | 8.512331E-5 | 9.6995034E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0309806 | 9.6995034E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010358836 | 0.001180286 | 6.0E-4 | 0.5083513 | 0.001479932 | 3.0E-4 | 0.010310682 | 0.011741463 | 0.007 | 0.5961778 | 0.013125025 | 0.0014 |
6.8 | 1.6697575E-5 | 1.8950665E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8950665E-5 | 0.0 | 7.155907E-5 | 8.121466E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2313048 | 8.121466E-5 | 0.0 | 8.7088346E-4 | 9.883493E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.4047152 | 0.0011881517 | 2.0E-4 | 0.008674784 | 0.009840561 | 0.0059 | 0.5995593 | 0.010830721 | 0.001 |
6.9 | 1.5218415E-5 | 1.724512E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.724512E-5 | 0.0 | 6.522015E-5 | 7.390561E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.3530773 | 7.390561E-5 | 0.0 | 7.93766E-4 | 8.9943816E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.4447221 | 0.0010992583 | 2.0E-4 | 0.007909367 | 0.008958922 | 0.0053 | 0.5915891 | 0.009949963 | 0.001 |
7.0 | 1.2392958E-5 | 1.4013647E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4013647E-5 | 0.0 | 5.3111595E-5 | 6.0057147E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.6650808 | 6.0057147E-5 | 0.0 | 6.4644177E-4 | 7.30958E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.4104203 | 8.308849E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0064456454 | 0.0072863214 | 0.0045 | 0.61759555 | 0.00788195 | 6.0E-4 |
7.1 | 1.0934128E-5 | 1.2358129E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2358129E-5 | 0.0 | 4.6859706E-5 | 5.2962376E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.8881328 | 5.2962376E-5 | 0.0 | 5.7036756E-4 | 6.446335E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.46538076 | 7.44569E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0056890585 | 0.0064283796 | 0.0033 | 0.51334864 | 0.0068258084 | 4.0E-4 |
7.2 | 9.5798805E-6 | 1.083E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.083E-5 | 0.0 | 4.1055984E-5 | 4.64135E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.1545455 | 4.64135E-5 | 0.0 | 4.9974193E-4 | 5.6494505E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.5310251 | 6.6488853E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0049861963 | 0.0056358106 | 0.0031 | 0.550054 | 0.006033556 | 4.0E-4 |
7.3 | 8.0167365E-6 | 9.071307E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.071307E-6 | 0.0 | 3.4356988E-5 | 3.8876493E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.5722485 | 3.8876493E-5 | 0.0 | 4.1821605E-4 | 4.7322555E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.6339472 | 5.7317823E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0041742986 | 0.0047228793 | 0.0027 | 0.5716852 | 0.005021462 | 3.0E-4 |
7.4 | 2.9581017E-6 | 3.3575877E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3575877E-6 | 0.0 | 1.2677518E-5 | 1.438961E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 6.949458 | 1.438961E-5 | 0.0 | 1.5433785E-4 | 1.7518445E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.1416538 | 2.7516694E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.001542307 | 0.0017509572 | 0.0012 | 0.6853394 | 0.0018507822 | 1.0E-4 |
Calico-Hidalgo
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.0906612E-5 | 5.0609746E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0609746E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7530227E-4 | 2.1688285E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1688285E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0021322158 | 0.002637748 | 0.002 | 0.7582226 | 0.0034356376 | 8.0E-4 | 0.02111873 | 0.026104556 | 0.0208 | 0.7967958 | 0.034967005 | 0.0091 |
6.1 | 4.0906612E-5 | 5.0609746E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0609746E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7530227E-4 | 2.1688285E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1688285E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0021322158 | 0.002637748 | 0.002 | 0.7582226 | 0.0034356376 | 8.0E-4 | 0.02111873 | 0.026104556 | 0.0208 | 0.7967958 | 0.034967005 | 0.0091 |
6.2 | 4.0906612E-5 | 5.0609746E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0609746E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7530227E-4 | 2.1688285E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1688285E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0021322158 | 0.002637748 | 0.002 | 0.7582226 | 0.0034356376 | 8.0E-4 | 0.02111873 | 0.026104556 | 0.0208 | 0.7967958 | 0.034967005 | 0.0091 |
6.3 | 2.4242801E-5 | 3.0043078E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0043078E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0389358E-4 | 1.2874989E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2874989E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0012641704 | 0.001566436 | 0.0013 | 0.82990944 | 0.0021654961 | 6.0E-4 | 0.01257003 | 0.015557621 | 0.013 | 0.83560336 | 0.021661164 | 0.0062 |
6.4 | 2.4242801E-5 | 3.0043078E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0043078E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0389358E-4 | 1.2874989E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2874989E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0012641704 | 0.001566436 | 0.0013 | 0.82990944 | 0.0021654961 | 6.0E-4 | 0.01257003 | 0.015557621 | 0.013 | 0.83560336 | 0.021661164 | 0.0062 |
6.5 | 2.0286952E-5 | 2.5277262E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5277262E-5 | 0.0 | 8.694118E-5 | 1.0832672E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0832672E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0010579949 | 0.0013180969 | 0.0012 | 0.91040343 | 0.0019173061 | 6.0E-4 | 0.010529719 | 0.013104719 | 0.0109 | 0.8317614 | 0.018433955 | 0.0054 |
6.6 | 2.0269223E-5 | 2.5258227E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5258227E-5 | 0.0 | 8.6865206E-5 | 1.0824514E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0824514E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0010570707 | 0.0013171049 | 0.0012 | 0.9110891 | 0.0019163147 | 6.0E-4 | 0.010520565 | 0.013094917 | 0.0109 | 0.83238405 | 0.018424204 | 0.0054 |
6.7 | 1.799852E-5 | 2.2505792E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2505792E-5 | 0.0 | 7.713423E-5 | 9.6449905E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.6449905E-5 | 0.0 | 9.3870464E-4 | 0.0011736596 | 0.0012 | 1.0224429 | 0.0017729554 | 6.0E-4 | 0.009347493 | 0.011676218 | 0.0102 | 0.8735705 | 0.016617838 | 0.005 |
6.8 | 1.7458793E-5 | 2.1810776E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1810776E-5 | 0.0 | 7.4821255E-5 | 9.3471484E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.3471484E-5 | 0.0 | 9.10568E-4 | 0.0011374357 | 0.0012 | 1.0550047 | 0.0017367532 | 6.0E-4 | 0.009068459 | 0.01131772 | 0.0099 | 0.8747345 | 0.015964527 | 0.0047 |
6.9 | 1.542884E-5 | 1.9007482E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9007482E-5 | 0.0 | 6.612192E-5 | 8.1458165E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.1458165E-5 | 0.0 | 8.04737E-4 | 9.913151E-4 | 0.001 | 1.008761 | 0.0013909185 | 4.0E-4 | 0.008018291 | 0.009870326 | 0.0086 | 0.87129843 | 0.013830845 | 0.004 |
7.0 | 1.468253E-5 | 1.801497E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.801497E-5 | 0.0 | 6.292361E-5 | 7.72048E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.72048E-5 | 0.0 | 7.658257E-4 | 9.3957613E-4 | 9.0E-4 | 0.95787877 | 0.0013392003 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0076319184 | 0.009357401 | 0.0079 | 0.8442515 | 0.013022779 | 0.0037 |
7.1 | 1.3139281E-5 | 1.6186945E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6186945E-5 | 0.0 | 5.6309986E-5 | 6.937084E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.937084E-5 | 0.0 | 6.853584E-4 | 8.4427535E-4 | 9.0E-4 | 1.066003 | 0.0012439376 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0068324856 | 0.008411975 | 0.0074 | 0.87969834 | 0.011981691 | 0.0036 |
7.2 | 1.1127404E-5 | 1.3854261E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3854261E-5 | 0.0 | 4.7688E-5 | 5.9374113E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.9374113E-5 | 0.0 | 5.8044674E-4 | 7.2265096E-4 | 9.0E-4 | 1.2454145 | 0.0011223619 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0057893298 | 0.0072041163 | 0.0067 | 0.93002385 | 0.0102817835 | 0.0031 |
7.3 | 9.808154E-6 | 1.2166212E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2166212E-5 | 0.0 | 4.2034266E-5 | 5.2139927E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.2139927E-5 | 0.0 | 5.11647E-4 | 6.346294E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 1.2605782 | 9.34439E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0051047057 | 0.0063292454 | 0.0059 | 0.93218064 | 0.009111524 | 0.0028 |
7.4 | 7.942452E-6 | 9.784373E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.784373E-6 | 0.0 | 3.4038632E-5 | 4.1932406E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.1932406E-5 | 0.0 | 4.1434157E-4 | 5.104169E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.3714279 | 8.102638E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0041356985 | 0.005093386 | 0.0045 | 0.8834987 | 0.0070831995 | 0.002 |
7.5 | 4.7121216E-6 | 5.769255E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.769255E-6 | 0.0 | 2.019465E-5 | 2.4725188E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4725188E-5 | 0.0 | 2.4584212E-4 | 3.0099522E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.3289248 | 5.00935E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0024557032 | 0.0030066273 | 0.0022 | 0.73171693 | 0.003804222 | 8.0E-4 |
7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.602981E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.602981E-7 | 0.0 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.115563E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.115563E-6 | 0.0 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.3581924E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3581924E-5 | 0.0 | 1.1539775E-4 | 1.3581375E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.472605 | 1.3581375E-4 | 0.0 |
Eaton Roughs 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.8044945E-5 | 8.817112E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1341583 | 8.817112E-5 | 0.0 | 2.9158857E-4 | 3.7782674E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.0586864 | 4.7778894E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0035443127 | 0.004591065 | 0.003 | 0.65344316 | 0.0053873924 | 8.0E-4 | 0.03488314 | 0.045034718 | 0.0292 | 0.6483886 | 0.052865434 | 0.0082 |
6.1 | 6.8044945E-5 | 8.817112E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1341583 | 8.817112E-5 | 0.0 | 2.9158857E-4 | 3.7782674E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.0586864 | 4.7778894E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0035443127 | 0.004591065 | 0.003 | 0.65344316 | 0.0053873924 | 8.0E-4 | 0.03488314 | 0.045034718 | 0.0292 | 0.6483886 | 0.052865434 | 0.0082 |
6.2 | 6.8044945E-5 | 8.817112E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1341583 | 8.817112E-5 | 0.0 | 2.9158857E-4 | 3.7782674E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.0586864 | 4.7778894E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0035443127 | 0.004591065 | 0.003 | 0.65344316 | 0.0053873924 | 8.0E-4 | 0.03488314 | 0.045034718 | 0.0292 | 0.6483886 | 0.052865434 | 0.0082 |
6.3 | 6.8044945E-5 | 8.817112E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1341583 | 8.817112E-5 | 0.0 | 2.9158857E-4 | 3.7782674E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.0586864 | 4.7778894E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0035443127 | 0.004591065 | 0.003 | 0.65344316 | 0.0053873924 | 8.0E-4 | 0.03488314 | 0.045034718 | 0.0292 | 0.6483886 | 0.052865434 | 0.0082 |
6.4 | 4.5830013E-5 | 5.7010613E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.7540594 | 5.7010613E-5 | 0.0 | 1.9639956E-4 | 2.4431135E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.8186276 | 2.4431135E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0023885423 | 0.002970821 | 0.0023 | 0.77419674 | 0.0034693356 | 5.0E-4 | 0.023630321 | 0.029349273 | 0.0207 | 0.70529854 | 0.03468785 | 0.0055 |
6.5 | 4.5830013E-5 | 5.7010613E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.7540594 | 5.7010613E-5 | 0.0 | 1.9639956E-4 | 2.4431135E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.8186276 | 2.4431135E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0023885423 | 0.002970821 | 0.0023 | 0.77419674 | 0.0034693356 | 5.0E-4 | 0.023630321 | 0.029349273 | 0.0207 | 0.70529854 | 0.03468785 | 0.0055 |
6.6 | 3.222194E-5 | 3.8187813E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.6186366 | 3.8187813E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3808672E-4 | 1.6365242E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.61105114 | 1.6365242E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0016799092 | 0.0019907374 | 0.0013 | 0.6530243 | 0.0021903394 | 2.0E-4 | 0.016672665 | 0.01973844 | 0.014 | 0.7092759 | 0.023267383 | 0.0036 |
6.7 | 2.4155654E-5 | 2.774278E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.6045413 | 2.774278E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0352012E-4 | 1.1889226E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.84109765 | 1.1889226E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0012596287 | 0.0014465603 | 8.0E-4 | 0.55303603 | 0.0015464156 | 1.0E-4 | 0.012525126 | 0.014372619 | 0.0091 | 0.6331484 | 0.016639562 | 0.0023 |
6.8 | 2.1814667E-5 | 2.4903855E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.0154424 | 2.4903855E-5 | 0.0 | 9.348808E-5 | 1.0672646E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.93697476 | 1.0672646E-4 | 0.0 | 0.001137623 | 0.0012986239 | 7.0E-4 | 0.5390321 | 0.001398494 | 1.0E-4 | 0.011318169 | 0.012911002 | 0.0075 | 0.5808999 | 0.014687762 | 0.0018 |
6.9 | 2.0700467E-5 | 2.3594372E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.238299 | 2.3594372E-5 | 0.0 | 8.871327E-5 | 1.01114834E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.9889746 | 1.01114834E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0010795488 | 0.0012303811 | 6.0E-4 | 0.4876538 | 0.0013302581 | 1.0E-4 | 0.010743194 | 0.012236249 | 0.0067 | 0.5475534 | 0.013816671 | 0.0016 |
7.0 | 2.0104066E-5 | 2.2903117E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.366218 | 2.2903117E-5 | 0.0 | 8.615744E-5 | 9.8152545E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0188223 | 9.8152545E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010484619 | 0.0011943552 | 6.0E-4 | 0.50236315 | 0.0012942357 | 1.0E-4 | 0.010435291 | 0.011879887 | 0.0063 | 0.530308 | 0.01346088 | 0.0016 |
7.1 | 1.8225232E-5 | 2.0743106E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.820879 | 2.0743106E-5 | 0.0 | 7.81058E-5 | 8.8896006E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1249099 | 8.8896006E-5 | 0.0 | 9.5052324E-4 | 0.0010817731 | 5.0E-4 | 0.46220416 | 0.0011816649 | 1.0E-4 | 0.009464677 | 0.010765398 | 0.0059 | 0.5480522 | 0.012348174 | 0.0016 |
7.2 | 1.7526572E-5 | 1.9964516E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 5.008887 | 1.9964516E-5 | 0.0 | 7.511172E-5 | 8.555942E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1687784 | 8.555942E-5 | 0.0 | 9.141015E-4 | 0.0010411895 | 5.0E-4 | 0.48021996 | 0.0011410854 | 1.0E-4 | 0.009103506 | 0.010363418 | 0.0052 | 0.50176495 | 0.011748909 | 0.0014 |
7.3 | 1.5727232E-5 | 1.7994558E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 5.5572352 | 1.7994558E-5 | 0.0 | 6.740067E-5 | 7.711726E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2967265 | 7.711726E-5 | 0.0 | 8.2029426E-4 | 9.384995E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.5327653 | 0.0010384057 | 1.0E-4 | 0.008172729 | 0.009345609 | 0.005 | 0.53501064 | 0.010633459 | 0.0013 |
7.4 | 1.4457361E-5 | 1.6573253E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 6.0338187 | 1.6573253E-5 | 0.0 | 6.195865E-5 | 7.10263E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4079292 | 7.10263E-5 | 0.0 | 7.540854E-4 | 8.64403E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.46274713 | 9.6431654E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.007515317 | 0.008610596 | 0.0046 | 0.5342255 | 0.009800263 | 0.0012 |
7.5 | 1.33280955E-5 | 1.5321804E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 6.526646 | 1.5321804E-5 | 0.0 | 5.711916E-5 | 6.566323E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5229223 | 6.566323E-5 | 0.0 | 6.9520384E-4 | 7.991575E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.50052714 | 8.9907757E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.00693033 | 0.0079630045 | 0.0043 | 0.53999716 | 0.009054245 | 0.0011 |
7.6 | 1.0699478E-5 | 1.2368158E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 8.085278 | 1.2368158E-5 | 0.0 | 4.5854096E-5 | 5.300532E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.8866031 | 5.300532E-5 | 0.0 | 5.581306E-4 | 6.451492E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.46500868 | 7.450847E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005567309 | 0.0064328723 | 0.0035 | 0.54408044 | 0.007227726 | 8.0E-4 |
7.7 | 5.9390236E-6 | 6.84246E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.84246E-6 | 0.0 | 2.545271E-5 | 2.9324501E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9324501E-5 | 0.0 | 3.0984267E-4 | 3.5696756E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.2801375 | 4.5693186E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0030941102 | 0.0035640104 | 0.002 | 0.5611656 | 0.0040622284 | 5.0E-4 |
7.8 | 2.1622036E-6 | 2.3278722E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3278722E-6 | 0.0 | 9.266554E-6 | 9.9765575E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.9765575E-6 | 0.0 | 1.1281446E-4 | 1.2145789E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.82333064 | 2.2144575E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.001127572 | 0.0012139308 | 0.001 | 0.8237702 | 0.0015135666 | 3.0E-4 |
7.9 | 4.9586197E-7 | 5.216062E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.216062E-7 | 0.0 | 2.125121E-6 | 2.2354534E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2354534E-6 | 0.0 | 2.5873042E-5 | 2.7216325E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.6742651 | 1.272136E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.5870028E-4 | 2.7213202E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.7349374 | 4.720776E-4 | 2.0E-4 |
Chino alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.939946E-5 | 4.8761474E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.0507994 | 1.4875659E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.6884391E-4 | 2.0896389E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.9142064 | 4.089221E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0020537362 | 0.0025416764 | 0.0023 | 0.9049146 | 0.003439389 | 9.0E-4 | 0.020348595 | 0.025185952 | 0.0213 | 0.8457095 | 0.033569355 | 0.0086 |
6.1 | 2.1505624E-5 | 2.6745702E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.7389185 | 1.2674303E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 9.2163704E-5 | 1.1461999E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 3.4897928 | 3.1459707E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0011215154 | 0.0013947141 | 0.0015 | 1.0754893 | 0.0019938773 | 6.0E-4 | 0.011158722 | 0.013879712 | 0.0125 | 0.90059507 | 0.018613089 | 0.0048 |
6.2 | 2.1505624E-5 | 2.6745702E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.7389185 | 1.2674303E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 9.2163704E-5 | 1.1461999E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 3.4897928 | 3.1459707E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0011215154 | 0.0013947141 | 0.0015 | 1.0754893 | 0.0019938773 | 6.0E-4 | 0.011158722 | 0.013879712 | 0.0125 | 0.90059507 | 0.018613089 | 0.0048 |
6.3 | 1.4290785E-5 | 1.805055E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 5.539997 | 1.18048745E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.1244784E-5 | 7.7357465E-5 | 4.0E-4 | 5.1708 | 2.7734198E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 7.454001E-4 | 9.4146485E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 0.8497396 | 0.0011412766 | 2.0E-4 | 0.007429048 | 0.009388474 | 0.0072 | 0.7668978 | 0.012162186 | 0.0028 |
6.4 | 1.4290785E-5 | 1.805055E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 5.539997 | 1.18048745E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.1244784E-5 | 7.7357465E-5 | 4.0E-4 | 5.1708 | 2.7734198E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 7.454001E-4 | 9.4146485E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 0.8497396 | 0.0011412766 | 2.0E-4 | 0.007429048 | 0.009388474 | 0.0072 | 0.7668978 | 0.012162186 | 0.0028 |
6.5 | 1.3017944E-5 | 1.6540487E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 6.045771 | 1.1653883E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.5789995E-5 | 7.088612E-5 | 3.0E-4 | 4.2321405 | 1.7087904E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.790315E-4 | 8.6274E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.8113684 | 9.626537E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0067696036 | 0.00860746 | 0.0066 | 0.7667767 | 0.011085941 | 0.0025 |
6.6 | 9.470016E-6 | 1.1944894E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1944894E-5 | 0.0 | 4.058515E-5 | 5.1191586E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.953446 | 5.1191586E-5 | 0.0 | 4.940122E-4 | 6.2311284E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.8024229 | 6.2311284E-4 | 0.0 | 0.004929154 | 0.0062260013 | 0.0044 | 0.7067136 | 0.0077166623 | 0.0015 |
6.7 | 8.314155E-6 | 1.0328306E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0328306E-5 | 0.0 | 3.5631605E-5 | 4.4263597E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.2591927 | 4.4263597E-5 | 0.0 | 4.3372845E-4 | 5.388079E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.9279745 | 5.388079E-4 | 0.0 | 0.004328829 | 0.0053875856 | 0.0033 | 0.61251926 | 0.006382198 | 0.001 |
6.8 | 3.4856364E-6 | 3.781823E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.781823E-6 | 0.0 | 1.4938357E-5 | 1.6207723E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 6.169898 | 1.6207723E-5 | 0.0 | 1.8185932E-4 | 1.9731317E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.013617 | 1.9731317E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0018171056 | 0.0019730001 | 0.0012 | 0.6082108 | 0.002372211 | 4.0E-4 |
6.9 | 2.2645952E-6 | 2.1416872E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1416872E-6 | 0.0 | 9.705372E-6 | 9.178629E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.178629E-6 | 0.0 | 1.18156495E-4 | 1.1174428E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.8949004 | 1.1174428E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011809369 | 0.0011174479 | 6.0E-4 | 0.5369378 | 0.0013172243 | 2.0E-4 |
7.0 | 1.7864003E-6 | 1.5371073E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5371073E-6 | 0.0 | 7.655979E-6 | 6.5875865E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.5875865E-6 | 0.0 | 9.3207556E-5 | 8.0200974E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2468677 | 8.0200974E-5 | 0.0 | 9.316847E-4 | 8.0216007E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.3739902 | 8.0216007E-4 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.7315456E-6 | 1.4677553E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4677553E-6 | 0.0 | 7.420889E-6 | 6.290365E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.290365E-6 | 0.0 | 9.034557E-5 | 7.658256E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.3057804 | 7.658256E-5 | 0.0 | 9.0308854E-4 | 7.659947E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.3916476 | 7.659947E-4 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.6008337E-6 | 1.352271E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.352271E-6 | 0.0 | 6.860698E-6 | 5.795435E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.795435E-6 | 0.0 | 8.352579E-5 | 7.055719E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.055719E-5 | 0.0 | 8.34944E-4 | 7.057674E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.28337947 | 7.057674E-4 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.3320939E-6 | 1.1177666E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1177666E-6 | 0.0 | 5.7089615E-6 | 4.79042E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.79042E-6 | 0.0 | 6.9504385E-5 | 5.832185E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.832185E-5 | 0.0 | 6.9482654E-4 | 5.831893E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.3429418 | 5.831893E-4 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.114294E-6 | 9.204411E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.204411E-7 | 0.0 | 4.775537E-6 | 3.944742E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.944742E-6 | 0.0 | 5.8140613E-5 | 4.802621E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.802621E-5 | 0.0 | 5.81254E-4 | 4.8017106E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.2082591 | 4.8017106E-4 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 9.354081E-7 | 7.600677E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.600677E-7 | 0.0 | 4.0088858E-6 | 3.257429E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.257429E-6 | 0.0 | 4.8807087E-5 | 3.965851E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.965851E-5 | 0.0 | 4.879637E-4 | 3.965177E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.965177E-4 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 8.521771E-7 | 6.8604237E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.8604237E-7 | 0.0 | 3.6521824E-6 | 2.9401785E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9401785E-6 | 0.0 | 4.4464414E-5 | 3.5796118E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5796118E-5 | 0.0 | 4.4455516E-4 | 3.5790668E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5790668E-4 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.1803626E-7 | 1.4132844E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4132844E-7 | 0.0 | 9.344408E-7 | 6.0569323E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0569323E-7 | 0.0 | 1.1376757E-5 | 7.3743E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.3743E-6 | 0.0 | 1.13761744E-4 | 7.37415E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.37415E-5 | 0.0 |
Red Mountain
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7503363E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.7503363E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.0357087E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.49122941 | 2.0357087E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024758223 | 0.0019 | 0.7674218 | 0.003573099 | 0.0011 | 0.021580452 | 0.024499949 | 0.0205 | 0.83673644 | 0.0316211 | 0.0073 |
6.1 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7503363E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.7503363E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.0357087E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.49122941 | 2.0357087E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024758223 | 0.0019 | 0.7674218 | 0.003573099 | 0.0011 | 0.021580452 | 0.024499949 | 0.0205 | 0.83673644 | 0.0316211 | 0.0073 |
6.2 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7503363E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.7503363E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.0357087E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.49122941 | 2.0357087E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024758223 | 0.0019 | 0.7674218 | 0.003573099 | 0.0011 | 0.021580452 | 0.024499949 | 0.0205 | 0.83673644 | 0.0316211 | 0.0073 |
6.3 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7503363E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.7503363E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.0357087E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.49122941 | 2.0357087E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024758223 | 0.0019 | 0.7674218 | 0.003573099 | 0.0011 | 0.021580452 | 0.024499949 | 0.0205 | 0.83673644 | 0.0316211 | 0.0073 |
6.4 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7503363E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.7503363E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.0357087E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.49122941 | 2.0357087E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024758223 | 0.0019 | 0.7674218 | 0.003573099 | 0.0011 | 0.021580452 | 0.024499949 | 0.0205 | 0.83673644 | 0.0316211 | 0.0073 |
6.5 | 3.154503E-5 | 3.529748E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.529748E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3518598E-4 | 1.5126665E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.66108423 | 1.5126665E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0016446467 | 0.0018402075 | 0.0015 | 0.81512547 | 0.0027385512 | 9.0E-4 | 0.01632528 | 0.018259306 | 0.0161 | 0.8817422 | 0.023364358 | 0.0052 |
6.6 | 3.1535834E-5 | 3.5286877E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5286877E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3514658E-4 | 1.5122122E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.66128284 | 1.5122122E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0016441676 | 0.0018396553 | 0.0015 | 0.81537014 | 0.0027379997 | 9.0E-4 | 0.01632056 | 0.018253874 | 0.0161 | 0.8820045 | 0.023358954 | 0.0052 |
6.7 | 2.8267326E-5 | 3.1414645E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1414645E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2114006E-4 | 1.3462773E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.74278903 | 1.3462773E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0014738824 | 0.0016379451 | 0.0015 | 0.9157816 | 0.0025364708 | 9.0E-4 | 0.014641452 | 0.016267456 | 0.0142 | 0.8729085 | 0.020989371 | 0.0048 |
6.8 | 2.8212884E-5 | 3.1352625E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1352625E-5 | 0.0 | 1.20906756E-4 | 1.3436195E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.74425834 | 1.3436195E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0014710457 | 0.001634714 | 0.0015 | 0.91759175 | 0.0025332428 | 9.0E-4 | 0.014613459 | 0.016235618 | 0.0142 | 0.8746202 | 0.020957688 | 0.0048 |
6.9 | 2.4227871E-5 | 2.6661177E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6661177E-5 | 0.0 | 1.03829596E-4 | 1.1425761E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.87521523 | 1.1425761E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0012633923 | 0.0013902743 | 0.0014 | 1.0069956 | 0.0021891622 | 8.0E-4 | 0.012562336 | 0.013823427 | 0.0128 | 0.9259643 | 0.018261222 | 0.0045 |
7.0 | 2.348524E-5 | 2.5791536E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5791536E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0064714E-4 | 1.1053089E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.9047244 | 1.1053089E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0012246901 | 0.0013449582 | 0.0014 | 1.0409245 | 0.0021438822 | 8.0E-4 | 0.012179627 | 0.013375791 | 0.0126 | 0.9420004 | 0.0178156 | 0.0045 |
7.1 | 2.2311642E-5 | 2.4421044E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4421044E-5 | 0.0 | 9.561782E-5 | 1.0465784E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.9554946 | 1.0465784E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011635252 | 0.0012735389 | 0.0014 | 1.099299 | 0.00207252 | 8.0E-4 | 0.01157452 | 0.012669896 | 0.0121 | 0.9550197 | 0.016816681 | 0.0042 |
7.2 | 1.6533986E-5 | 1.7641007E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7641007E-5 | 0.0 | 7.085802E-5 | 7.560248E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.3227079 | 7.560248E-5 | 0.0 | 8.623549E-4 | 9.201348E-4 | 0.0011 | 1.195477 | 0.0016194907 | 7.0E-4 | 0.008590161 | 0.009169505 | 0.0097 | 1.0578543 | 0.012538329 | 0.0034 |
7.3 | 1.4703092E-5 | 1.5533577E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5533577E-5 | 0.0 | 6.301173E-5 | 6.657111E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5021529 | 6.657111E-5 | 0.0 | 7.668978E-4 | 8.1026333E-4 | 9.0E-4 | 1.11075 | 0.0013098582 | 5.0E-4 | 0.0076425658 | 0.008079143 | 0.0086 | 1.0644693 | 0.0111540975 | 0.0031 |
7.4 | 6.1331984E-6 | 5.520798E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.520798E-6 | 0.0 | 2.6284872E-5 | 2.366035E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.366035E-5 | 0.0 | 3.199713E-4 | 2.8802722E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.0415683 | 4.879696E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0031951098 | 0.0028765933 | 0.0042 | 1.4600604 | 0.0046714153 | 0.0018 |
7.5 | 5.954766E-6 | 5.330598E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.330598E-6 | 0.0 | 2.5520176E-5 | 2.2845223E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2845223E-5 | 0.0 | 3.1066386E-4 | 2.781056E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.71915126 | 4.7805E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.003102299 | 0.0027776295 | 0.004 | 1.4400768 | 0.00457263 | 0.0018 |
7.6 | 4.9726646E-6 | 4.3082373E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.3082373E-6 | 0.0 | 2.1311245E-5 | 1.8463745E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8463745E-5 | 0.0 | 2.5943352E-4 | 2.2477323E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2477323E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0025913084 | 0.0022454935 | 0.0025 | 1.1133411 | 0.003243248 | 0.001 |
7.7 | 3.3613894E-6 | 2.8472539E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8472539E-6 | 0.0 | 1.4405875E-5 | 1.2202461E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2202461E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7537741E-4 | 1.485551E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.485551E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0017523908 | 0.0014845841 | 0.0014 | 0.94302505 | 0.0018839902 | 4.0E-4 |
7.8 | 1.1828961E-6 | 1.0112911E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0112911E-6 | 0.0 | 5.069545E-6 | 4.334098E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.334098E-6 | 0.0 | 6.171996E-5 | 5.2766394E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.2766394E-5 | 0.0 | 6.170282E-4 | 5.275416E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.9477926 | 7.274361E-4 | 2.0E-4 |
7.9 | 2.2967266E-7 | 1.8605115E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8605115E-7 | 0.0 | 9.843111E-7 | 7.9736185E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.9736185E-7 | 0.0 | 1.19839215E-5 | 9.70784E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.70784E-6 | 0.0 | 1.1983275E-4 | 9.707445E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0301372 | 9.707445E-5 | 0.0 |
Owl Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.0320643E-5 | 6.610865E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5126613 | 6.610865E-5 | 0.0 | 2.1564208E-4 | 2.832925E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.35299206 | 2.832925E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0026222812 | 0.0034445445 | 0.0026 | 0.7548168 | 0.004042478 | 6.0E-4 | 0.02591553 | 0.034015566 | 0.0284 | 0.8349119 | 0.041550245 | 0.0078 |
6.1 | 5.0320643E-5 | 6.610865E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5126613 | 6.610865E-5 | 0.0 | 2.1564208E-4 | 2.832925E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.35299206 | 2.832925E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0026222812 | 0.0034445445 | 0.0026 | 0.7548168 | 0.004042478 | 6.0E-4 | 0.02591553 | 0.034015566 | 0.0284 | 0.8349119 | 0.041550245 | 0.0078 |
6.2 | 2.4125871E-5 | 3.0850777E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0850777E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0339249E-4 | 1.3221161E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3221161E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0012580766 | 0.0016086652 | 0.0016 | 0.9946134 | 0.0018083436 | 2.0E-4 | 0.012509781 | 0.01600398 | 0.014 | 0.8747824 | 0.020038364 | 0.0041 |
6.3 | 1.7433485E-5 | 2.2251088E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2251088E-5 | 0.0 | 7.471279E-5 | 9.535874E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.535874E-5 | 0.0 | 9.0924866E-4 | 0.0011605151 | 9.0E-4 | 0.77551764 | 0.0012603991 | 1.0E-4 | 0.009055373 | 0.011575016 | 0.0095 | 0.8207332 | 0.014046079 | 0.0025 |
6.4 | 1.7433485E-5 | 2.2251088E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2251088E-5 | 0.0 | 7.471279E-5 | 9.535874E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.535874E-5 | 0.0 | 9.0924866E-4 | 0.0011605151 | 9.0E-4 | 0.77551764 | 0.0012603991 | 1.0E-4 | 0.009055373 | 0.011575016 | 0.0095 | 0.8207332 | 0.014046079 | 0.0025 |
6.5 | 1.5182742E-5 | 1.9333509E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9333509E-5 | 0.0 | 6.506727E-5 | 8.285564E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.285564E-5 | 0.0 | 7.919061E-4 | 0.0010084395 | 7.0E-4 | 0.6941418 | 0.0011083387 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0078909 | 0.010068925 | 0.0079 | 0.78459215 | 0.012048787 | 0.002 |
6.6 | 6.7271576E-6 | 8.483211E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.483211E-6 | 0.0 | 2.8830356E-5 | 3.6356145E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.6356145E-5 | 0.0 | 3.5095305E-4 | 4.4255177E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.6778868 | 4.4255177E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0035039932 | 0.00443432 | 0.0029 | 0.6539898 | 0.0047329897 | 3.0E-4 |
6.7 | 6.682835E-6 | 8.415928E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.415928E-6 | 0.0 | 2.8640408E-5 | 3.60678E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.60678E-5 | 0.0 | 3.4864116E-4 | 4.3904255E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.6833051 | 4.3904255E-4 | 0.0 | 0.003480947 | 0.004399369 | 0.0029 | 0.65918547 | 0.004698049 | 3.0E-4 |
6.8 | 6.5774975E-6 | 8.262786E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.262786E-6 | 0.0 | 2.8188972E-5 | 3.541149E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.541149E-5 | 0.0 | 3.4314668E-4 | 4.310552E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.69596654 | 4.310552E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0034261728 | 0.0043197465 | 0.0029 | 0.6713357 | 0.0046184505 | 3.0E-4 |
6.9 | 6.363419E-6 | 7.936828E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.936828E-6 | 0.0 | 2.727151E-5 | 3.4014567E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.4014567E-5 | 0.0 | 3.3198006E-4 | 4.140542E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.48302856 | 4.140542E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0033148455 | 0.004150196 | 0.0027 | 0.65057164 | 0.004448951 | 3.0E-4 |
7.0 | 6.1342453E-6 | 7.5701437E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.5701437E-6 | 0.0 | 2.6289357E-5 | 3.2443102E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2443102E-5 | 0.0 | 3.2002592E-4 | 3.9492862E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.5064206 | 3.9492862E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0031956544 | 0.0039594485 | 0.0026 | 0.65665716 | 0.0042582606 | 3.0E-4 |
7.1 | 5.842926E-6 | 7.0823116E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0823116E-6 | 0.0 | 2.504087E-5 | 3.0352441E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0352441E-5 | 0.0 | 3.0482994E-4 | 3.6948366E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.5412959 | 3.6948366E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0030441214 | 0.0037056594 | 0.0025 | 0.67464375 | 0.004004548 | 3.0E-4 |
7.2 | 4.77173E-6 | 5.30405E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.30405E-6 | 0.0 | 2.045011E-5 | 2.2731467E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2731467E-5 | 0.0 | 2.4895166E-4 | 2.7672446E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7672446E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0024867293 | 0.0027800193 | 0.0016 | 0.5755356 | 0.0029794634 | 2.0E-4 |
7.3 | 3.0494948E-6 | 2.6699274E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6699274E-6 | 0.0 | 1.3069198E-5 | 1.14424965E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.14424965E-5 | 0.0 | 1.5910587E-4 | 1.3930365E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3930365E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0015899199 | 0.0014019739 | 7.0E-4 | 0.49929604 | 0.0015018337 | 1.0E-4 |
7.4 | 2.7263884E-6 | 2.267595E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.267595E-6 | 0.0 | 1.1684469E-5 | 9.718228E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.718228E-6 | 0.0 | 1.4224913E-4 | 1.183131E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.183131E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0014215811 | 0.0011911908 | 6.0E-4 | 0.50369763 | 0.0012910716 | 1.0E-4 |
7.5 | 2.6090431E-6 | 2.128379E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.128379E-6 | 0.0 | 1.1181565E-5 | 9.121593E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.121593E-6 | 0.0 | 1.3612706E-4 | 1.11049834E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.11049834E-4 | 0.0 | 0.001360437 | 0.00111836 | 6.0E-4 | 0.53649986 | 0.0012182482 | 1.0E-4 |
7.6 | 2.3008756E-6 | 1.8373528E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8373528E-6 | 0.0 | 9.860858E-6 | 7.874346E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.874346E-6 | 0.0 | 1.20049335E-4 | 9.5866024E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.5866024E-5 | 0.0 | 0.001199845 | 9.6632546E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.62090886 | 0.0010662288 | 1.0E-4 |
7.7 | 1.7184348E-6 | 1.3092924E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3092924E-6 | 0.0 | 7.3646997E-6 | 5.6112412E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.6112412E-6 | 0.0 | 8.966153E-5 | 6.831476E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.831476E-5 | 0.0 | 8.962536E-4 | 6.905961E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.57920974 | 7.905271E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.8 | 8.4612907E-7 | 8.1721214E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.1721214E-7 | 0.0 | 3.6262625E-6 | 3.5023331E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5023331E-6 | 0.0 | 4.4148852E-5 | 4.264009E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.264009E-5 | 0.0 | 4.414008E-4 | 4.31662E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.4633255 | 4.31662E-4 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.716738E-7 | 3.6626787E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.6626787E-7 | 0.0 | 1.1643157E-6 | 1.5697185E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5697185E-6 | 0.0 | 1.4175452E-5 | 1.9111167E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9111167E-5 | 0.0 | 1.4174548E-4 | 1.9276784E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5187587 | 1.9276784E-4 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 2.1995428E-8 | 3.2906875E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2906875E-8 | 0.0 | 9.426611E-8 | 1.4102946E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4102946E-7 | 0.0 | 1.1476893E-6 | 1.717033E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.717033E-6 | 0.0 | 1.14768345E-5 | 1.7378075E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7378075E-5 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (North Coast) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5333705E-4 | 6.817388E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.817388E-5 | 0.0 | 6.5699324E-4 | 2.9214122E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.6846004 | 3.92112E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.007969595 | 0.00355105 | 0.0013 | 0.3660889 | 0.0040492746 | 5.0E-4 | 0.0768977 | 0.03783077 | 0.0231 | 0.61061406 | 0.045912992 | 0.0084 |
6.1 | 1.5333705E-4 | 6.817388E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.817388E-5 | 0.0 | 6.5699324E-4 | 2.9214122E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.6846004 | 3.92112E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.007969595 | 0.00355105 | 0.0013 | 0.3660889 | 0.0040492746 | 5.0E-4 | 0.0768977 | 0.03783077 | 0.0231 | 0.61061406 | 0.045912992 | 0.0084 |
6.2 | 1.3912938E-4 | 5.7897167E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.7897167E-5 | 0.0 | 5.961325E-4 | 2.4810724E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.806103 | 3.4808242E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.007233787 | 0.0030165468 | 0.0011 | 0.36465538 | 0.00341534 | 4.0E-4 | 0.07002798 | 0.032311305 | 0.0191 | 0.59112436 | 0.03869805 | 0.0066 |
6.3 | 1.3912938E-4 | 5.7897167E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.7897167E-5 | 0.0 | 5.961325E-4 | 2.4810724E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.806103 | 3.4808242E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.007233787 | 0.0030165468 | 0.0011 | 0.36465538 | 0.00341534 | 4.0E-4 | 0.07002798 | 0.032311305 | 0.0191 | 0.59112436 | 0.03869805 | 0.0066 |
6.4 | 1.2623647E-4 | 4.8136004E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.8136004E-5 | 0.0 | 5.4090127E-4 | 2.0628095E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.9695515 | 3.062603E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0065656058 | 0.0025085965 | 0.0011 | 0.4384922 | 0.002907593 | 4.0E-4 | 0.06374981 | 0.02706821 | 0.0163 | 0.6021824 | 0.03222475 | 0.0053 |
6.5 | 1.1736096E-4 | 4.142292E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.142292E-5 | 0.0 | 5.028786E-4 | 1.7751481E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.1266665 | 2.7749705E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006105373 | 0.0021591156 | 8.0E-4 | 0.37052205 | 0.002558252 | 4.0E-4 | 0.05940335 | 0.023446878 | 0.0134 | 0.57150465 | 0.027841367 | 0.0045 |
6.6 | 1.1586959E-4 | 4.0356917E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0356917E-5 | 0.0 | 4.964894E-4 | 1.7294683E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.1564248 | 2.7292955E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006028018 | 0.0021036093 | 8.0E-4 | 0.38029873 | 0.0025027678 | 4.0E-4 | 0.058671024 | 0.022867141 | 0.0131 | 0.57287437 | 0.02726424 | 0.0045 |
6.7 | 1.13693764E-4 | 3.8717855E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.8717855E-5 | 0.0 | 4.87168E-4 | 1.659232E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.205377 | 2.659066E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005915152 | 0.0020182582 | 8.0E-4 | 0.3963814 | 0.0024174508 | 4.0E-4 | 0.057601593 | 0.021981029 | 0.0123 | 0.5595734 | 0.026088709 | 0.0042 |
6.8 | 1.1204889E-4 | 3.796954E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.796954E-5 | 0.0 | 4.8012115E-4 | 1.6271653E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.2291315 | 2.6270025E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005829819 | 0.0019792886 | 8.0E-4 | 0.40418562 | 0.0023784968 | 4.0E-4 | 0.05679232 | 0.021559075 | 0.0121 | 0.5612486 | 0.025668526 | 0.0042 |
6.9 | 1.1005794E-4 | 3.706962E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.706962E-5 | 0.0 | 4.7159163E-4 | 1.5886022E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.2589685 | 2.5884432E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0057265228 | 0.0019324222 | 8.0E-4 | 0.41398823 | 0.0023316492 | 4.0E-4 | 0.055811852 | 0.021047438 | 0.0116 | 0.551136 | 0.024865352 | 0.0039 |
7.0 | 1.0647948E-4 | 3.5310954E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5310954E-5 | 0.0 | 4.562608E-4 | 1.5132395E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.3216678 | 2.5130884E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0055408357 | 0.0018408269 | 8.0E-4 | 0.4345873 | 0.0022400906 | 4.0E-4 | 0.054047033 | 0.020051537 | 0.0112 | 0.55856067 | 0.023873337 | 0.0039 |
7.1 | 1.04795035E-4 | 3.4402434E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.4402434E-5 | 0.0 | 4.4904428E-4 | 1.4743075E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.356569 | 2.47416E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0054534175 | 0.001793506 | 8.0E-4 | 0.4460537 | 0.0021927885 | 4.0E-4 | 0.053215165 | 0.01954094 | 0.0111 | 0.5680382 | 0.02336473 | 0.0039 |
7.2 | 1.02724036E-4 | 3.335853E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.335853E-5 | 0.0 | 4.401716E-4 | 1.4295737E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.3990184 | 2.4294308E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0053459285 | 0.0017391308 | 8.0E-4 | 0.4599999 | 0.0021384351 | 4.0E-4 | 0.052191395 | 0.018953018 | 0.0109 | 0.5751063 | 0.022680996 | 0.0038 |
7.3 | 1.00650694E-4 | 3.286369E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.286369E-5 | 0.0 | 4.312888E-4 | 1.4083686E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.4200828 | 2.4082277E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005238306 | 0.0017133545 | 8.0E-4 | 0.46692032 | 0.0021126692 | 4.0E-4 | 0.051165357 | 0.018651623 | 0.0108 | 0.579038 | 0.022380747 | 0.0038 |
7.4 | 9.672919E-5 | 3.17352E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.17352E-5 | 0.0 | 4.144878E-4 | 1.3600098E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.4705776 | 2.3598738E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005034718 | 0.0016545686 | 8.0E-4 | 0.48350975 | 0.0020539067 | 4.0E-4 | 0.049221683 | 0.017970715 | 0.0102 | 0.5675901 | 0.021309614 | 0.0034 |
7.5 | 8.7600405E-5 | 2.1435255E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1435255E-5 | 0.0 | 3.753763E-4 | 9.186215E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.1771753 | 1.9185296E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0045606326 | 0.0011178495 | 7.0E-4 | 0.62620234 | 0.0014175142 | 3.0E-4 | 0.04468165 | 0.012406979 | 0.0075 | 0.6044985 | 0.014480924 | 0.0021 |
7.6 | 7.9562284E-5 | 1.8080447E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8080447E-5 | 0.0 | 3.4093665E-4 | 7.748533E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2905668 | 1.7747759E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0041430052 | 9.42977E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.42418846 | 0.0011427884 | 2.0E-4 | 0.040666126 | 0.010562464 | 0.0057 | 0.5396468 | 0.012145564 | 0.0016 |
7.7 | 6.3866544E-5 | 1.105408E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.105408E-5 | 0.0 | 2.7368503E-4 | 4.7373767E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.110873 | 1.4736904E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0033270244 | 5.766232E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.69369394 | 7.765079E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.032776527 | 0.0066874176 | 0.004 | 0.5981382 | 0.007879393 | 0.0012 |
7.8 | 4.2543215E-5 | 8.374025E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.374025E-6 | 0.0 | 1.8231533E-4 | 3.5888184E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.7864323 | 1.3588459E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0022174292 | 4.3685114E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.6867328 | 5.3680746E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.021954332 | 0.0050814785 | 0.0033 | 0.6494173 | 0.006076397 | 0.001 |
7.9 | 2.2636612E-5 | 7.2195207E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.2195207E-6 | 0.0 | 9.7010445E-5 | 3.094044E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.2320163 | 1.3093735E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0011804621 | 3.766348E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.5310184 | 4.765971E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.011742111 | 0.0043471423 | 0.003 | 0.69010854 | 0.005342795 | 0.001 |
8.0 | 1.5167874E-5 | 6.511471E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.511471E-6 | 0.0 | 6.500356E-5 | 2.7906006E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.583458 | 1.2790321E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 7.9113094E-4 | 3.3970273E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.58875006 | 4.3966874E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.007883203 | 0.0039160713 | 0.0028 | 0.71500236 | 0.004912155 | 0.001 |
8.1 | 1.0681047E-5 | 5.8976484E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.8976484E-6 | 0.0 | 4.5775112E-5 | 2.527539E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.9564176 | 1.2527287E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.5716943E-4 | 3.076845E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.6500165 | 4.0765374E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0055577457 | 0.0035470135 | 0.0026 | 0.733011 | 0.0045434665 | 0.001 |
8.2 | 8.226114E-6 | 4.731175E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.731175E-6 | 0.0 | 3.52543E-5 | 2.0276306E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.9318647 | 1.2027428E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.2913653E-4 | 2.4683613E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.81025416 | 3.4681146E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004283088 | 0.0028340062 | 0.002 | 0.70571476 | 0.0035320225 | 7.0E-4 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 6.9765395E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.9765395E-7 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 2.9899422E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9899422E-6 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.640195E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.640195E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.3255524E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.46236867 | 5.32512E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
Concord 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.7865112E-5 | 9.7227785E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.7227785E-5 | 0.0 | 2.4796976E-4 | 4.166246E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.166246E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0030148525 | 0.0050611263 | 0.0024 | 0.47420272 | 0.0058570774 | 8.0E-4 | 0.029742775 | 0.04907589 | 0.03 | 0.6112981 | 0.056968562 | 0.0083 |
6.1 | 5.7865112E-5 | 9.7227785E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.7227785E-5 | 0.0 | 2.4796976E-4 | 4.166246E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.166246E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0030148525 | 0.0050611263 | 0.0024 | 0.47420272 | 0.0058570774 | 8.0E-4 | 0.029742775 | 0.04907589 | 0.03 | 0.6112981 | 0.056968562 | 0.0083 |
6.2 | 5.6789337E-5 | 9.543774E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.543774E-5 | 0.0 | 2.4336016E-4 | 4.0895652E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0895652E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0029588845 | 0.004968242 | 0.0024 | 0.48306826 | 0.0057642674 | 8.0E-4 | 0.029197963 | 0.04819583 | 0.0296 | 0.61416095 | 0.056000628 | 0.0082 |
6.3 | 5.203322E-5 | 8.771259E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.771259E-5 | 0.0 | 2.2298045E-4 | 3.7586133E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.7586133E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0027114071 | 0.004567288 | 0.0023 | 0.5035811 | 0.005264091 | 7.0E-4 | 0.026785625 | 0.044380765 | 0.0273 | 0.6151314 | 0.051930156 | 0.0079 |
6.4 | 4.7120942E-5 | 7.866446E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.866446E-5 | 0.0 | 2.0193127E-4 | 3.37094E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.37094E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0024557412 | 0.0040971357 | 0.002 | 0.48814592 | 0.0046946774 | 6.0E-4 | 0.024287801 | 0.039909057 | 0.0254 | 0.636447 | 0.04701373 | 0.0074 |
6.5 | 2.9598437E-5 | 4.6468846E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.6468846E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2684427E-4 | 1.9913817E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9913817E-4 | 0.0 | 0.001543235 | 0.0024220194 | 0.0013 | 0.5367422 | 0.0029208083 | 5.0E-4 | 0.015325619 | 0.023813063 | 0.0163 | 0.68449825 | 0.028401142 | 0.0047 |
6.6 | 2.0443718E-5 | 2.9870673E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9870673E-5 | 0.0 | 8.7613E-5 | 1.2801109E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2801109E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0010661662 | 0.0015574567 | 0.001 | 0.64207244 | 0.0019568338 | 4.0E-4 | 0.010610655 | 0.015412929 | 0.0107 | 0.6942224 | 0.018563608 | 0.0032 |
6.7 | 1.798539E-5 | 2.5471327E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5471327E-5 | 0.0 | 7.7077966E-5 | 1.0915838E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0915838E-4 | 0.0 | 9.380202E-4 | 0.0013282145 | 7.0E-4 | 0.5270233 | 0.001627816 | 3.0E-4 | 0.009340706 | 0.013176453 | 0.0087 | 0.6602687 | 0.015840877 | 0.0027 |
6.8 | 1.613555E-5 | 2.1890408E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1890408E-5 | 0.0 | 6.915052E-5 | 9.381274E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.381274E-5 | 0.0 | 8.4158237E-4 | 0.0011415855 | 7.0E-4 | 0.61318225 | 0.0014412431 | 3.0E-4 | 0.008384023 | 0.01134584 | 0.0076 | 0.66984904 | 0.01371861 | 0.0024 |
6.9 | 1.2916435E-5 | 1.7027736E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7027736E-5 | 0.0 | 5.5354973E-5 | 7.2974006E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.2974006E-5 | 0.0 | 6.7373837E-4 | 8.8810216E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.7881976 | 0.0011878357 | 3.0E-4 | 0.006716994 | 0.00884014 | 0.0061 | 0.69003433 | 0.01082246 | 0.002 |
7.0 | 9.81129E-6 | 1.2596236E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2596236E-5 | 0.0 | 4.2047708E-5 | 5.398276E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.398276E-5 | 0.0 | 5.118106E-4 | 6.5704354E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.9131815 | 8.569121E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.005106334 | 0.0065519335 | 0.0052 | 0.79365885 | 0.008141451 | 0.0016 |
7.1 | 8.0889195E-6 | 1.0385969E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0385969E-5 | 0.0 | 3.4666336E-5 | 4.4510547E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.4510547E-5 | 0.0 | 4.219809E-4 | 5.417822E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.7383041 | 6.41728E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004211805 | 0.0054050833 | 0.0044 | 0.8140485 | 0.0065985974 | 0.0012 |
7.2 | 6.267438E-6 | 8.088033E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.088033E-6 | 0.0 | 2.6860173E-5 | 3.4662542E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.4662542E-5 | 0.0 | 3.2697353E-4 | 4.2193543E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.9480123 | 5.2189326E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0032649285 | 0.0042119 | 0.0038 | 0.9022057 | 0.005207688 | 0.001 |
7.3 | 3.6761196E-6 | 4.8197294E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.8197294E-6 | 0.0 | 1.5754704E-5 | 2.0655822E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0655822E-5 | 0.0 | 1.9179663E-4 | 2.5145581E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.3976842 | 2.5145581E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0019163118 | 0.0025119635 | 0.0024 | 0.95542794 | 0.0031104563 | 6.0E-4 |
7.4 | 2.8044356E-6 | 3.6945266E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.6945266E-6 | 0.0 | 1.2018954E-5 | 1.583359E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.583359E-5 | 0.0 | 1.4632095E-4 | 1.9275701E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.51878786 | 1.9275701E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0014622464 | 0.0019260531 | 0.0019 | 0.9864733 | 0.00242509 | 5.0E-4 |
7.5 | 2.4578699E-6 | 3.2311568E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2311568E-6 | 0.0 | 1.0533685E-5 | 1.3847743E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3847743E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2824008E-4 | 1.6858333E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.59317845 | 1.6858333E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0012816609 | 0.001684676 | 0.0015 | 0.8903789 | 0.0019841706 | 3.0E-4 |
7.6 | 1.7713267E-6 | 2.3238626E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3238626E-6 | 0.0 | 7.591378E-6 | 9.9593735E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.9593735E-6 | 0.0 | 9.2421105E-5 | 1.2124872E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2124872E-4 | 0.0 | 9.2382677E-4 | 0.0012119251 | 0.0013 | 1.0726736 | 0.0015115616 | 3.0E-4 |
7.7 | 5.1912366E-7 | 6.796827E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.796827E-7 | 0.0 | 2.2248137E-6 | 2.9129228E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9129228E-6 | 0.0 | 2.708677E-5 | 3.5464273E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5464273E-5 | 0.0 | 2.708347E-4 | 3.5461446E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.2819964 | 3.5461446E-4 | 0.0 |
Hunting Creek - Bartlett Springs connector 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.940016E-5 | 6.7636094E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.7636094E-5 | 0.0 | 2.1169778E-4 | 2.8983652E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.34502208 | 2.8983652E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002574374 | 0.003522902 | 0.0028 | 0.79479927 | 0.004519379 | 0.001 | 0.025447546 | 0.03465753 | 0.0275 | 0.7934783 | 0.042187203 | 0.0078 |
6.1 | 4.940016E-5 | 6.7636094E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.7636094E-5 | 0.0 | 2.1169778E-4 | 2.8983652E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.34502208 | 2.8983652E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002574374 | 0.003522902 | 0.0028 | 0.79479927 | 0.004519379 | 0.001 | 0.025447546 | 0.03465753 | 0.0275 | 0.7934783 | 0.042187203 | 0.0078 |
6.2 | 4.472471E-5 | 6.0799062E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0799062E-5 | 0.0 | 1.9166325E-4 | 2.6054154E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6054154E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0023310026 | 0.0031673922 | 0.0022 | 0.6945777 | 0.0039648586 | 8.0E-4 | 0.02306703 | 0.031213867 | 0.0229 | 0.7336483 | 0.037898492 | 0.0069 |
6.3 | 4.472471E-5 | 6.0799062E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0799062E-5 | 0.0 | 1.9166325E-4 | 2.6054154E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6054154E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0023310026 | 0.0031673922 | 0.0022 | 0.6945777 | 0.0039648586 | 8.0E-4 | 0.02306703 | 0.031213867 | 0.0229 | 0.7336483 | 0.037898492 | 0.0069 |
6.4 | 4.0001003E-5 | 5.3926353E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.3926353E-5 | 0.0 | 1.714216E-4 | 2.3109278E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3109278E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0020850603 | 0.002809889 | 0.0018 | 0.6405947 | 0.003408203 | 6.0E-4 | 0.02065605 | 0.027738636 | 0.0185 | 0.6669398 | 0.03337775 | 0.0058 |
6.5 | 3.8033053E-5 | 5.1099152E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.1099152E-5 | 0.0 | 1.6298861E-4 | 2.1897825E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1897825E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0019825802 | 0.0026627893 | 0.0016 | 0.60087365 | 0.003161458 | 5.0E-4 | 0.019649856 | 0.026306137 | 0.0165 | 0.62723005 | 0.031174606 | 0.005 |
6.6 | 3.653754E-5 | 4.897064E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.897064E-5 | 0.0 | 1.5658008E-4 | 2.0985756E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0985756E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0019046954 | 0.0025520264 | 0.0015 | 0.5877682 | 0.0030507504 | 5.0E-4 | 0.018884527 | 0.025226098 | 0.0154 | 0.61047894 | 0.029710056 | 0.0046 |
6.7 | 3.372024E-5 | 4.4996686E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.4996686E-5 | 0.0 | 1.4450731E-4 | 1.928289E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.928289E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0017579567 | 0.0023451848 | 0.0013 | 0.55432737 | 0.0026444811 | 3.0E-4 | 0.017441148 | 0.023205193 | 0.0139 | 0.59900385 | 0.027112372 | 0.004 |
6.8 | 2.9650024E-5 | 3.929196E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.929196E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2706534E-4 | 1.6838325E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6838325E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0015459227 | 0.0020481308 | 0.001 | 0.48825008 | 0.0022477212 | 2.0E-4 | 0.015352124 | 0.020290205 | 0.0112 | 0.55199045 | 0.023327306 | 0.0031 |
6.9 | 2.860775E-5 | 3.7701204E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.7701204E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2259888E-4 | 1.6156661E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6156661E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0014916194 | 0.0019653058 | 0.001 | 0.5088267 | 0.0021649126 | 2.0E-4 | 0.014816469 | 0.019478736 | 0.0106 | 0.54418314 | 0.0224203 | 0.003 |
7.0 | 2.6696067E-5 | 3.4966903E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.4966903E-5 | 0.0 | 1.144067E-4 | 1.4984961E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4984961E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0013920115 | 0.0018229008 | 0.001 | 0.5485762 | 0.0020225362 | 2.0E-4 | 0.013833242 | 0.01808013 | 0.0099 | 0.5475625 | 0.020731313 | 0.0027 |
7.1 | 2.456087E-5 | 3.1925734E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1925734E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0525662E-4 | 1.3681744E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3681744E-4 | 0.0 | 0.001280746 | 0.0016644886 | 9.0E-4 | 0.54070663 | 0.0018641558 | 2.0E-4 | 0.012733897 | 0.016521595 | 0.0091 | 0.55079424 | 0.018980293 | 0.0025 |
7.2 | 2.295761E-5 | 2.9741363E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9741363E-5 | 0.0 | 9.8386045E-5 | 1.274568E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.274568E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011971919 | 0.0015506912 | 8.0E-4 | 0.515899 | 0.0017503811 | 2.0E-4 | 0.011907627 | 0.015400236 | 0.0083 | 0.5389528 | 0.017566355 | 0.0022 |
7.3 | 2.1256936E-5 | 2.7465583E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7465583E-5 | 0.0 | 9.109797E-5 | 1.1770438E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1770438E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011085535 | 0.0014321175 | 7.0E-4 | 0.48878667 | 0.0016318312 | 2.0E-4 | 0.011030397 | 0.014230171 | 0.0077 | 0.54110384 | 0.016300287 | 0.0021 |
7.4 | 1.8784336E-5 | 2.4240306E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4240306E-5 | 0.0 | 8.050181E-5 | 1.03882936E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.03882936E-4 | 0.0 | 9.796688E-4 | 0.0012640484 | 7.0E-4 | 0.55377626 | 0.0014637957 | 2.0E-4 | 0.009753612 | 0.01256961 | 0.0066 | 0.525076 | 0.01454447 | 0.002 |
7.5 | 1.7248298E-5 | 2.2208003E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2208003E-5 | 0.0 | 7.391918E-5 | 9.5173724E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.5173724E-5 | 0.0 | 8.9959445E-4 | 0.0011581316 | 7.0E-4 | 0.6044218 | 0.0013579 | 2.0E-4 | 0.008959615 | 0.011521938 | 0.0061 | 0.5294248 | 0.013301199 | 0.0018 |
7.6 | 1.0653709E-5 | 1.36851195E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.36851195E-5 | 0.0 | 4.5657955E-5 | 5.864921E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.864921E-5 | 0.0 | 5.557438E-4 | 7.138229E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.5603631 | 8.137515E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0055435603 | 0.0071156183 | 0.0039 | 0.5480901 | 0.008207791 | 0.0011 |
7.7 | 3.286316E-6 | 4.079729E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.079729E-6 | 0.0 | 1.4084137E-5 | 1.7484437E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7484437E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7146087E-4 | 2.1285238E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1285238E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0017132863 | 0.002126546 | 5.0E-4 | 0.23512304 | 0.0022263336 | 1.0E-4 |
7.8 | 5.1855085E-7 | 5.9636176E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.9636176E-7 | 0.0 | 2.222359E-6 | 2.5558336E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5558336E-6 | 0.0 | 2.7056883E-5 | 3.111684E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.111684E-5 | 0.0 | 2.705359E-4 | 3.1113403E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.3214049 | 3.1113403E-4 | 0.0 |
Cady
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9892565E-5 | 2.1836178E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1836178E-5 | 0.0 | 8.525106E-5 | 9.358078E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.358078E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010374374 | 0.0011388412 | 0.0011 | 0.96589416 | 0.00193793 | 8.0E-4 | 0.010326075 | 0.011339046 | 0.0132 | 1.1641191 | 0.019248333 | 0.008 |
6.1 | 1.9892565E-5 | 2.1836178E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1836178E-5 | 0.0 | 8.525106E-5 | 9.358078E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.358078E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010374374 | 0.0011388412 | 0.0011 | 0.96589416 | 0.00193793 | 8.0E-4 | 0.010326075 | 0.011339046 | 0.0132 | 1.1641191 | 0.019248333 | 0.008 |
6.2 | 1.9892565E-5 | 2.1836178E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1836178E-5 | 0.0 | 8.525106E-5 | 9.358078E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.358078E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010374374 | 0.0011388412 | 0.0011 | 0.96589416 | 0.00193793 | 8.0E-4 | 0.010326075 | 0.011339046 | 0.0132 | 1.1641191 | 0.019248333 | 0.008 |
6.3 | 1.1117327E-5 | 1.2164474E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2164474E-5 | 0.0 | 4.764482E-5 | 5.2132596E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.2132596E-5 | 0.0 | 5.7992124E-4 | 6.3456094E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.6303571 | 8.3443406E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0057841022 | 0.0063305898 | 0.0059 | 0.93198264 | 0.009013497 | 0.0027 |
6.4 | 1.1117327E-5 | 1.2164474E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2164474E-5 | 0.0 | 4.764482E-5 | 5.2132596E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.2132596E-5 | 0.0 | 5.7992124E-4 | 6.3456094E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.6303571 | 8.3443406E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0057841022 | 0.0063305898 | 0.0059 | 0.93198264 | 0.009013497 | 0.0027 |
6.5 | 6.103093E-6 | 6.665527E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.665527E-6 | 0.0 | 2.615585E-5 | 2.8566303E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8566303E-5 | 0.0 | 3.1840094E-4 | 3.4775175E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.5751229 | 4.4771697E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0031794512 | 0.0034733072 | 0.0036 | 1.0364761 | 0.0049680974 | 0.0015 |
6.6 | 5.817237E-6 | 6.3593943E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.3593943E-6 | 0.0 | 2.4930776E-5 | 2.7254331E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7254331E-5 | 0.0 | 3.034899E-4 | 3.3178338E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.60280293 | 4.317502E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0030307577 | 0.0033141 | 0.0034 | 1.0259196 | 0.004809129 | 0.0015 |
6.7 | 4.8846314E-6 | 5.335364E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.335364E-6 | 0.0 | 2.0933967E-5 | 2.2865712E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2865712E-5 | 0.0 | 2.5484123E-4 | 2.7836623E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.35923895 | 2.7836623E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0025454918 | 0.0027813287 | 0.0025 | 0.898851 | 0.0036788255 | 9.0E-4 |
6.8 | 1.7788773E-6 | 1.9380745E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9380745E-6 | 0.0 | 7.6237375E-6 | 8.306017E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.306017E-6 | 0.0 | 9.281505E-5 | 1.01122634E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.01122634E-4 | 0.0 | 9.2776294E-4 | 0.0010109205 | 0.001 | 0.98919743 | 0.0011108194 | 1.0E-4 |
6.9 | 7.5455404E-7 | 8.2884713E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.2884713E-7 | 0.0 | 3.233799E-6 | 3.5521991E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5521991E-6 | 0.0 | 3.937079E-5 | 4.3247503E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.3247503E-5 | 0.0 | 3.9363815E-4 | 4.3242372E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.9250186 | 4.3242372E-4 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 6.8578805E-7 | 7.53397E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.53397E-7 | 0.0 | 2.9390883E-6 | 3.2288422E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2288422E-6 | 0.0 | 3.578281E-5 | 3.9310773E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.9310773E-5 | 0.0 | 3.577705E-4 | 3.930706E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.0176289 | 3.930706E-4 | 0.0 |
Pinto Mtn
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.7720834E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 4.1910415 | 4.7720834E-5 | 0.0 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0450275E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.977982 | 2.0450275E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0023034236 | 0.002487141 | 0.002 | 0.80413616 | 0.0032851512 | 8.0E-4 | 0.022796938 | 0.024610516 | 0.0202 | 0.8207874 | 0.031730857 | 0.0073 |
6.1 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.7720834E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 4.1910415 | 4.7720834E-5 | 0.0 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0450275E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.977982 | 2.0450275E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0023034236 | 0.002487141 | 0.002 | 0.80413616 | 0.0032851512 | 8.0E-4 | 0.022796938 | 0.024610516 | 0.0202 | 0.8207874 | 0.031730857 | 0.0073 |
6.2 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.7720834E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 4.1910415 | 4.7720834E-5 | 0.0 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0450275E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.977982 | 2.0450275E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0023034236 | 0.002487141 | 0.002 | 0.80413616 | 0.0032851512 | 8.0E-4 | 0.022796938 | 0.024610516 | 0.0202 | 0.8207874 | 0.031730857 | 0.0073 |
6.3 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.7720834E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 4.1910415 | 4.7720834E-5 | 0.0 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0450275E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.977982 | 2.0450275E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0023034236 | 0.002487141 | 0.002 | 0.80413616 | 0.0032851512 | 8.0E-4 | 0.022796938 | 0.024610516 | 0.0202 | 0.8207874 | 0.031730857 | 0.0073 |
6.4 | 3.729929E-5 | 3.948728E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.5324612 | 3.948728E-5 | 0.0 | 1.5984432E-4 | 1.6922074E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5909441 | 1.6922074E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0019443673 | 0.0020584087 | 0.0019 | 0.92304313 | 0.002856762 | 8.0E-4 | 0.019274427 | 0.020403415 | 0.0167 | 0.8184904 | 0.027162632 | 0.0069 |
6.5 | 3.729929E-5 | 3.948728E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.5324612 | 3.948728E-5 | 0.0 | 1.5984432E-4 | 1.6922074E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5909441 | 1.6922074E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0019443673 | 0.0020584087 | 0.0019 | 0.92304313 | 0.002856762 | 8.0E-4 | 0.019274427 | 0.020403415 | 0.0167 | 0.8184904 | 0.027162632 | 0.0069 |
6.6 | 3.0204548E-5 | 3.110548E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.110548E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2944164E-4 | 1.3330257E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3330257E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0015748127 | 0.0016217852 | 0.0013 | 0.8015858 | 0.002220812 | 6.0E-4 | 0.015636992 | 0.01610335 | 0.013 | 0.8072855 | 0.02171156 | 0.0057 |
6.7 | 2.9857754E-5 | 3.071538E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.071538E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2795553E-4 | 1.3163088E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3163088E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0015567453 | 0.0016014624 | 0.0013 | 0.8117581 | 0.0022005015 | 6.0E-4 | 0.015458848 | 0.015903043 | 0.0129 | 0.8111655 | 0.021512395 | 0.0057 |
6.8 | 2.4819734E-5 | 2.491932E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.491932E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0636595E-4 | 1.0679283E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0679283E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0012942362 | 0.0012994488 | 0.0011 | 0.84651273 | 0.0017987991 | 5.0E-4 | 0.012867244 | 0.012920861 | 0.0106 | 0.8203787 | 0.017560134 | 0.0047 |
6.9 | 2.331124E-5 | 2.3249495E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3249495E-5 | 0.0 | 9.990149E-5 | 9.963701E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.963701E-5 | 0.0 | 0.001215622 | 0.0012124258 | 0.001 | 0.8247928 | 0.0016119408 | 4.0E-4 | 0.012089936 | 0.012060293 | 0.0099 | 0.8208756 | 0.016506022 | 0.0045 |
7.0 | 2.1818534E-5 | 2.1674205E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1674205E-5 | 0.0 | 9.3504656E-5 | 9.288626E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.288626E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0011378246 | 0.0011303232 | 0.001 | 0.8847027 | 0.001529871 | 4.0E-4 | 0.011320163 | 0.011247833 | 0.0092 | 0.8179353 | 0.015400592 | 0.0042 |
7.1 | 2.066081E-5 | 2.0455356E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0455356E-5 | 0.0 | 8.854332E-5 | 8.766297E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.766297E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010774818 | 0.0010667936 | 0.001 | 0.9373884 | 0.0014663669 | 4.0E-4 | 0.010722724 | 0.010618767 | 0.009 | 0.84755605 | 0.014774168 | 0.0042 |
7.2 | 1.8990233E-5 | 1.8971818E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8971818E-5 | 0.0 | 8.138417E-5 | 8.130536E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.130536E-5 | 0.0 | 9.904018E-4 | 9.894625E-4 | 0.001 | 1.0106498 | 0.0013890667 | 4.0E-4 | 0.009859995 | 0.009852559 | 0.0083 | 0.8424207 | 0.01361512 | 0.0038 |
7.3 | 1.3335872E-5 | 1.4832578E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4832578E-5 | 0.0 | 5.7152483E-5 | 6.356672E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.356672E-5 | 0.0 | 6.956093E-4 | 7.7366264E-4 | 0.001 | 1.2925531 | 0.0011733532 | 4.0E-4 | 0.006934359 | 0.0077109854 | 0.0072 | 0.9337328 | 0.010787081 | 0.0031 |
7.4 | 9.414066E-6 | 1.1790612E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1790612E-5 | 0.0 | 4.0345374E-5 | 5.0530267E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0530267E-5 | 0.0 | 4.910942E-4 | 6.150417E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.1381341 | 9.148572E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0049001034 | 0.006134338 | 0.0052 | 0.8476872 | 0.008420229 | 0.0023 |
7.5 | 7.2101157E-6 | 9.0914455E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0914455E-6 | 0.0 | 3.090013E-5 | 3.89628E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.89628E-5 | 0.0 | 3.7614413E-4 | 4.7427657E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 1.0542371 | 6.7418173E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0037550807 | 0.004733414 | 0.0034 | 0.7182976 | 0.006027261 | 0.0013 |
7.6 | 3.296375E-6 | 4.4818053E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.4818053E-6 | 0.0 | 1.4127245E-5 | 1.9207604E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9207604E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7198564E-4 | 2.3382882E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.42766327 | 2.3382882E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0017185259 | 0.0023359607 | 0.002 | 0.85617876 | 0.0030343255 | 7.0E-4 |
7.7 | 2.5741092E-6 | 3.5248079E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5248079E-6 | 0.0 | 1.103185E-5 | 1.5106239E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5106239E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3430449E-4 | 1.8390421E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5437614 | 1.8390421E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0013422335 | 0.0018376457 | 0.0015 | 0.8162618 | 0.002436543 | 6.0E-4 |
San Diego Trough south
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.279495E-5 | 1.0398335E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0398335E-4 | 0.0 | 3.5478722E-4 | 4.4557097E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.22443113 | 4.4557097E-4 | 0.0 | 0.004310982 | 0.0054117716 | 0.0031 | 0.5728253 | 0.00640636 | 0.001 | 0.042283054 | 0.052859753 | 0.033 | 0.6242935 | 0.06005802 | 0.0076 |
6.1 | 4.6961468E-5 | 5.7593406E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.7593406E-5 | 0.0 | 2.0124791E-4 | 2.4680578E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.40517688 | 2.4680578E-4 | 0.0 | 0.00244744 | 0.0030007784 | 0.0017 | 0.5665197 | 0.0036986778 | 7.0E-4 | 0.024206603 | 0.029610973 | 0.0167 | 0.5639801 | 0.033977725 | 0.0045 |
6.2 | 3.5079658E-5 | 4.2053834E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.2053834E-5 | 0.0 | 1.5033272E-4 | 1.8021835E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5548824 | 1.8021835E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0018287642 | 0.0021919683 | 0.0016 | 0.72993755 | 0.0028904339 | 7.0E-4 | 0.018137876 | 0.021706074 | 0.0126 | 0.58048266 | 0.024640957 | 0.003 |
6.3 | 3.5079658E-5 | 4.2053834E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.2053834E-5 | 0.0 | 1.5033272E-4 | 1.8021835E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5548824 | 1.8021835E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0018287642 | 0.0021919683 | 0.0016 | 0.72993755 | 0.0028904339 | 7.0E-4 | 0.018137876 | 0.021706074 | 0.0126 | 0.58048266 | 0.024640957 | 0.003 |
6.4 | 2.7196904E-5 | 3.2026568E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2026568E-5 | 0.0 | 1.16552954E-4 | 1.372496E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.372496E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0014181085 | 0.0016697448 | 0.0011 | 0.6587833 | 0.002268743 | 6.0E-4 | 0.014090929 | 0.016573627 | 0.0089 | 0.53699774 | 0.01854048 | 0.002 |
6.5 | 2.5584688E-5 | 3.004582E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.004582E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0964406E-4 | 1.2876153E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2876153E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0013340989 | 0.0015665563 | 0.001 | 0.63834286 | 0.0020657731 | 5.0E-4 | 0.013261181 | 0.0155567005 | 0.0082 | 0.527104 | 0.017427143 | 0.0019 |
6.6 | 2.2034688E-5 | 2.5697242E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5697242E-5 | 0.0 | 9.443096E-5 | 1.10126435E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.10126435E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011490905 | 0.0013399721 | 8.0E-4 | 0.59702736 | 0.0017394362 | 4.0E-4 | 0.011431668 | 0.0133199245 | 0.0071 | 0.53303605 | 0.014898613 | 0.0016 |
6.7 | 1.9394853E-5 | 2.2503391E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2503391E-5 | 0.0 | 8.311815E-5 | 9.643957E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.643957E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010114936 | 0.0011735245 | 8.0E-4 | 0.6817071 | 0.0015730552 | 4.0E-4 | 0.01006902 | 0.011673977 | 0.0061 | 0.5225297 | 0.013255299 | 0.0016 |
6.8 | 1.7615313E-5 | 2.0369338E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0369338E-5 | 0.0 | 7.549201E-5 | 8.729427E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.729427E-5 | 0.0 | 9.1872766E-4 | 0.0010622938 | 7.0E-4 | 0.6589514 | 0.0013619751 | 3.0E-4 | 0.009149387 | 0.010572723 | 0.0058 | 0.5485815 | 0.012056865 | 0.0015 |
6.9 | 1.5621423E-5 | 1.7997054E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7997054E-5 | 0.0 | 6.6947236E-5 | 7.7127974E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.7127974E-5 | 0.0 | 8.147778E-4 | 9.38632E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.74576616 | 0.0012383504 | 3.0E-4 | 0.008117969 | 0.009347118 | 0.0051 | 0.5456227 | 0.010833098 | 0.0015 |
7.0 | 1.3444376E-5 | 1.5423993E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5423993E-5 | 0.0 | 5.7617483E-5 | 6.610117E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.610117E-5 | 0.0 | 7.0126704E-4 | 8.044873E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.7458166 | 0.001104246 | 3.0E-4 | 0.006990582 | 0.008016082 | 0.0041 | 0.5114718 | 0.009206463 | 0.0012 |
7.1 | 1.2268361E-5 | 1.4051366E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4051366E-5 | 0.0 | 5.2577634E-5 | 6.021876E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.021876E-5 | 0.0 | 6.399447E-4 | 7.3291943E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.81864387 | 0.0010326996 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0063810493 | 0.0073053264 | 0.0036 | 0.49279112 | 0.00849656 | 0.0012 |
7.2 | 1.0922655E-5 | 1.24944845E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.24944845E-5 | 0.0 | 4.681054E-5 | 5.3546704E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.3546704E-5 | 0.0 | 5.697693E-4 | 6.5173866E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.9206144 | 9.515431E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0056831064 | 0.0064985524 | 0.0033 | 0.5078054 | 0.007591404 | 0.0011 |
7.3 | 6.1106753E-6 | 6.9192024E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.9192024E-6 | 0.0 | 2.6188345E-5 | 2.9653389E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9653389E-5 | 0.0 | 3.1879646E-4 | 3.6097062E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.1081234 | 5.608984E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0031833951 | 0.003603888 | 0.0021 | 0.582704 | 0.004600284 | 0.001 |
7.4 | 4.933187E-6 | 5.5817527E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.5817527E-6 | 0.0 | 2.114206E-5 | 2.392158E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.392158E-5 | 0.0 | 2.5737417E-4 | 2.912067E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.0301961 | 3.911776E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.002570763 | 0.0029082922 | 0.0018 | 0.6189199 | 0.0038056748 | 9.0E-4 |
7.5 | 1.7489613E-6 | 1.967052E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.967052E-6 | 0.0 | 7.495527E-6 | 8.430196E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.430196E-6 | 0.0 | 9.125422E-5 | 1.0263303E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.9486904 | 2.0262276E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 9.1216754E-4 | 0.0010258782 | 6.0E-4 | 0.58486474 | 0.0013255705 | 3.0E-4 |
7.6 | 1.6988751E-7 | 1.7527951E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7527951E-7 | 0.0 | 7.2808916E-7 | 7.5119766E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.5119766E-7 | 0.0 | 8.864449E-6 | 9.145795E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.145795E-6 | 0.0 | 8.8640954E-5 | 9.1454385E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0934412 | 9.1454385E-5 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 09 (Laguna Seca)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.4353277E-5 | 7.0272334E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0272334E-5 | 0.0 | 2.3292181E-4 | 3.0113247E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.66415954 | 4.0110236E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0028321352 | 0.0036601317 | 0.0027 | 0.7376784 | 0.0047561056 | 0.0011 | 0.02796312 | 0.0360027 | 0.0265 | 0.7360559 | 0.04313628 | 0.0074 |
6.1 | 4.5578287E-5 | 5.80379E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.80379E-5 | 0.0 | 1.953209E-4 | 2.4871025E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.40207428 | 3.486854E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0023754383 | 0.003023848 | 0.0021 | 0.6944794 | 0.0038214289 | 8.0E-4 | 0.023502063 | 0.029828679 | 0.0199 | 0.66714317 | 0.03555269 | 0.0059 |
6.2 | 2.8536782E-5 | 3.4637753E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.4637753E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2229476E-4 | 1.4843907E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.67367715 | 2.484242E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0014879217 | 0.0018057277 | 0.001 | 0.5537934 | 0.0020053666 | 2.0E-4 | 0.014779986 | 0.01790838 | 0.0106 | 0.5919017 | 0.020363608 | 0.0025 |
6.3 | 2.3698774E-5 | 2.8136803E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8136803E-5 | 0.0 | 1.01562226E-4 | 1.205806E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.82932085 | 2.2056853E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0012358186 | 0.00146707 | 8.0E-4 | 0.5453046 | 0.0016667766 | 2.0E-4 | 0.012289686 | 0.014572562 | 0.0085 | 0.58328795 | 0.016346332 | 0.0018 |
6.4 | 1.9191197E-5 | 2.206722E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.206722E-5 | 0.0 | 8.2245395E-5 | 9.45706E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.45706E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010008777 | 0.0011507921 | 6.0E-4 | 0.52138 | 0.001250677 | 1.0E-4 | 0.009963818 | 0.01144856 | 0.0071 | 0.6201653 | 0.012931388 | 0.0015 |
6.5 | 1.5203241E-5 | 1.67631E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.67631E-5 | 0.0 | 6.5155116E-5 | 7.1840055E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.1840055E-5 | 0.0 | 7.9297484E-4 | 8.7431574E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.3431255 | 8.7431574E-4 | 0.0 | 0.007901512 | 0.00870998 | 0.0045 | 0.5166487 | 0.009304754 | 6.0E-4 |
6.6 | 1.0984925E-5 | 1.1222065E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1222065E-5 | 0.0 | 4.70774E-5 | 4.8093694E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.8093694E-5 | 0.0 | 5.730166E-4 | 5.853872E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.34165418 | 5.853872E-4 | 0.0 | 0.005715413 | 0.0058388454 | 0.0032 | 0.54805356 | 0.006335926 | 5.0E-4 |
6.7 | 9.134616E-6 | 9.004035E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.004035E-6 | 0.0 | 3.9147766E-5 | 3.858816E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.858816E-5 | 0.0 | 4.7651984E-4 | 4.6971196E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.21289644 | 4.6971196E-4 | 0.0 | 0.004754993 | 0.004687436 | 0.0026 | 0.55467427 | 0.005185092 | 5.0E-4 |
6.8 | 7.785589E-6 | 7.4387403E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.4387403E-6 | 0.0 | 3.3366385E-5 | 3.187994E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.187994E-5 | 0.0 | 4.0616E-4 | 3.8807112E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.25768474 | 3.8807112E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0040541845 | 0.0038741378 | 0.0022 | 0.5678683 | 0.004372201 | 5.0E-4 |
6.9 | 5.579095E-6 | 4.8894753E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.8894753E-6 | 0.0 | 2.3910188E-5 | 2.0954734E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0954734E-5 | 0.0 | 2.9106764E-4 | 2.550954E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.3920102 | 2.550954E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002906867 | 0.0025481626 | 0.0014 | 0.54941547 | 0.0028473982 | 3.0E-4 |
7.0 | 2.6816688E-6 | 1.51843E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.51843E-6 | 0.0 | 1.1492816E-5 | 6.5075415E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.5075415E-6 | 0.0 | 1.3991605E-4 | 7.922653E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2622036 | 7.922653E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0013982799 | 7.919915E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.5050559 | 8.919123E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.1 | 1.9951021E-6 | 7.4325794E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.4325794E-7 | 0.0 | 8.55041E-6 | 3.1853874E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1853874E-6 | 0.0 | 1.0409627E-4 | 3.8781443E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.8781443E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010404752 | 3.877509E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.7736926 | 4.877121E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.2 | 1.9951021E-6 | 7.4325794E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.4325794E-7 | 0.0 | 8.55041E-6 | 3.1853874E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1853874E-6 | 0.0 | 1.0409627E-4 | 3.8781443E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.8781443E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010404752 | 3.877509E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.7736926 | 4.877121E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.3 | 1.7087556E-6 | 6.5603325E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.5603325E-7 | 0.0 | 7.3232177E-6 | 2.8115683E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8115683E-6 | 0.0 | 8.915652E-5 | 3.4230347E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.4230347E-5 | 0.0 | 8.9120766E-4 | 3.4225476E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.58436 | 4.4222054E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.4 | 1.3804846E-6 | 6.057212E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.057212E-7 | 0.0 | 5.916349E-6 | 2.5959457E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5959457E-6 | 0.0 | 7.2029165E-5 | 3.160522E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.160522E-5 | 0.0 | 7.200583E-4 | 3.1601125E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.63288885 | 4.1597965E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.5 | 1.3804846E-6 | 6.057212E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.057212E-7 | 0.0 | 5.916349E-6 | 2.5959457E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5959457E-6 | 0.0 | 7.2029165E-5 | 3.160522E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.160522E-5 | 0.0 | 7.200583E-4 | 3.1601125E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.63288885 | 4.1597965E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
Rose Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5923203E-5 | 4.956853E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.017409 | 4.956853E-5 | 0.0 | 1.9679888E-4 | 2.1242037E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.8830584 | 3.1239915E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0023933933 | 0.0025833491 | 0.0027 | 1.0451548 | 0.0029823158 | 4.0E-4 | 0.023677798 | 0.025569102 | 0.0267 | 1.044229 | 0.032195233 | 0.0068 |
6.1 | 4.5923203E-5 | 4.956853E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.017409 | 4.956853E-5 | 0.0 | 1.9679888E-4 | 2.1242037E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.8830584 | 3.1239915E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0023933933 | 0.0025833491 | 0.0019 | 0.73547935 | 0.0028825742 | 3.0E-4 | 0.023677798 | 0.025569102 | 0.0167 | 0.653132 | 0.02995404 | 0.0045 |
6.2 | 2.8844734E-5 | 2.959061E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.3794503 | 2.959061E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2361443E-4 | 1.2681072E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 2.3657308 | 2.2679803E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0015039665 | 0.0015428562 | 0.0011 | 0.7129634 | 0.0016427019 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0149382865 | 0.015320393 | 0.009 | 0.5874523 | 0.018077496 | 0.0028 |
6.3 | 2.3171577E-5 | 2.3104067E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3104067E-5 | 0.0 | 9.9302975E-5 | 9.901375E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.0199215 | 1.9900384E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0012083431 | 0.001204839 | 9.0E-4 | 0.74698776 | 0.0013047185 | 1.0E-4 | 0.012017938 | 0.011984598 | 0.0069 | 0.57573897 | 0.014158231 | 0.0022 |
6.4 | 2.0066604E-5 | 1.961547E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.961547E-5 | 0.0 | 8.599689E-5 | 8.406365E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1895748 | 8.406365E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010465092 | 0.0010230043 | 7.0E-4 | 0.68425906 | 0.0010230043 | 0.0 | 0.010415946 | 0.010179668 | 0.0059 | 0.57958674 | 0.011862362 | 0.0017 |
6.5 | 1.776989E-5 | 1.7066739E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7066739E-5 | 0.0 | 7.615444E-5 | 7.314116E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.3672193 | 7.314116E-5 | 0.0 | 9.267859E-4 | 8.901367E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.6740538 | 8.901367E-4 | 0.0 | 0.009229303 | 0.008862977 | 0.0048 | 0.54157877 | 0.010052341 | 0.0012 |
6.6 | 1.5227364E-5 | 1.4300016E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4300016E-5 | 0.0 | 6.52585E-5 | 6.128437E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.6317374 | 6.128437E-5 | 0.0 | 7.942326E-4 | 7.45887E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.67034286 | 7.45887E-4 | 0.0 | 0.007914 | 0.0074209324 | 0.0033 | 0.44468805 | 0.008115738 | 7.0E-4 |
6.7 | 1.2703898E-5 | 1.1645403E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1645403E-5 | 0.0 | 5.4444143E-5 | 4.9907936E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.0036893 | 4.9907936E-5 | 0.0 | 6.626558E-4 | 6.0746394E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.8230941 | 6.0746394E-4 | 0.0 | 0.006606833 | 0.0060429107 | 0.0025 | 0.41370794 | 0.006539889 | 5.0E-4 |
6.8 | 1.1554917E-5 | 1.0585705E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0585705E-5 | 0.0 | 4.9520135E-5 | 4.536654E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.2042677 | 4.536654E-5 | 0.0 | 6.0274085E-4 | 5.522017E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.90546626 | 5.522017E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0060110865 | 0.005498397 | 0.0023 | 0.41830373 | 0.005995648 | 5.0E-4 |
6.9 | 8.732078E-6 | 7.867251E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.867251E-6 | 0.0 | 3.7422655E-5 | 3.371637E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.9659183 | 3.371637E-5 | 0.0 | 4.5552556E-4 | 4.1042242E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.9746056 | 4.1042242E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0045459294 | 0.0040817247 | 0.0018 | 0.4409901 | 0.0045796838 | 5.0E-4 |
7.0 | 5.9337494E-6 | 5.097115E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.097115E-6 | 0.0 | 2.5430107E-5 | 2.1844595E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.577791 | 2.1844595E-5 | 0.0 | 3.0956755E-4 | 2.6592563E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.128135 | 2.6592563E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0030913667 | 0.0026560896 | 0.0012 | 0.45179197 | 0.0029552928 | 3.0E-4 |
7.1 | 5.013409E-6 | 4.1690255E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.1690255E-6 | 0.0 | 2.1485863E-5 | 1.786713E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 5.59687 | 1.786713E-5 | 0.0 | 2.6155898E-4 | 2.175107E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.919495 | 2.175107E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0026125133 | 0.0021729898 | 0.001 | 0.46019548 | 0.0024723378 | 3.0E-4 |
7.2 | 4.120763E-6 | 3.2745982E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2745982E-6 | 0.0 | 1.7660293E-5 | 1.4033917E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 7.125594 | 1.4033917E-5 | 0.0 | 2.1499286E-4 | 1.7084964E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.17062 | 1.7084964E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0021478499 | 0.0017071924 | 0.001 | 0.5857571 | 0.0020066802 | 3.0E-4 |
7.3 | 3.2081239E-6 | 2.4343676E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4343676E-6 | 0.0 | 1.374903E-5 | 1.0432963E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 9.585005 | 1.0432963E-5 | 0.0 | 1.6738157E-4 | 1.2701399E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.7873149 | 1.2701399E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0016725556 | 0.0012694208 | 7.0E-4 | 0.55143255 | 0.001469167 | 2.0E-4 |
7.4 | 2.4194755E-6 | 1.7629421E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7629421E-6 | 0.0 | 1.0369139E-5 | 7.5554444E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 13.235489 | 7.5554444E-6 | 0.0 | 1.2623696E-4 | 9.198371E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.087149 | 9.198371E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0012616527 | 9.1946166E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.5437965 | 0.0010193697 | 1.0E-4 |
7.5 | 1.3842889E-6 | 9.33772E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.33772E-7 | 0.0 | 5.9326535E-6 | 4.001874E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.001874E-6 | 0.0 | 7.222766E-5 | 4.8721762E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.8721762E-5 | 0.0 | 7.220419E-4 | 4.871143E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.20529062 | 4.871143E-4 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.0021575E-6 | 6.3823694E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.3823694E-7 | 0.0 | 4.2949537E-6 | 2.7352985E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7352985E-6 | 0.0 | 5.2289808E-5 | 3.330177E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.330177E-5 | 0.0 | 5.2277505E-4 | 3.3296994E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3296994E-4 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 8.7620116E-8 | 6.445977E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.445977E-8 | 0.0 | 3.7551473E-7 | 2.7625612E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7625612E-7 | 0.0 | 4.5718825E-6 | 3.3634135E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3634135E-6 | 0.0 | 4.5717883E-5 | 3.3633652E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3633652E-5 | 0.0 |
Garlock (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5092507E-5 | 6.262008E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 3.1938639 | 6.262008E-5 | 0.0 | 1.9323928E-4 | 2.6834666E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.4906093 | 2.6834666E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0023501497 | 0.00326267 | 0.0023 | 0.7049441 | 0.0034620175 | 2.0E-4 | 0.023254504 | 0.03222349 | 0.0243 | 0.7541083 | 0.038804367 | 0.0068 |
6.1 | 4.5092507E-5 | 6.262008E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 3.1938639 | 6.262008E-5 | 0.0 | 1.9323928E-4 | 2.6834666E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.4906093 | 2.6834666E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0023501497 | 0.00326267 | 0.0023 | 0.7049441 | 0.0034620175 | 2.0E-4 | 0.023254504 | 0.03222349 | 0.0243 | 0.7541083 | 0.038804367 | 0.0068 |
6.2 | 2.6674514E-5 | 3.4284723E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.9167511 | 3.4284723E-5 | 0.0 | 1.1431433E-4 | 1.4692644E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.68061274 | 1.4692644E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0013908884 | 0.0017873944 | 9.0E-4 | 0.5035263 | 0.001987037 | 2.0E-4 | 0.01382215 | 0.017797733 | 0.0125 | 0.70233667 | 0.021726541 | 0.004 |
6.3 | 2.6674514E-5 | 3.4284723E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.9167511 | 3.4284723E-5 | 0.0 | 1.1431433E-4 | 1.4692644E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.68061274 | 1.4692644E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0013908884 | 0.0017873944 | 9.0E-4 | 0.5035263 | 0.001987037 | 2.0E-4 | 0.01382215 | 0.017797733 | 0.0125 | 0.70233667 | 0.021726541 | 0.004 |
6.4 | 2.5312667E-5 | 3.2118973E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.1134245 | 3.2118973E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0847834E-4 | 1.3764565E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.7265032 | 1.3764565E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0013199237 | 0.0016745767 | 7.0E-4 | 0.41801608 | 0.0018742417 | 2.0E-4 | 0.013121112 | 0.016671875 | 0.0113 | 0.6777882 | 0.020408522 | 0.0038 |
6.5 | 2.5312667E-5 | 3.2118973E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.1134245 | 3.2118973E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0847834E-4 | 1.3764565E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.7265032 | 1.3764565E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0013199237 | 0.0016745767 | 7.0E-4 | 0.41801608 | 0.0018742417 | 2.0E-4 | 0.013121112 | 0.016671875 | 0.0113 | 0.6777882 | 0.020408522 | 0.0038 |
6.6 | 2.246556E-5 | 2.7922182E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.5813818 | 2.7922182E-5 | 0.0 | 9.627742E-5 | 1.1966114E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.8356932 | 1.1966114E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011715472 | 0.0014559241 | 7.0E-4 | 0.48079428 | 0.001655633 | 2.0E-4 | 0.011653901 | 0.014516794 | 0.0099 | 0.68196875 | 0.017768888 | 0.0033 |
6.7 | 2.2241198E-5 | 2.7592509E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.624172 | 2.7592509E-5 | 0.0 | 9.531594E-5 | 1.1824838E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.8456775 | 1.1824838E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011598538 | 0.0014387466 | 7.0E-4 | 0.4865346 | 0.0016384589 | 2.0E-4 | 0.011538187 | 0.014346733 | 0.0098 | 0.68308234 | 0.017599389 | 0.0033 |
6.8 | 1.9528685E-5 | 2.3700766E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.219273 | 2.3700766E-5 | 0.0 | 8.369167E-5 | 1.0157087E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.98453426 | 1.0157087E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0010184698 | 0.0012359433 | 5.0E-4 | 0.4045493 | 0.0013358197 | 1.0E-4 | 0.010138147 | 0.012334178 | 0.0083 | 0.67292684 | 0.015099643 | 0.0028 |
6.9 | 1.3318621E-5 | 1.5027202E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5027202E-5 | 0.0 | 5.7078556E-5 | 6.440074E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.440074E-5 | 0.0 | 6.9470983E-4 | 7.8380253E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.38274947 | 7.8380253E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0069254204 | 0.007851048 | 0.005 | 0.6368576 | 0.009636917 | 0.0018 |
7.0 | 1.1760853E-5 | 1.2941798E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2941798E-5 | 0.0 | 5.0402683E-5 | 5.5463697E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.5463697E-5 | 0.0 | 6.134799E-4 | 6.7506626E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.44440082 | 6.7506626E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0061178906 | 0.00677051 | 0.0042 | 0.62033725 | 0.008260354 | 0.0015 |
7.1 | 1.0064758E-5 | 1.0742595E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0742595E-5 | 0.0 | 4.3133965E-5 | 4.6038902E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.6038902E-5 | 0.0 | 5.2502943E-4 | 5.603829E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.3568988 | 5.603829E-4 | 0.0 | 0.005237907 | 0.0056293267 | 0.0034 | 0.6039799 | 0.0067231343 | 0.0011 |
7.2 | 9.768808E-6 | 1.0340137E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0340137E-5 | 0.0 | 4.186565E-5 | 4.431414E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.431414E-5 | 0.0 | 5.095951E-4 | 5.3939456E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.3707861 | 5.3939456E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0050842804 | 0.005420548 | 0.0032 | 0.5903463 | 0.0064151273 | 0.001 |
7.3 | 9.344516E-6 | 9.7887205E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.7887205E-6 | 0.0 | 4.004731E-5 | 4.1951003E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.1951003E-5 | 0.0 | 4.8746695E-4 | 5.106372E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.39166754 | 5.106372E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0048639905 | 0.005133724 | 0.003 | 0.58437115 | 0.0060291034 | 9.0E-4 |
7.4 | 9.023491E-6 | 9.337981E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.337981E-6 | 0.0 | 3.867153E-5 | 4.0019324E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0019324E-5 | 0.0 | 4.7072413E-4 | 4.8712967E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.4105683 | 4.8712967E-4 | 0.0 | 0.004697283 | 0.0048987195 | 0.0027 | 0.55116445 | 0.00559529 | 7.0E-4 |
7.5 | 7.081253E-6 | 6.9513176E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.9513176E-6 | 0.0 | 3.0347876E-5 | 2.9791025E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9791025E-5 | 0.0 | 3.6942272E-4 | 3.626461E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.55150187 | 3.626461E-4 | 0.0 | 0.003688092 | 0.0036532064 | 0.0019 | 0.52009106 | 0.0041513797 | 5.0E-4 |
7.6 | 6.116396E-6 | 5.8294945E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.8294945E-6 | 0.0 | 2.6212863E-5 | 2.498331E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.498331E-5 | 0.0 | 3.1909486E-4 | 3.041296E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.041296E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0031863707 | 0.0030680262 | 0.0012 | 0.39113095 | 0.0033671057 | 3.0E-4 |
7.7 | 4.797145E-6 | 4.6360797E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.6360797E-6 | 0.0 | 2.055903E-5 | 1.9868761E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9868761E-5 | 0.0 | 2.5027743E-4 | 2.4187544E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4187544E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0024999576 | 0.0024460873 | 8.0E-4 | 0.32705292 | 0.002645598 | 2.0E-4 |
7.8 | 3.4028885E-6 | 3.870148E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.870148E-6 | 0.0 | 1.4583726E-5 | 1.6586244E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6586244E-5 | 0.0 | 1.775424E-4 | 2.0191887E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0191887E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0017740062 | 0.0020447583 | 7.0E-4 | 0.34233874 | 0.002144554 | 1.0E-4 |
7.9 | 2.5928412E-6 | 3.2804935E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2804935E-6 | 0.0 | 1.1112129E-5 | 1.4059183E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4059183E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3528178E-4 | 1.7115717E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7115717E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0013519945 | 0.0017333033 | 6.0E-4 | 0.34615985 | 0.0018331299 | 1.0E-4 |
8.0 | 1.3743648E-6 | 1.6307154E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6307154E-6 | 0.0 | 5.8901214E-6 | 6.9887615E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.9887615E-6 | 0.0 | 7.1709874E-5 | 8.5084874E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.5084874E-5 | 0.0 | 7.1686733E-4 | 8.6138607E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.11609196 | 8.6138607E-4 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 3.0569248E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0569248E-7 | 0.0 | 1.5742813E-6 | 1.3101101E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3101101E-6 | 0.0 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.5950489E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5950489E-5 | 0.0 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.615787E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.615787E-4 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 04b Gordon Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.1181217E-5 | 2.3948787E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3948787E-5 | 0.0 | 9.077348E-5 | 1.02634556E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.02634556E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011046068 | 0.0012490256 | 0.0012 | 0.960749 | 0.0021479013 | 9.0E-4 | 0.010991322 | 0.012436455 | 0.013 | 1.045314 | 0.019250643 | 0.0069 |
6.1 | 2.1181217E-5 | 2.3948787E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3948787E-5 | 0.0 | 9.077348E-5 | 1.02634556E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.02634556E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011046068 | 0.0012490256 | 0.0012 | 0.960749 | 0.0021479013 | 9.0E-4 | 0.010991322 | 0.012436455 | 0.013 | 1.045314 | 0.019250643 | 0.0069 |
6.2 | 2.1181217E-5 | 2.3948787E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3948787E-5 | 0.0 | 9.077348E-5 | 1.02634556E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.02634556E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011046068 | 0.0012490256 | 0.0012 | 0.960749 | 0.0021479013 | 9.0E-4 | 0.010991322 | 0.012436455 | 0.013 | 1.045314 | 0.019250643 | 0.0069 |
6.3 | 2.1181217E-5 | 2.3948787E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3948787E-5 | 0.0 | 9.077348E-5 | 1.02634556E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.02634556E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011046068 | 0.0012490256 | 0.0012 | 0.960749 | 0.0021479013 | 9.0E-4 | 0.010991322 | 0.012436455 | 0.013 | 1.045314 | 0.019250643 | 0.0069 |
6.4 | 1.0988268E-5 | 1.22397605E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.22397605E-5 | 0.0 | 4.7091726E-5 | 5.245515E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.245515E-5 | 0.0 | 5.731909E-4 | 6.384702E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.6264975 | 0.0010382149 | 4.0E-4 | 0.005717147 | 0.006367942 | 0.0063 | 0.9893306 | 0.009448201 | 0.0031 |
6.5 | 1.0988268E-5 | 1.22397605E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.22397605E-5 | 0.0 | 4.7091726E-5 | 5.245515E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.245515E-5 | 0.0 | 5.731909E-4 | 6.384702E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.6264975 | 0.0010382149 | 4.0E-4 | 0.005717147 | 0.006367942 | 0.0063 | 0.9893306 | 0.009448201 | 0.0031 |
6.6 | 1.0517822E-5 | 1.1710029E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1710029E-5 | 0.0 | 4.5075605E-5 | 5.018496E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.018496E-5 | 0.0 | 5.4865726E-4 | 6.108462E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.6548293 | 0.0010106019 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0054730466 | 0.0060932217 | 0.006 | 0.9847008 | 0.008975551 | 0.0029 |
6.7 | 7.789219E-6 | 8.667313E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.667313E-6 | 0.0 | 3.3381937E-5 | 3.7145124E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.7145124E-5 | 0.0 | 4.063493E-4 | 4.521532E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.8846559 | 8.519724E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.004056071 | 0.0045128483 | 0.0048 | 1.0636297 | 0.006802469 | 0.0023 |
6.8 | 7.5850853E-6 | 8.4423E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.4423E-6 | 0.0 | 3.2507105E-5 | 3.6180812E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.6180812E-5 | 0.0 | 3.957021E-4 | 4.404175E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.9082291 | 8.402413E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0039499826 | 0.004395958 | 0.0048 | 1.0919122 | 0.006685847 | 0.0023 |
6.9 | 6.604105E-6 | 7.349773E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.349773E-6 | 0.0 | 2.8303E-5 | 3.149867E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.149867E-5 | 0.0 | 3.4453452E-4 | 3.8343266E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.7824059 | 6.8331766E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0034400085 | 0.0038280967 | 0.0039 | 1.0187831 | 0.005621206 | 0.0018 |
7.0 | 5.3701115E-6 | 5.9812187E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.9812187E-6 | 0.0 | 2.301456E-5 | 2.5633559E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5633559E-5 | 0.0 | 2.8016625E-4 | 3.120468E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.6409295 | 5.119844E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0027981328 | 0.0031163741 | 0.0033 | 1.0589229 | 0.0046116994 | 0.0015 |
7.1 | 4.4685607E-6 | 4.980442E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.980442E-6 | 0.0 | 1.9150835E-5 | 2.1344591E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1344591E-5 | 0.0 | 2.3313647E-4 | 2.5984188E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.38484943 | 3.598159E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0023289204 | 0.002595625 | 0.0026 | 1.0016856 | 0.0036927697 | 0.0011 |
7.2 | 2.833378E-6 | 3.160555E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.160555E-6 | 0.0 | 1.2142991E-5 | 1.3545175E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3545175E-5 | 0.0 | 1.4783088E-4 | 1.6490176E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.60642165 | 2.6488528E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0014773258 | 0.0016479655 | 0.002 | 1.2136177 | 0.0025464823 | 9.0E-4 |
7.3 | 7.0087293E-7 | 7.763911E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.763911E-7 | 0.0 | 3.0037377E-6 | 3.3273889E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3273889E-6 | 0.0 | 3.656989E-5 | 4.0510662E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.4684858 | 1.4050661E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.6563876E-4 | 4.0507765E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 1.97493 | 8.049156E-4 | 4.0E-4 |
7.4 | 3.112171E-8 | 3.2058175E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2058175E-8 | 0.0 | 1.3337875E-7 | 1.3739218E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3739218E-7 | 0.0 | 1.6238852E-6 | 1.6727486E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6727486E-6 | 0.0 | 1.6238733E-5 | 1.6727368E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6727368E-5 | 0.0 |
Bartlett Springs 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.2326144E-5 | 8.037504E-5 | 3.0E-4 | 3.7325022 | 8.037504E-5 | 0.0 | 2.6708472E-4 | 3.4441956E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.8710307 | 3.4441956E-4 | 0.0 | 0.003246908 | 0.004185348 | 0.0024 | 0.57342905 | 0.004484092 | 3.0E-4 | 0.031998757 | 0.04108245 | 0.0256 | 0.6231371 | 0.047698982 | 0.0069 |
6.1 | 6.227657E-5 | 8.0312704E-5 | 3.0E-4 | 3.7353992 | 8.0312704E-5 | 0.0 | 2.668723E-4 | 3.441525E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.8717066 | 3.441525E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0032443295 | 0.0041821087 | 0.0024 | 0.57387316 | 0.004480854 | 3.0E-4 | 0.031973712 | 0.041051265 | 0.0256 | 0.6236105 | 0.04766801 | 0.0069 |
6.2 | 6.22452E-5 | 8.0273414E-5 | 3.0E-4 | 3.7372274 | 8.0273414E-5 | 0.0 | 2.6673786E-4 | 3.4398414E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.8721332 | 3.4398414E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0032426978 | 0.0041800668 | 0.0024 | 0.5741535 | 0.004478813 | 3.0E-4 | 0.03195787 | 0.041031603 | 0.0256 | 0.6239093 | 0.047648486 | 0.0069 |
6.3 | 6.219006E-5 | 8.020344E-5 | 3.0E-4 | 3.7404878 | 8.020344E-5 | 0.0 | 2.6650162E-4 | 3.4368437E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.8728939 | 3.4368437E-4 | 0.0 | 0.00323983 | 0.0041764313 | 0.0024 | 0.5746533 | 0.004475178 | 3.0E-4 | 0.031930014 | 0.0409966 | 0.0256 | 0.62444204 | 0.04761372 | 0.0069 |
6.4 | 5.2175856E-5 | 6.706463E-5 | 3.0E-4 | 4.4732966 | 6.706463E-5 | 0.0 | 2.2359163E-4 | 2.873884E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.0438836 | 2.873884E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0027188298 | 0.0034933877 | 0.0022 | 0.62976116 | 0.0037923397 | 3.0E-4 | 0.026858058 | 0.03439411 | 0.0206 | 0.5989397 | 0.039898064 | 0.0057 |
6.5 | 5.205166E-5 | 6.6907734E-5 | 3.0E-4 | 4.4837866 | 6.6907734E-5 | 0.0 | 2.2305945E-4 | 2.867161E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.0463312 | 2.867161E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0027123666 | 0.003485229 | 0.0022 | 0.6312354 | 0.0037841834 | 3.0E-4 | 0.026794989 | 0.034315065 | 0.0205 | 0.59740525 | 0.039819468 | 0.0057 |
6.6 | 5.0085426E-5 | 6.431246E-5 | 3.0E-4 | 4.6647263 | 6.431246E-5 | 0.0 | 2.1463417E-4 | 2.75596E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.08855 | 2.75596E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0026100394 | 0.0033502688 | 0.0021 | 0.6268154 | 0.0036492636 | 3.0E-4 | 0.025795965 | 0.033006705 | 0.0194 | 0.5877593 | 0.038035072 | 0.0052 |
6.7 | 4.8930866E-5 | 6.284131E-5 | 3.0E-4 | 4.7739296 | 6.284131E-5 | 0.0 | 2.0968684E-4 | 2.692924E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.1140307 | 2.692924E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0025499484 | 0.0032737555 | 0.002 | 0.6109191 | 0.003473101 | 2.0E-4 | 0.025208864 | 0.0322641 | 0.0191 | 0.5919892 | 0.037102778 | 0.005 |
6.8 | 4.5679535E-5 | 5.8579746E-5 | 3.0E-4 | 5.121224 | 5.8579746E-5 | 0.0 | 1.9575475E-4 | 2.510321E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.1950663 | 2.510321E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002380709 | 0.0030520703 | 0.002 | 0.6552929 | 0.0032514597 | 2.0E-4 | 0.023553653 | 0.03010846 | 0.018 | 0.59783864 | 0.034472972 | 0.0045 |
6.9 | 4.1439176E-5 | 5.307531E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 3.7682304 | 5.307531E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7758438E-4 | 2.2744594E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.87932986 | 2.2744594E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002159946 | 0.0027656634 | 0.0017 | 0.61468077 | 0.0029651101 | 2.0E-4 | 0.021390721 | 0.02731738 | 0.0158 | 0.57838637 | 0.03130538 | 0.0041 |
7.0 | 3.5920104E-5 | 4.588693E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.1792698 | 4.588693E-5 | 0.0 | 1.5393422E-4 | 1.9664354E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5085344 | 1.9664354E-4 | 0.0 | 0.001872538 | 0.0023915223 | 0.0013 | 0.54358685 | 0.002591044 | 2.0E-4 | 0.018568378 | 0.023661038 | 0.0133 | 0.56210554 | 0.02698059 | 0.0034 |
7.1 | 3.338812E-5 | 4.2578507E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.3486028 | 4.2578507E-5 | 0.0 | 1.430841E-4 | 1.8246664E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5480454 | 1.8246664E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0017406568 | 0.0022192823 | 0.0013 | 0.5857749 | 0.0024188387 | 2.0E-4 | 0.017270854 | 0.021973928 | 0.0127 | 0.5779577 | 0.024908006 | 0.003 |
7.2 | 2.8619615E-5 | 3.6309073E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.7541327 | 3.6309073E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2264973E-4 | 1.5560108E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.6426691 | 1.5560108E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0014922376 | 0.0018928067 | 0.001 | 0.52831596 | 0.002092428 | 2.0E-4 | 0.014822568 | 0.018768791 | 0.0102 | 0.54345536 | 0.021123746 | 0.0024 |
7.3 | 2.6376783E-5 | 3.3337503E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.9996247 | 3.3337503E-5 | 0.0 | 1.13038455E-4 | 1.4286724E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.6999505 | 1.4286724E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0013753743 | 0.0017380301 | 9.0E-4 | 0.51782763 | 0.0019376825 | 2.0E-4 | 0.01366893 | 0.017245973 | 0.0096 | 0.5566517 | 0.019506307 | 0.0023 |
7.4 | 2.3738676E-5 | 2.9904191E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.3440127 | 2.9904191E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0173322E-4 | 1.2815457E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.7803077 | 1.2815457E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0012378981 | 0.0015591731 | 9.0E-4 | 0.577229 | 0.0017588614 | 2.0E-4 | 0.012310251 | 0.015483612 | 0.0085 | 0.5489675 | 0.017649548 | 0.0022 |
7.5 | 2.1789481E-5 | 2.7371283E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.653464 | 2.7371283E-5 | 0.0 | 9.338015E-5 | 1.1730027E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.85251296 | 1.1730027E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011363103 | 0.0014272031 | 9.0E-4 | 0.630604 | 0.0016269176 | 2.0E-4 | 0.011305175 | 0.014181548 | 0.0079 | 0.5570619 | 0.016251767 | 0.0021 |
7.6 | 1.3895281E-5 | 1.732663E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 5.7714624 | 1.732663E-5 | 0.0 | 5.9549846E-5 | 7.425489E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.3467126 | 7.425489E-5 | 0.0 | 7.2477816E-4 | 9.0368115E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.55329245 | 0.0010035908 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0072241887 | 0.009000443 | 0.0053 | 0.5888599 | 0.010387842 | 0.0014 |
7.7 | 4.245981E-6 | 5.150537E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.150537E-6 | 0.0 | 1.8196934E-5 | 2.2073546E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2073546E-5 | 0.0 | 2.2152514E-4 | 2.6871247E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6871247E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0022130446 | 0.0026839403 | 0.0012 | 0.44710383 | 0.0028834036 | 2.0E-4 |
7.8 | 6.145192E-7 | 7.037207E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.037207E-7 | 0.0 | 2.633651E-6 | 3.0159424E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0159424E-6 | 0.0 | 3.206423E-5 | 3.671849E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.671849E-5 | 0.0 | 3.2059604E-4 | 3.6713365E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.54476076 | 3.6713365E-4 | 0.0 |
San Diego Trough north alt1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.329252E-5 | 8.8024135E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.8024135E-5 | 0.0 | 3.14073E-4 | 3.7719536E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.7719536E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0038171355 | 0.0045832642 | 0.0028 | 0.61091834 | 0.0052800556 | 7.0E-4 | 0.03752231 | 0.044951465 | 0.0299 | 0.66516185 | 0.051445793 | 0.0068 |
6.1 | 3.7940346E-5 | 4.4798235E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.4798235E-5 | 0.0 | 1.6259136E-4 | 1.9197886E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9197886E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0019777524 | 0.0023349184 | 0.0014 | 0.5995927 | 0.002833751 | 5.0E-4 | 0.019602431 | 0.023112651 | 0.0123 | 0.5321761 | 0.025652558 | 0.0026 |
6.2 | 2.8645263E-5 | 3.3239627E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3239627E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2275964E-4 | 1.4244791E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4244791E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0014935739 | 0.0017329459 | 0.001 | 0.57705206 | 0.0021322528 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0148357535 | 0.017197017 | 0.0098 | 0.5698663 | 0.019260902 | 0.0021 |
6.3 | 2.8645263E-5 | 3.3239627E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3239627E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2275964E-4 | 1.4244791E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4244791E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0014935739 | 0.0017329459 | 0.001 | 0.57705206 | 0.0021322528 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0148357535 | 0.017197017 | 0.0098 | 0.5698663 | 0.019260902 | 0.0021 |
6.4 | 2.2204576E-5 | 2.5409145E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5409145E-5 | 0.0 | 9.5159E-5 | 1.0889184E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0889184E-4 | 0.0 | 0.001157945 | 0.0013249613 | 8.0E-4 | 0.60379124 | 0.0017244313 | 4.0E-4 | 0.011519298 | 0.013171791 | 0.0079 | 0.5997666 | 0.015046764 | 0.0019 |
6.5 | 2.1004838E-5 | 2.3988314E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3988314E-5 | 0.0 | 9.0017624E-5 | 1.0280306E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0280306E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0010954136 | 0.0012509173 | 8.0E-4 | 0.63953066 | 0.001650417 | 4.0E-4 | 0.010900296 | 0.012439845 | 0.0077 | 0.61897874 | 0.01431621 | 0.0019 |
6.6 | 1.820557E-5 | 2.0674883E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0674883E-5 | 0.0 | 7.802154E-5 | 8.8603665E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.8603665E-5 | 0.0 | 9.4949827E-4 | 0.001078221 | 5.0E-4 | 0.46372682 | 0.0012780054 | 2.0E-4 | 0.009454516 | 0.010730566 | 0.0065 | 0.6057462 | 0.012412325 | 0.0017 |
6.7 | 1.5884485E-5 | 1.7958651E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7958651E-5 | 0.0 | 6.807459E-5 | 7.696339E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.696339E-5 | 0.0 | 8.284929E-4 | 9.3662925E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.53382915 | 0.001136442 | 2.0E-4 | 0.008254109 | 0.009327182 | 0.0056 | 0.6003957 | 0.010912258 | 0.0016 |
6.8 | 1.4331171E-5 | 1.6178852E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6178852E-5 | 0.0 | 6.141786E-5 | 6.933611E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.933611E-5 | 0.0 | 7.4750587E-4 | 8.4384216E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.59252787 | 0.0010436734 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0074499645 | 0.008406646 | 0.0048 | 0.57097685 | 0.009894036 | 0.0015 |
6.9 | 1.2574203E-5 | 1.4186481E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4186481E-5 | 0.0 | 5.3888325E-5 | 6.0797796E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0797796E-5 | 0.0 | 6.558929E-4 | 7.3996314E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.54056746 | 9.398152E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0065396037 | 0.0073751784 | 0.004 | 0.54235977 | 0.008764854 | 0.0014 |
7.0 | 1.0883844E-5 | 1.22726E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.22726E-5 | 0.0 | 4.664421E-5 | 5.25958E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.25958E-5 | 0.0 | 5.677453E-4 | 6.401667E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.6248372 | 8.400387E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.00566297 | 0.006383354 | 0.0031 | 0.48563814 | 0.007575694 | 0.0012 |
7.1 | 9.393088E-6 | 1.0592619E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0592619E-5 | 0.0 | 4.025547E-5 | 4.5396155E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.5396155E-5 | 0.0 | 4.900001E-4 | 5.525588E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.7239049 | 7.524483E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0048892107 | 0.005511945 | 0.0029 | 0.5261301 | 0.0066058817 | 0.0011 |
7.2 | 8.190791E-6 | 9.245941E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.245941E-6 | 0.0 | 3.510292E-5 | 3.962486E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.962486E-5 | 0.0 | 4.2729423E-4 | 4.823266E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.8293136 | 6.822301E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0042647356 | 0.0048128776 | 0.0025 | 0.51943976 | 0.0058080647 | 0.001 |
7.3 | 6.268162E-6 | 7.079958E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.079958E-6 | 0.0 | 2.6863276E-5 | 3.0342326E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0342326E-5 | 0.0 | 3.2701128E-4 | 3.693556E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.0829672 | 5.6928175E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.003265305 | 0.003687463 | 0.0021 | 0.5694972 | 0.004683776 | 0.001 |
7.4 | 4.985186E-6 | 5.63487E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.63487E-6 | 0.0 | 2.1364907E-5 | 2.414922E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.414922E-5 | 0.0 | 2.600867E-4 | 2.9397747E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.0204864 | 3.9394808E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.002597825 | 0.0029359271 | 0.0018 | 0.6130942 | 0.0038332848 | 9.0E-4 |
7.5 | 1.7489613E-6 | 1.967052E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.967052E-6 | 0.0 | 7.495527E-6 | 8.430196E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.430196E-6 | 0.0 | 9.125422E-5 | 1.0263303E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.9486904 | 2.0262276E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 9.1216754E-4 | 0.0010258782 | 6.0E-4 | 0.58486474 | 0.0013255705 | 3.0E-4 |
7.6 | 1.6988751E-7 | 1.7527951E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7527951E-7 | 0.0 | 7.2808916E-7 | 7.5119766E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.5119766E-7 | 0.0 | 8.864449E-6 | 9.145795E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.145795E-6 | 0.0 | 8.8640954E-5 | 9.1454385E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0934412 | 9.1454385E-5 | 0.0 |
King Range 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2462566E-5 | 1.2997194E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2997194E-5 | 0.0 | 5.34099E-5 | 5.5701268E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.5701268E-5 | 0.0 | 6.5007154E-4 | 6.7798677E-4 | 0.0011 | 1.6224506 | 0.0011776477 | 5.0E-4 | 0.0064817313 | 0.006763527 | 0.0118 | 1.7446518 | 0.013418212 | 0.0067 |
6.1 | 1.2462566E-5 | 1.2997194E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2997194E-5 | 0.0 | 5.34099E-5 | 5.5701268E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.5701268E-5 | 0.0 | 6.5007154E-4 | 6.7798677E-4 | 0.0011 | 1.6224506 | 0.0011776477 | 5.0E-4 | 0.0064817313 | 0.006763527 | 0.0118 | 1.7446518 | 0.013418212 | 0.0067 |
6.2 | 1.2462566E-5 | 1.2997194E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2997194E-5 | 0.0 | 5.34099E-5 | 5.5701268E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.5701268E-5 | 0.0 | 6.5007154E-4 | 6.7798677E-4 | 0.0011 | 1.6224506 | 0.0011776477 | 5.0E-4 | 0.0064817313 | 0.006763527 | 0.0118 | 1.7446518 | 0.013418212 | 0.0067 |
6.3 | 7.988484E-6 | 8.192066E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.192066E-6 | 0.0 | 3.423591E-5 | 3.5108456E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5108456E-5 | 0.0 | 4.1674246E-4 | 4.2737453E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.6379076 | 7.2724634E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.004159618 | 0.0042677047 | 0.0066 | 1.5464988 | 0.007951914 | 0.0037 |
6.4 | 7.988484E-6 | 8.192066E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.192066E-6 | 0.0 | 3.423591E-5 | 3.5108456E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5108456E-5 | 0.0 | 4.1674246E-4 | 4.2737453E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.6379076 | 7.2724634E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.004159618 | 0.0042677047 | 0.0066 | 1.5464988 | 0.007951914 | 0.0037 |
6.5 | 5.0522513E-6 | 5.0627064E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0627064E-6 | 0.0 | 2.1652326E-5 | 2.1697138E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1697138E-5 | 0.0 | 2.6358519E-4 | 2.6413158E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.1357976 | 4.6407874E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0026327274 | 0.002639178 | 0.0027 | 1.0230458 | 0.0041352194 | 0.0015 |
6.6 | 4.53682E-6 | 4.519797E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.519797E-6 | 0.0 | 1.944337E-5 | 1.9370418E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9370418E-5 | 0.0 | 2.3669732E-4 | 2.3580993E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.2722111 | 4.3576278E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0023644536 | 0.0023565663 | 0.0019 | 0.80625784 | 0.0033542097 | 0.001 |
6.7 | 4.1144335E-6 | 4.0780697E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0780697E-6 | 0.0 | 1.7633167E-5 | 1.7477325E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7477325E-5 | 0.0 | 2.1466266E-4 | 2.1276606E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.4099994 | 4.1272352E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0021445542 | 0.0021265717 | 0.0016 | 0.75238466 | 0.0029248705 | 8.0E-4 |
6.8 | 3.8321214E-6 | 3.7889977E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.7889977E-6 | 0.0 | 1.6423275E-5 | 1.6238462E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6238462E-5 | 0.0 | 1.9993502E-4 | 1.9768567E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.5175606 | 3.9764613E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0019975523 | 0.0019760402 | 0.0011 | 0.5566688 | 0.002674657 | 7.0E-4 |
6.9 | 3.4999944E-6 | 3.4458687E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.4458687E-6 | 0.0 | 1.499989E-5 | 1.47679275E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.47679275E-5 | 0.0 | 1.8260835E-4 | 1.7978493E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.1124402 | 3.7974896E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0018245836 | 0.001797329 | 8.0E-4 | 0.44510493 | 0.002496071 | 7.0E-4 |
7.0 | 2.9470837E-6 | 2.8697934E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8697934E-6 | 0.0 | 1.26302975E-5 | 1.2299058E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2299058E-5 | 0.0 | 1.5376302E-4 | 1.4973091E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.3357295 | 3.4970097E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0015365666 | 0.0014972248 | 7.0E-4 | 0.46753168 | 0.0020963263 | 6.0E-4 |
7.1 | 2.4850247E-6 | 2.383142E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.383142E-6 | 0.0 | 1.0650062E-5 | 1.0213426E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0213426E-5 | 0.0 | 1.296568E-4 | 1.243415E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.6084733 | 3.2431664E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0012958117 | 0.0012436406 | 5.0E-4 | 0.40204543 | 0.0016431431 | 4.0E-4 |
7.2 | 2.1800304E-6 | 2.062209E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.062209E-6 | 0.0 | 9.342954E-6 | 8.838009E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.838009E-6 | 0.0 | 1.1374453E-4 | 1.0759754E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.9293893 | 2.0758678E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0011368633 | 0.0010763576 | 4.0E-4 | 0.37162372 | 0.0013760346 | 3.0E-4 |
7.3 | 2.0378504E-6 | 1.9371457E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9371457E-6 | 0.0 | 8.733615E-6 | 8.302027E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.302027E-6 | 0.0 | 1.0632657E-4 | 1.01072575E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.98938805 | 2.0106247E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0010627571 | 0.0010111535 | 4.0E-4 | 0.39558783 | 0.00131085 | 3.0E-4 |
7.4 | 1.4577047E-6 | 1.4024962E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4024962E-6 | 0.0 | 6.247291E-6 | 6.0106845E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0106845E-6 | 0.0 | 7.605811E-5 | 7.3177696E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.3665365 | 1.7317038E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 7.603208E-4 | 7.323645E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.4096321 | 9.3221804E-4 | 2.0E-4 |
7.5 | 8.0685743E-7 | 6.4841555E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.4841555E-7 | 0.0 | 3.457956E-6 | 2.7789213E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7789213E-6 | 0.0 | 4.20998E-5 | 3.3832886E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.955704 | 1.3382951E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.2091825E-4 | 3.3895596E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.5900471 | 5.3888815E-4 | 2.0E-4 |
7.6 | 3.1239435E-7 | 1.2903283E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2903283E-7 | 0.0 | 1.3388321E-6 | 5.5299773E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.5299773E-7 | 0.0 | 1.630016E-5 | 6.7327273E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 14.852822 | 1.06732055E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.6298964E-4 | 6.795989E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4714562 | 1.679531E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.7 | 1.7747207E-7 | 4.616173E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.616173E-8 | 0.0 | 7.605944E-7 | 1.9783597E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9783597E-7 | 0.0 | 9.260198E-6 | 2.4086503E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 41.517025 | 1.0240841E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 9.2598115E-5 | 2.4489005E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.083465 | 1.2448656E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.8 | 2.1035538E-8 | 2.1083004E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1083004E-9 | 0.0 | 9.0152305E-8 | 9.035576E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.035576E-9 | 0.0 | 1.0976038E-6 | 1.1000813E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1000813E-7 | 0.0 | 1.0975983E-5 | 1.1349382E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1349382E-6 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.4782963E-9 | 6.515899E-13 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.515899E-13 | 0.0 | 6.335555E-9 | 2.792544E-12 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.792544E-12 | 0.0 | 7.713538E-8 | 3.3998915E-11 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3998915E-11 | 0.0 | 7.7135354E-7 | 4.9558346E-10 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.9558346E-10 | 0.0 |
Bullion Mountains
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6420427E-5 | 1.4674631E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 6.8144813 | 1.1467317E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 7.037136E-5 | 6.288997E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5900786 | 1.6288369E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 8.5643446E-4 | 7.654547E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.7838478 | 0.001265072 | 5.0E-4 | 0.008531413 | 0.0076319664 | 0.0104 | 1.3626894 | 0.014479306 | 0.0069 |
6.1 | 1.6420427E-5 | 1.4674631E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 6.8144813 | 1.1467317E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 7.037136E-5 | 6.288997E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5900786 | 1.6288369E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 8.5643446E-4 | 7.654547E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.7838478 | 0.001265072 | 5.0E-4 | 0.008531413 | 0.0076319664 | 0.0104 | 1.3626894 | 0.014479306 | 0.0069 |
6.2 | 1.6420427E-5 | 1.4674631E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 6.8144813 | 1.1467317E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 7.037136E-5 | 6.288997E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5900786 | 1.6288369E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 8.5643446E-4 | 7.654547E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.7838478 | 0.001265072 | 5.0E-4 | 0.008531413 | 0.0076319664 | 0.0104 | 1.3626894 | 0.014479306 | 0.0069 |
6.3 | 1.2046778E-5 | 9.850133E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 10.152146 | 1.0984915E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.1628023E-5 | 4.2214306E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.3688653 | 1.4221009E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.283899E-4 | 5.138611E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 1.1676308 | 0.0010136041 | 5.0E-4 | 0.0062661595 | 0.0051290053 | 0.0071 | 1.384284 | 0.010302334 | 0.0052 |
6.4 | 1.2046778E-5 | 9.850133E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 10.152146 | 1.0984915E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.1628023E-5 | 4.2214306E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.3688653 | 1.4221009E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.283899E-4 | 5.138611E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 1.1676308 | 0.0010136041 | 5.0E-4 | 0.0062661595 | 0.0051290053 | 0.0071 | 1.384284 | 0.010302334 | 0.0052 |
6.5 | 1.0244343E-5 | 7.869328E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 12.707565 | 1.0786854E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.390359E-5 | 3.3725373E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.9651268 | 1.33722E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.343951E-4 | 4.105497E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 1.4614553 | 9.103444E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.005331118 | 0.004099939 | 0.0058 | 1.4146552 | 0.008083539 | 0.004 |
6.6 | 9.605408E-6 | 7.168089E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 13.95072 | 1.0716737E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.1165385E-5 | 3.0720134E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.2551942 | 1.3071706E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.010733E-4 | 3.7397374E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 1.3369923 | 7.738241E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.00499945 | 0.0037354366 | 0.0051 | 1.3653022 | 0.007122736 | 0.0034 |
6.7 | 8.60418E-6 | 6.116E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 16.350555 | 1.0611539E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.687454E-5 | 2.6211275E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.8151522 | 1.2620866E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.48855E-4 | 3.1909498E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 1.5669316 | 7.1896735E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.004479495 | 0.0031882757 | 0.0046 | 1.4427862 | 0.0061787106 | 0.003 |
6.8 | 5.187994E-6 | 2.559023E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.559023E-6 | 0.0 | 2.223407E-5 | 1.0967218E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967218E-5 | 0.0 | 2.7066618E-4 | 1.3352168E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.4978842 | 2.3350833E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0027033675 | 0.0013348049 | 0.0017 | 1.2735944 | 0.0026330696 | 0.0013 |
6.9 | 4.5302368E-6 | 2.3407447E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3407447E-6 | 0.0 | 1.9415156E-5 | 1.0031747E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0031747E-5 | 0.0 | 2.3635388E-4 | 1.2213363E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.6375506 | 2.2212142E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0023610266 | 0.001221053 | 0.0016 | 1.3103445 | 0.0025194655 | 0.0013 |
7.0 | 3.431668E-6 | 1.6854751E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6854751E-6 | 0.0 | 1.4707065E-5 | 7.2234648E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.2234648E-6 | 0.0 | 1.7904381E-4 | 8.7945686E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1370654 | 8.7945686E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0017889962 | 8.794568E-4 | 0.0014 | 1.5918916 | 0.0019784893 | 0.0011 |
Garberville - Briceland 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.8399295E-5 | 6.430683E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5550449 | 1.6430039E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.0740906E-4 | 2.7557573E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 1.8143833 | 5.7549303E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.002522281 | 0.0033506495 | 0.0034 | 1.0147287 | 0.004446964 | 0.0011 | 0.024938442 | 0.033067785 | 0.0212 | 0.6411074 | 0.03954623 | 0.0067 |
6.1 | 4.8399295E-5 | 6.430683E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5550449 | 1.6430039E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.0740906E-4 | 2.7557573E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 1.8143833 | 5.7549303E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.002522281 | 0.0033506495 | 0.0034 | 1.0147287 | 0.004446964 | 0.0011 | 0.024938442 | 0.033067785 | 0.0212 | 0.6411074 | 0.03954623 | 0.0067 |
6.2 | 4.8399295E-5 | 6.430683E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5550449 | 1.6430039E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.0740906E-4 | 2.7557573E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 1.8143833 | 5.7549303E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.002522281 | 0.0033506495 | 0.0034 | 1.0147287 | 0.004446964 | 0.0011 | 0.024938442 | 0.033067785 | 0.0212 | 0.6411074 | 0.03954623 | 0.0067 |
6.3 | 4.8399295E-5 | 6.430683E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5550449 | 1.6430039E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.0740906E-4 | 2.7557573E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 1.8143833 | 5.7549303E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.002522281 | 0.0033506495 | 0.0034 | 1.0147287 | 0.004446964 | 0.0011 | 0.024938442 | 0.033067785 | 0.0212 | 0.6411074 | 0.03954623 | 0.0067 |
6.4 | 4.8399295E-5 | 6.430683E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5550449 | 1.6430039E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.0740906E-4 | 2.7557573E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 1.8143833 | 5.7549303E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.002522281 | 0.0033506495 | 0.0034 | 1.0147287 | 0.004446964 | 0.0011 | 0.024938442 | 0.033067785 | 0.0212 | 0.6411074 | 0.03954623 | 0.0067 |
6.5 | 4.8399295E-5 | 6.430683E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5550449 | 1.6430039E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.0740906E-4 | 2.7557573E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 1.8143833 | 5.7549303E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.002522281 | 0.0033506495 | 0.0034 | 1.0147287 | 0.004446964 | 0.0011 | 0.024938442 | 0.033067785 | 0.0212 | 0.6411074 | 0.03954623 | 0.0067 |
6.6 | 4.8399295E-5 | 6.430683E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5550449 | 1.6430039E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.0740906E-4 | 2.7557573E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 1.8143833 | 5.7549303E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.002522281 | 0.0033506495 | 0.0034 | 1.0147287 | 0.004446964 | 0.0011 | 0.024938442 | 0.033067785 | 0.0212 | 0.6411074 | 0.03954623 | 0.0067 |
6.7 | 3.495179E-5 | 4.6151727E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.6151727E-5 | 0.0 | 1.4978478E-4 | 1.9778109E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.011219 | 2.9776132E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0018221042 | 0.0024058553 | 0.0023 | 0.956001 | 0.0032039306 | 8.0E-4 | 0.018072363 | 0.02385034 | 0.0159 | 0.66665715 | 0.028926319 | 0.0052 |
6.8 | 2.7517597E-5 | 3.612118E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.612118E-5 | 0.0 | 1.1792722E-4 | 1.5479849E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.64600116 | 1.5479849E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0014348183 | 0.0018835143 | 0.0015 | 0.7963837 | 0.0024823842 | 6.0E-4 | 0.014255894 | 0.018721653 | 0.0124 | 0.6623347 | 0.02294115 | 0.0043 |
6.9 | 2.74461E-5 | 3.6039033E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.6039033E-5 | 0.0 | 1.1762084E-4 | 1.5444648E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.6474735 | 1.5444648E-4 | 0.0 | 0.001431093 | 0.001879236 | 0.0015 | 0.79819673 | 0.0024781085 | 6.0E-4 | 0.014219119 | 0.01867959 | 0.0123 | 0.65847266 | 0.022899268 | 0.0043 |
7.0 | 1.9023773E-5 | 2.4629906E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4629906E-5 | 0.0 | 8.152791E-5 | 1.05554755E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.05554755E-4 | 0.0 | 9.921503E-4 | 0.0012847697 | 9.0E-4 | 0.7005147 | 0.0015843842 | 3.0E-4 | 0.009877323 | 0.012812283 | 0.0086 | 0.6712309 | 0.015872564 | 0.0031 |
7.1 | 5.566844E-6 | 6.5005743E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.5005743E-6 | 0.0 | 2.3857683E-5 | 2.785933E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.785933E-5 | 0.0 | 2.9042858E-4 | 3.3913882E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.88459355 | 4.391049E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.002900493 | 0.0033866316 | 0.0025 | 0.7381966 | 0.0042835837 | 9.0E-4 |
7.2 | 4.011353E-6 | 4.6665573E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.6665573E-6 | 0.0 | 1.7191402E-5 | 1.9999396E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9999396E-5 | 0.0 | 2.0928521E-4 | 2.4346886E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.82146025 | 2.4346886E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0020908823 | 0.0024323578 | 0.0015 | 0.6166856 | 0.0028313848 | 4.0E-4 |
7.3 | 2.0974871E-6 | 2.4354429E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4354429E-6 | 0.0 | 8.989199E-6 | 1.0437585E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0437585E-5 | 0.0 | 1.09438006E-4 | 1.2707268E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2707268E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0010938413 | 0.0012702446 | 6.0E-4 | 0.47235 | 0.0013701175 | 1.0E-4 |
Pisgah-Bullion Mtn-Mesquite Lk
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0240792E-5 | 2.4053566E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4053566E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2959696E-4 | 1.03083206E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.9700901 | 2.0307291E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0015767008 | 0.0012544158 | 0.0015 | 1.1957756 | 0.0025527852 | 0.0013 | 0.015655609 | 0.0124833435 | 0.0121 | 0.96929157 | 0.019000953 | 0.0066 |
6.1 | 3.0240792E-5 | 2.4053566E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4053566E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2959696E-4 | 1.03083206E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.9700901 | 2.0307291E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0015767008 | 0.0012544158 | 0.0015 | 1.1957756 | 0.0025527852 | 0.0013 | 0.015655609 | 0.0124833435 | 0.0121 | 0.96929157 | 0.019000953 | 0.0066 |
6.2 | 3.0240792E-5 | 2.4053566E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4053566E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2959696E-4 | 1.03083206E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.9700901 | 2.0307291E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0015767008 | 0.0012544158 | 0.0015 | 1.1957756 | 0.0025527852 | 0.0013 | 0.015655609 | 0.0124833435 | 0.0121 | 0.96929157 | 0.019000953 | 0.0066 |
6.3 | 2.0498217E-5 | 1.3616239E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3616239E-5 | 0.0 | 8.784654E-5 | 5.8354093E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.8354093E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010690069 | 7.102457E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.84477806 | 0.0011099617 | 4.0E-4 | 0.01063879 | 0.00708138 | 0.0066 | 0.93202174 | 0.010258719 | 0.0032 |
6.4 | 2.0498217E-5 | 1.3616239E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3616239E-5 | 0.0 | 8.784654E-5 | 5.8354093E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.8354093E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010690069 | 7.102457E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.84477806 | 0.0011099617 | 4.0E-4 | 0.01063879 | 0.00708138 | 0.0066 | 0.93202174 | 0.010258719 | 0.0032 |
6.5 | 1.7316182E-5 | 1.0459129E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0459129E-5 | 0.0 | 7.42101E-5 | 4.4824123E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.4824123E-5 | 0.0 | 9.0313336E-4 | 5.45607E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.9164105 | 9.453888E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.008994718 | 0.0054436685 | 0.0055 | 1.0103481 | 0.008228426 | 0.0028 |
6.6 | 1.5251077E-5 | 8.399045E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.399045E-6 | 0.0 | 6.536012E-5 | 3.5995454E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5995454E-5 | 0.0 | 7.9546886E-4 | 4.3816376E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.6846756 | 7.380323E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.007926274 | 0.0043737143 | 0.0042 | 0.9602822 | 0.006564092 | 0.0022 |
6.7 | 1.2997425E-5 | 6.4018914E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.4018914E-6 | 0.0 | 5.570206E-5 | 2.7436414E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7436414E-5 | 0.0 | 6.7796157E-4 | 3.339918E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.29940856 | 4.339584E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0067589693 | 0.0033353579 | 0.0032 | 0.9594173 | 0.0049300212 | 0.0016 |
6.8 | 1.035386E-5 | 4.3263112E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.3263112E-6 | 0.0 | 4.437293E-5 | 1.8541206E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8541206E-5 | 0.0 | 5.401065E-4 | 2.2571668E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.44303328 | 3.256941E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0053879567 | 0.0022549608 | 0.0023 | 1.0199734 | 0.0031529313 | 9.0E-4 |
6.9 | 8.816252E-6 | 3.5749674E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5749674E-6 | 0.0 | 3.778339E-5 | 1.5321202E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5321202E-5 | 0.0 | 4.5991567E-4 | 1.8652025E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5361348 | 2.865016E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.00458965 | 0.0018636953 | 0.0018 | 0.96582305 | 0.0026622044 | 8.0E-4 |
7.0 | 6.8232207E-6 | 2.563406E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.563406E-6 | 0.0 | 2.9242048E-5 | 1.0985981E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0985981E-5 | 0.0 | 3.5596377E-4 | 1.3374642E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.7476836 | 2.3373305E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0035539411 | 0.0013366903 | 0.0012 | 0.89773977 | 0.0019358883 | 6.0E-4 |
7.1 | 5.837013E-6 | 2.2239994E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2239994E-6 | 0.0 | 2.501553E-5 | 9.5313935E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.5313935E-6 | 0.0 | 3.045215E-4 | 1.1603883E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.8617805 | 2.1602723E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0030410455 | 0.0011598113 | 0.0011 | 0.9484301 | 0.0017591155 | 6.0E-4 |
7.2 | 4.278052E-6 | 1.6252338E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6252338E-6 | 0.0 | 1.833438E-5 | 6.9652706E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.9652706E-6 | 0.0 | 2.231982E-4 | 8.47991E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1792578 | 1.8479062E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0022297418 | 8.476906E-4 | 9.0E-4 | 1.0617081 | 0.001447182 | 6.0E-4 |
7.3 | 1.8803692E-6 | 8.3333214E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.3333214E-7 | 0.0 | 8.0587E-6 | 3.5714195E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5714195E-6 | 0.0 | 9.811026E-5 | 4.3481312E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.2998385 | 1.4347697E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 9.806695E-4 | 4.3474248E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 1.3801274 | 7.3461205E-4 | 3.0E-4 |
Whittier alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.2554693E-5 | 4.7141246E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.7141246E-5 | 0.0 | 1.8236451E-4 | 2.0202008E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.49500033 | 3.0199988E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.002218027 | 0.0024571407 | 0.0022 | 0.8953496 | 0.003255175 | 8.0E-4 | 0.02196019 | 0.024333641 | 0.0172 | 0.70684034 | 0.03048034 | 0.0063 |
6.1 | 4.2554693E-5 | 4.7141246E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.7141246E-5 | 0.0 | 1.8236451E-4 | 2.0202008E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.49500033 | 3.0199988E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.002218027 | 0.0024571407 | 0.0022 | 0.8953496 | 0.003255175 | 8.0E-4 | 0.02196019 | 0.024333641 | 0.0172 | 0.70684034 | 0.03048034 | 0.0063 |
6.2 | 4.2554693E-5 | 4.7141246E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.7141246E-5 | 0.0 | 1.8236451E-4 | 2.0202008E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.49500033 | 3.0199988E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.002218027 | 0.0024571407 | 0.0022 | 0.8953496 | 0.003255175 | 8.0E-4 | 0.02196019 | 0.024333641 | 0.0172 | 0.70684034 | 0.03048034 | 0.0063 |
6.3 | 1.9617712E-5 | 1.8201868E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8201868E-5 | 0.0 | 8.40732E-5 | 7.800578E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.800578E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010231105 | 9.4932545E-4 | 9.0E-4 | 0.94804156 | 0.0012490407 | 3.0E-4 | 0.01018413 | 0.009455963 | 0.0072 | 0.7614243 | 0.011833268 | 0.0024 |
6.4 | 1.5611336E-5 | 1.354535E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.354535E-5 | 0.0 | 6.690401E-5 | 5.8050246E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.8050246E-5 | 0.0 | 8.142519E-4 | 7.0653844E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.8492107 | 8.064678E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.008112748 | 0.0070448644 | 0.0055 | 0.7807105 | 0.008534297 | 0.0015 |
6.5 | 1.5150166E-5 | 1.3042504E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3042504E-5 | 0.0 | 6.492767E-5 | 5.589528E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.589528E-5 | 0.0 | 7.9020765E-4 | 6.803184E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.88194 | 7.8025035E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.007874036 | 0.0067842854 | 0.0053 | 0.78121716 | 0.008174787 | 0.0014 |
6.6 | 1.295588E-5 | 1.0340121E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0340121E-5 | 0.0 | 5.552402E-5 | 4.431406E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.431406E-5 | 0.0 | 6.7579525E-4 | 5.3939206E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.7415756 | 6.393381E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006737438 | 0.0053822575 | 0.0039 | 0.724603 | 0.00607849 | 7.0E-4 |
6.7 | 1.2542085E-5 | 9.861623E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.861623E-6 | 0.0 | 5.3750682E-5 | 4.2263426E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.2263426E-5 | 0.0 | 6.542181E-4 | 5.1443756E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.5831611 | 5.1443756E-4 | 0.0 | 0.006522954 | 0.005133877 | 0.0035 | 0.681746 | 0.00563131 | 5.0E-4 |
6.8 | 1.2195878E-5 | 9.45888E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.45888E-6 | 0.0 | 5.2267E-5 | 4.0537438E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0537438E-5 | 0.0 | 6.36165E-4 | 4.934334E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.4053232 | 4.934334E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0063434686 | 0.0049247057 | 0.0034 | 0.6903966 | 0.0054222434 | 5.0E-4 |
6.9 | 1.1580298E-5 | 8.738248E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.738248E-6 | 0.0 | 4.9628903E-5 | 3.7449103E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.7449103E-5 | 0.0 | 6.040644E-4 | 4.5584908E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.4387417 | 4.5584908E-4 | 0.0 | 0.00602425 | 0.0045503434 | 0.0031 | 0.6812673 | 0.004848978 | 3.0E-4 |
7.0 | 1.0964795E-5 | 8.051233E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.051233E-6 | 0.0 | 4.6991136E-5 | 3.4504832E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.4504832E-5 | 0.0 | 5.7196687E-4 | 4.200169E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.4761713 | 4.200169E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0057049696 | 0.004193428 | 0.0028 | 0.6677115 | 0.00449217 | 3.0E-4 |
7.1 | 1.0230601E-5 | 7.296619E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.296619E-6 | 0.0 | 4.3844695E-5 | 3.1270858E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1270858E-5 | 0.0 | 5.336784E-4 | 3.8065747E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.5254068 | 3.8065747E-4 | 0.0 | 0.005323986 | 0.003801133 | 0.0028 | 0.73662245 | 0.0040999926 | 3.0E-4 |
7.2 | 9.40865E-6 | 6.5162267E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.5162267E-6 | 0.0 | 4.032216E-5 | 2.7926393E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7926393E-5 | 0.0 | 4.908117E-4 | 3.39952E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.29415917 | 3.39952E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0048972913 | 0.0033953136 | 0.0026 | 0.7657614 | 0.003694295 | 3.0E-4 |
7.3 | 8.237384E-6 | 5.5742876E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.5742876E-6 | 0.0 | 3.5302593E-5 | 2.388959E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.388959E-5 | 0.0 | 4.2972428E-4 | 2.90818E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.34385768 | 2.90818E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0042889426 | 0.0029046668 | 0.0024 | 0.8262565 | 0.003104086 | 2.0E-4 |
7.4 | 7.5316966E-6 | 5.0062195E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0062195E-6 | 0.0 | 3.2278298E-5 | 2.1455056E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1455056E-5 | 0.0 | 3.9291743E-4 | 2.61185E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.38287038 | 2.61185E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0039222343 | 0.0026088874 | 0.0021 | 0.8049409 | 0.0028083655 | 2.0E-4 |
7.5 | 6.149649E-6 | 3.916163E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.916163E-6 | 0.0 | 2.6355372E-5 | 1.6783453E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6783453E-5 | 0.0 | 3.208294E-4 | 2.0432028E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.4894277 | 2.0432028E-4 | 0.0 | 0.003203666 | 0.0020414128 | 0.0014 | 0.6857996 | 0.0022410045 | 2.0E-4 |
7.6 | 5.457711E-6 | 3.3794513E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3794513E-6 | 0.0 | 2.338998E-5 | 1.4483287E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4483287E-5 | 0.0 | 2.8473578E-4 | 1.7632057E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.56714886 | 1.7632057E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0028437122 | 0.0017618868 | 0.0013 | 0.7378454 | 0.0019615344 | 2.0E-4 |
7.7 | 4.1676276E-6 | 2.3213304E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3213304E-6 | 0.0 | 1.7861139E-5 | 9.948525E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.948525E-6 | 0.0 | 2.1743766E-4 | 1.2111729E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2111729E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0021722503 | 0.0012105854 | 8.0E-4 | 0.66083735 | 0.0014103432 | 2.0E-4 |
7.8 | 2.2692414E-7 | 9.313546E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.313546E-8 | 0.0 | 9.725317E-7 | 3.9915196E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.9915196E-7 | 0.0 | 1.1840509E-5 | 4.8596676E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.8596676E-6 | 0.0 | 1.1839878E-4 | 4.859593E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.859593E-5 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.4267709E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.4267709E-9 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.4686159E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4686159E-8 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.7880397E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7880397E-7 | 0.0 | 3.4838679E-6 | 1.7880385E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7880385E-6 | 0.0 |
Coronado Bank alt1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.533492E-5 | 9.371127E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.371127E-5 | 0.0 | 3.22824E-4 | 4.0156196E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.7470827 | 4.0156196E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0039233007 | 0.004878674 | 0.003 | 0.61492115 | 0.005276723 | 4.0E-4 | 0.03854755 | 0.047785383 | 0.0329 | 0.68849504 | 0.053974777 | 0.0065 |
6.1 | 4.1807285E-5 | 5.0382987E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0382987E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7916178E-4 | 2.1590963E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.92631346 | 2.1590963E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0021791123 | 0.0026256111 | 0.0019 | 0.72364104 | 0.002825086 | 2.0E-4 | 0.021578677 | 0.025955353 | 0.0159 | 0.61259043 | 0.028682677 | 0.0028 |
6.2 | 4.1807285E-5 | 5.0382987E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0382987E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7916178E-4 | 2.1590963E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.92631346 | 2.1590963E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0021791123 | 0.0026256111 | 0.0019 | 0.72364104 | 0.002825086 | 2.0E-4 | 0.021578677 | 0.025955353 | 0.0159 | 0.61259043 | 0.028682677 | 0.0028 |
6.3 | 3.1793104E-5 | 3.7637154E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.7637154E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3624904E-4 | 1.6129231E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.2399848 | 1.6129231E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0016575698 | 0.001961998 | 0.0014 | 0.7135584 | 0.0021616055 | 2.0E-4 | 0.016452603 | 0.019450694 | 0.0121 | 0.6220858 | 0.021509847 | 0.0021 |
6.4 | 2.9878007E-5 | 3.5267756E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5267756E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2804232E-4 | 1.5113896E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.3232856 | 1.5113896E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0015578003 | 0.0018385961 | 0.0013 | 0.70706123 | 0.0020382283 | 2.0E-4 | 0.015469253 | 0.018237632 | 0.0117 | 0.64153063 | 0.020299334 | 0.0021 |
6.5 | 2.4512565E-5 | 2.8711425E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8711425E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0504962E-4 | 1.2304333E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.6254438 | 1.2304333E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0012782287 | 0.0014970498 | 0.001 | 0.6679805 | 0.0016967504 | 2.0E-4 | 0.012709012 | 0.014872616 | 0.0094 | 0.63203406 | 0.016547333 | 0.0017 |
6.6 | 2.1317413E-5 | 2.4862336E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4862336E-5 | 0.0 | 9.135714E-5 | 1.0654864E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.8770769 | 1.0654864E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011117056 | 0.00129648 | 8.0E-4 | 0.6170554 | 0.0014962207 | 2.0E-4 | 0.011061605 | 0.012891568 | 0.0083 | 0.6438317 | 0.014470941 | 0.0016 |
6.7 | 1.8585655E-5 | 2.1597303E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1597303E-5 | 0.0 | 7.9650374E-5 | 9.25567E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.25567E-5 | 0.0 | 9.6931186E-4 | 0.0011263157 | 6.0E-4 | 0.5327103 | 0.0013260904 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0096509475 | 0.011208227 | 0.0072 | 0.6423853 | 0.012691414 | 0.0015 |
6.8 | 1.5862879E-5 | 1.8387993E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8387993E-5 | 0.0 | 6.798199E-5 | 7.880341E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.880341E-5 | 0.0 | 8.273665E-4 | 9.590284E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.521361 | 0.0010589325 | 1.0E-4 | 0.008242928 | 0.009550872 | 0.0064 | 0.67009586 | 0.0108384555 | 0.0013 |
6.9 | 1.3021509E-5 | 1.5069695E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5069695E-5 | 0.0 | 5.5805274E-5 | 6.4582906E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.4582906E-5 | 0.0 | 6.792174E-4 | 7.860313E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.3816642 | 8.859527E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006771452 | 0.007834327 | 0.0054 | 0.6892742 | 0.009024926 | 0.0012 |
7.0 | 1.0974371E-5 | 1.2698521E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2698521E-5 | 0.0 | 4.7032172E-5 | 5.4421194E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.4421194E-5 | 0.0 | 5.7246623E-4 | 6.623941E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.45290256 | 7.6232787E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0057099373 | 0.0066059404 | 0.0044 | 0.6660672 | 0.0074999947 | 9.0E-4 |
7.1 | 8.766221E-6 | 1.0146468E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0146468E-5 | 0.0 | 3.7568978E-5 | 4.3484237E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.3484237E-5 | 0.0 | 4.573063E-4 | 5.293091E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.5667766 | 6.292562E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0045636636 | 0.005282177 | 0.0032 | 0.6058108 | 0.0059784795 | 7.0E-4 |
7.2 | 8.026024E-7 | 8.325458E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.325458E-7 | 0.0 | 3.43972E-6 | 3.5680487E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5680487E-6 | 0.0 | 4.1877785E-5 | 4.3440137E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.3440137E-5 | 0.0 | 4.1869894E-4 | 4.3431757E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.9209851 | 4.3431757E-4 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.7293114E-7 | 3.6976198E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.6976198E-7 | 0.0 | 1.5982754E-6 | 1.5846932E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5846932E-6 | 0.0 | 1.9458828E-5 | 1.929347E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.929347E-5 | 0.0 | 1.9457124E-4 | 1.9291801E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5183549 | 1.9291801E-4 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.0557036E-7 | 1.966083E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.966083E-7 | 0.0 | 8.810155E-7 | 8.426067E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.426067E-7 | 0.0 | 1.0726311E-5 | 1.0258689E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0258689E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0725793E-4 | 1.02582184E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.02582184E-4 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.845446E-8 | 6.275112E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.275112E-8 | 0.0 | 2.9337625E-7 | 2.6893335E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6893335E-7 | 0.0 | 3.5718497E-6 | 3.2742587E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2742587E-6 | 0.0 | 3.5717923E-5 | 3.274211E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.274211E-5 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.0975145E-9 | 5.531051E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.531051E-9 | 0.0 | 2.6132206E-8 | 2.3704503E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3704503E-8 | 0.0 | 3.1815955E-7 | 2.886023E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.886023E-7 | 0.0 | 3.181591E-6 | 2.8860202E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8860202E-6 | 0.0 |
Greenville (No) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.286654E-5 | 4.0269028E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0269028E-5 | 0.0 | 1.4084899E-4 | 1.7257035E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7257035E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0017134876 | 0.0020990572 | 0.0012 | 0.57168525 | 0.0025980077 | 5.0E-4 | 0.017003356 | 0.020797431 | 0.015 | 0.7212429 | 0.026966408 | 0.0063 |
6.1 | 3.286654E-5 | 4.0269028E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0269028E-5 | 0.0 | 1.4084899E-4 | 1.7257035E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7257035E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0017134876 | 0.0020990572 | 0.0011 | 0.5240448 | 0.0024982176 | 4.0E-4 | 0.017003356 | 0.020797431 | 0.0123 | 0.5914192 | 0.025301762 | 0.0046 |
6.2 | 3.1697953E-5 | 3.883535E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.883535E-5 | 0.0 | 1.358413E-4 | 1.6642682E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6642682E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0016526132 | 0.0020244005 | 0.0011 | 0.5433707 | 0.0024235907 | 4.0E-4 | 0.01640377 | 0.02006453 | 0.0117 | 0.58311856 | 0.024278253 | 0.0043 |
6.3 | 3.1363317E-5 | 3.8425198E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.8425198E-5 | 0.0 | 1.344073E-4 | 1.6466924E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6466924E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0016351803 | 0.0020030416 | 0.0011 | 0.54916483 | 0.0024022402 | 4.0E-4 | 0.016232004 | 0.019854784 | 0.0116 | 0.58424205 | 0.024069408 | 0.0043 |
6.4 | 3.0228604E-5 | 3.7035607E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.7035607E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2954473E-4 | 1.5871458E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5871458E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0015760659 | 0.0019306737 | 0.0011 | 0.5697493 | 0.0023299016 | 4.0E-4 | 0.015649348 | 0.019143766 | 0.0112 | 0.5850468 | 0.023165276 | 0.0041 |
6.5 | 2.9537814E-5 | 3.6193007E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.6193007E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2658449E-4 | 1.5510386E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5510386E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0015400766 | 0.0018867902 | 0.0011 | 0.5830007 | 0.0022860356 | 4.0E-4 | 0.01529447 | 0.018712403 | 0.0107 | 0.5718132 | 0.022343168 | 0.0037 |
6.6 | 2.7345395E-5 | 3.3508666E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3508666E-5 | 0.0 | 1.1718928E-4 | 1.4360083E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4360083E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0014258457 | 0.0017469691 | 0.001 | 0.57242 | 0.002046445 | 3.0E-4 | 0.014167317 | 0.017336408 | 0.0099 | 0.57105255 | 0.020579198 | 0.0033 |
6.7 | 2.5615784E-5 | 3.148919E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.148919E-5 | 0.0 | 1.09777306E-4 | 1.3494687E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3494687E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0013357193 | 0.0016417704 | 9.0E-4 | 0.5481887 | 0.0019412779 | 3.0E-4 | 0.013277191 | 0.016300317 | 0.0091 | 0.55827135 | 0.019054675 | 0.0028 |
6.8 | 2.0059057E-5 | 2.4650924E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4650924E-5 | 0.0 | 8.596455E-5 | 1.0564263E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0564263E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0010461159 | 0.0012854564 | 6.0E-4 | 0.46676028 | 0.0014851993 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0104120495 | 0.012782466 | 0.0075 | 0.58674127 | 0.0151517885 | 0.0024 |
6.9 | 1.6321746E-5 | 2.0133579E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0133579E-5 | 0.0 | 6.9948466E-5 | 8.628399E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.628399E-5 | 0.0 | 8.5128983E-4 | 0.0010500136 | 5.0E-4 | 0.4761843 | 0.0012498036 | 2.0E-4 | 0.008480361 | 0.010452295 | 0.0067 | 0.64100754 | 0.012629299 | 0.0022 |
7.0 | 1.22527645E-5 | 1.50970345E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.50970345E-5 | 0.0 | 5.2510793E-5 | 6.47E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.47E-5 | 0.0 | 6.3913135E-4 | 7.8744197E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.6349674 | 9.872845E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0063729626 | 0.007847438 | 0.0049 | 0.6244076 | 0.009534097 | 0.0017 |
7.1 | 8.996482E-6 | 1.1133471E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1133471E-5 | 0.0 | 3.8555783E-5 | 4.771401E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.771401E-5 | 0.0 | 4.6931554E-4 | 5.8076443E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.51656055 | 6.8070635E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004683256 | 0.0057929195 | 0.004 | 0.6904981 | 0.006985968 | 0.0012 |
7.2 | 6.0273087E-6 | 7.544417E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.544417E-6 | 0.0 | 2.5831067E-5 | 3.233282E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.233282E-5 | 0.0 | 3.1444785E-4 | 3.9358166E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.5081538 | 4.935423E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0031400328 | 0.0039292723 | 0.003 | 0.76350015 | 0.004825736 | 9.0E-4 |
7.3 | 3.1209995E-6 | 3.9481756E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.9481756E-6 | 0.0 | 1.3375643E-5 | 1.6920645E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6920645E-5 | 0.0 | 1.6283628E-4 | 2.0598953E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0598953E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0016271701 | 0.0020581102 | 0.0016 | 0.77741224 | 0.0025570812 | 5.0E-4 |
7.4 | 2.0254208E-6 | 2.596744E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.596744E-6 | 0.0 | 8.680347E-6 | 1.11288555E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.11288555E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0567809E-4 | 1.3548545E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3548545E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0010562785 | 0.0013540613 | 0.0012 | 0.8862228 | 0.0017535198 | 4.0E-4 |
7.5 | 1.6763418E-6 | 2.1614228E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1614228E-6 | 0.0 | 7.184302E-6 | 9.263208E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.263208E-6 | 0.0 | 8.746537E-5 | 1.1277378E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1277378E-4 | 0.0 | 8.743095E-4 | 0.0011271731 | 0.0011 | 0.9758927 | 0.001426835 | 3.0E-4 |
7.6 | 1.1935462E-6 | 1.5358892E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5358892E-6 | 0.0 | 5.115188E-6 | 6.5823656E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.5823656E-6 | 0.0 | 6.2275634E-5 | 8.01374E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.01374E-5 | 0.0 | 6.2258187E-4 | 8.010764E-4 | 0.001 | 1.2483203 | 0.0011008361 | 3.0E-4 |
7.7 | 3.0464201E-7 | 3.9616813E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.9616813E-7 | 0.0 | 1.3056081E-6 | 1.6978623E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6978623E-6 | 0.0 | 1.589566E-5 | 2.0671283E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0671283E-5 | 0.0 | 1.5894524E-4 | 2.0669866E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.48379606 | 2.0669866E-4 | 0.0 |
Monte Vista - Shannon 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.7907707E-5 | 2.7513914E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7513914E-5 | 0.0 | 1.19598975E-4 | 1.1791214E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1791214E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0014551448 | 0.0014347584 | 0.0012 | 0.83637774 | 0.0020338974 | 6.0E-4 | 0.014456532 | 0.014283666 | 0.0131 | 0.9171315 | 0.020197963 | 0.006 |
6.1 | 2.7907707E-5 | 2.7513914E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7513914E-5 | 0.0 | 1.19598975E-4 | 1.1791214E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1791214E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0014551448 | 0.0014347584 | 0.0012 | 0.83637774 | 0.0020338974 | 6.0E-4 | 0.014456532 | 0.014283666 | 0.0131 | 0.9171315 | 0.020197963 | 0.006 |
6.2 | 2.7907707E-5 | 2.7513914E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7513914E-5 | 0.0 | 1.19598975E-4 | 1.1791214E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1791214E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0014551448 | 0.0014347584 | 0.0012 | 0.83637774 | 0.0020338974 | 6.0E-4 | 0.014456532 | 0.014283666 | 0.0131 | 0.9171315 | 0.020197963 | 0.006 |
6.3 | 2.7907707E-5 | 2.7513914E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7513914E-5 | 0.0 | 1.19598975E-4 | 1.1791214E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1791214E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0014551448 | 0.0014347584 | 0.0012 | 0.83637774 | 0.0020338974 | 6.0E-4 | 0.014456532 | 0.014283666 | 0.0131 | 0.9171315 | 0.020197963 | 0.006 |
6.4 | 2.7907707E-5 | 2.7513914E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7513914E-5 | 0.0 | 1.19598975E-4 | 1.1791214E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1791214E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0014551448 | 0.0014347584 | 0.0012 | 0.83637774 | 0.0020338974 | 6.0E-4 | 0.014456532 | 0.014283666 | 0.0131 | 0.9171315 | 0.020197963 | 0.006 |
6.5 | 1.7990213E-5 | 1.6581424E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6581424E-5 | 0.0 | 7.709863E-5 | 7.106168E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.106168E-5 | 0.0 | 9.382716E-4 | 8.648987E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.80934334 | 0.0011646393 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0093431985 | 0.008638338 | 0.0085 | 0.98398554 | 0.012603785 | 0.004 |
6.6 | 9.650407E-6 | 7.408367E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.408367E-6 | 0.0 | 4.135823E-5 | 3.17498E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.17498E-5 | 0.0 | 5.0342013E-4 | 3.8649308E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.8649308E-4 | 0.0 | 0.005022812 | 0.0038755396 | 0.0034 | 0.87729716 | 0.005369726 | 0.0015 |
6.7 | 9.62828E-6 | 7.386337E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.386337E-6 | 0.0 | 4.1263404E-5 | 3.165539E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.165539E-5 | 0.0 | 5.022661E-4 | 3.8534403E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.8534403E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0050113243 | 0.0038640893 | 0.0034 | 0.8798969 | 0.005358293 | 0.0015 |
6.8 | 6.887523E-6 | 4.4155886E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.4155886E-6 | 0.0 | 2.9517621E-5 | 1.8923827E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8923827E-5 | 0.0 | 3.5931775E-4 | 2.3037544E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3037544E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0035873733 | 0.0023181706 | 0.002 | 0.8627493 | 0.0030165478 | 7.0E-4 |
6.9 | 6.2722347E-6 | 3.7580905E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.7580905E-6 | 0.0 | 2.6880729E-5 | 1.6106014E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6106014E-5 | 0.0 | 3.2722374E-4 | 1.9607511E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9607511E-4 | 0.0 | 0.003267423 | 0.0019758113 | 0.0019 | 0.9616303 | 0.0026744283 | 7.0E-4 |
7.0 | 5.5320347E-6 | 2.9866828E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9866828E-6 | 0.0 | 2.3708504E-5 | 1.28000165E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.28000165E-5 | 0.0 | 2.8861282E-4 | 1.5583089E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5583089E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0028823826 | 0.0015739927 | 0.0013 | 0.8259251 | 0.0022728909 | 7.0E-4 |
7.1 | 3.8794055E-6 | 1.2419758E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2419758E-6 | 0.0 | 1.6625918E-5 | 5.3227427E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.3227427E-6 | 0.0 | 2.0240174E-4 | 6.480248E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.480248E-5 | 0.0 | 0.002022175 | 6.6443667E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.4515103 | 7.643702E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.2 | 3.4813652E-6 | 9.2744466E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.2744466E-7 | 0.0 | 1.49200505E-5 | 3.974757E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.974757E-6 | 0.0 | 1.8163648E-4 | 4.8391597E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.8391597E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0018148809 | 5.003989E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.19984056 | 6.0034887E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.3 | 3.1682148E-6 | 7.341844E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.341844E-7 | 0.0 | 1.3577992E-5 | 3.1465008E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1465008E-6 | 0.0 | 1.6529951E-4 | 3.8307975E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.8307975E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0016517661 | 3.9957924E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.9957924E-4 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.9707667E-6 | 6.9803656E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.9803656E-7 | 0.0 | 1.2731795E-5 | 2.9915818E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9915818E-6 | 0.0 | 1.5499859E-4 | 3.64219E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.64219E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0015489052 | 3.8053034E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.8053034E-4 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.3462758E-6 | 5.6967195E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.6967195E-7 | 0.0 | 1.0055429E-5 | 2.441449E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.441449E-6 | 0.0 | 1.2241797E-4 | 2.9724237E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9724237E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0012235056 | 3.1189274E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1189274E-4 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.112783E-6 | 4.95957E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.95957E-7 | 0.0 | 9.054753E-6 | 2.1255282E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1255282E-6 | 0.0 | 1.1023604E-4 | 2.5878002E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5878002E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0011018137 | 2.7302778E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7302778E-4 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.7022471E-6 | 3.9777282E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.9777282E-7 | 0.0 | 7.2953244E-6 | 1.7047395E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7047395E-6 | 0.0 | 8.881695E-5 | 2.0755007E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0755007E-5 | 0.0 | 8.878146E-4 | 2.2056043E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2056043E-4 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 7.230914E-7 | 3.499258E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.499258E-7 | 0.0 | 3.0989595E-6 | 1.4996812E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4996812E-6 | 0.0 | 3.772918E-5 | 1.8258466E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8258466E-5 | 0.0 | 3.7722773E-4 | 1.9517886E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9517886E-4 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 4.3588446E-7 | 3.2301375E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2301375E-7 | 0.0 | 1.868075E-6 | 1.3843439E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3843439E-6 | 0.0 | 2.2743576E-5 | 1.685426E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.685426E-5 | 0.0 | 2.2741247E-4 | 1.794812E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.794812E-4 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 2.3317523E-7 | 2.9749458E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9749458E-7 | 0.0 | 9.99322E-7 | 1.2749762E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2749762E-6 | 0.0 | 1.2166677E-5 | 1.5522726E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5522726E-5 | 0.0 | 1.21660116E-4 | 1.648538E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.648538E-4 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.4662456E-7 | 1.9242876E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9242876E-7 | 0.0 | 6.283908E-7 | 8.2469444E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.2469444E-7 | 0.0 | 7.650631E-6 | 1.004061E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.004061E-5 | 0.0 | 7.650368E-5 | 1.0582494E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0582494E-4 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 5.4931775E-9 | 4.806906E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.806906E-9 | 0.0 | 2.3542189E-8 | 2.0601027E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0601027E-8 | 0.0 | 2.8662612E-7 | 2.5081746E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5081746E-7 | 0.0 | 2.8662573E-6 | 2.611765E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.611765E-6 | 0.0 |
Pleito
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.4237324E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4237324E-5 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.03870516E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.03870516E-4 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0012639618 | 9.0E-4 | 0.71204686 | 0.0017633297 | 5.0E-4 | 0.00870863 | 0.012687791 | 0.015 | 1.1822389 | 0.018611664 | 0.006 |
6.1 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.4237324E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4237324E-5 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.03870516E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.03870516E-4 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0012639618 | 9.0E-4 | 0.71204686 | 0.0017633297 | 5.0E-4 | 0.00870863 | 0.012687791 | 0.015 | 1.1822389 | 0.018611664 | 0.006 |
6.2 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.4237324E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4237324E-5 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.03870516E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.03870516E-4 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0012639618 | 9.0E-4 | 0.71204686 | 0.0017633297 | 5.0E-4 | 0.00870863 | 0.012687791 | 0.015 | 1.1822389 | 0.018611664 | 0.006 |
6.3 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.4237324E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4237324E-5 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.03870516E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.03870516E-4 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0012639618 | 9.0E-4 | 0.71204686 | 0.0017633297 | 5.0E-4 | 0.00870863 | 0.012687791 | 0.015 | 1.1822389 | 0.018611664 | 0.006 |
6.4 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.4237324E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4237324E-5 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.03870516E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.03870516E-4 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0012639618 | 9.0E-4 | 0.71204686 | 0.0017633297 | 5.0E-4 | 0.00870863 | 0.012687791 | 0.015 | 1.1822389 | 0.018611664 | 0.006 |
6.5 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.4237324E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4237324E-5 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.03870516E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.03870516E-4 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0012639618 | 9.0E-4 | 0.71204686 | 0.0017633297 | 5.0E-4 | 0.00870863 | 0.012687791 | 0.015 | 1.1822389 | 0.018611664 | 0.006 |
6.6 | 9.910213E-6 | 1.6696109E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6696109E-5 | 0.0 | 4.247165E-5 | 7.1552815E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.1552815E-5 | 0.0 | 5.169696E-4 | 8.70811E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.22967096 | 9.707239E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0051576863 | 0.0087877065 | 0.006 | 0.682772 | 0.01067101 | 0.0019 |
6.7 | 9.910213E-6 | 1.6696109E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6696109E-5 | 0.0 | 4.247165E-5 | 7.1552815E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.1552815E-5 | 0.0 | 5.169696E-4 | 8.70811E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.22967096 | 9.707239E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0051576863 | 0.0087877065 | 0.006 | 0.682772 | 0.01067101 | 0.0019 |
6.8 | 8.300162E-6 | 1.495719E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.495719E-5 | 0.0 | 3.557164E-5 | 6.410068E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.410068E-5 | 0.0 | 4.3299864E-4 | 7.801477E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.25636172 | 8.800697E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004321559 | 0.007887667 | 0.0049 | 0.621223 | 0.009177414 | 0.0013 |
6.9 | 8.183114E-6 | 1.482864E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.482864E-5 | 0.0 | 3.5070017E-5 | 6.354978E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.354978E-5 | 0.0 | 4.2689382E-4 | 7.7344524E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.25858328 | 8.733679E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0042607468 | 0.007821116 | 0.0049 | 0.6265091 | 0.009110949 | 0.0013 |
7.0 | 7.1748823E-6 | 1.3622101E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3622101E-5 | 0.0 | 3.0749135E-5 | 5.8379126E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.8379126E-5 | 0.0 | 3.743064E-4 | 7.105346E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.2814782 | 8.104635E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0037367654 | 0.0071957298 | 0.0046 | 0.63926804 | 0.008287814 | 0.0011 |
7.1 | 7.1671807E-6 | 1.3612542E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3612542E-5 | 0.0 | 3.0716128E-5 | 5.8338162E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.8338162E-5 | 0.0 | 3.7390468E-4 | 7.100362E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.2816758 | 8.099652E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0037327618 | 0.0071907784 | 0.0046 | 0.6397082 | 0.008282868 | 0.0011 |
7.2 | 7.0649667E-6 | 1.34615275E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.34615275E-5 | 0.0 | 3.0278077E-5 | 5.7690988E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.7690988E-5 | 0.0 | 3.6857324E-4 | 7.0216187E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.2848346 | 8.020917E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0036796255 | 0.0071123843 | 0.0046 | 0.6467592 | 0.008204561 | 0.0011 |
7.3 | 7.02082E-6 | 1.3405965E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3405965E-5 | 0.0 | 3.008888E-5 | 5.745287E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.745287E-5 | 0.0 | 3.6627054E-4 | 6.992647E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.28601474 | 7.991948E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0036566744 | 0.007083377 | 0.0046 | 0.64940774 | 0.008175585 | 0.0011 |
7.4 | 6.987146E-6 | 1.336608E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.336608E-5 | 0.0 | 2.9944567E-5 | 5.7281944E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.7281944E-5 | 0.0 | 3.6451413E-4 | 6.97185E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.28686792 | 7.9711527E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0036391679 | 0.0070625907 | 0.0046 | 0.6513191 | 0.008154822 | 0.0011 |
7.5 | 6.9494554E-6 | 1.3323408E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3323408E-5 | 0.0 | 2.9783041E-5 | 5.709907E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.709907E-5 | 0.0 | 3.625482E-4 | 6.9495995E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.28778636 | 7.9489045E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0036195726 | 0.00704043 | 0.0046 | 0.6533692 | 0.008132685 | 0.0011 |
7.6 | 6.92694E-6 | 1.3283307E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3283307E-5 | 0.0 | 2.9686547E-5 | 5.6927223E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.6927223E-5 | 0.0 | 3.6137376E-4 | 6.92869E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.28865486 | 7.9279975E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0036078666 | 0.0070195766 | 0.0046 | 0.6553102 | 0.008111855 | 0.0011 |
7.7 | 6.395867E-6 | 1.2183972E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2183972E-5 | 0.0 | 2.741057E-5 | 5.2215983E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.2215983E-5 | 0.0 | 3.336726E-4 | 6.355444E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.31469083 | 7.3548086E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0033317201 | 0.006448918 | 0.0041 | 0.63576555 | 0.0074424692 | 0.001 |
7.8 | 5.8664327E-6 | 1.1093631E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1093631E-5 | 0.0 | 2.5141611E-5 | 4.7543264E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.7543264E-5 | 0.0 | 3.060561E-4 | 5.786857E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.34561074 | 6.7862787E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0030563495 | 0.0058755833 | 0.0033 | 0.56164634 | 0.0065714703 | 7.0E-4 |
7.9 | 3.7167474E-6 | 6.84546E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.84546E-6 | 0.0 | 1.592882E-5 | 2.9337358E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9337358E-5 | 0.0 | 1.9391612E-4 | 3.5712394E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.28001484 | 4.5708823E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0019374699 | 0.003630643 | 0.002 | 0.5508666 | 0.0040291906 | 4.0E-4 |
8.0 | 1.0903841E-6 | 1.2289922E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2289922E-6 | 0.0 | 4.6730665E-6 | 5.267099E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.267099E-6 | 0.0 | 5.68931E-5 | 6.412506E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.412506E-5 | 0.0 | 5.6878536E-4 | 6.632113E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.45234454 | 7.63145E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
8.1 | 2.6894583E-7 | 1.00966304E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.00966304E-7 | 0.0 | 1.1526245E-6 | 4.3271265E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.3271265E-7 | 0.0 | 1.4033113E-5 | 5.268264E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.268264E-6 | 0.0 | 1.4032227E-4 | 5.9173388E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.9173388E-5 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 5.2967013E-9 | 2.227298E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.227298E-9 | 0.0 | 2.2700148E-8 | 9.545562E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.545562E-9 | 0.0 | 2.7637427E-7 | 1.162172E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.162172E-7 | 0.0 | 2.7637393E-6 | 1.3298658E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3298658E-6 | 0.0 |
Almanor 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.1479834E-5 | 8.298417E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.298417E-5 | 0.0 | 2.6345838E-4 | 3.5560352E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.5624241 | 3.5560352E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0032028882 | 0.004321557 | 0.0024 | 0.55535537 | 0.0051181 | 8.0E-4 | 0.031571172 | 0.042444512 | 0.0255 | 0.6007844 | 0.048189845 | 0.006 |
6.1 | 4.4387216E-5 | 5.956422E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.956422E-5 | 0.0 | 1.9021705E-4 | 2.5525416E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.7835328 | 2.5525416E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0023134327 | 0.0031037936 | 0.0022 | 0.70881 | 0.0039013107 | 8.0E-4 | 0.022894967 | 0.03065395 | 0.0184 | 0.60024893 | 0.03530681 | 0.0048 |
6.2 | 4.4387216E-5 | 5.956422E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.956422E-5 | 0.0 | 1.9021705E-4 | 2.5525416E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.7835328 | 2.5525416E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0023134327 | 0.0031037936 | 0.0022 | 0.70881 | 0.0039013107 | 8.0E-4 | 0.022894967 | 0.03065395 | 0.0184 | 0.60024893 | 0.03530681 | 0.0048 |
6.3 | 2.9523822E-5 | 3.9414223E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.9414223E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2652454E-4 | 1.6890977E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5920321 | 1.6890977E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0015393476 | 0.00205491 | 0.0012 | 0.5839672 | 0.0025538825 | 5.0E-4 | 0.015287281 | 0.020394152 | 0.0117 | 0.5736939 | 0.02362685 | 0.0033 |
6.4 | 2.0512744E-5 | 2.7338916E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7338916E-5 | 0.0 | 8.79088E-5 | 1.1716365E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.8535071 | 1.1716365E-4 | 0.0 | 0.001069764 | 0.0014258667 | 0.001 | 0.7013278 | 0.0018252964 | 4.0E-4 | 0.010646289 | 0.014198058 | 0.0077 | 0.5423277 | 0.016563982 | 0.0024 |
6.5 | 1.6750226E-5 | 2.2315515E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2315515E-5 | 0.0 | 7.178471E-5 | 9.563674E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0456233 | 9.563674E-5 | 0.0 | 8.7362836E-4 | 0.0011640886 | 9.0E-4 | 0.773137 | 0.001563623 | 4.0E-4 | 0.008702018 | 0.011611144 | 0.0066 | 0.5684194 | 0.0137856 | 0.0022 |
6.6 | 1.4745303E-5 | 1.964102E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.964102E-5 | 0.0 | 6.319262E-5 | 8.417538E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1879958 | 8.417538E-5 | 0.0 | 7.690986E-4 | 0.0010246921 | 7.0E-4 | 0.68313205 | 0.0013243847 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0076644225 | 0.010231581 | 0.0056 | 0.547325 | 0.012112141 | 0.0019 |
6.7 | 9.951145E-7 | 1.1596063E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1596063E-6 | 0.0 | 4.26477E-6 | 4.969733E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.969733E-6 | 0.0 | 5.1922336E-5 | 6.0504994E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0504994E-5 | 0.0 | 5.1910203E-4 | 6.049024E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.49594778 | 8.047814E-4 | 2.0E-4 |
6.8 | 5.866312E-7 | 6.837416E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.837416E-7 | 0.0 | 2.5141312E-6 | 2.9303185E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9303185E-6 | 0.0 | 3.0609117E-5 | 3.5676174E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5676174E-5 | 0.0 | 3.06049E-4 | 3.5671727E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.5606682 | 4.566816E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
Mission (connected) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.8735573E-5 | 2.6670066E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6670066E-5 | 0.0 | 8.029284E-5 | 1.1429397E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.87493676 | 1.1429397E-4 | 0.0 | 9.771269E-4 | 0.0013905481 | 0.0015 | 1.0787114 | 0.0018898528 | 5.0E-4 | 0.009728416 | 0.013831233 | 0.0172 | 1.2435623 | 0.019649629 | 0.0059 |
6.1 | 1.7515964E-5 | 2.5312958E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5312958E-5 | 0.0 | 7.506625E-5 | 1.0847829E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0847829E-4 | 0.0 | 9.135484E-4 | 0.0013198298 | 9.0E-4 | 0.6819061 | 0.0017193018 | 4.0E-4 | 0.009098019 | 0.013132594 | 0.0113 | 0.86045456 | 0.017376123 | 0.0043 |
6.2 | 1.6486343E-5 | 2.4159106E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4159106E-5 | 0.0 | 7.065384E-5 | 1.0353361E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0353361E-4 | 0.0 | 8.5987104E-4 | 0.0012596997 | 9.0E-4 | 0.71445596 | 0.0016591959 | 4.0E-4 | 0.008565514 | 0.012538263 | 0.0103 | 0.82148546 | 0.016290616 | 0.0038 |
6.3 | 1.5229385E-5 | 2.2592136E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2592136E-5 | 0.0 | 6.526716E-5 | 9.6818534E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.6818534E-5 | 0.0 | 7.9433795E-4 | 0.0011780353 | 8.0E-4 | 0.6790968 | 0.001577564 | 4.0E-4 | 0.007915046 | 0.01173311 | 0.0096 | 0.81819737 | 0.015290871 | 0.0036 |
6.4 | 1.4435828E-5 | 2.1199203E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1199203E-5 | 0.0 | 6.186637E-5 | 9.0849266E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0849266E-5 | 0.0 | 7.529627E-4 | 0.0011054366 | 8.0E-4 | 0.723696 | 0.0015049943 | 4.0E-4 | 0.007504165 | 0.011019518 | 0.0093 | 0.8439571 | 0.014480949 | 0.0035 |
6.5 | 1.30127955E-5 | 1.8847946E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8847946E-5 | 0.0 | 5.576793E-5 | 8.077415E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.077415E-5 | 0.0 | 6.78763E-4 | 9.829501E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.6104074 | 0.0012826552 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0067669353 | 0.009817206 | 0.0085 | 0.8658268 | 0.013084809 | 0.0033 |
6.6 | 1.1220718E-5 | 1.6215632E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6215632E-5 | 0.0 | 4.8087906E-5 | 6.94937E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.94937E-5 | 0.0 | 5.8531296E-4 | 8.4575714E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.472949 | 0.0011455034 | 3.0E-4 | 0.005837737 | 0.008460647 | 0.0069 | 0.81554043 | 0.01103865 | 0.0026 |
6.7 | 8.086152E-6 | 1.1600417E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1600417E-5 | 0.0 | 3.4654473E-5 | 4.971513E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.971513E-5 | 0.0 | 4.2183654E-4 | 6.051144E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.33051604 | 7.0505386E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004210367 | 0.006074099 | 0.0046 | 0.75731397 | 0.007763773 | 0.0017 |
6.8 | 6.8361655E-6 | 1.0061558E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0061558E-5 | 0.0 | 2.9297524E-5 | 4.3120253E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.3120253E-5 | 0.0 | 3.5663895E-4 | 5.2486325E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.38105163 | 6.2481075E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0035606713 | 0.005271206 | 0.0039 | 0.7398686 | 0.0065643536 | 0.0013 |
6.9 | 5.2517353E-6 | 7.75857E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.75857E-6 | 0.0 | 2.2507242E-5 | 3.3250595E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3250595E-5 | 0.0 | 2.739912E-4 | 4.0475102E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.49413094 | 5.0471054E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0027365363 | 0.004074018 | 0.0026 | 0.63819057 | 0.005069944 | 0.001 |
7.0 | 4.4602784E-6 | 6.6043463E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.6043463E-6 | 0.0 | 1.911534E-5 | 2.8304035E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8304035E-5 | 0.0 | 2.327044E-4 | 3.445473E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.5804718 | 4.4451284E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0023246086 | 0.003473001 | 0.0021 | 0.6046643 | 0.004270223 | 8.0E-4 |
7.1 | 4.1492594E-6 | 6.157248E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.157248E-6 | 0.0 | 1.7782419E-5 | 2.6387941E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6387941E-5 | 0.0 | 2.1647944E-4 | 3.2122596E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.6226147 | 4.2119384E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0021626868 | 0.0032399064 | 0.002 | 0.61730176 | 0.0040373146 | 8.0E-4 |
7.2 | 2.213247E-6 | 3.2959058E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2959058E-6 | 0.0 | 9.485309E-6 | 1.4125234E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4125234E-5 | 0.0 | 1.15477524E-4 | 1.7196119E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5815266 | 1.7196119E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011541754 | 0.0017479655 | 0.0014 | 0.80093116 | 0.0022470914 | 5.0E-4 |
7.3 | 1.7362703E-6 | 2.6794794E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6794794E-6 | 0.0 | 7.4411373E-6 | 1.1483433E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1483433E-5 | 0.0 | 9.0592075E-5 | 1.3980185E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.7152981 | 1.3980185E-4 | 0.0 | 9.0555154E-4 | 0.0014234576 | 0.0013 | 0.9132692 | 0.0019227458 | 5.0E-4 |
7.4 | 1.1628409E-6 | 1.8031382E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8031382E-6 | 0.0 | 4.9835944E-6 | 7.727712E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.727712E-6 | 0.0 | 6.0673574E-5 | 9.4080846E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0629156 | 9.4080846E-5 | 0.0 | 6.065701E-4 | 9.620352E-4 | 9.0E-4 | 0.93551666 | 0.0013616504 | 4.0E-4 |
7.5 | 5.5610667E-7 | 8.9942415E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.9942415E-7 | 0.0 | 2.3833122E-6 | 3.854669E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.854669E-6 | 0.0 | 2.9016439E-5 | 4.6929592E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.1308517 | 4.6929592E-5 | 0.0 | 2.901265E-4 | 4.8663607E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 1.0274619 | 6.8653875E-4 | 2.0E-4 |
7.6 | 4.4307663E-7 | 7.45915E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.45915E-7 | 0.0 | 1.8988985E-6 | 3.1967745E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1967745E-6 | 0.0 | 2.3118844E-5 | 3.8920036E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.5693705 | 3.8920036E-5 | 0.0 | 2.3116439E-4 | 4.058705E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.98553604 | 6.057893E-4 | 2.0E-4 |
7.7 | 3.639119E-7 | 6.0639263E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0639263E-7 | 0.0 | 1.5596215E-6 | 2.598823E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.598823E-6 | 0.0 | 1.8988227E-5 | 3.164021E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.160535 | 3.164021E-5 | 0.0 | 1.8986604E-4 | 3.323364E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.9026998 | 4.3230318E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.8 | 3.1152942E-7 | 5.230514E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.230514E-7 | 0.0 | 1.3351254E-6 | 2.2416468E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2416468E-6 | 0.0 | 1.6255031E-5 | 2.7291711E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.6641161 | 2.7291711E-5 | 0.0 | 1.6253842E-4 | 2.855025E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.0507789 | 3.8547395E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.9 | 1.8035962E-7 | 3.5666037E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5666037E-7 | 0.0 | 7.729696E-7 | 1.5285435E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5285435E-6 | 0.0 | 9.410865E-6 | 1.860986E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 5.3734956 | 1.860986E-5 | 0.0 | 9.410465E-5 | 1.9326876E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.5522426 | 2.9324944E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
8.0 | 9.279334E-8 | 1.895648E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.895648E-7 | 0.0 | 3.976857E-7 | 8.124203E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.124203E-7 | 0.0 | 4.841813E-6 | 9.891172E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.891172E-6 | 0.0 | 4.841707E-5 | 1.0164692E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.9675953 | 2.0163675E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
8.1 | 5.9253985E-8 | 1.1417911E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1417911E-7 | 0.0 | 2.5394561E-7 | 4.8933896E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.8933896E-7 | 0.0 | 3.0917836E-6 | 5.957686E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.957686E-6 | 0.0 | 3.0917407E-5 | 6.1072096E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 3.274818 | 1.61066E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
Santa Ynez (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.6683814E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.7259977 | 3.6683814E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5721019E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.6360911 | 1.5721019E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0016823979 | 0.001912935 | 0.0012 | 0.6273083 | 0.0022123612 | 3.0E-4 | 0.016697178 | 0.01902192 | 0.0162 | 0.851649 | 0.024221106 | 0.0053 |
6.1 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.6683814E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.7259977 | 3.6683814E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5721019E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.6360911 | 1.5721019E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0016823979 | 0.001912935 | 0.0012 | 0.6273083 | 0.0022123612 | 3.0E-4 | 0.016697178 | 0.01902192 | 0.0162 | 0.851649 | 0.024221106 | 0.0053 |
6.2 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.6683814E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.7259977 | 3.6683814E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5721019E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.6360911 | 1.5721019E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0016823979 | 0.001912935 | 0.0012 | 0.6273083 | 0.0022123612 | 3.0E-4 | 0.016697178 | 0.01902192 | 0.0162 | 0.851649 | 0.024221106 | 0.0053 |
6.3 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.6683814E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.7259977 | 3.6683814E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5721019E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.6360911 | 1.5721019E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0016823979 | 0.001912935 | 0.0012 | 0.6273083 | 0.0022123612 | 3.0E-4 | 0.016697178 | 0.01902192 | 0.0162 | 0.851649 | 0.024221106 | 0.0053 |
6.4 | 1.4404779E-5 | 1.4833643E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4833643E-5 | 0.0 | 6.1733306E-5 | 6.3571235E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.3571235E-5 | 0.0 | 7.513438E-4 | 7.7371E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.7754843 | 9.7355526E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0074880854 | 0.007710712 | 0.0065 | 0.8429831 | 0.009893748 | 0.0022 |
6.5 | 1.4404779E-5 | 1.4833643E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4833643E-5 | 0.0 | 6.1733306E-5 | 6.3571235E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.3571235E-5 | 0.0 | 7.513438E-4 | 7.7371E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.7754843 | 9.7355526E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0074880854 | 0.007710712 | 0.0065 | 0.8429831 | 0.009893748 | 0.0022 |
6.6 | 1.280208E-5 | 1.2999024E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2999024E-5 | 0.0 | 5.4864904E-5 | 5.5708922E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.5708922E-5 | 0.0 | 6.6777546E-4 | 6.7804684E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.8848946 | 7.7797903E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006657724 | 0.0067599905 | 0.0061 | 0.9023681 | 0.008647147 | 0.0019 |
6.7 | 1.2457027E-5 | 1.2615991E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2615991E-5 | 0.0 | 5.3386164E-5 | 5.4067423E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.4067423E-5 | 0.0 | 6.497827E-4 | 6.580737E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.911752 | 7.580079E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.00647886 | 0.0065614474 | 0.0059 | 0.89919186 | 0.008349637 | 0.0018 |
6.8 | 1.2095134E-5 | 1.2218848E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2218848E-5 | 0.0 | 5.1835254E-5 | 5.2365445E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.2365445E-5 | 0.0 | 6.309115E-4 | 6.373644E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.7844806 | 7.3730067E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0062912325 | 0.006355552 | 0.0056 | 0.8811194 | 0.008144112 | 0.0018 |
6.9 | 1.1104036E-5 | 1.1146226E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1146226E-5 | 0.0 | 4.758786E-5 | 4.7768674E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.7768674E-5 | 0.0 | 5.7922816E-4 | 5.8142963E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.68795943 | 6.813715E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005777207 | 0.0057992297 | 0.0052 | 0.8966708 | 0.0074893706 | 0.0017 |
7.0 | 1.0577444E-5 | 1.0571121E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0571121E-5 | 0.0 | 4.5331115E-5 | 4.5304023E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.5304023E-5 | 0.0 | 5.5176654E-4 | 5.514381E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.72537607 | 6.5138296E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0055039856 | 0.0055008354 | 0.0052 | 0.94531095 | 0.0071914843 | 0.0017 |
7.1 | 1.0021775E-5 | 9.970943E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.970943E-6 | 0.0 | 4.294976E-5 | 4.2731917E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.2731917E-5 | 0.0 | 5.2278786E-4 | 5.201381E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.7690265 | 6.200861E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0052155964 | 0.005189339 | 0.0044 | 0.8478921 | 0.006383112 | 0.0012 |
7.2 | 8.874109E-6 | 8.7398275E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.7398275E-6 | 0.0 | 3.8031343E-5 | 3.7455873E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.7455873E-5 | 0.0 | 4.629332E-4 | 4.5593092E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.8773259 | 5.558853E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0046197 | 0.004550073 | 0.0039 | 0.85712916 | 0.005744613 | 0.0012 |
7.3 | 7.5504267E-6 | 7.4977006E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.4977006E-6 | 0.0 | 3.235857E-5 | 3.2132615E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2132615E-5 | 0.0 | 3.9389438E-4 | 3.9114535E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.76697826 | 4.9110624E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0039319694 | 0.0039046758 | 0.0037 | 0.9475818 | 0.0050999904 | 0.0012 |
7.4 | 6.309394E-6 | 6.176964E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.176964E-6 | 0.0 | 2.703998E-5 | 2.6472439E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6472439E-5 | 0.0 | 3.2916202E-4 | 3.2225522E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.6206261 | 4.22223E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.003286749 | 0.0032179763 | 0.0027 | 0.83903664 | 0.004015402 | 8.0E-4 |
7.5 | 4.6103073E-6 | 4.4365092E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.4365092E-6 | 0.0 | 1.975831E-5 | 1.9013476E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9013476E-5 | 0.0 | 2.4053088E-4 | 2.3146518E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.43203044 | 3.3144202E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.002402707 | 0.0023123103 | 0.002 | 0.8649358 | 0.0030106916 | 7.0E-4 |
7.6 | 1.2858658E-6 | 1.2997734E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2997734E-6 | 0.0 | 5.5108417E-6 | 5.5704463E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.5704463E-6 | 0.0 | 6.7092435E-5 | 6.781814E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.781814E-5 | 0.0 | 6.707218E-4 | 6.7798136E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.58998674 | 7.7791355E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.7 | 5.3302307E-7 | 5.609023E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.609023E-7 | 0.0 | 2.2843826E-6 | 2.403865E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.403865E-6 | 0.0 | 2.7812002E-5 | 2.9266701E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9266701E-5 | 0.0 | 2.7808524E-4 | 2.9263203E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.3417261 | 3.926028E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.8 | 4.613933E-8 | 4.8009543E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.8009543E-8 | 0.0 | 1.9773998E-7 | 2.0575517E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0575517E-7 | 0.0 | 2.4074816E-6 | 2.5050665E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5050665E-6 | 0.0 | 2.4074554E-5 | 2.5050393E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5050393E-5 | 0.0 |
Trinidad (alt1)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0167168E-5 | 3.3987628E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3987628E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2928146E-4 | 1.4565406E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.68655825 | 2.456395E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0015728653 | 0.0017720638 | 0.0012 | 0.67717654 | 0.0023710006 | 6.0E-4 | 0.0156177925 | 0.017596241 | 0.014 | 0.7956245 | 0.022999462 | 0.0055 |
6.1 | 3.0167168E-5 | 3.3987628E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3987628E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2928146E-4 | 1.4565406E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.68655825 | 2.456395E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0015728653 | 0.0017720638 | 0.0012 | 0.67717654 | 0.0023710006 | 6.0E-4 | 0.0156177925 | 0.017596241 | 0.014 | 0.7956245 | 0.022999462 | 0.0055 |
6.2 | 3.0167168E-5 | 3.3987628E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3987628E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2928146E-4 | 1.4565406E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.68655825 | 2.456395E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0015728653 | 0.0017720638 | 0.0012 | 0.67717654 | 0.0023710006 | 6.0E-4 | 0.0156177925 | 0.017596241 | 0.014 | 0.7956245 | 0.022999462 | 0.0055 |
6.3 | 3.0167168E-5 | 3.3987628E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3987628E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2928146E-4 | 1.4565406E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.68655825 | 2.456395E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0015728653 | 0.0017720638 | 0.0012 | 0.67717654 | 0.0023710006 | 6.0E-4 | 0.0156177925 | 0.017596241 | 0.014 | 0.7956245 | 0.022999462 | 0.0055 |
6.4 | 3.0167168E-5 | 3.3987628E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3987628E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2928146E-4 | 1.4565406E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.68655825 | 2.456395E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0015728653 | 0.0017720638 | 0.0012 | 0.67717654 | 0.0023710006 | 6.0E-4 | 0.0156177925 | 0.017596241 | 0.014 | 0.7956245 | 0.022999462 | 0.0055 |
6.5 | 3.0167168E-5 | 3.3987628E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3987628E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2928146E-4 | 1.4565406E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.68655825 | 2.456395E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0015728653 | 0.0017720638 | 0.0012 | 0.67717654 | 0.0023710006 | 6.0E-4 | 0.0156177925 | 0.017596241 | 0.014 | 0.7956245 | 0.022999462 | 0.0055 |
6.6 | 3.0167168E-5 | 3.3987628E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3987628E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2928146E-4 | 1.4565406E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.68655825 | 2.456395E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0015728653 | 0.0017720638 | 0.0012 | 0.67717654 | 0.0023710006 | 6.0E-4 | 0.0156177925 | 0.017596241 | 0.014 | 0.7956245 | 0.022999462 | 0.0055 |
6.7 | 3.0167168E-5 | 3.3987628E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3987628E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2928146E-4 | 1.4565406E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.68655825 | 2.456395E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0015728653 | 0.0017720638 | 0.0012 | 0.67717654 | 0.0023710006 | 6.0E-4 | 0.0156177925 | 0.017596241 | 0.014 | 0.7956245 | 0.022999462 | 0.0055 |
6.8 | 1.717077E-5 | 1.917205E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.917205E-5 | 0.0 | 7.358694E-5 | 8.21636E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.217084 | 1.8215537E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 8.9555274E-4 | 9.99927E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 0.80005836 | 0.0014994271 | 5.0E-4 | 0.008919522 | 0.009958718 | 0.0079 | 0.79327476 | 0.013027846 | 0.0031 |
6.9 | 1.717077E-5 | 1.917205E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.917205E-5 | 0.0 | 7.358694E-5 | 8.21636E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.217084 | 1.8215537E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 8.9555274E-4 | 9.99927E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 0.80005836 | 0.0014994271 | 5.0E-4 | 0.008919522 | 0.009958718 | 0.0079 | 0.79327476 | 0.013027846 | 0.0031 |
7.0 | 1.2858572E-5 | 1.4320156E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4320156E-5 | 0.0 | 5.5107E-5 | 6.137083E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.6294385 | 1.613647E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.707212E-4 | 7.4696576E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.80324966 | 0.0010467417 | 3.0E-4 | 0.006687004 | 0.0074477214 | 0.0061 | 0.81904244 | 0.009631337 | 0.0022 |
7.1 | 1.0588431E-5 | 1.1787157E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1787157E-5 | 0.0 | 4.53782E-5 | 5.0515573E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.9795877 | 1.5051052E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.5233954E-4 | 6.1488233E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.8131637 | 9.146979E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.005509687 | 0.006134653 | 0.0047 | 0.7661395 | 0.008022997 | 0.0019 |
7.2 | 8.138061E-6 | 9.056403E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.056403E-6 | 0.0 | 3.487694E-5 | 3.8812716E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.5764751 | 1.3880884E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.2454398E-4 | 4.7246713E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 1.0582746 | 7.723254E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0042373384 | 0.0047170613 | 0.0037 | 0.78438663 | 0.006209986 | 0.0015 |
7.3 | 5.787542E-6 | 6.4524816E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.4524816E-6 | 0.0 | 2.4803514E-5 | 2.7653321E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.6162024 | 1.2765055E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.0194095E-4 | 3.3664863E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.59409124 | 5.365813E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.00301531 | 0.0033634922 | 0.0023 | 0.6838131 | 0.0043601287 | 0.001 |
7.4 | 4.303563E-6 | 4.7950593E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.7950593E-6 | 0.0 | 1.844371E-5 | 2.0550204E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0550204E-5 | 0.0 | 2.2452902E-4 | 2.501897E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.39969668 | 3.5016472E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0022430231 | 0.002501014 | 0.0019 | 0.7596919 | 0.003299013 | 8.0E-4 |
7.5 | 5.6063425E-7 | 6.136845E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.136845E-7 | 0.0 | 2.402716E-6 | 2.630074E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.630074E-6 | 0.0 | 2.9252675E-5 | 3.2020696E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2020696E-5 | 0.0 | 2.9248823E-4 | 3.2016236E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.624683 | 5.200984E-4 | 2.0E-4 |
7.6 | 4.6699128E-7 | 5.120578E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.120578E-7 | 0.0 | 2.0013897E-6 | 2.1945316E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1945316E-6 | 0.0 | 2.4366647E-5 | 2.671811E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.671811E-5 | 0.0 | 2.4363975E-4 | 2.6715038E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.374321 | 3.6712366E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.7 | 2.2080937E-7 | 2.4320832E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4320832E-7 | 0.0 | 9.4632554E-7 | 1.0423211E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0423211E-6 | 0.0 | 1.15214525E-5 | 1.26901905E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.26901905E-5 | 0.0 | 1.1520855E-4 | 1.2689526E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.78805155 | 2.2688256E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.8 | 1.1438307E-8 | 1.2668568E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2668568E-8 | 0.0 | 4.9021317E-8 | 5.4293867E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.4293867E-8 | 0.0 | 5.9683435E-7 | 6.610278E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.610278E-7 | 0.0 | 5.9683275E-6 | 6.610278E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.610278E-6 | 0.0 |
South Klamath Lake West
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.174025E-5 | 2.3027618E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3027618E-5 | 0.0 | 9.3169176E-5 | 9.868643E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0133106 | 1.9867656E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0011337444 | 0.0012009108 | 0.0011 | 0.91597146 | 0.0017003103 | 5.0E-4 | 0.011279777 | 0.011950803 | 0.0124 | 1.0375872 | 0.016594635 | 0.0047 |
6.1 | 2.174025E-5 | 2.3027618E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3027618E-5 | 0.0 | 9.3169176E-5 | 9.868643E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0133106 | 1.9867656E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0011337444 | 0.0012009108 | 0.0011 | 0.91597146 | 0.0017003103 | 5.0E-4 | 0.011279777 | 0.011950803 | 0.0124 | 1.0375872 | 0.016594635 | 0.0047 |
6.2 | 9.834929E-6 | 1.03876755E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.03876755E-5 | 0.0 | 4.2149015E-5 | 4.45179E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.2462873 | 1.4451345E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.1304343E-4 | 5.418797E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 1.1072569 | 8.417171E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0051186057 | 0.0054064845 | 0.0058 | 1.0727859 | 0.00759459 | 0.0022 |
6.3 | 9.834929E-6 | 1.03876755E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.03876755E-5 | 0.0 | 4.2149015E-5 | 4.45179E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.2462873 | 1.4451345E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.1304343E-4 | 5.418797E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 1.1072569 | 8.417171E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0051186057 | 0.0054064845 | 0.0058 | 1.0727859 | 0.00759459 | 0.0022 |
6.4 | 6.066321E-6 | 6.3967505E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.3967505E-6 | 0.0 | 2.5998259E-5 | 2.7414373E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7414373E-5 | 0.0 | 3.1648282E-4 | 3.3372157E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.89895296 | 4.336882E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0031603249 | 0.0033324743 | 0.0035 | 1.0502707 | 0.0048274756 | 0.0015 |
6.5 | 6.066321E-6 | 6.3967505E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.3967505E-6 | 0.0 | 2.5998259E-5 | 2.7414373E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7414373E-5 | 0.0 | 3.1648282E-4 | 3.3372157E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.89895296 | 4.336882E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0031603249 | 0.0033324743 | 0.0035 | 1.0502707 | 0.0048274756 | 0.0015 |
6.6 | 4.2321803E-6 | 4.4587705E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.4587705E-6 | 0.0 | 1.8137789E-5 | 1.9108884E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9108884E-5 | 0.0 | 2.208052E-4 | 2.3262684E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.2896191 | 3.3260358E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0022058594 | 0.002323935 | 0.0024 | 1.032731 | 0.0035211463 | 0.0012 |
6.7 | 3.186646E-6 | 3.358394E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.358394E-6 | 0.0 | 1.3656982E-5 | 1.4393042E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4393042E-5 | 0.0 | 1.6626107E-4 | 1.7522187E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.14141 | 1.7522187E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0016613674 | 0.0017509041 | 0.002 | 1.142267 | 0.0026493284 | 9.0E-4 |
6.8 | 2.380121E-6 | 2.509467E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.509467E-6 | 0.0 | 1.0200479E-5 | 1.0754818E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0754818E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2418375E-4 | 1.309325E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.76375234 | 1.309325E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0012411437 | 0.0013085994 | 0.0013 | 0.9934286 | 0.0017080759 | 4.0E-4 |
6.9 | 8.928287E-7 | 9.4247173E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.4247173E-7 | 0.0 | 3.826403E-6 | 4.0391596E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0391596E-6 | 0.0 | 4.658546E-5 | 4.917588E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.0335174 | 4.917588E-5 | 0.0 | 4.6575698E-4 | 4.9167156E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 1.016939 | 7.915241E-4 | 3.0E-4 |
Goldstone Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.671352E-5 | 3.0331994E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0331994E-5 | 0.0 | 1.1448149E-4 | 1.2998888E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2998888E-4 | 0.0 | 0.001392921 | 0.0015816615 | 8.0E-4 | 0.5057972 | 0.0019810288 | 4.0E-4 | 0.013842222 | 0.015723487 | 0.015 | 0.9539869 | 0.020743297 | 0.0051 |
6.1 | 2.671352E-5 | 3.0331994E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0331994E-5 | 0.0 | 1.1448149E-4 | 1.2998888E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2998888E-4 | 0.0 | 0.001392921 | 0.0015816615 | 8.0E-4 | 0.5057972 | 0.0019810288 | 4.0E-4 | 0.013842222 | 0.015723487 | 0.015 | 0.9539869 | 0.020743297 | 0.0051 |
6.2 | 1.4197047E-5 | 1.6073136E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6073136E-5 | 0.0 | 6.0843064E-5 | 6.88836E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.88836E-5 | 0.0 | 7.4051257E-4 | 8.384335E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.47708017 | 0.0010382659 | 2.0E-4 | 0.007380498 | 0.008362372 | 0.0083 | 0.9925414 | 0.0108414665 | 0.0025 |
6.3 | 1.4197047E-5 | 1.6073136E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6073136E-5 | 0.0 | 6.0843064E-5 | 6.88836E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.88836E-5 | 0.0 | 7.4051257E-4 | 8.384335E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.47708017 | 0.0010382659 | 2.0E-4 | 0.007380498 | 0.008362372 | 0.0083 | 0.9925414 | 0.0108414665 | 0.0025 |
6.4 | 1.3238931E-5 | 1.4986886E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4986886E-5 | 0.0 | 5.6737044E-5 | 6.422848E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.422848E-5 | 0.0 | 6.9055456E-4 | 7.817989E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.38373038 | 8.8172074E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006884126 | 0.007800085 | 0.0074 | 0.94870764 | 0.009883705 | 0.0021 |
6.5 | 1.3238931E-5 | 1.4986886E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4986886E-5 | 0.0 | 5.6737044E-5 | 6.422848E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.422848E-5 | 0.0 | 6.9055456E-4 | 7.817989E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.38373038 | 8.8172074E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006884126 | 0.007800085 | 0.0074 | 0.94870764 | 0.009883705 | 0.0021 |
6.6 | 1.1328278E-5 | 1.2836445E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2836445E-5 | 0.0 | 4.8548856E-5 | 5.5012715E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.5012715E-5 | 0.0 | 5.90922E-4 | 6.6966936E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.44798225 | 7.696024E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0058935313 | 0.0066858768 | 0.0061 | 0.912371 | 0.008473842 | 0.0018 |
6.7 | 8.651175E-6 | 9.810019E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.810019E-6 | 0.0 | 3.707594E-5 | 4.2042768E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.2042768E-5 | 0.0 | 4.5130608E-4 | 5.1184074E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.39074653 | 6.117896E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0045039062 | 0.0051154727 | 0.0047 | 0.9187812 | 0.0066077993 | 0.0015 |
6.8 | 1.0215377E-6 | 1.1729769E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1729769E-6 | 0.0 | 4.378012E-6 | 5.027035E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.027035E-6 | 0.0 | 5.3300988E-5 | 6.120255E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.633919 | 6.120255E-5 | 0.0 | 5.3288206E-4 | 6.118681E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.81716955 | 6.118681E-4 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 7.9360774E-7 | 9.2606354E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.2606354E-7 | 0.0 | 3.4011714E-6 | 3.968838E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.968838E-6 | 0.0 | 4.1408475E-5 | 4.83196E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.0695534 | 4.83196E-5 | 0.0 | 4.140076E-4 | 4.8309792E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.82798946 | 4.8309792E-4 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 7.4382757E-7 | 8.724997E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.724997E-7 | 0.0 | 3.1878285E-6 | 3.7392795E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.7392795E-6 | 0.0 | 3.8811122E-5 | 4.5524845E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.5524845E-5 | 0.0 | 3.8804344E-4 | 4.551618E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.65910625 | 4.551618E-4 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 6.4709513E-7 | 7.689736E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.689736E-7 | 0.0 | 2.773262E-6 | 3.2955975E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2955975E-6 | 0.0 | 3.376394E-5 | 4.012322E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.012322E-5 | 0.0 | 3.375881E-4 | 4.011657E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.7478207 | 4.011657E-4 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.356704E-7 | 7.5668936E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.5668936E-7 | 0.0 | 2.7242988E-6 | 3.2429507E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2429507E-6 | 0.0 | 3.3167835E-5 | 3.948227E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.948227E-5 | 0.0 | 3.3162883E-4 | 3.9475845E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.7599584 | 3.9475845E-4 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.7695723E-7 | 6.8827575E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.8827575E-7 | 0.0 | 2.4726714E-6 | 2.9497503E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9497503E-6 | 0.0 | 3.0104358E-5 | 3.5912675E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5912675E-5 | 0.0 | 3.0100282E-4 | 3.5907442E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.8354814 | 3.5907442E-4 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.209647E-7 | 6.18126E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.18126E-7 | 0.0 | 2.232704E-6 | 2.649109E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.649109E-6 | 0.0 | 2.718283E-5 | 3.2252483E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2252483E-5 | 0.0 | 2.7179506E-4 | 3.2248354E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.93028 | 3.2248354E-4 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.512955E-7 | 5.33711E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.33711E-7 | 0.0 | 1.934122E-6 | 2.2873312E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2873312E-6 | 0.0 | 2.3547682E-5 | 2.7847955E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7847955E-5 | 0.0 | 2.3545188E-4 | 2.7844994E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.0773929 | 2.7844994E-4 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.602981E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.602981E-7 | 0.0 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.115563E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.115563E-6 | 0.0 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.3581924E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3581924E-5 | 0.0 | 1.1539775E-4 | 1.3581375E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.472605 | 1.3581375E-4 | 0.0 |
South Klamath Lake East
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.3539369E-5 | 2.5030551E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5030551E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0087911E-4 | 1.0726984E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.8644569 | 1.0726984E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0012275111 | 0.001305311 | 0.0012 | 0.9193211 | 0.0014051804 | 1.0E-4 | 0.012207527 | 0.012984774 | 0.0119 | 0.916458 | 0.017426342 | 0.0045 |
6.1 | 2.3539369E-5 | 2.5030551E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5030551E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0087911E-4 | 1.0726984E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.8644569 | 1.0726984E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0012275111 | 0.001305311 | 0.0012 | 0.9193211 | 0.0014051804 | 1.0E-4 | 0.012207527 | 0.012984774 | 0.0119 | 0.916458 | 0.017426342 | 0.0045 |
6.2 | 2.3539369E-5 | 2.5030551E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5030551E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0087911E-4 | 1.0726984E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.8644569 | 1.0726984E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0012275111 | 0.001305311 | 0.0012 | 0.9193211 | 0.0014051804 | 1.0E-4 | 0.012207527 | 0.012984774 | 0.0119 | 0.916458 | 0.017426342 | 0.0045 |
6.3 | 9.807823E-6 | 1.03895345E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.03895345E-5 | 0.0 | 4.2032847E-5 | 4.4525863E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.2458858 | 4.4525863E-5 | 0.0 | 5.1162974E-4 | 5.419759E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 1.1070603 | 6.419217E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005104534 | 0.0054073767 | 0.0065 | 1.2020617 | 0.0076949396 | 0.0023 |
6.4 | 9.807823E-6 | 1.03895345E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.03895345E-5 | 0.0 | 4.2032847E-5 | 4.4525863E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.2458858 | 4.4525863E-5 | 0.0 | 5.1162974E-4 | 5.419759E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 1.1070603 | 6.419217E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005104534 | 0.0054073767 | 0.0065 | 1.2020617 | 0.0076949396 | 0.0023 |
6.5 | 6.191981E-6 | 6.546877E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.546877E-6 | 0.0 | 2.653679E-5 | 2.8057759E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.5640764 | 2.8057759E-5 | 0.0 | 3.2303753E-4 | 3.4155246E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.8783424 | 3.4155246E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0032256835 | 0.0034105529 | 0.0041 | 1.2021511 | 0.005204414 | 0.0018 |
6.6 | 4.3693776E-6 | 4.6138316E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.6138316E-6 | 0.0 | 1.8725768E-5 | 1.977342E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.977342E-5 | 0.0 | 2.2796239E-4 | 2.4071593E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.83085483 | 2.4071593E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0022772867 | 0.0024046644 | 0.0026 | 1.081232 | 0.0039010574 | 0.0015 |
6.7 | 3.360834E-6 | 3.5491405E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5491405E-6 | 0.0 | 1.4403494E-5 | 1.5210518E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5210518E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7534842E-4 | 1.8517312E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0800704 | 1.8517312E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0017521014 | 0.0018502681 | 0.002 | 1.0809244 | 0.0028484177 | 0.001 |
6.8 | 2.57873E-6 | 2.7235558E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7235558E-6 | 0.0 | 1.1051653E-5 | 1.1672333E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1672333E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3454557E-4 | 1.42102E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.70371985 | 1.42102E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0013446413 | 0.0014201719 | 0.0014 | 0.98579615 | 0.0022190358 | 8.0E-4 |
6.9 | 9.987825E-7 | 1.0559827E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0559827E-6 | 0.0 | 4.2804895E-6 | 4.5256343E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.5256343E-6 | 0.0 | 5.211371E-5 | 5.5098528E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.8149304 | 5.5098528E-5 | 0.0 | 5.210149E-4 | 5.508808E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 1.0891649 | 8.5071556E-4 | 3.0E-4 |
Ludlow
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2407607E-5 | 2.3643477E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3643477E-5 | 0.0 | 9.602906E-5 | 1.013255E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.9738368 | 2.0131537E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0011685267 | 0.0012329839 | 6.0E-4 | 0.48662436 | 0.001532614 | 3.0E-4 | 0.011624013 | 0.012265936 | 0.0119 | 0.9701665 | 0.017402153 | 0.0052 |
6.1 | 2.2407607E-5 | 2.3643477E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3643477E-5 | 0.0 | 9.602906E-5 | 1.013255E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.9738368 | 2.0131537E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0011685267 | 0.0012329839 | 6.0E-4 | 0.48662436 | 0.001532614 | 3.0E-4 | 0.011624013 | 0.012265936 | 0.0119 | 0.9701665 | 0.017402153 | 0.0052 |
6.2 | 1.0781252E-5 | 1.13592305E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.13592305E-5 | 0.0 | 4.620455E-5 | 4.868153E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.054167 | 4.868153E-5 | 0.0 | 5.623952E-4 | 5.925405E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.6750594 | 7.92422E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.00560974 | 0.005910024 | 0.0058 | 0.9813835 | 0.008395249 | 0.0025 |
6.3 | 1.0781252E-5 | 1.13592305E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.13592305E-5 | 0.0 | 4.620455E-5 | 4.868153E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.054167 | 4.868153E-5 | 0.0 | 5.623952E-4 | 5.925405E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.6750594 | 7.92422E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.00560974 | 0.005910024 | 0.0058 | 0.9813835 | 0.008395249 | 0.0025 |
6.4 | 7.814439E-6 | 8.233069E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.233069E-6 | 0.0 | 3.3490025E-5 | 3.5284113E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.8341367 | 3.5284113E-5 | 0.0 | 4.0766477E-4 | 4.295008E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.6984853 | 6.2941486E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0040691774 | 0.004286853 | 0.0038 | 0.8864311 | 0.0059795654 | 0.0017 |
6.5 | 6.4986366E-6 | 6.8470413E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.8470413E-6 | 0.0 | 2.7851002E-5 | 2.9344137E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.4078357 | 2.9344137E-5 | 0.0 | 3.390332E-4 | 3.5720723E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.83984864 | 5.571358E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.003385164 | 0.0035664267 | 0.0031 | 0.8692174 | 0.00486179 | 0.0013 |
6.6 | 5.582177E-6 | 5.8826595E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.8826595E-6 | 0.0 | 2.3923398E-5 | 2.5211159E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.9664977 | 2.5211159E-5 | 0.0 | 2.9122844E-4 | 3.0690333E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.97750646 | 5.068419E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0029084706 | 0.0030648683 | 0.0027 | 0.8809514 | 0.0041614966 | 0.0011 |
6.7 | 4.6858763E-6 | 4.9376245E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.9376245E-6 | 0.0 | 2.0082172E-5 | 2.1161079E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.725657 | 2.1161079E-5 | 0.0 | 2.4447302E-4 | 2.5760624E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.1645681 | 4.575547E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0024420423 | 0.0025731325 | 0.0024 | 0.93271524 | 0.0034708166 | 9.0E-4 |
6.8 | 3.5584908E-6 | 3.7498878E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.7498878E-6 | 0.0 | 1.5250586E-5 | 1.6070851E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 6.2224455 | 1.6070851E-5 | 0.0 | 1.8566006E-4 | 1.9564545E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.533386 | 3.9560633E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0018550502 | 0.0019547732 | 0.0019 | 0.9719798 | 0.0025536004 | 6.0E-4 |
6.9 | 2.532834E-6 | 2.6694825E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6694825E-6 | 0.0 | 1.0854958E-5 | 1.144059E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 8.740808 | 1.144059E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3215111E-4 | 1.3928056E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 2.153926 | 3.392527E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0013207254 | 0.0013919603 | 0.0016 | 1.149458 | 0.001991125 | 6.0E-4 |
7.0 | 1.7083285E-6 | 1.8009131E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8009131E-6 | 0.0 | 7.3213873E-6 | 7.718178E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 12.956428 | 7.718178E-6 | 0.0 | 8.913424E-5 | 9.3964925E-5 | 3.0E-4 | 3.1926808 | 2.9394613E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 8.9098496E-4 | 9.392684E-4 | 0.0011 | 1.1711242 | 0.0013388927 | 4.0E-4 |
7.1 | 1.0905424E-6 | 1.1491103E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1491103E-6 | 0.0 | 4.6737446E-6 | 4.9247496E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 20.305601 | 4.9247496E-6 | 0.0 | 5.6901354E-5 | 5.9957274E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.6678543 | 5.9957274E-5 | 0.0 | 5.6886784E-4 | 5.9942075E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.1677941 | 6.993608E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.2 | 6.06668E-7 | 6.3837547E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.3837547E-7 | 0.0 | 2.600003E-6 | 2.7358924E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7358924E-6 | 0.0 | 3.1654577E-5 | 3.330905E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.330905E-5 | 0.0 | 3.1650066E-4 | 3.330474E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 1.5012877 | 4.330141E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
Coyote Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.5090034E-5 | 4.030101E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.030101E-5 | 0.0 | 1.503772E-4 | 1.7270862E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5790099 | 1.7270862E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0018293047 | 0.0021009562 | 0.0015 | 0.71396065 | 0.0024003258 | 3.0E-4 | 0.018143194 | 0.020836774 | 0.018 | 0.8638573 | 0.02573259 | 0.005 |
6.1 | 3.5090034E-5 | 4.030101E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.030101E-5 | 0.0 | 1.503772E-4 | 1.7270862E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5790099 | 1.7270862E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0018293047 | 0.0021009562 | 0.0015 | 0.71396065 | 0.0024003258 | 3.0E-4 | 0.018143194 | 0.020836774 | 0.018 | 0.8638573 | 0.02573259 | 0.005 |
6.2 | 1.841879E-5 | 2.1028296E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1028296E-5 | 0.0 | 7.8935285E-5 | 9.011873E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.011873E-5 | 0.0 | 9.606133E-4 | 0.001096745 | 7.0E-4 | 0.63825226 | 0.0012965257 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0095647145 | 0.01092338 | 0.0097 | 0.8880035 | 0.013593887 | 0.0027 |
6.3 | 1.841879E-5 | 2.1028296E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1028296E-5 | 0.0 | 7.8935285E-5 | 9.011873E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.011873E-5 | 0.0 | 9.606133E-4 | 0.001096745 | 7.0E-4 | 0.63825226 | 0.0012965257 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0095647145 | 0.01092338 | 0.0097 | 0.8880035 | 0.013593887 | 0.0027 |
6.4 | 1.712201E-5 | 1.9536092E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9536092E-5 | 0.0 | 7.337798E-5 | 8.3723986E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.3723986E-5 | 0.0 | 8.930107E-4 | 0.0010189632 | 7.0E-4 | 0.68697286 | 0.0012187593 | 2.0E-4 | 0.008894307 | 0.010152799 | 0.0091 | 0.8963046 | 0.012726401 | 0.0026 |
6.5 | 1.4744935E-5 | 1.6812055E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6812055E-5 | 0.0 | 6.3191044E-5 | 7.20502E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.20502E-5 | 0.0 | 7.6907943E-4 | 8.769513E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.7982199 | 0.001076776 | 2.0E-4 | 0.007664232 | 0.008744077 | 0.0081 | 0.9263414 | 0.011222216 | 0.0025 |
6.6 | 1.2017839E-5 | 1.3703764E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3703764E-5 | 0.0 | 5.150401E-5 | 5.872959E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.872959E-5 | 0.0 | 6.268809E-4 | 7.148865E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.6994117 | 9.147435E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0062511545 | 0.0071345353 | 0.0063 | 0.8830288 | 0.009219552 | 0.0021 |
6.7 | 1.00956095E-5 | 1.1516381E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1516381E-5 | 0.0 | 4.326618E-5 | 4.9355476E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.9355476E-5 | 0.0 | 5.266384E-4 | 6.0082396E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.6657524 | 8.0070377E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.005253921 | 0.006000497 | 0.0054 | 0.8999255 | 0.007789696 | 0.0018 |
Tank Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.8284557E-5 | 5.7840167E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.7840167E-5 | 0.0 | 2.0691741E-4 | 2.4786626E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.80688673 | 2.4786626E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0025163088 | 0.0030142586 | 0.002 | 0.66351306 | 0.0033133544 | 3.0E-4 | 0.02488006 | 0.029800545 | 0.0208 | 0.6979738 | 0.034166444 | 0.0045 |
6.1 | 1.7796336E-5 | 2.083262E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.083262E-5 | 0.0 | 7.626778E-5 | 8.927982E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.2401478 | 8.927982E-5 | 0.0 | 9.281647E-4 | 0.0010864778 | 0.0012 | 1.1044865 | 0.0011863691 | 1.0E-4 | 0.009242975 | 0.010815719 | 0.0088 | 0.8136306 | 0.012497333 | 0.0017 |
6.2 | 1.7796336E-5 | 2.083262E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.083262E-5 | 0.0 | 7.626778E-5 | 8.927982E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.2401478 | 8.927982E-5 | 0.0 | 9.281647E-4 | 0.0010864778 | 0.0012 | 1.1044865 | 0.0011863691 | 1.0E-4 | 0.009242975 | 0.010815719 | 0.0088 | 0.8136306 | 0.012497333 | 0.0017 |
6.3 | 1.3515912E-5 | 1.5729276E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5729276E-5 | 0.0 | 5.792405E-5 | 6.740957E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.740957E-5 | 0.0 | 7.049971E-4 | 8.2042604E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.8532152 | 9.2034397E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.007027647 | 0.008176551 | 0.0059 | 0.72157556 | 0.009168375 | 0.001 |
6.4 | 1.0870146E-5 | 1.2593871E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2593871E-5 | 0.0 | 4.658551E-5 | 5.397272E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.397272E-5 | 0.0 | 5.67031E-4 | 6.569374E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.913329 | 7.568717E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005655863 | 0.0065519316 | 0.0052 | 0.7936591 | 0.007247345 | 7.0E-4 |
6.5 | 7.964826E-6 | 9.178247E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.178247E-6 | 0.0 | 3.4134522E-5 | 3.933481E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.933481E-5 | 0.0 | 4.1550855E-4 | 4.788066E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 1.0442629 | 5.787587E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0041473247 | 0.0047790254 | 0.0037 | 0.7742164 | 0.005276636 | 5.0E-4 |
6.6 | 6.6317E-6 | 7.5974126E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.5974126E-6 | 0.0 | 2.8421264E-5 | 3.2559987E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2559987E-5 | 0.0 | 3.4597394E-4 | 3.9635476E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.7568977 | 4.9631513E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0034543579 | 0.0039576045 | 0.0028 | 0.7074987 | 0.0043560215 | 4.0E-4 |
6.7 | 4.793663E-6 | 5.4198917E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.4198917E-6 | 0.0 | 2.0544108E-5 | 2.3227925E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3227925E-5 | 0.0 | 2.500958E-4 | 2.8276767E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.35364723 | 2.8276767E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0024981452 | 0.0028247444 | 0.0018 | 0.6372258 | 0.0030241795 | 2.0E-4 |
6.8 | 4.382823E-6 | 4.959133E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.959133E-6 | 0.0 | 1.8783392E-5 | 2.125328E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.125328E-5 | 0.0 | 2.286638E-4 | 2.587322E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.3865 | 2.587322E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0022842865 | 0.002584962 | 0.0017 | 0.65764993 | 0.002784445 | 2.0E-4 |
6.9 | 2.729601E-6 | 3.0660856E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0660856E-6 | 0.0 | 1.1698237E-5 | 1.3140308E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3140308E-5 | 0.0 | 1.4241673E-4 | 1.5997273E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.6251066 | 1.5997273E-4 | 0.0 | 0.001423255 | 0.0015988793 | 8.0E-4 | 0.5003505 | 0.0016987195 | 1.0E-4 |
7.0 | 1.8987357E-6 | 2.1211877E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1211877E-6 | 0.0 | 8.137413E-6 | 9.090776E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.090776E-6 | 0.0 | 9.90685E-5 | 1.10675275E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.9035441 | 1.10675275E-4 | 0.0 | 9.902435E-4 | 0.0011062701 | 6.0E-4 | 0.542363 | 0.0012061595 | 1.0E-4 |
7.1 | 1.4928986E-6 | 1.6591971E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6591971E-6 | 0.0 | 6.398121E-6 | 7.110829E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.110829E-6 | 0.0 | 7.789434E-5 | 8.657149E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1551147 | 8.657149E-5 | 0.0 | 7.786704E-4 | 8.654354E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.4621951 | 9.6534885E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.2 | 1.069082E-6 | 1.179496E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.179496E-6 | 0.0 | 4.581772E-6 | 5.0549766E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0549766E-6 | 0.0 | 5.5781646E-5 | 6.1543135E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.6248766 | 6.1543135E-5 | 0.0 | 5.576765E-4 | 6.1531307E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.3250378 | 7.1525155E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.3 | 8.776551E-7 | 9.750752E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.750752E-7 | 0.0 | 3.7613736E-6 | 4.17889E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.17889E-6 | 0.0 | 4.579376E-5 | 5.0877316E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.9655125 | 5.0877316E-5 | 0.0 | 4.5784327E-4 | 5.087076E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.39315313 | 6.0865673E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.4 | 7.55721E-7 | 8.493275E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.493275E-7 | 0.0 | 3.2388E-6 | 3.6399726E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.6399726E-6 | 0.0 | 3.9431678E-5 | 4.4316283E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.256507 | 4.4316283E-5 | 0.0 | 3.942468E-4 | 4.4312523E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.45133966 | 5.430809E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.5 | 5.587665E-7 | 6.303491E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.303491E-7 | 0.0 | 2.3947114E-6 | 2.7014962E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7014962E-6 | 0.0 | 2.915522E-5 | 3.289072E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.0403714 | 3.289072E-5 | 0.0 | 2.9151395E-4 | 3.2890716E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.6080743 | 4.2887428E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
Sargent 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.7327867E-5 | 3.651451E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.651451E-5 | 0.0 | 1.5996677E-4 | 1.5648414E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.6390424 | 2.5646848E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0019458556 | 0.0019039542 | 0.0013 | 0.68278956 | 0.0025028118 | 6.0E-4 | 0.01928905 | 0.018946584 | 0.0164 | 0.86559135 | 0.024048062 | 0.0052 |
6.1 | 2.3771476E-5 | 1.8403885E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8403885E-5 | 0.0 | 1.01873775E-4 | 7.8871904E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2678787 | 1.7886401E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0012396075 | 9.599245E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.5208743 | 0.0012596365 | 3.0E-4 | 0.012327154 | 0.009595184 | 0.0074 | 0.77122027 | 0.011972155 | 0.0024 |
6.2 | 2.3112721E-5 | 1.7636581E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7636581E-5 | 0.0 | 9.9050754E-5 | 7.558365E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.3230375 | 1.7557609E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0012052758 | 9.19924E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.43481854 | 0.0011197401 | 2.0E-4 | 0.011987597 | 0.009198511 | 0.0069 | 0.7501214 | 0.011378274 | 0.0022 |
6.3 | 1.728509E-5 | 1.0403356E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0403356E-5 | 0.0 | 7.407686E-5 | 4.4585315E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.4585315E-5 | 0.0 | 9.015125E-4 | 5.4273725E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.18425123 | 5.4273725E-4 | 0.0 | 0.008978641 | 0.005448196 | 0.0045 | 0.8259614 | 0.0067411135 | 0.0013 |
6.4 | 1.48395575E-5 | 7.4075137E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.4075137E-6 | 0.0 | 6.3596555E-5 | 3.1746313E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1746313E-5 | 0.0 | 7.7401294E-4 | 3.8648045E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.8648045E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0077132257 | 0.0038913693 | 0.003 | 0.77093685 | 0.004987089 | 0.0011 |
6.5 | 1.4358964E-5 | 6.8472837E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.8472837E-6 | 0.0 | 6.1536964E-5 | 2.9345385E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9345385E-5 | 0.0 | 7.48955E-4 | 3.5725898E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5725898E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0074643586 | 0.003600127 | 0.0029 | 0.80552715 | 0.0045965267 | 0.001 |
6.6 | 9.772591E-6 | 1.3378667E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3378667E-6 | 0.0 | 4.188186E-5 | 5.733702E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.733702E-6 | 0.0 | 5.097923E-4 | 6.980561E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.980561E-5 | 0.0 | 0.005086244 | 7.27548E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.6872399 | 0.0010273297 | 3.0E-4 |
6.7 | 9.752745E-6 | 1.3165744E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3165744E-6 | 0.0 | 4.179681E-5 | 5.6424497E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.6424497E-6 | 0.0 | 5.0875737E-4 | 6.869469E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.869469E-5 | 0.0 | 0.005075942 | 7.1644597E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.6978893 | 0.001016231 | 3.0E-4 |
6.8 | 9.608213E-6 | 1.2010591E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2010591E-6 | 0.0 | 4.1177405E-5 | 5.147386E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.147386E-6 | 0.0 | 5.012196E-4 | 6.266765E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.266765E-5 | 0.0 | 0.005000906 | 6.559142E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.7622948 | 9.5571746E-4 | 3.0E-4 |
6.9 | 9.427164E-6 | 1.0874114E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0874114E-6 | 0.0 | 4.04015E-5 | 4.6603263E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.6603263E-6 | 0.0 | 4.9177726E-4 | 5.6738016E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.6738016E-5 | 0.0 | 0.004906904 | 5.959632E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.838978 | 8.957844E-4 | 3.0E-4 |
7.0 | 9.247601E-6 | 9.549095E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.549095E-7 | 0.0 | 3.9631974E-5 | 4.0924633E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0924633E-6 | 0.0 | 4.8241246E-4 | 4.9824615E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.9824615E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0048136655 | 5.2636495E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.9499113 | 8.2620705E-4 | 3.0E-4 |
7.1 | 8.995454E-6 | 7.9654967E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.9654967E-7 | 0.0 | 3.8551374E-5 | 3.41378E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.41378E-6 | 0.0 | 4.6926187E-4 | 4.156199E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.156199E-5 | 0.0 | 0.004682722 | 4.4285922E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 1.1290269 | 7.427264E-4 | 3.0E-4 |
7.2 | 8.520861E-6 | 5.009059E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.009059E-7 | 0.0 | 3.6517464E-5 | 2.1467379E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1467379E-6 | 0.0 | 4.445094E-4 | 2.6136227E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6136227E-5 | 0.0 | 0.004436213 | 2.8692777E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.69703954 | 4.8687038E-4 | 2.0E-4 |
7.3 | 8.043592E-6 | 3.2212097E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2212097E-7 | 0.0 | 3.4472083E-5 | 1.3805177E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3805177E-6 | 0.0 | 4.196168E-4 | 1.6807675E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6807675E-5 | 0.0 | 0.004188253 | 1.9238579E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.51978886 | 2.9236655E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.4 | 7.662316E-6 | 2.713081E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.713081E-7 | 0.0 | 3.2838085E-5 | 1.1627485E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1627485E-6 | 0.0 | 3.9973034E-4 | 1.4156371E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4156371E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0039901207 | 1.6415649E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.6091748 | 2.6414008E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.5 | 6.961638E-6 | 2.1747023E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1747023E-7 | 0.0 | 2.9835252E-5 | 9.320149E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.320149E-7 | 0.0 | 3.6318362E-4 | 1.1347223E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1347223E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0036259065 | 1.3282755E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3282755E-4 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.282332E-6 | 1.546953E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.546953E-7 | 0.0 | 2.6924003E-5 | 6.629797E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.629797E-7 | 0.0 | 3.2775043E-4 | 8.071748E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.071748E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0032726745 | 9.6151045E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.6151045E-5 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.934408E-6 | 4.5195517E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.5195517E-8 | 0.0 | 2.114729E-5 | 1.9369506E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9369506E-7 | 0.0 | 2.5743784E-4 | 2.3582347E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3582347E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0025713982 | 2.9234143E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9234143E-5 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.373212E-6 | 3.1301674E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1301674E-8 | 0.0 | 1.0170869E-5 | 1.3415003E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3415003E-7 | 0.0 | 1.238233E-4 | 1.6332752E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6332752E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0012375432 | 2.1434753E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1434753E-5 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.8227792E-6 | 2.7169365E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7169365E-8 | 0.0 | 7.811887E-6 | 1.16440134E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.16440134E-7 | 0.0 | 9.510558E-5 | 1.4176577E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4176577E-6 | 0.0 | 9.5064886E-4 | 1.900042E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.900042E-5 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.9095137E-7 | 1.2203386E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2203386E-8 | 0.0 | 8.1836276E-7 | 5.2300226E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.2300226E-8 | 0.0 | 9.963521E-6 | 6.367551E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.367551E-7 | 0.0 | 9.963074E-5 | 7.807775E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.807775E-6 | 0.0 |
Garlock (Central)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.5131142E-5 | 6.972457E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.972457E-5 | 0.0 | 2.3625491E-4 | 2.9878572E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9878572E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0028726095 | 0.0036317124 | 0.0016 | 0.44056353 | 0.0036317124 | 0.0 | 0.028357591 | 0.035786107 | 0.0228 | 0.63711876 | 0.0407036 | 0.0051 |
6.1 | 5.5131142E-5 | 6.972457E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.972457E-5 | 0.0 | 2.3625491E-4 | 2.9878572E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9878572E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0028726095 | 0.0036317124 | 0.0016 | 0.44056353 | 0.0036317124 | 0.0 | 0.028357591 | 0.035786107 | 0.0228 | 0.63711876 | 0.0407036 | 0.0051 |
6.2 | 4.216245E-5 | 5.118433E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.118433E-5 | 0.0 | 1.806837E-4 | 2.1934314E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1934314E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0021976046 | 0.0026672634 | 0.0012 | 0.44989932 | 0.0026672634 | 0.0 | 0.021759989 | 0.026443232 | 0.0164 | 0.62019646 | 0.029850682 | 0.0035 |
6.3 | 4.216245E-5 | 5.118433E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.118433E-5 | 0.0 | 1.806837E-4 | 2.1934314E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1934314E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0021976046 | 0.0026672634 | 0.0012 | 0.44989932 | 0.0026672634 | 0.0 | 0.021759989 | 0.026443232 | 0.0164 | 0.62019646 | 0.029850682 | 0.0035 |
6.4 | 3.6858168E-5 | 4.365805E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.365805E-5 | 0.0 | 1.5795401E-4 | 1.8709265E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8709265E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0019213937 | 0.0022754984 | 0.001 | 0.43946418 | 0.0022754984 | 0.0 | 0.019048655 | 0.02262665 | 0.0137 | 0.60548073 | 0.025558768 | 0.003 |
6.5 | 3.39199E-5 | 3.9581115E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.9581115E-5 | 0.0 | 1.453629E-4 | 1.6962244E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6962244E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0017683565 | 0.0020632187 | 0.001 | 0.4846796 | 0.0020632187 | 0.0 | 0.017543508 | 0.020543262 | 0.0129 | 0.6279431 | 0.023383688 | 0.0029 |
6.6 | 3.3571985E-5 | 3.903634E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.903634E-5 | 0.0 | 1.4387199E-4 | 1.6728799E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6728799E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0017502342 | 0.0020348502 | 0.001 | 0.49143666 | 0.0020348502 | 0.0 | 0.017365133 | 0.020267662 | 0.0123 | 0.6068781 | 0.023010913 | 0.0028 |
6.7 | 3.2580007E-5 | 3.7657028E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.7657028E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3962112E-4 | 1.613774E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.613774E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0016985617 | 0.0019630205 | 0.001 | 0.509419 | 0.0019630205 | 0.0 | 0.016856372 | 0.019555299 | 0.0118 | 0.60341704 | 0.022104455 | 0.0026 |
6.8 | 3.2185937E-5 | 3.708589E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.708589E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3793244E-4 | 1.5892998E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5892998E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0016780337 | 0.0019332764 | 0.001 | 0.5172566 | 0.0019332764 | 0.0 | 0.016654192 | 0.019262735 | 0.0117 | 0.6073904 | 0.021812651 | 0.0026 |
6.9 | 3.165394E-5 | 3.629276E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.629276E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3565269E-4 | 1.5553125E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5553125E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0016503202 | 0.0018919695 | 8.0E-4 | 0.4228398 | 0.0018919695 | 0.0 | 0.01638118 | 0.018856093 | 0.0115 | 0.6098825 | 0.021407068 | 0.0026 |
7.0 | 3.0903822E-5 | 3.5201345E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5201345E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3243823E-4 | 1.508543E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.508543E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0016112428 | 0.0018351249 | 8.0E-4 | 0.4359376 | 0.0018351249 | 0.0 | 0.015996104 | 0.018295098 | 0.0111 | 0.6067199 | 0.020847531 | 0.0026 |
7.1 | 3.0069863E-5 | 3.3973374E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3973374E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2886449E-4 | 1.4559216E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4559216E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0015677959 | 0.0017711642 | 8.0E-4 | 0.4516803 | 0.0017711642 | 0.0 | 0.01556781 | 0.017665599 | 0.011 | 0.6226792 | 0.020219669 | 0.0026 |
7.2 | 2.7957109E-5 | 3.0872176E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0872176E-5 | 0.0 | 1.1981068E-4 | 1.3230272E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3230272E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0014577188 | 0.0016096147 | 5.0E-4 | 0.31063333 | 0.0016096147 | 0.0 | 0.014481937 | 0.016073726 | 0.0094 | 0.58480525 | 0.018336758 | 0.0023 |
7.3 | 2.4519275E-5 | 2.632938E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.632938E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0507837E-4 | 1.128354E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.128354E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0012785783 | 0.0013729198 | 5.0E-4 | 0.36418733 | 0.0013729198 | 0.0 | 0.012712469 | 0.013729924 | 0.0083 | 0.604519 | 0.01580109 | 0.0021 |
7.4 | 2.3225532E-5 | 2.4826628E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4826628E-5 | 0.0 | 9.95342E-5 | 1.0639558E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0639558E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0012111551 | 0.0012946107 | 5.0E-4 | 0.3862165 | 0.0012946107 | 0.0 | 0.012045753 | 0.012953843 | 0.0076 | 0.5866985 | 0.014730526 | 0.0018 |
7.5 | 2.097765E-5 | 2.2129163E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2129163E-5 | 0.0 | 8.9901114E-5 | 9.483589E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.483589E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010939965 | 0.0011540271 | 5.0E-4 | 0.43326542 | 0.0011540271 | 0.0 | 0.010886264 | 0.011557779 | 0.0066 | 0.57104397 | 0.013139287 | 0.0016 |
7.6 | 1.511254E-5 | 1.5671667E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5671667E-5 | 0.0 | 6.476642E-5 | 6.7162604E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.7162604E-5 | 0.0 | 7.882459E-4 | 8.174057E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.12233827 | 8.174057E-4 | 0.0 | 0.007854558 | 0.008218579 | 0.0042 | 0.51103723 | 0.00921036 | 0.001 |
7.7 | 9.934069E-6 | 1.0383669E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0383669E-5 | 0.0 | 4.2573887E-5 | 4.4500684E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.4500684E-5 | 0.0 | 5.182138E-4 | 5.416615E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.18461715 | 5.416615E-4 | 0.0 | 0.00517007 | 0.0054743094 | 0.0021 | 0.38361 | 0.006071025 | 6.0E-4 |
7.8 | 6.7562896E-6 | 8.187173E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.187173E-6 | 0.0 | 2.8955206E-5 | 3.5087414E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5087414E-5 | 0.0 | 3.5247262E-4 | 4.2710567E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.2341341 | 4.2710567E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0035191406 | 0.004321299 | 0.0018 | 0.4165414 | 0.0047195707 | 4.0E-4 |
7.9 | 3.975453E-6 | 5.2223595E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.2223595E-6 | 0.0 | 1.7037546E-5 | 2.238135E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.238135E-5 | 0.0 | 2.0741238E-4 | 2.7245894E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7245894E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002072189 | 0.002756357 | 9.0E-4 | 0.32651794 | 0.0028560814 | 1.0E-4 |
8.0 | 1.6729537E-6 | 2.0246855E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0246855E-6 | 0.0 | 7.169782E-6 | 8.677195E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.677195E-6 | 0.0 | 8.7288594E-5 | 1.0563977E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0563977E-4 | 0.0 | 8.7254314E-4 | 0.0010694105 | 1.0E-4 | 0.093509465 | 0.0010694105 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 3.0569248E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0569248E-7 | 0.0 | 1.5742813E-6 | 1.3101101E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3101101E-6 | 0.0 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.5950489E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5950489E-5 | 0.0 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.615787E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.615787E-4 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 07 (Orestimba)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.9687902E-5 | 3.272214E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.272214E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2722766E-4 | 1.402306E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.7131111 | 2.4021657E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0015478961 | 0.0017060422 | 0.0015 | 0.87922794 | 0.0022051893 | 5.0E-4 | 0.015371585 | 0.016936978 | 0.0168 | 0.9919124 | 0.021852294 | 0.005 |
6.1 | 2.9687902E-5 | 3.272214E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.272214E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2722766E-4 | 1.402306E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.7131111 | 2.4021657E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0015478961 | 0.0017060422 | 0.0011 | 0.64476717 | 0.0020055305 | 3.0E-4 | 0.015371585 | 0.016936978 | 0.0139 | 0.82068944 | 0.020574313 | 0.0037 |
6.2 | 1.9231524E-5 | 2.113703E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.113703E-5 | 0.0 | 8.2418206E-5 | 9.058425E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.058425E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010029797 | 0.0011023284 | 4.0E-4 | 0.36286828 | 0.0011023284 | 0.0 | 0.00998465 | 0.010971011 | 0.0084 | 0.76565415 | 0.012949069 | 0.002 |
6.3 | 1.324766E-5 | 1.4533626E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4533626E-5 | 0.0 | 5.6774446E-5 | 6.228553E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.228553E-5 | 0.0 | 6.910097E-4 | 7.5807166E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.2638273 | 7.5807166E-4 | 0.0 | 0.006888649 | 0.0075558014 | 0.0057 | 0.7543872 | 0.008945224 | 0.0014 |
6.4 | 7.818645E-6 | 8.564213E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.564213E-6 | 0.0 | 3.3508048E-5 | 3.6703274E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.6703274E-5 | 0.0 | 4.078841E-4 | 4.4677407E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.44765356 | 4.4677407E-4 | 0.0 | 0.004071363 | 0.0044590984 | 0.0026 | 0.58307755 | 0.0050564227 | 6.0E-4 |
6.5 | 5.3076565E-6 | 5.8119676E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.8119676E-6 | 0.0 | 2.27469E-5 | 2.4908206E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4908206E-5 | 0.0 | 2.7690834E-4 | 3.0321733E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0321733E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0027656353 | 0.003028245 | 0.0021 | 0.693471 | 0.0035267307 | 5.0E-4 |
6.6 | 3.6003578E-6 | 3.9445126E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.9445126E-6 | 0.0 | 1.5430012E-5 | 1.6904953E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6904953E-5 | 0.0 | 1.8784421E-4 | 2.0579992E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0579992E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0018768552 | 0.002056247 | 0.0016 | 0.7781166 | 0.002255836 | 2.0E-4 |
6.7 | 2.5361826E-6 | 2.7806368E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7806368E-6 | 0.0 | 1.0869308E-5 | 1.1916968E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1916968E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3232579E-4 | 1.4508075E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4508075E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0013224703 | 0.00144999 | 0.001 | 0.68965995 | 0.001549845 | 1.0E-4 |
6.8 | 1.2115831E-6 | 1.3300066E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3300066E-6 | 0.0 | 5.1924885E-6 | 5.7000216E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.7000216E-6 | 0.0 | 6.3216714E-5 | 6.939652E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.939652E-5 | 0.0 | 6.3198735E-4 | 6.938434E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.43237424 | 6.938434E-4 | 0.0 |
Bennett Valley 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.3893934E-5 | 2.8179129E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8179129E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0239855E-4 | 1.2076314E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2076314E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0012459893 | 0.001469484 | 0.0014 | 0.95271546 | 0.001968749 | 5.0E-4 | 0.012390262 | 0.014620208 | 0.0139 | 0.95073885 | 0.019448569 | 0.0049 |
6.1 | 2.3893934E-5 | 2.8179129E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8179129E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0239855E-4 | 1.2076314E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2076314E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0012459893 | 0.001469484 | 0.0014 | 0.95271546 | 0.001968749 | 5.0E-4 | 0.012390262 | 0.014620208 | 0.013 | 0.8891802 | 0.019152956 | 0.0046 |
6.2 | 1.6657146E-5 | 1.9807883E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9807883E-5 | 0.0 | 7.138582E-5 | 8.488896E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.488896E-5 | 0.0 | 8.6877577E-4 | 0.001033174 | 0.001 | 0.96789116 | 0.0012329674 | 2.0E-4 | 0.008653872 | 0.010301877 | 0.0088 | 0.8542133 | 0.013172002 | 0.0029 |
6.3 | 1.6657146E-5 | 1.9807883E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9807883E-5 | 0.0 | 7.138582E-5 | 8.488896E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.488896E-5 | 0.0 | 8.6877577E-4 | 0.001033174 | 0.001 | 0.96789116 | 0.0012329674 | 2.0E-4 | 0.008653872 | 0.010301877 | 0.0088 | 0.8542133 | 0.013172002 | 0.0029 |
6.4 | 1.29418495E-5 | 1.5528469E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5528469E-5 | 0.0 | 5.546389E-5 | 6.654962E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.654962E-5 | 0.0 | 6.7506364E-4 | 8.100702E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 0.98756874 | 0.0010099082 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0067301663 | 0.008088221 | 0.0077 | 0.95200175 | 0.010567999 | 0.0025 |
6.5 | 1.2582504E-5 | 1.5096242E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5096242E-5 | 0.0 | 5.39239E-5 | 6.4697306E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.4697306E-5 | 0.0 | 6.563257E-4 | 7.875348E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 1.0158281 | 9.873773E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.006543907 | 0.007864505 | 0.0073 | 0.9282211 | 0.010146417 | 0.0023 |
6.6 | 1.0846706E-5 | 1.3002023E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3002023E-5 | 0.0 | 4.6485053E-5 | 5.5722485E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.5722485E-5 | 0.0 | 5.6580856E-4 | 6.78338E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.8845148 | 7.782701E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005643701 | 0.006779612 | 0.0064 | 0.9440068 | 0.008766052 | 0.002 |
6.7 | 1.6803231E-6 | 2.360248E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.360248E-6 | 0.0 | 7.2013645E-6 | 1.0115309E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0115309E-5 | 0.0 | 8.7673085E-5 | 1.2314707E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2314707E-4 | 0.0 | 8.76385E-4 | 0.0012353868 | 2.0E-4 | 0.16189261 | 0.0013352633 | 1.0E-4 |
6.8 | 1.4609833E-6 | 2.0768407E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0768407E-6 | 0.0 | 6.261342E-6 | 8.900716E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.900716E-6 | 0.0 | 7.6229175E-5 | 1.083609E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.083609E-4 | 0.0 | 7.620303E-4 | 0.0010876227 | 2.0E-4 | 0.18388729 | 0.0011875139 | 1.0E-4 |
6.9 | 1.3492396E-6 | 1.9291392E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9291392E-6 | 0.0 | 5.7824427E-6 | 8.267714E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.267714E-6 | 0.0 | 7.0398964E-5 | 1.0065483E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0065483E-4 | 0.0 | 7.037667E-4 | 0.0010106054 | 2.0E-4 | 0.19790117 | 0.0011105044 | 1.0E-4 |
7.0 | 1.2347921E-6 | 1.7734027E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7734027E-6 | 0.0 | 5.291955E-6 | 7.6002752E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.6002752E-6 | 0.0 | 6.442765E-5 | 9.252947E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.252947E-5 | 0.0 | 6.440897E-4 | 9.293887E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.107597604 | 0.0010292957 | 1.0E-4 |
7.1 | 1.1262973E-6 | 1.6207623E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6207623E-6 | 0.0 | 4.8269794E-6 | 6.9461057E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.9461057E-6 | 0.0 | 5.876689E-5 | 8.456561E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.456561E-5 | 0.0 | 5.875135E-4 | 8.4978825E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.11767637 | 9.497033E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.2 | 9.351744E-7 | 1.3464277E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3464277E-6 | 0.0 | 4.007884E-6 | 5.770392E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.770392E-6 | 0.0 | 4.8794896E-5 | 7.0252274E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0252274E-5 | 0.0 | 4.878418E-4 | 7.0671E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.14150076 | 8.066393E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.3 | 8.5039534E-7 | 1.2247554E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2247554E-6 | 0.0 | 3.6445463E-6 | 5.248941E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.248941E-6 | 0.0 | 4.437145E-5 | 6.3904E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.3904E-5 | 0.0 | 4.436259E-4 | 6.429697E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.15552832 | 7.4290537E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.4 | 6.7875015E-7 | 9.49036E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.49036E-7 | 0.0 | 2.908926E-6 | 4.067291E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.067291E-6 | 0.0 | 3.54156E-5 | 4.9518152E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.9518152E-5 | 0.0 | 3.5409955E-4 | 4.9843313E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.20062873 | 5.9838325E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.5 | 5.826867E-7 | 8.0970125E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0970125E-7 | 0.0 | 2.4972264E-6 | 3.4701436E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.4701436E-6 | 0.0 | 3.0403306E-5 | 4.224819E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.224819E-5 | 0.0 | 3.0399146E-4 | 4.253213E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.23511636 | 5.252788E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.6 | 2.7734902E-7 | 3.6489635E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.6489635E-7 | 0.0 | 1.1886381E-6 | 1.5638406E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5638406E-6 | 0.0 | 1.4471572E-5 | 1.9039593E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9039593E-5 | 0.0 | 1.447063E-4 | 1.9137803E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.522526 | 2.9135888E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.7 | 1.0530888E-7 | 1.3556676E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3556676E-7 | 0.0 | 4.513237E-7 | 5.810003E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.810003E-7 | 0.0 | 5.4948523E-6 | 7.0736555E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0736555E-6 | 0.0 | 5.4947162E-5 | 7.1564835E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.3973343 | 1.7155768E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.8 | 1.2714258E-8 | 1.9016808E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9016808E-8 | 0.0 | 5.448968E-8 | 8.15006E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.15006E-8 | 0.0 | 6.6341164E-7 | 9.922693E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.922693E-7 | 0.0 | 6.6340967E-6 | 1.03479015E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.03479015E-5 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 4.075888E-9 | 7.228229E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.228229E-9 | 0.0 | 1.7468091E-8 | 3.097812E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.097812E-8 | 0.0 | 2.12674E-7 | 3.7715856E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.7715856E-7 | 0.0 | 2.1267379E-6 | 4.0287814E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0287814E-6 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.9126138E-9 | 3.826022E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.826022E-9 | 0.0 | 8.196917E-9 | 1.6397236E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6397236E-8 | 0.0 | 9.9797454E-8 | 1.9963633E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9963633E-7 | 0.0 | 9.979741E-7 | 2.11456E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.11456E-6 | 0.0 |
White Mountains
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.503579E-5 | 3.375359E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.375359E-5 | 0.0 | 1.5014476E-4 | 1.4465091E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4465091E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0018264796 | 0.0017598227 | 9.0E-4 | 0.5114152 | 0.0021591187 | 4.0E-4 | 0.018115403 | 0.017471178 | 0.0121 | 0.69256926 | 0.02199081 | 0.0046 |
6.1 | 3.503579E-5 | 3.375359E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.375359E-5 | 0.0 | 1.5014476E-4 | 1.4465091E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4465091E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0018264796 | 0.0017598227 | 9.0E-4 | 0.5114152 | 0.0021591187 | 4.0E-4 | 0.018115403 | 0.017471178 | 0.0121 | 0.69256926 | 0.02199081 | 0.0046 |
6.2 | 3.503579E-5 | 3.375359E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.375359E-5 | 0.0 | 1.5014476E-4 | 1.4465091E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4465091E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0018264796 | 0.0017598227 | 9.0E-4 | 0.5114152 | 0.0021591187 | 4.0E-4 | 0.018115403 | 0.017471178 | 0.0121 | 0.69256926 | 0.02199081 | 0.0046 |
6.3 | 1.7818425E-5 | 1.5902306E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5902306E-5 | 0.0 | 7.636245E-5 | 6.8151036E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.8151036E-5 | 0.0 | 9.293162E-4 | 8.294372E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.36169103 | 9.293543E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.009254395 | 0.00826487 | 0.0045 | 0.5444731 | 0.009752474 | 0.0015 |
6.4 | 1.7818425E-5 | 1.5902306E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5902306E-5 | 0.0 | 7.636245E-5 | 6.8151036E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.8151036E-5 | 0.0 | 9.293162E-4 | 8.294372E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.36169103 | 9.293543E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.009254395 | 0.00826487 | 0.0045 | 0.5444731 | 0.009752474 | 0.0015 |
6.5 | 1.3397557E-5 | 1.1326395E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1326395E-5 | 0.0 | 5.741684E-5 | 4.8540827E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.8540827E-5 | 0.0 | 6.988258E-4 | 5.908313E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.3385061 | 5.908313E-4 | 0.0 | 0.006966323 | 0.005893309 | 0.003 | 0.50905186 | 0.0066885944 | 8.0E-4 |
6.6 | 1.0818695E-5 | 8.617659E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.617659E-6 | 0.0 | 4.6365014E-5 | 3.6932324E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.6932324E-5 | 0.0 | 5.6434784E-4 | 4.4956262E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.44487685 | 4.4956262E-4 | 0.0 | 0.005629168 | 0.0044869673 | 0.0019 | 0.42344856 | 0.0050842753 | 6.0E-4 |
6.7 | 9.067908E-6 | 6.7961637E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.7961637E-6 | 0.0 | 3.8861883E-5 | 2.9126108E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9126108E-5 | 0.0 | 4.7304068E-4 | 3.5455584E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.282043 | 3.5455584E-4 | 0.0 | 0.00472035 | 0.0035402183 | 0.0018 | 0.5084432 | 0.0041380944 | 6.0E-4 |
6.8 | 7.295947E-6 | 4.9315304E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.9315304E-6 | 0.0 | 3.126797E-5 | 2.1134965E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1134965E-5 | 0.0 | 3.8062103E-4 | 2.5728895E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.38866806 | 2.5728895E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0037996976 | 0.0025700235 | 0.0013 | 0.50583196 | 0.0028692526 | 3.0E-4 |
6.9 | 6.2243444E-6 | 3.8280837E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.8280837E-6 | 0.0 | 2.6675489E-5 | 1.6405973E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6405973E-5 | 0.0 | 3.2472567E-4 | 1.9972493E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5006886 | 1.9972493E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0032425157 | 0.001995507 | 9.0E-4 | 0.4510132 | 0.0020953075 | 1.0E-4 |
7.0 | 4.9878413E-6 | 2.6758087E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6758087E-6 | 0.0 | 2.1376287E-5 | 1.1467702E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1467702E-5 | 0.0 | 2.602252E-4 | 1.396106E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.716278 | 1.396106E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002599207 | 0.0013952551 | 6.0E-4 | 0.4300289 | 0.0014951156 | 1.0E-4 |
7.1 | 4.0252844E-6 | 1.8825854E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8825854E-6 | 0.0 | 1.7251105E-5 | 8.068199E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.068199E-6 | 0.0 | 2.1001195E-4 | 9.8226024E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.8226024E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0020981359 | 9.818389E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.30554911 | 0.0010817407 | 1.0E-4 |
7.2 | 3.3284066E-6 | 1.2795153E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2795153E-6 | 0.0 | 1.4264522E-5 | 5.4836264E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.4836264E-6 | 0.0 | 1.736567E-4 | 6.6761204E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.6761204E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0017352107 | 6.6742155E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.44949102 | 7.6735485E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.3 | 2.458226E-6 | 6.03523E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.03523E-7 | 0.0 | 1.0535211E-5 | 2.586525E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.586525E-6 | 0.0 | 1.2825865E-4 | 3.1490523E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1490523E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0012818464 | 3.1486436E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.9527912 | 4.1483287E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.4 | 1.965953E-6 | 3.0899133E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0899133E-7 | 0.0 | 8.425486E-6 | 1.3242478E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3242478E-6 | 0.0 | 1.0257547E-4 | 1.61226E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.61226E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010252813 | 1.6121443E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.2405838 | 2.611983E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.5 | 1.2014192E-6 | 1.8112678E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8112678E-7 | 0.0 | 5.148929E-6 | 7.7625737E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.7625737E-7 | 0.0 | 6.2686406E-5 | 9.450893E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.450893E-6 | 0.0 | 6.266873E-4 | 9.4505E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.11629 | 1.9449554E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.6 | 2.5612175E-7 | 4.859889E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.859889E-8 | 0.0 | 1.0976642E-6 | 2.0828094E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0828094E-7 | 0.0 | 1.3363979E-5 | 2.5358179E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5358179E-6 | 0.0 | 1.3363175E-4 | 2.5357926E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5357926E-5 | 0.0 |
Ortigalita (South)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.72394E-5 | 4.3182466E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.3182466E-5 | 0.0 | 1.5958765E-4 | 1.8505547E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5403785 | 2.8503698E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0019412481 | 0.002250878 | 0.0016 | 0.7108337 | 0.0026499776 | 4.0E-4 | 0.019243775 | 0.022297136 | 0.0172 | 0.7713995 | 0.02689234 | 0.0047 |
6.1 | 2.7299884E-5 | 3.1441457E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1441457E-5 | 0.0 | 1.16994255E-4 | 1.3474245E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3474245E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0014234743 | 0.0016393106 | 9.0E-4 | 0.54901123 | 0.0017391468 | 1.0E-4 | 0.014143906 | 0.016278092 | 0.0125 | 0.7679032 | 0.019622747 | 0.0034 |
6.2 | 2.7299884E-5 | 3.1441457E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1441457E-5 | 0.0 | 1.16994255E-4 | 1.3474245E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3474245E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0014234743 | 0.0016393106 | 9.0E-4 | 0.54901123 | 0.0017391468 | 1.0E-4 | 0.014143906 | 0.016278092 | 0.0125 | 0.7679032 | 0.019622747 | 0.0034 |
6.3 | 2.0546433E-5 | 2.3594344E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3594344E-5 | 0.0 | 8.805317E-5 | 1.01114805E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.01114805E-4 | 0.0 | 0.00107152 | 0.0012303964 | 4.0E-4 | 0.32509848 | 0.0012303964 | 0.0 | 0.010663681 | 0.0122379 | 0.0083 | 0.6782209 | 0.014509752 | 0.0023 |
6.4 | 2.0546433E-5 | 2.3594344E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3594344E-5 | 0.0 | 8.805317E-5 | 1.01114805E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.01114805E-4 | 0.0 | 0.00107152 | 0.0012303964 | 4.0E-4 | 0.32509848 | 0.0012303964 | 0.0 | 0.010663681 | 0.0122379 | 0.0083 | 0.6782209 | 0.014509752 | 0.0023 |
6.5 | 1.7779594E-5 | 2.0414887E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0414887E-5 | 0.0 | 7.619603E-5 | 8.748951E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.748951E-5 | 0.0 | 9.272918E-4 | 0.0010646778 | 4.0E-4 | 0.3757005 | 0.0010646778 | 0.0 | 0.009234319 | 0.010597234 | 0.008 | 0.754914 | 0.01277392 | 0.0022 |
6.6 | 1.6272212E-5 | 1.8685576E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8685576E-5 | 0.0 | 6.973618E-5 | 8.007865E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.007865E-5 | 0.0 | 8.487073E-4 | 9.745337E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.30783954 | 9.745337E-4 | 0.0 | 0.008454733 | 0.009703899 | 0.007 | 0.72135955 | 0.011684491 | 0.002 |
6.7 | 1.3051484E-5 | 1.5014794E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5014794E-5 | 0.0 | 5.593373E-5 | 6.434759E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.434759E-5 | 0.0 | 6.807804E-4 | 7.831597E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.3830636 | 7.831597E-4 | 0.0 | 0.006786986 | 0.007804978 | 0.0054 | 0.6918661 | 0.009293271 | 0.0015 |
6.8 | 1.04277415E-5 | 1.1968504E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1968504E-5 | 0.0 | 4.4689557E-5 | 5.129262E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.129262E-5 | 0.0 | 5.439595E-4 | 6.243161E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.4805258 | 6.243161E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0054262993 | 0.0062263743 | 0.0043 | 0.6906106 | 0.0076176575 | 0.0014 |
6.9 | 7.639968E-6 | 8.777665E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.777665E-6 | 0.0 | 3.274231E-5 | 3.7618054E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.7618054E-5 | 0.0 | 3.9856473E-4 | 4.5790945E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.43676758 | 4.5790945E-4 | 0.0 | 0.003978506 | 0.0045702434 | 0.0032 | 0.7001815 | 0.005665216 | 0.0011 |
7.0 | 3.919831E-6 | 4.525994E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.525994E-6 | 0.0 | 1.679917E-5 | 1.9396986E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9396986E-5 | 0.0 | 2.045107E-4 | 2.3613482E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.4234869 | 2.3613482E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0020432258 | 0.0023590468 | 0.0016 | 0.67824 | 0.0026583392 | 3.0E-4 |
7.1 | 1.6017933E-6 | 1.8539527E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8539527E-6 | 0.0 | 6.8648105E-6 | 7.945493E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.945493E-6 | 0.0 | 8.357586E-5 | 9.673315E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.673315E-5 | 0.0 | 8.3544437E-4 | 9.6701476E-4 | 9.0E-4 | 0.93069935 | 0.001066918 | 1.0E-4 |
Great Valley 03 Mysterious Ridge
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.1182444E-5 | 3.5975117E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5975117E-5 | 0.0 | 1.336322E-4 | 1.5417102E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.6486303 | 1.5417102E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0016257578 | 0.0018756017 | 0.001 | 0.53316224 | 0.002374664 | 5.0E-4 | 0.016139153 | 0.018616395 | 0.0132 | 0.7090524 | 0.02313076 | 0.0046 |
6.1 | 3.1182444E-5 | 3.5975117E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5975117E-5 | 0.0 | 1.336322E-4 | 1.5417102E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.6486303 | 1.5417102E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0016257578 | 0.0018756017 | 0.001 | 0.53316224 | 0.002374664 | 5.0E-4 | 0.016139153 | 0.018616395 | 0.0132 | 0.7090524 | 0.02313076 | 0.0046 |
6.2 | 3.1182444E-5 | 3.5975117E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5975117E-5 | 0.0 | 1.336322E-4 | 1.5417102E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.6486303 | 1.5417102E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0016257578 | 0.0018756017 | 0.001 | 0.53316224 | 0.002374664 | 5.0E-4 | 0.016139153 | 0.018616395 | 0.0132 | 0.7090524 | 0.02313076 | 0.0046 |
6.3 | 2.106934E-5 | 2.3817278E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3817278E-5 | 0.0 | 9.0294045E-5 | 1.02070226E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.9797176 | 1.02070226E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0010987755 | 0.0012420276 | 8.0E-4 | 0.64410806 | 0.0017414066 | 5.0E-4 | 0.010933585 | 0.012354098 | 0.009 | 0.72850317 | 0.015712095 | 0.0034 |
6.4 | 2.106934E-5 | 2.3817278E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3817278E-5 | 0.0 | 9.0294045E-5 | 1.02070226E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.9797176 | 1.02070226E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0010987755 | 0.0012420276 | 8.0E-4 | 0.64410806 | 0.0017414066 | 5.0E-4 | 0.010933585 | 0.012354098 | 0.009 | 0.72850317 | 0.015712095 | 0.0034 |
6.5 | 1.9389783E-5 | 2.1855454E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1855454E-5 | 0.0 | 8.309642E-5 | 9.3663024E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0676572 | 9.3663024E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010112294 | 0.0011397784 | 8.0E-4 | 0.70189077 | 0.0016392085 | 5.0E-4 | 0.010066401 | 0.011342193 | 0.0087 | 0.7670474 | 0.01470363 | 0.0034 |
6.6 | 1.9370193E-5 | 2.183538E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.183538E-5 | 0.0 | 8.301247E-5 | 9.3577E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0686387 | 9.3577E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010102082 | 0.0011387322 | 8.0E-4 | 0.7025357 | 0.0016381629 | 5.0E-4 | 0.010056281 | 0.011331838 | 0.0087 | 0.7677484 | 0.01469331 | 0.0034 |
6.7 | 1.6723505E-5 | 1.8774837E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8774837E-5 | 0.0 | 7.16702E-5 | 8.046122E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2428348 | 8.046122E-5 | 0.0 | 8.722353E-4 | 9.791945E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.71487325 | 0.001478705 | 5.0E-4 | 0.008688197 | 0.009750803 | 0.007 | 0.71788955 | 0.012919601 | 0.0032 |
6.8 | 1.426937E-5 | 1.597693E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.597693E-5 | 0.0 | 6.115301E-5 | 6.847084E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4604757 | 6.847084E-5 | 0.0 | 7.4428355E-4 | 8.3332806E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.84000534 | 0.0013329114 | 5.0E-4 | 0.007417957 | 0.008303506 | 0.0064 | 0.77075875 | 0.011278596 | 0.003 |
6.9 | 1.2469891E-5 | 1.393951E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.393951E-5 | 0.0 | 5.3441294E-5 | 5.9739454E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.6739355 | 5.9739454E-5 | 0.0 | 6.504535E-4 | 7.270972E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.8251991 | 0.0011268064 | 4.0E-4 | 0.006485529 | 0.0072484035 | 0.0053 | 0.7311955 | 0.009631007 | 0.0024 |
7.0 | 8.7746275E-6 | 9.779858E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.779858E-6 | 0.0 | 3.7605005E-5 | 4.1913045E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.1913045E-5 | 0.0 | 4.5774475E-4 | 5.1017915E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.39201915 | 7.100771E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.00456803 | 0.00509081 | 0.0042 | 0.825016 | 0.006881647 | 0.0018 |
7.1 | 6.1067153E-6 | 6.805472E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.805472E-6 | 0.0 | 2.6171374E-5 | 2.9166014E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9166014E-5 | 0.0 | 3.1858988E-4 | 3.550439E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.28165528 | 4.550084E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0031813353 | 0.0035453162 | 0.0031 | 0.8743931 | 0.0048407074 | 0.0013 |
7.2 | 2.939283E-6 | 3.2702005E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2702005E-6 | 0.0 | 1.2596866E-5 | 1.401508E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.401508E-5 | 0.0 | 1.5335606E-4 | 1.7062198E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.586091 | 2.706049E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0015325027 | 0.0017050814 | 0.002 | 1.1729646 | 0.0026035467 | 9.0E-4 |
7.3 | 7.2387763E-7 | 7.99954E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.99954E-7 | 0.0 | 3.102329E-6 | 3.4283726E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.4283726E-6 | 0.0 | 3.77702E-5 | 4.174009E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.3957782 | 1.4173592E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.7763783E-4 | 4.1736738E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 1.9167764 | 8.1720046E-4 | 4.0E-4 |
7.4 | 3.112171E-8 | 3.2058175E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2058175E-8 | 0.0 | 1.3337875E-7 | 1.3739218E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3739218E-7 | 0.0 | 1.6238852E-6 | 1.6727486E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6727486E-6 | 0.0 | 1.6238733E-5 | 1.6727368E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6727368E-5 | 0.0 |
Ventura-Pitas Point
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.3681055E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3681055E-5 | 0.0 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4434083E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4434083E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0017297962 | 0.001756189 | 0.0017 | 0.9680051 | 0.0024549598 | 7.0E-4 | 0.017163932 | 0.017448444 | 0.0155 | 0.8883313 | 0.021869928 | 0.0045 |
6.1 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.3681055E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3681055E-5 | 0.0 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4434083E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4434083E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0017297962 | 0.001756189 | 0.0017 | 0.9680051 | 0.0024549598 | 7.0E-4 | 0.017163932 | 0.017448444 | 0.0155 | 0.8883313 | 0.021869928 | 0.0045 |
6.2 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.3681055E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3681055E-5 | 0.0 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4434083E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4434083E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0017297962 | 0.001756189 | 0.0017 | 0.9680051 | 0.0024549598 | 7.0E-4 | 0.017163932 | 0.017448444 | 0.0155 | 0.8883313 | 0.021869928 | 0.0045 |
6.3 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.3681055E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3681055E-5 | 0.0 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4434083E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4434083E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0017297962 | 0.001756189 | 0.0017 | 0.9680051 | 0.0024549598 | 7.0E-4 | 0.017163932 | 0.017448444 | 0.0155 | 0.8883313 | 0.021869928 | 0.0045 |
6.4 | 1.8754668E-5 | 1.6993197E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6993197E-5 | 0.0 | 8.037467E-5 | 7.2826086E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.2826086E-5 | 0.0 | 9.781223E-4 | 8.8631996E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.6769564 | 0.0010861427 | 2.0E-4 | 0.009738282 | 0.008830075 | 0.0062 | 0.70214576 | 0.010415947 | 0.0016 |
6.5 | 1.8754668E-5 | 1.6993197E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6993197E-5 | 0.0 | 8.037467E-5 | 7.2826086E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.2826086E-5 | 0.0 | 9.781223E-4 | 8.8631996E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.6769564 | 0.0010861427 | 2.0E-4 | 0.009738282 | 0.008830075 | 0.0062 | 0.70214576 | 0.010415947 | 0.0016 |
6.6 | 1.4361558E-5 | 1.21017265E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.21017265E-5 | 0.0 | 6.154808E-5 | 5.1863524E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.1863524E-5 | 0.0 | 7.490902E-4 | 6.312578E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.4752417 | 7.311946E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0074657016 | 0.006294796 | 0.0045 | 0.71487623 | 0.007586613 | 0.0013 |
6.7 | 1.4361558E-5 | 1.21017265E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.21017265E-5 | 0.0 | 6.154808E-5 | 5.1863524E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.1863524E-5 | 0.0 | 7.490902E-4 | 6.312578E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.4752417 | 7.311946E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0074657016 | 0.006294796 | 0.0045 | 0.71487623 | 0.007586613 | 0.0013 |
6.8 | 1.3663846E-5 | 1.1324802E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1324802E-5 | 0.0 | 5.8558027E-5 | 4.8533973E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.8533973E-5 | 0.0 | 7.127108E-4 | 5.9074286E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.5078352 | 6.906838E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.007104293 | 0.0058918335 | 0.0043 | 0.7298237 | 0.0070847636 | 0.0012 |
6.9 | 1.3644157E-5 | 1.1302928E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1302928E-5 | 0.0 | 5.8473648E-5 | 4.844023E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.844023E-5 | 0.0 | 7.116841E-4 | 5.8960216E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.5088177 | 6.895432E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.007094092 | 0.005880487 | 0.0043 | 0.7312319 | 0.007073431 | 0.0012 |
7.0 | 1.3568845E-5 | 1.122261E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.122261E-5 | 0.0 | 5.8150898E-5 | 4.8096026E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.8096026E-5 | 0.0 | 7.077572E-4 | 5.854137E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.5124581 | 6.8535516E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.007055073 | 0.0058388235 | 0.0043 | 0.7364497 | 0.007031817 | 0.0012 |
7.1 | 1.306572E-5 | 1.0701786E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0701786E-5 | 0.0 | 5.599474E-5 | 4.5864002E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.5864002E-5 | 0.0 | 6.815227E-4 | 5.58253E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.53739077 | 6.581972E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0067943637 | 0.005568604 | 0.0042 | 0.7542285 | 0.0066624787 | 0.0011 |
7.2 | 1.232604E-5 | 9.977696E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.977696E-6 | 0.0 | 5.2824813E-5 | 4.276086E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.276086E-5 | 0.0 | 6.429523E-4 | 5.204909E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.57637894 | 6.2043883E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0064109527 | 0.005192803 | 0.004 | 0.7702969 | 0.0061876103 | 0.001 |
7.3 | 1.0917261E-5 | 8.82862E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.82862E-6 | 0.0 | 4.678742E-5 | 3.7836402E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.7836402E-5 | 0.0 | 5.69488E-4 | 4.6056238E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.65137756 | 5.605163E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0056803077 | 0.0045961374 | 0.0037 | 0.8050237 | 0.0054920013 | 9.0E-4 |
7.4 | 1.039959E-5 | 8.40925E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.40925E-6 | 0.0 | 4.456891E-5 | 3.6039153E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.6039153E-5 | 0.0 | 5.424914E-4 | 4.3868987E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.6838544 | 5.38646E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0054116896 | 0.004378293 | 0.0034 | 0.77655834 | 0.0052743526 | 9.0E-4 |
7.5 | 9.015877E-6 | 7.285164E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.285164E-6 | 0.0 | 3.86389E-5 | 3.1221763E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1221763E-5 | 0.0 | 4.7032707E-4 | 3.8006008E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.5262326 | 4.8002208E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004693329 | 0.0037941386 | 0.003 | 0.7906933 | 0.004690724 | 9.0E-4 |
7.6 | 4.900162E-6 | 3.866396E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.866396E-6 | 0.0 | 2.1000526E-5 | 1.6570164E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6570164E-5 | 0.0 | 2.556514E-4 | 2.017232E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.4957288 | 3.0170302E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0025535747 | 0.0020154144 | 0.0018 | 0.89311653 | 0.0026142052 | 6.0E-4 |
7.7 | 3.8850626E-6 | 3.1215277E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1215277E-6 | 0.0 | 1.6650163E-5 | 1.3377908E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3377908E-5 | 0.0 | 2.0269687E-4 | 1.6286394E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.6140095 | 2.6284766E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.002025121 | 0.001627455 | 0.0015 | 0.92168444 | 0.0021266413 | 5.0E-4 |
7.8 | 2.4654719E-6 | 2.0277116E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0277116E-6 | 0.0 | 1.0566265E-5 | 8.690165E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.690165E-6 | 0.0 | 1.2863669E-4 | 1.05797655E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.05797655E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0012856225 | 0.0010574776 | 0.001 | 0.9456465 | 0.0012572662 | 2.0E-4 |
7.9 | 4.095894E-7 | 3.2740417E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2740417E-7 | 0.0 | 1.7553821E-6 | 1.40316E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.40316E-6 | 0.0 | 2.1371567E-5 | 1.7083343E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7083343E-5 | 0.0 | 2.1369511E-4 | 1.708206E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.58540946 | 1.708206E-4 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 7.791402E-9 | 5.6791927E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.6791927E-9 | 0.0 | 3.3391725E-8 | 2.4339396E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4339396E-8 | 0.0 | 4.0654416E-7 | 2.9633213E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9633213E-7 | 0.0 | 4.065434E-6 | 2.9633193E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9633193E-6 | 0.0 |
Santa Rosa Island
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.1143165E-5 | 4.701977E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.701977E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7631594E-4 | 2.0149884E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0149884E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002144533 | 0.002450684 | 0.0012 | 0.4896592 | 0.0029494588 | 5.0E-4 | 0.021239553 | 0.024257159 | 0.0175 | 0.7214365 | 0.028452853 | 0.0043 |
6.1 | 2.1061249E-5 | 2.3831648E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3831648E-5 | 0.0 | 9.0259375E-5 | 1.021318E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.021318E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0010983539 | 0.0012427742 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012427742 | 0.0 | 0.01092941 | 0.012361274 | 0.0075 | 0.60673356 | 0.014139025 | 0.0018 |
6.2 | 2.1061249E-5 | 2.3831648E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3831648E-5 | 0.0 | 9.0259375E-5 | 1.021318E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.021318E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0010983539 | 0.0012427742 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012427742 | 0.0 | 0.01092941 | 0.012361274 | 0.0075 | 0.60673356 | 0.014139025 | 0.0018 |
6.3 | 1.5158236E-5 | 1.7051776E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7051776E-5 | 0.0 | 6.496225E-5 | 7.307706E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.307706E-5 | 0.0 | 7.906284E-4 | 8.89362E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.89362E-4 | 0.0 | 0.007878214 | 0.008859277 | 0.0064 | 0.72240657 | 0.010544216 | 0.0017 |
6.4 | 1.2341918E-5 | 1.3835114E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3835114E-5 | 0.0 | 5.2892858E-5 | 5.9292044E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.9292044E-5 | 0.0 | 6.437803E-4 | 7.216496E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.216496E-4 | 0.0 | 0.006419184 | 0.007193897 | 0.0053 | 0.7367356 | 0.008683106 | 0.0015 |
6.5 | 9.061158E-6 | 1.0104637E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0104637E-5 | 0.0 | 3.883296E-5 | 4.33049E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.33049E-5 | 0.0 | 4.726887E-4 | 5.271149E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.271149E-4 | 0.0 | 0.004716845 | 0.005259183 | 0.0042 | 0.7986032 | 0.006552346 | 0.0013 |
6.6 | 7.5461685E-6 | 8.390719E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.390719E-6 | 0.0 | 3.2340322E-5 | 3.595975E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.595975E-5 | 0.0 | 3.936723E-4 | 4.377263E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.377263E-4 | 0.0 | 0.003929756 | 0.00436907 | 0.0031 | 0.7095332 | 0.005165574 | 8.0E-4 |
6.7 | 5.5023775E-6 | 6.080548E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.080548E-6 | 0.0 | 2.3581404E-5 | 2.605925E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.605925E-5 | 0.0 | 2.8706578E-4 | 3.172284E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.172284E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0028669522 | 0.0031680765 | 0.0023 | 0.72599256 | 0.0037661756 | 6.0E-4 |
6.8 | 3.7351679E-6 | 4.079111E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.079111E-6 | 0.0 | 1.6007763E-5 | 1.7481801E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7481801E-5 | 0.0 | 1.948771E-4 | 2.1282263E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1282263E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0019470629 | 0.0021264327 | 0.0013 | 0.6113525 | 0.0025255822 | 4.0E-4 |
6.9 | 2.456366E-6 | 2.6273171E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6273171E-6 | 0.0 | 1.0527241E-5 | 1.1259883E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1259883E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2816161E-4 | 1.3708047E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3708047E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0012808773 | 0.0013699621 | 0.001 | 0.7299472 | 0.0016695511 | 3.0E-4 |
7.0 | 2.3245157E-6 | 2.480995E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.480995E-6 | 0.0 | 9.962172E-6 | 1.0632792E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0632792E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2128269E-4 | 1.2944658E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2944658E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0012121652 | 0.0012937139 | 0.001 | 0.7729684 | 0.0015933259 | 3.0E-4 |
7.1 | 2.2248344E-6 | 2.3715795E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3715795E-6 | 0.0 | 9.53497E-6 | 1.0163873E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0163873E-5 | 0.0 | 1.1608207E-4 | 1.2373815E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2373815E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011602144 | 0.0012366944 | 9.0E-4 | 0.7277464 | 0.0015363235 | 3.0E-4 |
7.2 | 2.1350402E-6 | 2.274566E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.274566E-6 | 0.0 | 9.150141E-6 | 9.748104E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.748104E-6 | 0.0 | 1.1139726E-4 | 1.1867672E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1867672E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011134144 | 0.0011861353 | 9.0E-4 | 0.7587667 | 0.0014857795 | 3.0E-4 |
7.3 | 1.9793572E-6 | 2.1072633E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1072633E-6 | 0.0 | 8.482932E-6 | 9.031098E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.031098E-6 | 0.0 | 1.032748E-4 | 1.0994809E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0994809E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0010322682 | 0.0010989386 | 8.0E-4 | 0.72797513 | 0.001398609 | 3.0E-4 |
7.4 | 1.6951194E-6 | 1.8033405E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8033405E-6 | 0.0 | 7.264777E-6 | 7.7285795E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.7285795E-6 | 0.0 | 8.844508E-5 | 9.409141E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.409141E-5 | 0.0 | 8.840988E-4 | 9.4051735E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.5316223 | 0.0011403293 | 2.0E-4 |
7.5 | 8.987207E-7 | 9.5062643E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.5062643E-7 | 0.0 | 3.8516546E-6 | 4.074107E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.074107E-6 | 0.0 | 4.6892885E-5 | 4.9601134E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.9601134E-5 | 0.0 | 4.688299E-4 | 4.959018E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.8066113 | 6.958026E-4 | 2.0E-4 |
7.6 | 3.8783037E-7 | 4.0509016E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0509016E-7 | 0.0 | 1.6621291E-6 | 1.7360995E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7360995E-6 | 0.0 | 2.0236233E-5 | 2.1136813E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1136813E-5 | 0.0 | 2.023439E-4 | 2.1134868E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.9463035 | 3.1132755E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.7 | 6.181804E-8 | 6.336573E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.336573E-8 | 0.0 | 2.6493444E-7 | 2.7156742E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7156742E-7 | 0.0 | 3.225572E-6 | 3.3063282E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3063282E-6 | 0.0 | 3.225525E-5 | 3.3062795E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3062795E-5 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.3704449E-9 | 1.3961391E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3961391E-9 | 0.0 | 5.873335E-9 | 5.983453E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.983453E-9 | 0.0 | 7.1507856E-8 | 7.2848536E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.2848536E-8 | 0.0 | 7.1507833E-7 | 7.2848525E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.2848525E-7 | 0.0 |
Santa Cruz Island
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.9164563E-5 | 3.1572003E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1572003E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2498499E-4 | 1.3530234E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.73908556 | 2.3528881E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0015206301 | 0.0016461972 | 0.001 | 0.6074607 | 0.002145374 | 5.0E-4 | 0.015102667 | 0.01635373 | 0.012 | 0.7337776 | 0.019993221 | 0.0037 |
6.1 | 2.9164563E-5 | 3.1572003E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1572003E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2498499E-4 | 1.3530234E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.73908556 | 2.3528881E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0015206301 | 0.0016461972 | 0.001 | 0.6074607 | 0.002145374 | 5.0E-4 | 0.015102667 | 0.01635373 | 0.012 | 0.7337776 | 0.019993221 | 0.0037 |
6.2 | 2.9164563E-5 | 3.1572003E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1572003E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2498499E-4 | 1.3530234E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.73908556 | 2.3528881E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0015206301 | 0.0016461972 | 0.001 | 0.6074607 | 0.002145374 | 5.0E-4 | 0.015102667 | 0.01635373 | 0.012 | 0.7337776 | 0.019993221 | 0.0037 |
6.3 | 1.6635553E-5 | 1.779119E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.779119E-5 | 0.0 | 7.1293274E-5 | 7.624584E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.311547 | 1.7623822E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 8.6765E-4 | 9.279159E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.53884196 | 0.0012276375 | 3.0E-4 | 0.008642701 | 0.009242283 | 0.0067 | 0.72492915 | 0.011223799 | 0.002 |
6.4 | 1.6635553E-5 | 1.779119E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.779119E-5 | 0.0 | 7.1293274E-5 | 7.624584E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.311547 | 1.7623822E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 8.6765E-4 | 9.279159E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.53884196 | 0.0012276375 | 3.0E-4 | 0.008642701 | 0.009242283 | 0.0067 | 0.72492915 | 0.011223799 | 0.002 |
6.5 | 1.2238748E-5 | 1.3033949E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3033949E-5 | 0.0 | 5.2450723E-5 | 5.5858603E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.5858603E-5 | 0.0 | 6.3840044E-4 | 6.7987E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.44126084 | 7.79802E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0063656955 | 0.0067782984 | 0.0054 | 0.7966601 | 0.008367454 | 0.0016 |
6.6 | 1.0489767E-5 | 1.1149135E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1149135E-5 | 0.0 | 4.495537E-5 | 4.7781148E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.7781148E-5 | 0.0 | 5.4719415E-4 | 5.815824E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.34388936 | 6.815243E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005458487 | 0.0058008446 | 0.0043 | 0.7412714 | 0.0071927235 | 0.0014 |
6.7 | 8.699222E-6 | 9.230729E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.230729E-6 | 0.0 | 3.7281847E-5 | 3.9559673E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.9559673E-5 | 0.0 | 4.5381195E-4 | 4.8153312E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.4153401 | 5.814849E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0045288634 | 0.0048049646 | 0.0039 | 0.81166047 | 0.0060987184 | 0.0013 |
6.8 | 8.307732E-6 | 8.811169E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.811169E-6 | 0.0 | 3.560408E-5 | 3.776161E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.776161E-5 | 0.0 | 4.3339343E-4 | 4.5965103E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.43511268 | 5.596051E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004325492 | 0.0045870566 | 0.0036 | 0.78481704 | 0.005781552 | 0.0012 |
6.9 | 8.073121E-6 | 8.559399E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.559399E-6 | 0.0 | 3.459863E-5 | 3.6682628E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.6682628E-5 | 0.0 | 4.2115687E-4 | 4.4651987E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.4479084 | 5.4647523E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004203596 | 0.0044562784 | 0.0036 | 0.807849 | 0.0056509306 | 0.0012 |
7.0 | 7.617019E-6 | 8.069512E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.069512E-6 | 0.0 | 3.264396E-5 | 3.4583165E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.4583165E-5 | 0.0 | 3.9736772E-4 | 4.2096907E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.4750943 | 5.2092696E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.003966579 | 0.004201764 | 0.0035 | 0.8329835 | 0.005297142 | 0.0011 |
7.1 | 7.1224836E-6 | 7.5410208E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.5410208E-6 | 0.0 | 3.052457E-5 | 3.231826E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.231826E-5 | 0.0 | 3.715733E-4 | 3.9340416E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.25419152 | 3.9340416E-4 | 0.0 | 0.003709526 | 0.0039271205 | 0.0032 | 0.81484646 | 0.0049231932 | 0.001 |
7.2 | 6.441115E-6 | 6.8230265E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.8230265E-6 | 0.0 | 2.7604487E-5 | 2.9241217E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9241217E-5 | 0.0 | 3.360328E-4 | 3.5595387E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.28093526 | 3.5595387E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0033552512 | 0.0035538657 | 0.003 | 0.8441512 | 0.0045503117 | 0.001 |
7.3 | 5.494274E-6 | 5.8163123E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.8163123E-6 | 0.0 | 2.3546674E-5 | 2.4926814E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4926814E-5 | 0.0 | 2.8664304E-4 | 3.0344192E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.32955238 | 3.0344192E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002862736 | 0.0030302987 | 0.0025 | 0.8250011 | 0.0039275717 | 9.0E-4 |
7.4 | 4.0802624E-6 | 4.309619E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.309619E-6 | 0.0 | 1.7486722E-5 | 1.8469664E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8469664E-5 | 0.0 | 2.1288003E-4 | 2.2484503E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.44475076 | 2.2484503E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0021267622 | 0.0022461845 | 0.0013 | 0.57875925 | 0.0027450614 | 5.0E-4 |
7.5 | 2.3584746E-6 | 2.4739577E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4739577E-6 | 0.0 | 1.0107709E-5 | 1.0602633E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0602633E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2305441E-4 | 1.2907945E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2907945E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0012298629 | 0.0012900499 | 7.0E-4 | 0.5426147 | 0.0015896627 | 3.0E-4 |
7.6 | 9.4981914E-7 | 9.856386E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.856386E-7 | 0.0 | 4.0706473E-6 | 4.2241586E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.2241586E-6 | 0.0 | 4.9559E-5 | 5.142793E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.142793E-5 | 0.0 | 4.954795E-4 | 5.141616E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.38898274 | 6.141102E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.7 | 2.6013532E-7 | 2.640751E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.640751E-7 | 0.0 | 1.1148652E-6 | 1.13175E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.13175E-6 | 0.0 | 1.3573399E-5 | 1.3778969E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3778969E-5 | 0.0 | 1.357257E-4 | 1.3778122E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3778122E-4 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.1522263E-8 | 3.964669E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.964669E-8 | 0.0 | 1.7795254E-7 | 1.6991437E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6991437E-7 | 0.0 | 2.16657E-6 | 2.0687057E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0687057E-6 | 0.0 | 2.1665488E-5 | 2.0686886E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0686886E-5 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.7242046E-10 | 5.944937E-10 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.944937E-10 | 0.0 | 3.3103735E-9 | 2.54783E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.54783E-9 | 0.0 | 4.0303796E-8 | 3.101983E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.101983E-8 | 0.0 | 4.030379E-7 | 3.101983E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.101983E-7 | 0.0 |
Gravel Hills-Harper Lk
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0679566E-5 | 3.142192E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.142192E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3147724E-4 | 1.3465965E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3465965E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0015995599 | 0.0016384645 | 7.0E-4 | 0.42722926 | 0.001937973 | 3.0E-4 | 0.015880952 | 0.01628534 | 0.0107 | 0.65703267 | 0.02031857 | 0.0041 |
6.1 | 3.0679566E-5 | 3.142192E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.142192E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3147724E-4 | 1.3465965E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3465965E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0015995599 | 0.0016384645 | 7.0E-4 | 0.42722926 | 0.001937973 | 3.0E-4 | 0.015880952 | 0.01628534 | 0.0107 | 0.65703267 | 0.02031857 | 0.0041 |
6.2 | 1.514536E-5 | 1.3620233E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3620233E-5 | 0.0 | 6.490707E-5 | 5.8371188E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.8371188E-5 | 0.0 | 7.8995706E-4 | 7.1044936E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.28151196 | 7.1044936E-4 | 0.0 | 0.007871548 | 0.007082979 | 0.0041 | 0.5788525 | 0.00827448 | 0.0012 |
6.3 | 1.514536E-5 | 1.3620233E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3620233E-5 | 0.0 | 6.490707E-5 | 5.8371188E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.8371188E-5 | 0.0 | 7.8995706E-4 | 7.1044936E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.28151196 | 7.1044936E-4 | 0.0 | 0.007871548 | 0.007082979 | 0.0041 | 0.5788525 | 0.00827448 | 0.0012 |
6.4 | 1.2532521E-5 | 1.0678651E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0678651E-5 | 0.0 | 5.37097E-5 | 4.576488E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.576488E-5 | 0.0 | 6.537194E-4 | 5.5705075E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.17951685 | 5.5705075E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0065179965 | 0.0055571334 | 0.0031 | 0.5578416 | 0.0064521316 | 9.0E-4 |
6.5 | 1.1094058E-5 | 9.074583E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.074583E-6 | 0.0 | 4.7545094E-5 | 3.8890514E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.8890514E-5 | 0.0 | 5.787078E-4 | 4.7339316E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.2112409 | 4.7339316E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0057720304 | 0.004724254 | 0.003 | 0.6350209 | 0.0055204746 | 8.0E-4 |
6.6 | 9.688328E-6 | 7.524305E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.524305E-6 | 0.0 | 4.1520743E-5 | 3.2246637E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2246637E-5 | 0.0 | 5.053978E-4 | 3.9253465E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.25475457 | 3.9253465E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0050424994 | 0.003918669 | 0.0028 | 0.7145283 | 0.0047155344 | 8.0E-4 |
6.7 | 8.974824E-6 | 6.7428123E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.7428123E-6 | 0.0 | 3.8462964E-5 | 2.8897459E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8897459E-5 | 0.0 | 4.6818596E-4 | 3.5177195E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.28427508 | 3.5177195E-4 | 0.0 | 0.004672008 | 0.0035123718 | 0.0028 | 0.7971821 | 0.0042099133 | 7.0E-4 |
6.8 | 7.4780046E-6 | 5.111148E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.111148E-6 | 0.0 | 3.20482E-5 | 2.1904742E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1904742E-5 | 0.0 | 3.9011694E-4 | 2.66659E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.3750108 | 2.66659E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0038943281 | 0.002663528 | 0.002 | 0.75088376 | 0.0030624627 | 4.0E-4 |
6.9 | 6.3409307E-6 | 3.903478E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.903478E-6 | 0.0 | 2.7175134E-5 | 1.6729091E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6729091E-5 | 0.0 | 3.3080703E-4 | 2.0365864E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.49101773 | 2.0365864E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0033031502 | 0.0020348178 | 0.0016 | 0.78631115 | 0.0024340039 | 4.0E-4 |
7.0 | 5.1239335E-6 | 2.6029281E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6029281E-6 | 0.0 | 2.195953E-5 | 1.115536E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.115536E-5 | 0.0 | 2.6732447E-4 | 1.358083E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.358083E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0026700313 | 0.0013572782 | 0.001 | 0.7367686 | 0.001656871 | 3.0E-4 |
7.1 | 4.438899E-6 | 2.095965E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.095965E-6 | 0.0 | 1.9023713E-5 | 8.982678E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.982678E-6 | 0.0 | 2.315891E-4 | 1.09358836E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.09358836E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002313479 | 0.001093072 | 0.001 | 0.9148528 | 0.0013927441 | 3.0E-4 |
7.2 | 3.50367E-6 | 1.2596217E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2596217E-6 | 0.0 | 1.5015643E-5 | 5.398368E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.398368E-6 | 0.0 | 1.8280011E-4 | 6.572323E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.572323E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0018264982 | 6.5704616E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.91317785 | 9.56849E-4 | 3.0E-4 |
7.3 | 2.561638E-6 | 7.1034464E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.1034464E-7 | 0.0 | 1.0978401E-5 | 3.0443307E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0443307E-6 | 0.0 | 1.3365384E-4 | 3.7064114E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.7064114E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0013357349 | 3.705813E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 1.3492315 | 5.705072E-4 | 2.0E-4 |
7.4 | 2.0368864E-6 | 5.291731E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.291731E-7 | 0.0 | 8.729483E-6 | 2.267883E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.267883E-6 | 0.0 | 1.06276275E-4 | 2.761113E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.761113E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010622547 | 2.7607754E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 1.8110855 | 4.760223E-4 | 2.0E-4 |
7.5 | 1.1681728E-6 | 3.5940548E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5940548E-7 | 0.0 | 5.0064455E-6 | 1.5403083E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5403083E-6 | 0.0 | 6.0951766E-5 | 1.8753097E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8753097E-5 | 0.0 | 6.093505E-4 | 1.8751562E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.5998669 | 2.8749686E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.6 | 1.3154387E-7 | 7.0908634E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0908634E-8 | 0.0 | 5.6375933E-7 | 3.0389413E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0389413E-7 | 0.0 | 6.863748E-6 | 3.6999063E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.6999063E-6 | 0.0 | 6.863536E-5 | 3.69986E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.69986E-5 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 05 Pittsburg - Kirby Hills alt1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.187212E-5 | 5.3292064E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.3292064E-5 | 0.0 | 1.794396E-4 | 2.2838028E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.43786618 | 2.2838028E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002182488 | 0.0027779457 | 0.0018 | 0.64796084 | 0.003376279 | 6.0E-4 | 0.021611776 | 0.027526524 | 0.0163 | 0.5921561 | 0.031416416 | 0.004 |
6.1 | 4.187212E-5 | 5.3292064E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.3292064E-5 | 0.0 | 1.794396E-4 | 2.2838028E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.43786618 | 2.2838028E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002182488 | 0.0027779457 | 0.0018 | 0.64796084 | 0.003376279 | 6.0E-4 | 0.021611776 | 0.027526524 | 0.0163 | 0.5921561 | 0.031416416 | 0.004 |
6.2 | 1.7353306E-5 | 2.2091923E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2091923E-5 | 0.0 | 7.436919E-5 | 9.467852E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.467852E-5 | 0.0 | 9.050688E-4 | 0.0011524927 | 9.0E-4 | 0.780916 | 0.0016519165 | 5.0E-4 | 0.009013915 | 0.011502856 | 0.008 | 0.69547945 | 0.013875249 | 0.0024 |
6.3 | 1.7353306E-5 | 2.2091923E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2091923E-5 | 0.0 | 7.436919E-5 | 9.467852E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.467852E-5 | 0.0 | 9.050688E-4 | 0.0011524927 | 9.0E-4 | 0.780916 | 0.0016519165 | 5.0E-4 | 0.009013915 | 0.011502856 | 0.008 | 0.69547945 | 0.013875249 | 0.0024 |
6.4 | 1.4028824E-5 | 1.7850445E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7850445E-5 | 0.0 | 6.0122147E-5 | 7.650191E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.650191E-5 | 0.0 | 7.3174125E-4 | 9.3139714E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.7515591 | 0.0014309314 | 5.0E-4 | 0.0072933645 | 0.009312032 | 0.0065 | 0.69802165 | 0.011194339 | 0.0019 |
Quien Sabe 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.729899E-5 | 7.0656744E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4152931 | 7.0656744E-5 | 0.0 | 1.5984301E-4 | 3.0272678E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.6606617 | 4.0269652E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0019443515 | 0.0036704058 | 0.0014 | 0.3814292 | 0.0039693047 | 3.0E-4 | 0.019274272 | 0.03522367 | 0.0192 | 0.545088 | 0.039468683 | 0.0044 |
6.1 | 1.7825725E-5 | 3.304955E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.0257597 | 3.304955E-5 | 0.0 | 7.639373E-5 | 1.4161988E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.4122311 | 2.4160573E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 9.296967E-4 | 0.0017186059 | 7.0E-4 | 0.40730688 | 0.0019182621 | 2.0E-4 | 0.009258169 | 0.016628573 | 0.0081 | 0.4871134 | 0.018595316 | 0.002 |
6.2 | 4.8865336E-6 | 7.735542E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 12.927343 | 7.735542E-6 | 0.0 | 2.0942118E-5 | 3.315186E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 6.032844 | 1.3314854E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.5494045E-4 | 4.0320857E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.7440318 | 5.0316827E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0025464818 | 0.0039798548 | 0.002 | 0.50253093 | 0.0044778646 | 5.0E-4 |
6.3 | 3.858491E-6 | 5.7251405E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 17.46682 | 5.7251405E-6 | 0.0 | 1.6536285E-5 | 2.4536112E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.0756254 | 2.4536112E-5 | 0.0 | 2.0131067E-4 | 2.986908E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.66958874 | 2.986908E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002011284 | 0.002971274 | 0.0015 | 0.50483394 | 0.0032703828 | 3.0E-4 |
6.4 | 3.0771805E-6 | 4.3299387E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 23.095016 | 4.3299387E-6 | 0.0 | 1.318785E-5 | 1.855676E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 5.3888717 | 1.855676E-5 | 0.0 | 1.6055023E-4 | 2.2590751E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.8853181 | 2.2590751E-4 | 0.0 | 0.001604343 | 0.0022601688 | 0.0012 | 0.5309338 | 0.0024597168 | 2.0E-4 |
6.5 | 2.5081235E-6 | 3.4178722E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 29.257969 | 3.4178722E-6 | 0.0 | 1.0749056E-5 | 1.464795E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 6.8268943 | 1.464795E-5 | 0.0 | 1.308619E-4 | 1.7832562E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.1215439 | 1.7832562E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0013078486 | 0.0017902973 | 8.0E-4 | 0.44685316 | 0.0019899393 | 2.0E-4 |
6.6 | 1.7505364E-6 | 2.3721368E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3721368E-6 | 0.0 | 7.502277E-6 | 1.01662645E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.01662645E-5 | 0.0 | 9.13364E-5 | 1.2376794E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2376794E-4 | 0.0 | 9.129886E-4 | 0.0012434211 | 5.0E-4 | 0.4021164 | 0.0013432967 | 1.0E-4 |
6.7 | 1.505737E-6 | 2.038067E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.038067E-6 | 0.0 | 6.4531428E-6 | 8.734547E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.734547E-6 | 0.0 | 7.8564175E-5 | 1.063385E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.063385E-4 | 0.0 | 7.853641E-4 | 0.0010690737 | 3.0E-4 | 0.2806168 | 0.0011689668 | 1.0E-4 |
6.8 | 1.2924105E-6 | 1.7285423E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7285423E-6 | 0.0 | 5.5388905E-6 | 7.4080203E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.4080203E-6 | 0.0 | 6.74339E-5 | 9.0189445E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0189445E-5 | 0.0 | 6.741344E-4 | 9.061659E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.3310652 | 0.0010060753 | 1.0E-4 |
6.9 | 8.9075286E-7 | 1.1150751E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1150751E-6 | 0.0 | 3.8175067E-6 | 4.7788853E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.7788853E-6 | 0.0 | 4.6477155E-5 | 5.81816E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.81816E-5 | 0.0 | 4.6467435E-4 | 5.8528245E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.34171537 | 5.8528245E-4 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 6.6891175E-7 | 8.455752E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.455752E-7 | 0.0 | 2.8667614E-6 | 3.6238898E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.6238898E-6 | 0.0 | 3.4902263E-5 | 4.412016E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.412016E-5 | 0.0 | 3.4896782E-4 | 4.4360769E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.45084882 | 4.4360769E-4 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 4.4205015E-7 | 5.368283E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.368283E-7 | 0.0 | 1.8944993E-6 | 2.3006914E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3006914E-6 | 0.0 | 2.3065284E-5 | 2.8010727E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8010727E-5 | 0.0 | 2.3062891E-4 | 2.8143072E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.35532722 | 2.8143072E-4 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.6620965E-7 | 1.5892638E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5892638E-7 | 0.0 | 7.123269E-7 | 6.811129E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.811129E-7 | 0.0 | 8.672545E-6 | 8.292523E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.292523E-6 | 0.0 | 8.6722066E-5 | 8.3031395E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.3031395E-5 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.2142488E-7 | 1.1671374E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1671374E-7 | 0.0 | 5.2039223E-7 | 5.002017E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.002017E-7 | 0.0 | 6.335757E-6 | 6.089942E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.089942E-6 | 0.0 | 6.3355765E-5 | 6.092829E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.092829E-5 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.4192937E-8 | 2.4460066E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4460066E-8 | 0.0 | 1.0368401E-7 | 1.0482885E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0482885E-7 | 0.0 | 1.2623522E-6 | 1.2762905E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2762905E-6 | 0.0 | 1.2623449E-5 | 1.2724002E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2724002E-5 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.4432802E-8 | 1.4478527E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4478527E-8 | 0.0 | 6.185486E-8 | 6.205083E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.205083E-8 | 0.0 | 7.530827E-7 | 7.5546865E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.5546865E-7 | 0.0 | 7.530801E-6 | 7.5131766E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.5131766E-6 | 0.0 |
Mount Diablo Thrust South
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2377444E-5 | 2.6891565E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6891565E-5 | 0.0 | 9.5899806E-5 | 1.1524554E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.86771256 | 1.1524554E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011669548 | 0.0014024085 | 0.0012 | 0.8556708 | 0.0015022682 | 1.0E-4 | 0.011608457 | 0.013955617 | 0.0109 | 0.7810475 | 0.018195609 | 0.0043 |
6.1 | 2.2377444E-5 | 2.6891565E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6891565E-5 | 0.0 | 9.5899806E-5 | 1.1524554E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.86771256 | 1.1524554E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011669548 | 0.0014024085 | 0.0012 | 0.8556708 | 0.0015022682 | 1.0E-4 | 0.011608457 | 0.013955617 | 0.0109 | 0.7810475 | 0.018195609 | 0.0043 |
6.2 | 2.2377444E-5 | 2.6891565E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6891565E-5 | 0.0 | 9.5899806E-5 | 1.1524554E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.86771256 | 1.1524554E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011669548 | 0.0014024085 | 0.0012 | 0.8556708 | 0.0015022682 | 1.0E-4 | 0.011608457 | 0.013955617 | 0.0109 | 0.7810475 | 0.018195609 | 0.0043 |
6.3 | 2.2377444E-5 | 2.6891565E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6891565E-5 | 0.0 | 9.5899806E-5 | 1.1524554E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.86771256 | 1.1524554E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011669548 | 0.0014024085 | 0.0012 | 0.8556708 | 0.0015022682 | 1.0E-4 | 0.011608457 | 0.013955617 | 0.0109 | 0.7810475 | 0.018195609 | 0.0043 |
6.4 | 1.2228463E-5 | 1.4708772E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4708772E-5 | 0.0 | 5.2406645E-5 | 6.303615E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.303615E-5 | 0.0 | 6.378641E-4 | 7.672076E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.52137125 | 8.671309E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0063603627 | 0.007647469 | 0.0038 | 0.49689642 | 0.008739057 | 0.0011 |
6.5 | 1.2228463E-5 | 1.4708772E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4708772E-5 | 0.0 | 5.2406645E-5 | 6.303615E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.303615E-5 | 0.0 | 6.378641E-4 | 7.672076E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.52137125 | 8.671309E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0063603627 | 0.007647469 | 0.0038 | 0.49689642 | 0.008739057 | 0.0011 |
6.6 | 1.2068118E-5 | 1.4514011E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4514011E-5 | 0.0 | 5.1719482E-5 | 6.220149E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.220149E-5 | 0.0 | 6.2950276E-4 | 7.570528E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.5283647 | 8.5697713E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006277225 | 0.007546615 | 0.0038 | 0.503537 | 0.008638314 | 0.0011 |
6.7 | 1.1499428E-5 | 1.3838028E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3838028E-5 | 0.0 | 4.9282335E-5 | 5.930456E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.930456E-5 | 0.0 | 5.9984723E-4 | 7.218065E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.5541651 | 8.217343E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0059823063 | 0.007196482 | 0.0038 | 0.52803576 | 0.008288566 | 0.0011 |
6.8 | 8.82118E-6 | 1.0797723E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0797723E-5 | 0.0 | 3.780451E-5 | 4.6275163E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.6275163E-5 | 0.0 | 4.601727E-4 | 5.6326005E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.5326137 | 6.632037E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0045922096 | 0.00561947 | 0.0026 | 0.46267706 | 0.0063155363 | 7.0E-4 |
6.9 | 8.047112E-6 | 9.908106E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.908106E-6 | 0.0 | 3.4487166E-5 | 4.246265E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.246265E-5 | 0.0 | 4.1980037E-4 | 5.1686534E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.5804219 | 6.1681366E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004190082 | 0.005157742 | 0.0024 | 0.4653199 | 0.0058541317 | 7.0E-4 |
7.0 | 6.2574763E-6 | 7.73202E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.73202E-6 | 0.0 | 2.681748E-5 | 3.313683E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.313683E-5 | 0.0 | 3.264539E-4 | 4.0336986E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.74373424 | 5.0332956E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0032597475 | 0.004027368 | 0.0018 | 0.446942 | 0.0045253546 | 5.0E-4 |
7.1 | 3.6485903E-6 | 4.5020347E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.5020347E-6 | 0.0 | 1.5636722E-5 | 1.9294295E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9294295E-5 | 0.0 | 1.9036046E-4 | 2.3488312E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.277231 | 3.3485962E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0019019748 | 0.0023466544 | 0.0013 | 0.5539802 | 0.0026459503 | 3.0E-4 |
7.2 | 2.3034274E-6 | 2.8973452E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8973452E-6 | 0.0 | 9.871795E-6 | 1.2417136E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2417136E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2018247E-4 | 1.5116838E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.323028 | 2.5115325E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0012011749 | 0.0015108308 | 8.0E-4 | 0.52951 | 0.0017105286 | 2.0E-4 |
7.3 | 1.224035E-6 | 1.5621736E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5621736E-6 | 0.0 | 5.245854E-6 | 6.695013E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.695013E-6 | 0.0 | 6.38664E-5 | 8.150884E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2268608 | 8.150884E-5 | 0.0 | 6.384805E-4 | 8.14873E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.6135925 | 9.1479154E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.4 | 5.1601154E-7 | 6.7047233E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.7047233E-7 | 0.0 | 2.2114762E-6 | 2.8734498E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8734498E-6 | 0.0 | 2.6924388E-5 | 3.4983706E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.8584735 | 3.4983706E-5 | 0.0 | 2.6921128E-4 | 3.4979658E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.28588045 | 3.4979658E-4 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 3.552894E-7 | 4.6502333E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.6502333E-7 | 0.0 | 1.5226678E-6 | 1.9929557E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9929557E-6 | 0.0 | 1.8538323E-5 | 2.426398E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.1213355 | 2.426398E-5 | 0.0 | 1.8536777E-4 | 2.4257129E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.41224992 | 2.4257129E-4 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.3124082E-7 | 1.7187479E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7187479E-7 | 0.0 | 5.6246057E-7 | 7.3660607E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.3660607E-7 | 0.0 | 6.8479358E-6 | 8.968151E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.968151E-6 | 0.0 | 6.8477246E-5 | 8.96526E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.96526E-5 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 3.6193022E-8 | 4.7321272E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.7321272E-8 | 0.0 | 1.5511293E-7 | 2.0280545E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0280545E-7 | 0.0 | 1.8884983E-6 | 2.4691547E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4691547E-6 | 0.0 | 1.8884823E-5 | 2.4696754E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4696754E-5 | 0.0 |
Little Salmon (Onshore)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.1582247E-5 | 5.143167E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.143167E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7819746E-4 | 2.2040741E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2040741E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0021673953 | 0.002680972 | 0.0018 | 0.6713983 | 0.0031796314 | 5.0E-4 | 0.021463778 | 0.026835978 | 0.0176 | 0.655836 | 0.031020584 | 0.0043 |
6.1 | 4.1582247E-5 | 5.143167E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.143167E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7819746E-4 | 2.2040741E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2040741E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0021673953 | 0.002680972 | 0.0018 | 0.6713983 | 0.0031796314 | 5.0E-4 | 0.021463778 | 0.026835978 | 0.0176 | 0.655836 | 0.031020584 | 0.0043 |
6.2 | 4.1582247E-5 | 5.143167E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.143167E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7819746E-4 | 2.2040741E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2040741E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0021673953 | 0.002680972 | 0.0018 | 0.6713983 | 0.0031796314 | 5.0E-4 | 0.021463778 | 0.026835978 | 0.0176 | 0.655836 | 0.031020584 | 0.0043 |
6.3 | 4.1582247E-5 | 5.143167E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.143167E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7819746E-4 | 2.2040741E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2040741E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0021673953 | 0.002680972 | 0.0018 | 0.6713983 | 0.0031796314 | 5.0E-4 | 0.021463778 | 0.026835978 | 0.0176 | 0.655836 | 0.031020584 | 0.0043 |
6.4 | 4.1582247E-5 | 5.143167E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.143167E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7819746E-4 | 2.2040741E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2040741E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0021673953 | 0.002680972 | 0.0018 | 0.6713983 | 0.0031796314 | 5.0E-4 | 0.021463778 | 0.026835978 | 0.0176 | 0.655836 | 0.031020584 | 0.0043 |
6.5 | 4.1582247E-5 | 5.143167E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.143167E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7819746E-4 | 2.2040741E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2040741E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0021673953 | 0.002680972 | 0.0018 | 0.6713983 | 0.0031796314 | 5.0E-4 | 0.021463778 | 0.026835978 | 0.0176 | 0.655836 | 0.031020584 | 0.0043 |
6.6 | 4.1582247E-5 | 5.143167E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.143167E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7819746E-4 | 2.2040741E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2040741E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0021673953 | 0.002680972 | 0.0018 | 0.6713983 | 0.0031796314 | 5.0E-4 | 0.021463778 | 0.026835978 | 0.0176 | 0.655836 | 0.031020584 | 0.0043 |
6.7 | 4.1582247E-5 | 5.143167E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.143167E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7819746E-4 | 2.2040741E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2040741E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0021673953 | 0.002680972 | 0.0018 | 0.6713983 | 0.0031796314 | 5.0E-4 | 0.021463778 | 0.026835978 | 0.0176 | 0.655836 | 0.031020584 | 0.0043 |
6.8 | 3.4607925E-5 | 4.0632807E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0632807E-5 | 0.0 | 1.4831126E-4 | 1.7413315E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7413315E-4 | 0.0 | 0.001804194 | 0.0021187498 | 0.0014 | 0.660767 | 0.0026176905 | 5.0E-4 | 0.01789616 | 0.021293357 | 0.0133 | 0.6246079 | 0.024523089 | 0.0033 |
6.9 | 3.4607925E-5 | 4.0632807E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0632807E-5 | 0.0 | 1.4831126E-4 | 1.7413315E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7413315E-4 | 0.0 | 0.001804194 | 0.0021187498 | 0.0014 | 0.660767 | 0.0026176905 | 5.0E-4 | 0.01789616 | 0.021293357 | 0.0133 | 0.6246079 | 0.024523089 | 0.0033 |
7.0 | 1.8411014E-5 | 1.7161936E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7161936E-5 | 0.0 | 7.8901954E-5 | 7.3549374E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.3549374E-5 | 0.0 | 9.6020795E-4 | 8.9514843E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.44685328 | 9.950589E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.009560696 | 0.008940588 | 0.0061 | 0.6822818 | 0.010526283 | 0.0016 |
7.1 | 1.6183103E-5 | 1.4098013E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4098013E-5 | 0.0 | 6.935431E-5 | 6.041892E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.041892E-5 | 0.0 | 8.440616E-4 | 7.353988E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.4079419 | 8.353253E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.008408628 | 0.007354235 | 0.005 | 0.6798804 | 0.008644674 | 0.0013 |
7.2 | 1.4868988E-5 | 1.2485594E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2485594E-5 | 0.0 | 6.372268E-5 | 5.350884E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.350884E-5 | 0.0 | 7.755474E-4 | 6.513198E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.30706882 | 6.513198E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0077284635 | 0.006518235 | 0.0045 | 0.6903709 | 0.007710413 | 0.0012 |
7.3 | 9.3599865E-6 | 7.63674E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.63674E-6 | 0.0 | 4.011361E-5 | 3.2728673E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2728673E-5 | 0.0 | 4.8827377E-4 | 3.9843383E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.2509827 | 3.9843383E-4 | 0.0 | 0.004872023 | 0.0039928746 | 0.0025 | 0.6261153 | 0.00469008 | 7.0E-4 |
7.4 | 5.941556E-6 | 4.913584E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.913584E-6 | 0.0 | 2.5463563E-5 | 2.1058217E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1058217E-5 | 0.0 | 3.0997477E-4 | 2.5638376E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.39004028 | 2.5638376E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0030954275 | 0.0025715034 | 0.0013 | 0.50554085 | 0.0030702178 | 5.0E-4 |
Palos Verdes
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.126063E-5 | 7.6033015E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.6033015E-5 | 0.0 | 2.6251914E-4 | 3.258184E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.9207583 | 3.258184E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0031914865 | 0.003960153 | 0.0014 | 0.3535217 | 0.0041593607 | 2.0E-4 | 0.031460393 | 0.038952567 | 0.0183 | 0.46980217 | 0.043181177 | 0.0044 |
6.1 | 6.126063E-5 | 7.6033015E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.6033015E-5 | 0.0 | 2.6251914E-4 | 3.258184E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.9207583 | 3.258184E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0031914865 | 0.003960153 | 0.0014 | 0.3535217 | 0.0041593607 | 2.0E-4 | 0.031460393 | 0.038952567 | 0.0183 | 0.46980217 | 0.043181177 | 0.0044 |
6.2 | 6.126063E-5 | 7.6033015E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.6033015E-5 | 0.0 | 2.6251914E-4 | 3.258184E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.9207583 | 3.258184E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0031914865 | 0.003960153 | 0.0014 | 0.3535217 | 0.0041593607 | 2.0E-4 | 0.031460393 | 0.038952567 | 0.0183 | 0.46980217 | 0.043181177 | 0.0044 |
6.3 | 4.0838047E-5 | 4.9635695E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.9635695E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7500846E-4 | 2.1270833E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.9402547 | 2.1270833E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0021286458 | 0.0025868537 | 0.001 | 0.38657 | 0.0027863362 | 2.0E-4 | 0.021083709 | 0.025589142 | 0.0128 | 0.50021213 | 0.028512375 | 0.003 |
6.4 | 4.0838047E-5 | 4.9635695E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.9635695E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7500846E-4 | 2.1270833E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.9402547 | 2.1270833E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0021286458 | 0.0025868537 | 0.001 | 0.38657 | 0.0027863362 | 2.0E-4 | 0.021083709 | 0.025589142 | 0.0128 | 0.50021213 | 0.028512375 | 0.003 |
6.5 | 3.0512005E-5 | 3.6485533E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.6485533E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3075917E-4 | 1.5635787E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.2791169 | 1.5635787E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0015908304 | 0.001902111 | 0.001 | 0.5257317 | 0.0021017306 | 2.0E-4 | 0.015794903 | 0.01887022 | 0.0091 | 0.48224133 | 0.021126818 | 0.0023 |
6.6 | 2.9255087E-5 | 3.5080087E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5080087E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2537291E-4 | 1.5033523E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.3303603 | 1.5033523E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0015253464 | 0.0018289083 | 0.001 | 0.54677427 | 0.0020285426 | 2.0E-4 | 0.015149189 | 0.018150162 | 0.0089 | 0.49035373 | 0.020310232 | 0.0022 |
6.7 | 2.287198E-5 | 2.71935E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.71935E-5 | 0.0 | 9.801909E-5 | 1.1653888E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.7161654 | 1.1653888E-4 | 0.0 | 0.001192729 | 0.0014180287 | 9.0E-4 | 0.6346839 | 0.0016177451 | 2.0E-4 | 0.011863477 | 0.014098996 | 0.0073 | 0.51776737 | 0.015972208 | 0.0019 |
6.8 | 2.1325764E-5 | 2.538045E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.538045E-5 | 0.0 | 9.139293E-5 | 1.0876933E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.8387537 | 1.0876933E-4 | 0.0 | 0.001112141 | 0.001323552 | 7.0E-4 | 0.5288799 | 0.001323552 | 0.0 | 0.011065915 | 0.013165689 | 0.0067 | 0.50889856 | 0.014843307 | 0.0017 |
6.9 | 1.9009392E-5 | 2.2568487E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2568487E-5 | 0.0 | 8.1466285E-5 | 9.671899E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.0678463 | 9.671899E-5 | 0.0 | 9.914007E-4 | 0.0011770045 | 7.0E-4 | 0.5947301 | 0.0011770045 | 0.0 | 0.009869894 | 0.011716356 | 0.0059 | 0.50356954 | 0.013099953 | 0.0014 |
7.0 | 1.7098473E-5 | 2.027909E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.027909E-5 | 0.0 | 7.3277115E-5 | 8.6907974E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.3012848 | 8.6907974E-5 | 0.0 | 8.917837E-4 | 0.0010576758 | 7.0E-4 | 0.6618285 | 0.0010576758 | 0.0 | 0.008882134 | 0.010534819 | 0.0056 | 0.5315706 | 0.011821124 | 0.0013 |
7.1 | 1.5982785E-5 | 1.89571E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.89571E-5 | 0.0 | 6.849585E-5 | 8.1242666E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.4617608 | 8.1242666E-5 | 0.0 | 8.336179E-4 | 9.887649E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.70795393 | 9.887649E-4 | 0.0 | 0.008304977 | 0.009851984 | 0.0053 | 0.53796273 | 0.011139177 | 0.0013 |
7.2 | 1.4468002E-5 | 1.716309E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.716309E-5 | 0.0 | 6.200425E-5 | 7.3554496E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.3595362 | 7.3554496E-5 | 0.0 | 7.546402E-4 | 8.9524174E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.67021006 | 8.9524174E-4 | 0.0 | 0.007520827 | 0.008924588 | 0.0045 | 0.504225 | 0.010113878 | 0.0012 |
7.3 | 5.288233E-6 | 6.192199E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.192199E-6 | 0.0 | 2.2663658E-5 | 2.6537922E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6537922E-5 | 0.0 | 2.7589512E-4 | 3.2308605E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.9285452 | 3.2308605E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0027555283 | 0.0032295715 | 0.0014 | 0.43349406 | 0.0038276338 | 6.0E-4 |
7.4 | 8.279556E-7 | 8.406981E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.406981E-7 | 0.0 | 3.5483763E-6 | 3.6029871E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.6029871E-6 | 0.0 | 4.3200624E-5 | 4.386556E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.386556E-5 | 0.0 | 4.3192226E-4 | 4.3857621E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.45602107 | 5.385324E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.5 | 6.559831E-7 | 6.666089E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.666089E-7 | 0.0 | 2.8113532E-6 | 2.8568925E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8568925E-6 | 0.0 | 3.4227687E-5 | 3.478218E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.478218E-5 | 0.0 | 3.4222414E-4 | 3.4777398E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.5750862 | 4.477392E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.6 | 3.5018968E-7 | 3.5613644E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5613644E-7 | 0.0 | 1.500812E-6 | 1.5262984E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5262984E-6 | 0.0 | 1.8272232E-5 | 1.8582572E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8582572E-5 | 0.0 | 1.8270731E-4 | 1.8581477E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8581477E-4 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.1986104E-7 | 1.2196121E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2196121E-7 | 0.0 | 5.1369005E-7 | 5.226908E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.226908E-7 | 0.0 | 6.2541585E-6 | 6.363742E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.363742E-6 | 0.0 | 6.2539824E-5 | 6.363564E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.363564E-5 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.0445005E-8 | 3.1021386E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1021386E-8 | 0.0 | 1.3047858E-7 | 1.3294878E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3294878E-7 | 0.0 | 1.5885756E-6 | 1.6186506E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6186506E-6 | 0.0 | 1.5885644E-5 | 1.6186408E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6186408E-5 | 0.0 |
Keddie Ridge 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2591947E-5 | 2.5158795E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5158795E-5 | 0.0 | 9.6819036E-5 | 1.078194E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.9274769 | 1.078194E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011781343 | 0.0013119896 | 0.0013 | 0.99086154 | 0.0018113336 | 5.0E-4 | 0.011719079 | 0.013050364 | 0.01 | 0.7662621 | 0.017195553 | 0.0042 |
6.1 | 2.2591947E-5 | 2.5158795E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5158795E-5 | 0.0 | 9.6819036E-5 | 1.078194E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.9274769 | 1.078194E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011781343 | 0.0013119896 | 0.0013 | 0.99086154 | 0.0018113336 | 5.0E-4 | 0.011719079 | 0.013050364 | 0.0084 | 0.6436602 | 0.016307298 | 0.0033 |
6.2 | 1.3775145E-5 | 1.5304711E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5304711E-5 | 0.0 | 5.9035E-5 | 6.559011E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5246202 | 6.559011E-5 | 0.0 | 7.185141E-4 | 7.982911E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.8768731 | 9.981315E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0071619535 | 0.007956649 | 0.0041 | 0.5152923 | 0.009147101 | 0.0012 |
6.3 | 9.705435E-6 | 1.07559135E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.07559135E-5 | 0.0 | 4.1594063E-5 | 4.6096025E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.1693842 | 4.6096025E-5 | 0.0 | 5.0629E-4 | 5.61087E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.8911274 | 6.610309E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005051381 | 0.005597932 | 0.0032 | 0.5716397 | 0.0063934536 | 8.0E-4 |
6.4 | 7.2549733E-6 | 8.018234E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.018234E-6 | 0.0 | 3.109237E-5 | 3.4363453E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.9100685 | 3.4363453E-5 | 0.0 | 3.7848388E-4 | 4.183027E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.95624536 | 5.182609E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.003778399 | 0.004175939 | 0.0024 | 0.57472104 | 0.0047734333 | 6.0E-4 |
6.5 | 5.983293E-6 | 6.6056505E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.6056505E-6 | 0.0 | 2.5642432E-5 | 2.8309662E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8309662E-5 | 0.0 | 3.1215188E-4 | 3.4462236E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.87051815 | 4.4458787E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0031171376 | 0.0034415408 | 0.002 | 0.58113503 | 0.0040394757 | 6.0E-4 |
6.6 | 4.0336154E-6 | 4.4528106E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.4528106E-6 | 0.0 | 1.728681E-5 | 1.9083356E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9083356E-5 | 0.0 | 2.1044657E-4 | 2.3231911E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.4304424 | 2.3231911E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002102474 | 0.002321158 | 0.0014 | 0.6031472 | 0.0028199975 | 5.0E-4 |
6.7 | 1.5832104E-6 | 1.7792295E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7792295E-6 | 0.0 | 6.7851697E-6 | 7.6252486E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.6252486E-6 | 0.0 | 8.260631E-5 | 9.283372E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.283372E-5 | 0.0 | 8.2575605E-4 | 9.27976E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 0.8620913 | 0.0011277904 | 2.0E-4 |
6.8 | 7.5177275E-7 | 8.5773416E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.5773416E-7 | 0.0 | 3.221879E-6 | 3.6759993E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.6759993E-6 | 0.0 | 3.9225673E-5 | 4.4754543E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.4754543E-5 | 0.0 | 3.921875E-4 | 4.4747177E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.8939111 | 5.4742704E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
Surprise Valley 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.0396248E-5 | 4.479939E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.479939E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7311527E-4 | 1.9198445E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9198445E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002105641 | 0.0023351142 | 0.0012 | 0.5138935 | 0.00273418 | 4.0E-4 | 0.020858008 | 0.023127439 | 0.0125 | 0.54048353 | 0.026253432 | 0.0032 |
6.1 | 4.0396248E-5 | 4.479939E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.479939E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7311527E-4 | 1.9198445E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9198445E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002105641 | 0.0023351142 | 0.0012 | 0.5138935 | 0.00273418 | 4.0E-4 | 0.020858008 | 0.023127439 | 0.0125 | 0.54048353 | 0.026253432 | 0.0032 |
6.2 | 2.2295266E-5 | 2.4377101E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4377101E-5 | 0.0 | 9.554764E-5 | 1.0446928E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0446928E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011626717 | 0.0012712021 | 6.0E-4 | 0.4719942 | 0.0015708207 | 3.0E-4 | 0.011566074 | 0.012642533 | 0.0067 | 0.5299571 | 0.0145185115 | 0.0019 |
6.3 | 1.572643E-5 | 1.7081213E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7081213E-5 | 0.0 | 6.7397246E-5 | 7.3203206E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.3203206E-5 | 0.0 | 8.202525E-4 | 8.908951E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.22449332 | 9.90806E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.008172315 | 0.00887434 | 0.0048 | 0.54088527 | 0.010460141 | 0.0016 |
6.4 | 1.5714395E-5 | 1.7069036E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7069036E-5 | 0.0 | 6.734567E-5 | 7.315102E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.315102E-5 | 0.0 | 8.1962504E-4 | 8.902603E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.22465341 | 9.901712E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.008166086 | 0.008868042 | 0.0048 | 0.54126936 | 0.010453854 | 0.0016 |
6.5 | 1.2733495E-5 | 1.3789486E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3789486E-5 | 0.0 | 5.457098E-5 | 5.9096496E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.9096496E-5 | 0.0 | 6.641992E-4 | 7.19269E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.13903005 | 8.1919704E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0066221743 | 0.0071701026 | 0.0037 | 0.5160317 | 0.008560064 | 0.0014 |
6.6 | 1.0983784E-5 | 1.1876331E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1876331E-5 | 0.0 | 4.7072506E-5 | 5.0897597E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0897597E-5 | 0.0 | 5.7295704E-4 | 6.195074E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.16141857 | 7.1944547E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0057148207 | 0.0061783525 | 0.0035 | 0.56649405 | 0.007569703 | 0.0014 |
6.7 | 9.104806E-6 | 9.831182E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.831182E-6 | 0.0 | 3.902001E-5 | 4.213298E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.213298E-5 | 0.0 | 4.7496508E-4 | 5.128522E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.19498795 | 6.128009E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004739512 | 0.005117083 | 0.0032 | 0.6253563 | 0.0064104307 | 0.0013 |
6.8 | 6.2162403E-6 | 6.6986236E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.6986236E-6 | 0.0 | 2.6640759E-5 | 2.8708082E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8708082E-5 | 0.0 | 3.2430296E-4 | 3.4946707E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.28614998 | 4.4943212E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.003238301 | 0.0034893982 | 0.0024 | 0.68779767 | 0.004685211 | 0.0012 |
6.9 | 4.1792696E-6 | 4.499571E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.499571E-6 | 0.0 | 1.7911032E-5 | 1.9283741E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9283741E-5 | 0.0 | 2.1804498E-4 | 2.347558E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.42597458 | 3.3473232E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0021783116 | 0.0023452311 | 0.0015 | 0.6395958 | 0.003143355 | 8.0E-4 |
7.0 | 2.7478413E-6 | 2.9598184E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9598184E-6 | 0.0 | 1.177641E-5 | 1.2684882E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2684882E-5 | 0.0 | 1.4336836E-4 | 1.5442874E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5442874E-4 | 0.0 | 0.001432759 | 0.0015433364 | 9.0E-4 | 0.5831522 | 0.0022422562 | 7.0E-4 |
7.1 | 8.128648E-7 | 8.718175E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.718175E-7 | 0.0 | 3.4837017E-6 | 3.7363588E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.7363588E-6 | 0.0 | 4.2413245E-5 | 4.5489818E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.5489818E-5 | 0.0 | 4.2405148E-4 | 4.5486377E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.87938416 | 7.5472734E-4 | 3.0E-4 |
7.2 | 4.8641045E-8 | 4.9393996E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.9393996E-8 | 0.0 | 2.084616E-7 | 2.1168853E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1168853E-7 | 0.0 | 2.538017E-6 | 2.577305E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.577305E-6 | 0.0 | 2.537988E-5 | 2.5772762E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5772762E-5 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.3911844E-9 | 5.474917E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.474917E-9 | 0.0 | 2.3105075E-8 | 2.346393E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.346393E-8 | 0.0 | 2.8130427E-7 | 2.856733E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.856733E-7 | 0.0 | 2.8130391E-6 | 2.856731E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.856731E-6 | 0.0 |
Elysian Park (Upper)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.695652E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.7058825 | 3.695652E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5837819E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.2628001 | 1.5837819E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0019270205 | 0.0013 | 0.6746166 | 0.0023262496 | 4.0E-4 | 0.016495159 | 0.019149428 | 0.0144 | 0.75198066 | 0.023072831 | 0.004 |
6.1 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.695652E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.7058825 | 3.695652E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5837819E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.2628001 | 1.5837819E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0019270205 | 0.0013 | 0.6746166 | 0.0023262496 | 4.0E-4 | 0.016495159 | 0.019149428 | 0.0144 | 0.75198066 | 0.023072831 | 0.004 |
6.2 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.695652E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.7058825 | 3.695652E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5837819E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.2628001 | 1.5837819E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0019270205 | 0.0013 | 0.6746166 | 0.0023262496 | 4.0E-4 | 0.016495159 | 0.019149428 | 0.0144 | 0.75198066 | 0.023072831 | 0.004 |
6.3 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.695652E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.7058825 | 3.695652E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5837819E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.2628001 | 1.5837819E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0019270205 | 0.0013 | 0.6746166 | 0.0023262496 | 4.0E-4 | 0.016495159 | 0.019149428 | 0.0144 | 0.75198066 | 0.023072831 | 0.004 |
6.4 | 1.9273462E-5 | 2.1165475E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1165475E-5 | 0.0 | 8.259794E-5 | 9.0707E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0707E-5 | 0.0 | 0.001005166 | 0.0011039689 | 5.0E-4 | 0.4529113 | 0.0012038586 | 1.0E-4 | 0.010006315 | 0.011001604 | 0.0079 | 0.7180771 | 0.012979601 | 0.002 |
6.5 | 1.9273462E-5 | 2.1165475E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1165475E-5 | 0.0 | 8.259794E-5 | 9.0707E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0707E-5 | 0.0 | 0.001005166 | 0.0011039689 | 5.0E-4 | 0.4529113 | 0.0012038586 | 1.0E-4 | 0.010006315 | 0.011001604 | 0.0079 | 0.7180771 | 0.012979601 | 0.002 |
6.6 | 9.813258E-6 | 9.654885E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.654885E-6 | 0.0 | 4.205614E-5 | 4.137746E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.137746E-5 | 0.0 | 5.119132E-4 | 5.036614E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.3970922 | 5.036614E-4 | 0.0 | 0.005107356 | 0.005025921 | 0.0035 | 0.6963898 | 0.0060208947 | 0.001 |
6.7 | 9.801478E-6 | 9.642462E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.642462E-6 | 0.0 | 4.2005657E-5 | 4.1324223E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.1324223E-5 | 0.0 | 5.112989E-4 | 5.030135E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.39760366 | 5.030135E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0051012407 | 0.005019471 | 0.0035 | 0.69728464 | 0.0060144514 | 0.001 |
6.8 | 8.102489E-6 | 7.764399E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.764399E-6 | 0.0 | 3.4724493E-5 | 3.32756E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.32756E-5 | 0.0 | 4.2268867E-4 | 4.0506007E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.49375394 | 4.0506007E-4 | 0.0 | 0.004218856 | 0.00404371 | 0.0029 | 0.7171632 | 0.0047408794 | 7.0E-4 |
6.9 | 6.08275E-6 | 5.4760635E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.4760635E-6 | 0.0 | 2.6068668E-5 | 2.3468636E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3468636E-5 | 0.0 | 3.173398E-4 | 2.8569394E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.7000498 | 2.8569394E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0031688702 | 0.0028533442 | 0.0022 | 0.7710251 | 0.0033519175 | 5.0E-4 |
7.0 | 5.5995934E-6 | 4.9778587E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.9778587E-6 | 0.0 | 2.3998036E-5 | 2.133351E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.133351E-5 | 0.0 | 2.9213692E-4 | 2.5970518E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.770104 | 2.5970518E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0029175316 | 0.002594084 | 0.002 | 0.77098507 | 0.0029930465 | 4.0E-4 |
7.1 | 4.709881E-6 | 4.0832947E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0832947E-6 | 0.0 | 2.0185047E-5 | 1.749972E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.749972E-5 | 0.0 | 2.4572524E-4 | 2.1303867E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1303867E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002454537 | 0.0021283857 | 0.0014 | 0.6577755 | 0.0024277472 | 3.0E-4 |
7.2 | 3.6063436E-6 | 2.974887E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.974887E-6 | 0.0 | 1.5455667E-5 | 1.2749454E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2749454E-5 | 0.0 | 1.881565E-4 | 1.5521365E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5521365E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0018799726 | 0.0015510637 | 9.0E-4 | 0.580247 | 0.0017507535 | 2.0E-4 |
7.3 | 2.471135E-6 | 2.093369E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.093369E-6 | 0.0 | 1.0590536E-5 | 8.97155E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.97155E-6 | 0.0 | 1.2893214E-4 | 1.0922323E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0922323E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0012885736 | 0.0010917026 | 8.0E-4 | 0.7328003 | 0.0012914843 | 2.0E-4 |
7.4 | 1.163943E-6 | 1.0265575E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0265575E-6 | 0.0 | 4.988318E-6 | 4.3995246E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.3995246E-6 | 0.0 | 6.0731076E-5 | 5.3562926E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.3562926E-5 | 0.0 | 6.071448E-4 | 5.3550315E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.307182 | 7.3539605E-4 | 2.0E-4 |
7.5 | 4.99459E-7 | 4.9131404E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.9131404E-7 | 0.0 | 2.140537E-6 | 2.1056298E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1056298E-6 | 0.0 | 2.6060725E-5 | 2.5635758E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5635758E-5 | 0.0 | 2.605767E-4 | 2.5632957E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.78024554 | 3.5630394E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.6 | 2.4667852E-7 | 2.4751705E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4751705E-7 | 0.0 | 1.0571932E-6 | 1.060787E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.060787E-6 | 0.0 | 1.2871251E-5 | 1.29150085E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.29150085E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2870505E-4 | 1.2914295E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2914295E-4 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 8.2312795E-8 | 7.371992E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.371992E-8 | 0.0 | 3.527691E-7 | 3.1594246E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1594246E-7 | 0.0 | 4.294955E-6 | 3.8465937E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.8465937E-6 | 0.0 | 4.2948723E-5 | 3.8465387E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.8465387E-5 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.7819295E-8 | 1.7463728E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7463728E-8 | 0.0 | 1.1922555E-7 | 7.484455E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.484455E-8 | 0.0 | 1.45157E-6 | 9.112322E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.112322E-7 | 0.0 | 1.45156055E-5 | 9.112299E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.112299E-6 | 0.0 |
Bicycle Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9621975E-5 | 2.2067992E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2067992E-5 | 0.0 | 8.4091465E-5 | 9.457444E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.457444E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010233327 | 0.0011509702 | 7.0E-4 | 0.60818255 | 0.0015505098 | 4.0E-4 | 0.01018633 | 0.011463366 | 0.0114 | 0.9944722 | 0.015219806 | 0.0038 |
6.1 | 1.9621975E-5 | 2.2067992E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2067992E-5 | 0.0 | 8.4091465E-5 | 9.457444E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.457444E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010233327 | 0.0011509702 | 7.0E-4 | 0.60818255 | 0.0015505098 | 4.0E-4 | 0.01018633 | 0.011463366 | 0.0114 | 0.9944722 | 0.015219806 | 0.0038 |
6.2 | 9.9971285E-6 | 1.1240861E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1240861E-5 | 0.0 | 4.2844134E-5 | 4.817452E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.817452E-5 | 0.0 | 5.2150246E-4 | 5.864188E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.6821064 | 7.863015E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0052028033 | 0.005853805 | 0.0062 | 1.0591401 | 0.007941512 | 0.0021 |
6.3 | 9.589428E-6 | 1.0784147E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0784147E-5 | 0.0 | 4.10969E-5 | 4.6217247E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.6217247E-5 | 0.0 | 5.002399E-4 | 5.6260143E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.7109829 | 7.624889E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0049911533 | 0.005616848 | 0.0058 | 1.0326077 | 0.007605614 | 0.002 |
6.4 | 9.589428E-6 | 1.0784147E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0784147E-5 | 0.0 | 4.10969E-5 | 4.6217247E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.6217247E-5 | 0.0 | 5.002399E-4 | 5.6260143E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.7109829 | 7.624889E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0049911533 | 0.005616848 | 0.0058 | 1.0326077 | 0.007605614 | 0.002 |
6.5 | 5.557707E-6 | 6.2770173E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.2770173E-6 | 0.0 | 2.3818526E-5 | 2.6901376E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6901376E-5 | 0.0 | 2.8995197E-4 | 3.2750185E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.30534178 | 4.274691E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0028957394 | 0.003272821 | 0.0032 | 0.97774976 | 0.0044688936 | 0.0012 |
6.6 | 4.8742945E-6 | 5.505753E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.505753E-6 | 0.0 | 2.0889667E-5 | 2.359602E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.359602E-5 | 0.0 | 2.54302E-4 | 2.872698E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.34810483 | 3.8724105E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.002540112 | 0.0028715462 | 0.0029 | 1.0099089 | 0.0039683874 | 0.0011 |
6.7 | 3.991108E-6 | 4.5097186E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.5097186E-6 | 0.0 | 1.7104636E-5 | 1.9327364E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9327364E-5 | 0.0 | 2.0822904E-4 | 2.3531067E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.42497012 | 3.3528713E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0020803404 | 0.0023531066 | 0.0027 | 1.1474193 | 0.0033507536 | 0.001 |
San Pedro Basin
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.3449043E-5 | 6.324608E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.324608E-5 | 0.0 | 2.2904722E-4 | 2.7102992E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7102992E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0027850836 | 0.0032953976 | 0.0017 | 0.515871 | 0.0034947386 | 2.0E-4 | 0.027504366 | 0.032526672 | 0.0196 | 0.6025824 | 0.036299817 | 0.0039 |
6.1 | 5.3449043E-5 | 6.324608E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.324608E-5 | 0.0 | 2.2904722E-4 | 2.7102992E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7102992E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0027850836 | 0.0032953976 | 0.0017 | 0.515871 | 0.0034947386 | 2.0E-4 | 0.027504366 | 0.032526672 | 0.0196 | 0.6025824 | 0.036299817 | 0.0039 |
6.2 | 2.3189454E-5 | 2.6600585E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6600585E-5 | 0.0 | 9.9379584E-5 | 1.1399779E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1399779E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0012092749 | 0.0013870863 | 7.0E-4 | 0.50465494 | 0.0014869476 | 1.0E-4 | 0.012027155 | 0.013789141 | 0.0085 | 0.6164271 | 0.015071214 | 0.0013 |
6.3 | 2.3189454E-5 | 2.6600585E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6600585E-5 | 0.0 | 9.9379584E-5 | 1.1399779E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1399779E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0012092749 | 0.0013870863 | 7.0E-4 | 0.50465494 | 0.0014869476 | 1.0E-4 | 0.012027155 | 0.013789141 | 0.0085 | 0.6164271 | 0.015071214 | 0.0013 |
6.4 | 1.966056E-5 | 2.2429225E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2429225E-5 | 0.0 | 8.425682E-5 | 9.6121934E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.6121934E-5 | 0.0 | 0.001025344 | 0.0011696962 | 7.0E-4 | 0.598446 | 0.0012695793 | 1.0E-4 | 0.010206259 | 0.01163947 | 0.0074 | 0.63576776 | 0.012825503 | 0.0012 |
6.5 | 1.7342953E-5 | 1.9715859E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9715859E-5 | 0.0 | 7.4324824E-5 | 8.4494015E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.4494015E-5 | 0.0 | 9.04529E-4 | 0.0010282659 | 6.0E-4 | 0.58350664 | 0.0011281631 | 1.0E-4 | 0.009008561 | 0.010238793 | 0.0066 | 0.64460725 | 0.011327529 | 0.0011 |
6.6 | 1.439804E-5 | 1.6299215E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6299215E-5 | 0.0 | 6.170443E-5 | 6.985209E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.985209E-5 | 0.0 | 7.509924E-4 | 8.501493E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.3528792 | 8.501493E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0074845953 | 0.008472162 | 0.0052 | 0.61377484 | 0.009166232 | 7.0E-4 |
6.7 | 1.2634884E-5 | 1.42651015E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.42651015E-5 | 0.0 | 5.414838E-5 | 6.113489E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.113489E-5 | 0.0 | 6.590571E-4 | 7.4409344E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.40317518 | 7.4409344E-4 | 0.0 | 0.006571059 | 0.0074190306 | 0.0048 | 0.64698476 | 0.008014579 | 6.0E-4 |
6.8 | 1.146091E-5 | 1.2915136E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2915136E-5 | 0.0 | 4.911726E-5 | 5.5349574E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.5349574E-5 | 0.0 | 5.9783855E-4 | 6.737024E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.29686698 | 6.737024E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0059623276 | 0.0067195306 | 0.0045 | 0.66968966 | 0.007315499 | 6.0E-4 |
6.9 | 9.109035E-6 | 1.0221103E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0221103E-5 | 0.0 | 3.9038136E-5 | 4.3804153E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.3804153E-5 | 0.0 | 4.7518566E-4 | 5.3321297E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.37508467 | 5.3321297E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0047417083 | 0.0053220806 | 0.0031 | 0.58247894 | 0.0059188874 | 6.0E-4 |
7.0 | 5.9351028E-6 | 6.575783E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.575783E-6 | 0.0 | 2.5435906E-5 | 2.8181757E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8181757E-5 | 0.0 | 3.0963816E-4 | 3.430824E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.5829503 | 3.430824E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0030920706 | 0.0034278368 | 0.0019 | 0.5542854 | 0.0038264657 | 4.0E-4 |
7.1 | 2.1557585E-6 | 2.2086524E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2086524E-6 | 0.0 | 9.238933E-6 | 9.46562E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.46562E-6 | 0.0 | 1.1247819E-4 | 1.1523798E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1523798E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011242128 | 0.0011517976 | 5.0E-4 | 0.43410406 | 0.0013515672 | 2.0E-4 |
7.2 | 2.1251979E-6 | 2.1770104E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1770104E-6 | 0.0 | 9.107958E-6 | 9.330012E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.330012E-6 | 0.0 | 1.1088375E-4 | 1.13587135E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.13587135E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011082845 | 0.0011353061 | 5.0E-4 | 0.44040987 | 0.001335079 | 2.0E-4 |
7.3 | 1.7145798E-6 | 1.7435585E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7435585E-6 | 0.0 | 7.3481783E-6 | 7.4723725E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.4723725E-6 | 0.0 | 8.94604E-5 | 9.097243E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.097243E-5 | 0.0 | 8.9424395E-4 | 9.09361E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.54983664 | 0.0011091791 | 2.0E-4 |
7.4 | 1.4467993E-6 | 1.4635926E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4635926E-6 | 0.0 | 6.200554E-6 | 6.2725253E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.2725253E-6 | 0.0 | 7.548913E-5 | 7.6365395E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.6365395E-5 | 0.0 | 7.546349E-4 | 7.633988E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.5239725 | 9.6324616E-4 | 2.0E-4 |
7.5 | 1.2803735E-6 | 1.2926255E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2926255E-6 | 0.0 | 5.487303E-6 | 5.5398123E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.5398123E-6 | 0.0 | 6.680587E-5 | 6.7445195E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.7445195E-5 | 0.0 | 6.678579E-4 | 6.742544E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.44493595 | 7.741869E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.6 | 6.755009E-7 | 6.7667E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.7667E-7 | 0.0 | 2.8950008E-6 | 2.9000116E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9000116E-6 | 0.0 | 3.5246063E-5 | 3.5307126E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5307126E-5 | 0.0 | 3.5240475E-4 | 3.530209E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.28326935 | 4.529856E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.7 | 6.211885E-8 | 4.567464E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.567464E-8 | 0.0 | 2.6622362E-7 | 1.9574844E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9574844E-7 | 0.0 | 3.2412677E-6 | 2.383235E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.383235E-6 | 0.0 | 3.2412205E-5 | 2.3832114E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3832114E-5 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.6580573E-9 | 1.5097251E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5097251E-9 | 0.0 | 1.1391674E-8 | 6.4702506E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.4702506E-9 | 0.0 | 1.3869362E-7 | 7.87753E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.87753E-8 | 0.0 | 1.3869354E-6 | 7.8775304E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.8775304E-7 | 0.0 |
Greenville (So) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.279693E-5 | 5.4871653E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.4871653E-5 | 0.0 | 1.8340252E-4 | 2.35145E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.35145E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0022306389 | 0.002859405 | 0.0014 | 0.48961237 | 0.003158547 | 3.0E-4 | 0.022083808 | 0.028253423 | 0.015 | 0.5309091 | 0.03194606 | 0.0038 |
6.1 | 3.4037297E-5 | 4.3064574E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.3064574E-5 | 0.0 | 1.4586597E-4 | 1.8455059E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8455059E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0017744715 | 0.002244753 | 0.001 | 0.4454833 | 0.002444304 | 2.0E-4 | 0.01760369 | 0.02223786 | 0.0118 | 0.5306266 | 0.025171146 | 0.003 |
6.2 | 3.4037297E-5 | 4.3064574E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.3064574E-5 | 0.0 | 1.4586597E-4 | 1.8455059E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8455059E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0017744715 | 0.002244753 | 0.001 | 0.4454833 | 0.002444304 | 2.0E-4 | 0.01760369 | 0.02223786 | 0.0118 | 0.5306266 | 0.025171146 | 0.003 |
6.3 | 2.5956324E-5 | 3.2337128E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2337128E-5 | 0.0 | 1.11236644E-4 | 1.3858077E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3858077E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0013534647 | 0.0016859788 | 8.0E-4 | 0.47450182 | 0.0018856416 | 2.0E-4 | 0.013452509 | 0.016738787 | 0.0093 | 0.5555958 | 0.019491918 | 0.0028 |
6.4 | 2.1145053E-5 | 2.6124151E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6124151E-5 | 0.0 | 9.061851E-5 | 1.1195603E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1195603E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011027219 | 0.0013622439 | 7.0E-4 | 0.5138581 | 0.0015619714 | 2.0E-4 | 0.01097266 | 0.0135424305 | 0.0077 | 0.5685833 | 0.016008575 | 0.0025 |
6.5 | 2.0030959E-5 | 2.4726009E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4726009E-5 | 0.0 | 8.584414E-5 | 1.0596449E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0596449E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0010446513 | 0.0012893851 | 7.0E-4 | 0.5428944 | 0.0014891273 | 2.0E-4 | 0.010397541 | 0.012822466 | 0.0067 | 0.5225204 | 0.014895539 | 0.0021 |
6.6 | 1.8395405E-5 | 2.2689894E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2689894E-5 | 0.0 | 7.8835066E-5 | 9.723894E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.723894E-5 | 0.0 | 9.5939427E-4 | 0.0011832695 | 7.0E-4 | 0.5915812 | 0.0013830329 | 2.0E-4 | 0.009552629 | 0.011772812 | 0.0065 | 0.55211955 | 0.01384809 | 0.0021 |
6.7 | 1.7883482E-5 | 2.2062428E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2062428E-5 | 0.0 | 7.664124E-5 | 9.454999E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.454999E-5 | 0.0 | 9.3270757E-4 | 0.0011505667 | 7.0E-4 | 0.6083958 | 0.0013503366 | 2.0E-4 | 0.009288026 | 0.011449214 | 0.0063 | 0.5502561 | 0.013426316 | 0.002 |
6.8 | 1.3373564E-5 | 1.6457283E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6457283E-5 | 0.0 | 5.7314013E-5 | 7.0529386E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0529386E-5 | 0.0 | 6.975747E-4 | 8.583717E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.46599856 | 9.582859E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0069538904 | 0.008552243 | 0.005 | 0.58464193 | 0.010138559 | 0.0016 |
6.9 | 1.06692905E-5 | 1.3112284E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3112284E-5 | 0.0 | 4.5724726E-5 | 5.619436E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.619436E-5 | 0.0 | 5.5655633E-4 | 6.839628E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.43862036 | 7.838944E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005551645 | 0.006819882 | 0.0044 | 0.6451724 | 0.008210334 | 0.0014 |
7.0 | 8.157512E-6 | 1.0029763E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0029763E-5 | 0.0 | 3.4960296E-5 | 4.298401E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.298401E-5 | 0.0 | 4.2555845E-4 | 5.2320835E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.57338536 | 6.23156E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004247444 | 0.0052203177 | 0.0029 | 0.5555217 | 0.006215098 | 0.001 |
7.1 | 6.1467113E-6 | 7.599936E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.599936E-6 | 0.0 | 2.6342783E-5 | 3.257075E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.257075E-5 | 0.0 | 3.206762E-4 | 3.964776E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.75666314 | 4.9643795E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0032021382 | 0.0039579673 | 0.0027 | 0.68216836 | 0.004754801 | 8.0E-4 |
7.2 | 4.713467E-6 | 5.890499E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.890499E-6 | 0.0 | 2.0200418E-5 | 2.5244755E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5244755E-5 | 0.0 | 2.4591232E-4 | 3.0731212E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.6508041 | 4.072814E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0024564038 | 0.0030691908 | 0.0022 | 0.71680135 | 0.0038667354 | 8.0E-4 |
7.3 | 2.3266216E-6 | 2.9365724E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9365724E-6 | 0.0 | 9.971197E-6 | 1.258525E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.258525E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2139256E-4 | 1.532148E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.532148E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0012132627 | 0.0015311961 | 0.001 | 0.6530842 | 0.0019305836 | 4.0E-4 |
7.4 | 1.3314E-6 | 1.7055879E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7055879E-6 | 0.0 | 5.7059874E-6 | 7.309642E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.309642E-6 | 0.0 | 6.946818E-5 | 8.899131E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.899131E-5 | 0.0 | 6.9446466E-4 | 8.8957E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.6744832 | 0.0011893031 | 3.0E-4 |
7.5 | 1.0362941E-6 | 1.3353753E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353753E-6 | 0.0 | 4.4412527E-6 | 5.7230245E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.7230245E-6 | 0.0 | 5.407091E-5 | 6.967564E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.967564E-5 | 0.0 | 5.405776E-4 | 6.9652876E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.71784544 | 8.963894E-4 | 2.0E-4 |
7.6 | 7.764784E-7 | 9.991577E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.991577E-7 | 0.0 | 3.3277602E-6 | 4.2820975E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.2820975E-6 | 0.0 | 4.0514726E-5 | 5.213333E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.213333E-5 | 0.0 | 4.050734E-4 | 5.21178E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.7674921 | 7.2107377E-4 | 2.0E-4 |
7.7 | 1.6927763E-7 | 2.191352E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.191352E-7 | 0.0 | 7.2547533E-7 | 9.3915054E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.3915054E-7 | 0.0 | 8.832627E-6 | 1.1434101E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1434101E-5 | 0.0 | 8.8322755E-5 | 1.1434293E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1434293E-4 | 0.0 |
Blue Cut
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.1227985E-5 | 2.270289E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.270289E-5 | 0.0 | 9.097391E-5 | 9.7294804E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0278041 | 1.9728507E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0011070445 | 0.0011839785 | 9.0E-4 | 0.76014894 | 0.0013837417 | 2.0E-4 | 0.011015458 | 0.011782538 | 0.0097 | 0.82325214 | 0.015537765 | 0.0038 |
6.1 | 2.1227985E-5 | 2.270289E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.270289E-5 | 0.0 | 9.097391E-5 | 9.7294804E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0278041 | 1.9728507E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0011070445 | 0.0011839785 | 9.0E-4 | 0.76014894 | 0.0013837417 | 2.0E-4 | 0.011015458 | 0.011782538 | 0.0097 | 0.82325214 | 0.015537765 | 0.0038 |
6.2 | 2.1227985E-5 | 2.270289E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.270289E-5 | 0.0 | 9.097391E-5 | 9.7294804E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0278041 | 1.9728507E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0011070445 | 0.0011839785 | 9.0E-4 | 0.76014894 | 0.0013837417 | 2.0E-4 | 0.011015458 | 0.011782538 | 0.0097 | 0.82325214 | 0.015537765 | 0.0038 |
6.3 | 1.1613981E-5 | 1.2345328E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2345328E-5 | 0.0 | 4.9773254E-5 | 5.2907548E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.2907548E-5 | 0.0 | 6.0582085E-4 | 6.4397143E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.62114555 | 7.4390706E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0060417196 | 0.006422299 | 0.0046 | 0.7162544 | 0.008310096 | 0.0019 |
6.4 | 1.1613981E-5 | 1.2345328E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2345328E-5 | 0.0 | 4.9773254E-5 | 5.2907548E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.2907548E-5 | 0.0 | 6.0582085E-4 | 6.4397143E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.62114555 | 7.4390706E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0060417196 | 0.006422299 | 0.0046 | 0.7162544 | 0.008310096 | 0.0019 |
6.5 | 8.931326E-6 | 9.475502E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.475502E-6 | 0.0 | 3.8276554E-5 | 4.0608713E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0608713E-5 | 0.0 | 4.6591737E-4 | 4.943081E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.8092119 | 5.9425866E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0046494175 | 0.004932994 | 0.004 | 0.8108666 | 0.006525101 | 0.0016 |
6.6 | 7.345353E-6 | 7.785355E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.785355E-6 | 0.0 | 3.1479703E-5 | 3.3365424E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3365424E-5 | 0.0 | 3.83198E-4 | 4.0615632E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.7386319 | 5.0611567E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0038253788 | 0.0040549305 | 0.0033 | 0.81382406 | 0.005349659 | 0.0013 |
6.7 | 6.2775666E-6 | 6.6509715E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.6509715E-6 | 0.0 | 2.690358E-5 | 2.8503895E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8503895E-5 | 0.0 | 3.2750185E-4 | 3.4698716E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.8645853 | 4.4695247E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0032701963 | 0.0034651938 | 0.0031 | 0.8946108 | 0.004760689 | 0.0013 |
6.8 | 5.5234095E-6 | 5.851442E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.851442E-6 | 0.0 | 2.367154E-5 | 2.5077408E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5077408E-5 | 0.0 | 2.8816288E-4 | 3.0528192E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.6551321 | 4.052514E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.002877895 | 0.0030493408 | 0.0028 | 0.91823125 | 0.0043453765 | 0.0013 |
6.9 | 4.7780054E-6 | 5.0622407E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0622407E-6 | 0.0 | 2.0477004E-5 | 2.1695178E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1695178E-5 | 0.0 | 2.4927902E-4 | 2.641138E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.37862468 | 3.6408738E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0024899957 | 0.0026386904 | 0.0025 | 0.9474397 | 0.003835524 | 0.0012 |
7.0 | 3.883171E-6 | 4.115883E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.115883E-6 | 0.0 | 1.6642054E-5 | 1.7639417E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7639417E-5 | 0.0 | 2.0259817E-4 | 2.1474561E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.46566725 | 3.1472414E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0020241356 | 0.002146056 | 0.0019 | 0.8853451 | 0.002944339 | 8.0E-4 |
7.1 | 2.8358215E-6 | 3.00779E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.00779E-6 | 0.0 | 1.2153464E-5 | 1.2890502E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2890502E-5 | 0.0 | 1.4795837E-4 | 1.5693712E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5693712E-4 | 0.0 | 0.001478599 | 0.0015689074 | 0.0014 | 0.8923408 | 0.0019682797 | 4.0E-4 |
Cleghorn Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.0522846E-5 | 1.1034972E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1034972E-5 | 0.0 | 4.509713E-5 | 4.7292175E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 4.229029 | 1.4728744E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.4891926E-4 | 5.7568273E-4 | 9.0E-4 | 1.5633612 | 9.754524E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0054756533 | 0.0057470747 | 0.0071 | 1.2354112 | 0.009127535 | 0.0034 |
6.1 | 1.0522846E-5 | 1.1034972E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1034972E-5 | 0.0 | 4.509713E-5 | 4.7292175E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 4.229029 | 1.4728744E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.4891926E-4 | 5.7568273E-4 | 9.0E-4 | 1.5633612 | 9.754524E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0054756533 | 0.0057470747 | 0.0071 | 1.2354112 | 0.009127535 | 0.0034 |
6.2 | 2.1045846E-6 | 2.2070678E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2070678E-6 | 0.0 | 9.019617E-6 | 9.458851E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.458851E-6 | 0.0 | 1.098083E-4 | 1.1515962E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.8683599 | 2.151481E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0010975406 | 0.0011514104 | 6.0E-4 | 0.52110004 | 0.0017507196 | 6.0E-4 |
6.3 | 2.1045846E-6 | 2.2070678E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2070678E-6 | 0.0 | 9.019617E-6 | 9.458851E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.458851E-6 | 0.0 | 1.098083E-4 | 1.1515962E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.8683599 | 2.151481E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0010975406 | 0.0011514104 | 6.0E-4 | 0.52110004 | 0.0017507196 | 6.0E-4 |
6.4 | 1.7259927E-6 | 1.8099477E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8099477E-6 | 0.0 | 7.3970905E-6 | 7.756918E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.756918E-6 | 0.0 | 9.005586E-5 | 9.444048E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0588679 | 1.9443104E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 9.001937E-4 | 9.444048E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.6353208 | 0.0015438382 | 6.0E-4 |
Lost Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.5074094E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5074094E-5 | 0.0 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0745692E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.9306055 | 1.0745692E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011647546 | 0.0013076705 | 9.0E-4 | 0.6882467 | 0.0014075398 | 1.0E-4 | 0.011586686 | 0.013016312 | 0.0108 | 0.82972807 | 0.016569454 | 0.0036 |
6.1 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.5074094E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5074094E-5 | 0.0 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0745692E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.9306055 | 1.0745692E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011647546 | 0.0013076705 | 9.0E-4 | 0.6882467 | 0.0014075398 | 1.0E-4 | 0.011586686 | 0.013016312 | 0.0108 | 0.82972807 | 0.016569454 | 0.0036 |
6.2 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.5074094E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5074094E-5 | 0.0 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0745692E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.9306055 | 1.0745692E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011647546 | 0.0013076705 | 9.0E-4 | 0.6882467 | 0.0014075398 | 1.0E-4 | 0.011586686 | 0.013016312 | 0.0108 | 0.82972807 | 0.016569454 | 0.0036 |
6.3 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.5074094E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5074094E-5 | 0.0 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0745692E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.9306055 | 1.0745692E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011647546 | 0.0013076705 | 9.0E-4 | 0.6882467 | 0.0014075398 | 1.0E-4 | 0.011586686 | 0.013016312 | 0.0108 | 0.82972807 | 0.016569454 | 0.0036 |
6.4 | 1.2288092E-5 | 1.3763646E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3763646E-5 | 0.0 | 5.2662188E-5 | 5.8986247E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.8986247E-5 | 0.0 | 6.409735E-4 | 7.180145E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.69636476 | 8.1794267E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006391279 | 0.007166129 | 0.0065 | 0.9070448 | 0.009151797 | 0.002 |
6.5 | 1.2288092E-5 | 1.3763646E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3763646E-5 | 0.0 | 5.2662188E-5 | 5.8986247E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.8986247E-5 | 0.0 | 6.409735E-4 | 7.180145E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.69636476 | 8.1794267E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006391279 | 0.007166129 | 0.0065 | 0.9070448 | 0.009151797 | 0.002 |
6.6 | 8.58281E-6 | 9.621468E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.621468E-6 | 0.0 | 3.6782953E-5 | 4.123468E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.123468E-5 | 0.0 | 4.4774043E-4 | 5.019996E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.3984067 | 6.019494E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0044683935 | 0.0050167954 | 0.0041 | 0.8172548 | 0.0064097717 | 0.0014 |
6.7 | 7.205685E-6 | 8.07797E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.07797E-6 | 0.0 | 3.088114E-5 | 3.4619872E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.4619872E-5 | 0.0 | 3.7591302E-4 | 4.2149695E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.4744993 | 5.214548E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0037527776 | 0.0042149695 | 0.0035 | 0.83037376 | 0.005310333 | 0.0011 |
San Jacinto (San Bernardino)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.4715773E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.8805351 | 1.347123E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.487734E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.3443264 | 3.4874363E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0017774 | 0.0018098128 | 0.0017 | 0.9393236 | 0.00210927 | 3.0E-4 | 0.01763251 | 0.018698314 | 0.012 | 0.6417691 | 0.02213287 | 0.0035 |
6.1 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.4715773E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.8805351 | 1.347123E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.487734E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.3443264 | 3.4874363E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0017774 | 0.0018098128 | 0.0017 | 0.9393236 | 0.00210927 | 3.0E-4 | 0.01763251 | 0.018698314 | 0.012 | 0.6417691 | 0.02213287 | 0.0035 |
6.2 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.4715773E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.8805351 | 1.347123E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.487734E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.3443264 | 3.4874363E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0017774 | 0.0018098128 | 0.0017 | 0.9393236 | 0.00210927 | 3.0E-4 | 0.01763251 | 0.018698314 | 0.012 | 0.6417691 | 0.02213287 | 0.0035 |
6.3 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.4715773E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.8805351 | 1.347123E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.487734E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.3443264 | 3.4874363E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0017774 | 0.0018098128 | 0.0017 | 0.9393236 | 0.00210927 | 3.0E-4 | 0.01763251 | 0.018698314 | 0.012 | 0.6417691 | 0.02213287 | 0.0035 |
6.4 | 3.400795E-5 | 3.4608718E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.8894455 | 1.3460526E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4574021E-4 | 1.4831465E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.3484845 | 3.48285E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0017729428 | 0.0018042369 | 0.0017 | 0.9422266 | 0.0021036956 | 3.0E-4 | 0.017588645 | 0.018643502 | 0.012 | 0.6436559 | 0.02207825 | 0.0035 |
6.5 | 3.341482E-5 | 3.3871227E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.9523582 | 1.3386784E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4319851E-4 | 1.4515434E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.3778439 | 3.451253E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0017420477 | 0.0017658228 | 0.0017 | 0.96272403 | 0.002065293 | 3.0E-4 | 0.017284546 | 0.018265752 | 0.0111 | 0.6076946 | 0.021112781 | 0.0029 |
6.6 | 3.3364955E-5 | 3.380861E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.9578261 | 1.3380522E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4298483E-4 | 1.4488601E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.3803955 | 3.4485702E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0017394501 | 0.0017625613 | 0.0017 | 0.9645055 | 0.0020620325 | 3.0E-4 | 0.017258976 | 0.018233681 | 0.0111 | 0.6087635 | 0.021080803 | 0.0029 |
6.7 | 3.335922E-5 | 3.3798413E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.9587188 | 1.3379504E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4296026E-4 | 1.4484231E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.380812 | 3.4481334E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0017391514 | 0.0017620301 | 0.0017 | 0.96479625 | 0.0020615014 | 3.0E-4 | 0.017256035 | 0.018228482 | 0.0111 | 0.60893714 | 0.021075621 | 0.0029 |
6.8 | 3.327683E-5 | 3.369278E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.967995 | 1.336894E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4260718E-4 | 1.4438965E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.3851409 | 3.4436077E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0017348597 | 0.0017565277 | 0.0017 | 0.9678185 | 0.0020560008 | 3.0E-4 | 0.017213784 | 0.01817437 | 0.011 | 0.6052479 | 0.021021666 | 0.0029 |
6.9 | 3.3235785E-5 | 3.3633925E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.9731886 | 1.3363056E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4243131E-4 | 1.4413743E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.3875647 | 3.4410862E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0017327217 | 0.001753462 | 0.0017 | 0.9695106 | 0.002052936 | 3.0E-4 | 0.017192734 | 0.018144315 | 0.011 | 0.6062505 | 0.020991696 | 0.0029 |
7.0 | 3.3197095E-5 | 3.3574073E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.9784887 | 1.3357072E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.422655E-4 | 1.4388096E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.390038 | 3.4385218E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0017307063 | 0.0017503445 | 0.0017 | 0.97123736 | 0.0020498193 | 3.0E-4 | 0.017172894 | 0.018113783 | 0.011 | 0.6072724 | 0.020961251 | 0.0029 |
7.1 | 3.3129716E-5 | 3.345478E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.9891095 | 1.3345144E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4197677E-4 | 1.4336975E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.3949944 | 3.433411E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0017271966 | 0.0017441305 | 0.0017 | 0.9746977 | 0.0020436072 | 3.0E-4 | 0.017138338 | 0.018053066 | 0.011 | 0.6093148 | 0.020900711 | 0.0029 |
7.2 | 3.3034008E-5 | 3.3322613E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.0009654 | 1.3331928E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4156665E-4 | 1.4280339E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.4005271 | 3.4277482E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0017222111 | 0.0017372459 | 0.0017 | 0.9785603 | 0.002036725 | 3.0E-4 | 0.017089253 | 0.017985618 | 0.011 | 0.61159974 | 0.02083346 | 0.0029 |
7.3 | 3.2956614E-5 | 3.319111E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.012855 | 1.3318779E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4123498E-4 | 1.4223986E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.4060756 | 3.4221142E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0017181796 | 0.0017303961 | 0.0016 | 0.9246438 | 0.002029877 | 3.0E-4 | 0.017049557 | 0.017918685 | 0.0109 | 0.60830355 | 0.020766722 | 0.0029 |
7.4 | 3.2915937E-5 | 3.3113418E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.019924 | 1.3311011E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4106068E-4 | 1.4190693E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.4093744 | 3.4187856E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0017160608 | 0.0017263491 | 0.0016 | 0.9268114 | 0.0020258313 | 3.0E-4 | 0.017028693 | 0.017879225 | 0.0109 | 0.6096461 | 0.020727376 | 0.0029 |
7.5 | 3.281791E-5 | 3.29793E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.0322049 | 1.32976E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.406406E-4 | 1.4133222E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.4151056 | 3.4130394E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0017109542 | 0.0017193629 | 0.0016 | 0.9305772 | 0.0020188473 | 3.0E-4 | 0.016978411 | 0.017810553 | 0.0107 | 0.60076743 | 0.020658903 | 0.0029 |
7.6 | 3.2521442E-5 | 3.270698E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.0574512 | 1.3270372E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.3937015E-4 | 1.4016526E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.4268872 | 3.4013722E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0016955109 | 0.0017051775 | 0.0015 | 0.87967384 | 0.002004666 | 3.0E-4 | 0.016826328 | 0.017669486 | 0.0103 | 0.58292586 | 0.020518245 | 0.0029 |
7.7 | 3.0287873E-5 | 3.1210213E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.2040796 | 1.312071E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.297987E-4 | 1.337512E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.4953138 | 3.3372446E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0015791537 | 0.0016272055 | 0.0012 | 0.7374606 | 0.0019267173 | 3.0E-4 | 0.01567979 | 0.016889963 | 0.0095 | 0.56246424 | 0.019642672 | 0.0028 |
7.8 | 2.6316151E-5 | 2.8470704E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.5123825 | 1.2846786E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1277862E-4 | 1.22011596E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.8195942 | 2.2199939E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0013722149 | 0.0014844799 | 0.001 | 0.6736366 | 0.001684183 | 2.0E-4 | 0.013637724 | 0.015455983 | 0.0087 | 0.56288886 | 0.017917342 | 0.0025 |
7.9 | 2.0761147E-5 | 2.2380264E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.4682226 | 1.2237803E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 8.897331E-5 | 9.591189E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0426235 | 1.959023E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0010827117 | 0.0011671025 | 7.0E-4 | 0.5997759 | 0.0013668691 | 2.0E-4 | 0.010774517 | 0.012255458 | 0.0073 | 0.59565294 | 0.014428496 | 0.0022 |
8.0 | 1.5738568E-5 | 1.5253041E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 6.55607 | 1.1525152E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.744926E-5 | 6.536854E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5297879 | 1.65362E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 8.2088535E-4 | 7.95572E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.75417435 | 9.954129E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.008178596 | 0.008453973 | 0.0047 | 0.55595165 | 0.009842137 | 0.0014 |
8.1 | 1.0105832E-5 | 7.877704E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 12.694055 | 1.0787691E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.3309992E-5 | 3.3761153E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.9619842 | 1.3375777E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.2717153E-4 | 4.1096497E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.97331893 | 6.1088277E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.005259227 | 0.0044326363 | 0.003 | 0.6767981 | 0.0055277604 | 0.0011 |
8.2 | 4.189207E-6 | 1.444258E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.444258E-6 | 0.0 | 1.7953622E-5 | 6.1896626E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.1896626E-6 | 0.0 | 2.1856341E-4 | 7.535656E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.3270245 | 7.535656E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0021834858 | 8.795245E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.79588455 | 0.0010793486 | 2.0E-4 |
8.3 | 1.2758221E-6 | 3.2481879E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2481879E-7 | 0.0 | 5.4677976E-6 | 1.3920799E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3920799E-6 | 0.0 | 6.65684E-5 | 1.6948443E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6948443E-5 | 0.0 | 6.6548464E-4 | 2.058492E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.97158504 | 3.058286E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
Monterey Bay-Tularcitos
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0131365E-5 | 3.2767963E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2767963E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2912804E-4 | 1.4042716E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.4242259 | 2.4041311E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.001571 | 0.001708465 | 0.0014 | 0.819449 | 0.0022076108 | 5.0E-4 | 0.015599402 | 0.01696409 | 0.0119 | 0.7014818 | 0.02030641 | 0.0034 |
6.1 | 3.0131365E-5 | 3.2767963E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2767963E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2912804E-4 | 1.4042716E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.4242259 | 2.4041311E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.001571 | 0.001708465 | 0.0014 | 0.819449 | 0.0022076108 | 5.0E-4 | 0.015599402 | 0.01696409 | 0.0119 | 0.7014818 | 0.02030641 | 0.0034 |
6.2 | 3.0131365E-5 | 3.2767963E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2767963E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2912804E-4 | 1.4042716E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.4242259 | 2.4041311E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.001571 | 0.001708465 | 0.0014 | 0.819449 | 0.0022076108 | 5.0E-4 | 0.015599402 | 0.01696409 | 0.0119 | 0.7014818 | 0.02030641 | 0.0034 |
6.3 | 1.6998249E-5 | 1.8315357E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8315357E-5 | 0.0 | 7.28476E-5 | 7.8492136E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.548026 | 1.7848429E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 8.865586E-4 | 9.552414E-4 | 9.0E-4 | 0.9421702 | 0.0012549548 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0088303005 | 0.009513274 | 0.0069 | 0.72530234 | 0.011197101 | 0.0017 |
6.4 | 1.6998249E-5 | 1.8315357E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8315357E-5 | 0.0 | 7.28476E-5 | 7.8492136E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.548026 | 1.7848429E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 8.865586E-4 | 9.552414E-4 | 9.0E-4 | 0.9421702 | 0.0012549548 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0088303005 | 0.009513274 | 0.0069 | 0.72530234 | 0.011197101 | 0.0017 |
6.5 | 1.27470785E-5 | 1.3682275E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3682275E-5 | 0.0 | 5.4629192E-5 | 5.863706E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 3.4108121 | 1.586312E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.649074E-4 | 7.136827E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.98082805 | 0.0010134686 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0066292146 | 0.007114958 | 0.0053 | 0.7449095 | 0.008207131 | 0.0011 |
6.6 | 1.2739422E-5 | 1.3674364E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3674364E-5 | 0.0 | 5.4596385E-5 | 5.860316E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 3.4127853 | 1.585973E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.645082E-4 | 7.132702E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.98139524 | 0.0010130563 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0066252467 | 0.0071108597 | 0.0053 | 0.74533886 | 0.008203038 | 0.0011 |
6.7 | 1.0160109E-5 | 1.0877216E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0877216E-5 | 0.0 | 4.35426E-5 | 4.6615845E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.1451933 | 1.4661119E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.300022E-4 | 5.674072E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.7049611 | 6.673504E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005287399 | 0.005660295 | 0.0044 | 0.77734464 | 0.0064557665 | 8.0E-4 |
6.8 | 8.349859E-6 | 8.925659E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.925659E-6 | 0.0 | 3.578462E-5 | 3.8252296E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.6142223 | 1.3824846E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.3559066E-4 | 4.6562782E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.6442914 | 5.6558126E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004347378 | 0.004647086 | 0.0038 | 0.8177167 | 0.005343833 | 7.0E-4 |
6.9 | 5.193639E-6 | 5.532197E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.532197E-6 | 0.0 | 2.2258262E-5 | 2.3709219E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3709219E-5 | 0.0 | 2.7096065E-4 | 2.8862475E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.34647062 | 2.8862475E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0027063051 | 0.0028828194 | 0.0021 | 0.7284535 | 0.0031819546 | 3.0E-4 |
7.0 | 4.359381E-6 | 4.639791E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.639791E-6 | 0.0 | 1.8682927E-5 | 1.9884685E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9884685E-5 | 0.0 | 2.274409E-4 | 2.420721E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.420721E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0022720827 | 0.0024183765 | 0.0012 | 0.49620062 | 0.002617893 | 2.0E-4 |
7.1 | 3.0398533E-6 | 3.2285054E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2285054E-6 | 0.0 | 1.3027877E-5 | 1.3836393E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3836393E-5 | 0.0 | 1.5860285E-4 | 1.6844769E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6844769E-4 | 0.0 | 0.001584897 | 0.0016834573 | 9.0E-4 | 0.5346141 | 0.0017832889 | 1.0E-4 |
7.2 | 1.642335E-6 | 1.7319009E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7319009E-6 | 0.0 | 7.0385595E-6 | 7.4224226E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.4224226E-6 | 0.0 | 8.569109E-5 | 9.036631E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.036631E-5 | 0.0 | 8.5658056E-4 | 9.0349803E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.7747665 | 0.0010034076 | 1.0E-4 |
7.3 | 3.356842E-7 | 3.2920042E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2920042E-7 | 0.0 | 1.4386458E-6 | 1.4108582E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4108582E-6 | 0.0 | 1.7515373E-5 | 1.7177064E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7177064E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7513991E-4 | 1.7175746E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5822163 | 1.7175746E-4 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.1973483E-7 | 2.0977869E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0977869E-7 | 0.0 | 9.417204E-7 | 8.990512E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.990512E-7 | 0.0 | 1.1465385E-5 | 1.0945894E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0945894E-5 | 0.0 | 1.1464794E-4 | 1.09453584E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.9136293 | 1.09453584E-4 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.1944135E-7 | 1.0671424E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0671424E-7 | 0.0 | 5.118914E-7 | 4.5734666E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.5734666E-7 | 0.0 | 6.23226E-6 | 5.5681817E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.5681817E-6 | 0.0 | 6.2320854E-5 | 5.5680433E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.795963 | 5.5680433E-5 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.636058E-8 | 3.317159E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.317159E-8 | 0.0 | 1.9868818E-7 | 1.4216396E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4216396E-7 | 0.0 | 2.419026E-6 | 1.7308448E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7308448E-6 | 0.0 | 2.4189996E-5 | 1.7308315E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 5.77757 | 1.7308315E-5 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.8588572E-8 | 7.884243E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.884243E-9 | 0.0 | 7.9665305E-8 | 3.3789608E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3789608E-8 | 0.0 | 9.699246E-7 | 4.1138838E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.1138838E-7 | 0.0 | 9.699204E-6 | 4.1138765E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.1138765E-6 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.7960154E-9 | 7.415153E-10 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.415153E-10 | 0.0 | 1.1982923E-8 | 3.177922E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.177922E-9 | 0.0 | 1.4589209E-7 | 3.86912E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.86912E-8 | 0.0 | 1.4589199E-6 | 3.8691198E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.8691198E-7 | 0.0 |
Hunter Mountain-Saline Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5103672E-5 | 5.4413267E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.4413267E-5 | 0.0 | 1.9328714E-4 | 2.3317964E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3317964E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002350731 | 0.002835441 | 0.0017 | 0.599554 | 0.003334023 | 5.0E-4 | 0.023260195 | 0.02801385 | 0.0158 | 0.56400675 | 0.031124206 | 0.0032 |
6.1 | 4.5103672E-5 | 5.4413267E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.4413267E-5 | 0.0 | 1.9328714E-4 | 2.3317964E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3317964E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002350731 | 0.002835441 | 0.0017 | 0.599554 | 0.003334023 | 5.0E-4 | 0.023260195 | 0.02801385 | 0.0158 | 0.56400675 | 0.031124206 | 0.0032 |
6.2 | 3.9363465E-5 | 4.6930167E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.6930167E-5 | 0.0 | 1.6868966E-4 | 2.0111441E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0111441E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002051862 | 0.002445953 | 0.0014 | 0.57237405 | 0.0027452193 | 3.0E-4 | 0.020330196 | 0.02420684 | 0.0139 | 0.57421786 | 0.02684148 | 0.0027 |
6.3 | 3.9363465E-5 | 4.6930167E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.6930167E-5 | 0.0 | 1.6868966E-4 | 2.0111441E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0111441E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002051862 | 0.002445953 | 0.0014 | 0.57237405 | 0.0027452193 | 3.0E-4 | 0.020330196 | 0.02420684 | 0.0139 | 0.57421786 | 0.02684148 | 0.0027 |
6.4 | 3.2311684E-5 | 3.784555E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.784555E-5 | 0.0 | 1.384713E-4 | 1.621855E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.621855E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0016845843 | 0.0019728886 | 0.0012 | 0.6082452 | 0.0022722967 | 3.0E-4 | 0.016718714 | 0.019563187 | 0.0115 | 0.58783877 | 0.021916235 | 0.0024 |
6.5 | 3.2311684E-5 | 3.784555E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.784555E-5 | 0.0 | 1.384713E-4 | 1.621855E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.621855E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0016845843 | 0.0019728886 | 0.0012 | 0.6082452 | 0.0022722967 | 3.0E-4 | 0.016718714 | 0.019563187 | 0.0115 | 0.58783877 | 0.021916235 | 0.0024 |
6.6 | 2.9305844E-5 | 3.408624E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.408624E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2559042E-4 | 1.4607605E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4607605E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0015279909 | 0.0017770866 | 0.0011 | 0.61899066 | 0.0020765534 | 3.0E-4 | 0.015175272 | 0.017637318 | 0.0107 | 0.6066682 | 0.019896753 | 0.0023 |
6.7 | 2.7826512E-5 | 3.2253232E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2253232E-5 | 0.0 | 1.19251024E-4 | 1.3822115E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3822115E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0014509142 | 0.0016816035 | 9.0E-4 | 0.53520346 | 0.0018812672 | 2.0E-4 | 0.014414776 | 0.016697118 | 0.0102 | 0.6108839 | 0.018762054 | 0.0021 |
6.8 | 2.3389874E-5 | 2.6789065E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6789065E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0023846E-4 | 1.14805494E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.14805494E-4 | 0.0 | 0.00121972 | 0.0013969077 | 7.0E-4 | 0.50110686 | 0.0015966283 | 2.0E-4 | 0.01213047 | 0.013888132 | 0.0076 | 0.5472298 | 0.015465911 | 0.0016 |
6.9 | 2.069209E-5 | 2.3500012E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3500012E-5 | 0.0 | 8.867737E-5 | 1.00710655E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.00710655E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0010791123 | 0.0012254985 | 7.0E-4 | 0.57119614 | 0.0014252533 | 2.0E-4 | 0.010738871 | 0.012193091 | 0.0068 | 0.5576929 | 0.01347724 | 0.0013 |
7.0 | 1.7462342E-5 | 1.9572502E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9572502E-5 | 0.0 | 7.483646E-5 | 8.387958E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.387958E-5 | 0.0 | 9.1075303E-4 | 0.001020778 | 7.0E-4 | 0.68575144 | 0.0012205739 | 2.0E-4 | 0.009070295 | 0.01016519 | 0.0064 | 0.62959963 | 0.011352992 | 0.0012 |
7.1 | 1.4807709E-5 | 1.6387437E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6387437E-5 | 0.0 | 6.3460066E-5 | 7.0230075E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0230075E-5 | 0.0 | 7.723524E-4 | 8.547322E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.81897 | 0.0010545612 | 2.0E-4 | 0.007696735 | 0.0085181035 | 0.0055 | 0.64568365 | 0.009509585 | 0.001 |
7.2 | 1.4180048E-5 | 1.564545E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.564545E-5 | 0.0 | 6.077022E-5 | 6.70503E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.70503E-5 | 0.0 | 7.396263E-4 | 8.160477E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.857793 | 0.0010158846 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0073716943 | 0.008134132 | 0.0054 | 0.66386926 | 0.009125997 | 0.001 |
7.3 | 1.3730402E-5 | 1.5120152E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5120152E-5 | 0.0 | 5.8843252E-5 | 6.479913E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.479913E-5 | 0.0 | 7.161811E-4 | 7.8865985E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.8875816 | 9.885022E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.007138774 | 0.007862212 | 0.0052 | 0.66139144 | 0.00885435 | 0.001 |
7.4 | 1.2810095E-5 | 1.4059342E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4059342E-5 | 0.0 | 5.489925E-5 | 6.025302E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.025302E-5 | 0.0 | 6.681934E-4 | 7.3334936E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.95452464 | 9.332027E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.006661878 | 0.0073128585 | 0.005 | 0.68372715 | 0.008305546 | 0.001 |
7.5 | 1.1595659E-5 | 1.275406E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.275406E-5 | 0.0 | 4.9694736E-5 | 5.46592E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.46592E-5 | 0.0 | 6.0486543E-4 | 6.652881E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.9018648 | 7.652216E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006032217 | 0.0066365097 | 0.0043 | 0.6479309 | 0.0073318644 | 7.0E-4 |
7.6 | 2.997694E-6 | 3.3143867E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3143867E-6 | 0.0 | 1.28471975E-5 | 1.4204477E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4204477E-5 | 0.0 | 1.564034E-4 | 1.7293303E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7293303E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0015629337 | 0.00173029 | 0.0012 | 0.6935254 | 0.001830117 | 1.0E-4 |
San Jacinto (Anza) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.1937816E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.3844826 | 1.4193362E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.7972119E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.55641747 | 2.797032E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0032827691 | 0.002185921 | 0.0017 | 0.77770424 | 0.0025850467 | 4.0E-4 | 0.032346968 | 0.02259413 | 0.0133 | 0.5886485 | 0.025819568 | 0.0033 |
6.1 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.1937816E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.3844826 | 1.4193362E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.7972119E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.55641747 | 2.797032E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0032827691 | 0.002185921 | 0.0017 | 0.77770424 | 0.0025850467 | 4.0E-4 | 0.032346968 | 0.02259413 | 0.0133 | 0.5886485 | 0.025819568 | 0.0033 |
6.2 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.1937816E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.3844826 | 1.4193362E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.7972119E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.55641747 | 2.797032E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0032827691 | 0.002185921 | 0.0017 | 0.77770424 | 0.0025850467 | 4.0E-4 | 0.032346968 | 0.02259413 | 0.0133 | 0.5886485 | 0.025819568 | 0.0033 |
6.3 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.1937816E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.3844826 | 1.4193362E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.7972119E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.55641747 | 2.797032E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0032827691 | 0.002185921 | 0.0017 | 0.77770424 | 0.0025850467 | 4.0E-4 | 0.032346968 | 0.02259413 | 0.0133 | 0.5886485 | 0.025819568 | 0.0033 |
6.4 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.1937816E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.3844826 | 1.4193362E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.7972119E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.55641747 | 2.797032E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0032827691 | 0.002185921 | 0.0017 | 0.77770424 | 0.0025850467 | 4.0E-4 | 0.032346968 | 0.02259413 | 0.0133 | 0.5886485 | 0.025819568 | 0.0033 |
6.5 | 5.811017E-5 | 3.87847E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.5783362 | 1.3878082E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.4901982E-4 | 1.6620959E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.60165 | 2.6619298E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0030276014 | 0.002021729 | 0.0016 | 0.7914018 | 0.0023211224 | 3.0E-4 | 0.02986684 | 0.020924775 | 0.012 | 0.5734829 | 0.023666186 | 0.0028 |
6.6 | 5.811017E-5 | 3.87847E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.5783362 | 1.3878082E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.4901982E-4 | 1.6620959E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.60165 | 2.6619298E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0030276014 | 0.002021729 | 0.0016 | 0.7914018 | 0.0023211224 | 3.0E-4 | 0.02986684 | 0.020924775 | 0.012 | 0.5734829 | 0.023666186 | 0.0028 |
6.7 | 5.712442E-5 | 3.8221522E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.6163268 | 1.382177E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.4479596E-4 | 1.6379627E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.6105145 | 2.637799E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0029763177 | 0.001992401 | 0.0016 | 0.80305123 | 0.0022918032 | 3.0E-4 | 0.029367693 | 0.020623794 | 0.0118 | 0.57215464 | 0.023268111 | 0.0027 |
6.8 | 5.6967532E-5 | 3.8080452E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.6260192 | 1.3807665E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.4412372E-4 | 1.6319177E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.61277604 | 2.6317543E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0029681553 | 0.0019850545 | 0.0016 | 0.80602324 | 0.0022844588 | 3.0E-4 | 0.029288229 | 0.02054924 | 0.0118 | 0.5742305 | 0.023193756 | 0.0027 |
6.9 | 5.6211324E-5 | 3.7795686E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.6458046 | 1.3779191E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.4088343E-4 | 1.6197147E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.61739266 | 2.6195528E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0029288116 | 0.0019702243 | 0.0015 | 0.7613346 | 0.0022696333 | 3.0E-4 | 0.028905109 | 0.020393342 | 0.0116 | 0.5688131 | 0.02303828 | 0.0027 |
7.0 | 5.4383527E-5 | 3.6687936E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.7256916 | 1.3668426E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.3305144E-4 | 1.5722455E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.63603294 | 2.5720883E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0028337094 | 0.0019125331 | 0.0015 | 0.7843002 | 0.0022119593 | 3.0E-4 | 0.027978465 | 0.019796526 | 0.0113 | 0.5708072 | 0.022443077 | 0.0027 |
7.1 | 5.1393665E-5 | 3.5196244E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.8412123 | 1.3519272E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.2023996E-4 | 1.5083235E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.66298777 | 2.5081728E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0026781242 | 0.0018348411 | 0.0015 | 0.8175095 | 0.0021342908 | 3.0E-4 | 0.026460782 | 0.018991832 | 0.0107 | 0.5634001 | 0.021542452 | 0.0026 |
7.2 | 4.785222E-5 | 3.3597305E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.9764292 | 1.3359395E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.0506482E-4 | 1.4398052E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.6945384 | 2.4396612E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0024938055 | 0.0017515568 | 0.0014 | 0.799289 | 0.0020510312 | 3.0E-4 | 0.024660049 | 0.018129954 | 0.0102 | 0.56260484 | 0.02058463 | 0.0025 |
7.3 | 4.2143256E-5 | 3.2723412E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.055916 | 1.3272015E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.8060145E-4 | 1.4023567E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.7130853 | 2.4022165E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.002196605 | 0.0017060355 | 0.0013 | 0.76200056 | 0.0019056943 | 2.0E-4 | 0.02175019 | 0.017657457 | 0.0099 | 0.56066966 | 0.019916844 | 0.0023 |
7.4 | 4.0264713E-5 | 3.2373166E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.0889783 | 1.3236993E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.7255165E-4 | 1.3873477E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.7207998 | 2.387209E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.002098792 | 0.0016877905 | 0.0013 | 0.7702378 | 0.0018874529 | 2.0E-4 | 0.020790804 | 0.017468251 | 0.0099 | 0.5667425 | 0.019728074 | 0.0023 |
7.5 | 3.694492E-5 | 3.111128E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.2142682 | 1.3110817E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5832575E-4 | 1.3332727E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.75003415 | 2.3331393E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0019259118 | 0.0016220538 | 0.0012 | 0.73980284 | 0.0018217294 | 2.0E-4 | 0.01909306 | 0.016796973 | 0.0092 | 0.54771775 | 0.01905834 | 0.0023 |
7.6 | 3.200565E-5 | 2.8461809E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.51348 | 1.2845897E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.3715986E-4 | 1.2197349E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.81985027 | 2.219613E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.001668642 | 0.0014840178 | 0.0012 | 0.8086156 | 0.001683721 | 2.0E-4 | 0.01656168 | 0.015402355 | 0.0085 | 0.5518637 | 0.017568469 | 0.0022 |
7.7 | 2.731642E-5 | 2.5089785E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.9856858 | 1.2508727E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1706512E-4 | 1.0752322E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.93003166 | 2.0751246E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.001424336 | 0.00130831 | 0.001 | 0.7643448 | 0.0015080484 | 2.0E-4 | 0.014152412 | 0.013642608 | 0.0072 | 0.5277583 | 0.015615323 | 0.002 |
7.8 | 2.3466424E-5 | 2.254624E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.435329 | 1.2254399E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0056651E-4 | 9.6623175E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0349485 | 1.9661352E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0012237094 | 0.0011757531 | 9.0E-4 | 0.76546687 | 0.0013755179 | 2.0E-4 | 0.012169928 | 0.012306737 | 0.0066 | 0.5362916 | 0.014183355 | 0.0019 |
7.9 | 1.8611925E-5 | 1.8046654E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 5.5411935 | 1.1804485E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 7.9762955E-5 | 7.734051E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2929834 | 1.7733278E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 9.7068126E-4 | 9.412146E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.6374742 | 0.0011410264 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0096645225 | 0.009940827 | 0.0055 | 0.55327386 | 0.011524922 | 0.0016 |
8.0 | 1.5460775E-5 | 1.4976475E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 6.677139 | 1.1497497E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.6258784E-5 | 6.418332E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5580373 | 1.6417689E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 8.0640207E-4 | 7.8115234E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.768096 | 9.809961E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.008034821 | 0.008299375 | 0.0044 | 0.5301604 | 0.009588585 | 0.0013 |
8.1 | 9.983884E-6 | 7.822582E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 12.783503 | 1.078218E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.2787375E-5 | 3.3524924E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.9828553 | 1.3352158E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.2081177E-4 | 4.0808998E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.980176 | 6.0800835E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0051959283 | 0.0043985066 | 0.0028 | 0.6365797 | 0.005394108 | 0.001 |
8.2 | 4.1226E-6 | 1.4212799E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4212799E-6 | 0.0 | 1.7668166E-5 | 6.0911852E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0911852E-6 | 0.0 | 2.1508869E-4 | 7.415768E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.348478 | 7.415768E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0021488064 | 8.64887E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.69373226 | 0.001064714 | 2.0E-4 |
8.3 | 1.2750878E-6 | 3.245552E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.245552E-7 | 0.0 | 5.4646503E-6 | 1.39095E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.39095E-6 | 0.0 | 6.653009E-5 | 1.693469E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.693469E-5 | 0.0 | 6.6510175E-4 | 2.0569154E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.97232974 | 3.0567095E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
Lenwood-Lockhart-Old Woman Springs
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.3915243E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.3915243E-5 | 0.0 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8819557E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8819557E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0019519776 | 0.002289045 | 9.0E-4 | 0.3931771 | 0.002488587 | 2.0E-4 | 0.019349206 | 0.02267263 | 0.0114 | 0.50280887 | 0.02550688 | 0.0029 |
6.1 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.3915243E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.3915243E-5 | 0.0 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8819557E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8819557E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0019519776 | 0.002289045 | 9.0E-4 | 0.3931771 | 0.002488587 | 2.0E-4 | 0.019349206 | 0.02267263 | 0.0114 | 0.50280887 | 0.02550688 | 0.0029 |
6.2 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.3915243E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.3915243E-5 | 0.0 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8819557E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8819557E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0019519776 | 0.002289045 | 9.0E-4 | 0.3931771 | 0.002488587 | 2.0E-4 | 0.019349206 | 0.02267263 | 0.0114 | 0.50280887 | 0.02550688 | 0.0029 |
6.3 | 2.1079984E-5 | 2.5328589E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5328589E-5 | 0.0 | 9.0339665E-5 | 1.0854669E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0854669E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0010993304 | 0.0013207747 | 7.0E-4 | 0.529992 | 0.0015205105 | 2.0E-4 | 0.010939079 | 0.01313146 | 0.0068 | 0.5178403 | 0.015203884 | 0.0021 |
6.4 | 2.1079984E-5 | 2.5328589E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5328589E-5 | 0.0 | 9.0339665E-5 | 1.0854669E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0854669E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0010993304 | 0.0013207747 | 7.0E-4 | 0.529992 | 0.0015205105 | 2.0E-4 | 0.010939079 | 0.01313146 | 0.0068 | 0.5178403 | 0.015203884 | 0.0021 |
6.5 | 1.7397282E-5 | 2.0640626E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0640626E-5 | 0.0 | 7.455765E-5 | 8.8456894E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.8456894E-5 | 0.0 | 9.073613E-4 | 0.0010764423 | 6.0E-4 | 0.5573917 | 0.0012762271 | 2.0E-4 | 0.009036654 | 0.010713574 | 0.0051 | 0.47603163 | 0.012197504 | 0.0015 |
6.6 | 1.52050325E-5 | 1.765924E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.765924E-5 | 0.0 | 6.51628E-5 | 7.5680306E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.5680306E-5 | 0.0 | 7.9306826E-4 | 9.210261E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.5428728 | 0.001020934 | 1.0E-4 | 0.007902439 | 0.00917295 | 0.0044 | 0.4796712 | 0.010461025 | 0.0013 |
6.7 | 1.332523E-5 | 1.5245194E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5245194E-5 | 0.0 | 5.7106878E-5 | 6.533494E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.533494E-5 | 0.0 | 6.950544E-4 | 7.9516845E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.5030381 | 8.950889E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006928845 | 0.007923861 | 0.0036 | 0.45432398 | 0.008915937 | 0.001 |
6.8 | 1.1525329E-5 | 1.3013368E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3013368E-5 | 0.0 | 4.9393333E-5 | 5.5770404E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.5770404E-5 | 0.0 | 6.011979E-4 | 6.7879737E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.14731936 | 6.7879737E-4 | 0.0 | 0.00599574 | 0.00676769 | 0.003 | 0.4432827 | 0.007562276 | 8.0E-4 |
6.9 | 1.0253909E-5 | 1.1497721E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1497721E-5 | 0.0 | 4.3944583E-5 | 4.9275037E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.9275037E-5 | 0.0 | 5.3489394E-4 | 5.99762E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.16673279 | 5.99762E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0053360825 | 0.005981812 | 0.0027 | 0.45136824 | 0.006677625 | 7.0E-4 |
7.0 | 8.104563E-6 | 8.976321E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.976321E-6 | 0.0 | 3.4733377E-5 | 3.8469392E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.8469392E-5 | 0.0 | 4.2279682E-4 | 4.6826657E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.21355358 | 4.6826657E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0042199334 | 0.004673046 | 0.0021 | 0.4493857 | 0.0050711767 | 4.0E-4 |
7.1 | 6.7986157E-6 | 7.501446E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.501446E-6 | 0.0 | 2.91366E-5 | 3.214867E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.214867E-5 | 0.0 | 3.5468035E-4 | 3.913419E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.25553104 | 3.913419E-4 | 0.0 | 0.003541148 | 0.003906743 | 0.002 | 0.5119354 | 0.00430518 | 4.0E-4 |
7.2 | 5.6893327E-6 | 6.2681474E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.2681474E-6 | 0.0 | 2.4382627E-5 | 2.6863223E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6863223E-5 | 0.0 | 2.9681803E-4 | 3.2701265E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.3057986 | 3.2701265E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002964219 | 0.0032655122 | 0.0017 | 0.52059215 | 0.003664206 | 4.0E-4 |
7.3 | 4.253348E-6 | 4.6957107E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.6957107E-6 | 0.0 | 1.8228506E-5 | 2.012433E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.012433E-5 | 0.0 | 2.2190946E-4 | 2.4498798E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4498798E-4 | 0.0 | 0.00221688 | 0.0024473593 | 0.0013 | 0.5311848 | 0.0028463802 | 4.0E-4 |
7.4 | 2.5448119E-6 | 2.8424663E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8424663E-6 | 0.0 | 1.0906291E-5 | 1.218195E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.218195E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3277601E-4 | 1.483068E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.483068E-4 | 0.0 | 0.001326967 | 0.0014822397 | 0.0011 | 0.7421202 | 0.0018816468 | 4.0E-4 |
7.5 | 4.3706837E-8 | 4.5608147E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.5608147E-8 | 0.0 | 1.8731501E-7 | 1.9546347E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9546347E-7 | 0.0 | 2.2805577E-6 | 2.3797656E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3797656E-6 | 0.0 | 2.2805343E-5 | 2.3797458E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3797458E-5 | 0.0 |
Oceanic - West Huasna
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.195567E-5 | 2.7896494E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7896494E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3694567E-4 | 1.19551165E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 2.5093858 | 1.19551165E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0016660384 | 0.0014546067 | 9.0E-4 | 0.618724 | 0.0015544612 | 1.0E-4 | 0.016536033 | 0.014455398 | 0.0121 | 0.8370576 | 0.017116368 | 0.0027 |
6.1 | 2.1156782E-5 | 1.755236E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.755236E-5 | 0.0 | 9.066878E-5 | 7.5222284E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.5222284E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0011033333 | 9.1545586E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.54617596 | 0.0010153643 | 1.0E-4 | 0.010978713 | 0.009117853 | 0.0053 | 0.5812772 | 0.010108735 | 0.001 |
6.2 | 1.6195117E-5 | 1.3309846E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3309846E-5 | 0.0 | 6.9405796E-5 | 5.704096E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.704096E-5 | 0.0 | 8.44688E-4 | 6.94255E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.28807858 | 7.9418556E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.008414844 | 0.0069211544 | 0.0039 | 0.5634898 | 0.007814925 | 9.0E-4 |
6.3 | 1.3559345E-5 | 1.1164041E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1164041E-5 | 0.0 | 5.811018E-5 | 4.7845017E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.7845017E-5 | 0.0 | 7.072618E-4 | 5.8235833E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.34343114 | 6.8230013E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0070501505 | 0.0058084405 | 0.0033 | 0.5681387 | 0.0066037937 | 8.0E-4 |
6.4 | 1.2120619E-5 | 9.987031E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.987031E-6 | 0.0 | 5.1944477E-5 | 4.2800864E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.2800864E-5 | 0.0 | 6.322405E-4 | 5.2097643E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.19194727 | 5.2097643E-4 | 0.0 | 0.006304447 | 0.005197618 | 0.0028 | 0.5387083 | 0.0055955388 | 4.0E-4 |
6.5 | 1.13511915E-5 | 9.354076E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.354076E-6 | 0.0 | 4.8647056E-5 | 4.0088282E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0088282E-5 | 0.0 | 5.9211696E-4 | 4.8796597E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.20493232 | 4.8796597E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0059054173 | 0.004869004 | 0.0027 | 0.55452824 | 0.005267056 | 4.0E-4 |
6.6 | 9.850605E-6 | 8.122999E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.122999E-6 | 0.0 | 4.2216197E-5 | 3.481239E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.481239E-5 | 0.0 | 5.1386096E-4 | 4.2375864E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.23598339 | 4.2375864E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0051267436 | 0.004229538 | 0.0023 | 0.5437946 | 0.0046278466 | 4.0E-4 |
6.7 | 8.8558645E-6 | 7.3066158E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.3066158E-6 | 0.0 | 3.7953152E-5 | 3.131369E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.131369E-5 | 0.0 | 4.6198163E-4 | 3.811777E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.26234484 | 3.811777E-4 | 0.0 | 0.004610224 | 0.0038052641 | 0.002 | 0.5255877 | 0.0041041225 | 3.0E-4 |
6.8 | 7.67136E-6 | 6.3804887E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.3804887E-6 | 0.0 | 3.2876844E-5 | 2.7344664E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7344664E-5 | 0.0 | 4.0020206E-4 | 3.3287058E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.30041704 | 3.3287058E-4 | 0.0 | 0.003994821 | 0.0033237408 | 0.0012 | 0.36103898 | 0.0036227438 | 3.0E-4 |
6.9 | 6.534529E-6 | 5.447591E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.447591E-6 | 0.0 | 2.8004823E-5 | 2.334661E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.334661E-5 | 0.0 | 3.4090536E-4 | 2.8420804E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.35185492 | 2.8420804E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0034038287 | 0.0028384624 | 9.0E-4 | 0.31707308 | 0.0031376106 | 3.0E-4 |
7.0 | 5.460525E-6 | 4.559767E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.559767E-6 | 0.0 | 2.3402039E-5 | 1.9541714E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9541714E-5 | 0.0 | 2.8488258E-4 | 2.378945E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.4203544 | 2.378945E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0028451765 | 0.002376412 | 7.0E-4 | 0.2945617 | 0.0026756993 | 3.0E-4 |
7.1 | 4.4825083E-6 | 3.744255E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.744255E-6 | 0.0 | 1.9210609E-5 | 1.604671E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.604671E-5 | 0.0 | 2.3386406E-4 | 1.9535127E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9535127E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002336181 | 0.0019518073 | 6.0E-4 | 0.3074074 | 0.0022512218 | 3.0E-4 |
7.2 | 2.821708E-6 | 2.4217536E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4217536E-6 | 0.0 | 1.2092979E-5 | 1.03789025E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.03789025E-5 | 0.0 | 1.4722206E-4 | 1.2635582E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2635582E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0014712457 | 0.0012628422 | 6.0E-4 | 0.47511873 | 0.0015624634 | 3.0E-4 |
7.3 | 2.0644757E-6 | 1.7660155E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7660155E-6 | 0.0 | 8.847723E-6 | 7.568616E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.568616E-6 | 0.0 | 1.0771569E-4 | 9.214401E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.214401E-5 | 0.0 | 0.001076635 | 9.210598E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.5428529 | 0.0011208756 | 2.0E-4 |
7.4 | 1.6980367E-6 | 1.4354491E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4354491E-6 | 0.0 | 7.27728E-6 | 6.1519104E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.1519104E-6 | 0.0 | 8.8597284E-5 | 7.489694E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.489694E-5 | 0.0 | 8.8561967E-4 | 7.487186E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.5342461 | 8.486437E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.5 | 1.3637683E-6 | 1.1279529E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1279529E-6 | 0.0 | 5.844708E-6 | 4.834075E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.834075E-6 | 0.0 | 7.1156996E-5 | 5.885327E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.885327E-5 | 0.0 | 7.1134215E-4 | 5.883784E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.6798346 | 6.883196E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.6 | 9.802994E-7 | 7.6560275E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.6560275E-7 | 0.0 | 4.2012766E-6 | 3.2811506E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2811506E-6 | 0.0 | 5.1149345E-5 | 3.9947277E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.9947277E-5 | 0.0 | 5.113757E-4 | 3.9940243E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.5007481 | 3.9940243E-4 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.986191E-7 | 3.986794E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.986794E-7 | 0.0 | 2.5655079E-6 | 1.7086248E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7086248E-6 | 0.0 | 3.1234613E-5 | 2.0802308E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0802308E-5 | 0.0 | 3.123022E-4 | 2.0800502E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.9615153 | 2.0800502E-4 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.9189815E-7 | 1.5152165E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5152165E-7 | 0.0 | 1.2509914E-6 | 6.493783E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.493783E-7 | 0.0 | 1.5230714E-5 | 7.906152E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.906152E-6 | 0.0 | 1.522967E-4 | 7.9060075E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.264861 | 7.9060075E-5 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.2057845E-7 | 4.5461977E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.5461977E-8 | 0.0 | 5.1676466E-7 | 1.9483704E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9483704E-7 | 0.0 | 6.2915915E-6 | 2.3721384E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3721384E-6 | 0.0 | 6.2914136E-5 | 2.3722485E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3722485E-5 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 3.3806387E-9 | 8.7480223E-10 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.7480223E-10 | 0.0 | 1.4488451E-8 | 3.749153E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.749153E-9 | 0.0 | 1.7639688E-7 | 4.5645937E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.5645937E-8 | 0.0 | 1.7639674E-6 | 4.57594E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.57594E-7 | 0.0 |
McLean Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.7360222E-5 | 1.848891E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.848891E-5 | 0.0 | 7.439883E-5 | 7.923606E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.923606E-5 | 0.0 | 9.0542925E-4 | 9.643206E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.5184998 | 0.0011641277 | 2.0E-4 | 0.009017491 | 0.009606195 | 0.0112 | 1.1659143 | 0.012577376 | 0.003 |
6.1 | 9.062689E-6 | 9.586339E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.586339E-6 | 0.0 | 3.8839516E-5 | 4.108371E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.108371E-5 | 0.0 | 4.727685E-4 | 5.0008827E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.1999647 | 5.0008827E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0047176396 | 0.0049905106 | 0.0046 | 0.92174935 | 0.006483025 | 0.0015 |
6.2 | 9.062689E-6 | 9.586339E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.586339E-6 | 0.0 | 3.8839516E-5 | 4.108371E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.108371E-5 | 0.0 | 4.727685E-4 | 5.0008827E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.1999647 | 5.0008827E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0047176396 | 0.0049905106 | 0.0046 | 0.92174935 | 0.006483025 | 0.0015 |
6.3 | 7.2575485E-6 | 7.663183E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.663183E-6 | 0.0 | 3.110341E-5 | 3.284184E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.284184E-5 | 0.0 | 3.786182E-4 | 3.9978314E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.2501356 | 3.9978314E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0037797375 | 0.0039913435 | 0.0041 | 1.0272231 | 0.0053857556 | 0.0014 |
6.4 | 7.2575485E-6 | 7.663183E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.663183E-6 | 0.0 | 3.110341E-5 | 3.284184E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.284184E-5 | 0.0 | 3.786182E-4 | 3.9978314E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.2501356 | 3.9978314E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0037797375 | 0.0039913435 | 0.0041 | 1.0272231 | 0.0053857556 | 0.0014 |
6.5 | 6.06582E-6 | 6.4001492E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.4001492E-6 | 0.0 | 2.5996113E-5 | 2.742896E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.742896E-5 | 0.0 | 3.164567E-4 | 3.339029E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.29948828 | 3.339029E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0031600643 | 0.0033346498 | 0.0036 | 1.0795736 | 0.0042316485 | 9.0E-4 |
6.6 | 5.598744E-6 | 5.9068275E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.9068275E-6 | 0.0 | 2.3994397E-5 | 2.5314765E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5314765E-5 | 0.0 | 2.9209262E-4 | 3.0817007E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.32449615 | 3.0817007E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0029170897 | 0.0030780556 | 0.0034 | 1.1045934 | 0.003975285 | 9.0E-4 |
6.7 | 5.246996E-6 | 5.5359405E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.5359405E-6 | 0.0 | 2.2486933E-5 | 2.372528E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.372528E-5 | 0.0 | 2.73744E-4 | 2.8882333E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.3462324 | 2.8882333E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0027340704 | 0.0028851028 | 0.0034 | 1.1784675 | 0.003782506 | 9.0E-4 |
6.8 | 4.02324E-6 | 4.2444385E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.2444385E-6 | 0.0 | 1.7242342E-5 | 1.8190356E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8190356E-5 | 0.0 | 2.099053E-4 | 2.2145103E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.4515671 | 2.2145103E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0020970714 | 0.0022128872 | 0.0029 | 1.3105052 | 0.0031108956 | 9.0E-4 |
6.9 | 6.835972E-7 | 7.1366145E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.1366145E-7 | 0.0 | 2.9296991E-6 | 3.0585475E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0585475E-6 | 0.0 | 3.56685E-5 | 3.7237496E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.7237496E-5 | 0.0 | 3.5662777E-4 | 3.7234378E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.879983 | 6.7223207E-4 | 3.0E-4 |
Bear River fault zone
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.3773342E-5 | 2.69424E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.69424E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0188177E-4 | 1.1546284E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.8660795 | 1.1546284E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0012397047 | 0.0014049468 | 0.0012 | 0.85412484 | 0.0018043849 | 4.0E-4 | 0.012328116 | 0.013970025 | 0.0091 | 0.65139467 | 0.017026719 | 0.0031 |
6.1 | 2.3773342E-5 | 2.69424E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.69424E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0188177E-4 | 1.1546284E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.8660795 | 1.1546284E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0012397047 | 0.0014049468 | 0.0012 | 0.85412484 | 0.0018043849 | 4.0E-4 | 0.012328116 | 0.013970025 | 0.0091 | 0.65139467 | 0.017026719 | 0.0031 |
6.2 | 1.5973403E-5 | 1.8037237E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8037237E-5 | 0.0 | 6.845564E-5 | 7.730028E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2936563 | 7.730028E-5 | 0.0 | 8.3312875E-4 | 9.407481E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 0.85038704 | 0.0011405599 | 2.0E-4 | 0.008300122 | 0.009370046 | 0.0062 | 0.661683 | 0.011351305 | 0.002 |
6.3 | 1.5973403E-5 | 1.8037237E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8037237E-5 | 0.0 | 6.845564E-5 | 7.730028E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2936563 | 7.730028E-5 | 0.0 | 8.3312875E-4 | 9.407481E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 0.85038704 | 0.0011405599 | 2.0E-4 | 0.008300122 | 0.009370046 | 0.0062 | 0.661683 | 0.011351305 | 0.002 |
6.4 | 1.3027338E-5 | 1.4720553E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4720553E-5 | 0.0 | 5.5830256E-5 | 6.3086634E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5851218 | 6.3086634E-5 | 0.0 | 6.7952136E-4 | 7.678229E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 1.041907 | 9.6766936E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0067744725 | 0.0076530976 | 0.0051 | 0.66639686 | 0.009439322 | 0.0018 |
6.5 | 1.2489152E-5 | 1.4123917E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4123917E-5 | 0.0 | 5.352384E-5 | 6.0529746E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.6520803 | 6.0529746E-5 | 0.0 | 6.514579E-4 | 7.3671405E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 1.085903 | 9.365667E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0064955144 | 0.0073440894 | 0.0049 | 0.6672032 | 0.00913087 | 0.0018 |
6.6 | 1.1662849E-5 | 1.3209397E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3209397E-5 | 0.0 | 4.9982682E-5 | 5.661055E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.7664553 | 5.661055E-5 | 0.0 | 6.083692E-4 | 6.8902835E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 1.1610552 | 8.888905E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.006067064 | 0.006870217 | 0.0048 | 0.6986679 | 0.008657851 | 0.0018 |
6.7 | 1.0667623E-5 | 1.2110522E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2110522E-5 | 0.0 | 4.5717585E-5 | 5.1901272E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.926735 | 5.1901272E-5 | 0.0 | 5.5646943E-4 | 6.317266E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 1.2663707 | 8.316002E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0055507803 | 0.006300487 | 0.0043 | 0.68248695 | 0.007890406 | 0.0016 |
6.8 | 9.154534E-6 | 1.0443577E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0443577E-5 | 0.0 | 3.923313E-5 | 4.475748E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.2342634 | 4.475748E-5 | 0.0 | 4.7755867E-4 | 5.447965E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 1.468438 | 7.4468757E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.004765337 | 0.005435654 | 0.0039 | 0.71748495 | 0.006828044 | 0.0014 |
6.9 | 7.68501E-6 | 8.831835E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.831835E-6 | 0.0 | 3.2935342E-5 | 3.7850223E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.7850223E-5 | 0.0 | 4.0091402E-4 | 4.6073832E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 1.0852147 | 6.606462E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.004001915 | 0.00459875 | 0.0032 | 0.69584125 | 0.0058927718 | 0.0013 |
7.0 | 5.7315733E-6 | 6.69178E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.69178E-6 | 0.0 | 2.4563653E-5 | 2.8678767E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8678767E-5 | 0.0 | 2.9902143E-4 | 3.491123E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.1457632 | 4.4907737E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0029861939 | 0.0034860587 | 0.0026 | 0.745828 | 0.0043829214 | 9.0E-4 |
7.1 | 5.566844E-6 | 6.5005743E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.5005743E-6 | 0.0 | 2.3857683E-5 | 2.785933E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.785933E-5 | 0.0 | 2.9042858E-4 | 3.3913882E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.88459355 | 4.391049E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.002900493 | 0.0033866316 | 0.0025 | 0.7381966 | 0.0042835837 | 9.0E-4 |
7.2 | 4.011353E-6 | 4.6665573E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.6665573E-6 | 0.0 | 1.7191402E-5 | 1.9999396E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9999396E-5 | 0.0 | 2.0928521E-4 | 2.4346886E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.82146025 | 2.4346886E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0020908823 | 0.0024323578 | 0.0015 | 0.6166856 | 0.0028313848 | 4.0E-4 |
7.3 | 2.0974871E-6 | 2.4354429E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4354429E-6 | 0.0 | 8.989199E-6 | 1.0437585E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0437585E-5 | 0.0 | 1.09438006E-4 | 1.2707268E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2707268E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0010938413 | 0.0012702446 | 6.0E-4 | 0.47235 | 0.0013701175 | 1.0E-4 |
Death Valley (So)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.5566584E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5566584E-5 | 0.0 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.0956657E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0956657E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0010787029 | 0.0013331735 | 5.0E-4 | 0.37504497 | 0.0015329069 | 2.0E-4 | 0.010734817 | 0.013255823 | 0.0085 | 0.6412276 | 0.016216056 | 0.003 |
6.1 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.5566584E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5566584E-5 | 0.0 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.0956657E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0956657E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0010787029 | 0.0013331735 | 5.0E-4 | 0.37504497 | 0.0015329069 | 2.0E-4 | 0.010734817 | 0.013255823 | 0.0085 | 0.6412276 | 0.016216056 | 0.003 |
6.2 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.5566584E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5566584E-5 | 0.0 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.0956657E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0956657E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0010787029 | 0.0013331735 | 5.0E-4 | 0.37504497 | 0.0015329069 | 2.0E-4 | 0.010734817 | 0.013255823 | 0.0085 | 0.6412276 | 0.016216056 | 0.003 |
6.3 | 2.0240292E-5 | 2.5067327E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5067327E-5 | 0.0 | 8.6741224E-5 | 1.0742708E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0742708E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0010555626 | 0.0013071565 | 5.0E-4 | 0.38250965 | 0.0015068951 | 2.0E-4 | 0.010505628 | 0.012998716 | 0.0081 | 0.6231385 | 0.01595972 | 0.003 |
6.4 | 2.0240292E-5 | 2.5067327E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5067327E-5 | 0.0 | 8.6741224E-5 | 1.0742708E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0742708E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0010555626 | 0.0013071565 | 5.0E-4 | 0.38250965 | 0.0015068951 | 2.0E-4 | 0.010505628 | 0.012998716 | 0.0081 | 0.6231385 | 0.01595972 | 0.003 |
6.5 | 1.9962767E-5 | 2.475697E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.475697E-5 | 0.0 | 8.55519E-5 | 1.06097075E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.06097075E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0010410968 | 0.001290983 | 5.0E-4 | 0.38730174 | 0.0014907249 | 2.0E-4 | 0.010362327 | 0.012838858 | 0.008 | 0.6231084 | 0.015701625 | 0.0029 |
6.6 | 1.8937297E-5 | 2.3263085E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3263085E-5 | 0.0 | 8.115732E-5 | 9.96952E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.96952E-5 | 0.0 | 9.876423E-4 | 0.0012131276 | 5.0E-4 | 0.41215777 | 0.001412885 | 2.0E-4 | 0.009832645 | 0.0120687 | 0.0078 | 0.64629996 | 0.014933701 | 0.0029 |
6.7 | 1.8621096E-5 | 2.2864237E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2864237E-5 | 0.0 | 7.980225E-5 | 9.798598E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.798598E-5 | 0.0 | 9.711593E-4 | 0.0011923409 | 5.0E-4 | 0.41934314 | 0.0013921025 | 2.0E-4 | 0.009669261 | 0.011863078 | 0.0078 | 0.6575022 | 0.014728676 | 0.0029 |
6.8 | 1.7830353E-5 | 2.1761223E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1761223E-5 | 0.0 | 7.641356E-5 | 9.325913E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.325913E-5 | 0.0 | 9.29938E-4 | 0.0011348524 | 4.0E-4 | 0.35246873 | 0.0013346255 | 2.0E-4 | 0.009260561 | 0.011293159 | 0.0072 | 0.6375541 | 0.013962667 | 0.0027 |
6.9 | 1.3135183E-5 | 1.5278363E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5278363E-5 | 0.0 | 5.6292425E-5 | 6.547709E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.547709E-5 | 0.0 | 6.8514474E-4 | 7.968985E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.3764595 | 8.968188E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006830362 | 0.007941812 | 0.0049 | 0.61698765 | 0.009826723 | 0.0019 |
7.0 | 1.1507512E-5 | 1.3134225E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3134225E-5 | 0.0 | 4.9316975E-5 | 5.6288354E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.6288354E-5 | 0.0 | 6.002687E-4 | 6.8510097E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.43789166 | 7.8503246E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0059864987 | 0.0068309656 | 0.0042 | 0.6148472 | 0.008420036 | 0.0016 |
7.1 | 9.715903E-6 | 1.0850871E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0850871E-5 | 0.0 | 4.1638916E-5 | 4.6502926E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.6502926E-5 | 0.0 | 5.068359E-4 | 5.660303E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.35333797 | 6.659737E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0050568148 | 0.0056462246 | 0.0033 | 0.5844614 | 0.0067400136 | 0.0011 |
7.2 | 9.233269E-6 | 1.0273522E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0273522E-5 | 0.0 | 3.9570554E-5 | 4.4028664E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.4028664E-5 | 0.0 | 4.81665E-4 | 5.359213E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.3731891 | 6.3586776E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0048062233 | 0.0053467196 | 0.0029 | 0.5423887 | 0.0062419074 | 9.0E-4 |
7.3 | 8.8041315E-6 | 9.79644E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.79644E-6 | 0.0 | 3.7731446E-5 | 4.1984094E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.1984094E-5 | 0.0 | 4.592835E-4 | 5.110407E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.3913583 | 6.109895E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0045833546 | 0.00509908 | 0.0029 | 0.56873006 | 0.005994491 | 9.0E-4 |
7.4 | 8.708749E-6 | 9.6955155E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.6955155E-6 | 0.0 | 3.7322676E-5 | 4.155157E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.155157E-5 | 0.0 | 4.5430884E-4 | 5.0577713E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.39543107 | 6.0572656E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004533812 | 0.005046685 | 0.0029 | 0.5746346 | 0.0059421435 | 9.0E-4 |
7.5 | 8.612678E-6 | 9.593229E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.593229E-6 | 0.0 | 3.6910955E-5 | 4.1113217E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.1113217E-5 | 0.0 | 4.492982E-4 | 5.0044263E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.3996462 | 6.003926E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004483909 | 0.004993581 | 0.0029 | 0.5807455 | 0.005889087 | 9.0E-4 |
7.6 | 8.319024E-6 | 9.272643E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.272643E-6 | 0.0 | 3.5652476E-5 | 3.973932E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.973932E-5 | 0.0 | 4.3398244E-4 | 4.8372298E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.41345978 | 5.8367464E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0043313587 | 0.0048271236 | 0.0028 | 0.5800556 | 0.005722779 | 9.0E-4 |
7.7 | 7.4718328E-6 | 8.334961E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.334961E-6 | 0.0 | 3.2021748E-5 | 3.5720797E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5720797E-5 | 0.0 | 3.8979502E-4 | 4.3481795E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.4599626 | 5.347745E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.00389112 | 0.004340076 | 0.0027 | 0.62210894 | 0.00523617 | 9.0E-4 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.6461634E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.6461634E-7 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5626406E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5626406E-6 | 0.0 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.9024988E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9024988E-5 | 0.0 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.9023403E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5256683 | 1.9023403E-4 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6684681E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6684681E-9 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1436292E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1436292E-8 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3923685E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3923685E-7 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3923685E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3923685E-6 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Borrego)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.543992E-5 | 2.7247179E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.6701047 | 1.2724445E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5187653E-4 | 1.1676846E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.7127913 | 2.1675679E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0018475284 | 0.0014207407 | 0.0011 | 0.774244 | 0.0018201724 | 4.0E-4 | 0.018322436 | 0.014516087 | 0.0089 | 0.61311287 | 0.01747254 | 0.003 |
6.1 | 3.542281E-5 | 2.7247179E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.6701047 | 1.2724445E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5180321E-4 | 1.1676846E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.7127913 | 2.1675679E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0018466372 | 0.0014207407 | 0.0011 | 0.774244 | 0.0018201724 | 4.0E-4 | 0.018313672 | 0.014516087 | 0.0089 | 0.61311287 | 0.01747254 | 0.003 |
6.2 | 3.4688688E-5 | 2.7247179E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.6701047 | 1.2724445E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4865733E-4 | 1.1676846E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.7127913 | 2.1675679E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0018084005 | 0.0014207407 | 0.0011 | 0.774244 | 0.0018201724 | 4.0E-4 | 0.017937548 | 0.014516087 | 0.0089 | 0.61311287 | 0.01747254 | 0.003 |
6.3 | 3.2087122E-5 | 2.7092876E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.6910071 | 1.2709017E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.3750899E-4 | 1.1610723E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.7225457 | 2.1609562E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0016728862 | 0.0014127006 | 0.0011 | 0.77865046 | 0.0018121356 | 4.0E-4 | 0.016603488 | 0.014437389 | 0.0089 | 0.61645496 | 0.017394077 | 0.003 |
6.4 | 3.1828724E-5 | 2.705998E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.6954942 | 1.2705727E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.364017E-4 | 1.1596626E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.7246397 | 2.1595466E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0016594254 | 0.0014109865 | 0.0011 | 0.7795964 | 0.001810422 | 4.0E-4 | 0.016470885 | 0.014420639 | 0.0089 | 0.617171 | 0.017377377 | 0.003 |
6.5 | 3.1563577E-5 | 2.6800688E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.7312474 | 1.2679801E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.3526545E-4 | 1.148551E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.7413244 | 2.1484362E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0016456128 | 0.0013974756 | 0.0011 | 0.7871336 | 0.0017969166 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0163348 | 0.014287161 | 0.0087 | 0.60893834 | 0.017145727 | 0.0029 |
6.6 | 3.1467625E-5 | 2.6645346E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.7530005 | 1.2664268E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.3485427E-4 | 1.1418941E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.7514759 | 2.1417798E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0016406142 | 0.0013893811 | 0.0011 | 0.7917194 | 0.0017888254 | 4.0E-4 | 0.016285548 | 0.014207699 | 0.0087 | 0.612344 | 0.017066497 | 0.0029 |
6.7 | 3.1223695E-5 | 2.6265376E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.8072937 | 1.2626275E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.3380898E-4 | 1.125611E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.7768127 | 2.1254984E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0016279068 | 0.0013695816 | 0.0011 | 0.80316496 | 0.0017690337 | 4.0E-4 | 0.01616033 | 0.014013237 | 0.0087 | 0.62084156 | 0.016872598 | 0.0029 |
6.8 | 3.1015585E-5 | 2.6088208E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.8331494 | 1.260856E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.3291716E-4 | 1.1180188E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.7888787 | 2.117907E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.001617065 | 0.0013603496 | 0.0011 | 0.8086157 | 0.0017598055 | 4.0E-4 | 0.016053487 | 0.013921397 | 0.0086 | 0.6177541 | 0.016682416 | 0.0028 |
6.9 | 2.6641965E-5 | 2.1587382E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.6323357 | 1.21585224E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1417485E-4 | 9.251409E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.1618328 | 1.9250484E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0013891924 | 0.0011257809 | 9.0E-4 | 0.7994451 | 0.0013255557 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0138054015 | 0.011570384 | 0.0067 | 0.5790646 | 0.013547243 | 0.002 |
7.0 | 2.3854353E-5 | 1.9918738E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 5.0203986 | 1.19916745E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.02228936E-4 | 8.536324E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1714644 | 1.853547E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0012439266 | 0.0010388044 | 7.0E-4 | 0.6738516 | 0.0011387005 | 1.0E-4 | 0.012369866 | 0.010689501 | 0.0059 | 0.5519435 | 0.012272398 | 0.0016 |
7.1 | 2.3672901E-5 | 1.9756502E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 5.0616245 | 1.1975453E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0145135E-4 | 8.466799E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1810838 | 1.8465953E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0012344702 | 0.0010303478 | 7.0E-4 | 0.67938226 | 0.0011302448 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0122763505 | 0.010605348 | 0.0056 | 0.52803546 | 0.01218838 | 0.0016 |
7.2 | 2.2717244E-5 | 1.8992536E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 5.2652264 | 1.1899064E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 9.735599E-5 | 8.139406E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.228591 | 1.8138591E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0011846646 | 9.905243E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.6057398 | 0.0010904253 | 1.0E-4 | 0.01178369 | 0.010207092 | 0.0055 | 0.538841 | 0.011790761 | 0.0016 |
7.3 | 2.1016205E-5 | 1.784509E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 5.603782 | 1.1784331E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 9.006634E-5 | 7.6476725E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.3075874 | 1.7646908E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.001096006 | 9.3070837E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.64467025 | 0.0010306153 | 1.0E-4 | 0.010906163 | 0.009608309 | 0.0053 | 0.5516059 | 0.011093897 | 0.0015 |
7.4 | 2.0683625E-5 | 1.7649298E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 5.6659474 | 1.17647534E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 8.86411E-5 | 7.563767E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.3220925 | 1.756301E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.001078671 | 9.2050154E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.6518186 | 0.0010204095 | 1.0E-4 | 0.010734501 | 0.009505889 | 0.0053 | 0.5575491 | 0.01099163 | 0.0015 |
7.5 | 1.9993966E-5 | 1.7249082E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 5.79741 | 1.1724736E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 8.568561E-5 | 7.392256E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.3527671 | 1.7391516E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.001042723 | 8.996374E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.55577946 | 9.995474E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.010378438 | 0.009295228 | 0.0051 | 0.5486686 | 0.010781285 | 0.0015 |
7.6 | 1.788966E-5 | 1.591599E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 6.28299 | 1.159144E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 7.666772E-5 | 6.820961E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4660691 | 1.682028E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 9.3302975E-4 | 8.301373E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.60231 | 9.300543E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.00929122 | 0.008594018 | 0.0049 | 0.57016397 | 0.010081128 | 0.0015 |
7.7 | 1.5125781E-5 | 1.374054E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 7.2777343 | 1.1373917E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.4823165E-5 | 5.8886704E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.6981761 | 1.5888082E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 7.889362E-4 | 7.167105E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.6976317 | 8.166389E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.007861412 | 0.007453066 | 0.0042 | 0.5635265 | 0.0087433765 | 0.0013 |
7.8 | 1.250089E-5 | 1.2154955E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 8.2270975 | 1.1215374E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.3574146E-5 | 5.2091626E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.9196943 | 1.5208642E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.5207E-4 | 6.340316E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.78860426 | 7.3396816E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006501599 | 0.0066174488 | 0.004 | 0.60446256 | 0.007908846 | 0.0013 |
7.9 | 9.561E-6 | 9.333654E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 10.713918 | 1.0933272E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.0975072E-5 | 4.0000763E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.4999523 | 1.3999676E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.987573E-4 | 4.8690097E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.61614174 | 5.8685226E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0049763937 | 0.005130066 | 0.0032 | 0.62377363 | 0.006224423 | 0.0011 |
8.0 | 8.01699E-6 | 7.909673E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 12.642749 | 1.0790888E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.4358076E-5 | 3.389816E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.9500127 | 1.3389476E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.1822926E-4 | 4.1263242E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.72703934 | 5.1259116E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0041744304 | 0.004370312 | 0.0027 | 0.6178048 | 0.005266379 | 9.0E-4 |
8.1 | 6.541947E-6 | 6.1497162E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 16.260912 | 1.061491E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.8036617E-5 | 2.6355663E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.794251 | 1.2635303E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.4129233E-4 | 3.208334E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.93506473 | 4.2080134E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0034076865 | 0.003414587 | 0.0023 | 0.67358077 | 0.004211855 | 8.0E-4 |
8.2 | 1.7968189E-6 | 7.389951E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.389951E-7 | 0.0 | 7.70063E-6 | 3.167118E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.167118E-6 | 0.0 | 9.3751136E-5 | 3.8559E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.5934284 | 3.8559E-5 | 0.0 | 9.371159E-4 | 4.385441E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.9121089 | 5.3850026E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
8.3 | 1.5167889E-7 | 4.4875055E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.4875055E-8 | 0.0 | 6.500522E-7 | 1.9232165E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9232165E-7 | 0.0 | 7.9143565E-6 | 2.341514E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.341514E-6 | 0.0 | 7.914075E-5 | 2.7336682E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7336682E-5 | 0.0 |
Santa Susana East (connector)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 m |
---|