Parent Section Magnitude-Probability Distributions

Only fault sections with at least one triggered aftershock are plotted. Sections are sorted by total supraseismogenic trigger rate (decreasing)

Table Of Contents

San Andreas (Parkfield)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.556969E-46.915928E-47.0E-41.01215628.914545E-42.0E-40.00237938480.00296100720.00331.11448560.00435686160.00140.0285869630.0360407160.04291.19032040.0526208170.01720.251762840.323762270.40581.25338890.44305060.1764
6.11.925858E-42.7917596E-42.0E-40.716394073.7914806E-41.0E-48.2510663E-40.00119598777.0E-40.58529030.00149562893.0E-40.00999948850.0146055830.01110.75998340.018744240.00420.0956132560.143876570.09950.6915650.17675170.0384
6.29.4306815E-51.7635812E-42.0E-41.1340562.763405E-41.0E-44.0410945E-47.5560284E-44.0E-40.529378659.554517E-42.0E-40.00490893840.0091608730.00630.687707360.0112416350.00210.0480190630.089192950.06140.68839520.108684220.0214
6.39.283051E-51.7334851E-42.0E-41.15374522.7333118E-41.0E-43.9778434E-47.427118E-44.0E-40.53856699.425633E-42.0E-40.00483227470.0090052260.00630.69959370.0110863150.00210.0472853850.087850680.06040.68753020.107188250.0212
6.49.138826E-51.7101326E-42.0E-41.16952.7099616E-41.0E-43.916052E-47.3270925E-44.0E-40.54591919.325627E-42.0E-40.00475737450.0088844430.00630.709104660.0109657850.00210.0465680920.086768160.05980.689192950.1058547050.0209
6.59.000255E-51.6863071E-42.0E-41.18602362.6861386E-41.0E-43.8566816E-47.22504E-44.0E-40.55363019.223595E-42.0E-40.00468540470.0087612030.00610.69625140.0108428050.00210.0458784030.085668270.05910.68987030.1045949460.0207
6.68.8109264E-51.655251E-42.0E-41.2082762.6550854E-41.0E-43.7755648E-47.092015E-44.0E-40.564014559.0905966E-42.0E-40.00458706540.0086005470.0060.697630050.0106824860.00210.044935290.084228240.05770.68504340.103093140.0206
6.78.738073E-51.6421343E-42.0E-41.21792722.64197E-41.0E-43.7443507E-47.035831E-44.0E-40.568518469.0344244E-42.0E-40.00454922160.0085327190.0060.70317560.01061480.00210.044572130.083633840.05740.68632510.102327710.0204
6.88.710195E-51.6368246E-42.0E-41.2218782.636661E-41.0E-43.7324068E-47.013088E-44.0E-40.570362159.011685E-42.0E-40.00453474050.0085052530.0060.705446360.0105873920.00210.044433130.083386160.05730.687164370.102085080.0204
6.98.6801556E-51.6310447E-42.0E-41.22620792.6308818E-41.0E-43.7195362E-46.98833E-44.0E-40.57238288.986933E-42.0E-40.00451913570.0084753460.0060.70793570.0105575480.00210.0442833270.083116420.0570.68578510.101637470.0202
7.08.5571606E-51.6068204E-42.0E-41.24469412.6066598E-41.0E-43.6668387E-46.884567E-44.0E-40.58100978.88319E-42.0E-40.0044552410.0083499890.0060.718563850.0104324540.00210.0436697270.081982010.05640.68795580.100250570.0199
7.17.82589E-51.4571106E-42.0E-41.37257932.456965E-41.0E-43.3535215E-46.243273E-44.0E-40.64068968.242024E-42.0E-40.00407527060.0075748510.00530.69968370.0095597010.0020.0400134180.0749679650.05080.67762280.0917110440.0181
7.27.690929E-51.4312443E-42.0E-41.39738552.4311012E-41.0E-43.2956956E-46.132469E-44.0E-40.65226588.131243E-42.0E-40.0040051290.00744087670.00520.698842350.0094259950.0020.03933710.073753840.04990.676574950.09051890.0181
7.37.5543794E-51.401607E-42.0E-41.42693352.4014668E-41.0E-43.2371894E-46.005511E-44.0E-40.66605498.00431E-42.0E-40.0039341570.00728734860.00510.699843050.0092727740.0020.0386523340.072339990.0490.6773570.088759570.0177
7.47.4214564E-51.3724575E-42.0E-41.457242.3723203E-41.0E-43.1802364E-45.8806414E-44.0E-40.68019797.879465E-42.0E-40.0038650650.00713632540.0050.70064070.0091220530.0020.037985290.070941290.04770.672386940.087106910.0174
7.56.149578E-51.0727601E-42.0E-41.86434972.0726529E-41.0E-42.6352672E-44.5967344E-44.0E-40.8701836.595815E-42.0E-40.00320371780.00558219150.0040.71656450.00697437630.00140.031579230.0564114150.03660.648804840.0690555050.0134
7.66.0643448E-51.0560471E-42.0E-41.89385492.0559414E-41.0E-42.598746E-44.5251322E-43.0E-40.662964056.524227E-42.0E-40.00315938280.0054954590.00380.691480.0068877650.00140.0311484170.05558880.03570.642215670.068149470.0133
7.75.1652263E-58.763357E-51.0E-41.14111521.876248E-41.0E-42.2134806E-43.755184E-42.0E-40.532597065.7544326E-42.0E-40.0026915820.00456236070.00330.723309760.00585642970.00130.0265921410.0466018430.02920.626584650.0568032040.0107
7.84.8090482E-58.180837E-51.0E-41.22236881.8180019E-41.0E-42.060858E-43.505602E-42.0E-40.57051545.504901E-42.0E-40.00250620720.00425972460.00310.727746550.0053550390.00110.0247813050.0435160470.02740.62965280.052889590.0098
7.93.970278E-56.4554115E-51.0E-41.5490881.6454766E-41.0E-41.7014367E-42.7663115E-42.0E-40.72298444.7657583E-42.0E-40.0020695310.00336278630.00270.80290560.00425975969.0E-40.0205036360.034464450.02270.658649740.0423818380.0082
8.02.8982335E-53.8823757E-51.0E-42.57574251.3881987E-41.0E-41.2420409E-41.6637692E-42.0E-41.20208983.6634365E-42.0E-40.00151113570.00202375810.00160.79060830.0026225446.0E-40.0150090120.0210726840.01380.65487630.0262609980.0053
8.11.8836186E-51.7631566E-51.0E-45.67164561.176298E-41.0E-48.0724014E-57.556167E-52.0E-42.64684462.7554657E-42.0E-49.823717E-49.195756E-46.0E-40.65247490.00121929973.0E-40.0097804030.0099357260.00660.66426950.01241088750.0025
8.28.643924E-65.06885E-60.00.05.06885E-60.03.704486E-52.1723463E-51.0E-44.60331771.2172129E-41.0E-44.5092785E-42.6445114E-42.0E-40.75628343.644247E-41.0E-40.00450013950.00302592730.00220.72704990.0037238097.0E-4
8.31.983087E-66.9765395E-70.00.06.9765395E-70.08.498917E-62.9899422E-60.00.02.9899422E-60.01.034694E-43.640195E-50.00.03.640195E-50.00.00103421244.3255524E-42.0E-40.462368675.32512E-41.0E-4

San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.986481E-40.00121834060.00131.06702520.00201736588.0E-40.00256311240.00520615840.00370.710696760.0068973080.00170.0307628460.060754910.03780.622171940.072965090.0130.268354770.42355790.32820.774864550.482066780.1015
6.15.015945E-40.0010144650.00111.08431530.00171375487.0E-40.002147920.0043366270.00260.59954430.00563098960.00130.0258393510.05088620.03070.6033070.0611366260.01080.230327760.370645850.26650.71901520.422756370.0828
6.24.073338E-48.035464E-49.0E-41.12003490.00130314465.0E-40.00174454840.00343648440.00240.698388160.0045327040.00110.0210340580.0405739020.02430.59890720.048920910.00870.191507820.310641230.21910.705315230.358758480.0698
6.33.464099E-46.667307E-48.0E-41.19988480.0010664644.0E-40.00148376920.00285227850.00220.77131320.00384942630.0010.0179158730.0338277740.02020.597142460.0408808330.00730.165383590.268779750.18610.69238840.312141120.0593
6.42.935057E-45.472123E-44.0E-40.73097776.471576E-41.0E-40.00125727510.0023417210.00130.55514730.0029403166.0E-40.0152002480.0278991870.01650.59141510.0337317920.0060.142015770.230307650.15630.67865740.268561360.0497
6.52.3409708E-44.1372047E-43.0E-40.72512735.136791E-41.0E-40.00100288750.00177113870.00110.62106940.0023700766.0E-40.0121419650.0212196240.01260.593789940.0260156490.00490.114995730.183985520.12020.65331230.215728480.0389
6.61.5842178E-42.4354956E-43.0E-41.23178223.435252E-41.0E-46.7877385E-40.00104335960.0010.95844230.00164273366.0E-40.00823280.0126275370.00820.64937450.0156883910.00310.079343960.120107630.07560.62943550.141840960.0247
6.71.5616413E-42.3893468E-43.0E-41.25557333.389108E-41.0E-46.691031E-40.00102360050.0010.97694370.00162298636.0E-40.00811594350.0123903250.0080.645665050.0153531530.0030.07825860.118135310.07420.628093360.139476430.0242
6.81.5538467E-42.3719038E-43.0E-41.26480673.3716668E-41.0E-46.6576427E-40.00101613170.0010.984124360.00161552216.0E-40.0080755960.0123005730.0080.65037620.0152636720.0030.077883580.117370250.07380.62877950.138641630.0241
6.91.5153569E-42.2834647E-43.0E-41.31379313.2832363E-41.0E-46.49277E-49.782626E-40.0011.02222040.00157767576.0E-40.0078763330.01184579450.00770.65001970.0146126260.00280.076029520.113451310.0710.625819150.133753270.0229
7.01.4588932E-42.1704847E-43.0E-41.38217993.1702674E-41.0E-46.250901E-49.29878E-40.0011.07540990.001529326.0E-40.00758394740.0112629640.00750.66589930.0140314280.00280.0733028950.108331930.06810.62862350.128216130.0223
7.11.1565079E-41.5682573E-43.0E-41.91295152.5681005E-41.0E-44.955521E-46.719379E-48.0E-41.19058620.00107166924.0E-40.0060166690.0081503450.00610.74843460.0105307840.00240.0585635380.080971660.05080.627380.0962275340.0166
7.21.0393792E-41.4054266E-42.0E-41.42305552.4052859E-41.0E-44.4537216E-46.0218736E-45.0E-40.83030648.020669E-42.0E-40.0054089330.0073071420.00530.72531780.0092925280.0020.0527915950.073066460.04610.630932450.087155850.0152
7.39.332884E-51.2286415E-42.0E-41.6278142.2285187E-41.0E-43.999194E-45.26455E-44.0E-40.7597997.263497E-42.0E-40.00485815340.00639087850.00460.719775860.0082787360.00190.0475331020.06419690.0410.638660130.077204560.0139
7.48.670252E-51.1232113E-42.0E-41.78060882.123099E-41.0E-43.715293E-44.8128804E-44.0E-40.831103156.811918E-42.0E-40.0045139910.00584405150.00420.71867950.00753411650.00170.0442339370.0589581880.03780.64113230.071003530.0128
7.57.3036405E-58.6087464E-52.0E-42.32321861.8607885E-41.0E-43.129756E-43.6889417E-44.0E-41.08432195.688204E-42.0E-40.00380382170.0044820570.00350.78089150.00577623020.00130.037393670.0459756070.02890.62859420.0552296450.0097
7.66.3935775E-57.9179175E-52.0E-42.52591661.7917126E-41.0E-42.7398168E-43.3929528E-43.0E-40.88418565.392274E-42.0E-40.00333062540.00412311270.00330.80036620.00541775250.00130.0328114740.042256560.02720.6436870.0513551240.0095
7.75.5050095E-56.341782E-51.0E-41.57684391.6341147E-41.0E-42.3590765E-42.7176237E-42.0E-40.73593714.7170802E-42.0E-40.00286839270.00330369030.00280.847537040.00440005630.00110.02831650.0342407670.02170.63374750.041290810.0073
7.85.027131E-55.869966E-51.0E-41.70358741.5869379E-41.0E-42.1543067E-42.5154572E-42.0E-40.795084064.514954E-42.0E-40.00261971350.00305827120.00260.85015350.0039555199.0E-40.0258904530.031699360.02010.634082260.0379933120.0065
7.93.7271806E-54.786388E-51.0E-42.08925821.4785909E-41.0E-41.5972654E-42.0511479E-42.0E-40.975063744.0507378E-42.0E-40.00194293590.00249441430.00230.922060130.00329241888.0E-40.0192603620.0259041320.01710.66012640.0315538870.0058
8.02.7310243E-52.986441E-51.0E-43.34846741.2986142E-41.0E-41.17038646E-41.2798405E-42.0E-41.56269473.2795846E-42.0E-40.00142401410.00155709290.00140.89911140.00205631445.0E-40.0141492350.0164174340.01070.651746150.0199583320.0036
8.11.7940547E-51.6404678E-51.0E-46.0958221.1640304E-41.0E-47.688579E-57.0303875E-52.0E-42.84479362.702898E-42.0E-49.3568244E-48.5561397E-46.0E-40.70125080.00115535733.0E-40.0093175250.0092739620.00630.67932130.0115526320.0023
8.28.643924E-65.06885E-60.00.05.06885E-60.03.704486E-52.1723463E-51.0E-44.60331771.2172129E-41.0E-44.5092785E-42.6445114E-42.0E-40.75628343.644247E-41.0E-40.00450013950.00302592730.00220.72704990.0037238097.0E-4
8.31.983087E-66.9765395E-70.00.06.9765395E-70.08.498917E-62.9899422E-60.00.02.9899422E-60.01.034694E-43.640195E-50.00.03.640195E-50.00.00103421244.3255524E-42.0E-40.462368675.32512E-41.0E-4

San Andreas (Mojave S)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.1064058E-46.6695944E-45.0E-40.749670749.6675934E-43.0E-40.00133063760.00285539430.00160.56034290.00355339547.0E-40.0160806050.0341791250.02230.6524450.0423886030.00850.14965490.28407690.20740.7300840.340348450.0786
6.13.1064058E-46.6695944E-45.0E-40.749670749.6675934E-43.0E-40.00133063760.00285539430.00160.56034290.00355339547.0E-40.0160806050.0341791250.02230.6524450.0423886030.00850.14965490.28407690.20740.7300840.340348450.0786
6.23.1064058E-46.6695944E-45.0E-40.749670749.6675934E-43.0E-40.00133063760.00285539430.00160.56034290.00355339547.0E-40.0160806050.0341791250.02230.6524450.0423886030.00850.14965490.28407690.20740.7300840.340348450.0786
6.33.1064058E-46.6695944E-45.0E-40.749670749.6675934E-43.0E-40.00133063760.00285539430.00160.56034290.00355339547.0E-40.0160806050.0341791250.02230.6524450.0423886030.00850.14965490.28407690.20740.7300840.340348450.0786
6.41.9872203E-44.2452608E-43.0E-40.706670346.244412E-42.0E-48.5138786E-40.0018181570.0010.55000750.0023172485.0E-40.0103164780.0219174340.01470.670698940.0273946950.00560.0985048560.194252160.14030.72225710.233975530.0493
6.51.291105E-42.8063892E-42.0E-40.712659543.8061084E-41.0E-45.5321335E-40.00120218667.0E-40.582272350.00160170574.0E-40.0067145920.014539190.01030.70843010.0187766720.00430.0651529650.135170670.09340.69097830.163191140.0324
6.61.291105E-42.8063892E-42.0E-40.712659543.8061084E-41.0E-45.5321335E-40.00120218667.0E-40.582272350.00160170574.0E-40.0067145920.014539190.01030.70843010.0187766720.00430.0651529650.135170670.09340.69097830.163191140.0324
6.71.08001186E-42.365581E-42.0E-40.845458273.3653443E-41.0E-44.6278012E-40.0010134276.0E-40.59205050.00141302174.0E-40.00561980160.012268950.00830.67650450.0156272370.00340.0547979060.11627470.07950.68372570.140135290.027
6.81.0624356E-42.317545E-42.0E-40.862982153.3173134E-41.0E-44.5525006E-49.92856E-46.0E-40.604317250.00139245894.0E-40.00552859250.012021280.00780.648849370.0150840130.00310.0539305660.114224070.07730.676740050.137342830.0261
6.91.0393785E-42.2548415E-42.0E-40.88698033.2546162E-41.0E-44.4537184E-49.660032E-45.0E-40.51759660.00126571343.0E-40.00540892870.0116978980.0070.598398150.0144651430.00280.052791560.111515340.07330.657308640.133283210.0245
7.01.0155622E-42.1920961E-42.0E-40.91236883.191877E-41.0E-44.3516833E-49.391319E-45.0E-40.532406570.00123885023.0E-40.0052853110.0113741960.00660.58026080.013845760.00250.051613610.108782510.07130.65543630.13008260.0239
7.19.885595E-52.1212734E-42.0E-40.94282993.1210613E-41.0E-44.2359953E-49.0880075E-45.0E-40.55017560.00120852823.0E-40.00514513530.01100869850.00640.581358430.0132833780.00230.050276290.105673420.06860.649169860.126064060.0228
7.29.6411415E-52.0578885E-42.0E-40.971869953.0576828E-41.0E-44.1312634E-48.8165444E-45.0E-40.56711560.00118138993.0E-40.0050182190.0106814790.0060.561719950.012857980.00220.0490640070.102867410.06550.6367420.122694040.0221
7.39.1180635E-51.8825143E-42.0E-41.06240892.882326E-41.0E-43.907156E-48.0654246E-44.0E-40.49594410.00100638122.0E-40.0047465910.0097755440.00520.531939740.0114589250.00170.0464647860.095121410.05930.62341380.113038010.0198
7.48.887388E-51.8081242E-42.0E-41.10611872.8079434E-41.0E-43.8083247E-47.746803E-44.0E-40.516342049.7452535E-42.0E-40.00462678170.0093910310.00510.54307130.0109760050.00160.0453162860.091776580.0570.62107350.108760360.0187
7.58.6750515E-51.7419644E-42.0E-41.14812912.74179E-41.0E-43.7173493E-47.4634264E-44.0E-40.535946859.4619335E-42.0E-40.0045164840.0090489390.00490.54149990.01063446050.00160.044257870.0887597650.05420.610637070.105070960.0179
7.68.453092E-51.6815437E-42.0E-41.18938342.6813755E-41.0E-43.6222505E-47.204626E-44.0E-40.555198859.203185E-42.0E-40.00440117530.00873641950.00470.53797780.0103224410.00160.043150240.085942570.05220.607382360.1019385760.0175
7.78.259102E-51.6344519E-42.0E-41.22365182.6342884E-41.0E-43.539135E-47.002914E-44.0E-40.57119089.001513E-42.0E-40.0043003860.0084927770.00450.5298620.0100791890.00160.0421811340.083717130.05030.60083290.099293930.017
7.87.444844E-51.4721302E-42.0E-41.35857552.471983E-41.0E-43.1902574E-46.3076045E-44.0E-40.634155158.306343E-42.0E-40.00387722230.00765251140.00430.561907050.0091410330.00150.038102690.0757679940.04510.59523810.08972390.0151
7.95.2586525E-59.6212076E-51.0E-41.03937051.9620245E-41.0E-42.2535135E-44.1227232E-43.0E-40.727674376.121899E-42.0E-40.00274020060.0050078730.0030.59905670.00610236450.00110.0270665740.0503966470.03090.6131360.0604624450.0106
8.03.379877E-55.18389E-51.0E-41.92905331.5183371E-41.0E-41.4484383E-42.2214779E-43.0E-41.35045234.2210336E-42.0E-40.00176204710.00270129650.00180.66634670.00339940567.0E-40.0174814090.0277370810.01690.60929270.0336678850.0061
8.11.8668277E-51.8253817E-51.0E-45.47830631.1825199E-41.0E-48.000444E-57.82283E-52.0E-42.55661942.7821265E-42.0E-49.736188E-49.52014E-46.0E-40.63024280.00125172843.0E-40.0096936420.0102451230.00680.663730440.0128184860.0026
8.28.541571E-65.0561516E-60.00.05.0561516E-60.03.660622E-52.166904E-51.0E-44.61487871.21666875E-41.0E-44.455896E-42.637887E-42.0E-40.75818263.6376234E-41.0E-40.00444697170.00301876760.00220.728774250.00371665447.0E-4
8.31.983087E-66.9765395E-70.00.06.9765395E-70.08.498917E-62.9899422E-60.00.02.9899422E-60.01.034694E-43.640195E-50.00.03.640195E-50.00.00103421244.3255524E-42.0E-40.462368675.32512E-41.0E-4

Mendocino

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.5409013E-40.00107969343.0E-40.277856650.00127947752.0E-40.00237251120.00461700840.00240.51981710.0055128539.0E-40.0285054740.054462360.02730.50126360.0631613060.00920.251134930.410660060.24780.603418770.459516350.0829
6.14.2515888E-48.1907253E-42.0E-40.244178620.00101890872.0E-40.00182083730.00350399760.0020.570776640.0044008449.0E-40.0219445380.0415631980.02230.536532340.0496140680.00840.198995740.328745070.21210.645180760.380834460.0776
6.24.2515888E-48.1907253E-42.0E-40.244178620.00101890872.0E-40.00182083730.00350399760.0020.570776640.0044008449.0E-40.0219445380.0415631980.02230.536532340.0496140680.00840.198995740.328745070.21210.645180760.380834460.0776
6.33.2773745E-46.1586214E-42.0E-40.3247488.15739E-42.0E-40.00140383290.00263561520.0020.758836150.0035332439.0E-40.0169582370.0314197060.01850.588802460.0388777740.00770.15720940.259551550.16810.647655550.306421940.0633
6.42.7417165E-45.014441E-42.0E-40.398848037.013438E-42.0E-40.00117449220.0021463920.00140.652257440.0027451046.0E-40.0142059750.0256709030.01520.592110040.031516880.0060.133313940.218231530.13760.6305230.258336250.0513
6.52.3984899E-44.2912093E-42.0E-40.46606916.290351E-42.0E-40.00102751920.00183711170.00140.762065770.00243600956.0E-40.0124384730.0220183150.01340.60858430.0271038190.00520.117648510.190781370.120.62899220.22751990.0454
6.62.1023539E-43.6620436E-42.0E-40.54614325.661311E-42.0E-49.0069766E-40.00156797670.0010.637764630.00206719275.0E-40.0109109750.0188310930.01110.589450660.0230501180.00430.103905460.166229920.10240.616014240.198163320.0383
6.71.2592976E-41.812945E-41.0E-40.55158872.8127639E-41.0E-45.395873E-47.7668705E-42.0E-40.2575048.7660935E-41.0E-40.0065497050.0094039870.00460.489154220.011187060.00180.0635999440.0896503250.04720.526490.105217310.0171
6.81.13663555E-41.5119594E-41.0E-40.66139342.511808E-41.0E-44.8703855E-46.477909E-42.0E-40.30874167.477261E-41.0E-40.00591358450.0078543340.00350.445613860.0091441240.00130.0575867330.0761104750.0380.499274250.089044930.014
6.99.926894E-51.2036246E-41.0E-40.83082382.2035043E-41.0E-44.2536893E-45.1573163E-42.0E-40.387798586.1568007E-41.0E-40.00516657530.00626004070.0030.47923010.00755190240.00130.0504809470.0616345260.03020.48998510.073082580.0122
7.09.168125E-51.0529014E-41.0E-40.94975652.0527962E-41.0E-43.9286047E-44.511643E-42.0E-40.443297485.511192E-41.0E-40.0047725910.005478740.00280.51106640.0067716180.00130.046713850.0544261860.02760.50710880.065205730.0114
7.18.2854116E-58.860998E-51.0E-41.12854111.8860112E-41.0E-43.5504074E-43.7970228E-42.0E-40.526728454.796643E-41.0E-40.0043140560.00461313970.00240.520253060.00580760370.00120.0423126260.0463245180.02510.54182970.0563381130.0105
7.27.8255274E-58.06163E-51.0E-41.2404441.8060824E-41.0E-43.3533663E-43.4545347E-42.0E-40.57894924.454189E-41.0E-40.00407508250.0041979250.0020.47642590.0052933070.00110.0400116030.042388750.0230.54259680.051294530.0093
7.36.887904E-56.0630904E-51.0E-41.64932391.6062484E-41.0E-42.9516246E-42.598214E-42.0E-40.76975963.597954E-41.0E-40.00358768230.00315882870.00170.538174150.0042553540.00110.0353031120.032392430.01830.56494680.039843010.0077
7.45.4898497E-53.6060723E-50.00.03.6060723E-50.02.3525805E-41.545371E-41.0E-40.64709381.545371E-40.00.00286050470.00187991869.0E-40.478744120.00247879076.0E-40.028239630.019722820.01030.52223770.0238399840.0042
7.53.9103943E-51.0709808E-50.00.01.0709808E-50.01.6757756E-44.5898378E-51.0E-42.17872624.5898378E-50.00.00203834755.5867096E-42.0E-40.357992476.586151E-41.0E-40.0201975180.00627366640.00290.462249640.00706864758.0E-4
7.63.641042E-58.449839E-60.00.08.449839E-60.01.5603533E-43.62131E-50.00.03.62131E-50.00.00189807484.4080656E-41.0E-40.226856875.407625E-41.0E-40.0188194440.00503029630.00190.377711330.00562727826.0E-4
7.73.1318774E-54.0567656E-60.00.04.0567656E-60.01.342164E-41.7386024E-50.00.01.7386024E-50.00.00163285982.1165445E-41.0E-40.472468233.1163328E-41.0E-40.0162091390.00261711178.0E-40.305680480.00291632653.0E-4
7.82.209241E-52.4255278E-60.00.02.4255278E-60.09.467832E-51.0395078E-50.00.01.0395078E-50.00.0011520991.2655274E-40.00.01.2655274E-40.00.0114614430.00157827813.0E-40.190080570.00167812031.0E-4
7.91.2640477E-51.8575885E-60.00.01.8575885E-60.05.4172346E-57.961069E-60.00.07.961069E-60.06.593487E-49.692173E-50.00.09.692173E-50.00.0065739580.00118602843.0E-40.252945070.00128590971.0E-4
8.06.5548907E-61.4963324E-60.00.01.4963324E-60.02.8092087E-56.412837E-60.00.06.412837E-60.03.4196748E-47.807351E-50.00.07.807351E-50.00.00341441729.470385E-42.0E-40.211184650.00104694381.0E-4
8.13.1916707E-61.2333625E-60.00.01.2333625E-60.01.3678517E-55.2858286E-60.00.05.2858286E-60.01.6652321E-46.435308E-50.00.06.435308E-50.00.00166398487.898634E-42.0E-40.253208348.897844E-41.0E-4
8.22.1193785E-69.373281E-70.00.09.373281E-70.09.083019E-64.0171144E-60.00.04.0171144E-60.01.1058014E-44.8907285E-50.00.04.8907285E-50.00.00110525135.969148E-42.0E-40.335056226.968551E-41.0E-4
8.37.536878E-73.609915E-70.00.03.609915E-70.03.2300866E-61.5471055E-60.00.01.5471055E-60.03.9325594E-51.8835857E-50.00.01.8835857E-50.03.9318635E-42.2327069E-40.00.02.2327069E-40.0

Cerro Prieto

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.9101528E-45.876785E-44.0E-40.68064437.8756094E-42.0E-40.00124661220.0025164270.00220.87425540.00351391060.0010.0150722310.0302334280.01820.60198270.0372157470.00720.140899790.25140840.17440.693691970.292206650.0545
6.12.9101528E-45.876785E-44.0E-40.68064437.8756094E-42.0E-40.00124661220.0025164270.00220.87425540.00351391060.0010.0150722310.0302334280.01820.60198270.0372157470.00720.140899790.25140840.17440.693691970.292206650.0545
6.22.9101528E-45.876785E-44.0E-40.68064437.8756094E-42.0E-40.00124661220.0025164270.00220.87425540.00351391060.0010.0150722310.0302334280.01820.60198270.0372157470.00720.140899790.25140840.17440.693691970.292206650.0545
6.32.9101528E-45.876785E-44.0E-40.68064437.8756094E-42.0E-40.00124661220.0025164270.00220.87425540.00351391060.0010.0150722310.0302334280.01820.60198270.0372157470.00720.140899790.25140840.17440.693691970.292206650.0545
6.42.508648E-45.056167E-43.0E-40.593334857.0551556E-42.0E-40.00107469180.00216532220.00180.831285060.00306337339.0E-40.0130060880.026079720.01560.59816590.0321180260.00620.122706850.221880320.15140.682349860.259074450.0478
6.52.508648E-45.056167E-43.0E-40.593334857.0551556E-42.0E-40.00107469180.00216532220.00180.831285060.00306337339.0E-40.0130060880.026079720.01560.59816590.0321180260.00620.122706850.221880320.15140.682349860.259074450.0478
6.62.294914E-44.6307954E-43.0E-40.647836866.6298695E-42.0E-49.831638E-40.00198329920.00160.80673660.00278171258.0E-40.0119044820.0238574180.01440.603585840.0293238160.00560.112865860.206061630.140.67940840.241391880.0445
6.71.9621674E-43.965335E-42.0E-40.504371054.964938E-41.0E-48.4065786E-40.00169847570.00110.64763950.00219762655.0E-40.0101870710.0204938430.01220.595300730.0252934230.00490.097325390.180469960.12060.668255270.212103810.0386
6.81.5476145E-42.9933505E-42.0E-40.66814763.993051E-41.0E-46.6309475E-40.00128233220.00110.857812050.00178169115.0E-40.0080433350.01549836250.0090.58070650.0196332690.00420.077583630.141242270.08960.634371040.166575610.0295
6.91.20509176E-42.2068103E-41.0E-40.453142732.2068103E-40.05.1636563E-49.4549364E-47.0E-40.7403540.00124521013.0E-40.0062686450.0114650970.00610.53204960.0139364340.00250.0609473740.107651880.06810.632594650.126748130.0214
7.09.3269155E-51.6304594E-40.00.01.6304594E-40.03.9966372E-46.986223E-44.0E-40.57255548.9848257E-42.0E-40.00485505440.0084798550.00380.448120860.0098679830.00140.047503440.081644730.05040.61730870.095695560.0153
7.15.029709E-57.938922E-50.00.07.938922E-50.02.1554115E-43.4021336E-41.0E-40.293933184.4017934E-41.0E-40.00262105530.00413746150.00160.386710550.00483456537.0E-40.0259035560.0414187720.02290.55288940.0479371250.0068
7.26.5445185E-86.3428644E-80.00.06.3428644E-80.02.8047933E-72.7183705E-70.00.02.7183705E-70.03.4148304E-63.309616E-60.00.03.309616E-60.03.414778E-53.309616E-50.00.03.309616E-50.0

Brawley (Seismic Zone) alt 1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.2521618E-44.6808246E-45.0E-41.06818786.6798885E-42.0E-49.6485513E-40.00200456170.00130.64852080.00250355955.0E-40.0116839880.0241267460.01770.733625650.0306650960.00670.110884230.210672960.15210.72197210.2481660.0475
6.12.2521618E-44.6808246E-43.0E-40.64091275.6803564E-41.0E-49.6485513E-40.00200456170.0010.498862180.00240375994.0E-40.0116839880.0241267460.01520.630006250.0295916370.00560.110884230.210672960.13260.62941160.242324980.0401
6.22.198148E-44.5911694E-43.0E-40.65342835.59071E-41.0E-49.417233E-40.0019661960.0010.508596240.00236540964.0E-40.0114053430.0236701430.01460.616810860.0287470580.00520.108374280.207149250.12910.62322210.23719830.0379
6.32.1704129E-44.5351146E-43.0E-40.661504755.5346615E-41.0E-49.298453E-40.00194220869.0E-40.463389960.0022416263.0E-40.0112622340.0233852170.01420.607221250.028268290.0050.1070827250.20504320.12740.62133250.234615580.0372
6.41.876142E-43.9275855E-42.0E-40.50921874.927193E-41.0E-48.038131E-40.00168217887.0E-40.4161270.00198167423.0E-40.009742590.020288620.01150.56682020.0242074650.0040.0932636860.181807310.10890.598985850.207744020.0317
6.51.7390939E-43.6738385E-42.0E-40.54438974.673471E-41.0E-47.45113E-40.00157356387.0E-40.444850120.00187309173.0E-40.0090340780.0189916570.01090.57393620.0227194880.00380.0867552160.1716860.1020.594107870.19595560.0293
6.61.591791E-43.4193942E-42.0E-40.584898954.4190523E-41.0E-46.8201777E-40.00146464127.0E-40.477932750.00176420183.0E-40.0082719960.0176897980.01010.570950570.0212261160.00360.079707740.161186530.0940.58317530.182995680.026
6.71.4268003E-43.1407524E-42.0E-40.63679014.140438E-41.0E-46.1134255E-40.001345357.0E-40.520310640.00164494653.0E-40.0074177230.0162601150.00930.57195170.0195064560.00330.071749560.149430020.08820.59024280.170439110.0247
6.81.239713E-42.8513794E-42.0E-40.70141493.8510942E-41.0E-45.3119735E-40.00122145337.0E-40.57308780.00152108693.0E-40.00644816740.0147711480.00880.5957560.0177268350.0030.062642430.13622730.08060.591658230.15523030.022
6.91.0180238E-42.584756E-42.0E-40.77376753.5844973E-41.0E-44.3622297E-40.00110728647.0E-40.63217610.00140695433.0E-40.0052980890.0133988450.00780.582139730.0162599890.00290.051735430.1233075860.07130.578228830.139964740.019
7.07.6619996E-52.2098933E-42.0E-40.90502113.2096723E-41.0E-43.283301E-49.467565E-47.0E-40.73936650.00124647253.0E-40.00399009320.0114665310.00690.60175130.0138390110.00240.0391920660.106033270.0610.57529110.120515530.0162
7.17.5127435E-52.178644E-42.0E-40.91800223.178426E-41.0E-43.2193496E-49.333736E-47.0E-40.749967630.00123309363.0E-40.00391251550.0113052960.00680.6014880.0136781630.00240.0384434420.1046128650.06040.57736690.119028590.0161
7.26.788582E-51.9925722E-42.0E-41.00372782.992373E-41.0E-42.9090676E-48.53683E-47.0E-40.81997650.0011534273.0E-40.00353603860.0103446820.00650.628342150.012620890.00230.0348030.096317350.05570.57829660.109782230.0149
7.36.399602E-51.856939E-42.0E-41.07704132.8567534E-41.0E-42.7423984E-47.955911E-47.0E-40.879848960.00109535253.0E-40.00333375860.0096438780.00630.65326420.0119216960.00230.032841880.0902555140.05240.58057390.102900970.0139
7.44.506759E-51.2317323E-41.0E-40.811864731.2317323E-40.01.9313251E-45.2777934E-45.0E-40.947365647.2767376E-42.0E-40.00234885260.0064069510.00420.655537960.0078973410.00150.0232418050.06143440.03470.56483010.070444630.0096
7.53.43289E-59.161006E-51.0E-41.09158319.161006E-50.01.4711556E-43.9255578E-43.0E-40.76422264.925165E-41.0E-40.00178966030.0047689530.00290.60809990.0055651388.0E-40.017753160.0462737340.02520.54458540.0533313080.0074
7.62.5980507E-56.9008114E-51.0E-41.44910496.9008114E-50.01.1134028E-42.9571567E-43.0E-41.0144883.956861E-41.0E-40.0013547250.00359441780.00220.61206010.0042919027.0E-40.0134649590.0351505430.02060.58605070.040746670.0058
7.71.7292105E-54.8103666E-51.0E-42.07884364.8103666E-50.07.4106916E-52.0614231E-42.0E-40.97020363.0612168E-41.0E-49.018782E-40.00250689949.0E-40.359009240.00290589664.0E-40.0089822670.0246957860.01470.59524330.0291821840.0046
7.81.2927471E-53.8554692E-51.0E-42.5937183.8554692E-50.05.5402274E-51.6522394E-42.0E-41.21047832.652074E-41.0E-46.743139E-40.0020097488.0E-40.398059870.0024089444.0E-40.00672271430.0199116470.01120.562484860.0231459380.0033
7.91.0200774E-52.7821396E-50.00.02.7821396E-50.04.371687E-51.192291E-41.0E-40.83872142.1921718E-41.0E-45.321229E-40.00145064886.0E-40.413608040.00175021363.0E-40.0053085050.0145625950.00860.59055410.0172232760.0027
8.08.650396E-62.2482072E-50.00.02.2482072E-50.03.70726E-59.634819E-51.0E-41.03790221.9633856E-41.0E-44.5126543E-40.00117240875.0E-40.426472430.00147205713.0E-40.00450350160.0118392720.0070.59125250.0142108580.0024
8.13.9368224E-66.982285E-60.00.06.982285E-60.01.6871985E-52.9923734E-51.0E-43.34182881.2992074E-41.0E-42.0539707E-43.642607E-41.0E-40.274528654.6422426E-41.0E-40.00205207310.0038291690.00210.548421860.0046261068.0E-4
8.21.7101195E-62.0818159E-60.00.02.0818159E-60.07.329063E-68.9220375E-61.0E-411.2082011.08921144E-41.0E-48.922769E-51.0862042E-41.0E-40.92063722.0860956E-41.0E-48.9191867E-40.00119665868.0E-40.66852820.00139641922.0E-4
8.33.0346666E-81.5886812E-80.00.01.5886812E-80.01.3005713E-76.808634E-80.00.06.808634E-80.01.5834444E-68.2895104E-70.00.08.2895104E-70.01.5834332E-58.65772E-60.00.08.65772E-60.0

Imperial

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.7496446E-44.941084E-43.0E-40.607154255.94059E-41.0E-40.00117788690.00211592720.0010.47260610.0026148695.0E-40.01424676550.025474190.01610.632012250.0313213430.0060.133672490.224224790.14190.63284710.258591650.0443
6.12.5356023E-44.7646931E-43.0E-40.629631345.764217E-41.0E-40.0010862340.00204045079.0E-40.441079050.00243963444.0E-40.0131449280.0245635230.01540.62694590.0302210540.00580.1239401550.216051640.13640.631330550.248820680.0418
6.22.4820742E-44.676119E-43.0E-40.641557635.6756515E-41.0E-40.00106331240.0020025499.0E-40.449427250.00240174774.0E-40.012869190.0241126290.01480.61378630.029382420.00540.121489270.212594170.13290.625134770.243775440.0396
6.32.3205351E-44.4995442E-43.0E-40.66673425.499094E-41.0E-49.94136E-40.0019269878.0E-40.41515590.00222640883.0E-40.0120365990.023207830.01410.607553540.0280917920.0050.114051330.204817370.12690.619576330.23455720.0374
6.42.0304754E-43.9014025E-42.0E-40.51263624.901012E-41.0E-48.6991355E-40.00167097227.0E-40.41891780.00197047093.0E-40.0105398690.0201586990.01150.57047340.0240780640.0040.1005376350.181954710.10870.597401440.208050360.0319
6.51.854992E-43.6183832E-42.0E-40.552733064.6180215E-41.0E-47.9475436E-40.00154982587.0E-40.451663670.00184936093.0E-40.0096332810.0187134170.01090.58246980.0224423050.00380.09226230.17032680.10110.59356480.194387330.029
6.61.6586106E-43.3304666E-42.0E-40.60051654.3301334E-41.0E-47.106394E-40.00142657167.0E-40.49068690.00172614363.0E-40.0086177630.0172357430.010.580189650.0206754190.00350.082911320.158003390.09160.57973440.17922170.0252
6.71.4224656E-43.0128242E-42.0E-40.663828974.0125227E-41.0E-46.094856E-40.00129057917.0E-40.54239220.0015901923.0E-40.00739526930.0156030360.00920.58962880.0187531060.00320.071539550.143994080.08480.58891310.164281410.0237
6.81.2317259E-42.7265126E-42.0E-40.73353783.72624E-41.0E-45.2777573E-40.00116798797.0E-40.599321250.00146763753.0E-40.00640675470.0141288450.00870.61576160.0169878710.00290.062251660.130812210.07740.591687860.149152070.0211
6.99.859898E-52.462987E-42.0E-40.812022153.462741E-41.0E-44.2249862E-40.0010551437.0E-40.66341720.00135482643.0E-40.00513179460.0127716270.00770.60289890.0155358670.00280.050148930.117830750.06810.57794760.133798020.0181
7.07.3191884E-52.0989825E-42.0E-40.95284263.0987727E-41.0E-43.136418E-48.992569E-47.0E-40.778420450.00119898713.0E-40.0038119040.0108941610.00680.62418760.0131691040.00230.0374717640.10092120.0580.57470580.1147670150.0154
7.17.1760296E-52.069551E-42.0E-40.96639323.069344E-41.0E-43.0750787E-48.8665204E-47.0E-40.78948670.00118638613.0E-40.0037374820.0107422190.00670.623707230.0130175130.00230.036752450.099573580.05740.576458160.11335010.0153
7.26.46614E-51.8875535E-42.0E-41.05957262.8873648E-41.0E-42.7709085E-48.087037E-47.0E-40.865582760.00110846113.0E-40.00336836280.0098021240.00640.652919650.011980560.00220.0331776250.091416150.05270.576484560.104227180.0141
7.36.088115E-51.7559815E-42.0E-41.13896422.755806E-41.0E-42.6089314E-47.5234927E-47.0E-40.93041890.00105212363.0E-40.00317174760.0091219430.00620.67967970.0113018750.00220.0312685850.085510750.04940.57770510.0974905640.0131
7.44.199346E-51.1321578E-41.0E-40.883269131.1321578E-40.01.7995955E-44.851211E-45.0E-41.03067056.850241E-42.0E-40.00218880570.0058905190.00410.69603380.0072822720.00140.021673720.0566059650.03170.56001170.0649078340.0088
7.53.130448E-58.1818864E-51.0E-41.22221218.1818864E-50.01.3415517E-43.5060546E-43.0E-40.855662644.505704E-41.0E-40.00163211530.0042603250.00280.657226860.00495734257.0E-40.0162018030.041448080.02220.535609840.0477745230.0066
7.62.3074248E-55.9549977E-51.0E-41.67926185.9549977E-50.09.888588E-52.5518934E-43.0E-41.17559773.5516382E-41.0E-40.00120327060.00310252650.00210.67686770.0037006656.0E-40.0119677610.030434470.01760.578291650.03528230.005
7.71.45864815E-53.9047158E-51.0E-42.56100583.9047158E-50.06.2511994E-51.6733426E-42.0E-41.19521252.6731752E-41.0E-47.608177E-40.00203539628.0E-40.393043880.00233478563.0E-40.0075821820.0201321410.01190.59109460.023855640.0038
7.81.0352979E-53.004081E-51.0E-43.3288053.004081E-50.04.4369157E-51.2874E-42.0E-41.55351892.2872712E-41.0E-45.400606E-40.00156628477.0E-40.446917470.00186581483.0E-40.00538750.0155933250.00840.538692060.0180543420.0025
7.98.137906E-62.1405322E-50.00.02.1405322E-50.03.4876273E-59.173387E-51.0E-41.090111.917247E-41.0E-44.2453592E-40.00111628855.0E-40.447912870.00131606532.0E-40.0042372580.0112699160.00630.55901040.0131485020.0019
8.06.93792E-61.736568E-50.00.01.736568E-50.02.9733603E-57.442223E-51.0E-41.34368471.7441479E-41.0E-43.6194647E-49.0571464E-44.0E-40.44164020.00110553342.0E-40.00361357510.0091986320.00510.55443030.0107839140.0016
8.13.4286315E-66.075972E-60.00.06.075972E-60.01.4694053E-52.6039621E-51.0E-43.84030151.2603702E-41.0E-41.7888541E-43.1698638E-41.0E-40.315470964.169547E-41.0E-40.00178741480.00333461960.00190.56978020.00403228547.0E-4
8.21.4906886E-61.816707E-60.00.01.816707E-60.06.3886496E-67.785864E-61.0E-412.843791.0778508E-41.0E-47.7779034E-59.47888E-51.0E-41.05497691.9477932E-41.0E-47.775182E-40.00104578978.0E-40.764972150.00124558062.0E-4
8.32.5758007E-81.33742954E-80.00.01.33742954E-80.01.10391454E-75.731841E-80.00.05.731841E-80.01.3440151E-66.978516E-70.00.06.978516E-70.01.344007E-57.2859425E-60.00.07.2859425E-60.0

Hayward (So) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.8091932E-43.539255E-43.0E-40.8476366.5381936E-43.0E-47.751381E-40.00151595178.0E-40.52772130.00211504226.0E-40.009396540.0183028820.01340.732125160.0236040470.00540.0900900660.165522550.11790.71228970.19865130.0397
6.11.8091932E-43.539255E-43.0E-40.8476366.5381936E-43.0E-47.751381E-40.00151595178.0E-40.52772130.00211504226.0E-40.009396540.0183028820.01340.732125160.0236040470.00540.0900900660.165522550.11790.71228970.19865130.0397
6.21.8091932E-43.539255E-43.0E-40.8476366.5381936E-43.0E-47.751381E-40.00151595178.0E-40.52772130.00211504226.0E-40.009396540.0183028820.01340.732125160.0236040470.00540.0900900660.165522550.11790.71228970.19865130.0397
6.31.7322872E-43.3957043E-43.0E-40.883469166.3946855E-43.0E-47.4219756E-40.00145449978.0E-40.55001730.0020536276.0E-40.00899887550.0175669770.0130.740024860.0225773860.00510.086430750.15947560.11350.711707650.191163360.0377
6.41.6334097E-43.204747E-43.0E-40.936111336.2037853E-43.0E-46.998449E-40.00137274868.0E-40.582772430.0019719256.0E-40.0084873720.0165871080.01260.75962610.0215041730.0050.0817044150.15140340.10920.721251960.181952880.036
6.51.5600289E-43.073029E-43.0E-40.97623556.072107E-43.0E-46.684125E-40.00131635598.0E-40.60773840.0019155666.0E-40.0081075980.0159107170.01190.747923550.0207327550.00490.0781810360.145704180.10450.71720660.175091950.0344
6.61.4046066E-42.7758576E-43.0E-41.0807475.775025E-43.0E-46.018354E-40.00118911768.0E-40.672767760.00178840416.0E-40.00730275550.0143828740.01110.77175120.0189167110.00460.070673840.132828350.09490.71445590.15936380.0306
6.71.14696966E-42.3023236E-42.0E-40.86868764.301863E-42.0E-44.914658E-49.86342E-46.0E-40.60830830.00138594754.0E-40.00596719240.0119436320.00940.78703030.0157970530.00390.0580948220.1117171050.07740.69282140.133124720.0241
6.89.3874296E-51.8655111E-42.0E-41.07209223.865138E-42.0E-44.0225635E-47.992634E-45.0E-40.625575960.00109902363.0E-40.00488647870.0096883340.00730.753483530.0127583010.00310.0478041730.091700980.06330.69028710.1093219740.0194
6.95.551852E-51.0598216E-41.0E-40.943555062.0597156E-41.0E-42.3791482E-44.541308E-43.0E-40.66060275.5408536E-41.0E-40.00289276540.0055151410.00320.58022090.00660907430.00110.0285539810.0536401940.03510.654360060.0631984250.0101
7.04.2662363E-58.141774E-50.00.08.141774E-50.01.8282588E-43.488869E-42.0E-40.573251663.488869E-40.00.00222363280.0042394970.00190.44816640.00493652937.0E-40.0220151380.041575890.02610.62776770.0486682280.0074
7.13.305886E-56.2143736E-50.00.06.2143736E-50.01.4167312E-42.663032E-42.0E-40.751023652.663032E-40.00.00172350560.00323743930.00150.463329140.0038354976.0E-40.0171019980.0320363160.02110.658627570.0376505030.0058
7.22.9856887E-55.6185974E-50.00.05.6185974E-50.01.2795182E-42.407749E-41.0E-40.415325672.407749E-40.00.00155670010.002927510.00140.478222070.00352575376.0E-40.0154584030.0290574710.01980.68140820.034494750.0056
7.32.4559737E-54.5321412E-50.00.04.5321412E-50.01.0525176E-41.9422024E-41.0E-40.51487941.9422024E-40.00.00128068690.00236207970.00120.50802690.00296066246.0E-40.0127333130.0235324690.01540.654414950.0278289260.0044
7.41.9002231E-53.451874E-50.00.03.451874E-50.08.143559E-51.4792912E-41.0E-40.675999461.4792912E-40.09.910273E-40.00179955880.00110.611260950.0023984796.0E-40.0098661940.017998310.01270.705621840.0217299160.0038
7.51.2783333E-52.2958719E-50.00.02.2958719E-50.05.4784563E-59.839083E-51.0E-41.01635499.839083E-50.06.667979E-40.00119725577.0E-40.58467040.00159677684.0E-40.0066480070.01202665550.00870.723393140.0144965890.0025
7.64.8149627E-68.725462E-60.00.08.725462E-60.02.063539E-53.7394308E-50.00.03.7394308E-50.02.5120692E-44.5518178E-41.0E-40.219692455.5513624E-41.0E-40.00250923140.0046006090.00290.63035130.00539692868.0E-4
7.76.0838227E-71.1582868E-60.00.01.1582868E-60.02.6073499E-64.9640767E-60.00.04.9640767E-60.03.174402E-56.0435963E-50.00.06.0435963E-50.03.1739488E-46.2984857E-44.0E-40.63507338.297226E-42.0E-4
7.84.5542808E-79.379453E-70.00.09.379453E-70.01.9518332E-64.019759E-60.00.04.019759E-60.02.376331E-54.8939473E-50.00.04.8939473E-50.02.3760769E-45.120918E-42.0E-40.3905556.120406E-41.0E-4
7.93.3016747E-77.085488E-70.00.07.085488E-70.01.4150027E-63.036634E-60.00.03.036634E-60.01.7227521E-53.6970396E-50.00.03.6970396E-50.01.7226185E-43.847631E-42.0E-40.519800364.8472462E-41.0E-4
8.02.347038E-75.261874E-70.00.05.261874E-70.01.0058731E-62.2550869E-60.00.02.2550869E-60.01.2246436E-52.7455339E-50.00.02.7455339E-50.01.2245761E-42.834492E-41.0E-40.35279693.8342085E-41.0E-4
8.11.18822804E-72.510997E-70.00.02.510997E-70.05.092405E-71.0761411E-60.00.01.0761411E-60.06.1999854E-61.3101941E-50.00.01.3101941E-50.06.199812E-51.3453381E-40.00.01.3453381E-40.0

San Andreas (San Bernardino N)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.4273766E-43.1027544E-43.0E-40.96688284.1024442E-41.0E-46.115894E-40.00132908026.0E-40.451440040.00162868143.0E-40.00742070840.0160629560.00980.61009940.0195067360.00350.071777480.147848590.09810.663516640.17435050.0311
6.11.4273766E-43.1027544E-43.0E-40.96688284.1024442E-41.0E-46.115894E-40.00132908026.0E-40.451440040.00162868143.0E-40.00742070840.0160629560.00980.61009940.0195067360.00350.071777480.147848590.09810.663516640.17435050.0311
6.21.4273766E-43.1027544E-43.0E-40.96688284.1024442E-41.0E-46.115894E-40.00132908026.0E-40.451440040.00162868143.0E-40.00742070840.0160629560.00980.61009940.0195067360.00350.071777480.147848590.09810.663516640.17435050.0311
6.31.3730655E-42.993538E-43.0E-41.00215883.9932385E-41.0E-45.883239E-40.00128231956.0E-40.467902060.00158193493.0E-40.00713934420.015501850.00950.61283010.0188491440.00340.069142910.14314910.0950.66364370.168768940.0299
6.41.3730655E-42.993538E-43.0E-41.00215883.9932385E-41.0E-45.883239E-40.00128231956.0E-40.467902060.00158193493.0E-40.00713934420.015501850.00950.61283010.0188491440.00340.069142910.14314910.0950.66364370.168768940.0299
6.51.2942807E-42.8354194E-43.0E-41.05804463.8351357E-41.0E-45.545738E-40.00121461896.0E-40.49398210.00151425453.0E-40.00673105240.0146889330.0090.61270620.0180389920.00340.065307880.136306960.09030.662475350.160749480.0283
6.61.1125901E-42.480459E-42.0E-40.806302373.480211E-41.0E-44.767372E-40.0010626235.0E-40.470533760.00136230423.0E-40.0057888390.0128613040.00820.637571450.0159214340.00310.0564034540.120576180.0810.671774450.143353250.0259
6.71.02209575E-42.2943947E-42.0E-40.87168963.294165E-41.0E-44.3796748E-49.829428E-45.0E-40.50867660.0012826483.0E-40.00531922470.0119020680.00770.646946430.0147675520.00290.0519369060.1123586450.0750.66750540.133484510.0238
6.89.610582E-52.1477597E-42.0E-40.93120293.147545E-41.0E-44.1181705E-49.2014443E-45.0E-40.543392960.00121986843.0E-40.00500235150.0111454660.00720.64600260.0138153730.00270.0489123460.105784290.07040.665505230.125904140.0225
6.99.3877505E-52.0935519E-42.0E-40.95531423.0933425E-41.0E-44.0227012E-48.9692866E-45.0E-40.55745790.00119665963.0E-40.00488664540.0108656620.00660.60741810.0133384990.00250.047805770.10337340.06760.653939960.122561210.0214
7.09.1019785E-52.0265987E-42.0E-40.98687523.0263962E-41.0E-43.900265E-48.682538E-45.0E-40.57586850.00116799333.0E-40.00473823770.01051996650.00630.59886120.0126968220.00220.0463847440.100356030.06510.648690460.1187987250.0205
7.18.771155E-51.9444637E-42.0E-41.02856122.9442692E-41.0E-43.758525E-48.3307596E-45.0E-40.600185330.00113282613.0E-40.00456640640.0100957170.00610.604216640.0120755260.0020.0447370560.096681850.06230.64438160.114206220.0194
7.28.0830236E-51.7858752E-42.0E-41.1198992.7856967E-41.0E-43.4636928E-47.6515076E-45.0E-40.6534660.00106492133.0E-40.00420889440.0092760180.00530.57136590.01105932050.00180.0413006580.089455250.0570.637190160.10593610.0181
7.37.7668235E-51.6811478E-42.0E-41.18966342.6809797E-41.0E-43.328214E-47.20293E-44.0E-40.55532959.20149E-42.0E-40.00404457330.0087343780.00480.549552560.0102212760.00150.039717480.084756160.0540.637121860.100498350.0172
7.47.520177E-51.6038917E-42.0E-41.2469672.6037314E-41.0E-43.2225347E-46.8720116E-44.0E-40.58207128.8706374E-42.0E-40.00391637950.0083346390.00470.56391170.00972296950.00140.0384807440.08123390.05130.63150980.0960260260.0161
7.57.274697E-51.5333353E-42.0E-41.30434622.533182E-41.0E-43.1173544E-46.569782E-44.0E-40.608848158.5684686E-42.0E-40.0037887750.0079694260.00450.5646580.0093582690.00140.037248270.077971310.04810.61689360.091893940.0151
7.67.1185845E-51.4907555E-42.0E-41.34160162.4906066E-41.0E-43.0504653E-46.3873886E-44.0E-40.626234058.386111E-42.0E-40.00370761780.0077489630.00440.56781790.0091381150.00140.0364636670.075973670.04670.614686670.089741660.0149
7.76.709961E-51.3828526E-42.0E-41.44628572.3827143E-41.0E-42.8753807E-45.9251656E-44.0E-40.67508667.9239806E-42.0E-40.0034951570.0071900620.00390.54241530.0084807160.00130.0344069380.070842660.04340.612625240.083850860.014
7.86.300812E-51.2737786E-42.0E-41.57013172.2736512E-41.0E-42.7000686E-45.457909E-44.0E-40.73288147.4568175E-42.0E-40.00328237870.00662478340.00380.573603630.0079161710.00130.0323431750.0656001940.03950.60213240.077373630.0126
7.94.983037E-59.3563816E-51.0E-41.06878921.9355446E-41.0E-42.1354125E-44.009262E-43.0E-40.74826746.00846E-42.0E-40.00259676480.00487036030.00280.57490620.005865490.0010.0256662960.0489333940.02940.600816670.0583489540.0099
8.03.2211527E-55.1141207E-51.0E-41.95537031.5113609E-41.0E-41.380421E-42.191582E-43.0E-41.36887424.1911437E-42.0E-40.00167936690.0026649880.00180.675425230.00336312227.0E-40.0166673230.0273035110.01660.607980430.033139690.006
8.11.743376E-51.7819275E-51.0E-45.6119011.1781749E-41.0E-47.471398E-57.636609E-52.0E-42.61896352.7635082E-42.0E-49.0926304E-49.293611E-46.0E-40.64560480.00122908243.0E-40.0090555170.0099598040.00650.652623240.0124349040.0025
8.27.831616E-64.781141E-60.00.04.781141E-60.03.3563636E-52.0490445E-51.0E-44.8803241.20488396E-41.0E-44.0856065E-42.4944267E-42.0E-40.801787443.494177E-41.0E-40.0040781030.00283772940.0020.704788860.00343602666.0E-4
8.31.983087E-66.9765395E-70.00.06.9765395E-70.08.498917E-62.9899422E-60.00.02.9899422E-60.01.034694E-43.640195E-50.00.03.640195E-50.00.00103421244.3255524E-42.0E-40.462368675.32512E-41.0E-4

Elsinore (Glen Ivy) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6204086E-42.9251605E-42.0E-40.683723154.9245753E-42.0E-46.94276E-40.00125311718.0E-40.6384080.00185236526.0E-40.0084200970.0151714970.00950.62617420.0183229480.00320.0810811450.139331650.09150.656706450.16411890.0288
6.11.6204086E-42.9251605E-42.0E-40.683723154.9245753E-42.0E-46.94276E-40.00125311718.0E-40.6384080.00185236526.0E-40.0084200970.0151714970.00950.62617420.0183229480.00320.0810811450.139331650.09150.656706450.16411890.0288
6.21.6204086E-42.9251605E-42.0E-40.683723154.9245753E-42.0E-46.94276E-40.00125311718.0E-40.6384080.00185236526.0E-40.0084200970.0151714970.00950.62617420.0183229480.00320.0810811450.139331650.09150.656706450.16411890.0288
6.31.0111737E-41.7629775E-41.0E-40.567222242.7628013E-41.0E-44.332882E-47.554589E-43.0E-40.397109638.5538335E-41.0E-40.0052625310.0091794720.0060.653632340.0109629490.00180.05139640.086754050.06240.71927480.104105720.019
6.41.0111737E-41.7629775E-41.0E-40.567222242.7628013E-41.0E-44.332882E-47.554589E-43.0E-40.397109638.5538335E-41.0E-40.0052625310.0091794720.0060.653632340.0109629490.00180.05139640.086754050.06240.71927480.104105720.019
6.53.6624708E-54.609726E-51.0E-42.16932631.4609264E-41.0E-41.569536E-41.9754675E-43.0E-41.51862792.97527E-41.0E-40.0019092350.00240283580.00180.749114930.00270211493.0E-40.018929150.0235533080.01910.810926440.0288261210.0054
6.62.5051324E-52.597092E-50.00.02.597092E-50.01.073584E-41.1129944E-41.0E-40.898477141.1129944E-40.00.00130630470.00135427240.00110.81224430.00155400152.0E-40.0129865250.0134767440.01010.74943910.0161403570.0027
6.72.2189772E-52.1921272E-50.00.02.1921272E-50.09.509556E-59.394513E-51.0E-41.06445119.394513E-50.00.00115717340.00114321778.0E-40.69977920.00124310341.0E-40.0115116630.011390070.00760.667247830.0131695680.0018
6.81.6654378E-51.4349544E-50.00.01.4349544E-50.07.137396E-56.149663E-51.0E-41.62610556.149663E-50.08.686314E-47.4846926E-44.0E-40.534424078.483944E-41.0E-40.0086524390.0074645980.00530.710018160.008655640.0012
6.91.5042909E-51.2265607E-50.00.01.2265607E-50.06.446802E-55.2565847E-50.00.05.2565847E-50.07.8461546E-46.398044E-43.0E-40.468893327.397404E-41.0E-40.0078185090.00638357970.00450.704933640.0071784738.0E-4
7.01.4361385E-51.1392162E-50.00.01.1392162E-50.06.154734E-54.8822654E-50.00.04.8822654E-50.07.490812E-45.9425656E-43.0E-40.504832456.9419714E-41.0E-40.0074656120.0059304790.00420.70820580.0065269216.0E-4
7.11.3265571E-51.0195621E-50.00.01.0195621E-50.05.6851208E-54.3694803E-50.00.04.3694803E-50.06.919436E-45.3185684E-43.0E-40.56406156.318037E-41.0E-40.0068979310.0053090980.00420.791094840.00590591276.0E-4
7.21.1596403E-58.46623E-60.00.08.46623E-60.04.9697923E-53.6283345E-50.00.03.6283345E-50.06.049042E-44.4166186E-43.0E-40.67925275.416177E-41.0E-40.0060326030.00440915860.00370.83916240.0050065136.0E-4
7.31.0150827E-57.2083226E-60.00.07.2083226E-60.04.3502816E-53.0892454E-50.00.03.0892454E-50.05.2951806E-43.7605214E-43.0E-40.797761744.7601454E-41.0E-40.0052825810.00375450030.00350.932214560.00425262335.0E-4
7.49.080705E-66.32672E-60.00.06.32672E-60.03.8916725E-52.7114238E-50.00.02.7114238E-50.04.7370812E-43.300672E-43.0E-40.90890584.3003418E-41.0E-40.0047269960.00329591570.00280.84953630.00379426755.0E-4
7.57.671649E-65.204376E-60.00.05.204376E-60.03.287808E-52.2304284E-50.00.02.2304284E-50.04.0021708E-42.7152206E-43.0E-41.10488263.714949E-41.0E-40.00399497060.00271202740.00210.77432850.00321067125.0E-4
7.66.990086E-64.6680852E-60.00.04.6680852E-60.02.9957167E-52.0005933E-50.00.02.0005933E-50.03.6466747E-42.4354616E-43.0E-41.23179943.4352182E-41.0E-40.00364069640.0024329080.0020.82206150.00293169155.0E-4
7.74.163505E-62.3176701E-60.00.02.3176701E-60.01.7843471E-59.932838E-60.00.09.932838E-60.02.172226E-41.20926336E-40.00.01.20926336E-40.00.00217010380.00120867788.0E-40.66188030.0014084362.0E-4
7.82.2692414E-79.313546E-80.00.09.313546E-80.09.725317E-73.9915196E-70.00.03.9915196E-70.01.1840509E-54.8596676E-60.00.04.8596676E-60.01.1839878E-44.859593E-50.00.04.859593E-50.0
7.96.676829E-93.4267709E-90.00.03.4267709E-90.02.861498E-81.4686159E-80.00.01.4686159E-80.03.4838732E-71.7880397E-70.00.01.7880397E-70.03.4838679E-61.7880385E-60.00.01.7880385E-60.0

Calaveras (So) - Paicines extension 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5183659E-43.032064E-44.0E-41.31923336.031154E-43.0E-46.5056595E-40.00129825240.0010.770266230.00179760335.0E-40.0078919120.0155936090.01040.66693990.0196296740.00410.0761745940.137669190.09230.67044770.16293550.0293
6.11.5024997E-43.0015956E-44.0E-41.33262466.000695E-43.0E-46.437695E-40.00128520830.0010.7780840.00178456575.0E-40.00780976140.0154375210.01020.660727860.0193757710.0040.0754093450.136341660.09160.67184160.161215020.0288
6.21.2743923E-42.5119618E-44.0E-41.59238095.5112084E-43.0E-45.460538E-40.00107569050.0010.92963540.00157515275.0E-40.00662795830.0129471480.00850.656515240.0162044220.00330.0643372760.116440540.07890.67759910.138264460.0247
6.31.1525114E-42.2406246E-44.0E-41.78521655.2399526E-43.0E-44.9383997E-49.5960597E-49.0E-40.93788490.00145912615.0E-40.00599593860.01156871950.00750.648299930.0145340130.0030.0583671740.10555040.07170.67929630.125586080.0224
6.41.07200925E-42.0648453E-44.0E-41.9371915.064226E-43.0E-44.5935164E-48.843949E-47.0E-40.791501640.00138395275.0E-40.00557827440.01067413950.00720.674527470.0135431840.00290.05440310.0983714240.06680.679058970.116854810.0205
6.59.69631E-51.8546813E-44.0E-42.15670474.8541249E-43.0E-44.1548995E-47.944251E-47.0E-40.881140350.00129402795.0E-40.00504686260.0095980550.00660.68763930.01217310.00260.049337730.089272150.06050.677702960.106029540.0184
6.68.0552316E-51.4884338E-44.0E-42.68738874.4879873E-43.0E-43.4517853E-46.377057E-47.0E-41.0976850.00113738695.0E-40.00419445240.0077301440.00560.72443670.0101115920.00240.041161610.074032770.05220.70509320.088940840.0161
6.77.815757E-51.4426565E-44.0E-42.77266294.4422236E-43.0E-43.34918E-46.181004E-47.0E-41.13250210.00111779145.0E-40.0040700050.0074937810.00550.73394190.0098757960.00240.0399626570.071887390.05010.69692340.0862731340.0155
6.86.965264E-51.2550168E-42.0E-41.59360423.2547658E-42.0E-42.9847719E-45.377415E-44.0E-40.743851848.375802E-43.0E-40.00362790520.0065242310.00440.674409030.0085111820.0020.035692470.063027070.04410.69969940.075301410.0131
6.95.8000453E-59.988629E-51.0E-41.00113831.998763E-41.0E-42.4854968E-44.2801443E-43.0E-40.70091096.279288E-42.0E-40.00302189330.005198720.00330.634771650.00659144160.00140.0298112950.0507860780.03580.70491760.061037590.0108
7.04.9865852E-58.426625E-51.0E-41.18671481.8425782E-41.0E-42.1369329E-43.6109154E-43.0E-40.830814245.6101935E-42.0E-40.00259861140.00438751470.00270.615382550.00558224970.00120.0256843360.0431227050.03030.70264610.0519259760.0092
7.14.283875E-56.986125E-51.0E-41.43140881.6985426E-41.0E-41.8358172E-42.9937128E-43.0E-41.00210014.993114E-42.0E-40.00223281630.0036388090.00240.659556450.00483444240.00120.0221051460.0361361760.02530.70012940.0435579270.0077
7.23.450115E-55.468102E-50.00.05.468102E-50.01.478537E-42.3432633E-41.0E-40.426755282.3432633E-40.00.00179863230.00284921910.00170.59665470.00364693988.0E-40.0178414420.0285523010.0210.735492350.03418670.0058
7.32.5709045E-53.9722894E-50.00.03.9722894E-50.01.1017697E-41.7022996E-41.0E-40.587440671.7022996E-40.00.00134057910.00207059620.00140.676133750.00276914687.0E-40.0133252080.0208753270.01480.708970960.0252813880.0045
7.41.8003093E-52.7765243E-50.00.02.7765243E-50.07.715383E-51.18988486E-41.0E-40.840417441.18988486E-40.09.3894306E-40.00144772440.00110.759813130.00194700055.0E-40.0093498570.0146869270.01090.742156570.0179384610.0033
7.51.5595824E-52.5115387E-50.00.02.5115387E-50.06.683753E-51.0763294E-41.0E-40.92908361.0763294E-40.08.134431E-40.00130964559.0E-40.68720890.00180899075.0E-40.0081047190.0133055350.00960.72150430.0162656180.003
7.61.1110309E-51.8640747E-50.00.01.8640747E-50.04.761474E-57.988648E-50.00.07.988648E-50.05.795553E-49.721852E-46.0E-40.617166340.00137179644.0E-40.00578046120.0099193450.00710.715773050.0121965310.0023
7.76.2140443E-69.999991E-60.00.09.999991E-60.02.6631347E-54.2856398E-50.00.04.2856398E-50.03.241884E-45.216518E-43.0E-40.57509627.215475E-42.0E-40.00323715880.0054058370.00390.72144240.00679826880.0014
7.85.305533E-69.042565E-60.00.09.042565E-60.02.27378E-53.875327E-50.00.03.875327E-50.02.7679754E-44.7171902E-43.0E-40.63597186.716247E-42.0E-40.00276453020.00488403860.00360.737094940.0061776890.0013
7.93.363505E-67.0971623E-60.00.07.0971623E-60.01.4414942E-53.0416057E-50.00.03.0416057E-50.01.7548777E-43.7025264E-43.0E-40.810257555.7017856E-42.0E-40.00175349260.00380958080.00310.813737870.0050050090.0012
8.02.0271132E-64.2518654E-60.00.04.2518654E-60.08.687599E-61.8222154E-50.00.01.8222154E-50.01.05766376E-42.2183218E-41.0E-40.450791243.2181E-41.0E-40.00105716060.00227254540.00170.748059870.00307072758.0E-4
8.11.2206116E-62.2872487E-60.00.02.2872487E-60.05.2311816E-69.8024575E-60.00.09.8024575E-60.06.3687774E-51.1933842E-41.0E-40.83795312.193265E-41.0E-46.366953E-40.00122692210.00110.89655240.00172630875.0E-4

Hayward (So) extension 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1721256E-42.3552943E-43.0E-41.27372625.354588E-43.0E-45.022428E-40.00100877837.0E-40.693908630.00160817316.0E-40.00609767580.0121894630.0110.90241880.0160419230.00390.05933050.112363390.09260.82411180.137217210.028
6.16.99169E-51.3713294E-42.0E-41.45843893.371055E-42.0E-42.9960944E-45.874885E-44.0E-40.680864338.873123E-43.0E-40.00364164450.0071232270.00660.92654630.0097047070.00260.0358254350.067398010.04960.735926750.082972470.0167
6.26.99169E-51.3713294E-42.0E-41.45843893.371055E-42.0E-42.9960944E-45.874885E-44.0E-40.680864338.873123E-43.0E-40.00364164450.0071232270.00660.92654630.0097047070.00260.0358254350.067398010.04960.735926750.082972470.0167
6.36.970908E-51.3681513E-42.0E-41.46182673.3678775E-42.0E-42.9871898E-45.861274E-44.0E-40.682445478.8595157E-43.0E-40.00363083950.0071068020.00660.928687750.0096883240.00260.0357208660.067247230.04950.73608980.08282420.0167
6.46.9517155E-51.3648531E-42.0E-41.46535923.36458E-42.0E-42.9789665E-45.847147E-44.0E-40.68409438.845393E-43.0E-40.00362086090.00708976340.00660.930919650.00967132950.00260.035624290.067091610.04930.734816250.0825778840.0166
6.54.786248E-59.3337476E-52.0E-42.14276222.933188E-42.0E-42.0510878E-43.9995875E-43.0E-40.750077376.9983874E-43.0E-40.00249433940.00485905630.00541.11132690.00724739440.00240.024665270.046542880.03460.74340050.0576983280.0117
6.64.4662214E-58.802983E-52.0E-42.27195722.8801223E-42.0E-41.9139545E-43.772187E-43.0E-40.795294646.771055E-43.0E-40.00232774930.00458342260.0051.09088790.00687288070.00230.023035170.043944750.03250.7395650.054270150.0108
6.73.884542E-57.791142E-51.0E-41.28350891.7790362E-41.0E-41.6646975E-43.3386578E-42.0E-40.59904315.33799E-42.0E-40.0020248850.0040576770.00431.05971970.00614915560.00210.0200653360.039004980.02750.705038130.0478461350.0092
6.83.4221863E-56.790448E-51.0E-41.47265671.678977E-41.0E-41.4665688E-42.909891E-42.0E-40.6873114.909309E-42.0E-40.00178408510.00353745070.00361.01768210.00543072960.00190.0176982950.0341279060.02380.697376550.0412753560.0074
6.91.6927712E-52.97324E-51.0E-43.36333421.2972942E-41.0E-47.2545314E-51.2741867E-41.0E-40.784814362.2740592E-41.0E-48.828813E-40.0015502740.00120.774056730.0020494995.0E-40.0087938190.015305490.0090.58802430.0175702870.0023
7.01.2509653E-52.2215043E-50.00.02.2215043E-50.05.3611697E-59.5204094E-50.00.09.5204094E-50.06.525269E-40.00115853666.0E-40.517894740.0014581893.0E-40.00650614170.0114636390.0060.5233940.0129464440.0015
7.18.751583E-61.4751799E-50.00.01.4751799E-50.03.750624E-56.32205E-50.00.06.32205E-50.04.5654282E-47.6944346E-44.0E-40.51985630.00106921263.0E-40.00455606030.00767833460.00470.61211190.0091668170.0015
7.26.354379E-61.1349041E-50.00.01.1349041E-50.02.7232769E-54.8637867E-50.00.04.8637867E-50.03.3150852E-45.9200986E-44.0E-40.67566448.918322E-43.0E-40.00331014420.0059266650.00410.691788730.0071195530.0012
7.34.645554E-68.697949E-60.00.08.697949E-60.01.9909365E-53.727641E-50.00.03.727641E-50.02.4236954E-44.5374964E-44.0E-40.88154347.5361354E-43.0E-40.00242105360.0045509280.00340.74710040.00544683179.0E-4
7.44.23437E-67.884618E-60.00.07.884618E-60.01.8147173E-53.3790802E-50.00.03.3790802E-50.02.2091944E-44.113291E-43.0E-40.7293437.112057E-43.0E-40.00220699930.0041281050.0030.72672570.005024399.0E-4
7.52.2187417E-63.9043584E-60.00.03.9043584E-60.09.508858E-61.6732873E-50.00.01.6732873E-50.01.157642E-42.0370622E-41.0E-40.490903023.0368584E-41.0E-40.00115703910.00204938720.00140.683131040.00224897732.0E-4
7.62.7952495E-83.8377937E-80.00.03.8377937E-80.01.1979641E-71.6447686E-70.00.01.6447686E-70.01.4585203E-62.0025038E-60.00.02.0025038E-60.01.4585107E-52.0106805E-50.00.02.0106805E-50.0
7.71.7192724E-82.318467E-80.00.02.318467E-80.07.36831E-89.9362865E-80.00.09.9362865E-80.08.9709135E-71.2097422E-60.00.01.2097422E-60.08.970877E-61.2155684E-50.00.01.2155684E-50.0

San Andreas (Offshore) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.7072787E-41.8788998E-41.0E-40.53222642.878712E-41.0E-47.3148566E-48.049966E-43.0E-40.372672389.049161E-41.0E-40.0088695280.0097572820.00650.66616910.0125299620.00280.0852376450.094884440.06750.71139160.1216758640.0296
6.11.7072787E-41.8788998E-41.0E-40.53222642.878712E-41.0E-47.3148566E-48.049966E-43.0E-40.372672389.049161E-41.0E-40.0088695280.0097572820.00650.66616910.0125299620.00280.0852376450.094884440.06750.71139160.1216758640.0296
6.21.6312556E-41.7988299E-41.0E-40.55591692.79865E-41.0E-46.989222E-47.707017E-43.0E-40.389255678.7062456E-41.0E-40.0084762260.0093433990.00630.674272840.0121172370.00280.081601170.090977990.06460.710061850.116976020.0286
6.31.5103363E-41.6488209E-41.0E-40.6064942.648656E-41.0E-46.471264E-47.064483E-43.0E-40.424659558.063776E-41.0E-40.0078503390.0085675130.00590.68864790.0110460950.00250.0757873950.083714110.0590.70477960.1069877740.0254
6.41.5047993E-41.6374406E-41.0E-40.61070922.6372768E-41.0E-46.4475456E-47.015736E-43.0E-40.427610168.015034E-41.0E-40.0078216690.0085086270.00590.69341380.0109873560.00250.07552030.083194240.05870.70557770.1063894260.0253
6.51.2760791E-41.3392228E-41.0E-40.74670182.3390888E-41.0E-45.467764E-45.738277E-43.0E-40.522805046.737703E-41.0E-40.00663670250.00696423370.00420.603081460.0089503050.0020.0644196350.068664970.04510.656812370.087012270.0197
6.61.1063525E-41.1251009E-41.0E-40.888809142.1249884E-41.0E-44.740649E-44.82098E-42.0E-40.41485345.820498E-41.0E-40.00575647640.0058539390.00270.461227920.00704691370.00120.056096260.058046420.03580.61674780.073023480.0159
6.71.0391049E-41.03543854E-41.0E-40.965774362.035335E-41.0E-44.4525467E-44.4368487E-42.0E-40.450770385.436405E-41.0E-40.00540750940.0053886620.00250.463937040.0064827350.00110.0527780350.0536035340.03180.59324450.066758450.0139
6.81.0096706E-49.873078E-51.0E-41.01285541.9872091E-41.0E-44.3264418E-44.230642E-42.0E-40.472741485.230219E-41.0E-40.00525472830.005138810.00230.447574470.0061336710.0010.0513219870.0513287930.030.58446730.063946120.0133
6.99.800265E-59.309545E-51.0E-41.07416631.9308615E-41.0E-44.1994374E-43.9892035E-42.0E-40.50135324.9888046E-41.0E-40.00510083560.0048461990.00220.453964020.0058413530.0010.0498533060.0486795160.02790.57313630.0602856240.0122
7.09.4642375E-58.730125E-51.0E-41.14545891.8729252E-41.0E-44.0554712E-43.740954E-42.0E-40.534622974.7405798E-41.0E-40.0049263630.00454525320.00220.484021430.0055407080.0010.0481857470.0458895340.02620.570936260.0566709820.0113
7.19.0996844E-58.090374E-51.0E-41.23603681.8089564E-41.0E-43.8992817E-43.4668506E-42.0E-40.57689254.4665037E-41.0E-40.0047370460.00421286930.00210.49847260.00520865670.0010.046373330.042774870.02450.57276620.0528257340.0105
7.28.848287E-57.724345E-51.0E-41.29460811.7723572E-41.0E-43.791572E-43.3100217E-42.0E-40.604225644.3096908E-41.0E-40.0046064720.00402265040.00190.47232540.00501862770.0010.0451214720.040944750.02310.564174830.0500557760.0095
7.37.9280784E-55.9151804E-51.0E-41.69056551.5914589E-41.0E-43.3973053E-42.5348365E-42.0E-40.78900553.534583E-41.0E-40.0041283770.00308189240.00160.51916150.00407881060.0010.0405251940.0318476150.01840.57775130.0394960160.0079
7.46.468038E-53.6469926E-50.00.03.6469926E-50.02.771722E-41.5629063E-41.0E-40.63983371.5629063E-40.00.00336935020.00190123199.0E-40.47337730.00250009126.0E-40.03318720.020061880.01090.5433190.0243736080.0044
7.54.930574E-51.1981234E-50.00.01.1981234E-50.02.1129321E-45.1347146E-51.0E-41.9475285.1347146E-50.00.00256945986.249737E-42.0E-40.32001357.2491117E-41.0E-40.025399530.00705865440.00350.49584520.0080515960.001
7.64.612566E-59.685278E-60.00.09.685278E-60.01.9766642E-44.1507683E-50.00.04.1507683E-50.00.00240393245.052401E-41.0E-40.197925696.051896E-41.0E-40.0237809350.00578678960.00240.414737730.00658216058.0E-4
7.73.9435414E-55.0818167E-60.00.05.0818167E-60.01.6899795E-42.1779033E-50.00.02.1779033E-50.00.00205560842.6512763E-41.0E-40.377176853.6510112E-41.0E-40.0203669740.00323837970.00130.401435320.00373676055.0E-4
7.82.7787428E-53.4085647E-60.00.03.4085647E-60.01.1908354E-41.4608052E-50.00.01.4608052E-50.00.00144887771.7783855E-40.00.01.7783855E-40.00.0143946750.00217556638.0E-40.367720340.00247491363.0E-4
7.91.590671E-52.771042E-60.00.02.771042E-60.06.816983E-51.1875841E-50.00.01.1875841E-50.08.2965166E-41.445788E-40.00.01.445788E-40.00.0082656110.00174312678.0E-40.458945420.00204260373.0E-4
8.09.193638E-62.3671562E-60.00.02.3671562E-60.03.940071E-51.0144915E-50.00.01.0144915E-50.04.7959806E-41.2350736E-40.00.01.2350736E-40.00.00478564340.00148008477.0E-40.47294590.00177964073.0E-4
8.15.601576E-62.0290495E-60.00.02.0290495E-60.02.4006533E-58.695897E-60.00.08.695897E-60.02.9224035E-41.05867424E-40.00.01.05867424E-40.00.00291856330.00128297667.0E-40.54560620.00158259173.0E-4
8.24.3508785E-61.689455E-60.00.01.689455E-60.01.864649E-57.2405014E-60.00.07.2405014E-60.02.2699735E-48.814956E-50.00.08.814956E-50.00.00226765610.00106273596.0E-40.564580560.0013624173.0E-4
8.31.9573292E-66.8427966E-70.00.06.8427966E-70.08.388526E-62.932624E-60.00.02.932624E-60.01.0212552E-43.5704124E-50.00.03.5704124E-50.00.0010207864.2527242E-42.0E-40.470286825.252299E-41.0E-4

San Andreas (Cholame) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2302514E-42.443905E-42.0E-40.818362363.443661E-41.0E-45.27144E-40.00104696915.0E-40.4775690.00124675972.0E-40.00639910860.0126728230.00780.61549030.0156348050.0030.062179490.121181420.08150.67254530.147282330.0297
6.11.2302514E-42.443905E-42.0E-40.818362363.443661E-41.0E-45.27144E-40.00104696915.0E-40.4775690.00124675972.0E-40.00639910860.0126728230.00780.61549030.0156348050.0030.062179490.121181420.08150.67254530.147282330.0297
6.21.2203569E-42.4256832E-42.0E-40.824513.4254405E-41.0E-45.2290526E-40.00103916595.0E-40.481155130.00123895812.0E-40.0063478040.01257891950.00770.612135230.0154424410.00290.0616951360.120367950.08110.67376740.146229130.0294
6.31.2142645E-42.4143397E-42.0E-40.828383863.4140982E-41.0E-45.202953E-40.00103430825.0E-40.48341490.00123410142.0E-40.0063162120.01252045950.00770.614993450.015384150.00290.061396770.1198616250.0810.67577920.145649690.0293
6.41.1865206E-42.36538E-42.0E-40.84553013.3651435E-41.0E-45.0840975E-40.0010133425.0E-40.493416850.00121313932.0E-40.0061723350.0122680930.00770.627644360.0151325170.00290.0600368680.117670160.07970.6773170.142728330.0284
6.51.17443946E-42.3450455E-42.0E-40.85286193.344811E-41.0E-45.032341E-40.0010046345.0E-40.497693750.0012044332.0E-40.0061096770.0121632590.00750.616611060.0150279850.00290.0594440770.116756690.07890.675764260.141664160.0282
6.61.13579066E-42.2769204E-42.0E-40.87837943.2766926E-41.0E-44.866766E-49.754596E-45.0E-40.51257890.00117526452.0E-40.00590920170.0118119630.00720.60955150.0144800710.00270.0575451850.113702430.07610.66929090.137986990.0274
6.71.1271412E-42.261541E-42.0E-40.88435283.2613147E-41.0E-44.829711E-49.6887327E-45.0E-40.51606340.00116867942.0E-40.0058643310.0117326420.00720.613672550.0144009640.00270.0571196970.113010330.07550.66808050.137047750.0271
6.81.1217975E-42.2505703E-42.0E-40.888663653.2503452E-41.0E-44.8068175E-49.6417504E-45.0E-40.518578050.00116398222.0E-40.0058366080.0116760550.00720.61664660.014344530.00270.0568567250.11251350.07530.669253050.136475640.027
6.91.1146753E-42.2356493E-42.0E-40.89459473.2354257E-41.0E-44.7763053E-49.57785E-45.0E-40.52203780.00115759342.0E-40.00579965770.0115990880.00710.612117050.0142677710.00270.0565061270.1118403450.07480.668810550.13546540.0266
7.01.0965793E-42.198592E-42.0E-40.90967313.198372E-41.0E-44.698779E-49.419149E-45.0E-40.530833540.00114172652.0E-40.0057057680.0114079090.00710.62237520.0140771080.00270.0556147360.110161210.07390.67083510.133563970.0263
7.19.927982E-51.9833326E-42.0E-41.00840372.9831342E-41.0E-44.2541555E-48.497238E-45.0E-40.588426530.00104955392.0E-40.00516714060.0102965860.00620.60214130.0125729040.00230.050486340.1003344360.06620.65979340.121116710.0231
7.29.696786E-51.9342742E-42.0E-41.03397972.9340808E-41.0E-44.1551032E-48.2871225E-45.0E-40.603345750.00102854652.0E-40.005047110.0100431550.00620.617335860.0123200570.00230.049340090.0980836150.06470.659641270.118557120.0227
7.39.4727984E-51.8783515E-42.0E-41.06476342.8781637E-41.0E-44.0591392E-48.047604E-45.0E-40.621302960.00100459942.0E-40.00493080870.0097541890.00610.62537230.01203175450.00230.0482282680.095486770.06310.660824540.115476510.0221
7.49.220358E-51.8167321E-42.0E-41.10087782.8165506E-41.0E-43.9509835E-47.7836803E-45.0E-40.64236969.782123E-42.0E-40.0047997170.0094356830.0060.635884050.0117139810.00230.0469736530.092614910.06060.654322270.111942220.0213
7.57.71631E-51.4588078E-42.0E-41.37098252.458662E-41.0E-43.306571E-46.250537E-45.0E-40.79993128.249287E-42.0E-40.00401832070.007583540.00490.64613620.0092706480.00170.039464330.0756320.0480.6346520.090976510.0166
7.67.5634416E-51.4255154E-42.0E-41.40300132.4253728E-41.0E-43.241072E-46.107923E-44.0E-40.654887148.1067014E-42.0E-40.00393886720.0074111010.00470.634183760.0090985020.00170.0386977940.07402370.04680.632230.0892097060.0164
7.76.3783E-51.18372816E-41.0E-40.844788552.1836098E-41.0E-42.7332708E-45.0721347E-43.0E-40.59146697.07112E-42.0E-40.00332267980.0061578620.0040.64957610.00774800960.00160.0327343640.0621541780.03780.60816510.0747213140.0134
7.85.863422E-51.0941851E-41.0E-40.91392212.0940758E-41.0E-42.512653E-44.6885226E-43.0E-40.63986046.6875847E-42.0E-40.0030548640.0056933540.00380.66744490.00708538340.00140.0301320940.0574802420.03490.607165160.069073240.0123
7.94.595283E-58.0794285E-51.0E-41.23771131.8078621E-41.0E-41.9692584E-43.462153E-43.0E-40.866512845.4614607E-42.0E-40.00239493580.004207030.0030.71309210.0053024020.00110.0236928910.042719930.02730.6390460.0521012730.0098
8.03.2950178E-54.8598806E-51.0E-42.05766371.4859394E-41.0E-41.412074E-42.0826398E-43.0E-41.44047954.0822232E-42.0E-40.00171784440.0025326670.00180.71071320.00323089427.0E-40.0170462560.0261067750.01660.635850250.0320475250.0061
8.11.9177472E-51.8116843E-51.0E-45.51972531.1811503E-41.0E-48.218658E-57.764131E-52.0E-42.57594852.7762578E-42.0E-40.00100016229.448735E-46.0E-40.635005650.001244593.0E-40.0099567280.0101960070.00680.666927750.0127694970.0026
8.28.643924E-65.06885E-60.00.05.06885E-60.03.704486E-52.1723463E-51.0E-44.60331771.2172129E-41.0E-44.5092785E-42.6445114E-42.0E-40.75628343.644247E-41.0E-40.00450013950.00302592730.00220.72704990.0037238097.0E-4
8.31.983087E-66.9765395E-70.00.06.9765395E-70.08.498917E-62.9899422E-60.00.02.9899422E-60.01.034694E-43.640195E-50.00.03.640195E-50.00.00103421244.3255524E-42.0E-40.462368675.32512E-41.0E-4

Calaveras (Central) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5010907E-42.4544963E-44.0E-41.62966235.45376E-43.0E-46.4316596E-40.00105139240.0010.95111970.00165076156.0E-40.00780246640.0127169770.00870.68412480.0164686530.00380.075341360.1192976160.07960.667238830.142548160.0264
6.11.4521465E-42.3709307E-44.0E-41.68710115.3702196E-43.0E-46.222001E-40.00101562089.0E-40.88615760.00161501146.0E-40.00754900560.012287780.00810.65919150.0155472310.00330.072976570.115577050.07590.65670480.137333860.0246
6.21.429998E-42.3643125E-44.0E-41.69182375.363603E-43.0E-46.127123E-40.00101278699.0E-40.88863710.00161217926.0E-40.0074342860.0122537130.00810.661024150.0155132760.00330.071904440.115244680.07580.6577310.137009670.0246
6.31.3536277E-42.298372E-44.0E-41.74036235.2976824E-43.0E-45.799972E-49.845498E-48.0E-40.81255420.00148405755.0E-40.00703862640.0119146440.00790.66304960.0149777080.00310.06819820.112199110.07430.66221560.133595110.0241
6.41.2993296E-42.2418803E-44.0E-41.78421665.2412075E-43.0E-45.5673666E-49.603574E-47.0E-40.728895250.00135997334.0E-40.0067572230.0116233480.00760.653856340.01448964050.00290.065554120.1095252860.07250.66194760.13018430.0232
6.51.0498927E-41.7770223E-43.0E-41.68821743.776667E-42.0E-44.498764E-47.613576E-45.0E-40.656721650.00106112923.0E-40.0054634980.00923004650.00610.66088510.0118060480.00260.0533111240.0882703960.06010.68086250.105593260.019
6.61.0157505E-41.7261496E-42.0E-41.15864813.7258043E-42.0E-44.35249E-47.395678E-44.0E-40.54085640.0010393463.0E-40.00528628840.0089670020.00570.6356640.0115436870.00260.051622930.085861560.05830.6790.102590290.0183
6.79.660386E-51.6526728E-42.0E-41.21016093.6523424E-42.0E-44.1395082E-47.080952E-44.0E-40.56489580.00100788283.0E-40.00502821060.0085869430.00550.64050730.01096633450.00240.0491594970.082373610.0560.679829360.0987991240.0179
6.89.089927E-51.5451256E-42.0E-41.29439323.5448166E-42.0E-43.8951015E-46.62028E-44.0E-40.604204069.618294E-43.0E-40.00473197880.008030370.00490.61018360.0101135070.00210.0463247750.077308410.05220.67521760.09290190.0169
6.97.353187E-51.21389705E-42.0E-41.64758613.2136543E-42.0E-43.150985E-45.201385E-44.0E-40.7690268.1998244E-43.0E-40.00382957720.0063144160.0040.633471130.0080036810.00170.0376425120.0614679340.0430.699551760.074513530.0139
7.05.746064E-59.2639624E-52.0E-42.15890342.926211E-42.0E-42.4623662E-43.969669E-44.0E-41.00764076.968478E-43.0E-40.00299380980.0048224310.00290.601356450.0060166440.00120.029537970.0473993870.0340.71730890.057877990.011
7.14.9557195E-57.9420795E-52.0E-42.5182322.7940492E-42.0E-42.123707E-43.4033076E-44.0E-41.17532726.402287E-43.0E-40.00258254730.00413571620.00270.652849440.00533075350.00120.02552740.0408486950.02960.724625350.04976880.0093
7.23.687595E-55.860752E-50.00.05.860752E-50.01.5803022E-42.5115107E-41.0E-40.398166752.5115107E-40.00.00192231990.00305350520.00170.556737240.00375136787.0E-40.019057760.0304419980.02310.75882010.0367441250.0065
7.32.5846984E-54.1754945E-50.00.04.1754945E-50.01.1076809E-41.7893758E-41.0E-40.55885411.7893758E-40.00.00134776710.00217640560.00140.643262450.00277509986.0E-40.0133962230.0218265410.01630.74679720.0267174080.005
7.41.7747854E-52.9332767E-50.00.02.9332767E-50.07.6060016E-51.2570582E-41.0E-40.795508151.2570582E-40.09.2563726E-40.00152939660.00110.719237860.00192878494.0E-40.0092179110.0154138660.0120.778519750.0190568360.0037
7.51.4883479E-52.5675161E-50.00.02.5675161E-50.06.378478E-51.10031775E-41.0E-40.90882841.10031775E-40.07.76303E-40.00133881649.0E-40.67223560.00173828084.0E-40.00773596670.0135238810.01030.76161570.0166806040.0032
7.68.166975E-61.4557649E-50.00.01.4557649E-50.03.5000852E-56.238844E-50.00.06.238844E-50.04.2605202E-47.593158E-44.0E-40.526799.5916394E-42.0E-40.0042523610.00773982840.00570.736450430.0093274450.0016
7.73.3858064E-65.987491E-60.00.05.987491E-60.01.4510518E-52.5660423E-50.00.02.5660423E-50.01.7665124E-43.1237092E-42.0E-40.640264454.123397E-41.0E-40.00176510880.00325677680.00260.79833530.00405417158.0E-4
7.82.7721615E-65.13817E-60.00.05.13817E-60.01.1880637E-52.2020542E-50.00.02.2020542E-50.01.4463716E-42.6806715E-42.0E-40.74608173.6804035E-41.0E-40.00144543060.0027953460.00240.85856990.00359310988.0E-4
7.91.9736292E-63.9626007E-60.00.03.9626007E-60.08.4583835E-61.6982463E-50.00.01.6982463E-50.01.0297595E-42.0674191E-42.0E-40.96738973.0672122E-41.0E-40.00102928250.0021428440.00221.0266730.00284134397.0E-4
8.01.1767289E-62.4601638E-60.00.02.4601638E-60.05.0431145E-61.0543517E-50.00.01.0543517E-50.06.139818E-51.2835978E-41.0E-40.77906022.2834695E-41.0E-46.1381224E-40.00132013050.00110.83325090.00181947055.0E-4
8.17.5112825E-71.4854528E-60.00.01.4854528E-60.03.2191172E-66.3662105E-60.00.06.3662105E-60.03.9192048E-57.750588E-51.0E-41.29022471.7749814E-41.0E-43.9185135E-47.962679E-48.0E-41.00468710.0010960293.0E-4

Laguna Salada

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.6465593E-54.6047095E-51.0E-42.17168971.4604248E-41.0E-41.9912305E-41.973304E-47.0E-43.547354.972712E-43.0E-40.00242162780.00239992540.00582.41674180.00589152570.00350.023954080.0237871320.05212.190260.052585410.0295
6.13.982297E-53.69807E-51.0E-42.70411351.36977E-41.0E-41.706587E-41.5847947E-43.0E-41.89298963.5844778E-42.0E-40.00207578970.00192787130.0031.55612050.00382420840.00190.0205650650.019159730.02021.05429460.0298508890.0109
6.23.6067784E-53.2347285E-51.0E-43.09144971.3234405E-41.0E-41.5456705E-41.3862418E-43.0E-42.16412473.3859644E-42.0E-40.00188022950.00168653310.00291.71950380.00358332880.00190.0186440030.0168061610.01751.04128480.0258515440.0092
6.33.2859112E-52.860466E-51.0E-43.4959341.286018E-41.0E-41.4081717E-41.2258608E-43.0E-42.447263.2256157E-42.0E-40.00171310060.00149155340.00271.81019340.00318901780.00170.0169995460.0148795710.01621.08874110.0229575580.0082
6.42.9132116E-52.4622716E-51.0E-44.06129031.2462026E-41.0E-41.2484594E-41.0552216E-43.0E-42.84300473.0550105E-42.0E-40.00151893960.00128406160.00272.10270290.00298187860.00170.0150859920.0128192670.01391.08430540.0198282490.0071
6.52.7075037E-52.2603566E-51.0E-44.4240811.2260131E-41.0E-41.1603071E-49.686931E-53.0E-43.0969562.9684993E-42.0E-40.00141175840.00117883170.00242.0359140.00267706350.00150.0140282330.0117743820.0131.1040920.018296670.0066
6.62.2367465E-51.839545E-50.00.01.839545E-50.09.5857045E-57.883572E-52.0E-42.5369211.7882783E-41.0E-40.00116643469.5948234E-40.00191.98023450.0021583310.00120.0116033110.009594340.01091.13608650.0150415710.0055
6.71.9458053E-51.5768637E-50.00.01.5768637E-50.08.338899E-56.757856E-52.0E-42.95951841.6757181E-41.0E-40.0010147888.225366E-40.00161.94520210.00172179639.0E-40.0101016650.0082424950.00991.20109260.0130029310.0048
6.81.0767866E-59.067874E-60.00.09.067874E-60.04.614718E-53.8862112E-50.00.03.8862112E-50.05.6169706E-44.7311006E-48.0E-41.69093857.729681E-43.0E-40.00560279420.00474808830.00611.28472760.00753479360.0028
6.92.1384765E-61.7897423E-60.00.01.7897423E-60.09.164866E-67.670304E-60.00.07.670304E-60.01.1157654E-49.338234E-51.0E-41.07086639.338234E-50.00.00111520539.3346916E-48.0E-40.85701810.00123318913.0E-4
7.02.0952946E-61.7476945E-60.00.01.7476945E-60.08.979802E-67.4901E-60.00.07.4901E-60.01.0932361E-49.1188536E-51.0E-41.0966299.1188536E-50.00.00109269849.115493E-48.0E-40.877626660.00121127583.0E-4
7.11.7887576E-61.4485462E-60.00.01.4485462E-60.07.666081E-66.208042E-60.00.06.208042E-60.09.333054E-57.55806E-50.00.07.55806E-50.09.329135E-47.5557927E-46.0E-40.79409270.00105535263.0E-4
7.29.723109E-77.125322E-70.00.07.125322E-70.04.16704E-63.053707E-60.00.03.053707E-60.05.073253E-53.717841E-50.00.03.717841E-50.05.072095E-43.7173813E-44.0E-41.07602635.716638E-42.0E-4

Hunting Creek - Berryessa 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1270982E-41.9940689E-41.0E-40.50148721.9940689E-40.04.8295266E-48.542511E-44.0E-40.468246430.00105408022.0E-40.00586410750.010341320.00940.90897480.0140030570.00370.0571175780.097659780.08470.867296640.121391330.0263
6.11.1239393E-41.988906E-40.00.01.988906E-40.04.8159933E-48.5203996E-42.0E-40.234730789.5195475E-41.0E-40.00584771950.010314680.00690.668949540.0128878620.00260.0569621320.097419140.07020.720597570.117005150.0217
6.27.596265E-51.2870526E-40.00.01.2870526E-40.03.2551357E-45.51466E-41.0E-40.181334845.51466E-40.00.00395592770.00668892960.00460.68770350.0081788960.00150.0388624330.064304550.04530.70446020.077778570.0144
6.36.78794E-51.13912276E-40.00.01.13912276E-40.02.9087928E-44.8809202E-41.0E-40.20487944.8809202E-40.00.0035357050.00592318220.00420.70907830.00731488970.00140.0347997660.0572017470.03940.688790140.0690810.0126
6.46.2165134E-51.0382523E-40.00.01.0382523E-40.02.6639478E-44.4488598E-41.0E-40.224776694.4488598E-40.00.00323853320.00540043930.00390.72216350.00669341860.00130.031917420.0523076360.03630.693971340.0633956340.0117
6.55.4368087E-59.023392E-50.00.09.023392E-50.02.3298527E-43.8665588E-41.0E-40.258627923.8665588E-40.00.00283290590.0046954430.00370.78799810.00598933870.00130.0279706330.045659680.03180.69645690.0550122150.0098
6.64.729947E-57.8045974E-50.00.07.8045974E-50.02.0269625E-43.344384E-41.0E-40.299008733.344384E-40.00.0024650340.0040627890.00320.78763620.005158320.00110.024378690.039650230.02720.68599850.04752510.0082
6.73.6875328E-56.0107366E-50.00.06.0107366E-50.01.5802756E-42.575781E-40.00.02.575781E-40.00.00192228750.00313082570.00210.67074960.0039283218.0E-40.0190574420.030730080.01990.647573950.03654570.006
6.82.0292036E-52.8875764E-50.00.02.8875764E-50.08.6962966E-51.2374739E-40.00.01.2374739E-40.00.00105825990.00150557260.00110.73061910.00170527142.0E-40.0105323440.0149277120.00920.61630340.0176859140.0028
6.91.7871042E-52.440453E-50.00.02.440453E-50.07.658793E-51.0458663E-40.00.01.0458663E-40.09.320591E-40.00127259840.0010.78579390.00147234382.0E-40.0092815950.0126447290.00750.593132560.014816910.0022
7.01.6415532E-52.1844406E-50.00.02.1844406E-50.07.035038E-59.361554E-50.00.09.361554E-50.08.561793E-40.00113917469.0E-40.79004570.00123906071.0E-40.0085288820.0113328170.00690.608851250.0132112850.0019
7.11.5409885E-52.0292511E-50.00.02.0292511E-50.06.6040695E-58.6965025E-50.00.08.6965025E-50.08.0374884E-40.00105828768.0E-40.755938230.00115818171.0E-40.008008480.01053290.00640.607619940.0123139410.0018
7.21.4497423E-51.9004163E-50.00.01.9004163E-50.06.213033E-58.144388E-50.00.08.144388E-50.07.5617427E-49.911313E-47.0E-40.706263660.00109103221.0E-40.00753606340.0098677750.0060.60803980.0115510.0017
7.31.3615175E-51.7777578E-50.00.01.7777578E-50.05.8349444E-57.618741E-50.00.07.618741E-50.07.101729E-49.2718995E-46.0E-40.64711660.00102709721.0E-40.00707907650.0092337190.00550.595643040.0109180210.0017
7.41.2252825E-51.5983189E-50.00.01.5983189E-50.05.251105E-56.8497604E-50.00.06.8497604E-50.06.391345E-48.3364197E-46.0E-40.71973349.335586E-41.0E-40.00637299430.0083055610.00520.626086530.0099914420.0017
7.51.0913301E-51.4202664E-50.00.01.4202664E-50.04.6770452E-56.0867154E-50.00.06.0867154E-50.05.6928146E-47.408084E-46.0E-40.809926038.407343E-41.0E-40.00567825320.00738376840.00470.63653130.0088726930.0015
7.68.623192E-61.1203514E-50.00.01.1203514E-50.03.6956015E-54.8014193E-50.00.04.8014193E-50.04.4984656E-45.8441854E-44.0E-40.6844416.843601E-41.0E-40.004489370.0058291010.00360.617590960.0069226890.0011
7.72.0993634E-62.655011E-60.00.02.655011E-60.08.997241E-61.137857E-50.00.01.137857E-50.01.09535904E-41.3852536E-40.00.01.3852536E-40.00.00109481930.0013844423.0E-40.21669380.00148430361.0E-4
7.81.8428308E-72.164475E-70.00.02.164475E-70.07.897844E-79.276319E-70.00.09.276319E-70.09.615583E-61.1293863E-50.00.01.1293863E-50.09.615166E-51.1294148E-40.00.01.1294148E-40.0

San Andreas (Carrizo) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1674632E-42.3566867E-42.0E-40.84864913.356451E-41.0E-45.002454E-40.00100961925.0E-40.495236220.00120941722.0E-40.0060734930.01222328750.00720.589039560.0147915060.00260.05910160.117451070.07770.66155210.140838620.0265
6.11.1674632E-42.3566867E-42.0E-40.84864913.356451E-41.0E-45.002454E-40.00100961925.0E-40.495236220.00120941722.0E-40.0060734930.01222328750.00720.589039560.0147915060.00260.05910160.117451070.07770.66155210.140838620.0265
6.21.1674632E-42.3566867E-42.0E-40.84864913.356451E-41.0E-45.002454E-40.00100961925.0E-40.495236220.00120941722.0E-40.0060734930.01222328750.00720.589039560.0147915060.00260.05910160.117451070.07770.66155210.140838620.0265
6.31.1674632E-42.3566867E-42.0E-40.84864913.356451E-41.0E-45.002454E-40.00100961925.0E-40.495236220.00120941722.0E-40.0060734930.01222328750.00720.589039560.0147915060.00260.05910160.117451070.07770.66155210.140838620.0265
6.41.1674632E-42.3566867E-42.0E-40.84864913.356451E-41.0E-45.002454E-40.00100961925.0E-40.495236220.00120941722.0E-40.0060734930.01222328750.00720.589039560.0147915060.00260.05910160.117451070.07770.66155210.140838620.0265
6.51.13136164E-42.2890302E-42.0E-40.873732453.2888015E-41.0E-44.847792E-49.806457E-45.0E-40.50986820.00118044952.0E-40.00588622550.011874420.00720.60634540.0144435460.00260.0573273340.114429590.07640.667659460.137631540.0262
6.61.13136164E-42.2890302E-42.0E-40.873732453.2888015E-41.0E-44.847792E-49.806457E-45.0E-40.50986820.00118044952.0E-40.00588622550.011874420.00720.60634540.0144435460.00260.0573273340.114429590.07640.667659460.137631540.0262
6.71.1149675E-42.2583081E-42.0E-40.885618753.258082E-41.0E-44.777557E-49.6748874E-45.0E-40.51680190.00116729532.0E-40.00580117340.0117159650.00720.6145460.0142855040.00260.056520510.1130490.07510.664313730.136198420.0261
6.81.1103589E-42.2486152E-42.0E-40.88943633.2483903E-41.0E-44.7578133E-49.633377E-45.0E-40.51902880.00116314512.0E-40.0057772630.0116659690.00720.617179750.0142356370.00260.0562935840.112611460.07470.663342830.135506080.0258
6.91.1053259E-42.2379539E-42.0E-40.89367353.23773E-41.0E-44.7362508E-49.5877197E-45.0E-40.52150040.00115858022.0E-40.00575114970.01161097550.00710.61149040.0141807870.00260.056045690.112130820.07430.66261890.134860280.0256
7.01.1005377E-42.2281319E-42.0E-40.89761293.227909E-41.0E-44.7157376E-49.5456565E-45.0E-40.523798470.00115437472.0E-40.00572630620.0115603080.00710.61417050.0141302510.00260.0558097960.111685030.0740.66257760.13442590.0256
7.11.0308142E-42.0805502E-42.0E-40.961284163.080342E-41.0E-44.417027E-48.913607E-45.0E-40.560940150.00109118232.0E-40.00536447760.0107986070.00620.57414810.013073770.00230.0523681380.1049479840.06840.651751460.12589220.0234
7.21.0027479E-42.0219231E-42.0E-40.989157263.021721E-41.0E-44.296783E-48.662517E-45.0E-40.577199460.00106607842.0E-40.00521879220.0104958890.00620.59070740.0127717490.00230.0509792120.102267310.06670.65221230.122915160.023
7.39.816942E-51.9704713E-42.0E-41.01498562.9702744E-41.0E-44.2065824E-48.4421533E-45.0E-40.592265960.00104404652.0E-40.0051094930.0102301460.00620.60605190.0125066170.00230.0499359850.099879080.06540.65479180.12013180.0225
7.49.5634205E-51.908743E-42.0E-41.047812.908552E-41.0E-44.0979648E-48.177771E-45.0E-40.611413540.00101761362.0E-40.00497786370.0099112270.00610.61546360.0121884320.00230.0486782530.097014870.0630.649385040.116699940.0218
7.58.052417E-51.5494163E-42.0E-41.29080872.5492613E-41.0E-43.4505792E-46.6386675E-45.0E-40.75316328.63734E-42.0E-40.00419299030.00805269650.0050.620910.0097390070.00170.041147530.0800456260.05050.63089020.095776840.0171
7.67.897024E-51.5155076E-42.0E-41.31968992.515356E-41.0E-43.384E-46.4934173E-44.0E-40.616008468.492119E-42.0E-40.00411223850.0078771470.00480.60935770.0095637550.00170.0403696970.078414910.04940.629982230.09398970.0169
7.76.707427E-51.2726369E-41.0E-40.78577012.2725096E-41.0E-42.8742946E-45.453018E-43.0E-40.550154037.4519275E-42.0E-40.0034938390.0066188680.00410.61944130.0082082780.00160.0343941640.06654820.04050.60858150.079616520.014
7.86.147705E-51.1699638E-41.0E-40.85472732.1698468E-41.0E-42.6344648E-45.0131674E-43.0E-40.59842417.0121646E-42.0E-40.00320274360.0060864720.00380.62433540.0074779510.00140.0315697640.0612388180.03740.610723730.073254960.0128
7.94.7636717E-58.5202E-51.0E-41.17368141.8519348E-41.0E-42.0414138E-43.6510034E-43.0E-40.821691935.6502735E-42.0E-40.00248258840.00443604360.0030.67627830.0055311640.00110.0245503650.044932260.02860.63651370.054387430.0099
8.03.3554235E-54.99211E-51.0E-42.0031611.499161E-41.0E-41.4379594E-42.1393002E-43.0E-41.40232774.1388723E-42.0E-40.00174930970.00260148850.00180.69191150.00329966757.0E-40.0173560340.0267886110.0170.6345980.03272520.0061
8.11.9175432E-51.8116692E-51.0E-45.51977161.18114884E-41.0E-48.217783E-57.764066E-52.0E-42.575972.7762513E-42.0E-40.00100005589.448657E-46.0E-40.63501090.00124458223.0E-40.0099556730.01019590350.00680.66693450.0127693950.0026
8.28.643924E-65.06885E-60.00.05.06885E-60.03.704486E-52.1723463E-51.0E-44.60331771.2172129E-41.0E-44.5092785E-42.6445114E-42.0E-40.75628343.644247E-41.0E-40.00450013950.00302592730.00220.72704990.0037238097.0E-4
8.31.983087E-66.9765395E-70.00.06.9765395E-70.08.498917E-62.9899422E-60.00.02.9899422E-60.01.034694E-43.640195E-50.00.03.640195E-50.00.00103421244.3255524E-42.0E-40.462368675.32512E-41.0E-4

Calaveras (So) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5950744E-43.005846E-46.0E-41.99611027.0046436E-44.0E-46.834242E-40.0012874440.00120.93207940.00198654277.0E-40.008288990.0155403120.00980.6306180.0186905820.00320.0798654260.143517260.09820.684238260.165357570.0255
6.11.3584697E-42.539517E-46.0E-42.3626546.538501E-44.0E-45.8207137E-40.00108783030.00121.10311320.00178706887.0E-40.0070637160.0131500110.00820.62357360.015913190.00280.068433610.1231820060.08020.65106910.142384320.0219
6.21.14676266E-42.1086262E-46.0E-42.84545456.107783E-44.0E-44.9137714E-49.033606E-40.00121.32837320.00160272837.0E-40.00596611850.010938830.0070.63992220.0136092950.00270.0580846480.104199420.06990.67082910.1221154260.02
6.38.691518E-51.5810462E-46.0E-43.79495555.580414E-44.0E-43.7244044E-46.7737664E-40.0011.47628370.00127697016.0E-40.0045250380.00820940550.0060.7308690.0106888810.00250.0443399920.078554280.05450.693787750.0939424260.0167
6.48.50982E-51.5519738E-46.0E-43.86604455.551353E-44.0E-43.646556E-46.649234E-40.0011.50393260.00126452446.0E-40.00443064750.0080589160.00590.73210840.0105387680.00250.043433450.077171660.05380.697147130.092490610.0166
6.58.4062965E-51.5345492E-46.0E-43.90994295.5339356E-44.0E-43.602201E-46.574603E-40.0011.52100430.00125706586.0E-40.0043768630.0079688110.00580.727837560.0103496860.00240.0429165550.076347990.0530.694189850.091588250.0165
6.68.194716E-51.4983947E-45.0E-43.33690455.497795E-44.0E-43.5115483E-46.419747E-49.0E-41.40192450.00124158946.0E-40.00426693170.0077820050.00560.71960890.0101633280.00240.041859270.074643050.0520.69664890.089726370.0163
6.78.012326E-51.4653517E-45.0E-43.41215045.4647657E-44.0E-43.433402E-46.278225E-49.0E-41.43352630.00122744586.0E-40.0041721570.0076113390.00560.735744360.0099930720.00240.0409469120.073090960.05070.69365620.0878288150.0159
6.87.119773E-51.2726037E-43.0E-42.35737184.2722217E-43.0E-43.0509746E-45.452755E-46.0E-41.10036119.450574E-44.0E-40.00370823570.0066153920.00450.68023180.0086021610.0020.0364696420.0639847740.04470.69860370.076620980.0135
6.95.7343088E-59.786235E-52.0E-42.04368692.9784278E-42.0E-42.4573295E-44.193431E-45.0E-41.19234117.192173E-43.0E-40.00298769420.0050936240.00340.66750120.00648649270.00140.029478440.0498906670.03540.70955160.060246860.0109
7.04.8746577E-58.166659E-52.0E-42.44898182.8165025E-42.0E-42.0889717E-43.4995307E-45.0E-41.4287636.498481E-43.0E-40.00254035650.004252420.00290.681964640.0054473170.00120.0251151210.041927460.02980.710751350.0508375350.0093
7.14.2998014E-57.1568575E-52.0E-42.79452282.7155425E-42.0E-41.8426418E-43.066867E-45.0E-41.63032826.065947E-43.0E-40.0022411080.0037275770.00270.724331140.0049231040.00120.0221864120.0369093230.02610.70713840.0446140470.008
7.23.221292E-55.299794E-50.00.05.299794E-50.01.3804805E-42.271144E-42.0E-40.880613452.271144E-40.00.00167943930.00276163920.00170.615576450.0034597067.0E-40.0166680370.0275987850.02060.74640970.033044230.0056
7.32.3756531E-53.8752434E-50.00.03.8752434E-50.01.0180973E-41.6607139E-42.0E-41.20430141.6607139E-40.00.00123882860.00202006080.00140.69304840.00261884886.0E-40.0123194520.0202940760.01470.72434930.0245068130.0043
7.41.5997684E-52.6730915E-50.00.02.6730915E-50.06.8559704E-51.1455605E-42.0E-41.74587021.1455605E-40.08.343947E-40.00139382990.00110.78919240.00179327244.0E-40.0083126870.01407873350.01070.760011550.017135090.0031
7.51.3814293E-52.4194247E-50.00.02.4194247E-50.05.9202768E-51.03685525E-42.0E-41.92890951.03685525E-40.07.205553E-40.00126164269.0E-40.71335580.00166113794.0E-40.0071822340.012768210.00930.72837150.0155324590.0028
7.68.817309E-61.5965174E-50.00.01.5965174E-50.03.7787922E-56.8420384E-50.00.06.8420384E-50.04.5997082E-48.327011E-45.0E-40.60045550.00113245133.0E-40.0045901990.0084918390.0060.70656070.0103757060.0019
7.74.0352206E-67.382077E-60.00.07.382077E-60.01.7293689E-53.163709E-50.00.03.163709E-50.02.1053031E-43.8511356E-43.0E-40.7789915.850365E-42.0E-40.00210330960.004005530.00290.7239990.0051011240.0011
7.83.413169E-66.5029626E-60.00.06.5029626E-60.01.4627784E-52.7869542E-50.00.02.7869542E-50.01.7807873E-43.392589E-43.0E-40.88428045.3919107E-42.0E-40.00177936090.00352746760.00260.73707270.004523940.001
7.92.4740732E-65.0703898E-60.00.05.0703898E-60.01.06031275E-52.173006E-50.00.02.173006E-50.01.2908543E-42.6453144E-43.0E-41.13408084.6447854E-42.0E-40.00129010470.00273346180.00240.878007530.00363100189.0E-4
8.01.5231818E-63.167996E-60.00.03.167996E-60.06.527906E-61.3577056E-50.00.01.3577056E-50.07.9474354E-51.6528815E-41.0E-40.6050042.6527164E-41.0E-47.944594E-40.001697480.00120.70693030.00229646156.0E-4
8.11.0104524E-61.9716344E-60.00.01.9716344E-60.04.330503E-68.449834E-60.00.08.449834E-60.05.2722597E-51.0287191E-41.0E-40.97208272.0286163E-41.0E-45.271009E-40.00105643839.0E-40.85191910.00145601574.0E-4

San Andreas (San Bernardino S)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2336002E-42.9618776E-43.0E-41.0128712.9618776E-40.05.2857865E-40.00126878448.0E-40.63052480.00156840373.0E-40.0064164720.0153429250.00850.55400130.0176076350.00230.062343370.141102950.08650.61302760.161115260.0233
6.11.2336002E-42.9618776E-43.0E-41.0128712.9618776E-40.05.2857865E-40.00126878448.0E-40.63052480.00156840373.0E-40.0064164720.0153429250.00850.55400130.0176076350.00230.062343370.141102950.08650.61302760.161115260.0233
6.21.2336002E-42.9618776E-43.0E-41.0128712.9618776E-40.05.2857865E-40.00126878448.0E-40.63052480.00156840373.0E-40.0064164720.0153429250.00850.55400130.0176076350.00230.062343370.141102950.08650.61302760.161115260.0233
6.31.1712257E-42.8411296E-43.0E-41.05591812.8411296E-40.05.018573E-40.00121708418.0E-40.65730870.0015167193.0E-40.0060930080.0147220970.00830.56377840.0168897080.00220.0592863220.135790750.08280.60976170.155149040.0224
6.41.1712257E-42.8411296E-43.0E-41.05591812.8411296E-40.05.018573E-40.00121708418.0E-40.65730870.0015167193.0E-40.0060930080.0147220970.00830.56377840.0168897080.00220.0592863220.135790750.08280.60976170.155149040.0224
6.51.0689076E-42.6430876E-43.0E-41.13503612.6430876E-40.04.5802278E-40.00113228467.0E-40.618219140.00143194493.0E-40.00556217830.0137029820.00770.56192150.0156755760.0020.054250030.127070.07760.61068710.145314230.0209
6.69.7648895E-52.4682246E-42.0E-40.810299042.4682246E-40.04.1842813E-40.0010574056.0E-40.567426860.00135708793.0E-40.0050824690.0128022180.00730.57021370.0147766140.0020.0496778860.1192510.07320.613831340.137042140.0202
6.78.757013E-52.2759548E-42.0E-40.87875212.2759548E-40.03.7524657E-49.750665E-45.0E-40.51278550.00117487152.0E-40.004559060.0118108450.00650.550341670.0133919470.00160.044666560.110543040.06720.6079080.126997990.0185
6.88.562978E-52.2322101E-42.0E-40.8959732.2322101E-40.03.6693315E-49.5633266E-45.0E-40.52283060.00115614142.0E-40.0044582630.01158520.00630.543797250.0131666630.00160.0436987580.108565220.06580.60608730.124789330.0182
6.96.124075E-51.6741737E-42.0E-41.19461921.6741737E-40.02.6243398E-47.1730657E-45.0E-40.697052069.171631E-42.0E-40.00319045270.0086984380.00530.60930480.009987130.00130.0314503460.08275360.05030.60782850.095503330.0139
7.05.8598747E-51.6174205E-42.0E-41.23653691.6174205E-40.02.5111332E-46.9299684E-45.0E-40.721504038.9285825E-42.0E-40.00305301860.0084047860.00520.61869510.009693860.00130.030114140.080083750.0480.599372570.092318630.0133
7.15.613814E-51.5595989E-42.0E-41.28238091.5595989E-40.02.4056983E-46.6822907E-45.0E-40.748246438.6809543E-42.0E-40.00292500390.00810551550.00510.62920120.0093949790.00130.0288680210.077395280.0460.59435150.0894814060.0131
7.24.991222E-51.4210024E-42.0E-41.40745721.4210024E-40.02.1389198E-46.0885923E-45.0E-40.82120798.087375E-42.0E-40.0026010250.00738776480.00420.568507550.0084796380.00110.0257079120.070902220.04140.58390270.0822372140.0122
7.34.7410045E-51.3410991E-42.0E-41.49131421.3410991E-40.02.0317009E-45.7463045E-44.0E-40.69609956.74573E-41.0E-40.00247078970.0069737660.0040.57357820.0079667920.0010.0244349820.067217620.03940.586155830.0784110050.012
7.44.5556746E-51.2824156E-42.0E-41.55955681.2824156E-40.01.952286E-45.494912E-44.0E-40.727946166.4943626E-41.0E-40.0023743170.00666960930.00390.58474190.0075636079.0E-40.0234910860.064488450.03790.587702160.0750597340.0113
7.54.3084514E-51.20658246E-42.0E-41.65757421.20658246E-40.01.8463485E-45.170046E-44.0E-40.773687546.169529E-41.0E-40.00224561150.0062764330.00370.58950680.0071707849.0E-40.0222305450.060911870.03470.56967550.070678380.0104
7.63.408608E-59.567774E-51.0E-41.04517529.567774E-50.01.4607502E-44.099831E-43.0E-40.73173755.0994207E-41.0E-40.00177701250.0049801440.00290.582312460.0058756629.0E-40.0176286960.048831410.02930.60002360.0572968130.0089
7.72.8315713E-57.997012E-51.0E-41.2504677.997012E-50.01.2134742E-43.4268413E-43.0E-40.87544184.4264985E-41.0E-40.00147640340.0041642060.0020.480283680.0048612917.0E-40.014666330.0411443930.02530.614907560.048815240.008
7.82.6222975E-57.227602E-51.0E-41.38358477.227602E-50.01.1237934E-43.097176E-43.0E-40.968624234.0968665E-41.0E-40.00136735970.00376429780.0020.53130760.0044616637.0E-40.0135897680.0373769330.02220.59394920.0441152970.007
7.92.1469694E-55.5910103E-50.00.05.5910103E-50.09.200973E-52.3959273E-42.0E-40.83474993.3956877E-41.0E-40.00111964280.00291314230.00170.58356230.00351139446.0E-40.0111401840.0292545150.01720.587943430.034690690.0056
8.01.2420249E-53.0215788E-50.00.03.0215788E-50.05.322855E-51.2948981E-42.0E-41.5445232.2947686E-41.0E-46.478649E-40.00157539930.00110.69823570.00207461165.0E-40.00645979350.0160057950.00940.58728730.0193513740.0034
8.14.9197724E-67.4157283E-60.00.07.4157283E-60.02.1084568E-53.1781306E-51.0E-43.1465041.3177813E-41.0E-42.566744E-43.868688E-42.0E-40.51697114.8683013E-41.0E-40.0025637810.00417937850.00220.526394070.0049760358.0E-4
8.22.5634774E-62.7189453E-60.00.02.7189453E-60.01.0986286E-51.1652571E-51.0E-48.5817981.116514E-41.0E-41.3374983E-41.4186084E-41.0E-40.70491612.4184666E-41.0E-40.00133669340.00160604940.00110.68491050.0020054074.0E-4
8.35.2850464E-72.9571643E-70.00.02.9571643E-70.02.2650179E-61.2673556E-60.00.01.2673556E-60.02.7576245E-51.5429956E-50.00.01.5429956E-50.02.7572823E-41.8442706E-40.00.01.8442706E-40.0

San Andreas (Big Bend)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.0179969E-41.9400888E-42.0E-41.03088062.939895E-41.0E-44.362114E-48.312027E-44.0E-40.481230380.00103103652.0E-40.00529794860.0100732040.00620.61549440.0123500360.00230.0517340970.098538860.06390.64847510.118731590.0224
6.11.0179969E-41.9400888E-42.0E-41.03088062.939895E-41.0E-44.362114E-48.312027E-44.0E-40.481230380.00103103652.0E-40.00529794860.0100732040.00620.61549440.0123500360.00230.0517340970.098538860.06390.64847510.118731590.0224
6.21.0179969E-41.9400888E-42.0E-41.03088062.939895E-41.0E-44.362114E-48.312027E-44.0E-40.481230380.00103103652.0E-40.00529794860.0100732040.00620.61549440.0123500360.00230.0517340970.098538860.06390.64847510.118731590.0224
6.31.0179969E-41.9400888E-42.0E-41.03088062.939895E-41.0E-44.362114E-48.312027E-44.0E-40.481230380.00103103652.0E-40.00529794860.0100732040.00620.61549440.0123500360.00230.0517340970.098538860.06390.64847510.118731590.0224
6.49.1639464E-51.7771713E-42.0E-41.12538392.7769935E-41.0E-43.9268145E-47.6142274E-44.0E-40.525332339.612705E-42.0E-40.00477042050.0092310240.00540.58498380.0111134850.00190.0466930640.090870490.05780.63607010.109053080.02
6.59.1639464E-51.7771713E-42.0E-41.12538392.7769935E-41.0E-43.9268145E-47.6142274E-44.0E-40.525332339.612705E-42.0E-40.00477042050.0092310240.00540.58498380.0111134850.00190.0466930640.090870490.05780.63607010.109053080.02
6.69.042622E-51.7580374E-42.0E-41.13763232.7578615E-41.0E-43.8748336E-47.532272E-44.0E-40.531048249.530766E-42.0E-40.00470740950.0091320830.00520.569421050.0109156450.00180.0460893250.089971440.05690.63242290.107716990.0195
6.78.9836685E-51.7495266E-42.0E-41.14316642.7493516E-41.0E-43.8495753E-47.4958184E-44.0E-40.533630859.494319E-42.0E-40.004676790.009088070.00520.572178660.0108717120.00180.0457958170.089567060.05690.63527820.1073204950.0195
6.88.9471854E-51.7442678E-42.0E-41.14661292.7440934E-41.0E-43.8339442E-47.473294E-44.0E-40.53523929.471799E-42.0E-40.0046578410.0090608750.00520.5738960.0108445650.00180.045614140.0893166140.05650.632581060.106892810.0193
6.98.858234E-51.732572E-42.0E-41.15435312.732399E-41.0E-43.7958333E-47.4231974E-44.0E-40.53885149.4217126E-42.0E-40.0046116380.0090003880.00520.57775290.0107841870.00180.045171030.088759890.05620.63316890.10625570.0192
7.08.7433385E-51.716617E-42.0E-41.16508232.7164453E-41.0E-43.746607E-47.354857E-44.0E-40.54385839.353386E-42.0E-40.0045519570.0089178670.00520.583099070.0107018160.00180.0445983860.08799940.05550.630686040.105236220.0189
7.18.684964E-51.7079155E-42.0E-41.17101812.7077447E-41.0E-43.7215967E-47.317586E-44.0E-40.546628369.316123E-42.0E-40.00452163350.008872860.00510.57478640.0105577760.00170.044307310.087584410.05530.631390870.1047378260.0188
7.28.606521E-51.6970815E-42.0E-41.17849392.6969117E-41.0E-43.6879873E-47.2711805E-44.0E-40.5501179.2697266E-42.0E-40.00448088350.0088168210.0050.567097840.0105018320.00170.0439160240.087068020.05520.633987070.104231140.0188
7.38.568266E-51.6914045E-42.0E-41.18244932.6912353E-41.0E-43.6715972E-47.246864E-44.0E-40.551962859.245415E-42.0E-40.00446101050.0087874540.0050.5689930.0104725160.00170.0437251480.086793650.05510.634839060.103961940.0188
7.48.5432206E-51.687742E-42.0E-41.18501522.687573E-41.0E-43.6608664E-47.231177E-44.0E-40.55316039.2297303E-42.0E-40.0044479990.0087685090.0050.57022240.0104536020.00170.0436001570.086616870.05510.63613480.1037884650.0188
7.58.4791965E-51.6749436E-42.0E-41.19407012.6747762E-41.0E-43.633435E-47.176357E-44.0E-40.557385869.1749214E-42.0E-40.00441473770.00870230050.0050.57456070.0103875060.00170.0432805750.0860046740.05480.637174670.103096390.0187
7.68.241105E-51.6205799E-42.0E-41.23412612.6204178E-41.0E-43.531424E-46.943495E-44.0E-40.57607878.9421065E-42.0E-40.00429103520.0084210180.00480.57000240.0101067010.00170.0420911760.0834186450.05320.63774710.1001920850.0183
7.77.00432E-51.3631982E-41.0E-40.7335692.363062E-41.0E-43.001506E-45.84097E-43.0E-40.51361337.839802E-42.0E-40.00364821120.0070882280.00420.592531740.0086768870.00160.0358889770.070929760.04370.616102460.084958720.0151
7.86.415362E-51.2452235E-41.0E-40.803068642.245099E-41.0E-42.749151E-45.3355814E-43.0E-40.5622637.334514E-42.0E-40.00334195470.00647674730.00390.602154140.007867680.00140.032921410.0649027150.03980.613225460.0776200440.0136
7.94.939911E-58.969914E-51.0E-41.11483791.8969017E-41.0E-42.116933E-43.8436826E-43.0E-40.78050155.842914E-42.0E-40.00257431950.00466965050.00310.66386130.00576451370.00110.0254470130.047170120.030.635995860.0569842680.0103
8.03.344983E-55.001127E-51.0E-41.99954931.5000626E-41.0E-41.4334853E-42.1431642E-43.0E-41.39979954.1427356E-42.0E-40.00174387110.00260618170.00180.69066560.00330435727.0E-40.0173024960.0268305630.0170.63360580.0327668970.0061
8.11.9104898E-51.8106268E-51.0E-45.5229491.1810446E-41.0E-48.1875565E-57.7595985E-52.0E-42.5774532.7758046E-42.0E-49.963791E-49.443222E-46.0E-40.635376330.00124403893.0E-40.0099192350.010188610.00680.66741190.012762120.0026
8.28.643924E-65.06885E-60.00.05.06885E-60.03.704486E-52.1723463E-51.0E-44.60331771.2172129E-41.0E-44.5092785E-42.6445114E-42.0E-40.75628343.644247E-41.0E-40.00450013950.00302592730.00220.72704990.0037238097.0E-4
8.31.983087E-66.9765395E-70.00.06.9765395E-70.08.498917E-62.9899422E-60.00.02.9899422E-60.01.034694E-43.640195E-50.00.03.640195E-50.00.00103421244.3255524E-42.0E-40.462368675.32512E-41.0E-4

San Andreas (Coachella) rev

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1925945E-43.2356716E-43.0E-40.92716454.235348E-41.0E-45.110118E-40.00138598410.0010.7215090.00168556843.0E-40.00620383540.0167451020.00960.573302030.0201864930.00350.0603347530.151198130.0890.588631630.169786890.0219
6.11.1925945E-43.2356716E-43.0E-40.92716454.235348E-41.0E-45.110118E-40.00138598410.0010.7215090.00168556843.0E-40.00620383540.0167451020.00960.573302030.0201864930.00350.0603347530.151198130.0890.588631630.169786890.0219
6.21.07432395E-42.9859913E-43.0E-41.00469153.9856927E-41.0E-44.603433E-40.00127908690.0010.78180770.00157870323.0E-40.0055902860.0154627550.0090.582043770.0188101830.00340.054517310.140369460.08220.58559750.158679590.0213
6.31.0718766E-42.980524E-43.0E-41.00653453.980226E-41.0E-44.592948E-40.00127674590.0010.783241150.0015763633.0E-40.0055775860.0154346590.0090.58310330.0187821820.00340.0543965550.140137370.08220.58656730.158452450.0213
6.41.0355944E-42.9013876E-43.0E-41.0339883.9010975E-41.0E-44.4375064E-40.00124286329.0E-40.72413440.00154249033.0E-40.00538928850.0150278970.00880.58557760.0182783060.00330.0526044960.136686890.08040.588205640.15490280.0211
6.51.0227914E-42.8733484E-43.0E-41.0440783.8730612E-41.0E-44.382655E-40.00123085789.0E-40.73119740.00153048853.0E-40.00532283540.0148837380.00880.591249350.0181346220.00330.0519713160.135468630.07990.58980450.153623790.021
6.61.0116757E-42.8499638E-43.0E-41.0526453.8496786E-41.0E-44.3350324E-40.00122084529.0E-40.737194240.00152047893.0E-40.00526513670.0147634910.00880.5960650.0180147720.00330.0514212470.134447010.07930.58982350.152623620.021
6.71.0050676E-42.8358385E-43.0E-41.05788823.8355548E-41.0E-44.3067214E-40.00121479719.0E-40.740864460.00151443263.0E-40.0052308340.0146908520.00870.59220530.017843840.00320.0510940850.133830920.07890.58954990.151933850.0209
6.89.976819E-52.8162592E-43.0E-41.06524293.8159775E-41.0E-44.2750788E-40.00120641389.0E-40.74601270.00150605193.0E-40.00519249360.0145901570.00870.59629240.0177434680.00320.0507282950.132983130.07810.58729250.151017080.0208
6.99.77719E-52.766273E-43.0E-41.08449163.7659964E-41.0E-44.1895514E-40.00118501089.0E-40.75948680.00148465533.0E-40.00508885550.0143330330.00850.59303570.0172900330.0030.0497388880.130819680.07750.592418550.148637880.0205
7.08.500761E-52.4420972E-43.0E-41.22845233.441853E-41.0E-43.6426744E-40.00104619649.0E-40.860259060.00134588253.0E-40.00442594060.0126638060.00780.61592860.0153296130.00270.043388230.1167402640.06840.58591610.132992240.0184
7.18.319876E-52.4028315E-43.0E-41.2485273.402591E-41.0E-43.5651738E-40.00102938169.0E-40.874311270.00132907293.0E-40.0043319630.0124614450.00760.60988110.0150290460.00260.0424848460.1149761160.06730.585338950.130995050.0181
7.27.563917E-52.2088508E-43.0E-41.35817233.20863E-41.0E-43.2412758E-49.4630994E-49.0E-40.95106260.0012460263.0E-40.00393911450.0114611310.00720.628210250.0138336240.00240.038700180.106414680.06230.58544550.121426920.0168
7.37.082985E-52.0418932E-43.0E-41.46922483.041689E-41.0E-43.0352117E-48.748064E-49.0E-41.0287990.0011745443.0E-40.00368910960.0105993640.00690.65098250.0129739250.00240.036284650.098983460.0580.58595650.1130393150.0156
7.45.146215E-51.4023531E-42.0E-41.42617441.4023531E-40.02.2053342E-46.008709E-47.0E-41.16497588.007507E-42.0E-40.00268168840.00729124760.00480.65832350.00887958150.00160.026495570.06975780.04020.576279640.080176510.0112
7.54.0285166E-51.072944E-42.0E-41.86403021.072944E-40.01.7263928E-44.5975242E-45.0E-41.08754185.597064E-41.0E-40.0020998570.00558318660.00340.60897120.0064781629.0E-40.0208012540.054065350.03010.55673360.062578760.009
7.63.1168736E-58.250048E-51.0E-41.21211418.250048E-50.01.3357346E-43.535257E-44.0E-41.13145954.5349036E-41.0E-40.00162504370.00429570670.00250.58197640.005092278.0E-40.0161321160.0419571470.02490.593462650.0490466650.0074
7.72.2100989E-56.0723614E-51.0E-41.64680586.0723614E-50.09.4715084E-52.6021813E-43.0E-41.15287893.6019212E-41.0E-40.0011525460.00316355940.00120.379319580.00366197765.0E-40.0114658670.0311426740.01890.60688430.037149590.0062
7.81.7484861E-55.0309278E-51.0E-41.9877055.0309278E-50.07.493296E-52.1559339E-43.0E-41.39150833.1557182E-41.0E-49.1192697E-40.00262169260.00110.419576260.00312038195.0E-40.0090819380.025961220.01530.589340570.030734010.0049
7.91.3967285E-53.7001482E-50.00.03.7001482E-50.05.985842E-51.5856815E-42.0E-41.26128732.585523E-41.0E-47.2853256E-40.00192885899.0E-40.46659710.00232808734.0E-40.00726148770.0193431490.01160.59969550.0232657770.004
8.01.1887396E-53.0013814E-50.00.03.0013814E-50.05.094499E-51.286243E-42.0E-41.55491612.2861143E-41.0E-46.200787E-40.00156487698.0E-40.511222360.00196425084.0E-40.0061835130.0157877950.00960.608064650.0193309580.0036
8.15.100864E-68.54409E-60.00.08.54409E-60.02.1860664E-53.6617013E-51.0E-42.73097091.3661335E-41.0E-42.6612106E-44.4572106E-41.0E-40.224355565.456765E-41.0E-40.0026580260.0047031410.00290.61660920.00589749730.0012
8.22.3004484E-62.6136363E-60.00.02.6136363E-60.09.859027E-61.120125E-51.0E-48.9275751.1120013E-41.0E-41.2002704E-41.3636671E-41.0E-40.73331682.3635308E-41.0E-40.00119962230.00150789170.00120.79581310.00180743943.0E-4
8.31.0424446E-75.368235E-80.00.05.368235E-80.04.4676187E-72.300672E-70.00.02.300672E-70.05.439312E-62.8010647E-60.00.02.8010647E-60.05.4391792E-52.9512299E-50.00.02.9512299E-50.0

San Andreas (Mojave N)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.877682E-51.871493E-42.0E-41.06866552.871306E-41.0E-44.2326056E-48.0182205E-44.0E-40.498863820.00100166162.0E-40.00514102770.0097186010.00540.55563550.0116001360.00190.050237080.095297350.05990.628558930.113391410.02
6.19.877682E-51.871493E-42.0E-41.06866552.871306E-41.0E-44.2326056E-48.0182205E-44.0E-40.498863820.00100166162.0E-40.00514102770.0097186010.00540.55563550.0116001360.00190.050237080.095297350.05990.628558930.113391410.02
6.29.877682E-51.871493E-42.0E-41.06866552.871306E-41.0E-44.2326056E-48.0182205E-44.0E-40.498863820.00100166162.0E-40.00514102770.0097186010.00540.55563550.0116001360.00190.050237080.095297350.05990.628558930.113391410.02
6.39.877682E-51.871493E-42.0E-41.06866552.871306E-41.0E-44.2326056E-48.0182205E-44.0E-40.498863820.00100166162.0E-40.00514102770.0097186010.00540.55563550.0116001360.00190.050237080.095297350.05990.628558930.113391410.02
6.49.877682E-51.871493E-42.0E-41.06866552.871306E-41.0E-44.2326056E-48.0182205E-44.0E-40.498863820.00100166162.0E-40.00514102770.0097186010.00540.55563550.0116001360.00190.050237080.095297350.05990.628558930.113391410.02
6.59.861474E-51.8688908E-42.0E-41.07015352.868704E-41.0E-44.2256617E-48.007075E-44.0E-40.49955820.00100054732.0E-40.00513261320.0097051520.00540.55640550.0115867130.00190.0501567460.095175720.05940.624108730.1132722050.02
6.69.861474E-51.8688908E-42.0E-41.07015352.868704E-41.0E-44.2256617E-48.007075E-44.0E-40.49955820.00100054732.0E-40.00513261320.0097051520.00540.55640550.0115867130.00190.0501567460.095175720.05940.624108730.1132722050.02
6.79.8552715E-51.8678943E-42.0E-41.07072442.8677075E-41.0E-44.223004E-48.002807E-44.0E-40.499824640.00100012072.0E-40.00512939270.0097000020.00540.55670090.0115815730.00190.0501259980.095128950.05940.62441560.113226380.02
6.89.8464974E-51.8664311E-42.0E-41.07156372.8662445E-41.0E-44.219245E-47.9965405E-44.0E-40.50021639.994941E-42.0E-40.00512483760.0096924410.00540.55713520.0115740250.00190.050082510.09505950.05940.62487180.113158310.02
6.99.825824E-51.8632699E-42.0E-41.07338182.8630835E-41.0E-44.2103877E-47.983E-44.0E-40.50106489.981403E-42.0E-40.00511410460.0096761020.00540.558075960.0115577180.00190.0499800220.0949096160.05940.62585860.113011420.02
7.09.781462E-51.8564856E-42.0E-41.07730422.8563E-41.0E-44.1913814E-47.953943E-44.0E-40.502895249.952352E-42.0E-40.0050910730.0096410380.00540.56010560.0115227210.00190.049760070.094588640.05910.624810760.1126063240.0199
7.19.7121134E-51.8467633E-42.0E-41.08297572.8465787E-41.0E-44.1616702E-47.912301E-44.0E-40.50554199.910719E-42.0E-40.0050550680.0095907870.00530.55261370.0113735240.00180.049416130.0941285940.05890.625739750.1120648460.0198
7.29.663819E-51.8399193E-42.0E-41.08700422.8397352E-41.0E-44.1409794E-47.882987E-44.0E-40.507421859.88141E-42.0E-40.00502999360.00955541150.00520.54419430.0113382120.00180.0491765370.093804270.05880.626837130.1117469440.0198
7.39.6277574E-51.8352667E-42.0E-41.08975982.8350833E-41.0E-44.125529E-47.863059E-44.0E-40.50870789.861487E-42.0E-40.00501126940.0095313620.00520.54556740.0113142050.00180.048997590.093581440.05860.626192570.111528520.0198
7.49.593308E-51.8293511E-42.0E-41.09328382.8291682E-41.0E-44.1107697E-47.837722E-44.0E-40.51035249.836155E-42.0E-40.00499338240.0095007830.00520.54732330.0112836820.00180.048826610.093303430.05850.62698660.111165350.0197
7.59.561707E-51.8240555E-42.0E-41.09645782.823873E-41.0E-44.0972308E-47.815041E-44.0E-40.511833559.813478E-42.0E-40.00497697430.0094734090.00520.548904840.0112563570.00180.0486697440.09305330.05850.628671940.110920150.0197
7.69.418194E-51.7898521E-42.0E-41.11741082.7896732E-41.0E-44.0357444E-47.6685415E-44.0E-40.52161169.667008E-42.0E-40.0049024540.0092965810.00510.548588750.0110798480.00180.0479570250.091452520.05750.628741560.109169190.0195
7.78.202141E-51.5405942E-41.0E-40.64910022.5404402E-41.0E-43.51473E-46.600876E-43.0E-40.454485128.599556E-42.0E-40.004270790.0080070030.00440.5495190.0096933910.00170.041896390.079471510.04810.60524830.094660240.0165
7.87.2859846E-51.3962708E-41.0E-40.716193442.3961312E-41.0E-43.1221908E-45.9826457E-43.0E-40.50145047.981449E-42.0E-40.0037946430.0072595810.00410.56477090.00874869150.00150.0373049750.072223190.04360.603684250.085861510.0147
7.95.3874453E-59.656534E-51.0E-41.03556821.9655569E-41.0E-42.3087008E-44.1378583E-43.0E-40.72501286.1370304E-42.0E-40.00280722020.0050262150.00310.61676630.00612068640.00110.027720220.05060020.03120.616598370.0606638380.0106
8.03.468538E-55.2004732E-51.0E-41.92290191.5199953E-41.0E-41.4864317E-42.2285839E-43.0E-41.34614634.228138E-42.0E-40.00180822830.00270992660.00180.66422460.00340802977.0E-40.0179358530.0278382260.0170.61067110.033768410.0061
8.11.9152367E-51.8336963E-51.0E-45.4534661.1833513E-41.0E-48.207899E-57.858462E-52.0E-42.54502732.785689E-42.0E-49.988535E-49.563484E-46.0E-40.627386450.00125606153.0E-40.0099437570.0102966820.00680.660406950.012869910.0026
8.28.643924E-65.06885E-60.00.05.06885E-60.03.704486E-52.1723463E-51.0E-44.60331771.2172129E-41.0E-44.5092785E-42.6445114E-42.0E-40.75628343.644247E-41.0E-40.00450013950.00302592730.00220.72704990.0037238097.0E-4
8.31.983087E-66.9765395E-70.00.06.9765395E-70.08.498917E-62.9899422E-60.00.02.9899422E-60.01.034694E-43.640195E-50.00.03.640195E-50.00.00103421244.3255524E-42.0E-40.462368675.32512E-41.0E-4

Green Valley 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.9629346E-51.723003E-40.00.01.723003E-40.04.2691303E-47.3821814E-41.0E-40.135461328.3814433E-41.0E-40.00518528560.0089493810.00570.636915560.0110305870.00210.0506595150.085190730.05640.662043870.101108410.0174
6.19.88615E-51.7077432E-40.00.01.7077432E-40.04.2362334E-47.3168206E-41.0E-40.13667148.316089E-41.0E-40.00514542360.0088704590.00560.63130890.0109518320.00210.0502790440.084478530.05460.64631810.0996761840.0166
6.29.696895E-51.6717147E-40.00.01.6717147E-40.04.15515E-47.1624975E-41.0E-40.13961618.1617816E-41.0E-40.00504716670.0086841650.00530.610306260.0106667970.0020.049340630.082789450.05330.64380180.09783170.0164
6.39.275224E-51.589701E-40.00.01.589701E-40.03.9744904E-46.811196E-40.00.06.811196E-40.00.00482821050.0082597430.00490.59323880.0099457020.00170.0472464750.078929250.05110.64741520.093297960.0156
6.48.391499E-51.4298713E-40.00.01.4298713E-40.03.595861E-46.126609E-40.00.06.126609E-40.00.0043691750.0074325190.00430.57853870.008921370.00150.042842650.0713164660.04690.65763220.084782380.0145
6.55.9519385E-59.880607E-50.00.09.880607E-50.02.5505814E-44.2338544E-40.00.04.2338544E-40.00.00310091120.00514141330.00340.66129680.0065342150.00140.0305799660.0499057170.03440.689299760.059406660.01
6.64.5361558E-57.362437E-50.00.07.362437E-50.01.9439218E-43.1549318E-40.00.03.1549318E-40.00.00236415580.0038334050.00260.67824820.0049291880.00110.0233916230.037480220.02620.69903540.0445066130.0073
6.73.8808106E-56.230829E-50.00.06.230829E-50.01.6630985E-42.670088E-40.00.02.670088E-40.00.00202294180.00324532040.00210.647085550.00414249.0E-40.0200462560.031846770.02110.66254760.037462060.0058
6.82.2284667E-53.1184663E-50.00.03.1184663E-50.09.550222E-51.3364178E-40.00.01.3364178E-40.00.00116211920.00162587450.00110.6765590.00192538673.0E-40.0115606070.0161178690.01050.65145090.0188727380.0028
6.91.8050168E-52.4380426E-50.00.02.4380426E-50.07.735557E-51.0448336E-40.00.01.0448336E-40.09.4139716E-40.00127134570.0010.78656810.00157096423.0E-40.0093741910.0126333750.00810.64115890.0147068440.0021
7.01.4763166E-51.95367E-50.00.01.95367E-50.06.326917E-58.3726045E-50.00.08.3726045E-50.07.7002996E-40.00101888919.0E-40.88331490.00121868542.0E-40.0076736720.0101423560.00730.719753860.01192410.0018
7.11.2399713E-51.626603E-50.00.01.626603E-50.05.3140546E-56.9709706E-50.00.06.9709706E-50.06.467941E-48.483872E-47.0E-40.825094949.4830233E-41.0E-40.0064491480.0084520310.00630.745382960.0099393530.0015
7.21.0584195E-51.3887744E-50.00.01.3887744E-50.04.5360044E-55.9517555E-50.00.05.9517555E-50.05.521186E-47.243869E-47.0E-40.96633448.243145E-41.0E-40.00550748870.0072210060.00550.76166680.0084123410.0012
7.37.998173E-61.0516018E-50.00.01.0516018E-50.03.4277433E-54.5067874E-50.00.04.5067874E-50.04.1724785E-45.485643E-45.0E-40.91147026.485095E-41.0E-40.0041646530.0054724120.0040.730939150.0064669390.001
7.46.7571127E-68.911162E-60.00.08.911162E-60.02.8958733E-53.819014E-50.00.03.819014E-50.03.5251552E-44.6486672E-45.0E-41.07557715.6482025E-41.0E-40.00351956860.00463911840.00340.73289790.0055349439.0E-4
7.55.69878E-67.4981904E-60.00.07.4981904E-60.02.4423114E-53.213471E-50.00.03.213471E-50.02.9731085E-43.9117076E-45.0E-41.27821424.911316E-41.0E-40.0029691340.00390498060.00290.74264130.00460224747.0E-4
7.64.503664E-65.9203985E-60.00.05.9203985E-60.01.9301275E-52.5372896E-50.00.02.5372896E-50.02.3496768E-43.0887203E-44.0E-41.29503464.0884115E-41.0E-40.0023471940.00308452340.00250.8104980.00368267276.0E-4
7.71.0873546E-61.4062297E-60.00.01.4062297E-60.04.6600826E-66.0266852E-60.00.06.0266852E-60.05.6735033E-57.337245E-50.00.07.337245E-50.05.672055E-47.335298E-41.0E-40.136327127.335298E-40.0
7.84.9373917E-86.172147E-80.00.06.172147E-80.02.1160248E-72.645206E-70.00.02.645206E-70.02.5762572E-63.2205346E-60.00.03.2205346E-60.02.5762274E-53.221324E-50.00.03.221324E-50.0

San Andreas (San Gorgonio Pass-Garnet HIll)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.31567E-52.3059062E-43.0E-41.30100693.3056756E-41.0E-43.5633717E-49.878688E-48.0E-40.809824170.00128757233.0E-40.0043297780.0119609010.00830.693927650.0147274110.00280.0424638280.111244870.06710.60317390.12706470.0178
6.18.31567E-52.3059062E-43.0E-41.30100693.3056756E-41.0E-43.5633717E-49.878688E-48.0E-40.809824170.00128757233.0E-40.0043297780.0119609010.00830.693927650.0147274110.00280.0424638280.111244870.06710.60317390.12706470.0178
6.28.31567E-52.3059062E-43.0E-41.30100693.3056756E-41.0E-43.5633717E-49.878688E-48.0E-40.809824170.00128757233.0E-40.0043297780.0119609010.00830.693927650.0147274110.00280.0424638280.111244870.06710.60317390.12706470.0178
6.38.31567E-52.3059062E-43.0E-41.30100693.3056756E-41.0E-43.5633717E-49.878688E-48.0E-40.809824170.00128757233.0E-40.0043297780.0119609010.00830.693927650.0147274110.00280.0424638280.111244870.06710.60317390.12706470.0178
6.48.059055E-52.261841E-43.0E-41.32635323.2616148E-41.0E-43.4534236E-49.6900074E-48.0E-40.825592760.001268713.0E-40.00419643940.0117340020.00820.698823750.0145011470.00280.0411807450.1092307340.06510.595986070.1244628950.0171
6.58.059055E-52.261841E-43.0E-41.32635323.2616148E-41.0E-43.4534236E-49.6900074E-48.0E-40.825592760.001268713.0E-40.00419643940.0117340020.00820.698823750.0145011470.00280.0411807450.1092307340.06510.595986070.1244628950.0171
6.67.619237E-52.1865996E-43.0E-41.37199333.186381E-41.0E-43.2649786E-49.3677983E-48.0E-40.853989360.00123649883.0E-40.00396786770.0113461830.0080.705082950.0141144130.00280.038977640.1057750960.06250.590876340.1204403860.0164
6.77.440636E-52.1542578E-43.0E-41.3925913.1540424E-41.0E-43.188454E-49.2292886E-48.0E-40.86680570.0012226523.0E-40.00387503460.0111792860.00780.6977190.0138491020.00270.0380815640.104284660.06170.591649830.1187952460.0162
6.87.3735864E-52.1390217E-43.0E-41.40251043.1388077E-41.0E-43.1597257E-49.1640366E-48.0E-40.872977730.00121612883.0E-40.00384018150.0111006560.00770.69365270.0137706850.00270.037744950.103587330.06080.58694440.118019570.0161
6.97.27575E-52.1159927E-43.0E-41.41777423.115781E-41.0E-43.117806E-49.0654107E-48.0E-40.88247520.00120626913.0E-40.0037893230.0109817950.00770.70116040.0136521450.00270.0372535620.102536870.06040.58905640.116896280.016
7.07.102591E-52.0745603E-43.0E-41.44608953.074353E-41.0E-43.0436125E-48.887965E-48.0E-40.900093560.00118852993.0E-40.0036993030.0107679090.00760.705800950.0134388350.00270.036383250.100643390.0590.58622830.114763280.0157
7.17.028513E-52.0582002E-43.0E-41.45758413.0579945E-41.0E-43.0118722E-48.817898E-48.0E-40.90724570.00118152533.0E-40.00366078970.01068344250.00740.69266060.0132556650.00260.0360106860.0998887350.05770.577642740.113840450.0155
7.26.8498244E-52.0191442E-43.0E-41.4857783.0189424E-41.0E-42.9353087E-48.650627E-48.0E-40.92478850.00116480323.0E-40.0035678830.0104817650.00710.677366850.0128566080.00240.0351114050.098084910.05630.573992430.1117038350.0151
7.36.622592E-51.942334E-43.0E-41.54453352.94214E-41.0E-42.8379448E-48.321655E-48.0E-40.96134730.00113191583.0E-40.00344972430.01008501650.00680.674267650.0124608120.00240.0339666120.094595920.05440.57507770.10799590.0148
7.45.1050705E-51.442501E-42.0E-41.38648091.442501E-40.02.1877038E-46.180691E-47.0E-41.13255948.1794546E-42.0E-40.0026602760.00749921470.00510.680071230.0091864660.00170.026286540.0717207640.04120.574450140.082581630.0117
7.53.9302922E-51.090516E-42.0E-41.83399421.090516E-40.01.6843023E-44.6728062E-45.0E-41.07002085.672339E-41.0E-40.00204870920.00567436820.00360.634431840.0066686940.0010.0202992470.0550155380.02940.53439450.06352040.009
7.62.9851626E-58.29471E-51.0E-41.20558768.29471E-50.01.2792926E-43.5543926E-44.0E-41.12536814.554037E-41.0E-40.00155642590.00431891070.00270.625157650.00521502369.0E-40.01545569950.042295760.0240.56743270.0494785460.0075
7.72.1135214E-56.1746876E-51.0E-41.61951526.1746876E-50.09.0576345E-52.6460266E-43.0E-41.13377553.645762E-41.0E-40.00110220910.00321678350.00140.435217350.00381485336.0E-40.0109675820.0317775270.01830.57587860.037877330.0063
7.81.883379E-55.400391E-51.0E-41.85171785.400391E-50.08.0713755E-52.3142481E-43.0E-41.29631733.3140168E-41.0E-49.822468E-40.00281395950.00140.49751960.00341227126.0E-40.00977916550.0279521030.01590.56883020.0332983660.0055
7.91.5156185E-54.0309144E-50.00.04.0309144E-50.06.495346E-51.7274205E-42.0E-41.15779582.7272478E-41.0E-47.9052144E-40.0021011070.00120.571127530.00260005645.0E-40.0078771520.0211377480.01220.57716650.025248970.0042
8.01.1405907E-52.8952269E-50.00.02.8952269E-50.04.8881542E-51.2407526E-42.0E-41.61192492.2406285E-41.0E-45.9497025E-40.00150957040.00110.72868410.00200881555.0E-40.0059337980.0152967530.00910.59489750.0187432130.0035
8.14.3511436E-66.9981506E-60.00.06.9981506E-60.01.8647626E-52.999173E-51.0E-43.33425241.2998874E-41.0E-42.2701119E-43.6508826E-42.0E-40.547812764.6505174E-41.0E-40.00226779420.00393064370.00210.53426360.00462789237.0E-4
8.22.3042528E-62.5601144E-60.00.02.5601144E-60.09.875332E-61.0971872E-51.0E-49.1142151.10970774E-41.0E-41.2022553E-41.335744E-41.0E-40.74864652.3356103E-41.0E-40.00120160510.00150738910.0010.663398740.00180693683.0E-4
8.35.202968E-72.9122552E-70.00.02.9122552E-70.02.2298414E-61.2481089E-60.00.01.2481089E-60.02.714798E-51.519563E-50.00.01.519563E-50.02.7144665E-41.8159587E-40.00.01.8159587E-40.0

West Napa 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.773104E-54.4435765E-51.0E-42.25043944.4435765E-50.01.6169442E-41.9042689E-46.0E-43.15081554.9036974E-43.0E-40.0019668520.00231629820.0041.72689340.0047107390.00240.0194953480.0229546460.02661.15880680.0366332830.014
6.13.773104E-54.4435765E-51.0E-42.25043944.4435765E-50.01.6169442E-41.9042689E-46.0E-43.15081554.9036974E-43.0E-40.0019668520.00231629820.0041.72689340.0047107390.00240.0194953480.0229546460.02661.15880680.0366332830.014
6.23.773104E-54.4435765E-51.0E-42.25043944.4435765E-50.01.6169442E-41.9042689E-46.0E-43.15081554.9036974E-43.0E-40.0019668520.00231629820.0041.72689340.0047107390.00240.0194953480.0229546460.02661.15880680.0366332830.014
6.32.147964E-52.4935453E-51.0E-44.0103542.4935453E-50.09.2052345E-51.0686237E-44.0E-43.74313263.06841E-42.0E-40.0011201610.00130036430.00231.76873530.00259867380.00130.0111453150.0129379020.01481.14392590.0204395730.0076
6.42.147964E-52.4935453E-51.0E-44.0103542.4935453E-50.09.2052345E-51.0686237E-44.0E-43.74313263.06841E-42.0E-40.0011201610.00130036430.00231.76873530.00259867380.00130.0111453150.0129379020.01481.14392590.0204395730.0076
6.51.688201E-51.9506135E-51.0E-45.1265921.9506135E-50.07.234947E-58.359545E-54.0E-44.78494932.8357873E-42.0E-48.804988E-40.00101737190.00161.57267960.00191645639.0E-40.0087701820.0101355470.01141.12475430.0155798020.0055
6.61.6846381E-51.9465882E-51.0E-45.1371931.9465882E-50.07.219678E-58.342295E-54.0E-44.7948432.8340626E-42.0E-48.7864127E-40.00101527360.00161.57592980.00191435999.0E-40.0087517540.0101147560.01141.12706630.0155591250.0055
6.71.3396501E-51.5433696E-51.0E-46.47932961.5433696E-50.05.7412315E-56.614309E-53.0E-44.5356212.6612985E-42.0E-46.9877075E-48.050579E-40.00111.36636140.00150449437.0E-40.00696577550.0080288750.00891.10849890.0118975630.0039
6.81.0139058E-51.1644727E-50.00.01.1644727E-50.04.3452383E-54.990533E-51.0E-42.0037941.4990034E-41.0E-45.289043E-46.074833E-46.0E-40.98768140.00110717965.0E-40.0052764730.00606488760.0060.98930110.0087485130.0027
6.97.761281E-68.868197E-60.00.08.868197E-60.03.326221E-53.8006292E-51.0E-42.6311431.3800249E-41.0E-44.0489217E-44.6267957E-46.0E-41.29679389.6244825E-45.0E-40.00404155250.0046234170.00450.97330620.0068132450.0022
7.02.2109202E-62.3560385E-60.00.02.3560385E-60.09.475338E-61.0097269E-50.00.01.0097269E-50.01.1535613E-41.2292739E-40.00.01.2292739E-40.00.00115296270.00122983718.0E-40.650492670.00162934514.0E-4
7.11.9008926E-62.0032421E-60.00.02.0032421E-60.08.146657E-68.585295E-60.00.08.585295E-60.09.918104E-51.0452099E-40.00.01.0452099E-40.09.913679E-40.00104595637.0E-40.669244050.00134564253.0E-4
7.21.8495944E-61.9461174E-60.00.01.9461174E-60.07.926808E-68.340477E-60.00.08.340477E-60.09.650462E-51.015406E-40.00.01.015406E-40.09.6462725E-40.001016187.0E-40.68885430.00131587523.0E-4
7.31.7883189E-61.8781811E-60.00.01.8781811E-60.07.664201E-68.049323E-60.00.08.049323E-60.09.330765E-59.7996126E-50.00.09.7996126E-50.09.3268487E-49.807666E-47.0E-40.71372740.00128047243.0E-4
7.41.6520572E-61.7319906E-60.00.01.7319906E-60.07.0802257E-67.4227955E-60.00.07.4227955E-60.08.6198335E-59.036881E-50.00.09.036881E-50.08.616491E-49.045526E-46.0E-40.663311360.00120428123.0E-4
7.51.4040345E-61.4710724E-60.00.01.4710724E-60.06.0172765E-66.304581E-60.00.06.304581E-60.07.325788E-57.67556E-50.00.07.67556E-50.07.3233736E-47.6848734E-45.0E-40.65062889.683337E-42.0E-4
7.61.3013842E-71.4044763E-70.00.01.4044763E-70.05.57736E-76.0191826E-70.00.06.0191826E-70.06.790414E-67.32833E-60.00.07.32833E-60.06.790207E-57.421106E-52.0E-42.69501611.7420364E-41.0E-4
7.78.541512E-89.388289E-80.00.09.388289E-80.03.6606474E-74.0235517E-70.00.04.0235517E-70.04.456829E-64.898663E-60.00.04.898663E-60.04.4567398E-54.9890572E-50.00.04.9890572E-50.0
7.85.6074793E-86.6233895E-80.00.06.6233895E-80.02.403205E-72.8385952E-70.00.02.8385952E-70.02.9258983E-63.4559841E-60.00.03.4559841E-60.02.9258597E-53.539599E-50.00.03.539599E-50.0
7.92.9475839E-83.6982183E-80.00.03.6982183E-80.01.2632502E-71.5849507E-70.00.01.5849507E-70.01.538006E-61.9296756E-60.00.01.9296756E-60.01.5379954E-51.9840134E-50.00.01.9840134E-50.0
8.01.3337122E-82.0687857E-80.00.02.0687857E-80.05.7159088E-88.866224E-80.00.08.866224E-80.06.959117E-71.0794622E-60.00.01.0794622E-60.06.959095E-61.1155702E-50.00.01.1155702E-50.0
8.12.6589986E-104.6516824E-100.00.04.6516824E-100.01.1395708E-91.9935782E-90.00.01.9935782E-90.01.3874274E-82.4271815E-80.00.02.4271815E-80.01.3874273E-72.495504E-70.00.02.495504E-70.0

Hayward (No) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.3068506E-51.725135E-40.00.01.725135E-40.03.9880406E-47.3913194E-43.0E-40.405881528.39058E-41.0E-40.00484463430.0089616890.00450.50213750.0104482460.00150.0474037040.085728610.05430.63339410.098802690.0143
6.19.055486E-51.6804136E-40.00.01.6804136E-40.03.880345E-47.1997853E-43.0E-40.416679088.1990653E-41.0E-40.00471409040.0087305840.00410.46961350.0101183620.00140.0461533550.083632120.05290.63253210.096552910.0141
6.29.006742E-51.6725084E-40.00.01.6725084E-40.03.859461E-47.165929E-43.0E-40.418647778.1652123E-41.0E-40.00468877420.0086897260.00390.44880590.0100775590.00140.04591070.083257640.05270.6329750.09618370.0141
6.38.8336754E-51.6405726E-40.00.01.6405726E-40.03.7853114E-47.0291373E-43.0E-40.426794928.028434E-41.0E-40.0045988820.0085245480.00390.457502250.0099126140.00140.045048660.081758380.05210.637243570.094705580.0141
6.48.526157E-51.5834384E-40.00.01.5834384E-40.03.6535555E-46.784406E-43.0E-40.44219057.7837275E-41.0E-40.00443913460.0082288880.00390.473940130.0096173670.00140.0435149930.079046740.05030.63633240.091387510.0134
6.58.152396E-51.5169044E-40.00.01.5169044E-40.03.493416E-46.4994063E-43.0E-40.46158067.498756E-41.0E-40.00424494180.0078844640.00370.469277260.0091742150.00130.041647650.075888290.04810.63382640.087901740.013
6.67.987405E-51.4874262E-40.00.01.4874262E-40.03.4227243E-46.373133E-43.0E-40.47072617.3724956E-41.0E-40.00415920650.00773183860.00370.478540780.0090217870.00130.040822180.074484460.04750.63771690.08623850.0127
6.77.777665E-51.4514761E-40.00.01.4514761E-40.03.332859E-46.219135E-43.0E-40.482382157.2185136E-41.0E-40.0040502080.00754566160.00370.490347980.0088358520.00130.0397718060.07276520.04620.634918870.084355640.0125
6.87.3284005E-51.3671412E-40.00.01.3671412E-40.03.140365E-45.857867E-42.0E-40.34142125.857867E-40.00.00381669290.00710876570.00330.46421560.00830023550.00120.0375180360.068702730.04310.62734050.079505770.0116
6.96.458263E-51.2015803E-40.00.01.2015803E-40.02.7675333E-45.1486184E-42.0E-40.388453725.1486184E-40.00.00336426640.00625052540.00290.4639610.0072442750.0010.0331378840.060688180.03810.627799330.0705509560.0105
7.05.3853604E-59.924897E-50.00.09.924897E-50.02.3078074E-44.252837E-42.0E-40.47027434.252837E-40.00.00280613520.00516559980.00270.522688570.00606095059.0E-40.0277096420.0504850560.03160.62592780.058840790.0088
7.14.4308683E-58.082263E-50.00.08.082263E-50.01.8988053E-43.4633692E-42.0E-40.57747233.4633692E-40.00.00230934420.004208540.0020.475224170.00480601476.0E-40.0228549260.0414013970.02460.594182850.047919870.0068
7.23.295973E-56.0015085E-50.00.06.0015085E-50.01.4124835E-42.5718228E-41.0E-40.38882932.5718228E-40.00.00171834210.00312672070.00160.51171830.00372484476.0E-40.0170511570.031002480.01950.62898190.0365257670.0057
7.32.452256E-54.4564884E-50.00.04.4564884E-50.01.05092455E-41.9097845E-41.0E-40.52361931.9097845E-40.00.00127874960.00232269660.00140.60274770.0029213036.0E-40.01271416250.0231404860.01550.66982170.0275363550.0045
7.41.8829967E-53.4095287E-50.00.03.4095287E-50.08.069736E-51.4611453E-41.0E-40.68439461.4611453E-40.09.820475E-40.00177750250.00110.61884580.0023764366.0E-40.0097771890.0177704620.01230.692159830.021404710.0037
7.51.26374125E-52.2572262E-50.00.02.2572262E-50.05.4159216E-59.673471E-51.0E-41.03375529.673471E-50.06.5918895E-40.00117711437.0E-40.59467460.00157664364.0E-40.006572370.0118165520.00850.719329950.0142870110.0025
7.64.666429E-68.338984E-60.00.08.338984E-60.01.9998828E-53.573802E-50.00.03.573802E-50.02.4345852E-44.350247E-41.0E-40.2298725.349812E-41.0E-40.00243191980.00438892930.00270.61518420.00518541838.0E-4
7.73.8399318E-76.8722426E-70.00.06.8722426E-70.01.6456839E-62.9452435E-60.00.02.9452435E-60.02.003602E-53.585775E-50.00.03.585775E-50.02.0034213E-43.7331492E-42.0E-40.535740735.732403E-42.0E-4
7.82.5637698E-75.140948E-70.00.05.140948E-70.01.098758E-62.2032614E-60.00.02.2032614E-60.01.3377297E-52.6824378E-50.00.02.6824378E-50.01.3376492E-42.8144897E-41.0E-40.35530423.8142083E-41.0E-4
7.91.7141245E-73.5750372E-70.00.03.5750372E-70.07.3462456E-71.532158E-60.00.01.532158E-60.08.944017E-61.8653864E-50.00.01.8653864E-50.08.943657E-51.9497327E-41.0E-40.51289082.9495376E-41.0E-4
8.01.1808895E-72.643345E-70.00.02.643345E-70.05.060954E-71.1328616E-60.00.01.1328616E-60.06.161694E-61.37925035E-50.00.01.37925035E-50.06.161523E-51.4298939E-41.0E-40.699352562.4297509E-41.0E-4
8.15.138535E-81.0803121E-70.00.01.0803121E-70.02.2022292E-74.629908E-70.00.04.629908E-70.02.6812106E-65.636899E-60.00.05.636899E-60.02.6811784E-55.8068086E-50.00.05.8068086E-50.0

San Jacinto (Superstition Mtn)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.4193904E-59.526121E-51.0E-41.04974521.9525169E-41.0E-42.7508775E-44.082048E-47.0E-41.71482565.0816394E-41.0E-40.00334405010.00495999170.00360.725807670.00655205550.00160.032941740.0485001130.03560.73401890.061059910.0132
6.16.4193904E-59.526121E-51.0E-41.04974521.9525169E-41.0E-42.7508775E-44.082048E-47.0E-41.71482565.0816394E-41.0E-40.00334405010.00495999170.00360.725807670.00655205550.00160.032941740.0485001130.03560.73401890.061059910.0132
6.25.7023593E-58.244546E-51.0E-41.2129231.8243722E-41.0E-42.4436394E-43.5329885E-45.0E-41.41523254.532635E-41.0E-40.0029710720.0042945660.0030.69855720.0055889830.00130.0293166250.042157970.02990.709237160.0527900160.0111
6.35.6940098E-58.229117E-51.0E-41.21519721.8228294E-41.0E-42.4400617E-43.5263775E-45.0E-41.41788554.526025E-41.0E-40.0029667280.0042865490.0030.69986370.00558097660.00130.0292743310.042081480.02990.710526350.0527143780.0111
6.45.4171585E-57.6791446E-51.0E-41.30222831.7678377E-41.0E-42.3214328E-43.2907393E-45.0E-41.51941544.2904104E-41.0E-40.00282268130.0040007550.0030.749858440.0052955540.00130.027870960.0393726340.02830.718773370.0495552830.0106
6.54.375144E-55.5749737E-51.0E-41.79373041.5574416E-41.0E-41.874927E-42.3891217E-43.0E-41.25569163.3888826E-41.0E-40.00228033380.00290604380.0020.688220860.00360400957.0E-40.0225707570.0288984440.01840.63671250.0352106060.0065
6.62.772192E-52.4909828E-51.0E-44.01447961.2490734E-41.0E-41.1880282E-41.06752144E-42.0E-41.87349872.0674148E-41.0E-40.00144546460.00129895120.00131.00080740.00189817186.0E-40.0143609860.0132401810.0090.6797490.0160031080.0028
6.72.7124124E-52.412848E-51.0E-44.144481.2412606E-41.0E-41.1624106E-41.0340377E-42.0E-41.93416542.0339343E-41.0E-40.00141431610.00125823250.00131.03319540.00185747756.0E-40.0140534870.012837590.00870.67769730.0154042120.0026
6.82.5475807E-52.1622998E-51.0E-44.6247061.2162083E-41.0E-41.0917746E-49.266676E-52.0E-42.1582711.9265749E-41.0E-40.0013284250.00112764550.00110.97548390.00152719444.0E-40.01320511850.0115399110.00720.623921630.0136156770.0021
6.92.1162023E-51.7161407E-51.0E-45.82702831.1715969E-41.0E-49.069123E-57.3546835E-52.0E-42.71935581.7353948E-41.0E-40.00110360648.9506846E-49.0E-41.00550960.00109488952.0E-40.0109814170.0092036410.00530.575859070.0104916760.0013
7.01.8754288E-51.5732507E-51.0E-46.35626651.1573093E-41.0E-48.037304E-56.7423294E-51.0E-41.48316691.6741655E-41.0E-49.781026E-48.2057185E-47.0E-40.853063649.204898E-41.0E-40.0097380870.0084453160.00450.53283970.0093377159.0E-4
7.11.8678527E-51.5658765E-51.0E-46.38621.15657196E-41.0E-48.0048376E-56.710728E-51.0E-41.49015131.6710057E-41.0E-49.7415317E-48.1672723E-47.0E-40.85707939.166456E-41.0E-40.0096989390.0084068850.00430.51148550.0092993199.0E-4
7.21.7804578E-51.4961859E-51.0E-46.68366151.1496036E-41.0E-47.6303106E-56.4120686E-51.0E-41.55955911.6411427E-41.0E-49.285943E-47.80392E-46.0E-40.76884448.803139E-41.0E-40.0092472360.008042550.00420.522222460.0089353119.0E-4
7.31.6583685E-51.4119139E-51.0E-47.0825851.1411773E-41.0E-47.1070994E-56.0509203E-51.0E-41.65264121.6050316E-41.0E-48.649459E-47.3645246E-46.0E-40.81471658.3637884E-41.0E-40.008615870.0076020460.00410.53932850.0084952049.0E-4
7.41.6387552E-51.3984926E-51.0E-47.1505561.1398353E-41.0E-47.023047E-55.9934035E-51.0E-41.66850111.5992804E-41.0E-48.5472054E-47.294545E-46.0E-40.82253258.293815E-41.0E-40.0085144050.0075318860.00410.544352350.0084251079.0E-4
7.51.5790754E-51.3629862E-51.0E-47.33683161.136285E-41.0E-46.767291E-55.8412395E-51.0E-41.71196531.5840656E-41.0E-48.236062E-47.109408E-45.0E-40.703293448.108697E-41.0E-40.0082056040.00734462030.00390.53100090.008238019.0E-4
7.61.4248672E-51.2659667E-51.0E-47.8991021.126584E-41.0E-46.106431E-55.4254597E-51.0E-41.84316181.5424917E-41.0E-47.432043E-46.603511E-45.0E-40.75717297.602851E-41.0E-40.0074072370.00683271140.00390.57078370.00772656179.0E-4
7.71.15449975E-51.0530548E-51.0E-49.49618151.10529494E-41.0E-44.947762E-54.5130142E-51.0E-42.21581391.4512562E-41.0E-46.022235E-45.493217E-45.0E-40.91021356.4926676E-41.0E-40.0060059410.00571399460.00330.577529430.00650942338.0E-4
7.89.1391985E-69.158651E-61.0E-410.9186391.09157736E-41.0E-43.9167408E-53.925077E-51.0E-42.54772071.3924684E-41.0E-44.767588E-44.777739E-45.0E-41.04652015.777261E-41.0E-40.00475737270.00498945550.00320.641352530.0057854648.0E-4
7.96.973017E-67.0668393E-61.0E-414.1505991.0706613E-41.0E-42.9884017E-53.0286104E-51.0E-43.30184441.3028308E-41.0E-43.6377716E-43.6867143E-43.0E-40.813732744.6863456E-41.0E-40.00363182250.00388539260.00250.64343560.0045826737.0E-4
8.05.7638235E-65.9720514E-61.0E-416.7446651.05971456E-41.0E-42.4701867E-52.5594258E-51.0E-43.90712641.255917E-41.0E-43.0070372E-43.1156596E-43.0E-40.96287794.1153483E-41.0E-40.00300297140.0033012880.00210.63611540.00389930726.0E-4
8.15.1124434E-65.2342634E-61.0E-419.1048851.0523374E-41.0E-42.1910288E-52.2432367E-51.0E-44.45784431.2243012E-41.0E-42.6672508E-42.7308028E-43.0E-41.0985783.73053E-41.0E-40.00266405170.00290191940.00190.6547390.00350017856.0E-4
8.21.1075938E-64.960156E-70.00.04.960156E-70.04.7468216E-62.1257797E-60.00.02.1257797E-60.05.779102E-52.5881078E-51.0E-43.86382652.5881078E-50.05.777599E-42.9245572E-43.0E-41.02579632.9245572E-40.0
8.31.3584393E-84.120862E-90.00.04.120862E-90.05.8218827E-81.7660836E-80.00.01.7660836E-80.07.0881396E-72.1502069E-70.00.02.1502069E-70.07.0881174E-62.418362E-60.00.02.418362E-60.0

Ortigalita (North)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.711876E-51.0468789E-41.0E-40.95522031.0468789E-40.03.3046713E-44.4859215E-42.0E-40.44583935.485473E-41.0E-40.0040160160.00544908880.00310.56890250.00604581936.0E-40.0394421030.0532774370.03720.69823180.0636913850.011
6.14.607858E-56.0052193E-50.00.06.0052193E-50.01.9746469E-42.573422E-41.0E-40.388587653.5731646E-41.0E-40.00240148180.00312896890.00140.447431740.00352771724.0E-40.0237569530.0308811270.02080.673550550.036792750.0061
6.24.607858E-56.0052193E-50.00.06.0052193E-50.01.9746469E-42.573422E-41.0E-40.388587653.5731646E-41.0E-40.00240148180.00312896890.00140.447431740.00352771724.0E-40.0237569530.0308811270.02080.673550550.036792750.0061
6.33.327423E-54.2353746E-50.00.04.2353746E-50.01.4259605E-41.8150471E-41.0E-40.55094992.8148654E-41.0E-40.00173472440.00220782669.0E-40.40764070.00250716443.0E-40.0172124520.0218834370.01390.63518360.0260893390.0043
6.42.7732503E-53.4902085E-50.00.03.4902085E-50.01.1884817E-41.4957308E-41.0E-40.66856952.4955813E-41.0E-40.0014460160.00181976657.0E-40.384664740.00201940262.0E-40.0143664280.0180716920.01140.63082080.0213120560.0033
6.52.7689714E-53.485199E-50.00.03.485199E-50.01.186648E-41.4935841E-41.0E-40.66953042.493435E-41.0E-40.00144378640.00181715737.0E-40.385217070.00201679372.0E-40.0143444210.0180460250.01140.63171810.0212864730.0033
6.62.2976905E-52.8641503E-50.00.02.8641503E-50.09.846873E-51.2274482E-41.0E-40.814698342.2273255E-41.0E-40.00119819750.00149363095.0E-40.33475470.00169333222.0E-40.0119175740.0148591870.00890.598956050.0170264970.0022
6.71.9871539E-52.4836998E-50.00.02.4836998E-50.08.516096E-51.064412E-41.0E-40.939485852.0643056E-41.0E-40.00103634150.00129539194.0E-40.308786870.00139526231.0E-40.0103152180.0129019740.00770.59680790.014876170.002
6.86.5640475E-67.5928892E-60.00.07.5928892E-60.02.813133E-53.2540564E-50.00.03.2540564E-50.03.424451E-43.961122E-41.0E-40.25245373.961122E-40.00.00341917880.00395434770.00240.60692690.00475118458.0E-4
6.95.6219683E-66.491215E-60.00.06.491215E-60.02.4093928E-52.7819211E-50.00.02.7819211E-50.02.933041E-43.3864882E-41.0E-40.295291163.3864882E-40.00.00292917270.00338158380.00210.62101080.0039795556.0E-4
7.03.875591E-64.4773983E-60.00.04.4773983E-60.01.6609569E-51.9188721E-50.00.01.9188721E-50.02.0220275E-42.3359974E-41.0E-40.428082672.3359974E-40.00.00202018860.00233374960.00160.6855920.00263304943.0E-4
7.11.6017933E-61.8539527E-60.00.01.8539527E-60.06.8648105E-67.945493E-60.00.07.945493E-60.08.357586E-59.673315E-50.00.09.673315E-50.08.3544437E-49.6701476E-49.0E-40.930699350.0010669181.0E-4

San Andreas (Santa Cruz Mts) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.7221631E-41.3359381E-42.0E-41.49707542.3358045E-41.0E-47.378611E-45.7242124E-47.0E-41.22287570.0010721355.0E-40.0089465150.006947320.00390.56136760.0082382890.00130.085947940.0684596150.04230.617882550.0804764850.0129
6.11.7221631E-41.3359381E-42.0E-41.49707542.3358045E-41.0E-47.378611E-45.7242124E-47.0E-41.22287570.0010721355.0E-40.0089465150.006947320.00390.56136760.0082382890.00130.085947940.0684596150.04230.617882550.0804764850.0129
6.21.7221631E-41.3359381E-42.0E-41.49707542.3358045E-41.0E-47.378611E-45.7242124E-47.0E-41.22287570.0010721355.0E-40.0089465150.006947320.00390.56136760.0082382890.00130.085947940.0684596150.04230.617882550.0804764850.0129
6.31.716926E-41.3279845E-42.0E-41.50604162.3278517E-41.0E-47.3561794E-45.6901405E-47.0E-41.2301980.00106872965.0E-40.0089194280.00690610050.00390.56471810.0081971220.00130.085698090.068077980.04230.62134630.080099780.0129
6.41.6392978E-41.3165445E-42.0E-41.51912822.3164129E-41.0E-47.02367E-45.641133E-47.0E-41.24088540.00106383135.0E-40.0085178390.00684680980.00390.56960840.0081379090.00130.081986540.067374310.0420.6233830.079311920.0128
6.51.5742714E-41.2240767E-42.0E-41.63388452.2239542E-41.0E-46.745133E-45.245005E-47.0E-41.33460320.00102423825.0E-40.008181320.0063673950.00360.565380330.0075597540.00120.0788659450.0628789740.03930.62501020.0741244260.012
6.61.3038084E-41.12178415E-42.0E-41.78287422.121672E-41.0E-45.5865536E-44.806773E-47.0E-41.45627849.804369E-45.0E-40.0067804380.0058367610.00350.599647640.0070297570.00120.06577250.057563030.03560.61845250.067647110.0107
6.71.2867592E-41.0947125E-42.0E-41.82696372.094603E-41.0E-45.5135164E-44.6907936E-47.0E-41.49228489.688448E-45.0E-40.00669206540.0056963020.00340.596878470.00679003630.00110.064940930.0562838950.03460.614740670.066004170.0103
6.81.2801298E-41.0885359E-42.0E-41.83733052.088427E-41.0E-45.485117E-44.6643318E-47.0E-41.50075099.6619996E-45.0E-40.00665770050.00566426660.00340.600254240.0067580360.00110.064617380.0560003070.03450.616068070.06572350.0103
6.91.269149E-41.0729105E-42.0E-41.86408842.0728032E-41.0E-45.4380763E-44.5973898E-47.0E-41.52260329.595091E-45.0E-40.0066007770.00558318520.00340.60897140.00667704360.00110.064081220.055277110.03420.6187010.064913280.0102
7.01.2030331E-41.0465304E-42.0E-41.91107692.0464257E-41.0E-45.154837E-44.4843715E-47.0E-41.56097699.482129E-45.0E-40.0062579690.0054462810.00330.605918050.006540290.00110.060846480.0539844260.03350.62054930.0634445850.01
7.18.049617E-55.119293E-52.0E-43.90678951.511878E-41.0E-43.4493793E-42.1937999E-45.0E-42.27915055.193142E-43.0E-40.00419153460.0026677120.0020.749706150.00326611126.0E-40.0411335160.0282523170.01690.598181070.0329167060.0048
7.27.093979E-54.053063E-51.0E-42.46726971.4052658E-41.0E-43.0399222E-41.7369125E-43.0E-41.72720273.736565E-42.0E-40.00369482530.0021126610.00150.710005040.00251181594.0E-40.036339940.0227214840.01310.576546850.0265328720.0039
7.36.193693E-52.7079577E-51.0E-43.69281981.2707687E-41.0E-42.6541698E-41.1605017E-42.0E-41.72339253.1602697E-42.0E-40.00322666370.00141199679.0E-40.63739530.0017115733.0E-40.0318021330.0155404260.00890.57269990.0181984660.0027
7.45.906492E-52.5300913E-51.0E-43.95242671.2529838E-41.0E-42.5311083E-41.0842798E-42.0E-41.84454243.084063E-42.0E-40.00307726980.00131931258.0E-40.60637640.00161891663.0E-40.0303500440.01455634550.00850.583937760.0170199550.0025
7.55.424296E-52.308302E-51.0E-44.3321891.2308071E-41.0E-42.324491E-49.8923476E-52.0E-42.02176482.989037E-42.0E-40.0028263950.0012037298.0E-40.664601450.00150336783.0E-40.0279071650.0133127640.00790.59341550.0154834750.0022
7.64.43084E-51.861554E-51.0E-45.37185571.1861368E-41.0E-41.8987931E-47.9778445E-52.0E-42.50694272.797625E-42.0E-40.00230932969.7087E-48.0E-40.82400320.00127057873.0E-40.0228547830.0107222510.00690.64352160.0127997330.0021
7.74.118098E-51.770064E-51.0E-45.6495131.1769887E-41.0E-41.7647797E-47.5857686E-52.0E-42.6365162.7584253E-42.0E-40.0021465029.231762E-48.0E-40.866573450.00122289933.0E-40.0212588660.0102081720.00680.6661330.0122867350.0021
7.83.5408906E-51.7357746E-51.0E-45.76111651.1735601E-41.0E-41.5174363E-47.438822E-52.0E-42.68859772.7437333E-42.0E-40.00184591319.053005E-47.0E-40.773223940.00110511952.0E-40.0183065520.0100066340.00660.659562470.0119866210.002
7.92.5860836E-51.6212196E-51.0E-46.1681961.1621058E-41.0E-41.10827445E-46.9478985E-52.0E-42.87856822.694651E-42.0E-40.0013484898.455786E-47.0E-40.82783550.00104540952.0E-40.0134033540.0093211080.0060.643700240.0112033990.0019
8.01.9777332E-51.389101E-51.0E-47.19890071.1388962E-41.0E-48.4757245E-55.953154E-52.0E-43.35956362.5951964E-42.0E-40.00103143097.2455563E-46.0E-40.82809379.2441076E-42.0E-40.0102665670.0080044860.00510.63714270.0093932790.0014
8.11.468494E-51.132595E-51.0E-48.8292811.11324814E-41.0E-46.293394E-54.8538885E-52.0E-44.12040762.485292E-42.0E-47.6595135E-45.9080083E-44.0E-40.67704717.906827E-42.0E-40.00763316640.0065517770.00410.62578440.007843260.0013
8.28.63836E-65.063271E-60.00.05.063271E-60.03.7021015E-52.1699554E-51.0E-44.608391.2169738E-41.0E-44.5063766E-42.641601E-42.0E-40.75711663.6413368E-41.0E-40.0044972490.00302302490.00220.727747860.0037209097.0E-4
8.31.983087E-66.9765395E-70.00.06.9765395E-70.08.498917E-62.9899422E-60.00.02.9899422E-60.01.034694E-43.640195E-50.00.03.640195E-50.00.00103421244.3255524E-42.0E-40.462368675.32512E-41.0E-4

Maacama 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.368203E-42.5635184E-41.0E-40.39008892.5635184E-40.05.862409E-40.00109808466.0E-40.5464060.00119797481.0E-40.00711414960.013270470.00630.474738240.0138625086.0E-40.068906670.123523690.0630.51002360.134654940.0127
6.11.368203E-42.5635184E-41.0E-40.39008892.5635184E-40.05.862409E-40.00109808466.0E-40.5464060.00119797481.0E-40.00711414960.013270470.00630.474738240.0138625086.0E-40.068906670.123523690.0630.51002360.134654940.0127
6.21.360743E-42.5510418E-41.0E-40.39199672.5510418E-40.05.8304524E-40.00109274286.0E-40.54907710.00119263341.0E-40.0070754960.0132062960.00620.469473060.0136996925.0E-40.068544130.122959950.06270.509922150.133922950.0125
6.31.1917239E-42.2215783E-41.0E-40.45013042.2215783E-40.05.1063887E-49.516658E-45.0E-40.52539450.00105157061.0E-40.00619932030.01151291750.00560.486410140.0120071615.0E-40.0602920650.108210770.05530.51103970.117931280.0109
6.41.1859289E-42.2119796E-41.0E-40.452083742.2119796E-40.05.0815626E-49.4755524E-45.0E-40.52767370.00104746051.0E-40.0061692660.011463450.00560.488509120.0119577195.0E-40.060007840.107769110.05520.512206140.1174052060.0108
6.51.09512424E-42.0379502E-41.0E-40.490689132.0379502E-40.04.6925453E-48.7303045E-44.0E-40.458174179.7294315E-41.0E-40.0056982180.0105678450.00510.482596040.0110625615.0E-40.0555430280.099879260.05080.50861410.108610430.0097
6.61.0502928E-41.9539754E-41.0E-40.511777161.9539754E-40.04.500478E-48.370793E-44.0E-40.4778529.369956E-41.0E-40.00546557460.0101354360.00480.473585930.0106303685.0E-40.0533308870.0960412550.04850.50499130.104538470.0094
6.79.739358E-51.8128623E-41.0E-40.551613871.8128623E-40.04.173343E-47.76656E-44.0E-40.51502868.7657827E-41.0E-40.00506921350.0094080740.00460.488941730.009903375.0E-40.0495512670.089531290.04530.50596840.0974523650.0087
6.88.969524E-51.6537543E-41.0E-40.60468471.6537543E-40.03.8435153E-47.085191E-44.0E-40.564557858.0844824E-41.0E-40.00466944320.0085869110.00430.500762160.0090826175.0E-40.0457253870.082101950.04120.50181510.0893533450.0079
6.97.838291E-51.4312066E-41.0E-40.698711161.4312066E-40.03.358835E-46.132103E-44.0E-40.652304777.1314897E-41.0E-40.00408171540.0074367150.00380.51097830.007833744.0E-40.040075540.071558360.03460.483521460.077407540.0063
7.06.961957E-51.2612199E-40.00.01.2612199E-40.02.9833548E-45.403989E-43.0E-40.55514556.403448E-41.0E-40.00362618570.00655717540.00360.54901690.00685520843.0E-40.0356758270.0634208550.03050.480914350.068478380.0054
7.15.999398E-51.0820933E-40.00.01.0820933E-40.02.570917E-44.6366043E-41.0E-40.215675094.6366043E-40.00.00312559940.00562910550.00310.55070910.00582797972.0E-40.0308200160.0547356870.02640.482317860.0593674850.0049
7.25.116532E-59.23087E-50.00.09.23087E-50.02.1926152E-43.955426E-41.0E-40.252817273.955426E-40.00.0026662410.0048044930.00280.58278780.00490401271.0E-40.0263447740.0469426850.02340.49848020.0507549160.004
7.34.2087835E-57.556372E-50.00.07.556372E-50.01.8036396E-43.2380017E-41.0E-40.308832473.2380017E-40.00.00219371960.00393477450.00240.6099460.0040343811.0E-40.02172190.038608350.02040.528383140.041780940.0033
7.42.8991652E-55.077215E-50.00.05.077215E-50.01.2424402E-42.1757593E-41.0E-40.459609662.1757593E-40.00.00151162130.00264576850.00140.52914680.00264576850.00.0150138010.026136860.01450.55477210.0285715180.0025
7.51.1292299E-61.4882911E-60.00.01.4882911E-60.04.8395473E-66.378382E-60.00.06.378382E-60.05.8919897E-57.765527E-51.0E-41.28774267.765527E-50.05.890428E-47.769498E-42.0E-40.257416878.768721E-41.0E-4
7.62.6535366E-73.4464765E-70.00.03.4464765E-70.01.1372296E-61.4770604E-60.00.01.4770604E-60.01.3845682E-51.7983064E-50.00.01.7983064E-50.01.3844819E-41.8031562E-41.0E-40.554583132.802976E-41.0E-4
7.79.727789E-81.217252E-70.00.01.217252E-70.04.1690518E-75.216793E-70.00.05.216793E-70.05.0758085E-66.3514267E-60.00.06.3514267E-60.05.0756928E-56.3888314E-51.0E-41.56523141.6388192E-41.0E-4
7.86.1939325E-97.616068E-90.00.07.616068E-90.02.6545425E-83.2640294E-80.00.03.2640294E-80.03.231905E-73.973955E-70.00.03.973955E-70.03.2319003E-64.0111067E-60.00.04.0111067E-60.0

Rodgers Creek - Healdsburg 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.390182E-51.3031342E-42.0E-41.53476132.3030039E-41.0E-43.1668364E-45.5836583E-44.0E-40.716376257.5825414E-42.0E-40.00384880810.00677687670.0040.59024240.0079687440.00120.0378282780.065689720.04030.61349020.0763408540.0114
6.17.318768E-51.2929743E-41.0E-40.77341062.292845E-41.0E-43.1362378E-45.5401365E-43.0E-40.54150297.5390283E-42.0E-40.00381168540.0067242310.00390.579991940.0079161620.00120.0374696550.065195860.03960.607400540.075759140.0113
6.27.1379836E-51.2623613E-41.0E-40.792166232.262235E-41.0E-43.058777E-45.408993E-43.0E-40.55463197.407911E-42.0E-40.0037177030.0065655350.00370.56354890.00775765630.00120.03656120.063721850.03850.60418830.0740209150.011
6.36.9255926E-51.2279439E-41.0E-40.814369442.2278211E-41.0E-42.9677735E-45.261558E-43.0E-40.57017337.260506E-42.0E-40.00360727850.006387180.00350.54797260.00748015430.00110.0354928230.0620591750.03770.60748470.072095140.0107
6.46.6757144E-51.1857733E-40.00.01.1857733E-40.02.8607066E-45.080899E-41.0E-40.196815575.080899E-40.00.00347734870.00616852050.00320.518762950.0070629699.0E-40.0342343640.0600152460.03650.60817880.069603090.0102
6.56.5735134E-51.1707417E-40.00.01.1707417E-40.02.8169158E-45.016503E-41.0E-40.199342035.016503E-40.00.0034242020.00609057160.00310.508983430.00688569958.0E-40.033719180.0592808050.03560.600531640.0684998560.0098
6.66.289601E-51.1244678E-40.00.01.1244678E-40.02.6952647E-44.8182617E-41.0E-40.207543734.8182617E-40.00.00327654740.00585053350.0030.512773750.0066458538.0E-40.0322865620.0570261850.03410.59797090.0657015440.0092
6.76.115274E-51.0962786E-40.00.01.0962786E-40.02.6205686E-44.6974944E-41.0E-40.212879434.6974944E-40.00.00318587480.00570427950.00290.508390250.0064997168.0E-40.0314058660.055649040.03380.6073780.064337070.0092
6.85.9232367E-51.06314415E-40.00.01.06314415E-40.02.538283E-44.55554E-41.0E-40.219512944.55554E-40.00.00308598040.005532340.00290.52419050.00632791458.0E-40.0304347650.0540207850.03310.61272710.062440.0089
6.95.4030377E-59.731323E-50.00.09.731323E-50.02.315382E-44.1699034E-41.0E-40.239813724.1699034E-40.00.00281533370.0050651040.00240.473830340.0058610528.0E-40.0277993250.049580830.03050.615157070.0574693120.0083
7.04.8260714E-58.655727E-50.00.08.655727E-50.02.0681522E-43.7090728E-41.0E-40.269609183.7090728E-40.00.00251506780.0045064990.00230.5103740.00530289358.0E-40.0248679280.0442599770.02740.619069460.0513324550.0074
7.14.0294493E-57.31159E-50.00.07.31159E-50.01.7267925E-43.1331644E-41.0E-40.319166153.1331644E-40.00.00210034270.0038079930.00190.49895050.0044057086.0E-40.020806020.0375487250.02250.59922140.0435159240.0062
7.23.096388E-55.6294935E-50.00.05.6294935E-50.01.326956E-42.4124181E-41.0E-40.414521842.4124181E-40.00.00161437170.00293318480.00160.545482160.00353142486.0E-40.016026940.0291033950.01840.63222870.0341520570.0052
7.32.3615226E-54.3046974E-50.00.04.3046974E-50.01.0120418E-41.8447405E-41.0E-40.542081651.8447405E-40.00.00123146440.00224367160.00140.623977240.00284232536.0E-40.01224662550.0223526430.01490.66658780.0265565270.0043
7.41.8251132E-53.3060413E-50.00.03.3060413E-50.07.821679E-51.4167985E-41.0E-40.70581671.4167985E-40.09.518733E-40.00172359680.00110.63820030.00232256276.0E-40.0094780630.0172291140.01190.690691350.0206688120.0035
7.51.2411432E-52.2128861E-50.00.02.2128861E-50.05.3190768E-59.483456E-51.0E-41.05446799.483456E-50.06.4740516E-40.00115400487.0E-40.606583240.00155354334.0E-40.0064552230.0115794410.00830.716787640.0139516510.0024
7.64.4771446E-67.959984E-60.00.07.959984E-60.01.918762E-53.411378E-50.00.03.411378E-50.02.3358424E-44.1525727E-41.0E-40.240814575.1521574E-41.0E-40.00233338870.00418369570.00260.621460140.0048807677.0E-4
7.72.157941E-73.4273316E-70.00.03.4273316E-70.09.248315E-71.4688554E-60.00.01.4688554E-60.01.1259765E-51.7883169E-50.00.01.7883169E-50.01.1259195E-41.8532724E-41.0E-40.539586072.8530872E-41.0E-4
7.89.9623286E-81.9087027E-70.00.01.9087027E-70.04.269569E-78.1801517E-70.00.08.1801517E-70.05.1981874E-69.959289E-60.00.09.959289E-60.05.198066E-51.05007646E-40.00.01.05007646E-40.0
7.95.6745257E-81.1275879E-70.00.01.1275879E-70.02.4319394E-74.832519E-70.00.04.832519E-70.02.960882E-65.883576E-60.00.05.883576E-60.02.9608427E-56.2265266E-50.00.06.2265266E-50.0
8.02.8614323E-86.316886E-80.00.06.316886E-80.01.2263281E-72.7072366E-70.00.02.7072366E-70.01.4930534E-63.2960556E-60.00.03.2960556E-60.01.4930434E-53.45655E-50.00.03.45655E-50.0
8.13.5045191E-98.63407E-90.00.08.63407E-90.01.5019367E-83.7003158E-80.00.03.7003158E-80.01.8286079E-74.5051337E-70.00.04.5051337E-70.01.8286064E-64.6761565E-60.00.04.6761565E-60.0

Mission Ridge-Arroyo Parida-Santa Ana

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.169034E-54.7031077E-50.00.04.7031077E-50.01.7866064E-42.0155103E-41.0E-40.496152282.0155103E-40.00.00217302330.0024519580.00281.14194450.00324999638.0E-40.0215189680.0243304730.02611.07272890.0327212330.0086
6.11.73813E-51.6825945E-50.00.01.6825945E-50.07.4489166E-57.210926E-50.00.07.210926E-50.09.065282E-48.7758724E-40.00121.36738540.0011773243.0E-40.0090283910.0087422560.0091.02948260.0116169030.0029
6.21.4622182E-51.3650147E-50.00.01.3650147E-50.06.2664985E-55.8499336E-50.00.05.8499336E-50.07.6267915E-47.1200053E-49.0E-41.26404399.1185817E-42.0E-40.0076006690.0070975350.0070.98625790.009281920.0022
6.31.3552434E-51.2460481E-50.00.01.2460481E-50.05.8080568E-55.340099E-50.00.05.340099E-50.07.069015E-46.4996624E-47.0E-41.0769798.498362E-42.0E-40.007046570.00648091360.00610.941225350.0084679520.002
6.41.30977305E-51.1957998E-50.00.01.1957998E-50.05.613192E-55.124757E-50.00.05.124757E-50.06.831918E-46.237636E-47.0E-41.122228.236388E-42.0E-40.0068109530.0062203710.00590.948496460.0080091750.0018
6.51.225205E-51.1028621E-50.00.01.1028621E-50.05.2507727E-54.7264675E-50.00.04.7264675E-50.06.3909404E-45.7529815E-47.0E-41.21676037.7518314E-42.0E-40.0063725920.00573829650.00540.94104580.00742854130.0017
6.61.1352241E-51.004433E-50.00.01.004433E-50.04.8651553E-54.304643E-50.00.04.304643E-50.05.921717E-45.239664E-45.0E-40.95425976.23914E-41.0E-40.00590596160.00522745450.00470.89909920.00681909030.0016
6.71.0864116E-59.498515E-60.00.09.498515E-60.04.6559664E-54.07073E-50.00.04.07073E-50.05.667165E-44.9550063E-44.0E-40.80726434.9550063E-40.00.0056527340.00494409030.00440.88995140.0062376630.0013
6.81.0666365E-59.281492E-60.00.09.281492E-60.04.571219E-53.9777227E-50.00.03.9777227E-50.05.564038E-44.8418212E-44.0E-40.82613544.8418212E-40.00.0055501270.00483140260.00440.910708670.0061251220.0013
6.91.0038665E-58.574703E-60.00.08.574703E-60.04.302214E-53.674822E-50.00.03.674822E-50.05.236687E-44.4731953E-43.0E-40.67066154.4731953E-40.00.0052243640.00446430030.00410.9183970.0056589430.0012
7.09.5379955E-68.008555E-60.00.08.008555E-60.04.0876483E-53.4321936E-50.00.03.4321936E-50.04.975576E-44.1779116E-43.0E-40.71806214.1779116E-40.00.004964450.00417015470.0040.959197040.00536515050.0012
7.19.207389E-67.63643E-60.00.07.63643E-60.03.945964E-53.2727155E-50.00.03.2727155E-50.04.803152E-43.9838196E-43.0E-40.75304613.9838196E-40.00.0047927840.00397677250.00390.98069480.0050723980.0011
7.27.638091E-65.9180916E-60.00.05.9180916E-60.03.2734264E-52.5363004E-50.00.02.5363004E-50.03.984668E-43.0875113E-43.0E-40.97165633.0875113E-40.00.00397753060.00308317710.00331.07032450.00398040249.0E-4
7.37.2500147E-65.58367E-60.00.05.58367E-60.03.1071122E-52.3929797E-50.00.02.3929797E-50.03.7822526E-42.913066E-43.0E-41.02984272.913066E-40.00.00377582150.00290920170.00311.06558440.00380658349.0E-4
7.46.3899715E-64.907415E-60.00.04.907415E-60.02.7385306E-52.103161E-50.00.02.103161E-50.03.3336508E-42.5602998E-42.0E-40.78115852.5602998E-40.00.00332865420.0025572930.00261.01670.0032555037.0E-4
7.55.379025E-64.07452E-60.00.04.07452E-60.02.305276E-51.7462113E-50.00.01.7462113E-50.02.806312E-42.1258058E-41.0E-40.470409842.1258058E-40.00.00280277080.00212378360.0020.941715540.0028222977.0E-4
7.64.1270696E-63.0808028E-60.00.03.0808028E-60.01.768732E-51.3203375E-50.00.01.3203375E-50.02.1532185E-41.607393E-41.0E-40.62212541.607393E-40.00.00215113330.00160623840.00130.809344350.0020055964.0E-4
7.72.5406805E-61.8229407E-60.00.01.8229407E-60.01.0888585E-57.8125795E-60.00.07.8125795E-60.01.3256045E-49.511407E-50.00.09.511407E-50.00.00132481429.5073966E-47.0E-40.73626890.00105064461.0E-4
7.84.8608285E-73.502888E-70.00.03.502888E-70.02.0832106E-61.5012369E-60.00.01.5012369E-60.02.5362791E-51.8277406E-50.00.01.8277406E-50.02.5359896E-41.8275915E-40.00.01.8275915E-40.0
7.92.0472514E-81.2655905E-80.00.01.2655905E-80.08.7739345E-85.4239592E-80.00.05.4239592E-80.01.068226E-66.603668E-70.00.06.603668E-70.01.0682209E-56.60365E-60.00.06.60365E-60.0
8.04.443582E-92.0207183E-90.00.02.0207183E-90.01.9043922E-88.660222E-90.00.08.660222E-90.02.3185973E-71.054382E-70.00.01.054382E-70.02.3185949E-61.0543815E-60.00.01.0543815E-60.0

Elmore Ranch

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.102099E-58.916474E-50.00.08.916474E-50.03.9003167E-43.82064E-42.0E-40.52347253.82064E-40.00.00473830.0046424220.00410.883159760.00583685050.00120.0463853480.0456597730.03220.705215930.055775780.0106
6.13.8306698E-54.1321364E-50.00.04.1321364E-50.01.6416123E-41.7708354E-41.0E-40.56470521.7708354E-40.00.00199683060.00215432510.00241.11403790.00295260188.0E-40.0197898280.0215152390.01560.725067440.0260162690.0046
6.23.8306698E-54.1321364E-50.00.04.1321364E-50.01.6416123E-41.7708354E-41.0E-40.56470521.7708354E-40.00.00199683060.00215432510.00241.11403790.00295260188.0E-40.0197898280.0215152390.01560.725067440.0260162690.0046
6.33.3197924E-53.6413116E-50.00.03.6413116E-50.01.4226905E-41.5605082E-41.0E-40.640816871.5605082E-40.00.00173074950.00189880510.00221.15862330.0025974767.0E-40.0171733180.0189942080.01320.69494870.022722030.0038
6.42.5148964E-52.7331169E-50.00.02.7331169E-50.01.0777682E-41.1713195E-41.0E-40.8537381.1713195E-40.00.00131139290.00142579220.00130.91177380.00192507945.0E-40.013036810.0143260150.00950.66312930.01708590.0028
6.52.5148964E-52.7331169E-50.00.02.7331169E-50.01.0777682E-41.1713195E-41.0E-40.8537381.1713195E-40.00.00131139290.00142579220.00130.91177380.00192507945.0E-40.013036810.0143260150.00950.66312930.01708590.0028

Calaveras (No) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.8694856E-56.6912864E-52.0E-42.98896172.6689947E-42.0E-42.0867554E-42.867386E-42.0E-40.697499454.8668124E-42.0E-40.00253766450.00348546150.0030.860718130.0044819760.0010.025088810.0344945970.02810.81462030.0441496520.01
6.14.8694856E-56.6912864E-52.0E-42.98896172.6689947E-42.0E-42.0867554E-42.867386E-42.0E-40.697499454.8668124E-42.0E-40.00253766450.00348546150.0030.860718130.0044819760.0010.025088810.0344945970.0280.81172130.0441496520.01
6.24.7541962E-56.525071E-52.0E-43.06510072.6523767E-42.0E-42.0373536E-42.7961668E-42.0E-40.71526494.7956075E-42.0E-40.00247765610.00339904680.0030.882600370.0043956480.0010.0245021340.033659040.02720.80810380.0431291830.0098
6.34.6717287E-56.408853E-52.0E-43.12068342.640757E-42.0E-42.0020158E-42.7463702E-42.0E-40.7282344.7458208E-42.0E-40.00243472960.0033386140.0030.898576440.00433527540.0010.0240822640.0330734440.02680.810317750.0422592460.0095
6.44.6276386E-56.345275E-52.0E-43.15195132.6344007E-42.0E-41.983123E-42.7191287E-42.0E-40.73552974.7185848E-42.0E-40.00241177860.00330555630.00290.877310750.0042025819.0E-40.023857710.0327534750.02640.806021330.0416521430.0092
6.54.5720994E-56.265719E-52.0E-43.19197182.6264467E-42.0E-41.9593239E-42.6850423E-42.0E-40.74486724.6845054E-42.0E-40.0023828670.00326418850.00280.857793570.0041612519.0E-40.0235747750.0323527750.02620.80982230.041255130.0092
6.64.549134E-56.231187E-52.0E-43.20966122.622994E-42.0E-41.949483E-42.670246E-42.0E-40.74899474.669712E-42.0E-40.00237091190.00324622770.00270.831734660.0041433069.0E-40.0234577560.032178970.0260.807981130.0410829220.0092
6.73.701047E-54.9871855E-52.0E-44.01027772.4986189E-42.0E-41.5860666E-42.1371925E-42.0E-40.93580714.1367652E-42.0E-40.00192932580.00259896950.00180.69258220.00329715047.0E-40.0191266130.0258821770.0180.695459250.0316294730.0059
6.83.5523568E-54.7866695E-52.0E-44.1782712.4785713E-42.0E-41.5223498E-42.0512709E-42.0E-40.97500534.0508606E-42.0E-40.00185188510.0024946040.00170.68147090.00319285787.0E-40.0183652840.024860940.01770.71196020.0304192320.0057
6.93.2946147E-54.4215958E-52.0E-44.5232542.4420713E-42.0E-41.4119013E-41.8948343E-42.0E-41.05550133.8944554E-42.0E-40.00171763440.00230456140.00170.73766750.00300294817.0E-40.0170441880.0229962240.01630.7088120.0281743440.0053
7.02.7682381E-53.6654685E-52.0E-45.4563292.3664735E-42.0E-41.1863338E-41.570822E-42.0E-41.27321863.570508E-42.0E-40.00144340440.0019108280.00130.68033330.00250968156.0E-40.014340650.019126270.0140.73197750.023638290.0046
7.12.471967E-53.296512E-52.0E-46.0670192.3295853E-42.0E-41.05937135E-41.412716E-42.0E-41.41571283.4124334E-42.0E-40.00128902150.00171865320.00130.756406250.0023176226.0E-40.01281570.0172240360.01290.748953340.0212534180.0041
7.21.9748062E-52.6486183E-50.00.02.6486183E-50.08.463181E-51.13507405E-40.00.01.13507405E-40.00.00102990520.00138109989.0E-40.65165460.00178054734.0E-40.010251450.0138847250.01060.763428870.0167444590.0029
7.31.1603734E-51.5594125E-50.00.01.5594125E-50.04.9729337E-56.683033E-50.00.06.683033E-50.06.052865E-48.133695E-47.0E-40.860617460.00111312553.0E-40.00603640450.0082125860.00620.754938840.0102953390.0021
7.44.885381E-65.912488E-60.00.05.912488E-60.02.0937177E-52.533899E-50.00.02.533899E-50.02.5488032E-43.084587E-44.0E-41.296774.0842785E-41.0E-40.00254588180.00313910630.00260.82826120.0041359670.001
7.53.0571264E-64.0416694E-60.00.04.0416694E-60.01.3101904E-51.7321327E-50.00.01.7321327E-50.01.5950401E-42.1086683E-42.0E-40.94846593.1084573E-41.0E-40.00159389570.00216368730.00160.73947840.00286217277.0E-4
7.61.764948E-62.687692E-60.00.02.687692E-60.07.564041E-61.1518629E-50.00.01.1518629E-50.09.208831E-51.4023036E-42.0E-41.42622472.4021634E-41.0E-49.205016E-40.00145811930.00130.89155940.00205724456.0E-4
7.71.3173734E-61.9671156E-60.00.01.9671156E-60.05.645874E-68.4304675E-60.00.08.4304675E-60.06.873634E-51.02636135E-41.0E-40.974315762.0262587E-41.0E-46.8715087E-40.00107985939.0E-40.83344190.00157931945.0E-4
7.89.4429885E-71.4786972E-60.00.01.4786972E-60.04.0469886E-66.3372586E-60.00.06.3372586E-60.04.9270973E-57.71534E-51.0E-41.29611911.7714569E-41.0E-44.926005E-48.1469695E-48.0E-40.981960240.00131428965.0E-4
7.96.388233E-71.0661734E-60.00.01.0661734E-60.02.7378112E-64.5693064E-60.00.04.5693064E-60.03.3332344E-55.5629895E-51.0E-41.79759471.5562434E-41.0E-43.3327343E-45.8521796E-46.0E-41.0252599.849839E-44.0E-4
8.03.087986E-75.5286125E-70.00.05.5286125E-70.01.323422E-62.369403E-60.00.02.369403E-60.01.6112543E-52.8847104E-51.0E-43.46655251.2884421E-41.0E-41.6111376E-42.9974311E-44.0E-41.3344765.996532E-43.0E-4
8.11.6725647E-72.6365475E-70.00.02.6365475E-70.07.168133E-71.1299484E-60.00.01.1299484E-60.08.7271665E-61.3757037E-51.0E-47.2690071.1375566E-41.0E-48.726824E-51.4317138E-43.0E-42.0953913.4314275E-42.0E-4

Honey Lake 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.155506E-57.931081E-50.00.07.931081E-50.02.6378073E-43.3986222E-41.0E-40.29423694.3982823E-41.0E-40.00320680140.0041304190.00230.556844230.00552463620.00140.031609190.0405855180.02620.645550430.049412130.0092
6.16.155506E-57.931081E-50.00.07.931081E-50.02.6378073E-43.3986222E-41.0E-40.29423694.3982823E-41.0E-40.00320680140.0041304190.00230.556844230.00552463620.00140.031609190.0405855180.02470.608591440.0489324260.0087
6.24.1335024E-55.242969E-50.00.05.242969E-50.01.7713808E-42.2468017E-40.00.02.2468017E-40.00.00215452280.00273220220.00130.475806650.00353001648.0E-40.0213375350.0270024740.01570.58142820.0317701620.0049
6.34.1335024E-55.242969E-50.00.05.242969E-50.01.7713808E-42.2468017E-40.00.02.2468017E-40.00.00215452280.00273220220.00130.475806650.00353001648.0E-40.0213375350.0270024740.01570.58142820.0317701620.0049
6.43.2393702E-54.077656E-50.00.04.077656E-50.01.3882275E-41.7474558E-40.00.01.7474558E-40.00.00168885660.00212555758.0E-40.376371830.00252470754.0E-40.0167607930.0210633950.01160.55071840.0248812470.0039
6.52.7205504E-53.412049E-50.00.03.412049E-50.01.1658981E-41.4622297E-40.00.01.4622297E-40.00.00141855660.00177890497.0E-40.393500540.00207837113.0E-40.0140953540.0176562050.00960.543718160.0205050040.0029
6.62.069265E-52.5886791E-50.00.02.5886791E-50.08.867977E-51.1093912E-40.00.01.1093912E-40.00.00107914140.00134993074.0E-40.29631150.00154966072.0E-40.0107391610.01342565750.00750.558631840.0157934350.0024
6.71.8060919E-52.2596809E-50.00.02.2596809E-50.07.7401644E-59.684032E-50.00.09.684032E-50.09.419576E-40.00117847373.0E-40.254566580.00127835581.0E-40.0093797480.0117302510.00650.554122870.0136079630.0019
6.81.4474663E-51.8132809E-50.00.01.8132809E-50.06.203279E-57.7710145E-50.00.07.7710145E-50.07.5498753E-49.4578636E-43.0E-40.317196370.00104569181.0E-40.0075242770.0094251060.00540.572937850.0110100260.0016
6.98.564552E-61.0772938E-50.00.01.0772938E-50.03.6704707E-54.6169287E-50.00.04.6169287E-50.04.4678818E-45.6203216E-41.0E-40.177925775.6203216E-40.00.00445890940.0056125750.00270.481062620.0065075249.0E-4

Santa Ynez (West)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.7352758E-55.4863427E-50.00.05.4863427E-50.02.0292461E-42.3510944E-42.0E-40.850667662.3510944E-40.00.00246780760.0028589670.00190.66457570.00345725176.0E-40.0244058180.0282500160.02340.82831810.0348579140.0068
6.14.7352758E-55.4863427E-50.00.05.4863427E-50.02.0292461E-42.3510944E-41.0E-40.425333832.3510944E-40.00.00246780760.0028589670.00160.55964270.00345725176.0E-40.0244058180.0282500160.01970.69734470.033788990.0057
6.23.0415853E-53.387049E-50.00.03.387049E-50.01.3034715E-41.4515137E-40.00.01.4515137E-40.00.00158582120.00176582039.0E-40.50967810.0021651144.0E-40.0157455220.0175218580.0130.74193050.0215500180.0041
6.33.0415853E-53.387049E-50.00.03.387049E-50.01.3034715E-41.4515137E-40.00.01.4515137E-40.00.00158582120.00176582039.0E-40.50967810.0021651144.0E-40.0157455220.0175218580.0130.74193050.0215500180.0041
6.42.5452082E-52.7871116E-50.00.02.7871116E-50.01.09075794E-41.1944228E-40.00.01.1944228E-40.00.00132718870.00145325877.0E-40.481676130.00185267734.0E-40.0131929020.0144397250.01060.7340860.01808630.0037
6.52.3143784E-52.5092928E-50.00.02.5092928E-50.09.9183875E-51.07536776E-40.00.01.07536776E-40.00.00120689480.00130848837.0E-40.534968440.00170796494.0E-40.0120036110.0130095070.01020.784041940.0163652750.0034
6.61.9118515E-52.0328342E-50.00.02.0328342E-50.08.193392E-58.71186E-50.00.08.71186E-50.09.97089E-40.00106016075.0E-40.47162660.00125994872.0E-40.009926270.0105519420.00850.805538950.0134213410.0029
6.71.722807E-51.8124241E-50.00.01.8124241E-50.07.3832496E-57.7673045E-50.00.07.7673045E-50.08.985399E-49.452646E-45.0E-40.52895240.00114507552.0E-40.0089491540.0094130820.00760.8073870.011889550.0025
6.81.5317364E-51.5908156E-50.00.01.5908156E-50.06.56442E-56.817605E-50.00.06.817605E-50.07.98925E-48.2973164E-45.0E-40.60260450.00102956572.0E-40.0079605890.0082668230.00720.870951240.0106469830.0024
6.91.3071226E-51.3315548E-50.00.01.3315548E-50.05.6018336E-55.7065397E-50.00.05.7065397E-50.06.8180985E-46.94552E-43.0E-40.43193317.9448253E-41.0E-40.00679721730.00692407270.00610.88098440.0090095320.0021
7.01.1836986E-51.1920642E-50.00.01.1920642E-50.05.0728955E-55.1087474E-50.00.05.1087474E-50.06.1745E-46.2181416E-43.0E-40.482459287.2175195E-41.0E-40.0061573720.0062009350.00580.93534270.0081885340.002
7.11.0597169E-51.0531843E-50.00.01.0531843E-50.04.541565E-54.5135694E-50.00.04.5135694E-50.05.5279525E-45.493897E-42.0E-40.364040346.4933475E-41.0E-40.00551422130.00548044550.00490.89408790.0071711290.0017
7.29.59113E-69.449662E-60.00.09.449662E-60.04.11042E-54.0497926E-50.00.04.0497926E-50.05.0032866E-44.929518E-42.0E-40.405719225.929025E-41.0E-40.0049920370.00491870150.00460.93520620.00661033950.0017
7.38.586084E-68.370943E-60.00.08.370943E-60.03.679698E-53.587498E-50.00.03.587498E-50.04.4791115E-44.3669136E-42.0E-40.457989365.366477E-41.0E-40.0044700940.00435844340.00441.00953470.0060510340.0017
7.47.2622997E-66.9441107E-60.00.06.9441107E-60.03.112377E-52.976014E-50.00.02.976014E-50.03.78866E-43.6227042E-42.0E-40.55207384.622342E-41.0E-40.00378220740.00361689880.00330.912383850.00491219670.0013
7.55.627296E-65.245828E-60.00.05.245828E-60.02.411676E-52.248193E-50.00.02.248193E-50.02.9358198E-42.7368384E-41.0E-40.365385123.7365645E-41.0E-40.00293194430.00273353980.00281.02431290.00393025950.0012
7.62.265244E-62.0583977E-60.00.02.0583977E-60.09.708152E-68.821676E-60.00.08.821676E-60.01.18190335E-41.0739869E-40.00.01.0739869E-40.00.0011812750.00107347650.00111.0247080.00167283246.0E-4
7.71.3099874E-61.099968E-60.00.01.099968E-60.05.61422E-64.7141402E-60.00.04.7141402E-60.06.8350986E-55.739317E-50.00.05.739317E-50.06.832996E-45.7378586E-45.0E-40.871405247.736711E-42.0E-4
7.87.903951E-76.059593E-70.00.06.059593E-70.03.3874032E-62.596966E-60.00.02.596966E-60.04.1240855E-53.1617616E-50.00.03.1617616E-50.04.12332E-43.161325E-43.0E-40.94896923.161325E-40.0
7.97.0753297E-95.087606E-90.00.05.087606E-90.03.032284E-82.1804023E-80.00.02.1804023E-80.03.6918053E-72.6546397E-70.00.02.6546397E-70.03.691799E-62.6546375E-60.00.02.6546375E-60.0

San Clemente

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.681379E-58.144936E-50.00.08.144936E-50.02.8631336E-43.4902518E-43.0E-40.85953685.489554E-42.0E-40.0034802940.0042415950.00390.91946550.00543650470.00120.034262910.04166180.03150.75608830.0505743440.0093
6.16.681379E-58.144936E-50.00.08.144936E-50.02.8631336E-43.4902518E-42.0E-40.57302454.489903E-41.0E-40.0034802940.0042415950.00270.636553050.00503820138.0E-40.034262910.04166180.02440.58566840.0483701680.007
6.23.9400576E-54.6365072E-50.00.04.6365072E-50.01.6884868E-41.9869264E-42.0E-41.00657992.9867276E-41.0E-40.00205379450.00241645240.00170.703510640.0029152445.0E-40.0203491670.0239084810.01420.59393150.027520020.0037
6.33.2590255E-53.7863927E-50.00.03.7863927E-50.01.3966505E-41.6226407E-41.0E-40.616279361.6226407E-40.00.00169909560.00197380530.0010.506635550.00227321313.0E-40.016861630.0195665470.01110.56729480.0217235010.0022
6.42.9454652E-53.4041437E-50.00.03.4041437E-50.01.2622811E-41.4588387E-41.0E-40.68547681.4588387E-40.00.00153574380.00177471539.0E-40.50712360.00207418273.0E-40.0152517390.0176085980.00930.52815110.0193769020.0018
6.52.790836E-53.2194945E-50.00.03.2194945E-50.01.1960178E-41.3797119E-41.0E-40.7247891.3797119E-40.00.0014551790.00167853049.0E-40.53618330.0019780273.0E-40.0144568680.0166615360.00890.53416440.0183332120.0017
6.62.2492153E-52.5723535E-50.00.02.5723535E-50.09.639138E-51.10239154E-41.0E-40.907118741.10239154E-40.00.00117293310.001341357.0E-40.52186230.00164094753.0E-40.0116676150.0133342490.00750.56246140.0148142480.0015
6.71.9862755E-52.2633001E-50.00.02.2633001E-50.08.512331E-59.6995034E-51.0E-41.03098069.6995034E-50.00.00103588360.0011802866.0E-40.50835130.0014799323.0E-40.0103106820.0117414630.0070.59617780.0131250250.0014
6.81.6697575E-51.8950665E-50.00.01.8950665E-50.07.155907E-58.121466E-51.0E-41.23130488.121466E-50.08.7088346E-49.883493E-44.0E-40.40471520.00118815172.0E-40.0086747840.0098405610.00590.59955930.0108307210.001
6.91.5218415E-51.724512E-50.00.01.724512E-50.06.522015E-57.390561E-51.0E-41.35307737.390561E-50.07.93766E-48.9943816E-44.0E-40.44472210.00109925832.0E-40.0079093670.0089589220.00530.59158910.0099499630.001
7.01.2392958E-51.4013647E-50.00.01.4013647E-50.05.3111595E-56.0057147E-51.0E-41.66508086.0057147E-50.06.4644177E-47.30958E-43.0E-40.41042038.308849E-41.0E-40.00644564540.00728632140.00450.617595550.007881956.0E-4
7.11.0934128E-51.2358129E-50.00.01.2358129E-50.04.6859706E-55.2962376E-51.0E-41.88813285.2962376E-50.05.7036756E-46.446335E-43.0E-40.465380767.44569E-41.0E-40.00568905850.00642837960.00330.513348640.00682580844.0E-4
7.29.5798805E-61.083E-50.00.01.083E-50.04.1055984E-54.64135E-51.0E-42.15454554.64135E-50.04.9974193E-45.6494505E-43.0E-40.53102516.6488853E-41.0E-40.00498619630.00563581060.00310.5500540.0060335564.0E-4
7.38.0167365E-69.071307E-60.00.09.071307E-60.03.4356988E-53.8876493E-51.0E-42.57224853.8876493E-50.04.1821605E-44.7322555E-43.0E-40.63394725.7317823E-41.0E-40.00417429860.00472287930.00270.57168520.0050214623.0E-4
7.42.9581017E-63.3575877E-60.00.03.3575877E-60.01.2677518E-51.438961E-51.0E-46.9494581.438961E-50.01.5433785E-41.7518445E-42.0E-41.14165382.7516694E-41.0E-40.0015423070.00175095720.00120.68533940.00185078221.0E-4

Calico-Hidalgo

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.0906612E-55.0609746E-50.00.05.0609746E-50.01.7530227E-42.1688285E-40.00.02.1688285E-40.00.00213221580.0026377480.0020.75822260.00343563768.0E-40.021118730.0261045560.02080.79679580.0349670050.0091
6.14.0906612E-55.0609746E-50.00.05.0609746E-50.01.7530227E-42.1688285E-40.00.02.1688285E-40.00.00213221580.0026377480.0020.75822260.00343563768.0E-40.021118730.0261045560.02080.79679580.0349670050.0091
6.24.0906612E-55.0609746E-50.00.05.0609746E-50.01.7530227E-42.1688285E-40.00.02.1688285E-40.00.00213221580.0026377480.0020.75822260.00343563768.0E-40.021118730.0261045560.02080.79679580.0349670050.0091
6.32.4242801E-53.0043078E-50.00.03.0043078E-50.01.0389358E-41.2874989E-40.00.01.2874989E-40.00.00126417040.0015664360.00130.829909440.00216549616.0E-40.012570030.0155576210.0130.835603360.0216611640.0062
6.42.4242801E-53.0043078E-50.00.03.0043078E-50.01.0389358E-41.2874989E-40.00.01.2874989E-40.00.00126417040.0015664360.00130.829909440.00216549616.0E-40.012570030.0155576210.0130.835603360.0216611640.0062
6.52.0286952E-52.5277262E-50.00.02.5277262E-50.08.694118E-51.0832672E-40.00.01.0832672E-40.00.00105799490.00131809690.00120.910403430.00191730616.0E-40.0105297190.0131047190.01090.83176140.0184339550.0054
6.62.0269223E-52.5258227E-50.00.02.5258227E-50.08.6865206E-51.0824514E-40.00.01.0824514E-40.00.00105707070.00131710490.00120.91108910.00191631476.0E-40.0105205650.0130949170.01090.832384050.0184242040.0054
6.71.799852E-52.2505792E-50.00.02.2505792E-50.07.713423E-59.6449905E-50.00.09.6449905E-50.09.3870464E-40.00117365960.00121.02244290.00177295546.0E-40.0093474930.0116762180.01020.87357050.0166178380.005
6.81.7458793E-52.1810776E-50.00.02.1810776E-50.07.4821255E-59.3471484E-50.00.09.3471484E-50.09.10568E-40.00113743570.00121.05500470.00173675326.0E-40.0090684590.011317720.00990.87473450.0159645270.0047
6.91.542884E-51.9007482E-50.00.01.9007482E-50.06.612192E-58.1458165E-50.00.08.1458165E-50.08.04737E-49.913151E-40.0011.0087610.00139091854.0E-40.0080182910.0098703260.00860.871298430.0138308450.004
7.01.468253E-51.801497E-50.00.01.801497E-50.06.292361E-57.72048E-50.00.07.72048E-50.07.658257E-49.3957613E-49.0E-40.957878770.00133920034.0E-40.00763191840.0093574010.00790.84425150.0130227790.0037
7.11.3139281E-51.6186945E-50.00.01.6186945E-50.05.6309986E-56.937084E-50.00.06.937084E-50.06.853584E-48.4427535E-49.0E-41.0660030.00124393764.0E-40.00683248560.0084119750.00740.879698340.0119816910.0036
7.21.1127404E-51.3854261E-50.00.01.3854261E-50.04.7688E-55.9374113E-50.00.05.9374113E-50.05.8044674E-47.2265096E-49.0E-41.24541450.00112236194.0E-40.00578932980.00720411630.00670.930023850.01028178350.0031
7.39.808154E-61.2166212E-50.00.01.2166212E-50.04.2034266E-55.2139927E-50.00.05.2139927E-50.05.11647E-46.346294E-48.0E-41.26057829.34439E-43.0E-40.00510470570.00632924540.00590.932180640.0091115240.0028
7.47.942452E-69.784373E-60.00.09.784373E-60.03.4038632E-54.1932406E-50.00.04.1932406E-50.04.1434157E-45.104169E-47.0E-41.37142798.102638E-43.0E-40.00413569850.0050933860.00450.88349870.00708319950.002
7.54.7121216E-65.769255E-60.00.05.769255E-60.02.019465E-52.4725188E-50.00.02.4725188E-50.02.4584212E-43.0099522E-44.0E-41.32892485.00935E-42.0E-40.00245570320.00300662730.00220.731716930.0038042228.0E-4
7.62.21172E-72.602981E-70.00.02.602981E-70.09.478797E-71.115563E-60.00.01.115563E-60.01.1540374E-51.3581924E-50.00.01.3581924E-50.01.1539775E-41.3581375E-42.0E-41.4726051.3581375E-40.0

Eaton Roughs 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.8044945E-58.817112E-51.0E-41.13415838.817112E-50.02.9158857E-43.7782674E-44.0E-41.05868644.7778894E-41.0E-40.00354431270.0045910650.0030.653443160.00538739248.0E-40.034883140.0450347180.02920.64838860.0528654340.0082
6.16.8044945E-58.817112E-51.0E-41.13415838.817112E-50.02.9158857E-43.7782674E-44.0E-41.05868644.7778894E-41.0E-40.00354431270.0045910650.0030.653443160.00538739248.0E-40.034883140.0450347180.02920.64838860.0528654340.0082
6.26.8044945E-58.817112E-51.0E-41.13415838.817112E-50.02.9158857E-43.7782674E-44.0E-41.05868644.7778894E-41.0E-40.00354431270.0045910650.0030.653443160.00538739248.0E-40.034883140.0450347180.02920.64838860.0528654340.0082
6.36.8044945E-58.817112E-51.0E-41.13415838.817112E-50.02.9158857E-43.7782674E-44.0E-41.05868644.7778894E-41.0E-40.00354431270.0045910650.0030.653443160.00538739248.0E-40.034883140.0450347180.02920.64838860.0528654340.0082
6.44.5830013E-55.7010613E-51.0E-41.75405945.7010613E-50.01.9639956E-42.4431135E-42.0E-40.81862762.4431135E-40.00.00238854230.0029708210.00230.774196740.00346933565.0E-40.0236303210.0293492730.02070.705298540.034687850.0055
6.54.5830013E-55.7010613E-51.0E-41.75405945.7010613E-50.01.9639956E-42.4431135E-42.0E-40.81862762.4431135E-40.00.00238854230.0029708210.00230.774196740.00346933565.0E-40.0236303210.0293492730.02070.705298540.034687850.0055
6.63.222194E-53.8187813E-51.0E-42.61863663.8187813E-50.01.3808672E-41.6365242E-41.0E-40.611051141.6365242E-40.00.00167990920.00199073740.00130.65302430.00219033942.0E-40.0166726650.019738440.0140.70927590.0232673830.0036
6.72.4155654E-52.774278E-51.0E-43.60454132.774278E-50.01.0352012E-41.1889226E-41.0E-40.841097651.1889226E-40.00.00125962870.00144656038.0E-40.553036030.00154641561.0E-40.0125251260.0143726190.00910.63314840.0166395620.0023
6.82.1814667E-52.4903855E-51.0E-44.01544242.4903855E-50.09.348808E-51.0672646E-41.0E-40.936974761.0672646E-40.00.0011376230.00129862397.0E-40.53903210.0013984941.0E-40.0113181690.0129110020.00750.58089990.0146877620.0018
6.92.0700467E-52.3594372E-51.0E-44.2382992.3594372E-50.08.871327E-51.01114834E-41.0E-40.98897461.01114834E-40.00.00107954880.00123038116.0E-40.48765380.00133025811.0E-40.0107431940.0122362490.00670.54755340.0138166710.0016
7.02.0104066E-52.2903117E-51.0E-44.3662182.2903117E-50.08.615744E-59.8152545E-51.0E-41.01882239.8152545E-50.00.00104846190.00119435526.0E-40.502363150.00129423571.0E-40.0104352910.0118798870.00630.5303080.013460880.0016
7.11.8225232E-52.0743106E-51.0E-44.8208792.0743106E-50.07.81058E-58.8896006E-51.0E-41.12490998.8896006E-50.09.5052324E-40.00108177315.0E-40.462204160.00118166491.0E-40.0094646770.0107653980.00590.54805220.0123481740.0016
7.21.7526572E-51.9964516E-51.0E-45.0088871.9964516E-50.07.511172E-58.555942E-51.0E-41.16877848.555942E-50.09.141015E-40.00104118955.0E-40.480219960.00114108541.0E-40.0091035060.0103634180.00520.501764950.0117489090.0014
7.31.5727232E-51.7994558E-51.0E-45.55723521.7994558E-50.06.740067E-57.711726E-51.0E-41.29672657.711726E-50.08.2029426E-49.384995E-45.0E-40.53276530.00103840571.0E-40.0081727290.0093456090.0050.535010640.0106334590.0013
7.41.4457361E-51.6573253E-51.0E-46.03381871.6573253E-50.06.195865E-57.10263E-51.0E-41.40792927.10263E-50.07.540854E-48.64403E-44.0E-40.462747139.6431654E-41.0E-40.0075153170.0086105960.00460.53422550.0098002630.0012
7.51.33280955E-51.5321804E-51.0E-46.5266461.5321804E-50.05.711916E-56.566323E-51.0E-41.52292236.566323E-50.06.9520384E-47.991575E-44.0E-40.500527148.9907757E-41.0E-40.006930330.00796300450.00430.539997160.0090542450.0011
7.61.0699478E-51.2368158E-51.0E-48.0852781.2368158E-50.04.5854096E-55.300532E-51.0E-41.88660315.300532E-50.05.581306E-46.451492E-43.0E-40.465008687.450847E-41.0E-40.0055673090.00643287230.00350.544080440.0072277268.0E-4
7.75.9390236E-66.84246E-60.00.06.84246E-60.02.545271E-52.9324501E-50.00.02.9324501E-50.03.0984267E-43.5696756E-41.0E-40.28013754.5693186E-41.0E-40.00309411020.00356401040.0020.56116560.00406222845.0E-4
7.82.1622036E-62.3278722E-60.00.02.3278722E-60.09.266554E-69.9765575E-60.00.09.9765575E-60.01.1281446E-41.2145789E-41.0E-40.823330642.2144575E-41.0E-40.0011275720.00121393080.0010.82377020.00151356663.0E-4
7.94.9586197E-75.216062E-70.00.05.216062E-70.02.125121E-62.2354534E-60.00.02.2354534E-60.02.5873042E-52.7216325E-51.0E-43.67426511.272136E-41.0E-42.5870028E-42.7213202E-42.0E-40.73493744.720776E-42.0E-4

Chino alt 1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.939946E-54.8761474E-51.0E-42.05079941.4875659E-41.0E-41.6884391E-42.0896389E-44.0E-41.91420644.089221E-42.0E-40.00205373620.00254167640.00230.90491460.0034393899.0E-40.0203485950.0251859520.02130.84570950.0335693550.0086
6.12.1505624E-52.6745702E-51.0E-43.73891851.2674303E-41.0E-49.2163704E-51.1461999E-44.0E-43.48979283.1459707E-42.0E-40.00112151540.00139471410.00151.07548930.00199387736.0E-40.0111587220.0138797120.01250.900595070.0186130890.0048
6.22.1505624E-52.6745702E-51.0E-43.73891851.2674303E-41.0E-49.2163704E-51.1461999E-44.0E-43.48979283.1459707E-42.0E-40.00112151540.00139471410.00151.07548930.00199387736.0E-40.0111587220.0138797120.01250.900595070.0186130890.0048
6.31.4290785E-51.805055E-51.0E-45.5399971.18048745E-41.0E-46.1244784E-57.7357465E-54.0E-45.17082.7734198E-42.0E-47.454001E-49.4146485E-48.0E-40.84973960.00114127662.0E-40.0074290480.0093884740.00720.76689780.0121621860.0028
6.41.4290785E-51.805055E-51.0E-45.5399971.18048745E-41.0E-46.1244784E-57.7357465E-54.0E-45.17082.7734198E-42.0E-47.454001E-49.4146485E-48.0E-40.84973960.00114127662.0E-40.0074290480.0093884740.00720.76689780.0121621860.0028
6.51.3017944E-51.6540487E-51.0E-46.0457711.1653883E-41.0E-45.5789995E-57.088612E-53.0E-44.23214051.7087904E-41.0E-46.790315E-48.6274E-47.0E-40.81136849.626537E-41.0E-40.00676960360.008607460.00660.76677670.0110859410.0025
6.69.470016E-61.1944894E-50.00.01.1944894E-50.04.058515E-55.1191586E-51.0E-41.9534465.1191586E-50.04.940122E-46.2311284E-45.0E-40.80242296.2311284E-40.00.0049291540.00622600130.00440.70671360.00771666230.0015
6.78.314155E-61.0328306E-50.00.01.0328306E-50.03.5631605E-54.4263597E-51.0E-42.25919274.4263597E-50.04.3372845E-45.388079E-45.0E-40.92797455.388079E-40.00.0043288290.00538758560.00330.612519260.0063821980.001
6.83.4856364E-63.781823E-60.00.03.781823E-60.01.4938357E-51.6207723E-51.0E-46.1698981.6207723E-50.01.8185932E-41.9731317E-42.0E-41.0136171.9731317E-40.00.00181710560.00197300010.00120.60821080.0023722114.0E-4
6.92.2645952E-62.1416872E-60.00.02.1416872E-60.09.705372E-69.178629E-60.00.09.178629E-60.01.18156495E-41.1174428E-41.0E-40.89490041.1174428E-40.00.00118093690.00111744796.0E-40.53693780.00131722432.0E-4
7.01.7864003E-61.5371073E-60.00.01.5371073E-60.07.655979E-66.5875865E-60.00.06.5875865E-60.09.3207556E-58.0200974E-51.0E-41.24686778.0200974E-50.09.316847E-48.0216007E-43.0E-40.37399028.0216007E-40.0
7.11.7315456E-61.4677553E-60.00.01.4677553E-60.07.420889E-66.290365E-60.00.06.290365E-60.09.034557E-57.658256E-51.0E-41.30578047.658256E-50.09.0308854E-47.659947E-43.0E-40.39164767.659947E-40.0
7.21.6008337E-61.352271E-60.00.01.352271E-60.06.860698E-65.795435E-60.00.05.795435E-60.08.352579E-57.055719E-50.00.07.055719E-50.08.34944E-47.057674E-42.0E-40.283379477.057674E-40.0
7.31.3320939E-61.1177666E-60.00.01.1177666E-60.05.7089615E-64.79042E-60.00.04.79042E-60.06.9504385E-55.832185E-50.00.05.832185E-50.06.9482654E-45.831893E-42.0E-40.34294185.831893E-40.0
7.41.114294E-69.204411E-70.00.09.204411E-70.04.775537E-63.944742E-60.00.03.944742E-60.05.8140613E-54.802621E-50.00.04.802621E-50.05.81254E-44.8017106E-41.0E-40.20825914.8017106E-40.0
7.59.354081E-77.600677E-70.00.07.600677E-70.04.0088858E-63.257429E-60.00.03.257429E-60.04.8807087E-53.965851E-50.00.03.965851E-50.04.879637E-43.965177E-40.00.03.965177E-40.0
7.68.521771E-76.8604237E-70.00.06.8604237E-70.03.6521824E-62.9401785E-60.00.02.9401785E-60.04.4464414E-53.5796118E-50.00.03.5796118E-50.04.4455516E-43.5790668E-40.00.03.5790668E-40.0
7.72.1803626E-71.4132844E-70.00.01.4132844E-70.09.344408E-76.0569323E-70.00.06.0569323E-70.01.1376757E-57.3743E-60.00.07.3743E-60.01.13761744E-47.37415E-50.00.07.37415E-50.0

Red Mountain

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.1810763E-54.7503363E-50.00.04.7503363E-50.01.7917668E-42.0357087E-41.0E-40.491229412.0357087E-40.00.00217929340.00247582230.00190.76742180.0035730990.00110.0215804520.0244999490.02050.836736440.03162110.0073
6.14.1810763E-54.7503363E-50.00.04.7503363E-50.01.7917668E-42.0357087E-41.0E-40.491229412.0357087E-40.00.00217929340.00247582230.00190.76742180.0035730990.00110.0215804520.0244999490.02050.836736440.03162110.0073
6.24.1810763E-54.7503363E-50.00.04.7503363E-50.01.7917668E-42.0357087E-41.0E-40.491229412.0357087E-40.00.00217929340.00247582230.00190.76742180.0035730990.00110.0215804520.0244999490.02050.836736440.03162110.0073
6.34.1810763E-54.7503363E-50.00.04.7503363E-50.01.7917668E-42.0357087E-41.0E-40.491229412.0357087E-40.00.00217929340.00247582230.00190.76742180.0035730990.00110.0215804520.0244999490.02050.836736440.03162110.0073
6.44.1810763E-54.7503363E-50.00.04.7503363E-50.01.7917668E-42.0357087E-41.0E-40.491229412.0357087E-40.00.00217929340.00247582230.00190.76742180.0035730990.00110.0215804520.0244999490.02050.836736440.03162110.0073
6.53.154503E-53.529748E-50.00.03.529748E-50.01.3518598E-41.5126665E-41.0E-40.661084231.5126665E-40.00.00164464670.00184020750.00150.815125470.00273855129.0E-40.016325280.0182593060.01610.88174220.0233643580.0052
6.63.1535834E-53.5286877E-50.00.03.5286877E-50.01.3514658E-41.5122122E-41.0E-40.661282841.5122122E-40.00.00164416760.00183965530.00150.815370140.00273799979.0E-40.016320560.0182538740.01610.88200450.0233589540.0052
6.72.8267326E-53.1414645E-50.00.03.1414645E-50.01.2114006E-41.3462773E-41.0E-40.742789031.3462773E-40.00.00147388240.00163794510.00150.91578160.00253647089.0E-40.0146414520.0162674560.01420.87290850.0209893710.0048
6.82.8212884E-53.1352625E-50.00.03.1352625E-50.01.20906756E-41.3436195E-41.0E-40.744258341.3436195E-40.00.00147104570.0016347140.00150.917591750.00253324289.0E-40.0146134590.0162356180.01420.87462020.0209576880.0048
6.92.4227871E-52.6661177E-50.00.02.6661177E-50.01.03829596E-41.1425761E-41.0E-40.875215231.1425761E-40.00.00126339230.00139027430.00141.00699560.00218916228.0E-40.0125623360.0138234270.01280.92596430.0182612220.0045
7.02.348524E-52.5791536E-50.00.02.5791536E-50.01.0064714E-41.1053089E-41.0E-40.90472441.1053089E-40.00.00122469010.00134495820.00141.04092450.00214388228.0E-40.0121796270.0133757910.01260.94200040.01781560.0045
7.12.2311642E-52.4421044E-50.00.02.4421044E-50.09.561782E-51.0465784E-41.0E-40.95549461.0465784E-40.00.00116352520.00127353890.00141.0992990.002072528.0E-40.011574520.0126698960.01210.95501970.0168166810.0042
7.21.6533986E-51.7641007E-50.00.01.7641007E-50.07.085802E-57.560248E-51.0E-41.32270797.560248E-50.08.623549E-49.201348E-40.00111.1954770.00161949077.0E-40.0085901610.0091695050.00971.05785430.0125383290.0034
7.31.4703092E-51.5533577E-50.00.01.5533577E-50.06.301173E-56.657111E-51.0E-41.50215296.657111E-50.07.668978E-48.1026333E-49.0E-41.110750.00130985825.0E-40.00764256580.0080791430.00861.06446930.01115409750.0031
7.46.1331984E-65.520798E-60.00.05.520798E-60.02.6284872E-52.366035E-50.00.02.366035E-50.03.199713E-42.8802722E-43.0E-41.04156834.879696E-42.0E-40.00319510980.00287659330.00421.46006040.00467141530.0018
7.55.954766E-65.330598E-60.00.05.330598E-60.02.5520176E-52.2845223E-50.00.02.2845223E-50.03.1066386E-42.781056E-42.0E-40.719151264.7805E-42.0E-40.0031022990.00277762950.0041.44007680.004572630.0018
7.64.9726646E-64.3082373E-60.00.04.3082373E-60.02.1311245E-51.8463745E-50.00.01.8463745E-50.02.5943352E-42.2477323E-40.00.02.2477323E-40.00.00259130840.00224549350.00251.11334110.0032432480.001
7.73.3613894E-62.8472539E-60.00.02.8472539E-60.01.4405875E-51.2202461E-50.00.01.2202461E-50.01.7537741E-41.485551E-40.00.01.485551E-40.00.00175239080.00148458410.00140.943025050.00188399024.0E-4
7.81.1828961E-61.0112911E-60.00.01.0112911E-60.05.069545E-64.334098E-60.00.04.334098E-60.06.171996E-55.2766394E-50.00.05.2766394E-50.06.170282E-45.275416E-45.0E-40.94779267.274361E-42.0E-4
7.92.2967266E-71.8605115E-70.00.01.8605115E-70.09.843111E-77.9736185E-70.00.07.9736185E-70.01.19839215E-59.70784E-60.00.09.70784E-60.01.1983275E-49.707445E-51.0E-41.03013729.707445E-50.0

Owl Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.0320643E-56.610865E-51.0E-41.51266136.610865E-50.02.1564208E-42.832925E-41.0E-40.352992062.832925E-40.00.00262228120.00344454450.00260.75481680.0040424786.0E-40.025915530.0340155660.02840.83491190.0415502450.0078
6.15.0320643E-56.610865E-51.0E-41.51266136.610865E-50.02.1564208E-42.832925E-41.0E-40.352992062.832925E-40.00.00262228120.00344454450.00260.75481680.0040424786.0E-40.025915530.0340155660.02840.83491190.0415502450.0078
6.22.4125871E-53.0850777E-50.00.03.0850777E-50.01.0339249E-41.3221161E-40.00.01.3221161E-40.00.00125807660.00160866520.00160.99461340.00180834362.0E-40.0125097810.016003980.0140.87478240.0200383640.0041
6.31.7433485E-52.2251088E-50.00.02.2251088E-50.07.471279E-59.535874E-50.00.09.535874E-50.09.0924866E-40.00116051519.0E-40.775517640.00126039911.0E-40.0090553730.0115750160.00950.82073320.0140460790.0025
6.41.7433485E-52.2251088E-50.00.02.2251088E-50.07.471279E-59.535874E-50.00.09.535874E-50.09.0924866E-40.00116051519.0E-40.775517640.00126039911.0E-40.0090553730.0115750160.00950.82073320.0140460790.0025
6.51.5182742E-51.9333509E-50.00.01.9333509E-50.06.506727E-58.285564E-50.00.08.285564E-50.07.919061E-40.00100843957.0E-40.69414180.00110833871.0E-40.00789090.0100689250.00790.784592150.0120487870.002
6.66.7271576E-68.483211E-60.00.08.483211E-60.02.8830356E-53.6356145E-50.00.03.6356145E-50.03.5095305E-44.4255177E-43.0E-40.67788684.4255177E-40.00.00350399320.004434320.00290.65398980.00473298973.0E-4
6.76.682835E-68.415928E-60.00.08.415928E-60.02.8640408E-53.60678E-50.00.03.60678E-50.03.4864116E-44.3904255E-43.0E-40.68330514.3904255E-40.00.0034809470.0043993690.00290.659185470.0046980493.0E-4
6.86.5774975E-68.262786E-60.00.08.262786E-60.02.8188972E-53.541149E-50.00.03.541149E-50.03.4314668E-44.310552E-43.0E-40.695966544.310552E-40.00.00342617280.00431974650.00290.67133570.00461845053.0E-4
6.96.363419E-67.936828E-60.00.07.936828E-60.02.727151E-53.4014567E-50.00.03.4014567E-50.03.3198006E-44.140542E-42.0E-40.483028564.140542E-40.00.00331484550.0041501960.00270.650571640.0044489513.0E-4
7.06.1342453E-67.5701437E-60.00.07.5701437E-60.02.6289357E-53.2443102E-50.00.03.2443102E-50.03.2002592E-43.9492862E-42.0E-40.50642063.9492862E-40.00.00319565440.00395944850.00260.656657160.00425826063.0E-4
7.15.842926E-67.0823116E-60.00.07.0823116E-60.02.504087E-53.0352441E-50.00.03.0352441E-50.03.0482994E-43.6948366E-42.0E-40.54129593.6948366E-40.00.00304412140.00370565940.00250.674643750.0040045483.0E-4
7.24.77173E-65.30405E-60.00.05.30405E-60.02.045011E-52.2731467E-50.00.02.2731467E-50.02.4895166E-42.7672446E-40.00.02.7672446E-40.00.00248672930.00278001930.00160.57553560.00297946342.0E-4
7.33.0494948E-62.6699274E-60.00.02.6699274E-60.01.3069198E-51.14424965E-50.00.01.14424965E-50.01.5910587E-41.3930365E-40.00.01.3930365E-40.00.00158991990.00140197397.0E-40.499296040.00150183371.0E-4
7.42.7263884E-62.267595E-60.00.02.267595E-60.01.1684469E-59.718228E-60.00.09.718228E-60.01.4224913E-41.183131E-40.00.01.183131E-40.00.00142158110.00119119086.0E-40.503697630.00129107161.0E-4
7.52.6090431E-62.128379E-60.00.02.128379E-60.01.1181565E-59.121593E-60.00.09.121593E-60.01.3612706E-41.11049834E-40.00.01.11049834E-40.00.0013604370.001118366.0E-40.536499860.00121824821.0E-4
7.62.3008756E-61.8373528E-60.00.01.8373528E-60.09.860858E-67.874346E-60.00.07.874346E-60.01.20049335E-49.5866024E-50.00.09.5866024E-50.00.0011998459.6632546E-46.0E-40.620908860.00106622881.0E-4
7.71.7184348E-61.3092924E-60.00.01.3092924E-60.07.3646997E-65.6112412E-60.00.05.6112412E-60.08.966153E-56.831476E-50.00.06.831476E-50.08.962536E-46.905961E-44.0E-40.579209747.905271E-41.0E-4
7.88.4612907E-78.1721214E-70.00.08.1721214E-70.03.6262625E-63.5023331E-60.00.03.5023331E-60.04.4148852E-54.264009E-50.00.04.264009E-50.04.414008E-44.31662E-42.0E-40.46332554.31662E-40.0
7.92.716738E-73.6626787E-70.00.03.6626787E-70.01.1643157E-61.5697185E-60.00.01.5697185E-60.01.4175452E-51.9111167E-50.00.01.9111167E-50.01.4174548E-41.9276784E-41.0E-40.51875871.9276784E-40.0
8.02.1995428E-83.2906875E-80.00.03.2906875E-80.09.426611E-81.4102946E-70.00.01.4102946E-70.01.1476893E-61.717033E-60.00.01.717033E-60.01.14768345E-51.7378075E-50.00.01.7378075E-50.0

San Andreas (North Coast) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5333705E-46.817388E-50.00.06.817388E-50.06.5699324E-42.9214122E-42.0E-40.68460043.92112E-41.0E-40.0079695950.003551050.00130.36608890.00404927465.0E-40.07689770.037830770.02310.610614060.0459129920.0084
6.11.5333705E-46.817388E-50.00.06.817388E-50.06.5699324E-42.9214122E-42.0E-40.68460043.92112E-41.0E-40.0079695950.003551050.00130.36608890.00404927465.0E-40.07689770.037830770.02310.610614060.0459129920.0084
6.21.3912938E-45.7897167E-50.00.05.7897167E-50.05.961325E-42.4810724E-42.0E-40.8061033.4808242E-41.0E-40.0072337870.00301654680.00110.364655380.003415344.0E-40.070027980.0323113050.01910.591124360.038698050.0066
6.31.3912938E-45.7897167E-50.00.05.7897167E-50.05.961325E-42.4810724E-42.0E-40.8061033.4808242E-41.0E-40.0072337870.00301654680.00110.364655380.003415344.0E-40.070027980.0323113050.01910.591124360.038698050.0066
6.41.2623647E-44.8136004E-50.00.04.8136004E-50.05.4090127E-42.0628095E-42.0E-40.96955153.062603E-41.0E-40.00656560580.00250859650.00110.43849220.0029075934.0E-40.063749810.027068210.01630.60218240.032224750.0053
6.51.1736096E-44.142292E-50.00.04.142292E-50.05.028786E-41.7751481E-42.0E-41.12666652.7749705E-41.0E-40.0061053730.00215911568.0E-40.370522050.0025582524.0E-40.059403350.0234468780.01340.571504650.0278413670.0045
6.61.1586959E-44.0356917E-50.00.04.0356917E-50.04.964894E-41.7294683E-42.0E-41.15642482.7292955E-41.0E-40.0060280180.00210360938.0E-40.380298730.00250276784.0E-40.0586710240.0228671410.01310.572874370.027264240.0045
6.71.13693764E-43.8717855E-50.00.03.8717855E-50.04.87168E-41.659232E-42.0E-41.2053772.659066E-41.0E-40.0059151520.00201825828.0E-40.39638140.00241745084.0E-40.0576015930.0219810290.01230.55957340.0260887090.0042
6.81.1204889E-43.796954E-50.00.03.796954E-50.04.8012115E-41.6271653E-42.0E-41.22913152.6270025E-41.0E-40.0058298190.00197928868.0E-40.404185620.00237849684.0E-40.056792320.0215590750.01210.56124860.0256685260.0042
6.91.1005794E-43.706962E-50.00.03.706962E-50.04.7159163E-41.5886022E-42.0E-41.25896852.5884432E-41.0E-40.00572652280.00193242228.0E-40.413988230.00233164924.0E-40.0558118520.0210474380.01160.5511360.0248653520.0039
7.01.0647948E-43.5310954E-50.00.03.5310954E-50.04.562608E-41.5132395E-42.0E-41.32166782.5130884E-41.0E-40.00554083570.00184082698.0E-40.43458730.00224009064.0E-40.0540470330.0200515370.01120.558560670.0238733370.0039
7.11.04795035E-43.4402434E-50.00.03.4402434E-50.04.4904428E-41.4743075E-42.0E-41.3565692.47416E-41.0E-40.00545341750.0017935068.0E-40.44605370.00219278854.0E-40.0532151650.019540940.01110.56803820.023364730.0039
7.21.02724036E-43.335853E-50.00.03.335853E-50.04.401716E-41.4295737E-42.0E-41.39901842.4294308E-41.0E-40.00534592850.00173913088.0E-40.45999990.00213843514.0E-40.0521913950.0189530180.01090.57510630.0226809960.0038
7.31.00650694E-43.286369E-50.00.03.286369E-50.04.312888E-41.4083686E-42.0E-41.42008282.4082277E-41.0E-40.0052383060.00171335458.0E-40.466920320.00211266924.0E-40.0511653570.0186516230.01080.5790380.0223807470.0038
7.49.672919E-53.17352E-50.00.03.17352E-50.04.144878E-41.3600098E-42.0E-41.47057762.3598738E-41.0E-40.0050347180.00165456868.0E-40.483509750.00205390674.0E-40.0492216830.0179707150.01020.56759010.0213096140.0034
7.58.7600405E-52.1435255E-50.00.02.1435255E-50.03.753763E-49.186215E-52.0E-42.17717531.9185296E-41.0E-40.00456063260.00111784957.0E-40.626202340.00141751423.0E-40.044681650.0124069790.00750.60449850.0144809240.0021
7.67.9562284E-51.8080447E-50.00.01.8080447E-50.03.4093665E-47.748533E-51.0E-41.29056681.7747759E-41.0E-40.00414300529.42977E-44.0E-40.424188460.00114278842.0E-40.0406661260.0105624640.00570.53964680.0121455640.0016
7.76.3866544E-51.105408E-50.00.01.105408E-50.02.7368503E-44.7373767E-51.0E-42.1108731.4736904E-41.0E-40.00332702445.766232E-44.0E-40.693693947.765079E-42.0E-40.0327765270.00668741760.0040.59813820.0078793930.0012
7.84.2543215E-58.374025E-60.00.08.374025E-60.01.8231533E-43.5888184E-51.0E-42.78643231.3588459E-41.0E-40.00221742924.3685114E-43.0E-40.68673285.3680746E-41.0E-40.0219543320.00508147850.00330.64941730.0060763970.001
7.92.2636612E-57.2195207E-60.00.07.2195207E-60.09.7010445E-53.094044E-51.0E-43.23201631.3093735E-41.0E-40.00118046213.766348E-42.0E-40.53101844.765971E-41.0E-40.0117421110.00434714230.0030.690108540.0053427950.001
8.01.5167874E-56.511471E-60.00.06.511471E-60.06.500356E-52.7906006E-51.0E-43.5834581.2790321E-41.0E-47.9113094E-43.3970273E-42.0E-40.588750064.3966874E-41.0E-40.0078832030.00391607130.00280.715002360.0049121550.001
8.11.0681047E-55.8976484E-60.00.05.8976484E-60.04.5775112E-52.527539E-51.0E-43.95641761.2527287E-41.0E-45.5716943E-43.076845E-42.0E-40.65001654.0765374E-41.0E-40.00555774570.00354701350.00260.7330110.00454346650.001
8.28.226114E-64.731175E-60.00.04.731175E-60.03.52543E-52.0276306E-51.0E-44.93186471.2027428E-41.0E-44.2913653E-42.4683613E-42.0E-40.810254163.4681146E-41.0E-40.0042830880.00283400620.0020.705714760.00353202257.0E-4
8.31.983087E-66.9765395E-70.00.06.9765395E-70.08.498917E-62.9899422E-60.00.02.9899422E-60.01.034694E-43.640195E-50.00.03.640195E-50.00.00103421244.3255524E-42.0E-40.462368675.32512E-41.0E-4

Concord 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.7865112E-59.7227785E-50.00.09.7227785E-50.02.4796976E-44.166246E-40.00.04.166246E-40.00.00301485250.00506112630.00240.474202720.00585707748.0E-40.0297427750.049075890.030.61129810.0569685620.0083
6.15.7865112E-59.7227785E-50.00.09.7227785E-50.02.4796976E-44.166246E-40.00.04.166246E-40.00.00301485250.00506112630.00240.474202720.00585707748.0E-40.0297427750.049075890.030.61129810.0569685620.0083
6.25.6789337E-59.543774E-50.00.09.543774E-50.02.4336016E-44.0895652E-40.00.04.0895652E-40.00.00295888450.0049682420.00240.483068260.00576426748.0E-40.0291979630.048195830.02960.614160950.0560006280.0082
6.35.203322E-58.771259E-50.00.08.771259E-50.02.2298045E-43.7586133E-40.00.03.7586133E-40.00.00271140710.0045672880.00230.50358110.0052640917.0E-40.0267856250.0443807650.02730.61513140.0519301560.0079
6.44.7120942E-57.866446E-50.00.07.866446E-50.02.0193127E-43.37094E-40.00.03.37094E-40.00.00245574120.00409713570.0020.488145920.00469467746.0E-40.0242878010.0399090570.02540.6364470.047013730.0074
6.52.9598437E-54.6468846E-50.00.04.6468846E-50.01.2684427E-41.9913817E-40.00.01.9913817E-40.00.0015432350.00242201940.00130.53674220.00292080835.0E-40.0153256190.0238130630.01630.684498250.0284011420.0047
6.62.0443718E-52.9870673E-50.00.02.9870673E-50.08.7613E-51.2801109E-40.00.01.2801109E-40.00.00106616620.00155745670.0010.642072440.00195683384.0E-40.0106106550.0154129290.01070.69422240.0185636080.0032
6.71.798539E-52.5471327E-50.00.02.5471327E-50.07.7077966E-51.0915838E-40.00.01.0915838E-40.09.380202E-40.00132821457.0E-40.52702330.0016278163.0E-40.0093407060.0131764530.00870.66026870.0158408770.0027
6.81.613555E-52.1890408E-50.00.02.1890408E-50.06.915052E-59.381274E-50.00.09.381274E-50.08.4158237E-40.00114158557.0E-40.613182250.00144124313.0E-40.0083840230.011345840.00760.669849040.013718610.0024
6.91.2916435E-51.7027736E-50.00.01.7027736E-50.05.5354973E-57.2974006E-50.00.07.2974006E-50.06.7373837E-48.8810216E-47.0E-40.78819760.00118783573.0E-40.0067169940.008840140.00610.690034330.010822460.002
7.09.81129E-61.2596236E-50.00.01.2596236E-50.04.2047708E-55.398276E-50.00.05.398276E-50.05.118106E-46.5704354E-46.0E-40.91318158.569121E-42.0E-40.0051063340.00655193350.00520.793658850.0081414510.0016
7.18.0889195E-61.0385969E-50.00.01.0385969E-50.03.4666336E-54.4510547E-50.00.04.4510547E-50.04.219809E-45.417822E-44.0E-40.73830416.41728E-41.0E-40.0042118050.00540508330.00440.81404850.00659859740.0012
7.26.267438E-68.088033E-60.00.08.088033E-60.02.6860173E-53.4662542E-50.00.03.4662542E-50.03.2697353E-44.2193543E-44.0E-40.94801235.2189326E-41.0E-40.00326492850.00421190.00380.90220570.0052076880.001
7.33.6761196E-64.8197294E-60.00.04.8197294E-60.01.5754704E-52.0655822E-50.00.02.0655822E-50.01.9179663E-42.5145581E-41.0E-40.39768422.5145581E-40.00.00191631180.00251196350.00240.955427940.00311045636.0E-4
7.42.8044356E-63.6945266E-60.00.03.6945266E-60.01.2018954E-51.583359E-50.00.01.583359E-50.01.4632095E-41.9275701E-41.0E-40.518787861.9275701E-40.00.00146224640.00192605310.00190.98647330.002425095.0E-4
7.52.4578699E-63.2311568E-60.00.03.2311568E-60.01.0533685E-51.3847743E-50.00.01.3847743E-50.01.2824008E-41.6858333E-41.0E-40.593178451.6858333E-40.00.00128166090.0016846760.00150.89037890.00198417063.0E-4
7.61.7713267E-62.3238626E-60.00.02.3238626E-60.07.591378E-69.9593735E-60.00.09.9593735E-60.09.2421105E-51.2124872E-40.00.01.2124872E-40.09.2382677E-40.00121192510.00131.07267360.00151156163.0E-4
7.75.1912366E-76.796827E-70.00.06.796827E-70.02.2248137E-62.9129228E-60.00.02.9129228E-60.02.708677E-53.5464273E-50.00.03.5464273E-50.02.708347E-43.5461446E-41.0E-40.28199643.5461446E-40.0

Hunting Creek - Bartlett Springs connector 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.940016E-56.7636094E-50.00.06.7636094E-50.02.1169778E-42.8983652E-41.0E-40.345022082.8983652E-40.00.0025743740.0035229020.00280.794799270.0045193790.0010.0254475460.034657530.02750.79347830.0421872030.0078
6.14.940016E-56.7636094E-50.00.06.7636094E-50.02.1169778E-42.8983652E-41.0E-40.345022082.8983652E-40.00.0025743740.0035229020.00280.794799270.0045193790.0010.0254475460.034657530.02750.79347830.0421872030.0078
6.24.472471E-56.0799062E-50.00.06.0799062E-50.01.9166325E-42.6054154E-40.00.02.6054154E-40.00.00233100260.00316739220.00220.69457770.00396485868.0E-40.023067030.0312138670.02290.73364830.0378984920.0069
6.34.472471E-56.0799062E-50.00.06.0799062E-50.01.9166325E-42.6054154E-40.00.02.6054154E-40.00.00233100260.00316739220.00220.69457770.00396485868.0E-40.023067030.0312138670.02290.73364830.0378984920.0069
6.44.0001003E-55.3926353E-50.00.05.3926353E-50.01.714216E-42.3109278E-40.00.02.3109278E-40.00.00208506030.0028098890.00180.64059470.0034082036.0E-40.020656050.0277386360.01850.66693980.033377750.0058
6.53.8033053E-55.1099152E-50.00.05.1099152E-50.01.6298861E-42.1897825E-40.00.02.1897825E-40.00.00198258020.00266278930.00160.600873650.0031614585.0E-40.0196498560.0263061370.01650.627230050.0311746060.005
6.63.653754E-54.897064E-50.00.04.897064E-50.01.5658008E-42.0985756E-40.00.02.0985756E-40.00.00190469540.00255202640.00150.58776820.00305075045.0E-40.0188845270.0252260980.01540.610478940.0297100560.0046
6.73.372024E-54.4996686E-50.00.04.4996686E-50.01.4450731E-41.928289E-40.00.01.928289E-40.00.00175795670.00234518480.00130.554327370.00264448113.0E-40.0174411480.0232051930.01390.599003850.0271123720.004
6.82.9650024E-53.929196E-50.00.03.929196E-50.01.2706534E-41.6838325E-40.00.01.6838325E-40.00.00154592270.00204813080.0010.488250080.00224772122.0E-40.0153521240.0202902050.01120.551990450.0233273060.0031
6.92.860775E-53.7701204E-50.00.03.7701204E-50.01.2259888E-41.6156661E-40.00.01.6156661E-40.00.00149161940.00196530580.0010.50882670.00216491262.0E-40.0148164690.0194787360.01060.544183140.02242030.003
7.02.6696067E-53.4966903E-50.00.03.4966903E-50.01.144067E-41.4984961E-40.00.01.4984961E-40.00.00139201150.00182290080.0010.54857620.00202253622.0E-40.0138332420.018080130.00990.54756250.0207313130.0027
7.12.456087E-53.1925734E-50.00.03.1925734E-50.01.0525662E-41.3681744E-40.00.01.3681744E-40.00.0012807460.00166448869.0E-40.540706630.00186415582.0E-40.0127338970.0165215950.00910.550794240.0189802930.0025
7.22.295761E-52.9741363E-50.00.02.9741363E-50.09.8386045E-51.274568E-40.00.01.274568E-40.00.00119719190.00155069128.0E-40.5158990.00175038112.0E-40.0119076270.0154002360.00830.53895280.0175663550.0022
7.32.1256936E-52.7465583E-50.00.02.7465583E-50.09.109797E-51.1770438E-40.00.01.1770438E-40.00.00110855350.00143211757.0E-40.488786670.00163183122.0E-40.0110303970.0142301710.00770.541103840.0163002870.0021
7.41.8784336E-52.4240306E-50.00.02.4240306E-50.08.050181E-51.03882936E-40.00.01.03882936E-40.09.796688E-40.00126404847.0E-40.553776260.00146379572.0E-40.0097536120.012569610.00660.5250760.014544470.002
7.51.7248298E-52.2208003E-50.00.02.2208003E-50.07.391918E-59.5173724E-50.00.09.5173724E-50.08.9959445E-40.00115813167.0E-40.60442180.00135792.0E-40.0089596150.0115219380.00610.52942480.0133011990.0018
7.61.0653709E-51.36851195E-50.00.01.36851195E-50.04.5657955E-55.864921E-50.00.05.864921E-50.05.557438E-47.138229E-44.0E-40.56036318.137515E-41.0E-40.00554356030.00711561830.00390.54809010.0082077910.0011
7.73.286316E-64.079729E-60.00.04.079729E-60.01.4084137E-51.7484437E-50.00.01.7484437E-50.01.7146087E-42.1285238E-40.00.02.1285238E-40.00.00171328630.0021265465.0E-40.235123040.00222633361.0E-4
7.85.1855085E-75.9636176E-70.00.05.9636176E-70.02.222359E-62.5558336E-60.00.02.5558336E-60.02.7056883E-53.111684E-50.00.03.111684E-50.02.705359E-43.1113403E-41.0E-40.32140493.1113403E-40.0

Cady

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.9892565E-52.1836178E-50.00.02.1836178E-50.08.525106E-59.358078E-50.00.09.358078E-50.00.00103743740.00113884120.00110.965894160.001937938.0E-40.0103260750.0113390460.01321.16411910.0192483330.008
6.11.9892565E-52.1836178E-50.00.02.1836178E-50.08.525106E-59.358078E-50.00.09.358078E-50.00.00103743740.00113884120.00110.965894160.001937938.0E-40.0103260750.0113390460.01321.16411910.0192483330.008
6.21.9892565E-52.1836178E-50.00.02.1836178E-50.08.525106E-59.358078E-50.00.09.358078E-50.00.00103743740.00113884120.00110.965894160.001937938.0E-40.0103260750.0113390460.01321.16411910.0192483330.008
6.31.1117327E-51.2164474E-50.00.01.2164474E-50.04.764482E-55.2132596E-50.00.05.2132596E-50.05.7992124E-46.3456094E-44.0E-40.63035718.3443406E-42.0E-40.00578410220.00633058980.00590.931982640.0090134970.0027
6.41.1117327E-51.2164474E-50.00.01.2164474E-50.04.764482E-55.2132596E-50.00.05.2132596E-50.05.7992124E-46.3456094E-44.0E-40.63035718.3443406E-42.0E-40.00578410220.00633058980.00590.931982640.0090134970.0027
6.56.103093E-66.665527E-60.00.06.665527E-60.02.615585E-52.8566303E-50.00.02.8566303E-50.03.1840094E-43.4775175E-42.0E-40.57512294.4771697E-41.0E-40.00317945120.00347330720.00361.03647610.00496809740.0015
6.65.817237E-66.3593943E-60.00.06.3593943E-60.02.4930776E-52.7254331E-50.00.02.7254331E-50.03.034899E-43.3178338E-42.0E-40.602802934.317502E-41.0E-40.00303075770.00331410.00341.02591960.0048091290.0015
6.74.8846314E-65.335364E-60.00.05.335364E-60.02.0933967E-52.2865712E-50.00.02.2865712E-50.02.5484123E-42.7836623E-41.0E-40.359238952.7836623E-40.00.00254549180.00278132870.00250.8988510.00367882559.0E-4
6.81.7788773E-61.9380745E-60.00.01.9380745E-60.07.6237375E-68.306017E-60.00.08.306017E-60.09.281505E-51.01122634E-40.00.01.01122634E-40.09.2776294E-40.00101092050.0010.989197430.00111081941.0E-4
6.97.5455404E-78.2884713E-70.00.08.2884713E-70.03.233799E-63.5521991E-60.00.03.5521991E-60.03.937079E-54.3247503E-50.00.04.3247503E-50.03.9363815E-44.3242372E-44.0E-40.92501864.3242372E-40.0
7.06.8578805E-77.53397E-70.00.07.53397E-70.02.9390883E-63.2288422E-60.00.03.2288422E-60.03.578281E-53.9310773E-50.00.03.9310773E-50.03.577705E-43.930706E-44.0E-41.01762893.930706E-40.0

Pinto Mtn

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.4194956E-54.7720834E-52.0E-44.19104154.7720834E-50.01.893932E-42.0450275E-42.0E-40.9779822.0450275E-40.00.00230342360.0024871410.0020.804136160.00328515128.0E-40.0227969380.0246105160.02020.82078740.0317308570.0073
6.14.4194956E-54.7720834E-52.0E-44.19104154.7720834E-50.01.893932E-42.0450275E-42.0E-40.9779822.0450275E-40.00.00230342360.0024871410.0020.804136160.00328515128.0E-40.0227969380.0246105160.02020.82078740.0317308570.0073
6.24.4194956E-54.7720834E-52.0E-44.19104154.7720834E-50.01.893932E-42.0450275E-42.0E-40.9779822.0450275E-40.00.00230342360.0024871410.0020.804136160.00328515128.0E-40.0227969380.0246105160.02020.82078740.0317308570.0073
6.34.4194956E-54.7720834E-52.0E-44.19104154.7720834E-50.01.893932E-42.0450275E-42.0E-40.9779822.0450275E-40.00.00230342360.0024871410.0020.804136160.00328515128.0E-40.0227969380.0246105160.02020.82078740.0317308570.0073
6.43.729929E-53.948728E-51.0E-42.53246123.948728E-50.01.5984432E-41.6922074E-41.0E-40.59094411.6922074E-40.00.00194436730.00205840870.00190.923043130.0028567628.0E-40.0192744270.0204034150.01670.81849040.0271626320.0069
6.53.729929E-53.948728E-51.0E-42.53246123.948728E-50.01.5984432E-41.6922074E-41.0E-40.59094411.6922074E-40.00.00194436730.00205840870.00190.923043130.0028567628.0E-40.0192744270.0204034150.01670.81849040.0271626320.0069
6.63.0204548E-53.110548E-50.00.03.110548E-50.01.2944164E-41.3330257E-40.00.01.3330257E-40.00.00157481270.00162178520.00130.80158580.0022208126.0E-40.0156369920.016103350.0130.80728550.021711560.0057
6.72.9857754E-53.071538E-50.00.03.071538E-50.01.2795553E-41.3163088E-40.00.01.3163088E-40.00.00155674530.00160146240.00130.81175810.00220050156.0E-40.0154588480.0159030430.01290.81116550.0215123950.0057
6.82.4819734E-52.491932E-50.00.02.491932E-50.01.0636595E-41.0679283E-40.00.01.0679283E-40.00.00129423620.00129944880.00110.846512730.00179879915.0E-40.0128672440.0129208610.01060.82037870.0175601340.0047
6.92.331124E-52.3249495E-50.00.02.3249495E-50.09.990149E-59.963701E-50.00.09.963701E-50.00.0012156220.00121242580.0010.82479280.00161194084.0E-40.0120899360.0120602930.00990.82087560.0165060220.0045
7.02.1818534E-52.1674205E-50.00.02.1674205E-50.09.3504656E-59.288626E-50.00.09.288626E-50.00.00113782460.00113032320.0010.88470270.0015298714.0E-40.0113201630.0112478330.00920.81793530.0154005920.0042
7.12.066081E-52.0455356E-50.00.02.0455356E-50.08.854332E-58.766297E-50.00.08.766297E-50.00.00107748180.00106679360.0010.93738840.00146636694.0E-40.0107227240.0106187670.0090.847556050.0147741680.0042
7.21.8990233E-51.8971818E-50.00.01.8971818E-50.08.138417E-58.130536E-50.00.08.130536E-50.09.904018E-49.894625E-40.0011.01064980.00138906674.0E-40.0098599950.0098525590.00830.84242070.013615120.0038
7.31.3335872E-51.4832578E-50.00.01.4832578E-50.05.7152483E-56.356672E-50.00.06.356672E-50.06.956093E-47.7366264E-40.0011.29255310.00117335324.0E-40.0069343590.00771098540.00720.93373280.0107870810.0031
7.49.414066E-61.1790612E-50.00.01.1790612E-50.04.0345374E-55.0530267E-50.00.05.0530267E-50.04.910942E-46.150417E-47.0E-41.13813419.148572E-43.0E-40.00490010340.0061343380.00520.84768720.0084202290.0023
7.57.2101157E-69.0914455E-60.00.09.0914455E-60.03.090013E-53.89628E-50.00.03.89628E-50.03.7614413E-44.7427657E-45.0E-41.05423716.7418173E-42.0E-40.00375508070.0047334140.00340.71829760.0060272610.0013
7.63.296375E-64.4818053E-60.00.04.4818053E-60.01.4127245E-51.9207604E-50.00.01.9207604E-50.01.7198564E-42.3382882E-41.0E-40.427663272.3382882E-40.00.00171852590.00233596070.0020.856178760.00303432557.0E-4
7.72.5741092E-63.5248079E-60.00.03.5248079E-60.01.103185E-51.5106239E-50.00.01.5106239E-50.01.3430449E-41.8390421E-41.0E-40.54376141.8390421E-40.00.00134223350.00183764570.00150.81626180.0024365436.0E-4

San Diego Trough south

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.279495E-51.0398335E-40.00.01.0398335E-40.03.5478722E-44.4557097E-41.0E-40.224431134.4557097E-40.00.0043109820.00541177160.00310.57282530.006406360.0010.0422830540.0528597530.0330.62429350.060058020.0076
6.14.6961468E-55.7593406E-50.00.05.7593406E-50.02.0124791E-42.4680578E-41.0E-40.405176882.4680578E-40.00.002447440.00300077840.00170.56651970.00369867787.0E-40.0242066030.0296109730.01670.56398010.0339777250.0045
6.23.5079658E-54.2053834E-50.00.04.2053834E-50.01.5033272E-41.8021835E-41.0E-40.55488241.8021835E-40.00.00182876420.00219196830.00160.729937550.00289043397.0E-40.0181378760.0217060740.01260.580482660.0246409570.003
6.33.5079658E-54.2053834E-50.00.04.2053834E-50.01.5033272E-41.8021835E-41.0E-40.55488241.8021835E-40.00.00182876420.00219196830.00160.729937550.00289043397.0E-40.0181378760.0217060740.01260.580482660.0246409570.003
6.42.7196904E-53.2026568E-50.00.03.2026568E-50.01.16552954E-41.372496E-40.00.01.372496E-40.00.00141810850.00166974480.00110.65878330.0022687436.0E-40.0140909290.0165736270.00890.536997740.018540480.002
6.52.5584688E-53.004582E-50.00.03.004582E-50.01.0964406E-41.2876153E-40.00.01.2876153E-40.00.00133409890.00156655630.0010.638342860.00206577315.0E-40.0132611810.01555670050.00820.5271040.0174271430.0019
6.62.2034688E-52.5697242E-50.00.02.5697242E-50.09.443096E-51.10126435E-40.00.01.10126435E-40.00.00114909050.00133997218.0E-40.597027360.00173943624.0E-40.0114316680.01331992450.00710.533036050.0148986130.0016
6.71.9394853E-52.2503391E-50.00.02.2503391E-50.08.311815E-59.643957E-50.00.09.643957E-50.00.00101149360.00117352458.0E-40.68170710.00157305524.0E-40.010069020.0116739770.00610.52252970.0132552990.0016
6.81.7615313E-52.0369338E-50.00.02.0369338E-50.07.549201E-58.729427E-50.00.08.729427E-50.09.1872766E-40.00106229387.0E-40.65895140.00136197513.0E-40.0091493870.0105727230.00580.54858150.0120568650.0015
6.91.5621423E-51.7997054E-50.00.01.7997054E-50.06.6947236E-57.7127974E-50.00.07.7127974E-50.08.147778E-49.38632E-47.0E-40.745766160.00123835043.0E-40.0081179690.0093471180.00510.54562270.0108330980.0015
7.01.3444376E-51.5423993E-50.00.01.5423993E-50.05.7617483E-56.610117E-50.00.06.610117E-50.07.0126704E-48.044873E-46.0E-40.74581660.0011042463.0E-40.0069905820.0080160820.00410.51147180.0092064630.0012
7.11.2268361E-51.4051366E-50.00.01.4051366E-50.05.2577634E-56.021876E-50.00.06.021876E-50.06.399447E-47.3291943E-46.0E-40.818643870.00103269963.0E-40.00638104930.00730532640.00360.492791120.008496560.0012
7.21.0922655E-51.24944845E-50.00.01.24944845E-50.04.681054E-55.3546704E-50.00.05.3546704E-50.05.697693E-46.5173866E-46.0E-40.92061449.515431E-43.0E-40.00568310640.00649855240.00330.50780540.0075914040.0011
7.36.1106753E-66.9192024E-60.00.06.9192024E-60.02.6188345E-52.9653389E-50.00.02.9653389E-50.03.1879646E-43.6097062E-44.0E-41.10812345.608984E-42.0E-40.00318339510.0036038880.00210.5827040.0046002840.001
7.44.933187E-65.5817527E-60.00.05.5817527E-60.02.114206E-52.392158E-50.00.02.392158E-50.02.5737417E-42.912067E-43.0E-41.03019613.911776E-41.0E-40.0025707630.00290829220.00180.61891990.00380567489.0E-4
7.51.7489613E-61.967052E-60.00.01.967052E-60.07.495527E-68.430196E-60.00.08.430196E-60.09.125422E-51.0263303E-42.0E-41.94869042.0262276E-41.0E-49.1216754E-40.00102587826.0E-40.584864740.00132557053.0E-4
7.61.6988751E-71.7527951E-70.00.01.7527951E-70.07.2808916E-77.5119766E-70.00.07.5119766E-70.08.864449E-69.145795E-60.00.09.145795E-60.08.8640954E-59.1454385E-51.0E-41.09344129.1454385E-50.0

Great Valley 09 (Laguna Seca)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.4353277E-57.0272334E-50.00.07.0272334E-50.02.3292181E-43.0113247E-42.0E-40.664159544.0110236E-41.0E-40.00283213520.00366013170.00270.73767840.00475610560.00110.027963120.03600270.02650.73605590.043136280.0074
6.14.5578287E-55.80379E-50.00.05.80379E-50.01.953209E-42.4871025E-41.0E-40.402074283.486854E-41.0E-40.00237543830.0030238480.00210.69447940.00382142898.0E-40.0235020630.0298286790.01990.667143170.035552690.0059
6.22.8536782E-53.4637753E-50.00.03.4637753E-50.01.2229476E-41.4843907E-41.0E-40.673677152.484242E-41.0E-40.00148792170.00180572770.0010.55379340.00200536662.0E-40.0147799860.017908380.01060.59190170.0203636080.0025
6.32.3698774E-52.8136803E-50.00.02.8136803E-50.01.01562226E-41.205806E-41.0E-40.829320852.2056853E-41.0E-40.00123581860.001467078.0E-40.54530460.00166677662.0E-40.0122896860.0145725620.00850.583287950.0163463320.0018
6.41.9191197E-52.206722E-50.00.02.206722E-50.08.2245395E-59.45706E-50.00.09.45706E-50.00.00100087770.00115079216.0E-40.521380.0012506771.0E-40.0099638180.011448560.00710.62016530.0129313880.0015
6.51.5203241E-51.67631E-50.00.01.67631E-50.06.5155116E-57.1840055E-50.00.07.1840055E-50.07.9297484E-48.7431574E-43.0E-40.34312558.7431574E-40.00.0079015120.008709980.00450.51664870.0093047546.0E-4
6.61.0984925E-51.1222065E-50.00.01.1222065E-50.04.70774E-54.8093694E-50.00.04.8093694E-50.05.730166E-45.853872E-42.0E-40.341654185.853872E-40.00.0057154130.00583884540.00320.548053560.0063359265.0E-4
6.79.134616E-69.004035E-60.00.09.004035E-60.03.9147766E-53.858816E-50.00.03.858816E-50.04.7651984E-44.6971196E-41.0E-40.212896444.6971196E-40.00.0047549930.0046874360.00260.554674270.0051850925.0E-4
6.87.785589E-67.4387403E-60.00.07.4387403E-60.03.3366385E-53.187994E-50.00.03.187994E-50.04.0616E-43.8807112E-41.0E-40.257684743.8807112E-40.00.00405418450.00387413780.00220.56786830.0043722015.0E-4
6.95.579095E-64.8894753E-60.00.04.8894753E-60.02.3910188E-52.0954734E-50.00.02.0954734E-50.02.9106764E-42.550954E-41.0E-40.39201022.550954E-40.00.0029068670.00254816260.00140.549415470.00284739823.0E-4
7.02.6816688E-61.51843E-60.00.01.51843E-60.01.1492816E-56.5075415E-60.00.06.5075415E-60.01.3991605E-47.922653E-51.0E-41.26220367.922653E-50.00.00139827997.919915E-44.0E-40.50505598.919123E-41.0E-4
7.11.9951021E-67.4325794E-70.00.07.4325794E-70.08.55041E-63.1853874E-60.00.03.1853874E-60.01.0409627E-43.8781443E-50.00.03.8781443E-50.00.00104047523.877509E-43.0E-40.77369264.877121E-41.0E-4
7.21.9951021E-67.4325794E-70.00.07.4325794E-70.08.55041E-63.1853874E-60.00.03.1853874E-60.01.0409627E-43.8781443E-50.00.03.8781443E-50.00.00104047523.877509E-43.0E-40.77369264.877121E-41.0E-4
7.31.7087556E-66.5603325E-70.00.06.5603325E-70.07.3232177E-62.8115683E-60.00.02.8115683E-60.08.915652E-53.4230347E-50.00.03.4230347E-50.08.9120766E-43.4225476E-42.0E-40.584364.4222054E-41.0E-4
7.41.3804846E-66.057212E-70.00.06.057212E-70.05.916349E-62.5959457E-60.00.02.5959457E-60.07.2029165E-53.160522E-50.00.03.160522E-50.07.200583E-43.1601125E-42.0E-40.632888854.1597965E-41.0E-4
7.51.3804846E-66.057212E-70.00.06.057212E-70.05.916349E-62.5959457E-60.00.02.5959457E-60.07.2029165E-53.160522E-50.00.03.160522E-50.07.200583E-43.1601125E-42.0E-40.632888854.1597965E-41.0E-4

Rose Canyon

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5923203E-54.956853E-51.0E-42.0174094.956853E-50.01.9679888E-42.1242037E-44.0E-41.88305843.1239915E-41.0E-40.00239339330.00258334910.00271.04515480.00298231584.0E-40.0236777980.0255691020.02671.0442290.0321952330.0068
6.14.5923203E-54.956853E-51.0E-42.0174094.956853E-50.01.9679888E-42.1242037E-44.0E-41.88305843.1239915E-41.0E-40.00239339330.00258334910.00190.735479350.00288257423.0E-40.0236777980.0255691020.01670.6531320.029954040.0045
6.22.8844734E-52.959061E-51.0E-43.37945032.959061E-50.01.2361443E-41.2681072E-43.0E-42.36573082.2679803E-41.0E-40.00150396650.00154285620.00110.71296340.00164270191.0E-40.01493828650.0153203930.0090.58745230.0180774960.0028
6.32.3171577E-52.3104067E-50.00.02.3104067E-50.09.9302975E-59.901375E-52.0E-42.01992151.9900384E-41.0E-40.00120834310.0012048399.0E-40.746987760.00130471851.0E-40.0120179380.0119845980.00690.575738970.0141582310.0022
6.42.0066604E-51.961547E-50.00.01.961547E-50.08.599689E-58.406365E-51.0E-41.18957488.406365E-50.00.00104650920.00102300437.0E-40.684259060.00102300430.00.0104159460.0101796680.00590.579586740.0118623620.0017
6.51.776989E-51.7066739E-50.00.01.7066739E-50.07.615444E-57.314116E-51.0E-41.36721937.314116E-50.09.267859E-48.901367E-46.0E-40.67405388.901367E-40.00.0092293030.0088629770.00480.541578770.0100523410.0012
6.61.5227364E-51.4300016E-50.00.01.4300016E-50.06.52585E-56.128437E-51.0E-41.63173746.128437E-50.07.942326E-47.45887E-45.0E-40.670342867.45887E-40.00.0079140.00742093240.00330.444688050.0081157387.0E-4
6.71.2703898E-51.1645403E-50.00.01.1645403E-50.05.4444143E-54.9907936E-51.0E-42.00368934.9907936E-50.06.626558E-46.0746394E-45.0E-40.82309416.0746394E-40.00.0066068330.00604291070.00250.413707940.0065398895.0E-4
6.81.1554917E-51.0585705E-50.00.01.0585705E-50.04.9520135E-54.536654E-51.0E-42.20426774.536654E-50.06.0274085E-45.522017E-45.0E-40.905466265.522017E-40.00.00601108650.0054983970.00230.418303730.0059956485.0E-4
6.98.732078E-67.867251E-60.00.07.867251E-60.03.7422655E-53.371637E-51.0E-42.96591833.371637E-50.04.5552556E-44.1042242E-44.0E-40.97460564.1042242E-40.00.00454592940.00408172470.00180.44099010.00457968385.0E-4
7.05.9337494E-65.097115E-60.00.05.097115E-60.02.5430107E-52.1844595E-51.0E-44.5777912.1844595E-50.03.0956755E-42.6592563E-43.0E-41.1281352.6592563E-40.00.00309136670.00265608960.00120.451791970.00295529283.0E-4
7.15.013409E-64.1690255E-60.00.04.1690255E-60.02.1485863E-51.786713E-51.0E-45.596871.786713E-50.02.6155898E-42.175107E-42.0E-40.9194952.175107E-40.00.00261251330.00217298980.0010.460195480.00247233783.0E-4
7.24.120763E-63.2745982E-60.00.03.2745982E-60.01.7660293E-51.4033917E-51.0E-47.1255941.4033917E-50.02.1499286E-41.7084964E-42.0E-41.170621.7084964E-40.00.00214784990.00170719240.0010.58575710.00200668023.0E-4
7.33.2081239E-62.4343676E-60.00.02.4343676E-60.01.374903E-51.0432963E-51.0E-49.5850051.0432963E-50.01.6738157E-41.2701399E-41.0E-40.78731491.2701399E-40.00.00167255560.00126942087.0E-40.551432550.0014691672.0E-4
7.42.4194755E-61.7629421E-60.00.01.7629421E-60.01.0369139E-57.5554444E-61.0E-413.2354897.5554444E-60.01.2623696E-49.198371E-51.0E-41.0871499.198371E-50.00.00126165279.1946166E-45.0E-40.54379650.00101936971.0E-4
7.51.3842889E-69.33772E-70.00.09.33772E-70.05.9326535E-64.001874E-60.00.04.001874E-60.07.222766E-54.8721762E-50.00.04.8721762E-50.07.220419E-44.871143E-41.0E-40.205290624.871143E-40.0
7.61.0021575E-66.3823694E-70.00.06.3823694E-70.04.2949537E-62.7352985E-60.00.02.7352985E-60.05.2289808E-53.330177E-50.00.03.330177E-50.05.2277505E-43.3296994E-40.00.03.3296994E-40.0
7.78.7620116E-86.445977E-80.00.06.445977E-80.03.7551473E-72.7625612E-70.00.02.7625612E-70.04.5718825E-63.3634135E-60.00.03.3634135E-60.04.5717883E-53.3633652E-50.00.03.3633652E-50.0

Garlock (East)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5092507E-56.262008E-52.0E-43.19386396.262008E-50.01.9323928E-42.6834666E-44.0E-41.49060932.6834666E-40.00.00235014970.003262670.00230.70494410.00346201752.0E-40.0232545040.032223490.02430.75410830.0388043670.0068
6.14.5092507E-56.262008E-52.0E-43.19386396.262008E-50.01.9323928E-42.6834666E-44.0E-41.49060932.6834666E-40.00.00235014970.003262670.00230.70494410.00346201752.0E-40.0232545040.032223490.02430.75410830.0388043670.0068
6.22.6674514E-53.4284723E-51.0E-42.91675113.4284723E-50.01.1431433E-41.4692644E-41.0E-40.680612741.4692644E-40.00.00139088840.00178739449.0E-40.50352630.0019870372.0E-40.013822150.0177977330.01250.702336670.0217265410.004
6.32.6674514E-53.4284723E-51.0E-42.91675113.4284723E-50.01.1431433E-41.4692644E-41.0E-40.680612741.4692644E-40.00.00139088840.00178739449.0E-40.50352630.0019870372.0E-40.013822150.0177977330.01250.702336670.0217265410.004
6.42.5312667E-53.2118973E-51.0E-43.11342453.2118973E-50.01.0847834E-41.3764565E-41.0E-40.72650321.3764565E-40.00.00131992370.00167457677.0E-40.418016080.00187424172.0E-40.0131211120.0166718750.01130.67778820.0204085220.0038
6.52.5312667E-53.2118973E-51.0E-43.11342453.2118973E-50.01.0847834E-41.3764565E-41.0E-40.72650321.3764565E-40.00.00131992370.00167457677.0E-40.418016080.00187424172.0E-40.0131211120.0166718750.01130.67778820.0204085220.0038
6.62.246556E-52.7922182E-51.0E-43.58138182.7922182E-50.09.627742E-51.1966114E-41.0E-40.83569321.1966114E-40.00.00117154720.00145592417.0E-40.480794280.0016556332.0E-40.0116539010.0145167940.00990.681968750.0177688880.0033
6.72.2241198E-52.7592509E-51.0E-43.6241722.7592509E-50.09.531594E-51.1824838E-41.0E-40.84567751.1824838E-40.00.00115985380.00143874667.0E-40.48653460.00163845892.0E-40.0115381870.0143467330.00980.683082340.0175993890.0033
6.81.9528685E-52.3700766E-51.0E-44.2192732.3700766E-50.08.369167E-51.0157087E-41.0E-40.984534261.0157087E-40.00.00101846980.00123594335.0E-40.40454930.00133581971.0E-40.0101381470.0123341780.00830.672926840.0150996430.0028
6.91.3318621E-51.5027202E-50.00.01.5027202E-50.05.7078556E-56.440074E-50.00.06.440074E-50.06.9470983E-47.8380253E-43.0E-40.382749477.8380253E-40.00.00692542040.0078510480.0050.63685760.0096369170.0018
7.01.1760853E-51.2941798E-50.00.01.2941798E-50.05.0402683E-55.5463697E-50.00.05.5463697E-50.06.134799E-46.7506626E-43.0E-40.444400826.7506626E-40.00.00611789060.006770510.00420.620337250.0082603540.0015
7.11.0064758E-51.0742595E-50.00.01.0742595E-50.04.3133965E-54.6038902E-50.00.04.6038902E-50.05.2502943E-45.603829E-42.0E-40.35689885.603829E-40.00.0052379070.00562932670.00340.60397990.00672313430.0011
7.29.768808E-61.0340137E-50.00.01.0340137E-50.04.186565E-54.431414E-50.00.04.431414E-50.05.095951E-45.3939456E-42.0E-40.37078615.3939456E-40.00.00508428040.0054205480.00320.59034630.00641512730.001
7.39.344516E-69.7887205E-60.00.09.7887205E-60.04.004731E-54.1951003E-50.00.04.1951003E-50.04.8746695E-45.106372E-42.0E-40.391667545.106372E-40.00.00486399050.0051337240.0030.584371150.00602910349.0E-4
7.49.023491E-69.337981E-60.00.09.337981E-60.03.867153E-54.0019324E-50.00.04.0019324E-50.04.7072413E-44.8712967E-42.0E-40.41056834.8712967E-40.00.0046972830.00489871950.00270.551164450.005595297.0E-4
7.57.081253E-66.9513176E-60.00.06.9513176E-60.03.0347876E-52.9791025E-50.00.02.9791025E-50.03.6942272E-43.626461E-42.0E-40.551501873.626461E-40.00.0036880920.00365320640.00190.520091060.00415137975.0E-4
7.66.116396E-65.8294945E-60.00.05.8294945E-60.02.6212863E-52.498331E-50.00.02.498331E-50.03.1909486E-43.041296E-40.00.03.041296E-40.00.00318637070.00306802620.00120.391130950.00336710573.0E-4
7.74.797145E-64.6360797E-60.00.04.6360797E-60.02.055903E-51.9868761E-50.00.01.9868761E-50.02.5027743E-42.4187544E-40.00.02.4187544E-40.00.00249995760.00244608738.0E-40.327052920.0026455982.0E-4
7.83.4028885E-63.870148E-60.00.03.870148E-60.01.4583726E-51.6586244E-50.00.01.6586244E-50.01.775424E-42.0191887E-40.00.02.0191887E-40.00.00177400620.00204475837.0E-40.342338740.0021445541.0E-4
7.92.5928412E-63.2804935E-60.00.03.2804935E-60.01.1112129E-51.4059183E-50.00.01.4059183E-50.01.3528178E-41.7115717E-40.00.01.7115717E-40.00.00135199450.00173330336.0E-40.346159850.00183312991.0E-4
8.01.3743648E-61.6307154E-60.00.01.6307154E-60.05.8901214E-66.9887615E-60.00.06.9887615E-60.07.1709874E-58.5084874E-50.00.08.5084874E-50.07.1686733E-48.6138607E-41.0E-40.116091968.6138607E-40.0
8.13.6733252E-73.0569248E-70.00.03.0569248E-70.01.5742813E-61.3101101E-60.00.01.3101101E-60.01.9166706E-51.5950489E-50.00.01.5950489E-50.01.9165053E-41.615787E-40.00.01.615787E-40.0

Great Valley 04b Gordon Valley

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.1181217E-52.3948787E-50.00.02.3948787E-50.09.077348E-51.02634556E-40.00.01.02634556E-40.00.00110460680.00124902560.00120.9607490.00214790139.0E-40.0109913220.0124364550.0131.0453140.0192506430.0069
6.12.1181217E-52.3948787E-50.00.02.3948787E-50.09.077348E-51.02634556E-40.00.01.02634556E-40.00.00110460680.00124902560.00120.9607490.00214790139.0E-40.0109913220.0124364550.0131.0453140.0192506430.0069
6.22.1181217E-52.3948787E-50.00.02.3948787E-50.09.077348E-51.02634556E-40.00.01.02634556E-40.00.00110460680.00124902560.00120.9607490.00214790139.0E-40.0109913220.0124364550.0131.0453140.0192506430.0069
6.32.1181217E-52.3948787E-50.00.02.3948787E-50.09.077348E-51.02634556E-40.00.01.02634556E-40.00.00110460680.00124902560.00120.9607490.00214790139.0E-40.0109913220.0124364550.0131.0453140.0192506430.0069
6.41.0988268E-51.22397605E-50.00.01.22397605E-50.04.7091726E-55.245515E-50.00.05.245515E-50.05.731909E-46.384702E-44.0E-40.62649750.00103821494.0E-40.0057171470.0063679420.00630.98933060.0094482010.0031
6.51.0988268E-51.22397605E-50.00.01.22397605E-50.04.7091726E-55.245515E-50.00.05.245515E-50.05.731909E-46.384702E-44.0E-40.62649750.00103821494.0E-40.0057171470.0063679420.00630.98933060.0094482010.0031
6.61.0517822E-51.1710029E-50.00.01.1710029E-50.04.5075605E-55.018496E-50.00.05.018496E-50.05.4865726E-46.108462E-44.0E-40.65482930.00101060194.0E-40.00547304660.00609322170.0060.98470080.0089755510.0029
6.77.789219E-68.667313E-60.00.08.667313E-60.03.3381937E-53.7145124E-50.00.03.7145124E-50.04.063493E-44.521532E-44.0E-40.88465598.519724E-44.0E-40.0040560710.00451284830.00481.06362970.0068024690.0023
6.87.5850853E-68.4423E-60.00.08.4423E-60.03.2507105E-53.6180812E-50.00.03.6180812E-50.03.957021E-44.404175E-44.0E-40.90822918.402413E-44.0E-40.00394998260.0043959580.00481.09191220.0066858470.0023
6.96.604105E-67.349773E-60.00.07.349773E-60.02.8303E-53.149867E-50.00.03.149867E-50.03.4453452E-43.8343266E-43.0E-40.78240596.8331766E-43.0E-40.00344000850.00382809670.00391.01878310.0056212060.0018
7.05.3701115E-65.9812187E-60.00.05.9812187E-60.02.301456E-52.5633559E-50.00.02.5633559E-50.02.8016625E-43.120468E-42.0E-40.64092955.119844E-42.0E-40.00279813280.00311637410.00331.05892290.00461169940.0015
7.14.4685607E-64.980442E-60.00.04.980442E-60.01.9150835E-52.1344591E-50.00.02.1344591E-50.02.3313647E-42.5984188E-41.0E-40.384849433.598159E-41.0E-40.00232892040.0025956250.00261.00168560.00369276970.0011
7.22.833378E-63.160555E-60.00.03.160555E-60.01.2142991E-51.3545175E-50.00.01.3545175E-50.01.4783088E-41.6490176E-41.0E-40.606421652.6488528E-41.0E-40.00147732580.00164796550.0021.21361770.00254648239.0E-4
7.37.0087293E-77.763911E-70.00.07.763911E-70.03.0037377E-63.3273889E-60.00.03.3273889E-60.03.656989E-54.0510662E-51.0E-42.46848581.4050661E-41.0E-43.6563876E-44.0507765E-48.0E-41.974938.049156E-44.0E-4
7.43.112171E-83.2058175E-80.00.03.2058175E-80.01.3337875E-71.3739218E-70.00.01.3739218E-70.01.6238852E-61.6727486E-60.00.01.6727486E-60.01.6238733E-51.6727368E-50.00.01.6727368E-50.0

Bartlett Springs 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.2326144E-58.037504E-53.0E-43.73250228.037504E-50.02.6708472E-43.4441956E-43.0E-40.87103073.4441956E-40.00.0032469080.0041853480.00240.573429050.0044840923.0E-40.0319987570.041082450.02560.62313710.0476989820.0069
6.16.227657E-58.0312704E-53.0E-43.73539928.0312704E-50.02.668723E-43.441525E-43.0E-40.87170663.441525E-40.00.00324432950.00418210870.00240.573873160.0044808543.0E-40.0319737120.0410512650.02560.62361050.047668010.0069
6.26.22452E-58.0273414E-53.0E-43.73722748.0273414E-50.02.6673786E-43.4398414E-43.0E-40.87213323.4398414E-40.00.00324269780.00418006680.00240.57415350.0044788133.0E-40.031957870.0410316030.02560.62390930.0476484860.0069
6.36.219006E-58.020344E-53.0E-43.74048788.020344E-50.02.6650162E-43.4368437E-43.0E-40.87289393.4368437E-40.00.003239830.00417643130.00240.57465330.0044751783.0E-40.0319300140.04099660.02560.624442040.047613720.0069
6.45.2175856E-56.706463E-53.0E-44.47329666.706463E-50.02.2359163E-42.873884E-43.0E-41.04388362.873884E-40.00.00271882980.00349338770.00220.629761160.00379233973.0E-40.0268580580.034394110.02060.59893970.0398980640.0057
6.55.205166E-56.6907734E-53.0E-44.48378666.6907734E-50.02.2305945E-42.867161E-43.0E-41.04633122.867161E-40.00.00271236660.0034852290.00220.63123540.00378418343.0E-40.0267949890.0343150650.02050.597405250.0398194680.0057
6.65.0085426E-56.431246E-53.0E-44.66472636.431246E-50.02.1463417E-42.75596E-43.0E-41.088552.75596E-40.00.00261003940.00335026880.00210.62681540.00364926363.0E-40.0257959650.0330067050.01940.58775930.0380350720.0052
6.74.8930866E-56.284131E-53.0E-44.77392966.284131E-50.02.0968684E-42.692924E-43.0E-41.11403072.692924E-40.00.00254994840.00327375550.0020.61091910.0034731012.0E-40.0252088640.03226410.01910.59198920.0371027780.005
6.84.5679535E-55.8579746E-53.0E-45.1212245.8579746E-50.01.9575475E-42.510321E-43.0E-41.19506632.510321E-40.00.0023807090.00305207030.0020.65529290.00325145972.0E-40.0235536530.030108460.0180.597838640.0344729720.0045
6.94.1439176E-55.307531E-52.0E-43.76823045.307531E-50.01.7758438E-42.2744594E-42.0E-40.879329862.2744594E-40.00.0021599460.00276566340.00170.614680770.00296511012.0E-40.0213907210.027317380.01580.578386370.031305380.0041
7.03.5920104E-54.588693E-51.0E-42.17926984.588693E-50.01.5393422E-41.9664354E-41.0E-40.50853441.9664354E-40.00.0018725380.00239152230.00130.543586850.0025910442.0E-40.0185683780.0236610380.01330.562105540.026980590.0034
7.13.338812E-54.2578507E-51.0E-42.34860284.2578507E-50.01.430841E-41.8246664E-41.0E-40.54804541.8246664E-40.00.00174065680.00221928230.00130.58577490.00241883872.0E-40.0172708540.0219739280.01270.57795770.0249080060.003
7.22.8619615E-53.6309073E-51.0E-42.75413273.6309073E-50.01.2264973E-41.5560108E-41.0E-40.64266911.5560108E-40.00.00149223760.00189280670.0010.528315960.0020924282.0E-40.0148225680.0187687910.01020.543455360.0211237460.0024
7.32.6376783E-53.3337503E-51.0E-42.99962473.3337503E-50.01.13038455E-41.4286724E-41.0E-40.69995051.4286724E-40.00.00137537430.00173803019.0E-40.517827630.00193768252.0E-40.013668930.0172459730.00960.55665170.0195063070.0023
7.42.3738676E-52.9904191E-51.0E-43.34401272.9904191E-50.01.0173322E-41.2815457E-41.0E-40.78030771.2815457E-40.00.00123789810.00155917319.0E-40.5772290.00175886142.0E-40.0123102510.0154836120.00850.54896750.0176495480.0022
7.52.1789481E-52.7371283E-51.0E-43.6534642.7371283E-50.09.338015E-51.1730027E-41.0E-40.852512961.1730027E-40.00.00113631030.00142720319.0E-40.6306040.00162691762.0E-40.0113051750.0141815480.00790.55706190.0162517670.0021
7.61.3895281E-51.732663E-51.0E-45.77146241.732663E-50.05.9549846E-57.425489E-51.0E-41.34671267.425489E-50.07.2477816E-49.0368115E-45.0E-40.553292450.00100359081.0E-40.00722418870.0090004430.00530.58885990.0103878420.0014
7.74.245981E-65.150537E-60.00.05.150537E-60.01.8196934E-52.2073546E-50.00.02.2073546E-50.02.2152514E-42.6871247E-40.00.02.6871247E-40.00.00221304460.00268394030.00120.447103830.00288340362.0E-4
7.86.145192E-77.037207E-70.00.07.037207E-70.02.633651E-63.0159424E-60.00.03.0159424E-60.03.206423E-53.671849E-50.00.03.671849E-50.03.2059604E-43.6713365E-42.0E-40.544760763.6713365E-40.0

San Diego Trough north alt1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.329252E-58.8024135E-50.00.08.8024135E-50.03.14073E-43.7719536E-40.00.03.7719536E-40.00.00381713550.00458326420.00280.610918340.00528005567.0E-40.037522310.0449514650.02990.665161850.0514457930.0068
6.13.7940346E-54.4798235E-50.00.04.4798235E-50.01.6259136E-41.9197886E-40.00.01.9197886E-40.00.00197775240.00233491840.00140.59959270.0028337515.0E-40.0196024310.0231126510.01230.53217610.0256525580.0026
6.22.8645263E-53.3239627E-50.00.03.3239627E-50.01.2275964E-41.4244791E-40.00.01.4244791E-40.00.00149357390.00173294590.0010.577052060.00213225284.0E-40.01483575350.0171970170.00980.56986630.0192609020.0021
6.32.8645263E-53.3239627E-50.00.03.3239627E-50.01.2275964E-41.4244791E-40.00.01.4244791E-40.00.00149357390.00173294590.0010.577052060.00213225284.0E-40.01483575350.0171970170.00980.56986630.0192609020.0021
6.42.2204576E-52.5409145E-50.00.02.5409145E-50.09.5159E-51.0889184E-40.00.01.0889184E-40.00.0011579450.00132496138.0E-40.603791240.00172443134.0E-40.0115192980.0131717910.00790.59976660.0150467640.0019
6.52.1004838E-52.3988314E-50.00.02.3988314E-50.09.0017624E-51.0280306E-40.00.01.0280306E-40.00.00109541360.00125091738.0E-40.639530660.0016504174.0E-40.0109002960.0124398450.00770.618978740.014316210.0019
6.61.820557E-52.0674883E-50.00.02.0674883E-50.07.802154E-58.8603665E-50.00.08.8603665E-50.09.4949827E-40.0010782215.0E-40.463726820.00127800542.0E-40.0094545160.0107305660.00650.60574620.0124123250.0017
6.71.5884485E-51.7958651E-50.00.01.7958651E-50.06.807459E-57.696339E-50.00.07.696339E-50.08.284929E-49.3662925E-45.0E-40.533829150.0011364422.0E-40.0082541090.0093271820.00560.60039570.0109122580.0016
6.81.4331171E-51.6178852E-50.00.01.6178852E-50.06.141786E-56.933611E-50.00.06.933611E-50.07.4750587E-48.4384216E-45.0E-40.592527870.00104367342.0E-40.00744996450.0084066460.00480.570976850.0098940360.0015
6.91.2574203E-51.4186481E-50.00.01.4186481E-50.05.3888325E-56.0797796E-50.00.06.0797796E-50.06.558929E-47.3996314E-44.0E-40.540567469.398152E-42.0E-40.00653960370.00737517840.0040.542359770.0087648540.0014
7.01.0883844E-51.22726E-50.00.01.22726E-50.04.664421E-55.25958E-50.00.05.25958E-50.05.677453E-46.401667E-44.0E-40.62483728.400387E-42.0E-40.005662970.0063833540.00310.485638140.0075756940.0012
7.19.393088E-61.0592619E-50.00.01.0592619E-50.04.025547E-54.5396155E-50.00.04.5396155E-50.04.900001E-45.525588E-44.0E-40.72390497.524483E-42.0E-40.00488921070.0055119450.00290.52613010.00660588170.0011
7.28.190791E-69.245941E-60.00.09.245941E-60.03.510292E-53.962486E-50.00.03.962486E-50.04.2729423E-44.823266E-44.0E-40.82931366.822301E-42.0E-40.00426473560.00481287760.00250.519439760.00580806470.001
7.36.268162E-67.079958E-60.00.07.079958E-60.02.6863276E-53.0342326E-50.00.03.0342326E-50.03.2701128E-43.693556E-44.0E-41.08296725.6928175E-42.0E-40.0032653050.0036874630.00210.56949720.0046837760.001
7.44.985186E-65.63487E-60.00.05.63487E-60.02.1364907E-52.414922E-50.00.02.414922E-50.02.600867E-42.9397747E-43.0E-41.02048643.9394808E-41.0E-40.0025978250.00293592710.00180.61309420.00383328489.0E-4
7.51.7489613E-61.967052E-60.00.01.967052E-60.07.495527E-68.430196E-60.00.08.430196E-60.09.125422E-51.0263303E-42.0E-41.94869042.0262276E-41.0E-49.1216754E-40.00102587826.0E-40.584864740.00132557053.0E-4
7.61.6988751E-71.7527951E-70.00.01.7527951E-70.07.2808916E-77.5119766E-70.00.07.5119766E-70.08.864449E-69.145795E-60.00.09.145795E-60.08.8640954E-59.1454385E-51.0E-41.09344129.1454385E-50.0

King Range 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2462566E-51.2997194E-50.00.01.2997194E-50.05.34099E-55.5701268E-50.00.05.5701268E-50.06.5007154E-46.7798677E-40.00111.62245060.00117764775.0E-40.00648173130.0067635270.01181.74465180.0134182120.0067
6.11.2462566E-51.2997194E-50.00.01.2997194E-50.05.34099E-55.5701268E-50.00.05.5701268E-50.06.5007154E-46.7798677E-40.00111.62245060.00117764775.0E-40.00648173130.0067635270.01181.74465180.0134182120.0067
6.21.2462566E-51.2997194E-50.00.01.2997194E-50.05.34099E-55.5701268E-50.00.05.5701268E-50.06.5007154E-46.7798677E-40.00111.62245060.00117764775.0E-40.00648173130.0067635270.01181.74465180.0134182120.0067
6.37.988484E-68.192066E-60.00.08.192066E-60.03.423591E-53.5108456E-50.00.03.5108456E-50.04.1674246E-44.2737453E-47.0E-41.63790767.2724634E-43.0E-40.0041596180.00426770470.00661.54649880.0079519140.0037
6.47.988484E-68.192066E-60.00.08.192066E-60.03.423591E-53.5108456E-50.00.03.5108456E-50.04.1674246E-44.2737453E-47.0E-41.63790767.2724634E-43.0E-40.0041596180.00426770470.00661.54649880.0079519140.0037
6.55.0522513E-65.0627064E-60.00.05.0627064E-60.02.1652326E-52.1697138E-50.00.02.1697138E-50.02.6358519E-42.6413158E-43.0E-41.13579764.6407874E-42.0E-40.00263272740.0026391780.00271.02304580.00413521940.0015
6.64.53682E-64.519797E-60.00.04.519797E-60.01.944337E-51.9370418E-50.00.01.9370418E-50.02.3669732E-42.3580993E-43.0E-41.27221114.3576278E-42.0E-40.00236445360.00235656630.00190.806257840.00335420970.001
6.74.1144335E-64.0780697E-60.00.04.0780697E-60.01.7633167E-51.7477325E-50.00.01.7477325E-50.02.1466266E-42.1276606E-43.0E-41.40999944.1272352E-42.0E-40.00214455420.00212657170.00160.752384660.00292487058.0E-4
6.83.8321214E-63.7889977E-60.00.03.7889977E-60.01.6423275E-51.6238462E-50.00.01.6238462E-50.01.9993502E-41.9768567E-43.0E-41.51756063.9764613E-42.0E-40.00199755230.00197604020.00110.55666880.0026746577.0E-4
6.93.4999944E-63.4458687E-60.00.03.4458687E-60.01.499989E-51.47679275E-50.00.01.47679275E-50.01.8260835E-41.7978493E-42.0E-41.11244023.7974896E-42.0E-40.00182458360.0017973298.0E-40.445104930.0024960717.0E-4
7.02.9470837E-62.8697934E-60.00.02.8697934E-60.01.26302975E-51.2299058E-50.00.01.2299058E-50.01.5376302E-41.4973091E-42.0E-41.33572953.4970097E-42.0E-40.00153656660.00149722487.0E-40.467531680.00209632636.0E-4
7.12.4850247E-62.383142E-60.00.02.383142E-60.01.0650062E-51.0213426E-50.00.01.0213426E-50.01.296568E-41.243415E-42.0E-41.60847333.2431664E-42.0E-40.00129581170.00124364065.0E-40.402045430.00164314314.0E-4
7.22.1800304E-62.062209E-60.00.02.062209E-60.09.342954E-68.838009E-60.00.08.838009E-60.01.1374453E-41.0759754E-41.0E-40.92938932.0758678E-41.0E-40.00113686330.00107635764.0E-40.371623720.00137603463.0E-4
7.32.0378504E-61.9371457E-60.00.01.9371457E-60.08.733615E-68.302027E-60.00.08.302027E-60.01.0632657E-41.01072575E-41.0E-40.989388052.0106247E-41.0E-40.00106275710.00101115354.0E-40.395587830.001310853.0E-4
7.41.4577047E-61.4024962E-60.00.01.4024962E-60.06.247291E-66.0106845E-60.00.06.0106845E-60.07.605811E-57.3177696E-51.0E-41.36653651.7317038E-41.0E-47.603208E-47.323645E-43.0E-40.40963219.3221804E-42.0E-4
7.58.0685743E-76.4841555E-70.00.06.4841555E-70.03.457956E-62.7789213E-60.00.02.7789213E-60.04.20998E-53.3832886E-51.0E-42.9557041.3382951E-41.0E-44.2091825E-43.3895596E-42.0E-40.59004715.3888815E-42.0E-4
7.63.1239435E-71.2903283E-70.00.01.2903283E-70.01.3388321E-65.5299773E-70.00.05.5299773E-70.01.630016E-56.7327273E-61.0E-414.8528221.06732055E-41.0E-41.6298964E-46.795989E-51.0E-41.47145621.679531E-41.0E-4
7.71.7747207E-74.616173E-80.00.04.616173E-80.07.605944E-71.9783597E-70.00.01.9783597E-70.09.260198E-62.4086503E-61.0E-441.5170251.0240841E-41.0E-49.2598115E-52.4489005E-51.0E-44.0834651.2448656E-41.0E-4
7.82.1035538E-82.1083004E-90.00.02.1083004E-90.09.0152305E-89.035576E-90.00.09.035576E-90.01.0976038E-61.1000813E-70.00.01.1000813E-70.01.0975983E-51.1349382E-60.00.01.1349382E-60.0
7.91.4782963E-96.515899E-130.00.06.515899E-130.06.335555E-92.792544E-120.00.02.792544E-120.07.713538E-83.3998915E-110.00.03.3998915E-110.07.7135354E-74.9558346E-100.00.04.9558346E-100.0

Bullion Mountains

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6420427E-51.4674631E-51.0E-46.81448131.1467317E-41.0E-47.037136E-56.288997E-51.0E-41.59007861.6288369E-41.0E-48.5643446E-47.654547E-46.0E-40.78384780.0012650725.0E-40.0085314130.00763196640.01041.36268940.0144793060.0069
6.11.6420427E-51.4674631E-51.0E-46.81448131.1467317E-41.0E-47.037136E-56.288997E-51.0E-41.59007861.6288369E-41.0E-48.5643446E-47.654547E-46.0E-40.78384780.0012650725.0E-40.0085314130.00763196640.01041.36268940.0144793060.0069
6.21.6420427E-51.4674631E-51.0E-46.81448131.1467317E-41.0E-47.037136E-56.288997E-51.0E-41.59007861.6288369E-41.0E-48.5643446E-47.654547E-46.0E-40.78384780.0012650725.0E-40.0085314130.00763196640.01041.36268940.0144793060.0069
6.31.2046778E-59.850133E-61.0E-410.1521461.0984915E-41.0E-45.1628023E-54.2214306E-51.0E-42.36886531.4221009E-41.0E-46.283899E-45.138611E-46.0E-41.16763080.00101360415.0E-40.00626615950.00512900530.00711.3842840.0103023340.0052
6.41.2046778E-59.850133E-61.0E-410.1521461.0984915E-41.0E-45.1628023E-54.2214306E-51.0E-42.36886531.4221009E-41.0E-46.283899E-45.138611E-46.0E-41.16763080.00101360415.0E-40.00626615950.00512900530.00711.3842840.0103023340.0052
6.51.0244343E-57.869328E-61.0E-412.7075651.0786854E-41.0E-44.390359E-53.3725373E-51.0E-42.96512681.33722E-41.0E-45.343951E-44.105497E-46.0E-41.46145539.103444E-45.0E-40.0053311180.0040999390.00581.41465520.0080835390.004
6.69.605408E-67.168089E-61.0E-413.950721.0716737E-41.0E-44.1165385E-53.0720134E-51.0E-43.25519421.3071706E-41.0E-45.010733E-43.7397374E-45.0E-41.33699237.738241E-44.0E-40.004999450.00373543660.00511.36530220.0071227360.0034
6.78.60418E-66.116E-61.0E-416.3505551.0611539E-41.0E-43.687454E-52.6211275E-51.0E-43.81515221.2620866E-41.0E-44.48855E-43.1909498E-45.0E-41.56693167.1896735E-44.0E-40.0044794950.00318827570.00461.44278620.00617871060.003
6.85.187994E-62.559023E-60.00.02.559023E-60.02.223407E-51.0967218E-50.00.01.0967218E-50.02.7066618E-41.3352168E-42.0E-41.49788422.3350833E-41.0E-40.00270336750.00133480490.00171.27359440.00263306960.0013
6.94.5302368E-62.3407447E-60.00.02.3407447E-60.01.9415156E-51.0031747E-50.00.01.0031747E-50.02.3635388E-41.2213363E-42.0E-41.63755062.2212142E-41.0E-40.00236102660.0012210530.00161.31034450.00251946550.0013
7.03.431668E-61.6854751E-60.00.01.6854751E-60.01.4707065E-57.2234648E-60.00.07.2234648E-60.01.7904381E-48.7945686E-51.0E-41.13706548.7945686E-50.00.00178899628.794568E-40.00141.59189160.00197848930.0011

Garberville - Briceland 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.8399295E-56.430683E-51.0E-41.55504491.6430039E-41.0E-42.0740906E-42.7557573E-45.0E-41.81438335.7549303E-43.0E-40.0025222810.00335064950.00341.01472870.0044469640.00110.0249384420.0330677850.02120.64110740.039546230.0067
6.14.8399295E-56.430683E-51.0E-41.55504491.6430039E-41.0E-42.0740906E-42.7557573E-45.0E-41.81438335.7549303E-43.0E-40.0025222810.00335064950.00341.01472870.0044469640.00110.0249384420.0330677850.02120.64110740.039546230.0067
6.24.8399295E-56.430683E-51.0E-41.55504491.6430039E-41.0E-42.0740906E-42.7557573E-45.0E-41.81438335.7549303E-43.0E-40.0025222810.00335064950.00341.01472870.0044469640.00110.0249384420.0330677850.02120.64110740.039546230.0067
6.34.8399295E-56.430683E-51.0E-41.55504491.6430039E-41.0E-42.0740906E-42.7557573E-45.0E-41.81438335.7549303E-43.0E-40.0025222810.00335064950.00341.01472870.0044469640.00110.0249384420.0330677850.02120.64110740.039546230.0067
6.44.8399295E-56.430683E-51.0E-41.55504491.6430039E-41.0E-42.0740906E-42.7557573E-45.0E-41.81438335.7549303E-43.0E-40.0025222810.00335064950.00341.01472870.0044469640.00110.0249384420.0330677850.02120.64110740.039546230.0067
6.54.8399295E-56.430683E-51.0E-41.55504491.6430039E-41.0E-42.0740906E-42.7557573E-45.0E-41.81438335.7549303E-43.0E-40.0025222810.00335064950.00341.01472870.0044469640.00110.0249384420.0330677850.02120.64110740.039546230.0067
6.64.8399295E-56.430683E-51.0E-41.55504491.6430039E-41.0E-42.0740906E-42.7557573E-45.0E-41.81438335.7549303E-43.0E-40.0025222810.00335064950.00341.01472870.0044469640.00110.0249384420.0330677850.02120.64110740.039546230.0067
6.73.495179E-54.6151727E-50.00.04.6151727E-50.01.4978478E-41.9778109E-42.0E-41.0112192.9776132E-41.0E-40.00182210420.00240585530.00230.9560010.00320393068.0E-40.0180723630.023850340.01590.666657150.0289263190.0052
6.82.7517597E-53.612118E-50.00.03.612118E-50.01.1792722E-41.5479849E-41.0E-40.646001161.5479849E-40.00.00143481830.00188351430.00150.79638370.00248238426.0E-40.0142558940.0187216530.01240.66233470.022941150.0043
6.92.74461E-53.6039033E-50.00.03.6039033E-50.01.1762084E-41.5444648E-41.0E-40.64747351.5444648E-40.00.0014310930.0018792360.00150.798196730.00247810856.0E-40.0142191190.018679590.01230.658472660.0228992680.0043
7.01.9023773E-52.4629906E-50.00.02.4629906E-50.08.152791E-51.05554755E-40.00.01.05554755E-40.09.921503E-40.00128476979.0E-40.70051470.00158438423.0E-40.0098773230.0128122830.00860.67123090.0158725640.0031
7.15.566844E-66.5005743E-60.00.06.5005743E-60.02.3857683E-52.785933E-50.00.02.785933E-50.02.9042858E-43.3913882E-43.0E-40.884593554.391049E-41.0E-40.0029004930.00338663160.00250.73819660.00428358379.0E-4
7.24.011353E-64.6665573E-60.00.04.6665573E-60.01.7191402E-51.9999396E-50.00.01.9999396E-50.02.0928521E-42.4346886E-42.0E-40.821460252.4346886E-40.00.00209088230.00243235780.00150.61668560.00283138484.0E-4
7.32.0974871E-62.4354429E-60.00.02.4354429E-60.08.989199E-61.0437585E-50.00.01.0437585E-50.01.09438006E-41.2707268E-40.00.01.2707268E-40.00.00109384130.00127024466.0E-40.472350.00137011751.0E-4

Pisgah-Bullion Mtn-Mesquite Lk

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0240792E-52.4053566E-50.00.02.4053566E-50.01.2959696E-41.03083206E-41.0E-40.97009012.0307291E-41.0E-40.00157670080.00125441580.00151.19577560.00255278520.00130.0156556090.01248334350.01210.969291570.0190009530.0066
6.13.0240792E-52.4053566E-50.00.02.4053566E-50.01.2959696E-41.03083206E-41.0E-40.97009012.0307291E-41.0E-40.00157670080.00125441580.00151.19577560.00255278520.00130.0156556090.01248334350.01210.969291570.0190009530.0066
6.23.0240792E-52.4053566E-50.00.02.4053566E-50.01.2959696E-41.03083206E-41.0E-40.97009012.0307291E-41.0E-40.00157670080.00125441580.00151.19577560.00255278520.00130.0156556090.01248334350.01210.969291570.0190009530.0066
6.32.0498217E-51.3616239E-50.00.01.3616239E-50.08.784654E-55.8354093E-50.00.05.8354093E-50.00.00106900697.102457E-46.0E-40.844778060.00110996174.0E-40.010638790.007081380.00660.932021740.0102587190.0032
6.42.0498217E-51.3616239E-50.00.01.3616239E-50.08.784654E-55.8354093E-50.00.05.8354093E-50.00.00106900697.102457E-46.0E-40.844778060.00110996174.0E-40.010638790.007081380.00660.932021740.0102587190.0032
6.51.7316182E-51.0459129E-50.00.01.0459129E-50.07.42101E-54.4824123E-50.00.04.4824123E-50.09.0313336E-45.45607E-45.0E-40.91641059.453888E-44.0E-40.0089947180.00544366850.00551.01034810.0082284260.0028
6.61.5251077E-58.399045E-60.00.08.399045E-60.06.536012E-53.5995454E-50.00.03.5995454E-50.07.9546886E-44.3816376E-43.0E-40.68467567.380323E-43.0E-40.0079262740.00437371430.00420.96028220.0065640920.0022
6.71.2997425E-56.4018914E-60.00.06.4018914E-60.05.570206E-52.7436414E-50.00.02.7436414E-50.06.7796157E-43.339918E-41.0E-40.299408564.339584E-41.0E-40.00675896930.00333535790.00320.95941730.00493002120.0016
6.81.035386E-54.3263112E-60.00.04.3263112E-60.04.437293E-51.8541206E-50.00.01.8541206E-50.05.401065E-42.2571668E-41.0E-40.443033283.256941E-41.0E-40.00538795670.00225496080.00231.01997340.00315293139.0E-4
6.98.816252E-63.5749674E-60.00.03.5749674E-60.03.778339E-51.5321202E-50.00.01.5321202E-50.04.5991567E-41.8652025E-41.0E-40.53613482.865016E-41.0E-40.004589650.00186369530.00180.965823050.00266220448.0E-4
7.06.8232207E-62.563406E-60.00.02.563406E-60.02.9242048E-51.0985981E-50.00.01.0985981E-50.03.5596377E-41.3374642E-41.0E-40.74768362.3373305E-41.0E-40.00355394110.00133669030.00120.897739770.00193588836.0E-4
7.15.837013E-62.2239994E-60.00.02.2239994E-60.02.501553E-59.5313935E-60.00.09.5313935E-60.03.045215E-41.1603883E-41.0E-40.86178052.1602723E-41.0E-40.00304104550.00115981130.00110.94843010.00175911556.0E-4
7.24.278052E-61.6252338E-60.00.01.6252338E-60.01.833438E-56.9652706E-60.00.06.9652706E-60.02.231982E-48.47991E-51.0E-41.17925781.8479062E-41.0E-40.00222974188.476906E-49.0E-41.06170810.0014471826.0E-4
7.31.8803692E-68.3333214E-70.00.08.3333214E-70.08.0587E-63.5714195E-60.00.03.5714195E-60.09.811026E-54.3481312E-51.0E-42.29983851.4347697E-41.0E-49.806695E-44.3474248E-46.0E-41.38012747.3461205E-43.0E-4

Whittier alt 1

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.2554693E-54.7141246E-50.00.04.7141246E-50.01.8236451E-42.0202008E-41.0E-40.495000333.0199988E-41.0E-40.0022180270.00245714070.00220.89534960.0032551758.0E-40.021960190.0243336410.01720.706840340.030480340.0063
6.14.2554693E-54.7141246E-50.00.04.7141246E-50.01.8236451E-42.0202008E-41.0E-40.495000333.0199988E-41.0E-40.0022180270.00245714070.00220.89534960.0032551758.0E-40.021960190.0243336410.01720.706840340.030480340.0063
6.24.2554693E-54.7141246E-50.00.04.7141246E-50.01.8236451E-42.0202008E-41.0E-40.495000333.0199988E-41.0E-40.0022180270.00245714070.00220.89534960.0032551758.0E-40.021960190.0243336410.01720.706840340.030480340.0063
6.31.9617712E-51.8201868E-50.00.01.8201868E-50.08.40732E-57.800578E-50.00.07.800578E-50.00.00102311059.4932545E-49.0E-40.948041560.00124904073.0E-40.010184130.0094559630.00720.76142430.0118332680.0024
6.41.5611336E-51.354535E-50.00.01.354535E-50.06.690401E-55.8050246E-50.00.05.8050246E-50.08.142519E-47.0653844E-46.0E-40.84921078.064678E-41.0E-40.0081127480.00704486440.00550.78071050.0085342970.0015
6.51.5150166E-51.3042504E-50.00.01.3042504E-50.06.492767E-55.589528E-50.00.05.589528E-50.07.9020765E-46.803184E-46.0E-40.881947.8025035E-41.0E-40.0078740360.00678428540.00530.781217160.0081747870.0014
6.61.295588E-51.0340121E-50.00.01.0340121E-50.05.552402E-54.431406E-50.00.04.431406E-50.06.7579525E-45.3939206E-44.0E-40.74157566.393381E-41.0E-40.0067374380.00538225750.00390.7246030.006078497.0E-4
6.71.2542085E-59.861623E-60.00.09.861623E-60.05.3750682E-54.2263426E-50.00.04.2263426E-50.06.542181E-45.1443756E-43.0E-40.58316115.1443756E-40.00.0065229540.0051338770.00350.6817460.005631315.0E-4
6.81.2195878E-59.45888E-60.00.09.45888E-60.05.2267E-54.0537438E-50.00.04.0537438E-50.06.36165E-44.934334E-42.0E-40.40532324.934334E-40.00.00634346860.00492470570.00340.69039660.00542224345.0E-4
6.91.1580298E-58.738248E-60.00.08.738248E-60.04.9628903E-53.7449103E-50.00.03.7449103E-50.06.040644E-44.5584908E-42.0E-40.43874174.5584908E-40.00.006024250.00455034340.00310.68126730.0048489783.0E-4
7.01.0964795E-58.051233E-60.00.08.051233E-60.04.6991136E-53.4504832E-50.00.03.4504832E-50.05.7196687E-44.200169E-42.0E-40.47617134.200169E-40.00.00570496960.0041934280.00280.66771150.004492173.0E-4
7.11.0230601E-57.296619E-60.00.07.296619E-60.04.3844695E-53.1270858E-50.00.03.1270858E-50.05.336784E-43.8065747E-42.0E-40.52540683.8065747E-40.00.0053239860.0038011330.00280.736622450.00409999263.0E-4
7.29.40865E-66.5162267E-60.00.06.5162267E-60.04.032216E-52.7926393E-50.00.02.7926393E-50.04.908117E-43.39952E-41.0E-40.294159173.39952E-40.00.00489729130.00339531360.00260.76576140.0036942953.0E-4
7.38.237384E-65.5742876E-60.00.05.5742876E-60.03.5302593E-52.388959E-50.00.02.388959E-50.04.2972428E-42.90818E-41.0E-40.343857682.90818E-40.00.00428894260.00290466680.00240.82625650.0031040862.0E-4
7.47.5316966E-65.0062195E-60.00.05.0062195E-60.03.2278298E-52.1455056E-50.00.02.1455056E-50.03.9291743E-42.61185E-41.0E-40.382870382.61185E-40.00.00392223430.00260888740.00210.80494090.00280836552.0E-4
7.56.149649E-63.916163E-60.00.03.916163E-60.02.6355372E-51.6783453E-50.00.01.6783453E-50.03.208294E-42.0432028E-41.0E-40.48942772.0432028E-40.00.0032036660.00204141280.00140.68579960.00224100452.0E-4
7.65.457711E-63.3794513E-60.00.03.3794513E-60.02.338998E-51.4483287E-50.00.01.4483287E-50.02.8473578E-41.7632057E-41.0E-40.567148861.7632057E-40.00.00284371220.00176188680.00130.73784540.00196153442.0E-4
7.74.1676276E-62.3213304E-60.00.02.3213304E-60.01.7861139E-59.948525E-60.00.09.948525E-60.02.1743766E-41.2111729E-40.00.01.2111729E-40.00.00217225030.00121058548.0E-40.660837350.00141034322.0E-4
7.82.2692414E-79.313546E-80.00.09.313546E-80.09.725317E-73.9915196E-70.00.03.9915196E-70.01.1840509E-54.8596676E-60.00.04.8596676E-60.01.1839878E-44.859593E-50.00.04.859593E-50.0
7.96.676829E-93.4267709E-90.00.03.4267709E-90.02.861498E-81.4686159E-80.00.01.4686159E-80.03.4838732E-71.7880397E-70.00.01.7880397E-70.03.4838679E-61.7880385E-60.00.01.7880385E-60.0

Coronado Bank alt1

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.533492E-59.371127E-50.00.09.371127E-50.03.22824E-44.0156196E-43.0E-40.74708274.0156196E-40.00.00392330070.0048786740.0030.614921150.0052767234.0E-40.038547550.0477853830.03290.688495040.0539747770.0065
6.14.1807285E-55.0382987E-50.00.05.0382987E-50.01.7916178E-42.1590963E-42.0E-40.926313462.1590963E-40.00.00217911230.00262561110.00190.723641040.0028250862.0E-40.0215786770.0259553530.01590.612590430.0286826770.0028
6.24.1807285E-55.0382987E-50.00.05.0382987E-50.01.7916178E-42.1590963E-42.0E-40.926313462.1590963E-40.00.00217911230.00262561110.00190.723641040.0028250862.0E-40.0215786770.0259553530.01590.612590430.0286826770.0028
6.33.1793104E-53.7637154E-50.00.03.7637154E-50.01.3624904E-41.6129231E-42.0E-41.23998481.6129231E-40.00.00165756980.0019619980.00140.71355840.00216160552.0E-40.0164526030.0194506940.01210.62208580.0215098470.0021
6.42.9878007E-53.5267756E-50.00.03.5267756E-50.01.2804232E-41.5113896E-42.0E-41.32328561.5113896E-40.00.00155780030.00183859610.00130.707061230.00203822832.0E-40.0154692530.0182376320.01170.641530630.0202993340.0021
6.52.4512565E-52.8711425E-50.00.02.8711425E-50.01.0504962E-41.2304333E-42.0E-41.62544381.2304333E-40.00.00127822870.00149704980.0010.66798050.00169675042.0E-40.0127090120.0148726160.00940.632034060.0165473330.0017
6.62.1317413E-52.4862336E-50.00.02.4862336E-50.09.135714E-51.0654864E-42.0E-41.87707691.0654864E-40.00.00111170560.001296488.0E-40.61705540.00149622072.0E-40.0110616050.0128915680.00830.64383170.0144709410.0016
6.71.8585655E-52.1597303E-50.00.02.1597303E-50.07.9650374E-59.25567E-50.00.09.25567E-50.09.6931186E-40.00112631576.0E-40.53271030.00132609042.0E-40.00965094750.0112082270.00720.64238530.0126914140.0015
6.81.5862879E-51.8387993E-50.00.01.8387993E-50.06.798199E-57.880341E-50.00.07.880341E-50.08.273665E-49.590284E-45.0E-40.5213610.00105893251.0E-40.0082429280.0095508720.00640.670095860.01083845550.0013
6.91.3021509E-51.5069695E-50.00.01.5069695E-50.05.5805274E-56.4582906E-50.00.06.4582906E-50.06.792174E-47.860313E-43.0E-40.38166428.859527E-41.0E-40.0067714520.0078343270.00540.68927420.0090249260.0012
7.01.0974371E-51.2698521E-50.00.01.2698521E-50.04.7032172E-55.4421194E-50.00.05.4421194E-50.05.7246623E-46.623941E-43.0E-40.452902567.6232787E-41.0E-40.00570993730.00660594040.00440.66606720.00749999479.0E-4
7.18.766221E-61.0146468E-50.00.01.0146468E-50.03.7568978E-54.3484237E-50.00.04.3484237E-50.04.573063E-45.293091E-43.0E-40.56677666.292562E-41.0E-40.00456366360.0052821770.00320.60581080.00597847957.0E-4
7.28.026024E-78.325458E-70.00.08.325458E-70.03.43972E-63.5680487E-60.00.03.5680487E-60.04.1877785E-54.3440137E-50.00.04.3440137E-50.04.1869894E-44.3431757E-44.0E-40.92098514.3431757E-40.0
7.33.7293114E-73.6976198E-70.00.03.6976198E-70.01.5982754E-61.5846932E-60.00.01.5846932E-60.01.9458828E-51.929347E-50.00.01.929347E-50.01.9457124E-41.9291801E-41.0E-40.51835491.9291801E-40.0
7.42.0557036E-71.966083E-70.00.01.966083E-70.08.810155E-78.426067E-70.00.08.426067E-70.01.0726311E-51.0258689E-50.00.01.0258689E-50.01.0725793E-41.02582184E-40.00.01.02582184E-40.0
7.56.845446E-86.275112E-80.00.06.275112E-80.02.9337625E-72.6893335E-70.00.02.6893335E-70.03.5718497E-63.2742587E-60.00.03.2742587E-60.03.5717923E-53.274211E-50.00.03.274211E-50.0
7.66.0975145E-95.531051E-90.00.05.531051E-90.02.6132206E-82.3704503E-80.00.02.3704503E-80.03.1815955E-72.886023E-70.00.02.886023E-70.03.181591E-62.8860202E-60.00.02.8860202E-60.0

Greenville (No) 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.286654E-54.0269028E-50.00.04.0269028E-50.01.4084899E-41.7257035E-40.00.01.7257035E-40.00.00171348760.00209905720.00120.571685250.00259800775.0E-40.0170033560.0207974310.0150.72124290.0269664080.0063
6.13.286654E-54.0269028E-50.00.04.0269028E-50.01.4084899E-41.7257035E-40.00.01.7257035E-40.00.00171348760.00209905720.00110.52404480.00249821764.0E-40.0170033560.0207974310.01230.59141920.0253017620.0046
6.23.1697953E-53.883535E-50.00.03.883535E-50.01.358413E-41.6642682E-40.00.01.6642682E-40.00.00165261320.00202440050.00110.54337070.00242359074.0E-40.016403770.020064530.01170.583118560.0242782530.0043
6.33.1363317E-53.8425198E-50.00.03.8425198E-50.01.344073E-41.6466924E-40.00.01.6466924E-40.00.00163518030.00200304160.00110.549164830.00240224024.0E-40.0162320040.0198547840.01160.584242050.0240694080.0043
6.43.0228604E-53.7035607E-50.00.03.7035607E-50.01.2954473E-41.5871458E-40.00.01.5871458E-40.00.00157606590.00193067370.00110.56974930.00232990164.0E-40.0156493480.0191437660.01120.58504680.0231652760.0041
6.52.9537814E-53.6193007E-50.00.03.6193007E-50.01.2658449E-41.5510386E-40.00.01.5510386E-40.00.00154007660.00188679020.00110.58300070.00228603564.0E-40.015294470.0187124030.01070.57181320.0223431680.0037
6.62.7345395E-53.3508666E-50.00.03.3508666E-50.01.1718928E-41.4360083E-40.00.01.4360083E-40.00.00142584570.00174696910.0010.572420.0020464453.0E-40.0141673170.0173364080.00990.571052550.0205791980.0033
6.72.5615784E-53.148919E-50.00.03.148919E-50.01.09777306E-41.3494687E-40.00.01.3494687E-40.00.00133571930.00164177049.0E-40.54818870.00194127793.0E-40.0132771910.0163003170.00910.558271350.0190546750.0028
6.82.0059057E-52.4650924E-50.00.02.4650924E-50.08.596455E-51.0564263E-40.00.01.0564263E-40.00.00104611590.00128545646.0E-40.466760280.00148519932.0E-40.01041204950.0127824660.00750.586741270.01515178850.0024
6.91.6321746E-52.0133579E-50.00.02.0133579E-50.06.9948466E-58.628399E-50.00.08.628399E-50.08.5128983E-40.00105001365.0E-40.47618430.00124980362.0E-40.0084803610.0104522950.00670.641007540.0126292990.0022
7.01.22527645E-51.50970345E-50.00.01.50970345E-50.05.2510793E-56.47E-50.00.06.47E-50.06.3913135E-47.8744197E-45.0E-40.63496749.872845E-42.0E-40.00637296260.0078474380.00490.62440760.0095340970.0017
7.18.996482E-61.1133471E-50.00.01.1133471E-50.03.8555783E-54.771401E-50.00.04.771401E-50.04.6931554E-45.8076443E-43.0E-40.516560556.8070635E-41.0E-40.0046832560.00579291950.0040.69049810.0069859680.0012
7.26.0273087E-67.544417E-60.00.07.544417E-60.02.5831067E-53.233282E-50.00.03.233282E-50.03.1444785E-43.9358166E-42.0E-40.50815384.935423E-41.0E-40.00314003280.00392927230.0030.763500150.0048257369.0E-4
7.33.1209995E-63.9481756E-60.00.03.9481756E-60.01.3375643E-51.6920645E-50.00.01.6920645E-50.01.6283628E-42.0598953E-40.00.02.0598953E-40.00.00162717010.00205811020.00160.777412240.00255708125.0E-4
7.42.0254208E-62.596744E-60.00.02.596744E-60.08.680347E-61.11288555E-50.00.01.11288555E-50.01.0567809E-41.3548545E-40.00.01.3548545E-40.00.00105627850.00135406130.00120.88622280.00175351984.0E-4
7.51.6763418E-62.1614228E-60.00.02.1614228E-60.07.184302E-69.263208E-60.00.09.263208E-60.08.746537E-51.1277378E-40.00.01.1277378E-40.08.743095E-40.00112717310.00110.97589270.0014268353.0E-4
7.61.1935462E-61.5358892E-60.00.01.5358892E-60.05.115188E-66.5823656E-60.00.06.5823656E-60.06.2275634E-58.01374E-50.00.08.01374E-50.06.2258187E-48.010764E-40.0011.24832030.00110083613.0E-4
7.73.0464201E-73.9616813E-70.00.03.9616813E-70.01.3056081E-61.6978623E-60.00.01.6978623E-60.01.589566E-52.0671283E-50.00.02.0671283E-50.01.5894524E-42.0669866E-41.0E-40.483796062.0669866E-40.0

Monte Vista - Shannon 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.7907707E-52.7513914E-50.00.02.7513914E-50.01.19598975E-41.1791214E-40.00.01.1791214E-40.00.00145514480.00143475840.00120.836377740.00203389746.0E-40.0144565320.0142836660.01310.91713150.0201979630.006
6.12.7907707E-52.7513914E-50.00.02.7513914E-50.01.19598975E-41.1791214E-40.00.01.1791214E-40.00.00145514480.00143475840.00120.836377740.00203389746.0E-40.0144565320.0142836660.01310.91713150.0201979630.006
6.22.7907707E-52.7513914E-50.00.02.7513914E-50.01.19598975E-41.1791214E-40.00.01.1791214E-40.00.00145514480.00143475840.00120.836377740.00203389746.0E-40.0144565320.0142836660.01310.91713150.0201979630.006
6.32.7907707E-52.7513914E-50.00.02.7513914E-50.01.19598975E-41.1791214E-40.00.01.1791214E-40.00.00145514480.00143475840.00120.836377740.00203389746.0E-40.0144565320.0142836660.01310.91713150.0201979630.006
6.42.7907707E-52.7513914E-50.00.02.7513914E-50.01.19598975E-41.1791214E-40.00.01.1791214E-40.00.00145514480.00143475840.00120.836377740.00203389746.0E-40.0144565320.0142836660.01310.91713150.0201979630.006
6.51.7990213E-51.6581424E-50.00.01.6581424E-50.07.709863E-57.106168E-50.00.07.106168E-50.09.382716E-48.648987E-47.0E-40.809343340.00116463933.0E-40.00934319850.0086383380.00850.983985540.0126037850.004
6.69.650407E-67.408367E-60.00.07.408367E-60.04.135823E-53.17498E-50.00.03.17498E-50.05.0342013E-43.8649308E-40.00.03.8649308E-40.00.0050228120.00387553960.00340.877297160.0053697260.0015
6.79.62828E-67.386337E-60.00.07.386337E-60.04.1263404E-53.165539E-50.00.03.165539E-50.05.022661E-43.8534403E-40.00.03.8534403E-40.00.00501132430.00386408930.00340.87989690.0053582930.0015
6.86.887523E-64.4155886E-60.00.04.4155886E-60.02.9517621E-51.8923827E-50.00.01.8923827E-50.03.5931775E-42.3037544E-40.00.02.3037544E-40.00.00358737330.00231817060.0020.86274930.00301654787.0E-4
6.96.2722347E-63.7580905E-60.00.03.7580905E-60.02.6880729E-51.6106014E-50.00.01.6106014E-50.03.2722374E-41.9607511E-40.00.01.9607511E-40.00.0032674230.00197581130.00190.96163030.00267442837.0E-4
7.05.5320347E-62.9866828E-60.00.02.9866828E-60.02.3708504E-51.28000165E-50.00.01.28000165E-50.02.8861282E-41.5583089E-40.00.01.5583089E-40.00.00288238260.00157399270.00130.82592510.00227289097.0E-4
7.13.8794055E-61.2419758E-60.00.01.2419758E-60.01.6625918E-55.3227427E-60.00.05.3227427E-60.02.0240174E-46.480248E-50.00.06.480248E-50.00.0020221756.6443667E-43.0E-40.45151037.643702E-41.0E-4
7.23.4813652E-69.2744466E-70.00.09.2744466E-70.01.49200505E-53.974757E-60.00.03.974757E-60.01.8163648E-44.8391597E-50.00.04.8391597E-50.00.00181488095.003989E-41.0E-40.199840566.0034887E-41.0E-4
7.33.1682148E-67.341844E-70.00.07.341844E-70.01.3577992E-53.1465008E-60.00.03.1465008E-60.01.6529951E-43.8307975E-50.00.03.8307975E-50.00.00165176613.9957924E-40.00.03.9957924E-40.0
7.42.9707667E-66.9803656E-70.00.06.9803656E-70.01.2731795E-52.9915818E-60.00.02.9915818E-60.01.5499859E-43.64219E-50.00.03.64219E-50.00.00154890523.8053034E-40.00.03.8053034E-40.0
7.52.3462758E-65.6967195E-70.00.05.6967195E-70.01.0055429E-52.441449E-60.00.02.441449E-60.01.2241797E-42.9724237E-50.00.02.9724237E-50.00.00122350563.1189274E-40.00.03.1189274E-40.0
7.62.112783E-64.95957E-70.00.04.95957E-70.09.054753E-62.1255282E-60.00.02.1255282E-60.01.1023604E-42.5878002E-50.00.02.5878002E-50.00.00110181372.7302778E-40.00.02.7302778E-40.0
7.71.7022471E-63.9777282E-70.00.03.9777282E-70.07.2953244E-61.7047395E-60.00.01.7047395E-60.08.881695E-52.0755007E-50.00.02.0755007E-50.08.878146E-42.2056043E-40.00.02.2056043E-40.0
7.87.230914E-73.499258E-70.00.03.499258E-70.03.0989595E-61.4996812E-60.00.01.4996812E-60.03.772918E-51.8258466E-50.00.01.8258466E-50.03.7722773E-41.9517886E-40.00.01.9517886E-40.0
7.94.3588446E-73.2301375E-70.00.03.2301375E-70.01.868075E-61.3843439E-60.00.01.3843439E-60.02.2743576E-51.685426E-50.00.01.685426E-50.02.2741247E-41.794812E-40.00.01.794812E-40.0
8.02.3317523E-72.9749458E-70.00.02.9749458E-70.09.99322E-71.2749762E-60.00.01.2749762E-60.01.2166677E-51.5522726E-50.00.01.5522726E-50.01.21660116E-41.648538E-40.00.01.648538E-40.0
8.11.4662456E-71.9242876E-70.00.01.9242876E-70.06.283908E-78.2469444E-70.00.08.2469444E-70.07.650631E-61.004061E-50.00.01.004061E-50.07.650368E-51.0582494E-40.00.01.0582494E-40.0
8.25.4931775E-94.806906E-90.00.04.806906E-90.02.3542189E-82.0601027E-80.00.02.0601027E-80.02.8662612E-72.5081746E-70.00.02.5081746E-70.02.8662573E-62.611765E-60.00.02.611765E-60.0

Pleito

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6763008E-52.4237324E-50.00.02.4237324E-50.07.183948E-51.03870516E-40.00.01.03870516E-40.08.742947E-40.00126396189.0E-40.712046860.00176332975.0E-40.008708630.0126877910.0151.18223890.0186116640.006
6.11.6763008E-52.4237324E-50.00.02.4237324E-50.07.183948E-51.03870516E-40.00.01.03870516E-40.08.742947E-40.00126396189.0E-40.712046860.00176332975.0E-40.008708630.0126877910.0151.18223890.0186116640.006
6.21.6763008E-52.4237324E-50.00.02.4237324E-50.07.183948E-51.03870516E-40.00.01.03870516E-40.08.742947E-40.00126396189.0E-40.712046860.00176332975.0E-40.008708630.0126877910.0151.18223890.0186116640.006
6.31.6763008E-52.4237324E-50.00.02.4237324E-50.07.183948E-51.03870516E-40.00.01.03870516E-40.08.742947E-40.00126396189.0E-40.712046860.00176332975.0E-40.008708630.0126877910.0151.18223890.0186116640.006
6.41.6763008E-52.4237324E-50.00.02.4237324E-50.07.183948E-51.03870516E-40.00.01.03870516E-40.08.742947E-40.00126396189.0E-40.712046860.00176332975.0E-40.008708630.0126877910.0151.18223890.0186116640.006
6.51.6763008E-52.4237324E-50.00.02.4237324E-50.07.183948E-51.03870516E-40.00.01.03870516E-40.08.742947E-40.00126396189.0E-40.712046860.00176332975.0E-40.008708630.0126877910.0151.18223890.0186116640.006
6.69.910213E-61.6696109E-50.00.01.6696109E-50.04.247165E-57.1552815E-50.00.07.1552815E-50.05.169696E-48.70811E-42.0E-40.229670969.707239E-41.0E-40.00515768630.00878770650.0060.6827720.010671010.0019
6.79.910213E-61.6696109E-50.00.01.6696109E-50.04.247165E-57.1552815E-50.00.07.1552815E-50.05.169696E-48.70811E-42.0E-40.229670969.707239E-41.0E-40.00515768630.00878770650.0060.6827720.010671010.0019
6.88.300162E-61.495719E-50.00.01.495719E-50.03.557164E-56.410068E-50.00.06.410068E-50.04.3299864E-47.801477E-42.0E-40.256361728.800697E-41.0E-40.0043215590.0078876670.00490.6212230.0091774140.0013
6.98.183114E-61.482864E-50.00.01.482864E-50.03.5070017E-56.354978E-50.00.06.354978E-50.04.2689382E-47.7344524E-42.0E-40.258583288.733679E-41.0E-40.00426074680.0078211160.00490.62650910.0091109490.0013
7.07.1748823E-61.3622101E-50.00.01.3622101E-50.03.0749135E-55.8379126E-50.00.05.8379126E-50.03.743064E-47.105346E-42.0E-40.28147828.104635E-41.0E-40.00373676540.00719572980.00460.639268040.0082878140.0011
7.17.1671807E-61.3612542E-50.00.01.3612542E-50.03.0716128E-55.8338162E-50.00.05.8338162E-50.03.7390468E-47.100362E-42.0E-40.28167588.099652E-41.0E-40.00373276180.00719077840.00460.63970820.0082828680.0011
7.27.0649667E-61.34615275E-50.00.01.34615275E-50.03.0278077E-55.7690988E-50.00.05.7690988E-50.03.6857324E-47.0216187E-42.0E-40.28483468.020917E-41.0E-40.00367962550.00711238430.00460.64675920.0082045610.0011
7.37.02082E-61.3405965E-50.00.01.3405965E-50.03.008888E-55.745287E-50.00.05.745287E-50.03.6627054E-46.992647E-42.0E-40.286014747.991948E-41.0E-40.00365667440.0070833770.00460.649407740.0081755850.0011
7.46.987146E-61.336608E-50.00.01.336608E-50.02.9944567E-55.7281944E-50.00.05.7281944E-50.03.6451413E-46.97185E-42.0E-40.286867927.9711527E-41.0E-40.00363916790.00706259070.00460.65131910.0081548220.0011
7.56.9494554E-61.3323408E-50.00.01.3323408E-50.02.9783041E-55.709907E-50.00.05.709907E-50.03.625482E-46.9495995E-42.0E-40.287786367.9489045E-41.0E-40.00361957260.007040430.00460.65336920.0081326850.0011
7.66.92694E-61.3283307E-50.00.01.3283307E-50.02.9686547E-55.6927223E-50.00.05.6927223E-50.03.6137376E-46.92869E-42.0E-40.288654867.9279975E-41.0E-40.00360786660.00701957660.00460.65531020.0081118550.0011
7.76.395867E-61.2183972E-50.00.01.2183972E-50.02.741057E-55.2215983E-50.00.05.2215983E-50.03.336726E-46.355444E-42.0E-40.314690837.3548086E-41.0E-40.00333172010.0064489180.00410.635765550.00744246920.001
7.85.8664327E-61.1093631E-50.00.01.1093631E-50.02.5141611E-54.7543264E-50.00.04.7543264E-50.03.060561E-45.786857E-42.0E-40.345610746.7862787E-41.0E-40.00305634950.00587558330.00330.561646340.00657147037.0E-4
7.93.7167474E-66.84546E-60.00.06.84546E-60.01.592882E-52.9337358E-50.00.02.9337358E-50.01.9391612E-43.5712394E-41.0E-40.280014844.5708823E-41.0E-40.00193746990.0036306430.0020.55086660.00402919064.0E-4
8.01.0903841E-61.2289922E-60.00.01.2289922E-60.04.6730665E-65.267099E-60.00.05.267099E-60.05.68931E-56.412506E-50.00.06.412506E-50.05.6878536E-46.632113E-43.0E-40.452344547.63145E-41.0E-4
8.12.6894583E-71.00966304E-70.00.01.00966304E-70.01.1526245E-64.3271265E-70.00.04.3271265E-70.01.4033113E-55.268264E-60.00.05.268264E-60.01.4032227E-45.9173388E-50.00.05.9173388E-50.0
8.25.2967013E-92.227298E-90.00.02.227298E-90.02.2700148E-89.545562E-90.00.09.545562E-90.02.7637427E-71.162172E-70.00.01.162172E-70.02.7637393E-61.3298658E-60.00.01.3298658E-60.0

Almanor 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.1479834E-58.298417E-50.00.08.298417E-50.02.6345838E-43.5560352E-42.0E-40.56242413.5560352E-40.00.00320288820.0043215570.00240.555355370.00511818.0E-40.0315711720.0424445120.02550.60078440.0481898450.006
6.14.4387216E-55.956422E-50.00.05.956422E-50.01.9021705E-42.5525416E-42.0E-40.78353282.5525416E-40.00.00231343270.00310379360.00220.708810.00390131078.0E-40.0228949670.030653950.01840.600248930.035306810.0048
6.24.4387216E-55.956422E-50.00.05.956422E-50.01.9021705E-42.5525416E-42.0E-40.78353282.5525416E-40.00.00231343270.00310379360.00220.708810.00390131078.0E-40.0228949670.030653950.01840.600248930.035306810.0048
6.32.9523822E-53.9414223E-50.00.03.9414223E-50.01.2652454E-41.6890977E-41.0E-40.59203211.6890977E-40.00.00153934760.002054910.00120.58396720.00255388255.0E-40.0152872810.0203941520.01170.57369390.023626850.0033
6.42.0512744E-52.7338916E-50.00.02.7338916E-50.08.79088E-51.1716365E-41.0E-40.85350711.1716365E-40.00.0010697640.00142586670.0010.70132780.00182529644.0E-40.0106462890.0141980580.00770.54232770.0165639820.0024
6.51.6750226E-52.2315515E-50.00.02.2315515E-50.07.178471E-59.563674E-51.0E-41.04562339.563674E-50.08.7362836E-40.00116408869.0E-40.7731370.0015636234.0E-40.0087020180.0116111440.00660.56841940.01378560.0022
6.61.4745303E-51.964102E-50.00.01.964102E-50.06.319262E-58.417538E-51.0E-41.18799588.417538E-50.07.690986E-40.00102469217.0E-40.683132050.00132438473.0E-40.00766442250.0102315810.00560.5473250.0121121410.0019
6.79.951145E-71.1596063E-60.00.01.1596063E-60.04.26477E-64.969733E-60.00.04.969733E-60.05.1922336E-56.0504994E-50.00.06.0504994E-50.05.1910203E-46.049024E-43.0E-40.495947788.047814E-42.0E-4
6.85.866312E-76.837416E-70.00.06.837416E-70.02.5141312E-62.9303185E-60.00.02.9303185E-60.03.0609117E-53.5676174E-50.00.03.5676174E-50.03.06049E-43.5671727E-42.0E-40.56066824.566816E-41.0E-4

Mission (connected) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.8735573E-52.6670066E-50.00.02.6670066E-50.08.029284E-51.1429397E-41.0E-40.874936761.1429397E-40.09.771269E-40.00139054810.00151.07871140.00188985285.0E-40.0097284160.0138312330.01721.24356230.0196496290.0059
6.11.7515964E-52.5312958E-50.00.02.5312958E-50.07.506625E-51.0847829E-40.00.01.0847829E-40.09.135484E-40.00131982989.0E-40.68190610.00171930184.0E-40.0090980190.0131325940.01130.860454560.0173761230.0043
6.21.6486343E-52.4159106E-50.00.02.4159106E-50.07.065384E-51.0353361E-40.00.01.0353361E-40.08.5987104E-40.00125969979.0E-40.714455960.00165919594.0E-40.0085655140.0125382630.01030.821485460.0162906160.0038
6.31.5229385E-52.2592136E-50.00.02.2592136E-50.06.526716E-59.6818534E-50.00.09.6818534E-50.07.9433795E-40.00117803538.0E-40.67909680.0015775644.0E-40.0079150460.011733110.00960.818197370.0152908710.0036
6.41.4435828E-52.1199203E-50.00.02.1199203E-50.06.186637E-59.0849266E-50.00.09.0849266E-50.07.529627E-40.00110543668.0E-40.7236960.00150499434.0E-40.0075041650.0110195180.00930.84395710.0144809490.0035
6.51.30127955E-51.8847946E-50.00.01.8847946E-50.05.576793E-58.077415E-50.00.08.077415E-50.06.78763E-49.829501E-46.0E-40.61040740.00128265523.0E-40.00676693530.0098172060.00850.86582680.0130848090.0033
6.61.1220718E-51.6215632E-50.00.01.6215632E-50.04.8087906E-56.94937E-50.00.06.94937E-50.05.8531296E-48.4575714E-44.0E-40.4729490.00114550343.0E-40.0058377370.0084606470.00690.815540430.011038650.0026
6.78.086152E-61.1600417E-50.00.01.1600417E-50.03.4654473E-54.971513E-50.00.04.971513E-50.04.2183654E-46.051144E-42.0E-40.330516047.0505386E-41.0E-40.0042103670.0060740990.00460.757313970.0077637730.0017
6.86.8361655E-61.0061558E-50.00.01.0061558E-50.02.9297524E-54.3120253E-50.00.04.3120253E-50.03.5663895E-45.2486325E-42.0E-40.381051636.2481075E-41.0E-40.00356067130.0052712060.00390.73986860.00656435360.0013
6.95.2517353E-67.75857E-60.00.07.75857E-60.02.2507242E-53.3250595E-50.00.03.3250595E-50.02.739912E-44.0475102E-42.0E-40.494130945.0471054E-41.0E-40.00273653630.0040740180.00260.638190570.0050699440.001
7.04.4602784E-66.6043463E-60.00.06.6043463E-60.01.911534E-52.8304035E-50.00.02.8304035E-50.02.327044E-43.445473E-42.0E-40.58047184.4451284E-41.0E-40.00232460860.0034730010.00210.60466430.0042702238.0E-4
7.14.1492594E-66.157248E-60.00.06.157248E-60.01.7782419E-52.6387941E-50.00.02.6387941E-50.02.1647944E-43.2122596E-42.0E-40.62261474.2119384E-41.0E-40.00216268680.00323990640.0020.617301760.00403731468.0E-4
7.22.213247E-63.2959058E-60.00.03.2959058E-60.09.485309E-61.4125234E-50.00.01.4125234E-50.01.15477524E-41.7196119E-41.0E-40.58152661.7196119E-40.00.00115417540.00174796550.00140.800931160.00224709145.0E-4
7.31.7362703E-62.6794794E-60.00.02.6794794E-60.07.4411373E-61.1483433E-50.00.01.1483433E-50.09.0592075E-51.3980185E-41.0E-40.71529811.3980185E-40.09.0555154E-40.00142345760.00130.91326920.00192274585.0E-4
7.41.1628409E-61.8031382E-60.00.01.8031382E-60.04.9835944E-67.727712E-60.00.07.727712E-60.06.0673574E-59.4080846E-51.0E-41.06291569.4080846E-50.06.065701E-49.620352E-49.0E-40.935516660.00136165044.0E-4
7.55.5610667E-78.9942415E-70.00.08.9942415E-70.02.3833122E-63.854669E-60.00.03.854669E-60.02.9016439E-54.6929592E-51.0E-42.13085174.6929592E-50.02.901265E-44.8663607E-45.0E-41.02746196.8653875E-42.0E-4
7.64.4307663E-77.45915E-70.00.07.45915E-70.01.8988985E-63.1967745E-60.00.03.1967745E-60.02.3118844E-53.8920036E-51.0E-42.56937053.8920036E-50.02.3116439E-44.058705E-44.0E-40.985536046.057893E-42.0E-4
7.73.639119E-76.0639263E-70.00.06.0639263E-70.01.5596215E-62.598823E-60.00.02.598823E-60.01.8988227E-53.164021E-51.0E-43.1605353.164021E-50.01.8986604E-43.323364E-43.0E-40.90269984.3230318E-41.0E-4
7.83.1152942E-75.230514E-70.00.05.230514E-70.01.3351254E-62.2416468E-60.00.02.2416468E-60.01.6255031E-52.7291711E-51.0E-43.66411612.7291711E-50.01.6253842E-42.855025E-43.0E-41.05077893.8547395E-41.0E-4
7.91.8035962E-73.5666037E-70.00.03.5666037E-70.07.729696E-71.5285435E-60.00.01.5285435E-60.09.410865E-61.860986E-51.0E-45.37349561.860986E-50.09.410465E-51.9326876E-43.0E-41.55224262.9324944E-41.0E-4
8.09.279334E-81.895648E-70.00.01.895648E-70.03.976857E-78.124203E-70.00.08.124203E-70.04.841813E-69.891172E-60.00.09.891172E-60.04.841707E-51.0164692E-42.0E-41.96759532.0163675E-41.0E-4
8.15.9253985E-81.1417911E-70.00.01.1417911E-70.02.5394561E-74.8933896E-70.00.04.8933896E-70.03.0917836E-65.957686E-60.00.05.957686E-60.03.0917407E-56.1072096E-52.0E-43.2748181.61066E-41.0E-4

Santa Ynez (East)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.2269712E-53.6683814E-51.0E-42.72599773.6683814E-50.01.3829143E-41.5721019E-41.0E-40.63609111.5721019E-40.00.00168239790.0019129350.00120.62730830.00221236123.0E-40.0166971780.019021920.01620.8516490.0242211060.0053
6.13.2269712E-53.6683814E-51.0E-42.72599773.6683814E-50.01.3829143E-41.5721019E-41.0E-40.63609111.5721019E-40.00.00168239790.0019129350.00120.62730830.00221236123.0E-40.0166971780.019021920.01620.8516490.0242211060.0053
6.23.2269712E-53.6683814E-51.0E-42.72599773.6683814E-50.01.3829143E-41.5721019E-41.0E-40.63609111.5721019E-40.00.00168239790.0019129350.00120.62730830.00221236123.0E-40.0166971780.019021920.01620.8516490.0242211060.0053
6.33.2269712E-53.6683814E-51.0E-42.72599773.6683814E-50.01.3829143E-41.5721019E-41.0E-40.63609111.5721019E-40.00.00168239790.0019129350.00120.62730830.00221236123.0E-40.0166971780.019021920.01620.8516490.0242211060.0053
6.41.4404779E-51.4833643E-50.00.01.4833643E-50.06.1733306E-56.3571235E-50.00.06.3571235E-50.07.513438E-47.7371E-46.0E-40.77548439.7355526E-42.0E-40.00748808540.0077107120.00650.84298310.0098937480.0022
6.51.4404779E-51.4833643E-50.00.01.4833643E-50.06.1733306E-56.3571235E-50.00.06.3571235E-50.07.513438E-47.7371E-46.0E-40.77548439.7355526E-42.0E-40.00748808540.0077107120.00650.84298310.0098937480.0022
6.61.280208E-51.2999024E-50.00.01.2999024E-50.05.4864904E-55.5708922E-50.00.05.5708922E-50.06.6777546E-46.7804684E-46.0E-40.88489467.7797903E-41.0E-40.0066577240.00675999050.00610.90236810.0086471470.0019
6.71.2457027E-51.2615991E-50.00.01.2615991E-50.05.3386164E-55.4067423E-50.00.05.4067423E-50.06.497827E-46.580737E-46.0E-40.9117527.580079E-41.0E-40.006478860.00656144740.00590.899191860.0083496370.0018
6.81.2095134E-51.2218848E-50.00.01.2218848E-50.05.1835254E-55.2365445E-50.00.05.2365445E-50.06.309115E-46.373644E-45.0E-40.78448067.3730067E-41.0E-40.00629123250.0063555520.00560.88111940.0081441120.0018
6.91.1104036E-51.1146226E-50.00.01.1146226E-50.04.758786E-54.7768674E-50.00.04.7768674E-50.05.7922816E-45.8142963E-44.0E-40.687959436.813715E-41.0E-40.0057772070.00579922970.00520.89667080.00748937060.0017
7.01.0577444E-51.0571121E-50.00.01.0571121E-50.04.5331115E-54.5304023E-50.00.04.5304023E-50.05.5176654E-45.514381E-44.0E-40.725376076.5138296E-41.0E-40.00550398560.00550083540.00520.945310950.00719148430.0017
7.11.0021775E-59.970943E-60.00.09.970943E-60.04.294976E-54.2731917E-50.00.04.2731917E-50.05.2278786E-45.201381E-44.0E-40.76902656.200861E-41.0E-40.00521559640.0051893390.00440.84789210.0063831120.0012
7.28.874109E-68.7398275E-60.00.08.7398275E-60.03.8031343E-53.7455873E-50.00.03.7455873E-50.04.629332E-44.5593092E-44.0E-40.87732595.558853E-41.0E-40.00461970.0045500730.00390.857129160.0057446130.0012
7.37.5504267E-67.4977006E-60.00.07.4977006E-60.03.235857E-53.2132615E-50.00.03.2132615E-50.03.9389438E-43.9114535E-43.0E-40.766978264.9110624E-41.0E-40.00393196940.00390467580.00370.94758180.00509999040.0012
7.46.309394E-66.176964E-60.00.06.176964E-60.02.703998E-52.6472439E-50.00.02.6472439E-50.03.2916202E-43.2225522E-42.0E-40.62062614.22223E-41.0E-40.0032867490.00321797630.00270.839036640.0040154028.0E-4
7.54.6103073E-64.4365092E-60.00.04.4365092E-60.01.975831E-51.9013476E-50.00.01.9013476E-50.02.4053088E-42.3146518E-41.0E-40.432030443.3144202E-41.0E-40.0024027070.00231231030.0020.86493580.00301069167.0E-4
7.61.2858658E-61.2997734E-60.00.01.2997734E-60.05.5108417E-65.5704463E-60.00.05.5704463E-60.06.7092435E-56.781814E-50.00.06.781814E-50.06.707218E-46.7798136E-44.0E-40.589986747.7791355E-41.0E-4
7.75.3302307E-75.609023E-70.00.05.609023E-70.02.2843826E-62.403865E-60.00.02.403865E-60.02.7812002E-52.9266701E-50.00.02.9266701E-50.02.7808524E-42.9263203E-41.0E-40.34172613.926028E-41.0E-4
7.84.613933E-84.8009543E-80.00.04.8009543E-80.01.9773998E-72.0575517E-70.00.02.0575517E-70.02.4074816E-62.5050665E-60.00.02.5050665E-60.02.4074554E-52.5050393E-50.00.02.5050393E-50.0

Trinidad (alt1)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0167168E-53.3987628E-50.00.03.3987628E-50.01.2928146E-41.4565406E-41.0E-40.686558252.456395E-41.0E-40.00157286530.00177206380.00120.677176540.00237100066.0E-40.01561779250.0175962410.0140.79562450.0229994620.0055
6.13.0167168E-53.3987628E-50.00.03.3987628E-50.01.2928146E-41.4565406E-41.0E-40.686558252.456395E-41.0E-40.00157286530.00177206380.00120.677176540.00237100066.0E-40.01561779250.0175962410.0140.79562450.0229994620.0055
6.23.0167168E-53.3987628E-50.00.03.3987628E-50.01.2928146E-41.4565406E-41.0E-40.686558252.456395E-41.0E-40.00157286530.00177206380.00120.677176540.00237100066.0E-40.01561779250.0175962410.0140.79562450.0229994620.0055
6.33.0167168E-53.3987628E-50.00.03.3987628E-50.01.2928146E-41.4565406E-41.0E-40.686558252.456395E-41.0E-40.00157286530.00177206380.00120.677176540.00237100066.0E-40.01561779250.0175962410.0140.79562450.0229994620.0055
6.43.0167168E-53.3987628E-50.00.03.3987628E-50.01.2928146E-41.4565406E-41.0E-40.686558252.456395E-41.0E-40.00157286530.00177206380.00120.677176540.00237100066.0E-40.01561779250.0175962410.0140.79562450.0229994620.0055
6.53.0167168E-53.3987628E-50.00.03.3987628E-50.01.2928146E-41.4565406E-41.0E-40.686558252.456395E-41.0E-40.00157286530.00177206380.00120.677176540.00237100066.0E-40.01561779250.0175962410.0140.79562450.0229994620.0055
6.63.0167168E-53.3987628E-50.00.03.3987628E-50.01.2928146E-41.4565406E-41.0E-40.686558252.456395E-41.0E-40.00157286530.00177206380.00120.677176540.00237100066.0E-40.01561779250.0175962410.0140.79562450.0229994620.0055
6.73.0167168E-53.3987628E-50.00.03.3987628E-50.01.2928146E-41.4565406E-41.0E-40.686558252.456395E-41.0E-40.00157286530.00177206380.00120.677176540.00237100066.0E-40.01561779250.0175962410.0140.79562450.0229994620.0055
6.81.717077E-51.917205E-50.00.01.917205E-50.07.358694E-58.21636E-51.0E-41.2170841.8215537E-41.0E-48.9555274E-49.99927E-48.0E-40.800058360.00149942715.0E-40.0089195220.0099587180.00790.793274760.0130278460.0031
6.91.717077E-51.917205E-50.00.01.917205E-50.07.358694E-58.21636E-51.0E-41.2170841.8215537E-41.0E-48.9555274E-49.99927E-48.0E-40.800058360.00149942715.0E-40.0089195220.0099587180.00790.793274760.0130278460.0031
7.01.2858572E-51.4320156E-50.00.01.4320156E-50.05.5107E-56.137083E-51.0E-41.62943851.613647E-41.0E-46.707212E-47.4696576E-46.0E-40.803249660.00104674173.0E-40.0066870040.00744772140.00610.819042440.0096313370.0022
7.11.0588431E-51.1787157E-50.00.01.1787157E-50.04.53782E-55.0515573E-51.0E-41.97958771.5051052E-41.0E-45.5233954E-46.1488233E-45.0E-40.81316379.146979E-43.0E-40.0055096870.0061346530.00470.76613950.0080229970.0019
7.28.138061E-69.056403E-60.00.09.056403E-60.03.487694E-53.8812716E-51.0E-42.57647511.3880884E-41.0E-44.2454398E-44.7246713E-45.0E-41.05827467.723254E-43.0E-40.00423733840.00471706130.00370.784386630.0062099860.0015
7.35.787542E-66.4524816E-60.00.06.4524816E-60.02.4803514E-52.7653321E-51.0E-43.61620241.2765055E-41.0E-43.0194095E-43.3664863E-42.0E-40.594091245.365813E-42.0E-40.003015310.00336349220.00230.68381310.00436012870.001
7.44.303563E-64.7950593E-60.00.04.7950593E-60.01.844371E-52.0550204E-50.00.02.0550204E-50.02.2452902E-42.501897E-41.0E-40.399696683.5016472E-41.0E-40.00224302310.0025010140.00190.75969190.0032990138.0E-4
7.55.6063425E-76.136845E-70.00.06.136845E-70.02.402716E-62.630074E-60.00.02.630074E-60.02.9252675E-53.2020696E-50.00.03.2020696E-50.02.9248823E-43.2016236E-42.0E-40.6246835.200984E-42.0E-4
7.64.6699128E-75.120578E-70.00.05.120578E-70.02.0013897E-62.1945316E-60.00.02.1945316E-60.02.4366647E-52.671811E-50.00.02.671811E-50.02.4363975E-42.6715038E-41.0E-40.3743213.6712366E-41.0E-4
7.72.2080937E-72.4320832E-70.00.02.4320832E-70.09.4632554E-71.0423211E-60.00.01.0423211E-60.01.15214525E-51.26901905E-50.00.01.26901905E-50.01.1520855E-41.2689526E-41.0E-40.788051552.2688256E-41.0E-4
7.81.1438307E-81.2668568E-80.00.01.2668568E-80.04.9021317E-85.4293867E-80.00.05.4293867E-80.05.9683435E-76.610278E-70.00.06.610278E-70.05.9683275E-66.610278E-60.00.06.610278E-60.0

South Klamath Lake West

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.174025E-52.3027618E-50.00.02.3027618E-50.09.3169176E-59.868643E-51.0E-41.01331061.9867656E-41.0E-40.00113374440.00120091080.00110.915971460.00170031035.0E-40.0112797770.0119508030.01241.03758720.0165946350.0047
6.12.174025E-52.3027618E-50.00.02.3027618E-50.09.3169176E-59.868643E-51.0E-41.01331061.9867656E-41.0E-40.00113374440.00120091080.00110.915971460.00170031035.0E-40.0112797770.0119508030.01241.03758720.0165946350.0047
6.29.834929E-61.03876755E-50.00.01.03876755E-50.04.2149015E-54.45179E-51.0E-42.24628731.4451345E-41.0E-45.1304343E-45.418797E-46.0E-41.10725698.417171E-43.0E-40.00511860570.00540648450.00581.07278590.007594590.0022
6.39.834929E-61.03876755E-50.00.01.03876755E-50.04.2149015E-54.45179E-51.0E-42.24628731.4451345E-41.0E-45.1304343E-45.418797E-46.0E-41.10725698.417171E-43.0E-40.00511860570.00540648450.00581.07278590.007594590.0022
6.46.066321E-66.3967505E-60.00.06.3967505E-60.02.5998259E-52.7414373E-50.00.02.7414373E-50.03.1648282E-43.3372157E-43.0E-40.898952964.336882E-41.0E-40.00316032490.00333247430.00351.05027070.00482747560.0015
6.56.066321E-66.3967505E-60.00.06.3967505E-60.02.5998259E-52.7414373E-50.00.02.7414373E-50.03.1648282E-43.3372157E-43.0E-40.898952964.336882E-41.0E-40.00316032490.00333247430.00351.05027070.00482747560.0015
6.64.2321803E-64.4587705E-60.00.04.4587705E-60.01.8137789E-51.9108884E-50.00.01.9108884E-50.02.208052E-42.3262684E-43.0E-41.28961913.3260358E-41.0E-40.00220585940.0023239350.00241.0327310.00352114630.0012
6.73.186646E-63.358394E-60.00.03.358394E-60.01.3656982E-51.4393042E-50.00.01.4393042E-50.01.6626107E-41.7522187E-42.0E-41.141411.7522187E-40.00.00166136740.00175090410.0021.1422670.00264932849.0E-4
6.82.380121E-62.509467E-60.00.02.509467E-60.01.0200479E-51.0754818E-50.00.01.0754818E-50.01.2418375E-41.309325E-41.0E-40.763752341.309325E-40.00.00124114370.00130859940.00130.99342860.00170807594.0E-4
6.98.928287E-79.4247173E-70.00.09.4247173E-70.03.826403E-64.0391596E-60.00.04.0391596E-60.04.658546E-54.917588E-51.0E-42.03351744.917588E-50.04.6575698E-44.9167156E-45.0E-41.0169397.915241E-43.0E-4

Goldstone Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.671352E-53.0331994E-50.00.03.0331994E-50.01.1448149E-41.2998888E-40.00.01.2998888E-40.00.0013929210.00158166158.0E-40.50579720.00198102884.0E-40.0138422220.0157234870.0150.95398690.0207432970.0051
6.12.671352E-53.0331994E-50.00.03.0331994E-50.01.1448149E-41.2998888E-40.00.01.2998888E-40.00.0013929210.00158166158.0E-40.50579720.00198102884.0E-40.0138422220.0157234870.0150.95398690.0207432970.0051
6.21.4197047E-51.6073136E-50.00.01.6073136E-50.06.0843064E-56.88836E-50.00.06.88836E-50.07.4051257E-48.384335E-44.0E-40.477080170.00103826592.0E-40.0073804980.0083623720.00830.99254140.01084146650.0025
6.31.4197047E-51.6073136E-50.00.01.6073136E-50.06.0843064E-56.88836E-50.00.06.88836E-50.07.4051257E-48.384335E-44.0E-40.477080170.00103826592.0E-40.0073804980.0083623720.00830.99254140.01084146650.0025
6.41.3238931E-51.4986886E-50.00.01.4986886E-50.05.6737044E-56.422848E-50.00.06.422848E-50.06.9055456E-47.817989E-43.0E-40.383730388.8172074E-41.0E-40.0068841260.0078000850.00740.948707640.0098837050.0021
6.51.3238931E-51.4986886E-50.00.01.4986886E-50.05.6737044E-56.422848E-50.00.06.422848E-50.06.9055456E-47.817989E-43.0E-40.383730388.8172074E-41.0E-40.0068841260.0078000850.00740.948707640.0098837050.0021
6.61.1328278E-51.2836445E-50.00.01.2836445E-50.04.8548856E-55.5012715E-50.00.05.5012715E-50.05.90922E-46.6966936E-43.0E-40.447982257.696024E-41.0E-40.00589353130.00668587680.00610.9123710.0084738420.0018
6.78.651175E-69.810019E-60.00.09.810019E-60.03.707594E-54.2042768E-50.00.04.2042768E-50.04.5130608E-45.1184074E-42.0E-40.390746536.117896E-41.0E-40.00450390620.00511547270.00470.91878120.00660779930.0015
6.81.0215377E-61.1729769E-60.00.01.1729769E-60.04.378012E-65.027035E-60.00.05.027035E-60.05.3300988E-56.120255E-51.0E-41.6339196.120255E-50.05.3288206E-46.118681E-45.0E-40.817169556.118681E-40.0
6.97.9360774E-79.2606354E-70.00.09.2606354E-70.03.4011714E-63.968838E-60.00.03.968838E-60.04.1408475E-54.83196E-51.0E-42.06955344.83196E-50.04.140076E-44.8309792E-44.0E-40.827989464.8309792E-40.0
7.07.4382757E-78.724997E-70.00.08.724997E-70.03.1878285E-63.7392795E-60.00.03.7392795E-60.03.8811122E-54.5524845E-50.00.04.5524845E-50.03.8804344E-44.551618E-43.0E-40.659106254.551618E-40.0
7.16.4709513E-77.689736E-70.00.07.689736E-70.02.773262E-63.2955975E-60.00.03.2955975E-60.03.376394E-54.012322E-50.00.04.012322E-50.03.375881E-44.011657E-43.0E-40.74782074.011657E-40.0
7.26.356704E-77.5668936E-70.00.07.5668936E-70.02.7242988E-63.2429507E-60.00.03.2429507E-60.03.3167835E-53.948227E-50.00.03.948227E-50.03.3162883E-43.9475845E-43.0E-40.75995843.9475845E-40.0
7.35.7695723E-76.8827575E-70.00.06.8827575E-70.02.4726714E-62.9497503E-60.00.02.9497503E-60.03.0104358E-53.5912675E-50.00.03.5912675E-50.03.0100282E-43.5907442E-43.0E-40.83548143.5907442E-40.0
7.45.209647E-76.18126E-70.00.06.18126E-70.02.232704E-62.649109E-60.00.02.649109E-60.02.718283E-53.2252483E-50.00.03.2252483E-50.02.7179506E-43.2248354E-43.0E-40.930283.2248354E-40.0
7.54.512955E-75.33711E-70.00.05.33711E-70.01.934122E-62.2873312E-60.00.02.2873312E-60.02.3547682E-52.7847955E-50.00.02.7847955E-50.02.3545188E-42.7844994E-43.0E-41.07739292.7844994E-40.0
7.62.21172E-72.602981E-70.00.02.602981E-70.09.478797E-71.115563E-60.00.01.115563E-60.01.1540374E-51.3581924E-50.00.01.3581924E-50.01.1539775E-41.3581375E-42.0E-41.4726051.3581375E-40.0

South Klamath Lake East

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.3539369E-52.5030551E-50.00.02.5030551E-50.01.0087911E-41.0726984E-42.0E-41.86445691.0726984E-40.00.00122751110.0013053110.00120.91932110.00140518041.0E-40.0122075270.0129847740.01190.9164580.0174263420.0045
6.12.3539369E-52.5030551E-50.00.02.5030551E-50.01.0087911E-41.0726984E-42.0E-41.86445691.0726984E-40.00.00122751110.0013053110.00120.91932110.00140518041.0E-40.0122075270.0129847740.01190.9164580.0174263420.0045
6.22.3539369E-52.5030551E-50.00.02.5030551E-50.01.0087911E-41.0726984E-42.0E-41.86445691.0726984E-40.00.00122751110.0013053110.00120.91932110.00140518041.0E-40.0122075270.0129847740.01190.9164580.0174263420.0045
6.39.807823E-61.03895345E-50.00.01.03895345E-50.04.2032847E-54.4525863E-51.0E-42.24588584.4525863E-50.05.1162974E-45.419759E-46.0E-41.10706036.419217E-41.0E-40.0051045340.00540737670.00651.20206170.00769493960.0023
6.49.807823E-61.03895345E-50.00.01.03895345E-50.04.2032847E-54.4525863E-51.0E-42.24588584.4525863E-50.05.1162974E-45.419759E-46.0E-41.10706036.419217E-41.0E-40.0051045340.00540737670.00651.20206170.00769493960.0023
6.56.191981E-66.546877E-60.00.06.546877E-60.02.653679E-52.8057759E-51.0E-43.56407642.8057759E-50.03.2303753E-43.4155246E-43.0E-40.87834243.4155246E-40.00.00322568350.00341055290.00411.20215110.0052044140.0018
6.64.3693776E-64.6138316E-60.00.04.6138316E-60.01.8725768E-51.977342E-50.00.01.977342E-50.02.2796239E-42.4071593E-42.0E-40.830854832.4071593E-40.00.00227728670.00240466440.00261.0812320.00390105740.0015
6.73.360834E-63.5491405E-60.00.03.5491405E-60.01.4403494E-51.5210518E-50.00.01.5210518E-50.01.7534842E-41.8517312E-42.0E-41.08007041.8517312E-40.00.00175210140.00185026810.0021.08092440.00284841770.001
6.82.57873E-62.7235558E-60.00.02.7235558E-60.01.1051653E-51.1672333E-50.00.01.1672333E-50.01.3454557E-41.42102E-41.0E-40.703719851.42102E-40.00.00134464130.00142017190.00140.985796150.00221903588.0E-4
6.99.987825E-71.0559827E-60.00.01.0559827E-60.04.2804895E-64.5256343E-60.00.04.5256343E-60.05.211371E-55.5098528E-51.0E-41.81493045.5098528E-50.05.210149E-45.508808E-46.0E-41.08916498.5071556E-43.0E-4

Ludlow

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.2407607E-52.3643477E-50.00.02.3643477E-50.09.602906E-51.013255E-42.0E-41.97383682.0131537E-41.0E-40.00116852670.00123298396.0E-40.486624360.0015326143.0E-40.0116240130.0122659360.01190.97016650.0174021530.0052
6.12.2407607E-52.3643477E-50.00.02.3643477E-50.09.602906E-51.013255E-42.0E-41.97383682.0131537E-41.0E-40.00116852670.00123298396.0E-40.486624360.0015326143.0E-40.0116240130.0122659360.01190.97016650.0174021530.0052
6.21.0781252E-51.13592305E-50.00.01.13592305E-50.04.620455E-54.868153E-51.0E-42.0541674.868153E-50.05.623952E-45.925405E-44.0E-40.67505947.92422E-42.0E-40.005609740.0059100240.00580.98138350.0083952490.0025
6.31.0781252E-51.13592305E-50.00.01.13592305E-50.04.620455E-54.868153E-51.0E-42.0541674.868153E-50.05.623952E-45.925405E-44.0E-40.67505947.92422E-42.0E-40.005609740.0059100240.00580.98138350.0083952490.0025
6.47.814439E-68.233069E-60.00.08.233069E-60.03.3490025E-53.5284113E-51.0E-42.83413673.5284113E-50.04.0766477E-44.295008E-43.0E-40.69848536.2941486E-42.0E-40.00406917740.0042868530.00380.88643110.00597956540.0017
6.56.4986366E-66.8470413E-60.00.06.8470413E-60.02.7851002E-52.9344137E-51.0E-43.40783572.9344137E-50.03.390332E-43.5720723E-43.0E-40.839848645.571358E-42.0E-40.0033851640.00356642670.00310.86921740.004861790.0013
6.65.582177E-65.8826595E-60.00.05.8826595E-60.02.3923398E-52.5211159E-51.0E-43.96649772.5211159E-50.02.9122844E-43.0690333E-43.0E-40.977506465.068419E-42.0E-40.00290847060.00306486830.00270.88095140.00416149660.0011
6.74.6858763E-64.9376245E-60.00.04.9376245E-60.02.0082172E-52.1161079E-51.0E-44.7256572.1161079E-50.02.4447302E-42.5760624E-43.0E-41.16456814.575547E-42.0E-40.00244204230.00257313250.00240.932715240.00347081669.0E-4
6.83.5584908E-63.7498878E-60.00.03.7498878E-60.01.5250586E-51.6070851E-51.0E-46.22244551.6070851E-50.01.8566006E-41.9564545E-43.0E-41.5333863.9560633E-42.0E-40.00185505020.00195477320.00190.97197980.00255360046.0E-4
6.92.532834E-62.6694825E-60.00.02.6694825E-60.01.0854958E-51.144059E-51.0E-48.7408081.144059E-50.01.3215111E-41.3928056E-43.0E-42.1539263.392527E-42.0E-40.00132072540.00139196030.00161.1494580.0019911256.0E-4
7.01.7083285E-61.8009131E-60.00.01.8009131E-60.07.3213873E-67.718178E-61.0E-412.9564287.718178E-60.08.913424E-59.3964925E-53.0E-43.19268082.9394613E-42.0E-48.9098496E-49.392684E-40.00111.17112420.00133889274.0E-4
7.11.0905424E-61.1491103E-60.00.01.1491103E-60.04.6737446E-64.9247496E-61.0E-420.3056014.9247496E-60.05.6901354E-55.9957274E-51.0E-41.66785435.9957274E-50.05.6886784E-45.9942075E-47.0E-41.16779416.993608E-41.0E-4
7.26.06668E-76.3837547E-70.00.06.3837547E-70.02.600003E-62.7358924E-60.00.02.7358924E-60.03.1654577E-53.330905E-50.00.03.330905E-50.03.1650066E-43.330474E-45.0E-41.50128774.330141E-41.0E-4

Coyote Canyon

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.5090034E-54.030101E-50.00.04.030101E-50.01.503772E-41.7270862E-41.0E-40.57900991.7270862E-40.00.00182930470.00210095620.00150.713960650.00240032583.0E-40.0181431940.0208367740.0180.86385730.025732590.005
6.13.5090034E-54.030101E-50.00.04.030101E-50.01.503772E-41.7270862E-41.0E-40.57900991.7270862E-40.00.00182930470.00210095620.00150.713960650.00240032583.0E-40.0181431940.0208367740.0180.86385730.025732590.005
6.21.841879E-52.1028296E-50.00.02.1028296E-50.07.8935285E-59.011873E-50.00.09.011873E-50.09.606133E-40.0010967457.0E-40.638252260.00129652572.0E-40.00956471450.010923380.00970.88800350.0135938870.0027
6.31.841879E-52.1028296E-50.00.02.1028296E-50.07.8935285E-59.011873E-50.00.09.011873E-50.09.606133E-40.0010967457.0E-40.638252260.00129652572.0E-40.00956471450.010923380.00970.88800350.0135938870.0027
6.41.712201E-51.9536092E-50.00.01.9536092E-50.07.337798E-58.3723986E-50.00.08.3723986E-50.08.930107E-40.00101896327.0E-40.686972860.00121875932.0E-40.0088943070.0101527990.00910.89630460.0127264010.0026
6.51.4744935E-51.6812055E-50.00.01.6812055E-50.06.3191044E-57.20502E-50.00.07.20502E-50.07.6907943E-48.769513E-47.0E-40.79821990.0010767762.0E-40.0076642320.0087440770.00810.92634140.0112222160.0025
6.61.2017839E-51.3703764E-50.00.01.3703764E-50.05.150401E-55.872959E-50.00.05.872959E-50.06.268809E-47.148865E-45.0E-40.69941179.147435E-42.0E-40.00625115450.00713453530.00630.88302880.0092195520.0021
6.71.00956095E-51.1516381E-50.00.01.1516381E-50.04.326618E-54.9355476E-50.00.04.9355476E-50.05.266384E-46.0082396E-44.0E-40.66575248.0070377E-42.0E-40.0052539210.0060004970.00540.89992550.0077896960.0018

Tank Canyon

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.8284557E-55.7840167E-50.00.05.7840167E-50.02.0691741E-42.4786626E-42.0E-40.806886732.4786626E-40.00.00251630880.00301425860.0020.663513060.00331335443.0E-40.024880060.0298005450.02080.69797380.0341664440.0045
6.11.7796336E-52.083262E-50.00.02.083262E-50.07.626778E-58.927982E-52.0E-42.24014788.927982E-50.09.281647E-40.00108647780.00121.10448650.00118636911.0E-40.0092429750.0108157190.00880.81363060.0124973330.0017
6.21.7796336E-52.083262E-50.00.02.083262E-50.07.626778E-58.927982E-52.0E-42.24014788.927982E-50.09.281647E-40.00108647780.00121.10448650.00118636911.0E-40.0092429750.0108157190.00880.81363060.0124973330.0017
6.31.3515912E-51.5729276E-50.00.01.5729276E-50.05.792405E-56.740957E-50.00.06.740957E-50.07.049971E-48.2042604E-47.0E-40.85321529.2034397E-41.0E-40.0070276470.0081765510.00590.721575560.0091683750.001
6.41.0870146E-51.2593871E-50.00.01.2593871E-50.04.658551E-55.397272E-50.00.05.397272E-50.05.67031E-46.569374E-46.0E-40.9133297.568717E-41.0E-40.0056558630.00655193160.00520.79365910.0072473457.0E-4
6.57.964826E-69.178247E-60.00.09.178247E-60.03.4134522E-53.933481E-50.00.03.933481E-50.04.1550855E-44.788066E-45.0E-41.04426295.787587E-41.0E-40.00414732470.00477902540.00370.77421640.0052766365.0E-4
6.66.6317E-67.5974126E-60.00.07.5974126E-60.02.8421264E-53.2559987E-50.00.03.2559987E-50.03.4597394E-43.9635476E-43.0E-40.75689774.9631513E-41.0E-40.00345435790.00395760450.00280.70749870.00435602154.0E-4
6.74.793663E-65.4198917E-60.00.05.4198917E-60.02.0544108E-52.3227925E-50.00.02.3227925E-50.02.500958E-42.8276767E-41.0E-40.353647232.8276767E-40.00.00249814520.00282474440.00180.63722580.00302417952.0E-4
6.84.382823E-64.959133E-60.00.04.959133E-60.01.8783392E-52.125328E-50.00.02.125328E-50.02.286638E-42.587322E-41.0E-40.38652.587322E-40.00.00228428650.0025849620.00170.657649930.0027844452.0E-4
6.92.729601E-63.0660856E-60.00.03.0660856E-60.01.1698237E-51.3140308E-50.00.01.3140308E-50.01.4241673E-41.5997273E-41.0E-40.62510661.5997273E-40.00.0014232550.00159887938.0E-40.50035050.00169871951.0E-4
7.01.8987357E-62.1211877E-60.00.02.1211877E-60.08.137413E-69.090776E-60.00.09.090776E-60.09.90685E-51.10675275E-41.0E-40.90354411.10675275E-40.09.902435E-40.00110627016.0E-40.5423630.00120615951.0E-4
7.11.4928986E-61.6591971E-60.00.01.6591971E-60.06.398121E-67.110829E-60.00.07.110829E-60.07.789434E-58.657149E-51.0E-41.15511478.657149E-50.07.786704E-48.654354E-44.0E-40.46219519.6534885E-41.0E-4
7.21.069082E-61.179496E-60.00.01.179496E-60.04.581772E-65.0549766E-60.00.05.0549766E-60.05.5781646E-56.1543135E-51.0E-41.62487666.1543135E-50.05.576765E-46.1531307E-42.0E-40.32503787.1525155E-41.0E-4
7.38.776551E-79.750752E-70.00.09.750752E-70.03.7613736E-64.17889E-60.00.04.17889E-60.04.579376E-55.0877316E-51.0E-41.96551255.0877316E-50.04.5784327E-45.087076E-42.0E-40.393153136.0865673E-41.0E-4
7.47.55721E-78.493275E-70.00.08.493275E-70.03.2388E-63.6399726E-60.00.03.6399726E-60.03.9431678E-54.4316283E-51.0E-42.2565074.4316283E-50.03.942468E-44.4312523E-42.0E-40.451339665.430809E-41.0E-4
7.55.587665E-76.303491E-70.00.06.303491E-70.02.3947114E-62.7014962E-60.00.02.7014962E-60.02.915522E-53.289072E-51.0E-43.04037143.289072E-50.02.9151395E-43.2890716E-42.0E-40.60807434.2887428E-41.0E-4

Sargent 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.7327867E-53.651451E-50.00.03.651451E-50.01.5996677E-41.5648414E-41.0E-40.63904242.5646848E-41.0E-40.00194585560.00190395420.00130.682789560.00250281186.0E-40.019289050.0189465840.01640.865591350.0240480620.0052
6.12.3771476E-51.8403885E-50.00.01.8403885E-50.01.01873775E-47.8871904E-51.0E-41.26787871.7886401E-41.0E-40.00123960759.599245E-45.0E-40.52087430.00125963653.0E-40.0123271540.0095951840.00740.771220270.0119721550.0024
6.22.3112721E-51.7636581E-50.00.01.7636581E-50.09.9050754E-57.558365E-51.0E-41.32303751.7557609E-41.0E-40.00120527589.19924E-44.0E-40.434818540.00111974012.0E-40.0119875970.0091985110.00690.75012140.0113782740.0022
6.31.728509E-51.0403356E-50.00.01.0403356E-50.07.407686E-54.4585315E-50.00.04.4585315E-50.09.015125E-45.4273725E-41.0E-40.184251235.4273725E-40.00.0089786410.0054481960.00450.82596140.00674111350.0013
6.41.48395575E-57.4075137E-60.00.07.4075137E-60.06.3596555E-53.1746313E-50.00.03.1746313E-50.07.7401294E-43.8648045E-40.00.03.8648045E-40.00.00771322570.00389136930.0030.770936850.0049870890.0011
6.51.4358964E-56.8472837E-60.00.06.8472837E-60.06.1536964E-52.9345385E-50.00.02.9345385E-50.07.48955E-43.5725898E-40.00.03.5725898E-40.00.00746435860.0036001270.00290.805527150.00459652670.001
6.69.772591E-61.3378667E-60.00.01.3378667E-60.04.188186E-55.733702E-60.00.05.733702E-60.05.097923E-46.980561E-50.00.06.980561E-50.00.0050862447.27548E-45.0E-40.68723990.00102732973.0E-4
6.79.752745E-61.3165744E-60.00.01.3165744E-60.04.179681E-55.6424497E-60.00.05.6424497E-60.05.0875737E-46.869469E-50.00.06.869469E-50.00.0050759427.1644597E-45.0E-40.69788930.0010162313.0E-4
6.89.608213E-61.2010591E-60.00.01.2010591E-60.04.1177405E-55.147386E-60.00.05.147386E-60.05.012196E-46.266765E-50.00.06.266765E-50.00.0050009066.559142E-45.0E-40.76229489.5571746E-43.0E-4
6.99.427164E-61.0874114E-60.00.01.0874114E-60.04.04015E-54.6603263E-60.00.04.6603263E-60.04.9177726E-45.6738016E-50.00.05.6738016E-50.00.0049069045.959632E-45.0E-40.8389788.957844E-43.0E-4
7.09.247601E-69.549095E-70.00.09.549095E-70.03.9631974E-54.0924633E-60.00.04.0924633E-60.04.8241246E-44.9824615E-50.00.04.9824615E-50.00.00481366555.2636495E-45.0E-40.94991138.2620705E-43.0E-4
7.18.995454E-67.9654967E-70.00.07.9654967E-70.03.8551374E-53.41378E-60.00.03.41378E-60.04.6926187E-44.156199E-50.00.04.156199E-50.00.0046827224.4285922E-45.0E-41.12902697.427264E-43.0E-4
7.28.520861E-65.009059E-70.00.05.009059E-70.03.6517464E-52.1467379E-60.00.02.1467379E-60.04.445094E-42.6136227E-50.00.02.6136227E-50.00.0044362132.8692777E-42.0E-40.697039544.8687038E-42.0E-4
7.38.043592E-63.2212097E-70.00.03.2212097E-70.03.4472083E-51.3805177E-60.00.01.3805177E-60.04.196168E-41.6807675E-50.00.01.6807675E-50.00.0041882531.9238579E-41.0E-40.519788862.9236655E-41.0E-4
7.47.662316E-62.713081E-70.00.02.713081E-70.03.2838085E-51.1627485E-60.00.01.1627485E-60.03.9973034E-41.4156371E-50.00.01.4156371E-50.00.00399012071.6415649E-41.0E-40.60917482.6414008E-41.0E-4
7.56.961638E-62.1747023E-70.00.02.1747023E-70.02.9835252E-59.320149E-70.00.09.320149E-70.03.6318362E-41.1347223E-50.00.01.1347223E-50.00.00362590651.3282755E-40.00.01.3282755E-40.0
7.66.282332E-61.546953E-70.00.01.546953E-70.02.6924003E-56.629797E-70.00.06.629797E-70.03.2775043E-48.071748E-60.00.08.071748E-60.00.00327267459.6151045E-50.00.09.6151045E-50.0
7.74.934408E-64.5195517E-80.00.04.5195517E-80.02.114729E-51.9369506E-70.00.01.9369506E-70.02.5743784E-42.3582347E-60.00.02.3582347E-60.00.00257139822.9234143E-50.00.02.9234143E-50.0
7.82.373212E-63.1301674E-80.00.03.1301674E-80.01.0170869E-51.3415003E-70.00.01.3415003E-70.01.238233E-41.6332752E-60.00.01.6332752E-60.00.00123754322.1434753E-50.00.02.1434753E-50.0
7.91.8227792E-62.7169365E-80.00.02.7169365E-80.07.811887E-61.16440134E-70.00.01.16440134E-70.09.510558E-51.4176577E-60.00.01.4176577E-60.09.5064886E-41.900042E-50.00.01.900042E-50.0
8.01.9095137E-71.2203386E-80.00.01.2203386E-80.08.1836276E-75.2300226E-80.00.05.2300226E-80.09.963521E-66.367551E-70.00.06.367551E-70.09.963074E-57.807775E-60.00.07.807775E-60.0

Garlock (Central)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.5131142E-56.972457E-50.00.06.972457E-50.02.3625491E-42.9878572E-40.00.02.9878572E-40.00.00287260950.00363171240.00160.440563530.00363171240.00.0283575910.0357861070.02280.637118760.04070360.0051
6.15.5131142E-56.972457E-50.00.06.972457E-50.02.3625491E-42.9878572E-40.00.02.9878572E-40.00.00287260950.00363171240.00160.440563530.00363171240.00.0283575910.0357861070.02280.637118760.04070360.0051
6.24.216245E-55.118433E-50.00.05.118433E-50.01.806837E-42.1934314E-40.00.02.1934314E-40.00.00219760460.00266726340.00120.449899320.00266726340.00.0217599890.0264432320.01640.620196460.0298506820.0035
6.34.216245E-55.118433E-50.00.05.118433E-50.01.806837E-42.1934314E-40.00.02.1934314E-40.00.00219760460.00266726340.00120.449899320.00266726340.00.0217599890.0264432320.01640.620196460.0298506820.0035
6.43.6858168E-54.365805E-50.00.04.365805E-50.01.5795401E-41.8709265E-40.00.01.8709265E-40.00.00192139370.00227549840.0010.439464180.00227549840.00.0190486550.022626650.01370.605480730.0255587680.003
6.53.39199E-53.9581115E-50.00.03.9581115E-50.01.453629E-41.6962244E-40.00.01.6962244E-40.00.00176835650.00206321870.0010.48467960.00206321870.00.0175435080.0205432620.01290.62794310.0233836880.0029
6.63.3571985E-53.903634E-50.00.03.903634E-50.01.4387199E-41.6728799E-40.00.01.6728799E-40.00.00175023420.00203485020.0010.491436660.00203485020.00.0173651330.0202676620.01230.60687810.0230109130.0028
6.73.2580007E-53.7657028E-50.00.03.7657028E-50.01.3962112E-41.613774E-40.00.01.613774E-40.00.00169856170.00196302050.0010.5094190.00196302050.00.0168563720.0195552990.01180.603417040.0221044550.0026
6.83.2185937E-53.708589E-50.00.03.708589E-50.01.3793244E-41.5892998E-40.00.01.5892998E-40.00.00167803370.00193327640.0010.51725660.00193327640.00.0166541920.0192627350.01170.60739040.0218126510.0026
6.93.165394E-53.629276E-50.00.03.629276E-50.01.3565269E-41.5553125E-40.00.01.5553125E-40.00.00165032020.00189196958.0E-40.42283980.00189196950.00.016381180.0188560930.01150.60988250.0214070680.0026
7.03.0903822E-53.5201345E-50.00.03.5201345E-50.01.3243823E-41.508543E-40.00.01.508543E-40.00.00161124280.00183512498.0E-40.43593760.00183512490.00.0159961040.0182950980.01110.60671990.0208475310.0026
7.13.0069863E-53.3973374E-50.00.03.3973374E-50.01.2886449E-41.4559216E-40.00.01.4559216E-40.00.00156779590.00177116428.0E-40.45168030.00177116420.00.015567810.0176655990.0110.62267920.0202196690.0026
7.22.7957109E-53.0872176E-50.00.03.0872176E-50.01.1981068E-41.3230272E-40.00.01.3230272E-40.00.00145771880.00160961475.0E-40.310633330.00160961470.00.0144819370.0160737260.00940.584805250.0183367580.0023
7.32.4519275E-52.632938E-50.00.02.632938E-50.01.0507837E-41.128354E-40.00.01.128354E-40.00.00127857830.00137291985.0E-40.364187330.00137291980.00.0127124690.0137299240.00830.6045190.015801090.0021
7.42.3225532E-52.4826628E-50.00.02.4826628E-50.09.95342E-51.0639558E-40.00.01.0639558E-40.00.00121115510.00129461075.0E-40.38621650.00129461070.00.0120457530.0129538430.00760.58669850.0147305260.0018
7.52.097765E-52.2129163E-50.00.02.2129163E-50.08.9901114E-59.483589E-50.00.09.483589E-50.00.00109399650.00115402715.0E-40.433265420.00115402710.00.0108862640.0115577790.00660.571043970.0131392870.0016
7.61.511254E-51.5671667E-50.00.01.5671667E-50.06.476642E-56.7162604E-50.00.06.7162604E-50.07.882459E-48.174057E-41.0E-40.122338278.174057E-40.00.0078545580.0082185790.00420.511037230.009210360.001
7.79.934069E-61.0383669E-50.00.01.0383669E-50.04.2573887E-54.4500684E-50.00.04.4500684E-50.05.182138E-45.416615E-41.0E-40.184617155.416615E-40.00.005170070.00547430940.00210.383610.0060710256.0E-4
7.86.7562896E-68.187173E-60.00.08.187173E-60.02.8955206E-53.5087414E-50.00.03.5087414E-50.03.5247262E-44.2710567E-41.0E-40.23413414.2710567E-40.00.00351914060.0043212990.00180.41654140.00471957074.0E-4
7.93.975453E-65.2223595E-60.00.05.2223595E-60.01.7037546E-52.238135E-50.00.02.238135E-50.02.0741238E-42.7245894E-40.00.02.7245894E-40.00.0020721890.0027563579.0E-40.326517940.00285608141.0E-4
8.01.6729537E-62.0246855E-60.00.02.0246855E-60.07.169782E-68.677195E-60.00.08.677195E-60.08.7288594E-51.0563977E-40.00.01.0563977E-40.08.7254314E-40.00106941051.0E-40.0935094650.00106941050.0
8.13.6733252E-73.0569248E-70.00.03.0569248E-70.01.5742813E-61.3101101E-60.00.01.3101101E-60.01.9166706E-51.5950489E-50.00.01.5950489E-50.01.9165053E-41.615787E-40.00.01.615787E-40.0

Great Valley 07 (Orestimba)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.9687902E-53.272214E-50.00.03.272214E-50.01.2722766E-41.402306E-41.0E-40.71311112.4021657E-41.0E-40.00154789610.00170604220.00150.879227940.00220518935.0E-40.0153715850.0169369780.01680.99191240.0218522940.005
6.12.9687902E-53.272214E-50.00.03.272214E-50.01.2722766E-41.402306E-41.0E-40.71311112.4021657E-41.0E-40.00154789610.00170604220.00110.644767170.00200553053.0E-40.0153715850.0169369780.01390.820689440.0205743130.0037
6.21.9231524E-52.113703E-50.00.02.113703E-50.08.2418206E-59.058425E-50.00.09.058425E-50.00.00100297970.00110232844.0E-40.362868280.00110232840.00.009984650.0109710110.00840.765654150.0129490690.002
6.31.324766E-51.4533626E-50.00.01.4533626E-50.05.6774446E-56.228553E-50.00.06.228553E-50.06.910097E-47.5807166E-42.0E-40.26382737.5807166E-40.00.0068886490.00755580140.00570.75438720.0089452240.0014
6.47.818645E-68.564213E-60.00.08.564213E-60.03.3508048E-53.6703274E-50.00.03.6703274E-50.04.078841E-44.4677407E-42.0E-40.447653564.4677407E-40.00.0040713630.00445909840.00260.583077550.00505642276.0E-4
6.55.3076565E-65.8119676E-60.00.05.8119676E-60.02.27469E-52.4908206E-50.00.02.4908206E-50.02.7690834E-43.0321733E-40.00.03.0321733E-40.00.00276563530.0030282450.00210.6934710.00352673075.0E-4
6.63.6003578E-63.9445126E-60.00.03.9445126E-60.01.5430012E-51.6904953E-50.00.01.6904953E-50.01.8784421E-42.0579992E-40.00.02.0579992E-40.00.00187685520.0020562470.00160.77811660.0022558362.0E-4
6.72.5361826E-62.7806368E-60.00.02.7806368E-60.01.0869308E-51.1916968E-50.00.01.1916968E-50.01.3232579E-41.4508075E-40.00.01.4508075E-40.00.00132247030.001449990.0010.689659950.0015498451.0E-4
6.81.2115831E-61.3300066E-60.00.01.3300066E-60.05.1924885E-65.7000216E-60.00.05.7000216E-60.06.3216714E-56.939652E-50.00.06.939652E-50.06.3198735E-46.938434E-43.0E-40.432374246.938434E-40.0

Bennett Valley 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.3893934E-52.8179129E-50.00.02.8179129E-50.01.0239855E-41.2076314E-40.00.01.2076314E-40.00.00124598930.0014694840.00140.952715460.0019687495.0E-40.0123902620.0146202080.01390.950738850.0194485690.0049
6.12.3893934E-52.8179129E-50.00.02.8179129E-50.01.0239855E-41.2076314E-40.00.01.2076314E-40.00.00124598930.0014694840.00140.952715460.0019687495.0E-40.0123902620.0146202080.0130.88918020.0191529560.0046
6.21.6657146E-51.9807883E-50.00.01.9807883E-50.07.138582E-58.488896E-50.00.08.488896E-50.08.6877577E-40.0010331740.0010.967891160.00123296742.0E-40.0086538720.0103018770.00880.85421330.0131720020.0029
6.31.6657146E-51.9807883E-50.00.01.9807883E-50.07.138582E-58.488896E-50.00.08.488896E-50.08.6877577E-40.0010331740.0010.967891160.00123296742.0E-40.0086538720.0103018770.00880.85421330.0131720020.0029
6.41.29418495E-51.5528469E-50.00.01.5528469E-50.05.546389E-56.654962E-50.00.06.654962E-50.06.7506364E-48.100702E-48.0E-40.987568740.00100990822.0E-40.00673016630.0080882210.00770.952001750.0105679990.0025
6.51.2582504E-51.5096242E-50.00.01.5096242E-50.05.39239E-56.4697306E-50.00.06.4697306E-50.06.563257E-47.875348E-48.0E-41.01582819.873773E-42.0E-40.0065439070.0078645050.00730.92822110.0101464170.0023
6.61.0846706E-51.3002023E-50.00.01.3002023E-50.04.6485053E-55.5722485E-50.00.05.5722485E-50.05.6580856E-46.78338E-46.0E-40.88451487.782701E-41.0E-40.0056437010.0067796120.00640.94400680.0087660520.002
6.71.6803231E-62.360248E-60.00.02.360248E-60.07.2013645E-61.0115309E-50.00.01.0115309E-50.08.7673085E-51.2314707E-40.00.01.2314707E-40.08.76385E-40.00123538682.0E-40.161892610.00133526331.0E-4
6.81.4609833E-62.0768407E-60.00.02.0768407E-60.06.261342E-68.900716E-60.00.08.900716E-60.07.6229175E-51.083609E-40.00.01.083609E-40.07.620303E-40.00108762272.0E-40.183887290.00118751391.0E-4
6.91.3492396E-61.9291392E-60.00.01.9291392E-60.05.7824427E-68.267714E-60.00.08.267714E-60.07.0398964E-51.0065483E-40.00.01.0065483E-40.07.037667E-40.00101060542.0E-40.197901170.00111050441.0E-4
7.01.2347921E-61.7734027E-60.00.01.7734027E-60.05.291955E-67.6002752E-60.00.07.6002752E-60.06.442765E-59.252947E-50.00.09.252947E-50.06.440897E-49.293887E-41.0E-40.1075976040.00102929571.0E-4
7.11.1262973E-61.6207623E-60.00.01.6207623E-60.04.8269794E-66.9461057E-60.00.06.9461057E-60.05.876689E-58.456561E-50.00.08.456561E-50.05.875135E-48.4978825E-41.0E-40.117676379.497033E-41.0E-4
7.29.351744E-71.3464277E-60.00.01.3464277E-60.04.007884E-65.770392E-60.00.05.770392E-60.04.8794896E-57.0252274E-50.00.07.0252274E-50.04.878418E-47.0671E-41.0E-40.141500768.066393E-41.0E-4
7.38.5039534E-71.2247554E-60.00.01.2247554E-60.03.6445463E-65.248941E-60.00.05.248941E-60.04.437145E-56.3904E-50.00.06.3904E-50.04.436259E-46.429697E-41.0E-40.155528327.4290537E-41.0E-4
7.46.7875015E-79.49036E-70.00.09.49036E-70.02.908926E-64.067291E-60.00.04.067291E-60.03.54156E-54.9518152E-50.00.04.9518152E-50.03.5409955E-44.9843313E-41.0E-40.200628735.9838325E-41.0E-4
7.55.826867E-78.0970125E-70.00.08.0970125E-70.02.4972264E-63.4701436E-60.00.03.4701436E-60.03.0403306E-54.224819E-50.00.04.224819E-50.03.0399146E-44.253213E-41.0E-40.235116365.252788E-41.0E-4
7.62.7734902E-73.6489635E-70.00.03.6489635E-70.01.1886381E-61.5638406E-60.00.01.5638406E-60.01.4471572E-51.9039593E-50.00.01.9039593E-50.01.447063E-41.9137803E-41.0E-40.5225262.9135888E-41.0E-4
7.71.0530888E-71.3556676E-70.00.01.3556676E-70.04.513237E-75.810003E-70.00.05.810003E-70.05.4948523E-67.0736555E-60.00.07.0736555E-60.05.4947162E-57.1564835E-51.0E-41.39733431.7155768E-41.0E-4
7.81.2714258E-81.9016808E-80.00.01.9016808E-80.05.448968E-88.15006E-80.00.08.15006E-80.06.6341164E-79.922693E-70.00.09.922693E-70.06.6340967E-61.03479015E-50.00.01.03479015E-50.0
7.94.075888E-97.228229E-90.00.07.228229E-90.01.7468091E-83.097812E-80.00.03.097812E-80.02.12674E-73.7715856E-70.00.03.7715856E-70.02.1267379E-64.0287814E-60.00.04.0287814E-60.0
8.01.9126138E-93.826022E-90.00.03.826022E-90.08.196917E-91.6397236E-80.00.01.6397236E-80.09.9797454E-81.9963633E-70.00.01.9963633E-70.09.979741E-72.11456E-60.00.02.11456E-60.0

White Mountains

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.503579E-53.375359E-50.00.03.375359E-50.01.5014476E-41.4465091E-40.00.01.4465091E-40.00.00182647960.00175982279.0E-40.51141520.00215911874.0E-40.0181154030.0174711780.01210.692569260.021990810.0046
6.13.503579E-53.375359E-50.00.03.375359E-50.01.5014476E-41.4465091E-40.00.01.4465091E-40.00.00182647960.00175982279.0E-40.51141520.00215911874.0E-40.0181154030.0174711780.01210.692569260.021990810.0046
6.23.503579E-53.375359E-50.00.03.375359E-50.01.5014476E-41.4465091E-40.00.01.4465091E-40.00.00182647960.00175982279.0E-40.51141520.00215911874.0E-40.0181154030.0174711780.01210.692569260.021990810.0046
6.31.7818425E-51.5902306E-50.00.01.5902306E-50.07.636245E-56.8151036E-50.00.06.8151036E-50.09.293162E-48.294372E-43.0E-40.361691039.293543E-41.0E-40.0092543950.008264870.00450.54447310.0097524740.0015
6.41.7818425E-51.5902306E-50.00.01.5902306E-50.07.636245E-56.8151036E-50.00.06.8151036E-50.09.293162E-48.294372E-43.0E-40.361691039.293543E-41.0E-40.0092543950.008264870.00450.54447310.0097524740.0015
6.51.3397557E-51.1326395E-50.00.01.1326395E-50.05.741684E-54.8540827E-50.00.04.8540827E-50.06.988258E-45.908313E-42.0E-40.33850615.908313E-40.00.0069663230.0058933090.0030.509051860.00668859448.0E-4
6.61.0818695E-58.617659E-60.00.08.617659E-60.04.6365014E-53.6932324E-50.00.03.6932324E-50.05.6434784E-44.4956262E-42.0E-40.444876854.4956262E-40.00.0056291680.00448696730.00190.423448560.00508427536.0E-4
6.79.067908E-66.7961637E-60.00.06.7961637E-60.03.8861883E-52.9126108E-50.00.02.9126108E-50.04.7304068E-43.5455584E-41.0E-40.2820433.5455584E-40.00.004720350.00354021830.00180.50844320.00413809446.0E-4
6.87.295947E-64.9315304E-60.00.04.9315304E-60.03.126797E-52.1134965E-50.00.02.1134965E-50.03.8062103E-42.5728895E-41.0E-40.388668062.5728895E-40.00.00379969760.00257002350.00130.505831960.00286925263.0E-4
6.96.2243444E-63.8280837E-60.00.03.8280837E-60.02.6675489E-51.6405973E-50.00.01.6405973E-50.03.2472567E-41.9972493E-41.0E-40.50068861.9972493E-40.00.00324251570.0019955079.0E-40.45101320.00209530751.0E-4
7.04.9878413E-62.6758087E-60.00.02.6758087E-60.02.1376287E-51.1467702E-50.00.01.1467702E-50.02.602252E-41.396106E-41.0E-40.7162781.396106E-40.00.0025992070.00139525516.0E-40.43002890.00149511561.0E-4
7.14.0252844E-61.8825854E-60.00.01.8825854E-60.01.7251105E-58.068199E-60.00.08.068199E-60.02.1001195E-49.8226024E-50.00.09.8226024E-50.00.00209813599.818389E-43.0E-40.305549110.00108174071.0E-4
7.23.3284066E-61.2795153E-60.00.01.2795153E-60.01.4264522E-55.4836264E-60.00.05.4836264E-60.01.736567E-46.6761204E-50.00.06.6761204E-50.00.00173521076.6742155E-43.0E-40.449491027.6735485E-41.0E-4
7.32.458226E-66.03523E-70.00.06.03523E-70.01.0535211E-52.586525E-60.00.02.586525E-60.01.2825865E-43.1490523E-50.00.03.1490523E-50.00.00128184643.1486436E-43.0E-40.95279124.1483287E-41.0E-4
7.41.965953E-63.0899133E-70.00.03.0899133E-70.08.425486E-61.3242478E-60.00.01.3242478E-60.01.0257547E-41.61226E-50.00.01.61226E-50.00.00102528131.6121443E-42.0E-41.24058382.611983E-41.0E-4
7.51.2014192E-61.8112678E-70.00.01.8112678E-70.05.148929E-67.7625737E-70.00.07.7625737E-70.06.2686406E-59.450893E-60.00.09.450893E-60.06.266873E-49.4505E-52.0E-42.116291.9449554E-41.0E-4
7.62.5612175E-74.859889E-80.00.04.859889E-80.01.0976642E-62.0828094E-70.00.02.0828094E-70.01.3363979E-52.5358179E-60.00.02.5358179E-60.01.3363175E-42.5357926E-50.00.02.5357926E-50.0

Ortigalita (South)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.72394E-54.3182466E-50.00.04.3182466E-50.01.5958765E-41.8505547E-41.0E-40.54037852.8503698E-41.0E-40.00194124810.0022508780.00160.71083370.00264997764.0E-40.0192437750.0222971360.01720.77139950.026892340.0047
6.12.7299884E-53.1441457E-50.00.03.1441457E-50.01.16994255E-41.3474245E-40.00.01.3474245E-40.00.00142347430.00163931069.0E-40.549011230.00173914681.0E-40.0141439060.0162780920.01250.76790320.0196227470.0034
6.22.7299884E-53.1441457E-50.00.03.1441457E-50.01.16994255E-41.3474245E-40.00.01.3474245E-40.00.00142347430.00163931069.0E-40.549011230.00173914681.0E-40.0141439060.0162780920.01250.76790320.0196227470.0034
6.32.0546433E-52.3594344E-50.00.02.3594344E-50.08.805317E-51.01114805E-40.00.01.01114805E-40.00.001071520.00123039644.0E-40.325098480.00123039640.00.0106636810.01223790.00830.67822090.0145097520.0023
6.42.0546433E-52.3594344E-50.00.02.3594344E-50.08.805317E-51.01114805E-40.00.01.01114805E-40.00.001071520.00123039644.0E-40.325098480.00123039640.00.0106636810.01223790.00830.67822090.0145097520.0023
6.51.7779594E-52.0414887E-50.00.02.0414887E-50.07.619603E-58.748951E-50.00.08.748951E-50.09.272918E-40.00106467784.0E-40.37570050.00106467780.00.0092343190.0105972340.0080.7549140.012773920.0022
6.61.6272212E-51.8685576E-50.00.01.8685576E-50.06.973618E-58.007865E-50.00.08.007865E-50.08.487073E-49.745337E-43.0E-40.307839549.745337E-40.00.0084547330.0097038990.0070.721359550.0116844910.002
6.71.3051484E-51.5014794E-50.00.01.5014794E-50.05.593373E-56.434759E-50.00.06.434759E-50.06.807804E-47.831597E-43.0E-40.38306367.831597E-40.00.0067869860.0078049780.00540.69186610.0092932710.0015
6.81.04277415E-51.1968504E-50.00.01.1968504E-50.04.4689557E-55.129262E-50.00.05.129262E-50.05.439595E-46.243161E-43.0E-40.48052586.243161E-40.00.00542629930.00622637430.00430.69061060.00761765750.0014
6.97.639968E-68.777665E-60.00.08.777665E-60.03.274231E-53.7618054E-50.00.03.7618054E-50.03.9856473E-44.5790945E-42.0E-40.436767584.5790945E-40.00.0039785060.00457024340.00320.70018150.0056652160.0011
7.03.919831E-64.525994E-60.00.04.525994E-60.01.679917E-51.9396986E-50.00.01.9396986E-50.02.045107E-42.3613482E-41.0E-40.42348692.3613482E-40.00.00204322580.00235904680.00160.678240.00265833923.0E-4
7.11.6017933E-61.8539527E-60.00.01.8539527E-60.06.8648105E-67.945493E-60.00.07.945493E-60.08.357586E-59.673315E-50.00.09.673315E-50.08.3544437E-49.6701476E-49.0E-40.930699350.0010669181.0E-4

Great Valley 03 Mysterious Ridge

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.1182444E-53.5975117E-50.00.03.5975117E-50.01.336322E-41.5417102E-41.0E-40.64863031.5417102E-40.00.00162575780.00187560170.0010.533162240.0023746645.0E-40.0161391530.0186163950.01320.70905240.023130760.0046
6.13.1182444E-53.5975117E-50.00.03.5975117E-50.01.336322E-41.5417102E-41.0E-40.64863031.5417102E-40.00.00162575780.00187560170.0010.533162240.0023746645.0E-40.0161391530.0186163950.01320.70905240.023130760.0046
6.23.1182444E-53.5975117E-50.00.03.5975117E-50.01.336322E-41.5417102E-41.0E-40.64863031.5417102E-40.00.00162575780.00187560170.0010.533162240.0023746645.0E-40.0161391530.0186163950.01320.70905240.023130760.0046
6.32.106934E-52.3817278E-50.00.02.3817278E-50.09.0294045E-51.02070226E-41.0E-40.97971761.02070226E-40.00.00109877550.00124202768.0E-40.644108060.00174140665.0E-40.0109335850.0123540980.0090.728503170.0157120950.0034
6.42.106934E-52.3817278E-50.00.02.3817278E-50.09.0294045E-51.02070226E-41.0E-40.97971761.02070226E-40.00.00109877550.00124202768.0E-40.644108060.00174140665.0E-40.0109335850.0123540980.0090.728503170.0157120950.0034
6.51.9389783E-52.1855454E-50.00.02.1855454E-50.08.309642E-59.3663024E-51.0E-41.06765729.3663024E-50.00.00101122940.00113977848.0E-40.701890770.00163920855.0E-40.0100664010.0113421930.00870.76704740.014703630.0034
6.61.9370193E-52.183538E-50.00.02.183538E-50.08.301247E-59.3577E-51.0E-41.06863879.3577E-50.00.00101020820.00113873228.0E-40.70253570.00163816295.0E-40.0100562810.0113318380.00870.76774840.014693310.0034
6.71.6723505E-51.8774837E-50.00.01.8774837E-50.07.16702E-58.046122E-51.0E-41.24283488.046122E-50.08.722353E-49.791945E-47.0E-40.714873250.0014787055.0E-40.0086881970.0097508030.0070.717889550.0129196010.0032
6.81.426937E-51.597693E-50.00.01.597693E-50.06.115301E-56.847084E-51.0E-41.46047576.847084E-50.07.4428355E-48.3332806E-47.0E-40.840005340.00133291145.0E-40.0074179570.0083035060.00640.770758750.0112785960.003
6.91.2469891E-51.393951E-50.00.01.393951E-50.05.3441294E-55.9739454E-51.0E-41.67393555.9739454E-50.06.504535E-47.270972E-46.0E-40.82519910.00112680644.0E-40.0064855290.00724840350.00530.73119550.0096310070.0024
7.08.7746275E-69.779858E-60.00.09.779858E-60.03.7605005E-54.1913045E-50.00.04.1913045E-50.04.5774475E-45.1017915E-42.0E-40.392019157.100771E-42.0E-40.004568030.005090810.00420.8250160.0068816470.0018
7.16.1067153E-66.805472E-60.00.06.805472E-60.02.6171374E-52.9166014E-50.00.02.9166014E-50.03.1858988E-43.550439E-41.0E-40.281655284.550084E-41.0E-40.00318133530.00354531620.00310.87439310.00484070740.0013
7.22.939283E-63.2702005E-60.00.03.2702005E-60.01.2596866E-51.401508E-50.00.01.401508E-50.01.5335606E-41.7062198E-41.0E-40.5860912.706049E-41.0E-40.00153250270.00170508140.0021.17296460.00260354679.0E-4
7.37.2387763E-77.99954E-70.00.07.99954E-70.03.102329E-63.4283726E-60.00.03.4283726E-60.03.77702E-54.174009E-51.0E-42.39577821.4173592E-41.0E-43.7763783E-44.1736738E-48.0E-41.91677648.1720046E-44.0E-4
7.43.112171E-83.2058175E-80.00.03.2058175E-80.01.3337875E-71.3739218E-70.00.01.3739218E-70.01.6238852E-61.6727486E-60.00.01.6727486E-60.01.6238733E-51.6727368E-50.00.01.6727368E-50.0

Ventura-Pitas Point

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.3179622E-53.3681055E-50.00.03.3681055E-50.01.4219063E-41.4434083E-40.00.01.4434083E-40.00.00172979620.0017561890.00170.96800510.00245495987.0E-40.0171639320.0174484440.01550.88833130.0218699280.0045
6.13.3179622E-53.3681055E-50.00.03.3681055E-50.01.4219063E-41.4434083E-40.00.01.4434083E-40.00.00172979620.0017561890.00170.96800510.00245495987.0E-40.0171639320.0174484440.01550.88833130.0218699280.0045
6.23.3179622E-53.3681055E-50.00.03.3681055E-50.01.4219063E-41.4434083E-40.00.01.4434083E-40.00.00172979620.0017561890.00170.96800510.00245495987.0E-40.0171639320.0174484440.01550.88833130.0218699280.0045
6.33.3179622E-53.3681055E-50.00.03.3681055E-50.01.4219063E-41.4434083E-40.00.01.4434083E-40.00.00172979620.0017561890.00170.96800510.00245495987.0E-40.0171639320.0174484440.01550.88833130.0218699280.0045
6.41.8754668E-51.6993197E-50.00.01.6993197E-50.08.037467E-57.2826086E-50.00.07.2826086E-50.09.781223E-48.8631996E-46.0E-40.67695640.00108614272.0E-40.0097382820.0088300750.00620.702145760.0104159470.0016
6.51.8754668E-51.6993197E-50.00.01.6993197E-50.08.037467E-57.2826086E-50.00.07.2826086E-50.09.781223E-48.8631996E-46.0E-40.67695640.00108614272.0E-40.0097382820.0088300750.00620.702145760.0104159470.0016
6.61.4361558E-51.21017265E-50.00.01.21017265E-50.06.154808E-55.1863524E-50.00.05.1863524E-50.07.490902E-46.312578E-43.0E-40.47524177.311946E-41.0E-40.00746570160.0062947960.00450.714876230.0075866130.0013
6.71.4361558E-51.21017265E-50.00.01.21017265E-50.06.154808E-55.1863524E-50.00.05.1863524E-50.07.490902E-46.312578E-43.0E-40.47524177.311946E-41.0E-40.00746570160.0062947960.00450.714876230.0075866130.0013
6.81.3663846E-51.1324802E-50.00.01.1324802E-50.05.8558027E-54.8533973E-50.00.04.8533973E-50.07.127108E-45.9074286E-43.0E-40.50783526.906838E-41.0E-40.0071042930.00589183350.00430.72982370.00708476360.0012
6.91.3644157E-51.1302928E-50.00.01.1302928E-50.05.8473648E-54.844023E-50.00.04.844023E-50.07.116841E-45.8960216E-43.0E-40.50881776.895432E-41.0E-40.0070940920.0058804870.00430.73123190.0070734310.0012
7.01.3568845E-51.122261E-50.00.01.122261E-50.05.8150898E-54.8096026E-50.00.04.8096026E-50.07.077572E-45.854137E-43.0E-40.51245816.8535516E-41.0E-40.0070550730.00583882350.00430.73644970.0070318170.0012
7.11.306572E-51.0701786E-50.00.01.0701786E-50.05.599474E-54.5864002E-50.00.04.5864002E-50.06.815227E-45.58253E-43.0E-40.537390776.581972E-41.0E-40.00679436370.0055686040.00420.75422850.00666247870.0011
7.21.232604E-59.977696E-60.00.09.977696E-60.05.2824813E-54.276086E-50.00.04.276086E-50.06.429523E-45.204909E-43.0E-40.576378946.2043883E-41.0E-40.00641095270.0051928030.0040.77029690.00618761030.001
7.31.0917261E-58.82862E-60.00.08.82862E-60.04.678742E-53.7836402E-50.00.03.7836402E-50.05.69488E-44.6056238E-43.0E-40.651377565.605163E-41.0E-40.00568030770.00459613740.00370.80502370.00549200139.0E-4
7.41.039959E-58.40925E-60.00.08.40925E-60.04.456891E-53.6039153E-50.00.03.6039153E-50.05.424914E-44.3868987E-43.0E-40.68385445.38646E-41.0E-40.00541168960.0043782930.00340.776558340.00527435269.0E-4
7.59.015877E-67.285164E-60.00.07.285164E-60.03.86389E-53.1221763E-50.00.03.1221763E-50.04.7032707E-43.8006008E-42.0E-40.52623264.8002208E-41.0E-40.0046933290.00379413860.0030.79069330.0046907249.0E-4
7.64.900162E-63.866396E-60.00.03.866396E-60.02.1000526E-51.6570164E-50.00.01.6570164E-50.02.556514E-42.017232E-41.0E-40.49572883.0170302E-41.0E-40.00255357470.00201541440.00180.893116530.00261420526.0E-4
7.73.8850626E-63.1215277E-60.00.03.1215277E-60.01.6650163E-51.3377908E-50.00.01.3377908E-50.02.0269687E-41.6286394E-41.0E-40.61400952.6284766E-41.0E-40.0020251210.0016274550.00150.921684440.00212664135.0E-4
7.82.4654719E-62.0277116E-60.00.02.0277116E-60.01.0566265E-58.690165E-60.00.08.690165E-60.01.2863669E-41.05797655E-40.00.01.05797655E-40.00.00128562250.00105747760.0010.94564650.00125726622.0E-4
7.94.095894E-73.2740417E-70.00.03.2740417E-70.01.7553821E-61.40316E-60.00.01.40316E-60.02.1371567E-51.7083343E-50.00.01.7083343E-50.02.1369511E-41.708206E-41.0E-40.585409461.708206E-40.0
8.07.791402E-95.6791927E-90.00.05.6791927E-90.03.3391725E-82.4339396E-80.00.02.4339396E-80.04.0654416E-72.9633213E-70.00.02.9633213E-70.04.065434E-62.9633193E-60.00.02.9633193E-60.0

Santa Rosa Island

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.1143165E-54.701977E-50.00.04.701977E-50.01.7631594E-42.0149884E-40.00.02.0149884E-40.00.0021445330.0024506840.00120.48965920.00294945885.0E-40.0212395530.0242571590.01750.72143650.0284528530.0043
6.12.1061249E-52.3831648E-50.00.02.3831648E-50.09.0259375E-51.021318E-40.00.01.021318E-40.00.00109835390.00124277420.00.00.00124277420.00.010929410.0123612740.00750.606733560.0141390250.0018
6.22.1061249E-52.3831648E-50.00.02.3831648E-50.09.0259375E-51.021318E-40.00.01.021318E-40.00.00109835390.00124277420.00.00.00124277420.00.010929410.0123612740.00750.606733560.0141390250.0018
6.31.5158236E-51.7051776E-50.00.01.7051776E-50.06.496225E-57.307706E-50.00.07.307706E-50.07.906284E-48.89362E-40.00.08.89362E-40.00.0078782140.0088592770.00640.722406570.0105442160.0017
6.41.2341918E-51.3835114E-50.00.01.3835114E-50.05.2892858E-55.9292044E-50.00.05.9292044E-50.06.437803E-47.216496E-40.00.07.216496E-40.00.0064191840.0071938970.00530.73673560.0086831060.0015
6.59.061158E-61.0104637E-50.00.01.0104637E-50.03.883296E-54.33049E-50.00.04.33049E-50.04.726887E-45.271149E-40.00.05.271149E-40.00.0047168450.0052591830.00420.79860320.0065523460.0013
6.67.5461685E-68.390719E-60.00.08.390719E-60.03.2340322E-53.595975E-50.00.03.595975E-50.03.936723E-44.377263E-40.00.04.377263E-40.00.0039297560.004369070.00310.70953320.0051655748.0E-4
6.75.5023775E-66.080548E-60.00.06.080548E-60.02.3581404E-52.605925E-50.00.02.605925E-50.02.8706578E-43.172284E-40.00.03.172284E-40.00.00286695220.00316807650.00230.725992560.00376617566.0E-4
6.83.7351679E-64.079111E-60.00.04.079111E-60.01.6007763E-51.7481801E-50.00.01.7481801E-50.01.948771E-42.1282263E-40.00.02.1282263E-40.00.00194706290.00212643270.00130.61135250.00252558224.0E-4
6.92.456366E-62.6273171E-60.00.02.6273171E-60.01.0527241E-51.1259883E-50.00.01.1259883E-50.01.2816161E-41.3708047E-40.00.01.3708047E-40.00.00128087730.00136996210.0010.72994720.00166955113.0E-4
7.02.3245157E-62.480995E-60.00.02.480995E-60.09.962172E-61.0632792E-50.00.01.0632792E-50.01.2128269E-41.2944658E-40.00.01.2944658E-40.00.00121216520.00129371390.0010.77296840.00159332593.0E-4
7.12.2248344E-62.3715795E-60.00.02.3715795E-60.09.53497E-61.0163873E-50.00.01.0163873E-50.01.1608207E-41.2373815E-40.00.01.2373815E-40.00.00116021440.00123669449.0E-40.72774640.00153632353.0E-4
7.22.1350402E-62.274566E-60.00.02.274566E-60.09.150141E-69.748104E-60.00.09.748104E-60.01.1139726E-41.1867672E-40.00.01.1867672E-40.00.00111341440.00118613539.0E-40.75876670.00148577953.0E-4
7.31.9793572E-62.1072633E-60.00.02.1072633E-60.08.482932E-69.031098E-60.00.09.031098E-60.01.032748E-41.0994809E-40.00.01.0994809E-40.00.00103226820.00109893868.0E-40.727975130.0013986093.0E-4
7.41.6951194E-61.8033405E-60.00.01.8033405E-60.07.264777E-67.7285795E-60.00.07.7285795E-60.08.844508E-59.409141E-50.00.09.409141E-50.08.840988E-49.4051735E-45.0E-40.53162230.00114032932.0E-4
7.58.987207E-79.5062643E-70.00.09.5062643E-70.03.8516546E-64.074107E-60.00.04.074107E-60.04.6892885E-54.9601134E-50.00.04.9601134E-50.04.688299E-44.959018E-44.0E-40.80661136.958026E-42.0E-4
7.63.8783037E-74.0509016E-70.00.04.0509016E-70.01.6621291E-61.7360995E-60.00.01.7360995E-60.02.0236233E-52.1136813E-50.00.02.1136813E-50.02.023439E-42.1134868E-42.0E-40.94630353.1132755E-41.0E-4
7.76.181804E-86.336573E-80.00.06.336573E-80.02.6493444E-72.7156742E-70.00.02.7156742E-70.03.225572E-63.3063282E-60.00.03.3063282E-60.03.225525E-53.3062795E-50.00.03.3062795E-50.0
7.81.3704449E-91.3961391E-90.00.01.3961391E-90.05.873335E-95.983453E-90.00.05.983453E-90.07.1507856E-87.2848536E-80.00.07.2848536E-80.07.1507833E-77.2848525E-70.00.07.2848525E-70.0

Santa Cruz Island

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.9164563E-53.1572003E-50.00.03.1572003E-50.01.2498499E-41.3530234E-41.0E-40.739085562.3528881E-41.0E-40.00152063010.00164619720.0010.60746070.0021453745.0E-40.0151026670.016353730.0120.73377760.0199932210.0037
6.12.9164563E-53.1572003E-50.00.03.1572003E-50.01.2498499E-41.3530234E-41.0E-40.739085562.3528881E-41.0E-40.00152063010.00164619720.0010.60746070.0021453745.0E-40.0151026670.016353730.0120.73377760.0199932210.0037
6.22.9164563E-53.1572003E-50.00.03.1572003E-50.01.2498499E-41.3530234E-41.0E-40.739085562.3528881E-41.0E-40.00152063010.00164619720.0010.60746070.0021453745.0E-40.0151026670.016353730.0120.73377760.0199932210.0037
6.31.6635553E-51.779119E-50.00.01.779119E-50.07.1293274E-57.624584E-51.0E-41.3115471.7623822E-41.0E-48.6765E-49.279159E-45.0E-40.538841960.00122763753.0E-40.0086427010.0092422830.00670.724929150.0112237990.002
6.41.6635553E-51.779119E-50.00.01.779119E-50.07.1293274E-57.624584E-51.0E-41.3115471.7623822E-41.0E-48.6765E-49.279159E-45.0E-40.538841960.00122763753.0E-40.0086427010.0092422830.00670.724929150.0112237990.002
6.51.2238748E-51.3033949E-50.00.01.3033949E-50.05.2450723E-55.5858603E-50.00.05.5858603E-50.06.3840044E-46.7987E-43.0E-40.441260847.79802E-41.0E-40.00636569550.00677829840.00540.79666010.0083674540.0016
6.61.0489767E-51.1149135E-50.00.01.1149135E-50.04.495537E-54.7781148E-50.00.04.7781148E-50.05.4719415E-45.815824E-42.0E-40.343889366.815243E-41.0E-40.0054584870.00580084460.00430.74127140.00719272350.0014
6.78.699222E-69.230729E-60.00.09.230729E-60.03.7281847E-53.9559673E-50.00.03.9559673E-50.04.5381195E-44.8153312E-42.0E-40.41534015.814849E-41.0E-40.00452886340.00480496460.00390.811660470.00609871840.0013
6.88.307732E-68.811169E-60.00.08.811169E-60.03.560408E-53.776161E-50.00.03.776161E-50.04.3339343E-44.5965103E-42.0E-40.435112685.596051E-41.0E-40.0043254920.00458705660.00360.784817040.0057815520.0012
6.98.073121E-68.559399E-60.00.08.559399E-60.03.459863E-53.6682628E-50.00.03.6682628E-50.04.2115687E-44.4651987E-42.0E-40.44790845.4647523E-41.0E-40.0042035960.00445627840.00360.8078490.00565093060.0012
7.07.617019E-68.069512E-60.00.08.069512E-60.03.264396E-53.4583165E-50.00.03.4583165E-50.03.9736772E-44.2096907E-42.0E-40.47509435.2092696E-41.0E-40.0039665790.0042017640.00350.83298350.0052971420.0011
7.17.1224836E-67.5410208E-60.00.07.5410208E-60.03.052457E-53.231826E-50.00.03.231826E-50.03.715733E-43.9340416E-41.0E-40.254191523.9340416E-40.00.0037095260.00392712050.00320.814846460.00492319320.001
7.26.441115E-66.8230265E-60.00.06.8230265E-60.02.7604487E-52.9241217E-50.00.02.9241217E-50.03.360328E-43.5595387E-41.0E-40.280935263.5595387E-40.00.00335525120.00355386570.0030.84415120.00455031170.001
7.35.494274E-65.8163123E-60.00.05.8163123E-60.02.3546674E-52.4926814E-50.00.02.4926814E-50.02.8664304E-43.0344192E-41.0E-40.329552383.0344192E-40.00.0028627360.00303029870.00250.82500110.00392757179.0E-4
7.44.0802624E-64.309619E-60.00.04.309619E-60.01.7486722E-51.8469664E-50.00.01.8469664E-50.02.1288003E-42.2484503E-41.0E-40.444750762.2484503E-40.00.00212676220.00224618450.00130.578759250.00274506145.0E-4
7.52.3584746E-62.4739577E-60.00.02.4739577E-60.01.0107709E-51.0602633E-50.00.01.0602633E-50.01.2305441E-41.2907945E-40.00.01.2907945E-40.00.00122986290.00129004997.0E-40.54261470.00158966273.0E-4
7.69.4981914E-79.856386E-70.00.09.856386E-70.04.0706473E-64.2241586E-60.00.04.2241586E-60.04.9559E-55.142793E-50.00.05.142793E-50.04.954795E-45.141616E-42.0E-40.388982746.141102E-41.0E-4
7.72.6013532E-72.640751E-70.00.02.640751E-70.01.1148652E-61.13175E-60.00.01.13175E-60.01.3573399E-51.3778969E-50.00.01.3778969E-50.01.357257E-41.3778122E-40.00.01.3778122E-40.0
7.84.1522263E-83.964669E-80.00.03.964669E-80.01.7795254E-71.6991437E-70.00.01.6991437E-70.02.16657E-62.0687057E-60.00.02.0687057E-60.02.1665488E-52.0686886E-50.00.02.0686886E-50.0
7.97.7242046E-105.944937E-100.00.05.944937E-100.03.3103735E-92.54783E-90.00.02.54783E-90.04.0303796E-83.101983E-80.00.03.101983E-80.04.030379E-73.101983E-70.00.03.101983E-70.0

Gravel Hills-Harper Lk

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0679566E-53.142192E-50.00.03.142192E-50.01.3147724E-41.3465965E-40.00.01.3465965E-40.00.00159955990.00163846457.0E-40.427229260.0019379733.0E-40.0158809520.016285340.01070.657032670.020318570.0041
6.13.0679566E-53.142192E-50.00.03.142192E-50.01.3147724E-41.3465965E-40.00.01.3465965E-40.00.00159955990.00163846457.0E-40.427229260.0019379733.0E-40.0158809520.016285340.01070.657032670.020318570.0041
6.21.514536E-51.3620233E-50.00.01.3620233E-50.06.490707E-55.8371188E-50.00.05.8371188E-50.07.8995706E-47.1044936E-42.0E-40.281511967.1044936E-40.00.0078715480.0070829790.00410.57885250.008274480.0012
6.31.514536E-51.3620233E-50.00.01.3620233E-50.06.490707E-55.8371188E-50.00.05.8371188E-50.07.8995706E-47.1044936E-42.0E-40.281511967.1044936E-40.00.0078715480.0070829790.00410.57885250.008274480.0012
6.41.2532521E-51.0678651E-50.00.01.0678651E-50.05.37097E-54.576488E-50.00.04.576488E-50.06.537194E-45.5705075E-41.0E-40.179516855.5705075E-40.00.00651799650.00555713340.00310.55784160.00645213169.0E-4
6.51.1094058E-59.074583E-60.00.09.074583E-60.04.7545094E-53.8890514E-50.00.03.8890514E-50.05.787078E-44.7339316E-41.0E-40.21124094.7339316E-40.00.00577203040.0047242540.0030.63502090.00552047468.0E-4
6.69.688328E-67.524305E-60.00.07.524305E-60.04.1520743E-53.2246637E-50.00.03.2246637E-50.05.053978E-43.9253465E-41.0E-40.254754573.9253465E-40.00.00504249940.0039186690.00280.71452830.00471553448.0E-4
6.78.974824E-66.7428123E-60.00.06.7428123E-60.03.8462964E-52.8897459E-50.00.02.8897459E-50.04.6818596E-43.5177195E-41.0E-40.284275083.5177195E-40.00.0046720080.00351237180.00280.79718210.00420991337.0E-4
6.87.4780046E-65.111148E-60.00.05.111148E-60.03.20482E-52.1904742E-50.00.02.1904742E-50.03.9011694E-42.66659E-41.0E-40.37501082.66659E-40.00.00389432810.0026635280.0020.750883760.00306246274.0E-4
6.96.3409307E-63.903478E-60.00.03.903478E-60.02.7175134E-51.6729091E-50.00.01.6729091E-50.03.3080703E-42.0365864E-41.0E-40.491017732.0365864E-40.00.00330315020.00203481780.00160.786311150.00243400394.0E-4
7.05.1239335E-62.6029281E-60.00.02.6029281E-60.02.195953E-51.115536E-50.00.01.115536E-50.02.6732447E-41.358083E-40.00.01.358083E-40.00.00267003130.00135727820.0010.73676860.0016568713.0E-4
7.14.438899E-62.095965E-60.00.02.095965E-60.01.9023713E-58.982678E-60.00.08.982678E-60.02.315891E-41.09358836E-40.00.01.09358836E-40.00.0023134790.0010930720.0010.91485280.00139274413.0E-4
7.23.50367E-61.2596217E-60.00.01.2596217E-60.01.5015643E-55.398368E-60.00.05.398368E-60.01.8280011E-46.572323E-50.00.06.572323E-50.00.00182649826.5704616E-46.0E-40.913177859.56849E-43.0E-4
7.32.561638E-67.1034464E-70.00.07.1034464E-70.01.0978401E-53.0443307E-60.00.03.0443307E-60.01.3365384E-43.7064114E-50.00.03.7064114E-50.00.00133573493.705813E-45.0E-41.34923155.705072E-42.0E-4
7.42.0368864E-65.291731E-70.00.05.291731E-70.08.729483E-62.267883E-60.00.02.267883E-60.01.06276275E-42.761113E-50.00.02.761113E-50.00.00106225472.7607754E-45.0E-41.81108554.760223E-42.0E-4
7.51.1681728E-63.5940548E-70.00.03.5940548E-70.05.0064455E-61.5403083E-60.00.01.5403083E-60.06.0951766E-51.8753097E-50.00.01.8753097E-50.06.093505E-41.8751562E-43.0E-41.59986692.8749686E-41.0E-4
7.61.3154387E-77.0908634E-80.00.07.0908634E-80.05.6375933E-73.0389413E-70.00.03.0389413E-70.06.863748E-63.6999063E-60.00.03.6999063E-60.06.863536E-53.69986E-50.00.03.69986E-50.0

Great Valley 05 Pittsburg - Kirby Hills alt1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.187212E-55.3292064E-50.00.05.3292064E-50.01.794396E-42.2838028E-41.0E-40.437866182.2838028E-40.00.0021824880.00277794570.00180.647960840.0033762796.0E-40.0216117760.0275265240.01630.59215610.0314164160.004
6.14.187212E-55.3292064E-50.00.05.3292064E-50.01.794396E-42.2838028E-41.0E-40.437866182.2838028E-40.00.0021824880.00277794570.00180.647960840.0033762796.0E-40.0216117760.0275265240.01630.59215610.0314164160.004
6.21.7353306E-52.2091923E-50.00.02.2091923E-50.07.436919E-59.467852E-50.00.09.467852E-50.09.050688E-40.00115249279.0E-40.7809160.00165191655.0E-40.0090139150.0115028560.0080.695479450.0138752490.0024
6.31.7353306E-52.2091923E-50.00.02.2091923E-50.07.436919E-59.467852E-50.00.09.467852E-50.09.050688E-40.00115249279.0E-40.7809160.00165191655.0E-40.0090139150.0115028560.0080.695479450.0138752490.0024
6.41.4028824E-51.7850445E-50.00.01.7850445E-50.06.0122147E-57.650191E-50.00.07.650191E-50.07.3174125E-49.3139714E-47.0E-40.75155910.00143093145.0E-40.00729336450.0093120320.00650.698021650.0111943390.0019

Quien Sabe 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.729899E-57.0656744E-51.0E-41.41529317.0656744E-50.01.5984301E-43.0272678E-42.0E-40.66066174.0269652E-41.0E-40.00194435150.00367040580.00140.38142920.00396930473.0E-40.0192742720.035223670.01920.5450880.0394686830.0044
6.11.7825725E-53.304955E-51.0E-43.02575973.304955E-50.07.639373E-51.4161988E-42.0E-41.41223112.4160573E-41.0E-49.296967E-40.00171860597.0E-40.407306880.00191826212.0E-40.0092581690.0166285730.00810.48711340.0185953160.002
6.24.8865336E-67.735542E-61.0E-412.9273437.735542E-60.02.0942118E-53.315186E-52.0E-46.0328441.3314854E-41.0E-42.5494045E-44.0320857E-43.0E-40.74403185.0316827E-41.0E-40.00254648180.00397985480.0020.502530930.00447786465.0E-4
6.33.858491E-65.7251405E-61.0E-417.466825.7251405E-60.01.6536285E-52.4536112E-51.0E-44.07562542.4536112E-50.02.0131067E-42.986908E-42.0E-40.669588742.986908E-40.00.0020112840.0029712740.00150.504833940.00327038283.0E-4
6.43.0771805E-64.3299387E-61.0E-423.0950164.3299387E-60.01.318785E-51.855676E-51.0E-45.38887171.855676E-50.01.6055023E-42.2590751E-42.0E-40.88531812.2590751E-40.00.0016043430.00226016880.00120.53093380.00245971682.0E-4
6.52.5081235E-63.4178722E-61.0E-429.2579693.4178722E-60.01.0749056E-51.464795E-51.0E-46.82689431.464795E-50.01.308619E-41.7832562E-42.0E-41.12154391.7832562E-40.00.00130784860.00179029738.0E-40.446853160.00198993932.0E-4
6.61.7505364E-62.3721368E-60.00.02.3721368E-60.07.502277E-61.01662645E-50.00.01.01662645E-50.09.13364E-51.2376794E-40.00.01.2376794E-40.09.129886E-40.00124342115.0E-40.40211640.00134329671.0E-4
6.71.505737E-62.038067E-60.00.02.038067E-60.06.4531428E-68.734547E-60.00.08.734547E-60.07.8564175E-51.063385E-40.00.01.063385E-40.07.853641E-40.00106907373.0E-40.28061680.00116896681.0E-4
6.81.2924105E-61.7285423E-60.00.01.7285423E-60.05.5388905E-67.4080203E-60.00.07.4080203E-60.06.74339E-59.0189445E-50.00.09.0189445E-50.06.741344E-49.061659E-43.0E-40.33106520.00100607531.0E-4
6.98.9075286E-71.1150751E-60.00.01.1150751E-60.03.8175067E-64.7788853E-60.00.04.7788853E-60.04.6477155E-55.81816E-50.00.05.81816E-50.04.6467435E-45.8528245E-42.0E-40.341715375.8528245E-40.0
7.06.6891175E-78.455752E-70.00.08.455752E-70.02.8667614E-63.6238898E-60.00.03.6238898E-60.03.4902263E-54.412016E-50.00.04.412016E-50.03.4896782E-44.4360769E-42.0E-40.450848824.4360769E-40.0
7.14.4205015E-75.368283E-70.00.05.368283E-70.01.8944993E-62.3006914E-60.00.02.3006914E-60.02.3065284E-52.8010727E-50.00.02.8010727E-50.02.3062891E-42.8143072E-41.0E-40.355327222.8143072E-40.0
7.21.6620965E-71.5892638E-70.00.01.5892638E-70.07.123269E-76.811129E-70.00.06.811129E-70.08.672545E-68.292523E-60.00.08.292523E-60.08.6722066E-58.3031395E-50.00.08.3031395E-50.0
7.31.2142488E-71.1671374E-70.00.01.1671374E-70.05.2039223E-75.002017E-70.00.05.002017E-70.06.335757E-66.089942E-60.00.06.089942E-60.06.3355765E-56.092829E-50.00.06.092829E-50.0
7.42.4192937E-82.4460066E-80.00.02.4460066E-80.01.0368401E-71.0482885E-70.00.01.0482885E-70.01.2623522E-61.2762905E-60.00.01.2762905E-60.01.2623449E-51.2724002E-50.00.01.2724002E-50.0
7.51.4432802E-81.4478527E-80.00.01.4478527E-80.06.185486E-86.205083E-80.00.06.205083E-80.07.530827E-77.5546865E-70.00.07.5546865E-70.07.530801E-67.5131766E-60.00.07.5131766E-60.0

Mount Diablo Thrust South

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.2377444E-52.6891565E-50.00.02.6891565E-50.09.5899806E-51.1524554E-41.0E-40.867712561.1524554E-40.00.00116695480.00140240850.00120.85567080.00150226821.0E-40.0116084570.0139556170.01090.78104750.0181956090.0043
6.12.2377444E-52.6891565E-50.00.02.6891565E-50.09.5899806E-51.1524554E-41.0E-40.867712561.1524554E-40.00.00116695480.00140240850.00120.85567080.00150226821.0E-40.0116084570.0139556170.01090.78104750.0181956090.0043
6.22.2377444E-52.6891565E-50.00.02.6891565E-50.09.5899806E-51.1524554E-41.0E-40.867712561.1524554E-40.00.00116695480.00140240850.00120.85567080.00150226821.0E-40.0116084570.0139556170.01090.78104750.0181956090.0043
6.32.2377444E-52.6891565E-50.00.02.6891565E-50.09.5899806E-51.1524554E-41.0E-40.867712561.1524554E-40.00.00116695480.00140240850.00120.85567080.00150226821.0E-40.0116084570.0139556170.01090.78104750.0181956090.0043
6.41.2228463E-51.4708772E-50.00.01.4708772E-50.05.2406645E-56.303615E-50.00.06.303615E-50.06.378641E-47.672076E-44.0E-40.521371258.671309E-41.0E-40.00636036270.0076474690.00380.496896420.0087390570.0011
6.51.2228463E-51.4708772E-50.00.01.4708772E-50.05.2406645E-56.303615E-50.00.06.303615E-50.06.378641E-47.672076E-44.0E-40.521371258.671309E-41.0E-40.00636036270.0076474690.00380.496896420.0087390570.0011
6.61.2068118E-51.4514011E-50.00.01.4514011E-50.05.1719482E-56.220149E-50.00.06.220149E-50.06.2950276E-47.570528E-44.0E-40.52836478.5697713E-41.0E-40.0062772250.0075466150.00380.5035370.0086383140.0011
6.71.1499428E-51.3838028E-50.00.01.3838028E-50.04.9282335E-55.930456E-50.00.05.930456E-50.05.9984723E-47.218065E-44.0E-40.55416518.217343E-41.0E-40.00598230630.0071964820.00380.528035760.0082885660.0011
6.88.82118E-61.0797723E-50.00.01.0797723E-50.03.780451E-54.6275163E-50.00.04.6275163E-50.04.601727E-45.6326005E-43.0E-40.53261376.632037E-41.0E-40.00459220960.005619470.00260.462677060.00631553637.0E-4
6.98.047112E-69.908106E-60.00.09.908106E-60.03.4487166E-54.246265E-50.00.04.246265E-50.04.1980037E-45.1686534E-43.0E-40.58042196.1681366E-41.0E-40.0041900820.0051577420.00240.46531990.00585413177.0E-4
7.06.2574763E-67.73202E-60.00.07.73202E-60.02.681748E-53.313683E-50.00.03.313683E-50.03.264539E-44.0336986E-43.0E-40.743734245.0332956E-41.0E-40.00325974750.0040273680.00180.4469420.00452535465.0E-4
7.13.6485903E-64.5020347E-60.00.04.5020347E-60.01.5636722E-51.9294295E-50.00.01.9294295E-50.01.9036046E-42.3488312E-43.0E-41.2772313.3485962E-41.0E-40.00190197480.00234665440.00130.55398020.00264595033.0E-4
7.22.3034274E-62.8973452E-60.00.02.8973452E-60.09.871795E-61.2417136E-50.00.01.2417136E-50.01.2018247E-41.5116838E-42.0E-41.3230282.5115325E-41.0E-40.00120117490.00151083088.0E-40.529510.00171052862.0E-4
7.31.224035E-61.5621736E-60.00.01.5621736E-60.05.245854E-66.695013E-60.00.06.695013E-60.06.38664E-58.150884E-51.0E-41.22686088.150884E-50.06.384805E-48.14873E-45.0E-40.61359259.1479154E-41.0E-4
7.45.1601154E-76.7047233E-70.00.06.7047233E-70.02.2114762E-62.8734498E-60.00.02.8734498E-60.02.6924388E-53.4983706E-51.0E-42.85847353.4983706E-50.02.6921128E-43.4979658E-41.0E-40.285880453.4979658E-40.0
7.53.552894E-74.6502333E-70.00.04.6502333E-70.01.5226678E-61.9929557E-60.00.01.9929557E-60.01.8538323E-52.426398E-51.0E-44.12133552.426398E-50.01.8536777E-42.4257129E-41.0E-40.412249922.4257129E-40.0
7.61.3124082E-71.7187479E-70.00.01.7187479E-70.05.6246057E-77.3660607E-70.00.07.3660607E-70.06.8479358E-68.968151E-60.00.08.968151E-60.06.8477246E-58.96526E-50.00.08.96526E-50.0
7.73.6193022E-84.7321272E-80.00.04.7321272E-80.01.5511293E-72.0280545E-70.00.02.0280545E-70.01.8884983E-62.4691547E-60.00.02.4691547E-60.01.8884823E-52.4696754E-50.00.02.4696754E-50.0

Little Salmon (Onshore)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.1582247E-55.143167E-50.00.05.143167E-50.01.7819746E-42.2040741E-40.00.02.2040741E-40.00.00216739530.0026809720.00180.67139830.00317963145.0E-40.0214637780.0268359780.01760.6558360.0310205840.0043
6.14.1582247E-55.143167E-50.00.05.143167E-50.01.7819746E-42.2040741E-40.00.02.2040741E-40.00.00216739530.0026809720.00180.67139830.00317963145.0E-40.0214637780.0268359780.01760.6558360.0310205840.0043
6.24.1582247E-55.143167E-50.00.05.143167E-50.01.7819746E-42.2040741E-40.00.02.2040741E-40.00.00216739530.0026809720.00180.67139830.00317963145.0E-40.0214637780.0268359780.01760.6558360.0310205840.0043
6.34.1582247E-55.143167E-50.00.05.143167E-50.01.7819746E-42.2040741E-40.00.02.2040741E-40.00.00216739530.0026809720.00180.67139830.00317963145.0E-40.0214637780.0268359780.01760.6558360.0310205840.0043
6.44.1582247E-55.143167E-50.00.05.143167E-50.01.7819746E-42.2040741E-40.00.02.2040741E-40.00.00216739530.0026809720.00180.67139830.00317963145.0E-40.0214637780.0268359780.01760.6558360.0310205840.0043
6.54.1582247E-55.143167E-50.00.05.143167E-50.01.7819746E-42.2040741E-40.00.02.2040741E-40.00.00216739530.0026809720.00180.67139830.00317963145.0E-40.0214637780.0268359780.01760.6558360.0310205840.0043
6.64.1582247E-55.143167E-50.00.05.143167E-50.01.7819746E-42.2040741E-40.00.02.2040741E-40.00.00216739530.0026809720.00180.67139830.00317963145.0E-40.0214637780.0268359780.01760.6558360.0310205840.0043
6.74.1582247E-55.143167E-50.00.05.143167E-50.01.7819746E-42.2040741E-40.00.02.2040741E-40.00.00216739530.0026809720.00180.67139830.00317963145.0E-40.0214637780.0268359780.01760.6558360.0310205840.0043
6.83.4607925E-54.0632807E-50.00.04.0632807E-50.01.4831126E-41.7413315E-40.00.01.7413315E-40.00.0018041940.00211874980.00140.6607670.00261769055.0E-40.017896160.0212933570.01330.62460790.0245230890.0033
6.93.4607925E-54.0632807E-50.00.04.0632807E-50.01.4831126E-41.7413315E-40.00.01.7413315E-40.00.0018041940.00211874980.00140.6607670.00261769055.0E-40.017896160.0212933570.01330.62460790.0245230890.0033
7.01.8411014E-51.7161936E-50.00.01.7161936E-50.07.8901954E-57.3549374E-50.00.07.3549374E-50.09.6020795E-48.9514843E-44.0E-40.446853289.950589E-41.0E-40.0095606960.0089405880.00610.68228180.0105262830.0016
7.11.6183103E-51.4098013E-50.00.01.4098013E-50.06.935431E-56.041892E-50.00.06.041892E-50.08.440616E-47.353988E-43.0E-40.40794198.353253E-41.0E-40.0084086280.0073542350.0050.67988040.0086446740.0013
7.21.4868988E-51.2485594E-50.00.01.2485594E-50.06.372268E-55.350884E-50.00.05.350884E-50.07.755474E-46.513198E-42.0E-40.307068826.513198E-40.00.00772846350.0065182350.00450.69037090.0077104130.0012
7.39.3599865E-67.63674E-60.00.07.63674E-60.04.011361E-53.2728673E-50.00.03.2728673E-50.04.8827377E-43.9843383E-41.0E-40.25098273.9843383E-40.00.0048720230.00399287460.00250.62611530.004690087.0E-4
7.45.941556E-64.913584E-60.00.04.913584E-60.02.5463563E-52.1058217E-50.00.02.1058217E-50.03.0997477E-42.5638376E-41.0E-40.390040282.5638376E-40.00.00309542750.00257150340.00130.505540850.00307021785.0E-4

Palos Verdes

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.126063E-57.6033015E-50.00.07.6033015E-50.02.6251914E-43.258184E-43.0E-40.92075833.258184E-40.00.00319148650.0039601530.00140.35352170.00415936072.0E-40.0314603930.0389525670.01830.469802170.0431811770.0044
6.16.126063E-57.6033015E-50.00.07.6033015E-50.02.6251914E-43.258184E-43.0E-40.92075833.258184E-40.00.00319148650.0039601530.00140.35352170.00415936072.0E-40.0314603930.0389525670.01830.469802170.0431811770.0044
6.26.126063E-57.6033015E-50.00.07.6033015E-50.02.6251914E-43.258184E-43.0E-40.92075833.258184E-40.00.00319148650.0039601530.00140.35352170.00415936072.0E-40.0314603930.0389525670.01830.469802170.0431811770.0044
6.34.0838047E-54.9635695E-50.00.04.9635695E-50.01.7500846E-42.1270833E-42.0E-40.94025472.1270833E-40.00.00212864580.00258685370.0010.386570.00278633622.0E-40.0210837090.0255891420.01280.500212130.0285123750.003
6.44.0838047E-54.9635695E-50.00.04.9635695E-50.01.7500846E-42.1270833E-42.0E-40.94025472.1270833E-40.00.00212864580.00258685370.0010.386570.00278633622.0E-40.0210837090.0255891420.01280.500212130.0285123750.003
6.53.0512005E-53.6485533E-50.00.03.6485533E-50.01.3075917E-41.5635787E-42.0E-41.27911691.5635787E-40.00.00159083040.0019021110.0010.52573170.00210173062.0E-40.0157949030.018870220.00910.482241330.0211268180.0023
6.62.9255087E-53.5080087E-50.00.03.5080087E-50.01.2537291E-41.5033523E-42.0E-41.33036031.5033523E-40.00.00152534640.00182890830.0010.546774270.00202854262.0E-40.0151491890.0181501620.00890.490353730.0203102320.0022
6.72.287198E-52.71935E-50.00.02.71935E-50.09.801909E-51.1653888E-42.0E-41.71616541.1653888E-40.00.0011927290.00141802879.0E-40.63468390.00161774512.0E-40.0118634770.0140989960.00730.517767370.0159722080.0019
6.82.1325764E-52.538045E-50.00.02.538045E-50.09.139293E-51.0876933E-42.0E-41.83875371.0876933E-40.00.0011121410.0013235527.0E-40.52887990.0013235520.00.0110659150.0131656890.00670.508898560.0148433070.0017
6.91.9009392E-52.2568487E-50.00.02.2568487E-50.08.1466285E-59.671899E-52.0E-42.06784639.671899E-50.09.914007E-40.00117700457.0E-40.59473010.00117700450.00.0098698940.0117163560.00590.503569540.0130999530.0014
7.01.7098473E-52.027909E-50.00.02.027909E-50.07.3277115E-58.6907974E-52.0E-42.30128488.6907974E-50.08.917837E-40.00105767587.0E-40.66182850.00105767580.00.0088821340.0105348190.00560.53157060.0118211240.0013
7.11.5982785E-51.89571E-50.00.01.89571E-50.06.849585E-58.1242666E-52.0E-42.46176088.1242666E-50.08.336179E-49.887649E-47.0E-40.707953939.887649E-40.00.0083049770.0098519840.00530.537962730.0111391770.0013
7.21.4468002E-51.716309E-50.00.01.716309E-50.06.200425E-57.3554496E-51.0E-41.35953627.3554496E-50.07.546402E-48.9524174E-46.0E-40.670210068.9524174E-40.00.0075208270.0089245880.00450.5042250.0101138780.0012
7.35.288233E-66.192199E-60.00.06.192199E-60.02.2663658E-52.6537922E-50.00.02.6537922E-50.02.7589512E-43.2308605E-43.0E-40.92854523.2308605E-40.00.00275552830.00322957150.00140.433494060.00382763386.0E-4
7.48.279556E-78.406981E-70.00.08.406981E-70.03.5483763E-63.6029871E-60.00.03.6029871E-60.04.3200624E-54.386556E-50.00.04.386556E-50.04.3192226E-44.3857621E-42.0E-40.456021075.385324E-41.0E-4
7.56.559831E-76.666089E-70.00.06.666089E-70.02.8113532E-62.8568925E-60.00.02.8568925E-60.03.4227687E-53.478218E-50.00.03.478218E-50.03.4222414E-43.4777398E-42.0E-40.57508624.477392E-41.0E-4
7.63.5018968E-73.5613644E-70.00.03.5613644E-70.01.500812E-61.5262984E-60.00.01.5262984E-60.01.8272232E-51.8582572E-50.00.01.8582572E-50.01.8270731E-41.8581477E-40.00.01.8581477E-40.0
7.71.1986104E-71.2196121E-70.00.01.2196121E-70.05.1369005E-75.226908E-70.00.05.226908E-70.06.2541585E-66.363742E-60.00.06.363742E-60.06.2539824E-56.363564E-50.00.06.363564E-50.0
7.83.0445005E-83.1021386E-80.00.03.1021386E-80.01.3047858E-71.3294878E-70.00.01.3294878E-70.01.5885756E-61.6186506E-60.00.01.6186506E-60.01.5885644E-51.6186408E-50.00.01.6186408E-50.0

Keddie Ridge 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.2591947E-52.5158795E-50.00.02.5158795E-50.09.6819036E-51.078194E-41.0E-40.92747691.078194E-40.00.00117813430.00131198960.00130.990861540.00181133365.0E-40.0117190790.0130503640.010.76626210.0171955530.0042
6.12.2591947E-52.5158795E-50.00.02.5158795E-50.09.6819036E-51.078194E-41.0E-40.92747691.078194E-40.00.00117813430.00131198960.00130.990861540.00181133365.0E-40.0117190790.0130503640.00840.64366020.0163072980.0033
6.21.3775145E-51.5304711E-50.00.01.5304711E-50.05.9035E-56.559011E-51.0E-41.52462026.559011E-50.07.185141E-47.982911E-47.0E-40.87687319.981315E-42.0E-40.00716195350.0079566490.00410.51529230.0091471010.0012
6.39.705435E-61.07559135E-50.00.01.07559135E-50.04.1594063E-54.6096025E-51.0E-42.16938424.6096025E-50.05.0629E-45.61087E-45.0E-40.89112746.610309E-41.0E-40.0050513810.0055979320.00320.57163970.00639345368.0E-4
6.47.2549733E-68.018234E-60.00.08.018234E-60.03.109237E-53.4363453E-51.0E-42.91006853.4363453E-50.03.7848388E-44.183027E-44.0E-40.956245365.182609E-41.0E-40.0037783990.0041759390.00240.574721040.00477343336.0E-4
6.55.983293E-66.6056505E-60.00.06.6056505E-60.02.5642432E-52.8309662E-50.00.02.8309662E-50.03.1215188E-43.4462236E-43.0E-40.870518154.4458787E-41.0E-40.00311713760.00344154080.0020.581135030.00403947576.0E-4
6.64.0336154E-64.4528106E-60.00.04.4528106E-60.01.728681E-51.9083356E-50.00.01.9083356E-50.02.1044657E-42.3231911E-41.0E-40.43044242.3231911E-40.00.0021024740.0023211580.00140.60314720.00281999755.0E-4
6.71.5832104E-61.7792295E-60.00.01.7792295E-60.06.7851697E-67.6252486E-60.00.07.6252486E-60.08.260631E-59.283372E-50.00.09.283372E-50.08.2575605E-49.27976E-48.0E-40.86209130.00112779042.0E-4
6.87.5177275E-78.5773416E-70.00.08.5773416E-70.03.221879E-63.6759993E-60.00.03.6759993E-60.03.9225673E-54.4754543E-50.00.04.4754543E-50.03.921875E-44.4747177E-44.0E-40.89391115.4742704E-41.0E-4

Surprise Valley 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.0396248E-54.479939E-50.00.04.479939E-50.01.7311527E-41.9198445E-40.00.01.9198445E-40.00.0021056410.00233511420.00120.51389350.002734184.0E-40.0208580080.0231274390.01250.540483530.0262534320.0032
6.14.0396248E-54.479939E-50.00.04.479939E-50.01.7311527E-41.9198445E-40.00.01.9198445E-40.00.0021056410.00233511420.00120.51389350.002734184.0E-40.0208580080.0231274390.01250.540483530.0262534320.0032
6.22.2295266E-52.4377101E-50.00.02.4377101E-50.09.554764E-51.0446928E-40.00.01.0446928E-40.00.00116267170.00127120216.0E-40.47199420.00157082073.0E-40.0115660740.0126425330.00670.52995710.01451851150.0019
6.31.572643E-51.7081213E-50.00.01.7081213E-50.06.7397246E-57.3203206E-50.00.07.3203206E-50.08.202525E-48.908951E-42.0E-40.224493329.90806E-41.0E-40.0081723150.008874340.00480.540885270.0104601410.0016
6.41.5714395E-51.7069036E-50.00.01.7069036E-50.06.734567E-57.315102E-50.00.07.315102E-50.08.1962504E-48.902603E-42.0E-40.224653419.901712E-41.0E-40.0081660860.0088680420.00480.541269360.0104538540.0016
6.51.2733495E-51.3789486E-50.00.01.3789486E-50.05.457098E-55.9096496E-50.00.05.9096496E-50.06.641992E-47.19269E-41.0E-40.139030058.1919704E-41.0E-40.00662217430.00717010260.00370.51603170.0085600640.0014
6.61.0983784E-51.1876331E-50.00.01.1876331E-50.04.7072506E-55.0897597E-50.00.05.0897597E-50.05.7295704E-46.195074E-41.0E-40.161418577.1944547E-41.0E-40.00571482070.00617835250.00350.566494050.0075697030.0014
6.79.104806E-69.831182E-60.00.09.831182E-60.03.902001E-54.213298E-50.00.04.213298E-50.04.7496508E-45.128522E-41.0E-40.194987956.128009E-41.0E-40.0047395120.0051170830.00320.62535630.00641043070.0013
6.86.2162403E-66.6986236E-60.00.06.6986236E-60.02.6640759E-52.8708082E-50.00.02.8708082E-50.03.2430296E-43.4946707E-41.0E-40.286149984.4943212E-41.0E-40.0032383010.00348939820.00240.687797670.0046852110.0012
6.94.1792696E-64.499571E-60.00.04.499571E-60.01.7911032E-51.9283741E-50.00.01.9283741E-50.02.1804498E-42.347558E-41.0E-40.425974583.3473232E-41.0E-40.00217831160.00234523110.00150.63959580.0031433558.0E-4
7.02.7478413E-62.9598184E-60.00.02.9598184E-60.01.177641E-51.2684882E-50.00.01.2684882E-50.01.4336836E-41.5442874E-40.00.01.5442874E-40.00.0014327590.00154333649.0E-40.58315220.00224225627.0E-4
7.18.128648E-78.718175E-70.00.08.718175E-70.03.4837017E-63.7363588E-60.00.03.7363588E-60.04.2413245E-54.5489818E-50.00.04.5489818E-50.04.2405148E-44.5486377E-44.0E-40.879384167.5472734E-43.0E-4
7.24.8641045E-84.9393996E-80.00.04.9393996E-80.02.084616E-72.1168853E-70.00.02.1168853E-70.02.538017E-62.577305E-60.00.02.577305E-60.02.537988E-52.5772762E-50.00.02.5772762E-50.0
7.35.3911844E-95.474917E-90.00.05.474917E-90.02.3105075E-82.346393E-80.00.02.346393E-80.02.8130427E-72.856733E-70.00.02.856733E-70.02.8130391E-62.856731E-60.00.02.856731E-60.0

Elysian Park (Upper)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.1876025E-53.695652E-51.0E-42.70588253.695652E-50.01.3660437E-41.5837819E-42.0E-41.26280011.5837819E-40.00.00166188950.00192702050.00130.67461660.00232624964.0E-40.0164951590.0191494280.01440.751980660.0230728310.004
6.13.1876025E-53.695652E-51.0E-42.70588253.695652E-50.01.3660437E-41.5837819E-42.0E-41.26280011.5837819E-40.00.00166188950.00192702050.00130.67461660.00232624964.0E-40.0164951590.0191494280.01440.751980660.0230728310.004
6.23.1876025E-53.695652E-51.0E-42.70588253.695652E-50.01.3660437E-41.5837819E-42.0E-41.26280011.5837819E-40.00.00166188950.00192702050.00130.67461660.00232624964.0E-40.0164951590.0191494280.01440.751980660.0230728310.004
6.33.1876025E-53.695652E-51.0E-42.70588253.695652E-50.01.3660437E-41.5837819E-42.0E-41.26280011.5837819E-40.00.00166188950.00192702050.00130.67461660.00232624964.0E-40.0164951590.0191494280.01440.751980660.0230728310.004
6.41.9273462E-52.1165475E-50.00.02.1165475E-50.08.259794E-59.0707E-50.00.09.0707E-50.00.0010051660.00110396895.0E-40.45291130.00120385861.0E-40.0100063150.0110016040.00790.71807710.0129796010.002
6.51.9273462E-52.1165475E-50.00.02.1165475E-50.08.259794E-59.0707E-50.00.09.0707E-50.00.0010051660.00110396895.0E-40.45291130.00120385861.0E-40.0100063150.0110016040.00790.71807710.0129796010.002
6.69.813258E-69.654885E-60.00.09.654885E-60.04.205614E-54.137746E-50.00.04.137746E-50.05.119132E-45.036614E-42.0E-40.39709225.036614E-40.00.0051073560.0050259210.00350.69638980.00602089470.001
6.79.801478E-69.642462E-60.00.09.642462E-60.04.2005657E-54.1324223E-50.00.04.1324223E-50.05.112989E-45.030135E-42.0E-40.397603665.030135E-40.00.00510124070.0050194710.00350.697284640.00601445140.001
6.88.102489E-67.764399E-60.00.07.764399E-60.03.4724493E-53.32756E-50.00.03.32756E-50.04.2268867E-44.0506007E-42.0E-40.493753944.0506007E-40.00.0042188560.004043710.00290.71716320.00474087947.0E-4
6.96.08275E-65.4760635E-60.00.05.4760635E-60.02.6068668E-52.3468636E-50.00.02.3468636E-50.03.173398E-42.8569394E-42.0E-40.70004982.8569394E-40.00.00316887020.00285334420.00220.77102510.00335191755.0E-4
7.05.5995934E-64.9778587E-60.00.04.9778587E-60.02.3998036E-52.133351E-50.00.02.133351E-50.02.9213692E-42.5970518E-42.0E-40.7701042.5970518E-40.00.00291753160.0025940840.0020.770985070.00299304654.0E-4
7.14.709881E-64.0832947E-60.00.04.0832947E-60.02.0185047E-51.749972E-50.00.01.749972E-50.02.4572524E-42.1303867E-40.00.02.1303867E-40.00.0024545370.00212838570.00140.65777550.00242774723.0E-4
7.23.6063436E-62.974887E-60.00.02.974887E-60.01.5455667E-51.2749454E-50.00.01.2749454E-50.01.881565E-41.5521365E-40.00.01.5521365E-40.00.00187997260.00155106379.0E-40.5802470.00175075352.0E-4
7.32.471135E-62.093369E-60.00.02.093369E-60.01.0590536E-58.97155E-60.00.08.97155E-60.01.2893214E-41.0922323E-40.00.01.0922323E-40.00.00128857360.00109170268.0E-40.73280030.00129148432.0E-4
7.41.163943E-61.0265575E-60.00.01.0265575E-60.04.988318E-64.3995246E-60.00.04.3995246E-60.06.0731076E-55.3562926E-50.00.05.3562926E-50.06.071448E-45.3550315E-47.0E-41.3071827.3539605E-42.0E-4
7.54.99459E-74.9131404E-70.00.04.9131404E-70.02.140537E-62.1056298E-60.00.02.1056298E-60.02.6060725E-52.5635758E-50.00.02.5635758E-50.02.605767E-42.5632957E-42.0E-40.780245543.5630394E-41.0E-4
7.62.4667852E-72.4751705E-70.00.02.4751705E-70.01.0571932E-61.060787E-60.00.01.060787E-60.01.2871251E-51.29150085E-50.00.01.29150085E-50.01.2870505E-41.2914295E-40.00.01.2914295E-40.0
7.78.2312795E-87.371992E-80.00.07.371992E-80.03.527691E-73.1594246E-70.00.03.1594246E-70.04.294955E-63.8465937E-60.00.03.8465937E-60.04.2948723E-53.8465387E-50.00.03.8465387E-50.0
7.82.7819295E-81.7463728E-80.00.01.7463728E-80.01.1922555E-77.484455E-80.00.07.484455E-80.01.45157E-69.112322E-70.00.09.112322E-70.01.45156055E-59.112299E-60.00.09.112299E-60.0

Bicycle Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.9621975E-52.2067992E-50.00.02.2067992E-50.08.4091465E-59.457444E-50.00.09.457444E-50.00.00102333270.00115097027.0E-40.608182550.00155050984.0E-40.010186330.0114633660.01140.99447220.0152198060.0038
6.11.9621975E-52.2067992E-50.00.02.2067992E-50.08.4091465E-59.457444E-50.00.09.457444E-50.00.00102333270.00115097027.0E-40.608182550.00155050984.0E-40.010186330.0114633660.01140.99447220.0152198060.0038
6.29.9971285E-61.1240861E-50.00.01.1240861E-50.04.2844134E-54.817452E-50.00.04.817452E-50.05.2150246E-45.864188E-44.0E-40.68210647.863015E-42.0E-40.00520280330.0058538050.00621.05914010.0079415120.0021
6.39.589428E-61.0784147E-50.00.01.0784147E-50.04.10969E-54.6217247E-50.00.04.6217247E-50.05.002399E-45.6260143E-44.0E-40.71098297.624889E-42.0E-40.00499115330.0056168480.00581.03260770.0076056140.002
6.49.589428E-61.0784147E-50.00.01.0784147E-50.04.10969E-54.6217247E-50.00.04.6217247E-50.05.002399E-45.6260143E-44.0E-40.71098297.624889E-42.0E-40.00499115330.0056168480.00581.03260770.0076056140.002
6.55.557707E-66.2770173E-60.00.06.2770173E-60.02.3818526E-52.6901376E-50.00.02.6901376E-50.02.8995197E-43.2750185E-41.0E-40.305341784.274691E-41.0E-40.00289573940.0032728210.00320.977749760.00446889360.0012
6.64.8742945E-65.505753E-60.00.05.505753E-60.02.0889667E-52.359602E-50.00.02.359602E-50.02.54302E-42.872698E-41.0E-40.348104833.8724105E-41.0E-40.0025401120.00287154620.00291.00990890.00396838740.0011
6.73.991108E-64.5097186E-60.00.04.5097186E-60.01.7104636E-51.9327364E-50.00.01.9327364E-50.02.0822904E-42.3531067E-41.0E-40.424970123.3528713E-41.0E-40.00208034040.00235310660.00271.14741930.00335075360.001

San Pedro Basin

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.3449043E-56.324608E-50.00.06.324608E-50.02.2904722E-42.7102992E-40.00.02.7102992E-40.00.00278508360.00329539760.00170.5158710.00349473862.0E-40.0275043660.0325266720.01960.60258240.0362998170.0039
6.15.3449043E-56.324608E-50.00.06.324608E-50.02.2904722E-42.7102992E-40.00.02.7102992E-40.00.00278508360.00329539760.00170.5158710.00349473862.0E-40.0275043660.0325266720.01960.60258240.0362998170.0039
6.22.3189454E-52.6600585E-50.00.02.6600585E-50.09.9379584E-51.1399779E-40.00.01.1399779E-40.00.00120927490.00138708637.0E-40.504654940.00148694761.0E-40.0120271550.0137891410.00850.61642710.0150712140.0013
6.32.3189454E-52.6600585E-50.00.02.6600585E-50.09.9379584E-51.1399779E-40.00.01.1399779E-40.00.00120927490.00138708637.0E-40.504654940.00148694761.0E-40.0120271550.0137891410.00850.61642710.0150712140.0013
6.41.966056E-52.2429225E-50.00.02.2429225E-50.08.425682E-59.6121934E-50.00.09.6121934E-50.00.0010253440.00116969627.0E-40.5984460.00126957931.0E-40.0102062590.011639470.00740.635767760.0128255030.0012
6.51.7342953E-51.9715859E-50.00.01.9715859E-50.07.4324824E-58.4494015E-50.00.08.4494015E-50.09.04529E-40.00102826596.0E-40.583506640.00112816311.0E-40.0090085610.0102387930.00660.644607250.0113275290.0011
6.61.439804E-51.6299215E-50.00.01.6299215E-50.06.170443E-56.985209E-50.00.06.985209E-50.07.509924E-48.501493E-43.0E-40.35287928.501493E-40.00.00748459530.0084721620.00520.613774840.0091662327.0E-4
6.71.2634884E-51.42651015E-50.00.01.42651015E-50.05.414838E-56.113489E-50.00.06.113489E-50.06.590571E-47.4409344E-43.0E-40.403175187.4409344E-40.00.0065710590.00741903060.00480.646984760.0080145796.0E-4
6.81.146091E-51.2915136E-50.00.01.2915136E-50.04.911726E-55.5349574E-50.00.05.5349574E-50.05.9783855E-46.737024E-42.0E-40.296866986.737024E-40.00.00596232760.00671953060.00450.669689660.0073154996.0E-4
6.99.109035E-61.0221103E-50.00.01.0221103E-50.03.9038136E-54.3804153E-50.00.04.3804153E-50.04.7518566E-45.3321297E-42.0E-40.375084675.3321297E-40.00.00474170830.00532208060.00310.582478940.00591888746.0E-4
7.05.9351028E-66.575783E-60.00.06.575783E-60.02.5435906E-52.8181757E-50.00.02.8181757E-50.03.0963816E-43.430824E-42.0E-40.58295033.430824E-40.00.00309207060.00342783680.00190.55428540.00382646574.0E-4
7.12.1557585E-62.2086524E-60.00.02.2086524E-60.09.238933E-69.46562E-60.00.09.46562E-60.01.1247819E-41.1523798E-40.00.01.1523798E-40.00.00112421280.00115179765.0E-40.434104060.00135156722.0E-4
7.22.1251979E-62.1770104E-60.00.02.1770104E-60.09.107958E-69.330012E-60.00.09.330012E-60.01.1088375E-41.13587135E-40.00.01.13587135E-40.00.00110828450.00113530615.0E-40.440409870.0013350792.0E-4
7.31.7145798E-61.7435585E-60.00.01.7435585E-60.07.3481783E-67.4723725E-60.00.07.4723725E-60.08.94604E-59.097243E-50.00.09.097243E-50.08.9424395E-49.09361E-45.0E-40.549836640.00110917912.0E-4
7.41.4467993E-61.4635926E-60.00.01.4635926E-60.06.200554E-66.2725253E-60.00.06.2725253E-60.07.548913E-57.6365395E-50.00.07.6365395E-50.07.546349E-47.633988E-44.0E-40.52397259.6324616E-42.0E-4
7.51.2803735E-61.2926255E-60.00.01.2926255E-60.05.487303E-65.5398123E-60.00.05.5398123E-60.06.680587E-56.7445195E-50.00.06.7445195E-50.06.678579E-46.742544E-43.0E-40.444935957.741869E-41.0E-4
7.66.755009E-76.7667E-70.00.06.7667E-70.02.8950008E-62.9000116E-60.00.02.9000116E-60.03.5246063E-53.5307126E-50.00.03.5307126E-50.03.5240475E-43.530209E-41.0E-40.283269354.529856E-41.0E-4
7.76.211885E-84.567464E-80.00.04.567464E-80.02.6622362E-71.9574844E-70.00.01.9574844E-70.03.2412677E-62.383235E-60.00.02.383235E-60.03.2412205E-52.3832114E-50.00.02.3832114E-50.0
7.82.6580573E-91.5097251E-90.00.01.5097251E-90.01.1391674E-86.4702506E-90.00.06.4702506E-90.01.3869362E-77.87753E-80.00.07.87753E-80.01.3869354E-67.8775304E-70.00.07.8775304E-70.0

Greenville (So) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.279693E-55.4871653E-50.00.05.4871653E-50.01.8340252E-42.35145E-40.00.02.35145E-40.00.00223063890.0028594050.00140.489612370.0031585473.0E-40.0220838080.0282534230.0150.53090910.031946060.0038
6.13.4037297E-54.3064574E-50.00.04.3064574E-50.01.4586597E-41.8455059E-40.00.01.8455059E-40.00.00177447150.0022447530.0010.44548330.0024443042.0E-40.017603690.022237860.01180.53062660.0251711460.003
6.23.4037297E-54.3064574E-50.00.04.3064574E-50.01.4586597E-41.8455059E-40.00.01.8455059E-40.00.00177447150.0022447530.0010.44548330.0024443042.0E-40.017603690.022237860.01180.53062660.0251711460.003
6.32.5956324E-53.2337128E-50.00.03.2337128E-50.01.11236644E-41.3858077E-40.00.01.3858077E-40.00.00135346470.00168597888.0E-40.474501820.00188564162.0E-40.0134525090.0167387870.00930.55559580.0194919180.0028
6.42.1145053E-52.6124151E-50.00.02.6124151E-50.09.061851E-51.1195603E-40.00.01.1195603E-40.00.00110272190.00136224397.0E-40.51385810.00156197142.0E-40.010972660.01354243050.00770.56858330.0160085750.0025
6.52.0030959E-52.4726009E-50.00.02.4726009E-50.08.584414E-51.0596449E-40.00.01.0596449E-40.00.00104465130.00128938517.0E-40.54289440.00148912732.0E-40.0103975410.0128224660.00670.52252040.0148955390.0021
6.61.8395405E-52.2689894E-50.00.02.2689894E-50.07.8835066E-59.723894E-50.00.09.723894E-50.09.5939427E-40.00118326957.0E-40.59158120.00138303292.0E-40.0095526290.0117728120.00650.552119550.013848090.0021
6.71.7883482E-52.2062428E-50.00.02.2062428E-50.07.664124E-59.454999E-50.00.09.454999E-50.09.3270757E-40.00115056677.0E-40.60839580.00135033662.0E-40.0092880260.0114492140.00630.55025610.0134263160.002
6.81.3373564E-51.6457283E-50.00.01.6457283E-50.05.7314013E-57.0529386E-50.00.07.0529386E-50.06.975747E-48.583717E-44.0E-40.465998569.582859E-41.0E-40.00695389040.0085522430.0050.584641930.0101385590.0016
6.91.06692905E-51.3112284E-50.00.01.3112284E-50.04.5724726E-55.619436E-50.00.05.619436E-50.05.5655633E-46.839628E-43.0E-40.438620367.838944E-41.0E-40.0055516450.0068198820.00440.64517240.0082103340.0014
7.08.157512E-61.0029763E-50.00.01.0029763E-50.03.4960296E-54.298401E-50.00.04.298401E-50.04.2555845E-45.2320835E-43.0E-40.573385366.23156E-41.0E-40.0042474440.00522031770.00290.55552170.0062150980.001
7.16.1467113E-67.599936E-60.00.07.599936E-60.02.6342783E-53.257075E-50.00.03.257075E-50.03.206762E-43.964776E-43.0E-40.756663144.9643795E-41.0E-40.00320213820.00395796730.00270.682168360.0047548018.0E-4
7.24.713467E-65.890499E-60.00.05.890499E-60.02.0200418E-52.5244755E-50.00.02.5244755E-50.02.4591232E-43.0731212E-42.0E-40.65080414.072814E-41.0E-40.00245640380.00306919080.00220.716801350.00386673548.0E-4
7.32.3266216E-62.9365724E-60.00.02.9365724E-60.09.971197E-61.258525E-50.00.01.258525E-50.01.2139256E-41.532148E-40.00.01.532148E-40.00.00121326270.00153119610.0010.65308420.00193058364.0E-4
7.41.3314E-61.7055879E-60.00.01.7055879E-60.05.7059874E-67.309642E-60.00.07.309642E-60.06.946818E-58.899131E-50.00.08.899131E-50.06.9446466E-48.8957E-46.0E-40.67448320.00118930313.0E-4
7.51.0362941E-61.3353753E-60.00.01.3353753E-60.04.4412527E-65.7230245E-60.00.05.7230245E-60.05.407091E-56.967564E-50.00.06.967564E-50.05.405776E-46.9652876E-45.0E-40.717845448.963894E-42.0E-4
7.67.764784E-79.991577E-70.00.09.991577E-70.03.3277602E-64.2820975E-60.00.04.2820975E-60.04.0514726E-55.213333E-50.00.05.213333E-50.04.050734E-45.21178E-44.0E-40.76749217.2107377E-42.0E-4
7.71.6927763E-72.191352E-70.00.02.191352E-70.07.2547533E-79.3915054E-70.00.09.3915054E-70.08.832627E-61.1434101E-50.00.01.1434101E-50.08.8322755E-51.1434293E-40.00.01.1434293E-40.0

Blue Cut

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.1227985E-52.270289E-50.00.02.270289E-50.09.097391E-59.7294804E-51.0E-41.02780411.9728507E-41.0E-40.00110704450.00118397859.0E-40.760148940.00138374172.0E-40.0110154580.0117825380.00970.823252140.0155377650.0038
6.12.1227985E-52.270289E-50.00.02.270289E-50.09.097391E-59.7294804E-51.0E-41.02780411.9728507E-41.0E-40.00110704450.00118397859.0E-40.760148940.00138374172.0E-40.0110154580.0117825380.00970.823252140.0155377650.0038
6.22.1227985E-52.270289E-50.00.02.270289E-50.09.097391E-59.7294804E-51.0E-41.02780411.9728507E-41.0E-40.00110704450.00118397859.0E-40.760148940.00138374172.0E-40.0110154580.0117825380.00970.823252140.0155377650.0038
6.31.1613981E-51.2345328E-50.00.01.2345328E-50.04.9773254E-55.2907548E-50.00.05.2907548E-50.06.0582085E-46.4397143E-44.0E-40.621145557.4390706E-41.0E-40.00604171960.0064222990.00460.71625440.0083100960.0019
6.41.1613981E-51.2345328E-50.00.01.2345328E-50.04.9773254E-55.2907548E-50.00.05.2907548E-50.06.0582085E-46.4397143E-44.0E-40.621145557.4390706E-41.0E-40.00604171960.0064222990.00460.71625440.0083100960.0019
6.58.931326E-69.475502E-60.00.09.475502E-60.03.8276554E-54.0608713E-50.00.04.0608713E-50.04.6591737E-44.943081E-44.0E-40.80921195.9425866E-41.0E-40.00464941750.0049329940.0040.81086660.0065251010.0016
6.67.345353E-67.785355E-60.00.07.785355E-60.03.1479703E-53.3365424E-50.00.03.3365424E-50.03.83198E-44.0615632E-43.0E-40.73863195.0611567E-41.0E-40.00382537880.00405493050.00330.813824060.0053496590.0013
6.76.2775666E-66.6509715E-60.00.06.6509715E-60.02.690358E-52.8503895E-50.00.02.8503895E-50.03.2750185E-43.4698716E-43.0E-40.86458534.4695247E-41.0E-40.00327019630.00346519380.00310.89461080.0047606890.0013
6.85.5234095E-65.851442E-60.00.05.851442E-60.02.367154E-52.5077408E-50.00.02.5077408E-50.02.8816288E-43.0528192E-42.0E-40.65513214.052514E-41.0E-40.0028778950.00304934080.00280.918231250.00434537650.0013
6.94.7780054E-65.0622407E-60.00.05.0622407E-60.02.0477004E-52.1695178E-50.00.02.1695178E-50.02.4927902E-42.641138E-41.0E-40.378624683.6408738E-41.0E-40.00248999570.00263869040.00250.94743970.0038355240.0012
7.03.883171E-64.115883E-60.00.04.115883E-60.01.6642054E-51.7639417E-50.00.01.7639417E-50.02.0259817E-42.1474561E-41.0E-40.465667253.1472414E-41.0E-40.00202413560.0021460560.00190.88534510.0029443398.0E-4
7.12.8358215E-63.00779E-60.00.03.00779E-60.01.2153464E-51.2890502E-50.00.01.2890502E-50.01.4795837E-41.5693712E-40.00.01.5693712E-40.00.0014785990.00156890740.00140.89234080.00196827974.0E-4

Cleghorn Pass

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.0522846E-51.1034972E-50.00.01.1034972E-50.04.509713E-54.7292175E-52.0E-44.2290291.4728744E-41.0E-45.4891926E-45.7568273E-49.0E-41.56336129.754524E-44.0E-40.00547565330.00574707470.00711.23541120.0091275350.0034
6.11.0522846E-51.1034972E-50.00.01.1034972E-50.04.509713E-54.7292175E-52.0E-44.2290291.4728744E-41.0E-45.4891926E-45.7568273E-49.0E-41.56336129.754524E-44.0E-40.00547565330.00574707470.00711.23541120.0091275350.0034
6.22.1045846E-62.2070678E-60.00.02.2070678E-60.09.019617E-69.458851E-60.00.09.458851E-60.01.098083E-41.1515962E-41.0E-40.86835992.151481E-41.0E-40.00109754060.00115141046.0E-40.521100040.00175071966.0E-4
6.32.1045846E-62.2070678E-60.00.02.2070678E-60.09.019617E-69.458851E-60.00.09.458851E-60.01.098083E-41.1515962E-41.0E-40.86835992.151481E-41.0E-40.00109754060.00115141046.0E-40.521100040.00175071966.0E-4
6.41.7259927E-61.8099477E-60.00.01.8099477E-60.07.3970905E-67.756918E-60.00.07.756918E-60.09.005586E-59.444048E-51.0E-41.05886791.9443104E-41.0E-49.001937E-49.444048E-46.0E-40.63532080.00154383826.0E-4

Lost Hills

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.233523E-52.5074094E-50.00.02.5074094E-50.09.571891E-51.0745692E-41.0E-40.93060551.0745692E-40.00.00116475460.00130767059.0E-40.68824670.00140753981.0E-40.0115866860.0130163120.01080.829728070.0165694540.0036
6.12.233523E-52.5074094E-50.00.02.5074094E-50.09.571891E-51.0745692E-41.0E-40.93060551.0745692E-40.00.00116475460.00130767059.0E-40.68824670.00140753981.0E-40.0115866860.0130163120.01080.829728070.0165694540.0036
6.22.233523E-52.5074094E-50.00.02.5074094E-50.09.571891E-51.0745692E-41.0E-40.93060551.0745692E-40.00.00116475460.00130767059.0E-40.68824670.00140753981.0E-40.0115866860.0130163120.01080.829728070.0165694540.0036
6.32.233523E-52.5074094E-50.00.02.5074094E-50.09.571891E-51.0745692E-41.0E-40.93060551.0745692E-40.00.00116475460.00130767059.0E-40.68824670.00140753981.0E-40.0115866860.0130163120.01080.829728070.0165694540.0036
6.41.2288092E-51.3763646E-50.00.01.3763646E-50.05.2662188E-55.8986247E-50.00.05.8986247E-50.06.409735E-47.180145E-45.0E-40.696364768.1794267E-41.0E-40.0063912790.0071661290.00650.90704480.0091517970.002
6.51.2288092E-51.3763646E-50.00.01.3763646E-50.05.2662188E-55.8986247E-50.00.05.8986247E-50.06.409735E-47.180145E-45.0E-40.696364768.1794267E-41.0E-40.0063912790.0071661290.00650.90704480.0091517970.002
6.68.58281E-69.621468E-60.00.09.621468E-60.03.6782953E-54.123468E-50.00.04.123468E-50.04.4774043E-45.019996E-42.0E-40.39840676.019494E-41.0E-40.00446839350.00501679540.00410.81725480.00640977170.0014
6.77.205685E-68.07797E-60.00.08.07797E-60.03.088114E-53.4619872E-50.00.03.4619872E-50.03.7591302E-44.2149695E-42.0E-40.47449935.214548E-41.0E-40.00375277760.00421496950.00350.830373760.0053103330.0011

San Jacinto (San Bernardino)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.409352E-53.4715773E-51.0E-42.88053511.347123E-41.0E-41.461069E-41.487734E-42.0E-41.34432643.4874363E-42.0E-40.00177740.00180981280.00170.93932360.002109273.0E-40.017632510.0186983140.0120.64176910.022132870.0035
6.13.409352E-53.4715773E-51.0E-42.88053511.347123E-41.0E-41.461069E-41.487734E-42.0E-41.34432643.4874363E-42.0E-40.00177740.00180981280.00170.93932360.002109273.0E-40.017632510.0186983140.0120.64176910.022132870.0035
6.23.409352E-53.4715773E-51.0E-42.88053511.347123E-41.0E-41.461069E-41.487734E-42.0E-41.34432643.4874363E-42.0E-40.00177740.00180981280.00170.93932360.002109273.0E-40.017632510.0186983140.0120.64176910.022132870.0035
6.33.409352E-53.4715773E-51.0E-42.88053511.347123E-41.0E-41.461069E-41.487734E-42.0E-41.34432643.4874363E-42.0E-40.00177740.00180981280.00170.93932360.002109273.0E-40.017632510.0186983140.0120.64176910.022132870.0035
6.43.400795E-53.4608718E-51.0E-42.88944551.3460526E-41.0E-41.4574021E-41.4831465E-42.0E-41.34848453.48285E-42.0E-40.00177294280.00180423690.00170.94222660.00210369563.0E-40.0175886450.0186435020.0120.64365590.022078250.0035
6.53.341482E-53.3871227E-51.0E-42.95235821.3386784E-41.0E-41.4319851E-41.4515434E-42.0E-41.37784393.451253E-42.0E-40.00174204770.00176582280.00170.962724030.0020652933.0E-40.0172845460.0182657520.01110.60769460.0211127810.0029
6.63.3364955E-53.380861E-51.0E-42.95782611.3380522E-41.0E-41.4298483E-41.4488601E-42.0E-41.38039553.4485702E-42.0E-40.00173945010.00176256130.00170.96450550.00206203253.0E-40.0172589760.0182336810.01110.60876350.0210808030.0029
6.73.335922E-53.3798413E-51.0E-42.95871881.3379504E-41.0E-41.4296026E-41.4484231E-42.0E-41.3808123.4481334E-42.0E-40.00173915140.00176203010.00170.964796250.00206150143.0E-40.0172560350.0182284820.01110.608937140.0210756210.0029
6.83.327683E-53.369278E-51.0E-42.9679951.336894E-41.0E-41.4260718E-41.4438965E-42.0E-41.38514093.4436077E-42.0E-40.00173485970.00175652770.00170.96781850.00205600083.0E-40.0172137840.018174370.0110.60524790.0210216660.0029
6.93.3235785E-53.3633925E-51.0E-42.97318861.3363056E-41.0E-41.4243131E-41.4413743E-42.0E-41.38756473.4410862E-42.0E-40.00173272170.0017534620.00170.96951060.0020529363.0E-40.0171927340.0181443150.0110.60625050.0209916960.0029
7.03.3197095E-53.3574073E-51.0E-42.97848871.3357072E-41.0E-41.422655E-41.4388096E-42.0E-41.3900383.4385218E-42.0E-40.00173070630.00175034450.00170.971237360.00204981933.0E-40.0171728940.0181137830.0110.60727240.0209612510.0029
7.13.3129716E-53.345478E-51.0E-42.98910951.3345144E-41.0E-41.4197677E-41.4336975E-42.0E-41.39499443.433411E-42.0E-40.00172719660.00174413050.00170.97469770.00204360723.0E-40.0171383380.0180530660.0110.60931480.0209007110.0029
7.23.3034008E-53.3322613E-51.0E-43.00096541.3331928E-41.0E-41.4156665E-41.4280339E-42.0E-41.40052713.4277482E-42.0E-40.00172221110.00173724590.00170.97856030.0020367253.0E-40.0170892530.0179856180.0110.611599740.020833460.0029
7.33.2956614E-53.319111E-51.0E-43.0128551.3318779E-41.0E-41.4123498E-41.4223986E-42.0E-41.40607563.4221142E-42.0E-40.00171817960.00173039610.00160.92464380.0020298773.0E-40.0170495570.0179186850.01090.608303550.0207667220.0029
7.43.2915937E-53.3113418E-51.0E-43.0199241.3311011E-41.0E-41.4106068E-41.4190693E-42.0E-41.40937443.4187856E-42.0E-40.00171606080.00172634910.00160.92681140.00202583133.0E-40.0170286930.0178792250.01090.60964610.0207273760.0029
7.53.281791E-53.29793E-51.0E-43.03220491.32976E-41.0E-41.406406E-41.4133222E-42.0E-41.41510563.4130394E-42.0E-40.00171095420.00171936290.00160.93057720.00201884733.0E-40.0169784110.0178105530.01070.600767430.0206589030.0029
7.63.2521442E-53.270698E-51.0E-43.05745121.3270372E-41.0E-41.3937015E-41.4016526E-42.0E-41.42688723.4013722E-42.0E-40.00169551090.00170517750.00150.879673840.0020046663.0E-40.0168263280.0176694860.01030.582925860.0205182450.0029
7.73.0287873E-53.1210213E-51.0E-43.20407961.312071E-41.0E-41.297987E-41.337512E-42.0E-41.49531383.3372446E-42.0E-40.00157915370.00162720550.00120.73746060.00192671733.0E-40.015679790.0168899630.00950.562464240.0196426720.0028
7.82.6316151E-52.8470704E-51.0E-43.51238251.2846786E-41.0E-41.1277862E-41.22011596E-41.0E-40.81959422.2199939E-41.0E-40.00137221490.00148447990.0010.67363660.0016841832.0E-40.0136377240.0154559830.00870.562888860.0179173420.0025
7.92.0761147E-52.2380264E-51.0E-44.46822261.2237803E-41.0E-48.897331E-59.591189E-51.0E-41.04262351.959023E-41.0E-40.00108271170.00116710257.0E-40.59977590.00136686912.0E-40.0107745170.0122554580.00730.595652940.0144284960.0022
8.01.5738568E-51.5253041E-51.0E-46.556071.1525152E-41.0E-46.744926E-56.536854E-51.0E-41.52978791.65362E-41.0E-48.2088535E-47.95572E-46.0E-40.754174359.954129E-42.0E-40.0081785960.0084539730.00470.555951650.0098421370.0014
8.11.0105832E-57.877704E-61.0E-412.6940551.0787691E-41.0E-44.3309992E-53.3761153E-51.0E-42.96198421.3375777E-41.0E-45.2717153E-44.1096497E-44.0E-40.973318936.1088277E-42.0E-40.0052592270.00443263630.0030.67679810.00552776040.0011
8.24.189207E-61.444258E-60.00.01.444258E-60.01.7953622E-56.1896626E-60.00.06.1896626E-60.02.1856341E-47.535656E-51.0E-41.32702457.535656E-50.00.00218348588.795245E-47.0E-40.795884550.00107934862.0E-4
8.31.2758221E-63.2481879E-70.00.03.2481879E-70.05.4677976E-61.3920799E-60.00.01.3920799E-60.06.65684E-51.6948443E-50.00.01.6948443E-50.06.6548464E-42.058492E-42.0E-40.971585043.058286E-41.0E-4

Monterey Bay-Tularcitos

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0131365E-53.2767963E-50.00.03.2767963E-50.01.2912804E-41.4042716E-42.0E-41.42422592.4041311E-41.0E-40.0015710.0017084650.00140.8194490.00220761085.0E-40.0155994020.016964090.01190.70148180.020306410.0034
6.13.0131365E-53.2767963E-50.00.03.2767963E-50.01.2912804E-41.4042716E-42.0E-41.42422592.4041311E-41.0E-40.0015710.0017084650.00140.8194490.00220761085.0E-40.0155994020.016964090.01190.70148180.020306410.0034
6.23.0131365E-53.2767963E-50.00.03.2767963E-50.01.2912804E-41.4042716E-42.0E-41.42422592.4041311E-41.0E-40.0015710.0017084650.00140.8194490.00220761085.0E-40.0155994020.016964090.01190.70148180.020306410.0034
6.31.6998249E-51.8315357E-50.00.01.8315357E-50.07.28476E-57.8492136E-52.0E-42.5480261.7848429E-41.0E-48.865586E-49.552414E-49.0E-40.94217020.00125495483.0E-40.00883030050.0095132740.00690.725302340.0111971010.0017
6.41.6998249E-51.8315357E-50.00.01.8315357E-50.07.28476E-57.8492136E-52.0E-42.5480261.7848429E-41.0E-48.865586E-49.552414E-49.0E-40.94217020.00125495483.0E-40.00883030050.0095132740.00690.725302340.0111971010.0017
6.51.27470785E-51.3682275E-50.00.01.3682275E-50.05.4629192E-55.863706E-52.0E-43.41081211.586312E-41.0E-46.649074E-47.136827E-47.0E-40.980828050.00101346863.0E-40.00662921460.0071149580.00530.74490950.0082071310.0011
6.61.2739422E-51.3674364E-50.00.01.3674364E-50.05.4596385E-55.860316E-52.0E-43.41278531.585973E-41.0E-46.645082E-47.132702E-47.0E-40.981395240.00101305633.0E-40.00662524670.00711085970.00530.745338860.0082030380.0011
6.71.0160109E-51.0877216E-50.00.01.0877216E-50.04.35426E-54.6615845E-51.0E-42.14519331.4661119E-41.0E-45.300022E-45.674072E-44.0E-40.70496116.673504E-41.0E-40.0052873990.0056602950.00440.777344640.00645576658.0E-4
6.88.349859E-68.925659E-60.00.08.925659E-60.03.578462E-53.8252296E-51.0E-42.61422231.3824846E-41.0E-44.3559066E-44.6562782E-43.0E-40.64429145.6558126E-41.0E-40.0043473780.0046470860.00380.81771670.0053438337.0E-4
6.95.193639E-65.532197E-60.00.05.532197E-60.02.2258262E-52.3709219E-50.00.02.3709219E-50.02.7096065E-42.8862475E-41.0E-40.346470622.8862475E-40.00.00270630510.00288281940.00210.72845350.00318195463.0E-4
7.04.359381E-64.639791E-60.00.04.639791E-60.01.8682927E-51.9884685E-50.00.01.9884685E-50.02.274409E-42.420721E-40.00.02.420721E-40.00.00227208270.00241837650.00120.496200620.0026178932.0E-4
7.13.0398533E-63.2285054E-60.00.03.2285054E-60.01.3027877E-51.3836393E-50.00.01.3836393E-50.01.5860285E-41.6844769E-40.00.01.6844769E-40.00.0015848970.00168345739.0E-40.53461410.00178328891.0E-4
7.21.642335E-61.7319009E-60.00.01.7319009E-60.07.0385595E-67.4224226E-60.00.07.4224226E-60.08.569109E-59.036631E-50.00.09.036631E-50.08.5658056E-49.0349803E-47.0E-40.77476650.00100340761.0E-4
7.33.356842E-73.2920042E-70.00.03.2920042E-70.01.4386458E-61.4108582E-60.00.01.4108582E-60.01.7515373E-51.7177064E-50.00.01.7177064E-50.01.7513991E-41.7175746E-41.0E-40.58221631.7175746E-40.0
7.42.1973483E-72.0977869E-70.00.02.0977869E-70.09.417204E-78.990512E-70.00.08.990512E-70.01.1465385E-51.0945894E-50.00.01.0945894E-50.01.1464794E-41.09453584E-41.0E-40.91362931.09453584E-40.0
7.51.1944135E-71.0671424E-70.00.01.0671424E-70.05.118914E-74.5734666E-70.00.04.5734666E-70.06.23226E-65.5681817E-60.00.05.5681817E-60.06.2320854E-55.5680433E-51.0E-41.7959635.5680433E-50.0
7.64.636058E-83.317159E-80.00.03.317159E-80.01.9868818E-71.4216396E-70.00.01.4216396E-70.02.419026E-61.7308448E-60.00.01.7308448E-60.02.4189996E-51.7308315E-51.0E-45.777571.7308315E-50.0
7.71.8588572E-87.884243E-90.00.07.884243E-90.07.9665305E-83.3789608E-80.00.03.3789608E-80.09.699246E-74.1138838E-70.00.04.1138838E-70.09.699204E-64.1138765E-60.00.04.1138765E-60.0
7.82.7960154E-97.415153E-100.00.07.415153E-100.01.1982923E-83.177922E-90.00.03.177922E-90.01.4589209E-73.86912E-80.00.03.86912E-80.01.4589199E-63.8691198E-70.00.03.8691198E-70.0

Hunter Mountain-Saline Valley

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5103672E-55.4413267E-50.00.05.4413267E-50.01.9328714E-42.3317964E-40.00.02.3317964E-40.00.0023507310.0028354410.00170.5995540.0033340235.0E-40.0232601950.028013850.01580.564006750.0311242060.0032
6.14.5103672E-55.4413267E-50.00.05.4413267E-50.01.9328714E-42.3317964E-40.00.02.3317964E-40.00.0023507310.0028354410.00170.5995540.0033340235.0E-40.0232601950.028013850.01580.564006750.0311242060.0032
6.23.9363465E-54.6930167E-50.00.04.6930167E-50.01.6868966E-42.0111441E-40.00.02.0111441E-40.00.0020518620.0024459530.00140.572374050.00274521933.0E-40.0203301960.024206840.01390.574217860.026841480.0027
6.33.9363465E-54.6930167E-50.00.04.6930167E-50.01.6868966E-42.0111441E-40.00.02.0111441E-40.00.0020518620.0024459530.00140.572374050.00274521933.0E-40.0203301960.024206840.01390.574217860.026841480.0027
6.43.2311684E-53.784555E-50.00.03.784555E-50.01.384713E-41.621855E-40.00.01.621855E-40.00.00168458430.00197288860.00120.60824520.00227229673.0E-40.0167187140.0195631870.01150.587838770.0219162350.0024
6.53.2311684E-53.784555E-50.00.03.784555E-50.01.384713E-41.621855E-40.00.01.621855E-40.00.00168458430.00197288860.00120.60824520.00227229673.0E-40.0167187140.0195631870.01150.587838770.0219162350.0024
6.62.9305844E-53.408624E-50.00.03.408624E-50.01.2559042E-41.4607605E-40.00.01.4607605E-40.00.00152799090.00177708660.00110.618990660.00207655343.0E-40.0151752720.0176373180.01070.60666820.0198967530.0023
6.72.7826512E-53.2253232E-50.00.03.2253232E-50.01.19251024E-41.3822115E-40.00.01.3822115E-40.00.00145091420.00168160359.0E-40.535203460.00188126722.0E-40.0144147760.0166971180.01020.61088390.0187620540.0021
6.82.3389874E-52.6789065E-50.00.02.6789065E-50.01.0023846E-41.14805494E-40.00.01.14805494E-40.00.001219720.00139690777.0E-40.501106860.00159662832.0E-40.012130470.0138881320.00760.54722980.0154659110.0016
6.92.069209E-52.3500012E-50.00.02.3500012E-50.08.867737E-51.00710655E-40.00.01.00710655E-40.00.00107911230.00122549857.0E-40.571196140.00142525332.0E-40.0107388710.0121930910.00680.55769290.013477240.0013
7.01.7462342E-51.9572502E-50.00.01.9572502E-50.07.483646E-58.387958E-50.00.08.387958E-50.09.1075303E-40.0010207787.0E-40.685751440.00122057392.0E-40.0090702950.010165190.00640.629599630.0113529920.0012
7.11.4807709E-51.6387437E-50.00.01.6387437E-50.06.3460066E-57.0230075E-50.00.07.0230075E-50.07.723524E-48.547322E-47.0E-40.818970.00105456122.0E-40.0076967350.00851810350.00550.645683650.0095095850.001
7.21.4180048E-51.564545E-50.00.01.564545E-50.06.077022E-56.70503E-50.00.06.70503E-50.07.396263E-48.160477E-47.0E-40.8577930.00101588462.0E-40.00737169430.0081341320.00540.663869260.0091259970.001
7.31.3730402E-51.5120152E-50.00.01.5120152E-50.05.8843252E-56.479913E-50.00.06.479913E-50.07.161811E-47.8865985E-47.0E-40.88758169.885022E-42.0E-40.0071387740.0078622120.00520.661391440.008854350.001
7.41.2810095E-51.4059342E-50.00.01.4059342E-50.05.489925E-56.025302E-50.00.06.025302E-50.06.681934E-47.3334936E-47.0E-40.954524649.332027E-42.0E-40.0066618780.00731285850.0050.683727150.0083055460.001
7.51.1595659E-51.275406E-50.00.01.275406E-50.04.9694736E-55.46592E-50.00.05.46592E-50.06.0486543E-46.652881E-46.0E-40.90186487.652216E-41.0E-40.0060322170.00663650970.00430.64793090.00733186447.0E-4
7.62.997694E-63.3143867E-60.00.03.3143867E-60.01.28471975E-51.4204477E-50.00.01.4204477E-50.01.564034E-41.7293303E-40.00.01.7293303E-40.00.00156293370.001730290.00120.69352540.0018301171.0E-4

San Jacinto (Anza) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.3015636E-54.1937816E-51.0E-42.38448261.4193362E-41.0E-42.7003905E-41.7972119E-41.0E-40.556417472.797032E-41.0E-40.00328276910.0021859210.00170.777704240.00258504674.0E-40.0323469680.022594130.01330.58864850.0258195680.0033
6.16.3015636E-54.1937816E-51.0E-42.38448261.4193362E-41.0E-42.7003905E-41.7972119E-41.0E-40.556417472.797032E-41.0E-40.00328276910.0021859210.00170.777704240.00258504674.0E-40.0323469680.022594130.01330.58864850.0258195680.0033
6.26.3015636E-54.1937816E-51.0E-42.38448261.4193362E-41.0E-42.7003905E-41.7972119E-41.0E-40.556417472.797032E-41.0E-40.00328276910.0021859210.00170.777704240.00258504674.0E-40.0323469680.022594130.01330.58864850.0258195680.0033
6.36.3015636E-54.1937816E-51.0E-42.38448261.4193362E-41.0E-42.7003905E-41.7972119E-41.0E-40.556417472.797032E-41.0E-40.00328276910.0021859210.00170.777704240.00258504674.0E-40.0323469680.022594130.01330.58864850.0258195680.0033
6.46.3015636E-54.1937816E-51.0E-42.38448261.4193362E-41.0E-42.7003905E-41.7972119E-41.0E-40.556417472.797032E-41.0E-40.00328276910.0021859210.00170.777704240.00258504674.0E-40.0323469680.022594130.01330.58864850.0258195680.0033
6.55.811017E-53.87847E-51.0E-42.57833621.3878082E-41.0E-42.4901982E-41.6620959E-41.0E-40.601652.6619298E-41.0E-40.00302760140.0020217290.00160.79140180.00232112243.0E-40.029866840.0209247750.0120.57348290.0236661860.0028
6.65.811017E-53.87847E-51.0E-42.57833621.3878082E-41.0E-42.4901982E-41.6620959E-41.0E-40.601652.6619298E-41.0E-40.00302760140.0020217290.00160.79140180.00232112243.0E-40.029866840.0209247750.0120.57348290.0236661860.0028
6.75.712442E-53.8221522E-51.0E-42.61632681.382177E-41.0E-42.4479596E-41.6379627E-41.0E-40.61051452.637799E-41.0E-40.00297631770.0019924010.00160.803051230.00229180323.0E-40.0293676930.0206237940.01180.572154640.0232681110.0027
6.85.6967532E-53.8080452E-51.0E-42.62601921.3807665E-41.0E-42.4412372E-41.6319177E-41.0E-40.612776042.6317543E-41.0E-40.00296815530.00198505450.00160.806023240.00228445883.0E-40.0292882290.020549240.01180.57423050.0231937560.0027
6.95.6211324E-53.7795686E-51.0E-42.64580461.3779191E-41.0E-42.4088343E-41.6197147E-41.0E-40.617392662.6195528E-41.0E-40.00292881160.00197022430.00150.76133460.00226963333.0E-40.0289051090.0203933420.01160.56881310.023038280.0027
7.05.4383527E-53.6687936E-51.0E-42.72569161.3668426E-41.0E-42.3305144E-41.5722455E-41.0E-40.636032942.5720883E-41.0E-40.00283370940.00191253310.00150.78430020.00221195933.0E-40.0279784650.0197965260.01130.57080720.0224430770.0027
7.15.1393665E-53.5196244E-51.0E-42.84121231.3519272E-41.0E-42.2023996E-41.5083235E-41.0E-40.662987772.5081728E-41.0E-40.00267812420.00183484110.00150.81750950.00213429083.0E-40.0264607820.0189918320.01070.56340010.0215424520.0026
7.24.785222E-53.3597305E-51.0E-42.97642921.3359395E-41.0E-42.0506482E-41.4398052E-41.0E-40.69453842.4396612E-41.0E-40.00249380550.00175155680.00140.7992890.00205103123.0E-40.0246600490.0181299540.01020.562604840.020584630.0025
7.34.2143256E-53.2723412E-51.0E-43.0559161.3272015E-41.0E-41.8060145E-41.4023567E-41.0E-40.71308532.4022165E-41.0E-40.0021966050.00170603550.00130.762000560.00190569432.0E-40.021750190.0176574570.00990.560669660.0199168440.0023
7.44.0264713E-53.2373166E-51.0E-43.08897831.3236993E-41.0E-41.7255165E-41.3873477E-41.0E-40.72079982.387209E-41.0E-40.0020987920.00168779050.00130.77023780.00188745292.0E-40.0207908040.0174682510.00990.56674250.0197280740.0023
7.53.694492E-53.111128E-51.0E-43.21426821.3110817E-41.0E-41.5832575E-41.3332727E-41.0E-40.750034152.3331393E-41.0E-40.00192591180.00162205380.00120.739802840.00182172942.0E-40.019093060.0167969730.00920.547717750.019058340.0023
7.63.200565E-52.8461809E-51.0E-43.513481.2845897E-41.0E-41.3715986E-41.2197349E-41.0E-40.819850272.219613E-41.0E-40.0016686420.00148401780.00120.80861560.0016837212.0E-40.016561680.0154023550.00850.55186370.0175684690.0022
7.72.731642E-52.5089785E-51.0E-43.98568581.2508727E-41.0E-41.1706512E-41.0752322E-41.0E-40.930031662.0751246E-41.0E-40.0014243360.001308310.0010.76434480.00150804842.0E-40.0141524120.0136426080.00720.52775830.0156153230.002
7.82.3466424E-52.254624E-51.0E-44.4353291.2254399E-41.0E-41.0056651E-49.6623175E-51.0E-41.03494851.9661352E-41.0E-40.00122370940.00117575319.0E-40.765466870.00137551792.0E-40.0121699280.0123067370.00660.53629160.0141833550.0019
7.91.8611925E-51.8046654E-51.0E-45.54119351.1804485E-41.0E-47.9762955E-57.734051E-51.0E-41.29298341.7733278E-41.0E-49.7068126E-49.412146E-46.0E-40.63747420.00114102642.0E-40.00966452250.0099408270.00550.553273860.0115249220.0016
8.01.5460775E-51.4976475E-51.0E-46.6771391.1497497E-41.0E-46.6258784E-56.418332E-51.0E-41.55803731.6417689E-41.0E-48.0640207E-47.8115234E-46.0E-40.7680969.809961E-42.0E-40.0080348210.0082993750.00440.53016040.0095885850.0013
8.19.983884E-67.822582E-61.0E-412.7835031.078218E-41.0E-44.2787375E-53.3524924E-51.0E-42.98285531.3352158E-41.0E-45.2081177E-44.0808998E-44.0E-40.9801766.0800835E-42.0E-40.00519592830.00439850660.00280.63657970.0053941080.001
8.24.1226E-61.4212799E-60.00.01.4212799E-60.01.7668166E-56.0911852E-60.00.06.0911852E-60.02.1508869E-47.415768E-51.0E-41.3484787.415768E-50.00.00214880648.64887E-46.0E-40.693732260.0010647142.0E-4
8.31.2750878E-63.245552E-70.00.03.245552E-70.05.4646503E-61.39095E-60.00.01.39095E-60.06.653009E-51.693469E-50.00.01.693469E-50.06.6510175E-42.0569154E-42.0E-40.972329743.0567095E-41.0E-4

Lenwood-Lockhart-Old Woman Springs

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.744542E-54.3915243E-50.00.04.3915243E-50.01.604705E-41.8819557E-40.00.01.8819557E-40.00.00195197760.0022890459.0E-40.39317710.0024885872.0E-40.0193492060.022672630.01140.502808870.025506880.0029
6.13.744542E-54.3915243E-50.00.04.3915243E-50.01.604705E-41.8819557E-40.00.01.8819557E-40.00.00195197760.0022890459.0E-40.39317710.0024885872.0E-40.0193492060.022672630.01140.502808870.025506880.0029
6.23.744542E-54.3915243E-50.00.04.3915243E-50.01.604705E-41.8819557E-40.00.01.8819557E-40.00.00195197760.0022890459.0E-40.39317710.0024885872.0E-40.0193492060.022672630.01140.502808870.025506880.0029
6.32.1079984E-52.5328589E-50.00.02.5328589E-50.09.0339665E-51.0854669E-40.00.01.0854669E-40.00.00109933040.00132077477.0E-40.5299920.00152051052.0E-40.0109390790.013131460.00680.51784030.0152038840.0021
6.42.1079984E-52.5328589E-50.00.02.5328589E-50.09.0339665E-51.0854669E-40.00.01.0854669E-40.00.00109933040.00132077477.0E-40.5299920.00152051052.0E-40.0109390790.013131460.00680.51784030.0152038840.0021
6.51.7397282E-52.0640626E-50.00.02.0640626E-50.07.455765E-58.8456894E-50.00.08.8456894E-50.09.073613E-40.00107644236.0E-40.55739170.00127622712.0E-40.0090366540.0107135740.00510.476031630.0121975040.0015
6.61.52050325E-51.765924E-50.00.01.765924E-50.06.51628E-57.5680306E-50.00.07.5680306E-50.07.9306826E-49.210261E-45.0E-40.54287280.0010209341.0E-40.0079024390.009172950.00440.47967120.0104610250.0013
6.71.332523E-51.5245194E-50.00.01.5245194E-50.05.7106878E-56.533494E-50.00.06.533494E-50.06.950544E-47.9516845E-44.0E-40.50303818.950889E-41.0E-40.0069288450.0079238610.00360.454323980.0089159370.001
6.81.1525329E-51.3013368E-50.00.01.3013368E-50.04.9393333E-55.5770404E-50.00.05.5770404E-50.06.011979E-46.7879737E-41.0E-40.147319366.7879737E-40.00.005995740.006767690.0030.44328270.0075622768.0E-4
6.91.0253909E-51.1497721E-50.00.01.1497721E-50.04.3944583E-54.9275037E-50.00.04.9275037E-50.05.3489394E-45.99762E-41.0E-40.166732795.99762E-40.00.00533608250.0059818120.00270.451368240.0066776257.0E-4
7.08.104563E-68.976321E-60.00.08.976321E-60.03.4733377E-53.8469392E-50.00.03.8469392E-50.04.2279682E-44.6826657E-41.0E-40.213553584.6826657E-40.00.00421993340.0046730460.00210.44938570.00507117674.0E-4
7.16.7986157E-67.501446E-60.00.07.501446E-60.02.91366E-53.214867E-50.00.03.214867E-50.03.5468035E-43.913419E-41.0E-40.255531043.913419E-40.00.0035411480.0039067430.0020.51193540.004305184.0E-4
7.25.6893327E-66.2681474E-60.00.06.2681474E-60.02.4382627E-52.6863223E-50.00.02.6863223E-50.02.9681803E-43.2701265E-41.0E-40.30579863.2701265E-40.00.0029642190.00326551220.00170.520592150.0036642064.0E-4
7.34.253348E-64.6957107E-60.00.04.6957107E-60.01.8228506E-52.012433E-50.00.02.012433E-50.02.2190946E-42.4498798E-40.00.02.4498798E-40.00.002216880.00244735930.00130.53118480.00284638024.0E-4
7.42.5448119E-62.8424663E-60.00.02.8424663E-60.01.0906291E-51.218195E-50.00.01.218195E-50.01.3277601E-41.483068E-40.00.01.483068E-40.00.0013269670.00148223970.00110.74212020.00188164684.0E-4
7.54.3706837E-84.5608147E-80.00.04.5608147E-80.01.8731501E-71.9546347E-70.00.01.9546347E-70.02.2805577E-62.3797656E-60.00.02.3797656E-60.02.2805343E-52.3797458E-50.00.02.3797458E-50.0

Oceanic - West Huasna

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.195567E-52.7896494E-50.00.02.7896494E-50.01.3694567E-41.19551165E-43.0E-42.50938581.19551165E-40.00.00166603840.00145460679.0E-40.6187240.00155446121.0E-40.0165360330.0144553980.01210.83705760.0171163680.0027
6.12.1156782E-51.755236E-50.00.01.755236E-50.09.066878E-57.5222284E-50.00.07.5222284E-50.00.00110333339.1545586E-45.0E-40.546175960.00101536431.0E-40.0109787130.0091178530.00530.58127720.0101087350.001
6.21.6195117E-51.3309846E-50.00.01.3309846E-50.06.9405796E-55.704096E-50.00.05.704096E-50.08.44688E-46.94255E-42.0E-40.288078587.9418556E-41.0E-40.0084148440.00692115440.00390.56348980.0078149259.0E-4
6.31.3559345E-51.1164041E-50.00.01.1164041E-50.05.811018E-54.7845017E-50.00.04.7845017E-50.07.072618E-45.8235833E-42.0E-40.343431146.8230013E-41.0E-40.00705015050.00580844050.00330.56813870.00660379378.0E-4
6.41.2120619E-59.987031E-60.00.09.987031E-60.05.1944477E-54.2800864E-50.00.04.2800864E-50.06.322405E-45.2097643E-41.0E-40.191947275.2097643E-40.00.0063044470.0051976180.00280.53870830.00559553884.0E-4
6.51.13511915E-59.354076E-60.00.09.354076E-60.04.8647056E-54.0088282E-50.00.04.0088282E-50.05.9211696E-44.8796597E-41.0E-40.204932324.8796597E-40.00.00590541730.0048690040.00270.554528240.0052670564.0E-4
6.69.850605E-68.122999E-60.00.08.122999E-60.04.2216197E-53.481239E-50.00.03.481239E-50.05.1386096E-44.2375864E-41.0E-40.235983394.2375864E-40.00.00512674360.0042295380.00230.54379460.00462784664.0E-4
6.78.8558645E-67.3066158E-60.00.07.3066158E-60.03.7953152E-53.131369E-50.00.03.131369E-50.04.6198163E-43.811777E-41.0E-40.262344843.811777E-40.00.0046102240.00380526410.0020.52558770.00410412253.0E-4
6.87.67136E-66.3804887E-60.00.06.3804887E-60.03.2876844E-52.7344664E-50.00.02.7344664E-50.04.0020206E-43.3287058E-41.0E-40.300417043.3287058E-40.00.0039948210.00332374080.00120.361038980.00362274383.0E-4
6.96.534529E-65.447591E-60.00.05.447591E-60.02.8004823E-52.334661E-50.00.02.334661E-50.03.4090536E-42.8420804E-41.0E-40.351854922.8420804E-40.00.00340382870.00283846249.0E-40.317073080.00313761063.0E-4
7.05.460525E-64.559767E-60.00.04.559767E-60.02.3402039E-51.9541714E-50.00.01.9541714E-50.02.8488258E-42.378945E-41.0E-40.42035442.378945E-40.00.00284517650.0023764127.0E-40.29456170.00267569933.0E-4
7.14.4825083E-63.744255E-60.00.03.744255E-60.01.9210609E-51.604671E-50.00.01.604671E-50.02.3386406E-41.9535127E-40.00.01.9535127E-40.00.0023361810.00195180736.0E-40.30740740.00225122183.0E-4
7.22.821708E-62.4217536E-60.00.02.4217536E-60.01.2092979E-51.03789025E-50.00.01.03789025E-50.01.4722206E-41.2635582E-40.00.01.2635582E-40.00.00147124570.00126284226.0E-40.475118730.00156246343.0E-4
7.32.0644757E-61.7660155E-60.00.01.7660155E-60.08.847723E-67.568616E-60.00.07.568616E-60.01.0771569E-49.214401E-50.00.09.214401E-50.00.0010766359.210598E-45.0E-40.54285290.00112087562.0E-4
7.41.6980367E-61.4354491E-60.00.01.4354491E-60.07.27728E-66.1519104E-60.00.06.1519104E-60.08.8597284E-57.489694E-50.00.07.489694E-50.08.8561967E-47.487186E-44.0E-40.53424618.486437E-41.0E-4
7.51.3637683E-61.1279529E-60.00.01.1279529E-60.05.844708E-64.834075E-60.00.04.834075E-60.07.1156996E-55.885327E-50.00.05.885327E-50.07.1134215E-45.883784E-44.0E-40.67983466.883196E-41.0E-4
7.69.802994E-77.6560275E-70.00.07.6560275E-70.04.2012766E-63.2811506E-60.00.03.2811506E-60.05.1149345E-53.9947277E-50.00.03.9947277E-50.05.113757E-43.9940243E-42.0E-40.50074813.9940243E-40.0
7.75.986191E-73.986794E-70.00.03.986794E-70.02.5655079E-61.7086248E-60.00.01.7086248E-60.03.1234613E-52.0802308E-50.00.02.0802308E-50.03.123022E-42.0800502E-42.0E-40.96151532.0800502E-40.0
7.82.9189815E-71.5152165E-70.00.01.5152165E-70.01.2509914E-66.493783E-70.00.06.493783E-70.01.5230714E-57.906152E-60.00.07.906152E-60.01.522967E-47.9060075E-51.0E-41.2648617.9060075E-50.0
7.91.2057845E-74.5461977E-80.00.04.5461977E-80.05.1676466E-71.9483704E-70.00.01.9483704E-70.06.2915915E-62.3721384E-60.00.02.3721384E-60.06.2914136E-52.3722485E-50.00.02.3722485E-50.0
8.03.3806387E-98.7480223E-100.00.08.7480223E-100.01.4488451E-83.749153E-90.00.03.749153E-90.01.7639688E-74.5645937E-80.00.04.5645937E-80.01.7639674E-64.57594E-70.00.04.57594E-70.0

McLean Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.7360222E-51.848891E-50.00.01.848891E-50.07.439883E-57.923606E-50.00.07.923606E-50.09.0542925E-49.643206E-45.0E-40.51849980.00116412772.0E-40.0090174910.0096061950.01121.16591430.0125773760.003
6.19.062689E-69.586339E-60.00.09.586339E-60.03.8839516E-54.108371E-50.00.04.108371E-50.04.727685E-45.0008827E-41.0E-40.19996475.0008827E-40.00.00471763960.00499051060.00460.921749350.0064830250.0015
6.29.062689E-69.586339E-60.00.09.586339E-60.03.8839516E-54.108371E-50.00.04.108371E-50.04.727685E-45.0008827E-41.0E-40.19996475.0008827E-40.00.00471763960.00499051060.00460.921749350.0064830250.0015
6.37.2575485E-67.663183E-60.00.07.663183E-60.03.110341E-53.284184E-50.00.03.284184E-50.03.786182E-43.9978314E-41.0E-40.25013563.9978314E-40.00.00377973750.00399134350.00411.02722310.00538575560.0014
6.47.2575485E-67.663183E-60.00.07.663183E-60.03.110341E-53.284184E-50.00.03.284184E-50.03.786182E-43.9978314E-41.0E-40.25013563.9978314E-40.00.00377973750.00399134350.00411.02722310.00538575560.0014
6.56.06582E-66.4001492E-60.00.06.4001492E-60.02.5996113E-52.742896E-50.00.02.742896E-50.03.164567E-43.339029E-41.0E-40.299488283.339029E-40.00.00316006430.00333464980.00361.07957360.00423164859.0E-4
6.65.598744E-65.9068275E-60.00.05.9068275E-60.02.3994397E-52.5314765E-50.00.02.5314765E-50.02.9209262E-43.0817007E-41.0E-40.324496153.0817007E-40.00.00291708970.00307805560.00341.10459340.0039752859.0E-4
6.75.246996E-65.5359405E-60.00.05.5359405E-60.02.2486933E-52.372528E-50.00.02.372528E-50.02.73744E-42.8882333E-41.0E-40.34623242.8882333E-40.00.00273407040.00288510280.00341.17846750.0037825069.0E-4
6.84.02324E-64.2444385E-60.00.04.2444385E-60.01.7242342E-51.8190356E-50.00.01.8190356E-50.02.099053E-42.2145103E-41.0E-40.45156712.2145103E-40.00.00209707140.00221288720.00291.31050520.00311089569.0E-4
6.96.835972E-77.1366145E-70.00.07.1366145E-70.02.9296991E-63.0585475E-60.00.03.0585475E-60.03.56685E-53.7237496E-50.00.03.7237496E-50.03.5662777E-43.7234378E-47.0E-41.8799836.7223207E-43.0E-4

Bear River fault zone

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.3773342E-52.69424E-50.00.02.69424E-50.01.0188177E-41.1546284E-41.0E-40.86607951.1546284E-40.00.00123970470.00140494680.00120.854124840.00180438494.0E-40.0123281160.0139700250.00910.651394670.0170267190.0031
6.12.3773342E-52.69424E-50.00.02.69424E-50.01.0188177E-41.1546284E-41.0E-40.86607951.1546284E-40.00.00123970470.00140494680.00120.854124840.00180438494.0E-40.0123281160.0139700250.00910.651394670.0170267190.0031
6.21.5973403E-51.8037237E-50.00.01.8037237E-50.06.845564E-57.730028E-51.0E-41.29365637.730028E-50.08.3312875E-49.407481E-48.0E-40.850387040.00114055992.0E-40.0083001220.0093700460.00620.6616830.0113513050.002
6.31.5973403E-51.8037237E-50.00.01.8037237E-50.06.845564E-57.730028E-51.0E-41.29365637.730028E-50.08.3312875E-49.407481E-48.0E-40.850387040.00114055992.0E-40.0083001220.0093700460.00620.6616830.0113513050.002
6.41.3027338E-51.4720553E-50.00.01.4720553E-50.05.5830256E-56.3086634E-51.0E-41.58512186.3086634E-50.06.7952136E-47.678229E-48.0E-41.0419079.6766936E-42.0E-40.00677447250.00765309760.00510.666396860.0094393220.0018
6.51.2489152E-51.4123917E-50.00.01.4123917E-50.05.352384E-56.0529746E-51.0E-41.65208036.0529746E-50.06.514579E-47.3671405E-48.0E-41.0859039.365667E-42.0E-40.00649551440.00734408940.00490.66720320.009130870.0018
6.61.1662849E-51.3209397E-50.00.01.3209397E-50.04.9982682E-55.661055E-51.0E-41.76645535.661055E-50.06.083692E-46.8902835E-48.0E-41.16105528.888905E-42.0E-40.0060670640.0068702170.00480.69866790.0086578510.0018
6.71.0667623E-51.2110522E-50.00.01.2110522E-50.04.5717585E-55.1901272E-51.0E-41.9267355.1901272E-50.05.5646943E-46.317266E-48.0E-41.26637078.316002E-42.0E-40.00555078030.0063004870.00430.682486950.0078904060.0016
6.89.154534E-61.0443577E-50.00.01.0443577E-50.03.923313E-54.475748E-51.0E-42.23426344.475748E-50.04.7755867E-45.447965E-48.0E-41.4684387.4468757E-42.0E-40.0047653370.0054356540.00390.717484950.0068280440.0014
6.97.68501E-68.831835E-60.00.08.831835E-60.03.2935342E-53.7850223E-50.00.03.7850223E-50.04.0091402E-44.6073832E-45.0E-41.08521476.606462E-42.0E-40.0040019150.004598750.00320.695841250.00589277180.0013
7.05.7315733E-66.69178E-60.00.06.69178E-60.02.4563653E-52.8678767E-50.00.02.8678767E-50.02.9902143E-43.491123E-44.0E-41.14576324.4907737E-41.0E-40.00298619390.00348605870.00260.7458280.00438292149.0E-4
7.15.566844E-66.5005743E-60.00.06.5005743E-60.02.3857683E-52.785933E-50.00.02.785933E-50.02.9042858E-43.3913882E-43.0E-40.884593554.391049E-41.0E-40.0029004930.00338663160.00250.73819660.00428358379.0E-4
7.24.011353E-64.6665573E-60.00.04.6665573E-60.01.7191402E-51.9999396E-50.00.01.9999396E-50.02.0928521E-42.4346886E-42.0E-40.821460252.4346886E-40.00.00209088230.00243235780.00150.61668560.00283138484.0E-4
7.32.0974871E-62.4354429E-60.00.02.4354429E-60.08.989199E-61.0437585E-50.00.01.0437585E-50.01.09438006E-41.2707268E-40.00.01.2707268E-40.00.00109384130.00127024466.0E-40.472350.00137011751.0E-4

Death Valley (So)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.0684236E-52.5566584E-50.00.02.5566584E-50.08.864371E-51.0956657E-40.00.01.0956657E-40.00.00107870290.00133317355.0E-40.375044970.00153290692.0E-40.0107348170.0132558230.00850.64122760.0162160560.003
6.12.0684236E-52.5566584E-50.00.02.5566584E-50.08.864371E-51.0956657E-40.00.01.0956657E-40.00.00107870290.00133317355.0E-40.375044970.00153290692.0E-40.0107348170.0132558230.00850.64122760.0162160560.003
6.22.0684236E-52.5566584E-50.00.02.5566584E-50.08.864371E-51.0956657E-40.00.01.0956657E-40.00.00107870290.00133317355.0E-40.375044970.00153290692.0E-40.0107348170.0132558230.00850.64122760.0162160560.003
6.32.0240292E-52.5067327E-50.00.02.5067327E-50.08.6741224E-51.0742708E-40.00.01.0742708E-40.00.00105556260.00130715655.0E-40.382509650.00150689512.0E-40.0105056280.0129987160.00810.62313850.015959720.003
6.42.0240292E-52.5067327E-50.00.02.5067327E-50.08.6741224E-51.0742708E-40.00.01.0742708E-40.00.00105556260.00130715655.0E-40.382509650.00150689512.0E-40.0105056280.0129987160.00810.62313850.015959720.003
6.51.9962767E-52.475697E-50.00.02.475697E-50.08.55519E-51.06097075E-40.00.01.06097075E-40.00.00104109680.0012909835.0E-40.387301740.00149072492.0E-40.0103623270.0128388580.0080.62310840.0157016250.0029
6.61.8937297E-52.3263085E-50.00.02.3263085E-50.08.115732E-59.96952E-50.00.09.96952E-50.09.876423E-40.00121312765.0E-40.412157770.0014128852.0E-40.0098326450.01206870.00780.646299960.0149337010.0029
6.71.8621096E-52.2864237E-50.00.02.2864237E-50.07.980225E-59.798598E-50.00.09.798598E-50.09.711593E-40.00119234095.0E-40.419343140.00139210252.0E-40.0096692610.0118630780.00780.65750220.0147286760.0029
6.81.7830353E-52.1761223E-50.00.02.1761223E-50.07.641356E-59.325913E-50.00.09.325913E-50.09.29938E-40.00113485244.0E-40.352468730.00133462552.0E-40.0092605610.0112931590.00720.63755410.0139626670.0027
6.91.3135183E-51.5278363E-50.00.01.5278363E-50.05.6292425E-56.547709E-50.00.06.547709E-50.06.8514474E-47.968985E-43.0E-40.37645958.968188E-41.0E-40.0068303620.0079418120.00490.616987650.0098267230.0019
7.01.1507512E-51.3134225E-50.00.01.3134225E-50.04.9316975E-55.6288354E-50.00.05.6288354E-50.06.002687E-46.8510097E-43.0E-40.437891667.8503246E-41.0E-40.00598649870.00683096560.00420.61484720.0084200360.0016
7.19.715903E-61.0850871E-50.00.01.0850871E-50.04.1638916E-54.6502926E-50.00.04.6502926E-50.05.068359E-45.660303E-42.0E-40.353337976.659737E-41.0E-40.00505681480.00564622460.00330.58446140.00674001360.0011
7.29.233269E-61.0273522E-50.00.01.0273522E-50.03.9570554E-54.4028664E-50.00.04.4028664E-50.04.81665E-45.359213E-42.0E-40.37318916.3586776E-41.0E-40.00480622330.00534671960.00290.54238870.00624190749.0E-4
7.38.8041315E-69.79644E-60.00.09.79644E-60.03.7731446E-54.1984094E-50.00.04.1984094E-50.04.592835E-45.110407E-42.0E-40.39135836.109895E-41.0E-40.00458335460.005099080.00290.568730060.0059944919.0E-4
7.48.708749E-69.6955155E-60.00.09.6955155E-60.03.7322676E-54.155157E-50.00.04.155157E-50.04.5430884E-45.0577713E-42.0E-40.395431076.0572656E-41.0E-40.0045338120.0050466850.00290.57463460.00594214359.0E-4
7.58.612678E-69.593229E-60.00.09.593229E-60.03.6910955E-54.1113217E-50.00.04.1113217E-50.04.492982E-45.0044263E-42.0E-40.39964626.003926E-41.0E-40.0044839090.0049935810.00290.58074550.0058890879.0E-4
7.68.319024E-69.272643E-60.00.09.272643E-60.03.5652476E-53.973932E-50.00.03.973932E-50.04.3398244E-44.8372298E-42.0E-40.413459785.8367464E-41.0E-40.00433135870.00482712360.00280.58005560.0057227799.0E-4
7.77.4718328E-68.334961E-60.00.08.334961E-60.03.2021748E-53.5720797E-50.00.03.5720797E-50.03.8979502E-44.3481795E-42.0E-40.45996265.347745E-41.0E-40.003891120.0043400760.00270.622108940.005236179.0E-4
7.83.4586725E-73.6461634E-70.00.03.6461634E-70.01.4822873E-61.5626406E-60.00.01.5626406E-60.01.80467E-51.9024988E-50.00.01.9024988E-50.01.8045233E-41.9023403E-41.0E-40.52566831.9023403E-40.0
7.92.5591178E-92.6684681E-90.00.02.6684681E-90.01.0967647E-81.1436292E-80.00.01.1436292E-80.01.335311E-71.3923685E-70.00.01.3923685E-70.01.3353102E-61.3923685E-60.00.01.3923685E-60.0

San Jacinto (Borrego)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.543992E-52.7247179E-51.0E-43.67010471.2724445E-41.0E-41.5187653E-41.1676846E-42.0E-41.71279132.1675679E-41.0E-40.00184752840.00142074070.00110.7742440.00182017244.0E-40.0183224360.0145160870.00890.613112870.017472540.003
6.13.542281E-52.7247179E-51.0E-43.67010471.2724445E-41.0E-41.5180321E-41.1676846E-42.0E-41.71279132.1675679E-41.0E-40.00184663720.00142074070.00110.7742440.00182017244.0E-40.0183136720.0145160870.00890.613112870.017472540.003
6.23.4688688E-52.7247179E-51.0E-43.67010471.2724445E-41.0E-41.4865733E-41.1676846E-42.0E-41.71279132.1675679E-41.0E-40.00180840050.00142074070.00110.7742440.00182017244.0E-40.0179375480.0145160870.00890.613112870.017472540.003
6.33.2087122E-52.7092876E-51.0E-43.69100711.2709017E-41.0E-41.3750899E-41.1610723E-42.0E-41.72254572.1609562E-41.0E-40.00167288620.00141270060.00110.778650460.00181213564.0E-40.0166034880.0144373890.00890.616454960.0173940770.003
6.43.1828724E-52.705998E-51.0E-43.69549421.2705727E-41.0E-41.364017E-41.1596626E-42.0E-41.72463972.1595466E-41.0E-40.00165942540.00141098650.00110.77959640.0018104224.0E-40.0164708850.0144206390.00890.6171710.0173773770.003
6.53.1563577E-52.6800688E-51.0E-43.73124741.2679801E-41.0E-41.3526545E-41.148551E-42.0E-41.74132442.1484362E-41.0E-40.00164561280.00139747560.00110.78713360.00179691664.0E-40.01633480.0142871610.00870.608938340.0171457270.0029
6.63.1467625E-52.6645346E-51.0E-43.75300051.2664268E-41.0E-41.3485427E-41.1418941E-42.0E-41.75147592.1417798E-41.0E-40.00164061420.00138938110.00110.79171940.00178882544.0E-40.0162855480.0142076990.00870.6123440.0170664970.0029
6.73.1223695E-52.6265376E-51.0E-43.80729371.2626275E-41.0E-41.3380898E-41.125611E-42.0E-41.77681272.1254984E-41.0E-40.00162790680.00136958160.00110.803164960.00176903374.0E-40.016160330.0140132370.00870.620841560.0168725980.0029
6.83.1015585E-52.6088208E-51.0E-43.83314941.260856E-41.0E-41.3291716E-41.1180188E-42.0E-41.78887872.117907E-41.0E-40.0016170650.00136034960.00110.80861570.00175980554.0E-40.0160534870.0139213970.00860.61775410.0166824160.0028
6.92.6641965E-52.1587382E-51.0E-44.63233571.21585224E-41.0E-41.1417485E-49.251409E-52.0E-42.16183281.9250484E-41.0E-40.00138919240.00112578099.0E-40.79944510.00132555572.0E-40.01380540150.0115703840.00670.57906460.0135472430.002
7.02.3854353E-51.9918738E-51.0E-45.02039861.19916745E-41.0E-41.02228936E-48.536324E-51.0E-41.17146441.853547E-41.0E-40.00124392660.00103880447.0E-40.67385160.00113870051.0E-40.0123698660.0106895010.00590.55194350.0122723980.0016
7.12.3672901E-51.9756502E-51.0E-45.06162451.1975453E-41.0E-41.0145135E-48.466799E-51.0E-41.18108381.8465953E-41.0E-40.00123447020.00103034787.0E-40.679382260.00113024481.0E-40.01227635050.0106053480.00560.528035460.012188380.0016
7.22.2717244E-51.8992536E-51.0E-45.26522641.1899064E-41.0E-49.735599E-58.139406E-51.0E-41.2285911.8138591E-41.0E-40.00118466469.905243E-46.0E-40.60573980.00109042531.0E-40.011783690.0102070920.00550.5388410.0117907610.0016
7.32.1016205E-51.784509E-51.0E-45.6037821.1784331E-41.0E-49.006634E-57.6476725E-51.0E-41.30758741.7646908E-41.0E-40.0010960069.3070837E-46.0E-40.644670250.00103061531.0E-40.0109061630.0096083090.00530.55160590.0110938970.0015
7.42.0683625E-51.7649298E-51.0E-45.66594741.17647534E-41.0E-48.86411E-57.563767E-51.0E-41.32209251.756301E-41.0E-40.0010786719.2050154E-46.0E-40.65181860.00102040951.0E-40.0107345010.0095058890.00530.55754910.010991630.0015
7.51.9993966E-51.7249082E-51.0E-45.797411.1724736E-41.0E-48.568561E-57.392256E-51.0E-41.35276711.7391516E-41.0E-40.0010427238.996374E-45.0E-40.555779469.995474E-41.0E-40.0103784380.0092952280.00510.54866860.0107812850.0015
7.61.788966E-51.591599E-51.0E-46.282991.159144E-41.0E-47.666772E-56.820961E-51.0E-41.46606911.682028E-41.0E-49.3302975E-48.301373E-45.0E-40.602319.300543E-41.0E-40.009291220.0085940180.00490.570163970.0100811280.0015
7.71.5125781E-51.374054E-51.0E-47.27773431.1373917E-41.0E-46.4823165E-55.8886704E-51.0E-41.69817611.5888082E-41.0E-47.889362E-47.167105E-45.0E-40.69763178.166389E-41.0E-40.0078614120.0074530660.00420.56352650.00874337650.0013
7.81.250089E-51.2154955E-51.0E-48.22709751.1215374E-41.0E-45.3574146E-55.2091626E-51.0E-41.91969431.5208642E-41.0E-46.5207E-46.340316E-45.0E-40.788604267.3396816E-41.0E-40.0065015990.00661744880.0040.604462560.0079088460.0013
7.99.561E-69.333654E-61.0E-410.7139181.0933272E-41.0E-44.0975072E-54.0000763E-51.0E-42.49995231.3999676E-41.0E-44.987573E-44.8690097E-43.0E-40.616141745.8685226E-41.0E-40.00497639370.0051300660.00320.623773630.0062244230.0011
8.08.01699E-67.909673E-61.0E-412.6427491.0790888E-41.0E-43.4358076E-53.389816E-51.0E-42.95001271.3389476E-41.0E-44.1822926E-44.1263242E-43.0E-40.727039345.1259116E-41.0E-40.00417443040.0043703120.00270.61780480.0052663799.0E-4
8.16.541947E-66.1497162E-61.0E-416.2609121.061491E-41.0E-42.8036617E-52.6355663E-51.0E-43.7942511.2635303E-41.0E-43.4129233E-43.208334E-43.0E-40.935064734.2080134E-41.0E-40.00340768650.0034145870.00230.673580770.0042118558.0E-4
8.21.7968189E-67.389951E-70.00.07.389951E-70.07.70063E-63.167118E-60.00.03.167118E-60.09.3751136E-53.8559E-51.0E-42.59342843.8559E-50.09.371159E-44.385441E-44.0E-40.91210895.3850026E-41.0E-4
8.31.5167889E-74.4875055E-80.00.04.4875055E-80.06.500522E-71.9232165E-70.00.01.9232165E-70.07.9143565E-62.341514E-60.00.02.341514E-60.07.914075E-52.7336682E-50.00.02.7336682E-50.0

Santa Susana East (connector)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 m