Start 2012, 500 yr, kCOV=1.16, Spontaneous, Historical Catalog Results

Start 2012, 500 yr, kCOV=1.16, Spontaneous, Historical Catalog
Num Simulations1000
Start Time2012/01/01 00:00:00 UTC
Start Time Epoch Milliseconds1325376000000
Duration500 Years
Includes Spontaneous?true
Trigger Ruptures(none)
Historical Ruptures60366 Trigger Ruptures
First: M7.3 at 1852/01/05 04:40:39 UTC
Last: M3.2 at 2011/12/31 19:14:44 UTC
Largest: M7.9 at 1857/01/09 16:25:39 UTC
Config Generated Withu3etas_config_builder.sh --start-year 2012 --num-simulations 1000 --duration-years 500 --include-spontaneous --historical-catalog --etas-k-cov 1.16 --hpc-site USC_HPC --nodes 36 --hours 24 --queue scec

Table Of Contents

Magnitude Frequency Distribution

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Legend

MFD Plot

MagMean2.5 %ile97.5 %ileMedianModeLong-Term Fault System Solution500 yr Probability500 yr Prob 95% Conf500 yr Supra-Seis Prob
M≥57.8146.7149.4907.7027.7988.6091.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥5.16.1805.3087.5086.0986.2306.8301.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥5.24.8814.2125.8644.8204.6585.4171.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥5.33.8493.3284.6263.7983.9024.2951.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥5.43.0292.6103.6762.9842.8163.4041.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥5.52.3762.0482.8642.3502.3542.6961.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥5.61.8601.6022.2601.8341.7902.1331.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥5.71.4501.2501.7481.4341.4221.6861.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥5.81.1240.9601.3461.1121.1381.3311.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥5.90.8550.7341.0120.8440.8341.0361.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥60.6750.5800.7980.6680.6340.8361.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥6.10.5190.4420.6180.5160.5240.6601.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥6.20.4090.3460.4880.4060.4160.5291.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥6.30.3220.2680.3860.3200.3200.4201.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥6.40.2530.2120.3040.2520.2580.3321.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥6.50.1960.1580.2380.1940.1880.2601.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥6.60.1520.1200.1880.1520.1500.2051.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥6.70.1180.0920.1480.1180.1120.1601.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥6.80.0930.0700.1200.0940.0960.1271.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥6.90.0730.0520.0940.0720.0700.1001.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥70.0570.0380.0760.0560.0520.0781.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥7.10.0440.0280.0600.0440.0400.0601.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥7.20.0330.0220.0480.0340.0340.0451.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥7.30.0260.0160.0380.0260.0240.0351.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥7.40.0200.0120.0300.0200.0200.0271.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥7.50.0158.00E-30.0220.0140.0140.0191.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥7.60.0116.00E-30.0180.0100.0100.0141.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥7.77.79E-32.00E-30.0148.00E-38.00E-39.58E-30.999 (99.90%)[99.35% 99.99%]0.999 (99.90%)
M≥7.85.45E-32.00E-30.0106.00E-36.00E-36.19E-30.995 (99.50%)[98.77% 99.82%]0.995 (99.50%)
M≥7.93.04E-30.0006.00E-32.00E-32.00E-33.51E-30.875 (87.50%)[85.25% 89.45%]0.875 (87.50%)
M≥81.71E-30.0004.00E-32.00E-32.00E-32.03E-30.653 (65.30%)[62.25% 68.24%]0.653 (65.30%)
M≥8.17.94E-40.0004.00E-30.0000.0001.02E-30.361 (36.10%)[33.13% 39.18%]0.361 (36.10%)
M≥8.23.48E-40.0002.00E-30.0000.0004.48E-40.169 (16.90%)[14.66% 19.40%]0.169 (16.90%)
M≥8.36.60E-50.0002.00E-30.0000.0001.02E-40.033 (3.30%)[2.32% 4.66%]0.033 (3.30%)
M≥8.40.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.48%]0.000 (0.00%)
M≥8.50.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.48%]0.000 (0.00%)
M≥8.60.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.48%]0.000 (0.00%)
M≥8.70.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.48%]0.000 (0.00%)
M≥8.80.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.48%]0.000 (0.00%)
M≥8.90.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.48%]0.000 (0.00%)
M≥90.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.48%]0.000 (0.00%)

Long Term Rate Variability

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162 Year Variability

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Fixed Time Plot

Download CSV Here

MagnitudeMeanMedianModeStd. Dev.2.5 %-ile16 %-ile84 %-ile97.5 %-ile
5.07.81959067.60493857.42592571.20015426.17901236.80246938.79012310.641975
5.16.18422846.01851845.7716050.94624834.87037045.3765436.956798.37037
5.24.88401654.7592594.543210.744560963.81481484.24691345.49382736.611111
5.33.85185383.75308633.73456790.58584463.01851843.33333334.33333355.234568
5.43.03125522.96296292.8518520.458706652.3518522.62962963.40123464.0864196
5.52.37829832.32716062.32716060.357830731.8456792.06790112.67283943.191358
5.61.86117281.82098771.80246910.277901621.43209871.61111122.09259252.4876542
5.71.45098351.4259261.3456790.213117361.11728391.25925921.62962961.925926
5.81.12468521.10493831.05555560.162639360.85185190.975308661.27160491.4814814
5.90.85531690.8456790.808641970.123431920.64814810.74074070.96913581.1234568
6.00.67580660.66666670.66666670.0980872660.506172840.58024690.771604960.88271606
6.10.519244850.51234570.51234570.078259840.382716060.444444450.59259260.69135803
6.20.409489720.40740740.401234570.063155450.29629630.345679010.46913580.54320985
6.30.322604920.320987640.320987640.051968190.228395060.271604930.376543220.43209878
6.40.253347720.253086420.253086420.043890030.172839510.209876540.29629630.34567901
6.50.195744860.191358030.197530870.037111550.129629630.160493820.23456790.27160493
6.60.15243210.154320990.160493820.031325940.092592590.123456790.185185180.21604939
6.70.118333330.117283950.117283950.0268969370.067901230.092592590.141975310.17283951
6.80.093430040.092592590.098765430.0232588520.0493827160.067901230.117283950.14197531
6.90.073078190.0740740750.0740740750.0203749870.0370370370.0555555560.092592590.11728395
7.00.0570617280.0555555560.0493827160.0178770160.0246913580.0370370370.0740740750.09259259
7.10.043627570.0432098770.0370370370.0153716780.0185185190.0308641980.0617283960.074074075
7.20.0331666660.0308641980.0308641980.0128606350.0123456790.0185185190.0432098770.061728396
7.30.026094650.0246913580.0246913580.0110285860.00617283960.0123456790.0370370370.049382716
7.40.020137860.0185185190.0185185190.0094243680.00617283960.0123456790.0308641980.043209877
7.50.0145637860.0123456790.0123456790.00773471730.00.00617283960.0246913580.030864198
7.60.0110555550.0123456790.0123456790.0064947580.00.00617283960.0185185190.024691358
7.70.00781069980.00617283960.00617283960.0053690120.00.00.0123456790.018518519
7.80.00547530870.00617283960.00617283960.0044672720.00.00.0123456790.012345679
7.90.00305967080.00.00.00356438430.00.00.00617283960.012345679
8.00.00171399170.00.00.00284646730.00.00.00617283960.0061728396
8.17.942387E-40.00.00.00207333760.00.00.00.0061728396
8.23.477366E-40.00.00.00142347360.00.00.00.0061728396
8.36.378601E-50.00.06.243413E-40.00.00.00.0
8.40.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.50.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.60.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.70.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.80.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.90.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
9.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

80 Year Variability

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Fixed Time Plot

Download CSV Here

MagnitudeMeanMedianModeStd. Dev.2.5 %-ile16 %-ile84 %-ile97.5 %-ile
5.07.82038977.57.4251.70453355.6756.459.111.8375
5.16.1850065.93755.5251.34504274.46255.08757.29.3125
5.24.8845084.74.46251.05899483.54.01255.68757.3375
5.33.85233333.73.50.8347052.73753.154.48755.7625
5.43.03153132.9252.8250.65372222.152.48753.53754.525
5.52.37869572.32.1750.510743861.6751.93752.78753.5375
5.61.861651.81251.750.39519181.28751.51252.1752.7625
5.71.45144581.41251.33750.30320810.98751.1751.72.125
5.81.12526051.11.1250.231707320.76250.91251.3251.6375
5.90.85572290.83750.7750.176757630.56250.68751.01251.2375
6.00.67610.66250.63750.140072080.43750.550.80.9875
6.10.51948750.51250.5250.1124645840.3250.41250.6250.7625
6.20.4097750.40.41250.092286260.250.3250.50.6
6.30.322910430.3250.3250.0769562940.18750.250.40.4875
6.40.25361250.250.23750.065551030.13750.18750.31250.3875
6.50.1959250.18750.18750.0555704570.10.13750.250.3125
6.60.152606250.150.150.047099840.06250.11250.20.25
6.70.1184458360.11250.10.0404186770.050.0750.16250.2
6.80.093495830.08750.08750.0351215940.03750.06250.1250.1625
6.90.073120830.0750.06250.0305702670.0250.03750.10.1375
7.00.0570770840.050.050.0267298910.01250.0250.08750.1125
7.10.0436291660.03750.03750.0230888520.00.0250.06250.1
7.20.033160420.0250.0250.019644180.00.01250.050.075
7.30.026106250.0250.0250.0169372630.00.01250.03750.0625
7.40.020131250.01250.01250.0146238490.00.00.03750.05
7.50.0145645830.01250.01250.01227111650.00.00.0250.0375
7.60.011050.01250.01250.0104107790.00.00.0250.0375
7.70.00781041660.01250.00.0086737470.00.00.01250.025
7.80.00547291660.00.00.0072225520.00.00.01250.025
7.90.00305833340.00.00.0056065220.00.00.01250.0125
8.00.001706250.00.00.0043160480.00.00.00.0125
8.17.916667E-40.00.00.0030447730.00.00.00.0125
8.23.5E-40.00.00.0020623310.00.00.00.0125
8.36.4583335E-50.00.08.9624466E-40.00.00.00.0
8.40.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.50.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.60.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.70.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.80.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.90.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
9.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

28 Year Variability

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Fixed Time Plot

Download CSV Here

MagnitudeMeanMedianModeStd. Dev.2.5 %-ile16 %-ile84 %-ile97.5 %-ile
5.07.8218157.1785716.2142862.74588374.9642865.8571439.53571414.535714
5.16.1857775.7142865.1785712.16915253.8571434.6071437.57142911.5
5.24.884964.5357144.0714291.70847323.03.6428576.09.035714
5.33.85253.57142853.3928571.34643532.32142852.8571434.757.071429
5.43.03163242.82142852.6428571.05745211.78571432.21428563.755.571429
5.52.37888652.21428562.03571440.82807491.35714281.71428572.96428564.357143
5.61.86170381.751.57142850.64329921.03571431.35714282.32142853.357143
5.71.45133831.35714281.32142850.494965260.785714271.03571431.82142852.5714285
5.81.12519541.07142851.00.38072690.57142860.785714271.42857152.0
5.90.85580880.82142860.785714270.29266320.428571430.607142871.10714281.5357143
6.00.67617860.642857130.607142870.233687090.321428570.46428570.892857131.2142857
6.10.51956510.50.46428570.187973260.214285720.357142870.67857140.96428573
6.20.4097920.392857130.357142870.155530690.142857150.250.57142860.75
6.30.322926460.321428570.250.130554970.107142860.214285720.46428570.60714287
6.40.253577740.250.214285720.111394670.0714285750.142857150.357142870.5
6.50.195871840.178571430.178571430.094596220.0357142870.107142860.28571430.39285713
6.60.152571420.142857150.107142860.081014080.0357142870.0714285750.214285720.32142857
6.70.118422270.107142860.107142860.070170220.00.0357142870.178571430.2857143
6.80.0934642850.0714285750.0714285750.0618057360.00.0357142870.142857150.25
6.90.0730840340.0714285750.0357142870.0539021680.00.0357142870.107142860.17857143
7.00.0570672270.0357142870.0357142870.047228780.00.00.107142860.17857143
7.10.043602940.0357142870.0357142870.0410023220.00.00.0714285750.14285715
7.20.0331323520.0357142870.00.035184220.00.00.0714285750.10714286
7.30.0260924360.0357142870.00.030664940.00.00.0714285750.10714286
7.40.020126050.00.00.0266304240.00.00.0357142870.071428575
7.50.014550420.00.00.0224287940.00.00.0357142870.071428575
7.60.011050420.00.00.0192693380.00.00.0357142870.071428575
7.70.0078109240.00.00.0161053670.00.00.0357142870.035714287
7.80.00547899170.00.00.0133912260.00.00.00.035714287
7.90.00306722680.00.00.0101411570.00.00.00.035714287
8.00.00170588240.00.00.00763661460.00.00.00.035714287
8.17.9411763E-40.00.00.0052661520.00.00.00.0
8.23.5084033E-40.00.00.00352244990.00.00.00.0
8.36.302521E-50.00.00.00149901980.00.00.00.0
8.40.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.50.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.60.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.70.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.80.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.90.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
9.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Variability Duration Dependence

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Duration Dependence Plot

Download CSV Here

Duration (years)MeanMedianModeStd. Dev.2.5 %-ile16 %-ile84 %-ile97.5 %-ile
1.07.814246.05.011.1230181.03.011.025.0
4.07.814246.55.756.35056073.04.510.021.0
8.07.8163796.755.6254.7532663.8755.09.87518.5
12.07.81765846.91666655.754.00358534.255.33333359.83333317.083334
16.07.8163797.06.3753.54158974.55.59.7516.125
20.07.814247.16.553.20018274.75.659.6515.4
24.07.82038977.1256.29166652.96871834.83333355.79166659.58333314.791667
28.07.8218157.1785716.2142862.74588374.9642865.8571439.53571414.535714
32.07.82038977.218756.343752.6181065.031255.906259.4687514.125
36.07.8171737.27777776.52.45193275.1388896.09.41666713.805555
40.07.82038977.37.052.34976465.2256.059.413.475
44.07.8187197.3409096.70454552.25125225.27272756.11363659.38636413.181818
48.07.82038977.3757.02.15867925.35416656.16666659.29166713.125
52.07.8171737.36538466.80769252.08941725.36538466.21153839.28846212.769231
56.07.82737737.4285716.9285712.01615745.4821436.259.26785812.607142
60.07.82038977.41666657.2333331.94662055.4833336.39.212.466666
64.07.82737737.4531256.7031251.90958495.56256.31259.20312512.296875
68.07.8218157.45588256.98529431.83106325.55882366.3529419.19117612.279411
72.07.8326257.45833356.751.80867495.6256.3888899.15277812.125
76.07.82119757.47368437.3684211.73242135.65789466.43421039.11842111.960526
80.07.82038977.57.4251.70453355.6756.459.111.8375
84.07.84232147.52380947.22619061.69339675.7142866.47619069.10714211.916667
88.07.82941347.52272757.57954551.64497925.72727256.51136359.09090911.568182
92.07.8206357.5217397.751.60795255.79347856.53260859.05434811.576087
96.07.82038977.531257.14583351.56158235.81256.57291658.98958311.479167
100.07.814247.526.981.51690095.846.588.9711.45
200.07.84462747.6757.2751.10432686.2756.9158.72510.385
300.07.89499667.75333367.82333330.93794736.56333357.07333338.6433339.906667
400.07.84462747.72257.66250.810341246.60257.12758.59.715
500.07.814247.7027.7980.72345046.7147.1648.4329.49

Simulation Stationarity

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Stationarity Plot

Moment Rate Plot

Section Participation

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Section Participation Plots

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Min MagComplete Catalog (including spontaneous)Ratio WRT Long-Term Model
All Supra. Seis.Participation PlotParticipation Plot
M≥6.5Participation PlotParticipation Plot
M≥7Participation PlotParticipation Plot
M≥7.5Participation PlotParticipation Plot
M≥8Participation PlotParticipation Plot

Supra-Seismogenic Parent Sections Table

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First 10 of 313 with matching ruptures shown

Parent NameTotal Mean Annual RateTotal 500 Year ProbTotal 500 Year 95% ConfLong-Term Fault System Solution Rate
San Andreas (Parkfield)0.0423981.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.047238618
San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM0.0285421.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.03419009
San Andreas (Mojave S)0.0189641.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.016211301
Mendocino0.0180321.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.028919645
Cerro Prieto0.0133241.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.015186971
Imperial0.0116741.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.014349225
Brawley (Seismic Zone) alt 10.0109441.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.013392845
Hayward (So) 2011 CFM0.0095881.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.009440966
San Andreas (Offshore) 2011 CFM0.008381.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.008909097
Elsinore (Glen Ivy) rev0.0079780.994 (99.40%)[98.63% 99.76%]0.008455746

M≥6.5 Parent Sections Table

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First 10 of 305 with matching ruptures shown

Parent NameTotal Mean Annual RateTotal 500 Year ProbTotal 500 Year 95% ConfLong-Term Fault System Solution Rate
Cerro Prieto0.0115341.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.013091409
San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM0.0110341.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.012216282
Mendocino0.0090541.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.012516479
Imperial0.0082440.999 (99.90%)[99.35% 99.99%]0.0096799815
Hayward (So) 2011 CFM0.008121.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.008140643
Brawley (Seismic Zone) alt 10.0078641.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.009075132
San Andreas (Mojave S)0.0070961.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.0067372364
San Andreas (Santa Cruz Mts) 2011 CFM0.0068480.999 (99.90%)[99.35% 99.99%]0.00821497
San Andreas (San Bernardino N)0.006650.997 (99.70%)[99.05% 99.92%]0.0067538084
San Andreas (Cholame) rev0.0060681.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.006128417

M≥7 Parent Sections Table

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First 10 of 272 with matching ruptures shown

Parent NameTotal Mean Annual RateTotal 500 Year ProbTotal 500 Year 95% ConfLong-Term Fault System Solution Rate
San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM0.0068380.995 (99.50%)[98.77% 99.82%]0.007612852
San Andreas (Carrizo) rev0.0057660.999 (99.90%)[99.35% 99.99%]0.0057427646
San Andreas (Cholame) rev0.005720.999 (99.90%)[99.35% 99.99%]0.005722108
San Andreas (Mojave S)0.005380.998 (99.80%)[99.20% 99.97%]0.0052993274
San Andreas (Santa Cruz Mts) 2011 CFM0.0053440.991 (99.10%)[98.23% 99.56%]0.0062776324
San Andreas (Mojave N)0.0049980.997 (99.70%)[99.05% 99.92%]0.0051040766
San Andreas (San Bernardino N)0.004630.985 (98.50%)[97.48% 99.13%]0.004749499
San Andreas (Big Bend)0.004610.995 (99.50%)[98.77% 99.82%]0.0045623486
San Andreas (North Coast) 2011 CFM0.0046080.993 (99.30%)[98.50% 99.69%]0.005556243
San Andreas (Coachella) rev0.0043320.991 (99.10%)[98.23% 99.56%]0.004435764

M≥7.5 Parent Sections Table

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First 10 of 212 with matching ruptures shown

Parent NameTotal Mean Annual RateTotal 500 Year ProbTotal 500 Year 95% ConfLong-Term Fault System Solution Rate
San Andreas (Mojave N)0.0048760.997 (99.70%)[99.05% 99.92%]0.0049894005
San Andreas (Big Bend)0.004480.995 (99.50%)[98.77% 99.82%]0.0044245115
San Andreas (Mojave S)0.0044620.991 (99.10%)[98.23% 99.56%]0.0045267143
San Andreas (Carrizo) rev0.004190.992 (99.20%)[98.36% 99.63%]0.004201805
San Andreas (Cholame) rev0.003990.985 (98.50%)[97.48% 99.13%]0.0040264158
San Andreas (North Coast) 2011 CFM0.0037040.978 (97.80%)[96.63% 98.58%]0.0045710644
San Andreas (San Bernardino N)0.003660.944 (94.40%)[92.74% 95.71%]0.0037959707
San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM0.003470.913 (91.30%)[89.34% 92.94%]0.0038110747
San Andreas (Parkfield)0.0030340.898 (89.80%)[87.72% 91.57%]0.0032088608
San Andreas (Peninsula) 2011 CFM0.0030260.939 (93.90%)[92.19% 95.27%]0.0035515025

M≥8 Parent Sections Table

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First 10 of 58 with matching ruptures shown

Parent NameTotal Mean Annual RateTotal 500 Year ProbTotal 500 Year 95% ConfLong-Term Fault System Solution Rate
San Andreas (Mojave N)0.0015540.622 (62.20%)[59.10% 65.20%]0.0018098651
San Andreas (Mojave S)0.0015280.616 (61.60%)[58.50% 64.61%]0.0017636013
San Andreas (Carrizo) rev0.0014920.601 (60.10%)[56.98% 63.14%]0.0017508415
San Andreas (Big Bend)0.001490.599 (59.90%)[56.78% 62.94%]0.0017453934
San Andreas (Cholame) rev0.0014760.598 (59.80%)[56.68% 62.85%]0.0017193216
San Andreas (San Bernardino N)0.0014380.591 (59.10%)[55.97% 62.16%]0.0016807786
San Andreas (Parkfield)0.0012480.520 (52.00%)[48.85% 55.13%]0.0015122787
San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM0.0011780.489 (48.90%)[45.76% 52.05%]0.0014250289
San Andreas (Santa Cruz Mts) 2011 CFM8.34E-40.376 (37.60%)[34.60% 40.69%]0.0010319632
San Andreas (Peninsula) 2011 CFM7.34E-40.341 (34.10%)[31.18% 37.14%]9.2652056E-4

Gridded Nucleation

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Min MagComplete Catalog (including spontaneous)Ratio WRT Long-Term Model
M≥5Nucleation PlotNucleation Plot
M≥6Nucleation PlotNucleation Plot
M≥7Nucleation PlotNucleation Plot

JSON Input File

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{
  "numSimulations": 1000,
  "duration": 500.0,
  "startYear": 2012,
  "includeSpontaneous": true,
  "randomSeed": 1571166429978,
  "binaryOutput": true,
  "binaryOutputFilters": [
    {
      "prefix": "results_complete",
      "descendantsOnly": false
    },
    {
      "prefix": "results_m5_preserve_chain",
      "minMag": 5.0,
      "preserveChainBelowMag": true,
      "descendantsOnly": false
    }
  ],
  "forceRecalc": false,
  "simulationName": "Start 2012, 500 yr, kCOV\u003d1.16, Spontaneous, Historical Catalog",
  "numRetries": 3,
  "outputDir": "${ETAS_SIM_DIR}/2019_10_15-Start2012_500yr_kCOV1p16_Spontaneous_HistoricalCatalog",
  "triggerCatalog": "${ETAS_LAUNCHER}/inputs/u3_historical_catalog.txt",
  "triggerCatalogSurfaceMappings": "${ETAS_LAUNCHER}/inputs/u3_historical_catalog_finite_fault_mappings.xml",
  "treatTriggerCatalogAsSpontaneous": true,
  "cacheDir": "${ETAS_LAUNCHER}/inputs/cache_fm3p1_ba",
  "fssFile": "${ETAS_LAUNCHER}/inputs/2013_05_10-ucerf3p3-production-10runs_COMPOUND_SOL_FM3_1_SpatSeisU3_MEAN_BRANCH_AVG_SOL.zip",
  "probModel": "FULL_TD",
  "applySubSeisForSupraNucl": true,
  "totRateScaleFactor": 1.14,
  "gridSeisCorr": true,
  "timeIndependentERF": false,
  "griddedOnly": false,
  "imposeGR": false,
  "includeIndirectTriggering": true,
  "gridSeisDiscr": 0.1,
  "catalogCompletenessModel": "RELAXED",
  "etas_k_cov": 1.16,
  "configCommand": "u3etas_config_builder.sh --start-year 2012 --num-simulations 1000 --duration-years 500 --include-spontaneous --historical-catalog --etas-k-cov 1.16 --hpc-site USC_HPC --nodes 36 --hours 24 --queue scec",
  "configTime": 1571166429978
}