Parent Section Magnitude-Probability Distributions

Only fault sections with at least one triggered aftershock are plotted. Sections are sorted by total supraseismogenic trigger rate (decreasing)

San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM
Calaveras (So) - Paicines extension 2011 CFM
Calaveras (So) 2011 CFM
Concord 2011 CFM
Green Valley 2011 CFM
San Andreas (Santa Cruz Mts) 2011 CFM
Calaveras (Central) 2011 CFM
Hayward (So) 2011 CFM
Hayward (So) extension 2011 CFM
Calaveras (No) 2011 CFM
Hunting Creek - Berryessa 2011 CFM
Sargent 2011 CFM
Hayward (No) 2011 CFM
Franklin 2011 CFM
Monterey Bay-Tularcitos
Greenville (No) 2011 CFM
Mount Diablo Thrust North CFM
Monte Vista - Shannon 2011 CFM
San Andreas (Parkfield)
Greenville (So) 2011 CFM
Ortigalita (North)
Contra Costa Shear Zone (connector) 2011 CFM
Clayton
San Andreas (Peninsula) 2011 CFM
Ortigalita (South)
Mount Diablo Thrust South
Mission (connected) 2011 CFM
Great Valley 05 Pittsburg - Kirby Hills alt1
Rodgers Creek - Healdsburg 2011 CFM
Contra Costa (Lafayette) 2011 CFM
Great Valley 09 (Laguna Seca)
Reliz 2011 CFM
San Andreas (Cholame) rev
Quien Sabe 2011 CFM
San Andreas (Carrizo) rev
San Andreas (Big Bend)
San Andreas (Mojave N)
San Andreas (San Bernardino N)
West Napa 2011 CFM
San Gregorio (South) 2011 CFM
San Andreas (North Coast) 2011 CFM
Great Valley 07 (Orestimba)
San Andreas (Mojave S)
Hunting Creek - Bartlett Springs connector 2011
San Gregorio (North) 2011 CFM
San Andreas (San Bernardino S)
Great Valley 08 (Quinto)
Las Positas
Pilarcitos 2011 CFM
Hosgri
Rinconada 2011 CFM
Silver Creek 2011 CFM
Lost Hills
Butano 2011 CFM
San Andreas (San Gorgonio Pass-Garnet HIll)
San Jacinto (Anza) rev
San Andreas (Coachella) rev
Bartlett Springs 2011 CFM
Great Valley 11
Santa Ynez (West)
San Luis Range - Pecho 2011 CFM
Great Valley 06 (Midland) 2011 CFM alt1
Mendocino
San Jacinto (Stepovers Combined)
Great Valley 04b Gordon Valley
San Jacinto (Coyote Creek)
Great Valley 03 Mysterious Ridge
Shoreline
Brawley (Seismic Zone) alt 1
San Jacinto (Superstition Mtn)
San Jacinto (San Jacinto Valley) rev
La Panza 2011
Point Reyes 2011 CFM
San Jacinto (San Bernardino)
Oceanic - West Huasna
Big Pine (East)
San Jacinto (Borrego)
King Range 2011 CFM
San Andreas (Offshore) 2011 CFM
Imperial

San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	5.986481E-4	0.0012293495	0.009479195	7.7107406	0.00826	0.0025631124	0.0052530365	0.015329824	2.9182785	0.01013	0.030762846	0.061291363	0.07335377	1.1968043	0.01285	0.26835477	0.42638344	0.43521714	1.0207177	0.0154
6.1	5.015945E-4	0.0010232513	0.008225874	8.038958	0.00721	0.00214792	0.0043740505	0.01318534	3.0144463	0.00885	0.025839351	0.05132028	0.06199293	1.2079616	0.01125	0.23032776	0.3732852	0.38176465	1.0227157	0.01353
6.2	4.073338E-4	8.1216753E-4	0.0067173676	8.270914	0.00591	0.0017445484	0.0034732304	0.010648223	3.065798	0.0072	0.021034058	0.041004535	0.049702622	1.2121251	0.00907	0.19150782	0.31349698	0.320973	1.0238472	0.01089
6.3	3.464099E-4	6.753551E-4	0.0053521944	7.9250083	0.00468	0.0014837692	0.0028890595	0.00847288	2.9327471	0.0056	0.017915873	0.034261506	0.041089274	1.1992841	0.00707	0.16538359	0.2718083	0.27803436	1.022906	0.00855
6.4	2.935057E-4	5.5586075E-4	0.0038540263	6.9334383	0.0033	0.0012572751	0.0023786526	0.006329233	2.6608481	0.00396	0.015200248	0.02833712	0.033253733	1.1735044	0.00506	0.14201577	0.2335043	0.23821825	1.0201879	0.00615
6.5	2.3409708E-4	4.2236297E-4	0.0026414252	6.253923	0.00222	0.0010028875	0.0018081	0.004483254	2.479539	0.00268	0.012141965	0.021660637	0.025026126	1.1553735	0.00344	0.11499573	0.18737428	0.1907873	1.0182151	0.0042
6.6	1.5842178E-4	2.5211865E-4	0.0010919069	4.3309245	8.4E-4	6.7877385E-4	0.0010800501	0.0020789702	1.9248829	0.001	0.0082328	0.013068941	0.01439143	1.1011932	0.00134	0.07934396	0.12373757	0.1251834	1.0116847	0.00165
6.7	1.5616413E-4	2.4748038E-4	0.0010872725	4.3933687	8.4E-4	6.691031E-4	0.0010601921	0.0020491425	1.932803	9.9E-4	0.0081159435	0.012830643	0.014133707	1.1015587	0.00132	0.0782586	0.121764675	0.1231962	1.0117564	0.00163
6.8	1.5538467E-4	2.4571587E-4	0.0010655144	4.3363676	8.2E-4	6.6576427E-4	0.0010526371	0.0020116265	1.9110352	9.6E-4	0.008075596	0.012739898	0.014013464	1.0999666	0.00129	0.07788358	0.120994985	0.122401394	1.0116237	0.0016
6.9	1.5153569E-4	2.3679626E-4	0.0010166116	4.293191	7.8E-4	6.49277E-4	0.0010144485	0.0019235252	1.8961291	9.1E-4	0.007876333	0.012281492	0.013486509	1.0981165	0.00122	0.07602952	0.11706305	0.118369795	1.0111628	0.00148
7.0	1.4588932E-4	2.2535253E-4	9.351925E-4	4.149909	7.1E-4	6.250901E-4	9.654411E-4	0.0017746591	1.8381847	8.1E-4	0.0075839474	0.011691399	0.012798305	1.094677	0.00112	0.073302895	0.1119063	0.1131141	1.010793	0.00136
7.1	1.1565079E-4	1.6401421E-4	5.73947E-4	3.4993734	4.1E-4	4.955521E-4	7.0272957E-4	0.0012023782	1.7110113	5.0E-4	0.006016669	0.008522374	0.009176749	1.0767832	6.6E-4	0.058563538	0.084202036	0.08487057	1.0079396	7.3E-4
7.2	1.0393792E-4	1.472837E-4	4.772351E-4	3.2402437	3.3E-4	4.4537216E-4	6.3106394E-4	0.0010308116	1.6334502	4.0E-4	0.005408933	0.0076563093	0.008152481	1.0648056	5.0E-4	0.052791595	0.07612702	0.07664439	1.0067961	5.6E-4
7.3	9.332884E-5	1.2879435E-4	2.0878404E-4	1.6210653	8.0E-5	3.999194E-4	5.518597E-4	6.717934E-4	1.2173266	1.2E-4	0.0048581534	0.0066983285	0.006887056	1.0281752	1.9E-4	0.047533102	0.06693581	0.067141086	1.0030668	2.2E-4
7.4	8.670252E-5	1.1795177E-4	1.8794351E-4	1.5933928	7.0E-5	3.715293E-4	5.0541025E-4	5.953648E-4	1.1779832	9.0E-5	0.004513991	0.006136131	0.0062852106	1.0242953	1.5E-4	0.044233937	0.06157686	0.06173639	1.0025908	1.7E-4
7.5	7.3036405E-5	9.083461E-5	1.4083007E-4	1.550401	5.0E-5	3.129756E-4	3.892332E-4	4.4920985E-4	1.1540892	6.0E-5	0.0038038217	0.0047286386	0.0048480714	1.0252572	1.2E-4	0.03739367	0.048246622	0.04837987	1.0027617	1.4E-4
7.6	6.3935775E-5	8.3500425E-5	9.3499584E-5	1.1197499	1.0E-5	2.7398168E-4	3.5780994E-4	3.6780638E-4	1.0279378	1.0E-5	0.0033306254	0.0043476536	0.004397436	1.0114504	5.0E-5	0.032811474	0.044323333	0.044380672	1.0012937	6.0E-5
7.7	5.5050095E-5	6.723655E-5	7.723588E-5	1.1487186	1.0E-5	2.3590765E-4	2.8812484E-4	2.9812197E-4	1.0346972	1.0E-5	0.0028683927	0.0035022818	0.0035521067	1.0142264	5.0E-5	0.0283165	0.03609507	0.036152907	1.0016023	6.0E-5
7.8	5.027131E-5	6.2193605E-5	7.219298E-5	1.1607783	1.0E-5	2.1543067E-4	2.6651678E-4	2.7651413E-4	1.0375111	1.0E-5	0.0026197135	0.0032400172	0.0032898553	1.015382	5.0E-5	0.025890453	0.03340082	0.033458814	1.0017364	6.0E-5
7.9	3.7271806E-5	5.067911E-5	6.06786E-5	1.19731	1.0E-5	1.5972654E-4	2.1717811E-4	2.2717594E-4	1.0460352	1.0E-5	0.0019429359	0.0026409393	0.0026908072	1.0188826	5.0E-5	0.019260362	0.027290307	0.02734867	1.0021386	6.0E-5
8.0	2.7310243E-5	3.1728112E-5	3.1728112E-5	1.0	0.0	1.17038646E-4	1.3597053E-4	1.3597053E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0014240141	0.0016541851	0.001674152	1.0120705	2.0E-5	0.014149235	0.01736636	0.017395841	1.0016974	3.0E-5
8.1	1.7940547E-5	1.7591927E-5	1.7591927E-5	1.0	0.0	7.688579E-5	7.539179E-5	7.539179E-5	1.0	0.0	9.3568244E-4	9.175091E-4	9.374907E-4	1.0217781	2.0E-5	0.009317525	0.009899838	0.009919641	1.0020002	2.0E-5
8.2	8.643924E-6	5.5514706E-6	5.5514706E-6	1.0	0.0	3.704486E-5	2.3791801E-5	2.3791801E-5	1.0	0.0	4.5092785E-4	2.8962674E-4	2.9962385E-4	1.0345172	1.0E-5	0.0045001395	0.0032906544	0.0033006216	1.0030289	1.0E-5
8.3	1.983087E-6	7.783617E-7	7.783617E-7	1.0	0.0	8.498917E-6	3.3358317E-6	3.3358317E-6	1.0	0.0	1.034694E-4	4.0613013E-5	4.0613013E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0010342124	4.791138E-4	4.791138E-4	1.0	0.0

Calaveras (So) - Paicines extension 2011 CFM

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	1.5183659E-4	3.056286E-4	0.0024949592	8.16337	0.00219	6.5056595E-4	0.0013086009	0.003935159	3.00715	0.00263	0.007891912	0.015717553	0.019211756	1.2223121	0.00355	0.076174594	0.13865836	0.14239658	1.0269599	0.00434
6.1	1.5024997E-4	3.0256834E-4	0.002421927	8.004561	0.00212	6.437695E-4	0.0012955031	0.0038322126	2.9580882	0.00254	0.0078097614	0.0155608505	0.018957166	1.2182603	0.00345	0.075409345	0.13732745	0.14093342	1.0262582	0.00418
6.2	1.2743923E-4	2.5354547E-4	0.002093079	8.255241	0.00184	5.460538E-4	0.0010857398	0.0032933403	3.0332685	0.00221	0.0066279583	0.013067722	0.015929826	1.2190208	0.0029	0.064337276	0.11742511	0.12048764	1.0260807	0.00347
6.3	1.1525114E-4	2.2640434E-4	0.001756058	7.756291	0.00153	4.9383997E-4	9.696106E-4	0.0028178168	2.9061325	0.00185	0.0059959386	0.011688861	0.014080575	1.2046148	0.00242	0.058367174	0.10654259	0.109133616	1.0243192	0.0029
6.4	1.07200925E-4	2.0881052E-4	0.0015185369	7.2723203	0.00131	4.5935164E-4	8.943376E-4	0.0025128888	2.8097765	0.00162	0.0055782744	0.010793649	0.012890765	1.1942918	0.00212	0.0544031	0.099365726	0.10167135	1.0232034	0.00256
6.5	9.69631E-5	1.8773972E-4	0.0012575388	6.6983104	0.00107	4.1548995E-4	8.0415385E-4	0.0021430762	2.6650078	0.00134	0.0050468626	0.009715157	0.011487767	1.1824582	0.00179	0.04933773	0.09025607	0.09223931	1.0219735	0.00218
6.6	8.0552316E-5	1.511002E-4	9.909733E-4	6.558385	8.4E-4	3.4517853E-4	6.473696E-4	0.0016667093	2.5745869	0.00102	0.0041944524	0.007846748	0.00921592	1.174489	0.00138	0.04116161	0.0750278	0.07659101	1.020835	0.00169
6.7	7.815757E-5	1.4650238E-4	9.563837E-4	6.52811	8.1E-4	3.34918E-4	6.2768004E-4	0.001607065	2.560325	9.8E-4	0.004070005	0.0076094037	0.008939207	1.174758	0.00134	0.039962657	0.07287646	0.074369125	1.0204822	0.00161
6.8	6.965264E-5	1.2759454E-4	7.5751415E-4	5.9368854	6.3E-4	2.9847719E-4	5.466999E-4	0.0012763009	2.3345547	7.3E-4	0.0036279052	0.0066325427	0.0076557114	1.1542649	0.00103	0.03569247	0.06396372	0.06516184	1.0187314	0.00128
6.9	5.8000453E-5	1.0176564E-4	5.917158E-4	5.8144946	4.9E-4	2.4854968E-4	4.3606613E-4	9.958219E-4	2.283649	5.6E-4	0.0030218933	0.0052962787	0.0060224123	1.1371026	7.3E-4	0.029811295	0.05165387	0.052488413	1.0161564	8.8E-4
7.0	4.9865852E-5	8.597217E-5	4.159438E-4	4.8381214	3.3E-4	2.1369329E-4	3.684006E-4	7.482606E-4	2.0311058	3.8E-4	0.0025986114	0.0044761426	0.00500377	1.1178756	5.3E-4	0.025684336	0.043919444	0.044540897	1.0141498	6.5E-4
7.1	4.283875E-5	7.1383394E-5	3.5136341E-4	4.922201	2.8E-4	1.8358172E-4	3.0589328E-4	6.357923E-4	2.0784776	3.3E-4	0.0022328163	0.0037179473	0.0041862	1.1259439	4.7E-4	0.022105146	0.036860093	0.037418712	1.0151552	5.8E-4
7.2	3.450115E-5	5.602686E-5	2.4601622E-4	4.391041	1.9E-4	1.478537E-4	2.4009318E-4	4.5004275E-4	1.8744504	2.1E-4	0.0017986323	0.0029192455	0.003198428	1.0956352	2.8E-4	0.017841442	0.029199816	0.029549304	1.0119689	3.6E-4
7.3	2.5709045E-5	4.0808765E-5	1.5080428E-4	3.6953893	1.1E-4	1.1017697E-4	1.7488308E-4	3.0486035E-4	1.7432238	1.3E-4	0.0013405791	0.0021271396	0.0022867993	1.0750583	1.6E-4	0.013325208	0.021404557	0.02161006	1.009601	2.1E-4
7.4	1.8003093E-5	2.86454E-5	6.864425E-5	2.3963447	4.0E-5	7.715383E-5	1.2276023E-4	1.6275533E-4	1.3257984	4.0E-5	9.3894306E-4	0.0014935835	0.0015435088	1.0334265	5.0E-5	0.009349857	0.015116798	0.015195588	1.0052121	8.0E-5
7.5	1.5595824E-5	2.595182E-5	5.595104E-5	2.1559584	3.0E-5	6.683753E-5	1.11217356E-4	1.4121401E-4	1.2697121	3.0E-5	8.134431E-4	0.0013532324	0.0013931784	1.0295188	4.0E-5	0.008104719	0.013714053	0.013783093	1.0050342	7.0E-5
7.6	1.1110309E-5	1.9333203E-5	3.9332816E-5	2.0344696	2.0E-5	4.761474E-5	8.285396E-5	1.02852304E-4	1.2413685	2.0E-5	5.795553E-4	0.0010082815	0.0010282614	1.0198157	2.0E-5	0.0057804612	0.010257012	0.010286705	1.0028949	3.0E-5
7.7	6.2140443E-6	1.0517965E-5	1.0517965E-5	1.0	0.0	2.6631347E-5	4.5076213E-5	4.5076213E-5	1.0	0.0	3.241884E-4	5.4866483E-4	5.4866483E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0032371588	0.005659303	0.005659303	1.0	0.0
7.8	5.305533E-6	9.505557E-6	9.505557E-6	1.0	0.0	2.27378E-5	4.0737465E-5	4.0737465E-5	1.0	0.0	2.7679754E-4	4.958659E-4	4.958659E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0027645302	0.0051095965	0.0051095965	1.0	0.0
7.9	3.363505E-6	7.438808E-6	7.438808E-6	1.0	0.0	1.4414942E-5	3.1880216E-5	3.1880216E-5	1.0	0.0	1.7548777E-4	3.880726E-4	3.880726E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0017534926	0.0039745644	0.0039745644	1.0	0.0
8.0	2.0271132E-6	4.4438734E-6	4.4438734E-6	1.0	0.0	8.687599E-6	1.9045032E-5	1.9045032E-5	1.0	0.0	1.05766376E-4	2.3184865E-4	2.3184865E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0010571606	0.0023660618	0.0023660618	1.0	0.0
8.1	1.2206116E-6	2.3922025E-6	2.3922025E-6	1.0	0.0	5.2311816E-6	1.0252256E-5	1.0252256E-5	1.0	0.0	6.3687774E-5	1.248141E-4	1.248141E-4	1.0	0.0	6.366953E-4	0.0012790338	0.0012790338	1.0	0.0

Calaveras (So) 2011 CFM

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	1.5950744E-4	3.075675E-4	0.0010773307	3.5027454	7.7E-4	6.834242E-4	0.0013173391	0.0022760746	1.7277817	9.6E-4	0.00828899	0.015881283	0.017209843	1.0836557	0.00135	0.079865426	0.1445826	0.1460197	1.0099397	0.00168
6.1	1.3584697E-4	2.6077544E-4	0.0010105799	3.8752875	7.5E-4	5.8207137E-4	0.0011169954	0.0020459567	1.8316607	9.3E-4	0.007063716	0.013483079	0.01476555	1.0951171	0.0013	0.06843361	0.12420464	0.12562343	1.011423	0.00162
6.2	1.14676266E-4	2.1754697E-4	9.673838E-4	4.4467816	7.5E-4	4.9137714E-4	9.3194545E-4	0.001851088	1.9862622	9.2E-4	0.0059661185	0.011265734	0.012531314	1.1123389	0.00128	0.058084648	0.105190866	0.10661361	1.0135254	0.00159
6.3	8.691518E-5	1.602576E-4	8.801422E-4	5.492047	7.2E-4	3.7244044E-4	6.865974E-4	0.0015759864	2.2953572	8.9E-4	0.004525038	0.00832061	0.009540375	1.1465957	0.00123	0.044339992	0.07950171	0.08091008	1.0177149	0.00153
6.4	8.50982E-5	1.5731962E-4	8.6720794E-4	5.5123954	7.1E-4	3.646556E-4	6.7401264E-4	0.0015534195	2.3047335	8.8E-4	0.0044306475	0.008168546	0.009378579	1.1481334	0.00122	0.04343345	0.07810723	0.079508506	1.0179404	0.00152
6.5	8.4062965E-5	1.5556284E-4	8.654524E-4	5.563362	7.1E-4	3.602201E-4	6.664877E-4	0.0015459012	2.3194745	8.8E-4	0.004376863	0.008077703	0.009287848	1.149813	0.00122	0.042916555	0.077278145	0.078671455	1.0180298	0.00151
6.6	8.194716E-5	1.5191858E-4	8.618107E-4	5.6728463	7.1E-4	3.5115483E-4	6.508777E-4	0.0015303049	2.3511405	8.8E-4	0.0042669317	0.007889415	0.00909979	1.1534176	0.00122	0.04185927	0.07556239	0.076949045	1.0183512	0.0015
6.7	8.012326E-5	1.4859518E-4	8.5848966E-4	5.7773724	7.1E-4	3.433402E-4	6.3664495E-4	0.0015160847	2.381366	8.8E-4	0.004172157	0.0077177975	0.008928382	1.1568562	0.00122	0.040946912	0.07400386	0.07537433	1.0185189	0.00148
6.8	7.119773E-5	1.2916543E-4	6.6909567E-4	5.180145	5.4E-4	3.0509746E-4	5.534294E-4	0.0011930752	2.1557858	6.4E-4	0.0037082357	0.00671396	0.007627783	1.1361079	9.2E-4	0.036469642	0.06483975	0.06592454	1.0167303	0.00116
6.9	5.7343088E-5	9.949606E-5	4.9945625E-4	5.01986	4.0E-4	2.4573295E-4	4.2634242E-4	8.9614204E-4	2.1019304	4.7E-4	0.0029876942	0.00517844	0.005795229	1.1191071	6.2E-4	0.02947844	0.050651338	0.051372845	1.0142446	7.6E-4
7.0	4.8746577E-5	8.3118E-5	3.2309807E-4	3.887221	2.4E-4	2.0889717E-4	3.5617172E-4	6.460684E-4	1.813924	2.9E-4	0.0025403565	0.004327835	0.0047460175	1.0966262	4.2E-4	0.025115121	0.04261209	0.04311951	1.0119078	5.3E-4
7.1	4.2998014E-5	7.2888084E-5	3.128706E-4	4.2924795	2.4E-4	1.8426418E-4	3.1234045E-4	6.022499E-4	1.928184	2.9E-4	0.002241108	0.0037961747	0.00421458	1.1102177	4.2E-4	0.022186412	0.037536595	0.0380467	1.0135895	5.3E-4
7.2	3.221292E-5	5.4130007E-5	2.1412135E-4	3.9556866	1.6E-4	1.3804805E-4	2.3196527E-4	4.119235E-4	1.7757982	1.8E-4	0.0016794393	0.002820548	0.003059871	1.0848498	2.4E-4	0.016668037	0.028144209	0.028445484	1.0107048	3.1E-4
7.3	2.3756531E-5	3.9669034E-5	1.4966467E-4	3.7728338	1.1E-4	1.0180973E-4	1.6999916E-4	2.9997705E-4	1.7645797	1.3E-4	0.0012388286	0.0020677922	0.0022374408	1.0820433	1.7E-4	0.012319452	0.020739699	0.020945342	1.0099155	2.1E-4
7.4	1.5997684E-5	2.7453918E-5	6.745282E-5	2.4569468	4.0E-5	6.8559704E-5	1.1765436E-4	1.5764966E-4	1.3399389	4.0E-5	8.343947E-4	0.0014315031	0.0014814314	1.0348784	5.0E-5	0.008312687	0.014430365	0.014499354	1.0047809	7.0E-5
7.5	1.3814293E-5	2.4891238E-5	5.489049E-5	2.2052133	3.0E-5	5.9202768E-5	1.06672385E-4	1.3666919E-4	1.2812049	3.0E-5	7.205553E-4	0.001297965	0.0013379131	1.0307775	4.0E-5	0.007182234	0.0131074805	0.013166694	1.0045176	6.0E-5
7.6	8.817309E-6	1.6519625E-5	3.6519294E-5	2.2106612	2.0E-5	3.7787922E-5	7.079648E-5	9.079506E-5	1.2824799	2.0E-5	4.5997082E-4	8.616076E-4	8.8159036E-4	1.0231924	2.0E-5	0.004590199	0.008762723	0.00879246	1.0033937	3.0E-5
7.7	4.0352206E-6	7.767029E-6	7.767029E-6	1.0	0.0	1.7293689E-5	3.3286844E-5	3.3286844E-5	1.0	0.0	2.1053031E-4	4.0519206E-4	4.0519206E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0021033096	0.004194483	0.004194483	1.0	0.0
7.8	3.413169E-6	6.839645E-6	6.839645E-6	1.0	0.0	1.4627784E-5	2.9312434E-5	2.9312434E-5	1.0	0.0	1.7807873E-4	3.568205E-4	3.568205E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0017793609	0.003692136	0.003692136	1.0	0.0
7.9	2.4740732E-6	5.317935E-6	5.317935E-6	1.0	0.0	1.06031275E-5	2.2790951E-5	2.2790951E-5	1.0	0.0	1.2908543E-4	2.7744455E-4	2.7744455E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0012901047	0.0028536797	0.0028536797	1.0	0.0
8.0	1.5231818E-6	3.3119125E-6	3.3119125E-6	1.0	0.0	6.527906E-6	1.4193833E-5	1.4193833E-5	1.0	0.0	7.9474354E-5	1.7279625E-4	1.7279625E-4	1.0	0.0	7.944594E-4	0.0017677062	0.0017677062	1.0	0.0
8.1	1.0104524E-6	2.0601656E-6	2.0601656E-6	1.0	0.0	4.330503E-6	8.829252E-6	8.829252E-6	1.0	0.0	5.2722597E-5	1.07490865E-4	1.07490865E-4	1.0	0.0	5.271009E-4	0.0011000879	0.0011000879	1.0	0.0

Concord 2011 CFM

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	5.7865112E-5	9.7641554E-5	4.576064E-4	4.686595	3.6E-4	2.4796976E-4	4.1839524E-4	9.881568E-4	2.3617783	5.7E-4	0.0030148525	0.0050825938	0.0061073587	1.2016225	0.00103	0.029742775	0.049277306	0.050627332	1.0273966	0.00142
6.1	5.7865112E-5	9.7641554E-5	4.576064E-4	4.686595	3.6E-4	2.4796976E-4	4.1839524E-4	9.881568E-4	2.3617783	5.7E-4	0.0030148525	0.0050825938	0.0061073587	1.2016225	0.00103	0.029742775	0.049277306	0.050627332	1.0273966	0.00142
6.2	5.6789337E-5	9.584295E-5	4.5580845E-4	4.755785	3.6E-4	2.4336016E-4	4.1068997E-4	9.7046E-4	2.362999	5.6E-4	0.0029588845	0.0049892613	0.005974322	1.1974362	9.9E-4	0.029197963	0.04839343	0.049697127	1.0269396	0.00137
6.3	5.203322E-5	8.808044E-5	3.5805666E-4	4.0651097	2.7E-4	2.2298045E-4	3.7743736E-4	8.172713E-4	2.1653163	4.4E-4	0.0027114071	0.004586402	0.005412595	1.1801398	8.3E-4	0.026785625	0.04456182	0.045689233	1.0253	0.00118
6.4	4.7120942E-5	7.8992845E-5	2.4897943E-4	3.1519237	1.7E-4	2.0193127E-4	3.3850104E-4	6.5839273E-4	1.9450243	3.2E-4	0.0024557412	0.0041142073	0.004741615	1.1524979	6.3E-4	0.024287801	0.040077433	0.04097016	1.0222751	9.3E-4
6.5	2.9598437E-5	4.6689907E-5	1.1668664E-4	2.4991834	7.0E-5	1.2684427E-4	2.0008544E-4	3.3005944E-4	1.6495924	1.3E-4	0.001543235	0.0024335291	0.0027128477	1.1147792	2.8E-4	0.015325619	0.023914209	0.024353446	1.0183673	4.5E-4
6.6	2.0443718E-5	2.9997453E-5	6.9996255E-5	2.3334064	4.0E-5	8.7613E-5	1.2855438E-4	1.9854539E-4	1.5444466	7.0E-5	0.0010661662	0.0015640621	0.0017238118	1.1021377	1.6E-4	0.010610655	0.015472484	0.015738307	1.0171803	2.7E-4
6.7	1.798539E-5	2.5570018E-5	4.5569508E-5	1.782146	2.0E-5	7.7077966E-5	1.0958131E-4	1.5957584E-4	1.4562322	5.0E-5	9.380202E-4	0.0013333575	0.0014731708	1.104858	1.4E-4	0.009340706	0.013222647	0.013459473	1.0179107	2.4E-4
6.8	1.613555E-5	2.197128E-5	3.197106E-5	1.4551296	1.0E-5	6.915052E-5	9.415931E-5	1.2415649E-4	1.318579	3.0E-5	8.4158237E-4	0.0011458007	0.0012456861	1.0871753	1.0E-4	0.008384023	0.011383364	0.011561315	1.0156325	1.8E-4
6.9	1.2916435E-5	1.7092227E-5	2.7092057E-5	1.5850513	1.0E-5	5.5354973E-5	7.3250376E-5	9.324891E-5	1.2730161	2.0E-5	6.7373837E-4	8.914643E-4	9.514108E-4	1.067245	6.0E-5	0.006716994	0.0088732755	0.0089823	1.0122868	1.1E-4
7.0	9.81129E-6	1.2637888E-5	2.2637762E-5	1.7912614	1.0E-5	4.2047708E-5	5.416126E-5	7.4160176E-5	1.3692477	2.0E-5	5.118106E-4	6.592155E-4	7.091825E-4	1.0757977	5.0E-5	0.005106334	0.006573381	0.0066528553	1.0120903	8.0E-5
7.1	8.0889195E-6	1.0423651E-5	2.0423546E-5	1.9593468	1.0E-5	3.4666336E-5	4.467203E-5	5.4671582E-5	1.2238437	1.0E-5	4.219809E-4	5.437473E-4	5.637364E-4	1.0367618	2.0E-5	0.004211805	0.005424482	0.0054642647	1.007334	4.0E-5
7.2	6.267438E-6	8.120282E-6	1.81202E-5	2.2314744	1.0E-5	2.6860173E-5	3.4800745E-5	4.4800396E-5	1.2873402	1.0E-5	3.2697353E-4	4.2361743E-4	4.4360897E-4	1.0471925	2.0E-5	0.0032649285	0.0042285053	0.004258379	1.0070647	3.0E-5
7.3	3.6761196E-6	4.8440324E-6	4.8440324E-6	1.0	0.0	1.5754704E-5	2.0759975E-5	2.0759975E-5	1.0	0.0	1.9179663E-4	2.527236E-4	2.527236E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0019163118	0.0025247212	0.0025247212	1.0	0.0
7.4	2.8044356E-6	3.713288E-6	3.713288E-6	1.0	0.0	1.2018954E-5	1.5913995E-5	1.5913995E-5	1.0	0.0	1.4632095E-4	1.9373577E-4	1.9373577E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0014622464	0.0019359066	0.0019359066	1.0	0.0
7.5	2.4578699E-6	3.2479675E-6	3.2479675E-6	1.0	0.0	1.0533685E-5	1.3919786E-5	1.3919786E-5	1.0	0.0	1.2824008E-4	1.6946033E-4	1.6946033E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0012816609	0.0016935312	0.0016935312	1.0	0.0
7.6	1.7713267E-6	2.3380726E-6	2.3380726E-6	1.0	0.0	7.591378E-6	1.0020273E-5	1.0020273E-5	1.0	0.0	9.2421105E-5	1.21990095E-4	1.21990095E-4	1.0	0.0	9.2382677E-4	0.0012194485	0.0012194485	1.0	0.0
7.7	5.1912366E-7	6.8326125E-7	6.8326125E-7	1.0	0.0	2.2248137E-6	2.9282594E-6	2.9282594E-6	1.0	0.0	2.708677E-5	3.5650985E-5	3.5650985E-5	1.0	0.0	2.708347E-4	3.5647038E-4	3.5647038E-4	1.0	0.0

Green Valley 2011 CFM

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	9.9629346E-5	1.7313591E-4	4.8308223E-4	2.790191	3.1E-4	4.2691303E-4	7.4177206E-4	0.001221416	1.6466191	4.8E-4	0.0051852856	0.008992254	0.009864341	1.096982	8.8E-4	0.050659515	0.08557089	0.086704776	1.013251	0.00124
6.1	9.88615E-5	1.7160611E-4	4.815529E-4	2.8061526	3.1E-4	4.2362334E-4	7.3521945E-4	0.0012148665	1.6523863	4.8E-4	0.0051454236	0.008913136	0.009785293	1.0978507	8.8E-4	0.050279044	0.084857345	0.08599212	1.0133728	0.00124
6.2	9.696895E-5	1.679925E-4	4.7794043E-4	2.8450105	3.1E-4	4.15515E-4	7.1974256E-4	0.0011993971	1.6664251	4.8E-4	0.0050471667	0.008726313	0.009588721	1.0988284	8.7E-4	0.04934063	0.083164826	0.08429253	1.0135599	0.00123
6.3	9.275224E-5	1.597848E-4	4.4973847E-4	2.814651	2.9E-4	3.9744904E-4	6.845854E-4	0.0011342773	1.6568822	4.5E-4	0.0048282105	0.008301583	0.009134609	1.1003455	8.4E-4	0.047246475	0.07930312	0.08039875	1.0138158	0.00119
6.4	8.391499E-5	1.4372397E-4	3.236981E-4	2.2522206	1.8E-4	3.595861E-4	6.157896E-4	9.355926E-4	1.519338	3.2E-4	0.004369175	0.007470341	0.008095635	1.0837035	6.3E-4	0.04284265	0.07166284	0.072526194	1.0120474	9.3E-4
6.5	5.9519385E-5	9.938212E-5	1.7937417E-4	1.8048937	8.0E-5	2.5505814E-4	4.258293E-4	5.557739E-4	1.3051567	1.3E-4	0.0031009112	0.0051710117	0.0054694605	1.0577158	3.0E-4	0.030579966	0.050167497	0.05061392	1.0088986	4.7E-4
6.6	4.5361558E-5	7.406684E-5	1.2406314E-4	1.6750159	5.0E-5	1.9439218E-4	3.1737192E-4	3.8734972E-4	1.2204914	7.0E-5	0.0023641558	0.0038561895	0.004035495	1.0464982	1.8E-4	0.023391623	0.037686642	0.03796571	1.007405	2.9E-4
6.7	3.8808106E-5	6.268606E-5	8.2684805E-5	1.3190302	2.0E-5	1.6630985E-4	2.6860842E-4	3.0859766E-4	1.1488757	4.0E-5	0.0020229418	0.003264781	0.003404324	1.0427419	1.4E-4	0.020046256	0.032024194	0.032256506	1.0072544	2.4E-4
6.8	2.2284667E-5	3.129953E-5	4.1299216E-5	1.3194836	1.0E-5	9.550222E-5	1.341338E-4	1.5413114E-4	1.1490848	2.0E-5	0.0011621192	0.0016318542	0.0017217074	1.0550619	9.0E-5	0.011560607	0.016172443	0.016339693	1.0103418	1.7E-4
6.9	1.8050168E-5	2.4460724E-5	3.4460478E-5	1.4088086	1.0E-5	7.735557E-5	1.04827464E-4	1.1482641E-4	1.0953848	1.0E-5	9.4139716E-4	0.0012755299	0.0013254661	1.0391494	5.0E-5	0.009374191	0.012674765	0.012773498	1.0077897	1.0E-4
7.0	1.4763166E-5	1.9591294E-5	2.9591098E-5	1.5104208	1.0E-5	6.326917E-5	8.396E-5	9.395916E-5	1.1190944	1.0E-5	7.7002996E-4	0.0010217349	0.0010517043	1.0293318	3.0E-5	0.007673672	0.010170201	0.01022959	1.0058396	6.0E-5
7.1	1.2399713E-5	1.6310292E-5	2.6310128E-5	1.6130998	1.0E-5	5.3140546E-5	6.989939E-5	7.9898695E-5	1.1430528	1.0E-5	6.467941E-4	8.506948E-4	8.7067776E-4	1.0234902	2.0E-5	0.006449148	0.008474788	0.008514449	1.0046799	4.0E-5
7.2	1.0584195E-5	1.3927677E-5	2.3927538E-5	1.7179848	1.0E-5	4.5360044E-5	5.968869E-5	6.9688096E-5	1.1675259	1.0E-5	5.521186E-4	7.264691E-4	7.464546E-4	1.0275104	2.0E-5	0.0055074887	0.007241565	0.0072713476	1.0041127	3.0E-5
7.3	7.998173E-6	1.0549448E-5	1.0549448E-5	1.0	0.0	3.4277433E-5	4.5211145E-5	4.5211145E-5	1.0	0.0	4.1724785E-4	5.5030774E-4	5.5030774E-4	1.0	0.0	0.004164653	0.0054900344	0.0054900344	1.0	0.0
7.4	6.7571127E-6	8.937885E-6	8.937885E-6	1.0	0.0	2.8958733E-5	3.830466E-5	3.830466E-5	1.0	0.0	3.5251552E-4	4.6626042E-4	4.6626042E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0035195686	0.0046532126	0.0046532126	1.0	0.0
7.5	5.69878E-6	7.5203984E-6	7.5203984E-6	1.0	0.0	2.4423114E-5	3.2229887E-5	3.2229887E-5	1.0	0.0	2.9731085E-4	3.923291E-4	3.923291E-4	1.0	0.0	0.002969134	0.003916734	0.003916734	1.0	0.0
7.6	4.503664E-6	5.9393674E-6	5.9393674E-6	1.0	0.0	1.9301275E-5	2.5454188E-5	2.5454188E-5	1.0	0.0	2.3496768E-4	3.098615E-4	3.098615E-4	1.0	0.0	0.002347194	0.0030946329	0.0030946329	1.0	0.0
7.7	1.0873546E-6	1.4112298E-6	1.4112298E-6	1.0	0.0	4.6600826E-6	6.0481143E-6	6.0481143E-6	1.0	0.0	5.6735033E-5	7.363333E-5	7.363333E-5	1.0	0.0	5.672055E-4	7.3612045E-4	7.3612045E-4	1.0	0.0
7.8	4.9373917E-8	6.1789706E-8	6.1789706E-8	1.0	0.0	2.1160248E-7	2.64813E-7	2.64813E-7	1.0	0.0	2.5762572E-6	3.224095E-6	3.224095E-6	1.0	0.0	2.5762274E-5	3.2233464E-5	3.2233464E-5	1.0	0.0

San Andreas (Santa Cruz Mts) 2011 CFM

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	1.7221631E-4	1.3884813E-4	7.8875787E-4	5.6807237	6.5E-4	7.378611E-4	5.949298E-4	0.0013145014	2.209507	7.2E-4	0.008946515	0.0072195893	0.008182586	1.1333866	9.7E-4	0.08594794	0.07098033	0.072095156	1.0157061	0.0012
6.1	1.7221631E-4	1.3884813E-4	7.8875787E-4	5.6807237	6.5E-4	7.378611E-4	5.949298E-4	0.0013145014	2.209507	7.2E-4	0.008946515	0.0072195893	0.008182586	1.1333866	9.7E-4	0.08594794	0.07098033	0.072095156	1.0157061	0.0012
6.2	1.7221631E-4	1.3884813E-4	7.8875787E-4	5.6807237	6.5E-4	7.378611E-4	5.949298E-4	0.0013145014	2.209507	7.2E-4	0.008946515	0.0072195893	0.008182586	1.1333866	9.7E-4	0.08594794	0.07098033	0.072095156	1.0157061	0.0012
6.3	1.716926E-4	1.3804044E-4	7.879507E-4	5.7081146	6.5E-4	7.3561794E-4	5.914698E-4	0.001311044	2.2165864	7.2E-4	0.008919428	0.0071777427	0.00814078	1.1341699	9.7E-4	0.08569809	0.070591554	0.07170685	1.0157992	0.0012
6.4	1.6392978E-4	1.3678071E-4	7.866918E-4	5.751482	6.5E-4	7.02367E-4	5.860734E-4	0.0013056514	2.2277951	7.2E-4	0.008517839	0.0071124705	0.008075572	1.1354102	9.7E-4	0.08198654	0.06981397	0.07093019	1.0159886	0.0012
6.5	1.5742714E-4	1.273507E-4	7.672692E-4	6.024853	6.4E-4	6.745133E-4	5.456762E-4	0.0012552888	2.300428	7.1E-4	0.00818132	0.0066236807	0.007577322	1.1439745	9.6E-4	0.078865945	0.065269575	0.06637256	1.0168989	0.00118
6.6	1.3038084E-4	1.1668041E-4	7.566057E-4	6.4844284	6.4E-4	5.5865536E-4	4.9996434E-4	0.0012096093	2.4193912	7.1E-4	0.006780438	0.0060703037	0.0070244763	1.157187	9.6E-4	0.0657725	0.05969804	0.060807597	1.0185862	0.00118
6.7	1.2867592E-4	1.1394015E-4	7.538672E-4	6.616344	6.4E-4	5.5135164E-4	4.8822485E-4	0.0011878831	2.4330657	7.0E-4	0.0066920654	0.00592816	0.0068725287	1.1593021	9.5E-4	0.06494093	0.058406997	0.059508663	1.0188619	0.00117
6.8	1.2801298E-4	1.13314665E-4	7.532422E-4	6.6473494	6.4E-4	5.485117E-4	4.8554517E-4	0.0011852053	2.4409783	7.0E-4	0.0066577005	0.00589573	0.0068401294	1.1601835	9.5E-4	0.06461738	0.058120523	0.059222523	1.0189606	0.00117
6.9	1.269149E-4	1.11733374E-4	7.516619E-4	6.7272816	6.4E-4	5.4380763E-4	4.7877073E-4	0.0011784356	2.4613776	7.0E-4	0.006600777	0.005813694	0.006758171	1.1624572	9.5E-4	0.06408122	0.05739127	0.058494125	1.0192164	0.00117
7.0	1.2030331E-4	1.09021465E-4	7.489517E-4	6.8697634	6.4E-4	5.154837E-4	4.6715248E-4	0.0011668254	2.49774	7.0E-4	0.006257969	0.0056729866	0.0066175973	1.1665103	9.5E-4	0.06084648	0.0560578	0.05715277	1.0195329	0.00116
7.1	8.049617E-5	5.4513344E-5	3.944948E-4	7.236665	3.4E-4	3.4493793E-4	2.3360789E-4	6.235168E-4	2.669074	3.9E-4	0.0041915346	0.002840502	0.00332911	1.1720147	4.9E-4	0.041133516	0.029908214	0.030422363	1.0171909	5.3E-4
7.2	7.093979E-5	4.345757E-5	3.3344497E-4	7.6728854	2.9E-4	3.0399222E-4	1.8623356E-4	5.161721E-4	2.7716384	3.3E-4	0.0036948253	0.0022650592	0.0026741305	1.1806008	4.1E-4	0.03633994	0.024201993	0.024641102	1.0181435	4.5E-4
7.3	6.193693E-5	2.928268E-5	7.928121E-5	2.707444	5.0E-5	2.6541698E-4	1.2549118E-4	1.8548364E-4	1.4780613	6.0E-5	0.0032266637	0.001526786	0.001636618	1.0719367	1.1E-4	0.031802133	0.016702168	0.016829997	1.0076535	1.3E-4
7.4	5.906492E-5	2.7389127E-5	7.7387755E-5	2.825492	5.0E-5	2.5311083E-4	1.173767E-4	1.7736966E-4	1.5111147	6.0E-5	0.0030772698	0.001428126	0.0015379689	1.0769141	1.1E-4	0.030350044	0.015663154	0.015791118	1.0081698	1.3E-4
7.5	5.424296E-5	2.5012829E-5	6.501183E-5	2.5991395	4.0E-5	2.324491E-4	1.0719344E-4	1.5718807E-4	1.4663965	5.0E-5	0.002826395	0.0013043	0.0014041696	1.0765694	1.0E-4	0.027907165	0.0143401865	0.014458465	1.0082481	1.2E-4
7.6	4.43084E-5	2.0167066E-5	3.0166864E-5	1.495848	1.0E-5	1.8987931E-4	8.6427426E-5	9.642656E-5	1.115694	1.0E-5	0.0023093296	0.0010517462	0.0010917041	1.037992	4.0E-5	0.022854783	0.011552726	0.011602148	1.004278	5.0E-5
7.7	4.118098E-5	1.9187377E-5	2.9187184E-5	1.521166	1.0E-5	1.7647797E-4	8.2229024E-5	9.22282E-5	1.1216016	1.0E-5	0.002146502	0.0010006787	0.0010406388	1.0399328	4.0E-5	0.021258866	0.011004387	0.011053837	1.0044936	5.0E-5
7.8	3.5408906E-5	1.8808338E-5	2.880815E-5	1.5316691	1.0E-5	1.5174363E-4	8.0604674E-5	9.060387E-5	1.1240523	1.0E-5	0.0018459131	9.809203E-4	0.0010208811	1.040738	4.0E-5	0.018306552	0.010781993	0.010831454	1.0045874	5.0E-5
7.9	2.5860836E-5	1.7535778E-5	2.7535603E-5	1.5702527	1.0E-5	1.10827445E-4	7.515117E-5	8.515042E-5	1.1330551	1.0E-5	0.001348489	9.145817E-4	9.545451E-4	1.0436958	4.0E-5	0.013403354	0.010023945	0.010073444	1.004938	5.0E-5
8.0	1.9777332E-5	1.5024337E-5	1.5024337E-5	1.0	0.0	8.4757245E-5	6.438843E-5	6.438843E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0010314309	7.8364735E-4	8.036317E-4	1.0255017	2.0E-5	0.010266567	0.008607016	0.008636758	1.0034555	3.0E-5
8.1	1.468494E-5	1.2256925E-5	1.2256925E-5	1.0	0.0	6.293394E-5	5.2528623E-5	5.2528623E-5	1.0	0.0	7.6595135E-4	6.393485E-4	6.5933575E-4	1.0312618	2.0E-5	0.0076331664	0.0070490325	0.0070688915	1.0028173	2.0E-5
8.2	8.63836E-6	5.545628E-6	5.545628E-6	1.0	0.0	3.7021015E-5	2.3766761E-5	2.3766761E-5	1.0	0.0	4.5063766E-4	2.8932196E-4	2.9931907E-4	1.0345535	1.0E-5	0.004497249	0.003287616	0.003297583	1.0030317	1.0E-5
8.3	1.983087E-6	7.783617E-7	7.783617E-7	1.0	0.0	8.498917E-6	3.3358317E-6	3.3358317E-6	1.0	0.0	1.034694E-4	4.0613013E-5	4.0613013E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0010342124	4.791138E-4	4.791138E-4	1.0	0.0

Calaveras (Central) 2011 CFM

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	1.5010907E-4	2.4853798E-4	7.184212E-4	2.890589	4.7E-4	6.4316596E-4	0.0010646407	0.0016340339	1.5348219	5.7E-4	0.0078024664	0.012876211	0.013705394	1.0643966	8.4E-4	0.07534136	0.12061286	0.12152742	1.0075827	0.00104
6.1	1.4521465E-4	2.4014905E-4	7.100362E-4	2.9566479	4.7E-4	6.222001E-4	0.0010287166	0.0015981302	1.5535184	5.7E-4	0.0075490056	0.012445273	0.01327482	1.0666555	8.4E-4	0.07297657	0.11688304	0.11779265	1.0077822	0.00103
6.2	1.429998E-4	2.3945422E-4	7.0934166E-4	2.9623268	4.7E-4	6.127123E-4	0.0010257415	0.0015951568	1.5551256	5.7E-4	0.007434286	0.012409511	0.013239088	1.0668501	8.4E-4	0.07190444	0.11653356	0.11744353	1.0078087	0.00103
6.3	1.3536277E-4	2.3274895E-4	7.026396E-4	3.0188732	4.7E-4	5.799972E-4	9.970313E-4	0.001566463	1.5711272	5.7E-4	0.0070386264	0.012064802	0.012884789	1.0679651	8.3E-4	0.0681982	0.11343816	0.114333585	1.0078936	0.00101
6.4	1.2993296E-4	2.2697143E-4	6.8686705E-4	3.0262268	4.6E-4	5.5673666E-4	9.722894E-4	0.001531745	1.5754002	5.6E-4	0.006757223	0.01176693	0.012577281	1.0688668	8.2E-4	0.06555412	0.110710815	0.11160011	1.0080326	0.001
6.5	1.0498927E-4	1.8024351E-4	6.401606E-4	3.551643	4.6E-4	4.498764E-4	7.7224255E-4	0.0013218179	1.7116615	5.5E-4	0.005463498	0.00936143	0.010134128	1.0825406	7.8E-4	0.053311124	0.08938072	0.09025492	1.0097805	9.6E-4
6.6	1.0157505E-4	1.751136E-4	6.3503307E-4	3.6264062	4.6E-4	4.35249E-4	7.5027003E-4	0.0012998574	1.7325194	5.5E-4	0.0052862884	0.009096215	0.00986912	1.08497	7.8E-4	0.05162293	0.08695614	0.08782353	1.0099751	9.5E-4
6.7	9.660386E-5	1.6769569E-4	6.276186E-4	3.742604	4.6E-4	4.1395082E-4	7.184974E-4	0.0012681022	1.7649364	5.5E-4	0.0050282106	0.008712579	0.009485782	1.0887457	7.8E-4	0.049159497	0.08344163	0.084312364	1.0104352	9.5E-4
6.8	9.089927E-5	1.568221E-4	6.1675E-4	3.9327998	4.6E-4	3.8951015E-4	6.719215E-4	0.0012215519	1.817998	5.5E-4	0.0047319788	0.008149924	0.008913648	1.0937095	7.7E-4	0.046324775	0.07833084	0.07917877	1.010825	9.2E-4
6.9	7.353187E-5	1.2328436E-4	5.132363E-4	4.1630282	3.9E-4	3.150985E-4	5.282552E-4	9.980069E-4	1.8892515	4.7E-4	0.0038295772	0.006412662	0.007048558	1.0991626	6.4E-4	0.037642512	0.062339306	0.06308006	1.0118825	7.9E-4
7.0	5.746064E-5	9.416502E-5	3.2414336E-4	3.4422905	2.3E-4	2.4623662E-4	4.0350232E-4	6.933853E-4	1.7184172	2.9E-4	0.0029938098	0.0049016466	0.00533949	1.0893258	4.4E-4	0.02953797	0.048116982	0.048650037	1.0110784	5.6E-4
7.1	4.9557195E-5	8.0766295E-5	3.107477E-4	3.8474925	2.3E-4	2.123707E-4	3.4609568E-4	6.259988E-4	1.8087448	2.8E-4	0.0025825473	0.0042056367	0.0046338285	1.1018137	4.3E-4	0.0255274	0.04148773	0.04201491	1.0127069	5.5E-4
7.2	3.687595E-5	5.9750764E-5	2.197412E-4	3.6776302	1.6E-4	1.5803022E-4	2.5604974E-4	4.3600364E-4	1.7028085	1.8E-4	0.0019223199	0.0031129783	0.003372169	1.0832613	2.6E-4	0.01905776	0.030993002	0.031312775	1.0103176	3.3E-4
7.3	2.5846984E-5	4.2669337E-5	1.5266464E-4	3.5778537	1.1E-4	1.1076809E-4	1.8285587E-4	3.128321E-4	1.7108124	1.3E-4	0.0013477671	0.0022240148	0.0023936369	1.0762683	1.7E-4	0.013396223	0.022272078	0.022477401	1.0092188	2.1E-4
7.4	1.7747854E-5	3.0048603E-5	7.0047405E-5	2.3311367	4.0E-5	7.6060016E-5	1.2877339E-4	1.6876824E-4	1.3105832	4.0E-5	9.2563726E-4	0.0015666913	0.001616613	1.0318644	5.0E-5	0.009217911	0.015763149	0.015832046	1.0043707	7.0E-5
7.5	1.4883479E-5	2.6348704E-5	5.634791E-5	2.138546	3.0E-5	6.378478E-5	1.1291815E-4	1.4291475E-4	1.2656492	3.0E-5	7.76303E-4	0.0013739142	0.0014138592	1.029074	4.0E-5	0.0077359667	0.013852971	0.013912139	1.0042711	6.0E-5
7.6	8.166975E-6	1.50413325E-5	3.504103E-5	2.3296494	2.0E-5	3.5000852E-5	6.446127E-5	8.445998E-5	1.3102438	2.0E-5	4.2605202E-4	7.8453467E-4	8.04519E-4	1.0254728	2.0E-5	0.004252361	0.007977014	0.008006776	1.0037308	3.0E-5
7.7	3.3858064E-6	6.3022685E-6	6.3022685E-6	1.0	0.0	1.4510518E-5	2.7009442E-5	2.7009442E-5	1.0	0.0	1.7665124E-4	3.287904E-4	3.287904E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0017651088	0.0034120693	0.0034120693	1.0	0.0
7.8	2.7721615E-6	5.4079574E-6	5.4079574E-6	1.0	0.0	1.1880637E-5	2.3176754E-5	2.3176754E-5	1.0	0.0	1.4463716E-4	2.8214048E-4	2.8214048E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0014454306	0.0029279073	0.0029279073	1.0	0.0
7.9	1.9736292E-6	4.1590415E-6	4.1590415E-6	1.0	0.0	8.4583835E-6	1.782434E-5	1.782434E-5	1.0	0.0	1.0297595E-4	2.1698979E-4	2.1698979E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0010292825	0.0022385716	0.0022385716	1.0	0.0
8.0	1.1767289E-6	2.5725647E-6	2.5725647E-6	1.0	0.0	5.0431145E-6	1.102523E-5	1.102523E-5	1.0	0.0	6.139818E-5	1.3422394E-4	1.3422394E-4	1.0	0.0	6.1381224E-4	0.0013749128	0.0013749128	1.0	0.0
8.1	7.5112825E-7	1.5518942E-6	1.5518942E-6	1.0	0.0	3.2191172E-6	6.6509583E-6	6.6509583E-6	1.0	0.0	3.9192048E-5	8.097244E-5	8.097244E-5	1.0	0.0	3.9185135E-4	8.289271E-4	8.289271E-4	1.0	0.0

Hayward (So) 2011 CFM

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	1.8091932E-4	3.576444E-4	4.6760504E-4	1.307458	1.1E-4	7.751381E-4	0.0015318713	0.0016916262	1.1042874	1.6E-4	0.00939654	0.018493457	0.018797724	1.0164527	3.1E-4	0.090090066	0.16694987	0.1673664	1.0024949	5.0E-4
6.1	1.8091932E-4	3.576444E-4	4.6760504E-4	1.307458	1.1E-4	7.751381E-4	0.0015318713	0.0016916262	1.1042874	1.6E-4	0.00939654	0.018493457	0.018797724	1.0164527	3.1E-4	0.090090066	0.16694987	0.1673664	1.0024949	5.0E-4
6.2	1.8091932E-4	3.576444E-4	4.6760504E-4	1.307458	1.1E-4	7.751381E-4	0.0015318713	0.0016916262	1.1042874	1.6E-4	0.00939654	0.018493457	0.018797724	1.0164527	3.1E-4	0.090090066	0.16694987	0.1673664	1.0024949	5.0E-4
6.3	1.7322872E-4	3.431997E-4	4.5316195E-4	1.3204031	1.1E-4	7.4219756E-4	0.0014700365	0.0016298012	1.1086808	1.6E-4	0.0089988755	0.017753096	0.01804777	1.0165985	3.0E-4	0.08643075	0.16087672	0.16129628	1.002608	5.0E-4
6.4	1.6334097E-4	3.2400212E-4	4.239697E-4	1.30854	1.0E-4	6.998449E-4	0.0013878501	0.001537642	1.1079308	1.5E-4	0.008487372	0.016768182	0.017043486	1.0164183	2.8E-4	0.081704415	0.15275027	0.15315695	1.0026624	4.8E-4
6.5	1.5600289E-4	3.1073482E-4	4.1070374E-4	1.3217179	1.0E-4	6.684125E-4	0.0013310493	0.0014808497	1.112543	1.5E-4	0.008107598	0.016087007	0.016352663	1.0165137	2.7E-4	0.078181036	0.14701682	0.14741772	1.0027269	4.7E-4
6.6	1.4046066E-4	2.8084763E-4	3.7082235E-4	1.3203684	9.0E-5	6.018354E-4	0.0012030842	0.0013429158	1.1162276	1.4E-4	0.0073027555	0.014550682	0.014806899	1.0176085	2.6E-4	0.07067384	0.1340958	0.13448545	1.0029058	4.5E-4
6.7	1.14696966E-4	2.3318005E-4	3.2315907E-4	1.3858778	9.0E-5	4.914658E-4	9.989655E-4	0.0011288356	1.1300046	1.3E-4	0.0059671924	0.012095646	0.012312985	1.0179684	2.2E-4	0.058094822	0.112940885	0.11329571	1.0031416	4.0E-4
6.8	9.3874296E-5	1.8900084E-4	2.7898382E-4	1.4760984	9.0E-5	4.0225635E-4	8.097558E-4	9.396506E-4	1.1604122	1.3E-4	0.0048864787	0.009814949	0.010022888	1.0211859	2.1E-4	0.047804173	0.092746735	0.09306427	1.0034237	3.5E-4
6.9	5.551852E-5	1.0753225E-4	1.9752258E-4	1.8368682	9.0E-5	2.3791482E-4	4.6077173E-4	5.6072563E-4	1.2169272	1.0E-4	0.0028927654	0.005595585	0.0057348013	1.0248797	1.4E-4	0.028553981	0.054346986	0.054564487	1.0040021	2.3E-4
7.0	4.2662363E-5	8.2654355E-5	1.6264775E-4	1.9678061	8.0E-5	1.8282588E-4	3.5418523E-4	4.4415338E-4	1.2540144	9.0E-5	0.0022236328	0.004303753	0.0044331932	1.0300761	1.3E-4	0.022015138	0.042152237	0.042343806	1.0045447	2.0E-4
7.1	3.305886E-5	6.317638E-5	1.2317259E-4	1.949662	6.0E-5	1.4167312E-4	2.7072793E-4	3.40709E-4	1.2584921	7.0E-5	0.0017235056	0.0032911499	0.0033808537	1.027256	9.0E-5	0.017101998	0.032526787	0.03267191	1.0044615	1.5E-4
7.2	2.9856887E-5	5.716231E-5	1.0715945E-4	1.8746523	5.0E-5	1.2795182E-4	2.449584E-4	3.049437E-4	1.2448795	6.0E-5	0.0015567001	0.002978307	0.0030580687	1.0267808	8.0E-5	0.015458403	0.029523628	0.029659495	1.004602	1.4E-4
7.3	2.4559737E-5	4.611603E-5	7.6114644E-5	1.650503	3.0E-5	1.0525176E-4	1.9762522E-4	2.3761732E-4	1.2023633	4.0E-5	0.0012806869	0.002403445	0.002463301	1.0249041	6.0E-5	0.012733313	0.023917088	0.024014696	1.0040811	1.0E-4
7.4	1.9002231E-5	3.515387E-5	6.515282E-5	1.8533611	3.0E-5	8.143559E-5	1.506508E-4	1.8064628E-4	1.199106	3.0E-5	9.910273E-4	0.0018326403	0.001872567	1.0217865	4.0E-5	0.009866194	0.018308053	0.01838659	1.0042896	8.0E-5
7.5	1.2783333E-5	2.340918E-5	5.340848E-5	2.2815185	3.0E-5	5.4784563E-5	1.0032124E-4	1.3031822E-4	1.2990093	3.0E-5	6.667979E-4	0.0012207325	0.0012506959	1.0245454	3.0E-5	0.006648007	0.01224769	0.012306956	1.0048388	6.0E-5
7.6	4.8149627E-6	8.921587E-6	2.892141E-5	3.2417336	2.0E-5	2.063539E-5	3.8234823E-5	5.8234058E-5	1.5230634	2.0E-5	2.5120692E-4	4.6541076E-4	4.8540146E-4	1.0429528	2.0E-5	0.0025092314	0.0046969336	0.0047267927	1.0063572	3.0E-5
7.7	6.0838227E-7	1.2139337E-6	1.2139337E-6	1.0	0.0	2.6073499E-6	5.2025625E-6	5.2025625E-6	1.0	0.0	3.174402E-5	6.3339365E-5	6.3339365E-5	1.0	0.0	3.1739488E-4	6.569496E-4	6.569496E-4	1.0	0.0
7.8	4.5542808E-7	9.864626E-7	9.864626E-7	1.0	0.0	1.9518332E-6	4.22769E-6	4.22769E-6	1.0	0.0	2.376331E-5	5.1470917E-5	5.1470917E-5	1.0	0.0	2.3760769E-4	5.356565E-4	5.356565E-4	1.0	0.0
7.9	3.3016747E-7	7.4400174E-7	7.4400174E-7	1.0	0.0	1.4150027E-6	3.188575E-6	3.188575E-6	1.0	0.0	1.7227521E-5	3.882021E-5	3.882021E-5	1.0	0.0	1.7226185E-4	4.0190507E-4	4.0190507E-4	1.0	0.0
8.0	2.347038E-7	5.509533E-7	5.509533E-7	1.0	0.0	1.0058731E-6	2.361226E-6	2.361226E-6	1.0	0.0	1.2246436E-5	2.874755E-5	2.874755E-5	1.0	0.0	1.2245761E-4	2.9538097E-4	2.9538097E-4	1.0	0.0
8.1	1.18822804E-7	2.622927E-7	2.622927E-7	1.0	0.0	5.092405E-7	1.1241111E-6	1.1241111E-6	1.0	0.0	6.1999854E-6	1.3685968E-5	1.3685968E-5	1.0	0.0	6.199812E-5	1.400082E-4	1.400082E-4	1.0	0.0

Hayward (So) extension 2011 CFM

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	1.1721256E-4	2.368966E-4	3.4687054E-4	1.4642277	1.1E-4	5.022428E-4	0.0010147279	0.0011745655	1.1575178	1.6E-4	0.0060976758	0.012260713	0.01257679	1.0257796	3.2E-4	0.0593305	0.11292522	0.11329779	1.0032992	4.2E-4
6.1	6.99169E-5	1.3823296E-4	1.6822881E-4	1.216995	3.0E-5	2.9960944E-4	5.922129E-4	6.521774E-4	1.1012549	6.0E-5	0.0036416445	0.007180251	0.0073391027	1.0221233	1.6E-4	0.035825435	0.067871265	0.068094976	1.0032961	2.4E-4
6.2	6.99169E-5	1.3823296E-4	1.6822881E-4	1.216995	3.0E-5	2.9960944E-4	5.922129E-4	6.521774E-4	1.1012549	6.0E-5	0.0036416445	0.007180251	0.0073391027	1.0221233	1.6E-4	0.035825435	0.067871265	0.068094976	1.0032961	2.4E-4
6.3	6.970908E-5	1.3791428E-4	1.6791014E-4	1.2174964	3.0E-5	2.9871898E-4	5.9084786E-4	6.5081246E-4	1.101489	6.0E-5	0.0036308395	0.0071637807	0.0073226346	1.0221746	1.6E-4	0.035720866	0.067720175	0.06794392	1.003304	2.4E-4
6.4	6.9517155E-5	1.3758331E-4	1.6757919E-4	1.2180197	3.0E-5	2.9789665E-4	5.8943033E-4	6.49395E-4	1.1017332	6.0E-5	0.0036208609	0.0071466854	0.007305542	1.022228	1.6E-4	0.03562429	0.06756415	0.06778794	1.0033122	2.4E-4
6.5	4.786248E-5	9.428081E-5	1.2427798E-4	1.3181684	3.0E-5	2.0510878E-4	4.0400066E-4	4.5398044E-4	1.1237122	5.0E-5	0.0024943394	0.004908051	0.0050274623	1.0243297	1.2E-4	0.02466527	0.04695874	0.04714935	1.0040591	2.0E-4
6.6	4.4662214E-5	8.894386E-5	1.1894119E-4	1.3372614	3.0E-5	1.9139545E-4	3.811349E-4	4.3111586E-4	1.1311371	5.0E-5	0.0023277493	0.0046309093	0.0047503537	1.0257928	1.2E-4	0.02303517	0.04434839	0.044539522	1.0043098	2.0E-4
6.7	3.884542E-5	7.876853E-5	1.08766166E-4	1.3808328	3.0E-5	1.6646975E-4	3.3753825E-4	3.7752473E-4	1.1184651	4.0E-5	0.002024885	0.00410223	0.0042018197	1.024277	1.0E-4	0.020065336	0.039385635	0.03954894	1.0041463	1.7E-4
6.8	3.4221863E-5	6.866426E-5	9.8662196E-5	1.4368786	3.0E-5	1.4665688E-4	2.942446E-4	3.342328E-4	1.1359013	4.0E-5	0.0017840851	0.0035769648	0.0036766073	1.0278567	1.0E-4	0.017698295	0.034467913	0.034632053	1.0047622	1.7E-4
6.9	1.6927712E-5	3.0117317E-5	6.0116414E-5	1.9960747	3.0E-5	7.2545314E-5	1.2906815E-4	1.5906428E-4	1.2324053	3.0E-5	8.828813E-4	0.0015703292	0.0016302349	1.0381485	6.0E-5	0.008793819	0.015488898	0.015577504	1.0057206	9.0E-5
7.0	1.2509653E-5	2.2512628E-5	3.2512402E-5	1.4441851	1.0E-5	5.3611697E-5	9.647937E-5	1.0647841E-4	1.1036391	1.0E-5	6.525269E-4	0.0011740476	0.0012140006	1.0340302	4.0E-5	0.0065061417	0.011605988	0.011675175	1.0059614	7.0E-5
7.1	8.751583E-6	1.496289E-5	1.496289E-5	1.0	0.0	3.750624E-5	6.412513E-5	6.412513E-5	1.0	0.0	4.5654282E-4	7.8044966E-4	8.004341E-4	1.0256063	2.0E-5	0.0045560603	0.007782067	0.007831678	1.0063751	5.0E-5
7.2	6.354379E-6	1.1533311E-5	1.1533311E-5	1.0	0.0	2.7232769E-5	4.942757E-5	4.942757E-5	1.0	0.0	3.3150852E-4	6.0161937E-4	6.2160735E-4	1.0332236	2.0E-5	0.0033101442	0.0060175816	0.006057341	1.0066072	4.0E-5
7.3	4.645554E-6	8.848529E-6	8.848529E-6	1.0	0.0	1.9909365E-5	3.7921738E-5	3.7921738E-5	1.0	0.0	2.4236954E-4	4.6160334E-4	4.715987E-4	1.0216537	1.0E-5	0.0024210536	0.0046258606	0.004645768	1.0043036	2.0E-5
7.4	4.23437E-6	8.020688E-6	8.020688E-6	1.0	0.0	1.8147173E-5	3.437395E-5	3.437395E-5	1.0	0.0	2.2091944E-4	4.1842632E-4	4.2842215E-4	1.0238891	1.0E-5	0.0022069993	0.0041960757	0.004215992	1.0047463	2.0E-5
7.5	2.2187417E-6	3.969716E-6	3.969716E-6	1.0	0.0	9.508858E-6	1.7012973E-5	1.7012973E-5	1.0	0.0	1.157642E-4	2.0711591E-4	2.0711591E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0011570391	0.0020826403	0.0020926194	1.0047916	1.0E-5
7.6	2.7952495E-8	3.8855283E-8	3.8855283E-8	1.0	0.0	1.1979641E-7	1.6652264E-7	1.6652264E-7	1.0	0.0	1.4585203E-6	2.0274113E-6	2.0274113E-6	1.0	0.0	1.4585107E-5	2.0361616E-5	2.0361616E-5	1.0	0.0
7.7	1.7192724E-8	2.3484029E-8	2.3484029E-8	1.0	0.0	7.36831E-8	1.00645835E-7	1.00645835E-7	1.0	0.0	8.9709135E-7	1.2253623E-6	1.2253623E-6	1.0	0.0	8.970877E-6	1.2318992E-5	1.2318992E-5	1.0	0.0

Calaveras (No) 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	4.8694856E-5	6.761586E-5	2.076064E-4	3.0703802	1.4E-4	2.0867554E-4	2.8975084E-4	4.696987E-4	1.6210434	1.8E-4	0.0025376645	0.0035220108	0.0038209541	1.0848786	3.0E-4	0.02508881	0.03484133	0.03519844	1.0102496	3.7E-4
6.1	4.8694856E-5	6.761586E-5	2.076064E-4	3.0703802	1.4E-4	2.0867554E-4	2.8975084E-4	4.696987E-4	1.6210434	1.8E-4	0.0025376645	0.0035220108	0.0038209541	1.0848786	3.0E-4	0.02508881	0.03484133	0.03519844	1.0102496	3.7E-4
6.2	4.7541962E-5	6.594582E-5	2.0593658E-4	3.122815	1.4E-4	2.0373536E-4	2.8259508E-4	4.625442E-4	1.6367737	1.8E-4	0.0024776561	0.0034351891	0.0037341586	1.0870315	3.0E-4	0.024502134	0.034002215	0.034359634	1.0105116	3.7E-4
6.3	4.6717287E-5	6.477861E-5	2.0476955E-4	3.1610672	1.4E-4	2.0020158E-4	2.7759394E-4	4.5754397E-4	1.6482491	1.8E-4	0.0024347296	0.0033745	0.0036734876	1.0886021	3.0E-4	0.024082264	0.0334144	0.033772036	1.0107031	3.7E-4
6.4	4.6276386E-5	6.413982E-5	2.0413085E-4	3.1825912	1.4E-4	1.983123E-4	2.748569E-4	4.5480742E-4	1.6547062	1.8E-4	0.0024117786	0.0033412864	0.0036402838	1.0894858	3.0E-4	0.02385771	0.033093065	0.03345082	1.0108106	3.7E-4
6.5	4.5720994E-5	6.3339976E-5	2.0333112E-4	3.2101545	1.4E-4	1.9593239E-4	2.7142986E-4	4.51381E-4	1.6629747	1.8E-4	0.002382867	0.0032996982	0.0035987084	1.0906174	3.0E-4	0.023574775	0.03269041	0.033048313	1.0109483	3.7E-4
6.6	4.549134E-5	6.299287E-5	2.0298405E-4	3.2223337	1.4E-4	1.949483E-4	2.6994257E-4	4.49894E-4	1.6666285	1.8E-4	0.0023709119	0.0032816452	0.0035806608	1.0911176	3.0E-4	0.023457756	0.032515757	0.032873727	1.0110091	3.7E-4
6.7	3.701047E-5	5.048898E-5	1.9048191E-4	3.7727423	1.4E-4	1.5860666E-4	2.1636364E-4	3.963247E-4	1.8317528	1.8E-4	0.0019293258	0.0026310887	0.002910352	1.1061398	2.8E-4	0.019126613	0.026189692	0.026530527	1.0130141	3.5E-4
6.8	3.5523568E-5	4.8469614E-5	1.784633E-4	3.6819627	1.3E-4	1.5223498E-4	2.0771062E-4	3.7767531E-4	1.8182764	1.7E-4	0.0018518851	0.002525987	0.0027853304	1.1026701	2.6E-4	0.018365284	0.02516152	0.025483215	1.0127853	3.3E-4
6.9	3.2946147E-5	4.478715E-5	1.7478132E-4	3.9024882	1.3E-4	1.4119013E-4	1.9193105E-4	3.6189842E-4	1.8855648	1.7E-4	0.0017176344	0.0023342986	0.0025737383	1.1025746	2.4E-4	0.017044188	0.023281738	0.023574753	1.0125856	3.0E-4
7.0	2.7682381E-5	3.7143694E-5	1.5713923E-4	4.2305765	1.2E-4	1.1863338E-4	1.5917771E-4	2.9915542E-4	1.8793801	1.4E-4	0.0014434044	0.0019362964	0.0021458897	1.1082444	2.1E-4	0.01434065	0.019371962	0.019636732	1.0136677	2.7E-4
7.1	2.471967E-5	3.3404696E-5	1.5340069E-4	4.5921893	1.2E-4	1.05937135E-4	1.431553E-4	2.7313668E-4	1.9079747	1.3E-4	0.0012890215	0.0017415516	0.0019412033	1.1146401	2.0E-4	0.0128157	0.017445765	0.01770123	1.0146433	2.6E-4
7.2	1.9748062E-5	2.6889387E-5	1.3688643E-4	5.0907235	1.1E-4	8.463181E-5	1.1523527E-4	2.3522145E-4	2.0412278	1.2E-4	0.0010299052	0.0014021102	0.0015918438	1.1353201	1.9E-4	0.01025145	0.01408925	0.014325868	1.0167942	2.4E-4
7.3	1.1603734E-5	1.5884028E-5	9.588276E-5	6.0364256	8.0E-5	4.9729337E-5	6.807272E-5	1.5806658E-4	2.3220255	9.0E-5	6.052865E-4	8.2848466E-4	9.483852E-4	1.1447227	1.2E-4	0.0060364045	0.008360278	0.008499107	1.0166059	1.4E-4
7.4	4.885381E-6	6.057688E-6	1.6057627E-5	2.6507847	1.0E-5	2.0937177E-5	2.5961263E-5	3.5961002E-5	1.3851793	1.0E-5	2.5488032E-4	3.160327E-4	3.360264E-4	1.0632646	2.0E-5	0.0025458818	0.0032126233	0.0032325592	1.0062054	2.0E-5
7.5	3.0571264E-6	4.1759104E-6	4.1759104E-6	1.0	0.0	1.3101904E-5	1.7896637E-5	1.7896637E-5	1.0	0.0	1.5950401E-4	2.1786986E-4	2.2786768E-4	1.0458889	1.0E-5	0.0015938957	0.0022316445	0.0022416222	1.004471	1.0E-5
7.6	1.764948E-6	2.8153418E-6	2.8153418E-6	1.0	0.0	7.564041E-6	1.2065695E-5	1.2065695E-5	1.0	0.0	9.208831E-5	1.4689002E-4	1.4689002E-4	1.0	0.0	9.205016E-4	0.0015222877	0.0015222877	1.0	0.0
7.7	1.3173734E-6	2.0758525E-6	2.0758525E-6	1.0	0.0	5.645874E-6	8.896481E-6	8.896481E-6	1.0	0.0	6.873634E-5	1.08309294E-4	1.08309294E-4	1.0	0.0	6.8715087E-4	0.001134934	0.001134934	1.0	0.0
7.8	9.4429885E-7	1.5624996E-6	1.5624996E-6	1.0	0.0	4.0469886E-6	6.69641E-6	6.69641E-6	1.0	0.0	4.9270973E-5	8.152575E-5	8.152575E-5	1.0	0.0	4.926005E-4	8.569971E-4	8.569971E-4	1.0	0.0
7.9	6.388233E-7	1.1244719E-6	1.1244719E-6	1.0	0.0	2.7378112E-6	4.819156E-6	4.819156E-6	1.0	0.0	3.3332344E-5	5.8671656E-5	5.8671656E-5	1.0	0.0	3.3327343E-4	6.144991E-4	6.144991E-4	1.0	0.0
8.0	3.087986E-7	5.804411E-7	5.804411E-7	1.0	0.0	1.323422E-6	2.4876024E-6	2.4876024E-6	1.0	0.0	1.6112543E-5	3.028614E-5	3.028614E-5	1.0	0.0	1.6111376E-4	3.1355317E-4	3.1355317E-4	1.0	0.0
8.1	1.6725647E-7	2.7678075E-7	2.7678075E-7	1.0	0.0	7.168133E-7	1.1862027E-6	1.1862027E-6	1.0	0.0	8.7271665E-6	1.4441924E-5	1.4441924E-5	1.0	0.0	8.726824E-5	1.4986278E-4	1.4986278E-4	1.0	0.0

Hunting Creek - Berryessa 2011 CFM

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	1.1270982E-4	2.003951E-4	2.6038307E-4	1.2993485	6.0E-5	4.8295266E-4	8.585386E-4	9.384699E-4	1.0931016	8.0E-5	0.0058641075	0.010392612	0.010531157	1.013331	1.4E-4	0.057117578	0.098095	0.098275386	1.0018388	2.0E-4
6.1	1.1239393E-4	1.9987613E-4	2.5986414E-4	1.300126	6.0E-5	4.8159933E-4	8.56316E-4	9.3624747E-4	1.0933435	8.0E-5	0.0058477195	0.010365835	0.010504384	1.0133659	1.4E-4	0.056962132	0.0978533	0.09803373	1.0018439	2.0E-4
6.2	7.596265E-5	1.2942415E-4	1.8941639E-4	1.463532	6.0E-5	3.2551357E-4	5.54509E-4	6.344646E-4	1.1441917	8.0E-5	0.0039559277	0.006725556	0.006864615	1.0206761	1.4E-4	0.038862433	0.064629294	0.06481636	1.0028945	2.0E-4
6.3	6.78794E-5	1.1455879E-4	1.7455191E-4	1.5236886	6.0E-5	2.9087928E-4	4.9083366E-4	5.707944E-4	1.162908	8.0E-5	0.003535705	0.005956316	0.006095482	1.0233644	1.4E-4	0.034799766	0.057498842	0.057687342	1.0032784	2.0E-4
6.4	6.2165134E-5	1.0441751E-4	1.544123E-4	1.4787968	5.0E-5	2.6639478E-4	4.4739392E-4	5.173626E-4	1.1563916	7.0E-5	0.0032385332	0.0054307836	0.0055600777	1.0238076	1.3E-4	0.03191742	0.05258149	0.052761495	1.0034235	1.9E-4
6.5	5.4368087E-5	9.076426E-5	1.4075973E-4	1.5508276	5.0E-5	2.3298527E-4	3.8890383E-4	4.588766E-4	1.179923	7.0E-5	0.0028329059	0.004722658	0.0048520444	1.0273969	1.3E-4	0.027970633	0.045907296	0.046079036	1.0037409	1.8E-4
6.6	4.729947E-5	7.852248E-5	1.1851933E-4	1.5093683	4.0E-5	2.0269625E-4	3.3646295E-4	3.9644277E-4	1.1782657	6.0E-5	0.002465034	0.0040873145	0.0042068237	1.0292392	1.2E-4	0.02437869	0.03987545	0.040038675	1.0040933	1.7E-4
6.7	3.6875328E-5	6.048536E-5	7.0484755E-5	1.1653192	1.0E-5	1.5802756E-4	2.591787E-4	2.8917092E-4	1.1157203	3.0E-5	0.0019222875	0.0031503	0.0032300479	1.0253145	8.0E-5	0.019057442	0.030911557	0.031027848	1.003762	1.2E-4
6.8	2.0292036E-5	2.8989936E-5	2.8989936E-5	1.0	0.0	8.6962966E-5	1.2423648E-4	1.3423523E-4	1.0804816	1.0E-5	0.0010582599	0.0015115169	0.0015414715	1.0198176	3.0E-5	0.010532344	0.014985805	0.015035056	1.0032865	5.0E-5
6.9	1.7871042E-5	2.4484303E-5	2.4484303E-5	1.0	0.0	7.658793E-5	1.049285E-4	1.049285E-4	1.0	0.0	9.320591E-4	0.0012767552	0.0012867424	1.0078224	1.0E-5	0.009281595	0.012686039	0.012705785	1.0015565	2.0E-5
7.0	1.6415532E-5	2.191754E-5	2.191754E-5	1.0	0.0	7.035038E-5	9.392895E-5	9.392895E-5	1.0	0.0	8.561793E-4	0.0011429862	0.0011429862	1.0	0.0	0.008528882	0.011370371	0.011380257	1.0008695	1.0E-5
7.1	1.5409885E-5	2.035714E-5	2.035714E-5	1.0	0.0	6.6040695E-5	8.7241984E-5	8.7241984E-5	1.0	0.0	8.0374884E-4	0.0010616564	0.0010616564	1.0	0.0	0.00800848	0.010566317	0.010576211	1.0009364	1.0E-5
7.2	1.4497423E-5	1.906526E-5	1.906526E-5	1.0	0.0	6.213033E-5	8.170572E-5	8.170572E-5	1.0	0.0	7.5617427E-4	9.943163E-4	9.943163E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0075360634	0.009899417	0.009909318	1.0010002	1.0E-5
7.3	1.3615175E-5	1.783605E-5	1.783605E-5	1.0	0.0	5.8349444E-5	7.643799E-5	7.643799E-5	1.0	0.0	7.101729E-4	9.302381E-4	9.302381E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0070790765	0.009264177	0.009264177	1.0	0.0
7.4	1.2252825E-5	1.6035423E-5	1.6035423E-5	1.0	0.0	5.251105E-5	6.872145E-5	6.872145E-5	1.0	0.0	6.391345E-4	8.363653E-4	8.363653E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0063729943	0.008332806	0.008332806	1.0	0.0
7.5	1.0913301E-5	1.4248966E-5	1.4248966E-5	1.0	0.0	4.6770452E-5	6.1065584E-5	6.1065584E-5	1.0	0.0	5.6928146E-4	7.432226E-4	7.432226E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0056782532	0.0074079614	0.0074079614	1.0	0.0
7.6	8.623192E-6	1.1241263E-5	1.1241263E-5	1.0	0.0	3.6956015E-5	4.8175963E-5	4.8175963E-5	1.0	0.0	4.4984656E-4	5.8638706E-4	5.8638706E-4	1.0	0.0	0.00448937	0.0058489256	0.0058489256	1.0	0.0
7.7	2.0993634E-6	2.6636906E-6	2.6636906E-6	1.0	0.0	8.997241E-6	1.1415767E-5	1.1415767E-5	1.0	0.0	1.09535904E-4	1.3897817E-4	1.3897817E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0010948193	0.0013889482	0.0013889482	1.0	0.0
7.8	1.8428308E-7	2.1680074E-7	2.1680074E-7	1.0	0.0	7.897844E-7	9.291457E-7	9.291457E-7	1.0	0.0	9.615583E-6	1.1312294E-5	1.1312294E-5	1.0	0.0	9.615166E-5	1.1311039E-4	1.1311039E-4	1.0	0.0

Sargent 2011 CFM

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	3.7327867E-5	3.66759E-5	1.0667333E-4	2.9085402	7.0E-5	1.5996677E-4	1.5717551E-4	2.3716294E-4	1.5089052	8.0E-5	0.0019458556	0.0019123429	0.0020321135	1.0626303	1.2E-4	0.01928905	0.019031286	0.019247098	1.0113399	2.2E-4
6.1	2.3771476E-5	1.84927E-5	4.8492144E-5	2.6222317	3.0E-5	1.01873775E-4	7.925252E-5	1.19249344E-4	1.5046759	4.0E-5	0.0012396075	9.645534E-4	0.0010145052	1.0517875	5.0E-5	0.012327154	0.009643522	0.009742557	1.0102696	1.0E-4
6.2	2.3112721E-5	1.772381E-5	4.772328E-5	2.6926084	3.0E-5	9.9050754E-5	7.595747E-5	1.1595443E-4	1.5265704	4.0E-5	0.0012052758	9.2447037E-4	9.744242E-4	1.0540351	5.0E-5	0.011987597	0.0092460485	0.009335216	1.0096439	9.0E-5
6.3	1.728509E-5	1.0468866E-5	2.0468762E-5	1.9552033	1.0E-5	7.407686E-5	4.4866065E-5	6.486517E-5	1.4457512	2.0E-5	9.015125E-4	5.4615387E-4	5.761375E-4	1.0548996	3.0E-5	0.008978641	0.0054846806	0.005524461	1.007253	4.0E-5
6.4	1.48395575E-5	7.464625E-6	1.746455E-5	2.339642	1.0E-5	6.3596555E-5	3.1991072E-5	4.1990752E-5	1.3125772	1.0E-5	7.7401294E-4	3.8945937E-4	4.0945158E-4	1.0513332	2.0E-5	0.0077132257	0.003923548	0.0039534303	1.0076162	3.0E-5
6.5	1.4358964E-5	6.9032167E-6	1.6903148E-5	2.44859	1.0E-5	6.1536964E-5	2.9585093E-5	3.9584796E-5	1.337998	1.0E-5	7.48955E-4	3.6017652E-4	3.701729E-4	1.0277542	1.0E-5	0.0074643586	0.0036317029	0.0036516301	1.0054871	2.0E-5
6.6	9.772591E-6	1.3799386E-6	1.3799386E-6	1.0	0.0	4.188186E-5	5.9140093E-6	5.9140093E-6	1.0	0.0	5.097923E-4	7.2000716E-5	7.2000716E-5	1.0	0.0	0.005086244	7.5197575E-4	7.5197575E-4	1.0	0.0
6.7	9.752745E-6	1.358627E-6	1.358627E-6	1.0	0.0	4.179681E-5	5.8226738E-6	5.8226738E-6	1.0	0.0	5.0875737E-4	7.0888775E-5	7.0888775E-5	1.0	0.0	0.005075942	7.4086385E-4	7.4086385E-4	1.0	0.0
6.8	9.608213E-6	1.2423781E-6	1.2423781E-6	1.0	0.0	4.1177405E-5	5.324466E-6	5.324466E-6	1.0	0.0	5.012196E-4	6.482347E-5	6.482347E-5	1.0	0.0	0.005000906	6.799458E-4	6.799458E-4	1.0	0.0
6.9	9.427164E-6	1.1269155E-6	1.1269155E-6	1.0	0.0	4.04015E-5	4.8296292E-6	4.8296292E-6	1.0	0.0	4.9177726E-4	5.8799167E-5	5.8799167E-5	1.0	0.0	0.004906904	6.190613E-4	6.190613E-4	1.0	0.0
7.0	9.247601E-6	9.931869E-7	9.931869E-7	1.0	0.0	3.9631974E-5	4.256508E-6	4.256508E-6	1.0	0.0	4.8241246E-4	5.182177E-5	5.182177E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0048136655	5.488196E-4	5.488196E-4	1.0	0.0
7.1	8.995454E-6	8.3234227E-7	8.3234227E-7	1.0	0.0	3.8551374E-5	3.5671762E-6	3.5671762E-6	1.0	0.0	4.6926187E-4	4.342952E-5	4.342952E-5	1.0	0.0	0.004682722	4.6401215E-4	4.6401215E-4	1.0	0.0
7.2	8.520861E-6	5.322471E-7	5.322471E-7	1.0	0.0	3.6517464E-5	2.281057E-6	2.281057E-6	1.0	0.0	4.445094E-4	2.7771523E-5	2.7771523E-5	1.0	0.0	0.004436213	3.0573667E-4	3.0573667E-4	1.0	0.0
7.3	8.043592E-6	3.4978723E-7	3.4978723E-7	1.0	0.0	3.4472083E-5	1.4990873E-6	1.4990873E-6	1.0	0.0	4.196168E-4	1.8251236E-5	1.8251236E-5	1.0	0.0	0.004188253	2.092194E-4	2.092194E-4	1.0	0.0
7.4	7.662316E-6	2.966965E-7	2.966965E-7	1.0	0.0	3.2838085E-5	1.2715558E-6	1.2715558E-6	1.0	0.0	3.9973034E-4	1.5481082E-5	1.5481082E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0039901207	1.7969355E-4	1.7969355E-4	1.0	0.0
7.5	6.961638E-6	2.3896274E-7	2.3896274E-7	1.0	0.0	2.9835252E-5	1.0241256E-6	1.0241256E-6	1.0	0.0	3.6318362E-4	1.24686585E-5	1.24686585E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0036259065	1.4608557E-4	1.4608557E-4	1.0	0.0
7.6	6.282332E-6	1.7144185E-7	1.7144185E-7	1.0	0.0	2.6924003E-5	7.347506E-7	7.347506E-7	1.0	0.0	3.2775043E-4	8.9455525E-6	8.9455525E-6	1.0	0.0	0.0032726745	1.06616906E-4	1.06616906E-4	1.0	0.0
7.7	4.934408E-6	5.0855686E-8	5.0855686E-8	1.0	0.0	2.114729E-5	2.1795293E-7	2.1795293E-7	1.0	0.0	2.5743784E-4	2.6535736E-6	2.6535736E-6	1.0	0.0	0.0025713982	3.3127955E-5	3.3127955E-5	1.0	0.0
7.8	2.373212E-6	3.5855745E-8	3.5855745E-8	1.0	0.0	1.0170869E-5	1.5366747E-7	1.5366747E-7	1.0	0.0	1.238233E-4	1.8708998E-6	1.8708998E-6	1.0	0.0	0.0012375432	2.4602417E-5	2.4602417E-5	1.0	0.0
7.9	1.8227792E-6	3.1229092E-8	3.1229092E-8	1.0	0.0	7.811887E-6	1.3383895E-7	1.3383895E-7	1.0	0.0	9.510558E-5	1.6294881E-6	1.6294881E-6	1.0	0.0	9.5064886E-4	2.1838767E-5	2.1838767E-5	1.0	0.0
8.0	1.9095137E-7	1.345429E-8	1.345429E-8	1.0	0.0	8.1836276E-7	5.766124E-8	5.766124E-8	1.0	0.0	9.963521E-6	7.020254E-7	7.020254E-7	1.0	0.0	9.963074E-5	8.58075E-6	8.58075E-6	1.0	0.0

Hayward (No) 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	9.3068506E-5	1.7426009E-4	2.3424963E-4	1.344253	6.0E-5	3.9880406E-4	7.466154E-4	8.0657064E-4	1.0803027	6.0E-5	0.0048446343	0.009052039	0.009151134	1.0109472	1.0E-4	0.047403704	0.08649084	0.08667354	1.0021124	2.0E-4
6.1	9.055486E-5	1.6976938E-4	2.2975919E-4	1.3533607	6.0E-5	3.880345E-4	7.273807E-4	7.87337E-4	1.0824277	6.0E-5	0.0047140904	0.008819976	0.008919094	1.0112379	1.0E-4	0.046153355	0.08438777	0.084561735	1.0020615	1.9E-4
6.2	9.006742E-5	1.6897473E-4	2.2896459E-4	1.3550227	6.0E-5	3.859461E-4	7.2397705E-4	7.839336E-4	1.0828155	6.0E-5	0.0046887742	0.008778909	0.008878032	1.0112909	1.0E-4	0.0459107	0.08401176	0.0841858	1.0020716	1.9E-4
6.3	8.8336754E-5	1.6576922E-4	2.2575927E-4	1.361889	6.0E-5	3.7853114E-4	7.102467E-4	7.7020406E-4	1.0844177	6.0E-5	0.004598882	0.008613128	0.008712267	1.0115101	1.0E-4	0.04504866	0.082503535	0.082668684	1.0020018	1.8E-4
6.4	8.526157E-5	1.6003211E-4	2.2002251E-4	1.3748648	6.0E-5	3.6535555E-4	6.856723E-4	7.456311E-4	1.0874454	6.0E-5	0.0044391346	0.008316266	0.0084154345	1.0119246	1.0E-4	0.043514993	0.079811774	0.07997741	1.0020753	1.8E-4
6.5	8.152396E-5	1.5335383E-4	2.0334616E-4	1.3259934	5.0E-5	3.493416E-4	6.570659E-4	7.0703303E-4	1.0760459	5.0E-5	0.0042449418	0.0079705855	0.008059868	1.0112015	9.0E-5	0.04164765	0.076642774	0.07679974	1.0020481	1.7E-4
6.6	7.987405E-5	1.5039509E-4	2.0038757E-4	1.3324077	5.0E-5	3.4227243E-4	6.4439187E-4	6.9435965E-4	1.0775425	5.0E-5	0.0041592065	0.007817407	0.007906703	1.0114228	9.0E-5	0.04082218	0.0752352	0.07539241	1.0020896	1.7E-4
6.7	7.777665E-5	1.467814E-4	1.9677405E-4	1.3405926	5.0E-5	3.332859E-4	6.289122E-4	6.788807E-4	1.0794524	5.0E-5	0.004050208	0.007630279	0.0077195917	1.0117052	9.0E-5	0.039771806	0.07350889	0.07366639	1.0021427	1.7E-4
6.8	7.3284005E-5	1.3827228E-4	1.8826536E-4	1.3615553	5.0E-5	3.140365E-4	5.924615E-4	6.424319E-4	1.0843437	5.0E-5	0.0038166929	0.0071894997	0.0072788526	1.0124283	9.0E-5	0.037518036	0.069415994	0.06956489	1.0021449	1.6E-4
6.9	6.458263E-5	1.2154585E-4	1.7153977E-4	1.4113175	5.0E-5	2.7675333E-4	5.208072E-4	5.707812E-4	1.0959548	5.0E-5	0.0033642664	0.0063224947	0.006392052	1.0110016	7.0E-5	0.033137884	0.061331037	0.061453063	1.0019896	1.3E-4
7.0	5.3853604E-5	1.00447294E-4	1.5044227E-4	1.4977235	5.0E-5	2.3078074E-4	4.3041768E-4	4.8039618E-4	1.1161163	5.0E-5	0.0028061352	0.005227809	0.005297443	1.01332	7.0E-5	0.027709642	0.051048636	0.051172	1.0024166	1.3E-4
7.1	4.4308683E-5	8.187706E-5	1.118746E-4	1.366373	3.0E-5	1.8988053E-4	3.508547E-4	3.8084417E-4	1.0854754	3.0E-5	0.0023093442	0.0042633307	0.00430316	1.0093423	4.0E-5	0.022854926	0.041903682	0.04198033	1.0018291	8.0E-5
7.2	3.295973E-5	6.092126E-5	9.091943E-5	1.492409	3.0E-5	1.4124835E-4	2.6106508E-4	2.9105728E-4	1.1148839	3.0E-5	0.0017183421	0.003173858	0.0032137309	1.012563	4.0E-5	0.017051157	0.031439994	0.03151748	1.0024645	8.0E-5
7.3	2.452256E-5	4.53039E-5	7.530254E-5	1.6621647	3.0E-5	1.05092455E-4	1.9414519E-4	2.2413937E-4	1.1544936	3.0E-5	0.0012787496	0.0023611693	0.0024010749	1.0169008	4.0E-5	0.0127141625	0.023500413	0.023578534	1.0033242	8.0E-5
7.4	1.8829967E-5	3.4703084E-5	6.470204E-5	1.8644465	3.0E-5	8.069736E-5	1.4871907E-4	1.7871462E-4	1.2016926	3.0E-5	9.820475E-4	0.0018091609	0.0018490886	1.0220697	4.0E-5	0.009777189	0.018067393	0.018145949	1.0043479	8.0E-5
7.5	1.26374125E-5	2.2996326E-5	5.2995634E-5	2.3045263	3.0E-5	5.4159216E-5	9.8551995E-5	1.2854903E-4	1.3043778	3.0E-5	6.5918895E-4	0.0011992159	0.0012291799	1.0249864	3.0E-5	0.00657237	0.012025115	0.012084393	1.0049295	6.0E-5
7.6	4.666429E-6	8.509402E-6	2.8509232E-5	3.3503215	2.0E-5	1.9998828E-5	3.6468362E-5	5.646763E-5	1.5484006	2.0E-5	2.4345852E-4	4.4391307E-4	4.639042E-4	1.0450338	2.0E-5	0.0024319198	0.00447299	0.0045028557	1.0066769	3.0E-5
7.7	3.8399318E-7	7.1793875E-7	7.1793875E-7	1.0	0.0	1.6456839E-6	3.0768765E-6	3.0768765E-6	1.0	0.0	2.003602E-5	3.746033E-5	3.746033E-5	1.0	0.0	2.0034213E-4	3.8837E-4	3.8837E-4	1.0	0.0
7.8	2.5637698E-7	5.405678E-7	5.405678E-7	1.0	0.0	1.098758E-6	2.316717E-6	2.316717E-6	1.0	0.0	1.3377297E-5	2.8205664E-5	2.8205664E-5	1.0	0.0	1.3376492E-4	2.9436633E-4	2.9436633E-4	1.0	0.0
7.9	1.7141245E-7	3.7564456E-7	3.7564456E-7	1.0	0.0	7.3462456E-7	1.6099042E-6	1.6099042E-6	1.0	0.0	8.944017E-6	1.9600408E-5	1.9600408E-5	1.0	0.0	8.943657E-5	2.0378258E-4	2.0378258E-4	1.0	0.0
8.0	1.1808895E-7	2.770262E-7	2.770262E-7	1.0	0.0	5.060954E-7	1.1872546E-6	1.1872546E-6	1.0	0.0	6.161694E-6	1.4454729E-5	1.4454729E-5	1.0	0.0	6.161523E-5	1.490898E-4	1.490898E-4	1.0	0.0
8.1	5.138535E-8	1.1305326E-7	1.1305326E-7	1.0	0.0	2.2022292E-7	4.8451386E-7	4.8451386E-7	1.0	0.0	2.6812106E-6	5.898941E-6	5.898941E-6	1.0	0.0	2.6811784E-5	6.0523173E-5	6.0523173E-5	1.0	0.0

Franklin 2011 CFM

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	1.845602E-5	2.0223792E-5	7.022278E-5	3.4722857	5.0E-5	7.9094825E-5	8.6670676E-5	1.5666461E-4	1.807585	7.0E-5	9.6255407E-4	0.0010547336	0.001194586	1.132595	1.4E-4	0.009583955	0.010514666	0.010702669	1.01788	1.9E-4
6.1	1.845602E-5	2.0223792E-5	7.022278E-5	3.4722857	5.0E-5	7.9094825E-5	8.6670676E-5	1.5666461E-4	1.807585	7.0E-5	9.6255407E-4	0.0010547336	0.001194586	1.132595	1.4E-4	0.009583955	0.010514666	0.010702669	1.01788	1.9E-4
6.2	1.845602E-5	2.0223792E-5	7.022278E-5	3.4722857	5.0E-5	7.9094825E-5	8.6670676E-5	1.5666461E-4	1.807585	7.0E-5	9.6255407E-4	0.0010547336	0.001194586	1.132595	1.4E-4	0.009583955	0.010514666	0.010702669	1.01788	1.9E-4
6.3	1.3813506E-5	1.5165127E-5	5.516452E-5	3.6375904	4.0E-5	5.9199396E-5	6.499182E-5	1.1498857E-4	1.7692776	5.0E-5	7.205143E-4	7.909959E-4	9.009089E-4	1.1389552	1.1E-4	0.007181826	0.007897076	0.008045892	1.0188444	1.5E-4
6.4	1.3813506E-5	1.5165127E-5	5.516452E-5	3.6375904	4.0E-5	5.9199396E-5	6.499182E-5	1.1498857E-4	1.7692776	5.0E-5	7.205143E-4	7.909959E-4	9.009089E-4	1.1389552	1.1E-4	0.007181826	0.007897076	0.008045892	1.0188444	1.5E-4
6.5	1.1308949E-5	1.242761E-5	4.2427237E-5	3.41395	3.0E-5	4.8466023E-5	5.3260108E-5	9.325798E-5	1.7509911	4.0E-5	5.899141E-4	6.48251E-4	7.3819264E-4	1.1387451	9.0E-5	0.0058835056	0.0064783166	0.006587604	1.0168697	1.1E-4
6.6	1.0813164E-5	1.1885736E-5	4.1885378E-5	3.524004	3.0E-5	4.6341313E-5	5.0937884E-5	9.093585E-5	1.7852302	4.0E-5	5.640594E-4	6.199942E-4	6.9994456E-4	1.1289535	8.0E-5	0.005626298	0.0061973454	0.006296726	1.0160359	1.0E-4
6.7	1.0706348E-5	1.1767475E-5	4.176712E-5	3.5493698	3.0E-5	4.5883542E-5	5.0431074E-5	9.042906E-5	1.7931218	4.0E-5	5.5848894E-4	6.1382726E-4	6.8378425E-4	1.1139686	7.0E-5	0.005570874	0.0061360183	0.006225466	1.0145775	9.0E-5
6.8	9.443655E-6	1.0358481E-5	3.0358273E-5	2.9307652	2.0E-5	4.0472176E-5	4.4392742E-5	7.439141E-5	1.6757561	3.0E-5	4.9263734E-4	5.4034893E-4	5.8032735E-4	1.0739863	4.0E-5	0.0049154665	0.005405002	0.0054646777	1.0110408	6.0E-5
6.9	8.7001645E-6	9.531372E-6	2.9531182E-5	3.0983138	2.0E-5	3.728589E-5	4.0848103E-5	7.084688E-5	1.7343982	3.0E-5	4.538611E-4	4.972134E-4	5.3719355E-4	1.0804083	4.0E-5	0.0045293528	0.0049756477	0.005035349	1.0119988	6.0E-5
7.0	8.074731E-6	8.8248025E-6	2.8824626E-5	3.2663198	2.0E-5	3.460553E-5	3.782004E-5	5.7819285E-5	1.5288001	2.0E-5	4.212409E-4	4.603628E-4	4.9034896E-4	1.065136	3.0E-5	0.004204433	0.004608718	0.0046584876	1.010799	5.0E-5
7.1	7.3370957E-6	7.970462E-6	2.7970304E-5	3.5092447	2.0E-5	3.1444317E-5	3.4158682E-5	5.4158E-5	1.5854827	2.0E-5	3.8276732E-4	4.1580363E-4	4.4579114E-4	1.0721195	3.0E-5	0.0038210868	0.0041647456	0.0042145373	1.0119555	5.0E-5
7.2	5.1750103E-6	5.4653465E-6	1.5465292E-5	2.8297002	1.0E-5	2.2178427E-5	2.3422705E-5	3.342247E-5	1.4269261	1.0E-5	2.699889E-4	2.8513445E-4	3.0512872E-4	1.0701224	2.0E-5	0.002696611	0.0028616386	0.0028915526	1.0104535	3.0E-5
7.3	3.5221371E-6	3.803401E-6	1.3803363E-5	3.629216	1.0E-5	1.5094786E-5	1.6300188E-5	2.6300026E-5	1.6134799	1.0E-5	1.8376352E-4	1.9843683E-4	2.1843285E-4	1.1007677	2.0E-5	0.0018361164	0.0019961025	0.0020260427	1.0149993	3.0E-5
7.4	2.5749775E-6	2.8244838E-6	2.8244838E-6	1.0	0.0	1.1035571E-5	1.2104875E-5	1.2104875E-5	1.0	0.0	1.343498E-4	1.4736695E-4	1.4736695E-4	1.0	0.0	0.001342686	0.0014851382	0.0014951234	1.0067234	1.0E-5
7.5	1.3642131E-6	1.5545746E-6	1.5545746E-6	1.0	0.0	5.8466144E-6	6.6624457E-6	6.6624457E-6	1.0	0.0	7.1180206E-5	8.111227E-5	8.111227E-5	1.0	0.0	7.115741E-4	8.2187547E-4	8.2187547E-4	1.0	0.0
7.6	5.329124E-7	6.7444273E-7	6.7444273E-7	1.0	0.0	2.2839083E-6	2.8904658E-6	2.8904658E-6	1.0	0.0	2.7806227E-5	3.5190857E-5	3.5190857E-5	1.0	0.0	2.780275E-4	3.622351E-4	3.622351E-4	1.0	0.0
7.7	4.199127E-7	5.5278673E-7	5.5278673E-7	1.0	0.0	1.7996247E-6	2.3690836E-6	2.3690836E-6	1.0	0.0	2.191021E-5	2.8843217E-5	2.8843217E-5	1.0	0.0	2.190805E-4	2.9859046E-4	2.9859046E-4	1.0	0.0
7.8	2.2586491E-7	3.0904005E-7	3.0904005E-7	1.0	0.0	9.67992E-7	1.3244567E-6	1.3244567E-6	1.0	0.0	1.178524E-5	1.6125141E-5	1.6125141E-5	1.0	0.0	1.17846146E-4	1.6754001E-4	1.6754001E-4	1.0	0.0
7.9	1.4568845E-7	2.137125E-7	2.137125E-7	1.0	0.0	6.243789E-7	9.159104E-7	9.159104E-7	1.0	0.0	7.601787E-6	1.1151153E-5	1.1151153E-5	1.0	0.0	7.601527E-5	1.1594556E-4	1.1594556E-4	1.0	0.0
8.0	5.2868224E-8	1.0073042E-7	1.0073042E-7	1.0	0.0	2.2657808E-7	4.3170172E-7	4.3170172E-7	1.0	0.0	2.7585847E-6	5.255956E-6	5.255956E-6	1.0	0.0	2.7585504E-5	5.4400454E-5	5.4400454E-5	1.0	0.0
8.1	2.654434E-9	4.7540536E-9	4.7540536E-9	1.0	0.0	1.1376145E-8	2.0374515E-8	2.0374515E-8	1.0	0.0	1.3850456E-7	2.4805968E-7	2.4805968E-7	1.0	0.0	1.3850448E-6	2.5497507E-6	2.5497507E-6	1.0	0.0

Monterey Bay-Tularcitos

(top)

1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	3.0131365E-5	3.2804503E-5	6.280352E-5	1.9144787	3.0E-5	1.2912804E-4	1.4058374E-4	2.005753E-4	1.426732	6.0E-5	0.001571	0.0017103688	0.0018601123	1.0875504	1.5E-4	0.015599402	0.01698286	0.017159805	1.0104189	1.8E-4
6.1	3.0131365E-5	3.2804503E-5	6.280352E-5	1.9144787	3.0E-5	1.2912804E-4	1.4058374E-4	2.005753E-4	1.426732	6.0E-5	0.001571	0.0017103688	0.0018601123	1.0875504	1.5E-4	0.015599402	0.01698286	0.017159805	1.0104189	1.8E-4
6.2	3.0131365E-5	3.2804503E-5	6.280352E-5	1.9144787	3.0E-5	1.2912804E-4	1.4058374E-4	2.005753E-4	1.426732	6.0E-5	0.001571	0.0017103688	0.0018601123	1.0875504	1.5E-4	0.015599402	0.01698286	0.017159805	1.0104189	1.8E-4
6.3	1.6998249E-5	1.833369E-5	2.8333507E-5	1.545434	1.0E-5	7.28476E-5	7.8570694E-5	1.1856755E-4	1.5090556	4.0E-5	8.865586E-4	9.561971E-4	0.0010361206	1.0835848	8.0E-5	0.0088303005	0.009522754	0.009621801	1.0104011	1.0E-4
6.4	1.6998249E-5	1.833369E-5	2.8333507E-5	1.545434	1.0E-5	7.28476E-5	7.8570694E-5	1.1856755E-4	1.5090556	4.0E-5	8.865586E-4	9.561971E-4	0.0010361206	1.0835848	8.0E-5	0.0088303005	0.009522754	0.009621801	1.0104011	1.0E-4
6.5	1.27470785E-5	1.3695391E-5	2.3695255E-5	1.7301626	1.0E-5	5.4629192E-5	5.8693273E-5	9.869092E-5	1.6814691	4.0E-5	6.649074E-4	7.143667E-4	7.943095E-4	1.1119074	8.0E-5	0.0066292146	0.0071217557	0.0072111147	1.0125474	9.0E-5
6.6	1.2739422E-5	1.3687478E-5	2.368734E-5	1.7305847	1.0E-5	5.4596385E-5	5.865936E-5	9.8657016E-5	1.6818631	4.0E-5	6.645082E-4	7.1395404E-4	7.938969E-4	1.111972	8.0E-5	0.0066252467	0.007117656	0.007207015	1.0125546	9.0E-5
6.7	1.0160109E-5	1.0887372E-5	2.0887263E-5	1.9184853	1.0E-5	4.35426E-5	4.665937E-5	7.665797E-5	1.6429276	3.0E-5	5.300022E-4	5.679368E-4	6.3789706E-4	1.1231831	7.0E-5	0.005287399	0.0056655654	0.005745112	1.0140404	8.0E-5
6.8	8.349859E-6	8.933906E-6	1.8933817E-5	2.119321	1.0E-5	3.578462E-5	3.8287642E-5	5.8286874E-5	1.5223417	2.0E-5	4.3559066E-4	4.6605797E-4	5.2603E-4	1.1286794	6.0E-5	0.004347378	0.004651371	0.004721045	1.0149794	7.0E-5
6.9	5.193639E-6	5.537252E-6	1.5537196E-5	2.80594	1.0E-5	2.2258262E-5	2.3730881E-5	4.3730408E-5	1.8427637	2.0E-5	2.7096065E-4	2.8888843E-4	3.288769E-4	1.1384218	4.0E-5	0.0027063051	0.0028854501	0.0029353057	1.0172783	5.0E-5
7.0	4.359381E-6	4.6440664E-6	1.464402E-5	3.1532753	1.0E-5	1.8682927E-5	1.9903006E-5	3.9902607E-5	2.0048532	2.0E-5	2.274409E-4	2.4229514E-4	2.8228544E-4	1.1650479	4.0E-5	0.0022720827	0.0024206026	0.0024704817	1.020606	5.0E-5
7.1	3.0398533E-6	3.2315513E-6	1.3231519E-5	4.094479	1.0E-5	1.3027877E-5	1.3849447E-5	2.3849308E-5	1.7220405	1.0E-5	1.5860285E-4	1.686066E-4	1.8860323E-4	1.1185993	2.0E-5	0.001584897	0.0016850445	0.0017149939	1.0177736	3.0E-5
7.2	1.642335E-6	1.7336168E-6	1.7336168E-6	1.0	0.0	7.0385595E-6	7.429777E-6	7.429777E-6	1.0	0.0	8.569109E-5	9.045585E-5	9.045585E-5	1.0	0.0	8.5658056E-4	9.0439303E-4	9.0439303E-4	1.0	0.0
7.3	3.356842E-7	3.2962387E-7	3.2962387E-7	1.0	0.0	1.4386458E-6	1.412673E-6	1.412673E-6	1.0	0.0	1.7515373E-5	1.7199158E-5	1.7199158E-5	1.0	0.0	1.7513991E-4	1.7197836E-4	1.7197836E-4	1.0	0.0
7.4	2.1973483E-7	2.1015711E-7	2.1015711E-7	1.0	0.0	9.417204E-7	9.00673E-7	9.00673E-7	1.0	0.0	1.1465385E-5	1.09656385E-5	1.09656385E-5	1.0	0.0	1.1464794E-4	1.0965102E-4	1.0965102E-4	1.0	0.0
7.5	1.1944135E-7	1.070469E-7	1.070469E-7	1.0	0.0	5.118914E-7	4.5877235E-7	4.5877235E-7	1.0	0.0	6.23226E-6	5.5855394E-6	5.5855394E-6	1.0	0.0	6.2320854E-5	5.5854E-5	5.5854E-5	1.0	0.0
7.6	4.636058E-8	3.3423447E-8	3.3423447E-8	1.0	0.0	1.9868818E-7	1.4324333E-7	1.4324333E-7	1.0	0.0	2.419026E-6	1.7439862E-6	1.7439862E-6	1.0	0.0	2.4189996E-5	1.7439726E-5	1.7439726E-5	1.0	0.0
7.7	1.8588572E-8	8.033227E-9	8.033227E-9	1.0	0.0	7.9665305E-8	3.4428115E-8	3.4428115E-8	1.0	0.0	9.699246E-7	4.1916223E-7	4.1916223E-7	1.0	0.0	9.699204E-6	4.1916146E-6	4.1916146E-6	1.0	0.0
7.8	2.7960154E-9	7.656409E-10	7.656409E-10	1.0	0.0	1.1982923E-8	3.2813179E-9	3.2813179E-9	1.0	0.0	1.4589209E-7	3.9950045E-8	3.9950045E-8	1.0	0.0	1.4589199E-6	3.9950044E-7	3.9950044E-7	1.0	0.0

Greenville (No) 2011 CFM

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	3.286654E-5	4.038613E-5	6.0385322E-5	1.4951996	2.0E-5	1.4084899E-4	1.7307216E-4	2.230635E-4	1.2888469	5.0E-5	0.0017134876	0.0021051548	0.002234881	1.0616232	1.3E-4	0.017003356	0.020857127	0.021033373	1.0084502	1.8E-4
6.1	3.286654E-5	4.038613E-5	6.0385322E-5	1.4951996	2.0E-5	1.4084899E-4	1.7307216E-4	2.230635E-4	1.2888469	5.0E-5	0.0017134876	0.0021051548	0.002234881	1.0616232	1.3E-4	0.017003356	0.020857127	0.021033373	1.0084502	1.8E-4
6.2	3.1697953E-5	3.8948405E-5	5.8947626E-5	1.5134798	2.0E-5	1.358413E-4	1.6691127E-4	2.1690292E-4	1.2995104	5.0E-5	0.0016526132	0.0020302874	0.0021600234	1.0639004	1.3E-4	0.01640377	0.020122204	0.020298582	1.0087653	1.8E-4
6.3	3.1363317E-5	3.85371E-5	5.8536327E-5	1.5189605	2.0E-5	1.344073E-4	1.6514875E-4	2.1514049E-4	1.3027073	5.0E-5	0.0016351803	0.0020088686	0.0021386074	1.0645831	1.3E-4	0.016232004	0.019911882	0.020088296	1.0088599	1.8E-4
6.4	3.0228604E-5	3.7143614E-5	5.714287E-5	1.5384306	2.0E-5	1.2954473E-4	1.5917742E-4	2.0916945E-4	1.3140649	5.0E-5	0.0015760659	0.0019362986	0.002066047	1.0670084	1.3E-4	0.015649348	0.019198917	0.019375462	1.0091956	1.8E-4
6.5	2.9537814E-5	3.62987E-5	5.6297977E-5	1.5509639	2.0E-5	1.2658449E-4	1.555568E-4	2.0554902E-4	1.321376	5.0E-5	0.0015400766	0.0018922949	0.002022049	1.0685697	1.3E-4	0.01529447	0.018766398	0.01894302	1.0094116	1.8E-4
6.6	2.7345395E-5	3.3606848E-5	5.3606174E-5	1.5950968	2.0E-5	1.1718928E-4	1.4402157E-4	1.9401437E-4	1.3471203	5.0E-5	0.0014258457	0.0017520834	0.0018818557	1.0740674	1.3E-4	0.014167317	0.017386634	0.017563503	1.0101727	1.8E-4
6.7	2.5615784E-5	3.1583077E-5	5.1582447E-5	1.6332306	2.0E-5	1.09777306E-4	1.353492E-4	1.8534243E-4	1.3693649	5.0E-5	0.0013357193	0.0016466615	0.0017664639	1.0727547	1.2E-4	0.013277191	0.016348392	0.016515613	1.0102286	1.7E-4
6.8	2.0059057E-5	2.4724965E-5	4.472447E-5	1.808879	2.0E-5	8.596455E-5	1.05959916E-4	1.5595462E-4	1.4718266	5.0E-5	0.0010461159	0.0012893148	0.0013891859	1.0774605	1.0E-4	0.0104120495	0.012820482	0.01296856	1.0115501	1.5E-4
6.9	1.6321746E-5	2.01957E-5	4.0195297E-5	1.9902898	2.0E-5	6.9948466E-5	8.655019E-5	1.165476E-4	1.3465897	3.0E-5	8.5128983E-4	0.0010532517	0.0011231779	1.0663909	7.0E-5	0.008480361	0.010484245	0.010602987	1.0113257	1.2E-4
7.0	1.22527645E-5	1.5141496E-5	3.5141195E-5	2.3208535	2.0E-5	5.2510793E-5	6.489054E-5	9.488859E-5	1.4622871	3.0E-5	6.3913135E-4	7.897602E-4	8.497128E-4	1.0759125	6.0E-5	0.0063729626	0.007870369	0.0079695815	1.0126059	1.0E-4
7.1	8.996482E-6	1.1168632E-5	3.116841E-5	2.7907095	2.0E-5	3.8555783E-5	4.7864698E-5	6.786374E-5	1.4178245	2.0E-5	4.6931554E-4	5.825981E-4	6.125806E-4	1.0514635	3.0E-5	0.004683256	0.005811204	0.0058708554	1.0102649	6.0E-5
7.2	6.0273087E-6	7.5719568E-6	1.7571881E-5	2.3206525	1.0E-5	2.5831067E-5	3.2450844E-5	4.245052E-5	1.3081484	1.0E-5	3.1444785E-4	3.9501808E-4	4.1501017E-4	1.0506105	2.0E-5	0.0031400328	0.0039436305	0.0039834725	1.010103	4.0E-5
7.3	3.1209995E-6	3.9681804E-6	3.9681804E-6	1.0	0.0	1.3375643E-5	1.7006378E-5	1.7006378E-5	1.0	0.0	1.6283628E-4	2.0703312E-4	2.0703312E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0016271701	0.002068826	0.0020788054	1.0048237	1.0E-5
7.4	2.0254208E-6	2.611167E-6	2.611167E-6	1.0	0.0	8.680347E-6	1.1190668E-5	1.1190668E-5	1.0	0.0	1.0567809E-4	1.3623793E-4	1.3623793E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0010562785	0.0013618509	0.0013718373	1.0073329	1.0E-5
7.5	1.6763418E-6	2.174523E-6	2.174523E-6	1.0	0.0	7.184302E-6	9.319351E-6	9.319351E-6	1.0	0.0	8.746537E-5	1.13457245E-4	1.13457245E-4	1.0	0.0	8.743095E-4	0.0011342971	0.0011342971	1.0	0.0
7.6	1.1935462E-6	1.546921E-6	1.546921E-6	1.0	0.0	5.115188E-6	6.6296448E-6	6.6296448E-6	1.0	0.0	6.2275634E-5	8.0712976E-5	8.0712976E-5	1.0	0.0	6.2258187E-4	8.071344E-4	8.071344E-4	1.0	0.0
7.7	3.0464201E-7	3.9879887E-7	3.9879887E-7	1.0	0.0	1.3056081E-6	1.709137E-6	1.709137E-6	1.0	0.0	1.589566E-5	2.080855E-5	2.080855E-5	1.0	0.0	1.5894524E-4	2.0807517E-4	2.0807517E-4	1.0	0.0

Mount Diablo Thrust North CFM

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	1.479628E-5	1.8779354E-5	3.877898E-5	2.0649793	2.0E-5	6.341109E-5	8.048052E-5	1.10478104E-4	1.372731	3.0E-5	7.717565E-4	9.794194E-4	0.0010693312	1.0918012	9.0E-5	0.007690818	0.009751337	0.009919679	1.0172635	1.7E-4
6.1	1.479628E-5	1.8779354E-5	3.877898E-5	2.0649793	2.0E-5	6.341109E-5	8.048052E-5	1.10478104E-4	1.372731	3.0E-5	7.717565E-4	9.794194E-4	0.0010693312	1.0918012	9.0E-5	0.007690818	0.009751337	0.009919679	1.0172635	1.7E-4
6.2	1.479628E-5	1.8779354E-5	3.877898E-5	2.0649793	2.0E-5	6.341109E-5	8.048052E-5	1.10478104E-4	1.372731	3.0E-5	7.717565E-4	9.794194E-4	0.0010693312	1.0918012	9.0E-5	0.007690818	0.009751337	0.009919679	1.0172635	1.7E-4
6.3	1.479628E-5	1.8779354E-5	3.877898E-5	2.0649793	2.0E-5	6.341109E-5	8.048052E-5	1.10478104E-4	1.372731	3.0E-5	7.717565E-4	9.794194E-4	0.0010693312	1.0918012	9.0E-5	0.007690818	0.009751337	0.009919679	1.0172635	1.7E-4
6.4	1.479628E-5	1.8779354E-5	3.877898E-5	2.0649793	2.0E-5	6.341109E-5	8.048052E-5	1.10478104E-4	1.372731	3.0E-5	7.717565E-4	9.794194E-4	0.0010693312	1.0918012	9.0E-5	0.007690818	0.009751337	0.009919679	1.0172635	1.7E-4
6.5	1.479628E-5	1.8779354E-5	3.877898E-5	2.0649793	2.0E-5	6.341109E-5	8.048052E-5	1.10478104E-4	1.372731	3.0E-5	7.717565E-4	9.794194E-4	0.0010693312	1.0918012	9.0E-5	0.007690818	0.009751337	0.009919679	1.0172635	1.7E-4
6.6	1.479016E-5	1.8772464E-5	3.877209E-5	2.0653703	2.0E-5	6.338486E-5	8.045099E-5	1.1044858E-4	1.3728678	3.0E-5	7.714374E-4	9.790602E-4	0.001068972	1.0918349	9.0E-5	0.007687649	0.009747776	0.009916119	1.0172698	1.7E-4
6.7	1.479016E-5	1.8772464E-5	3.877209E-5	2.0653703	2.0E-5	6.338486E-5	8.045099E-5	1.1044858E-4	1.3728678	3.0E-5	7.714374E-4	9.790602E-4	0.001068972	1.0918349	9.0E-5	0.007687649	0.009747776	0.009916119	1.0172698	1.7E-4
6.8	1.4771667E-5	1.8751229E-5	3.8750855E-5	2.0665767	2.0E-5	6.330561E-5	8.035998E-5	1.1035758E-4	1.3732901	3.0E-5	7.704732E-4	9.779532E-4	0.0010678652	1.091939	9.0E-5	0.007678074	0.009736803	0.009905148	1.0172895	1.7E-4
6.9	1.2548234E-5	1.5831067E-5	3.583075E-5	2.2633188	2.0E-5	5.3777036E-5	6.7845685E-5	9.784365E-5	1.4421499	3.0E-5	6.545387E-4	8.2571176E-4	8.9565397E-4	1.0847054	7.0E-5	0.006526142	0.008227636	0.008356567	1.0156704	1.3E-4
7.0	1.01754185E-5	1.2814098E-5	3.281384E-5	2.560761	2.0E-5	4.360821E-5	5.4916418E-5	8.491477E-5	1.5462548	3.0E-5	5.308006E-4	6.684039E-4	7.283638E-4	1.0897061	6.0E-5	0.005295345	0.006665009	0.0067643425	1.0149038	1.0E-4
7.1	8.398341E-6	1.0558139E-5	3.0557927E-5	2.894253	2.0E-5	3.5992394E-5	4.524839E-5	6.5247485E-5	1.4419847	2.0E-5	4.3811928E-4	5.50761E-4	5.8074447E-4	1.0544401	3.0E-5	0.0043725655	0.0054944516	0.0055541224	1.0108601	6.0E-5
7.2	6.024759E-6	7.650835E-6	1.7650758E-5	2.3070369	1.0E-5	2.582014E-5	3.2788885E-5	4.2788557E-5	1.3049715	1.0E-5	3.1431485E-4	3.9913226E-4	4.1912426E-4	1.0500888	2.0E-5	0.0031387066	0.0039846385	0.004024479	1.0099986	4.0E-5
7.3	3.2099704E-6	4.1373714E-6	4.1373714E-6	1.0	0.0	1.3756943E-5	1.7731472E-5	1.7731472E-5	1.0	0.0	1.674779E-4	2.1585946E-4	2.1585946E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0016735174	0.002156937	0.0021669155	1.0046262	1.0E-5
7.4	2.2041513E-6	2.874983E-6	2.874983E-6	1.0	0.0	9.4463285E-6	1.2321298E-5	1.2321298E-5	1.0	0.0	1.1500298E-4	1.5000155E-4	1.5000155E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0011494348	0.0014993263	0.0015093114	1.0066596	1.0E-5
7.5	1.8869501E-6	2.4708215E-6	2.4708215E-6	1.0	0.0	8.086904E-6	1.0589192E-5	1.0589192E-5	1.0	0.0	9.845361E-5	1.2891585E-4	1.2891585E-4	1.0	0.0	9.841E-4	0.0012887291	0.0012887291	1.0	0.0
7.6	1.3012458E-6	1.7015866E-6	1.7015866E-6	1.0	0.0	5.576756E-6	7.292494E-6	7.292494E-6	1.0	0.0	6.7894885E-5	8.878255E-5	8.878255E-5	1.0	0.0	6.787415E-4	8.8777166E-4	8.8777166E-4	1.0	0.0
7.7	3.603383E-7	4.719844E-7	4.719844E-7	1.0	0.0	1.5443061E-6	2.0227887E-6	2.0227887E-6	1.0	0.0	1.8801764E-5	2.4627181E-5	2.4627181E-5	1.0	0.0	1.8800174E-4	2.4626154E-4	2.4626154E-4	1.0	0.0

Monte Vista - Shannon 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	2.7907707E-5	2.7596961E-5	7.759558E-5	2.8117437	5.0E-5	1.19598975E-4	1.1826803E-4	1.7826093E-4	1.5072622	6.0E-5	0.0014551448	0.0014390859	0.0015489276	1.0763274	1.1E-4	0.014456532	0.014326813	0.014474664	1.0103198	1.5E-4
6.1	2.7907707E-5	2.7596961E-5	7.759558E-5	2.8117437	5.0E-5	1.19598975E-4	1.1826803E-4	1.7826093E-4	1.5072622	6.0E-5	0.0014551448	0.0014390859	0.0015489276	1.0763274	1.1E-4	0.014456532	0.014326813	0.014474664	1.0103198	1.5E-4
6.2	2.7907707E-5	2.7596961E-5	7.759558E-5	2.8117437	5.0E-5	1.19598975E-4	1.1826803E-4	1.7826093E-4	1.5072622	6.0E-5	0.0014551448	0.0014390859	0.0015489276	1.0763274	1.1E-4	0.014456532	0.014326813	0.014474664	1.0103198	1.5E-4
6.3	2.7907707E-5	2.7596961E-5	7.759558E-5	2.8117437	5.0E-5	1.19598975E-4	1.1826803E-4	1.7826093E-4	1.5072622	6.0E-5	0.0014551448	0.0014390859	0.0015489276	1.0763274	1.1E-4	0.014456532	0.014326813	0.014474664	1.0103198	1.5E-4
6.4	2.7907707E-5	2.7596961E-5	7.759558E-5	2.8117437	5.0E-5	1.19598975E-4	1.1826803E-4	1.7826093E-4	1.5072622	6.0E-5	0.0014551448	0.0014390859	0.0015489276	1.0763274	1.1E-4	0.014456532	0.014326813	0.014474664	1.0103198	1.5E-4
6.5	1.7990213E-5	1.665045E-5	2.6650285E-5	1.6005744	1.0E-5	7.709863E-5	7.13575E-5	8.135678E-5	1.1401294	1.0E-5	9.382716E-4	8.684976E-4	9.184542E-4	1.0575206	5.0E-5	0.0093431985	0.008674463	0.008743856	1.0079997	7.0E-5
6.6	9.650407E-6	7.465921E-6	7.465921E-6	1.0	0.0	4.135823E-5	3.1996457E-5	3.1996457E-5	1.0	0.0	5.0342013E-4	3.8949505E-4	4.0948726E-4	1.0513285	2.0E-5	0.005022812	0.0039058586	0.003945702	1.010201	4.0E-5
6.7	9.62828E-6	7.443826E-6	7.443826E-6	1.0	0.0	4.1263404E-5	3.1901764E-5	3.1901764E-5	1.0	0.0	5.022661E-4	3.883426E-4	4.0833483E-4	1.0514809	2.0E-5	0.0050113243	0.0038943745	0.0039342185	1.0102313	4.0E-5
6.8	6.887523E-6	4.469829E-6	4.469829E-6	1.0	0.0	2.9517621E-5	1.9156283E-5	1.9156283E-5	1.0	0.0	3.5931775E-4	2.33205E-4	2.4320267E-4	1.0428708	1.0E-5	0.0035873733	0.0023468107	0.00237674	1.0127532	3.0E-5
6.9	6.2722347E-6	3.8115834E-6	3.8115834E-6	1.0	0.0	2.6880729E-5	1.6335267E-5	1.6335267E-5	1.0	0.0	3.2722374E-4	1.9886575E-4	2.0886376E-4	1.0502752	1.0E-5	0.003267423	0.0020040716	0.0020340115	1.0149395	3.0E-5
7.0	5.5320347E-6	3.0385556E-6	3.0385556E-6	1.0	0.0	2.3708504E-5	1.3022326E-5	1.3022326E-5	1.0	0.0	2.8861282E-4	1.5853712E-4	1.5853712E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0028823826	0.0016014194	0.0016014194	1.0	0.0
7.1	3.8794055E-6	1.2911887E-6	1.2911887E-6	1.0	0.0	1.6625918E-5	5.533654E-6	5.533654E-6	1.0	0.0	2.0240174E-4	6.737017E-5	6.737017E-5	1.0	0.0	0.002022175	6.9050473E-4	6.9050473E-4	1.0	0.0
7.2	3.4813652E-6	9.7416E-7	9.7416E-7	1.0	0.0	1.49200505E-5	4.1749645E-6	4.1749645E-6	1.0	0.0	1.8163648E-4	5.0829018E-5	5.0829018E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0018148809	5.251682E-4	5.251682E-4	1.0	0.0
7.3	3.1682148E-6	7.7874347E-7	7.7874347E-7	1.0	0.0	1.3577992E-5	3.3374677E-6	3.3374677E-6	1.0	0.0	1.6529951E-4	4.0632916E-5	4.0632916E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0016517661	4.23224E-4	4.23224E-4	1.0	0.0
7.4	2.9707667E-6	7.4119936E-7	7.4119936E-7	1.0	0.0	1.2731795E-5	3.1765646E-6	3.1765646E-6	1.0	0.0	1.5499859E-4	3.8673992E-5	3.8673992E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0015489052	4.0343223E-4	4.0343223E-4	1.0	0.0
7.5	2.3462758E-6	6.0641764E-7	6.0641764E-7	1.0	0.0	1.0055429E-5	2.59893E-6	2.59893E-6	1.0	0.0	1.2241797E-4	3.1641517E-5	3.1641517E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0012235056	3.3137595E-4	3.3137595E-4	1.0	0.0
7.6	2.112783E-6	5.304488E-7	5.304488E-7	1.0	0.0	9.054753E-6	2.27335E-6	2.27335E-6	1.0	0.0	1.1023604E-4	2.7677688E-5	2.7677688E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0011018137	2.9131604E-4	2.9131604E-4	1.0	0.0
7.7	1.7022471E-6	4.27777E-7	4.27777E-7	1.0	0.0	7.2953244E-6	1.8333286E-6	1.8333286E-6	1.0	0.0	8.881695E-5	2.2320548E-5	2.2320548E-5	1.0	0.0	8.878146E-4	2.3642003E-4	2.3642003E-4	1.0	0.0
7.8	7.230914E-7	3.77047E-7	3.77047E-7	1.0	0.0	3.0989595E-6	1.6159147E-6	1.6159147E-6	1.0	0.0	3.772918E-5	1.9673585E-5	1.9673585E-5	1.0	0.0	3.7722773E-4	2.0947706E-4	2.0947706E-4	1.0	0.0
7.9	4.3588446E-7	3.4670603E-7	3.4670603E-7	1.0	0.0	1.868075E-6	1.4858821E-6	1.4858821E-6	1.0	0.0	2.2743576E-5	1.8090466E-5	1.8090466E-5	1.0	0.0	2.2741247E-4	1.9185612E-4	1.9185612E-4	1.0	0.0
8.0	2.3317523E-7	3.183387E-7	3.183387E-7	1.0	0.0	9.99322E-7	1.3643079E-6	1.3643079E-6	1.0	0.0	1.2166677E-5	1.6610324E-5	1.6610324E-5	1.0	0.0	1.21660116E-4	1.7565125E-4	1.7565125E-4	1.0	0.0
8.1	1.4662456E-7	2.0497022E-7	2.0497022E-7	1.0	0.0	6.283908E-7	8.7844353E-7	8.7844353E-7	1.0	0.0	7.650631E-6	1.0694998E-5	1.0694998E-5	1.0	0.0	7.650368E-5	1.12296955E-4	1.12296955E-4	1.0	0.0
8.2	5.4931775E-9	5.1256395E-9	5.1256395E-9	1.0	0.0	2.3542189E-8	2.1967027E-8	2.1967027E-8	1.0	0.0	2.8662612E-7	2.6744854E-7	2.6744854E-7	1.0	0.0	2.8662573E-6	2.7807469E-6	2.7807469E-6	1.0	0.0

San Andreas (Parkfield)

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	5.556969E-4	7.9263543E-4	8.5258787E-4	1.0756369	6.0E-5	0.0023793848	0.0033931606	0.0034828552	1.026434	9.0E-5	0.028586963	0.04093722	0.041061897	1.0030456	1.3E-4	0.25176284	0.33930582	0.33941153	1.0003115	1.6E-4
6.1	1.925858E-4	3.0696427E-4	3.6694584E-4	1.1954025	6.0E-5	8.2510663E-4	0.0013149965	0.0014048782	1.0683513	9.0E-5	0.0099994885	0.015980305	0.016108228	1.008005	1.3E-4	0.095613256	0.15071057	0.15083797	1.0008453	1.5E-4
6.2	9.4306815E-5	1.8358765E-4	2.3357847E-4	1.2722995	5.0E-5	4.0410945E-4	7.865682E-4	8.665053E-4	1.1016276	8.0E-5	0.0049089384	0.009534626	0.009653482	1.0124657	1.2E-4	0.048019063	0.09236156	0.09248863	1.0013758	1.4E-4
6.3	9.283051E-5	1.8054922E-4	2.305402E-4	1.2768828	5.0E-5	3.9778434E-4	7.7355414E-4	8.5349224E-4	1.1033387	8.0E-5	0.0048322747	0.009377554	0.0094865225	1.0116202	1.1E-4	0.047285385	0.09101387	0.09113204	1.0012983	1.3E-4
6.4	9.138826E-5	1.781635E-4	2.2815459E-4	1.2805911	5.0E-5	3.916052E-4	7.633356E-4	8.432745E-4	1.1047232	8.0E-5	0.0047573745	0.0092542125	0.009363195	1.0117764	1.1E-4	0.046568092	0.08991512	0.09003343	1.0013158	1.3E-4
6.5	9.000255E-5	1.7573753E-4	2.2572874E-4	1.2844652	5.0E-5	3.8566816E-4	7.529446E-4	8.328844E-4	1.1061695	8.0E-5	0.0046854047	0.009128781	0.0092377765	1.0119398	1.1E-4	0.045878403	0.08879583	0.08891429	1.0013341	1.3E-4
6.6	8.8109264E-5	1.7253471E-4	2.2252608E-4	1.2897468	5.0E-5	3.7755648E-4	7.392261E-4	8.1916695E-4	1.1081413	8.0E-5	0.0045870654	0.008963158	0.009072172	1.0121624	1.1E-4	0.04493529	0.08732202	0.08744066	1.0013587	1.3E-4
6.7	8.738073E-5	1.712023E-4	2.2119372E-4	1.2920022	5.0E-5	3.7443507E-4	7.335189E-4	8.1346027E-4	1.1089833	8.0E-5	0.0045492216	0.008894282	0.009003304	1.0122575	1.1E-4	0.04457213	0.08672093	0.08683965	1.0013691	1.3E-4
6.8	8.710195E-5	1.7065476E-4	2.2064624E-4	1.2929392	5.0E-5	3.7324068E-4	7.311737E-4	8.1111526E-4	1.1093332	8.0E-5	0.0045347405	0.008865969	0.0089749945	1.012297	1.1E-4	0.04443313	0.08646772	0.086586475	1.0013734	1.3E-4
6.9	8.6801556E-5	1.70062E-4	2.200535E-4	1.2939605	5.0E-5	3.7195362E-4	7.286347E-4	8.085764E-4	1.1097144	8.0E-5	0.0045191357	0.008835308	0.008944336	1.0123401	1.1E-4	0.044283327	0.08619316	0.08631195	1.0013783	1.3E-4
7.0	8.5571606E-5	1.6758125E-4	2.1757287E-4	1.2983127	5.0E-5	3.6668387E-4	7.1800884E-4	7.879586E-4	1.0974219	7.0E-5	0.004455241	0.008706979	0.0088061085	1.0113851	1.0E-4	0.043669727	0.085038014	0.08514781	1.0012912	1.2E-4
7.1	7.82589E-5	1.5234933E-4	1.9234323E-4	1.2625145	4.0E-5	3.3535215E-4	6.5276306E-4	7.127239E-4	1.091857	6.0E-5	0.0040752706	0.007918602	0.00800789	1.0112756	9.0E-5	0.040013418	0.07793748	0.078029685	1.001183	1.0E-4
7.2	7.690929E-5	1.4970943E-4	1.5970794E-4	1.066786	1.0E-5	3.2956956E-4	6.414548E-4	6.61442E-4	1.0311592	2.0E-5	0.004005129	0.007781916	0.007831527	1.0063752	5.0E-5	0.0393371	0.07670636	0.07676176	1.0007222	6.0E-5
7.3	7.5543794E-5	1.4665986E-4	1.566584E-4	1.068175	1.0E-5	3.2371894E-4	6.283916E-4	6.4837903E-4	1.0318073	2.0E-5	0.003934157	0.0076239943	0.0076736133	1.0065082	5.0E-5	0.038652334	0.075262666	0.07531815	1.0007372	6.0E-5
7.4	7.4214564E-5	1.4365558E-4	1.5365414E-4	1.0696009	1.0E-5	3.1802364E-4	6.155222E-4	6.355099E-4	1.0324727	2.0E-5	0.003865065	0.0074683935	0.0075180205	1.0066448	5.0E-5	0.03798529	0.07383138	0.073886946	1.0007527	6.0E-5
7.5	6.149578E-5	1.1279444E-4	1.2279331E-4	1.0886469	1.0E-5	2.6352672E-4	4.8331532E-4	4.9331045E-4	1.0206804	1.0E-5	0.0032037178	0.0058685197	0.0059082853	1.006776	4.0E-5	0.03157923	0.058961328	0.059008382	1.000798	5.0E-5
7.6	6.0643448E-5	1.110722E-4	1.2107109E-4	1.0900215	1.0E-5	2.598746E-4	4.7593698E-4	4.8593222E-4	1.0210012	1.0E-5	0.0031593828	0.005779169	0.005818938	1.0068814	4.0E-5	0.031148417	0.058118872	0.058165967	1.0008103	5.0E-5
7.7	5.1652263E-5	9.253609E-5	1.0253516E-4	1.108056	1.0E-5	2.2134806E-4	3.9652298E-4	4.0651902E-4	1.0252092	1.0E-5	0.002691582	0.004816991	0.0048567983	1.008264	4.0E-5	0.026592141	0.04890274	0.048950292	1.0009724	5.0E-5
7.8	4.8090482E-5	8.632214E-5	9.632128E-5	1.1158351	1.0E-5	2.060858E-4	3.6989962E-4	3.798959E-4	1.0270244	1.0E-5	0.0025062072	0.0044942363	0.004534057	1.0088602	4.0E-5	0.024781305	0.04564113	0.045688853	1.0010455	5.0E-5
7.9	3.970278E-5	6.806859E-5	7.806791E-5	1.1469007	1.0E-5	1.7014367E-4	2.916899E-4	3.01687E-4	1.034273	1.0E-5	0.002069531	0.0035455455	0.0035854038	1.0112418	4.0E-5	0.020503636	0.03615142	0.036199614	1.0013331	5.0E-5
8.0	2.8982335E-5	4.1055268E-5	4.1055268E-5	1.0	0.0	1.2420409E-4	1.7593929E-4	1.7593929E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0015111357	0.0021399576	0.002159915	1.009326	2.0E-5	0.015009012	0.02218932	0.022218654	1.001322	3.0E-5
8.1	1.8836186E-5	1.8882112E-5	1.8882112E-5	1.0	0.0	8.0724014E-5	8.092083E-5	8.092083E-5	1.0	0.0	9.823717E-4	9.847664E-4	0.0010047468	1.0202894	2.0E-5	0.009780403	0.010593857	0.0106136445	1.0018679	2.0E-5
8.2	8.643924E-6	5.5514706E-6	5.5514706E-6	1.0	0.0	3.704486E-5	2.3791801E-5	2.3791801E-5	1.0	0.0	4.5092785E-4	2.8962674E-4	2.9962385E-4	1.0345172	1.0E-5	0.0045001395	0.0032906544	0.0033006216	1.0030289	1.0E-5
8.3	1.983087E-6	7.783617E-7	7.783617E-7	1.0	0.0	8.498917E-6	3.3358317E-6	3.3358317E-6	1.0	0.0	1.034694E-4	4.0613013E-5	4.0613013E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0010342124	4.791138E-4	4.791138E-4	1.0	0.0

Greenville (So) 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	4.279693E-5	5.5068864E-5	8.5067215E-5	1.5447425	3.0E-5	1.8340252E-4	2.3599011E-4	2.7598065E-4	1.1694586	4.0E-5	0.0022306389	0.0028696412	0.0029793256	1.0382223	1.1E-4	0.022083808	0.028352855	0.028498601	1.0051404	1.5E-4
6.1	3.4037297E-5	4.321312E-5	7.321182E-5	1.6942036	3.0E-5	1.4586597E-4	1.8518712E-4	2.2517971E-4	1.2159578	4.0E-5	0.0017744715	0.00225248	0.0023522547	1.0442955	1.0E-4	0.01760369	0.02231353	0.022430852	1.0052578	1.2E-4
6.2	3.4037297E-5	4.321312E-5	7.321182E-5	1.6942036	3.0E-5	1.4586597E-4	1.8518712E-4	2.2517971E-4	1.2159578	4.0E-5	0.0017744715	0.00225248	0.0023522547	1.0442955	1.0E-4	0.01760369	0.02231353	0.022430852	1.0052578	1.2E-4
6.3	2.5956324E-5	3.2443586E-5	5.2442938E-5	1.6164347	2.0E-5	1.11236644E-4	1.3903697E-4	1.6903279E-4	1.21574	3.0E-5	0.0013534647	0.0016915252	0.0017614068	1.0413128	7.0E-5	0.013452509	0.016793529	0.016872184	1.0046837	8.0E-5
6.4	2.1145053E-5	2.6208558E-5	3.6208297E-5	1.3815447	1.0E-5	9.061851E-5	1.1231774E-4	1.2231662E-4	1.0890231	1.0E-5	0.0011027219	0.001366642	0.0014165737	1.036536	5.0E-5	0.01097266	0.013586048	0.013645233	1.0043563	6.0E-5
6.5	2.0030959E-5	2.4806E-5	3.480575E-5	1.4031183	1.0E-5	8.584414E-5	1.0630728E-4	1.1630622E-4	1.094057	1.0E-5	0.0010446513	0.0012935537	0.001343489	1.0386032	5.0E-5	0.010397541	0.012863853	0.012923081	1.0046042	6.0E-5
6.6	1.8395405E-5	2.2763696E-5	3.276347E-5	1.439286	1.0E-5	7.8835066E-5	9.755521E-5	1.0755423E-4	1.102496	1.0E-5	9.5939427E-4	0.001187116	0.0012370567	1.0420688	5.0E-5	0.009552629	0.011811062	0.0118703535	1.00502	6.0E-5
6.7	1.7883482E-5	2.2134464E-5	3.213424E-5	1.4517741	1.0E-5	7.664124E-5	9.4858704E-5	1.04857754E-4	1.10541	1.0E-5	9.3270757E-4	0.0011543215	0.0012042638	1.0432655	5.0E-5	0.009288026	0.0114865685	0.011545879	1.0051636	6.0E-5
6.8	1.3373564E-5	1.6512255E-5	2.6512089E-5	1.6056008	1.0E-5	5.7314013E-5	7.076497E-5	8.0764265E-5	1.1413028	1.0E-5	6.975747E-4	8.6123776E-4	8.912119E-4	1.0348036	3.0E-5	0.0069538904	0.008580871	0.008620528	1.0046215	4.0E-5
6.9	1.06692905E-5	1.3157319E-5	2.3157187E-5	1.7600232	1.0E-5	4.5724726E-5	5.6387355E-5	6.638679E-5	1.1773348	1.0E-5	5.5655633E-4	6.8631105E-4	7.0629735E-4	1.0291213	2.0E-5	0.005551645	0.0068434086	0.0068732034	1.0043538	3.0E-5
7.0	8.157512E-6	1.0066003E-5	2.0065901E-5	1.993433	1.0E-5	3.4960296E-5	4.313932E-5	5.3138887E-5	1.2317971	1.0E-5	4.2555845E-4	5.2509835E-4	5.4508785E-4	1.038068	2.0E-5	0.004247444	0.0052393135	0.0052691563	1.0056959	3.0E-5
7.1	6.1467113E-6	7.6298E-6	1.7629724E-5	2.3106403	1.0E-5	2.6342783E-5	3.269874E-5	4.269841E-5	1.3058122	1.0E-5	3.206762E-4	3.9803528E-4	4.180273E-4	1.0502268	2.0E-5	0.0032021382	0.0039736717	0.0040035527	1.0075197	3.0E-5
7.2	4.713467E-6	5.9160684E-6	1.591601E-5	2.690302	1.0E-5	2.0200418E-5	2.5354335E-5	3.535408E-5	1.3943999	1.0E-5	2.4591232E-4	3.0864592E-4	3.2863973E-4	1.0647792	2.0E-5	0.0024564038	0.003082583	0.0031124905	1.0097021	3.0E-5
7.3	2.3266216E-6	2.9553435E-6	2.9553435E-6	1.0	0.0	9.971197E-6	1.2665697E-5	1.2665697E-5	1.0	0.0	1.2139256E-4	1.541941E-4	1.541941E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0012132627	0.0015412734	0.0015412734	1.0	0.0
7.4	1.3314E-6	1.7191236E-6	1.7191236E-6	1.0	0.0	5.7059874E-6	7.367652E-6	7.367652E-6	1.0	0.0	6.946818E-5	8.969752E-5	8.969752E-5	1.0	0.0	6.9446466E-4	8.9690136E-4	8.9690136E-4	1.0	0.0
7.5	1.0362941E-6	1.3476846E-6	1.3476846E-6	1.0	0.0	4.4412527E-6	5.7757784E-6	5.7757784E-6	1.0	0.0	5.407091E-5	7.031788E-5	7.031788E-5	1.0	0.0	5.405776E-4	7.032396E-4	7.032396E-4	1.0	0.0
7.6	7.764784E-7	1.0096026E-6	1.0096026E-6	1.0	0.0	3.3277602E-6	4.3268615E-6	4.3268615E-6	1.0	0.0	4.0514726E-5	5.26783E-5	5.26783E-5	1.0	0.0	4.050734E-4	5.269713E-4	5.269713E-4	1.0	0.0
7.7	1.6927763E-7	2.2141442E-7	2.2141442E-7	1.0	0.0	7.2547533E-7	9.489186E-7	9.489186E-7	1.0	0.0	8.832627E-6	1.15530265E-5	1.15530265E-5	1.0	0.0	8.8322755E-5	1.1555313E-4	1.1555313E-4	1.0	0.0

Ortigalita (North)

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	7.711876E-5	1.051221E-4	1.3511894E-4	1.2853525	3.0E-5	3.3046713E-4	4.5044618E-4	4.8043267E-4	1.0665706	3.0E-5	0.004016016	0.005471551	0.0055312226	1.0109059	6.0E-5	0.039442103	0.0534885	0.05360208	1.0021235	1.2E-4
6.1	4.607858E-5	6.0274764E-5	7.027416E-5	1.1658969	1.0E-5	1.9746469E-4	2.582965E-4	2.682939E-4	1.0387052	1.0E-5	0.0024014818	0.0031405424	0.0031704481	1.0095224	3.0E-5	0.023756953	0.03099272	0.031050859	1.001876	6.0E-5
6.2	4.607858E-5	6.0274764E-5	7.027416E-5	1.1658969	1.0E-5	1.9746469E-4	2.582965E-4	2.682939E-4	1.0387052	1.0E-5	0.0024014818	0.0031405424	0.0031704481	1.0095224	3.0E-5	0.023756953	0.03099272	0.031050859	1.001876	6.0E-5
6.3	3.327423E-5	4.2498803E-5	5.2498377E-5	1.2352908	1.0E-5	1.4259605E-4	1.821267E-4	1.9212488E-4	1.0548968	1.0E-5	0.0017347244	0.0022153861	0.0022353418	1.0090078	2.0E-5	0.017212452	0.021957261	0.022006163	1.0022272	5.0E-5
6.4	2.7732503E-5	3.501695E-5	4.50166E-5	1.285566	1.0E-5	1.1884817E-4	1.5006546E-4	1.6006397E-4	1.0666276	1.0E-5	0.001446016	0.0018257501	0.0018457136	1.0109344	2.0E-5	0.014366428	0.018130474	0.018179568	1.0027078	5.0E-5
6.5	2.7689714E-5	3.4966746E-5	4.4966397E-5	1.285976	1.0E-5	1.186648E-4	1.4985034E-4	1.5984883E-4	1.0667232	1.0E-5	0.0014437864	0.0018231353	0.0018430988	1.0109501	2.0E-5	0.014344421	0.018104753	0.018153848	1.0027117	5.0E-5
6.6	2.2976905E-5	2.8732524E-5	3.8732236E-5	1.3480276	1.0E-5	9.846873E-5	1.2313496E-4	1.3313373E-4	1.0812017	1.0E-5	0.0011981975	0.0014983759	0.0015183459	1.0133278	2.0E-5	0.011917574	0.0149060525	0.014955306	1.0033044	5.0E-5
6.7	1.9871539E-5	2.4917166E-5	2.4917166E-5	1.0	0.0	8.516096E-5	1.06784886E-4	1.06784886E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0010363415	0.0012995731	0.00130956	1.0076848	1.0E-5	0.010315218	0.012943409	0.012982892	1.0030503	4.0E-5
6.8	6.5640475E-6	7.607822E-6	7.607822E-6	1.0	0.0	2.813133E-5	3.260456E-5	3.260456E-5	1.0	0.0	3.424451E-4	3.968911E-4	3.968911E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0034191788	0.00396211	0.003982031	1.0050278	2.0E-5
6.9	5.6219683E-6	6.503801E-6	6.503801E-6	1.0	0.0	2.4093928E-5	2.7873151E-5	2.7873151E-5	1.0	0.0	2.933041E-4	3.3930535E-4	3.3930535E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0029291727	0.00338813	0.0034080625	1.005883	2.0E-5
7.0	3.875591E-6	4.486115E-6	4.486115E-6	1.0	0.0	1.6609569E-5	1.9226076E-5	1.9226076E-5	1.0	0.0	2.0220275E-4	2.3405446E-4	2.3405446E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0020201886	0.002338288	0.0023482644	1.0042666	1.0E-5
7.1	1.6017933E-6	1.8576128E-6	1.8576128E-6	1.0	0.0	6.8648105E-6	7.961179E-6	7.961179E-6	1.0	0.0	8.357586E-5	9.6924115E-5	9.6924115E-5	1.0	0.0	8.3544437E-4	9.689232E-4	9.689232E-4	1.0	0.0

Contra Costa Shear Zone (connector) 2011 CFM

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	1.3187427E-5	1.4048021E-5	4.40476E-5	3.135502	3.0E-5	5.6516317E-5	6.0204544E-5	1.2020093E-4	1.9965426	6.0E-5	6.878689E-4	7.3276664E-4	8.3269336E-4	1.1363691	1.0E-4	0.006857436	0.0073097665	0.007448743	1.0190125	1.4E-4
6.1	1.3187427E-5	1.4048021E-5	4.40476E-5	3.135502	3.0E-5	5.6516317E-5	6.0204544E-5	1.2020093E-4	1.9965426	6.0E-5	6.878689E-4	7.3276664E-4	8.3269336E-4	1.1363691	1.0E-4	0.006857436	0.0073097665	0.007448743	1.0190125	1.4E-4
6.2	1.3187427E-5	1.4048021E-5	4.40476E-5	3.135502	3.0E-5	5.6516317E-5	6.0204544E-5	1.2020093E-4	1.9965426	6.0E-5	6.878689E-4	7.3276664E-4	8.3269336E-4	1.1363691	1.0E-4	0.006857436	0.0073097665	0.007448743	1.0190125	1.4E-4
6.3	9.315374E-6	9.830226E-6	3.982993E-5	4.051782	3.0E-5	3.992242E-5	4.2128882E-5	1.0212635E-4	2.4241412	6.0E-5	4.8594706E-4	5.1280257E-4	6.027564E-4	1.1754161	9.0E-5	0.004848858	0.005120609	0.005249943	1.0252576	1.3E-4
6.4	9.315374E-6	9.830226E-6	3.982993E-5	4.051782	3.0E-5	3.992242E-5	4.2128882E-5	1.0212635E-4	2.4241412	6.0E-5	4.8594706E-4	5.1280257E-4	6.027564E-4	1.1754161	9.0E-5	0.004848858	0.005120609	0.005249943	1.0252576	1.3E-4
6.5	8.492638E-6	8.943775E-6	3.8943508E-5	4.354258	3.0E-5	3.639651E-5	3.8329923E-5	9.8327626E-5	2.5652966	6.0E-5	4.430374E-4	4.6657026E-4	5.565283E-4	1.192807	9.0E-5	0.0044215517	0.004660248	0.0047796885	1.0256298	1.2E-4
6.6	8.402072E-6	8.844558E-6	3.8844293E-5	4.3918867	3.0E-5	3.6008387E-5	3.7904712E-5	9.790244E-5	2.5828567	6.0E-5	4.383139E-4	4.6139554E-4	5.51354E-4	1.1949704	9.0E-5	0.0043745036	0.004608716	0.004728163	1.0259176	1.2E-4
6.7	7.383587E-6	7.752001E-6	2.7751847E-5	3.579959	2.0E-5	3.164356E-5	3.322245E-5	7.322112E-5	2.2039652	4.0E-5	3.8519225E-4	4.0441036E-4	4.7438205E-4	1.1730216	7.0E-5	0.0038452526	0.004040959	0.004140555	1.0246466	1.0E-4
6.8	6.004921E-6	6.2694644E-6	1.6269401E-5	2.5950227	1.0E-5	2.5735122E-5	2.6868858E-5	4.686832E-5	1.7443361	2.0E-5	3.1328006E-4	3.270798E-4	3.7706344E-4	1.1528178	5.0E-5	0.0031283877	0.0032700447	0.0033298484	1.0182884	6.0E-5
6.9	5.505255E-6	5.7217717E-6	1.5721715E-5	2.7477005	1.0E-5	2.3593739E-5	2.452165E-5	4.4521163E-5	1.8155857	2.0E-5	2.872159E-4	2.9851065E-4	3.4849573E-4	1.1674482	5.0E-5	0.0028684495	0.0029851485	0.0030449694	1.0200396	6.0E-5
7.0	4.891922E-6	5.052329E-6	1.5052278E-5	2.9792752	1.0E-5	2.096521E-5	2.1652662E-5	3.1652446E-5	1.461827	1.0E-5	2.5522153E-4	2.635896E-4	3.035791E-4	1.151711	4.0E-5	0.0025492862	0.0026368136	0.0026866817	1.0189123	5.0E-5
7.1	4.3599E-6	4.45621E-6	1.4456165E-5	3.2440495	1.0E-5	1.868515E-5	1.9097904E-5	2.9097713E-5	1.5236077	1.0E-5	2.2746796E-4	2.3249244E-4	2.7248316E-4	1.1720086	4.0E-5	0.0022723526	0.0023265292	0.002376413	1.0214412	5.0E-5
7.2	3.7647926E-6	3.8070978E-6	1.380706E-5	3.6266627	1.0E-5	1.6134725E-5	1.6316033E-5	2.6315869E-5	1.612884	1.0E-5	1.9642258E-4	1.9862983E-4	2.3862188E-4	1.2013396	4.0E-5	0.0019624906	0.0019885479	0.0020384484	1.025094	5.0E-5
7.3	2.3179882E-6	2.3945984E-6	1.2394575E-5	5.176056	1.0E-5	9.934198E-6	1.0262524E-5	2.0262421E-5	1.9744091	1.0E-5	1.20942146E-4	1.2493912E-4	1.4493661E-4	1.160058	2.0E-5	0.0012087635	0.0012527077	0.0012726827	1.0159454	2.0E-5
7.4	1.8378355E-6	1.9215563E-6	1.1921537E-5	6.2041054	1.0E-5	7.876414E-6	8.235215E-6	1.8235132E-5	2.2142873	1.0E-5	9.5891126E-5	1.0025917E-4	1.20257166E-4	1.199463	2.0E-5	9.584976E-4	0.0010060758	0.0010260557	1.0198592	2.0E-5
7.5	9.840493E-7	1.0649657E-6	1.0649657E-6	1.0	0.0	4.2173474E-6	4.5641304E-6	4.5641304E-6	1.0	0.0	5.1344992E-5	5.5566885E-5	6.556633E-5	1.1799533	1.0E-5	5.133313E-4	5.591408E-4	5.6913524E-4	1.0178746	1.0E-5
7.6	3.1602997E-7	3.724657E-7	3.724657E-7	1.0	0.0	1.3544135E-6	1.5962806E-6	1.5962806E-6	1.0	0.0	1.648986E-5	1.9434545E-5	1.9434545E-5	1.0	0.0	1.6488635E-4	1.9783223E-4	1.9783223E-4	1.0	0.0
7.7	2.2125788E-7	2.777897E-7	2.777897E-7	1.0	0.0	9.482477E-7	1.1905267E-6	1.1905267E-6	1.0	0.0	1.1544855E-5	1.4494567E-5	1.4494567E-5	1.0	0.0	1.1544255E-4	1.4840343E-4	1.4840343E-4	1.0	0.0
7.8	1.0509553E-7	1.448451E-7	1.448451E-7	1.0	0.0	4.5040935E-7	6.207646E-7	6.207646E-7	1.0	0.0	5.48372E-6	7.5577823E-6	7.5577823E-6	1.0	0.0	5.4835844E-5	7.786888E-5	7.786888E-5	1.0	0.0
7.9	6.029319E-8	9.3100546E-8	9.3100546E-8	1.0	0.0	2.5839938E-7	3.990023E-7	3.990023E-7	1.0	0.0	3.1460077E-6	4.857842E-6	4.857842E-6	1.0	0.0	3.1459633E-5	5.0150862E-5	5.0150862E-5	1.0	0.0
8.0	3.531068E-8	6.55782E-8	6.55782E-8	1.0	0.0	1.5133148E-7	2.810494E-7	2.810494E-7	1.0	0.0	1.8424593E-6	3.4217712E-6	3.4217712E-6	1.0	0.0	1.842444E-5	3.5349527E-5	3.5349527E-5	1.0	0.0
8.1	3.5238246E-10	6.3010697E-10	6.3010697E-10	1.0	0.0	1.5102107E-9	2.7004592E-9	2.7004592E-9	1.0	0.0	1.8386816E-8	3.287809E-8	3.287809E-8	1.0	0.0	1.8386814E-7	3.3670398E-7	3.3670398E-7	1.0	0.0

Clayton

(top)

1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	1.1413061E-5	1.2669748E-5	3.2669494E-5	2.5785434	2.0E-5	4.89122E-5	5.4297918E-5	1.3429357E-4	2.473273	8.0E-5	5.953433E-4	6.6089886E-4	7.6083274E-4	1.1512091	1.0E-4	0.005937509	0.006591537	0.0067206803	1.0195923	1.3E-4
6.1	1.1413061E-5	1.2669748E-5	3.2669494E-5	2.5785434	2.0E-5	4.89122E-5	5.4297918E-5	1.3429357E-4	2.473273	8.0E-5	5.953433E-4	6.6089886E-4	7.6083274E-4	1.1512091	1.0E-4	0.005937509	0.006591537	0.0067206803	1.0195923	1.3E-4
6.2	1.1413061E-5	1.2669748E-5	3.2669494E-5	2.5785434	2.0E-5	4.89122E-5	5.4297918E-5	1.3429357E-4	2.473273	8.0E-5	5.953433E-4	6.6089886E-4	7.6083274E-4	1.1512091	1.0E-4	0.005937509	0.006591537	0.0067206803	1.0195923	1.3E-4
6.3	8.538689E-6	9.534896E-6	9.534896E-6	1.0	0.0	3.659387E-5	4.0863262E-5	8.0861624E-5	1.9788344	4.0E-5	4.4543925E-4	4.974074E-4	5.473825E-4	1.1004713	5.0E-5	0.0044454746	0.004964007	0.0050336593	1.0140315	7.0E-5
6.4	8.538689E-6	9.534896E-6	9.534896E-6	1.0	0.0	3.659387E-5	4.0863262E-5	8.0861624E-5	1.9788344	4.0E-5	4.4543925E-4	4.974074E-4	5.473825E-4	1.1004713	5.0E-5	0.0044454746	0.004964007	0.0050336593	1.0140315	7.0E-5
6.5	7.197462E-6	8.082864E-6	8.082864E-6	1.0	0.0	3.08459E-5	3.4640434E-5	7.463905E-5	2.15468	4.0E-5	3.7548412E-4	4.2167387E-4	4.716528E-4	1.118525	5.0E-5	0.003748503	0.00420955	0.0042692972	1.0141933	6.0E-5
6.6	7.1760483E-6	8.058875E-6	8.058875E-6	1.0	0.0	3.075413E-5	3.4537625E-5	7.453624E-5	2.1581173	4.0E-5	3.743672E-4	4.2042267E-4	4.7040163E-4	1.1188779	5.0E-5	0.0037373714	0.004197085	0.0042568333	1.0142356	6.0E-5
6.7	6.202582E-6	6.978372E-6	6.978372E-6	1.0	0.0	2.6582224E-5	2.9907009E-5	6.9905815E-5	2.337439	4.0E-5	3.235905E-4	3.6406468E-4	4.040501E-4	1.1098306	4.0E-5	0.0032311971	0.0036354384	0.0036852567	1.0137035	5.0E-5
6.8	3.6417277E-6	4.122341E-6	4.122341E-6	1.0	0.0	1.5607311E-5	1.766706E-5	3.766671E-5	2.1320302	2.0E-5	1.9000245E-4	2.15076E-4	2.350717E-4	1.0929704	2.0E-5	0.0018984007	0.002148755	0.002168712	1.0092877	2.0E-5
6.9	2.6498485E-6	3.0002825E-6	3.0002825E-6	1.0	0.0	1.1356444E-5	1.2858292E-5	1.2858292E-5	1.0	0.0	1.3825593E-4	1.5653887E-4	1.5653887E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0013816995	0.0015643255	0.0015643255	1.0	0.0
7.0	2.070442E-6	2.3413186E-6	2.3413186E-6	1.0	0.0	8.873292E-6	1.0034186E-5	1.0034186E-5	1.0	0.0	1.0802698E-4	1.2215966E-4	1.2215966E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0010797448	0.001220955	0.001220955	1.0	0.0
7.1	1.2111691E-6	1.359203E-6	1.359203E-6	1.0	0.0	5.190714E-6	5.825144E-6	5.825144E-6	1.0	0.0	6.319511E-5	7.0918984E-5	7.0918984E-5	1.0	0.0	6.3177146E-4	7.089799E-4	7.089799E-4	1.0	0.0
7.2	3.9541607E-7	4.2234782E-7	4.2234782E-7	1.0	0.0	1.6946392E-6	1.8100608E-6	1.8100608E-6	1.0	0.0	2.0632036E-5	2.203727E-5	2.203727E-5	1.0	0.0	2.063012E-4	2.2035098E-4	2.2035098E-4	1.0	0.0
7.3	2.5685637E-7	2.7462335E-7	2.7462335E-7	1.0	0.0	1.1008126E-6	1.1769567E-6	1.1769567E-6	1.0	0.0	1.3402311E-5	1.4329355E-5	1.4329355E-5	1.0	0.0	1.3401502E-4	1.4328439E-4	1.4328439E-4	1.0	0.0
7.4	1.482299E-7	1.5811504E-7	1.5811504E-7	1.0	0.0	6.3527085E-7	6.776357E-7	6.776357E-7	1.0	0.0	7.734395E-6	8.250184E-6	8.250184E-6	1.0	0.0	7.734126E-5	8.24988E-5	8.24988E-5	1.0	0.0
7.5	9.7969505E-8	1.0441255E-7	1.0441255E-7	1.0	0.0	4.1986925E-7	4.4748225E-7	4.4748225E-7	1.0	0.0	5.111896E-6	5.448083E-6	5.448083E-6	1.0	0.0	5.1117782E-5	5.447951E-5	5.447951E-5	1.0	0.0
7.6	6.125415E-8	6.5235575E-8	6.5235575E-8	1.0	0.0	2.6251774E-7	2.79581E-7	2.79581E-7	1.0	0.0	3.196149E-6	3.4038937E-6	3.4038937E-6	1.0	0.0	3.196103E-5	3.4038425E-5	3.4038425E-5	1.0	0.0

San Andreas (Peninsula) 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	8.6200685E-5	2.5576986E-5	7.557571E-5	2.9548323	5.0E-5	3.6937918E-4	1.0961106E-4	1.6960448E-4	1.54733	6.0E-5	0.0044879215	0.0013336993	0.001433566	1.0748794	1.0E-4	0.043983612	0.014971707	0.0150899105	1.0078951	1.2E-4
6.1	8.6200685E-5	2.5576986E-5	7.557571E-5	2.9548323	5.0E-5	3.6937918E-4	1.0961106E-4	1.6960448E-4	1.54733	6.0E-5	0.0044879215	0.0013336993	0.001433566	1.0748794	1.0E-4	0.043983612	0.014971707	0.0150899105	1.0078951	1.2E-4
6.2	8.6200685E-5	2.5576986E-5	7.557571E-5	2.9548323	5.0E-5	3.6937918E-4	1.0961106E-4	1.6960448E-4	1.54733	6.0E-5	0.0044879215	0.0013336993	0.001433566	1.0748794	1.0E-4	0.043983612	0.014971707	0.0150899105	1.0078951	1.2E-4
6.3	8.551163E-5	2.526643E-5	7.526517E-5	2.9788604	5.0E-5	3.6642692E-4	1.0828021E-4	1.6827372E-4	1.5540578	6.0E-5	0.004452125	0.001317516	0.0014173843	1.0758004	1.0E-4	0.043639794	0.014797204	0.014915428	1.0079896	1.2E-4
6.4	8.551163E-5	2.526643E-5	7.526517E-5	2.9788604	5.0E-5	3.6642692E-4	1.0828021E-4	1.6827372E-4	1.5540578	6.0E-5	0.004452125	0.001317516	0.0014173843	1.0758004	1.0E-4	0.043639794	0.014797204	0.014915428	1.0079896	1.2E-4
6.5	8.511146E-5	2.5086492E-5	7.508524E-5	2.9930544	5.0E-5	3.647124E-4	1.0750911E-4	1.6750267E-4	1.5580322	6.0E-5	0.004431336	0.0013081392	0.0014080084	1.0763445	1.0E-4	0.04344007	0.014696257	0.014814494	1.0080453	1.2E-4
6.6	8.4985084E-5	2.5016734E-5	7.501548E-5	2.9986122	5.0E-5	3.6417096E-4	1.0721017E-4	1.6720375E-4	1.5595884	6.0E-5	0.0044247704	0.001304504	0.0014043734	1.0765575	1.0E-4	0.043376986	0.014658007	0.0147762485	1.0080667	1.2E-4
6.7	8.462618E-5	2.4844016E-5	7.484277E-5	3.0125072	5.0E-5	3.6263323E-4	1.0647002E-4	1.6646362E-4	1.563479	6.0E-5	0.004406125	0.0012955032	0.0013953737	1.07709	1.0E-4	0.043197807	0.014562456	0.014680709	1.0081204	1.2E-4
6.8	8.42337E-5	2.4738883E-5	7.473765E-5	3.0210598	5.0E-5	3.6095164E-4	1.06019485E-4	1.6601312E-4	1.5658737	6.0E-5	0.004385734	0.0012900246	0.0013898956	1.0774179	1.0E-4	0.043001823	0.01450267	0.01462093	1.0081544	1.2E-4
6.9	8.365989E-5	2.454221E-5	7.4540985E-5	3.0372562	5.0E-5	3.5849313E-4	1.05176674E-4	1.6517036E-4	1.5704087	6.0E-5	0.004355922	0.0012797754	0.0013796474	1.0780387	1.0E-4	0.04271523	0.014394584	0.014512857	1.0082165	1.2E-4
7.0	8.30936E-5	2.4302593E-5	7.430138E-5	3.0573435	5.0E-5	3.560668E-4	1.04149825E-4	1.6414358E-4	1.5760331	6.0E-5	0.004326499	0.0012672882	0.0013671614	1.0788087	1.0E-4	0.042432297	0.014264939	0.014383228	1.0082922	1.2E-4
7.1	8.041264E-5	2.3986217E-5	7.3985015E-5	3.0844805	5.0E-5	3.4458007E-4	1.0279402E-4	1.6278785E-4	1.5836315	6.0E-5	0.0041871946	0.0012508003	0.0013506752	1.0798488	1.0E-4	0.041091725	0.014086153	0.014204463	1.008399	1.2E-4
7.2	7.8427016E-5	2.340641E-5	7.340524E-5	3.136117	5.0E-5	3.3607247E-4	1.00309335E-4	1.6030332E-4	1.5980897	6.0E-5	0.004084008	0.0012205836	0.0013204615	1.081828	1.0E-4	0.040097635	0.013768775	0.013887123	1.0085953	1.2E-4
7.3	7.721087E-5	2.3190101E-5	7.3188945E-5	3.1560423	5.0E-5	3.3086175E-4	9.938237E-5	1.593764E-4	1.6036688	6.0E-5	0.004020803	0.0012093104	0.0013091895	1.0825918	1.0E-4	0.03948827	0.01365187	0.013770232	1.00867	1.2E-4
7.4	7.3536525E-5	2.1284479E-5	7.1283415E-5	3.3490796	5.0E-5	3.1511846E-4	9.121601E-5	1.5121054E-4	1.6577193	6.0E-5	0.0038298194	0.0011099904	0.0012098794	1.0899909	1.0E-4	0.037644852	0.01259747	0.012715957	1.0094057	1.2E-4
7.5	6.806207E-5	1.9059735E-5	5.9058973E-5	3.0986252	4.0E-5	2.9166197E-4	8.1682025E-5	1.3167794E-4	1.6120799	5.0E-5	0.0035452035	9.94026E-4	0.0010839365	1.0904509	9.0E-5	0.034891766	0.011335085	0.0114438385	1.0095944	1.1E-4
7.6	5.6731416E-5	1.43978305E-5	2.4397687E-5	1.6945391	1.0E-5	2.43112E-4	6.1703526E-5	7.170291E-5	1.1620553	1.0E-5	0.0029558712	7.509817E-4	7.8095915E-4	1.0399177	3.0E-5	0.02916862	0.008609943	0.008649599	1.0046058	4.0E-5
7.7	4.946994E-5	1.34503825E-5	2.3450248E-5	1.7434633	1.0E-5	2.1199681E-4	5.7643225E-5	6.764265E-5	1.173471	1.0E-5	0.002578006	7.0158043E-4	7.3155935E-4	1.0427306	3.0E-5	0.02548303	0.008022894	0.008062573	1.0049458	4.0E-5
7.8	3.9718198E-5	1.3178822E-5	2.317869E-5	1.7587831	1.0E-5	1.7020974E-4	5.6479446E-5	6.647888E-5	1.1770456	1.0E-5	0.0020703338	6.874204E-4	7.173998E-4	1.0436114	3.0E-5	0.020511515	0.007828144	0.007867832	1.0050697	4.0E-5
7.9	2.4115114E-5	1.23591135E-5	2.235899E-5	1.8091096	1.0E-5	1.0334639E-4	5.2966552E-5	6.296602E-5	1.1887884	1.0E-5	0.001257516	6.4467714E-4	6.746578E-4	1.046505	3.0E-5	0.012504238	0.007253709	0.0072934185	1.0054744	4.0E-5
8.0	1.7756569E-5	1.156549E-5	1.156549E-5	1.0	0.0	7.6097356E-5	4.9565446E-5	4.9565446E-5	1.0	0.0	9.260915E-4	6.0329237E-4	6.1328633E-4	1.0165657	1.0E-5	0.009222416	0.0067433827	0.006763248	1.0029459	2.0E-5
8.1	1.3159258E-5	9.87639E-6	9.87639E-6	1.0	0.0	5.6395602E-5	4.23267E-5	4.23267E-5	1.0	0.0	6.864001E-4	5.1520584E-4	5.2520074E-4	1.0193998	1.0E-5	0.0068428386	0.0057598758	0.0057698186	1.0017262	1.0E-5
8.2	8.635426E-6	5.5434502E-6	5.5434502E-6	1.0	0.0	3.700844E-5	2.3757428E-5	2.3757428E-5	1.0	0.0	4.5048463E-4	2.8920837E-4	2.9920548E-4	1.0345671	1.0E-5	0.004495725	0.0032864118	0.003296379	1.0030328	1.0E-5
8.3	1.983087E-6	7.783617E-7	7.783617E-7	1.0	0.0	8.498917E-6	3.3358317E-6	3.3358317E-6	1.0	0.0	1.034694E-4	4.0613013E-5	4.0613013E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0010342124	4.791138E-4	4.791138E-4	1.0	0.0

Ortigalita (South)

(top)

1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	3.72394E-5	4.3269127E-5	5.3268697E-5	1.2311016	1.0E-5	1.5958765E-4	1.8542683E-4	2.0542312E-4	1.1078392	2.0E-5	0.0019412481	0.0022553904	0.0023252326	1.0309668	7.0E-5	0.019243775	0.02234141	0.022439174	1.0043759	1.0E-4
6.1	2.7299884E-5	3.1501382E-5	3.1501382E-5	1.0	0.0	1.16994255E-4	1.3499927E-4	1.3499927E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0014234743	0.0016424328	0.0016823671	1.0243142	4.0E-5	0.014143906	0.016308874	0.016377732	1.0042222	7.0E-5
6.2	2.7299884E-5	3.1501382E-5	3.1501382E-5	1.0	0.0	1.16994255E-4	1.3499927E-4	1.3499927E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0014234743	0.0016424328	0.0016823671	1.0243142	4.0E-5	0.014143906	0.016308874	0.016377732	1.0042222	7.0E-5
6.3	2.0546433E-5	2.3638311E-5	2.3638311E-5	1.0	0.0	8.805317E-5	1.0130322E-4	1.0130322E-4	1.0	0.0	0.00107152	0.0012326878	0.0012726386	1.0324094	4.0E-5	0.010663681	0.012260567	0.012329709	1.0056393	7.0E-5
6.4	2.0546433E-5	2.3638311E-5	2.3638311E-5	1.0	0.0	8.805317E-5	1.0130322E-4	1.0130322E-4	1.0	0.0	0.00107152	0.0012326878	0.0012726386	1.0324094	4.0E-5	0.010663681	0.012260567	0.012329709	1.0056393	7.0E-5
6.5	1.7779594E-5	2.0452906E-5	2.0452906E-5	1.0	0.0	7.619603E-5	8.765244E-5	8.765244E-5	1.0	0.0	9.272918E-4	0.0010666597	0.0010966277	1.0280951	3.0E-5	0.009234319	0.010616867	0.010676229	1.0055914	6.0E-5
6.6	1.6272212E-5	1.87204E-5	1.87204E-5	1.0	0.0	6.973618E-5	8.022789E-5	8.022789E-5	1.0	0.0	8.487073E-4	9.763491E-4	0.0010063198	1.0306967	3.0E-5	0.008454733	0.0097218985	0.009781315	1.0061116	6.0E-5
6.7	1.3051484E-5	1.5043188E-5	1.5043188E-5	1.0	0.0	5.593373E-5	6.446926E-5	6.446926E-5	1.0	0.0	6.807804E-4	7.8464014E-4	7.946323E-4	1.0127347	1.0E-5	0.006786986	0.007819681	0.007849447	1.0038065	3.0E-5
6.8	1.04277415E-5	1.1990697E-5	1.1990697E-5	1.0	0.0	4.4689557E-5	5.1387735E-5	5.1387735E-5	1.0	0.0	5.439595E-4	6.254735E-4	6.254735E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0054262993	0.006237886	0.006257761	1.0031862	2.0E-5
6.9	7.639968E-6	8.794061E-6	8.794061E-6	1.0	0.0	3.274231E-5	3.768832E-5	3.768832E-5	1.0	0.0	3.9856473E-4	4.5876458E-4	4.5876458E-4	1.0	0.0	0.003978506	0.004578762	0.0045986706	1.004348	2.0E-5
7.0	3.919831E-6	4.5347706E-6	4.5347706E-6	1.0	0.0	1.679917E-5	1.9434598E-5	1.9434598E-5	1.0	0.0	2.045107E-4	2.3659266E-4	2.3659266E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0020432258	0.0023636164	0.0023735927	1.0042208	1.0E-5
7.1	1.6017933E-6	1.8576128E-6	1.8576128E-6	1.0	0.0	6.8648105E-6	7.961179E-6	7.961179E-6	1.0	0.0	8.357586E-5	9.6924115E-5	9.6924115E-5	1.0	0.0	8.3544437E-4	9.689232E-4	9.689232E-4	1.0	0.0

Mount Diablo Thrust South

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	2.2377444E-5	2.696574E-5	3.696547E-5	1.3708309	1.0E-5	9.5899806E-5	1.1556345E-4	1.6555768E-4	1.4326128	5.0E-5	0.0011669548	0.0014062751	0.0014761767	1.0497069	7.0E-5	0.011608457	0.013993767	0.014112088	1.0084553	1.2E-4
6.1	2.2377444E-5	2.696574E-5	3.696547E-5	1.3708309	1.0E-5	9.5899806E-5	1.1556345E-4	1.6555768E-4	1.4326128	5.0E-5	0.0011669548	0.0014062751	0.0014761767	1.0497069	7.0E-5	0.011608457	0.013993767	0.014112088	1.0084553	1.2E-4
6.2	2.2377444E-5	2.696574E-5	3.696547E-5	1.3708309	1.0E-5	9.5899806E-5	1.1556345E-4	1.6555768E-4	1.4326128	5.0E-5	0.0011669548	0.0014062751	0.0014761767	1.0497069	7.0E-5	0.011608457	0.013993767	0.014112088	1.0084553	1.2E-4
6.3	2.2377444E-5	2.696574E-5	3.696547E-5	1.3708309	1.0E-5	9.5899806E-5	1.1556345E-4	1.6555768E-4	1.4326128	5.0E-5	0.0011669548	0.0014062751	0.0014761767	1.0497069	7.0E-5	0.011608457	0.013993767	0.014112088	1.0084553	1.2E-4
6.4	1.2228463E-5	1.4752443E-5	1.4752443E-5	1.0	0.0	5.2406645E-5	6.32233E-5	1.03220766E-4	1.6326382	4.0E-5	6.378641E-4	7.694847E-4	8.1944617E-4	1.0649285	5.0E-5	0.0063603627	0.0076699774	0.007749364	1.0103502	8.0E-5
6.5	1.2228463E-5	1.4752443E-5	1.4752443E-5	1.0	0.0	5.2406645E-5	6.32233E-5	1.03220766E-4	1.6326382	4.0E-5	6.378641E-4	7.694847E-4	8.1944617E-4	1.0649285	5.0E-5	0.0063603627	0.0076699774	0.007749364	1.0103502	8.0E-5
6.6	1.2068118E-5	1.455716E-5	1.455716E-5	1.0	0.0	5.1719482E-5	6.238641E-5	1.02383914E-4	1.6411253	4.0E-5	6.2950276E-4	7.593027E-4	8.092647E-4	1.0657998	5.0E-5	0.006277225	0.0075688553	0.00764825	1.0104896	8.0E-5
6.7	1.1499428E-5	1.3879572E-5	1.3879572E-5	1.0	0.0	4.9282335E-5	5.9482594E-5	9.948022E-5	1.6724256	4.0E-5	5.9984723E-4	7.2397274E-4	7.739365E-4	1.0690134	5.0E-5	0.0059823063	0.0072178994	0.007297322	1.0110036	8.0E-5
6.8	8.82118E-6	1.083405E-5	1.083405E-5	1.0	0.0	3.780451E-5	4.6430847E-5	6.642992E-5	1.4307281	2.0E-5	4.601727E-4	5.6515454E-4	5.951376E-4	1.0530528	3.0E-5	0.0045922096	0.005638213	0.005687931	1.008818	5.0E-5
6.9	8.047112E-6	9.942756E-6	9.942756E-6	1.0	0.0	3.4487166E-5	4.2611147E-5	4.2611147E-5	1.0	0.0	4.1980037E-4	5.186725E-4	5.2866735E-4	1.01927	1.0E-5	0.004190082	0.005175623	0.005205468	1.0057664	3.0E-5
7.0	6.2574763E-6	7.75131E-6	7.75131E-6	1.0	0.0	2.681748E-5	3.3219498E-5	3.3219498E-5	1.0	0.0	3.264539E-4	4.04376E-4	4.04376E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0032597475	0.004037295	0.0040472546	1.0024669	1.0E-5
7.1	3.6485903E-6	4.514272E-6	4.514272E-6	1.0	0.0	1.5636722E-5	1.9346739E-5	1.9346739E-5	1.0	0.0	1.9036046E-4	2.3552148E-4	2.3552148E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0019019748	0.0023527688	0.002362745	1.0042403	1.0E-5
7.2	2.3034274E-6	2.9060748E-6	2.9060748E-6	1.0	0.0	9.871795E-6	1.2454549E-5	1.2454549E-5	1.0	0.0	1.2018247E-4	1.5162381E-4	1.5162381E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0012011749	0.0015153174	0.0015153174	1.0	0.0
7.3	1.224035E-6	1.5682601E-6	1.5682601E-6	1.0	0.0	5.245854E-6	6.721098E-6	6.721098E-6	1.0	0.0	6.38664E-5	8.18264E-5	8.18264E-5	1.0	0.0	6.384805E-4	8.180418E-4	8.180418E-4	1.0	0.0
7.4	5.1601154E-7	6.7246805E-7	6.7246805E-7	1.0	0.0	2.2114762E-6	2.8820027E-6	2.8820027E-6	1.0	0.0	2.6924388E-5	3.5087836E-5	3.5087836E-5	1.0	0.0	2.6921128E-4	3.507808E-4	3.507808E-4	1.0	0.0
7.5	3.552894E-7	4.6657922E-7	4.6657922E-7	1.0	0.0	1.5226678E-6	1.9996237E-6	1.9996237E-6	1.0	0.0	1.8538323E-5	2.4345161E-5	2.4345161E-5	1.0	0.0	1.8536777E-4	2.4343158E-4	2.4343158E-4	1.0	0.0
7.6	1.3124082E-7	1.7192494E-7	1.7192494E-7	1.0	0.0	5.6246057E-7	7.36821E-7	7.36821E-7	1.0	0.0	6.8479358E-6	8.970767E-6	8.970767E-6	1.0	0.0	6.8477246E-5	8.970267E-5	8.970267E-5	1.0	0.0
7.7	3.6193022E-8	4.7337167E-8	4.7337167E-8	1.0	0.0	1.5511293E-7	2.0287355E-7	2.0287355E-7	1.0	0.0	1.8884983E-6	2.4699839E-6	2.4699839E-6	1.0	0.0	1.8884823E-5	2.470389E-5	2.470389E-5	1.0	0.0

Mission (connected) 2011 CFM

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	1.8735573E-5	2.6921949E-5	6.6920875E-5	2.4857366	4.0E-5	8.029284E-5	1.1537355E-4	1.6536778E-4	1.4333249	5.0E-5	9.771269E-4	0.0014036691	0.0014835568	1.0569135	8.0E-5	0.009728416	0.013956763	0.0140652275	1.0077715	1.1E-4
6.1	1.7515964E-5	2.5562927E-5	4.5562414E-5	1.782363	2.0E-5	7.506625E-5	1.0954966E-4	1.3954638E-4	1.2738184	3.0E-5	9.135484E-4	0.0013328519	0.0013827854	1.0374635	5.0E-5	0.009098019	0.013257227	0.013326298	1.0052102	7.0E-5
6.2	1.6486343E-5	2.4407327E-5	3.4407083E-5	1.409703	1.0E-5	7.065384E-5	1.0459751E-4	1.2459542E-4	1.1911892	2.0E-5	8.5987104E-4	0.0012726317	0.0013125809	1.0313909	4.0E-5	0.008565514	0.012662074	0.012721314	1.0046786	6.0E-5
6.3	1.5229385E-5	2.283591E-5	3.283568E-5	1.4378968	1.0E-5	6.526716E-5	9.786338E-5	1.17861426E-4	1.2043465	2.0E-5	7.9433795E-4	0.0011907365	0.0012306889	1.0335526	4.0E-5	0.007915046	0.011854907	0.0119141955	1.0050012	6.0E-5
6.4	1.4435828E-5	2.14347E-5	3.1434487E-5	1.4665232	1.0E-5	6.186637E-5	9.1858645E-5	1.118568E-4	1.2177058	2.0E-5	7.529627E-4	0.0011177073	0.0011576626	1.0357475	4.0E-5	0.007504165	0.011137163	0.011196495	1.0053273	6.0E-5
6.5	1.30127955E-5	1.9069268E-5	2.9069077E-5	1.524394	1.0E-5	5.576793E-5	8.1722836E-5	1.017212E-4	1.2447096	2.0E-5	6.78763E-4	9.94486E-4	0.0010344462	1.0401818	4.0E-5	0.0067669353	0.009928156	0.00998756	1.0059835	6.0E-5
6.6	1.1220718E-5	1.6423797E-5	2.6423633E-5	1.6088626	1.0E-5	4.8087906E-5	7.038581E-5	9.03844E-5	1.2841282	2.0E-5	5.8531296E-4	8.566098E-4	8.965755E-4	1.0466557	4.0E-5	0.005837737	0.008565263	0.008624749	1.006945	6.0E-5
6.7	8.086152E-6	1.17758245E-5	2.1775706E-5	1.8491875	1.0E-5	3.4654473E-5	5.0466846E-5	7.046584E-5	1.3962798	2.0E-5	4.2183654E-4	6.1426143E-4	6.542368E-4	1.0650789	4.0E-5	0.004210367	0.006163018	0.006222648	1.0096755	6.0E-5
6.8	6.8361655E-6	1.0218317E-5	2.0218215E-5	1.9786247	1.0E-5	2.9297524E-5	4.3792053E-5	6.379118E-5	1.4566839	2.0E-5	3.5663895E-4	5.3303846E-4	5.7301717E-4	1.0750015	4.0E-5	0.0035606713	0.0053506256	0.0054103048	1.0111537	6.0E-5
6.9	5.2517353E-6	7.888233E-6	1.7888155E-5	2.267701	1.0E-5	2.2507242E-5	3.380628E-5	5.38056E-5	1.5915861	2.0E-5	2.739912E-4	4.1151393E-4	4.5149747E-4	1.097162	4.0E-5	0.0027365363	0.0041398965	0.0041896896	1.0120276	5.0E-5
7.0	4.4602784E-6	6.7190645E-6	1.6718997E-5	2.4882925	1.0E-5	1.911534E-5	2.8795674E-5	4.8795097E-5	1.6945288	2.0E-5	2.327044E-4	3.5053107E-4	3.9051706E-4	1.1140726	4.0E-5	0.0023246086	0.003531248	0.0035711068	1.0112875	4.0E-5
7.1	4.1492594E-6	6.26673E-6	1.6266667E-5	2.5957186	1.0E-5	1.7782419E-5	2.6857138E-5	4.68566E-5	1.744661	2.0E-5	2.1647944E-4	3.2693674E-4	3.6692366E-4	1.1223078	4.0E-5	0.0021626868	0.0032955057	0.0033353737	1.0120977	4.0E-5
7.2	2.213247E-6	3.373692E-6	3.373692E-6	1.0	0.0	9.485309E-6	1.44586E-5	2.4458455E-5	1.6916199	1.0E-5	1.15477524E-4	1.7601927E-4	1.8601751E-4	1.0568019	1.0E-5	0.0011541754	0.0017873076	0.0017972897	1.005585	1.0E-5
7.3	1.7362703E-6	2.7480667E-6	2.7480667E-6	1.0	0.0	7.4411373E-6	1.1777376E-5	2.1777258E-5	1.8490756	1.0E-5	9.0592075E-5	1.4338014E-4	1.533787E-4	1.0697347	1.0E-5	9.0555154E-4	0.0014580768	0.0014680622	1.0068483	1.0E-5
7.4	1.1628409E-6	1.8571843E-6	1.8571843E-6	1.0	0.0	4.9835944E-6	7.959337E-6	7.959337E-6	1.0	0.0	6.0673574E-5	9.6900636E-5	9.6900636E-5	1.0	0.0	6.065701E-4	9.892385E-4	9.892385E-4	1.0	0.0
7.5	5.5610667E-7	9.4037034E-7	9.4037034E-7	1.0	0.0	2.3833122E-6	4.0301525E-6	4.0301525E-6	1.0	0.0	2.9016439E-5	4.9066006E-5	4.9066006E-5	1.0	0.0	2.901265E-4	5.071087E-4	5.071087E-4	1.0	0.0
7.6	4.4307663E-7	7.8418213E-7	7.8418213E-7	1.0	0.0	1.8988985E-6	3.3607762E-6	3.3607762E-6	1.0	0.0	2.3118844E-5	4.0916686E-5	4.0916686E-5	1.0	0.0	2.3116439E-4	4.2496173E-4	4.2496173E-4	1.0	0.0
7.7	3.639119E-7	6.4061936E-7	6.4061936E-7	1.0	0.0	1.5596215E-6	2.7455087E-6	2.7455087E-6	1.0	0.0	1.8988227E-5	3.342606E-5	3.342606E-5	1.0	0.0	1.8986604E-4	3.4946823E-4	3.4946823E-4	1.0	0.0
7.8	3.1152942E-7	5.518162E-7	5.518162E-7	1.0	0.0	1.3351254E-6	2.3649243E-6	2.3649243E-6	1.0	0.0	1.6255031E-5	2.8792574E-5	2.8792574E-5	1.0	0.0	1.6253842E-4	2.998795E-4	2.998795E-4	1.0	0.0
7.9	1.8035962E-7	3.7453972E-7	3.7453972E-7	1.0	0.0	7.729696E-7	1.6051692E-6	1.6051692E-6	1.0	0.0	9.410865E-6	1.9542762E-5	1.9542762E-5	1.0	0.0	9.410465E-5	2.020298E-4	2.020298E-4	1.0	0.0
8.0	9.279334E-8	1.9826278E-7	1.9826278E-7	1.0	0.0	3.976857E-7	8.4969736E-7	8.4969736E-7	1.0	0.0	4.841813E-6	1.0345017E-5	1.0345017E-5	1.0	0.0	4.841707E-5	1.05930674E-4	1.05930674E-4	1.0	0.0
8.1	5.9253985E-8	1.1925898E-7	1.1925898E-7	1.0	0.0	2.5394561E-7	5.111098E-7	5.111098E-7	1.0	0.0	3.0917836E-6	6.2227446E-6	6.2227446E-6	1.0	0.0	3.0917407E-5	6.3591266E-5	6.3591266E-5	1.0	0.0

Great Valley 05 Pittsburg - Kirby Hills alt1

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	4.187212E-5	5.3470685E-5	5.3470685E-5	1.0	1.794396E-4	2.2914568E-4	2.3914338E-4	1.0436304	1.0E-5	0.002182488	0.0027872522	0.002857057	1.0250443	7.0E-5	0.021611776	0.027617399	0.027704911	1.0031688	9.0E-5
6.1	4.187212E-5	5.3470685E-5	5.3470685E-5	1.0	1.794396E-4	2.2914568E-4	2.3914338E-4	1.0436304	1.0E-5	0.002182488	0.0027872522	0.002857057	1.0250443	7.0E-5	0.021611776	0.027617399	0.027704911	1.0031688	9.0E-5
6.2	1.7353306E-5	2.2166203E-5	2.2166203E-5	1.0	7.436919E-5	9.4996874E-5	9.4996874E-5	1.0	0.0	9.050688E-4	0.0011563611	0.0011663495	1.0086378	1.0E-5	0.009013915	0.011541181	0.011551065	1.0008565	1.0E-5
6.3	1.7353306E-5	2.2166203E-5	2.2166203E-5	1.0	7.436919E-5	9.4996874E-5	9.4996874E-5	1.0	0.0	9.050688E-4	0.0011563611	0.0011663495	1.0086378	1.0E-5	0.009013915	0.011541181	0.011551065	1.0008565	1.0E-5
6.4	1.4028824E-5	1.7910359E-5	1.7910359E-5	1.0	6.0122147E-5	7.675868E-5	7.675868E-5	1.0	0.0	7.3174125E-4	9.3451724E-4	9.3451724E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0072933645	0.009343052	0.009343052	1.0	0.0

Rodgers Creek - Healdsburg 2011 CFM

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	7.390182E-5	1.3157165E-4	1.7156638E-4	1.3039769	4.0E-5	3.1668364E-4	5.637557E-4	6.037331E-4	1.0709127	4.0E-5	0.0038488081	0.0068420824	0.0069016716	1.0087093	6.0E-5	0.037828278	0.06628237	0.06638508	1.0015496	1.1E-4
6.1	7.318768E-5	1.3055115E-4	1.7054593E-4	1.3063533	4.0E-5	3.1362378E-4	5.59384E-4	5.993616E-4	1.0714673	4.0E-5	0.0038116854	0.0067892047	0.006848797	1.0087776	6.0E-5	0.037469655	0.06578668	0.06588945	1.0015621	1.1E-4
6.2	7.1379836E-5	1.2747782E-4	1.6747272E-4	1.31374	4.0E-5	3.058777E-4	5.462181E-4	5.861963E-4	1.0731908	4.0E-5	0.003717703	0.006629895	0.006689497	1.0089899	6.0E-5	0.0365612	0.06430813	0.06441106	1.0016005	1.1E-4
6.3	6.9255926E-5	1.240191E-4	1.6401414E-4	1.3224909	4.0E-5	2.9677735E-4	5.31402E-4	5.713807E-4	1.0752326	4.0E-5	0.0036072785	0.006450675	0.006510288	1.0092413	6.0E-5	0.035492823	0.062629744	0.06273285	1.0016464	1.1E-4
6.4	6.6757144E-5	1.1978368E-4	1.597789E-4	1.3338953	4.0E-5	2.8607066E-4	5.13258E-4	5.5323745E-4	1.0778935	4.0E-5	0.0034773487	0.0062310835	0.0062907096	1.0095692	6.0E-5	0.034234364	0.06057876	0.060682096	1.0017058	1.1E-4
6.5	6.5735134E-5	1.1827345E-4	1.5826873E-4	1.3381593	4.0E-5	2.8169158E-4	5.0678814E-4	5.4676784E-4	1.0788884	4.0E-5	0.003424202	0.0061527737	0.006212405	1.0096917	6.0E-5	0.03371918	0.05984277	0.059946187	1.0017282	1.1E-4
6.6	6.289601E-5	1.1362519E-4	1.5362064E-4	1.3519946	4.0E-5	2.6952647E-4	4.8687457E-4	5.268551E-4	1.0821167	4.0E-5	0.0032765474	0.0059116674	0.0059713125	1.0100894	6.0E-5	0.032286562	0.057579715	0.057683382	1.0018004	1.1E-4
6.7	6.115274E-5	1.10793684E-4	1.5078926E-4	1.3609914	4.0E-5	2.6205686E-4	4.7474407E-4	5.1472505E-4	1.0842159	4.0E-5	0.0031858748	0.00576477	0.005824424	1.0103481	6.0E-5	0.031405866	0.056197304	0.056301124	1.0018474	1.1E-4
6.8	5.9232367E-5	1.0746539E-4	1.4746109E-4	1.3721728	4.0E-5	2.538283E-4	4.6048503E-4	5.004666E-4	1.0868249	4.0E-5	0.0030859804	0.00559207	0.005651735	1.0106695	6.0E-5	0.030434765	0.054563563	0.054667562	1.001906	1.1E-4
6.9	5.4030377E-5	9.8402976E-5	1.3839905E-4	1.4064518	4.0E-5	2.315382E-4	4.216592E-4	4.6164234E-4	1.0948234	4.0E-5	0.0028153337	0.005121683	0.0051714266	1.0097125	5.0E-5	0.027799325	0.05009786	0.05019285	1.0018961	1.0E-4
7.0	4.8260714E-5	8.757084E-5	1.2756734E-4	1.4567331	4.0E-5	2.0681522E-4	3.752499E-4	4.1523488E-4	1.1065556	4.0E-5	0.0025150678	0.0045591514	0.0046089236	1.010917	5.0E-5	0.024867928	0.04474404	0.044839565	1.0021349	1.0E-4
7.1	4.0294493E-5	7.4043885E-5	1.0404166E-4	1.4051352	3.0E-5	1.7267925E-4	3.1729255E-4	3.4728303E-4	1.09452	3.0E-5	0.0021003427	0.0038562322	0.003896078	1.0103328	4.0E-5	0.02080602	0.03799456	0.03807152	1.0020256	8.0E-5
7.2	3.096388E-5	5.7115616E-5	8.7113905E-5	1.5252204	3.0E-5	1.326956E-4	2.4475838E-4	2.7475104E-4	1.1225399	3.0E-5	0.0016143717	0.0029758832	0.0030157643	1.0134014	4.0E-5	0.01602694	0.029501589	0.029579228	1.0026317	8.0E-5
7.3	2.3615226E-5	4.3745207E-5	7.37439E-5	1.6857594	3.0E-5	1.0120418E-4	1.8746607E-4	2.1746045E-4	1.159999	3.0E-5	0.0012314644	0.002280024	0.002319933	1.0175036	4.0E-5	0.0122466255	0.022693282	0.022771467	1.0034453	8.0E-5
7.4	1.8251132E-5	3.363662E-5	6.363561E-5	1.891855	3.0E-5	7.821679E-5	1.4414905E-4	1.7414472E-4	1.2080879	3.0E-5	9.518733E-4	0.0017536117	0.0017935415	1.02277	4.0E-5	0.009478063	0.017511075	0.017589673	1.0044886	8.0E-5
7.5	1.2411432E-5	2.2531989E-5	5.253131E-5	2.3314104	3.0E-5	5.3190768E-5	9.656212E-5	1.2655923E-4	1.3106508	3.0E-5	6.4740516E-4	0.0011750157	0.0012049804	1.0255016	3.0E-5	0.006455223	0.011778016	0.011837308	1.0050342	6.0E-5
7.6	4.4771446E-6	8.111298E-6	2.8111135E-5	3.4656765	2.0E-5	1.918762E-5	3.4762248E-5	5.4761553E-5	1.5753168	2.0E-5	2.3358424E-4	4.2314944E-4	4.4314098E-4	1.0472447	2.0E-5	0.0023333887	0.004258548	0.00428842	1.0070146	3.0E-5
7.7	2.157941E-7	3.5526307E-7	3.5526307E-7	1.0	0.0	9.248315E-7	1.5225551E-6	1.5225551E-6	1.0	0.0	1.1259765E-5	1.853695E-5	1.853695E-5	1.0	0.0	1.1259195E-4	1.9156875E-4	1.9156875E-4	1.0	0.0
7.8	9.9623286E-8	2.0034656E-7	2.0034656E-7	1.0	0.0	4.269569E-7	8.586278E-7	8.586278E-7	1.0	0.0	5.1981874E-6	1.0453743E-5	1.0453743E-5	1.0	0.0	5.198066E-5	1.09688255E-4	1.09688255E-4	1.0	0.0
7.9	5.6745257E-8	1.18582776E-7	1.18582776E-7	1.0	0.0	2.4319394E-7	5.0821177E-7	5.0821177E-7	1.0	0.0	2.960882E-6	6.1874607E-6	6.1874607E-6	1.0	0.0	2.9608427E-5	6.512543E-5	6.512543E-5	1.0	0.0
8.0	2.8614323E-8	6.623968E-8	6.623968E-8	1.0	0.0	1.2263281E-7	2.8388428E-7	2.8388428E-7	1.0	0.0	1.4930534E-6	3.4562859E-6	3.4562859E-6	1.0	0.0	1.4930434E-5	3.6046935E-5	3.6046935E-5	1.0	0.0
8.1	3.5045191E-9	9.023355E-9	9.023355E-9	1.0	0.0	1.5019367E-8	3.8671523E-8	3.8671523E-8	1.0	0.0	1.8286079E-7	4.708257E-7	4.708257E-7	1.0	0.0	1.8286064E-6	4.8603833E-6	4.8603833E-6	1.0	0.0

Contra Costa (Lafayette) 2011 CFM

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	6.655419E-6	6.9408998E-6	2.6940761E-5	3.881451	2.0E-5	2.8522913E-5	2.9746385E-5	6.97452E-5	2.3446612	4.0E-5	3.472111E-4	3.62104E-4	4.3207867E-4	1.1932446	7.0E-5	0.0034666911	0.0036197712	0.0037194092	1.027526	1.0E-4
6.1	6.655419E-6	6.9408998E-6	2.6940761E-5	3.881451	2.0E-5	2.8522913E-5	2.9746385E-5	6.97452E-5	2.3446612	4.0E-5	3.472111E-4	3.62104E-4	4.3207867E-4	1.1932446	7.0E-5	0.0034666911	0.0036197712	0.0037194092	1.027526	1.0E-4
6.2	6.6254133E-6	6.9093053E-6	2.6909167E-5	3.8946269	2.0E-5	2.839432E-5	2.9610985E-5	6.96098E-5	2.35081	4.0E-5	3.45646E-4	3.6045606E-4	4.3043084E-4	1.1941284	7.0E-5	0.003451089	0.0036033452	0.003702985	1.027652	1.0E-4
6.3	6.6254133E-6	6.9093053E-6	2.6909167E-5	3.8946269	2.0E-5	2.839432E-5	2.9610985E-5	6.96098E-5	2.35081	4.0E-5	3.45646E-4	3.6045606E-4	4.3043084E-4	1.1941284	7.0E-5	0.003451089	0.0036033452	0.003702985	1.027652	1.0E-4
6.4	6.6254133E-6	6.9093053E-6	2.6909167E-5	3.8946269	2.0E-5	2.839432E-5	2.9610985E-5	6.96098E-5	2.35081	4.0E-5	3.45646E-4	3.6045606E-4	4.3043084E-4	1.1941284	7.0E-5	0.003451089	0.0036033452	0.003702985	1.027652	1.0E-4
6.5	6.606445E-6	6.8888507E-6	2.6888712E-5	3.9032218	2.0E-5	2.8313027E-5	2.9523324E-5	6.9522146E-5	2.354821	4.0E-5	3.4465658E-4	3.5938915E-4	4.29364E-4	1.1947049	7.0E-5	0.0034412253	0.0035927105	0.0036923513	1.0277342	1.0E-4
6.6	6.59966E-6	6.8813874E-6	2.688125E-5	3.9063706	2.0E-5	2.828395E-5	2.9491337E-5	6.949016E-5	2.3562906	4.0E-5	3.4430268E-4	3.5899985E-4	4.2897472E-4	1.1949161	7.0E-5	0.0034376972	0.0035888301	0.0036884714	1.0277642	1.0E-4
6.7	6.5570975E-6	6.835371E-6	2.6835234E-5	3.9259367	2.0E-5	2.8101544E-5	2.929413E-5	6.929296E-5	2.3654213	4.0E-5	3.4208258E-4	3.5659963E-4	4.2657467E-4	1.1962286	7.0E-5	0.0034155648	0.0035649051	0.0036645487	1.0279512	1.0E-4
6.8	5.472255E-6	5.6782224E-6	1.5678166E-5	2.7611046	1.0E-5	2.345231E-5	2.4335015E-5	4.4334527E-5	1.821841	2.0E-5	2.8549446E-4	2.9623898E-4	3.4622417E-4	1.1687326	5.0E-5	0.0028512797	0.002962924	0.0030227462	1.0201902	6.0E-5
6.9	5.092346E-6	5.2685227E-6	1.526847E-5	2.8980553	1.0E-5	2.1824157E-5	2.257919E-5	4.257874E-5	1.8857514	2.0E-5	2.656767E-4	2.7486734E-4	3.248536E-4	1.1818559	5.0E-5	0.002653593	0.0027497485	0.0028095837	1.0217602	6.0E-5
7.0	4.5525762E-6	4.681731E-6	1.4681684E-5	3.1359522	1.0E-5	1.9510895E-5	2.0064408E-5	3.0064208E-5	1.498385	1.0E-5	2.3751926E-4	2.4425707E-4	2.842473E-4	1.1637219	4.0E-5	0.0023726553	0.0024443523	0.00249423	1.0204053	5.0E-5
7.1	4.261504E-6	4.3608366E-6	1.4360793E-5	3.2931278	1.0E-5	1.826346E-5	1.8689168E-5	2.868898E-5	1.5350593	1.0E-5	2.2233493E-4	2.2751713E-4	2.6750803E-4	1.1757709	4.0E-5	0.002221126	0.0022772993	0.0023271854	1.0219058	5.0E-5
7.2	3.654114E-6	3.7014063E-6	1.3701369E-5	3.7016659	1.0E-5	1.5660395E-5	1.5863076E-5	2.5862917E-5	1.6303848	1.0E-5	1.9064861E-4	1.9311607E-4	2.3310834E-4	1.2070893	4.0E-5	0.0019048514	0.0019338889	0.0019837923	1.0258046	5.0E-5
7.3	2.1595129E-6	2.2476356E-6	1.2247613E-5	5.4491096	1.0E-5	9.255023E-6	9.632689E-6	1.9632593E-5	2.0381217	1.0E-5	1.1267407E-4	1.17271724E-4	1.3726938E-4	1.1705241	2.0E-5	0.0011261696	0.0011765212	0.0011964976	1.0169792	2.0E-5
7.4	1.7532738E-6	1.836611E-6	1.1836592E-5	6.444801	1.0E-5	7.5140088E-6	7.871166E-6	1.7871087E-5	2.2704496	1.0E-5	9.147922E-5	9.582728E-5	1.15825365E-4	1.2086889	2.0E-5	9.144157E-4	9.62147E-4	9.821277E-4	1.0207669	2.0E-5
7.5	9.387875E-7	1.0217359E-6	1.0217359E-6	1.0	0.0	4.0233685E-6	4.378861E-6	4.378861E-6	1.0	0.0	4.8983413E-5	5.3311338E-5	6.331081E-5	1.1875674	1.0E-5	4.897262E-4	5.369381E-4	5.4693274E-4	1.0186142	1.0E-5
7.6	2.7471893E-7	3.3308567E-7	3.3308567E-7	1.0	0.0	1.1773664E-6	1.4275092E-6	1.4275092E-6	1.0	0.0	1.433434E-5	1.7379787E-5	1.7379787E-5	1.0	0.0	1.4333417E-4	1.7762893E-4	1.7762893E-4	1.0	0.0
7.7	2.0057985E-7	2.5830596E-7	2.5830596E-7	1.0	0.0	8.596276E-7	1.1070251E-6	1.1070251E-6	1.0	0.0	1.0465916E-5	1.3477948E-5	1.3477948E-5	1.0	0.0	1.0465423E-4	1.3857224E-4	1.3857224E-4	1.0	0.0
7.8	8.7403905E-8	1.235716E-7	1.235716E-7	1.0	0.0	3.745881E-7	5.2959246E-7	5.2959246E-7	1.0	0.0	4.5606007E-6	6.447769E-6	6.447769E-6	1.0	0.0	4.560507E-5	6.673739E-5	6.673739E-5	1.0	0.0
7.9	4.740233E-8	7.71003E-8	7.71003E-8	1.0	0.0	2.0315284E-7	3.3042983E-7	3.3042983E-7	1.0	0.0	2.473383E-6	4.0229756E-6	4.0229756E-6	1.0	0.0	2.4733554E-5	4.1759926E-5	4.1759926E-5	1.0	0.0
8.0	2.99164E-8	5.6358004E-8	5.6358004E-8	1.0	0.0	1.2821314E-7	2.4153428E-7	2.4153428E-7	1.0	0.0	1.5609938E-6	2.940676E-6	2.940676E-6	1.0	0.0	1.5609829E-5	3.0424442E-5	3.0424442E-5	1.0	0.0
8.1	4.431212E-10	7.476495E-10	7.476495E-10	1.0	0.0	1.899091E-9	3.2042125E-9	3.2042125E-9	1.0	0.0	2.3121432E-8	3.901129E-8	3.901129E-8	1.0	0.0	2.312143E-7	3.9893203E-7	3.9893203E-7	1.0	0.0

Great Valley 09 (Laguna Seca)

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	5.4353277E-5	7.054278E-5	9.054137E-5	1.2834959	2.0E-5	2.3292181E-4	3.0229206E-4	3.22286E-4	1.0661411	2.0E-5	0.0028321352	0.0036741914	0.0037439342	1.0189818	7.0E-5	0.02796312	0.03613665	0.036223397	1.0024005	9.0E-5
6.1	4.5578287E-5	5.825451E-5	6.825393E-5	1.1716505	1.0E-5	1.953209E-4	2.496385E-4	2.5963603E-4	1.0400479	1.0E-5	0.0023754383	0.0030351027	0.003084951	1.016424	5.0E-5	0.023502063	0.029936645	0.03000455	1.0022683	7.0E-5
6.2	2.8536782E-5	3.475452E-5	3.475452E-5	1.0	0.0	1.2229476E-4	1.4893885E-4	1.4893885E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0014879217	0.0018117963	0.0018317602	1.0110188	2.0E-5	0.014779986	0.017967403	0.017996864	1.0016397	3.0E-5
6.3	2.3698774E-5	2.8227327E-5	2.8227327E-5	1.0	0.0	1.01562226E-4	1.2096793E-4	1.2096793E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0012358186	0.0014717776	0.0014917481	1.013569	2.0E-5	0.012289686	0.014618549	0.014648111	1.0020221	3.0E-5
6.4	1.9191197E-5	2.2133006E-5	2.2133006E-5	1.0	0.0	8.2245395E-5	9.4852156E-5	9.4852156E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0010008777	0.0011542172	0.0011642057	1.0086539	1.0E-5	0.009963818	0.01148219	0.011492075	1.0008609	1.0E-5
6.5	1.5203241E-5	1.6808166E-5	1.6808166E-5	1.0	0.0	6.5155116E-5	7.20328E-5	7.20328E-5	1.0	0.0	7.9297484E-4	8.766588E-4	8.766588E-4	1.0	0.0	0.007901512	0.008733111	0.008733111	1.0	0.0
6.6	1.0984925E-5	1.1246171E-5	1.1246171E-5	1.0	0.0	4.70774E-5	4.8197006E-5	4.8197006E-5	1.0	0.0	5.730166E-4	5.866444E-4	5.866444E-4	1.0	0.0	0.005715413	0.0058513484	0.0058513484	1.0	0.0
6.7	9.134616E-6	9.022618E-6	9.022618E-6	1.0	0.0	3.9147766E-5	3.86678E-5	3.86678E-5	1.0	0.0	4.7651984E-4	4.7068117E-4	4.7068117E-4	1.0	0.0	0.004754993	0.0046970877	0.0046970877	1.0	0.0
6.8	7.785589E-6	7.4541767E-6	7.4541767E-6	1.0	0.0	3.3366385E-5	3.1946092E-5	3.1946092E-5	1.0	0.0	4.0616E-4	3.8887627E-4	3.8887627E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0040541845	0.003882162	0.003882162	1.0	0.0
6.9	5.579095E-6	4.899951E-6	4.899951E-6	1.0	0.0	2.3910188E-5	2.0999629E-5	2.0999629E-5	1.0	0.0	2.9106764E-4	2.5564185E-4	2.5564185E-4	1.0	0.0	0.002906867	0.0025536153	0.0025536153	1.0	0.0
7.0	2.6816688E-6	1.5219925E-6	1.5219925E-6	1.0	0.0	1.1492816E-5	6.5228096E-6	6.5228096E-6	1.0	0.0	1.3991605E-4	7.94124E-5	7.94124E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0013982799	7.9384894E-4	7.9384894E-4	1.0	0.0
7.1	1.9951021E-6	7.4556715E-7	7.4556715E-7	1.0	0.0	8.55041E-6	3.195284E-6	3.195284E-6	1.0	0.0	1.0409627E-4	3.890193E-5	3.890193E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0010404752	3.8895535E-4	3.8895535E-4	1.0	0.0
7.2	1.9951021E-6	7.4556715E-7	7.4556715E-7	1.0	0.0	8.55041E-6	3.195284E-6	3.195284E-6	1.0	0.0	1.0409627E-4	3.890193E-5	3.890193E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0010404752	3.8895535E-4	3.8895535E-4	1.0	0.0
7.3	1.7087556E-6	6.580433E-7	6.580433E-7	1.0	0.0	7.3232177E-6	2.8201828E-6	2.8201828E-6	1.0	0.0	8.915652E-5	3.4335226E-5	3.4335226E-5	1.0	0.0	8.9120766E-4	3.4330323E-4	3.4330323E-4	1.0	0.0
7.4	1.3804846E-6	6.075168E-7	6.075168E-7	1.0	0.0	5.916349E-6	2.603641E-6	2.603641E-6	1.0	0.0	7.2029165E-5	3.169891E-5	3.169891E-5	1.0	0.0	7.200583E-4	3.169479E-4	3.169479E-4	1.0	0.0
7.5	1.3804846E-6	6.075168E-7	6.075168E-7	1.0	0.0	5.916349E-6	2.603641E-6	2.603641E-6	1.0	0.0	7.2029165E-5	3.169891E-5	3.169891E-5	1.0	0.0	7.200583E-4	3.169479E-4	3.169479E-4	1.0	0.0

Reliz 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	1.6002472E-5	1.6284186E-5	2.6284022E-5	1.6140827	1.0E-5	6.8580215E-5	6.978761E-5	8.978622E-5	1.2865638	2.0E-5	8.3464425E-4	8.493528E-4	9.192933E-4	1.0823457	7.0E-5	0.008315164	0.008463266	0.008542589	1.0093726	8.0E-5
6.1	1.6002472E-5	1.6284186E-5	2.6284022E-5	1.6140827	1.0E-5	6.8580215E-5	6.978761E-5	8.978622E-5	1.2865638	2.0E-5	8.3464425E-4	8.493528E-4	9.192933E-4	1.0823457	7.0E-5	0.008315164	0.008463266	0.008542589	1.0093726	8.0E-5
6.2	1.6002472E-5	1.6284186E-5	2.6284022E-5	1.6140827	1.0E-5	6.8580215E-5	6.978761E-5	8.978622E-5	1.2865638	2.0E-5	8.3464425E-4	8.493528E-4	9.192933E-4	1.0823457	7.0E-5	0.008315164	0.008463266	0.008542589	1.0093726	8.0E-5
6.3	7.792404E-6	7.804648E-6	7.804648E-6	1.0	0.0	3.339559E-5	3.3448065E-5	3.3448065E-5	1.0	0.0	4.0651546E-4	4.0715485E-4	4.271467E-4	1.0491014	2.0E-5	0.0040577264	0.004064369	0.0040942472	1.0073512	3.0E-5
6.4	7.792404E-6	7.804648E-6	7.804648E-6	1.0	0.0	3.339559E-5	3.3448065E-5	3.3448065E-5	1.0	0.0	4.0651546E-4	4.0715485E-4	4.271467E-4	1.0491014	2.0E-5	0.0040577264	0.004064369	0.0040942472	1.0073512	3.0E-5
6.5	5.9659374E-6	5.929487E-6	5.929487E-6	1.0	0.0	2.5568053E-5	2.5411842E-5	2.5411842E-5	1.0	0.0	3.1124658E-4	3.0934546E-4	3.1934236E-4	1.0323163	1.0E-5	0.00310811	0.00308937	0.0031093082	1.0064538	2.0E-5
6.6	5.2350692E-6	5.179698E-6	5.179698E-6	1.0	0.0	2.2435817E-5	2.2198516E-5	2.2198516E-5	1.0	0.0	2.7312184E-4	2.7023358E-4	2.8023086E-4	1.036995	1.0E-5	0.002727864	0.0026992632	0.0027192093	1.0073894	2.0E-5
6.7	4.580206E-6	4.5067964E-6	4.5067964E-6	1.0	0.0	1.9629308E-5	1.9314699E-5	1.9314699E-5	1.0	0.0	2.389606E-4	2.3513116E-4	2.4512882E-4	1.0425195	1.0E-5	0.002387038	0.0023490293	0.0023689822	1.0084941	2.0E-5
6.8	4.0765017E-6	3.988886E-6	3.988886E-6	1.0	0.0	1.7470604E-5	1.7095113E-5	1.7095113E-5	1.0	0.0	2.1268385E-4	2.0811317E-4	2.1811109E-4	1.0480407	1.0E-5	0.002124804	0.0020793844	0.0020993429	1.0095983	2.0E-5
6.9	3.5752896E-6	3.4731365E-6	3.4731365E-6	1.0	0.0	1.532258E-5	1.4884786E-5	1.4884786E-5	1.0	0.0	1.8653645E-4	1.8120722E-4	1.9120541E-4	1.0551754	1.0E-5	0.0018637994	0.0018107947	0.0018307584	1.0110248	2.0E-5
7.0	3.0259848E-6	2.9085304E-6	2.9085304E-6	1.0	0.0	1.2968442E-5	1.24650705E-5	1.24650705E-5	1.0	0.0	1.5787935E-4	1.5175168E-4	1.5175168E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0015776722	0.0015166793	0.0015266641	1.0065833	1.0E-5
7.1	2.5861116E-6	2.45573E-6	2.45573E-6	1.0	0.0	1.1083288E-5	1.0524514E-5	1.0524514E-5	1.0	0.0	1.3493067E-4	1.2812843E-4	1.2812843E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0013484878	0.001280744	0.0012907311	1.007798	1.0E-5
7.2	2.1482588E-6	2.0037714E-6	2.0037714E-6	1.0	0.0	9.20679E-6	8.587564E-6	8.587564E-6	1.0	0.0	1.12086906E-4	1.0454858E-4	1.0454858E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0011203039	0.0010451918	0.0010451918	1.0	0.0
7.3	1.7194744E-6	1.561632E-6	1.561632E-6	1.0	0.0	7.3691554E-6	6.6926914E-6	6.6926914E-6	1.0	0.0	8.971577E-5	8.148047E-5	8.148047E-5	1.0	0.0	8.967956E-4	8.147036E-4	8.147036E-4	1.0	0.0
7.4	1.2755178E-6	1.1061101E-6	1.1061101E-6	1.0	0.0	5.4664933E-6	4.740463E-6	4.740463E-6	1.0	0.0	6.655252E-5	5.771361E-5	5.771361E-5	1.0	0.0	6.6532596E-4	5.771837E-4	5.771837E-4	1.0	0.0
7.5	8.8463224E-7	7.062584E-7	7.062584E-7	1.0	0.0	3.7912755E-6	3.0268181E-6	3.0268181E-6	1.0	0.0	4.6157802E-5	3.6850888E-5	3.6850888E-5	1.0	0.0	4.6148215E-4	3.6864515E-4	3.6864515E-4	1.0	0.0
7.6	5.291355E-7	3.5047393E-7	3.5047393E-7	1.0	0.0	2.2677216E-6	1.5020303E-6	1.5020303E-6	1.0	0.0	2.760916E-5	1.8287064E-5	1.8287064E-5	1.0	0.0	2.760573E-4	1.830514E-4	1.830514E-4	1.0	0.0
7.7	2.9663357E-7	1.354067E-7	1.354067E-7	1.0	0.0	1.2712861E-6	5.8031424E-7	5.8031424E-7	1.0	0.0	1.5477797E-5	7.065303E-6	7.065303E-6	1.0	0.0	1.547672E-4	7.0839E-5	7.0839E-5	1.0	0.0
7.8	1.2509386E-7	2.7319428E-8	2.7319428E-8	1.0	0.0	5.3611643E-7	1.1708327E-7	1.1708327E-7	1.0	0.0	6.527198E-6	1.4254878E-6	1.4254878E-6	1.0	0.0	6.527006E-5	1.4414465E-5	1.4414465E-5	1.0	0.0
7.9	6.213493E-8	1.1569378E-8	1.1569378E-8	1.0	0.0	2.6629255E-7	4.958305E-8	4.958305E-8	1.0	0.0	3.242107E-6	6.0367347E-7	6.0367347E-7	1.0	0.0	3.2420594E-5	6.1707365E-6	6.1707365E-6	1.0	0.0
8.0	5.92383E-9	1.6876875E-9	1.6876875E-9	1.0	0.0	2.5387841E-8	7.2329467E-9	7.2329467E-9	1.0	0.0	3.0909692E-7	8.806112E-8	8.806112E-8	1.0	0.0	3.090965E-6	9.0555415E-7	9.0555415E-7	1.0	0.0

San Andreas (Cholame) rev

(top)

1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	1.2302514E-4	2.5348942E-4	2.7348436E-4	1.0788788	2.0E-5	5.27144E-4	0.0010859326	0.0011258891	1.0367947	4.0E-5	0.0063991086	0.013141594	0.013210674	1.0052567	7.0E-5	0.06217949	0.12498023	0.12505023	1.00056	8.0E-5
6.1	1.2302514E-4	2.5348942E-4	2.7348436E-4	1.0788788	2.0E-5	5.27144E-4	0.0010859326	0.0011258891	1.0367947	4.0E-5	0.0063991086	0.013141594	0.013210674	1.0052567	7.0E-5	0.06217949	0.12498023	0.12505023	1.00056	8.0E-5
6.2	1.2203569E-4	2.516554E-4	2.7165038E-4	1.0794537	2.0E-5	5.2290526E-4	0.001078079	0.0011180359	1.037063	4.0E-5	0.006347804	0.013047125	0.013116212	1.0052952	7.0E-5	0.061695136	0.12416853	0.124238595	1.0005643	8.0E-5
6.3	1.2142645E-4	2.5051407E-4	2.7050904E-4	1.0798159	2.0E-5	5.202953E-4	0.0010731915	0.0011131486	1.037232	4.0E-5	0.006316212	0.012988332	0.013057423	1.0053195	7.0E-5	0.06139677	0.1236617	0.1237318	1.000567	8.0E-5
6.4	1.1865206E-4	2.455602E-4	2.6555528E-4	1.0814264	2.0E-5	5.0840975E-4	0.001051978	0.0010919359	1.0379837	4.0E-5	0.006172335	0.0127331	0.012802209	1.0054275	7.0E-5	0.060036868	0.121457405	0.121527694	1.0005786	8.0E-5
6.5	1.17443946E-4	2.4348768E-4	2.634828E-4	1.0821197	2.0E-5	5.032341E-4	0.0010431028	0.0010830611	1.0383071	4.0E-5	0.006109677	0.012626301	0.012695417	1.005474	7.0E-5	0.059444077	0.120527044	0.1205974	1.0005838	8.0E-5
6.6	1.13579066E-4	2.365605E-4	2.5655577E-4	1.084525	2.0E-5	4.866766E-4	0.0010134383	0.0010533978	1.0394295	4.0E-5	0.0059092017	0.012269255	0.012338396	1.0056353	7.0E-5	0.057545185	0.11744215	0.117512755	1.0006012	8.0E-5
6.7	1.1271412E-4	2.3500029E-4	2.549956E-4	1.0850862	2.0E-5	4.829711E-4	0.0010067569	0.0010467166	1.0396916	4.0E-5	0.005864331	0.012188822	0.012257969	1.0056729	7.0E-5	0.057119697	0.11674472	0.11681537	1.0006052	8.0E-5
6.8	1.1217975E-4	2.3388112E-4	2.5387644E-4	1.0854936	2.0E-5	4.8068175E-4	0.0010019641	0.001041924	1.0398816	4.0E-5	0.005836608	0.012131121	0.012200272	1.0057002	7.0E-5	0.056856725	0.11624265	0.11631335	1.0006082	8.0E-5
6.9	1.1146753E-4	2.3236492E-4	2.5236027E-4	1.0860515	2.0E-5	4.7763053E-4	9.954711E-4	0.0010354313	1.0401419	4.0E-5	0.0057996577	0.012052947	0.012122103	1.0057377	7.0E-5	0.056506127	0.115561485	0.11563224	1.0006123	8.0E-5
7.0	1.0965793E-4	2.2858709E-4	2.485825E-4	1.087474	2.0E-5	4.698779E-4	9.792927E-4	0.0010092632	1.0306044	3.0E-5	0.005705768	0.0118581345	0.011917423	1.0049999	6.0E-5	0.055614736	0.11386124	0.113923274	1.0005448	7.0E-5
7.1	9.927982E-5	2.0672708E-4	2.2672294E-4	1.096726	2.0E-5	4.2541555E-4	8.856734E-4	9.1564684E-4	1.0338426	3.0E-5	0.0051671406	0.010730057	0.010789413	1.0055318	6.0E-5	0.05048634	0.10394797	0.10401069	1.0006034	7.0E-5
7.2	9.696786E-5	2.0176056E-4	2.1175854E-4	1.0495538	1.0E-5	4.1551032E-4	8.6440257E-4	8.8438526E-4	1.0231174	2.0E-5	0.00504711	0.010473602	0.010523079	1.0047239	5.0E-5	0.04934009	0.101681165	0.10173506	1.0005301	6.0E-5
7.3	9.4727984E-5	1.960298E-4	2.0602783E-4	1.0510026	1.0E-5	4.0591392E-4	8.398582E-4	8.598414E-4	1.0237936	2.0E-5	0.0049308087	0.010177606	0.010227097	1.0048628	5.0E-5	0.048228268	0.09904414	0.0990982	1.0005457	6.0E-5
7.4	9.220358E-5	1.8971068E-4	1.9970878E-4	1.0527018	1.0E-5	3.9509835E-4	8.127934E-4	8.327771E-4	1.0245866	2.0E-5	0.004799717	0.009851109	0.009900617	1.0050256	5.0E-5	0.046973653	0.09612046	0.096174695	1.0005642	6.0E-5
7.5	7.71631E-5	1.529026E-4	1.6290107E-4	1.0653911	1.0E-5	3.306571E-4	6.5513246E-4	6.651259E-4	1.0152541	1.0E-5	0.0040183207	0.007947139	0.007986822	1.0049932	4.0E-5	0.03946433	0.078785084	0.07883114	1.0005846	5.0E-5
7.6	7.5634416E-5	1.4948244E-4	1.5948094E-4	1.0668875	1.0E-5	3.241072E-4	6.4048194E-4	6.504755E-4	1.0156032	1.0E-5	0.0039388672	0.0077700554	0.0078097447	1.005108	4.0E-5	0.038697794	0.07714266	0.07718881	1.0005982	5.0E-5
7.7	6.3783E-5	1.2458202E-4	1.3458077E-4	1.0802584	1.0E-5	2.7332708E-4	5.338137E-4	5.438084E-4	1.0187231	1.0E-5	0.0033226798	0.006479842	0.0065195826	1.006133	4.0E-5	0.032734364	0.06499255	0.0650393	1.0007193	5.0E-5
7.8	5.863422E-5	1.15064904E-4	1.2506376E-4	1.0868975	1.0E-5	2.512653E-4	4.930421E-4	5.030372E-4	1.0202723	1.0E-5	0.003054864	0.0059862877	0.006026048	1.006642	4.0E-5	0.030132094	0.06007103	0.060118027	1.0007824	5.0E-5
7.9	4.595283E-5	8.4924744E-5	9.49239E-5	1.1177413	1.0E-5	1.9692584E-4	3.6391243E-4	3.7390878E-4	1.0274692	1.0E-5	0.0023949358	0.0044216397	0.0044614626	1.0090064	4.0E-5	0.023692891	0.04467351	0.044721276	1.0010692	5.0E-5
8.0	3.2950178E-5	5.1186053E-5	5.1186053E-5	1.0	0.0	1.412074E-4	2.1935036E-4	2.1935036E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0017178444	0.0026673216	0.0026872682	1.0074781	2.0E-5	0.017046256	0.027383532	0.02741271	1.0010655	3.0E-5
8.1	1.9177472E-5	1.938966E-5	1.938966E-5	1.0	0.0	8.218658E-5	8.3095896E-5	8.3095896E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0010001622	0.0010112236	0.0010312034	1.019758	2.0E-5	0.009956728	0.010865423	0.010885206	1.0018207	2.0E-5
8.2	8.643924E-6	5.5514706E-6	5.5514706E-6	1.0	0.0	3.704486E-5	2.3791801E-5	2.3791801E-5	1.0	0.0	4.5092785E-4	2.8962674E-4	2.9962385E-4	1.0345172	1.0E-5	0.0045001395	0.0032906544	0.0033006216	1.0030289	1.0E-5
8.3	1.983087E-6	7.783617E-7	7.783617E-7	1.0	0.0	8.498917E-6	3.3358317E-6	3.3358317E-6	1.0	0.0	1.034694E-4	4.0613013E-5	4.0613013E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0010342124	4.791138E-4	4.791138E-4	1.0	0.0

Quien Sabe 2011 CFM

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	3.729899E-5	7.098068E-5	9.097926E-5	1.2817469	2.0E-5	1.5984301E-4	3.0414577E-4	3.441336E-4	1.1314759	4.0E-5	0.0019443515	0.0036873862	0.003747165	1.0162117	6.0E-5	0.019274272	0.03536981	0.035437334	1.0019091	7.0E-5
6.1	1.7825725E-5	3.322987E-5	4.322954E-5	1.3009241	1.0E-5	7.639373E-5	1.4238052E-4	1.6237768E-4	1.1404487	2.0E-5	9.296967E-4	0.0017277398	0.001757688	1.0173337	3.0E-5	0.009258169	0.016708774	0.016738273	1.0017655	3.0E-5
6.2	4.8865336E-6	7.813316E-6	1.7813238E-5	2.2798562	1.0E-5	2.0942118E-5	3.348469E-5	4.3484357E-5	1.2986339	1.0E-5	2.5494045E-4	4.0725095E-4	4.272428E-4	1.0490898	2.0E-5	0.0025464818	0.004016717	0.0040366366	1.0049592	2.0E-5
6.3	3.858491E-6	5.7948646E-6	1.5794807E-5	2.725656	1.0E-5	1.6536285E-5	2.4834922E-5	3.4834677E-5	1.4026488	1.0E-5	2.0131067E-4	3.023279E-4	3.123249E-4	1.0330666	1.0E-5	0.002011284	0.003004663	0.003014633	1.0033182	1.0E-5
6.4	3.0771805E-6	4.3898053E-6	4.3898053E-6	1.0	0.0	1.318785E-5	1.8813329E-5	1.8813329E-5	1.0	0.0	1.6055023E-4	2.2903063E-4	2.2903063E-4	1.0	0.0	0.001604343	0.002289123	0.002289123	1.0	0.0
6.5	2.5081235E-6	3.4680183E-6	3.4680183E-6	1.0	0.0	1.0749056E-5	1.4862859E-5	1.4862859E-5	1.0	0.0	1.308619E-4	1.8094176E-4	1.8094176E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0013078486	0.001814684	0.001814684	1.0	0.0
6.6	1.7505364E-6	2.405698E-6	2.405698E-6	1.0	0.0	7.502277E-6	1.0310097E-5	1.0310097E-5	1.0	0.0	9.13364E-5	1.2551893E-4	1.2551893E-4	1.0	0.0	9.129886E-4	0.0012599137	0.0012599137	1.0	0.0
6.7	1.505737E-6	2.0667978E-6	2.0667978E-6	1.0	0.0	6.4531428E-6	8.857678E-6	8.857678E-6	1.0	0.0	7.8564175E-5	1.0783749E-4	1.0783749E-4	1.0	0.0	7.853641E-4	0.0010832768	0.0010832768	1.0	0.0
6.8	1.2924105E-6	1.7511131E-6	1.7511131E-6	1.0	0.0	5.5388905E-6	7.504752E-6	7.504752E-6	1.0	0.0	6.74339E-5	9.136707E-5	9.136707E-5	1.0	0.0	6.741344E-4	9.1740704E-4	9.1740704E-4	1.0	0.0
6.9	8.9075286E-7	1.1267575E-6	1.1267575E-6	1.0	0.0	3.8175067E-6	4.828953E-6	4.828953E-6	1.0	0.0	4.6477155E-5	5.879114E-5	5.879114E-5	1.0	0.0	4.6467435E-4	5.91213E-4	5.91213E-4	1.0	0.0
7.0	6.6891175E-7	8.5316003E-7	8.5316003E-7	1.0	0.0	2.8667614E-6	3.656396E-6	3.656396E-6	1.0	0.0	3.4902263E-5	4.451591E-5	4.451591E-5	1.0	0.0	3.4896782E-4	4.47462E-4	4.47462E-4	1.0	0.0
7.1	4.4205015E-7	5.3966187E-7	5.3966187E-7	1.0	0.0	1.8944993E-6	2.3128355E-6	2.3128355E-6	1.0	0.0	2.3065284E-5	2.8158578E-5	2.8158578E-5	1.0	0.0	2.3062891E-4	2.8293638E-4	2.8293638E-4	1.0	0.0
7.2	1.6620965E-7	1.6007118E-7	1.6007118E-7	1.0	0.0	7.123269E-7	6.8601923E-7	6.8601923E-7	1.0	0.0	8.672545E-6	8.352256E-6	8.352256E-6	1.0	0.0	8.6722066E-5	8.369122E-5	8.369122E-5	1.0	0.0
7.3	1.2142488E-7	1.1734877E-7	1.1734877E-7	1.0	0.0	5.2039223E-7	5.029232E-7	5.029232E-7	1.0	0.0	6.335757E-6	6.1230767E-6	6.1230767E-6	1.0	0.0	6.3355765E-5	6.133587E-5	6.133587E-5	1.0	0.0
7.4	2.4192937E-8	2.4556979E-8	2.4556979E-8	1.0	0.0	1.0368401E-7	1.0524419E-7	1.0524419E-7	1.0	0.0	1.2623522E-6	1.2813474E-6	1.2813474E-6	1.0	0.0	1.2623449E-5	1.2834673E-5	1.2834673E-5	1.0	0.0
7.5	1.4432802E-8	1.4511104E-8	1.4511104E-8	1.0	0.0	6.185486E-8	6.2190445E-8	6.2190445E-8	1.0	0.0	7.530827E-7	7.571685E-7	7.571685E-7	1.0	0.0	7.530801E-6	7.5914386E-6	7.5914386E-6	1.0	0.0

San Andreas (Carrizo) rev

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	1.1674632E-4	2.446587E-4	2.5465625E-4	1.0408633	1.0E-5	5.002454E-4	0.0010481175	0.0010680966	1.0190618	2.0E-5	0.006073493	0.012686656	0.012736022	1.0038911	5.0E-5	0.0591016	0.121233195	0.12128592	1.0004349	6.0E-5
6.1	1.1674632E-4	2.446587E-4	2.5465625E-4	1.0408633	1.0E-5	5.002454E-4	0.0010481175	0.0010680966	1.0190618	2.0E-5	0.006073493	0.012686656	0.012736022	1.0038911	5.0E-5	0.0591016	0.121233195	0.12128592	1.0004349	6.0E-5
6.2	1.1674632E-4	2.446587E-4	2.5465625E-4	1.0408633	1.0E-5	5.002454E-4	0.0010481175	0.0010680966	1.0190618	2.0E-5	0.006073493	0.012686656	0.012736022	1.0038911	5.0E-5	0.0591016	0.121233195	0.12128592	1.0004349	6.0E-5
6.3	1.1674632E-4	2.446587E-4	2.5465625E-4	1.0408633	1.0E-5	5.002454E-4	0.0010481175	0.0010680966	1.0190618	2.0E-5	0.006073493	0.012686656	0.012736022	1.0038911	5.0E-5	0.0591016	0.121233195	0.12128592	1.0004349	6.0E-5
6.4	1.1674632E-4	2.446587E-4	2.5465625E-4	1.0408633	1.0E-5	5.002454E-4	0.0010481175	0.0010680966	1.0190618	2.0E-5	0.006073493	0.012686656	0.012736022	1.0038911	5.0E-5	0.0591016	0.121233195	0.12128592	1.0004349	6.0E-5
6.5	1.13136164E-4	2.3785238E-4	2.4785E-4	1.0420328	1.0E-5	4.847792E-4	0.0010189706	0.0010389503	1.0196077	2.0E-5	0.0058862255	0.012335852	0.012385235	1.0040032	5.0E-5	0.057327334	0.11820241	0.11825532	1.0004476	6.0E-5
6.6	1.13136164E-4	2.3785238E-4	2.4785E-4	1.0420328	1.0E-5	4.847792E-4	0.0010189706	0.0010389503	1.0196077	2.0E-5	0.0058862255	0.012335852	0.012385235	1.0040032	5.0E-5	0.057327334	0.11820241	0.11825532	1.0004476	6.0E-5
6.7	1.1149675E-4	2.3476148E-4	2.4475914E-4	1.0425864	1.0E-5	4.777557E-4	0.0010057342	0.0010257141	1.019866	2.0E-5	0.0058011734	0.012176507	0.012225899	1.0040562	5.0E-5	0.05652051	0.11682972	0.11688271	1.0004536	6.0E-5
6.8	1.1103589E-4	2.337814E-4	2.4377905E-4	1.042765	1.0E-5	4.7578133E-4	0.0010015371	0.001021517	1.0199493	2.0E-5	0.005777263	0.012125977	0.012175371	1.0040734	5.0E-5	0.056293584	0.11639005	0.11644307	1.0004555	6.0E-5
6.9	1.1053259E-4	2.3270346E-4	2.4270113E-4	1.0429631	1.0E-5	4.7362508E-4	9.969209E-4	0.0010169009	1.0200418	2.0E-5	0.0057511497	0.0120704	0.012119796	1.0040923	5.0E-5	0.05604569	0.11590487	0.11595791	1.0004576	6.0E-5
7.0	1.1005377E-4	2.3171002E-4	2.4170769E-4	1.0431474	1.0E-5	4.7157376E-4	9.926665E-4	0.0010126466	1.0201278	2.0E-5	0.0057263062	0.012019175	0.012068574	1.00411	5.0E-5	0.055809796	0.11545806	0.11551113	1.0004597	6.0E-5
7.1	1.0308142E-4	2.1678228E-4	2.2678012E-4	1.0461192	1.0E-5	4.417027E-4	9.2873716E-4	9.4871863E-4	1.0215147	2.0E-5	0.0053644776	0.01124907	0.011298507	1.0043948	5.0E-5	0.052368138	0.10869067	0.10874415	1.000492	6.0E-5
7.2	1.0027479E-4	2.108509E-4	2.208488E-4	1.0474169	1.0E-5	4.296783E-4	9.033348E-4	9.2331675E-4	1.0221202	2.0E-5	0.0052187922	0.010942942	0.010992396	1.0045191	5.0E-5	0.050979212	0.10598754	0.106041186	1.0005062	6.0E-5
7.3	9.816942E-5	2.0558383E-4	2.1558178E-4	1.0486319	1.0E-5	4.2065824E-4	8.807771E-4	9.007594E-4	1.0226872	2.0E-5	0.005109493	0.010671024	0.0107204905	1.0046356	5.0E-5	0.049935985	0.10356493	0.10361872	1.0005194	6.0E-5
7.4	9.5634205E-5	1.9925408E-4	2.0925209E-4	1.0501772	1.0E-5	4.0979648E-4	8.536675E-4	8.736504E-4	1.0234083	2.0E-5	0.0049778637	0.010344138	0.010393621	1.0047836	5.0E-5	0.048678253	0.1006497	0.10070366	1.0005361	6.0E-5
7.5	8.052417E-5	1.6230272E-4	1.723011E-4	1.0616033	1.0E-5	3.4505792E-4	6.9539784E-4	7.053909E-4	1.0143702	1.0E-5	0.0041929903	0.008433685	0.008473347	1.0047029	4.0E-5	0.04114753	0.08333142	0.08337725	1.00055	5.0E-5
7.6	7.897024E-5	1.5882021E-4	1.6881862E-4	1.0629543	1.0E-5	3.384E-4	6.804807E-4	6.904738E-4	1.0146855	1.0E-5	0.0041122385	0.008253458	0.008293128	1.0048064	4.0E-5	0.040369697	0.081666954	0.08171287	1.0005622	5.0E-5
7.7	6.707427E-5	1.3380915E-4	1.4380782E-4	1.0747234	1.0E-5	2.8742946E-4	5.733418E-4	5.8333605E-4	1.0174316	1.0E-5	0.003493839	0.006958128	0.00699785	1.0057087	4.0E-5	0.034394164	0.06952184	0.069568366	1.0006692	5.0E-5
7.8	6.147705E-5	1.2292301E-4	1.3292178E-4	1.0813417	1.0E-5	2.6344648E-4	5.267066E-4	5.367013E-4	1.0189759	1.0E-5	0.0032027436	0.006393823	0.006433567	1.006216	4.0E-5	0.031569764	0.06394441	0.06399121	1.000732	5.0E-5
7.9	4.7636717E-5	8.9482666E-5	9.948177E-5	1.1117435	1.0E-5	2.0414138E-4	3.8344078E-4	3.9343693E-4	1.0260696	1.0E-5	0.0024825884	0.0046584066	0.00469822	1.0085466	4.0E-5	0.024550365	0.046949543	0.046997197	1.001015	5.0E-5
8.0	3.3554235E-5	5.2557778E-5	5.2557778E-5	1.0	0.0	1.4379594E-4	2.2522818E-4	2.2522818E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0017493097	0.0027387065	0.0027586517	1.0072827	2.0E-5	0.017356034	0.028087804	0.028116962	1.0010381	3.0E-5
8.1	1.9175432E-5	1.9389485E-5	1.9389485E-5	1.0	0.0	8.217783E-5	8.3095154E-5	8.3095154E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0010000558	0.0010112146	0.0010311943	1.0197582	2.0E-5	0.009955673	0.010865306	0.010885088	1.0018207	2.0E-5
8.2	8.643924E-6	5.5514706E-6	5.5514706E-6	1.0	0.0	3.704486E-5	2.3791801E-5	2.3791801E-5	1.0	0.0	4.5092785E-4	2.8962674E-4	2.9962385E-4	1.0345172	1.0E-5	0.0045001395	0.0032906544	0.0033006216	1.0030289	1.0E-5
8.3	1.983087E-6	7.783617E-7	7.783617E-7	1.0	0.0	8.498917E-6	3.3358317E-6	3.3358317E-6	1.0	0.0	1.034694E-4	4.0613013E-5	4.0613013E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0010342124	4.791138E-4	4.791138E-4	1.0	0.0

San Andreas (Big Bend)

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	1.0179969E-4	2.0199355E-4	2.1199153E-4	1.0494965	1.0E-5	4.362114E-4	8.654004E-4	8.7539176E-4	1.0115453	1.0E-5	0.0052979486	0.010485636	0.010525216	1.0037748	4.0E-5	0.051734097	0.10203736	0.10208226	1.00044	5.0E-5
6.1	1.0179969E-4	2.0199355E-4	2.1199153E-4	1.0494965	1.0E-5	4.362114E-4	8.654004E-4	8.7539176E-4	1.0115453	1.0E-5	0.0052979486	0.010485636	0.010525216	1.0037748	4.0E-5	0.051734097	0.10203736	0.10208226	1.00044	5.0E-5
6.2	1.0179969E-4	2.0199355E-4	2.1199153E-4	1.0494965	1.0E-5	4.362114E-4	8.654004E-4	8.7539176E-4	1.0115453	1.0E-5	0.0052979486	0.010485636	0.010525216	1.0037748	4.0E-5	0.051734097	0.10203736	0.10208226	1.00044	5.0E-5
6.3	1.0179969E-4	2.0199355E-4	2.1199153E-4	1.0494965	1.0E-5	4.362114E-4	8.654004E-4	8.7539176E-4	1.0115453	1.0E-5	0.0052979486	0.010485636	0.010525216	1.0037748	4.0E-5	0.051734097	0.10203736	0.10208226	1.00044	5.0E-5
6.4	9.1639464E-5	1.8554417E-4	1.955423E-4	1.0538856	1.0E-5	3.9268145E-4	7.949472E-4	8.0493925E-4	1.0125694	1.0E-5	0.0047704205	0.0096356515	0.009675266	1.0041113	4.0E-5	0.046693064	0.09431894	0.094364226	1.0004802	5.0E-5
6.5	9.1639464E-5	1.8554417E-4	1.955423E-4	1.0538856	1.0E-5	3.9268145E-4	7.949472E-4	8.0493925E-4	1.0125694	1.0E-5	0.0047704205	0.0096356515	0.009675266	1.0041113	4.0E-5	0.046693064	0.09431894	0.094364226	1.0004802	5.0E-5
6.6	9.042622E-5	1.8361163E-4	1.936098E-4	1.0544528	1.0E-5	3.8748336E-4	7.866699E-4	7.9666206E-4	1.0127019	1.0E-5	0.0047074095	0.00953576	0.009575379	1.0041547	4.0E-5	0.046089325	0.09341518	0.09346051	1.0004853	5.0E-5
6.7	8.9836685E-5	1.8275395E-4	1.9275212E-4	1.0547084	1.0E-5	3.8495753E-4	7.829963E-4	7.9298846E-4	1.0127615	1.0E-5	0.00467679	0.009491424	0.009531044	1.0041744	4.0E-5	0.045795817	0.0930092	0.09305455	1.0004876	5.0E-5
6.8	8.9471854E-5	1.8222064E-4	1.9221881E-4	1.0548686	1.0E-5	3.8339442E-4	7.8071206E-4	7.907043E-4	1.0127988	1.0E-5	0.004657841	0.009463855	0.009503476	1.0041866	4.0E-5	0.04561414	0.092755556	0.092800915	1.000489	5.0E-5
6.9	8.858234E-5	1.8103831E-4	1.9103651E-4	1.0552269	1.0E-5	3.7958333E-4	7.75648E-4	7.856402E-4	1.0128825	1.0E-5	0.004611638	0.009402733	0.009442357	1.004214	4.0E-5	0.04517103	0.09219544	0.092240825	1.0004923	5.0E-5
7.0	8.7433385E-5	1.7942318E-4	1.894214E-4	1.0557241	1.0E-5	3.746607E-4	7.6873007E-4	7.787224E-4	1.0129985	1.0E-5	0.004551957	0.009319231	0.009358859	1.0042522	4.0E-5	0.044598386	0.091429226	0.09147465	1.0004969	5.0E-5
7.1	8.684964E-5	1.7854078E-4	1.88539E-4	1.0559996	1.0E-5	3.7215967E-4	7.649506E-4	7.749429E-4	1.0130627	1.0E-5	0.0045216335	0.009273608	0.009313238	1.0042733	4.0E-5	0.04430731	0.09101009	0.09105554	1.0004994	5.0E-5
7.2	8.606521E-5	1.77445E-4	1.8744323E-4	1.0563455	1.0E-5	3.6879873E-4	7.602572E-4	7.702496E-4	1.0131434	1.0E-5	0.0044808835	0.009216951	0.009256583	1.0042999	4.0E-5	0.043916024	0.09049017	0.09053565	1.0005026	5.0E-5
7.3	8.568266E-5	1.7686271E-4	1.8686094E-4	1.0565311	1.0E-5	3.6715972E-4	7.5776305E-4	7.677555E-4	1.0131867	1.0E-5	0.0044610105	0.009186842	0.009226474	1.0043141	4.0E-5	0.043725148	0.09021053	0.09025602	1.0005043	5.0E-5
7.4	8.5432206E-5	1.7648713E-4	1.8648535E-4	1.0566514	1.0E-5	3.6608664E-4	7.5615436E-4	7.6614675E-4	1.0132148	1.0E-5	0.004447999	0.009167421	0.009207054	1.0043232	4.0E-5	0.043600157	0.09003015	0.09007565	1.0005053	5.0E-5
7.5	8.4791965E-5	1.7517526E-4	1.851735E-4	1.0570757	1.0E-5	3.633435E-4	7.505353E-4	7.6052774E-4	1.0133138	1.0E-5	0.0044147377	0.009099582	0.009139217	1.0043558	4.0E-5	0.043280575	0.08940553	0.08945106	1.0005093	5.0E-5
7.6	8.241105E-5	1.6960947E-4	1.7960777E-4	1.058949	1.0E-5	3.531424E-4	7.266954E-4	7.3668815E-4	1.0137509	1.0E-5	0.0042910352	0.008811715	0.008851362	1.0044994	4.0E-5	0.042091176	0.08677437	0.086820036	1.0005262	5.0E-5
7.7	7.00432E-5	1.4313462E-4	1.531332E-4	1.0698543	1.0E-5	3.001506E-4	6.1328994E-4	6.232838E-4	1.0162956	1.0E-5	0.0036482112	0.007441282	0.007480984	1.0053355	4.0E-5	0.035888977	0.07400693	0.07405323	1.0006256	5.0E-5
7.8	6.415362E-5	1.3067157E-4	1.4067026E-4	1.0765177	1.0E-5	2.749151E-4	5.599009E-4	5.698953E-4	1.0178503	1.0E-5	0.0033419547	0.006795517	0.0068352455	1.0058463	4.0E-5	0.03292141	0.06769523	0.06774184	1.0006886	5.0E-5
7.9	4.939911E-5	9.41176E-5	1.04116654E-4	1.10624	1.0E-5	2.116933E-4	4.032988E-4	4.1329474E-4	1.0247855	1.0E-5	0.0025743195	0.004899117	0.0049389214	1.0081247	4.0E-5	0.025447013	0.04924456	0.0492921	1.0009654	5.0E-5
8.0	3.344983E-5	5.2647367E-5	5.2647367E-5	1.0	0.0	1.4334853E-4	2.2561206E-4	2.2561206E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0017438711	0.0027433687	0.002763314	1.0072703	2.0E-5	0.017302496	0.02812872	0.028157877	1.0010365	3.0E-5
8.1	1.9104898E-5	1.9377247E-5	1.9377247E-5	1.0	0.0	8.1875565E-5	8.30427E-5	8.30427E-5	1.0	0.0	9.963791E-4	0.0010105766	0.0010305564	1.0197707	2.0E-5	0.009919235	0.010856872	0.010876656	1.0018221	2.0E-5
8.2	8.643924E-6	5.5514706E-6	5.5514706E-6	1.0	0.0	3.704486E-5	2.3791801E-5	2.3791801E-5	1.0	0.0	4.5092785E-4	2.8962674E-4	2.9962385E-4	1.0345172	1.0E-5	0.0045001395	0.0032906544	0.0033006216	1.0030289	1.0E-5
8.3	1.983087E-6	7.783617E-7	7.783617E-7	1.0	0.0	8.498917E-6	3.3358317E-6	3.3358317E-6	1.0	0.0	1.034694E-4	4.0613013E-5	4.0613013E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0010342124	4.791138E-4	4.791138E-4	1.0	0.0

San Andreas (Mojave N)

(top)

1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	9.877682E-5	1.9530515E-4	2.053032E-4	1.0511919	1.0E-5	4.2326056E-4	8.3675375E-4	8.467454E-4	1.011941	1.0E-5	0.0051410277	0.0101400195	0.010179614	1.0039048	4.0E-5	0.05023708	0.098881036	0.09892609	1.0004556	5.0E-5
6.1	9.877682E-5	1.9530515E-4	2.053032E-4	1.0511919	1.0E-5	4.2326056E-4	8.3675375E-4	8.467454E-4	1.011941	1.0E-5	0.0051410277	0.0101400195	0.010179614	1.0039048	4.0E-5	0.05023708	0.098881036	0.09892609	1.0004556	5.0E-5
6.2	9.877682E-5	1.9530515E-4	2.053032E-4	1.0511919	1.0E-5	4.2326056E-4	8.3675375E-4	8.467454E-4	1.011941	1.0E-5	0.0051410277	0.0101400195	0.010179614	1.0039048	4.0E-5	0.05023708	0.098881036	0.09892609	1.0004556	5.0E-5
6.3	9.877682E-5	1.9530515E-4	2.053032E-4	1.0511919	1.0E-5	4.2326056E-4	8.3675375E-4	8.467454E-4	1.011941	1.0E-5	0.0051410277	0.0101400195	0.010179614	1.0039048	4.0E-5	0.05023708	0.098881036	0.09892609	1.0004556	5.0E-5
6.4	9.877682E-5	1.9530515E-4	2.053032E-4	1.0511919	1.0E-5	4.2326056E-4	8.3675375E-4	8.467454E-4	1.011941	1.0E-5	0.0051410277	0.0101400195	0.010179614	1.0039048	4.0E-5	0.05023708	0.098881036	0.09892609	1.0004556	5.0E-5
6.5	9.861474E-5	1.9504238E-4	2.0504043E-4	1.051261	1.0E-5	4.2256617E-4	8.356283E-4	8.4561994E-4	1.011957	1.0E-5	0.0051326132	0.0101264445	0.01016604	1.0039101	4.0E-5	0.050156746	0.09875881	0.09880387	1.0004563	5.0E-5
6.6	9.861474E-5	1.9504238E-4	2.0504043E-4	1.051261	1.0E-5	4.2256617E-4	8.356283E-4	8.4561994E-4	1.011957	1.0E-5	0.0051326132	0.0101264445	0.01016604	1.0039101	4.0E-5	0.050156746	0.09875881	0.09880387	1.0004563	5.0E-5
6.7	9.8552715E-5	1.9494175E-4	2.049398E-4	1.0512874	1.0E-5	4.223004E-4	8.3519734E-4	8.45189E-4	1.0119632	1.0E-5	0.0051293927	0.010121246	0.010160841	1.0039121	4.0E-5	0.050125998	0.098712154	0.098757215	1.0004566	5.0E-5
6.8	9.8464974E-5	1.9479301E-4	2.0479107E-4	1.0513265	1.0E-5	4.219245E-4	8.345603E-4	8.4455195E-4	1.0119723	1.0E-5	0.0051248376	0.010113562	0.010153159	1.0039151	4.0E-5	0.05008251	0.09864182	0.09868688	1.0004569	5.0E-5
6.9	9.825824E-5	1.9447238E-4	2.0447043E-4	1.0514112	1.0E-5	4.2103877E-4	8.33187E-4	8.431787E-4	1.0119921	1.0E-5	0.0051141046	0.010096998	0.010136594	1.0039216	4.0E-5	0.049980022	0.09849072	0.0985358	1.0004576	5.0E-5
7.0	9.781462E-5	1.9378454E-4	2.037826E-4	1.0515937	1.0E-5	4.1913814E-4	8.30241E-4	8.402327E-4	1.0120347	1.0E-5	0.005091073	0.010061462	0.010101059	1.0039356	4.0E-5	0.04976007	0.09816675	0.09821185	1.0004593	5.0E-5
7.1	9.7121134E-5	1.9279962E-4	2.027977E-4	1.0518574	1.0E-5	4.1616702E-4	8.2602265E-4	8.360144E-4	1.0120962	1.0E-5	0.005055068	0.010010577	0.010050176	1.0039557	4.0E-5	0.04941613	0.09770252	0.09774763	1.0004618	5.0E-5
7.2	9.663819E-5	1.9210603E-4	2.021041E-4	1.0520446	1.0E-5	4.1409794E-4	8.2305196E-4	8.330437E-4	1.0121399	1.0E-5	0.0050299936	0.00997474	0.010014341	1.0039701	4.0E-5	0.049176537	0.09737537	0.097420506	1.0004635	5.0E-5
7.3	9.6277574E-5	1.9162935E-4	2.0162745E-4	1.0521741	1.0E-5	4.125529E-4	8.210104E-4	8.310022E-4	1.0121701	1.0E-5	0.0050112694	0.009950112	0.009989713	1.00398	4.0E-5	0.04899759	0.09714816	0.0971933	1.0004647	5.0E-5
7.4	9.593308E-5	1.9102513E-4	2.0102321E-4	1.0523391	1.0E-5	4.1107697E-4	8.184224E-4	8.284142E-4	1.0122086	1.0E-5	0.0049933824	0.009918891	0.0099584935	1.0039927	4.0E-5	0.04882661	0.09686599	0.09691115	1.0004662	5.0E-5
7.5	9.561707E-5	1.9048409E-4	2.0048219E-4	1.0524879	1.0E-5	4.0972308E-4	8.1610517E-4	8.2609704E-4	1.0122433	1.0E-5	0.0049769743	0.009890934	0.009930539	1.0040041	4.0E-5	0.048669744	0.09661153	0.0966567	1.0004675	5.0E-5
7.6	9.418194E-5	1.8699648E-4	1.969946E-4	1.0534669	1.0E-5	4.0357444E-4	8.011675E-4	8.111595E-4	1.0124718	1.0E-5	0.004902454	0.009710703	0.009750315	1.0040792	4.0E-5	0.047957025	0.0949895	0.095034756	1.0004764	5.0E-5
7.7	8.202141E-5	1.6138036E-4	1.7137875E-4	1.0619555	1.0E-5	3.51473E-4	6.914468E-4	7.014399E-4	1.0144525	1.0E-5	0.00427079	0.008385929	0.008425593	1.0047299	4.0E-5	0.04189639	0.082752936	0.082798794	1.0005542	5.0E-5
7.8	7.2859846E-5	1.462144E-4	1.5621293E-4	1.0683827	1.0E-5	3.1221908E-4	6.2648265E-4	6.364764E-4	1.0159521	1.0E-5	0.003794643	0.0076007936	0.0076404894	1.0052226	4.0E-5	0.037304975	0.07519517	0.07524141	1.0006149	5.0E-5
7.9	5.3874453E-5	1.0119486E-4	1.1119385E-4	1.0988092	1.0E-5	2.3087008E-4	4.3362018E-4	4.4361586E-4	1.0230516	1.0E-5	0.0028072202	0.005266558	0.0053063473	1.0075551	4.0E-5	0.02772022	0.052768894	0.052816257	1.0008975	5.0E-5
8.0	3.468538E-5	5.468676E-5	5.468676E-5	1.0	0.0	1.4864317E-4	2.3435078E-4	2.3435078E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0018082283	0.0028494895	0.0028694323	1.0069988	2.0E-5	0.017935853	0.029156707	0.029185832	1.000999	3.0E-5
8.1	1.9152367E-5	1.9605492E-5	1.9605492E-5	1.0	0.0	8.207899E-5	8.402084E-5	8.402084E-5	1.0	0.0	9.988535E-4	0.0010224743	0.0010424538	1.0195404	2.0E-5	0.009943757	0.010962427	0.010982207	1.0018045	2.0E-5
8.2	8.643924E-6	5.5514706E-6	5.5514706E-6	1.0	0.0	3.704486E-5	2.3791801E-5	2.3791801E-5	1.0	0.0	4.5092785E-4	2.8962674E-4	2.9962385E-4	1.0345172	1.0E-5	0.0045001395	0.0032906544	0.0033006216	1.0030289	1.0E-5
8.3	1.983087E-6	7.783617E-7	7.783617E-7	1.0	0.0	8.498917E-6	3.3358317E-6	3.3358317E-6	1.0	0.0	1.034694E-4	4.0613013E-5	4.0613013E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0010342124	4.791138E-4	4.791138E-4	1.0	0.0

San Andreas (San Bernardino N)

(top)

1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	1.4273766E-4	3.1715693E-4	3.1715693E-4	1.0	6.115894E-4	0.0013585419	0.0013585419	1.0	0.0074207084	0.016416313	0.01644582	1.0017974	3.0E-5	0.07177748	0.15074801	0.15078199	1.0002253	4.0E-5
6.1	1.4273766E-4	3.1715693E-4	3.1715693E-4	1.0	6.115894E-4	0.0013585419	0.0013585419	1.0	0.0074207084	0.016416313	0.01644582	1.0017974	3.0E-5	0.07177748	0.15074801	0.15078199	1.0002253	4.0E-5
6.2	1.4273766E-4	3.1715693E-4	3.1715693E-4	1.0	6.115894E-4	0.0013585419	0.0013585419	1.0	0.0074207084	0.016416313	0.01644582	1.0017974	3.0E-5	0.07177748	0.15074801	0.15078199	1.0002253	4.0E-5
6.3	1.3730655E-4	3.0620035E-4	3.0620035E-4	1.0	5.883239E-4	0.0013116329	0.0013116329	1.0	0.0071393442	0.01585361	0.015883135	1.0018623	3.0E-5	0.06914291	0.14603491	0.14606906	1.0002339	4.0E-5
6.4	1.3730655E-4	3.0620035E-4	3.0620035E-4	1.0	5.883239E-4	0.0013116329	0.0013116329	1.0	0.0071393442	0.01585361	0.015883135	1.0018623	3.0E-5	0.06914291	0.14603491	0.14606906	1.0002339	4.0E-5
6.5	1.2942807E-4	2.903367E-4	2.903367E-4	1.0	5.545738E-4	0.001243712	0.001243712	1.0	0.0067310524	0.015038314	0.015067863	1.0019649	3.0E-5	0.06530788	0.13916023	0.13919467	1.0002475	4.0E-5
6.6	1.1125901E-4	2.54703E-4	2.54703E-4	1.0	4.767372E-4	0.00109113	0.00109113	1.0	0.005788839	0.013204226	0.01323383	1.002242	3.0E-5	0.056403454	0.1234773	0.12351236	1.000284	4.0E-5
6.7	1.02209575E-4	2.3604566E-4	2.3604566E-4	1.0	4.3796748E-4	0.0010112334	0.0010112334	1.0	0.0053192247	0.012242691	0.0122723235	1.0024204	3.0E-5	0.051936906	0.115236536	0.115271926	1.0003071	4.0E-5
6.8	9.610582E-5	2.2128974E-4	2.2128974E-4	1.0	4.1181705E-4	9.480406E-4	9.480406E-4	1.0	0.0050023515	0.011481576	0.011511231	1.0025829	3.0E-5	0.048912346	0.10863702	0.10867267	1.0003282	4.0E-5
6.9	9.3877505E-5	2.1584045E-4	2.1584045E-4	1.0	4.0227012E-4	9.247032E-4	9.247032E-4	1.0	0.0048866454	0.011200394	0.011230058	1.0026485	3.0E-5	0.04780577	0.10622987	0.10626563	1.0003365	4.0E-5
7.0	9.1019785E-5	2.091031E-4	2.091031E-4	1.0	3.900265E-4	8.95849E-4	8.95849E-4	1.0	0.0047382377	0.010852643	0.010882317	1.0027343	3.0E-5	0.046384744	0.10318951	0.10322538	1.0003476	4.0E-5
7.1	8.771155E-5	2.0084127E-4	2.0084127E-4	1.0	3.758525E-4	8.6046493E-4	8.6046493E-4	1.0	0.0045664064	0.010426038	0.010455725	1.0028474	3.0E-5	0.044737056	0.09949862	0.099534646	1.000362	4.0E-5
7.2	8.0830236E-5	1.8488054E-4	1.8488054E-4	1.0	3.4636928E-4	7.921047E-4	7.921047E-4	1.0	0.0042088944	0.009601339	0.009631051	1.0030946	3.0E-5	0.041300658	0.09222007	0.09225638	1.0003937	4.0E-5
7.3	7.7668235E-5	1.7429797E-4	1.7429797E-4	1.0	3.328214E-4	7.467775E-4	7.467775E-4	1.0	0.0040445733	0.009054194	0.009083923	1.0032834	3.0E-5	0.03971748	0.087489985	0.087526485	1.0004172	4.0E-5
7.4	7.520177E-5	1.6648525E-4	1.6648525E-4	1.0	3.2225347E-4	7.133132E-4	7.133132E-4	1.0	0.0039163795	0.008650074	0.008679815	1.0034382	3.0E-5	0.038480744	0.08394442	0.08398106	1.0004365	4.0E-5
7.5	7.274697E-5	1.5934913E-4	1.5934913E-4	1.0	3.1173544E-4	6.827462E-4	6.827462E-4	1.0	0.003788775	0.008280811	0.008310562	1.0035928	3.0E-5	0.03724827	0.08065913	0.080695905	1.0004559	4.0E-5
7.6	7.1185845E-5	1.5503971E-4	1.5503971E-4	1.0	3.0504653E-4	6.642867E-4	6.642867E-4	1.0	0.0037076178	0.008057753	0.008087511	1.0036931	3.0E-5	0.036463667	0.078646176	0.078683026	1.0004686	4.0E-5
7.7	6.709961E-5	1.4410561E-4	1.4410561E-4	1.0	2.8753807E-4	6.1744935E-4	6.1744935E-4	1.0	0.003495157	0.0074915737	0.007521349	1.0039746	3.0E-5	0.034406938	0.07346765	0.07350471	1.0005045	4.0E-5
7.8	6.300812E-5	1.3289896E-4	1.3289896E-4	1.0	2.7000686E-4	5.694427E-4	5.694427E-4	1.0	0.0032823787	0.0069109555	0.006940748	1.004311	3.0E-5	0.032343175	0.06810767	0.068144955	1.0005473	4.0E-5
7.9	4.983037E-5	9.79261E-5	9.79261E-5	1.0	2.1354125E-4	4.196158E-4	4.196158E-4	1.0	0.0025967648	0.005096866	0.005126713	1.0058559	3.0E-5	0.025666296	0.05097016	0.05100812	1.0007448	4.0E-5
8.0	3.2211527E-5	5.371115E-5	5.371115E-5	1.0	1.380421E-4	2.3017034E-4	2.3017034E-4	1.0	0.0016793669	0.0027987245	0.0028186685	1.0071261	2.0E-5	0.016667323	0.0285595	0.028588643	1.0010204	3.0E-5
8.1	1.743376E-5	1.9014282E-5	1.9014282E-5	1.0	7.471398E-5	8.148724E-5	8.148724E-5	1.0	9.0926304E-4	9.916562E-4	0.0010116363	1.0201483	2.0E-5	0.009055517	0.010582717	0.010602505	1.0018699	2.0E-5
8.2	7.831616E-6	5.225111E-6	5.225111E-6	1.0	3.3563636E-5	2.2393142E-5	2.2393142E-5	1.0	4.0856065E-4	2.7260248E-4	2.8259974E-4	1.0366734	1.0E-5	0.004078103	0.003079944	0.0030899134	1.0032368	1.0E-5
8.3	1.983087E-6	7.783617E-7	7.783617E-7	1.0	8.498917E-6	3.3358317E-6	3.3358317E-6	1.0	1.034694E-4	4.0613013E-5	4.0613013E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0010342124	4.791138E-4	4.791138E-4	1.0	0.0

West Napa 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	3.773104E-5	4.4545388E-5	5.4544944E-5	1.2244802	1.0E-5	1.6169442E-4	1.9089662E-4	2.0089472E-4	1.0523744	1.0E-5	0.001966852	0.0023220065	0.002351937	1.0128899	3.0E-5	0.019495348	0.023011073	0.023059923	1.0021229	5.0E-5
6.1	3.773104E-5	4.4545388E-5	5.4544944E-5	1.2244802	1.0E-5	1.6169442E-4	1.9089662E-4	2.0089472E-4	1.0523744	1.0E-5	0.001966852	0.0023220065	0.002351937	1.0128899	3.0E-5	0.019495348	0.023011073	0.023059923	1.0021229	5.0E-5
6.2	3.773104E-5	4.4545388E-5	5.4544944E-5	1.2244802	1.0E-5	1.6169442E-4	1.9089662E-4	2.0089472E-4	1.0523744	1.0E-5	0.001966852	0.0023220065	0.002351937	1.0128899	3.0E-5	0.019495348	0.023011073	0.023059923	1.0021229	5.0E-5
6.3	2.147964E-5	2.4996332E-5	2.4996332E-5	1.0	0.0	9.2052345E-5	1.0712326E-4	1.0712326E-4	1.0	0.0	0.001120161	0.0013035372	0.0013135241	1.0076615	1.0E-5	0.011145315	0.012969706	0.012999317	1.0022831	3.0E-5
6.4	2.147964E-5	2.4996332E-5	2.4996332E-5	1.0	0.0	9.2052345E-5	1.0712326E-4	1.0712326E-4	1.0	0.0	0.001120161	0.0013035372	0.0013135241	1.0076615	1.0E-5	0.011145315	0.012969706	0.012999317	1.0022831	3.0E-5
6.5	1.688201E-5	1.955472E-5	1.955472E-5	1.0	0.0	7.234947E-5	8.380366E-5	8.380366E-5	1.0	0.0	8.804988E-4	0.0010199047	0.0010298946	1.0097948	1.0E-5	0.008770182	0.010161086	0.010180882	1.0019482	2.0E-5
6.6	1.6846381E-5	1.9514402E-5	1.9514402E-5	1.0	0.0	7.219678E-5	8.363088E-5	8.363088E-5	1.0	0.0	8.7864127E-4	0.0010178032	0.0010277929	1.0098151	1.0E-5	0.008751754	0.010140262	0.010160059	1.0019523	2.0E-5
6.7	1.3396501E-5	1.5473694E-5	1.5473694E-5	1.0	0.0	5.7412315E-5	6.63145E-5	6.63145E-5	1.0	0.0	6.9877075E-4	8.071435E-4	8.1713544E-4	1.0123794	1.0E-5	0.0069657755	0.008050021	0.00806986	1.0024644	2.0E-5
6.8	1.0139058E-5	1.1676979E-5	1.1676979E-5	1.0	0.0	4.3452383E-5	5.004355E-5	5.004355E-5	1.0	0.0	5.289043E-4	6.091654E-4	6.191593E-4	1.0164059	1.0E-5	0.005276473	0.0060820533	0.006101932	1.0032684	2.0E-5
6.9	7.761281E-6	8.894612E-6	8.894612E-6	1.0	0.0	3.326221E-5	3.81195E-5	3.81195E-5	1.0	0.0	4.0489217E-4	4.6405746E-4	4.7405282E-4	1.0215391	1.0E-5	0.0040415525	0.004637574	0.0046574813	1.0042926	2.0E-5
7.0	2.2109202E-6	2.3683149E-6	2.3683149E-6	1.0	0.0	9.475338E-6	1.0149882E-5	1.0149882E-5	1.0	0.0	1.1535613E-4	1.2356788E-4	1.3356665E-4	1.0809171	1.0E-5	0.0011529627	0.0012366503	0.0012566256	1.0161527	2.0E-5
7.1	1.9008926E-6	2.0149084E-6	2.0149084E-6	1.0	0.0	8.146657E-6	8.635294E-6	8.635294E-6	1.0	0.0	9.918104E-5	1.0512966E-4	1.15128605E-4	1.0951107	1.0E-5	9.913679E-4	0.0010524527	0.0010724317	1.0189832	2.0E-5
7.2	1.8495944E-6	1.9577026E-6	1.9577026E-6	1.0	0.0	7.926808E-6	8.390127E-6	8.390127E-6	1.0	0.0	9.650462E-5	1.0214503E-4	1.12144015E-4	1.09789	1.0E-5	9.6462725E-4	0.0010226344	0.001042614	1.0195373	2.0E-5
7.3	1.7883189E-6	1.8896486E-6	1.8896486E-6	1.0	0.0	7.664201E-6	8.098469E-6	8.098469E-6	1.0	0.0	9.330765E-5	9.859443E-5	1.0859344E-4	1.1014156	1.0E-5	9.3268487E-4	9.871604E-4	0.0010071406	1.0202402	2.0E-5
7.4	1.6520572E-6	1.7429809E-6	1.7429809E-6	1.0	0.0	7.0802257E-6	7.469897E-6	7.469897E-6	1.0	0.0	8.6198335E-5	9.094222E-5	1.0094132E-4	1.10995	1.0E-5	8.616491E-4	9.1070123E-4	9.30683E-4	1.0219411	2.0E-5
7.5	1.4040345E-6	1.4813329E-6	1.4813329E-6	1.0	0.0	6.0172765E-6	6.3485545E-6	6.3485545E-6	1.0	0.0	7.325788E-5	7.729093E-5	8.729016E-5	1.1293713	1.0E-5	7.3233736E-4	7.7425473E-4	7.84247E-4	1.0129056	1.0E-5
7.6	1.3013842E-7	1.4477867E-7	1.4477867E-7	1.0	0.0	5.57736E-7	6.2047985E-7	6.2047985E-7	1.0	0.0	6.790414E-6	7.5543157E-6	7.5543157E-6	1.0	0.0	6.790207E-5	7.646992E-5	7.646992E-5	1.0	0.0
7.7	8.541512E-8	9.772852E-8	9.772852E-8	1.0	0.0	3.6606474E-7	4.1883644E-7	4.1883644E-7	1.0	0.0	4.456829E-6	5.0993217E-6	5.0993217E-6	1.0	0.0	4.4567398E-5	5.18965E-5	5.18965E-5	1.0	0.0
7.8	5.6074793E-8	6.9422484E-8	6.9422484E-8	1.0	0.0	2.403205E-7	2.975249E-7	2.975249E-7	1.0	0.0	2.9258983E-6	3.6223596E-6	3.6223596E-6	1.0	0.0	2.9258597E-5	3.7055714E-5	3.7055714E-5	1.0	0.0
7.9	2.9475839E-8	3.8844767E-8	3.8844767E-8	1.0	0.0	1.2632502E-7	1.6647758E-7	1.6647758E-7	1.0	0.0	1.538006E-6	2.0268626E-6	2.0268626E-6	1.0	0.0	1.5379954E-5	2.0807607E-5	2.0807607E-5	1.0	0.0
8.0	1.3337122E-8	2.1794186E-8	2.1794186E-8	1.0	0.0	5.7159088E-8	9.3403656E-8	9.3403656E-8	1.0	0.0	6.959117E-7	1.137189E-6	1.137189E-6	1.0	0.0	6.959095E-6	1.1726984E-5	1.1726984E-5	1.0	0.0
8.1	2.6589986E-10	4.8958637E-10	4.8958637E-10	1.0	0.0	1.1395708E-9	2.098227E-9	2.098227E-9	1.0	0.0	1.3874274E-8	2.5545908E-8	2.5545908E-8	1.0	0.0	1.3874273E-7	2.621045E-7	2.621045E-7	1.0	0.0

San Gregorio (South) 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	1.8770423E-5	1.6289563E-5	2.6289401E-5	1.6138799	1.0E-5	8.044219E-5	6.981057E-5	7.980987E-5	1.1432347	1.0E-5	9.789435E-4	8.49616E-4	8.795906E-4	1.0352801	3.0E-5	0.009746423	0.008476441	0.008526017	1.0058486	5.0E-5
6.1	1.8770423E-5	1.6289563E-5	2.6289401E-5	1.6138799	1.0E-5	8.044219E-5	6.981057E-5	7.980987E-5	1.1432347	1.0E-5	9.789435E-4	8.49616E-4	8.795906E-4	1.0352801	3.0E-5	0.009746423	0.008476441	0.008526017	1.0058486	5.0E-5
6.2	1.7508692E-5	1.4908819E-5	1.4908819E-5	1.0	0.0	7.5035096E-5	6.389339E-5	6.389339E-5	1.0	0.0	9.1316935E-4	7.776274E-4	7.876196E-4	1.0128496	1.0E-5	0.00909426	0.0077617425	0.00779151	1.0038351	3.0E-5
6.3	1.7508692E-5	1.4908819E-5	1.4908819E-5	1.0	0.0	7.5035096E-5	6.389339E-5	6.389339E-5	1.0	0.0	9.1316935E-4	7.776274E-4	7.876196E-4	1.0128496	1.0E-5	0.00909426	0.0077617425	0.00779151	1.0038351	3.0E-5
6.4	1.6004591E-5	1.3258347E-5	1.3258347E-5	1.0	0.0	6.85893E-5	5.6820256E-5	5.6820256E-5	1.0	0.0	8.347548E-4	6.915681E-4	6.915681E-4	1.0	0.0	0.008316261	0.006906638	0.0069265	1.0028758	2.0E-5
6.5	1.6004591E-5	1.3258347E-5	1.3258347E-5	1.0	0.0	6.85893E-5	5.6820256E-5	5.6820256E-5	1.0	0.0	8.347548E-4	6.915681E-4	6.915681E-4	1.0	0.0	0.008316261	0.006906638	0.0069265	1.0028758	2.0E-5
6.6	1.5442201E-5	1.2642867E-5	1.2642867E-5	1.0	0.0	6.617918E-5	5.4182594E-5	5.4182594E-5	1.0	0.0	8.0543366E-4	6.594743E-4	6.594743E-4	1.0	0.0	0.008025207	0.006587633	0.0066075013	1.003016	2.0E-5
6.7	1.489921E-5	1.2051274E-5	1.2051274E-5	1.0	0.0	6.3852196E-5	5.1647297E-5	5.1647297E-5	1.0	0.0	7.7712315E-4	6.2862516E-4	6.2862516E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0077441116	0.006280915	0.0063007893	1.0031643	2.0E-5
6.8	1.3876024E-5	1.0930016E-5	1.0930016E-5	1.0	0.0	5.9467322E-5	4.6842088E-5	4.6842088E-5	1.0	0.0	7.237741E-4	5.701535E-4	5.701535E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0072142133	0.005699319	0.005719205	1.0034891	2.0E-5
6.9	1.33922495E-5	1.0401423E-5	1.0401423E-5	1.0	0.0	5.7394092E-5	4.457677E-5	4.457677E-5	1.0	0.0	6.9854903E-4	5.425873E-4	5.425873E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0069635725	0.005425028	0.0054449197	1.0036666	2.0E-5
7.0	1.2807324E-5	9.761268E-6	9.761268E-6	1.0	0.0	5.4887376E-5	4.1833337E-5	4.1833337E-5	1.0	0.0	6.680489E-4	5.09202E-4	5.09202E-4	1.0	0.0	0.006660442	0.005092747	0.005112645	1.0039072	2.0E-5
7.1	1.2191438E-5	9.06999E-6	9.06999E-6	1.0	0.0	5.224797E-5	3.8870803E-5	3.8870803E-5	1.0	0.0	6.3593336E-4	4.7314935E-4	4.7314935E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0063411663	0.0047338065	0.0047537116	1.004205	2.0E-5
7.2	1.1769438E-5	8.590055E-6	8.590055E-6	1.0	0.0	5.0439474E-5	3.6814E-5	3.6814E-5	1.0	0.0	6.1392755E-4	4.4811834E-4	4.4811834E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0061223423	0.004484533	0.004504443	1.0044398	2.0E-5
7.3	1.150374E-5	8.305438E-6	8.305438E-6	1.0	0.0	4.9300812E-5	3.559425E-5	3.559425E-5	1.0	0.0	6.0007203E-4	4.3327388E-4	4.3327388E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0059845424	0.004336663	0.0043565766	1.0045918	2.0E-5
7.4	1.12514E-5	8.051108E-6	8.051108E-6	1.0	0.0	4.8219394E-5	3.4504294E-5	3.4504294E-5	1.0	0.0	5.8691297E-4	4.2000884E-4	4.2000884E-4	1.0	0.0	0.005853653	0.0042045135	0.0042244294	1.0047368	2.0E-5
7.5	1.059696E-5	7.4010595E-6	7.4010595E-6	1.0	0.0	4.5414752E-5	3.1718442E-5	3.1718442E-5	1.0	0.0	5.5278436E-4	3.8610367E-4	3.8610367E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0055141128	0.003866626	0.0038865486	1.0051525	2.0E-5
7.6	9.018592E-6	5.8442924E-6	5.8442924E-6	1.0	0.0	3.8650534E-5	2.5046727E-5	2.5046727E-5	1.0	0.0	4.7046866E-4	3.0490127E-4	3.0490127E-4	1.0	0.0	0.004694739	0.0030567446	0.0030667142	1.0032614	1.0E-5
7.7	6.243489E-6	3.2455112E-6	3.2455112E-6	1.0	0.0	2.6757538E-5	1.3909259E-5	1.3909259E-5	1.0	0.0	3.257243E-4	1.6933208E-4	1.6933208E-4	1.0	0.0	0.003252473	0.0017022382	0.0017122213	1.0058646	1.0E-5
7.8	3.1941963E-6	1.3846911E-6	1.3846911E-6	1.0	0.0	1.368934E-5	5.934377E-6	5.934377E-6	1.0	0.0	1.6665498E-4	7.2248644E-5	7.2248644E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0016653005	7.282937E-4	7.382864E-4	1.0137208	1.0E-5
7.9	2.0098398E-6	6.943788E-7	6.943788E-7	1.0	0.0	8.6135715E-6	2.9759055E-6	2.9759055E-6	1.0	0.0	1.0486518E-4	3.623105E-5	3.623105E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0010481571	3.6720882E-4	3.7720514E-4	1.0272225	1.0E-5
8.0	8.353119E-7	3.1753785E-7	3.1753785E-7	1.0	0.0	3.579903E-6	1.3608757E-6	1.3608757E-6	1.0	0.0	4.358445E-5	1.6568536E-5	1.6568536E-5	1.0	0.0	4.3575902E-4	1.6687257E-4	1.6687257E-4	1.0	0.0
8.1	1.5033264E-7	6.549686E-8	6.549686E-8	1.0	0.0	6.442826E-7	2.8070082E-7	2.8070082E-7	1.0	0.0	7.844113E-6	3.417527E-6	3.417527E-6	1.0	0.0	7.843835E-5	3.419461E-5	3.419461E-5	1.0	0.0

San Andreas (North Coast) 2011 CFM

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	1.5333705E-4	7.166444E-5	8.1663726E-5	1.1395292	1.0E-5	6.5699324E-4	3.0709733E-4	3.1709427E-4	1.032553	1.0E-5	0.007969595	0.0037325346	0.0037624226	1.0080074	3.0E-5	0.0768977	0.039643332	0.039691348	1.0012113	5.0E-5
6.1	1.5333705E-4	7.166444E-5	8.1663726E-5	1.1395292	1.0E-5	6.5699324E-4	3.0709733E-4	3.1709427E-4	1.032553	1.0E-5	0.007969595	0.0037325346	0.0037624226	1.0080074	3.0E-5	0.0768977	0.039643332	0.039691348	1.0012113	5.0E-5
6.2	1.3912938E-4	6.100286E-5	7.100225E-5	1.1639167	1.0E-5	5.961325E-4	2.6141477E-4	2.7141217E-4	1.0382434	1.0E-5	0.007233787	0.0031781073	0.003208012	1.0094095	3.0E-5	0.07002798	0.033949286	0.033997588	1.0014228	5.0E-5
6.3	1.3912938E-4	6.100286E-5	7.100225E-5	1.1639167	1.0E-5	5.961325E-4	2.6141477E-4	2.7141217E-4	1.0382434	1.0E-5	0.007233787	0.0031781073	0.003208012	1.0094095	3.0E-5	0.07002798	0.033949286	0.033997588	1.0014228	5.0E-5
6.4	1.2623647E-4	5.0886236E-5	6.0885726E-5	1.1965067	1.0E-5	5.4090127E-4	2.1806575E-4	2.2806357E-4	1.0458478	1.0E-5	0.0065656058	0.0026517382	0.0026816588	1.0112833	3.0E-5	0.06374981	0.028542992	0.028591566	1.0017017	5.0E-5
6.5	1.1736096E-4	4.3929205E-5	5.3928765E-5	1.227629	1.0E-5	5.028786E-4	1.8825452E-4	1.9825264E-4	1.0531095	1.0E-5	0.006105373	0.002289606	0.0023195373	1.0130727	3.0E-5	0.05940335	0.024800463	0.024849221	1.0019661	5.0E-5
6.6	1.1586959E-4	4.2822743E-5	5.2822317E-5	1.2335107	1.0E-5	4.964894E-4	1.8351323E-4	1.935114E-4	1.054482	1.0E-5	0.006028018	0.0022320005	0.0022619336	1.0134108	3.0E-5	0.058671024	0.024202995	0.024251785	1.0020158	5.0E-5
6.7	1.13693764E-4	4.1125637E-5	5.1125226E-5	1.2431474	1.0E-5	4.87168E-4	1.7624091E-4	1.8623915E-4	1.0567305	1.0E-5	0.005915152	0.0021436377	0.0021735735	1.0139649	3.0E-5	0.057601593	0.023290562	0.023329629	1.0016774	4.0E-5
6.8	1.1204889E-4	4.0336916E-5	5.033651E-5	1.2479019	1.0E-5	4.8012115E-4	1.7286114E-4	1.8285941E-4	1.0578399	1.0E-5	0.005829819	0.002102569	0.0021325059	1.0142382	3.0E-5	0.05679232	0.022847498	0.022886584	1.0017108	4.0E-5
6.9	1.1005794E-4	3.9384562E-5	4.9384165E-5	1.2538966	1.0E-5	4.7159163E-4	1.6878014E-4	1.7877846E-4	1.0592387	1.0E-5	0.0057265228	0.0020529777	0.002082916	1.0145829	3.0E-5	0.055811852	0.02231005	0.022349158	1.001753	4.0E-5
7.0	1.0647948E-4	3.7524605E-5	4.752423E-5	1.2664818	1.0E-5	4.562608E-4	1.6080991E-4	1.708083E-4	1.0621753	1.0E-5	0.0055408357	0.0019561183	0.0019860596	1.0153065	3.0E-5	0.054047033	0.02126368	0.02130283	1.0018412	4.0E-5
7.1	1.04795035E-4	3.6566726E-5	4.6566358E-5	1.2734627	1.0E-5	4.4904428E-4	1.5670521E-4	1.6670364E-4	1.063804	1.0E-5	0.0054534175	0.0019062321	0.0019361749	1.0157079	3.0E-5	0.053215165	0.020726223	0.020765394	1.00189	4.0E-5
7.2	1.02724036E-4	3.546596E-5	4.5465607E-5	1.2819505	1.0E-5	4.401716E-4	1.519882E-4	1.6198668E-4	1.0657846	1.0E-5	0.0053459285	0.0018489014	0.001878846	1.0161959	3.0E-5	0.052191395	0.020112155	0.02015135	1.0019488	4.0E-5
7.3	1.00650694E-4	3.492624E-5	4.492589E-5	1.2863077	1.0E-5	4.312888E-4	1.4967538E-4	1.5967389E-4	1.0668013	1.0E-5	0.005238306	0.0018207902	0.0018507356	1.0164464	3.0E-5	0.051165357	0.01978575	0.01982496	1.0019816	4.0E-5
7.4	9.672919E-5	3.3698492E-5	4.3698154E-5	1.2967392	1.0E-5	4.144878E-4	1.444142E-4	1.5441276E-4	1.0692353	1.0E-5	0.005034718	0.0017568403	0.0017867875	1.0170461	3.0E-5	0.049221683	0.019049408	0.019088646	1.0020598	4.0E-5
7.5	8.7600405E-5	2.2941029E-5	3.29408E-5	1.4358902	1.0E-5	3.753763E-4	9.8315E-5	1.0831402E-4	1.1017039	1.0E-5	0.0045606326	0.0011963297	0.0012262939	1.0250467	3.0E-5	0.04468165	0.0132699795	0.013309449	1.0029743	4.0E-5
7.6	7.9562284E-5	1.9444382E-5	2.9444187E-5	1.5142773	1.0E-5	3.4093665E-4	8.3330415E-5	9.332958E-5	1.1199942	1.0E-5	0.0041430052	0.0010140771	0.0010440466	1.0295535	3.0E-5	0.040666126	0.011349569	0.011389115	1.0034844	4.0E-5
7.7	6.3866544E-5	1.2114099E-5	2.2113978E-5	1.8254744	1.0E-5	2.7368503E-4	5.1916537E-5	6.191602E-5	1.1926068	1.0E-5	0.0033270244	6.319008E-4	6.618818E-4	1.0474458	3.0E-5	0.032776527	0.007312091	0.0073517985	1.0054303	4.0E-5
7.8	4.2543215E-5	9.215332E-6	1.921524E-5	2.085138	1.0E-5	1.8231533E-4	3.949368E-5	4.9493286E-5	1.253195	1.0E-5	0.0022174292	4.807296E-4	5.107152E-4	1.0623752	3.0E-5	0.021954332	0.005571458	0.0056112353	1.0071394	4.0E-5
7.9	2.2636612E-5	7.931997E-6	1.7931918E-5	2.2607067	1.0E-5	9.7010445E-5	3.3993827E-5	4.399349E-5	1.2941611	1.0E-5	0.0011804621	4.1379634E-4	4.4378394E-4	1.0724695	3.0E-5	0.011742111	0.004749737	0.004789547	1.0083815	4.0E-5
8.0	1.5167874E-5	7.1555696E-6	7.1555696E-6	1.0	0.0	6.500356E-5	3.0666368E-5	3.0666368E-5	1.0	0.0	7.9113094E-4	3.7329915E-4	3.832954E-4	1.0267782	1.0E-5	0.007883203	0.0042746244	0.0042845816	1.0023293	1.0E-5
8.1	1.0681047E-5	6.4829237E-6	6.4829237E-6	1.0	0.0	4.5775112E-5	2.7783663E-5	2.7783663E-5	1.0	0.0	5.5716943E-4	3.3821366E-4	3.482103E-4	1.0295571	1.0E-5	0.0055577457	0.0038703298	0.003880291	1.0025737	1.0E-5
8.2	8.226114E-6	5.187722E-6	5.187722E-6	1.0	0.0	3.52543E-5	2.2232904E-5	2.2232904E-5	1.0	0.0	4.2913653E-4	2.7065206E-4	2.8064937E-4	1.0369378	1.0E-5	0.004283088	0.0030849453	0.0030949144	1.0032315	1.0E-5
8.3	1.983087E-6	7.783617E-7	7.783617E-7	1.0	0.0	8.498917E-6	3.3358317E-6	3.3358317E-6	1.0	0.0	1.034694E-4	4.0613013E-5	4.0613013E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0010342124	4.791138E-4	4.791138E-4	1.0	0.0

Great Valley 07 (Orestimba)

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	2.9687902E-5	3.276403E-5	3.276403E-5	1.0	1.2722766E-4	1.4041012E-4	1.4041012E-4	1.0	0.0015478961	0.0017082248	0.0017481564	1.0233761	4.0E-5	0.015371585	0.01695849	0.016997812	1.0023187	4.0E-5
6.1	2.9687902E-5	3.276403E-5	3.276403E-5	1.0	1.2722766E-4	1.4041012E-4	1.4041012E-4	1.0	0.0015478961	0.0017082248	0.0017381735	1.0175321	3.0E-5	0.015371585	0.01695849	0.016987981	1.001739	3.0E-5
6.2	1.9231524E-5	2.1163256E-5	2.1163256E-5	1.0	8.2418206E-5	9.0696645E-5	9.0696645E-5	1.0	0.0010029797	0.0011036954	0.0011236733	1.018101	2.0E-5	0.00998465	0.010984551	0.0110043315	1.0018008	2.0E-5
6.3	1.324766E-5	1.4551287E-5	1.4551287E-5	1.0	5.6774446E-5	6.236122E-5	6.236122E-5	1.0	6.910097E-4	7.5899257E-4	7.6898496E-4	1.0131654	1.0E-5	0.006888649	0.00756495	0.0075748744	1.0013119	1.0E-5
6.4	7.818645E-6	8.574433E-6	8.574433E-6	1.0	3.3508048E-5	3.6747075E-5	3.6747075E-5	1.0	4.078841E-4	4.4730716E-4	4.4730716E-4	1.0	0.0	0.004071363	0.0044644084	0.0044644084	1.0	0.0
6.5	5.3076565E-6	5.8188784E-6	5.8188784E-6	1.0	2.27469E-5	2.4937823E-5	2.4937823E-5	1.0	2.7690834E-4	3.035778E-4	3.035778E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0027656353	0.0030318405	0.0030318405	1.0	0.0
6.6	3.6003578E-6	3.949231E-6	3.949231E-6	1.0	1.5430012E-5	1.6925174E-5	1.6925174E-5	1.0	1.8784421E-4	2.0604608E-4	2.0604608E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0018768552	0.0020587046	0.0020587046	1.0	0.0
6.7	2.5361826E-6	2.7839908E-6	2.7839908E-6	1.0	1.0869308E-5	1.1931343E-5	1.1931343E-5	1.0	1.3232579E-4	1.4525573E-4	1.4525573E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0013224703	0.0014517378	0.0014517378	1.0	0.0
6.8	1.2115831E-6	1.3316335E-6	1.3316335E-6	1.0	5.1924885E-6	5.7069933E-6	5.7069933E-6	1.0	6.3216714E-5	6.94814E-5	6.94814E-5	1.0	0.0	6.3198735E-4	6.946919E-4	6.946919E-4	1.0	0.0

San Andreas (Mojave S)

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	3.1064058E-4	6.760526E-4	6.760526E-4	1.0	0.0013306376	0.0028942795	0.0028942795	1.0	0.016080605	0.03479576	0.034824718	1.0008322	3.0E-5	0.1496549	0.28701046	0.28703898	1.0000994	4.0E-5
6.1	3.1064058E-4	6.760526E-4	6.760526E-4	1.0	0.0013306376	0.0028942795	0.0028942795	1.0	0.016080605	0.03479576	0.034824718	1.0008322	3.0E-5	0.1496549	0.28701046	0.28703898	1.0000994	4.0E-5
6.2	3.1064058E-4	6.760526E-4	6.760526E-4	1.0	0.0013306376	0.0028942795	0.0028942795	1.0	0.016080605	0.03479576	0.034824718	1.0008322	3.0E-5	0.1496549	0.28701046	0.28703898	1.0000994	4.0E-5
6.3	3.1064058E-4	6.760526E-4	6.760526E-4	1.0	0.0013306376	0.0028942795	0.0028942795	1.0	0.016080605	0.03479576	0.034824718	1.0008322	3.0E-5	0.1496549	0.28701046	0.28703898	1.0000994	4.0E-5
6.4	1.9872203E-4	4.3316846E-4	4.3316846E-4	1.0	8.5138786E-4	0.0018551437	0.0018551437	1.0	0.010316478	0.022358613	0.022387942	1.0013118	3.0E-5	0.098504856	0.1974784	0.1975105	1.0001626	4.0E-5
6.5	1.291105E-4	2.8882886E-4	2.8882886E-4	1.0	5.5321335E-4	0.0012372535	0.0012372535	1.0	0.006714592	0.014960351	0.014989902	1.0019753	3.0E-5	0.065152965	0.13857114	0.13860561	1.0002487	4.0E-5
6.6	1.291105E-4	2.8882886E-4	2.8882886E-4	1.0	5.5321335E-4	0.0012372535	0.0012372535	1.0	0.006714592	0.014960351	0.014989902	1.0019753	3.0E-5	0.065152965	0.13857114	0.13860561	1.0002487	4.0E-5
6.7	1.08001186E-4	2.446214E-4	2.446214E-4	1.0	4.6278012E-4	0.0010479568	0.0010479568	1.0	0.0056198016	0.012684535	0.012714155	1.0023351	3.0E-5	0.054797906	0.119716905	0.11975212	1.0002941	4.0E-5
6.8	1.0624356E-4	2.3979432E-4	2.3979432E-4	1.0	4.5525006E-4	0.0010272857	0.0010272857	1.0	0.0055285925	0.012435757	0.012465383	1.0023824	3.0E-5	0.053930566	0.11766559	0.11770088	1.0002999	4.0E-5
6.9	1.0393785E-4	2.3349283E-4	2.3349283E-4	1.0	4.4537184E-4	0.0010003002	0.0010003002	1.0	0.0054089287	0.012110901	0.012140538	1.0024471	3.0E-5	0.05279156	0.11496502	0.11500042	1.0003079	4.0E-5
7.0	1.0155622E-4	2.2718265E-4	2.2718265E-4	1.0	4.3516833E-4	9.73277E-4	9.73277E-4	1.0	0.005285311	0.011785494	0.011815141	1.0025156	3.0E-5	0.05161361	0.1122189	0.11225442	1.0003165	4.0E-5
7.1	9.885595E-5	2.200603E-4	2.200603E-4	1.0	4.2359953E-4	9.4277505E-4	9.4277505E-4	1.0	0.0051451353	0.011418079	0.011447736	1.0025975	3.0E-5	0.05027629	0.109101124	0.10913676	1.0003266	4.0E-5
7.2	9.6411415E-5	2.136842E-4	2.136842E-4	1.0	4.1312634E-4	9.154683E-4	9.154683E-4	1.0	0.005018219	0.01108905	0.0111187175	1.0026754	3.0E-5	0.049064007	0.10629075	0.1063265	1.0003363	4.0E-5
7.3	9.1180635E-5	1.959334E-4	1.959334E-4	1.0	3.907156E-4	8.3944446E-4	8.3944446E-4	1.0	0.004746591	0.010172457	0.010202152	1.0029192	3.0E-5	0.046464786	0.09848038	0.09851644	1.0003662	4.0E-5
7.4	8.887388E-5	1.8840512E-4	1.8840512E-4	1.0	3.8083247E-4	8.0720073E-4	8.0720073E-4	1.0	0.0046267817	0.009783483	0.0098131895	1.0030364	3.0E-5	0.045316286	0.09511409	0.095150284	1.0003805	4.0E-5
7.5	8.6750515E-5	1.8170798E-4	1.8170798E-4	1.0	3.7173493E-4	7.785161E-4	7.785161E-4	1.0	0.004516484	0.009437327	0.009467045	1.0031489	3.0E-5	0.04425787	0.09207592	0.092112236	1.0003945	4.0E-5
7.6	8.453092E-5	1.7556918E-4	1.7556918E-4	1.0	3.6222505E-4	7.522224E-4	7.522224E-4	1.0	0.0044011753	0.009119927	0.009149653	1.0032595	3.0E-5	0.04315024	0.08922915	0.089265585	1.0004083	4.0E-5
7.7	8.259102E-5	1.7077757E-4	1.7077757E-4	1.0	3.539135E-4	7.316986E-4	7.316986E-4	1.0	0.004300386	0.008872113	0.008901847	1.0033513	3.0E-5	0.042181134	0.08697555	0.087012075	1.0004199	4.0E-5
7.8	7.444844E-5	1.5389791E-4	1.5389791E-4	1.0	3.1902574E-4	6.5939577E-4	6.5939577E-4	1.0	0.0038772223	0.0079986425	0.008028402	1.0037206	3.0E-5	0.03810269	0.07876392	0.07880077	1.0004679	4.0E-5
7.9	5.2586525E-5	1.00793724E-4	1.00793724E-4	1.0	2.2535135E-4	4.319016E-4	4.319016E-4	1.0	0.0027402006	0.005245735	0.005275578	1.0056889	3.0E-5	0.027066574	0.05253995	0.05257785	1.0007213	4.0E-5
8.0	3.379877E-5	5.4496184E-5	5.4496184E-5	1.0	1.4484383E-4	2.3353417E-4	2.3353417E-4	1.0	0.0017620471	0.0028395732	0.0028595165	1.0070233	2.0E-5	0.017481409	0.029041536	0.029070664	1.001003	3.0E-5
8.1	1.8668277E-5	1.9509971E-5	1.9509971E-5	1.0	8.000444E-5	8.3611485E-5	8.3611485E-5	1.0	9.736188E-4	0.0010174951	0.0010374747	1.0196362	2.0E-5	0.009693642	0.010903738	0.01092352	1.0018142	2.0E-5
8.2	8.541571E-6	5.5371797E-6	5.5371797E-6	1.0	3.660622E-5	2.3730554E-5	2.3730554E-5	1.0	4.455896E-4	2.8888127E-4	2.9887838E-4	1.0346063	1.0E-5	0.0044469717	0.0032826175	0.0032925846	1.0030364	1.0E-5
8.3	1.983087E-6	7.783617E-7	7.783617E-7	1.0	8.498917E-6	3.3358317E-6	3.3358317E-6	1.0	1.034694E-4	4.0613013E-5	4.0613013E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0010342124	4.791138E-4	4.791138E-4	1.0	0.0

Hunting Creek - Bartlett Springs connector 2011

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	4.940016E-5	6.791328E-5	6.791328E-5	1.0	2.1169778E-4	2.9102078E-4	2.9102078E-4	1.0	0.002574374	0.0035372714	0.003547236	1.002817	1.0E-5	0.025447546	0.034795366	0.034824323	1.0008322	3.0E-5
6.1	4.940016E-5	6.791328E-5	6.791328E-5	1.0	2.1169778E-4	2.9102078E-4	2.9102078E-4	1.0	0.002574374	0.0035372714	0.003547236	1.002817	1.0E-5	0.025447546	0.034795366	0.034824323	1.0008322	3.0E-5
6.2	4.472471E-5	6.1042876E-5	6.1042876E-5	1.0	1.9166325E-4	2.61585E-4	2.61585E-4	1.0	0.0023310026	0.0031800452	0.0031900136	1.0031346	1.0E-5	0.02306703	0.03133597	0.031355344	1.0006182	2.0E-5
6.3	4.472471E-5	6.1042876E-5	6.1042876E-5	1.0	1.9166325E-4	2.61585E-4	2.61585E-4	1.0	0.0023310026	0.0031800452	0.0031900136	1.0031346	1.0E-5	0.02306703	0.03133597	0.031355344	1.0006182	2.0E-5
6.4	4.0001003E-5	5.4136915E-5	5.4136915E-5	1.0	1.714216E-4	2.3199468E-4	2.3199468E-4	1.0	0.0020850603	0.002820826	0.0028307978	1.003535	1.0E-5	0.02065605	0.027844893	0.027864335	1.0006982	2.0E-5
6.5	3.8033053E-5	5.1296407E-5	5.1296407E-5	1.0	1.6298861E-4	2.1982315E-4	2.1982315E-4	1.0	0.0019825802	0.0026730346	0.0026830076	1.003731	1.0E-5	0.019649856	0.026405964	0.026425436	1.0007374	2.0E-5
6.6	3.653754E-5	4.915789E-5	4.915789E-5	1.0	1.5658008E-4	2.1065972E-4	2.1065972E-4	1.0	0.0019046954	0.0025617585	0.0025717327	1.0038936	1.0E-5	0.018884527	0.025321145	0.025340639	1.0007699	2.0E-5
6.7	3.372024E-5	4.516568E-5	4.516568E-5	1.0	1.4450731E-4	1.9355283E-4	1.9355283E-4	1.0	0.0017579567	0.0023539767	0.002363953	1.0042381	1.0E-5	0.017441148	0.023291433	0.023310967	1.0008386	2.0E-5
6.8	2.9650024E-5	3.9432685E-5	3.9432685E-5	1.0	1.2706534E-4	1.689861E-4	1.689861E-4	1.0	0.0015459227	0.0020554543	0.0020654337	1.0048552	1.0E-5	0.015352124	0.020362325	0.020381916	1.0009623	2.0E-5
6.9	2.860775E-5	3.783254E-5	3.783254E-5	1.0	1.2259888E-4	1.6212939E-4	1.6212939E-4	1.0	0.0014916194	0.0019721447	0.001982125	1.0050607	1.0E-5	0.014816469	0.019546246	0.019565856	1.0010033	2.0E-5
7.0	2.6696067E-5	3.5085584E-5	3.5085584E-5	1.0	1.144067E-4	1.5035819E-4	1.5035819E-4	1.0	0.0013920115	0.0018290823	0.0018290823	1.0	0.0	0.013833242	0.018140832	0.01815065	1.0005412	1.0E-5
7.1	2.456087E-5	3.203001E-5	3.203001E-5	1.0	1.0525662E-4	1.372643E-4	1.372643E-4	1.0	0.001280746	0.0016699209	0.0016699209	1.0	0.0	0.012733897	0.016575238	0.01658507	1.0005933	1.0E-5
7.2	2.295761E-5	2.9838806E-5	2.9838806E-5	1.0	9.8386045E-5	1.2787437E-4	1.2787437E-4	1.0	0.0011971919	0.001555768	0.001555768	1.0	0.0	0.011907627	0.015450446	0.015460292	1.0006372	1.0E-5
7.3	2.1256936E-5	2.7556767E-5	2.7556767E-5	1.0	9.109797E-5	1.1809514E-4	1.1809514E-4	1.0	0.0011085535	0.0014368688	0.0014368688	1.0	0.0	0.011030397	0.014277365	0.014277365	1.0	0.0
7.4	1.8784336E-5	2.4320007E-5	2.4320007E-5	1.0	8.050181E-5	1.0422448E-4	1.0422448E-4	1.0	9.796688E-4	0.001268202	0.001268202	1.0	0.0	0.009753612	0.012610929	0.012610929	1.0	0.0
7.5	1.7248298E-5	2.2280889E-5	2.2280889E-5	1.0	7.391918E-5	9.548607E-5	9.548607E-5	1.0	8.9959445E-4	0.0011619304	0.0011619304	1.0	0.0	0.008959615	0.011559745	0.011559745	1.0	0.0
7.6	1.0653709E-5	1.3729825E-5	1.3729825E-5	1.0	4.5657955E-5	5.8840793E-5	5.8840793E-5	1.0	5.557438E-4	7.161539E-4	7.161539E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0055435603	0.0071390215	0.0071390215	1.0	0.0
7.7	3.286316E-6	4.092013E-6	4.092013E-6	1.0	1.4084137E-5	1.753708E-5	1.753708E-5	1.0	1.7146087E-4	2.134932E-4	2.134932E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0017132863	0.0021329257	0.0021329257	1.0	0.0
7.8	5.1855085E-7	5.9736544E-7	5.9736544E-7	1.0	2.222359E-6	2.5601353E-6	2.5601353E-6	1.0	2.7056883E-5	3.116921E-5	3.116921E-5	1.0	0.0	2.705359E-4	3.1164222E-4	3.1164222E-4	1.0	0.0

San Gregorio (North) 2011 CFM

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	5.0283932E-5	4.31077E-5	4.31077E-5	1.0	2.1548476E-4	1.8473432E-4	1.8473432E-4	1.0	0.0026203706	0.0022468343	0.0022667893	1.0088814	2.0E-5	0.02589687	0.022321213	0.022350544	1.001314	3.0E-5
6.1	5.0283932E-5	4.31077E-5	4.31077E-5	1.0	2.1548476E-4	1.8473432E-4	1.8473432E-4	1.0	0.0026203706	0.0022468343	0.0022667893	1.0088814	2.0E-5	0.02589687	0.022321213	0.022350544	1.001314	3.0E-5
6.2	4.2998647E-5	3.4486944E-5	3.4486944E-5	1.0	1.842669E-4	1.477929E-4	1.477929E-4	1.0	0.0022411412	0.001797906	0.00181787	1.0111041	2.0E-5	0.022186736	0.017912274	0.017941738	1.0016448	3.0E-5
6.3	4.2998647E-5	3.4486944E-5	3.4486944E-5	1.0	1.842669E-4	1.477929E-4	1.477929E-4	1.0	0.0022411412	0.001797906	0.00181787	1.0111041	2.0E-5	0.022186736	0.017912274	0.017941738	1.0016448	3.0E-5
6.4	4.1101295E-5	3.2371103E-5	3.2371103E-5	1.0	1.7613651E-4	1.3872601E-4	1.3872601E-4	1.0	0.0021423528	0.0016876939	0.0017076602	1.0118304	2.0E-5	0.02121817	0.016827295	0.01685679	1.0017529	3.0E-5
6.5	4.1032585E-5	3.228911E-5	3.228911E-5	1.0	1.7584208E-4	1.3837463E-4	1.3837463E-4	1.0	0.0021387753	0.0016834226	0.001703389	1.0118606	2.0E-5	0.021183075	0.016785232	0.01681473	1.0017573	3.0E-5
6.6	4.011629E-5	3.1310243E-5	3.1310243E-5	1.0	1.7191563E-4	1.3417994E-4	1.3417994E-4	1.0	0.0020910634	0.0016324302	0.0016523976	1.0122317	2.0E-5	0.020714961	0.016281236	0.016310748	1.0018126	3.0E-5
6.7	3.8583938E-5	2.949645E-5	2.949645E-5	1.0	1.6534925E-4	1.264073E-4	1.264073E-4	1.0	0.0020112682	0.0015379369	0.001557906	1.0129844	2.0E-5	0.019931622	0.015348542	0.015378081	1.0019246	3.0E-5
6.8	3.44341E-5	2.4491128E-5	2.4491128E-5	1.0	1.4756636E-4	1.0495781E-4	1.0495781E-4	1.0	0.0017951399	0.0012771228	0.00128711	1.0078201	1.0E-5	0.017807078	0.012772366	0.01279211	1.0015459	2.0E-5
6.9	3.221199E-5	2.1813525E-5	2.1813525E-5	1.0	1.3804408E-4	9.3483235E-5	9.3483235E-5	1.0	0.0016793909	0.0011375723	0.0011375723	1.0	0.0	0.01666756	0.011391143	0.011401029	1.0008678	1.0E-5
7.0	2.9186718E-5	1.81788E-5	1.81788E-5	1.0	1.2507994E-4	7.7906836E-5	7.7906836E-5	1.0	0.0015217843	9.4810745E-4	9.4810745E-4	1.0	0.0	0.015114053	0.0095135365	0.009523441	1.0010412	1.0E-5
7.1	2.6840138E-5	1.5314668E-5	1.5314668E-5	1.0	1.1502409E-4	6.563265E-5	6.563265E-5	1.0	0.0013995186	7.987866E-4	7.987866E-4	1.0	0.0	0.013907375	0.008031467	0.008041387	1.0012351	1.0E-5
7.2	2.453002E-5	1.2635636E-5	1.2635636E-5	1.0	1.05124425E-4	5.4151606E-5	5.4151606E-5	1.0	0.0012791384	6.590969E-4	6.590969E-4	1.0	0.0	0.012718005	0.006642893	0.0066528264	1.0014954	1.0E-5
7.3	2.3330727E-5	1.1517053E-5	1.1517053E-5	1.0	9.9985E-5	4.9357866E-5	4.9357866E-5	1.0	0.0012166376	6.007668E-4	6.007668E-4	1.0	0.0	0.012099981	0.0060616005	0.00607154	1.0016397	1.0E-5
7.4	2.2136466E-5	1.0396523E-5	1.0396523E-5	1.0	9.486712E-5	4.4555767E-5	4.4555767E-5	1.0	0.0011543952	5.4233166E-4	5.4233166E-4	1.0	0.0	0.011484168	0.005478782	0.0054887277	1.0018152	1.0E-5
7.5	2.0994974E-5	9.453621E-6	9.453621E-6	1.0	8.997535E-5	4.051489E-5	4.051489E-5	1.0	0.0010948994	4.9315736E-4	4.9315736E-4	1.0	0.0	0.010895205	0.0049875304	0.0049974807	1.001995	1.0E-5
7.6	1.7091823E-5	6.9147836E-6	6.9147836E-6	1.0	7.3248615E-5	2.963445E-5	2.963445E-5	1.0	8.9143694E-4	3.607398E-4	3.607398E-4	1.0	0.0	0.008878695	0.003659592	0.0036695555	1.0027225	1.0E-5
7.7	1.2772179E-5	4.035854E-6	4.035854E-6	1.0	5.473676E-5	1.7296401E-5	1.7296401E-5	1.0	6.6621625E-4	2.1056336E-4	2.1056336E-4	1.0	0.0	0.006642225	0.002144985	0.0021549633	1.004652	1.0E-5
7.8	7.041923E-6	1.9504273E-6	1.9504273E-6	1.0	3.017932E-5	8.358947E-6	8.358947E-6	1.0	3.6737128E-4	1.0176542E-4	1.0176542E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0036676454	0.0010432694	0.001053259	1.0095752	1.0E-5
7.9	2.946768E-6	1.0092457E-6	1.0092457E-6	1.0	1.2628945E-5	4.3253317E-6	4.3253317E-6	1.0	1.5374656E-4	5.2659638E-5	5.2659638E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0015364023	5.371614E-4	5.47156E-4	1.0186064	1.0E-5
8.0	1.1433375E-6	5.215774E-7	5.215774E-7	1.0	4.9000087E-6	2.2353297E-6	2.2353297E-6	1.0	5.965597E-5	2.72148E-5	2.72148E-5	1.0	0.0	5.963996E-4	2.7578938E-4	2.7578938E-4	1.0	0.0
8.1	2.6675295E-7	1.6418946E-7	1.6418946E-7	1.0	1.1432264E-6	7.036689E-7	7.036689E-7	1.0	1.3918692E-5	8.567135E-6	8.567135E-6	1.0	0.0	1.391782E-4	8.7065484E-5	8.7065484E-5	1.0	0.0
8.2	1.2704569E-8	9.547798E-9	9.547798E-9	1.0	5.444815E-8	4.0919137E-8	4.0919137E-8	1.0	6.629061E-7	4.9819033E-7	4.9819033E-7	1.0	0.0	6.629041E-6	5.1746865E-6	5.1746865E-6	1.0	0.0

San Andreas (San Bernardino S)

(top)

1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	1.2336002E-4	3.0078314E-4	3.0078314E-4	1.0	5.2857865E-4	0.0012884599	0.0012884599	1.0	0.006416472	0.015579138	0.015598826	1.0012637	2.0E-5	0.06234337	0.14296174	0.14298744	1.0001799	3.0E-5
6.1	1.2336002E-4	3.0078314E-4	3.0078314E-4	1.0	5.2857865E-4	0.0012884599	0.0012884599	1.0	0.006416472	0.015579138	0.015598826	1.0012637	2.0E-5	0.06234337	0.14296174	0.14298744	1.0001799	3.0E-5
6.2	1.2336002E-4	3.0078314E-4	3.0078314E-4	1.0	5.2857865E-4	0.0012884599	0.0012884599	1.0	0.006416472	0.015579138	0.015598826	1.0012637	2.0E-5	0.06234337	0.14296174	0.14298744	1.0001799	3.0E-5
6.3	1.1712257E-4	2.8865776E-4	2.8865776E-4	1.0	5.018573E-4	0.0012365439	0.0012365439	1.0	0.006093008	0.014955855	0.014975556	1.0013173	2.0E-5	0.059286322	0.13766426	0.13769013	1.0001879	3.0E-5
6.4	1.1712257E-4	2.8865776E-4	2.8865776E-4	1.0	5.018573E-4	0.0012365439	0.0012365439	1.0	0.006093008	0.014955855	0.014975556	1.0013173	2.0E-5	0.059286322	0.13766426	0.13769013	1.0001879	3.0E-5
6.5	1.0689076E-4	2.6877332E-4	2.6877332E-4	1.0	4.5802278E-4	0.001151402	0.001151402	1.0	0.0055621783	0.013932845	0.013952566	1.0014155	2.0E-5	0.05425003	0.12892844	0.12895457	1.0002027	3.0E-5
6.6	9.7648895E-5	2.5120768E-4	2.5120768E-4	1.0	4.1842813E-4	0.0010761837	0.0010761837	1.0	0.005082469	0.013028199	0.013047938	1.0015152	2.0E-5	0.049677886	0.12110118	0.121127546	1.0002177	3.0E-5
6.7	8.757013E-5	2.3190412E-4	2.3190412E-4	1.0	3.7524657E-4	9.935186E-4	9.935186E-4	1.0	0.00455906	0.012033098	0.012052857	1.0016421	2.0E-5	0.04466656	0.112379625	0.112406254	1.000237	3.0E-5
6.8	8.562978E-5	2.2749817E-4	2.2749817E-4	1.0	3.6693315E-4	9.746501E-4	9.746501E-4	1.0	0.004458263	0.011805879	0.0118256435	1.001674	2.0E-5	0.043698758	0.11038404	0.11041073	1.0002418	3.0E-5
6.9	6.124075E-5	1.7127262E-4	1.7127262E-4	1.0	2.6243398E-4	7.338199E-4	7.338199E-4	1.0	0.0031904527	0.008897867	0.008917688	1.0022278	2.0E-5	0.031450346	0.08444487	0.084472336	1.0003252	3.0E-5
7.0	5.8598747E-5	1.655565E-4	1.655565E-4	1.0	2.5111332E-4	7.093357E-4	7.093357E-4	1.0	0.0030530186	0.008602162	0.00862199	1.002305	2.0E-5	0.03011414	0.081756294	0.08178384	1.0003369	3.0E-5
7.1	5.613814E-5	1.5973621E-4	1.5973621E-4	1.0	2.4056983E-4	6.84405E-4	6.84405E-4	1.0	0.0029250039	0.008300977	0.00832081	1.0023893	2.0E-5	0.028868021	0.07905447	0.079082094	1.0003495	3.0E-5
7.2	4.991222E-5	1.4578617E-4	1.4578617E-4	1.0	2.1389198E-4	6.2464864E-4	6.2464864E-4	1.0	0.002601025	0.0075786817	0.00759853	1.002619	2.0E-5	0.025707912	0.07249507	0.07252289	1.0003839	3.0E-5
7.3	4.7410045E-5	1.3771489E-4	1.3771489E-4	1.0	2.0317009E-4	5.9007347E-4	5.9007347E-4	1.0	0.0024707897	0.0071605663	0.007180423	1.002773	2.0E-5	0.024434982	0.06878009	0.06880803	1.0004061	3.0E-5
7.4	4.5556746E-5	1.3178392E-4	1.3178392E-4	1.0	1.952286E-4	5.646663E-4	5.646663E-4	1.0	0.002374317	0.006853221	0.006873084	1.0028983	2.0E-5	0.023491086	0.06603161	0.066059634	1.0004244	3.0E-5
7.5	4.3084514E-5	1.2412538E-4	1.2412538E-4	1.0	1.8463485E-4	5.318578E-4	5.318578E-4	1.0	0.0022456115	0.006456215	0.0064760856	1.0030777	2.0E-5	0.022230545	0.062429707	0.062457833	1.0004505	3.0E-5
7.6	3.408608E-5	9.886329E-5	9.886329E-5	1.0	1.4607502E-4	4.2363114E-4	4.2363114E-4	1.0	0.0017770125	0.005145537	0.0051654344	1.0038669	2.0E-5	0.017628696	0.05024415	0.050272644	1.0005671	3.0E-5
7.7	2.8315713E-5	8.29644E-5	8.29644E-5	1.0	1.2134742E-4	3.555133E-4	3.555133E-4	1.0	0.0014764034	0.004319793	0.0043397066	1.0046098	2.0E-5	0.01466633	0.042483974	0.0425127	1.0006762	3.0E-5
7.8	2.6222975E-5	7.507742E-5	7.507742E-5	1.0	1.1237934E-4	3.217207E-4	3.217207E-4	1.0	0.0013673597	0.003909921	0.0039298427	1.0050952	2.0E-5	0.013589768	0.03863645	0.03866529	1.0007465	3.0E-5
7.9	2.1469694E-5	5.8251793E-5	5.8251793E-5	1.0	9.200973E-5	2.4962667E-4	2.4962667E-4	1.0	0.0011196428	0.0030349724	0.0030549115	1.0065699	2.0E-5	0.011140184	0.030321505	0.030350596	1.0009594	3.0E-5
8.0	1.2420249E-5	3.152857E-5	3.152857E-5	1.0	5.322855E-5	1.3511545E-4	1.3511545E-4	1.0	6.478649E-4	0.0016437903	0.001653774	1.0060735	1.0E-5	0.0064597935	0.01662063	0.016640298	1.0011833	2.0E-5
8.1	4.9197724E-6	7.901037E-6	7.901037E-6	1.0	2.1084568E-5	3.386115E-5	3.386115E-5	1.0	2.566744E-4	4.1218166E-4	4.2217752E-4	1.0242511	1.0E-5	0.002563781	0.0044241752	0.004434131	1.0022503	1.0E-5
8.2	2.5634774E-6	2.943124E-6	2.943124E-6	1.0	1.0986286E-5	1.2613327E-5	1.2613327E-5	1.0	1.3374983E-4	1.535565E-4	1.6355496E-4	1.0651126	1.0E-5	0.0013366934	0.0017241889	0.0017341716	1.0057899	1.0E-5
8.3	5.2850464E-7	3.257407E-7	3.257407E-7	1.0	2.2650179E-6	1.3960309E-6	1.3960309E-6	1.0	2.7576245E-5	1.6996557E-5	1.6996557E-5	1.0	0.0	2.7572823E-4	2.0148199E-4	2.0148199E-4	1.0	0.0

Great Valley 08 (Quinto)

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	7.737697E-6	8.2541E-6	8.2541E-6	1.0	3.3161137E-5	3.537434E-5	3.537434E-5	1.0	4.0366207E-4	4.3061635E-4	4.4061203E-4	1.0232126	1.0E-5	0.004029296	0.004299673	0.004319587	1.0046315	2.0E-5
6.1	7.737697E-6	8.2541E-6	8.2541E-6	1.0	3.3161137E-5	3.537434E-5	3.537434E-5	1.0	4.0366207E-4	4.3061635E-4	4.4061203E-4	1.0232126	1.0E-5	0.004029296	0.004299673	0.004319587	1.0046315	2.0E-5
6.2	7.737697E-6	8.2541E-6	8.2541E-6	1.0	3.3161137E-5	3.537434E-5	3.537434E-5	1.0	4.0366207E-4	4.3061635E-4	4.4061203E-4	1.0232126	1.0E-5	0.004029296	0.004299673	0.004319587	1.0046315	2.0E-5
6.3	5.374012E-6	5.751352E-6	5.751352E-6	1.0	2.3031276E-5	2.4648483E-5	2.4648483E-5	1.0	2.803697E-4	3.000651E-4	3.1006208E-4	1.0333161	1.0E-5	0.0028001624	0.002997693	0.003017633	1.0066518	2.0E-5
6.4	5.374012E-6	5.751352E-6	5.751352E-6	1.0	2.3031276E-5	2.4648483E-5	2.4648483E-5	1.0	2.803697E-4	3.000651E-4	3.1006208E-4	1.0333161	1.0E-5	0.0028001624	0.002997693	0.003017633	1.0066518	2.0E-5
6.5	3.65427E-6	3.941921E-6	3.941921E-6	1.0	1.5661062E-5	1.6893879E-5	1.6893879E-5	1.0	1.9065675E-4	2.0567061E-4	2.0567061E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0019049325	0.0020554946	0.0020554946	1.0	0.0
6.6	3.6143538E-6	3.899102E-6	3.899102E-6	1.0	1.5489995E-5	1.671037E-5	1.671037E-5	1.0	1.8857437E-4	2.0343681E-4	2.0343681E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0018841444	0.0020331976	0.0020331976	1.0	0.0
6.7	2.4821015E-6	2.686132E-6	2.686132E-6	1.0	1.0637535E-5	1.1511975E-5	1.1511975E-5	1.0	1.2950429E-4	1.4015494E-4	1.4015494E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0012942884	0.0014012204	0.0014012204	1.0	0.0
6.8	4.7110538E-7	5.194045E-7	5.194045E-7	1.0	2.0190216E-6	2.2260176E-6	2.2260176E-6	1.0	2.458131E-5	2.7101445E-5	2.7101445E-5	1.0	0.0	2.457859E-4	2.709832E-4	2.709832E-4	1.0	0.0
6.9	3.958685E-7	4.3712214E-7	4.3712214E-7	1.0	1.6965782E-6	1.8733792E-6	1.8733792E-6	1.0	2.0655643E-5	2.280817E-5	2.280817E-5	1.0	0.0	2.0653724E-4	2.2805991E-4	2.2805991E-4	1.0	0.0
7.0	2.70294E-7	2.9926176E-7	2.9926176E-7	1.0	1.1584025E-6	1.2825498E-6	1.2825498E-6	1.0	1.4103458E-5	1.5614945E-5	1.5614945E-5	1.0	0.0	1.4102564E-4	1.5613977E-4	1.5613977E-4	1.0	0.0
7.1	1.4828602E-7	1.6472617E-7	1.6472617E-7	1.0	6.3551136E-7	7.0596917E-7	7.0596917E-7	1.0	7.737323E-6	8.59515E-6	8.59515E-6	1.0	0.0	7.737054E-5	8.594897E-5	8.594897E-5	1.0	0.0

Las Positas

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	1.0659424E-5	1.1593074E-5	1.1593074E-5	1.0	4.568245E-5	4.9684604E-5	4.9684604E-5	1.0	5.560419E-4	6.049101E-4	6.14904E-4	1.0165213	1.0E-5	0.005546526	0.0060491003	0.0060689794	1.0032862	2.0E-5
6.1	1.0659424E-5	1.1593074E-5	1.1593074E-5	1.0	4.568245E-5	4.9684604E-5	4.9684604E-5	1.0	5.560419E-4	6.049101E-4	6.14904E-4	1.0165213	1.0E-5	0.005546526	0.0060491003	0.0060689794	1.0032862	2.0E-5
6.2	1.0659424E-5	1.1593074E-5	1.1593074E-5	1.0	4.568245E-5	4.9684604E-5	4.9684604E-5	1.0	5.560419E-4	6.049101E-4	6.14904E-4	1.0165213	1.0E-5	0.005546526	0.0060491003	0.0060689794	1.0032862	2.0E-5
6.3	1.0659424E-5	1.1593074E-5	1.1593074E-5	1.0	4.568245E-5	4.9684604E-5	4.9684604E-5	1.0	5.560419E-4	6.049101E-4	6.14904E-4	1.0165213	1.0E-5	0.005546526	0.0060491003	0.0060689794	1.0032862	2.0E-5

Pilarcitos 2011 CFM

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	4.9150476E-6	3.210603E-6	3.210603E-6	1.0	2.1064321E-5	1.3759655E-5	2.3759518E-5	1.7267524	1.0E-5	2.564279E-4	1.6751124E-4	1.8750789E-4	1.119375	2.0E-5	0.0025613222	0.001686351	0.0017063173	1.01184	2.0E-5
6.1	4.9150476E-6	3.210603E-6	3.210603E-6	1.0	2.1064321E-5	1.3759655E-5	1.3759655E-5	1.0	0.0	2.564279E-4	1.6751124E-4	1.7750956E-4	1.0596875	1.0E-5	0.0025613222	0.001686351	0.0016963341	1.0059199	1.0E-5
6.2	4.162343E-6	2.4389558E-6	2.4389558E-6	1.0	1.783849E-5	1.0452626E-5	1.0452626E-5	1.0	0.0	2.1716199E-4	1.2725337E-4	1.372521E-4	1.0785733	1.0E-5	0.002169499	0.0012842881	0.0012942753	1.0077764	1.0E-5
6.3	4.162343E-6	2.4389558E-6	2.4389558E-6	1.0	1.783849E-5	1.0452626E-5	1.0452626E-5	1.0	0.0	2.1716199E-4	1.2725337E-4	1.372521E-4	1.0785733	1.0E-5	0.002169499	0.0012842881	0.0012942753	1.0077764	1.0E-5
6.4	3.8768926E-6	2.146361E-6	2.146361E-6	1.0	1.6615148E-5	9.198658E-6	9.198658E-6	1.0	0.0	2.0227065E-4	1.11987945E-4	1.11987945E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0020208664	0.0011317965	0.0011317965	1.0	0.0
6.5	3.7137002E-6	1.9797064E-6	1.9797064E-6	1.0	1.591576E-5	8.484428E-6	8.484428E-6	1.0	0.0	1.9375715E-4	1.03293045E-4	1.03293045E-4	1.0	0.0	0.001935883	0.0010449317	0.0010449317	1.0	0.0
6.6	3.5048733E-6	1.7646466E-6	1.7646466E-6	1.0	1.5020799E-5	7.5627495E-6	7.5627495E-6	1.0	0.0	1.8286289E-4	9.207261E-5	9.207261E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0018271249	9.328265E-4	9.328265E-4	1.0	0.0
6.7	3.3908584E-6	1.6483237E-6	1.6483237E-6	1.0	1.453217E-5	7.0642254E-6	7.0642254E-6	1.0	0.0	1.7691481E-4	8.600357E-5	8.600357E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0017677402	8.7218505E-4	8.7218505E-4	1.0	0.0
6.8	3.2451449E-6	1.5015253E-6	1.5015253E-6	1.0	1.3907689E-5	6.435092E-6	6.435092E-6	1.0	0.0	1.6931296E-4	7.834444E-5	7.834444E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0016918402	7.9565065E-4	7.9565065E-4	1.0	0.0
6.9	3.1239128E-6	1.3780335E-6	1.3780335E-6	1.0	1.3388129E-5	5.9058443E-6	5.9058443E-6	1.0	0.0	1.6298829E-4	7.190129E-5	7.190129E-5	1.0	0.0	0.001628688	7.312632E-4	7.312632E-4	1.0	0.0
7.0	2.9940109E-6	1.2493194E-6	1.2493194E-6	1.0	1.2831412E-5	5.354215E-6	5.354215E-6	1.0	0.0	1.5621124E-4	6.518562E-5	6.518562E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0015610148	6.6414813E-4	6.6414813E-4	1.0	0.0
7.1	2.7471217E-6	1.1608468E-6	1.1608468E-6	1.0	1.1773326E-5	4.9750474E-6	4.9750474E-6	1.0	0.0	1.4333082E-4	6.0569524E-5	6.0569524E-5	1.0	0.0	0.001432384	6.179605E-4	6.179605E-4	1.0	0.0
7.2	2.592675E-6	1.0268021E-6	1.0268021E-6	1.0	1.1111417E-5	4.400573E-6	4.400573E-6	1.0	0.0	1.3527309E-4	5.357566E-5	5.357566E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0013519078	5.4805854E-4	5.4805854E-4	1.0	0.0
7.3	2.4518663E-6	9.176819E-7	9.176819E-7	1.0	1.0507956E-5	3.9329166E-6	3.9329166E-6	1.0	0.0	1.2792686E-4	4.7882208E-5	4.7882208E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0012785323	4.911484E-4	4.911484E-4	1.0	0.0
7.4	2.3349535E-6	8.7974837E-7	8.7974837E-7	1.0	1.0006905E-5	3.7703446E-6	3.7703446E-6	1.0	0.0	1.2182725E-4	4.590298E-5	4.590298E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0012176048	4.713411E-4	4.713411E-4	1.0	0.0
7.5	2.1358665E-6	8.315239E-7	8.315239E-7	1.0	9.15368E-6	3.563669E-6	3.563669E-6	1.0	0.0	1.11440364E-4	4.3386808E-5	4.3386808E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0011138449	4.4609446E-4	4.4609446E-4	1.0	0.0
7.6	1.6445446E-6	6.8490374E-7	6.8490374E-7	1.0	7.048029E-6	2.9352984E-6	2.9352984E-6	1.0	0.0	8.580638E-5	3.5736673E-5	3.5736673E-5	1.0	0.0	8.5773255E-4	3.6955148E-4	3.6955148E-4	1.0	0.0
7.7	1.3650961E-6	5.8364867E-7	5.8364867E-7	1.0	5.850399E-6	2.5013492E-6	2.5013492E-6	1.0	0.0	7.122628E-5	3.04535E-5	3.04535E-5	1.0	0.0	7.120345E-4	3.166177E-4	3.166177E-4	1.0	0.0
7.8	1.0500993E-6	5.5488545E-7	5.5488545E-7	1.0	4.5004176E-6	2.3780783E-6	2.3780783E-6	1.0	0.0	5.4791206E-5	2.8952718E-5	2.8952718E-5	1.0	0.0	5.47777E-4	3.0148032E-4	3.0148032E-4	1.0	0.0
7.9	5.856431E-7	5.184848E-7	5.184848E-7	1.0	2.5098966E-6	2.2220759E-6	2.2220759E-6	1.0	0.0	3.0557563E-5	2.7053438E-5	2.7053438E-5	1.0	0.0	3.055336E-4	2.8173937E-4	2.8173937E-4	1.0	0.0
8.0	4.4768265E-7	4.88728E-7	4.88728E-7	1.0	1.9186384E-6	2.0945467E-6	2.0945467E-6	1.0	0.0	2.3359173E-5	2.5500809E-5	2.5500809E-5	1.0	0.0	2.3356717E-4	2.6567656E-4	2.6567656E-4	1.0	0.0
8.1	2.6692538E-7	3.3911186E-7	3.3911186E-7	1.0	1.1439654E-6	1.4533358E-6	1.4533358E-6	1.0	0.0	1.392769E-5	1.7694221E-5	1.7694221E-5	1.0	0.0	1.3926817E-4	1.843052E-4	1.843052E-4	1.0	0.0
8.2	1.3198862E-8	1.0953292E-8	1.0953292E-8	1.0	5.656655E-8	4.6942677E-8	4.6942677E-8	1.0	0.0	6.886975E-7	5.715269E-7	5.715269E-7	1.0	0.0	6.8869535E-6	5.9494296E-6	5.9494296E-6	1.0	0.0

Hosgri

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	2.883978E-5	2.9134455E-5	2.9134455E-5	1.0	1.235932E-4	1.2485613E-4	1.2485613E-4	1.0	0.0015037085	0.0015190906	0.0015190906	1.0	0.01493574	0.015090848	0.015110547	1.0013053	2.0E-5
6.1	2.883978E-5	2.9134455E-5	2.9134455E-5	1.0	1.235932E-4	1.2485613E-4	1.2485613E-4	1.0	0.0015037085	0.0015190906	0.0015190906	1.0	0.01493574	0.015090848	0.015110547	1.0013053	2.0E-5
6.2	2.883978E-5	2.9134455E-5	2.9134455E-5	1.0	1.235932E-4	1.2485613E-4	1.2485613E-4	1.0	0.0015037085	0.0015190906	0.0015190906	1.0	0.01493574	0.015090848	0.015110547	1.0013053	2.0E-5
6.3	2.2914428E-5	2.264682E-5	2.264682E-5	1.0	9.8200995E-5	9.705422E-5	9.705422E-5	1.0	0.0011949413	0.0011809996	0.0011809996	1.0	0.011885363	0.011748639	0.011768404	1.0016823	2.0E-5
6.4	2.0195741E-5	1.9700938E-5	1.9700938E-5	1.0	8.65503E-5	8.442986E-5	8.442986E-5	1.0	0.0010532405	0.0010274509	0.0010274509	1.0	0.010482626	0.010228057	0.010247853	1.0019354	2.0E-5
6.5	1.9924333E-5	1.9413323E-5	1.9413323E-5	1.0	8.53872E-5	8.3197316E-5	8.3197316E-5	1.0	0.0010390934	0.0010124585	0.0010124585	1.0	0.010342481	0.0100795	0.010099298	1.0019642	2.0E-5
6.6	1.809694E-5	1.7462373E-5	1.7462373E-5	1.0	7.7556004E-5	7.48366E-5	7.48366E-5	1.0	9.438353E-4	9.10756E-4	9.10756E-4	1.0	0.009398366	0.009071182	0.009091001	1.0021847	2.0E-5
6.7	1.675989E-5	1.6046652E-5	1.6046652E-5	1.0	7.182612E-5	6.876956E-5	6.876956E-5	1.0	8.7413215E-4	8.369489E-4	8.369489E-4	1.0	0.008707017	0.008338879	0.008358712	1.0023783	2.0E-5
6.8	1.5401129E-5	1.4617788E-5	1.4617788E-5	1.0	6.6003166E-5	6.264616E-5	6.264616E-5	1.0	8.032922E-4	7.62451E-4	7.62451E-4	1.0	0.008003947	0.007599219	0.007619067	1.0026119	2.0E-5
6.9	1.356559E-5	1.2693429E-5	1.2693429E-5	1.0	5.8136946E-5	5.439928E-5	5.439928E-5	1.0	7.0758746E-4	6.621104E-4	6.621104E-4	1.0	0.007053386	0.0066021862	0.0066220546	1.0030093	2.0E-5
7.0	1.2030819E-5	1.109923E-5	1.109923E-5	1.0	5.155963E-5	4.756726E-5	4.756726E-5	1.0	6.275577E-4	5.789776E-4	5.789776E-4	1.0	0.006257884	0.005775457	0.005795341	1.0034429	2.0E-5
7.1	1.0972698E-5	1.0025332E-5	1.0025332E-5	1.0	4.7025E-5	4.2965E-5	4.2965E-5	1.0	5.72379E-4	5.229734E-4	5.229734E-4	1.0	0.0057090693	0.005218183	0.0052380785	1.0038128	2.0E-5
7.2	9.961926E-6	9.037799E-6	9.037799E-6	1.0	4.2693267E-5	3.873285E-5	3.873285E-5	1.0	5.1966653E-4	4.7147047E-4	4.7147047E-4	1.0	0.00518453	0.0047054524	0.0047253584	1.0042304	2.0E-5
7.3	8.700929E-6	7.8310395E-6	7.8310395E-6	1.0	3.7289166E-5	3.356117E-5	3.356117E-5	1.0	4.53901E-4	4.0853064E-4	4.0853064E-4	1.0	0.00452975	0.00407854	0.004098458	1.0048838	2.0E-5
7.4	7.866285E-6	7.0015717E-6	7.0015717E-6	1.0	3.3712215E-5	3.0006391E-5	3.0006391E-5	1.0	4.103689E-4	3.652666E-4	3.652666E-4	1.0	0.004096119	0.0036474036	0.0036673306	1.0054634	2.0E-5
7.5	6.8381305E-6	5.962434E-6	5.962434E-6	1.0	2.9305946E-5	2.5553038E-5	2.5553038E-5	1.0	3.5674145E-4	3.1106384E-4	3.1106384E-4	1.0	0.0035616932	0.0031070234	0.0031269612	1.006417	2.0E-5
7.6	5.503376E-6	4.5978554E-6	4.5978554E-6	1.0	2.3585684E-5	1.9704947E-5	1.9704947E-5	1.0	2.8711787E-4	2.3988134E-4	2.3988134E-4	1.0	0.002867472	0.002396961	0.002406937	1.004162	1.0E-5
7.7	3.6144982E-6	2.6545886E-6	2.6545886E-6	1.0	1.5490614E-5	1.1376758E-5	1.1376758E-5	1.0	1.8858191E-4	1.3850324E-4	1.3850324E-4	1.0	0.0018842196	0.0013849044	0.0013948905	1.0072107	1.0E-5
7.8	1.9853494E-6	1.1380818E-6	1.1380818E-6	1.0	8.508612E-6	4.8774837E-6	4.8774837E-6	1.0	1.0358743E-4	5.938175E-5	5.938175E-5	1.0	0.0010353916	5.943927E-4	6.043868E-4	1.0168139	1.0E-5
7.9	1.1818757E-6	5.3104844E-7	5.3104844E-7	1.0	5.0651715E-6	2.27592E-6	2.27592E-6	1.0	6.1666724E-5	2.7708973E-5	2.7708973E-5	1.0	6.1649614E-4	2.777518E-4	2.8774902E-4	1.0359933	1.0E-5
8.0	6.962958E-7	2.724504E-7	2.724504E-7	1.0	2.9841215E-6	1.167644E-6	1.167644E-6	1.0	3.6331072E-5	1.4215973E-5	1.4215973E-5	1.0	3.6325134E-4	1.4272005E-4	1.4272005E-4	1.0	0.0
8.1	1.5033264E-7	6.549686E-8	6.549686E-8	1.0	6.442826E-7	2.8070082E-7	2.8070082E-7	1.0	7.844113E-6	3.417527E-6	3.417527E-6	1.0	7.843835E-5	3.419461E-5	3.419461E-5	1.0	0.0

Rinconada 2011 CFM

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	1.5752368E-5	1.627576E-5	1.627576E-5	1.0	6.75084E-5	6.975141E-5	6.975141E-5	1.0	8.2160486E-4	8.488957E-4	8.488957E-4	1.0	0.008185739	0.008456911	0.008476742	1.002345	2.0E-5
6.1	1.0966133E-5	1.1323744E-5	1.1323744E-5	1.0	4.6996865E-5	4.8529433E-5	4.8529433E-5	1.0	5.720366E-4	5.906864E-4	5.906864E-4	1.0	0.0057056635	0.0058912598	0.0058912598	1.0	0.0
6.2	1.0966133E-5	1.1323744E-5	1.1323744E-5	1.0	4.6996865E-5	4.8529433E-5	4.8529433E-5	1.0	5.720366E-4	5.906864E-4	5.906864E-4	1.0	0.0057056635	0.0058912598	0.0058912598	1.0	0.0
6.3	8.926149E-6	9.213347E-6	9.213347E-6	1.0	3.8254362E-5	3.9485174E-5	3.9485174E-5	1.0	4.6564735E-4	4.8062627E-4	4.8062627E-4	1.0	0.0046467283	0.004795913	0.004795913	1.0	0.0
6.4	7.676955E-6	7.920679E-6	7.920679E-6	1.0	3.290082E-5	3.394533E-5	3.394533E-5	1.0	4.0049385E-4	4.1320617E-4	4.1320617E-4	1.0	0.0039977287	0.004124405	0.004124405	1.0	0.0
6.5	6.1671026E-6	6.3593407E-6	6.3593407E-6	1.0	2.6430173E-5	2.7254033E-5	2.7254033E-5	1.0	3.2173982E-4	3.317674E-4	3.317674E-4	1.0	0.003212744	0.0033127333	0.0033127333	1.0	0.0
6.6	5.553456E-6	5.7251577E-6	5.7251577E-6	1.0	2.3800309E-5	2.4536159E-5	2.4536159E-5	1.0	2.897302E-4	2.9868685E-4	2.9868685E-4	1.0	0.0028935277	0.0029828628	0.0029828628	1.0	0.0
6.7	4.787857E-6	4.933603E-6	4.933603E-6	1.0	2.0519226E-5	2.1143842E-5	2.1143842E-5	1.0	2.4979294E-4	2.573959E-4	2.573959E-4	1.0	0.0024951235	0.0025709835	0.0025709835	1.0	0.0
6.8	3.9955166E-6	4.1137146E-6	4.1137146E-6	1.0	1.7123532E-5	1.7630087E-5	1.7630087E-5	1.0	2.0845905E-4	2.1462518E-4	2.1462518E-4	1.0	0.002082636	0.0021441826	0.0021441826	1.0	0.0
6.9	3.4250072E-6	3.5226437E-6	3.5226437E-6	1.0	1.46785205E-5	1.5096957E-5	1.5096957E-5	1.0	1.7869633E-4	1.8378998E-4	1.8378998E-4	1.0	0.001785527	0.0018363822	0.0018363822	1.0	0.0
7.0	2.7712713E-6	2.8468535E-6	2.8468535E-6	1.0	1.1876823E-5	1.2200743E-5	1.2200743E-5	1.0	1.4459073E-4	1.4853393E-4	1.4853393E-4	1.0	0.0014449668	0.0014843482	0.0014843482	1.0	0.0
7.1	2.227358E-6	2.2858178E-6	2.2858178E-6	1.0	9.545785E-6	9.796326E-6	9.796326E-6	1.0	1.16213734E-4	1.1926374E-4	1.1926374E-4	1.0	0.0011615298	0.0011919985	0.0011919985	1.0	0.0
7.2	1.581796E-6	1.6209823E-6	1.6209823E-6	1.0	6.779108E-6	6.9470484E-6	6.9470484E-6	1.0	8.253252E-5	8.4577034E-5	8.4577034E-5	1.0	8.250187E-4	8.4544905E-4	8.4544905E-4	1.0	0.0
7.3	1.0306567E-6	1.0546988E-6	1.0546988E-6	1.0	4.4170924E-6	4.52013E-6	4.52013E-6	1.0	5.3776774E-5	5.5031192E-5	5.5031192E-5	1.0	5.376376E-4	5.501759E-4	5.501759E-4	1.0	0.0
7.4	6.535541E-7	6.6830694E-7	6.6830694E-7	1.0	2.800943E-6	2.8641696E-6	2.8641696E-6	1.0	3.4100947E-5	3.4870707E-5	3.4870707E-5	1.0	3.4095717E-4	3.4865248E-4	3.4865248E-4	1.0	0.0
7.5	3.2656962E-7	3.3318358E-7	3.3318358E-7	1.0	1.3995833E-6	1.4279287E-6	1.4279287E-6	1.0	1.7039794E-5	1.7384895E-5	1.7384895E-5	1.0	1.7038487E-4	1.7383539E-4	1.7383539E-4	1.0	0.0
7.6	9.754343E-8	9.821485E-8	9.821485E-8	1.0	4.180432E-7	4.209207E-7	4.209207E-7	1.0	5.089664E-6	5.1246975E-6	5.1246975E-6	1.0	5.0895473E-5	5.1245803E-5	5.1245803E-5	1.0	0.0
7.7	6.0001453E-9	5.8494627E-9	5.8494627E-9	1.0	2.5714908E-8	2.5069127E-8	2.5069127E-8	1.0	3.1307894E-7	3.0521656E-7	3.0521656E-7	1.0	3.1307852E-6	3.0521617E-6	3.0521617E-6	1.0	0.0
7.8	7.400003E-11	7.4655726E-11	7.4655726E-11	1.0	3.171432E-10	3.1995318E-10	3.1995318E-10	1.0	3.861218E-9	3.8954298E-9	3.8954298E-9	1.0	3.861218E-8	3.8954294E-8	3.8954294E-8	1.0	0.0

Silver Creek 2011 CFM

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	3.5229125E-6	4.012951E-6	4.012951E-6	1.0	1.5098109E-5	1.7198252E-5	1.7198252E-5	1.0	1.8380396E-4	2.0936897E-4	2.0936897E-4	1.0	0.0018365202	0.0020920788	0.002112037	1.0095398	2.0E-5
6.1	3.5229125E-6	4.012951E-6	4.012951E-6	1.0	1.5098109E-5	1.7198252E-5	1.7198252E-5	1.0	1.8380396E-4	2.0936897E-4	2.0936897E-4	1.0	0.0018365202	0.0020920788	0.002112037	1.0095398	2.0E-5
6.2	2.6363234E-6	3.115316E-6	3.115316E-6	1.0	1.129848E-5	1.3351287E-5	1.3351287E-5	1.0	1.375503E-4	1.6253986E-4	1.6253986E-4	1.0	0.0013746519	0.0016245405	0.001644508	1.0122912	2.0E-5
6.3	2.5275126E-6	3.0049519E-6	3.0049519E-6	1.0	1.0832152E-5	1.2878302E-5	1.2878302E-5	1.0	1.3187347E-4	1.567821E-4	1.567821E-4	1.0	0.0013179524	0.0015670448	0.0015870135	1.0127429	2.0E-5
6.4	2.178732E-6	2.675427E-6	2.675427E-6	1.0	9.337389E-6	1.1466065E-5	1.1466065E-5	1.0	1.1367678E-4	1.3959044E-4	1.3959044E-4	1.0	0.0011361865	0.001395355	0.0014153271	1.0143132	2.0E-5
6.5	2.0341574E-6	2.5344941E-6	2.5344941E-6	1.0	8.717788E-6	1.08620725E-5	1.08620725E-5	1.0	1.061339E-4	1.3223774E-4	1.3223774E-4	1.0	0.0010608323	0.0013219175	0.0013418911	1.0151095	2.0E-5
6.6	1.8856827E-6	2.3659886E-6	2.3659886E-6	1.0	8.0814725E-6	1.0139912E-5	1.0139912E-5	1.0	9.838748E-5	1.2344646E-4	1.2344646E-4	1.0	9.834393E-4	0.0012341056	0.0012540808	1.0161861	2.0E-5
6.7	1.6844668E-6	2.1242317E-6	2.1242317E-6	1.0	7.2191233E-6	9.103818E-6	9.103818E-6	1.0	8.788928E-5	1.1083337E-4	1.1083337E-4	1.0	8.785453E-4	0.0011081068	0.0011280846	1.0180289	2.0E-5
6.8	1.5177161E-6	1.8995809E-6	1.8995809E-6	1.0	6.504481E-6	8.141035E-6	8.141035E-6	1.0	7.918918E-5	9.911261E-5	9.911261E-5	1.0	7.9160964E-4	9.910094E-4	0.0010009996	1.0100807	1.0E-5
6.9	1.3437394E-6	1.6600129E-6	1.6600129E-6	1.0	5.7588704E-6	7.1143218E-6	7.1143218E-6	1.0	7.011199E-5	8.661343E-5	8.661343E-5	1.0	7.0089876E-4	8.661216E-4	8.661216E-4	1.0	0.0
7.0	1.1563575E-6	1.4349142E-6	1.4349142E-6	1.0	4.9558084E-6	6.149618E-6	6.149618E-6	1.0	6.03353E-5	7.486903E-5	7.486903E-5	1.0	6.0318917E-4	7.4876286E-4	7.4876286E-4	1.0	0.0
7.1	8.602183E-7	1.09233E-6	1.09233E-6	1.0	3.6866445E-6	4.6814057E-6	4.6814057E-6	1.0	4.4883975E-5	5.6994624E-5	5.6994624E-5	1.0	4.4874908E-4	5.701247E-4	5.701247E-4	1.0	0.0
7.2	6.788407E-7	8.650751E-7	8.650751E-7	1.0	2.9093142E-6	3.7074592E-6	3.7074592E-6	1.0	3.5420322E-5	4.513738E-5	4.513738E-5	1.0	3.541468E-4	4.5160673E-4	4.5160673E-4	1.0	0.0
7.3	5.1292045E-7	6.718798E-7	6.718798E-7	1.0	2.1982287E-6	2.8794816E-6	2.8794816E-6	1.0	2.6763106E-5	3.5057124E-5	3.5057124E-5	1.0	2.6759884E-4	3.508405E-4	3.508405E-4	1.0	0.0
7.4	3.820994E-7	5.0834836E-7	5.0834836E-7	1.0	1.6375678E-6	2.178634E-6	2.178634E-6	1.0	1.9937206E-5	2.6524545E-5	2.6524545E-5	1.0	1.9935417E-4	2.6553837E-4	2.6553837E-4	1.0	0.0
7.5	2.2292595E-7	3.083866E-7	3.083866E-7	1.0	9.553966E-7	1.3216561E-6	1.3216561E-6	1.0	1.16318915E-5	1.6091044E-5	1.6091044E-5	1.0	1.16312825E-4	1.6122335E-4	1.6122335E-4	1.0	0.0
7.6	1.420587E-7	2.1061783E-7	2.1061783E-7	1.0	6.088228E-7	9.026475E-7	9.026475E-7	1.0	7.4123927E-6	1.0989678E-5	1.0989678E-5	1.0	7.412145E-5	1.10215624E-4	1.10215624E-4	1.0	0.0
7.7	1.1250075E-7	1.7006248E-7	1.7006248E-7	1.0	4.82146E-7	7.28839E-7	7.28839E-7	1.0	5.8701116E-6	8.873579E-6	8.873579E-6	1.0	5.8699567E-5	8.905174E-5	8.905174E-5	1.0	0.0
7.8	8.592761E-8	1.3764858E-7	1.3764858E-7	1.0	3.682611E-7	5.8992237E-7	5.8992237E-7	1.0	4.48357E-6	7.182281E-6	7.182281E-6	1.0	4.4834796E-5	7.2128176E-5	7.2128176E-5	1.0	0.0
7.9	6.156529E-8	1.0830247E-7	1.0830247E-7	1.0	2.638512E-7	4.6415337E-7	4.6415337E-7	1.0	3.212384E-6	5.6510526E-6	5.6510526E-6	1.0	3.2123375E-5	5.6771325E-5	5.6771325E-5	1.0	0.0
8.0	2.9230547E-8	5.4304294E-8	5.4304294E-8	1.0	1.2527377E-7	2.3273266E-7	2.3273266E-7	1.0	1.525207E-6	2.8335164E-6	2.8335164E-6	1.0	1.5251966E-5	2.8472883E-5	2.8472883E-5	1.0	0.0
8.1	5.6062213E-9	7.963622E-9	7.963622E-9	1.0	2.4026663E-8	3.412981E-8	3.412981E-8	1.0	2.925246E-7	4.155303E-7	4.155303E-7	1.0	2.925242E-6	4.1953667E-6	4.1953667E-6	1.0	0.0

Lost Hills

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	2.233523E-5	2.5112586E-5	2.5112586E-5	1.0	9.571891E-5	1.07621876E-4	1.07621876E-4	1.0	0.0011647546	0.0013096769	0.0013196638	1.0076255	1.0E-5	0.011586686	0.013036191	0.013055931	1.0015142	2.0E-5
6.1	2.233523E-5	2.5112586E-5	2.5112586E-5	1.0	9.571891E-5	1.07621876E-4	1.07621876E-4	1.0	0.0011647546	0.0013096769	0.0013196638	1.0076255	1.0E-5	0.011586686	0.013036191	0.013055931	1.0015142	2.0E-5
6.2	2.233523E-5	2.5112586E-5	2.5112586E-5	1.0	9.571891E-5	1.07621876E-4	1.07621876E-4	1.0	0.0011647546	0.0013096769	0.0013196638	1.0076255	1.0E-5	0.011586686	0.013036191	0.013055931	1.0015142	2.0E-5
6.3	2.233523E-5	2.5112586E-5	2.5112586E-5	1.0	9.571891E-5	1.07621876E-4	1.07621876E-4	1.0	0.0011647546	0.0013096769	0.0013196638	1.0076255	1.0E-5	0.011586686	0.013036191	0.013055931	1.0015142	2.0E-5
6.4	1.2288092E-5	1.37843335E-5	1.37843335E-5	1.0	5.2662188E-5	5.9074908E-5	5.9074908E-5	1.0	6.409735E-4	7.190935E-4	7.190935E-4	1.0	0.0	0.006391279	0.007176877	0.0071868054	1.0013833	1.0E-5
6.5	1.2288092E-5	1.37843335E-5	1.37843335E-5	1.0	5.2662188E-5	5.9074908E-5	5.9074908E-5	1.0	6.409735E-4	7.190935E-4	7.190935E-4	1.0	0.0	0.006391279	0.007176877	0.0071868054	1.0013833	1.0E-5
6.6	8.58281E-6	9.636043E-6	9.636043E-6	1.0	3.6782953E-5	4.1297142E-5	4.1297142E-5	1.0	4.4774043E-4	5.0275994E-4	5.0275994E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0044683935	0.0050243894	0.0050243894	1.0	0.0
6.7	7.205685E-6	8.090211E-6	8.090211E-6	1.0	3.088114E-5	3.4672332E-5	3.4672332E-5	1.0	3.7591302E-4	4.2213564E-4	4.2213564E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0037527776	0.0042213565	0.0042213565	1.0	0.0

Butano 2011 CFM

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	9.561135E-6	6.238798E-6	6.238798E-6	1.0	4.097565E-5	2.6737443E-5	2.6737443E-5	1.0	4.9876433E-4	3.2548196E-4	3.4547545E-4	1.0614274	2.0E-5	0.004976464	0.003267767	0.0032877014	1.0061004	2.0E-5
6.1	9.561135E-6	6.238798E-6	6.238798E-6	1.0	4.097565E-5	2.6737443E-5	2.6737443E-5	1.0	4.9876433E-4	3.2548196E-4	3.4547545E-4	1.0614274	2.0E-5	0.004976464	0.003267767	0.0032877014	1.0061004	2.0E-5
6.2	8.364741E-6	4.9917817E-6	4.9917817E-6	1.0	3.5848396E-5	2.1393183E-5	2.1393183E-5	1.0	4.3636683E-4	2.6043245E-4	2.8042725E-4	1.0767753	2.0E-5	0.0043551093	0.002618935	0.0026388825	1.0076166	2.0E-5
6.3	8.364741E-6	4.9917817E-6	4.9917817E-6	1.0	3.5848396E-5	2.1393183E-5	2.1393183E-5	1.0	4.3636683E-4	2.6043245E-4	2.8042725E-4	1.0767753	2.0E-5	0.0043551093	0.002618935	0.0026388825	1.0076166	2.0E-5
6.4	7.768282E-6	4.369678E-6	4.369678E-6	1.0	3.329221E-5	1.8727065E-5	1.8727065E-5	1.0	4.0525728E-4	2.2797952E-4	2.4797497E-4	1.0877072	2.0E-5	0.0040451903	0.0022951036	0.0023150577	1.0086942	2.0E-5
6.5	7.673437E-6	4.26923E-6	4.26923E-6	1.0	3.2885746E-5	1.8296578E-5	1.8296578E-5	1.0	4.0031038E-4	2.2273941E-4	2.3273719E-4	1.0448855	1.0E-5	0.0039959005	0.0022428085	0.002252786	1.0044487	1.0E-5
6.6	7.5244197E-6	4.1141748E-6	4.1141748E-6	1.0	3.2247113E-5	1.7632066E-5	1.7632066E-5	1.0	3.9253788E-4	2.146506E-4	2.2464845E-4	1.0465773	1.0E-5	0.003918452	0.0021620796	0.002172058	1.0046152	1.0E-5
6.7	6.4921405E-6	3.0540987E-6	3.0540987E-6	1.0	2.7823162E-5	1.3088928E-5	1.3088928E-5	1.0	3.3869434E-4	1.5934613E-4	1.5934613E-4	1.0	0.0	0.003381786	0.001609852	0.001609852	1.0	0.0
6.8	6.2890294E-6	2.840833E-6	2.840833E-6	1.0	2.6952705E-5	1.2174942E-5	1.2174942E-5	1.0	3.2809976E-4	1.4821991E-4	1.4821991E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0032761577	0.0014987447	0.0014987447	1.0	0.0
6.9	6.0965517E-6	2.6473087E-6	2.6473087E-6	1.0	2.6127816E-5	1.134556E-5	1.134556E-5	1.0	3.1805973E-4	1.381235E-4	1.381235E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0031760489	0.0013979112	0.0013979112	1.0	0.0
7.0	5.566252E-6	2.1645799E-6	2.1645799E-6	1.0	2.3855147E-5	9.276738E-6	9.276738E-6	1.0	2.9039773E-4	1.1293847E-4	1.1293847E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0029001853	0.0011463423	0.0011463423	1.0	0.0
7.1	3.878588E-6	1.6140211E-6	1.6140211E-6	1.0	1.6622414E-5	6.9172147E-6	6.9172147E-6	1.0	2.023591E-4	8.421384E-5	8.421384E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0020217493	8.5894833E-4	8.5894833E-4	1.0	0.0
7.2	3.7038085E-6	1.4949356E-6	1.4949356E-6	1.0	1.587337E-5	6.4068513E-6	6.4068513E-6	1.0	1.9324113E-4	7.800062E-5	7.800062E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0019307317	7.9682923E-4	7.9682923E-4	1.0	0.0
7.3	3.5277278E-6	1.4029091E-6	1.4029091E-6	1.0	1.5118746E-5	6.0124535E-6	6.0124535E-6	1.0	1.8405518E-4	7.319916E-5	7.319916E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0018390282	7.487599E-4	7.487599E-4	1.0	0.0
7.4	3.3711294E-6	1.3399828E-6	1.3399828E-6	1.0	1.4447617E-5	5.7427706E-6	5.7427706E-6	1.0	1.7588554E-4	6.991599E-5	6.991599E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0017574639	7.158971E-4	7.158971E-4	1.0	0.0
7.5	3.0496426E-6	1.2285157E-6	1.2285157E-6	1.0	1.3069831E-5	5.2650566E-6	5.2650566E-6	1.0	1.5911358E-4	6.4100175E-5	6.4100175E-5	1.0	0.0	0.001589997	6.577039E-4	6.577039E-4	1.0	0.0
7.6	2.2179781E-6	8.9543187E-7	8.9543187E-7	1.0	9.505586E-6	3.8375597E-6	3.8375597E-6	1.0	1.1572436E-4	4.6721285E-5	4.6721285E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0011566412	4.838956E-4	4.838956E-4	1.0	0.0
7.7	1.7519328E-6	7.005572E-7	7.005572E-7	1.0	7.508262E-6	3.0023846E-6	3.0023846E-6	1.0	9.140925E-5	3.6553418E-5	3.6553418E-5	1.0	0.0	9.137166E-4	3.8151725E-4	3.8151725E-4	1.0	0.0
7.8	1.1478974E-6	6.242374E-7	6.242374E-7	1.0	4.9195505E-6	2.6753003E-6	2.6753003E-6	1.0	5.9893882E-5	3.2571294E-5	3.2571294E-5	1.0	0.0	5.9877743E-4	3.4137085E-4	3.4137085E-4	1.0	0.0
7.9	6.1154634E-7	5.641511E-7	5.641511E-7	1.0	2.6209104E-6	2.4177882E-6	2.4177882E-6	1.0	3.1909116E-5	2.9436173E-5	2.9436173E-5	1.0	0.0	3.1904536E-4	3.0877496E-4	3.0877496E-4	1.0	0.0
8.0	4.6520046E-7	5.243843E-7	5.243843E-7	1.0	1.9937147E-6	2.2473594E-6	2.2473594E-6	1.0	2.4273206E-5	2.7361255E-5	2.7361255E-5	1.0	0.0	2.4270554E-4	2.8704898E-4	2.8704898E-4	1.0	0.0
8.1	2.8425194E-7	3.0879764E-7	3.0879764E-7	1.0	1.218222E-6	1.3234178E-6	1.3234178E-6	1.0	1.4831752E-5	1.6112492E-5	1.6112492E-5	1.0	0.0	1.4830762E-4	1.6903698E-4	1.6903698E-4	1.0	0.0
8.2	5.585778E-8	4.104121E-8	4.104121E-8	1.0	2.3939046E-7	1.758909E-7	1.758909E-7	1.0	2.914575E-6	2.1414696E-6	2.1414696E-6	1.0	0.0	2.9145367E-5	2.3258122E-5	2.3258122E-5	1.0	0.0
8.3	1.0371215E-10	5.4345306E-11	5.4345306E-11	1.0	4.4448079E-10	2.3290803E-10	2.3290803E-10	1.0	5.4115543E-9	2.835654E-9	2.835654E-9	1.0	0.0	5.4115542E-8	3.2597157E-8	3.2597157E-8	1.0	0.0

San Andreas (San Gorgonio Pass-Garnet HIll)

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	8.31567E-5	2.3442265E-4	2.3442265E-4	1.0	3.5633717E-4	0.0010042794	0.0010042794	1.0	0.004329778	0.012158454	0.0121782115	1.001625	2.0E-5	0.042463828	0.11282446	0.11284221	1.0001572	2.0E-5
6.1	8.31567E-5	2.3442265E-4	2.3442265E-4	1.0	3.5633717E-4	0.0010042794	0.0010042794	1.0	0.004329778	0.012158454	0.0121782115	1.001625	2.0E-5	0.042463828	0.11282446	0.11284221	1.0001572	2.0E-5
6.2	8.31567E-5	2.3442265E-4	2.3442265E-4	1.0	3.5633717E-4	0.0010042794	0.0010042794	1.0	0.004329778	0.012158454	0.0121782115	1.001625	2.0E-5	0.042463828	0.11282446	0.11284221	1.0001572	2.0E-5
6.3	8.31567E-5	2.3442265E-4	2.3442265E-4	1.0	3.5633717E-4	0.0010042794	0.0010042794	1.0	0.004329778	0.012158454	0.0121782115	1.001625	2.0E-5	0.042463828	0.11282446	0.11284221	1.0001572	2.0E-5
6.4	8.059055E-5	2.2999418E-4	2.2999418E-4	1.0	3.4534236E-4	9.853188E-4	9.853188E-4	1.0	0.0041964394	0.011930486	0.011950247	1.0016564	2.0E-5	0.041180745	0.11080468	0.11082246	1.0001605	2.0E-5
6.5	8.059055E-5	2.2999418E-4	2.2999418E-4	1.0	3.4534236E-4	9.853188E-4	9.853188E-4	1.0	0.0041964394	0.011930486	0.011950247	1.0016564	2.0E-5	0.041180745	0.11080468	0.11082246	1.0001605	2.0E-5
6.6	7.619237E-5	2.2243494E-4	2.2243494E-4	1.0	3.2649786E-4	9.529466E-4	9.529466E-4	1.0	0.0039678677	0.011540954	0.011560723	1.0017129	2.0E-5	0.03897764	0.107340075	0.10735793	1.0001663	2.0E-5
6.7	7.440636E-5	2.191918E-4	2.191918E-4	1.0	3.188454E-4	9.3905756E-4	9.3905756E-4	1.0	0.0038750346	0.011373628	0.011393401	1.0017384	2.0E-5	0.038081564	0.10584821	0.1058661	1.0001689	2.0E-5
6.8	7.3735864E-5	2.1766272E-4	2.1766272E-4	1.0	3.1597257E-4	9.32509E-4	9.32509E-4	1.0	0.0038401815	0.011294731	0.011314506	1.0017507	2.0E-5	0.03774495	0.1051495	0.1051674	1.0001702	2.0E-5
6.9	7.27575E-5	2.1535151E-4	2.1535151E-4	1.0	3.117806E-4	9.226108E-4	9.226108E-4	1.0	0.003789323	0.011175464	0.011195241	1.0017697	2.0E-5	0.037253562	0.10409731	0.104115225	1.0001721	2.0E-5
7.0	7.102591E-5	2.111894E-4	2.111894E-4	1.0	3.0436125E-4	9.047857E-4	9.047857E-4	1.0	0.003699303	0.010960644	0.0109804245	1.0018047	2.0E-5	0.03638325	0.10219848	0.10221644	1.0001757	2.0E-5
7.1	7.028513E-5	2.0954468E-4	2.0954468E-4	1.0	3.0118722E-4	8.977418E-4	8.977418E-4	1.0	0.0036607897	0.010875745	0.010895527	1.0018189	2.0E-5	0.036010686	0.10144131	0.10145928	1.0001771	2.0E-5
7.2	6.8498244E-5	2.0562056E-4	2.0562056E-4	1.0	2.9353087E-4	8.809356E-4	8.809356E-4	1.0	0.003567883	0.010673149	0.010692935	1.0018538	2.0E-5	0.035111405	0.099632524	0.099650525	1.0001807	2.0E-5
7.3	6.622592E-5	1.9788598E-4	1.9788598E-4	1.0	2.8379448E-4	8.478093E-4	8.478093E-4	1.0	0.0034497243	0.010273709	0.010293503	1.0019267	2.0E-5	0.033966612	0.096126504	0.09614459	1.0001881	2.0E-5
7.4	5.1050705E-5	1.4737909E-4	1.4737909E-4	1.0	2.1877038E-4	6.314727E-4	6.314727E-4	1.0	0.002660276	0.007661272	0.007681119	1.0025905	2.0E-5	0.02628654	0.07307384	0.07309238	1.0002537	2.0E-5
7.5	3.9302922E-5	1.1172402E-4	1.1172402E-4	1.0	1.6843023E-4	4.7872966E-4	4.7872966E-4	1.0	0.0020487092	0.005813027	0.0058329105	1.0034206	2.0E-5	0.020299247	0.056197945	0.05621682	1.0003359	2.0E-5
7.6	2.9851626E-5	8.532898E-5	8.532898E-5	1.0	1.2792926E-4	3.6564452E-4	3.6564452E-4	1.0	0.0015564259	0.0044426606	0.004462572	1.0044818	2.0E-5	0.0154556995	0.043363757	0.04338289	1.0004412	2.0E-5
7.7	2.1135214E-5	6.38665E-5	6.38665E-5	1.0	9.0576345E-5	2.7368488E-4	2.7368488E-4	1.0	0.0011022091	0.0033270277	0.003346961	1.0059913	2.0E-5	0.010967582	0.032735404	0.03275475	1.0005909	2.0E-5
7.8	1.883379E-5	5.594973E-5	5.594973E-5	1.0	8.0713755E-5	2.3976255E-4	2.3976255E-4	1.0	9.822468E-4	0.0029152047	0.0029351464	1.0068406	2.0E-5	0.0097791655	0.028836189	0.028855613	1.0006735	2.0E-5
7.9	1.5156185E-5	4.1913132E-5	4.1913132E-5	1.0	6.495346E-5	1.7961535E-4	1.7961535E-4	1.0	7.9052144E-4	0.002184625	0.0022045814	1.0091349	2.0E-5	0.007877152	0.021877227	0.021896789	1.0008942	2.0E-5
8.0	1.1405907E-5	3.0167012E-5	3.0167012E-5	1.0	4.8881542E-5	1.2928079E-4	1.2928079E-4	1.0	5.9497025E-4	0.0015728582	0.0015828426	1.0063479	1.0E-5	0.005933798	0.015862875	0.015872715	1.0006204	1.0E-5
8.1	4.3511436E-6	7.4406876E-6	7.4406876E-6	1.0	1.8647626E-5	3.1888274E-5	3.1888274E-5	1.0	2.2701119E-4	3.8817068E-4	3.981668E-4	1.0257518	1.0E-5	0.0022677942	0.004152225	0.004162183	1.0023984	1.0E-5
8.2	2.3042528E-6	2.7662643E-6	2.7662643E-6	1.0	9.875332E-6	1.1855365E-5	1.1855365E-5	1.0	1.2022553E-4	1.4432956E-4	1.5432811E-4	1.0692759	1.0E-5	0.0012016051	0.001615473	0.0016254568	1.0061802	1.0E-5
8.3	5.202968E-7	3.2076272E-7	3.2076272E-7	1.0	2.2298414E-6	1.3746967E-6	1.3746967E-6	1.0	2.714798E-5	1.6736816E-5	1.6736816E-5	1.0	0.0	2.7144665E-4	1.9837209E-4	1.9837209E-4	1.0	0.0

San Jacinto (Anza) rev

(top)

1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	6.3015636E-5	4.3556713E-5	4.3556713E-5	1.0	2.7003905E-4	1.8665833E-4	1.8665833E-4	1.0	0.0032827691	0.0022702087	0.002280186	1.0043949	1.0E-5	0.032346968	0.023431234	0.023441	1.0004168	1.0E-5
6.1	6.3015636E-5	4.3556713E-5	4.3556713E-5	1.0	2.7003905E-4	1.8665833E-4	1.8665833E-4	1.0	0.0032827691	0.0022702087	0.002280186	1.0043949	1.0E-5	0.032346968	0.023431234	0.023441	1.0004168	1.0E-5
6.2	6.3015636E-5	4.3556713E-5	4.3556713E-5	1.0	2.7003905E-4	1.8665833E-4	1.8665833E-4	1.0	0.0032827691	0.0022702087	0.002280186	1.0043949	1.0E-5	0.032346968	0.023431234	0.023441	1.0004168	1.0E-5
6.3	6.3015636E-5	4.3556713E-5	4.3556713E-5	1.0	2.7003905E-4	1.8665833E-4	1.8665833E-4	1.0	0.0032827691	0.0022702087	0.002280186	1.0043949	1.0E-5	0.032346968	0.023431234	0.023441	1.0004168	1.0E-5
6.4	6.3015636E-5	4.3556713E-5	4.3556713E-5	1.0	2.7003905E-4	1.8665833E-4	1.8665833E-4	1.0	0.0032827691	0.0022702087	0.002280186	1.0043949	1.0E-5	0.032346968	0.023431234	0.023441	1.0004168	1.0E-5
6.5	5.811017E-5	4.032445E-5	4.032445E-5	1.0	2.4901982E-4	1.7280766E-4	1.7280766E-4	1.0	0.0030276014	0.0021019087	0.0021118878	1.0047476	1.0E-5	0.02986684	0.021723542	0.021733325	1.0004504	1.0E-5
6.6	5.811017E-5	4.032445E-5	4.032445E-5	1.0	2.4901982E-4	1.7280766E-4	1.7280766E-4	1.0	0.0030276014	0.0021019087	0.0021118878	1.0047476	1.0E-5	0.02986684	0.021723542	0.021733325	1.0004504	1.0E-5
6.7	5.712442E-5	3.974471E-5	3.974471E-5	1.0	2.4479596E-4	1.7032339E-4	1.7032339E-4	1.0	0.0029763177	0.0020717205	0.0020816997	1.0048169	1.0E-5	0.029367693	0.02141267	0.021422457	1.000457	1.0E-5
6.8	5.6967532E-5	3.960055E-5	3.960055E-5	1.0	2.4412372E-4	1.6970563E-4	1.6970563E-4	1.0	0.0029681553	0.0020642136	0.002074193	1.0048344	1.0E-5	0.029288229	0.02133661	0.021346396	1.0004587	1.0E-5
6.9	5.6211324E-5	3.9303824E-5	3.9303824E-5	1.0	2.4088343E-4	1.6843413E-4	1.6843413E-4	1.0	0.0029288116	0.0020487623	0.0020587416	1.004871	1.0E-5	0.028905109	0.021175219	0.021185007	1.0004623	1.0E-5
7.0	5.4383527E-5	3.8158974E-5	3.8158974E-5	1.0	2.3305144E-4	1.6352824E-4	1.6352824E-4	1.0	0.0028337094	0.0019891432	0.0019991233	1.0050173	1.0E-5	0.027978465	0.020559916	0.02056971	1.0004764	1.0E-5
7.1	5.1393665E-5	3.6612026E-5	3.6612026E-5	1.0	2.2023996E-4	1.5689927E-4	1.5689927E-4	1.0	0.0026781242	0.0019085791	0.0019185601	1.0052295	1.0E-5	0.026460782	0.019730551	0.019740354	1.0004969	1.0E-5
7.2	4.785222E-5	3.4954675E-5	3.4954675E-5	1.0	2.0506482E-4	1.4979717E-4	1.4979717E-4	1.0	0.0024938055	0.0018222585	0.0018322403	1.0054777	1.0E-5	0.024660049	0.018839056	0.018848868	1.0005208	1.0E-5
7.3	4.2143256E-5	3.4042478E-5	3.4042478E-5	1.0	1.8060145E-4	1.458882E-4	1.458882E-4	1.0	0.002196605	0.0017747453	0.0017847276	1.0056247	1.0E-5	0.02175019	0.018344134	0.01835395	1.0005351	1.0E-5
7.4	4.0264713E-5	3.367864E-5	3.367864E-5	1.0	1.7255165E-4	1.4432907E-4	1.4432907E-4	1.0	0.002098792	0.0017557935	0.001765776	1.0056854	1.0E-5	0.020790804	0.01814769	0.01815751	1.0005411	1.0E-5
7.5	3.694492E-5	3.2387154E-5	3.2387154E-5	1.0	1.5832575E-4	1.3879473E-4	1.3879473E-4	1.0	0.0019259118	0.0016885191	0.0016985022	1.0059123	1.0E-5	0.01909306	0.017461387	0.017471213	1.0005627	1.0E-5
7.6	3.200565E-5	2.9691066E-5	2.9691066E-5	1.0	1.3715986E-4	1.2724123E-4	1.2724123E-4	1.0	0.001668642	0.0015480634	0.0015580478	1.0064497	1.0E-5	0.01656168	0.016043462	0.016053302	1.0006133	1.0E-5
7.7	2.731642E-5	2.6274469E-5	2.6274469E-5	1.0	1.1706512E-4	1.1260001E-4	1.1260001E-4	1.0	0.001424336	0.0013700441	0.0013800303	1.007289	1.0E-5	0.014152412	0.014261598	0.014271456	1.0006912	1.0E-5
7.8	2.3466424E-5	2.3679226E-5	2.3679226E-5	1.0	1.0056651E-4	1.0147846E-4	1.0147846E-4	1.0	0.0012237094	0.0012348008	0.0012447884	1.0080885	1.0E-5	0.012169928	0.012899987	0.0129098585	1.0007652	1.0E-5
7.9	1.8611925E-5	1.906538E-5	1.906538E-5	1.0	7.9762955E-5	8.170622E-5	8.170622E-5	1.0	9.7068126E-4	9.943199E-4	0.00100431	1.0100471	1.0E-5	0.0096645225	0.01047624	0.010486135	1.0009445	1.0E-5
8.0	1.5460775E-5	1.5880722E-5	1.5880722E-5	1.0	6.6258784E-5	6.805846E-5	6.805846E-5	1.0	8.0640207E-4	8.282975E-4	8.382892E-4	1.0120629	1.0E-5	0.008034821	0.008776305	0.008786218	1.0011294	1.0E-5
8.1	9.983884E-6	8.351906E-6	8.351906E-6	1.0	4.2787375E-5	3.5793397E-5	3.5793397E-5	1.0	5.2081177E-4	4.35698E-4	4.4569364E-4	1.0229417	1.0E-5	0.0051959283	0.004683998	0.0046939515	1.0021249	1.0E-5
8.2	4.1226E-6	1.5761796E-6	1.5761796E-6	1.0	1.7668166E-5	6.7550377E-6	6.7550377E-6	1.0	2.1508869E-4	8.223951E-5	8.223951E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0021488064	9.5377007E-4	9.5377007E-4	1.0	0.0
8.3	1.2750878E-6	3.6753468E-7	3.6753468E-7	1.0	5.4646503E-6	1.5751477E-6	1.5751477E-6	1.0	6.653009E-5	1.917726E-5	1.917726E-5	1.0	0.0	6.6510175E-4	2.3106944E-4	2.3106944E-4	1.0	0.0

San Andreas (Coachella) rev

(top)

1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	1.1925945E-4	3.2795544E-4	3.2795544E-4	1.0	5.110118E-4	0.001404771	0.001404771	1.0	0.0062038354	0.016970305	0.016980136	1.0005792	1.0E-5	0.060334753	0.15290765	0.15291613	1.0000554	1.0E-5
6.1	1.1925945E-4	3.2795544E-4	3.2795544E-4	1.0	5.110118E-4	0.001404771	0.001404771	1.0	0.0062038354	0.016970305	0.016980136	1.0005792	1.0E-5	0.060334753	0.15290765	0.15291613	1.0000554	1.0E-5
6.2	1.07432395E-4	3.0295792E-4	3.0295792E-4	1.0	4.603433E-4	0.001297749	0.001297749	1.0	0.005590286	0.015686732	0.015696576	1.0006275	1.0E-5	0.05451731	0.14208044	0.14208902	1.0000604	1.0E-5
6.3	1.0718766E-4	3.0241095E-4	3.0241095E-4	1.0	4.592948E-4	0.0012954072	0.0012954072	1.0	0.005577586	0.01565863	0.015668474	1.0006286	1.0E-5	0.054396555	0.14184873	0.14185731	1.0000604	1.0E-5
6.4	1.0355944E-4	2.9449092E-4	2.9449092E-4	1.0	4.4375064E-4	0.0012614974	0.0012614974	1.0	0.0053892885	0.01525163	0.015261478	1.0006456	1.0E-5	0.052604496	0.13841268	0.1384213	1.0000622	1.0E-5
6.5	1.0227914E-4	2.9168493E-4	2.9168493E-4	1.0	4.382655E-4	0.0012494833	0.0012494833	1.0	0.0053228354	0.015107397	0.015117246	1.000652	1.0E-5	0.051971316	0.13719806	0.13720669	1.000063	1.0E-5
6.6	1.0116757E-4	2.8934213E-4	2.8934213E-4	1.0	4.3350324E-4	0.0012394523	0.0012394523	1.0	0.0052651367	0.014986955	0.014996805	1.0006572	1.0E-5	0.051421247	0.13617665	0.13618529	1.0000634	1.0E-5
6.7	1.0050676E-4	2.8792757E-4	2.8792757E-4	1.0	4.3067214E-4	0.0012333957	0.0012333957	1.0	0.005230834	0.014914227	0.014924078	1.0006605	1.0E-5	0.051094085	0.1355612	0.13556984	1.0000638	1.0E-5
6.8	9.976819E-5	2.8596332E-4	2.8596332E-4	1.0	4.2750788E-4	0.0012249855	0.0012249855	1.0	0.0051924936	0.01481323	0.014823082	1.0006651	1.0E-5	0.050728295	0.13471319	0.13472185	1.0000643	1.0E-5
6.9	9.77719E-5	2.8092792E-4	2.8092792E-4	1.0	4.1895514E-4	0.0012034252	0.0012034252	1.0	0.0050888555	0.014554271	0.014564125	1.0006771	1.0E-5	0.049738888	0.13254105	0.13254972	1.0000654	1.0E-5
7.0	8.500761E-5	2.4823844E-4	2.4823844E-4	1.0	3.6426744E-4	0.0010634485	0.0010634485	1.0	0.0044259406	0.0128714	0.012881272	1.0007669	1.0E-5	0.04338823	0.118382566	0.11839138	1.0000745	1.0E-5
7.1	8.319876E-5	2.4425896E-4	2.4425896E-4	1.0	3.5651738E-4	0.0010464074	0.0010464074	1.0	0.004331963	0.012666356	0.012676229	1.0007795	1.0E-5	0.042484846	0.11660042	0.11660925	1.0000758	1.0E-5
7.2	7.563917E-5	2.2472508E-4	2.2472508E-4	1.0	3.2412758E-4	9.627551E-4	9.627551E-4	1.0	0.0039391145	0.0116592385	0.011669123	1.0008477	1.0E-5	0.03870018	0.10800197	0.10801089	1.0000826	1.0E-5
7.3	7.082985E-5	2.0786376E-4	2.0786376E-4	1.0	3.0352117E-4	8.905435E-4	8.905435E-4	1.0	0.0036891096	0.010789094	0.010798986	1.0009168	1.0E-5	0.03628465	0.10051835	0.10052735	1.0000895	1.0E-5
7.4	5.146215E-5	1.4319994E-4	1.4319994E-4	1.0	2.2053342E-4	6.1357056E-4	6.1357056E-4	1.0	0.0026816884	0.007444825	0.0074547506	1.0013332	1.0E-5	0.02649557	0.07105118	0.07106047	1.0001308	1.0E-5
7.5	4.0285166E-5	1.09817316E-4	1.09817316E-4	1.0	1.7263928E-4	4.705611E-4	4.705611E-4	1.0	0.002099857	0.0057141017	0.0057240445	1.0017401	1.0E-5	0.020801254	0.05518945	0.055198897	1.0001712	1.0E-5
7.6	3.1168736E-5	8.4746214E-5	8.4746214E-5	1.0	1.3357346E-4	3.631476E-4	3.631476E-4	1.0	0.0016250437	0.0044123856	0.0044223415	1.0022564	1.0E-5	0.016132116	0.04297056	0.04298013	1.0002227	1.0E-5
7.7	2.2100989E-5	6.2702165E-5	6.2702165E-5	1.0	9.4715084E-5	2.686959E-4	2.686959E-4	1.0	0.001152546	0.003266472	0.0032764392	1.0030514	1.0E-5	0.011465867	0.032043032	0.032052714	1.0003021	1.0E-5
7.8	1.7484861E-5	5.2076255E-5	5.2076255E-5	1.0	7.493296E-5	2.2316487E-4	2.2316487E-4	1.0	9.1192697E-4	0.00271365	0.0027236228	1.0036751	1.0E-5	0.009081938	0.02676803	0.026777763	1.0003636	1.0E-5
7.9	1.3967285E-5	3.8453007E-5	3.8453007E-5	1.0	5.985842E-5	1.6478819E-4	1.6478819E-4	1.0	7.2853256E-4	0.0020044514	0.0020144312	1.0049789	1.0E-5	0.0072614877	0.020016097	0.020025896	1.0004896	1.0E-5
8.0	1.1887396E-5	3.1263775E-5	3.1263775E-5	1.0	5.094499E-5	1.3398073E-4	1.3398073E-4	1.0	6.200787E-4	0.0016299959	0.0016399797	1.006125	1.0E-5	0.006183513	0.01637186	0.016381694	1.0006008	1.0E-5
8.1	5.100864E-6	9.05582E-6	9.05582E-6	1.0	2.1860664E-5	3.8810078E-5	3.8810078E-5	1.0	2.6612106E-4	4.724104E-4	4.8240568E-4	1.021158	1.0E-5	0.002658026	0.0049588303	0.004968781	1.0020066	1.0E-5
8.2	2.3004484E-6	2.8195918E-6	2.8195918E-6	1.0	9.859027E-6	1.20839095E-5	1.20839095E-5	1.0	1.2002704E-4	1.471117E-4	1.5711022E-4	1.0679655	1.0E-5	0.0011996223	0.0016145526	0.0016245364	1.0061836	1.0E-5
8.3	1.0424446E-7	5.900866E-8	5.900866E-8	1.0	4.4676187E-7	2.5289424E-7	2.5289424E-7	1.0	5.439312E-6	3.0789834E-6	3.0789834E-6	1.0	0.0	5.4391792E-5	3.2359807E-5	3.2359807E-5	1.0	0.0

Bartlett Springs 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	6.2326144E-5	8.065019E-5	8.065019E-5	1.0	2.6708472E-4	3.4559862E-4	3.4559862E-4	1.0	0.003246908	0.0041996357	0.0041996357	1.0	0.031998757	0.041219816	0.0412294	1.0002326	1.0E-5
6.1	6.227657E-5	8.058766E-5	8.058766E-5	1.0	2.668723E-4	3.4533069E-4	3.4533069E-4	1.0	0.0032443295	0.004196387	0.004196387	1.0	0.031973712	0.041188534	0.041198123	1.0002328	1.0E-5
6.2	6.22452E-5	8.054825E-5	8.054825E-5	1.0	2.6673786E-4	3.4516182E-4	3.4516182E-4	1.0	0.0032426978	0.0041943383	0.0041943383	1.0	0.03195787	0.041168816	0.041178405	1.0002329	1.0E-5
6.3	6.219006E-5	8.047804E-5	8.047804E-5	1.0	2.6650162E-4	3.4486104E-4	3.4486104E-4	1.0	0.00323983	0.004190691	0.004190691	1.0	0.031930014	0.0411337	0.041143287	1.000233	1.0E-5
6.4	5.2175856E-5	6.728973E-5	6.728973E-5	1.0	2.2359163E-4	2.8835295E-4	2.8835295E-4	1.0	0.0027188298	0.0035050937	0.0035050937	1.0	0.026858058	0.03450754	0.034517195	1.0002798	1.0E-5
6.5	5.205166E-5	6.7132314E-5	6.7132314E-5	1.0	2.2305945E-4	2.8767847E-4	2.8767847E-4	1.0	0.0027123666	0.0034969086	0.0034969086	1.0	0.026794989	0.034428246	0.034437902	1.0002805	1.0E-5
6.6	5.0085426E-5	6.4527136E-5	6.4527136E-5	1.0	2.1463417E-4	2.7651578E-4	2.7651578E-4	1.0	0.0026100394	0.0033614326	0.0033614326	1.0	0.025795965	0.033115078	0.03312475	1.000292	1.0E-5
6.7	4.8930866E-5	6.305102E-5	6.305102E-5	1.0	2.0968684E-4	2.7019094E-4	2.7019094E-4	1.0	0.0025499484	0.0032846625	0.0032846625	1.0	0.025208864	0.032370064	0.032379743	1.000299	1.0E-5
6.8	4.5679535E-5	5.8772857E-5	5.8772857E-5	1.0	1.9575475E-4	2.5185954E-4	2.5185954E-4	1.0	0.002380709	0.003062116	0.003062116	1.0	0.023553653	0.030206269	0.030215967	1.000321	1.0E-5
6.9	4.1439176E-5	5.324785E-5	5.324785E-5	1.0	1.7758438E-4	2.2818525E-4	2.2818525E-4	1.0	0.002159946	0.0027746414	0.0027746414	1.0	0.021390721	0.027405033	0.02741476	1.0003549	1.0E-5
7.0	3.5920104E-5	4.603221E-5	4.603221E-5	1.0	1.5393422E-4	1.9726607E-4	1.9726607E-4	1.0	0.001872538	0.0023990849	0.0023990849	1.0	0.018568378	0.023735147	0.02374491	1.0004113	1.0E-5
7.1	3.338812E-5	4.271108E-5	4.271108E-5	1.0	1.430841E-4	1.8303472E-4	1.8303472E-4	1.0	0.0017406568	0.0022261846	0.0022261846	1.0	0.017270854	0.022041688	0.022051468	1.0004437	1.0E-5
7.2	2.8619615E-5	3.64197E-5	3.64197E-5	1.0	1.2264973E-4	1.5607516E-4	1.5607516E-4	1.0	0.0014922376	0.0018985686	0.0018985686	1.0	0.014822568	0.018825563	0.018835375	1.0005212	1.0E-5
7.3	2.6376783E-5	3.34394E-5	3.34394E-5	1.0	1.13038455E-4	1.4330389E-4	1.4330389E-4	1.0	0.0013753743	0.0017433378	0.0017433378	1.0	0.01366893	0.017298495	0.017298495	1.0	0.0
7.4	2.3738676E-5	2.9993886E-5	2.9993886E-5	1.0	1.0173322E-4	1.2853893E-4	1.2853893E-4	1.0	0.0012378981	0.0015638461	0.0015638461	1.0	0.012310251	0.015529928	0.015529928	1.0	0.0
7.5	2.1789481E-5	2.745281E-5	2.745281E-5	1.0	9.338015E-5	1.1764964E-4	1.1764964E-4	1.0	0.0011363103	0.0014314511	0.0014314511	1.0	0.011305175	0.0142237	0.0142237	1.0	0.0
7.6	1.3895281E-5	1.7377019E-5	1.7377019E-5	1.0	5.9549846E-5	7.447083E-5	7.447083E-5	1.0	7.2477816E-4	9.06308E-4	9.06308E-4	1.0	0.0072241887	0.00902674	0.00902674	1.0	0.0
7.7	4.245981E-6	5.1643797E-6	5.1643797E-6	1.0	1.8196934E-5	2.213287E-5	2.213287E-5	1.0	2.2152514E-4	2.6943456E-4	2.6943456E-4	1.0	0.0022130446	0.0026911274	0.0026911274	1.0	0.0
7.8	6.145192E-7	7.0488403E-7	7.0488403E-7	1.0	2.633651E-6	3.020928E-6	3.020928E-6	1.0	3.206423E-5	3.677919E-5	3.677919E-5	1.0	3.2059604E-4	3.6772504E-4	3.6772504E-4	1.0	0.0

Great Valley 11

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	2.8099583E-5	2.9842357E-5	3.984206E-5	1.3350842	1.0E-5	1.20421224E-4	1.2788996E-4	1.3788868E-4	1.0781822	1.0E-5	0.0014651422	0.0015560216	0.0015660061	1.0064167	1.0E-5	0.0145552	0.015458796	0.015468641	1.0006369	1.0E-5
6.1	2.483194E-5	2.5915839E-5	3.591558E-5	1.3858544	1.0E-5	1.0641825E-4	1.1106351E-4	1.210624E-4	1.0900285	1.0E-5	0.0012948721	0.0013514229	0.0013614093	1.0073897	1.0E-5	0.012873529	0.013438457	0.013448323	1.0007341	1.0E-5
6.2	2.483194E-5	2.5915839E-5	3.591558E-5	1.3858544	1.0E-5	1.0641825E-4	1.1106351E-4	1.210624E-4	1.0900285	1.0E-5	0.0012948721	0.0013514229	0.0013614093	1.0073897	1.0E-5	0.012873529	0.013438457	0.013448323	1.0007341	1.0E-5
6.3	2.0257901E-5	2.0405449E-5	3.0405245E-5	1.4900552	1.0E-5	8.681669E-5	8.7449225E-5	9.7448356E-5	1.1143421	1.0E-5	0.0010564806	0.0010642159	0.0010742052	1.0093865	1.0E-5	0.01051472	0.010595368	0.010605262	1.0009338	1.0E-5
6.4	1.8054898E-5	1.7786433E-5	2.7786256E-5	1.5622163	1.0E-5	7.737584E-5	7.622556E-5	8.62248E-5	1.1311796	1.0E-5	9.416436E-4	9.2768855E-4	9.3767926E-4	1.0107695	1.0E-5	0.009376635	0.009241901	0.009251809	1.001072	1.0E-5
6.5	1.34804895E-5	1.2324548E-5	1.2324548E-5	1.0	0.0	5.777225E-5	5.2818443E-5	5.2818443E-5	1.0	0.0	7.031501E-4	6.42879E-4	6.42879E-4	1.0	0.0	0.007009294	0.0064106295	0.0064106295	1.0	0.0
6.6	1.294883E-5	1.1735682E-5	1.1735682E-5	1.0	0.0	5.5493805E-5	5.0294835E-5	5.0294835E-5	1.0	0.0	6.754276E-4	6.1217166E-4	6.1217166E-4	1.0	0.0	0.006733784	0.006105279	0.006105279	1.0	0.0
6.7	1.1272237E-5	9.814717E-6	9.814717E-6	1.0	0.0	4.8308695E-5	4.206241E-5	4.206241E-5	1.0	0.0	5.879996E-4	5.1199226E-4	5.1199226E-4	1.0	0.0	0.005864462	0.005108411	0.005108411	1.0	0.0
6.8	9.8337505E-6	8.196211E-6	8.196211E-6	1.0	0.0	4.2143965E-5	3.5126155E-5	3.5126155E-5	1.0	0.0	5.1298196E-4	4.2757907E-4	4.2757907E-4	1.0	0.0	0.005117994	0.004267774	0.004267774	1.0	0.0
6.9	7.4224813E-6	5.4147536E-6	5.4147536E-6	1.0	0.0	3.1810247E-5	2.3205888E-5	2.3205888E-5	1.0	0.0	3.872209E-4	2.8249648E-4	2.8249648E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0038654688	0.0028215146	0.0028215146	1.0	0.0
7.0	4.4628923E-6	2.0116117E-6	2.0116117E-6	1.0	0.0	1.912654E-5	8.621166E-6	8.621166E-6	1.0	0.0	2.3284076E-4	1.04957755E-4	1.04957755E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0023259693	0.0010490934	0.0010490934	1.0	0.0
7.1	3.5546527E-6	1.1858963E-6	1.1858963E-6	1.0	0.0	1.5234136E-5	5.0824033E-6	5.0824033E-6	1.0	0.0	1.8545982E-4	6.187657E-5	6.187657E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0018530512	6.186002E-4	6.186002E-4	1.0	0.0
7.2	3.2039936E-6	1.1256966E-6	1.1256966E-6	1.0	0.0	1.3731329E-5	4.8244056E-6	4.8244056E-6	1.0	0.0	1.671661E-4	5.8735623E-5	5.8735623E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0016704041	5.872077E-4	5.872077E-4	1.0	0.0
7.3	2.8120473E-6	1.0308111E-6	1.0308111E-6	1.0	0.0	1.2051575E-5	4.4177546E-6	4.4177546E-6	1.0	0.0	1.4671806E-4	5.3784905E-5	5.3784905E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0014662122	5.3772546E-4	5.3772546E-4	1.0	0.0
7.4	2.4837766E-6	9.802847E-7	9.802847E-7	1.0	0.0	1.0644713E-5	4.2012134E-6	4.2012134E-6	1.0	0.0	1.2959167E-4	5.114864E-5	5.114864E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0012951613	5.1137526E-4	5.1137526E-4	1.0	0.0
7.5	1.5002679E-6	6.5475774E-7	6.5475774E-7	1.0	0.0	6.4297037E-6	2.8061017E-6	2.8061017E-6	1.0	0.0	7.827883E-5	3.4163797E-5	3.4163797E-5	1.0	0.0	7.825126E-4	3.415896E-4	3.415896E-4	1.0	0.0

Santa Ynez (West)

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	4.7352758E-5	5.4991026E-5	5.4991026E-5	1.0	2.0292461E-4	2.3565617E-4	2.3565617E-4	1.0	0.0024678076	0.00286561	0.00286561	1.0	0.024405818	0.028314698	0.028324416	1.0003432	1.0E-5
6.1	4.7352758E-5	5.4991026E-5	5.4991026E-5	1.0	2.0292461E-4	2.3565617E-4	2.3565617E-4	1.0	0.0024678076	0.00286561	0.00286561	1.0	0.024405818	0.028314698	0.028324416	1.0003432	1.0E-5
6.2	3.0415853E-5	3.393543E-5	3.393543E-5	1.0	1.3034715E-4	1.4542964E-4	1.4542964E-4	1.0	0.0015858212	0.0017692024	0.0017692024	1.0	0.015745522	0.017555121	0.017555121	1.0	0.0
6.3	3.0415853E-5	3.393543E-5	3.393543E-5	1.0	1.3034715E-4	1.4542964E-4	1.4542964E-4	1.0	0.0015858212	0.0017692024	0.0017692024	1.0	0.015745522	0.017555121	0.017555121	1.0	0.0
6.4	2.5452082E-5	2.7920296E-5	2.7920296E-5	1.0	1.09075794E-4	1.1965301E-4	1.1965301E-4	1.0	0.0013271887	0.0014558209	0.0014558209	1.0	0.013192902	0.014465008	0.014465008	1.0	0.0
6.5	2.3143784E-5	2.5134992E-5	2.5134992E-5	1.0	9.9183875E-5	1.0771703E-4	1.0771703E-4	1.0	0.0012068948	0.0013106805	0.0013106805	1.0	0.012003611	0.013031172	0.013031172	1.0	0.0
6.6	1.9118515E-5	2.0359386E-5	2.0359386E-5	1.0	8.193392E-5	8.725165E-5	8.725165E-5	1.0	9.97089E-4	0.001061779	0.001061779	1.0	0.00992627	0.0105679715	0.0105679715	1.0	0.0
6.7	1.722807E-5	1.8150675E-5	1.8150675E-5	1.0	7.3832496E-5	7.778632E-5	7.778632E-5	1.0	8.985399E-4	9.4664254E-4	9.4664254E-4	1.0	0.008949154	0.009426747	0.009426747	1.0	0.0
6.8	1.5317364E-5	1.5930114E-5	1.5930114E-5	1.0	6.56442E-5	6.827016E-5	6.827016E-5	1.0	7.98925E-4	8.3087647E-4	8.3087647E-4	1.0	0.007960589	0.008278188	0.008278188	1.0	0.0
6.9	1.3071226E-5	1.33324675E-5	1.33324675E-5	1.0	5.6018336E-5	5.7137906E-5	5.7137906E-5	1.0	6.8180985E-4	6.954342E-4	6.954342E-4	1.0	0.0067972173	0.0069328407	0.0069328407	1.0	0.0
7.0	1.1836986E-5	1.1935267E-5	1.1935267E-5	1.0	5.0728955E-5	5.115015E-5	5.115015E-5	1.0	6.1745E-4	6.225768E-4	6.225768E-4	1.0	0.006157372	0.00620852	0.00620852	1.0	0.0
7.1	1.0597169E-5	1.0544357E-5	1.0544357E-5	1.0	4.541565E-5	4.5189325E-5	4.5189325E-5	1.0	5.5279525E-4	5.500423E-4	5.500423E-4	1.0	0.0055142213	0.00548694	0.00548694	1.0	0.0
7.2	9.59113E-6	9.461139E-6	9.461139E-6	1.0	4.11042E-5	4.054711E-5	4.054711E-5	1.0	5.0032866E-4	4.935503E-4	4.935503E-4	1.0	0.004992037	0.004924661	0.004924661	1.0	0.0
7.3	8.586084E-6	8.381422E-6	8.381422E-6	1.0	3.679698E-5	3.5919893E-5	3.5919893E-5	1.0	4.4791115E-4	4.3723796E-4	4.3723796E-4	1.0	0.004470094	0.0043638884	0.0043638884	1.0	0.0
7.4	7.2622997E-6	6.953158E-6	6.953158E-6	1.0	3.112377E-5	2.9798914E-5	2.9798914E-5	1.0	3.78866E-4	3.6274234E-4	3.6274234E-4	1.0	0.0037822074	0.0036216027	0.0036216027	1.0	0.0
7.5	5.627296E-6	5.2526384E-6	5.2526384E-6	1.0	2.411676E-5	2.2511116E-5	2.2511116E-5	1.0	2.9358198E-4	2.7403908E-4	2.7403908E-4	1.0	0.0029319443	0.0027370837	0.0027370837	1.0	0.0
7.6	2.265244E-6	2.0611328E-6	2.0611328E-6	1.0	9.708152E-6	8.833396E-6	8.833396E-6	1.0	1.18190335E-4	1.0754138E-4	1.0754138E-4	1.0	0.001181275	0.001074902	0.001074902	1.0	0.0
7.7	1.3099874E-6	1.1017663E-6	1.1017663E-6	1.0	5.61422E-6	4.7218473E-6	4.7218473E-6	1.0	6.8350986E-5	5.7487E-5	5.7487E-5	1.0	6.832996E-4	5.7472364E-4	5.7472364E-4	1.0	0.0
7.8	7.903951E-7	6.07185E-7	6.07185E-7	1.0	3.3874032E-6	2.6022187E-6	2.6022187E-6	1.0	4.1240855E-5	3.1681564E-5	3.1681564E-5	1.0	4.12332E-4	3.1677182E-4	3.1677182E-4	1.0	0.0
7.9	7.0753297E-9	5.090425E-9	5.090425E-9	1.0	3.032284E-8	2.1816108E-8	2.1816108E-8	1.0	3.6918053E-7	2.6561108E-7	2.6561108E-7	1.0	3.691799E-6	2.6561086E-6	2.6561086E-6	1.0	0.0

San Luis Range - Pecho 2011 CFM

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	1.687423E-6	1.6922695E-6	1.6922695E-6	1.0	7.231793E-6	7.2525645E-6	7.2525645E-6	1.0	8.804352E-5	8.829664E-5	8.829664E-5	1.0	8.8008645E-4	8.826395E-4	8.9263066E-4	1.0113196	1.0E-5
6.1	1.687423E-6	1.6922695E-6	1.6922695E-6	1.0	7.231793E-6	7.2525645E-6	7.2525645E-6	1.0	8.804352E-5	8.829664E-5	8.829664E-5	1.0	8.8008645E-4	8.826395E-4	8.9263066E-4	1.0113196	1.0E-5
6.2	1.0765672E-6	1.0771208E-6	1.0771208E-6	1.0	4.613851E-6	4.6162245E-6	4.6162245E-6	1.0	5.617219E-5	5.6201145E-5	5.6201145E-5	1.0	5.6157995E-4	5.618756E-4	5.7186995E-4	1.0177876	1.0E-5
6.3	8.523104E-7	8.5136605E-7	8.5136605E-7	1.0	3.6527538E-6	3.6487068E-6	3.6487068E-6	1.0	4.447137E-5	4.442213E-5	4.442213E-5	1.0	4.4462472E-4	4.4413572E-4	4.5413128E-4	1.0225056	1.0E-5
6.4	8.523104E-7	8.5136605E-7	8.5136605E-7	1.0	3.6527538E-6	3.6487068E-6	3.6487068E-6	1.0	4.447137E-5	4.442213E-5	4.442213E-5	1.0	4.4462472E-4	4.4413572E-4	4.5413128E-4	1.0225056	1.0E-5
6.5	7.0029404E-7	6.9770454E-7	6.9770454E-7	1.0	3.0012568E-6	2.990159E-6	2.990159E-6	1.0	3.6539688E-5	3.640459E-5	3.640459E-5	1.0	3.653368E-4	3.63988E-4	3.7398434E-4	1.0274634	1.0E-5
6.6	5.583906E-7	5.543408E-7	5.543408E-7	1.0	2.3931002E-6	2.375744E-6	2.375744E-6	1.0	2.9135606E-5	2.8924309E-5	2.8924309E-5	1.0	2.9131788E-4	2.8920616E-4	2.8920616E-4	1.0	0.0
6.7	4.73441E-7	4.6836243E-7	4.6836243E-7	1.0	2.0290313E-6	2.0072662E-6	2.0072662E-6	1.0	2.4703175E-5	2.4438195E-5	2.4438195E-5	1.0	2.470043E-4	2.4435553E-4	2.4435553E-4	1.0	0.0
6.8	4.1466086E-7	4.0883387E-7	4.0883387E-7	1.0	1.7771167E-6	1.752144E-6	1.752144E-6	1.0	2.1636182E-5	2.133215E-5	2.133215E-5	1.0	2.1634075E-4	2.1330135E-4	2.1330135E-4	1.0	0.0
6.9	3.2056641E-7	3.1334466E-7	3.1334466E-7	1.0	1.3738553E-6	1.342905E-6	1.342905E-6	1.0	1.6726559E-5	1.6349748E-5	1.6349748E-5	1.0	1.67253E-4	1.634856E-4	1.634856E-4	1.0	0.0
7.0	2.6315942E-7	2.5494646E-7	2.5494646E-7	1.0	1.1278256E-6	1.0926273E-6	1.0926273E-6	1.0	1.3731191E-5	1.3302656E-5	1.3302656E-5	1.0	1.3730342E-4	1.3301868E-4	1.3301868E-4	1.0	0.0
7.1	2.1832436E-7	2.092211E-7	2.092211E-7	1.0	9.356755E-7	8.9666156E-7	8.9666156E-7	1.0	1.13917895E-5	1.09168E-5	1.09168E-5	1.0	1.1391206E-4	1.0916269E-4	1.0916269E-4	1.0	0.0
7.2	1.7393015E-7	1.6381189E-7	1.6381189E-7	1.0	7.454147E-7	7.020508E-7	7.020508E-7	1.0	9.075386E-6	8.547435E-6	8.547435E-6	1.0	9.075015E-5	8.547109E-5	8.547109E-5	1.0	0.0
7.3	1.3744894E-7	1.2643041E-7	1.2643041E-7	1.0	5.890667E-7	5.418445E-7	5.418445E-7	1.0	7.1718637E-6	6.5969366E-6	6.5969366E-6	1.0	7.171632E-5	6.596742E-5	6.596742E-5	1.0	0.0
7.4	1.0915278E-7	9.731793E-8	9.731793E-8	1.0	4.6779755E-7	4.1707676E-7	4.1707676E-7	1.0	5.6954204E-6	5.077898E-6	5.077898E-6	1.0	5.6952744E-5	5.0777824E-5	5.0777824E-5	1.0	0.0
7.5	9.490291E-8	8.2613006E-8	8.2613006E-8	1.0	4.0672668E-7	3.540557E-7	3.540557E-7	1.0	4.9518862E-6	4.3106193E-6	4.3106193E-6	1.0	4.951776E-5	4.3105363E-5	4.3105363E-5	1.0	0.0
7.6	7.256678E-8	5.9465364E-8	5.9465364E-8	1.0	3.1100043E-7	2.5485153E-7	2.5485153E-7	1.0	3.7864236E-6	3.1028128E-6	3.1028128E-6	1.0	3.7863592E-5	3.10277E-5	3.10277E-5	1.0	0.0
7.7	5.446273E-8	4.061795E-8	4.061795E-8	1.0	2.3341168E-7	1.7407693E-7	1.7407693E-7	1.0	2.8417835E-6	2.1193844E-6	2.1193844E-6	1.0	2.8417471E-5	2.1193644E-5	2.1193644E-5	1.0	0.0
7.8	3.5850867E-8	2.1554177E-8	2.1554177E-8	1.0	1.5364655E-7	9.237504E-8	9.237504E-8	1.0	1.8706452E-6	1.1246655E-6	1.1246655E-6	1.0	1.8706294E-5	1.1246599E-5	1.1246599E-5	1.0	0.0
7.9	2.45879E-8	1.1425945E-8	1.1425945E-8	1.0	1.0537671E-7	4.8968335E-8	4.8968335E-8	1.0	1.2829606E-6	5.961893E-7	5.961893E-7	1.0	1.2829532E-5	5.9618774E-6	5.9618774E-6	1.0	0.0
8.0	1.8151761E-8	7.466667E-9	7.466667E-9	1.0	7.779326E-8	3.2000003E-8	3.2000003E-8	1.0	9.4713255E-7	3.8959996E-7	3.8959996E-7	1.0	9.471285E-6	3.895993E-6	3.895993E-6	1.0	0.0
8.1	9.559205E-9	4.1143373E-9	4.1143373E-9	1.0	4.096802E-8	1.7632875E-8	1.7632875E-8	1.0	4.9878554E-7	2.1468021E-7	2.1468021E-7	1.0	4.987844E-6	2.1468002E-6	2.1468002E-6	1.0	0.0

Great Valley 06 (Midland) 2011 CFM alt1

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	1.2712525E-5	1.3211573E-5	1.3211573E-5	1.0	5.4481112E-5	5.661994E-5	5.661994E-5	1.0	6.6310563E-4	6.891552E-4	6.891552E-4	1.0	0.0066113044	0.0068726963	0.0068826275	1.001445	1.0E-5
6.1	1.2712525E-5	1.3211573E-5	1.3211573E-5	1.0	5.4481112E-5	5.661994E-5	5.661994E-5	1.0	6.6310563E-4	6.891552E-4	6.891552E-4	1.0	0.0066113044	0.0068726963	0.0068826275	1.001445	1.0E-5
6.2	1.2712525E-5	1.3211573E-5	1.3211573E-5	1.0	5.4481112E-5	5.661994E-5	5.661994E-5	1.0	6.6310563E-4	6.891552E-4	6.891552E-4	1.0	0.0066113044	0.0068726963	0.0068826275	1.001445	1.0E-5
6.3	1.2712525E-5	1.3211573E-5	1.3211573E-5	1.0	5.4481112E-5	5.661994E-5	5.661994E-5	1.0	6.6310563E-4	6.891552E-4	6.891552E-4	1.0	0.0066113044	0.0068726963	0.0068826275	1.001445	1.0E-5
6.4	1.2712525E-5	1.3211573E-5	1.3211573E-5	1.0	5.4481112E-5	5.661994E-5	5.661994E-5	1.0	6.6310563E-4	6.891552E-4	6.891552E-4	1.0	0.0066113044	0.0068726963	0.0068826275	1.001445	1.0E-5
6.5	1.2712525E-5	1.3211573E-5	1.3211573E-5	1.0	5.4481112E-5	5.661994E-5	5.661994E-5	1.0	6.6310563E-4	6.891552E-4	6.891552E-4	1.0	0.0066113044	0.0068726963	0.0068826275	1.001445	1.0E-5
6.6	5.7574384E-6	5.9710724E-6	5.9710724E-6	1.0	2.4674504E-5	2.5590081E-5	2.5590081E-5	1.0	3.0037065E-4	3.115186E-4	3.115186E-4	1.0	0.0029996498	0.003111206	0.003111206	1.0	0.0
6.7	5.7574384E-6	5.9710724E-6	5.9710724E-6	1.0	2.4674504E-5	2.5590081E-5	2.5590081E-5	1.0	3.0037065E-4	3.115186E-4	3.115186E-4	1.0	0.0029996498	0.003111206	0.003111206	1.0	0.0
6.8	3.3474828E-6	3.4696282E-6	3.4696282E-6	1.0	1.4346277E-5	1.4869759E-5	1.4869759E-5	1.0	1.7465191E-4	1.8102577E-4	1.8102577E-4	1.0	0.0017451472	0.0018089301	0.0018089301	1.0	0.0
6.9	2.035106E-6	2.1091832E-6	2.1091832E-6	1.0	8.721853E-6	9.03933E-6	9.03933E-6	1.0	1.0618339E-4	1.1004901E-4	1.1004901E-4	1.0	0.0010613267	0.0011000175	0.0011000175	1.0	0.0
7.0	1.2424716E-6	1.2879668E-6	1.2879668E-6	1.0	5.3248673E-6	5.519849E-6	5.519849E-6	1.0	6.482833E-5	6.720254E-5	6.720254E-5	1.0	6.480942E-4	6.7186647E-4	6.7186647E-4	1.0	0.0
7.1	6.6904556E-7	6.9395315E-7	6.9395315E-7	1.0	2.867335E-6	2.974083E-6	2.974083E-6	1.0	3.4909244E-5	3.620912E-5	3.620912E-5	1.0	3.490376E-4	3.620577E-4	3.620577E-4	1.0	0.0
7.2	3.948168E-7	4.0959998E-7	4.0959998E-7	1.0	1.6920709E-6	1.7554285E-6	1.7554285E-6	1.0	2.0600768E-5	2.1372342E-5	2.1372342E-5	1.0	2.0598859E-4	2.1372341E-4	2.1372341E-4	1.0	0.0

Mendocino

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	5.5409013E-4	0.0010849311	0.0010849311	1.0	0.0023725112	0.0046395287	0.0046395287	1.0	0.028505474	0.054721527	0.054730978	1.0001727	1.0E-5	0.25113493	0.41213614	0.412142	1.0000143	1.0E-5
6.1	4.2515888E-4	8.2361576E-4	8.2361576E-4	1.0	0.0018208373	0.003523503	0.003523503	1.0	0.021944538	0.04179039	0.04179997	1.0002292	1.0E-5	0.19899574	0.33020866	0.33021533	1.0000203	1.0E-5
6.2	4.2515888E-4	8.2361576E-4	8.2361576E-4	1.0	0.0018208373	0.003523503	0.003523503	1.0	0.021944538	0.04179039	0.04179997	1.0002292	1.0E-5	0.19899574	0.33020866	0.33021533	1.0000203	1.0E-5
6.3	3.2773745E-4	6.200424E-4	6.200424E-4	1.0	0.0014038329	0.002653455	0.002653455	1.0	0.016958237	0.031629782	0.031639468	1.0003061	1.0E-5	0.1572094	0.26103786	0.26104525	1.0000283	1.0E-5
6.4	2.7417165E-4	5.0544116E-4	5.0544116E-4	1.0	0.0011744922	0.0021635266	0.0021635266	1.0	0.014205975	0.02587398	0.025883721	1.0003765	1.0E-5	0.13331394	0.21974553	0.21975332	1.0000355	1.0E-5
6.5	2.3984899E-4	4.3299436E-4	4.3299436E-4	1.0	0.0010275192	0.0018537208	0.0018537208	1.0	0.012438473	0.022215888	0.022225665	1.0004401	1.0E-5	0.11764851	0.1923049	0.19231297	1.000042	1.0E-5
6.6	2.1023539E-4	3.6998096E-4	3.6998096E-4	1.0	9.0069766E-4	0.0015841589	0.0015841589	1.0	0.010910975	0.019024227	0.019034037	1.0005157	1.0E-5	0.10390546	0.16776323	0.16777156	1.0000496	1.0E-5
6.7	1.2592976E-4	1.8488408E-4	1.8488408E-4	1.0	5.395873E-4	7.9205824E-4	7.9205824E-4	1.0	0.006549705	0.009589142	0.009599047	1.0010328	1.0E-5	0.063599944	0.0912522	0.09126129	1.0000995	1.0E-5
6.8	1.13663555E-4	1.5461294E-4	1.5461294E-4	1.0	4.8703855E-4	6.624365E-4	6.624365E-4	1.0	0.0059135845	0.008031159	0.008041078	1.0012351	1.0E-5	0.057586733	0.07766879	0.07767802	1.0001187	1.0E-5
6.9	9.926894E-5	1.2356913E-4	1.2356913E-4	1.0	4.2536893E-4	5.294694E-4	5.294694E-4	1.0	0.0051665753	0.006426257	0.006436193	1.0015461	1.0E-5	0.050480947	0.06312626	0.063135624	1.0001484	1.0E-5
7.0	9.168125E-5	1.08390166E-4	1.08390166E-4	1.0	3.9286047E-4	4.6444344E-4	4.6444344E-4	1.0	0.004772591	0.0056395717	0.005649515	1.0017632	1.0E-5	0.04671385	0.055882122	0.055891562	1.0001689	1.0E-5
7.1	8.2854116E-5	9.158021E-5	9.158021E-5	1.0	3.5504074E-4	3.9242802E-4	3.9242802E-4	1.0	0.004314056	0.004767409	0.0047773616	1.0020876	1.0E-5	0.042312626	0.04773449	0.047744017	1.0001994	1.0E-5
7.2	7.8255274E-5	8.351997E-5	8.351997E-5	1.0	3.3533663E-4	3.5789446E-4	3.5789446E-4	1.0	0.0040750825	0.0043488084	0.004358765	1.0022895	1.0E-5	0.040011603	0.043774426	0.04378399	1.0002184	1.0E-5
7.3	6.887904E-5	6.30021E-5	6.30021E-5	1.0	2.9516246E-4	2.6998165E-4	2.6998165E-4	1.0	0.0035876823	0.0032821703	0.0032921375	1.0030367	1.0E-5	0.035303112	0.033558525	0.03356819	1.000288	1.0E-5
7.4	5.4898497E-5	3.7674945E-5	3.7674945E-5	1.0	2.3525805E-4	1.6145437E-4	1.6145437E-4	1.0	0.0028605047	0.0019639917	0.0019739722	1.0050817	1.0E-5	0.02823963	0.020555854	0.020565648	1.0004765	1.0E-5
7.5	3.9103943E-5	1.14226405E-5	1.14226405E-5	1.0	1.6757756E-4	4.8953265E-5	4.8953265E-5	1.0	0.0020383475	5.9584464E-4	6.0583866E-4	1.0167729	1.0E-5	0.020197518	0.006693911	0.006703844	1.0014839	1.0E-5
7.6	3.641042E-5	9.085984E-6	9.085984E-6	1.0	1.5603533E-4	3.8939357E-5	3.8939357E-5	1.0	0.0018980748	4.7398492E-4	4.8398017E-4	1.0210878	1.0E-5	0.018819444	0.005410734	0.00542068	1.0018382	1.0E-5
7.7	3.1318774E-5	4.532965E-6	4.532965E-6	1.0	1.342164E-4	1.9426849E-5	1.9426849E-5	1.0	0.0016328598	2.3649639E-4	2.4649402E-4	1.042274	1.0E-5	0.016209139	0.002914601	0.0029245717	1.003421	1.0E-5
7.8	2.209241E-5	2.7327187E-6	2.7327187E-6	1.0	9.467832E-5	1.17116E-5	1.17116E-5	1.0	0.001152099	1.4257942E-4	1.52578E-4	1.0701263	1.0E-5	0.011461443	0.0017697728	0.0017797551	1.0056404	1.0E-5
7.9	1.2640477E-5	2.0799446E-6	2.0799446E-6	1.0	5.4172346E-5	8.914018E-6	8.914018E-6	1.0	6.593487E-4	1.0852279E-4	1.18521704E-4	1.0921365	1.0E-5	0.006573958	0.0013209021	0.001330889	1.0075606	1.0E-5
8.0	6.5548907E-6	1.6680156E-6	1.6680156E-6	1.0	2.8092087E-5	7.148619E-6	7.148619E-6	1.0	3.4196748E-4	8.703098E-5	8.703098E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0034144172	0.0010483356	0.0010483356	1.0	0.0
8.1	3.1916707E-6	1.384292E-6	1.384292E-6	1.0	1.3678517E-5	5.9326667E-6	5.9326667E-6	1.0	1.6652321E-4	7.222784E-5	7.222784E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0016639848	8.779419E-4	8.779419E-4	1.0	0.0
8.2	2.1193785E-6	1.0485071E-6	1.0485071E-6	1.0	9.083019E-6	4.493594E-6	4.493594E-6	1.0	1.1058014E-4	5.4708158E-5	5.4708158E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0011052513	6.6084345E-4	6.6084345E-4	1.0	0.0
8.3	7.536878E-7	3.987392E-7	3.987392E-7	1.0	3.2300866E-6	1.7088812E-6	1.7088812E-6	1.0	3.9325594E-5	2.0805443E-5	2.0805443E-5	1.0	0.0	3.9318635E-4	2.4473926E-4	2.4473926E-4	1.0	0.0

San Jacinto (Stepovers Combined)

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	4.0667746E-5	3.5490113E-5	3.5490113E-5	1.0	1.742787E-4	1.5209163E-4	1.5209163E-4	1.0	0.0021197782	0.001850144	0.0018601255	1.0053949	1.0E-5	0.020996714	0.01909927	0.01910908	1.0005136	1.0E-5
6.1	4.0667746E-5	3.5490113E-5	3.5490113E-5	1.0	1.742787E-4	1.5209163E-4	1.5209163E-4	1.0	0.0021197782	0.001850144	0.0018601255	1.0053949	1.0E-5	0.020996714	0.01909927	0.01910908	1.0005136	1.0E-5
6.2	4.0667746E-5	3.5490113E-5	3.5490113E-5	1.0	1.742787E-4	1.5209163E-4	1.5209163E-4	1.0	0.0021197782	0.001850144	0.0018601255	1.0053949	1.0E-5	0.020996714	0.01909927	0.01910908	1.0005136	1.0E-5
6.3	4.0667746E-5	3.5490113E-5	3.5490113E-5	1.0	1.742787E-4	1.5209163E-4	1.5209163E-4	1.0	0.0021197782	0.001850144	0.0018601255	1.0053949	1.0E-5	0.020996714	0.01909927	0.01910908	1.0005136	1.0E-5
6.4	4.0577226E-5	3.5361933E-5	3.5361933E-5	1.0	1.738908E-4	1.5154235E-4	1.5154235E-4	1.0	0.0021150648	0.0018434691	0.0018534507	1.0054146	1.0E-5	0.020950472	0.0190338	0.019043611	1.0005153	1.0E-5
6.5	4.0577226E-5	3.5361933E-5	3.5361933E-5	1.0	1.738908E-4	1.5154235E-4	1.5154235E-4	1.0	0.0021150648	0.0018434691	0.0018534507	1.0054146	1.0E-5	0.020950472	0.0190338	0.019043611	1.0005153	1.0E-5
6.6	4.053861E-5	3.5307236E-5	3.5307236E-5	1.0	1.7372532E-4	1.5130796E-4	1.5130796E-4	1.0	0.0021130538	0.0018406208	0.0018506023	1.005423	1.0E-5	0.020930743	0.019005863	0.019015674	1.0005162	1.0E-5
6.7	4.0516545E-5	3.5276287E-5	3.5276287E-5	1.0	1.7363077E-4	1.5117534E-4	1.5117534E-4	1.0	0.002111905	0.0018390091	0.0018489907	1.0054277	1.0E-5	0.020919468	0.018990051	0.01899986	1.0005165	1.0E-5
6.8	4.049434E-5	3.5247715E-5	3.5247715E-5	1.0	1.7353562E-4	1.5105291E-4	1.5105291E-4	1.0	0.0021107488	0.001837521	0.0018475027	1.0054321	1.0E-5	0.020908125	0.018975396	0.018985204	1.000517	1.0E-5
6.9	4.046386E-5	3.521017E-5	3.521017E-5	1.0	1.73405E-4	1.5089201E-4	1.5089201E-4	1.0	0.0021091616	0.0018355655	0.0018455471	1.005438	1.0E-5	0.020892553	0.018956117	0.018965928	1.0005175	1.0E-5
7.0	4.036382E-5	3.50904E-5	3.50904E-5	1.0	1.7297632E-4	1.503788E-4	1.503788E-4	1.0	0.0021039525	0.0018293275	0.0018393092	1.0054564	1.0E-5	0.02084144	0.018894562	0.018904373	1.0005193	1.0E-5
7.1	4.0343282E-5	3.5068817E-5	3.5068817E-5	1.0	1.7288832E-4	1.5028629E-4	1.5028629E-4	1.0	0.002102883	0.0018282032	0.001838185	1.0054599	1.0E-5	0.020830948	0.018883418	0.01889323	1.0005195	1.0E-5
7.2	4.0257353E-5	3.497312E-5	3.497312E-5	1.0	1.725201E-4	1.498762E-4	1.498762E-4	1.0	0.0020984085	0.0018232188	0.0018332006	1.0054748	1.0E-5	0.020787042	0.018834064	0.018843876	1.000521	1.0E-5
7.3	3.9940667E-5	3.479916E-5	3.479916E-5	1.0	1.7116306E-4	1.4913075E-4	1.4913075E-4	1.0	0.0020819185	0.001814158	0.0018241399	1.0055022	1.0E-5	0.020625217	0.01874185	0.018751662	1.0005236	1.0E-5
7.4	3.9721202E-5	3.4684006E-5	3.4684006E-5	1.0	1.7022261E-4	1.4863728E-4	1.4863728E-4	1.0	0.0020704903	0.0018081601	0.001818142	1.0055205	1.0E-5	0.020513052	0.018680703	0.018690517	1.0005254	1.0E-5
7.5	3.7036873E-5	3.374669E-5	3.374669E-5	1.0	1.5871979E-4	1.4462067E-4	1.4462067E-4	1.0	0.0019307006	0.0017593376	0.0017693201	1.005674	1.0E-5	0.019140124	0.01817986	0.018189678	1.00054	1.0E-5
7.6	3.2940967E-5	3.1516774E-5	3.1516774E-5	1.0	1.4116794E-4	1.3506491E-4	1.3506491E-4	1.0	0.0017173645	0.0016431772	0.0016531608	1.0060757	1.0E-5	0.01704153	0.017007314	0.017017143	1.0005779	1.0E-5
7.7	2.8236149E-5	2.8077373E-5	2.8077373E-5	1.0	1.2100645E-4	1.20326054E-4	1.20326054E-4	1.0	0.0014722579	0.0014639864	0.0014739716	1.0068207	1.0E-5	0.014625421	0.015215486	0.015225334	1.0006472	1.0E-5
7.8	2.4329287E-5	2.539341E-5	2.539341E-5	1.0	1.042642E-4	1.0882437E-4	1.0882437E-4	1.0	0.0012686774	0.0013241323	0.001334119	1.0075421	1.0E-5	0.012614589	0.013809109	0.013818972	1.0007142	1.0E-5
7.9	1.9370926E-5	2.0589096E-5	2.0589096E-5	1.0	8.301561E-5	8.8236E-5	8.8236E-5	1.0	0.0010102465	0.0010737446	0.0010837339	1.0093032	1.0E-5	0.0100566605	0.011287005	0.011296892	1.000876	1.0E-5
8.0	1.5583017E-5	1.6027383E-5	1.6027383E-5	1.0	6.6782646E-5	6.868698E-5	6.868698E-5	1.0	8.127754E-4	8.3594385E-4	8.459355E-4	1.0119525	1.0E-5	0.008098091	0.00885582	0.008865732	1.0011193	1.0E-5
8.1	1.0024873E-5	8.37469E-6	8.37469E-6	1.0	4.2963035E-5	3.5891037E-5	3.5891037E-5	1.0	5.229494E-4	4.368863E-4	4.4688192E-4	1.0228792	1.0E-5	0.0052172043	0.00469757	0.004707523	1.0021187	1.0E-5
8.2	4.142796E-6	1.5843408E-6	1.5843408E-6	1.0	1.775472E-5	6.7900146E-6	6.7900146E-6	1.0	2.1614227E-4	8.266532E-5	8.266532E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0021593217	9.588108E-4	9.588108E-4	1.0	0.0
8.3	1.2750878E-6	3.6753468E-7	3.6753468E-7	1.0	5.4646503E-6	1.5751477E-6	1.5751477E-6	1.0	6.653009E-5	1.917726E-5	1.917726E-5	1.0	0.0	6.6510175E-4	2.3106944E-4	2.3106944E-4	1.0	0.0

Great Valley 04b Gordon Valley

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	2.1181217E-5	2.398808E-5	2.398808E-5	1.0	9.077348E-5	1.02802944E-4	1.02802944E-4	1.0	0.0011046068	0.001251074	0.0012610615	1.0079831	1.0E-5	0.010991322	0.012456768	0.012466644	1.0007927	1.0E-5
6.1	2.1181217E-5	2.398808E-5	2.398808E-5	1.0	9.077348E-5	1.02802944E-4	1.02802944E-4	1.0	0.0011046068	0.001251074	0.0012610615	1.0079831	1.0E-5	0.010991322	0.012456768	0.012466644	1.0007927	1.0E-5
6.2	2.1181217E-5	2.398808E-5	2.398808E-5	1.0	9.077348E-5	1.02802944E-4	1.02802944E-4	1.0	0.0011046068	0.001251074	0.0012610615	1.0079831	1.0E-5	0.010991322	0.012456768	0.012466644	1.0007927	1.0E-5
6.3	2.1181217E-5	2.398808E-5	2.398808E-5	1.0	9.077348E-5	1.02802944E-4	1.02802944E-4	1.0	0.0011046068	0.001251074	0.0012610615	1.0079831	1.0E-5	0.010991322	0.012456768	0.012466644	1.0007927	1.0E-5
6.4	1.0988268E-5	1.2257221E-5	1.2257221E-5	1.0	4.7091726E-5	5.252998E-5	5.252998E-5	1.0	5.731909E-4	6.3938077E-4	6.3938077E-4	1.0	0.0	0.005717147	0.006377	0.006377	1.0	0.0
6.5	1.0988268E-5	1.2257221E-5	1.2257221E-5	1.0	4.7091726E-5	5.252998E-5	5.252998E-5	1.0	5.731909E-4	6.3938077E-4	6.3938077E-4	1.0	0.0	0.005717147	0.006377	0.006377	1.0	0.0
6.6	1.0517822E-5	1.17266545E-5	1.17266545E-5	1.0	4.5075605E-5	5.025621E-5	5.025621E-5	1.0	5.4865726E-4	6.117132E-4	6.117132E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0054730466	0.0061018486	0.0061018486	1.0	0.0
6.7	7.789219E-6	8.6795535E-6	8.6795535E-6	1.0	3.3381937E-5	3.7197584E-5	3.7197584E-5	1.0	4.063493E-4	4.5279166E-4	4.5279166E-4	1.0	0.0	0.004056071	0.0045192083	0.0045192083	1.0	0.0
6.8	7.5850853E-6	8.454253E-6	8.454253E-6	1.0	3.2507105E-5	3.623204E-5	3.623204E-5	1.0	3.957021E-4	4.410409E-4	4.410409E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0039499826	0.0044021686	0.0044021686	1.0	0.0
6.9	6.604105E-6	7.3601705E-6	7.3601705E-6	1.0	2.8303E-5	3.154323E-5	3.154323E-5	1.0	3.4453452E-4	3.83975E-4	3.83975E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0034400085	0.0038335025	0.0038335025	1.0	0.0
7.0	5.3701115E-6	5.9897484E-6	5.9897484E-6	1.0	2.301456E-5	2.5670115E-5	2.5670115E-5	1.0	2.8016625E-4	3.1249173E-4	3.1249173E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0027981328	0.003120812	0.003120812	1.0	0.0
7.1	4.4685607E-6	4.9875935E-6	4.9875935E-6	1.0	1.9150835E-5	2.137524E-5	2.137524E-5	1.0	2.3313647E-4	2.6021493E-4	2.6021493E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0023289204	0.0025993474	0.0025993474	1.0	0.0
7.2	2.833378E-6	3.165133E-6	3.165133E-6	1.0	1.2142991E-5	1.3564795E-5	1.3564795E-5	1.0	1.4783088E-4	1.6514062E-4	1.6514062E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0014773258	0.0016503509	0.0016503509	1.0	0.0
7.3	7.0087293E-7	7.774461E-7	7.774461E-7	1.0	3.0037377E-6	3.33191E-6	3.33191E-6	1.0	3.656989E-5	4.056571E-5	4.056571E-5	1.0	0.0	3.6563876E-4	4.0562803E-4	4.0562803E-4	1.0	0.0
7.4	3.112171E-8	3.2070247E-8	3.2070247E-8	1.0	1.3337875E-7	1.374439E-7	1.374439E-7	1.0	1.6238852E-6	1.6733784E-6	1.6733784E-6	1.0	0.0	1.6238733E-5	1.6733666E-5	1.6733666E-5	1.0	0.0

San Jacinto (Coyote Creek)

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	2.7374346E-5	2.426198E-5	2.426198E-5	1.0	1.1731335E-4	1.0397579E-4	1.0397579E-4	1.0	0.0014273542	0.0012651727	0.00127516	1.007894	1.0E-5	0.01418221	0.012988786	0.012998656	1.0007598	1.0E-5
6.1	2.7374346E-5	2.426198E-5	2.426198E-5	1.0	1.1731335E-4	1.0397579E-4	1.0397579E-4	1.0	0.0014273542	0.0012651727	0.00127516	1.007894	1.0E-5	0.01418221	0.012988786	0.012998656	1.0007598	1.0E-5
6.2	2.7374346E-5	2.426198E-5	2.426198E-5	1.0	1.1731335E-4	1.0397579E-4	1.0397579E-4	1.0	0.0014273542	0.0012651727	0.00127516	1.007894	1.0E-5	0.01418221	0.012988786	0.012998656	1.0007598	1.0E-5
6.3	2.7374346E-5	2.426198E-5	2.426198E-5	1.0	1.1731335E-4	1.0397579E-4	1.0397579E-4	1.0	0.0014273542	0.0012651727	0.00127516	1.007894	1.0E-5	0.01418221	0.012988786	0.012998656	1.0007598	1.0E-5
6.4	2.7374346E-5	2.426198E-5	2.426198E-5	1.0	1.1731335E-4	1.0397579E-4	1.0397579E-4	1.0	0.0014273542	0.0012651727	0.00127516	1.007894	1.0E-5	0.01418221	0.012988786	0.012998656	1.0007598	1.0E-5
6.5	2.7282445E-5	2.4148007E-5	2.4148007E-5	1.0	1.16919524E-4	1.03487364E-4	1.03487364E-4	1.0	0.0014225657	0.0012592331	0.0012692205	1.0079314	1.0E-5	0.014134934	0.012930091	0.012939962	1.0007634	1.0E-5
6.6	2.7282445E-5	2.4148007E-5	2.4148007E-5	1.0	1.16919524E-4	1.03487364E-4	1.03487364E-4	1.0	0.0014225657	0.0012592331	0.0012692205	1.0079314	1.0E-5	0.014134934	0.012930091	0.012939962	1.0007634	1.0E-5
6.7	2.7216198E-5	2.4073093E-5	2.4073093E-5	1.0	1.1663563E-4	1.03166334E-4	1.03166334E-4	1.0	0.0014191137	0.001255329	0.0012653165	1.007956	1.0E-5	0.014100855	0.012891487	0.012901358	1.0007657	1.0E-5
6.8	2.7078617E-5	2.399024E-5	2.399024E-5	1.0	1.1604605E-4	1.0281128E-4	1.0281128E-4	1.0	0.001411945	0.0012510113	0.0012609988	1.0079836	1.0E-5	0.014030075	0.0128486	0.012858471	1.0007683	1.0E-5
6.9	2.6982952E-5	2.3909679E-5	2.3909679E-5	1.0	1.15636096E-4	1.02466045E-4	1.02466045E-4	1.0	0.0014069602	0.0012468128	0.0012568004	1.0080105	1.0E-5	0.013980856	0.012806859	0.01281673	1.0007708	1.0E-5
7.0	2.6449972E-5	2.3486446E-5	2.3486446E-5	1.0	1.1335209E-4	1.0065232E-4	1.0065232E-4	1.0	0.001379188	0.0012247558	0.0012347435	1.0081549	1.0E-5	0.0137065975	0.012588118	0.012597992	1.0007844	1.0E-5
7.1	2.6257849E-5	2.3312354E-5	2.3312354E-5	1.0	1.1252879E-4	9.9906276E-5	9.9906276E-5	1.0	0.0013691769	0.0012156827	0.0012256706	1.0082158	1.0E-5	0.013607717	0.012497902	0.012507777	1.0007901	1.0E-5
7.2	2.5270041E-5	2.2506234E-5	2.2506234E-5	1.0	1.0829568E-4	9.645174E-5	9.645174E-5	1.0	0.0013177024	0.0011736697	0.001183658	1.0085102	1.0E-5	0.013099162	0.012078611	0.012088491	1.0008179	1.0E-5
7.3	2.339701E-5	2.1236476E-5	2.1236476E-5	1.0	1.0026905E-4	9.1010304E-5	9.1010304E-5	1.0	0.001220092	0.0011074893	0.0011174782	1.0090194	1.0E-5	0.012134149	0.0114168385	0.0114267245	1.0008659	1.0E-5
7.4	2.296333E-5	2.0966416E-5	2.0966416E-5	1.0	9.841056E-5	8.985298E-5	8.985298E-5	1.0	0.0011974899	0.0010934131	0.0011034022	1.0091357	1.0E-5	0.011910575	0.011275737	0.0112856245	1.0008769	1.0E-5
7.5	2.2188895E-5	2.0488416E-5	2.0488416E-5	1.0	9.50918E-5	8.7804554E-5	8.7804554E-5	1.0	0.0011571277	0.0010684982	0.0010784875	1.009349	1.0E-5	0.011511209	0.011024921	0.011034811	1.000897	1.0E-5
7.6	2.0013189E-5	1.9072239E-5	1.9072239E-5	1.0	8.5767984E-5	8.173562E-5	8.173562E-5	1.0	0.001043725	9.946786E-4	0.0010046687	1.0100435	1.0E-5	0.010388365	0.010281745	0.0102916425	1.0009626	1.0E-5
7.7	1.7230794E-5	1.6850501E-5	1.6850501E-5	1.0	7.384417E-5	7.221444E-5	7.221444E-5	1.0	8.986819E-4	8.78857E-4	8.888482E-4	1.0113684	1.0E-5	0.008950562	0.009118687	0.009128597	1.0010866	1.0E-5
7.8	1.4478809E-5	1.5094091E-5	1.5094091E-5	1.0	6.205057E-5	6.468736E-5	6.468736E-5	1.0	7.552038E-4	7.872847E-4	7.9727685E-4	1.0126919	1.0E-5	0.0075264242	0.008195413	0.008205331	1.0012102	1.0E-5
7.9	1.1114467E-5	1.1736694E-5	1.1736694E-5	1.0	4.7632562E-5	5.0299153E-5	5.0299153E-5	1.0	5.797721E-4	6.122207E-4	6.222146E-4	1.0163239	1.0E-5	0.0057826187	0.006428502	0.006438438	1.0015455	1.0E-5
8.0	9.327402E-6	9.982416E-6	9.982416E-6	1.0	3.9973966E-5	4.278108E-5	4.278108E-5	1.0	4.8657437E-4	5.2073575E-4	5.307305E-4	1.0191936	1.0E-5	0.0048551033	0.005493728	0.005503673	1.0018103	1.0E-5
8.1	7.0235833E-6	6.8894324E-6	6.8894324E-6	1.0	3.0100724E-5	2.9525807E-5	2.9525807E-5	1.0	3.664147E-4	3.5941793E-4	3.694143E-4	1.0278127	1.0E-5	0.003658111	0.0038203835	0.003830345	1.0026076	1.0E-5
8.2	2.0358202E-6	9.1151486E-7	9.1151486E-7	1.0	8.724915E-6	3.9064867E-6	3.9064867E-6	1.0	1.06220665E-4	4.7560457E-5	4.7560457E-5	1.0	0.0	0.001061699	5.393413E-4	5.393413E-4	1.0	0.0
8.3	2.0051264E-7	6.7192694E-8	6.7192694E-8	1.0	8.5933965E-7	2.8796865E-7	2.8796865E-7	1.0	1.046241E-5	3.5060132E-6	3.5060132E-6	1.0	0.0	1.0461917E-4	4.0721698E-5	4.0721698E-5	1.0	0.0

Great Valley 03 Mysterious Ridge

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	3.1182444E-5	3.604503E-5	3.604503E-5	1.0	1.336322E-4	1.5447062E-4	1.5447062E-4	1.0	0.0016257578	0.0018792433	0.0018792433	1.0	0.016139153	0.018652268	0.018662082	1.0005261	1.0E-5
6.1	3.1182444E-5	3.604503E-5	3.604503E-5	1.0	1.336322E-4	1.5447062E-4	1.5447062E-4	1.0	0.0016257578	0.0018792433	0.0018792433	1.0	0.016139153	0.018652268	0.018662082	1.0005261	1.0E-5
6.2	3.1182444E-5	3.604503E-5	3.604503E-5	1.0	1.336322E-4	1.5447062E-4	1.5447062E-4	1.0	0.0016257578	0.0018792433	0.0018792433	1.0	0.016139153	0.018652268	0.018662082	1.0005261	1.0E-5
6.3	2.106934E-5	2.3856406E-5	2.3856406E-5	1.0	9.0294045E-5	1.02237915E-4	1.02237915E-4	1.0	0.0010987755	0.001244067	0.001244067	1.0	0.010933585	0.012374274	0.012374274	1.0	0.0
6.4	2.106934E-5	2.3856406E-5	2.3856406E-5	1.0	9.0294045E-5	1.02237915E-4	1.02237915E-4	1.0	0.0010987755	0.001244067	0.001244067	1.0	0.010933585	0.012374274	0.012374274	1.0	0.0
6.5	1.9389783E-5	2.1890439E-5	2.1890439E-5	1.0	8.309642E-5	9.3812945E-5	9.3812945E-5	1.0	0.0010112294	0.0011416019	0.0011416019	1.0	0.010066401	0.011360251	0.011360251	1.0	0.0
6.6	1.9370193E-5	2.1870359E-5	2.1870359E-5	1.0	8.301247E-5	9.37269E-5	9.37269E-5	1.0	0.0010102082	0.0011405554	0.0011405554	1.0	0.010056281	0.011349892	0.011349892	1.0	0.0
6.7	1.6723505E-5	1.8803798E-5	1.8803798E-5	1.0	7.16702E-5	8.058533E-5	8.058533E-5	1.0	8.722353E-4	9.807042E-4	9.807042E-4	1.0	0.008688197	0.009765774	0.009765774	1.0	0.0
6.8	1.426937E-5	1.6000957E-5	1.6000957E-5	1.0	6.115301E-5	6.857381E-5	6.857381E-5	1.0	7.4428355E-4	8.345808E-4	8.345808E-4	1.0	0.007417957	0.008315945	0.008315945	1.0	0.0
6.9	1.2469891E-5	1.3960147E-5	1.3960147E-5	1.0	5.3441294E-5	5.9827897E-5	5.9827897E-5	1.0	6.504535E-4	7.281733E-4	7.281733E-4	1.0	0.006485529	0.007259098	0.007259098	1.0	0.0
7.0	8.7746275E-6	9.793928E-6	9.793928E-6	1.0	3.7605005E-5	4.1973344E-5	4.1973344E-5	1.0	4.5774475E-4	5.1091297E-4	5.1091297E-4	1.0	0.00456803	0.0050981166	0.0050981166	1.0	0.0
7.1	6.1067153E-6	6.8152503E-6	6.8152503E-6	1.0	2.6171374E-5	2.920792E-5	2.920792E-5	1.0	3.1858988E-4	3.55554E-4	3.55554E-4	1.0	0.0031813353	0.0035504021	0.0035504021	1.0	0.0
7.2	2.939283E-6	3.2748273E-6	3.2748273E-6	1.0	1.2596866E-5	1.4034908E-5	1.4034908E-5	1.0	1.5335606E-4	1.7086336E-4	1.7086336E-4	1.0	0.0015325027	0.001707492	0.001707492	1.0	0.0
7.3	7.2387763E-7	8.0101614E-7	8.0101614E-7	1.0	3.102329E-6	3.4329244E-6	3.4329244E-6	1.0	3.77702E-5	4.1795513E-5	4.1795513E-5	1.0	3.7763783E-4	4.179215E-4	4.179215E-4	1.0	0.0
7.4	3.112171E-8	3.2070247E-8	3.2070247E-8	1.0	1.3337875E-7	1.374439E-7	1.374439E-7	1.0	1.6238852E-6	1.6733784E-6	1.6733784E-6	1.0	1.6238733E-5	1.6733666E-5	1.6733666E-5	1.0	0.0

Shoreline

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	3.9888673E-6	4.04816E-6	4.04816E-6	1.0	1.7095033E-5	1.7349174E-5	1.7349174E-5	1.0	2.0811215E-4	2.1121131E-4	2.1121131E-4	1.0	0.0020791737	0.0021106545	0.0021206334	1.0047278	1.0E-5
6.1	3.9888673E-6	4.04816E-6	4.04816E-6	1.0	1.7095033E-5	1.7349174E-5	1.7349174E-5	1.0	2.0811215E-4	2.1121131E-4	2.1121131E-4	1.0	0.0020791737	0.0021106545	0.0021206334	1.0047278	1.0E-5
6.2	1.4039653E-6	1.4102161E-6	1.4102161E-6	1.0	6.0169805E-6	6.0437696E-6	6.0437696E-6	1.0	7.325427E-5	7.358047E-5	7.358047E-5	1.0	7.3230127E-4	7.355671E-4	7.4555975E-4	1.013585	1.0E-5
6.3	1.4039653E-6	1.4102161E-6	1.4102161E-6	1.0	6.0169805E-6	6.0437696E-6	6.0437696E-6	1.0	7.325427E-5	7.358047E-5	7.358047E-5	1.0	7.3230127E-4	7.355671E-4	7.4555975E-4	1.013585	1.0E-5
6.4	1.3314152E-6	1.3362849E-6	1.3362849E-6	1.0	5.7060524E-6	5.7269226E-6	5.7269226E-6	1.0	6.946897E-5	6.972311E-5	6.972311E-5	1.0	6.9447263E-4	6.970177E-4	7.0701074E-4	1.0143368	1.0E-5
6.5	1.1187026E-6	1.1204822E-6	1.1204822E-6	1.0	4.794431E-6	4.8020584E-6	4.8020584E-6	1.0	5.8370628E-5	5.8463516E-5	5.8463516E-5	1.0	5.83553E-4	5.8448385E-4	5.9447804E-4	1.0170991	1.0E-5
6.6	9.793089E-7	9.786054E-7	9.786054E-7	1.0	4.1970316E-6	4.1940166E-6	4.1940166E-6	1.0	5.1097657E-5	5.1060968E-5	5.1060968E-5	1.0	5.108591E-4	5.1049364E-4	5.1049364E-4	1.0	0.0
6.7	8.995986E-7	8.9739046E-7	8.9739046E-7	1.0	3.8554167E-6	3.8459534E-6	3.8459534E-6	1.0	4.693869E-5	4.6823487E-5	4.6823487E-5	1.0	4.6928777E-4	4.6813718E-4	4.6813718E-4	1.0	0.0
6.8	7.931612E-7	7.881452E-7	7.881452E-7	1.0	3.3992578E-6	3.3777608E-6	3.3777608E-6	1.0	4.1385178E-5	4.112347E-5	4.112347E-5	1.0	4.1377472E-4	4.1115913E-4	4.1115913E-4	1.0	0.0
6.9	7.1465956E-7	7.079021E-7	7.079021E-7	1.0	3.062823E-6	3.0338626E-6	3.0338626E-6	1.0	3.7289232E-5	3.6936653E-5	3.6936653E-5	1.0	3.7282976E-4	3.6930552E-4	3.6930552E-4	1.0	0.0
7.0	6.389046E-7	6.3004313E-7	6.3004313E-7	1.0	2.7381598E-6	2.7001822E-6	2.7001822E-6	1.0	3.3336586E-5	3.2874224E-5	3.2874224E-5	1.0	3.3331584E-4	3.2869386E-4	3.2869386E-4	1.0	0.0
7.1	5.4300875E-7	5.312046E-7	5.312046E-7	1.0	2.3271782E-6	2.2765892E-6	2.2765892E-6	1.0	2.8333026E-5	2.771712E-5	2.771712E-5	1.0	2.8329415E-4	2.7713674E-4	2.7713674E-4	1.0	0.0
7.2	4.6768855E-7	4.5357643E-7	4.5357643E-7	1.0	2.0043778E-6	1.9438976E-6	1.9438976E-6	1.0	2.4403027E-5	2.3666695E-5	2.3666695E-5	1.0	2.4400349E-4	2.366418E-4	2.366418E-4	1.0	0.0
7.3	4.0966103E-7	3.9394033E-7	3.9394033E-7	1.0	1.7556889E-6	1.6883146E-6	1.6883146E-6	1.0	2.1375303E-5	2.0555037E-5	2.0555037E-5	1.0	2.1373246E-4	2.055314E-4	2.055314E-4	1.0	0.0
7.4	3.5105785E-7	3.3372024E-7	3.3372024E-7	1.0	1.5045327E-6	1.4302287E-6	1.4302287E-6	1.0	1.8317533E-5	1.7412896E-5	1.7412896E-5	1.0	1.8316023E-4	1.7411534E-4	1.7411534E-4	1.0	0.0
7.5	2.8737534E-7	2.6827738E-7	2.6827738E-7	1.0	1.2316079E-6	1.1497597E-6	1.1497597E-6	1.0	1.4994724E-5	1.3998234E-5	1.3998234E-5	1.0	1.4993713E-4	1.3997355E-4	1.3997355E-4	1.0	0.0
7.6	2.0924051E-7	1.8786231E-7	1.8786231E-7	1.0	8.967448E-7	8.0512393E-7	8.0512393E-7	1.0	1.0917813E-5	9.802339E-6	9.802339E-6	1.0	1.0917276E-4	9.801908E-5	9.801908E-5	1.0	0.0
7.7	1.392265E-7	1.1550162E-7	1.1550162E-7	1.0	5.9668486E-7	4.950068E-7	4.950068E-7	1.0	7.2646135E-6	6.0266916E-6	6.0266916E-6	1.0	7.2643765E-5	6.0265287E-5	6.0265287E-5	1.0	0.0
7.8	8.1080074E-8	5.5930364E-8	5.5930364E-8	1.0	3.4748598E-7	2.3970154E-7	2.3970154E-7	1.0	4.2306337E-6	2.9183623E-6	2.9183623E-6	1.0	4.230553E-5	2.9183242E-5	2.9183242E-5	1.0	0.0
7.9	5.0859036E-8	2.7302043E-8	2.7302043E-8	1.0	2.1796728E-7	1.1700875E-7	1.1700875E-7	1.0	2.6537484E-6	1.4245807E-6	1.4245807E-6	1.0	2.6537167E-5	1.4245716E-5	1.4245716E-5	1.0	0.0
8.0	3.1760536E-8	1.3621442E-8	1.3621442E-8	1.0	1.3611657E-7	5.83776E-8	5.83776E-8	1.0	1.6572179E-6	7.107471E-7	7.107471E-7	1.0	1.6572056E-5	7.1074483E-6	7.1074483E-6	1.0	0.0
8.1	1.2947896E-8	5.681641E-9	5.681641E-9	1.0	5.5490982E-8	2.4349887E-8	2.4349887E-8	1.0	6.756025E-7	2.9645983E-7	2.9645983E-7	1.0	6.7560045E-6	2.9645946E-6	2.9645946E-6	1.0	0.0

Brawley (Seismic Zone) alt 1

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	2.2521618E-4	4.776729E-4	4.776729E-4	1.0	9.6485513E-4	0.0020456007	0.0020456007	1.0	0.011683988	0.024613243	0.024622997	1.0003963	1.0E-5	0.11088423	0.21395981	0.21396767	1.0000367	1.0E-5
6.1	2.2521618E-4	4.776729E-4	4.776729E-4	1.0	9.6485513E-4	0.0020456007	0.0020456007	1.0	0.011683988	0.024613243	0.024622997	1.0003963	1.0E-5	0.11088423	0.21395981	0.21396767	1.0000367	1.0E-5
6.2	2.198148E-4	4.6848747E-4	4.6848747E-4	1.0	9.417233E-4	0.0020062951	0.0020062951	1.0	0.011405343	0.024146155	0.024155913	1.0004041	1.0E-5	0.10837428	0.21038997	0.21039787	1.0000376	1.0E-5
6.3	2.1704129E-4	4.6283443E-4	4.6283443E-4	1.0	9.298453E-4	0.001982105	0.001982105	1.0	0.011262234	0.023858448	0.02386821	1.0004091	1.0E-5	0.107082725	0.2082791	0.20828703	1.000038	1.0E-5
6.4	1.876142E-4	4.017173E-4	4.017173E-4	1.0	8.038131E-4	0.001720524	0.001720524	1.0	0.00974259	0.020744978	0.02075477	1.0004721	1.0E-5	0.093263686	0.18503235	0.1850405	1.000044	1.0E-5
6.5	1.7390939E-4	3.759906E-4	3.759906E-4	1.0	7.45113E-4	0.0016104055	0.0016104055	1.0	0.009034078	0.019431164	0.01944097	1.0005046	1.0E-5	0.086755216	0.17484573	0.17485398	1.0000472	1.0E-5
6.6	1.591791E-4	3.5007612E-4	3.5007612E-4	1.0	6.8201777E-4	0.0014994737	0.0014994737	1.0	0.008271996	0.018105352	0.01811517	1.0005423	1.0E-5	0.07970774	0.16423938	0.16424774	1.0000509	1.0E-5
6.7	1.4268003E-4	3.216537E-4	3.216537E-4	1.0	6.1134255E-4	0.0013777958	0.0013777958	1.0	0.007417723	0.016647456	0.016657291	1.0005907	1.0E-5	0.07174956	0.15234672	0.1523552	1.0000557	1.0E-5
6.8	1.239713E-4	2.914468E-4	2.914468E-4	1.0	5.3119735E-4	0.001248466	0.001248466	1.0	0.0064481674	0.0150955785	0.015105428	1.0006524	1.0E-5	0.06264243	0.13874088	0.1387495	1.0000621	1.0E-5
6.9	1.0180238E-4	2.6324694E-4	2.6324694E-4	1.0	4.3622297E-4	0.0011277177	0.0011277177	1.0	0.005298089	0.013644532	0.013654396	1.0007229	1.0E-5	0.05173543	0.12524758	0.12525633	1.0000699	1.0E-5
7.0	7.6619996E-5	2.2452515E-4	2.2452515E-4	1.0	3.283301E-4	9.61899E-4	9.61899E-4	1.0	0.0039900932	0.011648947	0.0116588315	1.0008484	1.0E-5	0.039192066	0.10748507	0.107494	1.0000831	1.0E-5
7.1	7.5127435E-5	2.213501E-4	2.213501E-4	1.0	3.2193496E-4	9.483016E-4	9.483016E-4	1.0	0.0039125155	0.011485156	0.011495041	1.0008607	1.0E-5	0.038443442	0.10604661	0.10605555	1.0000843	1.0E-5
7.2	6.788582E-5	2.026093E-4	2.026093E-4	1.0	2.9090676E-4	8.680396E-4	8.680396E-4	1.0	0.0035360386	0.010517813	0.010527708	1.0009408	1.0E-5	0.034803	0.09771205	0.09772107	1.0000924	1.0E-5
7.3	6.399602E-5	1.888977E-4	1.888977E-4	1.0	2.7423984E-4	8.0931326E-4	8.0931326E-4	1.0	0.0033337586	0.009809465	0.009819367	1.0010095	1.0E-5	0.03284188	0.091600604	0.091609694	1.0000992	1.0E-5
7.4	4.506759E-5	1.2567634E-4	1.2567634E-4	1.0	1.9313251E-4	5.385025E-4	5.385025E-4	1.0	0.0023488526	0.0065367348	0.0065466696	1.0015198	1.0E-5	0.023241805	0.06253236	0.06254173	1.00015	1.0E-5
7.5	3.43289E-5	9.367882E-5	9.367882E-5	1.0	1.4711556E-4	4.0141918E-4	4.0141918E-4	1.0	0.0017896603	0.004876389	0.0048863403	1.0020407	1.0E-5	0.01775316	0.04720012	0.04720965	1.0002018	1.0E-5
7.6	2.5980507E-5	7.0813774E-5	7.0813774E-5	1.0	1.1134028E-4	3.0345243E-4	3.0345243E-4	1.0	0.001354725	0.003688299	0.0036982622	1.0027013	1.0E-5	0.013464959	0.035968143	0.035977785	1.000268	1.0E-5
7.7	1.7292105E-5	4.9648545E-5	4.9648545E-5	1.0	7.4106916E-5	2.1276216E-4	2.1276216E-4	1.0	9.018782E-4	0.0025873077	0.002597282	1.003855	1.0E-5	0.008982267	0.02539993	0.025409676	1.0003837	1.0E-5
7.8	1.2927471E-5	3.9902796E-5	3.9902796E-5	1.0	5.5402274E-5	1.710008E-4	1.710008E-4	1.0	6.743139E-4	0.0020799492	0.0020899286	1.0047978	1.0E-5	0.0067227143	0.02052716	0.020536954	1.0004772	1.0E-5
7.9	1.0200774E-5	2.8914856E-5	2.8914856E-5	1.0	4.371687E-5	1.2391493E-4	1.2391493E-4	1.0	5.321229E-4	0.0015076213	0.0015176062	1.0066229	1.0E-5	0.005308505	0.015069848	0.015079698	1.0006536	1.0E-5
8.0	8.650396E-6	2.3422355E-5	2.3422355E-5	1.0	3.70726E-5	1.0037766E-4	1.0037766E-4	1.0	4.5126543E-4	0.0012214137	0.0012314016	1.0081773	1.0E-5	0.0045035016	0.012278532	0.012288409	1.0008044	1.0E-5
8.1	3.9368224E-6	7.389893E-6	7.389893E-6	1.0	1.6871985E-5	3.167059E-5	3.167059E-5	1.0	2.0539707E-4	3.855213E-4	3.9551745E-4	1.0259289	1.0E-5	0.0020520731	0.004031829	0.0040417886	1.0024703	1.0E-5
8.2	1.7101195E-6	2.2418465E-6	2.2418465E-6	1.0	7.329063E-6	9.607878E-6	9.607878E-6	1.0	8.922769E-5	1.1696968E-4	1.269685E-4	1.0854822	1.0E-5	8.9191867E-4	0.0012789777	0.001288965	1.0078087	1.0E-5
8.3	3.0346666E-8	1.7462124E-8	1.7462124E-8	1.0	1.3005713E-7	7.483767E-8	7.483767E-8	1.0	1.5834444E-6	9.1114856E-7	9.1114856E-7	1.0	0.0	1.5834332E-5	9.49799E-6	9.49799E-6	1.0	0.0

San Jacinto (Superstition Mtn)

(top)

1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	6.4193904E-5	9.6104115E-5	9.6104115E-5	1.0	2.7508775E-4	4.1181638E-4	4.1181638E-4	1.0	0.0033440501	0.0050037336	0.0050136833	1.0019885	1.0E-5	0.03294174	0.04887582	0.04888533	1.0001945	1.0E-5
6.1	6.4193904E-5	9.6104115E-5	9.6104115E-5	1.0	2.7508775E-4	4.1181638E-4	4.1181638E-4	1.0	0.0033440501	0.0050037336	0.0050136833	1.0019885	1.0E-5	0.03294174	0.04887582	0.04888533	1.0001945	1.0E-5
6.2	5.7023593E-5	8.324506E-5	8.324506E-5	1.0	2.4436394E-4	3.5672518E-4	3.5672518E-4	1.0	0.002971072	0.0043361224	0.0043460787	1.0022962	1.0E-5	0.029316625	0.042555425	0.042565	1.000225	1.0E-5
6.3	5.6940098E-5	8.309037E-5	8.309037E-5	1.0	2.4400617E-4	3.560624E-4	3.560624E-4	1.0	0.002966728	0.004328085	0.004338042	1.0023005	1.0E-5	0.029274331	0.042478777	0.04248835	1.0002254	1.0E-5
6.4	5.4171585E-5	7.758071E-5	7.758071E-5	1.0	2.3214328E-4	3.324557E-4	3.324557E-4	1.0	0.0028226813	0.004041785	0.0040517445	1.0024642	1.0E-5	0.02787096	0.039766487	0.03977609	1.0002415	1.0E-5
6.5	4.375144E-5	5.651529E-5	5.651529E-5	1.0	1.874927E-4	2.4219253E-4	2.4219253E-4	1.0	0.0022803338	0.002945883	0.0029558535	1.0033846	1.0E-5	0.022570757	0.029285092	0.0292948	1.0003315	1.0E-5
6.6	2.772192E-5	2.5577456E-5	2.5577456E-5	1.0	1.1880282E-4	1.0961317E-4	1.0961317E-4	1.0	0.0014454646	0.0013337428	0.0013437294	1.0074877	1.0E-5	0.014360986	0.013585948	0.013595813	1.0007261	1.0E-5
6.7	2.7124124E-5	2.4788016E-5	2.4788016E-5	1.0	1.1624106E-4	1.0623014E-4	1.0623014E-4	1.0	0.0014143161	0.0012926038	0.001302591	1.0077263	1.0E-5	0.014053487	0.013179125	0.013188994	1.0007488	1.0E-5
6.8	2.5475807E-5	2.2250813E-5	2.2250813E-5	1.0	1.0917746E-4	9.535721E-5	9.535721E-5	1.0	0.001328425	0.0011603677	0.0011703562	1.008608	1.0E-5	0.0132051185	0.011866234	0.011876116	1.0008327	1.0E-5
6.9	2.1162023E-5	1.770578E-5	1.770578E-5	1.0	9.069123E-5	7.5879725E-5	7.5879725E-5	1.0	0.0011036064	9.2344783E-4	9.3343866E-4	1.010819	1.0E-5	0.010981417	0.009488132	0.009498037	1.0010439	1.0E-5
7.0	1.8754288E-5	1.6237516E-5	1.6237516E-5	1.0	8.037304E-5	6.958751E-5	6.958751E-5	1.0	9.781026E-4	8.4690115E-4	8.568927E-4	1.0117978	1.0E-5	0.009738087	0.008709618	0.008719531	1.0011382	1.0E-5
7.1	1.8678527E-5	1.6162578E-5	1.6162578E-5	1.0	8.0048376E-5	6.926636E-5	6.926636E-5	1.0	9.7415317E-4	8.4299414E-4	8.529857E-4	1.0118525	1.0E-5	0.009698939	0.008670506	0.008680419	1.0011433	1.0E-5
7.2	1.7804578E-5	1.5456342E-5	1.5456342E-5	1.0	7.6303106E-5	6.6239794E-5	6.6239794E-5	1.0	9.285943E-4	8.061734E-4	8.1616535E-4	1.0123943	1.0E-5	0.009247236	0.00830152	0.0083114365	1.0011946	1.0E-5
7.3	1.6583685E-5	1.4604595E-5	1.4604595E-5	1.0	7.1070994E-5	6.2589635E-5	6.2589635E-5	1.0	8.649459E-4	7.617644E-4	7.7175675E-4	1.0131174	1.0E-5	0.00861587	0.007856389	0.00786631	1.0012629	1.0E-5
7.4	1.6387552E-5	1.44693395E-5	1.44693395E-5	1.0	7.023047E-5	6.200999E-5	6.200999E-5	1.0	8.5472054E-4	7.5471215E-4	7.647046E-4	1.0132401	1.0E-5	0.008514405	0.007785693	0.007795615	1.0012745	1.0E-5
7.5	1.5790754E-5	1.4109283E-5	1.4109283E-5	1.0	6.767291E-5	6.0466966E-5	6.0466966E-5	1.0	8.236062E-4	7.359386E-4	7.4593123E-4	1.013578	1.0E-5	0.008205604	0.007595896	0.00760582	1.0013065	1.0E-5
7.6	1.4248672E-5	1.3126391E-5	1.3126391E-5	1.0	6.106431E-5	5.625476E-5	5.625476E-5	1.0	7.432043E-4	6.846882E-4	6.9468137E-4	1.0145952	1.0E-5	0.007407237	0.0070775636	0.007087493	1.001403	1.0E-5
7.7	1.15449975E-5	1.0972128E-5	1.0972128E-5	1.0	4.947762E-5	4.702256E-5	4.702256E-5	1.0	6.022235E-4	5.7235005E-4	5.8234436E-4	1.0174618	1.0E-5	0.006005941	0.005946018	0.0059559583	1.0016718	1.0E-5
7.8	9.1391985E-6	9.580185E-6	9.580185E-6	1.0	3.9167408E-5	4.1057294E-5	4.1057294E-5	1.0	4.767588E-4	4.997585E-4	5.0975353E-4	1.0199996	1.0E-5	0.0047573727	0.005211357	0.005221305	1.0019089	1.0E-5
7.9	6.973017E-6	7.4409E-6	7.4409E-6	1.0	2.9884017E-5	3.1889183E-5	3.1889183E-5	1.0	3.6377716E-4	3.8818218E-4	3.981783E-4	1.0257511	1.0E-5	0.0036318225	0.004082651	0.0040926104	1.0024394	1.0E-5
8.0	5.7638235E-6	6.313643E-6	6.313643E-6	1.0	2.4701867E-5	2.7058193E-5	2.7058193E-5	1.0	3.0070372E-4	3.293842E-4	3.393809E-4	1.0303497	1.0E-5	0.0030029714	0.003481583	0.0034915484	1.0028622	1.0E-5
8.1	5.1124434E-6	5.5446503E-6	5.5446503E-6	1.0	2.1910288E-5	2.3762574E-5	2.3762574E-5	1.0	2.6672508E-4	2.892714E-4	2.9926852E-4	1.0345596	1.0E-5	0.0026640517	0.003066024	0.0030759934	1.0032516	1.0E-5
8.2	1.1075938E-6	5.404807E-7	5.404807E-7	1.0	4.7468216E-6	2.3163439E-6	2.3163439E-6	1.0	5.779102E-5	2.8201144E-5	2.8201144E-5	1.0	0.0	5.777599E-4	3.1729226E-4	3.1729226E-4	1.0	0.0
8.3	1.3584393E-8	4.539057E-9	4.539057E-9	1.0	5.8218827E-8	1.9453102E-8	1.9453102E-8	1.0	7.0881396E-7	2.3684153E-7	2.3684153E-7	1.0	0.0	7.0881174E-6	2.6516934E-6	2.6516934E-6	1.0	0.0

San Jacinto (San Jacinto Valley) rev

(top)

1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	3.652694E-5	3.46213E-5	3.46213E-5	1.0	1.5653463E-4	1.4836855E-4	1.4836855E-4	1.0	0.0019041431	0.0018048923	0.0018148742	1.0055305	1.0E-5	0.018879099	0.018639479	0.018649293	1.0005265	1.0E-5
6.1	3.652694E-5	3.46213E-5	3.46213E-5	1.0	1.5653463E-4	1.4836855E-4	1.4836855E-4	1.0	0.0019041431	0.0018048923	0.0018148742	1.0055305	1.0E-5	0.018879099	0.018639479	0.018649293	1.0005265	1.0E-5
6.2	3.652694E-5	3.46213E-5	3.46213E-5	1.0	1.5653463E-4	1.4836855E-4	1.4836855E-4	1.0	0.0019041431	0.0018048923	0.0018148742	1.0055305	1.0E-5	0.018879099	0.018639479	0.018649293	1.0005265	1.0E-5
6.3	3.652694E-5	3.46213E-5	3.46213E-5	1.0	1.5653463E-4	1.4836855E-4	1.4836855E-4	1.0	0.0019041431	0.0018048923	0.0018148742	1.0055305	1.0E-5	0.018879099	0.018639479	0.018649293	1.0005265	1.0E-5
6.4	3.646941E-5	3.454282E-5	3.454282E-5	1.0	1.5628811E-4	1.4803227E-4	1.4803227E-4	1.0	0.0019011468	0.0018008052	0.0018107872	1.0055431	1.0E-5	0.018849645	0.018599339	0.018609153	1.0005276	1.0E-5
6.5	3.646941E-5	3.454282E-5	3.454282E-5	1.0	1.5628811E-4	1.4803227E-4	1.4803227E-4	1.0	0.0019011468	0.0018008052	0.0018107872	1.0055431	1.0E-5	0.018849645	0.018599339	0.018609153	1.0005276	1.0E-5
6.6	3.6442503E-5	3.450618E-5	3.450618E-5	1.0	1.561728E-4	1.4787527E-4	1.4787527E-4	1.0	0.0018997455	0.001798897	0.0018088791	1.005549	1.0E-5	0.018835869	0.018580597	0.018590411	1.0005282	1.0E-5
6.7	3.6432113E-5	3.449175E-5	3.449175E-5	1.0	1.5612828E-4	1.4781342E-4	1.4781342E-4	1.0	0.0018992044	0.0017981454	0.0018081274	1.0055513	1.0E-5	0.018830549	0.018573217	0.018583031	1.0005285	1.0E-5
6.8	3.6409598E-5	3.4460783E-5	3.4460783E-5	1.0	1.560318E-4	1.4768072E-4	1.4768072E-4	1.0	0.0018980318	0.0017965324	0.0018065145	1.0055562	1.0E-5	0.018819023	0.018557362	0.018567177	1.0005288	1.0E-5
6.9	3.638078E-5	3.4421177E-5	3.4421177E-5	1.0	1.5590832E-4	1.47511E-4	1.47511E-4	1.0	0.0018965311	0.0017944695	0.0018044517	1.0055627	1.0E-5	0.018804269	0.018537084	0.018546898	1.0005294	1.0E-5
7.0	3.6294874E-5	3.430311E-5	3.430311E-5	1.0	1.5554018E-4	1.4700506E-4	1.4700506E-4	1.0	0.0018920569	0.00178832	0.0017983022	1.0055819	1.0E-5	0.018760284	0.01847663	0.018486446	1.0005312	1.0E-5
7.1	3.6260717E-5	3.425937E-5	3.425937E-5	1.0	1.5539382E-4	1.4681763E-4	1.4681763E-4	1.0	0.001890278	0.0017860418	0.0017960239	1.005589	1.0E-5	0.018742796	0.018454222	0.018464038	1.0005319	1.0E-5
7.2	3.6210204E-5	3.4193472E-5	3.4193472E-5	1.0	1.5517735E-4	1.4653523E-4	1.4653523E-4	1.0	0.001887647	0.0017826093	0.0017925914	1.0055997	1.0E-5	0.01871693	0.018420458	0.018430274	1.0005329	1.0E-5
7.3	3.6119454E-5	3.4081488E-5	3.4081488E-5	1.0	1.5478847E-4	1.4605535E-4	1.4605535E-4	1.0	0.0018829206	0.0017767763	0.0017867584	1.0056182	1.0E-5	0.018670462	0.01836288	0.018372696	1.0005345	1.0E-5
7.4	3.607848E-5	3.4028883E-5	3.4028883E-5	1.0	1.5461289E-4	1.4582992E-4	1.4582992E-4	1.0	0.0018807866	0.0017740362	0.0017840185	1.0056269	1.0E-5	0.018649481	0.018335821	0.01834564	1.0005354	1.0E-5
7.5	3.5856774E-5	3.383749E-5	3.383749E-5	1.0	1.5366284E-4	1.4500976E-4	1.4500976E-4	1.0	0.0018692396	0.001764067	0.0017740492	1.0056587	1.0E-5	0.018535944	0.018236317	0.018246135	1.0005383	1.0E-5
7.6	3.286655E-5	3.235092E-5	3.235092E-5	1.0	1.4084904E-4	1.3863944E-4	1.3863944E-4	1.0	0.001713488	0.0016866304	0.0016966135	1.005919	1.0E-5	0.017003361	0.017451072	0.017460898	1.000563	1.0E-5
7.7	2.8882527E-5	2.9439245E-5	2.9439245E-5	1.0	1.237764E-4	1.261621E-4	1.261621E-4	1.0	0.0015059357	0.0015349423	0.001544927	1.0065049	1.0E-5	0.014957713	0.015935382	0.015945222	1.0006175	1.0E-5
7.8	2.4950225E-5	2.6722435E-5	2.6722435E-5	1.0	1.0692515E-4	1.14519695E-4	1.14519695E-4	1.0	0.0013010362	0.0013933864	0.0014033725	1.0071667	1.0E-5	0.012934455	0.014512955	0.01452281	1.000679	1.0E-5
7.9	1.9881603E-5	2.1682961E-5	2.1682961E-5	1.0	8.520408E-5	9.292368E-5	9.292368E-5	1.0	0.001036866	0.0011307594	0.001140748	1.0088336	1.0E-5	0.010320415	0.011868326	0.011878207	1.0008326	1.0E-5
8.0	1.563292E-5	1.607885E-5	1.607885E-5	1.0	6.6996516E-5	6.890754E-5	6.890754E-5	1.0	8.153773E-4	8.3862705E-4	8.486187E-4	1.0119143	1.0E-5	0.00812392	0.008884826	0.008894737	1.0011156	1.0E-5
8.1	1.0045313E-5	8.384248E-6	8.384248E-6	1.0	4.305063E-5	3.5932E-5	3.5932E-5	1.0	5.2401534E-4	4.373848E-4	4.4738041E-4	1.0228531	1.0E-5	0.0052278144	0.0047033634	0.0047133164	1.0021161	1.0E-5
8.2	4.1554413E-6	1.5889781E-6	1.5889781E-6	1.0	1.7808914E-5	6.8098884E-6	6.8098884E-6	1.0	2.1680194E-4	8.290727E-5	8.290727E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0021659054	9.6168317E-4	9.6168317E-4	1.0	0.0
8.3	1.2758221E-6	3.6782495E-7	3.6782495E-7	1.0	5.4677976E-6	1.5763917E-6	1.5763917E-6	1.0	6.65684E-5	1.9192405E-5	1.9192405E-5	1.0	0.0	6.6548464E-4	2.3124217E-4	2.3124217E-4	1.0	0.0

La Panza 2011

(top)

1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	4.6754544E-6	4.7178933E-6	4.7178933E-6	1.0	2.0037509E-5	2.0219397E-5	2.0219397E-5	1.0	2.4392935E-4	2.461453E-4	2.461453E-4	1.0	0.0024366176	0.0024589212	0.0024688966	1.0040568	1.0E-5
6.1	4.6754544E-6	4.7178933E-6	4.7178933E-6	1.0	2.0037509E-5	2.0219397E-5	2.0219397E-5	1.0	2.4392935E-4	2.461453E-4	2.461453E-4	1.0	0.0024366176	0.0024589212	0.0024688966	1.0040568	1.0E-5
6.2	4.6754544E-6	4.7178933E-6	4.7178933E-6	1.0	2.0037509E-5	2.0219397E-5	2.0219397E-5	1.0	2.4392935E-4	2.461453E-4	2.461453E-4	1.0	0.0024366176	0.0024589212	0.0024688966	1.0040568	1.0E-5
6.3	4.6754544E-6	4.7178933E-6	4.7178933E-6	1.0	2.0037509E-5	2.0219397E-5	2.0219397E-5	1.0	2.4392935E-4	2.461453E-4	2.461453E-4	1.0	0.0024366176	0.0024589212	0.0024688966	1.0040568	1.0E-5
6.4	4.6754544E-6	4.7178933E-6	4.7178933E-6	1.0	2.0037509E-5	2.0219397E-5	2.0219397E-5	1.0	2.4392935E-4	2.461453E-4	2.461453E-4	1.0	0.0024366176	0.0024589212	0.0024688966	1.0040568	1.0E-5
6.5	2.485343E-6	2.5008526E-6	2.5008526E-6	1.0	1.0651426E-5	1.0717898E-5	1.0717898E-5	1.0	1.296734E-4	1.3048298E-4	1.3048298E-4	1.0	0.0012959775	0.001304102	0.001314089	1.0076581	1.0E-5
6.6	2.485343E-6	2.5008526E-6	2.5008526E-6	1.0	1.0651426E-5	1.0717898E-5	1.0717898E-5	1.0	1.296734E-4	1.3048298E-4	1.3048298E-4	1.0	0.0012959775	0.001304102	0.001314089	1.0076581	1.0E-5
6.7	1.5108508E-6	1.5148687E-6	1.5148687E-6	1.0	6.4750584E-6	6.492279E-6	6.492279E-6	1.0	7.8830984E-5	7.9040736E-5	7.9040736E-5	1.0	7.880303E-4	7.901371E-4	7.901371E-4	1.0	0.0
6.8	1.3865837E-6	1.3887378E-6	1.3887378E-6	1.0	5.942488E-6	5.9517206E-6	5.9517206E-6	1.0	7.234739E-5	7.245989E-5	7.245989E-5	1.0	7.232384E-4	7.243724E-4	7.243724E-4	1.0	0.0
6.9	9.826583E-7	9.798466E-7	9.798466E-7	1.0	4.2113857E-6	4.199336E-6	4.199336E-6	1.0	5.1272415E-5	5.112577E-5	5.112577E-5	1.0	5.126059E-4	5.1114545E-4	5.1114545E-4	1.0	0.0
7.0	6.7797646E-7	6.7123176E-7	6.7123176E-7	1.0	2.9056102E-6	2.8767047E-6	2.8767047E-6	1.0	3.537523E-5	3.5023346E-5	3.5023346E-5	1.0	3.5369597E-4	3.5018136E-4	3.5018136E-4	1.0	0.0
7.1	3.4979826E-7	3.389411E-7	3.389411E-7	1.0	1.4991346E-6	1.452604E-6	1.452604E-6	1.0	1.825181E-5	1.7685321E-5	1.7685321E-5	1.0	1.825031E-4	1.7684032E-4	1.7684032E-4	1.0	0.0
7.2	2.5088332E-7	2.3851834E-7	2.3851834E-7	1.0	1.0752137E-6	1.0222211E-6	1.0222211E-6	1.0	1.3090649E-5	1.2445479E-5	1.2445479E-5	1.0	1.3089878E-4	1.2444868E-4	1.2444868E-4	1.0	0.0
7.3	1.0159086E-7	8.664048E-8	8.664048E-8	1.0	4.3538932E-7	3.713163E-7	3.713163E-7	1.0	5.300852E-6	4.520767E-6	4.520767E-6	1.0	5.3007258E-5	4.5206794E-5	4.5206794E-5	1.0	0.0
7.4	3.5006252E-8	1.9466446E-8	1.9466446E-8	1.0	1.5002678E-7	8.342763E-8	8.342763E-8	1.0	1.8265745E-6	1.015731E-6	1.015731E-6	1.0	1.8265595E-5	1.0157265E-5	1.0157265E-5	1.0	0.0
7.5	2.592274E-8	1.0285233E-8	1.0285233E-8	1.0	1.1109746E-7	4.407957E-8	4.407957E-8	1.0	1.3526106E-6	5.3666867E-7	5.3666867E-7	1.0	1.3526024E-5	5.3666745E-6	5.3666745E-6	1.0	0.0
7.6	1.9016717E-8	5.27415E-9	5.27415E-9	1.0	8.150022E-8	2.2603501E-8	2.2603501E-8	1.0	9.922647E-7	2.7519758E-7	2.7519758E-7	1.0	9.922603E-6	2.7519727E-6	2.7519727E-6	1.0	0.0
7.7	1.17738495E-8	1.2522341E-9	1.2522341E-9	1.0	5.0459356E-8	5.3667195E-9	5.3667195E-9	1.0	6.1434247E-7	6.5339805E-8	6.5339805E-8	1.0	6.143408E-6	6.533979E-7	6.533979E-7	1.0	0.0
7.8	5.489079E-9	2.0434066E-10	2.0434066E-10	1.0	2.3524624E-8	8.7574703E-10	8.7574703E-10	1.0	2.8641225E-7	1.0662221E-8	1.0662221E-8	1.0	2.8641189E-6	1.0662222E-7	1.0662222E-7	1.0	0.0
7.9	2.5081048E-9	6.8053785E-11	6.8053785E-11	1.0	1.0749021E-8	2.916598E-10	2.916598E-10	1.0	1.3086932E-7	3.5509602E-9	3.5509602E-9	1.0	1.3086925E-6	3.5509604E-8	3.5509604E-8	1.0	0.0

Point Reyes 2011 CFM

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	8.8644965E-6	8.967717E-6	8.967717E-6	1.0	3.7990147E-5	3.843254E-5	4.8432157E-5	1.2601862	1.0E-5	4.624319E-4	4.6782198E-4	4.7781732E-4	1.0213656	1.0E-5	0.0046147075	0.0046690004	0.0046789534	1.0021318	1.0E-5
6.1	4.526405E-6	4.539595E-6	4.539595E-6	1.0	1.9398734E-5	1.9455267E-5	2.9455072E-5	1.5139896	1.0E-5	2.36154E-4	2.3684317E-4	2.4684082E-4	1.042212	1.0E-5	0.002359032	0.0023660138	0.0023759902	1.0042166	1.0E-5
6.2	4.526405E-6	4.539595E-6	4.539595E-6	1.0	1.9398734E-5	1.9455267E-5	2.9455072E-5	1.5139896	1.0E-5	2.36154E-4	2.3684317E-4	2.4684082E-4	1.042212	1.0E-5	0.002359032	0.0023660138	0.0023759902	1.0042166	1.0E-5
6.3	2.6842322E-6	2.660981E-6	2.660981E-6	1.0	1.1503801E-5	1.1404155E-5	2.1404041E-5	1.8768634	1.0E-5	1.4004979E-4	1.3883694E-4	1.4883555E-4	1.072017	1.0E-5	0.0013996155	0.0013875238	0.00139751	1.0071971	1.0E-5
6.4	2.6842322E-6	2.660981E-6	2.660981E-6	1.0	1.1503801E-5	1.1404155E-5	2.1404041E-5	1.8768634	1.0E-5	1.4004979E-4	1.3883694E-4	1.4883555E-4	1.072017	1.0E-5	0.0013996155	0.0013875238	0.00139751	1.0071971	1.0E-5
6.5	1.9281833E-6	1.8909037E-6	1.8909037E-6	1.0	8.263617E-6	8.103848E-6	1.8103767E-5	2.2339716	1.0E-5	1.0060489E-4	9.865997E-5	1.08658984E-4	1.1013483	1.0E-5	0.0010055936	9.861726E-4	9.961626E-4	1.0101302	1.0E-5
6.6	1.4726726E-6	1.4272191E-6	1.4272191E-6	1.0	6.3114385E-6	6.1166393E-6	6.1166393E-6	1.0	0.0	7.683905E-5	7.4467585E-5	7.4467585E-5	1.0	0.0	7.6812494E-4	7.444335E-4	7.444335E-4	1.0	0.0
6.7	8.572307E-7	8.0096146E-7	8.0096146E-7	1.0	3.6738406E-6	3.4326874E-6	3.4326874E-6	1.0	0.0	4.472809E-5	4.1792184E-5	4.1792184E-5	1.0	0.0	4.471909E-4	4.1784716E-4	4.1784716E-4	1.0	0.0
6.8	6.6745434E-7	6.0796395E-7	6.0796395E-7	1.0	2.8605155E-6	2.6055573E-6	2.6055573E-6	1.0	0.0	3.482622E-5	3.1722207E-5	3.1722207E-5	1.0	0.0	3.4820763E-4	3.171801E-4	3.171801E-4	1.0	0.0
6.9	4.291521E-7	3.6558538E-7	3.6558538E-7	1.0	1.839222E-6	1.5667935E-6	1.5667935E-6	1.0	0.0	2.2392298E-5	1.9075547E-5	1.9075547E-5	1.0	0.0	2.2390042E-4	1.9074175E-4	1.9074175E-4	1.0	0.0
7.0	2.6812808E-7	2.0209461E-7	2.0209461E-7	1.0	1.1491198E-6	8.661195E-7	8.661195E-7	1.0	0.0	1.3990444E-5	1.0544954E-5	1.0544954E-5	1.0	0.0	1.3989564E-4	1.0544688E-4	1.0544688E-4	1.0	0.0
7.1	1.9451231E-7	1.2747282E-7	1.2747282E-7	1.0	8.336239E-7	5.46312E-7	5.46312E-7	1.0	0.0	1.0149324E-5	6.6513276E-6	6.6513276E-6	1.0	0.0	1.014886E-4	6.651356E-5	6.651356E-5	1.0	0.0
7.2	1.6715143E-7	1.00642986E-7	1.00642986E-7	1.0	7.1636305E-7	4.3132704E-7	4.3132704E-7	1.0	0.0	8.721685E-6	5.2513938E-6	5.2513938E-6	1.0	0.0	8.721343E-5	5.2514966E-5	5.2514966E-5	1.0	0.0
7.3	1.5503173E-7	9.0342404E-8	9.0342404E-8	1.0	6.644215E-7	3.871817E-7	3.871817E-7	1.0	0.0	8.089301E-6	4.7139265E-6	4.7139265E-6	1.0	0.0	8.089007E-5	4.7140536E-5	4.7140536E-5	1.0	0.0
7.4	1.4251614E-7	8.118185E-8	8.118185E-8	1.0	6.1078333E-7	3.479222E-7	3.479222E-7	1.0	0.0	7.4362615E-6	4.2359443E-6	4.2359443E-6	1.0	0.0	7.436013E-5	4.2360905E-5	4.2360905E-5	1.0	0.0
7.5	1.2710186E-7	7.0493925E-8	7.0493925E-8	1.0	5.447221E-7	3.0211683E-7	3.0211683E-7	1.0	0.0	6.6319717E-6	3.6782658E-6	3.6782658E-6	1.0	0.0	6.6317734E-5	3.678432E-5	3.678432E-5	1.0	0.0
7.6	1.0144708E-7	5.5133064E-8	5.5133064E-8	1.0	4.347731E-7	2.3628456E-7	2.3628456E-7	1.0	0.0	5.2933497E-6	2.8767606E-6	2.8767606E-6	1.0	0.0	5.293224E-5	2.8769502E-5	2.8769502E-5	1.0	0.0
7.7	7.090527E-8	3.99745E-8	3.99745E-8	1.0	3.038797E-7	1.7131929E-7	1.7131929E-7	1.0	0.0	3.699729E-6	2.0858104E-6	2.0858104E-6	1.0	0.0	3.6996673E-5	2.0860176E-5	2.0860176E-5	1.0	0.0
7.8	3.8712045E-8	2.7569504E-8	2.7569504E-8	1.0	1.6590876E-7	1.18155036E-7	1.18155036E-7	1.0	0.0	2.0199373E-6	1.4385365E-6	1.4385365E-6	1.0	0.0	2.0199188E-5	1.4387541E-5	1.4387541E-5	1.0	0.0
7.9	1.7068782E-8	1.1939118E-8	1.1939118E-8	1.0	7.315192E-8	5.116766E-8	5.116766E-8	1.0	0.0	8.906242E-7	6.2296607E-7	6.2296607E-7	1.0	0.0	8.906207E-6	6.231912E-6	6.231912E-6	1.0	0.0
8.0	1.0172592E-8	7.1169284E-9	7.1169284E-9	1.0	4.359682E-8	3.050113E-8	3.050113E-8	1.0	0.0	5.3079117E-7	3.7135118E-7	3.7135118E-7	1.0	0.0	5.307899E-6	3.7157743E-6	3.7157743E-6	1.0	0.0
8.1	3.7861243E-9	3.588338E-9	3.588338E-9	1.0	1.6226247E-8	1.5378596E-8	1.5378596E-8	1.0	0.0	1.9755454E-7	1.8723439E-7	1.8723439E-7	1.0	0.0	1.9755437E-6	1.8742838E-6	1.8742838E-6	1.0	0.0

San Jacinto (San Bernardino)

(top)

1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	3.409352E-5	3.6217036E-5	3.6217036E-5	1.0	1.461069E-4	1.5520664E-4	1.5520664E-4	1.0	0.0017774	0.0018880047	0.0018979858	1.0052866	1.0E-5	0.01763251	0.019467667	0.019477472	1.0005037	1.0E-5
6.1	3.409352E-5	3.6217036E-5	3.6217036E-5	1.0	1.461069E-4	1.5520664E-4	1.5520664E-4	1.0	0.0017774	0.0018880047	0.0018979858	1.0052866	1.0E-5	0.01763251	0.019467667	0.019477472	1.0005037	1.0E-5
6.2	3.409352E-5	3.6217036E-5	3.6217036E-5	1.0	1.461069E-4	1.5520664E-4	1.5520664E-4	1.0	0.0017774	0.0018880047	0.0018979858	1.0052866	1.0E-5	0.01763251	0.019467667	0.019477472	1.0005037	1.0E-5
6.3	3.409352E-5	3.6217036E-5	3.6217036E-5	1.0	1.461069E-4	1.5520664E-4	1.5520664E-4	1.0	0.0017774	0.0018880047	0.0018979858	1.0052866	1.0E-5	0.01763251	0.019467667	0.019477472	1.0005037	1.0E-5
6.4	3.400795E-5	3.610965E-5	3.610965E-5	1.0	1.4574021E-4	1.5474646E-4	1.5474646E-4	1.0	0.0017729428	0.0018824118	0.001892393	1.0053023	1.0E-5	0.017588645	0.019412728	0.019422533	1.0005051	1.0E-5
6.5	3.341482E-5	3.536993E-5	3.536993E-5	1.0	1.4319851E-4	1.5157662E-4	1.5157662E-4	1.0	0.0017420477	0.0018438846	0.0018538662	1.0054133	1.0E-5	0.017284546	0.019034138	0.019043947	1.0005153	1.0E-5
6.6	3.3364955E-5	3.5307115E-5	3.5307115E-5	1.0	1.4298483E-4	1.5130745E-4	1.5130745E-4	1.0	0.0017394501	0.0018406131	0.0018505947	1.005423	1.0E-5	0.017258976	0.01900199	0.0190118	1.0005163	1.0E-5
6.7	3.335922E-5	3.5296885E-5	3.5296885E-5	1.0	1.4296026E-4	1.5126361E-4	1.5126361E-4	1.0	0.0017391514	0.0018400801	0.0018500618	1.0054245	1.0E-5	0.017256035	0.01899678	0.019006591	1.0005164	1.0E-5
6.8	3.327683E-5	3.5190897E-5	3.5190897E-5	1.0	1.4260718E-4	1.5080941E-4	1.5080941E-4	1.0	0.0017348597	0.0018345597	0.0018445414	1.005441	1.0E-5	0.017213784	0.018942531	0.018952342	1.000518	1.0E-5
6.9	3.3235785E-5	3.5131816E-5	3.5131816E-5	1.0	1.4243131E-4	1.5055624E-4	1.5055624E-4	1.0	0.0017327217	0.0018314825	0.0018414642	1.00545	1.0E-5	0.017192734	0.018912386	0.018922197	1.0005188	1.0E-5
7.0	3.3197095E-5	3.5071702E-5	3.5071702E-5	1.0	1.422655E-4	1.5029866E-4	1.5029866E-4	1.0	0.0017307063	0.0018283516	0.0018383333	1.0054594	1.0E-5	0.017172894	0.018881747	0.018891558	1.0005196	1.0E-5
7.1	3.3129716E-5	3.4951823E-5	3.4951823E-5	1.0	1.4197677E-4	1.4978493E-4	1.4978493E-4	1.0	0.0017271966	0.0018221076	0.0018320894	1.0054781	1.0E-5	0.017138338	0.018820789	0.018830601	1.0005213	1.0E-5
7.2	3.3034008E-5	3.4819197E-5	3.4819197E-5	1.0	1.4156665E-4	1.492166E-4	1.492166E-4	1.0	0.0017222111	0.0018151997	0.0018251817	1.005499	1.0E-5	0.017089253	0.018753165	0.018762978	1.0005232	1.0E-5
7.3	3.2956614E-5	3.4686815E-5	3.4686815E-5	1.0	1.4123498E-4	1.4864933E-4	1.4864933E-4	1.0	0.0017181796	0.0018083046	0.0018182865	1.00552	1.0E-5	0.017049557	0.018685855	0.018695667	1.0005251	1.0E-5
7.4	3.2915937E-5	3.4608405E-5	3.4608405E-5	1.0	1.4106068E-4	1.4831331E-4	1.4831331E-4	1.0	0.0017160608	0.0018042204	0.0018142024	1.0055325	1.0E-5	0.017028693	0.018646065	0.018655878	1.0005263	1.0E-5
7.5	3.281791E-5	3.4473152E-5	3.4473152E-5	1.0	1.406406E-4	1.4773372E-4	1.4773372E-4	1.0	0.0017109542	0.0017971756	0.0018071575	1.0055543	1.0E-5	0.016978411	0.018576879	0.018586693	1.0005283	1.0E-5
7.6	3.2521442E-5	3.4197663E-5	3.4197663E-5	1.0	1.3937015E-4	1.4655318E-4	1.4655318E-4	1.0	0.0016955109	0.0017828263	0.0017928084	1.005599	1.0E-5	0.016826328	0.018434307	0.018444123	1.0005325	1.0E-5
7.7	3.0287873E-5	3.26791E-5	3.26791E-5	1.0	1.297987E-4	1.4004577E-4	1.4004577E-4	1.0	0.0015791537	0.001703725	0.0017137079	1.0058595	1.0E-5	0.01567979	0.01764394	0.017653763	1.0005567	1.0E-5
7.8	2.6316151E-5	2.9881721E-5	2.9881721E-5	1.0	1.1277862E-4	1.2805824E-4	1.2805824E-4	1.0	0.0013722149	0.001557995	0.0015679795	1.0064085	1.0E-5	0.013637724	0.016181543	0.016191382	1.000608	1.0E-5
7.9	2.0761147E-5	2.360826E-5	2.360826E-5	1.0	8.897331E-5	1.0117434E-4	1.0117434E-4	1.0	0.0010827117	0.0012311024	0.00124109	1.0081128	1.0E-5	0.010774517	0.012891394	0.012901265	1.0007657	1.0E-5
8.0	1.5738568E-5	1.6176331E-5	1.6176331E-5	1.0	6.744926E-5	6.932529E-5	6.932529E-5	1.0	8.2088535E-4	8.437093E-4	8.5370085E-4	1.0118424	1.0E-5	0.008178596	0.008940907	0.008950817	1.0011084	1.0E-5
8.1	1.0105832E-5	8.413447E-6	8.413447E-6	1.0	4.3309992E-5	3.6057132E-5	3.6057132E-5	1.0	5.2717153E-4	4.389077E-4	4.489033E-4	1.0227739	1.0E-5	0.005259227	0.0047217715	0.004731724	1.0021079	1.0E-5
8.2	4.189207E-6	1.602093E-6	1.602093E-6	1.0	1.7953622E-5	6.8660947E-6	6.8660947E-6	1.0	2.1856341E-4	8.359153E-5	8.359153E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0021834858	9.701208E-4	9.701208E-4	1.0	0.0
8.3	1.2758221E-6	3.6782495E-7	3.6782495E-7	1.0	5.4677976E-6	1.5763917E-6	1.5763917E-6	1.0	6.65684E-5	1.9192405E-5	1.9192405E-5	1.0	0.0	6.6548464E-4	2.3124217E-4	2.3124217E-4	1.0	0.0

Oceanic - West Huasna

(top)

1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	3.195567E-5	2.7931637E-5	2.7931637E-5	1.0	1.3694567E-4	1.1970176E-4	1.1970176E-4	1.0	0.0016660384	0.0014564379	0.0014564379	1.0	0.016536033	0.014473481	0.014483336	1.0006809	1.0E-5
6.1	2.1156782E-5	1.7576454E-5	1.7576454E-5	1.0	9.066878E-5	7.5325544E-5	7.5325544E-5	1.0	0.0011033333	9.16712E-4	9.16712E-4	1.0	0.010978713	0.009130313	0.009140222	1.0010853	1.0E-5
6.2	1.6195117E-5	1.3328975E-5	1.3328975E-5	1.0	6.9405796E-5	5.7122943E-5	5.7122943E-5	1.0	8.44688E-4	6.952525E-4	6.952525E-4	1.0	0.008414844	0.0069310674	0.006940998	1.0014328	1.0E-5
6.3	1.3559345E-5	1.1180472E-5	1.1180472E-5	1.0	5.811018E-5	4.7915433E-5	4.7915433E-5	1.0	7.072618E-4	5.832152E-4	5.832152E-4	1.0	0.0070501505	0.0058169644	0.0058269063	1.0017091	1.0E-5
6.4	1.2120619E-5	1.0002109E-5	1.0002109E-5	1.0	5.1944477E-5	4.286548E-5	4.286548E-5	1.0	6.322405E-4	5.217627E-4	5.217627E-4	1.0	0.006304447	0.0052054445	0.0052153924	1.001911	1.0E-5
6.5	1.13511915E-5	9.368529E-6	9.368529E-6	1.0	4.8647056E-5	4.0150226E-5	4.0150226E-5	1.0	5.9211696E-4	4.887198E-4	4.887198E-4	1.0	0.0059054173	0.004876509	0.00488646	1.0020406	1.0E-5
6.6	9.850605E-6	8.136316E-6	8.136316E-6	1.0	4.2216197E-5	3.4869463E-5	3.4869463E-5	1.0	5.1386096E-4	4.2445323E-4	4.2445323E-4	1.0	0.0051267436	0.0042364574	0.004246415	1.0023504	1.0E-5
6.7	8.8558645E-6	7.31925E-6	7.31925E-6	1.0	3.7953152E-5	3.136784E-5	3.136784E-5	1.0	4.6198163E-4	3.818367E-4	3.818367E-4	1.0	0.004610224	0.0038118314	0.0038217932	1.0026134	1.0E-5
6.8	7.67136E-6	6.3924927E-6	6.3924927E-6	1.0	3.2876844E-5	2.739611E-5	2.739611E-5	1.0	4.0020206E-4	3.3349675E-4	3.3349675E-4	1.0	0.003994821	0.0033299837	0.0033399505	1.002993	1.0E-5
6.9	6.534529E-6	5.4589805E-6	5.4589805E-6	1.0	2.8004823E-5	2.3395422E-5	2.3395422E-5	1.0	3.4090536E-4	2.8480217E-4	2.8480217E-4	1.0	0.0034038287	0.0028443884	0.0028543598	1.0035057	1.0E-5
7.0	5.460525E-6	4.570472E-6	4.570472E-6	1.0	2.3402039E-5	1.958759E-5	1.958759E-5	1.0	2.8488258E-4	2.3845292E-4	2.3845292E-4	1.0	0.0028451765	0.0023819844	0.0023919605	1.0041882	1.0E-5
7.1	4.4825083E-6	3.7529292E-6	3.7529292E-6	1.0	1.9210609E-5	1.6083883E-5	1.6083883E-5	1.0	2.3386406E-4	1.9580379E-4	1.9580379E-4	1.0	0.002336181	0.0019563246	0.0019663048	1.0051017	1.0E-5
7.2	2.821708E-6	2.4253857E-6	2.4253857E-6	1.0	1.2092979E-5	1.03944685E-5	1.03944685E-5	1.0	1.4722206E-4	1.2654532E-4	1.2654532E-4	1.0	0.0014712457	0.0012647349	0.0012747223	1.0078968	1.0E-5
7.3	2.0644757E-6	1.7691533E-6	1.7691533E-6	1.0	8.847723E-6	7.5820635E-6	7.5820635E-6	1.0	1.0771569E-4	9.230772E-5	9.230772E-5	1.0	0.001076635	9.226953E-4	9.326861E-4	1.0108278	1.0E-5
7.4	1.6980367E-6	1.4383463E-6	1.4383463E-6	1.0	7.27728E-6	6.164327E-6	6.164327E-6	1.0	8.8597284E-5	7.50481E-5	7.50481E-5	1.0	8.8561967E-4	7.50229E-4	7.602215E-4	1.0133193	1.0E-5
7.5	1.3637683E-6	1.130603E-6	1.130603E-6	1.0	5.844708E-6	4.845432E-6	4.845432E-6	1.0	7.1156996E-5	5.8991543E-5	5.8991543E-5	1.0	7.1134215E-4	5.897602E-4	5.997543E-4	1.0169461	1.0E-5
7.6	9.802994E-7	7.6804383E-7	7.6804383E-7	1.0	4.2012766E-6	3.2916123E-6	3.2916123E-6	1.0	5.1149345E-5	4.0074643E-5	4.0074643E-5	1.0	5.113757E-4	4.0067546E-4	4.1067143E-4	1.0249479	1.0E-5
7.7	5.986191E-7	4.0077282E-7	4.0077282E-7	1.0	2.5655079E-6	1.7175965E-6	1.7175965E-6	1.0	3.1234613E-5	2.0911539E-5	2.0911539E-5	1.0	3.123022E-4	2.0909692E-4	2.1909483E-4	1.0478147	1.0E-5
7.8	2.9189815E-7	1.5308012E-7	1.5308012E-7	1.0	1.2509914E-6	6.5605747E-7	6.5605747E-7	1.0	1.5230714E-5	7.98747E-6	7.98747E-6	1.0	1.522967E-4	7.987301E-5	8.9872214E-5	1.1251887	1.0E-5
7.9	1.2057845E-7	4.633496E-8	4.633496E-8	1.0	5.1676466E-7	1.9857839E-7	1.9857839E-7	1.0	6.2915915E-6	2.417689E-6	2.417689E-6	1.0	6.2914136E-5	2.41778E-5	3.4177556E-5	1.4135926	1.0E-5
8.0	3.3806387E-9	9.058314E-10	9.058314E-10	1.0	1.4488451E-8	3.8821346E-9	3.8821346E-9	1.0	1.7639688E-7	4.7264983E-8	4.7264983E-8	1.0	1.7639674E-6	4.7367422E-7	4.7367422E-7	1.0	0.0

Big Pine (East)

(top)

1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	9.916913E-6	1.2835414E-5	2.2835286E-5	1.7790844	1.0E-5	4.250036E-5	5.5007884E-5	6.5007334E-5	1.1817821	1.0E-5	5.173191E-4	6.695373E-4	6.795306E-4	1.0149257	1.0E-5	0.0051611643	0.0066799624	0.0066898954	1.001487	1.0E-5
6.1	9.916913E-6	1.2835414E-5	2.2835286E-5	1.7790844	1.0E-5	4.250036E-5	5.5007884E-5	6.5007334E-5	1.1817821	1.0E-5	5.173191E-4	6.695373E-4	6.795306E-4	1.0149257	1.0E-5	0.0051611643	0.0066799624	0.0066898954	1.001487	1.0E-5
6.2	9.916913E-6	1.2835414E-5	2.2835286E-5	1.7790844	1.0E-5	4.250036E-5	5.5007884E-5	6.5007334E-5	1.1817821	1.0E-5	5.173191E-4	6.695373E-4	6.795306E-4	1.0149257	1.0E-5	0.0051611643	0.0066799624	0.0066898954	1.001487	1.0E-5
6.3	5.479711E-6	8.130836E-6	1.8130755E-5	2.2298758	1.0E-5	2.3484265E-5	3.4845994E-5	4.4845645E-5	1.286967	1.0E-5	2.858834E-4	4.2417058E-4	4.3416634E-4	1.0235654	1.0E-5	0.0028551589	0.0042365044	0.0042464617	1.0023504	1.0E-5
6.4	5.465009E-6	8.1151275E-6	1.8115046E-5	2.2322564	1.0E-5	2.3421257E-5	3.4778674E-5	4.4778324E-5	1.2875226	1.0E-5	2.851165E-4	4.2335127E-4	4.3334704E-4	1.0236111	1.0E-5	0.0028475097	0.0042283423	0.0042383	1.002355	1.0E-5
6.5	4.826767E-6	7.440109E-6	1.7440034E-5	2.3440564	1.0E-5	2.068598E-5	3.1885807E-5	4.188549E-5	1.3136091	1.0E-5	2.518227E-4	3.8814335E-4	3.9813947E-4	1.0257537	1.0E-5	0.0025153751	0.003877507	0.0038874683	1.002569	1.0E-5
6.6	4.3146847E-6	6.8999884E-6	1.689992E-5	2.4492679	1.0E-5	1.8491375E-5	2.9571056E-5	3.957076E-5	1.3381585	1.0E-5	2.2510924E-4	3.5997058E-4	3.69967E-4	1.02777	1.0E-5	0.0022488134	0.0035966956	0.0036066596	1.0027703	1.0E-5
6.7	3.6968106E-6	6.0121733E-6	1.6012113E-5	2.6632822	1.0E-5	1.5843378E-5	2.576621E-5	3.5765952E-5	1.3880951	1.0E-5	1.9287605E-4	3.1366E-4	3.2365686E-4	1.0318717	1.0E-5	0.0019270873	0.003134903	0.0031448717	1.0031799	1.0E-5
6.8	3.4671132E-6	5.718423E-6	1.5718366E-5	2.748724	1.0E-5	1.4858972E-5	2.4507304E-5	3.450706E-5	1.4080316	1.0E-5	1.8089297E-4	2.9833702E-4	3.0833404E-4	1.0335091	1.0E-5	0.0018074579	0.0029820865	0.0029920565	1.0033433	1.0E-5
6.9	2.7686972E-6	4.8402244E-6	1.4840176E-5	3.06601	1.0E-5	1.1865792E-5	2.0743659E-5	3.074345E-5	1.4820651	1.0E-5	1.4445644E-4	2.5252553E-4	2.62523E-4	1.03959	1.0E-5	0.0014436257	0.002525039	0.0025350137	1.0039504	1.0E-5
7.0	2.1472624E-6	3.9986735E-6	3.9986735E-6	1.0	0.0	9.20252E-6	1.7137061E-5	1.7137061E-5	1.0	0.0	1.12034926E-4	2.0862429E-4	2.0862429E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0011197845	0.0020869283	0.0020869283	1.0	0.0
7.1	1.7018335E-6	3.3572564E-6	3.3572564E-6	1.0	0.0	7.293552E-6	1.4388164E-5	1.4388164E-5	1.0	0.0	8.879537E-5	1.7516217E-4	1.7516217E-4	1.0	0.0	8.87599E-4	0.0017528529	0.0017528529	1.0	0.0
7.2	1.25603E-6	2.8061725E-6	2.8061725E-6	1.0	0.0	5.3829745E-6	1.2026399E-5	1.2026399E-5	1.0	0.0	6.553574E-5	1.464118E-4	1.464118E-4	1.0	0.0	6.551642E-4	0.0014657407	0.0014657407	1.0	0.0
7.3	1.112297E-6	2.6213734E-6	2.6213734E-6	1.0	0.0	4.7669787E-6	1.123441E-5	1.123441E-5	1.0	0.0	5.803642E-5	1.3677057E-4	1.3677057E-4	1.0	0.0	5.802127E-4	0.0013692701	0.0013692701	1.0	0.0
7.4	1.0137181E-6	2.4940612E-6	2.4940612E-6	1.0	0.0	4.3444993E-6	1.0688791E-5	1.0688791E-5	1.0	0.0	5.2892992E-5	1.3012848E-4	1.3012848E-4	1.0	0.0	5.288041E-4	0.0013027164	0.0013027164	1.0	0.0
7.5	9.598608E-7	2.4174037E-6	2.4174037E-6	1.0	0.0	4.1136827E-6	1.03602615E-5	1.03602615E-5	1.0	0.0	5.0082934E-5	1.261291E-4	1.261291E-4	1.0	0.0	5.007165E-4	0.0012625828	0.0012625828	1.0	0.0
7.6	7.929459E-7	2.0539192E-6	2.0539192E-6	1.0	0.0	3.3983351E-6	8.802482E-6	8.802482E-6	1.0	0.0	4.1373947E-5	1.0716513E-4	1.0716513E-4	1.0	0.0	4.1366243E-4	0.0010731713	0.0010731713	1.0	0.0
7.7	4.155788E-7	1.166993E-6	1.166993E-6	1.0	0.0	1.7810507E-6	5.0013896E-6	5.0013896E-6	1.0	0.0	2.1684076E-5	6.0890256E-5	6.0890256E-5	1.0	0.0	2.1681961E-4	6.1190216E-4	6.1190216E-4	1.0	0.0
7.8	1.14666925E-7	2.6064194E-7	2.6064194E-7	1.0	0.0	4.914296E-7	1.1170365E-6	1.1170365E-6	1.0	0.0	5.9831386E-6	1.3599839E-5	1.3599839E-5	1.0	0.0	5.9829777E-5	1.370776E-4	1.370776E-4	1.0	0.0
7.9	2.9231824E-8	4.1703974E-8	4.1703974E-8	1.0	0.0	1.2527924E-7	1.7873131E-7	1.7873131E-7	1.0	0.0	1.5252737E-6	2.1760518E-6	2.1760518E-6	1.0	0.0	1.5252632E-5	2.208426E-5	2.208426E-5	1.0	0.0

San Jacinto (Borrego)

(top)

1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	3.543992E-5	2.803755E-5	2.803755E-5	1.0	1.5187653E-4	1.2015546E-4	1.2015546E-4	1.0	0.0018475284	0.0014619234	0.0014719088	1.0068303	1.0E-5	0.018322436	0.014926705	0.014936556	1.00066	1.0E-5
6.1	3.542281E-5	2.803755E-5	2.803755E-5	1.0	1.5180321E-4	1.2015546E-4	1.2015546E-4	1.0	0.0018466372	0.0014619234	0.0014719088	1.0068303	1.0E-5	0.018313672	0.014926705	0.014936556	1.00066	1.0E-5
6.2	3.4688688E-5	2.803755E-5	2.803755E-5	1.0	1.4865733E-4	1.2015546E-4	1.2015546E-4	1.0	0.0018084005	0.0014619234	0.0014719088	1.0068303	1.0E-5	0.017937548	0.014926705	0.014936555	1.00066	1.0E-5
6.3	3.2087122E-5	2.788285E-5	2.788285E-5	1.0	1.3750899E-4	1.1949252E-4	1.1949252E-4	1.0	0.0016728862	0.0014538629	0.0014638483	1.0068682	1.0E-5	0.016603488	0.014847842	0.014857694	1.0006635	1.0E-5
6.4	3.1828724E-5	2.7849808E-5	2.7849808E-5	1.0	1.364017E-4	1.1935093E-4	1.1935093E-4	1.0	0.0016594254	0.0014521413	0.0014621267	1.0068763	1.0E-5	0.016470885	0.014831028	0.0148408795	1.0006642	1.0E-5
6.5	3.1563577E-5	2.7589102E-5	2.7589102E-5	1.0	1.3526545E-4	1.18233715E-4	1.18233715E-4	1.0	0.0016456128	0.0014385572	0.0014485428	1.0069414	1.0E-5	0.0163348	0.0146969035	0.014706756	1.0006704	1.0E-5
6.6	3.1467625E-5	2.7433189E-5	2.7433189E-5	1.0	1.3485427E-4	1.1756558E-4	1.1756558E-4	1.0	0.0016406142	0.0014304334	0.001440419	1.0069809	1.0E-5	0.016285548	0.014617	0.014626854	1.0006741	1.0E-5
6.7	3.1223695E-5	2.7050997E-5	2.7050997E-5	1.0	1.3380898E-4	1.1592777E-4	1.1592777E-4	1.0	0.0016279068	0.0014105189	0.0014205048	1.0070796	1.0E-5	0.01616033	0.014421192	0.014431047	1.0006834	1.0E-5
6.8	3.1015585E-5	2.6871763E-5	2.6871763E-5	1.0	1.3291716E-4	1.1515968E-4	1.1515968E-4	1.0	0.001617065	0.0014011796	0.0014111656	1.0071268	1.0E-5	0.016053487	0.014328398	0.014338254	1.000688	1.0E-5
6.9	2.6641965E-5	2.2287346E-5	2.2287346E-5	1.0	1.1417485E-4	9.551372E-5	9.551372E-5	1.0	0.0013891924	0.0011622632	0.0011722515	1.0085939	1.0E-5	0.0138054015	0.011935795	0.011945675	1.0008278	1.0E-5
7.0	2.3854353E-5	2.0578404E-5	2.0578404E-5	1.0	1.02228936E-4	8.8190194E-5	8.8190194E-5	1.0	0.0012439266	0.0010731893	0.0010831786	1.009308	1.0E-5	0.012369866	0.011034441	0.011044331	1.0008962	1.0E-5
7.1	2.3672901E-5	2.041478E-5	2.041478E-5	1.0	1.0145135E-4	8.7488996E-5	8.7488996E-5	1.0	0.0012344702	0.0010646606	0.0010746499	1.0093826	1.0E-5	0.0122763505	0.010949543	0.010959432	1.0009032	1.0E-5
7.2	2.2717244E-5	1.9641322E-5	1.9641322E-5	1.0	9.735599E-5	8.417439E-5	8.417439E-5	1.0	0.0011846646	0.0010243438	0.0010343335	1.0097524	1.0E-5	0.01178369	0.010546606	0.0105565	1.0009382	1.0E-5
7.3	2.1016205E-5	1.8481605E-5	1.8481605E-5	1.0	9.006634E-5	7.920448E-5	7.920448E-5	1.0	0.001096006	9.6389005E-4	9.738804E-4	1.0103647	1.0E-5	0.010906163	0.009941606	0.009951507	1.0009959	1.0E-5
7.4	2.0683625E-5	1.8283845E-5	1.8283845E-5	1.0	8.86411E-5	7.8357E-5	7.8357E-5	1.0	0.001078671	9.5358095E-4	9.635714E-4	1.0104768	1.0E-5	0.010734501	0.009838183	0.009848085	1.0010065	1.0E-5
7.5	1.9993966E-5	1.7878037E-5	1.7878037E-5	1.0	8.568561E-5	7.661792E-5	7.661792E-5	1.0	0.001042723	9.324261E-4	9.424167E-4	1.0107148	1.0E-5	0.010378438	0.009624699	0.009634603	1.001029	1.0E-5
7.6	1.788966E-5	1.6528877E-5	1.6528877E-5	1.0	7.666772E-5	7.0836126E-5	7.0836126E-5	1.0	9.3302975E-4	8.620904E-4	8.720818E-4	1.0115898	1.0E-5	0.00929122	0.008915414	0.008925325	1.0011116	1.0E-5
7.7	1.5125781E-5	1.4327906E-5	1.4327906E-5	1.0	6.4823165E-5	6.140387E-5	6.140387E-5	1.0	7.889362E-4	7.4733654E-4	7.5732905E-4	1.0133709	1.0E-5	0.007861412	0.0077615543	0.0077714766	1.0012784	1.0E-5
7.8	1.250089E-5	1.2717789E-5	1.2717789E-5	1.0	5.3574146E-5	5.4503675E-5	5.4503675E-5	1.0	6.5207E-4	6.6338084E-4	6.733742E-4	1.0150642	1.0E-5	0.006501599	0.0069136126	0.0069235438	1.0014365	1.0E-5
7.9	9.561E-6	9.8321E-6	9.8321E-6	1.0	4.0975072E-5	4.2136893E-5	4.2136893E-5	1.0	4.987573E-4	5.128965E-4	5.2289135E-4	1.0194871	1.0E-5	0.0049763937	0.0053931945	0.0054031406	1.0018442	1.0E-5
8.0	8.01699E-6	8.364132E-6	8.364132E-6	1.0	3.4358076E-5	3.584579E-5	3.584579E-5	1.0	4.1822926E-4	4.3633566E-4	4.4633128E-4	1.0229081	1.0E-5	0.0041744304	0.004610577	0.004620531	1.0021589	1.0E-5
8.1	6.541947E-6	6.5202626E-6	6.5202626E-6	1.0	2.8036617E-5	2.7943684E-5	2.7943684E-5	1.0	3.4129233E-4	3.4016176E-4	3.5015837E-4	1.0293878	1.0E-5	0.0034076865	0.0036113712	0.0036213351	1.002759	1.0E-5
8.2	1.7968189E-6	8.0772884E-7	8.0772884E-7	1.0	7.70063E-6	3.4616905E-6	3.4616905E-6	1.0	9.3751136E-5	4.214529E-5	4.214529E-5	1.0	0.0	9.371159E-4	4.7717895E-4	4.7717895E-4	1.0	0.0
8.3	1.5167889E-7	4.973109E-8	4.973109E-8	1.0	6.500522E-7	2.1313322E-7	2.1313322E-7	1.0	7.9143565E-6	2.5948943E-6	2.5948943E-6	1.0	0.0	7.914075E-5	3.0128132E-5	3.0128132E-5	1.0	0.0

King Range 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	1.2462566E-5	1.3025981E-5	1.3025981E-5	1.0	5.34099E-5	5.5824636E-5	5.5824636E-5	1.0	6.5007154E-4	6.7948794E-4	6.7948794E-4	1.0	0.0064817313	0.0067784972	0.0067884293	1.0014652	1.0E-5
6.1	1.2462566E-5	1.3025981E-5	1.3025981E-5	1.0	5.34099E-5	5.5824636E-5	5.5824636E-5	1.0	6.5007154E-4	6.7948794E-4	6.7948794E-4	1.0	0.0064817313	0.0067784972	0.0067884293	1.0014652	1.0E-5
6.2	1.2462566E-5	1.3025981E-5	1.3025981E-5	1.0	5.34099E-5	5.5824636E-5	5.5824636E-5	1.0	6.5007154E-4	6.7948794E-4	6.7948794E-4	1.0	0.0064817313	0.0067784972	0.0067884293	1.0014652	1.0E-5
6.3	7.988484E-6	8.216404E-6	8.216404E-6	1.0	3.423591E-5	3.5212757E-5	3.5212757E-5	1.0	4.1674246E-4	4.2864392E-4	4.2864392E-4	1.0	0.004159618	0.004280396	0.004290353	1.0023263	1.0E-5
6.4	7.988484E-6	8.216404E-6	8.216404E-6	1.0	3.423591E-5	3.5212757E-5	3.5212757E-5	1.0	4.1674246E-4	4.2864392E-4	4.2864392E-4	1.0	0.004159618	0.004280396	0.004290353	1.0023263	1.0E-5
6.5	5.0522513E-6	5.084469E-6	5.084469E-6	1.0	2.1652326E-5	2.1790405E-5	2.1790405E-5	1.0	2.6358519E-4	2.6526683E-4	2.6526683E-4	1.0	0.0026327274	0.0026505475	0.0026505475	1.0	0.0
6.6	4.53682E-6	4.541102E-6	4.541102E-6	1.0	1.944337E-5	1.9461724E-5	1.9461724E-5	1.0	2.3669732E-4	2.3692133E-4	2.3692133E-4	1.0	0.0023644536	0.002367701	0.002367701	1.0	0.0
6.7	4.1144335E-6	4.099091E-6	4.099091E-6	1.0	1.7633167E-5	1.7567416E-5	1.7567416E-5	1.0	2.1466266E-4	2.1386269E-4	2.1386269E-4	1.0	0.0021445542	0.0021375613	0.0021375613	1.0	0.0
6.8	3.8321214E-6	3.809469E-6	3.809469E-6	1.0	1.6423275E-5	1.6326196E-5	1.6326196E-5	1.0	1.9993502E-4	1.9875364E-4	1.9875364E-4	1.0	0.0019975523	0.0019867448	0.0019867448	1.0	0.0
6.9	3.4999944E-6	3.465839E-6	3.465839E-6	1.0	1.499989E-5	1.4853513E-5	1.4853513E-5	1.0	1.8260835E-4	1.8082677E-4	1.8082677E-4	1.0	0.0018245836	0.0018077746	0.0018077746	1.0	0.0
7.0	2.9470837E-6	2.888812E-6	2.888812E-6	1.0	1.26302975E-5	1.2380566E-5	1.2380566E-5	1.0	1.5376302E-4	1.5072314E-4	1.5072314E-4	1.0	0.0015365666	0.0015071778	0.0015071778	1.0	0.0
7.1	2.4850247E-6	2.3998828E-6	2.3998828E-6	1.0	1.0650062E-5	1.0285173E-5	1.0285173E-5	1.0	1.296568E-4	1.2521492E-4	1.2521492E-4	1.0	0.0012958117	0.0012524092	0.0012524092	1.0	0.0
7.2	2.1800304E-6	2.0780649E-6	2.0780649E-6	1.0	9.342954E-6	8.905962E-6	8.905962E-6	1.0	1.1374453E-4	1.08424785E-4	1.08424785E-4	1.0	0.0011368633	0.0010846723	0.0010846723	1.0	0.0
7.3	2.0378504E-6	1.9514202E-6	1.9514202E-6	1.0	8.733615E-6	8.363203E-6	8.363203E-6	1.0	1.0632657E-4	1.01817335E-4	1.01817335E-4	1.0	0.0010627571	0.0010186444	0.0010186444	1.0	0.0
7.4	1.4577047E-6	1.4106328E-6	1.4106328E-6	1.0	6.247291E-6	6.0455554E-6	6.0455554E-6	1.0	7.605811E-5	7.360223E-5	7.360223E-5	1.0	7.603208E-4	7.3663634E-4	7.3663634E-4	1.0	0.0
7.5	8.0685743E-7	6.5432135E-7	6.5432135E-7	1.0	3.457956E-6	2.8042316E-6	2.8042316E-6	1.0	4.20998E-5	3.414103E-5	3.414103E-5	1.0	4.2091825E-4	3.4205013E-4	3.4205013E-4	1.0	0.0
7.6	3.1239435E-7	1.3326827E-7	1.3326827E-7	1.0	1.3388321E-6	5.7114966E-7	5.7114966E-7	1.0	1.630016E-5	6.9537255E-6	6.9537255E-6	1.0	1.6298964E-4	7.018452E-5	7.018452E-5	1.0	0.0
7.7	1.7747207E-7	4.8002907E-8	4.8002907E-8	1.0	7.605944E-7	2.0572672E-7	2.0572672E-7	1.0	9.260198E-6	2.50472E-6	2.50472E-6	1.0	9.2598115E-5	2.5458437E-5	2.5458437E-5	1.0	0.0
7.8	2.1035538E-8	2.2154982E-9	2.2154982E-9	1.0	9.0152305E-8	9.494991E-9	9.494991E-9	1.0	1.0976038E-6	1.1560151E-7	1.1560151E-7	1.0	1.0975983E-5	1.1929924E-6	1.1929924E-6	1.0	0.0
7.9	1.4782963E-9	9.133805E-13	9.133805E-13	1.0	6.335555E-9	3.9147574E-12	3.9147574E-12	1.0	7.713538E-8	4.7663762E-11	4.7663762E-11	1.0	7.7135354E-7	6.8804085E-10	6.8804085E-10	1.0	0.0

San Andreas (Offshore) 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	1.7072787E-4	1.9315524E-4	1.9315524E-4	1.0	7.3148566E-4	8.27548E-4	8.27548E-4	1.0	0.008869528	0.01002937	0.01003927	1.000987	1.0E-5	0.085237645	0.09720624	0.097215265	1.0000929	1.0E-5
6.1	1.7072787E-4	1.9315524E-4	1.9315524E-4	1.0	7.3148566E-4	8.27548E-4	8.27548E-4	1.0	0.008869528	0.01002937	0.01003927	1.000987	1.0E-5	0.085237645	0.09720624	0.097215265	1.0000929	1.0E-5
6.2	1.6312556E-4	1.8494048E-4	1.8494048E-4	1.0	6.989222E-4	7.923637E-4	7.923637E-4	1.0	0.008476226	0.009604859	0.009614763	1.0010312	1.0E-5	0.08160117	0.09321115	0.09322022	1.0000973	1.0E-5
6.3	1.5103363E-4	1.6962014E-4	1.6962014E-4	1.0	6.471264E-4	7.2674314E-4	7.2674314E-4	1.0	0.007850339	0.008812649	0.008822561	1.0011247	1.0E-5	0.075787395	0.085836306	0.08584545	1.0001065	1.0E-5
6.4	1.5047993E-4	1.6847777E-4	1.6847777E-4	1.0	6.4475456E-4	7.2185E-4	7.2185E-4	1.0	0.007821669	0.008753554	0.008763467	1.0011324	1.0E-5	0.0755203	0.085315906	0.08532505	1.0001072	1.0E-5
6.5	1.2760791E-4	1.3806831E-4	1.3806831E-4	1.0	5.467764E-4	5.9158856E-4	5.9158856E-4	1.0	0.0066367025	0.007179081	0.0071890093	1.001383	1.0E-5	0.064419635	0.0705839	0.0705932	1.0001317	1.0E-5
6.6	1.1063525E-4	1.16211515E-4	1.16211515E-4	1.0	4.740649E-4	4.9795536E-4	4.9795536E-4	1.0	0.0057564764	0.0060459576	0.006055897	1.001644	1.0E-5	0.05609626	0.059806835	0.059816238	1.0001572	1.0E-5
6.7	1.0391049E-4	1.0707914E-4	1.0707914E-4	1.0	4.4525467E-4	4.588309E-4	4.588309E-4	1.0	0.0054075094	0.0055721477	0.005582092	1.0017847	1.0E-5	0.052778035	0.05528345	0.055292897	1.0001708	1.0E-5
6.8	1.0096706E-4	1.0218926E-4	1.0218926E-4	1.0	4.3264418E-4	4.3788142E-4	4.3788142E-4	1.0	0.0052547283	0.005318354	0.005328301	1.0018703	1.0E-5	0.051321987	0.05297637	0.05298584	1.0001788	1.0E-5
6.9	9.800265E-5	9.648363E-5	9.648363E-5	1.0	4.1994374E-4	4.1343668E-4	4.1343668E-4	1.0	0.0051008356	0.0050221444	0.005032094	1.0019811	1.0E-5	0.049853306	0.050299358	0.050308853	1.0001888	1.0E-5
7.0	9.4642375E-5	9.060363E-5	9.060363E-5	1.0	4.0554712E-4	3.8824437E-4	3.8824437E-4	1.0	0.004926363	0.004716795	0.0047267475	1.0021101	1.0E-5	0.048185747	0.047477435	0.04748696	1.0002006	1.0E-5
7.1	9.0996844E-5	8.410925E-5	8.410925E-5	1.0	3.8992817E-4	3.6041928E-4	3.6041928E-4	1.0	0.004737046	0.004379434	0.0043893903	1.0022734	1.0E-5	0.04637333	0.0443211	0.04433066	1.0002156	1.0E-5
7.2	8.848287E-5	8.037083E-5	8.037083E-5	1.0	3.791572E-4	3.444018E-4	3.444018E-4	1.0	0.004606472	0.0041851862	0.0041951444	1.0023794	1.0E-5	0.045121472	0.042460166	0.04246974	1.0002255	1.0E-5
7.3	7.9280784E-5	6.1722196E-5	6.1722196E-5	1.0	3.3973053E-4	2.6449744E-4	2.6449744E-4	1.0	0.004128377	0.0032156052	0.003225573	1.0030998	1.0E-5	0.040525194	0.03312907	0.03313874	1.0002918	1.0E-5
7.4	6.468038E-5	3.8232476E-5	3.8232476E-5	1.0	2.771722E-4	1.638435E-4	1.638435E-4	1.0	0.0033693502	0.0019930282	0.0020030083	1.0050075	1.0E-5	0.0331872	0.020980049	0.020989839	1.0004666	1.0E-5
7.5	4.930574E-5	1.2842037E-5	1.2842037E-5	1.0	2.1129321E-4	5.5036147E-5	5.5036147E-5	1.0	0.0025694598	6.6986075E-4	6.79854E-4	1.0149184	1.0E-5	0.02539953	0.0075646546	0.0075745787	1.0013119	1.0E-5
7.6	4.612566E-5	1.0459834E-5	1.0459834E-5	1.0	1.9766642E-4	4.4827095E-5	4.4827095E-5	1.0	0.0024039324	5.456346E-4	5.5562914E-4	1.0183173	1.0E-5	0.023780935	0.0062474096	0.0062573473	1.0015906	1.0E-5
7.7	3.9435414E-5	5.6703507E-6	5.6703507E-6	1.0	1.6899795E-4	2.4301276E-5	2.4301276E-5	1.0	0.0020556084	2.9582807E-4	3.0582512E-4	1.0337934	1.0E-5	0.020366974	0.0036010111	0.003610975	1.002767	1.0E-5
7.8	2.7787428E-5	3.8237667E-6	3.8237667E-6	1.0	1.1908354E-4	1.6387468E-5	1.6387468E-5	1.0	0.0014488777	1.994992E-4	2.0949722E-4	1.0501155	1.0E-5	0.014394675	0.0024296155	0.002439591	1.0041059	1.0E-5
7.9	1.590671E-5	3.0947278E-6	3.0947278E-6	1.0	6.816983E-5	1.3263052E-5	1.3263052E-5	1.0	8.2965166E-4	1.6146572E-4	1.7146411E-4	1.0619227	1.0E-5	0.008265611	0.0019364414	0.001946422	1.0051541	1.0E-5
8.0	9.193638E-6	2.637112E-6	2.637112E-6	1.0	3.940071E-5	1.130186E-5	1.130186E-5	1.0	4.7959806E-4	1.3759147E-4	1.3759147E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0047856434	0.0016378387	0.0016378387	1.0	0.0
8.1	5.601576E-6	2.2756572E-6	2.2756572E-6	1.0	2.4006533E-5	9.75278E-6	9.75278E-6	1.0	2.9224035E-4	1.1873366E-4	1.1873366E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0029185633	0.0014260678	0.0014260678	1.0	0.0
8.2	4.3508785E-6	1.8902257E-6	1.8902257E-6	1.0	1.864649E-5	8.100942E-6	8.100942E-6	1.0	2.2699735E-4	9.8624536E-5	9.8624536E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0022676561	0.0011781744	0.0011781744	1.0	0.0
8.3	1.9573292E-6	7.636531E-7	7.636531E-7	1.0	8.388526E-6	3.2727949E-6	3.2727949E-6	1.0	1.0212552E-4	3.9845567E-5	3.9845567E-5	1.0	0.0	0.001020786	4.711197E-4	4.711197E-4	1.0	0.0

Imperial

(top)

1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	2.7496446E-4	5.074544E-4	5.074544E-4	1.0	0.0011778869	0.0021730314	0.0021730314	1.0	0.0142467655	0.026131915	0.026141653	1.0003726	1.0E-5	0.13367249	0.22867928	0.228687	1.0000337	1.0E-5
6.1	2.5356023E-4	4.8825468E-4	4.8825468E-4	1.0	0.001086234	0.0020908804	0.0020908804	1.0	0.013144928	0.025161719	0.025171466	1.0003874	1.0E-5	0.123940155	0.22005196	0.22005975	1.0000354	1.0E-5
6.2	2.4820742E-4	4.7917743E-4	4.7917743E-4	1.0	0.0010633124	0.0020520394	0.0020520394	1.0	0.01286919	0.024700396	0.024710149	1.0003948	1.0E-5	0.12148927	0.21655184	0.21655966	1.0000361	1.0E-5
6.3	2.3205351E-4	4.6037938E-4	4.6037938E-4	1.0	9.94136E-4	0.0019715994	0.0019715994	1.0	0.012036599	0.02373753	0.023747291	1.0004113	1.0E-5	0.11405133	0.20845234	0.20846026	1.000038	1.0E-5
6.4	2.0304754E-4	4.0020142E-4	4.0020142E-4	1.0	8.6991355E-4	0.0017140362	0.0017140362	1.0	0.010539869	0.020671692	0.020681486	1.0004737	1.0E-5	0.100537635	0.185589	0.18559714	1.0000439	1.0E-5
6.5	1.854992E-4	3.7122748E-4	3.7122748E-4	1.0	7.9475436E-4	0.0015900173	0.0015900173	1.0	0.009633281	0.019193593	0.0192034	1.000511	1.0E-5	0.0922623	0.17379777	0.17380603	1.0000476	1.0E-5
6.6	1.6586106E-4	3.4156462E-4	3.4156462E-4	1.0	7.106394E-4	0.0014630373	0.0014630373	1.0	0.008617763	0.017671239	0.017681062	1.0005559	1.0E-5	0.08291132	0.16124132	0.16124971	1.000052	1.0E-5
6.7	1.4224656E-4	3.0871877E-4	3.0871877E-4	1.0	6.094856E-4	0.0013224178	0.0013224178	1.0	0.0073952693	0.015983334	0.015993174	1.0006156	1.0E-5	0.07153955	0.14689726	0.1469058	1.000058	1.0E-5
6.8	1.2317259E-4	2.7879674E-4	2.7879674E-4	1.0	5.2777573E-4	0.0011943022	0.0011943022	1.0	0.0064067547	0.01444508	0.014454936	1.0006822	1.0E-5	0.06225166	0.13329718	0.13330585	1.000065	1.0E-5
6.9	9.859898E-5	2.508048E-4	2.508048E-4	1.0	4.2249862E-4	0.0010744391	0.0010744391	1.0	0.0051317946	0.013003804	0.013013674	1.000759	1.0E-5	0.05014893	0.11967744	0.119686246	1.0000736	1.0E-5
7.0	7.3191884E-5	2.1315672E-4	2.1315672E-4	1.0	3.136418E-4	9.1321213E-4	9.1321213E-4	1.0	0.003811904	0.011062366	0.011072256	1.000894	1.0E-5	0.037471764	0.10226658	0.10227556	1.0000877	1.0E-5
7.1	7.1760296E-5	2.1016372E-4	2.1016372E-4	1.0	3.0750787E-4	9.0039393E-4	9.0039393E-4	1.0	0.003737482	0.010907877	0.010917768	1.0009068	1.0E-5	0.03675245	0.10090062	0.10090961	1.000089	1.0E-5
7.2	6.46614E-5	1.9183119E-4	1.9183119E-4	1.0	2.7709085E-4	8.218777E-4	8.218777E-4	1.0	0.0033683628	0.009961075	0.009970976	1.000994	1.0E-5	0.033177625	0.09270296	0.09271204	1.0000979	1.0E-5
7.3	6.088115E-5	1.7852755E-4	1.7852755E-4	1.0	2.6089314E-4	7.648966E-4	7.648966E-4	1.0	0.0031717476	0.009273429	0.009283337	1.0010684	1.0E-5	0.031268585	0.086747505	0.08675664	1.0001053	1.0E-5
7.4	4.199346E-5	1.1544525E-4	1.1544525E-4	1.0	1.7995955E-4	4.946724E-4	4.946724E-4	1.0	0.0021888057	0.0060061757	0.006016115	1.001655	1.0E-5	0.02167372	0.057590876	0.0576003	1.0001637	1.0E-5
7.5	3.130448E-5	8.3614985E-5	8.3614985E-5	1.0	1.3415517E-4	3.5830104E-4	3.5830104E-4	1.0	0.0016321153	0.0043536494	0.004363606	1.0022869	1.0E-5	0.016201803	0.042258974	0.042268552	1.0002266	1.0E-5
7.6	2.3074248E-5	6.1085186E-5	6.1085186E-5	1.0	9.888588E-5	2.617675E-4	2.617675E-4	1.0	0.0012032706	0.0031823851	0.0031923533	1.0031323	1.0E-5	0.011967761	0.031135553	0.031145243	1.0003111	1.0E-5
7.7	1.45864815E-5	4.032411E-5	4.032411E-5	1.0	6.2511994E-5	1.728062E-4	1.728062E-4	1.0	7.608177E-4	0.0021018907	0.0021118699	1.0047476	1.0E-5	0.007582182	0.020719025	0.02072882	1.0004727	1.0E-5
7.8	1.0352979E-5	3.1129977E-5	3.1129977E-5	1.0	4.4369157E-5	1.3340737E-4	1.3340737E-4	1.0	5.400606E-4	0.0016230271	0.0016330109	1.0061513	1.0E-5	0.0053875	0.01609446	0.016104298	1.0006113	1.0E-5
7.9	8.137906E-6	2.228463E-5	2.228463E-5	1.0	3.4876273E-5	9.5502066E-5	9.5502066E-5	1.0	4.2453592E-4	0.0011621184	0.0011721068	1.008595	1.0E-5	0.004237258	0.011681032	0.011690916	1.0008461	1.0E-5
8.0	6.93792E-6	1.8125233E-5	1.8125233E-5	1.0	2.9733603E-5	7.7677265E-5	7.7677265E-5	1.0	3.6194647E-4	9.453111E-4	9.553017E-4	1.0105685	1.0E-5	0.0036135751	0.009556044	0.009565948	1.0010364	1.0E-5
8.1	3.4286315E-6	6.4337037E-6	6.4337037E-6	1.0	1.4694053E-5	2.7572725E-5	2.7572725E-5	1.0	1.7888541E-4	3.3564633E-4	3.4564297E-4	1.0297832	1.0E-5	0.0017874148	0.0035126854	0.0035226503	1.0028368	1.0E-5
8.2	1.4906886E-6	1.9575393E-6	1.9575393E-6	1.0	6.3886496E-6	8.389427E-6	8.389427E-6	1.0	7.7779034E-5	1.0213652E-4	1.121355E-4	1.0978981	1.0E-5	7.775182E-4	0.0011182398	0.0011282287	1.0089326	1.0E-5
8.3	2.5758007E-8	1.47086565E-8	1.47086565E-8	1.0	1.10391454E-7	6.30371E-8	6.30371E-8	1.0	1.3440151E-6	7.674767E-7	7.674767E-7	1.0	0.0	1.344007E-5	7.997853E-6	7.997853E-6	1.0	0.0

Parent Section Magnitude-Probability Distributions

Table Of Contents

San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM

Calaveras (So) - Paicines extension 2011 CFM

Calaveras (So) 2011 CFM

Concord 2011 CFM

Green Valley 2011 CFM

San Andreas (Santa Cruz Mts) 2011 CFM

Calaveras (Central) 2011 CFM

Hayward (So) 2011 CFM

Hayward (So) extension 2011 CFM

Calaveras (No) 2011 CFM

Hunting Creek - Berryessa 2011 CFM

Sargent 2011 CFM

Hayward (No) 2011 CFM

Franklin 2011 CFM

Monterey Bay-Tularcitos

Greenville (No) 2011 CFM

Mount Diablo Thrust North CFM

Monte Vista - Shannon 2011 CFM

San Andreas (Parkfield)

Greenville (So) 2011 CFM

Ortigalita (North)

Contra Costa Shear Zone (connector) 2011 CFM

Clayton

San Andreas (Peninsula) 2011 CFM

Ortigalita (South)

Mount Diablo Thrust South

Mission (connected) 2011 CFM

Great Valley 05 Pittsburg - Kirby Hills alt1

Rodgers Creek - Healdsburg 2011 CFM

Contra Costa (Lafayette) 2011 CFM

Great Valley 09 (Laguna Seca)

Reliz 2011 CFM

San Andreas (Cholame) rev

Quien Sabe 2011 CFM

San Andreas (Carrizo) rev

San Andreas (Big Bend)

San Andreas (Mojave N)

San Andreas (San Bernardino N)

West Napa 2011 CFM

San Gregorio (South) 2011 CFM

San Andreas (North Coast) 2011 CFM

Great Valley 07 (Orestimba)

San Andreas (Mojave S)

Hunting Creek - Bartlett Springs connector 2011

San Gregorio (North) 2011 CFM

San Andreas (San Bernardino S)

Great Valley 08 (Quinto)

Las Positas

Pilarcitos 2011 CFM

Hosgri

Rinconada 2011 CFM

Silver Creek 2011 CFM

Lost Hills

Butano 2011 CFM

San Andreas (San Gorgonio Pass-Garnet HIll)

San Jacinto (Anza) rev

San Andreas (Coachella) rev

Bartlett Springs 2011 CFM

Great Valley 11

Santa Ynez (West)

San Luis Range - Pecho 2011 CFM

Great Valley 06 (Midland) 2011 CFM alt1

Mendocino

San Jacinto (Stepovers Combined)

Great Valley 04b Gordon Valley

San Jacinto (Coyote Creek)

Great Valley 03 Mysterious Ridge

Shoreline

Brawley (Seismic Zone) alt 1

San Jacinto (Superstition Mtn)

San Jacinto (San Jacinto Valley) rev

La Panza 2011

Point Reyes 2011 CFM

San Jacinto (San Bernardino)

Oceanic - West Huasna

Big Pine (East)

San Jacinto (Borrego)

King Range 2011 CFM