Start 2012, 500 yr, Spontaneous, Historical Catalog, AleatoryKTest Results

Start 2012, 500 yr, Spontaneous, Historical Catalog, AleatoryKTest
Num Simulations1000
Start Time2012/01/01 00:00:00 UTC
Start Time Epoch Milliseconds1325376000000
Duration500 Years
Includes Spontaneous?true
Trigger Ruptures(none)
Historical Ruptures60366 Trigger Ruptures
First: M7.3 at 1852/01/05 04:40:39 UTC
Last: M3.2 at 2011/12/31 19:14:44 UTC
Largest: M7.9 at 1857/01/09 16:25:39 UTC
Config Generated Withu3etas_config_builder.sh --start-year 2012 --num-simulations 1000 --duration-years 500 --include-spontaneous --historical-catalog --name-add AleatoryKTest --hpc-site USC_HPC --nodes 18 --hours 24 --queue scec

Table Of Contents

Magnitude Frequency Distribution

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Legend

MFD Plot

MagMean2.5 %ile97.5 %ileMedianModeLong-Term Fault System Solution500 yr Probability500 yr Prob 95% Conf500 yr Supra-Seis Prob
M≥57.8326.7429.4087.7467.9848.6091.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥5.16.1945.3347.4786.1265.6746.8301.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥5.24.8964.1985.9104.8464.5425.4171.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥5.33.8643.3104.6343.8323.6684.2951.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥5.43.0402.6063.6363.0102.9663.4041.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥5.52.3872.0382.8742.3642.2662.6961.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥5.61.8701.6062.2441.8521.7822.1331.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥5.71.4561.2441.7421.4461.4521.6861.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥5.81.1270.9581.3381.1201.0841.3311.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥5.90.8570.7321.0080.8520.8141.0361.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥60.6760.5800.7860.6740.6620.8361.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥6.10.5200.4440.6100.5180.5000.6601.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥6.20.4100.3440.4800.4080.4080.5291.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥6.30.3220.2680.3760.3220.3220.4201.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥6.40.2520.2080.3000.2520.2480.3321.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥6.50.1950.1580.2360.1940.1940.2601.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥6.60.1520.1180.1840.1520.1540.2051.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥6.70.1170.0920.1460.1180.1180.1601.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥6.80.0930.0700.1180.0920.0900.1271.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥6.90.0720.0520.0940.0720.0760.1001.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥70.0570.0400.0740.0560.0580.0781.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥7.10.0430.0300.0580.0440.0440.0601.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥7.20.0330.0220.0440.0320.0300.0451.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥7.30.0260.0160.0380.0260.0260.0351.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥7.40.0200.0120.0300.0200.0200.0271.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥7.50.0158.00E-30.0220.0140.0140.0191.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥7.60.0116.00E-30.0180.0100.0100.0141.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥7.77.87E-34.00E-30.0148.00E-38.00E-39.58E-30.999 (99.90%)[99.35% 99.99%]0.999 (99.90%)
M≥7.85.48E-32.00E-30.0106.00E-36.00E-36.19E-30.994 (99.40%)[98.63% 99.76%]0.994 (99.40%)
M≥7.93.04E-30.0006.00E-32.00E-32.00E-33.51E-30.894 (89.40%)[87.29% 91.21%]0.894 (89.40%)
M≥81.69E-30.0004.00E-32.00E-32.00E-32.03E-30.644 (64.40%)[61.33% 67.36%]0.644 (64.40%)
M≥8.18.30E-40.0004.00E-30.0000.0001.02E-30.363 (36.30%)[33.33% 39.38%]0.363 (36.30%)
M≥8.23.86E-40.0002.00E-30.0000.0004.48E-40.186 (18.60%)[16.26% 21.18%]0.186 (18.60%)
M≥8.36.40E-50.0002.00E-30.0000.0001.02E-40.032 (3.20%)[2.23% 4.54%]0.032 (3.20%)
M≥8.40.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.48%]0.000 (0.00%)
M≥8.50.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.48%]0.000 (0.00%)
M≥8.60.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.48%]0.000 (0.00%)
M≥8.70.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.48%]0.000 (0.00%)
M≥8.80.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.48%]0.000 (0.00%)
M≥8.90.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.48%]0.000 (0.00%)
M≥90.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.48%]0.000 (0.00%)

Long Term Rate Variability

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162 Year Variability

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Fixed Time Plot

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MagnitudeMeanMedianModeStd. Dev.2.5 %-ile16 %-ile84 %-ile97.5 %-ile
5.07.8264327.62962967.7407411.20325976.1234576.80246938.77777810.518518
5.16.18952276.0370375.50.952268244.8395065.3765436.95061738.265432
5.24.8926034.7839514.8395060.75147973.8086424.2407415.56.567901
5.33.86186623.78395063.66049390.590175332.9938273.3518524.3456795.160494
5.43.03834152.98148162.98148160.464763252.3456792.63580253.41358024.0555553
5.52.38636022.33950612.29012350.364118551.83333342.06172852.67901233.2037036
5.61.86865841.83333341.74074080.282700481.43827161.61728392.09876542.5
5.71.45498141.43209871.38271610.21684381.11728391.25308641.63580251.9197531
5.81.12679021.11111121.04320990.165754480.85802470.96913581.26543211.4938271
5.90.85642180.8456790.81481480.125489640.64814810.74074070.9629631.1358025
6.00.67611730.66666670.62345680.09844130.506172840.58024690.76543210.88271606
6.10.519884770.51851850.506172840.078328290.376543220.444444450.59259260.6851852
6.20.40951850.40740740.413580240.06342050.29629630.351851850.46913580.537037
6.30.32212140.320987640.32716050.0523828640.222222220.271604930.370370360.42592594
6.40.252090540.253086420.253086420.04416020.172839510.209876540.29629630.33950618
6.50.194438280.191358030.20370370.037090170.129629630.154320990.228395060.27160493
6.60.151561720.148148150.154320990.03147050.092592590.117283950.185185180.21604939
6.70.1173312740.117283950.098765430.0268438640.067901230.092592590.141975310.17283951
6.80.09262140.092592590.092592590.0232954640.0493827160.067901230.117283950.14197531
6.90.072370370.0740740750.067901230.0198261850.0370370370.0555555560.092592590.11111111
7.00.056818930.0555555560.0555555560.0171422940.0246913580.0370370370.0740740750.09259259
7.10.043380660.0432098770.0432098770.0148107250.0185185190.0308641980.0555555560.074074075
7.20.0329855980.0308641980.0308641980.0125986650.0123456790.0185185190.0432098770.061728396
7.30.0261748970.0246913580.0246913580.0108606980.00617283960.0185185190.0370370370.049382716
7.40.0202983540.0185185190.0185185190.0093234220.00617283960.0123456790.0308641980.037037037
7.50.0147119340.0123456790.0123456790.0079025250.00.00617283960.0246913580.030864198
7.60.01111934150.0123456790.0123456790.00660305240.00.00617283960.0185185190.024691358
7.70.0078806590.00617283960.00617283960.0054203220.00.00.0123456790.018518519
7.80.0054773660.00617283960.00617283960.0044746970.00.00.0123456790.012345679
7.90.003043210.00.00.0034849160.00.00.00617283960.012345679
8.00.00170164610.00.00.0028270290.00.00.00617283960.0061728396
8.18.3333335E-40.00.00.00212774660.00.00.00.0061728396
8.23.8065843E-40.00.00.00148511880.00.00.00.0061728396
8.36.378601E-50.00.06.243413E-40.00.00.00.0
8.40.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.50.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.60.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.70.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.80.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.90.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
9.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

80 Year Variability

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Fixed Time Plot

Download CSV Here

MagnitudeMeanMedianModeStd. Dev.2.5 %-ile16 %-ile84 %-ile97.5 %-ile
5.07.8290737.56.91.69022815.6756.46259.112511.9625
5.16.19164375.9255.58751.33804464.4755.17.29.425
5.24.8943444.74.31.05576493.5254.0255.71257.4125
5.33.86321883.71253.350.83092682.753.1754.51255.85
5.43.03951452.9252.83750.65303672.152.53.554.5875
5.52.38720422.32.21250.5104091.6751.952.78753.5875
5.61.86926881.81251.7750.396090981.31.5252.22.8
5.71.4553751.41251.30.305850741.01251.18751.71252.1625
5.81.12695421.11.11250.234741330.76250.91251.3251.65
5.90.85668750.83750.83750.177411080.5750.71.01251.25
6.00.67627290.66250.650.140048560.43750.550.80.975
6.10.520058330.51250.51250.111743080.3250.41250.6250.75
6.20.40970210.40.40.0912274050.250.3250.50.6
6.30.322327080.31250.30.075947070.18750.250.40.4875
6.40.25229790.250.23750.064281020.13750.18750.31250.3875
6.50.194572910.18750.18750.0541171430.10.13750.250.3125
6.60.151666670.150.13750.0462638030.06250.10.20.25
6.70.117391670.11250.10.039668290.050.0750.16250.2
6.80.092660420.08750.08750.0342257770.03750.06250.1250.1625
6.90.072391670.0750.06250.029577030.0250.03750.10.1375
7.00.056850.050.050.0257170140.01250.03750.08750.1125
7.10.0434083340.03750.03750.0223074540.01250.0250.06250.0875
7.20.03301250.03750.0250.0191206780.00.01250.050.075
7.30.0262145830.0250.0250.0168465560.00.01250.03750.0625
7.40.0203229170.01250.01250.0145705490.00.00.03750.05
7.50.0147333330.01250.01250.0123969210.00.00.0250.0375
7.60.0111395840.01250.01250.0105384250.00.00.0250.0375
7.70.00791250.01250.00.0087802450.00.00.01250.025
7.80.00549583320.00.00.0072788550.00.00.01250.025
7.90.00305833340.00.00.00556455370.00.00.01250.0125
8.00.00171041660.00.00.00432645580.00.00.00.0125
8.18.4166665E-40.00.00.0031327410.00.00.00.0125
8.23.8333333E-40.00.00.00215534140.00.00.00.0125
8.36.4583335E-50.00.08.9624466E-40.00.00.00.0
8.40.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.50.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.60.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.70.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.80.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.90.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
9.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

28 Year Variability

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Fixed Time Plot

Download CSV Here

MagnitudeMeanMedianModeStd. Dev.2.5 %-ile16 %-ile84 %-ile97.5 %-ile
5.07.829717.1785716.4642862.77008324.9285715.8571439.57142814.642858
5.16.192255.6785714.9642862.1921433.8571434.6071437.57142911.535714
5.24.89469774.54.1428571.73024373.03.6428576.0357149.142858
5.33.86345583.57142853.17857151.36299672.32142852.8571434.757.178571
5.43.03963452.82142852.46428561.07318591.78571432.21428563.78571445.642857
5.52.38735912.21428561.96428570.84105741.35714281.752.96428564.392857
5.61.86936971.751.57142850.65458581.03571431.35714282.3571433.4285715
5.71.4555191.35714281.28571430.50655870.785714271.03571431.82142852.6785715
5.81.12702941.07142850.964285730.389468970.57142860.785714271.42857152.0357144
5.90.856808840.82142860.82142860.297877280.428571430.607142871.10714281.5357143
6.00.676376040.642857130.642857130.236648050.321428570.46428570.892857131.2142857
6.10.52021220.50.46428570.190110460.214285720.357142870.67857140.9285714
6.20.409857150.392857130.357142870.156732050.142857150.250.57142860.75
6.30.322403370.321428570.28571430.13213690.107142860.178571430.46428570.60714287
6.40.252357160.250.214285720.112491790.0714285750.142857150.357142870.5
6.50.194657560.178571430.142857150.095406710.0357142870.107142860.28571430.39285713
6.60.151771010.142857150.142857150.0816863550.0357142870.0714285750.214285720.32142857
6.70.117445380.107142860.107142860.070179840.00.0357142870.178571430.2857143
6.80.092722690.0714285750.0714285750.0609680040.00.0357142870.142857150.21428572
6.90.072434870.0714285750.0357142870.052826540.00.0357142870.107142860.17857143
7.00.0568865540.0357142870.0357142870.046137740.00.00.107142860.17857143
7.10.0434432770.0357142870.0357142870.03997680.00.00.0714285750.14285715
7.20.0330399160.0357142870.00.0344727560.00.00.0714285750.10714286
7.30.0262289920.0357142870.00.0304189860.00.00.0714285750.10714286
7.40.0203403360.00.00.0267126110.00.00.0357142870.071428575
7.50.0147394960.00.00.0226786270.00.00.0357142870.071428575
7.60.0111344540.00.00.0195037960.00.00.0357142870.071428575
7.70.0079033620.00.00.0162921340.00.00.0357142870.035714287
7.80.00548949560.00.00.0135346420.00.00.00.035714287
7.90.00305672270.00.00.0101035650.00.00.00.035714287
8.00.00170168070.00.00.0076080220.00.00.00.035714287
8.18.382353E-40.00.00.00540703770.00.00.00.0
8.23.8235294E-40.00.00.00367560380.00.00.00.0
8.36.512605E-50.00.00.00152375370.00.00.00.0
8.40.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.50.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.60.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.70.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.80.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.90.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
9.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Variability Duration Dependence

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Duration Dependence Plot

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Duration (years)MeanMedianModeStd. Dev.2.5 %-ile16 %-ile84 %-ile97.5 %-ile
1.07.8316446.05.011.3764361.03.011.025.0
4.07.8316446.55.56.48404843.04.510.021.0
8.07.8306656.755.754.82409333.8755.09.87518.875
12.07.8285756.91666656.66666654.06208564.255.33333359.7517.5
16.07.8306657.06.06253.60185894.55.59.687516.3125
20.07.8316447.056.63.29018474.655.659.6515.6
24.07.8290737.1256.252.970424.79166655.79166659.62515.041667
28.07.829717.1785716.4642862.77008324.9285715.8571439.57142814.642858
32.07.8290737.218756.6252.60020425.06255.93759.5312514.21875
36.07.8306267.27777776.69444472.46955135.1388896.09.513.777778
40.07.8290737.2756.5752.37333425.2256.059.4513.65
44.07.8266167.3181826.95454552.26603325.27272756.11363659.40909113.318182
48.07.8290737.35416656.81252.20155265.33333356.14583359.35416713.229167
52.07.8306267.38461546.86538462.11117675.40384636.21153839.30769312.865385
56.07.83838847.3757.2321432.0314515.4642866.259.32142812.732142
60.07.8290737.41666656.81.97402055.46666676.28333339.28333412.483334
64.07.83838847.43756.781251.89767625.5468756.343759.20312512.328125
68.07.829717.44117647.07352921.86251195.57352926.3676479.17647112.220589
72.07.84490067.4861116.6111111.82733385.6111116.40277779.13888912.236111
76.07.83719737.4868426.8684211.76693145.65789466.42105259.14473712.118421
80.07.8290737.56.91.69022815.6756.46259.112511.9625
84.07.85375937.51190477.01190471.67934565.72619066.47619069.16666711.928572
88.07.84054577.52272756.79545451.63961455.72727256.59.11363611.647727
92.07.83395867.53260857.23913051.58447365.76086956.53260859.09782611.717391
96.07.8290737.52083356.98958351.57159555.82291656.55208359.05208311.604167
100.07.8316447.537.541.56167275.826.569.0111.58
200.07.86681277.697.271.10773226.346.8958.78510.375
300.07.89350657.76333337.97333340.960467646.5366677.04333358.6510.136666
400.07.86681277.797.87750.80083616.66257.14258.50759.695
500.07.8316447.7467.9840.713045846.7427.2088.4229.408

Simulation Stationarity

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Stationarity Plot

Moment Rate Plot

Section Participation

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Section Participation Plots

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Min MagComplete Catalog (including spontaneous)Ratio WRT Long-Term Model
All Supra. Seis.Participation PlotParticipation Plot
M≥6.5Participation PlotParticipation Plot
M≥7Participation PlotParticipation Plot
M≥7.5Participation PlotParticipation Plot
M≥8Participation PlotParticipation Plot

Supra-Seismogenic Parent Sections Table

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First 10 of 313 with matching ruptures shown

Parent NameTotal Mean Annual RateTotal 500 Year ProbTotal 500 Year 95% ConfLong-Term Fault System Solution Rate
San Andreas (Parkfield)0.0423221.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.047238618
San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM0.0283261.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.03419009
San Andreas (Mojave S)0.0186341.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.016211301
Mendocino0.0179381.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.028919645
Cerro Prieto0.0132441.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.015186971
Imperial0.0116220.999 (99.90%)[99.35% 99.99%]0.014349225
Brawley (Seismic Zone) alt 10.0109980.999 (99.90%)[99.35% 99.99%]0.013392845
Hayward (So) 2011 CFM0.009420.999 (99.90%)[99.35% 99.99%]0.009440966
San Andreas (Offshore) 2011 CFM0.0085241.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.008909097
Elsinore (Glen Ivy) rev0.0080520.992 (99.20%)[98.36% 99.63%]0.008455746

M≥6.5 Parent Sections Table

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First 10 of 306 with matching ruptures shown

Parent NameTotal Mean Annual RateTotal 500 Year ProbTotal 500 Year 95% ConfLong-Term Fault System Solution Rate
Cerro Prieto0.0113661.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.013091409
San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM0.0109221.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.012216282
Mendocino0.0092040.999 (99.90%)[99.35% 99.99%]0.012516479
Imperial0.008130.998 (99.80%)[99.20% 99.97%]0.0096799815
Hayward (So) 2011 CFM0.0080480.998 (99.80%)[99.20% 99.97%]0.008140643
Brawley (Seismic Zone) alt 10.0078220.998 (99.80%)[99.20% 99.97%]0.009075132
San Andreas (Mojave S)0.007021.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.0067372364
San Andreas (Santa Cruz Mts) 2011 CFM0.0067860.997 (99.70%)[99.05% 99.92%]0.00821497
San Andreas (San Bernardino N)0.0067220.998 (99.80%)[99.20% 99.97%]0.0067538084
San Andreas (Offshore) 2011 CFM0.0061861.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.006658823

M≥7 Parent Sections Table

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First 10 of 272 with matching ruptures shown

Parent NameTotal Mean Annual RateTotal 500 Year ProbTotal 500 Year 95% ConfLong-Term Fault System Solution Rate
San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM0.0068140.994 (99.40%)[98.63% 99.76%]0.007612852
San Andreas (Carrizo) rev0.0057641.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.0057427646
San Andreas (Cholame) rev0.0057541.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.005722108
San Andreas (Mojave S)0.005320.999 (99.90%)[99.35% 99.99%]0.0052993274
San Andreas (Santa Cruz Mts) 2011 CFM0.0053020.992 (99.20%)[98.36% 99.63%]0.0062776324
San Andreas (Mojave N)0.004981.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.0051040766
San Andreas (San Bernardino N)0.0046860.984 (98.40%)[97.36% 99.05%]0.004749499
San Andreas (North Coast) 2011 CFM0.0046460.997 (99.70%)[99.05% 99.92%]0.005556243
San Andreas (Big Bend)0.004620.998 (99.80%)[99.20% 99.97%]0.0045623486
San Andreas (Offshore) 2011 CFM0.004440.994 (99.40%)[98.63% 99.76%]0.0049385377

M≥7.5 Parent Sections Table

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First 10 of 215 with matching ruptures shown

Parent NameTotal Mean Annual RateTotal 500 Year ProbTotal 500 Year 95% ConfLong-Term Fault System Solution Rate
San Andreas (Mojave N)0.0048680.999 (99.90%)[99.35% 99.99%]0.0049894005
San Andreas (Big Bend)0.0044920.997 (99.70%)[99.05% 99.92%]0.0044245115
San Andreas (Mojave S)0.004410.995 (99.50%)[98.77% 99.82%]0.0045267143
San Andreas (Carrizo) rev0.004250.995 (99.50%)[98.77% 99.82%]0.004201805
San Andreas (Cholame) rev0.0040560.987 (98.70%)[97.73% 99.28%]0.0040264158
San Andreas (North Coast) 2011 CFM0.003730.985 (98.50%)[97.48% 99.13%]0.0045710644
San Andreas (San Bernardino N)0.003640.948 (94.80%)[93.19% 96.06%]0.0037959707
San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM0.0034280.896 (89.60%)[87.50% 91.39%]0.0038110747
San Andreas (Parkfield)0.0030960.905 (90.50%)[88.47% 92.21%]0.0032088608
San Andreas (Peninsula) 2011 CFM0.0029860.941 (94.10%)[92.41% 95.44%]0.0035515025

M≥8 Parent Sections Table

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First 10 of 68 with matching ruptures shown

Parent NameTotal Mean Annual RateTotal 500 Year ProbTotal 500 Year 95% ConfLong-Term Fault System Solution Rate
San Andreas (Mojave N)0.0015620.618 (61.80%)[58.70% 64.81%]0.0018098651
San Andreas (Carrizo) rev0.001530.605 (60.50%)[57.38% 63.53%]0.0017508415
San Andreas (Mojave S)0.0015260.609 (60.90%)[57.79% 63.93%]0.0017636013
San Andreas (Big Bend)0.0015240.603 (60.30%)[57.18% 63.34%]0.0017453934
San Andreas (Cholame) rev0.0014840.591 (59.10%)[55.97% 62.16%]0.0017193216
San Andreas (San Bernardino N)0.0014440.586 (58.60%)[55.47% 61.66%]0.0016807786
San Andreas (Parkfield)0.0012740.524 (52.40%)[49.25% 55.53%]0.0015122787
San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM0.0011680.473 (47.30%)[44.17% 50.45%]0.0014250289
San Andreas (Santa Cruz Mts) 2011 CFM8.2E-40.358 (35.80%)[32.84% 38.87%]0.0010319632
San Andreas (Peninsula) 2011 CFM7.06E-40.319 (31.90%)[29.04% 34.90%]9.2652056E-4

Gridded Nucleation

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Min MagComplete Catalog (including spontaneous)Ratio WRT Long-Term Model
M≥5Nucleation PlotNucleation Plot
M≥6Nucleation PlotNucleation Plot
M≥7Nucleation PlotNucleation Plot

JSON Input File

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{
  "numSimulations": 1000,
  "duration": 500.0,
  "startYear": 2012,
  "includeSpontaneous": true,
  "randomSeed": 1570823659422,
  "binaryOutput": true,
  "binaryOutputFilters": [
    {
      "prefix": "results_complete",
      "descendantsOnly": false
    },
    {
      "prefix": "results_m5_preserve_chain",
      "minMag": 5.0,
      "preserveChainBelowMag": true,
      "descendantsOnly": false
    }
  ],
  "forceRecalc": false,
  "simulationName": "Start 2012, 500 yr, Spontaneous, Historical Catalog, AleatoryKTest",
  "numRetries": 3,
  "outputDir": "${ETAS_SIM_DIR}/2019_10_11-Start2012_500yr_Spontaneous_HistoricalCatalog_AleatoryKTest",
  "triggerCatalog": "${ETAS_LAUNCHER}/inputs/u3_historical_catalog.txt",
  "triggerCatalogSurfaceMappings": "${ETAS_LAUNCHER}/inputs/u3_historical_catalog_finite_fault_mappings.xml",
  "treatTriggerCatalogAsSpontaneous": true,
  "cacheDir": "${ETAS_LAUNCHER}/inputs/cache_fm3p1_ba",
  "fssFile": "${ETAS_LAUNCHER}/inputs/2013_05_10-ucerf3p3-production-10runs_COMPOUND_SOL_FM3_1_SpatSeisU3_MEAN_BRANCH_AVG_SOL.zip",
  "probModel": "FULL_TD",
  "applySubSeisForSupraNucl": true,
  "totRateScaleFactor": 1.14,
  "gridSeisCorr": true,
  "timeIndependentERF": false,
  "griddedOnly": false,
  "imposeGR": false,
  "includeIndirectTriggering": true,
  "gridSeisDiscr": 0.1,
  "catalogCompletenessModel": "RELAXED",
  "configCommand": "u3etas_config_builder.sh --start-year 2012 --num-simulations 1000 --duration-years 500 --include-spontaneous --historical-catalog --name-add AleatoryKTest --hpc-site USC_HPC --nodes 18 --hours 24 --queue scec",
  "configTime": 1570823659422
}