Start 2012, 500 yr, Spontaneous, Historical Catalog Results

Start 2012, 500 yr, Spontaneous, Historical Catalog
Num Simulations1000
Start Time2012/01/01 00:00:00 UTC
Start Time Epoch Milliseconds1325376000000
Duration500 Years
Includes Spontaneous?true
Trigger Ruptures(none)
Historical Ruptures60366 Trigger Ruptures
First: M7.3 at 1852/01/05 04:40:39 UTC
Last: M3.2 at 2011/12/31 19:14:44 UTC
Largest: M7.9 at 1857/01/09 16:25:39 UTC
Config Generated Withu3etas_config_builder.sh --start-year 2012 --num-simulations 1000 --duration-years 500 --include-spontaneous --historical-catalog --hpc-site USC_HPC --nodes 18 --hours 24 --queue scec

Table Of Contents

Magnitude Frequency Distribution

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Legend

MFD Plot

MagMean2.5 %ile97.5 %ileMedianModeLong-Term Fault System Solution500 yr Probability500 yr Prob 95% Conf500 yr Supra-Seis Prob
M≥57.8447.1748.5907.8407.5708.6091.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥5.16.2045.6566.7906.1866.1566.8301.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥5.24.9014.4585.3864.8844.7565.4171.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥5.33.8673.5124.2703.8563.8584.2951.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥5.43.0462.7583.3703.0403.0803.4041.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥5.52.3932.1522.6722.3842.3562.6961.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥5.61.8741.6702.0941.8681.8922.1331.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥5.71.4631.3041.6381.4601.4681.6861.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥5.81.1351.0041.2761.1321.1441.3311.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥5.90.8640.7660.9800.8640.8721.0361.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥60.6840.6000.7820.6820.6620.8361.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥6.10.5280.4580.6080.5260.5340.6601.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥6.20.4170.3560.4820.4160.4160.5291.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥6.30.3280.2780.3840.3280.3180.4201.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥6.40.2570.2120.3000.2580.2580.3321.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥6.50.1980.1600.2380.1980.2080.2601.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥6.60.1540.1240.1880.1540.1460.2051.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥6.70.1200.0920.1480.1200.1220.1601.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥6.80.0950.0720.1200.0940.0880.1271.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥6.90.0740.0540.0940.0740.0780.1001.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥70.0580.0420.0760.0580.0600.0781.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥7.10.0440.0300.0580.0440.0420.0601.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥7.20.0340.0220.0460.0340.0320.0451.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥7.30.0270.0160.0380.0260.0260.0351.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥7.40.0200.0120.0300.0200.0200.0271.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥7.50.0158.00E-30.0220.0140.0140.0191.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥7.60.0116.00E-30.0180.0100.0120.0141.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥7.77.92E-34.00E-30.0148.00E-38.00E-39.58E-31.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥7.85.52E-32.00E-30.0106.00E-36.00E-36.19E-30.993 (99.30%)[98.50% 99.69%]0.993 (99.30%)
M≥7.92.94E-30.0006.00E-32.00E-32.00E-33.51E-30.875 (87.50%)[85.25% 89.45%]0.875 (87.50%)
M≥81.64E-30.0004.00E-32.00E-32.00E-32.03E-30.630 (63.00%)[59.91% 65.99%]0.630 (63.00%)
M≥8.17.68E-40.0004.00E-30.0000.0001.02E-30.352 (35.20%)[32.25% 38.26%]0.352 (35.20%)
M≥8.23.10E-40.0002.00E-30.0000.0004.48E-40.153 (15.30%)[13.16% 17.72%]0.153 (15.30%)
M≥8.35.00E-50.0000.0000.0000.0001.02E-40.025 (2.50%)[1.66% 3.72%]0.025 (2.50%)
M≥8.40.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.48%]0.000 (0.00%)
M≥8.50.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.48%]0.000 (0.00%)
M≥8.60.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.48%]0.000 (0.00%)
M≥8.70.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.48%]0.000 (0.00%)
M≥8.80.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.48%]0.000 (0.00%)
M≥8.90.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.48%]0.000 (0.00%)
M≥90.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.48%]0.000 (0.00%)

Long Term Rate Variability

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162 Year Variability

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Fixed Time Plot

Download CSV Here

MagnitudeMeanMedianModeStd. Dev.2.5 %-ile16 %-ile84 %-ile97.5 %-ile
5.07.8473197.82098777.99382730.70802976.54938277.12962968.5370379.302469
5.16.206586.1913586.16666650.569169345.1543215.62962966.7716057.4135804
5.24.90275534.8888894.90123460.460028324.0679014.44444475.35802465.882716
5.33.86937243.85802463.91358020.372198373.18518523.4938274.2345684.654321
5.43.0479263.03703712.96913580.298954342.48765422.75308633.3456793.6790123
5.52.39469552.3827162.37654330.243730371.93827162.16049392.64197542.9074075
5.61.87558021.87037041.85185180.196638021.51234571.67901232.06790112.2839506
5.71.46412551.45679011.48765430.158591481.16666661.3086421.62345681.7962962
5.81.13543011.12962961.11111120.12746670.895061731.01234571.25925921.4012346
5.90.86515020.864197550.87654320.102207990.67283950.76543210.96913581.074074
6.00.68496090.679012360.66666670.084412610.524691340.598765430.76543210.8580247
6.10.52870780.524691340.53086420.070663870.401234570.456790120.598765430.67901236
6.20.416948560.413580240.425925940.0586577880.308641970.35802470.475308660.54320985
6.30.328504120.32716050.32716050.0500947540.23456790.27777780.376543220.43209878
6.40.257366270.253086420.246913580.0421475060.179012340.216049390.29629630.34567901
6.50.198370370.197530870.197530870.0361264530.129629630.160493820.23456790.27160493
6.60.154510290.154320990.148148150.031192230.098765430.123456790.185185180.21604939
6.70.119744860.117283950.117283950.0265756640.0740740750.092592590.148148150.17283951
6.80.094656380.092592590.092592590.0232784770.0555555560.0740740750.117283950.14197531
6.90.073713990.0740740750.0740740750.0201495220.0370370370.0555555560.092592590.11728395
7.00.0578148140.0555555560.0555555560.0172832050.0246913580.0432098770.0740740750.09259259
7.10.0439938270.0432098770.0370370370.0149413630.0185185190.0308641980.0617283960.074074075
7.20.0334958840.0308641980.0308641980.0127515520.0123456790.0185185190.0432098770.061728396
7.30.0265617280.0246913580.0246913580.011189060.00617283960.0185185190.0370370370.049382716
7.40.0203456790.0185185190.0185185190.0096985110.00617283960.0123456790.0308641980.043209877
7.50.0146008230.0123456790.0123456790.0080588850.00.00617283960.0246913580.030864198
7.60.0110288070.0123456790.0123456790.0067060330.00.00617283960.0185185190.024691358
7.70.0078950620.00617283960.00617283960.00554672860.00.00.0123456790.018518519
7.80.0054938270.00617283960.00617283960.00451678040.00.00.0123456790.012345679
7.90.00291358030.00.00.0034772420.00.00.00617283960.012345679
8.00.00161111110.00.00.00281264050.00.00.00617283960.0061728396
8.17.5720163E-40.00.00.00204409660.00.00.00.0061728396
8.23.08642E-40.00.00.00134556340.00.00.00.0061728396
8.34.9382717E-50.00.05.4999435E-40.00.00.00.0
8.40.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.50.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.60.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.70.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.80.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.90.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
9.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

80 Year Variability

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Fixed Time Plot

Download CSV Here

MagnitudeMeanMedianModeStd. Dev.2.5 %-ile16 %-ile84 %-ile97.5 %-ile
5.07.8488027.73757.2751.08809056.03756.7758.937510.225
5.16.2076816.1255.88750.87163474.73755.357.0758.1
5.24.9038794.83754.63750.70094553.7254.25.66.4375
5.33.87007933.8253.81250.564956672.88753.31254.4255.1
5.43.04858543.01252.91250.45302852.26252.63.54.025
5.52.395352.36252.30.364756231.76252.03752.76253.1875
5.61.87613751.851.76250.293617871.36251.58752.16252.5
5.71.46465211.451.46250.23604841.03751.2251.71.975
5.81.13574791.1251.08750.189088540.78750.951.3251.5375
5.90.865366640.86250.81250.150744320.60.71251.01251.1875
6.00.68510210.6750.6250.1245185960.46250.56250.81250.95
6.10.528847930.5250.5250.10315650.33750.4250.6250.75
6.20.41710.41250.40.0858924760.26250.3250.50.5875
6.30.328643740.3250.3250.073675440.20.250.40.4875
6.40.25750.250.250.062981350.150.20.3250.3875
6.50.198477090.20.18750.054142630.10.150.250.3125
6.60.154581250.150.13750.046647780.0750.11250.20.25
6.70.119752090.11250.11250.0397398920.050.0750.16250.2
6.80.09463750.08750.08750.0348813240.03750.06250.1250.175
6.90.0737291650.0750.06250.0305487810.0250.03750.10.1375
7.00.0578208340.050.050.026427830.01250.03750.08750.1125
7.10.044006250.03750.03750.0228769520.00.0250.06250.0875
7.20.0334791650.03750.0250.019497340.00.01250.050.075
7.30.0265520830.0250.0250.0172424480.00.01250.03750.0625
7.40.02033750.01250.01250.0149396830.00.00.03750.05
7.50.01460.01250.01250.01251630.00.00.0250.0375
7.60.0110270840.01250.01250.01055788250.00.00.0250.0375
7.70.0078895840.01250.00.0088789260.00.00.01250.025
7.80.0054854170.00.00.0073205880.00.00.01250.025
7.90.00292083340.00.00.0054976150.00.00.01250.0125
8.00.00161041670.00.00.00424977760.00.00.00.0125
8.17.583333E-40.00.00.00299293730.00.00.00.0125
8.23.1041665E-40.00.00.00194537420.00.00.00.0
8.34.7916667E-50.00.07.725036E-40.00.00.00.0
8.40.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.50.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.60.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.70.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.80.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.90.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
9.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

28 Year Variability

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Fixed Time Plot

Download CSV Here

MagnitudeMeanMedianModeStd. Dev.2.5 %-ile16 %-ile84 %-ile97.5 %-ile
5.07.85111577.57.4285711.88486345.1785716.1428579.60714212.535714
5.16.2096915.9285715.251.51063114.0357144.8214297.6071439.892858
5.24.90544134.7142864.3928571.21090643.1071433.78571446.0357147.821429
5.33.87130453.71428563.28571440.972718662.42857152.96428564.7857146.214286
5.43.04963022.92857152.67857150.77914151.85714282.32142853.78571444.928571
5.52.39600632.32142852.07142850.62541951.42857151.78571433.03.857143
5.61.87661771.82142851.71428570.50044891.07142851.39285722.3571433.0357144
5.71.46499571.42857151.35714280.40405390.785714271.07142851.85714282.392857
5.81.13612191.10714281.10714280.324355930.607142870.82142861.46428571.8571428
5.90.86569120.857142870.750.25961030.428571430.607142871.10714281.4285715
6.00.685376050.67857140.607142870.214986970.321428570.46428570.892857131.1428572
6.10.52908610.50.50.179044040.214285720.357142870.714285730.9285714
6.20.41726260.392857130.357142870.150741040.142857150.28571430.57142860.75
6.30.328806730.321428570.321428570.129874260.107142860.214285720.46428570.60714287
6.40.257598730.250.214285720.1114428340.0714285750.142857150.357142870.5
6.50.198581930.178571430.178571430.09589230.0357142870.107142860.28571430.39285713
6.60.154653360.142857150.107142860.0826644750.0357142870.0714285750.250.32142857
6.70.119844540.107142860.107142860.071214880.00.0357142870.178571430.2857143
6.80.094672270.0714285750.0714285750.0622472840.00.0357142870.142857150.25
6.90.0737457950.0714285750.0357142870.053828310.00.0357142870.142857150.17857143
7.00.057844540.0357142870.0357142870.047215680.00.00.107142860.17857143
7.10.0440357140.0357142870.0357142870.0409130120.00.00.0714285750.14285715
7.20.0335063040.0357142870.00.0350366230.00.00.0714285750.10714286
7.30.0265882350.0357142870.00.0309788450.00.00.0714285750.10714286
7.40.0203382350.00.00.0269727730.00.00.0357142870.071428575
7.50.0146155460.00.00.0228097550.00.00.0357142870.071428575
7.60.0110357140.00.00.0194656250.00.00.0357142870.071428575
7.70.007899160.00.00.0163631010.00.00.0357142870.035714287
7.80.00549159660.00.00.013569780.00.00.00.035714287
7.90.00292226880.00.00.0099641510.00.00.00.035714287
8.00.0016176470.00.00.00745719620.00.00.00.035714287
8.17.6260505E-40.00.00.00517744760.00.00.00.0
8.23.1092437E-40.00.00.00331789320.00.00.00.0
8.34.831933E-50.00.00.0013128050.00.00.00.0
8.40.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.50.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.60.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.70.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.80.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.90.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
9.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Variability Duration Dependence

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Duration Dependence Plot

Download CSV Here

Duration (years)MeanMedianModeStd. Dev.2.5 %-ile16 %-ile84 %-ile97.5 %-ile
1.07.844116.05.07.9351991.03.011.025.0
4.07.844116.755.754.47484453.254.7510.2520.0
8.07.84617957.06.253.32449774.05.2510.12517.125
12.07.84636977.16666656.08333352.78229784.41666655.583333510.015.416667
16.07.84617957.31256.52.4510674.68755.759.87514.4375
20.07.844117.356.452.209774.95.99.813.55
24.07.8488027.41666656.66666652.03926475.04166656.04166659.66666713.041667
28.07.85111577.57.4285711.88486345.1785716.1428579.60714212.535714
32.07.8488027.531256.468751.76065795.31256.218759.5312512.21875
36.07.85179047.55555537.16666651.6713575.3888896.30555539.44444511.916667
40.07.8488027.5757.31.58091515.4756.3759.37511.65
44.07.84670647.5909097.0681821.50625285.52272756.4090919.31818211.386364
48.07.8488027.6257.33333351.44294585.60416656.47916659.29166711.1875
52.07.85179047.6730777.5769231.37976135.6730776.5192319.23076911.0
56.07.85962727.6785717.4642861.33282345.6964296.5535719.16071410.875
60.07.8488027.77.6166671.28371975.7666676.58333359.11666710.733334
64.07.85962727.718757.2968751.23164895.81256.656259.0937510.578125
68.07.85111577.73529437.08823541.19457475.8676476.67647089.04411810.470589
72.07.8651117.7361117.55555531.16925065.8888896.72222239.05555510.430555
76.07.8548827.757.42105251.13552495.96052656.72368438.98684210.315789
80.07.8488027.73757.2751.08809056.03756.7758.937510.225
84.07.8680247.77380947.51190471.06160966.0714296.80952368.95238110.154762
88.07.86390457.7840917.7159091.03621956.07954556.8181828.89772710.079545
92.07.855857.7717397.96739151.01347396.0978266.8260878.86956510.01087
96.07.8488027.77083357.60416650.97902226.13541656.8758.8333339.958333
100.07.844117.797.610.950315066.176.898.89.88
200.07.876437.8557.6750.618917056.747.2558.4859.165
300.07.897367.8833337.58666660.477855867.00333367.43333348.3733338.893333
400.07.876437.867.71750.394722767.10757.47258.278.7025
500.07.844117.847.570.355658057.1747.4868.2128.59

Simulation Stationarity

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Stationarity Plot

Moment Rate Plot

Section Participation

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Section Participation Plots

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Min MagComplete Catalog (including spontaneous)Ratio WRT Long-Term Model
All Supra. Seis.Participation PlotParticipation Plot
M≥6.5Participation PlotParticipation Plot
M≥7Participation PlotParticipation Plot
M≥7.5Participation PlotParticipation Plot
M≥8Participation PlotParticipation Plot

Supra-Seismogenic Parent Sections Table

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First 10 of 313 with matching ruptures shown

Parent NameTotal Mean Annual RateTotal 500 Year ProbTotal 500 Year 95% ConfLong-Term Fault System Solution Rate
San Andreas (Parkfield)0.0429781.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.047238618
San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM0.0290421.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.03419009
San Andreas (Mojave S)0.0192281.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.016211301
Mendocino0.018091.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.028919645
Cerro Prieto0.0135721.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.015186971
Imperial0.0118461.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.014349225
Brawley (Seismic Zone) alt 10.0110741.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.013392845
Hayward (So) 2011 CFM0.009830.999 (99.90%)[99.35% 99.99%]0.009440966
San Andreas (Offshore) 2011 CFM0.0086761.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.008909097
Elsinore (Glen Ivy) rev0.0082560.995 (99.50%)[98.77% 99.82%]0.008455746

M≥6.5 Parent Sections Table

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First 10 of 305 with matching ruptures shown

Parent NameTotal Mean Annual RateTotal 500 Year ProbTotal 500 Year 95% ConfLong-Term Fault System Solution Rate
Cerro Prieto0.0117141.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.013091409
San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM0.0112220.999 (99.90%)[99.35% 99.99%]0.012216282
Mendocino0.0091521.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.012516479
Hayward (So) 2011 CFM0.0083240.999 (99.90%)[99.35% 99.99%]0.008140643
Imperial0.0082681.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.0096799815
Brawley (Seismic Zone) alt 10.0078821.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.009075132
San Andreas (Mojave S)0.0070981.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.0067372364
San Andreas (Santa Cruz Mts) 2011 CFM0.0069940.997 (99.70%)[99.05% 99.92%]0.00821497
San Andreas (San Bernardino N)0.0067340.995 (99.50%)[98.77% 99.82%]0.0067538084
San Andreas (Offshore) 2011 CFM0.0062380.999 (99.90%)[99.35% 99.99%]0.006658823

M≥7 Parent Sections Table

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First 10 of 272 with matching ruptures shown

Parent NameTotal Mean Annual RateTotal 500 Year ProbTotal 500 Year 95% ConfLong-Term Fault System Solution Rate
San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM0.0070480.995 (99.50%)[98.77% 99.82%]0.007612852
San Andreas (Carrizo) rev0.0058121.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.0057427646
San Andreas (Cholame) rev0.0057661.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.005722108
San Andreas (Santa Cruz Mts) 2011 CFM0.0055240.991 (99.10%)[98.23% 99.56%]0.0062776324
San Andreas (Mojave S)0.0053281.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.0052993274
San Andreas (Mojave N)0.0049881.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.0051040766
San Andreas (North Coast) 2011 CFM0.0046440.995 (99.50%)[98.77% 99.82%]0.005556243
San Andreas (Big Bend)0.0046260.999 (99.90%)[99.35% 99.99%]0.0045623486
San Andreas (San Bernardino N)0.0046240.975 (97.50%)[96.28% 98.34%]0.004749499
San Andreas (Offshore) 2011 CFM0.0044240.989 (98.90%)[97.98% 99.42%]0.0049385377

M≥7.5 Parent Sections Table

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First 10 of 207 with matching ruptures shown

Parent NameTotal Mean Annual RateTotal 500 Year ProbTotal 500 Year 95% ConfLong-Term Fault System Solution Rate
San Andreas (Mojave N)0.0048981.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.0049894005
San Andreas (Big Bend)0.0045040.997 (99.70%)[99.05% 99.92%]0.0044245115
San Andreas (Mojave S)0.0043580.995 (99.50%)[98.77% 99.82%]0.0045267143
San Andreas (Carrizo) rev0.0042480.992 (99.20%)[98.36% 99.63%]0.004201805
San Andreas (Cholame) rev0.0040520.982 (98.20%)[97.11% 98.90%]0.0040264158
San Andreas (North Coast) 2011 CFM0.0036880.978 (97.80%)[96.63% 98.58%]0.0045710644
San Andreas (San Bernardino N)0.0035460.938 (93.80%)[92.08% 95.18%]0.0037959707
San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM0.003430.879 (87.90%)[85.68% 89.82%]0.0038110747
San Andreas (Parkfield)0.0030980.899 (89.90%)[87.82% 91.66%]0.0032088608
San Andreas (Peninsula) 2011 CFM0.0030680.945 (94.50%)[92.85% 95.79%]0.0035515025

M≥8 Parent Sections Table

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First 10 of 62 with matching ruptures shown

Parent NameTotal Mean Annual RateTotal 500 Year ProbTotal 500 Year 95% ConfLong-Term Fault System Solution Rate
San Andreas (Mojave N)0.001480.589 (58.90%)[55.77% 61.96%]0.0018098651
San Andreas (Big Bend)0.0014660.590 (59.00%)[55.87% 62.06%]0.0017453934
San Andreas (Carrizo) rev0.0014660.590 (59.00%)[55.87% 62.06%]0.0017508415
San Andreas (Cholame) rev0.0014440.582 (58.20%)[55.07% 61.27%]0.0017193216
San Andreas (Mojave S)0.001440.576 (57.60%)[54.46% 60.68%]0.0017636013
San Andreas (San Bernardino N)0.0013540.552 (55.20%)[52.05% 58.31%]0.0016807786
San Andreas (Parkfield)0.0012160.503 (50.30%)[47.16% 53.44%]0.0015122787
San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM0.0010840.463 (46.30%)[43.18% 49.45%]0.0014250289
San Andreas (Santa Cruz Mts) 2011 CFM7.76E-40.352 (35.20%)[32.25% 38.26%]0.0010319632
San Andreas (Peninsula) 2011 CFM7.06E-40.327 (32.70%)[29.81% 35.72%]9.2652056E-4

Gridded Nucleation

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Min MagComplete Catalog (including spontaneous)Ratio WRT Long-Term Model
M≥5Nucleation PlotNucleation Plot
M≥6Nucleation PlotNucleation Plot
M≥7Nucleation PlotNucleation Plot

JSON Input File

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{
  "numSimulations": 1000,
  "duration": 500.0,
  "startYear": 2012,
  "includeSpontaneous": true,
  "randomSeed": 1570823668349,
  "binaryOutput": true,
  "binaryOutputFilters": [
    {
      "prefix": "results_complete",
      "descendantsOnly": false
    },
    {
      "prefix": "results_m5_preserve_chain",
      "minMag": 5.0,
      "preserveChainBelowMag": true,
      "descendantsOnly": false
    }
  ],
  "forceRecalc": false,
  "simulationName": "Start 2012, 500 yr, Spontaneous, Historical Catalog",
  "numRetries": 3,
  "outputDir": "${ETAS_SIM_DIR}/2019_10_11-Start2012_500yr_Spontaneous_HistoricalCatalog",
  "triggerCatalog": "${ETAS_LAUNCHER}/inputs/u3_historical_catalog.txt",
  "triggerCatalogSurfaceMappings": "${ETAS_LAUNCHER}/inputs/u3_historical_catalog_finite_fault_mappings.xml",
  "treatTriggerCatalogAsSpontaneous": true,
  "cacheDir": "${ETAS_LAUNCHER}/inputs/cache_fm3p1_ba",
  "fssFile": "${ETAS_LAUNCHER}/inputs/2013_05_10-ucerf3p3-production-10runs_COMPOUND_SOL_FM3_1_SpatSeisU3_MEAN_BRANCH_AVG_SOL.zip",
  "probModel": "FULL_TD",
  "applySubSeisForSupraNucl": true,
  "totRateScaleFactor": 1.14,
  "gridSeisCorr": true,
  "timeIndependentERF": false,
  "griddedOnly": false,
  "imposeGR": false,
  "includeIndirectTriggering": true,
  "gridSeisDiscr": 0.1,
  "catalogCompletenessModel": "RELAXED",
  "configCommand": "u3etas_config_builder.sh --start-year 2012 --num-simulations 1000 --duration-years 500 --include-spontaneous --historical-catalog --hpc-site USC_HPC --nodes 18 --hours 24 --queue scec",
  "configTime": 1570823668349
}