Parent Section Magnitude-Probability Distributions

Only fault sections with at least one triggered aftershock are plotted. Sections are sorted by total supraseismogenic trigger rate (decreasing)

Table Of Contents

Garlock (Central)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.5131142E-57.02476E-50.0724251641030.99840.072362.3625491E-43.0102677E-40.08086677268.636470.080590.00287260950.0036589060.0942661725.7634830.090940.0283575910.0361366570.129515743.58405420.09688
6.15.5131142E-57.02476E-50.0724251641030.99840.072362.3625491E-43.0102677E-40.08086677268.636470.080590.00287260950.0036589060.0942661725.7634830.090940.0283575910.0361366570.129515743.58405420.09688
6.24.216245E-55.1661802E-50.043519415842.39060.043471.806837E-42.213891E-40.048960596221.15180.048750.00219760460.0026921120.05803272521.556580.055490.0217599890.0267013180.08432063.1579190.0592
6.34.216245E-55.1661802E-50.043519415842.39060.043471.806837E-42.213891E-40.048960596221.15180.048750.00219760460.0026921120.05803272521.556580.055490.0217599890.0267013180.08432063.1579190.0592
6.43.6858168E-54.411026E-50.034012612771.081670.033971.5795401E-41.8903041E-40.038361814202.93990.038180.00192139370.00229904130.04567907819.8687520.043480.0190486550.0228660980.068146482.98024080.04634
6.53.39199E-54.0018425E-50.030648794765.867070.030611.453629E-41.7149639E-40.0345356201.378020.034370.00176835650.00208599070.04123415819.7671810.039230.0175435080.0207587830.0617106522.9727490.04182
6.63.3571985E-53.947258E-50.030628266775.937740.030591.4387199E-41.6915736E-40.03450335203.971910.034340.00175023420.00205756720.0411569520.0027260.039180.0173651330.0204800420.0613847932.99729820.04176
6.73.2580007E-53.808902E-50.029556965775.9970.029521.3962112E-41.6322857E-40.033257827203.750030.03310.00169856170.00198551780.03969050619.9900020.037780.0168563720.0197708740.0591760842.99309420.0402
6.83.2185937E-53.7516216E-50.028896434770.23850.028861.3793244E-41.60774E-40.03252557202.306170.032370.00167803370.00195568750.0388733519.8770750.036990.0166541920.0194778780.0580614252.98089050.03935
6.93.165394E-53.672075E-50.028055692764.028260.028021.3565269E-41.5736527E-40.03158242200.694980.031430.00165032020.001914260.0377754819.7337270.035930.016381180.0190715180.0565626062.96581550.03822
7.03.0903822E-53.562591E-50.027074663759.97110.027041.3243823E-41.5267366E-40.030478043199.62870.030330.00161124280.00185723820.03656266319.6865770.034770.0159961040.0185134930.0548284952.96154240.037
7.13.0069863E-53.4392175E-50.025793506749.98180.025761.2886449E-41.4738683E-40.029003134196.78240.028860.00156779590.00179297870.03477373719.3943960.033040.015567810.017880990.0524221142.93172340.03517
7.22.7957109E-53.128141E-50.021410612684.45160.021381.1981068E-41.3405642E-40.024160836180.228850.024030.00145771880.00163093450.029076117.8278770.027490.0144819370.0162843520.0450875462.76876520.02928
7.32.4519275E-52.6714602E-50.015086312564.721560.015061.0507837E-41.1448621E-40.017102541149.385160.016990.00127857830.0013929930.0208658314.9791350.01950.0127124690.013928610.0344586152.47394510.02082
7.42.3225532E-52.5199166E-50.013974847554.57580.013959.95342E-51.0799204E-40.015826294146.550570.015720.00121115510.00131402440.01927039814.66517450.017980.0120457530.0131461960.0320247082.43604370.01913
7.52.097765E-52.2483406E-50.010942237486.68060.010928.9901114E-59.6353964E-50.01238517128.538250.012290.00109399650.001172490.01521600512.9775130.014060.0108862640.01174065750.0265843122.2642950.01502
7.61.511254E-51.5990969E-50.005815898363.698940.00586.476642E-56.8530964E-50.006658079697.154320.006597.882459E-48.34053E-40.00837775610.0446330.007550.0078545580.0083838670.016306881.94503080.00799
7.79.934069E-61.0678523E-50.0015706619147.086060.001564.2573887E-54.5764296E-50.001835682440.1116680.001795.182138E-45.570383E-40.00260589644.67812820.002050.005170070.0056274190.0078050951.3869760.00219
7.86.7562896E-68.42837E-60.0010584195125.57820.001052.8955206E-53.6121084E-50.001286075935.6045760.001253.5247262E-44.3968562E-40.00185906134.22816040.001420.00351914060.0044464160.0059297911.33361140.00149
7.93.975453E-65.3710532E-65.9536786E-4110.847515.9E-41.7037546E-52.3018596E-57.230025E-431.4094947.0E-42.0741238E-42.8021546E-40.00106999413.8184697.9E-40.0020721890.00283356690.00367118651.29560618.4E-4
8.01.6729537E-62.0775192E-61.8207714E-487.641621.8E-47.169782E-68.903624E-62.3890157E-426.831952.3E-48.7288594E-51.0839626E-43.6836808E-43.39834672.6E-48.7254314E-40.0010968540.00137654691.25499562.8E-4
8.13.6733252E-73.1489736E-74.0314884E-5128.025474.0E-51.5742813E-61.3495595E-65.1349492E-538.0490765.0E-51.9166706E-51.643078E-56.642996E-54.04301935.0E-51.9165053E-41.662928E-42.2628282E-41.36074946.0E-5

Tank Canyon

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.8284557E-55.796445E-50.041945536723.642460.041892.0691741E-42.4839927E-40.04862638195.758960.048390.00251630880.00302073360.0599681919.8521940.057120.024880060.0298636160.090361323.02579980.06236
6.11.7796336E-52.0873378E-50.015420552738.76650.01547.626778E-58.945448E-50.018097844202.313450.018019.281647E-40.00108860240.0222055920.3982560.021140.0092429750.0108366420.03358743.09942870.023
6.21.7796336E-52.0873378E-50.015420552738.76650.01547.626778E-58.945448E-50.018097844202.313450.018019.281647E-40.00108860240.0222055920.3982560.021140.0092429750.0108366420.03358743.09942870.023
6.31.3515912E-51.5759651E-50.011335582719.27860.011325.792405E-56.7539746E-50.013276648196.575320.013217.049971E-48.2200987E-40.0163692219.9136520.015560.0070276470.0081921570.0250330553.05573420.01698
6.41.0870146E-51.2618114E-50.0083525125661.94620.008344.658551E-55.4076605E-50.009863546182.39950.009815.67031E-46.582015E-40.01227055318.6425480.011620.0056558630.0065643820.0192008842.925010.01272
6.57.964826E-69.196184E-60.005229148568.62150.005223.4134522E-53.941168E-50.00616917156.531510.006134.1550855E-44.797421E-40.0077762416.209210.00730.00414732470.0047882090.0127598562.66484930.00801
6.66.6317E-67.612378E-60.003997582525.142330.003992.8421264E-53.262412E-50.004662473142.91490.004633.4597394E-43.9713533E-40.00585496714.7430020.005460.00345435790.00396525160.0099613812.51216860.00602
6.74.793663E-65.4308593E-60.0021054195387.677060.00212.0544108E-52.3274928E-50.0024232191104.1128540.00242.500958E-42.833398E-40.003132532411.0557450.002850.00249814520.00283031890.00594148832.09922930.00312
6.84.382823E-64.969325E-60.0019749596397.430150.001971.8783392E-52.1296957E-50.0022412497105.238020.002222.286638E-42.5926388E-40.00288858211.1414750.002630.00228428650.00259012330.00544271572.10133460.00286
6.92.729601E-63.0735862E-67.930712E-4258.027957.9E-41.1698237E-51.3172453E-59.331603E-470.8418059.2E-41.4241673E-41.6036403E-40.00130018138.1076860.001140.0014232550.00160248080.00285047761.77879060.00125
7.01.8987357E-62.126971E-63.6212621E-4170.254433.6E-48.137413E-69.115562E-64.091119E-444.8806044.0E-49.90685E-51.1097702E-46.309193E-45.6851355.2E-49.902435E-40.00110928460.00166866351.50426985.6E-4
7.11.4928986E-61.6641525E-62.0166382E-4121.181092.0E-46.398121E-67.132066E-62.4713035E-434.6505972.4E-47.789434E-58.6830034E-53.86804E-44.45472573.0E-47.786704E-48.6801895E-40.00118774121.36833563.2E-4
7.21.069082E-61.1828765E-67.1182796E-560.1777047.0E-54.581772E-65.0694644E-69.506901E-518.7532659.0E-55.5781646E-56.171951E-51.6171334E-42.62013321.0E-45.576765E-46.1707594E-47.1701425E-41.16195461.0E-4
7.38.776551E-79.770151E-73.0976986E-531.7057383.0E-53.7613736E-64.187204E-65.4186996E-512.94109255.0E-54.579376E-55.0978535E-51.10975474E-42.17690596.0E-54.5784327E-45.097194E-45.6968885E-41.11765186.0E-5
7.47.55721E-78.5103835E-73.0851013E-536.2510223.0E-53.2388E-63.6473052E-64.364716E-511.9669614.0E-53.9431678E-54.4405555E-59.440333E-52.12593535.0E-53.942468E-44.4401767E-44.9399544E-41.11255815.0E-5
7.55.587665E-76.305732E-73.0630556E-548.5757333.0E-52.3947114E-62.7024564E-64.2702348E-515.8013094.0E-52.915522E-53.2902408E-57.290109E-52.21567654.0E-52.9151395E-43.2902407E-43.6901093E-41.12153164.0E-5

Little Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.8424427E-53.1205716E-50.0344401341103.64820.034411.2181328E-41.3373268E-40.038258635286.082920.038130.00148206770.00162711250.0441677827.1448860.042610.0147222230.0161653980.060831493.76306770.0454
6.12.8424427E-53.1205716E-50.0344401341103.64820.034411.2181328E-41.3373268E-40.038258635286.082920.038130.00148206770.00162711250.0441677827.1448860.042610.0147222230.0161653980.060831493.76306770.0454
6.22.8424427E-53.1205716E-50.0344401341103.64820.034411.2181328E-41.3373268E-40.038258635286.082920.038130.00148206770.00162711250.0441677827.1448860.042610.0147222230.0161653980.060831493.76306770.0454
6.31.48860645E-51.6081383E-50.0234857031460.4280.023476.379586E-56.8918554E-50.026047127377.94070.025987.7643775E-48.387886E-40.02970455635.413640.028890.0077373050.0083590450.038842094.64671370.03074
6.41.48860645E-51.6081383E-50.0234857031460.4280.023476.379586E-56.8918554E-50.026047127377.94070.025987.7643775E-48.387886E-40.02970455635.413640.028890.0077373050.0083590450.038842094.64671370.03074
6.51.2797581E-51.376556E-50.0217634661581.00840.021755.4845623E-55.8994065E-50.024127575408.983060.024076.675408E-47.1804173E-40.02743884238.2134360.026740.0066553920.0071597670.035366364.9395960.02841
6.69.661896E-61.0289033E-50.0190400931850.52320.019034.1407468E-54.40952E-50.02103317476.994540.020995.040193E-45.36743E-40.02381424244.368050.023290.0050287770.00535607150.029943675.5906030.02472
6.77.767871E-68.199681E-60.0168080632049.84330.01683.329045E-53.5141096E-50.018544491527.71520.018514.0523586E-44.2777258E-40.0208790248.8086930.020460.0040449770.0042708430.0259080386.06625840.02173
6.86.4235196E-66.735739E-60.0133666461984.43640.013362.752908E-52.8867207E-50.0146084465506.05680.014583.35115E-43.5141438E-40.0164657546.855650.016120.0033461010.00350984720.0205597935.8577460.01711
6.93.1283696E-63.1121751E-60.0080230872577.96780.008021.3407229E-51.33378335E-50.008763221657.019840.008751.6322079E-41.6237753E-40.00985080460.6660540.009690.00163100950.00162273720.0118860567.3246950.01028
7.02.290603E-62.2286763E-60.0048522182177.17480.004859.816834E-69.551441E-60.0052395016548.556150.005231.19513395E-41.1628362E-40.005995651.5601430.005880.00119449140.00116232990.0074150546.3794740.00626
7.11.293693E-61.1776774E-60.0023911752030.41590.002395.5443866E-65.047183E-60.0025750343510.192350.002576.750081E-56.1448416E-50.002841277546.2384150.002786.7480316E-46.1438273E-40.00353258875.74981740.00292
7.24.715842E-73.091732E-77.030915E-5227.410237.0E-52.0210737E-61.3250274E-61.013249E-476.470041.0E-42.4606294E-51.6132095E-51.1613048E-47.19872331.0E-42.460357E-41.6130977E-42.812904E-41.74379031.2E-4
7.33.9430947E-72.3096938E-77.0230955E-5304.07047.0E-51.6898966E-69.898685E-78.098979E-581.818748.0E-52.0574296E-51.2051582E-59.205062E-57.63805258.0E-52.0572392E-41.2050936E-42.2049731E-41.82971111.0E-4
7.43.547123E-71.9678579E-75.0196777E-5255.083345.0E-51.5201948E-68.433674E-76.084332E-572.143316.0E-51.8508214E-51.02679505E-57.0267335E-56.8433656.0E-51.8506673E-41.0267482E-41.8266661E-41.77907888.0E-5
7.52.6354266E-71.4422719E-75.014422E-5347.675235.0E-51.129468E-66.1811636E-75.0618084E-581.890875.0E-51.3751187E-57.525541E-65.7525165E-57.64399055.0E-51.3750336E-47.5252916E-51.4524764E-41.93012657.0E-5
7.61.269913E-77.572344E-83.0075722E-5397.178473.0E-55.4424834E-73.24529E-73.032452E-593.4416353.0E-56.6262032E-63.9511337E-63.3951015E-58.5927283.0E-56.626006E-53.9510673E-56.9509486E-51.75925853.0E-5

Airport Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2387061E-51.3103157E-50.031612692412.6010.03165.3086325E-55.615534E-50.034644213616.935360.034596.461343E-46.8350515E-40.03859757356.470050.037940.00644258880.00681683930.0465342336.8263650.03999
6.11.2387061E-51.3103157E-50.031612692412.6010.03165.3086325E-55.615534E-50.034644213616.935360.034596.461343E-46.8350515E-40.03859757356.470050.037940.00644258880.00681683930.0465342336.8263650.03999
6.21.2387061E-51.3103157E-50.031612692412.6010.03165.3086325E-55.615534E-50.034644213616.935360.034596.461343E-46.8350515E-40.03859757356.470050.037940.00644258880.00681683930.0465342336.8263650.03999
6.31.2387061E-51.3103157E-50.031612692412.6010.03165.3086325E-55.615534E-50.034644213616.935360.034596.461343E-46.8350515E-40.03859757356.470050.037940.00644258880.00681683930.0465342336.8263650.03999
6.41.2387061E-51.3103157E-50.031612692412.6010.03165.3086325E-55.615534E-50.034644213616.935360.034596.461343E-46.8350515E-40.03859757356.470050.037940.00644258880.00681683930.0465342336.8263650.03999
6.56.9922594E-67.384925E-60.0240172073252.19380.024012.996648E-53.1649324E-50.026420815834.798650.026393.6478083E-43.8526783E-40.02928412976.0097960.028910.0036418260.00384653660.0342591038.906480.03053
6.66.9922594E-67.384925E-60.0240172073252.19380.024012.996648E-53.1649324E-50.026420815834.798650.026393.6478083E-43.8526783E-40.02928412976.0097960.028910.0036418260.00384653660.0342591038.906480.03053
6.75.477277E-65.7860684E-60.0203256683512.86350.020322.3473833E-52.4797222E-50.022354243901.481750.022332.8575645E-43.0186825E-40.02476448282.0373840.024470.00285389270.0030149660.0288169389.5579650.02588
6.83.9950432E-64.2190873E-60.0155341533681.87550.015531.7121502E-51.8081691E-50.016997775940.054440.016982.0843433E-42.2012512E-40.0189060185.8875660.018690.00208238930.00219934180.021875979.9465990.01972
6.92.95695E-63.1230243E-60.0107830893452.77150.010781.2672582E-51.3384334E-50.011833226884.110170.011821.5427776E-41.6294434E-40.01325081181.321090.013090.0015417070.00162847120.0154958529.5155830.01389
7.01.456072E-61.540812E-60.00466153353025.37480.004666.2402937E-66.603469E-60.0050065704758.17280.0057.597293E-58.039528E-50.00571994271.1477360.005647.594696E-48.0376083E-40.00677895458.4340440.00598
7.16.995192E-77.4089746E-70.00228073913078.34670.002282.997936E-63.1752747E-60.0024331675766.28570.002433.649926E-53.865897E-50.002678556869.286810.002643.6493264E-43.865897E-40.00314552278.1365920.00276

Owl Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.0320643E-56.6358676E-50.017415207262.440550.017352.1564208E-42.843643E-40.0203686571.628720.020090.00262228120.0034575470.0271752577.85969260.02380.025915530.0341412950.0590218161.72875150.02576
6.15.0320643E-56.6358676E-50.017415207262.440550.017352.1564208E-42.843643E-40.0203686571.628720.020090.00262228120.0034575470.0271752577.85969260.02380.025915530.0341412950.0590218161.72875150.02576
6.22.4125871E-53.0980515E-50.013830553446.427460.01381.0339249E-41.3276804E-40.015820686119.160340.015690.00125807660.00161542520.01998570212.371790.01840.0125097810.0160707550.035473842.20735360.01972
6.31.7433485E-52.2355545E-50.012182084544.92450.012167.471279E-59.580685E-50.013844489144.504180.013759.0924866E-40.0011659620.01721722414.76654150.016070.0090553730.01162914650.0285401722.4541930.01711
6.41.7433485E-52.2355545E-50.012182084544.92450.012167.471279E-59.580685E-50.013844489144.504180.013759.0924866E-40.0011659620.01721722414.76654150.016070.0090553730.01162914650.0285401722.4541930.01711
6.51.5182742E-51.9429277E-50.011769201605.74570.011756.506727E-58.3266525E-50.013342163160.23440.013267.919061E-40.00101343440.01652769616.30860.015530.00789090.0101186780.0264616182.61512610.01651
6.66.7271576E-68.547518E-60.0097984631146.35190.009792.8830356E-53.6631736E-50.011026229301.002080.010993.5095305E-44.4590578E-40.01298031429.1099930.012540.00350399320.00446801870.017569223.93221710.01316
6.76.682835E-68.479961E-60.0097883971154.29740.009782.8640408E-53.6342215E-50.011015943303.1170.010983.4864116E-44.423823E-40.0129668429.3113880.012530.0034809470.00443293250.017524643.95328350.01315
6.86.5774975E-68.326427E-60.0097782451174.36270.009772.8188972E-53.5684232E-50.010995293308.12750.010963.4314668E-44.3437455E-40.01293894129.787520.012510.00342617280.00435310560.0174259494.00310750.01313
6.96.363419E-67.999591E-60.0097379221217.30250.009732.727151E-53.428354E-50.010943909319.21760.010913.3198006E-44.1732774E-40.01286213230.8202170.012450.00331484550.00418306470.0171983914.11143350.01307
7.06.1342453E-67.631779E-60.0096275581261.5090.009622.6289357E-53.2707245E-50.010802355330.274050.010773.2002592E-43.9814346E-40.01270324331.9061930.012310.00319565440.0039917390.0168701264.22625970.01293
7.15.842926E-67.142312E-60.0090870771272.2880.009082.504087E-53.060958E-50.010210298333.565430.010183.0482994E-43.7261334E-40.01197828732.1466940.011610.00304412140.00373715950.015871644.24697970.01218
7.24.77173E-65.358478E-60.0057353281070.32780.005732.045011E-52.2964727E-50.006502816283.165370.006482.4895166E-42.7956374E-40.00762750927.2836130.007350.00248672930.00280862120.0104670513.72675780.00768
7.33.0494948E-62.710356E-60.0013827066510.15680.001381.3069198E-51.1615762E-50.0015715976135.298720.001561.5910587E-41.4141288E-40.001881166813.3026560.001740.00158991990.00142310890.0032305332.27005340.00181
7.42.7263884E-62.3055634E-60.0010023032434.732480.0011.1684469E-59.880949E-60.00110987112.324240.00111.4224913E-41.2029401E-40.00135014611.2237180.001230.00142158110.00121105780.00248950772.05564740.00128
7.52.6090431E-62.1655019E-68.321637E-4384.282178.3E-41.1181565E-59.2806895E-69.1927225E-499.052159.1E-41.3612706E-41.1298663E-40.001132871410.0265970.001020.0013604370.00113781260.00219660651.93055210.00106
7.62.3008756E-61.8726826E-66.918714E-4369.45476.9E-49.860858E-68.025758E-67.4801984E-493.2023857.4E-41.20049335E-49.770931E-59.1762916E-49.391428.2E-40.0011998459.848307E-40.00182400341.85209868.4E-4
7.71.7184348E-61.341808E-62.9134142E-4217.1262.9E-47.3646997E-65.750593E-63.0574886E-453.1682323.0E-48.966153E-57.0011265E-54.2998607E-46.14166983.6E-48.962536E-47.0769014E-40.00106743541.50833713.6E-4
7.88.4612907E-78.4054994E-71.3084045E-4155.660521.3E-43.6262625E-63.602352E-61.3360189E-437.0874021.3E-44.4148852E-54.3857777E-51.938512E-44.41999631.5E-44.414008E-44.4386165E-45.937951E-41.33779311.5E-4
7.92.716738E-73.7681625E-75.03768E-5133.690615.0E-51.1643157E-61.6149258E-65.1614847E-531.9611245.0E-51.4175452E-51.9661555E-57.966038E-54.05158046.0E-51.4174548E-41.9829652E-42.5828462E-41.30251726.0E-5
8.02.1995428E-83.3853325E-83.3853325E-81.00.09.426611E-81.4508568E-71.4508568E-71.00.01.1476893E-61.7664173E-61.1766399E-56.6611661.0E-51.14768345E-51.7869768E-52.786959E-51.55959431.0E-5

Panamint Valley

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0211835E-53.3984263E-50.014513493427.06510.014481.2947287E-41.4563887E-40.016643235114.277430.01650.00157519230.00177174060.02110742211.9133820.019370.0156407360.0175830030.0382334072.17445280.02102
6.13.0211835E-53.3984263E-50.014513493427.06510.014481.2947287E-41.4563887E-40.016643235114.277430.01650.00157519230.00177174060.02110742211.9133820.019370.0156407360.0175830030.0382334072.17445280.02102
6.23.0211835E-53.3984263E-50.014513493427.06510.014481.2947287E-41.4563887E-40.016643235114.277430.01650.00157519230.00177174060.02110742211.9133820.019370.0156407360.0175830030.0382334072.17445280.02102
6.32.8573924E-53.2102445E-50.0140016535436.15540.013971.2245393E-41.375748E-40.015995393116.266880.015860.0014898570.00167371410.02021263412.0765140.018570.014799080.0166180380.0364135172.19120430.02013
6.42.8573924E-53.2102445E-50.0140016535436.15540.013971.2245393E-41.375748E-40.015995393116.266880.015860.0014898570.00167371410.02021263412.0765140.018570.014799080.0166180380.0364135172.19120430.02013
6.52.7468774E-53.0828138E-50.013800404447.656070.013771.1771801E-41.3211406E-40.015710056118.912820.015580.00143227450.00160732920.01977807712.3049310.01820.0142307820.0159638820.0353493952.21433570.0197
6.62.6135967E-52.9252153E-50.013338863455.995940.013311.1200648E-41.2536049E-40.015173473121.038730.015050.00136282570.00152522190.0189985312.4562410.01750.0135449820.0151543430.0338368642.23281620.01897
6.72.4498746E-52.7341044E-50.012836991469.513550.012811.04990395E-41.17170785E-40.014595474124.565810.014480.00127750840.00142564590.01820169612.7673330.01680.0127018930.0141715930.032113672.26605940.0182
6.82.2244329E-52.4935374E-50.01226463491.856660.012249.532935E-51.0686163E-40.013895388130.031590.013790.00116001690.00130028570.01719958513.2275430.015920.0115398020.0129329550.0299105092.31273580.0172
6.91.9902658E-52.2290182E-50.011002045493.582580.010988.529431E-59.552596E-50.012484343130.690580.012390.00103796350.00116242650.01543581613.278960.014290.0103312880.0115690210.0268303962.31915860.01544
7.01.8353881E-52.056605E-50.010420352506.677340.01047.865712E-58.813734E-50.01174711133.281880.011669.5722964E-40.00107256160.01449814613.5173090.013440.0095311680.010679390.0250344312.34418180.01451
7.11.7667631E-51.9772435E-50.010099573510.790560.010087.571623E-58.4736355E-50.01136378134.10750.011289.2145515E-40.00103119450.0139978113.5743660.012980.0091764370.01026959250.0241456122.35117530.01402
7.21.6381597E-51.8158042E-50.008987995494.987030.008977.020495E-57.781795E-50.010097038129.752030.010028.544101E-49.470391E-40.0124661213.1632580.011530.0085113250.0094352690.02176782.30706720.01245
7.31.4520491E-51.596657E-50.0074158483464.460940.00746.222919E-56.842646E-50.008367859122.289810.00837.57377E-48.327899E-40.0103948212.4819240.009570.00754800950.0083003990.0185446572.23418830.01033
7.41.2852287E-51.41454875E-50.007254043512.81680.007245.5080065E-56.06222E-50.008160131134.606320.00816.7039346E-47.378411E-40.01005096513.6221260.009320.00668374640.0073574290.0173334872.35591630.01005
7.51.1637851E-51.2836868E-50.0072027445561.098270.007194.987555E-55.5014076E-50.008074573146.772840.008026.070656E-46.696062E-40.00989342614.7749910.009230.0060540990.00667938450.0165629242.47970820.00995
7.63.0068115E-63.3330623E-60.003083323925.0720.003081.2886271E-51.4284516E-50.0034642352242.516820.003451.5687906E-41.7390738E-40.00414321723.8242740.003970.00156768350.00173979730.00594247273.4156120.00421

Garlock (East)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5092507E-56.2904815E-50.010872225172.836120.010811.9323928E-42.6956675E-40.01281618347.543640.012550.00235014970.0032774820.0182881225.57993130.015060.0232545040.032353770.0482038151.4898980.01638
6.14.5092507E-56.2904815E-50.010872225172.836120.010811.9323928E-42.6956675E-40.01281618347.543640.012550.00235014970.0032774820.0182881225.57993130.015060.0232545040.032353770.0482038151.4898980.01638
6.22.6674514E-53.4511588E-50.008414222243.808620.008381.1431433E-41.4789861E-40.00969648665.5617140.009550.00139088840.00179921140.0129191687.1804620.011140.013822150.0178727880.0296583141.65941180.012
6.32.6674514E-53.4511588E-50.008414222243.808620.008381.1431433E-41.4789861E-40.00969648665.5617140.009550.00139088840.00179921140.0129191687.1804620.011140.013822150.0178727880.0296583141.65941180.012
6.42.5312667E-53.2340467E-50.008352071258.25450.008321.0847834E-41.3859481E-40.00959728469.247060.009460.00131992370.00168611520.0127075017.53655530.011040.0131211120.0167722870.0284530321.69643130.01188
6.52.5312667E-53.2340467E-50.008352071258.25450.008321.0847834E-41.3859481E-40.00959728469.247060.009460.00131992370.00168611520.0127075017.53655530.011040.0131211120.0167722870.0284530321.69643130.01188
6.62.246556E-52.8134691E-50.007977911283.561340.007959.627742E-51.2057181E-40.00911948675.6353150.0090.00117154720.00146699690.0119515948.1469790.01050.0116539010.0146131690.0257578941.76264940.01131
6.72.2241198E-52.7804432E-50.007977583286.91770.007959.531594E-51.1915654E-40.00911808476.52190.0090.00115985380.00144978890.0119345668.2319340.01050.0115381870.0144428290.0255894811.77177750.01131
6.81.9528685E-52.3898969E-50.0075837183317.32410.007568.369167E-51.0242024E-40.00864154684.373420.008540.00101846980.00124627280.0111539098.9498140.009920.0101381470.0124367230.02298391.8480670.01068
6.91.3318621E-51.5198818E-50.006975093458.923370.006965.7078556E-56.51362E-50.007934623121.815880.007876.9470983E-47.927504E-40.00986555212.4447150.009080.00692542040.0079407210.017623222.21934750.00976
7.01.1760853E-51.3107653E-50.0068130186519.77410.00685.0402683E-55.6174475E-50.0077457423137.887220.007696.134799E-46.8371464E-40.00956763613.9936110.008890.00611789060.0068574010.0163419132.38310580.00955
7.11.0064758E-51.0902761E-50.0066008307605.42750.006594.3133965E-54.67253E-50.007476378160.007060.007435.2502943E-45.6873553E-40.0091538516.095090.008590.0052379070.00571334730.014880672.60454490.00922
7.29.768808E-61.0498628E-50.006490431618.2170.006484.186565E-54.499337E-50.0073346654163.016590.007295.095951E-45.4766005E-40.00896304816.3660810.008420.00508428040.0055035840.0144938312.6335260.00904
7.39.344516E-69.9442705E-60.0060098846604.35650.0064.004731E-54.2617627E-50.0068023293159.613050.006764.8746695E-45.187495E-40.00833469316.0668930.007820.00486399050.0052152690.0135416172.59653280.00837
7.49.023491E-69.490441E-60.0054794387577.363950.005473.867153E-54.0672705E-50.0062204213152.938480.006184.7072413E-44.95081E-40.00758157115.3137990.007090.0046972830.00497872660.0124612872.50290630.00752
7.57.081253E-67.0873994E-60.002627069370.667540.002623.0347876E-53.0374218E-50.002990284298.4481050.002963.6942272E-43.697441E-40.00376848710.1921490.00340.0036880920.00372447450.00735091741.97367910.00364
7.66.116396E-65.9589424E-60.0015359499257.755430.001532.6212863E-52.5538076E-50.001755493968.740260.001733.1909486E-43.1088197E-40.0023202577.4634660.002010.00318637070.00313591260.0052891391.68663470.00216
7.74.797145E-64.7571157E-68.447531E-4177.576758.4E-42.055903E-52.0387479E-59.4036874E-446.1248179.2E-42.5027743E-42.481894E-40.00130792645.26987170.001060.00249995760.00250940650.00367647061.46507570.00117
7.83.4028885E-63.978375E-65.239763E-4131.706125.2E-41.4583726E-51.7050066E-55.9704017E-435.0168845.8E-41.775424E-42.0756487E-48.974216E-44.3235726.9E-40.00177400620.00210121410.00282968021.34668827.3E-4
7.92.5928412E-63.372436E-64.23371E-4125.538644.2E-41.1112129E-51.4453217E-54.844464E-433.518244.7E-41.3528178E-41.7595377E-47.1585877E-44.0684485.4E-40.00135199450.00178124260.00235022721.31943135.7E-4
8.01.3743648E-61.6734741E-61.716732E-4102.5849151.7E-45.8901214E-67.1720124E-61.9717065E-427.4916781.9E-47.1709874E-58.731578E-52.9729743E-43.40485362.1E-47.1686733E-48.837377E-40.00111353441.26002822.3E-4
8.13.6733252E-73.1489736E-74.0314884E-5128.025474.0E-51.5742813E-61.3495595E-65.1349492E-538.0490765.0E-51.9166706E-51.643078E-56.642996E-54.04301935.0E-51.9165053E-41.662928E-42.2628282E-41.36074946.0E-5

Hunter Mountain-Saline Valley

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5103672E-55.456906E-50.007514162137.700040.007461.9328714E-42.3384714E-40.0086018936.7842450.008370.0023507310.00284354620.0124661064.3840.009650.0232601950.0280926250.038200461.35980390.0104
6.14.5103672E-55.456906E-50.007514162137.700040.007461.9328714E-42.3384714E-40.0086018936.7842450.008370.0023507310.00284354620.0124661064.3840.009650.0232601950.0280926250.038200461.35980390.0104
6.23.9363465E-54.706271E-50.007476713158.867030.007431.6868966E-42.016826E-40.00854000142.3437650.008340.0020518620.00245285340.0120293064.9042090.00960.0203301960.0242741870.0343729481.41602890.01035
6.33.9363465E-54.706271E-50.007476713158.867030.007431.6868966E-42.016826E-40.00854000142.3437650.008340.0020518620.00245285340.0120293064.9042090.00960.0203301960.0242741870.0343729481.41602890.01035
6.43.2311684E-53.795112E-50.0074076713195.18980.007371.384713E-41.6263791E-40.00844129151.902360.008280.00168458430.0019783870.0114895335.80752560.009530.0167187140.0196171180.0296954551.51375210.01028
6.53.2311684E-53.795112E-50.0074076713195.18980.007371.384713E-41.6263791E-40.00844129151.902360.008280.00168458430.0019783870.0114895335.80752560.009530.0167187140.0196171180.0296954551.51375210.01028
6.62.9305844E-53.418196E-50.0073839305216.018340.007351.2559042E-41.4648624E-40.00839527857.311030.008250.00152799090.00178207270.0112551616.31576970.009490.0151752720.0176863240.0277452171.56873850.01024
6.72.7826512E-53.2344353E-50.0073821065228.234790.007351.19251024E-41.3861163E-40.00838746860.5105630.008250.00145091420.00168635060.0111603476.6180470.009490.0144147760.0167438180.0268123621.6013290.01024
6.82.3389874E-52.6866792E-50.0073266705272.70360.00731.0023846E-41.1513857E-40.00831419472.210330.00820.001219720.0014009580.0108177477.72167830.009430.012130470.0139280670.0239662791.72071830.01018
6.92.069209E-52.357011E-50.0073233983310.7070.00738.867737E-51.0101105E-40.00829018482.072050.008190.00107911230.00122915190.0106375738.6544020.009420.0107388710.0122291580.0222649091.82064130.01016
7.01.7462342E-51.9633622E-50.0072994907371.785220.007287.483646E-58.414151E-50.00824345597.971320.008169.1075303E-40.00102396410.01039435910.1510970.009380.0090702950.0101966880.02020361.98138840.01011
7.11.4807709E-51.6441827E-50.007256323441.333130.007246.3460066E-57.046316E-50.008179892116.0874940.008117.723524E-48.575678E-40.01017956711.8702760.009330.0076967350.0085461680.0185201932.16707590.01006
7.21.4180048E-51.5698413E-50.007245585461.548860.007236.077022E-56.727727E-50.008166732121.3891750.00817.396263E-48.1880915E-40.010131177512.3730640.009320.00737169430.0081614690.0181294472.2213460.01005
7.31.3730402E-51.5172151E-50.0072450624477.523770.007235.8843252E-56.502197E-50.008164495125.565180.00817.161811E-47.9137104E-40.01010399612.7677090.009320.0071387740.0078890580.0178597742.26386640.01005
7.41.2810095E-51.4109353E-50.007214008511.29260.00725.489925E-56.0467344E-50.00811998134.287030.008066.681934E-47.3595706E-40.01000912813.6001510.009280.0066618780.00733868960.017275232.35399370.01001
7.51.1595659E-51.2800734E-50.0071627093559.554570.007154.9694736E-55.485922E-50.008034421146.455260.007986.0486543E-46.67722E-40.00985158614.7540230.009190.0060322170.0066606320.0165046252.47793670.00991
7.62.997694E-63.3251877E-60.003073315924.25310.003071.28471975E-51.4250767E-50.0034542019242.387070.003441.564034E-41.7349655E-40.004132809623.8207020.003960.00156293370.00173569550.00592840563.41557930.0042

Blackwater

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0708583E-53.3095846E-50.004222957127.597790.004191.3160157E-41.4183241E-40.005271104637.1643180.005130.00160107140.00172557840.0080446554.6620050.006330.0158958510.0171356330.0239567121.3980640.00694
6.13.0708583E-53.3095846E-50.004222957127.597790.004191.3160157E-41.4183241E-40.005271104637.1643180.005130.00160107140.00172557840.0080446554.6620050.006330.0158958510.0171356330.0239567121.3980640.00694
6.21.1707779E-51.2545122E-50.0013925278111.001530.001385.017523E-55.3763757E-50.001733673432.2461360.001686.107122E-46.5438676E-40.00272303214.1611970.002070.0060903660.00652556960.0087906911.34711480.00228
6.31.1707779E-51.2545122E-50.0013925278111.001530.001385.017523E-55.3763757E-50.001733673432.2461360.001686.107122E-46.5438676E-40.00272303214.1611970.002070.0060903660.00652556960.0087906911.34711480.00228
6.47.929244E-68.480098E-68.9847256E-4105.950738.9E-43.3982033E-53.6342793E-50.001066305329.3402140.001034.136527E-44.423877E-40.00177179934.00508260.001330.00412883560.00441547580.00587898541.331450.00147
6.55.8832115E-66.285991E-65.462826E-486.904775.4E-42.521352E-52.6939697E-56.3692324E-423.6425556.1E-43.0693135E-43.27944E-40.00116766853.56057298.4E-40.00306507780.00327485380.00422174251.28913939.5E-4
6.65.8832115E-66.285991E-65.462826E-486.904775.4E-42.521352E-52.6939697E-56.3692324E-423.6425556.1E-43.0693135E-43.27944E-40.00116766853.56057298.4E-40.00306507780.00327485380.00422174251.28913939.5E-4
6.73.0715053E-63.2814662E-61.6328094E-449.7585331.6E-41.3163528E-51.4063357E-51.9406082E-413.799041.8E-41.6025416E-41.7120909E-44.8115602E-42.81034163.1E-40.00160138650.00171088640.00209023621.22172713.8E-4
6.82.2722281E-62.4287538E-61.2242846E-450.4079361.2E-49.738084E-61.0408908E-51.4040756E-413.4891731.3E-41.1855473E-41.26722E-43.5669285E-42.81476662.3E-40.0011849150.00126658760.00153624561.21290122.7E-4
6.99.952399E-71.0653489E-64.1065305E-538.5463454.0E-54.265307E-64.5657757E-65.4565546E-511.9509925.0E-55.1928873E-55.5587418E-51.6558131E-42.9787551.1E-45.191674E-45.557858E-46.7571906E-41.21579051.2E-4
7.04.7385504E-75.0755597E-75.0755597E-71.00.02.0308057E-62.1752398E-61.2175218E-55.5971841.0E-52.4724779E-52.6483543E-55.648275E-52.13274883.0E-52.4722028E-42.6483546E-43.0482485E-41.15099724.0E-5

Ash Hill

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.1545662E-52.3194447E-50.004223097182.073620.00429.2335285E-59.940143E-50.005098904551.2960850.0050.00112360230.00120962060.00724231455.98726130.006040.0111793810.0120383480.0187466091.55724080.00679
6.12.1545662E-52.3194447E-50.004223097182.073620.00429.2335285E-59.940143E-50.005098904551.2960850.0050.00112360230.00120962060.00724231455.98726130.006040.0111793810.0120383480.0187466091.55724080.00679
6.22.1545662E-52.3194447E-50.004223097182.073620.00429.2335285E-59.940143E-50.005098904551.2960850.0050.00112360230.00120962060.00724231455.98726130.006040.0111793810.0120383480.0187466091.55724080.00679
6.31.0025529E-51.0746934E-50.0017307284161.043910.001724.2965847E-54.605755E-50.002155960346.810140.002115.229836E-45.6061964E-40.00316915645.65295270.002610.0052175450.00559336650.0085268661.52446040.00295
6.41.0025529E-51.0746934E-50.0017307284161.043910.001724.2965847E-54.605755E-50.002155960346.810140.002115.229836E-45.6061964E-40.00316915645.65295270.002610.0052175450.00559336650.0085268661.52446040.00295
6.56.9617327E-67.456634E-60.001157448155.223940.001152.9835655E-53.195666E-50.001401912943.869190.001373.6318856E-43.8901155E-40.00207835415.3426540.001690.00362595570.00388416020.0058066641.494960.00193
6.64.9919777E-65.3466883E-68.653421E-4161.846378.6E-42.1394015E-52.2914215E-50.001062890446.3856350.001042.60441E-42.7895154E-40.00149861125.3722990.001220.00260135970.00278667270.0041628271.49383430.00138
6.73.6630722E-63.924624E-66.9392193E-4176.812356.9E-41.5698786E-51.681974E-58.3680596E-449.751428.2E-41.9111596E-42.0476682E-40.00115457245.63847359.5E-40.00190951680.00204634460.00312413441.52669040.00108
6.82.5599613E-62.744925E-64.827436E-4175.867684.8E-41.0971216E-51.1763939E-55.517576E-446.902455.4E-41.3356637E-41.4322149E-48.0312695E-45.6075876.6E-40.00133486130.00143177690.0021807031.52307467.5E-4
6.91.7684905E-61.8968707E-63.2189625E-4169.698583.2E-47.579223E-68.129446E-63.581266E-444.0530133.5E-49.2273134E-59.8976E-55.1893445E-45.2430334.2E-49.223483E-49.8976E-40.00144930471.46429914.6E-4

Garlock (West)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.5181727E-52.5197181E-50.004805077190.698970.004781.0791722E-41.0798347E-40.00553739751.2800450.005430.00131310020.00131390930.00746581565.68213940.006160.0130536830.0131417940.019576111.48960710.00652
6.12.5077732E-52.5098223E-50.004804978191.446950.004781.0747157E-41.075594E-40.005536975351.4783020.005430.0013076810.00130875250.00746069065.70061250.006160.0130001260.0130908350.0195254831.49153840.00652
6.22.494612E-52.4979914E-50.0048048603192.348950.004781.0690756E-41.070524E-40.00553647151.7173920.005430.00130082240.00130258720.00745456345.722890.006160.0129323410.0130299060.0194649511.49386730.00652
6.32.4733758E-52.4799276E-50.0048046806193.742780.004781.0599751E-41.06278305E-40.005535701352.086840.005430.00128975560.00129317360.0074452085.75731470.006160.0128229570.01293687150.0193725231.49746580.00652
6.42.3237335E-52.3178607E-50.0047830683206.357010.004769.958477E-59.933313E-50.00550879655.457790.005410.00121177020.00120871260.00733130336.06538150.006130.0120518380.0121017310.0185033121.52898060.00648
6.52.2732203E-52.2992977E-50.0047828835208.014980.004769.742009E-59.8537625E-50.005508004755.8974760.005410.00118544420.00119903810.00731176.09797140.006120.0117914030.0120060350.0183983561.53242560.00647
6.62.1319436E-52.1773201E-50.0047816695219.612610.004769.136581E-59.3310395E-50.005502805658.9731250.005410.0011118110.00113546430.0072385276.37494850.006110.0110626490.0113769520.0177634561.56135460.00646
6.71.970802E-52.0393094E-50.004770296233.917220.004758.446021E-58.739606E-50.00548692462.7822840.00540.0010278180.00106352940.00715704176.729520.00610.0102307710.01066468750.01704591.59834970.00645
6.81.8744462E-51.9900775E-50.0047698063239.679430.004758.033094E-58.528626E-50.00548482664.310780.00549.775903E-40.00103786720.0071315366.8713380.00610.0097330090.0104104950.0167933481.61311710.00645
6.91.7559682E-51.8953151E-50.0047688633251.61320.004757.5253614E-58.122527E-50.005470787667.353270.005399.158276E-49.884704E-40.00707245067.1549440.006090.00912062450.0099210730.0162971821.64268340.00644
7.01.6794445E-51.8215967E-50.0047481298260.657560.004737.197421E-57.806611E-50.00544764769.7824860.005378.759337E-49.5004175E-40.0070142757.3831230.006070.0087248910.0095399580.0158987121.6665390.00642
7.11.6337795E-51.771677E-50.004747633267.973970.004737.0017246E-57.592681E-50.00544551971.7206340.005378.521265E-49.2401815E-40.00698840947.5630650.006070.0084886640.0092817210.0156421331.68526210.00642
7.21.5780008E-51.71654E-50.0047370843275.967040.004726.762685E-57.3563926E-50.005433169773.856440.005368.2304585E-48.952741E-40.0069498497.7628170.006060.0082000420.0089965590.0153488921.70608460.00641
7.31.5058865E-51.6618484E-50.00471654283.812930.00476.45364E-57.122013E-50.0054108475.973460.005347.854473E-48.667614E-40.0069015267.96242950.006040.007826770.0087132630.0150475861.72697470.00639
7.41.4887923E-51.6454453E-50.004616379280.5550.00466.380382E-57.0517184E-50.005290149275.0192950.005227.7653467E-48.5820974E-40.0067731297.8921610.005920.00773826750.0086281010.0148340891.71927620.00626
7.51.4509299E-51.6046468E-50.0041759796260.242920.004166.218123E-56.876877E-50.004818442370.06730.004757.567935E-48.369394E-40.00625240347.47055670.005420.00754221340.0084164110.0141180161.67743910.00575
7.61.2756717E-51.4050529E-50.0027440123195.2960.002735.4670498E-56.0215163E-50.003210025453.3092540.003156.6541E-47.328737E-40.0043202435.89493470.003590.0066342110.0073813740.01114339851.50966450.00379
7.71.0328985E-51.146033E-50.0015714425137.120180.001564.4266326E-54.9114777E-50.001839026837.443450.001795.388092E-45.9780874E-40.00264658314.427140.002050.00537504670.0060382860.0082150611.36049570.00219
7.87.0306583E-68.899537E-60.0010588901118.982620.001053.0131043E-53.8140315E-50.001288092733.772470.001253.667837E-44.6425956E-40.00188360034.0572140.001420.0036617890.00469506670.0061780711.31586440.00149
7.94.060633E-65.465412E-65.9546216E-4108.951015.9E-41.7402595E-52.3422985E-57.234066E-430.8844767.0E-42.11856E-42.8513762E-40.00107491243.76980197.9E-40.00211654140.0028841430.00372172031.29040778.4E-4
8.01.6729537E-62.0775192E-61.8207714E-487.641621.8E-47.169782E-68.903624E-62.3890157E-426.831952.3E-48.7288594E-51.0839626E-43.6836808E-43.39834672.6E-48.7254314E-40.0010968540.00137654691.25499562.8E-4
8.13.6733252E-73.1489736E-74.0314884E-5128.025474.0E-51.5742813E-61.3495595E-65.1349492E-538.0490765.0E-51.9166706E-51.643078E-56.642996E-54.04301935.0E-51.9165053E-41.662928E-42.2628282E-41.36074946.0E-5

Gravel Hills-Harper Lk

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0679566E-53.1464628E-50.002571384781.723040.002541.3147724E-41.3484266E-40.003144436723.3193040.003010.00159955990.001640690.00531465233.23927880.003680.0158809520.0163073370.0203404781.24732050.0041
6.13.0679566E-53.1464628E-50.002571384781.723040.002541.3147724E-41.3484266E-40.003144436723.3193040.003010.00159955990.001640690.00531465233.23927880.003680.0158809520.0163073370.0203404781.24732050.0041
6.21.514536E-51.36352E-56.9362595E-450.8702436.8E-46.490707E-55.843533E-58.8838686E-415.2029068.3E-47.8995706E-47.112298E-40.00174049722.44716570.001030.0078715480.0070907370.0082524411.1638340.00117
6.31.514536E-51.36352E-56.9362595E-450.8702436.8E-46.490707E-55.843533E-58.8838686E-415.2029068.3E-47.8995706E-47.112298E-40.00174049722.44716570.001030.0078715480.0070907370.0082524411.1638340.00117
6.41.2532521E-51.0689684E-54.7068475E-444.031684.6E-45.37097E-54.581216E-55.857874E-412.7867235.4E-46.537194E-45.5762613E-40.00124724142.23669826.9E-40.00651799650.0055628590.0063584091.1430118.0E-4
6.51.1094058E-59.083657E-63.4908057E-438.429523.4E-44.7545094E-53.89294E-54.3891382E-411.2746114.0E-45.787078E-44.7386638E-49.9362E-42.09683595.2E-40.00577203040.0047289670.0053161771.12417295.9E-4
6.69.688328E-67.531688E-62.2753004E-430.20972.2E-44.1520743E-53.227828E-53.0226956E-49.3644892.7E-45.053978E-43.9291973E-47.3278614E-41.86497663.4E-40.00504249940.00392250670.0043209381.10157564.0E-4
6.78.974824E-66.749406E-61.8674819E-427.6688331.8E-43.8462964E-52.8925719E-52.2891993E-47.91406252.0E-44.6818596E-43.5211592E-46.0202787E-41.70974352.5E-40.0046720080.0035158010.00381474621.0850293.0E-4
6.87.4780046E-65.1161865E-69.511573E-518.5911399.0E-53.20482E-52.1926337E-51.21924146E-45.56062561.0E-43.9011694E-42.6692182E-43.868898E-41.44944981.2E-40.00389432810.00266615050.00281575071.05611091.5E-4
6.96.3409307E-63.907489E-66.390725E-516.355076.0E-52.7175134E-51.674628E-58.674511E-55.1799637.0E-53.3080703E-42.0386786E-42.9384953E-41.44137249.0E-50.00330315020.00203690650.00214668251.05389341.1E-4
7.05.1239335E-62.6058492E-62.2605796E-58.6750212.0E-52.195953E-51.1167879E-54.1167543E-53.68624543.0E-52.6732447E-41.359607E-41.7595525E-41.29416264.0E-50.00267003130.00135880050.0014187191.04409666.0E-5
7.14.438899E-62.0984692E-61.2098449E-55.76536851.0E-51.9023713E-58.99341E-62.899323E-53.22383052.0E-52.315891E-41.0948948E-41.394862E-41.27396893.0E-50.0023134790.00109437740.00113433351.03651054.0E-5
7.23.50367E-61.2615715E-61.2615715E-61.00.01.5015643E-55.406724E-61.540667E-52.84953881.0E-51.8280011E-46.5824956E-58.5823645E-51.30381612.0E-50.00182649826.580628E-46.780497E-41.03037232.0E-5
7.32.561638E-67.118686E-77.118686E-71.00.01.0978401E-53.050862E-61.30508315E-54.27775241.0E-51.3365384E-43.7143633E-54.714326E-51.26921511.0E-50.00133573493.7137623E-43.8137252E-41.02691691.0E-5
7.42.0368864E-65.304471E-75.304471E-71.00.08.729483E-62.2733427E-62.2733427E-61.00.01.06276275E-42.76776E-52.76776E-51.00.00.00106225472.767421E-42.767421E-41.00.0
7.51.1681728E-63.6028484E-73.6028484E-71.00.05.0064455E-61.544077E-61.544077E-61.00.06.0951766E-51.879898E-51.879898E-51.00.06.093505E-41.8797436E-41.8797436E-41.00.0
7.61.3154387E-77.1196716E-87.1196716E-81.00.05.6375933E-73.0512876E-73.0512876E-71.00.06.863748E-63.714938E-63.714938E-61.00.06.863536E-53.7148915E-53.7148915E-51.00.0

McLean Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.7360222E-51.8501627E-50.0020584639111.258530.002047.439883E-57.9290556E-50.002629088533.157650.002559.0542925E-49.6498354E-40.0042617994.4164470.00330.0090174910.00961277450.0132673031.38017420.00369
6.19.062689E-69.592193E-60.0011195815116.717990.001113.8839516E-54.1108804E-50.001401052934.0815770.001364.727685E-45.003936E-40.00231948294.6353170.001820.00471763960.0049935520.00695371441.39253880.00197
6.29.062689E-69.592193E-60.0011195815116.717990.001113.8839516E-54.1108804E-50.001401052934.0815770.001364.727685E-45.003936E-40.00231948294.6353170.001820.00471763960.0049935520.00695371441.39253880.00197
6.37.2575485E-67.66771E-68.676611E-4113.15788.6E-43.110341E-53.2861237E-50.001082826832.951490.001053.786182E-44.0001926E-40.00182944724.5733980.001430.00377973750.00399369650.00555742671.39154950.00157
6.47.2575485E-67.66771E-68.676611E-4113.15788.6E-43.110341E-53.2861237E-50.001082826832.951490.001053.786182E-44.0001926E-40.00182944724.5733980.001430.00377973750.00399369650.00555742671.39154950.00157
6.56.06582E-66.4038773E-67.063994E-4110.308087.0E-42.5996113E-52.7444936E-58.6742186E-431.60598.4E-43.164567E-43.3409733E-40.00152369974.5606460.001190.00316006430.00333658930.00464221841.39130650.00131
6.65.598744E-65.910262E-67.0590613E-4119.437367.0E-42.3994397E-52.5329486E-58.5530843E-433.7673038.3E-42.9209262E-43.0834923E-40.00145799474.72838740.001150.00291708970.0030798430.0043160241.40137790.00124
6.75.246996E-65.539162E-66.455356E-4116.54036.4E-42.2486933E-52.3739085E-57.8372104E-433.0139547.6E-42.73744E-42.8899137E-40.0013486854.66686960.001060.00273407040.00288677960.004033461.39721780.00115
6.84.02324E-64.2469046E-65.0424476E-4118.7323155.0E-41.7242342E-51.8200926E-56.281898E-434.5141686.1E-42.099053E-42.2157968E-40.00105139584.7450018.3E-40.00209707140.0022141720.00311217921.40557259.0E-4
6.96.835972E-77.1399285E-77.071394E-599.040137.0E-52.9296991E-63.0599674E-69.3059694E-530.4119879.0E-53.56685E-53.7254784E-51.6724995E-44.48935461.3E-43.5662777E-43.7251666E-45.124645E-41.37568211.4E-4

Goldstone Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.671352E-53.0376103E-50.001860320661.2428970.001831.1448149E-41.3017791E-40.00244987618.8194450.002320.0013929210.00158396010.0044793672.82795430.00290.0138422220.0157462020.0190631371.21064980.00337
6.12.671352E-53.0376103E-50.001860320661.2428970.001831.1448149E-41.3017791E-40.00244987618.8194450.002320.0013929210.00158396010.0044793672.82795430.00290.0138422220.0157462020.0190631371.21064980.00337
6.21.4197047E-51.6096254E-59.960805E-461.8827489.8E-46.0843064E-56.898268E-50.001318896419.119240.001257.4051257E-48.3963916E-40.00238833762.84448120.001550.0073804980.0083743640.0101394581.21077350.00178
6.31.4197047E-51.6096254E-59.960805E-461.8827489.8E-46.0843064E-56.898268E-50.001318896419.119240.001257.4051257E-48.3963916E-40.00238833762.84448120.001550.0073804980.0083743640.0101394581.21077350.00178
6.41.3238931E-51.500847E-58.849954E-458.96648.7E-45.6737044E-56.432098E-50.001174249618.256090.001116.9055456E-47.8292453E-40.00217183632.77400470.001390.0068841260.0078112890.0094087121.2045020.00161
6.51.3238931E-51.500847E-58.849954E-458.96648.7E-45.6737044E-56.432098E-50.001174249618.256090.001116.9055456E-47.8292453E-40.00217183632.77400470.001390.0068841260.0078112890.0094087121.2045020.00161
6.61.1328278E-51.2855176E-57.728454E-460.1193967.6E-44.8548856E-55.5092984E-50.001005040618.2426249.5E-45.90922E-46.706464E-40.0018498552.75831680.001180.00589353130.00669561370.008056441.20324160.00137
6.78.651175E-69.824575E-65.2981946E-453.9279825.2E-43.707594E-54.2105148E-57.220765E-417.1493646.8E-44.5130608E-45.126002E-40.00138215422.69635948.7E-40.00450390620.00512305650.00615772841.20196380.00104
6.81.0215377E-61.1754802E-63.1175445E-526.5214563.0E-54.378012E-65.037763E-64.5037563E-58.9399924.0E-55.3300988E-56.133315E-51.1133009E-41.81516985.0E-55.3288206E-46.131735E-46.631429E-41.0814935.0E-5
6.97.9360774E-79.283496E-72.0928332E-522.5435892.0E-53.4011714E-63.9786355E-62.3978555E-56.02682922.0E-54.1408475E-54.843888E-57.843743E-51.61930723.0E-54.140076E-44.842902E-45.142757E-41.06191643.0E-5
7.07.4382757E-78.747428E-71.08747345E-512.4319221.0E-53.1878285E-63.7488926E-61.3748855E-53.66744421.0E-53.8811122E-54.564188E-55.5641423E-51.2190871.0E-53.8804344E-44.563317E-44.6632712E-41.02190391.0E-5
7.16.4709513E-77.711399E-71.0771132E-513.9678051.0E-52.773262E-63.3048816E-61.3304849E-54.0258171.0E-53.376394E-54.023625E-55.023585E-51.24852221.0E-53.375881E-44.022956E-44.1229159E-41.02484741.0E-5
7.26.356704E-77.588459E-71.07588385E-514.17789651.0E-52.7242988E-63.252193E-61.325216E-54.0748381.0E-53.3167835E-53.959479E-54.9594393E-51.25254851.0E-53.3162883E-43.9588328E-44.0587934E-41.025251.0E-5
7.35.7695723E-76.896648E-76.896648E-71.00.02.4726714E-62.9557032E-62.9557032E-61.00.03.0104358E-53.598515E-53.598515E-51.00.03.0100282E-43.5979896E-43.5979896E-41.00.0
7.45.209647E-76.193583E-76.193583E-71.00.02.232704E-62.6543903E-62.6543903E-61.00.02.718283E-53.2316777E-53.2316777E-51.00.02.7179506E-43.2312635E-43.2312635E-41.00.0
7.54.512955E-75.3489487E-75.3489487E-71.00.01.934122E-62.2924048E-62.2924048E-61.00.02.3547682E-52.7909726E-52.7909726E-51.00.02.3545188E-42.7906752E-42.7906752E-41.00.0
7.62.21172E-72.6040198E-72.6040198E-71.00.09.478797E-71.1160082E-61.1160082E-61.00.01.1540374E-51.3587343E-51.3587343E-51.00.01.1539775E-41.3586794E-41.3586794E-41.00.0

So Sierra Nevada

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.15488665E-51.1079612E-50.0018310595165.263870.001824.9494203E-54.7483256E-50.002257378347.5405120.002216.024253E-45.779681E-40.00322643645.58237840.002650.0060079480.0057659180.0087187931.51212570.00297
6.11.15488665E-51.1079612E-50.0018310595165.263870.001824.9494203E-54.7483256E-50.002257378347.5405120.002216.024253E-45.779681E-40.00322643645.58237840.002650.0060079480.0057659180.0087187931.51212570.00297
6.21.15488665E-51.1079612E-50.0018310595165.263870.001824.9494203E-54.7483256E-50.002257378347.5405120.002216.024253E-45.779681E-40.00322643645.58237840.002650.0060079480.0057659180.0087187931.51212570.00297
6.31.15488665E-51.1079612E-50.0018310595165.263870.001824.9494203E-54.7483256E-50.002257378347.5405120.002216.024253E-45.779681E-40.00322643645.58237840.002650.0060079480.0057659180.0087187931.51212570.00297
6.41.15488665E-51.1079612E-50.0018310595165.263870.001824.9494203E-54.7483256E-50.002257378347.5405120.002216.024253E-45.779681E-40.00322643645.58237840.002650.0060079480.0057659180.0087187931.51212570.00297
6.51.15488665E-51.1079612E-50.0018310595165.263870.001824.9494203E-54.7483256E-50.002257378347.5405120.002216.024253E-45.779681E-40.00322643645.58237840.002650.0060079480.0057659180.0087187931.51212570.00297
6.67.587044E-66.9356042E-69.56929E-4137.973429.5E-43.2515498E-52.9723697E-50.001209688640.6977840.001183.9580427E-43.6182883E-40.00178131514.92308760.001420.0039510.00361268870.0051670531.43025140.00156
6.77.587044E-66.9356042E-69.56929E-4137.973429.5E-43.2515498E-52.9723697E-50.001209688640.6977840.001183.9580427E-43.6182883E-40.00178131514.92308760.001420.0039510.00361268870.0051670531.43025140.00156
6.85.9026956E-65.179362E-67.551755E-4145.804737.5E-42.5297022E-52.2197082E-59.121773E-441.0944678.9E-43.0794772E-42.7021713E-40.00131993344.8847140.001050.00307521320.0026990020.0038159791.41384820.00112
6.95.0118915E-64.2523943E-66.042498E-4142.096376.0E-42.1479358E-51.8224424E-57.282115E-439.9579967.1E-42.614798E-42.2186051E-40.00106167414.78532278.4E-40.00261172350.00221646270.00312444571.40965419.1E-4
7.04.4924795E-63.7138868E-64.7371213E-4127.551584.7E-41.925334E-51.5916565E-55.7590764E-436.182915.6E-42.3438422E-41.9376757E-48.636378E-44.4570816.7E-40.00234137170.00193604910.00267461641.38148167.4E-4
7.13.9118436E-63.1119469E-63.5311087E-4113.469443.5E-41.6764936E-51.333685E-54.433311E-433.2410664.3E-42.0409399E-41.6236462E-46.9227855E-44.26372775.3E-40.00203906630.00162251610.0022015751.35688955.8E-4
7.23.4200818E-62.6054236E-62.6260474E-4100.791572.6E-41.4657411E-51.11660565E-53.4116238E-430.5535243.3E-41.7843937E-41.3593875E-45.358844E-43.94210154.0E-40.00178296150.00135860580.00180799441.33077194.5E-4
7.32.6593618E-61.8283897E-61.8182806E-499.4471051.8E-41.13972155E-57.8359335E-62.1783428E-427.7994042.1E-41.3875226E-49.539862E-53.553738E-43.72514652.6E-40.00138665659.536055E-40.0012433291.3038192.9E-4
7.42.2577992E-61.4364078E-61.3143622E-491.503421.3E-49.676246E-66.1560204E-61.6615503E-426.9906581.6E-41.1780193E-47.4947224E-52.7493224E-43.66834452.0E-40.0011773957.4924453E-49.690797E-41.29340912.2E-4
7.51.489319E-67.353661E-76.073532E-582.591966.0E-56.3827797E-63.1515651E-67.315134E-523.2111177.0E-57.770758E-53.8369635E-51.18366566E-43.0849028.0E-57.7680405E-43.8363054E-44.8359216E-41.26056741.0E-4
7.61.0680322E-64.65941E-73.0465928E-565.38583.0E-54.577273E-61.9968884E-64.199681E-521.0311244.0E-55.5726876E-52.4311848E-57.4310636E-53.05656035.0E-55.5712904E-42.4309216E-42.9308E-41.20563335.0E-5
7.75.509146E-71.5578539E-71.5578539E-71.00.02.3610605E-66.676515E-71.0667645E-515.9778641.0E-52.8745531E-58.128628E-62.8128465E-53.460422.0E-52.8741814E-48.128342E-51.01281796E-41.24603262.0E-5

San Andreas (Mojave S)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.1064058E-46.7462435E-40.00249339663.69597770.001820.00133063760.0028881720.0050219911.73881320.002140.0160806050.0345655940.036930911.06842970.002450.14965490.286545570.288421961.00654830.00263
6.13.1064058E-46.7462435E-40.00249339663.69597770.001820.00133063760.0028881720.0050219911.73881320.002140.0160806050.0345655940.036930911.06842970.002450.14965490.286545570.288421961.00654830.00263
6.23.1064058E-46.7462435E-40.00249339663.69597770.001820.00133063760.0028881720.0050219911.73881320.002140.0160806050.0345655940.036930911.06842970.002450.14965490.286545570.288421961.00654830.00263
6.33.1064058E-46.7462435E-40.00249339663.69597770.001820.00133063760.0028881720.0050219911.73881320.002140.0160806050.0345655940.036930911.06842970.002450.14965490.286545570.288421961.00654830.00263
6.41.9872203E-44.3181062E-40.00203111984.7037280.00168.5138786E-40.00184933260.00372585582.0147030.001880.0103164780.022289310.0243718341.09343150.002130.0985048560.196868390.198683471.00921980.00226
6.51.291105E-42.8754136E-40.00168713885.86746450.00145.5321335E-40.00123174090.00287970852.33791730.001650.0067145920.0148941550.0167658551.12566690.00190.0651529650.138007920.139757771.01267930.00203
6.61.291105E-42.8754136E-40.00168713885.86746450.00145.5321335E-40.00123174090.00287970852.33791730.001650.0067145920.0148941550.0167658551.12566690.00190.0651529650.138007920.139757771.01267930.00203
6.71.08001186E-42.4335351E-40.00161302016.62830.001374.6278012E-40.00104252740.00266083842.55229620.001620.00561980160.01261920.0144656021.14631690.001870.0547979060.119184310.120945941.01478080.002
6.81.0624356E-42.3853009E-40.00160820336.74214030.001374.5525006E-40.00102187180.00264021642.58370610.001620.00552859250.0123705930.014217461.1492950.001870.0539305660.117133080.118898821.01507460.002
6.91.0393785E-42.3223337E-40.00159191766.8548180.001364.4537184E-49.949068E-40.00260330482.61663220.001610.00540892870.0120459630.0138835581.15254860.001860.052791560.1144334450.116195721.01540.00199
7.01.0155622E-42.2592908E-40.00158562197.01822850.001364.3516833E-49.6790853E-40.00257635022.66177030.001610.0052853110.0117208380.0135590381.15683170.001860.051613610.111697450.1134651751.0158260.00199
7.19.885595E-52.188132E-40.00157851567.2139870.001364.2359953E-49.374342E-40.00254592492.7158440.001610.00514513530.0113537330.01319261551.16196270.001860.050276290.108576070.110351.01633810.00199
7.29.6411415E-52.1244297E-40.0015721547.4003580.001364.1312634E-49.101525E-40.00251868722.76732420.001610.0050182190.0110249870.0128644811.16684770.001860.0490640070.10576970.107549221.01682450.00199
7.39.1180635E-51.9472656E-40.00151446957.7774160.001323.907156E-48.342756E-40.00238298252.85634920.001550.0047465910.0101101120.0118919141.17623960.00180.0464647860.097961760.099702691.01777160.00193
7.48.887388E-51.872126E-40.00149696747.9960820.001313.8083247E-48.020931E-40.00234085792.91843650.001540.00462678170.0097218550.0114944531.18233120.001790.0453162860.0945938450.096332221.01837730.00192
7.58.6750515E-51.80528E-40.00149029168.2551820.001313.7173493E-47.734621E-40.00230227882.9765890.001530.0045164840.0093763270.0111396371.18805980.001780.044257870.091556060.0932911861.01895150.00191
7.68.453092E-51.7440386E-40.00148417548.5099920.001313.6222505E-47.4723107E-40.00227608793.04602930.001530.00440117530.0090596640.0108235381.19469520.001780.043150240.088714470.090455031.01961970.00191
7.78.259102E-51.6962511E-40.00147940298.7216030.001313.539135E-47.267622E-40.00225565023.10369780.001530.0043003860.00881250.0105768141.20020580.001780.0421811340.0864654260.088201141.02007410.0019
7.87.444844E-51.528469E-40.00126267738.2610590.001113.1902574E-46.5489375E-40.00198402283.02953390.001330.00387722230.0079442310.0094521561.18981390.001520.038102690.0782938750.079777821.01895360.00161
7.95.2586525E-51.0007023E-47.200082E-47.1950296.2E-42.2535135E-44.2880196E-40.00117848032.74830917.5E-40.00274020060.0052081780.0060636991.16426498.6E-40.0270665740.0522015880.0530830441.01688559.3E-4
8.03.379877E-55.4075565E-52.3406582E-44.32849551.8E-41.4484383E-42.3173184E-44.7167623E-42.035442.4E-40.00176204710.00281768660.00309689791.09909222.8E-40.0174814090.0288359170.0291466881.01077723.2E-4
8.11.8668277E-51.9308145E-55.930737E-53.07162484.0E-58.000444E-58.274657E-51.3274243E-41.60420475.0E-59.736188E-40.00100697450.00106691411.05952446.0E-50.0096936420.0107986240.0108777591.00732848.0E-5
8.28.541571E-65.4596358E-65.4596358E-61.00.03.660622E-52.339823E-52.339823E-51.00.04.455896E-42.848363E-42.848363E-41.00.00.00444697170.0032402830.0032402831.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

San Andreas (Mojave N)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.877682E-51.9402112E-40.002033664110.4816640.001844.2326056E-48.312543E-40.00295948383.5602630.002130.00514102770.0100736840.0124990041.2407580.002450.050237080.098322450.100693871.02411880.00263
6.19.877682E-51.9402112E-40.002033664110.4816640.001844.2326056E-48.312543E-40.00295948383.5602630.002130.00514102770.0100736840.0124990041.2407580.002450.050237080.098322450.100693871.02411880.00263
6.29.877682E-51.9402112E-40.002033664110.4816640.001844.2326056E-48.312543E-40.00295948383.5602630.002130.00514102770.0100736840.0124990041.2407580.002450.050237080.098322450.100693871.02411880.00263
6.39.877682E-51.9402112E-40.002033664110.4816640.001844.2326056E-48.312543E-40.00295948383.5602630.002130.00514102770.0100736840.0124990041.2407580.002450.050237080.098322450.100693871.02411880.00263
6.49.877682E-51.9402112E-40.002033664110.4816640.001844.2326056E-48.312543E-40.00295948383.5602630.002130.00514102770.0100736840.0124990041.2407580.002450.050237080.098322450.100693871.02411880.00263
6.59.861474E-51.937588E-40.002033402210.4945030.001844.2256617E-48.3013077E-40.00295836273.56373070.002130.00513261320.01006013250.0124854851.24108550.002450.0501567460.098200350.100572081.0241520.00263
6.69.861474E-51.937588E-40.002033402210.4945030.001844.2256617E-48.3013077E-40.00295836273.56373070.002130.00513261320.01006013250.0124854851.24108550.002450.0501567460.098200350.100572081.0241520.00263
6.79.8552715E-51.9365833E-40.00203330210.499430.001844.223004E-48.2970044E-40.00295793313.56506160.002130.00512939270.0100549410.0124803061.24121130.002450.0501259980.098153560.100525421.02416480.00263
6.89.8464974E-51.9350994E-40.002033153810.5067160.001844.219245E-48.290649E-40.00295729913.56702950.002130.00512483760.0100472760.0124726591.24139730.002450.050082510.098083780.100455821.02418390.00263
6.99.825824E-51.9319002E-40.002032834610.5224620.001844.2103877E-48.276947E-40.00295593173.57128260.002130.00511410460.0100307460.0124561711.2417990.002450.0499800220.0979329650.10030541.02422510.00263
7.09.781462E-51.9250368E-40.002032149610.5564190.001844.1913814E-48.247551E-40.00295299833.58045480.002130.0050910730.0099952850.0124207971.24266550.002450.049760070.097609120.099982411.02431420.00263
7.19.7121134E-51.9152075E-40.002031168410.6054740.001844.1616702E-48.205452E-40.00294879753.5937050.002130.0050550680.00994449950.0123701361.24391730.002450.049416130.097145710.0995202141.02444280.00263
7.29.663819E-51.9082859E-40.002030477410.6403210.001844.1409794E-48.175807E-40.00294583923.60311750.002130.00502999360.0099087350.01233445851.24480650.002450.0491765370.096818830.099194191.02453410.00263
7.39.6277574E-51.9035369E-40.002020005410.6118530.001834.125529E-48.1554666E-40.00293381773.59736350.002120.00501126940.0098841950.0123000791.24441870.002440.048997590.096592280.098959211.02450430.00262
7.49.593308E-51.8975153E-40.002019404210.6423610.001834.1107697E-48.129676E-40.00293124423.605610.002120.00499338240.0098530810.0122690391.24519820.002440.048826610.096309860.098677531.02458380.00262
7.59.561707E-51.8921228E-40.00200886810.6170060.001824.0972308E-48.106579E-40.00291894753.6007140.002110.00497697430.0098252150.0122313391.24489280.002430.0486697440.0960562450.098415541.02456150.00261
7.69.418194E-51.8573487E-40.002005396910.7970930.001824.0357444E-47.95764E-40.0029040853.649430.002110.0049024540.0096454990.012052061.2495010.002430.0479570250.0944374650.096800981.02502740.00261
7.78.202141E-51.6022482E-40.001769966911.0467710.001613.51473E-46.8649714E-40.00254522033.70754670.001860.004270790.0083261280.01044831051.25488220.002140.041896390.0822379140.084357951.02577920.00231
7.87.2859846E-51.4517571E-40.00125501468.6447970.001113.1221908E-46.2203326E-40.0019512063.13681940.001330.0037946430.00754699860.0090555271.19988450.001520.0373049750.074727660.076217351.01993490.00161
7.95.3874453E-51.00462625E-47.2040036E-47.17082936.2E-42.3087008E-44.3048308E-40.00118016022.74147877.5E-40.00280722020.00522854740.0060840511.16362178.6E-40.027720220.0524258840.0533071271.01680939.3E-4
8.03.468538E-55.4261534E-52.3425177E-44.3170871.8E-41.4864317E-42.3252872E-44.7247292E-42.03189062.4E-40.00180822830.00282736360.0031065721.09875212.8E-40.0179358530.0289484620.0292591971.01073413.2E-4
8.11.9152367E-51.9401303E-55.9400525E-53.06167724.0E-58.207899E-58.3145795E-51.3314163E-41.60130335.0E-59.988535E-40.00101183050.00107176991.05923846.0E-50.0099437570.010855950.0109350821.00728928.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.473668E-65.473668E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3458366E-52.3458366E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.8556827E-42.8556827E-41.00.00.00450013950.00324817930.00324817931.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

Coyote Canyon

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.5090034E-54.0364317E-50.001350311433.45310.001311.503772E-41.7297991E-40.001742708410.0746290.001570.00182930470.00210425330.00400025541.9010330.00190.0181431940.0208692050.02301351.10274930.00219
6.13.5090034E-54.0364317E-50.001350311433.45310.001311.503772E-41.7297991E-40.001742708410.0746290.001570.00182930470.00210425330.00400025541.9010330.00190.0181431940.0208692050.02301351.10274930.00219
6.21.841879E-52.1059794E-57.510444E-435.662487.3E-47.8935285E-59.025371E-58.901815E-49.8631028.0E-49.606133E-40.00109838710.00210727771.91852020.001010.00956471450.0109396680.01213643051.10939670.00121
6.31.841879E-52.1059794E-57.510444E-435.662487.3E-47.8935285E-59.025371E-58.901815E-49.8631028.0E-49.606133E-40.00109838710.00210727771.91852020.001010.00956471450.0109396680.01213643051.10939670.00121
6.41.712201E-51.9565212E-57.0955174E-436.2659876.9E-47.337798E-58.3848776E-58.537842E-410.1824287.7E-48.930107E-40.00102048130.00198949151.94956189.7E-40.0088943070.0101678710.0113160761.11292480.00116
6.51.4744935E-51.6836972E-56.168269E-436.635266.0E-46.3191044E-57.215698E-57.5210794E-410.4232186.8E-47.6907943E-48.782507E-40.00170752171.94423048.3E-40.0076642320.0087569940.0097284131.11093069.8E-4
6.61.2017839E-51.3724089E-55.0371734E-436.7031564.9E-45.150401E-55.88167E-56.087843E-410.3505365.5E-46.268809E-47.159466E-40.00138546691.9351546.7E-40.00625115450.00714509380.0079393781.11116498.0E-4
6.71.00956095E-51.1533517E-54.4152857E-438.2822154.3E-44.326618E-54.942891E-55.294052E-410.7104364.8E-45.266384E-46.017178E-40.00120135681.99654526.0E-40.0052539210.00600941250.00673502541.12074617.3E-4

Death Valley (So)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.0684236E-52.5618314E-50.001125590243.936930.00118.864371E-51.0978825E-40.001489636713.5682720.001380.00107870290.00133586920.00305357162.28583120.001720.0107348170.0132799850.0152040891.14488760.00195
6.12.0684236E-52.5618314E-50.001125590243.936930.00118.864371E-51.0978825E-40.001489636713.5682720.001380.00107870290.00133586920.00305357162.28583120.001720.0107348170.0132799850.0152040891.14488760.00195
6.22.0684236E-52.5618314E-50.001125590243.936930.00118.864371E-51.0978825E-40.001489636713.5682720.001380.00107870290.00133586920.00305357162.28583120.001720.0107348170.0132799850.0152040891.14488760.00195
6.32.0240292E-52.51184E-50.001095091643.5971870.001078.6741224E-51.0764593E-40.001447501713.44687750.001340.00105556260.0013098180.002947672.25044230.001640.0105056280.0130225430.0148583211.14096930.00186
6.42.0240292E-52.51184E-50.001095091643.5971870.001078.6741224E-51.0764593E-40.001447501713.44687750.001340.00105556260.0013098180.002947672.25044230.001640.0105056280.0130225430.0148583211.14096930.00186
6.51.9962767E-52.4807652E-50.001064781842.921510.001048.55519E-51.0631427E-40.00140617613.2265980.00130.00104109680.00129362440.00289155452.23523520.00160.0103623270.012862490.0146689511.14044420.00183
6.61.8937297E-52.3311462E-59.832891E-442.1804969.6E-48.115732E-59.990252E-50.001299782713.0105090.00129.876423E-40.00121564910.00267387412.19954440.001460.0098326450.01209150350.013751191.13726060.00168
6.71.8621096E-52.2912098E-59.228915E-440.279669.0E-47.980225E-59.8191085E-50.001228080112.5070430.001139.711593E-40.00119483540.00258317452.161950.001390.0096692610.0118856250.0134468461.13135370.00158
6.81.7830353E-52.1806083E-58.7178755E-439.9790958.5E-47.641356E-59.3451374E-50.001163351312.4487340.001079.29938E-40.00113719070.00245568952.15943530.001320.0092605610.011316090.0127793421.12930730.00148
6.91.3135183E-51.5304031E-56.05295E-439.5513465.9E-45.6292425E-56.558709E-58.0553856E-412.2819697.4E-46.8514474E-47.982367E-40.00166754232.08903228.7E-40.0068303620.0079551580.0088976011.11846949.5E-4
7.01.1507512E-51.3154237E-54.1314898E-431.4080524.0E-44.9316975E-55.637412E-55.9634366E-410.5783235.4E-46.002687E-46.861445E-40.00134569161.96123656.6E-40.00598649870.00684149240.00755656651.10452027.2E-4
7.19.715903E-61.0865287E-52.0086323E-418.4866941.9E-44.1638916E-54.6564706E-53.365512E-47.2276032.9E-45.068359E-45.667821E-49.2657807E-41.63480473.6E-40.00505681480.0056538340.0060416291.06858973.9E-4
7.29.233269E-61.0286314E-51.6028478E-415.5823341.5E-43.9570554E-54.408348E-52.5407423E-45.7634792.1E-44.81665E-45.365884E-47.964489E-41.48428272.6E-40.00480622330.00535335950.0056418071.05388162.9E-4
7.38.8041315E-69.808164E-61.3980689E-414.2541341.3E-43.7731446E-54.2034335E-52.2202676E-45.28203341.8E-44.592835E-45.1165203E-47.315395E-41.42975972.2E-40.00458335460.0051051670.0053538911.048722.5E-4
7.48.708749E-69.707175E-61.2970601E-413.361871.2E-43.7322676E-54.160154E-52.1159447E-45.08621741.7E-44.5430884E-45.0638523E-47.162789E-41.4144942.1E-40.0045338120.00505273980.0052915271.0472592.4E-4
7.58.612678E-69.604817E-61.2960366E-413.493611.2E-43.6910955E-54.1162875E-52.0115629E-44.88683751.6E-44.492982E-45.01047E-47.009468E-41.39896422.0E-40.0044839090.00499959850.00522844871.04577372.3E-4
7.68.319024E-69.283916E-61.2928281E-413.925461.2E-43.5652476E-53.978763E-51.9978127E-45.021191.6E-44.3398244E-44.8431093E-46.742189E-41.392121.9E-40.00433135870.00483297840.0050519151.04530062.2E-4
7.77.4718328E-68.34517E-61.1834425E-414.1811681.1E-43.2021748E-53.5764548E-51.7575955E-44.9143511.4E-43.8979502E-44.353504E-46.052764E-41.39032011.7E-40.003891120.00434538070.0045345551.04353461.9E-4
7.83.4586725E-73.6482615E-73.6482615E-71.00.01.4822873E-61.5635396E-61.5635396E-61.00.01.80467E-51.9035933E-51.9035933E-51.00.01.8045233E-41.9034347E-41.9034347E-41.00.0
7.92.5591178E-92.6696718E-92.6696718E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.14414505E-81.14414505E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3929966E-71.3929966E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3929966E-61.3929966E-61.00.0

Lenwood-Lockhart-Old Woman Springs

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.744542E-54.396349E-50.001073918224.4275020.001031.604705E-41.8840231E-40.00149815557.95189570.001310.00195197760.00229155710.00389786791.7009690.001610.0193492060.0226972810.0243880151.07449050.00173
6.13.744542E-54.396349E-50.001073918224.4275020.001031.604705E-41.8840231E-40.00149815557.95189570.001310.00195197760.00229155710.00389786791.7009690.001610.0193492060.0226972810.0243880151.07449050.00173
6.23.744542E-54.396349E-50.001073918224.4275020.001031.604705E-41.8840231E-40.00149815557.95189570.001310.00195197760.00229155710.00389786791.7009690.001610.0193492060.0226972810.0243880151.07449050.00173
6.32.1079984E-52.5354384E-54.7534297E-418.747964.5E-49.0339665E-51.0865723E-47.285899E-46.70539676.2E-40.00109933040.00132211890.00213104811.61184298.1E-40.0109390790.0131447470.0140033111.06531618.7E-4
6.42.1079984E-52.5354384E-54.7534297E-418.747964.5E-49.0339665E-51.0865723E-47.285899E-46.70539676.2E-40.00109933040.00132211890.00213104811.61184298.1E-40.0109390790.0131447470.0140033111.06531618.7E-4
6.51.7397282E-52.0663285E-53.206571E-415.5182053.0E-47.455765E-58.8554E-54.8851856E-45.51661834.0E-49.073613E-40.00107762350.00162703071.50983245.5E-40.0090366540.0107252730.0112990521.05349795.8E-4
6.61.52050325E-51.7680086E-52.5767586E-414.5743552.4E-46.51628E-57.576964E-53.957454E-45.22300773.2E-47.9306826E-49.221128E-40.00139167941.50922914.7E-40.0079024390.0091837290.0096791371.05394415.0E-4
6.71.332523E-51.5264379E-52.2526117E-414.757312.1E-45.7106878E-56.541716E-53.2540015E-44.9742322.6E-46.950544E-47.9616875E-40.00116587421.46435563.7E-40.0069288450.00793379450.00832071.04876693.9E-4
6.81.1525329E-51.3031365E-51.9302902E-414.8126481.8E-44.9393333E-55.5847537E-52.7583525E-44.93907642.2E-46.011979E-46.7973585E-49.995183E-41.47045113.2E-40.005995740.00677701920.0071147151.04982963.4E-4
6.91.0253909E-51.1514835E-51.9151277E-416.6318281.8E-44.3944583E-54.934838E-52.493385E-45.0526182.0E-45.3489394E-46.006545E-48.904803E-41.48251662.9E-40.00533608250.00599068960.00629883261.0514373.1E-4
7.08.104563E-68.99143E-61.4899018E-416.5702421.4E-43.4733377E-53.853415E-51.9852798E-45.15200141.6E-44.2279682E-44.6905465E-46.9894677E-41.4901182.3E-40.00421993340.00468089430.00490981761.04890582.3E-4
7.16.7986157E-67.5159796E-61.07515225E-414.3048851.0E-42.91366E-53.2210955E-51.522071E-44.72532031.2E-43.5468035E-43.9209996E-45.8202544E-41.48438041.9E-40.0035411480.0039142980.0041035541.048351.9E-4
7.25.6893327E-66.280132E-67.627969E-512.1461937.0E-52.4382627E-52.6914584E-51.1691216E-44.3438229.0E-52.9681803E-43.276378E-44.7758865E-41.45767261.5E-40.0029642190.0032717460.00342125541.04569711.5E-4
7.34.253348E-64.707075E-67.4706746E-515.8711627.0E-51.8228506E-52.017303E-51.0017142E-44.96561058.0E-52.2190946E-42.455808E-43.7554887E-41.52922741.3E-40.002216880.00245327530.00258295631.05286041.3E-4
7.42.5448119E-62.8520594E-63.2851975E-511.5186843.0E-51.0906291E-51.2223064E-54.22227E-53.45434643.0E-51.3277601E-41.4880729E-42.0879836E-41.4031466.0E-50.0013269670.00148723870.00154714951.04028326.0E-5
7.54.3706837E-84.562909E-84.562909E-81.00.01.8731501E-71.9555324E-71.9555324E-71.00.02.2805577E-62.3808586E-62.3808586E-61.00.02.2805343E-52.3808387E-52.3808387E-51.00.0

Towne Pass

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.849728E-63.894542E-69.3389093E-4239.79489.3E-41.649873E-51.6690812E-50.001156671869.299910.001142.0085352E-42.0319606E-40.00166289948.1837190.001460.00200672080.00203053190.00369714081.82077470.00167
6.13.849728E-63.894542E-69.3389093E-4239.79489.3E-41.649873E-51.6690812E-50.001156671869.299910.001142.0085352E-42.0319606E-40.00166289948.1837190.001460.00200672080.00203053190.00369714081.82077470.00167
6.23.849728E-63.894542E-69.3389093E-4239.79489.3E-41.649873E-51.6690812E-50.001156671869.299910.001142.0085352E-42.0319606E-40.00166289948.1837190.001460.00200672080.00203053190.00369714081.82077470.00167
6.33.849728E-63.894542E-69.3389093E-4239.79489.3E-41.649873E-51.6690812E-50.001156671869.299910.001142.0085352E-42.0319606E-40.00166289948.1837190.001460.00200672080.00203053190.00369714081.82077470.00167
6.43.849728E-63.894542E-69.3389093E-4239.79489.3E-41.649873E-51.6690812E-50.001156671869.299910.001142.0085352E-42.0319606E-40.00166289948.1837190.001460.00200672080.00203053190.00369714081.82077470.00167
6.51.1953545E-61.2030526E-61.5120287E-4125.682681.5E-45.1229376E-65.15593E-62.1515485E-441.7295882.1E-46.236998E-56.277176E-53.2275543E-45.141732.6E-46.235248E-46.2755204E-49.373575E-41.4936733.1E-4
6.61.1953545E-61.2030526E-61.5120287E-4125.682681.5E-45.1229376E-65.15593E-62.1515485E-441.7295882.1E-46.236998E-56.277176E-53.2275543E-45.141732.6E-46.235248E-46.2755204E-49.373575E-41.4936733.1E-4
6.78.375951E-78.410676E-71.1084098E-4131.786041.1E-43.5896885E-63.6045708E-61.5360404E-442.613681.5E-44.370358E-54.3884826E-52.4387604E-45.5571842.0E-44.3694986E-44.3876728E-46.686664E-41.52396582.3E-4
6.86.38041E-76.3921624E-77.063917E-5110.509047.0E-52.7344586E-62.7394954E-61.0273922E-437.502971.0E-43.3291526E-53.3352884E-51.8334789E-45.4972121.5E-43.3286537E-43.334826E-45.134226E-41.53957831.8E-4
6.95.3460053E-75.345339E-74.0534513E-575.831514.0E-52.2911431E-62.2908578E-66.229072E-527.1910046.0E-52.789431E-52.7890868E-51.2788808E-44.5853031.0E-42.789081E-42.78877E-44.0884074E-41.46602541.3E-4
7.03.557783E-73.5324283E-71.0353239E-529.3091281.0E-51.5247632E-61.513897E-62.1513866E-514.2109172.0E-51.8563835E-51.8431549E-53.843118E-52.0850762.0E-51.8562283E-41.8430105E-42.2429368E-41.21699624.0E-5
7.13.037942E-73.0002275E-71.0300019E-534.3307951.0E-51.3019744E-61.2858112E-62.1285785E-516.5543632.0E-51.5851423E-51.5654647E-53.5654335E-52.2775562.0E-51.5850292E-41.5653619E-41.865315E-41.19161893.0E-5
7.22.0808248E-72.0217735E-71.0202175E-550.4615171.0E-58.917818E-78.6647407E-72.0866457E-524.0820332.0E-51.0857389E-51.0549275E-53.0549065E-52.8958452.0E-51.0856859E-41.0548821E-41.3548504E-41.2843623.0E-5
7.31.1162073E-71.0636902E-71.0636902E-71.00.04.7837443E-74.5586717E-71.0455863E-522.9362051.0E-55.8241935E-65.5501705E-61.5550115E-52.80173641.0E-55.8240406E-55.550052E-56.549997E-51.18016851.0E-5

Nelson Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.913453E-61.0192255E-59.3018287E-491.2636959.2E-44.2485535E-54.3680422E-50.00124362828.4710620.00125.1713863E-45.316897E-40.00199091343.74450250.001460.00515936830.0053052040.00688676861.29811570.00159
6.19.913453E-61.0192255E-59.3018287E-491.2636959.2E-44.2485535E-54.3680422E-50.00124362828.4710620.00125.1713863E-45.316897E-40.00199091343.74450250.001460.00515936830.0053052040.00688676861.29811570.00159
6.24.5596407E-64.696313E-63.8469452E-481.9141543.8E-41.954117E-52.0126909E-55.1011704E-425.3450284.9E-42.3788778E-42.4501883E-48.8486203E-43.61140426.4E-40.00237633290.00244761280.00312594841.27714176.8E-4
6.34.5596407E-64.696313E-63.8469452E-481.9141543.8E-41.954117E-52.0126909E-55.1011704E-425.3450284.9E-42.3788778E-42.4501883E-48.8486203E-43.61140426.4E-40.00237633290.00244761280.00312594841.27714176.8E-4
6.43.4025713E-63.5098972E-62.7350895E-477.925062.7E-41.4582367E-51.5042335E-53.6503706E-424.2673153.5E-41.7752586E-41.8312587E-46.530398E-43.56607064.7E-40.0017738410.00182983270.00233889951.2782045.1E-4
6.52.8352947E-62.927856E-62.5292713E-486.386462.5E-41.2151207E-51.2547898E-53.2254402E-425.7050233.1E-41.479309E-41.5276071E-45.82695E-43.814434.3E-40.00147832460.00152663080.00198592851.30085714.6E-4
6.62.251518E-62.3290677E-62.023286E-486.871072.0E-49.649328E-69.981683E-62.599792E-426.0456262.5E-41.1747423E-41.2152085E-44.9147586E-44.0443753.7E-40.00117412140.00121460580.0016041321.32070183.9E-4
6.71.8911853E-61.9591396E-61.9195877E-497.9811551.9E-48.105055E-68.39629E-62.3839436E-428.3928242.3E-49.867457E-51.0222061E-44.4218585E-44.32579953.4E-49.863076E-40.00102179350.00138142551.35196173.6E-4
6.81.4874814E-61.5438305E-61.6154359E-4104.638161.6E-46.374905E-66.6164025E-61.9661515E-429.7163221.9E-47.76117E-58.055224E-53.605297E-44.4757252.8E-47.75846E-48.0528157E-40.001105041.37224053.0E-4
6.96.835972E-77.1399285E-77.071394E-599.040137.0E-52.9296991E-63.0599674E-69.3059694E-530.4119879.0E-53.56685E-53.7254784E-51.6724995E-44.48935461.3E-43.5662777E-43.7251666E-45.124645E-41.37568211.4E-4

San Andreas (San Bernardino N)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.4273766E-43.160784E-40.00126577814.00463349.5E-46.115894E-40.00135392450.0025123541.85560860.001160.00742070840.0163609390.017639671.07815750.00130.071777480.150211630.151392831.00786360.00139
6.11.4273766E-43.160784E-40.00126577814.00463349.5E-46.115894E-40.00135392450.0025123541.85560860.001160.00742070840.0163609390.017639671.07815750.00130.071777480.150211630.151392831.00786360.00139
6.21.4273766E-43.160784E-40.00126577814.00463349.5E-46.115894E-40.00135392450.0025123541.85560860.001160.00742070840.0163609390.017639671.07815750.00130.071777480.150211630.151392831.00786360.00139
6.31.3730655E-43.0512668E-40.00125483684.1125119.5E-45.883239E-40.0013070360.00246551981.88634420.001160.00713934420.0157984550.0170779171.08098650.00130.069142910.14551350.146701251.00816240.00139
6.41.3730655E-43.0512668E-40.00125483684.1125119.5E-45.883239E-40.0013070360.00246551981.88634420.001160.00713934420.0157984550.0170779171.08098650.00130.069142910.14551350.146701251.00816240.00139
6.51.2942807E-42.8927144E-40.00122899964.2486039.4E-45.545738E-40.00123915090.0023877261.92690480.001150.00673105240.0149835480.0162542181.08480440.001290.065307880.138650880.139839541.0085730.00138
6.61.1125901E-42.5365927E-40.00116342844.586589.1E-44.767372E-40.00108666050.00220544332.02956080.001120.0057888390.01315046850.014384031.09380360.001250.0564034540.123004960.124180131.00955390.00134
6.71.02209575E-42.3500937E-40.00113479784.82873449.0E-44.3796748E-40.00100679570.0021156782.10139780.001110.00531922470.0121892670.0134141521.10048880.001240.0519369060.1147927640.115970091.0102560.00133
6.89.610582E-52.2026796E-40.00112006985.08503259.0E-44.1181705E-49.436647E-40.00205261732.17515520.001110.00500235150.0114288590.0126546871.10725720.001240.0489123460.108204690.109390781.01096150.00133
6.99.3877505E-52.1482339E-40.001114635.18858779.0E-44.0227012E-49.203475E-40.00202932582.20495630.001110.00488664540.0111479070.01237408351.10999170.001240.047805770.1057982740.106987561.01124110.00133
7.09.1019785E-52.0809306E-40.00110790585.3240889.0E-43.900265E-48.915232E-40.00200053352.24395010.001110.00473823770.01080049950.0120271071.11356950.001240.0463847440.102768150.1039614751.01161170.00133
7.18.771155E-51.9983841E-40.00109965855.5027399.0E-43.758525E-48.5616973E-40.00196521942.2953620.001110.00456640640.0103742430.0116013791.11828680.001240.0447370560.099076440.100274671.0120940.00133
7.28.0830236E-51.8389444E-40.00107373085.83884338.9E-43.4636928E-47.8788114E-40.00188701452.39504980.00110.00420889440.0095503680.0107686211.12756090.001230.0413006580.091805180.0930041.01305830.00132
7.37.7668235E-51.7333007E-40.00105317756.07613858.8E-43.328214E-47.426318E-40.00183182232.4666630.001090.00404457330.0090041380.0102131531.13427330.001220.039717480.087067610.088263561.01373580.00131
7.47.520177E-51.655312E-40.00103538726.2549378.7E-43.2225347E-47.092266E-40.00178846062.52170560.001080.00391637950.0086007140.00980030651.13947610.001210.0384807440.083521570.084712991.01426480.0013
7.57.274697E-51.584075E-40.00102826966.4912948.7E-43.1173544E-46.7871273E-40.00174798652.57544370.001070.0037887750.0082320760.0094221971.14457130.00120.037248270.080236540.081423041.01478740.00129
7.67.1185845E-51.5410586E-40.00102397186.64468.7E-43.0504653E-46.602866E-40.001729582.61943860.001070.00370761780.00800940950.0091997981.14862380.00120.0364636670.078226610.07941571.01520050.00129
7.76.709961E-51.4319421E-40.00101306967.07479438.7E-42.8753807E-46.135452E-40.00168288872.74289270.001070.0034951570.00744436630.0086354331.15999570.00120.0344069380.073055580.074242071.0162410.00128
7.86.300812E-51.320343E-49.919207E-47.5125998.6E-42.7000686E-45.657386E-40.00162513892.87259670.001060.00328237870.0068661430.0080479731.17212410.001190.0323431750.067713850.068897851.01748540.00127
7.94.983037E-59.7241085E-57.171808E-47.3752866.2E-42.1354125E-44.1668097E-40.00116636852.79918847.5E-40.00259676480.00506130050.00591694751.16905688.6E-40.0256662960.0506505070.0515334051.01743119.3E-4
8.03.2211527E-55.3306234E-52.3329664E-44.3765361.8E-41.380421E-42.2843528E-44.6838046E-42.05038572.4E-40.00167936690.00277765420.00305687661.10052442.8E-40.0166673230.0283625680.0286734921.01096253.2E-4
8.11.743376E-51.8823403E-55.882265E-53.12497454.0E-57.471398E-58.066923E-51.306652E-41.6197655.0E-59.0926304E-49.81706E-40.0010416471.0610586.0E-50.0090555170.0104839790.0105631411.00755078.0E-5
8.27.831616E-65.1540533E-65.1540533E-61.00.03.3563636E-52.2088612E-52.2088612E-51.00.04.0856065E-42.6889573E-42.6889573E-41.00.00.0040781030.00304136680.00304136681.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

Bicycle Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.9621975E-52.2097078E-56.620829E-429.9624656.4E-48.4091465E-59.4699084E-58.2462997E-48.7078987.3E-40.00102333270.00115248650.00202148381.75401958.7E-40.010186330.0114784080.0124965851.08870380.00103
6.11.9621975E-52.2097078E-56.620829E-429.9624656.4E-48.4091465E-59.4699084E-58.2462997E-48.7078987.3E-40.00102333270.00115248650.00202148381.75401958.7E-40.010186330.0114784080.0124965851.08870380.00103
6.29.9971285E-61.125564E-53.7125158E-432.983613.6E-44.2844134E-54.8237856E-54.682176E-49.7064344.2E-45.2150246E-45.871897E-40.00109689021.86803395.1E-40.00520280330.0058614870.00648779381.10685126.3E-4
6.39.589428E-61.0798346E-53.6079457E-433.412023.5E-44.10969E-54.62781E-54.3626004E-49.4269233.9E-45.002399E-45.6334207E-40.00102308291.81609554.6E-40.00499115330.00562422960.0062009681.10254535.8E-4
6.49.589428E-61.0798346E-53.6079457E-433.412023.5E-44.10969E-54.62781E-54.3626004E-49.4269233.9E-45.002399E-45.6334207E-40.00102308291.81609554.6E-40.00499115330.00562422960.0062009681.10254535.8E-4
6.55.557707E-66.2856016E-62.2628422E-436.000412.2E-42.3818526E-52.6938165E-52.5693196E-49.5378422.3E-42.8995197E-43.279497E-45.9786113E-41.8230272.7E-40.00289573940.00327729340.0036161791.10340423.4E-4
6.64.8742945E-65.5132896E-61.855123E-433.6482051.8E-42.0889667E-52.3628318E-52.0362406E-48.6177981.8E-42.54302E-42.87663E-44.9760257E-41.7298112.1E-40.0025401120.00287547520.0031446991.09362762.7E-4
6.73.991108E-64.5159104E-61.4451527E-432.001361.4E-41.7104636E-51.9353902E-51.593512E-48.2335431.4E-42.0822904E-42.3563375E-44.055937E-41.72128871.7E-40.00208034040.00235633740.00258579551.09737912.3E-4

Paradise

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.4851273E-51.6694768E-56.266846E-437.537786.1E-46.364676E-57.154718E-58.1149425E-411.3420867.4E-47.7462377E-48.707624E-40.00175998742.02120288.9E-40.00771929140.0086758840.0097266881.12111770.00106
6.11.4851273E-51.6694768E-56.266846E-437.537786.1E-46.364676E-57.154718E-58.1149425E-411.3420867.4E-47.7462377E-48.707624E-40.00175998742.02120288.9E-40.00771929140.0086758840.0097266881.12111770.00106
6.21.4851273E-51.6694768E-56.266846E-437.537786.1E-46.364676E-57.154718E-58.1149425E-411.3420867.4E-47.7462377E-48.707624E-40.00175998742.02120288.9E-40.00771929140.0086758840.0097266881.12111770.00106
6.31.0426831E-51.1888697E-53.0188524E-425.3926262.9E-44.4685654E-55.09506E-54.3093125E-48.4578253.8E-45.43912E-46.201529E-40.00108986151.75740754.7E-40.00542582660.00618483170.0067214921.08677045.4E-4
6.41.0426831E-51.1888697E-53.0188524E-425.3926262.9E-44.4685654E-55.09506E-54.3093125E-48.4578253.8E-45.43912E-46.201529E-40.00108986151.75740754.7E-40.00542582660.00618483170.0067214921.08677045.4E-4
6.59.25027E-61.0620037E-52.306177E-421.7153382.2E-43.964341E-54.551368E-53.355005E-47.3714212.9E-44.8255164E-45.5399304E-49.3378255E-41.68554913.8E-40.00481505130.00552661950.0059641881.07917464.4E-4
6.67.904275E-69.159602E-61.5915823E-417.3761061.5E-43.3875025E-53.925487E-52.3924702E-46.0947092.0E-44.1235037E-44.7782718E-47.277077E-41.52295172.5E-40.00411586040.0047683950.0050371071.05635292.7E-4
6.77.2061953E-68.407326E-68.8406654E-510.515438.0E-53.088333E-53.603092E-51.6602624E-44.60788251.3E-43.7593965E-44.3859181E-46.0851726E-41.38743411.7E-40.0037530430.0043776310.0045568431.04093811.8E-4
6.86.6948724E-67.842242E-66.784177E-58.6508136.0E-52.8691995E-53.3609194E-51.3360583E-43.97527621.0E-43.4926904E-44.091187E-45.390655E-41.31762621.3E-40.0034872060.00408401250.0042234411.034141.4E-4
6.96.0421025E-67.1306963E-65.713034E-58.01188855.0E-52.5894467E-53.0559786E-59.055795E-52.96330456.0E-53.1521954E-43.7200528E-44.619718E-41.2418429.0E-50.00314772780.00371416380.00381379251.0268241.0E-4
7.04.134091E-65.0803824E-63.508023E-56.9050373.0E-51.7717413E-52.1772896E-55.177224E-52.377833.0E-52.1568815E-42.650543E-43.1504105E-41.18859065.0E-50.00215478920.00264753470.00269740241.01883555.0E-5
7.13.7674888E-64.631936E-62.4631843E-55.3178292.0E-51.6146281E-51.9851012E-53.9850616E-52.00748542.0E-51.9656324E-42.4166079E-42.7165352E-41.12411093.0E-50.00196389460.00241413060.00244405821.01239683.0E-5
7.23.4065345E-64.156782E-62.41567E-55.8113942.0E-51.4599351E-51.7814667E-53.7814312E-52.12265042.0E-51.777326E-42.168735E-42.3686915E-41.09219972.0E-50.00177590530.00216676670.00218672331.00921032.0E-5
7.32.9934936E-63.6293673E-63.6293673E-61.00.01.2829195E-51.5554348E-51.5554348E-51.00.01.5618425E-41.8935918E-41.8935918E-41.00.00.00156074530.00189212370.00189212371.00.0
7.42.4049796E-62.8890186E-62.8890186E-61.00.01.0307015E-51.2381457E-51.2381457E-51.00.01.2548068E-41.5073526E-41.5073526E-41.00.00.00125409850.00150647150.00150647151.00.0
7.51.2710091E-61.5134859E-61.5134859E-61.00.05.44717E-66.4863593E-66.4863593E-61.00.06.631728E-57.896981E-57.896981E-51.00.06.6297496E-47.895401E-47.895401E-41.00.0
7.62.21172E-72.6040198E-72.6040198E-71.00.09.478797E-71.1160082E-61.1160082E-61.00.01.1540374E-51.3587343E-51.3587343E-51.00.01.1539775E-41.3586794E-41.3586794E-41.00.0

Garlic Springs

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6760017E-51.8776833E-54.2876913E-422.8350094.1E-47.182667E-58.0470316E-55.604317E-46.96445234.8E-48.7413884E-49.794032E-40.00155883521.59161735.8E-40.0087070830.0097624130.0104753841.07303237.2E-4
6.19.852767E-61.0973587E-52.4097106E-421.9591882.3E-44.222546E-54.702921E-53.0701698E-46.52821872.6E-45.139737E-45.7250116E-48.9231797E-41.55863083.2E-40.0051278660.0057172210.00612487741.07130314.1E-4
6.29.852767E-61.0973587E-52.4097106E-421.9591882.3E-44.222546E-54.702921E-53.0701698E-46.52821872.6E-45.139737E-45.7250116E-48.9231797E-41.55863083.2E-40.0051278660.0057172210.00612487741.07130314.1E-4
6.34.3167724E-64.7780286E-61.2477745E-426.1148411.2E-41.8500323E-52.0477235E-51.5047457E-47.34838341.3E-42.2521814E-42.4930484E-44.0926496E-41.64162461.6E-40.00224990030.002492510.00269201141.08004052.0E-4
6.44.3167724E-64.7780286E-61.2477745E-426.1148411.2E-41.8500323E-52.0477235E-51.5047457E-47.34838341.3E-42.2521814E-42.4930484E-44.0926496E-41.64162461.6E-40.00224990030.002492510.00269201141.08004052.0E-4
6.54.3167724E-64.7780286E-61.2477745E-426.1148411.2E-41.8500323E-52.0477235E-51.5047457E-47.34838341.3E-42.2521814E-42.4930484E-44.0926496E-41.64162461.6E-40.00224990030.002492510.00269201141.08004052.0E-4
6.64.301311E-64.760897E-61.2476032E-426.2052141.2E-41.8434059E-52.0403815E-51.5040116E-47.37122771.3E-42.2441156E-42.4841115E-44.0837142E-41.64393341.6E-40.00224185060.0024835930.00268309631.08032852.0E-4
6.73.8599724E-64.27106E-61.04270635E-424.4132921.0E-41.6542634E-51.8304541E-51.1830271E-46.4630251.0E-42.0138794E-42.228578E-43.4283104E-41.538341.2E-40.00201205540.0022285780.00238822141.07163471.6E-4

Death Valley (Black Mtns Frontal)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6707214E-51.867027E-53.7866354E-420.2816333.6E-47.160038E-58.001303E-55.29977E-46.62363434.5E-48.71386E-49.737309E-40.00154317581.58480745.7E-40.008679770.0096954960.0103591.06843426.7E-4
6.11.6707214E-51.867027E-53.7866354E-420.2816333.6E-47.160038E-58.001303E-55.29977E-46.62363434.5E-48.71386E-49.737309E-40.00154317581.58480745.7E-40.008679770.0096954960.0103591.06843426.7E-4
6.21.6707214E-51.867027E-53.7866354E-420.2816333.6E-47.160038E-58.001303E-55.29977E-46.62363434.5E-48.71386E-49.737309E-40.00154317581.58480745.7E-40.008679770.0096954960.0103591.06843426.7E-4
6.31.6707214E-51.867027E-53.7866354E-420.2816333.6E-47.160038E-58.001303E-55.29977E-46.62363434.5E-48.71386E-49.737309E-40.00154317581.58480745.7E-40.008679770.0096954960.0103591.06843426.7E-4
6.41.5515609E-51.7338214E-53.073332E-417.725772.9E-46.649377E-57.4304546E-54.542763E-46.1137083.8E-48.0926094E-49.042885E-40.00137386341.51927574.7E-40.0080632020.0090067730.0095617291.06161555.6E-4
6.51.5515609E-51.7338214E-53.073332E-417.725772.9E-46.649377E-57.4304546E-54.542763E-46.1137083.8E-48.0926094E-49.042885E-40.00137386341.51927574.7E-40.0080632020.0090067730.0095617291.06161555.6E-4
6.61.5041828E-51.6809145E-52.6680494E-415.8726062.5E-46.4463384E-57.203723E-53.920142E-45.44182733.2E-47.8455906E-48.767063E-40.00128634691.46724944.1E-40.007817950.0087331320.0092287661.05675335.0E-4
6.71.4634985E-51.6356016E-52.4635225E-415.0618732.3E-46.271985E-57.009536E-53.5007574E-44.9942782.8E-47.6334673E-48.5308263E-40.0012227671.43335123.7E-40.0076072990.0084987150.0089250611.05016594.3E-4
6.81.4209158E-51.5882048E-52.3587856E-414.8518982.2E-46.089497E-56.8064175E-53.380458E-44.96657472.7E-47.4114406E-48.2837185E-40.00118807371.43422753.6E-40.0073867710.0082534560.0086600721.04926614.1E-4
6.91.3780098E-51.5404594E-52.2540135E-414.6320882.1E-45.9056227E-56.6018045E-53.2600088E-44.93805742.6E-47.1877235E-48.0347876E-40.00114320561.422823.4E-40.00716451930.0080063320.008383291.04708243.8E-4
7.01.3585064E-51.5188155E-52.1518512E-414.1679562.0E-45.8220405E-56.50905E-53.1507423E-44.8405562.5E-47.086029E-47.9219416E-40.00112193281.41623453.3E-40.0070634760.0078942930.0082514521.04524253.6E-4
7.11.3398601E-51.49813395E-52.1497834E-414.3497412.0E-45.742131E-56.420419E-53.1418813E-44.89357662.5E-46.9888023E-47.8141113E-40.00110116111.40919553.2E-40.00696686380.0077872240.0081344981.04459543.5E-4
7.21.3126312E-51.4679561E-51.9467692E-413.2617671.8E-45.6254412E-56.291092E-52.9289644E-44.6557332.3E-46.846822E-47.6567667E-40.00105545461.37845992.9E-40.0068257650.007630970.0079485281.04161443.2E-4
7.31.2922429E-51.4453788E-51.9445119E-413.4533021.8E-45.5380664E-56.194336E-52.9192911E-44.7128392.3E-46.74051E-47.53905E-40.00103369391.37111962.8E-40.0067201010.0075140550.0078217261.0409463.1E-4
7.41.2768878E-51.4283772E-51.8428134E-412.9014481.7E-45.4722615E-56.1214756E-52.812013E-44.59368472.2E-46.660441E-47.4504025E-40.0010148391.36212662.7E-40.00664051440.00742600350.00772377571.04009853.0E-4
7.51.2521929E-51.40120155E-51.8400964E-413.1322751.7E-45.366431E-56.005014E-52.7003753E-44.49686772.1E-46.531671E-47.3087064E-49.906807E-41.35548012.6E-40.0065125060.00728524570.0075731331.03951642.9E-4
7.61.1301089E-51.2648149E-51.5264637E-412.0686731.4E-44.8432343E-55.4205255E-52.341955E-44.32053141.8E-45.895042E-46.5975444E-48.796093E-41.33323742.2E-40.00587942820.006578510.00682686551.03775252.5E-4
7.79.189108E-61.0283358E-51.3028212E-412.669221.2E-43.93813E-54.407082E-51.9406421E-44.4034631.5E-44.7936183E-45.3643517E-47.2633324E-41.35400011.9E-40.0047832910.0053519140.005560791.03902832.1E-4
7.83.4586725E-73.6482615E-73.6482615E-71.00.01.4822873E-61.5635396E-61.5635396E-61.00.01.80467E-51.9035933E-51.9035933E-51.00.01.8045233E-41.9034347E-41.9034347E-41.00.0
7.92.5591178E-92.6696718E-92.6696718E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.14414505E-81.14414505E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3929966E-71.3929966E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3929966E-61.3929966E-61.00.0

San Andreas (San Bernardino S)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2336002E-43.0005194E-46.9993193E-42.33270264.0E-45.2857865E-40.00128532920.00179467361.39627555.1E-40.0064164720.0155415540.0161223861.03737275.9E-40.062343370.142946990.143486931.00377736.3E-4
6.11.2336002E-43.0005194E-46.9993193E-42.33270264.0E-45.2857865E-40.00128532920.00179467361.39627555.1E-40.0064164720.0155415540.0161223861.03737275.9E-40.062343370.142946990.143486931.00377736.3E-4
6.21.2336002E-43.0005194E-46.9993193E-42.33270264.0E-45.2857865E-40.00128532920.00179467361.39627555.1E-40.0064164720.0155415540.0161223861.03737275.9E-40.062343370.142946990.143486931.00377736.3E-4
6.31.1712257E-42.8793467E-46.878195E-42.3888044.0E-45.018573E-40.00123344780.00174281871.41296525.1E-40.0060930080.0149186660.0154998641.03895775.9E-40.0592863220.137657790.138201061.00394656.3E-4
6.41.1712257E-42.8793467E-46.878195E-42.3888044.0E-45.018573E-40.00123344780.00174281871.41296525.1E-40.0060930080.0149186660.0154998641.03895775.9E-40.0592863220.137657790.138201061.00394656.3E-4
6.51.0689076E-42.6806415E-46.579596E-42.45448573.9E-44.5802278E-40.00114836530.00164779111.43490155.0E-40.00556217830.0138963350.0144682751.04115765.8E-40.054250030.12889890.129438981.004196.2E-4
6.69.7648895E-52.505129E-46.304177E-42.51650793.8E-44.1842813E-40.00107320860.00156268281.45608474.9E-40.0050824690.0129923990.0135451231.04254215.6E-40.0496778860.1210777460.12160511.00435556.0E-4
6.78.757013E-52.3122175E-46.111339E-42.6430643.8E-43.7524657E-49.905964E-40.00147012091.48407664.8E-40.004559060.0119979020.0125413031.04529135.5E-40.044666560.1123730240.112887851.00458135.8E-4
6.88.562978E-52.2682057E-46.0673436E-42.6749533.8E-43.6693315E-49.7174826E-40.00145128181.49347514.8E-40.0044582630.0117709210.0123144471.04617545.5E-40.0436987580.110378630.110894611.00467475.8E-4
6.96.124075E-51.7066885E-45.0061254E-42.9332393.3E-42.6243398E-47.312337E-40.0011409341.56028634.1E-40.00319045270.0088666360.0093324691.05253774.7E-40.0314503460.084202620.084669671.00554685.1E-4
7.05.8598747E-51.6495936E-44.9490493E-43.00016283.3E-42.5111332E-47.067779E-40.00111648811.57968744.1E-40.00305301860.0085712650.0090372371.05436434.7E-40.030114140.081515620.081984041.00574655.1E-4
7.15.613814E-51.5914452E-44.89092E-43.0732573.3E-42.4056983E-46.818704E-40.00109159081.60087734.1E-40.00292500390.0082703530.0087364661.05635954.7E-40.0288680210.078812680.0792824851.00596115.1E-4
7.24.991222E-51.4520933E-44.6516286E-43.20339513.2E-42.1389198E-46.221777E-40.00102192871.64250314.0E-40.0026010250.00754880630.0080053341.06047684.6E-40.0257079120.072261910.072725771.00641935.0E-4
7.34.7410045E-51.371513E-44.571074E-43.33286953.2E-42.0317009E-45.8765925E-49.874242E-41.68026664.0E-40.00247078970.00713136560.00758808531.06404384.6E-40.0244349820.0685419440.069007671.00679485.0E-4
7.44.5556746E-51.3123035E-44.4118965E-43.36194853.1E-41.952286E-45.6229485E-49.520755E-41.69319633.9E-40.0023743170.00682452930.00727145841.06548864.5E-40.0234910860.065791430.066249191.00695784.9E-4
7.54.3084514E-51.2358342E-44.3354512E-43.5081173.1E-41.8463485E-45.2953605E-49.193295E-41.73610383.9E-40.00224561150.00642811460.0068752221.06955494.5E-40.0222305450.0621902830.062649811.00738914.9E-4
7.63.408608E-59.836477E-54.0833428E-44.1512253.1E-41.4607502E-44.214953E-48.113309E-41.92488733.9E-40.00177701250.0051196560.00556735231.08744664.5E-40.0176286960.050022440.0504879241.00930564.9E-4
7.72.8315713E-58.2495724E-53.724718E-44.51504372.9E-41.2134742E-43.5350522E-47.233744E-42.04629063.7E-40.00147640340.0042954420.00472359451.09967614.3E-40.014666330.0422724150.042722551.01064844.7E-4
7.82.6222975E-57.463898E-53.6461733E-44.88507942.9E-41.1237934E-43.1984213E-46.897238E-42.15645073.7E-40.00136735970.0038871310.00431545961.11019154.3E-40.0135897680.0384374750.0388894081.01175764.7E-4
7.92.1469694E-55.7884805E-52.9787092E-45.1459262.4E-49.200973E-52.4805416E-45.5797724E-42.2494173.1E-40.00111964280.003015880.00338476431.1223143.7E-40.0111401840.0301532650.0305509031.01318724.1E-4
8.01.2420249E-53.1321662E-59.131979E-52.91554716.0E-55.322855E-51.342288E-42.3421537E-41.74489671.0E-46.478649E-40.00163301160.00175281561.07336391.2E-40.00645979350.016523690.0166613781.00833271.4E-4
8.14.9197724E-67.822525E-67.822525E-61.00.02.1084568E-53.3524673E-53.3524673E-51.00.02.566744E-44.080866E-44.1808252E-41.02449461.0E-50.0025637810.0043845570.0043945131.00227071.0E-5
8.22.5634774E-62.9065757E-62.9065757E-61.00.01.0986286E-51.2456694E-51.2456694E-51.00.01.3374983E-41.5164974E-41.5164974E-41.00.00.00133669340.0017049410.0017049411.00.0
8.35.2850464E-73.2080476E-73.2080476E-71.00.02.2650179E-61.3748769E-61.3748769E-61.00.02.7576245E-51.673901E-51.673901E-51.00.02.7572823E-41.986671E-41.986671E-41.00.0

Helendale-So Lockhart

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.7296055E-51.8103729E-52.4809956E-413.7043342.3E-47.412385E-57.7585224E-53.7756196E-44.8664163.0E-49.0208417E-49.4421144E-40.00136381491.44439574.2E-40.0089843110.0094041160.0099093211.05372155.1E-4
6.11.7296055E-51.8103729E-52.4809956E-413.7043342.3E-47.412385E-57.7585224E-53.7756196E-44.8664163.0E-49.0208417E-49.4421144E-40.00136381491.44439574.2E-40.0089843110.0094041160.0099093211.05372155.1E-4
6.21.7296055E-51.8103729E-52.4809956E-413.7043342.3E-47.412385E-57.7585224E-53.7756196E-44.8664163.0E-49.0208417E-49.4421144E-40.00136381491.44439574.2E-40.0089843110.0094041160.0099093211.05372155.1E-4
6.31.0669118E-51.1135425E-51.7113364E-415.3683991.6E-44.5723988E-54.772239E-52.677119E-45.60977552.2E-45.5654737E-45.80868E-49.006821E-41.55057973.2E-40.00555155570.00579379360.00614176551.06005943.5E-4
6.41.0669118E-51.1135425E-51.7113364E-415.3683991.6E-44.5723988E-54.772239E-52.677119E-45.60977552.2E-45.5654737E-45.80868E-49.006821E-41.55057973.2E-40.00555155570.00579379360.00614176551.06005943.5E-4
6.58.790038E-69.170197E-61.4916892E-416.2667081.4E-43.767105E-53.930026E-52.1929319E-45.5799421.8E-44.585485E-44.7837716E-47.3825277E-41.54324422.6E-40.00457603440.0047736380.00505230161.05837552.8E-4
6.67.396949E-67.715537E-61.1771469E-415.2568371.1E-43.1700827E-53.3066175E-51.7306155E-45.2337941.4E-43.858892E-44.025073E-46.2241877E-41.54635392.2E-40.0038521980.004017890.00424696551.0570142.3E-4
6.76.4600285E-66.738031E-61.1673729E-417.3251341.1E-42.7685543E-52.887696E-51.6887292E-45.8480161.4E-43.3701936E-43.5152107E-45.5145076E-41.5687562.0E-40.00336508690.0035097320.003709031.05678442.0E-4
6.85.600104E-65.836009E-68.583554E-514.7079178.0E-52.4000226E-52.5011232E-51.2500874E-44.99810361.0E-42.9216358E-43.044698E-44.644211E-41.52534371.6E-40.00291779750.0030405880.00320010171.05246141.6E-4
6.94.839122E-65.0395092E-67.5039155E-514.8901717.0E-52.0738931E-52.159772E-51.0159599E-44.7040158.0E-52.5246723E-42.6292098E-43.928868E-41.49431511.3E-40.0025218060.0026261470.00275580541.04937221.3E-4
7.03.6937633E-63.845208E-65.3845015E-514.0031485.0E-51.5830317E-51.647936E-57.647837E-54.6408586.0E-51.9271708E-42.0061806E-43.0059798E-41.49835971.0E-40.00192550030.0020044010.00210420041.04979031.0E-4
7.12.7858857E-62.8978538E-64.2897736E-514.8032794.0E-51.1939455E-51.2419316E-56.2418694E-55.02593665.0E-51.4535317E-41.511949E-42.4118129E-41.59516829.0E-50.00145258140.00151094180.00160080581.05947559.0E-5
7.22.1672065E-62.2540128E-64.2253923E-518.7460884.0E-59.2879945E-69.66002E-65.965954E-56.1759235.0E-51.1307546E-41.1760458E-41.9759517E-41.68016568.0E-50.00113017940.00117544170.00125534761.06797968.0E-5
7.31.4823496E-61.5422102E-64.154215E-526.9367624.0E-56.3529114E-66.6094562E-65.6609126E-58.5648695.0E-57.734395E-58.046731E-51.6046087E-41.99411258.0E-57.731704E-48.0439687E-48.843325E-41.09937338.0E-5
7.44.2321457E-74.4108765E-71.0441083E-523.671221.0E-51.8137755E-61.8903745E-61.1890355E-56.2899471.0E-52.2082493E-52.3015113E-54.3014654E-51.86897422.0E-52.2080299E-42.3013182E-42.5012722E-41.08688682.0E-5
7.55.6942316E-85.9415648E-85.9415648E-81.00.02.440385E-72.5463845E-72.5463845E-71.00.02.9711643E-63.1002196E-63.1002196E-61.00.02.9711247E-53.1001844E-53.1001844E-51.00.0

San Andreas (Big Bend)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.0179969E-42.0073925E-44.106971E-42.04592322.1E-44.362114E-48.6002843E-40.00114977911.33690812.9E-40.00529794860.0104208590.0108067951.0370353.9E-40.0517340970.1014559050.1018602551.00398544.5E-4
6.11.0179969E-42.0073925E-44.106971E-42.04592322.1E-44.362114E-48.6002843E-40.00114977911.33690812.9E-40.00529794860.0104208590.0108067951.0370353.9E-40.0517340970.1014559050.1018602551.00398544.5E-4
6.21.0179969E-42.0073925E-44.106971E-42.04592322.1E-44.362114E-48.6002843E-40.00114977911.33690812.9E-40.00529794860.0104208590.0108067951.0370353.9E-40.0517340970.1014559050.1018602551.00398544.5E-4
6.31.0179969E-42.0073925E-44.106971E-42.04592322.1E-44.362114E-48.6002843E-40.00114977911.33690812.9E-40.00529794860.0104208590.0108067951.0370353.9E-40.0517340970.1014559050.1018602551.00398544.5E-4
6.49.1639464E-51.8430917E-43.2428338E-41.75945331.4E-43.9268145E-47.896575E-49.495312E-41.20245951.6E-40.00477042050.0095718180.0098095211.02483362.4E-40.0466930640.093786950.094040691.00270552.8E-4
6.59.1639464E-51.8430917E-43.2428338E-41.75945331.4E-43.9268145E-47.896575E-49.495312E-41.20245951.6E-40.00477042050.0095718180.0098095211.02483362.4E-40.0466930640.093786950.094040691.00270552.8E-4
6.69.042622E-51.8238011E-43.2235458E-41.76748751.4E-43.8748336E-47.813951E-49.4127015E-41.2046021.6E-40.00470740950.00947210.0096999211.02405182.3E-40.0460893250.092877210.093122131.0026372.7E-4
6.78.9836685E-51.8152347E-43.1149987E-41.71603081.3E-43.8495753E-47.7772595E-49.2760933E-41.19271991.5E-40.004676790.0094278150.00964574051.02311522.2E-40.0457958170.092471480.092707441.00255172.6E-4
6.88.9471854E-51.8099119E-43.1096768E-41.7181371.3E-43.8339442E-47.754462E-49.2532986E-41.1932871.5E-40.0046578410.0094002980.009618231.02318352.2E-40.045614140.09221920.092455231.00255942.6E-4
6.98.858234E-51.7981093E-43.0978755E-41.72285161.3E-43.7958333E-47.7039085E-49.202753E-41.19455641.5E-40.0046116380.0093392780.0095572241.02333642.2E-40.045171030.091659110.0918952751.00257662.6E-4
7.08.7433385E-51.7819891E-42.8817932E-41.61717771.1E-43.746607E-47.6348626E-48.93387E-41.17014161.3E-40.0045519570.0092559320.0094540811.02140772.0E-40.0445983860.090893230.0911114141.00240052.4E-4
7.18.684964E-51.7731842E-42.872989E-41.6202431.1E-43.7215967E-47.597149E-48.896162E-41.17098681.3E-40.00452163350.0092104050.0093986551.02043881.9E-40.044307310.090474750.090683941.00231222.3E-4
7.28.606521E-51.7622454E-42.8620515E-41.62409371.1E-43.6879873E-47.550296E-48.849314E-41.17204871.3E-40.00448088350.0091538420.0093421021.02056631.9E-40.0439160240.089955180.090164491.00232682.3E-4
7.38.568266E-51.7564454E-42.7562698E-41.56923161.0E-43.6715972E-47.5254537E-48.724551E-41.15933881.2E-40.00446101050.009123850.0093022071.01954851.8E-40.0437251480.089676230.08987651.00223332.2E-4
7.48.5432206E-51.752704E-42.7525285E-41.5704471.0E-43.6608664E-47.509428E-48.708527E-41.15967921.2E-40.0044479990.0091045010.0092828631.01959051.8E-40.0436001570.089496420.089696731.00223822.2E-4
7.58.4791965E-51.7396381E-42.539499E-41.45978578.0E-53.633435E-47.4534636E-48.452718E-41.13406591.0E-40.00441473770.0090369320.0091954871.01754511.6E-40.0432805750.088872090.089054321.00205042.0E-4
7.68.241105E-51.6841735E-42.4840387E-41.47493058.0E-53.531424E-47.2158914E-48.2151697E-41.1384831.0E-40.00429103520.0087500470.0089086471.01812571.6E-40.0420911760.086250320.0864330751.00211882.0E-4
7.77.00432E-51.4205615E-42.0204762E-41.42230826.0E-53.001506E-46.0867006E-46.8862137E-41.13135418.0E-50.00364821120.00738541740.0074846791.01344031.0E-40.0358889770.073522990.073643431.00163821.3E-4
7.86.415362E-51.2969968E-41.896919E-41.46254726.0E-52.749151E-45.557374E-46.356929E-41.14387298.0E-50.00334195470.00674514150.0068444671.01472541.0E-40.032921410.067255140.067367071.00166431.2E-4
7.94.939911E-59.341721E-51.2341441E-41.32110993.0E-52.116933E-44.0029807E-44.5027805E-41.1248575.0E-50.00257431950.0048627470.0049324071.01432517.0E-50.0254470130.0489158030.04900141.00174999.0E-5
8.03.344983E-55.2228E-55.2228E-51.00.01.4334853E-42.2381509E-42.3381285E-41.04466971.0E-50.00174387110.00272154530.0027414911.00732872.0E-50.0173024960.0279231610.0279620441.00139254.0E-5
8.11.9104898E-51.9171663E-51.9171663E-51.00.08.1875565E-58.2161685E-58.2161685E-51.00.09.963791E-49.9986E-40.00100985011.00999141.0E-50.0099192350.0107495520.0107693371.00184062.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.473668E-65.473668E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3458366E-52.3458366E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.8556827E-42.8556827E-41.00.00.00450013950.00324817930.00324817931.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

Coyote Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.980352E-52.1706745E-53.0170067E-413.8989362.8E-48.486947E-59.302599E-53.9299807E-44.2246053.0E-40.00103279590.00113207510.00150165611.32646353.7E-40.0102800910.0112702580.0117151871.03947814.5E-4
6.11.980352E-52.1706745E-53.0170067E-413.8989362.8E-48.486947E-59.302599E-53.9299807E-44.2246053.0E-40.00103279590.00113207510.00150165611.32646353.7E-40.0102800910.0112702580.0117151871.03947814.5E-4
6.21.980352E-52.1706745E-53.0170067E-413.8989362.8E-48.486947E-59.302599E-53.9299807E-44.2246053.0E-40.00103279590.00113207510.00150165611.32646353.7E-40.0102800910.0112702580.0117151871.03947814.5E-4
6.31.5344787E-51.682067E-52.468168E-414.6734242.3E-46.576172E-57.2086936E-53.2206893E-44.4677852.5E-48.003548E-48.773662E-40.00119708551.3644083.2E-40.0079747840.008745070.0091316591.04420653.9E-4
6.41.5344787E-51.682067E-52.468168E-414.6734242.3E-46.576172E-57.2086936E-53.2206893E-44.4677852.5E-48.003548E-48.773662E-40.00119708551.3644083.2E-40.0079747840.008745070.0091316591.04420653.9E-4
6.51.4189697E-51.5557987E-52.2555472E-414.4976812.1E-46.081157E-56.6675726E-52.9666038E-44.44930122.3E-47.401293E-48.115349E-40.00108131581.33243292.7E-40.00737669130.0080916560.0084189861.04045273.3E-4
6.61.3469301E-51.4771577E-52.1476862E-414.5393152.0E-45.7724297E-56.330556E-52.8329162E-44.4749882.2E-47.025667E-47.7053264E-40.00103033231.33716892.6E-40.00700349640.00768451440.0080020551.04132223.2E-4
6.71.3027966E-51.4281745E-51.9427917E-413.6033221.8E-45.5832945E-56.120638E-52.5119475E-44.10406161.9E-46.7955407E-47.4499263E-49.648287E-41.2950852.2E-40.0067747980.00743082860.00770874831.03740082.8E-4
6.85.695434E-66.2244176E-67.622398E-512.2459627.0E-52.4408775E-52.6675973E-51.0667384E-43.99887358.0E-52.971363E-43.2476155E-44.0473556E-41.24625468.0E-50.00296739330.00324581050.00333551831.02763819.0E-5
6.94.385688E-64.7930553E-67.479272E-515.6043937.0E-51.879567E-52.0541665E-51.0054002E-44.89444358.0E-52.2881327E-42.5009477E-43.3007478E-41.31979878.0E-50.0022857780.00250094780.00259072261.03589639.0E-5

Death Valley (No)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.0074807E-52.2500084E-52.3249535E-410.3330892.1E-48.603206E-59.642541E-53.5640033E-43.69612482.6E-40.0010469370.00117335450.0014929791.27240243.2E-40.0104201830.0116725060.0120283051.03048173.6E-4
6.12.0074807E-52.2500084E-52.3249535E-410.3330892.1E-48.603206E-59.642541E-53.5640033E-43.69612482.6E-40.0010469370.00117335450.0014929791.27240243.2E-40.0104201830.0116725060.0120283051.03048173.6E-4
6.22.0074807E-52.2500084E-52.3249535E-410.3330892.1E-48.603206E-59.642541E-53.5640033E-43.69612482.6E-40.0010469370.00117335450.0014929791.27240243.2E-40.0104201830.0116725060.0120283051.03048173.6E-4
6.31.9050609E-52.1336948E-52.2133268E-410.3732122.0E-48.164292E-59.1440896E-53.4141802E-43.73375652.5E-49.935491E-40.0011127310.00142238621.27828383.1E-40.0098911880.0110724190.0114185441.03126013.5E-4
6.41.9050609E-52.1336948E-52.2133268E-410.3732122.0E-48.164292E-59.1440896E-53.4141802E-43.73375652.5E-49.935491E-40.0011127310.00142238621.27828383.1E-40.0098911880.0110724190.0114185441.03126013.5E-4
6.51.8367004E-52.0561009E-52.2055689E-410.726952.0E-47.8713354E-58.811567E-53.3809364E-43.83692982.5E-49.5791375E-40.00107228690.00138195441.28879183.1E-40.0095379510.01067191550.011018181.03244643.5E-4
6.61.779439E-51.9910927E-52.0990714E-410.5423091.9E-47.625944E-58.53298E-53.2530932E-43.81237672.4E-49.280632E-40.00103840150.00133808991.28860563.0E-40.0092419690.0103362530.0106727391.03255393.4E-4
6.71.7025437E-51.9043426E-52.090398E-410.9770071.9E-47.296412E-58.161216E-53.2159258E-43.9404982.4E-48.87976E-49.931813E-40.00129288331.30175963.0E-40.0088443620.0098881450.0102247831.03404463.4E-4
6.81.6545107E-51.8512545E-52.0850902E-411.2631211.9E-47.090568E-57.93371E-53.1931806E-44.02482652.4E-48.629347E-49.655073E-40.00126521771.31041753.0E-40.0085959150.0096138290.00995056051.03502573.4E-4
6.91.615478E-51.8087594E-51.9808434E-410.9513921.8E-46.9232934E-57.751599E-53.0749815E-43.96689962.3E-48.4258494E-49.433546E-40.00122309051.29653312.8E-40.0083939730.0093941960.0097111891.03374363.2E-4
7.01.5894311E-51.780555E-51.9780235E-411.1090281.8E-46.81167E-57.6307304E-53.0628976E-44.01389842.3E-48.2900526E-49.286515E-40.00120839151.30123252.8E-40.0082591950.0092483970.0095654381.03428053.2E-4
7.11.5602263E-51.7483504E-51.9748036E-411.2952391.8E-46.6865134E-57.492718E-53.0490995E-44.0694172.3E-48.137789E-49.118627E-40.00119160741.30678382.8E-40.0081080520.0090818940.00939898751.0349153.2E-4
7.21.5323829E-51.717063E-51.9716754E-411.4828371.8E-46.56719E-57.358637E-52.935702E-43.9894642.2E-47.99262E-48.9555193E-40.00116531021.301222.7E-40.0079639340.0089201070.0092273411.03444293.1E-4
7.31.4556212E-51.6302456E-51.8629969E-411.4277071.7E-46.238227E-56.9865826E-52.7985114E-44.00555132.1E-47.592395E-48.5029035E-40.00111006921.30551792.6E-40.00756650740.0084710140.0087684731.03511493.0E-4
7.41.411725E-51.580796E-51.8580527E-411.7539061.7E-46.0501097E-56.7746674E-52.7773244E-44.0995732.1E-47.363519E-48.245094E-40.00108429511.3150792.6E-40.00733916740.0082151380.0085126741.03621793.0E-4
7.51.3503312E-51.5126289E-51.8512372E-412.2385421.7E-45.7870053E-56.482538E-52.7481175E-44.2392622.1E-47.043401E-47.8896893E-40.00104876391.32928412.6E-40.0070211190.0078623040.0081599461.03785673.0E-4
7.61.1279839E-51.2626327E-51.5262456E-412.0878041.4E-44.834127E-55.4111737E-52.34102E-44.326271.8E-45.88396E-46.5861654E-48.7847165E-41.33381352.2E-40.0058684050.0065671990.0068155571.0378182.5E-4
7.79.189108E-61.0283358E-51.3028212E-412.669221.2E-43.93813E-54.407082E-51.9406421E-44.4034631.5E-44.7936183E-45.3643517E-47.2633324E-41.35400011.9E-40.0047832910.0053519140.005560791.03902832.1E-4
7.83.4586725E-73.6482615E-73.6482615E-71.00.01.4822873E-61.5635396E-61.5635396E-61.00.01.80467E-51.9035933E-51.9035933E-51.00.01.8045233E-41.9034347E-41.9034347E-41.00.0
7.92.5591178E-92.6696718E-92.6696718E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.14414505E-81.14414505E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3929966E-71.3929966E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3929966E-61.3929966E-61.00.0

Red Pass

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.258278E-68.551265E-61.4855007E-417.3717061.4E-43.539214E-53.6647863E-52.0664163E-45.6385721.7E-44.308141E-44.4611428E-46.860072E-41.53773882.4E-40.00429979850.0044539450.00473269771.06258562.8E-4
6.13.649988E-63.7753161E-69.377498E-524.8389749.0E-51.5642712E-51.6179853E-51.2617807E-47.79846861.1E-41.9043336E-41.9697666E-43.1695302E-41.60908931.2E-40.00190270260.0019684880.0020982321.06591061.3E-4
6.23.649988E-63.7753161E-69.377498E-524.8389749.0E-51.5642712E-51.6179853E-51.2617807E-47.79846861.1E-41.9043336E-41.9697666E-43.1695302E-41.60908931.2E-40.00190270260.0019684880.0020982321.06591061.3E-4
6.31.3924937E-61.4411166E-62.1441088E-514.8781072.0E-55.9678164E-66.1762075E-62.6176083E-54.2382132.0E-57.265574E-57.519415E-59.519264E-51.26595822.0E-57.263199E-47.518258E-47.7181077E-41.02658192.0E-5
6.41.3924937E-61.4411166E-62.1441088E-514.8781072.0E-55.9678164E-66.1762075E-62.6176083E-54.2382132.0E-57.265574E-57.519415E-59.519264E-51.26595822.0E-57.263199E-47.518258E-47.7181077E-41.02658192.0E-5
6.59.876812E-71.0221912E-62.1022171E-520.565792.0E-54.2329125E-64.3808195E-62.4380732E-55.56533582.0E-55.153449E-55.3336476E-57.333541E-51.37495792.0E-55.1522546E-45.333648E-45.533541E-41.03747772.0E-5

San Andreas (Parkfield)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.556969E-47.778562E-49.3773176E-41.20553351.6E-40.00237938480.00332995830.00349939221.05088171.7E-40.0285869630.0402350430.0404749851.00596342.5E-40.251762840.33719730.337382881.00055042.8E-4
6.11.925858E-43.0278185E-43.7276064E-41.23111957.0E-58.2510663E-40.0012970850.00136699411.05389717.0E-50.00999948850.015773930.0158920361.00748751.2E-40.0956132560.149758250.149885771.00085161.5E-4
6.29.4306815E-51.8243887E-42.524261E-41.38362017.0E-54.0410945E-47.8164786E-48.515931E-41.08948457.0E-50.00490893840.0094752460.009594111.01254461.2E-40.0480190630.09185650.091992731.0014831.5E-4
6.39.283051E-51.794041E-42.4939154E-41.39011067.0E-53.9778434E-47.686494E-48.3859556E-41.09099897.0E-50.00483227470.0093183550.0094372361.01275781.2E-40.0472853850.0905094740.0906458941.00150731.5E-4
6.49.138826E-51.7702584E-42.4701344E-41.39535257.0E-53.916052E-47.5846276E-48.284096E-41.0922227.0E-50.00475737450.0091953870.0093142841.012931.2E-40.0465680920.08941360.089550181.00152751.5E-4
6.59.000255E-51.746064E-42.4459418E-41.40083177.0E-53.8566816E-47.4809964E-48.1804727E-41.09350047.0E-50.00468540470.0090702840.0091891961.013111.2E-40.0458784030.088296080.088432831.00154891.5E-4
6.68.8109264E-51.7141816E-42.4140616E-41.40828817.0E-53.7755648E-47.3444354E-48.0439216E-41.09524027.0E-50.00458706540.0089054040.0090243361.0133551.2E-40.044935290.086827070.086964051.00157761.5E-4
6.78.738073E-51.7008898E-42.3007879E-41.35269656.0E-53.7443507E-47.287503E-47.887066E-41.08227286.0E-50.00454922160.0088366950.0089457231.0123381.1E-40.044572130.08622680.0863547251.00148371.4E-4
6.88.710195E-51.6954402E-42.2953385E-41.35383056.0E-53.7324068E-47.26416E-47.8637246E-41.08253736.0E-50.00453474050.0088085130.0089175441.0123781.1E-40.044433130.085974360.086102321.00148841.4E-4
6.98.6801556E-51.6895356E-42.2894342E-41.35506716.0E-53.7195362E-47.238869E-47.8384345E-41.08282596.0E-50.00451913570.00877796950.0088870041.01242141.1E-40.0442833270.085700420.085828421.00149361.4E-4
7.08.5571606E-51.664819E-42.2647191E-41.36033956.0E-53.6668387E-47.132999E-47.732571E-41.08405616.0E-50.0044552410.0086501030.0087591511.01260661.1E-40.0436697270.084548360.084676531.00151591.4E-4
7.17.82589E-51.5128969E-42.112806E-41.39653026.0E-53.3535215E-46.4822397E-47.081851E-41.09250066.0E-50.00407527060.0078637380.0079728731.01387821.1E-40.0400134180.0774604450.07758961.00166741.4E-4
7.27.690929E-51.4866212E-42.0865319E-41.40353986.0E-53.2956956E-46.369685E-46.969303E-41.09413626.0E-50.0040051290.00772768260.0078368331.01412451.1E-40.03933710.076233410.076362741.00169651.4E-4
7.37.5543794E-51.4562748E-42.0561874E-41.41195016.0E-53.2371894E-46.239692E-46.8393175E-41.09609856.0E-50.0039341570.00757052560.00766976881.01310911.0E-40.0386523340.074797770.074918051.0016081.3E-4
7.47.4214564E-51.4263717E-42.0262861E-41.42058776.0E-53.1802364E-46.1115966E-46.71123E-41.0981146.0E-50.0038650650.00741564160.00751491.0133851.0E-40.037985290.073371520.073491991.00164181.3E-4
7.56.149578E-51.1191443E-41.7190771E-41.53606396.0E-52.6352672E-44.795452E-45.3951645E-41.12505856.0E-50.00320371780.0058228650.00592228261.01707361.0E-40.031579230.0585594620.058681851.002091.3E-4
7.66.0643448E-51.102009E-41.7019428E-41.54440026.0E-52.598746E-44.7220418E-45.321758E-41.12700376.0E-50.00315938280.0057339620.0058333891.017341.0E-40.0311484170.057720420.0578429141.00212231.3E-4
7.75.1652263E-59.175265E-51.4174805E-41.54489345.0E-52.2134806E-43.9316638E-44.4314674E-41.12712265.0E-50.0026915820.00477630460.00483601771.0125026.0E-50.0265921410.048536410.048622041.00176439.0E-5
7.84.8090482E-58.560165E-51.3559737E-41.58405095.0E-52.060858E-43.6681266E-44.1679433E-41.13625935.0E-50.00250620720.0044568070.00451653961.01340266.0E-50.0247813050.0453022640.045378641.00168598.0E-5
7.93.970278E-56.7507375E-58.750602E-51.29624392.0E-51.7014367E-42.8928524E-43.0927945E-41.06911592.0E-50.0020695310.00351636340.0035462581.00850153.0E-50.0205036360.035881760.0359299671.00134355.0E-5
8.02.8982335E-54.0698153E-54.0698153E-51.00.01.2420409E-41.7440901E-41.7440901E-41.00.00.00151113570.00212136280.00213134171.0047041.0E-50.0150090120.022011180.022040521.0013333.0E-5
8.11.8836186E-51.867974E-51.867974E-51.00.08.0724014E-58.005358E-58.005358E-51.00.09.823717E-49.742171E-49.842074E-41.01025461.0E-50.0097804030.0104877110.0105075011.0018872.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.473668E-65.473668E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3458366E-52.3458366E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.8556827E-42.8556827E-41.00.00.00450013950.00324817930.00324817931.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

San Jacinto (San Bernardino)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.409352E-53.598562E-52.2597879E-46.2796971.9E-41.461069E-41.5421498E-43.7418105E-42.426362.2E-40.00177740.00187595210.00211550181.12769512.4E-40.017632510.0193499920.0195951551.01266992.5E-4
6.13.409352E-53.598562E-52.2597879E-46.2796971.9E-41.461069E-41.5421498E-43.7418105E-42.426362.2E-40.00177740.00187595210.00211550181.12769512.4E-40.017632510.0193499920.0195951551.01266992.5E-4
6.23.409352E-53.598562E-52.2597879E-46.2796971.9E-41.461069E-41.5421498E-43.7418105E-42.426362.2E-40.00177740.00187595210.00211550181.12769512.4E-40.017632510.0193499920.0195951551.01266992.5E-4
6.33.409352E-53.598562E-52.2597879E-46.2796971.9E-41.461069E-41.5421498E-43.7418105E-42.426362.2E-40.00177740.00187595210.00211550181.12769512.4E-40.017632510.0193499920.0195951551.01266992.5E-4
6.43.400795E-53.5878285E-52.2587147E-46.29549261.9E-41.4574021E-41.5375503E-43.737212E-42.43062762.2E-40.00177294280.00187036190.0021099131.12807742.4E-40.0175886450.0192950740.019540251.01270662.5E-4
6.53.341482E-53.5138914E-52.2513224E-46.40692041.9E-41.4319851E-41.5058667E-43.7055355E-42.46073272.2E-40.00174204770.00183185220.00207141251.1307752.4E-40.0172845460.0189166160.0191618871.01296592.5E-4
6.63.3364955E-53.5076133E-52.1506981E-46.13151451.8E-41.4298483E-41.5031763E-43.6028607E-42.39683182.1E-40.00173945010.00182858230.00205816171.12555052.3E-40.0172589760.018884480.0191199481.01246882.4E-4
6.73.335922E-53.5065907E-52.150596E-46.1330111.8E-41.4296026E-41.5027382E-43.6024227E-42.39723922.1E-40.00173915140.00182804970.00205762921.12558712.3E-40.0172560350.0188792720.019114741.01247242.4E-4
6.83.327683E-53.4959972E-52.1495367E-46.14856531.8E-41.4260718E-41.4981985E-43.597884E-42.40147332.1E-40.00173485970.0018225320.0020521131.12596812.3E-40.0172137840.0188250450.0190605261.0125092.4E-4
6.93.3235785E-53.4900928E-52.1489465E-46.1572761.8E-41.4243131E-41.4956683E-43.5953542E-42.40384462.1E-40.00173272170.00181945670.00204903821.12618142.3E-40.0171927340.0187949110.01903041.01252942.4E-4
7.03.3197095E-53.4840854E-52.1483458E-46.1661681.8E-41.422655E-41.4930942E-43.5927806E-42.40626532.1E-40.00173070630.00181632780.002045911.12639922.3E-40.0171728940.018764290.0189997851.01255022.4E-4
7.13.3129716E-53.4721066E-52.1471482E-46.1839931.8E-41.4197677E-41.4879608E-43.5876484E-42.41111762.1E-40.00172719660.00181008840.0020396721.12683562.3E-40.0171383380.0187033660.0189388771.0125922.4E-4
7.23.3034008E-53.4588513E-52.1458228E-46.20386031.8E-41.4156665E-41.4822806E-43.5819694E-42.41652582.1E-40.00172221110.00180318430.00203276961.12732212.3E-40.0170892530.018635750.0188712781.01263842.4E-4
7.33.2956614E-53.4456265E-52.1445006E-46.22383361.8E-41.4123498E-41.4766137E-43.5763034E-42.4219632.1E-40.00171817960.00179629610.0020258831.12781122.3E-40.0170495570.0185684950.018804041.01268512.4E-4
7.43.2915937E-53.4377957E-52.1437177E-46.2357331.8E-41.4106068E-41.473258E-43.5729486E-42.42520242.1E-40.00171606080.00179221730.00202180521.12810272.3E-40.0170286930.0185287690.0187643231.01271282.4E-4
7.53.281791E-53.424287E-52.142367E-46.25638871.8E-41.406406E-41.4674691E-43.567161E-42.43082522.1E-40.00171095420.00178518090.00201477041.12860852.3E-40.0169784110.0184596520.0186952221.01276142.4E-4
7.63.2521442E-53.396782E-52.139617E-46.2989531.8E-41.3937015E-41.4556825E-43.555377E-42.44241212.1E-40.00169551090.00177085420.0020004471.12965082.3E-40.0168263280.0183172950.01855291.01286232.4E-4
7.73.0287873E-53.245191E-52.1244607E-46.5464891.8E-41.297987E-41.3907222E-43.49043E-42.50979692.1E-40.00157915370.00169189030.00192150111.13571262.3E-40.015679790.0175281990.0177639931.01345222.4E-4
7.82.6316151E-52.9662837E-51.9965779E-46.7309071.7E-41.1277862E-41.2712025E-43.2709484E-42.57311342.0E-40.00137221490.00154659130.0017662511.14202832.2E-40.0136377240.0160698780.0162961821.01408262.3E-4
7.92.0761147E-52.3417291E-51.8341355E-47.8323981.6E-48.897331E-51.0035596E-42.803379E-42.79343531.8E-40.00108271170.00122114980.00141091781.15540111.9E-40.0107745170.0127932720.0129907131.01543322.0E-4
8.01.5738568E-51.6032505E-59.6031225E-55.9897838.0E-56.744926E-56.8708934E-51.5870275E-42.30978359.0E-58.2088535E-48.3621085E-49.3612727E-41.1194871.0E-40.0081785960.0088657410.0089747651.01229731.1E-4
8.11.0105832E-58.329479E-64.8329144E-55.80218124.0E-54.3309992E-53.569728E-58.5695494E-52.4006175.0E-55.2717153E-44.3452822E-44.8450648E-41.11501735.0E-50.0052592270.00467687940.00473659861.01276916.0E-5
8.24.189207E-61.577699E-61.577699E-61.00.01.7953622E-56.7615497E-66.7615497E-61.00.02.1856341E-48.231879E-58.231879E-51.00.00.00218348589.562628E-49.562628E-41.00.0
8.31.2758221E-63.612677E-73.612677E-71.00.05.4677976E-61.5482892E-61.5482892E-61.00.06.65684E-51.8850264E-51.8850264E-51.00.06.6548464E-42.2739546E-42.2739546E-41.00.0

Elsinore (Glen Ivy) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6204086E-42.937271E-44.3368596E-41.47649291.4E-46.94276E-40.00125837780.00141817651.12698781.6E-40.0084200970.01523461750.0154315711.0129282.0E-40.0810811450.139624540.139805211.0012942.1E-4
6.11.6204086E-42.937271E-44.3368596E-41.47649291.4E-46.94276E-40.00125837780.00141817651.12698781.6E-40.0084200970.01523461750.0154315711.0129282.0E-40.0810811450.139624540.139805211.0012942.1E-4
6.21.6204086E-42.937271E-44.3368596E-41.47649291.4E-46.94276E-40.00125837780.00141817651.12698781.6E-40.0084200970.01523461750.0154315711.0129282.0E-40.0810811450.139624540.139805211.0012942.1E-4
6.31.0111737E-41.7703463E-42.4702222E-41.39533297.0E-54.332882E-47.5861585E-48.5854E-41.1317191.0E-40.0052625310.00921772050.0093465221.01397321.3E-40.05139640.087073930.0872017441.00146781.4E-4
6.41.0111737E-41.7703463E-42.4702222E-41.39533297.0E-54.332882E-47.5861585E-48.5854E-41.1317191.0E-40.0052625310.00921772050.0093465221.01397321.3E-40.05139640.087073930.0872017441.00146781.4E-4
6.53.6624708E-54.6391986E-56.6391054E-51.43108892.0E-51.569536E-41.9880968E-42.3880172E-41.20115754.0E-50.0019092350.00241818140.00247803631.0247526.0E-50.018929150.0236970610.0237654021.00288397.0E-5
6.62.5051324E-52.6147465E-52.6147465E-51.00.01.073584E-41.12056E-41.2205488E-41.08923111.0E-50.00130630470.00136347250.00138344521.01464842.0E-50.0129865250.0135657590.0135953531.00218143.0E-5
6.72.2189772E-52.2072489E-52.2072489E-51.00.09.509556E-59.459316E-59.459316E-51.00.00.00115717340.00115109960.00116108811.00867741.0E-50.0115116630.01146632250.0114762081.00086211.0E-5
6.81.6654378E-51.44376E-51.44376E-51.00.07.137396E-56.187399E-56.187399E-51.00.08.686314E-47.5306057E-47.630531E-41.01326921.0E-50.0086524390.00751007630.00752000141.00132161.0E-5
6.91.5042909E-51.2331886E-51.2331886E-51.00.06.446802E-55.2849886E-55.2849886E-51.00.07.8461546E-46.4326054E-46.532541E-41.01553581.0E-50.0078185090.0064179250.0064278611.00154821.0E-5
7.01.4361385E-51.1451172E-51.1451172E-51.00.06.154734E-54.9075545E-54.9075545E-51.00.07.490812E-45.973339E-46.073279E-41.0167311.0E-50.0074656120.0059609820.00597092231.00166761.0E-5
7.11.3265571E-51.0244736E-51.0244736E-51.00.05.6851208E-54.3905282E-54.3905282E-51.00.06.919436E-45.344183E-45.4441293E-41.01870191.0E-50.0068979310.00533460030.0053445471.00186461.0E-5
7.21.1596403E-58.504847E-68.504847E-61.00.04.9697923E-53.6448844E-53.6448844E-51.00.06.049042E-44.4367602E-44.4367602E-41.00.00.0060326030.0044293570.0044293571.00.0
7.31.0150827E-57.238537E-67.238537E-61.00.04.3502816E-53.102194E-53.102194E-51.00.05.2951806E-43.776281E-43.776281E-41.00.00.0052825810.0037702710.0037702711.00.0
7.49.080705E-66.352307E-66.352307E-61.00.03.8916725E-52.7223898E-52.7223898E-51.00.04.7370812E-43.314019E-43.314019E-41.00.00.0047269960.00330922570.00330922571.00.0
7.57.671649E-65.225419E-65.225419E-61.00.03.287808E-52.2394468E-52.2394468E-51.00.04.0021708E-42.7261977E-42.7261977E-41.00.00.00399497060.00272297840.00272297841.00.0
7.66.990086E-64.687336E-64.687336E-61.00.02.9957167E-52.0088435E-52.0088435E-51.00.03.6466747E-42.445504E-42.445504E-41.00.00.00364069640.00244292920.00244292921.00.0
7.74.163505E-62.329331E-62.329331E-61.00.01.7843471E-59.982813E-69.982813E-61.00.02.172226E-41.2153471E-41.2153471E-41.00.00.00217010380.00121475550.00121475551.00.0
7.82.2692414E-79.384417E-89.384417E-81.00.09.725317E-74.0218927E-74.0218927E-71.00.01.1840509E-54.8966467E-64.8966467E-61.00.01.1839878E-44.8965718E-54.8965718E-51.00.0
7.96.676829E-93.4397174E-93.4397174E-91.00.02.861498E-81.4741646E-81.4741646E-81.00.03.4838732E-71.7947953E-71.7947953E-71.00.03.4838679E-61.794794E-61.794794E-61.00.0

Sierra Nevada (No Extension)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.7690465E-66.9762887E-61.2697546E-418.2010041.2E-43.329549E-52.989824E-51.8989346E-46.35132551.6E-44.0529718E-43.6398612E-45.639133E-41.54927152.0E-40.0040455880.00363741540.00385661521.06026262.2E-4
6.17.7690465E-66.9762887E-61.2697546E-418.2010041.2E-43.329549E-52.989824E-51.8989346E-46.35132551.6E-44.0529718E-43.6398612E-45.639133E-41.54927152.0E-40.0040455880.00363741540.00385661521.06026262.2E-4
6.27.7690465E-66.9762887E-61.2697546E-418.2010041.2E-43.329549E-52.989824E-51.8989346E-46.35132551.6E-44.0529718E-43.6398612E-45.639133E-41.54927152.0E-40.0040455880.00363741540.00385661521.06026262.2E-4
6.37.7690465E-66.9762887E-61.2697546E-418.2010041.2E-43.329549E-52.989824E-51.8989346E-46.35132551.6E-44.0529718E-43.6398612E-45.639133E-41.54927152.0E-40.0040455880.00363741540.00385661521.06026262.2E-4
6.47.7690465E-66.9762887E-61.2697546E-418.2010041.2E-43.329549E-52.989824E-51.8989346E-46.35132551.6E-44.0529718E-43.6398612E-45.639133E-41.54927152.0E-40.0040455880.00363741540.00385661521.06026262.2E-4
6.57.7690465E-66.9762887E-61.2697546E-418.2010041.2E-43.329549E-52.989824E-51.8989346E-46.35132551.6E-44.0529718E-43.6398612E-45.639133E-41.54927152.0E-40.0040455880.00363741540.00385661521.06026262.2E-4
6.62.653E-61.6148208E-68.161469E-550.541028.0E-51.136995E-56.9206426E-61.0691995E-415.4494261.0E-41.3842035E-48.42556E-52.1424465E-42.54279421.3E-40.00138334158.4224E-49.921136E-41.17794641.5E-4
6.72.5902466E-61.5501544E-68.155003E-552.607688.0E-51.11010095E-56.643502E-61.0664284E-416.0522021.0E-41.351464E-48.088166E-52.1087115E-42.60715651.3E-40.00135064248.0852525E-49.58404E-41.1853731.5E-4
6.82.5853892E-61.5469546E-68.154683E-552.7144288.0E-51.1080193E-56.629789E-61.0662912E-416.0833361.0E-41.34893E-48.071472E-52.1070422E-42.61048081.3E-40.00134811148.06857E-49.56736E-41.18575661.5E-4
6.92.458257E-61.422029E-68.142192E-557.2575658.0E-51.0535345E-56.0943958E-61.0609379E-417.4084191.0E-41.2826028E-47.419676E-52.0418712E-42.75196811.3E-40.00128186277.4172183E-48.916106E-41.20208221.5E-4
7.02.4341468E-61.3989927E-68.139888E-558.1839188.0E-51.0432016E-55.9956697E-61.0599507E-417.6786041.0E-41.270024E-47.299485E-52.0298536E-42.78081751.3E-40.00126929847.297107E-48.796012E-41.2054111.5E-4
7.12.3652476E-61.3339427E-68.1333834E-560.972518.0E-51.0136736E-55.716885E-61.0571631E-418.4919431.0E-41.2340778E-46.9600865E-51.9959181E-42.8676631.3E-40.00123339266.957924E-48.45688E-41.21543161.5E-4
7.22.272158E-61.2502497E-68.125015E-564.987148.0E-59.737784E-65.358202E-61.0535766E-419.6628761.0E-41.1855107E-46.523417E-51.9522569E-42.99269061.3E-40.00118487846.5215176E-48.020539E-41.22985781.5E-4
7.32.1382127E-61.1419382E-68.114185E-571.056258.0E-59.163737E-64.894012E-61.0489352E-421.4330331.0E-41.1156279E-45.9582977E-51.8957524E-43.18170121.3E-40.0011150685.956712E-47.4558187E-41.25166681.5E-4
7.41.9048055E-69.574928E-76.0957434E-563.6635936.0E-58.163426E-64.103534E-68.410321E-520.495318.0E-59.9385186E-54.995939E-51.599539E-43.20167831.1E-49.934074E-44.9948227E-46.2941737E-41.26013951.3E-4
7.51.5373403E-67.559763E-76.075593E-580.367516.0E-56.5885843E-63.2398946E-67.3239666E-522.6055727.0E-58.021306E-53.9445007E-51.1944185E-43.02806028.0E-58.0184115E-43.9438053E-44.943411E-41.25346221.0E-4
7.61.0680322E-64.65941E-73.0465928E-565.38583.0E-54.577273E-61.9968884E-64.199681E-521.0311244.0E-55.5726876E-52.4311848E-57.4310636E-53.05656035.0E-55.5712904E-42.4309216E-42.9308E-41.20563335.0E-5
7.75.509146E-71.5578539E-71.5578539E-71.00.02.3610605E-66.676515E-71.0667645E-515.9778641.0E-52.8745531E-58.128628E-62.8128465E-53.460422.0E-52.8741814E-48.128342E-51.01281796E-41.24603262.0E-5

Ludlow

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.2407607E-52.3657254E-51.5365418E-46.4950131.3E-49.602906E-51.0138454E-42.4137035E-42.38074111.4E-40.00116852670.0012337020.00142346751.1538181.9E-40.0116240130.0122730420.0124903421.01770542.2E-4
6.12.2407607E-52.3657254E-51.5365418E-46.4950131.3E-49.602906E-51.0138454E-42.4137035E-42.38074111.4E-40.00116852670.0012337020.00142346751.1538181.9E-40.0116240130.0122730420.0124903421.01770542.2E-4
6.21.0781252E-51.1365663E-57.136498E-56.27899846.0E-54.620455E-54.8709102E-51.08706176E-42.23174266.0E-55.623952E-45.9287593E-46.928167E-41.16856931.0E-40.005609740.00591336140.00603265181.02017311.2E-4
6.31.0781252E-51.1365663E-57.136498E-56.27899846.0E-54.620455E-54.8709102E-51.08706176E-42.23174266.0E-55.623952E-45.9287593E-46.928167E-41.16856931.0E-40.005609740.00591336140.00603265181.02017311.2E-4
6.47.814439E-68.237729E-65.8237318E-57.06958445.0E-53.3490025E-53.530408E-58.5302316E-52.41621695.0E-54.0766477E-44.2974384E-45.197052E-41.20933719.0E-50.00406917740.00428927460.00438884551.0232141.0E-4
6.56.4986366E-66.85092E-64.6850644E-56.8385924.0E-52.7851002E-52.9360759E-56.935959E-52.36232264.0E-53.390332E-43.5740953E-44.3738095E-41.22375298.0E-50.0033851640.00356844320.00364815771.02233878.0E-5
6.65.582177E-65.8860055E-64.588577E-57.795744.0E-52.3923398E-52.5225498E-56.522449E-52.58565714.0E-52.9122844E-43.0707786E-43.870533E-41.26044028.0E-50.00290847060.0030666090.00314636341.02600748.0E-5
6.74.6858763E-64.940427E-64.494023E-59.0964264.0E-52.0082172E-52.1173091E-56.117224E-52.88915044.0E-52.4447302E-42.5775246E-43.277344E-41.27150857.0E-50.00244204230.00257459120.0026444111.02711887.0E-5
6.83.5584908E-63.7520183E-62.3751943E-56.33044432.0E-51.5250586E-51.6079981E-53.607966E-52.24376252.0E-51.8566006E-41.957566E-42.2575073E-41.15322153.0E-50.00185505020.00195588260.0019858241.01530843.0E-5
6.92.532834E-62.6710034E-61.26709765E-54.74390131.0E-51.0854958E-51.1447109E-52.1446995E-51.87357311.0E-51.3215111E-41.3935992E-41.4935853E-41.07174661.0E-50.00132072540.00139275290.0014027391.00717011.0E-5
7.01.7083285E-61.8019439E-61.8019439E-61.00.07.3213873E-67.722595E-67.722595E-61.00.08.913424E-59.40187E-59.40187E-51.00.08.9098496E-49.3980576E-49.3980576E-41.00.0
7.11.0905424E-61.1497619E-61.1497619E-61.00.04.6737446E-64.9275427E-64.9275427E-61.00.05.6901354E-55.999128E-55.999128E-51.00.05.6886784E-45.997606E-45.997606E-41.00.0
7.26.06668E-76.387277E-76.387277E-71.00.02.600003E-62.7374022E-62.7374022E-61.00.03.1654577E-53.3327433E-53.3327433E-51.00.03.1650066E-43.3323118E-43.3323118E-41.00.0

San Andreas (San Gorgonio Pass-Garnet HIll)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.31567E-52.3384395E-43.238229E-41.38478219.0E-53.5633717E-40.00100180250.00116164231.15955211.6E-40.0043297780.0121286220.0123261971.016292.0E-40.0424638280.112581870.112777111.00173412.2E-4
6.18.31567E-52.3384395E-43.238229E-41.38478219.0E-53.5633717E-40.00100180250.00116164231.15955211.6E-40.0043297780.0121286220.0123261971.016292.0E-40.0424638280.112581870.112777111.00173412.2E-4
6.28.31567E-52.3384395E-43.238229E-41.38478219.0E-53.5633717E-40.00100180250.00116164231.15955211.6E-40.0043297780.0121286220.0123261971.016292.0E-40.0424638280.112581870.112777111.00173412.2E-4
6.38.31567E-52.3384395E-43.238229E-41.38478219.0E-53.5633717E-40.00100180250.00116164231.15955211.6E-40.0043297780.0121286220.0123261971.016292.0E-40.0424638280.112581870.112777111.00173412.2E-4
6.48.059055E-52.2941893E-43.0940058E-41.34862718.0E-53.4534236E-49.828559E-40.00112271831.1423021.4E-40.00419643940.0119008190.0120786761.0149451.8E-40.0411807450.1105629650.110740851.0016092.0E-4
6.58.059055E-52.2941893E-43.0940058E-41.34862718.0E-53.4534236E-49.828559E-40.00112271831.1423021.4E-40.00419643940.0119008190.0120786761.0149451.8E-40.0411807450.1105629650.110740851.0016092.0E-4
6.67.619237E-52.2186468E-43.018469E-41.36050018.0E-53.2649786E-49.5050444E-40.00109037141.14715021.4E-40.00396786770.01151153350.0116894621.01545641.8E-40.038977640.107099540.107278121.00166742.0E-4
6.77.440636E-52.1862281E-42.9860533E-41.3658478.0E-53.188454E-49.3662075E-40.00107648961.14933351.4E-40.00387503460.0113442680.0115222261.0156871.8E-40.0380815640.10560810.105786981.00169382.0E-4
6.87.3735864E-52.1709445E-42.970771E-41.36842328.0E-53.1597257E-49.300753E-40.0010699451.15038551.4E-40.00384018150.0112654060.0114433781.01579811.8E-40.037744950.1049096960.105088711.00170642.0E-4
6.97.27575E-52.1478413E-42.9476694E-41.37238698.0E-53.117806E-49.20181E-40.00106005221.1520041.4E-40.0037893230.0111461820.0113241761.0159691.8E-40.0372535620.103857530.1040367561.00172572.0E-4
7.07.102591E-52.1062451E-42.9060766E-41.37974298.0E-53.0436125E-49.023664E-40.00104224011.15500761.4E-40.0036993030.0109314840.0111095171.01628631.8E-40.036383250.1019595340.1021391451.00176162.0E-4
7.17.028513E-52.0898094E-42.8896422E-41.382738.0E-53.0118722E-48.953274E-40.00103520211.15622741.4E-40.00366078970.0108466410.0110246881.0164151.8E-40.0360106860.101202430.101382191.00177622.0E-4
7.26.8498244E-52.050596E-42.850432E-41.39005058.0E-52.9353087E-48.7853306E-40.00101841011.15921651.4E-40.0035678830.01064418350.0108222671.01673071.8E-40.0351114050.099394490.099574611.00181222.0E-4
7.36.622592E-51.9733235E-42.5732053E-41.30399566.0E-52.8379448E-48.4543816E-49.653367E-41.14181831.2E-40.00344972430.0102451110.0104034711.01545721.6E-40.0339666120.0958912450.096053991.00169721.8E-4
7.45.1050705E-51.4690042E-42.0689161E-41.40837996.0E-52.1877038E-46.294222E-47.493467E-41.1905311.2E-40.0026602760.0076364820.00779526031.0207921.6E-40.026286540.072865540.0730324241.00229021.8E-4
7.53.9302922E-51.11307076E-41.713004E-41.53898936.0E-51.6843023E-44.7694342E-45.968862E-41.25148211.2E-40.00204870920.00579139540.00595046861.02746731.6E-40.0202992470.056011510.0561814271.00303361.8E-4
7.62.9851626E-58.4956984E-51.4495189E-41.70617976.0E-51.2792926E-43.6405068E-44.84007E-41.32950451.2E-40.00155642590.00442333470.0045826271.03601181.6E-40.01545569950.0431961450.0433683731.00398711.8E-4
7.72.1135214E-56.353527E-51.0353273E-41.62953164.0E-59.0576345E-52.722656E-43.722384E-41.36718831.0E-40.00110220910.00330980080.00344933731.04215861.4E-40.0109675820.032584560.032739351.00475031.6E-4
7.81.883379E-55.564576E-59.564353E-51.71879284.0E-58.0713755E-52.3846005E-43.384362E-41.41925741.0E-49.822468E-40.0028993890.0030389831.0481461.4E-40.00977916550.0286969780.0288523861.00541561.6E-4
7.91.5156185E-54.1662403E-58.1660735E-51.96005824.0E-56.495346E-51.7854095E-42.785231E-41.55999571.0E-47.9052144E-40.00217157040.00231126631.06432951.4E-40.0078771520.0217609460.0219174641.00719261.6E-4
8.01.1405907E-52.9976925E-54.9976326E-51.66715982.0E-54.8881542E-51.2846621E-41.784598E-41.38915745.0E-55.9497025E-40.00156295510.00163284561.0447177.0E-50.0059337980.0157740130.0158527511.00499178.0E-5
8.14.3511436E-67.369465E-67.369465E-61.00.01.8647626E-53.158304E-53.158304E-51.00.02.2701119E-43.844558E-43.9445196E-41.02600071.0E-50.00226779420.00411654450.0041265031.00241921.0E-5
8.22.3042528E-62.7328301E-62.7328301E-61.00.09.875332E-61.1712076E-51.1712076E-51.00.01.2022553E-41.4258524E-41.4258524E-41.00.00.00120160510.00159796370.00159796371.00.0
8.35.202968E-73.1590292E-73.1590292E-71.00.02.2298414E-61.353869E-61.353869E-61.00.02.714798E-51.6483244E-51.6483244E-51.00.02.7144665E-41.955901E-41.955901E-41.00.0

Manix-Afton Hills

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.3783202E-51.47110895E-51.3470932E-49.1569911.2E-45.906953E-56.30461E-52.0303727E-43.22045731.4E-47.189342E-47.6733343E-49.2721067E-41.20835441.6E-40.00716612770.0076485960.0078569891.0272462.1E-4
6.11.3783202E-51.47110895E-51.3470932E-49.1569911.2E-45.906953E-56.30461E-52.0303727E-43.22045731.4E-47.189342E-47.6733343E-49.2721067E-41.20835441.6E-40.00716612770.0076485960.0078569891.0272462.1E-4
6.21.3783202E-51.47110895E-51.3470932E-49.1569911.2E-45.906953E-56.30461E-52.0303727E-43.22045731.4E-47.189342E-47.6733343E-49.2721067E-41.20835441.6E-40.00716612770.0076485960.0078569891.0272462.1E-4
6.31.10494875E-51.1793136E-57.179243E-56.08764556.0E-54.7354086E-55.054109E-51.3053704E-42.58279068.0E-55.763835E-46.151744E-46.951252E-41.12996458.0E-50.0057489080.00613575570.00624508041.01781771.1E-4
6.41.10494875E-51.1793136E-57.179243E-56.08764556.0E-54.7354086E-55.054109E-51.3053704E-42.58279068.0E-55.763835E-46.151744E-46.951252E-41.12996458.0E-50.0057489080.00613575570.00624508041.01781771.1E-4
6.59.788949E-61.045432E-57.0453694E-56.73919446.0E-54.1951964E-54.480351E-51.2479993E-42.78549438.0E-55.1064545E-45.453555E-46.2531186E-41.14661348.0E-50.00509473630.00544109850.00554055441.01827861.0E-4
6.68.810006E-69.4136285E-65.9413156E-56.31139855.0E-53.775662E-54.0343548E-51.1034072E-42.73502787.0E-54.5958988E-44.9108086E-45.610465E-41.14247277.0E-50.00458640560.0049008390.0049903981.01827429.0E-5
6.78.80128E-69.404108E-65.940364E-56.31677535.0E-53.7719226E-54.0302748E-51.1029992E-42.73678427.0E-54.591348E-44.9058435E-45.6055E-41.1426177.0E-50.0045818740.00489589570.00498545541.01829289.0E-5
6.86.8994877E-67.380076E-63.7379854E-55.06496863.0E-52.9568899E-53.162856E-58.1626975E-52.58079985.0E-53.5994186E-43.8501783E-44.349986E-41.12981415.0E-50.0035935940.00384431290.0039040821.01554756.0E-5
6.94.9328037E-65.2709615E-61.5270909E-52.8971771.0E-52.1140417E-52.2589675E-55.2588995E-52.32801033.0E-52.5735417E-42.7500073E-43.0499249E-41.10906063.0E-50.00257056350.00274720950.00278709971.01452034.0E-5
7.03.347973E-63.59003E-61.35899945E-53.78548221.0E-51.4348378E-51.5385775E-53.5385467E-52.2998822.0E-51.746775E-41.8730981E-42.0730606E-41.1067552.0E-50.00174540250.00187192190.00190186581.01599633.0E-5
7.11.2073567E-61.293482E-61.293482E-61.00.05.1743755E-65.543492E-61.5543437E-52.80390721.0E-56.29962E-56.749156E-57.7490884E-51.14815661.0E-56.297835E-46.7487074E-46.84864E-41.01480771.0E-5

San Andreas (Carrizo) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1674632E-42.4324407E-43.4321973E-41.41100971.0E-45.002454E-40.00104205970.00115194511.10545021.1E-40.0060734930.0126137570.0127914861.01409021.8E-40.05910160.1206402260.120824891.00153082.1E-4
6.11.1674632E-42.4324407E-43.4321973E-41.41100971.0E-45.002454E-40.00104205970.00115194511.10545021.1E-40.0060734930.0126137570.0127914861.01409021.8E-40.05910160.1206402260.120824891.00153082.1E-4
6.21.1674632E-42.4324407E-43.4321973E-41.41100971.0E-45.002454E-40.00104205970.00115194511.10545021.1E-40.0060734930.0126137570.0127914861.01409021.8E-40.05910160.1206402260.120824891.00153082.1E-4
6.31.1674632E-42.4324407E-43.4321973E-41.41100971.0E-45.002454E-40.00104205970.00115194511.10545021.1E-40.0060734930.0126137570.0127914861.01409021.8E-40.05910160.1206402260.120824891.00153082.1E-4
6.41.1674632E-42.4324407E-43.4321973E-41.41100971.0E-45.002454E-40.00104205970.00115194511.10545021.1E-40.0060734930.0126137570.0127914861.01409021.8E-40.05910160.1206402260.120824891.00153082.1E-4
6.51.13136164E-42.3644442E-43.3642078E-41.42283241.0E-44.847792E-40.00101294120.00112282971.10848461.1E-40.00588622550.0122632710.0124410631.0144981.8E-40.0573273340.117610080.1177953851.00157562.1E-4
6.61.13136164E-42.3644442E-43.3642078E-41.42283241.0E-44.847792E-40.00101294120.00112282971.10848461.1E-40.00588622550.0122632710.0124410631.0144981.8E-40.0573273340.117610080.1177953851.00157562.1E-4
6.71.1149675E-42.3335687E-43.3333353E-41.42842821.0E-44.777557E-49.997191E-40.00110960911.10992091.1E-40.00580117340.0121040880.012281911.0146911.8E-40.056520510.11622910.1164146961.00159682.1E-4
6.81.1103589E-42.3237852E-43.3235527E-41.43023241.0E-44.7578133E-49.955293E-40.00110541981.1103841.1E-40.0057772630.0120536430.0122314741.01475321.8E-40.0562935840.115788940.115974621.00160362.1E-4
6.91.1053259E-42.3130233E-43.312792E-41.43223461.0E-44.7362508E-49.909206E-40.00110081161.11089791.1E-40.00575114970.0119981520.0121759921.01482241.8E-40.056045690.115304450.1154902351.00161122.1E-4
7.01.1005377E-42.3031076E-43.3028773E-41.4340961.0E-44.7157376E-49.866742E-40.00109656571.11137561.1E-40.00572630620.0119470210.0121248711.01488651.8E-40.0558097960.114856580.115042461.00161842.1E-4
7.11.0308142E-42.1540876E-43.153872E-41.46413361.0E-44.417027E-49.228548E-40.00103275331.11908531.1E-40.00536447760.0111781880.0113561771.01592281.8E-40.0523681380.108090420.108277721.00173282.1E-4
7.21.0027479E-42.094876E-43.0946665E-41.47725521.0E-44.296783E-48.9749607E-40.00100739731.12245321.1E-40.00521879220.0108725660.0110506091.01637541.8E-40.0509792120.105390860.105578731.00178252.1E-4
7.39.816942E-52.0423878E-43.0421835E-41.48952291.0E-44.2065824E-48.7501644E-49.849202E-41.12560191.1E-40.0051094930.0106015720.010769771.01586531.7E-40.0499359850.102975460.103154861.00174222.0E-4
7.49.5634205E-51.9793298E-42.9791318E-41.50512151.0E-44.0979648E-48.4800937E-49.579161E-41.12960551.1E-40.00497786370.0102759010.0104441541.01637351.7E-40.0486782530.1000678840.100247871.00179862.0E-4
7.58.052417E-51.6113915E-42.4112627E-41.49638538.0E-53.4505792E-46.9041376E-47.8035163E-41.13026679.0E-50.00419299030.0083734710.0085222151.01776371.5E-40.041147530.0828152450.082980341.00199351.8E-4
7.67.897024E-51.5767086E-42.3765824E-41.50730618.0E-53.384E-46.755574E-47.6549663E-41.13313339.0E-50.00411223850.008193970.0083427411.01815621.5E-40.0403696970.081158660.0813240561.00203791.8E-4
7.76.707427E-51.3277122E-41.9276325E-41.45184526.0E-52.8742946E-45.688955E-46.388557E-41.12297557.0E-50.0034938390.00690433850.0069937171.01294539.0E-50.0343941640.069053390.06916511.00161781.2E-4
7.86.147705E-51.2198445E-41.8197713E-41.49180596.0E-52.6344648E-45.226858E-45.926492E-41.13385377.0E-50.00320274360.0063451560.0064345851.0140949.0E-50.0315697640.06351720.063620211.00162181.1E-4
7.94.7636717E-58.8802946E-51.18800286E-41.33779663.0E-52.0414138E-43.8052857E-44.2051336E-41.10507694.0E-50.00248258840.0046231010.0046828241.01291846.0E-50.0245503650.0466293660.0467056331.00163578.0E-5
8.03.3554235E-55.2138024E-55.2138024E-51.00.01.4379594E-42.2342955E-42.3342732E-41.04474691.0E-50.00174930970.0027168630.00273680871.00734142.0E-50.0173560340.0278819050.027920791.00139464.0E-5
8.11.9175432E-51.9183564E-51.9183564E-51.00.08.217783E-58.221269E-58.221269E-51.00.00.00100005580.00100048050.00101047041.00998521.0E-50.0099556730.0107577710.0107775561.00183922.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.473668E-65.473668E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3458366E-52.3458366E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.8556827E-42.8556827E-41.00.00.00450013950.00324817930.00324817931.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

Death Valley (Fish Lake Valley)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.872328E-54.7265705E-51.4726097E-43.1155991.0E-41.6594635E-42.0255324E-43.425249E-41.69103621.4E-40.00201852460.00246356060.00264311721.07288491.8E-40.020002880.0243883380.0245932151.00840072.1E-4
6.13.872328E-54.7265705E-51.4726097E-43.1155991.0E-41.6594635E-42.0255324E-43.425249E-41.69103621.4E-40.00201852460.00246356060.00264311721.07288491.8E-40.020002880.0243883380.0245932151.00840072.1E-4
6.23.872328E-54.7265705E-51.4726097E-43.1155991.0E-41.6594635E-42.0255324E-43.425249E-41.69103621.4E-40.00201852460.00246356060.00264311721.07288491.8E-40.020002880.0243883380.0245932151.00840072.1E-4
6.32.8356371E-53.360979E-51.3360643E-43.97522351.0E-41.2152165E-41.4403443E-42.8401427E-41.97184981.4E-40.00147852190.00175227880.00193196341.10254341.8E-40.0146872350.0173918160.0175981631.01186472.1E-4
6.42.8356371E-53.360979E-51.3360643E-43.97522351.0E-41.2152165E-41.4403443E-42.8401427E-41.97184981.4E-40.00147852190.00175227880.00193196341.10254341.8E-40.0146872350.0173918160.0175981631.01186472.1E-4
6.52.4448687E-52.8607585E-51.2860472E-44.49547621.0E-41.0477588E-41.2259845E-42.6258128E-42.14179941.4E-40.00127489980.00149166160.00167139321.12049081.8E-40.0126761050.0148213920.0150282791.01395872.1E-4
6.62.1298161E-52.4660083E-51.2465761E-45.0550361.0E-49.127464E-51.0568197E-42.3566822E-42.22997571.3E-40.00111070220.00128595120.00145573261.13202791.7E-40.0110516720.012788530.0129859731.0154392.0E-4
6.71.8959729E-52.1781027E-51.21778845E-45.5910521.0E-48.125345E-59.334406E-52.2333192E-42.39256721.3E-49.888117E-40.0011358970.00130570391.14949141.7E-40.0098442340.011303570.0115013091.01749352.0E-4
6.81.6691629E-51.9018351E-51.1901645E-46.25797941.0E-47.153359E-58.150477E-52.1149417E-42.59486871.3E-48.7057345E-49.918857E-40.00116171711.17122071.7E-40.0086717080.0098763430.0100743691.02005042.0E-4
6.91.450505E-51.638954E-51.163879E-47.10135271.0E-46.216302E-57.0239046E-52.0022992E-42.85069251.3E-47.5657194E-48.5483363E-40.00102468841.19869911.7E-40.0075400130.0085163860.0087146821.02328422.0E-4
7.01.2940855E-51.4537972E-51.1453652E-47.87843851.0E-45.545963E-56.230414E-51.9229604E-43.08640891.3E-46.750118E-47.5829466E-49.281658E-41.22401731.7E-40.0067296510.00755768970.00775617831.02626312.0E-4
7.11.2544658E-51.4078208E-51.140768E-48.1030771.0E-45.3761712E-56.0333812E-51.9032597E-43.15454911.3E-46.5435225E-47.343222E-49.0419734E-41.2313361.7E-40.0065242880.0073195510.0075180871.0271242.0E-4
7.21.2489416E-51.4015674E-51.1401427E-48.1347691.0E-45.3524967E-56.0065824E-51.9005801E-43.16416241.3E-46.514716E-47.310616E-49.0093736E-41.23236861.7E-40.0064956510.00728715960.0074857021.02724552.0E-4
7.31.2368307E-51.3879812E-51.1387842E-48.2046081.0E-45.3005948E-55.9483587E-51.8947585E-43.18534681.3E-46.451563E-47.2397763E-48.9385454E-41.23464391.7E-40.00643286530.0072167820.00741533841.02751312.0E-4
7.41.2161707E-51.36478675E-51.136465E-48.3270521.0E-45.212056E-55.8489582E-51.8848198E-43.2224881.3E-46.3438306E-47.118836E-48.817626E-41.2386331.7E-40.0063257510.00709662070.0072952011.02798252.0E-4
7.51.1707948E-51.3145515E-51.13144204E-48.6070581.0E-45.0175953E-55.6336736E-51.8632942E-43.30742291.3E-46.10721E-46.856895E-48.5557293E-41.24775561.7E-40.00609045340.0068363210.0070349541.02905552.0E-4
7.61.0319538E-51.1579622E-51.1157846E-49.635761.0E-44.4225842E-54.9626036E-51.7961959E-43.61946251.3E-45.383166E-46.040347E-47.73932E-41.28127071.7E-40.00537014430.00602446030.00621331581.03134811.9E-4
7.78.937764E-61.0022779E-51.00021876E-49.9794559.0E-53.830414E-54.295409E-51.6294894E-43.79356051.2E-44.6625308E-45.228456E-46.8276195E-41.30585771.6E-40.00465276050.0052166640.00539572541.03432481.8E-4
7.83.108007E-73.284654E-73.284654E-71.00.01.3320023E-61.407708E-61.407708E-61.00.01.6217007E-51.7138715E-51.7138715E-51.00.01.6215823E-41.7137431E-41.7137431E-41.00.0
7.92.5591178E-92.6696718E-92.6696718E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.14414505E-81.14414505E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3929966E-71.3929966E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3929966E-61.3929966E-61.00.0

San Andreas (Cholame) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2302514E-42.5205986E-43.320397E-41.3173058.0E-55.27144E-40.00107981090.00116971381.08325799.0E-50.00639910860.0130679580.01322586651.01208361.6E-40.062179490.124384120.1245504841.00133751.9E-4
6.11.2302514E-42.5205986E-43.320397E-41.3173058.0E-55.27144E-40.00107981090.00116971381.08325799.0E-50.00639910860.0130679580.01322586651.01208361.6E-40.062179490.124384120.1245504841.00133751.9E-4
6.21.2203569E-42.502277E-43.3020767E-41.31962888.0E-55.2290526E-40.00107196530.00116186881.08386799.0E-50.0063478040.0129735780.0131315021.01217271.6E-40.0616951360.1235713140.1237378341.00134751.9E-4
6.31.2142645E-42.4908737E-43.2906746E-41.32109258.0E-55.202953E-40.00106708230.00115698621.08425219.0E-50.0063162120.0129148340.0130727671.01222881.6E-40.061396770.123065320.123231941.00135391.9E-4
6.41.1865206E-42.4414246E-43.2412293E-41.32759758.0E-55.0840975E-40.00104590680.00113581271.08595979.0E-50.0061723350.0126600440.0128180191.01247821.6E-40.0600368680.120859040.121026081.00138211.9E-4
6.51.17443946E-42.4207575E-43.2205638E-41.33039518.0E-55.032341E-40.00103705660.00112696331.08669419.0E-50.0061096770.0125535360.0127115281.01258541.6E-40.0594440770.119930080.1200972941.00139431.9E-4
6.61.13579066E-42.3516564E-43.151468E-41.34010588.0E-54.866766E-40.0010074650.00109737421.08924329.0E-50.00590920170.0121973450.0123553931.01295761.6E-40.0575451850.11684920.1170171.0014361.9E-4
6.71.1271412E-42.336088E-43.135901E-41.34237298.0E-54.829711E-40.0010007980.00109070781.08983839.0E-50.0058643310.0121170790.0122751411.01304451.6E-40.0571196970.116152750.1163206851.00144581.9E-4
6.81.1217975E-42.3249313E-43.1247453E-41.34401628.0E-54.8068175E-49.960202E-40.00108593051.09026969.0E-50.0058366080.0120595550.0122176261.01310751.6E-40.0568567250.115650610.1158186351.00145291.9E-4
6.91.1146753E-42.3098059E-43.1096212E-41.34626958.0E-54.7763053E-49.895428E-40.00107945371.09086119.0E-50.00579965770.0119815640.0121396461.01319381.6E-40.0565061270.114970270.115138421.00146261.9E-4
7.01.0965793E-42.2721413E-43.0719594E-41.35201088.0E-54.698779E-49.734129E-40.00106332531.09236829.0E-50.0057057680.0117873240.0119454391.01341391.6E-40.0556147360.113270110.113438591.00148741.9E-4
7.19.927982E-52.0540332E-42.853869E-41.38939768.0E-54.2541555E-48.8000396E-49.699248E-41.10218239.0E-50.00516714060.0106617080.0108200021.01484691.6E-40.050486340.103365730.103536091.00164821.9E-4
7.29.696786E-52.0044584E-42.804298E-41.39903038.0E-54.1551032E-48.587718E-49.486945E-41.10471089.0E-50.005047110.0104057030.01056403851.01521621.6E-40.049340090.101102330.101273131.00168931.9E-4
7.39.4727984E-51.9473763E-42.7472206E-41.41072928.0E-54.0591392E-48.343239E-49.242488E-41.10778189.0E-50.00493080870.0101108510.0102593341.01468551.5E-40.0482282680.098474120.0986363961.0016481.8E-4
7.49.220358E-51.8844259E-42.684275E-41.42445258.0E-53.9509835E-48.07362E-48.9728937E-41.11138429.0E-50.0047997170.0097855780.009934111.01517871.5E-40.0469736530.095558310.095721111.00170361.8E-4
7.57.71631E-51.5179155E-42.2178092E-41.46108887.0E-53.306571E-46.5037323E-47.3032116E-41.12292648.0E-50.00401832070.0078896170.0080285121.01760481.4E-40.039464330.0782891960.078445891.00200141.7E-4
7.67.5634416E-51.4838556E-42.1837518E-41.4716747.0E-53.241072E-46.357833E-47.1573246E-41.1257498.0E-50.00393886720.0077132560.0078521761.01801061.4E-40.0386977940.0766548740.076811841.00204781.7E-4
7.76.3783E-51.2359623E-41.7359004E-41.40449315.0E-52.7332708E-45.2959064E-45.8955885E-41.1132356.0E-50.00332267980.00642873070.00650821631.01236418.0E-50.0327343640.064544880.064647781.00159421.1E-4
7.85.863422E-51.14169685E-41.6416398E-41.43789465.0E-52.512653E-44.892069E-45.491776E-41.12258746.0E-50.0030548640.00593984970.00601937441.01338848.0E-50.0301320940.059661620.0597556531.00157611.0E-4
7.94.595283E-58.426815E-51.04266466E-41.23731762.0E-51.9692584E-43.6109926E-43.910884E-41.08304973.0E-50.00239493580.00438752770.00443730831.0113465.0E-50.0236928910.0443631370.0444300321.00150797.0E-5
8.03.2950178E-55.077396E-55.077396E-51.00.01.412074E-42.1758456E-42.2758238E-41.04594911.0E-50.00171784440.00264587530.00266582241.00753892.0E-50.0170462560.0271810720.0272199851.00143164.0E-5
8.11.9177472E-51.9183733E-51.9183733E-51.00.08.218658E-58.221342E-58.221342E-51.00.00.00100016220.00100048930.00101047931.00998511.0E-50.0099567280.0107578870.0107776721.0018392.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.473668E-65.473668E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3458366E-52.3458366E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.8556827E-42.8556827E-41.00.00.00450013950.00324817930.00324817931.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

San Jacinto (San Jacinto Valley) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.652694E-53.4401106E-51.6439664E-44.7788181.3E-41.5653463E-41.4742499E-42.9740288E-42.01731661.5E-40.00190414310.00179342330.00195313641.08905481.6E-40.0188790990.0185263030.0186931531.00900611.7E-4
6.13.652694E-53.4401106E-51.6439664E-44.7788181.3E-41.5653463E-41.4742499E-42.9740288E-42.01731661.5E-40.00190414310.00179342330.00195313641.08905481.6E-40.0188790990.0185263030.0186931531.00900611.7E-4
6.23.652694E-53.4401106E-51.6439664E-44.7788181.3E-41.5653463E-41.4742499E-42.9740288E-42.01731661.5E-40.00190414310.00179342330.00195313641.08905481.6E-40.0188790990.0185263030.0186931531.00900611.7E-4
6.33.652694E-53.4401106E-51.6439664E-44.7788181.3E-41.5653463E-41.4742499E-42.9740288E-42.01731661.5E-40.00190414310.00179342330.00195313641.08905481.6E-40.0188790990.0185263030.0186931531.00900611.7E-4
6.43.646941E-53.432268E-51.6431822E-44.7874531.3E-41.5628811E-41.4708891E-42.9706684E-42.01964141.5E-40.00190114680.00178933890.00194905261.08925861.6E-40.0188496450.0184861810.0186530391.0090261.7E-4
6.53.646941E-53.432268E-51.6431822E-44.7874531.3E-41.5628811E-41.4708891E-42.9706684E-42.01964141.5E-40.00190114680.00178933890.00194905261.08925861.6E-40.0188496450.0184861810.0186530391.0090261.7E-4
6.63.6442503E-53.4286066E-51.642816E-44.79149771.3E-41.561728E-41.4693203E-42.9690997E-42.02073031.5E-40.00189974550.0017874320.00194714591.08935391.6E-40.0188358690.018467450.0186343121.00903531.7E-4
6.73.6432113E-53.427164E-51.6426719E-44.79309371.3E-41.5612828E-41.4687021E-42.968482E-42.021161.5E-40.00189920440.00178668070.00194639481.08939161.6E-40.0188305490.0184600740.0186269361.0090391.7E-4
6.83.6409598E-53.4240697E-51.6423625E-44.79652171.3E-41.560318E-41.4673761E-42.967156E-42.02208281.5E-40.00189803180.00178506890.00194478331.08947241.6E-40.0188190230.0184442290.0186110941.0090471.7E-4
6.93.638078E-53.4201123E-51.6419668E-44.8009151.3E-41.5590832E-41.4656801E-42.9654603E-42.02326561.5E-40.00189653110.00178300750.00194272221.0895761.6E-40.0188042690.0184239630.018590831.00905721.7E-4
7.03.6294874E-53.408314E-51.6407871E-44.81407261.3E-41.5554018E-41.4606243E-42.9604053E-42.0268081.5E-40.00189205690.00177686230.0019365781.08988641.6E-40.0187602840.0183635450.0185304231.00908741.7E-4
7.13.6260717E-53.403942E-51.64035E-44.8189711.3E-41.5539382E-41.4587509E-42.958532E-42.0281271.5E-40.0018902780.00177458510.00193430121.0900021.6E-40.0187427960.0183411390.018508021.00909881.7E-4
7.23.6210204E-53.397364E-51.6396922E-44.8263661.3E-41.5517735E-41.455932E-42.9557137E-42.03011781.5E-40.0018876470.00177115880.00193087541.09017631.6E-40.018716930.0183074080.0184742961.00911581.7E-4
7.33.6119454E-53.386193E-51.6385752E-44.83898971.3E-41.5478847E-41.4511449E-42.9509273E-42.03351661.5E-40.00188292060.00176533980.00192505741.09047411.6E-40.0186704620.018249960.0184168571.00914511.7E-4
7.43.607848E-53.380943E-51.6380503E-44.8449511.3E-41.5461289E-41.4488952E-42.948678E-42.03512171.5E-40.00188078660.00176260520.00192232311.09061471.6E-40.0186494810.0182229560.0183898581.00915881.7E-4
7.53.5856774E-53.3619202E-51.6361484E-44.8667081.3E-41.5366284E-41.4407437E-42.9405273E-42.04097911.5E-40.00186923960.00175269670.00191241631.09112791.6E-40.0185359440.0181240570.0182909761.00920981.7E-4
7.63.286655E-53.2142278E-51.621381E-45.04438731.3E-41.4084904E-41.3774536E-42.877247E-42.0888161.5E-40.0017134880.00167576170.00183549361.09531891.6E-40.0170033610.0173438040.0175108561.00963181.7E-4
7.72.8882527E-52.9235205E-51.5923141E-45.44656371.3E-41.237764E-41.2528773E-42.7526892E-42.19709421.5E-40.00150593570.00152431180.00168406791.10480541.6E-40.0149577130.0158303380.0159976461.01056891.7E-4
7.82.4950225E-52.6526219E-51.4652303E-45.5237061.2E-41.0692515E-41.1367885E-42.5366293E-42.23139951.4E-40.00130103620.00138316210.00153295461.10829711.5E-40.0129344550.014411760.0145694541.01094211.6E-4
7.91.9881603E-52.150649E-51.4150392E-46.5795911.2E-48.520408E-59.216742E-52.3215452E-42.51883481.4E-40.0010368660.00112156150.00127139331.13359211.5E-40.0103204150.0117769980.0119351141.01342581.6E-4
8.01.563292E-51.5936288E-59.5935015E-56.019918.0E-56.6996516E-56.829659E-51.5829045E-42.31769189.0E-58.153773E-48.3119445E-49.3111134E-41.12020871.0E-40.008123920.0088103310.0089193621.01237541.1E-4
8.11.0045313E-58.300794E-64.8300462E-55.8187764.0E-54.305063E-53.557435E-58.5572574E-52.4054575.0E-55.2401534E-44.3303217E-44.8301052E-41.11541495.0E-50.00522781440.00465876660.0047184871.01281896.0E-5
8.24.1554413E-61.5648296E-61.5648296E-61.00.01.7808914E-56.7063957E-66.7063957E-61.00.02.1680194E-48.164734E-58.164734E-51.00.00.00216590549.479703E-49.479703E-41.00.0
8.31.2758221E-63.612677E-73.612677E-71.00.05.4677976E-61.5482892E-61.5482892E-61.00.06.65684E-51.8850264E-51.8850264E-51.00.06.6548464E-42.2739546E-42.2739546E-41.00.0

Calico-Hidalgo

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.0906612E-55.0704355E-51.4069979E-42.77490549.0E-51.7530227E-42.1728857E-43.1726685E-41.46011751.0E-40.00213221580.0026426780.00278230831.05283651.4E-40.021118730.0261528140.0262988921.00558561.5E-4
6.14.0906612E-55.0704355E-51.4069979E-42.77490549.0E-51.7530227E-42.1728857E-43.1726685E-41.46011751.0E-40.00213221580.0026426780.00278230831.05283651.4E-40.021118730.0261528140.0262988921.00558561.5E-4
6.24.0906612E-55.0704355E-51.4069979E-42.77490549.0E-51.7530227E-42.1728857E-43.1726685E-41.46011751.0E-40.00213221580.0026426780.00278230831.05283651.4E-40.021118730.0261528140.0262988921.00558561.5E-4
6.32.4242801E-53.0090967E-56.0090064E-51.99694693.0E-51.0389358E-41.289551E-41.6894995E-41.31014554.0E-50.00126417040.00156893120.00164880571.05091018.0E-50.012570030.0155822290.0156708271.00568589.0E-5
6.42.4242801E-53.0090967E-56.0090064E-51.99694693.0E-51.0389358E-41.289551E-41.6894995E-41.31014554.0E-50.00126417040.00156893120.00164880571.05091018.0E-50.012570030.0155822290.0156708271.00568589.0E-5
6.52.0286952E-52.5316054E-55.5315297E-52.18498873.0E-58.694118E-51.0849296E-41.4848862E-41.36864754.0E-50.00105799490.00132011860.00139002611.05295557.0E-50.0105297190.0131247010.0132036511.00601548.0E-5
6.62.0269223E-52.5297004E-55.5296245E-52.18588113.0E-58.6865206E-51.08411325E-41.4840698E-41.36892514.0E-50.00105707070.00131912580.00138903341.05299547.0E-50.0105205650.013114890.0131938411.006028.0E-5
6.71.799852E-52.2540933E-55.2540257E-52.3308823.0E-57.713423E-59.660051E-51.3659665E-41.41403654.0E-59.3870464E-40.00117549110.00124540891.05947967.0E-50.0093474930.0116943460.011773411.0067618.0E-5
6.81.7458793E-52.184258E-55.1841926E-52.3734343.0E-57.4821255E-59.360778E-51.3360403E-41.4272754.0E-59.10568E-40.00113909330.00120901361.06138247.0E-50.0090684590.0113341310.0114132241.00697838.0E-5
6.91.542884E-51.9026285E-54.9025715E-52.5767363.0E-56.612192E-58.153875E-51.21535486E-41.49052434.0E-58.04737E-49.922953E-40.00106222581.07047367.0E-50.0080182910.0098800430.0099493521.0070157.0E-5
7.01.468253E-51.803109E-54.803055E-52.66376283.0E-56.292361E-57.727389E-51.172708E-41.51759924.0E-57.658257E-49.4041653E-40.00101035081.07436517.0E-50.00763191840.0093657360.009435081.00740417.0E-5
7.11.3139281E-51.620139E-53.6201065E-52.2344422.0E-55.6309986E-56.943275E-59.943067E-51.43204273.0E-56.853584E-48.4502844E-48.9498615E-41.05911965.0E-50.00683248560.0084194490.0084690281.00588865.0E-5
7.21.1127404E-51.3867038E-53.386676E-52.4422492.0E-54.7688E-55.9428872E-57.9427686E-51.33651672.0E-55.8044674E-47.233172E-47.5329555E-41.04144563.0E-50.00578932980.0072107370.0072405211.00413053.0E-5
7.39.808154E-61.2176586E-51.2176586E-51.00.04.2034266E-55.2184383E-55.2184383E-51.00.05.11647E-46.351704E-46.4516405E-41.01573381.0E-50.00510470570.0063346250.0063445621.00156871.0E-5
7.47.942452E-69.792348E-69.792348E-61.00.03.4038632E-54.1966585E-54.1966585E-51.00.04.1434157E-45.108328E-45.208277E-41.01956581.0E-50.00413569850.0050975270.00510747641.00195171.0E-5
7.54.7121216E-65.7729717E-65.7729717E-61.00.02.019465E-52.4741115E-52.4741115E-51.00.02.4584212E-43.011891E-43.011891E-41.00.00.00245570320.00300856140.00300856141.00.0
7.62.21172E-72.6040198E-72.6040198E-71.00.09.478797E-71.1160082E-61.1160082E-61.00.01.1540374E-51.3587343E-51.3587343E-51.00.01.1539775E-41.3586794E-41.3586794E-41.00.0

San Andreas (Coachella) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1925945E-43.273077E-44.0728154E-41.24433838.0E-55.110118E-40.0014019980.00153181571.09259491.3E-40.00620383540.0169370680.0170746971.00812591.4E-40.0603347530.152676720.152803811.00083241.5E-4
6.11.1925945E-43.273077E-44.0728154E-41.24433838.0E-55.110118E-40.0014019980.00153181571.09259491.3E-40.00620383540.0169370680.0170746971.00812591.4E-40.0603347530.152676720.152803811.00083241.5E-4
6.21.07432395E-43.0231563E-43.8229144E-41.26454418.0E-54.603433E-40.0012949990.00142483061.10025621.3E-40.0055902860.0156537310.015791541.00880361.4E-40.054517310.141827840.141956551.00090771.5E-4
6.31.0718766E-43.0176868E-43.8174452E-41.26502378.0E-54.592948E-40.00129265730.00142248931.1004381.3E-40.0055775860.015625630.0157634431.00881961.4E-40.0543965550.141596050.141724811.00090931.5E-4
6.41.0355944E-42.9384956E-43.7382604E-41.27216828.0E-54.4375064E-40.00125875140.00138858781.10314691.3E-40.00538928850.0152186620.0153565311.00905921.4E-40.0526044960.138157950.138287231.00093571.5E-4
6.51.0227914E-42.9104383E-43.7102058E-41.27479278.0E-54.382655E-40.00124673850.00137657641.10414211.3E-40.00532283540.0150744390.0152123281.00914731.4E-40.0519713160.136942390.137071851.00094531.5E-4
6.61.0116757E-42.8870135E-43.5868114E-41.2423957.0E-54.3350324E-40.00123670870.00135656031.09691181.2E-40.00526513670.0149540080.0150820641.00856331.3E-40.0514212470.135919730.136040721.000891.4E-4
6.71.0050676E-42.8728697E-43.5726686E-41.24358887.0E-54.3067214E-40.00123065280.00135050521.09738921.2E-40.0052308340.0148812880.0150093531.00860581.3E-40.0510940850.135304640.13542571.00089471.4E-4
6.89.976819E-52.8532353E-43.5530355E-41.24526557.0E-54.2750788E-40.0012222460.00134209931.09805991.2E-40.00519249360.0147803280.0149084071.00866541.3E-40.0507282950.134456280.134577451.00090121.4E-4
6.99.77719E-52.802926E-43.5027295E-41.24966917.0E-54.1895514E-40.00120070480.00132056071.09982131.2E-40.00508885550.01452158950.0146497021.00882221.3E-40.0497388880.132284760.132406231.00091831.4E-4
7.08.500761E-52.4763815E-43.176208E-41.28260057.0E-53.6426744E-40.00106087790.00118075061.11299381.2E-40.00442594060.012840470.0129688011.00999431.3E-40.043388230.118136160.1182596161.00104511.4E-4
7.18.319876E-52.4366553E-43.1364846E-41.2872097.0E-53.5651738E-40.00104386620.00116374091.11483731.2E-40.0043319630.0126357730.0127641311.01015831.3E-40.0424848460.116356320.116480031.00106321.4E-4
7.27.563917E-52.2414974E-42.9413405E-41.31222137.0E-53.2412758E-49.602912E-40.0010801761.1248421.2E-40.00393911450.0116295590.0117580471.01104841.3E-40.038700180.107762020.1078869251.00115921.4E-4
7.37.082985E-52.07311E-42.5730062E-41.24113365.0E-53.0352117E-48.881761E-49.880873E-41.11249031.0E-40.00368910960.0107605530.010869371.01011251.1E-40.036284650.100284030.1003921.00107661.2E-4
7.45.146215E-51.4274761E-41.9274047E-41.35021855.0E-52.2053342E-46.1163295E-47.115718E-41.16339671.0E-40.00268168840.00742139430.0075305781.0147121.1E-40.026495570.070850490.070961991.00157371.2E-4
7.54.0285166E-51.0942422E-41.5941875E-41.45688725.0E-51.7263928E-44.6887697E-45.6883006E-41.21317551.0E-40.0020998570.00569370440.0058030781.01920961.1E-40.0208012540.0550130830.055126481.00206121.2E-4
7.63.1168736E-58.439599E-51.3439177E-41.59239525.0E-51.3357346E-43.616471E-44.6161094E-41.27641261.0E-40.00162504370.0043941910.00450370741.02492311.1E-40.0161321160.0428124780.042927341.00268291.2E-4
7.72.2100989E-56.239345E-59.239158E-51.48078973.0E-59.4715084E-52.6737314E-43.4735174E-41.29912738.0E-50.0011525460.00325041520.00334012251.02759879.0E-50.0114658670.0319021680.031998981.00303461.0E-4
7.81.7484861E-55.180078E-58.1799226E-51.57911183.0E-57.493296E-52.2198448E-43.019667E-41.36030558.0E-59.1192697E-40.00269931420.00278907131.03325189.0E-50.0090819380.0266417880.0267391221.00365351.0E-4
7.91.3967285E-53.8226146E-56.8225E-51.78477313.0E-55.985842E-51.6381606E-42.4380296E-41.48827258.0E-57.2853256E-40.00199263730.0020824581.04507639.0E-50.00726148770.0199110020.0200090111.00492241.0E-4
8.01.1887396E-53.106798E-55.106736E-51.64372962.0E-55.094499E-51.331417E-41.931337E-41.45058776.0E-56.200787E-40.00161979580.00168968251.04314537.0E-50.0061835130.0162805670.0163592641.00483388.0E-5
8.15.100864E-68.973766E-68.973766E-61.00.02.1860664E-53.845843E-53.845843E-51.00.02.6612106E-44.6813092E-44.7812623E-41.02135161.0E-50.0026580260.0049180920.00493799341.00404662.0E-5
8.22.3004484E-62.7863473E-62.7863473E-61.00.09.859027E-61.19414335E-51.19414335E-51.00.01.2002704E-41.4537729E-41.4537729E-41.00.00.00119962230.00159737820.00159737821.00.0
8.31.0424446E-75.814421E-85.814421E-81.00.04.4676187E-72.4918944E-72.4918944E-71.00.05.439312E-63.0338776E-63.0338776E-61.00.05.4391792E-53.189592E-53.189592E-51.00.0

Cady

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.9892565E-52.1858728E-59.18572E-54.2023127.0E-58.525106E-59.3677416E-51.9366805E-42.0673931.0E-40.00103743740.00114001670.00124989141.09637981.1E-40.0103260750.0113507010.0114989981.01306511.5E-4
6.11.9892565E-52.1858728E-59.18572E-54.2023127.0E-58.525106E-59.3677416E-51.9366805E-42.0673931.0E-40.00103743740.00114001670.00124989141.09637981.1E-40.0103260750.0113507010.0114989981.01306511.5E-4
6.21.9892565E-52.1858728E-59.18572E-54.2023127.0E-58.525106E-59.3677416E-51.9366805E-42.0673931.0E-40.00103743740.00114001670.00124989141.09637981.1E-40.0103260750.0113507010.0114989981.01306511.5E-4
6.31.1117327E-51.2176583E-53.217634E-52.64247682.0E-54.764482E-55.2184492E-51.0218188E-41.95808915.0E-55.7992124E-46.351925E-46.9515436E-41.09439966.0E-50.00578410220.00633687530.0064263051.01411269.0E-5
6.41.1117327E-51.2176583E-53.217634E-52.64247682.0E-54.764482E-55.2184492E-51.0218188E-41.95808915.0E-55.7992124E-46.351925E-46.9515436E-41.09439966.0E-50.00578410220.00633687530.0064263051.01411269.0E-5
6.56.103093E-66.672021E-66.672021E-61.00.02.615585E-52.8594131E-53.8593847E-51.34971211.0E-53.1840094E-43.480905E-43.58087E-41.02871811.0E-50.00317945120.00347668650.0034966171.00573272.0E-5
6.65.817237E-66.3656585E-66.3656585E-61.00.02.4930776E-52.728118E-53.7280905E-51.3665431.0E-53.034899E-43.3211018E-43.4210685E-41.03010051.0E-50.00303075770.00331736050.00333729431.00600892.0E-5
6.74.8846314E-65.3405684E-65.3405684E-61.00.02.0933967E-52.2888014E-52.2888014E-51.00.02.5484123E-42.7863772E-42.7863772E-41.00.00.00254549180.00278403910.00279401131.00358191.0E-5
6.81.7788773E-61.9399079E-61.9399079E-61.00.07.6237375E-68.313874E-68.313874E-61.00.09.281505E-51.01218284E-41.01218284E-41.00.09.2776294E-40.00101187650.00101187651.00.0
6.97.5455404E-78.297092E-78.297092E-71.00.03.233799E-63.5558937E-63.5558937E-61.00.03.937079E-54.3292483E-54.3292483E-51.00.03.9363815E-44.3287344E-44.3287344E-41.00.0
7.06.8578805E-77.541816E-77.541816E-71.00.02.9390883E-63.2322048E-63.2322048E-61.00.03.578281E-53.9351715E-53.9351715E-51.00.03.577705E-43.9347992E-43.9347992E-41.00.0

Brawley (Seismic Zone) alt 1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.2521618E-44.763429E-45.663E-41.18884969.0E-59.6485513E-40.00203990940.00215966461.05870621.2E-40.0116839880.0245445310.024671341.00516651.3E-40.110884230.213499230.213609341.00051571.4E-4
6.12.2521618E-44.763429E-45.663E-41.18884969.0E-59.6485513E-40.00203990940.00215966461.05870621.2E-40.0116839880.0245445310.024671341.00516651.3E-40.110884230.213499230.213609341.00051571.4E-4
6.22.198148E-44.6718874E-45.571467E-41.19255169.0E-59.417233E-40.00200073770.00212049761.05985781.2E-40.0114053430.0240785130.0242053831.0052691.3E-40.108374280.209935720.210046341.00052691.4E-4
6.32.1704129E-44.615455E-45.5150397E-41.19490719.0E-59.298453E-40.00197658920.00209635221.06059061.2E-40.0112622340.0237920340.0239189421.0053341.3E-40.1070827250.207826840.207937731.00053361.4E-4
6.41.876142E-44.004663E-44.7043827E-41.17472627.0E-58.038131E-40.00171516950.0018149981.05820321.0E-40.009742590.0206786620.0207863861.00520941.1E-40.0932636860.184577870.184675721.00053011.2E-4
6.51.7390939E-43.7478763E-44.447614E-41.18670257.0E-57.45113E-40.00160525610.00170509561.06219531.0E-40.0090340780.0193672930.0194751621.00556971.1E-40.0867552160.174400150.174499231.0005681.2E-4
6.61.591791E-43.4893592E-44.08915E-41.17189136.0E-56.8201777E-40.00149459260.00157447311.05344638.0E-50.0082719960.0180450080.0181333831.00489759.0E-50.079707740.163807870.163891481.00051051.0E-4
6.71.4268003E-43.2059717E-43.8057796E-41.18709086.0E-56.1134255E-40.00137327260.00145316281.0581758.0E-50.0074177230.016591710.0166802161.00533449.0E-50.071749560.151935940.152020741.00055811.0E-4
6.81.239713E-42.9055026E-43.5053285E-41.20644476.0E-55.3119735E-40.00124462740.00132452781.06419628.0E-50.00644816740.0150494820.0151381281.00589039.0E-50.062642430.138380510.138466671.00062261.0E-4
6.91.0180238E-42.6255674E-43.0254625E-41.1523084.0E-54.3622297E-40.00112476220.00118469481.05328466.0E-50.0052980890.0136089980.0136780451.00507377.0E-50.051735430.124964730.125034731.00056028.0E-5
7.07.6619996E-52.2400476E-42.639958E-41.17852764.0E-53.283301E-49.596704E-40.00101961281.06246156.0E-50.00399009320.0116221030.0116912891.0059537.0E-50.0391920660.107269820.1073412451.00066588.0E-5
7.17.5127435E-52.2083633E-42.608275E-41.18108964.0E-53.2193496E-49.461013E-40.00100604461.06335826.0E-50.00391251550.0114586480.0115278461.00603897.0E-50.0384434420.105833780.105905311.00067598.0E-5
7.26.788582E-52.0211334E-42.4210526E-41.19786874.0E-52.9090676E-48.6591556E-49.2586357E-41.06923086.0E-50.00353603860.01049220.0105614651.00660167.0E-50.0348030.0975036840.097575891.00074058.0E-5
7.36.399602E-51.8842232E-42.1841667E-41.15918683.0E-52.7423984E-48.0727716E-48.572368E-41.06188655.0E-50.00333375860.0097848970.009844311.00607196.0E-50.032841880.0913979860.091461591.00069587.0E-5
7.44.506759E-51.2530042E-41.5529666E-41.23939453.0E-51.9313251E-45.3689216E-45.868653E-41.09307865.0E-50.00234885260.0065172450.00657685431.00914636.0E-50.0232418050.0623645220.0624301551.00105247.0E-5
7.53.43289E-59.336103E-51.2335823E-41.32130323.0E-51.4711556E-44.0005764E-44.5003765E-41.12493195.0E-50.00178966030.0048598860.00491959461.0122866.0E-50.017753160.0470570660.047123771.00141757.0E-5
7.62.5980507E-57.053672E-51.00534606E-41.42528033.0E-51.1134028E-43.0226534E-43.5225024E-41.16536765.0E-50.0013547250.00367389480.00373367451.01627156.0E-50.0134649590.035842980.0359104721.00188297.0E-5
7.71.7292105E-54.9412036E-55.9411544E-51.20236981.0E-57.4106916E-52.1174872E-42.4174237E-41.14164733.0E-59.018782E-40.00257499840.00261489531.0154944.0E-50.0089822670.0252920970.025340831.00192695.0E-5
7.81.2927471E-53.9697254E-54.9696857E-51.25189661.0E-55.5402274E-51.7012001E-42.0011491E-41.17631613.0E-56.743139E-40.00206924630.00210916341.01929074.0E-50.00672271430.0204331450.0204821231.00239715.0E-5
7.91.0200774E-52.8748475E-53.874819E-51.34783461.0E-54.371687E-51.2320194E-41.5319824E-41.24347273.0E-55.321229E-40.00149895260.00153889261.02664534.0E-50.0053085050.0149928950.0150421451.00328495.0E-5
8.08.650396E-62.3279512E-52.3279512E-51.00.03.70726E-59.976552E-51.0976452E-41.1002251.0E-54.5126543E-40.00121396930.0012339451.01645492.0E-50.00450350160.0122121640.01224179751.00242663.0E-5
8.13.9368224E-67.3283345E-67.3283345E-61.00.01.6871985E-53.1406773E-53.1406773E-51.00.02.0539707E-43.8231048E-43.9230665E-41.02614681.0E-50.00205207310.00400153130.00402145131.00497812.0E-5
8.21.7101195E-62.2178374E-62.2178374E-61.00.07.329063E-69.504983E-69.504983E-61.00.08.922769E-51.15717055E-41.15717055E-41.00.08.9191867E-40.001266690.001266691.00.0
8.33.0346666E-81.721086E-81.721086E-81.00.01.3005713E-77.376083E-87.376083E-81.00.01.5834444E-68.98038E-78.98038E-71.00.01.5834332E-59.36379E-69.36379E-61.00.0

San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.986481E-40.00122759290.00128751921.04881616.0E-50.00256311240.0052455470.0053052321.01137836.0E-50.0307628460.061204910.061298791.00153391.0E-40.268354770.425934940.42600381.00016181.2E-4
6.15.015945E-40.00102179860.00108173721.058666.0E-50.002147920.00436785960.00442759741.01367686.0E-50.0258393510.051248370.051333761.00166629.0E-50.230327760.372856680.372925671.0001851.1E-4
6.24.073338E-48.1073755E-48.60697E-41.06162235.0E-50.00174454840.00346714770.00351697441.0143715.0E-50.0210340580.040933170.041009891.00187448.0E-50.191507820.313033460.31309531.00019759.0E-5
6.33.464099E-46.7391695E-47.1389E-41.05931454.0E-50.00148376920.00288295930.00292284411.01383464.0E-50.0179158730.0341895820.034257191.00197747.0E-50.165383590.27131660.271374881.00021488.0E-5
6.42.935057E-45.5442745E-45.844108E-41.05407993.0E-50.00125727510.00237253630.0024024651.01261473.0E-50.0152002480.028264510.0283228141.00206286.0E-50.142015770.232985290.233038981.00023047.0E-5
6.52.3409708E-44.2093755E-44.5092494E-41.07123953.0E-50.00100288750.00180196840.00183191441.01661853.0E-50.0121419650.0215874610.0216461661.00271946.0E-50.114995730.186823680.18688061.00030477.0E-5
6.61.5842178E-42.506933E-42.8068578E-41.11963813.0E-56.7877385E-40.00107394970.00110391751.02790433.0E-50.00823280.0129955750.0130547951.0045576.0E-50.079343960.123146380.1232077551.00049847.0E-5
6.71.5616413E-42.4605883E-42.7605143E-41.12189213.0E-56.691031E-40.00105410690.00108407521.02843013.0E-50.00811594350.012757440.0128166751.00464316.0E-50.07825860.121173510.121235031.00050777.0E-5
6.81.5538467E-42.4429744E-42.7429013E-41.12277113.0E-56.6576427E-40.00104656450.00107653311.02863533.0E-50.0080755960.0126668380.0127260791.00467686.0E-50.077883580.1204043550.120465931.00051147.0E-5
6.91.5153569E-42.3539034E-42.6538328E-41.12741793.0E-56.49277E-40.00100842760.00103839731.02971923.0E-50.0078763330.012209010.0122682781.00485446.0E-50.076029520.116474450.11653631.0005317.0E-5
7.01.4588932E-42.2396253E-42.539558E-41.1339213.0E-56.250901E-49.5948833E-49.894596E-41.03123663.0E-50.00758394740.0116196970.0116789991.00510366.0E-50.0733028950.111320460.111382661.00055897.0E-5
7.11.1565079E-41.6281738E-41.928125E-41.18422563.0E-54.955521E-46.9760304E-47.275821E-41.04297443.0E-50.0060166690.00846044350.0085199351.00703186.0E-50.0585635380.083670460.08373461.00076667.0E-5
7.21.0393792E-41.4615769E-41.761533E-41.20522773.0E-54.4537216E-46.2624045E-46.562217E-41.04787493.0E-50.0054089330.00759799270.0076575371.00783686.0E-50.0527915950.075619690.07568441.00085577.0E-5
7.39.332884E-51.2780898E-41.5780515E-41.23469533.0E-53.999194E-45.4763845E-45.77622E-41.05475073.0E-50.00485815340.0066472490.00669691671.00747195.0E-50.0475331020.066483260.0665392651.00084256.0E-5
7.48.670252E-51.17032345E-41.4702883E-41.25630943.0E-53.715293E-45.0147134E-45.314563E-41.0597943.0E-50.0045139910.0060884430.00613813851.00816235.0E-50.0442339370.0611516420.0612079761.00092116.0E-5
7.57.3036405E-59.005856E-51.2005586E-41.33308663.0E-53.129756E-43.8590826E-44.1589668E-41.07770873.0E-50.00380382170.00468833230.0047380981.01061485.0E-50.037393670.0478777920.047934921.00119326.0E-5
7.66.3935775E-58.280385E-51.1280136E-41.3622723.0E-52.7398168E-43.5482543E-43.848148E-41.08451873.0E-50.00333062540.0043114610.0043612461.0115475.0E-50.0328114740.043992010.0440493671.00130396.0E-5
7.75.5050095E-56.6618326E-58.6616994E-51.30019772.0E-52.3590765E-42.854759E-43.054702E-41.07003842.0E-50.00286839270.0034701340.003500031.00861533.0E-50.02831650.0357962140.035834781.00107744.0E-5
7.85.027131E-56.162871E-58.162747E-51.32450412.0E-52.1543067E-42.640963E-42.8409102E-41.07570992.0E-50.00261971350.0032106350.00324053881.0093143.0E-50.0258904530.033126660.0331653361.00116754.0E-5
7.93.7271806E-55.022507E-55.022507E-51.00.01.5972654E-42.1523255E-42.1523255E-41.00.00.00194293590.0026173090.0026272831.00381081.0E-50.0192603620.0270674660.0270869231.0007192.0E-5
8.02.7310243E-53.1427757E-53.1427757E-51.00.01.17038646E-41.3468343E-41.3468343E-41.00.00.00142401410.00163853830.0016485221.0060931.0E-50.0141492350.017213860.0172335151.00114192.0E-5
8.11.7940547E-51.7399378E-51.7399378E-51.00.07.688579E-57.456663E-57.456663E-51.00.09.3568244E-49.074711E-49.1746205E-41.01100971.0E-50.0093175250.0097986360.0098184391.00202112.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.473668E-65.473668E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3458366E-52.3458366E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.8556827E-42.8556827E-41.00.00.00450013950.00324817930.00324817931.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

San Andreas (North Branch Mill Creek)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.3461156E-52.3500992E-51.2349864E-45.25503971.0E-45.7689394E-51.00714664E-42.2070258E-42.19136481.2E-47.02142E-40.00122551460.00135535531.10594791.3E-40.00699927660.0122287440.01236703251.01130841.4E-4
6.11.3461156E-52.3500992E-51.2349864E-45.25503971.0E-45.7689394E-51.00714664E-42.2070258E-42.19136481.2E-47.02142E-40.00122551460.00135535531.10594791.3E-40.00699927660.0122287440.01236703251.01130841.4E-4
6.21.3461156E-52.3500992E-51.2349864E-45.25503971.0E-45.7689394E-51.00714664E-42.2070258E-42.19136481.2E-47.02142E-40.00122551460.00135535531.10594791.3E-40.00699927660.0122287440.01236703251.01130841.4E-4
6.31.3461156E-52.3500992E-51.2349864E-45.25503971.0E-45.7689394E-51.00714664E-42.2070258E-42.19136481.2E-47.02142E-40.00122551460.00135535531.10594791.3E-40.00699927660.0122287440.01236703251.01130841.4E-4
6.41.3461156E-52.3500992E-51.2349864E-45.25503971.0E-45.7689394E-51.00714664E-42.2070258E-42.19136481.2E-47.02142E-40.00122551460.00135535531.10594791.3E-40.00699927660.0122287440.01236703251.01130841.4E-4
6.51.3450706E-52.348995E-51.234876E-45.25703951.0E-45.764461E-51.00667356E-42.2065527E-42.19192481.2E-47.0159714E-40.00122493920.001354781.10599771.3E-40.0069938620.0122230540.0123613431.01131381.4E-4
6.61.3074523E-52.3104236E-51.2310193E-45.32811071.0E-45.6032466E-59.901441E-52.1900253E-42.2118251.2E-46.8198174E-40.0012048370.00133468041.10776841.3E-40.0067989260.0120242190.0121625351.01150321.4E-4
6.71.3050216E-52.3079532E-51.2307722E-45.3327431.0E-45.59283E-59.890855E-52.1889668E-42.2131221.2E-46.8071426E-40.00120354960.00133339321.10788381.3E-40.00678632870.0120114840.0121498021.01151551.4E-4
6.81.29049395E-52.2927941E-51.2292564E-45.36139061.0E-45.530571E-59.825892E-52.1824712E-42.22114321.2E-46.73139E-40.0011956490.00132549361.10859751.3E-40.00671103640.0119333290.0120716581.01159181.4E-4
6.91.2867369E-52.2887343E-51.2288506E-45.36912731.0E-45.51447E-59.808494E-52.1807317E-42.22330931.2E-46.711799E-40.00119353320.00132337811.10879031.3E-40.0066915640.0119123970.012050731.01161241.4E-4
7.01.2495996E-52.2287419E-51.2228519E-45.48673631.0E-45.3553173E-59.551403E-52.1550257E-42.256241.2E-46.518148E-40.00116226580.00129211471.11172041.3E-40.00649906230.0116030.0117413761.01192581.4E-4
7.11.2452067E-52.2232492E-51.2223027E-45.49782131.0E-45.3364907E-59.527864E-52.1526721E-42.25934391.2E-46.4952404E-40.0011594030.00128925231.11199671.3E-40.00647628870.0115746710.011713051.01195541.4E-4
7.21.2002777E-52.1611015E-51.2160886E-45.627171.0E-45.143946E-59.261536E-52.1260425E-42.29556131.2E-46.2609545E-40.00112701140.00125686491.11521941.3E-40.0062433440.0112540580.0113924831.01231.4E-4
7.31.1923425E-52.1480853E-51.21478704E-45.65520861.0E-45.109939E-59.205757E-52.1204652E-42.30341221.2E-46.219575E-40.00112022730.00125008171.11591791.3E-40.00620219620.0111869450.0113253791.01237461.4E-4
7.41.16105175E-52.0854808E-51.20852725E-45.79495761.0E-44.975841E-58.93747E-52.0936398E-42.3425421.2E-46.0564023E-40.00108759630.00121745491.11939971.3E-40.0060399230.0108644090.0110028881.01274611.4E-4
7.51.1037265E-51.9554842E-51.1955289E-46.1137231.0E-44.7301706E-58.380379E-51.9379456E-42.31247971.1E-45.757461E-40.00101983570.00113971331.1175461.2E-40.0057425670.0101955270.01032420251.01262071.3E-4
7.61.0720915E-51.8996727E-51.1899483E-46.26396471.0E-44.5945973E-58.141202E-51.9140306E-42.35104181.1E-45.592486E-49.907428E-40.00111062391.12100121.2E-40.0055784330.0099072380.0100359511.01299171.3E-4
7.79.276279E-61.6442464E-51.1644082E-47.08171371.0E-43.9754876E-57.046581E-51.8045805E-42.56093071.1E-44.839081E-48.5758517E-49.774823E-41.13980781.2E-40.00482855740.0085865760.008715461.01500991.3E-4
7.85.8346777E-61.11555855E-51.1115447E-49.964021.0E-42.5005522E-54.7808775E-51.5780352E-43.30072281.1E-43.043997E-45.819165E-47.018467E-41.20609511.2E-40.00303983080.00584733350.0059765731.02210241.3E-4
7.94.690204E-68.509473E-61.08508626E-412.7515081.0E-42.0100719E-53.6468664E-51.4646465E-44.0161781.1E-42.4469878E-44.439156E-45.638623E-41.27020171.2E-40.0024442950.0044711650.00460058361.02894521.3E-4
8.02.9570454E-64.8470656E-64.484687E-59.2523764.0E-51.267299E-52.0772974E-57.077194E-53.40692385.0E-51.5428272E-42.5288164E-43.1286647E-41.23720516.0E-50.00154175660.0025499320.00261975361.02738177.0E-5
8.11.6376824E-62.1968672E-62.1968672E-61.00.07.01862E-69.415111E-69.415111E-61.00.08.544835E-51.1462297E-41.1462297E-41.00.08.54155E-40.00116074450.00117073281.00860511.0E-5
8.26.9631557E-74.535001E-74.535001E-71.00.02.984206E-61.9435704E-61.9435704E-61.00.03.63321E-52.3662713E-52.3662713E-51.00.03.6326164E-42.4510184E-42.4510184E-41.00.0
8.31.7876137E-78.357368E-88.357368E-81.00.07.661199E-73.5817288E-73.5817288E-71.00.09.32747E-64.3607465E-64.3607465E-61.00.09.3270784E-54.5800018E-54.5800018E-51.00.0

San Jacinto (Stepovers Combined)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.0667746E-53.5271103E-51.4526723E-44.11859041.1E-41.742787E-41.5115313E-42.7113498E-41.79377691.2E-40.00211977820.00183873720.0019684981.07057071.3E-40.0209967140.0189864950.0191238371.00723361.4E-4
6.14.0667746E-53.5271103E-51.4526723E-44.11859041.1E-41.742787E-41.5115313E-42.7113498E-41.79377691.2E-40.00211977820.00183873720.0019684981.07057071.3E-40.0209967140.0189864950.0191238371.00723361.4E-4
6.24.0667746E-53.5271103E-51.4526723E-44.11859041.1E-41.742787E-41.5115313E-42.7113498E-41.79377691.2E-40.00211977820.00183873720.0019684981.07057071.3E-40.0209967140.0189864950.0191238371.00723361.4E-4
6.34.0667746E-53.5271103E-51.4526723E-44.11859041.1E-41.742787E-41.5115313E-42.7113498E-41.79377691.2E-40.00211977820.00183873720.0019684981.07057071.3E-40.0209967140.0189864950.0191238371.00723361.4E-4
6.44.0577226E-53.5143014E-51.4513914E-44.1299571.1E-41.738908E-41.5060425E-42.7058617E-41.79667031.2E-40.00211506480.00183206690.00196182871.07082811.3E-40.0209504720.0189210620.0190584141.00725911.4E-4
6.54.0577226E-53.5143014E-51.4513914E-44.1299571.1E-41.738908E-41.5060425E-42.7058617E-41.79667031.2E-40.00211506480.00183206690.00196182871.07082811.3E-40.0209504720.0189210620.0190584141.00725911.4E-4
6.64.053861E-53.5088357E-51.450845E-44.1348331.1E-41.7372532E-41.5037002E-42.7035197E-41.79791141.2E-40.00211305380.00182922060.00195898281.07093851.3E-40.0209307430.018893140.0190304951.00727011.4E-4
6.74.0516545E-53.505743E-51.4505358E-44.13759851.1E-41.7363077E-41.502375E-42.7021946E-41.79861531.2E-40.0021119050.00182761010.00195737251.07100121.3E-40.0209194680.0188773370.0190146941.00727631.4E-4
6.84.049434E-53.5028992E-51.4502514E-44.1401461.1E-41.7353562E-41.5011564E-42.7009763E-41.79926371.2E-40.00211074880.00182612890.00195589151.07105891.3E-40.0209081250.0188627490.0190001071.0072821.4E-4
6.94.046386E-53.4991554E-51.449877E-44.14350561.1E-41.73405E-41.499552E-42.699372E-41.8001191.2E-40.00210916160.00182417880.00195394181.07113491.3E-40.0208925530.0188435220.0189808851.00728961.4E-4
7.04.036382E-53.4872126E-51.4486829E-44.1542721.1E-41.7297632E-41.4944343E-42.6942548E-41.80285951.2E-40.00210395250.00181795840.00194772221.07137881.3E-40.020841440.0187821370.0189195071.00731381.4E-4
7.14.0343282E-53.485059E-51.4484675E-44.15622141.1E-41.7288832E-41.4935112E-42.6933322E-41.80335571.2E-40.0021028830.00181683680.00194660051.07142291.3E-40.0208309480.0187710080.018908381.00731831.4E-4
7.24.0257353E-53.475509E-51.4475126E-44.1648941.1E-41.725201E-41.489419E-42.6892402E-41.80556331.2E-40.00209840850.00181186260.0019416271.07161941.3E-40.0207870420.0187217460.0188591261.00733791.4E-4
7.33.9940667E-53.458276E-51.4457895E-44.18066551.1E-41.7116306E-41.4820343E-42.6818563E-41.80957781.2E-40.00208191850.00180288660.00193265231.07197651.3E-40.0206252170.0186303870.018767781.00737461.4E-4
7.43.9721202E-53.4468165E-51.4446437E-44.1912411.1E-41.7022261E-41.4771236E-42.6769465E-41.81226971.2E-40.00207049030.00179691790.00192668431.07221621.3E-40.0205130520.0185695220.0187069211.00739921.4E-4
7.53.7036873E-53.3535776E-51.4353209E-44.2799691.1E-41.5871979E-41.4371685E-42.636996E-41.83485521.2E-40.00193070060.00174835130.0018781241.07422581.3E-40.0191401240.0180711280.0182085991.00760721.4E-4
7.63.2940967E-53.13167E-51.4131326E-44.51239251.1E-41.4116794E-41.3420754E-42.5419143E-41.89401761.2E-40.00171736450.00163275450.00176254221.07949011.3E-40.017041530.0169040910.0170417241.0081421.4E-4
7.72.8236149E-52.7882697E-51.3787963E-44.9449891.1E-41.2100645E-41.1949181E-42.3947746E-42.0041331.2E-40.00147225790.00145384290.00158365391.08928821.3E-40.0146254210.0151149120.0152527961.00912241.4E-4
7.82.4329287E-52.5206451E-51.2520394E-44.96713831.0E-41.042642E-41.08023174E-42.180113E-42.018191.1E-40.00126867740.00131438950.00143423191.09117711.2E-40.0126145890.0137123410.0138405581.00935051.3E-4
7.91.9370926E-52.0420413E-51.2041837E-45.89696071.0E-48.301561E-58.751312E-51.975035E-42.25684431.1E-40.00101024650.00106495220.00118482451.11256111.2E-40.01005666050.0111994020.0113279461.01147771.3E-4
8.01.5583017E-51.5885415E-59.588414E-56.0359868.0E-56.6782646E-56.807858E-51.5807245E-42.32191189.0E-58.127754E-48.2854216E-49.2845934E-41.12059391.0E-40.0080980910.0087816360.0088906711.01241611.1E-4
8.11.0024873E-58.291399E-64.829107E-55.8242364.0E-54.2963035E-53.553409E-58.553231E-52.40704975.0E-55.229494E-44.3254215E-44.8252053E-41.11554565.0E-50.00521720430.00465306550.00471278651.01283476.0E-5
8.24.142796E-61.5602761E-61.5602761E-61.00.01.775472E-56.6868806E-66.6868806E-61.00.02.1614227E-48.140976E-58.140976E-51.00.00.00215932179.4514614E-49.4514614E-41.00.0
8.31.2750878E-63.609817E-73.609817E-71.00.05.4646503E-61.5470634E-61.5470634E-61.00.06.653009E-51.8835339E-51.8835339E-51.00.06.6510175E-42.272251E-42.272251E-41.00.0

White Wolf (Extension)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.222555E-66.066615E-61.16065945E-419.1319121.1E-43.5239045E-52.5999556E-51.5599618E-45.9999551.3E-44.289509E-43.1650523E-44.4646408E-41.41060571.3E-40.00428123870.00316119660.00329078571.04099371.3E-4
6.18.222555E-66.066615E-61.16065945E-419.1319121.1E-43.5239045E-52.5999556E-51.5599618E-45.9999551.3E-44.289509E-43.1650523E-44.4646408E-41.41060571.3E-40.00428123870.00316119660.00329078571.04099371.3E-4
6.28.222555E-66.066615E-61.16065945E-419.1319121.1E-43.5239045E-52.5999556E-51.5599618E-45.9999551.3E-44.289509E-43.1650523E-44.4646408E-41.41060571.3E-40.00428123870.00316119660.00329078571.04099371.3E-4
6.38.222555E-66.066615E-61.16065945E-419.1319121.1E-43.5239045E-52.5999556E-51.5599618E-45.9999551.3E-44.289509E-43.1650523E-44.4646408E-41.41060571.3E-40.00428123870.00316119660.00329078571.04099371.3E-4
6.45.821773E-63.5571256E-65.355695E-515.0562435.0E-52.4950215E-51.5244741E-57.524383E-54.93572336.0E-53.0372653E-41.8559002E-42.4557888E-41.32323326.0E-50.00303311760.00185445860.00191434731.03229456.0E-5
6.55.766023E-63.4990599E-65.3498883E-515.2895035.0E-52.4711293E-51.49958905E-57.499499E-55.0010366.0E-53.0081844E-41.8256076E-42.4254981E-41.32859776.0E-50.00300411580.00182421610.00188410671.03283086.0E-5
6.64.643576E-62.3325733E-65.2332456E-522.4355055.0E-51.9900888E-59.9967065E-66.999611E-57.0019176.0E-52.4226638E-41.2170354E-41.8169623E-41.49294136.0E-50.00242002420.00121641120.00127633821.04926546.0E-5
6.73.9529173E-61.6482975E-64.1648233E-525.2674244.0E-51.6940963E-57.064114E-65.706376E-58.0779785.0E-52.0623671E-48.600239E-51.3599808E-41.58132925.0E-50.0020604548.597095E-49.0966653E-41.05810925.0E-5
6.83.4377522E-61.2244764E-63.122444E-525.5002383.0E-51.473314E-55.247746E-64.5247536E-58.622284.0E-51.7936122E-46.388952E-51.0388697E-41.62604074.0E-50.00179216526.3872064E-46.786951E-41.06258524.0E-5
6.93.1367306E-61.0033316E-63.1003303E-530.9003563.0E-51.3443062E-54.299986E-64.4299813E-510.3023174.0E-51.63657E-45.2351144E-59.234905E-51.76403124.0E-50.00163536525.233958E-45.6337484E-41.0763844.0E-5
7.02.8298145E-67.4282326E-71.0742816E-514.4621421.0E-51.2127721E-53.1835248E-62.318346E-57.2823252.0E-51.47645E-43.8758775E-55.8758E-51.51599222.0E-50.00147546933.8752513E-44.075174E-41.05158962.0E-5
7.12.4091064E-65.4223835E-71.0542233E-519.4420641.0E-51.03247E-52.3238767E-62.2323831E-59.6062882.0E-51.2569598E-42.8292874E-54.829231E-51.70687172.0E-50.0012562492.8289677E-43.028911E-41.07067722.0E-5
7.21.3875518E-61.0740268E-71.0107402E-594.107541.0E-55.9466374E-64.6029712E-72.0460287E-544.4501762.0E-57.23979E-55.604104E-62.5603991E-54.56879332.0E-57.2374323E-45.6039742E-57.603862E-51.35686962.0E-5
7.37.056077E-75.0002956E-81.0050003E-5200.988161.0E-53.0240296E-62.1429837E-72.0214295E-594.32782.0E-53.681694E-52.60908E-62.2609029E-58.6655172.0E-53.681084E-42.609054E-54.609002E-51.76654142.0E-5
7.45.9334678E-84.8638475E-94.8638475E-91.00.02.5429145E-72.084506E-82.084506E-81.00.03.095994E-62.5378858E-72.5378858E-71.00.03.095951E-52.5378843E-62.5378843E-61.00.0

Baker

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.695525E-65.8348373E-69.5834315E-516.4245059.0E-52.4409164E-52.5006228E-51.5500297E-46.1985751.3E-42.9714106E-43.044123E-44.3437272E-41.42692241.3E-40.00296744050.00304034860.00316995341.04262831.3E-4
6.15.695525E-65.8348373E-69.5834315E-516.4245059.0E-52.4409164E-52.5006228E-51.5500297E-46.1985751.3E-42.9714106E-43.044123E-44.3437272E-41.42692241.3E-40.00296744050.00304034860.00316995341.04262831.3E-4
6.25.695525E-65.8348373E-69.5834315E-516.4245059.0E-52.4409164E-52.5006228E-51.5500297E-46.1985751.3E-42.9714106E-43.044123E-44.3437272E-41.42692241.3E-40.00296744050.00304034860.00316995341.04262831.3E-4
6.33.2995713E-63.383667E-67.338343E-521.6875447.0E-51.4140943E-51.4501353E-51.2449975E-48.5853891.1E-41.7215237E-41.7654014E-42.8652072E-41.62297771.1E-40.00172019070.0017640460.0018738521.06224671.1E-4
6.43.2995713E-63.383667E-67.338343E-521.6875447.0E-51.4140943E-51.4501353E-51.2449975E-48.5853891.1E-41.7215237E-41.7654014E-42.8652072E-41.62297771.1E-40.00172019070.0017640460.0018738521.06224671.1E-4
6.52.782202E-62.8558404E-66.2855666E-522.0095186.0E-51.1923668E-51.223926E-51.12238034E-49.1703281.0E-41.4516099E-41.4900314E-42.4898825E-41.67102681.0E-40.0014506620.00148906510.00158891621.06705621.0E-4
6.62.3163404E-62.38092E-64.2380823E-517.8001884.0E-59.927136E-61.0203904E-59.020309E-58.8400568.0E-51.20856166E-41.2422565E-42.0421571E-41.64390938.0E-50.00120790470.00124158230.00132148291.0643548.0E-5
6.72.037056E-62.0965003E-64.2096417E-520.0793744.0E-58.7302105E-68.984972E-68.8984256E-59.9036768.0E-51.0628513E-41.093867E-41.8937796E-41.73127038.0E-50.00106234310.00109334480.00117325721.073098.0E-5
6.81.8356744E-61.8915287E-64.1891453E-522.1468774.0E-57.867153E-68.106527E-68.810588E-510.8685118.0E-59.577837E-59.869264E-51.7868474E-41.81051748.0E-59.57371E-49.86502E-40.00106642311.08101468.0E-5
6.91.6310546E-61.6832072E-64.168314E-524.7641164.0E-56.9902153E-67.213726E-68.721315E-512.089898.0E-58.510255E-58.782368E-51.6781666E-41.9108368.0E-58.5069967E-48.7790104E-49.578308E-41.09104658.0E-5
7.01.2058036E-61.2508665E-63.1250827E-524.9833433.0E-55.1677193E-65.3608455E-67.536047E-514.0575717.0E-56.291517E-56.5266366E-51.352618E-42.0724587.0E-56.289736E-46.524743E-47.224286E-41.1072147.0E-5
7.11.052382E-61.0951609E-63.109513E-528.3932063.0E-54.5102006E-64.693538E-67.469321E-515.9140527.0E-55.491031E-55.7142337E-51.2713834E-42.22494137.0E-55.4896745E-45.7127734E-46.412373E-41.12246247.0E-5
7.21.0067454E-61.0487711E-63.104874E-529.6048773.0E-54.3146156E-64.4947255E-65.44945E-512.12415.0E-55.252918E-55.4721917E-51.0471918E-41.91366065.0E-55.251676E-45.470853E-45.970579E-41.09134345.0E-5
7.39.3596316E-79.767723E-73.0976742E-531.7133713.0E-54.0112645E-64.1861604E-65.418595E-512.9440695.0E-54.8836053E-55.096532E-51.00962774E-41.98100925.0E-54.8825322E-45.095371E-45.5951165E-41.09807835.0E-5
7.48.8117395E-79.2076635E-73.092074E-533.5815283.0E-53.7764542E-63.9461356E-65.394594E-513.6705745.0E-54.5977362E-54.8043148E-59.804075E-52.04068115.0E-54.596785E-44.8032837E-45.303044E-41.10404555.0E-5
7.58.292386E-78.6745956E-73.0867435E-535.5837143.0E-53.5538749E-63.7176785E-64.371753E-511.7593624.0E-54.326757E-54.5261804E-58.525999E-51.88370744.0E-54.3259145E-44.5252658E-44.925085E-41.08835264.0E-5
7.67.553842E-77.9144706E-73.0791423E-538.9052243.0E-53.2373566E-63.3919116E-64.3391778E-512.792724.0E-53.9414106E-54.129575E-58.129409E-51.96858274.0E-53.9407116E-44.1288146E-44.5286494E-41.09684014.0E-5
7.76.5285366E-76.852797E-73.068526E-544.7777183.0E-52.797941E-62.9369096E-63.2936823E-511.2147893.0E-53.40644E-53.5756293E-56.575522E-51.8389833.0E-53.405918E-43.5750607E-43.8749535E-41.08388473.0E-5
7.83.4586725E-73.6482615E-73.6482615E-71.00.01.4822873E-61.5635396E-61.5635396E-61.00.01.80467E-51.9035933E-51.9035933E-51.00.01.8045233E-41.9034347E-41.9034347E-41.00.0
7.92.5591178E-92.6696718E-92.6696718E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.14414505E-81.14414505E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3929966E-71.3929966E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3929966E-61.3929966E-61.00.0

White Mountains

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.503579E-53.3784127E-59.3782095E-52.7759226.0E-51.5014476E-41.4478175E-42.3476873E-41.62153539.0E-50.00182647960.00176141340.00185125481.05100549.0E-50.0181154030.0174868570.0176047591.00674221.2E-4
6.13.503579E-53.3784127E-59.3782095E-52.7759226.0E-51.5014476E-41.4478175E-42.3476873E-41.62153539.0E-50.00182647960.00176141340.00185125481.05100549.0E-50.0181154030.0174868570.0176047591.00674221.2E-4
6.23.503579E-53.3784127E-59.3782095E-52.7759226.0E-51.5014476E-41.4478175E-42.3476873E-41.62153539.0E-50.00182647960.00176141340.00185125481.05100549.0E-50.0181154030.0174868570.0176047591.00674221.2E-4
6.31.7818425E-51.591616E-52.5916E-51.62828231.0E-57.636245E-56.821041E-58.8209046E-51.29319042.0E-59.293162E-48.301596E-48.5014297E-41.02407182.0E-50.0092543950.00827204250.00830179451.00359673.0E-5
6.41.7818425E-51.591616E-52.5916E-51.62828231.0E-57.636245E-56.821041E-58.8209046E-51.29319042.0E-59.293162E-48.301596E-48.5014297E-41.02407182.0E-50.0092543950.00827204250.00830179451.00359673.0E-5
6.51.3397557E-51.1336374E-52.133626E-51.88210631.0E-55.741684E-54.8583595E-55.8583108E-51.20582081.0E-56.988258E-45.913517E-46.013458E-41.01690041.0E-50.0069663230.0058984870.00590842781.00168541.0E-5
6.61.0818695E-58.625434E-68.625434E-61.00.04.6365014E-53.6965648E-53.6965648E-51.00.05.6434784E-44.4996818E-44.4996818E-41.00.00.0056291680.00449100740.00449100741.00.0
6.79.067908E-66.802476E-66.802476E-61.00.03.8861883E-52.915316E-52.915316E-51.00.04.7304068E-43.548851E-43.548851E-41.00.00.004720350.0035435010.0035435011.00.0
6.87.295947E-64.9364285E-64.9364285E-61.00.03.126797E-52.1155956E-52.1155956E-51.00.03.8062103E-42.5754445E-42.5754445E-41.00.00.00379969760.00257257280.00257257281.00.0
6.96.2243444E-63.8322546E-63.8322546E-61.00.02.6675489E-51.6423846E-51.6423846E-51.00.03.2472567E-41.9994251E-41.9994251E-41.00.00.00324251570.0019976790.0019976791.00.0
7.04.9878413E-62.679564E-62.679564E-61.00.02.1376287E-51.1483797E-51.1483797E-51.00.02.602252E-41.3980652E-41.3980652E-41.00.00.0025992070.00139721190.00139721191.00.0
7.14.0252844E-61.885702E-61.885702E-61.00.01.7251105E-58.081555E-68.081555E-61.00.02.1001195E-49.838863E-59.838863E-51.00.00.00209813599.834635E-49.834635E-41.00.0
7.23.3284066E-61.2818929E-61.2818929E-61.00.01.4264522E-55.4938155E-65.4938155E-61.00.01.736567E-46.688525E-56.688525E-51.00.00.00173521076.6866126E-46.6866126E-41.00.0
7.32.458226E-66.056684E-76.056684E-71.00.01.0535211E-52.5957193E-62.5957193E-61.00.01.2825865E-43.160246E-53.160246E-51.00.00.00128184643.1598343E-43.1598343E-41.00.0
7.41.965953E-63.1084684E-73.1084684E-71.00.08.425486E-61.3322001E-61.3322001E-61.00.01.0257547E-41.6219417E-51.6219417E-51.00.00.00102528131.6218246E-41.6218246E-41.00.0
7.51.2014192E-61.8241002E-71.8241002E-71.00.05.148929E-67.8175697E-77.8175697E-71.00.06.2686406E-59.51785E-69.51785E-61.00.06.266873E-49.517451E-59.517451E-51.00.0
7.62.5612175E-74.893784E-84.893784E-81.00.01.0976642E-62.0973359E-72.0973359E-71.00.01.3363979E-52.5535037E-62.5535037E-61.00.01.3363175E-42.553478E-52.553478E-51.00.0

Imperial

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.7496446E-45.055345E-45.854941E-41.15816838.0E-50.00117788690.0021648170.0022745791.05070261.1E-40.01424676550.0260484090.0261652841.00448681.2E-40.133672490.228070290.228162911.00040611.2E-4
6.12.5356023E-44.8657708E-45.6653813E-41.16433388.0E-50.0010862340.0020837020.00219347281.05268061.1E-40.0131449280.025070940.025187931.00466641.2E-40.1239401550.219495610.219589281.00042671.2E-4
6.22.4820742E-44.775311E-45.574929E-41.16744848.0E-50.00106331240.00204499460.00215476961.05367981.1E-40.012869190.0246106760.0247277231.0047561.2E-40.121489270.216001360.216095451.00043561.2E-4
6.32.3205351E-44.5892023E-45.388835E-41.17424238.0E-59.94136E-40.00196535540.00207513921.05585961.1E-40.0120365990.0236611870.0237783471.00495161.2E-40.114051330.207938270.208033321.0004571.2E-4
6.42.0304754E-43.9878016E-44.5875623E-41.15039896.0E-58.6991355E-40.00170795290.00179779931.05260479.0E-50.0105398690.0205954180.0206933581.00475551.0E-40.1005376350.185071130.185152621.00044041.0E-4
6.51.854992E-43.6990462E-44.2988244E-41.1621446.0E-57.9475436E-40.00158435480.00167421221.05671559.0E-50.0096332810.019114430.0192125181.00513161.0E-40.09226230.17330390.173386561.00047711.0E-4
6.61.6586106E-43.4036173E-44.0034132E-41.1762236.0E-57.106394E-40.00145788780.00153777121.0547948.0E-50.0086177630.0176076260.017696041.00502159.0E-50.082911320.160780550.160856071.00046989.0E-5
6.71.4224656E-43.076812E-43.6766275E-41.1949476.0E-56.094856E-40.00131797560.00139787011.06061918.0E-50.00739526930.0159285220.0160170871.00556039.0E-50.071539550.146487980.14656481.00052449.0E-5
6.81.2317259E-42.779231E-43.3790641E-41.21582716.0E-55.2777573E-40.00119056150.00127046631.06711528.0E-50.00640675470.0144001310.0144888351.00615999.0E-50.062251660.132940890.133018911.0005879.0E-5
6.99.859898E-52.5015484E-42.9014482E-41.1598614.0E-54.2249862E-40.00107165590.00113159161.05592816.0E-50.00513179460.0129703190.0130394111.0053277.0E-50.050148930.1194088760.1194705141.00051627.0E-5
7.07.3191884E-52.1267848E-42.5266997E-41.18803734.0E-53.136418E-49.11164E-49.711093E-41.06578986.0E-50.0038119040.0110376810.0111069081.0062727.0E-50.0374717640.102067560.102130421.00061587.0E-5
7.17.1760296E-52.0969207E-42.4968368E-41.19071594.0E-53.0750787E-48.9837395E-49.5832004E-41.06672736.0E-50.0037374820.0108835280.0109527661.00636177.0E-50.036752450.100704060.100767011.00062517.0E-5
7.26.46614E-51.9137723E-42.3136957E-41.20897134.0E-52.7709085E-48.199333E-48.798841E-41.07311676.0E-50.00336836280.0099376170.0100069211.0069747.0E-50.0331776250.0925110060.092574531.00068667.0E-5
7.36.088115E-51.780939E-42.0808856E-41.16842043.0E-52.6089314E-47.6303916E-48.13001E-41.06547755.0E-50.00317174760.0092510060.0093104511.00642576.0E-50.0312685850.086561350.086616161.00063316.0E-5
7.44.199346E-51.1511097E-41.4510751E-41.2605883.0E-51.7995955E-44.932403E-45.4321566E-41.10132055.0E-50.00218880570.0059888350.0060484761.00995866.0E-50.021673720.057440240.0574967941.00098456.0E-5
7.53.130448E-58.333871E-51.1333621E-41.35994673.0E-51.3415517E-43.5711733E-44.070995E-41.139965.0E-50.00163211530.00433929540.00439903471.01376716.0E-50.0162018030.0421335060.0421909761.0013646.0E-5
7.62.3074248E-56.0849357E-59.0847534E-51.49299093.0E-59.888588E-52.6075702E-43.1074398E-41.19169945.0E-50.00120327060.00317011820.00322992821.01886686.0E-50.0119677610.031028160.03108631.00187376.0E-5
7.71.45864815E-54.0128452E-55.0128052E-51.24918971.0E-56.2511994E-51.7196777E-42.0196261E-41.17442133.0E-57.608177E-40.00209170250.00213161881.01908314.0E-50.0075821820.020629090.0206682641.0018994.0E-5
7.81.0352979E-53.096395E-54.096364E-51.32294621.0E-54.4369157E-51.326959E-41.6269193E-41.22605093.0E-55.400606E-40.00161437780.00165431321.02473744.0E-50.00538750.0160178930.0160572531.00245734.0E-5
7.98.137906E-62.2151205E-53.2150983E-51.45143271.0E-53.4876273E-59.493029E-51.2492744E-41.31599143.0E-54.2453592E-40.00115516440.00119511821.03458714.0E-50.0042372580.0116188420.0116583781.00340274.0E-5
8.06.93792E-61.8010365E-51.8010365E-51.00.02.9733603E-57.7185E-58.718423E-51.12954881.0E-53.6194647E-49.3932304E-49.593042E-41.0212722.0E-50.00361357510.0095024150.0095222251.00208472.0E-5
8.13.4286315E-66.380179E-66.380179E-61.00.01.4694053E-52.734334E-52.734334E-51.00.01.7888541E-43.3285443E-43.428511E-41.03003311.0E-50.00178741480.00348636740.00349633261.00285831.0E-5
8.21.4906886E-61.936633E-61.936633E-61.00.06.3886496E-68.2998295E-68.2998295E-61.00.07.7779034E-51.0104576E-41.0104576E-41.00.07.775182E-40.00110754230.00110754231.00.0
8.32.5758007E-81.4495866E-81.4495866E-81.00.01.10391454E-76.212514E-86.212514E-81.00.01.3440151E-67.563736E-77.563736E-71.00.01.344007E-57.884359E-67.884359E-61.00.0

Lake Isabella (Seismicity)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.431637E-69.741651E-69.974078E-510.2385899.0E-54.0420677E-54.1749343E-51.3174559E-43.15563279.0E-54.920106E-45.0819275E-46.1813684E-41.21634331.1E-40.0049092270.0050715990.00519099041.02354121.2E-4
6.19.431637E-69.741651E-69.974078E-510.2385899.0E-54.0420677E-54.1749343E-51.3174559E-43.15563279.0E-54.920106E-45.0819275E-46.1813684E-41.21634331.1E-40.0049092270.0050715990.00519099041.02354121.2E-4
6.29.431637E-69.741651E-69.974078E-510.2385899.0E-54.0420677E-54.1749343E-51.3174559E-43.15563279.0E-54.920106E-45.0819275E-46.1813684E-41.21634331.1E-40.0049092270.0050715990.00519099041.02354121.2E-4
6.39.431637E-69.741651E-69.974078E-510.2385899.0E-54.0420677E-54.1749343E-51.3174559E-43.15563279.0E-54.920106E-45.0819275E-46.1813684E-41.21634331.1E-40.0049092270.0050715990.00519099041.02354121.2E-4
6.45.144063E-65.3000763E-65.529981E-510.4337775.0E-52.2045799E-52.2714434E-57.27133E-53.20119365.0E-52.6837454E-42.765166E-43.4649723E-41.25307947.0E-50.00268050660.00276206570.00284184471.02888388.0E-5
6.55.144063E-65.3000763E-65.529981E-510.4337775.0E-52.2045799E-52.2714434E-57.27133E-53.20119365.0E-52.6837454E-42.765166E-43.4649723E-41.25307947.0E-50.00268050660.00276206570.00284184471.02888388.0E-5
6.63.4009804E-63.498786E-63.349868E-59.5743723.0E-51.4575549E-51.4994721E-54.499427E-53.00067423.0E-51.7744285E-41.8254704E-42.325379E-41.2738525.0E-50.00177301230.00182412860.00188401911.03283246.0E-5
6.73.3880428E-63.4856528E-63.3485547E-59.6066793.0E-51.4520103E-51.4938435E-54.4937988E-53.00821233.0E-51.767679E-41.8186188E-42.3185278E-41.2748845.0E-50.00176627360.00181728820.00187717911.03295626.0E-5
6.82.6582E-62.7337003E-62.2733646E-58.31607152.0E-51.1392236E-51.1715813E-53.171558E-52.70707442.0E-51.3869164E-41.4263204E-41.8262633E-41.2804024.0E-50.00138605120.00142553690.001465481.02801954.0E-5
6.92.406011E-62.4743288E-62.247428E-59.082982.0E-51.0311434E-51.0604231E-53.060402E-52.88601972.0E-51.2553448E-41.2910018E-41.6909502E-41.30979694.0E-50.00125463590.00129038140.00133032981.03095854.0E-5
7.01.6953097E-61.7429371E-62.1742902E-512.4748632.0E-57.265593E-67.469715E-62.7469567E-53.67745832.0E-58.8455E-59.094104E-51.3093739E-41.43980544.0E-58.84198E-49.09141E-49.491046E-41.04395764.0E-5
7.13.5013824E-73.5714822E-73.5714822E-71.00.01.5005916E-61.5306344E-61.5306344E-61.00.01.826955E-51.8635317E-52.8635131E-51.53660551.0E-51.8268047E-41.863378E-41.9633592E-41.0536561.0E-5
7.22.2321095E-72.2750574E-72.2750574E-71.00.09.56618E-79.750242E-79.750242E-71.00.01.1646762E-51.1870856E-52.1870737E-51.84238921.0E-51.1646151E-41.1870232E-41.2870114E-41.08423441.0E-5
7.31.5760406E-71.6060922E-71.6060922E-71.00.06.7544585E-76.8832503E-76.8832503E-71.00.08.223522E-68.380326E-61.8380242E-52.1932611.0E-58.2232174E-58.3800165E-59.3799325E-51.11932151.0E-5
7.41.1216497E-71.1431706E-71.1431706E-71.00.04.8070694E-74.899302E-74.899302E-71.00.05.852591E-65.964884E-61.5964824E-52.67646861.0E-55.8524372E-55.9647282E-56.964669E-51.16764221.0E-5
7.54.885185E-84.9787737E-84.9787737E-81.00.02.0936506E-72.13376E-72.13376E-71.00.02.5490165E-62.59785E-62.59785E-61.00.02.5489873E-52.5978214E-52.5978214E-51.00.0
7.61.504641E-91.5317903E-91.5317903E-91.00.06.4484613E-96.5648154E-96.5648154E-91.00.07.851001E-87.992663E-87.992663E-81.00.07.8509987E-77.992663E-77.992663E-71.00.0

Santa Ynez (East)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.2269712E-53.6750775E-58.6748936E-52.36046555.0E-51.3829143E-41.5749714E-42.1748769E-41.38089936.0E-50.00168239790.00191642530.0019962721.04166448.0E-50.0166971780.0190564380.0191447231.00463289.0E-5
6.13.2269712E-53.6750775E-58.6748936E-52.36046555.0E-51.3829143E-41.5749714E-42.1748769E-41.38089936.0E-50.00168239790.00191642530.0019962721.04166448.0E-50.0166971780.0190564380.0191447231.00463289.0E-5
6.23.2269712E-53.6750775E-58.6748936E-52.36046555.0E-51.3829143E-41.5749714E-42.1748769E-41.38089936.0E-50.00168239790.00191642530.0019962721.04166448.0E-50.0166971780.0190564380.0191447231.00463289.0E-5
6.33.2269712E-53.6750775E-58.6748936E-52.36046555.0E-51.3829143E-41.5749714E-42.1748769E-41.38089936.0E-50.00168239790.00191642530.0019962721.04166448.0E-50.0166971780.0190564380.0191447231.00463289.0E-5
6.41.4404779E-51.48492945E-54.484885E-53.0202683.0E-56.1733306E-56.363831E-59.36364E-51.47138423.0E-57.513438E-47.7452604E-48.144951E-41.05160454.0E-50.00748808540.0077188170.0077585081.00514214.0E-5
6.51.4404779E-51.48492945E-54.484885E-53.0202683.0E-56.1733306E-56.363831E-59.36364E-51.47138423.0E-57.513438E-47.7452604E-48.144951E-41.05160454.0E-50.00748808540.0077188170.0077585081.00514214.0E-5
6.61.280208E-51.301186E-53.3011598E-52.53703932.0E-55.4864904E-55.5763932E-57.5762815E-51.35863482.0E-56.6777546E-46.7871617E-47.086958E-41.04417113.0E-50.0066577240.00676664340.006796441.00440353.0E-5
6.71.2457027E-51.262838E-53.2628126E-52.58371452.0E-55.3386164E-55.4120515E-57.411943E-51.36952572.0E-56.497827E-46.5871974E-46.887E-41.04551293.0E-50.006478860.006567870.00659767261.00453773.0E-5
6.81.2095134E-51.2230827E-53.2230582E-52.63519242.0E-55.1835254E-55.2416784E-57.2415736E-51.38153722.0E-56.309115E-46.3798914E-46.6797E-41.04699283.0E-50.00629123250.0063617640.00639157281.00468563.0E-5
6.91.1104036E-51.115726E-53.1157037E-52.79253482.0E-54.758786E-54.781596E-56.7815E-51.41825042.0E-55.7922816E-45.82005E-46.119876E-41.05151593.0E-50.0057772070.00580495360.00583477971.0051383.0E-5
7.01.0577444E-51.05815925E-53.058138E-52.89005472.0E-54.5331115E-54.53489E-56.5347995E-51.4410052.0E-55.5176654E-45.5198424E-45.8196764E-41.05431943.0E-50.00550398560.005506270.0055361051.00541833.0E-5
7.11.0021775E-59.9809E-61.99808E-52.00190351.0E-54.294976E-54.277459E-55.2774165E-51.23377361.0E-55.2278786E-45.206574E-45.4064696E-41.0383932.0E-50.00521559640.0051945080.00521440431.00383022.0E-5
7.28.874109E-68.748706E-61.8748618E-52.1430161.0E-53.8031343E-53.7493923E-54.7493548E-51.26669991.0E-54.629332E-44.56394E-44.7638486E-41.04380182.0E-50.00461970.00455468470.0045745941.0043712.0E-5
7.37.5504267E-67.5050243E-61.750495E-52.33243081.0E-53.235857E-53.2164E-54.2163676E-51.31089661.0E-53.9389438E-43.9152734E-44.1151952E-41.0510622.0E-50.00393196940.00390848240.00392840431.0050972.0E-5
7.46.309394E-66.183062E-61.6183E-52.61731171.0E-52.703998E-52.6498574E-53.649831E-51.37736881.0E-53.2916202E-43.2257332E-43.4256687E-41.06198142.0E-50.0032867490.00322114840.00324108381.0061892.0E-5
7.54.6103073E-64.4408016E-61.4440757E-53.25183561.0E-51.975831E-51.9031871E-52.9031682E-51.52542441.0E-52.4053088E-42.316891E-42.5168445E-41.08630252.0E-50.0024027070.0023145450.00233449861.0086212.0E-5
7.61.2858658E-61.3008196E-61.3008196E-61.00.05.5108417E-65.574929E-65.574929E-61.00.06.7092435E-56.787272E-56.787272E-51.00.06.707218E-46.7852676E-46.7852676E-41.00.0
7.75.3302307E-75.612138E-75.612138E-71.00.02.2843826E-62.4052001E-62.4052001E-61.00.02.7812002E-52.9282955E-52.9282955E-51.00.02.7808524E-42.9279455E-42.9279455E-41.00.0
7.84.613933E-84.80301E-84.80301E-81.00.01.9773998E-72.0584326E-72.0584326E-71.00.02.4074816E-62.5061388E-62.5061388E-61.00.02.4074554E-52.5061116E-52.5061116E-51.00.0

San Jacinto (Anza) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.3015636E-54.3298347E-51.2329489E-42.84756578.0E-52.7003905E-41.8555121E-42.7553452E-41.48495139.0E-50.00328276910.00225675730.00235653181.04421141.0E-40.0323469680.023293610.0234010481.00461231.1E-4
6.16.3015636E-54.3298347E-51.2329489E-42.84756578.0E-52.7003905E-41.8555121E-42.7553452E-41.48495139.0E-50.00328276910.00225675730.00235653181.04421141.0E-40.0323469680.023293610.0234010481.00461231.1E-4
6.26.3015636E-54.3298347E-51.2329489E-42.84756578.0E-52.7003905E-41.8555121E-42.7553452E-41.48495139.0E-50.00328276910.00225675730.00235653181.04421141.0E-40.0323469680.023293610.0234010481.00461231.1E-4
6.36.3015636E-54.3298347E-51.2329489E-42.84756578.0E-52.7003905E-41.8555121E-42.7553452E-41.48495139.0E-50.00328276910.00225675730.00235653181.04421141.0E-40.0323469680.023293610.0234010481.00461231.1E-4
6.46.3015636E-54.3298347E-51.2329489E-42.84756578.0E-52.7003905E-41.8555121E-42.7553452E-41.48495139.0E-50.00328276910.00225675730.00235653181.04421141.0E-40.0323469680.023293610.0234010481.00461231.1E-4
6.55.811017E-54.0080286E-51.1007748E-42.74642477.0E-52.4901982E-41.7176138E-42.5174764E-41.46568258.0E-50.00302760140.00208919470.00217900661.04298889.0E-50.029866840.0215908330.0216886741.00453161.0E-4
6.65.811017E-54.0080286E-51.1007748E-42.74642477.0E-52.4901982E-41.7176138E-42.5174764E-41.46568258.0E-50.00302760140.00208919470.00217900661.04298889.0E-50.029866840.0215908330.0216886741.00453161.0E-4
6.75.712442E-53.950301E-51.09500244E-42.77194677.0E-52.4479596E-41.6928767E-42.4927413E-41.47248848.0E-50.00297631770.00205913440.00214894931.04361779.0E-50.0293676930.0212829190.021380791.00459861.0E-4
6.85.6967532E-53.93593E-51.09356544E-42.77841697.0E-52.4412372E-41.6867183E-42.4865835E-41.47421378.0E-50.00296815530.00205165080.00214146611.04377719.0E-50.0292882290.021208520.02130641.00461511.0E-4
6.95.6211324E-53.9064216E-51.0906148E-42.79185137.0E-52.4088343E-41.6740736E-42.4739397E-41.47779628.0E-50.00292881160.00203628470.00212610141.04410829.0E-50.0289051090.0210475270.0211454221.00465121.0E-4
7.05.4383527E-53.7925012E-51.0792236E-42.84567767.0E-52.3305144E-41.6252567E-42.4251266E-41.492158.0E-50.00283370940.0019769590.0020667811.04543459.0E-50.0279784650.020440950.0205389061.00479211.0E-4
7.15.1393665E-53.638787E-51.0638532E-42.92364797.0E-52.2023996E-41.5593872E-42.3592624E-41.51294218.0E-50.00267812420.00189690480.0019867341.04735589.0E-50.0264607820.0196160770.0197141151.00499781.0E-4
7.24.785222E-53.4738845E-51.0473641E-43.01496537.0E-52.0506482E-41.4887229E-42.2886037E-41.53729338.0E-50.00249380550.00181101670.00190085371.04960589.0E-50.0246600490.0187287830.018826911.00523941.0E-4
7.34.2143256E-53.3834414E-51.0383205E-43.06882957.0E-51.8060145E-41.449966E-42.24985E-41.55165718.0E-50.0021966050.00176390750.00185374871.05093319.0E-50.021750190.0182366950.0183348711.00538351.0E-4
7.44.0264713E-53.3472694E-51.0347035E-43.09118687.0E-51.7255165E-41.4344654E-42.2343505E-41.55761918.0E-50.0020987920.00174506590.00183490881.0514849.0E-50.0207908040.0180413890.0181395861.00544291.0E-4
7.53.694492E-53.2186905E-51.02184655E-43.17472747.0E-51.5832575E-41.379366E-42.1792557E-41.57989668.0E-50.00192591180.00167808760.00176793661.05354259.0E-50.019093060.0173578880.0174561521.0056611.0E-4
7.63.200565E-52.9502702E-59.9500634E-53.37259397.0E-51.3715986E-41.2643404E-42.0642392E-41.6326618.0E-50.0016686420.00153824970.00162811121.0584189.0E-50.016561680.0159460160.0160444211.00617111.0E-4
7.72.731642E-52.6091477E-59.608965E-53.68279867.0E-51.1706512E-41.11815825E-41.9180687E-41.71538228.0E-50.0014243360.00136050850.0014503861.06606179.0E-50.0141524120.01416680.0142653841.00695871.0E-4
7.82.3466424E-52.3503619E-58.350221E-53.55273846.0E-51.0056651E-41.0072591E-41.7071886E-41.69488537.0E-50.00122370940.00122564890.00130555081.06519158.0E-50.0121699280.0128087960.0128976431.00693649.0E-5
7.91.8611925E-51.890698E-57.890585E-54.17337136.0E-57.9762955E-58.10274E-51.5102173E-41.86383537.0E-59.7068126E-49.860628E-40.0010659841.08105088.0E-50.00966452250.0103937050.010482771.00856919.0E-5
8.01.5460775E-51.5739915E-57.573897E-54.81190446.0E-56.6258784E-56.745504E-51.3745032E-42.03765827.0E-58.0640207E-48.2095637E-49.008907E-41.09736738.0E-50.0080348210.0087027060.0087919231.01025169.0E-5
8.19.983884E-68.268954E-64.8268623E-55.8373314.0E-54.2787375E-53.5437897E-58.543613E-52.4108695.0E-55.2081177E-44.313715E-44.813499E-41.11585945.0E-50.00519592830.004639680.0046994021.0128726.0E-5
8.24.1226E-61.5522551E-61.5522551E-61.00.01.7668166E-56.6525045E-66.6525045E-61.00.02.1508869E-48.099126E-58.099126E-51.00.00.00214880649.401847E-49.401847E-41.00.0
8.31.2750878E-63.609817E-73.609817E-71.00.05.4646503E-61.5470634E-61.5470634E-61.00.06.653009E-51.8835339E-51.8835339E-51.00.06.6510175E-42.272251E-42.272251E-41.00.0

Scodie Lineament

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.2919327E-63.0133303E-67.301312E-524.2300427.0E-51.4108206E-51.2914227E-51.02913065E-47.9689689.0E-51.7175387E-41.5722254E-42.5720682E-41.6359411.0E-40.00171621180.00157142480.00167126761.06353651.0E-4
6.11.8663811E-61.5490382E-62.1549007E-513.9112182.0E-57.998751E-66.6387206E-63.663852E-55.5189133.0E-59.738045E-58.082393E-51.108215E-41.37114733.0E-59.7337784E-48.079941E-48.379699E-41.0370993.0E-5
6.21.8663811E-61.5490382E-62.1549007E-513.9112182.0E-57.998751E-66.6387206E-63.663852E-55.5189133.0E-59.738045E-58.082393E-51.108215E-41.37114733.0E-59.7337784E-48.079941E-48.379699E-41.0370993.0E-5
6.31.8663811E-61.5490382E-62.1549007E-513.9112182.0E-57.998751E-66.6387206E-63.663852E-55.5189133.0E-59.738045E-58.082393E-51.108215E-41.37114733.0E-59.7337784E-48.079941E-48.379699E-41.0370993.0E-5
6.41.8663811E-61.5490382E-62.1549007E-513.9112182.0E-57.998751E-66.6387206E-63.663852E-55.5189133.0E-59.738045E-58.082393E-51.108215E-41.37114733.0E-59.7337784E-48.079941E-48.379699E-41.0370993.0E-5
6.51.8106311E-61.4909722E-62.1490941E-514.4140472.0E-57.759824E-66.389868E-63.6389676E-55.6949033.0E-59.447177E-57.779436E-51.07792024E-41.38560213.0E-59.4431615E-47.7771995E-48.076966E-41.03854433.0E-5
6.61.2414679E-68.9974395E-72.0899726E-523.2285252.0E-55.320566E-63.85604E-63.3855926E-58.7799713.0E-56.477596E-54.6946367E-57.694496E-51.63899713.0E-56.475708E-44.6937316E-44.993591E-41.0638853.0E-5
6.71.1062215E-67.594193E-71.0759411E-514.1679461.0E-54.7409408E-63.2546504E-62.3254586E-57.1450332.0E-55.7719422E-53.962472E-55.962393E-51.50471542.0E-55.770443E-43.9618355E-44.161756E-41.05046162.0E-5
6.81.0006736E-66.5002786E-71.0650021E-516.3839451.0E-54.288594E-62.7858312E-62.2785776E-58.1791662.0E-55.221238E-53.391703E-55.391635E-51.58965432.0E-55.220012E-43.3912458E-43.591178E-41.05895542.0E-5
6.99.167364E-75.6315065E-71.0563145E-518.7572271.0E-53.9288643E-62.413501E-62.2413453E-59.2866972.0E-54.7832873E-52.9384037E-54.938345E-51.68062172.0E-54.782258E-42.9380718E-43.138013E-41.06805182.0E-5
7.07.6987664E-74.113265E-71.0411322E-525.3115771.0E-53.2994672E-61.7628269E-62.1762791E-512.3453932.0E-54.0170275E-52.1462245E-54.1461815E-51.9318492.0E-54.0163012E-42.1460558E-42.3460129E-41.09317422.0E-5
7.17.1038727E-73.5210306E-71.03521E-529.4007661.0E-53.0445133E-61.5090123E-62.1508982E-514.2536822.0E-53.706632E-51.8372106E-53.8371738E-52.08858682.0E-53.7060137E-41.8370937E-42.037057E-41.10884762.0E-5
7.22.0799602E-73.1178534E-81.0031178E-5321.73351.0E-58.914113E-71.3362228E-72.0133619E-5150.675612.0E-51.0852878E-51.6268501E-62.1626818E-513.2936752.0E-51.08523476E-41.626839E-53.6268066E-52.2293582.0E-5
7.31.5048182E-71.5939106E-81.0015939E-5628.387761.0E-56.449219E-76.8310456E-82.006831E-5293.780942.0E-57.851896E-68.316795E-72.0831663E-525.0477052.0E-57.851618E-58.316767E-62.8316601E-53.40476062.0E-5
7.45.9334678E-84.8638475E-94.8638475E-91.00.02.5429145E-72.084506E-82.084506E-81.00.03.095994E-62.5378858E-72.5378858E-71.00.03.095951E-52.5378843E-62.5378843E-61.00.0

Dry Mountain

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.222801E-66.439381E-67.643893E-511.870547.0E-52.6668875E-52.7597147E-51.0759494E-43.89877068.0E-53.2464517E-43.3595937E-44.2592915E-41.26779959.0E-50.00324171320.00335607680.00344577481.02672719.0E-5
6.16.222801E-66.439381E-67.643893E-511.870547.0E-52.6668875E-52.7597147E-51.0759494E-43.89877068.0E-53.2464517E-43.3595937E-44.2592915E-41.26779959.0E-50.00324171320.00335607680.00344577481.02672719.0E-5
6.26.222801E-66.439381E-67.643893E-511.870547.0E-52.6668875E-52.7597147E-51.0759494E-43.89877068.0E-53.2464517E-43.3595937E-44.2592915E-41.26779959.0E-50.00324171320.00335607680.00344577481.02672719.0E-5
6.36.222801E-66.439381E-67.643893E-511.870547.0E-52.6668875E-52.7597147E-51.0759494E-43.89877068.0E-53.2464517E-43.3595937E-44.2592915E-41.26779959.0E-50.00324171320.00335607680.00344577481.02672719.0E-5
6.46.222801E-66.439381E-67.643893E-511.870547.0E-52.6668875E-52.7597147E-51.0759494E-43.89877068.0E-53.2464517E-43.3595937E-44.2592915E-41.26779959.0E-50.00324171320.00335607680.00344577481.02672719.0E-5
6.52.8528623E-62.9521684E-63.295208E-511.1619923.0E-51.22264955E-51.2652138E-54.2651758E-53.37111073.0E-51.4884741E-41.540376E-41.9403143E-41.25963694.0E-50.00148747740.00154016160.00158011.02593144.0E-5
6.62.8528623E-62.9521684E-63.295208E-511.1619923.0E-51.22264955E-51.2652138E-54.2651758E-53.37111073.0E-51.4884741E-41.540376E-41.9403143E-41.25963694.0E-50.00148747740.00154016160.00158011.02593144.0E-5
6.72.541E-62.6293578E-62.2629305E-58.60642.0E-51.0889954E-51.1268677E-53.126845E-52.77481132.0E-51.3257713E-41.3719614E-41.6719202E-41.21863513.0E-50.00132498060.00137196130.00140192021.02183653.0E-5

Independence rev 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.422171E-64.3262253E-64.432605E-510.2458954.0E-51.8952025E-51.8540852E-56.853992E-53.6966985.0E-52.3071647E-42.2571447E-42.9569867E-41.31005637.0E-50.00230477080.00225514570.00234494271.03981889.0E-5
6.14.422171E-64.3262253E-64.432605E-510.2458954.0E-51.8952025E-51.8540852E-56.853992E-53.6966985.0E-52.3071647E-42.2571447E-42.9569867E-41.31005637.0E-50.00230477080.00225514570.00234494271.03981889.0E-5
6.24.422171E-64.3262253E-64.432605E-510.2458954.0E-51.8952025E-51.8540852E-56.853992E-53.6966985.0E-52.3071647E-42.2571447E-42.9569867E-41.31005637.0E-50.00230477080.00225514570.00234494271.03981889.0E-5
6.34.422171E-64.3262253E-64.432605E-510.2458954.0E-51.8952025E-51.8540852E-56.853992E-53.6966985.0E-52.3071647E-42.2571447E-42.9569867E-41.31005637.0E-50.00230477080.00225514570.00234494271.03981889.0E-5
6.44.422171E-64.3262253E-64.432605E-510.2458954.0E-51.8952025E-51.8540852E-56.853992E-53.6966985.0E-52.3071647E-42.2571447E-42.9569867E-41.31005637.0E-50.00230477080.00225514570.00234494271.03981889.0E-5
6.54.422171E-64.3262253E-64.432605E-510.2458954.0E-51.8952025E-51.8540852E-56.853992E-53.6966985.0E-52.3071647E-42.2571447E-42.9569867E-41.31005637.0E-50.00230477080.00225514570.00234494271.03981889.0E-5
6.62.663744E-62.5319846E-64.2531883E-516.7978444.0E-51.1415996E-51.08513195E-56.0850776E-55.60768465.0E-51.3898089E-41.321073E-42.0209805E-41.52980237.0E-50.00138893990.00132033590.00141021711.06807459.0E-5
6.72.663744E-62.5319846E-64.2531883E-516.7978444.0E-51.1415996E-51.08513195E-56.0850776E-55.60768465.0E-51.3898089E-41.321073E-42.0209805E-41.52980237.0E-50.00138893990.00132033590.00141021711.06807459.0E-5
6.81.9716529E-61.8322567E-64.1832183E-522.8309634.0E-58.449913E-67.852505E-65.7852114E-57.36734445.0E-51.0287284E-49.560019E-51.655935E-41.73214617.0E-50.00102825239.5560355E-40.00104551751.09409139.0E-5
6.91.8788617E-61.7429976E-64.174293E-523.948934.0E-58.0522395E-67.4699688E-65.7469595E-57.69341855.0E-59.80316E-59.09432E-51.6093683E-41.76964137.0E-59.798837E-49.090718E-49.9899E-41.09891219.0E-5
7.01.5045488E-61.3849498E-63.138491E-522.6614063.0E-56.44805E-65.9354857E-64.593525E-57.73908854.0E-57.8502184E-57.226219E-51.3225786E-41.83024976.0E-57.8474457E-47.223921E-48.023343E-41.11066328.0E-5
7.11.272341E-61.1625089E-63.1162475E-526.8062253.0E-55.4528787E-64.9821715E-64.498197E-59.0285874.0E-56.6386776E-56.0656283E-51.2065264E-41.98912046.0E-56.636695E-46.064005E-46.8635197E-41.13184618.0E-5
7.21.0416892E-69.409871E-73.094096E-532.8813863.0E-54.464375E-64.032796E-64.4032633E-510.9186374.0E-55.4352407E-54.9098202E-51.0909526E-42.22198086.0E-55.4339116E-44.908754E-45.708361E-41.16289418.0E-5
7.37.9450155E-77.2350036E-73.072348E-542.465053.0E-53.4050022E-63.1007123E-64.3100586E-513.9002224.0E-54.1455114E-53.7750528E-59.774826E-52.58932166.0E-54.144738E-43.7744228E-44.4741586E-41.18538887.0E-5
7.45.3893444E-75.0195166E-73.0501937E-560.766683.0E-52.309717E-62.1512196E-64.2151132E-519.5940634.0E-52.8120441E-52.6190788E-58.618922E-53.29082186.0E-52.8116882E-42.6187746E-43.3185913E-41.26723067.0E-5
7.53.8852085E-73.6825622E-73.0368245E-582.464993.0E-51.6650882E-61.57824E-64.1578176E-526.3446464.0E-52.027226E-51.9214905E-56.9213944E-53.60209665.0E-52.0270412E-41.9213265E-42.5212113E-41.31222436.0E-5
7.62.414929E-72.3457605E-72.0234571E-586.260182.0E-51.0349692E-61.0053255E-63.1005296E-530.841053.0E-51.2600677E-51.2239771E-55.223928E-54.2679954.0E-51.2599962E-41.223911E-41.6238619E-41.32678124.0E-5
7.76.8298014E-86.8589785E-86.8589785E-81.00.02.9270575E-72.939562E-71.0293953E-535.0186651.0E-53.5636867E-63.5789112E-62.357884E-56.58827162.0E-53.5636294E-53.5788584E-55.5787867E-51.55881742.0E-5

Mission Creek

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1549387E-51.6322783E-57.6321805E-54.6757846.0E-54.9496433E-56.995299E-51.399481E-42.0006027.0E-56.0245243E-48.5135986E-49.2130026E-41.08215147.0E-50.0060082180.0085101570.0085894751.00932058.0E-5
6.11.1549387E-51.6322783E-57.6321805E-54.6757846.0E-54.9496433E-56.995299E-51.399481E-42.0006027.0E-56.0245243E-48.5135986E-49.2130026E-41.08215147.0E-50.0060082180.0085101570.0085894751.00932058.0E-5
6.21.1549387E-51.6322783E-57.6321805E-54.6757846.0E-54.9496433E-56.995299E-51.399481E-42.0006027.0E-56.0245243E-48.5135986E-49.2130026E-41.08215147.0E-50.0060082180.0085101570.0085894751.00932058.0E-5
6.31.1549387E-51.6322783E-57.6321805E-54.6757846.0E-54.9496433E-56.995299E-51.399481E-42.0006027.0E-56.0245243E-48.5135986E-49.2130026E-41.08215147.0E-50.0060082180.0085101570.0085894751.00932058.0E-5
6.41.1549387E-51.6322783E-57.6321805E-54.6757846.0E-54.9496433E-56.995299E-51.399481E-42.0006027.0E-56.0245243E-48.5135986E-49.2130026E-41.08215147.0E-50.0060082180.0085101570.0085894751.00932058.0E-5
6.51.1549387E-51.6322783E-57.6321805E-54.6757846.0E-54.9496433E-56.995299E-51.399481E-42.0006027.0E-56.0245243E-48.5135986E-49.2130026E-41.08215147.0E-50.0060082180.0085101570.0085894751.00932058.0E-5
6.69.202681E-61.3846059E-57.384523E-55.3333036.0E-53.9439463E-55.9338956E-51.293348E-42.17959367.0E-54.800697E-47.2222133E-47.9217076E-41.09685337.0E-50.0047903390.00722734020.0073067621.01098918.0E-5
6.79.019164E-61.3651728E-57.365091E-55.3949886.0E-53.8652986E-55.8506146E-51.2850206E-42.19638547.0E-54.7049852E-47.1208854E-47.8203867E-41.09823247.0E-50.0046950360.00712666470.00720609451.01114558.0E-5
6.88.673558E-61.3273839E-57.327304E-55.5201096.0E-53.717186E-55.688669E-51.268827E-42.23044637.0E-54.524734E-46.923842E-47.623357E-41.101037.0E-50.00451553240.00693085230.0070102981.01146268.0E-5
6.97.002255E-61.1478069E-57.147738E-56.22730066.0E-53.000932E-54.9190832E-51.1918739E-42.42295937.0E-53.653022E-45.9874065E-46.6869875E-41.1168427.0E-50.00364702290.0059996760.0060791961.0132548.0E-5
7.05.84644E-69.675359E-66.967478E-57.201266.0E-52.5055931E-54.146519E-51.1146229E-42.6880937.0E-53.0501327E-45.047263E-45.74691E-41.13861917.0E-50.00304594960.0050639940.0051435891.01571798.0E-5
7.15.54703E-69.329834E-66.9329275E-57.43092256.0E-52.377277E-53.9984414E-51.09981615E-42.7506127.0E-52.8939504E-44.8670598E-45.566719E-41.1437547.0E-50.00289018450.00488458760.00496419661.0162988.0E-5
7.24.384709E-67.681918E-66.768146E-58.810496.0E-51.8791474E-53.292211E-51.029198E-43.12616067.0E-52.2876218E-44.0075663E-44.7072858E-41.17459967.0E-50.00228526820.0040285420.00410821941.01977838.0E-5
7.33.7888456E-66.915788E-66.6915374E-59.675746.0E-51.623781E-52.9638775E-59.96367E-53.3617017.0E-51.9767738E-43.6079568E-44.3077042E-41.19394567.0E-50.00197501620.003630270.00370997961.02195698.0E-5
7.42.1982462E-65.0241033E-65.502385E-510.9519755.0E-59.421021E-62.1531694E-58.15304E-53.78652986.0E-51.1469489E-42.6211704E-43.221013E-41.22884546.0E-50.00114635720.00264603270.00271584751.02638477.0E-5
7.52.051923E-64.6153277E-65.4615095E-511.8334175.0E-58.793926E-61.9779825E-57.977864E-54.0333346.0E-51.0706078E-42.4079291E-43.0077845E-41.24911686.0E-50.00107009220.00243359320.00250342281.0286947.0E-5
7.61.8733427E-64.1236603E-65.4123455E-513.1250995.0E-58.028587E-61.7672712E-57.767165E-54.39500476.0E-59.774366E-52.151441E-42.751312E-41.27882296.0E-59.770069E-40.00217825130.00224809881.03206597.0E-5
7.71.8411953E-64.0433315E-65.404313E-513.365995.0E-57.890813E-61.732845E-57.732741E-54.4624546.0E-59.606641E-52.1095353E-42.7094086E-41.28436286.0E-59.6024893E-40.00213652920.00220637951.03269347.0E-5
7.81.7194251E-63.71068E-65.3710493E-514.4745695.0E-57.368944E-61.5902819E-57.5901866E-54.7728566.0E-58.97132E-51.9359968E-42.5358808E-41.30985786.0E-58.967699E-40.00196247570.00203233821.03559927.0E-5
7.91.4035052E-62.9502596E-65.2950112E-517.947615.0E-56.0150082E-61.2643909E-57.264315E-55.7453086.0E-57.3230265E-51.5392878E-42.1391954E-41.38973076.0E-57.3206134E-40.00156311740.00163300791.04471237.0E-5
8.03.9318823E-75.528477E-74.0552826E-573.352614.0E-51.6850913E-62.3693453E-65.2369225E-522.1028255.0E-52.0515794E-52.8846403E-57.884496E-52.73326835.0E-52.0513899E-42.990952E-43.5907727E-41.20054516.0E-5
8.11.596793E-71.13775044E-71.13775044E-71.00.06.8433974E-74.876072E-74.876072E-71.00.08.331805E-65.936602E-65.936602E-61.00.08.331492E-56.5494125E-56.5494125E-51.00.0
8.24.9003038E-82.5435753E-82.5435753E-81.00.02.10013E-71.09010365E-71.09010365E-71.00.02.5569052E-61.3272004E-61.3272004E-61.00.02.556876E-51.4952613E-51.4952613E-51.00.0

Hunting Creek - Berryessa 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1270982E-42.0028367E-42.4027565E-41.19967684.0E-54.8295266E-48.579912E-49.0794836E-41.05822565.0E-50.00586410750.0103861730.0104554451.00666987.0E-50.0571175780.098040480.098103611.0006447.0E-5
6.11.1239393E-41.9976508E-42.297591E-41.15014643.0E-54.8159933E-48.557703E-48.8574464E-41.03502623.0E-50.00584771950.0103594170.0104088991.00477655.0E-50.0569621320.097798950.097844061.00046125.0E-5
6.27.596265E-51.2933646E-41.5933259E-41.23192313.0E-53.2551357E-45.5415573E-45.841391E-41.05410643.0E-50.00395592770.00672135870.0067710231.0073895.0E-50.0388624330.064592290.064639061.00072415.0E-5
6.36.78794E-51.1448377E-41.4448033E-41.26201583.0E-52.9087928E-44.9052597E-45.2051124E-41.06112893.0E-50.0035357050.0059526610.00600236331.00834975.0E-50.0347997660.0574662130.0575133381.000825.0E-5
6.46.2165134E-51.0434825E-41.2434616E-41.19164592.0E-52.6639478E-44.4711027E-44.6710132E-41.04471172.0E-50.00323853320.00542741830.0054672011.007334.0E-50.031917420.052551380.052589281.00072124.0E-5
6.55.4368087E-59.070258E-51.1070076E-41.22048092.0E-52.3298527E-43.886537E-44.0864592E-41.05143962.0E-50.00283290590.00471970160.0047595131.00843514.0E-50.0279706330.0458811820.0459193481.00083184.0E-5
6.64.729947E-57.847101E-59.8469434E-51.25485122.0E-52.0269625E-43.3624718E-43.5624043E-41.059462.0E-50.0024650340.0040847460.00412458231.00975254.0E-50.024378690.039852690.0398910941.00096374.0E-5
6.73.6875328E-56.0443555E-57.044295E-51.16543361.0E-51.5802756E-42.5900968E-42.6900708E-41.03859851.0E-50.00192228750.00314827240.00316820951.00633262.0E-50.0190574420.030893710.0309130921.00062742.0E-5
6.82.0292036E-52.8976721E-52.8976721E-51.00.08.6962966E-51.2417998E-41.2417998E-41.00.00.00105825990.00151083020.00152081511.00660881.0E-50.0105323440.01497907750.0149889271.00065761.0E-5
6.91.7871042E-52.4472653E-52.4472653E-51.00.07.658793E-51.04878585E-41.04878585E-41.00.09.320591E-40.00127614860.00128613581.00782611.0E-50.0092815950.0126803950.01269026751.00077871.0E-5
7.01.6415532E-52.1906566E-52.1906566E-51.00.07.035038E-59.388191E-59.388191E-51.00.08.561793E-40.00114241440.0011524031.00874341.0E-50.0085288820.0113650170.0113749031.00086991.0E-5
7.11.5409885E-52.0346588E-52.0346588E-51.00.06.6040695E-58.719676E-58.719676E-51.00.08.0374884E-40.00106110620.00107109561.00941411.0E-50.008008480.0105609240.0105708191.00093691.0E-5
7.21.4497423E-51.905519E-51.905519E-51.00.06.213033E-58.166256E-58.166256E-51.00.07.5617427E-49.937913E-40.00100378131.01005241.0E-50.00753606340.009894250.0099041521.00100061.0E-5
7.31.3615175E-51.7826347E-51.7826347E-51.00.05.8349444E-57.6396405E-57.6396405E-51.00.07.101729E-49.297323E-49.39723E-41.01074581.0E-50.00707907650.0092591240.0092690321.001071.0E-5
7.41.2252825E-51.6026455E-51.6026455E-51.00.05.251105E-56.868302E-56.868302E-51.00.06.391345E-48.3589775E-48.458894E-41.01195321.0E-50.00637299430.0083281720.0083380891.00119081.0E-5
7.51.0913301E-51.4241286E-51.4241286E-51.00.04.6770452E-56.103267E-56.103267E-51.00.05.6928146E-47.428222E-47.5281475E-41.01345221.0E-50.00567825320.00740398650.00741391261.00134061.0E-5
7.68.623192E-61.12347825E-51.12347825E-51.00.03.6956015E-54.8148195E-54.8148195E-51.00.04.4984656E-45.8604917E-45.960433E-41.01705341.0E-50.004489370.0058455040.00585544531.00170081.0E-5
7.72.0993634E-62.66264E-62.66264E-61.00.08.997241E-61.1411265E-51.1411265E-51.00.01.09535904E-41.3892337E-41.3892337E-41.00.00.00109481930.00138839940.00138839941.00.0
7.81.8428308E-72.1674624E-72.1674624E-71.00.07.897844E-79.289122E-79.289122E-71.00.09.615583E-61.130945E-51.130945E-51.00.09.615166E-51.1308173E-41.1308173E-41.00.0

Chino alt 1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.939946E-54.894798E-51.18944554E-42.43001967.0E-51.6884391E-42.0976314E-42.8974636E-41.38130268.0E-50.00205373620.0025513850.0026311811.03127558.0E-50.0203485950.0252801680.0253581461.00308458.0E-5
6.12.1505624E-52.6878823E-54.6878286E-51.74406022.0E-59.2163704E-51.15190494E-41.351882E-41.17360542.0E-50.00112151540.00140165170.00142162361.01424882.0E-50.0111587220.0139474250.0139671461.0014142.0E-5
6.22.1505624E-52.6878823E-54.6878286E-51.74406022.0E-59.2163704E-51.15190494E-41.351882E-41.17360542.0E-50.00112151540.00140165170.00142162361.01424882.0E-50.0111587220.0139474250.0139671461.0014142.0E-5
6.31.4290785E-51.8164832E-51.8164832E-51.00.06.1244784E-57.784722E-57.784722E-51.00.07.454001E-49.4742293E-49.4742293E-41.00.00.0074290480.009446740.009446741.00.0
6.41.4290785E-51.8164832E-51.8164832E-51.00.06.1244784E-57.784722E-57.784722E-51.00.07.454001E-49.4742293E-49.4742293E-41.00.00.0074290480.009446740.009446741.00.0
6.51.3017944E-51.6651793E-51.6651793E-51.00.05.5789995E-57.1363116E-57.1363116E-51.00.06.790315E-48.6854334E-48.6854334E-41.00.00.00676960360.0086642330.0086642331.00.0
6.69.470016E-61.2039209E-51.2039209E-51.00.04.058515E-55.159578E-55.159578E-51.00.04.940122E-46.280315E-46.280315E-41.00.00.0049291540.0062732480.0062732481.00.0
6.78.314155E-61.040749E-51.040749E-51.00.03.5631605E-54.4602948E-54.4602948E-51.00.04.3372845E-45.4293784E-45.4293784E-41.00.00.0043288290.00542708070.00542708071.00.0
6.83.4856364E-63.8134033E-63.8134033E-61.00.01.4938357E-51.6343065E-51.6343065E-51.00.01.8185932E-41.9896074E-41.9896074E-41.00.00.00181710560.00198945290.00198945291.00.0
6.92.2645952E-62.152909E-62.152909E-61.00.09.705372E-69.226722E-69.226722E-61.00.01.18156495E-41.12329755E-41.12329755E-41.00.00.00118093690.00112331380.00112331381.00.0
7.01.7864003E-61.5430741E-61.5430741E-61.00.07.655979E-66.613158E-66.613158E-61.00.09.3207556E-58.051228E-58.051228E-51.00.09.316847E-48.052856E-48.052856E-41.00.0
7.11.7315456E-61.4733466E-61.4733466E-61.00.07.420889E-66.314328E-66.314328E-61.00.09.034557E-57.687428E-57.687428E-51.00.09.0308854E-47.68921E-47.68921E-41.00.0
7.21.6008337E-61.3574178E-61.3574178E-61.00.06.860698E-65.817492E-65.817492E-61.00.08.352579E-57.082572E-57.082572E-51.00.08.34944E-47.0846075E-47.0846075E-41.00.0
7.31.3320939E-61.1217794E-61.1217794E-61.00.05.7089615E-64.8076176E-64.8076176E-61.00.06.9504385E-55.853122E-55.853122E-51.00.06.9482654E-45.8530655E-45.8530655E-41.00.0
7.41.114294E-69.237087E-79.237087E-71.00.04.775537E-63.9587458E-63.9587458E-61.00.05.8140613E-54.81967E-54.81967E-51.00.05.81254E-44.8187698E-44.8187698E-41.00.0
7.59.354081E-77.6233886E-77.6233886E-71.00.04.0088858E-63.2671626E-63.2671626E-61.00.04.8807087E-53.9777013E-53.9777013E-51.00.04.879637E-43.9770233E-43.9770233E-41.00.0
7.68.521771E-76.880688E-76.880688E-71.00.03.6521824E-62.948863E-62.948863E-61.00.04.4464414E-53.590185E-53.590185E-51.00.04.4455516E-43.5896365E-43.5896365E-41.00.0
7.72.1803626E-71.4186368E-71.4186368E-71.00.09.344408E-76.0798715E-76.0798715E-71.00.01.1376757E-57.4022278E-67.4022278E-61.00.01.13761744E-47.402077E-57.402077E-51.00.0

Santa Ynez (West)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.7352758E-55.497084E-59.4968644E-51.72761864.0E-52.0292461E-42.3556968E-42.9555554E-41.25464186.0E-50.00246780760.0028645580.00293435741.02436667.0E-50.0244058180.0283044560.0283821911.00274658.0E-5
6.14.7352758E-55.497084E-59.4968644E-51.72761864.0E-52.0292461E-42.3556968E-42.855579E-41.21220155.0E-50.00246780760.0028645580.00292438621.02088566.0E-50.0244058180.0283044560.0283724741.00240317.0E-5
6.23.0415853E-53.3925004E-56.392399E-51.88427353.0E-51.3034715E-41.4538495E-41.753806E-41.20631873.0E-50.00158582120.00176865920.00180858841.0225764.0E-50.0157455220.017549780.0175989011.0027995.0E-5
6.33.0415853E-53.3925004E-56.392399E-51.88427353.0E-51.3034715E-41.4538495E-41.753806E-41.20631873.0E-50.00158582120.00176865920.00180858841.0225764.0E-50.0157455220.017549780.0175989011.0027995.0E-5
6.42.5452082E-52.7912318E-55.7911482E-52.07476433.0E-51.09075794E-41.1961885E-41.4961527E-41.25076663.0E-50.00132718870.00145540560.00149534741.02744384.0E-50.0131929020.014460910.0145101871.00340765.0E-5
6.52.3143784E-52.5128133E-54.512763E-51.79590072.0E-59.9183875E-51.07687636E-41.2768549E-41.18570232.0E-50.00120689480.0013103230.00134028371.02286523.0E-50.0120036110.0130276380.0130671171.00303044.0E-5
6.61.9118515E-52.0354244E-54.0353836E-51.9825762.0E-58.193392E-58.722961E-51.0722786E-41.229262.0E-59.97089E-40.0010615110.00109147911.02823163.0E-50.009926270.0105653170.0105951.00280953.0E-5
6.71.722807E-51.8146253E-53.814589E-52.1021362.0E-57.3832496E-57.776737E-59.776581E-51.25715732.0E-58.985399E-49.4641204E-49.763836E-41.03166873.0E-50.0089491540.0094244610.0094541791.00315323.0E-5
6.81.5317364E-51.5926391E-53.5926074E-52.25575732.0E-56.56442E-56.82542E-58.825283E-51.29300222.0E-57.98925E-48.3068234E-48.606574E-41.03608493.0E-50.0079605890.0082762610.00830601251.00359493.0E-5
6.91.3071226E-51.332953E-53.3329263E-52.5004082.0E-55.6018336E-55.712532E-57.7124176E-51.35008742.0E-56.8180985E-46.952811E-47.2526024E-41.0431183.0E-50.00679721730.00693131840.00696111051.00429823.0E-5
7.01.1836986E-51.1932688E-53.193245E-52.67604832.0E-55.0728955E-55.1139097E-57.113807E-51.39107022.0E-56.1745E-46.2244234E-46.5242365E-41.04816723.0E-50.0061573720.00620718250.0062369961.00480313.0E-5
7.11.0597169E-51.0542107E-52.0542002E-51.94856691.0E-54.541565E-54.5179684E-55.5179233E-51.22132841.0E-55.5279525E-45.4992497E-45.6991394E-41.03634862.0E-50.00551422130.0054857720.00550566241.00362582.0E-5
7.29.59113E-69.45905E-61.9458956E-52.05717871.0E-54.11042E-54.053816E-55.0537757E-51.24667121.0E-55.0032866E-44.934414E-45.1343156E-41.04051162.0E-50.0049920370.00492357650.0049434781.0040422.0E-5
7.38.586084E-68.379489E-61.8379405E-52.193381.0E-53.679698E-53.591161E-54.591125E-51.27845141.0E-54.4791115E-44.3713715E-44.5712842E-41.04573232.0E-50.0044700940.0043628840.0043827971.00456422.0E-5
7.47.2622997E-66.9514485E-61.6951379E-52.4385391.0E-53.112377E-52.9791589E-53.9791288E-51.33565521.0E-53.78866E-43.6265317E-43.8264593E-41.0551292.0E-50.00378220740.0036207140.00364064171.00550382.0E-5
7.55.627296E-65.2514984E-61.5251446E-52.90420841.0E-52.411676E-52.2506232E-53.2506006E-51.44431141.0E-52.9358198E-42.7397962E-42.9397415E-41.07297812.0E-50.00293194430.00273649050.00275643571.00728862.0E-5
7.62.265244E-62.0608632E-62.0608632E-61.00.09.708152E-68.832241E-68.832241E-61.00.01.18190335E-41.0752732E-41.0752732E-41.00.00.0011812750.00107476150.00107476151.00.0
7.71.3099874E-61.1016228E-61.1016228E-61.00.05.61422E-64.7212325E-64.7212325E-61.00.06.8350986E-55.7479516E-55.7479516E-51.00.06.832996E-45.7464885E-45.7464885E-41.00.0
7.87.903951E-76.0710704E-76.0710704E-71.00.03.3874032E-62.601885E-62.601885E-61.00.04.1240855E-53.16775E-53.16775E-51.00.04.12332E-43.167312E-43.167312E-41.00.0
7.97.0753297E-95.090092E-95.090092E-91.00.03.032284E-82.181468E-82.181468E-81.00.03.6918053E-72.655937E-72.655937E-71.00.03.691799E-62.6559348E-62.6559348E-61.00.0

Great Valley 09 (Laguna Seca)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.4353277E-57.050019E-51.1049736E-41.56733444.0E-52.3292181E-43.0211007E-43.4209798E-41.13236214.0E-50.00283213520.00367200560.00373178531.01627986.0E-50.027963120.0361158440.036173681.00160136.0E-5
6.14.5578287E-55.822054E-58.8218796E-51.51525213.0E-51.953209E-42.4949352E-42.7948603E-41.12021363.0E-50.00237543830.00303335490.00307323361.01314684.0E-50.0235020630.0299198930.0299683961.00162115.0E-5
6.22.8536782E-53.4736422E-56.473538E-51.86361683.0E-51.2229476E-41.4886161E-41.7885714E-41.20149953.0E-50.00148792170.00181085760.00185078511.0220494.0E-50.0147799860.0179582760.0180073791.00273425.0E-5
6.32.3698774E-52.8213344E-55.82125E-52.06329663.0E-51.01562226E-41.2090833E-41.509047E-41.24809183.0E-50.00123581860.0014710510.00150100691.02036363.0E-50.0122896860.0146114550.014650871.00269764.0E-5
6.41.9191197E-52.212289E-53.212267E-51.45201051.0E-58.2245395E-59.4808805E-51.04807856E-41.10546541.0E-50.00100087770.00115369060.00116367911.00865781.0E-50.0099638180.0114770220.01148690751.00086131.0E-5
6.51.5203241E-51.6801298E-52.680113E-51.59518211.0E-56.5155116E-57.200338E-58.200266E-51.13887241.0E-57.9297484E-48.76301E-48.8629226E-41.01140171.0E-50.0079015120.0087295810.0087394941.00113561.0E-5
6.61.0984925E-51.12425605E-52.1242447E-51.88946711.0E-54.70774E-54.8181533E-55.8181053E-51.20753841.0E-55.730166E-45.8645604E-45.964502E-41.01704161.0E-50.0057154130.00584947550.0058594171.00169961.0E-5
6.79.134616E-69.019868E-61.9019779E-52.10865351.0E-53.9147766E-53.865602E-54.8655635E-51.25868191.0E-54.7651984E-44.7053778E-44.8053308E-41.02124231.0E-50.0047549930.004695660.0047056131.00211971.0E-5
6.87.785589E-67.4519185E-61.7451845E-52.34192631.0E-53.3366385E-53.1936415E-54.1936095E-51.31311211.0E-54.0616E-43.887585E-43.987546E-41.0257131.0E-50.00405418450.0038809880.00389094931.00256671.0E-5
6.95.579095E-64.8984666E-64.8984666E-61.00.02.3910188E-52.0993268E-52.0993268E-51.00.02.9106764E-42.5556443E-42.5556443E-41.00.00.0029068670.00255284270.00255284271.00.0
7.02.6816688E-61.521587E-61.521587E-61.00.01.1492816E-56.521071E-66.521071E-61.00.01.3991605E-47.939124E-57.939124E-51.00.00.00139827997.936375E-47.936375E-41.00.0
7.11.9951021E-67.45357E-77.45357E-71.00.08.55041E-63.1943835E-63.1943835E-61.00.01.0409627E-43.889097E-53.889097E-51.00.00.00104047523.8884574E-43.8884574E-41.00.0
7.21.9951021E-67.45357E-77.45357E-71.00.08.55041E-63.1943835E-63.1943835E-61.00.01.0409627E-43.889097E-53.889097E-51.00.00.00104047523.8884574E-43.8884574E-41.00.0
7.31.7087556E-66.578663E-76.578663E-71.00.07.3232177E-62.819424E-62.819424E-61.00.08.915652E-53.432599E-53.432599E-51.00.08.9120766E-43.432109E-43.432109E-41.00.0
7.41.3804846E-66.0737113E-76.0737113E-71.00.05.916349E-62.6030168E-62.6030168E-61.00.07.2029165E-53.169131E-53.169131E-51.00.07.200583E-43.168719E-43.168719E-41.00.0
7.51.3804846E-66.0737113E-76.0737113E-71.00.05.916349E-62.6030168E-62.6030168E-61.00.07.2029165E-53.169131E-53.169131E-51.00.07.200583E-43.168719E-43.168719E-41.00.0

Tin Mountain

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.083776E-64.1815365E-65.4181328E-512.9572765.0E-51.750178E-51.792077E-56.791987E-53.79000885.0E-52.1306332E-42.1816725E-42.7815416E-41.27495846.0E-50.00212859150.00217989650.00224974381.03204177.0E-5
6.14.083776E-64.1815365E-65.4181328E-512.9572765.0E-51.750178E-51.792077E-56.791987E-53.79000885.0E-52.1306332E-42.1816725E-42.7815416E-41.27495846.0E-50.00212859150.00217989650.00224974381.03204177.0E-5
6.24.083776E-64.1815365E-65.4181328E-512.9572765.0E-51.750178E-51.792077E-56.791987E-53.79000885.0E-52.1306332E-42.1816725E-42.7815416E-41.27495846.0E-50.00212859150.00217989650.00224974381.03204177.0E-5
6.34.083776E-64.1815365E-65.4181328E-512.9572765.0E-51.750178E-51.792077E-56.791987E-53.79000885.0E-52.1306332E-42.1816725E-42.7815416E-41.27495846.0E-50.00212859150.00217989650.00224974381.03204177.0E-5
6.44.083776E-64.1815365E-65.4181328E-512.9572765.0E-51.750178E-51.792077E-56.791987E-53.79000885.0E-52.1306332E-42.1816725E-42.7815416E-41.27495846.0E-50.00212859150.00217989650.00224974381.03204177.0E-5
6.52.3143427E-62.3731573E-63.2373086E-513.6413573.0E-59.9185745E-61.0170638E-54.0170333E-53.94963743.0E-51.2075195E-41.2382126E-41.6381631E-41.32300634.0E-50.00120686360.00123759860.00127754911.03228074.0E-5
6.62.3143427E-62.3731573E-63.2373086E-513.6413573.0E-59.9185745E-61.0170638E-54.0170333E-53.94963743.0E-51.2075195E-41.2382126E-41.6381631E-41.32300634.0E-50.00120686360.00123759860.00127754911.03228074.0E-5
6.71.7029532E-61.7497915E-63.174974E-518.144873.0E-57.2983503E-67.499088E-63.7498863E-55.00045633.0E-58.885379E-59.1298105E-51.3129445E-41.43808524.0E-58.881827E-49.1265864E-49.526221E-41.0437884.0E-5
6.81.2914646E-61.3299378E-62.1329912E-516.0382772.0E-55.534837E-65.6997237E-62.569961E-54.5089222.0E-56.738455E-56.939237E-59.939029E-51.43229423.0E-56.736412E-46.9375033E-47.2372955E-41.04321323.0E-5
6.95.8708974E-76.1169936E-76.1169936E-71.00.02.5160964E-62.6215664E-62.6215664E-61.00.03.0633044E-53.1917145E-53.1917145E-51.00.03.0628822E-43.191297E-43.191297E-41.00.0
7.04.6248786E-74.832015E-74.832015E-71.00.01.9820893E-62.0708624E-62.0708624E-61.00.02.413167E-52.5212494E-52.5212494E-51.00.02.412905E-42.5210003E-42.5210003E-41.00.0
7.13.804606E-73.987147E-73.987147E-71.00.01.6305444E-61.7087764E-61.7087764E-61.00.01.9851697E-52.0804187E-52.0804187E-51.00.01.9849923E-42.0802575E-42.0802575E-41.00.0
7.23.5864858E-73.7616863E-73.7616863E-71.00.01.5370645E-61.6121504E-61.6121504E-61.00.01.87136E-51.9627789E-51.9627789E-51.00.01.8712023E-41.9626386E-41.9626386E-41.00.0
7.33.342063E-73.506347E-73.506347E-71.00.01.4323119E-61.5027196E-61.5027196E-61.00.01.7438259E-51.829549E-51.829549E-51.00.01.743689E-41.8294314E-41.8294314E-41.00.0
7.42.971242E-73.1165817E-73.1165817E-71.00.01.2733886E-61.3356774E-61.3356774E-61.00.01.5503398E-51.6261785E-51.6261785E-51.00.01.5502315E-41.6260923E-41.6260923E-41.00.0
7.51.4326713E-71.5012525E-71.5012525E-71.00.06.140018E-76.433939E-76.433939E-71.00.07.4754466E-67.8333205E-67.8333205E-61.00.07.475195E-57.833321E-57.833321E-51.00.0

Kern Canyon (North Kern) 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.6264497E-66.75733E-62.6757196E-53.95972872.0E-52.8398761E-52.895971E-56.895855E-52.38118934.0E-53.4570007E-43.5253543E-44.2251076E-41.19849167.0E-50.00345162770.00352055020.0035903041.01981337.0E-5
6.16.6264497E-66.75733E-62.6757196E-53.95972872.0E-52.8398761E-52.895971E-56.895855E-52.38118934.0E-53.4570007E-43.5253543E-44.2251076E-41.19849167.0E-50.00345162770.00352055020.0035903041.01981337.0E-5
6.26.6264497E-66.75733E-62.6757196E-53.95972872.0E-52.8398761E-52.895971E-56.895855E-52.38118934.0E-53.4570007E-43.5253543E-44.2251076E-41.19849167.0E-50.00345162770.00352055020.0035903041.01981337.0E-5
6.36.6264497E-66.75733E-62.6757196E-53.95972872.0E-52.8398761E-52.895971E-56.895855E-52.38118934.0E-53.4570007E-43.5253543E-44.2251076E-41.19849167.0E-50.00345162770.00352055020.0035903041.01981337.0E-5
6.46.6264497E-66.75733E-62.6757196E-53.95972872.0E-52.8398761E-52.895971E-56.895855E-52.38118934.0E-53.4570007E-43.5253543E-44.2251076E-41.19849167.0E-50.00345162770.00352055020.0035903041.01981337.0E-5
6.53.2162225E-63.2570915E-61.32570585E-54.0702141.0E-51.3783738E-51.3958894E-53.3958615E-52.43275832.0E-51.6780409E-41.6993708E-42.0993028E-41.23534124.0E-50.00167677440.0016981510.00173808311.0235154.0E-5
6.63.2162225E-63.2570915E-61.32570585E-54.0702141.0E-51.3783738E-51.3958894E-53.3958615E-52.43275832.0E-51.6780409E-41.6993708E-42.0993028E-41.23534124.0E-50.00167677440.0016981510.00173808311.0235154.0E-5
6.72.1908265E-62.2071222E-61.2207101E-55.53077651.0E-59.389223E-69.459062E-62.9458874E-53.11435462.0E-51.1430779E-41.1515819E-41.5515358E-41.34730834.0E-50.00114249010.00115100460.00119095851.03471224.0E-5
6.81.7303895E-61.736553E-61.1736535E-56.75852441.0E-57.415934E-67.442349E-62.74422E-53.68730352.0E-59.028525E-59.060693E-51.3060331E-41.44142744.0E-59.024858E-49.0570963E-49.456734E-41.04412424.0E-5
6.91.3700314E-61.3688623E-61.1368848E-58.3053261.0E-55.87155E-65.86654E-62.5866422E-54.40914442.0E-57.148377E-57.142283E-51.1141997E-41.56000514.0E-57.146078E-47.140033E-47.539747E-41.05598214.0E-5
7.01.1467797E-61.1413805E-61.1141369E-59.761311.0E-54.9147607E-64.8916218E-62.4891524E-55.08860352.0E-55.983557E-55.95539E-59.9551515E-51.67162054.0E-55.981946E-45.9538253E-46.3535874E-41.06714374.0E-5
7.19.3952065E-79.3026915E-71.093026E-511.7495671.0E-54.026511E-63.986862E-62.3986782E-56.0164572.0E-54.9021666E-54.853898E-57.853752E-51.618033.0E-54.901085E-44.8528553E-45.15271E-41.06178933.0E-5
7.26.858055E-76.7193014E-71.06719235E-515.8824891.0E-52.939163E-62.8796974E-61.2879668E-54.4725771.0E-53.5783723E-53.5059762E-55.505906E-51.57043462.0E-53.5777962E-43.5054318E-43.7053617E-41.05703432.0E-5
7.35.1101983E-74.939301E-71.0493925E-521.2457711.0E-52.1900833E-62.1168414E-61.21168205E-55.72400951.0E-52.6663936E-52.5772246E-54.577173E-51.77600862.0E-52.6660739E-42.5769303E-42.7768788E-41.07759182.0E-5
7.43.4999414E-73.2995916E-71.0329956E-531.3067721.0E-51.499974E-61.4141099E-61.1414096E-58.0715761.0E-51.8262032E-51.7216655E-53.721631E-52.1616462.0E-51.826053E-41.7215345E-41.9215001E-41.11615542.0E-5
7.51.7021522E-71.4750053E-71.4750053E-71.00.07.2949354E-76.32145E-76.32145E-71.00.08.881548E-67.696339E-67.696339E-61.00.08.8811925E-57.696081E-57.696081E-51.00.0
7.62.572245E-81.735264E-81.735264E-81.00.01.10239064E-77.436845E-87.436845E-81.00.01.3421597E-69.0543557E-79.0543557E-71.00.01.3421517E-59.054324E-69.054324E-61.00.0

San Jacinto (Lytle Creek connector)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.693995E-66.660123E-64.6659858E-57.0058554.0E-52.8688235E-52.8543072E-58.854136E-53.10202626.0E-53.492233E-43.4745657E-44.0743573E-41.17262346.0E-50.003486750.00354911670.00361886831.01965327.0E-5
6.16.693995E-66.660123E-64.6659858E-57.0058554.0E-52.8688235E-52.8543072E-58.854136E-53.10202626.0E-53.492233E-43.4745657E-44.0743573E-41.17262346.0E-50.003486750.00354911670.00361886831.01965327.0E-5
6.26.693995E-66.660123E-64.6659858E-57.0058554.0E-52.8688235E-52.8543072E-58.854136E-53.10202626.0E-53.492233E-43.4745657E-44.0743573E-41.17262346.0E-50.003486750.00354911670.00361886831.01965327.0E-5
6.36.693995E-66.660123E-64.6659858E-57.0058554.0E-52.8688235E-52.8543072E-58.854136E-53.10202626.0E-53.492233E-43.4745657E-44.0743573E-41.17262346.0E-50.003486750.00354911670.00361886831.01965327.0E-5
6.46.693995E-66.660123E-64.6659858E-57.0058554.0E-52.8688235E-52.8543072E-58.854136E-53.10202626.0E-53.492233E-43.4745657E-44.0743573E-41.17262346.0E-50.003486750.00354911670.00361886831.01965327.0E-5
6.56.6561875E-66.620341E-64.6620076E-57.0419454.0E-52.8526205E-52.8372582E-58.837088E-53.11465766.0E-53.472512E-43.453815E-44.053608E-41.1736616.0E-50.00346709070.00352843220.00359818531.01976887.0E-5
6.66.6561875E-66.620341E-64.6620076E-57.0419454.0E-52.8526205E-52.8372582E-58.837088E-53.11465766.0E-53.472512E-43.453815E-44.053608E-41.1736616.0E-50.00346709070.00352843220.00359818531.01976887.0E-5
6.76.5802237E-66.539518E-64.6539255E-57.1166194.0E-52.8200653E-52.8026205E-58.802452E-53.14079366.0E-53.4328885E-43.4116567E-44.011452E-41.17580766.0E-50.00342759020.00348640650.00355616261.0200087.0E-5
6.86.575632E-66.5340073E-64.6533747E-57.12177754.0E-52.8180975E-52.8002589E-58.800091E-53.1425996.0E-53.4304935E-43.4087826E-44.008578E-41.17595596.0E-50.00342520260.00348354130.00355329761.02002457.0E-5
6.96.570433E-66.525401E-64.652514E-57.12985134.0E-52.8158694E-52.7965707E-58.796403E-53.14542486.0E-53.4277816E-43.4042934E-44.0040893E-41.1761886.0E-50.00342249920.00347906650.0035488231.02005037.0E-5
7.06.5643826E-66.5155223E-64.6515263E-57.13914544.0E-52.8132765E-52.7923368E-58.792169E-53.14867786.0E-53.424626E-43.3991406E-43.9989364E-41.17645536.0E-50.00341935320.00347392960.00354368641.02008017.0E-5
7.16.557402E-66.504234E-64.6503974E-57.14980034.0E-52.8102848E-52.7874992E-58.787332E-53.1524076.0E-53.4209844E-43.3932526E-43.9930487E-41.17676156.0E-50.00341572290.00346806060.00353781791.02011427.0E-5
7.26.546394E-66.4862006E-64.648594E-57.16689874.0E-52.8055672E-52.7797707E-58.779604E-53.15839156.0E-53.4152428E-43.383846E-43.983643E-41.1772536.0E-50.00340999870.00345868830.0035284461.02016897.0E-5
7.36.5364216E-66.4669857E-64.646673E-57.18522174.0E-52.8012933E-52.771536E-58.77137E-53.16480476.0E-53.4100408E-43.373823E-43.9736208E-41.17777986.0E-50.0034048130.00344871030.0035184691.02022747.0E-5
7.46.5269523E-66.4480723E-64.6447814E-57.20336444.0E-52.7972354E-52.7634303E-58.7632645E-53.17115456.0E-53.4051016E-43.3639578E-43.9637557E-41.17830136.0E-50.00339988880.00343889230.00350865141.02028547.0E-5
7.56.5111835E-66.424346E-64.6424087E-57.2262754.0E-52.7904773E-52.753262E-58.753097E-53.17917326.0E-53.3968766E-43.3515817E-43.9513805E-41.178966.0E-50.00339168870.00342656440.00349632441.02035877.0E-5
7.66.4768806E-66.383454E-64.63832E-57.266164.0E-52.7757764E-52.7357375E-58.735574E-53.19313296.0E-53.3789838E-43.330252E-43.9300523E-41.18010656.0E-50.00337385040.00340529720.00347505881.02048627.0E-5
7.76.1655364E-66.1759456E-64.6175697E-57.4767014.0E-52.642346E-52.646807E-58.646648E-53.26682236.0E-53.2165812E-43.2220117E-43.8218184E-41.1861596.0E-50.00321192950.00329693620.00336670551.02116187.0E-5
7.85.5043524E-65.7370175E-64.573679E-57.97222384.0E-52.3589868E-52.4586987E-58.458551E-53.44025526.0E-52.871688E-42.993055E-43.5928754E-41.2004046.0E-50.00286797970.00306705850.0031368441.02275317.0E-5
7.93.889249E-64.0766436E-64.407648E-510.8119544.0E-51.6668104E-51.7471213E-57.747016E-54.43416076.0E-52.0291525E-42.126913E-42.7267853E-41.28203896.0E-50.00202730070.00219410730.00226395371.03183367.0E-5
8.02.668535E-62.5313454E-63.253127E-512.8513763.0E-51.1436528E-51.0848577E-55.0848143E-54.68707944.0E-51.3923083E-41.3207346E-41.7206818E-41.30282184.0E-50.00139143630.00137556650.00142549771.03629865.0E-5
8.11.5911459E-61.2185134E-62.121849E-517.4134242.0E-56.8191785E-65.2221894E-63.5222034E-56.74468663.0E-58.3020335E-56.357832E-59.357642E-51.47182893.0E-58.298933E-46.6911156E-47.090848E-41.05974084.0E-5
8.26.1294963E-72.1802066E-72.1802066E-71.00.02.6269242E-69.3437393E-79.3437393E-71.00.03.1982334E-51.1375943E-51.1375943E-51.00.03.1977732E-41.2778955E-41.2778955E-41.00.0
8.31.762871E-74.7516316E-84.7516316E-81.00.07.5551594E-72.0364133E-72.0364133E-71.00.09.1983675E-62.4793305E-62.4793305E-61.00.09.197987E-52.8671833E-52.8671833E-51.00.0

Kern Canyon (South Kern) 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.105075E-64.113726E-63.4113604E-58.2926293.0E-51.7593058E-51.7630138E-55.7629433E-53.26880224.0E-52.1417443E-42.1462643E-42.7461356E-41.27949556.0E-50.00213968130.00214425540.00220412671.02792186.0E-5
6.14.105075E-64.113726E-63.4113604E-58.2926293.0E-51.7593058E-51.7630138E-55.7629433E-53.26880224.0E-52.1417443E-42.1462643E-42.7461356E-41.27949556.0E-50.00213968130.00214425540.00220412671.02792186.0E-5
6.24.105075E-64.113726E-63.4113604E-58.2926293.0E-51.7593058E-51.7630138E-55.7629433E-53.26880224.0E-52.1417443E-42.1462643E-42.7461356E-41.27949556.0E-50.00213968130.00214425540.00220412671.02792186.0E-5
6.34.105075E-64.113726E-63.4113604E-58.2926293.0E-51.7593058E-51.7630138E-55.7629433E-53.26880224.0E-52.1417443E-42.1462643E-42.7461356E-41.27949556.0E-50.00213968130.00214425540.00220412671.02792186.0E-5
6.44.105075E-64.113726E-63.4113604E-58.2926293.0E-51.7593058E-51.7630138E-55.7629433E-53.26880224.0E-52.1417443E-42.1462643E-42.7461356E-41.27949556.0E-50.00213968130.00214425540.00220412671.02792186.0E-5
6.52.9849807E-62.973154E-63.2973065E-511.0902643.0E-51.2792712E-51.2742028E-55.2741518E-54.1391784.0E-51.5574014E-41.551233E-42.1511399E-41.38672916.0E-50.00155631030.00155016540.00161007231.03864556.0E-5
6.62.9849807E-62.973154E-63.2973065E-511.0902643.0E-51.2792712E-51.2742028E-55.2741518E-54.1391784.0E-51.5574014E-41.551233E-42.1511399E-41.38672916.0E-50.00155631030.00155016540.00161007231.03864556.0E-5
6.72.6756725E-62.6582202E-62.2658167E-58.5238112.0E-51.1467117E-51.1392323E-54.139198E-53.63332223.0E-51.396032E-41.386928E-41.8868588E-41.3604595.0E-50.00139515530.00138607340.00143600421.03602315.0E-5
6.82.3283721E-62.3047783E-62.2304732E-59.6776052.0E-59.9787E-69.877584E-63.9877286E-54.037153.0E-51.214839E-41.2025302E-41.70247E-41.415745.0E-50.0012141750.0012018870.00125182691.04155125.0E-5
6.92.0972677E-62.0696405E-62.2069598E-510.6634942.0E-58.988259E-68.869858E-63.886959E-54.3822113.0E-51.0942656E-41.0798523E-41.5797983E-41.46297635.0E-50.00109372680.00107933340.00112927941.04627495.0E-5
7.01.7132242E-61.6787029E-61.1678686E-56.956971.0E-57.3423685E-67.1944214E-62.7194277E-53.77991152.0E-58.938967E-58.75886E-51.275851E-41.45664054.0E-58.935372E-48.755446E-49.155096E-41.04564584.0E-5
7.11.4215541E-61.3815746E-61.138156E-58.2381081.0E-56.0923603E-65.9210206E-62.5920903E-54.3777762.0E-57.417196E-57.208607E-51.02083904E-41.41613913.0E-57.414721E-47.206296E-47.506079E-41.04160023.0E-5
7.29.097853E-78.60377E-71.0860368E-512.6228031.0E-53.899074E-63.6873246E-61.3687288E-53.71198341.0E-54.7470192E-54.4892266E-56.489136E-51.44549112.0E-54.7460053E-44.4883305E-44.6882406E-41.044542.0E-5
7.36.144169E-75.628199E-71.0562814E-518.7676641.0E-52.6332125E-62.4120832E-61.2412059E-55.14578441.0E-53.205889E-52.9366722E-54.9366132E-51.6810232.0E-53.2054266E-42.9362892E-43.1362305E-41.06809322.0E-5
7.44.049844E-73.5728252E-71.0357279E-528.9890461.0E-51.7356463E-61.5312098E-61.1531194E-57.53077361.0E-52.1131287E-51.8642324E-53.864195E-52.07280762.0E-52.1129279E-41.8640784E-42.0640412E-41.10727172.0E-5
7.51.9871162E-71.5830383E-71.5830383E-71.00.08.5162094E-76.784448E-76.784448E-71.00.01.0368436E-58.260035E-68.260035E-61.00.01.0367952E-48.259736E-58.259736E-51.00.0
7.62.572245E-81.735264E-81.735264E-81.00.01.10239064E-77.436845E-87.436845E-81.00.01.3421597E-69.0543557E-79.0543557E-71.00.01.3421517E-59.054324E-69.054324E-61.00.0

Palos Verdes

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.126063E-57.622572E-59.62242E-51.26235872.0E-52.6251914E-43.266441E-43.5663432E-41.09181313.0E-50.00319148650.00397017370.0040100151.01003524.0E-50.0314603930.039049090.0390971341.00123055.0E-5
6.16.126063E-57.622572E-59.62242E-51.26235872.0E-52.6251914E-43.266441E-43.5663432E-41.09181313.0E-50.00319148650.00397017370.0040100151.01003524.0E-50.0314603930.039049090.0390971341.00123055.0E-5
6.26.126063E-57.622572E-59.62242E-51.26235872.0E-52.6251914E-43.266441E-43.5663432E-41.09181313.0E-50.00319148650.00397017370.0040100151.01003524.0E-50.0314603930.039049090.0390971341.00123055.0E-5
6.34.0838047E-54.9749007E-56.974801E-51.4019982.0E-51.7500846E-42.1319388E-42.3318961E-41.09379142.0E-50.00212864580.0025927540.00261270231.00769382.0E-50.0210837090.0256467460.0256759771.00113983.0E-5
6.44.0838047E-54.9749007E-56.974801E-51.4019982.0E-51.7500846E-42.1319388E-42.3318961E-41.09379142.0E-50.00212864580.0025927540.00261270231.00769382.0E-50.0210837090.0256467460.0256759771.00113983.0E-5
6.53.0512005E-53.6561592E-54.656123E-51.2735011.0E-51.3075917E-41.566838E-41.6668225E-41.06381291.0E-50.00159083040.0019060720.0019160531.00523641.0E-50.0157949030.0189091730.0189287941.00103772.0E-5
6.62.9255087E-53.5154393E-54.515404E-51.28444951.0E-51.2537291E-41.5065364E-41.6065213E-41.06636741.0E-50.00152534640.00183277820.00184275991.00544621.0E-50.0151491890.0181882440.018207881.00107962.0E-5
6.72.287198E-52.724828E-53.7248006E-51.36698571.0E-59.801909E-51.16773626E-41.2677246E-41.08562581.0E-50.0011927290.00142088330.00143086921.00702791.0E-50.0118634770.0141272170.0141370761.00069791.0E-5
6.82.1325764E-52.5431878E-53.5431625E-51.39319731.0E-59.139293E-51.0898972E-41.18988624E-41.09174181.0E-50.0011121410.00132623230.0013362191.00753021.0E-50.0110659150.0131922110.013202081.0007481.0E-5
6.91.9009392E-52.2613547E-53.2613323E-51.44220281.0E-58.1466285E-59.6912096E-51.0691113E-41.10317621.0E-59.914007E-40.00117935350.00118934171.00846921.0E-50.0098698940.0117396330.0117495151.00084191.0E-5
7.01.7098473E-52.0319356E-53.0319152E-51.49213161.0E-57.3277115E-58.708052E-59.7079654E-51.11482621.0E-58.917837E-40.0010597750.00106976441.0094261.0E-50.0088821340.0105556460.0105655411.00093731.0E-5
7.11.5982785E-51.899476E-52.8994571E-51.5264511.0E-56.849585E-58.1404054E-59.1403235E-51.1228341.0E-58.336179E-49.907284E-40.00100071841.01008361.0E-50.0083049770.0098714790.0098813811.0010031.0E-5
7.21.4468002E-51.7197237E-52.7197064E-51.58147881.0E-56.200425E-57.370083E-58.370009E-51.13567361.0E-57.546402E-48.970222E-49.0701325E-41.0111381.0E-50.0075208270.0089422840.0089521941.00110831.0E-5
7.35.288233E-66.2036747E-61.6203612E-52.61193781.0E-52.2663658E-52.6587102E-53.6586836E-51.37611221.0E-52.7589512E-43.236848E-43.3368156E-41.03088431.0E-50.00275552830.00323555620.0032455241.00308061.0E-5
7.48.279556E-78.408347E-71.0840827E-512.8929351.0E-53.5483763E-63.6035726E-61.3603537E-53.7750141.0E-54.3200624E-54.3872686E-55.387225E-51.22792221.0E-54.3192226E-44.3864746E-44.4864308E-41.02278731.0E-5
7.56.559831E-76.667229E-76.667229E-71.00.02.8113532E-62.857381E-62.857381E-61.00.03.4227687E-53.4788125E-53.4788125E-51.00.03.4222414E-43.4783344E-43.4783344E-41.00.0
7.63.5018968E-73.5620027E-73.5620027E-71.00.01.500812E-61.526572E-61.526572E-61.00.01.8272232E-51.8585903E-51.8585903E-51.00.01.8270731E-41.8584808E-41.8584808E-41.00.0
7.71.1986104E-71.2198376E-71.2198376E-71.00.05.1369005E-75.2278745E-75.2278745E-71.00.06.2541585E-66.364919E-66.364919E-61.00.06.2539824E-56.364741E-56.364741E-51.00.0
7.83.0445005E-83.1027582E-83.1027582E-81.00.01.3047858E-71.3297536E-71.3297536E-71.00.01.5885756E-61.6189739E-61.6189739E-61.00.01.5885644E-51.6189642E-51.6189642E-51.00.0

San Jacinto (Coyote Creek)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.7374346E-52.41444E-56.414343E-52.6566594.0E-51.1731335E-41.034719E-41.5346672E-41.4831735.0E-50.00142735420.0012590450.0013089821.03966265.0E-50.014182210.0129281950.0129874191.0045816.0E-5
6.12.7374346E-52.41444E-56.414343E-52.6566594.0E-51.1731335E-41.034719E-41.5346672E-41.4831735.0E-50.00142735420.0012590450.0013089821.03966265.0E-50.014182210.0129281950.0129874191.0045816.0E-5
6.22.7374346E-52.41444E-56.414343E-52.6566594.0E-51.1731335E-41.034719E-41.5346672E-41.4831735.0E-50.00142735420.0012590450.0013089821.03966265.0E-50.014182210.0129281950.0129874191.0045816.0E-5
6.32.7374346E-52.41444E-56.414343E-52.6566594.0E-51.1731335E-41.034719E-41.5346672E-41.4831735.0E-50.00142735420.0012590450.0013089821.03966265.0E-50.014182210.0129281950.0129874191.0045816.0E-5
6.42.7374346E-52.41444E-56.414343E-52.6566594.0E-51.1731335E-41.034719E-41.5346672E-41.4831735.0E-50.00142735420.0012590450.0013089821.03966265.0E-50.014182210.0129281950.0129874191.0045816.0E-5
6.52.7282445E-52.4030476E-56.402952E-52.66451294.0E-51.16919524E-41.0298371E-41.5297855E-41.48546375.0E-50.00142256570.0012531080.00130304541.03985085.0E-50.0141349340.0128695220.012928751.00460226.0E-5
6.62.7282445E-52.4030476E-56.402952E-52.66451294.0E-51.16919524E-41.0298371E-41.5297855E-41.48546375.0E-50.00142256570.0012531080.00130304541.03985085.0E-50.0141349340.0128695220.012928751.00460226.0E-5
6.72.7216198E-52.3955597E-56.395464E-52.6697164.0E-51.1663563E-41.02662816E-41.5265768E-41.48698135.0E-50.00141911370.00124920580.00129914331.03997545.0E-50.0141008550.0128309340.0128901641.00461616.0E-5
6.82.7078617E-52.3872815E-56.387186E-52.67550594.0E-51.1604605E-41.0230807E-41.5230295E-41.488675.0E-50.0014119450.00124489170.00129482941.04011425.0E-50.0140300750.01278808250.0128473151.00463196.0E-5
6.92.6982952E-52.3792329E-56.3791376E-52.6811744.0E-51.15636096E-41.0196315E-41.5195805E-41.49032325.0E-50.00140696020.00124069710.00129063511.040255.0E-50.0139808560.0127463780.0128056141.00464736.0E-5
7.02.6449972E-52.3369357E-56.3368425E-52.71160324.0E-51.1335209E-41.0015055E-41.5014554E-41.49919835.0E-50.0013791880.00121865350.00126859271.04097895.0E-50.01370659750.0125277330.0125869811.00472946.0E-5
7.12.6257849E-52.3195396E-56.319447E-52.724444.0E-51.1252879E-49.940507E-51.494001E-41.50294245.0E-50.00136917690.00120958730.00125952691.04128655.0E-50.0136077170.0124376610.0124969151.00476416.0E-5
7.22.5270041E-52.2390155E-56.238926E-52.78645944.0E-51.0829568E-49.5954296E-51.459495E-41.52103145.0E-50.00131770240.00116761980.00121756141.04277225.0E-50.0130991620.01201879050.0120780691.00493226.0E-5
7.32.339701E-52.1122027E-56.112118E-52.89371754.0E-51.0026905E-49.051985E-51.4051532E-41.55231515.0E-50.0012200920.0011015240.0011514691.04534165.0E-50.0121341490.0113576420.01141696051.00522286.0E-5
7.42.296333E-52.0852396E-56.0851562E-52.91820484.0E-59.841056E-58.936436E-51.393599E-41.55945725.0E-50.00119748990.00108747010.00113741561.04592825.0E-50.0119105750.0112167540.0112760811.00528926.0E-5
7.52.2188895E-52.037534E-56.0374525E-52.96311744.0E-59.50918E-58.731998E-51.3731561E-41.57255665.0E-50.00115712770.00106260420.00111255121.04700425.0E-50.0115112090.0109663690.0110257111.00541136.0E-5
7.62.0013189E-51.8961666E-55.8960908E-53.10947944.0E-58.5767984E-58.126176E-51.312577E-41.61524565.0E-50.0010437259.889146E-40.00103886521.05051055.0E-50.0103883650.0102243710.0102837581.00580846.0E-5
7.71.7230794E-51.6743043E-55.6742374E-53.3890124.0E-57.384417E-57.175393E-51.2175034E-41.69677595.0E-58.986819E-48.732547E-49.232111E-41.05720715.0E-50.0089505620.009062920.0091223761.00656036.0E-5
7.81.4478809E-51.499039E-55.498979E-53.66833624.0E-56.205057E-56.424295E-51.1423974E-41.77824565.0E-57.552038E-47.8187784E-48.3183876E-41.06389865.0E-50.00752642420.0081413880.00820091.00730986.0E-5
7.91.1114467E-51.1644517E-55.1644052E-54.43505334.0E-54.7632562E-54.990412E-59.990163E-52.00187135.0E-55.797721E-46.074139E-46.5738347E-41.08226625.0E-50.00578261870.00638035450.00643997171.00934396.0E-5
8.09.327402E-69.8986575E-64.9898263E-55.0409124.0E-53.9973966E-54.2422133E-59.2420014E-52.178585.0E-54.8657437E-45.163676E-45.663418E-41.09678035.0E-50.00485510330.005449940.0055096131.01094936.0E-5
8.17.0235833E-66.826985E-63.682678E-55.3942963.0E-53.0100724E-52.9258183E-56.925701E-52.3670994.0E-53.664147E-43.5616063E-43.961464E-41.11226894.0E-50.0036581110.00378745720.00383726791.01315155.0E-5
8.22.0358202E-68.9912584E-78.9912584E-71.00.08.724915E-63.853391E-63.853391E-61.00.01.06220665E-44.6914047E-54.6914047E-51.00.00.0010616995.3239096E-45.3239096E-41.00.0
8.32.0051264E-76.61379E-86.61379E-81.00.08.5933965E-72.8344812E-72.8344812E-71.00.01.046241E-53.450976E-63.450976E-61.00.01.0461917E-44.0120205E-54.0120205E-51.00.0

Owens Valley

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.83821E-53.6210524E-63.3620945E-59.2848543.0E-52.0733538E-41.551871E-55.551809E-53.5774944.0E-50.0025213861.889249E-42.3891545E-41.26460545.0E-50.0249296910.00192971410.00198959841.03103276.0E-5
6.14.83821E-53.6210524E-63.3620945E-59.2848543.0E-52.0733538E-41.551871E-55.551809E-53.5774944.0E-50.0025213861.889249E-42.3891545E-41.26460545.0E-50.0249296910.00192971410.00198959841.03103276.0E-5
6.24.83821E-53.6210524E-63.3620945E-59.2848543.0E-52.0733538E-41.551871E-55.551809E-53.5774944.0E-50.0025213861.889249E-42.3891545E-41.26460545.0E-50.0249296910.00192971410.00198959841.03103276.0E-5
6.33.953008E-53.1530958E-63.3153003E-510.5144283.0E-51.6940363E-41.3513202E-55.351266E-53.96002824.0E-50.0020605381.6451156E-42.0450498E-41.2431044.0E-50.0204153640.00166216270.00171207961.03003135.0E-5
6.43.953008E-53.1530958E-63.3153003E-510.5144283.0E-51.6940363E-41.3513202E-55.351266E-53.96002824.0E-50.0020605381.6451156E-42.0450498E-41.2431044.0E-50.0204153640.00166216270.00171207961.03003135.0E-5
6.53.457342E-52.9707387E-63.297065E-511.0984683.0E-51.4816338E-41.273168E-55.273117E-54.14172944.0E-50.00180239651.5499788E-41.9499168E-41.2580284.0E-50.0178784770.00155631190.0016062341.03207725.0E-5
6.63.1127765E-52.8737306E-63.2873646E-511.4393623.0E-51.3339789E-41.2315934E-55.231544E-54.2477854.0E-50.00162290921.4993687E-41.8993087E-41.26673894.0E-50.0161110810.00150134380.00155126871.03325365.0E-5
6.72.806885E-52.8101606E-63.2810076E-511.6755173.0E-51.2028952E-41.2043493E-55.204301E-54.32125574.0E-50.0014635411.4662035E-41.8661449E-41.27277344.0E-50.0145393970.00146560870.00151553541.03406555.0E-5
6.82.524524E-52.2351392E-63.223507E-514.4219533.0E-51.0818939E-49.579134E-64.957875E-55.17570264.0E-50.00131640991.16620016E-41.5661535E-41.34295434.0E-50.013086390.0011658270.00121576871.0428385.0E-5
6.92.2704568E-51.6079711E-63.1607924E-519.6570223.0E-59.730166E-56.8912864E-64.689101E-56.80439144.0E-50.00118400398.38982E-51.2389485E-41.47672834.0E-50.0117771538.38853E-48.888111E-41.05955525.0E-5
7.02.0871712E-51.5393621E-63.1539315E-520.4885623.0E-58.944713E-56.5972495E-64.6596986E-57.06309274.0E-50.00108847468.031857E-51.2031536E-41.49797684.0E-50.0108315868.030395E-48.529994E-41.06221345.0E-5
7.11.944928E-51.3862556E-63.1386215E-522.6413.0E-58.335139E-55.941082E-64.5940844E-57.73274044.0E-50.00101433087.233028E-51.1232738E-41.55297884.0E-50.0100971337.2319806E-47.731619E-41.06908745.0E-5
7.21.7876306E-51.2487686E-63.1248732E-525.0236363.0E-57.6610486E-55.3518543E-64.535164E-58.4740054.0E-59.3233347E-46.515689E-51.0515428E-41.61386294.0E-50.0092843166.5148395E-47.014514E-41.07669785.0E-5
7.31.2618672E-51.1113839E-63.111135E-527.9933433.0E-55.40789E-54.763065E-64.4762874E-59.3979134.0E-56.582117E-45.7988782E-59.798646E-51.68974854.0E-50.00656265535.7983754E-46.298086E-41.0861815.0E-5
7.47.4874442E-68.547518E-73.0854728E-536.0978783.0E-53.208865E-53.6632168E-64.366307E-511.9193254.0E-53.906093E-44.4598757E-58.459697E-51.89684594.0E-50.0038992344.459579E-44.959356E-41.11206825.0E-5
7.52.4734156E-66.0679935E-73.060678E-550.4397053.0E-51.060031E-52.6005662E-63.260049E-512.5359193.0E-51.2905113E-43.1661435E-56.166049E-51.9474953.0E-50.00128976213.1656958E-43.565569E-41.12631454.0E-5
7.61.1328841E-63.1961991E-71.0319617E-532.287151.0E-54.8552088E-61.369799E-61.1369785E-58.3003311.0E-55.9110564E-51.6677177E-52.667701E-51.59961191.0E-55.9094845E-41.6675945E-41.7675778E-41.05995671.0E-5
7.74.8613185E-78.962742E-88.962742E-81.00.02.0834207E-63.8411747E-73.8411747E-71.00.02.536535E-54.676621E-64.676621E-61.00.02.5362454E-44.676529E-54.676529E-51.00.0

Deep Springs

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.9810619E-52.311252E-56.31116E-52.73062374.0E-58.489989E-59.9052755E-51.3904879E-41.40378524.0E-50.0010331660.00120580780.00126573551.04969926.0E-50.0102837570.012042430.0121017081.00492246.0E-5
6.11.9810619E-52.311252E-56.31116E-52.73062374.0E-58.489989E-59.9052755E-51.3904879E-41.40378524.0E-50.0010331660.00120580780.00126573551.04969926.0E-50.0102837570.012042430.0121017081.00492246.0E-5
6.21.9810619E-52.311252E-56.31116E-52.73062374.0E-58.489989E-59.9052755E-51.3904879E-41.40378524.0E-50.0010331660.00120580780.00126573551.04969926.0E-50.0102837570.012042430.0121017081.00492246.0E-5
6.31.9810619E-52.311252E-56.31116E-52.73062374.0E-58.489989E-59.9052755E-51.3904879E-41.40378524.0E-50.0010331660.00120580780.00126573551.04969926.0E-50.0102837570.012042430.0121017081.00492246.0E-5
6.41.9810619E-52.311252E-56.31116E-52.73062374.0E-58.489989E-59.9052755E-51.3904879E-41.40378524.0E-50.0010331660.00120580780.00126573551.04969926.0E-50.0102837570.012042430.0121017081.00492246.0E-5
6.51.7190405E-52.0050558E-56.0049755E-52.9949174.0E-57.367108E-58.593096E-51.2592753E-41.46544994.0E-58.9657627E-40.00104620920.00110614651.057296.0E-50.0089296760.0104620610.0105214331.0056756.0E-5
6.61.7190405E-52.0050558E-56.0049755E-52.9949174.0E-57.367108E-58.593096E-51.2592753E-41.46544994.0E-58.9657627E-40.00104620920.00110614651.057296.0E-50.0089296760.0104620610.0105214331.0056756.0E-5

Rose Canyon

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5923203E-54.9714607E-58.9712616E-51.80455264.0E-51.9679888E-42.1304654E-42.630359E-41.23464055.0E-50.00239339330.00259094780.00265079251.02309756.0E-50.0236777980.0256185180.025676981.0022826.0E-5
6.14.5923203E-54.9714607E-56.971361E-51.40227632.0E-51.9679888E-42.1304654E-42.3304229E-41.09385622.0E-50.00239339330.00259094780.002620871.01154883.0E-50.0236777980.0256185180.025647751.00114113.0E-5
6.22.8844734E-52.9669678E-53.9669383E-51.33703451.0E-51.2361443E-41.2714976E-41.371485E-41.07863741.0E-50.00150396650.0015469760.00156694511.01290852.0E-50.01493828650.0153648730.0153845661.00128162.0E-5
6.32.3171577E-52.3162425E-52.3162425E-51.00.09.9302975E-59.926383E-59.926383E-51.00.00.00120834310.00120788040.00121786841.0082691.0E-50.0120179380.0120121520.0120220321.00082251.0E-5
6.42.0066604E-51.9668067E-51.9668067E-51.00.08.599689E-58.428905E-58.428905E-51.00.00.00104650920.0010257460.00103573581.0097391.0E-50.0104159460.0102114790.0102213771.00096931.0E-5
6.51.776989E-51.7115402E-51.7115402E-51.00.07.615444E-57.33497E-57.33497E-51.00.09.267859E-48.926737E-49.0266473E-41.01119231.0E-50.0092293030.0088746630.0088845741.00111681.0E-5
6.61.5227364E-51.4340872E-51.4340872E-51.00.06.52585E-56.145947E-56.145947E-51.00.07.942326E-47.480173E-47.580098E-41.01335871.0E-50.0079140.00744103360.0074509591.0013341.0E-5
6.71.2703898E-51.1674277E-51.1674277E-51.00.05.4444143E-55.0031682E-55.0031682E-51.00.06.626558E-46.089697E-46.189636E-41.01641121.0E-50.0066068330.00606230930.0060722491.00163951.0E-5
6.81.1554917E-51.0610384E-51.0610384E-51.00.04.9520135E-54.547231E-54.547231E-51.00.06.0274085E-45.5348873E-45.634832E-41.01805721.0E-50.00601108650.0055044140.0055143591.00180671.0E-5
6.98.732078E-67.882285E-67.882285E-61.00.03.7422655E-53.37808E-53.37808E-51.00.04.5552556E-44.112066E-44.2120248E-41.02430871.0E-50.00454592940.0040895150.00409947431.00243531.0E-5
7.05.9337494E-65.107436E-65.107436E-61.00.02.5430107E-52.1888829E-52.1888829E-51.00.03.0956755E-42.6646405E-42.764614E-41.03751851.0E-50.00309136670.0026614610.00267143451.00374731.0E-5
7.15.013409E-64.17734E-64.17734E-61.00.02.1485863E-51.7902763E-51.7902763E-51.00.02.6155898E-42.1794444E-42.1794444E-41.00.00.00261251330.00217731880.00217731881.00.0
7.24.120763E-63.2820917E-63.2820917E-61.00.01.7660293E-51.4066032E-51.4066032E-51.00.02.1499286E-41.7124058E-41.7124058E-41.00.00.00214784990.00171109580.00171109581.00.0
7.33.2081239E-62.4404965E-62.4404965E-61.00.01.374903E-51.0459229E-51.0459229E-51.00.01.6738157E-41.2733374E-41.2733374E-41.00.00.00167255560.00127261480.00127261481.00.0
7.42.4194755E-61.7680321E-61.7680321E-61.00.01.0369139E-57.5772587E-67.5772587E-61.00.01.2623696E-49.224927E-59.224927E-51.00.00.00126165279.221151E-49.221151E-41.00.0
7.51.3842889E-69.3782967E-79.3782967E-71.00.05.9326535E-64.019264E-64.019264E-61.00.07.222766E-54.8933474E-54.8933474E-51.00.07.220419E-44.8923056E-44.8923056E-41.00.0
7.61.0021575E-66.4113493E-76.4113493E-71.00.04.2949537E-62.7477186E-62.7477186E-61.00.05.2289808E-53.345298E-53.345298E-51.00.05.2277505E-43.344816E-43.344816E-41.00.0
7.78.7620116E-86.449304E-86.449304E-81.00.03.7551473E-72.763987E-72.763987E-71.00.04.5718825E-63.3651493E-63.3651493E-61.00.04.5717883E-53.3651013E-53.3651013E-51.00.0

Coronado Bank alt1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.533492E-59.3951705E-51.3394795E-41.42571074.0E-53.22824E-44.025903E-44.4257418E-41.09931664.0E-50.00392330070.0048911210.00494087631.01017265.0E-50.038547550.0479040.0479611271.00119256.0E-5
6.14.1807285E-55.0493105E-56.04926E-51.19803681.0E-51.7916178E-42.1638138E-42.2637921E-41.04620471.0E-50.00217911230.00263133650.0026512841.00758082.0E-50.0215786770.0260111240.0260306041.00074892.0E-5
6.24.1807285E-55.0493105E-56.04926E-51.19803681.0E-51.7916178E-42.1638138E-42.2637921E-41.04620471.0E-50.00217911230.00263133650.0026512841.00758082.0E-50.0215786770.0260111240.0260306041.00074892.0E-5
6.33.1793104E-53.7711125E-54.771075E-51.26516381.0E-51.3624904E-41.6160926E-41.7160765E-41.06186761.0E-50.00165756980.0019658490.00197582921.00507691.0E-50.0164526030.0194884950.01949831.00050321.0E-5
6.42.9878007E-53.5335797E-54.5335444E-51.28298911.0E-51.2804232E-41.5143053E-41.6142902E-41.06602691.0E-50.00155780030.00184213950.00185212111.00541841.0E-50.0154692530.0182724630.0182822811.00053731.0E-5
6.52.4512565E-52.8764101E-53.8763814E-51.34764551.0E-51.0504962E-41.2326906E-41.3326782E-41.08111331.0E-50.00127822870.00149979430.00150977941.00665761.0E-50.0127090120.01489969250.0149095441.00066111.0E-5
6.62.1317413E-52.490667E-53.490642E-51.40148891.0E-59.135714E-51.0673863E-41.1673757E-41.09367681.0E-50.00111170560.00129879030.00130877741.00768951.0E-50.0110616050.0129144070.0129242781.00076441.0E-5
6.71.8585655E-52.1634882E-53.1634663E-51.46220661.0E-57.9650374E-59.271774E-51.0271681E-41.10784421.0E-59.6931186E-40.00112827440.0011382631.00885311.0E-50.00965094750.0112276230.01123751051.00088071.0E-5
6.81.5862879E-51.8419476E-52.8419292E-51.54289361.0E-56.798199E-57.8938334E-58.8937544E-51.12667121.0E-58.273665E-49.606697E-49.7066007E-41.01039951.0E-50.0082429280.0095671510.00957705451.00103521.0E-5
6.91.3021509E-51.5095266E-52.5095114E-51.66244941.0E-55.5805274E-56.46925E-57.4691845E-51.15456751.0E-56.792174E-47.873646E-47.973567E-41.01269051.0E-50.0067714520.0078475730.0078574941.00126431.0E-5
7.01.0974371E-51.2720105E-52.2719978E-51.7861471.0E-54.7032172E-55.4513697E-56.451315E-51.18343021.0E-55.7246623E-46.635197E-46.7351304E-41.01506111.0E-50.00570993730.00661713540.00662706931.00150121.0E-5
7.18.766221E-61.0163833E-52.0163732E-51.98387071.0E-53.7568978E-54.3558655E-55.355822E-51.22956551.0E-54.573063E-45.302148E-45.4020947E-41.01885031.0E-50.00456366360.0052911970.00530114441.00187991.0E-5
7.28.026024E-78.331776E-78.331776E-71.00.03.43972E-63.5707562E-63.5707562E-61.00.04.1877785E-54.34731E-54.34731E-51.00.04.1869894E-44.3464705E-44.3464705E-41.00.0
7.33.7293114E-73.700106E-73.700106E-71.00.01.5982754E-61.5857588E-61.5857588E-61.00.01.9458828E-51.9306442E-51.9306442E-51.00.01.9457124E-41.9304773E-41.9304773E-41.00.0
7.42.0557036E-71.9674441E-71.9674441E-71.00.08.810155E-78.4319004E-78.4319004E-71.00.01.0726311E-51.02657905E-51.02657905E-51.00.01.0725793E-41.026532E-41.026532E-41.00.0
7.56.845446E-86.2794086E-86.2794086E-81.00.02.9337625E-72.6911746E-72.6911746E-71.00.03.5718497E-63.2765004E-63.2765004E-61.00.03.5717923E-53.276453E-53.276453E-51.00.0
7.66.0975145E-95.531901E-95.531901E-91.00.02.6132206E-82.3708148E-82.3708148E-81.00.03.1815955E-72.8864667E-72.8864667E-71.00.03.181591E-62.886464E-62.886464E-61.00.0

Pisgah-Bullion Mtn-Mesquite Lk

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0240792E-52.40909E-55.409018E-52.24525363.0E-51.2959696E-41.032432E-41.332401E-41.29054613.0E-50.00157670080.00125636180.0013062991.03974755.0E-50.0156556090.0125026130.0125618621.0047396.0E-5
6.13.0240792E-52.40909E-55.409018E-52.24525363.0E-51.2959696E-41.032432E-41.332401E-41.29054613.0E-50.00157670080.00125636180.0013062991.03974755.0E-50.0156556090.0125026130.0125618621.0047396.0E-5
6.23.0240792E-52.40909E-55.409018E-52.24525363.0E-51.2959696E-41.032432E-41.332401E-41.29054613.0E-50.00157670080.00125636180.0013062991.03974755.0E-50.0156556090.0125026130.0125618621.0047396.0E-5
6.32.0498217E-51.3638054E-54.3637647E-53.19969733.0E-58.784654E-55.8447586E-58.8445835E-51.51325043.0E-50.00106900697.1138324E-47.513548E-41.05618854.0E-50.010638790.00709268640.0071423321.00699955.0E-5
6.42.0498217E-51.3638054E-54.3637647E-53.19969733.0E-58.784654E-55.8447586E-58.8445835E-51.51325043.0E-50.00106900697.1138324E-47.513548E-41.05618854.0E-50.010638790.00709268640.0071423321.00699955.0E-5
6.51.7316182E-51.04769715E-54.0476658E-53.86339283.0E-57.42101E-54.490059E-57.4899246E-51.66811263.0E-59.0313336E-45.465376E-45.7652115E-41.05486113.0E-50.0089947180.005452930.00548276631.00547163.0E-5
6.61.5251077E-58.414133E-63.841388E-54.56539963.0E-56.536012E-53.606011E-56.605903E-51.83191423.0E-57.9546886E-44.3895066E-44.6893748E-41.06831483.0E-50.0079262740.00438155370.0044114221.00681693.0E-5
6.71.2997425E-56.4112146E-63.6411024E-55.67927073.0E-55.570206E-52.7476372E-55.7475547E-52.09181713.0E-56.7796157E-43.3447813E-43.6446808E-41.0896623.0E-50.00675896930.0033402070.0033701071.00895143.0E-5
6.81.035386E-54.333145E-61.4333102E-53.30778241.0E-54.437293E-51.8570496E-52.857031E-51.53847861.0E-55.401065E-42.260732E-42.3607093E-41.04422341.0E-50.00538795670.0022585190.00226849641.00441771.0E-5
6.98.816252E-63.5805879E-61.3580552E-53.79282741.0E-53.778339E-51.534529E-52.5345136E-51.65165581.0E-54.5991567E-41.8681347E-41.9681161E-41.05351941.0E-50.004589650.00186662280.00187660421.00534731.0E-5
7.06.8232207E-62.5674399E-61.2567414E-54.89492031.0E-52.9242048E-51.100327E-52.100316E-51.90881071.0E-53.5596377E-41.3395688E-41.4395555E-41.07464091.0E-50.00355394110.00133879250.00134877911.00745941.0E-5
7.15.837013E-62.2273143E-61.2227292E-55.4897021.0E-52.501553E-59.5456E-61.9545503E-52.0475931.0E-53.045215E-41.1621177E-41.2621061E-41.08603981.0E-50.00304104550.0011615390.00117152741.00859931.0E-5
7.24.278052E-61.6275065E-61.6275065E-61.00.01.833438E-56.975011E-66.975011E-61.00.02.231982E-48.491768E-58.491768E-51.00.00.00222974188.4887556E-48.4887556E-41.00.0
7.31.8803692E-68.344788E-78.344788E-71.00.08.0587E-63.5763337E-63.5763337E-61.00.09.811026E-54.354114E-54.354114E-51.00.09.806695E-44.3534054E-44.3534054E-41.00.0

Santa Rosa Island

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.1143165E-54.709113E-58.708925E-51.84937694.0E-51.7631594E-42.0180462E-42.4179654E-41.19817154.0E-50.0021445330.00245439910.00251425171.02438596.0E-50.0212395530.0242935570.02435211.00240986.0E-5
6.12.1061249E-52.3864959E-54.3864482E-51.83802882.0E-59.0259375E-51.0227455E-41.2227251E-41.19553212.0E-50.00109835390.00124451030.00126448541.01605062.0E-50.010929410.012378450.0123982021.00159572.0E-5
6.22.1061249E-52.3864959E-54.3864482E-51.83802882.0E-59.0259375E-51.0227455E-41.2227251E-41.19553212.0E-50.00109835390.00124451030.00126448541.01605062.0E-50.010929410.012378450.0123982021.00159572.0E-5
6.31.5158236E-51.7074419E-53.7074078E-52.1713232.0E-56.496225E-57.3174095E-59.317263E-51.27330082.0E-57.906284E-48.9054246E-49.105246E-41.02243822.0E-50.0078782140.008870990.0088908121.00223462.0E-5
6.41.2341918E-51.3852917E-52.3852777E-51.72185971.0E-55.2892858E-55.9368336E-56.936774E-51.168431.0E-56.437803E-47.225779E-47.325707E-41.01382941.0E-50.0064191840.00720312170.00721304961.00137831.0E-5
6.59.061158E-61.0117032E-52.011693E-51.98842231.0E-53.883296E-54.3358017E-55.335758E-51.23062791.0E-54.726887E-45.277613E-45.37756E-41.0189381.0E-50.0047168450.00526561770.00527556471.00188911.0E-5
6.67.5461685E-68.400734E-61.840065E-52.19036221.0E-53.2340322E-53.600267E-54.600231E-51.27774721.0E-53.936723E-44.3824868E-44.4824427E-41.02280811.0E-50.0039297560.00437427360.004384231.00227611.0E-5
6.75.5023775E-66.087381E-66.087381E-61.00.02.3581404E-52.6088532E-52.6088532E-51.00.02.8706578E-43.1758484E-43.1758484E-41.00.00.00286695220.00317163160.00317163161.00.0
6.83.7351679E-64.0831405E-64.0831405E-61.00.01.6007763E-51.7499071E-51.7499071E-51.00.01.948771E-42.1303285E-42.1303285E-41.00.00.00194706290.00212853150.00212853151.00.0
6.92.456366E-62.6292707E-62.6292707E-61.00.01.0527241E-51.1268255E-51.1268255E-51.00.01.2816161E-41.3718239E-41.3718239E-41.00.00.00128087730.00137097990.00137097991.00.0
7.02.3245157E-62.4827784E-62.4827784E-61.00.09.962172E-61.0640436E-51.0640436E-51.00.01.2128269E-41.2953962E-41.2953962E-41.00.00.00121216520.00129464340.00129464341.00.0
7.12.2248344E-62.37325E-62.37325E-61.00.09.53497E-61.0171032E-51.0171032E-51.00.01.1608207E-41.238253E-41.238253E-41.00.00.00116021440.00123756510.00123756511.00.0
7.22.1350402E-62.2761542E-62.2761542E-61.00.09.150141E-69.75491E-69.75491E-61.00.01.1139726E-41.1875957E-41.1875957E-41.00.00.00111341440.00118696290.00118696291.00.0
7.31.9793572E-62.1087192E-62.1087192E-61.00.08.482932E-69.037337E-69.037337E-61.00.01.032748E-41.1002403E-41.1002403E-41.00.00.00103226820.00109969740.00109969741.00.0
7.41.6951194E-61.8045735E-61.8045735E-61.00.07.264777E-67.733864E-67.733864E-61.00.08.844508E-59.415574E-59.415574E-51.00.08.840988E-49.411601E-49.411601E-41.00.0
7.58.987207E-79.512216E-79.512216E-71.00.03.8516546E-64.0766577E-64.0766577E-61.00.04.6892885E-54.9632188E-54.9632188E-51.00.04.688299E-44.962122E-44.962122E-41.00.0
7.63.8783037E-74.0529335E-74.0529335E-71.00.01.6621291E-61.7369704E-61.7369704E-61.00.02.0236233E-52.1147416E-52.1147416E-51.00.02.023439E-42.114547E-42.114547E-41.00.0
7.76.181804E-86.339047E-86.339047E-81.00.02.6493444E-72.7167343E-72.7167343E-71.00.03.225572E-63.307619E-63.307619E-61.00.03.225525E-53.3075703E-53.3075703E-51.00.0
7.81.3704449E-91.3964153E-91.3964153E-91.00.05.873335E-95.984637E-95.984637E-91.00.07.1507856E-87.286295E-87.286295E-81.00.07.1507833E-77.286294E-77.286294E-71.00.0

Cleghorn Pass

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.0522846E-51.1040642E-53.104042E-52.81146882.0E-54.509713E-54.7316473E-56.731553E-51.42266572.0E-55.4891926E-45.759784E-46.159554E-41.0694074.0E-50.00547565330.0057500220.0058096771.01037486.0E-5
6.11.0522846E-51.1040642E-53.104042E-52.81146882.0E-54.509713E-54.7316473E-56.731553E-51.42266572.0E-55.4891926E-45.759784E-46.159554E-41.0694074.0E-50.00547565330.0057500220.0058096771.01037486.0E-5
6.22.1045846E-62.2082024E-62.2082024E-61.00.09.019617E-69.463714E-69.463714E-61.00.01.098083E-41.1521882E-41.1521882E-41.00.00.00109754060.00115200230.00115200231.00.0
6.32.1045846E-62.2082024E-62.2082024E-61.00.09.019617E-69.463714E-69.463714E-61.00.01.098083E-41.1521882E-41.1521882E-41.00.00.00109754060.00115200230.00115200231.00.0
6.41.7259927E-61.810877E-61.810877E-61.00.07.3970905E-67.760902E-67.760902E-61.00.09.005586E-59.4488976E-59.4488976E-51.00.09.001937E-49.448898E-49.448898E-41.00.0

Cleghorn Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5467183E-51.6794203E-54.67937E-52.78630073.0E-56.6286244E-57.197348E-51.2196988E-41.69465035.0E-58.067362E-48.759797E-49.259359E-41.05702895.0E-50.0080381370.0087306960.0087901721.00681236.0E-5
6.11.5467183E-51.6794203E-54.67937E-52.78630073.0E-56.6286244E-57.197348E-51.2196988E-41.69465035.0E-58.067362E-48.759797E-49.259359E-41.05702895.0E-50.0080381370.0087306960.0087901721.00681236.0E-5
6.21.2624631E-51.3681544E-54.3681135E-53.1927053.0E-55.410444E-55.863415E-51.0863122E-41.85269555.0E-56.585225E-47.1368564E-47.6364994E-41.07000895.0E-50.00656574450.00711873170.00717830471.00836856.0E-5
6.31.2624631E-51.3681544E-54.3681135E-53.1927053.0E-55.410444E-55.863415E-51.0863122E-41.85269555.0E-56.585225E-47.1368564E-47.6364994E-41.07000895.0E-50.00656574450.00711873170.00717830471.00836856.0E-5
6.49.417684E-61.0170118E-53.0169915E-52.96652562.0E-54.036088E-54.3585722E-57.3584415E-51.68826883.0E-54.912829E-45.3056807E-45.605521E-41.05651323.0E-50.0049019820.0052970490.00533683741.00751144.0E-5
6.59.368219E-61.0117545E-53.0117342E-52.97674422.0E-54.014889E-54.3360415E-57.3359115E-51.69184533.0E-54.8870314E-45.2782625E-45.578104E-41.05680693.0E-50.0048762980.00526976170.00530955061.00755054.0E-5
6.67.803798E-68.441831E-62.8441662E-53.36913422.0E-53.3444423E-53.6179E-56.617791E-51.82918043.0E-54.0710976E-44.4043022E-44.70417E-41.06808523.0E-50.00406364720.00439949050.00442935851.0067893.0E-5
6.72.3108669E-62.4438336E-62.4438336E-61.00.09.903678E-61.0473532E-51.0473532E-51.00.01.205706E-41.2750797E-41.2750797E-41.00.00.0012050520.00127436670.00127436671.00.0
6.82.0882828E-62.2062823E-62.2062823E-61.00.08.949753E-69.455462E-69.455462E-61.00.01.08957785E-41.1511434E-41.1511434E-41.00.00.00108904380.00115056390.00115056391.00.0
6.91.876935E-61.981051E-61.981051E-61.00.08.043982E-68.490192E-68.490192E-61.00.09.7931086E-51.03363345E-41.03363345E-41.00.09.788794E-40.00103316860.00103316861.00.0
7.01.5357559E-61.6202807E-61.6202807E-61.00.06.5817944E-66.9440425E-66.9440425E-61.00.08.01304E-58.454057E-58.454057E-51.00.08.010151E-48.450965E-48.450965E-41.00.0
7.11.0905424E-61.1497619E-61.1497619E-61.00.04.6737446E-64.9275427E-64.9275427E-61.00.05.6901354E-55.999128E-55.999128E-51.00.05.6886784E-45.997606E-45.997606E-41.00.0
7.26.06668E-76.387277E-76.387277E-71.00.02.600003E-62.7374022E-62.7374022E-61.00.03.1654577E-53.3327433E-53.3327433E-51.00.03.1650066E-43.3323118E-43.3323118E-41.00.0

Camp Rock 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6710783E-54.249999E-62.4249914E-55.7058632.0E-57.161568E-51.8214158E-54.8213613E-52.64704043.0E-58.7157206E-42.2173533E-42.6172647E-41.18035524.0E-50.0086816160.00221519380.00227506091.02702576.0E-5
6.11.6710783E-54.249999E-62.4249914E-55.7058632.0E-57.161568E-51.8214158E-54.8213613E-52.64704043.0E-58.7157206E-42.2173533E-42.6172647E-41.18035524.0E-50.0086816160.00221519380.00227506091.02702576.0E-5
6.21.6710783E-54.249999E-62.4249914E-55.7058632.0E-57.161568E-51.8214158E-54.8213613E-52.64704043.0E-58.7157206E-42.2173533E-42.6172647E-41.18035524.0E-50.0086816160.00221519380.00227506091.02702576.0E-5
6.31.6710783E-54.249999E-62.4249914E-55.7058632.0E-57.161568E-51.8214158E-54.8213613E-52.64704043.0E-58.7157206E-42.2173533E-42.6172647E-41.18035524.0E-50.0086816160.00221519380.00227506091.02702576.0E-5
6.47.982846E-63.6820359E-62.3681961E-56.43175752.0E-53.421175E-51.578006E-54.5779587E-52.90110353.0E-54.1644843E-41.9210564E-42.3209795E-41.20817884.0E-50.00415668870.00191943060.00197931541.03119926.0E-5
6.57.982846E-63.6820359E-62.3681961E-56.43175752.0E-53.421175E-51.578006E-54.5779587E-52.90110353.0E-54.1644843E-41.9210564E-42.3209795E-41.20817884.0E-50.00415668870.00191943060.00197931541.03119926.0E-5
6.67.048869E-63.4242998E-62.342423E-56.840592.0E-53.0209088E-51.467549E-54.467505E-53.04419473.0E-53.677336E-41.7865976E-42.1865261E-41.22384934.0E-50.00367125660.00178519290.00184508581.03354986.0E-5
6.76.987307E-63.3622775E-62.336221E-56.9483292.0E-52.9945259E-51.4409683E-54.440925E-53.08190353.0E-53.6452254E-41.7542407E-42.1541705E-41.22797884.0E-50.00363925170.00175288720.00181278191.03416926.0E-5
6.86.3737602E-63.1178672E-62.3117806E-57.41462142.0E-52.731583E-51.3362222E-54.3361822E-53.24510573.0E-53.3251947E-41.6267318E-42.0266668E-41.24585184.0E-50.00332022370.00162556980.00168547221.03685016.0E-5
6.96.112211E-62.933078E-62.293302E-57.8187552.0E-52.6194928E-51.2570275E-54.25699E-53.38655263.0E-53.1887658E-41.5303263E-41.9302651E-41.26134224.0E-50.0031841940.00152930020.00158920851.03917366.0E-5
7.05.5140117E-62.64191E-62.2641858E-58.5702612.0E-52.3631264E-51.1322423E-54.1322084E-53.64957953.0E-52.8767265E-41.3784204E-41.7783653E-41.29014724.0E-50.00287300530.00137759070.0014375081.04349436.0E-5
7.14.8151105E-62.1342612E-61.213424E-55.68545251.0E-52.0636026E-59.146803E-62.914662E-53.18653662.0E-52.5121463E-41.1135685E-41.413535E-41.26937413.0E-50.00250930830.00111303250.00115298791.03589794.0E-5
7.23.818335E-61.2937372E-61.2937372E-61.00.01.6364189E-55.5445767E-61.5544521E-52.8035541.0E-51.9921579E-46.750321E-58.750187E-51.29626212.0E-50.00199037286.7483535E-46.948218E-41.02961682.0E-5
7.32.7166698E-67.383078E-77.383078E-71.00.01.1642818E-53.1641725E-61.3164141E-54.16037371.0E-51.4174209E-43.852314E-54.8522754E-51.25957431.0E-50.00141651723.8516664E-43.951628E-41.02595281.0E-5
7.42.0893426E-65.4614605E-75.4614605E-71.00.08.954295E-62.340624E-62.340624E-61.00.01.0901308E-42.8496728E-52.8496728E-51.00.00.00108959622.849313E-42.849313E-41.00.0
7.51.1681728E-63.6028484E-73.6028484E-71.00.05.0064455E-61.544077E-61.544077E-61.00.06.0951766E-51.879898E-51.879898E-51.00.06.093505E-41.8797436E-41.8797436E-41.00.0
7.61.3154387E-77.1196716E-87.1196716E-81.00.05.6375933E-73.0512876E-73.0512876E-71.00.06.863748E-63.714938E-63.714938E-61.00.06.863536E-53.7148915E-53.7148915E-51.00.0

Big Pine (Central)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2706755E-51.4250602E-53.425032E-52.40342952.0E-55.4456385E-56.107279E-58.1071565E-51.32745812.0E-56.628048E-47.433441E-47.933069E-41.06721375.0E-50.0066083140.0074136390.00746326851.00669435.0E-5
6.18.342579E-69.510835E-61.951074E-52.05142241.0E-53.5753423E-54.076021E-55.07598E-51.24532741.0E-54.3521097E-44.9616426E-45.261494E-41.06043393.0E-50.00434359630.0049541550.00498400631.00602563.0E-5
6.26.923899E-67.967221E-61.7967142E-52.25513271.0E-52.9673516E-53.4144894E-54.4144555E-51.29285961.0E-53.6121515E-44.1565404E-44.3564572E-41.04809692.0E-50.0036062860.00415210940.0041720261.00479692.0E-5
6.32.728396E-63.4243646E-63.4243646E-61.00.01.1693074E-51.4675771E-51.4675771E-51.00.01.4235388E-41.7866373E-41.7866373E-41.00.00.00142262720.00178674330.00178674331.00.0
6.42.7136944E-63.4086581E-63.4086581E-61.00.01.1630066E-51.4608458E-51.4608458E-51.00.01.4158686E-41.7784433E-41.7784433E-41.00.00.00141496690.00177856230.00177856231.00.0
6.52.6971882E-63.3910032E-63.3910032E-61.00.01.1559327E-51.4532795E-51.4532795E-51.00.01.4072572E-41.7692328E-41.7692328E-41.00.00.00140636640.00176936660.00176936661.00.0
6.62.669092E-63.3610236E-63.3610236E-61.00.01.1438916E-51.4404312E-51.4404312E-51.00.01.3925991E-41.7535927E-41.7535927E-41.00.00.00139172670.00175375110.00175375111.00.0
6.72.6408059E-63.3310494E-63.3310494E-61.00.01.1317691E-51.4275853E-51.4275853E-51.00.01.3778417E-41.737955E-41.737955E-41.00.00.00137698770.00173813810.00173813811.00.0
6.82.1786943E-62.8545066E-62.8545066E-61.00.09.337228E-61.2233547E-51.2233547E-51.00.01.1367482E-41.4893398E-41.4893398E-41.00.00.00113616690.00148987040.00148987041.00.0
6.91.4411696E-62.0685677E-62.0685677E-61.00.06.1764263E-68.865261E-68.865261E-61.00.07.51954E-51.0792949E-41.0792949E-41.00.07.5169955E-40.00108025480.00108025481.00.0
7.01.0073411E-61.5543274E-61.5543274E-61.00.04.317169E-66.661387E-66.661387E-61.00.05.2560266E-58.109952E-58.109952E-51.00.05.2547833E-48.1217213E-48.1217213E-41.00.0
7.18.947104E-71.430316E-61.430316E-61.00.03.834468E-66.1299124E-66.1299124E-61.00.04.6683643E-57.462928E-57.462928E-51.00.04.6673836E-47.4751483E-47.4751483E-41.00.0
7.25.215166E-71.0112277E-61.0112277E-61.00.02.2350691E-64.333826E-64.333826E-61.00.02.7211627E-55.27631E-55.27631E-51.00.02.7208295E-45.289683E-45.289683E-41.00.0
7.34.4024807E-79.220183E-79.220183E-71.00.01.8867761E-63.951501E-63.951501E-61.00.02.2971257E-54.8108504E-54.8108504E-51.00.02.2968883E-44.824433E-44.824433E-41.00.0
7.43.6130905E-78.359109E-78.359109E-71.00.01.5484665E-63.5824705E-63.5824705E-61.00.01.8852415E-54.3615746E-54.3615746E-51.00.01.8850817E-44.3752496E-44.3752496E-41.00.0
7.53.408184E-78.1087245E-78.1087245E-71.00.01.4606494E-63.475163E-63.475163E-61.00.01.7783263E-54.230933E-54.230933E-51.00.01.778184E-44.2444657E-44.2444657E-41.00.0
7.63.1428627E-77.732167E-77.732167E-71.00.01.3469405E-63.313782E-63.313782E-61.00.01.6398877E-54.0344585E-54.0344585E-51.00.01.6397667E-44.0477706E-44.0477706E-41.00.0
7.71.7972785E-75.0782415E-75.0782415E-71.00.07.70262E-72.1763874E-62.1763874E-61.00.09.377899E-62.6497206E-52.6497206E-51.00.09.377503E-52.6633305E-42.6633305E-41.00.0
7.84.9230927E-81.1981747E-71.1981747E-71.00.02.1098968E-75.135033E-75.135033E-71.00.02.5687964E-66.2518866E-66.2518866E-61.00.02.5687666E-56.2971965E-56.2971965E-51.00.0
7.93.6805972E-94.1051638E-94.1051638E-91.00.01.5773987E-81.7593557E-81.7593557E-81.00.01.9204828E-72.1420155E-72.1420155E-71.00.01.920481E-62.1898923E-62.1898923E-61.00.0

Oceanic - West Huasna

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.195567E-52.7926368E-57.7924975E-52.79037265.0E-51.3694567E-41.19679185E-41.696732E-41.41773365.0E-50.00166603840.00145616340.00150609051.03428695.0E-50.0165360330.014470770.0145200461.00340525.0E-5
6.12.1156782E-51.7573117E-53.7572765E-52.1380822.0E-59.066878E-57.531123E-59.530973E-51.26554472.0E-50.00110333339.1653795E-49.3651965E-41.02180122.0E-50.0109787130.0091285870.0091484041.00217092.0E-5
6.21.6195117E-51.3327227E-53.332696E-52.50066732.0E-56.9405796E-55.7115452E-57.711431E-51.3501482.0E-58.44688E-46.9516135E-47.151475E-41.02875032.0E-50.0084148440.00693016170.0069500231.00286592.0E-5
6.31.3559345E-51.1179013E-52.1178901E-51.89452341.0E-55.811018E-54.7909183E-55.7908703E-51.20871831.0E-57.072618E-45.8313913E-45.931333E-41.01713861.0E-50.00705015050.0058162080.00582614961.00170931.0E-5
6.41.2120619E-51.0000874E-52.0000774E-51.99990261.0E-55.1944477E-54.2860185E-55.285976E-51.23330681.0E-56.322405E-45.216983E-45.316931E-41.01915811.0E-50.0063044470.0052048040.00521475171.00191131.0E-5
6.51.13511915E-59.367378E-61.9367284E-52.06752441.0E-54.8647056E-54.0145293E-55.0144892E-51.24908521.0E-55.9211696E-44.886598E-44.9865484E-41.02045421.0E-50.00590541730.00487591140.00488586261.00204091.0E-5
6.69.850605E-68.1353155E-68.1353155E-61.00.04.2216197E-53.4865174E-53.4865174E-51.00.05.1386096E-44.2440102E-44.2440102E-41.00.00.00512674360.00423593770.00423593771.00.0
6.78.8558645E-67.318341E-67.318341E-61.00.03.7953152E-53.1363943E-53.1363943E-51.00.04.6198163E-43.8178926E-43.8178926E-41.00.00.0046102240.00381135920.00381135921.00.0
6.87.67136E-66.39169E-66.39169E-61.00.03.2876844E-52.739267E-52.739267E-51.00.04.0020206E-43.3345487E-43.3345487E-41.00.00.0039948210.00332956640.00332956641.00.0
6.96.534529E-65.458261E-65.458261E-61.00.02.8004823E-52.3392338E-52.3392338E-51.00.03.4090536E-42.8476462E-42.8476462E-41.00.00.00340382870.0028440140.0028440141.00.0
7.05.460525E-64.5699203E-64.5699203E-61.00.02.3402039E-51.9585226E-51.9585226E-51.00.02.8488258E-42.3842414E-42.3842414E-41.00.00.00284517650.00238169730.00238169731.00.0
7.14.4825083E-63.7524153E-63.7524153E-61.00.01.9210609E-51.6081682E-51.6081682E-51.00.02.3386406E-41.9577699E-41.9577699E-41.00.00.0023361810.0019560570.0019560571.00.0
7.22.821708E-62.424941E-62.424941E-61.00.01.2092979E-51.0392562E-51.0392562E-51.00.01.4722206E-41.265221E-41.265221E-41.00.00.00147124570.00126450320.00126450321.00.0
7.32.0644757E-61.7687502E-61.7687502E-61.00.08.847723E-67.580336E-67.580336E-61.00.01.0771569E-49.228668E-59.228668E-51.00.00.0010766359.224854E-49.224854E-41.00.0
7.41.6980367E-61.4379966E-61.4379966E-61.00.07.27728E-66.1628284E-66.1628284E-61.00.08.8597284E-57.502986E-57.502986E-51.00.08.8561967E-47.5004686E-47.5004686E-41.00.0
7.51.3637683E-61.1302697E-61.1302697E-61.00.05.844708E-64.844004E-64.844004E-61.00.07.1156996E-55.897415E-55.897415E-51.00.07.1134215E-45.8958656E-45.8958656E-41.00.0
7.69.802994E-77.6772847E-77.6772847E-71.00.04.2012766E-63.2902608E-63.2902608E-61.00.05.1149345E-54.005819E-54.005819E-51.00.05.113757E-44.0051117E-44.0051117E-41.00.0
7.75.986191E-74.0050708E-74.0050708E-71.00.02.5655079E-61.7164577E-61.7164577E-61.00.03.1234613E-52.0897673E-52.0897673E-51.00.03.123022E-42.0895849E-42.0895849E-41.00.0
7.82.9189815E-71.5285202E-71.5285202E-71.00.01.2509914E-66.5507993E-76.5507993E-71.00.01.5230714E-57.975569E-67.975569E-61.00.01.522967E-47.97542E-57.97542E-51.00.0
7.91.2057845E-74.6208047E-84.6208047E-81.00.05.1676466E-71.9803447E-71.9803447E-71.00.06.2915915E-62.411067E-62.411067E-61.00.06.2914136E-52.4111772E-52.4111772E-51.00.0
8.03.3806387E-99.0093144E-109.0093144E-101.00.01.4488451E-83.8611354E-93.8611354E-91.00.01.7639688E-74.7009323E-84.7009323E-81.00.01.7639674E-64.712806E-74.712806E-71.00.0

Simi-Santa Rosa

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.198912E-52.2275388E-55.227472E-52.34674793.0E-59.4235686E-59.54627E-51.3545889E-41.41897184.0E-50.00114671560.00116168250.00121162451.0429915.0E-50.0114081630.0115605470.011609971.00427515.0E-5
6.12.198912E-52.2275388E-55.227472E-52.34674793.0E-59.4235686E-59.54627E-51.3545889E-41.41897184.0E-50.00114671560.00116168250.00121162451.0429915.0E-50.0114081630.0115605470.011609971.00427515.0E-5
6.21.69983E-51.6668506E-52.6668338E-51.59992381.0E-57.284782E-57.143466E-58.1433944E-51.1399781.0E-58.865613E-48.6939917E-48.7939046E-41.01149231.0E-50.0088303270.00866290.0086728131.00114431.0E-5
6.31.69983E-51.6668506E-52.6668338E-51.59992381.0E-57.284782E-57.143466E-58.1433944E-51.1399781.0E-58.865613E-48.6939917E-48.7939046E-41.01149231.0E-50.0088303270.00866290.0086728131.00114431.0E-5
6.41.4666188E-51.4052489E-52.4052348E-51.71160771.0E-56.285358E-56.0223705E-57.0223105E-51.16603761.0E-57.6497364E-47.330018E-47.429945E-41.01363251.0E-50.00762345640.00730831640.00731824341.00135831.0E-5
6.51.4666188E-51.4052489E-52.4052348E-51.71160771.0E-56.285358E-56.0223705E-57.0223105E-51.16603761.0E-57.6497364E-47.330018E-47.429945E-41.01363251.0E-50.00762345640.00730831640.00731824341.00135831.0E-5
6.61.4377586E-51.3729529E-52.3729392E-51.72834711.0E-56.1616774E-55.883965E-56.8839065E-51.16994351.0E-57.4992597E-47.1616215E-47.26155E-41.01395331.0E-50.0074740030.00714101040.0071509391.00139031.0E-5
6.71.3881404E-51.3207497E-52.3207365E-51.75713571.0E-55.9490372E-55.6602472E-56.6601904E-51.17666081.0E-57.240546E-46.889419E-46.98935E-41.0145051.0E-50.0072170.00687051050.0068804421.00144551.0E-5
6.81.0176516E-59.1541E-61.9154008E-52.09239671.0E-54.3612912E-53.923136E-54.9230966E-51.25488821.0E-55.308578E-44.775537E-44.875489E-41.020931.0E-50.00529591460.0047669080.004776861.00208781.0E-5
6.99.699797E-68.774672E-61.8774585E-52.13963371.0E-54.15699E-53.760529E-54.760491E-51.265911.0E-55.05996E-44.5776463E-44.6776005E-41.02183531.0E-50.0050484540.00456983460.0045797891.00217831.0E-5
7.07.4049476E-66.559291E-61.6559225E-52.52454521.0E-53.1735104E-52.8111013E-53.811073E-51.35572241.0E-53.8630638E-43.422105E-43.5220708E-41.02921181.0E-50.00385635530.00341807750.00342804331.00291561.0E-5
7.13.873439E-62.759473E-62.759473E-61.00.01.6600346E-51.1826261E-51.1826261E-51.00.02.0209046E-41.4397544E-41.4397544E-41.00.00.00201906780.00143884530.00143884531.00.0
7.23.417706E-62.367616E-62.367616E-61.00.01.4647229E-51.0146887E-51.0146887E-51.00.01.7831543E-41.2353157E-41.2353157E-41.00.00.00178172420.00123465130.00123465131.00.0
7.31.90225E-61.4073756E-61.4073756E-61.00.08.152474E-66.031596E-66.031596E-61.00.09.9251854E-57.343223E-57.343223E-51.00.09.920754E-47.340819E-47.340819E-41.00.0
7.41.5170556E-61.1024792E-61.1024792E-61.00.06.5016507E-64.7249023E-64.7249023E-61.00.07.915472E-55.752418E-55.752418E-51.00.07.9126534E-45.75094E-45.75094E-41.00.0
7.51.178732E-68.5351127E-78.5351127E-71.00.05.0516987E-63.6579004E-63.6579004E-61.00.06.1502695E-54.4534037E-54.4534037E-51.00.06.148568E-44.4525208E-44.4525208E-41.00.0
7.66.8722386E-74.793211E-74.793211E-71.00.02.9452417E-62.0542318E-62.0542318E-61.00.03.5857727E-52.5009986E-52.5009986E-51.00.03.5851944E-42.5007184E-42.5007184E-41.00.0
7.75.5126515E-73.6731117E-73.6731117E-71.00.02.3625628E-61.5741898E-61.5741898E-61.00.02.8763823E-51.9165593E-51.9165593E-51.00.02.87601E-41.9163951E-41.9163951E-41.00.0
7.83.3860243E-72.0075514E-72.0075514E-71.00.01.4511525E-68.6037886E-78.6037886E-71.00.01.7667637E-51.0475063E-51.0475063E-51.00.01.7666233E-41.0474575E-41.0474575E-41.00.0
7.92.7955386E-71.4648724E-71.4648724E-71.00.01.1980875E-66.278023E-76.278023E-71.00.01.4586617E-57.643467E-67.643467E-61.00.01.458566E-47.643208E-57.643208E-51.00.0
8.05.6259015E-83.335318E-83.335318E-81.00.02.4111003E-71.429422E-71.429422E-71.00.02.9355108E-61.7403199E-61.7403199E-61.00.02.935472E-51.7403077E-51.7403077E-51.00.0

Oak Ridge (Onshore)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.155064E-52.9526076E-54.9525486E-51.67734732.0E-51.3521002E-41.265344E-41.5653062E-41.23705973.0E-50.0016449390.00153950580.00158942891.03242795.0E-50.016328160.0152930540.015342291.00321955.0E-5
6.13.155064E-52.9526076E-54.9525486E-51.67734732.0E-51.3521002E-41.265344E-41.5653062E-41.23705973.0E-50.0016449390.00153950580.00158942891.03242795.0E-50.016328160.0152930540.015342291.00321955.0E-5
6.23.155064E-52.9526076E-54.9525486E-51.67734732.0E-51.3521002E-41.265344E-41.5653062E-41.23705973.0E-50.0016449390.00153950580.00158942891.03242795.0E-50.016328160.0152930540.015342291.00321955.0E-5
6.33.155064E-52.9526076E-54.9525486E-51.67734732.0E-51.3521002E-41.265344E-41.5653062E-41.23705973.0E-50.0016449390.00153950580.00158942891.03242795.0E-50.016328160.0152930540.015342291.00321955.0E-5
6.43.155064E-52.9526076E-54.9525486E-51.67734732.0E-51.3521002E-41.265344E-41.5653062E-41.23705973.0E-50.0016449390.00153950580.00158942891.03242795.0E-50.016328160.0152930540.015342291.00321955.0E-5
6.53.155064E-52.9526076E-54.9525486E-51.67734732.0E-51.3521002E-41.265344E-41.5653062E-41.23705973.0E-50.0016449390.00153950580.00158942891.03242795.0E-50.016328160.0152930540.015342291.00321955.0E-5
6.63.155064E-52.9526076E-54.9525486E-51.67734732.0E-51.3521002E-41.265344E-41.5653062E-41.23705973.0E-50.0016449390.00153950580.00158942891.03242795.0E-50.016328160.0152930540.015342291.00321955.0E-5
6.73.098897E-52.8864279E-54.88637E-51.6928782.0E-51.328031E-41.236984E-41.5369468E-41.24249543.0E-50.00161567850.00150502530.001554951.0331725.0E-50.0160398220.0149529090.0150021621.00329395.0E-5
6.83.0449872E-52.8239476E-54.823891E-51.70820842.0E-51.3049292E-41.2102092E-41.5101729E-41.2478613.0E-50.00158759350.0014724710.00152239741.03390665.0E-50.0157629920.0146316580.0146809261.00336735.0E-5
6.92.697928E-52.4219877E-54.4219392E-51.8257482.0E-51.15620365E-41.03795464E-41.3379235E-41.28899993.0E-50.00140676890.00126299880.00131293561.03953835.0E-50.01397896650.0125610660.0126104381.00393065.0E-5
7.02.4893961E-52.1862146E-54.186171E-51.91480332.0E-51.0668404E-49.369165E-51.2368883E-41.32016933.0E-50.00129810430.00114011660.00119005961.04380515.0E-50.0129054770.0113451020.0113945351.00435725.0E-5
7.12.0945363E-51.7354592E-52.735442E-51.57620631.0E-58.976275E-57.437473E-59.4373245E-51.26888852.0E-50.00109231369.0514094E-49.451047E-41.0441524.0E-50.01086960.0090156210.009055261.00439684.0E-5
7.22.0439404E-51.680953E-52.680936E-51.59489061.0E-58.7594504E-57.203888E-59.203744E-51.27760792.0E-50.00106594138.767251E-49.066988E-41.03418833.0E-50.0106084270.0087337230.0087634611.0034053.0E-5
7.31.8463334E-51.5381947E-52.5381793E-51.65010271.0E-57.912617E-56.592098E-58.5919666E-51.30337362.0E-59.6293533E-48.0229685E-48.3227275E-41.03736273.0E-50.0095877340.00799500850.0080247691.00372233.0E-5
7.41.763139E-51.4516977E-52.4516832E-51.68883861.0E-57.556091E-56.221415E-58.221291E-51.32145022.0E-59.1956573E-47.57198E-47.871753E-41.03958983.0E-50.0091576990.0075471260.00757689961.0039453.0E-5
7.51.3594944E-51.1163363E-51.1163363E-51.00.05.8262744E-54.7842117E-54.7842117E-51.00.07.0911803E-45.8232463E-45.9231883E-41.01716261.0E-50.0070685950.0058083620.00581830371.00171161.0E-5
7.66.9889534E-65.6367194E-65.6367194E-61.00.02.9952313E-52.4157147E-52.4157147E-51.00.03.646084E-42.94074E-42.94074E-41.00.00.00364010730.00293689240.00293689241.00.0
7.74.0824193E-63.2832731E-63.2832731E-61.00.01.7495966E-51.4071096E-51.4071096E-51.00.02.1299256E-41.7130225E-41.7130225E-41.00.00.00212788510.00171171550.00171171551.00.0
7.81.7023609E-61.43706E-61.43706E-61.00.07.295812E-66.158814E-66.158814E-61.00.08.882289E-57.4981006E-57.4981006E-51.00.08.8787393E-47.4955984E-47.4955984E-41.00.0
7.92.721225E-72.261692E-72.261692E-71.00.01.1662388E-69.692963E-79.692963E-71.00.01.4198865E-51.1801121E-51.1801121E-51.00.01.4197957E-41.1800523E-41.1800523E-41.00.0
8.09.364255E-95.1204916E-95.1204916E-91.00.04.0132523E-82.1944963E-82.1944963E-81.00.04.8861335E-72.671799E-72.671799E-71.00.04.8861225E-62.6717962E-62.6717962E-61.00.0

San Pedro Basin

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.3449043E-56.337018E-59.336828E-51.47337883.0E-52.2904722E-42.7156167E-43.0155352E-41.11044223.0E-50.00278508360.00330185150.00334171931.01207454.0E-50.0275043660.032589480.0326378531.00148435.0E-5
6.15.3449043E-56.337018E-59.336828E-51.47337883.0E-52.2904722E-42.7156167E-43.0155352E-41.11044223.0E-50.00278508360.00330185150.00334171931.01207454.0E-50.0275043660.032589480.0326378531.00148435.0E-5
6.22.3189454E-52.6642829E-53.6642563E-51.37532561.0E-59.9379584E-51.1417881E-41.2417766E-41.0875721.0E-50.00120927490.00138928750.00140925971.01437592.0E-50.0120271550.013810890.0138306131.00142812.0E-5
6.32.3189454E-52.6642829E-53.6642563E-51.37532561.0E-59.9379584E-51.1417881E-41.2417766E-41.0875721.0E-50.00120927490.00138928750.00140925971.01437592.0E-50.0120271550.013810890.0138306131.00142812.0E-5
6.41.966056E-52.246342E-53.2463195E-51.44515811.0E-58.425682E-59.626848E-51.06267515E-41.10386621.0E-50.0010253440.00117147870.00119145521.01705242.0E-50.0102062590.0116571190.0116768861.00169562.0E-5
6.51.7342953E-51.9745152E-52.9744955E-51.50644341.0E-57.4324824E-58.461954E-59.46187E-51.1181661.0E-59.04529E-40.00102979290.00103978271.00970071.0E-50.0090085610.0102539320.010263831.00096521.0E-5
6.61.439804E-51.6322716E-52.6322554E-51.61263311.0E-56.170443E-56.99528E-57.995211E-51.14294351.0E-57.509924E-48.513747E-48.613662E-41.01173571.0E-50.00748459530.0084843330.0084942491.00116861.0E-5
6.71.2634884E-51.4285298E-52.4285155E-51.70001041.0E-55.414838E-56.122144E-57.122083E-51.16333151.0E-56.590571E-47.451466E-47.5513916E-41.01341021.0E-50.0065710590.0074295020.00743942751.0013361.0E-5
6.81.146091E-51.2933193E-52.2933064E-51.77319431.0E-54.911726E-55.542696E-56.542641E-51.18040761.0E-55.9783855E-46.74644E-46.846373E-41.01481261.0E-50.00596232760.00672889970.0067388321.00147621.0E-5
6.99.109035E-61.0235013E-52.0234911E-51.97702841.0E-53.9038136E-54.386376E-55.386332E-51.22796861.0E-54.7518566E-45.339384E-45.4393307E-41.01871871.0E-50.00474170830.00532930950.0053392561.00186651.0E-5
7.05.9351028E-66.583965E-61.65839E-52.51883151.0E-52.5435906E-52.821682E-53.8216538E-51.35438851.0E-53.0963816E-43.4350925E-43.5350583E-41.02910131.0E-50.00309207060.00343209970.00344206531.00290371.0E-5
7.12.1557585E-62.2096492E-61.2209627E-55.5255951.0E-59.238933E-69.469892E-61.9469797E-52.05596831.0E-51.1247819E-41.15289986E-41.2528883E-41.08672791.0E-50.00112421280.00115231720.00116230561.00866821.0E-5
7.22.1251979E-62.1779954E-61.2177974E-55.59136771.0E-59.107958E-69.334234E-61.933414E-52.07131531.0E-51.1088375E-41.13638525E-41.236374E-41.08798841.0E-50.00110828450.00113581950.00114580811.00879421.0E-5
7.31.7145798E-61.7442885E-61.1744271E-56.73298651.0E-57.3481783E-67.475501E-61.7475426E-52.3376931.0E-58.94604E-59.1010515E-51.0100961E-41.10986751.0E-58.9424395E-49.0974156E-49.197325E-41.01098221.0E-5
7.41.4467993E-61.4641878E-61.4641878E-61.00.06.200554E-66.275076E-66.275076E-61.00.07.548913E-57.639644E-57.639644E-51.00.07.546349E-47.6370913E-47.6370913E-41.00.0
7.51.2803735E-61.2931506E-61.2931506E-61.00.05.487303E-65.5420624E-65.5420624E-61.00.06.680587E-56.747259E-56.747259E-51.00.06.678579E-46.745281E-46.745281E-41.00.0
7.66.755009E-76.76947E-76.76947E-71.00.02.8950008E-62.9011985E-62.9011985E-61.00.03.5246063E-53.532158E-53.532158E-51.00.03.5240475E-43.5316538E-43.5316538E-41.00.0
7.76.211885E-84.5699714E-84.5699714E-81.00.02.6622362E-71.9585592E-71.9585592E-71.00.03.2412677E-62.3845432E-62.3845432E-61.00.03.2412205E-52.3845198E-52.3845198E-51.00.0
7.82.6580573E-91.5138054E-91.5138054E-91.00.01.1391674E-86.4877375E-96.4877375E-91.00.01.3869362E-77.89882E-87.89882E-81.00.01.3869354E-67.89882E-77.89882E-71.00.0

Mission Ridge-Arroyo Parida-Santa Ana

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.169034E-54.7137048E-57.7135635E-51.6364123.0E-51.7866064E-42.0200513E-42.3199907E-41.14848113.0E-50.00217302330.00245746570.0024873921.01217773.0E-50.0215189680.024384830.0244336111.00200055.0E-5
6.11.73813E-51.6854203E-51.6854203E-51.00.07.4489166E-57.223036E-57.223036E-51.00.09.065282E-48.790605E-48.790605E-41.00.00.0090283910.0087571280.0087571281.00.0
6.21.4622182E-51.3673262E-51.3673262E-51.00.06.2664985E-55.85984E-55.85984E-51.00.07.6267915E-47.132059E-47.132059E-41.00.00.0076006690.0071097670.0071097671.00.0
6.31.3552434E-51.2482174E-51.2482174E-51.00.05.8080568E-55.349395E-55.349395E-51.00.07.069015E-46.510974E-46.510974E-41.00.00.007046570.0064924150.0064924151.00.0
6.41.30977305E-51.1979128E-51.1979128E-51.00.05.613192E-55.133813E-55.133813E-51.00.06.831918E-46.2486547E-46.2486547E-41.00.00.0068109530.0062315840.0062315841.00.0
6.51.225205E-51.1048776E-51.1048776E-51.00.05.2507727E-54.735105E-54.735105E-51.00.06.3909404E-45.7634927E-45.7634927E-41.00.00.0063725920.0057490090.0057490091.00.0
6.61.1352241E-51.0063508E-51.0063508E-51.00.04.8651553E-54.3128617E-54.3128617E-51.00.05.921717E-45.249665E-45.249665E-41.00.00.00590596160.00523766460.00523766461.00.0
6.71.0864116E-59.517E-69.517E-61.00.04.6559664E-54.0786515E-54.0786515E-51.00.05.667165E-44.964647E-44.964647E-41.00.00.0056527340.00495394370.00495394371.00.0
6.81.0666365E-59.299752E-69.299752E-61.00.04.571219E-53.985548E-53.985548E-51.00.05.564038E-44.8513446E-44.8513446E-41.00.00.0055501270.004841140.004841141.00.0
6.91.0038665E-58.592018E-68.592018E-61.00.04.302214E-53.682243E-53.682243E-51.00.05.236687E-44.4822265E-44.4822265E-41.00.00.0052243640.00447355070.00447355071.00.0
7.09.5379955E-68.025047E-68.025047E-61.00.04.0876483E-53.439261E-53.439261E-51.00.04.975576E-44.1865133E-44.1865133E-41.00.00.004964450.004178980.004178981.00.0
7.19.207389E-67.652347E-67.652347E-61.00.03.945964E-53.2795375E-53.2795375E-51.00.04.803152E-43.992122E-43.992122E-41.00.00.0047927840.0039853010.0039853011.00.0
7.27.638091E-65.9310923E-65.9310923E-61.00.03.2734264E-52.5418722E-52.5418722E-51.00.03.984668E-43.094293E-43.094293E-41.00.00.00397753060.00309019560.00309019561.00.0
7.37.2500147E-65.596131E-65.596131E-61.00.03.1071122E-52.3983199E-52.3983199E-51.00.03.7822526E-42.9195662E-42.9195662E-41.00.00.00377582150.00291594020.00291594021.00.0
7.46.3899715E-64.9184864E-64.9184864E-61.00.02.7385306E-52.1079059E-52.1079059E-51.00.03.3336508E-42.566075E-42.566075E-41.00.00.00332865420.0025633110.0025633111.00.0
7.55.379025E-64.0838477E-64.0838477E-61.00.02.305276E-51.7502087E-51.7502087E-51.00.02.806312E-42.1306718E-42.1306718E-41.00.00.00280277080.00212864020.00212864021.00.0
7.64.1270696E-63.0883373E-63.0883373E-61.00.01.768732E-51.32356645E-51.32356645E-51.00.02.1532185E-41.6113237E-41.6113237E-41.00.00.00215113330.00161016350.00161016351.00.0
7.72.5406805E-61.8282044E-61.8282044E-61.00.01.0888585E-57.835139E-67.835139E-61.00.01.3256045E-49.53887E-59.53887E-51.00.00.00132481429.534837E-49.534837E-41.00.0
7.84.8608285E-73.509864E-73.509864E-71.00.02.0832106E-61.5042266E-61.5042266E-61.00.02.5362791E-51.8313805E-51.8313805E-51.00.02.5359896E-41.8312308E-41.8312308E-41.00.0
7.92.0472514E-81.2688718E-81.2688718E-81.00.08.7739345E-85.438022E-85.438022E-81.00.01.068226E-66.6207895E-76.6207895E-71.00.01.0682209E-56.620771E-66.620771E-61.00.0
8.04.443582E-92.032067E-92.032067E-91.00.01.9043922E-88.7088585E-98.7088585E-91.00.02.3185973E-71.0603035E-71.0603035E-71.00.02.3185949E-61.0603031E-61.0603031E-61.00.0

Pleito

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6763008E-52.4764735E-55.4763994E-52.211373.0E-57.183948E-51.0613067E-41.3612749E-41.28264053.0E-58.742947E-40.0012914470.00133139541.0309334.0E-50.008708630.0129544120.0130037641.00380975.0E-5
6.11.6763008E-52.4764735E-55.4763994E-52.211373.0E-57.183948E-51.0613067E-41.3612749E-41.28264053.0E-58.742947E-40.0012914470.00133139541.0309334.0E-50.008708630.0129544120.0130037641.00380975.0E-5
6.21.6763008E-52.4764735E-55.4763994E-52.211373.0E-57.183948E-51.0613067E-41.3612749E-41.28264053.0E-58.742947E-40.0012914470.00133139541.0309334.0E-50.008708630.0129544120.0130037641.00380975.0E-5
6.31.6763008E-52.4764735E-55.4763994E-52.211373.0E-57.183948E-51.0613067E-41.3612749E-41.28264053.0E-58.742947E-40.0012914470.00133139541.0309334.0E-50.008708630.0129544120.0130037641.00380975.0E-5
6.41.6763008E-52.4764735E-55.4763994E-52.211373.0E-57.183948E-51.0613067E-41.3612749E-41.28264053.0E-58.742947E-40.0012914470.00133139541.0309334.0E-50.008708630.0129544120.0130037641.00380975.0E-5
6.51.6763008E-52.4764735E-55.4763994E-52.211373.0E-57.183948E-51.0613067E-41.3612749E-41.28264053.0E-58.742947E-40.0012914470.00133139541.0309334.0E-50.008708630.0129544120.0130037641.00380975.0E-5
6.69.910213E-61.721552E-53.7215177E-52.16172242.0E-54.247165E-57.3778734E-59.377726E-51.27106082.0E-55.169696E-48.9788967E-49.278627E-41.03338173.0E-50.00515768630.0090512260.0090908641.00437934.0E-5
6.79.910213E-61.721552E-53.7215177E-52.16172242.0E-54.247165E-57.3778734E-59.377726E-51.27106082.0E-55.169696E-48.9788967E-49.278627E-41.03338173.0E-50.00515768630.0090512260.0090908641.00437934.0E-5
6.88.300162E-61.5475129E-53.547482E-52.29237632.0E-53.557164E-56.63203E-58.631898E-51.30154682.0E-54.3299864E-48.07152E-48.371278E-41.03713773.0E-50.0043215590.0081506630.0081903371.00486764.0E-5
6.98.183114E-61.5346344E-53.534604E-52.3032222.0E-53.5070017E-56.57684E-58.576708E-51.30407742.0E-54.2689382E-48.0043747E-48.304135E-41.03744953.0E-50.00426074680.0080840080.0081236851.00490814.0E-5
7.07.1748823E-61.4133306E-51.4133306E-51.00.03.0749135E-56.0569906E-56.0569906E-51.00.03.743064E-47.3718966E-47.471823E-41.0135551.0E-50.00373676540.00745537550.00747522671.00266272.0E-5
7.17.1671807E-61.4123676E-51.4123676E-51.00.03.0716128E-56.0528637E-56.0528637E-51.00.03.7390468E-47.366875E-47.4668013E-41.01356421.0E-50.00373276180.00745038830.0074702391.00266442.0E-5
7.27.0649667E-61.3970962E-51.3970962E-51.00.03.0278077E-55.987418E-55.987418E-51.00.03.6857324E-47.287248E-47.3871756E-41.01371261.0E-50.00367962550.00737113740.007390991.00269332.0E-5
7.37.02082E-61.3914415E-51.3914415E-51.00.03.008888E-55.9631846E-55.9631846E-51.00.03.6627054E-47.257764E-47.3576916E-41.01376831.0E-50.00365667440.00734163730.00736149071.00270412.0E-5
7.46.987146E-61.3873975E-51.3873975E-51.00.02.9944567E-55.9458544E-55.9458544E-51.00.03.6451413E-47.2366785E-47.336606E-41.01380851.0E-50.00363916790.0073205710.0073404251.0027122.0E-5
7.56.9494554E-61.383088E-51.383088E-51.00.02.9783041E-55.9273858E-55.9273858E-51.00.03.625482E-47.2142074E-47.3141354E-41.01385151.0E-50.00361957260.0072981990.0073180531.00272042.0E-5
7.66.92694E-61.3789992E-51.3789992E-51.00.02.9686547E-55.909863E-55.909863E-51.00.03.6137376E-47.192888E-47.292816E-41.01389271.0E-50.00360786660.0072769510.00729680531.00272852.0E-5
7.76.395867E-61.26690065E-51.26690065E-51.00.02.741057E-55.4294615E-55.4294615E-51.00.03.336726E-46.6083675E-46.7083014E-41.01512231.0E-50.00333172010.00669554530.00671541131.00296712.0E-5
7.85.8664327E-61.1536581E-51.1536581E-51.00.02.5141611E-54.9441554E-54.9441554E-51.00.03.060561E-46.0178485E-46.117789E-41.01660731.0E-50.00305634950.00610101640.00612089461.00325812.0E-5
7.93.7167474E-67.1145205E-67.1145205E-61.00.01.592882E-53.0490448E-53.0490448E-51.00.01.9391612E-43.7115812E-43.8115442E-41.02693271.0E-50.00193746990.00376762430.0037875491.00528842.0E-5
8.01.0903841E-61.2879104E-61.2879104E-61.00.04.6730665E-65.5196047E-65.5196047E-61.00.05.68931E-56.719913E-56.719913E-51.00.05.6878536E-46.942094E-47.0420245E-41.01439491.0E-5
8.12.6894583E-71.1056095E-71.1056095E-71.00.01.1526245E-64.7383253E-74.7383253E-71.00.01.4033113E-55.768896E-65.768896E-61.00.01.4032227E-46.454915E-56.454915E-51.00.0
8.25.2967013E-92.4567874E-92.4567874E-91.00.02.2700148E-81.0529089E-81.0529089E-81.00.02.7637427E-71.2819166E-71.2819166E-71.00.02.7637393E-61.4588004E-61.4588004E-61.00.0

Green Valley 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.9629346E-51.7302863E-42.0302343E-41.17335183.0E-54.2691303E-47.41326E-47.8129634E-41.05391744.0E-50.00518528560.008986920.009036471.00551375.0E-50.0506595150.085539510.085585241.00053455.0E-5
6.19.88615E-51.7150163E-42.0149648E-41.17489543.0E-54.2362334E-47.347854E-47.74756E-41.05439774.0E-50.00514542360.0089079470.00895750151.0055635.0E-50.0502790440.084827120.084872871.00053945.0E-5
6.29.696895E-51.6789208E-41.9788706E-41.17865623.0E-54.15515E-47.1932544E-47.592967E-41.05556764.0E-50.00504716670.008721330.0087708931.00568315.0E-50.049340630.083135780.083181631.00055155.0E-5
6.39.275224E-51.5968543E-41.8968064E-41.18783943.0E-53.9744904E-46.841728E-47.2414544E-41.05842474.0E-50.00482821050.0082966520.0083462361.00597665.0E-50.0472464750.079274810.079320851.00058075.0E-5
6.48.391499E-51.4365884E-41.6365596E-41.13919882.0E-53.595861E-46.155238E-46.455053E-41.0487093.0E-50.0043691750.0074671810.00750688231.00531674.0E-50.042842650.071646720.0716838541.00051834.0E-5
6.55.9519385E-59.932622E-51.19324235E-41.20133672.0E-52.5505814E-44.2560388E-44.555911E-41.0704583.0E-50.00310091120.0051683410.0052081341.00769944.0E-50.0305799660.050146920.0501849131.00075774.0E-5
6.64.5361558E-57.4019794E-59.4018316E-51.2701782.0E-51.9439218E-43.1717744E-43.371711E-41.06303622.0E-50.00236415580.00385386780.00388375231.00775443.0E-50.0233916230.037667270.0376961381.00076643.0E-5
6.73.8808106E-56.264382E-57.264319E-51.15962271.0E-51.6630985E-42.6843755E-42.7843486E-41.03724271.0E-50.00202294180.00326273170.0032726991.00305491.0E-50.0200462560.0320074150.0320170971.00030241.0E-5
6.82.2284667E-53.128574E-53.128574E-51.00.09.550222E-51.3407487E-41.3407487E-41.00.00.00116211920.00163113830.00163113831.00.00.0115606070.016166720.016166721.00.0
6.91.8050168E-52.4448536E-52.4448536E-51.00.07.735557E-51.0477527E-41.0477527E-41.00.09.4139716E-40.00127489540.00127489541.00.00.0093741910.0126690670.0126690671.00.0
7.01.4763166E-51.9583236E-51.9583236E-51.00.06.326917E-58.3925464E-58.3925464E-51.00.07.7002996E-40.0010213150.0010213151.00.00.0076736720.010166250.010166251.00.0
7.11.2399713E-51.6304042E-51.6304042E-51.00.05.3140546E-56.987261E-56.987261E-51.00.06.467941E-48.5036893E-48.5036893E-41.00.00.0064491480.0084717810.0084717811.00.0
7.21.0584195E-51.39220465E-51.39220465E-51.00.04.5360044E-55.966456E-55.966456E-51.00.05.521186E-47.2617555E-47.2617555E-41.00.00.00550748870.00723860270.00723860271.00.0
7.37.998173E-61.0544255E-51.0544255E-51.00.03.4277433E-54.5188888E-54.5188888E-51.00.04.1724785E-45.500369E-45.500369E-41.00.00.0041646530.0054871350.0054871351.00.0
7.46.7571127E-68.932903E-68.932903E-61.00.02.8958733E-53.8283313E-53.8283313E-51.00.03.5251552E-44.660006E-44.660006E-41.00.00.00351956860.0046506330.0046506331.00.0
7.55.69878E-67.516483E-67.516483E-61.00.02.4423114E-53.2213105E-53.2213105E-51.00.02.9731085E-43.9212484E-43.9212484E-41.00.00.0029691340.00391470180.00391470181.00.0
7.64.503664E-65.9358217E-65.9358217E-61.00.01.9301275E-52.5438992E-52.5438992E-51.00.02.3496768E-43.0967654E-43.0967654E-41.00.00.0023471940.00309272790.00309272791.00.0
7.71.0873546E-61.410754E-61.410754E-61.00.04.6600826E-66.0460743E-66.0460743E-61.00.05.6735033E-57.36085E-57.36085E-51.00.05.672055E-47.3587085E-47.3587085E-41.00.0
7.84.9373917E-86.177967E-86.177967E-81.00.02.1160248E-72.6477002E-72.6477002E-71.00.02.5762572E-63.2235714E-63.2235714E-61.00.02.5762274E-53.2228E-53.2228E-51.00.0

Lost Hills

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.233523E-52.5106583E-54.510608E-51.79658392.0E-59.571891E-51.0759615E-41.5759077E-41.46465065.0E-50.00116475460.0013093640.00135929861.03813655.0E-50.0115866860.0130330910.0130824391.00378645.0E-5
6.12.233523E-52.5106583E-54.510608E-51.79658392.0E-59.571891E-51.0759615E-41.5759077E-41.46465065.0E-50.00116475460.0013093640.00135929861.03813655.0E-50.0115866860.0130330910.0130824391.00378645.0E-5
6.22.233523E-52.5106583E-54.510608E-51.79658392.0E-59.571891E-51.0759615E-41.5759077E-41.46465065.0E-50.00116475460.0013093640.00135929861.03813655.0E-50.0115866860.0130330910.0130824391.00378645.0E-5
6.32.233523E-52.5106583E-54.510608E-51.79658392.0E-59.571891E-51.0759615E-41.5759077E-41.46465065.0E-50.00116475460.0013093640.00135929861.03813655.0E-50.0115866860.0130330910.0130824391.00378645.0E-5
6.41.2288092E-51.3781108E-51.3781108E-51.00.05.2662188E-55.906108E-55.906108E-51.00.06.409735E-47.189252E-47.189252E-41.00.00.0063912790.00717520060.00717520061.00.0
6.51.2288092E-51.3781108E-51.3781108E-51.00.05.2662188E-55.906108E-55.906108E-51.00.06.409735E-47.189252E-47.189252E-41.00.00.0063912790.00717520060.00717520061.00.0
6.68.58281E-69.63377E-69.63377E-61.00.03.6782953E-54.12874E-54.12874E-51.00.04.4774043E-45.026414E-45.026414E-41.00.00.00446839350.0050232050.0050232051.00.0
6.77.205685E-68.088302E-68.088302E-61.00.03.088114E-53.466415E-53.466415E-51.00.03.7591302E-44.2203604E-44.2203604E-41.00.00.00375277760.00422036040.00422036041.00.0

Kern Canyon (Lake Isabella) 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.2387383E-64.0016344E-64.4001474E-510.9958764.0E-51.8165894E-51.7149758E-55.714907E-53.33235434.0E-52.2114732E-42.0878017E-42.5876972E-41.23943645.0E-50.00220927360.0020860240.00213591991.0239195.0E-5
6.14.2387383E-64.0016344E-64.4001474E-510.9958764.0E-51.8165894E-51.7149758E-55.714907E-53.33235434.0E-52.2114732E-42.0878017E-42.5876972E-41.23943645.0E-50.00220927360.0020860240.00213591991.0239195.0E-5
6.24.2387383E-64.0016344E-64.4001474E-510.9958764.0E-51.8165894E-51.7149758E-55.714907E-53.33235434.0E-52.2114732E-42.0878017E-42.5876972E-41.23943645.0E-50.00220927360.0020860240.00213591991.0239195.0E-5
6.34.2387383E-64.0016344E-64.4001474E-510.9958764.0E-51.8165894E-51.7149758E-55.714907E-53.33235434.0E-52.2114732E-42.0878017E-42.5876972E-41.23943645.0E-50.00220927360.0020860240.00213591991.0239195.0E-5
6.44.2387383E-64.0016344E-64.4001474E-510.9958764.0E-51.8165894E-51.7149758E-55.714907E-53.33235434.0E-52.2114732E-42.0878017E-42.5876972E-41.23943645.0E-50.00220927360.0020860240.00213591991.0239195.0E-5
6.52.7857532E-62.5178624E-62.2517812E-58.9432262.0E-51.1938888E-51.0790796E-53.079058E-52.85341142.0E-51.4534626E-41.3137035E-41.613664E-41.2283323.0E-50.00145251230.00131295960.00134292021.02281923.0E-5
6.62.2233348E-61.944119E-62.194408E-511.28741552.0E-59.528543E-68.331913E-62.8331746E-53.40038922.0E-51.1600384E-41.014364E-41.2143437E-41.19714782.0E-50.0011594330.00101390960.00103388941.01970572.0E-5
6.72.1635126E-61.8834991E-62.1883461E-511.6185152.0E-59.272164E-68.072114E-62.8071952E-53.47764562.0E-51.1288274E-49.827364E-51.1827167E-41.20349342.0E-50.00112825429.8231E-40.00100229031.02034022.0E-5
6.81.8685711E-61.583138E-62.1583106E-513.6331182.0E-58.008137E-66.7848596E-62.6784724E-53.94771962.0E-59.74947E-58.2602586E-51.02600934E-41.24210322.0E-59.745194E-48.2572375E-48.457072E-41.02420122.0E-5
6.91.5815071E-61.3064887E-61.1306475E-58.6540941.0E-56.77787E-65.5992255E-61.559917E-52.78595141.0E-58.251744E-56.816846E-57.816778E-51.14668541.0E-58.248681E-46.8147824E-46.914714E-41.01466391.0E-5
7.01.3772564E-61.1210681E-61.1121057E-59.9200541.0E-55.9025137E-64.8045686E-61.4804521E-53.08134221.0E-57.186073E-55.8494075E-56.849349E-51.17094741.0E-57.18375E-45.8478885E-45.94783E-41.01709021.0E-5
7.11.0916998E-68.7637505E-71.0876366E-512.410631.0E-54.678705E-63.7558877E-61.375585E-53.66247631.0E-55.6961744E-54.5726985E-55.572653E-51.21867921.0E-55.6947145E-44.571771E-44.6717256E-41.02186331.0E-5
7.27.6277024E-75.901439E-71.0590138E-517.9450111.0E-53.2690114E-62.5291856E-61.252916E-54.95383171.0E-53.9799485E-53.0792406E-54.07921E-51.32474541.0E-53.9792358E-43.07882E-43.1787893E-41.032471.0E-5
7.35.3265916E-74.3824264E-71.0438238E-523.81841.0E-52.282823E-61.8781814E-61.1878163E-56.32428931.0E-52.7793016E-52.2866623E-53.2866392E-51.43730871.0E-52.778954E-42.2864307E-42.3864079E-41.04372631.0E-5
7.43.4946007E-73.0065647E-71.0300653E-534.2605441.0E-51.497685E-61.2885271E-61.12885145E-58.7607891.0E-51.8234163E-51.5687707E-52.568755E-51.63743191.0E-51.8232666E-41.5686621E-41.6686464E-41.06373861.0E-5
7.51.8317026E-71.4244755E-71.4244755E-71.00.07.850152E-76.1048934E-76.1048934E-71.00.09.557518E-67.432683E-67.432683E-61.00.09.5571064E-57.432442E-57.432442E-51.00.0
7.62.572245E-81.735264E-81.735264E-81.00.01.10239064E-77.436845E-87.436845E-81.00.01.3421597E-69.0543557E-79.0543557E-71.00.01.3421517E-59.054324E-69.054324E-61.00.0

Blue Cut

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.1227985E-52.2719574E-54.271912E-51.88027822.0E-59.097391E-59.73663E-51.2736338E-41.30808483.0E-50.00110704450.00118484810.00122480071.03371974.0E-50.0110154580.0117911520.011830681.00335244.0E-5
6.12.1227985E-52.2719574E-54.271912E-51.88027822.0E-59.097391E-59.73663E-51.2736338E-41.30808483.0E-50.00110704450.00118484810.00122480071.03371974.0E-50.0110154580.0117911520.011830681.00335244.0E-5
6.22.1227985E-52.2719574E-54.271912E-51.88027822.0E-59.097391E-59.73663E-51.2736338E-41.30808483.0E-50.00110704450.00118484810.00122480071.03371974.0E-50.0110154580.0117911520.011830681.00335244.0E-5
6.31.1613981E-51.2353542E-52.2353419E-51.80947451.0E-54.9773254E-55.2942745E-56.2942214E-51.18887331.0E-56.0582085E-46.443998E-46.5439334E-41.01550831.0E-50.00604171960.00642655930.0064364951.0015461.0E-5
6.41.1613981E-51.2353542E-52.2353419E-51.80947451.0E-54.9773254E-55.2942745E-56.2942214E-51.18887331.0E-56.0582085E-46.443998E-46.5439334E-41.01550831.0E-50.00604171960.00642655930.0064364951.0015461.0E-5
6.58.931326E-69.4816E-61.9481506E-52.05466441.0E-53.8276554E-54.0634844E-55.063444E-51.24608421.0E-54.6591737E-44.946261E-45.0462113E-41.02020731.0E-50.00464941750.0049361610.00494611171.00201581.0E-5
6.67.345353E-67.79028E-61.7790202E-52.2836411.0E-53.1479703E-53.338653E-54.3386193E-51.2995121.0E-53.83198E-44.064132E-44.164091E-41.02459551.0E-50.00382537880.00405749070.00406745031.00245451.0E-5
6.76.2775666E-66.655149E-61.6655082E-52.5025861.0E-52.690358E-52.8521798E-53.8521513E-51.3505991.0E-53.2750185E-43.472051E-43.572016E-41.02879141.0E-50.00327019630.0034673670.00347733241.0028741.0E-5
6.85.5234095E-65.8551113E-61.5855052E-52.70789961.0E-52.367154E-52.5093133E-53.5092882E-51.39850541.0E-52.8816288E-43.0547334E-43.154703E-41.0327261.0E-50.0028778950.00305125050.003061221.00326731.0E-5
6.94.7780054E-65.0654203E-61.506537E-52.97415971.0E-52.0477004E-52.1708804E-53.1708587E-51.46063261.0E-52.4927902E-42.642797E-42.7427703E-41.03782871.0E-50.00248999570.0026403460.00265031981.00377741.0E-5
7.03.883171E-64.118487E-61.41184455E-53.4280661.0E-51.6642054E-51.7650578E-52.7650402E-51.56654371.0E-52.0259817E-42.1488148E-42.2487935E-41.04652731.0E-50.00202413560.00214741290.00215739131.00464681.0E-5
7.12.8358215E-63.0097158E-61.3009686E-54.32256271.0E-51.2153464E-51.2898756E-52.2898626E-51.77525851.0E-51.4795837E-41.5703762E-41.6703604E-41.0636691.0E-50.0014785990.00156991160.0015798961.00635981.0E-5

San Jacinto (Borrego)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.543992E-52.7925962E-54.7925405E-51.71615952.0E-51.5187653E-41.1967727E-41.4967368E-41.25064423.0E-50.00184752840.00145610920.00148606541.02057293.0E-50.0183224360.014868150.0149075571.00265034.0E-5
6.13.542281E-52.7925962E-54.7925405E-51.71615952.0E-51.5180321E-41.1967727E-41.4967368E-41.25064423.0E-50.00184663720.00145610920.00148606541.02057293.0E-50.0183136720.014868150.0149075571.00265034.0E-5
6.23.4688688E-52.7925962E-54.7925405E-51.71615952.0E-51.4865733E-41.1967727E-41.4967368E-41.25064423.0E-50.00180840050.00145610910.00148606541.02057293.0E-50.0179375480.014868150.0149075561.00265034.0E-5
6.33.2087122E-52.7771312E-54.7770758E-51.72014762.0E-51.3750899E-41.1901455E-41.4901097E-41.252043.0E-50.00167288620.00144805120.00147800781.02068753.0E-50.0166034880.0147893080.0148287161.00266474.0E-5
6.43.1828724E-52.773829E-54.7737733E-51.7210052.0E-51.364017E-41.1887303E-41.4886947E-41.25234013.0E-50.00165942540.00144633060.00147628711.02071213.0E-50.0164708850.0147725020.0148119111.00266784.0E-5
6.53.1563577E-52.7477974E-54.7477424E-51.72783572.0E-51.3526545E-41.17757496E-41.4775396E-41.25473083.0E-50.00164561280.00143276680.00146272381.02090853.0E-50.01633480.014639910.0146793251.00269224.0E-5
6.63.1467625E-52.7322194E-54.7321646E-51.73198572.0E-51.3485427E-41.17089934E-41.4708642E-41.25618333.0E-50.00164061420.00142464980.00145460711.02102783.0E-50.0162855480.0145602280.01459964551.00270724.0E-5
6.73.1223695E-52.6940217E-54.693968E-51.74236452.0E-51.3380898E-41.1545303E-41.4544957E-41.25981593.0E-50.00162790680.00140474640.00143470431.02132623.0E-50.016160330.014364510.0144039351.00274474.0E-5
6.83.1015585E-52.6761221E-54.6760684E-51.74733012.0E-51.3291716E-41.1468597E-41.4468253E-41.26155393.0E-50.0016170650.00139541950.00142537761.02146893.0E-50.0160534870.0142717720.0143112011.00276284.0E-5
6.92.6641965E-52.2183434E-54.218299E-51.90155362.0E-51.1417485E-49.506842E-51.2506556E-41.31553223.0E-50.00138919240.00115684730.00118681261.02590253.0E-50.01380540150.0118821910.0119217151.00332644.0E-5
7.02.3854353E-52.047825E-54.047784E-51.97662592.0E-51.02228936E-48.776099E-51.1775836E-41.34180753.0E-50.00124392660.00106796890.00109793691.02806073.0E-50.0123698660.01098262050.0110221811.00360214.0E-5
7.12.3672901E-52.0314741E-54.0314335E-51.98448682.0E-51.0145135E-48.706028E-51.1705767E-41.34455883.0E-50.00123447020.00105944610.00108941431.02828673.0E-50.01227635050.0108978580.01093742251.00363044.0E-5
7.22.2717244E-51.9542116E-53.9541726E-52.02341062.0E-59.735599E-58.3749255E-51.1374674E-41.35818223.0E-50.00118466460.00101917250.0010491421.02940563.0E-50.011783690.0104953220.0105349021.00377124.0E-5
7.32.1016205E-51.8383771E-53.8383405E-52.0878962.0E-59.006634E-57.878522E-51.0878286E-41.38075213.0E-50.0010960069.5879E-49.887613E-41.03125943.0E-50.0109061630.0098909010.0099305051.00400414.0E-5
7.42.0683625E-51.8186302E-53.818594E-52.09970882.0E-58.86411E-57.7938974E-51.07936634E-41.38488653.0E-50.0010786719.48496E-49.784675E-41.0315993.0E-50.0107345010.00978762750.0098272371.00404684.0E-5
7.51.9993966E-51.7781347E-53.7780992E-52.12475422.0E-58.568561E-57.6203556E-51.06201274E-41.39365243.0E-50.0010427239.2738547E-49.5735764E-41.0323193.0E-50.0103784380.0095745480.0096141661.00413784.0E-5
7.61.788966E-51.6434618E-53.643429E-52.21692352.0E-57.666772E-57.043219E-51.0043007E-41.42591173.0E-59.3302975E-48.5717626E-48.871505E-41.03496863.0E-50.009291220.0088664150.0089060611.00447144.0E-5
7.71.5125781E-51.4236738E-53.4236455E-52.40479612.0E-56.4823165E-56.101317E-59.101134E-51.49166723.0E-57.889362E-47.4258295E-47.725607E-41.04036953.0E-50.0078614120.0077141610.00775385281.00514534.0E-5
7.81.250089E-51.262994E-53.2629687E-52.58351872.0E-55.3574146E-55.4127195E-58.4125575E-51.55422013.0E-56.5207E-46.588E-46.887802E-41.04550733.0E-50.0065015990.0068677590.00690748451.00578434.0E-5
7.99.561E-69.754065E-62.975387E-53.05040722.0E-54.0975072E-54.180247E-57.1801216E-51.7176313.0E-54.987573E-45.0882675E-45.388115E-41.05892923.0E-50.00497639370.00535236070.00539214631.00743334.0E-5
8.08.01699E-68.292994E-62.8292829E-53.41165422.0E-53.4358076E-53.554092E-56.5539854E-51.84406753.0E-54.1822926E-44.3262533E-44.6261234E-41.06931413.0E-50.00417443040.00457331860.0046131361.00870634.0E-5
8.16.541947E-66.461784E-62.6461654E-54.09510042.0E-52.8036617E-52.7693068E-55.769224E-52.08327363.0E-53.4129233E-43.3711144E-43.6710134E-41.08896143.0E-50.00340768650.00358057560.00362043221.01113144.0E-5
8.21.7968189E-67.9684827E-77.9684827E-71.00.07.70063E-63.4150596E-63.4150596E-61.00.09.3751136E-54.157758E-54.157758E-51.00.09.371159E-44.7107413E-44.7107413E-41.00.0
8.31.5167889E-74.8951257E-84.8951257E-81.00.06.500522E-72.0979108E-72.0979108E-71.00.07.9143565E-62.5542038E-62.5542038E-61.00.07.914075E-52.9679897E-52.9679897E-51.00.0

Ventura-Pitas Point

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.3179622E-53.373519E-55.373451E-51.59283282.0E-51.4219063E-41.4457281E-41.6456992E-41.13831852.0E-50.00172979620.00175900970.00179893931.02270014.0E-50.0171639320.0174764970.0175157991.00224884.0E-5
6.13.3179622E-53.373519E-55.373451E-51.59283282.0E-51.4219063E-41.4457281E-41.6456992E-41.13831852.0E-50.00172979620.00175900970.00179893931.02270014.0E-50.0171639320.0174764970.0175157991.00224884.0E-5
6.23.3179622E-53.373519E-55.373451E-51.59283282.0E-51.4219063E-41.4457281E-41.6456992E-41.13831852.0E-50.00172979620.00175900970.00179893931.02270014.0E-50.0171639320.0174764970.0175157991.00224884.0E-5
6.33.3179622E-53.373519E-55.373451E-51.59283282.0E-51.4219063E-41.4457281E-41.6456992E-41.13831852.0E-50.00172979620.00175900970.00179893931.02270014.0E-50.0171639320.0174764970.0175157991.00224884.0E-5
6.41.8754668E-51.7019594E-52.7019423E-51.58754811.0E-58.037467E-57.2939205E-58.293848E-51.13709041.0E-59.781223E-48.8769617E-49.176695E-41.03376533.0E-50.0097382820.0088439430.0088736771.00336223.0E-5
6.51.8754668E-51.7019594E-52.7019423E-51.58754811.0E-58.037467E-57.2939205E-58.293848E-51.13709041.0E-59.781223E-48.8769617E-49.176695E-41.03376533.0E-50.0097382820.0088439430.0088736771.00336223.0E-5
6.61.4361558E-51.2122258E-52.2122136E-51.82491891.0E-56.154808E-55.1951512E-56.1950996E-51.19247721.0E-57.490902E-46.323284E-46.623094E-41.04741373.0E-50.00746570160.0063056520.0063354631.00472763.0E-5
6.71.4361558E-51.2122258E-52.2122136E-51.82491891.0E-56.154808E-55.1951512E-56.1950996E-51.19247721.0E-57.490902E-46.323284E-46.623094E-41.04741373.0E-50.00746570160.0063056520.0063354631.00472763.0E-5
6.81.3663846E-51.1344401E-51.1344401E-51.00.05.8558027E-54.8617967E-54.8617967E-51.00.07.127108E-45.917649E-46.117531E-41.03377722.0E-50.0071042930.00590221070.0059220931.00336862.0E-5
6.91.3644157E-51.1322501E-51.1322501E-51.00.05.8473648E-54.8524114E-54.8524114E-51.00.07.116841E-45.906229E-46.106111E-41.03384262.0E-50.0070940920.00589085140.00591073371.0033752.0E-5
7.01.3568845E-51.12420685E-51.12420685E-51.00.05.8150898E-54.8179416E-54.8179416E-51.00.07.077572E-45.8642845E-46.064167E-41.03408482.0E-50.0070550730.0058491280.00586901141.00339942.0E-5
7.11.306572E-51.0720521E-51.0720521E-51.00.05.599474E-54.594429E-54.594429E-51.00.06.815227E-45.5923004E-45.7921885E-41.03574352.0E-50.00679436370.0055785360.00559842451.00356522.0E-5
7.21.232604E-59.995121E-69.995121E-61.00.05.2824813E-54.283554E-54.283554E-51.00.06.429523E-45.2139966E-45.3139444E-41.01916911.0E-50.00641095270.0052020590.0052120071.00191241.0E-5
7.31.0917261E-58.843812E-68.843812E-61.00.04.678742E-53.7901507E-53.7901507E-51.00.05.69488E-44.6135474E-44.713501E-41.02166531.0E-50.00568030770.0046042390.0046141931.00216191.0E-5
7.41.039959E-58.42354E-68.42354E-61.00.04.456891E-53.6100395E-53.6100395E-51.00.05.424914E-44.394352E-44.494308E-41.02274641.0E-50.00541168960.00438592770.0043958841.002271.0E-5
7.59.015877E-67.29752E-67.29752E-61.00.03.86389E-53.1274718E-53.1274718E-51.00.04.7032707E-43.8070456E-43.9070076E-41.0262571.0E-50.0046933290.0038007720.0038107341.0026211.0E-5
7.64.900162E-63.874119E-63.874119E-61.00.02.1000526E-51.6603262E-51.6603262E-51.00.02.556514E-42.0212609E-42.0212609E-41.00.00.00255357470.0020194360.0020194361.00.0
7.73.8850626E-63.12676E-63.12676E-61.00.01.6650163E-51.3400332E-51.3400332E-51.00.02.0269687E-41.6313691E-41.6313691E-41.00.00.0020251210.00163018090.00163018091.00.0
7.82.4654719E-62.029902E-62.029902E-61.00.01.0566265E-58.699551E-68.699551E-61.00.01.2863669E-41.0591193E-41.0591193E-41.00.00.00128562250.00105861920.00105861921.00.0
7.94.095894E-73.2765078E-73.2765078E-71.00.01.7553821E-61.4042168E-61.4042168E-61.00.02.1371567E-51.709621E-51.709621E-51.00.02.1369511E-41.7094925E-41.7094925E-41.00.0
8.07.791402E-95.6836056E-95.6836056E-91.00.03.3391725E-82.4358311E-82.4358311E-81.00.04.0654416E-72.965624E-72.965624E-71.00.04.065434E-62.9656223E-62.9656223E-61.00.0

Pinto Mtn

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.4194956E-54.7853926E-56.785297E-51.41791862.0E-51.893932E-42.0507304E-42.350669E-41.14625933.0E-50.00230342360.00249406880.0025339691.0159984.0E-50.0227969380.0246783050.0247173181.00158084.0E-5
6.14.4194956E-54.7853926E-56.785297E-51.41791862.0E-51.893932E-42.0507304E-42.350669E-41.14625933.0E-50.00230342360.00249406880.0025339691.0159984.0E-50.0227969380.0246783050.0247173181.00158084.0E-5
6.24.4194956E-54.7853926E-56.785297E-51.41791862.0E-51.893932E-42.0507304E-42.350669E-41.14625933.0E-50.00230342360.00249406880.0025339691.0159984.0E-50.0227969380.0246783050.0247173181.00158084.0E-5
6.34.4194956E-54.7853926E-56.785297E-51.41791862.0E-51.893932E-42.0507304E-42.350669E-41.14625933.0E-50.00230342360.00249406880.0025339691.0159984.0E-50.0227969380.0246783050.0247173181.00158084.0E-5
6.43.729929E-53.960349E-54.9603095E-51.2524931.0E-51.5984432E-41.6971873E-41.8971533E-41.1178222.0E-50.00194436730.00206446040.00209439851.01450173.0E-50.0192744270.0204628480.0204922351.00143613.0E-5
6.53.729929E-53.960349E-54.9603095E-51.2524931.0E-51.5984432E-41.6971873E-41.8971533E-41.1178222.0E-50.00194436730.00206446040.00209439851.01450173.0E-50.0192744270.0204628480.0204922351.00143613.0E-5
6.63.0204548E-53.12056E-54.1205287E-51.32044531.0E-51.2944164E-41.3373162E-41.4373029E-41.07476661.0E-50.00157481270.00162700120.00164696871.01227262.0E-50.0156369920.0161547640.0161744411.00121812.0E-5
6.72.9857754E-53.0814987E-54.0814677E-51.32450751.0E-51.2795553E-41.3205773E-41.4205641E-41.07571451.0E-50.00155674530.00160665170.00162661961.01242832.0E-50.0154588480.0159542040.0159738851.00123362.0E-5
6.82.4819734E-52.5009665E-53.5009416E-51.39983551.0E-51.0636595E-41.0718E-41.17178926E-41.0932911.0E-50.00129423620.0013041570.00132413091.01531552.0E-50.0128672440.0129674030.0129871431.00152232.0E-5
6.92.331124E-52.3337945E-53.333771E-51.42847671.0E-59.990149E-51.0001605E-41.1001505E-41.09997391.0E-50.0012156220.00121703550.00123701121.01641332.0E-50.0120899360.0121058970.0121256551.00163212.0E-5
7.02.1818534E-52.1761074E-53.1760857E-51.45952621.0E-59.3504656E-59.3258524E-51.0325759E-41.10721891.0E-50.00113782460.00113485090.00115482821.01760352.0E-50.0113201630.011292660.01131243351.00175112.0E-5
7.12.066081E-52.0540718E-53.0540512E-51.48682791.0E-58.854332E-58.8028784E-59.802791E-51.11358921.0E-50.00107748180.00107124310.00109122171.01864992.0E-50.0107227240.01066284350.010682631.00185572.0E-5
7.21.8990233E-51.9054001E-52.9053812E-51.52481411.0E-58.138417E-58.165756E-59.1656744E-51.12245261.0E-59.904018E-49.937467E-40.00101372681.02010582.0E-50.0098599950.0098950290.0099148311.00200122.0E-5
7.31.3335872E-51.4906713E-52.4906563E-51.67082871.0E-55.7152483E-56.388442E-57.388378E-51.15652281.0E-56.956093E-47.77528E-47.975124E-41.02570262.0E-50.0069343590.0077493760.0077692211.00256092.0E-5
7.49.414066E-61.186096E-51.186096E-51.00.04.0345374E-55.083175E-55.083175E-51.00.04.910942E-46.1871024E-46.2870403E-41.01615261.0E-50.00490010340.00617082560.00618076371.00161051.0E-5
7.57.2101157E-69.158192E-69.158192E-61.00.03.090013E-53.9248847E-53.9248847E-51.00.03.7614413E-44.7775774E-44.7775774E-41.00.00.00375508070.0047680820.0047680821.00.0
7.63.296375E-64.5455017E-64.5455017E-61.00.01.4127245E-51.9480583E-51.9480583E-51.00.01.7198564E-42.3715167E-42.3715167E-41.00.00.00171852590.00236912330.00236912331.00.0
7.72.5741092E-63.5844084E-63.5844084E-61.00.01.103185E-51.5361667E-51.5361667E-51.00.01.3430449E-41.8701357E-41.8701357E-41.00.00.00134223350.00186869180.00186869181.00.0

Whittier alt 1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.2554693E-54.7252182E-56.725124E-51.42324092.0E-51.8236451E-42.0249544E-42.3248937E-41.14812153.0E-50.0022180270.00246291630.0025028181.01620094.0E-50.021960190.0243902630.0244292881.00164.0E-5
6.14.2554693E-54.7252182E-56.725124E-51.42324092.0E-51.8236451E-42.0249544E-42.3248937E-41.14812153.0E-50.0022180270.00246291630.0025028181.01620094.0E-50.021960190.0243902630.0244292881.00164.0E-5
6.24.2554693E-54.7252182E-56.725124E-51.42324092.0E-51.8236451E-42.0249544E-42.3248937E-41.14812153.0E-50.0022180270.00246291630.0025028181.01620094.0E-50.021960190.0243902630.0244292881.00164.0E-5
6.31.9617712E-51.826841E-52.8268229E-51.5473831.0E-58.40732E-57.829095E-58.8290166E-51.12771871.0E-50.00102311059.527944E-49.7277533E-41.0209712.0E-50.010184130.00949040.009510211.00208742.0E-5
6.41.5611336E-51.3604089E-51.3604089E-51.00.06.690401E-55.8301972E-55.8301972E-51.00.08.142519E-47.096013E-47.195942E-41.01408241.0E-50.0081127480.00707533770.0070852671.00140331.0E-5
6.51.5150166E-51.3100744E-51.3100744E-51.00.06.492767E-55.614487E-55.614487E-51.00.07.9020765E-46.8335526E-46.9334847E-41.01462361.0E-50.0078740360.0068145080.00682443941.00145751.0E-5
6.61.295588E-51.0380544E-51.0380544E-51.00.05.552402E-54.44873E-54.44873E-51.00.06.7579525E-45.415002E-45.415002E-41.00.00.0067374380.0054033430.0054033431.00.0
6.71.2542085E-59.899189E-69.899189E-61.00.05.3750682E-54.2424414E-54.2424414E-51.00.06.542181E-45.163967E-45.163967E-41.00.00.0065229540.0051534640.0051534641.00.0
6.81.2195878E-59.49523E-69.49523E-61.00.05.2267E-54.069322E-54.069322E-51.00.06.36165E-44.9532915E-44.9532915E-41.00.00.00634346860.00494369630.00494369631.00.0
6.91.1580298E-58.772739E-68.772739E-61.00.04.9628903E-53.759692E-53.759692E-51.00.06.040644E-44.5764804E-44.5764804E-41.00.00.006024250.00456846460.00456846461.00.0
7.01.0964795E-58.083794E-68.083794E-61.00.04.6991136E-53.4644378E-53.4644378E-51.00.05.7196687E-44.217152E-44.217152E-41.00.00.00570496960.0042104590.0042104591.00.0
7.11.0230601E-57.32646E-67.32646E-61.00.04.3844695E-53.1398744E-53.1398744E-51.00.05.336784E-43.8221394E-43.8221394E-41.00.00.0053239860.00381675920.00381675921.00.0
7.29.40865E-66.5430822E-66.5430822E-61.00.04.032216E-52.8041486E-52.8041486E-51.00.04.908117E-43.4135283E-43.4135283E-41.00.00.00489729130.00340940240.00340940241.00.0
7.38.237384E-65.5975433E-65.5975433E-61.00.03.5302593E-52.3989258E-52.3989258E-51.00.04.2972428E-42.920311E-42.920311E-41.00.00.00428894260.00291679920.00291679921.00.0
7.47.5316966E-65.0276153E-65.0276153E-61.00.03.2278298E-52.154675E-52.154675E-51.00.03.9291743E-42.623011E-42.623011E-41.00.00.00392223430.00262002670.00262002671.00.0
7.56.149649E-63.9336355E-63.9336355E-61.00.02.6355372E-51.6858336E-51.6858336E-51.00.03.208294E-42.052318E-42.052318E-41.00.00.0032036660.00205051180.00205051181.00.0
7.65.457711E-63.3951796E-63.3951796E-61.00.02.338998E-51.4550694E-51.4550694E-51.00.02.8473578E-41.771411E-41.771411E-41.00.00.00284371220.00177007980.00177007981.00.0
7.74.1676276E-62.3329922E-62.3329922E-61.00.01.7861139E-59.998504E-69.998504E-61.00.02.1743766E-41.2172572E-41.2172572E-41.00.00.00217225030.00121666350.00121666351.00.0
7.82.2692414E-79.384417E-89.384417E-81.00.09.725317E-74.0218927E-74.0218927E-71.00.01.1840509E-54.8966467E-64.8966467E-61.00.01.1839878E-44.8965718E-54.8965718E-51.00.0
7.96.676829E-93.4397174E-93.4397174E-91.00.02.861498E-81.4741646E-81.4741646E-81.00.03.4838732E-71.7947953E-71.7947953E-71.00.03.4838679E-61.794794E-61.794794E-61.00.0

San Clemente

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.681379E-58.163834E-51.016367E-41.24496292.0E-52.8631336E-43.4983488E-43.698279E-41.05714982.0E-50.0034802940.004251410.00427132471.00468432.0E-50.034262910.041756030.041794361.00091794.0E-5
6.16.681379E-58.163834E-59.163752E-51.12248151.0E-52.8631336E-43.4983488E-43.598314E-41.0285751.0E-50.0034802940.004251410.00426136751.00234211.0E-50.034262910.041756030.0417751931.0004592.0E-5
6.23.9400576E-54.6452373E-55.6451907E-51.21526421.0E-51.6884868E-41.9906677E-42.0906478E-41.05022441.0E-50.00205379450.00242099840.00243097431.00412051.0E-50.0203491670.0239529030.0239626631.00040751.0E-5
6.33.2590255E-53.792912E-54.7928737E-51.26363971.0E-51.3966505E-41.6254342E-41.725418E-41.0615121.0E-50.00169909560.00197720020.00198718021.00504771.0E-50.016861630.0195998830.0196096861.00050021.0E-5
6.42.9454652E-53.4097764E-54.409742E-51.29326441.0E-51.2622811E-41.4612524E-41.5612377E-41.06842451.0E-50.00153574380.00177764930.00178763151.00561541.0E-50.0152517390.017637470.0176472941.0005571.0E-5
6.52.790836E-53.2247463E-54.224714E-51.3100921.0E-51.1960178E-41.3819624E-41.4819486E-41.07235091.0E-50.0014551790.00168126620.00169124941.00593791.0E-50.0144568680.0166884850.0166983181.00058931.0E-5
6.62.2492153E-52.5762702E-53.5762445E-51.38814811.0E-59.639138E-51.1040699E-41.20405886E-41.0905641.0E-50.00117293310.00134339090.00135337751.00743391.0E-50.0116676150.0133544170.0133642831.00073891.0E-5
6.71.9862755E-52.2666423E-52.2666423E-51.00.08.512331E-59.713826E-59.713826E-51.00.00.00103588360.00118202790.00118202791.00.00.0103106820.0117587010.0117587011.00.0
6.81.6697575E-51.897771E-51.897771E-51.00.07.155907E-58.133056E-58.133056E-51.00.08.7088346E-49.897591E-49.897591E-41.00.00.0086747840.00985453650.00985453651.00.0
6.91.5218415E-51.72694E-51.72694E-51.00.06.522015E-57.4009666E-57.4009666E-51.00.07.93766E-49.00704E-49.00704E-41.00.00.0079093670.0089714810.0089714811.00.0
7.01.2392958E-51.4033016E-51.4033016E-51.00.05.3111595E-56.014015E-56.014015E-51.00.06.4644177E-47.319679E-47.319679E-41.00.00.00644564540.00729635640.00729635641.00.0
7.11.0934128E-51.2375138E-51.2375138E-51.00.04.6859706E-55.303527E-55.303527E-51.00.05.7036756E-46.455204E-46.455204E-41.00.00.00568905850.00643719970.00643719971.00.0
7.29.5798805E-61.0844935E-51.0844935E-51.00.04.1055984E-54.6477508E-54.6477508E-51.00.04.9974193E-45.657239E-45.657239E-41.00.00.00498619630.00564356150.00564356151.00.0
7.38.0167365E-69.083918E-69.083918E-61.00.03.4356988E-53.8930535E-53.8930535E-51.00.04.1821605E-44.7388324E-44.7388324E-41.00.00.00417429860.00472942970.00472942971.00.0
7.42.9581017E-63.3623792E-63.3623792E-61.00.01.2677518E-51.4410146E-51.4410146E-51.00.01.5433785E-41.7543444E-41.7543444E-41.00.00.0015423070.00175345460.00175345461.00.0

Sierra Madre

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.3379373E-51.1000776E-54.1000447E-53.72705033.0E-55.7338908E-54.714534E-57.714392E-51.63630013.0E-56.978776E-45.738448E-46.038276E-41.0522493.0E-50.00695690050.00572384470.0057636161.00694844.0E-5
6.11.3379373E-51.1000776E-54.1000447E-53.72705033.0E-55.7338908E-54.714534E-57.714392E-51.63630013.0E-56.978776E-45.738448E-46.038276E-41.0522493.0E-50.00695690050.00572384470.0057636161.00694844.0E-5
6.21.3379373E-51.1000776E-54.1000447E-53.72705033.0E-55.7338908E-54.714534E-57.714392E-51.63630013.0E-56.978776E-45.738448E-46.038276E-41.0522493.0E-50.00695690050.00572384470.0057636161.00694844.0E-5
6.31.3379373E-51.1000776E-54.1000447E-53.72705033.0E-55.7338908E-54.714534E-57.714392E-51.63630013.0E-56.978776E-45.738448E-46.038276E-41.0522493.0E-50.00695690050.00572384470.0057636161.00694844.0E-5
6.41.3379373E-51.1000776E-54.1000447E-53.72705033.0E-55.7338908E-54.714534E-57.714392E-51.63630013.0E-56.978776E-45.738448E-46.038276E-41.0522493.0E-50.00695690050.00572384470.0057636161.00694844.0E-5
6.51.26563245E-51.0230232E-53.0230027E-52.954972.0E-55.4240263E-54.384312E-56.384224E-51.4561522.0E-56.601751E-45.3366035E-45.536497E-41.0374572.0E-50.0065821730.00532396040.00535380051.00560493.0E-5
6.61.26563245E-51.0230232E-53.0230027E-52.954972.0E-55.4240263E-54.384312E-56.384224E-51.4561522.0E-56.601751E-45.3366035E-45.536497E-41.0374572.0E-50.0065821730.00532396040.00535380051.00560493.0E-5
6.71.2502474E-51.00663765E-53.0066174E-52.98679232.0E-55.3580934E-54.3140906E-56.314004E-51.46357722.0E-56.521526E-45.25115E-45.451045E-41.03806692.0E-50.00650242060.00523891160.00526875441.00569643.0E-5
6.81.2454966E-51.0018662E-53.0018462E-52.99625472.0E-55.3377335E-54.293642E-56.293556E-51.4657852.0E-56.4967526E-45.226266E-45.426161E-41.03824822.0E-50.0064777920.00521414450.0052439881.00572363.0E-5
6.91.2225574E-59.792639E-62.9792443E-53.04233052.0E-55.2394265E-54.196778E-56.1966944E-51.4765362.0E-56.3771347E-45.10839E-45.308288E-41.03913132.0E-50.0063588650.00509681370.0051167121.0039042.0E-5
7.01.182946E-59.399179E-62.9398992E-53.12782532.0E-55.06967E-54.0281582E-56.0280778E-51.49648492.0E-56.1705755E-44.903189E-45.103091E-41.04076982.0E-50.0061534690.0048925330.0049124351.00406792.0E-5
7.11.14369095E-58.986194E-61.8986104E-52.11280821.0E-54.9014405E-53.85117E-54.8511312E-51.25965131.0E-55.9658696E-44.6878002E-44.7877536E-41.0213221.0E-50.0059498790.00467806780.0046880211.00212761.0E-5
7.21.0836419E-58.39959E-61.8399505E-52.19052431.0E-54.644097E-53.599775E-54.599739E-51.27778521.0E-55.652721E-44.3818538E-44.48181E-41.02281141.0E-50.00563836420.00437336140.00438331771.00227651.0E-5
7.31.0403439E-58.020854E-61.8020773E-52.246741.0E-54.4585406E-53.437464E-54.4374297E-51.29090211.0E-55.426921E-44.184318E-44.284276E-41.02388871.0E-50.0054136870.0041765850.0041865431.00238431.0E-5
7.49.768864E-67.4144855E-61.7414412E-52.34870121.0E-54.186589E-53.1775984E-54.1775667E-51.31469311.0E-55.09598E-43.868048E-43.9680096E-41.02584281.0E-50.00508430970.00386145760.0038714191.00257971.0E-5
7.58.687089E-66.450183E-61.6450118E-52.55033371.0E-53.722985E-52.7643353E-53.7643076E-51.36174061.0E-54.5317915E-43.3650672E-43.4650334E-41.02970711.0E-50.0045225610.0033601090.00337007551.0029661.0E-5
7.66.3506063E-64.430329E-64.430329E-61.00.02.72166E-51.8986988E-51.8986988E-51.00.03.3131172E-42.3114232E-42.3114232E-41.00.00.0033081820.00230909350.00230909351.00.0
7.74.62223E-62.9329542E-62.9329542E-61.00.01.9809406E-51.2569743E-51.2569743E-51.00.02.4115283E-41.5302589E-41.5302589E-41.00.00.00240891290.00152925770.00152925771.00.0
7.83.2145008E-61.949411E-61.949411E-61.00.01.3776359E-58.354592E-68.354592E-61.00.01.6771426E-41.01712416E-41.01712416E-41.00.00.00167587740.00101667860.00101667861.00.0
7.91.0391769E-65.602482E-75.602482E-71.00.04.4536077E-62.4010617E-62.4010617E-61.00.05.4221324E-52.9232539E-52.9232539E-51.00.05.4208096E-42.9228735E-42.9228735E-41.00.0
8.01.210983E-76.613497E-86.613497E-81.00.05.1899264E-72.8343558E-72.8343558E-71.00.06.3187167E-63.4508228E-63.4508228E-61.00.06.318537E-53.450771E-53.450771E-51.00.0

Raymond

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5157413E-51.5810125E-52.5809968E-51.6324961.0E-56.4958724E-56.775606E-58.7754706E-51.29515662.0E-57.905855E-48.246429E-48.5461815E-41.03634943.0E-50.0078777880.0082183550.00824810751.00362043.0E-5
6.11.5157413E-51.5810125E-52.5809968E-51.6324961.0E-56.4958724E-56.775606E-58.7754706E-51.29515662.0E-57.905855E-48.246429E-48.5461815E-41.03634943.0E-50.0078777880.0082183550.00824810751.00362043.0E-5
6.21.5157413E-51.5810125E-52.5809968E-51.6324961.0E-56.4958724E-56.775606E-58.7754706E-51.29515662.0E-57.905855E-48.246429E-48.5461815E-41.03634943.0E-50.0078777880.0082183550.00824810751.00362043.0E-5
6.31.5157413E-51.5810125E-52.5809968E-51.6324961.0E-56.4958724E-56.775606E-58.7754706E-51.29515662.0E-57.905855E-48.246429E-48.5461815E-41.03634943.0E-50.0078777880.0082183550.00824810751.00362043.0E-5
6.41.3941944E-51.4454688E-51.4454688E-51.00.05.9749822E-56.194732E-57.1946706E-51.16141751.0E-57.2721124E-47.53971E-47.6396344E-41.01325311.0E-50.0072483610.0075164710.0075263961.00132041.0E-5
6.51.3941944E-51.4454688E-51.4454688E-51.00.05.9749822E-56.194732E-57.1946706E-51.16141751.0E-57.2721124E-47.53971E-47.6396344E-41.01325311.0E-50.0072483610.0075164710.0075263961.00132041.0E-5
6.61.0542609E-51.067111E-51.067111E-51.00.04.5181827E-54.573256E-55.57321E-51.21865261.0E-55.499499E-45.566571E-45.666515E-41.01795431.0E-50.0054859090.00555319660.0055631411.00179081.0E-5
6.71.0542609E-51.067111E-51.067111E-51.00.04.5181827E-54.573256E-55.57321E-51.21865261.0E-55.499499E-45.566571E-45.666515E-41.01795431.0E-50.0054859090.00555319660.0055631411.00179081.0E-5
6.81.0079132E-51.0176644E-51.0176644E-51.00.04.3195567E-54.3613487E-55.361305E-51.22927691.0E-55.257791E-45.308702E-45.408649E-41.0188271.0E-50.00524536850.00529657770.00530652471.0018781.0E-5
6.97.721598E-67.548902E-67.548902E-61.00.03.3092143E-53.2352043E-54.235172E-51.30908951.0E-54.0282236E-43.9381615E-44.038122E-41.02538251.0E-50.00402092930.0039313240.00394128451.00253371.0E-5
7.07.137566E-66.911303E-66.911303E-61.00.03.058921E-52.961954E-53.9619244E-51.3376051.0E-53.7236E-43.605593E-43.705557E-41.02772471.0E-50.00371736680.0035998690.0036098331.00276791.0E-5
7.15.654976E-65.299538E-65.299538E-61.00.02.4235387E-52.2712107E-53.271188E-51.44028381.0E-52.9502588E-42.7648505E-42.8648227E-41.03615831.0E-50.00294634510.00276144920.00277142161.00361131.0E-5
7.24.9358455E-64.526655E-64.526655E-61.00.02.1153453E-51.9399806E-52.9399613E-51.51545911.0E-52.5751285E-42.3616718E-42.4616483E-41.04233291.0E-50.00257214650.0023591920.00236916821.00422871.0E-5
7.34.2368597E-63.8056128E-63.8056128E-61.00.01.8157843E-51.6309668E-52.6309504E-51.61312331.0E-52.2104931E-41.9855222E-42.0855023E-41.05035461.0E-50.00220829550.00198377460.00199375491.00503091.0E-5
7.43.4999923E-63.0437407E-63.0437407E-61.00.01.49998805E-51.3044538E-52.3044407E-51.76659441.0E-51.8260824E-41.5880575E-41.6880417E-41.062961.0E-50.00182458260.00158694610.00159693021.00629141.0E-5
7.52.738017E-62.3020405E-62.3020405E-61.00.01.1734306E-59.865851E-69.865851E-61.00.01.428558E-41.20110184E-41.20110184E-41.00.00.00142764010.00120047470.00120047471.00.0
7.61.8186392E-61.442302E-61.442302E-61.00.07.794145E-66.1812802E-66.1812802E-61.00.09.488958E-57.5254524E-57.5254524E-51.00.09.4849075E-47.5230957E-47.5230957E-41.00.0
7.71.0660348E-67.6437E-77.6437E-71.00.04.5687125E-63.2758674E-63.2758674E-61.00.05.5622655E-53.988297E-53.988297E-51.00.05.5608735E-43.9877492E-43.9877492E-41.00.0
7.86.913602E-74.3202903E-74.3202903E-71.00.02.962969E-61.8515517E-61.8515517E-61.00.03.607355E-52.2542416E-52.2542416E-51.00.03.6067693E-42.2541684E-42.2541684E-41.00.0
7.97.425201E-85.322267E-85.322267E-81.00.03.1822285E-72.2809714E-72.2809714E-71.00.03.874356E-62.7770805E-62.7770805E-61.00.03.8742884E-52.7770588E-52.7770588E-51.00.0

Cucamonga

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1848348E-51.1737109E-53.1736876E-52.7039772.0E-55.0777642E-55.0300943E-57.029994E-51.39758682.0E-56.180424E-46.122446E-46.3223235E-41.03264672.0E-50.00616326370.0061067450.00613656171.00488263.0E-5
6.11.1848348E-51.1737109E-53.1736876E-52.7039772.0E-55.0777642E-55.0300943E-57.029994E-51.39758682.0E-56.180424E-46.122446E-46.3223235E-41.03264672.0E-50.00616326370.0061067450.00613656171.00488263.0E-5
6.21.1848348E-51.1737109E-53.1736876E-52.7039772.0E-55.0777642E-55.0300943E-57.029994E-51.39758682.0E-56.180424E-46.122446E-46.3223235E-41.03264672.0E-50.00616326370.0061067450.00613656171.00488263.0E-5
6.31.1848348E-51.1737109E-53.1736876E-52.7039772.0E-55.0777642E-55.0300943E-57.029994E-51.39758682.0E-56.180424E-46.122446E-46.3223235E-41.03264672.0E-50.00616326370.0061067450.00613656171.00488263.0E-5
6.41.1848348E-51.1737109E-53.1736876E-52.7039772.0E-55.0777642E-55.0300943E-57.029994E-51.39758682.0E-56.180424E-46.122446E-46.3223235E-41.03264672.0E-50.00616326370.0061067450.00613656171.00488263.0E-5
6.51.16988695E-51.157614E-53.157591E-52.72767162.0E-55.013705E-54.9611102E-56.9610105E-51.40311562.0E-56.102476E-46.0385047E-46.2383834E-41.03310082.0E-50.0060857450.00602325940.00605307851.00495063.0E-5
6.61.16988695E-51.157614E-53.157591E-52.72767162.0E-55.013705E-54.9611102E-56.9610105E-51.40311562.0E-56.102476E-46.0385047E-46.2383834E-41.03310082.0E-50.0060857450.00602325940.00605307851.00495063.0E-5
6.71.1397107E-51.1115039E-53.1114818E-52.79934382.0E-54.884383E-54.7635025E-56.763407E-51.41983912.0E-55.9451134E-45.798046E-45.99793E-41.03447442.0E-50.0059292340.0057840610.0058039451.00343782.0E-5
6.81.058387E-59.785037E-62.9784842E-53.0439172.0E-54.5358654E-54.1935207E-56.193437E-51.47690622.0E-55.521017E-45.1044265E-45.3043244E-41.03916172.0E-50.005507320.0050937020.00511360031.00390642.0E-5
6.99.690046E-68.579504E-62.8579332E-53.33111722.0E-54.1528107E-53.6768783E-55.6768047E-51.54391972.0E-55.054874E-44.475684E-44.6755944E-41.04466592.0E-50.0050433910.00446759540.0044875061.00445662.0E-5
7.09.381461E-68.18712E-62.8186956E-53.44284152.0E-54.020564E-53.508719E-55.5086486E-51.56998862.0E-54.893937E-44.2710314E-44.470946E-41.0468072.0E-50.00488317340.0042637470.0042836621.00467072.0E-5
7.18.946492E-67.781904E-61.7781826E-52.28502251.0E-53.8341543E-53.3350592E-54.335026E-51.29983471.0E-54.667083E-44.0596814E-44.1596408E-41.02462241.0E-50.00465729370.00405319270.00406315221.00245711.0E-5
7.28.251016E-66.9752878E-61.6975218E-52.43362261.0E-53.5361016E-52.9893748E-53.989345E-51.33450811.0E-54.3043532E-43.6389584E-43.7389222E-41.02747041.0E-50.00429602530.00363392520.00364388871.00274181.0E-5
7.37.717881E-66.4863584E-61.6486294E-52.5416871.0E-53.3076216E-52.7798384E-53.7798105E-51.35972311.0E-54.026285E-43.38393E-43.483896E-41.02954151.0E-50.0040189980.00337971030.00338967661.00294891.0E-5
7.47.275623E-66.032004E-61.6031943E-52.65781381.0E-53.118087E-52.5851192E-53.585093E-51.38681941.0E-53.7956095E-43.1469302E-43.2468987E-41.0317671.0E-50.00378913320.00314340460.00315337331.00317121.0E-5
7.56.5109502E-65.100593E-61.5100542E-52.96054631.0E-52.7903774E-52.1859503E-53.1859283E-51.4574571.0E-53.3967546E-42.661071E-42.7610443E-41.03756881.0E-50.00339156740.00265880160.00266877521.0037511.0E-5
7.65.4495326E-63.908547E-63.908547E-61.00.02.335493E-51.6750808E-51.6750808E-51.00.02.8430918E-42.0392207E-42.0392207E-41.00.00.00283945720.00203826160.00203826161.00.0
7.74.7997164E-63.2002263E-63.2002263E-61.00.02.057005E-51.3715184E-51.3715184E-51.00.02.504116E-41.6696959E-41.6696959E-41.00.00.0025012960.00166937010.00166937011.00.0
7.83.3941733E-62.0641678E-62.0641678E-61.00.01.4546376E-58.846404E-68.846404E-61.00.01.7708774E-41.07699656E-41.07699656E-41.00.00.00176946680.00107660320.00107660321.00.0
7.99.750552E-75.155798E-75.155798E-71.00.04.178801E-62.2096258E-62.2096258E-61.00.05.0875715E-52.6901867E-52.6901867E-51.00.05.086407E-42.689865E-42.689865E-41.00.0
8.01.133857E-76.053372E-86.053372E-81.00.04.8593864E-72.594302E-72.594302E-71.00.05.9162867E-63.1585582E-63.1585582E-61.00.05.916129E-53.158515E-53.158515E-51.00.0

Santa Cruz Catalina Ridge alt1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.2833184E-53.6558402E-56.65573E-51.82057493.0E-51.4070606E-41.5667039E-41.8666568E-41.19145483.0E-50.001711750.00190595940.00193590231.01571013.0E-50.0169862470.0189130320.0189424661.00155623.0E-5
6.11.9835548E-52.1659505E-55.1658855E-52.38504313.0E-58.500672E-59.282326E-51.2282048E-41.32316483.0E-50.00103446550.00112955750.00115952361.02652913.0E-50.0102966320.0112402960.0112699591.00263893.0E-5
6.21.9835548E-52.1659505E-55.1658855E-52.38504313.0E-58.500672E-59.282326E-51.2282048E-41.32316483.0E-50.00103446550.00112955750.00115952361.02652913.0E-50.0102966320.0112402960.0112699591.00263893.0E-5
6.31.5728183E-51.703395E-53.703361E-52.1741062.0E-56.7404755E-57.300063E-59.299917E-51.27395022.0E-58.2034385E-48.884264E-49.084086E-41.02249172.0E-50.0081732220.0088494270.008869251.00224012.0E-5
6.41.5728183E-51.703395E-53.703361E-52.1741062.0E-56.7404755E-57.300063E-59.299917E-51.27395022.0E-58.2034385E-48.884264E-49.084086E-41.02249172.0E-50.0081732220.0088494270.008869251.00224012.0E-5
6.51.3707734E-51.4794522E-53.4794226E-52.35183172.0E-55.8746107E-56.3403575E-58.34023E-51.31541972.0E-57.1499916E-47.716686E-47.916532E-41.02589792.0E-50.00712703030.00769028950.0077101361.00258062.0E-5
6.61.2539813E-51.3510219E-53.350995E-52.4803412.0E-55.3740947E-55.789967E-57.789851E-51.34540512.0E-56.540996E-47.0470315E-47.2468905E-41.02836072.0E-50.00652177630.00702498850.0070448481.00282692.0E-5
6.71.1504083E-51.2377375E-53.2377127E-52.61583162.0E-54.930228E-55.3044827E-57.304377E-51.37701962.0E-56.0008996E-46.456314E-46.6561846E-41.03095752.0E-50.0059847210.0064377860.0064576571.00308672.0E-5
6.81.012739E-51.0877071E-52.0876963E-51.91935521.0E-54.340238E-54.6615194E-55.661473E-51.21451231.0E-55.282958E-45.673937E-45.7738804E-41.01761451.0E-50.00527041640.00565961930.0056695631.00175691.0E-5
6.98.9607865E-69.609117E-61.960902E-52.04066821.0E-53.8402806E-54.1181287E-55.1180876E-51.24281871.0E-54.6745385E-45.012679E-45.1126286E-41.01993941.0E-50.00466471770.0050014920.00501144171.00198941.0E-5
7.08.046829E-68.619746E-61.861966E-52.1601171.0E-53.4485955E-53.694125E-54.694088E-51.27069011.0E-54.1978562E-44.496677E-44.5966322E-41.02222861.0E-50.0041899350.00448766860.0044976241.00221841.0E-5
7.17.136131E-67.637656E-67.637656E-61.00.03.0583058E-53.2732405E-53.2732405E-51.00.03.7228514E-43.9844486E-43.9844486E-41.00.00.00371662060.0039773810.0039773811.00.0
7.26.362014E-66.8049585E-66.8049585E-61.00.02.726549E-52.9163786E-52.9163786E-51.00.03.3190678E-43.550119E-43.550119E-41.00.00.00331411490.0035445160.0035445161.00.0
7.35.004101E-65.351715E-65.351715E-61.00.02.1445969E-52.2935723E-52.2935723E-51.00.02.6107338E-42.792072E-42.792072E-41.00.00.0026076690.00278861870.00278861871.00.0
7.43.4901443E-63.7320526E-63.7320526E-61.00.01.4957676E-51.5994416E-51.5994416E-51.00.01.8209449E-41.9471499E-41.9471499E-41.00.00.00181945340.00194548230.00194548231.00.0
7.51.1215045E-61.189387E-61.189387E-61.00.04.806439E-65.097363E-65.097363E-61.00.05.851682E-56.205866E-56.205866E-51.00.05.850142E-46.2041637E-46.2041637E-41.00.0
7.62.8599047E-72.9951994E-72.9951994E-71.00.01.2256729E-61.2836562E-61.2836562E-61.00.01.4922465E-51.5628404E-51.5628404E-51.00.01.4921463E-41.5627318E-41.5627318E-41.00.0
7.72.0781519E-72.1744323E-72.1744323E-71.00.08.906362E-79.3189925E-79.3189925E-71.00.01.08434415E-51.13458145E-51.13458145E-51.00.01.0842913E-41.1345245E-41.1345245E-41.00.0
7.83.614776E-83.764102E-83.764102E-81.00.01.5491896E-71.6131864E-71.6131864E-71.00.01.8861368E-61.9640527E-61.9640527E-61.00.01.8861208E-51.9640367E-51.9640367E-51.00.0

San Andreas (Santa Cruz Mts) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.7221631E-41.3792426E-41.4792288E-41.07249361.0E-57.378611E-45.9097214E-46.009662E-41.01691131.0E-50.0089465150.00717172350.00720150861.00415313.0E-50.085947940.070547960.070575851.00039533.0E-5
6.11.7221631E-41.3792426E-41.4792288E-41.07249361.0E-57.378611E-45.9097214E-46.009662E-41.01691131.0E-50.0089465150.00717172350.00720150861.00415313.0E-50.085947940.070547960.070575851.00039533.0E-5
6.21.7221631E-41.3792426E-41.4792288E-41.07249361.0E-57.378611E-45.9097214E-46.009662E-41.01691131.0E-50.0089465150.00717172350.00720150861.00415313.0E-50.085947940.070547960.070575851.00039533.0E-5
6.31.716926E-41.3711878E-41.4711742E-41.07291951.0E-57.3561794E-45.8752164E-45.975158E-41.01701071.0E-50.0089194280.0071299890.00715977561.00417763.0E-50.085698090.070159930.070187821.00039763.0E-5
6.41.6392978E-41.3587909E-41.4587774E-41.07358481.0E-57.02367E-45.82211E-45.922052E-41.01716591.0E-50.0085178390.00706575250.00709554041.00421583.0E-50.081986540.0693949760.069422891.00040233.0E-5
6.51.5742714E-41.2647794E-41.3647668E-41.07905521.0E-56.745133E-45.419374E-45.51932E-41.01844231.0E-50.008181320.00657843750.00660824031.00453033.0E-50.0788659450.064860930.0648889841.00043253.0E-5
6.61.3038084E-41.1587992E-41.2587877E-41.08628621.0E-55.5865536E-44.96535E-45.0653005E-41.02012961.0E-50.0067804380.0060287840.00605860351.00494613.0E-50.06577250.0593305380.0593587571.00047563.0E-5
6.71.2867592E-41.1314491E-41.2314378E-41.08837221.0E-55.5135164E-44.8481792E-44.948131E-41.02061631.0E-50.00669206540.0058869070.00591673051.0050663.0E-50.064940930.0580414160.0580696721.00048693.0E-5
6.81.2801298E-41.12520516E-41.2251938E-41.08886271.0E-55.485117E-44.8214293E-44.921381E-41.02073071.0E-50.00665770050.00585452930.0058843541.00509433.0E-50.064617380.057755240.0577835071.00048953.0E-5
6.91.269149E-41.1094256E-41.2094145E-41.09012681.0E-55.4380763E-44.7538272E-44.8537797E-41.02102571.0E-50.0066007770.0057726630.005802491.00516693.0E-50.064081220.0570271160.0570554061.0004963.0E-5
7.01.2030331E-41.0824356E-41.1824248E-41.09237421.0E-55.154837E-44.638198E-44.7381516E-41.021551.0E-50.0062579690.00563262030.0056624511.00529613.0E-50.060846480.0556999220.0557282531.00050853.0E-5
7.18.049617E-55.392429E-56.392375E-51.18543521.0E-53.4493793E-42.3108382E-42.410815E-41.04326441.0E-50.00419153460.00280985050.00283976621.01064673.0E-50.0411335160.0296188330.0296479441.00098293.0E-5
7.27.093979E-54.2935415E-55.2934985E-51.2328981.0E-53.0399222E-41.8399608E-41.9399423E-41.05433891.0E-50.00369482530.00223787360.00226780631.01337563.0E-50.036339940.0239411260.0239704081.00122313.0E-5
7.36.193693E-52.8891074E-53.8890787E-51.34611761.0E-52.6541698E-41.2381302E-41.3381179E-41.08075691.0E-50.00322666370.0015063830.00152635281.01325682.0E-50.0318021330.0164976770.0165173471.00119232.0E-5
7.45.906492E-52.7020369E-53.7020098E-51.37008121.0E-52.5311083E-41.1579645E-41.2579528E-41.08634841.0E-50.00307726980.00140891140.00142888331.01417542.0E-50.0303500440.01546950450.01548919551.00127292.0E-5
7.55.424296E-52.4675093E-53.4674846E-51.4052571.0E-52.324491E-41.0574612E-41.1574506E-41.09455611.0E-50.0028263950.00128669980.00130667411.01552372.0E-50.0279071650.0141618540.0141815711.00139222.0E-5
7.64.43084E-51.990151E-52.9901312E-51.50246441.0E-51.8987931E-48.528939E-59.5288546E-51.11723791.0E-50.00230932960.0010379040.00105788331.01924962.0E-50.0228547830.0114111230.0114308951.00173272.0E-5
7.74.118098E-51.8933848E-52.8933659E-51.52814471.0E-51.7647797E-48.1142534E-59.114172E-51.123231.0E-50.0021465029.874629E-40.00100744321.02023392.0E-50.0212588660.0108689950.0108887781.00182012.0E-5
7.83.5408906E-51.856201E-52.8561824E-51.53872481.0E-51.5174363E-47.954905E-58.954825E-51.12569861.0E-50.00184591319.6807955E-49.880601E-41.02063942.0E-50.0183065520.01065066550.0106704521.00185782.0E-5
7.92.5860836E-51.7313954E-51.7313954E-51.00.01.10827445E-47.420055E-57.420055E-51.00.00.0013484899.030175E-49.130085E-41.01106391.0E-50.0134033540.0099066010.0099165021.00099951.0E-5
8.01.9777332E-51.4837888E-51.4837888E-51.00.08.4757245E-56.3589396E-56.3589396E-51.00.00.00103143097.739261E-47.8391837E-41.01291111.0E-50.0102665670.0085080870.0085180021.00116541.0E-5
8.11.468494E-51.2105831E-51.2105831E-51.00.06.293394E-55.1881103E-55.1881103E-51.00.07.6595135E-46.3146953E-46.414632E-41.01582611.0E-50.00763316640.00696849540.0069784261.0014251.0E-5
8.28.63836E-65.4678667E-65.4678667E-61.00.03.7021015E-52.3433504E-52.3433504E-51.00.04.5063766E-42.8526565E-42.8526565E-41.00.00.0044972490.0032451620.0032451621.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

Calaveras (So) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5950744E-43.0713255E-43.0713255E-41.00.06.834242E-40.0013154090.0013154091.00.00.008288990.0158583260.0158780091.00124122.0E-50.0798654260.144401850.144427521.00017773.0E-5
6.11.3584697E-42.603514E-42.603514E-41.00.05.8207137E-40.00111517540.00111517541.00.00.0070637160.0134613850.0134811161.00146572.0E-50.068433610.1240299940.124056271.00021183.0E-5
6.21.14676266E-42.1714384E-42.1714384E-41.00.04.9137714E-49.30223E-49.30223E-41.00.00.00596611850.0112450580.0112648341.00175862.0E-50.0580846480.105020570.105047411.00025573.0E-5
6.38.691518E-51.5987935E-41.5987935E-41.00.03.7244044E-46.849807E-46.849807E-41.00.00.0045250380.0083011220.0083110391.00119471.0E-50.0443399920.07933650.079354911.00023212.0E-5
6.48.50982E-51.5694331E-41.5694331E-41.00.03.646556E-46.724042E-46.724042E-41.00.00.00443064750.0081491550.0081590741.00121711.0E-50.043433450.077942680.077961121.00023662.0E-5
6.58.4062965E-51.5518743E-41.5518743E-41.00.03.602201E-46.6488347E-46.6488347E-41.00.00.0043768630.0080583650.0080682851.0012311.0E-50.0429165550.077113880.0771323441.00023942.0E-5
6.68.194716E-51.5154552E-41.5154552E-41.00.03.5115483E-46.492843E-46.492843E-41.00.00.00426693170.0078702090.0078801311.00126061.0E-50.041859270.075399190.075417681.00024522.0E-5
6.78.012326E-51.4822475E-41.4822475E-41.00.03.433402E-46.350612E-46.350612E-41.00.00.0041721570.0076987010.0077086241.00128891.0E-50.0409469120.073841320.073859841.00025082.0E-5
6.87.119773E-51.2881879E-41.2881879E-41.00.03.0509746E-45.519494E-45.519494E-41.00.00.00370823570.0066960660.0067059991.00148341.0E-50.0364696420.064685750.0647044551.00028922.0E-5
6.95.7343088E-59.919277E-59.919277E-51.00.02.4573295E-44.25043E-44.25043E-41.00.00.00298769420.0051626940.0051626941.00.00.029478440.050510360.0505198581.0001881.0E-5
7.04.8746577E-58.2850725E-58.2850725E-51.00.02.0889717E-43.5502657E-43.5502657E-41.00.00.00254035650.0043139480.0043139481.00.00.0251151210.0424852450.042494821.00022541.0E-5
7.14.2998014E-57.265203E-57.265203E-51.00.01.8426418E-43.1132903E-43.1132903E-41.00.00.0022411080.0037839030.0037839031.00.00.0221864120.0374235620.037433191.00025731.0E-5
7.23.221292E-55.390791E-55.390791E-51.00.01.3804805E-42.3101359E-42.3101359E-41.00.00.00167943930.00280899070.00280899071.00.00.0166680370.028036020.0280457421.00034671.0E-5
7.32.3756531E-53.9473416E-53.9473416E-51.00.01.0180973E-41.6916092E-41.6916092E-41.00.00.00123882860.00205760570.00205760571.00.00.0123194520.0206431450.0206529391.00047451.0E-5
7.41.5997684E-52.7342163E-52.7342163E-51.00.06.8559704E-51.1717545E-41.1717545E-41.00.08.343947E-40.001425680.001425681.00.00.0083126870.0143760110.0143858671.00068561.0E-5
7.51.3814293E-52.4783874E-52.4783874E-51.00.05.9202768E-51.062123E-41.062123E-41.00.07.205553E-40.001292370.001292371.00.00.0071822340.0130550850.0130649541.0007561.0E-5
7.68.817309E-61.6430757E-51.6430757E-51.00.03.7787922E-57.0415634E-57.0415634E-51.00.04.5997082E-48.569745E-48.569745E-41.00.00.0045901990.0087192840.0087291971.00113691.0E-5
7.74.0352206E-67.707318E-67.707318E-61.00.01.7293689E-53.3030945E-53.3030945E-51.00.02.1053031E-44.0207763E-44.0207763E-41.00.00.00210330960.0041651720.00417513071.00239091.0E-5
7.83.413169E-66.787282E-66.787282E-61.00.01.4627784E-52.9088029E-52.9088029E-51.00.01.7807873E-43.5408925E-43.5408925E-41.00.00.00177936090.00366651660.003676481.00271741.0E-5
7.92.4740732E-65.2791843E-65.2791843E-61.00.01.06031275E-52.262488E-52.262488E-51.00.01.2908543E-42.7542314E-42.7542314E-41.00.00.00129010470.00283479550.00284476721.00351761.0E-5
8.01.5231818E-63.2889548E-63.2889548E-61.00.06.527906E-61.40954435E-51.40954435E-51.00.07.9474354E-51.7159856E-41.7159856E-41.00.07.944594E-40.00175643030.00176641281.00568341.0E-5
8.11.0104524E-62.045782E-62.045782E-61.00.04.330503E-68.767608E-68.767608E-61.00.05.2722597E-51.0674043E-41.0674043E-41.00.05.271009E-40.0010929340.00110292321.00913971.0E-5

Bullion Mountains

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6420427E-51.4692009E-54.469157E-53.04189633.0E-57.037136E-56.296445E-59.296256E-51.47642933.0E-58.5643446E-47.6636096E-47.9633796E-41.0391163.0E-50.0085314130.00764097460.00767074571.00389623.0E-5
6.11.6420427E-51.4692009E-54.469157E-53.04189633.0E-57.037136E-56.296445E-59.296256E-51.47642933.0E-58.5643446E-47.6636096E-47.9633796E-41.0391163.0E-50.0085314130.00764097460.00767074571.00389623.0E-5
6.21.6420427E-51.4692009E-54.469157E-53.04189633.0E-57.037136E-56.296445E-59.296256E-51.47642933.0E-58.5643446E-47.6636096E-47.9633796E-41.0391163.0E-50.0085314130.00764097460.00767074571.00389623.0E-5
6.31.2046778E-59.862255E-61.9862156E-52.01395681.0E-55.1628023E-54.2266256E-55.226583E-51.23658541.0E-56.283899E-45.144933E-45.2448816E-41.01942661.0E-50.00626615950.00513530340.0051452521.00193731.0E-5
6.41.2046778E-59.862255E-61.9862156E-52.01395681.0E-55.1628023E-54.2266256E-55.226583E-51.23658541.0E-56.283899E-45.144933E-45.2448816E-41.01942661.0E-50.00626615950.00513530340.0051452521.00193731.0E-5
6.51.0244343E-57.879378E-61.78793E-52.26912571.0E-54.390359E-53.3768443E-54.376811E-51.29612451.0E-55.343951E-44.1107394E-44.2106982E-41.02431651.0E-50.0053311180.00410516650.00411512561.00242591.0E-5
6.69.605408E-67.1774166E-61.7177344E-52.3932491.0E-54.1165385E-53.0760108E-54.07598E-51.32508641.0E-55.010733E-43.7446033E-43.8445657E-41.02669511.0E-50.004999450.00374029060.00375025321.00266361.0E-5
6.78.60418E-66.123926E-61.6123866E-52.63292931.0E-53.687454E-52.6245243E-53.6244983E-51.38101141.0E-54.48855E-43.195085E-43.295053E-41.0312881.0E-50.0044794950.00319240310.0032023711.00312241.0E-5
6.85.187994E-62.563117E-62.563117E-61.00.02.223407E-51.0984763E-51.0984763E-51.00.02.7066618E-41.3373529E-41.3373529E-41.00.00.00270336750.00133693960.00133693961.00.0
6.94.5302368E-62.3442778E-62.3442778E-61.00.01.9415156E-51.0046889E-51.0046889E-51.00.02.3635388E-41.2231797E-41.2231797E-41.00.00.00236102660.00122289560.00122289561.00.0
7.03.431668E-61.6882177E-61.6882177E-61.00.01.4707065E-57.2352186E-67.2352186E-61.00.01.7904381E-48.808879E-58.808879E-51.00.00.00178899628.8088785E-48.8088785E-41.00.0

White Wolf

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.0037822E-51.0468583E-62.1046837E-520.1047632.0E-58.587355E-54.4865283E-63.4486395E-57.6866553.0E-50.0010450095.4622164E-58.462052E-51.54919763.0E-50.0104010855.4609246E-45.7607604E-41.05490583.0E-5
6.12.0037822E-51.0468583E-62.1046837E-520.1047632.0E-58.587355E-54.4865283E-63.4486395E-57.6866553.0E-50.0010450095.4622164E-58.462052E-51.54919763.0E-50.0104010855.4609246E-45.7607604E-41.05490583.0E-5
6.22.0037822E-51.0468583E-62.1046837E-520.1047632.0E-58.587355E-54.4865283E-63.4486395E-57.6866553.0E-50.0010450095.4622164E-58.462052E-51.54919763.0E-50.0104010855.4609246E-45.7607604E-41.05490583.0E-5
6.32.0037822E-51.0468583E-62.1046837E-520.1047632.0E-58.587355E-54.4865283E-63.4486395E-57.6866553.0E-50.0010450095.4622164E-58.462052E-51.54919763.0E-50.0104010855.4609246E-45.7607604E-41.05490583.0E-5
6.41.132487E-51.0468583E-62.1046837E-520.1047632.0E-54.8534253E-54.4865283E-63.4486395E-57.6866553.0E-55.907443E-45.4622164E-58.462052E-51.54919763.0E-50.0058917645.4609246E-45.7607604E-41.05490583.0E-5
6.51.132487E-51.0468583E-62.1046837E-520.1047632.0E-54.8534253E-54.4865283E-63.4486395E-57.6866553.0E-55.907443E-45.4622164E-58.462052E-51.54919763.0E-50.0058917645.4609246E-45.7607604E-41.05490583.0E-5
6.69.347473E-61.0468583E-62.1046837E-520.1047632.0E-54.0059982E-54.4865283E-63.4486395E-57.6866553.0E-54.8762115E-45.4622164E-58.462052E-51.54919763.0E-50.00486552535.4609246E-45.7607604E-41.05490583.0E-5
6.77.842647E-61.0047773E-62.1004756E-520.9048882.0E-53.361091E-54.306182E-63.4306053E-57.96669863.0E-54.0913603E-45.2426552E-58.242498E-51.57219913.0E-50.0040838365.241468E-45.5413105E-41.05720593.0E-5
6.86.26597E-69.734289E-72.097341E-521.545912.0E-52.685388E-54.1718313E-63.4171706E-58.1910563.0E-53.2689696E-45.0790914E-58.078939E-51.59062683.0E-50.0032641655.07798E-45.3778273E-41.05904873.0E-5
6.95.258436E-69.1827343E-72.0918254E-522.7799852.0E-52.2535958E-53.935452E-63.3935336E-58.6229833.0E-52.7434074E-44.7913123E-57.791168E-51.62610333.0E-50.00274002324.7903272E-45.090183E-41.06259623.0E-5
7.04.675028E-68.660704E-71.08660615E-512.5463951.0E-52.003568E-53.7117254E-62.3711651E-56.388312.0E-52.4390711E-44.518937E-56.518846E-51.4425622.0E-50.00243639574.518065E-44.7179745E-41.04424682.0E-5
7.12.8270078E-66.8737717E-71.068737E-515.5480441.0E-51.2115692E-52.945899E-62.294584E-57.7890792.0E-51.4749856E-43.586577E-55.5865054E-51.55761472.0E-50.0014740073.5860392E-43.7859674E-41.05575182.0E-5
7.21.6881406E-62.2703432E-71.0227032E-545.0461961.0E-57.2348685E-69.730038E-72.0972984E-521.5548822.0E-58.808096E-51.1846259E-53.1846022E-52.68827682.0E-58.8046055E-41.1845643E-41.3845407E-41.16881852.0E-5
7.39.086107E-71.5264496E-71.0152644E-566.511491.0E-53.8940398E-66.5419255E-72.0654179E-531.572022.0E-54.7408903E-57.964766E-62.7964606E-53.51103952.0E-54.739879E-47.964489E-59.9643294E-51.25109472.0E-5
7.41.9717383E-79.003399E-89.003399E-81.00.08.450304E-73.8585992E-73.8585992E-71.00.01.0288197E-54.697835E-64.697835E-61.00.01.028772E-44.6977384E-54.6977384E-51.00.0
7.51.086975E-76.659662E-86.659662E-81.00.04.6584634E-72.8541407E-72.8541407E-71.00.05.6716644E-63.474911E-63.474911E-61.00.05.6715195E-53.474859E-53.474859E-51.00.0
7.62.4217808E-81.5820849E-81.5820849E-81.00.01.03790605E-76.780364E-86.780364E-81.00.01.2636499E-68.25509E-78.25509E-71.00.01.2636427E-58.255064E-68.255064E-61.00.0

Santa Ynez River

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6396456E-51.7209444E-52.7209273E-51.58106631.0E-57.026863E-57.3752875E-59.3751405E-51.27115582.0E-58.551848E-48.976069E-49.1758894E-41.02226152.0E-50.00851901250.0089433630.0089730951.00332443.0E-5
6.11.6396456E-51.7209444E-52.7209273E-51.58106631.0E-57.026863E-57.3752875E-59.3751405E-51.27115582.0E-58.551848E-48.976069E-49.1758894E-41.02226152.0E-50.00851901250.0089433630.0089730951.00332443.0E-5
6.21.6396456E-51.7209444E-52.7209273E-51.58106631.0E-57.026863E-57.3752875E-59.3751405E-51.27115582.0E-58.551848E-48.976069E-49.1758894E-41.02226152.0E-50.00851901250.0089433630.0089730951.00332443.0E-5
6.39.736976E-61.01223395E-52.0122237E-51.9879041.0E-54.172923E-54.338076E-55.3380325E-51.23050691.0E-55.0793495E-45.280378E-45.380325E-41.0189281.0E-50.0050677550.00526833670.0052882311.00377632.0E-5
6.49.736976E-61.01223395E-52.0122237E-51.9879041.0E-54.172923E-54.338076E-55.3380325E-51.23050691.0E-55.0793495E-45.280378E-45.380325E-41.0189281.0E-50.0050677550.00526833670.0052882311.00377632.0E-5
6.57.081964E-67.329905E-67.329905E-61.00.03.035092E-53.141351E-53.141351E-51.00.03.694598E-43.8239395E-43.8239395E-41.00.00.00368846160.00381752150.00381752151.00.0
6.65.873247E-66.0597517E-66.0597517E-61.00.02.5170815E-52.5970112E-52.5970112E-51.00.03.064116E-43.161411E-43.161411E-41.00.00.00305989430.0031570010.0031570011.00.0
6.74.973277E-65.11591E-65.11591E-61.00.02.1313872E-52.1925147E-52.1925147E-51.00.02.5946548E-42.6690646E-42.6690646E-41.00.00.00259162740.00266590780.00266590781.00.0
6.84.396492E-64.510987E-64.510987E-61.00.01.884197E-51.933266E-51.933266E-51.00.02.2937685E-42.3535005E-42.3535005E-41.00.00.00229140230.00235104330.00235104331.00.0
6.93.5255632E-63.6013423E-63.6013423E-61.00.01.5109469E-51.5434234E-51.5434234E-51.00.01.8394225E-41.8789574E-41.8789574E-41.00.00.00183790070.0018773850.0018773851.00.0
7.03.211603E-63.273663E-63.273663E-61.00.01.376394E-51.402991E-51.402991E-51.00.01.6756308E-41.708009E-41.708009E-41.00.00.00167436790.00170671040.00170671041.00.0
7.12.5094619E-62.5409295E-62.5409295E-61.00.01.0754793E-51.0889652E-51.0889652E-51.00.01.3093173E-41.325735E-41.325735E-41.00.00.00130854620.00132495030.00132495031.00.0
7.22.0515774E-62.0619466E-62.0619466E-61.00.08.792445E-68.836884E-68.836884E-61.00.01.0704277E-41.0758379E-41.0758379E-41.00.00.00106991220.00107532150.00107532151.00.0
7.31.6845745E-61.6773996E-61.6773996E-61.00.07.219585E-67.1888358E-67.1888358E-61.00.08.78949E-58.752059E-58.752059E-51.00.08.7860145E-48.7486405E-48.7486405E-41.00.0
7.41.3600285E-61.3333447E-61.3333447E-61.00.05.82868E-65.714322E-65.714322E-61.00.07.096187E-56.956967E-56.956967E-51.00.07.0939213E-46.9548114E-46.9548114E-41.00.0
7.59.735342E-79.2901894E-79.2901894E-71.00.04.172283E-63.9815036E-63.9815036E-61.00.05.079636E-54.8473747E-54.8473747E-51.00.05.0784746E-44.8463346E-44.8463346E-41.00.0
7.65.067187E-74.778609E-74.778609E-71.00.02.1716498E-62.0479738E-62.0479738E-61.00.02.6439517E-52.4933803E-52.4933803E-51.00.02.643637E-42.493108E-42.493108E-41.00.0
7.72.769089E-72.5759346E-72.5759346E-71.00.01.1867519E-61.1039714E-61.1039714E-61.00.01.4448608E-51.344077E-51.344077E-51.00.01.444767E-41.343996E-41.343996E-41.00.0
7.81.7044663E-71.5449208E-71.5449208E-71.00.07.3048534E-76.6210873E-76.6210873E-71.00.08.893623E-68.061144E-68.061144E-61.00.08.893267E-58.060854E-58.060854E-51.00.0
7.94.8344287E-84.0911143E-84.0911143E-81.00.02.0718979E-71.7533345E-71.7533345E-71.00.02.5225327E-62.1346827E-62.1346827E-61.00.02.5225041E-52.1346626E-52.1346626E-51.00.0

Santa Susana alt 1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.674877E-52.7198214E-53.719794E-51.36766121.0E-51.1463255E-41.16559204E-41.3655688E-41.17156662.0E-50.00139475780.00141829810.00144825561.02112213.0E-50.0138603620.0141043880.0141339651.0020973.0E-5
6.12.674877E-52.7198214E-53.719794E-51.36766121.0E-51.1463255E-41.16559204E-41.3655688E-41.17156662.0E-50.00139475780.00141829810.00144825561.02112213.0E-50.0138603620.0141043880.0141339651.0020973.0E-5
6.22.674877E-52.7198214E-53.719794E-51.36766121.0E-51.1463255E-41.16559204E-41.3655688E-41.17156662.0E-50.00139475780.00141829810.00144825561.02112213.0E-50.0138603620.0141043880.0141339651.0020973.0E-5
6.32.674877E-52.7198214E-53.719794E-51.36766121.0E-51.1463255E-41.16559204E-41.3655688E-41.17156662.0E-50.00139475780.00141829810.00144825561.02112213.0E-50.0138603620.0141043880.0141339651.0020973.0E-5
6.42.674877E-52.7198214E-53.719794E-51.36766121.0E-51.1463255E-41.16559204E-41.3655688E-41.17156662.0E-50.00139475780.00141829810.00144825561.02112213.0E-50.0138603620.0141043880.0141339651.0020973.0E-5
6.52.674877E-52.7198214E-53.719794E-51.36766121.0E-51.1463255E-41.16559204E-41.3655688E-41.17156662.0E-50.00139475780.00141829810.00144825561.02112213.0E-50.0138603620.0141043880.0141339651.0020973.0E-5
6.62.6647976E-52.7074553E-53.7074282E-51.36934051.0E-51.14200615E-41.16029274E-41.3602695E-41.17235032.0E-50.00138950560.00141185460.00144181231.02121873.0E-50.0138084940.0140407730.0140703521.00210673.0E-5
6.72.6647976E-52.7074553E-53.7074282E-51.36934051.0E-51.14200615E-41.16029274E-41.3602695E-41.17235032.0E-50.00138950560.00141185460.00144181231.02121873.0E-50.0138084940.0140407730.0140703521.00210673.0E-5
6.81.9073179E-51.7637467E-52.763729E-51.56696491.0E-58.1739636E-57.558706E-59.558554E-51.26457562.0E-59.947256E-49.19902E-49.498744E-41.03258223.0E-50.0099028480.0091633610.0091930861.00324393.0E-5
6.91.9041876E-51.7619597E-52.7619422E-51.56753981.0E-58.160549E-57.551048E-59.550897E-51.2648442.0E-59.930939E-49.189705E-49.489429E-41.03261523.0E-50.00988667550.0091541230.0091838481.00324733.0E-5
7.01.5917482E-51.3864049E-52.386391E-51.721281.0E-56.8215995E-55.9416023E-57.941484E-51.33658962.0E-58.302132E-47.2315463E-47.53133E-41.04145493.0E-50.0082711850.00720906720.0072388511.00413143.0E-5
7.11.577788E-51.3744056E-52.3743918E-51.72757731.0E-56.761774E-55.890179E-57.8900615E-51.33952822.0E-58.2293496E-47.16898E-47.468765E-41.0418173.0E-50.0081989410.00714690420.007176691.00416773.0E-5
7.21.5416446E-51.34701295E-52.3469995E-51.74237331.0E-56.606882E-55.7727877E-57.772672E-51.3464332.0E-58.0409093E-47.026149E-47.325938E-41.04266763.0E-50.0080118770.00700497630.00703476651.00425273.0E-5
7.31.4534083E-51.2718032E-52.2717904E-51.78627511.0E-56.228744E-55.4504737E-57.4503645E-51.36692062.0E-57.580857E-46.633976E-46.933777E-41.04519183.0E-50.0075550480.00661517170.0066449731.0045053.0E-5
7.41.2858995E-51.1229814E-52.1229702E-51.89047671.0E-55.5108816E-54.812691E-56.812595E-51.4155482.0E-56.7074323E-45.8579154E-46.1577396E-41.05118273.0E-50.00668722340.00584339020.0058732151.00510413.0E-5
7.58.827668E-67.805494E-67.805494E-61.00.03.7832317E-53.3451703E-53.3451703E-51.00.04.605111E-44.072008E-44.1719674E-41.02454791.0E-50.00459557960.00406489850.0040748581.00245011.0E-5
7.63.2533426E-62.8720106E-62.8720106E-61.00.01.3942822E-51.230856E-51.230856E-51.00.01.6974064E-41.4984679E-41.4984679E-41.00.00.00169611040.00149749430.00149749431.00.0
7.71.2751709E-61.1491339E-61.1491339E-61.00.05.4650063E-64.9248506E-64.9248506E-61.00.06.653442E-55.99585E-55.99585E-51.00.06.6514505E-45.9943215E-45.9943215E-41.00.0
7.83.067544E-73.240052E-73.240052E-71.00.01.3146611E-61.3885931E-61.3885931E-61.00.01.600588E-51.6906E-51.6906E-51.00.01.6004729E-41.6904817E-41.6904817E-41.00.0
7.97.622999E-88.0879715E-88.0879715E-81.00.03.2669993E-73.4662733E-73.4662733E-71.00.03.977564E-64.220182E-64.220182E-61.00.03.977493E-54.2201224E-54.2201224E-51.00.0

Cleghorn

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.9267165E-69.831764E-61.9831667E-52.01710151.0E-53.39712E-54.2135514E-56.213467E-51.47463892.0E-54.1352084E-45.1288976E-45.4287433E-41.05846213.0E-50.0041275220.0051322140.00516206031.00581543.0E-5
6.17.9267165E-69.831764E-61.9831667E-52.01710151.0E-53.39712E-54.2135514E-56.213467E-51.47463892.0E-54.1352084E-45.1288976E-45.4287433E-41.05846213.0E-50.0041275220.0051322140.00516206031.00581543.0E-5
6.27.9267165E-69.831764E-61.9831667E-52.01710151.0E-53.39712E-54.2135514E-56.213467E-51.47463892.0E-54.1352084E-45.1288976E-45.4287433E-41.05846213.0E-50.0041275220.0051322140.00516206031.00581543.0E-5
6.37.9267165E-69.831764E-61.9831667E-52.01710151.0E-53.39712E-54.2135514E-56.213467E-51.47463892.0E-54.1352084E-45.1288976E-45.4287433E-41.05846213.0E-50.0041275220.0051322140.00516206031.00581543.0E-5
6.44.3445207E-66.0916254E-61.6091564E-52.6415881.0E-51.8619241E-52.6106709E-54.6106186E-51.76606662.0E-52.2666567E-43.1780385E-43.4779432E-41.09436793.0E-50.00226434620.00318772460.0032176291.0093813.0E-5
6.54.3445207E-66.0916254E-61.6091564E-52.6415881.0E-51.8619241E-52.6106709E-54.6106186E-51.76606662.0E-52.2666567E-43.1780385E-43.4779432E-41.09436793.0E-50.00226434620.00318772460.0032176291.0093813.0E-5
6.64.040109E-65.774033E-61.5773976E-52.73188161.0E-51.7314638E-52.4745626E-53.474538E-51.40410181.0E-52.1078532E-43.0123728E-43.2123126E-41.06637292.0E-50.0021058550.00302251430.0030424541.0065972.0E-5
6.73.3632055E-65.06753E-61.5067479E-52.97333811.0E-51.4413658E-52.1717806E-53.1717587E-51.46044171.0E-51.7547216E-42.643825E-42.7437988E-41.0378141.0E-50.00175333660.00265484860.0026648221.00375661.0E-5
6.83.2902772E-64.9894375E-61.4989388E-53.0042241.0E-51.4101111E-52.138313E-53.1382915E-51.46764841.0E-51.716675E-42.6030882E-42.7030622E-41.03840591.0E-50.00171534950.00261420760.00262418131.00381531.0E-5
6.93.031547E-64.6911987E-61.4691152E-53.13164141.0E-51.299228E-52.0104984E-53.0104784E-51.49737911.0E-51.5816953E-42.4475096E-42.547485E-41.04084791.0E-50.001580570.00245898050.0024689561.00405671.0E-5
7.02.8259715E-64.3707637E-61.437072E-53.28791951.0E-51.211125E-51.8731711E-52.8731525E-51.5338441.0E-51.4744449E-42.2803496E-42.3803268E-41.04384291.0E-50.0014734670.00229217480.00230215191.00435271.0E-5
7.12.5962665E-64.065983E-61.4065942E-53.459421.0E-51.1126809E-51.7425526E-52.7425353E-51.57386081.0E-51.3546048E-42.1213535E-42.2213323E-41.04712981.0E-50.00135377930.00213349590.00214347451.00467721.0E-5
7.22.3247253E-63.6765352E-61.3676498E-53.7199421.0E-59.96307E-61.5756486E-52.5756328E-51.63464931.0E-51.21293626E-41.9181852E-42.018166E-41.05212261.0E-50.00121227440.00193071660.00194069721.00516941.0E-5
7.32.056928E-63.235253E-61.3235221E-54.09093861.0E-58.815376E-61.3865297E-52.3865157E-51.72121511.0E-51.0732192E-41.6879707E-41.7879538E-41.05923271.0E-50.0010727010.00170094230.00171092531.00586921.0E-5
7.41.8055999E-62.8256538E-61.2825625E-54.5389941.0E-57.738263E-61.210989E-52.2109769E-51.82576131.0E-59.4209274E-51.4742807E-41.5742659E-41.06781971.0E-59.4169343E-40.00148767050.00149765551.0067121.0E-5
7.51.4683443E-62.4248943E-61.242487E-55.1238811.0E-56.292889E-61.0392363E-52.039226E-51.9622351.0E-57.661323E-51.2651978E-41.365185E-41.07902911.0E-57.658682E-40.00127888120.00128886851.00780931.0E-5
7.69.804088E-71.9004091E-61.9004091E-61.00.04.201745E-68.144585E-68.144585E-61.00.05.1155046E-59.915586E-59.915586E-51.00.05.114327E-40.00100555830.00100555831.00.0
7.77.3434086E-71.6285549E-61.6285549E-61.00.03.1471714E-66.9795024E-66.9795024E-61.00.03.831614E-58.4972155E-58.4972155E-51.00.03.8309532E-48.6387293E-48.6387293E-41.00.0
7.86.434184E-71.5221389E-61.5221389E-61.00.02.7575045E-66.523436E-66.523436E-61.00.03.35721E-57.9419966E-57.9419966E-51.00.03.3567028E-48.080443E-48.080443E-41.00.0
7.93.4943926E-77.5750586E-77.5750586E-71.00.01.497596E-63.2464498E-63.2464498E-61.00.01.8233079E-53.9524817E-53.9524817E-51.00.01.8231584E-44.0401975E-44.0401975E-41.00.0
8.06.717524E-85.837515E-85.837515E-81.00.02.8789387E-72.501792E-72.501792E-71.00.03.505102E-63.0459275E-63.0459275E-61.00.03.5050467E-53.2751934E-53.2751934E-51.00.0
8.13.1984914E-81.2949885E-81.2949885E-81.00.01.370782E-75.549951E-85.549951E-81.00.01.6689258E-66.757063E-76.757063E-71.00.01.6689133E-57.741151E-67.741151E-61.00.0
8.21.21887656E-83.6471115E-93.6471115E-91.00.05.2237567E-81.563048E-81.563048E-81.00.06.359922E-71.9030107E-71.9030107E-71.00.06.3599036E-62.245849E-62.245849E-61.00.0

Channel Islands Thrust

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.2156251E-52.4092022E-53.409178E-51.41506521.0E-59.495191E-51.03248036E-41.13247006E-41.09684421.0E-50.00115542640.00125642660.00127640131.01589812.0E-50.0114943730.01250382050.0125334461.00236933.0E-5
6.12.2156251E-52.4092022E-53.409178E-51.41506521.0E-59.495191E-51.03248036E-41.13247006E-41.09684421.0E-50.00115542640.00125642660.00127640131.01589812.0E-50.0114943730.01250382050.0125334461.00236933.0E-5
6.22.2156251E-52.4092022E-53.409178E-51.41506521.0E-59.495191E-51.03248036E-41.13247006E-41.09684421.0E-50.00115542640.00125642660.00127640131.01589812.0E-50.0114943730.01250382050.0125334461.00236933.0E-5
6.32.2156251E-52.4092022E-53.409178E-51.41506521.0E-59.495191E-51.03248036E-41.13247006E-41.09684421.0E-50.00115542640.00125642660.00127640131.01589812.0E-50.0114943730.01250382050.0125334461.00236933.0E-5
6.42.2156251E-52.4092022E-53.409178E-51.41506521.0E-59.495191E-51.03248036E-41.13247006E-41.09684421.0E-50.00115542640.00125642660.00127640131.01589812.0E-50.0114943730.01250382050.0125334461.00236933.0E-5
6.52.2156251E-52.4092022E-53.409178E-51.41506521.0E-59.495191E-51.03248036E-41.13247006E-41.09684421.0E-50.00115542640.00125642660.00127640131.01589812.0E-50.0114943730.01250382050.0125334461.00236933.0E-5
6.62.2156251E-52.4092022E-53.409178E-51.41506521.0E-59.495191E-51.03248036E-41.13247006E-41.09684421.0E-50.00115542640.00125642660.00127640131.01589812.0E-50.0114943730.01250382050.0125334461.00236933.0E-5
6.71.0601296E-51.1379544E-51.1379544E-51.00.04.5433335E-54.876859E-54.876859E-51.00.05.5301044E-45.936007E-45.936007E-41.00.00.0055163630.0059206530.0059305941.0016791.0E-5
6.81.0246747E-51.0996669E-51.0996669E-51.00.04.391389E-54.7127756E-54.7127756E-51.00.05.345204E-45.7363417E-45.7363417E-41.00.00.00533236560.0057220250.00573196771.00173761.0E-5
6.99.049551E-69.699645E-69.699645E-61.00.03.878322E-54.1569267E-54.1569267E-51.00.04.7208337E-45.059924E-45.059924E-41.00.00.00471081720.00504882030.00504882031.00.0
7.08.6542195E-69.274603E-69.274603E-61.00.03.7088983E-53.9747716E-53.9747716E-51.00.04.5146482E-44.8382508E-44.8382508E-41.00.00.0045054870.00482812940.00482812941.00.0
7.18.391028E-68.992925E-68.992925E-61.00.03.5961057E-53.8540562E-53.8540562E-51.00.04.3773788E-44.6913436E-44.6913436E-41.00.00.0043687660.00468185030.00468185031.00.0
7.25.965188E-66.3716957E-66.3716957E-61.00.02.556484E-52.7306984E-52.7306984E-51.00.03.1120746E-43.3241237E-43.3241237E-41.00.00.003107720.00331920940.00331920941.00.0
7.34.877518E-65.206007E-65.206007E-61.00.02.0903482E-52.231127E-52.231127E-51.00.02.5447016E-42.716063E-42.716063E-41.00.00.00254178980.00271278970.00271278971.00.0
7.43.8829853E-64.141863E-64.141863E-61.00.01.664126E-51.7750723E-51.7750723E-51.00.02.0258849E-42.1609403E-42.1609403E-41.00.00.0020240390.0021588810.0021588811.00.0
7.51.3489616E-61.4277905E-61.4277905E-61.00.05.7812517E-66.119088E-66.119088E-61.00.07.038446E-57.449739E-57.449739E-51.00.07.036218E-47.4472814E-47.4472814E-41.00.0
7.66.058192E-76.35378E-76.35378E-71.00.02.5963652E-62.7230458E-62.7230458E-61.00.03.161029E-53.3152595E-53.3152595E-51.00.03.1605794E-43.314781E-43.314781E-41.00.0
7.72.2170494E-72.2607924E-72.2607924E-71.00.09.5016367E-79.689107E-79.689107E-71.00.01.1568181E-51.17964355E-51.17964355E-51.00.01.1567579E-41.179592E-41.179592E-41.00.0
7.82.1613102E-81.5466837E-81.5466837E-81.00.09.262757E-86.628645E-86.628645E-81.00.01.1277401E-68.070372E-78.070372E-71.00.01.1277344E-58.07035E-68.07035E-61.00.0

Elsinore (Stepovers Combined)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.144392E-51.976007E-51.976007E-51.00.09.189928E-58.468338E-59.468253E-51.11807691.0E-50.00111829940.00103055150.00105053091.01938712.0E-50.0111268850.0102646170.010294311.00289263.0E-5
6.12.144392E-51.976007E-51.976007E-51.00.09.189928E-58.468338E-59.468253E-51.11807691.0E-50.00111829940.00103055150.00105053091.01938712.0E-50.0111268850.0102646170.010294311.00289263.0E-5
6.22.144392E-51.976007E-51.976007E-51.00.09.189928E-58.468338E-59.468253E-51.11807691.0E-50.00111829940.00103055150.00105053091.01938712.0E-50.0111268850.0102646170.010294311.00289263.0E-5
6.31.9751555E-51.7741326E-51.7741326E-51.00.08.4646774E-57.603211E-58.603135E-51.13151341.0E-50.00103008729.25312E-49.4529346E-41.02159432.0E-50.0102532540.00922097450.0092506981.00322343.0E-5
6.41.9751555E-51.7741326E-51.7741326E-51.00.08.4646774E-57.603211E-58.603135E-51.13151341.0E-50.00103008729.25312E-49.4529346E-41.02159432.0E-50.0102532540.00922097450.0092506981.00322343.0E-5
6.51.9751555E-51.7741326E-51.7741326E-51.00.08.4646774E-57.603211E-58.603135E-51.13151341.0E-50.00103008729.25312E-49.4529346E-41.02159432.0E-50.0102532540.00922097450.0092506981.00322343.0E-5
6.61.9188685E-51.7003247E-51.7003247E-51.00.08.2234634E-57.2869116E-58.2868384E-51.13722241.0E-50.00100074678.8683655E-49.068188E-41.02253212.0E-50.009962520.0088395460.0088692811.00336383.0E-5
6.71.7608272E-51.4732402E-51.4732402E-51.00.07.546184E-56.313739E-56.313739E-51.00.09.183606E-47.684364E-47.7842874E-41.01300351.0E-50.0091457460.0076644410.00767436441.00129471.0E-5
6.81.697165E-51.3783126E-51.3783126E-51.00.07.273361E-55.906925E-55.906925E-51.00.08.8517193E-47.189395E-47.289323E-41.01389931.0E-50.0088165430.00717221060.0071821391.00138431.0E-5
6.91.600365E-51.2846429E-51.2846429E-51.00.06.858527E-55.5055007E-55.5055007E-51.00.08.347058E-46.700963E-46.8008964E-41.01491321.0E-50.0083157750.0066864220.0066963551.00148561.0E-5
7.01.3314581E-51.044738E-51.044738E-51.00.05.7061243E-54.4773733E-54.4773733E-51.00.06.944992E-45.449866E-45.549811E-41.0183391.0E-50.0069233270.0054400550.0054500011.00182821.0E-5
7.11.2865345E-59.937339E-69.937339E-61.00.05.5136024E-54.258792E-54.258792E-51.00.06.710743E-45.1838707E-45.283819E-41.01928061.0E-50.00669051430.0051750210.00518496941.00192241.0E-5
7.21.1650051E-58.633585E-68.633585E-61.00.04.9927836E-53.7000562E-53.7000562E-51.00.06.0770183E-44.503905E-44.503905E-41.00.00.00606042660.004496240.004496241.00.0
7.31.0008533E-57.2008215E-67.2008215E-61.00.04.2893007E-53.0860305E-53.0860305E-51.00.05.220972E-43.756609E-43.756609E-41.00.00.0052087230.00375066630.00375066631.00.0
7.49.116759E-66.409854E-66.409854E-61.00.03.907124E-52.7470522E-52.7470522E-51.00.04.7558855E-43.3440365E-43.3440365E-41.00.00.004745720.00333915420.00333915421.00.0
7.57.870524E-65.382316E-65.382316E-61.00.03.3730383E-52.306687E-52.306687E-51.00.04.1059E-42.8080423E-42.8080423E-41.00.00.00409832220.00280462070.00280462071.00.0
7.66.9774537E-64.677398E-64.677398E-61.00.02.990303E-52.0045845E-52.0045845E-51.00.03.640086E-42.44032E-42.44032E-41.00.00.0036341290.00243775640.00243775641.00.0
7.74.1616954E-62.3281368E-62.3281368E-61.00.01.7835715E-59.977695E-69.977695E-61.00.02.171282E-41.2147242E-41.2147242E-41.00.00.00216916160.00121413320.00121413321.00.0
7.82.2692414E-79.384417E-89.384417E-81.00.09.725317E-74.0218927E-74.0218927E-71.00.01.1840509E-54.8966467E-64.8966467E-61.00.01.1839878E-44.8965718E-54.8965718E-51.00.0
7.96.676829E-93.4397174E-93.4397174E-91.00.02.861498E-81.4741646E-81.4741646E-81.00.03.4838732E-71.7947953E-71.7947953E-71.00.03.4838679E-61.794794E-61.794794E-61.00.0

San Jacinto (Clark) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.482615E-52.1153059E-54.1152634E-51.94546972.0E-51.9209793E-49.065287E-51.1065105E-41.22060182.0E-50.00233628340.00110314910.0011331161.02716483.0E-50.023118740.0114857090.0115153641.0025823.0E-5
6.14.482615E-52.1153059E-54.1152634E-51.94546972.0E-51.9209793E-49.065287E-51.1065105E-41.22060182.0E-50.00233628340.00110314910.0011331161.02716483.0E-50.023118740.0114857090.0115153641.0025823.0E-5
6.24.482615E-52.1153059E-54.1152634E-51.94546972.0E-51.9209793E-49.065287E-51.1065105E-41.22060182.0E-50.00233628340.00110314910.0011331161.02716483.0E-50.023118740.0114857090.0115153641.0025823.0E-5
6.34.482615E-52.1153059E-54.1152634E-51.94546972.0E-51.9209793E-49.065287E-51.1065105E-41.22060182.0E-50.00233628340.00110314910.0011331161.02716483.0E-50.023118740.0114857090.0115153641.0025823.0E-5
6.44.482615E-52.1153059E-54.1152634E-51.94546972.0E-51.9209793E-49.065287E-51.1065105E-41.22060182.0E-50.00233628340.00110314910.0011331161.02716483.0E-50.023118740.0114857090.0115153641.0025823.0E-5
6.53.7294863E-51.7354667E-53.735432E-52.1524082.0E-51.5982533E-47.437504E-59.437356E-51.26888742.0E-50.00194413669.051445E-49.351173E-41.03311383.0E-50.019272160.0094859020.0095156181.00313263.0E-5
6.63.7294863E-51.7354667E-53.735432E-52.1524082.0E-51.5982533E-47.437504E-59.437356E-51.26888742.0E-50.00194413669.051445E-49.351173E-41.03311383.0E-50.019272160.0094859020.0095156181.00313263.0E-5
6.73.6039248E-51.6602684E-53.6602352E-52.20460462.0E-51.5444479E-47.115244E-59.1151014E-51.28106672.0E-50.00187874348.659408E-48.9591485E-41.03461443.0E-50.018629390.0090881890.0091179161.0032713.0E-5
6.83.5031844E-51.6231123E-53.62308E-52.23218062.0E-51.5012783E-46.956012E-58.955873E-51.28750112.0E-50.00182627398.4656954E-48.765441E-41.03540723.0E-50.018113380.0088887880.0089185211.0033453.0E-5
6.93.435112E-51.6061658E-53.6061338E-52.24518132.0E-51.4721078E-46.8833884E-58.883251E-51.29053462.0E-50.00179081788.377344E-48.677093E-41.03578093.0E-50.0177645480.0087965120.0088262481.00338043.0E-5
7.02.8959772E-51.43355255E-53.4335237E-52.39511562.0E-51.241074E-46.1436534E-58.1435304E-51.32551922.0E-50.00150996037.477359E-47.7771343E-41.04009123.0E-50.0149974160.0078683310.0078980951.00378273.0E-5
7.12.6002877E-51.2827699E-53.2827444E-52.5591062.0E-51.11436144E-45.4974706E-57.497361E-51.36378372.0E-50.00135589076.6911365E-46.9909357E-41.04480543.0E-50.0134764750.00704834330.0070781321.00422633.0E-5
7.22.2544838E-51.1260331E-53.1260108E-52.77612662.0E-59.661716E-54.825768E-56.825671E-51.41442182.0E-50.0011756795.873803E-46.173627E-41.05104423.0E-50.0116947850.006192560.00622237431.00481453.0E-5
7.31.75334E-51.0810585E-53.081037E-52.85001872.0E-57.514098E-54.6330264E-56.632934E-51.43166332.0E-59.144575E-45.6392635E-45.9390947E-41.05316843.0E-50.0091070360.00593321960.00596304141.00502623.0E-5
7.41.5924552E-51.0610475E-53.0610263E-52.88490962.0E-56.82463E-54.547268E-56.547177E-51.43980462.0E-58.305819E-45.534906E-45.83474E-41.05417143.0E-50.0082748440.00582058630.00585041151.00512413.0E-5
7.51.3428931E-59.851045E-62.9850848E-53.03022152.0E-55.7551293E-54.221809E-56.2217245E-51.47371052.0E-57.004617E-45.1388505E-45.438697E-41.05834883.0E-50.0069825790.0054062090.00543604651.00551923.0E-5
7.61.0688787E-58.614091E-62.8613918E-53.32175732.0E-54.5808283E-53.6917012E-55.6916273E-51.54173562.0E-55.5757316E-44.4937237E-44.793589E-41.06672983.0E-50.0055617620.00474136140.0047712191.00629733.0E-5
7.78.81236E-67.4673385E-62.746719E-53.67831042.0E-53.776671E-53.200249E-55.2001848E-51.62493152.0E-54.597127E-43.8956082E-44.1954915E-41.07697983.0E-50.00458762840.00413441940.00416429531.00722613.0E-5
7.87.780431E-66.695928E-61.669586E-52.49343511.0E-53.3344273E-52.8696519E-53.869623E-51.34846441.0E-54.0589093E-43.4932428E-43.693173E-41.05723332.0E-50.00405150370.00372262720.00374255281.00535252.0E-5
7.96.5437994E-65.7797783E-61.577972E-52.73016021.0E-52.8044553E-52.4770245E-53.4769997E-51.40370021.0E-53.4138895E-43.0153614E-43.2153013E-41.06630712.0E-50.00340864950.00323432940.00325426461.00616372.0E-5
8.05.4488164E-64.812793E-61.4812745E-53.07778551.0E-52.3351862E-52.0626094E-53.0625888E-51.48481271.0E-52.8427184E-42.510939E-42.7108888E-41.07963142.0E-50.00283908450.00271070380.00273064941.00735822.0E-5
8.12.8397242E-61.3665673E-61.1366554E-58.31759551.0E-51.217019E-55.856704E-61.5856645E-52.70743511.0E-51.4816198E-47.1303046E-58.1302336E-51.14023651.0E-50.00148063258.113543E-48.213462E-41.0123151.0E-5
8.22.030244E-66.3151083E-76.3151083E-71.00.08.701017E-62.7064723E-62.7064723E-61.00.01.05929736E-43.2950808E-53.2950808E-51.00.00.00105879253.9470522E-43.9470522E-41.00.0
8.31.0659804E-62.9230563E-72.9230563E-71.00.04.568479E-61.2527379E-61.2527379E-61.00.05.5619817E-51.5251981E-51.5251981E-51.00.05.5605895E-41.8556409E-41.8556409E-41.00.0

San Gabriel

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.083775E-51.198525E-53.198501E-52.66869782.0E-54.6446676E-55.1364408E-57.1363385E-51.38935472.0E-55.653415E-46.251936E-46.5517484E-41.04795523.0E-50.00563905430.00624633250.0062761451.00477283.0E-5
6.11.083775E-51.198525E-53.198501E-52.66869782.0E-54.6446676E-55.1364408E-57.1363385E-51.38935472.0E-55.653415E-46.251936E-46.5517484E-41.04795523.0E-50.00563905430.00624633250.0062761451.00477283.0E-5
6.21.083775E-51.198525E-53.198501E-52.66869782.0E-54.6446676E-55.1364408E-57.1363385E-51.38935472.0E-55.653415E-46.251936E-46.5517484E-41.04795523.0E-50.00563905430.00624633250.0062761451.00477283.0E-5
6.31.083775E-51.198525E-53.198501E-52.66869782.0E-54.6446676E-55.1364408E-57.1363385E-51.38935472.0E-55.653415E-46.251936E-46.5517484E-41.04795523.0E-50.00563905430.00624633250.0062761451.00477283.0E-5
6.41.083775E-51.198525E-53.198501E-52.66869782.0E-54.6446676E-55.1364408E-57.1363385E-51.38935472.0E-55.653415E-46.251936E-46.5517484E-41.04795523.0E-50.00563905430.00624633250.0062761451.00477283.0E-5
6.56.7317824E-67.717007E-62.7716853E-53.59165842.0E-52.8850178E-53.3072472E-55.3071813E-51.60471252.0E-53.511943E-44.0258403E-44.3257195E-41.07448863.0E-50.0035063980.0040295330.0040594121.0074153.0E-5
6.66.7317824E-67.717007E-62.7716853E-53.59165842.0E-52.8850178E-53.3072472E-55.3071813E-51.60471252.0E-53.511943E-44.0258403E-44.3257195E-41.07448863.0E-50.0035063980.0040295330.0040594121.0074153.0E-5
6.76.274881E-67.2459275E-62.7245782E-53.76015112.0E-52.6892068E-53.105361E-55.105299E-51.64402752.0E-53.2736175E-43.7801306E-44.0800174E-41.07933243.0E-50.00326879930.00378467960.00381456621.00789673.0E-5
6.85.996209E-66.958647E-62.6958509E-53.87410192.0E-52.5697784E-52.9822439E-54.9821843E-51.67061592.0E-53.128256E-43.6302864E-43.9301775E-41.08260813.0E-50.0031238560.00363533250.00366522351.00822233.0E-5
6.95.686331E-66.6236917E-62.662356E-54.0194442.0E-52.4369761E-52.8386947E-54.838638E-51.70452922.0E-52.9666146E-43.4555717E-43.755468E-41.08678633.0E-50.00296265730.00346117350.00349106971.00863753.0E-5
7.05.2329838E-66.1475757E-62.6147452E-54.2532952.0E-52.242688E-52.6346492E-54.6345966E-51.75909442.0E-52.7301308E-43.207221E-43.5071245E-41.0935093.0E-50.0027267790.00321355490.00324345851.00930553.0E-5
7.15.135671E-66.0377E-62.603758E-54.31249952.0E-52.2009834E-52.5875606E-54.5875087E-51.77290882.0E-52.6793676E-43.1499073E-43.4498126E-41.09521093.0E-50.00267613940.00315640540.00318631061.00947453.0E-5
7.24.989062E-65.8710784E-62.587096E-54.4065092.0E-52.1381518E-52.5161527E-54.5161025E-51.79484432.0E-52.6028889E-43.0629928E-43.362901E-41.09791343.0E-50.00259984240.0030697340.00309964181.00974293.0E-5
7.34.8219395E-65.7026323E-61.5702575E-52.75356631.0E-52.0665291E-52.4439627E-53.4439385E-51.40916161.0E-52.5157086E-42.975126E-43.1750664E-41.0672042.0E-50.00251286270.0029821060.00300204641.00668672.0E-5
7.44.7118383E-65.5911896E-61.5591133E-52.78851821.0E-52.0193436E-52.3962024E-53.3961784E-51.4173171.0E-52.4582737E-42.9169934E-43.116935E-41.06854382.0E-50.0024555560.00292412660.0029440681.00681962.0E-5
7.54.5506545E-65.4365555E-65.4365555E-61.00.01.9502659E-52.329932E-52.329932E-51.00.02.37419E-42.8363304E-42.936302E-41.03524681.0E-50.0023716550.00284367150.00285364311.00350651.0E-5
7.64.343636E-65.2294336E-65.2294336E-61.00.01.861545E-52.241167E-52.241167E-51.00.02.2661954E-42.7282868E-42.8282593E-41.0366431.0E-50.00226388570.00273588930.0027458621.00364511.0E-5
7.72.936235E-62.743946E-62.743946E-61.00.01.2583803E-51.1759716E-51.1759716E-51.00.01.5319703E-41.4316518E-41.4316518E-41.00.00.00153091470.00143798490.00143798491.00.0
7.81.4541639E-69.122518E-79.122518E-71.00.06.232116E-63.9096444E-63.9096444E-61.00.07.587337E-54.7598885E-54.7598885E-51.00.07.584747E-44.8078224E-44.8078224E-41.00.0
7.98.098958E-72.4165956E-72.4165956E-71.00.03.4709774E-61.0356835E-61.0356835E-61.00.04.225833E-51.2609373E-51.2609373E-51.00.04.2250296E-41.2917137E-41.2917137E-41.00.0
8.05.2473234E-77.672734E-87.672734E-81.00.02.248851E-63.2883142E-73.2883142E-71.00.02.7379416E-54.003515E-64.003515E-61.00.02.7376044E-44.215796E-54.215796E-51.00.0
8.13.3162388E-74.1457096E-84.1457096E-81.00.01.4212444E-61.7767324E-71.7767324E-71.00.01.7303513E-52.1631695E-62.1631695E-61.00.01.7302166E-42.294416E-52.294416E-51.00.0
8.21.0235345E-71.4032201E-81.4032201E-81.00.04.3865757E-76.013801E-86.013801E-81.00.05.340643E-67.3217996E-77.3217996E-71.00.05.3405143E-57.921925E-67.921925E-61.00.0

Jess Valley

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.3861274E-63.4340592E-62.3433991E-56.82399132.0E-51.4511894E-51.471733E-53.4717035E-52.35892222.0E-51.7666799E-41.7917156E-41.9916799E-41.11160482.0E-50.0017652760.00179054760.00181051181.01114982.0E-5
6.13.3861274E-63.4340592E-62.3433991E-56.82399132.0E-51.4511894E-51.471733E-53.4717035E-52.35892222.0E-51.7666799E-41.7917156E-41.9916799E-41.11160482.0E-50.0017652760.00179054760.00181051181.01114982.0E-5
6.23.3861274E-63.4340592E-62.3433991E-56.82399132.0E-51.4511894E-51.471733E-53.4717035E-52.35892222.0E-51.7666799E-41.7917156E-41.9916799E-41.11160482.0E-50.0017652760.00179054760.00181051181.01114982.0E-5
6.33.3861274E-63.4340592E-62.3433991E-56.82399132.0E-51.4511894E-51.471733E-53.4717035E-52.35892222.0E-51.7666799E-41.7917156E-41.9916799E-41.11160482.0E-50.0017652760.00179054760.00181051181.01114982.0E-5
6.41.5291708E-61.5502784E-62.1550248E-513.9008882.0E-56.553573E-66.644038E-62.6643906E-54.01019762.0E-57.978683E-58.088895E-51.0088734E-41.24723262.0E-57.975819E-48.086733E-48.286572E-41.02471182.0E-5
6.51.5291708E-61.5502784E-62.1550248E-513.9008882.0E-56.553573E-66.644038E-62.6643906E-54.01019762.0E-57.978683E-58.088895E-51.0088734E-41.24723262.0E-57.975819E-48.086733E-48.286572E-41.02471182.0E-5
6.65.396423E-75.4719953E-71.05471945E-519.2748581.0E-52.312751E-62.3451398E-61.2345116E-55.2641281.0E-52.8157378E-52.855189E-53.8551607E-51.35022951.0E-52.8153812E-42.8550063E-42.954978E-41.03501621.0E-5
6.75.396423E-75.4719953E-71.05471945E-519.2748581.0E-52.312751E-62.3451398E-61.2345116E-55.2641281.0E-52.8157378E-52.855189E-53.8551607E-51.35022951.0E-52.8153812E-42.8550063E-42.954978E-41.03501621.0E-5
6.83.6058395E-73.6563068E-73.6563068E-71.00.01.5453588E-61.5669885E-61.5669885E-61.00.01.8814582E-51.9078087E-51.9078087E-51.00.01.8812988E-41.9078086E-41.9078086E-41.00.0

Calaveras (So) - Paicines extension 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5183659E-43.0520977E-43.0520977E-41.00.06.5056595E-40.00130681880.00130681881.00.00.0078919120.0156962030.0157060471.0006271.0E-50.0761745940.138489050.138506281.00012452.0E-5
6.11.5024997E-43.021517E-43.021517E-41.00.06.437695E-40.00129372780.00129372781.00.00.00780976140.0155395960.0155494411.00063351.0E-50.0754093450.137158630.137175891.00012582.0E-5
6.21.2743923E-42.5313982E-42.5313982E-41.00.05.460538E-40.00108399990.00108399991.00.00.00662795830.0130468810.0130567511.00075651.0E-50.0643372760.1172560750.1172737261.00015062.0E-5
6.31.1525114E-42.2599236E-42.2599236E-41.00.04.9383997E-49.678718E-49.678718E-41.00.00.00599593860.0116680790.0116779621.0008471.0E-50.0583671740.1063721250.106391.0001682.0E-5
6.41.07200925E-42.0840544E-42.0840544E-41.00.04.5935164E-48.926123E-48.926123E-41.00.00.00557827440.0107729590.0107828511.00091831.0E-50.05440310.0991947650.099212781.00018172.0E-5
6.59.69631E-51.8734725E-41.8734725E-41.00.04.1548995E-48.024631E-48.024631E-41.00.00.00504686260.0096948420.0097047441.00102151.0E-50.049337730.0900865640.0901047661.00020212.0E-5
6.68.0552316E-51.507068E-41.507068E-41.00.03.4517853E-46.4569083E-46.4569083E-41.00.00.00419445240.0078265080.007836431.00126771.0E-50.041161610.07485630.07487481.00024712.0E-5
6.77.815757E-51.4611272E-41.4611272E-41.00.03.34918E-46.26014E-46.26014E-41.00.00.0040700050.0075893120.00759923551.00130761.0E-50.0399626570.072705820.0727243651.00025512.0E-5
6.86.965264E-51.2722758E-41.2722758E-41.00.02.9847719E-45.4513285E-45.4513285E-41.00.00.00362790520.00661359450.00662352841.0015021.0E-50.035692470.0638010650.063819791.00029352.0E-5
6.95.8000453E-51.01439E-41.01439E-41.00.02.4854968E-44.346666E-44.346666E-41.00.00.00302189330.0052793220.0052793221.00.00.0298112950.0515029650.051512451.00018421.0E-5
7.04.9865852E-58.568029E-58.568029E-51.00.02.1369329E-43.6715003E-43.6715003E-41.00.00.00259861140.0044609790.0044609791.00.00.0256843360.0437820180.0437915771.00021841.0E-5
7.14.283875E-57.1124625E-57.1124625E-51.00.01.8358172E-43.0478454E-43.0478454E-41.00.00.00223281630.0037044940.0037044941.00.00.0221051460.036735820.0367454551.00026231.0E-5
7.23.450115E-55.5778568E-55.5778568E-51.00.01.478537E-42.3902925E-42.3902925E-41.00.00.00179863230.00290632640.00290632641.00.00.0178414420.0290790420.0290887521.00033391.0E-5
7.32.5709045E-54.059001E-54.059001E-51.00.01.1017697E-41.7394568E-41.7394568E-41.00.00.00134057910.00211574860.00211574861.00.00.0133252080.021296860.0213066491.00045961.0E-5
7.41.8003093E-52.8511378E-52.8511378E-51.00.07.715383E-51.2218591E-41.2218591E-41.00.09.3894306E-40.00148660060.00148660061.00.00.0093498570.0150515890.0150614391.00065431.0E-5
7.51.5595824E-52.5823752E-52.5823752E-51.00.06.683753E-51.10668545E-41.10668545E-41.00.08.134431E-40.00134655890.00134655891.00.00.0081047190.0136515710.0136614351.00072251.0E-5
7.61.1110309E-51.9223195E-51.9223195E-51.00.04.761474E-58.2382525E-58.2382525E-51.00.05.795553E-40.00100254710.00100254711.00.00.00578046120.010203440.0102133381.000971.0E-5
7.76.2140443E-61.04376995E-51.04376995E-51.00.02.6631347E-54.4732235E-54.4732235E-51.00.03.241884E-45.4447894E-45.4447894E-41.00.00.00323715880.0056201020.0056300461.00176931.0E-5
7.85.305533E-69.433651E-69.433651E-61.00.02.27378E-54.0429306E-54.0429306E-51.00.02.7679754E-44.9211574E-44.9211574E-41.00.00.00276453020.0050746220.00508457141.00196061.0E-5
7.93.363505E-67.3854467E-67.3854467E-61.00.01.4414942E-53.1651532E-53.1651532E-51.00.01.7548777E-43.8528934E-43.8528934E-41.00.00.00175349260.0039487840.00395874451.00252251.0E-5
8.02.0271132E-64.4134235E-64.4134235E-61.00.08.687599E-61.8914534E-51.8914534E-51.00.01.05766376E-42.3026018E-42.3026018E-41.00.00.00105716060.0023511940.00236117051.00424311.0E-5
8.11.2206116E-62.3752666E-62.3752666E-61.00.05.2311816E-61.0179674E-51.0179674E-51.00.06.3687774E-51.2393051E-41.2393051E-41.00.06.366953E-40.00127056180.00128054911.00786051.0E-5

Great Valley 11

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.8099583E-52.983214E-54.9831542E-51.67039792.0E-51.20421224E-41.2784619E-41.4784362E-41.1564182.0E-50.00146514220.00155548940.00157545831.01283762.0E-50.01455520.0154535460.0154732371.00127422.0E-5
6.12.483194E-52.5907144E-54.5906625E-51.77196792.0E-51.0641825E-41.11026246E-41.3102403E-41.18011762.0E-50.00129487210.00135096970.00137094271.01478422.0E-50.0128735290.0134339790.013453711.00146882.0E-5
6.22.483194E-52.5907144E-54.5906625E-51.77196792.0E-51.0641825E-41.11026246E-41.3102403E-41.18011762.0E-50.00129487210.00135096970.00137094271.01478422.0E-50.0128735290.0134339790.013453711.00146882.0E-5
6.32.0257901E-52.0398915E-53.039871E-51.49021221.0E-58.681669E-58.742122E-59.742035E-51.11437871.0E-50.00105648060.00106387530.00107386461.00938961.0E-50.010514720.0105919930.01060188751.00093411.0E-5
6.41.8054898E-51.7780852E-52.7780674E-51.56239271.0E-57.737584E-57.6201635E-58.6200875E-51.13122081.0E-59.416436E-49.2739763E-49.3738834E-41.01077281.0E-50.0093766350.0092390150.0092489231.00107241.0E-5
6.51.34804895E-51.2321004E-52.232088E-51.81161211.0E-55.777225E-55.2803258E-56.280273E-51.18937231.0E-57.031501E-46.426942E-46.5268774E-41.01554951.0E-50.0070092940.0064087920.00641872831.00155031.0E-5
6.61.294883E-51.1732261E-52.1732143E-51.85234071.0E-55.5493805E-55.028017E-56.0279668E-51.19887551.0E-56.754276E-46.1199325E-46.219871E-41.016331.0E-50.0067337840.00610350440.00611344351.00162841.0E-5
6.71.1272237E-59.811834E-61.9811736E-52.01916741.0E-54.8308695E-54.205006E-55.204964E-51.23780181.0E-55.879996E-45.1184196E-45.218368E-41.01952731.0E-50.0058644620.0051069150.00511686361.00194811.0E-5
6.89.8337505E-68.193719E-61.8193638E-52.2204371.0E-54.2143965E-53.5115478E-54.5115125E-51.28476481.0E-55.1298196E-44.2744912E-44.3744483E-41.02338461.0E-50.0051179940.00426647950.00427643681.00233391.0E-5
6.97.4224813E-65.4130837E-65.4130837E-61.00.03.1810247E-52.3198732E-52.3198732E-51.00.03.872209E-42.8240937E-42.8240937E-41.00.00.00386546880.00282064570.00282064571.00.0
7.04.4628923E-62.0110294E-62.0110294E-61.00.01.912654E-58.61867E-68.61867E-61.00.02.3284076E-41.0492737E-41.0492737E-41.00.00.00232596930.00104878980.00104878981.00.0
7.13.5546527E-61.1855383E-61.1855383E-61.00.01.5234136E-55.080869E-65.080869E-61.00.01.8545982E-46.185789E-56.185789E-51.00.00.00185305126.1841356E-46.1841356E-41.00.0
7.23.2039936E-61.1253728E-61.1253728E-61.00.01.3731329E-54.8230177E-64.8230177E-61.00.01.671661E-45.8718724E-55.8718724E-51.00.00.00167040415.870388E-45.870388E-41.00.0
7.32.8120473E-61.0305271E-61.0305271E-61.00.01.2051575E-54.4165376E-64.4165376E-61.00.01.4671806E-45.3770087E-55.3770087E-51.00.00.00146621225.375774E-45.375774E-41.00.0
7.42.4837766E-69.80032E-79.80032E-71.00.01.0644713E-54.2001307E-64.2001307E-61.00.01.2959167E-45.113546E-55.113546E-51.00.00.00129516135.1124353E-45.1124353E-41.00.0
7.51.5002679E-66.545985E-76.545985E-71.00.06.4297037E-62.8054194E-62.8054194E-61.00.07.827883E-53.4155488E-53.4155488E-51.00.07.825126E-43.4150656E-43.4150656E-41.00.0

Sheephole

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5579695E-64.7412627E-61.4741215E-53.10913281.0E-51.9534009E-52.031957E-53.0319366E-51.49212651.0E-52.3780059E-42.473682E-42.5736575E-41.04041551.0E-50.00237546280.0024714730.00249142361.00807242.0E-5
6.14.5579695E-64.7412627E-61.4741215E-53.10913281.0E-51.9534009E-52.031957E-53.0319366E-51.49212651.0E-52.3780059E-42.473682E-42.5736575E-41.04041551.0E-50.00237546280.0024714730.00249142361.00807242.0E-5
6.22.6677674E-62.7873941E-62.7873941E-61.00.01.1433239E-51.1945926E-51.1945926E-51.00.01.3919079E-41.4543302E-41.4543302E-41.00.00.00139103640.00145348440.00146346981.006871.0E-5
6.32.6677674E-62.7873941E-62.7873941E-61.00.01.1433239E-51.1945926E-51.1945926E-51.00.01.3919079E-41.4543302E-41.4543302E-41.00.00.00139103640.00145348440.00146346981.006871.0E-5
6.42.2159759E-62.3228788E-62.3228788E-61.00.09.497005E-69.955161E-69.955161E-61.00.01.156199E-41.2119815E-41.2119815E-41.00.00.00115559760.00121139990.00121139991.00.0
6.52.1986082E-62.304759E-62.304759E-61.00.09.4225725E-69.877506E-69.877506E-61.00.01.1471378E-41.2025281E-41.2025281E-41.00.00.00114654580.00120195660.00120195661.00.0
6.61.5232331E-61.6018919E-61.6018919E-61.00.06.5281256E-66.865234E-66.865234E-61.00.07.947703E-58.35812E-58.35812E-51.00.07.9448614E-48.3551643E-48.3551643E-41.00.0
6.71.3137362E-61.382819E-61.382819E-61.00.05.6302856E-65.926355E-65.926355E-61.00.06.854657E-57.215112E-57.215112E-51.00.06.8525434E-47.212908E-47.212908E-41.00.0
6.81.2275751E-61.2922847E-61.2922847E-61.00.05.2610258E-65.5383516E-65.5383516E-61.00.06.4051106E-56.7427485E-56.7427485E-51.00.06.4032647E-46.740836E-46.740836E-41.00.0
6.91.1837088E-61.246102E-61.246102E-61.00.05.0730278E-65.340427E-65.340427E-61.00.06.176237E-56.501789E-56.501789E-51.00.06.17452E-46.5000186E-46.5000186E-41.00.0
7.09.849371E-71.0366288E-61.0366288E-61.00.04.2211523E-64.442688E-64.442688E-61.00.05.1391315E-55.4088487E-55.4088487E-51.00.05.137943E-45.407633E-45.407633E-41.00.0
7.18.1643645E-78.591669E-78.591669E-71.00.03.4990085E-63.682139E-63.682139E-61.00.04.2599597E-54.482921E-54.482921E-51.00.04.259143E-44.4821028E-44.4821028E-41.00.0
7.25.7295756E-76.029502E-76.029502E-71.00.02.45553E-62.58407E-62.58407E-61.00.02.9895667E-53.1460666E-53.1460666E-51.00.02.9891645E-43.145688E-43.145688E-41.00.0

Pittville 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.5031832E-52.7056969E-53.70567E-51.36958051.0E-51.0727487E-41.1595384E-41.2595268E-41.08623121.0E-50.0013052890.00141092110.0014209071.00707761.0E-50.0129764850.0140294150.0140392751.00070271.0E-5
6.11.2540113E-51.3513067E-52.3512932E-51.74001441.0E-55.3742235E-55.7911984E-56.79114E-51.17266581.0E-56.541153E-47.048728E-47.1486575E-41.0141771.0E-50.00652193230.00702860440.0070385341.00141271.0E-5
6.26.603218E-67.107189E-61.7107119E-52.4070161.0E-52.8299199E-53.0459063E-54.045876E-51.32829951.0E-53.4448825E-43.7078248E-43.8077877E-41.026961.0E-50.00343954730.00370227920.00371224221.0026911.0E-5
6.36.603218E-67.107189E-61.7107119E-52.4070161.0E-52.8299199E-53.0459063E-54.045876E-51.32829951.0E-53.4448825E-43.7078248E-43.8077877E-41.026961.0E-50.00343954730.00370227920.00371224221.0026911.0E-5
6.43.9389015E-64.239175E-64.239175E-61.00.01.6880897E-51.8167784E-51.8167784E-51.00.02.0550552E-42.2117342E-42.2117342E-41.00.00.00205315580.0022098380.0022098381.00.0
6.52.4533072E-62.6412686E-62.6412686E-61.00.01.0514132E-51.1319685E-51.1319685E-51.00.01.2800204E-41.3781038E-41.3781038E-41.00.00.00127928320.00137743940.00137743941.00.0
6.61.3482367E-61.452993E-61.452993E-61.00.05.778144E-66.2271047E-66.2271047E-61.00.07.0346636E-57.58135E-57.58135E-51.00.07.032437E-47.5798744E-47.5798744E-41.00.0

Santa Susana East (connector)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.858397E-53.2021693E-55.2021052E-51.62455672.0E-51.2249697E-41.3723019E-41.5722745E-41.14572052.0E-50.00149038030.001669770.00168973661.01195762.0E-50.0148042440.0165993160.0166189841.00118482.0E-5
6.12.858397E-53.2021693E-55.2021052E-51.62455672.0E-51.2249697E-41.3723019E-41.5722745E-41.14572052.0E-50.00149038030.001669770.00168973661.01195762.0E-50.0148042440.0165993160.0166189841.00118482.0E-5
6.22.858397E-53.2021693E-55.2021052E-51.62455672.0E-51.2249697E-41.3723019E-41.5722745E-41.14572052.0E-50.00149038030.001669770.00168973661.01195762.0E-50.0148042440.0165993160.0166189841.00118482.0E-5
6.31.943582E-52.0367343E-53.0367139E-51.4909721.0E-58.329371E-58.7286324E-59.7285454E-51.11455551.0E-50.0010136290.0010623050.00107229431.00940351.0E-50.0100901810.0105838520.0105937471.00093481.0E-5
6.41.943582E-52.0367343E-53.0367139E-51.4909721.0E-58.329371E-58.7286324E-59.7285454E-51.11455551.0E-50.0010136290.0010623050.00107229431.00940351.0E-50.0100901810.0105838520.0105937471.00093481.0E-5
6.51.943582E-52.0367343E-53.0367139E-51.4909721.0E-58.329371E-58.7286324E-59.7285454E-51.11455551.0E-50.0010136290.0010623050.00107229431.00940351.0E-50.0100901810.0105838520.0105937471.00093481.0E-5
6.61.943582E-52.0367343E-53.0367139E-51.4909721.0E-58.329371E-58.7286324E-59.7285454E-51.11455551.0E-50.0010136290.0010623050.00107229431.00940351.0E-50.0100901810.0105838520.0105937471.00093481.0E-5
6.71.9404439E-52.0354766E-53.0354562E-51.49127541.0E-58.3159226E-58.723242E-59.7231554E-51.11462631.0E-50.00101199330.00106164930.00107163881.00940931.0E-50.0100739710.0105773580.0105872531.00093541.0E-5
6.81.2217526E-51.1593157E-52.1593041E-51.86256781.0E-55.2359774E-54.9684106E-55.968361E-51.20126161.0E-56.372938E-46.047529E-46.147469E-41.01652561.0E-50.00635469240.0060332740.0060432141.00164751.0E-5
6.91.2217526E-51.1593157E-52.1593041E-51.86256781.0E-55.2359774E-54.9684106E-55.968361E-51.20126161.0E-56.372938E-46.047529E-46.147469E-41.01652561.0E-50.00635469240.0060332740.0060432141.00164751.0E-5
7.09.276017E-68.059273E-61.8059192E-52.24079681.0E-53.9753755E-53.4539302E-54.453896E-51.28951531.0E-54.8389446E-44.2043833E-44.3043413E-41.02377471.0E-50.00482842140.00419730970.0042072681.00237251.0E-5
7.19.130355E-67.942446E-61.7942368E-52.2590481.0E-53.9129503E-53.4038632E-54.403829E-51.29377391.0E-54.7629757E-44.1434498E-44.2434083E-41.02412451.0E-50.004752780.00413660470.00414656341.00240741.0E-5
7.28.851015E-67.741608E-61.7741531E-52.29171131.0E-53.7932372E-53.317792E-54.3177588E-51.30139531.0E-54.6172875E-44.038697E-44.1386567E-41.02475051.0E-50.00460770540.00403223470.0040421941.002471.0E-5
7.38.573006E-67.5503312E-61.7550256E-52.32443521.0E-53.6740938E-53.235818E-54.2357857E-51.30903091.0E-54.472291E-43.9389305E-44.038891E-41.02537761.0E-50.0044633010.0039328170.00394277741.00253271.0E-5
7.47.852282E-66.8178556E-61.6817787E-52.46672681.0E-53.36522E-52.921907E-53.921878E-51.34223221.0E-54.096385E-43.5568717E-43.656836E-41.02810451.0E-50.00408884230.00355198680.00356195121.00280541.0E-5
7.54.8869324E-64.2790975E-64.2790975E-61.00.02.0943828E-51.833887E-51.833887E-51.00.02.5496128E-42.2325452E-42.2325452E-41.00.00.00254668950.002230570.002230571.00.0
7.61.3894544E-61.1568394E-61.1568394E-61.00.05.954791E-64.957875E-64.957875E-61.00.07.249717E-56.036068E-56.036068E-51.00.07.247352E-46.0346466E-46.0346466E-41.00.0
7.72.9924632E-72.3719332E-72.3719332E-71.00.01.2824837E-61.0165425E-61.0165425E-61.00.01.5614127E-51.2376341E-51.2376341E-51.00.01.5613029E-41.2375724E-41.2375724E-41.00.0
7.84.8188564E-82.6321862E-82.6321862E-81.00.02.065224E-71.12807975E-71.12807975E-71.00.02.5144072E-61.3734362E-61.3734362E-61.00.02.5143789E-51.3734286E-51.3734286E-51.00.0
7.92.6127251E-92.7681102E-92.7681102E-91.00.01.1197393E-81.186333E-81.186333E-81.00.01.3632825E-71.4443603E-71.4443603E-71.00.01.3632817E-61.4443604E-61.4443604E-61.00.0

Newport-Inglewood (Offshore)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.9626508E-51.8965342E-52.8965153E-51.52726761.0E-58.411089E-58.1277576E-59.1276765E-51.12302521.0E-50.0010235699.891179E-40.00100909811.02022.0E-50.0101886720.0098484970.00986831.00201082.0E-5
6.11.331886E-51.2218078E-52.2217957E-51.81844931.0E-55.707958E-55.2362153E-56.236163E-51.19096771.0E-56.947222E-46.3732424E-46.5731147E-41.03136122.0E-50.0069255440.0063551420.0063750151.00312712.0E-5
6.21.2250852E-51.1076016E-51.1076016E-51.00.05.2502597E-54.746778E-54.746778E-51.00.06.3903164E-45.7776796E-45.877622E-41.0172981.0E-50.0063719710.00576277960.0057727221.00172531.0E-5
6.31.2106258E-51.0918878E-51.0918878E-51.00.05.1882926E-54.6794354E-54.6794354E-51.00.06.3149154E-45.695733E-45.795676E-41.0175471.0E-50.00629700070.0056812520.00569119541.00175021.0E-5
6.41.1348758E-51.0109348E-51.0109348E-51.00.04.8636626E-54.3325064E-54.3325064E-51.00.05.919901E-45.2735576E-45.3735054E-41.01895251.0E-50.0059041550.00526113950.0052710871.00189081.0E-5
6.51.100837E-59.743376E-69.743376E-61.00.04.7177873E-54.175666E-54.175666E-51.00.05.7423924E-45.082695E-45.182644E-41.01966461.0E-50.0057275760.0050711620.0050811111.0019621.0E-5
6.61.0634696E-59.34553E-69.34553E-61.00.04.557647E-54.0051662E-54.0051662E-51.00.05.5475225E-44.875206E-44.975157E-41.0205021.0E-50.00553369430.00486459770.0048745491.00204561.0E-5
6.79.9780855E-68.667898E-68.667898E-61.00.04.276252E-53.7147613E-53.7147613E-51.00.05.205093E-44.5217903E-44.621745E-41.02210511.0E-50.00519291820.00451266860.00452262351.0022061.0E-5
6.89.59546E-68.272933E-68.272933E-61.00.04.1122752E-53.545495E-53.545495E-51.00.05.0055445E-44.3157916E-44.4157484E-41.02316071.0E-50.0049942850.0043074860.0043174431.00231161.0E-5
6.99.000614E-67.706823E-67.706823E-61.00.03.857349E-53.3028828E-53.3028828E-51.00.04.6953102E-44.0205245E-44.1204842E-41.02486241.0E-50.0046854020.00401332230.0040232821.00248171.0E-5
7.07.4070194E-66.148865E-66.148865E-61.00.03.1743984E-52.6352012E-52.6352012E-51.00.03.8641447E-43.2078868E-43.3078546E-41.03116321.0E-50.00385743220.00320327580.00321324381.00311181.0E-5
7.16.299615E-65.0565613E-65.0565613E-61.00.02.699807E-52.1670798E-52.1670798E-51.00.03.2865192E-42.6381016E-42.6381016E-41.00.00.0032816630.00263498470.00263498471.00.0
7.25.096653E-63.892733E-63.892733E-61.00.02.1842614E-51.6683034E-51.6683034E-51.00.02.6590136E-42.0309711E-42.0309711E-41.00.00.00265583420.00202912630.00202912631.00.0
7.33.9753018E-62.9098787E-62.9098787E-61.00.01.7036897E-51.24708495E-51.24708495E-51.00.02.0740448E-41.518221E-41.518221E-41.00.00.002072110.00151719190.00151719191.00.0
7.43.0568392E-62.1449732E-62.1449732E-61.00.01.3100675E-59.19271E-69.19271E-61.00.01.5948903E-41.11915564E-41.11915564E-41.00.00.00159374610.00111859830.00111859831.00.0
7.51.7279019E-61.1469651E-61.1469651E-61.00.07.405273E-64.9155556E-64.9155556E-61.00.09.015547E-55.9845286E-55.9845286E-51.00.09.01189E-45.982956E-45.982956E-41.00.0
7.61.1156416E-67.222962E-77.222962E-71.00.04.7813123E-63.0955514E-63.0955514E-61.00.05.821092E-53.768771E-53.768771E-51.00.05.8195676E-43.7681553E-43.7681553E-41.00.0
7.79.117973E-86.7342256E-86.7342256E-81.00.03.907702E-72.8860964E-72.8860964E-71.00.04.757617E-63.5138169E-63.5138169E-61.00.04.7575148E-53.5137644E-53.5137644E-51.00.0

San Cayetano

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.3476267E-51.8169216E-52.8169034E-51.55037151.0E-51.0060869E-47.786576E-58.786499E-51.12841621.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-49.6758804E-41.02108572.0E-50.0121750020.009436750.0094565611.00209942.0E-5
6.12.3476267E-51.8169216E-52.8169034E-51.55037151.0E-51.0060869E-47.786576E-58.786499E-51.12841621.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-49.6758804E-41.02108572.0E-50.0121750020.009436750.0094565611.00209942.0E-5
6.22.3476267E-51.8169216E-52.8169034E-51.55037151.0E-51.0060869E-47.786576E-58.786499E-51.12841621.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-49.6758804E-41.02108572.0E-50.0121750020.009436750.0094565611.00209942.0E-5
6.32.3476267E-51.8169216E-52.8169034E-51.55037151.0E-51.0060869E-47.786576E-58.786499E-51.12841621.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-49.6758804E-41.02108572.0E-50.0121750020.009436750.0094565611.00209942.0E-5
6.42.3476267E-51.8169216E-52.8169034E-51.55037151.0E-51.0060869E-47.786576E-58.786499E-51.12841621.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-49.6758804E-41.02108572.0E-50.0121750020.009436750.0094565611.00209942.0E-5
6.52.3476267E-51.8169216E-52.8169034E-51.55037151.0E-51.0060869E-47.786576E-58.786499E-51.12841621.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-49.6758804E-41.02108572.0E-50.0121750020.009436750.0094565611.00209942.0E-5
6.62.3476267E-51.8169216E-52.8169034E-51.55037151.0E-51.0060869E-47.786576E-58.786499E-51.12841621.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-49.6758804E-41.02108572.0E-50.0121750020.009436750.0094565611.00209942.0E-5
6.72.3476267E-51.8169216E-52.8169034E-51.55037151.0E-51.0060869E-47.786576E-58.786499E-51.12841621.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-49.6758804E-41.02108572.0E-50.0121750020.009436750.0094565611.00209942.0E-5
6.82.3241924E-51.7936945E-52.7936767E-51.55749851.0E-59.960445E-57.687038E-58.6869615E-51.13007921.0E-50.00121200959.354987E-49.5548E-41.0213592.0E-50.0120542040.00931661950.0093364321.00212672.0E-5
6.92.2761007E-51.7432383E-52.743221E-51.5736351.0E-59.7543525E-57.47081E-58.470735E-51.13384431.0E-50.00118694549.09195E-49.291768E-41.02197742.0E-50.0118062560.0090557410.009075561.00218862.0E-5
7.02.240283E-51.7066137E-52.7065966E-51.58594571.0E-59.600859E-57.313856E-58.313783E-51.13671681.0E-50.00116827778.9010154E-49.1008376E-41.02244942.0E-50.0116215490.0088663360.0088861591.00223582.0E-5
7.12.1871154E-51.658602E-52.6585854E-51.60290741.0E-59.373015E-57.108103E-58.108031E-51.14067451.0E-50.00114056718.6507126E-48.8505395E-41.02309952.0E-50.0113473090.0086179960.0086378241.00230072.0E-5
7.22.0714133E-51.5564563E-52.5564406E-51.64247511.0E-58.8771834E-56.670358E-57.670291E-51.1499071.0E-50.00108026118.118168E-48.318005E-41.02461612.0E-50.0107502490.0080894430.0081092811.00245242.0E-5
7.31.8408395E-51.3996829E-52.3996688E-51.71443761.0E-57.8890735E-55.9985046E-56.9984446E-51.16669821.0E-59.600714E-47.300762E-47.500616E-41.02737442.0E-50.0095593420.00727764470.0072974991.00272812.0E-5
7.41.6856795E-51.285006E-52.284993E-51.77819661.0E-57.2241404E-55.5070537E-56.506999E-51.18157531.0E-58.7918417E-46.7028037E-46.9026696E-41.02981832.0E-50.008757140.00668340870.0067032751.00297252.0E-5
7.51.2822778E-59.577415E-61.957732E-52.04411321.0E-55.495361E-54.1045427E-55.1045015E-51.24362251.0E-56.688548E-44.9961504E-45.1960506E-41.04001082.0E-50.0066684520.00498519230.00500509241.00399182.0E-5
7.65.6272684E-63.854899E-63.854899E-61.00.02.4116642E-51.6520893E-51.6520893E-51.00.02.9358055E-42.0112342E-42.0112342E-41.00.00.00293193010.00200942480.00200942481.00.0
7.73.5261346E-62.3407094E-62.3407094E-61.00.01.5111918E-51.0031574E-51.0031574E-51.00.01.8397206E-41.2212765E-41.2212765E-41.00.00.00183819840.00122061270.00122061271.00.0
7.81.4826929E-61.0564395E-61.0564395E-61.00.06.354383E-64.52759E-64.52759E-61.00.07.736187E-55.5122033E-55.5122033E-51.00.07.733494E-45.510856E-45.510856E-41.00.0
7.92.7568166E-71.6977887E-71.6977887E-71.00.01.1814923E-67.276235E-77.276235E-71.00.01.4384574E-58.85878E-68.85878E-61.00.01.4383643E-48.858431E-58.858431E-51.00.0
8.05.407832E-82.688677E-82.688677E-81.00.02.3176422E-71.15229014E-71.15229014E-71.00.02.8217257E-61.4029123E-61.4029123E-61.00.02.8216898E-51.40290385E-51.40290385E-51.00.0

Great Valley 05 Pittsburg - Kirby Hills alt1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.187212E-55.344289E-56.3442356E-51.18710571.0E-51.794396E-42.2902661E-42.3902432E-41.0436531.0E-50.0021824880.00278579980.0028057441.00715922.0E-50.0216117760.0276032180.0276226661.00070452.0E-5
6.14.187212E-55.344289E-56.3442356E-51.18710571.0E-51.794396E-42.2902661E-42.3902432E-41.0436531.0E-50.0021824880.00278579980.0028057441.00715922.0E-50.0216117760.0276032180.0276226661.00070452.0E-5
6.21.7353306E-52.2154672E-52.2154672E-51.00.07.436919E-59.4947456E-59.4947456E-51.00.09.050688E-40.00115575730.00115575731.00.00.0090139150.01153520.01153521.00.0
6.31.7353306E-52.2154672E-52.2154672E-51.00.07.436919E-59.4947456E-59.4947456E-51.00.09.050688E-40.00115575730.00115575731.00.00.0090139150.01153520.01153521.00.0
6.41.4028824E-51.7901062E-51.7901062E-51.00.06.0122147E-57.671883E-57.671883E-51.00.07.3174125E-49.340303E-49.340303E-41.00.00.00729336450.0093382110.0093382111.00.0

Elysian Park (Upper)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.1876025E-53.7035275E-54.7034904E-51.27000281.0E-51.3660437E-41.5871569E-41.687141E-41.06299581.0E-50.00166188950.0019311220.00195108341.01033662.0E-50.0164951590.0191898630.0192094781.00102222.0E-5
6.13.1876025E-53.7035275E-54.7034904E-51.27000281.0E-51.3660437E-41.5871569E-41.687141E-41.06299581.0E-50.00166188950.0019311220.00195108341.01033662.0E-50.0164951590.0191898630.0192094781.00102222.0E-5
6.23.1876025E-53.7035275E-54.7034904E-51.27000281.0E-51.3660437E-41.5871569E-41.687141E-41.06299581.0E-50.00166188950.0019311220.00195108341.01033662.0E-50.0164951590.0191898630.0192094781.00102222.0E-5
6.33.1876025E-53.7035275E-54.7034904E-51.27000281.0E-51.3660437E-41.5871569E-41.687141E-41.06299581.0E-50.00166188950.0019311220.00195108341.01033662.0E-50.0164951590.0191898630.0192094781.00102222.0E-5
6.41.9273462E-52.120244E-52.120244E-51.00.08.259794E-59.086542E-59.086542E-51.00.00.0010051660.00110589670.00111588571.00903251.0E-50.0100063150.0110207440.0110306341.00089741.0E-5
6.51.9273462E-52.120244E-52.120244E-51.00.08.259794E-59.086542E-59.086542E-51.00.00.0010051660.00110589670.00111588571.00903251.0E-50.0100063150.0110207440.0110306341.00089741.0E-5
6.69.813258E-69.665589E-69.665589E-61.00.04.205614E-54.1423333E-54.1423333E-51.00.05.119132E-45.042196E-45.042196E-41.00.00.0051073560.00503147950.00503147951.00.0
6.79.801478E-69.653158E-69.653158E-61.00.04.2005657E-54.137006E-54.137006E-51.00.05.112989E-45.0357135E-45.0357135E-41.00.00.00510124070.0050250260.0050250261.00.0
6.88.102489E-67.772994E-67.772994E-61.00.03.4724493E-53.3312434E-53.3312434E-51.00.04.2268867E-44.0550836E-44.0550836E-41.00.00.0042188560.00404817840.00404817841.00.0
6.96.08275E-65.481441E-65.481441E-61.00.02.6068668E-52.3491682E-52.3491682E-51.00.03.173398E-42.8597447E-42.8597447E-41.00.00.00316887020.00285614240.00285614241.00.0
7.05.5995934E-64.9827686E-64.9827686E-61.00.02.3998036E-52.1354552E-52.1354552E-51.00.02.9213692E-42.5996132E-42.5996132E-41.00.00.00291753160.00259663960.00259663961.00.0
7.14.709881E-64.0873906E-64.0873906E-61.00.02.0185047E-51.7517272E-51.7517272E-51.00.02.4572524E-42.1325232E-42.1325232E-41.00.00.0024545370.00213051840.00213051841.00.0
7.23.6063436E-62.9779412E-62.9779412E-61.00.01.5455667E-51.27625435E-51.27625435E-51.00.01.881565E-41.55373E-41.55373E-41.00.00.00187997260.00155265490.00155265491.00.0
7.32.471135E-62.0954562E-62.0954562E-61.00.01.0590536E-58.980496E-68.980496E-61.00.01.2893214E-41.0933213E-41.0933213E-41.00.00.00128857360.00109279060.00109279061.00.0
7.41.163943E-61.0275061E-61.0275061E-61.00.04.988318E-64.40359E-64.40359E-61.00.06.0731076E-55.361242E-55.361242E-51.00.06.071448E-45.3599785E-45.3599785E-41.00.0
7.54.99459E-74.917601E-74.917601E-71.00.02.140537E-62.1075416E-62.1075416E-61.00.02.6060725E-52.5659032E-52.5659032E-51.00.02.605767E-42.5656226E-42.5656226E-41.00.0
7.62.4667852E-72.4778313E-72.4778313E-71.00.01.0571932E-61.0619274E-61.0619274E-61.00.01.2871251E-51.2928893E-51.2928893E-51.00.01.2870505E-41.2928178E-41.2928178E-41.00.0
7.78.2312795E-87.3864214E-87.3864214E-81.00.03.527691E-73.165609E-73.165609E-71.00.04.294955E-63.854123E-63.854123E-61.00.04.2948723E-53.854068E-53.854068E-51.00.0
7.82.7819295E-81.7565618E-81.7565618E-81.00.01.1922555E-77.528122E-87.528122E-81.00.01.45157E-69.1654863E-79.1654863E-71.00.01.45156055E-59.165463E-69.165463E-61.00.0

Elsinore (Temecula) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.9514995E-52.251887E-53.2518645E-51.4440621.0E-51.264867E-49.6505995E-51.0650503E-41.10361051.0E-50.00153888760.00117434920.00119432571.01701072.0E-50.0152827450.0116881350.0117079011.00169112.0E-5
6.12.9514995E-52.251887E-53.2518645E-51.4440621.0E-51.264867E-49.6505995E-51.0650503E-41.10361051.0E-50.00153888760.00117434920.00119432571.01701072.0E-50.0152827450.0116881350.0117079011.00169112.0E-5
6.22.9514995E-52.251887E-53.2518645E-51.4440621.0E-51.264867E-49.6505995E-51.0650503E-41.10361051.0E-50.00153888760.00117434920.00119432571.01701072.0E-50.0152827450.0116881350.0117079011.00169112.0E-5
6.32.3223649E-51.840822E-51.840822E-51.00.09.952613E-57.889008E-57.889008E-51.00.00.0012110579.600807E-49.700711E-41.01040581.0E-50.0120447830.0095512840.00956118851.0010371.0E-5
6.42.3223649E-51.840822E-51.840822E-51.00.09.952613E-57.889008E-57.889008E-51.00.00.0012110579.600807E-49.700711E-41.01040581.0E-50.0120447830.0095512840.00956118851.0010371.0E-5
6.51.8338875E-51.4750074E-51.4750074E-51.00.07.8592806E-56.321312E-56.321312E-51.00.09.5644733E-47.6935673E-47.7934907E-41.01298791.0E-50.0095234120.00766996760.0076798911.00129381.0E-5
6.61.8223333E-51.461263E-51.461263E-51.00.07.809766E-56.26241E-56.26241E-51.00.09.504242E-47.621905E-47.721829E-41.013111.0E-50.0094636960.0075987960.007608721.0013061.0E-5
6.71.7512752E-51.4026963E-51.4026963E-51.00.07.505249E-56.0114216E-56.0114216E-51.00.09.13381E-47.316534E-47.416461E-41.01365771.0E-50.009096360.00729833170.00730825871.00136021.0E-5
6.81.7417142E-51.395093E-51.395093E-51.00.07.4642754E-55.978838E-55.978838E-51.00.09.083966E-47.27689E-47.376817E-41.01373211.0E-50.0090469220.0072593590.00726928661.00136761.0E-5
6.91.6402591E-51.29883665E-51.29883665E-51.00.07.0294926E-55.5663284E-55.5663284E-51.00.08.5550465E-46.774974E-46.874907E-41.01475021.0E-50.0085221860.00675986470.0067697971.00146941.0E-5
7.01.3912486E-51.0878067E-51.0878067E-51.00.05.9623577E-54.661947E-54.661947E-51.00.07.2567526E-45.674469E-45.774413E-41.01761281.0E-50.00723310140.00566353140.0056734751.00175571.0E-5
7.11.3405147E-51.0327192E-51.0327192E-51.00.05.7449364E-54.4258657E-54.4258657E-51.00.06.9922156E-45.3871854E-45.4871314E-41.01855251.0E-50.00697025560.0053773660.00538731231.00184971.0E-5
7.21.21402E-58.996479E-68.996479E-61.00.05.202839E-53.8555776E-53.8555776E-51.00.06.332616E-44.6931725E-44.6931725E-41.00.00.00631460.00468472620.00468472621.00.0
7.31.05047775E-57.571515E-67.571515E-61.00.04.5019697E-53.2448956E-53.2448956E-51.00.05.4797693E-43.9499588E-43.9499588E-41.00.00.0054662770.0039433480.0039433481.00.0
7.49.624483E-66.786621E-66.786621E-61.00.04.124713E-52.90852E-52.90852E-51.00.05.0206814E-43.5405616E-43.5405616E-41.00.00.0050093530.00353507260.00353507261.00.0
7.58.215151E-65.6353133E-65.6353133E-61.00.03.5207315E-52.4151126E-52.4151126E-51.00.04.2856473E-42.9400157E-42.9400157E-41.00.00.0042773920.0029362540.0029362541.00.0
7.66.975058E-64.675836E-64.675836E-61.00.02.9892764E-52.003915E-52.003915E-51.00.03.6388362E-42.439505E-42.439505E-41.00.00.00363288350.00243694340.00243694341.00.0
7.74.159604E-62.326789E-62.326789E-61.00.01.7826753E-59.971919E-69.971919E-61.00.02.1701909E-41.2140209E-41.2140209E-41.00.00.00216807260.00121343080.00121343081.00.0
7.82.2692414E-79.384417E-89.384417E-81.00.09.725317E-74.0218927E-74.0218927E-71.00.01.1840509E-54.8966467E-64.8966467E-61.00.01.1839878E-44.8965718E-54.8965718E-51.00.0
7.96.676829E-93.4397174E-93.4397174E-91.00.02.861498E-81.4741646E-81.4741646E-81.00.03.4838732E-71.7947953E-71.7947953E-71.00.03.4838679E-61.794794E-61.794794E-61.00.0

Concord 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.7865112E-59.7585355E-51.0758438E-41.10246441.0E-52.4796976E-44.181607E-44.3815232E-41.04780852.0E-50.00301485250.0050797430.00509964161.00391722.0E-50.0297427750.0492660780.049285091.0003862.0E-5
6.15.7865112E-59.7585355E-51.0758438E-41.10246441.0E-52.4796976E-44.181607E-44.3815232E-41.04780852.0E-50.00301485250.0050797430.00509964161.00391722.0E-50.0297427750.0492660780.049285091.0003862.0E-5
6.25.6789337E-59.578793E-51.0578697E-41.10438731.0E-52.4336016E-44.1045985E-44.3045165E-41.04870582.0E-50.00295888450.00498646960.00500636971.00399092.0E-50.0291979630.048382570.04840161.00039342.0E-5
6.35.203322E-58.803241E-59.803152E-51.11358451.0E-52.2298045E-43.772316E-43.9722404E-41.05299782.0E-50.00271140710.00458390640.0046038151.0043432.0E-50.0267856250.044553970.0445730761.00042892.0E-5
6.44.7120942E-57.897583E-58.897504E-51.1266111.0E-52.0193127E-43.3842813E-43.5842136E-41.05907682.0E-50.00245574120.0041133230.0041332411.00484232.0E-50.0242878010.0400807560.0400999561.0004792.0E-5
6.52.9598437E-54.6675777E-55.6675308E-51.21423391.0E-51.2684427E-42.000249E-42.2002088E-41.09996762.0E-50.0015432350.00243279360.00245274491.0082012.0E-50.0153256190.0239096680.023929191.00081652.0E-5
6.62.0443718E-52.9984873E-53.9984574E-51.33349141.0E-58.7613E-51.2850047E-41.3849919E-41.07781081.0E-50.00106616620.00156340670.0015733911.00638631.0E-50.0106106550.01546690150.0154767471.00063661.0E-5
6.71.798539E-52.5557883E-52.5557883E-51.00.07.7077966E-51.0952931E-41.0952931E-41.00.09.380202E-40.00133272520.00133272521.00.00.0093407060.0132175160.0132175161.00.0
6.81.613555E-52.1959608E-52.1959608E-51.00.06.915052E-59.4109295E-59.4109295E-51.00.08.4158237E-40.00114519230.00114519231.00.00.0083840230.0113783210.0113783211.00.0
6.91.2916435E-51.708134E-51.708134E-51.00.05.5354973E-57.320372E-57.320372E-51.00.06.7373837E-48.908967E-48.908967E-41.00.00.0067169940.0088678330.0088678331.00.0
7.09.81129E-61.2631038E-51.2631038E-51.00.04.2047708E-55.4131906E-55.4131906E-51.00.05.118106E-46.588583E-46.588583E-41.00.00.0051063340.00656975950.00656975951.00.0
7.18.0889195E-61.04184555E-51.04184555E-51.00.03.4666336E-54.4649765E-54.4649765E-51.00.04.219809E-45.434764E-45.434764E-41.00.00.0042118050.00542198960.00542198961.00.0
7.26.267438E-68.115879E-68.115879E-61.00.02.6860173E-53.478188E-53.478188E-51.00.03.2697353E-44.2338783E-44.2338783E-41.00.00.00326492850.0042261690.0042261691.00.0
7.33.6761196E-64.840281E-64.840281E-61.00.01.5754704E-52.0743897E-52.0743897E-51.00.01.9179663E-42.5252788E-42.5252788E-41.00.00.00191631180.00252262640.00252262641.00.0
7.42.8044356E-63.7096993E-63.7096993E-61.00.01.2018954E-51.5898615E-51.5898615E-51.00.01.4632095E-41.9354856E-41.9354856E-41.00.00.00146224640.00193403490.00193403491.00.0
7.52.4578699E-63.2448306E-63.2448306E-61.00.01.0533685E-51.3906343E-51.3906343E-51.00.01.2824008E-41.6929668E-41.6929668E-41.00.00.00128166090.00169189260.00169189261.00.0
7.61.7713267E-62.335189E-62.335189E-61.00.07.591378E-61.0007916E-51.0007916E-51.00.09.2421105E-51.2183965E-41.2183965E-41.00.09.2382677E-40.00121786550.00121786551.00.0
7.75.1912366E-76.829346E-76.829346E-71.00.02.2248137E-62.9268595E-62.9268595E-61.00.02.708677E-53.5633944E-53.5633944E-51.00.02.708347E-43.5630353E-43.5630353E-41.00.0

San Diego Trough north alt1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.329252E-58.821269E-51.0821093E-41.22670472.0E-53.14073E-43.7800326E-43.979957E-41.05288962.0E-50.00381713550.00459304870.00461295671.00433442.0E-50.037522310.0450451370.0450642371.0004242.0E-5
6.13.7940346E-54.4884906E-55.488446E-51.2227821.0E-51.6259136E-41.9235026E-42.0234832E-41.05197851.0E-50.00197775240.0023394310.00234940761.00426461.0E-50.0196024310.0231567320.0231665021.00042191.0E-5
6.22.8645263E-53.329672E-54.329639E-51.30031991.0E-51.2275964E-41.4269259E-41.5269115E-41.07007071.0E-50.00149357390.00173592060.00174590321.00575071.0E-50.01483575350.0172262680.0172360951.00057051.0E-5
6.32.8645263E-53.329672E-54.329639E-51.30031991.0E-51.2275964E-41.4269259E-41.5269115E-41.07007071.0E-50.00149357390.00173592060.00174590321.00575071.0E-50.01483575350.0172262680.0172360951.00057051.0E-5
6.42.2204576E-52.544832E-53.5448065E-51.39294331.0E-59.5159E-51.0905972E-41.1905863E-41.09168291.0E-50.0011579450.00132700280.00133698951.00752581.0E-50.0115192980.0131919590.0132018271.0007481.0E-5
6.52.1004838E-52.4024695E-53.4024455E-51.41622841.0E-59.0017624E-51.0295897E-41.1295794E-41.09711611.0E-50.00109541360.00125281350.0012628011.0079721.0E-50.0109002960.0124585920.01246846751.00079261.0E-5
6.61.820557E-52.070479E-53.070458E-51.482971.0E-57.802154E-58.8731824E-59.873094E-51.11268911.0E-59.4949827E-40.00107977990.00108976921.00925111.0E-50.0094545160.0107460050.01075589751.00092051.0E-5
6.71.5884485E-51.7983646E-52.7983466E-51.55605081.0E-56.807459E-57.707051E-58.706974E-51.12974131.0E-58.284929E-49.3793223E-49.479229E-41.01065171.0E-50.0082541090.0093401040.009350011.00106061.0E-5
6.81.4331171E-51.6201066E-52.6200903E-51.61723341.0E-56.141786E-56.94313E-57.94306E-51.14401721.0E-57.4750587E-48.450002E-48.549917E-41.01182441.0E-50.00744996450.0084181390.0084280551.00117791.0E-5
6.91.2574203E-51.4205835E-51.4205835E-51.00.05.3888325E-56.0880735E-56.0880735E-51.00.06.558929E-47.409723E-47.409723E-41.00.00.00653960370.0073852030.0073852031.00.0
7.01.0883844E-51.2289262E-51.2289262E-51.00.04.664421E-5