Parent Section Magnitude-Probability Distributions

Only fault sections with at least one triggered aftershock are plotted. Sections are sorted by total supraseismogenic trigger rate (decreasing)

Table Of Contents

Tank Canyon

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.8284557E-55.7965928E-50.003867745266.724460.003812.0691741E-42.484056E-40.01021592941.1260030.009970.00251630880.003020810.03280057810.8582070.029870.024880060.0298643730.0800688942.6810840.05175
6.11.7796336E-52.0873778E-50.00135084664.714970.001337.626778E-58.94562E-50.003649137740.792450.003569.281647E-40.00108862330.01174700710.79070.010670.0092429750.0108368630.0296012872.73153660.01897
6.21.7796336E-52.0873778E-50.00135084664.714970.001337.626778E-58.94562E-50.003649137740.792450.003569.281647E-40.00108862330.01174700710.79070.010670.0092429750.0108368630.0296012872.73153660.01897
6.31.3515912E-51.575992E-50.001005744363.816589.9E-45.792405E-56.754091E-50.002707362640.084780.002647.049971E-48.2202395E-40.00868555410.566060.007870.0070276470.008192310.0219486822.6791810.01387
6.41.0870146E-51.2618305E-56.926097E-454.8892826.8E-44.658551E-55.407743E-50.001943975235.9479940.001895.67031E-46.5821153E-40.00664426910.0944270.005990.0056558630.0065644940.0169061572.57539370.01041
6.57.964826E-69.196297E-64.7919198E-452.107064.7E-43.4134522E-53.9412163E-50.001259364131.953690.001224.1550855E-44.79748E-40.00449781969.375380.004020.00414732470.0047882820.01159552952.42164730.00684
6.66.6317E-67.6124547E-63.8760956E-450.9178163.8E-42.8421264E-53.2624448E-59.125957E-427.9727558.8E-43.4597394E-43.9713932E-40.00341593998.6013640.003020.00345435790.00396530470.0090749632.28859140.00513
6.74.793663E-65.4308844E-62.5542954E-447.032772.5E-42.0544108E-52.3275035E-55.432629E-423.3410155.2E-42.500958E-42.833411E-40.0019528686.89228630.001670.00249814520.00283034560.0056224211.98647840.0028
6.84.382823E-64.969349E-62.349682E-447.2834972.3E-41.8783392E-52.129706E-55.112866E-424.007384.9E-42.286638E-42.5926513E-40.00175887636.7840830.00150.00228428650.00259016780.00507371831.95883760.00249
6.92.729601E-63.0735978E-61.0307329E-433.535061.0E-41.1698237E-51.3172503E-53.031687E-423.0152682.9E-41.4241673E-41.6036464E-49.0024597E-45.6137447.4E-40.0014232550.00160275120.00288069971.79734680.00128
7.01.8987357E-62.1269796E-67.212683E-533.910457.0E-58.137413E-69.115598E-61.3911442E-415.2611391.3E-49.90685E-51.1097746E-44.609386E-44.1534443.5E-49.902435E-40.0011092890.001648691.48625835.4E-4
7.11.4928986E-61.6641586E-63.166411E-519.0270983.0E-56.398121E-67.1320924E-64.7131805E-56.60841234.0E-57.789434E-58.6830354E-52.7681387E-43.1879851.9E-47.786704E-48.6802215E-40.00115777041.33380282.9E-4
7.21.069082E-61.1828818E-62.1182857E-517.907842.0E-54.581772E-65.069486E-62.5069385E-54.94515282.0E-55.5781646E-56.171978E-51.5171422E-42.45811349.0E-55.576765E-46.170787E-47.669861E-41.24293091.5E-4
7.38.776551E-79.770191E-72.0976999E-521.4704072.0E-53.7613736E-64.1872213E-62.4187137E-55.77641772.0E-54.579376E-55.0978742E-51.2097518E-42.37305147.0E-54.5784327E-45.097215E-46.296603E-41.23530271.2E-4
7.47.55721E-78.510419E-71.0851033E-512.7502931.0E-53.2388E-63.64732E-61.3647284E-53.7417291.0E-53.9431678E-54.4405737E-51.0440307E-42.3511176.0E-53.942468E-44.4401948E-45.5397063E-41.24762691.1E-4
7.55.587665E-76.3057325E-71.0630567E-516.8585761.0E-52.3947114E-62.7024569E-61.270243E-54.70032641.0E-52.915522E-53.290241E-57.290109E-52.21567634.0E-52.9151395E-43.2902413E-43.890044E-41.18229756.0E-5

Garlock (Central)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.5131142E-57.0252936E-50.00574985481.845040.005682.3625491E-43.0104961E-40.01433682347.622790.014040.00287260950.00365918320.03890972210.6334450.035380.0283575910.03614120.0923922.55641770.05836
6.15.5131142E-57.0252936E-50.00574985481.845040.005682.3625491E-43.0104961E-40.01433682347.622790.014040.00287260950.00365918320.03890972210.6334450.035380.0283575910.03614120.0923922.55641770.05836
6.24.216245E-55.166702E-50.003561485668.931510.003511.806837E-42.2141145E-40.00904945740.8716740.008830.00219760460.00269238350.0257102449.5492510.023080.0217599890.0267040670.063854782.39120030.03817
6.34.216245E-55.166702E-50.003561485668.931510.003511.806837E-42.2141145E-40.00904945740.8716740.008830.00219760460.00269238350.0257102449.5492510.023080.0217599890.0267040670.063854782.39120030.03817
6.43.6858168E-54.411544E-50.002783994763.1070370.002741.5795401E-41.890526E-40.007227721638.2312740.007040.00192139370.00229931090.0206170968.966640.018360.0190486550.0228685660.052768792.30748130.0306
6.53.39199E-54.0023602E-50.002539923663.4606440.00251.453629E-41.7151856E-40.00658041938.3656350.006410.00176835650.00208626040.0187613988.9928370.016710.0175435080.0207612530.0479155442.30793120.02773
6.63.3571985E-53.9477756E-50.002529379464.071010.002491.4387199E-41.6917953E-40.006558098438.7641370.006390.00175023420.00205783660.0187035119.088920.016680.0173651330.0204825050.0475563672.32180430.02764
6.73.2580007E-53.8094186E-50.002418003563.4743460.002381.3962112E-41.632507E-40.00630224838.6047250.006140.00169856170.0019857870.0178741749.0010530.015920.0168563720.0197716220.045698662.3113260.02645
6.83.2185937E-53.7521368E-50.002377433563.3621250.002341.3793244E-41.6079607E-40.006189826438.4948840.006030.00167803370.00195595580.0175653648.9804510.015640.0166541920.019478760.0449625072.30828380.02599
6.93.165394E-53.672589E-50.002346641263.8960950.002311.3565269E-41.573873E-40.00603646238.3541870.005880.00165032020.00191452760.017105398.9345220.015220.016381180.019072320.043909412.30225850.02532
7.03.0903822E-53.5631027E-50.0023055564.706250.002271.3243823E-41.5269557E-40.005921814638.7818340.005770.00161124280.00185750460.0167597729.0227350.014930.0159961040.0185137730.0428055562.31209250.02475
7.13.0069863E-53.439724E-50.002194322963.793580.002161.2886449E-41.4740853E-40.00568659238.577090.005540.00156779590.00179324250.0162073499.03801250.014440.015567810.0178814770.0414523222.3181710.024
7.22.7957109E-53.1286352E-50.001851229559.1705060.001821.1981068E-41.3407759E-40.004773455735.602190.004640.00145771880.00163119190.0136815038.3874270.012070.0144819370.016285070.0360970872.21657560.02014
7.32.4519275E-52.6719234E-50.001406682352.646810.001381.0507837E-41.1450605E-40.00355411231.038640.003440.00127857830.00139323440.0098813927.0924120.00850.0127124690.0139293290.0282174932.02576110.01449
7.42.3225532E-52.52037E-50.001295171751.3881530.001279.95342E-51.08011474E-40.003227674429.88270.003120.00121115510.00131426080.0089342336.7979150.007630.0120457530.0131469270.026084571.98408130.01311
7.52.097765E-52.2487684E-59.724663E-443.2443969.5E-48.9901114E-59.637229E-50.002436146825.2784980.002340.00109399650.00117271290.00697589955.94851450.005810.0108862640.0117416840.021900981.86523330.01028
7.61.511254E-51.599496E-55.4598646E-434.134915.3E-46.476642E-56.854807E-50.001418455520.692860.001357.882459E-48.34261E-40.0042114415.048110.003380.0078545580.0083849220.0143147791.70720490.00598
7.79.934069E-61.0682194E-52.1068005E-419.7225462.0E-44.2573887E-54.578003E-54.5576127E-49.955464.1E-45.182138E-45.5722974E-40.00156666692.8115280.001010.005170070.00562962140.0074294321.31970360.00181
7.86.7562896E-68.431359E-61.4843018E-417.6045381.4E-42.8955206E-53.6133893E-53.0612413E-48.4719382.7E-43.5247262E-44.3984153E-40.0011295382.56805686.9E-40.00351914060.0044482850.00565290261.2708050.00121
7.93.975453E-65.3728804E-67.53725E-514.0283247.0E-51.7037546E-52.3026427E-51.7302297E-47.51410441.5E-42.0741238E-42.8031078E-46.901958E-42.46225244.1E-40.0020721890.002834650.00357255221.26031527.4E-4
8.01.6729537E-62.0781215E-63.207806E-515.4360853.0E-57.169782E-68.906205E-67.8905585E-58.8596197.0E-58.7288594E-51.0842768E-42.1841575E-42.01439121.1E-48.7254314E-40.00109730680.00130707631.19116772.1E-4
8.13.6733252E-73.1497066E-73.1497066E-71.00.01.5742813E-61.3498736E-61.3498736E-61.00.01.9166706E-51.6434604E-52.643444E-51.60846221.0E-51.9165053E-41.6648426E-41.8648093E-41.12011152.0E-5

Little Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.8424427E-53.1206153E-50.002701122886.557370.002671.2181328E-41.3373456E-40.00675284950.4944230.006620.00148206770.00162713530.01883908411.5780680.017240.0147222230.0161656230.043506382.691290.02779
6.12.8424427E-53.1206153E-50.002701122886.557370.002671.2181328E-41.3373456E-40.00675284950.4944230.006620.00148206770.00162713530.01883908411.5780680.017240.0147222230.0161656230.043506382.691290.02779
6.22.8424427E-53.1206153E-50.002701122886.557370.002671.2181328E-41.3373456E-40.00675284950.4944230.006620.00148206770.00162713530.01883908411.5780680.017240.0147222230.0161656230.043506382.691290.02779
6.31.48860645E-51.6081587E-50.0017260541107.331080.001716.379586E-56.891943E-50.00404864558.7446140.003987.7643775E-48.387992E-40.01125005913.41210.010420.0077373050.008359150.0245526452.93721770.01633
6.41.48860645E-51.6081587E-50.0017260541107.331080.001716.379586E-56.891943E-50.00404864558.7446140.003987.7643775E-48.387992E-40.01125005913.41210.010420.0077373050.008359150.0245526452.93721770.01633
6.51.2797581E-51.376573E-50.001513745109.964750.00155.4845623E-55.8994796E-50.003668781862.188230.003616.675408E-47.1805064E-40.01022122214.2346810.009510.0066553920.00715985570.0218836743.05644080.01483
6.69.661896E-61.0289153E-50.0013002759126.373470.001294.1407468E-54.4095712E-50.003193956872.4323650.003155.040193E-45.367493E-40.00877232716.3434330.008240.0050287770.0053561340.0181074683.38069750.01282
6.77.767871E-68.199772E-60.0011481905140.02710.001143.329045E-53.5141486E-50.002825043480.390550.002794.0523586E-44.2777733E-40.00770466318.010920.007280.0040449770.00427089070.0153832283.60187820.01116
6.86.4235196E-66.7358133E-69.6672936E-4143.520819.6E-42.752908E-52.8867524E-50.002258803278.247210.002233.35115E-43.5141825E-40.0061493817.498750.00580.0033461010.00350988560.0124185083.53815150.00894
6.93.1283696E-63.112201E-65.6311046E-4180.93645.6E-41.3407229E-51.3337944E-50.0013633199102.2136460.001351.6322079E-41.6237888E-40.003601820222.1815810.003440.00163100950.00162275070.00692413374.26691150.00531
7.02.290603E-62.2286956E-62.8222808E-4126.633742.8E-49.816834E-69.551524E-67.99544E-483.708537.9E-41.19513395E-41.1628464E-40.002216040419.0570350.00210.00119449140.001162340.0043686093.75846030.00321
7.11.293693E-61.1776893E-61.1117756E-494.403131.1E-45.5443866E-65.047234E-63.6504542E-472.3258363.6E-46.750081E-56.144904E-50.001111384518.0862790.001056.7480316E-46.1438896E-40.00226337533.6839450.00165
7.24.715842E-73.0917863E-71.0309175E-533.343751.0E-52.0210737E-61.3250507E-61.1325037E-58.5468711.0E-52.4606294E-51.6132379E-55.6131732E-53.47944574.0E-52.460357E-41.6131261E-42.3130132E-41.43387017.0E-5
7.33.9430947E-72.3097442E-71.0230972E-544.2948271.0E-51.6898966E-69.8989E-71.098988E-511.1021221.0E-52.0574296E-51.2051845E-54.2051484E-53.48921543.0E-52.0572392E-41.2051199E-41.8050477E-41.49781576.0E-5
7.43.547123E-71.9679048E-71.0196789E-551.8154561.0E-51.5201948E-68.433875E-71.0843379E-512.8569361.0E-51.8508214E-51.0268195E-54.0267885E-53.9216133.0E-51.8506673E-41.0267727E-41.6267112E-41.58429536.0E-5
7.52.6354266E-71.4423068E-71.4423068E-71.00.01.129468E-66.1813137E-76.1813137E-71.00.01.3751187E-57.525724E-61.7525648E-52.32876591.0E-51.3750336E-47.525474E-51.1525173E-41.5314884.0E-5
7.61.269913E-77.572499E-87.572499E-81.00.05.4424834E-73.2453565E-73.2453565E-71.00.06.6262032E-63.9512147E-63.9512147E-61.00.06.626006E-53.951148E-55.951069E-51.5061622.0E-5

Owl Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.0320643E-56.636041E-50.001516264222.8489280.001452.1564208E-42.84377E-40.004153276314.6048260.003870.00262228120.00345771180.014369854.15588430.010950.025915530.0341423970.0531987661.55814390.01973
6.15.0320643E-56.636041E-50.001516264222.8489280.001452.1564208E-42.84377E-40.004153276314.6048260.003870.00262228120.00345771180.014369854.15588430.010950.025915530.0341423970.0531987661.55814390.01973
6.22.4125871E-53.098217E-50.001190946238.439730.001161.0339249E-41.3277512E-40.003082383423.2150690.002950.00125807660.00161551020.0099021016.1293960.00830.0125097810.0160710980.0309284241.9244750.0151
6.31.7433485E-52.2356866E-50.001012334745.280719.9E-47.471279E-59.58125E-50.002685564328.0293730.002599.0924866E-40.00116603010.0084075767.2104280.007250.0090553730.0116293250.0244781432.10486360.013
6.41.7433485E-52.2356866E-50.001012334745.280719.9E-47.471279E-59.58125E-50.002685564328.0293730.002599.0924866E-40.00116603010.0084075767.2104280.007250.0090553730.0116293250.0244781432.10486360.013
6.51.5182742E-51.9430483E-59.894116E-450.920599.7E-46.506727E-58.32717E-50.002583063431.0197070.00257.919061E-40.00101349670.0079364737.83078340.006930.00789090.0101187970.0222052472.19445510.01221
6.66.7271576E-68.548313E-68.285413E-496.924548.2E-42.8830356E-53.6635145E-50.00203656255.5903850.0023.5095305E-44.4594728E-40.00582354813.0588260.005380.00350399320.0044679260.01345758053.01204180.00903
6.76.682835E-68.480754E-68.284738E-497.688698.2E-42.8640408E-53.6345617E-50.00203627356.025270.0023.4864116E-44.4242368E-40.00581004813.1323170.005370.0034809470.004432870.013402933.0235330.00901
6.86.5774975E-68.32722E-68.283204E-499.471438.2E-42.8188972E-53.5687626E-50.002025616656.7596320.001993.4314668E-44.3441588E-40.005782091513.3100380.005350.00342617280.00435304870.0132640893.04708030.00895
6.96.363419E-68.000376E-68.279938E-4103.494378.2E-42.727151E-53.4286906E-50.002024218759.0376630.001993.3198006E-44.173687E-40.00576513613.8130530.005350.00331484550.0041830120.0130856163.12827590.00894
7.06.1342453E-67.632552E-68.2762627E-4108.433768.2E-42.6289357E-53.271056E-50.002012645861.5289340.001983.2002592E-43.9818377E-40.005716065414.3553450.005320.00319565440.0039916780.0128262713.21325330.00887
7.15.842926E-67.1430604E-67.771376E-4108.7961657.7E-42.504087E-53.0612788E-50.001940554463.3903160.001913.0482994E-43.7265237E-40.00550074114.7610510.005130.00304412140.00373728180.0122951783.2898720.00859
7.24.77173E-65.359158E-64.8535658E-490.565834.8E-42.045011E-52.296764E-50.001172941251.0692940.001152.4895166E-42.795992E-40.003538687712.6562870.003260.00248672930.0028087470.0083531312.97397040.00556
7.33.0494948E-62.7108347E-61.7271038E-463.7111431.7E-41.3069198E-51.1617813E-53.1161433E-426.8221193.0E-41.5910587E-41.4143785E-48.813332E-46.23124037.4E-40.00158991990.00142334180.0028712782.01727940.00145
7.42.7263884E-62.3060104E-61.0230578E-444.364841.0E-41.1684469E-59.882864E-62.0988089E-421.2368472.0E-41.4224913E-41.2031734E-45.902608E-44.90586664.7E-40.00142158110.00121130120.00217013831.79157619.6E-4
7.52.6090431E-62.1659357E-68.216576E-537.935468.0E-51.1181565E-59.282549E-61.5928116E-417.1592041.5E-41.3612706E-41.1300927E-44.729686E-44.18521933.6E-40.0013604370.00113808320.00191719551.6845837.8E-4
7.62.3008756E-61.8730968E-65.1873005E-527.693715.0E-59.860858E-68.027534E-61.0802673E-413.45702651.0E-41.20049335E-49.7730925E-53.6770455E-43.76241762.7E-40.0011998459.851726E-40.0015546111.57800895.7E-4
7.71.7184348E-61.3421906E-62.1342164E-515.9009932.0E-57.3646997E-65.752233E-63.5752062E-56.2153363.0E-58.966153E-57.003123E-51.8002352E-42.5706181.1E-48.962536E-47.08018E-49.978127E-41.40930412.9E-4
7.88.4612907E-78.408234E-71.0840815E-512.8930931.0E-53.6262625E-63.6035242E-61.3603488E-53.7750511.0E-54.4148852E-54.3872045E-58.387029E-51.91170234.0E-54.414008E-44.440713E-45.5402244E-41.24759791.1E-4
7.92.716738E-73.7693766E-73.7693766E-71.00.01.1643157E-61.6154462E-61.6154462E-61.00.01.4175452E-51.9667892E-51.9667892E-51.00.01.4174548E-41.9836401E-42.1836004E-41.10080472.0E-5
8.02.1995428E-83.38572E-83.38572E-81.00.09.426611E-81.4510229E-71.4510229E-71.00.01.1476893E-61.7666197E-61.7666197E-61.00.01.14768345E-51.7871007E-51.7871007E-51.00.0

Airport Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2387061E-51.31032575E-50.0020330767155.158130.002025.3086325E-55.6155768E-50.004985878788.786580.004936.461343E-46.835104E-40.01223560917.901130.011560.00644258880.00681689150.0245849383.60647340.01789
6.11.2387061E-51.31032575E-50.0020330767155.158130.002025.3086325E-55.6155768E-50.004985878788.786580.004936.461343E-46.835104E-40.01223560917.901130.011560.00644258880.00681689150.0245849383.60647340.01789
6.21.2387061E-51.31032575E-50.0020330767155.158130.002025.3086325E-55.6155768E-50.004985878788.786580.004936.461343E-46.835104E-40.01223560917.901130.011560.00644258880.00681689150.0245849383.60647340.01789
6.31.2387061E-51.31032575E-50.0020330767155.158130.002025.3086325E-55.6155768E-50.004985878788.786580.004936.461343E-46.835104E-40.01223560917.901130.011560.00644258880.00681689150.0245849383.60647340.01789
6.41.2387061E-51.31032575E-50.0020330767155.158130.002025.3086325E-55.6155768E-50.004985878788.786580.004936.461343E-46.835104E-40.01223560917.901130.011560.00644258880.00681689150.0245849383.60647340.01789
6.56.9922594E-67.38498E-60.0015673734212.2380.001562.996648E-53.164956E-50.0037215329117.58560.003693.6478083E-43.8527072E-40.00904193423.4690420.008660.0036418260.00384656530.017374334.51684240.01358
6.66.9922594E-67.38498E-60.0015673734212.2380.001562.996648E-53.164956E-50.0037215329117.58560.003693.6478083E-43.8527072E-40.00904193423.4690420.008660.0036418260.00384656530.017374334.51684240.01358
6.75.477277E-65.7861116E-60.0013857781239.500760.001382.3473833E-52.4797408E-50.0032547172131.252320.003232.8575645E-43.0187052E-40.007769615425.738240.007470.00285389270.00301498850.0145999544.8424580.01162
6.83.9950432E-64.2191186E-60.0010942145259.34670.001091.7121502E-51.8081826E-50.0025480362140.916960.002532.0843433E-42.2012675E-40.005948865327.0247270.005730.00208238930.0021993580.01102989355.01505140.00885
6.92.95695E-63.1230477E-67.1312085E-4228.341327.1E-41.2672582E-51.3384434E-50.0018233602136.22990.001811.5427776E-41.6294557E-40.00430227126.4031180.004140.0015417070.00162848330.0080779634.96042160.00646
7.01.456072E-61.5408239E-62.715404E-4176.230652.7E-46.2402937E-66.60352E-67.4659864E-4113.060717.4E-47.597293E-58.03959E-50.002030239225.253020.001957.594696E-48.03767E-40.0037613884.67969940.00296
7.16.995192E-77.4090326E-71.0074083E-4135.970291.0E-42.997936E-63.1752998E-63.531742E-4111.2254643.5E-43.649926E-53.8659273E-50.001038620626.8660140.0013.6493264E-43.8659273E-40.00192599744.98198030.00154

Panamint Valley

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0211835E-53.3984965E-50.001193945535.131580.001161.2947287E-41.4564188E-40.003235191822.2133350.003090.00157519230.00177177730.010665996.0199390.008910.0156407360.0175821240.0328587221.86887110.01555
6.13.0211835E-53.3984965E-50.001193945535.131580.001161.2947287E-41.4564188E-40.003235191822.2133350.003090.00157519230.00177177730.010665996.0199390.008910.0156407360.0175821240.0328587221.86887110.01555
6.23.0211835E-53.3984965E-50.001193945535.131580.001161.2947287E-41.4564188E-40.003235191822.2133350.003090.00157519230.00177177730.010665996.0199390.008910.0156407360.0175821240.0328587221.86887110.01555
6.32.8573924E-53.2103115E-50.001142067535.5749740.001111.2245393E-41.3757768E-40.003127166322.7301880.002990.0014898570.00167374910.0101295736.0520260.008470.014799080.016617140.0310728681.86992870.0147
6.42.8573924E-53.2103115E-50.001142067535.5749740.001111.2245393E-41.3757768E-40.003127166322.7301880.002990.0014898570.00167374910.0101295736.0520260.008470.014799080.016617140.0310728681.86992870.0147
6.52.7468774E-53.0828793E-50.001110795536.031110.001081.1771801E-41.3211685E-40.00302173522.8716850.002890.00143227450.00160736320.0098540876.1305910.008260.0142307820.0159629770.0300839081.88460520.01435
6.62.6135967E-52.925278E-50.001079222136.8929750.001051.1200648E-41.2536318E-40.002945009623.4918230.002820.00136282570.00152525460.0094930836.2239330.007980.0135449820.0151534240.0287147611.89493550.01377
6.72.4498746E-52.7341659E-50.001027314337.5732230.0011.04990395E-41.1717342E-40.002866851224.4667360.002750.00127750840.00142567790.00908474256.37222670.007670.0127018930.0141706690.0271540411.91621450.01317
6.82.2244329E-52.4935984E-59.649125E-438.6955879.4E-49.532935E-51.06864245E-40.002666590724.9530680.002560.00116001690.00130031750.0084110596.46846630.007120.0115398020.0129320510.0248854441.92432310.01211
6.91.9902658E-52.2290773E-58.422725E-437.78578.2E-48.529431E-59.552849E-50.00244530425.5976410.002350.00103796350.00116245740.00744514546.4046610.006290.0103312880.0115683340.0221544371.91509320.01071
7.01.8353881E-52.0566635E-58.0055057E-438.9247257.8E-47.865712E-58.8139845E-50.00220795325.0505660.002129.5722964E-40.0010725920.00684639256.3830350.005780.0095311680.0106784380.0203441081.90515780.00977
7.11.7667631E-51.9773011E-57.597584E-438.4240077.4E-47.571623E-58.473882E-50.002114566724.9539320.002039.2145515E-40.00103122450.006605476.4054630.005580.0091764370.0102686260.0196314851.91179280.00946
7.21.6381597E-51.8158586E-56.881464E-437.8964776.7E-47.020495E-57.782029E-50.001927676324.7708720.001858.544101E-49.4706746E-40.0059423326.2744550.0050.0085113250.0094343420.017834341.89036380.00848
7.31.4520491E-51.596705E-56.0595764E-437.9505045.9E-46.222919E-56.842852E-50.001638321123.9420810.001577.57377E-48.3281496E-40.00489942545.882970.004070.00754800950.0082993840.0153503751.849580.00711
7.41.2852287E-51.4145931E-55.941377E-442.000615.8E-45.5080065E-56.06241E-50.001580531926.0710160.001526.7039346E-47.378643E-40.00466496456.32225280.003930.00668374640.00735639830.0141262271.92026410.00682
7.51.1637851E-51.28372185E-55.828299E-445.4015735.7E-44.987555E-55.501558E-50.001564932528.4452610.001516.070656E-46.696245E-40.00451704636.74564080.003850.0060540990.00667828370.0132640071.986140.00663
7.63.0068115E-63.3332262E-62.8333228E-485.002422.8E-41.2886271E-51.4285218E-57.642745E-453.5010767.5E-41.5687906E-41.7391593E-40.002043590611.7504520.001870.00156768350.00173867830.00490316662.8200540.00317

Garlock (East)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5092507E-56.290799E-50.001002848815.9415199.4E-41.9323928E-42.695803E-40.002828890210.4936820.002560.00235014970.00327764680.0104241463.1803750.007170.0232545040.0323444940.0454078431.40388170.0135
6.14.5092507E-56.290799E-50.001002848815.9415199.4E-41.9323928E-42.695803E-40.002828890210.4936820.002560.00235014970.00327764680.0104241463.1803750.007170.0232545040.0323444940.0454078431.40388170.0135
6.22.6674514E-53.451465E-58.044881E-423.3085987.7E-41.1431433E-41.4791173E-40.002107621914.24918650.001960.00139088840.00179937090.0069600683.86805650.005170.013822150.0178633180.0270954021.5168180.0094
6.32.6674514E-53.451465E-58.044881E-423.3085987.7E-41.1431433E-41.4791173E-40.002107621914.24918650.001960.00139088840.00179937090.0069600683.86805650.005170.013822150.0178633180.0270954021.5168180.0094
6.42.5312667E-53.2343483E-57.923189E-424.4970197.6E-41.0847834E-41.3860772E-40.002078338814.9943940.001940.00131992370.00168627220.00678765544.0252430.005110.0131211120.0167641860.0258787831.54369450.00927
6.52.5312667E-53.2343483E-57.923189E-424.4970197.6E-41.0847834E-41.3860772E-40.002078338814.9943940.001940.00131992370.00168627220.00678765544.0252430.005110.0131211120.0167641860.0258787831.54369450.00927
6.62.246556E-52.8137678E-57.581171E-426.9431327.3E-49.627742E-51.20584606E-40.00199035916.5059150.001870.00117154720.00146715240.0063699494.3417090.004910.0116539010.0146049340.0232468491.5917120.00877
6.72.2241198E-52.7807404E-57.577871E-427.2512727.3E-49.531594E-51.1916928E-40.001988946516.6900940.001870.00115985380.00144994390.0063228684.3607680.004880.0115381870.0144348240.0230388081.59605740.00873
6.81.9528685E-52.3901322E-57.0388505E-429.4496296.8E-48.369167E-51.0243033E-40.001852251118.0830350.001750.00101846980.00124639540.0058007124.653990.004560.0101381470.0124380750.0204175751.64153830.00808
6.91.3318621E-51.5200952E-56.651911E-443.759836.5E-45.7078556E-56.514534E-50.001685039825.8658520.001626.9470983E-47.928616E-40.0048796196.15443940.004090.00692542040.0079409630.0150242641.89199530.00714
7.01.1760853E-51.3109707E-56.631012E-450.5809336.5E-45.0402683E-55.6183275E-50.001656093429.4766250.00166.134799E-46.838217E-40.00468108666.8454780.0040.00611789060.0068574920.0137101761.99929880.0069
7.11.0064758E-51.0904764E-56.508978E-459.6893046.4E-44.3133965E-54.6733887E-50.00160666134.378930.001565.2502943E-45.6884E-40.00437667277.6940310.003810.0052379070.0057137980.0121766592.1310970.0065
7.29.768808E-61.0500609E-56.504939E-461.9482046.4E-44.186565E-54.5001856E-50.001604931735.6636770.001565.095951E-45.477633E-40.0043256937.89701030.003780.00508428040.00550420950.0118888732.159960.00642
7.39.344516E-69.946213E-65.9994037E-460.318475.9E-44.004731E-54.262595E-50.001512563335.4845660.001474.8746695E-45.188508E-40.00409699327.89628360.003580.00486399050.0052158810.0112741162.1614980.00609
7.49.023491E-69.492341E-65.5948715E-458.94095.5E-43.867153E-54.0680847E-50.001340627932.9547730.00134.7072413E-44.951801E-40.00363362537.33798740.003140.0046972830.00497934270.0104022052.0890720.00545
7.57.081253E-67.089067E-62.7708715E-439.0865482.7E-43.0347876E-53.0381365E-56.2036345E-420.4192095.9E-43.6942272E-43.6983108E-40.00180929854.89222960.001440.0036880920.00372535480.00650496131.74613190.00279
7.66.116396E-65.960529E-61.5595963E-426.1654011.5E-42.6212863E-52.5544876E-53.455367E-413.5266543.2E-43.1909486E-43.1096474E-40.00117069733.76472698.6E-40.00318637070.0031367760.00483144351.54025770.0017
7.74.797145E-64.758607E-61.3475798E-428.3187891.3E-42.055903E-52.039387E-52.3038959E-411.2970012.1E-42.5027743E-42.4826723E-47.681381E-43.09399755.2E-40.00249995760.0025102940.00349780871.39338619.9E-4
7.83.4028885E-63.9797173E-68.39794E-521.101858.0E-51.4583726E-51.7055821E-51.2705395E-47.44930121.1E-41.775424E-42.076349E-45.075726E-42.44454383.0E-40.00177400620.002102060.00274071471.30382326.4E-4
7.92.5928412E-63.3735669E-66.3373365E-518.785276.0E-51.1112129E-51.4458064E-51.0445676E-47.224819.0E-51.3528178E-41.7601276E-43.9597406E-42.24968932.2E-40.00135199450.00178196970.00226111431.26888494.8E-4
8.01.3743648E-61.6739597E-63.167391E-518.9215493.0E-55.8901214E-67.1740933E-65.7173733E-57.9694725.0E-57.1709874E-58.734111E-51.7733325E-42.03035269.0E-57.1686733E-48.841624E-40.00105401211.19210241.7E-4
8.13.6733252E-73.1497066E-73.1497066E-71.00.01.5742813E-61.3498736E-61.3498736E-61.00.01.9166706E-51.6434604E-52.643444E-51.60846221.0E-51.9165053E-41.6648426E-41.8648093E-41.12011152.0E-5

Ash Hill

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.1545662E-52.3194681E-57.2317844E-431.178637.0E-49.2335285E-59.9402445E-50.001559257315.6863080.001460.00112360230.00120963280.0054544924.5092130.004250.0111793810.012038470.01948771.61878540.00754
6.12.1545662E-52.3194681E-57.2317844E-431.178637.0E-49.2335285E-59.9402445E-50.001559257315.6863080.001460.00112360230.00120963280.0054544924.5092130.004250.0111793810.012038470.01948771.61878540.00754
6.22.1545662E-52.3194681E-57.2317844E-431.178637.0E-49.2335285E-59.9402445E-50.001559257315.6863080.001460.00112360230.00120963280.0054544924.5092130.004250.0111793810.012038470.01948771.61878540.00754
6.31.0025529E-51.0747037E-52.7074423E-425.1924552.6E-44.2965847E-54.605799E-54.760382E-410.3356274.3E-45.229836E-45.60625E-40.00208976733.7275670.001530.0052175450.00559341950.0085070311.52089980.00293
6.41.0025529E-51.0747037E-52.7074423E-425.1924552.6E-44.2965847E-54.605799E-54.760382E-410.3356274.3E-45.229836E-45.60625E-40.00208976733.7275670.001530.0052175450.00559341950.0085070311.52089980.00293
6.56.9617327E-67.456704E-61.9745529E-426.4802361.9E-42.9835655E-53.1956963E-53.219477E-410.0744152.9E-43.6318856E-43.8901521E-40.00148858743.82655290.00110.00362595570.00388419670.0060358071.55393950.00216
6.64.9919777E-65.346739E-61.3534604E-425.3137571.3E-42.1394015E-52.2914432E-52.4290939E-410.6007172.2E-42.60441E-42.789542E-40.00112871714.04624568.5E-40.00260135970.00278669880.0044321011.59044840.00165
6.73.6630722E-63.9246606E-61.1392423E-429.027791.1E-41.5698786E-51.6819899E-51.7681721E-410.51238251.6E-41.9111596E-42.0476876E-48.446377E-44.1248376.4E-40.00190951680.0020463640.0032938061.60958960.00125
6.82.5599613E-62.7449514E-68.274473E-530.1443358.0E-51.0971216E-51.1764052E-51.4176252E-412.0504841.3E-41.3356637E-41.4322287E-45.8315985E-44.07169534.4E-40.00133486130.00143179060.00234048771.63465779.1E-4
6.91.7684905E-61.896889E-67.189676E-537.902467.0E-57.579223E-68.129524E-61.2812855E-415.7608921.2E-49.2273134E-59.8976954E-54.489423E-44.53582673.5E-49.223483E-49.897696E-40.00169906681.71662877.1E-4

Blackwater

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0708583E-53.309619E-55.3307967E-416.106985.0E-41.3160157E-41.4183388E-40.001461646610.3053430.001320.00160107140.00172559630.00540922863.13470130.003690.0158958510.0171358080.0242812321.41698780.00727
6.13.0708583E-53.309619E-55.3307967E-416.106985.0E-41.3160157E-41.4183388E-40.001461646610.3053430.001320.00160107140.00172559630.00540922863.13470130.003690.0158958510.0171358080.0242812321.41698780.00727
6.21.1707779E-51.2545242E-51.7254324E-413.753681.6E-45.017523E-55.3764266E-55.537374E-410.2993575.0E-46.107122E-46.5439293E-40.00194354882.97000270.001290.0060903660.0065256310.0089397741.36994780.00243
6.31.1707779E-51.2545242E-51.7254324E-413.753681.6E-45.017523E-55.3764266E-55.537374E-410.2993575.0E-46.107122E-46.5439293E-40.00194354882.97000270.001290.0060903660.0065256310.0089397741.36994780.00243
6.47.929244E-68.480176E-69.847941E-511.6128979.0E-53.3982033E-53.6343128E-53.2633258E-48.979212.9E-44.136527E-44.4239179E-40.00128202022.89792948.4E-40.00412883560.00441551670.0060084521.36075850.0016
6.55.8832115E-66.286048E-65.6285735E-58.9540735.0E-52.521352E-52.6939942E-52.1693483E-48.0525351.9E-43.0693135E-43.2794697E-48.577732E-42.61558495.3E-40.00306507780.00327488340.00434137931.32565920.00107
6.65.8832115E-66.286048E-65.6285735E-58.9540735.0E-52.521352E-52.6939942E-52.1693483E-48.0525351.9E-43.0693135E-43.2794697E-48.577732E-42.61558495.3E-40.00306507780.00327488340.00434137931.32565920.00107
6.73.0715053E-63.281496E-62.3281431E-57.09476142.0E-51.3163528E-51.4063485E-56.4062784E-54.55525645.0E-51.6025416E-41.7121063E-44.1116955E-42.4015422.4E-40.00160138650.00171090190.00220006361.28590874.9E-4
6.82.2722281E-62.4287758E-62.2428727E-59.2345812.0E-59.738084E-61.0409003E-56.040848E-55.8034845.0E-51.1855473E-41.2672316E-43.0670036E-42.42023921.8E-40.0011849150.00126659920.00161615581.27598053.5E-4
6.99.952399E-71.0653588E-61.0653588E-61.00.04.265307E-64.5658185E-61.4565773E-53.1901781.0E-55.1928873E-55.5587938E-51.15584604E-42.0793116.0E-55.191674E-45.5579096E-47.057076E-41.26973571.5E-4
7.04.7385504E-75.0756074E-75.0756074E-71.00.02.0308057E-62.1752603E-61.2175238E-55.5971411.0E-52.4724779E-52.6483794E-54.6483263E-51.75515882.0E-52.4722028E-42.6483793E-42.9482998E-41.11324683.0E-5

Hunter Mountain-Saline Valley

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5103672E-55.4570846E-56.7453703E-412.3607586.2E-41.9328714E-42.3385457E-40.00182348277.79750730.001590.0023507310.00284363890.0069020652.42719480.004070.0232601950.028092290.0349053631.24252460.00701
6.14.5103672E-55.4570846E-56.7453703E-412.3607586.2E-41.9328714E-42.3385457E-40.00182348277.79750730.001590.0023507310.00284363890.0069020652.42719480.004070.0232601950.028092290.0349053631.24252460.00701
6.23.9363465E-54.7064215E-56.570355E-413.9604056.1E-41.6868966E-42.0168893E-40.00177137238.7826950.001570.0020518620.00245293070.00648302072.64296940.004040.0203301960.0242737010.0310842711.2805740.00698
6.33.9363465E-54.7064215E-56.570355E-413.9604056.1E-41.6868966E-42.0168893E-40.00177137238.7826950.001570.0020518620.00245293070.00648302072.64296940.004040.0203301960.0242737010.0310842711.2805740.00698
6.43.2311684E-53.7952268E-56.379295E-416.8087336.0E-41.384713E-41.6264283E-40.001722389110.590010.001560.00168458430.00197844670.0059904933.0278770.004020.0167187140.0196164570.0264399261.34784410.00696
6.53.2311684E-53.7952268E-56.379295E-416.8087336.0E-41.384713E-41.6264283E-40.001722389110.590010.001560.00168458430.00197844670.0059904933.0278770.004020.0167187140.0196164570.0264399261.34784410.00696
6.62.9305844E-53.4182984E-56.3416245E-418.5519926.0E-41.2559042E-41.4649061E-40.001706262111.6475870.001560.00152799090.00178212580.00579496153.2517130.004020.0151752720.0176855960.0245028591.38546970.00694
6.72.7826512E-53.2345313E-56.323259E-419.5492276.0E-41.19251024E-41.3861575E-40.001698399512.2525720.001560.00145091420.00168640060.0056996213.37975530.004020.0144147760.016743060.0235471971.40638550.00692
6.82.3389874E-52.6867581E-56.2685146E-423.3311466.0E-41.0023846E-41.15141964E-40.001674962314.5469320.001560.001219720.00140099930.00541536743.86536050.004020.012130470.01392721850.020731121.48853280.0069
6.92.069209E-52.3570803E-56.135569E-426.0303765.9E-48.867737E-51.0101402E-40.001640858516.2438680.001540.00107911230.00122918790.00520429574.233930.003980.0107388710.0122282570.0190043711.55413570.00686
7.01.7462342E-51.9634203E-56.096226E-431.0490135.9E-47.483646E-58.4144E-50.001624014519.3004190.001549.1075303E-40.00102399430.0049899294.8730050.003970.0090702950.01019572650.0169758851.66500010.00685
7.11.4807709E-51.644232E-55.964328E-436.2742465.8E-46.3460066E-57.046528E-50.001600357522.7112920.001537.723524E-48.5759355E-40.0048042065.60196160.003950.0076967350.008545160.0153167971.79245280.00683
7.21.4180048E-51.5698888E-55.956898E-437.944715.8E-46.077022E-56.727931E-50.00158717723.5908640.001527.396263E-48.1883394E-40.0047556085.80778030.003940.00737169430.0081604520.0149247981.8289180.00682
7.31.3730402E-51.5172614E-55.951638E-439.226195.8E-45.8843252E-56.502396E-50.001584925124.374480.001527.161811E-47.9139526E-40.0047182855.9619830.003930.0071387740.0078880350.0146443171.85652290.00681
7.41.2810095E-51.4109794E-55.941016E-442.1056185.8E-45.489925E-56.0469236E-50.001580377326.135230.001526.681934E-47.359801E-40.0046630886.33588840.003930.0066618780.0073376540.0140976851.92127950.00681
7.51.1595659E-51.2801082E-55.827938E-445.5269175.7E-44.9694736E-55.4860713E-50.001564777928.522740.001516.0486543E-46.677402E-40.0045151696.76186560.003850.0060322170.0066595270.01323544051.98744460.00662
7.62.997694E-63.3253514E-62.8332442E-485.201352.8E-41.28471975E-51.4251469E-57.642408E-453.6254047.5E-41.564034E-41.735051E-40.002043180611.7759110.001870.00156293370.00173456620.0048990682.82437630.00317

Garlock (West)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.5181727E-52.5201914E-55.1518955E-420.4424784.9E-41.0791722E-41.08003755E-40.001197886111.0911520.001090.00131310020.00131415590.0040405683.0746490.002730.0130536830.013144240.0179798341.36788690.0049
6.12.5077732E-52.5102956E-55.1509065E-420.5191234.9E-41.0747157E-41.07579675E-40.001197462411.1309350.001090.0013076810.0013089990.00403542543.0828330.002730.0130001260.0130932810.0179291241.36933780.0049
6.22.494612E-52.4984645E-55.1497243E-420.6115554.9E-41.0690756E-41.0707267E-40.001196955911.1789120.001090.00130082240.00130283370.0040292773.09270260.002730.0129323410.0130323510.0178684931.37108740.0049
6.32.4733758E-52.4804003E-55.147919E-420.7543854.9E-41.0599751E-41.0629856E-40.001196182711.2530470.001090.00128975560.00129342010.0040198893.10795330.002730.0128229570.0129393150.0177759121.37379090.0049
6.42.3237335E-52.3183304E-55.1317195E-422.135414.9E-49.958477E-59.9353245E-50.001189244911.9698650.001090.00121177020.00120895730.0039356573.25541420.002730.0120518380.012104160.016934971.39910330.00489
6.52.2732203E-52.299767E-55.129864E-422.3060174.9E-49.742009E-59.8557735E-50.001188450312.0584170.001090.00118544420.00119928270.00392600853.27363090.002730.0117914030.0120084640.0168397431.40232280.00489
6.62.1319436E-52.1777872E-55.117672E-423.4994134.9E-49.136581E-59.333041E-50.001183228712.6778470.001090.0011118110.00113570770.00386260733.40105750.002730.0110626490.011379370.0162038371.42396630.00488
6.71.970802E-52.039774E-55.1038776E-425.0217784.9E-48.446021E-58.741597E-50.001177320713.4680280.001090.0010278180.00106377150.00379086733.56361060.002730.0102307710.0106670940.0154950391.45260170.00488
6.81.8744462E-51.9905396E-55.098956E-425.615954.9E-48.033094E-58.530606E-50.00117521313.7764310.001099.775903E-40.00103810810.0037652743.6270540.002730.0097330090.0104128970.0152420821.46376960.00488
6.91.7559682E-51.8957733E-55.0894846E-426.8464834.9E-47.5253614E-58.124491E-50.001171156314.4151360.001099.158276E-49.887093E-40.00371601013.75844570.002730.00912062450.0099234270.01474509951.48588790.00487
7.01.6794445E-51.8220519E-55.082116E-427.892274.9E-47.197421E-57.8085606E-50.001168000514.957950.001098.759337E-49.5027895E-40.00367768463.87011080.002730.0087248910.0095423310.0143658591.50548740.00487
7.11.6337795E-51.7721295E-54.977128E-428.0855754.8E-47.0017246E-57.5946205E-50.001155864215.2195120.001088.521265E-49.242542E-40.00363174943.9293840.002710.0084886640.00928408650.0140890581.51754930.00485
7.21.5780008E-51.716991E-54.9716164E-428.9554044.8E-46.762685E-57.358326E-50.001143504515.540280.001078.2304585E-48.9550926E-40.00358310044.00118730.002690.0082000420.0089989120.0137755371.53080030.00482
7.31.5058865E-51.6622957E-54.8661514E-429.2736824.7E-46.45364E-57.12393E-50.001131163815.8783660.001067.854473E-48.669946E-40.00353467984.0769340.002670.007826770.008715590.0134440181.5425250.00477
7.41.4887923E-51.6458913E-54.8645117E-429.5554874.7E-46.380382E-57.05363E-50.001110462915.7431420.001047.7653467E-48.584423E-40.0034462194.0145030.002590.00773826750.0086304170.0132799411.53873680.00469
7.51.4509299E-51.6050892E-54.260443E-426.5433434.1E-46.218123E-56.8787725E-50.00100872314.66428859.4E-47.567935E-48.3716994E-40.00315522783.76892140.002320.00754221340.0084187570.0126924711.50764210.00431
7.61.2756717E-51.40547745E-52.6405125E-418.78732.5E-45.4670498E-56.023336E-56.601972E-410.9606576.0E-46.6541E-47.3309505E-40.00226197353.08551170.001530.0066342110.007383740.0101928441.38044460.00283
7.71.0328985E-51.1464304E-52.1146201E-418.4452552.0E-44.4266326E-54.913181E-54.5911167E-49.3444894.1E-45.388092E-45.98016E-40.0016074122.6879080.001010.00537504670.00604061220.0078396791.29782860.00181
7.87.0306583E-68.902713E-61.4890147E-416.7254031.4E-43.0131043E-53.815393E-53.0814362E-48.0763282.7E-43.667837E-44.6442522E-40.00115410472.48501756.9E-40.0036617890.0046970.00590131661.25640120.00121
7.94.060633E-65.467275E-67.5466894E-513.8033847.0E-51.7402595E-52.3430968E-51.7342746E-47.4016341.5E-42.11856E-42.852348E-46.9511787E-42.43700224.1E-40.00211654140.00288524040.00362310511.25573787.4E-4
8.01.6729537E-62.0781215E-63.207806E-515.4360853.0E-57.169782E-68.906205E-67.8905585E-58.8596197.0E-58.7288594E-51.0842768E-42.1841575E-42.01439121.1E-48.7254314E-40.00109730680.00130707631.19116772.1E-4
8.13.6733252E-73.1497066E-73.1497066E-71.00.01.5742813E-61.3498736E-61.3498736E-61.00.01.9166706E-51.6434604E-52.643444E-51.60846221.0E-51.9165053E-41.6648426E-41.8648093E-41.12011152.0E-5

Gravel Hills-Harper Lk

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0679566E-53.146516E-53.614548E-411.4874613.3E-41.3147724E-41.3484493E-49.94729E-47.3768368.6E-40.00159955990.00164071770.00382712462.33259180.002190.0158809520.0163076130.0203800981.24972920.00414
6.13.0679566E-53.146516E-53.614548E-411.4874613.3E-41.3147724E-41.3484493E-49.94729E-47.3768368.6E-40.00159955990.00164071770.00382712462.33259180.002190.0158809520.0163076130.0203800981.24972920.00414
6.21.514536E-51.363538E-59.363429E-56.867018.0E-56.490707E-55.84361E-53.184209E-45.4490442.6E-47.8995706E-47.112392E-40.00134079111.8851486.3E-40.0078715480.00709083020.0083816121.18203530.0013
6.31.514536E-51.363538E-59.363429E-56.867018.0E-56.490707E-55.84361E-53.184209E-45.4490442.6E-47.8995706E-47.112392E-40.00134079111.8851486.3E-40.0078715480.00709083020.0083816121.18203530.0013
6.41.2532521E-51.0689813E-55.0689385E-54.741844.0E-55.37097E-54.5812714E-52.0580538E-44.492321.6E-46.537194E-45.576329E-49.2742656E-41.6631493.7E-40.00651799650.00556292660.00644797551.15909788.9E-4
6.51.1094058E-59.083761E-64.90834E-55.40342244.0E-54.7545094E-53.8929848E-51.3892596E-43.56862331.0E-45.787078E-44.7387183E-46.737771E-41.42185512.0E-40.00577203040.00472902130.00528637271.11785775.6E-4
6.69.688328E-67.531771E-62.7531622E-53.6553982.0E-54.1520743E-53.2278636E-58.227702E-52.5489625.0E-55.053978E-43.9292406E-45.128769E-41.30528251.2E-40.00504249940.003922550.00426121661.08633833.4E-4
6.78.974824E-66.7494793E-61.674941E-52.48158571.0E-53.8462964E-52.8926032E-56.892488E-52.38279754.0E-54.6818596E-43.521197E-44.520845E-41.28389431.0E-40.0046720080.00351583890.00374503041.06518832.3E-4
6.87.4780046E-65.1162397E-65.1162397E-61.00.03.20482E-52.1926564E-54.1926127E-51.91211562.0E-53.9011694E-42.6692462E-43.0691395E-41.14981514.0E-50.00389432810.00266617820.00275593831.03366619.0E-5
6.96.3409307E-63.9075294E-63.9075294E-61.00.02.7175134E-51.6746453E-53.6746118E-52.19426272.0E-53.3080703E-42.0386997E-42.3386386E-41.14712263.0E-50.00330315020.00203692770.00209680551.02939626.0E-5
7.05.1239335E-62.605876E-62.605876E-61.00.02.195953E-51.1167994E-52.1167882E-51.8954061.0E-52.6732447E-41.359621E-41.5595937E-41.14707982.0E-50.00267003130.00135881430.00138877361.02204813.0E-5
7.14.438899E-62.0984924E-62.0984924E-61.00.01.9023713E-58.993509E-61.899342E-52.1119031.0E-52.315891E-41.0949069E-41.294885E-41.18264392.0E-50.0023134790.00109438940.00112435651.02738253.0E-5
7.23.50367E-61.2615886E-61.2615886E-61.00.01.5015643E-55.4067978E-61.5406744E-52.84951351.0E-51.8280011E-46.582586E-58.582454E-51.3038122.0E-50.00182649826.5807183E-46.8805204E-41.04555773.0E-5
7.32.561638E-67.1188435E-77.1188435E-71.00.01.0978401E-53.0509295E-63.0509295E-61.00.01.3365384E-43.7144455E-53.7144455E-51.00.00.00133573493.7138443E-43.8138073E-41.02691631.0E-5
7.42.0368864E-65.3046045E-75.3046045E-71.00.08.729483E-62.2734E-62.2734E-61.00.01.06276275E-42.7678298E-52.7678298E-51.00.00.00106225472.7674905E-42.8674628E-41.03612391.0E-5
7.51.1681728E-63.6029326E-73.6029326E-71.00.05.0064455E-61.544113E-61.544113E-61.00.06.0951766E-51.879942E-51.879942E-51.00.06.093505E-41.8797876E-41.8797876E-41.00.0
7.61.3154387E-77.119745E-87.119745E-81.00.05.6375933E-73.051319E-73.051319E-71.00.06.863748E-63.7149762E-63.7149762E-61.00.06.863536E-53.7149297E-53.7149297E-51.00.0

McLean Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.7360222E-51.8501789E-51.8849864E-410.188131.7E-47.439883E-57.929125E-55.792516E-47.30536655.0E-49.0542925E-49.64992E-40.0026733422.77032540.001710.0090174910.0096128580.013326811.38635250.00375
6.19.062689E-69.592268E-67.95916E-58.2974747.0E-53.8839516E-54.110912E-53.1109803E-47.56761552.7E-44.727685E-45.003975E-40.00141993712.83761849.2E-40.00471763960.00499359050.00698360341.39851340.002
6.29.062689E-69.592268E-67.95916E-58.2974747.0E-53.8839516E-54.110912E-53.1109803E-47.56761552.7E-44.727685E-45.003975E-40.00141993712.83761849.2E-40.00471763960.00499359050.00698360341.39851340.002
6.37.2575485E-67.667767E-65.7667385E-57.52075345.0E-53.110341E-53.2861484E-52.3285492E-47.08595232.0E-43.786182E-44.0002225E-40.00111973432.79917987.2E-40.00377973750.0039937270.00557737661.39653440.00159
6.47.2575485E-67.667767E-65.7667385E-57.52075345.0E-53.110341E-53.2861484E-52.3285492E-47.08595232.0E-43.786182E-44.0002225E-40.00111973432.79917987.2E-40.00377973750.0039937270.00557737661.39653440.00159
6.56.06582E-66.4039245E-65.6403605E-58.8076625.0E-52.5996113E-52.7445138E-51.9744047E-47.19400551.7E-43.164567E-43.340998E-49.73886E-42.91495516.4E-40.00316006430.00333661380.00469207621.40623890.00136
6.65.598744E-65.910306E-64.591007E-57.76779944.0E-52.3994397E-52.5329673E-51.8532563E-47.3165421.6E-42.9209262E-43.083515E-49.181634E-42.97765186.1E-40.00291708970.00307986580.0043359851.40784870.00126
6.75.246996E-65.539203E-64.553898E-58.2212154.0E-52.2486933E-52.3739261E-51.8373546E-47.73972941.6E-42.73744E-42.8899353E-48.688259E-43.00638535.8E-40.00273407040.0028868010.00407336561.4110310.00119
6.84.02324E-64.246936E-64.4246764E-510.4185154.0E-51.7242342E-51.820106E-51.5819851E-48.691721.4E-42.099053E-42.2158133E-46.214927E-42.80480624.0E-40.00209707140.00221418820.00305232851.37853168.4E-4
6.96.835972E-77.1399705E-72.0713982E-529.0113012.0E-52.9296991E-63.0599856E-62.3059923E-57.5359592.0E-53.56685E-53.7255006E-59.725277E-52.6104626.0E-53.5662777E-43.7251884E-45.124667E-41.37567991.4E-4

Goldstone Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.671352E-53.0376643E-51.303736E-44.2919031.0E-41.1448149E-41.3018023E-45.3012813E-44.07226324.0E-40.0013929210.00158398820.00296180231.86983860.001380.0138422220.015746480.0187484531.19064410.00305
6.12.671352E-53.0376643E-51.303736E-44.2919031.0E-41.1448149E-41.3018023E-45.3012813E-44.07226324.0E-40.0013929210.00158398820.00296180231.86983860.001380.0138422220.015746480.0187484531.19064410.00305
6.21.4197047E-51.6096526E-57.609556E-54.72745236.0E-56.0843064E-56.898385E-52.6897006E-43.89902952.0E-47.4051257E-48.396533E-40.00146912431.74967976.3E-40.0073804980.0083745060.0098619431.1776150.0015
6.31.4197047E-51.6096526E-57.609556E-54.72745236.0E-56.0843064E-56.898385E-52.6897006E-43.89902952.0E-47.4051257E-48.396533E-40.00146912431.74967976.3E-40.0073804980.0083745060.0098619431.1776150.0015
6.41.3238931E-51.5008722E-57.500782E-54.99761536.0E-55.6737044E-56.432206E-52.643092E-44.10915332.0E-46.9055456E-47.8293774E-40.00141244451.80403176.3E-40.0068841260.00781141970.0092401721.18290540.00144
6.51.3238931E-51.5008722E-57.500782E-54.99761536.0E-55.6737044E-56.432206E-52.643092E-44.10915332.0E-46.9055456E-47.8293774E-40.00141244451.80403176.3E-40.0068841260.00781141970.0092401721.18290540.00144
6.61.1328278E-51.2855392E-55.2854877E-54.1114954.0E-54.8548856E-55.509391E-52.1508509E-43.90397211.6E-45.90922E-46.706576E-40.00117032231.74503685.0E-40.00589353130.0066957260.0078380261.17060140.00115
6.78.651175E-69.824737E-64.9824346E-55.0713164.0E-53.707594E-54.210585E-51.4210163E-43.3748671.0E-44.5130608E-45.126087E-48.524344E-41.6629343.4E-40.00450390620.0051231410.00587924761.14758657.6E-4
6.81.0215377E-61.1754901E-61.1754901E-61.00.04.378012E-65.0378057E-65.0378057E-61.00.05.3300988E-56.1333674E-59.133183E-51.48909773.0E-55.3288206E-46.131787E-46.5315416E-41.06519394.0E-5
6.97.9360774E-79.2835677E-79.2835677E-71.00.03.4011714E-63.978666E-63.978666E-61.00.04.1408475E-54.8439255E-54.8439255E-51.00.04.140076E-44.8429397E-44.8429397E-41.00.0
7.07.4382757E-78.747494E-78.747494E-71.00.03.1878285E-63.748921E-63.748921E-61.00.03.8811122E-54.5642224E-54.5642224E-51.00.03.8804344E-44.5633517E-44.5633517E-41.00.0
7.16.4709513E-77.711456E-77.711456E-71.00.02.773262E-63.3049057E-63.3049057E-61.00.03.376394E-54.0236544E-54.0236544E-51.00.03.375881E-44.0229855E-44.0229855E-41.00.0
7.26.356704E-77.588514E-77.588514E-71.00.02.7242988E-63.2522166E-63.2522166E-61.00.03.3167835E-53.9595077E-53.9595077E-51.00.03.3162883E-43.9588616E-43.9588616E-41.00.0
7.35.7695723E-76.896703E-76.896703E-71.00.02.4726714E-62.9557268E-62.9557268E-61.00.03.0104358E-53.598544E-53.598544E-51.00.03.0100282E-43.5980184E-43.5980184E-41.00.0
7.45.209647E-76.1936277E-76.1936277E-71.00.02.232704E-62.6544094E-62.6544094E-61.00.02.718283E-53.231701E-53.231701E-51.00.02.7179506E-43.2312868E-43.2312868E-41.00.0
7.54.512955E-75.3489794E-75.3489794E-71.00.01.934122E-62.292418E-62.292418E-61.00.02.3547682E-52.7909884E-52.7909884E-51.00.02.3545188E-42.790691E-42.790691E-41.00.0
7.62.21172E-72.6040198E-72.6040198E-71.00.09.478797E-71.1160082E-61.1160082E-61.00.01.1540374E-51.3587343E-51.3587343E-51.00.01.1539775E-41.3586794E-41.3586794E-41.00.0

So Sierra Nevada

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.15488665E-51.1079688E-51.9107769E-417.2457661.8E-44.9494203E-54.7483583E-55.474598E-411.5294555.0E-46.024253E-45.7797204E-40.00203712823.52461360.001460.0060079480.00576595780.0083907361.45521970.00264
6.11.15488665E-51.1079688E-51.9107769E-417.2457661.8E-44.9494203E-54.7483583E-55.474598E-411.5294555.0E-46.024253E-45.7797204E-40.00203712823.52461360.001460.0060079480.00576595780.0083907361.45521970.00264
6.21.15488665E-51.1079688E-51.9107769E-417.2457661.8E-44.9494203E-54.7483583E-55.474598E-411.5294555.0E-46.024253E-45.7797204E-40.00203712823.52461360.001460.0060079480.00576595780.0083907361.45521970.00264
6.31.15488665E-51.1079688E-51.9107769E-417.2457661.8E-44.9494203E-54.7483583E-55.474598E-411.5294555.0E-46.024253E-45.7797204E-40.00203712823.52461360.001460.0060079480.00576595780.0083907361.45521970.00264
6.41.15488665E-51.1079688E-51.9107769E-417.2457661.8E-44.9494203E-54.7483583E-55.474598E-411.5294555.0E-46.024253E-45.7797204E-40.00203712823.52461360.001460.0060079480.00576595780.0083907361.45521970.00264
6.51.15488665E-51.1079688E-51.9107769E-417.2457661.8E-44.9494203E-54.7483583E-55.474598E-411.5294555.0E-46.024253E-45.7797204E-40.00203712823.52461360.001460.0060079480.00576595780.0083907361.45521970.00264
6.67.587044E-66.935655E-69.693503E-513.9763349.0E-53.2515498E-52.9723915E-53.497144E-411.7654223.2E-43.9580427E-43.6183148E-40.00124151313.43119148.8E-40.0039510.00361271530.0051371881.42197420.00153
6.77.587044E-66.935655E-69.693503E-513.9763349.0E-53.2515498E-52.9723915E-53.497144E-411.7654223.2E-43.9580427E-43.6183148E-40.00124151313.43119148.8E-40.0039510.00361271530.0051371881.42197420.00153
6.85.9026956E-65.179403E-66.517909E-512.5842876.0E-52.5297022E-52.2197259E-52.4219237E-410.9109132.2E-43.0794772E-42.702193E-48.900517E-43.2938136.2E-40.00307521320.00269902330.00374618941.38797960.00105
6.95.0118915E-64.2524307E-66.425218E-515.1095186.0E-52.1479358E-51.8224579E-52.0822111E-411.4252911.9E-42.614798E-42.2186238E-47.317492E-43.29821235.1E-40.00261172350.00221648140.00306459751.38264078.5E-4
7.04.4924795E-63.7139203E-64.371377E-511.770254.0E-51.925334E-51.5916707E-51.85914E-411.6804311.7E-42.3438422E-41.9376932E-46.23686E-43.21870354.3E-40.00234137170.00193606650.00263471131.36085787.0E-4
7.13.9118436E-63.111977E-64.3111853E-513.8535254.0E-51.6764936E-51.33369795E-51.1333565E-48.4978491.0E-42.0409399E-41.623662E-44.523191E-42.78579622.9E-40.00203906630.00162253180.00213170421.31381365.1E-4
7.23.4200818E-62.6054513E-63.2605374E-512.514293.0E-51.4657411E-51.1166175E-51.0116517E-49.0599679.0E-51.7843937E-41.359402E-43.9590485E-42.91234562.6E-40.00178296150.00135862010.0017880361.31606764.3E-4
7.32.6593618E-61.8284135E-63.182836E-517.4076373.0E-51.13972155E-57.836036E-67.783549E-59.9330187.0E-51.3875226E-49.539985E-52.8538174E-42.99142721.9E-40.00138665659.53618E-40.00124334141.3038152.9E-4
7.42.2577992E-61.4364293E-62.14364E-514.9233942.0E-59.676246E-66.1561127E-66.615574E-510.746356.0E-51.1780193E-47.4948344E-52.449356E-43.26805881.7E-40.0011773957.4925576E-40.00100906091.3467512.6E-4
7.51.489319E-67.35383E-71.0735375E-514.5983451.0E-56.3827797E-63.1516379E-62.3151575E-57.34588672.0E-57.770758E-53.837052E-51.1836745E-43.0848548.0E-57.7680405E-43.836394E-45.1358953E-41.33872991.3E-4
7.61.0680322E-64.6595343E-71.0465948E-522.4613631.0E-54.577273E-61.9969418E-61.1996922E-56.0076471.0E-55.5726876E-52.4312498E-56.431153E-52.64520434.0E-55.5712904E-42.4309864E-43.0308406E-41.24675336.0E-5
7.75.509146E-71.5579108E-71.5579108E-71.00.02.3610605E-66.676759E-76.676759E-71.00.02.8745531E-58.128925E-68.128925E-61.00.02.8741814E-48.1286395E-58.1286395E-51.00.0

San Andreas (Mojave S)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.1064058E-46.7471585E-48.845742E-41.31103222.1E-40.00133063760.00288856330.0033871191.17259655.0E-40.0160806050.034570210.0358349231.03658390.001310.14965490.28665140.28829211.00572370.0023
6.13.1064058E-46.7471585E-48.845742E-41.31103222.1E-40.00133063760.00288856330.0033871191.17259655.0E-40.0160806050.034570210.0358349231.03658390.001310.14965490.28665140.28829211.00572370.0023
6.23.1064058E-46.7471585E-48.845742E-41.31103222.1E-40.00133063760.00288856330.0033871191.17259655.0E-40.0160806050.034570210.0358349231.03658390.001310.14965490.28665140.28829211.00572370.0023
6.33.1064058E-46.7471585E-48.845742E-41.31103222.1E-40.00133063760.00288856330.0033871191.17259655.0E-40.0160806050.034570210.0358349231.03658390.001310.14965490.28665140.28829211.00572370.0023
6.41.9872203E-44.31896E-46.3180964E-41.46287442.0E-48.5138786E-40.00184969810.00229886571.24283294.5E-40.0103164780.022293670.0234278091.05087270.001160.0985048560.197056070.198661971.00814940.002
6.51.291105E-42.8762486E-44.8756736E-41.69515012.0E-45.5321335E-40.00123209840.00163160571.32424944.0E-40.0067145920.0148984480.01589341.06678240.001010.0651529650.1381180.139609051.01079550.00173
6.61.291105E-42.8762486E-44.8756736E-41.69515012.0E-45.5321335E-40.00123209840.00163160571.32424944.0E-40.0067145920.0148984480.01589341.06678240.001010.0651529650.1381180.139609051.01079550.00173
6.71.08001186E-42.4343564E-44.2339182E-41.73923521.8E-44.6278012E-40.00104287910.00142248281.36399593.8E-40.00561980160.0126234320.0135910611.07665349.8E-40.0547979060.1192281840.12072551.01255830.0017
6.81.0624356E-42.3861213E-44.185692E-41.75418231.8E-44.5525006E-40.00102222320.00140183481.37135883.8E-40.00552859250.0123748220.0133426941.07821319.8E-40.0539305660.1171725240.118673331.01280860.0017
6.91.0393785E-42.3231508E-44.1227325E-41.77462981.8E-44.4537184E-49.952566E-40.00137487851.38143113.8E-40.00540892870.0120501760.0130183671.08034669.8E-40.052791560.114468280.115973681.01315130.0017
7.01.0155622E-42.2601044E-44.0596977E-41.79624341.8E-44.3516833E-49.68257E-40.00133789881.381763.7E-40.0052853110.0117250350.0126836621.0817599.7E-40.051613610.111724330.113216641.0133570.00168
7.19.885595E-52.188942E-43.9885478E-41.82213511.8E-44.2359953E-49.3778106E-40.0013074341.39417843.7E-40.00514513530.0113579120.0123070091.08356269.6E-40.050276290.1086050.110093631.01370680.00167
7.29.6411415E-52.1252372E-43.9248547E-41.84678441.8E-44.1312634E-49.104983E-40.00127017061.39502793.6E-40.0050182190.0110291540.0119587871.08428869.4E-40.0490640070.105795920.107262411.01386150.00164
7.39.1180635E-51.9480525E-43.747702E-41.92381971.8E-43.907156E-48.3461264E-40.00119431221.43097783.6E-40.0047465910.0101141780.0110446711.09199889.4E-40.0464647860.097989970.099469271.01509640.00164
7.48.887388E-51.8729005E-43.6725635E-41.96089611.8E-43.8083247E-48.024248E-40.0011621361.44828023.6E-40.00462678170.00972585750.0106567141.09570969.4E-40.0453162860.09462560.096101361.01559580.00163
7.58.6750515E-51.8060463E-43.5057394E-41.94111251.7E-43.7173493E-47.7379035E-40.00112351951.45196893.5E-40.0045164840.0093802880.0103015651.0982149.3E-40.044257870.091589090.093060721.01606770.00162
7.68.453092E-51.7447997E-43.444503E-41.97415391.7E-43.6222505E-47.4755703E-40.00108730281.45447483.4E-40.00440117530.00906360.0099752611.1005859.2E-40.043150240.088746760.090213871.01653150.00161
7.78.259102E-51.6970029E-43.3967145E-42.00159621.7E-43.539135E-47.270843E-40.00106683711.46728123.4E-40.0043003860.0088163890.0097282781.10343119.2E-40.0421811340.086497030.0879677761.01700330.00161
7.87.444844E-51.5291499E-42.928936E-41.91540131.4E-43.1902574E-46.5518543E-49.4499544E-41.44233272.9E-40.00387722230.0079477560.0086818751.0923687.4E-40.038102690.0783255550.079532951.01541510.00131
7.95.2586525E-51.0011774E-41.7011072E-41.69910687.0E-52.2535135E-44.2900548E-45.9893256E-41.39609541.7E-40.00274020060.0052106440.0056582991.08591164.5E-40.0270665740.0522248070.0529925081.01469988.1E-4
8.03.379877E-55.4103475E-58.4101855E-51.5544633.0E-51.4484383E-42.3185145E-43.118329E-41.34496868.0E-50.00176204710.0028191390.00294877261.04598331.3E-40.0174814090.0288490520.029101551.00875252.6E-4
8.11.8668277E-51.9321345E-51.9321345E-51.00.08.000444E-58.280314E-59.2802315E-51.12075841.0E-59.736188E-40.00100766260.00102764251.0198282.0E-50.0096936420.0108051320.0108446991.0036624.0E-5
8.28.541571E-65.4646152E-65.4646152E-61.00.03.660622E-52.341957E-52.341957E-51.00.04.455896E-42.8509603E-42.8509603E-41.00.00.00444697170.00324294250.00324294251.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6647797E-77.6647797E-71.00.08.498917E-63.2849016E-63.2849016E-61.00.01.034694E-43.999296E-53.999296E-51.00.00.00103421244.7228087E-44.7228087E-41.00.0

Coyote Canyon

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.5090034E-54.036512E-59.03631E-52.23864325.0E-51.503772E-41.7298336E-44.4293667E-42.56057382.7E-40.00182930470.00210429540.0031321281.4884450.001030.0181431940.0208696160.0229062081.09758640.00208
6.13.5090034E-54.036512E-59.03631E-52.23864325.0E-51.503772E-41.7298336E-44.4293667E-42.56057382.7E-40.00182930470.00210429540.0031321281.4884450.001030.0181431940.0208696160.0229062081.09758640.00208
6.21.841879E-52.1060194E-55.105956E-52.42445833.0E-57.8935285E-59.0255424E-52.102446E-42.32943991.2E-49.606133E-40.00109840790.00155790271.41832794.6E-40.00956471450.0109398750.0119981691.09673740.00107
6.31.841879E-52.1060194E-55.105956E-52.42445833.0E-57.8935285E-59.0255424E-52.102446E-42.32943991.2E-49.606133E-40.00109840790.00155790271.41832794.6E-40.00956471450.0109398750.0119981691.09673740.00107
6.41.712201E-51.9565581E-54.9564995E-52.53327473.0E-57.337798E-58.385037E-52.038403E-42.43100071.2E-48.930107E-40.00102050070.00146005161.43072094.4E-40.0088943070.01016806250.0111776921.09929410.00102
6.51.4744935E-51.6837288E-54.6836783E-52.78172953.0E-56.3191044E-57.215834E-51.7215112E-42.38574121.0E-47.6907943E-48.782672E-40.00126792471.44366623.9E-40.0076642320.0087571590.009659191.10300499.1E-4
6.61.2017839E-51.3724348E-54.3723936E-53.18586643.0E-55.150401E-55.8817805E-51.388131E-42.36005238.0E-56.268809E-47.159601E-40.00102573821.4326753.1E-40.00625115450.00714522830.00789979751.10560467.6E-4
6.71.00956095E-51.1533734E-54.153339E-53.60103563.0E-54.326618E-54.9429844E-51.1942638E-42.41607867.0E-55.266384E-46.0172915E-48.615727E-41.43182812.6E-40.0052539210.0060095260.00667549951.11081976.7E-4

Lenwood-Lockhart-Old Woman Springs

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.744542E-54.3963868E-51.4395946E-43.27449511.0E-41.604705E-41.8840394E-45.683323E-43.0165633.8E-40.00195197760.0022915770.00342896441.49633410.001140.0193492060.0226974750.0248279941.09386590.00218
6.13.744542E-54.3963868E-51.4395946E-43.27449511.0E-41.604705E-41.8840394E-45.683323E-43.0165633.8E-40.00195197760.0022915770.00342896441.49633410.001140.0193492060.0226974750.0248279941.09386590.00218
6.23.744542E-54.3963868E-51.4395946E-43.27449511.0E-41.604705E-41.8840394E-45.683323E-43.0165633.8E-40.00195197760.0022915770.00342896441.49633410.001140.0193492060.0226974750.0248279941.09386590.00218
6.32.1079984E-52.5354482E-55.535372E-52.18319273.0E-59.0339665E-51.0865765E-42.3864354E-42.19628831.3E-40.00109933040.00132212420.00171160851.29458993.9E-40.0109390790.0131447980.0140230991.06681748.9E-4
6.42.1079984E-52.5354482E-55.535372E-52.18319273.0E-59.0339665E-51.0865765E-42.3864354E-42.19628831.3E-40.00109933040.00132212420.00171160851.29458993.9E-40.0109390790.0131447980.0140230991.06681748.9E-4
6.51.7397282E-52.0663358E-55.0662737E-52.45181543.0E-57.455765E-58.855431E-52.0854369E-42.35498071.2E-49.073613E-40.00107762720.00141726081.3151683.4E-40.0090366540.0107253110.0114474811.06733337.3E-4
6.61.52050325E-51.7680148E-54.7679616E-52.69678833.0E-56.51628E-57.57699E-51.7576232E-42.31968521.0E-47.9306826E-49.2211604E-40.0012418211.34670793.2E-40.0079024390.0091837610.00983771.0712066.6E-4
6.71.332523E-51.5264432E-54.5263976E-52.96532323.0E-55.7106878E-56.5417385E-51.554115E-42.3756919.0E-56.950544E-47.961715E-40.00103598041.30120252.4E-40.0069288450.00793382150.0084794571.06877355.5E-4
6.81.1525329E-51.3031408E-53.303115E-52.53473352.0E-54.9393333E-55.584772E-51.458427E-42.61143529.0E-56.011979E-46.797381E-48.8959537E-41.30873252.1E-40.005995740.00677704160.00720412751.06301954.3E-4
6.91.0253909E-51.15148705E-53.151464E-52.73686432.0E-54.3944583E-54.9348535E-51.2934458E-42.62104238.0E-55.3489394E-46.006564E-48.0053625E-41.3327692.0E-40.00533608250.00599070820.00634855171.0597333.6E-4
7.08.104563E-68.9914565E-61.8991366E-52.11215691.0E-53.4733377E-53.8534257E-58.853233E-52.29749685.0E-54.2279682E-44.69056E-45.98995E-41.27702241.3E-40.00421993340.0046809080.00492973771.05315842.5E-4
7.16.7986157E-67.5159987E-61.7515924E-52.3304851.0E-52.91366E-53.221104E-57.220975E-52.24177034.0E-53.5468035E-43.9210095E-44.7206957E-41.20394918.0E-50.0035411480.0039143080.00408364231.04326051.7E-4
7.25.6893327E-66.2801455E-61.6280082E-52.59230971.0E-52.4382627E-52.6914644E-56.691357E-52.48613984.0E-52.9681803E-43.276385E-44.076123E-41.24409158.0E-50.0029642190.00327175320.00343122961.04874351.6E-4
7.34.253348E-64.707082E-64.707082E-61.00.01.8228506E-52.0173064E-54.017266E-51.99140112.0E-52.2190946E-42.455812E-42.9556893E-41.20354875.0E-50.002216880.00245327920.00256300931.04472791.1E-4
7.42.5448119E-62.8520615E-62.8520615E-61.00.01.0906291E-51.2223072E-53.222283E-52.63622982.0E-51.3277601E-41.488074E-41.8880145E-41.26876384.0E-50.0013269670.00148723970.00155713561.04699717.0E-5
7.54.3706837E-84.5629356E-84.5629356E-81.00.01.8731501E-71.9555438E-71.9555438E-71.00.02.2805577E-62.3808725E-62.3808725E-61.00.02.2805343E-52.3808525E-52.3808525E-51.00.0

Death Valley (So)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.0684236E-52.5618914E-56.561789E-52.56130654.0E-58.864371E-51.09790824E-43.4976448E-43.1857352.4E-40.00107870290.00133590050.0022946181.71765649.6E-40.0107348170.013281370.0153238771.15378740.00207
6.12.0684236E-52.5618914E-56.561789E-52.56130654.0E-58.864371E-51.09790824E-43.4976448E-43.1857352.4E-40.00107870290.00133590050.0022946181.71765649.6E-40.0107348170.013281370.0153238771.15378740.00207
6.22.0684236E-52.5618914E-56.561789E-52.56130654.0E-58.864371E-51.09790824E-43.4976448E-43.1857352.4E-40.00107870290.00133590050.0022946181.71765649.6E-40.0107348170.013281370.0153238771.15378740.00207
6.32.0240292E-52.511899E-56.511799E-52.59238084.0E-58.6741224E-51.0764847E-43.1762588E-42.95058422.1E-40.00105556260.00130984890.002208671.68620229.0E-40.0105056280.0130239250.0149781381.15004790.00198
6.42.0240292E-52.511899E-56.511799E-52.59238084.0E-58.6741224E-51.0764847E-43.1762588E-42.95058422.1E-40.00105556260.00130984890.002208671.68620229.0E-40.0105056280.0130239250.0149781381.15004790.00198
6.51.9962767E-52.4808238E-55.4807493E-52.20924573.0E-58.55519E-51.0631679E-42.9629658E-42.7869221.9E-40.00104109680.00129365490.00217251641.67936338.8E-40.0103623270.0128638690.0147591711.14733530.00192
6.61.8937297E-52.331202E-55.331132E-52.28685983.0E-58.115732E-59.9904915E-52.4988994E-42.50127771.5E-49.876423E-40.00121567820.00204466911.68191658.3E-40.0098326450.0120927650.0138216031.14296460.00175
6.71.8621096E-52.2912649E-55.291196E-52.30929043.0E-57.980225E-59.819346E-52.4817872E-42.52744671.5E-49.711593E-40.00119486420.00197393211.65201397.8E-40.0096692610.0118868650.013507371.13632740.00164
6.81.7830353E-52.1806614E-55.180596E-52.37569933.0E-57.641356E-59.345365E-52.4343963E-42.60492371.5E-49.29938E-40.00113721830.00186638811.64118727.3E-40.0092605610.0113169190.01284937751.1354130.00155
6.91.3135183E-51.5304342E-52.5304189E-51.65339931.0E-55.6292425E-56.558842E-51.7558121E-42.67701531.1E-46.8514474E-47.9825294E-40.00122790971.53824644.3E-40.0068303620.0079548680.0089766751.12845050.00103
7.01.1507512E-51.315447E-52.3154338E-51.76018791.0E-54.9316975E-55.6375116E-51.3637061E-42.41898588.0E-56.002687E-46.861567E-49.959439E-41.45148183.1E-40.00598649870.00684105330.00758592231.10888227.5E-4
7.19.715903E-61.086547E-51.086547E-51.00.04.1638916E-54.6565492E-58.656363E-51.85896524.0E-55.068359E-45.667917E-46.96718E-41.22923111.3E-40.00505681480.00565375340.00597194441.05627953.2E-4
7.29.233269E-61.0286476E-51.0286476E-51.00.03.9570554E-54.4084176E-56.4083295E-51.45365752.0E-54.81665E-45.365969E-46.3654326E-41.18625961.0E-40.00480622330.0053534440.00556231941.03901712.1E-4
7.38.8041315E-69.808313E-69.808313E-61.00.03.7731446E-54.2034975E-56.203413E-51.47577432.0E-54.592835E-45.1165983E-46.116087E-41.19534231.0E-40.00458335460.00510524450.00529427451.03702661.9E-4
7.48.708749E-69.707323E-69.707323E-61.00.03.7322676E-54.1602176E-56.160134E-51.48072412.0E-54.5430884E-45.06393E-46.0634234E-41.1973751.0E-40.0045338120.00505281660.00524185641.03741281.9E-4
7.58.612678E-69.604964E-69.604964E-61.00.03.6910955E-54.116351E-56.116268E-51.48584722.0E-54.492982E-45.010547E-45.9100956E-41.17953119.0E-50.0044839090.00499967530.0051787751.03582241.8E-4
7.68.319024E-69.28406E-69.28406E-61.00.03.5652476E-53.9788243E-55.978745E-51.50264112.0E-54.3398244E-44.8431839E-45.742748E-41.18573829.0E-50.00433135870.0048330530.00500223131.03500451.7E-4
7.77.4718328E-68.3453E-68.3453E-61.00.03.2021748E-53.57651E-54.5764744E-51.27959221.0E-53.8979502E-44.3535716E-45.153223E-41.18367728.0E-50.003891120.0043454480.0044947961.03436891.5E-4
7.83.4586725E-73.648288E-73.648288E-71.00.01.4822873E-61.5635511E-61.5635511E-61.00.01.80467E-51.9036073E-51.9036073E-51.00.01.8045233E-41.9034486E-41.9034486E-41.00.0
7.92.5591178E-92.6696871E-92.6696871E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.1441516E-81.1441516E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3930045E-71.3930045E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3930046E-61.3930046E-61.00.0

San Andreas (Mojave N)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.877682E-51.9410432E-44.2405966E-42.18469982.3E-44.2326056E-48.3161064E-40.00134118651.61275785.1E-40.00514102770.0100779830.0112262931.11394240.001160.050237080.0983610150.100227411.01897490.00207
6.19.877682E-51.9410432E-44.2405966E-42.18469982.3E-44.2326056E-48.3161064E-40.00134118651.61275785.1E-40.00514102770.0100779830.0112262931.11394240.001160.050237080.0983610150.100227411.01897490.00207
6.29.877682E-51.9410432E-44.2405966E-42.18469982.3E-44.2326056E-48.3161064E-40.00134118651.61275785.1E-40.00514102770.0100779830.0112262931.11394240.001160.050237080.0983610150.100227411.01897490.00207
6.39.877682E-51.9410432E-44.2405966E-42.18469982.3E-44.2326056E-48.3161064E-40.00134118651.61275785.1E-40.00514102770.0100779830.0112262931.11394240.001160.050237080.0983610150.100227411.01897490.00207
6.49.877682E-51.9410432E-44.2405966E-42.18469982.3E-44.2326056E-48.3161064E-40.00134118651.61275785.1E-40.00514102770.0100779830.0112262931.11394240.001160.050237080.0983610150.100227411.01897490.00207
6.59.861474E-51.9384196E-44.2379738E-42.18630362.3E-44.2256617E-48.3048694E-40.00134006341.61358755.1E-40.00513261320.0100644290.0112127541.11409740.001160.0501567460.098238560.10010521.01900110.00207
6.69.861474E-51.9384196E-44.2379738E-42.18630362.3E-44.2256617E-48.3048694E-40.00134006341.61358755.1E-40.00513261320.0100644290.0112127541.11409740.001160.0501567460.098238560.10010521.01900110.00207
6.79.8552715E-51.9374148E-44.236969E-42.1869192.3E-44.223004E-48.300566E-40.00133963331.61390595.1E-40.00512939270.01005923750.0112075681.11415680.001160.0501259980.0981917750.100058521.01901110.00207
6.89.8464974E-51.9359306E-44.2354854E-42.1878292.3E-44.219245E-48.294209E-40.0013389981.61437685.1E-40.00512483760.010051570.011199911.11424480.001160.050082510.098122130.099989011.01902620.00207
6.99.825824E-51.9327311E-44.2322866E-42.1897962.3E-44.2103877E-48.2805054E-40.00133762821.61539455.1E-40.00511410460.0100350390.0111734991.11344850.001150.0499800220.097971370.099829551.01896660.00206
7.09.781462E-51.9258665E-44.2254236E-42.19403772.3E-44.1913814E-48.251105E-40.0013246981.60547955.0E-40.0050910730.0099995730.0111380731.11385490.001150.049760070.097647580.099506421.01903630.00206
7.19.7121134E-51.9160361E-44.2155955E-42.20016482.3E-44.1616702E-48.2090014E-40.00132048971.60858755.0E-40.0050550680.0099487810.011087341.1144420.001150.049416130.097183970.099043771.01913690.00206
7.29.663819E-51.9091136E-44.2086747E-42.20451762.3E-44.1409794E-48.179352E-40.00131752621.61079545.0E-40.00502999360.0099130120.0110516121.11485910.001150.0491765370.096857060.098717541.01920840.00206
7.39.6277574E-51.9043636E-44.2039258E-42.20752262.3E-44.125529E-48.1590074E-40.00131549281.61231965.0E-40.00501126940.0098884680.0110270961.11514710.001150.048997590.096630440.098491381.01925840.00206
7.49.593308E-51.8983395E-44.197903E-42.21135522.3E-44.1107697E-48.133206E-40.0013129141.61426385.0E-40.00499338240.009857340.0109960041.11551440.001150.048826610.096348740.098210261.01932060.00206
7.59.561707E-51.892946E-44.1925107E-42.21480732.3E-44.0972308E-48.1101054E-40.0013106051.61601485.0E-40.00497697430.0098294680.0109681651.11584510.001150.0486697440.096094950.0979571.01937710.00206
7.69.418194E-51.858169E-44.1577418E-42.23754762.3E-44.0357444E-47.961153E-40.00128572521.61499874.9E-40.0049024540.0096497390.0107787381.1169980.001140.0479570250.0944759850.096332311.01964870.00205
7.78.202141E-51.6029968E-43.6026762E-42.24746322.0E-43.51473E-46.868178E-40.00111652251.62564584.3E-40.004270790.0083300020.009391091.12738130.001070.041896390.082269860.084031911.02141790.00192
7.87.2859846E-51.452426E-42.8522225E-41.96376451.4E-43.1221908E-46.223198E-49.121393E-41.46570842.9E-40.0037946430.0075504630.0082848751.09726737.4E-40.0373049750.0747594460.0759715141.01621280.00131
7.95.3874453E-51.0051061E-41.7050357E-41.69637397.0E-52.3087008E-44.3068864E-46.0061546E-41.39454671.7E-40.00280722020.0052310380.00567868451.0855754.5E-40.027720220.0524493870.05321691.01463348.1E-4
8.03.468538E-55.4289703E-58.4288076E-51.55256093.0E-51.4864317E-42.3264941E-43.1263081E-41.3437858.0E-50.00180822830.00282882920.00295846161.04582541.3E-40.0179358530.0289617310.0292142011.00871742.6E-4
8.11.9152367E-51.9414629E-51.9414629E-51.00.08.207899E-58.3202896E-59.320206E-51.12017811.0E-59.988535E-40.00101252520.0010325051.01973262.0E-50.0099437570.0108625430.010902111.00364234.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.478665E-65.478665E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3479783E-52.3479783E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.8582895E-42.8582895E-41.00.00.00450013950.00325084690.00325084691.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6647797E-77.6647797E-71.00.08.498917E-63.2849016E-63.2849016E-61.00.01.034694E-43.999296E-53.999296E-51.00.00.00103421244.7228087E-44.7228087E-41.00.0

Nelson Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.913453E-61.0192293E-56.0191785E-55.9056175.0E-54.2485535E-54.3680586E-52.1367316E-44.89171931.7E-45.1713863E-45.316917E-40.00119134072.2406616.6E-40.00515936830.00530522360.00688678861.29811470.00159
6.19.913453E-61.0192293E-56.0191785E-55.9056175.0E-54.2485535E-54.3680586E-52.1367316E-44.89171931.7E-45.1713863E-45.316917E-40.00119134072.2406616.6E-40.00515936830.00530522360.00688678861.29811470.00159
6.24.5596407E-64.696332E-64.4696142E-59.5172464.0E-51.954117E-52.0126989E-51.20124976E-45.96835331.0E-42.3788778E-42.450198E-45.649414E-42.3056973.2E-40.00237633290.00244762260.0032755911.33827468.3E-4
6.34.5596407E-64.696332E-64.4696142E-59.5172464.0E-51.954117E-52.0126989E-51.20124976E-45.96835331.0E-42.3788778E-42.450198E-45.649414E-42.3056973.2E-40.00237633290.00244762260.0032755911.33827468.3E-4
6.43.4025713E-63.509912E-63.350981E-59.5471933.0E-51.4582367E-51.50423975E-51.0504104E-46.9829999.0E-51.7752586E-41.8312664E-44.6307535E-42.52871662.8E-40.0017738410.00182984040.00248863271.36002726.6E-4
6.52.8352947E-62.9278688E-63.2927783E-511.246333.0E-51.2151207E-51.2547953E-59.254695E-57.3754628.0E-51.479309E-41.5276136E-43.927247E-42.57083772.4E-40.00147832460.00152663750.00208578261.36625925.6E-4
6.62.251518E-62.3290781E-63.2329008E-513.8806023.0E-59.649328E-69.981729E-68.998093E-59.0145648.0E-51.1747423E-41.2152141E-43.5149345E-42.89244082.3E-40.00117412140.00121461120.00168404041.38648514.7E-4
6.71.8911853E-61.9591491E-63.195909E-516.312743.0E-58.105055E-68.39633E-67.8395744E-59.3369067.0E-59.867457E-51.022211E-43.0220064E-42.95634322.0E-49.863076E-40.00102179840.00142138961.39106674.0E-4
6.81.4874814E-61.5438383E-63.1543794E-520.4320563.0E-56.374905E-66.6164357E-65.6616103E-58.5568895.0E-57.76117E-58.055265E-52.0054299E-42.4895891.2E-47.75846E-48.052856E-40.00109505211.35983072.9E-4
6.96.835972E-77.1399705E-72.0713982E-529.0113012.0E-52.9296991E-63.0599856E-62.3059923E-57.5359592.0E-53.56685E-53.7255006E-59.725277E-52.6104626.0E-53.5662777E-43.7251884E-45.124667E-41.37567991.4E-4

Towne Pass

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.849728E-63.8945495E-61.1389412E-429.244491.1E-41.649873E-51.6690845E-53.2668567E-419.5727463.1E-42.0085352E-42.0319647E-40.00106302175.23149738.6E-40.00200672080.00203053580.00361730721.78145460.00159
6.13.849728E-63.8945495E-61.1389412E-429.244491.1E-41.649873E-51.6690845E-53.2668567E-419.5727463.1E-42.0085352E-42.0319647E-40.00106302175.23149738.6E-40.00200672080.00203053580.00361730721.78145460.00159
6.23.849728E-63.8945495E-61.1389412E-429.244491.1E-41.649873E-51.6690845E-53.2668567E-419.5727463.1E-42.0085352E-42.0319647E-40.00106302175.23149738.6E-40.00200672080.00203053580.00361730721.78145460.00159
6.33.849728E-63.8945495E-61.1389412E-429.244491.1E-41.649873E-51.6690845E-53.2668567E-419.5727463.1E-42.0085352E-42.0319647E-40.00106302175.23149738.6E-40.00200672080.00203053580.00361730721.78145460.00159
6.43.849728E-63.8945495E-61.1389412E-429.244491.1E-41.649873E-51.6690845E-53.2668567E-419.5727463.1E-42.0085352E-42.0319647E-40.00106302175.23149738.6E-40.00200672080.00203053580.00361730721.78145460.00159
6.51.1953545E-61.2030554E-63.120302E-525.9364783.0E-55.1229376E-65.1559423E-64.5155735E-58.7579994.0E-56.236998E-56.2771906E-52.0276311E-43.23015711.4E-46.235248E-46.275535E-49.173715E-41.4618222.9E-4
6.61.1953545E-61.2030554E-63.120302E-525.9364783.0E-55.1229376E-65.1559423E-64.5155735E-58.7579994.0E-56.236998E-56.2771906E-52.0276311E-43.23015711.4E-46.235248E-46.275535E-49.173715E-41.4618222.9E-4
6.78.375951E-78.4106983E-72.0841053E-524.7792192.0E-53.5896885E-63.6045803E-63.3604472E-59.3227143.0E-54.370358E-54.388494E-51.33881E-43.05072749.0E-54.3694986E-44.3876845E-46.386807E-41.45562122.0E-4
6.86.38041E-76.392181E-72.0639205E-532.2882042.0E-52.7344586E-62.7395035E-63.2739423E-511.9508593.0E-53.3291526E-53.3352986E-51.2334998E-43.69831929.0E-53.3286537E-43.334836E-44.8343357E-41.44964721.5E-4
6.95.3460053E-75.345356E-72.0534524E-538.4156342.0E-52.2911431E-62.290865E-63.2290798E-514.0954593.0E-52.789431E-52.789096E-59.788901E-53.50970397.0E-52.789081E-42.788779E-43.8884723E-41.39432791.1E-4
7.03.557783E-73.5324425E-72.0353236E-557.618032.0E-51.5247632E-61.513903E-63.1513857E-520.8162983.0E-51.8563835E-51.8431623E-55.8430884E-53.17014344.0E-51.8562283E-41.8430178E-42.5428887E-41.37974197.0E-5
7.13.037942E-73.00024E-72.0300018E-567.6613162.0E-51.3019744E-61.2858166E-63.1285777E-524.3314483.0E-51.5851423E-51.5654712E-55.5654084E-53.55510144.0E-51.5850292E-41.5653683E-42.2652588E-41.44710917.0E-5
7.22.0808248E-72.0217831E-72.0202175E-599.922562.0E-58.917818E-78.664782E-72.086646E-524.0819232.0E-51.0857389E-51.0549326E-53.0549116E-52.89583562.0E-51.0856859E-41.0548872E-41.5548345E-41.47393435.0E-5
7.31.1162073E-71.0636953E-71.0106369E-595.011881.0E-54.7837443E-74.5586933E-71.0455865E-522.93611.0E-55.8241935E-65.550197E-61.5550142E-52.80172781.0E-55.8240406E-55.5500783E-58.5499116E-51.54050293.0E-5

Bicycle Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.9621975E-52.2097447E-54.2097006E-51.90506182.0E-58.4091465E-59.470067E-51.946912E-42.05585861.0E-40.00102333270.00115250590.00165192961.43333735.0E-40.010186330.0114785990.0125659731.09473050.0011
6.11.9621975E-52.2097447E-54.2097006E-51.90506182.0E-58.4091465E-59.470067E-51.946912E-42.05585861.0E-40.00102333270.00115250590.00165192961.43333735.0E-40.010186330.0114785990.0125659731.09473050.0011
6.29.9971285E-61.1255827E-53.1255604E-52.77683732.0E-54.2844134E-54.8238664E-51.0823577E-42.24375566.0E-55.2150246E-45.8719947E-48.470468E-41.44251972.6E-40.00520280330.00586158460.0064978331.10854556.4E-4
6.39.589428E-61.0798527E-53.079831E-52.85208442.0E-54.10969E-54.627887E-51.0627609E-42.2964286.0E-55.002399E-45.633515E-48.132106E-41.44352272.5E-40.00499115330.00562432360.006250781.11138346.3E-4
6.49.589428E-61.0798527E-53.079831E-52.85208442.0E-54.10969E-54.627887E-51.0627609E-42.2964286.0E-55.002399E-45.633515E-48.132106E-41.44352272.5E-40.00499115330.00562432360.006250781.11138346.3E-4
6.55.557707E-66.2857107E-62.6285585E-54.18182.0E-52.3818526E-52.6938633E-56.693756E-52.48481634.0E-52.8995197E-43.2795538E-44.6790947E-41.42674731.4E-40.00289573940.00327735040.00361623621.10340243.4E-4
6.64.8742945E-65.5133855E-62.5513275E-54.62751532.0E-52.0889667E-52.3628729E-56.3627784E-52.69281464.0E-52.54302E-42.87668E-44.076335E-41.41702761.2E-40.0025401120.00287552530.00318463381.10749643.1E-4
6.73.991108E-64.515989E-62.4515899E-55.42868852.0E-51.7104636E-51.9354238E-55.9353464E-53.06669074.0E-52.0822904E-42.3563785E-43.4561194E-41.46670811.1E-40.00208034040.00235637860.00262574251.11431262.7E-4

San Andreas (San Bernardino N)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.4273766E-43.1614845E-44.361105E-41.37944851.2E-46.115894E-40.00135422440.00161387221.19173182.6E-40.00742070840.0163645350.016974391.03726696.2E-40.071777480.150366540.151275651.00604590.00107
6.11.4273766E-43.1614845E-44.361105E-41.37944851.2E-46.115894E-40.00135422440.00161387221.19173182.6E-40.00742070840.0163645350.016974391.03726696.2E-40.071777480.150366540.151275651.00604590.00107
6.21.4273766E-43.1614845E-44.361105E-41.37944851.2E-46.115894E-40.00135422440.00161387221.19173182.6E-40.00742070840.0163645350.016974391.03726696.2E-40.071777480.150366540.151275651.00604590.00107
6.31.3730655E-43.051962E-44.251596E-41.39306961.2E-45.883239E-40.00130733380.00156699391.1986182.6E-40.00713934420.0158020280.016412231.03861556.2E-40.069142910.145678270.14659241.00627490.00107
6.41.3730655E-43.051962E-44.251596E-41.39306961.2E-45.883239E-40.00130733380.00156699391.1986182.6E-40.00713934420.0158020280.016412231.03861556.2E-40.069142910.145678270.14659241.00627490.00107
6.51.2942807E-42.893405E-44.0930577E-41.41461621.2E-45.545738E-40.00123944660.00149912431.2095112.6E-40.00673105240.0149870980.0155978051.0407496.2E-40.065307880.138811950.139733421.00663830.00107
6.61.1125901E-42.537283E-43.7369787E-41.47282681.2E-44.767372E-40.00108695620.00134667361.23894012.6E-40.0057888390.0131540250.0137560011.04576366.1E-40.0564034540.1230562850.123985841.00755390.00106
6.71.02209575E-42.3507705E-43.450512E-41.46782171.1E-44.3796748E-40.00100708550.00125683371.24799112.5E-40.00531922470.0121927560.012785441.04860956.0E-40.0519369060.114856270.115759121.00786070.00102
6.89.610582E-52.2033554E-43.303113E-41.49912861.1E-44.1181705E-49.4395416E-40.00119371821.26459342.5E-40.00500235150.0114323460.0120156011.0510185.9E-40.0489123460.108227410.10912811.00832220.00101
6.99.3877505E-52.1489074E-43.248671E-41.5117781.1E-44.0227012E-49.2063594E-40.00117040581.27130142.5E-40.00488664540.0111513830.0117348031.05231825.9E-40.047805770.1058140840.1067172141.0085350.00101
7.09.1019785E-52.0815943E-43.1813653E-41.52833121.1E-43.900265E-48.9180743E-40.00114158451.28007962.5E-40.00473823770.0108039260.0113875511.05401985.9E-40.0463847440.102785990.103692181.00881620.00101
7.18.771155E-51.9990467E-43.098827E-41.55015231.1E-43.758525E-48.564535E-40.00110623941.29165142.5E-40.00456640640.0103776650.0109615421.05626295.9E-40.0447370560.0990941150.1000040251.00918230.00101
7.28.0830236E-51.8396029E-42.9394004E-41.59784511.1E-43.4636928E-47.8816316E-40.00102797411.30426552.4E-40.00420889440.0095537720.0101282321.0601295.8E-40.0413006580.091820460.0927286451.00989080.001
7.37.7668235E-51.7339372E-42.8337465E-41.63428441.1E-43.328214E-47.4290443E-49.827261E-41.32281642.4E-40.00404457330.0090074310.0095822061.06381135.8E-40.039717480.08709590.0880088061.01048160.001
7.47.520177E-51.6559374E-42.7557553E-41.66416631.1E-43.2225347E-47.0949446E-49.493242E-41.3380292.4E-40.00391637950.0086039490.0091789591.06683095.8E-40.0384807440.0835526660.084459951.01085889.9E-4
7.57.274697E-51.5846924E-42.584534E-41.63093731.0E-43.1173544E-46.789772E-49.08821E-41.33851482.3E-40.0037887750.0082352710.0088005771.06864455.7E-40.037248270.080269170.081170511.01122899.8E-4
7.67.1185845E-51.541672E-42.541518E-41.64854651.0E-43.0504653E-46.605493E-48.903974E-41.3479652.3E-40.00370761780.0080125850.0085780181.07056815.7E-40.0364636670.0782584250.079161731.01154269.8E-4
7.76.709961E-51.4325391E-42.4323958E-41.69796121.0E-42.8753807E-46.1380095E-48.4365974E-41.37448432.3E-40.0034951570.0074474590.0080132141.07596615.7E-40.0344069380.073086120.0739944951.01242899.8E-4
7.86.300812E-51.3209098E-42.2207909E-41.68125869.0E-52.7000686E-45.6598143E-47.858569E-41.38848532.2E-40.00328237870.0068690810.0074153031.07951895.5E-40.0323431750.06774270.068637661.01321139.6E-4
7.94.983037E-59.7286385E-51.5728055E-41.61667596.0E-52.1354125E-44.1687503E-45.7680835E-41.3836481.6E-40.00259676480.0050636520.00550142441.08645384.4E-40.0256662960.0506726470.0514226151.01480037.9E-4
8.03.2211527E-55.3333257E-58.333166E-51.56247083.0E-51.380421E-42.2855109E-43.0853282E-41.34995118.0E-50.00167936690.00277906070.00290869941.04664841.3E-40.0166673230.0283751560.028627781.00890292.6E-4
8.11.743376E-51.8835979E-51.8835979E-51.00.07.471398E-58.0723126E-59.072232E-51.12387031.0E-59.0926304E-49.823616E-40.0010023421.02033912.0E-50.0090555170.0104900860.0105296661.00377314.0E-5
8.27.831616E-65.158648E-65.158648E-61.00.03.3563636E-52.2108305E-52.2108305E-51.00.04.0856065E-42.6913546E-42.6913546E-41.00.00.0040781030.0030437870.0030437871.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6647797E-77.6647797E-71.00.08.498917E-63.2849016E-63.2849016E-61.00.01.034694E-43.999296E-53.999296E-51.00.00.00103421244.7228087E-44.7228087E-41.00.0

Paradise

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.4851273E-51.6694923E-58.6693755E-55.1928217.0E-56.364676E-57.1547845E-52.4153569E-43.37586241.7E-47.7462377E-48.707705E-40.00132037861.51633374.5E-40.00771929140.0086759650.0097366811.12225930.00107
6.11.4851273E-51.6694923E-58.6693755E-55.1928217.0E-56.364676E-57.1547845E-52.4153569E-43.37586241.7E-47.7462377E-48.707705E-40.00132037861.51633374.5E-40.00771929140.0086759650.0097366811.12225930.00107
6.21.4851273E-51.6694923E-58.6693755E-55.1928217.0E-56.364676E-57.1547845E-52.4153569E-43.37586241.7E-47.7462377E-48.707705E-40.00132037861.51633374.5E-40.00771929140.0086759650.0097366811.12225930.00107
6.31.0426831E-51.1888797E-55.188832E-54.3644724.0E-54.4685654E-55.095103E-51.5094594E-42.9625691.0E-45.43912E-46.2015816E-48.300279E-41.33841342.1E-40.00542582660.00618488340.00664203851.07391494.6E-4
6.41.0426831E-51.1888797E-55.188832E-54.3644724.0E-54.4685654E-55.095103E-51.5094594E-42.9625691.0E-45.43912E-46.2015816E-48.300279E-41.33841342.1E-40.00542582660.00618488340.00664203851.07391494.6E-4
6.59.25027E-61.0620124E-55.06197E-54.7663944.0E-53.964341E-54.551405E-51.2551041E-42.7576198.0E-54.8255164E-45.539976E-47.239034E-41.30669061.7E-40.00481505130.00552666470.00589461951.06657813.7E-4
6.67.904275E-69.159673E-62.915949E-53.1834642.0E-53.3875025E-53.925517E-57.92536E-52.0189344.0E-54.1235037E-44.7783085E-45.7778304E-41.2091791.0E-40.00411586040.0047684310.00493762041.03548111.7E-4
6.77.2061953E-68.407388E-62.840722E-53.378842.0E-53.088333E-53.6031186E-56.603011E-51.8325823.0E-53.7593965E-44.3859507E-44.9856876E-41.13674046.0E-50.0037530430.00437766360.0044871821.02501751.1E-4
6.86.6948724E-67.842299E-62.7842143E-53.55025242.0E-52.8691995E-53.360944E-55.360877E-51.59505092.0E-53.4926904E-44.0912168E-44.5910123E-41.1221635.0E-50.0034872060.00408404270.0041836341.02438561.0E-4
6.96.0421025E-67.130747E-62.7130603E-53.80473522.0E-52.5894467E-53.0560004E-55.0559393E-51.65443022.0E-53.1521954E-43.7200793E-43.9200048E-41.05374232.0E-50.00314772780.00371419030.00376400441.01341195.0E-5
7.04.134091E-65.080416E-65.080416E-61.00.01.7717413E-52.1773038E-52.1773038E-51.00.02.1568815E-42.6505603E-42.6505603E-41.00.00.00215478920.00264755220.00265752551.00376711.0E-5
7.13.7674888E-64.6319656E-64.6319656E-61.00.01.6146281E-51.9851139E-51.9851139E-51.00.01.9656324E-42.4166232E-42.4166232E-41.00.00.00196389460.0024141460.00242412181.00413231.0E-5
7.23.4065345E-64.156807E-64.156807E-61.00.01.4599351E-51.7814775E-51.7814775E-51.00.01.777326E-42.1687479E-42.1687479E-41.00.00.00177590530.00216677950.0021767581.00460521.0E-5
7.32.9934936E-63.6293877E-63.6293877E-61.00.01.2829195E-51.5554435E-51.5554435E-51.00.01.5618425E-41.8936026E-41.8936026E-41.00.00.00156074530.00189213440.00190211541.0052751.0E-5
7.42.4049796E-62.8890327E-62.8890327E-61.00.01.0307015E-51.2381518E-51.2381518E-51.00.01.2548068E-41.5073598E-41.5073598E-41.00.00.00125409850.0015064790.00151646391.0066281.0E-5
7.51.2710091E-61.513489E-61.513489E-61.00.05.44717E-66.486372E-66.486372E-61.00.06.631728E-57.896997E-57.896997E-51.00.06.6297496E-47.895417E-47.995338E-41.01265561.0E-5
7.62.21172E-72.6040198E-72.6040198E-71.00.09.478797E-71.1160082E-61.1160082E-61.00.01.1540374E-51.3587343E-51.3587343E-51.00.01.1539775E-41.3586794E-41.3586794E-41.00.0

Garlic Springs

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6760017E-51.8777133E-51.8777133E-51.00.07.182667E-58.0471604E-51.6046516E-41.99405948.0E-58.7413884E-49.794187E-40.00143896821.46920634.6E-40.0087070830.0097625680.0107131961.09737489.6E-4
6.19.852767E-61.0973753E-51.0973753E-51.00.04.222546E-54.702992E-58.702804E-51.85048234.0E-55.139737E-45.7250983E-48.523495E-41.48879462.8E-40.0051278660.00571730730.0063138771.10434456.0E-4
6.29.852767E-61.0973753E-51.0973753E-51.00.04.222546E-54.702992E-58.702804E-51.85048234.0E-55.139737E-45.7250983E-48.523495E-41.48879462.8E-40.0051278660.00571730730.0063138771.10434456.0E-4
6.34.3167724E-64.7780964E-64.7780964E-61.00.01.8500323E-52.0477524E-53.047732E-51.48833021.0E-52.2521814E-42.4930836E-43.3928594E-41.36090879.0E-50.00224990030.00249254520.0027119971.08804322.2E-4
6.44.3167724E-64.7780964E-64.7780964E-61.00.01.8500323E-52.0477524E-53.047732E-51.48833021.0E-52.2521814E-42.4930836E-43.3928594E-41.36090879.0E-50.00224990030.00249254520.0027119971.08804322.2E-4
6.54.3167724E-64.7780964E-64.7780964E-61.00.01.8500323E-52.0477524E-53.047732E-51.48833021.0E-52.2521814E-42.4930836E-43.3928594E-41.36090879.0E-50.00224990030.00249254520.0027119971.08804322.2E-4
6.64.301311E-64.7609647E-64.7609647E-61.00.01.8434059E-52.0404104E-53.04039E-51.49008751.0E-52.2441156E-42.4841467E-43.3839233E-41.36220749.0E-50.00224185060.00248362820.00270308181.08836012.2E-4
6.73.8599724E-64.2711204E-64.2711204E-61.00.01.6542634E-51.8304801E-51.8304801E-51.00.02.0138794E-42.2286095E-43.028431E-41.35888838.0E-50.00201205540.00222860950.00242816381.0895422.0E-4

Helendale-So Lockhart

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.7296055E-51.8103841E-54.81033E-52.65707683.0E-57.412385E-57.7585704E-51.8757717E-42.4176771.1E-49.0208417E-49.442173E-40.00129388681.37032743.5E-40.0089843110.0094041740.0100876861.07268176.9E-4
6.11.7296055E-51.8103841E-54.81033E-52.65707683.0E-57.412385E-57.7585704E-51.8757717E-42.4176771.1E-49.0208417E-49.442173E-40.00129388681.37032743.5E-40.0089843110.0094041740.0100876861.07268176.9E-4
6.21.7296055E-51.8103841E-54.81033E-52.65707683.0E-57.412385E-57.7585704E-51.8757717E-42.4176771.1E-49.0208417E-49.442173E-40.00129388681.37032743.5E-40.0089843110.0094041740.0100876861.07268176.9E-4
6.31.0669118E-51.1135489E-54.1135154E-53.69405913.0E-54.5723988E-54.7722668E-51.2771886E-42.67627228.0E-55.5654737E-45.8087136E-47.607668E-41.30969931.8E-40.00555155570.0057938270.006241221.07721894.5E-4
6.41.0669118E-51.1135489E-54.1135154E-53.69405913.0E-54.5723988E-54.7722668E-51.2771886E-42.67627228.0E-55.5654737E-45.8087136E-47.607668E-41.30969931.8E-40.00555155570.0057938270.006241221.07721894.5E-4
6.58.790038E-69.1702495E-63.9169976E-54.27141863.0E-53.767105E-53.9300485E-51.1929734E-43.03551828.0E-54.585485E-44.7837992E-46.482986E-41.35519611.7E-40.00457603440.00477366570.00518170841.08547784.1E-4
6.67.396949E-67.715581E-63.771535E-54.8882063.0E-53.1700827E-53.3066364E-51.1306372E-43.4192978.0E-53.858892E-44.025096E-45.624452E-41.3973461.6E-40.0038521980.0040179130.0043864261.09171763.7E-4
6.76.4600285E-66.7380697E-63.6737867E-55.4522843.0E-52.7685543E-52.8877126E-59.8875105E-53.4239947.0E-53.3701936E-43.5152308E-44.614844E-41.3128141.1E-40.00336508690.0035097520.00378876921.07949772.8E-4
6.85.600104E-65.836042E-62.5835925E-54.426962.0E-52.4000226E-52.5011372E-58.500987E-53.39884886.0E-52.9216358E-43.044715E-43.944441E-41.29550429.0E-50.00291779750.0030406050.00324996651.06885522.1E-4
6.94.839122E-65.039537E-62.5039437E-54.96859842.0E-52.0738931E-52.159784E-57.159676E-53.31499655.0E-52.5246723E-42.6292243E-43.429014E-41.30419238.0E-50.0025218060.0026261610.00280568841.06836121.8E-4
7.03.6937633E-63.845229E-61.3845191E-53.60061551.0E-51.5830317E-51.6479451E-54.6478955E-52.8204193.0E-51.9271708E-42.0061915E-42.5060913E-41.24917845.0E-50.00192550030.00200441180.0021441311.0697061.4E-4
7.12.7858857E-62.8978693E-61.289784E-54.45080141.0E-51.1939455E-51.2419382E-54.2419008E-53.41554933.0E-51.4535317E-41.511957E-41.8119116E-41.19838833.0E-50.00145258140.00151094980.00159082891.05286688.0E-5
7.22.1672065E-62.2540248E-61.2254002E-55.43649861.0E-59.2879945E-69.660072E-63.9659782E-54.1055373.0E-51.1307546E-41.176052E-41.4760168E-41.25506083.0E-50.00113017940.00117544780.00124536561.05948177.0E-5
7.31.4823496E-61.5422185E-61.5422185E-61.00.06.3529114E-66.6094917E-62.660936E-54.02593142.0E-57.734395E-58.046775E-51.0046614E-41.24852682.0E-57.731704E-48.044012E-48.54361E-41.0621085.0E-5
7.44.2321457E-74.4109012E-74.4109012E-71.00.01.8137755E-61.8903852E-62.1890348E-511.5798352.0E-52.2082493E-52.3015242E-54.301478E-51.86896932.0E-52.2080299E-42.3013311E-42.601262E-41.13032943.0E-5
7.55.6942316E-85.941599E-85.941599E-81.00.02.440385E-72.5463993E-72.5463993E-71.00.02.9711643E-63.1002376E-63.1002376E-61.00.02.9711247E-53.1002022E-53.1002022E-51.00.0

San Andreas (San Bernardino S)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2336002E-43.000988E-43.500838E-41.16656185.0E-55.2857865E-40.00128552990.0014353371.11653341.5E-40.0064164720.0155439640.0158688331.02090013.3E-40.062343370.142919260.143399221.00335825.6E-4
6.11.2336002E-43.000988E-43.500838E-41.16656185.0E-55.2857865E-40.00128552990.0014353371.11653341.5E-40.0064164720.0155439640.0158688331.02090013.3E-40.062343370.142919260.143399221.00335825.6E-4
6.21.2336002E-43.000988E-43.500838E-41.16656185.0E-55.2857865E-40.00128552990.0014353371.11653341.5E-40.0064164720.0155439640.0158688331.02090013.3E-40.062343370.142919260.143399221.00335825.6E-4
6.31.1712257E-42.879813E-43.379669E-41.17357245.0E-55.018573E-40.00123364750.00138346251.12144061.5E-40.0060930080.01492106450.0152461411.02178633.3E-40.0592863220.137634070.138116991.00350885.6E-4
6.41.1712257E-42.879813E-43.379669E-41.17357245.0E-55.018573E-40.00123364750.00138346251.12144061.5E-40.0060930080.01492106450.0152461411.02178633.3E-40.0592863220.137634070.138116991.00350885.6E-4
6.51.0689076E-42.6810818E-43.1809477E-41.18644195.0E-54.5802278E-40.00114855390.0012883931.12175241.4E-40.00556217830.0138986020.0141944321.02128493.0E-40.054250030.128915940.129351481.00337855.0E-4
6.69.7648895E-52.5055694E-43.005444E-41.19950545.0E-54.1842813E-40.00107339720.00120325761.12098091.3E-40.0050824690.0129946670.0132710281.02126732.8E-40.0496778860.121011180.121424311.00341394.7E-4
6.78.757013E-52.3126253E-42.8125098E-41.21615455.0E-53.7524657E-49.90771E-40.00112064221.1310811.3E-40.004559060.0120000050.0122766441.02305332.8E-40.044666560.112365830.1127830151.00371284.7E-4
6.88.562978E-52.268613E-42.7684995E-41.2203495.0E-53.6693315E-49.719227E-40.00110179641.13362551.3E-40.0044582630.0117730220.0120497261.02350322.8E-40.0436987580.110371510.1107896341.00378844.7E-4
6.96.124075E-51.7070957E-42.2070104E-41.29284515.0E-52.6243398E-47.3140813E-48.513204E-41.16394711.2E-40.00319045270.0088687430.0091264371.02905642.6E-40.0314503460.084192160.08457681.00456864.2E-4
7.05.8598747E-51.6499894E-42.149907E-41.30298225.0E-52.5111332E-47.069475E-48.268627E-41.16962391.2E-40.00305301860.0085733140.0088310851.03006662.6E-40.030114140.081515630.0819013941.00473244.2E-4
7.15.613814E-51.5918406E-42.091761E-41.31405195.0E-52.4056983E-46.8203977E-48.019579E-41.17582291.2E-40.00292500390.0082723990.0085302491.03116982.6E-40.0288680210.078812650.079190341.00479224.1E-4
7.24.991222E-51.452485E-41.9524124E-41.34418765.0E-52.1389198E-46.223455E-47.422708E-41.1926991.2E-40.0026010250.0075508350.0078088721.03417332.6E-40.0257079120.072262360.0726427361.00526384.1E-4
7.34.7410045E-51.3718859E-41.8718174E-41.36441185.0E-52.0317009E-45.8781897E-47.077484E-41.20402441.2E-40.00247078970.0071332970.00739144251.03618882.6E-40.0244349820.0685551240.068937011.00557054.1E-4
7.44.5556746E-51.312667E-41.8126014E-41.38085395.0E-51.952286E-45.624506E-46.823831E-41.2132321.2E-40.0023743170.0068264140.0070846391.03782742.6E-40.0234910860.06580830.066191321.00582034.1E-4
7.54.3084514E-51.2361899E-41.6361404E-41.3235354.0E-51.8463485E-45.296884E-46.396301E-41.20755921.1E-40.00224561150.0064299580.00667835071.03863052.5E-40.0222305450.0622085220.062583641.006034.0E-4
7.63.408608E-59.8397344E-51.3839341E-41.40647514.0E-51.4607502E-44.2163485E-45.315885E-41.26077931.1E-40.00177701250.00512134750.0053700671.04856532.5E-40.0176286960.0500386660.050418651.00759394.0E-4
7.72.8315713E-58.252603E-51.2252273E-41.48465554.0E-51.2134742E-43.5363509E-44.6359617E-41.31094521.1E-40.00147640340.0042970160.0045459421.05792992.5E-40.014666330.0422891940.0426722761.00905874.0E-4
7.82.6222975E-57.466726E-51.0466502E-41.40175253.0E-51.1237934E-43.1996332E-44.1993134E-41.31243591.0E-40.00136735970.00388860120.0041177071.05891732.3E-40.0135897680.038453290.0388186761.00950223.8E-4
7.92.1469694E-55.7908495E-58.790676E-51.51802873.0E-59.200973E-52.4815567E-43.4813085E-41.40287281.0E-40.00111964280.00301711260.00324641871.07600192.3E-40.0111401840.0301657820.0305149221.0115743.6E-4
8.01.2420249E-53.1335217E-54.1334904E-51.31911971.0E-55.322855E-51.3428688E-41.8428017E-41.37228725.0E-56.478649E-40.00163371770.0017135871.04888818.0E-50.00645979350.016529980.0166676661.00832951.4E-4
8.14.9197724E-67.827452E-67.827452E-61.00.02.1084568E-53.354579E-54.3545457E-51.298091.0E-52.566744E-44.0834362E-44.1833954E-41.02447921.0E-50.0025637810.0043869370.0044068491.0045392.0E-5
8.22.5634774E-62.9088305E-62.9088305E-61.00.01.0986286E-51.24663575E-51.24663575E-51.00.01.3374983E-41.5176737E-41.5176737E-41.00.00.00133669340.00170613120.00170613121.00.0
8.35.2850464E-73.2110069E-73.2110069E-71.00.02.2650179E-61.3761452E-61.3761452E-61.00.02.7576245E-51.6754451E-51.6754451E-51.00.02.7572823E-41.9885681E-41.9885681E-41.00.0

Death Valley (Black Mtns Frontal)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6707214E-51.867056E-52.8670374E-51.53559261.0E-57.160038E-58.001427E-51.5000868E-41.87477397.0E-58.71386E-49.7374606E-40.00119353181.22571162.2E-40.008679770.0096956470.0101412841.04596264.5E-4
6.11.6707214E-51.867056E-52.8670374E-51.53559261.0E-57.160038E-58.001427E-51.5000868E-41.87477397.0E-58.71386E-49.7374606E-40.00119353181.22571162.2E-40.008679770.0096956470.0101412841.04596264.5E-4
6.21.6707214E-51.867056E-52.8670374E-51.53559261.0E-57.160038E-58.001427E-51.5000868E-41.87477397.0E-58.71386E-49.7374606E-40.00119353181.22571162.2E-40.008679770.0096956470.0101412841.04596264.5E-4
6.31.6707214E-51.867056E-52.8670374E-51.53559261.0E-57.160038E-58.001427E-51.5000868E-41.87477397.0E-58.71386E-49.7374606E-40.00119353181.22571162.2E-40.008679770.0096956470.0101412841.04596264.5E-4
6.41.5515609E-51.7338483E-52.733831E-51.57674171.0E-56.649377E-57.430571E-51.3430126E-41.8074156.0E-58.0926094E-49.0430264E-40.00110412181.22096492.0E-40.0080632020.0090069130.00939340051.04291013.9E-4
6.51.5515609E-51.7338483E-52.733831E-51.57674171.0E-56.649377E-57.430571E-51.3430126E-41.8074156.0E-58.0926094E-49.0430264E-40.00110412181.22096492.0E-40.0080632020.0090069130.00939340051.04291013.9E-4
6.61.5041828E-51.6809407E-52.6809239E-51.5948951.0E-56.4463384E-57.203836E-51.3203404E-41.83282966.0E-57.8455906E-48.7672E-40.00106655341.21652691.9E-40.007817950.0087332680.009109951.04313183.8E-4
6.71.4634985E-51.6356273E-52.6356109E-51.61137631.0E-56.271985E-57.009646E-51.3009226E-41.85590346.0E-57.6334673E-48.53096E-40.00103294241.21081611.8E-40.0076072990.0084988480.0088458731.0408323.5E-4
6.81.4209158E-51.5882297E-52.5882138E-51.62962191.0E-56.089497E-56.806524E-51.2806116E-41.88144726.0E-57.4114406E-48.2838483E-49.882523E-41.1929871.6E-40.0073867710.0082535850.0085610261.03724943.1E-4
6.91.3780098E-51.5404834E-52.540468E-51.64913691.0E-55.9056227E-56.601908E-51.2601512E-41.90876826.0E-57.1877235E-48.0349133E-49.533708E-41.18653521.5E-40.00716451930.0080064580.0082941361.03593082.9E-4
7.01.3585064E-51.5188394E-52.5188241E-51.65838741.0E-55.8220405E-56.5091524E-51.2508762E-41.92171916.0E-57.086029E-47.922066E-49.320957E-41.17658161.4E-40.0070634760.0078944170.0081722071.03518812.8E-4
7.11.3398601E-51.4981575E-52.4981426E-51.66747651.0E-55.742131E-56.4205204E-51.2420135E-41.93444376.0E-56.9888023E-47.814234E-49.21314E-41.17902031.4E-40.00696686380.0077873460.0080552441.03440172.7E-4
7.21.3126312E-51.4679792E-52.4679644E-51.68119861.0E-55.6254412E-56.291191E-51.0290939E-41.63576974.0E-56.846822E-47.656887E-48.8559685E-41.15660171.2E-40.0068257650.007631090.0078394871.02730912.1E-4
7.31.2922429E-51.4454016E-52.4453871E-51.69183921.0E-55.5380664E-56.1944345E-51.0194186E-41.64570094.0E-56.74051E-47.5391686E-48.738264E-41.15904881.2E-40.0067201010.00751417270.0077225951.02773712.1E-4
7.41.2768878E-51.4283997E-52.4283854E-51.70007421.0E-55.4722615E-56.1215724E-51.0121328E-41.6533874.0E-56.660441E-47.45052E-48.649626E-41.16094261.2E-40.00664051440.00742612030.0076345611.02806852.1E-4
7.51.2521929E-51.40122365E-52.4012097E-51.71365191.0E-55.366431E-56.0051094E-51.0004869E-41.66605954.0E-56.531671E-47.308822E-48.408018E-41.1503931.1E-40.0065125060.00728536070.0074839041.02725232.0E-4
7.61.1301089E-51.2648349E-52.2648223E-51.7906071.0E-54.8432343E-55.4206117E-58.420449E-51.5534133.0E-55.895042E-46.597649E-47.59699E-41.15146911.0E-40.00587942820.00657861450.00675743031.02718141.8E-4
7.79.189108E-61.0283521E-51.0283521E-51.00.03.93813E-54.407152E-55.4071075E-51.22689391.0E-54.7936183E-45.3644367E-46.1640074E-41.14905028.0E-50.0047832910.00535199840.0055011961.0278771.5E-4
7.83.4586725E-73.648288E-73.648288E-71.00.01.4822873E-61.5635511E-61.5635511E-61.00.01.80467E-51.9036073E-51.9036073E-51.00.01.8045233E-41.9034486E-41.9034486E-41.00.0
7.92.5591178E-92.6696871E-92.6696871E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.1441516E-81.1441516E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3930045E-71.3930045E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3930046E-61.3930046E-61.00.0

Coyote Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.980352E-52.1707021E-54.1706586E-51.92134082.0E-58.486947E-59.302718E-51.3302347E-41.42994194.0E-50.00103279590.00113208950.00131188571.1588181.8E-40.0102800910.0112704010.0116560061.03421393.9E-4
6.11.980352E-52.1707021E-54.1706586E-51.92134082.0E-58.486947E-59.302718E-51.3302347E-41.42994194.0E-50.00103279590.00113208950.00131188571.1588181.8E-40.0102800910.0112704010.0116560061.03421393.9E-4
6.21.980352E-52.1707021E-54.1706586E-51.92134082.0E-58.486947E-59.302718E-51.3302347E-41.42994194.0E-50.00103279590.00113208950.00131188571.1588181.8E-40.0102800910.0112704010.0116560061.03421393.9E-4
6.31.5344787E-51.6820884E-51.6820884E-51.00.06.576172E-57.208785E-59.208641E-51.27741922.0E-58.003548E-48.7737746E-40.00101725471.15942651.4E-40.0079747840.008745180.0090425561.03400463.0E-4
6.41.5344787E-51.6820884E-51.6820884E-51.00.06.576172E-57.208785E-59.208641E-51.27741922.0E-58.003548E-48.7737746E-40.00101725471.15942651.4E-40.0079747840.008745180.0090425561.03400463.0E-4
6.51.4189697E-51.5558186E-51.5558186E-51.00.06.081157E-56.667658E-58.6675245E-51.29993552.0E-57.401293E-48.1154524E-49.314479E-41.14774611.2E-40.00737669130.0080917590.0083694931.03432312.8E-4
6.61.3469301E-51.47717665E-51.47717665E-51.00.05.7724297E-56.3306376E-58.330511E-51.31590392.0E-57.025667E-47.7054254E-48.904501E-41.15561441.2E-40.00700349640.00768461260.0079624611.03615642.8E-4
6.71.3027966E-51.4281927E-51.4281927E-51.00.05.5832945E-56.120716E-57.120655E-51.16336951.0E-56.7955407E-47.450021E-48.549202E-41.14754061.1E-40.0067747980.0074309230.00768899131.03472892.6E-4
6.85.695434E-66.2244944E-66.2244944E-61.00.02.4408775E-52.6676302E-52.6676302E-51.00.02.971363E-43.2476554E-43.347623E-41.03078141.0E-50.00296739330.00324585030.00328572051.01228344.0E-5
6.94.385688E-64.7931144E-64.7931144E-61.00.01.879567E-52.0541918E-52.0541918E-51.00.02.2881327E-42.5009786E-42.6009537E-41.03997431.0E-50.0022857780.00250097850.00252092861.00797692.0E-5

San Andreas (Big Bend)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.0179969E-42.0081972E-42.2081571E-41.09957182.0E-54.362114E-48.603731E-49.303129E-41.081297.0E-50.00529794860.0104250150.0105932431.01613691.7E-40.0517340970.1014843960.1017629361.00274473.1E-4
6.11.0179969E-42.0081972E-42.2081571E-41.09957182.0E-54.362114E-48.603731E-49.303129E-41.081297.0E-50.00529794860.0104250150.0105932431.01613691.7E-40.0517340970.1014843960.1017629361.00274473.1E-4
6.21.0179969E-42.0081972E-42.2081571E-41.09957182.0E-54.362114E-48.603731E-49.303129E-41.081297.0E-50.00529794860.0104250150.0105932431.01613691.7E-40.0517340970.1014843960.1017629361.00274473.1E-4
6.31.0179969E-42.0081972E-42.2081571E-41.09957182.0E-54.362114E-48.603731E-49.303129E-41.081297.0E-50.00529794860.0104250150.0105932431.01613691.7E-40.0517340970.1014843960.1017629361.00274473.1E-4
6.49.1639464E-51.8438944E-41.943876E-41.05422311.0E-53.9268145E-47.9000136E-48.3996187E-41.0632415.0E-50.00477042050.0095759680.0096948181.01241141.2E-40.0466930640.093817120.093998361.00193182.0E-4
6.59.1639464E-51.8438944E-41.943876E-41.05422311.0E-53.9268145E-47.9000136E-48.3996187E-41.0632415.0E-50.00477042050.0095759680.0096948181.01241141.2E-40.0466930640.093817120.093998361.00193182.0E-4
6.69.042622E-51.8245954E-41.9245771E-41.05479671.0E-53.8748336E-47.817353E-48.316962E-41.06391025.0E-50.00470740950.0094762050.0095950681.01254331.2E-40.0460893250.092914170.0930955861.00195252.0E-4
6.78.9836685E-51.8160277E-41.9160095E-41.05505531.0E-53.8495753E-47.7806565E-48.2802674E-41.0642125.0E-50.004676790.00943191350.0095507821.01260281.2E-40.0457958170.09250840.092680821.00186381.9E-4
6.88.9471854E-51.8107046E-41.9106866E-41.05521711.0E-53.8339442E-47.7578565E-48.257469E-41.06440085.0E-50.0046578410.0094043960.0095232671.012641.2E-40.045614140.0922560.092428471.00186941.9E-4
6.98.858234E-51.7989E-41.898882E-41.05557951.0E-53.7958333E-47.7072956E-48.2069106E-41.06482365.0E-50.0046116380.0093433660.0094622461.01272331.2E-40.045171030.09169620.091868781.00188211.9E-4
7.08.7433385E-51.7827768E-41.8827591E-41.05608221.0E-53.746607E-47.638237E-48.0379314E-41.05232814.0E-50.0045519570.0092600050.0093689871.0117691.1E-40.0445983860.090931050.091094691.00179951.8E-4
7.18.684964E-51.7739709E-41.8739532E-41.05636071.0E-53.7215967E-47.6005195E-48.000215E-41.0525884.0E-50.00452163350.0092144730.009323461.01182771.1E-40.044307310.090512530.090667141.00170811.7E-4
7.28.606521E-51.7630306E-41.8630129E-41.05671051.0E-53.6879873E-47.553659E-47.953357E-41.05291454.0E-50.00448088350.0091579020.0092668941.01190151.1E-40.0439160240.089993270.090147971.0017191.7E-4
7.38.568266E-51.7572299E-41.8572123E-41.05689781.0E-53.6715972E-47.528814E-47.9285126E-41.05308934.0E-50.00446101050.00912790650.0092369031.0119411.1E-40.0437251480.089714210.0898689551.0017251.7E-4
7.48.5432206E-51.7534874E-41.8534699E-41.05701921.0E-53.6608664E-47.5127836E-47.9124834E-41.05320264.0E-50.0044479990.0091085540.0092175521.01196661.1E-40.0436001570.089534390.0896891651.00172871.7E-4
7.58.4791965E-51.7404204E-41.840403E-41.05744741.0E-53.633435E-47.456814E-47.856516E-41.05360224.0E-50.00441473770.0090409780.00914998351.01205681.1E-40.0432805750.0889101250.089065011.0017421.7E-4
7.68.241105E-51.6849465E-41.7849296E-41.0593391.0E-53.531424E-47.219202E-47.5189857E-41.04152583.0E-50.00429103520.0087540460.008853171.01132331.0E-40.0420911760.086286520.086432721.00169431.6E-4
7.77.00432E-51.4212567E-41.4212567E-41.00.03.001506E-46.089679E-46.289557E-41.03282252.0E-50.00364821120.00738901920.0074485761.00806026.0E-50.0358889770.0735526160.0736637861.00151151.2E-4
7.86.415362E-51.2976197E-41.2976197E-41.00.02.749151E-45.5600423E-45.759931E-41.03595092.0E-50.00334195470.00674837040.00679803271.00735915.0E-50.032921410.067284970.067387571.00152481.1E-4
7.94.939911E-59.346299E-59.346299E-51.00.02.116933E-44.004942E-44.2048618E-41.04991832.0E-50.00257431950.00486512440.00490492951.00818184.0E-50.0254470130.0489382330.0490048081.00136047.0E-5
8.03.344983E-55.2255753E-55.2255753E-51.00.01.4334853E-42.2393401E-42.3393177E-41.0446461.0E-50.00174387110.00272298950.00274293521.00732482.0E-50.0173024960.027936110.0279847141.00173975.0E-5
8.11.9104898E-51.9185067E-51.9185067E-51.00.08.1875565E-58.221913E-59.221831E-51.12161621.0E-59.963791E-40.00100055880.00101054881.00998441.0E-50.0099192350.0107560510.0107758361.00183942.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.478665E-65.478665E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3479783E-52.3479783E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.8582895E-42.8582895E-41.00.00.00450013950.00325084690.00325084691.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6647797E-77.6647797E-71.00.08.498917E-63.2849016E-63.2849016E-61.00.01.034694E-43.999296E-53.999296E-51.00.00.00103421244.7228087E-44.7228087E-41.00.0

Red Pass

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.258278E-68.551305E-61.855122E-52.16940211.0E-53.539214E-53.6648038E-55.6647303E-51.54571192.0E-54.308141E-44.4611638E-46.260361E-41.40330221.8E-40.00429979850.0044539660.0047426741.06482052.9E-4
6.13.649988E-63.7753332E-63.7753332E-61.00.01.5642712E-51.6179927E-51.6179927E-51.00.01.9043336E-41.9697756E-42.5696575E-41.30454336.0E-50.00190270260.0019684970.00209824111.06591021.3E-4
6.23.649988E-63.7753332E-63.7753332E-61.00.01.5642712E-51.6179927E-51.6179927E-51.00.01.9043336E-41.9697756E-42.5696575E-41.30454336.0E-50.00190270260.0019684970.00209824111.06591021.3E-4
6.31.3924937E-61.4411233E-61.4411233E-61.00.05.9678164E-66.176236E-66.176236E-61.00.07.265574E-57.51945E-59.519299E-51.26595692.0E-57.263199E-47.518293E-47.917992E-41.05316354.0E-5
6.41.3924937E-61.4411233E-61.4411233E-61.00.05.9678164E-66.176236E-66.176236E-61.00.07.265574E-57.51945E-59.519299E-51.26595692.0E-57.263199E-47.518293E-47.917992E-41.05316354.0E-5
6.59.876812E-71.022196E-61.022196E-61.00.04.2329125E-64.38084E-64.38084E-61.00.05.153449E-55.3336724E-56.333619E-51.18747811.0E-55.1522546E-45.333672E-45.533566E-41.03747762.0E-5

San Andreas (Parkfield)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.556969E-47.787764E-47.887686E-41.01283061.0E-50.00237938480.00333389340.00338372661.01494755.0E-50.0285869630.040279060.040423021.0035741.5E-40.251762840.33733740.337529571.00056972.9E-4
6.11.925858E-43.0300187E-43.1299883E-41.03299311.0E-58.2510663E-40.00129802710.00131800121.0153882.0E-50.00999948850.015784790.015873371.00561179.0E-50.0956132560.149813150.149932181.00079451.4E-4
6.29.4306815E-51.8251229E-41.9251046E-41.05478081.0E-54.0410945E-47.8196224E-48.019466E-41.02555672.0E-50.00490893840.0094790250.0095483621.00731477.0E-50.0480190630.091886950.091977761.00098821.0E-4
6.39.283051E-51.7947727E-41.8947547E-41.05570731.0E-53.9778434E-47.689627E-47.8894733E-41.0259892.0E-50.00483227470.00932212450.0093914721.0074397.0E-50.0472853850.090539880.090630831.00100451.0E-4
6.49.138826E-51.7709887E-41.870971E-41.05645561.0E-53.916052E-47.5877557E-47.787604E-41.02633822.0E-50.00475737450.0091991420.0092684981.00753947.0E-50.0465680920.089443460.089534511.0010181.0E-4
6.59.000255E-51.7467843E-41.8467668E-41.05723811.0E-53.8566816E-47.484082E-47.683932E-41.02670342.0E-50.00468540470.0090740020.00914336651.00764437.0E-50.0458784030.088332380.088423541.00103211.0E-4
6.68.8109264E-51.7148908E-41.8148737E-41.05830281.0E-53.7755648E-47.347474E-47.547327E-41.02720022.0E-50.00458706540.0089090670.0089784441.00778717.0E-50.044935290.086864310.086955621.00105121.0E-4
6.78.738073E-51.7015962E-41.8015792E-41.05875841.0E-53.7443507E-47.290529E-47.490383E-41.02741292.0E-50.00454922160.0088403490.008909731.00784837.0E-50.044572130.086265310.0863566851.00105921.0E-4
6.88.710195E-51.6961442E-41.7961273E-41.05894721.0E-53.7324068E-47.267176E-47.4670307E-41.0275012.0E-50.00453474050.0088121560.0088815381.00787357.0E-50.044433130.0860129150.086104321.00106261.0E-4
6.98.6801556E-51.6902383E-41.7902213E-41.05915321.0E-53.7195362E-47.241879E-47.4417336E-41.02759722.0E-50.00451913570.00878160450.008850991.00790127.0E-50.0442833270.085738860.0858302861.00106631.0E-4
7.08.5571606E-51.6655146E-41.7654979E-41.06003151.0E-53.6668387E-47.1359787E-47.335836E-41.0280072.0E-50.0044552410.0086537010.0087230961.0080197.0E-50.0436697270.084587710.084679251.00108221.0E-4
7.17.82589E-51.513576E-41.6135609E-41.06605881.0E-53.3535215E-46.485149E-46.6850195E-41.03081972.0E-50.00407527060.0078672550.0079367041.00882777.0E-50.0400134180.077502860.077595111.00119031.0E-4
7.27.690929E-51.4872964E-41.5872816E-41.0672261.0E-53.2956956E-46.3725776E-46.5724505E-41.03136442.0E-50.0040051290.00773117970.0078006381.00898427.0E-50.03933710.076275820.076368191.0012111.0E-4
7.37.5543794E-51.4569426E-41.4569426E-41.00.03.2371894E-46.242553E-46.34249E-41.01600911.0E-50.0039341570.00757398460.007633531.00786196.0E-50.0386523340.074841260.074924521.00111269.0E-5
7.47.4214564E-51.4270298E-41.4270298E-41.00.03.1802364E-46.1144156E-46.2143547E-41.01634481.0E-50.0038650650.007419050.0074786051.00802736.0E-50.037985290.073414910.07349831.0011369.0E-5
7.56.149578E-51.1197151E-41.1197151E-41.00.02.6352672E-44.7978974E-44.897849E-41.02083241.0E-50.00320371780.00582582640.00588547671.0102396.0E-50.031579230.0585847940.0586695221.00144629.0E-5
7.66.0643448E-51.10257475E-41.10257475E-41.00.02.598746E-44.7244655E-44.8244183E-41.02115641.0E-50.00315938280.00573689720.0057965531.01039866.0E-50.0311484170.05774560.0578304041.00146859.0E-5
7.75.1652263E-59.180402E-59.180402E-51.00.02.2134806E-43.933865E-44.0338255E-41.02541031.0E-50.0026915820.00477897240.00481878131.008334.0E-50.0265921410.0485586820.0486252831.00137157.0E-5
7.84.8090482E-58.564889E-58.564889E-51.00.02.060858E-43.6701505E-43.770114E-41.02723681.0E-50.00250620720.00445926140.0044990831.00893014.0E-50.0247813050.045323280.0453901071.00147457.0E-5
7.93.970278E-56.754373E-56.754373E-51.00.01.7014367E-42.8944103E-42.9943814E-41.03453931.0E-50.0020695310.0035182540.00354814861.0084973.0E-50.0205036360.035900360.0359485671.00134285.0E-5
8.02.8982335E-54.072156E-54.072156E-51.00.01.2420409E-41.745093E-41.8450755E-41.05729351.0E-50.00151113570.00212258150.0021425391.00940252.0E-50.0150090120.0220224240.0220615441.00177634.0E-5
8.11.8836186E-51.8692857E-51.8692857E-51.00.08.0724014E-58.0109785E-59.010899E-51.12481871.0E-59.823717E-49.7490085E-49.848911E-41.01024751.0E-50.0097804030.0104944270.0105142171.00188582.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.478665E-65.478665E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3479783E-52.3479783E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.8582895E-42.8582895E-41.00.00.00450013950.00325084690.00325084691.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6647797E-77.6647797E-71.00.08.498917E-63.2849016E-63.2849016E-61.00.01.034694E-43.999296E-53.999296E-51.00.00.00103421244.7228087E-44.7228087E-41.00.0

Sierra Nevada (No Extension)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.7690465E-66.9763464E-64.6976067E-56.733624.0E-53.329549E-52.9898487E-57.989699E-52.67227535.0E-54.0529718E-43.6398912E-45.239309E-41.43941351.6E-40.0040455880.00363744560.0038666091.06300122.3E-4
6.17.7690465E-66.9763464E-64.6976067E-56.733624.0E-53.329549E-52.9898487E-57.989699E-52.67227535.0E-54.0529718E-43.6398912E-45.239309E-41.43941351.6E-40.0040455880.00363744560.0038666091.06300122.3E-4
6.27.7690465E-66.9763464E-64.6976067E-56.733624.0E-53.329549E-52.9898487E-57.989699E-52.67227535.0E-54.0529718E-43.6398912E-45.239309E-41.43941351.6E-40.0040455880.00363744560.0038666091.06300122.3E-4
6.37.7690465E-66.9763464E-64.6976067E-56.733624.0E-53.329549E-52.9898487E-57.989699E-52.67227535.0E-54.0529718E-43.6398912E-45.239309E-41.43941351.6E-40.0040455880.00363744560.0038666091.06300122.3E-4
6.47.7690465E-66.9763464E-64.6976067E-56.733624.0E-53.329549E-52.9898487E-57.989699E-52.67227535.0E-54.0529718E-43.6398912E-45.239309E-41.43941351.6E-40.0040455880.00363744560.0038666091.06300122.3E-4
6.57.7690465E-66.9763464E-64.6976067E-56.733624.0E-53.329549E-52.9898487E-57.989699E-52.67227535.0E-54.0529718E-43.6398912E-45.239309E-41.43941351.6E-40.0040455880.00363744560.0038666091.06300122.3E-4
6.62.653E-61.6148447E-62.1614813E-513.3850732.0E-51.136995E-56.9207445E-63.6920537E-55.33476353.0E-51.3842035E-48.425684E-51.8424842E-42.18674731.0E-40.00138334158.422524E-40.00100211761.18980681.6E-4
6.72.5902466E-61.5501779E-62.1550148E-513.9017252.0E-51.11010095E-56.643603E-63.6643403E-55.5155923.0E-51.351464E-48.088289E-51.808748E-42.23625541.0E-40.00135064248.0853753E-49.684082E-41.19772821.6E-4
6.82.5853892E-61.5469781E-62.1546946E-513.92841152.0E-51.1080193E-56.6298894E-63.662969E-55.52493243.0E-51.34893E-48.0715945E-51.8070787E-42.23881271.0E-40.00134811148.0686924E-49.6674013E-41.19813731.6E-4
6.92.458257E-61.4220519E-62.1422024E-515.0641642.0E-51.0535345E-56.094494E-63.6094312E-55.9224463.0E-51.2826028E-47.419796E-51.7419054E-42.3476461.0E-40.00128186277.417338E-49.0161513E-41.21555081.6E-4
7.02.4341468E-61.3990157E-62.1398988E-515.2957462.0E-51.0432016E-55.995768E-63.599559E-56.00349953.0E-51.270024E-47.2996045E-51.7298874E-42.36983731.0E-40.00126929847.297226E-48.8960584E-41.21910141.6E-4
7.12.3652476E-61.3339652E-62.1333939E-515.9928752.0E-51.0136736E-55.716981E-63.571681E-56.24749473.0E-51.2340778E-46.9602036E-51.6959508E-42.43663951.0E-40.00123339266.958041E-48.556928E-41.22978971.6E-4
7.22.272158E-61.2502717E-62.1250247E-516.9965042.0E-59.737784E-65.358296E-63.5358134E-56.59876443.0E-51.1855107E-46.523532E-51.6522879E-42.53281191.0E-40.00118487846.521632E-48.1205886E-41.24517741.6E-4
7.32.1382127E-61.1419595E-62.1141937E-518.5137352.0E-59.163737E-64.8941033E-63.4893957E-57.1297963.0E-51.1156279E-45.9584087E-51.5957814E-42.67820051.0E-40.0011150685.956823E-47.55587E-41.26843951.6E-4
7.41.9048055E-69.57513E-72.0957494E-521.8874262.0E-58.163426E-64.1036205E-63.4103497E-58.3105883.0E-59.9385186E-54.996044E-51.4995545E-43.00148371.0E-49.934074E-44.9949274E-46.594128E-41.32016491.6E-4
7.51.5373403E-67.559938E-71.0755986E-514.2276121.0E-56.5885843E-63.2399694E-62.3239905E-57.1728782.0E-58.021306E-53.944592E-51.1944276E-43.02801328.0E-58.0184115E-43.9438964E-45.243384E-41.32949331.3E-4
7.61.0680322E-64.6595343E-71.0465948E-522.4613631.0E-54.577273E-61.9969418E-61.1996922E-56.0076471.0E-55.5726876E-52.4312498E-56.431153E-52.64520434.0E-55.5712904E-42.4309864E-43.0308406E-41.24675336.0E-5
7.75.509146E-71.5579108E-71.5579108E-71.00.02.3610605E-66.676759E-76.676759E-71.00.02.8745531E-58.128925E-68.128925E-61.00.02.8741814E-48.1286395E-58.1286395E-51.00.0

Death Valley (No)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.0074807E-52.2500446E-53.2500222E-51.44442561.0E-58.603206E-59.642696E-51.364231E-41.41478174.0E-50.0010469370.00117337330.00132319741.12768651.5E-40.0104201830.0116726930.0119098921.02032082.4E-4
6.12.0074807E-52.2500446E-53.2500222E-51.44442561.0E-58.603206E-59.642696E-51.364231E-41.41478174.0E-50.0010469370.00117337330.00132319741.12768651.5E-40.0104201830.0116726930.0119098921.02032082.4E-4
6.22.0074807E-52.2500446E-53.2500222E-51.44442561.0E-58.603206E-59.642696E-51.364231E-41.41478174.0E-50.0010469370.00117337330.00132319741.12768651.5E-40.0104201830.0116726930.0119098921.02032082.4E-4
6.31.9050609E-52.1337288E-53.1337077E-51.46865311.0E-58.164292E-59.144236E-51.314387E-41.4373944.0E-59.935491E-40.00111274890.00126258191.13465131.5E-40.0098911880.0110725950.0113099381.02143512.4E-4
6.41.9050609E-52.1337288E-53.1337077E-51.46865311.0E-58.164292E-59.144236E-51.314387E-41.4373944.0E-59.935491E-40.00111274890.00126258191.13465131.5E-40.0098911880.0110725950.0113099381.02143512.4E-4
6.51.8367004E-52.0561336E-53.056113E-51.48633971.0E-57.8713354E-58.811707E-51.2811355E-41.45390154.0E-59.5791375E-40.00107230390.00121215381.130421.4E-40.0095379510.0106720850.010899631.02132152.3E-4
6.61.779439E-51.9911244E-52.9911045E-51.50221881.0E-57.625944E-58.533114E-51.2532773E-41.4687224.0E-59.280632E-40.00103841790.00117827251.13468051.4E-40.0092419690.0103364160.01056403851.02202142.3E-4
6.71.7025437E-51.9043726E-52.9043536E-51.52509741.0E-57.296412E-58.161345E-51.2161019E-41.49007524.0E-58.87976E-49.93197E-40.0011330581.1408191.4E-40.0088443620.0098883010.0101160271.02302982.3E-4
6.81.6545107E-51.851284E-52.8512653E-51.54015561.0E-57.090568E-57.933836E-51.19335185E-41.50412984.0E-58.629347E-49.655226E-40.00110538731.14485921.4E-40.0085959150.0096139810.0098318651.02266342.2E-4
6.91.615478E-51.8087881E-52.8087701E-51.55284631.0E-56.9232934E-57.751722E-51.1751412E-41.51597434.0E-58.4258494E-49.433697E-40.00108323761.14826421.4E-40.0083939730.0093943450.0096122781.02319842.2E-4
7.01.5894311E-51.7805834E-52.7805656E-51.56160371.0E-56.81167E-57.6308526E-51.1630547E-41.52414794.0E-58.2900526E-49.286663E-40.00106853631.15061381.4E-40.0082591950.0092485440.009466511.02356762.2E-4
7.11.5602263E-51.7483784E-52.748361E-51.57194851.0E-56.6865134E-57.4928386E-51.1492539E-41.53380314.0E-58.137789E-49.118773E-40.00105174971.15338951.4E-40.0081080520.0090820390.0093000411.02400362.2E-4
7.21.5323829E-51.7170905E-52.7170734E-51.58237051.0E-56.56719E-57.358755E-51.1358461E-41.54353024.0E-57.99262E-48.9556625E-40.00103544081.15618561.4E-40.0079639340.0089202490.0091382861.0244432.2E-4
7.31.4556212E-51.6302716E-52.6302552E-51.61338471.0E-56.238227E-56.986695E-51.0986415E-41.57247694.0E-57.592395E-48.503039E-49.801934E-41.15275661.3E-40.00756650740.0084711490.008679371.024582.1E-4
7.41.411725E-51.5808211E-52.5808054E-51.63257271.0E-56.0501097E-56.774775E-51.0774504E-41.59038544.0E-57.363519E-48.245226E-49.444236E-41.14541881.2E-40.00733916740.0082152680.0084136261.02414492.0E-4
7.51.3503312E-51.5126531E-52.512638E-51.66108011.0E-55.7870053E-56.482641E-51.0482382E-41.61699254.0E-57.043401E-47.8898156E-48.988948E-41.13931021.1E-40.0070211190.0078624290.0080509351.02397561.9E-4
7.61.1279839E-51.2626528E-52.2626402E-51.79197341.0E-54.834127E-55.4112596E-58.411097E-51.55436963.0E-55.88396E-46.58627E-47.5856113E-41.1517311.0E-40.0058684050.00656730260.0067361861.02571581.7E-4
7.79.189108E-61.0283521E-51.0283521E-51.00.03.93813E-54.407152E-55.4071075E-51.22689391.0E-54.7936183E-45.3644367E-46.1640074E-41.14905028.0E-50.0047832910.00535199840.0055011961.0278771.5E-4
7.83.4586725E-73.648288E-73.648288E-71.00.01.4822873E-61.5635511E-61.5635511E-61.00.01.80467E-51.9036073E-51.9036073E-51.00.01.8045233E-41.9034486E-41.9034486E-41.00.0
7.92.5591178E-92.6696871E-92.6696871E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.1441516E-81.1441516E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3930045E-71.3930045E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3930046E-61.3930046E-61.00.0

San Andreas (Coachella) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1925945E-43.2735174E-43.473452E-41.06107642.0E-55.110118E-40.00140218650.00148207431.05697378.0E-50.00620383540.0169393270.0170572941.00696411.2E-40.0603347530.152696040.152882441.00122082.2E-4
6.11.1925945E-43.2735174E-43.473452E-41.06107642.0E-55.110118E-40.00140218650.00148207431.05697378.0E-50.00620383540.0169393270.0170572941.00696411.2E-40.0603347530.152696040.152882441.00122082.2E-4
6.21.07432395E-43.023596E-43.2235356E-41.06612632.0E-54.603433E-40.00129518730.00137508371.06168718.0E-50.0055902860.015655990.0157741121.00754481.2E-40.054517310.141849350.142020971.001212.0E-4
6.31.0718766E-43.0181266E-43.218066E-41.06624632.0E-54.592948E-40.00129284560.00137274211.0617998.0E-50.0055775860.0156278890.0157460141.00755861.2E-40.0543965550.141617630.14178931.00121222.0E-4
6.41.0355944E-42.9389336E-43.138875E-41.06803192.0E-54.4375064E-40.0012589390.00133883831.06346568.0E-50.00538928850.0152209150.0153390891.00776391.2E-40.0526044960.138175440.138339181.0011851.9E-4
6.51.0227914E-42.9108766E-43.1108185E-41.06868782.0E-54.382655E-40.00124692610.00132682641.06407778.0E-50.00532283540.0150766920.0151948831.00783931.2E-40.0519713160.136959580.137123571.00119721.9E-4
6.61.0116757E-42.8874516E-43.0873937E-41.06924522.0E-54.3350324E-40.00123689630.00131679731.0645988.0E-50.00526513670.0149562610.0150744661.00790331.2E-40.0514212470.13593710.136101281.00120771.9E-4
6.71.0050676E-42.8733077E-43.07325E-41.06958622.0E-54.3067214E-40.00123084030.00131074191.06491638.0E-50.0052308340.014883540.0150017541.00794261.2E-40.0510940850.135321920.135486221.0012141.9E-4
6.89.976819E-52.8536728E-43.0536155E-41.07006512.0E-54.2750788E-40.00122243330.00130233551.06536338.0E-50.00519249360.0147825780.0149008041.00799761.2E-40.0507282950.134473340.134637791.0012231.9E-4
6.99.77719E-52.8033604E-43.0033043E-41.07132292.0E-54.1895514E-40.00120089090.00128079491.06653738.0E-50.00508885550.0145238260.0146420831.00814221.2E-40.0497388880.132301720.132466581.00124611.9E-4
7.08.500761E-52.476793E-42.6767433E-41.08072962.0E-53.6426744E-40.00106105410.00113097991.06590217.0E-50.00442594060.012842590.0129511781.00845531.1E-40.043388230.1181510760.118309811.00134351.8E-4
7.18.319876E-52.4370618E-42.637013E-41.0820462.0E-53.5651738E-40.00104404020.00111396721.06697737.0E-50.0043319630.01263786850.0127464781.0085941.1E-40.0424848460.116371060.1165301051.00136671.8E-4
7.27.563917E-52.2418915E-42.4418466E-41.08919042.0E-53.2412758E-49.604599E-40.00103039271.07281177.0E-50.00393911450.0116315920.0117403131.0093471.1E-40.038700180.1077772160.107937811.00149011.8E-4
7.37.082985E-52.0734889E-42.2734475E-41.09643582.0E-53.0352117E-48.8833837E-49.5827616E-41.07872887.0E-50.00368910960.010762510.0108713271.01011061.1E-40.036284650.100298670.100460621.00161471.8E-4
7.45.146215E-51.4277869E-41.6277583E-41.1400572.0E-52.2053342E-46.1176607E-46.8172324E-41.11435287.0E-50.00268168840.0074230040.00753218771.01470881.1E-40.026495570.070862860.07103011.00236011.8E-4
7.54.0285166E-51.09450986E-41.2944879E-41.18271022.0E-51.7263928E-44.6899164E-45.389588E-41.14918647.0E-50.0020998570.00569509340.00579452371.01745891.0E-40.0208012540.0550243150.055184961.00291961.7E-4
7.63.1168736E-58.441976E-51.0441807E-41.23689142.0E-51.3357346E-43.617489E-44.317236E-41.19343447.0E-50.00162504370.00439542530.00449498561.0226511.0E-40.0161321160.0428219740.0429846941.00379991.7E-4
7.72.2100989E-56.241421E-58.241297E-51.32041982.0E-59.4715084E-52.674621E-43.3744337E-41.26164947.0E-50.0011525460.0032514950.003351171.0306551.0E-40.0114658670.0319112460.0320758221.00515721.7E-4
7.81.7484861E-55.181932E-56.18188E-51.19296821.0E-57.493296E-52.220639E-42.8205058E-41.27013256.0E-59.1192697E-40.0027002790.00278006281.02954668.0E-50.0090819380.0266499110.0267959131.00547851.5E-4
7.91.3967285E-53.8241284E-54.82409E-51.26148751.0E-55.985842E-51.6388092E-42.2387109E-41.36605956.0E-57.2853256E-40.00199342570.0020732661.04005198.0E-50.00726148770.0199179650.0200551771.00688891.4E-4
8.01.1887396E-53.1081006E-54.1080697E-51.32172991.0E-55.094499E-51.3319752E-41.8319086E-41.37533245.0E-56.200787E-40.00162047450.00169036111.04312727.0E-50.0061835130.0162865310.0164144131.00785211.3E-4
8.15.100864E-68.979058E-68.979058E-61.00.02.1860664E-53.8481114E-54.8480728E-51.25985781.0E-52.6612106E-44.6840697E-44.7840227E-41.02133891.0E-50.0026580260.00492049060.0049503431.00606693.0E-5
8.22.3004484E-62.7884673E-62.7884673E-61.00.09.859027E-61.195052E-51.195052E-51.00.01.2002704E-41.454879E-41.454879E-41.00.00.00119962230.00159844240.00159844241.00.0
8.31.0424446E-75.820319E-85.820319E-81.00.04.4676187E-72.4944222E-72.4944222E-71.00.05.439312E-63.0369551E-63.0369551E-61.00.05.4391792E-53.1931086E-53.1931086E-51.00.0

San Andreas (San Gorgonio Pass-Garnet HIll)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.31567E-52.338839E-42.6387686E-41.12823883.0E-53.5633717E-40.00100197080.00108189071.07976278.0E-50.0043297780.012130650.0122590741.01058661.3E-40.0424638280.112597710.112775191.00157622.0E-4
6.18.31567E-52.338839E-42.6387686E-41.12823883.0E-53.5633717E-40.00100197080.00108189071.07976278.0E-50.0043297780.012130650.0122590741.01058661.3E-40.0424638280.112597710.112775191.00157622.0E-4
6.28.31567E-52.338839E-42.6387686E-41.12823883.0E-53.5633717E-40.00100197080.00108189071.07976278.0E-50.0043297780.012130650.0122590741.01058661.3E-40.0424638280.112597710.112775191.00157622.0E-4
6.38.31567E-52.338839E-42.6387686E-41.12823883.0E-53.5633717E-40.00100197080.00108189071.07976278.0E-50.0043297780.012130650.0122590741.01058661.3E-40.0424638280.112597710.112775191.00157622.0E-4
6.48.059055E-52.2945837E-42.5945148E-41.13071263.0E-53.4534236E-49.830239E-40.00106294521.08130168.0E-50.00419643940.0119028370.012031291.01079181.3E-40.0411807450.110578740.110756631.00160862.0E-4
6.58.059055E-52.2945837E-42.5945148E-41.13071263.0E-53.4534236E-49.830239E-40.00106294521.08130168.0E-50.00419643940.0119028370.012031291.01079181.3E-40.0411807450.110578740.110756631.00160862.0E-4
6.67.619237E-52.2190346E-42.5189682E-41.13516393.0E-53.2649786E-49.5067057E-40.00103059451.08407128.0E-50.00396786770.0115135350.0116420381.01116111.3E-40.038977640.1071151940.107293771.00166712.0E-4
6.77.440636E-52.1866155E-42.4865498E-41.13716833.0E-53.188454E-49.367866E-40.00101671161.08531838.0E-50.00387503460.0113462670.0114747911.01132751.3E-40.0380815640.1056237150.105802591.00169352.0E-4
6.87.3735864E-52.1713313E-42.4712662E-41.13813413.0E-53.1597257E-49.3024096E-40.00101016661.08591938.0E-50.00384018150.0112674030.0113959381.01140771.3E-40.037744950.104925110.1051041261.00170612.0E-4
6.97.27575E-52.1482276E-42.4481633E-41.139623.0E-53.117806E-49.203464E-40.00100027281.08684388.0E-50.0037893230.0111481750.0112767271.01153111.3E-40.0372535620.1038730.104052221.00172542.0E-4
7.07.102591E-52.10663E-42.4065668E-41.14237753.0E-53.0436125E-49.0253126E-49.82459E-41.08855968.0E-50.0036993030.0109334710.0110620491.01176011.3E-40.036383250.101975520.102155131.00176122.0E-4
7.17.028513E-52.0901936E-42.3901308E-41.14349733.0E-53.0118722E-48.95492E-49.754203E-41.08925648.0E-50.00366078970.0108486250.0109772141.01185311.3E-40.0360106860.101218330.101398091.0017762.0E-4
7.26.8498244E-52.0509785E-42.3509169E-41.14624173.0E-52.9353087E-48.786969E-49.586266E-41.0909648.0E-50.0035678830.0106461590.01077477451.0120811.3E-40.0351114050.099410090.0995902051.00181192.0E-4
7.36.622592E-51.9737013E-42.273642E-41.15196873.0E-52.8379448E-48.455999E-49.255323E-41.09452748.0E-50.00344972430.0102470620.010375731.01255661.3E-40.0339666120.095906620.096087441.00188542.0E-4
7.45.1050705E-51.4693316E-41.7692876E-41.20414453.0E-52.1877038E-46.295625E-47.0951215E-41.12699238.0E-50.0026602760.00763817830.0077671851.01688981.3E-40.026286540.072878330.073063761.00254432.0E-4
7.53.9302922E-51.1133535E-41.3133312E-41.17961752.0E-51.6843023E-44.7706455E-45.470312E-41.14666077.0E-50.00204870920.00579286230.0059121671.02059521.2E-40.0202992470.0560234820.056202841.00320151.9E-4
7.62.9851626E-58.498211E-51.0498041E-41.23532372.0E-51.2792926E-43.6415833E-44.3413282E-41.1921547.0E-50.00155642590.004424640.0045441091.02700091.2E-40.01545569950.0432063940.0433881841.00420751.9E-4
7.72.1135214E-56.355745E-58.355617E-51.31465592.0E-59.0576345E-52.7236066E-43.4234158E-41.25694227.0E-50.00110220910.00331095420.0034305571.03612331.2E-40.0109675820.032594420.0327782261.00563921.9E-4
7.81.883379E-55.5666103E-56.566555E-51.17963251.0E-58.0713755E-52.3854722E-42.985329E-41.25146266.0E-59.822468E-40.00290044750.00300015741.03437751.0E-40.00977916550.028705940.028871061.00575211.7E-4
7.91.5156185E-54.167907E-55.1678657E-51.23991861.0E-56.495346E-51.7861238E-42.3860166E-41.3358636.0E-57.9052144E-40.00217243820.0022722211.04593121.0E-40.0078771520.0217687990.0219253151.007191.6E-4
8.01.1405907E-52.9989498E-53.9989198E-51.33344011.0E-54.8881542E-51.2852009E-41.7851367E-41.38899425.0E-55.9497025E-40.001563610.00163350061.04469827.0E-50.0059337980.0157798290.0159077771.00810841.3E-4
8.14.3511436E-67.3739657E-67.3739657E-61.00.01.8647626E-53.160233E-54.1602012E-51.31642231.0E-52.2701119E-43.8469053E-43.9468668E-41.02598491.0E-50.00226779420.00411868650.00413860431.0048362.0E-5
8.22.3042528E-62.7349201E-62.7349201E-61.00.09.875332E-61.1721034E-51.1721034E-51.00.01.2022553E-41.4269429E-41.4269429E-41.00.00.00120160510.00159904310.00159904311.00.0
8.35.202968E-73.1619535E-73.1619535E-71.00.02.2298414E-61.3551223E-61.3551223E-61.00.02.714798E-51.6498503E-51.6498503E-51.00.02.7144665E-41.9577713E-41.9577713E-41.00.0

Scodie Lineament

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.2919327E-63.0133451E-61.3013315E-54.3185611.0E-51.4108206E-51.2914291E-54.2913904E-53.3229783.0E-51.7175387E-41.5722332E-42.4720916E-41.57234429.0E-50.00171621180.00157143250.00178110241.13342612.1E-4
6.11.8663811E-61.5490476E-61.1549032E-57.45556971.0E-57.998751E-66.6387615E-62.6638629E-54.01259042.0E-59.738045E-58.082442E-51.10821995E-41.3711453.0E-59.7337784E-48.0799905E-48.9792634E-41.11129639.0E-5
6.21.8663811E-61.5490476E-61.1549032E-57.45556971.0E-57.998751E-66.6387615E-62.6638629E-54.01259042.0E-59.738045E-58.082442E-51.10821995E-41.3711453.0E-59.7337784E-48.0799905E-48.9792634E-41.11129639.0E-5
6.31.8663811E-61.5490476E-61.1549032E-57.45556971.0E-57.998751E-66.6387615E-62.6638629E-54.01259042.0E-59.738045E-58.082442E-51.10821995E-41.3711453.0E-59.7337784E-48.0799905E-48.9792634E-41.11129639.0E-5
6.41.8663811E-61.5490476E-61.1549032E-57.45556971.0E-57.998751E-66.6387615E-62.6638629E-54.01259042.0E-59.738045E-58.082442E-51.10821995E-41.3711453.0E-59.7337784E-48.0799905E-48.9792634E-41.11129639.0E-5
6.51.8106311E-61.4909813E-61.1490966E-57.7069821.0E-57.759824E-66.389907E-62.638978E-54.1299162.0E-59.447177E-57.779484E-51.07792504E-41.38559973.0E-59.4431615E-47.777247E-48.676547E-41.11563229.0E-5
6.61.2414679E-68.997501E-71.0899741E-512.1141871.0E-55.320566E-63.8560665E-62.385599E-56.18661262.0E-56.477596E-54.6946687E-56.694575E-51.42599512.0E-56.475708E-44.6937633E-45.1935285E-41.10647435.0E-5
6.71.1062215E-67.594247E-71.0759417E-514.1678521.0E-54.7409408E-63.2546736E-62.3254608E-57.14498952.0E-55.7719422E-53.9625003E-55.962421E-51.50471192.0E-55.770443E-43.9618637E-44.3617052E-41.10092264.0E-5
6.81.0006736E-66.5003275E-71.06500265E-516.3838311.0E-54.288594E-62.785852E-62.2785796E-58.1791122.0E-55.221238E-53.3917284E-55.3916603E-51.58964992.0E-55.220012E-43.3912715E-43.7911357E-41.11790994.0E-5
6.99.167364E-75.6315514E-71.056315E-518.7570861.0E-53.9288643E-62.4135202E-62.2413471E-59.2866322.0E-54.7832873E-52.938427E-54.938368E-51.68061632.0E-54.782258E-42.938095E-43.3379777E-41.13610274.0E-5
7.07.6987664E-74.113303E-74.113303E-71.00.03.2994672E-61.7628431E-61.1762825E-56.67264461.0E-54.0170275E-52.1462443E-53.146223E-51.46592021.0E-54.0163012E-42.1460756E-42.3460327E-41.09317342.0E-5
7.17.1038727E-73.521066E-73.521066E-71.00.03.0445133E-61.5090276E-61.1509012E-57.6267741.0E-53.706632E-51.8372291E-52.837211E-51.54428791.0E-53.7060137E-41.8371122E-42.0370755E-41.10884652.0E-5
7.22.0799602E-73.1178946E-83.1178946E-81.00.08.914113E-71.3362404E-71.0133623E-575.836821.0E-51.0852878E-51.6268716E-61.1626856E-57.14675661.0E-51.08523476E-41.6268605E-52.626844E-51.61467091.0E-5
7.31.5048182E-71.5939344E-81.5939344E-81.00.06.449219E-76.831147E-86.831147E-81.00.07.851896E-68.316919E-78.316919E-71.00.07.851618E-58.316891E-68.316891E-61.00.0
7.45.9334678E-84.8638475E-94.8638475E-91.00.02.5429145E-72.084506E-82.084506E-81.00.03.095994E-62.5378858E-72.5378858E-71.00.03.095951E-52.5378843E-62.5378843E-61.00.0

San Jacinto (San Bernardino)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.409352E-53.6001682E-56.60006E-51.83326453.0E-51.461069E-41.542838E-41.8427917E-41.19441693.0E-50.00177740.00187678860.00196661961.04786429.0E-50.017632510.019357610.0195537381.01013182.0E-4
6.13.409352E-53.6001682E-56.60006E-51.83326453.0E-51.461069E-41.542838E-41.8427917E-41.19441693.0E-50.00177740.00187678860.00196661961.04786429.0E-50.017632510.019357610.0195537381.01013182.0E-4
6.23.409352E-53.6001682E-56.60006E-51.83326453.0E-51.461069E-41.542838E-41.8427917E-41.19441693.0E-50.00177740.00187678860.00196661961.04786429.0E-50.017632510.019357610.0195537381.01013182.0E-4
6.33.409352E-53.6001682E-56.60006E-51.83326453.0E-51.461069E-41.542838E-41.8427917E-41.19441693.0E-50.00177740.00187678860.00196661961.04786429.0E-50.017632510.019357610.0195537381.01013182.0E-4
6.43.400795E-53.5894343E-56.589326E-51.83575633.0E-51.4574021E-41.5382383E-41.8381923E-41.19499833.0E-50.00177294280.00187119820.00196102981.04800759.0E-50.0175886450.019302690.0194988291.01016132.0E-4
6.53.341482E-53.515495E-56.5153894E-51.85333493.0E-51.4319851E-41.5065537E-41.8065085E-41.19913.0E-50.00174204770.00183268740.00191254081.04357178.0E-50.0172845460.0189242210.0191008151.00933161.8E-4
6.63.3364955E-53.5092165E-56.509111E-51.85486173.0E-51.4298483E-41.5038633E-41.8038182E-41.19945623.0E-50.00173945010.00182941730.0019092711.04364988.0E-50.0172589760.0188920850.0190686841.00934781.8E-4
6.73.335922E-53.508194E-56.508089E-51.85511093.0E-51.4296026E-41.503425E-41.80338E-41.19951443.0E-50.00173915140.00182888470.00190873841.04366258.0E-50.0172560350.0188868770.0190634761.00935041.8E-4
6.83.327683E-53.4976E-56.497495E-51.85770113.0E-51.4260718E-41.4988854E-41.7988404E-41.20011883.0E-50.00173485970.00182336690.0019032211.04379498.0E-50.0172137840.0188326480.0190092571.00937781.8E-4
6.93.3235785E-53.491695E-56.4915905E-51.85915163.0E-51.4243131E-41.496355E-41.7963101E-41.20045723.0E-50.00173272170.00182029130.00190014571.0438698.0E-50.0171927340.0188025160.0189791321.00939321.8E-4
7.03.3197095E-53.485688E-56.4855834E-51.86063233.0E-51.422655E-41.4937807E-41.7937359E-41.20080273.0E-50.00173070630.00181716240.0018970171.04394478.0E-50.0171728940.018771890.0189485121.00940881.8E-4
7.13.3129716E-53.473708E-56.4736036E-51.86360053.0E-51.4197677E-41.4886471E-41.7886025E-41.20149533.0E-50.00172719660.00181092260.00189077771.04409648.0E-50.0171383380.018710970.0188876041.00944011.8E-4
7.23.3034008E-53.4604524E-56.460348E-51.86690873.0E-51.4156665E-41.4829668E-41.7829222E-41.20226723.0E-50.00172221110.00180401820.0018838741.04426558.0E-50.0170892530.0186433530.0188199971.00947491.8E-4
7.33.2956614E-53.447227E-56.4471235E-51.87023473.0E-51.4123498E-41.4772992E-41.777255E-41.20304323.0E-50.00171817960.00179712950.00187698581.04443548.0E-50.0170495570.0185760990.0187527541.00950991.8E-4
7.43.2915937E-53.4393954E-56.439292E-51.87221633.0E-51.4106068E-41.4739433E-41.7738991E-41.20350563.0E-50.00171606080.00179305030.00187290691.04453678.0E-50.0170286930.018536370.0187130351.00953071.8E-4
7.53.281791E-53.4258854E-56.425782E-51.87565613.0E-51.406406E-41.468154E-41.76811E-41.20430833.0E-50.00171095420.00178601340.00186587061.04471258.0E-50.0169784110.018467250.0186439251.0095671.8E-4
7.63.2521442E-53.3983775E-56.3982756E-51.88274423.0E-51.3937015E-41.4563663E-41.7563226E-41.20596223.0E-50.00169551090.00177168530.00185154361.04507478.0E-50.0168263280.0183248870.018501591.00964271.8E-4
7.73.0287873E-53.2467702E-56.246673E-51.92396513.0E-51.297987E-41.3913988E-41.6913572E-41.21558033.0E-50.00157915370.0016927130.00177257751.04718148.0E-50.015679790.0175356180.017712461.01008491.8E-4
7.82.6316151E-52.9678076E-55.9677186E-52.01081733.0E-51.1277862E-41.2718556E-41.5718174E-41.23584583.0E-50.00137221490.00154738520.00162726151.05162018.0E-50.0136377240.0160768570.0162539631.01101621.8E-4
7.92.0761147E-52.343051E-54.3430042E-51.85356782.0E-58.897331E-51.0041261E-41.204106E-41.19915822.0E-50.00108271170.00122183880.00129175331.05722077.0E-50.0107745170.0127996470.0129674711.01311161.7E-4
8.01.5738568E-51.604239E-52.604223E-51.62333861.0E-56.744926E-56.875129E-57.87506E-51.14544181.0E-58.2088535E-48.3672616E-48.5670943E-41.02388262.0E-50.0081785960.0088705860.0089399661.00782127.0E-5
8.11.0105832E-58.335246E-68.335246E-61.00.04.3309992E-53.5721994E-53.5721994E-51.00.05.2717153E-44.34829E-44.4482466E-41.02298761.0E-50.0052592270.00467980050.0046897541.00212681.0E-5
8.24.189207E-61.5793896E-61.5793896E-61.00.01.7953622E-56.768795E-66.768795E-61.00.02.1856341E-48.2406994E-58.2406994E-51.00.00.00218348589.571454E-49.571454E-41.00.0
8.31.2758221E-63.6171858E-73.6171858E-71.00.05.4677976E-61.5502216E-61.5502216E-61.00.06.65684E-51.8873789E-51.8873789E-51.00.06.6548464E-42.2764095E-42.2764095E-41.00.0

Manix-Afton Hills

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.3783202E-51.4711221E-51.4711221E-51.00.05.906953E-56.304667E-57.304604E-51.15860271.0E-57.189342E-47.673403E-48.5727125E-41.11719829.0E-50.00716612770.0076486640.0078372111.02465091.9E-4
6.11.3783202E-51.4711221E-51.4711221E-51.00.05.906953E-56.304667E-57.304604E-51.15860271.0E-57.189342E-47.673403E-48.5727125E-41.11719829.0E-50.00716612770.0076486640.0078372111.02465091.9E-4
6.21.3783202E-51.4711221E-51.4711221E-51.00.05.906953E-56.304667E-57.304604E-51.15860271.0E-57.189342E-47.673403E-48.5727125E-41.11719829.0E-50.00716612770.0076486640.0078372111.02465091.9E-4
6.31.10494875E-51.1793241E-51.1793241E-51.00.04.7354086E-55.054154E-56.0541035E-51.1978471.0E-55.763835E-46.151799E-46.951307E-41.12996338.0E-50.0057489080.006135810.00629482841.02591651.6E-4
6.41.10494875E-51.1793241E-51.1793241E-51.00.04.7354086E-55.054154E-56.0541035E-51.1978471.0E-55.763835E-46.151799E-46.951307E-41.12996338.0E-50.0057489080.006135810.00629482841.02591651.6E-4
6.59.788949E-61.0454414E-51.0454414E-51.00.04.1951964E-54.4803914E-55.4803466E-51.22318481.0E-55.1064545E-45.4536044E-45.953332E-41.09163255.0E-50.00509473630.0054411480.0055505491.02010631.1E-4
6.68.810006E-69.413714E-69.413714E-61.00.03.775662E-54.0343915E-55.034351E-51.24785891.0E-54.5958988E-44.9108535E-45.410608E-41.10176535.0E-50.00458640560.0049008840.00500039341.02030441.0E-4
6.78.80128E-69.404193E-69.404193E-61.00.03.7719226E-54.0303115E-55.030271E-51.24810981.0E-54.591348E-44.9058883E-45.405643E-41.10186845.0E-50.0045818740.00489594040.0049954511.02032511.0E-4
6.86.8994877E-67.3801443E-67.3801443E-61.00.02.9568899E-53.1628853E-53.1628853E-51.00.03.5994186E-43.850214E-44.050137E-41.05192522.0E-50.0035935940.00384434850.00390411771.01554736.0E-5
6.94.9328037E-65.2710093E-65.2710093E-61.00.02.1140417E-52.258988E-52.258988E-51.00.02.5735417E-42.7500323E-42.9499774E-41.07270652.0E-50.00257056350.00274723440.00279709721.01815015.0E-5
7.03.347973E-63.5900646E-63.5900646E-61.00.01.4348378E-51.5385924E-51.5385924E-51.00.01.746775E-41.8731161E-41.8731161E-41.00.00.00174540250.001871940.00188192121.0053321.0E-5
7.11.2073567E-61.2934943E-61.2934943E-61.00.05.1743755E-65.5435444E-65.5435444E-61.00.06.29962E-56.74922E-56.74922E-51.00.06.297835E-46.7487714E-46.848704E-41.01480751.0E-5

Death Valley (Fish Lake Valley)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.872328E-54.7267124E-55.726665E-51.21155361.0E-51.6594635E-42.0255933E-42.2255527E-41.09871652.0E-50.00201852460.0024636330.0025733621.04453951.1E-40.020002880.0243890420.0245646521.00720041.8E-4
6.13.872328E-54.7267124E-55.726665E-51.21155361.0E-51.6594635E-42.0255933E-42.2255527E-41.09871652.0E-50.00201852460.0024636330.0025733621.04453951.1E-40.020002880.0243890420.0245646521.00720041.8E-4
6.23.872328E-54.7267124E-55.726665E-51.21155361.0E-51.6594635E-42.0255933E-42.2255527E-41.09871652.0E-50.00201852460.0024636330.0025733621.04453951.1E-40.020002880.0243890420.0245646521.00720041.8E-4
6.32.8356371E-53.361063E-54.3610296E-51.29751491.0E-51.2152165E-41.4403803E-41.6403515E-41.13883222.0E-50.00147852190.00175232230.0018521471.05696711.0E-40.0146872350.0173922440.0175592861.00960451.7E-4
6.42.8356371E-53.361063E-54.3610296E-51.29751491.0E-51.2152165E-41.4403803E-41.6403515E-41.13883222.0E-50.00147852190.00175232230.0018521471.05696711.0E-40.0146872350.0173922440.0175592861.00960451.7E-4
6.52.4448687E-52.8608241E-53.8607956E-51.34953961.0E-51.0477588E-41.2260124E-41.4259879E-41.16311052.0E-50.00127489980.00149169580.00159154661.06693781.0E-40.0126761050.0148217270.0149793561.0106351.6E-4
6.62.1298161E-52.4660607E-53.466036E-51.4054951.0E-59.127464E-51.05684194E-41.2568208E-41.1892232.0E-50.00111070220.00128597850.00137586271.06989569.0E-50.0110516720.01278880.0129368811.0115791.5E-4
6.71.8959729E-52.178146E-53.178124E-51.45909611.0E-58.125345E-59.334592E-51.1334405E-41.21423692.0E-59.888117E-40.00113591960.00122581741.07914099.0E-50.0098442340.0113037950.0114520981.01311991.5E-4
6.81.6691629E-51.9018706E-52.9018516E-51.52578811.0E-57.153359E-58.150629E-51.0150466E-41.24535982.0E-58.7057345E-49.919042E-40.00108181491.09064469.0E-50.0086717080.0098765270.0100250451.01503751.5E-4
6.91.450505E-51.6389824E-52.638966E-51.61012471.0E-56.216302E-57.024026E-59.023886E-51.2847172.0E-57.5657194E-48.548484E-49.447715E-41.10519189.0E-50.0075400130.0085165320.0086652551.01746281.5E-4
7.01.2940855E-51.453821E-52.4538065E-51.68783261.0E-55.545963E-56.230516E-58.2303915E-51.32098072.0E-56.750118E-47.583071E-48.482389E-41.11859549.0E-50.0067296510.00755781350.007706681.0196971.5E-4
7.11.2544658E-51.4078437E-52.4078296E-51.71029621.0E-55.3761712E-56.033479E-58.0333586E-51.33146372.0E-56.5435225E-47.343341E-48.2426803E-41.122479.0E-50.0065242880.00731966920.00746857141.02034271.5E-4
7.21.2489416E-51.4015902E-52.4015762E-51.71346531.0E-55.3524967E-56.00668E-58.00656E-51.33294262.0E-56.514716E-47.310735E-48.210077E-41.12301669.0E-50.0064956510.0072872780.00743618471.02043381.5E-4
7.31.2368307E-51.3880038E-52.3879898E-51.72044911.0E-55.3005948E-55.948455E-57.948336E-51.33620182.0E-56.451563E-47.239894E-48.1392424E-41.12422129.0E-50.00643286530.00721689870.00736581631.02063451.5E-4
7.41.2161707E-51.3648089E-52.3647954E-51.73269331.0E-55.212056E-55.8490532E-57.8489364E-51.34191572.0E-56.3438306E-47.118952E-48.018311E-41.12633319.0E-50.0063257510.00709673530.0072456711.02098641.5E-4
7.51.1707948E-51.314573E-52.3145598E-51.76069331.0E-55.0175953E-55.6337656E-57.633653E-51.35498242.0E-56.10721E-46.857007E-47.7563897E-41.13116269.0E-50.00609045340.00683643250.0069854071.02179121.5E-4
7.61.0319538E-51.157981E-52.1579694E-51.8635621.0E-54.4225842E-54.9626844E-56.962585E-51.40298772.0E-55.383166E-46.040445E-46.939901E-41.14890569.0E-50.00537014430.00602455760.0061736541.02474811.5E-4
7.78.937764E-61.0022941E-51.0022941E-51.00.03.830414E-54.295478E-55.295435E-51.2327931.0E-54.6625308E-45.2285404E-46.0281216E-41.15292638.0E-50.00465276050.0052167480.0053560181.02669671.4E-4
7.83.108007E-73.2846788E-73.2846788E-71.00.01.3320023E-61.4077187E-61.4077187E-61.00.01.6217007E-51.7138846E-51.7138846E-51.00.01.6215823E-41.713756E-41.713756E-41.00.0
7.92.5591178E-92.6696871E-92.6696871E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.1441516E-81.1441516E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3930045E-71.3930045E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3930046E-61.3930046E-61.00.0

San Andreas (Carrizo) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1674632E-42.4333803E-42.6333318E-41.08217022.0E-55.002454E-40.00104246210.00107243091.0287483.0E-50.0060734930.0126185990.0127370851.00938981.2E-40.05910160.120660750.120819031.00131181.8E-4
6.11.1674632E-42.4333803E-42.6333318E-41.08217022.0E-55.002454E-40.00104246210.00107243091.0287483.0E-50.0060734930.0126185990.0127370851.00938981.2E-40.05910160.120660750.120819031.00131181.8E-4
6.21.1674632E-42.4333803E-42.6333318E-41.08217022.0E-55.002454E-40.00104246210.00107243091.0287483.0E-50.0060734930.0126185990.0127370851.00938981.2E-40.05910160.120660750.120819031.00131181.8E-4
6.31.1674632E-42.4333803E-42.6333318E-41.08217022.0E-55.002454E-40.00104246210.00107243091.0287483.0E-50.0060734930.0126185990.0127370851.00938981.2E-40.05910160.120660750.120819031.00131181.8E-4
6.41.1674632E-42.4333803E-42.6333318E-41.08217022.0E-55.002454E-40.00104246210.00107243091.0287483.0E-50.0060734930.0126185990.0127370851.00938981.2E-40.05910160.120660750.120819031.00131181.8E-4
6.51.13136164E-42.3653745E-42.5653272E-41.08453322.0E-54.847792E-40.00101333960.00104330921.02957513.0E-50.00588622550.0122680670.0123865951.00966141.2E-40.0573273340.117630240.1177890751.00135021.8E-4
6.61.13136164E-42.3653745E-42.5653272E-41.08453322.0E-54.847792E-40.00101333960.00104330921.02957513.0E-50.00588622550.0122680670.0123865951.00966141.2E-40.0573273340.117630240.1177890751.00135021.8E-4
6.71.1149675E-42.334492E-42.5344454E-41.08565182.0E-54.777557E-40.00100011450.00103008441.02996663.0E-50.00580117340.0121088480.0122273961.00979011.2E-40.056520510.116257910.116416991.00136831.8E-4
6.81.1103589E-42.324707E-42.5246604E-41.08601242.0E-54.7578133E-49.959241E-40.00102589421.03009283.0E-50.0057772630.0120583970.01217694951.00983151.2E-40.0562935840.115818560.115977711.00137411.8E-4
6.91.1053259E-42.3139441E-42.5138978E-41.08641252.0E-54.7362508E-49.91315E-40.00102128521.03023283.0E-50.00575114970.01200290.012111581.00905441.1E-40.056045690.1153344660.1154848561.0013041.7E-4
7.01.1005377E-42.304026E-42.5039798E-41.08678462.0E-54.7157376E-49.870676E-40.00101703791.03036313.0E-50.00572630620.0119517570.0120604421.00909361.1E-40.0558097960.11488760.115029221.00123261.6E-4
7.11.0308142E-42.154949E-42.3549059E-41.09278962.0E-54.417027E-49.2322374E-49.53196E-41.03246493.0E-50.00536447760.0111826340.01128151551.00884251.0E-40.0523681380.108158580.1082923561.00123681.5E-4
7.21.0027479E-42.0957364E-42.2956944E-41.09541192.0E-54.296783E-48.978646E-49.278376E-41.03338273.0E-50.00521879220.0108770090.0109759211.00909381.0E-40.0509792120.105458210.105592391.00127231.5E-4
7.39.816942E-52.0432367E-42.1432164E-41.0489321.0E-54.2065824E-48.7538E-48.953625E-41.02282732.0E-50.0051094930.01060595550.0106950011.00839589.0E-50.0499359850.103045790.103171371.00121871.4E-4
7.49.5634205E-51.980169E-42.0801491E-41.05049071.0E-54.0979648E-48.4836874E-48.683518E-41.02355472.0E-50.00497786370.0102802360.010369311.00866469.0E-50.0486782530.1001265350.100252521.00125831.4E-4
7.58.052417E-51.612143E-41.7121268E-41.06201921.0E-53.4505792E-46.9073564E-47.107218E-41.02893462.0E-50.00419299030.008377360.0084666061.01065339.0E-50.041147530.082851460.0829798651.00154971.4E-4
7.67.897024E-51.5774513E-41.6774356E-41.06338331.0E-53.384E-46.758756E-46.9586205E-41.02957132.0E-50.00411223850.0081978140.0082870771.01088869.0E-50.0403696970.081192920.081321551.00158431.4E-4
7.76.707427E-51.3283793E-41.3283793E-41.00.02.8742946E-45.691813E-45.791756E-41.0175591.0E-50.0034938390.00690779560.00695745041.00718825.0E-50.0343941640.0690816940.069174781.00134751.0E-4
7.86.147705E-51.2204444E-41.2204444E-41.00.02.6344648E-45.229428E-45.329376E-41.01911261.0E-50.00320274360.00634826670.0063880131.0062614.0E-50.0315697640.063545920.06363021.00132639.0E-5
7.94.7636717E-58.8847315E-58.8847315E-51.00.02.0414138E-43.8071864E-43.9071482E-41.02625611.0E-50.00248258840.00462540570.00465526661.00645593.0E-50.0245503650.0466511140.0467083161.00122626.0E-5
8.03.3554235E-55.216579E-55.216579E-51.00.01.4379594E-42.2354853E-42.3354629E-41.0447231.0E-50.00174930970.0027183080.00273825371.00733762.0E-50.0173560340.0278948660.0279434711.00174255.0E-5
8.11.9175432E-51.9196985E-51.9196985E-51.00.08.217783E-58.22702E-59.226938E-51.12154071.0E-50.00100005580.001001180.001011171.00997821.0E-50.0099556730.0107642820.0107840671.0018382.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.478665E-65.478665E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3479783E-52.3479783E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.8582895E-42.8582895E-41.00.00.00450013950.00325084690.00325084691.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6647797E-77.6647797E-71.00.08.498917E-63.2849016E-63.2849016E-61.00.01.034694E-43.999296E-53.999296E-51.00.00.00103421244.7228087E-44.7228087E-41.00.0

Cady

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.9892565E-52.1859016E-53.18588E-51.45746711.0E-58.525106E-59.3678645E-51.336749E-41.42695164.0E-50.00103743740.00114003160.00121994051.07009358.0E-50.0103260750.0113508490.0115189191.01480691.7E-4
6.11.9892565E-52.1859016E-53.18588E-51.45746711.0E-58.525106E-59.3678645E-51.336749E-41.42695164.0E-50.00103743740.00114003160.00121994051.07009358.0E-50.0103260750.0113508490.0115189191.01480691.7E-4
6.21.9892565E-52.1859016E-53.18588E-51.45746711.0E-58.525106E-59.3678645E-51.336749E-41.42695164.0E-50.00103743740.00114003160.00121994051.07009358.0E-50.0103260750.0113508490.0115189191.01480691.7E-4
6.31.1117327E-51.2176738E-52.2176615E-51.8212281.0E-54.764482E-55.218515E-57.2184106E-51.38323082.0E-55.7992124E-46.3520053E-46.751751E-41.06293234.0E-50.00578410220.00633695540.00640651161.01097637.0E-5
6.41.1117327E-51.2176738E-52.2176615E-51.8212281.0E-54.764482E-55.218515E-57.2184106E-51.38323082.0E-55.7992124E-46.3520053E-46.751751E-41.06293234.0E-50.00578410220.00633695540.00640651161.01097637.0E-5
6.56.103093E-66.672103E-66.672103E-61.00.02.615585E-52.8594486E-52.8594486E-51.00.03.1840094E-43.4809482E-43.5809132E-41.02871781.0E-50.00317945120.00347672960.00348669481.00286631.0E-5
6.65.817237E-66.365738E-66.365738E-61.00.02.4930776E-52.728152E-52.728152E-51.00.03.034899E-43.3211432E-43.4211102E-41.03010011.0E-50.00303075770.0033174020.00332736881.00300441.0E-5
6.74.8846314E-65.3406343E-65.3406343E-61.00.02.0933967E-52.2888298E-52.2888298E-51.00.02.5484123E-42.7864118E-42.886384E-41.03587841.0E-50.00254549180.00278407360.00279404571.00358191.0E-5
6.81.7788773E-61.9399313E-61.9399313E-61.00.07.6237375E-68.313974E-68.313974E-61.00.09.281505E-51.01219506E-41.01219506E-41.00.09.2776294E-40.00101188860.00101188861.00.0
6.97.5455404E-78.297202E-78.297202E-71.00.03.233799E-63.5559406E-63.5559406E-61.00.03.937079E-54.3293054E-54.3293054E-51.00.03.9363815E-44.3287914E-44.3287914E-41.00.0
7.06.8578805E-77.541916E-77.541916E-71.00.02.9390883E-63.2322475E-63.2322475E-61.00.03.578281E-53.9352235E-53.9352235E-51.00.03.577705E-43.9348513E-43.9348513E-41.00.0

White Wolf (Extension)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.222555E-66.0666557E-61.6066595E-52.64834451.0E-53.5239045E-52.5999732E-54.599921E-51.76921872.0E-54.289509E-43.165074E-43.564947E-41.12633934.0E-50.00428123870.00316121780.00333068051.05360671.7E-4
6.18.222555E-66.0666557E-61.6066595E-52.64834451.0E-53.5239045E-52.5999732E-54.599921E-51.76921872.0E-54.289509E-43.165074E-43.564947E-41.12633934.0E-50.00428123870.00316121780.00333068051.05360671.7E-4
6.28.222555E-66.0666557E-61.6066595E-52.64834451.0E-53.5239045E-52.5999732E-54.599921E-51.76921872.0E-54.289509E-43.165074E-43.564947E-41.12633934.0E-50.00428123870.00316121780.00333068051.05360671.7E-4
6.38.222555E-66.0666557E-61.6066595E-52.64834451.0E-53.5239045E-52.5999732E-54.599921E-51.76921872.0E-54.289509E-43.165074E-43.564947E-41.12633934.0E-50.00428123870.00316121780.00333068051.05360671.7E-4
6.45.821773E-63.5571516E-61.3557116E-53.8112281.0E-52.4950215E-51.5244852E-53.5244546E-52.31189822.0E-53.0372653E-41.8559136E-42.2558394E-41.21548724.0E-50.00303311760.00185447210.00201417531.0861181.6E-4
6.55.766023E-63.4990853E-61.34990505E-53.85787961.0E-52.4711293E-51.4996E-53.49957E-52.3336692.0E-53.0081844E-41.825621E-42.225548E-41.21906354.0E-50.00300411580.00182422940.00198393761.08754831.6E-4
6.64.643576E-62.3325927E-61.2332569E-55.2870651.0E-51.9900888E-59.99679E-62.999659E-53.00062232.0E-52.4226638E-41.2170455E-41.4170211E-41.16431242.0E-50.00242002420.00121642140.00131629981.08210841.0E-4
6.73.9529173E-61.6483134E-61.1648297E-57.06679731.0E-51.6940963E-57.0641822E-62.7064041E-53.8311642.0E-52.0623671E-48.6003216E-51.0600149E-41.23252942.0E-50.0020604548.5971784E-49.4964047E-41.10459559.0E-5
6.83.4377522E-61.2244896E-61.1224477E-59.1666581.0E-51.473314E-55.247802E-62.5247697E-54.8110992.0E-51.7936122E-46.389021E-58.388893E-51.3130172.0E-50.00179216526.3872756E-46.8869564E-41.07823065.0E-5
6.93.1367306E-61.0033432E-61.1003333E-510.9666691.0E-51.3443062E-54.300036E-62.429995E-55.6511042.0E-51.63657E-45.2351756E-57.235071E-51.38201122.0E-50.00163536525.234019E-45.6338095E-41.07638314.0E-5
7.02.8298145E-67.4283355E-77.4283355E-71.00.01.2127721E-53.1835689E-61.3183537E-54.1411191.0E-51.47645E-43.875931E-54.8758924E-51.25799251.0E-50.00147546933.875305E-44.0752275E-41.05158892.0E-5
7.12.4091064E-65.422472E-75.422472E-71.00.01.03247E-52.323915E-61.23238915E-55.30307341.0E-51.2569598E-42.8293338E-53.8293056E-51.353431.0E-50.0012562492.829014E-43.0289573E-41.0706762.0E-5
7.21.3875518E-61.074062E-71.074062E-71.00.05.9466374E-64.603122E-71.0460308E-522.7243751.0E-57.23979E-55.604288E-61.5604232E-52.7843381.0E-57.2374323E-45.604158E-56.604102E-51.17842891.0E-5
7.37.056077E-75.0005806E-85.0005806E-81.00.03.0240296E-62.1431059E-72.1431059E-71.00.03.681694E-52.6092287E-62.6092287E-61.00.03.681084E-42.6092028E-52.6092028E-51.00.0
7.45.9334678E-84.8638475E-94.8638475E-91.00.02.5429145E-72.084506E-82.084506E-81.00.03.095994E-62.5378858E-72.5378858E-71.00.03.095951E-52.5378843E-62.5378843E-61.00.0

Elsinore (Glen Ivy) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6204086E-42.9373635E-43.037334E-41.03403411.0E-56.94276E-40.00125841740.0012983671.03174594.0E-50.0084200970.015234840.0153431651.00711021.1E-40.0810811450.139625530.139763191.0009861.6E-4
6.11.6204086E-42.9373635E-43.037334E-41.03403411.0E-56.94276E-40.00125841740.0012983671.03174594.0E-50.0084200970.015234840.0153431651.00711021.1E-40.0810811450.139625530.139763191.0009861.6E-4
6.21.6204086E-42.9373635E-43.037334E-41.03403411.0E-56.94276E-40.00125841740.0012983671.03174594.0E-50.0084200970.015234840.0153431651.00711021.1E-40.0810811450.139625530.139763191.0009861.6E-4
6.31.0111737E-41.7703637E-41.870346E-41.05647551.0E-54.332882E-47.586233E-47.98593E-41.0526874.0E-50.0052625310.0092178110.0093069811.00967379.0E-50.05139640.087073890.087192571.0013631.3E-4
6.41.0111737E-41.7703637E-41.870346E-41.05647551.0E-54.332882E-47.586233E-47.98593E-41.0526874.0E-50.0052625310.0092178110.0093069811.00967379.0E-50.05139640.087073890.087192571.0013631.3E-4
6.53.6624708E-54.6393732E-54.6393732E-51.00.01.569536E-41.9881714E-42.2881117E-41.15086253.0E-50.0019092350.00241827220.00244819951.01237563.0E-50.018929150.0236970150.0237458311.00205995.0E-5
6.62.5051324E-52.6148944E-52.6148944E-51.00.01.073584E-41.1206234E-41.2206122E-41.0892261.0E-50.00130630470.00136354960.0013735361.00732371.0E-50.0129865250.0135657120.0135755751.00072721.0E-5
6.72.2189772E-52.2073793E-52.2073793E-51.00.09.509556E-59.459874E-51.045978E-41.10569971.0E-50.00115717340.00115116760.0011611561.00867691.0E-50.0115116630.0114664030.0114762891.00086211.0E-5
6.81.6654378E-51.4438363E-51.4438363E-51.00.07.137396E-56.187726E-57.1876646E-51.16160021.0E-58.686314E-47.5310044E-47.630929E-41.01326851.0E-50.0086524390.00751026630.00752019141.00132161.0E-5
6.91.5042909E-51.2332568E-51.2332568E-51.00.06.446802E-55.285281E-56.285228E-51.18919471.0E-57.8461546E-46.432961E-46.5328967E-41.0155351.0E-50.0078185090.00641809640.0064280321.0015481.0E-5
7.01.4361385E-51.1451833E-51.1451833E-51.00.06.154734E-54.907838E-55.9077887E-51.20374571.0E-57.490812E-45.973684E-46.073624E-41.01673011.0E-50.0074656120.00596086030.00597080081.00166761.0E-5
7.11.3265571E-51.0245265E-51.0245265E-51.00.05.6851208E-54.3907552E-55.3907115E-51.22774121.0E-56.919436E-45.3444586E-45.444405E-41.0187011.0E-50.0068979310.0053346820.0053446291.00186461.0E-5
7.21.1596403E-58.505279E-68.505279E-61.00.04.9697923E-53.6450696E-54.645033E-51.27433321.0E-56.049042E-44.4369852E-44.5369408E-41.02252781.0E-50.0060326030.0044294510.0044394071.00224761.0E-5
7.31.0150827E-57.238911E-67.238911E-61.00.04.3502816E-53.1023545E-54.1023235E-51.32232581.0E-55.2951806E-43.7764764E-43.8764387E-41.02646971.0E-50.0052825810.0037704530.00378041531.00264221.0E-5
7.49.080705E-66.352632E-66.352632E-61.00.03.8916725E-52.7225291E-53.7225018E-51.36729551.0E-54.7370812E-43.3141885E-43.4141555E-41.03016331.0E-50.0047269960.00330939470.00331936171.00301171.0E-5
7.57.671649E-65.2257096E-65.2257096E-61.00.03.287808E-52.2395712E-53.239549E-51.4465041.0E-54.0021708E-42.7263493E-42.8263222E-41.03666911.0E-50.00399497060.00272312970.00273310251.00366221.0E-5
7.66.990086E-64.6875944E-64.6875944E-61.00.02.9957167E-52.0089543E-53.0089343E-51.49776141.0E-53.6466747E-42.445639E-42.5456146E-41.04087911.0E-50.00364069640.00244306380.00245303941.00408331.0E-5
7.74.163505E-62.3295045E-62.3295045E-61.00.01.7843471E-59.983556E-69.983556E-61.00.02.172226E-41.2154376E-41.2154376E-41.00.00.00217010380.00121484590.00121484591.00.0
7.82.2692414E-79.384624E-89.384624E-81.00.09.725317E-74.021981E-74.021981E-71.00.01.1840509E-54.8967545E-64.8967545E-61.00.01.1839878E-44.8966795E-54.8966795E-51.00.0
7.96.676829E-93.4397993E-93.4397993E-91.00.02.861498E-81.4741998E-81.4741998E-81.00.03.4838732E-71.794838E-71.794838E-71.00.03.4838679E-61.7948367E-61.7948367E-61.00.0

San Andreas (Cholame) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2302514E-42.5215113E-42.7214608E-41.07929752.0E-55.27144E-40.00108020180.00111016931.02774263.0E-50.00639910860.0130726590.0131713521.00754951.0E-40.062179490.124426990.124567081.00112591.6E-4
6.11.2302514E-42.5215113E-42.7214608E-41.07929752.0E-55.27144E-40.00108020180.00111016931.02774263.0E-50.00639910860.0130726590.0131713521.00754951.0E-40.062179490.124426990.124567081.00112591.6E-4
6.21.2203569E-42.5031884E-42.7031385E-41.07987812.0E-55.2290526E-40.00107235570.00110232351.02794583.0E-50.0063478040.0129782740.0130769771.00760521.0E-40.0616951360.123614450.123754671.00113441.6E-4
6.31.2142645E-42.4917856E-42.6917356E-41.08024372.0E-55.202953E-40.00106747260.00109744061.02807383.0E-50.0063162120.012919530.0130182381.00764021.0E-40.061396770.12310770.1232481.00113961.6E-4
6.41.1865206E-42.4423326E-42.6422838E-41.08186892.0E-55.0840975E-40.00104629560.00107626431.02864253.0E-50.0061723350.0126647230.0127634561.00779591.0E-40.0600368680.120905320.121045981.00116341.6E-4
6.51.17443946E-42.4216558E-42.6216073E-41.08256822.0E-55.032341E-40.00103744130.00106741011.02888733.0E-50.0061096770.0125581660.012656911.00786291.0E-40.0594440770.119982590.12012341.00117351.6E-4
6.61.13579066E-42.3525437E-42.5524967E-41.08499432.0E-54.866766E-40.00100784490.00103781481.02973653.0E-50.00590920170.0122019190.0123006991.00809541.0E-40.0575451850.116903840.1170451341.00120871.6E-4
6.71.1271412E-42.3369725E-42.536926E-41.08556082.0E-54.829711E-40.00100117680.00103114671.02993483.0E-50.0058643310.012121640.0122204281.00814971.0E-40.0571196970.116207690.116349091.00121691.6E-4
6.81.1217975E-42.325812E-42.5257654E-41.08597152.0E-54.8068175E-49.963973E-40.00102636741.03007853.0E-50.0058366080.01206409650.012162891.00818911.0E-40.0568567250.115706670.1158481541.00122281.6E-4
6.91.1146753E-42.3106842E-42.510638E-41.08653452.0E-54.7763053E-49.89919E-40.00101988931.03027553.0E-50.00579965770.0119860930.0120848951.0082431.0E-40.0565061270.115026930.115168531.0012311.6E-4
7.01.0965793E-42.2730078E-42.4729624E-41.08796922.0E-54.698779E-49.737841E-40.00100375481.03077773.0E-50.0057057680.0117917940.0118906141.00838051.0E-40.0556147360.11333080.11346381.00117361.5E-4
7.19.927982E-52.0548643E-42.2548232E-41.09731012.0E-54.2541555E-48.8035996E-49.1033353E-41.0340473.0E-50.00516714060.0106660.0107649331.00927561.0E-40.050486340.103433330.103567821.00130021.5E-4
7.29.696786E-52.005288E-42.2052479E-41.09971632.0E-54.1551032E-48.591271E-48.891013E-41.03488923.0E-50.005047110.0104099880.0105089471.00950611.0E-40.049340090.101168810.101303641.00133261.5E-4
7.39.4727984E-51.9481927E-42.0481732E-41.05131961.0E-54.0591392E-48.346735E-48.5465686E-41.02394152.0E-50.00493080870.0101150680.0102041591.00880779.0E-50.0482282680.098543720.098669921.00128071.4E-4
7.49.220358E-51.8852325E-41.9852136E-41.05303381.0E-53.9509835E-48.077075E-48.2769134E-41.02474142.0E-50.0047997170.0097897460.00987886451.00910339.0E-50.0469736530.0956160650.095742681.00132421.4E-4
7.57.71631E-51.5186344E-41.6186193E-41.06583861.0E-53.306571E-46.5068115E-46.7066815E-41.0307172.0E-50.00401832070.0078933390.0079826281.0113129.0E-50.039464330.078324330.078453371.00164751.4E-4
7.67.5634416E-51.484566E-41.584551E-41.06734981.0E-53.241072E-46.360876E-46.5607484E-41.03142232.0E-50.00393886720.0077169340.00780623961.01157279.0E-50.0386977940.076688040.0768173041.00168561.4E-4
7.76.3783E-51.2365977E-41.2365977E-41.00.02.7332708E-45.298629E-45.3985754E-41.01886281.0E-50.00332267980.0064320250.0064817041.00772365.0E-50.0327343640.064571850.064665391.00144861.0E-4
7.85.863422E-51.1422686E-41.1422686E-41.00.02.512653E-44.8945186E-44.99447E-41.0204211.0E-50.0030548640.00594281540.0059825781.00669094.0E-50.0301320940.059689550.059774181.00141789.0E-5
7.94.595283E-58.431093E-58.431093E-51.00.01.9692584E-43.6128255E-43.7127893E-41.02766921.0E-50.00239493580.00438975030.00441961881.00680413.0E-50.0236928910.0443840850.044441421.00129196.0E-5
8.03.2950178E-55.08012E-55.08012E-51.00.01.412074E-42.1770128E-42.276991E-41.04592451.0E-50.00171784440.0026472930.002667241.00753492.0E-50.0170462560.027193750.027242391.00178865.0E-5
8.11.9177472E-51.9197154E-51.9197154E-51.00.08.218658E-58.2270926E-59.227011E-51.12153961.0E-50.00100016220.00100118890.0010111791.00997821.0E-50.0099567280.0107643980.0107841831.0018382.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.478665E-65.478665E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3479783E-52.3479783E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.8582895E-42.8582895E-41.00.00.00450013950.00325084690.00325084691.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6647797E-77.6647797E-71.00.08.498917E-63.2849016E-63.2849016E-61.00.01.034694E-43.999296E-53.999296E-51.00.00.00103421244.7228087E-44.7228087E-41.00.0

San Andreas (North Branch Mill Creek)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.3461156E-52.350783E-53.3507593E-51.42538021.0E-55.7689394E-51.0074397E-41.3074094E-41.29775453.0E-57.02142E-40.0012258710.00131576071.07332729.0E-50.00699927660.0122325220.0123806871.01211241.5E-4
6.11.3461156E-52.350783E-53.3507593E-51.42538021.0E-55.7689394E-51.0074397E-41.3074094E-41.29775453.0E-57.02142E-40.0012258710.00131576071.07332729.0E-50.00699927660.0122325220.0123806871.01211241.5E-4
6.21.3461156E-52.350783E-53.3507593E-51.42538021.0E-55.7689394E-51.0074397E-41.3074094E-41.29775453.0E-57.02142E-40.0012258710.00131576071.07332729.0E-50.00699927660.0122325220.0123806871.01211241.5E-4
6.31.3461156E-52.350783E-53.3507593E-51.42538021.0E-55.7689394E-51.0074397E-41.3074094E-41.29775453.0E-57.02142E-40.0012258710.00131576071.07332729.0E-50.00699927660.0122325220.0123806871.01211241.5E-4
6.41.3461156E-52.350783E-53.3507593E-51.42538021.0E-55.7689394E-51.0074397E-41.3074094E-41.29775453.0E-57.02142E-40.0012258710.00131576071.07332729.0E-50.00699927660.0122325220.0123806871.01211241.5E-4
6.51.3450706E-52.349679E-53.3496555E-51.425581.0E-55.764461E-51.00696656E-41.3069363E-41.29789453.0E-57.0159714E-40.00122529560.00131518531.07336169.0E-50.0069938620.0122268310.0123749971.01211811.5E-4
6.61.3074523E-52.3111072E-53.311084E-51.43268311.0E-55.6032466E-59.9043704E-51.2904074E-41.30286663.0E-56.8198174E-40.00120519320.00129508481.07458699.0E-50.0067989260.0120279970.0121761921.01232091.5E-4
6.71.3050216E-52.3086368E-53.3086137E-51.4331461.0E-55.59283E-59.893784E-51.2893487E-41.30319073.0E-56.8071426E-40.00120390580.00129379751.07466669.0E-50.00678632870.0120152620.0121634591.01233411.5E-4
6.81.29049395E-52.2934775E-53.2934546E-51.4360091.0E-55.530571E-59.8288205E-51.2828526E-41.30519493.0E-56.73139E-40.00119600510.00128589761.07516059.0E-50.00671103640.0119371050.0120853151.01241591.5E-4
6.91.2867369E-52.2894177E-53.289395E-51.43678221.0E-55.51447E-59.811423E-51.2811128E-41.30573613.0E-56.711799E-40.00119388930.0012837821.07529399.0E-50.0066915640.0119161740.0120643871.01243791.5E-4
7.01.2495996E-52.2294238E-53.2294014E-51.44853641.0E-55.3553173E-59.5543255E-51.2554039E-41.31396393.0E-56.518148E-40.00116262120.00125251651.07732139.0E-50.00649906230.0116067710.0117550291.01277351.5E-4
7.11.2452067E-52.2239308E-53.2239088E-51.44964421.0E-55.3364907E-59.5307856E-51.25305E-41.31473953.0E-56.4952404E-40.00115975830.0012496541.07751249.0E-50.00647628870.011578440.01172670351.01280511.5E-4
7.21.2002777E-52.1617801E-53.1617587E-51.46257171.0E-55.143946E-59.264445E-51.2264166E-41.32378863.0E-56.2609545E-40.00112736520.00121726361.07974229.0E-50.0062433440.011257840.0114061521.0131741.5E-4
7.31.1923425E-52.1487636E-53.148742E-51.46537391.0E-55.109939E-59.208664E-51.2208387E-41.32575023.0E-56.219575E-40.00112058080.00121047991.08022559.0E-50.00620219620.0111907120.0113390341.01325391.5E-4
7.41.16105175E-52.0861535E-53.0861327E-51.47934111.0E-54.975841E-58.9403526E-51.19400844E-41.33552723.0E-56.0564023E-40.00108794690.0011778491.08263469.0E-50.0060399230.0108681740.0110165441.01365171.5E-4
7.51.1037265E-51.9561343E-52.9561148E-51.51120231.0E-54.7301706E-58.383165E-51.1382913E-41.357833.0E-55.757461E-40.00102017460.0011000931.07833798.0E-50.0057425670.0101986310.0103372041.01358741.4E-4
7.61.0720915E-51.9003148E-52.9002957E-51.52621871.0E-54.5945973E-58.143953E-51.1143708E-41.36834143.0E-55.592486E-49.910774E-40.00107099811.08064028.0E-50.0055784330.0099103010.0100489141.01398671.4E-4
7.79.276279E-61.6448577E-52.6448412E-51.60794531.0E-53.9754876E-57.0492E-51.0048989E-41.42555023.0E-54.839081E-48.579039E-49.3783526E-41.09317058.0E-50.00482855740.0085894260.0087282241.0161591.4E-4
7.85.8346777E-61.1160578E-52.1160466E-51.8960011.0E-52.5005522E-54.783017E-57.7828736E-51.62718923.0E-53.043997E-45.8217684E-46.6213025E-41.13733538.0E-50.00303983080.00584963570.00598881671.02379311.4E-4
7.94.690204E-68.513636E-61.851355E-52.17457631.0E-52.0100719E-53.64865E-56.648541E-51.82219183.0E-52.4469878E-44.4413272E-45.240972E-41.18004638.0E-50.0024442950.0044730710.0046124451.03115841.4E-4
8.02.9570454E-64.8496286E-61.484958E-53.06200361.0E-51.267299E-52.0783957E-54.0783543E-51.96226062.0E-51.5428272E-42.530153E-42.8300774E-41.11853993.0E-50.00154175660.00255097980.00260085241.01955035.0E-5
8.11.6376824E-62.1982057E-62.1982057E-61.00.07.01862E-69.420847E-69.420847E-61.00.08.544835E-51.146928E-41.146928E-41.00.08.54155E-40.00116133060.0011713191.00860081.0E-5
8.26.9631557E-74.5391383E-74.5391383E-71.00.02.984206E-61.9453435E-61.9453435E-61.00.03.63321E-52.36843E-52.36843E-51.00.03.6326164E-42.4532314E-42.4532314E-41.00.0
8.31.7876137E-78.3658875E-88.3658875E-81.00.07.661199E-73.58538E-73.58538E-71.00.09.32747E-64.3651917E-64.3651917E-61.00.09.3270784E-54.5847937E-54.5847937E-51.00.0

Deep Springs

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.9810619E-52.311303E-53.31128E-51.43264641.0E-58.489989E-59.9054945E-51.19052966E-41.20188812.0E-50.0010331660.00120583440.001275751.05798117.0E-50.0102837570.0120426960.012181011.01148531.4E-4
6.11.9810619E-52.311303E-53.31128E-51.43264641.0E-58.489989E-59.9054945E-51.19052966E-41.20188812.0E-50.0010331660.00120583440.001275751.05798117.0E-50.0102837570.0120426960.012181011.01148531.4E-4
6.21.9810619E-52.311303E-53.31128E-51.43264641.0E-58.489989E-59.9054945E-51.19052966E-41.20188812.0E-50.0010331660.00120583440.001275751.05798117.0E-50.0102837570.0120426960.012181011.01148531.4E-4
6.31.9810619E-52.311303E-53.31128E-51.43264641.0E-58.489989E-59.9054945E-51.19052966E-41.20188812.0E-50.0010331660.00120583440.001275751.05798117.0E-50.0102837570.0120426960.012181011.01148531.4E-4
6.41.9810619E-52.311303E-53.31128E-51.43264641.0E-58.489989E-59.9054945E-51.19052966E-41.20188812.0E-50.0010331660.00120583440.001275751.05798117.0E-50.0102837570.0120426960.012181011.01148531.4E-4
6.51.7190405E-52.0051E-52.0051E-51.00.07.367108E-58.593286E-59.5931995E-51.116361.0E-58.9657627E-40.00104623230.001096181.04774065.0E-50.0089296760.0104622920.010551351.00851249.0E-5
6.61.7190405E-52.0051E-52.0051E-51.00.07.367108E-58.593286E-59.5931995E-51.116361.0E-58.9657627E-40.00104623230.001096181.04774065.0E-50.0089296760.0104622920.010551351.00851249.0E-5

Baker

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.695525E-65.834856E-61.5834798E-52.71382831.0E-52.4409164E-52.500631E-54.500581E-51.79977812.0E-52.9714106E-43.044133E-43.444011E-41.13136034.0E-50.00296744050.00304035870.00316996341.04262821.3E-4
6.15.695525E-65.834856E-61.5834798E-52.71382831.0E-52.4409164E-52.500631E-54.500581E-51.79977812.0E-52.9714106E-43.044133E-43.444011E-41.13136034.0E-50.00296744050.00304035870.00316996341.04262821.3E-4
6.25.695525E-65.834856E-61.5834798E-52.71382831.0E-52.4409164E-52.500631E-54.500581E-51.79977812.0E-52.9714106E-43.044133E-43.444011E-41.13136034.0E-50.00296744050.00304035870.00316996341.04262821.3E-4
6.33.2995713E-63.3836786E-63.3836786E-61.00.01.4140943E-51.4501402E-52.4501256E-51.68957851.0E-51.7215237E-41.7654074E-41.8653898E-41.05663421.0E-50.00172019070.00176405210.00183392851.03961137.0E-5
6.43.2995713E-63.3836786E-63.3836786E-61.00.01.4140943E-51.4501402E-52.4501256E-51.68957851.0E-51.7215237E-41.7654074E-41.8653898E-41.05663421.0E-50.00172019070.00176405210.00183392851.03961137.0E-5
6.52.782202E-62.8558507E-62.8558507E-61.00.01.1923668E-51.2239304E-52.223918E-51.817031.0E-51.4516099E-41.4900367E-41.5900217E-41.06710241.0E-50.0014506620.00148907040.00154898111.04023366.0E-5
6.62.3163404E-62.380929E-62.380929E-61.00.09.927136E-61.0203942E-52.020384E-51.98000341.0E-51.20856166E-41.2422612E-41.3422487E-41.08048831.0E-50.00120790470.0012415870.00128153731.03217694.0E-5
6.72.037056E-62.0965088E-62.0965088E-61.00.08.7302105E-68.985007E-61.8984918E-52.1129551.0E-51.0628513E-41.0938713E-41.1938604E-41.09140841.0E-50.00106234310.00109334910.00113330531.03654484.0E-5
6.81.8356744E-61.8915364E-61.8915364E-61.00.07.867153E-68.10656E-61.8106479E-52.2335591.0E-59.577837E-59.869304E-51.0869205E-41.10131431.0E-59.57371E-49.865061E-40.00102646661.04050724.0E-5
6.91.6310546E-61.6832144E-61.6832144E-61.00.06.9902153E-67.213757E-61.7213684E-52.38623021.0E-58.510255E-58.782406E-59.7823184E-51.1138541.0E-58.5069967E-48.779048E-49.178697E-41.0455234.0E-5
7.01.2058036E-61.2508729E-61.2508729E-61.00.05.1677193E-65.3608724E-65.3608724E-61.00.06.291517E-56.526669E-56.526669E-51.00.06.289736E-46.5247755E-46.82458E-41.04594863.0E-5
7.11.052382E-61.0951668E-61.0951668E-61.00.04.5102006E-64.693564E-64.693564E-61.00.05.491031E-55.7142646E-55.7142646E-51.00.05.4896745E-45.712804E-46.012633E-41.05248363.0E-5
7.21.0067454E-61.0487769E-61.0487769E-61.00.04.3146156E-64.4947506E-64.4947506E-61.00.05.252918E-55.4722223E-55.4722223E-51.00.05.251676E-45.4708833E-45.6707737E-41.03653722.0E-5
7.39.3596316E-79.76778E-79.76778E-71.00.04.0112645E-64.186185E-64.186185E-61.00.04.8836053E-55.0965617E-55.0965617E-51.00.04.8825322E-45.095401E-45.295299E-41.03923112.0E-5
7.48.8117395E-79.2077187E-79.2077187E-71.00.03.7764542E-63.9461593E-63.9461593E-61.00.04.5977362E-54.8043436E-54.8043436E-51.00.04.596785E-44.8033125E-45.003217E-41.0416182.0E-5
7.58.292386E-78.674649E-78.674649E-71.00.03.5538749E-63.7177015E-63.7177015E-61.00.04.326757E-54.5262084E-54.5262084E-51.00.04.3259145E-44.5252938E-44.7252033E-41.0441762.0E-5
7.67.553842E-77.9145207E-77.9145207E-71.00.03.2373566E-63.3919332E-63.3919332E-61.00.03.9414106E-54.129601E-54.129601E-51.00.03.9407116E-44.1288408E-44.3287582E-41.04841972.0E-5
7.76.5285366E-76.852842E-76.852842E-71.00.02.797941E-62.9369291E-62.9369291E-61.00.03.40644E-53.5756533E-53.5756533E-51.00.03.405918E-43.5750846E-43.6750486E-41.02796141.0E-5
7.83.4586725E-73.648288E-73.648288E-71.00.01.4822873E-61.5635511E-61.5635511E-61.00.01.80467E-51.9036073E-51.9036073E-51.00.01.8045233E-41.9034486E-41.9034486E-41.00.0
7.92.5591178E-92.6696871E-92.6696871E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.1441516E-81.1441516E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3930045E-71.3930045E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3930046E-61.3930046E-61.00.0

Calico-Hidalgo

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.0906612E-55.0705254E-55.0705254E-51.00.01.7530227E-42.172924E-42.172924E-41.00.00.00213221580.00264272440.00266267171.0075482.0E-50.021118730.0261532680.0262701291.00446831.2E-4
6.14.0906612E-55.0705254E-55.0705254E-51.00.01.7530227E-42.172924E-42.172924E-41.00.00.00213221580.00264272440.00266267171.0075482.0E-50.021118730.0261532680.0262701291.00446831.2E-4
6.24.0906612E-55.0705254E-55.0705254E-51.00.01.7530227E-42.172924E-42.172924E-41.00.00.00213221580.00264272440.00266267171.0075482.0E-50.021118730.0261532680.0262701291.00446831.2E-4
6.32.4242801E-53.0091267E-53.0091267E-51.00.01.0389358E-41.2895638E-41.2895638E-41.00.00.00126417040.00156894680.00157893111.00636371.0E-50.012570030.0155823830.0156316031.00315885.0E-5
6.42.4242801E-53.0091267E-53.0091267E-51.00.01.0389358E-41.2895638E-41.2895638E-41.00.00.00126417040.00156894680.00157893111.00636371.0E-50.012570030.0155823830.0156316031.00315885.0E-5
6.52.0286952E-52.531624E-52.531624E-51.00.08.694118E-51.08493754E-41.08493754E-41.00.00.00105799490.00132012820.0013301151.0075651.0E-50.0105297190.0131247960.013174141.00375965.0E-5
6.62.0269223E-52.529719E-52.529719E-51.00.08.6865206E-51.0841212E-41.0841212E-41.00.00.00105707070.00131913540.00132912221.00757071.0E-50.0105205650.0131149860.0131643291.00376255.0E-5
6.71.799852E-52.2541075E-52.2541075E-51.00.07.713423E-59.6601114E-59.6601114E-51.00.09.3870464E-40.00117549860.00118548681.0084971.0E-50.0093474930.0116944190.0117339511.00338044.0E-5
6.81.7458793E-52.1842718E-52.1842718E-51.00.07.4821255E-59.360837E-59.360837E-51.00.09.10568E-40.00113910050.00114908911.00876891.0E-50.0090684590.0113342010.0113737481.00348914.0E-5
6.91.542884E-51.9026409E-51.9026409E-51.00.06.612192E-58.153928E-58.153928E-51.00.08.04737E-49.923017E-49.923017E-41.00.00.0080182910.0098801070.00990981051.00300653.0E-5
7.01.468253E-51.8031209E-51.8031209E-51.00.06.292361E-57.7274395E-57.7274395E-51.00.07.658257E-49.404227E-49.404227E-41.00.00.00763191840.0093657970.0093955161.00317313.0E-5
7.11.3139281E-51.620149E-51.620149E-51.00.05.6309986E-56.9433176E-56.9433176E-51.00.06.853584E-48.450336E-48.450336E-41.00.00.00683248560.0084195010.0084393331.00235552.0E-5
7.21.1127404E-51.3867119E-51.3867119E-51.00.04.7688E-55.9429218E-55.9429218E-51.00.05.8044674E-47.233214E-47.233214E-41.00.00.00578932980.0072107790.0072207071.00137691.0E-5
7.39.808154E-61.2176658E-51.2176658E-51.00.04.2034266E-55.2184692E-55.2184692E-51.00.05.11647E-46.3517416E-46.3517416E-41.00.00.00510470570.0063346630.00634459961.00156871.0E-5
7.47.942452E-69.792409E-69.792409E-61.00.03.4038632E-54.1966847E-54.1966847E-51.00.04.1434157E-45.10836E-45.10836E-41.00.00.00413569850.0050975590.0051075081.00195171.0E-5
7.54.7121216E-65.7729853E-65.7729853E-61.00.02.019465E-52.4741174E-52.4741174E-51.00.02.4584212E-43.011898E-43.011898E-41.00.00.00245570320.00300856840.00301853851.00331391.0E-5
7.62.21172E-72.6040198E-72.6040198E-71.00.09.478797E-71.1160082E-61.1160082E-61.00.01.1540374E-51.3587343E-51.3587343E-51.00.01.1539775E-41.3586794E-41.3586794E-41.00.0

Santa Ynez (West)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.7352758E-55.49722E-56.4971646E-51.18190011.0E-52.0292461E-42.3557546E-42.4557312E-41.04243921.0E-50.00246780760.00286462760.00295436991.03132779.0E-50.0244058180.0283051340.0284314531.00446281.3E-4
6.14.7352758E-55.49722E-55.49722E-51.00.02.0292461E-42.3557546E-42.3557546E-41.00.00.00246780760.00286462760.00294439841.02784688.0E-50.0244058180.0283051340.028412021.00377621.1E-4
6.23.0415853E-53.392567E-53.392567E-51.00.01.3034715E-41.4538778E-41.4538778E-41.00.00.00158582120.00176869380.00180862311.02257564.0E-50.0157455220.017550120.0176090651.00335876.0E-5
6.33.0415853E-53.392567E-53.392567E-51.00.01.3034715E-41.4538778E-41.4538778E-41.00.00.00158582120.00176869380.00180862311.02257564.0E-50.0157455220.017550120.0176090651.00335876.0E-5
6.42.5452082E-52.7912814E-52.7912814E-51.00.01.09075794E-41.1962098E-41.1962098E-41.00.00.00132718870.00145543130.00149537321.02744334.0E-50.0131929020.0144611640.0145104421.00340755.0E-5
6.52.3143784E-52.5128551E-52.5128551E-51.00.09.9183875E-51.0768943E-41.0768943E-41.00.00.00120689480.00131034480.00135029241.03048634.0E-50.0120036110.0130278530.0130772021.00378795.0E-5
6.61.9118515E-52.0354546E-52.0354546E-51.00.08.193392E-58.7230896E-58.7230896E-51.00.09.97089E-40.00106152660.00106152661.00.00.009926270.0105654720.0105753661.00093651.0E-5
6.71.722807E-51.8146504E-51.8146504E-51.00.07.3832496E-57.776845E-57.776845E-51.00.08.985399E-49.464251E-49.464251E-41.00.00.0089491540.00942459050.0094344971.00105111.0E-5
6.81.5317364E-51.5926595E-51.5926595E-51.00.06.56442E-56.825507E-56.825507E-51.00.07.98925E-48.3069294E-48.3069294E-41.00.00.0079605890.0082763660.0082862831.00119831.0E-5
6.91.3071226E-51.3329679E-51.3329679E-51.00.05.6018336E-55.7125955E-55.7125955E-51.00.06.8180985E-46.952888E-46.952888E-41.00.00.00679721730.00693139530.0069413261.00143271.0E-5
7.01.1836986E-51.19328115E-51.19328115E-51.00.05.0728955E-55.113963E-55.113963E-51.00.06.1745E-46.224488E-46.224488E-41.00.00.0061573720.0062072470.00621718451.0016011.0E-5
7.11.0597169E-51.0542209E-51.0542209E-51.00.04.541565E-54.5180117E-54.5180117E-51.00.05.5279525E-45.499302E-45.499302E-41.00.00.00551422130.0054858250.005495771.00181291.0E-5
7.29.59113E-69.4591405E-69.4591405E-61.00.04.11042E-54.0538547E-54.0538547E-51.00.05.0032866E-44.9344613E-44.9344613E-41.00.00.0049920370.00492362350.00493357421.00202111.0E-5
7.38.586084E-68.3795685E-68.3795685E-61.00.03.679698E-53.5911948E-53.5911948E-51.00.04.4791115E-44.371413E-44.371413E-41.00.00.0044700940.00436292540.00437288171.0022821.0E-5
7.47.2622997E-66.9515127E-66.9515127E-61.00.03.112377E-52.9791861E-52.9791861E-51.00.03.78866E-43.6265652E-43.6265652E-41.00.00.00378220740.00362074720.0036307111.00275181.0E-5
7.55.627296E-65.251543E-65.251543E-61.00.02.411676E-52.2506423E-52.2506423E-51.00.02.9358198E-42.7398195E-42.7398195E-41.00.00.00293194430.00273651370.00273651371.00.0
7.62.265244E-62.0608816E-62.0608816E-61.00.09.708152E-68.8323195E-68.8323195E-61.00.01.18190335E-41.0752828E-41.0752828E-41.00.00.0011812750.0010747710.0010747711.00.0
7.71.3099874E-61.1016346E-61.1016346E-61.00.05.61422E-64.7212825E-64.7212825E-61.00.06.8350986E-55.748012E-55.748012E-51.00.06.832996E-45.7465496E-45.7465496E-41.00.0
7.87.903951E-76.0711466E-76.0711466E-71.00.03.3874032E-62.6019175E-62.6019175E-61.00.04.1240855E-53.1677897E-53.1677897E-51.00.04.12332E-43.1673515E-43.1673515E-41.00.0
7.97.0753297E-95.0900932E-95.0900932E-91.00.03.032284E-82.1814685E-82.1814685E-81.00.03.6918053E-72.6559377E-72.6559377E-71.00.03.691799E-62.6559355E-62.6559355E-61.00.0

Ludlow

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.2407607E-52.3657429E-52.3657429E-51.00.09.602906E-51.0138529E-41.0138529E-41.00.00.00116852670.0012337110.0012636741.02428693.0E-50.0116240130.0122731320.0123916591.00965751.2E-4
6.12.2407607E-52.3657429E-52.3657429E-51.00.09.602906E-51.0138529E-41.0138529E-41.00.00.00116852670.0012337110.0012636741.02428693.0E-50.0116240130.0122731320.0123916591.00965751.2E-4
6.21.0781252E-51.1365745E-51.1365745E-51.00.04.620455E-54.870945E-54.870945E-51.00.05.623952E-45.9288024E-46.028743E-41.01685681.0E-50.005609740.0059134040.0059531671.00672424.0E-5
6.31.0781252E-51.1365745E-51.1365745E-51.00.04.620455E-54.870945E-54.870945E-51.00.05.623952E-45.9288024E-46.028743E-41.01685681.0E-50.005609740.0059134040.0059531671.00672424.0E-5
6.47.814439E-68.237788E-68.237788E-61.00.03.3490025E-53.5304336E-53.5304336E-51.00.04.0766477E-44.2974693E-44.397426E-41.02325951.0E-50.00406917740.00428930530.00431917651.00696413.0E-5
6.56.4986366E-66.850969E-66.850969E-61.00.02.7851002E-52.936097E-52.936097E-51.00.03.390332E-43.574121E-43.6740853E-41.02796891.0E-50.0033851640.00356846880.00359836171.0083773.0E-5
6.65.582177E-65.8860483E-65.8860483E-61.00.02.3923398E-52.522568E-52.522568E-51.00.02.9122844E-43.070801E-43.070801E-41.00.00.00290847060.0030666310.00308656971.00650182.0E-5
6.74.6858763E-64.940463E-64.940463E-61.00.02.0082172E-52.1173244E-52.1173244E-51.00.02.4447302E-42.577543E-42.577543E-41.00.00.00244204230.00257460980.00259455831.00774812.0E-5
6.83.5584908E-63.7520454E-63.7520454E-61.00.01.5250586E-51.6080097E-51.6080097E-51.00.01.8566006E-41.9575801E-41.9575801E-41.00.00.00185505020.00195589680.00197585771.01020552.0E-5
6.92.532834E-62.6710227E-62.6710227E-61.00.01.0854958E-51.1447192E-51.1447192E-51.00.01.3215111E-41.3936093E-41.3936093E-41.00.00.00132072540.00139276290.00141273511.01433992.0E-5
7.01.7083285E-61.801957E-61.801957E-61.00.07.3213873E-67.7226505E-67.7226505E-61.00.08.913424E-59.4019386E-59.4019386E-51.00.08.9098496E-49.3981257E-49.4980316E-41.01063041.0E-5
7.11.0905424E-61.1497702E-61.1497702E-61.00.04.6737446E-64.927578E-64.927578E-61.00.05.6901354E-55.999171E-55.999171E-51.00.05.6886784E-45.997649E-45.997649E-41.00.0
7.26.06668E-76.387322E-76.387322E-71.00.02.600003E-62.7374213E-62.7374213E-61.00.03.1654577E-53.3327666E-53.3327666E-51.00.03.1650066E-43.332335E-43.332335E-41.00.0

Independence rev 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.422171E-64.3262453E-61.4326202E-53.3114631.0E-51.8952025E-51.8540937E-53.8540566E-52.0786742.0E-52.3071647E-42.257155E-42.956997E-41.31005497.0E-50.00230477080.00225515620.00237488541.05309141.2E-4
6.14.422171E-64.3262453E-61.4326202E-53.3114631.0E-51.8952025E-51.8540937E-53.8540566E-52.0786742.0E-52.3071647E-42.257155E-42.956997E-41.31005497.0E-50.00230477080.00225515620.00237488541.05309141.2E-4
6.24.422171E-64.3262453E-61.4326202E-53.3114631.0E-51.8952025E-51.8540937E-53.8540566E-52.0786742.0E-52.3071647E-42.257155E-42.956997E-41.31005497.0E-50.00230477080.00225515620.00237488541.05309141.2E-4
6.34.422171E-64.3262453E-61.4326202E-53.3114631.0E-51.8952025E-51.8540937E-53.8540566E-52.0786742.0E-52.3071647E-42.257155E-42.956997E-41.31005497.0E-50.00230477080.00225515620.00237488541.05309141.2E-4
6.44.422171E-64.3262453E-61.4326202E-53.3114631.0E-51.8952025E-51.8540937E-53.8540566E-52.0786742.0E-52.3071647E-42.257155E-42.956997E-41.31005497.0E-50.00230477080.00225515620.00237488541.05309141.2E-4
6.54.422171E-64.3262453E-61.4326202E-53.3114631.0E-51.8952025E-51.8540937E-53.8540566E-52.0786742.0E-52.3071647E-42.257155E-42.956997E-41.31005497.0E-50.00230477080.00225515620.00237488541.05309141.2E-4
6.62.663744E-62.5319996E-61.2531975E-54.94943761.0E-51.1415996E-51.0851385E-53.0851166E-52.84306262.0E-51.3898089E-41.3210809E-42.0209885E-41.52979917.0E-50.00138893990.00132034380.00144018541.09076551.2E-4
6.72.663744E-62.5319996E-61.2531975E-54.94943761.0E-51.1415996E-51.0851385E-53.0851166E-52.84306262.0E-51.3898089E-41.3210809E-42.0209885E-41.52979917.0E-50.00138893990.00132034380.00144018541.09076551.2E-4
6.81.9716529E-61.8322698E-61.1832251E-56.45770171.0E-58.449913E-67.852562E-62.7852406E-53.54691962.0E-51.0287284E-49.560088E-51.6559419E-41.73214097.0E-50.00102825239.556104E-40.00106550531.11499971.1E-4
6.91.8788617E-61.7430103E-61.1742993E-56.73719071.0E-58.0522395E-67.4700233E-62.7469874E-53.67734772.0E-59.80316E-59.094386E-51.6093749E-41.76963567.0E-59.798837E-49.0907846E-40.00101897841.12089171.1E-4
7.01.5045488E-61.3849603E-61.1384946E-58.2204131.0E-56.44805E-65.935531E-62.5935413E-54.36951832.0E-57.8502184E-57.226275E-51.3225841E-41.83024336.0E-57.8474457E-47.2239764E-48.223254E-41.1383281.0E-4
7.11.272341E-61.1625186E-61.1162507E-59.6020031.0E-55.4528787E-64.9822133E-62.4982113E-55.01426032.0E-56.6386776E-56.065679E-51.2065315E-41.9891126.0E-56.636695E-46.0640555E-46.9635094E-41.14832569.0E-5
7.21.0416892E-69.4099533E-71.0940986E-511.6270351.0E-54.464375E-64.032831E-62.403275E-55.95927522.0E-55.4352407E-54.909863E-51.0909569E-42.221976.0E-55.4339116E-44.908797E-45.808355E-41.18325449.0E-5
7.37.9450155E-77.2350707E-71.07235E-514.8215551.0E-53.4050022E-63.100741E-62.310068E-57.45005132.0E-54.1455114E-53.7750877E-59.774861E-52.5893076.0E-54.144738E-43.7744577E-44.674118E-41.23835489.0E-5
7.45.3893444E-75.0195547E-71.0501951E-520.9220771.0E-52.309717E-62.1512358E-62.2151193E-510.2969622.0E-52.8120441E-52.6190986E-58.6189415E-53.29080446.0E-52.8116882E-42.6187944E-43.5185588E-41.34357959.0E-5
7.53.8852085E-73.6825836E-71.0368255E-528.1548391.0E-51.6650882E-61.5782492E-62.1578218E-513.672252.0E-52.027226E-51.9215016E-57.921387E-54.1224986.0E-52.0270412E-41.9213377E-42.8211647E-41.46833369.0E-5
7.62.414929E-72.3457733E-71.0234575E-543.6298561.0E-51.0349692E-61.005331E-61.1005321E-510.9469621.0E-51.2600677E-51.2239838E-54.223947E-53.45098283.0E-51.2599962E-41.2239176E-41.7238564E-41.40847425.0E-5
7.76.8298014E-86.858997E-86.858997E-81.00.02.9270575E-72.93957E-72.93957E-71.00.03.5636867E-63.578921E-63.578921E-61.00.03.5636294E-53.5788682E-53.5788682E-51.00.0

Oceanic - West Huasna

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.195567E-52.7926611E-52.7926611E-51.00.01.3694567E-41.1968023E-41.1968023E-41.00.00.00166603840.0014561760.00146616151.00685731.0E-50.0165360330.0144708960.0145595931.00612949.0E-5
6.12.1156782E-51.7573251E-51.7573251E-51.00.09.066878E-57.531181E-57.531181E-51.00.00.00110333339.1654493E-49.265358E-41.01090051.0E-50.0109787130.0091286560.00917821.00542725.0E-5
6.21.6195117E-51.332732E-51.332732E-51.00.06.9405796E-55.7115845E-55.7115845E-51.00.08.44688E-46.951662E-47.051592E-41.01437511.0E-50.0084148440.00693020970.0069600021.00429893.0E-5
6.31.3559345E-51.1179085E-51.1179085E-51.00.05.811018E-54.7909492E-54.7909492E-51.00.07.072618E-45.831429E-45.831429E-41.00.00.00705015050.00581624550.0058361291.00341872.0E-5
6.41.2120619E-51.0000936E-51.0000936E-51.00.05.1944477E-54.286045E-54.286045E-51.00.06.322405E-45.217015E-45.217015E-41.00.00.0063044470.00520483540.00522473131.00382262.0E-5
6.51.13511915E-59.367435E-69.367435E-61.00.04.8647056E-54.0145536E-54.0145536E-51.00.05.9211696E-44.8866274E-44.8866274E-41.00.00.00590541730.00487594070.0048958431.00408172.0E-5
6.69.850605E-68.135364E-68.135364E-61.00.04.2216197E-53.4865378E-53.4865378E-51.00.05.1386096E-44.2440352E-44.2440352E-41.00.00.00512674360.00423596240.0042558781.00470152.0E-5
6.78.8558645E-67.318384E-67.318384E-61.00.03.7953152E-53.1364125E-53.1364125E-51.00.04.6198163E-43.817915E-43.817915E-41.00.00.0046102240.00381138130.00381138131.00.0
6.87.67136E-66.3917278E-66.3917278E-61.00.03.2876844E-52.7392833E-52.7392833E-51.00.04.0020206E-43.3345685E-43.3345685E-41.00.00.0039948210.0033295860.0033295861.00.0
6.96.534529E-65.4582943E-65.4582943E-61.00.02.8004823E-52.339248E-52.339248E-51.00.03.4090536E-42.8476634E-42.8476634E-41.00.00.00340382870.00284403120.00284403121.00.0
7.05.460525E-64.5699494E-64.5699494E-61.00.02.3402039E-51.9585352E-51.9585352E-51.00.02.8488258E-42.3842567E-42.3842567E-41.00.00.00284517650.00238171240.00238171241.00.0
7.14.4825083E-63.7524424E-63.7524424E-61.00.01.9210609E-51.6081798E-51.6081798E-51.00.02.3386406E-41.957784E-41.957784E-41.00.00.0023361810.0019560710.0019560711.00.0
7.22.821708E-62.4249653E-62.4249653E-61.00.01.2092979E-51.0392667E-51.0392667E-51.00.01.4722206E-41.2652339E-41.2652339E-41.00.00.00147124570.00126451580.00126451581.00.0
7.32.0644757E-61.7687719E-61.7687719E-61.00.08.847723E-67.580429E-67.580429E-61.00.01.0771569E-49.228782E-59.228782E-51.00.00.0010766359.2249655E-49.2249655E-41.00.0
7.41.6980367E-61.4380173E-61.4380173E-61.00.07.27728E-66.1629166E-66.1629166E-61.00.08.8597284E-57.503093E-57.503093E-51.00.08.8561967E-47.5005746E-47.5005746E-41.00.0
7.51.3637683E-61.1302892E-61.1302892E-61.00.05.844708E-64.8440875E-64.8440875E-61.00.07.1156996E-55.897517E-55.897517E-51.00.07.1134215E-45.895966E-45.895966E-41.00.0
7.69.802994E-77.677469E-77.677469E-71.00.04.2012766E-63.2903397E-63.2903397E-61.00.05.1149345E-54.005915E-54.005915E-51.00.05.113757E-44.0052057E-44.0052057E-41.00.0
7.75.986191E-74.0052444E-74.0052444E-71.00.02.5655079E-61.7165321E-61.7165321E-61.00.03.1234613E-52.0898578E-52.0898578E-51.00.03.123022E-42.0896735E-42.0896735E-41.00.0
7.82.9189815E-71.5286729E-71.5286729E-71.00.01.2509914E-66.5514536E-76.5514536E-71.00.01.5230714E-57.976366E-67.976366E-61.00.01.522967E-47.976198E-57.976198E-51.00.0
7.91.2057845E-74.621617E-84.621617E-81.00.05.1676466E-71.9806929E-71.9806929E-71.00.06.2915915E-62.4114909E-62.4114909E-61.00.06.2914136E-52.4115825E-52.4115825E-51.00.0
8.03.3806387E-99.0127306E-109.0127306E-101.00.01.4488451E-83.8625965E-93.8625965E-91.00.01.7639688E-74.7027115E-84.7027115E-81.00.01.7639674E-64.7134822E-74.7134822E-71.00.0

San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.986481E-40.0012277010.0012277011.00.00.00256311240.0052460980.00525604561.00189611.0E-50.0307628460.0612118130.061268141.00092026.0E-50.268354770.425967160.426024561.00013471.0E-4
6.15.015945E-40.00102188590.00102188591.00.00.002147920.00436831360.004378271.00227921.0E-50.0258393510.0512540560.051310981.00111076.0E-50.230327760.37288750.37295021.00016821.0E-4
6.24.073338E-48.1082666E-48.1082666E-41.00.00.00174454840.0034675980.00347756341.00287391.0E-50.0210340580.0409388580.0409964031.00140566.0E-50.191507820.313067260.313129071.00019759.0E-5
6.33.464099E-46.740175E-46.740175E-41.00.00.00148376920.00288342570.0028933971.00345811.0E-50.0179158730.0341953230.034253271.00169476.0E-50.165383590.271352440.2714181.00024169.0E-5
6.42.935057E-45.545179E-45.545179E-41.00.00.00125727510.0023729980.00238297441.0042041.0E-50.0152002480.0282702930.0283285961.00206236.0E-50.142015770.233023120.233084481.00026338.0E-5
6.52.3409708E-44.2102532E-44.2102532E-41.00.00.00100288750.00180243620.00181241821.00553811.0E-50.0121419650.0215932950.0216521.00271876.0E-50.114995730.186863650.18692871.00034818.0E-5
6.61.5842178E-42.5080625E-42.5080625E-41.00.06.7877385E-40.00107443250.00108442181.00929731.0E-50.00823280.0130014330.0130606531.00455496.0E-50.079343960.123189650.123251031.00049827.0E-5
6.71.5616413E-42.4617155E-42.4617155E-41.00.06.691031E-40.00105458870.00106457821.00947241.0E-50.00811594350.0127632960.012822531.00464096.0E-50.07825860.1212168560.121278371.00050757.0E-5
6.81.5538467E-42.4440986E-42.4440986E-41.00.06.6576427E-40.00104704530.00105703491.00954071.0E-50.0080755960.0126726170.0127318571.00467476.0E-50.077883580.120447680.120509251.00051127.0E-5
6.91.5153569E-42.3550174E-42.3550174E-41.00.06.49277E-40.00100890470.00101889461.00990181.0E-50.0078763330.0122147540.0122740211.0048526.0E-50.076029520.11651770.116579551.00053077.0E-5
7.01.4588932E-42.2407302E-42.2407302E-41.00.06.250901E-49.599615E-49.699519E-41.01040711.0E-50.00758394740.0116253970.0116846991.00510116.0E-50.0733028950.11136340.111425611.00055867.0E-5
7.11.1565079E-41.6291256E-41.6291256E-41.00.04.955521E-46.980107E-47.0800376E-41.01431641.0E-50.0060166690.0084653680.008524861.00702776.0E-50.0585635380.0837070.083771141.00076637.0E-5
7.21.0393792E-41.4624851E-41.4624851E-41.00.04.4537216E-46.2662957E-46.366233E-41.01594841.0E-50.0054089330.0076026970.0076622411.00783196.0E-50.0527915950.07565560.075720311.00085527.0E-5
7.39.332884E-51.2788622E-41.2788622E-41.00.03.999194E-45.479693E-45.5796385E-41.01823911.0E-50.00485815340.0066512530.0067108541.00896086.0E-50.0475331020.066514290.066579631.00098247.0E-5
7.48.670252E-51.1709979E-41.1709979E-41.00.03.715293E-45.0176034E-45.117553E-41.01991991.0E-50.0045139910.00609194160.0061515761.00978916.0E-50.0442339370.06117870.0612444171.00107427.0E-5
7.57.3036405E-59.011361E-59.011361E-51.00.03.129756E-43.861441E-43.9614024E-41.0258871.0E-50.00380382170.00469119150.00475090971.01272996.0E-50.037393670.0479023680.0479690131.00139137.0E-5
7.66.3935775E-58.285012E-58.285012E-51.00.02.7398168E-43.5502372E-43.6502015E-41.02815711.0E-50.00333062540.00431386570.00437360681.01384876.0E-50.0328114740.0440129270.0440798441.00152047.0E-5
7.75.5050095E-56.6658926E-56.6658926E-51.00.02.3590765E-42.8564985E-42.9564698E-41.03499791.0E-50.00286839270.00347224480.00351210611.011484.0E-50.02831650.035815210.0358634181.00134615.0E-5
7.85.027131E-56.166573E-56.166573E-51.00.02.1543067E-42.6425492E-42.7425226E-41.03783231.0E-50.00261971350.00321256040.0032524321.01241114.0E-50.0258904530.033144270.033192611.00145855.0E-5
7.93.7271806E-55.0254795E-55.0254795E-51.00.01.5972654E-42.1535992E-42.2535777E-41.04642391.0E-50.00194293590.00261885630.00264877781.01142543.0E-50.0192603620.0270813930.0271203091.00143714.0E-5
8.02.7310243E-53.1447296E-53.1447296E-51.00.01.17038646E-41.3476716E-41.4476581E-41.0741921.0E-50.00142401410.00163955610.00165952331.01217842.0E-50.0141492350.0172232990.0172527821.00171183.0E-5
8.11.7940547E-51.7411876E-51.7411876E-51.00.07.688579E-57.46202E-58.461945E-51.1340021.0E-59.3568244E-49.0812275E-49.181137E-41.01100171.0E-50.0093175250.0098049590.0098247631.00201982.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.478665E-65.478665E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3479783E-52.3479783E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.8582895E-42.8582895E-41.00.00.00450013950.00325084690.00325084691.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6647797E-77.6647797E-71.00.08.498917E-63.2849016E-63.2849016E-61.00.01.034694E-43.999296E-53.999296E-51.00.00.00103421244.7228087E-44.7228087E-41.00.0

Owens Valley

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.83821E-53.621193E-62.362112E-56.52302172.0E-52.0733538E-41.5519312E-54.5518846E-52.93304543.0E-50.0025213861.8893222E-42.689171E-41.42335228.0E-50.0249296910.0019298220.00203960971.05689011.1E-4
6.14.83821E-53.621193E-62.362112E-56.52302172.0E-52.0733538E-41.5519312E-54.5518846E-52.93304543.0E-50.0025213861.8893222E-42.689171E-41.42335228.0E-50.0249296910.0019298220.00203960971.05689011.1E-4
6.24.83821E-53.621193E-62.362112E-56.52302172.0E-52.0733538E-41.5519312E-54.5518846E-52.93304543.0E-50.0025213861.8893222E-42.689171E-41.42335228.0E-50.0249296910.0019298220.00203960971.05689011.1E-4
6.33.953008E-53.153231E-61.31532E-54.17134051.0E-51.6940363E-41.3513782E-52.3513647E-51.73997531.0E-50.0020605381.645186E-42.2450872E-41.36464046.0E-50.0204153640.00166226830.0017321521.04204127.0E-5
6.43.953008E-53.153231E-61.31532E-54.17134051.0E-51.6940363E-41.3513782E-52.3513647E-51.73997531.0E-50.0020605381.645186E-42.2450872E-41.36464046.0E-50.0204153640.00166226830.0017321521.04204127.0E-5
6.53.457342E-52.970874E-61.2970844E-54.3660031.0E-51.4816338E-41.2732259E-52.273213E-51.78539661.0E-50.00180239651.5500492E-42.1499563E-41.38702456.0E-50.0178784770.00155641740.00162630841.04490517.0E-5
6.63.1127765E-52.8738657E-61.28738375E-54.4796241.0E-51.3339789E-41.2316514E-52.231639E-51.81190811.0E-50.00162290921.4994392E-42.0993492E-41.40008966.0E-50.0161110810.0015014460.0015713411.04655177.0E-5
6.72.806885E-52.8102859E-61.2810257E-54.55834671.0E-51.2028952E-41.204403E-52.204391E-51.83027681.0E-50.0014635411.4662689E-42.0661809E-41.40914196.0E-50.0145393970.00146571740.00153561481.04768817.0E-5
6.82.524524E-52.2352563E-62.2352563E-61.00.01.0818939E-49.579636E-69.579636E-61.00.00.00131640991.1662613E-41.666203E-41.42867045.0E-50.013086390.00116593190.0012258621.0514016.0E-5
6.92.2704568E-51.6080646E-61.6080646E-61.00.09.730166E-56.8916875E-66.8916875E-61.00.00.00118400398.390308E-51.338989E-41.59587565.0E-50.0117771538.3894585E-48.988955E-41.07145836.0E-5
7.02.0871712E-51.5394511E-61.5394511E-61.00.08.944713E-56.597631E-66.597631E-61.00.00.00108847468.032321E-51.303192E-41.62243515.0E-50.0108315868.0313E-48.630818E-41.07464776.0E-5
7.11.944928E-51.3863316E-61.3863316E-61.00.08.335139E-55.941408E-65.941408E-61.00.00.00101433087.233425E-51.2233063E-41.69118555.0E-50.0100971337.232817E-47.8323827E-41.08289536.0E-5
7.21.7876306E-51.2488347E-61.2488347E-61.00.07.6610486E-55.352138E-65.352138E-61.00.09.3233347E-46.516034E-51.1515708E-41.7672885.0E-50.0092843166.5157266E-47.1153353E-41.09202496.0E-5
7.31.2618672E-51.1114453E-61.1114453E-61.00.05.40789E-54.763328E-64.763328E-61.00.06.582117E-45.7991983E-51.07989086E-41.86213825.0E-50.00656265535.7992374E-46.39889E-41.10340196.0E-5
7.47.4874442E-68.548014E-78.548014E-71.00.03.208865E-53.6634294E-63.6634294E-61.00.03.906093E-44.4601344E-59.459911E-52.12099245.0E-50.0038992344.4603736E-45.060106E-41.13445786.0E-5
7.52.4734156E-66.0683584E-76.0683584E-71.00.01.060031E-52.6007224E-62.6007224E-61.00.01.2905113E-43.1663338E-57.166207E-52.26325064.0E-50.00128976213.165886E-43.6657276E-41.15788365.0E-5
7.61.1328841E-63.1963748E-73.1963748E-71.00.04.8552088E-61.3698742E-61.3698742E-61.00.05.9110564E-51.6678092E-54.6677593E-52.79873683.0E-55.9094845E-41.667686E-41.9676359E-41.179863.0E-5
7.74.8613185E-78.9632934E-88.9632934E-81.00.02.0834207E-63.8414112E-73.8414112E-71.00.02.536535E-54.6769087E-64.6769087E-61.00.02.5362454E-44.676817E-54.676817E-51.00.0

Santa Rosa Island

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.1143165E-54.7092035E-56.7091096E-51.42468022.0E-51.7631594E-42.018085E-42.2180447E-41.09908392.0E-50.0021445330.00245444640.00250432361.02032125.0E-50.0212395530.0242940190.0244013461.00441791.1E-4
6.12.1061249E-52.3865383E-53.3865144E-51.4190071.0E-59.0259375E-51.0227637E-41.12275346E-41.09776431.0E-50.00109835390.00124453240.00125451991.00802521.0E-50.010929410.0123786680.0124280491.00398925.0E-5
6.22.1061249E-52.3865383E-53.3865144E-51.4190071.0E-59.0259375E-51.0227637E-41.12275346E-41.09776431.0E-50.00109835390.00124453240.00125451991.00802521.0E-50.010929410.0123786680.0124280491.00398925.0E-5
6.31.5158236E-51.7074706E-52.7074535E-51.58565161.0E-56.496225E-57.317533E-58.31746E-51.1366481.0E-57.906284E-48.905575E-49.005486E-41.01121891.0E-50.0078782140.0088711390.00891078451.0044694.0E-5
6.41.2341918E-51.3853143E-52.3853005E-51.72184791.0E-55.2892858E-55.9369308E-56.936872E-51.16842721.0E-56.437803E-47.225897E-47.325825E-41.01382911.0E-50.0064191840.0072032390.00723302271.00413483.0E-5
6.59.061158E-61.0117189E-51.0117189E-51.00.03.883296E-54.335869E-54.335869E-51.00.04.726887E-45.277695E-45.277695E-41.00.00.0047168450.00526569920.00527564671.00188911.0E-5
6.67.5461685E-68.400862E-68.400862E-61.00.03.2340322E-53.6003217E-53.6003217E-51.00.03.936723E-44.3825532E-44.3825532E-41.00.00.0039297560.004374340.0043842961.00227611.0E-5
6.75.5023775E-66.0874677E-66.0874677E-61.00.02.3581404E-52.6088905E-52.6088905E-51.00.02.8706578E-43.1758938E-43.1758938E-41.00.00.00286695220.00317167680.00317167681.00.0
6.83.7351679E-64.083192E-64.083192E-61.00.01.6007763E-51.749929E-51.749929E-51.00.01.948771E-42.1303551E-42.1303551E-41.00.00.00194706290.00212855820.00212855821.00.0
6.92.456366E-62.6292955E-62.6292955E-61.00.01.0527241E-51.1268361E-51.1268361E-51.00.01.2816161E-41.3718368E-41.3718368E-41.00.00.00128087730.00137099290.00137099291.00.0
7.02.3245157E-62.4828012E-62.4828012E-61.00.09.962172E-61.0640533E-51.0640533E-51.00.01.2128269E-41.295408E-41.295408E-41.00.00.00121216520.00129465530.00129465531.00.0
7.12.2248344E-62.3732714E-62.3732714E-61.00.09.53497E-61.0171123E-51.0171123E-51.00.01.1608207E-41.2382641E-41.2382641E-41.00.00.00116021440.00123757610.00123757611.00.0
7.22.1350402E-62.2761742E-62.2761742E-61.00.09.150141E-69.754996E-69.754996E-61.00.01.1139726E-41.18760625E-41.18760625E-41.00.00.00111341440.00118697340.00118697341.00.0
7.31.9793572E-62.1087376E-62.1087376E-61.00.08.482932E-69.037416E-69.037416E-61.00.01.032748E-41.10025E-41.10025E-41.00.00.00103226820.00109970710.00109970711.00.0
7.41.6951194E-61.8045891E-61.8045891E-61.00.07.264777E-67.733931E-67.733931E-61.00.08.844508E-59.415655E-59.415655E-51.00.08.840988E-49.411683E-49.411683E-41.00.0
7.58.987207E-79.5122914E-79.5122914E-71.00.03.8516546E-64.07669E-64.07669E-61.00.04.6892885E-54.963258E-54.963258E-51.00.04.688299E-44.962162E-44.962162E-41.00.0
7.63.8783037E-74.0529594E-74.0529594E-71.00.01.6621291E-61.7369814E-61.7369814E-61.00.02.0236233E-52.114755E-52.114755E-51.00.02.023439E-42.1145603E-42.1145603E-41.00.0
7.76.181804E-86.339078E-86.339078E-81.00.02.6493444E-72.7167474E-72.7167474E-71.00.03.225572E-63.3076349E-63.3076349E-61.00.03.225525E-53.3075863E-53.3075863E-51.00.0
7.81.3704449E-91.3964188E-91.3964188E-91.00.05.873335E-95.984652E-95.984652E-91.00.07.1507856E-87.286314E-87.286314E-81.00.07.1507833E-77.286312E-77.286312E-71.00.0

Cleghorn Pass

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.0522846E-51.1040714E-52.1040603E-51.90572861.0E-54.509713E-54.7316782E-57.7315366E-51.63399453.0E-55.4891926E-45.759822E-46.259534E-41.08675835.0E-50.00547565330.0057500590.00584948441.01729111.0E-4
6.11.0522846E-51.1040714E-52.1040603E-51.90572861.0E-54.509713E-54.7316782E-57.7315366E-51.63399453.0E-55.4891926E-45.759822E-46.259534E-41.08675835.0E-50.00547565330.0057500590.00584948441.01729111.0E-4
6.22.1045846E-62.2082168E-62.2082168E-61.00.09.019617E-69.463776E-61.9463681E-52.05665061.0E-51.098083E-41.1521958E-41.2521842E-41.08678081.0E-50.00109754060.00115200980.00117198671.0173412.0E-5
6.32.1045846E-62.2082168E-62.2082168E-61.00.09.019617E-69.463776E-61.9463681E-52.05665061.0E-51.098083E-41.1521958E-41.2521842E-41.08678081.0E-50.00109754060.00115200980.00117198671.0173412.0E-5
6.41.7259927E-61.8108889E-61.8108889E-61.00.07.3970905E-67.760952E-61.7760874E-52.28849171.0E-59.005586E-59.4489595E-51.0448865E-41.10582171.0E-59.001937E-49.4489596E-49.648771E-41.02114632.0E-5

San Jacinto (Lytle Creek connector)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.693995E-66.6628318E-62.66627E-54.00170662.0E-52.8688235E-52.8554681E-54.855411E-51.70039062.0E-53.492233E-43.4759787E-44.07577E-41.17255336.0E-50.003486750.00355089010.00365053511.0280621.0E-4
6.16.693995E-66.6628318E-62.66627E-54.00170662.0E-52.8688235E-52.8554681E-54.855411E-51.70039062.0E-53.492233E-43.4759787E-44.07577E-41.17255336.0E-50.003486750.00355089010.00365053511.0280621.0E-4
6.26.693995E-66.6628318E-62.66627E-54.00170662.0E-52.8688235E-52.8554681E-54.855411E-51.70039062.0E-53.492233E-43.4759787E-44.07577E-41.17255336.0E-50.003486750.00355089010.00365053511.0280621.0E-4
6.36.693995E-66.6628318E-62.66627E-54.00170662.0E-52.8688235E-52.8554681E-54.855411E-51.70039062.0E-53.492233E-43.4759787E-44.07577E-41.17255336.0E-50.003486750.00355089010.00365053511.0280621.0E-4
6.46.693995E-66.6628318E-62.66627E-54.00170662.0E-52.8688235E-52.8554681E-54.855411E-51.70039062.0E-53.492233E-43.4759787E-44.07577E-41.17255336.0E-50.003486750.00355089010.00365053511.0280621.0E-4
6.56.6561875E-66.6230496E-62.6622916E-54.0197372.0E-52.8526205E-52.838419E-54.8383623E-51.70459762.0E-53.472512E-43.455228E-44.0550207E-41.173596.0E-50.00346709070.00353020550.00362985261.0282271.0E-4
6.66.6561875E-66.6230496E-62.6622916E-54.0197372.0E-52.8526205E-52.838419E-54.8383623E-51.70459762.0E-53.472512E-43.455228E-44.0550207E-41.173596.0E-50.00346709070.00353020550.00362985261.0282271.0E-4
6.76.5802237E-66.5422255E-62.6542095E-54.05704362.0E-52.8200653E-52.803781E-54.8037247E-51.71330252.0E-53.4328885E-43.4130694E-44.0128644E-41.17573496.0E-50.00342759020.00348817980.00358783081.02856831.0E-4
6.86.575632E-66.5367153E-62.6536585E-54.0596212.0E-52.8180975E-52.8014192E-54.8013633E-51.71390382.0E-53.4304935E-43.410195E-44.0099904E-41.1758836.0E-50.00342520260.00348531430.00358496581.02859191.0E-4
6.96.570433E-66.5281088E-62.6527978E-54.06365442.0E-52.8158694E-52.7977308E-54.797675E-51.71484512.0E-53.4277816E-43.4057058E-44.0055014E-41.17611496.0E-50.00342249920.00348083930.00358049131.02862871.0E-4
7.06.5643826E-66.5182294E-62.6518099E-54.0682982.0E-52.8132765E-52.793497E-54.793441E-51.71592862.0E-53.424626E-43.4005524E-44.0003486E-41.1763826.0E-50.00341935320.00347570210.00357535461.02867111.0E-4
7.16.557402E-66.5069403E-62.650681E-54.07362132.0E-52.8102848E-52.788659E-54.788603E-51.71717062.0E-53.4209844E-43.394664E-43.9944606E-41.1766886.0E-50.00341572290.00346983340.00356948631.02871981.0E-4
7.26.546394E-66.488906E-62.6488777E-54.0821642.0E-52.8055672E-52.7809301E-54.7808746E-51.71916392.0E-53.4152428E-43.3852572E-43.985054E-41.17717916.0E-50.00340999870.00346045990.0035601141.02879791.0E-4
7.36.5364216E-66.469689E-62.6469559E-54.09131862.0E-52.8012933E-52.7726945E-54.772639E-51.72132.0E-53.4100408E-43.3752335E-43.9750308E-41.17770556.0E-50.0034048130.0034504820.0035501371.02888141.0E-4
7.46.5269523E-66.450774E-62.6450645E-54.10038332.0E-52.7972354E-52.7645881E-54.7645328E-51.7234152.0E-53.4051016E-43.365367E-43.965165E-41.17822676.0E-50.00339988880.00344066350.00354031941.02896421.0E-4
7.56.5111835E-66.4270453E-62.6426917E-54.11182982.0E-52.7904773E-52.7544189E-54.754364E-51.72608592.0E-53.3968766E-43.3529897E-43.9527885E-41.17888476.0E-50.00339168870.00342833530.00352799261.02906871.0E-4
7.66.4768806E-66.3861507E-62.6386022E-54.13175732.0E-52.7757764E-52.736893E-54.7368383E-51.73073572.0E-53.3789838E-43.3316584E-43.9314586E-41.18003056.0E-50.00337385040.00340706550.0035067251.02925071.0E-4
7.76.1655364E-66.1786222E-62.6178499E-54.23694752.0E-52.642346E-52.6479542E-54.647901E-51.75528012.0E-53.2165812E-43.2234078E-43.8232145E-41.18607846.0E-50.00321192950.00329866940.00339833951.03021531.0E-4
7.85.5043524E-65.739622E-62.5739508E-54.484532.0E-52.3589868E-52.4598148E-54.4597655E-51.81304932.0E-52.871688E-42.9944137E-43.594234E-41.20031316.0E-50.00286797970.0030687560.00316844931.03248641.0E-4
7.93.889249E-64.0787854E-62.4078703E-55.90340042.0E-51.6668104E-51.7480392E-53.7480044E-52.1441192.0E-52.0291525E-42.1280303E-42.7279026E-41.28189096.0E-50.00202730070.00219550920.00229528941.04544751.0E-4
8.02.668535E-62.5328056E-61.2532781E-54.9481811.0E-51.1436528E-51.0854836E-52.0854728E-51.92123841.0E-51.3923083E-41.3214964E-41.52147E-41.15132362.0E-50.00139143630.00137659030.00142652161.03627165.0E-5
8.11.5911459E-61.2193005E-61.2193005E-61.00.06.8191785E-65.225563E-65.225563E-61.00.08.3020335E-56.3619394E-57.3618765E-51.15717471.0E-58.298933E-46.697524E-46.797457E-41.0149211.0E-5
8.26.1294963E-72.1825215E-72.1825215E-71.00.02.6269242E-69.35366E-79.35366E-71.00.03.1982334E-51.1388021E-51.1388021E-51.00.03.1977732E-41.279216E-41.279216E-41.00.0
8.31.762871E-74.757476E-84.757476E-81.00.07.5551594E-72.038918E-72.038918E-71.00.09.1983675E-62.4823798E-62.4823798E-61.00.09.197987E-52.8703373E-52.8703373E-51.00.0

Lost Hills

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.233523E-52.5106996E-52.5106996E-51.00.09.571891E-51.0759792E-41.0759792E-41.00.00.00116475460.00130938550.00136930691.0457636.0E-50.0115866860.0130333040.0131221311.00681549.0E-5
6.12.233523E-52.5106996E-52.5106996E-51.00.09.571891E-51.0759792E-41.0759792E-41.00.00.00116475460.00130938550.00136930691.0457636.0E-50.0115866860.0130333040.0131221311.00681549.0E-5
6.22.233523E-52.5106996E-52.5106996E-51.00.09.571891E-51.0759792E-41.0759792E-41.00.00.00116475460.00130938550.00136930691.0457636.0E-50.0115866860.0130333040.0131221311.00681549.0E-5
6.32.233523E-52.5106996E-52.5106996E-51.00.09.571891E-51.0759792E-41.0759792E-41.00.00.00116475460.00130938550.00136930691.0457636.0E-50.0115866860.0130333040.0131221311.00681549.0E-5
6.41.2288092E-51.37813295E-51.37813295E-51.00.05.2662188E-55.9062033E-55.9062033E-51.00.06.409735E-47.189368E-47.6890085E-41.06949715.0E-50.0063912790.0071753160.00724481371.00968567.0E-5
6.51.2288092E-51.37813295E-51.37813295E-51.00.05.2662188E-55.9062033E-55.9062033E-51.00.06.409735E-47.189368E-47.6890085E-41.06949715.0E-50.0063912790.0071753160.00724481371.00968567.0E-5
6.68.58281E-69.633926E-69.633926E-61.00.03.6782953E-54.1288073E-54.1288073E-51.00.04.4774043E-45.026495E-45.526244E-41.09942295.0E-50.00446839350.00502328670.0050929351.01386517.0E-5
6.77.205685E-68.088433E-68.088433E-61.00.03.088114E-53.4664714E-53.4664714E-51.00.03.7591302E-44.2204288E-44.6202602E-41.0947374.0E-50.00375277760.0042204290.00428017551.01415666.0E-5

Cleghorn Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5467183E-51.6794396E-51.6794396E-51.00.06.6286244E-57.1974304E-58.197359E-51.13892851.0E-58.067362E-48.7598973E-49.159547E-41.04562264.0E-50.0080381370.0087307950.0088200091.01021849.0E-5
6.11.5467183E-51.6794396E-51.6794396E-51.00.06.6286244E-57.1974304E-58.197359E-51.13892851.0E-58.067362E-48.7598973E-49.159547E-41.04562264.0E-50.0080381370.0087307950.0088200091.01021849.0E-5
6.21.2624631E-51.3681697E-51.3681697E-51.00.05.410444E-55.86348E-56.863422E-51.17053721.0E-56.585225E-47.1369356E-47.53665E-41.05600644.0E-50.00656574450.0071188110.00719824151.01115798.0E-5
6.31.2624631E-51.3681697E-51.3681697E-51.00.05.410444E-55.86348E-56.863422E-51.17053721.0E-56.585225E-47.1369356E-47.53665E-41.05600644.0E-50.00656574450.0071188110.00719824151.01115798.0E-5
6.49.417684E-61.0170226E-51.0170226E-51.00.04.036088E-54.3586184E-55.358575E-51.22942051.0E-54.912829E-45.305737E-45.705525E-41.075354.0E-50.0049019820.00529710530.00535678771.0112676.0E-5
6.59.368219E-61.0117652E-51.0117652E-51.00.04.014889E-54.3360877E-55.3360443E-51.23061261.0E-54.8870314E-45.278319E-45.678108E-41.07574164.0E-50.0048762980.00526981750.00532950131.01132566.0E-5
6.67.803798E-68.441923E-68.441923E-61.00.03.3444423E-53.6179394E-54.617903E-51.27639041.0E-54.0710976E-44.40435E-44.704218E-41.06808453.0E-50.00406364720.0043995380.0044493181.01131495.0E-5
6.72.3108669E-62.4438523E-62.4438523E-61.00.09.903678E-61.0473612E-51.0473612E-51.00.01.205706E-41.2750895E-41.2750895E-41.00.00.0012050520.00127437650.00128436381.00783691.0E-5
6.82.0882828E-62.2062986E-62.2062986E-61.00.08.949753E-69.455533E-69.455533E-61.00.01.08957785E-41.15115196E-41.15115196E-41.00.00.00108904380.00115057260.00116056111.00868131.0E-5
6.91.876935E-61.9810657E-61.9810657E-61.00.08.043982E-68.490254E-68.490254E-61.00.09.7931086E-51.033641E-41.033641E-41.00.09.788794E-40.00103317620.00104316591.0096691.0E-5
7.01.5357559E-61.6202926E-61.6202926E-61.00.06.5817944E-66.944093E-66.944093E-61.00.08.01304E-58.454118E-58.454118E-51.00.08.010151E-48.4510265E-48.550942E-41.01182291.0E-5
7.11.0905424E-61.1497702E-61.1497702E-61.00.04.6737446E-64.927578E-64.927578E-61.00.05.6901354E-55.999171E-55.999171E-51.00.05.6886784E-45.997649E-45.997649E-41.00.0
7.26.06668E-76.387322E-76.387322E-71.00.02.600003E-62.7374213E-62.7374213E-61.00.03.1654577E-53.3327666E-53.3327666E-51.00.03.1650066E-43.332335E-43.332335E-41.00.0

San Jacinto (San Jacinto Valley) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.652694E-53.441575E-55.441506E-51.58110932.0E-51.5653463E-41.4748774E-41.6748479E-41.13558452.0E-50.00190414310.00179418610.00183411431.02225424.0E-50.0188790990.018533570.0186219031.00476619.0E-5
6.13.652694E-53.441575E-55.441506E-51.58110932.0E-51.5653463E-41.4748774E-41.6748479E-41.13558452.0E-50.00190414310.00179418610.00183411431.02225424.0E-50.0188790990.018533570.0186219031.00476619.0E-5
6.23.652694E-53.441575E-55.441506E-51.58110932.0E-51.5653463E-41.4748774E-41.6748479E-41.13558452.0E-50.00190414310.00179418610.00183411431.02225424.0E-50.0188790990.018533570.0186219031.00476619.0E-5
6.33.652694E-53.441575E-55.441506E-51.58110932.0E-51.5653463E-41.4748774E-41.6748479E-41.13558452.0E-50.00190414310.00179418610.00183411431.02225424.0E-50.0188790990.018533570.0186219031.00476619.0E-5
6.43.646941E-53.4337318E-55.4336633E-51.58243672.0E-51.5628811E-41.4715164E-41.6714871E-41.13589422.0E-50.00190114680.00179010130.00183002981.02230514.0E-50.0188496450.018493450.0185817851.00477669.0E-5
6.53.646941E-53.4337318E-55.4336633E-51.58243672.0E-51.5628811E-41.4715164E-41.6714871E-41.13589422.0E-50.00190114680.00179010130.00183002981.02230514.0E-50.0188496450.018493450.0185817851.00477669.0E-5
6.63.6442503E-53.4300705E-55.4300017E-51.58305842.0E-51.561728E-41.4699475E-41.6699181E-41.13603932.0E-50.00189974550.00178819440.00182812291.0223294.0E-50.0188358690.0184747170.0185630551.00478159.0E-5
6.73.6432113E-53.428628E-55.4285592E-51.58330372.0E-51.5612828E-41.4693293E-41.6693E-41.13609652.0E-50.00189920440.00178744310.00182737151.02233844.0E-50.0188305490.018467340.0185556781.00478359.0E-5
6.83.6409598E-53.4255332E-55.4254648E-51.58383072.0E-51.560318E-41.4680032E-41.6679738E-41.13621952.0E-50.00189803180.00178583130.00182575981.02235854.0E-50.0188190230.0184514950.0185398331.00478779.0E-5
6.93.638078E-53.4215755E-55.421507E-51.5845062.0E-51.5590832E-41.4663071E-41.6662778E-41.13637712.0E-50.00189653110.00178376970.00182369841.02238444.0E-50.0188042690.0184312280.018519571.0047939.0E-5
7.03.6294874E-53.4097768E-55.4097087E-51.58652872.0E-51.5554018E-41.4612512E-41.6612219E-41.1368492.0E-50.00189205690.00177762410.00181755311.02246194.0E-50.0187602840.0183708070.0184591521.0048099.0E-5
7.13.6260717E-53.4054046E-55.4053366E-51.58728172.0E-51.5539382E-41.4593777E-41.6593485E-41.13702482.0E-50.0018902780.00177534690.0018152761.02249094.0E-50.0187427960.0183484010.0184367491.00481519.0E-5
7.23.6210204E-53.3988264E-55.3987584E-51.58841842.0E-51.5517735E-41.4565587E-41.6565296E-41.137292.0E-50.0018876470.00177192050.00181184971.02253444.0E-50.018716930.0183146690.018403021.0048249.0E-5
7.33.6119454E-53.3876542E-55.3875865E-51.5903592.0E-51.5478847E-41.4517711E-41.651742E-41.13774282.0E-50.00188292060.00176610110.00180603041.02260884.0E-50.0186704620.018257220.0183455781.00483959.0E-5
7.43.607848E-53.382404E-55.382336E-51.59127552.0E-51.5461289E-41.4495212E-41.6494922E-41.13795662.0E-50.00188078660.00176336620.00180329571.02264394.0E-50.0186494810.0182302150.0183185731.00484689.0E-5
7.53.5856774E-53.363379E-55.3633117E-51.59462012.0E-51.5366284E-41.4413687E-41.6413399E-41.1387372.0E-50.00186923960.00175345650.00179338641.02277214.0E-50.0185359440.0181313030.018219671.00487389.0E-5
7.63.286655E-53.2156633E-55.2155992E-51.62193562.0E-51.4084904E-41.3780687E-41.5780413E-41.14511062.0E-50.0017134880.00167650950.00171644251.02381914.0E-50.0170033610.017350910.0174393491.0050979.0E-5
7.72.8882527E-52.9249288E-54.92487E-51.68375732.0E-51.237764E-41.2534807E-41.4534556E-41.15953562.0E-50.00150593570.00152504550.00156498461.02618874.0E-50.0149577130.0158371530.0159257281.00559289.0E-5
7.82.4950225E-52.6539781E-54.653925E-51.75356572.0E-51.0692515E-41.1373697E-41.3373469E-41.17582432.0E-50.00130103620.00138386890.00142381351.02886454.0E-50.0129344550.0144181580.014506861.00615229.0E-5
7.91.9881603E-52.1518656E-54.1518226E-51.92940622.0E-58.520408E-59.2219554E-51.12217705E-41.21685372.0E-50.0010368660.00112219550.00116215061.03560444.0E-50.0103204150.0117828750.0118718151.00754829.0E-5
8.01.563292E-51.5946089E-52.594593E-51.6271031.0E-56.6996516E-56.8338595E-57.8337915E-51.14632021.0E-58.153773E-48.3170546E-48.5168885E-41.0240272.0E-50.008123920.008815130.0088845131.00787097.0E-5
8.11.0045313E-58.306527E-68.306527E-61.00.04.305063E-53.5598918E-53.5598918E-51.00.05.2401534E-44.3333112E-44.433268E-41.0230671.0E-50.00522781440.00466166760.00467162071.00213521.0E-5
8.24.1554413E-61.5665041E-61.5665041E-61.00.01.7808914E-56.713572E-66.713572E-61.00.02.1680194E-48.17347E-58.17347E-51.00.00.00216590549.488419E-49.488419E-41.00.0
8.31.2758221E-63.6171858E-73.6171858E-71.00.05.4677976E-61.5502216E-61.5502216E-61.00.06.65684E-51.8873789E-51.8873789E-51.00.06.6548464E-42.2764095E-42.2764095E-41.00.0

Kern Canyon (North Kern) 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.6264497E-66.7573515E-66.7573515E-61.00.02.8398761E-52.8959801E-52.8959801E-51.00.03.4570007E-43.5253656E-44.0251893E-41.14177935.0E-50.00345162770.00352056140.00361024451.02547419.0E-5
6.16.6264497E-66.7573515E-66.7573515E-61.00.02.8398761E-52.8959801E-52.8959801E-51.00.03.4570007E-43.5253656E-44.0251893E-41.14177935.0E-50.00345162770.00352056140.00361024451.02547419.0E-5
6.26.6264497E-66.7573515E-66.7573515E-61.00.02.8398761E-52.8959801E-52.8959801E-51.00.03.4570007E-43.5253656E-44.0251893E-41.14177935.0E-50.00345162770.00352056140.00361024451.02547419.0E-5
6.36.6264497E-66.7573515E-66.7573515E-61.00.02.8398761E-52.8959801E-52.8959801E-51.00.03.4570007E-43.5253656E-44.0251893E-41.14177935.0E-50.00345162770.00352056140.00361024451.02547419.0E-5
6.46.6264497E-66.7573515E-66.7573515E-61.00.02.8398761E-52.8959801E-52.8959801E-51.00.03.4570007E-43.5253656E-44.0251893E-41.14177935.0E-50.00345162770.00352056140.00361024451.02547419.0E-5
6.53.2162225E-63.2571006E-63.2571006E-61.00.01.3783738E-51.3958933E-51.3958933E-51.00.01.6780409E-41.6993756E-41.9993246E-41.17650543.0E-50.00167677440.00169815580.00175805391.03527256.0E-5
6.63.2162225E-63.2571006E-63.2571006E-61.00.01.3783738E-51.3958933E-51.3958933E-51.00.01.6780409E-41.6993756E-41.9993246E-41.17650543.0E-50.00167677440.00169815580.00175805391.03527256.0E-5
6.72.1908265E-62.207128E-62.207128E-61.00.09.389223E-69.459087E-69.459087E-61.00.01.1430779E-41.15158495E-41.2515734E-41.08682681.0E-50.00114249010.00115100760.00117098461.0173562.0E-5
6.81.7303895E-61.7365575E-61.7365575E-61.00.07.415934E-67.4423683E-67.4423683E-61.00.09.028525E-59.0607165E-51.0060626E-41.11035661.0E-59.024858E-49.0571196E-49.2569384E-41.02206212.0E-5
6.91.3700314E-61.3688658E-61.3688658E-61.00.05.87155E-65.8665546E-65.8665546E-61.00.07.148377E-57.142301E-57.142301E-51.00.07.146078E-47.140051E-47.23998E-41.01399551.0E-5
7.01.1467797E-61.1413834E-61.1413834E-61.00.04.9147607E-64.8916345E-64.8916345E-61.00.05.983557E-55.955405E-55.955405E-51.00.05.981946E-45.9538404E-46.053781E-41.01678591.0E-5
7.19.3952065E-79.3027154E-79.3027154E-71.00.04.026511E-63.986872E-63.986872E-61.00.04.9021666E-54.8539103E-54.8539103E-51.00.04.901085E-44.852868E-44.9528194E-41.02059641.0E-5
7.26.858055E-76.719319E-76.719319E-71.00.02.939163E-62.879705E-62.879705E-61.00.03.5783723E-53.5059853E-53.5059853E-51.00.03.5777962E-43.505441E-43.605406E-41.02851711.0E-5
7.35.1101983E-74.939314E-74.939314E-71.00.02.1900833E-62.116847E-62.116847E-61.00.02.6663936E-52.5772315E-52.5772315E-51.00.02.6660739E-42.5769373E-42.5769373E-41.00.0
7.43.4999414E-73.2996007E-73.2996007E-71.00.01.499974E-61.4141139E-61.4141139E-61.00.01.8262032E-51.7216704E-51.7216704E-51.00.01.826053E-41.7215393E-41.7215393E-41.00.0
7.51.7021522E-71.4750101E-71.4750101E-71.00.07.2949354E-76.321471E-76.321471E-71.00.08.881548E-67.696364E-67.696364E-61.00.08.8811925E-57.696106E-57.696106E-51.00.0
7.62.572245E-81.7352718E-81.7352718E-81.00.01.10239064E-77.436879E-87.436879E-81.00.01.3421597E-69.054397E-79.054397E-71.00.01.3421517E-59.054365E-69.054365E-61.00.0

White Mountains

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.503579E-53.3784498E-54.378416E-51.29598381.0E-51.5014476E-41.4478335E-41.6478045E-41.13811742.0E-50.00182647960.00176143270.00180136241.02266884.0E-50.0181154030.0174870470.0175656491.00449488.0E-5
6.13.503579E-53.3784498E-54.378416E-51.29598381.0E-51.5014476E-41.4478335E-41.6478045E-41.13811742.0E-50.00182647960.00176143270.00180136241.02266884.0E-50.0181154030.0174870470.0175656491.00449488.0E-5
6.23.503579E-53.3784498E-54.378416E-51.29598381.0E-51.5014476E-41.4478335E-41.6478045E-41.13811742.0E-50.00182647960.00176143270.00180136241.02266884.0E-50.0181154030.0174870470.0175656491.00449488.0E-5
6.31.7818425E-51.591632E-52.591616E-51.6282761.0E-57.636245E-56.821109E-57.821041E-51.14659371.0E-59.293162E-48.301679E-48.501513E-41.02407152.0E-50.0092543950.0082721250.0083018771.00359673.0E-5
6.41.7818425E-51.591632E-52.591616E-51.6282761.0E-57.636245E-56.821109E-57.821041E-51.14659371.0E-59.293162E-48.301679E-48.501513E-41.02407152.0E-50.0092543950.0082721250.0083018771.00359673.0E-5
6.51.3397557E-51.1336486E-52.1336373E-51.88209761.0E-55.741684E-54.8584072E-55.8583588E-51.20581881.0E-56.988258E-45.9135753E-46.013516E-41.01690031.0E-50.0069663230.00589854460.00591842641.00337062.0E-5
6.61.0818695E-58.625519E-61.8625433E-52.15934061.0E-54.6365014E-53.696601E-54.696564E-51.27050881.0E-55.6434784E-44.4997258E-44.5996808E-41.02221361.0E-50.0056291680.0044910510.00451096151.00443332.0E-5
6.79.067908E-66.802544E-61.6802476E-52.47002841.0E-53.8861883E-52.915345E-53.915316E-51.34300261.0E-54.7304068E-43.5488865E-43.648851E-41.02816781.0E-50.004720350.00354353640.00356346561.0056242.0E-5
6.87.295947E-64.9364785E-64.9364785E-61.00.03.126797E-52.1156171E-52.1156171E-51.00.03.8062103E-42.5754707E-42.5754707E-41.00.00.00379969760.00257259890.0025825731.00387721.0E-5
6.96.2243444E-63.8322955E-63.8322955E-61.00.02.6675489E-51.6424025E-51.6424025E-51.00.03.2472567E-41.9994467E-41.9994467E-41.00.00.00324251570.00199770040.00200768051.00499571.0E-5
7.04.9878413E-62.6796004E-62.6796004E-61.00.02.1376287E-51.1483952E-51.1483952E-51.00.02.602252E-41.3980841E-41.3980841E-41.00.00.0025992070.00139723080.00139723081.00.0
7.14.0252844E-61.885737E-61.885737E-61.00.01.7251105E-58.081706E-68.081706E-61.00.02.1001195E-49.8390454E-59.8390454E-51.00.00.00209813599.834818E-49.834818E-41.00.0
7.23.3284066E-61.2819264E-61.2819264E-61.00.01.4264522E-55.493959E-65.493959E-61.00.01.736567E-46.6887005E-56.6887005E-51.00.00.00173521076.686788E-46.686788E-41.00.0
7.32.458226E-66.0570005E-76.0570005E-71.00.01.0535211E-52.595855E-62.595855E-61.00.01.2825865E-43.1604115E-53.1604115E-51.00.00.00128184643.1599996E-43.1599996E-41.00.0
7.41.965953E-63.1087455E-73.1087455E-71.00.08.425486E-61.3323188E-61.3323188E-61.00.01.0257547E-41.6220862E-51.6220862E-51.00.00.00102528131.6219691E-41.6219691E-41.00.0
7.51.2014192E-61.8242919E-71.8242919E-71.00.05.148929E-67.8183916E-77.8183916E-71.00.06.2686406E-59.518851E-69.518851E-61.00.06.266873E-49.5184514E-59.5184514E-51.00.0
7.62.5612175E-74.8943498E-84.8943498E-81.00.01.0976642E-62.0975783E-72.0975783E-71.00.01.3363979E-52.553799E-62.553799E-61.00.01.3363175E-42.5537733E-52.5537733E-51.00.0

San Jacinto (Anza) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.3015636E-54.3312386E-55.3311953E-51.23087081.0E-52.7003905E-41.8561137E-41.9560951E-41.0538661.0E-50.00328276910.00225748820.0022774431.00883942.0E-50.0323469680.0233077820.0233859161.00335238.0E-5
6.16.3015636E-54.3312386E-55.3311953E-51.23087081.0E-52.7003905E-41.8561137E-41.9560951E-41.0538661.0E-50.00328276910.00225748820.0022774431.00883942.0E-50.0323469680.0233077820.0233859161.00335238.0E-5
6.26.3015636E-54.3312386E-55.3311953E-51.23087081.0E-52.7003905E-41.8561137E-41.9560951E-41.0538661.0E-50.00328276910.00225748820.0022774431.00883942.0E-50.0323469680.0233077820.0233859161.00335238.0E-5
6.36.3015636E-54.3312386E-55.3311953E-51.23087081.0E-52.7003905E-41.8561137E-41.9560951E-41.0538661.0E-50.00328276910.00225748820.0022774431.00883942.0E-50.0323469680.0233077820.0233859161.00335238.0E-5
6.46.3015636E-54.3312386E-55.3311953E-51.23087081.0E-52.7003905E-41.8561137E-41.9560951E-41.0538661.0E-50.00328276910.00225748820.0022774431.00883942.0E-50.0323469680.0233077820.0233859161.00335238.0E-5
6.55.811017E-54.009432E-55.009392E-51.24940191.0E-52.4901982E-41.7182152E-41.818198E-41.05818991.0E-50.00302760140.00208992560.00210988381.00954972.0E-50.029866840.0216050280.02168331.00362298.0E-5
6.65.811017E-54.009432E-55.009392E-51.24940191.0E-52.4901982E-41.7182152E-41.818198E-41.05818991.0E-50.00302760140.00208992560.00210988381.00954972.0E-50.029866840.0216050280.02168331.00362298.0E-5
6.75.712442E-53.951705E-54.9516653E-51.25304531.0E-52.4479596E-41.6934783E-41.7934613E-41.05904011.0E-50.00297631770.00205986550.00207982421.00968932.0E-50.0293676930.0212970790.0213655891.00321697.0E-5
6.85.6967532E-53.9373335E-54.9372942E-51.2539691.0E-52.4412372E-41.6873197E-41.7873029E-41.05925561.0E-50.00296815530.00205238190.00207234081.00972472.0E-50.0292882290.021222680.0212911941.00322837.0E-5
6.95.6211324E-53.9078248E-54.907786E-51.25588681.0E-52.4088343E-41.6746749E-41.7746582E-41.05970311.0E-50.00292881160.00203701550.00205697471.00979832.0E-50.0289051090.0210609920.0211295191.00325377.0E-5
7.05.4383527E-53.793897E-54.7938593E-51.26357131.0E-52.3305144E-41.6258548E-41.7258387E-41.06149611.0E-50.00283370940.0019776860.00199764641.01009292.0E-50.0279784650.0204545870.0205231551.00335227.0E-5
7.15.1393665E-53.6401827E-54.6401463E-51.27470151.0E-52.2023996E-41.5599852E-41.6599697E-41.06409311.0E-50.00267812420.00189763180.00191759391.01051952.0E-50.0264607820.0196254810.0196941091.00349687.0E-5
7.24.785222E-53.4752728E-54.475238E-51.28773711.0E-52.0506482E-41.4893178E-41.589303E-41.06713491.0E-50.00249380550.00181173990.00183170371.01101912.0E-50.0246600490.0187356530.0188043421.00366627.0E-5
7.34.2143256E-53.384821E-54.384787E-51.29542661.0E-51.8060145E-41.4505572E-41.5505427E-41.06892911.0E-50.0021966050.00176462610.00178459091.01131382.0E-50.021750190.0182435070.0183122291.0037677.0E-5
7.44.0264713E-53.348636E-54.3486027E-51.2986191.0E-51.7255165E-41.4350511E-41.5350367E-41.06967391.0E-50.0020987920.00174577790.0017657431.01143622.0E-50.0207908040.0180481150.0181168521.00380857.0E-5
7.53.694492E-53.2200267E-54.2199943E-51.31054641.0E-51.5832575E-41.3799386E-41.4799248E-41.0724571.0E-50.00192591180.00167878360.00169875011.01189342.0E-50.019093060.0173644550.017433241.00396127.0E-5
7.63.200565E-52.9515684E-53.9515387E-51.33879291.0E-51.3715986E-41.2648967E-41.3648841E-41.07904781.0E-50.0016686420.0015389260.00155889521.0129762.0E-50.016561680.0159523580.016021241.00431817.0E-5
7.72.731642E-52.6104135E-53.6103873E-51.38307111.0E-51.1706512E-41.11870075E-41.2186896E-41.08937941.0E-50.0014243360.00136116820.00138114091.01467322.0E-50.0141524120.0141728930.0142419011.0048697.0E-5
7.82.3466424E-52.3515782E-53.351555E-51.42523631.0E-51.0056651E-41.0077804E-41.1077703E-41.0992181.0E-50.00122370940.00122628280.00124625831.01628952.0E-50.0121699280.0128145450.0128836481.00539267.0E-5
7.91.8611925E-51.8917919E-52.891773E-51.52858941.0E-57.9762955E-58.107428E-59.107347E-51.12333371.0E-59.7068126E-49.86633E-40.00100661341.02025092.0E-50.00966452250.0103990140.0104682861.00666147.0E-5
8.01.5460775E-51.5749598E-52.5749441E-51.63492681.0E-56.6258784E-56.7496534E-57.749586E-51.14814581.0E-58.0640207E-48.2146114E-48.414447E-41.02432682.0E-50.0080348210.0087074480.0087768391.00796917.0E-5
8.19.983884E-68.274653E-68.274653E-61.00.04.2787375E-53.546232E-53.546232E-51.00.05.2081177E-44.316687E-44.416644E-41.02315591.0E-50.00519592830.00464256060.0046525141.0021441.0E-5
8.24.1226E-61.5539142E-61.5539142E-61.00.01.7668166E-56.6596153E-66.6596153E-61.00.02.1508869E-48.107783E-58.107783E-51.00.00.00214880649.410467E-49.410467E-41.00.0
8.31.2750878E-63.6143226E-73.6143226E-71.00.05.4646503E-61.5489944E-61.5489944E-61.00.06.653009E-51.8858847E-51.8858847E-51.00.06.6510175E-42.2747046E-42.2747046E-41.00.0

Santa Ynez (East)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.2269712E-53.6751615E-53.6751615E-51.00.01.3829143E-41.5750073E-41.6749917E-41.06348181.0E-50.00168239790.0019164690.00194641141.01562383.0E-50.0166971780.019056870.0191353451.0041188.0E-5
6.13.2269712E-53.6751615E-53.6751615E-51.00.01.3829143E-41.5750073E-41.6749917E-41.06348181.0E-50.00168239790.0019164690.00194641141.01562383.0E-50.0166971780.019056870.0191353451.0041188.0E-5
6.23.2269712E-53.6751615E-53.6751615E-51.00.01.3829143E-41.5750073E-41.6749917E-41.06348181.0E-50.00168239790.0019164690.00194641141.01562383.0E-50.0166971780.019056870.0191353451.0041188.0E-5
6.33.2269712E-53.6751615E-53.6751615E-51.00.01.3829143E-41.5750073E-41.6749917E-41.06348181.0E-50.00168239790.0019164690.00194641141.01562383.0E-50.0166971780.019056870.0191353451.0041188.0E-5
6.41.4404779E-51.4849478E-51.4849478E-51.00.06.1733306E-56.36391E-56.36391E-51.00.07.513438E-47.7453564E-47.845279E-41.0129011.0E-50.00748808540.00771891230.0077387581.0025712.0E-5
6.51.4404779E-51.4849478E-51.4849478E-51.00.06.1733306E-56.36391E-56.36391E-51.00.07.513438E-47.7453564E-47.845279E-41.0129011.0E-50.00748808540.00771891230.0077387581.0025712.0E-5
6.61.280208E-51.3012008E-51.3012008E-51.00.05.4864904E-55.576457E-55.576457E-51.00.06.6777546E-46.787239E-46.887171E-41.01472351.0E-50.0066577240.006766720.0067865851.00293562.0E-5
6.71.2457027E-51.2628523E-51.2628523E-51.00.05.3386164E-55.4121127E-55.4121127E-51.00.06.497827E-46.587272E-46.6872063E-41.01517081.0E-50.006478860.0065679440.0065878121.0030252.0E-5
6.81.2095134E-51.2230965E-51.2230965E-51.00.05.1835254E-55.2417377E-55.2417377E-51.00.06.309115E-46.379963E-46.479899E-41.01566411.0E-50.00629123250.0063618350.00638170771.00312382.0E-5
6.91.1104036E-51.1157385E-51.1157385E-51.00.04.758786E-54.78165E-54.78165E-51.00.05.7922816E-45.820116E-45.920058E-41.01717171.0E-50.0057772070.0058050190.0058249031.00342522.0E-5
7.01.0577444E-51.0581712E-51.0581712E-51.00.04.5331115E-54.534941E-54.534941E-51.00.05.5176654E-45.519904E-45.619849E-41.01810621.0E-50.00550398560.00550633160.00552622141.00361222.0E-5
7.11.0021775E-59.981012E-69.981012E-61.00.04.294976E-54.277507E-54.277507E-51.00.05.2278786E-45.206632E-45.206632E-41.00.00.00521559640.0051945660.0052045141.00191511.0E-5
7.28.874109E-68.748804E-68.748804E-61.00.03.8031343E-53.749434E-53.749434E-51.00.04.629332E-44.5639908E-44.5639908E-41.00.00.00461970.00455473550.004564691.00218551.0E-5
7.37.5504267E-67.5050975E-67.5050975E-61.00.03.235857E-53.2164313E-53.2164313E-51.00.03.9389438E-43.9153118E-43.9153118E-41.00.00.00393196940.00390852060.00391848151.00254851.0E-5
7.46.309394E-66.1831197E-66.1831197E-61.00.02.703998E-52.6498821E-52.6498821E-51.00.03.2916202E-43.2257635E-43.2257635E-41.00.00.0032867490.00322117840.00323114611.00309441.0E-5
7.54.6103073E-64.4408375E-64.4408375E-61.00.01.975831E-51.9032026E-51.9032026E-51.00.02.4053088E-42.3169098E-42.3169098E-41.00.00.0024027070.00231456380.00231456381.00.0
7.61.2858658E-61.3008295E-61.3008295E-61.00.05.5108417E-65.574972E-65.574972E-61.00.06.7092435E-56.787324E-56.787324E-51.00.06.707218E-46.78532E-46.78532E-41.00.0
7.75.3302307E-75.612178E-75.612178E-71.00.02.2843826E-62.4052172E-62.4052172E-61.00.02.7812002E-52.9283161E-52.9283161E-51.00.02.7808524E-42.927966E-42.927966E-41.00.0
7.84.613933E-84.803036E-84.803036E-81.00.01.9773998E-72.0584437E-72.0584437E-71.00.02.4074816E-62.5061524E-62.5061524E-61.00.02.4074554E-52.5061252E-52.5061252E-51.00.0

Lake Isabella (Seismicity)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.431637E-69.741694E-69.741694E-61.00.04.0420677E-54.1749525E-54.1749525E-51.00.04.920106E-45.0819496E-45.5816956E-41.09833745.0E-50.0049092270.0050716210.0051512151.0156948.0E-5
6.19.431637E-69.741694E-69.741694E-61.00.04.0420677E-54.1749525E-54.1749525E-51.00.04.920106E-45.0819496E-45.5816956E-41.09833745.0E-50.0049092270.0050716210.0051512151.0156948.0E-5
6.29.431637E-69.741694E-69.741694E-61.00.04.0420677E-54.1749525E-54.1749525E-51.00.04.920106E-45.0819496E-45.5816956E-41.09833745.0E-50.0049092270.0050716210.0051512151.0156948.0E-5
6.39.431637E-69.741694E-69.741694E-61.00.04.0420677E-54.1749525E-54.1749525E-51.00.04.920106E-45.0819496E-45.5816956E-41.09833745.0E-50.0049092270.0050716210.0051512151.0156948.0E-5
6.45.144063E-65.3000977E-65.3000977E-61.00.02.2045799E-52.2714525E-52.2714525E-51.00.02.6837454E-42.765177E-42.8651493E-41.0361541.0E-50.00268050660.0027620770.00277204931.00361051.0E-5
6.55.144063E-65.3000977E-65.3000977E-61.00.02.2045799E-52.2714525E-52.2714525E-51.00.02.6837454E-42.765177E-42.8651493E-41.0361541.0E-50.00268050660.0027620770.00277204931.00361051.0E-5
6.63.4009804E-63.4987995E-63.4987995E-61.00.01.4575549E-51.4994778E-51.4994778E-51.00.01.7744285E-41.8254772E-41.9254591E-41.05477021.0E-50.00177301230.00182413550.00183411731.00547211.0E-5
6.73.3880428E-63.4856662E-63.4856662E-61.00.01.4520103E-51.4938492E-51.4938492E-51.00.01.767679E-41.8186258E-41.9186074E-41.05497661.0E-50.00176627360.00181729510.0018272771.00549271.0E-5
6.82.6582E-62.7337105E-62.7337105E-61.00.01.1392236E-51.1715857E-51.1715857E-51.00.01.3869164E-41.4263256E-41.5263114E-41.07010021.0E-50.00138605120.00142554230.0014355281.00700491.0E-5
6.92.406011E-62.474338E-62.474338E-61.00.01.0311434E-51.0604271E-51.0604271E-51.00.01.2553448E-41.2910066E-41.3909937E-41.0774491.0E-50.00125463590.00129038630.00130037331.00773971.0E-5
7.01.6953097E-61.7429437E-61.7429437E-61.00.07.265593E-67.469743E-67.469743E-61.00.08.8455E-59.094137E-51.00940466E-41.10995091.0E-58.84198E-49.0914435E-49.1913523E-41.01098931.0E-5
7.13.5013824E-73.571492E-73.571492E-71.00.01.5005916E-61.5306384E-61.5306384E-61.00.01.826955E-51.8635366E-51.8635366E-51.00.01.8268047E-41.863383E-41.863383E-41.00.0
7.22.2321095E-72.2750632E-72.2750632E-71.00.09.56618E-79.750268E-79.750268E-71.00.01.1646762E-51.1870887E-51.1870887E-51.00.01.1646151E-41.1870263E-41.1870263E-41.00.0
7.31.5760406E-71.6060963E-71.6060963E-71.00.06.7544585E-76.883268E-76.883268E-71.00.08.223522E-68.380347E-68.380347E-61.00.08.2232174E-58.3800376E-58.3800376E-51.00.0
7.41.1216497E-71.1431735E-71.1431735E-71.00.04.8070694E-74.8993144E-74.8993144E-71.00.05.852591E-65.964899E-65.964899E-61.00.05.8524372E-55.9647435E-55.9647435E-51.00.0
7.54.885185E-84.9787864E-84.9787864E-81.00.02.0936506E-72.1337654E-72.1337654E-71.00.02.5490165E-62.5978566E-62.5978566E-61.00.02.5489873E-52.597828E-52.597828E-51.00.0
7.61.504641E-91.5317939E-91.5317939E-91.00.06.4484613E-96.5648313E-96.5648313E-91.00.07.851001E-87.992682E-87.992682E-81.00.07.8509987E-77.992682E-77.992682E-71.00.0

San Jacinto (Stepovers Combined)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.0667746E-53.5285528E-54.5285175E-51.28339231.0E-51.742787E-41.5121493E-41.6121342E-41.0661211.0E-50.00211977820.00183948840.00185945161.01085262.0E-50.0209967140.0189936550.0190623251.00361557.0E-5
6.14.0667746E-53.5285528E-54.5285175E-51.28339231.0E-51.742787E-41.5121493E-41.6121342E-41.0661211.0E-50.00211977820.00183948840.00185945161.01085262.0E-50.0209967140.0189936550.0190623251.00361557.0E-5
6.24.0667746E-53.5285528E-54.5285175E-51.28339231.0E-51.742787E-41.5121493E-41.6121342E-41.0661211.0E-50.00211977820.00183948840.00185945161.01085262.0E-50.0209967140.0189936550.0190623251.00361557.0E-5
6.34.0667746E-53.5285528E-54.5285175E-51.28339231.0E-51.742787E-41.5121493E-41.6121342E-41.0661211.0E-50.00211977820.00183948840.00185945161.01085262.0E-50.0209967140.0189936550.0190623251.00361557.0E-5
6.44.0577226E-53.515743E-54.515708E-51.28442491.0E-51.738908E-41.5066602E-41.6066451E-41.0663621.0E-50.00211506480.00183281780.00185278121.01089222.0E-50.0209504720.0189282190.0189968941.00362817.0E-5
6.54.0577226E-53.515743E-54.515708E-51.28442491.0E-51.738908E-41.5066602E-41.6066451E-41.0663621.0E-50.00211506480.00183281780.00185278121.01089222.0E-50.0209504720.0189282190.0189968941.00362817.0E-5
6.64.053861E-53.510277E-54.510242E-51.28486781.0E-51.7372532E-41.5043179E-41.6043028E-41.06646531.0E-50.00211305380.00182997130.00184993471.01090912.0E-50.0209307430.0189002960.0189689731.00363367.0E-5
6.74.0516545E-53.5071844E-54.5071494E-51.2851191.0E-51.7363077E-41.5029925E-41.6029776E-41.06652391.0E-50.0021119050.00182836070.00184832411.01091872.0E-50.0209194680.0188844910.0189531691.00363677.0E-5
6.84.049434E-53.5043406E-54.5043053E-51.28535041.0E-51.7353562E-41.501774E-41.6017588E-41.06657791.0E-50.00211074880.00182687950.00184684291.01092772.0E-50.0209081250.0188699050.0189385821.00363967.0E-5
6.94.046386E-53.5005964E-54.500561E-51.28565561.0E-51.73405E-41.5001695E-41.6001544E-41.06664911.0E-50.00210916160.00182492940.00184489291.01093942.0E-50.0208925530.0188506770.0189193561.00364347.0E-5
7.04.036382E-53.4886525E-54.4886176E-51.28663361.0E-51.7297632E-41.4950513E-41.5950363E-41.06687741.0E-50.00210395250.00181870860.00183867221.01097682.0E-50.020841440.0187892880.0188579731.00365567.0E-5
7.14.0343282E-53.486499E-54.486464E-51.28681061.0E-51.7288832E-41.4941284E-41.5941134E-41.06691861.0E-50.0021028830.00181758670.00183755041.01098362.0E-50.0208309480.0187781580.0188468431.00365777.0E-5
7.24.0257353E-53.476948E-54.4769135E-51.28759851.0E-51.725201E-41.4900356E-41.5900208E-41.06710241.0E-50.00209840850.00181261230.0018325761.01101372.0E-50.0207870420.0187288930.0187975821.00366767.0E-5
7.33.9940667E-53.459712E-54.4596774E-51.28903141.0E-51.7116306E-41.4826495E-41.5826347E-41.06743681.0E-50.00208191850.00180363460.00182359851.01106872.0E-50.0206252170.0186375140.0187062081.00368587.0E-5
7.43.9721202E-53.44825E-54.4482153E-51.28999221.0E-51.7022261E-41.4777378E-41.577723E-41.0676611.0E-50.00207049030.00179766430.00181762841.01110552.0E-50.0205130520.0185766350.0186453351.00369827.0E-5
7.53.7036873E-53.354985E-54.3549517E-51.29805391.0E-51.5871979E-41.4377717E-41.5377573E-41.0695421.0E-50.00193070060.00174908460.00176904961.01141452.0E-50.0191401240.0180781150.0181468481.00380217.0E-5
7.63.2940967E-53.1330474E-54.133016E-51.31916811.0E-51.4116794E-41.3426656E-41.4426523E-41.07446871.0E-50.00171736450.0016334720.00165343941.01222382.0E-50.017041530.016910880.0169796961.00406937.0E-5
7.72.8236149E-52.7896147E-53.789587E-51.35846251.0E-51.2100645E-41.1954944E-41.2954825E-41.08363741.0E-50.00147225790.00145454370.00147451461.013732.0E-50.0146254210.0151214530.0151903951.00455927.0E-5
7.82.4329287E-52.5219388E-53.5219135E-51.39651041.0E-51.042642E-41.0807862E-41.18077536E-41.09251521.0E-50.00126867740.00131506380.00133503741.01518832.0E-50.0126145890.0137184680.0137875081.00503277.0E-5
7.91.9370926E-52.0432055E-53.043185E-51.48941711.0E-58.301561E-58.7563014E-59.756214E-51.11419341.0E-50.00101024650.0010655590.00108553771.01874952.0E-50.01005666050.0112050530.0112742691.00617727.0E-5
8.01.5583017E-51.5895175E-52.5895015E-51.62911181.0E-56.6782646E-56.8120404E-57.811972E-51.1467891.0E-58.127754E-48.29051E-48.490344E-41.0241042.0E-50.0080980910.0087864160.00885581.00789697.0E-5
8.11.0024873E-58.297121E-68.297121E-61.00.04.2963035E-53.5558605E-53.5558605E-51.00.05.229494E-44.3284055E-44.4283623E-41.02309321.0E-50.00521720430.004655960.0046659131.00213781.0E-5
8.24.142796E-61.5619446E-61.5619446E-61.00.01.775472E-56.6940315E-66.6940315E-61.00.02.1614227E-48.1496815E-58.1496815E-51.00.00.00215932179.4601413E-49.4601413E-41.00.0
8.31.2750878E-63.6143226E-73.6143226E-71.00.05.4646503E-61.5489944E-61.5489944E-61.00.06.653009E-51.8858847E-51.8858847E-51.00.06.6510175E-42.2747046E-42.2747046E-41.00.0

Mission Ridge-Arroyo Parida-Santa Ana

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.169034E-54.7138332E-54.7138332E-51.00.01.7866064E-42.0201063E-42.3200458E-41.14847713.0E-50.00217302330.00245753140.00249743321.01623654.0E-50.0215189680.0243854620.0244537551.00280067.0E-5
6.11.73813E-51.685448E-51.685448E-51.00.07.4489166E-57.2231545E-57.2231545E-51.00.09.065282E-48.7907485E-48.7907485E-41.00.00.0090283910.0087572580.0087770831.00226382.0E-5
6.21.4622182E-51.3673473E-51.3673473E-51.00.06.2664985E-55.8599304E-55.8599304E-51.00.07.6267915E-47.1321684E-47.1321684E-41.00.00.0076006690.00710986230.00711979161.00139651.0E-5
6.31.3552434E-51.24823655E-51.24823655E-51.00.05.8080568E-55.3494776E-55.3494776E-51.00.07.069015E-46.511074E-46.511074E-41.00.00.007046570.0064925010.0065024361.00153031.0E-5
6.41.30977305E-51.1979314E-51.1979314E-51.00.05.613192E-55.1338924E-55.1338924E-51.00.06.831918E-46.2487513E-46.2487513E-41.00.00.0068109530.00623166650.0062416041.00159471.0E-5
6.51.225205E-51.1048948E-51.1048948E-51.00.05.2507727E-54.735179E-54.735179E-51.00.06.3909404E-45.763583E-45.763583E-41.00.00.0063725920.0057490850.00575902731.00172941.0E-5
6.61.1352241E-51.0063668E-51.0063668E-51.00.04.8651553E-54.3129305E-54.3129305E-51.00.05.921717E-45.249749E-45.249749E-41.00.00.00590596160.0052377340.00524768141.00189921.0E-5
6.71.0864116E-59.517152E-69.517152E-61.00.04.6559664E-54.0787167E-54.0787167E-51.00.05.667165E-44.964726E-44.964726E-41.00.00.0056527340.0049540090.0049639591.00200861.0E-5
6.81.0666365E-59.2999E-69.2999E-61.00.04.571219E-53.9856117E-53.9856117E-51.00.05.564038E-44.851422E-44.851422E-41.00.00.0055501270.0048412040.00485115541.00205561.0E-5
6.91.0038665E-58.592155E-68.592155E-61.00.04.302214E-53.682301E-53.682301E-51.00.05.236687E-44.4822975E-44.4822975E-41.00.00.0052243640.00447360850.00448356341.00222531.0E-5
7.09.5379955E-68.025172E-68.025172E-61.00.04.0876483E-53.4393153E-53.4393153E-51.00.04.975576E-44.1865787E-44.1865787E-41.00.00.004964450.00417903160.00417903161.00.0
7.19.207389E-67.652467E-67.652467E-61.00.03.945964E-53.2795884E-53.2795884E-51.00.04.803152E-43.992184E-43.992184E-41.00.00.0047927840.00398534960.00398534961.00.0
7.27.638091E-65.931174E-65.931174E-61.00.03.2734264E-52.541907E-52.541907E-51.00.03.984668E-43.0943356E-43.0943356E-41.00.00.00397753060.00309022450.00309022451.00.0
7.37.2500147E-65.596204E-65.596204E-61.00.03.1071122E-52.3983514E-52.3983514E-51.00.03.7822526E-42.9196046E-42.9196046E-41.00.00.00377582150.0029159650.0029159651.00.0
7.46.3899715E-64.9185496E-64.9185496E-61.00.02.7385306E-52.107933E-52.107933E-51.00.03.3336508E-42.566108E-42.566108E-41.00.00.00332865420.00256333030.00256333031.00.0
7.55.379025E-64.0839013E-64.0839013E-61.00.02.305276E-51.7502318E-51.7502318E-51.00.02.806312E-42.1306999E-42.1306999E-41.00.00.00280277080.00212866840.00212866841.00.0
7.64.1270696E-63.088378E-63.088378E-61.00.01.768732E-51.3235838E-51.3235838E-51.00.02.1532185E-41.6113449E-41.6113449E-41.00.00.00215113330.00161018470.00161018471.00.0
7.72.5406805E-61.8282275E-61.8282275E-61.00.01.0888585E-57.835237E-67.835237E-61.00.01.3256045E-49.53899E-59.53899E-51.00.00.00132481429.5349574E-49.5349574E-41.00.0
7.84.8608285E-73.5099023E-73.5099023E-71.00.02.0832106E-61.504243E-61.504243E-61.00.02.5362791E-51.8314006E-51.8314006E-51.00.02.5359896E-41.8312508E-41.8312508E-41.00.0
7.92.0472514E-81.2688983E-81.2688983E-81.00.08.7739345E-85.4381356E-85.4381356E-81.00.01.068226E-66.620928E-76.620928E-71.00.01.0682209E-56.6209095E-66.6209095E-61.00.0
8.04.443582E-92.032151E-92.032151E-91.00.01.9043922E-88.709217E-98.709217E-91.00.02.3185973E-71.0603472E-71.0603472E-71.00.02.3185949E-61.0603468E-61.0603468E-61.00.0

Dry Mountain

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.222801E-66.439411E-66.439411E-61.00.02.6668875E-52.7597274E-52.7597274E-51.00.03.2464517E-43.359609E-43.6595084E-41.08926613.0E-50.00324171320.00335609240.00342585731.02078767.0E-5
6.16.222801E-66.439411E-66.439411E-61.00.02.6668875E-52.7597274E-52.7597274E-51.00.03.2464517E-43.359609E-43.6595084E-41.08926613.0E-50.00324171320.00335609240.00342585731.02078767.0E-5
6.26.222801E-66.439411E-66.439411E-61.00.02.6668875E-52.7597274E-52.7597274E-51.00.03.2464517E-43.359609E-43.6595084E-41.08926613.0E-50.00324171320.00335609240.00342585731.02078767.0E-5
6.36.222801E-66.439411E-66.439411E-61.00.02.6668875E-52.7597274E-52.7597274E-51.00.03.2464517E-43.359609E-43.6595084E-41.08926613.0E-50.00324171320.00335609240.00342585731.02078767.0E-5
6.46.222801E-66.439411E-66.439411E-61.00.02.6668875E-52.7597274E-52.7597274E-51.00.03.2464517E-43.359609E-43.6595084E-41.08926613.0E-50.00324171320.00335609240.00342585731.02078767.0E-5
6.52.8528623E-62.952182E-62.952182E-61.00.01.22264955E-51.2652196E-51.2652196E-51.00.01.4884741E-41.5403831E-41.6403677E-41.06490891.0E-50.00148747740.00154016880.0015601381.01296562.0E-5
6.62.8528623E-62.952182E-62.952182E-61.00.01.22264955E-51.2652196E-51.2652196E-51.00.01.4884741E-41.5403831E-41.6403677E-41.06490891.0E-50.00148747740.00154016880.0015601381.01296562.0E-5
6.72.541E-62.62937E-62.62937E-61.00.01.0889954E-51.12687285E-51.12687285E-51.00.01.3257713E-41.3719677E-41.471954E-41.0728781.0E-50.00132498060.00137196770.00139194031.01455762.0E-5

Brawley (Seismic Zone) alt 1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.2521618E-44.7643206E-44.8642728E-41.02097941.0E-59.6485513E-40.0020402910.00207022971.01467383.0E-50.0116839880.0245549730.024593991.0015894.0E-50.110884230.213531060.213578251.0002216.0E-5
6.12.2521618E-44.7643206E-44.8642728E-41.02097941.0E-59.6485513E-40.0020402910.00207022971.01467383.0E-50.0116839880.0245549730.024593991.0015894.0E-50.110884230.213531060.213578251.0002216.0E-5
6.22.198148E-44.672759E-44.7727124E-41.02139071.0E-59.417233E-40.00200111070.00203105091.01496173.0E-50.0114053430.0240890370.0241183141.00121533.0E-50.108374280.209967170.210006671.00018815.0E-5
6.32.1704129E-44.6163241E-44.7162778E-41.02165221.0E-59.298453E-40.0019769610.0020069021.01514483.0E-50.0112622340.0238023880.0238316751.00123043.0E-50.1070827250.207858160.207897771.00019055.0E-5
6.41.876142E-44.0055066E-44.1054667E-41.02495561.0E-58.038131E-40.00171553060.00174547921.01745723.0E-50.009742590.0206888370.0207182171.001423.0E-50.0932636860.184608220.184640841.00017674.0E-5
6.51.7390939E-43.7486907E-43.848653E-41.02666591.0E-57.45113E-40.00160560470.00163555651.01865463.0E-50.0090340780.0193770380.0194064571.00151823.0E-50.0867552160.174429680.174462721.00018934.0E-5
6.61.591791E-43.490135E-43.5901004E-41.02864221.0E-56.8201777E-40.00149492490.00152488011.02003793.0E-50.0082719960.0180516910.0180811511.00163193.0E-50.079707740.163836550.163871.00020414.0E-5
6.71.4268003E-43.2067046E-43.3066724E-41.03117471.0E-56.1134255E-40.00137358640.00140354511.02181073.0E-50.0074177230.0165972260.0166267291.00177753.0E-50.071749560.151963280.15199721.00022334.0E-5
6.81.239713E-42.906121E-43.006092E-41.03440011.0E-55.3119735E-40.00124489210.00127485481.02406853.0E-50.00644816740.0150526610.0150822091.0019633.0E-50.062642430.138404740.138439211.0002494.0E-5
6.91.0180238E-42.6260383E-42.7260123E-41.03807021.0E-54.3622297E-40.00112496390.00115493011.02663763.0E-50.0052980890.0136114220.0136410141.0021743.0E-50.051735430.124983610.125018611.000284.0E-5
7.07.6619996E-52.2404084E-42.340386E-41.04462471.0E-53.283301E-49.598249E-49.798057E-41.02081722.0E-50.00399009320.0116239630.0116437311.00170062.0E-50.0391920660.107283010.1073097961.00024963.0E-5
7.17.5127435E-52.2087194E-42.3086973E-41.04526511.0E-53.2193496E-49.462538E-49.6623483E-41.0211162.0E-50.00391251550.0114604850.0114802551.00172512.0E-50.0384434420.1058468150.105873641.00025343.0E-5
7.26.788582E-52.0214771E-42.121457E-41.04945871.0E-52.9090676E-48.660627E-48.860454E-41.0230732.0E-50.00353603860.0104939740.0105137651.00188592.0E-50.0348030.097517130.097544211.00027763.0E-5
7.36.399602E-51.884553E-41.9845342E-41.0530531.0E-52.7423984E-48.074185E-48.2740234E-41.02475042.0E-50.00333375860.0097866010.0098064061.00202362.0E-50.032841880.091410580.091437841.00029813.0E-5
7.44.506759E-51.2532667E-41.3532542E-41.07978151.0E-51.9313251E-45.370046E-45.569939E-41.03722362.0E-50.00234885260.0065186060.0065384761.00304822.0E-50.0232418050.062374640.0624027661.0004513.0E-5
7.53.43289E-59.338305E-51.0338212E-41.10707581.0E-51.4711556E-44.00152E-44.20144E-41.0499612.0E-50.00178966030.004861030.00488093261.00409442.0E-50.017753160.047065930.0470945161.00060743.0E-5
7.62.5980507E-57.055588E-58.0555175E-51.14172161.0E-51.1134028E-43.023474E-43.2234137E-41.06612912.0E-50.0013547250.00367489080.00369481721.00542242.0E-50.0134649590.0358502680.035879191.00080683.0E-5
7.71.7292105E-54.9428265E-55.942777E-51.20230341.0E-57.4106916E-52.1181825E-42.31814E-41.09440052.0E-59.018782E-40.0025758430.00259579141.00774442.0E-50.0089822670.0252989440.0253281851.00115593.0E-5
7.81.2927471E-53.971141E-53.971141E-51.00.05.5402274E-51.7018066E-41.8017896E-41.05875111.0E-56.743139E-40.00206998320.00207996251.0048211.0E-50.00672271430.0204390850.0204586761.00095862.0E-5
7.91.0200774E-52.8759863E-52.8759863E-51.00.04.371687E-51.2325073E-41.332495E-41.08112541.0E-55.321229E-40.00149954590.00150953091.00665871.0E-50.0053085050.01499810350.0150178041.00131342.0E-5
8.08.650396E-62.3289316E-52.3289316E-51.00.03.70726E-59.980754E-51.0980654E-41.10018291.0E-54.5126543E-40.00121448030.00122446811.0082241.0E-50.00450350160.0122165830.0122363381.00161712.0E-5
8.13.9368224E-67.3325436E-67.3325436E-61.00.01.6871985E-53.142481E-54.1424493E-51.31820991.0E-52.0539707E-43.8253E-43.9252618E-41.02613171.0E-50.00205207310.00400342650.0040233461.00497572.0E-5
8.21.7101195E-62.21947E-62.21947E-61.00.07.329063E-69.511979E-69.511979E-61.00.08.922769E-51.1580222E-41.1580222E-41.00.08.9191867E-40.00126751310.00126751311.00.0
8.33.0346666E-81.7229212E-81.7229212E-81.00.01.3005713E-77.383948E-87.383948E-81.00.01.5834444E-68.9899555E-78.9899555E-71.00.01.5834332E-59.375523E-69.375523E-61.00.0

Ventura-Pitas Point

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.3179622E-53.37358E-53.37358E-51.00.01.4219063E-41.4457543E-41.5457398E-41.06915811.0E-50.00172979620.00175904160.00178898871.01702483.0E-50.0171639320.017476880.0175358321.00337316.0E-5
6.13.3179622E-53.37358E-53.37358E-51.00.01.4219063E-41.4457543E-41.5457398E-41.06915811.0E-50.00172979620.00175904160.00178898871.01702483.0E-50.0171639320.017476880.0175358321.00337316.0E-5
6.23.3179622E-53.37358E-53.37358E-51.00.01.4219063E-41.4457543E-41.5457398E-41.06915811.0E-50.00172979620.00175904160.00178898871.01702483.0E-50.0171639320.017476880.0175358321.00337316.0E-5
6.33.3179622E-53.37358E-53.37358E-51.00.01.4219063E-41.4457543E-41.5457398E-41.06915811.0E-50.00172979620.00175904160.00178898871.01702483.0E-50.0171639320.017476880.0175358321.00337316.0E-5
6.41.8754668E-51.7019853E-51.7019853E-51.00.08.037467E-57.294031E-57.294031E-51.00.09.781223E-48.877096E-48.977007E-41.01125491.0E-50.0097382820.0088441460.0088639691.00224142.0E-5
6.51.8754668E-51.7019853E-51.7019853E-51.00.08.037467E-57.294031E-57.294031E-51.00.09.781223E-48.877096E-48.977007E-41.01125491.0E-50.0097382820.0088441460.0088639691.00224142.0E-5
6.61.4361558E-51.2122441E-51.2122441E-51.00.06.154808E-55.19523E-55.19523E-51.00.07.490902E-46.32338E-46.32338E-41.00.00.00746570160.00630581660.0063157541.00157581.0E-5
6.71.4361558E-51.2122441E-51.2122441E-51.00.06.154808E-55.19523E-55.19523E-51.00.07.490902E-46.32338E-46.32338E-41.00.00.00746570160.00630581660.0063157541.00157581.0E-5
6.81.3663846E-51.1344573E-51.1344573E-51.00.05.8558027E-54.8618702E-54.8618702E-51.00.07.127108E-45.917739E-45.917739E-41.00.00.0071042930.00590236950.00591231041.00168421.0E-5
6.91.3644157E-51.1322673E-51.1322673E-51.00.05.8473648E-54.852485E-54.852485E-51.00.07.116841E-45.9063185E-45.9063185E-41.00.00.0070940920.00589100970.00590095061.00168751.0E-5
7.01.3568845E-51.12422385E-51.12422385E-51.00.05.8150898E-54.8180143E-54.8180143E-51.00.07.077572E-45.864373E-45.864373E-41.00.00.0070550730.00584928550.0058592271.00169961.0E-5
7.11.306572E-51.072068E-51.072068E-51.00.05.599474E-54.5944973E-54.5944973E-51.00.06.815227E-45.5923837E-45.5923837E-41.00.00.00679436370.0055786880.00558863251.00178251.0E-5
7.21.232604E-59.9952695E-69.9952695E-61.00.05.2824813E-54.2836175E-54.2836175E-51.00.06.429523E-45.214074E-45.214074E-41.00.00.00641095270.00520220540.00521215331.00191221.0E-5
7.31.0917261E-58.843945E-68.843945E-61.00.04.678742E-53.790208E-53.790208E-51.00.05.69488E-44.6136163E-44.6136163E-41.00.00.00568030770.00460437730.00461433131.00216191.0E-5
7.41.039959E-58.423664E-68.423664E-61.00.04.456891E-53.6100926E-53.6100926E-51.00.05.424914E-44.3944168E-44.3944168E-41.00.00.00541168960.0043860620.0043960181.002271.0E-5
7.59.015877E-67.297624E-67.297624E-61.00.03.86389E-53.1275165E-53.1275165E-51.00.04.7032707E-43.8071E-43.8071E-41.00.00.0046933290.00380089760.00381085951.00262091.0E-5
7.64.900162E-63.874157E-63.874157E-61.00.02.1000526E-51.6603424E-51.6603424E-51.00.02.556514E-42.0212808E-42.0212808E-41.00.00.00255357470.0020194560.0020194561.00.0
7.73.8850626E-63.1267878E-63.1267878E-61.00.01.6650163E-51.3400451E-51.3400451E-51.00.02.0269687E-41.6313836E-41.6313836E-41.00.00.0020251210.00163019540.00163019541.00.0
7.82.4654719E-62.0299206E-62.0299206E-61.00.01.0566265E-58.6996315E-68.6996315E-61.00.01.2863669E-41.05912906E-41.05912906E-41.00.00.00128562250.0010586290.0010586291.00.0
7.94.095894E-73.2765396E-73.2765396E-71.00.01.7553821E-61.4042306E-61.4042306E-61.00.02.1371567E-51.7096376E-51.7096376E-51.00.02.1369511E-41.7095092E-41.7095092E-41.00.0
8.07.791402E-95.6836416E-95.6836416E-91.00.03.3391725E-82.4358464E-82.4358464E-81.00.04.0654416E-72.9656428E-72.9656428E-71.00.04.065434E-62.9656408E-62.9656408E-61.00.0

Pleito

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6763008E-52.4771325E-52.4771325E-51.00.07.183948E-51.0615891E-41.2615678E-41.18837682.0E-58.742947E-40.00129179040.0013517131.04638726.0E-50.008708630.012957840.0130170631.00457046.0E-5
6.11.6763008E-52.4771325E-52.4771325E-51.00.07.183948E-51.0615891E-41.2615678E-41.18837682.0E-58.742947E-40.00129179040.0013517131.04638726.0E-50.008708630.012957840.0130170631.00457046.0E-5
6.21.6763008E-52.4771325E-52.4771325E-51.00.07.183948E-51.0615891E-41.2615678E-41.18837682.0E-58.742947E-40.00129179040.0013517131.04638726.0E-50.008708630.012957840.0130170631.00457046.0E-5
6.31.6763008E-52.4771325E-52.4771325E-51.00.07.183948E-51.0615891E-41.2615678E-41.18837682.0E-58.742947E-40.00129179040.0013517131.04638726.0E-50.008708630.012957840.0130170631.00457046.0E-5
6.41.6763008E-52.4771325E-52.4771325E-51.00.07.183948E-51.0615891E-41.2615678E-41.18837682.0E-58.742947E-40.00129179040.0013517131.04638726.0E-50.008708630.012957840.0130170631.00457046.0E-5
6.51.6763008E-52.4771325E-52.4771325E-51.00.07.183948E-51.0615891E-41.2615678E-41.18837682.0E-58.742947E-40.00129179040.0013517131.04638726.0E-50.008708630.012957840.0130170631.00457046.0E-5
6.69.910213E-61.7222008E-51.7222008E-51.00.04.247165E-57.380654E-57.380654E-51.00.05.169696E-48.982279E-49.082189E-41.01112311.0E-50.00515768630.0090546150.0090645241.00109451.0E-5
6.79.910213E-61.7222008E-51.7222008E-51.00.04.247165E-57.380654E-57.380654E-51.00.05.169696E-48.982279E-49.082189E-41.01112311.0E-50.00515768630.0090546150.0090645241.00109451.0E-5
6.88.300162E-61.5481599E-51.5481599E-51.00.03.557164E-56.634803E-56.634803E-51.00.04.3299864E-48.074893E-48.1748125E-41.0123741.0E-50.0043215590.0081540460.0081639641.00121641.0E-5
6.98.183114E-61.535281E-51.535281E-51.00.03.5070017E-56.5796106E-56.5796106E-51.00.04.2689382E-48.007746E-48.107666E-41.01247791.0E-50.00426074680.0080873890.0080973081.00122651.0E-5
7.07.1748823E-61.41397095E-51.41397095E-51.00.03.0749135E-56.059735E-56.059735E-51.00.03.743064E-47.3752354E-47.3752354E-41.00.00.00373676540.00745884930.00745884931.00.0
7.17.1671807E-61.4130079E-51.4130079E-51.00.03.0716128E-56.0556078E-56.0556078E-51.00.03.7390468E-47.370214E-47.370214E-41.00.00.00373276180.00745386160.00745386161.00.0
7.27.0649667E-61.3977344E-51.3977344E-51.00.03.0278077E-55.990153E-55.990153E-51.00.03.6857324E-47.290576E-47.290576E-41.00.00.00367962550.0073746030.0073746031.00.0
7.37.02082E-61.3920784E-51.3920784E-51.00.03.008888E-55.965914E-55.965914E-51.00.03.6627054E-47.261085E-47.261085E-41.00.00.00365667440.0073450960.0073450961.00.0
7.46.987146E-61.3880338E-51.3880338E-51.00.02.9944567E-55.948581E-55.948581E-51.00.03.6451413E-47.239996E-47.239996E-41.00.00.00363916790.00732402830.00732402831.00.0
7.56.9494554E-61.3837237E-51.3837237E-51.00.02.9783041E-55.93011E-55.93011E-51.00.03.625482E-47.2175224E-47.2175224E-41.00.00.00361957260.00730165330.00730165331.00.0
7.66.92694E-61.3796339E-51.3796339E-51.00.02.9686547E-55.9125832E-55.9125832E-51.00.03.6137376E-47.1961974E-47.1961974E-41.00.00.00360786660.00728040.00728041.00.0
7.76.395867E-61.2675077E-51.2675077E-51.00.02.741057E-55.4320633E-55.4320633E-51.00.03.336726E-46.6115335E-46.6115335E-41.00.00.00333172010.00669889430.00669889431.00.0
7.85.8664327E-61.15421135E-51.15421135E-51.00.02.5141611E-54.9465263E-54.9465263E-51.00.03.060561E-46.020734E-46.020734E-41.00.00.00305634950.00610400270.00610400271.00.0
7.93.7167474E-67.117878E-67.117878E-61.00.01.592882E-53.0504834E-53.0504834E-51.00.01.9391612E-43.713332E-43.713332E-41.00.00.00193746990.00376947570.00376947571.00.0
8.01.0903841E-61.2886559E-61.2886559E-61.00.04.6730665E-65.5227993E-65.5227993E-61.00.05.68931E-56.723802E-56.723802E-51.00.05.6878536E-46.9462E-46.9462E-41.00.0
8.12.6894583E-71.106846E-71.106846E-71.00.01.1526245E-64.7436248E-74.7436248E-71.00.01.4033113E-55.775348E-65.775348E-61.00.01.4032227E-46.461821E-56.461821E-51.00.0
8.25.2967013E-92.4599007E-92.4599007E-91.00.02.2700148E-81.0542432E-81.0542432E-81.00.02.7637427E-71.283541E-71.283541E-71.00.02.7637393E-61.4601666E-61.4601666E-61.00.0

Ortigalita (North)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.711876E-51.0505833E-41.0505833E-41.00.03.3046713E-44.50182E-44.801685E-41.06660973.0E-50.0040160160.0054682940.00551802061.00909365.0E-50.0394421030.0534578750.05350521.00088545.0E-5
6.14.607858E-56.024242E-56.024242E-51.00.01.9746469E-42.5815787E-42.5815787E-41.00.00.00240148180.0031388610.00315879821.00635172.0E-50.0237569530.030976510.030995891.00062562.0E-5
6.24.607858E-56.024242E-56.024242E-51.00.01.9746469E-42.5815787E-42.5815787E-41.00.00.00240148180.0031388610.00315879821.00635172.0E-50.0237569530.030976510.030995891.00062562.0E-5
6.33.327423E-54.247773E-54.247773E-51.00.01.4259605E-41.8203634E-41.8203634E-41.00.00.00173472440.00221428740.00222426511.00450611.0E-50.0172124520.0219465330.0219563131.00044561.0E-5
6.42.7732503E-53.5000263E-53.5000263E-51.00.01.1884817E-41.499939E-41.499939E-41.00.00.0014460160.00182488010.00183486181.00546981.0E-50.0143664280.0181219280.0181317481.00054181.0E-5
6.52.7689714E-53.4950077E-53.4950077E-51.00.01.186648E-41.4977883E-41.4977883E-41.00.00.00144378640.0018222660.00183224781.00547771.0E-50.0143444210.0180962140.0181060341.00054261.0E-5
6.62.2976905E-52.8719278E-52.8719278E-51.00.09.846873E-51.2307824E-41.2307824E-41.00.00.00119819750.00149768590.00150767091.0066671.0E-50.0119175740.0148992370.0149090891.00066111.0E-5
6.71.9871539E-52.4905505E-52.4905505E-51.00.08.516096E-51.0673491E-41.0673491E-41.00.00.00103634150.0012989650.0013089521.00768841.0E-50.0103152180.0129373830.0129472541.00076291.0E-5
6.86.5640475E-67.6056526E-67.6056526E-61.00.02.813133E-53.2595264E-53.2595264E-51.00.03.424451E-43.9677793E-43.9677793E-41.00.00.00341917880.00396098240.00396098241.00.0
6.95.6219683E-66.5019726E-66.5019726E-61.00.02.4093928E-52.7865315E-52.7865315E-51.00.02.933041E-43.3920998E-43.3920998E-41.00.00.00292917270.00338717920.00338717921.00.0
7.03.875591E-64.4848484E-64.4848484E-61.00.01.6609569E-51.922065E-51.922065E-51.00.02.0220275E-42.339884E-42.339884E-41.00.00.00202018860.00233762850.00233762851.00.0
7.11.6017933E-61.8570811E-61.8570811E-61.00.06.8648105E-67.958901E-67.958901E-61.00.08.357586E-59.689637E-59.689637E-51.00.08.3544437E-49.686459E-49.686459E-41.00.0

Whittier alt 1

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.2554693E-54.7253456E-54.7253456E-51.00.01.8236451E-42.0250089E-42.1249887E-41.04937261.0E-50.0022180270.00246298270.00248293351.00810032.0E-50.021960190.0243905150.024449051.00239996.0E-5
6.14.2554693E-54.7253456E-54.7253456E-51.00.01.8236451E-42.0250089E-42.1249887E-41.04937261.0E-50.0022180270.00246298270.00248293351.00810032.0E-50.021960190.0243905150.024449051.00239996.0E-5
6.24.2554693E-54.7253456E-54.7253456E-51.00.01.8236451E-42.0250089E-42.1249887E-41.04937261.0E-50.0022180270.00246298270.00248293351.00810032.0E-50.021960190.0243905150.024449051.00239996.0E-5
6.31.9617712E-51.8269147E-51.8269147E-51.00.08.40732E-57.8294106E-57.8294106E-51.00.00.00102311059.5283287E-49.5283287E-41.00.00.010184130.0094903750.0095002811.00104371.0E-5
6.41.5611336E-51.3604728E-51.3604728E-51.00.06.690401E-55.8304708E-55.8304708E-51.00.08.142519E-47.096346E-47.096346E-41.00.00.0081127480.00707526270.00707526271.00.0
6.51.5150166E-51.3101376E-51.3101376E-51.00.06.492767E-55.614758E-55.614758E-51.00.07.9020765E-46.8338827E-46.8338827E-41.00.00.0078740360.00681442950.00681442951.00.0
6.61.295588E-51.0381098E-51.0381098E-51.00.05.552402E-54.4489672E-54.4489672E-51.00.06.7579525E-45.415291E-45.415291E-41.00.00.0067374380.0054032550.0054032551.00.0
6.71.2542085E-59.899731E-69.899731E-61.00.05.3750682E-54.242674E-54.242674E-51.00.06.542181E-45.16425E-45.16425E-41.00.00.0065229540.00515337430.00515337431.00.0
6.81.2195878E-59.495758E-69.495758E-61.00.05.2267E-54.069548E-54.069548E-51.00.06.36165E-44.953567E-44.953567E-41.00.00.00634346860.004943590.004943591.00.0
6.91.1580298E-58.773248E-68.773248E-61.00.04.9628903E-53.75991E-53.75991E-51.00.06.040644E-44.5767453E-44.5767453E-41.00.00.006024250.004568350.004568351.00.0
7.01.0964795E-58.084284E-68.084284E-61.00.04.6991136E-53.4646477E-53.4646477E-51.00.05.7196687E-44.2174075E-44.2174075E-41.00.00.00570496960.00421032730.00421032731.00.0
7.11.0230601E-57.3268325E-67.3268325E-61.00.04.3844695E-53.140034E-53.140034E-51.00.05.336784E-43.8223338E-43.8223338E-41.00.00.0053239860.00381685960.00381685961.00.0
7.29.40865E-66.5434065E-66.5434065E-61.00.04.032216E-52.8042878E-52.8042878E-51.00.04.908117E-43.4136974E-43.4136974E-41.00.00.00489729130.00340950050.00340950051.00.0
7.38.237384E-65.5978335E-65.5978335E-61.00.03.5302593E-52.39905E-52.39905E-51.00.04.2972428E-42.9204623E-42.9204623E-41.00.00.00428894260.00291696120.00291696121.00.0
7.47.5316966E-65.0278804E-65.0278804E-61.00.03.2278298E-52.1547887E-52.1547887E-51.00.03.9291743E-42.6231495E-42.6231495E-41.00.00.00392223430.00262016240.00262016241.00.0
7.56.149649E-63.9338697E-63.9338697E-61.00.02.6355372E-51.6859338E-51.6859338E-51.00.03.208294E-42.05244E-42.05244E-41.00.00.0032036660.00205063350.00205063351.00.0
7.65.457711E-63.395382E-63.395382E-61.00.02.338998E-51.45515605E-51.45515605E-51.00.02.8473578E-41.7715165E-41.7715165E-41.00.00.00284371220.00177018520.00177018521.00.0
7.74.1676276E-62.3331656E-62.3331656E-61.00.01.7861139E-59.999248E-69.999248E-61.00.02.1743766E-41.2173478E-41.2173478E-41.00.00.00217225030.0012167540.0012167541.00.0
7.82.2692414E-79.384624E-89.384624E-81.00.09.725317E-74.021981E-74.021981E-71.00.01.1840509E-54.8967545E-64.8967545E-61.00.01.1839878E-44.8966795E-54.8966795E-51.00.0
7.96.676829E-93.4397993E-93.4397993E-91.00.02.861498E-81.4741998E-81.4741998E-81.00.03.4838732E-71.794838E-71.794838E-71.00.03.4838679E-61.7948367E-61.7948367E-61.00.0

Chino alt 1

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.939946E-54.8949914E-54.8949914E-51.00.01.6884391E-42.0977142E-42.1976932E-41.0476611.0E-50.00205373620.00255148530.00258140871.01172783.0E-50.0203485950.0252807920.0253295281.00192775.0E-5
6.12.1505624E-52.688007E-52.688007E-51.00.09.2163704E-51.1519585E-41.251947E-41.08679871.0E-50.00112151540.00140171660.00142168861.01424832.0E-50.0111587220.0139477060.0139772871.00212093.0E-5
6.22.1505624E-52.688007E-52.688007E-51.00.09.2163704E-51.1519585E-41.251947E-41.08679871.0E-50.00112151540.00140171660.00142168861.01424832.0E-50.0111587220.0139477060.0139772871.00212093.0E-5
6.31.4290785E-51.816584E-51.816584E-51.00.06.1244784E-57.785153E-58.7850756E-51.12843971.0E-57.454001E-49.4747543E-49.5746596E-41.01054441.0E-50.0074290480.0094468980.0094667091.00209712.0E-5
6.41.4290785E-51.816584E-51.816584E-51.00.06.1244784E-57.785153E-58.7850756E-51.12843971.0E-57.454001E-49.4747543E-49.5746596E-41.01054441.0E-50.0074290480.0094468980.0094667091.00209712.0E-5
6.51.3017944E-51.6652762E-51.6652762E-51.00.05.5789995E-57.136728E-58.136656E-51.14011031.0E-56.790315E-48.685939E-48.785852E-41.01150291.0E-50.00676960360.0086643710.0086841971.00228832.0E-5
6.69.470016E-61.2039946E-51.2039946E-51.00.04.058515E-55.159894E-55.159894E-51.00.04.940122E-46.2807E-46.2807E-41.00.00.0049291540.0062733710.0062733711.00.0
6.78.314155E-61.0408143E-51.0408143E-51.00.03.5631605E-54.4605746E-54.4605746E-51.00.04.3372845E-45.429719E-45.429719E-41.00.00.0043288290.0054272940.0054272941.00.0
6.83.4856364E-63.8135686E-63.8135686E-61.00.01.4938357E-51.6343774E-51.6343774E-51.00.01.8185932E-41.9896936E-41.9896936E-41.00.00.00181710560.00198972620.00198972621.00.0
6.92.2645952E-62.153006E-62.153006E-61.00.09.705372E-69.2271375E-69.2271375E-61.00.01.18156495E-41.1233483E-41.1233483E-41.00.00.00118093690.00112358140.00112358141.00.0
7.01.7864003E-61.5431655E-61.5431655E-61.00.07.655979E-66.61355E-66.61355E-61.00.09.3207556E-58.051705E-58.051705E-51.00.09.316847E-48.0526597E-48.0526597E-41.00.0
7.11.7315456E-61.4734359E-61.4734359E-61.00.07.420889E-66.31471E-66.31471E-61.00.09.034557E-57.687894E-57.687894E-51.00.09.0308854E-47.689018E-47.689018E-41.00.0
7.21.6008337E-61.3574833E-61.3574833E-61.00.06.860698E-65.817773E-65.817773E-61.00.08.352579E-57.082913E-57.082913E-51.00.08.34944E-47.084325E-47.084325E-41.00.0
7.31.3320939E-61.1218311E-61.1218311E-61.00.05.7089615E-64.807839E-64.807839E-61.00.06.9504385E-55.8533915E-55.8533915E-51.00.06.9482654E-45.8530783E-45.8530783E-41.00.0
7.41.114294E-69.2374944E-79.2374944E-71.00.04.775537E-63.9589204E-63.9589204E-61.00.05.8140613E-54.8198825E-54.8198825E-51.00.05.81254E-44.8189829E-44.8189829E-41.00.0
7.59.354081E-77.623722E-77.623722E-71.00.04.0088858E-63.2673056E-63.2673056E-61.00.04.8807087E-53.9778755E-53.9778755E-51.00.04.879637E-43.9771973E-43.9771973E-41.00.0
7.68.521771E-76.880951E-76.880951E-71.00.03.6521824E-62.9489759E-62.9489759E-61.00.04.4464414E-53.590322E-53.590322E-51.00.04.4455516E-43.5897738E-43.5897738E-41.00.0
7.72.1803626E-71.418694E-71.418694E-71.00.09.344408E-76.0801165E-76.0801165E-71.00.01.1376757E-57.4025265E-67.4025265E-61.00.01.13761744E-47.402376E-57.402376E-51.00.0

San Pedro Basin

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.3449043E-56.3371765E-56.3371765E-51.00.02.2904722E-42.7156848E-43.115576E-41.14725264.0E-50.00278508360.00330193340.00335176821.01509265.0E-50.0275043660.032590280.032638651.00148425.0E-5
6.15.3449043E-56.3371765E-56.3371765E-51.00.02.2904722E-42.7156848E-43.115576E-41.14725264.0E-50.00278508360.00330193340.00335176821.01509265.0E-50.0275043660.032590280.032638651.00148425.0E-5
6.22.3189454E-52.6643364E-52.6643364E-51.00.09.9379584E-51.1418111E-41.4417768E-41.26271053.0E-50.00120927490.00138931560.00141927391.02156343.0E-50.0120271550.0138111660.0138407521.00214223.0E-5
6.32.3189454E-52.6643364E-52.6643364E-51.00.09.9379584E-51.1418111E-41.4417768E-41.26271053.0E-50.00120927490.00138931560.00141927391.02156343.0E-50.0120271550.0138111660.0138407521.00214223.0E-5
6.41.966056E-52.2463855E-52.2463855E-51.00.08.425682E-59.627034E-51.1626841E-41.20772832.0E-50.0010253440.00117150140.00119147791.0170522.0E-50.0102062590.0116573430.0116771111.00169562.0E-5
6.51.7342953E-51.9745525E-51.9745525E-51.00.07.4324824E-58.462114E-59.462029E-51.11816381.0E-59.04529E-40.00102981240.00103980211.00970051.0E-50.0090085610.0102541250.0102640221.00096521.0E-5
6.61.439804E-51.6323016E-51.6323016E-51.00.06.170443E-56.995408E-56.995408E-51.00.07.509924E-48.513903E-48.513903E-41.00.00.00748459530.0084844870.0084844871.00.0
6.71.2634884E-51.4285555E-51.4285555E-51.00.05.414838E-56.122254E-56.122254E-51.00.06.590571E-47.4516E-47.4516E-41.00.00.0065710590.00742963470.00742963471.00.0
6.81.146091E-51.2933422E-51.2933422E-51.00.04.911726E-55.5427943E-55.5427943E-51.00.05.9783855E-46.74656E-46.74656E-41.00.00.00596232760.0067290190.0067290191.00.0
6.99.109035E-61.023519E-51.023519E-51.00.03.9038136E-54.386452E-54.386452E-51.00.04.7518566E-45.339476E-45.339476E-41.00.00.00474170830.0053294010.0053294011.00.0
7.05.9351028E-66.584069E-66.584069E-61.00.02.5435906E-52.8217266E-52.8217266E-51.00.03.0963816E-43.4351466E-43.4351466E-41.00.00.00309207060.00343215370.00343215371.00.0
7.12.1557585E-62.2096617E-62.2096617E-61.00.09.238933E-69.469944E-69.469944E-61.00.01.1247819E-41.1529063E-41.1529063E-41.00.00.00112421280.00115232360.00115232361.00.0
7.22.1251979E-62.1780077E-62.1780077E-61.00.09.107958E-69.334286E-69.334286E-61.00.01.1088375E-41.13639166E-41.13639166E-41.00.00.00110828450.00113582590.00113582591.00.0
7.31.7145798E-61.7442975E-61.7442975E-61.00.07.3481783E-67.47554E-67.47554E-61.00.08.94604E-59.101099E-59.101099E-51.00.08.9424395E-49.097463E-49.097463E-41.00.0
7.41.4467993E-61.4641951E-61.4641951E-61.00.06.200554E-66.2751074E-66.2751074E-61.00.07.548913E-57.639683E-57.639683E-51.00.07.546349E-47.637129E-47.637129E-41.00.0
7.51.2803735E-61.293157E-61.293157E-61.00.05.487303E-65.54209E-65.54209E-61.00.06.680587E-56.747293E-56.747293E-51.00.06.678579E-46.745315E-46.745315E-41.00.0
7.66.755009E-76.769505E-76.769505E-71.00.02.8950008E-62.9012133E-62.9012133E-61.00.03.5246063E-53.532176E-53.532176E-51.00.03.5240475E-43.5316718E-43.5316718E-41.00.0
7.76.211885E-84.5700038E-84.5700038E-81.00.02.6622362E-71.9585728E-71.9585728E-71.00.03.2412677E-62.38456E-62.38456E-61.00.03.2412205E-52.3845365E-52.3845365E-51.00.0
7.82.6580573E-91.5138489E-91.5138489E-91.00.01.1391674E-86.487924E-96.487924E-91.00.01.3869362E-77.8990475E-87.8990475E-81.00.01.3869354E-67.8990473E-77.8990473E-71.00.0

Tin Mountain

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.083776E-64.18155E-64.18155E-61.00.01.750178E-51.7920827E-51.7920827E-51.00.02.1306332E-42.1816794E-42.3816357E-41.09165252.0E-50.00212859150.00217990320.00222979441.02288685.0E-5
6.14.083776E-64.18155E-64.18155E-61.00.01.750178E-51.7920827E-51.7920827E-51.00.02.1306332E-42.1816794E-42.3816357E-41.09165252.0E-50.00212859150.00217990320.00222979441.02288685.0E-5
6.24.083776E-64.18155E-64.18155E-61.00.01.750178E-51.7920827E-51.7920827E-51.00.02.1306332E-42.1816794E-42.3816357E-41.09165252.0E-50.00212859150.00217990320.00222979441.02288685.0E-5
6.34.083776E-64.18155E-64.18155E-61.00.01.750178E-51.7920827E-51.7920827E-51.00.02.1306332E-42.1816794E-42.3816357E-41.09165252.0E-50.00212859150.00217990320.00222979441.02288685.0E-5
6.44.083776E-64.18155E-64.18155E-61.00.01.750178E-51.7920827E-51.7920827E-51.00.02.1306332E-42.1816794E-42.3816357E-41.09165252.0E-50.00212859150.00217990320.00222979441.02288685.0E-5
6.52.3143427E-62.3731652E-62.3731652E-61.00.09.9185745E-61.0170673E-51.0170673E-51.00.01.2075195E-41.2382168E-41.3382045E-41.08075131.0E-50.00120686360.00123760280.00126756561.02421053.0E-5
6.62.3143427E-62.3731652E-62.3731652E-61.00.09.9185745E-61.0170673E-51.0170673E-51.00.01.2075195E-41.2382168E-41.3382045E-41.08075131.0E-50.00120686360.00123760280.00126756561.02421053.0E-5
6.71.7029532E-61.7497979E-61.7497979E-61.00.07.2983503E-67.4991153E-67.4991153E-61.00.08.885379E-59.129844E-59.129844E-51.00.08.881827E-49.1266196E-49.2265283E-41.0109471.0E-5
6.81.2914646E-61.3299432E-61.3299432E-61.00.05.534837E-65.6997465E-65.6997465E-61.00.06.738455E-56.939264E-56.939264E-51.00.06.736412E-46.937531E-46.937531E-41.00.0
6.95.8708974E-76.117028E-76.117028E-71.00.02.5160964E-62.621581E-62.621581E-61.00.03.0633044E-53.1917323E-53.1917323E-51.00.03.0628822E-43.191315E-43.191315E-41.00.0
7.04.6248786E-74.832044E-74.832044E-71.00.01.9820893E-62.0708746E-62.0708746E-61.00.02.413167E-52.5212645E-52.5212645E-51.00.02.412905E-42.5210154E-42.5210154E-41.00.0
7.13.804606E-73.9871725E-73.9871725E-71.00.01.6305444E-61.7087873E-61.7087873E-61.00.01.9851697E-52.080432E-52.080432E-51.00.01.9849923E-42.080271E-42.080271E-41.00.0
7.23.5864858E-73.7617107E-73.7617107E-71.00.01.5370645E-61.6121609E-61.6121609E-61.00.01.87136E-51.9627916E-51.9627916E-51.00.01.8712023E-41.9626514E-41.9626514E-41.00.0
7.33.342063E-73.50637E-73.50637E-71.00.01.4323119E-61.5027293E-61.5027293E-61.00.01.7438259E-51.829561E-51.829561E-51.00.01.743689E-41.8294434E-41.8294434E-41.00.0
7.42.971242E-73.116602E-73.116602E-71.00.01.2733886E-61.3356861E-61.3356861E-61.00.01.5503398E-51.626189E-51.626189E-51.00.01.5502315E-41.6261027E-41.6261027E-41.00.0
7.51.4326713E-71.501262E-71.501262E-71.00.06.140018E-76.43398E-76.43398E-71.00.07.4754466E-67.833371E-67.833371E-61.00.07.475195E-57.83337E-57.83337E-51.00.0

Imperial

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.7496446E-45.0567614E-45.1567104E-41.01976551.0E-50.00117788690.00216542280.00218537941.00921612.0E-50.01424676550.026038940.0260681581.00112213.0E-50.133672490.228079380.228117971.00016935.0E-5
6.12.5356023E-44.8670304E-44.966982E-41.02053641.0E-50.0010862340.0020842410.00210419951.00957582.0E-50.0131449280.0250800380.0251092871.00116623.0E-50.1239401550.219508230.219547261.00017775.0E-5
6.22.4820742E-44.776551E-44.8765034E-41.02092561.0E-50.00106331240.00204552520.00206548421.00975742.0E-50.012869190.0246198550.0246393621.00079242.0E-50.121489270.216013480.216044841.00014524.0E-5
6.32.3205351E-44.590242E-44.6901958E-41.02177541.0E-59.94136E-40.00196580.00198576091.0101542.0E-50.0120365990.0236660150.0236855411.0008252.0E-50.114051330.207965310.2079971.00015234.0E-5
6.42.0304754E-43.988816E-44.088776E-41.025061.0E-58.6991355E-40.0017083870.0017283531.01168692.0E-50.0105398690.020600050.0206196381.00095082.0E-50.1005376350.1850970.185121451.00013213.0E-5
6.51.854992E-43.6999586E-43.7999215E-41.02701741.0E-57.9475436E-40.00158474520.00160471361.01260032.0E-50.0096332810.0191261060.0191457231.00102572.0E-50.09226230.173326820.173351621.0001433.0E-5
6.61.6586106E-43.4044893E-43.504455E-41.0293631.0E-57.106394E-40.0014582610.0014782321.0136952.0E-50.0086177630.0176071490.0176267961.00111592.0E-50.082911320.160802140.160827321.00015653.0E-5
6.71.4224656E-43.0775566E-43.177526E-41.03248331.0E-56.094856E-40.00131829430.0013382681.01515112.0E-50.00739526930.0159341040.0159537851.00123512.0E-50.071539550.1465140.14653961.00017483.0E-5
6.81.2317259E-42.7798547E-42.879827E-41.0359631.0E-55.2777573E-40.00119082850.00121080471.0167752.0E-50.00640675470.014403340.0144230521.00136852.0E-50.062251660.132963360.132989381.00019563.0E-5
6.99.859898E-52.5019908E-42.601966E-41.03995811.0E-54.2249862E-40.00107184540.0010918241.01863942.0E-50.00513179460.0129725990.0129923391.00152172.0E-50.050148930.1194271150.119453531.00022133.0E-5
7.07.3191884E-52.1271173E-42.227096E-41.0470021.0E-53.136418E-49.113064E-49.212973E-41.01096321.0E-50.0038119040.0110393980.0110492861.00089591.0E-50.0374717640.102079560.102097521.0001762.0E-5
7.17.1760296E-52.0972485E-42.1972276E-41.04767161.0E-53.0750787E-48.9851435E-49.0850535E-41.01111951.0E-50.0037374820.010885220.0108951121.00090871.0E-50.036752450.10071590.100733881.00017862.0E-5
7.26.46614E-51.9140878E-42.0140687E-41.05223421.0E-52.7709085E-48.2006847E-48.300603E-41.01218411.0E-50.00336836280.0099392480.0099491491.00099611.0E-50.0331776250.0925232540.0925414041.00019622.0E-5
7.36.088115E-51.781241E-41.8812231E-41.05613061.0E-52.6089314E-47.631685E-47.731609E-41.01309321.0E-50.00317174760.0092525680.0092624751.00107071.0E-50.0312685850.086572770.0865910351.0002112.0E-5
7.44.199346E-51.1513443E-41.2513329E-41.0868451.0E-51.7995955E-44.9334083E-45.033359E-41.020261.0E-50.00218880570.0059900520.0059999921.00165941.0E-50.021673720.0574491170.0574679671.00032822.0E-5
7.53.130448E-58.3357954E-59.335712E-51.11995461.0E-51.3415517E-43.5719978E-43.671962E-41.02798561.0E-50.00163211530.00434029470.00435025151.0022941.0E-50.0162018030.0421411060.042160261.00045452.0E-5
7.62.3074248E-56.086575E-57.086514E-51.1642861.0E-59.888588E-52.6082728E-42.7082465E-41.03832961.0E-50.00120327060.0031709710.00318093951.00314351.0E-50.0119677610.0310341980.0310535781.00062442.0E-5
7.71.45864815E-54.0141942E-55.014154E-51.2491061.0E-56.2511994E-51.7202558E-41.8202387E-41.05812081.0E-57.608177E-40.0020924050.0021023841.00476921.0E-50.0075821820.020634680.0206542671.00094932.0E-5
7.81.0352979E-53.097546E-53.097546E-51.00.04.4369157E-51.3274523E-41.3274523E-41.00.05.400606E-40.00161497760.00161497761.00.00.00538750.0160225950.0160324351.00061421.0E-5
7.98.137906E-62.216039E-52.216039E-51.00.03.4876273E-59.496964E-59.496964E-51.00.04.2453592E-40.0011556430.0011556431.00.00.0042372580.0116229930.0116328771.00085031.0E-5
8.06.93792E-61.8018303E-51.8018303E-51.00.02.9733603E-57.721902E-57.721902E-51.00.03.6194647E-49.397368E-49.397368E-41.00.00.00361357510.0095059220.0095158271.0010421.0E-5
8.13.4286315E-66.383862E-66.383862E-61.00.01.4694053E-52.7359121E-52.7359121E-51.00.01.7888541E-43.330465E-43.330465E-41.00.00.00178741480.00348800120.00349796631.0028571.0E-5
8.21.4906886E-61.9380652E-61.9380652E-61.00.06.3886496E-68.305968E-68.305968E-61.00.07.7779034E-51.01120495E-41.01120495E-41.00.07.775182E-40.00110826970.00110826971.00.0
8.32.5758007E-81.4511432E-81.4511432E-81.00.01.10391454E-76.219185E-86.219185E-81.00.01.3440151E-67.5718583E-77.5718583E-71.00.01.344007E-57.894757E-67.894757E-61.00.0

Santa Ynez River

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6396456E-51.7209572E-51.7209572E-51.00.07.026863E-57.375342E-59.375194E-51.27115382.0E-58.551848E-48.976135E-49.275866E-41.0333923.0E-50.00851901250.0089434280.0089929811.00554075.0E-5
6.11.6396456E-51.7209572E-51.7209572E-51.00.07.026863E-57.375342E-59.375194E-51.27115382.0E-58.551848E-48.976135E-49.275866E-41.0333923.0E-50.00851901250.0089434280.0089929811.00554075.0E-5
6.21.6396456E-51.7209572E-51.7209572E-51.00.07.026863E-57.375342E-59.375194E-51.27115382.0E-58.551848E-48.976135E-49.275866E-41.0333923.0E-50.00851901250.0089434280.0089929811.00554075.0E-5
6.39.736976E-61.0122406E-51.0122406E-51.00.04.172923E-54.3381046E-56.3380176E-51.46101082.0E-55.0793495E-45.280412E-45.4803066E-41.03785592.0E-50.0050677550.0052683710.00530816061.00755254.0E-5
6.49.736976E-61.0122406E-51.0122406E-51.00.04.172923E-54.3381046E-56.3380176E-51.46101082.0E-55.0793495E-45.280412E-45.4803066E-41.03785592.0E-50.0050677550.0052683710.00530816061.00755254.0E-5
6.57.081964E-67.3299525E-67.3299525E-61.00.03.035092E-53.1413714E-55.1413084E-51.63664462.0E-53.694598E-43.8239642E-44.0238877E-41.05228172.0E-50.00368846160.0038175460.00385739331.0104384.0E-5
6.65.873247E-66.0597904E-66.0597904E-61.00.02.5170815E-52.5970277E-54.596976E-51.77009122.0E-53.064116E-43.161431E-43.3613679E-41.06324242.0E-50.00305989430.0031570210.00318692621.00947263.0E-5
6.74.973277E-65.1159423E-65.1159423E-61.00.02.1313872E-52.1925287E-54.1924846E-51.91216872.0E-52.5946548E-42.6690814E-42.869028E-41.07491222.0E-50.00259162740.00266592460.00269584471.01122313.0E-5
6.84.396492E-64.511015E-64.511015E-61.00.01.884197E-51.9332781E-53.9332393E-52.03449232.0E-52.2937685E-42.3535153E-42.5534682E-41.08495932.0E-50.00229140230.00235105820.00237101131.00848692.0E-5
6.93.5255632E-63.6013655E-63.6013655E-61.00.01.5109469E-51.5434332E-52.543418E-51.64789621.0E-51.8394225E-41.8789696E-41.9789507E-41.05321061.0E-50.00183790070.00187739710.00188737831.00531651.0E-5
7.03.211603E-63.2736843E-63.2736843E-61.00.01.376394E-51.4030001E-52.4029861E-51.71274831.0E-51.6756308E-41.7080201E-41.808003E-41.05853741.0E-50.00167436790.00170672150.00171670451.00584921.0E-5
7.12.5094619E-62.5409465E-62.5409465E-61.00.01.0754793E-51.0889726E-51.0889726E-51.00.01.3093173E-41.325744E-41.325744E-41.00.00.00130854620.00132495910.00132495911.00.0
7.22.0515774E-62.0619607E-62.0619607E-61.00.08.792445E-68.836944E-68.836944E-61.00.01.0704277E-41.0758453E-41.0758453E-41.00.00.00106991220.00107532880.00107532881.00.0
7.31.6845745E-61.6774113E-61.6774113E-61.00.07.219585E-67.188886E-67.188886E-61.00.08.78949E-58.75212E-58.75212E-51.00.08.7860145E-48.7487017E-48.7487017E-41.00.0
7.41.3600285E-61.3333537E-61.3333537E-61.00.05.82868E-65.71436E-65.71436E-61.00.07.096187E-56.957014E-56.957014E-51.00.07.0939213E-46.954858E-46.954858E-41.00.0
7.59.735342E-79.290247E-79.290247E-71.00.04.172283E-63.981528E-63.981528E-61.00.05.079636E-54.8474045E-54.8474045E-51.00.05.0784746E-44.8463643E-44.8463643E-41.00.0
7.65.067187E-74.77864E-74.77864E-71.00.02.1716498E-62.047987E-62.047987E-61.00.02.6439517E-52.4933963E-52.4933963E-51.00.02.643637E-42.493124E-42.493124E-41.00.0
7.72.769089E-72.575952E-72.575952E-71.00.01.1867519E-61.1039789E-61.1039789E-61.00.01.4448608E-51.344086E-51.344086E-51.00.01.444767E-41.344005E-41.344005E-41.00.0
7.81.7044663E-71.5449315E-71.5449315E-71.00.07.3048534E-76.621133E-76.621133E-71.00.08.893623E-68.0612E-68.0612E-61.00.08.893267E-58.06091E-58.06091E-51.00.0
7.94.8344287E-84.0911427E-84.0911427E-81.00.02.0718979E-71.7533468E-71.7533468E-71.00.02.5225327E-62.1346975E-62.1346975E-61.00.02.5225041E-52.1346776E-52.1346776E-51.00.0

Rose Canyon

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5923203E-54.9717553E-55.971706E-51.20112621.0E-51.9679888E-42.1305913E-42.2305701E-41.04692531.0E-50.00239339330.00259109940.00262102161.0115483.0E-50.0236777980.0256183130.0256572891.00152134.0E-5
6.14.5923203E-54.9717553E-55.971706E-51.20112621.0E-51.9679888E-42.1305913E-42.2305701E-41.04692531.0E-50.00239339330.00259109940.00261104761.00769882.0E-50.0236777980.0256183130.0256475451.00114113.0E-5
6.22.8844734E-52.9670837E-53.967054E-51.33702121.0E-51.2361443E-41.2715468E-41.3715342E-41.07863441.0E-50.00150396650.00154703620.00156700531.0129082.0E-50.01493828650.0153574770.01537716951.00128232.0E-5
6.32.3171577E-52.3163399E-53.3163167E-51.43170561.0E-59.9302975E-59.9268E-51.09267006E-41.10072741.0E-50.00120834310.00120793120.0012279071.01653722.0E-50.0120179380.0120046370.0120243971.0016462.0E-5
6.42.0066604E-51.966902E-52.9668823E-51.50840381.0E-58.599689E-58.429313E-59.429229E-51.11862361.0E-50.00104650920.00102579570.00104577531.0194772.0E-50.0104159460.0102039160.0102237121.001942.0E-5
6.51.776989E-51.7115479E-52.7115308E-51.58425641.0E-57.615444E-57.3350035E-58.3349296E-51.13632261.0E-59.267859E-48.926777E-49.1265986E-41.02238452.0E-50.0092293030.0088798290.00889965151.00223232.0E-5
6.61.5227364E-51.4340938E-51.4340938E-51.00.06.52585E-56.1459745E-56.1459745E-51.00.07.942326E-47.480207E-47.580132E-41.01335861.0E-50.0079140.007445770.00745569541.0013331.0E-5
6.71.2703898E-51.167434E-51.167434E-51.00.05.4444143E-55.0031955E-55.0031955E-51.00.06.626558E-46.0897303E-46.1896694E-41.01641111.0E-50.0066068330.006065760.00607569931.00163871.0E-5
6.81.1554917E-51.0610447E-51.0610447E-51.00.04.9520135E-54.5472574E-54.5472574E-51.00.06.0274085E-45.53492E-45.634865E-41.01805711.0E-50.00601108650.0055072830.0055172281.00180581.0E-5
6.98.732078E-67.882343E-67.882343E-61.00.03.7422655E-53.378105E-53.378105E-51.00.04.5552556E-44.112096E-44.112096E-41.00.00.00454592940.0040895450.0040895451.00.0
7.05.9337494E-65.1074826E-65.1074826E-61.00.02.5430107E-52.1889029E-52.1889029E-51.00.03.0956755E-42.6646646E-42.6646646E-41.00.00.00309136670.00266148520.00266148521.00.0
7.15.013409E-64.177376E-64.177376E-61.00.02.1485863E-51.7902918E-51.7902918E-51.00.02.6155898E-42.1794632E-42.1794632E-41.00.00.00261251330.00217733740.00217733741.00.0
7.24.120763E-63.2821204E-63.2821204E-61.00.01.7660293E-51.4066155E-51.4066155E-51.00.02.1499286E-41.7124206E-41.7124206E-41.00.00.00214784990.00171111070.00171111071.00.0
7.33.2081239E-62.440515E-62.440515E-61.00.01.374903E-51.0459307E-51.0459307E-51.00.01.6738157E-41.273347E-41.273347E-41.00.00.00167255560.00127262440.00127262441.00.0
7.42.4194755E-61.7680458E-61.7680458E-61.00.01.0369139E-57.5773173E-67.5773173E-61.00.01.2623696E-49.224998E-59.224998E-51.00.00.00126165279.221223E-49.221223E-41.00.0
7.51.3842889E-69.378391E-79.378391E-71.00.05.9326535E-64.0193045E-64.0193045E-61.00.07.222766E-54.893397E-54.893397E-51.00.07.220419E-44.8923545E-44.8923545E-41.00.0
7.61.0021575E-66.4114187E-76.4114187E-71.00.04.2949537E-62.7477479E-62.7477479E-61.00.05.2289808E-53.345334E-53.345334E-51.00.05.2277505E-43.3448517E-43.3448517E-41.00.0
7.78.7620116E-86.449342E-86.449342E-81.00.03.7551473E-72.7640036E-72.7640036E-71.00.04.5718825E-63.3651693E-63.3651693E-61.00.04.5717883E-53.3651213E-53.3651213E-51.00.0

Elysian Park (Upper)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.1876025E-53.703628E-53.703628E-51.00.01.3660437E-41.5871998E-41.687184E-41.0629941.0E-50.00166188950.00193117370.00194115451.00516821.0E-50.0164951590.0191903730.0192394131.00255555.0E-5
6.13.1876025E-53.703628E-53.703628E-51.00.01.3660437E-41.5871998E-41.687184E-41.0629941.0E-50.00166188950.00193117370.00194115451.00516821.0E-50.0164951590.0191903730.0192394131.00255555.0E-5
6.23.1876025E-53.703628E-53.703628E-51.00.01.3660437E-41.5871998E-41.687184E-41.0629941.0E-50.00166188950.00193117370.00194115451.00516821.0E-50.0164951590.0191903730.0192394131.00255555.0E-5
6.33.1876025E-53.703628E-53.703628E-51.00.01.3660437E-41.5871998E-41.687184E-41.0629941.0E-50.00166188950.00193117370.00194115451.00516821.0E-50.0164951590.0191903730.0192394131.00255555.0E-5
6.41.9273462E-52.1202904E-52.1202904E-51.00.08.259794E-59.0867405E-59.0867405E-51.00.00.0010051660.00110592090.00110592091.00.00.0100063150.0110209840.0110308731.00089741.0E-5
6.51.9273462E-52.1202904E-52.1202904E-51.00.08.259794E-59.0867405E-59.0867405E-51.00.00.0010051660.00110592090.00110592091.00.00.0100063150.0110209840.0110308731.00089741.0E-5
6.69.813258E-69.665716E-69.665716E-61.00.04.205614E-54.1423882E-54.1423882E-51.00.05.119132E-45.042263E-45.042263E-41.00.00.0051073560.0050315460.0050315461.00.0
6.79.801478E-69.653286E-69.653286E-61.00.04.2005657E-54.1370608E-54.1370608E-51.00.05.112989E-45.03578E-45.03578E-41.00.00.00510124070.00502509250.00502509251.00.0
6.88.102489E-67.773095E-67.773095E-61.00.03.4724493E-53.3312866E-53.3312866E-51.00.04.2268867E-44.0551362E-44.0551362E-41.00.00.0042188560.00404823060.00404823061.00.0
6.96.08275E-65.481501E-65.481501E-61.00.02.6068668E-52.349194E-52.349194E-51.00.03.173398E-42.859776E-42.859776E-41.00.00.00316887020.00285617360.00285617361.00.0
7.05.5995934E-64.982823E-64.982823E-61.00.02.3998036E-52.1354786E-52.1354786E-51.00.02.9213692E-42.5996417E-42.5996417E-41.00.00.00291753160.0025966680.0025966681.00.0
7.14.709881E-64.0874347E-64.0874347E-61.00.02.0185047E-51.7517461E-51.7517461E-51.00.02.4572524E-42.1325464E-42.1325464E-41.00.00.0024545370.00213054130.00213054131.00.0
7.23.6063436E-62.9779728E-62.9779728E-61.00.01.5455667E-51.2762678E-51.2762678E-51.00.01.881565E-41.5537464E-41.5537464E-41.00.00.00187997260.00155267130.00155267131.00.0
7.32.471135E-62.0954792E-62.0954792E-61.00.01.0590536E-58.980594E-68.980594E-61.00.01.2893214E-41.0933332E-41.0933332E-41.00.00.00128857360.00109280250.00109280251.00.0
7.41.163943E-61.0275194E-61.0275194E-61.00.04.988318E-64.4036474E-64.4036474E-61.00.06.0731076E-55.3613116E-55.3613116E-51.00.06.071448E-45.360048E-45.360048E-41.00.0
7.54.99459E-74.917662E-74.917662E-71.00.02.140537E-62.1075678E-62.1075678E-61.00.02.6060725E-52.565935E-52.565935E-51.00.02.605767E-42.5656543E-42.5656543E-41.00.0
7.62.4667852E-72.4778686E-72.4778686E-71.00.01.0571932E-61.0619433E-61.0619433E-61.00.01.2871251E-51.2929087E-51.2929087E-51.00.01.2870505E-41.2928371E-41.2928371E-41.00.0
7.78.2312795E-87.386639E-87.386639E-81.00.03.527691E-73.165702E-73.165702E-71.00.04.294955E-63.8542366E-63.8542366E-61.00.04.2948723E-53.8541813E-53.8541813E-51.00.0
7.82.7819295E-81.7567253E-81.7567253E-81.00.01.1922555E-77.528822E-87.528822E-81.00.01.45157E-69.166339E-79.166339E-71.00.01.45156055E-59.166316E-69.166316E-61.00.0

Kern Canyon (South Kern) 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.105075E-64.1137364E-64.1137364E-61.00.01.7593058E-51.7630184E-51.7630184E-51.00.02.1417443E-42.1462698E-42.2462483E-41.04658251.0E-50.00213968130.00214426080.00218417521.01861444.0E-5
6.14.105075E-64.1137364E-64.1137364E-61.00.01.7593058E-51.7630184E-51.7630184E-51.00.02.1417443E-42.1462698E-42.2462483E-41.04658251.0E-50.00213968130.00214426080.00218417521.01861444.0E-5
6.24.105075E-64.1137364E-64.1137364E-61.00.01.7593058E-51.7630184E-51.7630184E-51.00.02.1417443E-42.1462698E-42.2462483E-41.04658251.0E-50.00213968130.00214426080.00218417521.01861444.0E-5
6.34.105075E-64.1137364E-64.1137364E-61.00.01.7593058E-51.7630184E-51.7630184E-51.00.02.1417443E-42.1462698E-42.2462483E-41.04658251.0E-50.00213968130.00214426080.00218417521.01861444.0E-5
6.44.105075E-64.1137364E-64.1137364E-61.00.01.7593058E-51.7630184E-51.7630184E-51.00.02.1417443E-42.1462698E-42.2462483E-41.04658251.0E-50.00213968130.00214426080.00218417521.01861444.0E-5
6.52.9849807E-62.9731618E-62.9731618E-61.00.01.2792712E-51.2742061E-51.2742061E-51.00.01.5574014E-41.551237E-41.551237E-41.00.00.00155631030.00155016930.00157013841.01288192.0E-5
6.62.9849807E-62.9731618E-62.9731618E-61.00.01.2792712E-51.2742061E-51.2742061E-51.00.01.5574014E-41.551237E-41.551237E-41.00.00.00155631030.00155016930.00157013841.01288192.0E-5
6.72.6756725E-62.6582272E-62.6582272E-61.00.01.1467117E-51.13923525E-51.13923525E-51.00.01.396032E-41.3869318E-41.3869318E-41.00.00.00139515530.00138607710.00140604941.01440922.0E-5
6.82.3283721E-62.3047844E-62.3047844E-61.00.09.9787E-69.87761E-69.87761E-61.00.01.214839E-41.20253346E-41.20253346E-41.00.00.0012141750.00120189020.00122186611.01662042.0E-5
6.92.0972677E-62.0696461E-62.0696461E-61.00.08.988259E-68.869883E-68.869883E-61.00.01.0942656E-41.0798552E-41.0798552E-41.00.00.00109372680.00107933630.00109931481.01850992.0E-5
7.01.7132242E-61.6787077E-61.6787077E-61.00.07.3423685E-67.194442E-67.194442E-61.00.08.938967E-58.758884E-58.758884E-51.00.08.935372E-48.7554706E-48.955296E-41.02282292.0E-5
7.11.4215541E-61.3815785E-61.3815785E-61.00.06.0923603E-65.9210374E-65.9210374E-61.00.07.417196E-57.208627E-57.208627E-51.00.07.414721E-47.206316E-47.406172E-41.02773342.0E-5
7.29.097853E-78.6037966E-78.6037966E-71.00.03.899074E-63.6873362E-63.6873362E-61.00.04.7470192E-54.4892404E-54.4892404E-51.00.04.7460053E-44.4883444E-44.5882995E-41.022271.0E-5
7.36.144169E-75.6282187E-75.6282187E-71.00.02.6332125E-62.4120914E-62.4120914E-61.00.03.205889E-52.9366824E-52.9366824E-51.00.03.2054266E-42.9362994E-42.9362994E-41.00.0
7.44.049844E-73.5728377E-73.5728377E-71.00.01.7356463E-61.5312153E-61.5312153E-61.00.02.1131287E-51.864239E-51.864239E-51.00.02.1129279E-41.864085E-41.864085E-41.00.0
7.51.9871162E-71.5830446E-71.5830446E-71.00.08.5162094E-76.784475E-76.784475E-71.00.01.0368436E-58.260068E-68.260068E-61.00.01.0367952E-48.25977E-58.25977E-51.00.0
7.62.572245E-81.7352718E-81.7352718E-81.00.01.10239064E-77.436879E-87.436879E-81.00.01.3421597E-69.054397E-79.054397E-71.00.01.3421517E-59.054365E-69.054365E-61.00.0

San Jacinto (Clark) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.482615E-52.1158266E-52.1158266E-51.00.01.9209793E-49.067519E-59.067519E-51.00.00.00233628340.00110342050.00110342051.00.00.023118740.01149917950.011538721.00343854.0E-5
6.14.482615E-52.1158266E-52.1158266E-51.00.01.9209793E-49.067519E-59.067519E-51.00.00.00233628340.00110342050.00110342051.00.00.023118740.01149917950.011538721.00343854.0E-5
6.24.482615E-52.1158266E-52.1158266E-51.00.01.9209793E-49.067519E-59.067519E-51.00.00.00233628340.00110342050.00110342051.00.00.023118740.01149917950.011538721.00343854.0E-5
6.34.482615E-52.1158266E-52.1158266E-51.00.01.9209793E-49.067519E-59.067519E-51.00.00.00233628340.00110342050.00110342051.00.00.023118740.01149917950.011538721.00343854.0E-5
6.44.482615E-52.1158266E-52.1158266E-51.00.01.9209793E-49.067519E-59.067519E-51.00.00.00233628340.00110342050.00110342051.00.00.023118740.01149917950.011538721.00343854.0E-5
6.53.7294863E-51.7359873E-51.7359873E-51.00.01.5982533E-47.4397365E-57.4397365E-51.00.00.00194413669.05416E-49.05416E-41.00.00.019272160.0094994010.0095390211.00417084.0E-5
6.63.7294863E-51.7359873E-51.7359873E-51.00.01.5982533E-47.4397365E-57.4397365E-51.00.00.00194413669.05416E-49.05416E-41.00.00.019272160.0094994010.0095390211.00417084.0E-5
6.73.6039248E-51.6607892E-51.6607892E-51.00.01.5444479E-47.1174756E-57.1174756E-51.00.00.00187874348.662123E-48.662123E-41.00.00.018629390.0090988750.00913851151.00435614.0E-5
6.83.5031844E-51.623633E-51.623633E-51.00.01.5012783E-46.958244E-56.958244E-51.00.00.00182627398.46841E-48.46841E-41.00.00.018113380.0088994760.008939121.00445464.0E-5
6.93.435112E-51.6066866E-51.6066866E-51.00.01.4721078E-46.88562E-56.88562E-51.00.00.00179081788.380059E-48.380059E-41.00.00.0177645480.0088059860.0088456331.00450244.0E-5
7.02.8959772E-51.4340704E-51.4340704E-51.00.01.241074E-46.145873E-56.145873E-51.00.00.00150996037.480059E-47.480059E-41.00.00.0149974160.007877910.0079175941.00503754.0E-5
7.12.6002877E-51.2832878E-51.2832878E-51.00.01.11436144E-45.49969E-55.49969E-51.00.00.00135589076.693837E-46.693837E-41.00.00.0134764750.00705363230.00709335041.00563094.0E-5
7.22.2544838E-51.1265443E-51.1265443E-51.00.09.661716E-54.8279588E-54.8279588E-51.00.00.0011756795.876469E-45.876469E-41.00.00.0116947850.0061952830.0062350351.00641664.0E-5
7.31.75334E-51.081565E-51.081565E-51.00.07.514098E-54.6351972E-54.6351972E-51.00.09.144575E-45.641905E-45.641905E-41.00.00.0091070360.0059359120.00597567441.00669864.0E-5
7.41.5924552E-51.0615435E-51.0615435E-51.00.06.82463E-54.5493933E-54.5493933E-51.00.08.305819E-45.5374927E-45.5374927E-41.00.00.0082748440.00582320660.00586297361.0068294.0E-5
7.51.3428931E-59.855765E-69.855765E-61.00.05.7551293E-54.2238313E-54.2238313E-51.00.07.004617E-45.141312E-45.141312E-41.00.00.0069825790.0054086830.00544846661.00735564.0E-5
7.61.0688787E-58.618602E-68.618602E-61.00.04.5808283E-53.6936344E-53.6936344E-51.00.05.5757316E-44.4960767E-44.4960767E-41.00.00.0055617620.0047436730.00478348281.00839234.0E-5
7.78.81236E-67.471723E-67.471723E-61.00.03.776671E-53.202128E-53.202128E-51.00.04.597127E-43.8978952E-43.8978952E-41.00.00.00458762840.0041365590.00417639361.00962984.0E-5
7.87.780431E-66.7000988E-66.7000988E-61.00.03.3344273E-52.8714394E-52.8714394E-51.00.04.0589093E-43.4954186E-43.4954186E-41.00.00.00405150370.00372455360.00376440471.01069954.0E-5
7.96.5437994E-65.7836955E-65.7836955E-61.00.02.8044553E-52.4787032E-52.4787032E-51.00.03.4138895E-43.0174048E-43.0174048E-41.00.00.00340864950.00323613870.0032760091.01232044.0E-5
8.05.4488164E-64.8162797E-64.8162797E-61.00.02.3351862E-52.0641035E-52.0641035E-51.00.02.8427184E-42.5127578E-42.5127578E-41.00.00.00283908450.00271228580.00275217721.01470774.0E-5
8.12.8397242E-61.3679883E-61.3679883E-61.00.01.217019E-55.8627934E-65.8627934E-61.00.01.4816198E-47.137719E-57.137719E-51.00.00.00148063258.120884E-48.120884E-41.00.0
8.22.030244E-66.323106E-76.323106E-71.00.08.701017E-62.7099E-62.7099E-61.00.01.05929736E-43.2992535E-53.2992535E-51.00.00.00105879253.9508488E-43.9508488E-41.00.0
8.31.0659804E-62.926802E-72.926802E-71.00.04.568479E-61.2543431E-61.2543431E-61.00.05.5619817E-51.5271524E-51.5271524E-51.00.05.5605895E-41.8576543E-41.8576543E-41.00.0

Santa Cruz Island

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.9164563E-53.1600095E-53.1600095E-51.00.01.2498499E-41.3542273E-41.3542273E-41.00.00.00152063010.0016476610.0016676281.01211852.0E-50.0151026670.016368180.0164075251.00240374.0E-5
6.12.9164563E-53.1600095E-53.1600095E-51.00.01.2498499E-41.3542273E-41.3542273E-41.00.00.00152063010.0016476610.0016676281.01211852.0E-50.0151026670.016368180.0164075251.00240374.0E-5
6.22.9164563E-53.1600095E-53.1600095E-51.00.01.2498499E-41.3542273E-41.3542273E-41.00.00.00152063010.0016476610.0016676281.01211852.0E-50.0151026670.016368180.0164075251.00240374.0E-5
6.31.6635553E-51.7804527E-51.7804527E-51.00.07.1293274E-57.630298E-57.630298E-51.00.08.6765E-49.2861115E-49.2861115E-41.00.00.0086427010.0092491810.0092491811.00.0
6.41.6635553E-51.7804527E-51.7804527E-51.00.07.1293274E-57.630298E-57.630298E-51.00.08.6765E-49.2861115E-49.2861115E-41.00.00.0086427010.0092491810.0092491811.00.0
6.51.2238748E-51.3043111E-51.3043111E-51.00.05.2450723E-55.5897868E-55.5897868E-51.00.06.3840044E-46.8034773E-46.8034773E-41.00.00.00636569550.00678304770.00678304771.00.0
6.61.0489767E-51.11567315E-51.11567315E-51.00.04.495537E-54.78137E-54.78137E-51.00.05.4719415E-45.8197853E-45.8197853E-41.00.00.0054584870.00580478550.00580478551.00.0
6.78.699222E-69.236859E-69.236859E-61.00.03.7281847E-53.9585942E-53.9585942E-51.00.04.5381195E-44.8185283E-44.8185283E-41.00.00.00452886340.0048081480.0048081481.00.0
6.88.307732E-68.816977E-68.816977E-61.00.03.560408E-53.77865E-53.77865E-51.00.04.3339343E-44.5995397E-44.5995397E-41.00.00.0043254920.0045900730.0045900731.00.0
6.98.073121E-68.56501E-68.56501E-61.00.03.459863E-53.670667E-53.670667E-51.00.04.2115687E-44.4681248E-44.4681248E-41.00.00.0042035960.00445919250.00445919251.00.0
7.07.617019E-68.07473E-68.07473E-61.00.03.264396E-53.4605528E-53.4605528E-51.00.03.9736772E-44.2124125E-44.2124125E-41.00.00.0039665790.00420447530.00420447531.00.0
7.17.1224836E-67.545849E-67.545849E-61.00.03.052457E-53.2338954E-53.2338954E-51.00.03.715733E-43.9365597E-43.9365597E-41.00.00.0037095260.00392962950.00392962951.00.0
7.26.441115E-66.827439E-66.827439E-61.00.02.7604487E-52.9260125E-52.9260125E-51.00.03.360328E-43.5618403E-43.5618403E-41.00.00.00335525120.003556160.003556161.00.0
7.35.494274E-65.820041E-65.820041E-61.00.02.3546674E-52.4942798E-52.4942798E-51.00.02.8664304E-43.0363645E-43.0363645E-41.00.00.0028627360.0030322390.0030322391.00.0
7.44.0802624E-64.31229E-64.31229E-61.00.01.7486722E-51.8481112E-51.8481112E-51.00.02.1288003E-42.2498438E-42.2498438E-41.00.00.00212676220.0022475750.0022475751.00.0
7.52.3584746E-62.475327E-62.475327E-61.00.01.0107709E-51.0608502E-51.0608502E-51.00.01.2305441E-41.291509E-41.291509E-41.00.00.00122986290.00129076350.00129076351.00.0
7.69.4981914E-79.86099E-79.86099E-71.00.04.0706473E-64.226132E-64.226132E-61.00.04.9559E-55.1451956E-55.1451956E-51.00.04.954795E-45.144017E-45.144017E-41.00.0
7.72.6013532E-72.6416743E-72.6416743E-71.00.01.1148652E-61.1321456E-61.1321456E-61.00.01.3573399E-51.3783787E-51.3783787E-51.00.01.357257E-41.3782938E-41.3782938E-41.00.0
7.84.1522263E-83.9657085E-83.9657085E-81.00.01.7795254E-71.6995892E-71.6995892E-71.00.02.16657E-62.069248E-62.069248E-61.00.02.1665488E-52.0692309E-52.0692309E-51.00.0
7.97.7242046E-105.9475247E-105.9475247E-101.00.03.3103735E-92.5489395E-92.5489395E-91.00.04.0303796E-83.1033338E-83.1033338E-81.00.04.030379E-73.1033335E-73.1033335E-71.00.0

Sierra Madre

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.3379373E-51.1001147E-51.1001147E-51.00.05.7338908E-54.7146932E-55.714646E-51.21209291.0E-56.978776E-45.7386415E-46.138412E-41.06966294.0E-50.00695690050.00572406640.0057638371.0069484.0E-5
6.11.3379373E-51.1001147E-51.1001147E-51.00.05.7338908E-54.7146932E-55.714646E-51.21209291.0E-56.978776E-45.7386415E-46.138412E-41.06966294.0E-50.00695690050.00572406640.0057638371.0069484.0E-5
6.21.3379373E-51.1001147E-51.1001147E-51.00.05.7338908E-54.7146932E-55.714646E-51.21209291.0E-56.978776E-45.7386415E-46.138412E-41.06966294.0E-50.00695690050.00572406640.0057638371.0069484.0E-5
6.31.3379373E-51.1001147E-51.1001147E-51.00.05.7338908E-54.7146932E-55.714646E-51.21209291.0E-56.978776E-45.7386415E-46.138412E-41.06966294.0E-50.00695690050.00572406640.0057638371.0069484.0E-5
6.41.3379373E-51.1001147E-51.1001147E-51.00.05.7338908E-54.7146932E-55.714646E-51.21209291.0E-56.978776E-45.7386415E-46.138412E-41.06966294.0E-50.00695690050.00572406640.0057638371.0069484.0E-5
6.51.26563245E-51.0230597E-51.0230597E-51.00.05.4240263E-54.3844684E-55.3844244E-51.22806791.0E-56.601751E-45.336793E-45.636633E-41.05618363.0E-50.0065821730.00532417840.00535401841.00560463.0E-5
6.61.26563245E-51.0230597E-51.0230597E-51.00.05.4240263E-54.3844684E-55.3844244E-51.22806791.0E-56.601751E-45.336793E-45.636633E-41.05618363.0E-50.0065821730.00532417840.00535401841.00560463.0E-5
6.71.2502474E-51.0066739E-51.0066739E-51.00.05.3580934E-54.314246E-55.314203E-51.23178021.0E-56.521526E-45.251339E-45.551182E-41.05709833.0E-50.00650242060.00523912860.00526897141.00569623.0E-5
6.81.2454966E-51.0019025E-51.0019025E-51.00.05.3377335E-54.2937972E-55.2937547E-51.2328841.0E-56.4967526E-45.226455E-45.526298E-41.05737033.0E-50.0064777920.0052143610.0052442051.00572343.0E-5
6.91.2225574E-59.793E-69.793E-61.00.05.2394265E-54.1969328E-55.196891E-51.23825921.0E-56.3771347E-45.108578E-45.308476E-41.03912992.0E-50.0063588650.00509702970.0051169281.00390392.0E-5
7.01.182946E-59.399537E-69.399537E-61.00.05.06967E-54.0283114E-55.0282713E-51.2482331.0E-56.1705755E-44.9033755E-45.1032775E-41.04076832.0E-50.0061534690.00489274740.00491264971.00406772.0E-5
7.11.14369095E-58.986543E-68.986543E-61.00.04.9014405E-53.8513193E-54.8512808E-51.25964131.0E-55.9658696E-44.6879821E-44.887888E-41.04264222.0E-50.0059498790.00467827780.00469818431.0042552.0E-5
7.21.0836419E-58.399933E-68.399933E-61.00.04.644097E-53.599922E-54.599886E-51.27777391.0E-55.652721E-44.3820328E-44.581945E-41.04562092.0E-50.00563836420.00437356860.00439348071.0045532.0E-5
7.31.0403439E-58.021192E-68.021192E-61.00.04.4585406E-53.437609E-54.4375745E-51.29088991.0E-55.426921E-44.1844943E-44.3844106E-41.04777552.0E-50.0054136870.00417678940.00419670581.00476842.0E-5
7.49.768864E-67.4148143E-67.4148143E-61.00.04.186589E-53.1777392E-54.1777075E-51.31467911.0E-55.09598E-43.8682195E-44.0681422E-41.05168342.0E-50.00508430970.00386165730.003881581.00515912.0E-5
7.58.687089E-66.450497E-66.450497E-61.00.03.722985E-52.7644699E-53.7644422E-51.3617231.0E-54.5317915E-43.3652308E-43.5651636E-41.05941132.0E-50.0045225610.0033603010.0033802341.00593192.0E-5
7.66.3506063E-64.4306207E-64.4306207E-61.00.02.72166E-51.8988238E-52.8988048E-51.52663181.0E-53.3131172E-42.3115752E-42.4115521E-41.04325061.0E-50.0033081820.00230927440.00231925121.00432041.0E-5
7.74.62223E-62.9332343E-62.9332343E-61.00.01.9809406E-51.2570943E-51.2570943E-51.00.02.4115283E-41.5304051E-41.5304051E-41.00.00.00240891290.00152943030.00152943031.00.0
7.83.2145008E-61.949628E-61.949628E-61.00.01.3776359E-58.355522E-68.355522E-61.00.01.6771426E-41.0172375E-41.0172375E-41.00.00.00167587740.00101678950.00101678951.00.0
7.91.0391769E-65.6032485E-75.6032485E-71.00.04.4536077E-62.40139E-62.40139E-61.00.05.4221324E-52.9236535E-52.9236535E-51.00.05.4208096E-42.923273E-42.923273E-41.00.0
8.01.210983E-76.6138576E-86.6138576E-81.00.05.1899264E-72.8345102E-72.8345102E-71.00.06.3187167E-63.4510108E-63.4510108E-61.00.06.318537E-53.450959E-53.450959E-51.00.0

Channel Islands Thrust

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.2156251E-52.4092304E-52.4092304E-51.00.09.495191E-51.03249244E-41.03249244E-41.00.00.00115542640.00125644110.00126642861.0079491.0E-50.0114943730.0125039660.0125434661.00315894.0E-5
6.12.2156251E-52.4092304E-52.4092304E-51.00.09.495191E-51.03249244E-41.03249244E-41.00.00.00115542640.00125644110.00126642861.0079491.0E-50.0114943730.0125039660.0125434661.00315894.0E-5
6.22.2156251E-52.4092304E-52.4092304E-51.00.09.495191E-51.03249244E-41.03249244E-41.00.00.00115542640.00125644110.00126642861.0079491.0E-50.0114943730.0125039660.0125434661.00315894.0E-5
6.32.2156251E-52.4092304E-52.4092304E-51.00.09.495191E-51.03249244E-41.03249244E-41.00.00.00115542640.00125644110.00126642861.0079491.0E-50.0114943730.0125039660.0125434661.00315894.0E-5
6.42.2156251E-52.4092304E-52.4092304E-51.00.09.495191E-51.03249244E-41.03249244E-41.00.00.00115542640.00125644110.00126642861.0079491.0E-50.0114943730.0125039660.0125434661.00315894.0E-5
6.52.2156251E-52.4092304E-52.4092304E-51.00.09.495191E-51.03249244E-41.03249244E-41.00.00.00115542640.00125644110.00126642861.0079491.0E-50.0114943730.0125039660.0125434661.00315894.0E-5
6.62.2156251E-52.4092304E-52.4092304E-51.00.09.495191E-51.03249244E-41.03249244E-41.00.00.00115542640.00125644110.00126642861.0079491.0E-50.0114943730.0125039660.0125434661.00315894.0E-5
6.71.0601296E-51.1379656E-51.1379656E-51.00.04.5433335E-54.876907E-54.876907E-51.00.05.5301044E-45.9360656E-45.9360656E-41.00.00.0055163630.00592071140.00593065241.0016791.0E-5
6.81.0246747E-51.0996777E-51.0996777E-51.00.04.391389E-54.7128222E-54.7128222E-51.00.05.345204E-45.736398E-45.736398E-41.00.00.00533236560.0057220810.00573202361.00173761.0E-5
6.99.049551E-69.699738E-69.699738E-61.00.03.878322E-54.1569667E-54.1569667E-51.00.04.7208337E-45.059973E-45.059973E-41.00.00.00471081720.0050488690.00505881851.00197061.0E-5
7.08.6542195E-69.274693E-69.274693E-61.00.03.7088983E-53.97481E-53.97481E-51.00.04.5146482E-44.8382976E-44.8382976E-41.00.00.0045054870.00482817550.00483812761.00206111.0E-5
7.18.391028E-68.993012E-68.993012E-61.00.03.5961057E-53.8540933E-53.8540933E-51.00.04.3773788E-44.691389E-44.691389E-41.00.00.0043687660.00468189550.00469184851.00212591.0E-5
7.25.965188E-66.3717544E-66.3717544E-61.00.02.556484E-52.7307236E-52.7307236E-51.00.03.1120746E-43.3241542E-43.3241542E-41.00.00.003107720.003319240.00332920671.00300281.0E-5
7.34.877518E-65.2060545E-65.2060545E-61.00.02.0903482E-52.2311473E-52.2311473E-51.00.02.5447016E-42.716088E-42.716088E-41.00.00.00254178980.00271281460.00271281461.00.0
7.43.8829853E-64.1419007E-64.1419007E-61.00.01.664126E-51.7750885E-51.7750885E-51.00.02.0258849E-42.1609601E-42.1609601E-41.00.00.0020240390.00215890050.00215890051.00.0
7.51.3489616E-61.4278028E-61.4278028E-61.00.05.7812517E-66.119141E-66.119141E-61.00.07.038446E-57.449803E-57.449803E-51.00.07.036218E-47.4473454E-47.4473454E-41.00.0
7.66.058192E-76.353833E-76.353833E-71.00.02.5963652E-62.7230685E-62.7230685E-61.00.03.161029E-53.315287E-53.315287E-51.00.03.1605794E-43.3148087E-43.3148087E-41.00.0
7.72.2170494E-72.2608089E-72.2608089E-71.00.09.5016367E-79.689178E-79.689178E-71.00.01.1568181E-51.1796522E-51.1796522E-51.00.01.1567579E-41.17960066E-41.17960066E-41.00.0
7.82.1613102E-81.5466844E-81.5466844E-81.00.09.262757E-86.6286475E-86.6286475E-81.00.01.1277401E-68.070376E-78.070376E-71.00.01.1277344E-58.070355E-68.070355E-61.00.0

Red Mountain

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.1810763E-54.7591075E-54.7591075E-51.00.01.7917668E-42.0394672E-42.0394672E-41.00.00.00217929340.00248038840.00248038841.00.00.0215804520.0245446490.0245836681.00158974.0E-5
6.14.1810763E-54.7591075E-54.7591075E-51.00.01.7917668E-42.0394672E-42.0394672E-41.00.00.00217929340.00248038840.00248038841.00.00.0215804520.0245446490.0245836681.00158974.0E-5
6.24.1810763E-54.7591075E-54.7591075E-51.00.01.7917668E-42.0394672E-42.0394672E-41.00.00.00217929340.00248038840.00248038841.00.00.0215804520.0245446490.0245836681.00158974.0E-5
6.34.1810763E-54.7591075E-54.7591075E-51.00.01.7917668E-42.0394672E-42.0394672E-41.00.00.00217929340.00248038840.00248038841.00.00.0215804520.0245446490.0245836681.00158974.0E-5
6.44.1810763E-54.7591075E-54.7591075E-51.00.01.7917668E-42.0394672E-42.0394672E-41.00.00.00217929340.00248038840.00248038841.00.00.0215804520.0245446490.0245836681.00158974.0E-5
6.53.154503E-53.5360503E-53.5360503E-51.00.01.3518598E-41.5153673E-41.5153673E-41.00.00.00164464670.00184349060.00184349061.00.00.016325280.0182916280.0183210781.001613.0E-5
6.63.1535834E-53.5349887E-53.5349887E-51.00.01.3514658E-41.5149123E-41.5149123E-41.00.00.00164416760.00184293770.00184293771.00.00.016320560.0182861890.018315641.00161063.0E-5
6.72.8267326E-53.1470005E-53.1470005E-51.00.01.2114006E-41.3486497E-41.3486497E-41.00.00.00147388240.00164082930.00164082931.00.00.0146414520.0162959060.0163254181.00181093.0E-5
6.82.8212884E-53.140789E-53.140789E-51.00.01.20906756E-41.3459878E-41.3459878E-41.00.00.00147104570.00163759340.00163759341.00.00.0146134590.0162640210.0162935331.00181463.0E-5
6.92.4227871E-52.6707532E-52.6707532E-51.00.01.03829596E-41.14456256E-41.14456256E-41.00.00.00126339230.001392690.001392691.00.00.0125623360.0138473110.0138768951.00213653.0E-5
7.02.348524E-52.5836296E-52.5836296E-51.00.01.0064714E-41.1072271E-41.1072271E-41.00.00.00122469010.0013472910.0013472911.00.00.0121796270.0133988640.0134185961.00147272.0E-5
7.12.2311642E-52.4463332E-52.4463332E-51.00.09.561782E-51.04839055E-41.04839055E-41.00.00.00116352520.00127574290.00127574291.00.00.011574520.012691710.0127114571.00155582.0E-5
7.21.6533986E-51.767069E-51.767069E-51.00.07.085802E-57.572969E-57.572969E-51.00.08.623549E-49.2168245E-49.2168245E-41.00.00.0085901610.0091848760.0091848761.00.0
7.31.4703092E-51.555982E-51.555982E-51.00.06.301173E-56.668359E-56.668359E-51.00.07.668978E-48.116319E-48.116319E-41.00.00.00764256580.0080927520.0080927521.00.0
7.46.1331984E-65.5289447E-65.5289447E-61.00.02.6284872E-52.3695266E-52.3695266E-51.00.03.199713E-42.884522E-42.884522E-41.00.00.00319510980.00288083240.00288083241.00.0
7.55.954766E-65.3385725E-65.3385725E-61.00.02.5520176E-52.2879398E-52.2879398E-51.00.03.1066386E-42.785216E-42.785216E-41.00.00.0031022990.00278177930.00278177931.00.0
7.64.9726646E-64.315354E-64.315354E-61.00.02.1311245E-51.8494246E-51.8494246E-51.00.02.5943352E-42.2514451E-42.2514451E-41.00.00.00259130840.00224919870.00224919871.00.0
7.73.3613894E-62.8527159E-62.8527159E-61.00.01.4405875E-51.222587E-51.222587E-51.00.01.7537741E-41.4884006E-41.4884006E-41.00.00.00175239080.001487430.001487431.00.0
7.81.1828961E-61.0123005E-61.0123005E-61.00.05.069545E-64.3384234E-64.3384234E-61.00.06.171996E-55.2819054E-55.2819054E-51.00.06.170282E-45.2806793E-45.2806793E-41.00.0
7.92.2967266E-71.8619376E-71.8619376E-71.00.09.843111E-77.9797303E-77.9797303E-71.00.01.19839215E-59.7152815E-69.7152815E-61.00.01.1983275E-49.7148855E-59.7148855E-51.00.0

Blue Cut

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.1227985E-52.2719787E-52.2719787E-51.00.09.097391E-59.736721E-59.736721E-51.00.00.00110704450.00118485920.00119484731.00842981.0E-50.0110154580.0117912610.0118307891.00335234.0E-5
6.12.1227985E-52.2719787E-52.2719787E-51.00.09.097391E-59.736721E-59.736721E-51.00.00.00110704450.00118485920.00119484731.00842981.0E-50.0110154580.0117912610.0118307891.00335234.0E-5
6.22.1227985E-52.2719787E-52.2719787E-51.00.09.097391E-59.736721E-59.736721E-51.00.00.00110704450.00118485920.00119484731.00842981.0E-50.0110154580.0117912610.0118307891.00335234.0E-5
6.31.1613981E-51.23536465E-51.23536465E-51.00.04.9773254E-55.2943193E-55.2943193E-51.00.06.0582085E-46.444052E-46.5439875E-41.01550821.0E-50.00604171960.00642661330.00645642081.00463813.0E-5
6.41.1613981E-51.23536465E-51.23536465E-51.00.04.9773254E-55.2943193E-55.2943193E-51.00.06.0582085E-46.444052E-46.5439875E-41.01550821.0E-50.00604171960.00642661330.00645642081.00463813.0E-5
6.58.931326E-69.481677E-69.481677E-61.00.03.8276554E-54.063518E-54.063518E-51.00.04.6591737E-44.9463013E-45.046252E-41.02020721.0E-50.00464941750.00493620150.0049660531.00604763.0E-5
6.67.345353E-67.790341E-67.790341E-61.00.03.1479703E-53.3386797E-53.3386797E-51.00.03.83198E-44.0641645E-44.164124E-41.02459531.0E-50.00382537880.00405752330.00408740161.00736373.0E-5
6.76.2775666E-66.655202E-66.655202E-61.00.02.690358E-52.8522025E-52.8522025E-51.00.03.2750185E-43.4720785E-43.5720438E-41.02879121.0E-50.00327019630.00346739470.00349729071.0086223.0E-5
6.85.5234095E-65.8551577E-65.8551577E-61.00.02.367154E-52.5093334E-52.5093334E-51.00.02.8816288E-43.0547578E-43.1547272E-41.03272581.0E-50.0028778950.0030512750.00308118321.0098023.0E-5
6.94.7780054E-65.0654608E-65.0654608E-61.00.02.0477004E-52.1708976E-52.1708976E-51.00.02.4927902E-42.6428179E-42.7427915E-41.03782841.0E-50.00248999570.00264036730.00267028791.0113323.0E-5
7.03.883171E-64.1185203E-64.1185203E-61.00.01.6642054E-51.765072E-51.765072E-51.00.02.0259817E-42.1488321E-42.2488106E-41.04652691.0E-50.00202413560.002147430.00216738721.00929342.0E-5
7.12.8358215E-63.0097403E-63.0097403E-61.00.01.2153464E-51.289886E-51.289886E-51.00.01.4795837E-41.5703888E-41.6703732E-41.06366851.0E-50.0014785990.00156992440.0015898931.01271952.0E-5

Ortigalita (South)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.72394E-54.3256532E-54.3256532E-51.00.01.5958765E-41.8537285E-41.9537099E-41.05393531.0E-50.00194124810.00225473470.00227468971.00885022.0E-50.0192437750.0223349760.0223643071.00131323.0E-5
6.12.7299884E-53.149268E-53.149268E-51.00.01.16994255E-41.3496196E-41.3496196E-41.00.00.00142347430.00164197920.00165196291.00608031.0E-50.0141439060.0163044040.016314241.00060331.0E-5
6.22.7299884E-53.149268E-53.149268E-51.00.01.16994255E-41.3496196E-41.3496196E-41.00.00.00142347430.00164197920.00165196291.00608031.0E-50.0141439060.0163044040.016314241.00060331.0E-5
6.32.0546433E-52.3631925E-52.3631925E-51.00.08.805317E-51.0127585E-41.0127585E-41.00.00.001071520.0012323550.00124234261.00810461.0E-50.0106636810.0122572740.0122671521.00080591.0E-5
6.42.0546433E-52.3631925E-52.3631925E-51.00.08.805317E-51.0127585E-41.0127585E-41.00.00.001071520.0012323550.00124234261.00810461.0E-50.0106636810.0122572740.0122671521.00080591.0E-5
6.51.7779594E-52.0447384E-52.0447384E-51.00.07.619603E-58.7628774E-58.7628774E-51.00.09.272918E-40.00106637180.0010763611.00936761.0E-50.0092343190.0106140140.0106239091.00093211.0E-5
6.61.6272212E-51.8715342E-51.8715342E-51.00.06.973618E-58.0206206E-58.0206206E-51.00.08.487073E-49.760854E-49.860756E-41.0102351.0E-50.0084547330.0097192830.0097291871.00101891.0E-5
6.71.3051484E-51.5039062E-51.5039062E-51.00.05.593373E-56.445159E-56.445159E-51.00.06.807804E-47.8442506E-47.944172E-41.01273821.0E-50.0067869860.0078175460.0078274671.00126921.0E-5
6.81.04277415E-51.1987473E-51.1987473E-51.00.04.4689557E-55.1373918E-55.1373918E-51.00.05.439595E-46.2530534E-46.3529913E-41.01598221.0E-50.00542629930.00623621330.0062461511.00159361.0E-5
6.97.639968E-68.79168E-68.79168E-61.00.03.274231E-53.7678114E-53.7678114E-51.00.03.9856473E-44.5864037E-44.686358E-41.02179361.0E-50.0039785060.00457752450.0045874791.00217461.0E-5
7.03.919831E-64.5334955E-64.5334955E-61.00.01.679917E-51.9429133E-51.9429133E-51.00.02.045107E-42.3652615E-42.3652615E-41.00.00.00204322580.00236295260.00236295261.00.0
7.11.6017933E-61.8570811E-61.8570811E-61.00.06.8648105E-67.958901E-67.958901E-61.00.08.357586E-59.689637E-59.689637E-51.00.08.3544437E-49.686459E-49.686459E-41.00.0

Camp Rock 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6710783E-54.2500346E-64.2500346E-61.00.07.161568E-51.821431E-52.8214128E-51.54900881.0E-58.7157206E-42.2173718E-42.4173275E-41.09017682.0E-50.0086816160.00221521220.00224514581.01351273.0E-5
6.11.6710783E-54.2500346E-64.2500346E-61.00.07.161568E-51.821431E-52.8214128E-51.54900881.0E-58.7157206E-42.2173718E-42.4173275E-41.09017682.0E-50.0086816160.00221521220.00224514581.01351273.0E-5
6.21.6710783E-54.2500346E-64.2500346E-61.00.07.161568E-51.821431E-52.8214128E-51.54900881.0E-58.7157206E-42.2173718E-42.4173275E-41.09017682.0E-50.0086816160.00221521220.00224514581.01351273.0E-5
6.31.6710783E-54.2500346E-64.2500346E-61.00.07.161568E-51.821431E-52.8214128E-51.54900881.0E-58.7157206E-42.2173718E-42.4173275E-41.09017682.0E-50.0086816160.00221521220.00224514581.01351273.0E-5
6.47.982846E-63.682069E-63.682069E-61.00.03.421175E-51.5780202E-52.5780044E-51.63369551.0E-54.1644843E-41.9210737E-42.1210354E-41.10408842.0E-50.00415668870.00191944790.00194939031.01559953.0E-5
6.57.982846E-63.682069E-63.682069E-61.00.03.421175E-51.5780202E-52.5780044E-51.63369551.0E-54.1644843E-41.9210737E-42.1210354E-41.10408842.0E-50.00415668870.00191944790.00194939031.01559953.0E-5
6.67.048869E-63.4243315E-63.4243315E-61.00.03.0209088E-51.4675626E-52.4675479E-51.6813921.0E-53.677336E-41.786614E-41.9865783E-41.11192362.0E-50.00367125660.00178520940.00181515581.01677483.0E-5
6.76.987307E-63.3623085E-63.3623085E-61.00.02.9945259E-51.4409816E-52.4409672E-51.69396141.0E-53.6452254E-41.754257E-41.954222E-41.11398842.0E-50.00363925170.00175290330.00178285071.01708453.0E-5
6.86.3737602E-63.1178974E-63.1178974E-61.00.02.731583E-51.3362351E-52.3362218E-51.74836131.0E-53.3251947E-41.6267477E-41.8267152E-41.12292472.0E-50.00332022370.00162558550.00165553671.01842493.0E-5
6.96.112211E-62.9331072E-62.9331072E-61.00.02.6194928E-51.2570401E-52.2570275E-51.79550961.0E-53.1887658E-41.5303415E-41.730311E-41.13066982.0E-50.0031841940.00152931550.00155926961.01958663.0E-5
7.05.5140117E-62.6419382E-62.6419382E-61.00.02.3631264E-51.1322544E-52.132243E-51.88318371.0E-52.8767265E-41.3784351E-41.5784075E-41.14507212.0E-50.00287300530.00137760540.0014075641.02174693.0E-5
7.14.8151105E-62.1342858E-62.1342858E-61.00.02.0636026E-59.146908E-61.9146817E-52.09325551.0E-52.5121463E-41.1135814E-41.313559E-41.17958072.0E-50.00250930830.00111304530.00114301181.02692313.0E-5
7.23.818335E-61.2937558E-61.2937558E-61.00.01.6364189E-55.5446562E-61.5544601E-52.80352831.0E-51.9921579E-46.750418E-58.750283E-51.2962582.0E-50.00199037286.74845E-47.0482475E-41.04442473.0E-5
7.32.7166698E-67.3832456E-77.3832456E-71.00.01.1642818E-53.1642444E-63.1642444E-61.00.01.4174209E-43.8524013E-53.8524013E-51.00.00.00141651723.8517537E-43.9517152E-41.02595221.0E-5
7.42.0893426E-65.4615964E-75.4615964E-71.00.08.954295E-62.340682E-62.340682E-61.00.01.0901308E-42.8497436E-52.8497436E-51.00.00.00108959622.8493837E-42.949355E-41.03508531.0E-5
7.51.1681728E-63.6029326E-73.6029326E-71.00.05.0064455E-61.544113E-61.544113E-61.00.06.0951766E-51.879942E-51.879942E-51.00.06.093505E-41.8797876E-41.8797876E-41.00.0
7.61.3154387E-77.119745E-87.119745E-81.00.05.6375933E-73.051319E-73.051319E-71.00.06.863748E-63.7149762E-63.7149762E-61.00.06.863536E-53.7149297E-53.7149297E-51.00.0

San Clemente

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.681379E-58.164081E-58.164081E-51.00.02.8631336E-43.4984472E-43.4984472E-41.00.00.0034802940.0042515340.0042515341.00.00.034262910.0417572260.0417859741.00068843.0E-5
6.16.681379E-58.164081E-58.164081E-51.00.02.8631336E-43.4984472E-43.4984472E-41.00.00.0034802940.0042515340.0042515341.00.00.034262910.0417572260.0417859741.00068843.0E-5
6.23.9400576E-54.645349E-54.645349E-51.00.01.6884868E-41.9907155E-41.9907155E-41.00.00.00205379450.00242105640.00242105641.00.00.0203491670.023953470.023963231.00040751.0E-5
6.33.2590255E-53.792995E-53.792995E-51.00.01.3966505E-41.6254697E-41.6254697E-41.00.00.00169909560.00197724320.00197724321.00.00.016861630.0196003060.019610111.00050021.0E-5
6.42.9454652E-53.409848E-53.409848E-51.00.01.2622811E-41.4612831E-41.4612831E-41.00.00.00153574380.00177768660.00177768661.00.00.0152517390.0176378380.0176378381.00.0
6.52.790836E-53.2248132E-53.2248132E-51.00.01.1960178E-41.381991E-41.381991E-41.00.00.0014551790.0016813010.0016813011.00.00.0144568680.0166888270.0166888271.00.0
6.62.2492153E-52.57632E-52.57632E-51.00.09.639138E-51.1040912E-41.1040912E-41.00.00.00117293310.00134341690.00134341691.00.00.0116676150.0133546730.0133546731.00.0
6.71.9862755E-52.2666847E-52.2666847E-51.00.08.512331E-59.714008E-59.714008E-51.00.00.00103588360.00118205010.00118205011.00.00.0103106820.011758920.011758921.00.0
6.81.6697575E-51.8978053E-51.8978053E-51.00.07.155907E-58.133203E-58.133203E-51.00.08.7088346E-49.89777E-49.89777E-41.00.00.0086747840.0098547140.0098547141.00.0
6.91.5218415E-51.726971E-51.726971E-51.00.06.522015E-57.401099E-57.401099E-51.00.07.93766E-49.0072013E-49.0072013E-41.00.00.0079093670.008971640.008971641.00.0
7.01.2392958E-51.4033262E-51.4033262E-51.00.05.3111595E-56.0141207E-56.0141207E-51.00.06.4644177E-47.319808E-47.319808E-41.00.00.00644564540.00729648440.00729648441.00.0
7.11.0934128E-51.2375354E-51.2375354E-51.00.04.6859706E-55.3036194E-55.3036194E-51.00.05.7036756E-46.455317E-46.455317E-41.00.00.00568905850.0064373120.0064373121.00.0
7.29.5798805E-61.0845125E-51.0845125E-51.00.04.1055984E-54.647832E-54.647832E-51.00.04.9974193E-45.657338E-45.657338E-41.00.00.00498619630.005643660.005643661.00.0
7.38.0167365E-69.084078E-69.084078E-61.00.03.4356988E-53.8931223E-53.8931223E-51.00.04.1821605E-44.738916E-44.738916E-41.00.00.00417429860.0047295130.0047295131.00.0
7.42.9581017E-63.36244E-63.36244E-61.00.01.2677518E-51.4410407E-51.4410407E-51.00.01.5433785E-41.7543763E-41.7543763E-41.00.00.0015423070.00175348630.00175348631.00.0

Mission Creek

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1549387E-51.6325142E-51.6325142E-51.00.04.9496433E-56.9963105E-56.9963105E-51.00.06.0245243E-48.514829E-48.614744E-41.01173421.0E-50.0060082180.0085116990.0085414431.00349463.0E-5
6.11.1549387E-51.6325142E-51.6325142E-51.00.04.9496433E-56.9963105E-56.9963105E-51.00.06.0245243E-48.514829E-48.614744E-41.01173421.0E-50.0060082180.0085116990.0085414431.00349463.0E-5
6.21.1549387E-51.6325142E-51.6325142E-51.00.04.9496433E-56.9963105E-56.9963105E-51.00.06.0245243E-48.514829E-48.614744E-41.01173421.0E-50.0060082180.0085116990.0085414431.00349463.0E-5
6.31.1549387E-51.6325142E-51.6325142E-51.00.04.9496433E-56.9963105E-56.9963105E-51.00.06.0245243E-48.514829E-48.614744E-41.01173421.0E-50.0060082180.0085116990.0085414431.00349463.0E-5
6.41.1549387E-51.6325142E-51.6325142E-51.00.04.9496433E-56.9963105E-56.9963105E-51.00.06.0245243E-48.514829E-48.614744E-41.01173421.0E-50.0060082180.0085116990.0085414431.00349463.0E-5
6.51.1549387E-51.6325142E-51.6325142E-51.00.04.9496433E-56.9963105E-56.9963105E-51.00.06.0245243E-48.514829E-48.614744E-41.01173421.0E-50.0060082180.0085116990.0085414431.00349463.0E-5
6.69.202681E-61.3848401E-51.3848401E-51.00.03.9439463E-55.934899E-55.934899E-51.00.04.800697E-47.2234345E-47.323362E-41.01383391.0E-50.0047903390.00722887460.0072586581.004123.0E-5
6.79.019164E-61.3654068E-51.3654068E-51.00.03.8652986E-55.8516176E-55.8516176E-51.00.04.7049852E-47.1221055E-47.2220346E-41.01403081.0E-50.0046950360.00712819860.00715798471.00417863.0E-5
6.88.673558E-61.3276174E-51.3276174E-51.00.03.717186E-55.68967E-55.68967E-51.00.04.524734E-46.92506E-47.0249906E-41.01443031.0E-50.00451553240.00693238430.00696217641.00429753.0E-5
6.97.002255E-61.1480386E-51.1480386E-51.00.03.000932E-54.9200764E-54.9200764E-51.00.03.653022E-45.988615E-46.088555E-41.01668831.0E-50.00364702290.00600119960.00603101961.0049693.0E-5
7.05.84644E-69.677556E-69.677556E-61.00.02.5055931E-54.1474606E-54.1474606E-51.00.03.0501327E-45.0484086E-45.148358E-41.01979831.0E-50.00304594960.00506545650.00509530451.00589253.0E-5
7.15.54703E-69.332022E-69.332022E-61.00.02.377277E-53.9993793E-53.9993793E-51.00.02.8939504E-44.868201E-44.9681525E-41.02053141.0E-50.00289018450.0048860460.00490594841.00407332.0E-5
7.24.384709E-67.683992E-67.683992E-61.00.01.8791474E-53.2931002E-53.2931002E-51.00.02.2876218E-44.0086484E-44.108608E-41.02493611.0E-50.00228526820.00402988630.0040498061.00494292.0E-5
7.33.7888456E-66.917821E-66.917821E-61.00.01.623781E-52.9647486E-52.9647486E-51.00.01.9767738E-43.609017E-43.7089808E-41.02769841.0E-50.00197501620.00363161530.00365154281.00548722.0E-5
7.42.1982462E-65.026073E-65.026073E-61.00.09.421021E-62.1540136E-52.1540136E-51.00.01.1469489E-42.6221978E-42.7221715E-41.0381261.0E-50.00114635720.00264734940.00266729641.00753472.0E-5
7.52.051923E-64.617237E-64.617237E-61.00.08.793926E-61.978801E-51.978801E-51.00.01.0706078E-42.4089254E-42.5089012E-41.04150221.0E-50.00107009220.00243501250.00245496371.00819352.0E-5
7.61.8733427E-64.125508E-64.125508E-61.00.08.028587E-61.768063E-51.768063E-51.00.09.774366E-52.1524049E-42.2523833E-41.04644971.0E-59.770069E-40.0021795290.00219948541.00915632.0E-5
7.71.8411953E-64.0451673E-64.0451673E-61.00.07.890813E-61.7336315E-51.7336315E-51.00.09.606641E-52.1104928E-42.2104717E-41.04737231.0E-59.6024893E-40.00213781020.00215776751.00933542.0E-5
7.81.7194251E-63.7123866E-63.7123866E-61.00.07.368944E-61.5910133E-51.5910133E-51.00.08.97132E-51.9368871E-42.0368678E-41.05161931.0E-58.967699E-40.00196369880.00198365961.01016492.0E-5
7.91.4035052E-62.9516495E-62.9516495E-61.00.06.0150082E-61.2649865E-51.2649865E-51.00.07.3230265E-51.5400129E-41.6399975E-41.06492451.0E-57.3206134E-40.00156423110.00158419981.01276592.0E-5
8.03.9318823E-75.531722E-75.531722E-71.00.01.6850913E-62.370736E-62.370736E-61.00.02.0515794E-52.8863333E-53.8863043E-51.34645031.0E-52.0513899E-42.9927568E-43.0927267E-41.0334041.0E-5
8.11.596793E-71.13891964E-71.13891964E-71.00.06.8433974E-74.881083E-74.881083E-71.00.08.331805E-65.942703E-65.942703E-61.00.08.331492E-56.555237E-56.555237E-51.00.0
8.24.9003038E-82.5465459E-82.5465459E-81.00.02.10013E-71.0913767E-71.0913767E-71.00.02.5569052E-61.3287504E-61.3287504E-61.00.02.556876E-51.49686575E-51.49686575E-51.00.0

Santa Cruz Catalina Ridge alt1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.2833184E-53.655896E-54.6558594E-51.27352071.0E-51.4070606E-41.5667279E-41.6667122E-41.06381731.0E-50.001711750.00190598860.00193593131.01570993.0E-50.0169862470.018913320.0189427531.00155623.0E-5
6.11.9835548E-52.1659771E-53.1659554E-51.46167541.0E-58.500672E-59.2824404E-51.0282348E-41.10772031.0E-50.00103446550.00112957130.00113956011.0088431.0E-50.0102966320.0112404330.0112503211.00087961.0E-5
6.21.9835548E-52.1659771E-53.1659554E-51.46167541.0E-58.500672E-59.2824404E-51.0282348E-41.10772031.0E-50.00103446550.00112957130.00113956011.0088431.0E-50.0102966320.0112404330.0112503211.00087961.0E-5
6.31.5728183E-51.7034137E-52.7033968E-51.58704641.0E-56.7404755E-57.3001436E-58.3000705E-51.13697361.0E-58.2034385E-48.884362E-48.9842733E-41.01124571.0E-50.0081732220.0088495240.0088594361.001121.0E-5
6.41.5728183E-51.7034137E-52.7033968E-51.58704641.0E-56.7404755E-57.3001436E-58.3000705E-51.13697361.0E-58.2034385E-48.884362E-48.9842733E-41.01124571.0E-50.0081732220.0088495240.0088594361.001121.0E-5
6.51.3707734E-51.4794678E-52.479453E-51.67590871.0E-55.8746107E-56.3404244E-57.340361E-51.15770821.0E-57.1499916E-47.716768E-47.8166905E-41.01294881.0E-50.00712703030.00769037050.0077002941.00129031.0E-5
6.61.2539813E-51.3510358E-52.3510223E-51.74016281.0E-55.3740947E-55.7900266E-56.789969E-51.17270081.0E-56.540996E-47.0471043E-47.1470335E-41.01418021.0E-50.00652177630.00702506070.00703499051.00141351.0E-5
6.71.1504083E-51.23775E-52.2377377E-51.80790761.0E-54.930228E-55.304536E-56.304483E-51.18850791.0E-56.0008996E-46.456379E-46.556315E-41.01547861.0E-50.0059847210.00643785070.00644778651.00154331.0E-5
6.81.012739E-51.0877178E-52.0877069E-51.91934611.0E-54.340238E-54.6615653E-55.6615187E-51.21451021.0E-55.282958E-45.673993E-45.773936E-41.01761421.0E-50.00527041640.0056596750.00566961851.00175691.0E-5
6.98.9607865E-69.60921E-61.9609113E-52.04065821.0E-53.8402806E-54.1181684E-55.1181272E-51.24281641.0E-54.6745385E-45.0127273E-45.112677E-41.01993921.0E-50.00466471770.005001540.00501148961.00198941.0E-5
7.08.046829E-68.619827E-61.8619741E-52.1601061.0E-53.4485955E-53.6941598E-54.694123E-51.27068761.0E-54.1978562E-44.4967196E-44.5966747E-41.02222851.0E-50.0041899350.0044877110.00449766641.00221841.0E-5
7.17.136131E-67.637727E-61.763765E-52.309281.0E-53.0583058E-53.273271E-54.2732383E-51.30549481.0E-53.7228514E-43.9844858E-44.0844458E-41.02508741.0E-50.00371662060.00397741840.00398737841.00250421.0E-5
7.26.362014E-66.8050217E-61.6804954E-52.46949321.0E-52.726549E-52.9164055E-53.9163766E-51.34287791.0E-53.3190678E-43.5501516E-43.6501163E-41.02815781.0E-50.00331411490.00354454880.00355451321.00281121.0E-5
7.35.004101E-65.3517642E-65.3517642E-61.00.02.1445969E-52.2935934E-52.2935934E-51.00.02.6107338E-42.7920975E-42.7920975E-41.00.00.0026076690.00278864430.00278864431.00.0
7.43.4901443E-63.732087E-63.732087E-61.00.01.4957676E-51.5994563E-51.5994563E-51.00.01.8209449E-41.9471678E-41.9471678E-41.00.00.00181945340.00194550030.00194550031.00.0
7.51.1215045E-61.1893966E-61.1893966E-61.00.04.806439E-65.0974045E-65.0974045E-61.00.05.851682E-56.205916E-56.205916E-51.00.05.850142E-46.204214E-46.204214E-41.00.0
7.62.8599047E-72.9952182E-72.9952182E-71.00.01.2256729E-61.2836642E-61.2836642E-61.00.01.4922465E-51.5628502E-51.5628502E-51.00.01.4921463E-41.5627417E-41.5627417E-41.00.0
7.72.0781519E-72.1744457E-72.1744457E-71.00.08.906362E-79.3190494E-79.3190494E-71.00.01.08434415E-51.1345885E-51.1345885E-51.00.01.0842913E-41.1345315E-41.1345315E-41.00.0
7.83.614776E-83.7641225E-83.7641225E-81.00.01.5491896E-71.6131952E-71.6131952E-71.00.01.8861368E-61.9640636E-61.9640636E-61.00.01.8861208E-51.9640474E-51.9640474E-51.00.0

White Wolf

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.0037822E-51.0468736E-61.0468736E-61.00.08.587355E-54.4865938E-61.4486549E-53.22885231.0E-50.0010450095.462296E-56.4622414E-51.18306311.0E-50.0104010855.4610043E-45.76084E-41.05490493.0E-5
6.12.0037822E-51.0468736E-61.0468736E-61.00.08.587355E-54.4865938E-61.4486549E-53.22885231.0E-50.0010450095.462296E-56.4622414E-51.18306311.0E-50.0104010855.4610043E-45.76084E-41.05490493.0E-5
6.22.0037822E-51.0468736E-61.0468736E-61.00.08.587355E-54.4865938E-61.4486549E-53.22885231.0E-50.0010450095.462296E-56.4622414E-51.18306311.0E-50.0104010855.4610043E-45.76084E-41.05490493.0E-5
6.32.0037822E-51.0468736E-61.0468736E-61.00.08.587355E-54.4865938E-61.4486549E-53.22885231.0E-50.0010450095.462296E-56.4622414E-51.18306311.0E-50.0104010855.4610043E-45.76084E-41.05490493.0E-5
6.41.132487E-51.0468736E-61.0468736E-61.00.04.8534253E-54.4865938E-61.4486549E-53.22885231.0E-55.907443E-45.462296E-56.4622414E-51.18306311.0E-50.0058917645.4610043E-45.76084E-41.05490493.0E-5
6.51.132487E-51.0468736E-61.0468736E-61.00.04.8534253E-54.4865938E-61.4486549E-53.22885231.0E-55.907443E-45.462296E-56.4622414E-51.18306311.0E-50.0058917645.4610043E-45.76084E-41.05490493.0E-5
6.69.347473E-61.0468736E-61.0468736E-61.00.04.0059982E-54.4865938E-61.4486549E-53.22885231.0E-54.8762115E-45.462296E-56.4622414E-51.18306311.0E-50.00486552535.4610043E-45.76084E-41.05490493.0E-5
6.77.842647E-61.0047925E-61.0047925E-61.00.03.361091E-54.3062464E-61.4306203E-53.3221981.0E-54.0913603E-45.242734E-56.2426814E-51.19073021.0E-50.0040838365.241547E-45.541389E-41.0572053.0E-5
6.86.26597E-69.73443E-79.73443E-71.00.02.685388E-54.171892E-61.417185E-53.39698391.0E-53.2689696E-45.0791652E-56.0791142E-51.19687271.0E-50.0032641655.078053E-45.377901E-41.05904773.0E-5
6.95.258436E-69.1828633E-79.1828633E-71.00.02.2535958E-53.9355073E-61.3935468E-53.54095841.0E-52.7434074E-44.7913796E-55.7913316E-51.20869821.0E-50.00274002324.7903945E-44.990299E-41.04173022.0E-5
7.04.675028E-68.6608276E-78.6608276E-71.00.02.003568E-53.7117782E-61.3711741E-53.69411661.0E-52.4390711E-44.519001E-55.5189557E-51.22127781.0E-50.00243639574.5181293E-44.7180388E-41.04424612.0E-5
7.12.8270078E-66.873876E-76.873876E-71.00.01.2115692E-52.9459438E-61.2945914E-54.3944881.0E-51.4749856E-43.5866316E-54.586596E-51.27880311.0E-50.0014740073.586094E-43.786022E-41.0557512.0E-5
7.21.6881406E-62.2703898E-72.2703898E-71.00.07.2348685E-69.730238E-71.09730145E-511.277231.0E-58.808096E-51.1846502E-52.1846385E-51.8441211.0E-58.8046055E-41.1845886E-41.2845769E-41.08440741.0E-5
7.39.086107E-71.5264881E-71.5264881E-71.00.03.8940398E-66.5420903E-76.5420903E-71.00.04.7408903E-57.964967E-67.964967E-61.00.04.739879E-47.9646896E-57.9646896E-51.00.0
7.41.9717383E-79.003459E-89.003459E-81.00.08.450304E-73.8586248E-73.8586248E-71.00.01.0288197E-54.6978657E-64.6978657E-61.00.01.028772E-44.6977697E-54.6977697E-51.00.0
7.51.086975E-76.659703E-86.659703E-81.00.04.6584634E-72.8541584E-72.8541584E-71.00.05.6716644E-63.4749323E-63.4749323E-61.00.05.6715195E-53.4748802E-53.4748802E-51.00.0
7.62.4217808E-81.5820925E-81.5820925E-81.00.01.03790605E-76.780396E-86.780396E-81.00.01.2636499E-68.255129E-78.255129E-71.00.01.2636427E-58.255104E-68.255104E-61.00.0

Oak Ridge (Onshore)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.155064E-52.9526547E-52.9526547E-51.00.01.3521002E-41.2653643E-41.3653516E-41.07901861.0E-50.0016449390.00153953030.00155949951.01297092.0E-50.016328160.0152933040.01532284451.00193173.0E-5
6.13.155064E-52.9526547E-52.9526547E-51.00.01.3521002E-41.2653643E-41.3653516E-41.07901861.0E-50.0016449390.00153953030.00155949951.01297092.0E-50.016328160.0152933040.01532284451.00193173.0E-5
6.23.155064E-52.9526547E-52.9526547E-51.00.01.3521002E-41.2653643E-41.3653516E-41.07901861.0E-50.0016449390.00153953030.00155949951.01297092.0E-50.016328160.0152933040.01532284451.00193173.0E-5
6.33.155064E-52.9526547E-52.9526547E-51.00.01.3521002E-41.2653643E-41.3653516E-41.07901861.0E-50.0016449390.00153953030.00155949951.01297092.0E-50.016328160.0152933040.01532284451.00193173.0E-5
6.43.155064E-52.9526547E-52.9526547E-51.00.01.3521002E-41.2653643E-41.3653516E-41.07901861.0E-50.0016449390.00153953030.00155949951.01297092.0E-50.016328160.0152933040.01532284451.00193173.0E-5
6.53.155064E-52.9526547E-52.9526547E-51.00.01.3521002E-41.2653643E-41.3653516E-41.07901861.0E-50.0016449390.00153953030.00155949951.01297092.0E-50.016328160.0152933040.01532284451.00193173.0E-5
6.63.155064E-52.9526547E-52.9526547E-51.00.01.3521002E-41.2653643E-41.3653516E-41.07901861.0E-50.0016449390.00153953030.00155949951.01297092.0E-50.016328160.0152933040.01532284451.00193173.0E-5
6.73.098897E-52.8864733E-52.8864733E-51.00.01.328031E-41.2370035E-41.3369911E-41.08083061.0E-50.00161567850.0015050490.00152501881.01326862.0E-50.0160398220.014953150.0149827021.00197633.0E-5
6.83.0449872E-52.8239918E-52.8239918E-51.00.01.3049292E-41.21022815E-41.310216E-41.08261911.0E-50.00158759350.00147249410.00149246471.01356242.0E-50.0157629920.0146318920.0146614531.00202043.0E-5
6.92.697928E-52.4220235E-52.4220235E-51.00.01.15620365E-41.03797E-41.1379596E-41.0963321.0E-50.00140676890.00126301740.00128299211.01581512.0E-50.01397896650.0125612570.01259088051.00235833.0E-5
7.02.4893961E-52.1862457E-52.1862457E-51.00.01.0668404E-49.369298E-51.03692044E-41.10672161.0E-50.00129810430.00114013280.001160111.01752192.0E-50.0129054770.0113452690.0113749291.00261433.0E-5
7.12.0945363E-51.7354816E-51.7354816E-51.00.08.976275E-57.437569E-58.437495E-51.13444261.0E-50.00109231369.051526E-49.251345E-41.02207582.0E-50.01086960.0090157440.0090454731.00329763.0E-5
7.22.0439404E-51.6809745E-51.6809745E-51.00.08.7594504E-57.2039795E-58.203908E-51.13880221.0E-50.00106594138.767363E-48.9671876E-41.02279192.0E-50.0106084270.0087338430.00876358151.00340493.0E-5
7.31.8463334E-51.5382124E-51.5382124E-51.00.07.912617E-56.592175E-57.592109E-51.1516851.0E-59.6293533E-48.0230605E-48.2229E-41.02490822.0E-50.0095877340.007995110.00802486951.00372233.0E-5
7.41.763139E-51.4517136E-51.4517136E-51.00.07.556091E-56.2214836E-57.2214214E-51.16072331.0E-59.1956573E-47.5720635E-47.771912E-41.02639292.0E-50.0091576990.0075472180.00757699131.0039453.0E-5
7.51.3594944E-51.1163481E-51.1163481E-51.00.05.8262744E-54.7842626E-55.784215E-51.20900861.0E-57.0911803E-45.8233086E-46.023192E-41.03432482.0E-50.0070685950.00580849450.005838321.00513483.0E-5
7.66.9889534E-65.6367644E-65.6367644E-61.00.02.9952313E-52.4157342E-53.41571E-51.41394281.0E-53.646084E-42.9407637E-43.0407342E-41.03399481.0E-50.00364010730.0029369160.00294688671.0033951.0E-5
7.74.0824193E-63.2832984E-63.2832984E-61.00.01.7495966E-51.4071204E-51.4071204E-51.00.02.1299256E-41.7130356E-41.7130356E-41.00.00.00212788510.00171172860.00171172861.00.0
7.81.7023609E-61.4370712E-61.4370712E-61.00.07.295812E-66.158862E-66.158862E-61.00.08.882289E-57.4981595E-57.4981595E-51.00.08.8787393E-47.495657E-47.495657E-41.00.0
7.92.721225E-72.2617078E-72.2617078E-71.00.01.1662388E-69.69303E-79.69303E-71.00.01.4198865E-51.1801203E-51.1801203E-51.00.01.4197957E-41.1800604E-41.1800604E-41.00.0
8.09.364255E-95.1208513E-95.1208513E-91.00.04.0132523E-82.1946507E-82.1946507E-81.00.04.8861335E-72.671987E-72.671987E-71.00.04.8861225E-62.671984E-62.671984E-61.00.0

San Diego Trough north alt1

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.329252E-58.821515E-58.821515E-51.00.03.14073E-43.780138E-43.780138E-41.00.00.00381713550.0045931730.0046130811.00433432.0E-50.037522310.045046330.0450749771.0006363.0E-5
6.13.7940346E-54.4886026E-54.4886026E-51.00.01.6259136E-41.9235504E-41.9235504E-41.00.00.00197775240.00233948840.00235944171.00852882.0E-50.0196024310.0231572930.023176831.00084362.0E-5
6.22.8645263E-53.3297452E-53.3297452E-51.00.01.2275964E-41.4269572E-41.4269572E-41.00.00.00149357390.00173595840.00175592371.0115012.0E-50.01483575350.0172266380.0172462951.0011412.0E-5
6.32.8645263E-53.3297452E-53.3297452E-51.00.01.2275964E-41.4269572E-41.4269572E-41.00.00.00149357390.00173595840.00175592371.0115012.0E-50.01483575350.0172266380.0172462951.0011412.0E-5
6.42.2204576E-52.5448819E-52.5448819E-51.00.09.5159E-51.0906186E-41.0906186E-41.00.00.0011579450.00132702870.00133701551.00752571.0E-50.0115192980.0131922150.0132020831.0007481.0E-5
6.52.1004838E-52.402516E-52.402516E-51.00.09.0017624E-51.02960956E-41.02960956E-41.00.00.00109541360.00125283760.00126282511.00797191.0E-50.0109002960.012458830.0124687061.00079261.0E-5
6.61.820557E-52.070517E-52.070517E-51.00.07.802154E-58.873346E-58.873346E-51.00.09.4949827E-40.00107979980.00107979981.00.00.0094545160.01074620150.01074620151.00.0
6.71.5884485E-51.7983964E-51.7983964E-51.00.06.807459E-57.707187E-57.707187E-51.00.08.284929E-49.379488E-49.379488E-41.00.00.0082541090.0093402680.0093402681.00.0
6.81.4331171E-51.6201348E-51.6201348E-51.00.06.141786E-56.9432506E-56.9432506E-51.00.07.4750587E-48.4501493E-48.4501493E-41.00.00.00744996450.0084182850.0084182851.00.0
6.91.2574203E-51.4206081E-51.4206081E-51.00.05.3888325E-56.088179E-56.088179E-51.00.06.558929E-47.4098515E-47.4098515E-41.00.00.00653960370.00738533070.00738533071.00.0
7.01.0883844E-51.22894735E-51.22894735E-51.00.04.664421E-55.2668114E-55.2668114E-51.00.05.677453E-46.410466E-46.410466E-41.00.00.005662970.00639210270.00639210271.00.0
7.19.393088E-61.0607203E-51.0607203E-51.00.04.025547E-54.5458655E-54.5458655E-51.00.04.900001E-45.5331935E-45.5331935E-41.00.00.00488921070.0055195130.0055195131.00.0
7.28.190791E-69.258787E-69.258787E-61.00.03.510292E-53.9679915E-53.9679915E-51.00.04.2729423E-44.8299658E-44.8299658E-41.00.00.00426473560.0048195480.0048195481.00.0
7.36.268162E-67.08984E-67.08984E-61.00.02.6863276E-53.0384675E-53.0384675E-51.00.03.2701128E-43.6987104E-43.6987104E-41.00.00.0032653050.00369260040.00369260041.00.0
7.44.985186E-65.6427807E-65.6427807E-61.00.02.1364907E-52.4183124E-52.4183124E-51.00.02.600867E-42.9439016E-42.9439016E-41.00.00.0025978250.0029400430.0029400431.00.0
7.51.7489613E-61.9697113E-61.9697113E-61.00.07.495527E-68.441594E-68.441594E-61.00.09.125422E-51.0277178E-41.0277178E-41.00.09.1216754E-40.00102726450.00102726451.00.0
7.61.6988751E-71.7533898E-71.7533898E-71.00.07.2808916E-77.5145255E-77.5145255E-71.00.08.864449E-69.148898E-69.148898E-61.00.08.8640954E-59.148542E-59.148542E-51.00.0

San Gorgonio Pass

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.644328E-61.331688E-51.331688E-51.00.03.2760996E-55.707114E-55.707114E-51.00.03.987921E-46.946282E-47.146143E-41.02877242.0E-50.0039807720.00693031540.00696010751.00429883.0E-5
6.17.644328E-61.331688E-51.331688E-51.00.03.2760996E-55.707114E-55.707114E-51.00.03.987921E-46.946282E-47.146143E-41.02877242.0E-50.0039807720.00693031540.00696010751.00429883.0E-5
6.27.644328E-61.331688E-51.331688E-51.00.03.2760996E-55.707114E-55.707114E-51.00.03.987921E-46.946282E-47.146143E-41.02877242.0E-50.0039807720.00693031540.00696010751.00429883.0E-5
6.37.644328E-61.331688E-51.331688E-51.00.03.2760996E-55.707114E-55.707114E-51.00.03.987921E-46.946282E-47.146143E-41.02877242.0E-50.0039807720.00693031540.00696010751.00429883.0E-5
6.47.644328E-61.331688E-51.331688E-51.00.03.2760996E-55.707114E-55.707114E-51.00.03.987921E-46.946282E-47.146143E-41.02877242.0E-50.0039807720.00693031540.00696010751.00429883.0E-5
6.57.644328E-61.331688E-51.331688E-51.00.03.2760996E-55.707114E-55.707114E-51.00.03.987921E-46.946282E-47.146143E-41.02877242.0E-50.0039807720.00693031540.00696010751.00429883.0E-5
6.67.644328E-61.331688E-51.331688E-51.00.03.2760996E-55.707114E-55.707114E-51.00.03.987921E-46.946282E-47.146143E-41.02877242.0E-50.0039807720.00693031540.00696010751.00429883.0E-5
6.76.987586E-61.2621148E-51.2621148E-51.00.02.9946454E-55.408956E-55.408956E-51.00.03.645371E-46.5834954E-46.7833636E-41.0303592.0E-50.00363939670.00656968870.0065895571.00302432.0E-5
6.86.987586E-61.2621148E-51.2621148E-51.00.02.9946454E-55.408956E-55.408956E-51.00.03.645371E-46.5834954E-46.7833636E-41.0303592.0E-50.00363939670.00656968870.0065895571.00302432.0E-5
6.95.504702E-61.10519995E-51.10519995E-51.00.02.3591367E-54.736488E-54.736488E-51.00.02.8718702E-45.7651993E-45.965084E-41.0346712.0E-50.00286816180.0057556350.005775521.00345482.0E-5
7.05.4825764E-61.102834E-51.102834E-51.00.02.3496545E-54.7263486E-54.7263486E-51.00.02.8603288E-45.752861E-45.952746E-41.03474532.0E-50.002856650.00574336060.00576324571.00346232.0E-5
7.15.4692787E-61.101405E-51.101405E-51.00.02.3439556E-54.7202248E-54.7202248E-51.00.02.8533922E-45.7454087E-45.945294E-41.03479042.0E-50.00284973110.00573594730.00575583241.00346672.0E-5
7.25.453661E-61.0997076E-51.0997076E-51.00.02.3372622E-54.7129506E-54.7129506E-51.00.02.8452452E-45.736557E-45.936442E-41.03484422.0E-50.0028416050.0057271410.00574702681.00347212.0E-5
7.35.4422303E-61.0983999E-51.0983999E-51.00.02.3323635E-54.707346E-54.707346E-51.00.02.8392827E-45.7297375E-45.9296226E-41.03488562.0E-50.00283565770.00572035650.0057402421.00347632.0E-5
7.45.398595E-61.0931362E-51.0931362E-51.00.02.313663E-54.6847883E-54.6847883E-51.00.02.8165206E-45.702288E-45.9021736E-41.03505362.0E-50.00281295340.0056930480.00571293431.00349312.0E-5
7.55.3578788E-61.08579015E-51.08579015E-51.00.02.2962136E-54.6533063E-54.6533063E-51.00.02.7952815E-45.6639785E-45.7639217E-41.01764551.0E-50.0027917680.00565496740.00566491071.00175831.0E-5
7.64.8091474E-69.606129E-69.606129E-61.00.02.0610469E-54.1168503E-54.1168503E-51.00.02.5090357E-45.011161E-45.1111105E-41.01994551.0E-50.00250620460.00500562740.0050155771.00198771.0E-5
7.71.5991155E-63.354115E-63.354115E-61.00.06.853334E-61.4374701E-51.4374701E-51.00.08.343615E-51.7499819E-41.8499643E-41.05713341.0E-58.340483E-40.00175385860.0017638411.00569181.0E-5
7.89.258398E-72.0589173E-62.0589173E-61.00.03.967879E-68.823902E-68.823902E-61.00.04.8307855E-51.0742573E-41.1742466E-41.09307751.0E-54.8297356E-40.0010789670.00108895631.00925821.0E-5
7.95.975575E-71.2298265E-61.2298265E-61.00.02.5609581E-65.2706746E-65.2706746E-61.00.03.117922E-56.4168584E-57.416794E-51.15582951.0E-53.1174847E-46.4654916E-46.5654266E-41.01545671.0E-5
8.03.4413725E-76.718678E-76.718678E-71.00.01.4748731E-62.8794302E-62.8794302E-61.00.01.7956432E-53.5056506E-54.5056153E-51.28524371.0E-51.7954981E-43.538627E-43.6385914E-41.02824951.0E-5
8.11.1787731E-89.641519E-99.641519E-91.00.05.0518846E-84.1320796E-84.1320796E-81.00.06.1506677E-75.0308057E-75.0308057E-71.00.06.1506507E-65.2474043E-65.2474043E-61.00.0

Bullion Mountains

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6420427E-51.4692201E-51.4692201E-51.00.07.037136E-56.296527E-57.296464E-51.15880781.0E-58.5643446E-47.6637097E-47.763633E-41.01303851.0E-50.0085314130.00764107420.0076708451.00389613.0E-5
6.11.6420427E-51.4692201E-51.4692201E-51.00.07.037136E-56.296527E-57.296464E-51.15880781.0E-58.5643446E-47.6637097E-47.763633E-41.01303851.0E-50.0085314130.00764107420.0076708451.00389613.0E-5
6.21.6420427E-51.4692201E-51.4692201E-51.00.07.037136E-56.296527E-57.296464E-51.15880781.0E-58.5643446E-47.6637097E-47.763633E-41.01303851.0E-50.0085314130.00764107420.0076708451.00389613.0E-5
6.31.2046778E-59.8623805E-69.8623805E-61.00.05.1628023E-54.226679E-55.226637E-51.23658241.0E-56.283899E-45.1449984E-45.244947E-41.01942631.0E-50.00626615950.00513536860.0051552661.00387452.0E-5
6.41.2046778E-59.8623805E-69.8623805E-61.00.05.1628023E-54.226679E-55.226637E-51.23658241.0E-56.283899E-45.1449984E-45.244947E-41.01942631.0E-50.00626615950.00513536860.0051552661.00387452.0E-5
6.51.0244343E-57.879477E-67.879477E-61.00.04.390359E-53.376887E-54.376853E-51.29612081.0E-55.343951E-44.110791E-44.2107498E-41.02431621.0E-50.0053311180.00410521780.0041251361.00485182.0E-5
6.69.605408E-67.177506E-67.177506E-61.00.04.1165385E-53.0760493E-54.0760184E-51.32508231.0E-55.010733E-43.74465E-43.8446125E-41.02669481.0E-50.004999450.00374033720.00376026241.00532712.0E-5
6.78.60418E-66.124001E-66.124001E-61.00.03.687454E-52.6245565E-53.6245303E-51.38100671.0E-54.48855E-43.1951242E-43.295092E-41.03128771.0E-50.0044794950.00319244220.00321237841.00624482.0E-5
6.85.187994E-62.5631452E-62.5631452E-61.00.02.223407E-51.0984884E-52.0984775E-51.91033181.0E-52.7066618E-41.3373674E-41.4373541E-41.07476381.0E-50.00270336750.00133695430.00135692761.01493942.0E-5
6.94.5302368E-62.344301E-62.344301E-61.00.01.9415156E-51.0046988E-52.0046888E-51.99531321.0E-52.3635388E-41.2231918E-41.3231796E-41.08174341.0E-50.00236102660.00122290760.00124288321.01633442.0E-5
7.03.431668E-61.688219E-61.688219E-61.00.01.4707065E-57.235224E-61.7235152E-52.38211731.0E-51.7904381E-48.8088855E-59.808797E-51.11351171.0E-50.00178899628.8088855E-49.0087095E-41.02268432.0E-5

San Luis Range 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.8368415E-68.965478E-68.965478E-61.00.03.787163E-53.8422957E-53.8422957E-51.00.04.609895E-44.6770697E-44.777023E-41.02137091.0E-50.00460034380.0046680090.0046978691.00639683.0E-5
6.18.8368415E-68.965478E-68.965478E-61.00.03.787163E-53.8422957E-53.8422957E-51.00.04.609895E-44.6770697E-44.777023E-41.02137091.0E-50.00460034380.0046680090.0046978691.00639683.0E-5
6.28.8368415E-68.965478E-68.965478E-61.00.03.787163E-53.8422957E-53.8422957E-51.00.04.609895E-44.6770697E-44.777023E-41.02137091.0E-50.00460034380.0046680090.0046978691.00639683.0E-5
6.38.8368415E-68.965478E-68.965478E-61.00.03.787163E-53.8422957E-53.8422957E-51.00.04.609895E-44.6770697E-44.777023E-41.02137091.0E-50.00460034380.0046680090.0046978691.00639683.0E-5
6.43.9094193E-63.941214E-63.941214E-61.00.01.6754546E-51.689081E-51.689081E-51.00.02.039675E-42.0562648E-42.0562648E-41.00.00.00203780390.0020543910.00206437061.00485771.0E-5
6.53.9094193E-63.941214E-63.941214E-61.00.01.6754546E-51.689081E-51.689081E-51.00.02.039675E-42.0562648E-42.0562648E-41.00.00.00203780390.0020543910.00206437061.00485771.0E-5
6.63.0587726E-63.0753974E-63.0753974E-61.00.01.3108959E-51.3180209E-51.3180209E-51.00.01.595899E-41.6045735E-41.6045735E-41.00.00.00159475340.00160342690.00161341091.00622671.0E-5
6.72.6160574E-62.6251355E-62.6251355E-61.00.01.1211626E-51.1250533E-51.1250533E-51.00.01.3649299E-41.3696669E-41.3696669E-41.00.00.00136409190.00136882890.00137881521.00729551.0E-5
6.82.5110312E-62.5181482E-62.5181482E-61.00.01.0761518E-51.079202E-51.079202E-51.00.01.310136E-41.3138496E-41.3138496E-41.00.00.00130936390.00131307880.00132306571.00760571.0E-5
6.91.8564405E-61.8524935E-61.8524935E-61.00.07.95615E-67.939234E-67.939234E-61.00.09.686181E-59.66559E-59.66559E-51.00.09.68196E-49.6614065E-49.6614065E-41.00.0
7.01.546127E-61.5369595E-61.5369595E-61.00.06.626242E-66.586953E-66.586953E-61.00.08.06715E-58.0193204E-58.0193204E-51.00.08.0642226E-48.016434E-48.016434E-41.00.0
7.11.3368208E-61.3235378E-61.3235378E-61.00.05.7292195E-65.672293E-65.672293E-61.00.06.975101E-56.905798E-56.905798E-51.00.06.972912E-46.903657E-46.903657E-41.00.0
7.21.0623363E-61.0454412E-61.0454412E-61.00.04.5528623E-64.4804547E-64.4804547E-61.00.05.5429686E-55.4548174E-55.4548174E-51.00.05.5415864E-45.453481E-45.453481E-41.00.0
7.37.831679E-77.7274274E-77.7274274E-71.00.03.3564295E-63.3117506E-63.3117506E-61.00.04.086376E-54.0319817E-54.0319817E-51.00.04.0856248E-44.0312516E-44.0312516E-41.00.0
7.45.9558846E-75.9106696E-75.9106696E-71.00.02.5525194E-62.5331417E-62.5331417E-61.00.03.107648E-53.0840565E-53.0840565E-51.00.03.1072134E-43.083629E-43.083629E-41.00.0
7.54.1616502E-74.1196597E-74.1196597E-71.00.01.7835631E-61.7655673E-61.7655673E-61.00.02.1714664E-52.1495569E-52.1495569E-51.00.02.1712543E-42.1493496E-42.1493496E-41.00.0
7.62.3816014E-72.3376762E-72.3376762E-71.00.01.0206859E-61.0018608E-61.0018608E-61.00.01.242678E-51.2197587E-51.2197587E-51.00.01.2426086E-41.219692E-41.219692E-41.00.0
7.79.918777E-89.386922E-89.386922E-81.00.04.2509038E-74.0229656E-74.0229656E-71.00.05.1754632E-64.8979496E-64.8979496E-61.00.05.1753424E-54.897842E-54.897842E-51.00.0
7.83.4982556E-82.9687648E-82.9687648E-81.00.01.4992524E-71.2723277E-71.2723277E-71.00.01.8253382E-61.5490579E-61.5490579E-61.00.01.8253233E-51.5490472E-51.5490472E-51.00.0
7.91.6624908E-81.147785E-81.147785E-81.00.07.12496E-84.9190785E-84.9190785E-81.00.08.6746354E-75.9889766E-75.9889766E-71.00.08.674601E-65.9889603E-65.9889603E-61.00.0
8.06.3352315E-93.0891683E-93.0891683E-91.00.02.715099E-81.3239292E-81.3239292E-81.00.03.3056327E-71.6118838E-71.6118838E-71.00.03.3056278E-61.6118827E-61.6118827E-61.00.0

Big Pine (Central)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2706755E-51.4251083E-51.4251083E-51.00.05.4456385E-56.107485E-56.107485E-51.00.06.628048E-47.433691E-47.533617E-41.01344231.0E-50.0066083140.00741382640.0074436041.00401653.0E-5
6.18.342579E-69.511262E-69.511262E-61.00.03.5753423E-54.0762035E-54.0762035E-51.00.04.3521097E-44.961865E-44.961865E-41.00.00.00434359630.0049543150.0049642651.00200841.0E-5
6.26.923899E-67.967629E-67.967629E-61.00.02.9673516E-53.4146644E-53.4146644E-51.00.03.6121515E-44.1567534E-44.1567534E-41.00.00.0036062860.004152260.004152261.00.0
6.32.728396E-63.4247232E-63.4247232E-61.00.01.1693074E-51.4677307E-51.4677307E-51.00.01.4235388E-41.7868243E-41.7868243E-41.00.00.00142262720.0017868680.0017868681.00.0
6.42.7136944E-63.4090162E-63.4090162E-61.00.01.1630066E-51.4609993E-51.4609993E-51.00.01.4158686E-41.7786301E-41.7786301E-41.00.00.00141496690.0017786870.0017786871.00.0
6.52.6971882E-63.3913614E-63.3913614E-61.00.01.1559327E-51.4534329E-51.4534329E-51.00.01.4072572E-41.7694196E-41.7694196E-41.00.00.00140636640.00176949110.00176949111.00.0
6.62.669092E-63.3613815E-63.3613815E-61.00.01.1438916E-51.4405846E-51.4405846E-51.00.01.3925991E-41.7537792E-41.7537792E-41.00.00.00139172670.00175387550.00175387551.00.0
6.72.6408059E-63.3314068E-63.3314068E-61.00.01.1317691E-51.4277384E-51.4277384E-51.00.01.3778417E-41.7381416E-41.7381416E-41.00.00.00137698770.00173826240.00173826241.00.0
6.82.1786943E-62.8548623E-62.8548623E-61.00.09.337228E-61.223507E-51.223507E-51.00.01.1367482E-41.4895253E-41.4895253E-41.00.00.00113616690.00148999370.00148999371.00.0
6.91.4411696E-62.0689088E-62.0689088E-61.00.06.1764263E-68.866724E-68.866724E-61.00.07.51954E-51.07947286E-41.07947286E-41.00.07.5169955E-40.00108037060.00108037061.00.0
7.01.0073411E-61.5546336E-61.5546336E-61.00.04.317169E-66.662699E-66.662699E-61.00.05.2560266E-58.11155E-58.11155E-51.00.05.2547833E-48.1226975E-48.1226975E-41.00.0
7.18.947104E-71.4306167E-61.4306167E-61.00.03.834468E-66.1312007E-66.1312007E-61.00.04.6683643E-57.4644966E-57.4644966E-51.00.04.6673836E-47.4760953E-47.4760953E-41.00.0
7.25.215166E-71.0115094E-61.0115094E-61.00.02.2350691E-64.3350337E-64.3350337E-61.00.02.7211627E-55.27778E-55.27778E-51.00.02.7208295E-45.2905316E-45.2905316E-41.00.0
7.34.4024807E-79.2229175E-79.2229175E-71.00.01.8867761E-63.952673E-63.952673E-61.00.02.2971257E-54.8122773E-54.8122773E-51.00.02.2968883E-44.8252378E-44.8252378E-41.00.0
7.43.6130905E-78.3617664E-78.3617664E-71.00.01.5484665E-63.5836094E-63.5836094E-61.00.01.8852415E-54.362961E-54.362961E-51.00.01.8850817E-44.3760161E-44.3760161E-41.00.0
7.53.408184E-78.111325E-78.111325E-71.00.01.4606494E-63.4762777E-63.4762777E-61.00.01.7783263E-54.2322896E-54.2322896E-51.00.01.778184E-44.2451447E-44.2451447E-41.00.0
7.63.1428627E-77.734672E-77.734672E-71.00.01.3469405E-63.3148556E-63.3148556E-61.00.01.6398877E-54.0357656E-54.0357656E-51.00.01.6397667E-44.0484127E-44.0484127E-41.00.0
7.71.7972785E-75.0801975E-75.0801975E-71.00.07.70262E-72.1772257E-62.1772257E-61.00.09.377899E-62.650741E-52.650741E-51.00.09.377503E-52.6640965E-42.6640965E-41.00.0
7.84.9230927E-81.1986405E-71.1986405E-71.00.02.1098968E-75.13703E-75.13703E-71.00.02.5687964E-66.2543177E-66.2543177E-61.00.02.5687666E-56.29837E-56.29837E-51.00.0
7.93.6805972E-94.1069246E-94.1069246E-91.00.01.5773987E-81.7601105E-81.7601105E-81.00.01.9204828E-72.1429342E-72.1429342E-71.00.01.920481E-62.1908222E-62.1908222E-61.00.0

Kern Canyon (Lake Isabella) 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.2387383E-64.001647E-61.4001607E-53.4989611.0E-51.8165894E-51.7149814E-52.7149643E-51.58308671.0E-52.2114732E-42.0878084E-42.1877875E-41.04788711.0E-50.00220927360.00208603080.00211596811.01435143.0E-5
6.14.2387383E-64.001647E-61.4001607E-53.4989611.0E-51.8165894E-51.7149814E-52.7149643E-51.58308671.0E-52.2114732E-42.0878084E-42.1877875E-41.04788711.0E-50.00220927360.00208603080.00211596811.01435143.0E-5
6.24.2387383E-64.001647E-61.4001607E-53.4989611.0E-51.8165894E-51.7149814E-52.7149643E-51.58308671.0E-52.2114732E-42.0878084E-42.1877875E-41.04788711.0E-50.00220927360.00208603080.00211596811.01435143.0E-5
6.34.2387383E-64.001647E-61.4001607E-53.4989611.0E-51.8165894E-51.7149814E-52.7149643E-51.58308671.0E-52.2114732E-42.0878084E-42.1877875E-41.04788711.0E-50.00220927360.00208603080.00211596811.01435143.0E-5
6.44.2387383E-64.001647E-61.4001607E-53.4989611.0E-51.8165894E-51.7149814E-52.7149643E-51.58308671.0E-52.2114732E-42.0878084E-42.1877875E-41.04788711.0E-50.00220927360.00208603080.00211596811.01435143.0E-5
6.52.7857532E-62.517871E-61.2517846E-54.9715991.0E-51.1938888E-51.0790834E-52.0790725E-51.92670251.0E-51.4534626E-41.313708E-41.4136948E-41.07611041.0E-50.00145251230.00131296410.0013329381.01521272.0E-5
6.62.2233348E-61.944126E-61.19441065E-56.1436891.0E-59.528543E-68.331944E-61.833186E-52.20019031.0E-51.1600384E-41.0143677E-41.1143576E-41.09857361.0E-50.0011594330.00101391330.00103389311.01970552.0E-5
6.72.1635126E-61.8835061E-61.1883487E-56.30923751.0E-59.272164E-68.072145E-61.8072064E-52.23881821.0E-51.1288274E-49.827401E-51.0827302E-41.10174631.0E-50.00112825429.823136E-40.0010022941.02034012.0E-5
6.81.8685711E-61.5831444E-61.5831444E-61.00.08.008137E-66.784887E-66.784887E-61.00.09.74947E-58.260291E-58.260291E-51.00.09.745194E-48.25727E-48.3571876E-41.01210061.0E-5
6.91.5815071E-61.3064939E-61.3064939E-61.00.06.77787E-65.5992477E-65.5992477E-61.00.08.251744E-56.816874E-56.816874E-51.00.08.248681E-46.814809E-46.914741E-41.01466391.0E-5
7.01.3772564E-61.1210726E-61.1210726E-61.00.05.9025137E-64.804588E-64.804588E-61.00.07.186073E-55.849431E-55.849431E-51.00.07.18375E-45.847912E-45.947854E-41.01709011.0E-5
7.11.0916998E-68.7637835E-78.7637835E-71.00.04.678705E-63.7559018E-63.7559018E-61.00.05.6961744E-54.572716E-54.572716E-51.00.05.6947145E-44.5717886E-44.6717428E-41.02186321.0E-5
7.27.6277024E-75.9014616E-75.9014616E-71.00.03.2690114E-62.5291954E-62.5291954E-61.00.03.9799485E-53.0792526E-53.0792526E-51.00.03.9792358E-43.078832E-43.078832E-41.00.0
7.35.3265916E-74.3824443E-74.3824443E-71.00.02.282823E-61.8781891E-61.8781891E-61.00.02.7793016E-52.2866716E-52.2866716E-51.00.02.778954E-42.2864401E-42.2864401E-41.00.0
7.43.4946007E-73.0065758E-73.0065758E-71.00.01.497685E-61.2885318E-61.2885318E-61.00.01.8234163E-51.5687765E-51.5687765E-51.00.01.8232666E-41.568668E-41.568668E-41.00.0
7.51.8317026E-71.4244814E-71.4244814E-71.00.07.850152E-76.104919E-76.104919E-71.00.09.557518E-67.4327145E-67.4327145E-61.00.09.5571064E-57.432474E-57.432474E-51.00.0
7.62.572245E-81.7352718E-81.7352718E-81.00.01.10239064E-77.436879E-87.436879E-81.00.01.3421597E-69.054397E-79.054397E-71.00.01.3421517E-59.054365E-69.054365E-61.00.0

Santa Susana East (connector)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.858397E-53.202259E-53.202259E-51.00.01.2249697E-41.3723405E-41.4723268E-41.07285821.0E-50.00149038030.00166981640.00169976631.0179363.0E-50.0148042440.016599790.0166292921.00177733.0E-5
6.12.858397E-53.202259E-53.202259E-51.00.01.2249697E-41.3723405E-41.4723268E-41.07285821.0E-50.00149038030.00166981640.00169976631.0179363.0E-50.0148042440.016599790.0166292921.00177733.0E-5
6.22.858397E-53.202259E-53.202259E-51.00.01.2249697E-41.3723405E-41.4723268E-41.07285821.0E-50.00149038030.00166981640.00169976631.0179363.0E-50.0148042440.016599790.0166292921.00177733.0E-5
6.31.943582E-52.036782E-52.036782E-51.00.08.329371E-58.728837E-59.728749E-51.11455291.0E-50.0010136290.00106232970.00108230851.01880662.0E-50.0100901810.0105841130.0106039021.00186972.0E-5
6.41.943582E-52.036782E-52.036782E-51.00.08.329371E-58.728837E-59.728749E-51.11455291.0E-50.0010136290.00106232970.00108230851.01880662.0E-50.0100901810.0105841130.0106039021.00186972.0E-5
6.51.943582E-52.036782E-52.036782E-51.00.08.329371E-58.728837E-59.728749E-51.11455291.0E-50.0010136290.00106232970.00108230851.01880662.0E-50.0100901810.0105841130.0106039021.00186972.0E-5
6.61.943582E-52.036782E-52.036782E-51.00.08.329371E-58.728837E-59.728749E-51.11455291.0E-50.0010136290.00106232970.00108230851.01880662.0E-50.0100901810.0105841130.0106039021.00186972.0E-5
6.71.9404439E-52.035524E-52.035524E-51.00.08.3159226E-58.723446E-59.723359E-51.11462351.0E-50.00101199330.00106167410.00108165281.01881812.0E-50.0100739710.0105776190.0105974081.00187082.0E-5
6.81.2217526E-51.159334E-51.159334E-51.00.05.2359774E-54.968489E-55.9684393E-51.20125841.0E-56.372938E-46.0476246E-46.247504E-41.03305092.0E-50.00635469240.00603338330.00605326241.0032952.0E-5
6.91.2217526E-51.159334E-51.159334E-51.00.05.2359774E-54.968489E-55.9684393E-51.20125841.0E-56.372938E-46.0476246E-46.247504E-41.03305092.0E-50.00635469240.00603338330.00605326241.0032952.0E-5
7.09.276017E-68.059356E-68.059356E-61.00.03.9753755E-53.4539662E-54.4539316E-51.28951231.0E-54.8389446E-44.204427E-44.404343E-41.04754892.0E-50.00482842140.0041973680.0042172841.00474492.0E-5
7.19.130355E-67.942529E-67.942529E-61.00.03.9129503E-53.4038985E-54.4038643E-51.29377081.0E-54.7629757E-44.1434926E-44.3434097E-41.04824842.0E-50.004752780.00413666150.0041565791.00481492.0E-5
7.28.851015E-67.74169E-67.74169E-61.00.03.7932372E-53.317827E-54.3177934E-51.30139211.0E-54.6172875E-44.0387394E-44.2386586E-41.04950032.0E-50.00460770540.00403229150.00405221061.00493992.0E-5
7.38.573006E-67.5504113E-67.5504113E-61.00.03.6740938E-53.2358523E-54.23582E-51.30902761.0E-54.472291E-43.938972E-44.1388933E-41.05075472.0E-50.0044633010.0039328730.00395279421.00506532.0E-5
7.47.852282E-66.8179206E-66.8179206E-61.00.03.36522E-52.9219349E-53.9219056E-51.3422291.0E-54.096385E-43.5569054E-43.7568342E-41.05620862.0E-50.00408884230.00355203050.00357195941.00561062.0E-5
7.54.8869324E-64.27914E-64.27914E-61.00.02.0943828E-51.8339051E-52.8338867E-51.54527451.0E-52.5496128E-42.2325672E-42.4325225E-41.0895632.0E-50.00254668950.00223066330.00225061881.0089462.0E-5
7.61.3894544E-61.1568442E-61.1568442E-61.00.05.954791E-64.9578953E-61.4957846E-53.0169751.0E-57.249717E-56.0360926E-57.036032E-51.16566011.0E-57.247352E-46.0346717E-46.1346113E-41.01656091.0E-5
7.72.9924632E-72.3719647E-72.3719647E-71.00.01.2824837E-61.016556E-61.016556E-61.00.01.5614127E-51.2376506E-51.2376506E-51.00.01.5613029E-41.2375889E-41.2375889E-41.00.0
7.84.8188564E-82.6323553E-82.6323553E-81.00.02.065224E-71.1281523E-71.1281523E-71.00.02.5144072E-61.3735246E-61.3735246E-61.00.02.5143789E-51.3735169E-51.3735169E-51.00.0
7.92.6127251E-92.768132E-92.768132E-91.00.01.1197393E-81.1863423E-81.1863423E-81.00.01.3632825E-71.4443718E-71.4443718E-71.00.01.3632817E-61.4443717E-61.4443717E-61.00.0

Earthquake Valley (So Extension)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0194888E-53.707323E-53.707323E-51.00.01.2940024E-41.5887865E-41.6887707E-41.06293111.0E-50.00157430930.00193314640.0019431271.0051631.0E-50.015632030.0192136780.0192332941.00102092.0E-5
6.13.0194888E-53.707323E-53.707323E-51.00.01.2940024E-41.5887865E-41.6887707E-41.06293111.0E-50.00157430930.00193314640.0019431271.0051631.0E-50.015632030.0192136780.0192332941.00102092.0E-5
6.23.0194888E-53.707323E-53.707323E-51.00.01.2940024E-41.5887865E-41.6887707E-41.06293111.0E-50.00157430930.00193314640.0019431271.0051631.0E-50.015632030.0192136780.0192332941.00102092.0E-5
6.31.5795305E-51.8447032E-51.8447032E-51.00.06.769241E-57.905694E-57.905694E-51.00.08.238434E-49.622042E-49.622042E-41.00.00.0082079590.00959128050.00959128051.00.0
6.41.5795305E-51.8447032E-51.8447032E-51.00.06.769241E-57.905694E-57.905694E-51.00.08.238434E-49.622042E-49.622042E-41.00.00.0082079590.00959128050.00959128051.00.0
6.51.5795305E-51.8447032E-51.8447032E-51.00.06.769241E-57.905694E-57.905694E-51.00.08.238434E-49.622042E-49.622042E-41.00.00.0082079590.00959128050.00959128051.00.0
6.61.5795305E-51.8447032E-51.8447032E-51.00.06.769241E-57.905694E-57.905694E-51.00.08.238434E-49.622042E-49.622042E-41.00.00.0082079590.00959128050.00959128051.00.0
6.71.1363076E-51.3138569E-51.3138569E-51.00.04.8697988E-55.6307366E-55.6307366E-51.00.05.927367E-46.8540266E-46.8540266E-41.00.00.00591158170.0068403610.0068403611.00.0
6.81.0049611E-51.1594572E-51.1594572E-51.00.04.306905E-54.969049E-54.969049E-51.00.05.242395E-46.0488697E-46.0488697E-41.00.00.00523004540.0060395820.0060395821.00.0
6.91.0049611E-51.1594572E-51.1594572E-51.00.04.306905E-54.969049E-54.969049E-51.00.05.242395E-46.0488697E-46.0488697E-41.00.00.00523004540.0060395820.0060395821.00.0
7.01.0049611E-51.1594572E-51.1594572E-51.00.04.306905E-54.969049E-54.969049E-51.00.05.242395E-46.0488697E-46.0488697E-41.00.00.00523004540.0060395820.0060395821.00.0
7.18.140254E-69.38365E-69.38365E-61.00.03.4886336E-54.02154E-54.02154E-51.00.04.2465836E-44.895796E-44.895796E-41.00.00.00423847740.00489158650.00489158651.00.0
7.21.673835E-71.4153831E-71.4153831E-71.00.07.173577E-76.0659266E-76.0659266E-71.00.08.733795E-67.3852443E-67.3852443E-61.00.08.733451E-57.3850344E-57.3850344E-51.00.0
7.31.6632116E-71.4052058E-71.4052058E-71.00.07.1280476E-76.0223095E-76.0223095E-71.00.08.678364E-67.332141E-67.332141E-61.00.08.6780245E-57.3319345E-57.3319345E-51.00.0
7.41.6569169E-71.3996687E-71.3996687E-71.00.07.1010703E-75.998579E-75.998579E-71.00.08.645519E-67.3032493E-67.3032493E-61.00.08.645182E-57.3030445E-57.3030445E-51.00.0
7.51.1764555E-71.0095579E-71.0095579E-71.00.05.041951E-74.326676E-74.326676E-71.00.06.138558E-65.267718E-65.267718E-61.00.06.1383886E-55.2676143E-55.2676143E-51.00.0
7.61.07927605E-79.260366E-89.260366E-81.00.04.6254678E-73.9687282E-73.9687282E-71.00.05.6314925E-64.831918E-64.831918E-61.00.05.63135E-54.8318336E-54.8318336E-51.00.0
7.72.1826905E-81.118023E-81.118023E-81.00.09.3543875E-84.7915268E-84.7915268E-81.00.01.1388961E-65.833683E-75.833683E-71.00.01.1388902E-55.8336727E-65.8336727E-61.00.0
7.82.6169649E-91.1969211E-91.1969211E-91.00.01.1215564E-85.1296616E-95.1296616E-91.00.01.3654947E-76.245363E-86.245363E-81.00.01.365494E-66.2453626E-76.2453626E-71.00.0

La Panza 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.6754544E-64.717608E-64.717608E-61.00.02.0037509E-52.0218175E-52.0218175E-51.00.02.4392935E-42.4613045E-42.4613045E-41.00.00.00243661760.00245877290.00247872361.00811412.0E-5
6.14.6754544E-64.717608E-64.717608E-61.00.02.0037509E-52.0218175E-52.0218175E-51.00.02.4392935E-42.4613045E-42.4613045E-41.00.00.00243661760.00245877290.00247872361.00811412.0E-5
6.24.6754544E-64.717608E-64.717608E-61.00.02.0037509E-52.0218175E-52.0218175E-51.00.02.4392935E-42.4613045E-42.4613045E-41.00.00.00243661760.00245877290.00247872361.00811412.0E-5
6.34.6754544E-64.717608E-64.717608E-61.00.02.0037509E-52.0218175E-52.0218175E-51.00.02.4392935E-42.4613045E-42.4613045E-41.00.00.00243661760.00245877290.00247872361.00811412.0E-5
6.44.6754544E-64.717608E-64.717608E-61.00.02.0037509E-52.0218175E-52.0218175E-51.00.02.4392935E-42.4613045E-42.4613045E-41.00.00.00243661760.00245877290.00247872361.00811412.0E-5
6.52.485343E-62.5006163E-62.5006163E-61.00.01.0651426E-51.0716885E-51.0716885E-51.00.01.296734E-41.3047065E-41.3047065E-41.00.00.00129597750.0013039790.0013039791.00.0
6.62.485343E-62.5006163E-62.5006163E-61.00.01.0651426E-51.0716885E-51.0716885E-51.00.01.296734E-41.3047065E-41.3047065E-41.00.00.00129597750.0013039790.0013039791.00.0
6.71.5108508E-61.5146534E-61.5146534E-61.00.06.4750584E-66.491356E-66.491356E-61.00.07.8830984E-57.90295E-57.90295E-51.00.07.880303E-47.900248E-47.900248E-41.00.0
6.81.3865837E-61.3885259E-61.3885259E-61.00.05.942488E-65.950812E-65.950812E-61.00.07.234739E-57.244883E-57.244883E-51.00.07.232384E-47.242619E-47.242619E-41.00.0
6.99.826583E-79.796437E-79.796437E-71.00.04.2113857E-64.1984663E-64.1984663E-61.00.05.1272415E-55.1115185E-55.1115185E-51.00.05.126059E-45.1103963E-45.1103963E-41.00.0
7.06.7797646E-76.71036E-76.71036E-71.00.02.9056102E-62.8758654E-62.8758654E-61.00.03.537523E-53.501313E-53.501313E-51.00.03.5369597E-43.5007924E-43.5007924E-41.00.0
7.13.4979826E-73.3875276E-73.3875276E-71.00.01.4991346E-61.4517968E-61.4517968E-61.00.01.825181E-51.7675495E-51.7675495E-51.00.01.825031E-41.7674205E-41.7674205E-41.00.0
7.22.5088332E-72.3833275E-72.3833275E-71.00.01.0752137E-61.0214256E-61.0214256E-61.00.01.3090649E-51.2435796E-51.2435796E-51.00.01.3089878E-41.2435185E-41.2435185E-41.00.0
7.31.0159086E-78.64596E-88.64596E-81.00.04.3538932E-73.705411E-73.705411E-71.00.05.300852E-64.511329E-64.511329E-61.00.05.3007258E-54.5112414E-54.5112414E-51.00.0
7.43.5006252E-81.9407974E-81.9407974E-81.00.01.5002678E-78.317703E-88.317703E-81.00.01.8265745E-61.0126798E-61.0126798E-61.00.01.8265595E-51.0126755E-51.0126755E-51.00.0
7.52.592274E-81.0241491E-81.0241491E-81.00.01.1109746E-74.3892104E-84.3892104E-81.00.01.3526106E-65.3438623E-75.3438623E-71.00.01.3526024E-55.3438503E-65.3438503E-61.00.0
7.61.9016717E-85.246079E-95.246079E-91.00.08.150022E-82.2483196E-82.2483196E-81.00.09.922647E-72.7373287E-72.7373287E-71.00.09.922603E-62.7373255E-62.7373255E-61.00.0
7.71.17738495E-81.24002E-91.24002E-91.00.05.0459356E-85.3143716E-95.3143716E-91.00.06.1434247E-76.470247E-86.470247E-81.00.06.143408E-66.4702454E-76.4702454E-71.00.0
7.85.489079E-92.0114244E-102.0114244E-101.00.02.3524624E-88.6204055E-108.6204055E-101.00.02.8641225E-71.0495341E-81.0495341E-81.00.02.8641189E-61.049534E-71.049534E-71.00.0
7.92.5081048E-96.6833206E-116.6833206E-111.00.01.0749021E-82.864291E-102.864291E-101.00.01.3086932E-73.4872727E-93.4872727E-91.00.01.3086925E-63.487273E-83.487273E-81.00.0

Pinto Mtn

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.4194956E-54.7855512E-55.785503E-51.20895231.0E-51.893932E-42.0507984E-42.1507777E-41.04875151.0E-50.00230342360.00249415120.00251410131.00799872.0E-50.0227969380.0246791130.0246986191.00079042.0E-5
6.14.4194956E-54.7855512E-55.785503E-51.20895231.0E-51.893932E-42.0507984E-42.1507777E-41.04875151.0E-50.00230342360.00249415120.00251410131.00799872.0E-50.0227969380.0246791130.0246986191.00079042.0E-5
6.24.4194956E-54.7855512E-55.785503E-51.20895231.0E-51.893932E-42.0507984E-42.1507777E-41.04875151.0E-50.00230342360.00249415120.00251410131.00799872.0E-50.0227969380.0246791130.0246986191.00079042.0E-5
6.34.4194956E-54.7855512E-55.785503E-51.20895231.0E-51.893932E-42.0507984E-42.1507777E-41.04875151.0E-50.00230342360.00249415120.00251410131.00799872.0E-50.0227969380.0246791130.0246986191.00079042.0E-5
6.43.729929E-53.960486E-53.960486E-51.00.01.5984432E-41.697246E-41.697246E-41.00.00.00194436730.0020645320.00207451131.00483371.0E-50.0192744270.020463550.0204733441.00047861.0E-5
6.53.729929E-53.960486E-53.960486E-51.00.01.5984432E-41.697246E-41.697246E-41.00.00.00194436730.0020645320.00207451131.00483371.0E-50.0192744270.020463550.0204733441.00047861.0E-5
6.63.0204548E-53.1206768E-53.1206768E-51.00.01.2944164E-41.3373663E-41.3373663E-41.00.00.00157481270.0016270620.0016270621.00.00.0156369920.0161553640.0161553641.00.0
6.72.9857754E-53.0816143E-53.0816143E-51.00.01.2795553E-41.320627E-41.320627E-41.00.00.00155674530.00160671210.00160671211.00.00.0154588480.01595480.01595481.00.0
6.82.4819734E-52.5010708E-52.5010708E-51.00.01.0636595E-41.0718447E-41.0718447E-41.00.00.00129423620.00130421130.00130421131.00.00.0128672440.01296793950.01296793951.00.0
6.92.331124E-52.3338964E-52.3338964E-51.00.09.990149E-51.0002041E-41.0002041E-41.00.00.0012156220.00121708850.00121708851.00.00.0120899360.0121064220.0121064221.00.0
7.02.1818534E-52.176207E-52.176207E-51.00.09.3504656E-59.3262795E-59.3262795E-51.00.00.00113782460.00113490280.00113490281.00.00.0113201630.0112931740.0112931741.00.0
7.12.066081E-52.0541695E-52.0541695E-51.00.08.854332E-58.8032975E-58.8032975E-51.00.00.00107748180.0010712940.0010712941.00.00.0107227240.0106633470.0106633471.00.0
7.21.8990233E-51.905496E-51.905496E-51.00.08.138417E-58.166167E-58.166167E-51.00.09.904018E-49.937966E-49.937966E-41.00.00.0098599950.0098955240.0098955241.00.0
7.31.3335872E-51.4907597E-51.4907597E-51.00.05.7152483E-56.388821E-56.388821E-51.00.06.956093E-47.7757414E-47.7757414E-41.00.00.0069343590.0077498340.0077498341.00.0
7.49.414066E-61.1861796E-51.1861796E-51.00.04.0345374E-55.0835333E-55.0835333E-51.00.04.910942E-46.1875384E-46.1875384E-41.00.00.00490010340.0061712590.0061712591.00.0
7.57.2101157E-69.15899E-69.15899E-61.00.03.090013E-53.925227E-53.925227E-51.00.03.7614413E-44.777994E-44.777994E-41.00.00.00375508070.0047684970.0047684971.00.0
7.63.296375E-64.546278E-64.546278E-61.00.01.4127245E-51.948391E-51.948391E-51.00.01.7198564E-42.3719217E-42.3719217E-41.00.00.00171852590.00236952750.00236952751.00.0
7.72.5741092E-63.5851394E-63.5851394E-61.00.01.103185E-51.53648E-51.53648E-51.00.01.3430449E-41.870517E-41.870517E-41.00.00.00134223350.00186907260.00186907261.00.0

Surprise Valley 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.0396248E-54.4851968E-55.485152E-51.22294571.0E-51.7311527E-41.9220974E-42.0220783E-41.05201651.0E-50.0021056410.0023378520.00234782861.00426751.0E-50.0208580080.0231543030.023173841.00084382.0E-5
6.14.0396248E-54.4851968E-55.485152E-51.22294571.0E-51.7311527E-41.9220974E-42.0220783E-41.05201651.0E-50.0021056410.0023378520.00234782861.00426751.0E-50.0208580080.0231543030.023173841.00084382.0E-5
6.22.2295266E-52.4401555E-53.4401313E-51.40979991.0E-59.554764E-51.0457408E-41.14573035E-41.0956161.0E-50.00116267170.00127247660.00128246391.00784871.0E-50.0115660740.0126551390.0126748861.00156032.0E-5
6.31.572643E-51.7097005E-52.7096834E-51.58488771.0E-56.7397246E-57.327088E-58.327015E-51.13646981.0E-58.202525E-48.917184E-49.017094E-41.01120441.0E-50.0081723150.008882510.0088924211.00111581.0E-5
6.41.5714395E-51.7084827E-52.7084656E-51.58530471.0E-56.734567E-57.321869E-58.321796E-51.13656711.0E-58.1962504E-48.910835E-49.0107456E-41.01121231.0E-50.0081660860.0088762110.0088861221.00111661.0E-5
6.51.2733495E-51.3801754E-51.3801754E-51.00.05.457098E-55.914907E-55.914907E-51.00.06.641992E-47.199087E-47.199087E-41.00.00.00662217430.00717645930.00717645931.00.0
6.61.0983784E-51.1886684E-51.1886684E-51.00.04.7072506E-55.0941966E-55.0941966E-51.00.05.7295704E-46.2004727E-46.2004727E-41.00.00.00571482070.0061837220.0061837221.00.0
6.79.104806E-69.839597E-69.839597E-61.00.03.902001E-54.2169042E-54.2169042E-51.00.04.7496508E-45.1329104E-45.1329104E-41.00.00.0047395120.0051214520.0051214521.00.0
6.86.2162403E-66.7042038E-66.7042038E-61.00.02.6640759E-52.8731998E-52.8731998E-51.00.03.2430296E-43.4975816E-43.4975816E-41.00.00.0032383010.00349230020.00349230021.00.0
6.94.1792696E-64.5032766E-64.5032766E-61.00.01.7911032E-51.9299621E-51.9299621E-51.00.02.1804498E-42.3494911E-42.3494911E-41.00.00.00217831160.00234716040.00234716041.00.0
7.02.7478413E-62.9622734E-62.9622734E-61.00.01.177641E-51.2695402E-51.2695402E-51.00.01.4336836E-41.5455681E-41.5455681E-41.00.00.0014327590.00154461560.00154461561.00.0
7.18.128648E-78.725007E-78.725007E-71.00.03.4837017E-63.739287E-63.739287E-61.00.04.2413245E-54.5525467E-54.5525467E-51.00.04.2405148E-44.5522023E-44.5522023E-41.00.0
7.24.8641045E-84.9402168E-84.9402168E-81.00.02.084616E-72.1172356E-72.1172356E-71.00.02.538017E-62.5777315E-62.5777315E-61.00.02.537988E-52.5777028E-52.5777028E-51.00.0
7.35.3911844E-95.4758256E-95.4758256E-91.00.02.3105075E-82.3467823E-82.3467823E-81.00.02.8130427E-72.8572074E-72.8572074E-71.00.02.8130391E-62.8572053E-62.8572053E-61.00.0

Hosgri (Extension)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1369135E-51.20832E-51.20832E-51.00.04.8723956E-55.1784245E-56.178373E-51.19309891.0E-55.9305265E-46.3031353E-46.403072E-41.01585511.0E-50.0059147250.00628750630.00630738071.0031612.0E-5
6.16.934979E-67.324637E-67.324637E-61.00.02.9721E-53.1390948E-53.1390948E-51.00.03.617931E-43.821219E-43.821219E-41.00.00.00361204640.00381506120.0038250231.00261121.0E-5
6.26.934979E-67.324637E-67.324637E-61.00.02.9721E-53.1390948E-53.1390948E-51.00.03.617931E-43.821219E-43.821219E-41.00.00.00361204640.00381506120.0038250231.00261121.0E-5
6.34.5484676E-64.7693884E-64.7693884E-61.00.01.9493287E-52.0440079E-52.0440079E-51.00.02.3730492E-42.4882995E-42.4882995E-41.00.00.00237051680.0024855560.0024855561.00.0
6.44.218095E-64.4169165E-64.4169165E-61.00.01.8077424E-51.8929508E-51.8929508E-51.00.02.2007042E-42.304427E-42.304427E-41.00.00.0021985260.00230207080.00230207081.00.0
6.53.717374E-63.883928E-63.883928E-61.00.01.5931506E-51.6645301E-51.6645301E-51.00.01.9394881E-42.0263788E-42.0263788E-41.00.00.00193779620.00202454980.00202454981.00.0
6.63.4605036E-63.6083538E-63.6083538E-61.00.01.4830645E-51.5464282E-51.5464282E-51.00.01.8054814E-41.8826152E-41.8826152E-41.00.00.00180401520.0018810350.0018810351.00.0
6.73.123439E-63.246613E-63.246613E-61.00.01.33860985E-51.3913982E-51.3913982E-51.00.01.6296357E-41.6938966E-41.6938966E-41.00.00.0016284410.00169261650.00169261651.00.0
6.82.8290783E-62.9305816E-62.9305816E-61.00.01.2124565E-51.2559575E-51.2559575E-51.00.01.4760658E-41.5290218E-41.5290218E-41.00.00.00147508570.00152797860.00152797861.00.0
6.92.454112E-62.5283568E-62.5283568E-61.00.01.0517581E-51.0835771E-51.0835771E-51.00.01.2804402E-41.3191758E-41.3191758E-41.00.00.00127970280.00131839890.00131839891.00.0
7.02.1008145E-62.149904E-62.149904E-61.00.09.003459E-69.2138425E-69.2138425E-61.00.01.096116E-41.1217279E-41.1217279E-41.00.00.00109557550.00112116550.00112116551.00.0
7.11.744384E-61.7686655E-61.7686655E-61.00.07.47591E-67.579973E-67.579973E-61.00.09.1015405E-59.228228E-59.228228E-51.00.09.097813E-49.224413E-49.224413E-41.00.0
7.21.5456587E-61.5563166E-61.5563166E-61.00.06.6242346E-66.6699113E-66.6699113E-61.00.08.064707E-58.120316E-58.120316E-51.00.08.0617814E-48.117361E-48.117361E-41.00.0
7.31.3775123E-61.3766349E-61.3766349E-61.00.05.9036106E-65.8998507E-65.8998507E-61.00.07.187409E-57.1828326E-57.1828326E-51.00.07.185085E-47.180521E-47.180521E-41.00.0
7.41.214491E-61.2023712E-61.2023712E-61.00.05.2049513E-65.153009E-65.153009E-61.00.06.336844E-56.2736086E-56.2736086E-51.00.06.335037E-46.271846E-46.271846E-41.00.0
7.51.0101123E-69.842478E-79.842478E-71.00.04.3290456E-64.218198E-64.218198E-61.00.05.2704854E-55.1355353E-55.1355353E-51.00.05.2692357E-45.1343546E-45.1343546E-41.00.0
7.68.1558215E-77.766179E-77.766179E-71.00.03.4953473E-63.3283584E-63.3283584E-61.00.04.255502E-54.0522013E-54.0522013E-51.00.04.2546875E-44.0514668E-44.0514668E-41.00.0
7.74.757816E-74.1310682E-74.1310682E-71.00.02.0390623E-61.7704566E-61.7704566E-61.00.02.4825302E-52.1555097E-52.1555097E-51.00.02.482253E-42.1553019E-42.1553019E-41.00.0
7.82.782787E-72.00493E-72.00493E-71.00.01.1926223E-68.5925547E-78.5925547E-71.00.01.452008E-51.04613855E-51.04613855E-51.00.01.4519131E-41.0460896E-41.0460896E-41.00.0
7.91.6948086E-79.2453185E-89.2453185E-81.00.07.2634634E-73.9622788E-73.9622788E-71.00.08.843231E-64.8240636E-64.8240636E-61.00.08.842879E-54.8239595E-54.8239595E-51.00.0
8.01.0225492E-74.4745146E-84.4745146E-81.00.04.382353E-71.917649E-71.917649E-71.00.05.335502E-62.3347352E-62.3347352E-61.00.05.335374E-52.334711E-52.334711E-51.00.0
8.11.43711345E-85.7886886E-95.7886886E-91.00.06.1590576E-82.4808667E-82.4808667E-81.00.07.4986497E-73.0204546E-73.0204546E-71.00.07.4986247E-63.0204512E-63.0204512E-61.00.0

San Cayetano

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.3476267E-51.8169507E-51.8169507E-51.00.01.0060869E-47.786701E-57.786701E-51.00.00.00122422259.476222E-49.476222E-41.00.00.0121750020.0094371010.0094569121.00209932.0E-5
6.12.3476267E-51.8169507E-51.8169507E-51.00.01.0060869E-47.786701E-57.786701E-51.00.00.00122422259.476222E-49.476222E-41.00.00.0121750020.0094371010.0094569121.00209932.0E-5
6.22.3476267E-51.8169507E-51.8169507E-51.00.01.0060869E-47.786701E-57.786701E-51.00.00.00122422259.476222E-49.476222E-41.00.00.0121750020.0094371010.0094569121.00209932.0E-5
6.32.3476267E-51.8169507E-51.8169507E-51.00.01.0060869E-47.786701E-57.786701E-51.00.00.00122422259.476222E-49.476222E-41.00.00.0121750020.0094371010.0094569121.00209932.0E-5
6.42.3476267E-51.8169507E-51.8169507E-51.00.01.0060869E-47.786701E-57.786701E-51.00.00.00122422259.476222E-49.476222E-41.00.00.0121750020.0094371010.0094569121.00209932.0E-5
6.52.3476267E-51.8169507E-51.8169507E-51.00.01.0060869E-47.786701E-57.786701E-51.00.00.00122422259.476222E-49.476222E-41.00.00.0121750020.0094371010.0094569121.00209932.0E-5
6.62.3476267E-51.8169507E-51.8169507E-51.00.01.0060869E-47.786701E-57.786701E-51.00.00.00122422259.476222E-49.476222E-41.00.00.0121750020.0094371010.0094569121.00209932.0E-5
6.72.3476267E-51.8169507E-51.8169507E-51.00.01.0060869E-47.786701E-57.786701E-51.00.00.00122422259.476222E-49.476222E-41.00.00.0121750020.0094371010.0094569121.00209932.0E-5
6.82.3241924E-51.7937233E-51.7937233E-51.00.09.960445E-57.6871605E-57.6871605E-51.00.00.00121200959.355136E-49.355136E-41.00.00.0120542040.0093167790.0093365921.00212672.0E-5
6.92.2761007E-51.743266E-51.743266E-51.00.09.7543525E-57.470928E-57.470928E-51.00.00.00118694549.092093E-49.092093E-41.00.00.0118062560.0090558950.0090757141.00218862.0E-5
7.02.240283E-51.7066408E-51.7066408E-51.00.09.600859E-57.3139716E-57.3139716E-51.00.00.00116827778.901157E-48.901157E-41.00.00.0116215490.0088664880.008886311.00223572.0E-5
7.12.1871154E-51.6586284E-51.6586284E-51.00.09.373015E-57.1082155E-57.1082155E-51.00.00.00114056718.6508493E-48.6508493E-41.00.00.0113473090.0086181440.0086379721.00230072.0E-5
7.22.0714133E-51.5564807E-51.5564807E-51.00.08.8771834E-56.670463E-56.670463E-51.00.00.00108026118.118295E-48.118295E-41.00.00.0107502490.0080895820.0081094211.00245242.0E-5
7.31.8408395E-51.3997041E-51.3997041E-51.00.07.8890735E-55.9985956E-55.9985956E-51.00.09.600714E-47.300873E-47.300873E-41.00.00.0095593420.0072777680.00729762251.00272812.0E-5
7.41.6856795E-51.2850253E-51.2850253E-51.00.07.2241404E-55.5071367E-55.5071367E-51.00.08.7918417E-46.702905E-46.702905E-41.00.00.008757140.0066835180.00670338471.00297252.0E-5
7.51.2822778E-59.577563E-69.577563E-61.00.05.495361E-54.1046063E-54.1046063E-51.00.06.688548E-44.9962284E-44.9962284E-41.00.00.0066684520.0049853410.0049952911.00199591.0E-5
7.65.6272684E-63.8549674E-63.8549674E-61.00.02.4116642E-51.6521184E-51.6521184E-51.00.02.9358055E-42.0112695E-42.0112695E-41.00.00.00293193010.00200946020.00200946021.00.0
7.73.5261346E-62.3407508E-62.3407508E-61.00.01.5111918E-51.0031751E-51.0031751E-51.00.01.8397206E-41.221298E-41.221298E-41.00.00.00183819840.00122063410.00122063411.00.0
7.81.4826929E-61.0564586E-61.0564586E-61.00.06.354383E-64.527672E-64.527672E-61.00.07.736187E-55.512303E-55.512303E-51.00.07.733494E-45.510956E-45.510956E-41.00.0
7.92.7568166E-71.6978433E-71.6978433E-71.00.01.1814923E-67.276469E-77.276469E-71.00.01.4384574E-58.859066E-68.859066E-61.00.01.4383643E-48.858716E-58.858716E-51.00.0
8.05.407832E-82.68885E-82.68885E-81.00.02.3176422E-71.15236425E-71.15236425E-71.00.02.8217257E-61.4030026E-61.4030026E-61.00.02.8216898E-51.4029942E-51.4029942E-51.00.0

Northridge

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.8340852E-57.5880284E-67.5880284E-61.00.07.860128E-53.251973E-53.251973E-51.00.09.565505E-43.9585796E-43.9585796E-41.00.00.0095244350.0039517620.0039716831.0050412.0E-5
6.11.8340852E-57.5880284E-67.5880284E-61.00.07.860128E-53.251973E-53.251973E-51.00.09.565505E-43.9585796E-43.9585796E-41.00.00.0095244350.0039517620.0039716831.0050412.0E-5
6.21.8340852E-57.5880284E-67.5880284E-61.00.07.860128E-53.251973E-53.251973E-51.00.09.565505E-43.9585796E-43.9585796E-41.00.00.0095244350.0039517620.0039716831.0050412.0E-5
6.31.8340852E-57.5880284E-67.5880284E-61.00.07.860128E-53.251973E-53.251973E-51.00.09.565505E-43.9585796E-43.9585796E-41.00.00.0095244350.0039517620.0039716831.0050412.0E-5
6.41.7361892E-57.5880284E-67.5880284E-61.00.07.440598E-53.251973E-53.251973E-51.00.09.055163E-43.9585796E-43.9585796E-41.00.00.0090183540.0039517620.0039716831.0050412.0E-5
6.51.7361892E-57.5880284E-67.5880284E-61.00.07.440598E-53.251973E-53.251973E-51.00.09.055163E-43.9585796E-43.9585796E-41.00.00.0090183540.0039517620.0039716831.0050412.0E-5
6.61.5458201E-57.5880284E-67.5880284E-61.00.06.624775E-53.251973E-53.251973E-51.00.08.0626784E-43.9585796E-43.9585796E-41.00.00.0080334880.0039517620.0039716831.0050412.0E-5
6.71.2538368E-56.381612E-66.381612E-61.00.05.3734755E-52.734948E-52.734948E-51.00.06.5402425E-43.3292949E-43.3292949E-41.00.00.00652102750.00332436640.00334431.00599622.0E-5
6.81.1438097E-56.3502694E-66.3502694E-61.00.04.9019498E-52.721516E-52.721516E-51.00.05.9664896E-43.312946E-43.312946E-41.00.00.0059504950.00330806640.00331803321.00301291.0E-5
6.91.1204891E-56.2867225E-66.2867225E-61.00.04.8020076E-52.6942822E-52.6942822E-51.00.05.8448757E-43.279799E-43.279799E-41.00.00.00582952660.00327501750.00328498471.00304341.0E-5
7.01.061046E-56.115376E-66.115376E-61.00.04.5472607E-52.6208494E-52.6208494E-51.00.05.534883E-43.1904213E-43.1904213E-41.00.00.00552111770.0031858870.0031958551.00312891.0E-5
7.11.0266979E-56.004295E-66.004295E-61.00.04.40006E-52.5732441E-52.5732441E-51.00.05.355756E-43.1324785E-43.1324785E-41.00.00.00534286680.00312810860.00313807721.00318681.0E-5
7.29.91273E-65.820007E-65.820007E-61.00.04.248244E-52.494265E-52.494265E-51.00.05.171009E-43.0363488E-43.0363488E-41.00.00.00515899340.00303224520.00304221481.00328791.0E-5
7.38.4959265E-65.193102E-65.193102E-61.00.03.6410605E-52.2255961E-52.2255961E-51.00.04.4320893E-42.7093288E-42.7093288E-41.00.00.004423260.0027060520.00271602491.00368551.0E-5
7.48.0847185E-64.9819787E-64.9819787E-61.00.03.4648332E-52.1351163E-52.1351163E-51.00.04.2176177E-42.5991965E-42.5991965E-41.00.00.00420962230.00259618230.00260615631.00384181.0E-5
7.56.8220684E-64.2533266E-64.2533266E-61.00.02.9237108E-51.8228417E-51.8228417E-51.00.03.5590364E-42.2190856E-42.2190856E-41.00.00.00355334180.00221689070.00222686861.00450091.0E-5
7.64.4224143E-62.899968E-62.899968E-61.00.01.8953066E-51.2428376E-51.2428376E-51.00.02.3072914E-41.5130508E-41.5130508E-41.00.00.00230489740.00151203220.00151203221.00.0
7.72.5297056E-61.6046126E-61.6046126E-61.00.01.0841551E-56.8768936E-66.8768936E-61.00.01.319879E-48.372301E-58.372301E-51.00.00.00131909538.3691935E-48.3691935E-41.00.0
7.81.2508156E-68.7802323E-78.7802323E-71.00.05.3606273E-63.7629513E-63.7629513E-61.00.06.526368E-54.5812983E-54.5812983E-51.00.06.524452E-44.5803667E-44.5803667E-41.00.0
7.92.262199E-71.4665106E-71.4665106E-71.00.09.695135E-76.285044E-76.285044E-71.00.01.1803763E-57.652015E-67.652015E-61.00.01.1803136E-47.6517594E-57.6517594E-51.00.0
8.02.865362E-91.2753111E-91.2753111E-91.00.01.2280123E-85.465619E-95.465619E-91.00.01.4951048E-76.654391E-86.654391E-81.00.01.4951038E-66.6543913E-76.6543913E-71.00.0

San Andreas (Santa Cruz Mts) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.7221631E-41.3799455E-41.3799455E-41.00.07.378611E-45.912732E-46.0126727E-41.01690271.0E-50.0089465150.0071754340.00718536231.00138371.0E-50.085947940.07059090.070609491.00026332.0E-5
6.11.7221631E-41.3799455E-41.3799455E-41.00.07.378611E-45.912732E-46.0126727E-41.01690271.0E-50.0089465150.0071754340.00718536231.00138371.0E-50.085947940.07059090.070609491.00026332.0E-5
6.21.7221631E-41.3799455E-41.3799455E-41.00.07.378611E-45.912732E-46.0126727E-41.01690271.0E-50.0089465150.0071754340.00718536231.00138371.0E-50.085947940.07059090.070609491.00026332.0E-5
6.31.716926E-41.3718852E-41.3718852E-41.00.07.3561794E-45.8782037E-45.978145E-41.0170021.0E-50.0089194280.00713367060.00714359941.00139181.0E-50.085698090.070205740.070224341.00026492.0E-5
6.41.6392978E-41.3594677E-41.3594677E-41.00.07.02367E-45.82501E-45.9249514E-41.01715731.0E-50.0085178390.0070693280.0070792571.00140451.0E-50.081986540.069439730.069458341.0002682.0E-5
6.51.5742714E-41.2654555E-41.2654555E-41.00.06.745133E-45.4222706E-45.522216E-41.01843251.0E-50.008181320.00658201050.00659194451.00150931.0E-50.0788659450.064905670.0649243741.00028812.0E-5
6.61.3038084E-41.1594578E-41.1594578E-41.00.05.5865536E-44.9681717E-45.068122E-41.02011811.0E-50.0067804380.0060322690.00604220851.00164771.0E-50.06577250.059360880.0593796931.0003172.0E-5
6.71.2867592E-41.1321072E-41.1321072E-41.00.05.5135164E-44.8509985E-44.95095E-41.02060441.0E-50.00669206540.00589038940.0059003311.00168761.0E-50.064940930.05807180.058090641.00032442.0E-5
6.81.2801298E-41.12586225E-41.12586225E-41.00.05.485117E-44.8242445E-44.9241964E-41.02071861.0E-50.00665770050.0058579390.00586788031.00169711.0E-50.064617380.057785630.0578044761.00032622.0E-5
6.91.269149E-41.1100813E-41.1100813E-41.00.05.4380763E-44.7566366E-44.856589E-41.02101331.0E-50.0066007770.00577606540.00578600771.00172131.0E-50.064081220.057057460.0570763161.00033062.0E-5
7.01.2030331E-41.0830798E-41.0830798E-41.00.05.154837E-44.6409573E-44.740911E-41.02153731.0E-50.0062579690.00563596240.0056459061.00176431.0E-50.060846480.0557301980.055749081.00033892.0E-5
7.18.049617E-55.3974167E-55.3974167E-51.00.03.4493793E-42.3129754E-42.4129523E-41.04322431.0E-50.00419153460.00281244590.00282241781.00354561.0E-50.0411335160.029641850.0296612571.00065472.0E-5
7.27.093979E-54.2981093E-54.2981093E-51.00.03.0399222E-41.8419181E-41.9418997E-41.05428121.0E-50.00369482530.00224025170.00225022951.00445381.0E-50.036339940.0239627230.0239822441.00081472.0E-5
7.36.193693E-52.892363E-52.892363E-51.00.02.6541698E-41.2395254E-41.339513E-41.08066611.0E-50.00322666370.00150807920.00151806411.0066211.0E-50.0318021330.0165141320.0165338011.00119112.0E-5
7.45.906492E-52.704955E-52.704955E-51.00.02.5311083E-41.15921495E-41.2592034E-41.08625531.0E-50.00307726980.00141043190.00142041781.00708011.0E-50.0303500440.0154844770.0155041671.00127162.0E-5
7.55.424296E-52.4700184E-52.4700184E-51.00.02.324491E-41.0585365E-41.1585259E-41.094461.0E-50.0028263950.00128800750.00129799451.0077541.0E-50.0279071650.014174640.0141943571.00139092.0E-5
7.64.43084E-51.9918234E-51.9918234E-51.00.01.8987931E-48.536106E-59.5360214E-51.11713951.0E-50.00230932960.00103877580.00104876541.00961671.0E-50.0228547830.0114201520.0114399241.00173132.0E-5
7.74.118098E-51.8949535E-51.8949535E-51.00.01.7647797E-48.1209764E-59.120895E-51.12312791.0E-50.0021465029.882806E-49.982707E-41.01010861.0E-50.0212588660.01087752450.0108973071.00181872.0E-5
7.83.5408906E-51.85772E-51.85772E-51.00.01.5174363E-47.961415E-58.961335E-51.12559581.0E-50.00184591319.688714E-49.788617E-41.01031121.0E-50.0183065520.0106588790.0106786661.00185632.0E-5
7.92.5860836E-51.7327653E-51.7327653E-51.00.01.10827445E-47.425925E-58.4258514E-51.13465331.0E-50.0013484899.037317E-49.137226E-41.01105521.0E-50.0134033540.009913760.0099335621.00199742.0E-5
8.01.9777332E-51.4849638E-51.4849638E-51.00.08.4757245E-56.363975E-57.363912E-51.15712451.0E-50.00103143097.745388E-47.8453106E-41.0129011.0E-50.0102665670.0085142520.0085340811.0023292.0E-5
8.11.468494E-51.21155035E-51.21155035E-51.00.06.293394E-55.1922554E-56.192204E-51.19258451.0E-57.6595135E-46.319739E-46.419676E-41.01581351.0E-50.00763316640.006973510.0069933711.0028482.0E-5
8.28.63836E-65.472861E-65.472861E-61.00.03.7021015E-52.3454908E-52.3454908E-51.00.04.5063766E-42.8552618E-42.8552618E-41.00.00.0044972490.00324782820.00324782821.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6647797E-77.6647797E-71.00.08.498917E-63.2849016E-63.2849016E-61.00.01.034694E-43.999296E-53.999296E-51.00.00.00103421244.7228087E-44.7228087E-41.00.0

Santa Susana alt 1

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.674877E-52.7198794E-52.7198794E-51.00.01.1463255E-41.1656169E-41.2656052E-41.08578151.0E-50.00139475780.00141832840.00143831.01408112.0E-50.0138603620.0141047020.014124421.0013982.0E-5
6.12.674877E-52.7198794E-52.7198794E-51.00.01.1463255E-41.1656169E-41.2656052E-41.08578151.0E-50.00139475780.00141832840.00143831.01408112.0E-50.0138603620.0141047020.014124421.0013982.0E-5
6.22.674877E-52.7198794E-52.7198794E-51.00.01.1463255E-41.1656169E-41.2656052E-41.08578151.0E-50.00139475780.00141832840.00143831.01408112.0E-50.0138603620.0141047020.014124421.0013982.0E-5
6.32.674877E-52.7198794E-52.7198794E-51.00.01.1463255E-41.1656169E-41.2656052E-41.08578151.0E-50.00139475780.00141832840.00143831.01408112.0E-50.0138603620.0141047020.014124421.0013982.0E-5
6.42.674877E-52.7198794E-52.7198794E-51.00.01.1463255E-41.1656169E-41.2656052E-41.08578151.0E-50.00139475780.00141832840.00143831.01408112.0E-50.0138603620.0141047020.014124421.0013982.0E-5
6.52.674877E-52.7198794E-52.7198794E-51.00.01.1463255E-41.1656169E-41.2656052E-41.08578151.0E-50.00139475780.00141832840.00143831.01408112.0E-50.0138603620.0141047020.014124421.0013982.0E-5
6.62.6647976E-52.707513E-52.707513E-51.00.01.14200615E-41.1603175E-41.2603059E-41.08617331.0E-50.00138950560.00141188470.00143185641.01414552.0E-50.0138084940.0140410850.0140608041.00140442.0E-5
6.72.6647976E-52.707513E-52.707513E-51.00.01.14200615E-41.1603175E-41.2603059E-41.08617331.0E-50.00138950560.00141188470.00143185641.01414552.0E-50.0138084940.0140410850.0140608041.00140442.0E-5
6.81.9073179E-51.7637734E-51.7637734E-51.00.08.1739636E-57.558821E-58.5587446E-51.13228581.0E-59.947256E-49.1991597E-49.3989755E-41.02172112.0E-50.0099028480.0091635150.0091833311.00216262.0E-5
6.91.9041876E-51.7619866E-51.7619866E-51.00.08.160549E-57.551163E-58.5510874E-51.132421.0E-59.930939E-49.189845E-49.3896606E-41.02174322.0E-50.00988667550.0091542760.0091740931.00216472.0E-5
7.01.5917482E-51.386421E-51.386421E-51.00.06.8215995E-55.9416718E-56.941612E-51.16829281.0E-58.302132E-47.231631E-47.431486E-41.02763632.0E-50.0082711850.00720916180.00722901761.00275422.0E-5
7.11.577788E-51.3744216E-51.3744216E-51.00.06.761774E-55.890248E-56.8901885E-51.16976211.0E-58.2293496E-47.1690633E-47.36892E-41.02787772.0E-50.0081989410.00714699830.00716685551.00277842.0E-5
7.21.5416446E-51.3470286E-51.3470286E-51.00.06.606882E-55.7728546E-56.772797E-51.17321461.0E-58.0409093E-47.0262305E-47.22609E-41.02844482.0E-50.0080118770.00700507030.00702493031.0028352.0E-5
7.31.4534083E-51.2718177E-51.2718177E-51.00.06.228744E-55.4505355E-56.450481E-51.18345821.0E-57.580857E-46.634051E-46.833919E-41.03012752.0E-50.0075550480.006615260.0066351281.00300342.0E-5
7.41.2858995E-51.1229932E-51.1229932E-51.00.05.5108816E-54.8127415E-55.8126934E-51.20777181.0E-56.7074323E-45.857977E-46.05786E-41.03412152.0E-50.00668722340.0058434610.00586334431.00340262.0E-5
7.58.827668E-67.805573E-67.805573E-61.00.03.7832317E-53.3452037E-54.3451702E-51.29892541.0E-54.605111E-44.072049E-44.2719676E-41.04909532.0E-50.00459557960.00406501070.00408492941.00492.0E-5
7.63.2533426E-62.8720272E-62.8720272E-61.00.01.3942822E-51.2308632E-52.230851E-51.8124281.0E-51.6974064E-41.4984766E-41.5984617E-41.06672441.0E-50.00169611040.0014975030.00150748811.00666771.0E-5
7.71.2751709E-61.1491396E-61.1491396E-61.00.05.4650063E-64.924875E-64.924875E-61.00.06.653442E-55.9958795E-55.9958795E-51.00.06.6514505E-45.994351E-45.994351E-41.00.0
7.83.067544E-73.2400797E-73.2400797E-71.00.01.3146611E-61.3886049E-61.3886049E-61.00.01.600588E-51.6906144E-51.6906144E-51.00.01.6004729E-41.6904961E-41.6904961E-41.00.0
7.97.622999E-88.08804E-88.08804E-81.00.03.2669993E-73.4663023E-73.4663023E-71.00.03.977564E-64.2202173E-64.2202173E-61.00.03.977493E-54.220158E-54.220158E-51.00.0

Hayward (So) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.8091932E-43.5710505E-43.5710505E-41.00.07.751381E-40.00152956240.00152956241.00.00.009396540.0184658190.0184756351.00053161.0E-50.0900900660.166737530.166754191.00009992.0E-5
6.11.8091932E-43.5710505E-43.5710505E-41.00.07.751381E-40.00152956240.00152956241.00.00.009396540.0184658190.0184756351.00053161.0E-50.0900900660.166737530.166754191.00009992.0E-5
6.21.8091932E-43.5710505E-43.5710505E-41.00.07.751381E-40.00152956240.00152956241.00.00.009396540.0184658190.0184756351.00053161.0E-50.0900900660.166737530.166754191.00009992.0E-5
6.31.7322872E-43.426729E-43.426729E-41.00.07.4219756E-40.00146778110.00146778111.00.00.00899887550.0177260820.0177359041.00055411.0E-50.086430750.160685510.16070231.00010442.0E-5
6.41.6334097E-43.2348928E-43.2348928E-41.00.06.998449E-40.00138565480.00138565481.00.00.0084873720.0167418590.0167516921.00058731.0E-50.0817044150.15256720.152584151.00011112.0E-5
6.51.5600289E-43.102356E-43.102356E-41.00.06.684125E-40.0013289120.0013289121.00.00.0081075980.0160613660.0160712061.00061261.0E-50.0781810360.146843980.146861051.00011622.0E-5
6.61.4046066E-42.8037324E-42.8037324E-41.00.06.018354E-40.0012010530.0012010531.00.00.00730275550.0145262780.0145361331.00067841.0E-50.070673840.13392790.133936551.00006461.0E-5
6.71.14696966E-42.3275505E-42.3275505E-41.00.04.914658E-49.971453E-49.971453E-41.00.00.00596719240.012073730.012083611.00081831.0E-50.0580948220.112740960.112749841.00007871.0E-5
6.89.3874296E-51.886479E-41.886479E-41.00.04.0225635E-48.0824416E-48.0824416E-41.00.00.00488647870.0097967090.0098066111.00101081.0E-50.0478041730.09259350.092602571.0000981.0E-5
6.95.551852E-51.0731538E-41.0731538E-41.00.02.3791482E-44.5984262E-44.5984262E-41.00.00.00289276540.00558433080.00558433081.00.00.0285539810.054247290.054247291.00.0
7.04.2662363E-58.2480685E-58.2480685E-51.00.01.8282588E-43.5344114E-43.5344114E-41.00.00.00222363280.0042947290.0042947291.00.00.0220151380.0420716740.0420716741.00.0
7.13.305886E-56.303226E-56.303226E-51.00.01.4167312E-42.701104E-42.701104E-41.00.00.00172350560.00328365390.00328365391.00.00.0171019980.032458390.032458391.00.0
7.22.9856887E-55.7026133E-55.7026133E-51.00.01.2795182E-42.443749E-42.443749E-41.00.00.00155670010.0029712220.0029712221.00.00.0154584030.0294588380.0294588381.00.0
7.32.4559737E-54.6001245E-54.6001245E-51.00.01.0525176E-41.9713337E-41.9713337E-41.00.00.00128068690.002397470.002397471.00.00.0127333130.023861880.023861881.00.0
7.41.9002231E-53.505791E-53.505791E-51.00.08.143559E-51.5023959E-41.5023959E-41.00.09.910273E-40.00182764220.00182764221.00.00.0098661940.0182618420.0182618421.00.0
7.51.2783333E-52.3334587E-52.3334587E-51.00.05.4784563E-51.00001576E-41.00001576E-41.00.06.667979E-40.00121684490.00121684491.00.00.0066480070.0122107750.0122107751.00.0
7.64.8149627E-68.889608E-68.889608E-61.00.02.063539E-53.809777E-53.809777E-51.00.02.5120692E-44.6374285E-44.6374285E-41.00.00.00250923140.0046811070.0046811071.00.0
7.76.0838227E-71.2063123E-61.2063123E-61.00.02.6073499E-65.1699E-65.1699E-61.00.03.174402E-56.294171E-56.294171E-51.00.03.1739488E-46.5322954E-46.5322954E-41.00.0
7.84.5542808E-79.797777E-79.797777E-71.00.01.9518332E-64.1990406E-64.1990406E-61.00.02.376331E-55.1122122E-55.1122122E-51.00.02.3760769E-45.3240365E-45.3240365E-41.00.0
7.93.3016747E-77.3905267E-77.3905267E-71.00.01.4150027E-63.1673646E-63.1673646E-61.00.01.7227521E-53.8561986E-53.8561986E-51.00.01.7226185E-43.9950482E-43.9950482E-41.00.0
8.02.347038E-75.4744874E-75.4744874E-71.00.01.0058731E-62.3462067E-62.3462067E-61.00.01.2246436E-52.8564695E-52.8564695E-51.00.01.2245761E-42.936959E-42.936959E-41.00.0
8.11.18822804E-72.60728E-72.60728E-71.00.05.092405E-71.1174052E-61.1174052E-61.00.06.1999854E-61.3604324E-51.3604324E-51.00.06.199812E-51.3924051E-41.3924051E-41.00.0

Palos Verdes

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.126063E-57.622823E-57.622823E-51.00.02.6251914E-43.2665484E-43.2665484E-41.00.00.00319148650.00397030170.00398026171.00250881.0E-50.0314603930.039050320.0390695371.00049222.0E-5
6.16.126063E-57.622823E-57.622823E-51.00.02.6251914E-43.2665484E-43.2665484E-41.00.00.00319148650.00397030170.00398026171.00250881.0E-50.0314603930.039050320.0390695371.00049222.0E-5
6.26.126063E-57.622823E-57.622823E-51.00.02.6251914E-43.2665484E-43.2665484E-41.00.00.00319148650.00397030170.00398026171.00250881.0E-50.0314603930.039050320.0390695371.00049222.0E-5
6.34.0838047E-54.9750462E-54.9750462E-51.00.01.7500846E-42.1320012E-42.1320012E-41.00.00.00212864580.00259282930.00260280331.00384681.0E-50.0210837090.025647480.0256669671.00075982.0E-5
6.44.0838047E-54.9750462E-54.9750462E-51.00.01.7500846E-42.1320012E-42.1320012E-41.00.00.00212864580.00259282930.00260280331.00384681.0E-50.0210837090.025647480.0256669671.00075982.0E-5
6.53.0512005E-53.6562564E-53.6562564E-51.00.01.3075917E-41.5668797E-41.5668797E-41.00.00.00159083040.00190612240.00191610341.00523631.0E-50.0157949030.0189096690.018929291.00103772.0E-5
6.62.9255087E-53.515534E-53.515534E-51.00.01.2537291E-41.506577E-41.506577E-41.00.00.00152534640.00183282750.00184280911.00544611.0E-50.0151491890.0181887280.0182083641.00107962.0E-5
6.72.287198E-52.7248976E-52.7248976E-51.00.09.801909E-51.1677662E-41.1677662E-41.00.00.0011927290.00142091970.00143090551.00702771.0E-50.0118634770.0141275770.0141472941.00139572.0E-5
6.82.1325764E-52.5432533E-52.5432533E-51.00.09.139293E-51.0899252E-41.0899252E-41.00.00.0011121410.00132626640.00133625311.007531.0E-50.0110659150.0131925490.0132024171.0007481.0E-5
6.91.9009392E-52.2614122E-52.2614122E-51.00.08.1466285E-59.6914555E-59.6914555E-51.00.09.914007E-40.00117938340.00118937161.0084691.0E-50.0098698940.0117399290.01174981151.00084171.0E-5
7.01.7098473E-52.0319867E-52.0319867E-51.00.07.3277115E-58.708272E-58.708272E-51.00.08.917837E-40.00105980170.0010697911.00942581.0E-50.0088821340.0105559120.0105658061.00093731.0E-5
7.11.5982785E-51.8995239E-51.8995239E-51.00.06.849585E-58.1406106E-58.1406106E-51.00.08.336179E-49.907534E-40.00100074351.01008331.0E-50.0083049770.0098717280.0098816291.0010031.0E-5
7.21.4468002E-51.719767E-51.719767E-51.00.06.200425E-57.370269E-57.370269E-51.00.07.546402E-48.970449E-48.970449E-41.00.00.0075208270.0089425090.0089425091.00.0
7.35.288233E-66.2038207E-66.2038207E-61.00.02.2663658E-52.658773E-52.658773E-51.00.02.7589512E-43.2369242E-43.2369242E-41.00.00.00275552830.00323563230.00323563231.00.0
7.48.279556E-78.408364E-78.408364E-71.00.03.5483763E-63.60358E-63.60358E-61.00.04.3200624E-54.3872777E-54.3872777E-51.00.04.3192226E-44.3864836E-44.3864836E-41.00.0
7.56.559831E-76.667243E-76.667243E-71.00.02.8113532E-62.8573872E-62.8573872E-61.00.03.4227687E-53.47882E-53.47882E-51.00.03.4222414E-43.478342E-43.478342E-41.00.0
7.63.5018968E-73.562011E-73.562011E-71.00.01.500812E-61.5265755E-61.5265755E-61.00.01.8272232E-51.8585944E-51.8585944E-51.00.01.8270731E-41.858485E-41.858485E-41.00.0
7.71.1986104E-71.2198406E-71.2198406E-71.00.05.1369005E-75.227887E-75.227887E-71.00.06.2541585E-66.364934E-66.364934E-61.00.06.2539824E-56.364756E-56.364756E-51.00.0
7.83.0445005E-83.1027664E-83.1027664E-81.00.01.3047858E-71.3297569E-71.3297569E-71.00.01.5885756E-61.6189781E-61.6189781E-61.00.01.5885644E-51.6189684E-51.6189684E-51.00.0

Channel Islands Western Deep Ramp

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.0213506E-66.2549007E-66.2549007E-61.00.02.5805533E-52.6806467E-52.6806467E-51.00.03.1413708E-43.263243E-43.263243E-41.00.00.00313693380.0032588930.0032788281.00611712.0E-5
6.16.0213506E-66.2549007E-66.2549007E-61.00.02.5805533E-52.6806467E-52.6806467E-51.00.03.1413708E-43.263243E-43.263243E-41.00.00.00313693380.0032588930.0032788281.00611712.0E-5
6.26.0213506E-66.2549007E-66.2549007E-61.00.02.5805533E-52.6806467E-52.6806467E-51.00.03.1413708E-43.263243E-43.263243E-41.00.00.00313693380.0032588930.0032788281.00611712.0E-5
6.36.0213506E-66.2549007E-66.2549007E-61.00.02.5805533E-52.6806467E-52.6806467E-51.00.03.1413708E-43.263243E-43.263243E-41.00.00.00313693380.0032588930.0032788281.00611712.0E-5
6.46.0213506E-66.2549007E-66.2549007E-61.00.02.5805533E-52.6806467E-52.6806467E-51.00.03.1413708E-43.263243E-43.263243E-41.00.00.00313693380.0032588930.0032788281.00611712.0E-5
6.56.0213506E-66.2549007E-66.2549007E-61.00.02.5805533E-52.6806467E-52.6806467E-51.00.03.1413708E-43.263243E-43.263243E-41.00.00.00313693380.0032588930.0032788281.00611712.0E-5
6.66.0213506E-66.2549007E-66.2549007E-61.00.02.5805533E-52.6806467E-52.6806467E-51.00.03.1413708E-43.263243E-43.263243E-41.00.00.00313693380.0032588930.0032788281.00611712.0E-5
6.75.313309E-65.52527E-65.52527E-61.00.02.2771126E-52.3679535E-52.3679535E-51.00.02.772032E-42.882643E-42.882643E-41.00.00.00276857660.0028793070.00289924931.00692612.0E-5
6.85.313309E-65.52527E-65.52527E-61.00.02.2771126E-52.3679535E-52.3679535E-51.00.02.772032E-42.882643E-42.882643E-41.00.00.00276857660.0028793070.00289924931.00692612.0E-5
6.94.744377E-64.9394575E-64.9394575E-61.00.02.0332885E-52.1168953E-52.1168953E-51.00.02.4752476E-42.5770525E-42.5770525E-41.00.00.00247249220.00257443150.00258440571.00387431.0E-5
7.04.722209E-64.9165E-64.9165E-61.00.02.0237881E-52.1070566E-52.1070566E-51.00.02.4636835E-42.5650766E-42.5650766E-41.00.00.0024609540.00256248330.00257245781.00389241.0E-5
7.14.611174E-64.8014354E-64.8014354E-61.00.01.9762025E-52.057744E-52.057744E-51.00.02.4057609E-42.5050525E-42.5050525E-41.00.00.0024031580.00250259550.00251257071.00398591.0E-5
7.24.043994E-64.21205E-64.21205E-61.00.01.7331287E-51.8051538E-51.8051538E-51.00.02.10988E-42.1975888E-42.1975888E-41.00.00.0021078780.00219576640.00220574441.00454431.0E-5
7.32.1233036E-62.2298022E-62.2298022E-61.00.09.099841E-69.556261E-69.556261E-61.00.01.1078493E-41.1634132E-41.1634132E-41.00.00.00110729710.00116280970.00116280971.00.0
7.41.9051884E-62.0015107E-62.0015107E-61.00.08.165067E-68.577875E-68.577875E-61.00.09.940516E-51.0443068E-41.0443068E-41.00.09.93607E-40.00104382130.00104382131.00.0
7.51.2408497E-61.3038928E-61.3038928E-61.00.05.317916E-65.5880996E-65.5880996E-61.00.06.4743705E-56.803301E-56.803301E-51.00.06.4724847E-46.8012404E-46.8012404E-41.00.0
7.66.5440025E-76.886766E-76.886766E-71.00.02.8045695E-62.9514679E-62.9514679E-61.00.03.4145098E-53.5933543E-53.5933543E-51.00.03.4139853E-43.5927873E-43.5927873E-41.00.0
7.73.985963E-74.1931077E-74.1931077E-71.00.01.7082689E-61.797045E-61.797045E-61.00.02.0797976E-52.1878815E-52.1878815E-51.00.02.0796029E-42.1876777E-42.1876777E-41.00.0
7.83.706329E-83.8592006E-83.8592006E-81.00.01.5884267E-71.653943E-71.653943E-71.00.01.9339077E-62.0136738E-62.0136738E-61.00.01.933891E-52.0136567E-52.0136567E-51.00.0

Cucamonga

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1848348E-51.1737856E-51.1737856E-51.00.05.0777642E-55.030414E-55.030414E-51.00.06.180424E-46.1228353E-46.1228353E-41.00.00.00616326370.0061070830.00612696071.00325492.0E-5
6.11.1848348E-51.1737856E-51.1737856E-51.00.05.0777642E-55.030414E-55.030414E-51.00.06.180424E-46.1228353E-46.1228353E-41.00.00.00616326370.0061070830.00612696071.00325492.0E-5
6.21.1848348E-51.1737856E-51.1737856E-51.00.05.0777642E-55.030414E-55.030414E-51.00.06.180424E-46.1228353E-46.1228353E-41.00.00.00616326370.0061070830.00612696071.00325492.0E-5
6.31.1848348E-51.1737856E-51.1737856E-51.00.05.0777642E-55.030414E-55.030414E-51.00.06.180424E-46.1228353E-46.1228353E-41.00.00.00616326370.0061070830.00612696071.00325492.0E-5
6.41.1848348E-51.1737856E-51.1737856E-51.00.05.0777642E-55.030414E-55.030414E-51.00.06.180424E-46.1228353E-46.1228353E-41.00.00.00616326370.0061070830.00612696071.00325492.0E-5
6.51.16988695E-51.1576885E-51.1576885E-51.00.05.013705E-54.9614293E-54.9614293E-51.00.06.102476E-46.038893E-46.038893E-41.00.00.0060857450.00602359650.0060434761.00330032.0E-5
6.61.16988695E-51.1576885E-51.1576885E-51.00.05.013705E-54.9614293E-54.9614293E-51.00.06.102476E-46.038893E-46.038893E-41.00.00.0060857450.00602359650.0060434761.00330032.0E-5
6.71.1397107E-51.1115768E-51.1115768E-51.00.04.884383E-54.763815E-54.763815E-51.00.05.9451134E-45.798426E-45.798426E-41.00.00.0059292340.005784390.0057943321.00171881.0E-5
6.81.058387E-59.785688E-69.785688E-61.00.04.5358654E-54.1937994E-54.1937994E-51.00.05.521017E-45.104766E-45.104766E-41.00.00.005507320.0050939910.00510393971.00195311.0E-5
6.99.690046E-68.580108E-68.580108E-61.00.04.1528107E-53.677138E-53.677138E-51.00.05.054874E-44.4759997E-44.4759997E-41.00.00.0050433910.0044678630.00447781851.00222831.0E-5
7.09.381461E-68.187711E-68.187711E-61.00.04.020564E-53.508972E-53.508972E-51.00.04.893937E-44.2713396E-44.2713396E-41.00.00.00488317340.00426400730.00426400731.00.0
7.18.946492E-67.782485E-67.782485E-61.00.03.8341543E-53.3353084E-53.3353084E-51.00.04.667083E-44.0599846E-44.0599846E-41.00.00.00465729370.0040534480.0040534481.00.0
7.28.251016E-66.975837E-66.975837E-61.00.03.5361016E-52.9896102E-52.9896102E-51.00.04.3043532E-43.639245E-43.639245E-41.00.00.00429602530.00363416180.00363416181.00.0
7.37.717881E-66.4868927E-66.4868927E-61.00.03.3076216E-52.7800674E-52.7800674E-51.00.04.026285E-43.3842085E-43.3842085E-41.00.00.0040189980.00337993940.00337993941.00.0
7.47.275623E-66.0325183E-66.0325183E-61.00.03.118087E-52.5853395E-52.5853395E-51.00.03.7956095E-43.1471983E-43.1471983E-41.00.00.00378913320.00314362440.00314362441.00.0
7.56.5109502E-65.101057E-65.101057E-61.00.02.7903774E-52.186149E-52.186149E-51.00.03.3967546E-42.6613128E-42.6613128E-41.00.00.00339156740.00265899840.00265899841.00.0
7.65.4495326E-63.908965E-63.908965E-61.00.02.335493E-51.67526E-51.67526E-51.00.02.8430918E-42.0394388E-42.0394388E-41.00.00.00283945720.00203843410.00203843411.00.0
7.74.7997164E-63.2006137E-63.2006137E-61.00.02.057005E-51.3716844E-51.3716844E-51.00.02.504116E-41.669898E-41.669898E-41.00.00.0025012960.00166952310.00166952311.00.0
7.83.3941733E-62.0644063E-62.0644063E-61.00.01.4546376E-58.847426E-68.847426E-61.00.01.7708774E-41.07712105E-41.07712105E-41.00.00.00176946680.00107668960.00107668961.00.0
7.99.750552E-75.15656E-75.15656E-71.00.04.178801E-62.2099523E-62.2099523E-61.00.05.0875715E-52.6905842E-52.6905842E-51.00.05.086407E-42.6902626E-42.6902626E-41.00.0
8.01.133857E-76.053729E-86.053729E-81.00.04.8593864E-72.594455E-72.594455E-71.00.05.9162867E-63.1587447E-63.1587447E-61.00.05.916129E-53.1587013E-53.1587013E-51.00.0

Great Valley 09 (Laguna Seca)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.4353277E-57.050336E-57.050336E-51.00.02.3292181E-43.0212323E-43.0212323E-41.00.00.00283213520.00367215650.00368211981.00271321.0E-50.027963120.0361172740.0361365531.00053372.0E-5
6.14.5578287E-55.8223057E-55.8223057E-51.00.01.953209E-42.4950382E-42.4950382E-41.00.00.00237543830.00303347550.00303347551.00.00.0235020630.0299210440.0299210441.00.0
6.22.8536782E-53.4737728E-53.4737728E-51.00.01.2229476E-41.4886676E-41.4886676E-41.00.00.00148792170.00181092220.00181092221.00.00.0147799860.0179589040.0179589041.00.0
6.32.3698774E-52.8214345E-52.8214345E-51.00.01.01562226E-41.2091216E-41.2091216E-41.00.00.00123581860.0014711010.0014711011.00.00.0122896860.0146119420.0146119421.00.0
6.41.9191197E-52.2123615E-52.2123615E-51.00.08.2245395E-59.481171E-59.481171E-51.00.00.00100087770.00115372680.00115372681.00.00.0099638180.0114773770.0114773771.00.0
6.51.5203241E-51.6801783E-51.6801783E-51.00.06.5155116E-57.200525E-57.200525E-51.00.07.9297484E-48.763255E-48.763255E-41.00.00.0079015120.0087298230.0087298231.00.0
6.61.0984925E-51.1242807E-51.1242807E-51.00.04.70774E-54.8182592E-54.8182592E-51.00.05.730166E-45.864689E-45.864689E-41.00.00.0057154130.00584960360.00584960361.00.0
6.79.134616E-69.020056E-69.020056E-61.00.03.9147766E-53.8656824E-53.8656824E-51.00.04.7651984E-44.7054756E-44.7054756E-41.00.00.0047549930.00469575730.00469575731.00.0
6.87.785589E-67.4520726E-67.4520726E-61.00.03.3366385E-53.1937074E-53.1937074E-51.00.04.0616E-43.8876652E-43.8876652E-41.00.00.00405418450.00388106820.00388106821.00.0
6.95.579095E-64.898567E-64.898567E-61.00.02.3910188E-52.0993697E-52.0993697E-51.00.02.9106764E-42.5556967E-42.5556967E-41.00.00.0029068670.0025528950.0025528951.00.0
7.02.6816688E-61.5216133E-61.5216133E-61.00.01.1492816E-56.521184E-66.521184E-61.00.01.3991605E-47.939261E-57.939261E-51.00.00.00139827997.9365115E-47.9365115E-41.00.0
7.11.9951021E-67.453698E-77.453698E-71.00.08.55041E-63.1944382E-63.1944382E-61.00.01.0409627E-43.8891634E-53.8891634E-51.00.00.00104047523.8885244E-43.8885244E-41.00.0
7.21.9951021E-67.453698E-77.453698E-71.00.08.55041E-63.1944382E-63.1944382E-61.00.01.0409627E-43.8891634E-53.8891634E-51.00.00.00104047523.8885244E-43.8885244E-41.00.0
7.31.7087556E-66.5787674E-76.5787674E-71.00.07.3232177E-62.8194688E-62.8194688E-61.00.08.915652E-53.4326535E-53.4326535E-51.00.08.9120766E-43.4321635E-43.4321635E-41.00.0
7.41.3804846E-66.0737995E-76.0737995E-71.00.05.916349E-62.6030546E-62.6030546E-61.00.07.2029165E-53.169177E-53.169177E-51.00.07.200583E-43.168765E-43.168765E-41.00.0
7.51.3804846E-66.0737995E-76.0737995E-71.00.05.916349E-62.6030546E-62.6030546E-61.00.07.2029165E-53.169177E-53.169177E-51.00.07.200583E-43.168765E-43.168765E-41.00.0

San Andreas (Peninsula) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.6200685E-52.523975E-52.523975E-51.00.03.6937918E-41.08165885E-41.181648E-41.09244061.0E-50.00448792150.00131612560.00132611251.0075881.0E-50.0439836120.0147879480.0148076521.00133242.0E-5
6.18.6200685E-52.523975E-52.523975E-51.00.03.6937918E-41.08165885E-41.181648E-41.09244061.0E-50.00448792150.00131612560.00132611251.0075881.0E-50.0439836120.0147879480.0148076521.00133242.0E-5
6.28.6200685E-52.523975E-52.523975E-51.00.03.6937918E-41.08165885E-41.181648E-41.09244061.0E-50.00448792150.00131612560.00132611251.0075881.0E-50.0439836120.0147879480.0148076521.00133242.0E-5
6.38.551163E-52.4931509E-52.4931509E-51.00.03.6642692E-41.0684496E-41.1684388E-41.09358361.0E-50.0044521250.00130006260.00131004971.0076821.0E-50.0436397940.0146149880.0146346961.00134852.0E-5
6.48.551163E-52.4931509E-52.4931509E-51.00.03.6642692E-41.0684496E-41.1684388E-41.09358361.0E-50.0044521250.00130006260.00131004971.0076821.0E-50.0436397940.0146149880.0146346961.00134852.0E-5
6.58.511146E-52.4752808E-52.4752808E-51.00.03.647124E-41.06079155E-41.16078096E-41.09425931.0E-50.0044313360.00129075010.00130073731.00773741.0E-50.043440070.0145148640.0145345741.00135792.0E-5
6.68.4985084E-52.4683486E-52.4683486E-51.00.03.6417096E-41.0578209E-41.1578103E-41.09452391.0E-50.00442477040.00128713770.00129712481.00775921.0E-50.0433769860.0144768320.01449654251.00136152.0E-5
6.78.462618E-52.4511957E-52.4511957E-51.00.03.6263323E-41.05047024E-41.1504597E-41.09518551.0E-50.0044061250.00127819880.0012881861.00781351.0E-50.0431978070.0143815210.0144012341.00137072.0E-5
6.88.42337E-52.4407704E-52.4407704E-51.00.03.6095164E-41.0460026E-41.14599214E-41.0955921.0E-50.0043857340.00127276580.00128275311.0078471.0E-50.0430018230.0143221630.0143418761.00137642.0E-5
6.98.365989E-52.4212226E-52.4212226E-51.00.03.5849313E-41.0376257E-41.13761525E-41.09636391.0E-50.0043559220.00126257880.00127256621.00791031.0E-50.042715230.01421462650.0142343431.0013872.0E-5
7.08.30936E-52.3973636E-52.3973636E-51.00.03.560668E-41.02740116E-41.12739086E-41.0973231.0E-50.0043264990.00125014480.00126013221.0079891.0E-50.0424322970.0140856670.0141053851.00139992.0E-5
7.18.041264E-52.365997E-52.365997E-51.00.03.4458007E-41.0139593E-41.11394926E-41.09861331.0E-50.00418719460.0012337980.00124378571.0080951.0E-50.0410917250.0139084920.0139282141.0014182.0E-5
7.27.8427016E-52.3083452E-52.3083452E-51.00.03.3607247E-49.892533E-51.08924345E-41.10107641.0E-50.0040840080.0012037520.001213741.00829731.0E-50.0400976350.0135924410.0136121691.00145142.0E-5
7.37.721087E-52.2868227E-52.2868227E-51.00.03.3086175E-49.800301E-51.0800203E-41.10202771.0E-50.0040208030.00119253520.00120252321.00837551.0E-50.039488270.0134761120.0134958421.00146412.0E-5
7.47.3536525E-52.09825E-52.09825E-51.00.03.1511846E-48.992191E-59.992101E-51.11119761.0E-50.00382981940.00109425070.00110423971.00912871.0E-50.0376448520.0124313680.012451121.00158882.0E-5
7.56.806207E-51.8784616E-51.8784616E-51.00.02.9166197E-48.0503014E-59.050221E-51.12420891.0E-50.00354520359.796845E-49.896748E-41.01019741.0E-50.0348917660.0111824380.0112022131.00176852.0E-5
7.65.6731416E-51.4187766E-51.4187766E-51.00.02.43112E-46.0803297E-57.0802686E-51.16445481.0E-50.00295587127.4002886E-47.500214E-41.0135031.0E-50.029168620.0084914440.0085112751.00233532.0E-5
7.74.946994E-51.3255381E-51.3255381E-51.00.02.1199681E-45.6807537E-56.680697E-51.1760231.0E-50.0025780066.914124E-47.014055E-41.01445321.0E-50.025483030.0079131070.0079329491.00250742.0E-5
7.83.9718198E-51.2991523E-51.2991523E-51.00.01.7020974E-45.5676766E-56.567621E-51.17959811.0E-50.00207033386.7765394E-46.876472E-41.01474681.0E-50.0205115150.0077235430.00774338841.00256942.0E-5
7.92.4115114E-51.219408E-51.219408E-51.00.01.0334639E-45.2259296E-56.2258776E-51.19134351.0E-50.0012575166.360714E-46.46065E-41.01571151.0E-50.0125042380.0071637070.0071835641.00277192.0E-5
8.01.7756569E-51.1417994E-51.1417994E-51.00.07.6097356E-54.8933343E-55.8932856E-51.20434961.0E-59.260915E-45.9560075E-46.055948E-41.01677981.0E-50.0092224160.00666385240.0066837191.00298132.0E-5
8.11.3159258E-59.7529455E-69.7529455E-61.00.05.6395602E-54.179767E-55.179725E-51.23923781.0E-56.864001E-45.0876796E-45.1876286E-41.01964531.0E-50.00684283860.00569324340.00571312941.0034932.0E-5
8.28.635426E-65.4707107E-65.4707107E-61.00.03.700844E-52.3445691E-52.3445691E-51.00.04.5048463E-42.85414E-42.85414E-41.00.00.0044957250.00324663990.00324663991.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6647797E-77.6647797E-71.00.08.498917E-63.2849016E-63.2849016E-61.00.01.034694E-43.999296E-53.999296E-51.00.00.00103421244.7228087E-44.7228087E-41.00.0

Robinson Creek

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.3705327E-51.5285246E-51.5285246E-51.00.05.8735794E-56.5508204E-57.5507545E-51.15264261.0E-57.1487366E-47.9756236E-48.0755434E-41.01252821.0E-50.00712578320.0079756230.0079954641.00248772.0E-5
6.11.3705327E-51.5285246E-51.5285246E-51.00.05.8735794E-56.5508204E-57.5507545E-51.15264261.0E-57.1487366E-47.9756236E-48.0755434E-41.01252821.0E-50.00712578320.0079756230.0079954641.00248772.0E-5
6.21.3705327E-51.5285246E-51.5285246E-51.00.05.8735794E-56.5508204E-57.5507545E-51.15264261.0E-57.1487366E-47.9756236E-48.0755434E-41.01252821.0E-50.00712578320.0079756230.0079954641.00248772.0E-5
6.31.3705327E-51.5285246E-51.5285246E-51.00.05.8735794E-56.5508204E-57.5507545E-51.15264261.0E-57.1487366E-47.9756236E-48.0755434E-41.01252821.0E-50.00712578320.0079756230.0079954641.00248772.0E-5
6.41.3705327E-51.5285246E-51.5285246E-51.00.05.8735794E-56.5508204E-57.5507545E-51.15264261.0E-57.1487366E-47.9756236E-48.0755434E-41.01252821.0E-50.00712578320.0079756230.0079954641.00248772.0E-5

Elsinore (Coyote Mountains)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.20513E-54.863269E-54.863269E-51.00.01.8020741E-42.084124E-42.184103E-41.04797181.0E-50.00219181740.00253499460.00254496931.00393471.0E-50.0217032490.0251120680.0251315661.00077642.0E-5
6.14.20513E-54.863269E-54.863269E-51.00.01.8020741E-42.084124E-42.184103E-41.04797181.0E-50.00219181740.00253499460.00254496931.00393471.0E-50.0217032490.0251120680.0251315661.00077642.0E-5
6.22.3413893E-52.469625E-52.469625E-51.00.01.0034139E-41.0583731E-41.1583625E-41.09447471.0E-50.00122097180.0012878950.00129788221.00775461.0E-50.0121428510.0128129920.0128228641.00077041.0E-5
6.32.3413893E-52.469625E-52.469625E-51.00.01.0034139E-41.0583731E-41.1583625E-41.09447471.0E-50.00122097180.0012878950.00129788221.00775461.0E-50.0121428510.0128129920.0128228641.00077041.0E-5
6.41.6894814E-51.6568772E-51.6568772E-51.00.07.240433E-57.10073E-58.100659E-51.14082061.0E-58.811662E-48.642079E-48.7419926E-41.01156131.0E-50.00877680350.0086121310.0086220451.00115121.0E-5
6.51.6894814E-51.6568772E-51.6568772E-51.00.07.240433E-57.10073E-58.100659E-51.14082061.0E-58.811662E-48.642079E-48.7419926E-41.01156131.0E-50.00877680350.0086121310.0086220451.00115121.0E-5
6.61.1910969E-51.0530927E-51.0530927E-51.00.05.1046012E-54.513184E-55.513139E-51.22156311.0E-56.21308E-45.4935494E-45.593494E-41.01819311.0E-50.00619573750.005481270.00549121531.00181441.0E-5
6.79.1486E-67.2029457E-67.2029457E-61.00.03.9207694E-53.0869425E-54.0869116E-51.32393521.0E-54.7724912E-43.7577422E-43.857705E-41.02660171.0E-50.00476225470.00375176780.00376173021.00265541.0E-5
6.87.90441E-65.729078E-65.729078E-61.00.03.3875604E-52.4552968E-53.4552722E-51.40727271.0E-54.1235742E-42.9889264E-43.0888966E-41.03344681.0E-50.00411593080.0029850350.00299500531.003341.0E-5
6.97.77015E-65.5830305E-65.5830305E-61.00.03.3300217E-52.3927061E-53.3926823E-51.41792681.0E-54.0535472E-42.912743E-43.012714E-41.03432191.0E-50.0040461610.00290905240.00291902321.00342751.0E-5
7.07.675798E-65.479888E-65.479888E-61.00.03.289586E-52.3485029E-53.3484794E-51.42579321.0E-54.004335E-42.8589397E-42.958911E-41.0349681.0E-50.0039971270.00285538820.002865361.00349211.0E-5
7.17.447814E-65.2387572E-65.2387572E-61.00.03.191881E-52.2451632E-53.2451408E-51.44539191.0E-53.8854225E-42.7331559E-42.8331284E-41.03657771.0E-50.0038786360.00272991860.00273989141.00365321.0E-5
7.27.128185E-64.9054033E-64.9054033E-61.00.03.0549007E-52.1022995E-53.1022784E-51.47565961.0E-53.7187067E-42.5592608E-42.6592353E-41.03906381.0E-50.003712490.0025564320.00256640651.00390171.0E-5
7.37.0913875E-64.874078E-64.874078E-61.00.03.0391306E-52.0888747E-53.088854E-51.47871671.0E-53.6995133E-42.5429198E-42.6428944E-41.03931491.0E-50.00369336040.00254012850.0025501031.00392681.0E-5
7.47.051521E-64.8379297E-64.8379297E-61.00.03.0220453E-52.0733825E-53.073362E-51.48229361.0E-53.6787192E-42.524063E-42.6240374E-41.03960871.0E-50.00367263520.00252131420.00253128911.00395621.0E-5
7.56.910666E-64.733479E-64.733479E-61.00.02.9616802E-52.0286187E-53.0285983E-51.49293631.0E-53.605249E-42.4695753E-42.5695504E-41.04048281.0E-50.00359940580.00246694870.0024769241.00404361.0E-5
7.66.341753E-64.306589E-64.306589E-61.00.02.7178658E-51.8456685E-52.8456501E-51.54179911.0E-53.3084993E-42.2468815E-42.346859E-41.04449621.0E-50.00330357770.0022447250.00225470261.00444481.0E-5
7.73.9205916E-62.2439156E-62.2439156E-61.00.01.6802427E-59.61675E-69.61675E-61.00.02.0455034E-41.1707837E-41.1707837E-41.00.00.00204362160.00117023990.00117023991.00.0
7.82.0846227E-78.485576E-88.485576E-81.00.08.9340944E-73.6366754E-73.6366754E-71.00.01.0877206E-54.4276467E-64.4276467E-61.00.01.0876673E-44.4275912E-54.4275912E-51.00.0
7.94.4969806E-92.26915E-92.26915E-91.00.01.9272775E-89.724928E-99.724928E-91.00.02.3464601E-71.18401E-71.18401E-71.00.02.3464577E-61.1840094E-61.1840094E-61.00.0

Hunting Creek - Berryessa 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1270982E-42.003E-42.003E-41.00.04.8295266E-48.580158E-48.580158E-41.00.00.00586410750.0103866130.0104064061.00190562.0E-50.0571175780.0980454760.098063521.00018392.0E-5
6.11.1239393E-41.9978137E-41.9978137E-41.00.04.8159933E-48.5579476E-48.5579476E-41.00.00.00584771950.0103598550.0103796491.00191062.0E-50.0569621320.097803940.097821981.00018452.0E-5
6.27.596265E-51.2934073E-41.2934073E-41.00.03.2551357E-45.5417913E-45.5417913E-41.00.00.00395592770.00672163440.00673156741.00147771.0E-50.0388624330.064596140.064605491.00014481.0E-5
6.36.78794E-51.14485956E-41.14485956E-41.00.02.9087928E-44.9054454E-44.9054454E-41.00.00.0035357050.00595289840.0059628391.00166991.0E-50.0347997660.057469770.0574791951.0001641.0E-5
6.46.2165134E-51.0435045E-41.0435045E-41.00.02.6639478E-44.4712838E-44.4712838E-41.00.00.00323853320.00542763670.00543758231.00183241.0E-50.031917420.0525546450.0525641181.00018021.0E-5
6.55.4368087E-59.0704736E-59.0704736E-51.00.02.3298527E-43.8866926E-43.8866926E-41.00.00.00283290590.00471989070.00471989071.00.00.0279706330.045884040.045884041.00.0
6.64.729947E-57.8472214E-57.8472214E-51.00.02.0269625E-43.362585E-43.362585E-41.00.00.0024650340.0040849060.0040849061.00.00.024378690.0398552940.0398552941.00.0
6.73.6875328E-56.044355E-56.044355E-51.00.01.5802756E-42.5902048E-42.5902048E-41.00.00.00192228750.0031483990.0031483991.00.00.0190574420.0308954880.0308954881.00.0
6.82.0292036E-52.8977376E-52.8977376E-51.00.08.6962966E-51.2418274E-41.2418274E-41.00.00.00105825990.00151086380.00151086381.00.00.0105323440.0149793840.0149793841.00.0
6.91.7871042E-52.4473193E-52.4473193E-51.00.07.658793E-51.04880906E-41.04880906E-41.00.09.320591E-40.00127617680.00127617681.00.00.0092815950.0126807460.0126807461.00.0
7.01.6415532E-52.1907066E-52.1907066E-51.00.07.035038E-59.388406E-59.388406E-51.00.08.561793E-40.00114244060.00114244061.00.00.0085288820.011365180.011365181.00.0
7.11.5409885E-52.0347048E-52.0347048E-51.00.06.6040695E-58.719874E-58.719874E-51.00.08.0374884E-40.00106113030.00106113031.00.00.008008480.0105610980.0105610981.00.0
7.21.4497423E-51.905562E-51.905562E-51.00.06.213033E-58.166441E-58.166441E-51.00.07.5617427E-49.938137E-49.938137E-41.00.00.00753606340.0098944060.0098944061.00.0
7.31.3615175E-51.7826764E-51.7826764E-51.00.05.8349444E-57.6398195E-57.6398195E-51.00.07.101729E-49.29754E-49.29754E-41.00.00.00707907650.0092592790.0092592791.00.0
7.41.2252825E-51.6026825E-51.6026825E-51.00.05.251105E-56.8684596E-56.8684596E-51.00.06.391345E-48.3591696E-48.3591696E-41.00.00.00637299430.0083283010.0083283011.00.0
7.51.0913301E-51.4241617E-51.4241617E-51.00.04.6770452E-56.1034087E-56.1034087E-51.00.05.6928146E-47.4283936E-47.4283936E-41.00.00.00567825320.00740409880.00740409881.00.0
7.68.623192E-61.1235044E-51.1235044E-51.00.03.6956015E-54.8149315E-54.8149315E-51.00.04.4984656E-45.860628E-45.860628E-41.00.00.004489370.0058456060.0058456061.00.0
7.72.0993634E-62.662692E-62.662692E-61.00.08.997241E-61.1411487E-51.1411487E-51.00.01.09535904E-41.3892607E-41.3892607E-41.00.00.00109481930.00138844210.00138844211.00.0
7.81.8428308E-72.1675E-72.1675E-71.00.07.897844E-79.289282E-79.289282E-71.00.09.615583E-61.1309647E-51.1309647E-51.00.09.615166E-51.13083915E-41.13083915E-41.00.0

Pisgah-Bullion Mtn-Mesquite Lk

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0240792E-52.4091287E-52.4091287E-51.00.01.2959696E-41.03244856E-41.03244856E-41.00.00.00157670080.0012563820.00126636941.00794941.0E-50.0156556090.0125028130.0125225621.00157962.0E-5
6.13.0240792E-52.4091287E-52.4091287E-51.00.01.2959696E-41.03244856E-41.03244856E-41.00.00.00157670080.0012563820.00126636941.00794941.0E-50.0156556090.0125028130.0125225621.00157962.0E-5
6.23.0240792E-52.4091287E-52.4091287E-51.00.01.2959696E-41.03244856E-41.03244856E-41.00.00.00157670080.0012563820.00126636941.00794941.0E-50.0156556090.0125028130.0125225621.00157962.0E-5
6.32.0498217E-51.36382505E-51.36382505E-51.00.08.784654E-55.8448426E-55.8448426E-51.00.00.00106900697.113935E-47.113935E-41.00.00.010638790.00709278830.00709278831.00.0
6.42.0498217E-51.36382505E-51.36382505E-51.00.08.784654E-55.8448426E-55.8448426E-51.00.00.00106900697.113935E-47.113935E-41.00.00.010638790.00709278830.00709278831.00.0
6.51.7316182E-51.04771225E-51.04771225E-51.00.07.42101E-54.4901237E-54.4901237E-51.00.09.0313336E-45.4654543E-45.4654543E-41.00.00.0089947180.0054530080.0054530081.00.0
6.61.5251077E-58.414257E-68.414257E-61.00.06.536012E-53.606064E-53.606064E-51.00.07.9546886E-44.389571E-44.389571E-41.00.00.0079262740.00438161750.00438161751.00.0
6.71.2997425E-56.4113133E-66.4113133E-61.00.05.570206E-52.7476794E-52.7476794E-51.00.06.7796157E-43.3448328E-43.3448328E-41.00.00.00675896930.00334025850.00334025851.00.0
6.81.035386E-54.3332407E-64.3332407E-61.00.04.437293E-51.8570905E-51.8570905E-51.00.05.401065E-42.2607818E-42.2607818E-41.00.00.00538795670.00225856850.00225856851.00.0
6.98.816252E-63.5806777E-63.5806777E-61.00.03.778339E-51.5345675E-51.5345675E-51.00.04.5991567E-41.8681816E-41.8681816E-41.00.00.004589650.00186666950.00186666951.00.0
7.06.8232207E-62.5675185E-62.5675185E-61.00.02.9242048E-51.1003606E-51.1003606E-51.00.03.5596377E-41.3396099E-41.3396099E-41.00.00.00355394110.00133883340.00133883341.00.0
7.15.837013E-62.227375E-62.227375E-61.00.02.501553E-59.545859E-69.545859E-61.00.03.045215E-41.16214935E-41.16214935E-41.00.00.00304104550.00116157070.00116157071.00.0
7.24.278052E-61.6275252E-61.6275252E-61.00.01.833438E-56.975091E-66.975091E-61.00.02.231982E-48.4918654E-58.4918654E-51.00.00.00222974188.488853E-48.488853E-41.00.0
7.31.8803692E-68.3448816E-78.3448816E-71.00.08.0587E-63.5763737E-63.5763737E-61.00.09.811026E-54.354163E-54.354163E-51.00.09.806695E-44.3534543E-44.3534543E-41.00.0

Homestead Valley 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.539795E-56.2865097E-66.2865097E-61.00.06.5989545E-52.6942023E-52.6942023E-51.00.08.0312655E-43.2799036E-43.379871E-41.03047871.0E-50.0080023020.00327708390.00329701841.0060832.0E-5
6.11.539795E-56.2865097E-66.2865097E-61.00.06.5989545E-52.6942023E-52.6942023E-51.00.08.0312655E-43.2799036E-43.379871E-41.03047871.0E-50.0080023020.00327708390.00329701841.0060832.0E-5
6.21.539795E-56.2865097E-66.2865097E-61.00.06.5989545E-52.6942023E-52.6942023E-51.00.08.0312655E-43.2799036E-43.379871E-41.03047871.0E-50.0080023020.00327708390.00329701841.0060832.0E-5
6.31.539795E-56.2865097E-66.2865097E-61.00.06.5989545E-52.6942023E-52.6942023E-51.00.08.0312655E-43.2799036E-43.379871E-41.03047871.0E-50.0080023020.00327708390.00329701841.0060832.0E-5
6.41.539795E-56.2865097E-66.2865097E-61.00.06.5989545E-52.6942023E-52.6942023E-51.00.08.0312655E-43.2799036E-43.379871E-41.03047871.0E-50.0080023020.00327708390.00329701841.0060832.0E-5
6.51.0265258E-52.8786953E-62.8786953E-61.00.04.3993223E-51.23372465E-51.23372465E-51.00.05.3548586E-41.5020258E-41.5020258E-41.00.00.0053419730.00150169270.00151167761.00664911.0E-5
6.66.664671E-65.3439356E-75.3439356E-71.00.02.8562565E-52.2902568E-62.2902568E-61.00.03.476937E-42.788364E-52.788364E-51.00.00.0034715022.7881304E-42.8881023E-41.03585641.0E-5
6.76.5954046E-65.3439356E-75.3439356E-71.00.02.8265715E-52.2902568E-62.2902568E-61.00.03.4408073E-42.788364E-52.788364E-51.00.00.00343548462.7881304E-42.8881023E-41.03585641.0E-5
6.84.648189E-62.3258009E-72.3258009E-71.00.01.9920659E-59.967714E-79.967714E-71.00.02.4250703E-41.213563E-51.213563E-51.00.00.00242242541.21350145E-41.3134893E-41.08239611.0E-5
6.94.1428534E-61.9343548E-71.9343548E-71.00.01.7754966E-58.2900897E-78.2900897E-71.00.02.1614527E-41.009314E-51.009314E-51.00.00.00215935151.00927115E-41.1092611E-41.09907141.0E-5
7.03.0673707E-61.5365111E-71.5365111E-71.00.01.3145808E-56.5850463E-76.5850463E-71.00.01.6003846E-48.017266E-68.017266E-61.00.00.00159923248.016987E-59.0169066E-51.12472511.0E-5
7.12.340854E-61.4685426E-71.4685426E-71.00.01.0032193E-56.293753E-76.293753E-71.00.01.221351E-47.6626175E-67.6626175E-61.00.00.001220687.662363E-58.6622866E-51.1304981.0E-5
7.21.3754182E-61.3920776E-71.3920776E-71.00.05.8946357E-65.9660454E-75.9660454E-71.00.07.176483E-57.2636367E-67.2636367E-61.00.07.174166E-47.263409E-58.2633356E-51.13766651.0E-5
7.31.2573237E-61.3825318E-71.3825318E-71.00.05.388519E-65.925135E-75.925135E-71.00.06.560324E-57.213829E-67.213829E-61.00.06.558388E-47.213604E-58.213532E-51.13861691.0E-5
7.41.0994207E-61.3104471E-71.3104471E-71.00.04.7117946E-65.616201E-75.616201E-71.00.05.736459E-56.8377044E-66.8377044E-61.00.05.734978E-46.837503E-57.8374345E-51.14624231.0E-5
7.55.5569126E-76.7720926E-86.7720926E-81.00.02.3815317E-62.9023252E-72.9023252E-71.00.02.8994764E-53.5335759E-63.5335759E-61.00.02.899098E-43.533526E-53.533526E-51.00.0

Great Valley 05 Pittsburg - Kirby Hills alt1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.187212E-55.3444855E-55.3444855E-51.00.01.794396E-42.2903502E-42.3903273E-41.04365151.0E-50.0021824880.00278589970.00279587181.00357951.0E-50.0216117760.0276041940.0276139171.00035231.0E-5
6.14.187212E-55.3444855E-55.3444855E-51.00.01.794396E-42.2903502E-42.3903273E-41.04365151.0E-50.0021824880.00278589970.00279587181.00357951.0E-50.0216117760.0276041940.0276139171.00035231.0E-5
6.21.7353306E-52.2155487E-52.2155487E-51.00.07.436919E-59.495095E-59.495095E-51.00.09.050688E-40.00115579890.00115579891.00.00.0090139150.0115356120.0115356121.00.0
6.31.7353306E-52.2155487E-52.2155487E-51.00.07.436919E-59.495095E-59.495095E-51.00.09.050688E-40.00115579890.00115579891.00.00.0090139150.0115356120.0115356121.00.0
6.41.4028824E-51.7901719E-51.7901719E-51.00.06.0122147E-57.672165E-57.672165E-51.00.07.3174125E-49.340638E-49.340638E-41.00.00.00729336450.0093385450.0093385451.00.0

Sierra Madre (San Fernando)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.0346413E-56.2874137E-66.2874137E-61.00.04.4341014E-52.6945787E-53.6945516E-51.37110561.0E-55.3971814E-43.2801667E-43.480101E-41.06095252.0E-50.00538409180.00327543770.00329537221.00608612.0E-5
6.11.0346413E-56.2874137E-66.2874137E-61.00.04.4341014E-52.6945787E-53.6945516E-51.37110561.0E-55.3971814E-43.2801667E-43.480101E-41.06095252.0E-50.00538409180.00327543770.00329537221.00608612.0E-5
6.21.0346413E-56.2874137E-66.2874137E-61.00.04.4341014E-52.6945787E-53.6945516E-51.37110561.0E-55.3971814E-43.2801667E-43.480101E-41.06095252.0E-50.00538409180.00327543770.00329537221.00608612.0E-5
6.31.0346413E-56.2874137E-66.2874137E-61.00.04.4341014E-52.6945787E-53.6945516E-51.37110561.0E-55.3971814E-43.2801667E-43.480101E-41.06095252.0E-50.00538409180.00327543770.00329537221.00608612.0E-5
6.41.0249558E-56.2874137E-66.2874137E-61.00.04.392594E-52.6945787E-53.6945516E-51.37110561.0E-55.3466705E-43.2801667E-43.480101E-41.06095252.0E-50.00533382450.00327543770.00329537221.00608612.0E-5
6.51.0249558E-56.2874137E-66.2874137E-61.00.04.392594E-52.6945787E-53.6945516E-51.37110561.0E-55.3466705E-43.2801667E-43.480101E-41.06095252.0E-50.00533382450.00327543770.00329537221.00608612.0E-5
6.69.9035515E-66.2874137E-66.2874137E-61.00.04.2443102E-52.6945787E-53.6945516E-51.37110561.0E-55.166222E-43.2801667E-43.480101E-41.06095252.0E-50.00515422830.00327543770.00329537221.00608612.0E-5
6.79.87217E-66.2748345E-66.2748345E-61.00.04.2308613E-52.6891877E-53.6891608E-51.37184951.0E-55.149856E-43.2736053E-43.4735398E-41.06107472.0E-50.0051379380.00326889540.00328883021.00609832.0E-5
6.89.4359175E-66.1788187E-66.1788187E-61.00.04.043902E-52.648039E-53.6480124E-51.3776281.0E-54.9223384E-43.2235213E-43.423457E-41.0620242.0E-50.00491144930.00321895720.00323889291.00619322.0E-5
6.98.700447E-66.0400944E-66.0400944E-61.00.03.72871E-52.5885867E-53.588561E-51.38630121.0E-54.5387587E-43.1511593E-43.3510962E-41.06344872.0E-50.00452950.00314680070.00316673771.00633562.0E-5
7.08.648878E-66.015009E-66.015009E-61.00.03.7066096E-52.5778361E-53.5778103E-51.38791231.0E-54.5118626E-43.1380742E-43.3380114E-41.06371332.0E-50.0045027130.00313375260.003153691.00636212.0E-5
7.18.505786E-65.9246395E-65.9246395E-61.00.03.645286E-52.539107E-53.5390814E-51.39382921.0E-54.437232E-43.090935E-43.290873E-41.06468532.0E-50.00442838250.0030867450.00310668331.00645942.0E-5
7.28.139752E-65.698937E-65.698937E-61.00.03.4884186E-52.4423793E-53.442355E-51.40942681.0E-54.246322E-42.9732016E-43.173142E-41.06724752.0E-50.0042382170.00296932970.00298927031.00671552.0E-5
7.37.8816E-65.5522523E-65.5522523E-61.00.03.3777847E-52.3795157E-53.3794917E-51.42024361.0E-54.111677E-42.8966856E-43.0966278E-41.06902442.0E-50.0041040780.00289301550.00291295771.00689322.0E-5
7.47.5810603E-65.356491E-65.356491E-61.00.03.2489854E-52.2956194E-53.2955963E-51.43560231.0E-53.9549218E-42.7945687E-42.9945126E-41.07154742.0E-50.00394789040.00279115960.00281110361.00714552.0E-5
7.56.349153E-64.4077356E-64.4077356E-61.00.02.7210372E-51.8890163E-52.8889974E-51.52936611.0E-53.312359E-42.2996428E-42.4995967E-41.08695012.0E-50.00330742630.0022973450.00231729911.00868572.0E-5
7.64.430576E-62.8907193E-62.8907193E-61.00.01.8988047E-51.2388739E-52.2388615E-51.80717471.0E-52.3115493E-41.5082269E-41.6082118E-41.0662931.0E-50.00230914630.00150722580.00151721071.00662471.0E-5
7.73.005066E-61.7511157E-61.7511157E-61.00.01.2878791E-57.50476E-67.50476E-61.00.01.56788E-49.136663E-59.136663E-51.00.00.00156677429.132919E-49.132919E-41.00.0
7.81.8459098E-61.058284E-61.058284E-61.00.07.911018E-64.535495E-64.535495E-61.00.09.631238E-55.5218257E-55.5218257E-51.00.09.627065E-45.520458E-45.520458E-41.00.0
7.99.839262E-75.234779E-75.234779E-71.00.04.2168194E-62.243475E-62.243475E-61.00.05.1338568E-52.7313967E-52.7313967E-51.00.05.132671E-42.731064E-42.731064E-41.00.0
8.01.210983E-76.6138576E-86.6138576E-81.00.05.1899264E-72.8345102E-72.8345102E-71.00.06.3187167E-63.4510108E-63.4510108E-61.00.06.318537E-53.450959E-53.450959E-51.00.0

Raymond

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5157413E-51.5810365E-51.5810365E-51.00.06.4958724E-56.775709E-56.775709E-51.00.07.905855E-48.246554E-48.3464716E-41.01211631.0E-50.0078777880.0082184730.0082383081.00241352.0E-5
6.11.5157413E-51.5810365E-51.5810365E-51.00.06.4958724E-56.775709E-56.775709E-51.00.07.905855E-48.246554E-48.3464716E-41.01211631.0E-50.0078777880.0082184730.0082383081.00241352.0E-5
6.21.5157413E-51.5810365E-51.5810365E-51.00.06.4958724E-56.775709E-56.775709E-51.00.07.905855E-48.246554E-48.3464716E-41.01211631.0E-50.0078777880.0082184730.0082383081.00241352.0E-5
6.31.5157413E-51.5810365E-51.5810365E-51.00.06.4958724E-56.775709E-56.775709E-51.00.07.905855E-48.246554E-48.3464716E-41.01211631.0E-50.0078777880.0082184730.0082383081.00241352.0E-5
6.41.3941944E-51.4454908E-51.4454908E-51.00.05.9749822E-56.194826E-56.194826E-51.00.07.2721124E-47.5398246E-47.639749E-41.01325291.0E-50.0072483610.00751657830.0075364281.00264082.0E-5
6.51.3941944E-51.4454908E-51.4454908E-51.00.05.9749822E-56.194826E-56.194826E-51.00.07.2721124E-47.5398246E-47.639749E-41.01325291.0E-50.0072483610.00751657830.0075364281.00264082.0E-5
6.61.0542609E-51.0671272E-51.0671272E-51.00.04.5181827E-54.5733254E-54.5733254E-51.00.05.499499E-45.566656E-45.566656E-41.00.00.0054859090.00555327440.0055632191.00179081.0E-5
6.71.0542609E-51.0671272E-51.0671272E-51.00.04.5181827E-54.5733254E-54.5733254E-51.00.05.499499E-45.566656E-45.566656E-41.00.00.0054859090.00555327440.0055632191.00179081.0E-5
6.81.0079132E-51.0176802E-51.0176802E-51.00.04.3195567E-54.3614164E-54.3614164E-51.00.05.257791E-45.3087843E-45.3087843E-41.00.00.00524536850.0052966530.0052966531.00.0
6.97.721598E-67.5490198E-67.5490198E-61.00.03.3092143E-53.2352546E-53.2352546E-51.00.04.0282236E-43.938223E-43.938223E-41.00.00.00402092930.00393137850.00393137851.00.0
7.07.137566E-66.911413E-66.911413E-61.00.03.058921E-52.962001E-52.962001E-51.00.03.7236E-43.6056503E-43.6056503E-41.00.00.00371736680.00359991980.00359991981.00.0
7.15.654976E-65.299629E-65.299629E-61.00.02.4235387E-52.2712498E-52.2712498E-51.00.02.9502588E-42.764898E-42.764898E-41.00.00.00294634510.00276149020.00276149021.00.0
7.24.9358455E-64.5267375E-64.5267375E-61.00.02.1153453E-51.940016E-51.940016E-51.00.02.5751285E-42.3617149E-42.3617149E-41.00.00.00257214650.00235922840.00235922841.00.0
7.34.2368597E-63.805688E-63.805688E-61.00.01.8157843E-51.630999E-51.630999E-51.00.02.2104931E-41.9855614E-41.9855614E-41.00.00.00220829550.00198380740.00198380741.00.0
7.43.4999923E-63.0438064E-63.0438064E-61.00.01.49998805E-51.3044819E-51.3044819E-51.00.01.8260824E-41.5880918E-41.5880918E-41.00.00.00182458260.00158697390.00158697391.00.0
7.52.738017E-62.3020955E-62.3020955E-61.00.01.1734306E-59.866087E-69.866087E-61.00.01.428558E-41.2011305E-41.2011305E-41.00.00.00142764010.00120049690.00120049691.00.0
7.61.8186392E-61.4423393E-61.4423393E-61.00.07.794145E-66.18144E-66.18144E-61.00.09.488958E-57.525647E-57.525647E-51.00.09.4849075E-47.5232267E-47.5232267E-41.00.0
7.71.0660348E-67.644004E-77.644004E-71.00.04.5687125E-63.2759976E-63.2759976E-61.00.05.5622655E-53.988456E-53.988456E-51.00.05.5608735E-43.987844E-43.987844E-41.00.0
7.86.913602E-74.3205526E-74.3205526E-71.00.02.962969E-61.8516641E-61.8516641E-61.00.03.607355E-52.2543783E-52.2543783E-51.00.03.6067693E-42.2542427E-42.2542427E-41.00.0
7.97.425201E-85.3225733E-85.3225733E-81.00.03.1822285E-72.2811027E-72.2811027E-71.00.03.874356E-62.7772403E-62.7772403E-61.00.03.8742884E-52.7772185E-52.7772185E-51.00.0

Likely 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.5315949E-52.7105003E-52.7105003E-51.00.01.0849241E-41.16159375E-41.16159375E-41.00.00.00132009470.00141336750.00142335331.00706531.0E-50.0131228030.0140484410.014068161.00140372.0E-5
6.12.5315949E-52.7105003E-52.7105003E-51.00.01.0849241E-41.16159375E-41.16159375E-41.00.00.00132009470.00141336750.00142335331.00706531.0E-50.0131228030.0140484410.014068161.00140372.0E-5
6.21.6375941E-51.7465996E-51.7465996E-51.00.07.0180715E-57.485219E-57.485219E-51.00.08.5411523E-49.109567E-49.209476E-41.01096751.0E-50.0085083990.0090735130.0090933311.00218432.0E-5
6.31.1945543E-51.2712695E-51.2712695E-51.00.05.119418E-55.4481872E-55.4481872E-51.00.06.2311086E-46.6312024E-46.731136E-41.01507021.0E-50.00621366550.00661197070.0066318381.00300482.0E-5
6.49.192729E-69.768569E-69.768569E-61.00.03.939681E-54.1864638E-54.1864638E-51.00.04.7955062E-45.095855E-45.195804E-41.01961371.0E-50.0047851710.00508445130.00510434951.0039135