Parent Section Magnitude-Probability Distributions

Only fault sections with at least one triggered aftershock are plotted. Sections are sorted by total supraseismogenic trigger rate (decreasing)

Table Of Contents

Garlock (Central)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.5131142E-57.0271424E-50.001890143526.8977550.001822.3625491E-43.0112884E-40.006099382420.2550580.00580.00287260950.00366014450.0263567667.2010180.022780.0283575910.036108830.0782887042.16813180.04376
6.15.5131142E-57.0271424E-50.001890143526.8977550.001822.3625491E-43.0112884E-40.006099382420.2550580.00580.00287260950.00366014450.0263567667.2010180.022780.0283575910.036108830.0782887042.16813180.04376
6.24.216245E-55.1684234E-50.001261621724.4101850.001211.806837E-42.2148523E-40.003930663717.7468430.003710.00219760460.00269327960.0175232316.506280.014870.0217599890.0266993460.055041862.06154350.02912
6.34.216245E-55.1684234E-50.001261621724.4101850.001211.806837E-42.2148523E-40.003930663717.7468430.003710.00219760460.00269327960.0175232316.506280.014870.0217599890.0266993460.055041862.06154350.02912
6.43.6858168E-54.4131644E-50.001014088922.9787249.7E-41.5795401E-41.8912205E-40.003118567916.4897120.002930.00192139370.00230015470.0141228986.13997750.011850.0190486550.0228664930.0454871321.98924840.02315
6.53.39199E-54.0038954E-58.800053E-421.9787278.4E-41.453629E-41.7158437E-40.002821129716.4416480.002650.00176835650.002087060.0127747086.1209110.010710.0175435080.0207758490.04115351.98083380.02081
6.63.3571985E-53.9493098E-58.794599E-422.2686988.4E-41.4387199E-41.6924528E-40.002808798616.5960220.002640.00175023420.00205863570.0127166496.1772220.010680.0173651330.020496950.040831431.99207370.02076
6.73.2580007E-53.8109458E-58.3807897E-421.9913658.0E-41.3962112E-41.6331614E-40.00269290316.4888970.002530.00169856170.0019865820.0121463586.1141990.010180.0168563720.0197865760.039155591.97889690.01976
6.83.2185937E-53.7536578E-58.3750655E-422.3117458.0E-41.3793244E-41.6086125E-40.002670457616.6010.002510.00167803370.00195674780.01192726.095420.009990.0166541920.0194933410.0385053641.97530870.01939
6.93.165394E-53.6741036E-58.167124E-422.228897.8E-41.3565269E-41.5745219E-40.002617064916.621330.002460.00165032020.00191531630.0116666036.0912150.009770.016381180.0190862420.0376745571.97391180.01895
7.03.0903822E-53.5646088E-57.756197E-421.7589027.4E-41.3243823E-41.5276013E-40.002542395116.6430530.002390.00161124280.00185828920.0112607846.05975870.009420.0159961040.018523850.0364848641.96961560.0183
7.13.0069863E-53.4412176E-57.643871E-422.2126927.3E-41.2886449E-41.4747253E-40.002447133416.5938240.00230.00156779590.00179402050.01081780256.02992150.009040.015567810.0178914370.035186371.96665970.01761
7.22.7957109E-53.1300966E-56.612812E-421.1265436.3E-41.1981068E-41.3414022E-40.002093877415.6096160.001960.00145771880.00163195320.0091197145.588220.00750.0144819370.0162944530.0310402011.90495490.01499
7.32.4519275E-52.6732969E-54.6672122E-417.4586374.4E-41.0507837E-41.14564915E-40.001534402313.39330.001420.00127857830.00139395010.0068363534.90430260.005450.0127124690.0139378830.024685961.77114130.0109
7.42.3225532E-52.5217167E-54.2520708E-416.861814.0E-49.95342E-51.0806918E-40.001437925513.3056020.001330.00121115510.00131496250.0062085194.7214420.00490.0120457530.0131553040.0227573031.72989560.00973
7.52.097765E-52.2500466E-53.1249394E-413.8883312.9E-48.9901114E-59.642707E-50.001076332511.1621419.8E-40.00109399650.00117337910.00482908454.1155360.003660.0108862640.0117498070.019112271.6266030.00745
7.61.511254E-51.6006861E-51.8600414E-411.62027551.7E-46.476642E-56.8599074E-55.885634E-48.5797575.2E-47.882459E-48.3488156E-40.00266335373.19009780.001830.0078545580.0083923870.01225965751.46080680.0039
7.79.934069E-61.0693293E-55.0692866E-54.74062254.0E-54.2573887E-54.5827597E-51.5582255E-43.40019041.1E-45.182138E-45.5780855E-40.00104753521.87794764.9E-40.005170070.0056354920.0066994621.18879810.00107
7.86.7562896E-68.440426E-62.8440258E-53.36952852.0E-52.8955206E-53.6172754E-59.617059E-52.65864686.0E-53.5247262E-44.4031447E-47.4018235E-41.68103123.0E-40.00351914060.0044531190.00510022461.1453156.5E-4
7.93.975453E-65.378374E-61.537832E-52.8592881.0E-51.7037546E-52.3049972E-56.304905E-52.735324.0E-52.0741238E-42.8059736E-44.6054684E-41.64130851.8E-40.0020721890.00283772240.0032465591.1440724.1E-4
8.01.6729537E-62.080019E-61.2079999E-55.8076381.0E-57.169782E-68.914337E-63.891407E-54.36533553.0E-58.7288594E-51.08526685E-42.0851583E-41.92133241.0E-48.7254314E-40.00109854590.00126835911.154581.7E-4
8.13.6733252E-73.1523513E-73.1523513E-71.00.01.5742813E-61.3510071E-61.3510071E-61.00.01.9166706E-51.6448403E-51.6448403E-51.00.01.9165053E-41.6662726E-41.6662726E-41.00.0

Tank Canyon

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.8284557E-55.797054E-50.001207903820.8365120.001152.0691741E-42.4842535E-40.004647332218.7071570.00440.00251630880.0030210480.02138547.0788020.018420.024880060.029867080.066809742.23690250.03808
6.11.7796336E-52.0875163E-54.10867E-419.6820983.9E-47.626778E-58.946213E-50.001549331517.3182950.001469.281647E-40.00108869530.00775143367.11992930.006670.0092429750.0108379660.0248049332.28870750.01412
6.21.7796336E-52.0875163E-54.10867E-419.6820983.9E-47.626778E-58.946213E-50.001549331517.3182950.001469.281647E-40.00108869530.00775143367.11992930.006670.0092429750.0108379660.0248049332.28870750.01412
6.31.3515912E-51.5760907E-52.3575744E-414.9583672.2E-45.792405E-56.754513E-50.001037479615.3597989.7E-47.049971E-48.220753E-40.00548823646.6760750.004670.0070276470.008193210.018408822.24683860.0103
6.41.0870146E-51.2619056E-51.7261703E-413.6790771.6E-44.658551E-55.4080647E-57.6404226E-414.12783057.1E-45.67031E-46.582507E-40.00406600636.1769870.003410.0056558630.00656527470.0141551162.15605850.00764
6.57.964826E-69.196807E-61.1919579E-412.9605641.1E-43.4134522E-53.941435E-55.29395E-413.4315314.9E-44.1550855E-44.7977458E-40.00270870475.64578630.002230.00414732470.0047889390.0098247072.05154160.00506
6.66.6317E-67.6128526E-68.761224E-511.5084658.0E-52.8421264E-53.2626154E-53.8261473E-411.727243.5E-43.4597394E-43.971601E-40.00199652465.02700230.00160.00345435790.0039659050.00758150871.91167180.00363
6.74.793663E-65.431129E-65.5430857E-510.2061395.0E-52.0544108E-52.3276085E-52.332712E-410.0219262.1E-42.500958E-42.8335385E-40.00116310454.10477738.8E-40.00249814520.00283086670.00487506341.72210980.00205
6.84.382823E-64.96956E-64.496936E-59.0489634.0E-51.8783392E-52.1297965E-52.1129391E-49.920851.9E-42.286638E-42.5927613E-40.00106906614.12327248.1E-40.00228428650.00259065770.0044458391.71610440.00186
6.92.729601E-63.073687E-62.3073626E-57.5068242.0E-51.1698237E-51.3172884E-59.317183E-57.0730028.0E-51.4241673E-41.6036928E-45.6030514E-43.49384334.0E-40.0014232550.00160276650.0024514041.52948318.5E-4
7.01.8987357E-62.1270264E-61.2127005E-55.70138931.0E-58.137413E-69.1158E-65.9115344E-56.48493245.0E-59.90685E-51.10979905E-43.009588E-42.71183161.9E-49.902435E-40.00110931350.00151885871.3691884.1E-4
7.11.4928986E-61.66419E-61.66419E-61.00.06.398121E-67.1322265E-67.1322265E-61.00.07.789434E-58.683199E-51.7682418E-42.03639449.0E-57.786704E-48.680385E-40.00111782141.28775562.5E-4
7.21.069082E-61.1829021E-61.1829021E-61.00.04.581772E-65.069574E-65.069574E-61.00.05.5781646E-56.172085E-51.21717145E-41.97205896.0E-55.576765E-46.1708933E-47.4700906E-41.21053651.3E-4
7.38.776551E-79.770343E-79.770343E-71.00.03.7613736E-64.1872863E-64.1872863E-61.00.04.579376E-55.097954E-51.0097699E-41.98073575.0E-54.5784327E-45.0972943E-45.996836E-41.17647429.0E-5
7.47.55721E-78.5105546E-78.5105546E-71.00.03.2388E-63.6473784E-63.6473784E-61.00.03.9431678E-54.4406446E-59.4404226E-52.12591275.0E-53.942468E-44.4402658E-45.2399107E-41.18008948.0E-5
7.55.587665E-76.3058303E-76.3058303E-71.00.02.3947114E-62.7024987E-62.7024987E-61.00.02.915522E-53.290292E-57.29016E-52.21565754.0E-52.9151395E-43.2902922E-43.9900618E-41.21267717.0E-5

Little Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.8424427E-53.1207474E-58.411822E-426.9545128.1E-41.2181328E-41.337402E-40.002943364422.0080740.002810.00148206770.0016272040.0127091427.8104170.01110.0147222230.0161663010.037171152.29929830.02135
6.12.8424427E-53.1207474E-58.411822E-426.9545128.1E-41.2181328E-41.337402E-40.002943364422.0080740.002810.00148206770.0016272040.0127091427.8104170.01110.0147222230.0161663010.037171152.29929830.02135
6.22.8424427E-53.1207474E-58.411822E-426.9545128.1E-41.2181328E-41.337402E-40.002943364422.0080740.002810.00148206770.0016272040.0127091427.8104170.01110.0147222230.0161663010.037171152.29929830.02135
6.31.48860645E-51.60822E-54.6607497E-428.9807954.5E-46.379586E-56.8922054E-50.001688810424.5031930.001627.7643775E-48.388312E-40.00749324458.9329590.006660.0077373050.0083594680.0208045562.48874160.01255
6.41.48860645E-51.60822E-54.6607497E-428.9807954.5E-46.379586E-56.8922054E-50.001688810424.5031930.001627.7643775E-48.388312E-40.00749324458.9329590.006660.0077373050.0083594680.0208045562.48874160.01255
6.51.2797581E-51.3766243E-53.5376157E-425.6977583.4E-45.4845623E-55.8996993E-50.00149891225.4065840.001446.675408E-47.1807735E-40.00692361839.6418830.006210.0066553920.0071601210.0187465622.61819080.01167
6.69.661896E-61.0289515E-53.102864E-430.1555943.0E-44.1407468E-54.4097265E-50.001294042129.3451790.001255.040193E-45.367682E-40.00582392910.8499880.005290.0050287770.0053563220.0152331342.8439540.00993
6.77.767871E-68.200049E-62.7819784E-433.926362.7E-43.329045E-53.514267E-50.001085105830.8771550.001054.0523586E-44.2779176E-40.005005832311.7015640.004580.0040449770.00427103460.0127646032.98864410.00853
6.86.4235196E-66.7360374E-62.4673442E-436.6290132.4E-42.752908E-52.8868486E-59.0884307E-431.4821878.8E-43.35115E-43.5142995E-40.004050129611.52471350.00370.0033461010.00351000250.0102462752.91916440.00676
6.93.1283696E-63.1122813E-61.2311191E-439.556811.2E-41.3407229E-51.3338288E-54.9333187E-436.9861454.8E-41.6322079E-41.6238306E-40.002302035514.1765740.002140.00163100950.00162279240.0055264473.4055170.00391
7.02.290603E-62.2287568E-68.222858E-536.894378.0E-59.816834E-69.551785E-62.9954902E-431.3605252.9E-41.19513395E-41.16287825E-40.001446133112.4358090.001330.00119449140.00116237180.00364947763.13968160.00249
7.11.293693E-61.1777277E-64.1177682E-534.963674.0E-55.5443866E-65.0473986E-66.50471E-512.8872526.0E-56.750081E-56.145104E-56.514148E-410.6005495.9E-46.7480316E-46.14409E-40.00174371472.83803580.00113
7.24.715842E-73.0919745E-73.0919745E-71.00.02.0210737E-61.3251313E-61.3251313E-61.00.02.4606294E-51.613336E-52.6133197E-51.61982371.0E-52.460357E-41.6132242E-42.1131436E-41.30988845.0E-5
7.33.9430947E-72.3099179E-72.3099179E-71.00.01.6898966E-69.899644E-79.899644E-71.00.02.0574296E-51.2052751E-52.205263E-51.8296761.0E-52.0572392E-41.2052105E-41.5051743E-41.24888923.0E-5
7.43.547123E-71.9680678E-71.9680678E-71.00.01.5201948E-68.434573E-78.434573E-71.00.01.8508214E-51.0269046E-52.0268943E-51.97379041.0E-51.8506673E-41.0268577E-41.3268269E-41.29212343.0E-5
7.52.6354266E-71.4424151E-71.4424151E-71.00.01.129468E-66.1817775E-76.1817775E-71.00.01.3751187E-57.5262888E-61.7526214E-52.32866621.0E-51.3750336E-47.526039E-51.05258136E-41.3985863.0E-5
7.61.269913E-77.572964E-87.572964E-81.00.05.4424834E-73.2455554E-73.2455554E-71.00.06.6262032E-63.951457E-63.951457E-61.00.06.626006E-53.9513903E-55.9513113E-51.50613092.0E-5

Owl Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.0320643E-56.637038E-55.563379E-48.3823214.9E-42.1564208E-42.8441957E-40.00176399866.20210.001480.00262228120.00345820330.010424033.01429080.006990.025915530.0341481980.0482206571.41209970.01457
6.15.0320643E-56.637038E-55.563379E-48.3823214.9E-42.1564208E-42.8441957E-40.00176399866.20210.001480.00262228120.00345820330.010424033.01429080.006990.025915530.0341481980.0482206571.41209970.01457
6.22.4125871E-53.09871E-53.6097688E-411.6492633.3E-41.0339249E-41.3279608E-40.001232659.2822770.00110.00125807660.00161576340.00673747444.169840.005130.0125097810.0160746650.026701061.66106470.0108
6.31.7433485E-52.2360797E-53.123543E-413.9688372.9E-47.471279E-59.582917E-50.001075735311.2255519.8E-49.0924866E-40.00116623310.00555111334.7598660.004390.0090553730.0116324150.020735281.78254310.00921
6.41.7433485E-52.2360797E-53.123543E-413.9688372.9E-47.471279E-59.582917E-50.001075735311.2255519.8E-49.0924866E-40.00116623310.00555111334.7598660.004390.0090553730.0116324150.020735281.78254310.00921
6.51.5182742E-51.9434077E-52.9942865E-415.4074022.8E-46.506727E-58.328693E-50.001003210312.0452329.2E-47.919061E-40.00101368230.00513949575.07012460.004130.00789090.0101217270.0187039731.84790310.00867
6.66.7271576E-68.550671E-62.1854887E-425.5592652.1E-42.8830356E-53.664525E-57.666185E-420.9199967.3E-43.5095305E-44.4607025E-40.00350470547.8568460.003060.00350399320.00447025060.0106226242.37629270.00618
6.76.682835E-68.48311E-62.1848133E-425.7548642.1E-42.8640408E-53.635571E-57.663292E-421.0786487.3E-43.4864116E-44.4254653E-40.00350119247.9114670.003060.0034809470.00443522260.01057785752.38496640.00617
6.86.5774975E-68.32956E-62.1832781E-426.2112052.1E-42.8188972E-53.569766E-57.656716E-421.448797.3E-43.4314668E-44.3453797E-40.00349320828.0389020.003060.00342617280.00435537660.0104985042.410470.00617
6.96.363419E-68.002683E-62.18001E-427.240992.1E-42.727151E-53.429679E-57.6427177E-422.284067.3E-43.3198006E-44.1748903E-40.00346621578.3025310.003050.00331484550.00418534740.0102996492.4608830.00614
7.06.1342453E-67.634817E-62.1763322E-428.5053622.1E-42.6289357E-53.272026E-57.626964E-423.3096057.3E-43.2002592E-43.983019E-40.00341709918.5791680.003020.00319565440.0039940150.0100298112.51121020.00606
7.15.842926E-67.1452696E-62.0714384E-428.9903472.0E-42.504087E-53.0622254E-57.206011E-423.5319426.9E-43.0482994E-43.727676E-40.00323170148.6694810.002860.00304412140.00373955190.0094979372.53985980.00578
7.24.77173E-65.3611675E-61.6536031E-430.8440881.6E-42.045011E-52.2976252E-55.429643E-423.6315445.2E-42.4895166E-42.7970402E-40.00215917837.7195110.001880.00248672930.00281070750.0067795212.41203360.00398
7.33.0494948E-62.712334E-62.271228E-58.3737032.0E-51.3069198E-51.1624238E-51.1162308E-49.6026141.0E-41.5910587E-41.4151607E-46.0145097E-44.25005444.6E-40.00158991990.00142462840.00251307551.76402180.00109
7.42.7263884E-62.307415E-61.2307391E-55.3338441.0E-51.1684469E-59.888884E-65.988839E-56.05613235.0E-51.4224913E-41.20390614E-44.0035692E-43.32548262.8E-40.00142158110.00121251350.00188170121.55190116.7E-4
7.52.6090431E-62.1673172E-61.2167296E-55.61398941.0E-51.1181565E-59.288469E-64.9288097E-55.30637454.0E-51.3612706E-41.1308135E-43.530542E-43.1221262.4E-40.0013604370.00113927680.00167866161.47344495.4E-4
7.62.3008756E-61.8744257E-61.8744257E-61.00.09.860858E-68.033228E-62.8033068E-53.4896392.0E-51.20049335E-49.780025E-52.5778462E-42.63582751.6E-40.0011998459.862278E-40.0013658531.38492663.8E-4
7.71.7184348E-61.3434202E-61.3434202E-61.00.07.3646997E-65.7575025E-62.5757387E-54.47370862.0E-58.966153E-57.0095375E-51.3009117E-41.85591656.0E-58.962536E-47.0897903E-48.6886564E-41.22551671.6E-4
7.88.4612907E-78.416933E-78.416933E-71.00.03.6262625E-63.6072522E-63.6072522E-61.00.04.4148852E-54.391743E-57.391611E-51.68307013.0E-54.414008E-44.4484966E-44.8483186E-41.0898784.0E-5
7.92.716738E-73.773008E-73.773008E-71.00.01.1643157E-61.6170025E-61.6170025E-61.00.01.4175452E-51.9686839E-52.9686642E-51.50794361.0E-51.4174548E-41.9892666E-42.0892467E-41.05025981.0E-5
8.02.1995428E-83.3868776E-83.3868776E-81.00.09.426611E-81.4515189E-71.4515189E-71.00.01.1476893E-61.7672235E-61.7672235E-61.00.01.14768345E-51.8218208E-51.8218208E-51.00.0

Airport Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2387061E-51.3103559E-55.330967E-440.6833575.2E-45.3086325E-55.615706E-50.001916052734.119530.001866.461343E-46.8352616E-40.0081184411.8772940.007440.00644258880.0068170480.020503113.0076230.01378
6.11.2387061E-51.3103559E-55.330967E-440.6833575.2E-45.3086325E-55.615706E-50.001916052734.119530.001866.461343E-46.8352616E-40.0081184411.8772940.007440.00644258880.0068170480.020503113.0076230.01378
6.21.2387061E-51.3103559E-55.330967E-440.6833575.2E-45.3086325E-55.615706E-50.001916052734.119530.001866.461343E-46.8352616E-40.0081184411.8772940.007440.00644258880.0068170480.020503113.0076230.01378
6.31.2387061E-51.3103559E-55.330967E-440.6833575.2E-45.3086325E-55.615706E-50.001916052734.119530.001866.461343E-46.8352616E-40.0081184411.8772940.007440.00644258880.0068170480.020503113.0076230.01378
6.41.2387061E-51.3103559E-55.330967E-440.6833575.2E-45.3086325E-55.615706E-50.001916052734.119530.001866.461343E-46.8352616E-40.0081184411.8772940.007440.00644258880.0068170480.020503113.0076230.01378
6.56.9922594E-67.385145E-63.773824E-451.10023.7E-42.996648E-53.165027E-50.001361608243.020430.001333.6478083E-43.8527933E-40.00599311815.5552550.005610.0036418260.0038466510.0141369153.6751230.01033
6.66.9922594E-67.385145E-63.773824E-451.10023.7E-42.996648E-53.165027E-50.001361608243.020430.001333.6478083E-43.8527933E-40.00599311815.5552550.005610.0036418260.0038466510.0141369153.6751230.01033
6.75.477277E-65.7862417E-63.3578434E-458.031513.3E-42.3473833E-52.4797964E-50.001204768748.583370.001182.8575645E-43.0187727E-40.005170407217.1275140.004870.00285389270.0030150560.0119081613.94956560.00892
6.83.9950432E-64.2192128E-62.8421803E-467.3628162.8E-41.7121502E-51.808223E-59.1806595E-450.771729.0E-42.0843433E-42.2013167E-40.003949310617.9406740.003730.00208238930.00219940720.0089146054.05318550.00673
6.92.95695E-63.1231173E-62.0312249E-465.0383762.0E-41.2672582E-51.33847325E-57.033755E-452.5505836.9E-41.5427776E-41.629492E-40.002802519117.1987290.002640.0015417070.00162851960.00656047464.02848960.00494
7.01.456072E-61.5408596E-68.154073E-552.918998.0E-56.2402937E-66.603673E-62.8660183E-443.4003682.8E-47.597293E-58.039776E-50.001360294916.9195610.001287.594696E-48.0378563E-40.00314190473.9088840.00234
7.16.995192E-77.409207E-74.074089E-554.9868434.0E-52.997936E-63.1753743E-66.317518E-519.895356.0E-53.649926E-53.8660182E-56.186378E-416.0019365.8E-43.6493264E-43.8660184E-40.0014461923.74077920.00106

Panamint Valley

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0211835E-53.3987795E-54.2397453E-412.4743183.9E-41.2947287E-41.4565402E-40.001595442810.9536490.001450.00157519230.00177192470.00738196634.16607240.005620.0156407360.0175847490.0293049631.66649880.01193
6.13.0211835E-53.3987795E-54.2397453E-412.4743183.9E-41.2947287E-41.4565402E-40.001595442810.9536490.001450.00157519230.00177192470.00738196634.16607240.005620.0156407360.0175847490.0293049631.66649880.01193
6.23.0211835E-53.3987795E-54.2397453E-412.4743183.9E-41.2947287E-41.4565402E-40.001595442810.9536490.001450.00157519230.00177192470.00738196634.16607240.005620.0156407360.0175847490.0293049631.66649880.01193
6.32.8573924E-53.2105843E-54.2209332E-413.1469323.9E-41.2245393E-41.3758938E-40.001527398111.1011340.001390.0014898570.00167389130.00692508654.13711830.005260.014799080.0166197160.0276532431.66388180.01122
6.42.8573924E-53.2105843E-54.2209332E-413.1469323.9E-41.2245393E-41.3758938E-40.001527398111.1011340.001390.0014898570.00167389130.00692508654.13711830.005260.014799080.0166197160.0276532431.66388180.01122
6.52.7468774E-53.0831467E-54.1081975E-413.3246913.8E-41.1771801E-41.321283E-40.001491948611.2916650.001360.00143227450.00160750260.00667933654.1551020.005080.0142307820.0159655270.0265832581.66504110.01079
6.62.6135967E-52.9255378E-54.0924427E-413.9886853.8E-41.1200648E-41.2537432E-40.001485203911.8461570.001360.00136282570.00152539010.0064079314.20084760.004890.0135449820.0151557840.0253193771.67060820.01032
6.72.4498746E-52.7344215E-54.0733384E-414.8965273.8E-41.04990395E-41.1718437E-40.001377036711.7510280.001260.00127750840.0014258110.00604920934.2426450.004630.0127018930.0141730060.0237651021.67678630.00973
6.82.2244329E-52.4938487E-53.849295E-415.4351593.6E-49.532935E-51.0687498E-40.001316745612.320430.001210.00116001690.0013004480.0056248174.3252920.004330.0115398020.0129343480.021817941.68682170.009
6.91.9902658E-52.229314E-53.5228577E-415.802433.3E-48.529431E-59.5538635E-50.001175435512.3032470.001080.00103796350.00116258070.00500810474.30774830.003850.0103312880.011570160.0194182941.67830810.00794
7.01.8353881E-52.0568947E-53.4056237E-416.5571123.2E-47.865712E-58.814975E-50.001108059912.5701980.001029.5722964E-40.00107271250.0046388834.3244420.003570.0095311680.0106802870.0179122151.67712860.00731
7.11.7667631E-51.9775267E-53.2976913E-416.6758373.1E-47.571623E-58.474849E-50.001054666212.4446619.7E-49.2145515E-40.00103134210.00448777344.35139230.003460.0091764370.0102704550.0172975341.68420340.0071
7.21.6381597E-51.8160737E-52.681562E-414.765712.5E-47.020495E-57.782951E-58.977657E-411.5350298.2E-48.544101E-49.471797E-40.0039043764.1221070.002960.0085113250.0094361360.015627161.65609740.00625
7.31.4520491E-51.5968153E-52.259648E-414.1509672.1E-46.222919E-56.843323E-57.783846E-411.3743667.1E-47.57377E-48.3287235E-40.00331080683.9751670.002480.00754800950.00830065550.013497161.62603550.00524
7.41.2852287E-51.41469245E-52.141441E-415.1371482.0E-45.5080065E-56.0628357E-57.4058713E-412.2151946.8E-46.7039346E-47.379161E-40.00313614524.25000240.00240.00668374640.0073576090.0123605261.67996510.00504
7.51.1637851E-51.2838173E-52.0283573E-415.7994241.9E-44.987555E-55.5019667E-57.249828E-413.1767946.7E-46.070656E-46.6967425E-40.00301810054.5068190.002350.0060540990.0066794890.0115368251.72720190.00489
7.63.0068115E-63.333561E-61.133332E-433.997641.1E-41.2886271E-51.4286652E-53.542818E-424.7980983.4E-41.5687906E-41.739334E-40.0012337497.0932270.001060.00156768350.00173947350.00383582062.20516180.0021

Garlock (East)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5092507E-56.291901E-54.0289763E-46.40343243.4E-41.9323928E-42.6962755E-40.00131934444.8932110.001050.00235014970.00327821980.0081222882.47765180.004860.0232545040.0322876830.042080931.30331220.01012
6.14.5092507E-56.291901E-54.0289763E-46.40343243.4E-41.9323928E-42.6962755E-40.00131934444.8932110.001050.00235014970.00327821980.0081222882.47765180.004860.0232545040.0322876830.042080931.30331220.01012
6.22.6674514E-53.4522156E-53.145125E-49.1104542.8E-41.1431433E-41.4794388E-49.6782256E-46.5418228.2E-40.00139088840.00179976180.0054631573.03548880.003670.013822150.017878140.0250869131.40321730.00734
6.32.6674514E-53.4522156E-53.145125E-49.1104542.8E-41.1431433E-41.4794388E-49.6782256E-46.5418228.2E-40.00139088840.00179976180.0054631573.03548880.003670.013822150.017878140.0250869131.40321730.00734
6.42.5312667E-53.2350978E-53.1234193E-49.6547912.8E-41.0847834E-41.3863985E-49.385289E-46.7695478.0E-40.00131992370.00168666270.0053005573.142630.003620.0131211120.0167781920.0238377231.42075650.00718
6.52.5312667E-53.2350978E-53.1234193E-49.6547912.8E-41.0847834E-41.3863985E-49.385289E-46.7695478.0E-40.00131992370.00168666270.0053005573.142630.003620.0131211120.0167781920.0238377231.42075650.00718
6.62.246556E-52.8145088E-52.981375E-410.5928782.7E-49.627742E-51.20616365E-49.105211E-47.54890167.9E-40.00117154720.00146753850.00490249043.3406210.003440.0116539010.0146187270.0212306361.45229030.00671
6.72.2241198E-52.7814802E-52.978073E-410.7067922.7E-49.531594E-51.1920098E-49.091068E-47.62667237.9E-40.00115985380.00145032930.00486536933.35466530.003420.0115381870.0144486180.0210419561.45633010.00669
6.81.9528685E-52.3908464E-52.8390225E-411.874552.6E-48.369167E-51.0246093E-48.6238305E-48.4167017.6E-40.00101846980.00124676760.0044827283.595480.003240.0101381470.0124415090.0186532531.49927570.00629
6.91.3318621E-51.5207378E-52.7520343E-418.0967042.6E-45.7078556E-56.5172884E-57.951253E-412.2002487.3E-46.9470983E-47.9319667E-40.00374085674.7161780.002950.00692542040.0079450630.0135204111.70173750.00562
7.01.1760853E-51.3115919E-52.5311278E-419.2981362.4E-45.0402683E-55.6209898E-57.2617223E-412.9189396.7E-46.134799E-46.8414566E-40.00350221645.1191090.002820.00611789060.0068616060.0121649651.77290340.00534
7.11.0064758E-51.09107295E-52.509081E-422.9964562.4E-44.3133965E-54.675945E-57.167281E-415.3279846.7E-45.2502943E-45.6915113E-40.00325762015.7236470.002690.0052379070.0057174250.0107385531.87821470.00505
7.29.768808E-61.0506538E-52.4050412E-422.8909022.3E-44.186565E-54.5027264E-56.94998E-415.4350496.5E-45.095951E-45.480725E-40.00312665855.70482640.002580.00508428040.00550758470.0103905421.88658790.00491
7.39.344516E-69.952032E-62.1994994E-422.101012.1E-44.004731E-54.2650885E-56.7262404E-415.7704586.3E-44.8746695E-45.191543E-40.00291790845.62050340.00240.00486399050.00521918340.0097653321.8710460.00457
7.49.023491E-69.498046E-61.9949624E-421.0039231.9E-43.867153E-54.0705298E-56.406809E-415.7394976.0E-44.7072413E-44.9547764E-40.00260443225.25640730.002110.0046972830.00498255760.0089526771.79680360.00399
7.57.081253E-67.0941337E-68.709357E-512.2768438.0E-53.0347876E-53.040308E-52.9039517E-49.5515052.6E-43.6942272E-43.7009537E-40.00128975493.48492579.2E-40.0036880920.00372834040.0056013311.50236580.00188
7.66.116396E-65.9653516E-63.596517E-56.02901123.0E-52.6212863E-52.5565543E-51.2556299E-44.91141461.0E-43.1909486E-43.112163E-47.110918E-42.28487974.0E-40.00318637070.00313957830.00416634461.32703950.00103
7.74.797145E-64.7631393E-61.4763092E-53.09944581.0E-52.055903E-52.0413294E-56.0412476E-52.95946744.0E-52.5027743E-42.4850364E-44.984415E-42.00577142.5E-40.00249995760.00251242590.0030809941.22630245.7E-4
7.83.4028885E-63.9837723E-63.9837723E-61.00.01.4583726E-51.70732E-53.707286E-52.17140652.0E-51.775424E-42.0784645E-43.278215E-41.57722931.2E-40.00177400620.00210402650.00242335331.15176943.2E-4
7.92.5928412E-63.3769782E-63.3769782E-61.00.01.1112129E-51.4472684E-53.4472396E-52.38189362.0E-51.3528178E-41.7619075E-42.7617312E-41.56746671.0E-40.00135199450.00178370330.00203325741.13990782.5E-4
8.01.3743648E-61.6755052E-61.6755052E-61.00.05.8901214E-67.180717E-61.7180646E-52.39260861.0E-57.1709874E-58.742175E-51.474165E-41.68626816.0E-57.1686733E-48.849517E-40.00101483661.14677071.3E-4
8.13.6733252E-73.1523513E-73.1523513E-71.00.01.5742813E-61.3510071E-61.3510071E-61.00.01.9166706E-51.6448403E-51.6448403E-51.00.01.9165053E-41.6662726E-41.6662726E-41.00.0

Ash Hill

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.1545662E-52.3195389E-51.8319167E-47.8977631.6E-49.2335285E-59.940547E-57.793379E-47.83998976.8E-40.00112360230.00120966970.00408618573.37793520.002880.0111793810.0120388350.0178974461.48664260.00593
6.12.1545662E-52.3195389E-51.8319167E-47.8977631.6E-49.2335285E-59.940547E-57.793379E-47.83998976.8E-40.00112360230.00120966970.00408618573.37793520.002880.0111793810.0120388350.0178974461.48664260.00593
6.22.1545662E-52.3195389E-51.8319167E-47.8977631.6E-49.2335285E-59.940547E-57.793379E-47.83998976.8E-40.00112360230.00120966970.00408618573.37793520.002880.0111793810.0120388350.0178974461.48664260.00593
6.31.0025529E-51.0747344E-55.0746916E-54.72180944.0E-54.2965847E-54.605931E-52.960478E-46.4275342.5E-45.229836E-45.6064106E-40.00173997953.10355350.001180.0052175450.00559357930.0079702111.42488560.00239
6.41.0025529E-51.0747344E-55.0746916E-54.72180944.0E-54.2965847E-54.605931E-52.960478E-46.4275342.5E-45.229836E-45.6064106E-40.00173997953.10355350.001180.0052175450.00559357930.0079702111.42488560.00239
6.56.9617327E-67.4569152E-63.745669E-55.02308133.0E-52.9835655E-53.1957865E-52.0195244E-46.3193341.7E-43.6318856E-43.8902622E-40.00115872662.97853117.7E-40.00362595570.00388430660.00553785871.42570070.00166
6.64.9919777E-65.34689E-63.534673E-56.6107083.0E-52.1394015E-52.291508E-51.529121E-46.67299031.3E-42.60441E-42.7896208E-48.488031E-43.04271865.7E-40.00260135970.00278677740.00405323831.45445350.00127
6.73.6630722E-63.9247725E-62.3924695E-56.0958172.0E-51.5698786E-51.6820377E-59.681903E-55.7560568.0E-51.9111596E-42.0477458E-46.446845E-43.14826424.4E-40.00190951680.0020464220.0030343961.48278129.9E-4
6.82.5599613E-62.7450303E-61.2745003E-54.6429371.0E-51.0971216E-51.176439E-56.17638E-55.2500645.0E-51.3356637E-41.4322698E-44.5318258E-43.16408663.1E-40.00133486130.00143183170.00214081511.49515837.1E-4
6.91.7684905E-61.8969438E-61.1896925E-56.27162741.0E-57.579223E-68.129759E-63.8129514E-54.69011643.0E-59.2273134E-59.897981E-53.1895805E-43.22245532.2E-49.223483E-49.897981E-40.00146932311.48446744.8E-4

Blackwater

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0708583E-53.3097214E-51.5309325E-44.62556271.2E-41.3160157E-41.4183826E-46.2177016E-44.3836564.8E-40.00160107140.00172564970.00399173242.31317660.002270.0158958510.0171363350.022365171.30513140.00532
6.13.0708583E-53.3097214E-51.5309325E-44.62556271.2E-41.3160157E-41.4183826E-46.2177016E-44.3836564.8E-40.00160107140.00172564970.00399173242.31317660.002270.0158958510.0171363350.022365171.30513140.00532
6.21.1707779E-51.2545598E-57.254485E-55.78249366.0E-55.017523E-55.3765798E-52.4375558E-44.5336551.9E-46.107122E-46.5441156E-40.00157380952.40492329.2E-40.0060903660.00652581640.0084630911.29686320.00195
6.31.1707779E-51.2545598E-57.254485E-55.78249366.0E-55.017523E-55.3765798E-52.4375558E-44.5336551.9E-46.107122E-46.5441156E-40.00157380952.40492329.2E-40.0060903660.00652581640.0084630911.29686320.00195
6.47.929244E-68.4804105E-62.848024E-53.35835652.0E-53.3982033E-53.6344132E-51.363405E-43.75137571.0E-44.136527E-44.4240404E-40.0010321432.33303265.9E-40.00412883560.00441563830.0056003841.26830670.00119
6.55.8832115E-66.286219E-61.6286156E-52.59077121.0E-52.521352E-52.6940676E-58.693906E-53.22705556.0E-53.0693135E-43.279559E-47.17828E-42.18879443.9E-40.00306507780.00327497260.00411222181.25565088.4E-4
6.65.8832115E-66.286219E-61.6286156E-52.59077121.0E-52.521352E-52.6940676E-58.693906E-53.22705556.0E-53.0693135E-43.279559E-47.17828E-42.18879443.9E-40.00306507780.00327497260.00411222181.25565088.4E-4
6.73.0715053E-63.2815851E-61.3281552E-54.0472981.0E-51.3163528E-51.4063868E-54.4063447E-53.1330963.0E-51.6025416E-41.7121529E-43.5118448E-42.0511281.8E-40.00160138650.00171094840.00209029831.2217193.8E-4
6.82.2722281E-62.4288424E-61.2428818E-55.11717751.0E-59.738084E-61.0409289E-54.0408977E-53.88201143.0E-51.1855473E-41.2672663E-42.5671016E-42.02571.3E-40.0011849150.00126663390.00155626661.22866332.9E-4
6.99.952399E-71.0653887E-61.0653887E-61.00.04.265307E-64.5659463E-64.5659463E-61.00.05.1928873E-55.5589495E-51.0558672E-41.89940055.0E-55.191674E-45.558065E-46.657454E-41.19780061.1E-4
7.04.7385504E-75.075751E-75.075751E-71.00.02.0308057E-62.175322E-62.175322E-61.00.02.4724779E-52.6484544E-55.648375E-52.13270623.0E-52.4722028E-42.6484544E-43.348269E-41.26423517.0E-5

Hunter Mountain-Saline Valley

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5103672E-55.4575703E-52.5456477E-44.66443442.0E-41.9328714E-42.3387565E-49.5370726E-44.07783947.2E-40.0023507310.00284389940.0053766761.89059980.002540.0232601950.0280955020.033324351.18610970.00538
6.14.5103672E-55.4575703E-52.5456477E-44.66443442.0E-41.9328714E-42.3387565E-49.5370726E-44.07783947.2E-40.0023507310.00284389940.0053766761.89059980.002540.0232601950.0280955020.033324351.18610970.00538
6.23.9363465E-54.7068323E-52.470589E-45.24894242.0E-41.6868966E-42.017062E-49.21561E-44.5688287.2E-40.0020518620.00245314530.0049769392.0287990.002530.0203301960.024276480.0295063571.21542980.00536
6.33.9363465E-54.7068323E-52.470589E-45.24894242.0E-41.6868966E-42.017062E-49.21561E-44.5688287.2E-40.0020518620.00245314530.0049769392.0287990.002530.0203301960.024276480.0295063571.21542980.00536
6.43.2311684E-53.7955364E-52.3794777E-46.26914742.0E-41.384713E-41.6265611E-48.82539E-45.42579657.2E-40.00168458430.0019786080.0044936222.27110270.002520.0167187140.0196187240.024853961.26684890.00534
6.53.2311684E-53.7955364E-52.3794777E-46.26914742.0E-41.384713E-41.6265611E-48.82539E-45.42579657.2E-40.00168458430.0019786080.0044936222.27110270.002520.0167187140.0196187240.024853961.26684890.00534
6.62.9305844E-53.4185698E-52.3417886E-46.85019972.0E-41.2559042E-41.4650227E-48.5639826E-45.84563167.1E-40.00152799090.00178226770.0042778122.40020730.00250.0151752720.0176876760.0228841081.29378830.00529
6.72.7826512E-53.2347863E-52.323414E-47.18258862.0E-41.19251024E-41.3862668E-48.4852823E-46.12095937.1E-40.00145091420.00168653340.00418231732.47983050.00250.0144147760.0167450510.0219169721.30886270.00526
6.82.3389874E-52.686962E-52.2686424E-48.44315052.0E-41.0023846E-41.15150695E-48.250689E-47.16512357.1E-40.001219720.00140110540.00389760272.78180550.00250.012130470.0139289530.0190861041.37024690.00523
6.92.069209E-52.357255E-52.2356784E-49.4842452.0E-48.867737E-51.01021506E-48.009508E-47.9285187.0E-40.00107911230.0012292790.00369624263.00683780.002470.0107388710.0122298440.0173464941.41837410.00518
7.01.7462342E-51.9635605E-52.1963168E-411.1853782.0E-47.483646E-58.415001E-57.840911E-49.3177787.0E-49.1075303E-40.00102406740.00346156863.38021560.002440.0090702950.0101971380.0152649291.49698160.00512
7.11.4807709E-51.6443466E-52.1644018E-413.1626852.0E-46.3460066E-57.047019E-57.6042156E-410.7906856.9E-47.723524E-48.5765333E-40.00326558643.80758330.002410.0076967350.0085464430.0135830271.58931930.00508
7.21.4180048E-51.5699981E-52.1569684E-413.7386692.0E-46.077022E-56.728399E-57.5723755E-411.2543516.9E-47.396263E-48.1889087E-40.00322691753.94059510.002410.00737169430.0081617070.0132002451.61733890.00508
7.31.3730402E-51.517367E-52.1517063E-414.1805272.0E-45.8843252E-56.5028486E-57.5498363E-411.61004456.9E-47.161811E-47.914503E-40.00319954294.04263260.002410.0071387740.0078892710.0129291941.63883240.00508
7.41.2810095E-51.4110783E-52.1410796E-415.1733582.0E-45.489925E-56.047347E-57.4043236E-412.243926.8E-46.681934E-47.360316E-40.00312427254.24475340.002390.0066618780.00733885540.0123319411.68036290.00503
7.51.1595659E-51.280203E-52.027996E-415.8412061.9E-44.9694736E-55.486478E-57.2482805E-413.2111726.7E-46.0486543E-46.6778966E-40.0030062274.50175760.002340.0060322170.00666072270.0115082181.72777320.00488
7.62.997694E-63.325686E-61.1332532E-434.075771.1E-41.28471975E-51.4252903E-53.5424807E-424.8544483.4E-41.564034E-41.7352257E-40.00123333867.10765550.001060.00156293370.00173536150.00383171742.20802240.0021

Garlock (West)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.5181727E-52.5216248E-51.4521323E-45.7587161.2E-41.0791722E-41.0806518E-45.0802197E-44.701074.0E-40.00131310020.00131490290.00300268082.2835760.001690.0130536830.0131527350.0165672261.25960310.00346
6.12.5077732E-52.5117288E-51.4511427E-45.7774661.2E-41.0747157E-41.0764109E-45.0759804E-44.7156534.0E-40.0013076810.0013097460.00299753252.28863670.001690.0130001260.0131017750.0165164431.26062630.00346
6.22.494612E-52.4998972E-51.4499597E-45.80007741.2E-41.0690756E-41.0713407E-45.0709123E-44.73323974.0E-40.00130082240.00130358020.00299137712.29473970.001690.0129323410.01304084250.0164557211.26186030.00346
6.32.4733758E-52.4818324E-51.4481535E-45.8350171.2E-41.0599751E-41.0635993E-45.0631736E-44.76041464.0E-40.00128975560.00129416630.00298197922.304170.001690.0128229570.0129478050.0163630061.26376680.00346
6.42.3237335E-52.3197525E-51.4319475E-46.17284541.2E-49.958477E-59.9414196E-54.8937544E-44.9225913.9E-40.00121177020.00120969850.00288766622.38709570.001680.0120518380.0121126070.015510941.28056160.00344
6.52.2732203E-52.3011888E-51.4300912E-46.21457621.2E-49.742009E-59.8618664E-54.885802E-44.95423653.9E-40.00118544420.00120002370.00286801972.3899690.001670.0117914030.0120169090.0154056911.28200110.00343
6.62.1319436E-52.179202E-51.4178941E-46.50648261.2E-49.136581E-59.339105E-54.833546E-45.1755993.9E-40.0011118110.00113644520.00280454732.46782450.001670.0110626490.0113877850.0147787251.29776990.00343
6.71.970802E-52.0411735E-51.4040929E-46.87885141.2E-48.446021E-58.747594E-54.7744182E-45.45797873.9E-40.0010278180.00106450090.00273272332.56714030.001670.0102307710.0106754360.0140688191.31786840.00343
6.81.8744462E-51.9919305E-51.3991691E-47.02418661.2E-48.033094E-58.536567E-54.7533237E-45.56819153.9E-49.775903E-40.00103883320.00270709842.6059030.001670.0097330090.01042118950.0138154451.32570710.00343
6.91.7559682E-51.8971561E-51.3896928E-47.3251371.2E-47.5253614E-58.130416E-54.7127245E-45.79641253.9E-49.158276E-49.894301E-40.00265777762.68617030.001670.00912062450.0099314590.0133273941.34193720.00343
7.01.6794445E-51.823424E-51.3823205E-47.5809061.2E-47.197421E-57.81444E-54.6811393E-45.99037033.9E-48.759337E-49.509942E-40.0026194062.7543870.001670.0087248910.0095503220.0129277561.3536460.00341
7.11.6337795E-51.7734945E-51.3773282E-47.76618241.2E-47.0017246E-57.60047E-54.6597506E-46.1308723.9E-48.521265E-49.249657E-40.0025934212.80380230.001670.0084886640.009291980.0126702951.36357310.00341
7.21.5780008E-51.7183505E-51.3718144E-47.9833211.2E-46.762685E-57.3641524E-54.636128E-46.2955353.9E-48.2304585E-48.9621806E-40.00255473032.85056780.001660.0082000420.0090067960.0123662641.37299240.00339
7.31.5058865E-51.6636446E-51.3663445E-48.2129591.2E-46.45364E-57.129711E-54.6126932E-46.46967743.9E-47.854473E-48.676978E-40.00251626622.89993360.001650.007826770.008723430.012054121.38180960.00336
7.41.4887923E-51.6472359E-51.3647038E-48.2848111.2E-46.380382E-57.0593924E-54.605664E-46.52416473.9E-47.7653467E-48.591433E-40.00245776872.86072040.00160.00773826750.0086382290.0118898961.37642740.00328
7.51.4509299E-51.6064254E-51.3606233E-48.4698821.2E-46.218123E-56.8844995E-54.288202E-46.22877843.6E-47.567935E-48.378666E-40.00231662652.7649110.001480.00754221340.0084264820.0113813711.3506670.00298
7.61.2756717E-51.4067613E-57.406677E-55.2650566.0E-55.4670498E-56.028838E-52.4027753E-43.985471.8E-46.6541E-47.337645E-40.00151319222.06223137.8E-40.0066342110.00739105840.0092075331.24576650.00183
7.71.0328985E-51.1476324E-55.1475865E-54.48539644.0E-54.4266326E-54.9183323E-51.5917791E-43.23642061.1E-45.388092E-45.986428E-40.00108834951.81802814.9E-40.00537504670.0060469640.00711049371.17587830.00107
7.87.0306583E-68.912348E-62.8912169E-53.24405772.0E-53.0131043E-53.819522E-59.8192926E-52.57081726.0E-53.667837E-44.6492773E-47.6478824E-41.64496163.0E-40.0036617890.0047021430.00534908661.13758486.5E-4
7.94.060633E-65.472873E-61.5472819E-52.8271841.0E-51.7402595E-52.3454959E-56.345402E-52.70535614.0E-52.11856E-42.8552682E-44.6547543E-41.63023361.8E-40.00211654140.00288836450.00329718021.14153894.1E-4
8.01.6729537E-62.080019E-61.2079999E-55.8076381.0E-57.169782E-68.914337E-63.891407E-54.36533553.0E-58.7288594E-51.08526685E-42.0851583E-41.92133241.0E-48.7254314E-40.00109854590.00126835911.154581.7E-4
8.13.6733252E-73.1523513E-73.1523513E-71.00.01.5742813E-61.3510071E-61.3510071E-61.00.01.9166706E-51.6448403E-51.6448403E-51.00.01.9165053E-41.6662726E-41.6662726E-41.00.0

Gravel Hills-Harper Lk

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0679566E-53.146678E-51.01464575E-43.22449837.0E-51.3147724E-41.3485189E-44.8480468E-43.59509023.5E-40.00159955990.00164080210.00317827541.93702530.001540.0158809520.0163084470.0191709881.17552520.00291
6.13.0679566E-53.146678E-51.01464575E-43.22449837.0E-51.3147724E-41.3485189E-44.8480468E-43.59509023.5E-40.00159955990.00164080210.00317827541.93702530.001540.0158809520.0163084470.0191709881.17552520.00291
6.21.514536E-51.3635941E-51.3635941E-51.00.06.490707E-55.843851E-51.3843384E-42.36888038.0E-57.8995706E-47.1126845E-40.00123089851.73056835.2E-40.0078715480.00709112130.0080343851.13302049.5E-4
6.31.514536E-51.3635941E-51.3635941E-51.00.06.490707E-55.843851E-51.3843384E-42.36888038.0E-57.8995706E-47.1126845E-40.00123089851.73056835.2E-40.0078715480.00709112130.0080343851.13302049.5E-4
6.41.2532521E-51.0690225E-51.0690225E-51.00.05.37097E-54.581448E-57.581311E-51.65478483.0E-56.537194E-45.5765436E-48.474926E-41.51974532.9E-40.00651799650.005563140.00616974661.10904036.1E-4
6.51.1094058E-59.084098E-69.084098E-61.00.04.7545094E-53.8931288E-55.8930513E-51.51370562.0E-55.787078E-44.738894E-46.6379935E-41.40074741.9E-40.00577203040.0047291960.00518702061.09680814.6E-4
6.69.688328E-67.5320436E-67.5320436E-61.00.04.1520743E-53.22798E-54.227948E-51.30978121.0E-55.053978E-43.9293827E-45.2288716E-41.33071081.3E-40.00504249940.00392269160.00420159331.07109952.8E-4
6.78.974824E-66.7497213E-66.7497213E-61.00.03.8462964E-52.8927068E-52.8927068E-51.00.04.6818596E-43.5213237E-44.4210066E-41.25549579.0E-50.0046720080.00351596480.0036953321.0510151.8E-4
6.87.4780046E-65.1164225E-65.1164225E-61.00.03.20482E-52.1927348E-52.1927348E-51.00.03.9011694E-42.6693416E-43.0692347E-41.14980974.0E-50.00389432810.00266627340.00272611341.02244336.0E-5
6.96.3409307E-63.9076735E-63.9076735E-61.00.02.7175134E-51.674707E-51.674707E-51.00.03.3080703E-42.038775E-42.4386935E-41.19615634.0E-50.00330315020.00203700270.00209688051.0293956.0E-5
7.05.1239335E-62.605978E-62.605978E-61.00.02.195953E-51.116843E-51.116843E-51.00.02.6732447E-41.359674E-41.6596333E-41.22061113.0E-50.00267003130.00135886740.00138882661.02204723.0E-5
7.14.438899E-62.0985767E-62.0985767E-61.00.01.9023713E-58.99387E-68.99387E-61.00.02.315891E-41.0949509E-41.394918E-41.27395493.0E-50.0023134790.00109443320.00112440041.02738143.0E-5
7.23.50367E-61.2616476E-61.2616476E-61.00.01.5015643E-55.4070506E-65.4070506E-61.00.01.8280011E-46.5828935E-58.582762E-51.30379772.0E-50.00182649826.5810257E-46.780894E-41.03037042.0E-5
7.32.561638E-67.1193233E-77.1193233E-71.00.01.0978401E-53.051135E-63.051135E-61.00.01.3365384E-43.7146954E-55.714621E-51.53838222.0E-50.00133573493.7140946E-43.9140202E-41.0538292.0E-5
7.42.0368864E-65.304974E-75.304974E-71.00.08.729483E-62.2735583E-62.2735583E-61.00.01.06276275E-42.7680228E-53.767995E-51.36125871.0E-50.00106225472.7676832E-42.8676557E-41.03612121.0E-5
7.51.1681728E-63.6031344E-73.6031344E-71.00.05.0064455E-61.5441996E-61.5441996E-61.00.06.0951766E-51.8800472E-52.8800285E-51.53189151.0E-56.093505E-41.8798928E-41.979874E-41.05318451.0E-5
7.61.3154387E-77.119929E-87.119929E-81.00.05.6375933E-73.0513976E-73.0513976E-71.00.06.863748E-63.715072E-63.715072E-61.00.06.863536E-53.7150257E-53.7150257E-51.00.0

McLean Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.7360222E-51.8502275E-57.8501165E-54.24278456.0E-57.439883E-57.929332E-52.8927668E-43.64818452.1E-49.0542925E-49.6501724E-40.00208393652.1594810.001120.0090174910.0096131090.0123168651.28125720.00273
6.19.062689E-69.592492E-63.9592203E-54.1274163.0E-53.8839516E-54.1110077E-51.7110474E-44.16211181.3E-44.727685E-45.0040917E-40.00114008892.27831346.4E-40.00471763960.00499370650.0064066151.28293790.00142
6.29.062689E-69.592492E-63.9592203E-54.1274163.0E-53.8839516E-54.1110077E-51.7110474E-44.16211181.3E-44.727685E-45.0040917E-40.00114008892.27831346.4E-40.00471763960.00499370650.0064066151.28293790.00142
6.37.2575485E-67.66794E-61.7667862E-52.30412131.0E-53.110341E-53.2862223E-51.3285894E-44.04290771.0E-43.786182E-44.0003125E-49.1982324E-42.29937845.2E-40.00377973750.0039938160.00512926331.28430130.00114
6.47.2575485E-67.66794E-61.7667862E-52.30412131.0E-53.110341E-53.2862223E-51.3285894E-44.04290771.0E-43.786182E-44.0003125E-49.1982324E-42.29937845.2E-40.00377973750.0039938160.00512926331.28430130.00114
6.56.06582E-66.4040664E-61.6404003E-52.56149771.0E-52.5996113E-52.7445747E-51.1744328E-44.27910669.0E-53.164567E-43.3410723E-47.6396356E-42.2865824.3E-40.00316006430.00333668780.00424365141.27181559.1E-4
6.65.598744E-65.910437E-61.5910378E-52.69191241.0E-52.3994397E-52.5330233E-51.0532821E-44.1582018.0E-52.9209262E-43.0835834E-46.982381E-42.26437233.9E-40.00291708970.0030799340.00393728541.27836688.6E-4
6.75.246996E-65.5393257E-61.553927E-52.80526381.0E-52.2486933E-52.3739787E-51.0373789E-44.369798.0E-52.73744E-42.8899993E-46.4889586E-42.2453153.6E-40.00273407040.00288686480.0036646131.26940937.8E-4
6.84.02324E-64.2470297E-61.4246987E-53.35457681.0E-51.7242342E-51.8201463E-57.820037E-54.2963786.0E-52.099053E-42.2158623E-45.015242E-42.26333642.8E-40.00209707140.00221423730.0028627981.29290496.5E-4
6.96.835972E-77.140097E-77.140097E-71.00.02.9296991E-63.0600397E-61.3060009E-54.26792141.0E-53.56685E-53.7255664E-57.7254175E-52.07362224.0E-53.5662777E-43.7252545E-44.4249938E-41.18783667.0E-5

Goldstone Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.671352E-53.0378256E-58.037674E-52.64586425.0E-51.1448149E-41.3018714E-43.601572E-42.76645762.3E-40.0013929210.00158407220.0025725041.62398159.9E-40.0138422220.015747310.018158731.15313210.00245
6.12.671352E-53.0378256E-58.037674E-52.64586425.0E-51.1448149E-41.3018714E-43.601572E-42.76645762.3E-40.0013929210.00158407220.0025725041.62398159.9E-40.0138422220.015747310.018158731.15313210.00245
6.21.4197047E-51.609734E-54.6096855E-52.8636323.0E-56.0843064E-56.898733E-51.8897904E-42.73932981.2E-47.4051257E-48.396957E-40.00142920031.70204545.9E-40.0073804980.0083749270.0096838721.15629330.00132
6.31.4197047E-51.609734E-54.6096855E-52.8636323.0E-56.0843064E-56.898733E-51.8897904E-42.73932981.2E-47.4051257E-48.396957E-40.00142920031.70204545.9E-40.0073804980.0083749270.0096838721.15629330.00132
6.41.3238931E-51.5009476E-54.5009027E-52.99870733.0E-55.6737044E-56.432529E-51.6431886E-42.55449841.0E-46.9055456E-47.8297703E-40.0013125621.67637365.3E-40.0068841260.00781181130.0090520471.15876410.00125
6.51.3238931E-51.5009476E-54.5009027E-52.99870733.0E-55.6737044E-56.432529E-51.6431886E-42.55449841.0E-46.9055456E-47.8297703E-40.0013125621.67637365.3E-40.0068841260.00781181130.0090520471.15876410.00125
6.61.1328278E-51.2856037E-54.2855652E-53.33350423.0E-54.8548856E-55.5096676E-51.3509227E-42.4519138.0E-55.90922E-46.7069125E-40.00114037611.70029954.7E-40.00589353130.00669606170.0077489641.15724210.00106
6.78.651175E-69.825223E-61.9825125E-52.01777861.0E-53.707594E-54.210793E-58.210625E-51.94989984.0E-54.5130608E-45.12634E-48.524597E-41.66290123.4E-40.00450390620.00512339450.0058695521.14563737.5E-4
6.81.0215377E-61.1755159E-61.1755159E-61.00.04.378012E-65.0379163E-61.50378655E-52.98493771.0E-55.3300988E-56.133502E-59.1333175E-51.4890873.0E-55.3288206E-46.1319215E-46.4317376E-41.04889433.0E-5
6.97.9360774E-79.283743E-79.283743E-71.00.03.4011714E-63.978741E-63.978741E-61.00.04.1408475E-54.8440168E-55.8439684E-51.20643021.0E-54.140076E-44.8430308E-44.9429823E-41.02063821.0E-5
7.07.4382757E-78.7476525E-78.7476525E-71.00.03.1878285E-63.748989E-63.748989E-61.00.03.8811122E-54.5643053E-55.5642595E-51.21908141.0E-53.8804344E-44.5634343E-44.6633885E-41.02190331.0E-5
7.16.4709513E-77.711585E-77.711585E-71.00.02.773262E-63.3049612E-63.3049612E-61.00.03.376394E-54.023722E-55.0236817E-51.24851611.0E-53.375881E-44.023053E-44.1230128E-41.02484681.0E-5
7.26.356704E-77.5886396E-77.5886396E-71.00.02.7242988E-63.2522705E-63.2522705E-61.00.03.3167835E-53.9595736E-54.959534E-51.25254251.0E-53.3162883E-43.9589274E-44.0588877E-41.02524941.0E-5
7.35.7695723E-76.8968285E-76.8968285E-71.00.02.4726714E-62.9557807E-62.9557807E-61.00.03.0104358E-53.5986093E-54.5985733E-51.27787511.0E-53.0100282E-43.598084E-43.698048E-41.02778261.0E-5
7.45.209647E-76.1937425E-76.1937425E-71.00.02.232704E-62.6544587E-62.6544587E-61.00.02.718283E-53.231761E-54.231729E-51.30941881.0E-52.7179506E-43.2313468E-43.3313144E-41.03093681.0E-5
7.54.512955E-75.3490703E-75.3490703E-71.00.01.934122E-62.292457E-62.292457E-61.00.02.3547682E-52.791036E-52.791036E-51.00.02.3545188E-42.7907387E-42.7907387E-41.00.0
7.62.21172E-72.6040448E-72.6040448E-71.00.09.478797E-71.1160189E-61.1160189E-61.00.01.1540374E-51.3587473E-51.3587473E-51.00.01.1539775E-41.3586924E-41.3586924E-41.00.0

So Sierra Nevada

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.15488665E-51.1079929E-57.107927E-56.41513736.0E-54.9494203E-54.7484617E-52.474751E-45.21169042.0E-46.024253E-45.779846E-40.00160738932.78102450.001030.0060079480.00576608260.0077843781.35002880.00203
6.11.15488665E-51.1079929E-57.107927E-56.41513736.0E-54.9494203E-54.7484617E-52.474751E-45.21169042.0E-46.024253E-45.779846E-40.00160738932.78102450.001030.0060079480.00576608260.0077843781.35002880.00203
6.21.15488665E-51.1079929E-57.107927E-56.41513736.0E-54.9494203E-54.7484617E-52.474751E-45.21169042.0E-46.024253E-45.779846E-40.00160738932.78102450.001030.0060079480.00576608260.0077843781.35002880.00203
6.31.15488665E-51.1079929E-57.107927E-56.41513736.0E-54.9494203E-54.7484617E-52.474751E-45.21169042.0E-46.024253E-45.779846E-40.00160738932.78102450.001030.0060079480.00576608260.0077843781.35002880.00203
6.41.15488665E-51.1079929E-57.107927E-56.41513736.0E-54.9494203E-54.7484617E-52.474751E-45.21169042.0E-46.024253E-45.779846E-40.00160738932.78102450.001030.0060079480.00576608260.0077843781.35002880.00203
6.51.15488665E-51.1079929E-57.107927E-56.41513736.0E-54.9494203E-54.7484617E-52.474751E-45.21169042.0E-46.024253E-45.779846E-40.00160738932.78102450.001030.0060079480.00576608260.0077843781.35002880.00203
6.67.587044E-66.9358202E-64.6935544E-56.76712234.0E-53.2515498E-52.9724622E-51.5972076E-45.37334871.3E-43.9580427E-43.618401E-48.8165194E-42.4365795.2E-40.0039510.0036128010.0047088271.30337290.0011
6.77.587044E-66.9358202E-64.6935544E-56.76712234.0E-53.2515498E-52.9724622E-51.5972076E-45.37334871.3E-43.9580427E-43.618401E-48.8165194E-42.4365795.2E-40.0039510.0036128010.0047088271.30337290.0011
6.85.9026956E-65.179538E-62.5179434E-54.8613282.0E-52.5297022E-52.2197837E-51.0219606E-44.60387478.0E-53.0794772E-42.7022633E-46.7011826E-42.47984084.0E-40.00307521320.00269909370.00350690731.29929088.1E-4
6.95.0118915E-64.2525508E-62.4252466E-55.70303962.0E-52.1479358E-51.8225093E-59.822364E-55.3894728.0E-52.614798E-42.2186866E-45.517954E-42.48703653.3E-40.00261172350.0022165440.00286510331.29259936.5E-4
7.04.4924795E-63.7140323E-62.3713957E-56.38496262.0E-51.925334E-51.5917189E-57.5916236E-54.769456.0E-52.3438422E-41.9377517E-44.6372286E-42.39309742.7E-40.00234137170.00193612490.00249504071.28867765.6E-4
7.13.9118436E-63.1120794E-62.3112018E-57.42655132.0E-51.6764936E-51.3337418E-55.3336884E-53.99904134.0E-52.0409399E-41.6237154E-43.523407E-42.1699661.9E-40.00203906630.0016225850.00204190361.25842624.2E-4
7.23.4200818E-62.605546E-62.2605494E-58.6759152.0E-51.4657411E-51.116658E-55.1166135E-54.5820774.0E-51.7843937E-41.3594514E-43.0592203E-42.25033451.7E-40.00178296150.00135866950.00169820761.24990493.4E-4
7.32.6593618E-61.8284966E-61.1828478E-56.4689641.0E-51.13972155E-57.836392E-63.783616E-54.82826233.0E-51.3875226E-49.540419E-51.7539656E-41.83845768.0E-50.00138665659.536612E-40.00113348951.18856631.8E-4
7.42.2577992E-61.4365053E-61.1436491E-57.9613291.0E-59.676246E-66.156438E-62.6156315E-54.2486122.0E-51.1780193E-47.495231E-51.3494781E-41.8004496.0E-50.0011773957.4929534E-48.891904E-41.18670231.4E-4
7.51.489319E-67.354422E-77.354422E-71.00.06.3827797E-63.1518912E-61.315186E-54.17268851.0E-57.770758E-53.8373604E-57.837207E-52.04234314.0E-57.7680405E-43.836702E-44.9362803E-41.28659451.1E-4
7.61.0680322E-64.659972E-74.659972E-71.00.04.577273E-61.9971294E-61.9971294E-61.00.05.5726876E-52.431478E-53.4314537E-51.41126251.0E-55.5712904E-42.4312147E-43.0310688E-41.24673026.0E-5
7.75.509146E-71.5581371E-71.5581371E-71.00.02.3610605E-66.677729E-76.677729E-71.00.02.8745531E-58.130106E-61.8130024E-52.22998621.0E-52.8741814E-48.1298196E-59.1297385E-51.1229941.0E-5

Coyote Canyon

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.5090034E-54.0367537E-56.0366732E-51.49542762.0E-51.503772E-41.729937E-42.729764E-41.57795571.0E-40.00182930470.00210442110.00287280071.36512647.7E-40.0181431940.0208708550.0225157921.0788150.00168
6.13.5090034E-54.0367537E-56.0366732E-51.49542762.0E-51.503772E-41.729937E-42.729764E-41.57795571.0E-40.00182930470.00210442110.00287280071.36512647.7E-40.0181431940.0208708550.0225157921.0788150.00168
6.21.841879E-52.1061396E-53.1061187E-51.47479241.0E-57.8935285E-59.0260575E-51.3025697E-41.44312134.0E-59.606133E-40.00109847050.00157794331.43649134.8E-40.00956471450.0109404970.0118603221.08407539.3E-4
6.31.841879E-52.1061396E-53.1061187E-51.47479241.0E-57.8935285E-59.0260575E-51.3025697E-41.44312134.0E-59.606133E-40.00109847050.00157794331.43649134.8E-40.00956471450.0109404970.0118603221.08407539.3E-4
6.41.712201E-51.9566693E-52.9566498E-51.51106251.0E-57.337798E-58.385513E-51.2385177E-41.47697324.0E-58.930107E-40.00102055860.00148008921.45027354.6E-40.0088943070.0101686380.0110396891.08566068.8E-4
6.51.4744935E-51.683824E-52.6838072E-51.59387641.0E-56.3191044E-57.216242E-51.0216025E-41.41569893.0E-57.6907943E-48.7831676E-40.00130793911.48914284.3E-40.0076642320.0087576520.0095803831.09394438.3E-4
6.61.2017839E-51.3725124E-52.3724986E-51.7285811.0E-55.150401E-55.882113E-57.8819954E-51.33999382.0E-56.268809E-47.1600056E-40.00106574991.48847643.5E-40.00625115450.0071456310.00779098641.09031466.5E-4
6.71.00956095E-51.1534388E-52.1534273E-51.86696271.0E-54.326618E-54.943265E-56.9431655E-51.40457092.0E-55.266384E-46.0176325E-48.9158874E-41.48162712.9E-40.0052539210.0060098660.00655656081.09096625.5E-4

Lenwood-Lockhart-Old Woman Springs

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.744542E-54.3965032E-55.396459E-51.22744351.0E-51.604705E-41.8840893E-43.083863E-41.63679251.2E-40.00195197760.00229163750.00307982721.34394177.9E-40.0193492060.022698070.0242812991.06975170.00162
6.13.744542E-54.3965032E-55.396459E-51.22744351.0E-51.604705E-41.8840893E-43.083863E-41.63679251.2E-40.00195197760.00229163750.00307982721.34394177.9E-40.0193492060.022698070.0242812991.06975170.00162
6.23.744542E-54.3965032E-55.396459E-51.22744351.0E-51.604705E-41.8840893E-43.083863E-41.63679251.2E-40.00195197760.00229163750.00307982721.34394177.9E-40.0193492060.022698070.0242812991.06975170.00162
6.32.1079984E-52.5354779E-52.5354779E-51.00.09.0339665E-51.0865892E-41.686524E-41.55212666.0E-50.00109933040.00132213950.0017016371.2870333.8E-40.0109390790.013144950.013894961.05705697.6E-4
6.42.1079984E-52.5354779E-52.5354779E-51.00.09.0339665E-51.0865892E-41.686524E-41.55212666.0E-50.00109933040.00132213950.0017016371.2870333.8E-40.0109390790.013144950.013894961.05705697.6E-4
6.51.7397282E-52.0663578E-52.0663578E-51.00.07.455765E-58.855525E-51.4854994E-41.67748316.0E-59.073613E-40.00107763860.00136732611.2688172.9E-40.0090366540.0107254240.0113090961.05441955.9E-4
6.61.52050325E-51.7680335E-51.7680335E-51.00.06.51628E-57.577071E-59.576919E-51.26393432.0E-57.9306826E-49.221258E-40.00113193211.22752462.1E-40.0079024390.0091838580.0096396331.04962794.6E-4
6.71.332523E-51.526459E-51.526459E-51.00.05.7106878E-56.541806E-58.541676E-51.30570592.0E-56.950544E-47.9617975E-49.860285E-41.23844961.9E-40.0069288450.00793390350.008330731.05001654.0E-4
6.81.1525329E-51.30315375E-51.30315375E-51.00.04.9393333E-55.584827E-57.584716E-51.35809312.0E-56.011979E-46.797448E-48.496293E-41.24992381.7E-40.005995740.00677710860.00712473641.05129443.5E-4
6.91.0253909E-51.151498E-51.151498E-51.00.04.3944583E-54.9349E-55.9348506E-51.20262841.0E-55.3489394E-46.006621E-47.3058397E-41.21629791.3E-40.00533608250.0059907650.00626908751.04645862.8E-4
7.08.104563E-68.991533E-68.991533E-61.00.03.4733377E-53.8534585E-54.85342E-51.25949721.0E-54.2279682E-44.6906E-45.7900837E-41.23440161.1E-40.00421993340.00468094740.00489991761.0467792.2E-4
7.16.7986157E-67.516056E-67.516056E-61.00.02.91366E-53.2211283E-53.2211283E-51.00.03.5468035E-43.9210395E-44.8206866E-41.22944099.0E-50.0035411480.00391433760.0040737111.04071531.6E-4
7.25.6893327E-66.280187E-66.280187E-61.00.02.4382627E-52.691482E-52.691482E-51.00.02.9681803E-43.2764065E-43.87621E-41.18306746.0E-50.0029642190.00327177460.0033913821.03655731.2E-4
7.34.253348E-64.707105E-64.707105E-61.00.01.8228506E-52.017316E-52.017316E-51.00.02.2190946E-42.4558237E-42.75575E-41.12212863.0E-50.002216880.00245329090.00254307011.03659559.0E-5
7.42.5448119E-62.8520674E-62.8520674E-61.00.01.0906291E-51.2223099E-51.2223099E-51.00.01.3277601E-41.4880771E-41.5880622E-41.06719081.0E-50.0013269670.00148724290.00153716851.03356925.0E-5
7.54.3706837E-84.5630156E-84.5630156E-81.00.01.8731501E-71.955578E-71.955578E-71.00.02.2805577E-62.380914E-62.380914E-61.00.02.2805343E-52.3808941E-52.3808941E-51.00.0

Death Valley (So)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.0684236E-52.5620835E-55.5620065E-52.1708923.0E-58.864371E-51.09799046E-42.4978368E-42.27491661.4E-40.00107870290.00133600050.00203506531.52325197.0E-40.0107348170.0132829780.0148419911.11736920.00158
6.12.0684236E-52.5620835E-55.5620065E-52.1708923.0E-58.864371E-51.09799046E-42.4978368E-42.27491661.4E-40.00107870290.00133600050.00203506531.52325197.0E-40.0107348170.0132829780.0148419911.11736920.00158
6.22.0684236E-52.5620835E-55.5620065E-52.1708923.0E-58.864371E-51.09799046E-42.4978368E-42.27491661.4E-40.00107870290.00133600050.00203506531.52325197.0E-40.0107348170.0132829780.0148419911.11736920.00158
6.32.0240292E-52.5120886E-55.512013E-52.19419553.0E-58.6741224E-51.0765659E-42.4764152E-42.30029131.4E-40.00105556260.00130994760.00195909621.4955536.5E-40.0105056280.013025520.0144862431.11214320.00148
6.42.0240292E-52.5120886E-55.512013E-52.19419553.0E-58.6741224E-51.0765659E-42.4764152E-42.30029131.4E-40.00105556260.00130994760.00195909621.4955536.5E-40.0105056280.013025520.0144862431.11214320.00148
6.51.9962767E-52.4810119E-55.4809374E-52.20915413.0E-58.55519E-51.0632484E-42.4630997E-42.31657961.4E-40.00104109680.00129375290.00191295081.4786066.2E-40.0103623270.0128654570.0142671881.10895310.00142
6.61.8937297E-52.3313813E-55.3313113E-52.28676083.0E-58.115732E-59.99126E-52.2989961E-42.30100731.3E-49.876423E-40.00121577150.00181504211.49291376.0E-40.0098326450.012094110.0133685091.10537350.00129
6.71.8621096E-52.291442E-55.2913732E-52.3091893.0E-57.980225E-59.8201046E-52.1818926E-42.22186281.2E-49.711593E-40.00119495650.00178425151.49315185.9E-40.0096692610.0118882040.0131529871.10638980.00128
6.81.7830353E-52.1808304E-55.1807652E-52.37559273.0E-57.641356E-59.34609E-52.1344968E-42.28383951.2E-49.29938E-40.00113730640.00172663541.51817955.9E-40.0092605610.0113172620.0125531151.10920070.00125
6.91.3135183E-51.5305317E-54.530486E-52.9600733.0E-55.6292425E-56.5592605E-51.555867E-42.3720169.0E-56.8514474E-47.9830387E-40.00124794471.56324524.5E-40.0068303620.0079558690.00885862951.11347099.1E-4
7.01.1507512E-51.3155236E-52.3155104E-51.76014361.0E-54.9316975E-55.6378398E-59.637614E-51.70945164.0E-56.002687E-46.861966E-40.0010059771.46601873.2E-40.00598649870.00684207260.00746776161.09144746.3E-4
7.19.715903E-61.0865992E-52.0865884E-51.92029251.0E-54.1638916E-54.6567733E-58.656587E-51.85892394.0E-55.068359E-45.668189E-47.7669986E-41.37027872.1E-40.00505681480.00565427540.0059923531.05979143.4E-4
7.29.233269E-61.02869635E-51.02869635E-51.00.03.9570554E-54.4086264E-56.408538E-51.4536362.0E-54.81665E-45.366223E-46.765472E-41.26075111.4E-40.00480622330.00535369660.0055924121.04458882.4E-4
7.38.8041315E-69.80876E-69.80876E-61.00.03.7731446E-54.203689E-56.203605E-51.47575262.0E-54.592835E-45.116832E-46.4161664E-41.25393341.3E-40.00458335460.0051054770.0052945071.0370251.9E-4
7.48.708749E-69.707768E-69.707768E-61.00.03.7322676E-54.1604082E-56.160325E-51.4807022.0E-54.5430884E-45.0641614E-46.363503E-41.25657581.3E-40.0045338120.00505304760.00524208741.03741111.9E-4
7.58.612678E-69.605406E-69.605406E-61.00.03.6910955E-54.1165404E-56.116458E-51.48582482.0E-54.492982E-45.0107774E-46.310126E-41.25931081.3E-40.0044839090.0049999050.0051889551.03781071.9E-4
7.68.319024E-69.28449E-69.28449E-61.00.03.5652476E-53.9790088E-55.978929E-51.50261772.0E-54.3398244E-44.8434082E-45.942875E-41.22700271.1E-40.00433135870.00483327640.00500245441.03500281.7E-4
7.77.4718328E-68.345689E-68.345689E-61.00.03.2021748E-53.576677E-54.5766414E-51.27957921.0E-53.8979502E-44.3537747E-45.1534263E-41.18366868.0E-50.003891120.00434565030.00446512881.02749381.2E-4
7.83.4586725E-73.648368E-73.648368E-71.00.01.4822873E-61.5635853E-61.1563569E-57.39554741.0E-51.80467E-51.903649E-53.903611E-52.05059392.0E-51.8045233E-41.9034903E-42.1034523E-41.10505012.0E-5
7.92.5591178E-92.6697329E-92.6697329E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.14417125E-81.14417125E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3930286E-71.3930286E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3930285E-61.3930285E-61.00.0

San Andreas (Mojave S)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.1064058E-46.7501515E-47.1498816E-41.05921794.0E-50.00133063760.0028898430.00306932281.06210711.8E-40.0160806050.0347434540.0354191331.01944777.0E-40.14965490.286845030.28785061.00350560.00141
6.13.1064058E-46.7501515E-47.1498816E-41.05921794.0E-50.00133063760.0028898430.00306932281.06210711.8E-40.0160806050.0347434540.0354191331.01944777.0E-40.14965490.286845030.28785061.00350560.00141
6.23.1064058E-46.7501515E-47.1498816E-41.05921794.0E-50.00133063760.0028898430.00306932281.06210711.8E-40.0160806050.0347434540.0354191331.01944777.0E-40.14965490.286845030.28785061.00350560.00141
6.33.1064058E-46.7501515E-47.1498816E-41.05921794.0E-50.00133063760.0028898430.00306932281.06210711.8E-40.0160806050.0347434540.0354191331.01944777.0E-40.14965490.286845030.28785061.00350560.00141
6.41.9872203E-44.3217847E-44.7216116E-41.09251444.0E-58.5138786E-40.00185090690.00199064781.07549861.4E-40.0103164780.0223080850.022865371.02498135.7E-40.0985048560.197188630.19817611.00500760.00123
6.51.291105E-42.878896E-43.1788097E-41.10417663.0E-55.5321335E-40.0012332320.00133310861.08098771.0E-40.0067145920.01491205950.0154046031.03302995.0E-40.0651529650.138211970.139142691.00673410.00108
6.61.291105E-42.878896E-43.1788097E-41.10417663.0E-55.5321335E-40.0012332320.00133310861.08098771.0E-40.0067145920.01491205950.0154046031.03302995.0E-40.0651529650.138211970.139142691.00673410.00108
6.71.08001186E-42.4369665E-42.7368934E-41.12307383.0E-54.6278012E-40.00104399670.00114389231.09568571.0E-40.00561980160.0126368820.01311081651.03750414.8E-40.0547979060.119333870.120258571.00774880.00105
6.81.0624356E-42.3887234E-42.6886517E-41.125563.0E-54.5525006E-40.00102333750.00112323511.09761951.0E-40.00552859250.0123882340.0128524121.03746934.7E-40.0539305660.1172779050.1181959361.00782790.00104
6.91.0393785E-42.3257434E-42.6256737E-41.1289613.0E-54.4537184E-49.963668E-40.00109626731.10026471.0E-40.00540892870.0120635430.0125179941.03767144.6E-40.052791560.114577360.115489341.00795960.00103
7.01.0155622E-42.2626782E-42.5626103E-41.13255623.0E-54.3516833E-49.693592E-40.00106926231.1030611.0E-40.0052853110.011738310.0121830271.0378864.5E-40.051613610.1118404340.112746361.00810020.00102
7.19.885595E-52.1914982E-42.4914325E-41.13686263.0E-54.2359953E-49.388758E-40.00103878181.10641041.0E-40.00514513530.0113711010.0118159851.0391244.5E-40.050276290.108720630.1096297351.00836180.00102
7.29.6411415E-52.1277768E-42.427713E-41.14096223.0E-54.1312634E-49.11586E-40.00101149481.10959891.0E-40.0050182190.0110422620.0114872941.04030254.5E-40.0490640070.1059148760.106826841.00861040.00102
7.39.1180635E-51.9505205E-42.250462E-41.15377513.0E-53.907156E-48.3566963E-49.3558605E-41.11956451.0E-40.0047465910.0101269270.010572371.0439864.5E-40.0464647860.098103420.099023351.00937720.00102
7.48.887388E-51.875339E-42.1752827E-41.15994113.0E-53.8083247E-48.034692E-48.933969E-41.11192439.0E-50.00462678170.0097384590.0101741741.04474164.4E-40.0453162860.0947350.095649311.00965130.00101
7.58.6750515E-51.8084598E-42.1084056E-41.1658573.0E-53.7173493E-47.7482406E-48.647543E-41.11606549.0E-50.0045164840.0093927650.0098286331.04640464.4E-40.044257870.0916967840.0926141741.01000450.00101
7.68.453092E-51.7471766E-42.0471241E-41.17167563.0E-53.6222505E-47.485751E-48.385077E-41.12013849.0E-50.00440117530.0090758910.0095118981.048044.4E-40.043150240.088852630.089772891.01035710.00101
7.78.259102E-51.6993514E-41.9993004E-41.1765083.0E-53.539135E-47.280903E-48.1802474E-41.12352119.0E-50.0043003860.00882853850.0092646541.04939844.4E-40.0421811340.0866032840.087516681.01054690.001
7.87.444844E-51.531286E-41.7312553E-41.13058912.0E-53.1902574E-46.561004E-47.260545E-41.1066217.0E-50.00387722230.00795881450.008315951.04487293.6E-40.038102690.078422310.079159571.00940128.0E-4
7.95.2586525E-51.0026347E-41.1026247E-41.09972731.0E-52.2535135E-44.2962984E-44.7960837E-41.11632935.0E-50.00274020060.00521820920.0054370611.04194012.2E-40.0270665740.0522950440.052759421.00887994.9E-4
8.03.379877E-55.418741E-56.418687E-51.18453471.0E-51.4484383E-42.322111E-42.6220412E-41.12916283.0E-50.00176204710.00282350650.00294316771.04238031.2E-40.0174814090.02889120.0290951341.00705862.1E-4
8.11.8668277E-51.9360978E-51.9360978E-51.00.08.000444E-58.2972976E-58.2972976E-51.00.09.736188E-40.00100972850.00101971841.00989371.0E-50.0096936420.0108261150.0108458981.00182742.0E-5
8.28.541571E-65.4799148E-65.4799148E-61.00.03.660622E-52.3485138E-52.3485138E-51.00.04.455896E-42.8589412E-42.8589412E-41.00.00.00444697170.00325128860.00325128861.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.690063E-77.690063E-71.00.08.498917E-63.295737E-63.295737E-61.00.01.034694E-44.012488E-54.012488E-51.00.00.00103421244.737206E-44.737206E-41.00.0

San Andreas (Mojave N)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.877682E-51.9436594E-42.3435817E-41.20575744.0E-54.2326056E-48.3273114E-49.7261457E-41.16798151.4E-40.00514102770.01009149850.0107151411.06179886.3E-40.050237080.098476360.0997024251.01245050.00136
6.19.877682E-51.9436594E-42.3435817E-41.20575744.0E-54.2326056E-48.3273114E-49.7261457E-41.16798151.4E-40.00514102770.01009149850.0107151411.06179886.3E-40.050237080.098476360.0997024251.01245050.00136
6.29.877682E-51.9436594E-42.3435817E-41.20575744.0E-54.2326056E-48.3273114E-49.7261457E-41.16798151.4E-40.00514102770.01009149850.0107151411.06179886.3E-40.050237080.098476360.0997024251.01245050.00136
6.39.877682E-51.9436594E-42.3435817E-41.20575744.0E-54.2326056E-48.3273114E-49.7261457E-41.16798151.4E-40.00514102770.01009149850.0107151411.06179886.3E-40.050237080.098476360.0997024251.01245050.00136
6.49.877682E-51.9436594E-42.3435817E-41.20575744.0E-54.2326056E-48.3273114E-49.7261457E-41.16798151.4E-40.00514102770.01009149850.0107151411.06179886.3E-40.050237080.098476360.0997024251.01245050.00136
6.59.861474E-51.9410347E-42.3409571E-41.20603564.0E-54.2256617E-48.3160703E-49.714906E-41.16820871.4E-40.00513261320.0100779390.010701591.06188276.3E-40.0501567460.0983542050.0995804441.01246760.00136
6.69.861474E-51.9410347E-42.3409571E-41.20603564.0E-54.2256617E-48.3160703E-49.714906E-41.16820871.4E-40.00513261320.0100779390.010701591.06188276.3E-40.0501567460.0983542050.0995804441.01246760.00136
6.79.8552715E-51.9400296E-42.339952E-41.20614244.0E-54.223004E-48.311765E-49.7106013E-41.1682961.4E-40.00512939270.0100727460.0106964011.0619156.3E-40.0501259980.098307240.099533541.01247420.00136
6.89.8464974E-51.9385452E-42.3384676E-41.20630034.0E-54.219245E-48.305407E-49.7042444E-41.16842481.4E-40.00512483760.0100650780.0106887361.06196266.3E-40.050082510.0982370.0994633961.01248410.00136
6.99.825824E-51.935344E-42.3352666E-41.20664164.0E-54.2103877E-48.291697E-49.690536E-41.16870361.4E-40.00511410460.0100485380.0106722081.06206576.3E-40.0499800220.098086060.0993126561.01250540.00136
7.09.781462E-51.9284763E-42.3283991E-41.20737774.0E-54.1913814E-48.2622824E-49.6611254E-41.16930471.4E-40.0050910730.0100130570.0106367491.06228786.3E-40.049760070.097762370.098989411.01255130.00136
7.19.7121134E-51.9186416E-42.3185648E-41.20844084.0E-54.1616702E-48.2201604E-49.61901E-41.17017291.4E-40.0050550680.0099622430.01058596651.06260876.3E-40.049416130.097298780.0985174251.01252480.00135
7.29.663819E-51.9117158E-42.3116393E-41.20919614.0E-54.1409794E-48.1904966E-49.58935E-41.17078981.4E-40.00502999360.0099264580.0105502041.06283686.3E-40.0491765370.096972040.0981911351.01257160.00135
7.39.6277574E-51.906962E-42.3068857E-41.20971784.0E-54.125529E-48.170136E-49.5689925E-41.17121581.4E-40.00501126940.0099018940.0105256561.06299426.3E-40.048997590.096745290.097964681.01260410.00135
7.49.593308E-51.9009347E-42.3008588E-41.21038284.0E-54.1107697E-48.1443216E-49.443263E-41.15949051.3E-40.00499338240.009870750.010484631.06219186.2E-40.048826610.096462870.097673611.01255130.00134
7.59.561707E-51.8955376E-42.2954617E-41.2109824.0E-54.0972308E-48.121205E-49.420149E-41.15994481.3E-40.00497697430.00984286050.0104567581.06236986.2E-40.0486697440.096208830.097419921.0125880.00134
7.69.418194E-51.8607336E-42.2606591E-41.2149294.0E-54.0357444E-47.972137E-49.271101E-41.1629381.3E-40.0049024540.0096629930.0102770021.06354246.2E-40.0479570250.094588420.095801671.01282670.00134
7.78.202141E-51.6053455E-42.0052811E-41.24912754.0E-53.51473E-46.878238E-48.0774125E-41.17434321.2E-40.004270790.0083421570.0088875691.06538025.5E-40.041896390.082375850.083486171.01347880.00121
7.87.2859846E-51.4545326E-41.6545034E-41.13748122.0E-53.1221908E-46.232222E-46.9317856E-41.11224957.0E-50.0037946430.00756137350.0079285761.04856293.7E-40.0373049750.0748547240.075604091.0100118.1E-4
7.95.3874453E-51.0065783E-41.1065682E-41.09933651.0E-52.3087008E-44.313194E-44.8129784E-41.11587335.0E-50.00280722020.00523868060.00545752841.04177532.2E-40.027720220.0525203940.0529846621.00883974.9E-4
8.03.468538E-55.4374406E-56.437386E-51.18390011.0E-51.4864317E-42.3301235E-42.6300538E-41.12871853.0E-50.00180822830.00283323670.00295289681.04223441.2E-40.0179358530.029004340.0292082481.00703022.1E-4
8.11.9152367E-51.9454663E-51.9454663E-51.00.08.207899E-58.337447E-58.337447E-51.00.09.988535E-40.0010146120.0010246021.0098461.0E-50.0099437570.0108837380.01090352051.00181762.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.494016E-65.494016E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3545572E-52.3545572E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.866297E-42.866297E-41.00.00.00450013950.00325922180.00325922181.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.690063E-77.690063E-71.00.08.498917E-63.295737E-63.295737E-61.00.01.034694E-44.012488E-54.012488E-51.00.00.00103421244.737206E-44.737206E-41.00.0

Nelson Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.913453E-61.0192408E-52.0192305E-51.98111251.0E-54.2485535E-54.3681073E-51.5367627E-43.51814321.1E-45.1713863E-45.3169765E-40.00108140522.03387265.5E-40.00515936830.00530528320.00647902261.22123980.00118
6.19.913453E-61.0192408E-52.0192305E-51.98111251.0E-54.2485535E-54.3681073E-51.5367627E-43.51814321.1E-45.1713863E-45.3169765E-40.00108140522.03387265.5E-40.00515936830.00530528320.00647902261.22123980.00118
6.24.5596407E-64.696388E-64.696388E-61.00.01.954117E-52.0127229E-55.0126626E-52.49048833.0E-52.3788778E-42.4502273E-44.5497128E-41.85685342.1E-40.00237633290.00244765170.0029663791.21192855.2E-4
6.34.5596407E-64.696388E-64.696388E-61.00.01.954117E-52.0127229E-55.0126626E-52.49048833.0E-52.3788778E-42.4502273E-44.5497128E-41.85685342.1E-40.00237633290.00244765170.0029663791.21192855.2E-4
6.43.4025713E-63.509956E-63.509956E-61.00.01.4582367E-51.5042587E-53.5042285E-52.32953862.0E-51.7752586E-41.8312894E-43.231033E-41.76434861.4E-40.0017738410.00182986330.00222913131.21819564.0E-4
6.52.8352947E-62.927907E-62.927907E-61.00.01.2151207E-51.25481165E-52.254799E-51.79692231.0E-51.479309E-41.5276336E-42.7274503E-41.78540871.2E-40.00147832460.00152665740.00186613831.22236883.4E-4
6.62.251518E-62.3291102E-62.3291102E-61.00.09.649328E-69.981866E-61.9981766E-52.00180671.0E-51.1747423E-41.2152307E-41.9151457E-41.57595237.0E-50.00117412140.0012146280.00144434861.18912842.3E-4
6.71.8911853E-61.959177E-61.959177E-61.00.08.105055E-68.39645E-61.8396366E-52.19096951.0E-59.867457E-51.0222256E-41.6221643E-41.58689456.0E-59.863076E-40.00102181290.00118164941.15642441.6E-4
6.81.4874814E-61.5438616E-61.5438616E-61.00.06.374905E-66.6165358E-61.661647E-52.5113551.0E-57.76117E-58.0553866E-51.4054903E-41.74478326.0E-57.75846E-48.0529775E-49.5517695E-41.18611651.5E-4
6.96.835972E-77.140097E-77.140097E-71.00.02.9296991E-63.0600397E-61.3060009E-54.26792141.0E-53.56685E-53.7255664E-57.7254175E-52.07362224.0E-53.5662777E-43.7252545E-44.4249938E-41.18783667.0E-5

Towne Pass

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.849728E-63.894574E-63.894574E-61.00.01.649873E-51.669095E-58.668978E-55.19381957.0E-52.0085352E-42.0319773E-46.1311445E-43.0173294.1E-40.00200672080.00203054860.00320815251.57994380.00118
6.13.849728E-63.894574E-63.894574E-61.00.01.649873E-51.669095E-58.668978E-55.19381957.0E-52.0085352E-42.0319773E-46.1311445E-43.0173294.1E-40.00200672080.00203054860.00320815251.57994380.00118
6.23.849728E-63.894574E-63.894574E-61.00.01.649873E-51.669095E-58.668978E-55.19381957.0E-52.0085352E-42.0319773E-46.1311445E-43.0173294.1E-40.00200672080.00203054860.00320815251.57994380.00118
6.33.849728E-63.894574E-63.894574E-61.00.01.649873E-51.669095E-58.668978E-55.19381957.0E-52.0085352E-42.0319773E-46.1311445E-43.0173294.1E-40.00200672080.00203054860.00320815251.57994380.00118
6.43.849728E-63.894574E-63.894574E-61.00.01.649873E-51.669095E-58.668978E-55.19381957.0E-52.0085352E-42.0319773E-46.1311445E-43.0173294.1E-40.00200672080.00203054860.00320815251.57994380.00118
6.51.1953545E-61.2030648E-61.2030648E-61.00.05.1229376E-65.1559828E-61.5155932E-52.93948441.0E-56.236998E-56.27724E-59.277052E-51.4778873.0E-56.235248E-46.275584E-47.774643E-41.23887161.5E-4
6.61.1953545E-61.2030648E-61.2030648E-61.00.05.1229376E-65.1559828E-61.5155932E-52.93948441.0E-56.236998E-56.27724E-59.277052E-51.4778873.0E-56.235248E-46.275584E-47.774643E-41.23887161.5E-4
6.78.375951E-78.410776E-78.410776E-71.00.03.5896885E-63.6046138E-61.3604577E-53.77421241.0E-54.370358E-54.3885346E-56.3884465E-51.4557132.0E-54.3694986E-44.3877252E-45.28733E-41.20502779.0E-5
6.86.38041E-76.39225E-76.39225E-71.00.02.7344586E-62.7395329E-61.2739506E-54.6502471.0E-53.3291526E-53.3353343E-54.3353008E-51.299811.0E-53.3286537E-43.3348717E-43.9346717E-41.1798576.0E-5
6.95.3460053E-75.34542E-75.34542E-71.00.02.2911431E-62.2908923E-62.2908923E-61.00.02.789431E-52.7891292E-52.7891292E-51.00.02.789081E-42.7888123E-43.0887287E-41.10754263.0E-5
7.03.557783E-73.532496E-73.532496E-71.00.01.5247632E-61.513926E-61.513926E-61.00.01.8563835E-51.8431901E-51.8431901E-51.00.01.8562283E-41.8430458E-41.9430273E-41.0542481.0E-5
7.13.037942E-73.0002886E-73.0002886E-71.00.01.3019744E-61.2858374E-61.2858374E-61.00.01.5851423E-51.5654965E-51.5654965E-51.00.01.5850292E-41.5653936E-41.6653781E-41.06387171.0E-5
7.22.0808248E-72.0218206E-72.0218206E-71.00.08.917818E-78.664943E-78.664943E-71.00.01.0857389E-51.0549522E-51.0549522E-51.00.01.0856859E-41.05490675E-41.05490675E-41.00.0
7.31.1162073E-71.06371445E-71.06371445E-71.00.04.7837443E-74.5587754E-74.5587754E-71.00.05.8241935E-65.550297E-65.550297E-61.00.05.8240406E-55.5501783E-55.5501783E-51.00.0

Paradise

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.4851273E-51.6695423E-54.669492E-52.79686983.0E-56.364676E-57.1549985E-51.7154282E-42.39752441.0E-47.7462377E-48.707965E-40.00124047431.42452843.7E-40.00771929140.0086762230.0096278941.10968729.6E-4
6.11.4851273E-51.6695423E-54.669492E-52.79686983.0E-56.364676E-57.1549985E-51.7154282E-42.39752441.0E-47.7462377E-48.707965E-40.00124047431.42452843.7E-40.00771929140.0086762230.0096278941.10968729.6E-4
6.21.4851273E-51.6695423E-54.669492E-52.79686983.0E-56.364676E-57.1549985E-51.7154282E-42.39752441.0E-47.7462377E-48.707965E-40.00124047431.42452843.7E-40.00771929140.0086762230.0096278941.10968729.6E-4
6.31.0426831E-51.1889131E-53.1888892E-52.68218872.0E-54.4685654E-55.0952458E-51.0094991E-41.98125685.0E-55.43912E-46.2017556E-47.9007016E-41.27394591.7E-40.00542582660.00618505660.00663227361.0723064.5E-4
6.41.0426831E-51.1889131E-53.1888892E-52.68218872.0E-54.4685654E-55.0952458E-51.0094991E-41.98125685.0E-55.43912E-46.2017556E-47.9007016E-41.27394591.7E-40.00542582660.00618505660.00663227361.0723064.5E-4
6.59.25027E-61.0620418E-53.0620206E-52.8831452.0E-53.964341E-54.5515313E-59.551304E-52.09848145.0E-54.8255164E-45.5401295E-47.039298E-41.27060171.5E-40.00481505130.00552681740.00586493831.06117823.4E-4
6.67.904275E-69.159918E-62.9159733E-53.18340592.0E-53.3875025E-53.925622E-56.9255046E-51.76418013.0E-54.1235037E-44.778436E-45.678006E-41.18825619.0E-50.00411586040.00476855830.00496760481.04174142.0E-4
6.77.2061953E-68.40761E-68.40761E-61.00.03.088333E-53.6032136E-54.6031775E-51.27752011.0E-53.7593965E-44.3860663E-44.6859347E-41.06836843.0E-50.0037530430.00437777860.00449725331.02729121.2E-4
6.86.6948724E-67.842504E-67.842504E-61.00.02.8691995E-53.361032E-54.360998E-51.29751771.0E-53.4926904E-44.0913236E-44.3912008E-41.0732963.0E-50.0034872060.0040841490.00417378131.02194649.0E-5
6.96.0421025E-67.13093E-67.13093E-61.00.02.5894467E-53.056079E-53.056079E-51.00.03.1521954E-43.720175E-43.8201376E-41.02687051.0E-50.00314772780.00371428560.00378402561.01877627.0E-5
7.04.134091E-65.080546E-65.080546E-61.00.01.7717413E-52.1773596E-52.1773596E-51.00.02.1568815E-42.6506282E-42.7506019E-41.03771691.0E-50.00215478920.002647620.00269748761.01883485.0E-5
7.13.7674888E-64.6320843E-64.6320843E-61.00.01.6146281E-51.9851648E-51.9851648E-51.00.01.9656324E-42.4166853E-42.5166612E-41.0413691.0E-50.00196389460.0024142080.0024640871.02066085.0E-5
7.23.4065345E-64.1569137E-64.1569137E-61.00.01.4599351E-51.7815231E-51.7815231E-51.00.01.777326E-42.1688035E-42.2687818E-41.04609841.0E-50.00177590530.00216683510.00220674861.01842014.0E-5
7.32.9934936E-63.629477E-63.629477E-61.00.01.2829195E-51.5554817E-51.5554817E-51.00.01.5618425E-41.8936492E-41.9936303E-41.0527981.0E-50.00156074530.0018921810.00193210531.02109964.0E-5
7.42.4049796E-62.889102E-62.889102E-61.00.01.0307015E-51.2381815E-51.2381815E-51.00.01.2548068E-41.5073961E-41.6073811E-41.06632961.0E-50.00125409850.00150651510.0015264851.01325572.0E-5
7.51.2710091E-61.5135334E-61.5135334E-61.00.05.44717E-66.4865626E-66.4865626E-61.00.06.631728E-57.897229E-57.897229E-51.00.06.6297496E-47.895649E-47.895649E-41.00.0
7.62.21172E-72.6040448E-72.6040448E-71.00.09.478797E-71.1160189E-61.1160189E-61.00.01.1540374E-51.3587473E-51.3587473E-51.00.01.1539775E-41.3586924E-41.3586924E-41.00.0

Bicycle Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.9621975E-52.2098557E-52.2098557E-51.00.08.4091465E-59.470543E-51.3470164E-41.42232234.0E-50.00102333270.00115256370.00150216021.30332093.5E-40.010186330.0114791740.0122205641.06458577.5E-4
6.11.9621975E-52.2098557E-52.2098557E-51.00.08.4091465E-59.470543E-51.3470164E-41.42232234.0E-50.00102333270.00115256370.00150216021.30332093.5E-40.010186330.0114791740.0122205641.06458577.5E-4
6.29.9971285E-61.1256391E-51.1256391E-51.00.04.2844134E-54.824108E-55.8240596E-51.20728221.0E-55.2150246E-45.8722886E-47.9710555E-41.35740182.1E-40.00520280330.00586187750.00625953261.06783754.0E-4
6.39.589428E-61.0799068E-51.0799068E-51.00.04.10969E-54.6281195E-55.628073E-51.21606051.0E-55.002399E-45.633797E-47.732614E-41.37254042.1E-40.00499115330.00562460530.0060024681.06718033.8E-4
6.49.589428E-61.0799068E-51.0799068E-51.00.04.10969E-54.6281195E-55.628073E-51.21606051.0E-55.002399E-45.633797E-47.732614E-41.37254042.1E-40.00499115330.00562460530.0060024681.06718033.8E-4
6.55.557707E-66.286038E-66.286038E-61.00.02.3818526E-52.6940037E-52.6940037E-51.00.02.8995197E-43.2797246E-44.8792E-41.48768581.6E-40.00289573940.0032775210.00356657061.08819152.9E-4
6.64.8742945E-65.5136734E-65.5136734E-61.00.02.0889667E-52.3629962E-52.3629962E-51.00.02.54302E-42.87683E-44.176456E-41.45175621.3E-40.0025401120.00287567520.00310501361.07975132.3E-4
6.73.991108E-64.5162255E-64.5162255E-61.00.01.7104636E-51.9355251E-51.9355251E-51.00.02.0822904E-42.3565018E-43.2562896E-41.3818329.0E-50.00208034040.00235650180.00251612491.06773721.6E-4

San Andreas (San Bernardino N)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.4273766E-43.1637165E-43.363653E-41.06319682.0E-56.115894E-40.00135517980.0014250851.05158367.0E-50.00742070840.0163759940.0166514091.01681822.8E-40.071777480.150465820.151009511.00361356.4E-4
6.11.4273766E-43.1637165E-43.363653E-41.06319682.0E-56.115894E-40.00135517980.0014250851.05158367.0E-50.00742070840.0163759940.0166514091.01681822.8E-40.071777480.150465820.151009511.00361356.4E-4
6.21.4273766E-43.1637165E-43.363653E-41.06319682.0E-56.115894E-40.00135517980.0014250851.05158367.0E-50.00742070840.0163759940.0166514091.01681822.8E-40.071777480.150465820.151009511.00361356.4E-4
6.31.3730655E-43.0541886E-43.2541272E-41.06546392.0E-55.883239E-40.00130828690.00137819541.05343517.0E-50.00713934420.0158134640.0160890371.01742642.8E-40.069142910.145751010.146297721.0037516.4E-4
6.41.3730655E-43.0541886E-43.2541272E-41.06546392.0E-55.883239E-40.00130828690.00137819541.05343517.0E-50.00713934420.0158134640.0160890371.01742642.8E-40.069142910.145751010.146297721.0037516.4E-4
6.51.2942807E-42.895608E-43.09555E-41.06905012.0E-55.545738E-40.00124038990.0013103031.05636387.0E-50.00673105240.0149984240.0152742251.01838862.8E-40.065307880.13888920.13944031.0039686.4E-4
6.61.1125901E-42.5394472E-42.7393963E-41.07873732.0E-54.767372E-40.00108788290.00115780671.06427517.0E-50.0057888390.0131651710.0134414851.02098822.8E-40.0564034540.1231567860.123717971.00455676.4E-4
6.71.02209575E-42.3529287E-42.5528818E-41.08498052.0E-54.3796748E-40.00100800980.00107793921.06937377.0E-50.00531922470.0122038820.0124804661.02266352.8E-40.0519369060.11491520.11545511.00469836.1E-4
6.89.610582E-52.2054653E-42.4054213E-41.09066382.0E-54.1181705E-49.448577E-40.00101479151.07401537.0E-50.00500235150.0114432320.0117200281.02418862.8E-40.0489123460.108325910.108860921.00493886.0E-4
6.99.3877505E-52.1510055E-42.3509625E-41.09295982.0E-54.0227012E-49.2153443E-49.9147E-41.07589037.0E-50.00488664540.011162210.0114291961.02391872.7E-40.047805770.105919240.106446751.00498035.9E-4
7.09.1019785E-52.0836767E-42.283635E-41.09596422.0E-53.900265E-48.926993E-49.626368E-41.07834397.0E-50.00473823770.0108146760.0110817561.02469612.7E-40.0463847440.102888310.1034176051.00514445.9E-4
7.18.771155E-52.0011076E-42.2010675E-41.09992472.0E-53.758525E-48.573362E-49.272762E-41.08157837.0E-50.00456640640.0103883090.0106555051.02572072.7E-40.0447370560.0991993840.099730861.00535765.9E-4
7.28.0830236E-51.8416144E-42.0415775E-41.10858042.0E-53.4636928E-47.890247E-48.5896946E-41.08864717.0E-50.00420889440.009564170.0098315871.02796042.7E-40.0413006580.091927520.0924632851.00582815.9E-4
7.37.7668235E-51.7359214E-41.9358867E-41.11519272.0E-53.328214E-47.4375427E-48.137022E-41.09404717.0E-50.00404457330.0090176910.0092852561.02967122.7E-40.039717480.0871873940.087725951.00617715.9E-4
7.47.520177E-51.6578918E-41.8578586E-41.12061512.0E-53.2225347E-47.1033166E-47.802819E-41.09847567.0E-50.00391637950.0086140610.0088817361.0310742.7E-40.0384807440.083640620.084181271.0064645.9E-4
7.57.274697E-51.5866217E-41.7865899E-41.1260342.0E-53.1173544E-46.7980355E-47.4975594E-41.1029017.0E-50.0037887750.0082452560.008513031.03247612.7E-40.037248270.0803554360.0808980241.00675245.9E-4
7.67.1185845E-51.5435848E-41.7435539E-41.12954852.0E-53.0504653E-46.6136866E-47.3132233E-41.10577117.0E-50.00370761780.0080224870.0082903211.03338542.7E-40.0364636670.078343930.07888771.00694085.9E-4
7.76.709961E-51.4344044E-41.6343758E-41.13941072.0E-52.8753807E-46.1459997E-46.845569E-41.11382527.0E-50.0034951570.00745712030.0077251071.0359372.7E-40.0344069380.073171660.073718491.00747325.9E-4
7.86.300812E-51.3226763E-41.5226498E-41.15118862.0E-52.7000686E-45.6673813E-46.3669845E-41.12344387.0E-50.00328237870.00687823540.00714637851.03898432.7E-40.0323431750.067825260.068375241.00810895.9E-4
7.94.983037E-59.7425276E-51.074243E-41.10263281.0E-52.1354125E-44.174701E-44.6744922E-41.1197195.0E-50.00259676480.00507086330.0052897481.04316512.2E-40.0256662960.0507395040.0512046441.00916724.9E-4
8.03.2211527E-55.3414442E-56.341391E-51.18720531.0E-51.380421E-42.2889896E-42.588921E-41.13103223.0E-50.00167936690.00278328520.0029029511.04299451.2E-40.0166673230.0284157490.0286197811.00718022.1E-4
8.11.743376E-51.8873632E-51.8873632E-51.00.07.471398E-58.0884485E-58.0884485E-51.00.09.0926304E-49.843244E-49.943146E-41.01014921.0E-50.0090555170.0105099530.0105297431.00188292.0E-5
8.27.831616E-65.1727284E-65.1727284E-61.00.03.3563636E-52.2168648E-52.2168648E-51.00.04.0856065E-42.6986995E-42.6986995E-41.00.00.0040781030.0030514440.0030514441.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.690063E-77.690063E-71.00.08.498917E-63.295737E-63.295737E-61.00.01.034694E-44.012488E-54.012488E-51.00.00.00103421244.737206E-44.737206E-41.00.0

Garlic Springs

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6760017E-51.8778032E-53.8777656E-52.06505442.0E-57.182667E-58.047546E-51.6046902E-41.99401198.0E-58.7413884E-49.794657E-40.00129915231.32638873.2E-40.0087070830.0097630350.0104165911.0669426.6E-4
6.19.852767E-61.097425E-52.097414E-51.9112141.0E-54.222546E-54.703205E-58.703017E-51.85044384.0E-55.139737E-45.7253573E-47.024613E-41.226931.3E-40.0051278660.00571756620.00601585071.05216993.0E-4
6.29.852767E-61.097425E-52.097414E-51.9112141.0E-54.222546E-54.703205E-58.703017E-51.85044384.0E-55.139737E-45.7253573E-47.024613E-41.226931.3E-40.0051278660.00571756620.00601585071.05216993.0E-4
6.34.3167724E-64.7782996E-61.4778252E-53.09278461.0E-51.8500323E-52.0478396E-54.0477986E-51.9766192.0E-52.2521814E-42.4931898E-43.3929653E-41.36089349.0E-50.00224990030.0024926510.00266222751.06803051.7E-4
6.44.3167724E-64.7782996E-61.4778252E-53.09278461.0E-51.8500323E-52.0478396E-54.0477986E-51.9766192.0E-52.2521814E-42.4931898E-43.3929653E-41.36089349.0E-50.00224990030.0024926510.00266222751.06803051.7E-4
6.54.3167724E-64.7782996E-61.4778252E-53.09278461.0E-51.8500323E-52.0478396E-54.0477986E-51.9766192.0E-52.2521814E-42.4931898E-43.3929653E-41.36089349.0E-50.00224990030.0024926510.00266222751.06803051.7E-4
6.64.301311E-64.761167E-61.4761119E-53.10031531.0E-51.8434059E-52.0404972E-54.0404564E-51.98013332.0E-52.2441156E-42.4842523E-43.3840287E-41.3621929.0E-50.00224185060.0024837340.00265331171.06827531.7E-4
6.73.8599724E-64.2713013E-61.4271259E-53.3411971.0E-51.6542634E-51.8305576E-53.830521E-52.09254342.0E-52.0138794E-42.228704E-42.928548E-41.31401387.0E-50.00201205540.00222870380.00235841421.05819991.3E-4

Helendale-So Lockhart

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.7296055E-51.810418E-51.810418E-51.00.07.412385E-57.7587145E-59.7585595E-51.25775472.0E-59.0208417E-49.442349E-40.00110408381.16928941.6E-40.0089843110.0094043490.0098501161.04740024.5E-4
6.11.7296055E-51.810418E-51.810418E-51.00.07.412385E-57.7587145E-59.7585595E-51.25775472.0E-59.0208417E-49.442349E-40.00110408381.16928941.6E-40.0089843110.0094043490.0098501161.04740024.5E-4
6.21.7296055E-51.810418E-51.810418E-51.00.07.412385E-57.7587145E-59.7585595E-51.25775472.0E-59.0208417E-49.442349E-40.00110408381.16928941.6E-40.0089843110.0094043490.0098501161.04740024.5E-4
6.31.0669118E-51.1135683E-51.1135683E-51.00.04.5723988E-54.7723497E-55.772302E-51.20953041.0E-55.5654737E-45.808815E-46.908176E-41.18925741.1E-40.00555155570.00579392770.00607230561.04804652.8E-4
6.41.0669118E-51.1135683E-51.1135683E-51.00.04.5723988E-54.7723497E-55.772302E-51.20953041.0E-55.5654737E-45.808815E-46.908176E-41.18925741.1E-40.00555155570.00579392770.00607230561.04804652.8E-4
6.58.790038E-69.170408E-69.170408E-61.00.03.767105E-53.930116E-54.9300772E-51.25443541.0E-54.585485E-44.7838816E-45.4835464E-41.14625477.0E-50.00457603440.00477374760.00499269741.04586542.2E-4
6.67.396949E-67.715714E-67.715714E-61.00.03.1700827E-53.306693E-54.30666E-51.30240691.0E-53.858892E-44.025165E-44.6249237E-41.14900226.0E-50.0038521980.00401798170.00419725851.04461861.8E-4
6.76.4600285E-66.738185E-66.738185E-61.00.02.7685543E-52.8877621E-53.8877333E-51.34627891.0E-53.3701936E-43.515291E-44.11508E-41.17062286.0E-50.00336508690.0035098120.00367921541.04826571.7E-4
6.85.600104E-65.8361397E-65.8361397E-61.00.02.4000226E-52.5011792E-53.501154E-51.39980141.0E-52.9216358E-43.0447662E-43.5446137E-41.16416625.0E-50.00291779750.0030406560.00320016941.05246021.6E-4
6.94.839122E-65.03962E-65.03962E-61.00.02.0738931E-52.1598196E-52.1598196E-51.00.02.5246723E-42.6292677E-42.829215E-41.07604682.0E-50.0025218060.00262620440.00273591561.04177561.1E-4
7.03.6937633E-63.8452918E-63.8452918E-61.00.01.5830317E-51.6479718E-51.6479718E-51.00.01.9271708E-42.0062242E-42.206184E-41.09966982.0E-50.00192550030.00200444460.00209426411.04481029.0E-5
7.12.7858857E-62.8979157E-62.8979157E-61.00.01.1939455E-51.241958E-51.241958E-51.00.01.4535317E-41.5119811E-41.7119509E-41.13225672.0E-50.00145258140.00151097390.00157088331.03964956.0E-5
7.22.1672065E-62.2540607E-62.2540607E-61.00.09.2879945E-69.660225E-69.660225E-61.00.01.1307546E-41.1760708E-41.3760473E-41.17003772.0E-50.00113017940.00117546660.00123539611.05098356.0E-5
7.31.4823496E-61.5422432E-61.5422432E-61.00.06.3529114E-66.609598E-66.609598E-61.00.07.734395E-58.0469035E-59.046823E-51.12426141.0E-57.731704E-48.044141E-48.443819E-41.04968564.0E-5
7.44.2321457E-74.4109754E-74.4109754E-71.00.01.8137755E-61.8904169E-61.8904169E-61.00.02.2082493E-52.301563E-52.301563E-51.00.02.2080299E-42.3013698E-42.5013238E-41.08688472.0E-5
7.55.6942316E-85.9417015E-85.9417015E-81.00.02.440385E-72.5464433E-72.5464433E-71.00.02.9711643E-63.100291E-63.100291E-61.00.02.9711247E-53.1002557E-53.1002557E-51.00.0

Death Valley (Black Mtns Frontal)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6707214E-51.8671435E-51.8671435E-51.00.07.160038E-58.001803E-51.20014825E-41.49984744.0E-58.71386E-49.737917E-40.00120356771.23596012.3E-40.008679770.00969610.0101120281.04289644.2E-4
6.11.6707214E-51.8671435E-51.8671435E-51.00.07.160038E-58.001803E-51.20014825E-41.49984744.0E-58.71386E-49.737917E-40.00120356771.23596012.3E-40.008679770.00969610.0101120281.04289644.2E-4
6.21.6707214E-51.8671435E-51.8671435E-51.00.07.160038E-58.001803E-51.20014825E-41.49984744.0E-58.71386E-49.737917E-40.00120356771.23596012.3E-40.008679770.00969610.0101120281.04289644.2E-4
6.31.6707214E-51.8671435E-51.8671435E-51.00.07.160038E-58.001803E-51.20014825E-41.49984744.0E-58.71386E-49.737917E-40.00120356771.23596012.3E-40.008679770.00969610.0101120281.04289644.2E-4
6.41.5515609E-51.7339296E-51.7339296E-51.00.06.649377E-57.430919E-59.43077E-51.26912572.0E-58.0926094E-49.04345E-40.00109417321.20990681.9E-40.0080632020.0090073330.0093541811.03850723.5E-4
6.51.5515609E-51.7339296E-51.7339296E-51.00.06.649377E-57.430919E-59.43077E-51.26912572.0E-58.0926094E-49.04345E-40.00109417321.20990681.9E-40.0080632020.0090073330.0093541811.03850723.5E-4
6.61.5041828E-51.6810196E-51.6810196E-51.00.06.4463384E-57.204174E-59.2040296E-51.27759682.0E-57.8455906E-48.767611E-40.0010466121.19372551.7E-40.007817950.0087336760.0090607941.03745473.3E-4
6.71.4634985E-51.635704E-51.635704E-51.00.06.271985E-57.009975E-59.009834E-51.28528772.0E-57.6334673E-48.53136E-40.0010229911.19909481.7E-40.0076072990.0084992450.0088165251.03733043.2E-4
6.81.4209158E-51.5883043E-51.5883043E-51.00.06.089497E-56.806844E-58.806708E-51.29380192.0E-57.4114406E-48.2842377E-49.782995E-41.18091681.5E-40.0073867710.0082539710.00854157751.03484462.9E-4
6.91.3780098E-51.540556E-51.540556E-51.00.05.9056227E-56.6022185E-58.602087E-51.30290842.0E-57.1877235E-48.0352917E-49.534086E-41.18652651.5E-40.00716451930.00800683350.0082845911.03469012.8E-4
7.01.3585064E-51.5189109E-51.5189109E-51.00.05.8220405E-56.509459E-58.5093285E-51.30722522.0E-57.086029E-47.922439E-49.421251E-41.18918561.5E-40.0070634760.0078947880.0081626561.03392982.7E-4
7.11.3398601E-51.4982282E-51.4982282E-51.00.05.742131E-56.420823E-58.420694E-51.31146662.0E-56.9888023E-47.8146026E-49.2135085E-41.17901181.4E-40.00696686380.0077877120.0080357651.03185192.5E-4
7.21.3126312E-51.4680485E-51.4680485E-51.00.05.6254412E-56.291488E-58.291362E-51.31786982.0E-56.846822E-47.6572486E-49.0561766E-41.18269321.4E-40.0068257650.0076314490.0078696171.03120882.4E-4
7.31.2922429E-51.4454699E-51.4454699E-51.00.05.5380664E-56.194727E-58.194603E-51.32283522.0E-56.74051E-47.539525E-48.9384697E-41.18554811.4E-40.0067201010.0075145270.0077427991.03037742.3E-4
7.41.2768878E-51.4284673E-51.4284673E-51.00.05.4722615E-56.121862E-58.12174E-51.32667792.0E-56.660441E-47.450873E-48.84983E-41.18775751.4E-40.00664051440.0074264710.0076547631.03074032.3E-4
7.51.2521929E-51.4012902E-51.4012902E-51.00.05.366431E-56.0053942E-58.005274E-51.33301392.0E-56.531671E-47.309169E-48.708146E-41.19140031.4E-40.0065125060.00728570530.00751402971.03133872.3E-4
7.61.1301089E-51.2648951E-51.2648951E-51.00.04.8432343E-55.4208693E-57.420761E-51.36892452.0E-55.895042E-46.597963E-47.6972373E-41.16660811.1E-40.00587942820.0065789260.00677761061.03020012.0E-4
7.79.189108E-61.02840095E-51.02840095E-51.00.03.93813E-54.407361E-55.407317E-51.22688321.0E-54.7936183E-45.3646916E-46.1642623E-41.14904328.0E-50.0047832910.0053522520.00548155651.02415881.3E-4
7.83.4586725E-73.648368E-73.648368E-71.00.01.4822873E-61.5635853E-61.1563569E-57.39554741.0E-51.80467E-51.903649E-53.903611E-52.05059392.0E-51.8045233E-41.9034903E-42.1034523E-41.10505012.0E-5
7.92.5591178E-92.6697329E-92.6697329E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.14417125E-81.14417125E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3930286E-71.3930286E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3930285E-61.3930285E-61.00.0

Coyote Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.980352E-52.1707852E-54.170742E-51.92130572.0E-58.486947E-59.303074E-51.3302702E-41.42992544.0E-50.00103279590.00113213270.00133190631.17645782.0E-40.0102800910.011270830.01163665951.03245813.7E-4
6.11.980352E-52.1707852E-54.170742E-51.92130572.0E-58.486947E-59.303074E-51.3302702E-41.42992544.0E-50.00103279590.00113213270.00133190631.17645782.0E-40.0102800910.011270830.01163665951.03245813.7E-4
6.21.980352E-52.1707852E-54.170742E-51.92130572.0E-58.486947E-59.303074E-51.3302702E-41.42992544.0E-50.00103279590.00113213270.00133190631.17645782.0E-40.0102800910.011270830.01163665951.03245813.7E-4
6.31.5344787E-51.6821528E-52.6821359E-51.59446631.0E-56.576172E-57.209062E-51.0208845E-41.41611293.0E-58.003548E-48.7741105E-40.00103727061.18219471.6E-40.0079747840.0087455140.0090528031.03513673.1E-4
6.41.5344787E-51.6821528E-52.6821359E-51.59446631.0E-56.576172E-57.209062E-51.0208845E-41.41611293.0E-58.003548E-48.7741105E-40.00103727061.18219471.6E-40.0079747840.0087455140.0090528031.03513673.1E-4
6.51.4189697E-51.5558782E-52.5558627E-51.64271381.0E-56.081157E-56.667913E-59.667713E-51.44988583.0E-57.401293E-48.115764E-49.7144657E-41.19698721.6E-40.00737669130.0080920690.008399561.03799923.1E-4
6.61.3469301E-51.4772335E-52.4772187E-51.6769311.0E-55.7724297E-56.330881E-59.330691E-51.47383773.0E-57.025667E-47.7057217E-49.304489E-41.20747791.6E-40.00700349640.00768490740.0079925251.04002883.1E-4
6.71.3027966E-51.4282475E-52.4282332E-51.70014881.0E-55.5832945E-56.12095E-59.120767E-51.49008993.0E-56.7955407E-47.450307E-48.8492635E-41.18777171.4E-40.0067747980.0074312070.0076992011.03606332.7E-4
6.85.695434E-66.2247245E-66.2247245E-61.00.02.4408775E-52.6677288E-53.6677022E-51.37484071.0E-52.971363E-43.2477756E-43.8475805E-41.18468186.0E-50.00296739330.00324597020.0033356781.02763669.0E-5
6.94.385688E-64.7932917E-64.7932917E-61.00.01.879567E-52.0542679E-53.0542473E-51.48678151.0E-52.2881327E-42.501071E-43.000946E-41.19986445.0E-50.0022857780.0025010710.0025609211.02392976.0E-5

San Andreas (San Bernardino S)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2336002E-43.0025674E-43.0025674E-41.00.05.2857865E-40.00128620610.00131616751.02329443.0E-50.0064164720.0155520820.015699751.0094951.5E-40.062343370.142785310.143085331.00210123.5E-4
6.11.2336002E-43.0025674E-43.0025674E-41.00.05.2857865E-40.00128620610.00131616751.02329443.0E-50.0064164720.0155520820.015699751.0094951.5E-40.062343370.142785310.143085331.00210123.5E-4
6.21.2336002E-43.0025674E-43.0025674E-41.00.05.2857865E-40.00128620610.00131616751.02329443.0E-50.0064164720.0155520820.015699751.0094951.5E-40.062343370.142785310.143085331.00210123.5E-4
6.31.1712257E-42.8813703E-42.8813703E-41.00.05.018573E-40.00123431430.00126427731.0242753.0E-50.0060930080.0149290760.0150768361.00989751.5E-40.0592863220.137488510.13779041.00219573.5E-4
6.41.1712257E-42.8813703E-42.8813703E-41.00.05.018573E-40.00123431430.00126427731.0242753.0E-50.0060930080.0149290760.0150768361.00989751.5E-40.0592863220.137488510.13779041.00219573.5E-4
6.51.0689076E-42.6826185E-42.6826185E-41.00.04.5802278E-40.00114921190.00117917741.02607493.0E-50.00556217830.0139065140.0140544281.01063631.5E-40.054250030.128726040.129030971.00236893.5E-4
6.69.7648895E-52.5070578E-42.5070578E-41.00.04.1842813E-40.00107403460.00110400241.0279023.0E-50.0050824690.0130023380.0131503871.01138641.5E-40.0496778860.1209013460.121209031.00254493.5E-4
6.78.757013E-52.3141113E-42.3141113E-41.00.03.7524657E-49.914073E-40.00102137761.030233.0E-50.004559060.01200767050.0121558691.0123421.5E-40.044666560.112181690.112492431.002773.5E-4
6.88.562978E-52.270081E-42.270081E-41.00.03.6693315E-49.7255135E-40.00100252221.03081673.0E-50.0044582630.0117805960.0119288291.01258281.5E-40.0436987580.11019550.110506931.00282623.5E-4
6.96.124075E-51.7083176E-41.7083176E-41.00.02.6243398E-47.319315E-47.619095E-41.04095753.0E-50.00319045270.0088750630.0090237321.01675131.5E-40.0314503460.0842719150.084583271.00369453.4E-4
7.05.8598747E-51.6512029E-41.6512029E-41.00.02.5111332E-47.0746726E-47.37446E-41.04237483.0E-50.00305301860.0085795920.0087283051.01733341.5E-40.030114140.081584450.081887531.00371493.3E-4
7.15.613814E-51.5930375E-41.5930375E-41.00.02.4056983E-46.8255246E-47.1253197E-41.04392273.0E-50.00292500390.0082785930.0084273521.0179691.5E-40.0288680210.078886060.079190031.00385323.3E-4
7.24.991222E-51.4536385E-41.4536385E-41.00.02.1389198E-46.2283955E-46.528209E-41.04813653.0E-50.0026010250.0075568090.0077056761.01969971.5E-40.0257079120.072333810.072639941.00423223.3E-4
7.34.7410045E-51.373025E-41.373025E-41.00.02.0317009E-45.883069E-46.182893E-41.05096383.0E-50.00247078970.00713920.00728812861.02086081.5E-40.0244349820.068611410.068918771.00447963.3E-4
7.44.5556746E-51.3137884E-41.3137884E-41.00.01.952286E-45.62931E-45.929141E-41.05326253.0E-50.0023743170.0068322260.0069812011.02180481.5E-40.0234910860.065860290.066168551.00468063.3E-4
7.54.3084514E-51.2372872E-41.2372872E-41.00.01.8463485E-45.3015846E-45.6014257E-41.05655683.0E-50.00224561150.0064356480.0065846831.02315771.5E-40.0222305450.062259570.062569021.00497043.3E-4
7.63.408608E-59.849839E-59.849839E-51.00.01.4607502E-44.2206777E-44.520551E-41.07104863.0E-50.00177701250.0051265930.00527582461.02910921.5E-40.0176286960.0500861220.0503995941.00625863.3E-4
7.72.8315713E-58.262102E-58.262102E-51.00.01.2134742E-43.5404207E-43.8403145E-41.08470573.0E-50.00147640340.00430195170.00445130651.03471791.5E-40.014666330.0423335130.0426495451.00746523.3E-4
7.82.6222975E-57.4756E-57.4756E-51.00.01.1237934E-43.203435E-43.503339E-41.09361953.0E-50.00136735970.00389321360.00404262961.03837861.5E-40.0135897680.0384951460.0388124441.00824253.3E-4
7.92.1469694E-55.7982703E-55.7982703E-51.00.09.200973E-52.4847363E-42.7846618E-41.12070723.0E-50.00111964280.0030209730.00317051981.04950281.5E-40.0111401840.0302013010.0305213351.01059663.3E-4
8.01.2420249E-53.1376432E-53.1376432E-51.00.05.322855E-51.344635E-41.5446081E-41.14871932.0E-56.478649E-40.00163586470.00172571741.05492689.0E-50.00645979350.0165499150.0166875981.00831931.4E-4
8.14.9197724E-67.842547E-67.842547E-61.00.02.1084568E-53.3610482E-53.3610482E-51.00.02.566744E-44.0913094E-44.1912685E-41.02443211.0E-50.0025637810.00439461040.00440456631.00226561.0E-5
8.22.5634774E-62.915849E-62.915849E-61.00.01.0986286E-51.2496436E-51.2496436E-51.00.01.3374983E-41.5213354E-41.5213354E-41.00.00.00133669340.00170977510.00170977511.00.0
8.35.2850464E-73.2203224E-73.2203224E-71.00.02.2650179E-61.3801375E-61.3801375E-61.00.02.7576245E-51.6803056E-51.6803056E-51.00.02.7572823E-41.9934843E-41.9934843E-41.00.0

San Andreas (Big Bend)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.0179969E-42.0107176E-42.0107176E-41.00.04.362114E-48.6145254E-48.814353E-41.02319662.0E-50.00529794860.01043803150.0105270921.00853239.0E-50.0517340970.101637720.1019251941.00282853.2E-4
6.11.0179969E-42.0107176E-42.0107176E-41.00.04.362114E-48.6145254E-48.814353E-41.02319662.0E-50.00529794860.01043803150.0105270921.00853239.0E-50.0517340970.101637720.1019251941.00282853.2E-4
6.21.0179969E-42.0107176E-42.0107176E-41.00.04.362114E-48.6145254E-48.814353E-41.02319662.0E-50.00529794860.01043803150.0105270921.00853239.0E-50.0517340970.101637720.1019251941.00282853.2E-4
6.31.0179969E-42.0107176E-42.0107176E-41.00.04.362114E-48.6145254E-48.814353E-41.02319662.0E-50.00529794860.01043803150.0105270921.00853239.0E-50.0517340970.101637720.1019251941.00282853.2E-4
6.49.1639464E-51.8463937E-41.8463937E-41.00.03.9268145E-47.9107186E-48.11056E-41.02526212.0E-50.00477042050.0095888860.0096780231.00929589.0E-50.0466930640.0939378740.094137211.00212192.2E-4
6.59.1639464E-51.8463937E-41.8463937E-41.00.03.9268145E-47.9107186E-48.11056E-41.02526212.0E-50.00477042050.0095888860.0096780231.00929589.0E-50.0466930640.0939378740.094137211.00212192.2E-4
6.69.042622E-51.827092E-41.827092E-41.00.03.8748336E-47.828047E-48.0278906E-41.02552912.0E-50.00470740950.0094891120.0095782581.00939459.0E-50.0460893250.093027150.093217611.00204742.1E-4
6.78.9836685E-51.8185233E-41.8185233E-41.00.03.8495753E-47.791345E-47.9911895E-41.02564952.0E-50.004676790.0094448150.0095339651.0094399.0E-50.0457958170.092621380.092811931.00205732.1E-4
6.88.9471854E-51.8131983E-41.8131983E-41.00.03.8339442E-47.7685376E-47.968382E-41.02572492.0E-50.0046578410.0094172870.009506441.00946699.0E-50.045614140.0923682150.0925588161.00206352.1E-4
6.98.858234E-51.8013896E-41.8013896E-41.00.03.7958333E-47.717959E-47.917805E-41.02589362.0E-50.0046116380.0093562380.0094453961.00952929.0E-50.045171030.091808440.091999161.00207732.1E-4
7.08.7433385E-51.7852607E-41.7852607E-41.00.03.746607E-47.6488755E-47.848723E-41.02612762.0E-50.0045519570.0092728470.0093620131.00961589.0E-50.0445983860.09104250.091233381.00209672.1E-4
7.18.684964E-51.7764501E-41.7764501E-41.00.03.7215967E-47.6111377E-47.7110616E-41.01312861.0E-50.00452163350.0092272920.0093065541.008598.0E-50.044307310.090623940.090796721.00190661.9E-4
7.28.606521E-51.7655063E-41.7655063E-41.00.03.6879873E-47.5642637E-47.664188E-41.013211.0E-50.00448088350.00917070450.0092499711.00864348.0E-50.0439160240.090103840.090276721.00191871.9E-4
7.38.568266E-51.7596998E-41.7596998E-41.00.03.6715972E-47.5393927E-47.639317E-41.01325371.0E-50.00446101050.0091406790.0092199471.00867218.0E-50.0437251480.089825210.089998151.00192521.9E-4
7.48.5432206E-51.7559543E-41.7559543E-41.00.03.6608664E-47.5233495E-47.6232746E-41.0132821.0E-50.0044479990.009121310.009200581.00869078.0E-50.0436001570.089645240.08981821.00192951.9E-4
7.58.4791965E-51.7428731E-41.7428731E-41.00.03.633435E-47.46732E-47.5672456E-41.01338171.0E-50.00441473770.0090536620.0091329381.00875628.0E-50.0432805750.089023570.089196651.00194431.9E-4
7.68.241105E-51.6873641E-41.6873641E-41.00.03.531424E-47.229558E-47.3294854E-41.01382211.0E-50.00429103520.0087665520.0088458511.00904568.0E-50.0420911760.086393860.086567451.00200931.9E-4
7.77.00432E-51.4234452E-41.4234452E-41.00.03.001506E-46.099054E-46.198993E-41.0163861.0E-50.00364821120.0074003560.00746983761.0093897.0E-50.0358889770.073652270.073809741.00213811.7E-4
7.86.415362E-51.2995867E-41.2995867E-41.00.02.749151E-45.568469E-45.6684134E-41.01794831.0E-50.00334195470.0067585660.0068280931.01028737.0E-50.032921410.067374570.067533121.00235321.7E-4
7.94.939911E-59.36036E-59.36036E-51.00.02.116933E-44.0109662E-44.1109262E-41.02492171.0E-50.00257431950.00487242640.0049122311.00816944.0E-50.0254470130.0490061340.0490822161.00155258.0E-5
8.03.344983E-55.233905E-55.233905E-51.00.01.4334853E-42.2429094E-42.2429094E-41.00.00.00174387110.00272732440.00274726981.00731332.0E-50.0173024960.0279778580.0280167391.00138974.0E-5
8.11.9104898E-51.9225243E-51.9225243E-51.00.08.1875565E-58.23913E-58.23913E-51.00.09.963791E-40.0010026530.0010126431.00996351.0E-50.0099192350.0107773420.0107971271.00183572.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.494016E-65.494016E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3545572E-52.3545572E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.866297E-42.866297E-41.00.00.00450013950.00325922180.00325922181.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.690063E-77.690063E-71.00.08.498917E-63.295737E-63.295737E-61.00.01.034694E-44.012488E-54.012488E-51.00.00.00103421244.737206E-44.737206E-41.00.0

San Andreas (Parkfield)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.556969E-47.8200514E-47.919973E-41.01277771.0E-50.00237938480.0033477010.0033676341.00595432.0E-50.0285869630.0403458850.0404322561.00214089.0E-50.251762840.33771010.337869051.00047062.4E-4
6.11.925858E-43.0395915E-43.1395612E-41.03288911.0E-58.2510663E-40.00130212690.00132210091.01533952.0E-50.00999948850.0158319680.015900861.00435147.0E-50.0956132560.149969850.150088861.00079361.4E-4
6.29.4306815E-51.8274323E-41.8274323E-41.00.04.0410945E-47.829515E-47.9294364E-41.01276221.0E-50.00490893840.0094909680.0095503981.00626186.0E-50.0480190630.091990970.092109011.00128321.3E-4
6.39.283051E-51.7970752E-41.7970752E-41.00.03.9778434E-47.69949E-47.799413E-41.01297781.0E-50.00483227470.0093340310.009393471.0063686.0E-50.0472853850.0906436440.090761861.00130411.3E-4
6.49.138826E-51.7732776E-41.7732776E-41.00.03.916052E-47.5975596E-47.6974835E-41.01315211.0E-50.00475737450.0092109810.0092704291.0064546.0E-50.0465680920.089541580.089659941.00132181.3E-4
6.59.000255E-51.749061E-41.749061E-41.00.03.8566816E-47.493834E-47.593759E-41.01333431.0E-50.00468540470.0090857710.0091452261.00654386.0E-50.0458784030.088429760.088548261.00134021.3E-4
6.68.8109264E-51.7171387E-41.7171387E-41.00.03.7755648E-47.3571014E-47.4570277E-41.01358231.0E-50.00458706540.0089206880.0089801521.0066666.0E-50.044935290.086959530.087078231.0013651.3E-4
6.78.738073E-51.7038376E-41.7038376E-41.00.03.7443507E-47.3001295E-47.4000563E-41.01368841.0E-50.00454922160.00885194450.0089114131.00671826.0E-50.044572130.0863596050.086478381.00137531.3E-4
6.88.710195E-51.698381E-41.698381E-41.00.03.7324068E-47.276757E-47.3766836E-41.01373241.0E-50.00453474050.0088237250.0088831961.00673996.0E-50.044433130.086107010.0862258151.00137971.3E-4
6.98.6801556E-51.6924697E-41.6924697E-41.00.03.7195362E-47.251437E-47.3513645E-41.01378041.0E-50.00451913570.0087931480.0088526211.00676356.0E-50.0442833270.0858327450.085951581.00138461.3E-4
7.08.5571606E-51.6677282E-41.6677282E-41.00.03.6668387E-47.14546E-47.2453887E-41.01398491.0E-50.0044552410.0086651550.0087246351.00686436.0E-50.0436697270.0846800660.084799051.00140521.3E-4
7.17.82589E-51.5156982E-41.5156982E-41.00.03.3535215E-46.4942404E-46.5941754E-41.01538831.0E-50.00407527060.0078782440.0079377711.0075566.0E-50.0400134180.077591890.07771181.00154541.3E-4
7.27.690929E-51.4894054E-41.4894054E-41.00.03.2956956E-46.381612E-46.481548E-41.015661.0E-50.0040051290.0077421010.00780163661.00768986.0E-50.03933710.076364370.076484441.00157241.3E-4
7.37.5543794E-51.4590233E-41.4590233E-41.00.03.2371894E-46.251466E-46.3514034E-41.01598621.0E-50.0039341570.00758476140.00764430641.00785066.0E-50.0386523340.074928450.075048711.0016051.3E-4
7.47.4214564E-51.4290822E-41.4290822E-41.00.03.1802364E-46.123207E-46.2231463E-41.01632131.0E-50.0038650650.00742968130.00748923561.00801586.0E-50.037985290.073501020.073621471.00163871.3E-4
7.56.149578E-51.1214689E-41.1214689E-41.00.02.6352672E-44.805411E-44.905363E-41.02079991.0E-50.00320371780.0058349250.0058945751.01022296.0E-50.031579230.0586741830.0587871451.00192521.2E-4
7.66.0643448E-51.1043109E-41.1043109E-41.00.02.598746E-44.7319033E-44.831856E-41.02112321.0E-50.00315938280.00574590550.00580556041.01038226.0E-50.0311484170.0578342560.0579473151.00195491.2E-4
7.75.1652263E-59.1959046E-59.1959046E-51.00.02.2134806E-43.940507E-44.0404673E-41.02536751.0E-50.0026915820.00478702360.0048367841.01039495.0E-50.0265921410.048637620.0487422721.00215161.1E-4
7.84.8090482E-58.5791486E-58.5791486E-51.00.02.060858E-43.67626E-43.7762232E-41.02719151.0E-50.00250620720.0044666690.00451644561.0111445.0E-50.0247813050.0453958550.0455008631.00231311.1E-4
7.93.970278E-56.765535E-56.765535E-51.00.01.7014367E-42.899193E-42.999164E-41.03448241.0E-50.0020695310.0035240580.00355395231.00848293.0E-50.0205036360.0359548550.036022341.00187687.0E-5
8.02.8982335E-54.0792085E-54.0792085E-51.00.01.2420409E-41.748115E-41.748115E-41.00.00.00151113570.0021262540.00214621121.00938622.0E-50.0150090120.0220581460.0220972631.00177344.0E-5
8.11.8836186E-51.8732435E-51.8732435E-51.00.08.0724014E-58.02794E-58.02794E-51.00.09.823717E-49.76964E-49.869542E-41.01022581.0E-50.0097804030.0105151280.0105349181.00188212.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.494016E-65.494016E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3545572E-52.3545572E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.866297E-42.866297E-41.00.00.00450013950.00325922180.00325922181.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.690063E-77.690063E-71.00.08.498917E-63.295737E-63.295737E-61.00.01.034694E-44.012488E-54.012488E-51.00.00.00103421244.737206E-44.737206E-41.00.0

San Andreas (Carrizo) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1674632E-42.4362565E-42.4362565E-41.00.05.002454E-40.00104369370.0010636731.01914272.0E-50.0060734930.0126334210.01272228451.0070349.0E-50.05910160.120777930.120988941.00174712.4E-4
6.11.1674632E-42.4362565E-42.4362565E-41.00.05.002454E-40.00104369370.0010636731.01914272.0E-50.0060734930.0126334210.01272228451.0070349.0E-50.05910160.120777930.120988941.00174712.4E-4
6.21.1674632E-42.4362565E-42.4362565E-41.00.05.002454E-40.00104369370.0010636731.01914272.0E-50.0060734930.0126334210.01272228451.0070349.0E-50.05910160.120777930.120988941.00174712.4E-4
6.31.1674632E-42.4362565E-42.4362565E-41.00.05.002454E-40.00104369370.0010636731.01914272.0E-50.0060734930.0126334210.01272228451.0070349.0E-50.05910160.120777930.120988941.00174712.4E-4
6.41.1674632E-42.4362565E-42.4362565E-41.00.05.002454E-40.00104369370.0010636731.01914272.0E-50.0060734930.0126334210.01272228451.0070349.0E-50.05910160.120777930.120988941.00174712.4E-4
6.51.13136164E-42.368245E-42.368245E-41.00.04.847792E-40.0010145690.00103454861.01969282.0E-50.00588622550.0122828650.0123618831.00643318.0E-50.0573273340.117742520.117945441.00172342.3E-4
6.61.13136164E-42.368245E-42.368245E-41.00.04.847792E-40.0010145690.00103454861.01969282.0E-50.00588622550.0122828650.0123618831.00643318.0E-50.0573273340.117742520.117945441.00172342.3E-4
6.71.1149675E-42.3373615E-42.3373615E-41.00.04.777557E-40.00100134340.00102132331.01995312.0E-50.00580117340.0121236440.0122026741.00651878.0E-50.056520510.116360540.116554941.00167072.2E-4
6.81.1103589E-42.3275726E-42.3275726E-41.00.04.7578133E-49.971512E-40.00101713131.02003722.0E-50.0057772630.0120731720.0121522061.00654638.0E-50.0562935840.115921070.116115571.00167792.2E-4
6.91.1053259E-42.3168049E-42.3168049E-41.00.04.7362508E-49.9254E-40.00101252021.02013032.0E-50.00575114970.0120176510.0120966911.00657698.0E-50.056045690.115437460.1156320651.00168572.2E-4
7.01.1005377E-42.306884E-42.306884E-41.00.04.7157376E-49.882915E-40.00100827171.0202172.0E-50.00572630620.0119664940.0120455371.00660548.0E-50.0558097960.1149895340.115184241.00169322.2E-4
7.11.0308142E-42.157785E-42.157785E-41.00.04.417027E-49.2443835E-49.3442906E-41.01080741.0E-50.00536447760.011197270.0112664861.00618157.0E-50.0523681380.1082493140.108418751.00156521.9E-4
7.21.0027479E-42.0985417E-42.0985417E-41.00.04.296783E-48.9906604E-49.0905704E-41.01111271.0E-50.00521879220.010891490.0109607271.00635717.0E-50.0509792120.1055562350.105726181.001611.9E-4
7.39.816942E-52.0460035E-42.0460035E-41.00.04.2065824E-48.76565E-48.865562E-41.01139821.0E-50.0051094930.0106202430.0106894991.00652127.0E-50.0499359850.1031380150.103308421.00165221.9E-4
7.49.5634205E-51.9828742E-41.9828742E-41.00.04.0979648E-48.4952737E-48.595189E-41.01176131.0E-50.00497786370.0102942090.0103634881.006737.0E-50.0486782530.100228640.10039961.00170561.9E-4
7.58.052417E-51.6144858E-41.6144858E-41.00.03.4505792E-46.917392E-47.017323E-41.01444631.0E-50.00419299030.0083894840.0084588971.00827377.0E-50.041147530.0829617160.083126781.00198971.8E-4
7.67.897024E-51.5797748E-41.5797748E-41.00.03.384E-46.7687087E-46.8686414E-41.01476381.0E-50.00411223850.008209840.0082792661.00845637.0E-50.0403696970.081298460.081463831.00203411.8E-4
7.76.707427E-51.3304809E-41.3304809E-41.00.02.8742946E-45.700815E-45.8007584E-41.01753141.0E-50.0034938390.0069186870.00697827151.00861226.0E-50.0343941640.069178080.069327011.00215291.6E-4
7.86.147705E-51.2223405E-41.2223405E-41.00.02.6344648E-45.2375504E-45.337498E-41.01908291.0E-50.00320274360.00635809870.00641771731.00937686.0E-50.0315697640.063632710.0637825351.00235441.6E-4
7.94.7636717E-58.898354E-58.898354E-51.00.02.0414138E-43.8130232E-43.912985E-41.02621591.0E-50.00248258840.0046324820.0046623431.0064463.0E-50.0245503650.0467172530.046783981.00142847.0E-5
8.03.3554235E-55.224913E-55.224913E-51.00.01.4379594E-42.2390562E-42.2390562E-41.00.00.00174930970.0027226450.00274259041.00732582.0E-50.0173560340.027936660.0279755421.00139184.0E-5
8.11.9175432E-51.923722E-51.923722E-51.00.08.217783E-58.244263E-58.244263E-51.00.00.00100005580.00100327750.00101326741.00995731.0E-50.0099556730.0107856070.0108053911.00183432.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.494016E-65.494016E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3545572E-52.3545572E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.866297E-42.866297E-41.00.00.00450013950.00325922180.00325922181.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.690063E-77.690063E-71.00.08.498917E-63.295737E-63.295737E-61.00.01.034694E-44.012488E-54.012488E-51.00.00.00103421244.737206E-44.737206E-41.00.0

Death Valley (No)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.0074807E-52.2501532E-53.2501306E-51.44440411.0E-58.603206E-59.643161E-51.2642873E-41.31107133.0E-50.0010469370.001173430.00130327741.11065641.3E-40.0104201830.0116732540.01191045251.02031982.4E-4
6.12.0074807E-52.2501532E-53.2501306E-51.44440411.0E-58.603206E-59.643161E-51.2642873E-41.31107133.0E-50.0010469370.001173430.00130327741.11065641.3E-40.0104201830.0116732540.01191045251.02031982.4E-4
6.22.0074807E-52.2501532E-53.2501306E-51.44440411.0E-58.603206E-59.643161E-51.2642873E-41.31107133.0E-50.0010469370.001173430.00130327741.11065641.3E-40.0104201830.0116732540.01191045251.02031982.4E-4
6.31.9050609E-52.1338312E-53.13381E-51.46863071.0E-58.164292E-59.1446746E-51.21444E-41.32802983.0E-59.935491E-40.00111280220.00124265751.11669221.3E-40.0098911880.0110731240.0113104661.02143412.4E-4
6.41.9050609E-52.1338312E-53.13381E-51.46863071.0E-58.164292E-59.1446746E-51.21444E-41.32802983.0E-59.935491E-40.00111280220.00124265751.11669221.3E-40.0098911880.0110731240.0113104661.02143412.4E-4
6.51.8367004E-52.0562318E-53.056211E-51.48631641.0E-57.8713354E-58.812128E-51.1811864E-41.34040993.0E-59.5791375E-40.00107235510.00120221571.12109851.3E-40.0095379510.0106725920.0109001371.02132062.3E-4
6.61.779439E-51.9912191E-52.9911991E-51.50219491.0E-57.625944E-58.53352E-51.15332645E-41.35152483.0E-59.280632E-40.00103846730.00116833231.12505451.3E-40.0092419690.0103369050.01056452751.02202032.3E-4
6.71.7025437E-51.904463E-52.9044439E-51.52507251.0E-57.296412E-58.161732E-51.1161487E-41.3675393.0E-58.87976E-49.93244E-40.0011231151.13075421.3E-40.0088443620.0098887670.0101164921.02302872.3E-4
6.81.6545107E-51.851372E-52.8513534E-51.540131.0E-57.090568E-57.934213E-51.0933975E-41.37807933.0E-58.629347E-49.6556847E-40.00109544291.13450571.3E-40.0085959150.0096144350.009832321.02266232.2E-4
6.91.615478E-51.8088747E-52.8088565E-51.55281981.0E-56.9232934E-57.7520934E-51.0751861E-41.38696233.0E-58.4258494E-49.4341475E-40.00107329211.13766731.3E-40.0083939730.0093947920.0096127251.02319722.2E-4
7.01.5894311E-51.780669E-52.7806513E-51.56157671.0E-56.81167E-57.6312186E-51.063099E-41.3930923.0E-58.2900526E-49.287109E-40.00105859021.1398491.3E-40.0082591950.0092489870.0094669531.02356642.2E-4
7.11.5602263E-51.7484625E-51.7484625E-51.00.06.6865134E-57.493199E-59.4930496E-51.26688872.0E-58.137789E-49.119212E-40.00103181181.13147031.2E-40.0081080520.0090824740.0092905671.02291142.1E-4
7.21.5323829E-51.7171731E-51.7171731E-51.00.06.56719E-57.3591094E-59.3589624E-51.2717522.0E-57.99262E-48.956093E-40.00101550191.1338671.2E-40.0079639340.0089206760.0091288031.02333082.1E-4
7.31.4556212E-51.6303497E-51.6303497E-51.00.06.238227E-56.9870286E-58.986889E-51.28622472.0E-57.592395E-48.503446E-49.702426E-41.14099921.2E-40.00756650740.0084715530.0086797741.02457882.1E-4
7.41.411725E-51.5808968E-51.5808968E-51.00.06.0501097E-56.775099E-58.7749635E-51.29517872.0E-57.363519E-48.24562E-49.44463E-41.14541181.2E-40.00733916740.008215660.0084239351.02535092.1E-4
7.51.3503312E-51.5127256E-51.5127256E-51.00.05.7870053E-56.4829524E-58.482822E-51.30848152.0E-57.043401E-47.890194E-49.0892473E-41.15196751.2E-40.0070211190.0078628050.0080711541.02649812.1E-4
7.61.1279839E-51.2627129E-51.2627129E-51.00.04.834127E-55.4115175E-57.411409E-51.36956212.0E-55.88396E-46.586584E-47.6858595E-41.16689611.1E-40.0058684050.0065676140.00676630061.03025252.0E-4
7.79.189108E-61.02840095E-51.02840095E-51.00.03.93813E-54.407361E-55.407317E-51.22688321.0E-54.7936183E-45.3646916E-46.1642623E-41.14904328.0E-50.0047832910.0053522520.00548155651.02415881.3E-4
7.83.4586725E-73.648368E-73.648368E-71.00.01.4822873E-61.5635853E-61.1563569E-57.39554741.0E-51.80467E-51.903649E-53.903611E-52.05059392.0E-51.8045233E-41.9034903E-42.1034523E-41.10505012.0E-5
7.92.5591178E-92.6697329E-92.6697329E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.14417125E-81.14417125E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3930286E-71.3930286E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3930285E-61.3930285E-61.00.0

San Andreas (San Gorgonio Pass-Garnet HIll)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.31567E-52.3400006E-42.3400006E-41.00.03.5633717E-40.00100246770.00102244771.01993072.0E-50.0043297780.0121366590.0122552021.00976741.2E-40.0424638280.1126519740.1128471941.0017332.2E-4
6.18.31567E-52.3400006E-42.3400006E-41.00.03.5633717E-40.00100246770.00102244771.01993072.0E-50.0043297780.0121366590.0122552021.00976741.2E-40.0424638280.1126519740.1128471941.0017332.2E-4
6.28.31567E-52.3400006E-42.3400006E-41.00.03.5633717E-40.00100246770.00102244771.01993072.0E-50.0043297780.0121366590.0122552021.00976741.2E-40.0424638280.1126519740.1128471941.0017332.2E-4
6.38.31567E-52.3400006E-42.3400006E-41.00.03.5633717E-40.00100246770.00102244771.01993072.0E-50.0043297780.0121366590.0122552021.00976741.2E-40.0424638280.1126519740.1128471941.0017332.2E-4
6.48.059055E-52.2957478E-42.2957478E-41.00.03.4534236E-49.835173E-40.00100349751.02031522.0E-50.00419643940.01190881150.0120273831.00995661.2E-40.0411807450.110632830.110828491.00176862.2E-4
6.58.059055E-52.2957478E-42.2957478E-41.00.03.4534236E-49.835173E-40.00100349751.02031522.0E-50.00419643940.01190881150.0120273831.00995661.2E-40.0411807450.110632830.110828491.00176862.2E-4
6.67.619237E-52.2201831E-42.2201831E-41.00.03.2649786E-49.5116236E-49.711433E-41.0210072.0E-50.00396786770.0115194590.0116281921.00943911.1E-40.038977640.107169160.107356651.00174952.1E-4
6.77.440636E-52.187761E-42.187761E-41.00.03.188454E-49.3727716E-49.572584E-41.02131842.0E-50.00387503460.0113521780.0114609281.00957981.1E-40.0380815640.105677620.105865431.00177722.1E-4
6.87.3735864E-52.1724754E-42.1724754E-41.00.03.1597257E-49.307309E-49.507123E-41.02146852.0E-50.00384018150.0112733060.0113820661.00964761.1E-40.037744950.104979110.105167061.00179042.1E-4
6.97.27575E-52.1493697E-42.1493697E-41.00.03.117806E-49.208355E-49.4081706E-41.02169942.0E-50.0037893230.011154070.0112628421.00975191.1E-40.0372535620.103927050.1041152251.00181072.1E-4
7.07.102591E-52.1077669E-42.1077669E-41.00.03.0436125E-49.0301817E-49.230001E-41.0221282.0E-50.0036993030.010939340.0110481361.00994541.1E-40.036383250.102028580.102217151.00184822.1E-4
7.17.028513E-52.0913279E-42.0913279E-41.00.03.0118722E-48.959777E-49.159598E-41.0223022.0E-50.00366078970.010854480.0109632861.01002411.1E-40.0360106860.101271710.101460451.00186362.1E-4
7.26.8498244E-52.0521069E-42.0521069E-41.00.02.9353087E-48.7918015E-48.9916255E-41.02272842.0E-50.0035678830.0106519840.0107608131.01021671.1E-40.0351114050.099463590.099652711.00190132.1E-4
7.36.622592E-51.9748145E-41.9748145E-41.00.02.8379448E-48.4607676E-48.6605985E-41.02361852.0E-50.00344972430.0102528130.01036168451.01061881.1E-40.0339666120.0959597750.096149621.00197842.1E-4
7.45.1050705E-51.4702928E-41.4702928E-41.00.02.1877038E-46.299742E-46.499616E-41.03172732.0E-50.0026602760.00764315580.00775231471.0142821.1E-40.026286540.072924540.073119221.00266972.1E-4
7.53.9302922E-51.1141936E-41.1141936E-41.00.01.6843023E-44.7742447E-44.974149E-41.04187142.0E-50.00204870920.0057972210.00590658331.01886461.1E-40.0202992470.0560635960.0562618231.00353572.1E-4
7.62.9851626E-58.50571E-58.50571E-51.00.01.2792926E-43.644796E-43.8447234E-41.05485272.0E-50.00155642590.00442853570.0045380491.02472891.1E-40.01545569950.04324260.043443521.00464632.1E-4
7.72.1135214E-56.362411E-56.362411E-51.00.09.0576345E-52.7264628E-42.9264085E-41.07333522.0E-50.00110220910.00331442150.00342405681.03307831.1E-40.0109675820.0326261970.0328293441.00622652.1E-4
7.81.883379E-55.5727225E-55.5727225E-51.00.08.0713755E-52.3880912E-42.5880436E-41.08372892.0E-59.822468E-40.00290362770.00301330841.03777361.1E-40.00977916550.0287353270.0289392941.00709812.1E-4
7.91.5156185E-54.172945E-54.172945E-51.00.06.495346E-51.7882824E-41.9882467E-41.11181912.0E-57.9052144E-40.00217506130.00228482181.05046331.1E-40.0078771520.0217924970.0219979211.00942642.1E-4
8.01.1405907E-53.0027531E-53.0027531E-51.00.04.8881542E-51.2868308E-41.486805E-41.15540062.0E-55.9497025E-40.00156559150.00165545061.05739639.0E-50.0059337980.015797990.0159357771.00872181.4E-4
8.14.3511436E-67.3876467E-67.3876467E-61.00.01.8647626E-53.166096E-53.166096E-51.00.02.2701119E-43.8540413E-43.9540028E-41.02593681.0E-50.00226779420.0041255910.00413554951.00241391.0E-5
8.22.3042528E-62.741309E-62.741309E-61.00.09.875332E-61.1748414E-51.1748414E-51.00.01.2022553E-41.430276E-41.430276E-41.00.00.00120160510.00160234410.00160234411.00.0
8.35.202968E-73.1710775E-73.1710775E-71.00.02.2298414E-61.3590326E-61.3590326E-61.00.02.714798E-51.6546108E-51.6546108E-51.00.02.7144665E-41.9627038E-41.9627038E-41.00.0

Calico-Hidalgo

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.0906612E-55.0708393E-55.0708393E-51.00.01.7530227E-42.1730587E-42.3730153E-41.09201622.0E-50.00213221580.00264288740.00274262321.03773741.0E-40.021118730.026154860.026349631.00744682.0E-4
6.14.0906612E-55.0708393E-55.0708393E-51.00.01.7530227E-42.1730587E-42.3730153E-41.09201622.0E-50.00213221580.00264288740.00274262321.03773741.0E-40.021118730.026154860.026349631.00744682.0E-4
6.24.0906612E-55.0708393E-55.0708393E-51.00.01.7530227E-42.1730587E-42.3730153E-41.09201622.0E-50.00213221580.00264288740.00274262321.03773741.0E-40.021118730.026154860.026349631.00744682.0E-4
6.32.4242801E-53.0092604E-53.0092604E-51.00.01.0389358E-41.2896211E-41.3896084E-41.07753221.0E-50.00126417040.00156901650.00162892231.03818056.0E-50.012570030.0155830690.0157110431.00821231.3E-4
6.42.4242801E-53.0092604E-53.0092604E-51.00.01.0389358E-41.2896211E-41.3896084E-41.07753221.0E-50.00126417040.00156901650.00162892231.03818056.0E-50.012570030.0155830690.0157110431.00821231.3E-4
6.52.0286952E-52.5317231E-52.5317231E-51.00.08.694118E-51.08498E-41.08498E-41.00.00.00105799490.00132017980.00134015341.01512942.0E-50.0105297190.0131253060.0132042561.00601518.0E-5
6.62.0269223E-52.5298179E-52.5298179E-51.00.08.6865206E-51.0841636E-41.0841636E-41.00.00.00105707070.0013191870.00133916061.01514092.0E-50.0105205650.0131154950.0131944461.00601978.0E-5
6.71.799852E-52.2541886E-52.2541886E-51.00.07.713423E-59.660459E-59.660459E-51.00.09.3870464E-40.00117554080.00119551741.01699342.0E-50.0093474930.0116948370.0117739011.00676068.0E-5
6.81.7458793E-52.1843232E-52.1843232E-51.00.07.4821255E-59.361057E-59.361057E-51.00.09.10568E-40.00113912730.00115910451.01753742.0E-50.0090684590.0113344670.011413561.00697828.0E-5
6.91.542884E-51.9026784E-51.9026784E-51.00.06.612192E-58.1540886E-58.1540886E-51.00.08.04737E-49.923213E-40.00100231141.01006731.0E-50.0080182910.0098803010.0099496091.00701487.0E-5
7.01.468253E-51.8031564E-51.8031564E-51.00.06.292361E-57.7275916E-57.7275916E-51.00.07.658257E-49.404412E-49.504318E-41.01062331.0E-50.00763191840.00936598050.0094353251.00740397.0E-5
7.11.3139281E-51.620179E-51.620179E-51.00.05.6309986E-56.943446E-56.943446E-51.00.06.853584E-48.4504933E-48.550409E-41.01182371.0E-50.00683248560.0084196570.0084890681.00824397.0E-5
7.21.1127404E-51.3867326E-51.3867326E-51.00.04.7688E-55.9430102E-55.9430102E-51.00.05.8044674E-47.2333217E-47.3332497E-41.01381491.0E-50.00578932980.0072108860.0072704531.00826076.0E-5
7.39.808154E-61.2176835E-51.2176835E-51.00.04.2034266E-55.2185453E-55.2185453E-51.00.05.11647E-46.351834E-46.4517703E-41.01573351.0E-50.00510470570.00633475460.00639437461.00941166.0E-5
7.47.942452E-69.792561E-69.792561E-61.00.03.4038632E-54.1967498E-54.1967498E-51.00.04.1434157E-45.10844E-45.2083883E-41.01956551.0E-50.00413569850.0050976380.0051374341.00780684.0E-5
7.54.7121216E-65.773085E-65.773085E-61.00.02.019465E-52.4741601E-52.4741601E-51.00.02.4584212E-43.0119502E-43.0119502E-41.00.00.00245570320.00300862060.00302856041.00662762.0E-5
7.62.21172E-72.6040448E-72.6040448E-71.00.09.478797E-71.1160189E-61.1160189E-61.00.01.1540374E-51.3587473E-51.3587473E-51.00.01.1539775E-41.3586924E-41.3586924E-41.00.0

Sierra Nevada (No Extension)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.7690465E-66.9765347E-61.6976464E-52.43336631.0E-53.329549E-52.9899295E-54.9898696E-51.66889212.0E-54.0529718E-43.6399896E-44.3397347E-41.19223827.0E-50.0040455880.00363754360.00383681621.05478222.0E-4
6.17.7690465E-66.9765347E-61.6976464E-52.43336631.0E-53.329549E-52.9899295E-54.9898696E-51.66889212.0E-54.0529718E-43.6399896E-44.3397347E-41.19223827.0E-50.0040455880.00363754360.00383681621.05478222.0E-4
6.27.7690465E-66.9765347E-61.6976464E-52.43336631.0E-53.329549E-52.9899295E-54.9898696E-51.66889212.0E-54.0529718E-43.6399896E-44.3397347E-41.19223827.0E-50.0040455880.00363754360.00383681621.05478222.0E-4
6.37.7690465E-66.9765347E-61.6976464E-52.43336631.0E-53.329549E-52.9899295E-54.9898696E-51.66889212.0E-54.0529718E-43.6399896E-44.3397347E-41.19223827.0E-50.0040455880.00363754360.00383681621.05478222.0E-4
6.47.7690465E-66.9765347E-61.6976464E-52.43336631.0E-53.329549E-52.9899295E-54.9898696E-51.66889212.0E-54.0529718E-43.6399896E-44.3397347E-41.19223827.0E-50.0040455880.00363754360.00383681621.05478222.0E-4
6.57.7690465E-66.9765347E-61.6976464E-52.43336631.0E-53.329549E-52.9899295E-54.9898696E-51.66889212.0E-54.0529718E-43.6399896E-44.3397347E-41.19223827.0E-50.0040455880.00363754360.00383681621.05478222.0E-4
6.62.653E-61.6149307E-61.1614915E-57.19220641.0E-51.136995E-56.9211133E-62.6920976E-53.88968852.0E-51.3842035E-48.426133E-51.3425712E-41.5933425.0E-50.00138334158.422973E-49.721878E-41.15420991.3E-4
6.72.5902466E-61.5502632E-61.1550248E-57.45050761.0E-51.11010095E-56.6439684E-62.6643835E-54.0102292.0E-51.351464E-48.0887345E-51.308833E-41.61809375.0E-50.00135064248.08582E-49.384769E-41.16064521.3E-4
6.82.5853892E-61.547063E-61.15470475E-57.4638511.0E-51.1080193E-56.630253E-62.6630121E-54.0164562.0E-51.34893E-48.072037E-51.3071633E-41.61937245.0E-50.00134811148.069135E-49.368086E-41.16097771.3E-4
6.92.458257E-61.4221347E-61.142212E-58.03167251.0E-51.0535345E-56.094849E-62.6094727E-54.28143932.0E-51.2826028E-47.4202275E-51.2419857E-41.67378385.0E-50.00128186277.41777E-48.7168056E-41.17512491.3E-4
7.02.4341468E-61.3990981E-61.1399084E-58.1474511.0E-51.0432016E-55.9961208E-62.5996002E-54.33546972.0E-51.270024E-47.3000345E-51.229967E-41.68487825.0E-50.00126929847.2976557E-48.596707E-41.17800941.3E-4
7.12.3652476E-61.3340461E-61.1334033E-58.4959831.0E-51.0136736E-55.717328E-62.5717214E-54.49811742.0E-51.2340778E-46.960626E-51.1960278E-41.71827615.0E-50.00123339266.958463E-48.257558E-41.18669281.3E-4
7.22.272158E-61.2503509E-61.12503385E-58.9977451.0E-59.737784E-65.3586355E-62.5358528E-54.7322732.0E-51.1855107E-46.523945E-51.1523619E-41.76635745.0E-50.00118487846.522045E-47.821197E-41.1991941.3E-4
7.32.1382127E-61.1420364E-61.1142025E-59.7562791.0E-59.163737E-64.894432E-62.4894334E-55.0862562.0E-51.1156279E-45.9588092E-51.0958511E-41.83904395.0E-50.0011150685.9572235E-47.1565085E-41.20131611.2E-4
7.41.9048055E-69.575857E-71.0957576E-511.442921.0E-58.163426E-64.103932E-62.410385E-55.8733552.0E-59.9385186E-54.9964237E-59.996174E-52.0006665.0E-59.934074E-44.995307E-46.194708E-41.24010551.2E-4
7.51.5373403E-67.5605493E-77.5605493E-71.00.06.5885843E-63.2402313E-61.3240199E-54.08618931.0E-58.021306E-53.9449107E-57.944753E-52.01392464.0E-58.0184115E-43.944215E-45.043781E-41.27877951.1E-4
7.61.0680322E-64.659972E-74.659972E-71.00.04.577273E-61.9971294E-61.9971294E-61.00.05.5726876E-52.431478E-53.4314537E-51.41126251.0E-55.5712904E-42.4312147E-43.0310688E-41.24673026.0E-5
7.75.509146E-71.5581371E-71.5581371E-71.00.02.3610605E-66.677729E-76.677729E-71.00.02.8745531E-58.130106E-61.8130024E-52.22998621.0E-52.8741814E-48.1298196E-59.1297385E-51.1229941.0E-5

Elsinore (Glen Ivy) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6204086E-42.93772E-43.0376908E-41.034031.0E-56.94276E-40.00125848750.00126847491.0079361.0E-50.0084200970.0152359190.01529500451.00387816.0E-50.0810811450.13989730.140052121.00110661.8E-4
6.11.6204086E-42.93772E-43.0376908E-41.034031.0E-56.94276E-40.00125848750.00126847491.0079361.0E-50.0084200970.0152359190.01529500451.00387816.0E-50.0810811450.13989730.140052121.00110661.8E-4
6.21.6204086E-42.93772E-43.0376908E-41.034031.0E-56.94276E-40.00125848750.00126847491.0079361.0E-50.0084200970.0152359190.01529500451.00387816.0E-50.0810811450.13989730.140052121.00110661.8E-4
6.31.0111737E-41.7704953E-41.8704776E-41.05647131.0E-54.332882E-47.5867976E-47.6867215E-41.01317081.0E-50.0052625310.0092184950.00924821851.00322443.0E-50.05139640.087146680.087237961.00104751.0E-4
6.41.0111737E-41.7704953E-41.8704776E-41.05647131.0E-54.332882E-47.5867976E-47.6867215E-41.01317081.0E-50.0052625310.0092184950.00924821851.00322443.0E-50.05139640.087146680.087237961.00104751.0E-4
6.53.6624708E-54.63993E-54.63993E-51.00.01.569536E-41.9884102E-41.9884102E-41.00.00.0019092350.0024185630.0024185631.00.00.018929150.0237716060.0237813691.00041071.0E-5
6.62.5051324E-52.6153504E-52.6153504E-51.00.01.073584E-41.12081885E-41.12081885E-41.00.00.00130630470.00136378720.00136378721.00.00.0129865250.0135655310.0135655311.00.0
6.72.2189772E-52.2077826E-52.2077826E-51.00.09.509556E-59.461602E-59.461602E-51.00.00.00115717340.00115137770.00115137771.00.00.0115116630.0114658220.0114658221.00.0
6.81.6654378E-51.44404075E-51.44404075E-51.00.07.137396E-56.188602E-56.188602E-51.00.08.686314E-47.5320696E-47.5320696E-41.00.00.0086524390.0075118610.0075118611.00.0
6.91.5042909E-51.2334343E-51.2334343E-51.00.06.446802E-55.2860418E-55.2860418E-51.00.07.8461546E-46.4338866E-46.4338866E-41.00.00.0078185090.00641951150.00641951151.00.0
7.01.4361385E-51.1453502E-51.1453502E-51.00.06.154734E-54.908553E-54.908553E-51.00.07.490812E-45.974554E-45.974554E-41.00.00.0074656120.00596250870.00596250871.00.0
7.11.3265571E-51.0246804E-51.0246804E-51.00.05.6851208E-54.391415E-54.391415E-51.00.06.919436E-45.3452613E-45.3452613E-41.00.00.0068979310.00533572440.00533572441.00.0
7.21.1596403E-58.506578E-68.506578E-61.00.04.9697923E-53.6456262E-53.6456262E-51.00.06.049042E-44.4376627E-44.4376627E-41.00.00.0060326030.0044302350.0044302351.00.0
7.31.0150827E-57.2400208E-67.2400208E-61.00.04.3502816E-53.10283E-53.10283E-51.00.05.2951806E-43.777055E-43.777055E-41.00.00.0052825810.0037710350.0037710351.00.0
7.49.080705E-66.3536127E-66.3536127E-61.00.03.8916725E-52.7229491E-52.7229491E-51.00.04.7370812E-43.3147E-43.3147E-41.00.00.0047269960.00330990460.00330990461.00.0
7.57.671649E-65.2265436E-65.2265436E-61.00.03.287808E-52.2399287E-52.2399287E-51.00.04.0021708E-42.7267844E-42.7267844E-41.00.00.00399497060.00272356370.00272356371.00.0
7.66.990086E-64.688364E-64.688364E-61.00.02.9957167E-52.0092839E-52.0092839E-51.00.03.6466747E-42.4460402E-42.4460402E-41.00.00.00364069640.00244346420.00244346421.00.0
7.74.163505E-62.3300386E-62.3300386E-61.00.01.7843471E-59.985846E-69.985846E-61.00.02.172226E-41.2157163E-41.2157163E-41.00.00.00217010380.00121512440.00121512441.00.0
7.82.2692414E-79.38645E-89.38645E-81.00.09.725317E-74.0227638E-74.0227638E-71.00.01.1840509E-54.8977076E-64.8977076E-61.00.01.1839878E-44.8976322E-54.8976322E-51.00.0
7.96.676829E-93.4402008E-93.4402008E-91.00.02.861498E-81.4743718E-81.4743718E-81.00.03.4838732E-71.7950475E-71.7950475E-71.00.03.4838679E-61.7950463E-61.7950463E-61.00.0

Santa Ynez (West)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.7352758E-55.4976248E-55.4976248E-51.00.02.0292461E-42.3559289E-42.4559052E-41.04243611.0E-50.00246780760.00286483740.00291469411.0174035.0E-50.0244058180.0283071720.0284237751.00411921.2E-4
6.14.7352758E-55.4976248E-55.4976248E-51.00.02.0292461E-42.3559289E-42.4559052E-41.04243611.0E-50.00246780760.00286483740.00289475131.01044183.0E-50.0244058180.0283071720.0283946251.00308949.0E-5
6.23.0415853E-53.3927645E-53.3927645E-51.00.01.3034715E-41.4539632E-41.4539632E-41.00.00.00158582120.00176879820.00178876291.01128712.0E-50.0157455220.0175511460.0176100941.00335866.0E-5
6.33.0415853E-53.3927645E-53.3927645E-51.00.01.3034715E-41.4539632E-41.4539632E-41.00.00.00158582120.00176879820.00178876291.01128712.0E-50.0157455220.0175511460.0176100941.00335866.0E-5
6.42.5452082E-52.7914315E-52.7914315E-51.00.01.09075794E-41.196274E-41.196274E-41.00.00.00132718870.00145550930.00147548031.01372092.0E-50.0131929020.0144619350.0145210661.00408896.0E-5
6.52.3143784E-52.512982E-52.512982E-51.00.09.9183875E-51.0769487E-41.0769487E-41.00.00.00120689480.00131041090.00133038461.01524232.0E-50.0120036110.0130285060.0130877251.00454536.0E-5
6.61.9118515E-52.035546E-52.035546E-51.00.08.193392E-58.723481E-58.723481E-51.00.09.97089E-40.00106157420.00108155291.01881992.0E-50.009926270.0105659430.0106253091.00561866.0E-5
6.71.722807E-51.8147268E-51.8147268E-51.00.07.3832496E-57.777172E-57.777172E-51.00.08.985399E-49.4646495E-49.564555E-41.01055561.0E-50.0089491540.0094249860.0094745151.00525515.0E-5
6.81.5317364E-51.5927215E-51.5927215E-51.00.06.56442E-56.825773E-56.825773E-51.00.07.98925E-48.3072524E-48.4071694E-41.01202761.0E-50.0079605890.0082766870.0083163561.00479284.0E-5
6.91.3071226E-51.3330136E-51.3330136E-51.00.05.6018336E-55.7127916E-55.7127916E-51.00.06.8180985E-46.953127E-47.053057E-41.0143721.0E-50.00679721730.00693163280.0069614251.0042983.0E-5
7.01.1836986E-51.1933195E-51.1933195E-51.00.05.0728955E-55.1141273E-55.1141273E-51.00.06.1745E-46.224688E-46.3246256E-41.01605511.0E-50.0061573720.00620744560.00623725961.0048033.0E-5
7.11.0597169E-51.0542524E-51.0542524E-51.00.04.541565E-54.518147E-54.518147E-51.00.05.5279525E-45.499467E-45.599412E-41.01817361.0E-50.00551422130.00548598870.0055158241.00543843.0E-5
7.29.59113E-69.4594225E-69.4594225E-61.00.04.11042E-54.053976E-54.053976E-51.00.05.0032866E-44.9346086E-45.034559E-41.02025511.0E-50.0049920370.004923770.00494367161.00404192.0E-5
7.38.586084E-68.3798195E-68.3798195E-61.00.03.679698E-53.591302E-53.591302E-51.00.04.4791115E-44.3715438E-44.4715E-41.02286521.0E-50.0044700940.00436305530.00438296841.00456392.0E-5
7.47.2622997E-66.951717E-66.951717E-61.00.03.112377E-52.9792738E-52.9792738E-51.00.03.78866E-43.6266717E-43.7266355E-41.02756351.0E-50.00378220740.00362085340.00364078121.00550352.0E-5
7.55.627296E-65.251687E-65.251687E-61.00.02.411676E-52.250704E-52.250704E-51.00.02.9358198E-42.7398948E-42.7398948E-41.00.00.00293194430.00273658870.00274656131.00364421.0E-5
7.62.265244E-62.0609377E-62.0609377E-61.00.09.708152E-68.832561E-68.832561E-61.00.01.18190335E-41.0753121E-41.0753121E-41.00.00.0011812750.00107480040.00107480041.00.0
7.71.3099874E-61.1016689E-61.1016689E-61.00.05.61422E-64.7214294E-64.7214294E-61.00.06.8350986E-55.7481913E-55.7481913E-51.00.06.832996E-45.746728E-45.746728E-41.00.0
7.87.903951E-76.071319E-76.071319E-71.00.03.3874032E-62.6019911E-62.6019911E-61.00.04.1240855E-53.1678795E-53.1678795E-51.00.04.12332E-43.1674412E-43.1674412E-41.00.0
7.97.0753297E-95.0901185E-95.0901185E-91.00.03.032284E-82.1814794E-82.1814794E-81.00.03.6918053E-72.6559508E-72.6559508E-71.00.03.691799E-62.6559487E-62.6559487E-61.00.0

San Andreas (Cholame) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2302514E-42.5244427E-42.5244427E-41.00.05.27144E-40.00108145710.00109144631.00923681.0E-50.00639910860.013087760.0131568431.00527857.0E-50.062179490.1245563850.124722721.00133541.9E-4
6.11.2302514E-42.5244427E-42.5244427E-41.00.05.27144E-40.00108145710.00109144631.00923681.0E-50.00639910860.013087760.0131568431.00527857.0E-50.062179490.1245563850.124722721.00133541.9E-4
6.21.2203569E-42.5061177E-42.5061177E-41.00.05.2290526E-40.001073610.00108359931.00930441.0E-50.0063478040.01299336550.0130624561.00531737.0E-50.0616951360.1237404640.1239069551.00134551.9E-4
6.31.2142645E-42.494712E-42.494712E-41.00.05.202953E-40.00106872580.00107871511.0093471.0E-50.0063162120.0129346070.0130037021.00534197.0E-50.061396770.123234690.123401281.00135171.9E-4
6.41.1865206E-42.4452424E-42.4452424E-41.00.05.0840975E-40.00104754170.00105753131.00953611.0E-50.0061723350.0126797190.0127488311.00545067.0E-50.0600368680.121023210.121190211.001381.9E-4
6.51.17443946E-42.4245547E-42.4245547E-41.00.05.032341E-40.00103868260.00104867221.00961761.0E-50.0061096770.0125731050.0126422251.00549757.0E-50.0594440770.120099830.120267011.0013921.9E-4
6.61.13579066E-42.3554098E-42.3554098E-41.00.04.866766E-40.00100907230.00101906221.00990011.0E-50.00590920170.0122166960.0122858411.00565987.0E-50.0575451850.117011650.1171794161.00143371.9E-4
6.71.1271412E-42.3398313E-42.3398313E-41.00.04.829711E-40.0010024010.0010123911.0099661.0E-50.0058643310.012136380.0122055311.00569777.0E-50.0571196970.116315380.116483281.00144351.9E-4
6.81.1217975E-42.3286647E-42.3286647E-41.00.04.8068175E-49.97619E-40.0010076091.01001381.0E-50.0058366080.0120788060.0121479611.00572537.0E-50.0568567250.115813280.115981271.00145051.9E-4
6.91.1146753E-42.3135285E-42.3135285E-41.00.04.7763053E-49.91137E-40.00100112711.01007941.0E-50.00579965770.012000760.012069921.00576297.0E-50.0565061270.115133660.115301791.00146031.9E-4
7.01.0965793E-42.2758332E-42.2758332E-41.00.04.698779E-49.7499404E-49.849842E-41.01024651.0E-50.0057057680.0118063660.011875541.0058597.0E-50.0556147360.113433880.1136023251.0014851.9E-4
7.19.927982E-52.0575813E-42.0575813E-41.00.04.2541555E-48.8152353E-48.9151476E-41.0113341.0E-50.00516714060.0106800280.010749281.00648437.0E-50.050486340.103526130.1036874951.00155871.8E-4
7.29.696786E-52.0079788E-42.0079788E-41.00.04.1551032E-48.6027954E-48.7027095E-41.01161411.0E-50.005047110.0104238860.0104931561.00664537.0E-50.049340090.101264560.101426331.00159751.8E-4
7.39.4727984E-51.9508426E-41.9508426E-41.00.04.0591392E-48.3580846E-48.458001E-41.01195441.0E-50.00493080870.0101287590.0101980491.00684117.0E-50.0482282680.098632980.098795221.0016451.8E-4
7.49.220358E-51.8878204E-41.8878204E-41.00.03.9509835E-48.0881594E-48.1880786E-41.01235381.0E-50.0047997170.0098031210.0098724351.00707057.0E-50.0469736530.095715290.0958780651.00170051.8E-4
7.57.71631E-51.520862E-41.520862E-41.00.03.306571E-46.5163535E-46.6162884E-41.0153361.0E-50.00401832070.0079048720.0079743191.00878527.0E-50.039464330.0784318150.0785884861.00199751.7E-4
7.67.5634416E-51.4867744E-41.4867744E-41.00.03.241072E-46.370336E-46.470272E-41.01568771.0E-50.00393886720.007728370.00779782931.00898757.0E-50.0386977940.076790680.076947631.00204381.7E-4
7.76.3783E-51.2385847E-41.2385847E-41.00.02.7332708E-45.30714E-45.407087E-41.01883261.0E-50.00332267980.0064423270.00650194051.00925346.0E-50.0327343640.064665510.064815161.00231431.6E-4
7.85.863422E-51.1440734E-41.1440734E-41.00.02.512653E-44.9022504E-45.0022017E-41.02038881.0E-50.0030548640.00595217760.00601182041.01002046.0E-50.0301320940.0597725140.059922951.00251691.6E-4
7.94.595283E-58.44424E-58.44424E-51.00.01.9692584E-43.618458E-43.7184218E-41.0276261.0E-50.00239493580.004396580.00442644861.00679353.0E-50.0236928910.0444483420.0445152331.00150497.0E-5
8.03.2950178E-55.0882958E-55.0882958E-51.00.01.412074E-42.180516E-42.180516E-41.00.00.00171784440.0026515480.00267149481.00752282.0E-50.0170462560.0272348620.0272737721.00142874.0E-5
8.11.9177472E-51.9237392E-51.9237392E-51.00.08.218658E-58.244337E-58.244337E-51.00.00.00100016220.00100328630.00101327641.00995721.0E-50.0099567280.0107857220.0108055071.00183432.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.494016E-65.494016E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3545572E-52.3545572E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.866297E-42.866297E-41.00.00.00450013950.00325922180.00325922181.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.690063E-77.690063E-71.00.08.498917E-63.295737E-63.295737E-61.00.01.034694E-44.012488E-54.012488E-51.00.00.00103421244.737206E-44.737206E-41.00.0

Ludlow

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.2407607E-52.3657954E-52.3657954E-51.00.09.602906E-51.0138754E-41.0138754E-41.00.00.00116852670.00123373840.00128367671.04047735.0E-50.0116240130.0122734030.0124413171.0136811.7E-4
6.12.2407607E-52.3657954E-52.3657954E-51.00.09.602906E-51.0138754E-41.0138754E-41.00.00.00116852670.00123373840.00128367671.04047735.0E-50.0116240130.0122734030.0124413171.0136811.7E-4
6.21.0781252E-51.1365991E-51.1365991E-51.00.04.620455E-54.8710503E-54.8710503E-51.00.05.623952E-45.92893E-46.2287523E-41.05056933.0E-50.005609740.0059135310.0059930581.01344828.0E-5
6.31.0781252E-51.1365991E-51.1365991E-51.00.04.620455E-54.8710503E-54.8710503E-51.00.05.623952E-45.92893E-46.2287523E-41.05056933.0E-50.005609740.0059135310.0059930581.01344828.0E-5
6.47.814439E-68.237966E-68.237966E-61.00.03.3490025E-53.5305096E-53.5305096E-51.00.04.0766477E-44.2975618E-44.2975618E-41.00.00.00406917740.00428939750.0043292261.00928534.0E-5
6.56.4986366E-66.8511167E-66.8511167E-61.00.02.7851002E-52.9361603E-52.9361603E-51.00.03.390332E-43.574198E-43.574198E-41.00.00.0033851640.0035685460.0036084031.01116914.0E-5
6.65.582177E-65.8861756E-65.8861756E-61.00.02.3923398E-52.5226227E-52.5226227E-51.00.02.9122844E-43.0708674E-43.0708674E-41.00.00.00290847060.00306669740.00309660541.00975253.0E-5
6.74.6858763E-64.94057E-64.94057E-61.00.02.0082172E-52.1173702E-52.1173702E-51.00.02.4447302E-42.5775988E-42.5775988E-41.00.00.00244204230.00257466550.00260458821.0116223.0E-5
6.83.5584908E-63.7521265E-63.7521265E-61.00.01.5250586E-51.6080447E-51.6080447E-51.00.01.8566006E-41.9576224E-41.9576224E-41.00.00.00185505020.00195593920.00197591.01020532.0E-5
6.92.532834E-62.6710807E-62.6710807E-61.00.01.0854958E-51.1447441E-51.1447441E-51.00.01.3215111E-41.3936395E-41.3936395E-41.00.00.00132072540.00139279310.00141276521.01433972.0E-5
7.01.7083285E-61.8019963E-61.8019963E-61.00.07.3213873E-67.722819E-67.722819E-61.00.08.913424E-59.402143E-59.402143E-51.00.08.9098496E-49.3983306E-49.4982365E-41.01063011.0E-5
7.11.0905424E-61.1497951E-61.1497951E-61.00.04.6737446E-64.9276846E-64.9276846E-61.00.05.6901354E-55.9993006E-55.9993006E-51.00.05.6886784E-45.997779E-46.097719E-41.01666281.0E-5
7.26.06668E-76.387457E-76.387457E-71.00.02.600003E-62.737479E-62.737479E-61.00.03.1654577E-53.3328364E-53.3328364E-51.00.03.1650066E-43.3324052E-43.432372E-41.02999831.0E-5

White Wolf (Extension)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.222555E-66.066774E-66.066774E-61.00.03.5239045E-52.600024E-53.599998E-51.38460181.0E-54.289509E-43.1651356E-43.864914E-41.22108967.0E-50.00428123870.00316127950.0033307421.05360571.7E-4
6.18.222555E-66.066774E-66.066774E-61.00.03.5239045E-52.600024E-53.599998E-51.38460181.0E-54.289509E-43.1651356E-43.864914E-41.22108967.0E-50.00428123870.00316127950.0033307421.05360571.7E-4
6.28.222555E-66.066774E-66.066774E-61.00.03.5239045E-52.600024E-53.599998E-51.38460181.0E-54.289509E-43.1651356E-43.864914E-41.22108967.0E-50.00428123870.00316127950.0033307421.05360571.7E-4
6.38.222555E-66.066774E-66.066774E-61.00.03.5239045E-52.600024E-53.599998E-51.38460181.0E-54.289509E-43.1651356E-43.864914E-41.22108967.0E-50.00428123870.00316127950.0033307421.05360571.7E-4
6.45.821773E-63.5572245E-63.5572245E-61.00.02.4950215E-51.5245166E-51.5245166E-51.00.03.0372653E-41.8559519E-42.355859E-41.26935355.0E-50.00303311760.00185451020.00195432481.05382261.0E-4
6.55.766023E-63.4991574E-63.4991574E-61.00.02.4711293E-51.4996309E-51.4996309E-51.00.03.0081844E-41.8256587E-42.3255673E-41.27382375.0E-50.00300411580.0018242670.00192408461.05471661.0E-4
6.64.643576E-62.3326468E-62.3326468E-61.00.01.9900888E-59.997021E-69.997021E-61.00.02.4226638E-41.21707366E-41.617025E-41.32861724.0E-50.00242002420.00121644950.00127637651.04926386.0E-5
6.73.9529173E-61.6483561E-61.6483561E-61.00.01.6940963E-57.064365E-67.064365E-61.00.02.0623671E-48.600544E-51.1600286E-41.34878523.0E-50.0020604548.597401E-48.997057E-41.04648574.0E-5
6.83.4377522E-61.2245247E-61.2245247E-61.00.01.473314E-55.247953E-65.247953E-61.00.01.7936122E-46.389205E-58.3890765E-51.3130082.0E-50.00179216526.387459E-46.6872675E-41.0469373.0E-5
6.93.1367306E-61.0033741E-61.0033741E-61.00.01.3443062E-54.300168E-64.300168E-61.00.01.63657E-45.2353364E-57.235232E-51.38199942.0E-50.00163536525.2341796E-45.5340223E-41.05728553.0E-5
7.02.8298145E-67.428598E-77.428598E-71.00.01.2127721E-53.1836814E-63.1836814E-61.00.01.47645E-43.876068E-54.8760296E-51.25798341.0E-50.00147546933.8754422E-44.0753646E-41.0515872.0E-5
7.12.4091064E-65.422674E-75.422674E-71.00.01.03247E-52.3240013E-62.3240013E-61.00.01.2569598E-42.829439E-53.8294107E-51.35341691.0E-50.0012562492.829119E-43.0290626E-41.07067332.0E-5
7.21.3875518E-61.0741592E-71.0741592E-71.00.05.9466374E-64.6035387E-74.6035387E-71.00.07.23979E-55.604795E-65.604795E-61.00.07.2374323E-45.6046654E-55.6046654E-51.00.0
7.37.056077E-75.001199E-85.001199E-81.00.03.0240296E-62.1433708E-72.1433708E-71.00.03.681694E-52.6095513E-62.6095513E-61.00.03.681084E-42.6095253E-52.6095253E-51.00.0
7.45.9334678E-84.864214E-94.864214E-91.00.02.5429145E-72.0846631E-82.0846631E-81.00.03.095994E-62.5380774E-72.5380774E-71.00.03.095951E-52.5380755E-62.5380755E-61.00.0

Death Valley (Fish Lake Valley)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.872328E-54.7271373E-54.7271373E-51.00.01.6594635E-42.0257758E-42.1257554E-41.04935381.0E-50.00201852460.00246385020.00256360371.04048691.0E-40.020002880.0243911540.0245570071.00679971.7E-4
6.13.872328E-54.7271373E-54.7271373E-51.00.01.6594635E-42.0257758E-42.1257554E-41.04935381.0E-50.00201852460.00246385020.00256360371.04048691.0E-40.020002880.0243911540.0245570071.00679971.7E-4
6.23.872328E-54.7271373E-54.7271373E-51.00.01.6594635E-42.0257758E-42.1257554E-41.04935381.0E-50.00201852460.00246385020.00256360371.04048691.0E-40.020002880.0243911540.0245570071.00679971.7E-4
6.32.8356371E-53.3613145E-53.3613145E-51.00.01.2152165E-41.4404883E-41.5404739E-41.06941091.0E-50.00147852190.00175245280.0018422951.05126669.0E-50.0146872350.0173935260.0175507441.00903881.6E-4
6.42.8356371E-53.3613145E-53.3613145E-51.00.01.2152165E-41.4404883E-41.5404739E-41.06941091.0E-50.00147852190.00175245280.0018422951.05126669.0E-50.0146872350.0173935260.0175507441.00903881.6E-4
6.52.4448687E-52.8610195E-52.8610195E-51.00.01.0477588E-41.2260964E-41.3260842E-41.08154961.0E-50.00127489980.00149179790.00157167841.05354658.0E-50.0126761050.0148227340.014970511.00996961.5E-4
6.62.1298161E-52.466216E-52.466216E-51.00.09.127464E-51.0569088E-41.1568983E-41.09460561.0E-50.00111070220.00128606010.00136595721.06212548.0E-50.0110516720.0127896060.0129376881.01157831.5E-4
6.71.8959729E-52.1782764E-52.1782764E-51.00.08.125345E-59.3351504E-51.0335057E-41.1071121.0E-59.888117E-40.00113598760.00121589671.07034338.0E-50.0098442340.0113044670.0114527711.01311911.5E-4
6.81.6691629E-51.901977E-51.901977E-51.00.07.153359E-58.151084E-59.151003E-51.1226731.0E-58.7057345E-49.919596E-40.00107188021.08056848.0E-50.0086717080.0098770760.0100255941.01503671.5E-4
6.91.450505E-51.6390675E-51.6390675E-51.00.06.216302E-57.024391E-58.0243204E-51.14235121.0E-57.5657194E-48.5489283E-49.348244E-41.0934998.0E-50.0075400130.0085169730.0086656961.01746191.5E-4
7.01.2940855E-51.4538927E-51.4538927E-51.00.05.545963E-56.230823E-57.230761E-51.16048241.0E-56.750118E-47.583444E-48.382838E-41.1054138.0E-50.0067296510.0075581840.00770705051.0196961.5E-4
7.11.2544658E-51.4079123E-51.4079123E-51.00.05.3761712E-56.0337734E-57.033713E-51.16572381.0E-56.5435225E-47.343699E-48.1431115E-41.10885698.0E-50.0065242880.0073200250.0074689271.02034181.5E-4
7.21.2489416E-51.4016585E-51.4016585E-51.00.05.3524967E-56.0069728E-57.006913E-51.16646331.0E-56.514716E-47.311091E-48.1105065E-41.10934288.0E-50.0064956510.00728763170.00743653861.02043281.5E-4
7.31.2368307E-51.38807145E-51.38807145E-51.00.05.3005948E-55.948745E-56.948686E-51.16809271.0E-56.451563E-47.2402466E-48.039667E-41.11041348.0E-50.00643286530.00721724940.00736616651.02063361.5E-4
7.41.2161707E-51.3648755E-51.3648755E-51.00.05.212056E-55.8493384E-56.84928E-51.17094951.0E-56.3438306E-47.1192987E-47.918729E-41.11229068.0E-50.0063257510.00709708030.00724601561.02098551.5E-4
7.51.1707948E-51.3146373E-51.3146373E-51.00.05.0175953E-55.6340414E-56.633985E-51.17748251.0E-56.10721E-46.857342E-47.6567935E-41.11658328.0E-50.00609045340.0068367660.00698574031.02179011.5E-4
7.61.0319538E-51.1580373E-51.1580373E-51.00.04.4225842E-54.9629256E-55.962876E-51.20148411.0E-55.383166E-46.0407387E-46.840255E-41.13235418.0E-50.00537014430.006024850.00617394641.02474691.5E-4
7.78.937764E-61.0023426E-51.0023426E-51.00.03.830414E-54.295686E-55.295643E-51.23278161.0E-54.6625308E-45.228793E-46.028375E-41.15291898.0E-50.00465276050.0052170.00534632151.02478851.3E-4
7.83.108007E-73.2847535E-73.2847535E-71.00.01.3320023E-61.4077508E-61.1407737E-58.103521.0E-51.6217007E-51.7139235E-53.7138892E-52.16689322.0E-51.6215823E-41.713795E-41.9137608E-41.116682.0E-5
7.92.5591178E-92.6697329E-92.6697329E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.14417125E-81.14417125E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3930286E-71.3930286E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3930285E-61.3930285E-61.00.0

Red Pass

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.258278E-68.551426E-68.551426E-61.00.03.539214E-53.6648555E-53.6648555E-51.00.04.308141E-44.4612266E-44.861048E-41.08962144.0E-50.00429979850.00445402830.00461331571.03576251.6E-4
6.13.649988E-63.7753848E-63.7753848E-61.00.01.5642712E-51.6180147E-51.6180147E-51.00.01.9043336E-41.9698025E-42.169763E-41.1015132.0E-50.00190270260.00196852370.00204836621.04055958.0E-5
6.23.649988E-63.7753848E-63.7753848E-61.00.01.5642712E-51.6180147E-51.6180147E-51.00.01.9043336E-41.9698025E-42.169763E-41.1015132.0E-50.00190270260.00196852370.00204836621.04055958.0E-5
6.31.3924937E-61.4411434E-61.4411434E-61.00.05.9678164E-66.1763217E-66.1763217E-61.00.07.265574E-57.519554E-57.519554E-51.00.07.263199E-47.518397E-47.9180964E-41.05316284.0E-5
6.41.3924937E-61.4411434E-61.4411434E-61.00.05.9678164E-66.1763217E-66.1763217E-61.00.07.265574E-57.519554E-57.519554E-51.00.07.263199E-47.518397E-47.9180964E-41.05316284.0E-5
6.59.876812E-71.0222102E-61.0222102E-61.00.04.2329125E-64.3809005E-64.3809005E-61.00.05.153449E-55.3337466E-55.3337466E-51.00.05.1522546E-45.3337467E-45.6335866E-41.05621563.0E-5

Baker

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.695525E-65.8349133E-65.8349133E-61.00.02.4409164E-52.5006555E-54.5006054E-51.79977042.0E-52.9714106E-43.0441626E-43.8439193E-41.26271818.0E-50.00296744050.00304038850.00316999321.04262771.3E-4
6.15.695525E-65.8349133E-65.8349133E-61.00.02.4409164E-52.5006555E-54.5006054E-51.79977042.0E-52.9714106E-43.0441626E-43.8439193E-41.26271818.0E-50.00296744050.00304038850.00316999321.04262771.3E-4
6.25.695525E-65.8349133E-65.8349133E-61.00.02.4409164E-52.5006555E-54.5006054E-51.79977042.0E-52.9714106E-43.0441626E-43.8439193E-41.26271818.0E-50.00296744050.00304038850.00316999321.04262771.3E-4
6.33.2995713E-63.3837132E-63.3837132E-61.00.01.4140943E-51.450155E-53.450126E-52.3791432.0E-51.7215237E-41.7654254E-42.465302E-41.3964357.0E-50.00172019070.001764070.00186389371.05658711.0E-4
6.43.2995713E-63.3837132E-63.3837132E-61.00.01.4140943E-51.450155E-53.450126E-52.3791432.0E-51.7215237E-41.7654254E-42.465302E-41.3964357.0E-50.00172019070.001764070.00186389371.05658711.0E-4
6.52.782202E-62.855881E-62.855881E-61.00.01.1923668E-51.2239434E-53.223919E-52.63404252.0E-51.4516099E-41.4900525E-42.1899481E-41.46971217.0E-50.0014506620.00148908620.00157895221.06034979.0E-5
6.62.3163404E-62.3809555E-62.3809555E-61.00.09.927136E-61.0204057E-53.0203852E-52.95998482.0E-51.20856166E-41.242275E-41.8422006E-41.48292486.0E-50.00120790470.00124160080.00132150161.0643538.0E-5
6.72.037056E-62.0965333E-62.0965333E-61.00.08.7302105E-68.985113E-62.8984932E-53.22588422.0E-51.0628513E-41.0938842E-41.6938185E-41.54844426.0E-50.00106234310.00109336190.00117327441.07308888.0E-5
6.81.8356744E-61.8915596E-61.8915596E-61.00.07.867153E-68.106659E-62.8106497E-53.46708752.0E-59.577837E-59.869425E-51.5868833E-41.60787826.0E-59.57371E-49.865181E-40.00106643921.08101338.0E-5
6.91.6310546E-61.6832361E-61.6832361E-61.00.06.9902153E-67.2138496E-62.7213706E-53.7724252.0E-58.510255E-58.7825196E-51.4781993E-41.68311526.0E-58.5069967E-48.779161E-49.4785466E-41.07966427.0E-5
7.01.2058036E-61.2508916E-61.2508916E-61.00.05.1677193E-65.3609533E-61.53609E-52.865331.0E-56.291517E-56.5267675E-51.1526441E-41.7660265.0E-56.289736E-46.5248733E-47.024547E-41.07657985.0E-5
7.11.052382E-61.0951846E-61.0951846E-61.00.04.5102006E-64.69364E-61.4693594E-53.13053251.0E-55.491031E-55.714358E-51.07140724E-41.8749395.0E-55.4896745E-45.7128974E-46.212612E-41.08747125.0E-5
7.21.0067454E-61.0487945E-61.0487945E-61.00.04.3146156E-64.4948256E-61.4494781E-53.22477031.0E-55.252918E-55.472314E-51.047204E-41.91364035.0E-55.251676E-45.470975E-45.9707015E-41.09134145.0E-5
7.39.3596316E-79.76795E-79.76795E-71.00.04.0112645E-64.186258E-61.41862165E-53.38875821.0E-54.8836053E-55.0966508E-51.0096396E-41.98098655.0E-54.8825322E-45.09549E-45.5952347E-41.0980765.0E-5
7.48.8117395E-79.207884E-79.207884E-71.00.03.7764542E-63.94623E-61.3946191E-53.5340541.0E-54.5977362E-54.80443E-59.80419E-52.0406565.0E-54.596785E-44.803399E-45.303159E-41.1040435.0E-5
7.58.292386E-78.6748094E-78.6748094E-71.00.03.5538749E-63.7177701E-61.3717733E-53.68977451.0E-54.326757E-54.5262917E-59.526066E-52.1046075.0E-54.3259145E-44.5253773E-45.025151E-41.1104385.0E-5
7.67.553842E-77.9146724E-77.9146724E-71.00.03.2373566E-63.391998E-61.3391964E-53.94810491.0E-53.9414106E-54.12968E-57.129556E-51.72641853.0E-53.9407116E-44.1289197E-44.4287957E-41.07262833.0E-5
7.76.5285366E-76.8529783E-76.8529783E-71.00.02.797941E-62.9369874E-61.2936958E-54.40483951.0E-53.40644E-53.5757243E-55.5756525E-51.55930722.0E-53.405918E-43.5751556E-43.775084E-41.05592172.0E-5
7.83.4586725E-73.648368E-73.648368E-71.00.01.4822873E-61.5635853E-61.1563569E-57.39554741.0E-51.80467E-51.903649E-53.903611E-52.05059392.0E-51.8045233E-41.9034903E-42.1034523E-41.10505012.0E-5
7.92.5591178E-92.6697329E-92.6697329E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.14417125E-81.14417125E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3930286E-71.3930286E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3930285E-61.3930285E-61.00.0

San Andreas (Coachella) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1925945E-43.2748378E-43.2748378E-41.00.05.110118E-40.00140275180.00142272381.01423762.0E-50.00620383540.0169461030.0170345771.0052219.0E-50.0603347530.152722540.152824211.00066581.2E-4
6.11.1925945E-43.2748378E-43.2748378E-41.00.05.110118E-40.00140275180.00142272381.01423762.0E-50.00620383540.0169461030.0170345771.0052219.0E-50.0603347530.152722540.152824211.00066581.2E-4
6.21.07432395E-43.0248926E-43.0248926E-41.00.04.603433E-40.00129574260.00131571671.01541522.0E-50.0055902860.0156626530.0157512451.00565619.0E-50.054517310.141903180.142006161.00072561.2E-4
6.31.0718766E-43.0194232E-43.0194232E-41.00.04.592948E-40.00129340080.0013133751.01544312.0E-50.0055775860.0156345520.0157231451.00566659.0E-50.0543965550.141671430.141774431.0007271.2E-4
6.41.0355944E-42.94023E-42.94023E-41.00.04.4375064E-40.0012594940.00127946881.01585942.0E-50.00538928850.0152275780.0153162071.00582039.0E-50.0526044960.138226510.138329921.00074821.2E-4
6.51.0227914E-42.9121726E-42.9121726E-41.00.04.382655E-40.0012474810.0012674561.01601232.0E-50.00532283540.0150833540.0151719961.00587699.0E-50.0519713160.137000290.137103861.00075591.2E-4
6.61.0116757E-42.8887467E-42.8887467E-41.00.04.3350324E-40.00123745090.00125742611.01614222.0E-50.00526513670.0149629210.01505157351.00592489.0E-50.0514212470.135979160.136082841.00076251.2E-4
6.71.0050676E-42.8746025E-42.8746025E-41.00.04.3067214E-40.00123139480.00125137021.01622182.0E-50.0052308340.0148901980.0149788581.00595439.0E-50.0510940850.135364530.135468291.00076651.2E-4
6.89.976819E-52.854966E-42.854966E-41.00.04.2750788E-40.0012229870.00124296251.01633352.0E-50.00519249360.0147892280.0148778971.00599559.0E-50.0507282950.134516250.134620121.00077211.2E-4
6.99.77719E-52.8046442E-42.8046442E-41.00.04.1895514E-40.00120144060.00122141651.01662672.0E-50.00508885550.0145304290.0146191211.00610399.0E-50.0497388880.132344380.13244851.00078681.2E-4
7.08.500761E-52.4780032E-42.4780032E-41.00.03.6426744E-40.00106157230.00108155121.01881992.0E-50.00442594060.0128488270.0129376711.00691459.0E-50.043388230.118210550.118316361.00089511.2E-4
7.18.319876E-52.4382581E-42.4382581E-41.00.03.5651738E-40.00104455240.00106453161.0191272.0E-50.0043319630.0126440330.0127328951.0070289.0E-50.0424848460.1164303940.116536421.00091061.2E-4
7.27.563917E-52.2430507E-42.2430507E-41.00.03.2412758E-49.609563E-49.809372E-41.02079262.0E-50.00393911450.0116375720.0117265251.00764369.0E-50.038700180.107834920.107941981.00099281.2E-4
7.37.082985E-52.074602E-42.074602E-41.00.03.0352117E-48.888151E-49.087973E-41.02248192.0E-50.00368910960.0107682570.0108572881.00826799.0E-50.036284650.1003550.100462951.00107571.2E-4
7.45.146215E-51.4286964E-41.4286964E-41.00.02.2053342E-46.1215565E-46.3214346E-41.03265142.0E-50.00268168840.00742771570.00751704681.01202689.0E-50.026495570.070908320.071019811.00157241.2E-4
7.54.0285166E-51.0953038E-41.0953038E-41.00.01.7263928E-44.6933178E-44.893224E-41.04259382.0E-50.0020998570.0056992130.00578871.01570179.0E-50.0208012540.0550625660.0551759561.00205931.2E-4
7.63.1168736E-58.4490566E-58.4490566E-51.00.01.3357346E-43.620523E-43.8204505E-41.05522062.0E-50.00162504370.0043991040.0044887081.02036879.0E-50.0161321160.042856440.0429712941.00268011.2E-4
7.72.2100989E-56.247655E-56.247655E-51.00.09.4715084E-52.677292E-42.8772384E-41.07468242.0E-50.0011525460.00325473720.00334444431.0275629.0E-50.0114658670.0319411940.032057361.0036371.2E-4
7.81.7484861E-55.1874897E-55.1874897E-51.00.07.493296E-52.2230206E-42.4229761E-41.08994772.0E-59.1192697E-40.00270317120.0027929281.03320429.0E-50.0090819380.0266767010.02679351.00437831.2E-4
7.91.3967285E-53.8286966E-53.8286966E-51.00.05.985842E-51.6407667E-41.8407339E-41.12187422.0E-57.2853256E-40.00199580450.0020856251.04500469.0E-50.00726148770.0199394710.0200570781.00589821.2E-4
8.01.1887396E-53.1120293E-53.1120293E-51.00.05.094499E-51.3336587E-41.5336322E-41.14994342.0E-56.200787E-40.00162252120.00170239141.04922598.0E-50.0061835130.0163051060.0164133121.00663641.1E-4
8.15.100864E-68.995033E-68.995033E-61.00.02.1860664E-53.8549573E-53.8549573E-51.00.02.6612106E-44.692401E-44.792354E-41.0213011.0E-50.0026580260.00492865830.0049386091.00201891.0E-5
8.22.3004484E-62.7949095E-62.7949095E-61.00.09.859027E-61.1978128E-51.1978128E-51.00.01.2002704E-41.4582399E-41.4582399E-41.00.00.00119962230.0016017650.0016017651.00.0
8.31.0424446E-75.837541E-85.837541E-81.00.04.4676187E-72.501803E-72.501803E-71.00.05.439312E-63.0459412E-63.0459412E-61.00.05.4391792E-53.2025855E-53.2025855E-51.00.0

Cady

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.9892565E-52.1859876E-52.1859876E-51.00.08.525106E-59.3682334E-59.3682334E-51.00.00.00103743740.00114007660.00116005371.01752272.0E-50.0103260750.0113512930.0114600441.00958051.1E-4
6.11.9892565E-52.1859876E-52.1859876E-51.00.08.525106E-59.3682334E-59.3682334E-51.00.00.00103743740.00114007660.00116005371.01752272.0E-50.0103260750.0113512930.0114600441.00958051.1E-4
6.21.9892565E-52.1859876E-52.1859876E-51.00.08.525106E-59.3682334E-59.3682334E-51.00.00.00103743740.00114007660.00116005371.01752272.0E-50.0103260750.0113512930.0114600441.00958051.1E-4
6.31.1117327E-51.2177199E-51.2177199E-51.00.04.764482E-55.218713E-55.218713E-51.00.05.7992124E-46.352246E-46.4521824E-41.01573241.0E-50.00578410220.0063371950.00638687841.00783995.0E-5
6.41.1117327E-51.2177199E-51.2177199E-51.00.04.764482E-55.218713E-55.218713E-51.00.05.7992124E-46.352246E-46.4521824E-41.01573241.0E-50.00578410220.0063371950.00638687841.00783995.0E-5
6.56.103093E-66.672351E-66.672351E-61.00.02.615585E-52.8595547E-52.8595547E-51.00.03.1840094E-43.4810771E-43.5810424E-41.02871671.0E-50.00317945120.00347685860.00351671941.01146464.0E-5
6.65.817237E-66.3659772E-66.3659772E-61.00.02.4930776E-52.7282544E-52.7282544E-51.00.03.034899E-43.321268E-43.4212347E-41.0300991.0E-50.00303075770.00331752630.00335739371.01201714.0E-5
6.74.8846314E-65.340833E-65.340833E-61.00.02.0933967E-52.288915E-52.288915E-51.00.02.5484123E-42.7865154E-42.8864873E-41.03587711.0E-50.00254549180.0027841770.00282406551.01432694.0E-5
6.81.7788773E-61.940001E-61.940001E-61.00.07.6237375E-68.314273E-68.314273E-61.00.09.281505E-51.0122315E-41.0122315E-41.00.09.2776294E-40.0010119250.0010119251.00.0
6.97.5455404E-78.2975305E-78.2975305E-71.00.03.233799E-63.5560815E-63.5560815E-61.00.03.937079E-54.329477E-54.329477E-51.00.03.9363815E-44.3289628E-44.3289628E-41.00.0
7.06.8578805E-77.542215E-77.542215E-71.00.02.9390883E-63.2323758E-63.2323758E-61.00.03.578281E-53.9353796E-53.9353796E-51.00.03.577705E-43.9350073E-43.9350073E-41.00.0

Mission Ridge-Arroyo Parida-Santa Ana

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.169034E-54.7142308E-54.7142308E-51.00.01.7866064E-42.0202712E-42.120251E-41.04948831.0E-50.00217302330.00245773510.00248766131.01217643.0E-50.0215189680.0243872090.0244652571.00320048.0E-5
6.11.73813E-51.6855429E-51.6855429E-51.00.07.4489166E-57.223561E-57.223561E-51.00.09.065282E-48.791244E-48.891156E-41.01136491.0E-50.0090283910.0087574930.0087872311.00339573.0E-5
6.21.4622182E-51.36742265E-51.36742265E-51.00.06.2664985E-55.8602534E-55.8602534E-51.00.07.6267915E-47.132562E-47.2324905E-41.01401021.0E-50.0076006690.00710999640.00713978341.00418943.0E-5
6.31.3552434E-51.2483065E-51.2483065E-51.00.05.8080568E-55.3497773E-55.3497773E-51.00.07.069015E-46.511439E-46.6113734E-41.01534761.0E-50.007046570.0064926070.0065224121.00459063.0E-5
6.41.30977305E-51.19799915E-51.19799915E-51.00.05.613192E-55.1341827E-55.1341827E-51.00.06.831918E-46.249105E-46.3490425E-41.01599231.0E-50.0068109530.00623176150.00626157461.00478413.0E-5
6.51.225205E-51.1049589E-51.1049589E-51.00.05.2507727E-54.7354537E-54.7354537E-51.00.06.3909404E-45.763917E-45.8638596E-41.01733931.0E-50.0063725920.0057491610.00577898841.00518813.0E-5
6.61.1352241E-51.0064272E-51.0064272E-51.00.04.8651553E-54.313189E-54.313189E-51.00.05.921717E-45.250063E-45.350011E-41.01903741.0E-50.00590596160.00523779030.00525768571.00379842.0E-5
6.71.0864116E-59.517728E-69.517728E-61.00.04.6559664E-54.078964E-54.078964E-51.00.05.667165E-44.965027E-45.0649774E-41.02013091.0E-50.0056527340.00495405170.00497395271.00401712.0E-5
6.81.0666365E-59.300469E-69.300469E-61.00.04.571219E-53.9858554E-53.9858554E-51.00.05.564038E-44.8517185E-44.95167E-41.02060131.0E-50.0055501270.0048412420.00486114531.00411122.0E-5
6.91.0038665E-58.592688E-68.592688E-61.00.04.302214E-53.6825295E-53.6825295E-51.00.05.236687E-44.4825752E-44.5825305E-41.02229861.0E-50.0052243640.00447362750.00449353831.00445072.0E-5
7.09.5379955E-68.025673E-68.025673E-61.00.04.0876483E-53.43953E-53.43953E-51.00.04.975576E-44.18684E-44.286798E-41.02387441.0E-50.004964450.0041790350.0041989511.00476572.0E-5
7.19.207389E-67.652947E-67.652947E-61.00.03.945964E-53.279794E-53.279794E-51.00.04.803152E-43.9924344E-44.0923947E-41.02503741.0E-50.0047927840.00398534160.00400526171.00499842.0E-5
7.27.638091E-65.9315425E-65.9315425E-61.00.03.2734264E-52.542065E-52.542065E-51.00.03.984668E-43.0945276E-43.1944967E-41.03230511.0E-50.00397753060.00309015860.00310012771.0032261.0E-5
7.37.2500147E-65.596552E-65.596552E-61.00.03.1071122E-52.3985005E-52.3985005E-51.00.03.7822526E-42.919786E-43.019757E-41.0342391.0E-50.00377582150.00291588860.00292585931.00341951.0E-5
7.46.3899715E-64.9188443E-64.9188443E-61.00.02.7385306E-52.1080592E-52.1080592E-51.00.03.3336508E-42.5662617E-42.6662363E-41.03895721.0E-50.00332865420.0025632260.00257320051.00389131.0E-5
7.55.379025E-64.0841383E-64.0841383E-61.00.02.305276E-51.7503333E-51.7503333E-51.00.02.806312E-42.1308236E-42.2308022E-41.04692021.0E-50.00280277080.00212879180.00213877041.00468751.0E-5
7.64.1270696E-63.0885694E-63.0885694E-61.00.01.768732E-51.32366595E-51.32366595E-51.00.02.1532185E-41.6114449E-41.7114288E-41.0620461.0E-50.00215113330.00161028460.00162026841.00620011.0E-5
7.72.5406805E-61.8283392E-61.8283392E-61.00.01.0888585E-57.835716E-67.835716E-61.00.01.3256045E-49.5395735E-59.5395735E-51.00.00.00132481429.53554E-49.53554E-41.00.0
7.84.8608285E-73.5100481E-73.5100481E-71.00.02.0832106E-61.5043055E-61.5043055E-61.00.02.5362791E-51.8314766E-51.8314766E-51.00.02.5359896E-41.831327E-41.831327E-41.00.0
7.92.0472514E-81.2689942E-81.2689942E-81.00.08.7739345E-85.4385467E-85.4385467E-81.00.01.068226E-66.6214284E-76.6214284E-71.00.01.0682209E-56.6214097E-66.6214097E-61.00.0
8.04.443582E-92.0326758E-92.0326758E-91.00.01.9043922E-88.711468E-98.711468E-91.00.02.3185973E-71.0606212E-71.0606212E-71.00.02.3185949E-61.0606208E-61.0606208E-61.00.0

San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.986481E-40.00122811810.00122811811.00.00.00256311240.00524788160.00524788161.00.00.0307628460.0612321760.0612791141.00076655.0E-50.268354770.426077280.426123171.00010788.0E-5
6.15.015945E-40.00102224620.00102224621.00.00.002147920.0043698480.0043698481.00.00.0258393510.0512715880.051319021.00092525.0E-50.230327760.37299490.373045061.00013458.0E-5
6.24.073338E-48.1118365E-48.1118365E-41.00.00.00174454840.00346911350.00346911351.00.00.0210340580.0409563670.041004321.00117085.0E-50.191507820.31318460.313239541.00017558.0E-5
6.33.464099E-46.743695E-46.743695E-41.00.00.00148376920.00288493280.00288493281.00.00.0179158730.034212960.0342612531.00141145.0E-50.165383590.271476840.27153511.00021478.0E-5
6.42.935057E-45.5487157E-45.5487157E-41.00.00.00125727510.00237450960.00237450961.00.00.0152002480.0282880920.028326961.0013744.0E-50.142015770.233154360.233208031.00023027.0E-5
6.52.3409708E-44.2138255E-44.2138255E-41.00.00.00100288750.00180395180.00180395181.00.00.0121419650.021611230.0216503661.00181094.0E-50.114995730.187003140.187060041.00030437.0E-5
6.61.5842178E-42.511574E-42.511574E-41.00.06.7877385E-40.00107593440.00107593441.00.00.00823280.0130194290.0130490381.00227433.0E-50.079343960.123339280.123391881.00042646.0E-5
6.71.5616413E-42.46522E-42.46522E-41.00.06.691031E-40.00105608730.00105608731.00.00.00811594350.01278126150.0128108781.00231723.0E-50.07825860.121366430.121419151.00043446.0E-5
6.81.5538467E-42.4475955E-42.4475955E-41.00.06.6576427E-40.00104854140.00104854141.00.00.0080755960.012690620.0127202381.0023343.0E-50.077883580.1205971760.120649941.00043756.0E-5
6.91.5153569E-42.3584829E-42.3584829E-41.00.06.49277E-40.00101038880.00101038881.00.00.0078763330.0122326220.0122622551.00242253.0E-50.076029520.1166667040.116719711.00045436.0E-5
7.01.4588932E-42.2441633E-42.2441633E-41.00.06.250901E-49.6143177E-49.6143177E-41.00.00.00758394740.0116431070.0116727581.00254673.0E-50.0733028950.11151230.111565611.0004786.0E-5
7.11.1565079E-41.631913E-41.631913E-41.00.04.955521E-46.992047E-46.992047E-41.00.00.0060166690.0084797930.0085095381.00350793.0E-50.0585635380.083840110.083895081.00065576.0E-5
7.21.0393792E-41.4650873E-41.4650873E-41.00.04.4537216E-46.277442E-46.277442E-41.00.00.0054089330.0076161730.00764594461.0039093.0E-50.0527915950.075780920.0758363751.00073176.0E-5
7.39.332884E-51.2811464E-41.2811464E-41.00.03.999194E-45.4894784E-45.4894784E-41.00.00.00485815340.0066630940.0066928941.00447243.0E-50.0475331020.066627870.0666838661.00084056.0E-5
7.48.670252E-51.1729612E-41.1729612E-41.00.03.715293E-45.026014E-45.026014E-41.00.00.0045139910.0061021240.00613194151.00488633.0E-50.0442339370.0612778550.0613341781.00091916.0E-5
7.57.3036405E-59.0276684E-59.0276684E-51.00.03.129756E-43.868428E-43.868428E-41.00.00.00380382170.00469966140.00472952051.00635353.0E-50.037393670.0479830470.0480306451.00099215.0E-5
7.66.3935775E-58.298909E-58.298909E-51.00.02.7398168E-43.5561912E-43.5561912E-41.00.00.00333062540.0043210860.00435095651.00691273.0E-50.0328114740.0440818330.044129631.00108425.0E-5
7.75.5050095E-56.678156E-56.678156E-51.00.02.3590765E-42.8617532E-42.8617532E-41.00.00.00286839270.00347862230.00349855261.00572942.0E-50.02831650.0358760840.035914651.00107494.0E-5
7.85.027131E-56.177745E-56.177745E-51.00.02.1543067E-42.6473365E-42.6473365E-41.00.00.00261971350.0032183720.00323830751.00619442.0E-50.0258904530.0331995260.03323821.00116484.0E-5
7.93.7271806E-55.0343926E-55.0343926E-51.00.01.5972654E-42.1574185E-42.1574185E-41.00.00.00194293590.00262349520.0026334691.00380171.0E-50.0192603620.0271259230.027145381.00071732.0E-5
8.02.7310243E-53.1506035E-53.1506035E-51.00.01.17038646E-41.3501888E-41.3501888E-41.00.00.00142401410.00164261620.00165259981.00607791.0E-50.0141492350.017253780.0172734351.00113922.0E-5
8.11.7940547E-51.7449367E-51.7449367E-51.00.07.688579E-57.478086E-57.478086E-51.00.09.3568244E-49.1007724E-49.200681E-41.01097811.0E-50.0093175250.0098246350.0098444381.00201572.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.494016E-65.494016E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3545572E-52.3545572E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.866297E-42.866297E-41.00.00.00450013950.00325922180.00325922181.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.690063E-77.690063E-71.00.08.498917E-63.295737E-63.295737E-61.00.01.034694E-44.012488E-54.012488E-51.00.00.00103421244.737206E-44.737206E-41.00.0

Manix-Afton Hills

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.3783202E-51.4711616E-51.4711616E-51.00.05.906953E-56.3048356E-56.3048356E-51.00.07.189342E-47.673609E-48.073302E-41.05208674.0E-50.00716612770.00764886850.00774810371.01297381.0E-4
6.11.3783202E-51.4711616E-51.4711616E-51.00.05.906953E-56.3048356E-56.3048356E-51.00.07.189342E-47.673609E-48.073302E-41.05208674.0E-50.00716612770.00764886850.00774810371.01297381.0E-4
6.21.3783202E-51.4711616E-51.4711616E-51.00.05.906953E-56.3048356E-56.3048356E-51.00.07.189342E-47.673609E-48.073302E-41.05208674.0E-50.00716612770.00764886850.00774810371.01297381.0E-4
6.31.10494875E-51.1793558E-51.1793558E-51.00.04.7354086E-55.0542898E-55.0542898E-51.00.05.763835E-46.151964E-46.551718E-41.06497994.0E-50.0057489080.00613597450.00623536061.01619731.0E-4
6.41.10494875E-51.1793558E-51.1793558E-51.00.04.7354086E-55.0542898E-55.0542898E-51.00.05.763835E-46.151964E-46.551718E-41.06497994.0E-50.0057489080.00613597450.00623536061.01619731.0E-4
6.59.788949E-61.0454697E-51.0454697E-51.00.04.1951964E-54.480513E-54.480513E-51.00.05.1064545E-45.453752E-45.853534E-41.0733044.0E-50.00509473630.0054412950.0055308051.01645029.0E-5
6.68.810006E-69.413971E-69.413971E-61.00.03.775662E-54.0345018E-54.0345018E-51.00.04.5958988E-44.9109873E-45.3107913E-41.081414.0E-50.00458640560.00490101750.00499057631.01827369.0E-5
6.78.80128E-69.404451E-69.404451E-61.00.03.7719226E-54.0304214E-54.0304214E-51.00.04.591348E-44.906022E-45.305826E-41.08149244.0E-50.0045818740.0048960740.00498563331.01829219.0E-5
6.86.8994877E-67.3803494E-67.3803494E-61.00.02.9568899E-53.162973E-53.162973E-51.00.03.5994186E-43.850321E-44.050244E-41.05192382.0E-50.0035935940.00384445510.00387433961.00777343.0E-5
6.94.9328037E-65.271154E-65.271154E-61.00.02.1140417E-52.2590497E-52.2590497E-51.00.02.5735417E-42.7501077E-42.9500524E-41.07270442.0E-50.00257056350.00274730960.00276725461.00725982.0E-5
7.03.347973E-63.590168E-63.590168E-61.00.01.4348378E-51.5386368E-51.5386368E-51.00.01.746775E-41.8731703E-41.9731515E-41.05337551.0E-50.00174540250.00187199390.00188197521.00533191.0E-5
7.11.2073567E-61.293531E-61.293531E-61.00.05.1743755E-65.5437017E-65.5437017E-61.00.06.29962E-56.749411E-56.749411E-51.00.06.297835E-46.748963E-46.748963E-41.00.0

Cleghorn Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5467183E-51.6794971E-51.6794971E-51.00.06.6286244E-57.197677E-57.197677E-51.00.08.067362E-48.760197E-49.0599345E-41.03421583.0E-50.0080381370.0087310930.00883021951.01135341.0E-4
6.11.5467183E-51.6794971E-51.6794971E-51.00.06.6286244E-57.197677E-57.197677E-51.00.08.067362E-48.760197E-49.0599345E-41.03421583.0E-50.0080381370.0087310930.00883021951.01135341.0E-4
6.21.2624631E-51.36821545E-51.36821545E-51.00.05.410444E-55.863676E-55.863676E-51.00.06.585225E-47.137174E-47.3370314E-41.02800232.0E-50.00656574450.00711904840.007188551.00976287.0E-5
6.31.2624631E-51.36821545E-51.36821545E-51.00.05.410444E-55.863676E-55.863676E-51.00.06.585225E-47.137174E-47.3370314E-41.02800232.0E-50.00656574450.00711904840.007188551.00976287.0E-5
6.49.417684E-61.0170551E-51.0170551E-51.00.04.036088E-54.3587577E-54.3587577E-51.00.04.912829E-45.3059065E-45.5058004E-41.03767382.0E-50.0049019820.00529727430.00535695631.01126666.0E-5
6.59.368219E-61.0117976E-51.0117976E-51.00.04.014889E-54.3362263E-54.3362263E-51.00.04.8870314E-45.278488E-45.478382E-41.03786972.0E-50.0048762980.00526998560.00532966951.01132526.0E-5
6.67.803798E-68.442198E-68.442198E-61.00.03.3444423E-53.6180576E-53.6180576E-51.00.04.0710976E-44.404494E-44.6044058E-41.04538822.0E-50.00406364720.0043996820.0044594181.01357736.0E-5
6.72.3108669E-62.4439082E-62.4439082E-61.00.09.903678E-61.0473852E-51.0473852E-51.00.01.205706E-41.2751187E-41.2751187E-41.00.00.0012050520.00127440570.00129438021.01567362.0E-5
6.82.0882828E-62.2063484E-62.2063484E-61.00.08.949753E-69.455745E-69.455745E-61.00.01.08957785E-41.15117786E-41.15117786E-41.00.00.00108904380.00115059840.00117057541.01736222.0E-5
6.91.876935E-61.9811093E-61.9811093E-61.00.08.043982E-68.490441E-68.490441E-61.00.09.7931086E-51.0336639E-41.0336639E-41.00.09.788794E-40.0010331990.00105317831.01933732.0E-5
7.01.5357559E-61.620328E-61.620328E-61.00.06.5817944E-66.9442453E-66.9442453E-61.00.08.01304E-58.454303E-58.454303E-51.00.08.010151E-48.4512116E-48.551127E-41.01182261.0E-5
7.11.0905424E-61.1497951E-61.1497951E-61.00.04.6737446E-64.9276846E-64.9276846E-61.00.05.6901354E-55.9993006E-55.9993006E-51.00.05.6886784E-45.997779E-46.097719E-41.01666281.0E-5
7.26.06668E-76.387457E-76.387457E-71.00.02.600003E-62.737479E-62.737479E-61.00.03.1654577E-53.3328364E-53.3328364E-51.00.03.1650066E-43.3324052E-43.432372E-41.02999831.0E-5

Red Mountain

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.1810763E-54.759426E-55.759379E-51.21009931.0E-51.7917668E-42.0396039E-42.2395632E-41.09803822.0E-50.00217929340.00248055440.0025005051.00804272.0E-50.0215804520.0245462750.0246048031.00238436.0E-5
6.14.1810763E-54.759426E-55.759379E-51.21009931.0E-51.7917668E-42.0396039E-42.2395632E-41.09803822.0E-50.00217929340.00248055440.0025005051.00804272.0E-50.0215804520.0245462750.0246048031.00238436.0E-5
6.24.1810763E-54.759426E-55.759379E-51.21009931.0E-51.7917668E-42.0396039E-42.2395632E-41.09803822.0E-50.00217929340.00248055440.0025005051.00804272.0E-50.0215804520.0245462750.0246048031.00238436.0E-5
6.34.1810763E-54.759426E-55.759379E-51.21009931.0E-51.7917668E-42.0396039E-42.2395632E-41.09803822.0E-50.00217929340.00248055440.0025005051.00804272.0E-50.0215804520.0245462750.0246048031.00238436.0E-5
6.44.1810763E-54.759426E-55.759379E-51.21009931.0E-51.7917668E-42.0396039E-42.2395632E-41.09803822.0E-50.00217929340.00248055440.0025005051.00804272.0E-50.0215804520.0245462750.0246048031.00238436.0E-5
6.53.154503E-53.5362766E-54.5362412E-51.28277341.0E-51.3518598E-41.5154642E-41.615449E-41.06597641.0E-50.00164464670.00184360830.00185358991.00541411.0E-50.016325280.0182927870.0183418731.00268335.0E-5
6.63.1535834E-53.5352146E-54.5351793E-51.28285831.0E-51.3514658E-41.5150092E-41.614994E-41.06599621.0E-50.00164416760.00184305520.00185303681.00541581.0E-50.016320560.0182873480.0183364321.00268415.0E-5
6.72.8267326E-53.1471976E-54.1471663E-51.3177331.0E-51.2114006E-41.3487341E-41.4487206E-41.07413361.0E-50.00147388240.00164093190.00165091551.00608411.0E-50.0146414520.016296920.0163461041.0030185.0E-5
6.82.8212884E-53.1409858E-54.1409545E-51.31836141.0E-51.20906756E-41.3460721E-41.4460586E-41.07428031.0E-50.00147104570.00163769580.00164767951.00609611.0E-50.0146134590.0162650330.016314221.00302415.0E-5
6.92.4227871E-52.6709162E-53.6708894E-51.37439331.0E-51.03829596E-41.1446325E-41.244621E-41.08735431.0E-50.00126339230.00139277510.00140276111.007171.0E-50.0125623360.0138481510.0138974591.00356055.0E-5
7.02.348524E-52.5837868E-53.583761E-51.38701881.0E-51.0064714E-41.10729445E-41.20728335E-41.09030021.0E-50.00122469010.00134737290.00135735951.00741181.0E-50.0121796270.0133996750.0134490051.00368145.0E-5
7.12.2311642E-52.4464809E-53.4464563E-51.40874041.0E-59.561782E-51.0484539E-41.1484434E-41.09536851.0E-50.00116352520.001275820.00128580721.00782811.0E-50.011574520.0126924730.0127418391.00388935.0E-5
7.21.6533986E-51.7671693E-52.7671516E-51.56586671.0E-57.085802E-57.573399E-58.573323E-51.13203111.0E-58.623549E-49.217347E-49.317255E-41.01083911.0E-50.0085901610.0091853960.009215121.0032363.0E-5
7.31.4703092E-51.5560694E-52.556054E-51.64263491.0E-56.301173E-56.668733E-57.6686665E-51.14994351.0E-57.668978E-48.116775E-48.2166935E-41.01231011.0E-50.00764256580.0080932040.0081229621.00367683.0E-5
7.46.1331984E-65.5291357E-61.552908E-52.8085911.0E-52.6284872E-52.3696084E-53.3695847E-51.42200061.0E-53.199713E-42.8846215E-42.9845926E-41.03465661.0E-50.00319510980.00288093160.0029008741.00692222.0E-5
7.55.954766E-65.3387566E-61.5338703E-52.87308531.0E-52.5520176E-52.288019E-53.287996E-51.43704941.0E-53.1066386E-42.7853122E-42.8852842E-41.03589261.0E-50.0031022990.00278187520.00280181951.00716942.0E-5
7.64.9726646E-64.315507E-64.315507E-61.00.02.1311245E-51.84949E-51.84949E-51.00.02.5943352E-42.2515249E-42.2515249E-41.00.00.00259130840.00224927840.00225925591.00443591.0E-5
7.73.3613894E-62.8528066E-62.8528066E-61.00.01.4405875E-51.2226258E-51.2226258E-51.00.01.7537741E-41.4884479E-41.4884479E-41.00.00.00175239080.00148747720.00149746231.00671281.0E-5
7.81.1828961E-61.0123285E-61.0123285E-61.00.05.069545E-64.338544E-64.338544E-61.00.06.171996E-55.2820524E-55.2820524E-51.00.06.170282E-45.280826E-45.280826E-41.00.0
7.92.2967266E-71.8619782E-71.8619782E-71.00.09.843111E-77.979905E-77.979905E-71.00.01.19839215E-59.715493E-69.715493E-61.00.01.1983275E-49.715097E-59.715097E-51.00.0

Owens Valley

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.83821E-53.6305946E-61.3630558E-53.75435971.0E-52.0733538E-41.5559604E-53.5559293E-52.28535962.0E-50.0025213861.8942272E-42.2941513E-41.21112794.0E-50.0249296910.00192043530.00202024331.05197161.0E-4
6.14.83821E-53.6305946E-61.3630558E-53.75435971.0E-52.0733538E-41.5559604E-53.5559293E-52.28535962.0E-50.0025213861.8942272E-42.2941513E-41.21112794.0E-50.0249296910.00192043530.00202024331.05197161.0E-4
6.24.83821E-53.6305946E-61.3630558E-53.75435971.0E-52.0733538E-41.5559604E-53.5559293E-52.28535962.0E-50.0025213861.8942272E-42.2941513E-41.21112794.0E-50.0249296910.00192043530.00202024331.05197161.0E-4
6.33.953008E-53.1569743E-61.3156942E-54.167581.0E-51.6940363E-41.3529823E-53.352955E-52.4781962.0E-50.0020605381.6471389E-42.0470729E-41.24280544.0E-50.0204153640.00165924290.00174909361.05415179.0E-5
6.43.953008E-53.1569743E-61.3156942E-54.167581.0E-51.6940363E-41.3529823E-53.352955E-52.4781962.0E-50.0020605381.6471389E-42.0470729E-41.24280544.0E-50.0204153640.00165924290.00174909361.05415179.0E-5
6.53.457342E-52.9722537E-61.2972224E-54.36444041.0E-51.4816338E-41.2738172E-53.2737917E-52.5700642.0E-50.00180239651.5507691E-41.950707E-41.25789654.0E-50.0178784770.00155587940.00164573931.05775519.0E-5
6.63.1127765E-52.8751224E-61.28750935E-54.47810271.0E-51.3339789E-41.2321899E-53.232165E-52.62310652.0E-50.00162290921.5000948E-41.9000348E-41.26660984.0E-50.0161110810.00150098560.00159085051.05987069.0E-5
6.72.806885E-52.8107588E-61.281073E-54.5577481.0E-51.2028952E-41.2046057E-53.2045817E-52.66027432.0E-50.0014635411.4665157E-41.866457E-41.27271534.0E-50.0145393970.00146597540.00155584341.06130259.0E-5
6.82.524524E-52.2356737E-61.2235651E-55.47291471.0E-51.0818939E-49.581425E-62.9581233E-53.0873522.0E-50.00131640991.1664791E-41.5664325E-41.34287234.0E-50.013086390.00116616060.00125605571.07708639.0E-5
6.92.2704568E-51.6083629E-61.16083465E-57.2174921.0E-59.730166E-56.8929658E-62.6892829E-53.90148852.0E-50.00118400398.391865E-51.2391529E-41.47661214.0E-50.0117771538.3909626E-49.2902075E-41.10716829.0E-5
7.02.0871712E-51.539734E-61.1539719E-57.49461841.0E-58.944713E-56.5988434E-62.6598711E-54.0308142.0E-50.00108847468.033797E-51.2033476E-41.49785664.0E-50.0108315868.0327404E-48.9320174E-41.11195159.0E-5
7.11.944928E-51.386575E-61.1386561E-58.2120051.0E-58.335139E-55.942451E-62.5942332E-54.36559442.0E-50.00101433087.234695E-51.1234405E-41.55285134.0E-50.0100971337.2340504E-48.1333995E-41.12432169.0E-5
7.21.7876306E-51.24905E-61.1249037E-59.0060751.0E-57.6610486E-55.3530603E-62.5352952E-54.73616082.0E-59.3233347E-46.517157E-51.0516896E-41.61372464.0E-50.0092843166.5168424E-47.416256E-41.13801379.0E-5
7.31.2618672E-51.1116437E-61.1111632E-59.9956791.0E-55.40789E-54.7641784E-62.4764084E-55.19797562.0E-56.582117E-45.8002333E-59.800001E-51.68958754.0E-50.00656265535.8002654E-46.6997437E-41.15507539.0E-5
7.47.4874442E-68.5496856E-71.085496E-512.6963271.0E-53.208865E-53.6641459E-62.3664072E-56.4582782.0E-53.906093E-44.4610068E-58.4608284E-51.89661864.0E-50.0038992344.4612345E-45.360833E-41.20164799.0E-5
7.52.4734156E-66.0694214E-76.0694214E-71.00.01.060031E-52.601178E-61.2601152E-54.8444021.0E-51.2905113E-43.1668886E-56.166793E-51.94727213.0E-50.00128976213.1664406E-43.966187E-41.25256978.0E-5
7.61.1328841E-63.196907E-73.196907E-71.00.04.8552088E-61.3701024E-61.3701024E-61.00.05.9110564E-51.668087E-52.6680704E-51.59947911.0E-55.9094845E-41.6679637E-42.1678803E-41.29971675.0E-5
7.74.8613185E-78.9654996E-88.9654996E-81.00.02.0834207E-63.8423565E-73.8423565E-71.00.02.536535E-54.6780597E-61.4678013E-53.13762831.0E-52.5362454E-44.677968E-55.6779212E-51.2137581.0E-5

Scodie Lineament

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.2919327E-63.0133872E-63.0133872E-61.00.01.4108206E-51.2914471E-51.2914471E-51.00.01.7175387E-41.5722551E-41.872208E-41.19077873.0E-50.00171621180.00157145430.00166131291.05718189.0E-5
6.11.8663811E-61.5490738E-61.5490738E-61.00.07.998751E-66.638874E-66.638874E-61.00.09.738045E-58.082579E-51.0082417E-41.24742582.0E-59.7337784E-48.0801273E-48.579723E-41.06183025.0E-5
6.21.8663811E-61.5490738E-61.5490738E-61.00.07.998751E-66.638874E-66.638874E-61.00.09.738045E-58.082579E-51.0082417E-41.24742582.0E-59.7337784E-48.0801273E-48.579723E-41.06183025.0E-5
6.31.8663811E-61.5490738E-61.5490738E-61.00.07.998751E-66.638874E-66.638874E-61.00.09.738045E-58.082579E-51.0082417E-41.24742582.0E-59.7337784E-48.0801273E-48.579723E-41.06183025.0E-5
6.41.8663811E-61.5490738E-61.5490738E-61.00.07.998751E-66.638874E-66.638874E-61.00.09.738045E-58.082579E-51.0082417E-41.24742582.0E-59.7337784E-48.0801273E-48.579723E-41.06183025.0E-5
6.51.8106311E-61.4910065E-61.4910065E-61.00.07.759824E-66.390015E-66.390015E-61.00.09.447177E-57.7796154E-59.77946E-51.25706212.0E-59.4431615E-47.777379E-48.2769897E-41.0642395.0E-5
6.61.2414679E-68.9976623E-78.9976623E-71.00.05.320566E-63.8561357E-63.8561357E-61.00.06.477596E-54.694753E-56.694659E-51.42598752.0E-56.475708E-44.6938477E-44.993707E-41.06388343.0E-5
6.71.1062215E-67.5943876E-77.5943876E-71.00.04.7409408E-63.2547339E-63.2547339E-61.00.05.7719422E-53.9625735E-55.9624945E-51.50470242.0E-55.770443E-43.9619367E-44.261818E-41.07569053.0E-5
6.81.0006736E-66.500452E-76.500452E-71.00.04.288594E-62.7859055E-62.7859055E-61.00.05.221238E-53.391793E-55.3917254E-51.58963862.0E-55.220012E-43.3913364E-43.6912345E-41.08843083.0E-5
6.99.167364E-75.631664E-75.631664E-71.00.03.9288643E-62.4135684E-62.4135684E-61.00.04.7832873E-52.9384857E-54.9384267E-51.68060272.0E-54.782258E-42.938154E-43.2380657E-41.1020753.0E-5
7.07.6987664E-74.113395E-74.113395E-71.00.03.2994672E-61.7628826E-61.7628826E-61.00.04.0170275E-52.1462924E-53.146271E-51.46590971.0E-54.0163012E-42.1461236E-42.3460807E-41.09317122.0E-5
7.17.1038727E-73.521151E-73.521151E-71.00.03.0445133E-61.5090641E-61.5090641E-61.00.03.706632E-51.8372735E-52.8372551E-51.54427481.0E-53.7060137E-41.8371566E-42.0371198E-41.10884392.0E-5
7.22.0799602E-73.118087E-83.118087E-81.00.08.914113E-71.336323E-71.336323E-71.00.01.0852878E-51.6269721E-61.6269721E-61.00.01.08523476E-41.6269609E-51.6269609E-51.00.0
7.31.5048182E-71.5940762E-81.5940762E-81.00.06.449219E-76.831755E-86.831755E-81.00.07.851896E-68.317658E-78.317658E-71.00.07.851618E-58.31763E-68.31763E-61.00.0
7.45.9334678E-84.864214E-94.864214E-91.00.02.5429145E-72.0846631E-82.0846631E-81.00.03.095994E-62.5380774E-72.5380774E-71.00.03.095951E-52.5380755E-62.5380755E-61.00.0

Pinto Mtn

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.4194956E-54.786026E-54.786026E-51.00.01.893932E-42.051002E-42.051002E-41.00.00.00230342360.00249439870.00253429921.0159964.0E-50.0227969380.0246815350.024759561.00316138.0E-5
6.14.4194956E-54.786026E-54.786026E-51.00.01.893932E-42.051002E-42.051002E-41.00.00.00230342360.00249439870.00253429921.0159964.0E-50.0227969380.0246815350.024759561.00316138.0E-5
6.24.4194956E-54.786026E-54.786026E-51.00.01.893932E-42.051002E-42.051002E-41.00.00.00230342360.00249439870.00253429921.0159964.0E-50.0227969380.0246815350.024759561.00316138.0E-5
6.34.4194956E-54.786026E-54.786026E-51.00.01.893932E-42.051002E-42.051002E-41.00.00.00230342360.00249439870.00253429921.0159964.0E-50.0227969380.0246815350.024759561.00316138.0E-5
6.43.729929E-53.9608974E-53.9608974E-51.00.01.5984432E-41.6974223E-41.6974223E-41.00.00.00194436730.00206474590.0020946841.01449973.0E-50.0192744270.0204656520.0205244241.00287186.0E-5
6.53.729929E-53.9608974E-53.9608974E-51.00.01.5984432E-41.6974223E-41.6974223E-41.00.00.00194436730.00206474590.0020946841.01449973.0E-50.0192744270.0204656520.0205244241.00287186.0E-5
6.63.0204548E-53.1210264E-53.1210264E-51.00.01.2944164E-41.3375162E-41.3375162E-41.00.00.00157481270.00162724420.00165719541.0184063.0E-50.0156369920.016157160.0162063521.00304465.0E-5
6.72.9857754E-53.081962E-53.081962E-51.00.01.2795553E-41.320776E-41.320776E-41.00.00.00155674530.00160689340.00163684511.01863963.0E-50.0154588480.0159565860.0160057881.00308355.0E-5
6.82.4819734E-52.5013833E-52.5013833E-51.00.01.0636595E-41.07197855E-41.07197855E-41.00.00.00129423620.00130437420.0013243481.0153132.0E-50.0128672440.012969550.013009031.00304414.0E-5
6.92.331124E-52.3342016E-52.3342016E-51.00.09.990149E-51.0003349E-41.0003349E-41.00.00.0012156220.00121724760.00123722331.01641052.0E-50.0120899360.0121079950.0121475111.00326364.0E-5
7.02.1818534E-52.1765065E-52.1765065E-51.00.09.3504656E-59.327562E-59.327562E-51.00.00.00113782460.00113505890.00115503631.01760022.0E-50.0113201630.0112947190.01133426651.00350154.0E-5
7.12.066081E-52.0544632E-52.0544632E-51.00.08.854332E-58.804556E-58.804556E-51.00.00.00107748180.00107144720.00108143641.00932311.0E-50.0107227240.0106648650.0106945451.0027833.0E-5
7.21.8990233E-51.9057838E-51.9057838E-51.00.08.138417E-58.1674E-58.1674E-51.00.09.904018E-49.939467E-40.00100393671.01005091.0E-50.0098599950.009897010.0099267141.00300123.0E-5
7.31.3335872E-51.4910233E-51.4910233E-51.00.05.7152483E-56.3899504E-56.3899504E-51.00.06.956093E-47.7771157E-47.877038E-41.01284831.0E-50.0069343590.0077511990.00778096631.00384033.0E-5
7.49.414066E-61.1864307E-51.1864307E-51.00.04.0345374E-55.0846094E-55.0846094E-51.00.04.910942E-46.188848E-46.288786E-41.01614811.0E-50.00490010340.00617256160.00620237641.00483023.0E-5
7.57.2101157E-69.16147E-69.16147E-61.00.03.090013E-53.9262897E-53.9262897E-51.00.03.7614413E-44.7792873E-44.8792394E-41.02091361.0E-50.00375508070.00476978440.00479964171.00625963.0E-5
7.63.296375E-64.548674E-64.548674E-61.00.01.4127245E-51.9494179E-51.9494179E-51.00.01.7198564E-42.3731717E-42.3731717E-41.00.00.00171852590.0023707750.0023707751.00.0
7.72.5741092E-63.5873995E-63.5873995E-61.00.01.103185E-51.5374486E-51.5374486E-51.00.01.3430449E-41.8716961E-41.8716961E-41.00.00.00134223350.00187024970.00187024971.00.0

Lake Isabella (Seismicity)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.431637E-69.7418215E-69.7418215E-61.00.04.0420677E-54.175007E-54.175007E-51.00.04.920106E-45.082016E-45.481813E-41.0786694.0E-50.0049092270.0050716870.0051612311.01765569.0E-5
6.19.431637E-69.7418215E-69.7418215E-61.00.04.0420677E-54.175007E-54.175007E-51.00.04.920106E-45.082016E-45.481813E-41.0786694.0E-50.0049092270.0050716870.0051612311.01765569.0E-5
6.29.431637E-69.7418215E-69.7418215E-61.00.04.0420677E-54.175007E-54.175007E-51.00.04.920106E-45.082016E-45.481813E-41.0786694.0E-50.0049092270.0050716870.0051612311.01765569.0E-5
6.39.431637E-69.7418215E-69.7418215E-61.00.04.0420677E-54.175007E-54.175007E-51.00.04.920106E-45.082016E-45.481813E-41.0786694.0E-50.0049092270.0050716870.0051612311.01765569.0E-5
6.45.144063E-65.3001613E-65.3001613E-61.00.02.2045799E-52.27148E-52.27148E-51.00.02.6837454E-42.7652105E-42.8651828E-41.03615361.0E-50.00268050660.00276211020.00280199971.01444174.0E-5
6.55.144063E-65.3001613E-65.3001613E-61.00.02.2045799E-52.27148E-52.27148E-51.00.02.6837454E-42.7652105E-42.8651828E-41.03615361.0E-50.00268050660.00276211020.00280199971.01444174.0E-5
6.63.4009804E-63.4988395E-63.4988395E-61.00.01.4575549E-51.4994949E-51.4994949E-51.00.01.7744285E-41.8254982E-41.9254799E-41.05476951.0E-50.00177301230.00182415640.00185410171.0164163.0E-5
6.73.3880428E-63.485706E-63.485706E-61.00.01.4520103E-51.4938664E-51.4938664E-51.00.01.767679E-41.8186466E-41.9186284E-41.0549761.0E-50.00176627360.00181731590.00183727961.01098532.0E-5
6.82.6582E-62.7337414E-62.7337414E-61.00.01.1392236E-51.171599E-51.171599E-51.00.01.3869164E-41.4263418E-41.5263275E-41.07009951.0E-50.00138605120.00142555840.00144552991.01400962.0E-5
6.92.406011E-62.474366E-62.474366E-61.00.01.0311434E-51.0604391E-51.0604391E-51.00.01.2553448E-41.2910213E-41.3910084E-41.0774481.0E-50.00125463590.00129040090.0013103751.01547912.0E-5
7.01.6953097E-61.7429631E-61.7429631E-61.00.07.265593E-67.469827E-67.469827E-61.00.08.8455E-59.094239E-51.00941485E-41.10994971.0E-58.84198E-49.0915454E-49.2913635E-41.02197852.0E-5
7.13.5013824E-73.5715203E-73.5715203E-71.00.01.5005916E-61.5306507E-61.5306507E-61.00.01.826955E-51.8635516E-51.8635516E-51.00.01.8268047E-41.8633978E-41.8633978E-41.00.0
7.22.2321095E-72.2750805E-72.2750805E-71.00.09.56618E-79.750341E-79.750341E-71.00.01.1646762E-51.1870978E-51.1870978E-51.00.01.1646151E-41.1870354E-41.1870354E-41.00.0
7.31.5760406E-71.6061085E-71.6061085E-71.00.06.7544585E-76.88332E-76.88332E-71.00.08.223522E-68.380411E-68.380411E-61.00.08.2232174E-58.380101E-58.380101E-51.00.0
7.41.1216497E-71.14318226E-71.14318226E-71.00.04.8070694E-74.899352E-74.899352E-71.00.05.852591E-65.9649446E-65.9649446E-61.00.05.8524372E-55.964789E-55.964789E-51.00.0
7.54.885185E-84.9788245E-84.9788245E-81.00.02.0936506E-72.1337817E-72.1337817E-71.00.02.5490165E-62.5978763E-62.5978763E-61.00.02.5489873E-52.5978477E-52.5978477E-51.00.0
7.61.504641E-91.5318049E-91.5318049E-91.00.06.4484613E-96.5648784E-96.5648784E-91.00.07.851001E-87.9927396E-87.9927396E-81.00.07.8509987E-77.9927395E-77.9927395E-71.00.0

Santa Ynez (East)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.2269712E-53.675413E-53.675413E-51.00.01.3829143E-41.5751152E-41.5751152E-41.00.00.00168239790.00191659920.00193656081.01041522.0E-50.0166971780.019058160.0191268251.0036037.0E-5
6.13.2269712E-53.675413E-53.675413E-51.00.01.3829143E-41.5751152E-41.5751152E-41.00.00.00168239790.00191659920.00193656081.01041522.0E-50.0166971780.019058160.0191268251.0036037.0E-5
6.23.2269712E-53.675413E-53.675413E-51.00.01.3829143E-41.5751152E-41.5751152E-41.00.00.00168239790.00191659920.00193656081.01041522.0E-50.0166971780.019058160.0191268251.0036037.0E-5
6.33.2269712E-53.675413E-53.675413E-51.00.01.3829143E-41.5751152E-41.5751152E-41.00.00.00168239790.00191659920.00193656081.01041522.0E-50.0166971780.019058160.0191268251.0036037.0E-5
6.41.4404779E-51.4850021E-51.4850021E-51.00.06.1733306E-56.3641426E-56.3641426E-51.00.07.513438E-47.74564E-47.845562E-41.01290051.0E-50.00748808540.00771919360.0077489621.00385643.0E-5
6.51.4404779E-51.4850021E-51.4850021E-51.00.06.1733306E-56.3641426E-56.3641426E-51.00.07.513438E-47.74564E-47.845562E-41.01290051.0E-50.00748808540.00771919360.0077489621.00385643.0E-5
6.61.280208E-51.3012444E-51.3012444E-51.00.05.4864904E-55.5766435E-55.5766435E-51.00.06.6777546E-46.787466E-46.887398E-41.01472311.0E-50.0066577240.0067669460.0067967431.00440343.0E-5
6.71.2457027E-51.26289415E-51.26289415E-51.00.05.3386164E-55.412292E-55.412292E-51.00.06.497827E-46.58749E-46.687424E-41.01517031.0E-50.006478860.00656816040.00659796361.00453753.0E-5
6.81.2095134E-51.2231368E-51.2231368E-51.00.05.1835254E-55.2419102E-55.2419102E-51.00.06.309115E-46.380173E-46.4801093E-41.01566351.0E-50.00629123250.0063620440.0063918531.00468553.0E-5
6.91.1104036E-51.1157752E-51.1157752E-51.00.04.758786E-54.781807E-54.781807E-51.00.05.7922816E-45.8203074E-45.920249E-41.01717131.0E-50.0057772070.00580520930.0058350351.00513783.0E-5
7.01.0577444E-51.0582056E-51.0582056E-51.00.04.5331115E-54.535089E-54.535089E-51.00.05.5176654E-45.520084E-45.620029E-41.01810561.0E-50.00550398560.0055065110.00553634581.00541813.0E-5
7.11.0021775E-59.981338E-69.981338E-61.00.04.294976E-54.2776468E-54.2776468E-51.00.05.2278786E-45.206802E-45.30675E-41.01919571.0E-50.00521559640.00519473520.00522457951.0057453.0E-5
7.28.874109E-68.749089E-68.749089E-61.00.03.8031343E-53.7495563E-53.7495563E-51.00.04.629332E-44.5641392E-44.6640937E-41.02189991.0E-50.00461970.00455488360.0045847471.00655643.0E-5
7.37.5504267E-67.5053244E-67.5053244E-61.00.03.235857E-53.2165288E-53.2165288E-51.00.03.9389438E-43.91543E-44.015391E-41.025531.0E-50.00393196940.00390863840.00392856031.00509692.0E-5
7.46.309394E-66.183301E-66.183301E-61.00.02.703998E-52.6499598E-52.6499598E-51.00.03.2916202E-43.225858E-43.3258257E-41.03098951.0E-50.0032867490.00322127270.00324120811.00618882.0E-5
7.54.6103073E-64.440954E-64.440954E-61.00.01.975831E-51.9032526E-51.9032526E-51.00.02.4053088E-42.3169705E-42.3169705E-41.00.00.0024027070.00231462440.00232460121.00431041.0E-5
7.61.2858658E-61.3008582E-61.3008582E-61.00.05.5108417E-65.575095E-65.575095E-61.00.06.7092435E-56.787474E-56.787474E-51.00.06.707218E-46.7854696E-46.7854696E-41.00.0
7.75.3302307E-75.612297E-75.612297E-71.00.02.2843826E-62.4052679E-62.4052679E-61.00.02.7812002E-52.9283781E-52.9283781E-51.00.02.7808524E-42.9280278E-42.9280278E-41.00.0
7.84.613933E-84.8031144E-84.8031144E-81.00.01.9773998E-72.0584774E-72.0584774E-71.00.02.4074816E-62.5061934E-62.5061934E-61.00.02.4074554E-52.5061661E-52.5061661E-51.00.0

Santa Rosa Island

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.1143165E-54.709476E-54.709476E-51.00.01.7631594E-42.0182018E-42.0182018E-41.00.00.0021445330.00245458820.0024745391.0081282.0E-50.0212395530.0242954080.0243539511.00240966.0E-5
6.12.1061249E-52.3866654E-52.3866654E-51.00.09.0259375E-51.0228182E-41.0228182E-41.00.00.00109835390.00124459870.00125458631.00802471.0E-50.010929410.0123793240.01239907651.00159562.0E-5
6.22.1061249E-52.3866654E-52.3866654E-51.00.09.0259375E-51.0228182E-41.0228182E-41.00.00.00109835390.00124459870.00125458631.00802471.0E-50.010929410.0123793240.01239907651.00159562.0E-5
6.31.5158236E-51.707557E-51.707557E-51.00.06.496225E-57.317903E-57.317903E-51.00.07.906284E-48.9060253E-49.005936E-41.01121831.0E-50.0078782140.0088715860.0088814971.00111721.0E-5
6.41.2341918E-51.3853823E-51.3853823E-51.00.05.2892858E-55.9372218E-55.9372218E-51.00.06.437803E-47.226252E-47.326179E-41.01382841.0E-50.0064191840.0072035910.0072135191.00137821.0E-5
6.59.061158E-61.0117662E-51.0117662E-51.00.03.883296E-54.3360717E-54.3360717E-51.00.04.726887E-45.277942E-45.377889E-41.01893681.0E-50.0047168450.0052659450.0052758921.0018891.0E-5
6.67.5461685E-68.401244E-68.401244E-61.00.03.2340322E-53.6004854E-53.6004854E-51.00.03.936723E-44.3827525E-44.4827085E-41.02280681.0E-50.0039297560.00437453850.0043844951.0022761.0E-5
6.75.5023775E-66.0877283E-66.0877283E-61.00.02.3581404E-52.6090021E-52.6090021E-51.00.02.8706578E-43.1760297E-43.275998E-41.03147591.0E-50.00286695220.00317181230.00318178071.00314271.0E-5
6.83.7351679E-64.0833456E-64.0833456E-61.00.01.6007763E-51.7499948E-51.7499948E-51.00.01.948771E-42.1304353E-42.1304353E-41.00.00.00194706290.00212863830.00212863831.00.0
6.92.456366E-62.6293699E-62.6293699E-61.00.01.0527241E-51.126868E-51.126868E-51.00.01.2816161E-41.3718757E-41.3718757E-41.00.00.00128087730.00137103170.00137103171.00.0
7.02.3245157E-62.4828691E-62.4828691E-61.00.09.962172E-61.0640824E-51.0640824E-51.00.01.2128269E-41.2954435E-41.2954435E-41.00.00.00121216520.00129469060.00129469061.00.0
7.12.2248344E-62.373335E-62.373335E-61.00.09.53497E-61.0171396E-51.0171396E-51.00.01.1608207E-41.2382973E-41.2382973E-41.00.00.00116021440.00123760930.00123760931.00.0
7.22.1350402E-62.2762347E-62.2762347E-61.00.09.150141E-69.755256E-69.755256E-61.00.01.1139726E-41.1876378E-41.1876378E-41.00.00.00111341440.0011870050.0011870051.00.0
7.31.9793572E-62.108793E-62.108793E-61.00.08.482932E-69.037653E-69.037653E-61.00.01.032748E-41.100279E-41.100279E-41.00.00.00103226820.0010997360.0010997361.00.0
7.41.6951194E-61.8046361E-61.8046361E-61.00.07.264777E-67.734132E-67.734132E-61.00.08.844508E-59.4159004E-59.4159004E-51.00.08.840988E-49.411928E-49.411928E-41.00.0
7.58.987207E-79.512518E-79.512518E-71.00.03.8516546E-64.0767873E-64.0767873E-61.00.04.6892885E-54.9633767E-54.9633767E-51.00.04.688299E-44.96228E-44.96228E-41.00.0
7.63.8783037E-74.0530364E-74.0530364E-71.00.01.6621291E-61.7370145E-61.7370145E-61.00.02.0236233E-52.1147953E-52.1147953E-51.00.02.023439E-42.1146005E-42.1146005E-41.00.0
7.76.181804E-86.3391695E-86.3391695E-81.00.02.6493444E-72.7167866E-72.7167866E-71.00.03.225572E-63.3076826E-63.3076826E-61.00.03.225525E-53.3076343E-53.3076343E-51.00.0
7.81.3704449E-91.3964294E-91.3964294E-91.00.05.873335E-95.984697E-95.984697E-91.00.07.1507856E-87.2863685E-87.2863685E-81.00.07.1507833E-77.2863673E-77.2863673E-71.00.0

Ventura-Pitas Point

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.3179622E-53.3739056E-54.373872E-51.29638241.0E-51.4219063E-41.445894E-41.7458506E-41.20745413.0E-50.00172979620.00175921130.00178915841.01702313.0E-50.0171639320.0174782760.0175470521.0039357.0E-5
6.13.3179622E-53.3739056E-54.373872E-51.29638241.0E-51.4219063E-41.445894E-41.7458506E-41.20745413.0E-50.00172979620.00175921130.00178915841.01702313.0E-50.0171639320.0174782760.0175470521.0039357.0E-5
6.23.3179622E-53.3739056E-54.373872E-51.29638241.0E-51.4219063E-41.445894E-41.7458506E-41.20745413.0E-50.00172979620.00175921130.00178915841.01702313.0E-50.0171639320.0174782760.0175470521.0039357.0E-5
6.33.3179622E-53.3739056E-54.373872E-51.29638241.0E-51.4219063E-41.445894E-41.7458506E-41.20745413.0E-50.00172979620.00175921130.00178915841.01702313.0E-50.0171639320.0174782760.0175470521.0039357.0E-5
6.41.8754668E-51.7022052E-51.7022052E-51.00.08.037467E-57.294974E-58.294901E-51.13707071.0E-59.781223E-48.878243E-48.978154E-41.01125351.0E-50.0097382820.0088450020.0088549141.00112061.0E-5
6.51.8754668E-51.7022052E-51.7022052E-51.00.08.037467E-57.294974E-58.294901E-51.13707071.0E-59.781223E-48.878243E-48.978154E-41.01125351.0E-50.0097382820.0088450020.0088549141.00112061.0E-5
6.61.4361558E-51.21244175E-51.21244175E-51.00.06.154808E-55.1960767E-56.196024E-51.19244291.0E-57.490902E-46.32441E-46.424347E-41.01580181.0E-50.00746570160.00630656020.0063164971.00157571.0E-5
6.71.4361558E-51.21244175E-51.21244175E-51.00.06.154808E-55.1960767E-56.196024E-51.19244291.0E-57.490902E-46.32441E-46.424347E-41.01580181.0E-50.00746570160.00630656020.0063164971.00157571.0E-5
6.81.3663846E-51.1346513E-51.1346513E-51.00.05.8558027E-54.862702E-55.862653E-51.2056371.0E-57.127108E-45.9187505E-46.0186913E-41.01688541.0E-50.0071042930.00590309450.00591303551.00168411.0E-5
6.91.3644157E-51.1324612E-51.1324612E-51.00.05.8473648E-54.8533162E-55.8532674E-51.20603471.0E-57.116841E-45.9073296E-46.0072704E-41.01691811.0E-50.0070940920.00589173430.0059016751.00168731.0E-5
7.01.3568845E-51.1244173E-51.1244173E-51.00.05.8150898E-54.8188434E-55.818795E-51.20750871.0E-57.077572E-45.8653817E-45.965323E-41.01703921.0E-50.0070550730.00585000780.00585994961.00169941.0E-5
7.11.306572E-51.07225915E-51.07225915E-51.00.05.599474E-54.5953166E-55.5952707E-51.21760281.0E-56.815227E-45.59338E-45.6933245E-41.01786831.0E-50.00679436370.00557939850.00558934271.00178231.0E-5
7.21.232604E-59.997138E-69.997138E-61.00.05.2824813E-54.284418E-55.2843752E-51.23339391.0E-56.429523E-45.2150484E-45.314996E-41.01916531.0E-50.00641095270.00520289360.00521284161.0019121.0E-5
7.31.0917261E-58.844401E-68.844401E-61.00.04.678742E-53.7904032E-54.7903653E-51.26381421.0E-55.69488E-44.6138544E-44.7138083E-41.02166391.0E-50.00568030770.00460433260.00461428661.00216191.0E-5
7.41.039959E-58.424092E-68.424092E-61.00.04.456891E-53.610276E-54.61024E-51.27697721.0E-55.424914E-44.3946397E-44.4945956E-41.0227451.0E-50.00541168960.0043860020.00439595851.002271.0E-5
7.59.015877E-67.297917E-67.297917E-61.00.03.86389E-53.127642E-54.1276107E-51.31971971.0E-54.7032707E-43.8072528E-43.9072149E-41.02625561.0E-50.0046933290.0038007680.00381072981.0026211.0E-5
7.64.900162E-63.8742764E-63.8742764E-61.00.02.1000526E-51.6603937E-52.6603771E-51.60225681.0E-52.556514E-42.0213432E-42.121323E-41.04946211.0E-50.00255357470.00201951830.0020294981.00494171.0E-5
7.73.8850626E-63.12688E-63.12688E-61.00.01.6650163E-51.3400846E-51.3400846E-51.00.02.0269687E-41.6314318E-41.6314318E-41.00.00.0020251210.00163024340.00163024341.00.0
7.82.4654719E-62.0299744E-62.0299744E-61.00.01.0566265E-58.699862E-68.699862E-61.00.01.2863669E-41.05915715E-41.05915715E-41.00.00.00128562250.00105865710.00105865711.00.0
7.94.095894E-73.2766198E-73.2766198E-71.00.01.7553821E-61.4042649E-61.4042649E-61.00.02.1371567E-51.7096794E-51.7096794E-51.00.02.1369511E-41.709551E-41.709551E-41.00.0
8.07.791402E-95.6839005E-95.6839005E-91.00.03.3391725E-82.4359574E-82.4359574E-81.00.04.0654416E-72.9657778E-72.9657778E-71.00.04.065434E-62.965776E-62.965776E-61.00.0

Kern Canyon (North Kern) 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.6264497E-66.757416E-66.757416E-61.00.02.8398761E-52.8960078E-54.8959497E-51.69058592.0E-53.4570007E-43.525399E-43.825293E-41.08506683.0E-50.00345162770.0035205950.00359034841.01981317.0E-5
6.16.6264497E-66.757416E-66.757416E-61.00.02.8398761E-52.8960078E-54.8959497E-51.69058592.0E-53.4570007E-43.525399E-43.825293E-41.08506683.0E-50.00345162770.0035205950.00359034841.01981317.0E-5
6.26.6264497E-66.757416E-66.757416E-61.00.02.8398761E-52.8960078E-54.8959497E-51.69058592.0E-53.4570007E-43.525399E-43.825293E-41.08506683.0E-50.00345162770.0035205950.00359034841.01981317.0E-5
6.36.6264497E-66.757416E-66.757416E-61.00.02.8398761E-52.8960078E-54.8959497E-51.69058592.0E-53.4570007E-43.525399E-43.825293E-41.08506683.0E-50.00345162770.0035205950.00359034841.01981317.0E-5
6.46.6264497E-66.757416E-66.757416E-61.00.02.8398761E-52.8960078E-54.8959497E-51.69058592.0E-53.4570007E-43.525399E-43.825293E-41.08506683.0E-50.00345162770.0035205950.00359034841.01981317.0E-5
6.53.2162225E-63.2571281E-63.2571281E-61.00.01.3783738E-51.395905E-51.395905E-51.00.01.6780409E-41.69939E-41.69939E-41.00.00.00167677440.00169817010.00169817011.00.0
6.63.2162225E-63.2571281E-63.2571281E-61.00.01.3783738E-51.395905E-51.395905E-51.00.01.6780409E-41.69939E-41.69939E-41.00.00.00167677440.00169817010.00169817011.00.0
6.72.1908265E-62.2071456E-62.2071456E-61.00.09.389223E-69.459161E-69.459161E-61.00.01.1430779E-41.15159404E-41.15159404E-41.00.00.00114249010.00115101670.00115101671.00.0
6.81.7303895E-61.7365708E-61.7365708E-61.00.07.415934E-67.4424256E-67.4424256E-61.00.09.028525E-59.060786E-59.060786E-51.00.09.024858E-49.057189E-49.057189E-41.00.0
6.91.3700314E-61.3688762E-61.3688762E-61.00.05.87155E-65.866599E-65.866599E-61.00.07.148377E-57.142355E-57.142355E-51.00.07.146078E-47.140105E-47.140105E-41.00.0
7.01.1467797E-61.1413921E-61.1413921E-61.00.04.9147607E-64.8916713E-64.8916713E-61.00.05.983557E-55.9554503E-55.9554503E-51.00.05.981946E-45.953886E-45.953886E-41.00.0
7.19.3952065E-79.302786E-79.302786E-71.00.04.026511E-63.9869024E-63.9869024E-61.00.04.9021666E-54.853947E-54.853947E-51.00.04.901085E-44.8529045E-44.8529045E-41.00.0
7.26.858055E-76.719371E-76.719371E-71.00.02.939163E-62.8797272E-62.8797272E-61.00.03.5783723E-53.5060122E-53.5060122E-51.00.03.5777962E-43.505468E-43.505468E-41.00.0
7.35.1101983E-74.9393526E-74.9393526E-71.00.02.1900833E-62.1168637E-62.1168637E-61.00.02.6663936E-52.5772517E-52.5772517E-51.00.02.6660739E-42.5769576E-42.5769576E-41.00.0
7.43.4999414E-73.2996275E-73.2996275E-71.00.01.499974E-61.4141253E-61.4141253E-61.00.01.8262032E-51.7216842E-51.7216842E-51.00.01.826053E-41.7215533E-41.7215533E-41.00.0
7.51.7021522E-71.4750238E-71.4750238E-71.00.07.2949354E-76.321529E-76.321529E-71.00.08.881548E-67.696435E-67.696435E-61.00.08.8811925E-57.696177E-57.696177E-51.00.0
7.62.572245E-81.7353019E-81.7353019E-81.00.01.10239064E-77.437008E-87.437008E-81.00.01.3421597E-69.054554E-79.054554E-71.00.01.3421517E-59.054523E-69.054523E-61.00.0

Cleghorn Pass

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.0522846E-51.104093E-51.104093E-51.00.04.509713E-54.731771E-54.731771E-51.00.05.4891926E-45.759935E-46.1597046E-41.06940524.0E-50.00547565330.0057501720.0058098271.01037446.0E-5
6.11.0522846E-51.104093E-51.104093E-51.00.04.509713E-54.731771E-54.731771E-51.00.05.4891926E-45.759935E-46.1597046E-41.06940524.0E-50.00547565330.0057501720.0058098271.01037446.0E-5
6.22.1045846E-62.2082602E-62.2082602E-61.00.09.019617E-69.463961E-69.463961E-61.00.01.098083E-41.1522183E-41.1522183E-41.00.00.00109754060.00115203230.00116202081.00867031.0E-5
6.32.1045846E-62.2082602E-62.2082602E-61.00.09.019617E-69.463961E-69.463961E-61.00.01.098083E-41.1522183E-41.1522183E-41.00.00.00109754060.00115203230.00116202081.00867031.0E-5
6.41.7259927E-61.8109243E-61.8109243E-61.00.07.3970905E-67.761104E-67.761104E-61.00.09.005586E-59.449144E-59.449144E-51.00.09.001937E-49.4491447E-49.54905E-41.01057291.0E-5

Pleito

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6763008E-52.479146E-52.479146E-51.00.07.183948E-51.0624519E-41.0624519E-41.00.08.742947E-40.00129283960.00131281381.01544992.0E-50.008708630.0129677670.0130269891.00456696.0E-5
6.11.6763008E-52.479146E-52.479146E-51.00.07.183948E-51.0624519E-41.0624519E-41.00.08.742947E-40.00129283960.00131281381.01544992.0E-50.008708630.0129677670.0130269891.00456696.0E-5
6.21.6763008E-52.479146E-52.479146E-51.00.07.183948E-51.0624519E-41.0624519E-41.00.08.742947E-40.00129283960.00131281381.01544992.0E-50.008708630.0129677670.0130269891.00456696.0E-5
6.31.6763008E-52.479146E-52.479146E-51.00.07.183948E-51.0624519E-41.0624519E-41.00.08.742947E-40.00129283960.00131281381.01544992.0E-50.008708630.0129677670.0130269891.00456696.0E-5
6.41.6763008E-52.479146E-52.479146E-51.00.07.183948E-51.0624519E-41.0624519E-41.00.08.742947E-40.00129283960.00131281381.01544992.0E-50.008708630.0129677670.0130269891.00456696.0E-5
6.51.6763008E-52.479146E-52.479146E-51.00.07.183948E-51.0624519E-41.0624519E-41.00.08.742947E-40.00129283960.00131281381.01544992.0E-50.008708630.0129677670.0130269891.00456696.0E-5
6.69.910213E-61.7241837E-51.7241837E-51.00.04.247165E-57.389152E-57.389152E-51.00.05.169696E-48.992616E-49.1924367E-41.02222052.0E-50.00515768630.0090644230.009104061.00437284.0E-5
6.79.910213E-61.7241837E-51.7241837E-51.00.04.247165E-57.389152E-57.389152E-51.00.05.169696E-48.992616E-49.1924367E-41.02222052.0E-50.00515768630.0090644230.009104061.00437284.0E-5
6.88.300162E-61.5501371E-51.5501371E-51.00.03.557164E-56.643277E-56.643277E-51.00.04.3299864E-48.0852024E-48.2850404E-41.02471652.0E-50.0043215590.0081638340.0082035071.00485974.0E-5
6.98.183114E-61.5372574E-51.5372574E-51.00.03.5070017E-56.5880806E-56.5880806E-51.00.04.2689382E-48.0180506E-48.21789E-41.02492372.0E-50.00426074680.0080971730.0081368491.00494.0E-5
7.07.1748823E-61.4159216E-51.4159216E-51.00.03.0749135E-56.0680948E-56.0680948E-51.00.03.743064E-47.385406E-47.5852586E-41.02706042.0E-50.00373676540.0074685990.00750830021.00531584.0E-5
7.17.1671807E-61.4149584E-51.4149584E-51.00.03.0716128E-56.0639664E-56.0639664E-51.00.03.7390468E-47.380384E-47.5802364E-41.02707892.0E-50.00373276180.00746361030.00750331161.00531944.0E-5
7.27.0649667E-61.3996784E-51.3996784E-51.00.03.0278077E-55.998484E-55.998484E-51.00.03.6857324E-47.300712E-47.5005664E-41.02737462.0E-50.00367962550.0073843180.00742402251.00537694.0E-5
7.37.02082E-61.3940186E-51.3940186E-51.00.03.008888E-55.974229E-55.974229E-51.00.03.6627054E-47.2712015E-47.4710563E-41.02748572.0E-50.00365667440.0073547940.00739451.00539864.0E-5
7.46.987146E-61.3899719E-51.3899719E-51.00.02.9944567E-55.956887E-55.956887E-51.00.03.6451413E-47.250101E-47.4499566E-41.02756582.0E-50.00363916790.0073337140.0073734211.00541424.0E-5
7.56.9494554E-61.3856602E-51.3856602E-51.00.02.9783041E-55.938409E-55.938409E-51.00.03.625482E-47.2276196E-47.427475E-41.02765172.0E-50.00361957260.00731133060.00735103851.00543094.0E-5
7.66.92694E-61.3815674E-51.3815674E-51.00.02.9686547E-55.920869E-55.920869E-51.00.03.6137376E-47.206279E-47.406135E-41.02773362.0E-50.00360786660.00729006160.007329771.00544694.0E-5
7.76.395867E-61.2693605E-51.2693605E-51.00.02.741057E-55.440003E-55.440003E-51.00.03.336726E-46.621194E-46.821062E-41.0301862.0E-50.00333172010.00670810.00674783161.00592294.0E-5
7.85.8664327E-61.1559044E-51.1559044E-51.00.02.5141611E-54.953782E-54.953782E-51.00.03.060561E-46.029563E-46.229442E-41.033152.0E-50.00305634950.0061124560.00615221171.0065044.0E-5
7.93.7167474E-67.128102E-67.128102E-61.00.01.592882E-53.054865E-53.054865E-51.00.01.9391612E-43.718665E-43.8186277E-41.02688131.0E-50.00193746990.00377457680.00379450131.00527862.0E-5
8.01.0903841E-61.2908959E-61.2908959E-61.00.04.6730665E-65.532399E-65.532399E-61.00.05.68931E-56.7354886E-56.7354886E-51.00.05.6878536E-46.957491E-46.957491E-41.00.0
8.12.6894583E-71.1106567E-71.1106567E-71.00.01.1526245E-64.7599562E-74.7599562E-71.00.01.4033113E-55.7952316E-65.7952316E-61.00.01.4032227E-46.482664E-56.482664E-51.00.0
8.25.2967013E-92.468831E-92.468831E-91.00.02.2700148E-81.0580704E-81.0580704E-81.00.02.7637427E-71.2882006E-71.2882006E-71.00.02.7637393E-61.4656648E-61.4656648E-61.00.0

Oceanic - West Huasna

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.195567E-52.7928398E-52.7928398E-51.00.01.3694567E-41.1968789E-41.2968668E-41.08354071.0E-50.00166603840.00145626910.00148622541.02057063.0E-50.0165360330.0144718140.0145210911.0034055.0E-5
6.12.1156782E-51.7574706E-51.7574706E-51.00.09.066878E-57.531805E-58.53173E-51.13276031.0E-50.00110333339.166209E-49.266117E-41.01089971.0E-50.0109787130.0091294090.0091591351.00325613.0E-5
6.21.6195117E-51.3327666E-51.3327666E-51.00.06.9405796E-55.7117333E-56.711676E-51.17506831.0E-58.44688E-46.951842E-47.0517726E-41.01437471.0E-50.0084148440.0069303890.0069601811.00429883.0E-5
6.31.3559345E-51.1179372E-51.1179372E-51.00.05.811018E-54.7910722E-55.791024E-51.20871151.0E-57.072618E-45.831579E-45.93152E-41.0171381.0E-50.00705015050.0058163940.00583627771.00341862.0E-5
6.41.2120619E-51.0001191E-51.0001191E-51.00.05.1944477E-54.2861546E-54.2861546E-51.00.06.322405E-45.2171486E-45.2171486E-41.00.00.0063044470.00520496770.00520496771.00.0
6.51.13511915E-59.367664E-69.367664E-61.00.04.8647056E-54.0146515E-54.0146515E-51.00.05.9211696E-44.886746E-44.886746E-41.00.00.00590541730.0048760590.0048760591.00.0
6.69.850605E-68.135557E-68.135557E-61.00.04.2216197E-53.486621E-53.486621E-51.00.05.1386096E-44.2441362E-44.2441362E-41.00.00.00512674360.0042360630.0042360631.00.0
6.78.8558645E-67.318557E-67.318557E-61.00.03.7953152E-53.1364867E-53.1364867E-51.00.04.6198163E-43.8180055E-43.8180055E-41.00.00.0046102240.00381147120.00381147121.00.0
6.87.67136E-66.3918774E-66.3918774E-61.00.03.2876844E-52.7393473E-52.7393473E-51.00.04.0020206E-43.3346465E-43.3346465E-41.00.00.0039948210.00332966350.00332966351.00.0
6.96.534529E-65.458424E-65.458424E-61.00.02.8004823E-52.3393037E-52.3393037E-51.00.03.4090536E-42.8477312E-42.8477312E-41.00.00.00340382870.00284409850.00284409851.00.0
7.05.460525E-64.570061E-64.570061E-61.00.02.3402039E-51.9585828E-51.9585828E-51.00.02.8488258E-42.3843147E-42.3843147E-41.00.00.00284517650.00238177020.00238177021.00.0
7.14.4825083E-63.7525451E-63.7525451E-61.00.01.9210609E-51.6082236E-51.6082236E-51.00.02.3386406E-41.9578375E-41.9578375E-41.00.00.0023361810.00195612430.00195612431.00.0
7.22.821708E-62.425045E-62.425045E-61.00.01.2092979E-51.0393009E-51.0393009E-51.00.01.4722206E-41.2652755E-41.2652755E-41.00.00.00147124570.00126455720.00126455721.00.0
7.32.0644757E-61.7688409E-61.7688409E-61.00.08.847723E-67.5807243E-67.5807243E-61.00.01.0771569E-49.229141E-59.229141E-51.00.00.0010766359.2253234E-49.2253234E-41.00.0
7.41.6980367E-61.4380826E-61.4380826E-61.00.07.27728E-66.1631963E-66.1631963E-61.00.08.8597284E-57.503434E-57.503434E-51.00.08.8561967E-47.500914E-47.500914E-41.00.0
7.51.3637683E-61.1303514E-61.1303514E-61.00.05.844708E-64.844354E-64.844354E-61.00.07.1156996E-55.8978418E-55.8978418E-51.00.07.1134215E-45.8962894E-45.8962894E-41.00.0
7.69.802994E-77.6780407E-77.6780407E-71.00.04.2012766E-63.2905848E-63.2905848E-61.00.05.1149345E-54.0062132E-54.0062132E-51.00.05.113757E-44.005503E-44.005503E-41.00.0
7.75.986191E-74.0057682E-74.0057682E-71.00.02.5655079E-61.7167566E-61.7167566E-61.00.03.1234613E-52.0901312E-52.0901312E-51.00.03.123022E-42.0899458E-42.0899458E-41.00.0
7.82.9189815E-71.5291376E-71.5291376E-71.00.01.2509914E-66.553445E-76.553445E-71.00.01.5230714E-57.978791E-67.978791E-61.00.01.522967E-47.9786114E-57.9786114E-51.00.0
7.91.2057845E-74.624249E-84.624249E-81.00.05.1676466E-71.981821E-71.981821E-71.00.06.2915915E-62.4128642E-62.4128642E-61.00.06.2914136E-52.4129453E-52.4129453E-51.00.0
8.03.3806387E-99.0229946E-109.0229946E-101.00.01.4488451E-83.8669987E-93.8669987E-91.00.01.7639688E-74.7080707E-84.7080707E-81.00.01.7639674E-64.7169183E-74.7169183E-71.00.0

Santa Ynez River

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6396456E-51.7209959E-51.7209959E-51.00.07.026863E-57.375509E-57.375509E-51.00.08.551848E-48.976337E-48.976337E-41.00.00.00851901250.0089436290.0089931821.00554065.0E-5
6.11.6396456E-51.7209959E-51.7209959E-51.00.07.026863E-57.375509E-57.375509E-51.00.08.551848E-48.976337E-48.976337E-41.00.00.00851901250.0089436290.0089931821.00554065.0E-5
6.21.6396456E-51.7209959E-51.7209959E-51.00.07.026863E-57.375509E-57.375509E-51.00.08.551848E-48.976337E-48.976337E-41.00.00.00851901250.0089436290.0089931821.00554065.0E-5
6.39.736976E-61.01226115E-51.01226115E-51.00.04.172923E-54.338193E-54.338193E-51.00.05.0793495E-45.28052E-45.28052E-41.00.00.0050677550.00526847830.00531821471.00944045.0E-5
6.49.736976E-61.01226115E-51.01226115E-51.00.04.172923E-54.338193E-54.338193E-51.00.05.0793495E-45.28052E-45.28052E-41.00.00.0050677550.00526847830.00531821471.00944045.0E-5
6.57.081964E-67.330101E-67.330101E-61.00.03.035092E-53.141435E-53.141435E-51.00.03.694598E-43.8240416E-43.8240416E-41.00.00.00368846160.00381762320.00386743221.01304715.0E-5
6.65.873247E-66.059913E-66.059913E-61.00.02.5170815E-52.5970803E-52.5970803E-51.00.03.064116E-43.161495E-43.161495E-41.00.00.00305989430.00315708480.0032069271.01578745.0E-5
6.74.973277E-65.116047E-65.116047E-61.00.02.1313872E-52.1925734E-52.1925734E-51.00.02.5946548E-42.669136E-42.669136E-41.00.00.00259162740.0026659790.00271584581.01870495.0E-5
6.84.396492E-64.511108E-64.511108E-61.00.01.884197E-51.9333178E-51.9333178E-51.00.02.2937685E-42.3535638E-42.3535638E-41.00.00.00229140230.00235110640.00239101241.01697334.0E-5
6.93.5255632E-63.6014421E-63.6014421E-61.00.01.5109469E-51.5434662E-51.5434662E-51.00.01.8394225E-41.8790095E-41.8790095E-41.00.00.00183790070.0018774370.00189739941.01063292.0E-5
7.03.211603E-63.2737553E-63.2737553E-61.00.01.376394E-51.4030305E-51.4030305E-51.00.01.6756308E-41.7080571E-41.7080571E-41.00.00.00167436790.00170675840.00171674141.0058491.0E-5
7.12.5094619E-62.5410047E-62.5410047E-61.00.01.0754793E-51.0889975E-51.0889975E-51.00.01.3093173E-41.3257744E-41.3257744E-41.00.00.00130854620.00132498940.00132498941.00.0
7.22.0515774E-62.06201E-62.06201E-61.00.08.792445E-68.837156E-68.837156E-61.00.01.0704277E-41.07587104E-41.07587104E-41.00.00.00106991220.00107535450.00107535451.00.0
7.31.6845745E-61.6774534E-61.6774534E-61.00.07.219585E-67.1890663E-67.1890663E-61.00.08.78949E-58.752339E-58.752339E-51.00.08.7860145E-48.748921E-48.748921E-41.00.0
7.41.3600285E-61.3333874E-61.3333874E-61.00.05.82868E-65.7145053E-65.7145053E-61.00.07.096187E-56.95719E-56.95719E-51.00.07.0939213E-46.9550343E-46.9550343E-41.00.0
7.59.735342E-79.290493E-79.290493E-71.00.04.172283E-63.981634E-63.981634E-61.00.05.079636E-54.8475333E-54.8475333E-51.00.05.0784746E-44.846493E-44.846493E-41.00.0
7.65.067187E-74.778753E-74.778753E-71.00.02.1716498E-62.0480354E-62.0480354E-61.00.02.6439517E-52.4934552E-52.4934552E-51.00.02.643637E-42.4931828E-42.4931828E-41.00.0
7.72.769089E-72.5760096E-72.5760096E-71.00.01.1867519E-61.1040037E-61.1040037E-61.00.01.4448608E-51.3441162E-51.3441162E-51.00.01.444767E-41.3440353E-41.3440353E-41.00.0
7.81.7044663E-71.5449687E-71.5449687E-71.00.07.3048534E-76.6212925E-76.6212925E-71.00.08.893623E-68.0613945E-68.0613945E-61.00.08.893267E-58.061104E-58.061104E-51.00.0
7.94.8344287E-84.0912912E-84.0912912E-81.00.02.0718979E-71.7534104E-71.7534104E-71.00.02.5225327E-62.134775E-62.134775E-61.00.02.5225041E-52.134755E-52.134755E-51.00.0

Los Alamos extension

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.0146506E-64.0862483E-61.4086208E-53.44722271.0E-51.7205533E-51.751238E-52.7512206E-51.57101451.0E-52.0945723E-42.1319349E-42.3318922E-41.09379152.0E-50.00209259920.00212999880.00217989231.02342415.0E-5
6.14.0146506E-64.0862483E-61.4086208E-53.44722271.0E-51.7205533E-51.751238E-52.7512206E-51.57101451.0E-52.0945723E-42.1319349E-42.3318922E-41.09379152.0E-50.00209259920.00212999880.00217989231.02342415.0E-5
6.24.0146506E-64.0862483E-61.4086208E-53.44722271.0E-51.7205533E-51.751238E-52.7512206E-51.57101451.0E-52.0945723E-42.1319349E-42.3318922E-41.09379152.0E-50.00209259920.00212999880.00217989231.02342415.0E-5
6.34.0146506E-64.0862483E-61.4086208E-53.44722271.0E-51.7205533E-51.751238E-52.7512206E-51.57101451.0E-52.0945723E-42.1319349E-42.3318922E-41.09379152.0E-50.00209259920.00212999880.00217989231.02342415.0E-5
6.44.0146506E-64.0862483E-61.4086208E-53.44722271.0E-51.7205533E-51.751238E-52.7512206E-51.57101451.0E-52.0945723E-42.1319349E-42.3318922E-41.09379152.0E-50.00209259920.00212999880.00217989231.02342415.0E-5
6.54.0146506E-64.0862483E-61.4086208E-53.44722271.0E-51.7205533E-51.751238E-52.7512206E-51.57101451.0E-52.0945723E-42.1319349E-42.3318922E-41.09379152.0E-50.00209259920.00212999880.00217989231.02342415.0E-5
6.64.0146506E-64.0862483E-61.4086208E-53.44722271.0E-51.7205533E-51.751238E-52.7512206E-51.57101451.0E-52.0945723E-42.1319349E-42.3318922E-41.09379152.0E-50.00209259920.00212999880.00217989231.02342415.0E-5
6.74.0146506E-64.0862483E-61.4086208E-53.44722271.0E-51.7205533E-51.751238E-52.7512206E-51.57101451.0E-52.0945723E-42.1319349E-42.3318922E-41.09379152.0E-50.00209259920.00212999880.00217989231.02342415.0E-5
6.83.6584688E-63.7189413E-63.7189413E-61.00.01.5679057E-51.5938229E-51.5938229E-51.00.01.9087581E-41.9403159E-42.0402964E-41.0515281.0E-50.00190711940.00193871420.0019686561.01544423.0E-5
6.93.644631E-63.7046511E-63.7046511E-61.00.01.5619753E-51.5876985E-51.5876985E-51.00.01.901539E-41.9328608E-42.0328414E-41.05172681.0E-50.00189991270.00193127210.00196121421.01550383.0E-5
7.03.6318522E-63.6914114E-63.6914114E-61.00.01.5564989E-51.5820244E-51.5820244E-51.00.01.8948725E-41.9259538E-42.0259345E-41.05191231.0E-50.00189325760.0019243770.00195431941.01555943.0E-5
7.13.5001724E-63.5554797E-63.5554797E-61.00.01.5000653E-51.5237686E-51.5237686E-51.00.01.8261763E-41.8550396E-41.955021E-41.05389731.0E-50.00182467640.00185358180.00188352611.01615493.0E-5
7.22.5204702E-62.5437564E-62.5437564E-61.00.01.080197E-51.0901767E-51.0901767E-51.00.01.3150605E-41.3272099E-41.4271967E-41.0753361.0E-50.00131428250.00132642290.00133640971.0075291.0E-5
7.32.1399692E-62.1501864E-62.1501864E-61.00.09.1712645E-69.215053E-69.215053E-61.00.01.1165442E-41.12187525E-41.2218641E-41.08912651.0E-50.00111598340.00112131210.00113130091.00890821.0E-5
7.41.9660122E-61.970288E-61.970288E-61.00.08.42574E-68.444064E-68.444064E-61.00.01.0257855E-41.0280166E-41.1280063E-41.09726461.0E-50.00102531210.00102754430.0010375341.0097221.0E-5
7.51.7204633E-61.7151447E-61.7151447E-61.00.07.373393E-67.3505994E-67.3505994E-61.00.08.976737E-58.9489906E-59.948901E-51.11173441.0E-58.9731114E-48.945416E-49.045327E-41.0111691.0E-5
7.61.3717638E-61.3536211E-61.3536211E-61.00.05.878974E-65.80122E-65.80122E-61.00.07.157416E-57.06276E-58.062689E-51.14157771.0E-57.1551115E-47.060541E-47.1604707E-41.01415321.0E-5
7.78.272564E-77.957882E-77.957882E-71.00.03.5453797E-63.4105165E-63.4105165E-61.00.04.3164142E-54.1522246E-54.1522246E-51.00.04.315576E-44.1514507E-44.1514507E-41.00.0
7.83.9708277E-73.6720428E-73.6720428E-71.00.01.7017821E-61.5737317E-61.5737317E-61.00.02.0719E-51.9160016E-51.9160016E-51.00.02.071707E-41.915837E-41.915837E-41.00.0
7.99.292528E-87.889468E-87.889468E-81.00.03.9825116E-73.3812E-73.3812E-71.00.04.848697E-64.116603E-64.116603E-61.00.04.8485912E-54.116528E-54.116528E-51.00.0
8.07.880441E-118.235512E-118.235512E-111.00.03.3773329E-103.5295045E-103.5295045E-101.00.04.1119033E-94.2971724E-94.2971724E-91.00.04.1119034E-84.297172E-84.297172E-81.00.0

Independence rev 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.422171E-64.3263026E-61.432626E-53.31143261.0E-51.8952025E-51.854118E-52.8540997E-51.539331.0E-52.3071647E-42.2571848E-42.4571398E-41.0885862.0E-50.00230477080.0022551860.00230507321.02212115.0E-5
6.14.422171E-64.3263026E-61.432626E-53.31143261.0E-51.8952025E-51.854118E-52.8540997E-51.539331.0E-52.3071647E-42.2571848E-42.4571398E-41.0885862.0E-50.00230477080.0022551860.00230507321.02212115.0E-5
6.24.422171E-64.3263026E-61.432626E-53.31143261.0E-51.8952025E-51.854118E-52.8540997E-51.539331.0E-52.3071647E-42.2571848E-42.4571398E-41.0885862.0E-50.00230477080.0022551860.00230507321.02212115.0E-5
6.34.422171E-64.3263026E-61.432626E-53.31143261.0E-51.8952025E-51.854118E-52.8540997E-51.539331.0E-52.3071647E-42.2571848E-42.4571398E-41.0885862.0E-50.00230477080.0022551860.00230507321.02212115.0E-5
6.44.422171E-64.3263026E-61.432626E-53.31143261.0E-51.8952025E-51.854118E-52.8540997E-51.539331.0E-52.3071647E-42.2571848E-42.4571398E-41.0885862.0E-50.00230477080.0022551860.00230507321.02212115.0E-5
6.54.422171E-64.3263026E-61.432626E-53.31143261.0E-51.8952025E-51.854118E-52.8540997E-51.539331.0E-52.3071647E-42.2571848E-42.4571398E-41.0885862.0E-50.00230477080.0022551860.00230507321.02212115.0E-5
6.62.663744E-62.5320423E-61.2532017E-54.9493711.0E-51.1415996E-51.0851568E-52.085146E-51.92151581.0E-51.3898089E-41.3211032E-41.5210768E-41.15136862.0E-50.00138893990.0013203660.00136031331.03025464.0E-5
6.72.663744E-62.5320423E-61.2532017E-54.9493711.0E-51.1415996E-51.0851568E-52.085146E-51.92151581.0E-51.3898089E-41.3211032E-41.5210768E-41.15136862.0E-50.00138893990.0013203660.00136031331.03025464.0E-5
6.81.9716529E-61.8323069E-61.1832289E-56.4575911.0E-58.449913E-67.852721E-61.7852642E-52.2734341.0E-51.0287284E-49.560281E-51.156009E-41.20917892.0E-50.00102825239.5562974E-49.955915E-41.04181724.0E-5
6.91.8788617E-61.7430461E-61.1743029E-56.7370731.0E-58.0522395E-67.470177E-61.7470102E-52.33864641.0E-59.80316E-59.094573E-51.1094391E-41.21989132.0E-59.798837E-49.0909714E-49.490608E-41.04395974.0E-5
7.01.5045488E-61.3849901E-61.13849765E-58.2202581.0E-56.44805E-65.935659E-61.5935599E-52.6847231.0E-57.8502184E-57.22643E-59.226285E-51.27674192.0E-57.8474457E-47.224132E-47.6238427E-41.05532994.0E-5
7.11.272341E-61.1625449E-61.1162533E-59.6018091.0E-55.4528787E-64.982326E-61.4982276E-53.00708461.0E-56.6386776E-56.0658163E-58.065695E-51.32969652.0E-56.636695E-46.064193E-46.46395E-41.0659214.0E-5
7.21.0416892E-69.4101864E-71.0941009E-511.6267721.0E-54.464375E-64.032931E-61.403289E-53.4795761.0E-55.4352407E-54.9099846E-56.909887E-51.40731322.0E-55.4339116E-44.9089186E-45.308722E-41.08144444.0E-5
7.37.9450155E-77.2352304E-71.07235155E-514.821251.0E-53.4050022E-63.1008094E-61.3100778E-54.22495461.0E-54.1455114E-53.775171E-55.7750956E-51.52975732.0E-54.144738E-43.774541E-44.0744277E-41.07944993.0E-5
7.45.3893444E-75.019647E-71.050196E-520.9217111.0E-52.309717E-62.1512753E-61.2151254E-55.6483951.0E-52.8120441E-52.6191468E-54.6190944E-51.76358752.0E-52.8116882E-42.6188427E-42.918764E-41.11452443.0E-5
7.53.8852085E-73.682647E-73.682647E-71.00.01.6650882E-61.5782763E-61.5782763E-61.00.02.027226E-51.9215347E-52.9215154E-51.52040731.0E-52.0270412E-41.9213707E-42.1213322E-41.10407232.0E-5
7.62.414929E-72.345808E-72.345808E-71.00.01.0349692E-61.0053459E-61.0053459E-61.00.01.2600677E-51.2240019E-51.2240019E-51.00.01.2599962E-41.2239357E-41.3239235E-41.08169361.0E-5
7.76.8298014E-86.859071E-86.859071E-81.00.02.9270575E-72.9396014E-72.9396014E-71.00.03.5636867E-63.5789594E-63.5789594E-61.00.03.5636294E-53.5789068E-53.5789068E-51.00.0

Channel Islands Thrust

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.2156251E-52.4093148E-52.4093148E-51.00.09.495191E-51.0325286E-41.0325286E-41.00.00.00115542640.00125648510.001276461.01589742.0E-50.0114943730.0125044020.0125537771.00394865.0E-5
6.12.2156251E-52.4093148E-52.4093148E-51.00.09.495191E-51.0325286E-41.0325286E-41.00.00.00115542640.00125648510.001276461.01589742.0E-50.0114943730.0125044020.0125537771.00394865.0E-5
6.22.2156251E-52.4093148E-52.4093148E-51.00.09.495191E-51.0325286E-41.0325286E-41.00.00.00115542640.00125648510.001276461.01589742.0E-50.0114943730.0125044020.0125537771.00394865.0E-5
6.32.2156251E-52.4093148E-52.4093148E-51.00.09.495191E-51.0325286E-41.0325286E-41.00.00.00115542640.00125648510.001276461.01589742.0E-50.0114943730.0125044020.0125537771.00394865.0E-5
6.42.2156251E-52.4093148E-52.4093148E-51.00.09.495191E-51.0325286E-41.0325286E-41.00.00.00115542640.00125648510.001276461.01589742.0E-50.0114943730.0125044020.0125537771.00394865.0E-5
6.52.2156251E-52.4093148E-52.4093148E-51.00.09.495191E-51.0325286E-41.0325286E-41.00.00.00115542640.00125648510.001276461.01589742.0E-50.0114943730.0125044020.0125537771.00394865.0E-5
6.62.2156251E-52.4093148E-52.4093148E-51.00.09.495191E-51.0325286E-41.0325286E-41.00.00.00115542640.00125648510.001276461.01589742.0E-50.0114943730.0125044020.0125537771.00394865.0E-5
6.71.0601296E-51.1379992E-51.1379992E-51.00.04.5433335E-54.8770515E-54.8770515E-51.00.05.5301044E-45.9362414E-46.0361816E-41.01683571.0E-50.0055163630.00592088650.0059507091.00503683.0E-5
6.81.0246747E-51.09971015E-51.09971015E-51.00.04.391389E-54.712961E-54.712961E-51.00.05.345204E-45.7365675E-45.83651E-41.01742211.0E-50.00533236560.00572224940.0057520781.00521273.0E-5
6.99.049551E-69.70002E-69.70002E-61.00.03.878322E-54.1570875E-54.1570875E-51.00.04.7208337E-45.0601194E-45.160069E-41.01975241.0E-50.00471081720.00504901540.0050788641.00591173.0E-5
7.08.6542195E-69.2749615E-69.2749615E-61.00.03.7088983E-53.974925E-53.974925E-51.00.04.5146482E-44.8384376E-44.938389E-41.02065781.0E-50.0045054870.0048283150.00485817061.00618343.0E-5
7.18.391028E-68.993273E-68.993273E-61.00.03.5961057E-53.8542054E-53.8542054E-51.00.04.3773788E-44.6915252E-44.7914783E-41.02130511.0E-50.0043687660.0046820310.00471189061.00637753.0E-5
7.25.965188E-66.3719312E-66.3719312E-61.00.02.556484E-52.7307993E-52.7307993E-51.00.03.1120746E-43.3242465E-43.3242465E-41.00.00.003107720.0033193320.0033193321.00.0
7.34.877518E-65.206198E-65.206198E-61.00.02.0903482E-52.2312088E-52.2312088E-51.00.02.5447016E-42.7161627E-42.7161627E-41.00.00.00254178980.0027128890.0027128891.00.0
7.43.8829853E-64.142015E-64.142015E-61.00.01.664126E-51.7751374E-51.7751374E-51.00.02.0258849E-42.1610195E-42.1610195E-41.00.00.0020240390.00215895990.00215895991.00.0
7.51.3489616E-61.4278398E-61.4278398E-61.00.05.7812517E-66.119299E-66.119299E-61.00.07.038446E-57.449996E-57.449996E-51.00.07.036218E-47.447538E-47.447538E-41.00.0
7.66.058192E-76.3539926E-76.3539926E-71.00.02.5963652E-62.723137E-62.723137E-61.00.03.161029E-53.3153705E-53.3153705E-51.00.03.1605794E-43.314892E-43.314892E-41.00.0
7.72.2170494E-72.26086E-72.26086E-71.00.09.5016367E-79.689397E-79.689397E-71.00.01.1568181E-51.1796788E-51.1796788E-51.00.01.1567579E-41.1796273E-41.1796273E-41.00.0
7.82.1613102E-81.546703E-81.546703E-81.00.09.262757E-86.628727E-86.628727E-81.00.01.1277401E-68.070473E-78.070473E-71.00.01.1277344E-58.070451E-68.070451E-61.00.0

Pisgah-Bullion Mtn-Mesquite Lk

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0240792E-52.4092273E-52.4092273E-51.00.01.2959696E-41.0324908E-41.0324908E-41.00.00.00157670080.00125643330.00128639571.02384713.0E-50.0156556090.0125033220.0125526971.00394895.0E-5
6.13.0240792E-52.4092273E-52.4092273E-51.00.01.2959696E-41.0324908E-41.0324908E-41.00.00.00157670080.00125643330.00128639571.02384713.0E-50.0156556090.0125033220.0125526971.00394895.0E-5
6.23.0240792E-52.4092273E-52.4092273E-51.00.01.2959696E-41.0324908E-41.0324908E-41.00.00.00157670080.00125643330.00128639571.02384713.0E-50.0156556090.0125033220.0125526971.00394895.0E-5
6.32.0498217E-51.3638665E-51.3638665E-51.00.08.784654E-55.84502E-55.84502E-51.00.00.00106900697.114151E-47.413938E-41.04213953.0E-50.010638790.0070930030.00714264861.00699935.0E-5
6.42.0498217E-51.3638665E-51.3638665E-51.00.08.784654E-55.84502E-55.84502E-51.00.00.00106900697.114151E-47.413938E-41.04213953.0E-50.010638790.0070930030.00714264861.00699935.0E-5
6.51.7316182E-51.0477401E-51.0477401E-51.00.07.42101E-54.4902426E-54.4902426E-51.00.09.0313336E-45.465599E-45.66549E-41.03657252.0E-50.0089947180.00545315260.00549293451.00729534.0E-5
6.61.5251077E-58.414451E-68.414451E-61.00.06.536012E-53.6061476E-53.6061476E-51.00.07.9546886E-44.3896728E-44.589585E-41.04554152.0E-50.0079262740.0043817190.00441158751.00681663.0E-5
6.71.2997425E-56.411434E-66.411434E-61.00.05.570206E-52.747731E-52.747731E-51.00.06.7796157E-43.3448957E-43.5448285E-41.05977262.0E-50.00675896930.00334032110.00337022081.00895123.0E-5
6.81.035386E-54.3333516E-64.3333516E-61.00.04.437293E-51.857138E-51.857138E-51.00.05.401065E-42.2608395E-42.360817E-41.04422141.0E-50.00538795670.00225862630.00227858131.0088352.0E-5
6.98.816252E-63.5807668E-63.5807668E-61.00.03.778339E-51.5346057E-51.5346057E-51.00.04.5991567E-41.8682281E-41.9682094E-41.05351661.0E-50.004589650.0018667160.00188667861.0106942.0E-5
7.06.8232207E-62.5675947E-62.5675947E-61.00.02.9242048E-51.1003933E-51.1003933E-51.00.03.5596377E-41.3396496E-41.4396363E-41.07463631.0E-50.00355394110.00133887310.00135884631.0149182.0E-5
7.15.837013E-62.2274467E-62.2274467E-61.00.02.501553E-59.546166E-69.546166E-61.00.03.045215E-41.16218675E-41.16218675E-41.00.00.00304104550.0011616080.0011616081.00.0
7.24.278052E-61.6275889E-61.6275889E-61.00.01.833438E-56.9753632E-66.9753632E-61.00.02.231982E-48.492197E-58.492197E-51.00.00.00222974188.4891845E-48.4891845E-41.00.0
7.31.8803692E-68.345203E-78.345203E-71.00.08.0587E-63.5765115E-63.5765115E-61.00.09.811026E-54.3543307E-54.3543307E-51.00.09.806695E-44.353622E-44.353622E-41.00.0

Pitas Point (Lower West)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.151497E-67.856073E-61.7855995E-52.27289061.0E-53.493452E-53.3668453E-54.366812E-51.2970041.0E-54.252448E-44.0983706E-44.2982885E-41.04877982.0E-50.00424431960.0040908930.00414068861.01217225.0E-5
6.18.151497E-67.856073E-61.7855995E-52.27289061.0E-53.493452E-53.3668453E-54.366812E-51.2970041.0E-54.252448E-44.0983706E-44.2982885E-41.04877982.0E-50.00424431960.0040908930.00414068861.01217225.0E-5
6.28.151497E-67.856073E-61.7855995E-52.27289061.0E-53.493452E-53.3668453E-54.366812E-51.2970041.0E-54.252448E-44.0983706E-44.2982885E-41.04877982.0E-50.00424431960.0040908930.00414068861.01217225.0E-5
6.38.151497E-67.856073E-61.7855995E-52.27289061.0E-53.493452E-53.3668453E-54.366812E-51.2970041.0E-54.252448E-44.0983706E-44.2982885E-41.04877982.0E-50.00424431960.0040908930.00414068861.01217225.0E-5
6.48.151497E-67.856073E-61.7855995E-52.27289061.0E-53.493452E-53.3668453E-54.366812E-51.2970041.0E-54.252448E-44.0983706E-44.2982885E-41.04877982.0E-50.00424431960.0040908930.00414068861.01217225.0E-5
6.58.151497E-67.856073E-61.7855995E-52.27289061.0E-53.493452E-53.3668453E-54.366812E-51.2970041.0E-54.252448E-44.0983706E-44.2982885E-41.04877982.0E-50.00424431960.0040908930.00414068861.01217225.0E-5
6.68.151497E-67.856073E-61.7855995E-52.27289061.0E-53.493452E-53.3668453E-54.366812E-51.2970041.0E-54.252448E-44.0983706E-44.2982885E-41.04877982.0E-50.00424431960.0040908930.00414068861.01217225.0E-5
6.78.151497E-67.856073E-61.7855995E-52.27289061.0E-53.493452E-53.3668453E-54.366812E-51.2970041.0E-54.252448E-44.0983706E-44.2982885E-41.04877982.0E-50.00424431960.0040908930.00414068861.01217225.0E-5
6.88.151497E-67.856073E-61.7855995E-52.27289061.0E-53.493452E-53.3668453E-54.366812E-51.2970041.0E-54.252448E-44.0983706E-44.2982885E-41.04877982.0E-50.00424431960.0040908930.00414068861.01217225.0E-5
6.98.151497E-67.856073E-61.7855995E-52.27289061.0E-53.493452E-53.3668453E-54.366812E-51.2970041.0E-54.252448E-44.0983706E-44.2982885E-41.04877982.0E-50.00424431960.0040908930.00414068861.01217225.0E-5
7.08.103535E-67.805501E-61.7805423E-52.28113771.0E-53.4728975E-53.3451724E-54.345139E-51.29892831.0E-54.2274324E-44.0719935E-44.271912E-41.0490962.0E-50.00421939930.00406461260.00411440941.01225135.0E-5
7.17.853298E-67.5411845E-61.754111E-52.32604171.0E-53.3656554E-53.2318967E-54.2318643E-51.30940581.0E-54.096915E-43.9341307E-44.1340519E-41.05081712.0E-50.004089370.0039272420.0039770461.01268165.0E-5
7.27.771102E-67.4534632E-61.7453389E-52.3416481.0E-53.33043E-53.1943026E-54.194271E-51.31304741.0E-54.0540437E-43.8883765E-44.0882986E-41.05141532.0E-50.00404665570.00388164860.00393145441.01283115.0E-5
7.37.3945344E-67.049552E-61.7049482E-52.41851971.0E-53.1690477E-53.021202E-54.021172E-51.33098411.0E-53.8576324E-43.6776988E-43.8776253E-41.05436182.0E-50.00385094270.00367168030.00371153351.01085424.0E-5
7.46.964645E-66.5903846E-61.6590318E-52.5173521.0E-52.9848137E-52.8244203E-53.824392E-51.35404491.0E-53.6334046E-43.438194E-43.6381252E-41.058152.0E-50.00362746980.0034329280.00347279061.01161184.0E-5
7.56.6525035E-66.2594127E-61.625935E-52.5975841.0E-52.851042E-52.682578E-53.6825513E-51.37276581.0E-53.4705905E-43.2655543E-43.4654888E-41.06122532.0E-50.00346517540.00326080710.00329070931.00917023.0E-5
7.65.613338E-65.1516E-65.1516E-61.00.02.405694E-52.20781E-52.20781E-51.00.02.928539E-42.68768E-42.787653E-41.03719681.0E-50.00292468260.00268446120.00270440761.00743032.0E-5
7.74.494704E-63.9970882E-63.9970882E-61.00.01.9262876E-51.7130267E-51.7130267E-51.00.02.3450027E-42.0854129E-42.0854129E-41.00.00.00234252960.002083480.0020934591.00478971.0E-5
7.82.6075882E-62.1837427E-62.1837427E-61.00.01.117533E-59.358864E-69.358864E-61.00.01.3605114E-41.1393826E-41.1393826E-41.00.00.00135967880.00113880320.00113880321.00.0
7.94.045984E-73.2425163E-73.2425163E-71.00.01.733992E-61.389649E-61.389649E-61.00.02.1111147E-51.691885E-51.691885E-51.00.02.1109142E-41.6917592E-41.6917592E-41.00.0
8.07.791402E-95.6839005E-95.6839005E-91.00.03.3391725E-82.4359574E-82.4359574E-81.00.04.0654416E-72.9657778E-72.9657778E-71.00.04.065434E-62.965776E-62.965776E-61.00.0

Chino alt 1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.939946E-54.8956157E-54.8956157E-51.00.01.6884391E-42.0979813E-42.2979394E-41.09530972.0E-50.00205373620.0025518090.00258173231.01172643.0E-50.0203485950.0252795850.0253283211.00192795.0E-5
6.12.1505624E-52.6884254E-52.6884254E-51.00.09.2163704E-51.1521374E-41.1521374E-41.00.00.00112151540.00140193440.00141192031.0071231.0E-50.0111587220.013945430.013955291.0007071.0E-5
6.22.1505624E-52.6884254E-52.6884254E-51.00.09.2163704E-51.1521374E-41.1521374E-41.00.00.00112151540.00140193440.00141192031.0071231.0E-50.0111587220.013945430.013955291.0007071.0E-5
6.31.4290785E-51.81693E-51.81693E-51.00.06.1244784E-57.786636E-57.786636E-51.00.07.454001E-49.476558E-49.476558E-41.00.00.0074290480.0094442390.0094442391.00.0
6.41.4290785E-51.81693E-51.81693E-51.00.06.1244784E-57.786636E-57.786636E-51.00.07.454001E-49.476558E-49.476558E-41.00.00.0074290480.0094442390.0094442391.00.0
6.51.3017944E-51.6656108E-51.6656108E-51.00.05.5789995E-57.138161E-57.138161E-51.00.06.790315E-48.687684E-48.687684E-41.00.00.00676960360.0086616520.0086616521.00.0
6.69.470016E-61.204242E-51.204242E-51.00.04.058515E-55.1609542E-55.1609542E-51.00.04.940122E-46.2819896E-46.2819896E-41.00.00.0049291540.006271570.006271571.00.0
6.78.314155E-61.04104065E-51.04104065E-51.00.03.5631605E-54.4615444E-54.4615444E-51.00.04.3372845E-45.4308993E-45.4308993E-41.00.00.0043288290.0054251050.0054251051.00.0
6.83.4856364E-63.8139972E-63.8139972E-61.00.01.4938357E-51.6345612E-51.6345612E-51.00.01.8185932E-41.9899172E-41.9899172E-41.00.00.00181710560.0019898160.0019898161.00.0
6.92.2645952E-62.1532255E-62.1532255E-61.00.09.705372E-69.228078E-69.228078E-61.00.01.18156495E-41.1234627E-41.1234627E-41.00.00.00118093690.00112351730.00112351731.00.0
7.01.7864003E-61.5433253E-61.5433253E-61.00.07.655979E-66.614235E-66.614235E-61.00.09.3207556E-58.0525395E-58.0525395E-51.00.09.316847E-48.0545404E-48.0545404E-41.00.0
7.11.7315456E-61.4735895E-61.4735895E-61.00.07.420889E-66.3153684E-66.3153684E-61.00.09.034557E-57.688695E-57.688695E-51.00.09.0308854E-47.6908193E-47.6908193E-41.00.0
7.21.6008337E-61.3576248E-61.3576248E-61.00.06.860698E-65.818379E-65.818379E-61.00.08.352579E-57.083652E-57.083652E-51.00.08.34944E-47.086046E-47.086046E-41.00.0
7.31.3320939E-61.1219453E-61.1219453E-61.00.05.7089615E-64.8083284E-64.8083284E-61.00.06.9504385E-55.8539874E-55.8539874E-51.00.06.9482654E-45.854161E-45.854161E-41.00.0
7.41.114294E-69.2384E-79.2384E-71.00.04.775537E-63.9593083E-63.9593083E-61.00.05.8140613E-54.820355E-54.820355E-51.00.05.81254E-44.8194567E-44.8194567E-41.00.0
7.59.354081E-77.6244334E-77.6244334E-71.00.04.0088858E-63.2676103E-63.2676103E-61.00.04.8807087E-53.9782462E-53.9782462E-51.00.04.879637E-43.977568E-43.977568E-41.00.0
7.68.521771E-76.881599E-76.881599E-71.00.03.6521824E-62.9492537E-62.9492537E-61.00.04.4464414E-53.5906603E-53.5906603E-51.00.04.4455516E-43.590112E-43.590112E-41.00.0
7.72.1803626E-71.4188254E-71.4188254E-71.00.09.344408E-76.08068E-76.08068E-71.00.01.1376757E-57.403212E-67.403212E-61.00.01.13761744E-47.403061E-57.403061E-51.00.0

San Jacinto (San Bernardino)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.409352E-53.604894E-54.604858E-51.27739071.0E-51.461069E-41.5448632E-41.6448477E-41.06472061.0E-50.00177740.00187924980.0018892311.00531131.0E-50.017632510.0193815140.0194305441.00252975.0E-5
6.13.409352E-53.604894E-54.604858E-51.27739071.0E-51.461069E-41.5448632E-41.6448477E-41.06472061.0E-50.00177740.00187924980.0018892311.00531131.0E-50.017632510.0193815140.0194305441.00252975.0E-5
6.23.409352E-53.604894E-54.604858E-51.27739071.0E-51.461069E-41.5448632E-41.6448477E-41.06472061.0E-50.00177740.00187924980.0018892311.00531131.0E-50.017632510.0193815140.0194305441.00252975.0E-5
6.33.409352E-53.604894E-54.604858E-51.27739071.0E-51.461069E-41.5448632E-41.6448477E-41.06472061.0E-50.00177740.00187924980.0018892311.00531131.0E-50.017632510.0193815140.0194305441.00252975.0E-5
6.43.400795E-53.594159E-54.594123E-51.27821921.0E-51.4574021E-41.540263E-41.6402476E-41.0649141.0E-50.00177294280.00187365890.00188364021.00532711.0E-50.0175886450.019326590.0193756221.00253715.0E-5
6.53.341482E-53.5202123E-54.520177E-51.28406381.0E-51.4319851E-41.5085752E-41.6085601E-41.06627771.0E-50.00174204770.00183514450.00184512621.00543921.0E-50.0172845460.0189480950.0189971461.00258875.0E-5
6.63.3364955E-53.5139332E-54.5138982E-51.28457141.0E-51.4298483E-41.5058846E-41.6058695E-41.06639611.0E-50.00173945010.0018318740.00184185571.00544891.0E-50.0172589760.0189159550.018965011.00259335.0E-5
6.73.335922E-53.5129106E-54.5128752E-51.28465431.0E-51.4296026E-41.5054463E-41.6054312E-41.06641541.0E-50.00173915140.00183134140.00184132311.00545051.0E-50.0172560350.0189107470.0189598021.0025945.0E-5
6.83.327683E-53.5023157E-54.5022804E-51.28551541.0E-51.4260718E-41.5009061E-41.6008911E-41.06661641.0E-50.00173485970.0018258230.00183580481.00546691.0E-50.0172137840.0188565140.018905571.00260165.0E-5
6.93.3235785E-53.49641E-54.496375E-51.28599761.0E-51.4243131E-41.4983755E-41.5983604E-41.0667291.0E-50.00173272170.0018227470.00183272891.00547621.0E-50.0171927340.018826380.0188754391.00260585.0E-5
7.03.3197095E-53.4904017E-54.4903667E-51.286491.0E-51.422655E-41.4958008E-41.5957859E-41.06684391.0E-50.00173070630.00181961770.00182959951.00548571.0E-50.0171728940.0187957530.0188448131.00261025.0E-5
7.13.3129716E-53.4784203E-54.4783854E-51.28747681.0E-51.4197677E-41.4906665E-41.5906515E-41.06707411.0E-50.00172719660.0018133770.00182335891.00550461.0E-50.0171383380.018734820.0187838841.00261885.0E-5
7.23.3034008E-53.4651628E-54.4651282E-51.28857671.0E-51.4156665E-41.4849853E-41.5849705E-41.06733071.0E-50.00172221110.00180647180.00181645381.00552571.0E-50.0170892530.0186671990.0187162661.00262845.0E-5
7.33.2956614E-53.4519344E-54.4518998E-51.28968261.0E-51.4123498E-41.4793167E-41.5793019E-41.06758881.0E-50.00171817960.00179958170.00180956361.00554681.0E-50.0170495570.0185999350.0186490041.00263825.0E-5
7.43.2915937E-53.4441007E-54.4440665E-51.29034151.0E-51.4106068E-41.4759599E-41.575945E-41.06774251.0E-50.00171606080.00179550140.00180548351.00555941.0E-50.0170286930.018560180.0186092521.0026445.0E-5
7.53.281791E-53.4305875E-54.4305532E-51.29148531.0E-51.406406E-41.4701691E-41.5701544E-41.06800941.0E-50.00171095420.00178846270.00179844491.00558141.0E-50.0169784110.0184910470.0185401221.0026545.0E-5
7.63.2521442E-53.403071E-54.403037E-51.29384221.0E-51.3937015E-41.4583775E-41.558363E-41.06855941.0E-50.00169551090.001774130.00178411231.00562661.0E-50.0168263280.0183486080.018397691.0026755.0E-5
7.73.0287873E-53.2514057E-54.251373E-51.30754921.0E-51.297987E-41.3933852E-41.4933712E-41.07175771.0E-50.00157915370.00169512760.00170511071.00588931.0E-50.015679790.0175592860.0176084081.00279755.0E-5
7.82.6316151E-52.9722758E-53.972246E-51.33643261.0E-51.1277862E-41.2737703E-41.3737577E-41.0784971.0E-50.00137221490.00154971320.00155969771.00644281.0E-50.0136377240.0160996730.0161488671.00305575.0E-5
7.92.0761147E-52.346946E-53.3469227E-51.42607571.0E-58.897331E-51.0057953E-41.1057852E-41.09941381.0E-50.00108271170.00122386870.00123385641.00816081.0E-50.0107745170.0128197430.012859231.00308014.0E-5
8.01.5738568E-51.6071699E-52.6071539E-51.62220181.0E-56.744926E-56.887689E-57.8876204E-51.14517651.0E-58.2088535E-48.3825423E-48.4824587E-41.01191951.0E-50.0081785960.0088860660.0089257111.00446144.0E-5
8.11.0105832E-58.352162E-68.352162E-61.00.04.3309992E-53.5794492E-53.5794492E-51.00.05.2717153E-44.357113E-44.357113E-41.00.00.0052592270.0046889830.0046989361.00212261.0E-5
8.24.189207E-61.5843941E-61.5843941E-61.00.01.7953622E-56.790243E-66.790243E-61.00.02.1856341E-48.26681E-58.26681E-51.00.00.00218348589.600267E-49.600267E-41.00.0
8.31.2758221E-63.6306494E-73.6306494E-71.00.05.4677976E-61.5559917E-61.5559917E-61.00.06.65684E-51.8944038E-51.8944038E-51.00.06.6548464E-42.2845245E-42.2845245E-41.00.0

San Andreas (North Branch Mill Creek)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.3461156E-52.3528417E-52.3528417E-51.00.05.7689394E-51.0083219E-41.0083219E-41.00.07.02142E-40.00122694390.00125690711.0244213.0E-50.00699927660.0122441280.0122935161.00403365.0E-5
6.11.3461156E-52.3528417E-52.3528417E-51.00.05.7689394E-51.0083219E-41.0083219E-41.00.07.02142E-40.00122694390.00125690711.0244213.0E-50.00699927660.0122441280.0122935161.00403365.0E-5
6.21.3461156E-52.3528417E-52.3528417E-51.00.05.7689394E-51.0083219E-41.0083219E-41.00.07.02142E-40.00122694390.00125690711.0244213.0E-50.00699927660.0122441280.0122935161.00403365.0E-5
6.31.3461156E-52.3528417E-52.3528417E-51.00.05.7689394E-51.0083219E-41.0083219E-41.00.07.02142E-40.00122694390.00125690711.0244213.0E-50.00699927660.0122441280.0122935161.00403365.0E-5
6.41.3461156E-52.3528417E-52.3528417E-51.00.05.7689394E-51.0083219E-41.0083219E-41.00.07.02142E-40.00122694390.00125690711.0244213.0E-50.00699927660.0122441280.0122935161.00403365.0E-5
6.51.3450706E-52.3517377E-52.3517377E-51.00.05.764461E-51.00784884E-41.00784884E-41.00.07.0159714E-40.00122636860.00125633181.02443243.0E-50.0069938620.0122384370.0122878251.00403555.0E-5
6.61.3074523E-52.313165E-52.313165E-51.00.05.6032466E-59.9131896E-59.9131896E-51.00.06.8198174E-40.00120626590.00123622971.02484013.0E-50.0067989260.0120396010.0120889991.0041035.0E-5
6.71.3050216E-52.3106948E-52.3106948E-51.00.05.59283E-59.902603E-59.902603E-51.00.06.8071426E-40.00120497830.00123494221.02486673.0E-50.00678632870.0120268660.0120762641.00410745.0E-5
6.81.29049395E-52.295535E-52.295535E-51.00.05.530571E-59.837638E-59.837638E-51.00.06.73139E-40.00119707760.00122704171.02503113.0E-50.00671103640.0119487080.0119981111.00413455.0E-5
6.91.2867369E-52.2914748E-52.2914748E-51.00.05.51447E-59.8202385E-59.8202385E-51.00.06.711799E-40.00119496150.00122492561.02507543.0E-50.0066915640.0119277760.011977181.00414195.0E-5
7.01.2495996E-52.2314638E-52.2314638E-51.00.05.3553173E-59.5630676E-59.5630676E-51.00.06.518148E-40.00116368440.00119364951.02575023.0E-50.00649906230.0116182860.0116677061.00425355.0E-5
7.11.2452067E-52.2259701E-52.2259701E-51.00.05.3364907E-59.539525E-59.539525E-51.00.06.4952404E-40.00116082120.00119078641.02581383.0E-50.00647628870.0115899540.0116393741.00426415.0E-5
7.21.2002777E-52.1638136E-52.1638136E-51.00.05.143946E-59.2731585E-59.2731585E-51.00.06.2609545E-40.0011284250.00115839111.02655583.0E-50.0062433440.0112693320.0113187681.00438685.0E-5
7.31.1923425E-52.150792E-52.150792E-51.00.05.109939E-59.2173555E-59.2173555E-51.00.06.219575E-40.0011216380.00115160431.02671663.0E-50.00620219620.0112021840.0112516241.00441345.0E-5
7.41.16105175E-52.0881596E-52.0881596E-51.00.04.975841E-58.94895E-58.94895E-51.00.06.0564023E-40.00108899260.001118961.02751843.0E-50.0060399230.0108798890.0109293451.00454575.0E-5
7.51.1037265E-51.9580697E-51.9580697E-51.00.04.7301706E-58.391459E-58.391459E-51.00.05.757461E-40.00102118340.00105115271.02934773.0E-50.0057425670.0102089250.0102584151.00484765.0E-5
7.61.0720915E-51.9022264E-51.9022264E-51.00.04.5945973E-58.152145E-58.152145E-51.00.05.592486E-49.920739E-40.00102204421.03020973.0E-50.0055784330.0099204760.00996997951.00499015.0E-5
7.79.276279E-61.6466776E-51.6466776E-51.00.03.9754876E-57.057E-57.057E-51.00.04.839081E-48.588527E-48.8882697E-41.03490033.0E-50.00482855740.0085992660.0086488371.00576455.0E-5
7.85.8346777E-61.1175348E-51.1175348E-51.00.02.5005522E-54.7893467E-54.7893467E-51.00.03.043997E-45.829471E-46.129296E-41.05143263.0E-50.00303983080.00585765250.00590735951.00848585.0E-5
7.94.690204E-68.525966E-68.525966E-61.00.02.0100719E-53.6539343E-53.6539343E-51.00.02.4469878E-44.4477577E-44.7476243E-41.06741983.0E-50.0024442950.00447960760.00452938351.01111175.0E-5
8.02.9570454E-64.857161E-64.857161E-61.00.01.267299E-52.0816238E-52.0816238E-51.00.01.5428272E-42.5340827E-42.734032E-41.0789042.0E-50.00154175660.0025551380.00258506111.0117113.0E-5
8.11.6376824E-62.2021675E-62.2021675E-61.00.07.01862E-69.4378265E-69.4378265E-61.00.08.544835E-51.1489949E-41.1489949E-41.00.08.54155E-40.00116350370.00116350371.00.0
8.26.9631557E-74.5515284E-74.5515284E-71.00.02.984206E-61.9506535E-61.9506535E-61.00.03.63321E-52.374895E-52.374895E-51.00.03.6326164E-42.4599142E-42.4599142E-41.00.0
8.31.7876137E-78.39093E-88.39093E-81.00.07.661199E-73.5961122E-73.5961122E-71.00.09.32747E-64.3782584E-64.3782584E-61.00.09.3270784E-54.598492E-54.598492E-51.00.0

Hosgri (Extension)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1369135E-51.2083579E-51.2083579E-51.00.04.8723956E-55.178587E-56.178535E-51.19309281.0E-55.9305265E-46.303333E-46.40327E-41.01585461.0E-50.0059147250.00628770330.00632745171.00632174.0E-5
6.16.934979E-67.324878E-67.324878E-61.00.02.9721E-53.139198E-54.1391664E-51.31854271.0E-53.617931E-43.8213446E-43.9213066E-41.02615881.0E-50.00361204640.00381518640.0038450721.00783343.0E-5
6.26.934979E-67.324878E-67.324878E-61.00.02.9721E-53.139198E-54.1391664E-51.31854271.0E-53.617931E-43.8213446E-43.9213066E-41.02615881.0E-50.00361204640.00381518640.0038450721.00783343.0E-5
6.34.5484676E-64.769557E-64.769557E-61.00.01.9493287E-52.0440802E-53.0440598E-51.48920761.0E-52.3730492E-42.4883877E-42.5883628E-41.04017661.0E-50.00237051680.00248564380.00250559421.00802622.0E-5
6.44.218095E-64.417076E-64.417076E-61.00.01.8077424E-51.893019E-52.8930002E-51.52824661.0E-52.2007042E-42.3045103E-42.4044872E-41.04338311.0E-50.0021985260.0023021540.0023221081.00866752.0E-5
6.53.717374E-63.884074E-63.884074E-61.00.01.5931506E-51.6645927E-52.664576E-51.60073761.0E-51.9394881E-42.0264549E-42.1264346E-41.04933731.0E-50.00193779620.0020246260.00203460551.00492921.0E-5
6.63.4605036E-63.6084919E-63.6084919E-61.00.01.4830645E-51.5464873E-52.5464718E-51.64661671.0E-51.8054814E-41.882687E-41.9826683E-41.05310561.0E-50.00180401520.00188110690.00189108811.0053061.0E-5
6.73.123439E-63.2467403E-63.2467403E-61.00.01.33860985E-51.3914528E-52.3914388E-51.71866331.0E-51.6296357E-41.6939631E-41.7939461E-41.05902311.0E-50.0016284410.00169268290.00170266591.00589781.0E-5
6.82.8290783E-62.9306998E-62.9306998E-61.00.01.2124565E-51.2560082E-52.2559956E-51.79616321.0E-51.4760658E-41.5290834E-41.6290681E-41.06538871.0E-50.00147508570.001528040.00153802471.00653431.0E-5
6.92.454112E-62.5284635E-62.5284635E-61.00.01.0517581E-51.08362265E-52.0836118E-51.92282041.0E-51.2804402E-41.3192314E-41.4192182E-41.07579171.0E-50.00127970280.00131845430.00132844111.00757471.0E-5
7.02.1008145E-62.1499998E-62.1499998E-61.00.09.003459E-69.214253E-69.214253E-61.00.01.096116E-41.1217779E-41.1217779E-41.00.00.00109557550.00112121540.00112121541.00.0
7.11.744384E-61.7687507E-61.7687507E-61.00.07.47591E-67.580338E-67.580338E-61.00.09.1015405E-59.2286726E-59.2286726E-51.00.09.097813E-49.224857E-49.224857E-41.00.0
7.21.5456587E-61.556396E-61.556396E-61.00.06.6242346E-66.6702514E-66.6702514E-61.00.08.064707E-58.12073E-58.12073E-51.00.08.0617814E-48.117775E-48.117775E-41.00.0
7.31.3775123E-61.3767094E-61.3767094E-61.00.05.9036106E-65.90017E-65.90017E-61.00.07.187409E-57.183221E-57.183221E-51.00.07.185085E-47.180909E-47.180909E-41.00.0
7.41.214491E-61.2024409E-61.2024409E-61.00.05.2049513E-65.153308E-65.153308E-61.00.06.336844E-56.2739724E-56.2739724E-51.00.06.335037E-46.2722096E-46.2722096E-41.00.0
7.51.0101123E-69.843116E-79.843116E-71.00.04.3290456E-64.2184715E-64.2184715E-61.00.05.2704854E-55.1358686E-55.1358686E-51.00.05.2692357E-45.1346875E-45.1346875E-41.00.0
7.68.1558215E-77.7667625E-77.7667625E-71.00.03.4953473E-63.3286083E-63.3286083E-61.00.04.255502E-54.0525058E-54.0525058E-51.00.04.2546875E-44.051771E-44.051771E-41.00.0
7.74.757816E-74.1315505E-74.1315505E-71.00.02.0390623E-61.7706633E-61.7706633E-61.00.02.4825302E-52.1557613E-52.1557613E-51.00.02.482253E-42.1555535E-42.1555535E-41.00.0
7.82.782787E-72.0053476E-72.0053476E-71.00.01.1926223E-68.5943435E-78.5943435E-71.00.01.452008E-51.0463564E-51.0463564E-51.00.01.4519131E-41.04630744E-41.04630744E-41.00.0
7.91.6948086E-79.2492506E-89.2492506E-81.00.07.2634634E-73.963964E-73.963964E-71.00.08.843231E-64.8261154E-64.8261154E-61.00.08.842879E-54.826011E-54.826011E-51.00.0
8.01.0225492E-74.4773795E-84.4773795E-81.00.04.382353E-71.9188768E-71.9188768E-71.00.05.335502E-62.33623E-62.33623E-61.00.05.335374E-52.3362058E-52.3362058E-51.00.0
8.11.43711345E-85.792936E-95.792936E-91.00.06.1590576E-82.4826868E-82.4826868E-81.00.07.4986497E-73.0226707E-73.0226707E-71.00.07.4986247E-63.0226672E-63.0226672E-61.00.0

San Jacinto (Stepovers Combined)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.0667746E-53.5335263E-54.533491E-51.28299341.0E-51.742787E-41.5142806E-41.6142655E-41.0660281.0E-50.00211977820.00184207880.00185206041.00541871.0E-50.0209967140.0190191770.0190584161.00206324.0E-5
6.14.0667746E-53.5335263E-54.533491E-51.28299341.0E-51.742787E-41.5142806E-41.6142655E-41.0660281.0E-50.00211977820.00184207880.00185206041.00541871.0E-50.0209967140.0190191770.0190584161.00206324.0E-5
6.24.0667746E-53.5335263E-54.533491E-51.28299341.0E-51.742787E-41.5142806E-41.6142655E-41.0660281.0E-50.00211977820.00184207880.00185206041.00541871.0E-50.0209967140.0190191770.0190584161.00206324.0E-5
6.34.0667746E-53.5335263E-54.533491E-51.28299341.0E-51.742787E-41.5142806E-41.6142655E-41.0660281.0E-50.00211977820.00184207880.00185206041.00541871.0E-50.0209967140.0190191770.0190584161.00206324.0E-5
6.44.0577226E-53.5207147E-54.5206798E-51.28402321.0E-51.738908E-41.5087906E-41.6087756E-41.06626821.0E-50.00211506480.00183540720.00184538891.00543831.0E-50.0209504720.0189537350.0189929751.00207044.0E-5
6.54.0577226E-53.5207147E-54.5206798E-51.28402321.0E-51.738908E-41.5087906E-41.6087756E-41.06626821.0E-50.00211506480.00183540720.00184538891.00543831.0E-50.0209504720.0189537350.0189929751.00207044.0E-5
6.64.053861E-53.515248E-54.5152126E-51.2844651.0E-51.7372532E-41.506448E-41.6064329E-41.06637131.0E-50.00211305380.00183256040.00184254211.00544681.0E-50.0209307430.0189258070.018965051.00207354.0E-5
6.74.0516545E-53.5121546E-54.5121196E-51.28471551.0E-51.7363077E-41.5051225E-41.6051074E-41.06642971.0E-50.0021119050.00183094960.00184093121.00545171.0E-50.0209194680.0189100020.0189492441.00207534.0E-5
6.84.049434E-53.5093104E-54.509275E-51.28494631.0E-51.7353562E-41.5039036E-41.6038885E-41.06648361.0E-50.00211074880.00182946810.00183944971.00545611.0E-50.0209081250.0188954120.0189346561.00207694.0E-5
6.94.046386E-53.5055655E-54.5055305E-51.28525071.0E-51.73405E-41.5022988E-41.6022839E-41.06655471.0E-50.00210916160.00182751760.00183749931.00546191.0E-50.0208925530.0188761820.0189154261.00207914.0E-5
7.04.036382E-53.4936198E-54.493585E-51.2862261.0E-51.7297632E-41.4971798E-41.5971648E-41.06678221.0E-50.00210395250.00182129570.00183127751.00548061.0E-50.020841440.0188147820.018854031.0020864.0E-5
7.14.0343282E-53.4914654E-54.4914304E-51.28640271.0E-51.7288832E-41.4962567E-41.5962418E-41.06682351.0E-50.0021028830.00182017370.00183015551.0054841.0E-50.0208309480.0188036520.01884291.00208724.0E-5
7.24.0257353E-53.4819048E-54.4818702E-51.28718911.0E-51.725201E-41.4921598E-41.5921448E-41.0670071.0E-50.00209840850.0018151940.00182517581.0054991.0E-50.0207870420.0187543390.0187935891.00209284.0E-5
7.33.9940667E-53.4646426E-54.4646076E-51.28862011.0E-51.7116306E-41.4847625E-41.5847477E-41.06734091.0E-50.00208191850.00180620270.00181618461.00552641.0E-50.0206252170.0186628270.018702081.00210334.0E-5
7.43.9721202E-53.4531695E-54.453135E-51.2895791.0E-51.7022261E-41.479846E-41.5798312E-41.06756461.0E-50.00207049030.00180022690.00181020881.00554491.0E-50.0205130520.0186018850.018641141.00211044.0E-5
7.53.7036873E-53.3597462E-54.3597127E-51.29763151.0E-51.5871979E-41.4398119E-41.5397975E-41.06944351.0E-50.00193070060.00175156460.0017615471.00569921.0E-50.0191401240.0181025360.0181418121.00216964.0E-5
7.63.2940967E-53.1371335E-54.1371022E-51.31875231.0E-51.4116794E-41.3444165E-41.4444032E-41.07437171.0E-50.00171736450.00163560060.00164558411.0061041.0E-50.017041530.0169317160.016971041.00232244.0E-5
7.72.8236149E-52.7935872E-53.793559E-51.35795271.0E-51.2100645E-41.19719676E-41.2971848E-41.08351851.0E-50.00147225790.00145661350.0014665991.00685521.0E-50.0146254210.0151418610.0151812551.00260174.0E-5
7.82.4329287E-52.5257565E-53.525731E-51.3959111.0E-51.042642E-41.08242224E-41.18241136E-41.09237541.0E-50.00126867740.00131705320.001327041.00758271.0E-50.0126145890.0137380720.0137775211.00287164.0E-5
7.91.9370926E-52.0466443E-53.0466237E-51.48859471.0E-58.301561E-58.771038E-59.7709504E-51.11400161.0E-50.00101024650.00106735140.00107734081.0093591.0E-50.01005666050.0112230380.0112625891.00352414.0E-5
8.01.5583017E-51.5924119E-52.592396E-51.62796821.0E-56.6782646E-56.8244444E-57.824376E-51.1465221.0E-58.127754E-48.3056005E-48.4055174E-41.01203011.0E-50.0080980910.0088017060.0088413541.00450464.0E-5
8.11.0024873E-58.313899E-68.313899E-61.00.04.2963035E-53.5630514E-53.5630514E-51.00.05.229494E-44.3371567E-44.3371567E-41.00.00.00521720430.0046650640.00467501771.00213361.0E-5
8.24.142796E-61.5668816E-61.5668816E-61.00.01.775472E-56.7151896E-66.7151896E-61.00.02.1614227E-48.175439E-58.175439E-51.00.00.00215932179.488576E-49.488576E-41.00.0
8.31.2750878E-63.6277774E-73.6277774E-71.00.05.4646503E-61.5547608E-61.5547608E-61.00.06.653009E-51.8929053E-51.8929053E-51.00.06.6510175E-42.2828147E-42.2828147E-41.00.0

Deep Springs

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.9810619E-52.3114562E-52.3114562E-51.00.08.489989E-59.9061515E-59.9061515E-51.00.00.0010331660.00120591440.00120591441.00.00.0102837570.0120434930.0120830111.00328144.0E-5
6.11.9810619E-52.3114562E-52.3114562E-51.00.08.489989E-59.9061515E-59.9061515E-51.00.00.0010331660.00120591440.00120591441.00.00.0102837570.0120434930.0120830111.00328144.0E-5
6.21.9810619E-52.3114562E-52.3114562E-51.00.08.489989E-59.9061515E-59.9061515E-51.00.00.0010331660.00120591440.00120591441.00.00.0102837570.0120434930.0120830111.00328144.0E-5
6.31.9810619E-52.3114562E-52.3114562E-51.00.08.489989E-59.9061515E-59.9061515E-51.00.00.0010331660.00120591440.00120591441.00.00.0102837570.0120434930.0120830111.00328144.0E-5
6.41.9810619E-52.3114562E-52.3114562E-51.00.08.489989E-59.9061515E-59.9061515E-51.00.00.0010331660.00120591440.00120591441.00.00.0102837570.0120434930.0120830111.00328144.0E-5
6.51.7190405E-52.0052328E-52.0052328E-51.00.07.367108E-58.593855E-58.593855E-51.00.08.9657627E-40.00104630160.00104630161.00.00.0089296760.01046298350.0104926691.00283733.0E-5
6.61.7190405E-52.0052328E-52.0052328E-51.00.07.367108E-58.593855E-58.593855E-51.00.08.9657627E-40.00104630160.00104630161.00.00.0089296760.01046298350.0104926691.00283733.0E-5

San Diego Trough north alt1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.329252E-58.822253E-58.822253E-51.00.03.14073E-43.7804473E-43.8804093E-41.02644191.0E-50.00381713550.00459354560.00461345351.0043342.0E-50.037522310.0450499020.04508811.00084794.0E-5
6.13.7940346E-54.4889384E-54.4889384E-51.00.01.6259136E-41.9236945E-42.0236752E-41.05197331.0E-50.00197775240.0023396610.00234963741.00426411.0E-50.0196024310.0231589770.0231687451.00042181.0E-5
6.22.8645263E-53.3299646E-53.3299646E-51.00.01.2275964E-41.4270512E-41.4270512E-41.00.00.00149357390.0017360720.0017360721.00.00.01483575350.0172277560.0172277561.00.0
6.32.8645263E-53.3299646E-53.3299646E-51.00.01.2275964E-41.4270512E-41.4270512E-41.00.00.00149357390.0017360720.0017360721.00.00.01483575350.0172277560.0172277561.00.0
6.42.2204576E-52.5450316E-52.5450316E-51.00.09.5159E-51.0906828E-41.0906828E-41.00.00.0011579450.00132710670.00132710671.00.00.0115192980.0131929850.0131929851.00.0
6.52.1004838E-52.4026549E-52.4026549E-51.00.09.0017624E-51.02966915E-41.02966915E-41.00.00.00109541360.001252910.001252911.00.00.0109002960.0124595450.0124595451.00.0
6.61.820557E-52.0706313E-52.0706313E-51.00.07.802154E-58.873835E-58.873835E-51.00.09.4949827E-40.00107985930.00107985931.00.00.0094545160.0107467910.0107467911.00.0
6.71.5884485E-51.7984918E-51.7984918E-51.00.06.807459E-57.707596E-57.707596E-51.00.08.284929E-49.379985E-49.379985E-41.00.00.0082541090.0093407610.0093407611.00.0
6.81.4331171E-51.6202195E-51.6202195E-51.00.06.141786E-56.9436144E-56.9436144E-51.00.07.4750587E-48.450591E-48.450591E-41.00.00.00744996450.0084187240.0084187241.00.0
6.91.2574203E-51.4206819E-51.4206819E-51.00.05.3888325E-56.0884955E-56.0884955E-51.00.06.558929E-47.410236E-47.410236E-41.00.00.00653960370.00738571350.00738571351.00.0
7.01.0883844E-51.2290109E-51.2290109E-51.00.04.664421E-55.267084E-55.267084E-51.00.05.677453E-46.4107974E-46.4107974E-41.00.00.005662970.00639243240.00639243241.00.0
7.19.393088E-61.0607752E-51.0607752E-51.00.04.025547E-54.546101E-54.546101E-51.00.04.900001E-45.53348E-45.53348E-41.00.00.00488921070.0055197980.0055197981.00.0
7.28.190791E-69.259271E-69.259271E-61.00.03.510292E-53.968199E-53.968199E-51.00.04.2729423E-44.830218E-44.830218E-41.00.00.00426473560.00481979970.00481979971.00.0
7.36.268162E-67.090212E-67.090212E-61.00.02.6863276E-53.0386273E-53.0386273E-51.00.03.2701128E-43.6989048E-43.6989048E-41.00.00.0032653050.00369279410.00369279411.00.0
7.44.985186E-65.643079E-65.643079E-61.00.02.1364907E-52.4184403E-52.4184403E-51.00.02.600867E-42.944057E-42.944057E-41.00.00.0025978250.00294019820.00294019821.00.0
7.51.7489613E-61.9698116E-61.9698116E-61.00.07.495527E-68.4420235E-68.4420235E-61.00.09.125422E-51.0277701E-41.0277701E-41.00.09.1216754E-40.00102731680.00102731681.00.0
7.61.6988751E-71.7534121E-71.7534121E-71.00.07.2808916E-77.5146215E-77.5146215E-71.00.08.864449E-69.149016E-69.149016E-61.00.08.8640954E-59.148658E-59.148658E-51.00.0

San Jacinto (San Jacinto Valley) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.652694E-53.4466113E-54.446577E-51.290131.0E-51.5653463E-41.4770357E-41.5770209E-41.06769311.0E-50.00190414310.00179680960.00180679161.00555541.0E-50.0188790990.0185593780.0185986351.00211524.0E-5
6.13.652694E-53.4466113E-54.446577E-51.290131.0E-51.5653463E-41.4770357E-41.5770209E-41.06769311.0E-50.00190414310.00179680960.00180679161.00555541.0E-50.0188790990.0185593780.0185986351.00211524.0E-5
6.23.652694E-53.4466113E-54.446577E-51.290131.0E-51.5653463E-41.4770357E-41.5770209E-41.06769311.0E-50.00190414310.00179680960.00180679161.00555541.0E-50.0188790990.0185593780.0185986351.00211524.0E-5
6.33.652694E-53.4466113E-54.446577E-51.290131.0E-51.5653463E-41.4770357E-41.5770209E-41.06769311.0E-50.00190414310.00179680960.00180679161.00555541.0E-50.0188790990.0185593780.0185986351.00211524.0E-5
6.43.646941E-53.4387675E-54.4387332E-51.29079191.0E-51.5628811E-41.4736745E-41.5736597E-41.06784761.0E-50.00190114680.00179272440.00180270641.00556811.0E-50.0188496450.0185192530.0185585121.00211994.0E-5
6.53.646941E-53.4387675E-54.4387332E-51.29079191.0E-51.5628811E-41.4736745E-41.5736597E-41.06784761.0E-50.00190114680.00179272440.00180270641.00556811.0E-50.0188496450.0185192530.0185585121.00211994.0E-5
6.63.6442503E-53.435106E-54.4350712E-51.29110181.0E-51.561728E-41.4721052E-41.5720906E-41.067921.0E-50.00189974550.00179081710.00180079921.0055741.0E-50.0188358690.0185005180.0185397791.0021224.0E-5
6.73.6432113E-53.433663E-54.4336284E-51.29122411.0E-51.5612828E-41.4714869E-41.5714722E-41.06794851.0E-50.00189920440.00179006570.00180004781.00557641.0E-50.0188305490.018493140.0185324011.0021234.0E-5
6.83.6409598E-53.4305678E-54.4305336E-51.2914871.0E-51.560318E-41.4701606E-41.570146E-41.06800971.0E-50.00189803180.00178845370.00179843571.00558141.0E-50.0188190230.0184772930.0185165541.00212484.0E-5
6.93.638078E-53.4266093E-54.426575E-51.29182361.0E-51.5590832E-41.4684643E-41.5684497E-41.06808831.0E-50.00189653110.00178639180.0017963741.00558791.0E-50.0188042690.0184570230.0184962841.00212724.0E-5
7.03.6294874E-53.4148088E-54.414775E-51.29283211.0E-51.5554018E-41.4634077E-41.563393E-41.06832361.0E-50.00189205690.00178024530.00179022761.00560721.0E-50.0187602840.0183965950.018435861.00213434.0E-5
7.13.6260717E-53.4104367E-54.4104025E-51.29320761.0E-51.5539382E-41.461534E-41.5615193E-41.06841121.0E-50.0018902780.00177796790.00178795021.00561441.0E-50.0187427960.0183741880.0184134541.0021374.0E-5
7.23.6210204E-53.4038494E-54.4038152E-51.29377511.0E-51.5517735E-41.4587112E-41.5586965E-41.06854371.0E-50.0018876470.00177453680.00178451911.00562521.0E-50.018716930.0183404160.0183796831.0021414.0E-5
7.33.6119454E-53.392659E-54.3926248E-51.2947441.0E-51.5478847E-41.4539158E-41.5539012E-41.06876981.0E-50.00188292060.00176870790.00177869031.00564381.0E-50.0186704620.0182828740.0183221421.00214784.0E-5
7.43.607848E-53.3874043E-54.3873704E-51.29520131.0E-51.5461289E-41.4516641E-41.5516496E-41.06887651.0E-50.00188078660.0017659710.00177595321.00565271.0E-50.0186494810.0182558470.0182951151.00215114.0E-5
7.53.5856774E-53.368289E-54.3682554E-51.29687671.0E-51.5366284E-41.4434727E-41.5434582E-41.06926741.0E-50.00186923960.00175601410.00176599651.00568471.0E-50.0185359440.0181564610.0181957351.0021634.0E-5
7.63.286655E-53.219922E-54.2198895E-51.31055651.0E-51.4084904E-41.3798937E-41.4798799E-41.07245931.0E-50.0017134880.00167872790.00168871111.00594691.0E-50.0170033610.0173726730.0174119791.00226254.0E-5
7.72.8882527E-52.9290912E-53.929062E-51.34139291.0E-51.237764E-41.2552645E-41.3552519E-41.07965451.0E-50.00150593570.00152721420.00153719891.00653791.0E-50.0149577130.015858570.0158979351.00248234.0E-5
7.82.4950225E-52.6579837E-53.657957E-51.3762151.0E-51.0692515E-41.13908616E-41.2390748E-41.08777961.0E-50.00130103620.0013859560.00139594221.00720521.0E-50.0129344550.0144387620.0144781841.00273044.0E-5
7.91.9881603E-52.1554622E-53.1554406E-51.46392761.0E-58.520408E-59.237368E-51.0237276E-41.1082461.0E-50.0010368660.00112407010.00113405891.00888621.0E-50.0103204150.0118017130.0118412411.00334934.0E-5
8.01.563292E-51.597515E-52.597499E-51.62596211.0E-56.6996516E-56.846314E-57.846246E-51.1460541.0E-58.153773E-48.3322066E-48.432123E-41.01199161.0E-50.008123920.0088304840.008870131.00448984.0E-5
8.11.0045313E-58.323337E-68.323337E-61.00.04.305063E-53.567096E-53.567096E-51.00.05.2401534E-44.3420793E-44.3420793E-41.00.00.00522781440.004670790.00468074341.0021311.0E-5
8.24.1554413E-61.571458E-61.571458E-61.00.01.7808914E-56.734803E-66.734803E-61.00.02.1680194E-48.199317E-58.199317E-51.00.00.00216590549.5169496E-49.5169496E-41.00.0
8.31.2758221E-63.6306494E-73.6306494E-71.00.05.4677976E-61.5559917E-61.5559917E-61.00.06.65684E-51.8944038E-51.8944038E-51.00.06.6548464E-42.2845245E-42.2845245E-41.00.0

Coronado Bank alt1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.533492E-59.396308E-59.396308E-51.00.03.22824E-44.026398E-44.026398E-41.00.00.00392330070.0048917530.00491165561.00406852.0E-50.038547550.0479100350.047948121.00079494.0E-5
6.14.1807285E-55.0498526E-55.0498526E-51.00.01.7916178E-42.164048E-42.164048E-41.00.00.00217911230.00263162730.00263162731.00.00.0215786770.0260139610.026033441.00074892.0E-5
6.24.1807285E-55.0498526E-55.0498526E-51.00.01.7916178E-42.164048E-42.164048E-41.00.00.00217911230.00263162730.00263162731.00.00.0215786770.0260139610.026033441.00074892.0E-5
6.33.1793104E-53.7714883E-53.7714883E-51.00.01.3624904E-41.6162539E-41.6162539E-41.00.00.00165756980.00196604480.00196604481.00.00.0164526030.0194904170.0195100271.00100612.0E-5
6.42.9878007E-53.5339264E-53.5339264E-51.00.01.2804232E-41.5144538E-41.5144538E-41.00.00.00155780030.00184231960.00184231961.00.00.0154692530.0182742350.018293871.00107442.0E-5
6.52.4512565E-52.8766783E-52.8766783E-51.00.01.0504962E-41.2328054E-41.2328054E-41.00.00.00127822870.00149993390.00149993391.00.00.0127090120.014901070.0149207711.00132222.0E-5
6.62.1317413E-52.4908924E-52.4908924E-51.00.09.135714E-51.0674829E-41.0674829E-41.00.00.00111170560.00129890780.00129890781.00.00.0110616050.0129155680.012935311.00152852.0E-5
6.71.8585655E-52.1636792E-52.1636792E-51.00.07.9650374E-59.2725924E-59.2725924E-51.00.09.6931186E-40.00112837390.00112837391.00.00.00965094750.0112286090.0112384961.00088061.0E-5
6.81.5862879E-51.8421075E-51.8421075E-51.00.06.798199E-57.894519E-57.894519E-51.00.08.273665E-49.6075307E-49.6075307E-41.00.00.0082429280.0095679780.0095778821.00103511.0E-5
6.91.3021509E-51.5096564E-51.5096564E-51.00.05.5805274E-56.4698055E-56.4698055E-51.00.06.792174E-47.874323E-47.874323E-41.00.00.0067714520.0078482450.0078581671.00126421.0E-5
7.01.0974371E-51.2721201E-51.2721201E-51.00.04.7032172E-55.451839E-55.451839E-51.00.05.7246623E-46.635768E-46.635768E-41.00.00.00570993730.00661770350.00662763741.00150111.0E-5
7.18.766221E-61.0164714E-51.0164714E-51.00.03.7568978E-54.356243E-54.356243E-51.00.04.573063E-45.3026073E-45.3026073E-41.00.00.00456366360.00529165470.00530160171.00187981.0E-5
7.28.026024E-78.332067E-78.332067E-71.00.03.43972E-63.570881E-63.570881E-61.00.04.1877785E-54.3474618E-54.3474618E-51.00.04.1869894E-44.3466224E-44.446579E-41.02299641.0E-5
7.33.7293114E-73.7002025E-73.7002025E-71.00.01.5982754E-61.5858001E-61.5858001E-61.00.01.9458828E-51.9306945E-51.9306945E-51.00.01.9457124E-41.9305275E-41.9305275E-41.00.0
7.42.0557036E-71.9674852E-71.9674852E-71.00.08.810155E-78.4320766E-78.4320766E-71.00.01.0726311E-51.0266005E-51.0266005E-51.00.01.0725793E-41.0265534E-41.0265534E-41.00.0
7.56.845446E-86.2794854E-86.2794854E-81.00.02.9337625E-72.6912076E-72.6912076E-71.00.03.5718497E-63.2765404E-63.2765404E-61.00.03.5717923E-53.276493E-53.276493E-51.00.0
7.66.0975145E-95.5319385E-95.5319385E-91.00.02.6132206E-82.3708308E-82.3708308E-81.00.03.1815955E-72.8864864E-72.8864864E-71.00.03.181591E-62.8864836E-62.8864836E-61.00.0

Sheephole

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5579695E-64.741364E-64.741364E-61.00.01.9534009E-52.0320003E-52.0320003E-51.00.02.3780059E-42.473735E-42.473735E-41.00.00.00237546280.0024715260.0025114271.01614434.0E-5
6.14.5579695E-64.741364E-64.741364E-61.00.01.9534009E-52.0320003E-52.0320003E-51.00.02.3780059E-42.473735E-42.473735E-41.00.00.00237546280.0024715260.0025114271.01614434.0E-5
6.22.6677674E-62.7874607E-62.7874607E-61.00.01.1433239E-51.1946211E-51.1946211E-51.00.01.3919079E-41.454365E-41.454365E-41.00.00.00139103640.0014535190.00148347541.02060963.0E-5
6.32.6677674E-62.7874607E-62.7874607E-61.00.01.1433239E-51.1946211E-51.1946211E-51.00.01.3919079E-41.454365E-41.454365E-41.00.00.00139103640.0014535190.00148347541.02060963.0E-5
6.42.2159759E-62.3229381E-62.3229381E-61.00.09.497005E-69.955416E-69.955416E-61.00.01.156199E-41.2120126E-41.2120126E-41.00.00.00115559760.00121143090.00123140671.01648942.0E-5
6.52.1986082E-62.304818E-62.304818E-61.00.09.4225725E-69.877759E-69.877759E-61.00.01.1471378E-41.20255885E-41.20255885E-41.00.00.00114654580.00120198750.00122196341.01661912.0E-5
6.61.5232331E-61.6019358E-61.6019358E-61.00.06.5281256E-66.8654217E-66.8654217E-61.00.07.947703E-58.3583494E-58.3583494E-51.00.07.9448614E-48.355393E-48.555226E-41.02391662.0E-5
6.71.3137362E-61.3828576E-61.3828576E-61.00.05.6302856E-65.92652E-65.92652E-61.00.06.854657E-57.215313E-57.215313E-51.00.06.8525434E-47.2131096E-47.4129656E-41.02770732.0E-5
6.81.2275751E-61.2923208E-61.2923208E-61.00.05.2610258E-65.5385067E-65.5385067E-61.00.06.4051106E-56.742937E-56.742937E-51.00.06.4032647E-46.7410246E-46.940889E-41.02964912.0E-5
6.91.1837088E-61.2461369E-61.2461369E-61.00.05.0730278E-65.3405765E-65.3405765E-61.00.06.176237E-56.501971E-56.501971E-51.00.06.17452E-46.5002E-46.70007E-41.03074822.0E-5
7.09.849371E-71.0366576E-61.0366576E-61.00.04.2211523E-64.4428116E-64.4428116E-61.00.05.1391315E-55.4089993E-55.4089993E-51.00.05.137943E-45.4077833E-45.5077294E-41.01848191.0E-5
7.18.1643645E-78.591908E-78.591908E-71.00.03.4990085E-63.6822414E-63.6822414E-61.00.04.2599597E-54.4830453E-54.4830453E-51.00.04.259143E-44.4822274E-44.5821824E-41.02230041.0E-5
7.25.7295756E-76.029669E-76.029669E-71.00.02.45553E-62.5841418E-62.5841418E-61.00.02.9895667E-53.146154E-53.146154E-51.00.02.9891645E-43.1457754E-43.2457442E-41.03177871.0E-5

Oak Ridge (Onshore)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.155064E-52.9529527E-53.952923E-51.33863411.0E-51.3521002E-41.2654919E-41.4654666E-41.15802132.0E-50.0016449390.00153968550.00155965471.01296962.0E-50.016328160.0152943370.0153337241.00257544.0E-5
6.13.155064E-52.9529527E-53.952923E-51.33863411.0E-51.3521002E-41.2654919E-41.4654666E-41.15802132.0E-50.0016449390.00153968550.00155965471.01296962.0E-50.016328160.0152943370.0153337241.00257544.0E-5
6.23.155064E-52.9529527E-53.952923E-51.33863411.0E-51.3521002E-41.2654919E-41.4654666E-41.15802132.0E-50.0016449390.00153968550.00155965471.01296962.0E-50.016328160.0152943370.0153337241.00257544.0E-5
6.33.155064E-52.9529527E-53.952923E-51.33863411.0E-51.3521002E-41.2654919E-41.4654666E-41.15802132.0E-50.0016449390.00153968550.00155965471.01296962.0E-50.016328160.0152943370.0153337241.00257544.0E-5
6.43.155064E-52.9529527E-53.952923E-51.33863411.0E-51.3521002E-41.2654919E-41.4654666E-41.15802132.0E-50.0016449390.00153968550.00155965471.01296962.0E-50.016328160.0152943370.0153337241.00257544.0E-5
6.53.155064E-52.9529527E-53.952923E-51.33863411.0E-51.3521002E-41.2654919E-41.4654666E-41.15802132.0E-50.0016449390.00153968550.00155965471.01296962.0E-50.016328160.0152943370.0153337241.00257544.0E-5
6.63.155064E-52.9529527E-53.952923E-51.33863411.0E-51.3521002E-41.2654919E-41.4654666E-41.15802132.0E-50.0016449390.00153968550.00155965471.01296962.0E-50.016328160.0152943370.0153337241.00257544.0E-5
6.73.098897E-52.8867666E-53.8867376E-51.34639841.0E-51.328031E-41.2371292E-41.4371044E-41.16164462.0E-50.00161567850.00150520180.00152517171.01326732.0E-50.0160398220.014954160.0149935611.00263494.0E-5
6.83.0449872E-52.824281E-53.8242528E-51.35406241.0E-51.3049292E-41.2103521E-41.410328E-41.16522122.0E-50.00158759350.00147264470.00149261531.0135612.0E-50.0157629920.0146328810.0146722951.00269354.0E-5
6.92.697928E-52.4222873E-53.422263E-51.4128231.0E-51.15620365E-41.0380831E-41.2380623E-41.19264282.0E-50.00140676890.00126315490.00128312961.01581342.0E-50.01397896650.0125621180.012591741.00235813.0E-5
7.02.4893961E-52.1864958E-52.1864958E-51.00.01.0668404E-49.37037E-51.0370276E-41.10670941.0E-50.00129810430.00114026320.00115025171.00875991.0E-50.0129054770.0113460590.0113658331.00174272.0E-5
7.12.0945363E-51.7357057E-51.7357057E-51.00.08.976275E-57.4385294E-58.438455E-51.13442521.0E-50.00109231369.052694E-49.1526035E-41.01103641.0E-50.01086960.00901640.009036221.00219822.0E-5
7.22.0439404E-51.6811955E-51.6811955E-51.00.08.7594504E-57.2049275E-58.204855E-51.13878391.0E-50.00106594138.7685155E-48.868428E-41.01139441.0E-50.0106084270.0087344830.0087543081.00226972.0E-5
7.31.8463334E-51.5382886E-51.5382886E-51.00.07.912617E-56.5925014E-57.5924356E-51.15167751.0E-59.6293533E-48.023458E-48.123378E-41.01245341.0E-50.0095877340.0079950010.0080148411.00248162.0E-5
7.41.763139E-51.4517755E-51.4517755E-51.00.07.556091E-56.2217485E-57.221686E-51.16071651.0E-59.1956573E-47.572386E-47.6723105E-41.01319591.0E-50.0091576990.0075470350.00756688371.002632.0E-5
7.51.3594944E-51.1163885E-51.1163885E-51.00.05.8262744E-54.7844354E-55.7843878E-51.20900111.0E-57.0911803E-45.823519E-45.9234607E-41.01716171.0E-50.0070685950.00580842230.0058283061.00342332.0E-5
7.66.9889534E-65.636935E-65.636935E-61.00.02.9952313E-52.4158073E-53.415783E-51.41393031.0E-53.646084E-42.9408524E-43.0408232E-41.03399371.0E-50.00364010730.00293700470.00294697541.00339481.0E-5
7.74.0824193E-63.2833914E-63.2833914E-61.00.01.7495966E-51.4071602E-51.4071602E-51.00.02.1299256E-41.7130842E-41.7130842E-41.00.00.00212788510.00171177710.00171177711.00.0
7.81.7023609E-61.4371045E-61.4371045E-61.00.07.295812E-66.159005E-66.159005E-61.00.08.882289E-57.4983334E-57.4983334E-51.00.08.8787393E-47.495831E-47.495831E-41.00.0
7.92.721225E-72.2617681E-72.2617681E-71.00.01.1662388E-69.693289E-79.693289E-71.00.01.4198865E-51.1801518E-51.1801518E-51.00.01.4197957E-41.18009186E-41.18009186E-41.00.0
8.09.364255E-95.1215614E-95.1215614E-91.00.04.0132523E-82.1949548E-82.1949548E-81.00.04.8861335E-72.6723572E-72.6723572E-71.00.04.8861225E-62.6723544E-62.6723544E-61.00.0

San Luis Range 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.8368415E-68.965549E-68.965549E-61.00.03.787163E-53.842326E-53.842326E-51.00.04.609895E-44.6771066E-44.877013E-41.04274152.0E-50.00460034380.0046680460.0047078591.0085294.0E-5
6.18.8368415E-68.965549E-68.965549E-61.00.03.787163E-53.842326E-53.842326E-51.00.04.609895E-44.6771066E-44.877013E-41.04274152.0E-50.00460034380.0046680460.0047078591.0085294.0E-5
6.28.8368415E-68.965549E-68.965549E-61.00.03.787163E-53.842326E-53.842326E-51.00.04.609895E-44.6771066E-44.877013E-41.04274152.0E-50.00460034380.0046680460.0047078591.0085294.0E-5
6.38.8368415E-68.965549E-68.965549E-61.00.03.787163E-53.842326E-53.842326E-51.00.04.609895E-44.6771066E-44.877013E-41.04274152.0E-50.00460034380.0046680460.0047078591.0085294.0E-5
6.43.9094193E-63.9412457E-63.9412457E-61.00.01.6754546E-51.6890945E-51.6890945E-51.00.02.039675E-42.0562814E-42.0562814E-41.00.00.00203780390.00205440750.00205440751.00.0
6.53.9094193E-63.9412457E-63.9412457E-61.00.01.6754546E-51.6890945E-51.6890945E-51.00.02.039675E-42.0562814E-42.0562814E-41.00.00.00203780390.00205440750.00205440751.00.0
6.63.0587726E-63.0754231E-63.0754231E-61.00.01.3108959E-51.3180319E-51.3180319E-51.00.01.595899E-41.6045867E-41.6045867E-41.00.00.00159475340.00160344010.00160344011.00.0
6.72.6160574E-62.625158E-62.625158E-61.00.01.1211626E-51.1250629E-51.1250629E-51.00.01.3649299E-41.3696786E-41.3696786E-41.00.00.00136409190.00136884060.00136884061.00.0
6.82.5110312E-62.5181698E-62.5181698E-61.00.01.0761518E-51.0792112E-51.0792112E-51.00.01.310136E-41.313861E-41.313861E-41.00.00.00130936390.00131309010.00131309011.00.0
6.91.8564405E-61.8525106E-61.8525106E-61.00.07.95615E-67.939308E-67.939308E-61.00.09.686181E-59.66568E-59.66568E-51.00.09.68196E-49.661496E-49.661496E-41.00.0
7.01.546127E-61.5369747E-61.5369747E-61.00.06.626242E-66.5870177E-66.5870177E-61.00.08.06715E-58.019399E-58.019399E-51.00.08.0642226E-48.016513E-48.016513E-41.00.0
7.11.3368208E-61.3235513E-61.3235513E-61.00.05.7292195E-65.67235E-65.67235E-61.00.06.975101E-56.9058675E-56.9058675E-51.00.06.972912E-46.9037266E-46.9037266E-41.00.0
7.21.0623363E-61.0454524E-61.0454524E-61.00.04.5528623E-64.480503E-64.480503E-61.00.05.5429686E-55.4548756E-55.4548756E-51.00.05.5415864E-45.453539E-45.453539E-41.00.0
7.37.831679E-77.727519E-77.727519E-71.00.03.3564295E-63.3117897E-63.3117897E-61.00.04.086376E-54.0320294E-54.0320294E-51.00.04.0856248E-44.0312993E-44.0312993E-41.00.0
7.45.9558846E-75.9107464E-75.9107464E-71.00.02.5525194E-62.5331744E-62.5331744E-61.00.03.107648E-53.084096E-53.084096E-51.00.03.1072134E-43.0836693E-43.0836693E-41.00.0
7.54.1616502E-74.119723E-74.119723E-71.00.01.7835631E-61.7655943E-61.7655943E-61.00.02.1714664E-52.14959E-52.14959E-51.00.02.1712543E-42.1493825E-42.1493825E-41.00.0
7.62.3816014E-72.3377252E-72.3377252E-71.00.01.0206859E-61.0018819E-61.0018819E-61.00.01.242678E-51.2197844E-51.2197844E-51.00.01.2426086E-41.2197176E-41.2197176E-41.00.0
7.79.918777E-89.387299E-89.387299E-81.00.04.2509038E-74.0231276E-74.0231276E-71.00.05.1754632E-64.898147E-64.898147E-61.00.05.1753424E-54.8980393E-54.8980393E-51.00.0
7.83.4982556E-82.9690755E-82.9690755E-81.00.01.4992524E-71.272461E-71.272461E-71.00.01.8253382E-61.54922E-61.54922E-61.00.01.8253233E-51.5492093E-51.5492093E-51.00.0
7.91.6624908E-81.14806715E-81.14806715E-81.00.07.12496E-84.9202875E-84.9202875E-81.00.08.6746354E-75.990448E-75.990448E-71.00.08.674601E-65.9904323E-65.9904323E-61.00.0
8.06.3352315E-93.0906608E-93.0906608E-91.00.02.715099E-81.3245688E-81.3245688E-81.00.03.3056327E-71.6126624E-71.6126624E-71.00.03.3056278E-61.6126613E-61.6126613E-61.00.0

Santa Cruz Catalina Ridge alt1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.2833184E-53.6560636E-53.6560636E-51.00.01.4070606E-41.5667996E-41.5667996E-41.00.00.001711750.00190607570.00190607571.00.00.0169862470.018914180.0189534221.00207484.0E-5
6.11.9835548E-52.1660571E-52.1660571E-51.00.08.500672E-59.282783E-59.282783E-51.00.00.00103446550.0011296130.0011296131.00.00.0102966320.0112408460.0112606211.00175922.0E-5
6.21.9835548E-52.1660571E-52.1660571E-51.00.08.500672E-59.282783E-59.282783E-51.00.00.00103446550.0011296130.0011296131.00.00.0102966320.0112408460.0112606211.00175922.0E-5
6.31.5728183E-51.7034703E-51.7034703E-51.00.06.7404755E-57.300386E-57.300386E-51.00.08.2034385E-48.8846567E-48.8846567E-41.00.00.0081732220.0088498160.0088597281.001121.0E-5
6.41.5728183E-51.7034703E-51.7034703E-51.00.06.7404755E-57.300386E-57.300386E-51.00.08.2034385E-48.8846567E-48.8846567E-41.00.00.0081732220.0088498160.0088597281.001121.0E-5
6.51.3707734E-51.4795146E-51.4795146E-51.00.05.8746107E-56.3406245E-56.3406245E-51.00.07.1499916E-47.7170116E-47.7170116E-41.00.00.00712703030.00769061270.00769061271.00.0
6.61.2539813E-51.3510776E-51.3510776E-51.00.05.3740947E-55.7902053E-55.7902053E-51.00.06.540996E-47.0473214E-47.0473214E-41.00.00.00652177630.0070252770.0070252771.00.0
6.71.1504083E-51.2377875E-51.2377875E-51.00.04.930228E-55.3046966E-55.3046966E-51.00.06.0008996E-46.456574E-46.456574E-41.00.00.0059847210.0064380450.0064380451.00.0
6.81.012739E-51.0877499E-51.0877499E-51.00.04.340238E-54.661703E-54.661703E-51.00.05.282958E-45.67416E-45.67416E-41.00.00.00527041640.00565984150.00565984151.00.0
6.98.9607865E-69.609487E-69.609487E-61.00.03.8402806E-54.118287E-54.118287E-51.00.04.6745385E-45.0128717E-45.0128717E-41.00.00.00466471770.00500168370.00500168371.00.0
7.08.046829E-68.620072E-68.620072E-61.00.03.4485955E-53.694265E-53.694265E-51.00.04.1978562E-44.496847E-44.496847E-41.00.00.0041899350.0044878380.0044878381.00.0
7.17.136131E-67.637941E-67.637941E-61.00.03.0583058E-53.2733627E-53.2733627E-51.00.03.7228514E-43.9845973E-43.9845973E-41.00.00.00371662060.00397752970.00397752971.00.0
7.26.362014E-66.8052104E-66.8052104E-61.00.02.726549E-52.9164865E-52.9164865E-51.00.03.3190678E-43.5502503E-43.5502503E-41.00.00.00331411490.0035446470.0035446471.00.0
7.35.004101E-65.3519125E-65.3519125E-61.00.02.1445969E-52.2936569E-52.2936569E-51.00.02.6107338E-42.792175E-42.792175E-41.00.00.0026076690.00278872140.00278872141.00.0
7.43.4901443E-63.73219E-63.73219E-61.00.01.4957676E-51.5995005E-51.5995005E-51.00.01.8209449E-41.9472216E-41.9472216E-41.00.00.00181945340.0019455540.0019455541.00.0
7.51.1215045E-61.1894253E-61.1894253E-61.00.04.806439E-65.0975277E-65.0975277E-61.00.05.851682E-56.206066E-56.206066E-51.00.05.850142E-46.204364E-46.204364E-41.00.0
7.62.8599047E-72.9952744E-72.9952744E-71.00.01.2256729E-61.2836884E-61.2836884E-61.00.01.4922465E-51.5628797E-51.5628797E-51.00.01.4921463E-41.562771E-41.562771E-41.00.0
7.72.0781519E-72.1744857E-72.1744857E-71.00.08.906362E-79.3192216E-79.3192216E-71.00.01.08434415E-51.1346094E-51.1346094E-51.00.01.0842913E-41.1345524E-41.1345524E-41.00.0
7.83.614776E-83.7641843E-83.7641843E-81.00.01.5491896E-71.6132218E-71.6132218E-71.00.01.8861368E-61.9640959E-61.9640959E-61.00.01.8861208E-51.9640796E-51.9640796E-51.00.0

San Diego Trough south

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.279495E-51.0426959E-41.1426854E-41.09589531.0E-53.5478722E-44.4679717E-44.567927E-41.02237151.0E-50.0043109820.00542663460.00543658061.00183271.0E-50.0422830540.0529998130.053037691.00071484.0E-5
6.14.6961468E-55.7736557E-56.773598E-51.17319051.0E-52.0124791E-42.4741987E-42.574174E-41.04040721.0E-50.002447440.00300824780.00301821761.00331411.0E-50.0242066030.0296831280.0297025351.00065372.0E-5
6.23.5079658E-54.214702E-54.214702E-51.00.01.5033272E-41.8061785E-41.8061785E-41.00.00.00182876420.00219682280.00219682281.00.00.0181378760.0217534830.0217632651.00044971.0E-5
6.33.5079658E-54.214702E-54.214702E-51.00.01.5033272E-41.8061785E-41.8061785E-41.00.00.00182876420.00219682280.00219682281.00.00.0181378760.0217534830.0217632651.00044971.0E-5
6.42.7196904E-53.2090207E-53.2090207E-51.00.01.16552954E-41.375223E-41.375223E-41.00.00.00141810850.001673060.001673061.00.00.0140909290.0166062450.016616081.00059221.0E-5
6.52.5584688E-53.0104437E-53.0104437E-51.00.01.0964406E-41.2901273E-41.2901273E-41.00.00.00133409890.00156961060.00156961061.00.00.0132611810.015586790.0155966341.00063161.0E-5
6.62.2034688E-52.5745014E-52.5745014E-51.00.09.443096E-51.1033115E-41.1033115E-41.00.00.00114909050.00134246180.00134246181.00.00.0114316680.0133445160.01335438251.00073931.0E-5
6.71.9394853E-52.2543714E-52.2543714E-51.00.08.311815E-59.661237E-59.661237E-51.00.00.00101149360.00117562610.00117562611.00.00.010069020.0116947730.0117046561.00084511.0E-5
6.81.7615313E-52.0404905E-52.0404905E-51.00.07.549201E-58.7446686E-58.7446686E-51.00.09.1872766E-40.00106414780.00106414781.00.00.0091493870.0105910880.0105910881.00.0
6.91.5621423E-51.8027595E-51.8027595E-51.00.06.6947236E-57.725885E-57.725885E-51.00.08.147778E-49.402241E-49.402241E-41.00.00.0081179690.0093629060.0093629061.00.0
7.01.3444376E-51.5449315E-51.5449315E-51.00.05.7617483E-56.6209686E-56.6209686E-51.00.07.0126704E-48.0580753E-48.0580753E-41.00.00.0069905820.008029190.008029191.00.0
7.11.2268361E-51.4074132E-51.4074132E-51.00.05.2577634E-56.031633E-56.031633E-51.00.06.399447E-47.341065E-47.341065E-41.00.00.00638104930.007317120.007317121.00.0
7.21.0922655E-51.2514534E-51.2514534E-51.00.04.681054E-55.363263E-55.363263E-51.00.05.697693E-46.5278413E-46.5278413E-41.00.00.00568310640.0065089470.0065089471.00.0
7.36.1106753E-66.9294197E-66.9294197E-61.00.02.6188345E-52.9697178E-52.9697178E-51.00.03.1879646E-43.6150354E-43.6150354E-41.00.00.00318339510.00360920020.00360920021.00.0
7.44.933187E-65.5899495E-65.5899495E-61.00.02.114206E-52.3956709E-52.3956709E-51.00.02.5737417E-42.9163426E-42.9163426E-41.00.00.0025707630.00291255680.00291255681.00.0
7.51.7489613E-61.9698116E-61.9698116E-61.00.07.495527E-68.4420235E-68.4420235E-61.00.09.125422E-51.0277701E-41.0277701E-41.00.09.1216754E-40.00102731680.00102731681.00.0
7.61.6988751E-71.7534121E-71.7534121E-71.00.07.2808916E-77.5146215E-77.5146215E-71.00.08.864449E-69.149016E-69.149016E-61.00.08.8640954E-59.148658E-59.148658E-51.00.0

Calaveras (Central) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5010907E-42.4819706E-42.4819706E-41.00.06.4316596E-40.0010632050.0010632051.00.00.00780246640.0128589070.0128687791.00076771.0E-50.075341360.120481970.120508361.0002193.0E-5
6.11.4521465E-42.3981159E-42.3981159E-41.00.06.222001E-40.00102729580.00102729581.00.00.00754900560.0124281590.0124380351.00079461.0E-50.072976570.116753210.1167797151.0002273.0E-5
6.21.429998E-42.391228E-42.391228E-41.00.06.127123E-40.00102434630.00102434631.00.00.0074342860.0123927040.012402581.00079691.0E-50.071904440.11640660.116433111.00022773.0E-5
6.31.3536277E-42.3243108E-42.3243108E-41.00.05.799972E-49.956934E-49.956934E-41.00.00.00703862640.0120486750.0120585541.00081991.0E-50.06819820.1133176460.1133442451.00023473.0E-5
6.41.2993296E-42.2666331E-42.2666331E-41.00.05.5673666E-49.7099325E-49.7099325E-41.00.00.0067572230.01175130.0117611821.0008411.0E-50.065554120.1105939750.110620661.00024133.0E-5
6.51.0498927E-41.7996559E-41.7996559E-41.00.04.498764E-47.71052E-47.71052E-41.00.00.0054634980.0093470590.0093569661.00105991.0E-50.0533111240.089271780.089280891.0001021.0E-5
6.61.0157505E-41.7483841E-41.7483841E-41.00.04.35249E-47.490911E-47.490911E-41.00.00.00528628840.0090819820.0090918911.00109111.0E-50.051622930.086848120.086857251.00010511.0E-5
6.79.660386E-51.6742892E-41.6742892E-41.00.04.1395082E-47.173546E-47.173546E-41.00.00.00502821060.0086987760.0087086891.00113961.0E-50.0491594970.0833369940.083346161.000111.0E-5
6.89.089927E-51.5656423E-41.5656423E-41.00.03.8951015E-46.708168E-46.708168E-41.00.00.00473197880.0081365750.0081464941.0012191.0E-50.0463247750.078229980.0782391951.00011781.0E-5
6.97.353187E-51.2306191E-41.2306191E-41.00.03.150985E-45.273022E-45.273022E-41.00.00.00382957720.0064011270.00641106351.00155221.0E-50.0376425120.0622384180.0622477941.00015071.0E-5
7.05.746064E-59.398813E-59.398813E-51.00.02.4623662E-44.0274445E-44.0274445E-41.00.00.00299380980.00489246050.00490241131.0020341.0E-50.029537970.0480344150.0480439331.00019811.0E-5
7.14.9557195E-58.060119E-58.060119E-51.00.02.123707E-43.4538825E-43.4538825E-41.00.00.00258254730.0041970570.0042070151.00237261.0E-50.02552740.0414105430.041420131.00023151.0E-5
7.23.687595E-55.9597183E-55.9597183E-51.00.01.5803022E-42.5539167E-42.5539167E-41.00.00.00192231990.00310498920.0031149581.00321071.0E-50.019057760.0309192150.0309289061.00031341.0E-5
7.32.5846984E-54.2534713E-54.2534713E-51.00.01.1076809E-41.82279E-41.82279E-41.00.00.00134776710.00221700550.00222698341.00450061.0E-50.0133962230.0222067440.0222165211.00044041.0E-5
7.41.7747854E-52.9968245E-52.9968245E-51.00.07.6060016E-51.2842902E-41.2842902E-41.00.09.2563726E-40.00156250480.00157248921.006391.0E-50.0092179110.0157254280.015735271.0006261.0E-5
7.51.4883479E-52.6273883E-52.6273883E-51.00.06.378478E-51.1259751E-41.1259751E-41.00.07.76303E-40.00137001530.00138000171.00728921.0E-50.00773596670.013817970.01382783151.00071371.0E-5
7.68.166975E-61.4987666E-51.4987666E-51.00.03.5000852E-56.423128E-56.423128E-51.00.04.2605202E-47.8173657E-47.9172873E-41.0127821.0E-50.0042523610.0079529560.0079628761.00124741.0E-5
7.73.3858064E-66.2680556E-66.2680556E-61.00.01.4510518E-52.686282E-52.686282E-51.00.01.7665124E-43.2700578E-43.3700254E-41.03057051.0E-50.00176510880.00339535580.00340532191.00293521.0E-5
7.82.7721615E-65.3785216E-65.3785216E-61.00.01.1880637E-52.3050603E-52.3050603E-51.00.01.4463716E-42.8060502E-42.906022E-41.03562721.0E-50.00144543060.0029134980.0029234691.00342231.0E-5
7.91.9736292E-64.1373296E-64.1373296E-61.00.08.4583835E-61.7731292E-51.7731292E-51.00.01.0297595E-42.1585713E-42.1585713E-41.00.00.00102928250.00222795340.00222795341.00.0
8.01.1767289E-62.5597071E-62.5597071E-61.00.05.0431145E-61.0970128E-51.0970128E-51.00.06.139818E-51.3355314E-41.3355314E-41.00.06.1381224E-40.00136863790.00136863791.00.0
8.17.5112825E-71.5440835E-61.5440835E-61.00.03.2191172E-66.617484E-66.617484E-61.00.03.9192048E-58.056491E-58.056491E-51.00.03.9185135E-48.25079E-48.25079E-41.00.0

San Jacinto (Lytle Creek connector)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.693995E-66.6708703E-66.6708703E-61.00.02.8688235E-52.8589133E-52.8589133E-51.00.03.492233E-43.4801717E-43.6801022E-41.05744842.0E-50.003486750.00355497980.00358487321.00840893.0E-5
6.16.693995E-66.6708703E-66.6708703E-61.00.02.8688235E-52.8589133E-52.8589133E-51.00.03.492233E-43.4801717E-43.6801022E-41.05744842.0E-50.003486750.00355497980.00358487321.00840893.0E-5
6.26.693995E-66.6708703E-66.6708703E-61.00.02.8688235E-52.8589133E-52.8589133E-51.00.03.492233E-43.4801717E-43.6801022E-41.05744842.0E-50.003486750.00355497980.00358487321.00840893.0E-5
6.36.693995E-66.6708703E-66.6708703E-61.00.02.8688235E-52.8589133E-52.8589133E-51.00.03.492233E-43.4801717E-43.6801022E-41.05744842.0E-50.003486750.00355497980.00358487321.00840893.0E-5
6.46.693995E-66.6708703E-66.6708703E-61.00.02.8688235E-52.8589133E-52.8589133E-51.00.03.492233E-43.4801717E-43.6801022E-41.05744842.0E-50.003486750.00355497980.00358487321.00840893.0E-5
6.56.6561875E-66.6310877E-66.6310877E-61.00.02.8526205E-52.8418637E-52.8418637E-51.00.03.472512E-43.4594207E-43.6593515E-41.05779312.0E-50.00346709070.0035342950.0035641891.00845833.0E-5
6.66.6561875E-66.6310877E-66.6310877E-61.00.02.8526205E-52.8418637E-52.8418637E-51.00.03.472512E-43.4594207E-43.6593515E-41.05779312.0E-50.00346709070.0035342950.0035641891.00845833.0E-5
6.76.5802237E-66.550262E-66.550262E-61.00.02.8200653E-52.8072249E-52.8072249E-51.00.03.4328885E-43.417261E-43.6171926E-41.05850642.0E-50.00342759020.00349226830.00352216351.00856043.0E-5
6.86.575632E-66.5447507E-66.5447507E-61.00.02.8180975E-52.804863E-52.804863E-51.00.03.4304935E-43.4143863E-43.614318E-41.05855572.0E-50.00342520260.00348940260.0035192981.00856753.0E-5
6.96.570433E-66.5361432E-66.5361432E-61.00.02.8158694E-52.8011742E-52.8011742E-51.00.03.4277816E-43.4098965E-43.6098284E-41.05863292.0E-50.00342249920.00348492710.00351482261.00857853.0E-5
7.06.5643826E-66.526262E-66.526262E-61.00.02.8132765E-52.7969396E-52.7969396E-51.00.03.424626E-43.4047425E-43.6046744E-41.05872152.0E-50.00341935320.00347978920.0035096851.00859123.0E-5
7.16.557402E-66.514972E-66.514972E-61.00.02.8102848E-52.792101E-52.792101E-51.00.03.4209844E-43.3988536E-43.5987856E-41.05882332.0E-50.00341572290.003473920.0035038161.00860573.0E-5
7.26.546394E-66.496935E-66.496935E-61.00.02.8055672E-52.784371E-52.784371E-51.00.03.4152428E-43.3894452E-43.5893772E-41.05898672.0E-50.00340999870.00346454540.00349444151.00862923.0E-5
7.36.5364216E-66.477713E-66.477713E-61.00.02.8012933E-52.7761333E-52.7761333E-51.00.03.4100408E-43.379419E-43.5793512E-41.05916182.0E-50.0034048130.00345456090.00348445731.00865413.0E-5
7.46.5269523E-66.4587916E-66.4587916E-61.00.02.7972354E-52.7680242E-52.7680242E-51.00.03.4051016E-43.3695492E-43.5694818E-41.05933512.0E-50.00339988880.003444740.0034746371.00867893.0E-5
7.56.5111835E-66.435057E-66.435057E-61.00.02.7904773E-52.7578524E-52.7578524E-51.00.03.3968766E-43.3571688E-43.5571016E-41.0595542.0E-50.00339168870.003432410.00346230721.00871033.0E-5
7.66.4768806E-66.394153E-66.394153E-61.00.02.7757764E-52.7403225E-52.7403225E-51.00.03.3789838E-43.3358324E-43.535766E-41.05993512.0E-50.00337385040.0034111340.00344103161.00876473.0E-5
7.76.1655364E-66.18656E-66.18656E-61.00.02.642346E-52.6513559E-52.6513559E-51.00.03.2165812E-43.2275481E-43.4274836E-41.06194652.0E-50.00321192950.0033026970.00333259811.00905353.0E-5
7.85.5043524E-65.747343E-65.747343E-61.00.02.3589868E-52.463124E-52.463124E-51.00.02.871688E-42.9984413E-43.1983812E-41.06668132.0E-50.00286797970.00307265860.00310256631.00973363.0E-5
7.93.889249E-64.085056E-64.085056E-61.00.01.6668104E-51.7507266E-51.7507266E-51.00.02.0291525E-42.1313014E-42.2312802E-41.04690971.0E-50.00202730070.00219877250.00221872841.0090762.0E-5
8.02.668535E-62.5371553E-62.5371553E-61.00.01.1436528E-51.0873477E-51.0873477E-51.00.01.3923083E-41.3237656E-41.3237656E-41.00.00.00139143630.00137889080.0013888771.00724221.0E-5
8.11.5911459E-61.2216242E-61.2216242E-61.00.06.8191785E-65.2355217E-65.2355217E-61.00.08.3020335E-56.3740634E-56.3740634E-51.00.08.298933E-46.709651E-46.709651E-41.00.0
8.26.1294963E-72.1894976E-72.1894976E-71.00.02.6269242E-69.383558E-79.383558E-71.00.03.1982334E-51.1424422E-51.1424422E-51.00.03.1977732E-41.2831615E-41.2831615E-41.00.0
8.31.762871E-74.7755343E-84.7755343E-81.00.07.5551594E-72.0466574E-72.0466574E-71.00.09.1983675E-62.4918027E-62.4918027E-61.00.09.197987E-52.881044E-52.881044E-51.00.0

Los Alamos 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.6284417E-64.7518215E-64.7518215E-61.00.01.9836029E-52.03648E-52.03648E-51.00.02.4147688E-42.4791498E-42.579125E-41.04032641.0E-50.00241214670.00247655830.0025064841.01208353.0E-5
6.14.6284417E-64.7518215E-64.7518215E-61.00.01.9836029E-52.03648E-52.03648E-51.00.02.4147688E-42.4791498E-42.579125E-41.04032641.0E-50.00241214670.00247655830.0025064841.01208353.0E-5
6.24.6284417E-64.7518215E-64.7518215E-61.00.01.9836029E-52.03648E-52.03648E-51.00.02.4147688E-42.4791498E-42.579125E-41.04032641.0E-50.00241214670.00247655830.0025064841.01208353.0E-5
6.34.6284417E-64.7518215E-64.7518215E-61.00.01.9836029E-52.03648E-52.03648E-51.00.02.4147688E-42.4791498E-42.579125E-41.04032641.0E-50.00241214670.00247655830.0025064841.01208353.0E-5
6.44.6284417E-64.7518215E-64.7518215E-61.00.01.9836029E-52.03648E-52.03648E-51.00.02.4147688E-42.4791498E-42.579125E-41.04032641.0E-50.00241214670.00247655830.0025064841.01208353.0E-5
6.54.6284417E-64.7518215E-64.7518215E-61.00.01.9836029E-52.03648E-52.03648E-51.00.02.4147688E-42.4791498E-42.579125E-41.04032641.0E-50.00241214670.00247655830.0025064841.01208353.0E-5
6.64.6284417E-64.7518215E-64.7518215E-61.00.01.9836029E-52.03648E-52.03648E-51.00.02.4147688E-42.4791498E-42.579125E-41.04032641.0E-50.00241214670.00247655830.0025064841.01208353.0E-5
6.74.062321E-64.1664284E-64.1664284E-61.00.01.7409831E-51.7856008E-51.7856008E-51.00.02.1194408E-42.1737673E-42.2737456E-41.04599311.0E-50.00211742050.00217179070.00220172551.01378353.0E-5
6.84.062321E-64.1664284E-64.1664284E-61.00.01.7409831E-51.7856008E-51.7856008E-51.00.02.1194408E-42.1737673E-42.2737456E-41.04599311.0E-50.00211742050.00217179070.00220172551.01378353.0E-5
6.93.2936077E-63.3730241E-63.3730241E-61.00.01.4115385E-51.44557425E-51.44557425E-51.00.01.7184127E-41.7598539E-41.8598363E-41.05681291.0E-50.00171708440.00175855290.00178850011.01702953.0E-5
7.03.1687898E-63.24488E-63.24488E-61.00.01.3580457E-51.390656E-51.390656E-51.00.01.6532952E-41.6930014E-41.7929844E-41.05905661.0E-50.00165206570.00169180320.00172175251.01770263.0E-5
7.12.9379228E-63.0073866E-63.0073866E-61.00.01.25910365E-51.2888741E-51.2888741E-51.00.01.5328509E-41.5691003E-41.6690846E-41.06372081.0E-50.0015317940.00156808160.00159803451.01910163.0E-5
7.22.0020686E-62.0416742E-62.0416742E-61.00.08.580266E-68.750003E-68.750003E-61.00.01.0445973E-41.06526124E-41.16525065E-41.09386371.0E-50.00104410640.00106475510.00107474441.00938191.0E-5
7.31.7364243E-61.7679203E-61.7679203E-61.00.07.441797E-67.5767794E-67.5767794E-61.00.09.0600115E-59.224341E-51.0224249E-41.10839881.0E-59.0563187E-49.220544E-49.3204516E-41.01083531.0E-5
7.41.5718434E-61.598355E-61.598355E-61.00.06.7364545E-66.850075E-66.850075E-61.00.08.201325E-58.3396495E-59.339566E-51.11989921.0E-58.198299E-48.33655E-48.436467E-41.01198541.0E-5
7.51.3841119E-61.404313E-61.404313E-61.00.05.9318945E-66.0184707E-66.0184707E-61.00.07.221842E-57.3272444E-58.327171E-51.1364671.0E-57.2194956E-47.324857E-47.424784E-41.01364221.0E-5
7.61.0843726E-61.0934698E-61.0934698E-61.00.04.647303E-64.686291E-64.686291E-61.00.05.6579443E-55.7054123E-56.705355E-51.17526221.0E-55.656504E-45.7039736E-45.803917E-41.01752161.0E-5
7.75.544814E-75.502016E-75.502016E-71.00.02.3763469E-62.3580046E-62.3580046E-61.00.02.8931638E-52.8708331E-52.8708331E-51.00.02.8927872E-42.8704636E-42.8704636E-41.00.0
7.82.0707465E-71.977911E-71.977911E-71.00.08.874625E-78.4767584E-78.4767584E-71.00.01.08048025E-51.0320405E-51.0320405E-51.00.01.0804277E-41.03199294E-41.03199294E-41.00.0
7.93.9821284E-83.4332658E-83.4332658E-81.00.01.7066264E-71.4713996E-71.4713996E-71.00.02.0778157E-61.7914276E-61.7914276E-61.00.02.0777963E-51.7914137E-51.7914137E-51.00.0
8.07.880441E-118.235512E-118.235512E-111.00.03.3773329E-103.5295045E-103.5295045E-101.00.04.1119033E-94.2971724E-94.2971724E-91.00.04.1119034E-84.297172E-84.297172E-81.00.0

White Mountains

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.503579E-53.378576E-53.378576E-51.00.01.5014476E-41.4478876E-41.4478876E-41.00.00.00182647960.00176149860.00178146341.0113342.0E-50.0181154030.0174876970.0175171721.00168553.0E-5
6.13.503579E-53.378576E-53.378576E-51.00.01.5014476E-41.4478876E-41.4478876E-41.00.00.00182647960.00176149860.00178146341.0113342.0E-50.0181154030.0174876970.0175171721.00168553.0E-5
6.23.503579E-53.378576E-53.378576E-51.00.01.5014476E-41.4478876E-41.4478876E-41.00.00.00182647960.00176149860.00178146341.0113342.0E-50.0181154030.0174876970.0175171721.00168553.0E-5
6.31.7818425E-51.5916949E-51.5916949E-51.00.07.636245E-56.821379E-56.821379E-51.00.09.293162E-48.3020073E-48.401924E-41.01203531.0E-50.0092543950.0082724510.0082823691.00119891.0E-5
6.41.7818425E-51.5916949E-51.5916949E-51.00.07.636245E-56.821379E-56.821379E-51.00.09.293162E-48.3020073E-48.401924E-41.01203531.0E-50.0092543950.0082724510.0082823691.00119891.0E-5
6.51.3397557E-51.1336967E-51.1336967E-51.00.05.741684E-54.858614E-54.858614E-51.00.06.988258E-45.913826E-46.0137676E-41.01689951.0E-50.0069663230.00589879460.00590873561.00168531.0E-5
6.61.0818695E-58.625845E-68.625845E-61.00.04.6365014E-53.696741E-53.696741E-51.00.05.6434784E-44.499896E-44.599851E-41.02221271.0E-50.0056291680.00449122070.0045011761.00221661.0E-5
6.79.067908E-66.802775E-66.802775E-61.00.03.8861883E-52.915444E-52.915444E-51.00.04.7304068E-43.549007E-43.6489713E-41.02816691.0E-50.004720350.00354365630.0035536211.00281191.0E-5
6.87.295947E-64.936636E-64.936636E-61.00.03.126797E-52.1156846E-52.1156846E-51.00.03.8062103E-42.5755528E-42.675527E-41.03881661.0E-50.00379969760.00257268080.0025826551.0038771.0E-5
6.96.2243444E-63.8324238E-63.8324238E-61.00.02.6675489E-51.6424572E-51.6424572E-51.00.03.2472567E-41.9995135E-42.0994934E-41.05000221.0E-50.00324251570.00199776720.0020077471.00499561.0E-5
7.04.9878413E-62.6796909E-62.6796909E-61.00.02.1376287E-51.1484341E-51.1484341E-51.00.02.602252E-41.3981314E-41.4981175E-41.0715141.0E-50.0025992070.0013972780.0014072641.00714671.0E-5
7.14.0252844E-61.8858237E-61.8858237E-61.00.01.7251105E-58.082077E-68.082077E-61.00.02.1001195E-49.839498E-59.839498E-51.00.00.00209813599.835269E-49.835269E-41.00.0
7.23.3284066E-61.2820087E-61.2820087E-61.00.01.4264522E-55.494312E-65.494312E-61.00.01.736567E-46.68913E-56.68913E-51.00.00.00173521076.6872174E-46.6872174E-41.00.0
7.32.458226E-66.057767E-76.057767E-71.00.01.0535211E-52.5961833E-62.5961833E-61.00.01.2825865E-43.1608113E-53.1608113E-51.00.00.00128184643.1603992E-43.1603992E-41.00.0
7.41.965953E-63.1094075E-73.1094075E-71.00.08.425486E-61.3326026E-61.3326026E-61.00.01.0257547E-41.6224316E-51.6224316E-51.00.00.00102528131.6223144E-41.6223144E-41.00.0
7.51.2014192E-61.8247486E-71.8247486E-71.00.05.148929E-67.820349E-77.820349E-71.00.06.2686406E-59.521234E-69.521234E-61.00.06.266873E-49.520834E-59.520834E-51.00.0
7.62.5612175E-74.8954593E-84.8954593E-81.00.01.0976642E-62.0980538E-72.0980538E-71.00.01.3363979E-52.554378E-62.554378E-61.00.01.3363175E-42.5543522E-52.5543522E-51.00.0

Rose Canyon

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5923203E-54.9721333E-54.9721333E-51.00.01.9679888E-42.130744E-42.2307226E-41.0469221.0E-50.00239339330.0025912910.00261123921.00769822.0E-50.0236777980.025624490.0256537221.00114073.0E-5
6.14.5923203E-54.9721333E-54.9721333E-51.00.01.9679888E-42.130744E-42.2307226E-41.0469221.0E-50.00239339330.0025912910.00261123921.00769822.0E-50.0236777980.025624490.0256537221.00114073.0E-5
6.22.8844734E-52.9672712E-52.9672712E-51.00.01.2361443E-41.2716257E-41.371613E-41.07862951.0E-50.00150396650.00154713420.00156710331.01290712.0E-50.01493828650.0153627890.0153923291.00192273.0E-5
6.32.3171577E-52.316474E-52.316474E-51.00.09.9302975E-59.9273755E-51.0927276E-41.10072161.0E-50.00120834310.0012080010.0012179891.00826811.0E-50.0120179380.0120076570.0120274171.00164562.0E-5
6.42.0066604E-51.9670135E-51.9670135E-51.00.08.599689E-58.4297906E-59.4297066E-51.11861691.0E-50.00104650920.00102585380.00103584351.0097381.0E-50.0104159460.0102092160.0102290111.0019392.0E-5
6.51.776989E-51.7116565E-51.7116565E-51.00.07.615444E-57.3354684E-58.335395E-51.13631391.0E-59.267859E-48.9273433E-49.027254E-41.01119151.0E-50.0092293030.0088851210.0089049431.0022312.0E-5
6.61.5227364E-51.4341523E-51.4341523E-51.00.06.52585E-56.146225E-57.146163E-51.16269151.0E-57.942326E-47.4805116E-47.5804366E-41.01335811.0E-50.0079140.0074432730.0074631241.0026672.0E-5
6.71.2703898E-51.1674748E-51.1674748E-51.00.05.4444143E-55.0033697E-56.0033195E-51.19985531.0E-56.626558E-46.089942E-46.189881E-41.01641051.0E-50.0066068330.00606477070.00608464941.00327782.0E-5
6.81.1554917E-51.0610774E-51.0610774E-51.00.04.9520135E-54.5473975E-55.547352E-51.2198961.0E-56.0274085E-45.5350905E-45.635035E-41.01805651.0E-50.00601108650.00550706270.00552695241.00361172.0E-5
6.98.732078E-67.882542E-67.882542E-61.00.03.7422655E-53.3781904E-54.3781565E-51.29600641.0E-54.5552556E-44.1121998E-44.2121587E-41.02430781.0E-50.00454592940.00408964840.00410956661.00487042.0E-5
7.05.9337494E-65.1076154E-65.1076154E-61.00.02.5430107E-52.1889597E-53.188938E-51.4568281.0E-53.0956755E-42.664734E-42.7647073E-41.03751721.0E-50.00309136670.00266155440.0026815011.00749442.0E-5
7.15.013409E-64.1774833E-64.1774833E-61.00.02.1485863E-51.7903378E-52.79032E-51.55854381.0E-52.6155898E-42.1795194E-42.2794976E-41.04587171.0E-50.00261251330.00217739350.002197351.00916532.0E-5
7.24.120763E-63.2822081E-63.2822081E-61.00.01.7660293E-51.4066532E-52.406639E-51.71089731.0E-52.1499286E-41.7124665E-41.8124493E-41.05838531.0E-50.00214784990.00171115650.00173112231.0116682.0E-5
7.33.2081239E-62.4405792E-62.4405792E-61.00.01.374903E-51.0459584E-52.045948E-51.9560511.0E-51.6738157E-41.2733806E-41.3733678E-41.07852111.0E-50.00167255560.0012726580.00128264531.00784751.0E-5
7.42.4194755E-61.7680943E-61.7680943E-61.00.01.0369139E-57.577525E-67.577525E-61.00.01.2623696E-49.225252E-59.225252E-51.00.00.00126165279.221476E-49.221476E-41.00.0
7.51.3842889E-69.378659E-79.378659E-71.00.05.9326535E-64.019419E-64.019419E-61.00.07.222766E-54.8935366E-54.8935366E-51.00.07.220419E-44.892494E-44.892494E-41.00.0
7.61.0021575E-66.4116585E-76.4116585E-71.00.04.2949537E-62.7478509E-62.7478509E-61.00.05.2289808E-53.345459E-53.345459E-51.00.05.2277505E-43.3449772E-43.3449772E-41.00.0
7.78.7620116E-86.449451E-86.449451E-81.00.03.7551473E-72.7640502E-72.7640502E-71.00.04.5718825E-63.3652261E-63.3652261E-61.00.04.5717883E-53.365178E-53.365178E-51.00.0

Palos Verdes

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.126063E-57.623574E-57.623574E-51.00.02.6251914E-43.2668703E-43.2668703E-41.00.00.00319148650.00397068450.0039906051.00501692.0E-50.0314603930.0390540030.039082831.00073813.0E-5
6.16.126063E-57.623574E-57.623574E-51.00.02.6251914E-43.2668703E-43.2668703E-41.00.00.00319148650.00397068450.0039906051.00501692.0E-50.0314603930.0390540030.039082831.00073813.0E-5
6.26.126063E-57.623574E-57.623574E-51.00.02.6251914E-43.2668703E-43.2668703E-41.00.00.00319148650.00397068450.0039906051.00501692.0E-50.0314603930.0390540030.039082831.00073813.0E-5
6.34.0838047E-54.9754835E-54.9754835E-51.00.01.7500846E-42.1321885E-42.1321885E-41.00.00.00212864580.00259305470.00261300271.00769292.0E-50.0210837090.025649680.025678911.00113963.0E-5
6.44.0838047E-54.9754835E-54.9754835E-51.00.01.7500846E-42.1321885E-42.1321885E-41.00.00.00212864580.00259305470.00261300271.00769292.0E-50.0210837090.025649680.025678911.00113963.0E-5
6.53.0512005E-53.6565478E-53.6565478E-51.00.01.3075917E-41.5670045E-41.5670045E-41.00.00.00159083040.00190627370.00191625461.00523581.0E-50.0157949030.0189111550.0189209671.00051881.0E-5
6.62.9255087E-53.5158188E-53.5158188E-51.00.01.2537291E-41.5066989E-41.5066989E-41.00.00.00152534640.00183297520.00184295691.00544561.0E-50.0151491890.0181901830.01821.00053981.0E-5
6.72.287198E-52.7251068E-52.7251068E-51.00.09.801909E-51.1678558E-41.1678558E-41.00.00.0011927290.00142102870.00143101451.00702711.0E-50.0118634770.0141286540.0141385131.00069771.0E-5
6.82.1325764E-52.5434496E-52.5434496E-51.00.09.139293E-51.0900094E-41.0900094E-41.00.00.0011121410.00132636880.00133635551.00752941.0E-50.0110659150.0131935620.013203431.00074791.0E-5
6.91.9009392E-52.2615843E-52.2615843E-51.00.08.1466285E-59.692193E-59.692193E-51.00.09.914007E-40.00117947310.00118946131.00846841.0E-50.0098698940.0117408180.01175071.00084171.0E-5
7.01.7098473E-52.0321406E-52.0321406E-51.00.07.3277115E-58.708931E-58.708931E-51.00.08.917837E-40.00105988190.00105988191.00.00.0088821340.0105567070.0105567071.00.0
7.11.5982785E-51.8996678E-51.8996678E-51.00.06.849585E-58.141227E-58.141227E-51.00.08.336179E-49.908284E-49.908284E-41.00.00.0083049770.0098724720.0098724721.00.0
7.21.4468002E-51.7198974E-51.7198974E-51.00.06.200425E-57.370828E-57.370828E-51.00.07.546402E-48.971129E-48.971129E-41.00.00.0075208270.0089431850.0089431851.00.0
7.35.288233E-66.204259E-66.204259E-61.00.02.2663658E-52.6589607E-52.6589607E-51.00.02.7589512E-43.237153E-43.237153E-41.00.00.00275552830.0032358610.0032358611.00.0
7.48.279556E-78.408416E-78.408416E-71.00.03.5483763E-63.6036022E-63.6036022E-61.00.04.3200624E-54.387305E-54.387305E-51.00.04.3192226E-44.386511E-44.386511E-41.00.0
7.56.559831E-76.667287E-76.667287E-71.00.02.8113532E-62.857406E-62.857406E-61.00.03.4227687E-53.4788427E-53.4788427E-51.00.03.4222414E-43.4783647E-43.4783647E-41.00.0
7.63.5018968E-73.5620351E-73.5620351E-71.00.01.500812E-61.526586E-61.526586E-61.00.01.8272232E-51.8586072E-51.8586072E-51.00.01.8270731E-41.8584977E-41.8584977E-41.00.0
7.71.1986104E-71.2198491E-71.2198491E-71.00.05.1369005E-75.227924E-75.227924E-71.00.06.2541585E-66.364979E-66.364979E-61.00.06.2539824E-56.364801E-56.364801E-51.00.0
7.83.0445005E-83.10279E-83.10279E-81.00.01.3047858E-71.3297671E-71.3297671E-71.00.01.5885756E-61.6189904E-61.6189904E-61.00.01.5885644E-51.6189806E-51.6189806E-51.00.0

Whittier alt 1

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.2554693E-54.725724E-54.725724E-51.00.01.8236451E-42.0251713E-42.125151E-41.04936851.0E-50.0022180270.00246317990.00247315531.00404981.0E-50.021960190.0243928250.0244220921.00119983.0E-5
6.14.2554693E-54.725724E-54.725724E-51.00.01.8236451E-42.0251713E-42.125151E-41.04936851.0E-50.0022180270.00246317990.00247315531.00404981.0E-50.021960190.0243928250.0244220921.00119983.0E-5
6.24.2554693E-54.725724E-54.725724E-51.00.01.8236451E-42.0251713E-42.125151E-41.04936851.0E-50.0022180270.00246317990.00247315531.00404981.0E-50.021960190.0243928250.0244220921.00119983.0E-5
6.31.9617712E-51.827133E-51.827133E-51.00.08.40732E-57.8303456E-57.8303456E-51.00.00.00102311059.5294666E-49.5294666E-41.00.00.010184130.0094918870.0094918871.00.0
6.41.5611336E-51.3606614E-51.3606614E-51.00.06.690401E-55.8312788E-55.8312788E-51.00.08.142519E-47.0973294E-47.0973294E-41.00.00.0081127480.00707662340.00707662341.00.0
6.51.5150166E-51.3103243E-51.3103243E-51.00.06.492767E-55.615558E-55.615558E-51.00.07.9020765E-46.834856E-46.834856E-41.00.00.0078740360.00681578040.00681578041.00.0
6.61.295588E-51.03825705E-51.03825705E-51.00.05.552402E-54.4495984E-54.4495984E-51.00.06.7579525E-45.4160587E-45.4160587E-41.00.00.0067374380.0054043720.0054043721.00.0
6.71.2542085E-59.901169E-69.901169E-61.00.05.3750682E-54.24329E-54.24329E-51.00.06.542181E-45.165E-45.165E-41.00.00.0065229540.00515449650.00515449651.00.0
6.81.2195878E-59.497154E-69.497154E-61.00.05.2267E-54.0701463E-54.0701463E-51.00.06.36165E-44.954295E-44.954295E-41.00.00.00634346860.00494464350.00494464351.00.0
6.91.1580298E-58.774531E-68.774531E-61.00.04.9628903E-53.76046E-53.76046E-51.00.06.040644E-44.577415E-44.577415E-41.00.00.006024250.00456934560.00456934561.00.0
7.01.0964795E-58.085506E-68.085506E-61.00.04.6991136E-53.465172E-53.465172E-51.00.05.7196687E-44.2180452E-44.2180452E-41.00.00.00570496960.00421131360.00421131361.00.0
7.11.0230601E-57.3279657E-67.3279657E-61.00.04.3844695E-53.1405198E-53.1405198E-51.00.05.336784E-43.822925E-43.822925E-41.00.00.0053239860.00381749980.00381749981.00.0
7.29.40865E-66.544458E-66.544458E-61.00.04.032216E-52.8047383E-52.8047383E-51.00.04.908117E-43.414246E-43.414246E-41.00.00.00489729130.00341008930.00341008931.00.0
7.38.237384E-65.5987566E-65.5987566E-61.00.03.5302593E-52.3994457E-52.3994457E-51.00.04.2972428E-42.920944E-42.920944E-41.00.00.00428894260.0029174290.0029174291.00.0
7.47.5316966E-65.028736E-65.028736E-61.00.03.2278298E-52.1551552E-52.1551552E-51.00.03.9291743E-42.6235956E-42.6235956E-41.00.00.00392223430.00262060830.00262060831.00.0
7.56.149649E-63.9345864E-63.9345864E-61.00.02.6355372E-51.6862408E-51.6862408E-51.00.03.208294E-42.0528138E-42.0528138E-41.00.00.0032036660.00205100680.00205100681.00.0
7.65.457711E-63.3960353E-63.3960353E-61.00.02.338998E-51.455436E-51.455436E-51.00.02.8473578E-41.7718575E-41.7718575E-41.00.00.00284371220.00177052550.00177052551.00.0
7.74.1676276E-62.3337E-62.3337E-61.00.01.7861139E-51.0001537E-51.0001537E-51.00.02.1743766E-41.21762656E-41.21762656E-41.00.00.00217225030.00121703250.00121703251.00.0
7.82.2692414E-79.38645E-89.38645E-81.00.09.725317E-74.0227638E-74.0227638E-71.00.01.1840509E-54.8977076E-64.8977076E-61.00.01.1839878E-44.8976322E-54.8976322E-51.00.0
7.96.676829E-93.4402008E-93.4402008E-91.00.02.861498E-81.4743718E-81.4743718E-81.00.03.4838732E-71.7950475E-71.7950475E-71.00.03.4838679E-61.7950463E-61.7950463E-61.00.0

San Clemente

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.681379E-58.164766E-58.164766E-51.00.02.8631336E-43.4987382E-43.5987032E-41.02857171.0E-50.0034802940.00425190760.00427182251.00468372.0E-50.034262910.0417608250.041789571.00068843.0E-5
6.16.681379E-58.164766E-58.164766E-51.00.02.8631336E-43.4987382E-43.5987032E-41.02857171.0E-50.0034802940.00425190760.00427182251.00468372.0E-50.034262910.0417608250.041789571.00068843.0E-5
6.23.9400576E-54.6456847E-54.6456847E-51.00.01.6884868E-41.9908592E-41.9908592E-41.00.00.00205379450.00242122980.00243120571.00412011.0E-50.0203491670.0239551640.0239649251.00040751.0E-5
6.33.2590255E-53.793244E-53.793244E-51.00.01.3966505E-41.6255764E-41.6255764E-41.00.00.00169909560.0019773730.00198735321.00504721.0E-50.016861630.0196015780.0196113831.00050021.0E-5
6.42.9454652E-53.410063E-53.410063E-51.00.01.2622811E-41.4613752E-41.4613752E-41.00.00.00153574380.00177779860.00178778081.00561491.0E-50.0152517390.0176389390.0176487621.0005571.0E-5
6.52.790836E-53.2250136E-53.2250136E-51.00.01.1960178E-41.3820769E-41.3820769E-41.00.00.0014551790.00168140560.00169138881.00593751.0E-50.0144568680.0166898560.0166996891.00058911.0E-5
6.62.2492153E-52.5764695E-52.5764695E-51.00.09.639138E-51.1041553E-41.1041553E-41.00.00.00117293310.00134349490.00135348131.00743331.0E-50.0116676150.0133554430.013365311.00073871.0E-5
6.71.9862755E-52.2668124E-52.2668124E-51.00.08.512331E-59.7145545E-59.7145545E-51.00.00.00103588360.00118211660.00119210481.00844941.0E-50.0103106820.0117595780.01176946051.00084041.0E-5
6.81.6697575E-51.8979084E-51.8979084E-51.00.07.155907E-58.133645E-58.133645E-51.00.08.7088346E-49.898308E-49.998209E-41.01009271.0E-50.0086747840.0098552480.0098651491.00100471.0E-5
6.91.5218415E-51.7270635E-51.7270635E-51.00.06.522015E-57.401496E-57.401496E-51.00.07.93766E-49.007684E-49.007684E-41.00.00.0079093670.008972120.008972121.00.0
7.01.2392958E-51.4034001E-51.4034001E-51.00.05.3111595E-56.0144375E-56.0144375E-51.00.06.4644177E-47.320193E-47.320193E-41.00.00.00644564540.0072968670.0072968671.00.0
7.11.0934128E-51.2376004E-51.2376004E-51.00.04.6859706E-55.3038977E-55.3038977E-51.00.05.7036756E-46.4556557E-46.4556557E-41.00.00.00568905850.00643764860.00643764861.00.0
7.29.5798805E-61.0845695E-51.0845695E-51.00.04.1055984E-54.6480764E-54.6480764E-51.00.04.9974193E-45.6576356E-45.6576356E-41.00.00.00498619630.0056439560.0056439561.00.0
7.38.0167365E-69.084559E-69.084559E-61.00.03.4356988E-53.893328E-53.893328E-51.00.04.1821605E-44.7391668E-44.7391668E-41.00.00.00417429860.0047297630.0047297631.00.0
7.42.9581017E-63.362623E-63.362623E-61.00.01.2677518E-51.441119E-51.441119E-51.00.01.5433785E-41.7544716E-41.7544716E-41.00.00.0015423070.00175358170.00175358171.00.0

San Jacinto (Anza) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.3015636E-54.33769E-55.3376465E-51.23052741.0E-52.7003905E-41.8588782E-41.9588596E-41.05378591.0E-50.00328276910.0022608470.00227082451.00441311.0E-50.0323469680.0233365690.0233658681.00125553.0E-5
6.16.3015636E-54.33769E-55.3376465E-51.23052741.0E-52.7003905E-41.8588782E-41.9588596E-41.05378591.0E-50.00328276910.0022608470.00227082451.00441311.0E-50.0323469680.0233365690.0233658681.00125553.0E-5
6.26.3015636E-54.33769E-55.3376465E-51.23052741.0E-52.7003905E-41.8588782E-41.9588596E-41.05378591.0E-50.00328276910.0022608470.00227082451.00441311.0E-50.0323469680.0233365690.0233658681.00125553.0E-5
6.36.3015636E-54.33769E-55.3376465E-51.23052741.0E-52.7003905E-41.8588782E-41.9588596E-41.05378591.0E-50.00328276910.0022608470.00227082451.00441311.0E-50.0323469680.0233365690.0233658681.00125553.0E-5
6.46.3015636E-54.33769E-55.3376465E-51.23052741.0E-52.7003905E-41.8588782E-41.9588596E-41.05378591.0E-50.00328276910.0022608470.00227082451.00441311.0E-50.0323469680.0233365690.0233658681.00125553.0E-5
6.55.811017E-54.0152172E-55.015177E-51.24904251.0E-52.4901982E-41.7206941E-41.820677E-41.05810611.0E-50.00302760140.0020929380.0021029171.0047681.0E-50.029866840.021632110.0216614621.00135683.0E-5
6.65.811017E-54.0152172E-55.015177E-51.24904251.0E-52.4901982E-41.7206941E-41.820677E-41.05810611.0E-50.00302760140.0020929380.0021029171.0047681.0E-50.029866840.021632110.0216614621.00135683.0E-5
6.75.712442E-53.9574043E-54.9573646E-51.25268091.0E-52.4479596E-41.6959205E-41.7959035E-41.05895511.0E-50.00297631770.00206283340.00207281281.00483781.0E-50.0293676930.0213243720.0213537331.00137693.0E-5
6.85.6967532E-53.9430324E-54.942993E-51.25360191.0E-52.4412372E-41.689762E-41.789745E-41.05916991.0E-50.00296815530.00205534950.00206532891.00485541.0E-50.0292882290.0212485320.0212778951.00138193.0E-5
6.95.6211324E-53.9134367E-54.9133978E-51.25551991.0E-52.4088343E-41.6770797E-41.7770629E-41.05961741.0E-50.00292881160.00203993780.00204991741.00489211.0E-50.0289051090.0210888460.0211182141.00139263.0E-5
7.05.4383527E-53.7993592E-54.7993213E-51.26319231.0E-52.3305144E-41.6281955E-41.7281792E-41.06140771.0E-50.00283370940.00198053060.00199051081.00503911.0E-50.0279784650.0204754770.0205048621.00143523.0E-5
7.15.1393665E-53.6453963E-54.64536E-51.27430861.0E-52.2023996E-41.5622194E-41.6622037E-41.06400141.0E-50.00267812420.00190034710.0019103281.00525221.0E-50.0264607820.0196466110.0196760221.0014973.0E-5
7.24.785222E-53.480354E-54.4803193E-51.2873171.0E-52.0506482E-41.4914952E-41.5914802E-41.06703691.0E-50.00249380550.00181438650.00182436841.00550151.0E-50.0246600490.0187586230.018788061.00156933.0E-5
7.34.2143256E-53.3895747E-54.389541E-51.29501221.0E-51.8060145E-41.4525942E-41.5525796E-41.06883241.0E-50.0021966050.00176710230.00177708471.0056491.0E-50.021750190.0182679850.0182974381.00161223.0E-5
7.44.0264713E-53.35335E-54.353316E-51.29819931.0E-51.7255165E-41.4370709E-41.5370565E-41.0695761.0E-50.0020987920.00174823310.00175821571.005711.0E-50.0207908040.0180723720.018101831.001633.0E-5
7.53.694492E-53.2245665E-54.2245345E-51.31010911.0E-51.5832575E-41.381884E-41.4818703E-41.07235491.0E-50.00192591180.00168114870.00169113191.00593831.0E-50.019093060.0173878260.0174173041.00169543.0E-5
7.63.200565E-52.9554123E-53.9553826E-51.33835231.0E-51.3715986E-41.2665438E-41.3665312E-41.0789451.0E-50.0016686420.00154092870.00155091331.00647961.0E-50.016561680.0159720130.0160015341.00184833.0E-5
7.72.731642E-52.6141446E-53.6141184E-51.38252441.0E-51.1706512E-41.12029964E-41.2202884E-41.08925191.0E-50.0014243360.00136311240.00137309871.00732611.0E-50.0141524120.0141921180.0142216921.00208393.0E-5
7.82.3466424E-52.3551616E-53.355138E-51.42458931.0E-51.0056651E-41.009316E-41.1093059E-41.0990671.0E-50.00122370940.00122815020.0012381381.00813231.0E-50.0121699280.0128329630.0128625771.00230783.0E-5
7.91.8611925E-51.8950184E-52.8949995E-51.52768931.0E-57.9762955E-58.121255E-59.121174E-51.12312361.0E-59.7068126E-49.883151E-49.983052E-41.01010821.0E-50.00966452250.0104159170.0104456051.00285023.0E-5
8.01.5460775E-51.5778292E-52.5778134E-51.63377211.0E-56.6258784E-56.7619505E-57.7618824E-51.14787641.0E-58.0640207E-48.229572E-48.3294895E-41.01214131.0E-50.0080348210.0087226120.008752351.00340943.0E-5
8.19.983884E-68.29136E-68.29136E-61.00.04.2787375E-53.553392E-53.553392E-51.00.05.2081177E-44.3254014E-44.3254014E-41.00.00.00519592830.0046516280.00466158151.00213981.0E-5
8.24.1226E-61.5588215E-61.5588215E-61.00.01.7668166E-56.6806465E-66.6806465E-61.00.02.1508869E-48.133386E-58.133386E-51.00.00.00214880649.43875E-49.43875E-41.00.0
8.31.2750878E-63.6277774E-73.6277774E-71.00.05.4646503E-61.5547608E-61.5547608E-61.00.06.653009E-51.8929053E-51.8929053E-51.00.06.6510175E-42.2828147E-42.2828147E-41.00.0

Simi-Santa Rosa

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.198912E-52.2277021E-53.22768E-51.4488831.0E-59.4235686E-59.54697E-51.05468745E-41.10473531.0E-50.00114671560.00116176760.00118174441.01719512.0E-50.0114081630.011561390.0115910431.00256483.0E-5
6.12.198912E-52.2277021E-53.22768E-51.4488831.0E-59.4235686E-59.54697E-51.05468745E-41.10473531.0E-50.00114671560.00116176760.00118174441.01719512.0E-50.0114081630.011561390.0115910431.00256483.0E-5
6.21.69983E-51.666977E-52.6669604E-51.59987831.0E-57.284782E-57.144008E-58.1439364E-51.13996741.0E-58.865613E-48.694651E-48.794564E-41.01149131.0E-50.0088303270.0086635550.0086833821.00228862.0E-5
6.31.69983E-51.666977E-52.6669604E-51.59987831.0E-57.284782E-57.144008E-58.1439364E-51.13996741.0E-58.865613E-48.694651E-48.794564E-41.01149131.0E-50.0088303270.0086635550.0086833821.00228862.0E-5
6.41.4666188E-51.4053585E-52.4053445E-51.71155231.0E-56.285358E-56.02284E-57.02278E-51.16602471.0E-57.6497364E-47.3305896E-47.4305164E-41.01363151.0E-50.00762345640.00730888450.0073287381.00271642.0E-5
6.51.4666188E-51.4053585E-52.4053445E-51.71155231.0E-56.285358E-56.02284E-57.02278E-51.16602471.0E-57.6497364E-47.3305896E-47.4305164E-41.01363151.0E-50.00762345640.00730888450.0073287381.00271642.0E-5
6.61.4377586E-51.3730604E-52.3730467E-51.72829011.0E-56.1616774E-55.884426E-56.884367E-51.16993011.0E-57.4992597E-47.1621826E-47.2621106E-41.01395231.0E-50.0074740030.0071415680.00716142541.00278062.0E-5
6.71.3881404E-51.320854E-52.3208408E-51.7570761.0E-55.9490372E-55.6606936E-56.660637E-51.17664681.0E-57.240546E-46.889962E-46.989894E-41.01450381.0E-50.0072170.00687105070.00689091351.00289072.0E-5
6.81.0176516E-59.154869E-61.9154777E-52.0923051.0E-54.3612912E-53.9234656E-54.9234262E-51.25486671.0E-55.308578E-44.7759383E-44.8758904E-41.02092831.0E-50.00529591460.0047673080.004777261.00208761.0E-5
6.99.699797E-68.775409E-61.8775321E-52.1395381.0E-54.15699E-53.7608446E-54.760807E-51.26588771.0E-55.05996E-44.5780305E-44.677985E-41.02183341.0E-50.0050484540.0045702180.00458017221.00217811.0E-5
7.07.4049476E-66.559854E-66.559854E-61.00.03.1735104E-52.8113427E-52.8113427E-51.00.03.8630638E-43.4223986E-43.4223986E-41.00.00.00385635530.00341837060.00341837061.00.0
7.13.873439E-62.75975E-62.75975E-61.00.01.6600346E-51.1827447E-51.1827447E-51.00.02.0209046E-41.4398989E-41.4398989E-41.00.00.00201906780.00143898950.00143898951.00.0
7.23.417706E-62.367868E-62.367868E-61.00.01.4647229E-51.0147968E-51.0147968E-51.00.01.7831543E-41.2354473E-41.2354473E-41.00.00.00178172420.00123478270.00123478271.00.0
7.31.90225E-61.4075636E-61.4075636E-61.00.08.152474E-66.0324014E-66.0324014E-61.00.09.9251854E-57.344203E-57.344203E-51.00.09.920754E-47.3417986E-47.3417986E-41.00.0
7.41.5170556E-61.102654E-61.102654E-61.00.06.5016507E-64.7256517E-64.7256517E-61.00.07.915472E-55.75333E-55.75333E-51.00.07.9126534E-45.751852E-45.751852E-41.00.0
7.51.178732E-68.5367844E-78.5367844E-71.00.05.0516987E-63.6586166E-63.6586166E-61.00.06.1502695E-54.4542758E-54.4542758E-51.00.06.148568E-44.4533925E-44.4533925E-41.00.0
7.66.8722386E-74.7947464E-74.7947464E-71.00.02.9452417E-62.0548896E-62.0548896E-61.00.03.5857727E-52.5017995E-52.5017995E-51.00.03.5851944E-42.501519E-42.501519E-41.00.0
7.75.5126515E-73.6746107E-73.6746107E-71.00.02.3625628E-61.5748323E-61.5748323E-61.00.02.8763823E-51.9173414E-51.9173414E-51.00.02.87601E-41.9171771E-41.9171771E-41.00.0
7.83.3860243E-72.008429E-72.008429E-71.00.01.4511525E-68.60755E-78.60755E-71.00.01.7667637E-51.0479643E-51.0479643E-51.00.01.7666233E-41.04791536E-41.04791536E-41.00.0
7.92.7955386E-71.4656874E-71.4656874E-71.00.01.1980875E-66.281516E-76.281516E-71.00.01.4586617E-57.647719E-67.647719E-61.00.01.458566E-47.64746E-57.64746E-51.00.0
8.05.6259015E-83.336323E-83.336323E-81.00.02.4111003E-71.4298526E-71.4298526E-71.00.02.9355108E-61.7408443E-61.7408443E-61.00.02.935472E-51.740832E-51.740832E-51.00.0

Bullion Mountains

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6420427E-51.4692933E-51.4692933E-51.00.07.037136E-56.296841E-57.296778E-51.15879981.0E-58.5643446E-47.664091E-47.7640143E-41.01303791.0E-50.0085314130.00764145330.00767122441.0038963.0E-5
6.11.6420427E-51.4692933E-51.4692933E-51.00.07.037136E-56.296841E-57.296778E-51.15879981.0E-58.5643446E-47.664091E-47.7640143E-41.01303791.0E-50.0085314130.00764145330.00767122441.0038963.0E-5
6.21.6420427E-51.4692933E-51.4692933E-51.00.07.037136E-56.296841E-57.296778E-51.15879981.0E-58.5643446E-47.664091E-47.7640143E-41.01303791.0E-50.0085314130.00764145330.00767122441.0038963.0E-5
6.31.2046778E-59.862912E-69.862912E-61.00.05.1628023E-54.2269065E-54.2269065E-51.00.06.283899E-45.1452755E-45.1452755E-41.00.00.00626615950.0051356440.0051356441.00.0
6.41.2046778E-59.862912E-69.862912E-61.00.05.1628023E-54.2269065E-54.2269065E-51.00.06.283899E-45.1452755E-45.1452755E-41.00.00.00626615950.0051356440.0051356441.00.0
6.51.0244343E-57.879929E-67.879929E-61.00.04.390359E-53.3770804E-53.3770804E-51.00.05.343951E-44.1110266E-44.1110266E-41.00.00.0053311180.0041054530.0041054531.00.0
6.69.605408E-67.177931E-67.177931E-61.00.04.1165385E-53.0762312E-53.0762312E-51.00.05.010733E-43.7448714E-43.7448714E-41.00.00.004999450.00374055820.00374055821.00.0
6.78.60418E-66.1243827E-66.1243827E-61.00.03.687454E-52.62472E-52.62472E-51.00.04.48855E-43.195323E-43.195323E-41.00.00.0044794950.00319264080.00319264081.00.0
6.85.187994E-62.5633894E-62.5633894E-61.00.02.223407E-51.098593E-51.098593E-51.00.02.7066618E-41.3374949E-41.3374949E-41.00.00.00270336750.00133708150.00133708151.00.0
6.94.5302368E-62.344526E-62.344526E-61.00.01.9415156E-51.0047952E-51.0047952E-51.00.02.3635388E-41.2233092E-41.2233092E-41.00.00.00236102660.00122302490.00122302491.00.0
7.03.431668E-61.6884097E-61.6884097E-61.00.01.4707065E-57.2360417E-67.2360417E-61.00.01.7904381E-48.809881E-58.809881E-51.00.00.00178899628.809881E-48.809881E-41.00.0

San Cayetano

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.3476267E-51.8172113E-51.8172113E-51.00.01.0060869E-47.787818E-57.787818E-51.00.00.00122422259.477581E-49.577486E-41.01054121.0E-50.0121750020.0094377380.0094674551.00314873.0E-5
6.12.3476267E-51.8172113E-51.8172113E-51.00.01.0060869E-47.787818E-57.787818E-51.00.00.00122422259.477581E-49.577486E-41.01054121.0E-50.0121750020.0094377380.0094674551.00314873.0E-5
6.22.3476267E-51.8172113E-51.8172113E-51.00.01.0060869E-47.787818E-57.787818E-51.00.00.00122422259.477581E-49.577486E-41.01054121.0E-50.0121750020.0094377380.0094674551.00314873.0E-5
6.32.3476267E-51.8172113E-51.8172113E-51.00.01.0060869E-47.787818E-57.787818E-51.00.00.00122422259.477581E-49.577486E-41.01054121.0E-50.0121750020.0094377380.0094674551.00314873.0E-5
6.42.3476267E-51.8172113E-51.8172113E-51.00.01.0060869E-47.787818E-57.787818E-51.00.00.00122422259.477581E-49.577486E-41.01054121.0E-50.0121750020.0094377380.0094674551.00314873.0E-5
6.52.3476267E-51.8172113E-51.8172113E-51.00.01.0060869E-47.787818E-57.787818E-51.00.00.00122422259.477581E-49.577486E-41.01054121.0E-50.0121750020.0094377380.0094674551.00314873.0E-5
6.62.3476267E-51.8172113E-51.8172113E-51.00.01.0060869E-47.787818E-57.787818E-51.00.00.00122422259.477581E-49.577486E-41.01054121.0E-50.0121750020.0094377380.0094674551.00314873.0E-5
6.72.3476267E-51.8172113E-51.8172113E-51.00.01.0060869E-47.787818E-57.787818E-51.00.00.00122422259.477581E-49.577486E-41.01054121.0E-50.0121750020.0094377380.0094674551.00314873.0E-5
6.82.3241924E-51.7939776E-51.7939776E-51.00.09.960445E-57.6882505E-57.6882505E-51.00.00.00121200959.356462E-49.456368E-41.01067781.0E-50.0120542040.0093175720.0093472931.00318973.0E-5
6.92.2761007E-51.7435174E-51.7435174E-51.00.09.7543525E-57.472005E-57.472005E-51.00.00.00118694549.0934034E-49.193313E-41.01098691.0E-50.0118062560.0090566730.0090864021.00328243.0E-5
7.02.240283E-51.7068909E-51.7068909E-51.00.09.600859E-57.315043E-57.315043E-51.00.00.00116827778.9024607E-49.002372E-41.01122281.0E-50.0116215490.008867260.0088969941.00335323.0E-5
7.12.1871154E-51.6588769E-51.6588769E-51.00.09.373015E-57.10928E-57.10928E-51.00.00.00114056718.652145E-48.7520585E-41.01154781.0E-50.0113473090.0086189080.008648651.00345083.0E-5
7.22.0714133E-51.556723E-51.556723E-51.00.08.8771834E-56.671501E-56.671501E-51.00.00.00108026118.119558E-48.2194764E-41.0123061.0E-50.0107502490.0080903130.008120071.00367813.0E-5
7.31.8408395E-51.3997954E-51.3997954E-51.00.07.8890735E-55.998987E-55.998987E-51.00.09.600714E-47.301349E-47.401276E-41.01368611.0E-50.0095593420.00727773920.00729759361.00272812.0E-5
7.41.6856795E-51.2850997E-51.2850997E-51.00.07.2241404E-55.5074554E-55.5074554E-51.00.08.7918417E-46.7032926E-46.803226E-41.01490811.0E-50.008757140.00668340040.00670326641.00297252.0E-5
7.51.2822778E-59.578085E-69.578085E-61.00.05.495361E-54.1048297E-54.1048297E-51.00.06.688548E-44.9965E-44.9965E-41.00.00.0066684520.004985330.004995281.00199591.0E-5
7.65.6272684E-63.855225E-63.855225E-61.00.02.4116642E-51.6522288E-51.6522288E-51.00.02.9358055E-42.0114038E-42.0114038E-41.00.00.00293193010.00200959430.00200959431.00.0
7.73.5261346E-62.3409038E-62.3409038E-61.00.01.5111918E-51.0032407E-51.0032407E-51.00.01.8397206E-41.2213778E-41.2213778E-41.00.00.00183819840.0012207140.0012207141.00.0
7.81.4826929E-61.0565171E-61.0565171E-61.00.06.354383E-64.527923E-64.527923E-61.00.07.736187E-55.5126085E-55.5126085E-51.00.07.733494E-45.5112614E-45.5112614E-41.00.0
7.92.7568166E-71.6979682E-71.6979682E-71.00.01.1814923E-67.2770047E-77.2770047E-71.00.01.4384574E-58.859717E-68.859717E-61.00.01.4383643E-48.8593675E-58.8593675E-51.00.0
8.05.407832E-82.6892753E-82.6892753E-81.00.02.3176422E-71.1525465E-71.1525465E-71.00.02.8217257E-61.4032245E-61.4032245E-61.00.02.8216898E-51.4032161E-51.4032161E-51.00.0

Pitas Point (Lower)-Montalvo

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.2543637E-64.8380684E-61.48380195E-53.06693051.0E-52.2518509E-52.0734415E-53.073421E-51.48227991.0E-52.7412834E-42.5241257E-42.6241006E-41.03960761.0E-50.00273790420.00252129140.00255121571.01186873.0E-5
6.15.2543637E-64.8380684E-61.48380195E-53.06693051.0E-52.2518509E-52.0734415E-53.073421E-51.48227991.0E-52.7412834E-42.5241257E-42.6241006E-41.03960761.0E-50.00273790420.00252129140.00255121571.01186873.0E-5
6.25.2543637E-64.8380684E-61.48380195E-53.06693051.0E-52.2518509E-52.0734415E-53.073421E-51.48227991.0E-52.7412834E-42.5241257E-42.6241006E-41.03960761.0E-50.00273790420.00252129140.00255121571.01186873.0E-5
6.35.2543637E-64.8380684E-61.48380195E-53.06693051.0E-52.2518509E-52.0734415E-53.073421E-51.48227991.0E-52.7412834E-42.5241257E-42.6241006E-41.03960761.0E-50.00273790420.00252129140.00255121571.01186873.0E-5
6.45.2543637E-64.8380684E-61.48380195E-53.06693051.0E-52.2518509E-52.0734415E-53.073421E-51.48227991.0E-52.7412834E-42.5241257E-42.6241006E-41.03960761.0E-50.00273790420.00252129140.00255121571.01186873.0E-5
6.55.2543637E-64.8380684E-61.48380195E-53.06693051.0E-52.2518509E-52.0734415E-53.073421E-51.48227991.0E-52.7412834E-42.5241257E-42.6241006E-41.03960761.0E-50.00273790420.00252129140.00255121571.01186873.0E-5
6.65.2543637E-64.8380684E-61.48380195E-53.06693051.0E-52.2518509E-52.0734415E-53.073421E-51.48227991.0E-52.7412834E-42.5241257E-42.6241006E-41.03960761.0E-50.00273790420.00252129140.00255121571.01186873.0E-5
6.75.2543637E-64.8380684E-61.48380195E-53.06693051.0E-52.2518509E-52.0734415E-53.073421E-51.48227991.0E-52.7412834E-42.5241257E-42.6241006E-41.03960761.0E-50.00273790420.00252129140.00255121571.01186873.0E-5
6.85.2543637E-64.8380684E-61.48380195E-53.06693051.0E-52.2518509E-52.0734415E-53.073421E-51.48227991.0E-52.7412834E-42.5241257E-42.6241006E-41.03960761.0E-50.00273790420.00252129140.00255121571.01186873.0E-5
6.95.2543637E-64.8380684E-61.48380195E-53.06693051.0E-52.2518509E-52.0734415E-53.073421E-51.48227991.0E-52.7412834E-42.5241257E-42.6241006E-41.03960761.0E-50.00273790420.00252129140.00255121571.01186873.0E-5
7.05.2543637E-64.8380684E-61.48380195E-53.06693051.0E-52.2518509E-52.0734415E-53.073421E-51.48227991.0E-52.7412834E-42.5241257E-42.6241006E-41.03960761.0E-50.00273790420.00252129140.00255121571.01186873.0E-5
7.15.2543637E-64.8380684E-61.48380195E-53.06693051.0E-52.2518509E-52.0734415E-53.073421E-51.48227991.0E-52.7412834E-42.5241257E-42.6241006E-41.03960761.0E-50.00273790420.00252129140.00255121571.01186873.0E-5
7.25.2458695E-64.829222E-61.4829174E-53.07071691.0E-52.2482105E-52.0696503E-53.0696297E-51.48316351.0E-52.7368523E-42.519511E-42.619486E-41.03968021.0E-50.00273348410.0025166870.00254661151.01189043.0E-5
7.35.22665E-64.8091388E-61.480909E-53.07936431.0E-52.2399736E-52.0610434E-53.0610227E-51.48518121.0E-52.7268266E-42.5090345E-42.6090094E-41.0398461.0E-50.0027234830.00250623420.0025361591.01194013.0E-5
7.45.210642E-64.7923504E-61.4792303E-53.08664871.0E-52.233113E-52.0538486E-53.0538282E-51.48688081.0E-52.718476E-42.500277E-42.6002518E-41.03998551.0E-50.0027151530.00249749630.00252742131.01198213.0E-5
7.55.1226016E-64.700235E-61.4700188E-53.12754321.0E-52.1953823E-52.014371E-53.0143508E-51.49642291.0E-52.67255E-42.4522239E-42.5521993E-41.04076931.0E-50.00266933810.00244954950.00246950051.00814472.0E-5
7.64.8796987E-64.4451276E-64.4451276E-61.00.02.0912828E-51.905041E-51.905041E-51.00.02.5458392E-42.3191435E-42.3191435E-41.00.00.00254292460.0023167540.00232673091.00430641.0E-5
7.74.0834398E-63.6092747E-63.6092747E-61.00.01.7500339E-51.546823E-51.546823E-51.00.02.1304579E-41.8830966E-41.8830966E-41.00.00.00212841670.00188152460.00189150581.00530481.0E-5
7.82.5445438E-62.1213307E-62.1213307E-61.00.01.0905142E-59.091385E-69.091385E-61.00.01.3276201E-41.1068204E-41.1068204E-41.00.00.00132682720.00110627380.00110627381.00.0
7.94.1677114E-73.3295146E-73.3295146E-71.00.01.7861609E-61.4269341E-61.4269341E-61.00.02.1746291E-51.7372788E-51.7372788E-51.00.02.1744163E-41.7371461E-41.7371461E-41.00.0
8.07.791402E-95.6839005E-95.6839005E-91.00.03.3391725E-82.4359574E-82.4359574E-81.00.04.0654416E-72.9657778E-72.9657778E-71.00.04.065434E-62.965776E-62.965776E-61.00.0

Newport-Inglewood (Offshore)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.9626508E-51.8966122E-51.8966122E-51.00.08.411089E-58.1280916E-51.0127929E-41.24604022.0E-50.0010235699.891585E-40.00100913881.02019922.0E-50.0101886720.0098488990.0098786041.0030163.0E-5
6.11.331886E-51.2218608E-51.2218608E-51.00.05.707958E-55.2364423E-57.236337E-51.38191872.0E-56.947222E-46.373518E-46.573391E-41.03135982.0E-50.0069255440.00635541650.0063852261.00469043.0E-5
6.21.2250852E-51.1076503E-51.1076503E-51.00.05.2502597E-54.746987E-55.7469395E-51.210651.0E-56.3903164E-45.777934E-45.8778765E-41.01729731.0E-50.0063719710.0057630330.00578291761.00345042.0E-5
6.31.2106258E-51.0919358E-51.0919358E-51.00.05.1882926E-54.6796413E-55.6795947E-51.21368161.0E-56.3149154E-45.695984E-45.7959266E-41.01754621.0E-50.00629700070.00568150120.00570138781.00350022.0E-5
6.41.1348758E-51.0109799E-51.0109799E-51.00.04.8636626E-54.3326996E-55.3326563E-51.2307931.0E-55.919901E-45.273793E-45.3737406E-41.01895171.0E-50.0059041550.00526137370.0052812681.00378132.0E-5
6.51.100837E-59.7438115E-69.7438115E-61.00.04.7177873E-54.175853E-55.175811E-51.2394621.0E-55.7423924E-45.082923E-45.182872E-41.01966371.0E-50.0057275760.0050713880.00509128671.00392372.0E-5
6.61.0634696E-59.34595E-69.34595E-61.00.04.557647E-54.0053463E-55.0053062E-51.24965631.0E-55.5475225E-44.875425E-44.9753767E-41.0205011.0E-50.00553369430.00486481560.00488471851.00409112.0E-5
6.79.9780855E-68.668286E-68.668286E-61.00.04.276252E-53.714927E-54.71489E-51.26917431.0E-55.205093E-44.521992E-44.6219467E-41.02210411.0E-50.00519291820.00451286980.00453277961.00441182.0E-5
6.89.59546E-68.273307E-68.273307E-61.00.04.1122752E-53.545655E-54.5456196E-51.28202531.0E-55.0055445E-44.3159866E-44.4159434E-41.02315961.0E-50.0049942850.00430768030.0043275941.00462282.0E-5
6.99.000614E-67.707169E-67.707169E-61.00.03.857349E-53.3030312E-54.302998E-51.30274221.0E-54.6953102E-44.0207047E-44.1206647E-41.02486121.0E-50.0046854020.0040135020.00403342161.00496322.0E-5
7.07.4070194E-66.1491287E-66.1491287E-61.00.03.1743984E-52.6353144E-53.635288E-51.37945141.0E-53.8641447E-43.2080244E-43.3079923E-41.03116181.0E-50.00385743220.00320341320.0032233491.00622332.0E-5
7.16.299615E-65.0567855E-65.0567855E-61.00.02.699807E-52.1671758E-53.167154E-51.461421.0E-53.2865192E-42.6382183E-42.738192E-41.03789441.0E-50.0032816630.0026351010.00265504841.00756982.0E-5
7.25.096653E-63.8929225E-63.8929225E-61.00.02.1842614E-51.6683847E-52.668368E-51.59937211.0E-52.6590136E-42.03107E-42.1310497E-41.04922511.0E-50.00265583420.0020292250.00204918441.0098362.0E-5
7.33.9753018E-62.909986E-62.909986E-61.00.01.7036897E-51.2471309E-52.2471184E-51.80183041.0E-52.0740448E-41.5182768E-41.6182617E-41.06585421.0E-50.002072110.00151724760.00152723251.00658081.0E-5
7.43.0568392E-62.145059E-62.145059E-61.00.01.3100675E-59.193077E-69.193077E-61.00.01.5948903E-41.1192003E-41.1192003E-41.00.00.00159374610.0011186430.0011186431.00.0
7.51.7279019E-61.1470098E-61.1470098E-61.00.07.405273E-64.9157475E-64.9157475E-61.00.09.015547E-55.9847618E-55.9847618E-51.00.09.01189E-45.983189E-45.983189E-41.00.0
7.61.1156416E-67.223291E-77.223291E-71.00.04.7813123E-63.0956926E-63.0956926E-61.00.05.821092E-53.7689428E-53.7689428E-51.00.05.8195676E-43.768327E-43.768327E-41.00.0
7.79.117973E-86.73438E-86.73438E-81.00.03.907702E-72.8861623E-72.8861623E-71.00.04.757617E-63.5138974E-63.5138974E-61.00.04.7575148E-53.5138448E-53.5138448E-51.00.0

Santa Susana alt 1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.674877E-52.7200702E-52.7200702E-51.00.01.1463255E-41.1656987E-41.265687E-41.08577551.0E-50.00139475780.00141842780.00142841371.007041.0E-50.0138603620.01410517750.0141347541.00209693.0E-5
6.12.674877E-52.7200702E-52.7200702E-51.00.01.1463255E-41.1656987E-41.265687E-41.08577551.0E-50.00139475780.00141842780.00142841371.007041.0E-50.0138603620.01410517750.0141347541.00209693.0E-5
6.22.674877E-52.7200702E-52.7200702E-51.00.01.1463255E-41.1656987E-41.265687E-41.08577551.0E-50.00139475780.00141842780.00142841371.007041.0E-50.0138603620.01410517750.0141347541.00209693.0E-5
6.32.674877E-52.7200702E-52.7200702E-51.00.01.1463255E-41.1656987E-41.265687E-41.08577551.0E-50.00139475780.00141842780.00142841371.007041.0E-50.0138603620.01410517750.0141347541.00209693.0E-5
6.42.674877E-52.7200702E-52.7200702E-51.00.01.1463255E-41.1656987E-41.265687E-41.08577551.0E-50.00139475780.00141842780.00142841371.007041.0E-50.0138603620.01410517750.0141347541.00209693.0E-5
6.52.674877E-52.7200702E-52.7200702E-51.00.01.1463255E-41.1656987E-41.265687E-41.08577551.0E-50.00139475780.00141842780.00142841371.007041.0E-50.0138603620.01410517750.0141347541.00209693.0E-5
6.62.6647976E-52.7077027E-52.7077027E-51.00.01.14200615E-41.1603988E-41.2603872E-41.08616721.0E-50.00138950560.00141198360.00142196951.00707221.0E-50.0138084940.0140415550.0140711341.00210653.0E-5
6.72.6647976E-52.7077027E-52.7077027E-51.00.01.14200615E-41.1603988E-41.2603872E-41.08616721.0E-50.00138950560.00141198360.00142196951.00707221.0E-50.0138084940.0140415550.0140711341.00210653.0E-5
6.81.9073179E-51.7638708E-51.7638708E-51.00.08.1739636E-57.5592376E-58.559162E-51.13227841.0E-59.947256E-49.199667E-49.299575E-41.010861.0E-50.0099028480.0091635070.0091932321.00324383.0E-5
6.91.9041876E-51.7620838E-51.7620838E-51.00.08.160549E-57.5515796E-58.5515036E-51.13241271.0E-59.930939E-49.190351E-49.2902593E-41.01087091.0E-50.00988667550.0091542690.0091839941.00324713.0E-5
7.01.5917482E-51.386486E-51.386486E-51.00.06.8215995E-55.9419504E-56.941891E-51.16828491.0E-58.302132E-47.23197E-47.3318975E-41.01381751.0E-50.0082711850.0072089770.00722883271.00275432.0E-5
7.11.577788E-51.3744859E-51.3744859E-51.00.06.761774E-55.8905236E-56.890464E-51.16975411.0E-58.2293496E-47.169399E-47.269327E-41.01393821.0E-50.0081989410.007146810.00716666741.00277842.0E-5
7.21.5416446E-51.3470913E-51.3470913E-51.00.06.606882E-55.773123E-56.773065E-51.17320641.0E-58.0409093E-47.026557E-47.126487E-41.01422171.0E-50.0080118770.0070048710.0070247311.00283522.0E-5
7.31.4534083E-51.271876E-51.271876E-51.00.06.228744E-55.450786E-56.4507316E-51.18344971.0E-57.580857E-46.6343555E-46.7342893E-41.0150631.0E-50.0075550480.00661506040.00663492831.00300342.0E-5
7.41.2858995E-51.1230413E-51.1230413E-51.00.05.5108816E-54.8129477E-55.8128993E-51.20776281.0E-56.7074323E-45.8582274E-45.958169E-41.017061.0E-50.00668722340.00584320630.00586308961.00340282.0E-5
7.58.827668E-67.805836E-67.805836E-61.00.03.7832317E-53.3453165E-54.345283E-51.29891541.0E-54.605111E-44.072186E-44.1721456E-41.02454691.0E-50.00459557960.00406486540.00408478451.00490022.0E-5
7.63.2533426E-62.8720965E-62.8720965E-61.00.01.3942822E-51.23089285E-52.2308806E-51.81240831.0E-51.6974064E-41.4985127E-41.5984978E-41.06672291.0E-50.00169611040.00149753910.00150752421.00666761.0E-5
7.71.2751709E-61.1491738E-61.1491738E-61.00.05.4650063E-64.9250216E-64.9250216E-61.00.06.653442E-55.996058E-55.996058E-51.00.06.6514505E-45.9945293E-45.9945293E-41.00.0
7.83.067544E-73.240163E-73.240163E-71.00.01.3146611E-61.3886406E-61.3886406E-61.00.01.600588E-51.6906579E-51.6906579E-51.00.01.6004729E-41.6905395E-41.6905395E-41.00.0
7.97.622999E-88.088244E-88.088244E-81.00.03.2669993E-73.4663898E-73.4663898E-71.00.03.977564E-64.2203237E-64.2203237E-61.00.03.977493E-54.2202642E-54.2202642E-51.00.0

Mission Creek

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1549387E-51.6332237E-51.6332237E-51.00.04.9496433E-56.9993504E-56.9993504E-51.00.06.0245243E-48.5185276E-48.5185276E-41.00.00.0060082180.00851452350.0085442681.00349343.0E-5
6.11.1549387E-51.6332237E-51.6332237E-51.00.04.9496433E-56.9993504E-56.9993504E-51.00.06.0245243E-48.5185276E-48.5185276E-41.00.00.0060082180.00851452350.0085442681.00349343.0E-5
6.21.1549387E-51.6332237E-51.6332237E-51.00.04.9496433E-56.9993504E-56.9993504E-51.00.06.0245243E-48.5185276E-48.5185276E-41.00.00.0060082180.00851452350.0085442681.00349343.0E-5
6.31.1549387E-51.6332237E-51.6332237E-51.00.04.9496433E-56.9993504E-56.9993504E-51.00.06.0245243E-48.5185276E-48.5185276E-41.00.00.0060082180.00851452350.0085442681.00349343.0E-5
6.41.1549387E-51.6332237E-51.6332237E-51.00.04.9496433E-56.9993504E-56.9993504E-51.00.06.0245243E-48.5185276E-48.5185276E-41.00.00.0060082180.00851452350.0085442681.00349343.0E-5
6.51.1549387E-51.6332237E-51.6332237E-51.00.04.9496433E-56.9993504E-56.9993504E-51.00.06.0245243E-48.5185276E-48.5185276E-41.00.00.0060082180.00851452350.0085442681.00349343.0E-5
6.69.202681E-61.385544E-51.385544E-51.00.03.9439463E-55.9379156E-55.9379156E-51.00.04.800697E-47.2271045E-47.2271045E-41.00.00.0047903390.00723167560.00726145831.00411843.0E-5
6.79.019164E-61.3661103E-51.3661103E-51.00.03.8652986E-55.854632E-55.854632E-51.00.04.7049852E-47.1257737E-47.1257737E-41.00.00.0046950360.00713099730.00716078331.0041773.0E-5
6.88.673558E-61.3283194E-51.3283194E-51.00.03.717186E-55.692678E-55.692678E-51.00.04.524734E-46.92872E-46.92872E-41.00.00.00451553240.0069351760.00696496761.00429583.0E-5
6.97.002255E-61.1487351E-51.1487351E-51.00.03.000932E-54.9230614E-54.9230614E-51.00.03.653022E-45.9922476E-45.9922476E-41.00.00.00364702290.00600396560.00603378561.00496673.0E-5
7.05.84644E-69.68415E-69.68415E-61.00.02.5055931E-54.150287E-54.150287E-51.00.03.0501327E-45.051848E-45.051848E-41.00.00.00304594960.0050680330.0050978811.00588943.0E-5
7.15.54703E-69.338593E-69.338593E-61.00.02.377277E-54.0021954E-54.0021954E-51.00.02.8939504E-44.8716282E-44.8716282E-41.00.00.00289018450.00488861040.00491846351.00610673.0E-5
7.24.384709E-67.690283E-67.690283E-61.00.01.8791474E-53.295796E-53.295796E-51.00.02.2876218E-44.0119293E-44.0119293E-41.00.00.00228526820.00403235760.00406223681.00740983.0E-5
7.33.7888456E-66.9239895E-66.9239895E-61.00.01.623781E-52.9673924E-52.9673924E-51.00.01.9767738E-43.6122347E-43.6122347E-41.00.00.00197501620.00363403140.00366392241.00822533.0E-5
7.42.1982462E-65.032061E-65.032061E-61.00.09.421021E-62.1565798E-52.1565798E-51.00.01.1469489E-42.6253215E-42.6253215E-41.00.00.00114635720.002649670.00267959041.01129223.0E-5
7.52.051923E-64.623061E-64.623061E-61.00.08.793926E-61.9812971E-51.9812971E-51.00.01.0706078E-42.4119635E-42.4119635E-41.00.00.00107009220.00243737320.00246731.01227833.0E-5
7.61.8733427E-64.131132E-64.131132E-61.00.08.028587E-61.7704731E-51.7704731E-51.00.09.774366E-52.1553386E-42.1553386E-41.00.09.770069E-40.00218188970.0022118241.01371963.0E-5
7.71.8411953E-64.0507525E-64.0507525E-61.00.07.890813E-61.7360253E-51.7360253E-51.00.09.606641E-52.1134067E-42.1134067E-41.00.09.6024893E-40.00214015620.0021700921.01398773.0E-5
7.81.7194251E-63.7175898E-63.7175898E-61.00.07.368944E-61.5932432E-51.5932432E-51.00.08.97132E-51.9396016E-41.9396016E-41.00.08.967699E-40.00196586970.00199581051.01523043.0E-5
7.91.4035052E-62.9559305E-62.9559305E-61.00.06.0150082E-61.2668213E-51.2668213E-51.00.07.3230265E-51.5422463E-41.5422463E-41.00.07.3206134E-40.0015658740.0015958271.01912873.0E-5
8.03.9318823E-75.5421293E-75.5421293E-71.00.01.6850913E-62.3751961E-62.3751961E-61.00.02.0515794E-52.8917633E-52.8917633E-51.00.02.0513899E-42.9980825E-42.9980825E-41.00.0
8.11.596793E-71.1425073E-71.1425073E-71.00.06.8433974E-74.896459E-74.896459E-71.00.08.331805E-65.961423E-65.961423E-61.00.08.331492E-56.574893E-56.574893E-51.00.0
8.24.9003038E-82.5556407E-82.5556407E-81.00.02.10013E-71.09527456E-71.09527456E-71.00.02.5569052E-61.333496E-61.333496E-61.00.02.556876E-51.5019927E-51.5019927E-51.00.0

Lost Hills

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.233523E-52.5108235E-52.5108235E-51.00.09.571891E-51.07603235E-41.07603235E-41.00.00.00116475460.00130945010.00130945011.00.00.0115866860.0130339440.0130635541.00227173.0E-5
6.12.233523E-52.5108235E-52.5108235E-51.00.09.571891E-51.07603235E-41.07603235E-41.00.00.00116475460.00130945010.00130945011.00.00.0115866860.0130339440.0130635541.00227173.0E-5
6.22.233523E-52.5108235E-52.5108235E-51.00.09.571891E-51.07603235E-41.07603235E-41.00.00.00116475460.00130945010.00130945011.00.00.0115866860.0130339440.0130635541.00227173.0E-5
6.32.233523E-52.5108235E-52.5108235E-51.00.09.571891E-51.07603235E-41.07603235E-41.00.00.00116475460.00130945010.00130945011.00.00.0115866860.0130339440.0130635541.00227173.0E-5
6.41.2288092E-51.3781996E-51.3781996E-51.00.05.2662188E-55.906489E-55.906489E-51.00.06.409735E-47.1897154E-47.1897154E-41.00.00.0063912790.0071756620.00718559051.00138351.0E-5
6.51.2288092E-51.3781996E-51.3781996E-51.00.05.2662188E-55.906489E-55.906489E-51.00.06.409735E-47.1897154E-47.1897154E-41.00.00.0063912790.0071756620.00718559051.00138351.0E-5
6.68.58281E-69.634396E-69.634396E-61.00.03.6782953E-54.1290084E-54.1290084E-51.00.04.4774043E-45.02674E-45.02674E-41.00.00.00446839350.0050235310.0050334811.00198071.0E-5
6.77.205685E-68.088828E-68.088828E-61.00.03.088114E-53.4666402E-53.4666402E-51.00.03.7591302E-44.2206346E-44.2206346E-41.00.00.00375277760.00422063470.00423059241.00235931.0E-5

Camp Rock 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6710783E-54.2501633E-64.2501633E-61.00.07.161568E-51.8214861E-51.8214861E-51.00.08.7157206E-42.2174389E-42.5173725E-41.13526123.0E-50.0086816160.00221527930.00224521271.01351233.0E-5
6.11.6710783E-54.2501633E-64.2501633E-61.00.07.161568E-51.8214861E-51.8214861E-51.00.08.7157206E-42.2174389E-42.5173725E-41.13526123.0E-50.0086816160.00221527930.00224521271.01351233.0E-5
6.21.6710783E-54.2501633E-64.2501633E-61.00.07.161568E-51.8214861E-51.8214861E-51.00.08.7157206E-42.2174389E-42.5173725E-41.13526123.0E-50.0086816160.00221527930.00224521271.01351233.0E-5
6.31.6710783E-54.2501633E-64.2501633E-61.00.07.161568E-51.8214861E-51.8214861E-51.00.08.7157206E-42.2174389E-42.5173725E-41.13526123.0E-50.0086816160.00221527930.00224521271.01351233.0E-5
6.47.982846E-63.6821912E-63.6821912E-61.00.03.421175E-51.5780724E-51.5780724E-51.00.04.1644843E-41.9211374E-42.2210798E-41.15612753.0E-50.00415668870.00191951150.00194945381.0155993.0E-5
6.57.982846E-63.6821912E-63.6821912E-61.00.03.421175E-51.5780724E-51.5780724E-51.00.04.1644843E-41.9211374E-42.2210798E-41.15612753.0E-50.00415668870.00191951150.00194945381.0155993.0E-5
6.67.048869E-63.4244488E-63.4244488E-61.00.03.0209088E-51.4676129E-51.4676129E-51.00.03.677336E-41.7866753E-42.0866217E-41.16787963.0E-50.00367125660.00178527040.00181521681.01677423.0E-5
6.76.987307E-63.3624244E-63.3624244E-61.00.02.9945259E-51.4410312E-51.4410312E-51.00.03.6452254E-41.7543173E-42.0542648E-41.17097663.0E-50.00363925170.00175296360.0017829111.01708393.0E-5
6.86.3737602E-63.1180107E-63.1180107E-61.00.02.731583E-51.3362836E-51.3362836E-51.00.03.3251947E-41.6268066E-41.9267578E-41.18438043.0E-50.00332022370.00162564440.00165559561.01842433.0E-5
6.96.112211E-62.9332175E-62.9332175E-61.00.02.6194928E-51.2570873E-51.2570873E-51.00.03.1887658E-41.530399E-41.8303531E-41.19599743.0E-50.0031841940.00152937290.0015593271.01958583.0E-5
7.05.5140117E-62.642044E-62.642044E-61.00.02.3631264E-51.1322997E-51.1322997E-51.00.02.8767265E-41.3784903E-41.6784489E-41.21759943.0E-50.00287300530.00137766040.00140761911.0217463.0E-5
7.14.8151105E-62.134374E-62.134374E-61.00.02.0636026E-59.147286E-69.147286E-61.00.02.5121463E-41.1136274E-41.413594E-41.269363.0E-50.00250930830.00111309120.00114305781.0269223.0E-5
7.23.818335E-61.293818E-61.293818E-61.00.01.6364189E-55.5449227E-65.5449227E-61.00.01.9921579E-46.7507426E-58.750607E-51.29624372.0E-50.00199037286.748774E-46.948639E-41.0296152.0E-5
7.32.7166698E-67.38375E-77.38375E-71.00.01.1642818E-53.1644604E-63.1644604E-61.00.01.4174209E-43.8526647E-55.8525875E-51.51910132.0E-50.00141651723.8520168E-44.0519398E-41.05190092.0E-5
7.42.0893426E-65.461979E-75.461979E-71.00.08.954295E-62.340846E-62.340846E-61.00.01.0901308E-42.8499433E-53.8499147E-51.35087421.0E-50.00108959622.8495834E-42.9495548E-41.03508281.0E-5
7.51.1681728E-63.6031344E-73.6031344E-71.00.05.0064455E-61.5441996E-61.5441996E-61.00.06.0951766E-51.8800472E-52.8800285E-51.53189151.0E-56.093505E-41.8798928E-41.979874E-41.05318451.0E-5
7.61.3154387E-77.119929E-87.119929E-81.00.05.6375933E-73.0513976E-73.0513976E-71.00.06.863748E-63.715072E-63.715072E-61.00.06.863536E-53.7150257E-53.7150257E-51.00.0

Elsinore (Stepovers Combined)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.144392E-51.9763485E-51.9763485E-51.00.09.189928E-58.4698026E-58.4698026E-51.00.00.00111829940.00103073040.00104072011.00969181.0E-50.0111268850.0102661150.0102958061.00289233.0E-5
6.12.144392E-51.9763485E-51.9763485E-51.00.09.189928E-58.4698026E-58.4698026E-51.00.00.00111829940.00103073040.00104072011.00969181.0E-50.0111268850.0102661150.0102958061.00289233.0E-5
6.22.144392E-51.9763485E-51.9763485E-51.00.09.189928E-58.4698026E-58.4698026E-51.00.00.00111829940.00103073040.00104072011.00969181.0E-50.0111268850.0102661150.0102958061.00289233.0E-5
6.31.9751555E-51.7744534E-51.7744534E-51.00.08.4646774E-57.604588E-57.604588E-51.00.00.00103008729.2548016E-49.2548016E-41.00.00.0102532540.0092223670.0092322741.00107431.0E-5
6.41.9751555E-51.7744534E-51.7744534E-51.00.08.4646774E-57.604588E-57.604588E-51.00.00.00103008729.2548016E-49.2548016E-41.00.00.0102532540.0092223670.0092322741.00107431.0E-5
6.51.9751555E-51.7744534E-51.7744534E-51.00.08.4646774E-57.604588E-57.604588E-51.00.00.00103008729.2548016E-49.2548016E-41.00.00.0102532540.0092223670.0092322741.00107431.0E-5
6.61.9188685E-51.7006358E-51.7006358E-51.00.08.2234634E-57.2882445E-57.2882445E-51.00.00.00100074678.869987E-48.869987E-41.00.00.009962520.0088408790.0088507911.00112121.0E-5
6.71.7608272E-51.4735141E-51.4735141E-51.00.07.546184E-56.314913E-56.314913E-51.00.09.183606E-47.685792E-47.685792E-41.00.00.0091457460.00766579250.00767571571.00129451.0E-5
6.81.697165E-51.3785683E-51.3785683E-51.00.07.273361E-55.908021E-55.908021E-51.00.08.8517193E-47.190728E-47.190728E-41.00.00.0088165430.00717357270.0071835011.0013841.0E-5
6.91.600365E-51.2848884E-51.2848884E-51.00.06.858527E-55.5065524E-55.5065524E-51.00.08.347058E-46.702243E-46.702243E-41.00.00.0083157750.00668773330.00669766641.00148521.0E-5
7.01.3314581E-51.0449536E-51.0449536E-51.00.05.7061243E-54.478297E-54.478297E-51.00.06.944992E-45.4509897E-45.4509897E-41.00.00.0069233270.00544149570.00544149571.00.0
7.11.2865345E-59.939341E-69.939341E-61.00.05.5136024E-54.2596494E-54.2596494E-51.00.06.710743E-45.1849143E-45.1849143E-41.00.00.00669051430.00517611760.00517611761.00.0
7.21.1650051E-58.635326E-68.635326E-61.00.04.9927836E-53.7008023E-53.7008023E-51.00.06.0770183E-44.5048128E-44.5048128E-41.00.00.00606042660.00449712340.00449712341.00.0
7.31.0008533E-57.202289E-67.202289E-61.00.04.2893007E-53.0866595E-53.0866595E-51.00.05.220972E-43.7573744E-43.7573744E-41.00.00.0052087230.00375142180.00375142181.00.0
7.49.116759E-66.4111623E-66.4111623E-61.00.03.907124E-52.747613E-52.747613E-51.00.04.7558855E-43.344719E-43.344719E-41.00.00.004745720.0033398350.0033398351.00.0
7.57.870524E-65.3834624E-65.3834624E-61.00.03.3730383E-52.3071785E-52.3071785E-51.00.04.1059E-42.8086404E-42.8086404E-41.00.00.00409832220.00280521740.00280521741.00.0
7.66.9774537E-64.6784253E-64.6784253E-61.00.02.990303E-52.0050245E-52.0050245E-51.00.03.640086E-42.4408558E-42.4408558E-41.00.00.0036341290.00243829120.00243829121.00.0
7.74.1616954E-62.3288446E-62.3288446E-61.00.01.7835715E-59.9807285E-69.9807285E-61.00.02.171282E-41.21509336E-41.21509336E-41.00.00.00216916160.00121450210.00121450211.00.0
7.82.2692414E-79.38645E-89.38645E-81.00.09.725317E-74.0227638E-74.0227638E-71.00.01.1840509E-54.8977076E-64.8977076E-61.00.01.1839878E-44.8976322E-54.8976322E-51.00.0
7.96.676829E-93.4402008E-93.4402008E-91.00.02.861498E-81.4743718E-81.4743718E-81.00.03.4838732E-71.7950475E-71.7950475E-71.00.03.4838679E-61.7950463E-61.7950463E-61.00.0

Elysian Park (Upper)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.1876025E-53.703929E-53.703929E-51.00.01.3660437E-41.5873248E-41.5873248E-41.00.00.00166188950.00193132930.001941311.00516771.0E-50.0164951590.0191919040.0192213281.00153323.0E-5
6.13.1876025E-53.703929E-53.703929E-51.00.01.3660437E-41.5873248E-41.5873248E-41.00.00.00166188950.00193132930.001941311.00516771.0E-50.0164951590.0191919040.0192213281.00153323.0E-5
6.23.1876025E-53.703929E-53.703929E-51.00.01.3660437E-41.5873248E-41.5873248E-41.00.00.00166188950.00193132930.001941311.00516771.0E-50.0164951590.0191919040.0192213281.00153323.0E-5
6.33.1876025E-53.703929E-53.703929E-51.00.01.3660437E-41.5873248E-41.5873248E-41.00.00.00166188950.00193132930.001941311.00516771.0E-50.0164951590.0191919040.0192213281.00153323.0E-5
6.41.9273462E-52.1204301E-52.1204301E-51.00.08.259794E-59.0873385E-59.0873385E-51.00.00.0010051660.00110599340.00111598231.00903171.0E-50.0100063150.0110217030.0110414831.00179462.0E-5
6.51.9273462E-52.1204301E-52.1204301E-51.00.08.259794E-59.0873385E-59.0873385E-51.00.00.0010051660.00110599340.00111598231.00903171.0E-50.0100063150.0110217030.0110414831.00179462.0E-5
6.69.813258E-69.666103E-69.666103E-61.00.04.205614E-54.142554E-54.142554E-51.00.05.119132E-45.042465E-45.042465E-41.00.00.0051073560.00503174730.00503174731.00.0
6.79.801478E-69.653672E-69.653672E-61.00.04.2005657E-54.1372266E-54.1372266E-51.00.05.112989E-45.035982E-45.035982E-41.00.00.00510124070.0050252930.0050252931.00.0
6.88.102489E-67.773402E-67.773402E-61.00.03.4724493E-53.3314183E-53.3314183E-51.00.04.2268867E-44.0552966E-44.0552966E-41.00.00.0042188560.00404839030.00404839031.00.0
6.96.08275E-65.4816855E-65.4816855E-61.00.02.6068668E-52.349273E-52.349273E-51.00.03.173398E-42.8598722E-42.8598722E-41.00.00.00316887020.00285626950.00285626951.00.0
7.05.5995934E-64.982991E-64.982991E-61.00.02.3998036E-52.1355505E-52.1355505E-51.00.02.9213692E-42.599729E-42.599729E-41.00.00.00291753160.0025967550.0025967551.00.0
7.14.709881E-64.087571E-64.087571E-61.00.02.0185047E-51.7518047E-51.7518047E-51.00.02.4572524E-42.1326175E-42.1326175E-41.00.00.0024545370.00213061250.00213061251.00.0
7.23.6063436E-62.97807E-62.97807E-61.00.01.5455667E-51.2763095E-51.2763095E-51.00.01.881565E-41.553797E-41.553797E-41.00.00.00187997260.0015527220.0015527221.00.0
7.32.471135E-62.0955465E-62.0955465E-61.00.01.0590536E-58.980883E-68.980883E-61.00.01.2893214E-41.09336834E-41.09336834E-41.00.00.00128857360.00109283770.00109283771.00.0
7.41.163943E-61.0275547E-61.0275547E-61.00.04.988318E-64.403799E-64.403799E-61.00.06.0731076E-55.3614964E-55.3614964E-51.00.06.071448E-45.3602323E-45.3602323E-41.00.0
7.54.99459E-74.9178317E-74.9178317E-71.00.02.140537E-62.1076405E-62.1076405E-61.00.02.6060725E-52.5660238E-52.5660238E-51.00.02.605767E-42.565743E-42.565743E-41.00.0
7.62.4667852E-72.4779692E-72.4779692E-71.00.01.0571932E-61.0619863E-61.0619863E-61.00.01.2871251E-51.292961E-51.292961E-51.00.01.2870505E-41.2928895E-41.2928895E-41.00.0
7.78.2312795E-87.387176E-87.387176E-81.00.03.527691E-73.1659323E-73.1659323E-71.00.04.294955E-63.8545168E-63.8545168E-61.00.04.2948723E-53.8544615E-53.8544615E-51.00.0
7.82.7819295E-81.7571175E-81.7571175E-81.00.01.1922555E-77.530504E-87.530504E-81.00.01.45157E-69.168386E-79.168386E-71.00.01.45156055E-59.168363E-69.168363E-61.00.0

Hosgri

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.883978E-52.9130044E-53.9129754E-51.34327821.0E-51.235932E-41.2483723E-41.4483473E-41.16018872.0E-50.00150370850.00151886080.00153883051.01314772.0E-50.014935740.0150885830.0151082821.00130552.0E-5
6.12.883978E-52.9130044E-53.9129754E-51.34327821.0E-51.235932E-41.2483723E-41.4483473E-41.16018872.0E-50.00150370850.00151886080.00153883051.01314772.0E-50.014935740.0150885830.0151082821.00130552.0E-5
6.22.883978E-52.9130044E-53.9129754E-51.34327821.0E-51.235932E-41.2483723E-41.4483473E-41.16018872.0E-50.00150370850.00151886080.00153883051.01314772.0E-50.014935740.0150885830.0151082821.00130552.0E-5
6.32.2914428E-52.2643271E-52.2643271E-51.00.09.8200995E-59.703901E-51.0703804E-41.10304131.0E-50.00119494130.00118081450.00119080271.00845871.0E-50.0118853630.0117468110.0117566931.00084131.0E-5
6.42.0195741E-51.969773E-51.969773E-51.00.08.65503E-58.4416126E-59.4415285E-51.11845081.0E-50.00105324050.00102728370.00103727341.00972441.0E-50.0104826260.0102264030.0102363011.00096791.0E-5
6.51.9924333E-51.9410143E-51.9410143E-51.00.08.53872E-58.318368E-59.318285E-51.12020591.0E-50.00103909340.00101229270.00102228261.00986861.0E-50.0103424810.0100778590.0100877581.00098231.0E-5
6.61.809694E-51.7459386E-51.7459386E-51.00.07.7556004E-57.48238E-58.4823056E-51.13363731.0E-59.438353E-49.106004E-49.205913E-41.01097181.0E-50.0093983660.0090696410.009079551.00109261.0E-5
6.71.675989E-51.6043801E-51.6043801E-51.00.07.182612E-56.875734E-57.875665E-51.1454291.0E-58.7413215E-48.3680026E-48.467919E-41.01194021.0E-50.0087070170.00833740550.0083473221.00118951.0E-5
6.81.5401129E-51.4615068E-51.4615068E-51.00.06.6003166E-56.2634506E-57.2633884E-51.15964641.0E-58.032922E-47.623092E-47.723016E-41.0131081.0E-50.0080039470.00759781340.0076077371.00130621.0E-5
6.91.356559E-51.2690886E-51.2690886E-51.00.05.8136946E-55.4388383E-56.438784E-51.18385281.0E-57.0758746E-46.619778E-46.719712E-41.01509621.0E-50.0070533860.00660087080.00661080471.00150491.0E-5
7.01.2030819E-51.1096827E-51.1096827E-51.00.05.155963E-54.7556965E-54.7556965E-51.00.06.275577E-45.788523E-45.788523E-41.00.00.0062578840.00577421250.00577421251.00.0
7.11.0972698E-51.0023014E-51.0023014E-51.00.04.7025E-54.2955064E-54.2955064E-51.00.05.72379E-45.2285247E-45.2285247E-41.00.00.00570906930.00521698170.00521698171.00.0
7.29.961926E-69.035552E-69.035552E-61.00.04.2693267E-53.8723218E-53.8723218E-51.00.05.1966653E-44.713532E-44.713532E-41.00.00.005184530.00470428730.00470428731.00.0
7.38.700929E-67.828873E-67.828873E-61.00.03.7289166E-53.3551885E-53.3551885E-51.00.04.53901E-44.0841763E-44.0841763E-41.00.00.004529750.00407741640.00407741641.00.0
7.47.866285E-66.9994917E-66.9994917E-61.00.03.3712215E-52.9997478E-52.9997478E-51.00.04.103689E-43.651581E-43.651581E-41.00.00.0040961190.00364632440.00364632441.00.0
7.56.8381305E-65.9604217E-65.9604217E-61.00.02.9305946E-52.5544414E-52.5544414E-51.00.03.5674145E-43.109589E-43.109589E-41.00.00.00356169320.0031059790.0031059791.00.0
7.65.503376E-64.595932E-64.595932E-61.00.02.3585684E-51.9696703E-51.9696703E-51.00.02.8711787E-42.3978099E-42.3978099E-41.00.00.0028674720.0023959620.0023959621.00.0
7.73.6144982E-62.6528419E-62.6528419E-61.00.01.5490614E-51.1369272E-51.1369272E-51.00.01.8858191E-41.384121E-41.384121E-41.00.00.00188421960.00138399650.00138399651.00.0
7.81.9853494E-61.1366267E-61.1366267E-61.00.08.508612E-64.8712477E-64.8712477E-61.00.01.0358743E-45.930583E-55.930583E-51.00.00.00103539165.936362E-45.936362E-41.00.0
7.91.1818757E-65.299053E-75.299053E-71.00.05.0651715E-62.2710205E-62.2710205E-61.00.06.1666724E-52.7649327E-52.7649327E-51.00.06.1649614E-42.7715892E-42.7715892E-41.00.0
8.06.962958E-72.7166053E-72.7166053E-71.00.02.9841215E-61.1642588E-61.1642588E-61.00.03.6331072E-51.4174759E-51.4174759E-51.00.03.6325134E-41.423126E-41.423126E-41.00.0
8.11.5033264E-76.5333694E-86.5333694E-81.00.06.442826E-72.800015E-72.800015E-71.00.07.844113E-63.409013E-63.409013E-61.00.07.843835E-53.410907E-53.410907E-51.00.0

Tin Mountain

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.083776E-64.18159E-64.18159E-61.00.01.750178E-51.7920998E-51.7920998E-51.00.02.1306332E-42.1817003E-42.2816785E-41.04582581.0E-50.00212859150.00217992420.00219988051.00915472.0E-5
6.14.083776E-64.18159E-64.18159E-61.00.01.750178E-51.7920998E-51.7920998E-51.00.02.1306332E-42.1817003E-42.2816785E-41.04582581.0E-50.00212859150.00217992420.00219988051.00915472.0E-5
6.24.083776E-64.18159E-64.18159E-61.00.01.750178E-51.7920998E-51.7920998E-51.00.02.1306332E-42.1817003E-42.2816785E-41.04582581.0E-50.00212859150.00217992420.00219988051.00915472.0E-5
6.34.083776E-64.18159E-64.18159E-61.00.01.750178E-51.7920998E-51.7920998E-51.00.02.1306332E-42.1817003E-42.2816785E-41.04582581.0E-50.00212859150.00217992420.00219988051.00915472.0E-5
6.44.083776E-64.18159E-64.18159E-61.00.01.750178E-51.7920998E-51.7920998E-51.00.02.1306332E-42.1817003E-42.2816785E-41.04582581.0E-50.00212859150.00217992420.00219988051.00915472.0E-5
6.52.3143427E-62.3731893E-62.3731893E-61.00.09.9185745E-61.01707765E-51.01707765E-51.00.01.2075195E-41.2382293E-41.2382293E-41.00.00.00120686360.00123761540.00123761541.00.0
6.62.3143427E-62.3731893E-62.3731893E-61.00.09.9185745E-61.01707765E-51.01707765E-51.00.01.2075195E-41.2382293E-41.2382293E-41.00.00.00120686360.00123761540.00123761541.00.0
6.71.7029532E-61.7498172E-61.7498172E-61.00.07.2983503E-67.499198E-67.499198E-61.00.08.885379E-59.1299444E-59.1299444E-51.00.08.881827E-49.12672E-49.12672E-41.00.0
6.81.2914646E-61.329959E-61.329959E-61.00.05.534837E-65.699814E-65.699814E-61.00.06.738455E-56.939347E-56.939347E-51.00.06.736412E-46.937614E-46.937614E-41.00.0
6.95.8708974E-76.11713E-76.11713E-71.00.02.5160964E-62.6216248E-62.6216248E-61.00.03.0633044E-53.1917854E-53.1917854E-51.00.03.0628822E-43.1913683E-43.1913683E-41.00.0
7.04.6248786E-74.8321306E-74.8321306E-71.00.01.9820893E-62.0709115E-62.0709115E-61.00.02.413167E-52.5213094E-52.5213094E-51.00.02.412905E-42.5210602E-42.5210602E-41.00.0
7.13.804606E-73.9872486E-73.9872486E-71.00.01.6305444E-61.7088199E-61.7088199E-61.00.01.9851697E-52.0804719E-52.0804719E-51.00.01.9849923E-42.0803107E-42.0803107E-41.00.0
7.23.5864858E-73.7617838E-73.7617838E-71.00.01.5370645E-61.6121922E-61.6121922E-61.00.01.87136E-51.9628298E-51.9628298E-51.00.01.8712023E-41.9626896E-41.9626896E-41.00.0
7.33.342063E-73.5064386E-73.5064386E-71.00.01.4323119E-61.5027588E-61.5027588E-61.00.01.7438259E-51.8295968E-51.8295968E-51.00.01.743689E-41.8294792E-41.8294792E-41.00.0
7.42.971242E-73.1166627E-73.1166627E-71.00.01.2733886E-61.3357121E-61.3357121E-61.00.01.5503398E-51.6262207E-51.6262207E-51.00.01.5502315E-41.6261345E-41.6261345E-41.00.0
7.51.4326713E-71.5012905E-71.5012905E-71.00.06.140018E-76.434102E-76.434102E-71.00.07.4754466E-67.83352E-67.83352E-61.00.07.475195E-57.833519E-57.833519E-51.00.0

Northridge

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.8340852E-57.5887356E-67.5887356E-61.00.07.860128E-53.252276E-54.2522435E-51.3074671.0E-59.565505E-43.9589484E-44.058909E-41.02524921.0E-50.0095244350.0039521410.0039720621.00504052.0E-5
6.11.8340852E-57.5887356E-67.5887356E-61.00.07.860128E-53.252276E-54.2522435E-51.3074671.0E-59.565505E-43.9589484E-44.058909E-41.02524921.0E-50.0095244350.0039521410.0039720621.00504052.0E-5
6.21.8340852E-57.5887356E-67.5887356E-61.00.07.860128E-53.252276E-54.2522435E-51.3074671.0E-59.565505E-43.9589484E-44.058909E-41.02524921.0E-50.0095244350.0039521410.0039720621.00504052.0E-5
6.31.8340852E-57.5887356E-67.5887356E-61.00.07.860128E-53.252276E-54.2522435E-51.3074671.0E-59.565505E-43.9589484E-44.058909E-41.02524921.0E-50.0095244350.0039521410.0039720621.00504052.0E-5
6.41.7361892E-57.5887356E-67.5887356E-61.00.07.440598E-53.252276E-54.2522435E-51.3074671.0E-59.055163E-43.9589484E-44.058909E-41.02524921.0E-50.0090183540.0039521410.0039720621.00504052.0E-5
6.51.7361892E-57.5887356E-67.5887356E-61.00.07.440598E-53.252276E-54.2522435E-51.3074671.0E-59.055163E-43.9589484E-44.058909E-41.02524921.0E-50.0090183540.0039521410.0039720621.00504052.0E-5
6.61.5458201E-57.5887356E-67.5887356E-61.00.06.624775E-53.252276E-54.2522435E-51.3074671.0E-58.0626784E-43.9589484E-44.058909E-41.02524921.0E-50.0080334880.0039521410.0039720621.00504052.0E-5
6.71.2538368E-56.382213E-66.382213E-61.00.05.3734755E-52.7352058E-53.7351783E-51.36559321.0E-56.5402425E-43.3296086E-43.4295753E-41.03002361.0E-50.00652102750.00332469050.0033446241.00599562.0E-5
6.81.1438097E-56.3508664E-66.3508664E-61.00.04.9019498E-52.7217717E-53.7217444E-51.36739781.0E-55.9664896E-43.3132575E-43.4132245E-41.03017181.0E-50.0059504950.00330838820.0033283221.00602522.0E-5
6.91.1204891E-56.2873146E-66.2873146E-61.00.04.8020076E-52.6945358E-53.6945086E-51.37111141.0E-55.8448757E-43.2801076E-43.380075E-41.03047681.0E-50.00582952660.00327533670.00329527121.00608622.0E-5
7.01.061046E-56.115958E-66.115958E-61.00.04.5472607E-52.6210988E-53.6210724E-51.38150941.0E-55.534883E-43.1907248E-43.2906927E-41.03133081.0E-50.00552111770.00318619050.00320612691.0062572.0E-5
7.11.0266979E-56.0048683E-66.0048683E-61.00.04.40006E-52.5734898E-53.573464E-51.38856741.0E-55.355756E-43.1327776E-43.232746E-41.03191051.0E-50.00534286680.00312840780.00314834531.0063732.0E-5
7.29.91273E-65.82057E-65.82057E-61.00.04.248244E-52.4945064E-53.4944816E-51.40087091.0E-55.171009E-43.0366424E-43.1366124E-41.03292111.0E-50.00515899340.00303253860.00304250841.00328761.0E-5
7.38.4959265E-65.19363E-65.19363E-61.00.03.6410605E-52.2258226E-53.2258005E-51.44926211.0E-54.4320893E-42.7096045E-42.8095773E-41.03689581.0E-50.004423260.00270632750.00271630051.0036851.0E-5
7.48.0847185E-64.9824075E-64.9824075E-61.00.03.4648332E-52.1353002E-53.135279E-51.46830821.0E-54.2176177E-42.5994203E-42.6993942E-41.03846011.0E-50.00420962230.00259640580.00260637981.00384151.0E-5
7.56.8220684E-64.2535225E-64.2535225E-61.00.02.9237108E-51.8229257E-52.8229075E-51.54855871.0E-53.5590364E-42.2191879E-42.3191658E-41.04505161.0E-50.00355334180.0022169930.00222697061.00450061.0E-5
7.64.4224143E-62.9000853E-62.9000853E-61.00.01.8953066E-51.2428878E-52.2428754E-51.80456781.0E-52.3072914E-41.5131121E-41.6130968E-41.06607891.0E-50.00230489740.00151209340.00152207831.00660341.0E-5
7.72.5297056E-61.6046582E-61.6046582E-61.00.01.0841551E-56.8770887E-66.8770887E-61.00.01.319879E-48.372539E-58.372539E-51.00.00.00131909538.3694316E-48.3694316E-41.00.0
7.81.2508156E-68.780451E-78.780451E-71.00.05.3606273E-63.763045E-63.763045E-61.00.06.526368E-54.5814122E-54.5814122E-51.00.06.524452E-44.5804807E-44.5804807E-41.00.0
7.92.262199E-71.4665683E-71.4665683E-71.00.09.695135E-76.285291E-76.285291E-71.00.01.1803763E-57.652316E-67.652316E-61.00.01.1803136E-47.65206E-57.65206E-51.00.0
8.02.865362E-91.2755863E-91.2755863E-91.00.01.2280123E-85.4667986E-95.4667986E-91.00.01.4951048E-76.655827E-86.655827E-81.00.01.4951038E-66.655827E-76.655827E-71.00.0

Almanor 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.1479834E-58.328645E-58.328645E-51.00.02.6345838E-43.5689858E-43.5689858E-41.00.00.00320288820.0043372560.00435716941.00459122.0E-50.0315711720.0425938030.0426129551.00044952.0E-5
6.14.4387216E-55.977737E-55.977737E-51.00.01.9021705E-42.5616738E-42.5616738E-41.00.00.00231343270.00311488870.00312485761.00320041.0E-50.0228949670.030760750.0307704431.00031511.0E-5
6.24.4387216E-55.977737E-55.977737E-51.00.01.9021705E-42.5616738E-42.5616738E-41.00.00.00231343270.00311488870.00312485761.00320041.0E-50.0228949670.030760750.0307704431.00031511.0E-5
6.32.9523822E-53.9552997E-53.9552997E-51.00.01.2652454E-41.6950442E-41.6950442E-41.00.00.00153934760.0020621430.0020621431.00.00.0152872810.0204645170.0204645171.00.0
6.42.0512744E-52.743469E-52.743469E-51.00.08.79088E-51.1757403E-41.1757403E-41.00.00.0010697640.00143085830.00143085831.00.00.0106462890.0142469440.0142469441.00.0
6.51.6750226E-52.23935E-52.23935E-51.00.07.178471E-59.5970776E-59.5970776E-51.00.08.7362836E-40.00116815730.00116815731.00.00.0087020180.011651130.011651131.00.0
6.61.4745303E-51.970956E-51.970956E-51.00.06.319262E-58.446912E-58.446912E-51.00.07.690986E-40.00102827150.00102827151.00.00.00766442250.0102668350.0102668351.00.0
6.79.951145E-71.1617379E-61.1617379E-61.00.04.26477E-64.978868E-64.978868E-61.00.05.1922336E-56.061621E-56.061621E-51.00.05.1910203E-46.0601404E-46.0601404E-41.00.0
6.85.866312E-76.8499935E-76.8499935E-71.00.02.5141312E-62.9357088E-62.9357088E-61.00.03.0609117E-53.57418E-53.57418E-51.00.03.06049E-43.5737336E-43.5737336E-41.00.0

Emerson-Copper Mtn 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.1364202E-59.968862E-69.968862E-61.00.09.1557646E-54.2723044E-54.2723044E-51.00.00.00111414425.2003766E-45.3003244E-41.01921941.0E-50.0110857490.0051890770.00520897331.00383422.0E-5
6.12.1364202E-59.968862E-69.968862E-61.00.09.1557646E-54.2723044E-54.2723044E-51.00.00.00111414425.2003766E-45.3003244E-41.01921941.0E-50.0110857490.0051890770.00520897331.00383422.0E-5
6.22.1364202E-59.968862E-69.968862E-61.00.09.1557646E-54.2723044E-54.2723044E-51.00.00.00111414425.2003766E-45.3003244E-41.01921941.0E-50.0110857490.0051890770.00520897331.00383422.0E-5
6.31.7751237E-58.0898735E-68.0898735E-61.00.07.607452E-53.467046E-53.467046E-51.00.09.258136E-44.2203735E-44.3203315E-41.02368461.0E-50.009219660.00421298160.0042328971.00472722.0E-5
6.41.7751237E-58.0898735E-68.0898735E-61.00.07.607452E-53.467046E-53.467046E-51.00.09.258136E-44.2203735E-44.3203315E-41.02368461.0E-50.009219660.00421298160.0042328971.00472722.0E-5
6.51.5886664E-56.604355E-66.604355E-61.00.06.808392E-52.8304097E-52.8304097E-51.00.08.286065E-43.445526E-43.5454915E-41.02901321.0E-50.0082552370.0034406480.00346057931.00579292.0E-5
6.61.5886664E-56.604355E-66.604355E-61.00.06.808392E-52.8304097E-52.8304097E-51.00.08.286065E-43.445526E-43.5454915E-41.02901321.0E-50.0082552370.0034406480.00346057931.00579292.0E-5
6.71.428471E-55.47086E-65.47086E-61.00.06.121875E-52.3446355E-52.3446355E-51.00.07.450834E-42.8542592E-42.9542306E-41.03502541.0E-50.0074259020.00285098120.00287092431.00699512.0E-5
6.81.3490684E-55.0741232E-65.0741232E-61.00.05.7815934E-52.1746082E-52.1746082E-51.00.07.0368167E-42.6473025E-42.7472762E-41.03776431.0E-50.0070145760.002644530.0026644771.00754272.0E-5
6.91.2235421E-54.29004E-64.29004E-61.00.05.2436466E-51.8385777E-51.8385777E-51.00.06.38227E-42.2382745E-42.3382521E-41.04466721.0E-50.00636397070.00223637440.00225632991.0089232.0E-5
7.01.1009851E-53.7193186E-63.7193186E-61.00.04.7184225E-51.5939859E-51.5939859E-51.00.05.743165E-41.9405394E-42.04052E-41.0515221.0E-50.0057283450.00193918280.0019591441.01029362.0E-5
7.19.726373E-63.212039E-63.212039E-61.00.04.168379E-51.3765828E-51.3765828E-51.00.05.07382E-41.6758945E-41.7758776E-41.05965961.0E-50.00506225040.00167496190.00169492841.01192062.0E-5
7.23.9335127E-61.1525179E-61.1525179E-61.00.01.6857803E-54.9393534E-64.9393534E-61.00.02.0522442E-46.013503E-57.0134425E-51.16628241.0E-50.002050356.011935E-46.111875E-41.01662361.0E-5
7.32.661632E-66.91165E-76.91165E-71.00.01.14069435E-52.9621324E-62.9621324E-61.00.01.3887069E-43.6063375E-54.6063014E-51.27727961.0E-50.00138783933.6057626E-43.7057267E-41.02772341.0E-5
7.42.0893426E-65.461979E-75.461979E-71.00.08.954295E-62.340846E-62.340846E-61.00.01.0901308E-42.8499433E-53.8499147E-51.35087421.0E-50.00108959622.8495834E-42.9495548E-41.03508281.0E-5
7.51.1681728E-63.6031344E-73.6031344E-71.00.05.0064455E-61.5441996E-61.5441996E-61.00.06.0951766E-51.8800472E-52.8800285E-51.53189151.0E-56.093505E-41.8798928E-41.979874E-41.05318451.0E-5
7.61.3154387E-77.119929E-87.119929E-81.00.05.6375933E-73.0513976E-73.0513976E-71.00.06.863748E-63.715072E-63.715072E-61.00.06.863536E-53.7150257E-53.7150257E-51.00.0

White Wolf

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.0037822E-51.0469125E-61.0469125E-61.00.08.587355E-54.4867606E-64.4867606E-61.00.00.0010450095.4624994E-56.4624444E-51.18305641.0E-50.0104010855.4612075E-45.6610984E-41.03660192.0E-5
6.12.0037822E-51.0469125E-61.0469125E-61.00.08.587355E-54.4867606E-64.4867606E-61.00.00.0010450095.4624994E-56.4624444E-51.18305641.0E-50.0104010855.4612075E-45.6610984E-41.03660192.0E-5
6.22.0037822E-51.0469125E-61.0469125E-61.00.08.587355E-54.4867606E-64.4867606E-61.00.00.0010450095.4624994E-56.4624444E-51.18305641.0E-50.0104010855.4612075E-45.6610984E-41.03660192.0E-5
6.32.0037822E-51.0469125E-61.0469125E-61.00.08.587355E-54.4867606E-64.4867606E-61.00.00.0010450095.4624994E-56.4624444E-51.18305641.0E-50.0104010855.4612075E-45.6610984E-41.03660192.0E-5
6.41.132487E-51.0469125E-61.0469125E-61.00.04.8534253E-54.4867606E-64.4867606E-61.00.05.907443E-45.4624994E-56.4624444E-51.18305641.0E-50.0058917645.4612075E-45.6610984E-41.03660192.0E-5
6.51.132487E-51.0469125E-61.0469125E-61.00.04.8534253E-54.4867606E-64.4867606E-61.00.05.907443E-45.4624994E-56.4624444E-51.18305641.0E-50.0058917645.4612075E-45.6610984E-41.03660192.0E-5
6.69.347473E-61.0469125E-61.0469125E-61.00.04.0059982E-54.4867606E-64.4867606E-61.00.04.8762115E-45.4624994E-56.4624444E-51.18305641.0E-50.00486552535.4612075E-45.6610984E-41.03660192.0E-5
6.77.842647E-61.0048299E-61.0048299E-61.00.03.361091E-54.306407E-64.306407E-61.00.04.0913603E-45.2429295E-56.242877E-51.19072311.0E-50.0040838365.2417425E-45.4416375E-41.03813532.0E-5
6.86.26597E-69.734783E-79.734783E-71.00.02.685388E-54.1720436E-64.1720436E-61.00.03.2689696E-45.07935E-56.079299E-51.19686561.0E-50.0032641655.078238E-45.278136E-41.03936372.0E-5
6.95.258436E-69.183194E-79.183194E-71.00.02.2535958E-53.935649E-63.935649E-61.00.02.7434074E-44.7915524E-55.7915044E-51.20869061.0E-50.00274002324.790567E-44.990471E-41.04172872.0E-5
7.04.675028E-68.661136E-78.661136E-71.00.02.003568E-53.7119105E-63.7119105E-61.00.02.4390711E-44.5191624E-55.519117E-51.221271.0E-50.00243639574.5182905E-44.7182E-41.04424452.0E-5
7.12.8270078E-66.874117E-76.874117E-71.00.01.2115692E-52.9460473E-62.9460473E-61.00.01.4749856E-43.5867575E-54.586722E-51.27879331.0E-50.0014740073.5862197E-43.786148E-41.0557492.0E-5
7.21.6881406E-62.2705167E-72.2705167E-71.00.07.2348685E-69.730783E-79.730783E-71.00.08.808096E-51.1847164E-51.1847164E-51.00.08.8046055E-41.1846548E-41.1846548E-41.00.0
7.39.086107E-71.5265711E-71.5265711E-71.00.03.8940398E-66.542446E-76.542446E-71.00.04.7408903E-57.9654E-67.9654E-61.00.04.739879E-47.9651225E-57.9651225E-51.00.0
7.41.9717383E-79.003655E-89.003655E-81.00.08.450304E-73.8587086E-73.8587086E-71.00.01.0288197E-54.697968E-64.697968E-61.00.01.028772E-44.697872E-54.697872E-51.00.0
7.51.086975E-76.659832E-86.659832E-81.00.04.6584634E-72.8542135E-72.8542135E-71.00.05.6716644E-63.4749996E-63.4749996E-61.00.05.6715195E-53.4749475E-53.4749475E-51.00.0
7.62.4217808E-81.5821215E-81.5821215E-81.00.01.03790605E-76.78052E-86.78052E-81.00.01.2636499E-68.2552805E-78.2552805E-71.00.01.2636427E-58.255255E-68.255255E-61.00.0

Santa Susana East (connector)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.858397E-53.2025328E-53.2025328E-51.00.01.2249697E-41.3724578E-41.3724578E-41.00.00.00149038030.00166995750.00166995751.00.00.0148042440.0166006630.016620331.00118482.0E-5
6.12.858397E-53.2025328E-53.2025328E-51.00.01.2249697E-41.3724578E-41.3724578E-41.00.00.00149038030.00166995750.00166995751.00.00.0148042440.0166006630.016620331.00118482.0E-5
6.22.858397E-53.2025328E-53.2025328E-51.00.01.2249697E-41.3724578E-41.3724578E-41.00.00.00149038030.00166995750.00166995751.00.00.0148042440.0166006630.016620331.00118482.0E-5
6.31.943582E-52.0369282E-52.0369282E-51.00.08.329371E-58.729463E-58.729463E-51.00.00.0010136290.0010624060.0010624061.00.00.0100901810.0105843490.0106041371.00186962.0E-5
6.41.943582E-52.0369282E-52.0369282E-51.00.08.329371E-58.729463E-58.729463E-51.00.00.0010136290.0010624060.0010624061.00.00.0100901810.0105843490.0106041371.00186962.0E-5
6.51.943582E-52.0369282E-52.0369282E-51.00.08.329371E-58.729463E-58.729463E-51.00.00.0010136290.0010624060.0010624061.00.00.0100901810.0105843490.0106041371.00186962.0E-5
6.61.943582E-52.0369282E-52.0369282E-51.00.08.329371E-58.729463E-58.729463E-51.00.00.0010136290.0010624060.0010624061.00.00.0100901810.0105843490.0106041371.00186962.0E-5
6.71.9404439E-52.0356701E-52.0356701E-51.00.08.3159226E-58.724072E-58.724072E-51.00.00.00101199330.00106175020.00106175021.00.00.0100739710.0105778540.01059764251.00187082.0E-5
6.81.2217526E-51.1593922E-51.1593922E-51.00.05.2359774E-54.9687387E-54.9687387E-51.00.06.372938E-46.0479285E-46.0479285E-41.00.00.00635469240.0060331620.0060530411.00329512.0E-5
6.91.2217526E-51.1593922E-51.1593922E-51.00.05.2359774E-54.9687387E-54.9687387E-51.00.06.372938E-46.0479285E-46.0479285E-41.00.00.00635469240.0060331620.0060530411.00329512.0E-5
7.09.276017E-68.059641E-68.059641E-61.00.03.9753755E-53.454088E-53.454088E-51.00.04.8389446E-44.2045754E-44.2045754E-41.00.00.00482842140.0041969910.00420694941.00237261.0E-5
7.19.130355E-67.942807E-67.942807E-61.00.03.9129503E-53.404018E-53.404018E-51.00.04.7629757E-44.143638E-44.143638E-41.00.00.004752780.0041362820.00414624071.00240771.0E-5
7.28.851015E-67.741957E-67.741957E-61.00.03.7932372E-53.3179414E-53.3179414E-51.00.04.6172875E-44.0388794E-44.0388794E-41.00.00.00460770540.0040319060.0040418661.00247031.0E-5
7.38.573006E-67.5506696E-67.5506696E-61.00.03.6740938E-53.2359632E-53.2359632E-51.00.04.472291E-43.939107E-43.939107E-41.00.00.0044633010.00393250350.00394246451.0025331.0E-5
7.47.852282E-66.8181307E-66.8181307E-61.00.03.36522E-52.922025E-52.922025E-51.00.04.096385E-43.557015E-43.557015E-41.00.00.00408884230.00355163570.00356161.00280561.0E-5
7.54.8869324E-64.279285E-64.279285E-61.00.02.0943828E-51.8339673E-51.8339673E-51.00.02.5496128E-42.232643E-42.232643E-41.00.00.00254668950.00223045660.00224043431.00447331.0E-5
7.61.3894544E-61.1568683E-61.1568683E-61.00.05.954791E-64.957999E-64.957999E-61.00.07.249717E-56.0362185E-56.0362185E-51.00.07.247352E-46.034797E-46.034797E-41.00.0
7.72.9924632E-72.372098E-72.372098E-71.00.01.2824837E-61.016613E-61.016613E-61.00.01.5614127E-51.23772015E-51.23772015E-51.00.01.5613029E-41.2376584E-41.2376584E-41.00.0
7.84.8188564E-82.6328209E-82.6328209E-81.00.02.065224E-71.12835174E-71.12835174E-71.00.02.5144072E-61.3737674E-61.3737674E-61.00.02.5143789E-51.3737598E-51.3737598E-51.00.0
7.92.6127251E-92.7681977E-92.7681977E-91.00.01.1197393E-81.1863704E-81.1863704E-81.00.01.3632825E-71.4444059E-71.4444059E-71.00.01.3632817E-61.4444059E-61.4444059E-61.00.0

Sisar

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.544193E-63.8397884E-63.8397884E-61.00.01.9474966E-51.6456135E-52.6455971E-51.60766611.0E-52.3708193E-42.0033536E-42.1033335E-41.04990631.0E-50.00236829160.00200158150.00202154141.00997212.0E-5
6.14.544193E-63.8397884E-63.8397884E-61.00.01.9474966E-51.6456135E-52.6455971E-51.60766611.0E-52.3708193E-42.0033536E-42.1033335E-41.04990631.0E-50.00236829160.00200158150.00202154141.00997212.0E-5
6.24.544193E-63.8397884E-63.8397884E-61.00.01.9474966E-51.6456135E-52.6455971E-51.60766611.0E-52.3708193E-42.0033536E-42.1033335E-41.04990631.0E-50.00236829160.00200158150.00202154141.00997212.0E-5
6.34.544193E-63.8397884E-63.8397884E-61.00.01.9474966E-51.6456135E-52.6455971E-51.60766611.0E-52.3708193E-42.0033536E-42.1033335E-41.04990631.0E-50.00236829160.00200158150.00202154141.00997212.0E-5
6.44.544193E-63.8397884E-63.8397884E-61.00.01.9474966E-51.6456135E-52.6455971E-51.60766611.0E-52.3708193E-42.0033536E-42.1033335E-41.04990631.0E-50.00236829160.00200158150.00202154141.00997212.0E-5
6.54.544193E-63.8397884E-63.8397884E-61.00.01.9474966E-51.6456135E-52.6455971E-51.60766611.0E-52.3708193E-42.0033536E-42.1033335E-41.04990631.0E-50.00236829160.00200158150.00202154141.00997212.0E-5
6.64.544193E-63.8397884E-63.8397884E-61.00.01.9474966E-51.6456135E-52.6455971E-51.60766611.0E-52.3708193E-42.0033536E-42.1033335E-41.04990631.0E-50.00236829160.00200158150.00202154141.00997212.0E-5
6.74.544193E-63.8397884E-63.8397884E-61.00.01.9474966E-51.6456135E-52.6455971E-51.60766611.0E-52.3708193E-42.0033536E-42.1033335E-41.04990631.0E-50.00236829160.00200158150.00202154141.00997212.0E-5
6.84.544193E-63.8397884E-63.8397884E-61.00.01.9474966E-51.6456135E-52.6455971E-51.60766611.0E-52.3708193E-42.0033536E-42.1033335E-41.04990631.0E-50.00236829160.00200158150.00202154141.00997212.0E-5
6.94.542225E-63.8377507E-63.8377507E-61.00.01.9466532E-51.64474E-52.6447236E-51.60798881.0E-52.3697925E-42.0022903E-42.1022702E-41.04993281.0E-50.0023672670.002000520.002020481.00997752.0E-5
7.04.5278484E-63.822814E-63.822814E-61.00.01.940492E-51.6383388E-52.6383224E-51.61036431.0E-52.3622929E-41.9944983E-42.0944784E-41.05012791.0E-50.00235978330.0019927420.00201270221.01001642.0E-5
7.14.5132488E-63.8076014E-63.8076014E-61.00.01.9342351E-51.6318192E-52.6318028E-51.6128031.0E-52.3546767E-41.986562E-42.0865421E-41.05032831.0E-50.00235218320.001984820.00200478031.01005652.0E-5
7.24.448859E-63.74006E-63.74006E-61.00.01.9066398E-51.6028733E-52.6028572E-51.62386971.0E-52.3210866E-41.9513267E-42.0513072E-41.05123721.0E-50.00231866380.0019496470.0019696081.01023832.0E-5
7.34.3424366E-63.6338909E-63.6338909E-61.00.01.861031E-51.5573727E-52.5573572E-51.6420971.0E-52.2655698E-41.8959396E-41.9959206E-41.05273431.0E-50.00226326150.00189435560.00191431771.01053762.0E-5
7.44.218641E-63.5332403E-63.5332403E-61.00.01.8079765E-51.5142372E-52.514222E-51.66038851.0E-52.2009891E-41.8434311E-41.9434128E-41.05423671.0E-50.00219881050.00184193530.00186189851.01083822.0E-5
7.53.983779E-63.3480019E-63.3480019E-61.00.01.7073227E-51.4348502E-52.434836E-51.69692681.0E-52.0784672E-41.7467934E-41.846776E-41.05723771.0E-50.00207652430.00174545350.00176541841.01143842.0E-5
7.62.777393E-62.3523785E-62.3523785E-61.00.01.1903058E-51.0081583E-52.0081483E-51.99189771.0E-51.449101E-41.2273644E-41.3273521E-41.08146541.0E-50.00144815640.00122669430.00123668211.0081421.0E-5
7.71.9028433E-61.5939673E-61.5939673E-61.00.08.155017E-66.831271E-66.831271E-61.00.09.928281E-58.31676E-58.31676E-51.00.09.923846E-48.313695E-48.313695E-41.00.0
7.84.9095956E-74.3585268E-74.3585268E-71.00.02.1041105E-61.8679387E-61.8679387E-61.00.02.5617246E-52.2741919E-52.2741919E-51.00.02.5614293E-42.2739609E-42.2739609E-41.00.0
7.91.16657894E-71.03358666E-71.03358666E-71.00.04.999623E-74.4296564E-74.4296564E-71.00.06.087024E-65.3930935E-65.3930935E-61.00.06.0868573E-55.3929656E-55.3929656E-51.00.0
8.02.5100346E-91.706956E-91.706956E-91.00.01.0757291E-87.315526E-97.315526E-91.00.01.3097001E-78.9066525E-88.9066525E-81.00.01.3096993E-68.90665E-78.90665E-71.00.0

Brawley (Seismic Zone) alt 1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.2521618E-44.76691E-44.76691E-41.00.09.6485513E-40.0020413990.0020413991.00.00.0116839880.0245652220.024584731.00079422.0E-50.110884230.213631270.2136471.00007372.0E-5
6.12.2521618E-44.76691E-44.76691E-41.00.09.6485513E-40.0020413990.0020413991.00.00.0116839880.0245652220.024584731.00079422.0E-50.110884230.213631270.2136471.00007372.0E-5
6.22.198148E-44.6752882E-44.6752882E-41.00.09.417233E-40.00200219310.00200219311.00.00.0114053430.024098980.0241184981.00080992.0E-50.108374280.210066020.210081821.00007522.0E-5
6.32.1704129E-44.618843E-44.618843E-41.00.09.298453E-40.0019780390.0019780391.00.00.0112622340.023812240.0238317641.00081992.0E-50.1070827250.207957010.207972851.00007622.0E-5
6.41.876142E-44.0079502E-44.0079502E-41.00.08.038131E-40.00171657650.00171657651.00.00.009742590.0207001440.020719731.00094622.0E-50.0932636860.184708160.184724471.00008832.0E-5
6.51.7390939E-43.7510466E-43.7510466E-41.00.07.45113E-40.00160661320.00160661321.00.00.0090340780.0193880330.0194076451.00101162.0E-50.0867552160.174528150.174544661.00009472.0E-5
6.61.591791E-43.4923697E-43.4923697E-41.00.06.8201777E-40.00149588140.00149588141.00.00.0082719960.0180629270.0180825651.00108722.0E-50.079707740.163932670.163949391.0001022.0E-5
6.71.4268003E-43.208802E-43.208802E-41.00.06.1134255E-40.00137448440.00137448441.00.00.0074177230.016608080.0166277481.00118422.0E-50.071749560.152056710.152073671.00011162.0E-5
6.81.239713E-42.9079075E-42.9079075E-41.00.05.3119735E-40.0012456570.0012456571.00.00.00644816740.0150618460.0150815451.00130782.0E-50.062642430.138485210.138502431.00012452.0E-5
6.91.0180238E-42.6274272E-42.6274272E-41.00.04.3622297E-40.00112555860.00112555861.00.00.0052980890.0136185730.0136383011.00144862.0E-50.051735430.125048120.125065611.000142.0E-5
7.07.6619996E-52.241466E-42.241466E-41.00.03.283301E-49.602778E-49.602778E-41.00.00.00399009320.0116294190.0116491871.00169982.0E-50.0391920660.107336410.107354271.00016632.0E-5
7.17.5127435E-52.2097632E-42.2097632E-41.00.03.2193496E-49.4670086E-49.4670086E-41.00.00.00391251550.0114658710.0114856421.00172442.0E-50.0384434420.105899790.105917671.00016882.0E-5
7.26.788582E-52.0224846E-42.0224846E-41.00.02.9090676E-48.664942E-48.664942E-41.00.00.00353603860.01049917750.0105189671.00188492.0E-50.0348030.0975684150.097586461.0001852.0E-5
7.36.399602E-51.8855186E-41.8855186E-41.00.02.7423984E-48.0783205E-48.0783205E-41.00.00.00333375860.0097915920.0098113961.00202262.0E-50.032841880.0914603840.091478561.00019872.0E-5
7.44.506759E-51.2540306E-41.2540306E-41.00.01.9313251E-45.373319E-45.373319E-41.00.00.00234885260.00652256750.0065424371.00304632.0E-50.0232418050.062413420.0624321741.00030042.0E-5
7.53.43289E-59.3448114E-59.3448114E-51.00.01.4711556E-44.0043076E-44.0043076E-41.00.00.00178966030.00486440860.00488431151.00409152.0E-50.017753160.047097460.0471165181.00040462.0E-5
7.62.5980507E-57.061279E-57.061279E-51.00.01.1134028E-43.0259127E-43.0259127E-41.00.00.0013547250.00367784970.0036977761.0054182.0E-50.0134649590.035878320.03589761.00053742.0E-5
7.71.7292105E-54.9476897E-54.9476897E-51.00.07.4106916E-52.1202664E-42.1202664E-41.00.09.018782E-40.00257837420.00259832251.00773682.0E-50.0089822670.0253224450.025341941.00076992.0E-5
7.81.2927471E-53.9753748E-53.9753748E-51.00.05.5402274E-51.703621E-41.703621E-41.00.06.743139E-40.00207218780.00209214651.00963162.0E-50.00672271430.020459640.0204792321.00095752.0E-5
7.91.0200774E-52.879426E-52.879426E-51.00.04.371687E-51.2339813E-41.2339813E-41.00.05.321229E-40.00150133810.0015213081.01330152.0E-50.0053085050.0150143510.0150340511.0013122.0E-5
8.08.650396E-62.331885E-52.331885E-51.00.03.70726E-59.99341E-59.99341E-51.00.04.5126543E-40.00121601940.00122600721.00821351.0E-50.00450350160.0122306080.0122404851.00080761.0E-5
8.13.9368224E-67.3453502E-67.3453502E-61.00.01.6871985E-53.1479693E-53.1479693E-51.00.02.0539707E-43.83198E-43.9319418E-41.02608621.0E-50.00205207310.0040099150.0040198751.00248381.0E-5
8.21.7101195E-62.2244978E-62.2244978E-61.00.07.329063E-69.533527E-69.533527E-61.00.08.922769E-51.1606455E-41.1606455E-41.00.08.9191867E-40.00127008940.00127008941.00.0
8.33.0346666E-81.7278948E-81.7278948E-81.00.01.3005713E-77.405263E-87.405263E-81.00.01.5834444E-69.015907E-79.015907E-71.00.01.5834332E-59.403383E-69.403383E-61.00.0

San Andreas (Santa Cruz Mts) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.7221631E-41.3823033E-41.3823033E-41.00.07.378611E-45.922832E-45.922832E-41.00.00.0089465150.00718758070.0071975091.00138131.0E-50.085947940.070685550.070704141.0002632.0E-5
6.11.7221631E-41.3823033E-41.3823033E-41.00.07.378611E-45.922832E-45.922832E-41.00.00.0089465150.00718758070.0071975091.00138131.0E-50.085947940.070685550.070704141.0002632.0E-5
6.21.7221631E-41.3823033E-41.3823033E-41.00.07.378611E-45.922832E-45.922832E-41.00.00.0089465150.00718758070.0071975091.00138131.0E-50.085947940.070685550.070704141.0002632.0E-5
6.31.716926E-41.374243E-41.374243E-41.00.07.3561794E-45.888304E-45.888304E-41.00.00.0089194280.00714581830.00715574671.00138941.0E-50.085698090.0702973460.070315941.00026452.0E-5
6.41.6392978E-41.361796E-41.361796E-41.00.07.02367E-45.8349833E-45.8349833E-41.00.00.0085178390.00708132330.0070912521.00140211.0E-50.081986540.069529240.0695478541.00026762.0E-5
6.51.5742714E-41.2677119E-41.2677119E-41.00.06.745133E-45.4319366E-45.4319366E-41.00.00.008181320.0065936390.0066035731.00150661.0E-50.0788659450.064992870.065011561.00028782.0E-5
6.61.3038084E-41.1615326E-41.1615326E-41.00.05.5865536E-44.97706E-44.97706E-41.00.00.0067804380.00604296150.0060529011.00164481.0E-50.06577250.0594524030.0594712121.00031642.0E-5
6.71.2867592E-41.1341684E-41.1341684E-41.00.05.5135164E-44.859829E-44.859829E-41.00.00.00669206540.0059010130.0059109541.00168471.0E-50.064940930.0581627340.0581815731.00032392.0E-5
6.81.2801298E-41.1279208E-41.1279208E-41.00.05.485117E-44.8330633E-44.8330633E-41.00.00.00665770050.00586861840.005878561.0016941.0E-50.064617380.0578765240.0578953661.00032562.0E-5
6.91.269149E-41.11213E-41.11213E-41.00.05.4380763E-44.7654135E-44.7654135E-41.00.00.0066007770.0057866950.00579663741.0017181.0E-50.064081220.057147890.0571667481.000332.0E-5
7.01.2030331E-41.085109E-41.085109E-41.00.05.154837E-44.649651E-44.649651E-41.00.00.0062579690.0056464930.00565643661.0017611.0E-50.060846480.055819020.0558379031.00033832.0E-5
7.18.049617E-55.4112494E-55.4112494E-51.00.03.4493793E-42.3189027E-42.3189027E-41.00.00.00419153460.00281964380.00282961571.00353661.0E-50.0411335160.0297108310.0297302381.00065312.0E-5
7.27.093979E-54.3101376E-54.3101376E-51.00.03.0399222E-41.8470723E-41.8470723E-41.00.00.00369482530.00224651420.00225649171.00444141.0E-50.036339940.0240230620.024042581.00081252.0E-5
7.36.193693E-52.9015144E-52.9015144E-51.00.02.6541698E-41.2434469E-41.2434469E-41.00.00.00322666370.00151284710.0015228321.00661.0E-50.0318021330.0165626030.0165822731.00118762.0E-5
7.45.906492E-52.7132985E-52.7132985E-51.00.02.5311083E-41.1627904E-41.1627904E-41.00.00.00307726980.00141477950.00142476531.00705831.0E-50.0303500440.0155290160.0155487051.00126792.0E-5
7.55.424296E-52.4772991E-52.4772991E-51.00.02.324491E-41.0616565E-41.0616565E-41.00.00.0028263950.00129180160.00130178861.00773111.0E-50.0279071650.0142136560.0142333721.00138712.0E-5
7.64.43084E-51.9968573E-51.9968573E-51.00.01.8987931E-48.557679E-58.557679E-51.00.00.00230932960.00104139970.00105138931.00959241.0E-50.0228547830.0114475060.0114672771.00172712.0E-5
7.74.118098E-51.8996907E-51.8996907E-51.00.01.7647797E-48.141278E-58.141278E-51.00.00.0021465029.9075E-40.00100074021.01008331.0E-50.0212588660.0109032660.01092304851.00181442.0E-5
7.83.5408906E-51.8623094E-51.8623094E-51.00.01.5174363E-47.9810816E-57.9810816E-51.00.00.00184591319.712638E-49.81254E-41.01028591.0E-50.0183065520.0106837340.010703521.0018522.0E-5
7.92.5860836E-51.7369108E-51.7369108E-51.00.01.10827445E-47.443691E-57.443691E-51.00.00.0013484899.058928E-49.1588375E-41.01102891.0E-50.0134033540.0099360540.0099558561.00199282.0E-5
8.01.9777332E-51.48851705E-51.48851705E-51.00.08.4757245E-56.379203E-56.379203E-51.00.00.00103143097.763914E-47.8638364E-41.01287011.0E-50.0102665670.0085335240.0085533541.00232372.0E-5
8.11.468494E-51.2144859E-51.2144859E-51.00.06.293394E-55.204836E-55.204836E-51.00.07.6595135E-46.335047E-46.434984E-41.01577521.0E-50.00763316640.0069892430.0070091031.00284162.0E-5
8.28.63836E-65.4882034E-65.4882034E-61.00.03.7021015E-52.352066E-52.352066E-51.00.04.5063766E-42.8632648E-42.8632648E-41.00.00.0044972490.00325619850.00325619851.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.690063E-77.690063E-71.00.08.498917E-63.295737E-63.295737E-61.00.01.034694E-44.012488E-54.012488E-51.00.00.00103421244.737206E-44.737206E-41.00.0

Channel Islands Western Deep Ramp

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.0213506E-66.2549975E-66.2549975E-61.00.02.5805533E-52.6806882E-52.6806882E-51.00.03.1413708E-43.2632938E-43.2632938E-41.00.00.00313693380.00325894330.00327887831.0061172.0E-5
6.16.0213506E-66.2549975E-66.2549975E-61.00.02.5805533E-52.6806882E-52.6806882E-51.00.03.1413708E-43.2632938E-43.2632938E-41.00.00.00313693380.00325894330.00327887831.0061172.0E-5
6.26.0213506E-66.2549975E-66.2549975E-61.00.02.5805533E-52.6806882E-52.6806882E-51.00.03.1413708E-43.2632938E-43.2632938E-41.00.00.00313693380.00325894330.00327887831.0061172.0E-5
6.36.0213506E-66.2549975E-66.2549975E-61.00.02.5805533E-52.6806882E-52.6806882E-51.00.03.1413708E-43.2632938E-43.2632938E-41.00.00.00313693380.00325894330.00327887831.0061172.0E-5
6.46.0213506E-66.2549975E-66.2549975E-61.00.02.5805533E-52.6806882E-52.6806882E-51.00.03.1413708E-43.2632938E-43.2632938E-41.00.00.00313693380.00325894330.00327887831.0061172.0E-5
6.56.0213506E-66.2549975E-66.2549975E-61.00.02.5805533E-52.6806882E-52.6806882E-51.00.03.1413708E-43.2632938E-43.2632938E-41.00.00.00313693380.00325894330.00327887831.0061172.0E-5
6.66.0213506E-66.2549975E-66.2549975E-61.00.02.5805533E-52.6806882E-52.6806882E-51.00.03.1413708E-43.2632938E-43.2632938E-41.00.00.00313693380.00325894330.00327887831.0061172.0E-5
6.75.313309E-65.5253577E-65.5253577E-61.00.02.2771126E-52.3679913E-52.3679913E-51.00.02.772032E-42.8826887E-42.8826887E-41.00.00.00276857660.00287935280.00289929521.00692612.0E-5
6.85.313309E-65.5253577E-65.5253577E-61.00.02.2771126E-52.3679913E-52.3679913E-51.00.02.772032E-42.8826887E-42.8826887E-41.00.00.00276857660.00287935280.00289929521.00692612.0E-5
6.94.744377E-64.9395385E-64.9395385E-61.00.02.0332885E-52.11693E-52.11693E-51.00.02.4752476E-42.5770947E-42.5770947E-41.00.00.00247249220.00257447360.0025944221.00774862.0E-5
7.04.722209E-64.9165806E-64.9165806E-61.00.02.0237881E-52.1070911E-52.1070911E-51.00.02.4636835E-42.5651188E-42.5651188E-41.00.00.0024609540.00256252520.00258247411.00778482.0E-5
7.14.611174E-64.8015145E-64.8015145E-61.00.01.9762025E-52.0577778E-52.0577778E-51.00.02.4057609E-42.5050936E-42.5050936E-41.00.00.0024031580.00250263680.00252258661.00797152.0E-5
7.24.043994E-64.2121196E-64.2121196E-61.00.01.7331287E-51.8051836E-51.8051836E-51.00.02.10988E-42.1976251E-42.1976251E-41.00.00.0021078780.00219580280.0022157591.00908832.0E-5
7.32.1233036E-62.2298468E-62.2298468E-61.00.09.099841E-69.556452E-69.556452E-61.00.01.1078493E-41.1634364E-41.1634364E-41.00.00.00110729710.00116283280.00116283281.00.0
7.41.9051884E-62.001551E-62.001551E-61.00.08.165067E-68.5780475E-68.5780475E-61.00.09.940516E-51.0443278E-41.0443278E-41.00.09.93607E-40.00104384230.00104384231.00.0
7.51.2408497E-61.3039191E-61.3039191E-61.00.05.317916E-65.588213E-65.588213E-61.00.06.4743705E-56.803439E-56.803439E-51.00.06.4724847E-46.801378E-46.801378E-41.00.0
7.66.5440025E-76.88691E-76.88691E-71.00.02.8045695E-62.9515295E-62.9515295E-61.00.03.4145098E-53.5934292E-53.5934292E-51.00.03.4139853E-43.5928623E-43.5928623E-41.00.0
7.73.985963E-74.1931946E-74.1931946E-71.00.01.7082689E-61.7970822E-61.7970822E-61.00.02.0797976E-52.1879268E-52.1879268E-51.00.02.0796029E-42.187723E-42.187723E-41.00.0
7.83.706329E-83.859264E-83.859264E-81.00.01.5884267E-71.6539701E-71.6539701E-71.00.01.9339077E-62.013707E-62.013707E-61.00.01.933891E-52.0136898E-52.0136898E-51.00.0

San Gabriel (Extension)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.6486106E-65.718104E-65.718104E-61.00.02.4208108E-52.4505938E-52.4505938E-51.00.02.9469383E-42.983202E-43.1831424E-41.06702212.0E-50.00294303360.00297932540.00299926571.00669292.0E-5
6.15.6486106E-65.718104E-65.718104E-61.00.02.4208108E-52.4505938E-52.4505938E-51.00.02.9469383E-42.983202E-43.1831424E-41.06702212.0E-50.00294303360.00297932540.00299926571.00669292.0E-5
6.25.6486106E-65.718104E-65.718104E-61.00.02.4208108E-52.4505938E-52.4505938E-51.00.02.9469383E-42.983202E-43.1831424E-41.06702212.0E-50.00294303360.00297932540.00299926571.00669292.0E-5
6.35.6486106E-65.718104E-65.718104E-61.00.02.4208108E-52.4505938E-52.4505938E-51.00.02.9469383E-42.983202E-43.1831424E-41.06702212.0E-50.00294303360.00297932540.00299926571.00669292.0E-5
6.45.6486106E-65.718104E-65.718104E-61.00.02.4208108E-52.4505938E-52.4505938E-51.00.02.9469383E-42.983202E-43.1831424E-41.06702212.0E-50.00294303360.00297932540.00299926571.00669292.0E-5
6.54.7134554E-64.755513E-64.755513E-61.00.02.0200367E-52.0380618E-52.0380618E-51.00.02.459117E-42.481066E-42.5810412E-41.04029521.0E-50.00245639750.00247838160.00248835681.00402491.0E-5
6.64.7134554E-64.755513E-64.755513E-61.00.02.0200367E-52.0380618E-52.0380618E-51.00.02.459117E-42.481066E-42.5810412E-41.04029521.0E-50.00245639750.00247838160.00248835681.00402491.0E-5
6.74.2468837E-64.275323E-64.275323E-61.00.01.8200803E-51.832269E-51.832269E-51.00.02.2157225E-42.2305663E-42.330544E-41.04482161.0E-50.00221351440.00222840070.00223837841.00447751.0E-5
6.84.1180615E-64.1427106E-64.1427106E-61.00.01.7648716E-51.7754357E-51.7754357E-51.00.02.1485193E-42.1613858E-42.2613641E-41.04625671.0E-50.00214644310.00215935610.00216933461.0046211.0E-5
6.93.863861E-63.8810217E-63.8810217E-61.00.01.65593E-51.6632848E-51.6632848E-51.00.02.0159081E-42.024868E-42.1248478E-41.04937591.0E-50.00201408030.00202309180.00203307161.00493291.0E-5
7.03.6947372E-63.7069185E-63.7069185E-61.00.01.5834492E-51.58867E-51.58867E-51.00.01.9276788E-41.9340408E-42.0340215E-41.05169521.0E-50.00192600740.00193242520.0019424061.00516491.0E-5
7.13.5686835E-63.5741346E-63.5741346E-61.00.01.5294268E-51.5317633E-51.5317633E-51.00.01.861918E-41.864769E-41.9647503E-41.05361591.0E-50.00186035880.00186327110.00187325261.00535691.0E-5
7.22.8023446E-62.7780084E-62.7780084E-61.00.01.2009994E-51.1905696E-51.1905696E-51.00.01.4621185E-41.4494231E-41.5494088E-41.0689831.0E-50.0014611570.00144848980.00145847541.00689381.0E-5
7.32.5843012E-62.5471716E-62.5471716E-61.00.01.1075529E-51.0916404E-51.0916404E-51.00.01.3483623E-41.3289921E-41.4289789E-41.0752351.0E-50.00134754440.00132820830.00133819491.00751891.0E-5
7.42.4464468E-62.3978541E-62.3978541E-61.00.01.04847295E-51.0276478E-51.0276478E-51.00.01.276441E-41.2510903E-41.3510778E-41.07992031.0E-50.00127570820.00125039670.00126038421.00798751.0E-5
7.52.0420266E-61.892085E-61.892085E-61.00.08.751514E-68.108911E-68.108911E-61.00.01.0654447E-49.872155E-51.0872057E-41.1012851.0E-50.0010649349.867814E-49.967716E-41.0101241.0E-5
7.61.8326596E-61.6407992E-61.6407992E-61.00.07.854232E-67.0319775E-67.0319775E-61.00.09.562107E-58.5610984E-59.561013E-51.11679741.0E-59.5579936E-48.5578335E-48.657748E-41.01167521.0E-5
7.71.4786998E-61.2532653E-61.2532653E-61.00.06.3372695E-65.371126E-65.371126E-61.00.07.715353E-56.5391505E-57.539085E-51.1529151.0E-57.7126746E-46.537298E-46.637232E-41.01528681.0E-5
7.87.6975533E-76.076714E-76.076714E-71.00.03.2989474E-62.6043033E-62.6043033E-61.00.04.0163945E-53.1706935E-54.170662E-51.31537841.0E-54.0156685E-43.170294E-43.270262E-41.03153281.0E-5
7.91.7645915E-79.2330005E-89.2330005E-81.00.07.562533E-73.9569994E-73.9569994E-71.00.09.207345E-64.817636E-64.817636E-61.00.09.206964E-54.818034E-54.818034E-51.00.0
8.01.0463461E-72.5029875E-82.5029875E-81.00.04.4843398E-71.0727089E-71.0727089E-71.00.05.45967E-61.3060223E-61.3060223E-61.00.05.459536E-51.30651615E-51.30651615E-51.00.0
8.17.875717E-81.3918644E-81.3918644E-81.00.03.3753068E-75.965133E-85.965133E-81.00.04.109428E-67.262547E-77.262547E-71.00.04.109352E-57.2675384E-67.2675384E-61.00.0
8.21.33163E-81.780463E-91.780463E-91.00.05.7069855E-87.630555E-97.630555E-91.00.06.9482525E-79.2902E-89.2902E-81.00.06.9482307E-69.310114E-79.310114E-71.00.0

Great Valley 09 (Laguna Seca)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.4353277E-57.051243E-58.051173E-51.1418091.0E-52.3292181E-43.0216138E-43.1215837E-41.03308491.0E-50.00283213520.0036726090.00369253571.00542572.0E-50.027963120.036121570.0361408481.00053372.0E-5
6.14.5578287E-55.823013E-56.822954E-51.17172241.0E-51.953209E-42.4953342E-42.595309E-41.04006481.0E-50.00237543830.00303383680.00305377621.00657242.0E-50.0235020630.0299245030.0299439041.00064842.0E-5
6.22.8536782E-53.4741206E-53.4741206E-51.00.01.2229476E-41.4888248E-41.4888248E-41.00.00.00148792170.00181111590.00182109781.00551141.0E-50.0147799860.0179607870.0179706071.00054681.0E-5
6.32.3698774E-52.82169E-52.82169E-51.00.01.01562226E-41.2092415E-41.2092415E-41.00.00.00123581860.00147125090.00147125091.00.00.0122896860.0146134050.0146134051.00.0
6.41.9191197E-52.2125585E-52.2125585E-51.00.08.2245395E-59.482068E-59.482068E-51.00.00.00100087770.00115383530.00115383531.00.00.0099638180.0114784430.0114784431.00.0
6.51.5203241E-51.6803031E-51.6803031E-51.00.06.5155116E-57.201118E-57.201118E-51.00.07.9297484E-48.763992E-48.763992E-41.00.00.0079015120.008730550.008730551.00.0
6.61.0984925E-51.124355E-51.124355E-51.00.04.70774E-54.8185768E-54.8185768E-51.00.05.730166E-45.865076E-45.865076E-41.00.00.0057154130.00584998870.00584998871.00.0
6.79.134616E-69.02062E-69.02062E-61.00.03.9147766E-53.865924E-53.865924E-51.00.04.7651984E-44.70577E-44.70577E-41.00.00.0047549930.00469605070.00469605071.00.0
6.87.785589E-67.4525356E-67.4525356E-61.00.03.3366385E-53.1939056E-53.1939056E-51.00.04.0616E-43.8879065E-43.8879065E-41.00.00.00405418450.00388130870.00388130871.00.0
6.95.579095E-64.8988704E-64.8988704E-61.00.02.3910188E-52.0994998E-52.0994998E-51.00.02.9106764E-42.555855E-42.555855E-41.00.00.0029068670.00255305270.00255305271.00.0
7.02.6816688E-61.5216937E-61.5216937E-61.00.01.1492816E-56.5215286E-66.5215286E-61.00.01.3991605E-47.939681E-57.939681E-51.00.00.00139827997.936931E-47.936931E-41.00.0
7.11.9951021E-67.4540986E-77.4540986E-71.00.08.55041E-63.1946101E-63.1946101E-61.00.01.0409627E-43.8893726E-53.8893726E-51.00.00.00104047523.8887333E-43.8887333E-41.00.0
7.21.9951021E-67.4540986E-77.4540986E-71.00.08.55041E-63.1946101E-63.1946101E-61.00.01.0409627E-43.8893726E-53.8893726E-51.00.00.00104047523.8887333E-43.8887333E-41.00.0
7.31.7087556E-66.579121E-76.579121E-71.00.07.3232177E-62.8196202E-62.8196202E-61.00.08.915652E-53.432838E-53.432838E-51.00.08.9120766E-43.432348E-43.432348E-41.00.0
7.41.3804846E-66.0740956E-76.0740956E-71.00.05.916349E-62.6031814E-62.6031814E-61.00.07.2029165E-53.1693315E-53.1693315E-51.00.07.200583E-43.1689196E-43.1689196E-41.00.0
7.51.3804846E-66.0740956E-76.0740956E-71.00.05.916349E-62.6031814E-62.6031814E-61.00.07.2029165E-53.1693315E-53.1693315E-51.00.07.200583E-43.1689196E-43.1689196E-41.00.0

Big Pine (East)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.916913E-61.2822198E-51.2822198E-51.00.04.250036E-55.4951244E-56.495069E-51.18196951.0E-55.173191E-46.688481E-46.7884143E-41.01494111.0E-50.00516116430.0066731030.00669296971.00297712.0E-5
6.19.916913E-61.2822198E-51.2822198E-51.00.04.250036E-55.4951244E-56.495069E-51.18196951.0E-55.173191E-46.688481E-46.7884143E-41.01494111.0E-50.00516116430.0066731030.00669296971.00297712.0E-5
6.29.916913E-61.2822198E-51.2822198E-51.00.04.250036E-55.4951244E-56.495069E-51.18196951.0E-55.173191E-46.688481E-46.7884143E-41.01494111.0E-50.00516116430.0066731030.00669296971.00297712.0E-5
6.35.479711E-68.118015E-68.118015E-61.00.02.3484265E-53.4791046E-54.4790697E-51.28742031.0E-52.858834E-44.2350183E-44.334976E-41.02360261.0E-50.00285515890.00422983430.00424974971.00470832.0E-5
6.45.465009E-68.102307E-68.102307E-61.00.02.3421257E-53.472373E-54.4723383E-51.28797751.0E-52.851165E-44.226826E-44.3267838E-41.02364841.0E-50.00284750970.0042216730.00424158851.00471752.0E-5
6.54.826767E-67.427343E-67.427343E-61.00.02.068598E-53.18311E-54.183078E-51.31414821.0E-52.518227E-43.8747748E-43.974736E-41.0257981.0E-50.00251537510.00387086350.0038907861.00514692.0E-5
6.64.3146847E-66.8872637E-66.8872637E-61.00.01.8491375E-52.9516525E-53.9516228E-51.33878331.0E-52.2510924E-43.5930687E-43.6930328E-41.02782141.0E-50.00224881340.00359007160.00360999981.00555092.0E-5
6.73.6968106E-66.000254E-66.000254E-61.00.01.5843378E-52.571513E-53.5714875E-51.38886611.0E-51.9287605E-43.1303827E-43.2303514E-41.0319351.0E-50.00192708730.0031286950.00314863261.00637252.0E-5
6.83.4671132E-65.706825E-65.706825E-61.00.01.4858972E-52.44576E-53.4457356E-51.40886081.0E-51.8089297E-42.9773204E-43.0772906E-41.03357721.0E-50.00180745790.0029760450.00299598561.00670032.0E-5
6.92.7686972E-64.829523E-64.829523E-61.00.01.1865792E-52.0697795E-53.069759E-51.48313331.0E-51.4445644E-42.5196726E-42.6196474E-41.03967771.0E-50.00144362570.00251946130.0025394111.00791822.0E-5
7.02.1472624E-63.9889437E-63.9889437E-61.00.09.20252E-61.7095364E-52.7095193E-51.58494391.0E-51.12034926E-42.0811672E-42.1811464E-41.04803991.0E-50.00111978450.00208184030.00210179851.00958692.0E-5
7.11.7018335E-63.3484318E-63.3484318E-61.00.07.293552E-61.4350345E-51.4350345E-51.00.08.879537E-51.747018E-41.747018E-41.00.08.87599E-40.00174823590.00174823591.00.0
7.21.25603E-62.797844E-62.797844E-61.00.05.3829745E-61.1990706E-51.1990706E-51.00.06.553574E-51.459773E-41.459773E-41.00.06.551642E-40.00146138210.00146138211.00.0
7.31.112297E-62.6135112E-62.6135112E-61.00.04.7669787E-61.1200716E-51.1200716E-51.00.05.803642E-51.363604E-41.363604E-41.00.05.802127E-40.00136517940.00136517941.00.0
7.41.0137181E-62.4865376E-62.4865376E-61.00.04.3444993E-61.0656548E-51.0656548E-51.00.05.2892992E-51.2973596E-41.2973596E-41.00.05.288041E-40.00129879810.00129879811.00.0
7.59.598608E-72.410106E-62.410106E-61.00.04.1136827E-61.0328986E-51.0328986E-51.00.05.0082934E-51.2574837E-41.2574837E-41.00.05.007165E-40.0012587750.0012587751.00.0
7.67.929459E-72.0474768E-62.0474768E-61.00.03.3983351E-68.774872E-68.774872E-61.00.04.1373947E-51.06829E-41.06829E-41.00.04.1366243E-40.00106980740.00106980741.00.0
7.74.155788E-71.1624114E-61.1624114E-61.00.01.7810507E-64.981754E-64.981754E-61.00.02.1684076E-56.0651208E-56.0651208E-51.00.02.1681961E-46.09492E-46.09492E-41.00.0
7.81.14666925E-72.5960628E-72.5960628E-71.00.04.914296E-71.1125978E-61.1125978E-61.00.05.9831386E-61.3545799E-51.3545799E-51.00.05.9829777E-51.3656996E-41.3656996E-41.00.0
7.92.9231824E-84.1527553E-84.1527553E-81.00.01.2527924E-71.7797521E-71.7797521E-71.00.01.5252737E-62.1668463E-62.1668463E-61.00.01.5252632E-52.2004704E-52.2004704E-51.00.0

Surprise Valley 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.0396248E-54.485395E-54.485395E-51.00.01.7311527E-41.9221824E-41.9221824E-41.00.00.0021056410.00233795520.00233795521.00.00.0208580080.0231553170.0231748521.00084382.0E-5
6.14.0396248E-54.485395E-54.485395E-51.00.01.7311527E-41.9221824E-41.9221824E-41.00.00.0021056410.00233795520.00233795521.00.00.0208580080.0231553170.0231748521.00084382.0E-5
6.22.2295266E-52.4402478E-52.4402478E-51.00.09.554764E-51.0457803E-41.0457803E-41.00.00.00116267170.00127252460.00127252461.00.00.0115660740.0126556140.0126654881.00078011.0E-5
6.31.572643E-51.70976E-51.70976E-51.00.06.7397246E-57.3273426E-57.3273426E-51.00.08.202525E-48.9174934E-48.9174934E-41.00.00.0081723150.0088828170.0088927281.00111581.0E-5
6.41.5714395E-51.7085422E-51.7085422E-51.00.06.734567E-57.322124E-57.322124E-51.00.08.1962504E-48.9111447E-48.9111447E-41.00.00.0081660860.0088765190.008886431.00111651.0E-5
6.51.2733495E-51.3802216E-51.3802216E-51.00.05.457098E-55.915105E-55.915105E-51.00.06.641992E-47.199328E-47.199328E-41.00.00.00662217430.00717669870.0071866271.00138341.0E-5
6.61.0983784E-51.1887074E-51.1887074E-51.00.04.7072506E-55.0943636E-55.0943636E-51.00.05.7295704E-46.200676E-46.200676E-41.00.00.00571482070.0061839240.00619386231.00160711.0E-5
6.79.104806E-69.839913E-69.839913E-61.00.03.902001E-54.21704E-54.21704E-51.00.04.7496508E-45.133076E-45.133076E-41.00.00.0047395120.0051216160.0051315651.00194251.0E-5
6.86.2162403E-66.704414E-66.704414E-61.00.02.6640759E-52.8732898E-52.8732898E-51.00.03.2430296E-43.497691E-43.497691E-41.00.00.0032383010.00349240960.00350237451.00285341.0E-5
6.94.1792696E-64.5034158E-64.5034158E-61.00.01.7911032E-51.930022E-51.930022E-51.00.02.1804498E-42.3495639E-42.3495639E-41.00.00.00217831160.0023472330.00235720961.00425031.0E-5
7.02.7478413E-62.9623657E-62.9623657E-61.00.01.177641E-51.2695798E-51.2695798E-51.00.01.4336836E-41.5456163E-41.5456163E-41.00.00.0014327590.00154466380.00155464831.00646391.0E-5
7.18.128648E-78.7252647E-78.7252647E-71.00.03.4837017E-63.7393972E-63.7393972E-61.00.04.2413245E-54.552681E-54.552681E-51.00.04.2405148E-44.5523365E-44.652291E-41.02195671.0E-5
7.24.8641045E-84.9402477E-84.9402477E-81.00.02.084616E-72.1172488E-72.1172488E-71.00.02.538017E-62.5777474E-62.5777474E-61.00.02.537988E-52.5777188E-52.5777188E-51.00.0
7.35.3911844E-95.4758598E-95.4758598E-91.00.02.3105075E-82.346797E-82.346797E-81.00.02.8130427E-72.857225E-72.857225E-71.00.02.8130391E-62.857223E-62.857223E-61.00.0

Ortigalita (North)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.711876E-51.0507352E-41.0507352E-41.00.03.3046713E-44.502348E-44.502348E-41.00.00.0040160160.0054690110.00547895671.00181851.0E-50.0394421030.053464660.053483591.0003542.0E-5
6.14.607858E-56.0249444E-56.0249444E-51.00.01.9746469E-42.581888E-42.581888E-41.00.00.00240148180.0031392340.00314920261.00317551.0E-50.0237569530.0309801050.0309994851.00062562.0E-5
6.24.607858E-56.0249444E-56.0249444E-51.00.01.9746469E-42.581888E-42.581888E-41.00.00.00240148180.0031392340.00314920261.00317551.0E-50.0237569530.0309801050.0309994851.00062562.0E-5
6.33.327423E-54.2482494E-54.2482494E-51.00.01.4259605E-41.8205654E-41.8205654E-41.00.00.00173472440.0022145310.0022145311.00.00.0172124520.0219489110.0219586921.00044561.0E-5
6.42.7732503E-53.5003977E-53.5003977E-51.00.01.1884817E-41.5000958E-41.5000958E-41.00.00.0014460160.00182507280.00182507281.00.00.0143664280.0181238240.0181336421.00054181.0E-5
6.52.7689714E-53.4953788E-53.4953788E-51.00.01.186648E-41.497945E-41.497945E-41.00.00.00144378640.00182245870.00182245871.00.00.0143444210.0180981080.0181079261.00054251.0E-5
6.62.2976905E-52.872225E-52.872225E-51.00.09.846873E-51.2309082E-41.2309082E-41.00.00.00119819750.00149783880.00149783881.00.00.0119175740.0149007490.0149105991.00066111.0E-5
6.71.9871539E-52.4908106E-52.4908106E-51.00.08.516096E-51.0674606E-41.0674606E-41.00.00.00103634150.00129909980.00129909981.00.00.0103152180.0129387190.0129387191.00.0
6.86.5640475E-67.6061337E-67.6061337E-61.00.02.813133E-53.2597323E-53.2597323E-51.00.03.424451E-43.9680302E-43.9680302E-41.00.00.00341917880.00396123250.00396123251.00.0
6.95.6219683E-66.5023783E-66.5023783E-61.00.02.4093928E-52.7867052E-52.7867052E-51.00.02.933041E-43.3923113E-43.3923113E-41.00.00.00292917270.003387390.003387391.00.0
7.03.875591E-64.4851295E-64.4851295E-61.00.01.6609569E-51.9221854E-51.9221854E-51.00.02.0220275E-42.3400305E-42.3400305E-41.00.00.00202018860.00233777470.00233777471.00.0
7.11.6017933E-61.857199E-61.857199E-61.00.06.8648105E-67.959406E-67.959406E-61.00.08.357586E-59.690253E-59.690253E-51.00.08.3544437E-49.6870743E-49.6870743E-41.00.0

Hayward (So) extension 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1721256E-42.3678501E-42.3678501E-41.00.05.022428E-40.00101415380.00101415381.00.00.00609767580.0122538330.0122538331.00.00.05933050.112873410.112891161.00015722.0E-5
6.16.99169E-51.381259E-41.381259E-41.00.02.9960944E-45.9177785E-45.9177785E-41.00.00.00364164450.00717496970.00717496971.00.00.0358254350.0678298850.0678485261.00027492.0E-5
6.26.99169E-51.381259E-41.381259E-41.00.02.9960944E-45.9177785E-45.9177785E-41.00.00.00364164450.00717496970.00717496971.00.00.0358254350.0678298850.0678485261.00027492.0E-5
6.36.970908E-51.3780732E-41.3780732E-41.00.02.9871898E-45.904133E-45.904133E-41.00.00.00363083950.00715850430.00715850431.00.00.0357208660.067678830.067697481.00027552.0E-5
6.46.9517155E-51.3747651E-41.3747651E-41.00.02.9789665E-45.8899634E-45.8899634E-41.00.00.00362086090.0071414150.0071414151.00.00.035624290.067522860.067541511.00027622.0E-5
6.54.786248E-59.4196075E-59.4196075E-51.00.02.0510878E-44.0363762E-44.0363762E-41.00.00.00249433940.004903650.004903651.00.00.024665270.0469239060.0469239061.00.0
6.64.4662214E-58.886191E-58.886191E-51.00.01.9139545E-43.8078375E-43.8078375E-41.00.00.00232774930.00462665130.00462665131.00.00.023035170.0443148130.0443148131.00.0
6.73.884542E-57.8691475E-57.8691475E-51.00.01.6646975E-43.3720807E-43.3720807E-41.00.00.0020248850.0040982250.0040982251.00.00.0200653360.0393539850.0393539851.00.0
6.83.4221863E-56.8596244E-56.8596244E-51.00.01.4665688E-42.9395317E-42.9395317E-41.00.00.00178408510.0035734280.0035734281.00.00.0176982950.0344400260.0344400261.00.0
6.91.6927712E-53.0085983E-53.0085983E-51.00.07.2545314E-51.2893387E-41.2893387E-41.00.08.828813E-40.00156869660.00156869661.00.00.0087938190.0154747550.0154747551.00.0
7.01.2509653E-52.2485337E-52.2485337E-51.00.05.3611697E-59.636242E-59.636242E-51.00.06.525269E-40.00117262510.00117262511.00.00.00650614170.0115927560.0115927561.00.0
7.18.751583E-61.4945013E-51.4945013E-51.00.03.750624E-56.4048516E-56.4048516E-51.00.04.5654282E-47.795176E-47.795176E-41.00.00.00455606030.00777251830.00777251831.00.0
7.26.354379E-61.1517141E-51.1517141E-51.00.02.7232769E-54.935827E-54.935827E-51.00.03.3150852E-46.0077605E-46.0077605E-41.00.00.00331014420.0060089660.0060089661.00.0
7.34.645554E-68.835465E-68.835465E-61.00.01.9909365E-53.7865753E-53.7865753E-51.00.02.4236954E-44.60922E-44.60922E-41.00.00.00242105360.0046188530.0046188531.00.0
7.44.23437E-68.009341E-68.009341E-61.00.01.8147173E-53.432532E-53.432532E-51.00.02.2091944E-44.178345E-44.178345E-41.00.00.00220699930.0041898950.0041898951.00.0
7.52.2187417E-63.9646256E-63.9646256E-61.00.09.508858E-61.6991156E-51.6991156E-51.00.01.157642E-42.0685032E-42.0685032E-41.00.00.00115703910.00207932150.00207932151.00.0
7.62.7952495E-83.8808025E-83.8808025E-81.00.01.1979641E-71.663201E-71.663201E-71.00.01.4585203E-62.0249454E-62.0249454E-61.00.01.4585107E-52.0340014E-52.0340014E-51.00.0
7.71.7192724E-82.3453167E-82.3453167E-81.00.07.36831E-81.0051357E-71.0051357E-71.00.08.9709135E-71.2237521E-61.2237521E-61.00.08.970877E-61.2304813E-51.2304813E-51.00.0

San Jacinto (Coyote Creek)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.7374346E-52.4176177E-52.4176177E-51.00.01.1731335E-41.03608094E-41.03608094E-41.00.00.00142735420.00126070110.00126070111.00.00.014182210.0129444930.0129642341.0015252.0E-5
6.12.7374346E-52.4176177E-52.4176177E-51.00.01.1731335E-41.03608094E-41.03608094E-41.00.00.00142735420.00126070110.00126070111.00.00.014182210.0129444930.0129642341.0015252.0E-5
6.22.7374346E-52.4176177E-52.4176177E-51.00.01.1731335E-41.03608094E-41.03608094E-41.00.00.00142735420.00126070110.00126070111.00.00.014182210.0129444930.0129642341.0015252.0E-5
6.32.7374346E-52.4176177E-52.4176177E-51.00.01.1731335E-41.03608094E-41.03608094E-41.00.00.00142735420.00126070110.00126070111.00.00.014182210.0129444930.0129642341.0015252.0E-5
6.42.7374346E-52.4176177E-52.4176177E-51.00.01.1731335E-41.03608094E-41.03608094E-41.00.00.00142735420.00126070110.00126070111.00.00.014182210.0129444930.0129642341.0015252.0E-5
6.52.7282445E-52.4062241E-52.4062241E-51.00.01.16919524E-41.0311983E-41.0311983E-41.00.00.00142256570.00125476350.00125476351.00.00.0141349340.01288581450.0129055571.00153212.0E-5
6.62.7282445E-52.4062241E-52.4062241E-51.00.01.16919524E-41.0311983E-41.0311983E-41.00.00.00142256570.00125476350.00125476351.00.00.0141349340.01288581450.0129055571.00153212.0E-5
6.72.7216198E-52.3987352E-52.3987352E-51.00.01.1663563E-41.02798906E-41.02798906E-41.00.00.00141911370.00125086070.00125086071.00.00.0141008550.0128472210.0128669641.00153672.0E-5
6.82.7078617E-52.3904551E-52.3904551E-51.00.01.1604605E-41.0244407E-41.0244407E-41.00.00.0014119450.00124654560.00124654561.00.00.0140300750.0128043490.0128240931.0015422.0E-5
6.92.6982952E-52.3824046E-52.3824046E-51.00.01.15636096E-41.02099075E-41.02099075E-41.00.00.00140696020.00124235010.00124235011.00.00.0139808560.0127626180.0127823631.00154712.0E-5
7.02.6449972E-52.3401004E-52.3401004E-51.00.01.1335209E-41.00286175E-41.00286175E-41.00.00.0013791880.00122030290.00122030291.00.00.01370659750.0125439210.012563671.00157442.0E-5
7.12.6257849E-52.322702E-52.322702E-51.00.01.1252879E-49.9540586E-59.9540586E-51.00.00.00136917690.00121123540.00121123541.00.00.0136077170.0124537870.0124735381.0015862.0E-5
7.22.5270041E-52.242154E-52.242154E-51.00.01.0829568E-49.6088785E-59.6088785E-51.00.00.00131770240.00116925550.00116925551.00.00.0130991620.0120347380.0120544971.00164192.0E-5
7.32.339701E-52.1152975E-52.1152975E-51.00.01.0026905E-49.0652466E-59.0652466E-51.00.00.0012200920.0011031370.0011031371.00.00.0121341490.01137341650.01139318851.00173842.0E-5
7.42.296333E-52.0883224E-52.0883224E-51.00.09.841056E-58.9496476E-58.9496476E-51.00.00.00119748990.0010890770.0010890771.00.00.0119105750.0112324980.0112522731.00176062.0E-5
7.52.2188895E-52.0405923E-52.0405923E-51.00.09.50918E-58.745104E-58.745104E-51.00.00.00115712770.00106419830.00106419831.00.00.0115112090.0109820130.0110017941.00180112.0E-5
7.62.0013189E-51.899158E-51.899158E-51.00.08.5767984E-58.138996E-58.138996E-51.00.00.0010437259.90474E-49.90474E-41.00.00.0103883650.0102395620.0102593571.00193322.0E-5
7.71.7230794E-51.6772141E-51.6772141E-51.00.07.384417E-57.1878625E-57.1878625E-51.00.08.986819E-48.7477174E-48.7477174E-41.00.00.0089505620.0090776290.0090974481.00218322.0E-5
7.81.4478809E-51.5018486E-51.5018486E-51.00.06.205057E-56.4363354E-56.4363354E-51.00.07.552038E-47.8334275E-47.8334275E-41.00.00.00752642420.0081554930.008175331.00243232.0E-5
7.91.1114467E-51.1669441E-51.1669441E-51.00.04.7632562E-55.0010935E-55.0010935E-51.00.05.797721E-46.087136E-46.087136E-41.00.00.00578261870.0063930220.0064128941.00310842.0E-5
8.09.327402E-69.92126E-69.92126E-61.00.03.9973966E-54.2518997E-54.2518997E-51.00.04.8657437E-45.175464E-45.175464E-41.00.00.00485510330.0054615150.00548140561.0036422.0E-5
8.17.0235833E-66.8437025E-66.8437025E-61.00.03.0100724E-52.9329827E-52.9329827E-51.00.03.664147E-43.5703264E-43.5703264E-41.00.00.0036581110.0037962820.0038062441.00262421.0E-5
8.22.0358202E-69.025306E-79.025306E-71.00.08.724915E-63.8679827E-63.8679827E-61.00.01.06220665E-44.7091693E-54.7091693E-51.00.00.0010616995.3427246E-45.3427246E-41.00.0
8.32.0051264E-76.6426736E-86.6426736E-81.00.08.5933965E-72.8468597E-72.8468597E-71.00.01.046241E-53.4660466E-63.4660466E-61.00.01.0461917E-44.028949E-54.028949E-51.00.0

Dry Mountain

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.222801E-66.4395003E-66.4395003E-61.00.02.6668875E-52.7597656E-52.7597656E-51.00.03.2464517E-43.3596557E-43.3596557E-41.00.00.00324171320.00335613870.00337607161.00593922.0E-5
6.16.222801E-66.4395003E-66.4395003E-61.00.02.6668875E-52.7597656E-52.7597656E-51.00.03.2464517E-43.3596557E-43.3596557E-41.00.00.00324171320.00335613870.00337607161.00593922.0E-5
6.26.222801E-66.4395003E-66.4395003E-61.00.02.6668875E-52.7597656E-52.7597656E-51.00.03.2464517E-43.3596557E-43.3596557E-41.00.00.00324171320.00335613870.00337607161.00593922.0E-5
6.36.222801E-66.4395003E-66.4395003E-61.00.02.6668875E-52.7597656E-52.7597656E-51.00.03.2464517E-43.3596557E-43.3596557E-41.00.00.00324171320.00335613870.00337607161.00593922.0E-5
6.46.222801E-66.4395003E-66.4395003E-61.00.02.6668875E-52.7597656E-52.7597656E-51.00.03.2464517E-43.3596557E-43.3596557E-41.00.00.00324171320.00335613870.00337607161.00593922.0E-5
6.52.8528623E-62.952223E-62.952223E-61.00.01.22264955E-51.2652372E-51.2652372E-51.00.01.4884741E-41.5404043E-41.5404043E-41.00.00.00148747740.00154019010.00156015931.01296542.0E-5
6.62.8528623E-62.952223E-62.952223E-61.00.01.22264955E-51.2652372E-51.2652372E-51.00.01.4884741E-41.5404043E-41.5404043E-41.00.00.00148747740.00154019010.00156015931.01296542.0E-5
6.72.541E-62.6294065E-62.6294065E-61.00.01.0889954E-51.1268885E-51.1268885E-51.00.01.3257713E-41.3719867E-41.3719867E-41.00.00.00132498060.00137198670.00139195931.01455742.0E-5

Calaveras (So) - Paicines extension 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5183659E-43.0534517E-43.0534517E-41.00.06.5056595E-40.00130739350.00130739351.00.00.0078919120.0157030760.0157227631.00125362.0E-50.0761745940.138553520.138570761.00012432.0E-5
6.11.5024997E-43.022871E-43.022871E-41.00.06.437695E-40.00129430140.00129430141.00.00.00780976140.0155464430.0155661321.00126652.0E-50.0754093450.137222990.137240251.00012582.0E-5
6.21.2743923E-42.5326732E-42.5326732E-41.00.05.460538E-40.00108455940.00108455941.00.00.00662795830.0130536130.0130733521.00151222.0E-50.0643372760.11732090.117338551.00015042.0E-5
6.31.1525114E-42.2612499E-42.2612499E-41.00.04.9383997E-49.684327E-49.684327E-41.00.00.00599593860.01167479250.0116945591.00169312.0E-50.0583671740.1064375640.106455441.00016782.0E-5
6.41.07200925E-42.0853426E-42.0853426E-41.00.04.5935164E-48.9316786E-48.9316786E-41.00.00.00557827440.0107796450.0107895371.00091771.0E-50.05440310.0992604940.0992694941.00009071.0E-5
6.59.69631E-51.8746986E-41.8746986E-41.00.04.1548995E-48.0301095E-48.0301095E-41.00.00.00504686260.009701430.0097113331.00102081.0E-50.049337730.0901520850.090161181.0001011.0E-5
6.68.0552316E-51.5083487E-41.5083487E-41.00.03.4517853E-46.4623426E-46.4623426E-41.00.00.00419445240.0078330770.0078429981.00126661.0E-50.041161610.0749226960.074931951.00012351.0E-5
6.77.815757E-51.462396E-41.462396E-41.00.03.34918E-46.265544E-46.265544E-41.00.00.0040700050.00759584040.0076057641.00130651.0E-50.0399626570.0727720260.0727812951.00012741.0E-5
6.86.965264E-51.2734742E-41.2734742E-41.00.02.9847719E-45.456419E-45.456419E-41.00.00.00362790520.0066197510.0066296851.00150061.0E-50.035692470.063864740.0638740961.00014661.0E-5
6.95.8000453E-51.0154427E-41.0154427E-41.00.02.4854968E-44.3511766E-44.3511766E-41.00.00.00302189330.0052847870.0052947341.00188221.0E-50.0298112950.0515538040.051563291.00018391.0E-5
7.04.9865852E-58.578355E-58.578355E-51.00.02.1369329E-43.6759244E-43.6759244E-41.00.00.00259861140.0044663430.00447629861.0022291.0E-50.0256843360.0438328650.0438424271.00021821.0E-5
7.14.283875E-57.120516E-57.120516E-51.00.01.8358172E-43.051296E-43.051296E-41.00.00.00223281630.0037086810.00371864411.00268641.0E-50.0221051460.036777370.0367871.00026191.0E-5
7.23.450115E-55.5856777E-55.5856777E-51.00.01.478537E-42.3936438E-42.3936438E-41.00.00.00179863230.00291039590.00292036681.0034261.0E-50.0178414420.0291193330.0291290411.00033341.0E-5
7.32.5709045E-54.065854E-54.065854E-51.00.01.1017697E-41.7423934E-41.7423934E-41.00.00.00134057910.0021193170.00212929581.00470851.0E-50.0133252080.0213328860.0213426721.00045871.0E-5
7.41.8003093E-52.8549623E-52.8549623E-51.00.07.715383E-51.223498E-41.223498E-41.00.09.3894306E-40.00148859330.00149857851.00670781.0E-50.0093498570.0150727770.0150826271.00065351.0E-5
7.51.5595824E-52.5860876E-52.5860876E-51.00.06.683753E-51.10827634E-41.10827634E-41.00.08.134431E-40.00134849340.001358481.00740561.0E-50.0081047190.0136717740.0136816381.00072151.0E-5
7.61.1110309E-51.9255813E-51.9255813E-51.00.04.761474E-58.252231E-58.252231E-51.00.05.795553E-40.00100424730.00101423731.00994771.0E-50.00578046120.010221580.0102314781.00096831.0E-5
7.76.2140443E-61.0460544E-51.0460544E-51.00.02.6631347E-54.4830133E-54.4830133E-51.00.03.241884E-45.456703E-45.556648E-41.0183161.0E-50.00323715880.0056314120.00564135561.00176571.0E-5
7.85.305533E-69.454043E-69.454043E-61.00.02.27378E-54.0516697E-54.0516697E-51.00.02.7679754E-44.9317925E-45.0317426E-41.02026671.0E-50.00276453020.0050845930.0050945421.00195671.0E-5
7.93.363505E-67.400539E-67.400539E-61.00.01.4414942E-53.171621E-53.171621E-51.00.01.7548777E-43.860765E-43.860765E-41.00.00.00175349260.00395602830.00395602831.00.0
8.02.0271132E-64.421917E-64.421917E-61.00.08.687599E-61.8950936E-51.8950936E-51.00.01.05766376E-42.3070326E-42.3070326E-41.00.00.00105716060.00235539260.00235539261.00.0
8.11.2206116E-62.3798764E-62.3798764E-61.00.05.2311816E-61.019943E-51.019943E-51.00.06.3687774E-51.2417103E-41.2417103E-41.00.06.366953E-40.0012729090.0012729091.00.0

Monterey Bay-Tularcitos

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0131365E-53.2800384E-53.2800384E-51.00.01.2912804E-41.405661E-41.405661E-41.00.00.0015710.00171015430.00172013731.00583741.0E-50.0155994020.0169807470.0170004071.00115782.0E-5
6.13.0131365E-53.2800384E-53.2800384E-51.00.01.2912804E-41.405661E-41.405661E-41.00.00.0015710.00171015430.00172013731.00583741.0E-50.0155994020.0169807470.0170004071.00115782.0E-5
6.23.0131365E-53.2800384E-53.2800384E-51.00.01.2912804E-41.405661E-41.405661E-41.00.00.0015710.00171015430.00172013731.00583741.0E-50.0155994020.0169807470.0170004071.00115782.0E-5
6.31.6998249E-51.8331632E-51.8331632E-51.00.07.28476E-57.8561876E-57.8561876E-51.00.08.865586E-49.560898E-49.6608023E-41.01044931.0E-50.00883030050.0095216890.0095315941.00104021.0E-5
6.41.6998249E-51.8331632E-51.8331632E-51.00.07.28476E-57.8561876E-57.8561876E-51.00.08.865586E-49.560898E-49.6608023E-41.01044931.0E-50.00883030050.0095216890.0095315941.00104021.0E-5
6.51.27470785E-51.36939225E-51.36939225E-51.00.05.4629192E-55.8686976E-55.8686976E-51.00.06.649074E-47.142901E-47.2428293E-41.01398991.0E-50.00662921460.00712099440.0071309231.00139431.0E-5
6.61.2739422E-51.3686009E-51.3686009E-51.00.05.4596385E-55.8653066E-55.8653066E-51.00.06.645082E-47.1387744E-47.238703E-41.0139981.0E-50.00662524670.00711689470.00712682351.00139511.0E-5
6.71.0160109E-51.0886237E-51.0886237E-51.00.04.35426E-54.6654506E-54.6654506E-51.00.05.300022E-45.6787767E-45.77872E-41.01759951.0E-50.0052873990.0056649770.005674921.00175521.0E-5
6.88.349859E-68.932988E-68.932988E-61.00.03.578462E-53.8283702E-53.8283702E-51.00.04.3559066E-44.6601004E-44.760054E-41.02144871.0E-50.0043473780.0046508930.00466084671.00214021.0E-5
6.95.193639E-65.5366936E-65.5366936E-61.00.02.2258262E-52.372849E-52.372849E-51.00.02.7096065E-42.888593E-42.888593E-41.00.00.00270630510.00288515960.00288515961.00.0
7.04.359381E-64.643596E-64.643596E-61.00.01.8682927E-51.990099E-51.990099E-51.00.02.274409E-42.422706E-42.422706E-41.00.00.00227208270.0024203580.0024203581.00.0
7.13.0398533E-63.23122E-63.23122E-61.00.01.3027877E-51.3848027E-51.3848027E-51.00.01.5860285E-41.6858931E-41.6858931E-41.00.00.0015848970.00168487170.00168487171.00.0
7.21.642335E-61.7334356E-61.7334356E-61.00.07.0385595E-67.4290006E-67.4290006E-61.00.08.569109E-59.0446396E-59.0446396E-51.00.08.5658056E-49.0429856E-49.0429856E-41.00.0
7.33.356842E-73.2958872E-73.2958872E-71.00.01.4386458E-61.4125224E-61.4125224E-61.00.01.7515373E-51.7197324E-51.7197324E-51.00.01.7513991E-41.7196004E-41.7196004E-41.00.0
7.42.1973483E-72.1012706E-72.1012706E-71.00.09.417204E-79.005442E-79.005442E-71.00.01.1465385E-51.09640705E-51.09640705E-51.00.01.1464794E-41.0963533E-41.0963533E-41.00.0
7.51.1944135E-71.0702149E-71.0702149E-71.00.05.118914E-74.5866346E-74.5866346E-71.00.06.23226E-65.5842133E-65.5842133E-61.00.06.2320854E-55.5840745E-55.5840745E-51.00.0
7.64.636058E-83.340164E-83.340164E-81.00.01.9868818E-71.4314989E-71.4314989E-71.00.02.419026E-61.7428484E-61.7428484E-61.00.02.4189996E-51.742835E-51.742835E-51.00.0
7.71.8588572E-88.018322E-98.018322E-91.00.07.9665305E-83.4364238E-83.4364238E-81.00.09.699246E-74.183845E-74.183845E-71.00.09.699204E-64.1838375E-64.1838375E-61.00.0
7.82.7960154E-97.631319E-107.631319E-101.00.01.1982923E-83.270566E-93.270566E-91.00.01.4589209E-73.981914E-83.981914E-81.00.01.4589199E-63.9819136E-73.9819136E-71.00.0

Big Pine (Central)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2706755E-51.4252547E-51.4252547E-51.00.05.4456385E-56.108112E-56.108112E-51.00.06.628048E-47.434455E-47.434455E-41.00.00.0066083140.00741464230.0074344941.00267732.0E-5
6.18.342579E-69.512563E-69.512563E-61.00.03.5753423E-54.0767616E-54.0767616E-51.00.04.3521097E-44.962544E-44.962544E-41.00.00.00434359630.00495504770.00497494871.00401632.0E-5
6.26.923899E-67.968877E-67.968877E-61.00.02.9673516E-53.415199E-53.415199E-51.00.03.6121515E-44.1574042E-44.1574042E-41.00.00.0036062860.00415296530.0041629241.00239791.0E-5
6.32.728396E-63.425821E-63.425821E-61.00.01.1693074E-51.4682013E-51.4682013E-51.00.01.4235388E-41.787397E-41.787397E-41.00.00.00142262720.00178749720.00178749721.00.0
6.42.7136944E-63.4101138E-63.4101138E-61.00.01.1630066E-51.4614697E-51.4614697E-51.00.01.4158686E-41.7792027E-41.7792027E-41.00.00.00141496690.0017793160.0017793161.00.0
6.52.6971882E-63.3924584E-63.3924584E-61.00.01.1559327E-51.4539031E-51.4539031E-51.00.01.4072572E-41.769992E-41.769992E-41.00.00.00140636640.00177011990.00177011991.00.0
6.62.669092E-63.3624776E-63.3624776E-61.00.01.1438916E-51.4410544E-51.4410544E-51.00.01.3925991E-41.7543513E-41.7543513E-41.00.00.00139172670.00175450380.00175450381.00.0
6.72.6408059E-63.3325025E-63.3325025E-61.00.01.1317691E-51.428208E-51.428208E-51.00.01.3778417E-41.7387132E-41.7387132E-41.00.00.00137698770.00173889040.00173889041.00.0
6.82.1786943E-62.8559518E-62.8559518E-61.00.09.337228E-61.22397405E-51.22397405E-51.00.01.1367482E-41.4900937E-41.4900937E-41.00.00.00113616690.00149061870.00149061871.00.0
6.91.4411696E-62.069955E-62.069955E-61.00.06.1764263E-68.871207E-68.871207E-61.00.07.51954E-51.0800186E-41.0800186E-41.00.07.5169955E-40.00108097330.00108097331.00.0
7.01.0073411E-61.5555618E-61.5555618E-61.00.04.317169E-66.6666776E-66.6666776E-61.00.05.2560266E-58.1163926E-58.1163926E-51.00.05.2547833E-48.128111E-48.128111E-41.00.0
7.18.947104E-71.4315309E-61.4315309E-61.00.03.834468E-66.135119E-66.135119E-61.00.04.6683643E-57.469266E-57.469266E-51.00.04.6673836E-47.481436E-47.481436E-41.00.0
7.25.215166E-71.0123637E-61.0123637E-61.00.02.2350691E-64.3386945E-64.3386945E-61.00.02.7211627E-55.2822368E-55.2822368E-51.00.02.7208295E-45.29556E-45.29556E-41.00.0
7.34.4024807E-79.231207E-79.231207E-71.00.01.8867761E-63.956226E-63.956226E-61.00.02.2971257E-54.8166028E-54.8166028E-51.00.02.2968883E-44.8301363E-44.8301363E-41.00.0
7.43.6130905E-78.3697915E-78.3697915E-71.00.01.5484665E-63.5870487E-63.5870487E-61.00.01.8852415E-54.3671484E-54.3671484E-51.00.01.8850817E-44.3807772E-44.3807772E-41.00.0
7.53.408184E-78.1191774E-78.1191774E-71.00.01.4606494E-63.479643E-63.479643E-61.00.01.7783263E-54.236387E-54.236387E-51.00.01.778184E-44.2498423E-44.2498423E-41.00.0
7.63.1428627E-77.742247E-77.742247E-71.00.01.3469405E-63.318102E-63.318102E-61.00.01.6398877E-54.0397183E-54.0397183E-51.00.01.6397667E-44.0529485E-44.0529485E-41.00.0
7.71.7972785E-75.085898E-75.085898E-71.00.07.70262E-72.1796686E-62.1796686E-61.00.09.377899E-62.6537155E-52.6537155E-51.00.09.377503E-52.6671647E-42.6671647E-41.00.0
7.84.9230927E-81.1999686E-71.1999686E-71.00.02.1098968E-75.1427213E-75.1427213E-71.00.02.5687964E-66.261247E-66.261247E-61.00.02.5687666E-56.306763E-56.306763E-51.00.0
7.93.6805972E-94.112225E-94.112225E-91.00.01.5773987E-81.762382E-81.762382E-81.00.01.9204828E-72.1457E-72.1457E-71.00.01.920481E-62.1932892E-62.1932892E-61.00.0

San Jacinto (Borrego)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.543992E-52.7955874E-52.7955874E-51.00.01.5187653E-41.1980545E-41.1980545E-41.00.00.00184752840.00145766770.00145766771.00.00.0183224360.014884930.0148947821.00066181.0E-5
6.13.542281E-52.7955874E-52.7955874E-51.00.01.5180321E-41.1980545E-41.1980545E-41.00.00.00184663720.00145766770.00145766771.00.00.0183136720.014884930.0148947821.00066181.0E-5
6.23.4688688E-52.7955874E-52.7955874E-51.00.01.4865733E-41.1980545E-41.1980545E-41.00.00.00180840050.00145766770.00145766771.00.00.0179375480.014884930.0148947821.00066181.0E-5
6.33.2087122E-52.7801223E-52.7801223E-51.00.01.3750899E-41.1914273E-41.1914273E-41.00.00.00167288620.00144960980.00144960981.00.00.0166034880.0148060890.01481594051.00066541.0E-5
6.43.1828724E-52.77682E-52.77682E-51.00.01.364017E-41.1900121E-41.1900121E-41.00.00.00165942540.0014478890.0014478891.00.00.0164708850.0147892820.0147991351.00066611.0E-5
6.53.1563577E-52.750787E-52.750787E-51.00.01.3526545E-41.17885604E-41.17885604E-41.00.00.00164561280.00143432450.00143432451.00.00.01633480.0146553260.0146651791.00067231.0E-5
6.63.1467625E-52.7352073E-52.7352073E-51.00.01.3485427E-41.1721797E-41.1721797E-41.00.00.00164061420.00142620670.00142620671.00.00.0162855480.0145754820.0145853371.0006761.0E-5
6.73.1223695E-52.6970027E-52.6970027E-51.00.01.3380898E-41.1558078E-41.1558078E-41.00.00.00162790680.00140629960.00140629961.00.00.016160330.0143799770.0143898331.00068551.0E-5
6.83.1015585E-52.679098E-52.679098E-51.00.01.3291716E-41.14813505E-41.14813505E-41.00.00.0016170650.00139697020.00139697021.00.00.0160534870.0142872050.01429706251.000691.0E-5
6.92.6641965E-52.2211414E-52.2211414E-51.00.01.1417485E-49.518833E-59.518833E-51.00.00.00138919240.00115830570.00115830571.00.00.01380540150.0118967370.0119066181.00083051.0E-5
7.02.3854353E-52.050528E-52.050528E-51.00.01.02228936E-48.7876826E-58.7876826E-51.00.00.00124392660.00106937780.00106937781.00.00.0123698660.0109965560.0110064461.00089941.0E-5
7.12.3672901E-52.0341751E-52.0341751E-51.00.01.0145135E-48.7176035E-58.7176035E-51.00.00.00123447020.0010608540.0010608541.00.00.01227635050.0109117360.0109216271.00090651.0E-5
7.22.2717244E-51.9568899E-51.9568899E-51.00.09.735599E-58.3864026E-58.3864026E-51.00.00.00118466460.00102056870.00102056871.00.00.011783690.0105090280.01051892251.00094151.0E-5
7.32.1016205E-51.8410172E-51.8410172E-51.00.09.006634E-57.889837E-57.889837E-51.00.00.0010960069.6016633E-49.6016633E-41.00.00.0109061630.00990444050.0099143411.00099971.0E-5
7.42.0683625E-51.8212622E-51.8212622E-51.00.08.86411E-57.805177E-57.805177E-51.00.00.0010786719.4986806E-49.4986806E-41.00.00.0107345010.009801150.0098110521.00101031.0E-5
7.51.9993966E-51.7807442E-51.7807442E-5