Parent Section Magnitude-Probability Distributions
Only fault sections with at least one triggered aftershock are plotted. Sections are sorted by total supraseismogenic trigger rate (decreasing)
Table Of Contents
Garlock (Central)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.5131142E-5 | 7.03108E-5 | 0.0010502419 | 14.937135 | 9.8E-4 | 2.3625491E-4 | 3.0129755E-4 | 0.0041301437 | 13.707856 | 0.00383 | 0.0028726095 | 0.003662192 | 0.023668656 | 6.462975 | 0.02008 | 0.028357591 | 0.036085237 | 0.07891197 | 2.1868215 | 0.04443 |
6.1 | 5.5131142E-5 | 7.03108E-5 | 0.0010502419 | 14.937135 | 9.8E-4 | 2.3625491E-4 | 3.0129755E-4 | 0.0041301437 | 13.707856 | 0.00383 | 0.0028726095 | 0.003662192 | 0.023668656 | 6.462975 | 0.02008 | 0.028357591 | 0.036085237 | 0.07891197 | 2.1868215 | 0.04443 |
6.2 | 4.216245E-5 | 5.171922E-5 | 6.716871E-4 | 12.987186 | 6.2E-4 | 1.806837E-4 | 2.2163514E-4 | 0.002581112 | 11.645771 | 0.00236 | 0.0021976046 | 0.0026951001 | 0.014553055 | 5.39982 | 0.01189 | 0.021759989 | 0.026716588 | 0.053287223 | 1.9945371 | 0.0273 |
6.3 | 4.216245E-5 | 5.171922E-5 | 6.716871E-4 | 12.987186 | 6.2E-4 | 1.806837E-4 | 2.2163514E-4 | 0.002581112 | 11.645771 | 0.00236 | 0.0021976046 | 0.0026951001 | 0.014553055 | 5.39982 | 0.01189 | 0.021759989 | 0.026716588 | 0.053287223 | 1.9945371 | 0.0273 |
6.4 | 3.6858168E-5 | 4.416592E-5 | 5.141452E-4 | 11.641219 | 4.7E-4 | 1.5795401E-4 | 1.8926893E-4 | 0.0019489358 | 10.297177 | 0.00176 | 0.0019213937 | 0.002301939 | 0.011410923 | 4.9570913 | 0.00913 | 0.019048655 | 0.022864431 | 0.043276794 | 1.8927562 | 0.02089 |
6.5 | 3.39199E-5 | 4.0072202E-5 | 4.7005498E-4 | 11.730201 | 4.3E-4 | 1.453629E-4 | 1.7172683E-4 | 0.0017514555 | 10.1990795 | 0.00158 | 0.0017683565 | 0.002088791 | 0.010271663 | 4.9175158 | 0.0082 | 0.017543508 | 0.020785313 | 0.039184757 | 1.8852137 | 0.01879 |
6.6 | 3.3571985E-5 | 3.9526236E-5 | 4.6950925E-4 | 11.87842 | 4.3E-4 | 1.4387199E-4 | 1.6938728E-4 | 0.0017491196 | 10.326158 | 0.00158 | 0.0017502342 | 0.0020603612 | 0.010233487 | 4.966841 | 0.00819 | 0.017365133 | 0.020509148 | 0.038903985 | 1.896909 | 0.01878 |
6.7 | 3.2580007E-5 | 3.8142225E-5 | 4.5812622E-4 | 12.010999 | 4.2E-4 | 1.3962112E-4 | 1.6345656E-4 | 0.0017132031 | 10.4810915 | 0.00155 | 0.0016985617 | 0.0019882887 | 0.009882561 | 4.9703856 | 0.00791 | 0.016856372 | 0.019804573 | 0.037585318 | 1.8978101 | 0.01814 |
6.8 | 3.2185937E-5 | 3.7569207E-5 | 4.4755382E-4 | 11.912783 | 4.1E-4 | 1.3793244E-4 | 1.6100108E-4 | 0.0016807563 | 10.439411 | 0.00152 | 0.0016780337 | 0.0019584473 | 0.00970325 | 4.9545627 | 0.00776 | 0.016654192 | 0.019511707 | 0.036964398 | 1.8944728 | 0.0178 |
6.9 | 3.165394E-5 | 3.677351E-5 | 4.2675916E-4 | 11.605071 | 3.9E-4 | 1.3565269E-4 | 1.5759135E-4 | 0.0016373581 | 10.389898 | 0.00148 | 0.0016503202 | 0.0019170076 | 0.009442553 | 4.9256735 | 0.00754 | 0.01638118 | 0.019102322 | 0.036111087 | 1.890403 | 0.01734 |
7.0 | 3.0903822E-5 | 3.5678415E-5 | 3.8566592E-4 | 10.809504 | 3.5E-4 | 1.3243823E-4 | 1.5289865E-4 | 0.0015526846 | 10.154992 | 0.0014 | 0.0016112428 | 0.0018599728 | 0.009126432 | 4.906756 | 0.00728 | 0.015996104 | 0.018539576 | 0.03502811 | 1.8893696 | 0.0168 |
7.1 | 3.0069863E-5 | 3.4444245E-5 | 3.6443287E-4 | 10.580371 | 3.3E-4 | 1.2886449E-4 | 1.4760996E-4 | 0.0014874121 | 10.076638 | 0.00134 | 0.0015677959 | 0.001795691 | 0.008753175 | 4.874544 | 0.00697 | 0.01556781 | 0.017906956 | 0.03376776 | 1.8857341 | 0.01615 |
7.2 | 2.7957109E-5 | 3.13324E-5 | 3.31323E-4 | 10.574452 | 3.0E-4 | 1.1981068E-4 | 1.3427493E-4 | 0.0013441124 | 10.010152 | 0.00121 | 0.0014577188 | 0.0016335909 | 0.0076437565 | 4.6791134 | 0.00602 | 0.014481937 | 0.016310142 | 0.02976702 | 1.8250619 | 0.01368 |
7.3 | 2.4519275E-5 | 2.676258E-5 | 2.167575E-4 | 8.099275 | 1.9E-4 | 1.0507837E-4 | 1.14691815E-4 | 8.846035E-4 | 7.712874 | 7.7E-4 | 0.0012785783 | 0.001395493 | 0.0054897717 | 3.9339297 | 0.0041 | 0.012712469 | 0.013953034 | 0.02330076 | 1.6699421 | 0.00948 |
7.4 | 2.3225532E-5 | 2.5246194E-5 | 1.952419E-4 | 7.733518 | 1.7E-4 | 9.95342E-5 | 1.0819357E-4 | 7.481243E-4 | 6.914684 | 6.4E-4 | 0.0012111551 | 0.0013164751 | 0.0049317097 | 3.7461472 | 0.00362 | 0.012045753 | 0.013170367 | 0.021538682 | 1.6353897 | 0.00848 |
7.5 | 2.097765E-5 | 2.2528126E-5 | 1.6252497E-4 | 7.214314 | 1.4E-4 | 8.9901114E-5 | 9.6545606E-5 | 6.264944E-4 | 6.489104 | 5.3E-4 | 0.0010939965 | 0.0011748207 | 0.004001496 | 3.4060483 | 0.00283 | 0.010886264 | 0.011763992 | 0.018395055 | 1.5636746 | 0.00671 |
7.6 | 1.511254E-5 | 1.6032645E-5 | 7.603168E-5 | 4.7423043 | 6.0E-5 | 6.476642E-5 | 6.870957E-5 | 3.5868963E-4 | 5.220374 | 2.9E-4 | 7.882459E-4 | 8.362258E-4 | 0.0023349714 | 2.792274 | 0.0015 | 0.007854558 | 0.008405569 | 0.011935645 | 1.4199687 | 0.00356 |
7.7 | 9.934069E-6 | 1.07171345E-5 | 1.07171345E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2573887E-5 | 4.592977E-5 | 1.4592518E-4 | 3.1771371 | 1.0E-4 | 5.182138E-4 | 5.5905187E-4 | 0.0010287891 | 1.8402392 | 4.7E-4 | 0.00517007 | 0.0056474237 | 0.006751155 | 1.1954398 | 0.00111 |
7.8 | 6.7562896E-6 | 8.46012E-6 | 8.46012E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8955206E-5 | 3.6257155E-5 | 1.16254254E-4 | 3.206381 | 8.0E-5 | 3.5247262E-4 | 4.413416E-4 | 7.811916E-4 | 1.7700384 | 3.4E-4 | 0.0035191406 | 0.0044630505 | 0.005229614 | 1.1717577 | 7.7E-4 |
7.9 | 3.975453E-6 | 5.390276E-6 | 5.390276E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7037546E-5 | 2.3100978E-5 | 8.309959E-5 | 3.5972326 | 6.0E-5 | 2.0741238E-4 | 2.812182E-4 | 4.711648E-4 | 1.6754419 | 1.9E-4 | 0.002072189 | 0.0028435884 | 0.0032524224 | 1.143774 | 4.1E-4 |
8.0 | 1.6729537E-6 | 2.0839166E-6 | 2.0839166E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.169782E-6 | 8.931041E-6 | 3.893077E-5 | 4.359041 | 3.0E-5 | 8.7288594E-5 | 1.08730026E-4 | 1.3872675E-4 | 1.2758827 | 3.0E-5 | 8.7254314E-4 | 0.0011001996 | 0.0012200676 | 1.1089511 | 1.2E-4 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 3.1579154E-7 | 3.1579154E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5742813E-6 | 1.3533917E-6 | 1.3533917E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.6477436E-5 | 1.6477436E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.6684248E-4 | 1.7684081E-4 | 1.0599267 | 1.0E-5 |
Tank Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.8284557E-5 | 5.7979803E-5 | 5.479514E-4 | 9.450728 | 4.9E-4 | 2.0691741E-4 | 2.484649E-4 | 0.0025278984 | 10.174067 | 0.00228 | 0.0025163088 | 0.003021526 | 0.015992215 | 5.2927613 | 0.01301 | 0.02488006 | 0.029871443 | 0.060537208 | 2.0265913 | 0.03161 |
6.1 | 1.7796336E-5 | 2.0877964E-5 | 1.9087442E-4 | 9.142386 | 1.7E-4 | 7.626778E-5 | 8.947411E-5 | 7.6941325E-4 | 8.599283 | 6.8E-4 | 9.281647E-4 | 0.0010888411 | 0.005464072 | 5.0182457 | 0.00438 | 0.009242975 | 0.010839103 | 0.02200673 | 2.0303092 | 0.01129 |
6.2 | 1.7796336E-5 | 2.0877964E-5 | 1.9087442E-4 | 9.142386 | 1.7E-4 | 7.626778E-5 | 8.947411E-5 | 7.6941325E-4 | 8.599283 | 6.8E-4 | 9.281647E-4 | 0.0010888411 | 0.005464072 | 5.0182457 | 0.00438 | 0.009242975 | 0.010839103 | 0.02200673 | 2.0303092 | 0.01129 |
6.3 | 1.3515912E-5 | 1.5762913E-5 | 1.3576102E-4 | 8.612686 | 1.2E-4 | 5.792405E-5 | 6.755372E-5 | 5.875186E-4 | 8.697058 | 5.2E-4 | 7.049971E-4 | 8.2217983E-4 | 0.004149442 | 5.046879 | 0.00333 | 0.007027647 | 0.00819394 | 0.016554866 | 2.020379 | 0.00843 |
6.4 | 1.0870146E-5 | 1.2620592E-5 | 1.1261933E-4 | 8.923458 | 1.0E-4 | 4.658551E-5 | 5.4087228E-5 | 4.540656E-4 | 8.3950615 | 4.0E-4 | 5.67031E-4 | 6.583308E-4 | 0.0032466257 | 4.9316025 | 0.00259 | 0.005655863 | 0.006565763 | 0.012983348 | 1.9774318 | 0.00646 |
6.5 | 7.964826E-6 | 9.19786E-6 | 7.919721E-5 | 8.610396 | 7.0E-5 | 3.4134522E-5 | 3.941886E-5 | 3.1940782E-4 | 8.102919 | 2.8E-4 | 4.1550855E-4 | 4.7982953E-4 | 0.0022489803 | 4.68704 | 0.00177 | 0.0041473247 | 0.004789192 | 0.008959126 | 1.8706965 | 0.00419 |
6.6 | 6.6317E-6 | 7.6136807E-6 | 4.7613376E-5 | 6.2536607 | 4.0E-5 | 2.8421264E-5 | 3.26297E-5 | 2.3262318E-4 | 7.129185 | 2.0E-4 | 3.4597394E-4 | 3.972033E-4 | 0.001726675 | 4.3470817 | 0.00133 | 0.0034543579 | 0.003966041 | 0.0070637064 | 1.7810473 | 0.00311 |
6.7 | 4.793663E-6 | 5.431651E-6 | 3.5431487E-5 | 6.5231524 | 3.0E-5 | 2.0544108E-5 | 2.3278322E-5 | 1.8327459E-4 | 7.8731875 | 1.6E-4 | 2.500958E-4 | 2.833811E-4 | 0.0010831543 | 3.8222535 | 8.0E-4 | 0.0024981452 | 0.0028308437 | 0.0045858617 | 1.6199628 | 0.00176 |
6.8 | 4.382823E-6 | 4.9700175E-6 | 3.4969868E-5 | 7.036166 | 3.0E-5 | 1.8783392E-5 | 2.1299924E-5 | 1.7129674E-4 | 8.042129 | 1.5E-4 | 2.286638E-4 | 2.593E-4 | 0.0010191029 | 3.9302082 | 7.6E-4 | 0.0022842865 | 0.0025906004 | 0.004226352 | 1.6314179 | 0.00164 |
6.9 | 2.729601E-6 | 3.0739645E-6 | 1.3073934E-5 | 4.253118 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1698237E-5 | 1.31740735E-5 | 9.317302E-5 | 7.072453 | 8.0E-5 | 1.4241673E-4 | 1.6038377E-4 | 5.20326E-4 | 3.2442563 | 3.6E-4 | 0.001423255 | 0.0016029212 | 0.0023816708 | 1.4858316 | 7.8E-4 |
7.0 | 1.8987357E-6 | 2.1272303E-6 | 2.1272303E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.137413E-6 | 9.116674E-6 | 5.9116217E-5 | 6.4844065 | 5.0E-5 | 9.90685E-5 | 1.1099055E-4 | 2.7097279E-4 | 2.441404 | 1.6E-4 | 9.902435E-4 | 0.0011094199 | 0.0015289539 | 1.3781563 | 4.2E-4 |
7.1 | 1.4928986E-6 | 1.6643667E-6 | 1.6643667E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.398121E-6 | 7.1329837E-6 | 2.713284E-5 | 3.803856 | 2.0E-5 | 7.789434E-5 | 8.68412E-5 | 1.8683252E-4 | 2.151427 | 1.0E-4 | 7.786704E-4 | 8.681306E-4 | 0.0010879396 | 1.2531981 | 2.2E-4 |
7.2 | 1.069082E-6 | 1.1830564E-6 | 1.1830564E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.581772E-6 | 5.0702347E-6 | 1.5070184E-5 | 2.9722853 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5781646E-5 | 6.172889E-5 | 1.0172642E-4 | 1.6479548 | 4.0E-5 | 5.576765E-4 | 6.171697E-4 | 7.17108E-4 | 1.16193 | 1.0E-4 |
7.3 | 8.776551E-7 | 9.771776E-7 | 9.771776E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7613736E-6 | 4.1879002E-6 | 4.1879002E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.579376E-5 | 5.0987015E-5 | 8.098548E-5 | 1.5883551 | 3.0E-5 | 4.5784327E-4 | 5.098042E-4 | 5.897634E-4 | 1.156843 | 8.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.55721E-7 | 8.510756E-7 | 8.510756E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2388E-6 | 3.6474646E-6 | 3.6474646E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9431678E-5 | 4.4407494E-5 | 6.440661E-5 | 1.4503545 | 2.0E-5 | 3.942468E-4 | 4.4403705E-4 | 5.1400595E-4 | 1.1575745 | 7.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.587665E-7 | 6.30597E-7 | 6.30597E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3947114E-6 | 2.7025587E-6 | 2.7025587E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.915522E-5 | 3.2903652E-5 | 3.2903652E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9151395E-4 | 3.2903653E-4 | 3.6902336E-4 | 1.1215271 | 4.0E-5 |
Little Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.8424427E-5 | 3.1210107E-5 | 4.8119607E-4 | 15.417956 | 4.5E-4 | 1.2181328E-4 | 1.3375148E-4 | 0.0020135 | 15.054038 | 0.00188 | 0.0014820677 | 0.0016273413 | 0.01081237 | 6.644193 | 0.0092 | 0.014722223 | 0.016167657 | 0.03661169 | 2.264502 | 0.02078 |
6.1 | 2.8424427E-5 | 3.1210107E-5 | 4.8119607E-4 | 15.417956 | 4.5E-4 | 1.2181328E-4 | 1.3375148E-4 | 0.0020135 | 15.054038 | 0.00188 | 0.0014820677 | 0.0016273413 | 0.01081237 | 6.644193 | 0.0092 | 0.014722223 | 0.016167657 | 0.03661169 | 2.264502 | 0.02078 |
6.2 | 2.8424427E-5 | 3.1210107E-5 | 4.8119607E-4 | 15.417956 | 4.5E-4 | 1.2181328E-4 | 1.3375148E-4 | 0.0020135 | 15.054038 | 0.00188 | 0.0014820677 | 0.0016273413 | 0.01081237 | 6.644193 | 0.0092 | 0.014722223 | 0.016167657 | 0.03661169 | 2.264502 | 0.02078 |
6.3 | 1.48860645E-5 | 1.6083422E-5 | 3.2607844E-4 | 20.274193 | 3.1E-4 | 6.379586E-5 | 6.892729E-5 | 0.0013088419 | 18.98873 | 0.00124 | 7.7643775E-4 | 8.388949E-4 | 0.0069437693 | 8.277281 | 0.00611 | 0.007737305 | 0.008360101 | 0.021767072 | 2.6036854 | 0.01352 |
6.4 | 1.48860645E-5 | 1.6083422E-5 | 3.2607844E-4 | 20.274193 | 3.1E-4 | 6.379586E-5 | 6.892729E-5 | 0.0013088419 | 18.98873 | 0.00124 | 7.7643775E-4 | 8.388949E-4 | 0.0069437693 | 8.277281 | 0.00611 | 0.007737305 | 0.008360101 | 0.021767072 | 2.6036854 | 0.01352 |
6.5 | 1.2797581E-5 | 1.3767264E-5 | 3.0376329E-4 | 22.06417 | 2.9E-4 | 5.4845623E-5 | 5.9001373E-5 | 0.0011889347 | 20.150967 | 0.00113 | 6.675408E-4 | 7.181307E-4 | 0.0061742095 | 8.597613 | 0.00546 | 0.006655392 | 0.007160651 | 0.019263363 | 2.690169 | 0.01219 |
6.6 | 9.661896E-6 | 1.0290236E-5 | 2.5028776E-4 | 24.32284 | 2.4E-4 | 4.1407468E-5 | 4.4100358E-5 | 0.0010340567 | 23.447807 | 9.9E-4 | 5.040193E-4 | 5.3680583E-4 | 0.0050543793 | 9.415657 | 0.00452 | 0.005028777 | 0.005356697 | 0.01544238 | 2.8828177 | 0.01014 |
6.7 | 7.767871E-6 | 8.200599E-6 | 2.1819888E-4 | 26.607676 | 2.1E-4 | 3.329045E-5 | 3.5145025E-5 | 9.151141E-4 | 26.038225 | 8.8E-4 | 4.0523586E-4 | 4.2782043E-4 | 0.004356139 | 10.182167 | 0.00393 | 0.004044977 | 0.00427132 | 0.013133305 | 3.074765 | 0.0089 |
6.8 | 6.4235196E-6 | 6.736483E-6 | 1.6673541E-4 | 24.751106 | 1.6E-4 | 2.752908E-5 | 2.8870394E-5 | 7.488496E-4 | 25.938322 | 7.2E-4 | 3.35115E-4 | 3.514532E-4 | 0.003500346 | 9.959637 | 0.00315 | 0.003346101 | 0.0035102344 | 0.010635137 | 3.029751 | 0.00715 |
6.9 | 3.1283696E-6 | 3.112438E-6 | 1.13112095E-4 | 36.34196 | 1.1E-4 | 1.3407229E-5 | 1.333896E-5 | 4.233335E-4 | 31.736618 | 4.1E-4 | 1.6322079E-4 | 1.6239124E-4 | 0.0020420859 | 12.575099 | 0.00188 | 0.0016310095 | 0.0016228742 | 0.0059558307 | 3.6699278 | 0.00434 |
7.0 | 2.290603E-6 | 2.228875E-6 | 7.222872E-5 | 32.405907 | 7.0E-5 | 9.816834E-6 | 9.552293E-6 | 2.595499E-4 | 27.171478 | 2.5E-4 | 1.19513395E-4 | 1.16293995E-4 | 0.0012261649 | 10.543665 | 0.00111 | 0.0011944914 | 0.0011624335 | 0.0037194577 | 3.1997163 | 0.00256 |
7.1 | 1.293693E-6 | 1.1778006E-6 | 5.1177743E-5 | 43.451958 | 5.0E-5 | 5.5443866E-6 | 5.047711E-6 | 1.5504696E-4 | 30.71629 | 1.5E-4 | 6.750081E-5 | 6.145485E-5 | 6.7141734E-4 | 10.925377 | 6.1E-4 | 6.7480316E-4 | 6.14447E-4 | 0.0018936605 | 3.081894 | 0.00128 |
7.2 | 4.715842E-7 | 3.0923132E-7 | 3.0923132E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0210737E-6 | 1.3252765E-6 | 1.3252765E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4606294E-5 | 1.6135127E-5 | 4.6134643E-5 | 2.8592675 | 3.0E-5 | 2.460357E-4 | 1.613401E-4 | 2.0133365E-4 | 1.2478834 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.9430947E-7 | 2.3102284E-7 | 2.3102284E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6898966E-6 | 9.900975E-7 | 9.900975E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0574296E-5 | 1.2054371E-5 | 2.2054252E-5 | 1.8295646 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0572392E-4 | 1.2053725E-4 | 1.4053483E-4 | 1.1659038 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.547123E-7 | 1.968354E-7 | 1.968354E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5201948E-6 | 8.4358004E-7 | 8.4358004E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8508214E-5 | 1.0270539E-5 | 2.0270436E-5 | 1.9736487 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8506673E-4 | 1.0270071E-4 | 1.2269865E-4 | 1.1947206 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.6354266E-7 | 1.4426193E-7 | 1.4426193E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.129468E-6 | 6.1826523E-7 | 6.1826523E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3751187E-5 | 7.5273542E-6 | 1.7527278E-5 | 2.328478 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3750336E-4 | 7.527104E-5 | 9.526954E-5 | 1.2656864 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.269913E-7 | 7.5738484E-8 | 7.5738484E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4424834E-7 | 3.245935E-7 | 3.245935E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6262032E-6 | 3.9519186E-6 | 1.3951879E-5 | 3.5304065 | 1.0E-5 | 6.626006E-5 | 3.951852E-5 | 5.951773E-5 | 1.5060718 | 2.0E-5 |
Airport Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.31041625E-5 | 3.5309972E-4 | 26.945616 | 3.4E-4 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.6159646E-5 | 0.0015760743 | 28.064178 | 0.00152 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.835576E-4 | 0.0078186765 | 11.438212 | 0.00714 | 0.0064425888 | 0.006817361 | 0.023055896 | 3.3819387 | 0.01635 |
6.1 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.31041625E-5 | 3.5309972E-4 | 26.945616 | 3.4E-4 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.6159646E-5 | 0.0015760743 | 28.064178 | 0.00152 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.835576E-4 | 0.0078186765 | 11.438212 | 0.00714 | 0.0064425888 | 0.006817361 | 0.023055896 | 3.3819387 | 0.01635 |
6.2 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.31041625E-5 | 3.5309972E-4 | 26.945616 | 3.4E-4 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.6159646E-5 | 0.0015760743 | 28.064178 | 0.00152 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.835576E-4 | 0.0078186765 | 11.438212 | 0.00714 | 0.0064425888 | 0.006817361 | 0.023055896 | 3.3819387 | 0.01635 |
6.3 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.31041625E-5 | 3.5309972E-4 | 26.945616 | 3.4E-4 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.6159646E-5 | 0.0015760743 | 28.064178 | 0.00152 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.835576E-4 | 0.0078186765 | 11.438212 | 0.00714 | 0.0064425888 | 0.006817361 | 0.023055896 | 3.3819387 | 0.01635 |
6.4 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.31041625E-5 | 3.5309972E-4 | 26.945616 | 3.4E-4 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.6159646E-5 | 0.0015760743 | 28.064178 | 0.00152 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.835576E-4 | 0.0078186765 | 11.438212 | 0.00714 | 0.0064425888 | 0.006817361 | 0.023055896 | 3.3819387 | 0.01635 |
6.5 | 6.9922594E-6 | 7.3854753E-6 | 2.473837E-4 | 33.495975 | 2.4E-4 | 2.996648E-5 | 3.1651685E-5 | 0.001061619 | 33.540684 | 0.00103 | 3.6478083E-4 | 3.8529653E-4 | 0.005743231 | 14.906003 | 0.00536 | 0.003641826 | 0.0038468228 | 0.016059661 | 4.1747856 | 0.01226 |
6.6 | 6.9922594E-6 | 7.3854753E-6 | 2.473837E-4 | 33.495975 | 2.4E-4 | 2.996648E-5 | 3.1651685E-5 | 0.001061619 | 33.540684 | 0.00103 | 3.6478083E-4 | 3.8529653E-4 | 0.005743231 | 14.906003 | 0.00536 | 0.003641826 | 0.0038468228 | 0.016059661 | 4.1747856 | 0.01226 |
6.7 | 5.477277E-6 | 5.7865013E-6 | 2.2578523E-4 | 39.0193 | 2.2E-4 | 2.3473833E-5 | 2.4799077E-5 | 9.447763E-4 | 38.097237 | 9.2E-4 | 2.8575645E-4 | 3.0189083E-4 | 0.004880508 | 16.166468 | 0.00458 | 0.0028538927 | 0.003015191 | 0.013483532 | 4.4718666 | 0.0105 |
6.8 | 3.9950432E-6 | 4.219401E-6 | 1.8421865E-4 | 43.659904 | 1.8E-4 | 1.7121502E-5 | 1.8083038E-5 | 7.1807037E-4 | 39.70961 | 7.0E-4 | 2.0843433E-4 | 2.2014149E-4 | 0.0037093733 | 16.84995 | 0.00349 | 0.0020823893 | 0.0021995052 | 0.010211843 | 4.6427913 | 0.00803 |
6.9 | 2.95695E-6 | 3.1232569E-6 | 1.7312272E-4 | 55.43019 | 1.7E-4 | 1.2672582E-5 | 1.3385331E-5 | 5.333784E-4 | 39.847977 | 5.2E-4 | 1.5427776E-4 | 1.6295648E-4 | 0.002682546 | 16.461731 | 0.00252 | 0.001541707 | 0.0016285924 | 0.007339277 | 4.5065155 | 0.00572 |
7.0 | 1.456072E-6 | 1.540931E-6 | 7.1540824E-5 | 46.427013 | 7.0E-5 | 6.2402937E-6 | 6.603979E-6 | 2.3660246E-4 | 35.82726 | 2.3E-4 | 7.597293E-5 | 8.0401485E-5 | 0.0011303171 | 14.058411 | 0.00105 | 7.594696E-4 | 8.038228E-4 | 0.0032418615 | 4.033055 | 0.00244 |
7.1 | 6.995192E-7 | 7.4095556E-7 | 5.0740917E-5 | 68.48038 | 5.0E-5 | 2.997936E-6 | 3.175524E-6 | 1.4317509E-4 | 45.087074 | 1.4E-4 | 3.649926E-5 | 3.8662E-5 | 6.0863997E-4 | 15.742587 | 5.7E-4 | 3.6493264E-4 | 3.8662003E-4 | 0.0015961522 | 4.128478 | 0.00121 |
Owl Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.0320643E-5 | 6.6390356E-5 | 2.4637842E-4 | 3.7110572 | 1.8E-4 | 2.1564208E-4 | 2.8450435E-4 | 0.0012342341 | 4.3381906 | 9.5E-4 | 0.0026222812 | 0.0034591977 | 0.008681072 | 2.509562 | 0.00524 | 0.02591553 | 0.034156475 | 0.046577223 | 1.3636426 | 0.01286 |
6.1 | 5.0320643E-5 | 6.6390356E-5 | 2.4637842E-4 | 3.7110572 | 1.8E-4 | 2.1564208E-4 | 2.8450435E-4 | 0.0012342341 | 4.3381906 | 9.5E-4 | 0.0026222812 | 0.0034591977 | 0.008681072 | 2.509562 | 0.00524 | 0.02591553 | 0.034156475 | 0.046577223 | 1.3636426 | 0.01286 |
6.2 | 2.4125871E-5 | 3.099698E-5 | 2.0099171E-4 | 6.4842353 | 1.7E-4 | 1.0339249E-4 | 1.328383E-4 | 9.2273334E-4 | 6.9462905 | 7.9E-4 | 0.0012580766 | 0.0016162819 | 0.005579865 | 3.4522846 | 0.00397 | 0.012509781 | 0.016078424 | 0.025691338 | 1.5978767 | 0.00977 |
6.3 | 1.7433485E-5 | 2.236868E-5 | 1.9236488E-4 | 8.599742 | 1.7E-4 | 7.471279E-5 | 9.586314E-5 | 8.257932E-4 | 8.614292 | 7.3E-4 | 9.0924866E-4 | 0.0011666515 | 0.0047224984 | 4.0479083 | 0.00356 | 0.009055373 | 0.011635203 | 0.02002642 | 1.7211921 | 0.00849 |
6.4 | 1.7433485E-5 | 2.236868E-5 | 1.9236488E-4 | 8.599742 | 1.7E-4 | 7.471279E-5 | 9.586314E-5 | 8.257932E-4 | 8.614292 | 7.3E-4 | 9.0924866E-4 | 0.0011666515 | 0.0047224984 | 4.0479083 | 0.00356 | 0.009055373 | 0.011635203 | 0.02002642 | 1.7211921 | 0.00849 |
6.5 | 1.5182742E-5 | 1.9441328E-5 | 1.7943821E-4 | 9.229731 | 1.6E-4 | 6.506727E-5 | 8.331817E-5 | 7.8325986E-4 | 9.400828 | 7.0E-4 | 7.919061E-4 | 0.0010140664 | 0.0044605676 | 4.398694 | 0.00345 | 0.0078909 | 0.010124181 | 0.018181771 | 1.7958757 | 0.00814 |
6.6 | 6.7271576E-6 | 8.555633E-6 | 1.1855469E-4 | 13.856915 | 1.1E-4 | 2.8830356E-5 | 3.6666515E-5 | 5.666471E-4 | 15.454075 | 5.3E-4 | 3.5095305E-4 | 4.4632907E-4 | 0.003105142 | 6.9570684 | 0.00266 | 0.0035039932 | 0.004471474 | 0.0104745105 | 2.3425188 | 0.00603 |
6.7 | 6.682835E-6 | 8.488063E-6 | 1.1848713E-4 | 13.959266 | 1.1E-4 | 2.8640408E-5 | 3.637694E-5 | 5.6635763E-4 | 15.56914 | 5.3E-4 | 3.4864116E-4 | 4.4280489E-4 | 0.003101627 | 7.0045004 | 0.00266 | 0.003480947 | 0.0044364077 | 0.010429701 | 2.3509338 | 0.00602 |
6.8 | 6.5774975E-6 | 8.334495E-6 | 1.1833358E-4 | 14.1980505 | 1.1E-4 | 2.8188972E-5 | 3.5718804E-5 | 5.656999E-4 | 15.837592 | 5.3E-4 | 3.4314668E-4 | 4.3479534E-4 | 0.0030936387 | 7.115161 | 0.00266 | 0.0034261728 | 0.004356568 | 0.010350342 | 2.3758016 | 0.00602 |
6.9 | 6.363419E-6 | 8.007561E-6 | 1.1800668E-4 | 14.736908 | 1.1E-4 | 2.727151E-5 | 3.4317694E-5 | 5.642995E-4 | 16.443398 | 5.3E-4 | 3.3198006E-4 | 4.1774343E-4 | 0.0030666364 | 7.3409567 | 0.00265 | 0.0033148455 | 0.004186485 | 0.010171324 | 2.4295619 | 0.00601 |
7.0 | 6.1342453E-6 | 7.639617E-6 | 1.17638774E-4 | 15.398518 | 1.1E-4 | 2.6289357E-5 | 3.2740838E-5 | 5.627235E-4 | 17.187204 | 5.3E-4 | 3.2002592E-4 | 3.9855228E-4 | 0.003047496 | 7.6464148 | 0.00265 | 0.0031956544 | 0.003995109 | 0.009951218 | 2.4908502 | 0.00598 |
7.1 | 5.842926E-6 | 7.149966E-6 | 1.0714925E-4 | 14.98598 | 1.0E-4 | 2.504087E-5 | 3.0642383E-5 | 5.306271E-4 | 17.316769 | 5.0E-4 | 3.0482994E-4 | 3.730126E-4 | 0.0029220614 | 7.8336806 | 0.00255 | 0.0030441214 | 0.003740562 | 0.009449128 | 2.5261254 | 0.00573 |
7.2 | 4.77173E-6 | 5.3654708E-6 | 7.53651E-5 | 14.046315 | 7.0E-5 | 2.045011E-5 | 2.2994695E-5 | 4.229855E-4 | 18.394917 | 4.0E-4 | 2.4895166E-4 | 2.799285E-4 | 0.002149405 | 7.678407 | 0.00187 | 0.0024867293 | 0.002811912 | 0.0066710296 | 2.3724177 | 0.00387 |
7.3 | 3.0494948E-6 | 2.715523E-6 | 2.2715469E-5 | 8.365045 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3069198E-5 | 1.1637904E-5 | 1.1163674E-4 | 9.592513 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5910587E-4 | 1.4168242E-4 | 6.31613E-4 | 4.4579487 | 4.9E-4 | 0.0015899199 | 0.001425671 | 0.0024242452 | 1.7004241 | 0.001 |
7.4 | 2.7263884E-6 | 2.3104167E-6 | 2.231037E-5 | 9.656427 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1684469E-5 | 9.901749E-6 | 6.990116E-5 | 7.059476 | 6.0E-5 | 1.4224913E-4 | 1.2054722E-4 | 4.3050986E-4 | 3.5712962 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0014215811 | 0.0012134967 | 0.0019026594 | 1.5679147 | 6.9E-4 |
7.5 | 2.6090431E-6 | 2.1702508E-6 | 2.2170207E-5 | 10.215505 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1181565E-5 | 9.301042E-6 | 5.9300575E-5 | 6.375692 | 5.0E-5 | 1.3612706E-4 | 1.132344E-4 | 3.932027E-4 | 3.472467 | 2.8E-4 | 0.001360437 | 0.0011401781 | 0.0017694597 | 1.5519153 | 6.3E-4 |
7.6 | 2.3008756E-6 | 1.8771242E-6 | 1.8771242E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.860858E-6 | 8.0447935E-6 | 2.8044633E-5 | 3.48606 | 2.0E-5 | 1.20049335E-4 | 9.794105E-5 | 3.0792048E-4 | 3.143937 | 2.1E-4 | 0.001199845 | 9.87129E-4 | 0.0014666552 | 1.4857786 | 4.8E-4 |
7.7 | 1.7184348E-6 | 1.345918E-6 | 1.345918E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3646997E-6 | 5.7682073E-6 | 2.5768091E-5 | 4.467262 | 2.0E-5 | 8.966153E-5 | 7.02257E-5 | 1.9021728E-4 | 2.708656 | 1.2E-4 | 8.962536E-4 | 7.098601E-4 | 9.696756E-4 | 1.3660094 | 2.6E-4 |
7.8 | 8.4612907E-7 | 8.434767E-7 | 8.434767E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6262625E-6 | 3.6148954E-6 | 2.3614823E-5 | 6.532644 | 2.0E-5 | 4.4148852E-5 | 4.4010485E-5 | 1.2400697E-4 | 2.8176687 | 8.0E-5 | 4.414008E-4 | 4.4541774E-4 | 5.953509E-4 | 1.3366125 | 1.5E-4 |
7.9 | 2.716738E-7 | 3.781056E-7 | 3.781056E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1643157E-6 | 1.6204516E-6 | 2.1620419E-5 | 13.342218 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4175452E-5 | 1.9728832E-5 | 5.972804E-5 | 3.0274496 | 4.0E-5 | 1.4174548E-4 | 1.9896874E-4 | 2.489588E-4 | 1.2512457 | 5.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.1995428E-8 | 3.396456E-8 | 3.396456E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.426611E-8 | 1.4556241E-7 | 1.0145561E-5 | 69.69904 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1476893E-6 | 1.7722216E-6 | 1.1772204E-5 | 6.6426253 | 1.0E-5 | 1.14768345E-5 | 1.7927016E-5 | 2.7926837E-5 | 1.5578073 | 1.0E-5 |
Panamint Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.3993412E-5 | 2.4398627E-4 | 7.177458 | 2.1E-4 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.4567809E-4 | 8.955688E-4 | 6.147588 | 7.5E-4 | 0.0015751923 | 0.0017722172 | 0.0060845613 | 3.4333043 | 0.00432 | 0.015640736 | 0.017588528 | 0.028041387 | 1.5942998 | 0.01064 |
6.1 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.3993412E-5 | 2.4398627E-4 | 7.177458 | 2.1E-4 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.4567809E-4 | 8.955688E-4 | 6.147588 | 7.5E-4 | 0.0015751923 | 0.0017722172 | 0.0060845613 | 3.4333043 | 0.00432 | 0.015640736 | 0.017588528 | 0.028041387 | 1.5942998 | 0.01064 |
6.2 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.3993412E-5 | 2.4398627E-4 | 7.177458 | 2.1E-4 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.4567809E-4 | 8.955688E-4 | 6.147588 | 7.5E-4 | 0.0015751923 | 0.0017722172 | 0.0060845613 | 3.4333043 | 0.00432 | 0.015640736 | 0.017588528 | 0.028041387 | 1.5942998 | 0.01064 |
6.3 | 2.8573924E-5 | 3.211106E-5 | 2.3210463E-4 | 7.2281837 | 2.0E-4 | 1.2245393E-4 | 1.3761173E-4 | 8.47514E-4 | 6.158734 | 7.1E-4 | 0.001489857 | 0.001674163 | 0.0058172154 | 3.4747005 | 0.00415 | 0.01479908 | 0.016622808 | 0.026594253 | 1.5998652 | 0.01014 |
6.4 | 2.8573924E-5 | 3.211106E-5 | 2.3210463E-4 | 7.2281837 | 2.0E-4 | 1.2245393E-4 | 1.3761173E-4 | 8.47514E-4 | 6.158734 | 7.1E-4 | 0.001489857 | 0.001674163 | 0.0058172154 | 3.4747005 | 0.00415 | 0.01479908 | 0.016622808 | 0.026594253 | 1.5998652 | 0.01014 |
6.5 | 2.7468774E-5 | 3.0836534E-5 | 2.3083037E-4 | 7.485613 | 2.0E-4 | 1.1771801E-4 | 1.3215005E-4 | 8.120602E-4 | 6.144986 | 6.8E-4 | 0.0014322745 | 0.0016077667 | 0.005571384 | 3.4652936 | 0.00397 | 0.014230782 | 0.01596856 | 0.025612067 | 1.6039059 | 0.0098 |
6.6 | 2.6135967E-5 | 2.926027E-5 | 2.2925442E-4 | 7.8350067 | 2.0E-4 | 1.1200648E-4 | 1.2539528E-4 | 7.7531376E-4 | 6.182958 | 6.5E-4 | 0.0013628257 | 0.0015256449 | 0.005339817 | 3.500039 | 0.00382 | 0.013544982 | 0.015158842 | 0.024495136 | 1.6158975 | 0.00948 |
6.7 | 2.4498746E-5 | 2.7349037E-5 | 2.2734357E-4 | 8.312672 | 2.0E-4 | 1.04990395E-4 | 1.1720503E-4 | 7.5713004E-4 | 6.4598765 | 6.4E-4 | 0.0012775084 | 0.0014260623 | 0.005080843 | 3.5628479 | 0.00366 | 0.012701893 | 0.014176036 | 0.023048451 | 1.6258743 | 0.009 |
6.8 | 2.2244329E-5 | 2.49424E-5 | 2.1493767E-4 | 8.617361 | 1.9E-4 | 9.532935E-5 | 1.0689174E-4 | 7.1682653E-4 | 6.7060986 | 6.1E-4 | 0.0011600169 | 0.0013006518 | 0.0047162035 | 3.626031 | 0.00342 | 0.011539802 | 0.012936907 | 0.021169012 | 1.6363273 | 0.00834 |
6.9 | 1.9902658E-5 | 2.2296717E-5 | 1.9229292E-4 | 8.62427 | 1.7E-4 | 8.529431E-5 | 9.5553965E-5 | 6.255033E-4 | 6.546074 | 5.3E-4 | 0.0010379635 | 0.0011627672 | 0.004109337 | 3.5341012 | 0.00295 | 0.010331288 | 0.011572854 | 0.018748835 | 1.6200701 | 0.00726 |
7.0 | 1.8353881E-5 | 2.057241E-5 | 1.7056933E-4 | 8.291169 | 1.5E-4 | 7.865712E-5 | 8.816459E-5 | 5.781214E-4 | 6.5572968 | 4.9E-4 | 9.5722964E-4 | 0.001072893 | 0.0037799855 | 3.523171 | 0.00271 | 0.009531168 | 0.010682898 | 0.017331108 | 1.6223228 | 0.00672 |
7.1 | 1.7667631E-5 | 1.9778672E-5 | 1.6977571E-4 | 8.583776 | 1.5E-4 | 7.571623E-5 | 8.476308E-5 | 5.347249E-4 | 6.308465 | 4.5E-4 | 9.2145515E-4 | 0.0010315195 | 0.0036388272 | 3.5276377 | 0.00261 | 0.009176437 | 0.010273035 | 0.016656773 | 1.6214074 | 0.00645 |
7.2 | 1.6381597E-5 | 1.8163939E-5 | 1.6816122E-4 | 9.257971 | 1.5E-4 | 7.020495E-5 | 7.784322E-5 | 4.9781054E-4 | 6.39504 | 4.2E-4 | 8.544101E-4 | 9.473465E-4 | 0.0032751393 | 3.4571714 | 0.00233 | 0.008511325 | 0.009438554 | 0.0151540935 | 1.6055524 | 0.00577 |
7.3 | 1.4520491E-5 | 1.5970869E-5 | 1.3596895E-4 | 8.51356 | 1.2E-4 | 6.222919E-5 | 6.8444875E-5 | 3.984223E-4 | 5.8210683 | 3.3E-4 | 7.57377E-4 | 8.3301397E-4 | 0.002741423 | 3.2909687 | 0.00191 | 0.0075480095 | 0.00830281 | 0.012874533 | 1.5506238 | 0.00461 |
7.4 | 1.2852287E-5 | 1.414922E-5 | 1.2414766E-4 | 8.77417 | 1.1E-4 | 5.5080065E-5 | 6.0638195E-5 | 3.6062E-4 | 5.947077 | 3.0E-4 | 6.7039346E-4 | 7.380358E-4 | 0.0025666852 | 3.4777246 | 0.00183 | 0.0066837464 | 0.0073595596 | 0.011766884 | 1.5988569 | 0.00444 |
7.5 | 1.1637851E-5 | 1.28403935E-5 | 1.2283897E-4 | 9.566606 | 1.1E-4 | 4.987555E-5 | 5.5029184E-5 | 3.550127E-4 | 6.4513526 | 3.0E-4 | 6.070656E-4 | 6.6979E-4 | 0.002458591 | 3.6706893 | 0.00179 | 0.006054099 | 0.006681379 | 0.011012249 | 1.6481999 | 0.00436 |
7.6 | 3.0068115E-6 | 3.3344238E-6 | 4.333429E-5 | 12.996036 | 4.0E-5 | 1.2886271E-5 | 1.429035E-5 | 1.6428821E-4 | 11.496444 | 1.5E-4 | 1.5687906E-4 | 1.739784E-4 | 9.3384617E-4 | 5.367598 | 7.6E-4 | 0.0015676835 | 0.0017404583 | 0.00347743 | 1.9979967 | 0.00174 |
Garlock (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5092507E-5 | 6.294242E-5 | 2.3293172E-4 | 3.7007113 | 1.7E-4 | 1.9323928E-4 | 2.6972784E-4 | 9.295498E-4 | 3.446251 | 6.6E-4 | 0.0023501497 | 0.0032794378 | 0.0067878943 | 2.0698347 | 0.00352 | 0.023254504 | 0.032427646 | 0.040845525 | 1.2595896 | 0.0087 |
6.1 | 4.5092507E-5 | 6.294242E-5 | 2.3293172E-4 | 3.7007113 | 1.7E-4 | 1.9323928E-4 | 2.6972784E-4 | 9.295498E-4 | 3.446251 | 6.6E-4 | 0.0023501497 | 0.0032794378 | 0.0067878943 | 2.0698347 | 0.00352 | 0.023254504 | 0.032427646 | 0.040845525 | 1.2595896 | 0.0087 |
6.2 | 2.6674514E-5 | 3.4538156E-5 | 1.345347E-4 | 3.8952487 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1431433E-4 | 1.4801245E-4 | 5.979458E-4 | 4.039835 | 4.5E-4 | 0.0013908884 | 0.0018005952 | 0.0043559857 | 2.419192 | 0.00256 | 0.01382215 | 0.01791647 | 0.02402503 | 1.3409466 | 0.00622 |
6.3 | 2.6674514E-5 | 3.4538156E-5 | 1.345347E-4 | 3.8952487 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1431433E-4 | 1.4801245E-4 | 5.979458E-4 | 4.039835 | 4.5E-4 | 0.0013908884 | 0.0018005952 | 0.0043559857 | 2.419192 | 0.00256 | 0.01382215 | 0.01791647 | 0.02402503 | 1.3409466 | 0.00622 |
6.4 | 2.5312667E-5 | 3.2366916E-5 | 1.22364E-4 | 3.780527 | 9.0E-5 | 1.0847834E-4 | 1.3870814E-4 | 5.7864713E-4 | 4.171688 | 4.4E-4 | 0.0013199237 | 0.001687493 | 0.0042032404 | 2.4908197 | 0.00252 | 0.013121112 | 0.016787928 | 0.02277569 | 1.3566707 | 0.00609 |
6.5 | 2.5312667E-5 | 3.2366916E-5 | 1.22364E-4 | 3.780527 | 9.0E-5 | 1.0847834E-4 | 1.3870814E-4 | 5.7864713E-4 | 4.171688 | 4.4E-4 | 0.0013199237 | 0.001687493 | 0.0042032404 | 2.4908197 | 0.00252 | 0.013121112 | 0.016787928 | 0.02277569 | 1.3566707 | 0.00609 |
6.6 | 2.246556E-5 | 2.8160368E-5 | 1.18157834E-4 | 4.195891 | 9.0E-5 | 9.627742E-5 | 1.2068184E-4 | 5.606287E-4 | 4.64551 | 4.4E-4 | 0.0011715472 | 0.0014683347 | 0.0038648106 | 2.6321046 | 0.0024 | 0.011653901 | 0.014640649 | 0.020326173 | 1.3883382 | 0.00577 |
6.7 | 2.2241198E-5 | 2.7830016E-5 | 1.1782751E-4 | 4.2338285 | 9.0E-5 | 9.531594E-5 | 1.1926617E-4 | 5.592137E-4 | 4.688787 | 4.4E-4 | 0.0011598538 | 0.001451122 | 0.003837654 | 2.6446114 | 0.00239 | 0.011538187 | 0.01447171 | 0.020138497 | 1.3915769 | 0.00575 |
6.8 | 1.9528685E-5 | 2.3922752E-5 | 1.139206E-4 | 4.762019 | 9.0E-5 | 8.369167E-5 | 1.02522165E-4 | 5.224791E-4 | 5.0962553 | 4.2E-4 | 0.0010184698 | 0.0012475123 | 0.0035146803 | 2.8173513 | 0.00227 | 0.010138147 | 0.012450136 | 0.017723653 | 1.423571 | 0.00534 |
6.9 | 1.3318621E-5 | 1.5220276E-5 | 9.521906E-5 | 6.256067 | 8.0E-5 | 5.7078556E-5 | 6.522815E-5 | 4.6520206E-4 | 7.1319213 | 4.0E-4 | 6.9470983E-4 | 7.9386914E-4 | 0.0029021942 | 3.6557589 | 0.00211 | 0.0069254204 | 0.007950066 | 0.0126127 | 1.58649 | 0.0047 |
7.0 | 1.1760853E-5 | 1.31284005E-5 | 9.312735E-5 | 7.0935793 | 8.0E-5 | 5.0402683E-5 | 5.6263387E-5 | 4.4624144E-4 | 7.9312935 | 3.9E-4 | 6.134799E-4 | 6.847965E-4 | 0.0027134062 | 3.9623544 | 0.00203 | 0.0061178906 | 0.0068662916 | 0.011375119 | 1.6566612 | 0.00454 |
7.1 | 1.0064758E-5 | 1.0922807E-5 | 9.092193E-5 | 8.324045 | 8.0E-5 | 4.3133965E-5 | 4.681121E-5 | 4.3679297E-4 | 9.330948 | 3.9E-4 | 5.2502943E-4 | 5.6978094E-4 | 0.0025386584 | 4.455499 | 0.00197 | 0.005237907 | 0.0057229316 | 0.009998323 | 1.7470632 | 0.0043 |
7.2 | 9.768808E-6 | 1.051853E-5 | 9.0517686E-5 | 8.605545 | 8.0E-5 | 4.186565E-5 | 4.5078657E-5 | 4.2506153E-4 | 9.42933 | 3.8E-4 | 5.095951E-4 | 5.4869795E-4 | 0.0024676444 | 4.497273 | 0.00192 | 0.0050842804 | 0.0055131647 | 0.009709899 | 1.7612206 | 0.00422 |
7.3 | 9.344516E-6 | 9.963801E-6 | 5.9963302E-5 | 6.0181155 | 5.0E-5 | 4.004731E-5 | 4.2701326E-5 | 3.7268724E-4 | 8.727768 | 3.3E-4 | 4.8746695E-4 | 5.1976804E-4 | 0.0022888482 | 4.403595 | 0.00177 | 0.0048639905 | 0.0052246177 | 0.009114189 | 1.7444701 | 0.00391 |
7.4 | 9.023491E-6 | 9.5095775E-6 | 4.9509195E-5 | 5.206246 | 4.0E-5 | 3.867153E-5 | 4.0754712E-5 | 3.207433E-4 | 7.870091 | 2.8E-4 | 4.7072413E-4 | 4.9607904E-4 | 0.0020353151 | 4.102804 | 0.00154 | 0.004697283 | 0.0049879253 | 0.008370967 | 1.6782461 | 0.0034 |
7.5 | 7.081253E-6 | 7.1044064E-6 | 1.7104336E-5 | 2.407567 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0347876E-5 | 3.0447105E-5 | 2.1044162E-4 | 6.911712 | 1.8E-4 | 3.6942272E-4 | 3.706312E-4 | 0.0011603384 | 3.130709 | 7.9E-4 | 0.003688092 | 0.0037328973 | 0.005426551 | 1.4537103 | 0.0017 |
7.6 | 6.116396E-6 | 5.9751324E-6 | 1.5975073E-5 | 2.673593 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6212863E-5 | 2.560746E-5 | 1.3560464E-4 | 5.295513 | 1.1E-4 | 3.1909486E-4 | 3.117265E-4 | 7.715831E-4 | 2.4751925 | 4.6E-4 | 0.0031863707 | 0.0031438973 | 0.004180628 | 1.3297596 | 0.00104 |
7.7 | 4.797145E-6 | 4.7722E-6 | 4.7722E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.055903E-5 | 2.0452128E-5 | 1.0045049E-4 | 4.911494 | 8.0E-5 | 2.5027743E-4 | 2.489763E-4 | 5.489016E-4 | 2.204634 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0024999576 | 0.002517027 | 0.0031055422 | 1.2338135 | 5.9E-4 |
7.8 | 3.4028885E-6 | 3.9918455E-6 | 3.9918455E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4583726E-5 | 1.7107797E-5 | 7.710677E-5 | 4.5071125 | 6.0E-5 | 1.775424E-4 | 2.0826761E-4 | 4.1822388E-4 | 2.0081081 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0017740062 | 0.0021082065 | 0.0024874054 | 1.179868 | 3.8E-4 |
7.9 | 2.5928412E-6 | 3.3838153E-6 | 3.3838153E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1112129E-5 | 1.4501985E-5 | 5.4501405E-5 | 3.758203 | 4.0E-5 | 1.3528178E-4 | 1.7654743E-4 | 3.165227E-4 | 1.7928481 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0013519945 | 0.0017871832 | 0.0020467185 | 1.1452203 | 2.6E-4 |
8.0 | 1.3743648E-6 | 1.6786139E-6 | 1.6786139E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8901214E-6 | 7.19404E-6 | 2.7193895E-5 | 3.780059 | 2.0E-5 | 7.1709874E-5 | 8.758395E-5 | 1.0758219E-4 | 1.2283324 | 2.0E-5 | 7.1686733E-4 | 8.8649476E-4 | 9.6642383E-4 | 1.0901631 | 8.0E-5 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 3.1579154E-7 | 3.1579154E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5742813E-6 | 1.3533917E-6 | 1.3533917E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.6477436E-5 | 1.6477436E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.6684248E-4 | 1.7684081E-4 | 1.0599267 | 1.0E-5 |
Ash Hill
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.3196802E-5 | 9.319518E-5 | 4.017587 | 7.0E-5 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.941153E-5 | 4.5937573E-4 | 4.62095 | 3.6E-4 | 0.0011236023 | 0.0012097433 | 0.0034769971 | 2.874161 | 0.00227 | 0.011179381 | 0.012039565 | 0.01737455 | 1.4431212 | 0.0054 |
6.1 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.3196802E-5 | 9.319518E-5 | 4.017587 | 7.0E-5 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.941153E-5 | 4.5937573E-4 | 4.62095 | 3.6E-4 | 0.0011236023 | 0.0012097433 | 0.0034769971 | 2.874161 | 0.00227 | 0.011179381 | 0.012039565 | 0.01737455 | 1.4431212 | 0.0054 |
6.2 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.3196802E-5 | 9.319518E-5 | 4.017587 | 7.0E-5 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.941153E-5 | 4.5937573E-4 | 4.62095 | 3.6E-4 | 0.0011236023 | 0.0012097433 | 0.0034769971 | 2.874161 | 0.00227 | 0.011179381 | 0.012039565 | 0.01737455 | 1.4431212 | 0.0054 |
6.3 | 1.0025529E-5 | 1.074796E-5 | 2.0747853E-5 | 1.9303991 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2965847E-5 | 4.606195E-5 | 1.360578E-4 | 2.9538004 | 9.0E-5 | 5.229836E-4 | 5.606731E-4 | 0.0013902078 | 2.4795334 | 8.3E-4 | 0.005217545 | 0.0055938987 | 0.0076523195 | 1.3679761 | 0.00207 |
6.4 | 1.0025529E-5 | 1.074796E-5 | 2.0747853E-5 | 1.9303991 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2965847E-5 | 4.606195E-5 | 1.360578E-4 | 2.9538004 | 9.0E-5 | 5.229836E-4 | 5.606731E-4 | 0.0013902078 | 2.4795334 | 8.3E-4 | 0.005217545 | 0.0055938987 | 0.0076523195 | 1.3679761 | 0.00207 |
6.5 | 6.9617327E-6 | 7.4573372E-6 | 1.7457263E-5 | 2.3409512 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9835655E-5 | 3.1959673E-5 | 9.195776E-5 | 2.8773057 | 6.0E-5 | 3.6318856E-4 | 3.8904822E-4 | 9.1884204E-4 | 2.361769 | 5.3E-4 | 0.0036259557 | 0.003884526 | 0.0052292817 | 1.3461827 | 0.00135 |
6.6 | 4.9919777E-6 | 5.347192E-6 | 1.534714E-5 | 2.8701303 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1394015E-5 | 2.2916374E-5 | 5.2915686E-5 | 2.3090775 | 3.0E-5 | 2.60441E-4 | 2.7897785E-4 | 5.489025E-4 | 1.9675488 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0026013597 | 0.0027869348 | 0.0036744545 | 1.3184572 | 8.9E-4 |
6.7 | 3.6630722E-6 | 3.9249953E-6 | 1.3924956E-5 | 3.5477638 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5698786E-5 | 1.6821332E-5 | 2.6821164E-5 | 1.5944732 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9111596E-4 | 2.0478622E-4 | 4.0474525E-4 | 1.9764283 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0019095168 | 0.0020465383 | 0.0027151671 | 1.3267121 | 6.7E-4 |
6.8 | 2.5599613E-6 | 2.745188E-6 | 1.274516E-5 | 4.6427274 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0971216E-5 | 1.1765067E-5 | 2.1764949E-5 | 1.8499639 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3356637E-4 | 1.4323521E-4 | 2.9321373E-4 | 2.0470784 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0013348613 | 0.001431914 | 0.0018912554 | 1.3207884 | 4.6E-4 |
6.9 | 1.7684905E-6 | 1.8970534E-6 | 1.8970534E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.579223E-6 | 8.130229E-6 | 8.130229E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2273134E-5 | 9.898553E-5 | 1.689786E-4 | 1.7071041 | 7.0E-5 | 9.223483E-4 | 9.898554E-4 | 0.001259588 | 1.2724972 | 2.7E-4 |
Hunter Mountain-Saline Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5103672E-5 | 5.458624E-5 | 1.6458023E-4 | 3.01505 | 1.1E-4 | 1.9328714E-4 | 2.3392112E-4 | 5.338509E-4 | 2.2821836 | 3.0E-4 | 0.002350731 | 0.0028444463 | 0.0047988715 | 1.687102 | 0.00196 | 0.023260195 | 0.028101567 | 0.032650054 | 1.1618588 | 0.00468 |
6.1 | 4.5103672E-5 | 5.458624E-5 | 1.6458023E-4 | 3.01505 | 1.1E-4 | 1.9328714E-4 | 2.3392112E-4 | 5.338509E-4 | 2.2821836 | 3.0E-4 | 0.002350731 | 0.0028444463 | 0.0047988715 | 1.687102 | 0.00196 | 0.023260195 | 0.028101567 | 0.032650054 | 1.1618588 | 0.00468 |
6.2 | 3.9363465E-5 | 4.7077003E-5 | 1.5707183E-4 | 3.3364873 | 1.1E-4 | 1.6868966E-4 | 2.0174374E-4 | 5.016832E-4 | 2.486735 | 3.0E-4 | 0.002051862 | 0.0024535998 | 0.0043988153 | 1.7928007 | 0.00195 | 0.020330196 | 0.024281673 | 0.028818764 | 1.1868525 | 0.00465 |
6.3 | 3.9363465E-5 | 4.7077003E-5 | 1.5707183E-4 | 3.3364873 | 1.1E-4 | 1.6868966E-4 | 2.0174374E-4 | 5.016832E-4 | 2.486735 | 3.0E-4 | 0.002051862 | 0.0024535998 | 0.0043988153 | 1.7928007 | 0.00195 | 0.020330196 | 0.024281673 | 0.028818764 | 1.1868525 | 0.00465 |
6.4 | 3.2311684E-5 | 3.796205E-5 | 1.4795788E-4 | 3.8975208 | 1.1E-4 | 1.384713E-4 | 1.6268464E-4 | 4.6263583E-4 | 2.8437586 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0016845843 | 0.0019789552 | 0.003915116 | 1.9783752 | 0.00194 | 0.016718714 | 0.019622892 | 0.024152234 | 1.2308193 | 0.00462 |
6.5 | 3.2311684E-5 | 3.796205E-5 | 1.4795788E-4 | 3.8975208 | 1.1E-4 | 1.384713E-4 | 1.6268464E-4 | 4.6263583E-4 | 2.8437586 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0016845843 | 0.0019789552 | 0.003915116 | 1.9783752 | 0.00194 | 0.016718714 | 0.019622892 | 0.024152234 | 1.2308193 | 0.00462 |
6.6 | 2.9305844E-5 | 3.4191617E-5 | 1.4418786E-4 | 4.217053 | 1.1E-4 | 1.2559042E-4 | 1.4652761E-4 | 4.4648367E-4 | 3.0470955 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0015279909 | 0.0017825757 | 0.0037091353 | 2.0807729 | 0.00193 | 0.015175272 | 0.017691469 | 0.022219911 | 1.2559676 | 0.00461 |
6.7 | 2.7826512E-5 | 3.2353426E-5 | 1.4234986E-4 | 4.399839 | 1.1E-4 | 1.19251024E-4 | 1.3865052E-4 | 4.3860893E-4 | 3.1634135 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0014509142 | 0.0016868232 | 0.0036135677 | 2.1422327 | 0.00193 | 0.014414776 | 0.016748667 | 0.021271624 | 1.2700487 | 0.0046 |
6.8 | 2.3389874E-5 | 2.6874159E-5 | 1.368712E-4 | 5.0930414 | 1.1E-4 | 1.0023846E-4 | 1.1517014E-4 | 4.1513558E-4 | 3.6045418 | 3.0E-4 | 0.00121972 | 0.0014013419 | 0.0032986794 | 2.3539433 | 0.0019 | 0.01213047 | 0.013932051 | 0.018428521 | 1.3227428 | 0.00456 |
6.9 | 2.069209E-5 | 2.3576504E-5 | 1.335739E-4 | 5.665552 | 1.1E-4 | 8.867737E-5 | 1.0103845E-4 | 4.0100815E-4 | 3.9688666 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0010791123 | 0.0012294851 | 0.0031171613 | 2.5353389 | 0.00189 | 0.010738871 | 0.012232647 | 0.01672699 | 1.3674054 | 0.00455 |
7.0 | 1.7462342E-5 | 1.9638876E-5 | 1.2963671E-4 | 6.6010256 | 1.1E-4 | 7.483646E-5 | 8.416402E-5 | 3.8413878E-4 | 4.5641685 | 3.0E-4 | 9.1075303E-4 | 0.0010242378 | 0.0028923226 | 2.8238778 | 0.00187 | 0.009070295 | 0.010199593 | 0.014673491 | 1.4386349 | 0.00452 |
7.1 | 1.4807709E-5 | 1.6446222E-5 | 1.2644441E-4 | 7.6883564 | 1.1E-4 | 6.3460066E-5 | 7.0482E-5 | 3.7046085E-4 | 5.2561064 | 3.0E-4 | 7.723524E-4 | 8.577969E-4 | 0.0026962187 | 3.1431897 | 0.00184 | 0.007696735 | 0.008548635 | 0.012970508 | 1.5172607 | 0.00446 |
7.2 | 1.4180048E-5 | 1.5702626E-5 | 1.257009E-4 | 8.005087 | 1.1E-4 | 6.077022E-5 | 6.7295325E-5 | 3.6727515E-4 | 5.4576616 | 3.0E-4 | 7.396263E-4 | 8.190289E-4 | 0.0026575217 | 3.244723 | 0.00184 | 0.0073716943 | 0.008163843 | 0.012587433 | 1.5418513 | 0.00446 |
7.3 | 1.3730402E-5 | 1.5176245E-5 | 1.2517457E-4 | 8.248059 | 1.1E-4 | 5.8843252E-5 | 6.503952E-5 | 3.6502E-4 | 5.6122804 | 3.0E-4 | 7.161811E-4 | 7.9158455E-4 | 0.002630128 | 3.3226116 | 0.00184 | 0.007138774 | 0.007891372 | 0.012296334 | 1.5581999 | 0.00444 |
7.4 | 1.2810095E-5 | 1.4113062E-5 | 1.2411151E-4 | 8.794087 | 1.1E-4 | 5.489925E-5 | 6.048324E-5 | 3.6046508E-4 | 5.9597516 | 3.0E-4 | 6.681934E-4 | 7.361505E-4 | 0.0025548106 | 3.4705007 | 0.00182 | 0.006661878 | 0.007340804 | 0.0117283575 | 1.5976938 | 0.00442 |
7.5 | 1.1595659E-5 | 1.2804236E-5 | 1.2280283E-4 | 9.590797 | 1.1E-4 | 4.9694736E-5 | 5.487423E-5 | 3.5485777E-4 | 6.4667473 | 3.0E-4 | 6.0486543E-4 | 6.679046E-4 | 0.0024467157 | 3.6632712 | 0.00178 | 0.006032217 | 0.006662611 | 0.010973695 | 1.6470563 | 0.00434 |
7.6 | 2.997694E-6 | 3.326545E-6 | 4.332641E-5 | 13.024447 | 4.0E-5 | 1.28471975E-5 | 1.4256585E-5 | 1.6425445E-4 | 11.521304 | 1.5E-4 | 1.564034E-4 | 1.7356739E-4 | 9.3343545E-4 | 5.377943 | 7.6E-4 | 0.0015629337 | 0.0017363435 | 0.0034733221 | 2.000366 | 0.00174 |
Blackwater
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0708583E-5 | 3.3099266E-5 | 9.309728E-5 | 2.812669 | 6.0E-5 | 1.3160157E-4 | 1.4184705E-4 | 3.81813E-4 | 2.691723 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0016010714 | 0.0017257566 | 0.0032331506 | 1.8734685 | 0.00151 | 0.015895851 | 0.01713739 | 0.021117983 | 1.2322754 | 0.00405 |
6.1 | 3.0708583E-5 | 3.3099266E-5 | 9.309728E-5 | 2.812669 | 6.0E-5 | 1.3160157E-4 | 1.4184705E-4 | 3.81813E-4 | 2.691723 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0016010714 | 0.0017257566 | 0.0032331506 | 1.8734685 | 0.00151 | 0.015895851 | 0.01713739 | 0.021117983 | 1.2322754 | 0.00405 |
6.2 | 1.1707779E-5 | 1.2546313E-5 | 2.2546188E-5 | 1.7970369 | 1.0E-5 | 5.017523E-5 | 5.3768857E-5 | 1.237651E-4 | 2.3017988 | 7.0E-5 | 6.107122E-4 | 6.544488E-4 | 0.0011441282 | 1.7482316 | 4.9E-4 | 0.006090366 | 0.006526187 | 0.008006463 | 1.226821 | 0.00149 |
6.3 | 1.1707779E-5 | 1.2546313E-5 | 2.2546188E-5 | 1.7970369 | 1.0E-5 | 5.017523E-5 | 5.3768857E-5 | 1.237651E-4 | 2.3017988 | 7.0E-5 | 6.107122E-4 | 6.544488E-4 | 0.0011441282 | 1.7482316 | 4.9E-4 | 0.006090366 | 0.006526187 | 0.008006463 | 1.226821 | 0.00149 |
6.4 | 7.929244E-6 | 8.48088E-6 | 1.8480794E-5 | 2.179113 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3982033E-5 | 3.6346144E-5 | 1.063436E-4 | 2.9258566 | 7.0E-5 | 4.136527E-4 | 4.4242849E-4 | 7.3230016E-4 | 1.6551832 | 2.9E-4 | 0.0041288356 | 0.0044158823 | 0.005361687 | 1.2141825 | 9.5E-4 |
6.5 | 5.8832115E-6 | 6.286562E-6 | 6.286562E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.521352E-5 | 2.6942143E-5 | 6.6941066E-5 | 2.484623 | 4.0E-5 | 3.0693135E-4 | 3.2797377E-4 | 5.2790815E-4 | 1.6096048 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0030650778 | 0.0032751507 | 0.0039230217 | 1.1978141 | 6.5E-4 |
6.6 | 5.8832115E-6 | 6.286562E-6 | 6.286562E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.521352E-5 | 2.6942143E-5 | 6.6941066E-5 | 2.484623 | 4.0E-5 | 3.0693135E-4 | 3.2797377E-4 | 5.2790815E-4 | 1.6096048 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0030650778 | 0.0032751507 | 0.0039230217 | 1.1978141 | 6.5E-4 |
6.7 | 3.0715053E-6 | 3.2817636E-6 | 3.2817636E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3163528E-5 | 1.40646325E-5 | 5.406407E-5 | 3.8439732 | 4.0E-5 | 1.6025416E-4 | 1.712246E-4 | 2.8120578E-4 | 1.642321 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0016013865 | 0.0017110414 | 0.002020511 | 1.1808662 | 3.1E-4 |
6.8 | 2.2722281E-6 | 2.4289757E-6 | 2.4289757E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.738084E-6 | 1.0409859E-5 | 5.0409442E-5 | 4.842471 | 4.0E-5 | 1.1855473E-4 | 1.2673358E-4 | 1.9672471E-4 | 1.5522698 | 7.0E-5 | 0.001184915 | 0.0012667032 | 0.0014864246 | 1.1734592 | 2.2E-4 |
6.9 | 9.952399E-7 | 1.0654484E-6 | 1.0654484E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.265307E-6 | 4.5662023E-6 | 3.4566066E-5 | 7.569981 | 3.0E-5 | 5.1928873E-5 | 5.5592613E-5 | 1.0558983E-4 | 1.89935 | 5.0E-5 | 5.191674E-4 | 5.558377E-4 | 6.557821E-4 | 1.1798086 | 1.0E-4 |
7.0 | 4.7385504E-7 | 5.0760383E-7 | 5.0760383E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0308057E-6 | 2.175445E-6 | 2.2175402E-5 | 10.193501 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4724779E-5 | 2.6486043E-5 | 5.648525E-5 | 2.132642 | 3.0E-5 | 2.4722028E-4 | 2.6486043E-4 | 3.148472E-4 | 1.1887287 | 5.0E-5 |
Garlock (West)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.5181727E-5 | 2.5247098E-5 | 6.524609E-5 | 2.5843005 | 4.0E-5 | 1.0791722E-4 | 1.08197375E-4 | 3.7816816E-4 | 3.4951694 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0013131002 | 0.0013165105 | 0.0026847068 | 2.0392597 | 0.00137 | 0.013053683 | 0.013167416 | 0.016256202 | 1.234578 | 0.00313 |
6.1 | 2.5077732E-5 | 2.514813E-5 | 6.514713E-5 | 2.5905354 | 4.0E-5 | 1.0747157E-4 | 1.0777327E-4 | 3.7774417E-4 | 3.5049894 | 2.7E-4 | 0.001307681 | 0.0013113532 | 0.0026795566 | 2.0433524 | 0.00137 | 0.013000126 | 0.013116453 | 0.016205398 | 1.2355016 | 0.00313 |
6.2 | 2.494612E-5 | 2.5029758E-5 | 6.5028755E-5 | 2.5980577 | 4.0E-5 | 1.0690756E-4 | 1.07265994E-4 | 3.7723704E-4 | 3.5168371 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0013008224 | 0.0013051846 | 0.0026733964 | 2.04829 | 0.00137 | 0.012932341 | 0.013055493 | 0.01614463 | 1.2366158 | 0.00313 |
6.3 | 2.4733758E-5 | 2.4849098E-5 | 6.484811E-5 | 2.6096764 | 4.0E-5 | 1.0599751E-4 | 1.0649181E-4 | 3.7646305E-4 | 3.5351362 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0012897556 | 0.00129577 | 0.002663995 | 2.0559163 | 0.00137 | 0.012822957 | 0.01296245 | 0.016051877 | 1.2383367 | 0.00313 |
6.4 | 2.3237335E-5 | 2.3228036E-5 | 6.3227104E-5 | 2.722017 | 4.0E-5 | 9.958477E-5 | 9.954494E-5 | 3.6951806E-4 | 3.7120728 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0012117702 | 0.0012112886 | 0.0025796292 | 2.1296568 | 0.00137 | 0.012051838 | 0.012127128 | 0.015209291 | 1.2541544 | 0.00312 |
6.5 | 2.2732203E-5 | 2.3042388E-5 | 6.3041465E-5 | 2.735891 | 4.0E-5 | 9.742009E-5 | 9.874937E-5 | 3.687227E-4 | 3.7339246 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0011854442 | 0.0012016132 | 0.002569967 | 2.138764 | 0.00137 | 0.011791403 | 0.012031427 | 0.015113888 | 1.2562009 | 0.00312 |
6.6 | 2.1319436E-5 | 2.1822381E-5 | 6.1821505E-5 | 2.8329406 | 4.0E-5 | 9.136581E-5 | 9.352115E-5 | 3.634959E-4 | 3.8867774 | 2.7E-4 | 0.001111811 | 0.0011380276 | 0.0025064684 | 2.2024672 | 0.00137 | 0.011062649 | 0.011402239 | 0.014486664 | 1.2705104 | 0.00312 |
6.7 | 1.970802E-5 | 2.0441768E-5 | 6.044095E-5 | 2.9567378 | 4.0E-5 | 8.446021E-5 | 8.760465E-5 | 3.5758098E-4 | 4.081758 | 2.7E-4 | 0.001027818 | 0.0010660664 | 0.0024246166 | 2.2743578 | 0.00136 | 0.010230771 | 0.010689732 | 0.013766487 | 1.2878234 | 0.00311 |
6.8 | 1.8744462E-5 | 1.994918E-5 | 5.9948383E-5 | 3.005055 | 4.0E-5 | 8.033094E-5 | 8.5493695E-5 | 3.554706E-4 | 4.157858 | 2.7E-4 | 9.775903E-4 | 0.0010403903 | 0.0023889858 | 2.2962399 | 0.00135 | 0.009733009 | 0.010435402 | 0.013503052 | 1.2939657 | 0.0031 |
6.9 | 1.7559682E-5 | 1.900124E-5 | 5.900048E-5 | 3.1050858 | 4.0E-5 | 7.5253614E-5 | 8.143135E-5 | 3.5140937E-4 | 4.3154063 | 2.7E-4 | 9.158276E-4 | 9.909773E-4 | 0.0023296494 | 2.3508606 | 0.00134 | 0.0091206245 | 0.009945812 | 0.01300508 | 1.3075936 | 0.00309 |
7.0 | 1.6794445E-5 | 1.826372E-5 | 5.8262987E-5 | 3.1900945 | 4.0E-5 | 7.197421E-5 | 7.827074E-5 | 3.482496E-4 | 4.449295 | 2.7E-4 | 8.759337E-4 | 9.52531E-4 | 0.0022912547 | 2.4054384 | 0.00134 | 0.008724891 | 0.009564601 | 0.012615141 | 1.3189408 | 0.00308 |
7.1 | 1.6337795E-5 | 1.7764274E-5 | 5.7763562E-5 | 3.2516704 | 4.0E-5 | 7.0017246E-5 | 7.613039E-5 | 3.4610982E-4 | 4.546277 | 2.7E-4 | 8.521265E-4 | 9.2649466E-4 | 0.0022552623 | 2.4341881 | 0.00133 | 0.008488664 | 0.009306192 | 0.012347622 | 1.3268179 | 0.00307 |
7.2 | 1.5780008E-5 | 1.721274E-5 | 5.721205E-5 | 3.32382 | 4.0E-5 | 6.762685E-5 | 7.376681E-5 | 3.4374688E-4 | 4.659913 | 2.7E-4 | 8.2304585E-4 | 8.977421E-4 | 0.002216557 | 2.4690354 | 0.00132 | 0.008200042 | 0.0090209525 | 0.012053348 | 1.3361503 | 0.00306 |
7.3 | 1.5058865E-5 | 1.6665477E-5 | 5.6664812E-5 | 3.4001312 | 4.0E-5 | 6.45364E-5 | 7.142153E-5 | 3.4140225E-4 | 4.7801027 | 2.7E-4 | 7.854473E-4 | 8.692114E-4 | 0.002188064 | 2.517298 | 0.00132 | 0.00782677 | 0.008737482 | 0.011770745 | 1.3471553 | 0.00306 |
7.4 | 1.4887923E-5 | 1.6501295E-5 | 5.6500634E-5 | 3.4240122 | 4.0E-5 | 6.380382E-5 | 7.071793E-5 | 3.3069955E-4 | 4.676318 | 2.6E-4 | 7.7653467E-4 | 8.6065184E-4 | 0.0021495416 | 2.4975739 | 0.00129 | 0.0077382675 | 0.00865232 | 0.011606536 | 1.3414363 | 0.00298 |
7.5 | 1.4509299E-5 | 1.609297E-5 | 5.6092325E-5 | 3.4855173 | 4.0E-5 | 6.218123E-5 | 6.896805E-5 | 3.189508E-4 | 4.6246166 | 2.5E-4 | 7.567935E-4 | 8.393638E-4 | 0.0020383566 | 2.4284542 | 0.0012 | 0.0075422134 | 0.008440461 | 0.011226743 | 1.3301102 | 0.00281 |
7.6 | 1.2756717E-5 | 1.409514E-5 | 3.4094857E-5 | 2.4189088 | 2.0E-5 | 5.4670498E-5 | 6.0406346E-5 | 2.0039789E-4 | 3.3174973 | 1.4E-4 | 6.6541E-4 | 7.351998E-4 | 0.0014846483 | 2.0193808 | 7.5E-4 | 0.006634211 | 0.007404587 | 0.009230963 | 1.2466546 | 0.00184 |
7.7 | 1.0328985E-5 | 1.1502071E-5 | 1.1502071E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4266326E-5 | 4.9293663E-5 | 1.4928874E-4 | 3.0285583 | 1.0E-4 | 5.388092E-4 | 5.999855E-4 | 0.0010697035 | 1.7828823 | 4.7E-4 | 0.0053750467 | 0.0060598417 | 0.0071631153 | 1.1820631 | 0.00111 |
7.8 | 7.0306583E-6 | 8.933194E-6 | 8.933194E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0131043E-5 | 3.8284557E-5 | 1.18281496E-4 | 3.0895355 | 8.0E-5 | 3.667837E-4 | 4.6601493E-4 | 8.058565E-4 | 1.7292503 | 3.4E-4 | 0.003661789 | 0.0047126315 | 0.005479003 | 1.1626207 | 7.7E-4 |
7.9 | 4.060633E-6 | 5.4850248E-6 | 5.4850248E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7402595E-5 | 2.3507038E-5 | 8.350563E-5 | 3.5523672 | 6.0E-5 | 2.11856E-4 | 2.861607E-4 | 4.7610633E-4 | 1.6637726 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0021165414 | 0.0028943669 | 0.0033031802 | 1.1412444 | 4.1E-4 |
8.0 | 1.6729537E-6 | 2.0839166E-6 | 2.0839166E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.169782E-6 | 8.931041E-6 | 3.893077E-5 | 4.359041 | 3.0E-5 | 8.7288594E-5 | 1.08730026E-4 | 1.3872675E-4 | 1.2758827 | 3.0E-5 | 8.7254314E-4 | 0.0011001996 | 0.0012200676 | 1.1089511 | 1.2E-4 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 3.1579154E-7 | 3.1579154E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5742813E-6 | 1.3533917E-6 | 1.3533917E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.6477436E-5 | 1.6477436E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.6684248E-4 | 1.7684081E-4 | 1.0599267 | 1.0E-5 |
McLean Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.7360222E-5 | 1.8503244E-5 | 4.850269E-5 | 2.6213074 | 3.0E-5 | 7.439883E-5 | 7.929748E-5 | 1.7928955E-4 | 2.2609742 | 1.0E-4 | 9.0542925E-4 | 9.650678E-4 | 0.0016344213 | 1.6935817 | 6.7E-4 | 0.009017491 | 0.009613611 | 0.011723134 | 1.2194309 | 0.00213 |
6.1 | 9.062689E-6 | 9.592937E-6 | 1.9592842E-5 | 2.0424235 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8839516E-5 | 4.111199E-5 | 7.111076E-5 | 1.7296841 | 3.0E-5 | 4.727685E-4 | 5.0043245E-4 | 8.202723E-4 | 1.639127 | 3.2E-4 | 0.0047176396 | 0.0049939384 | 0.0061182952 | 1.2251444 | 0.00113 |
6.2 | 9.062689E-6 | 9.592937E-6 | 1.9592842E-5 | 2.0424235 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8839516E-5 | 4.111199E-5 | 7.111076E-5 | 1.7296841 | 3.0E-5 | 4.727685E-4 | 5.0043245E-4 | 8.202723E-4 | 1.639127 | 3.2E-4 | 0.0047176396 | 0.0049939384 | 0.0061182952 | 1.2251444 | 0.00113 |
6.3 | 7.2575485E-6 | 7.6682845E-6 | 7.6682845E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.110341E-5 | 3.2863703E-5 | 5.2863044E-5 | 1.6085541 | 2.0E-5 | 3.786182E-4 | 4.0004926E-4 | 6.2995724E-4 | 1.5746992 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0037797375 | 0.003993996 | 0.0047808406 | 1.197007 | 7.9E-4 |
6.4 | 7.2575485E-6 | 7.6682845E-6 | 7.6682845E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.110341E-5 | 3.2863703E-5 | 5.2863044E-5 | 1.6085541 | 2.0E-5 | 3.786182E-4 | 4.0004926E-4 | 6.2995724E-4 | 1.5746992 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0037797375 | 0.003993996 | 0.0047808406 | 1.197007 | 7.9E-4 |
6.5 | 6.06582E-6 | 6.404351E-6 | 6.404351E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5996113E-5 | 2.7446966E-5 | 3.744669E-5 | 1.364329 | 1.0E-5 | 3.164567E-4 | 3.3412204E-4 | 5.240586E-4 | 1.5684645 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0031600643 | 0.0033368357 | 0.0040046 | 1.200119 | 6.7E-4 |
6.6 | 5.598744E-6 | 5.9106987E-6 | 5.9106987E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3994397E-5 | 2.5331356E-5 | 3.5331104E-5 | 1.3947576 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9209262E-4 | 3.0837202E-4 | 4.983134E-4 | 1.6159489 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0029170897 | 0.0030800703 | 0.003718099 | 1.2071475 | 6.4E-4 |
6.7 | 5.246996E-6 | 5.5395712E-6 | 5.5395712E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2486933E-5 | 2.374084E-5 | 2.374084E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.73744E-4 | 2.8901274E-4 | 4.489665E-4 | 1.5534488 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0027340704 | 0.0028869926 | 0.0034852605 | 1.2072287 | 6.0E-4 |
6.8 | 4.02324E-6 | 4.247218E-6 | 4.247218E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7242342E-5 | 1.8202269E-5 | 1.8202269E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.099053E-4 | 2.2159604E-4 | 3.3157167E-4 | 1.4962888 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0020970714 | 0.0022143351 | 0.0026733167 | 1.2072773 | 4.6E-4 |
6.9 | 6.835972E-7 | 7.140349E-7 | 7.140349E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9296991E-6 | 3.060148E-6 | 3.060148E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.56685E-5 | 3.725698E-5 | 4.725661E-5 | 1.268396 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5662777E-4 | 3.7253863E-4 | 4.2252E-4 | 1.1341642 | 5.0E-5 |
Gravel Hills-Harper Lk
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0679566E-5 | 3.1469997E-5 | 6.146905E-5 | 1.9532589 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3147724E-4 | 1.3486568E-4 | 1.9485758E-4 | 1.4448271 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0015995599 | 0.0016409698 | 0.002369772 | 1.4441289 | 7.3E-4 | 0.015880952 | 0.016310103 | 0.018326668 | 1.123639 | 0.00205 |
6.1 | 3.0679566E-5 | 3.1469997E-5 | 6.146905E-5 | 1.9532589 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3147724E-4 | 1.3486568E-4 | 1.9485758E-4 | 1.4448271 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0015995599 | 0.0016409698 | 0.002369772 | 1.4441289 | 7.3E-4 | 0.015880952 | 0.016310103 | 0.018326668 | 1.123639 | 0.00205 |
6.2 | 1.514536E-5 | 1.3637041E-5 | 2.3636905E-5 | 1.7332869 | 1.0E-5 | 6.490707E-5 | 5.844322E-5 | 8.844146E-5 | 1.5132887 | 3.0E-5 | 7.8995706E-4 | 7.113258E-4 | 0.0010111124 | 1.4214476 | 3.0E-4 | 0.007871548 | 0.0070916913 | 0.007766869 | 1.0952069 | 6.8E-4 |
6.3 | 1.514536E-5 | 1.3637041E-5 | 2.3636905E-5 | 1.7332869 | 1.0E-5 | 6.490707E-5 | 5.844322E-5 | 8.844146E-5 | 1.5132887 | 3.0E-5 | 7.8995706E-4 | 7.113258E-4 | 0.0010111124 | 1.4214476 | 3.0E-4 | 0.007871548 | 0.0070916913 | 0.007766869 | 1.0952069 | 6.8E-4 |
6.4 | 1.2532521E-5 | 1.0691024E-5 | 2.0690917E-5 | 1.9353541 | 1.0E-5 | 5.37097E-5 | 4.5817902E-5 | 7.5816526E-5 | 1.6547359 | 3.0E-5 | 6.537194E-4 | 5.5769604E-4 | 8.1755104E-4 | 1.4659438 | 2.6E-4 | 0.0065179965 | 0.005563555 | 0.006110495 | 1.0983076 | 5.5E-4 |
6.5 | 1.1094058E-5 | 9.084747E-6 | 9.084747E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7545094E-5 | 3.8934075E-5 | 3.8934075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.787078E-4 | 4.7392328E-4 | 6.1385694E-4 | 1.2952665 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0057720304 | 0.0047295336 | 0.005057973 | 1.0694443 | 3.3E-4 |
6.6 | 9.688328E-6 | 7.5325643E-6 | 7.5325643E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1520743E-5 | 3.2282034E-5 | 3.2282034E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.053978E-4 | 3.9296542E-4 | 4.629379E-4 | 1.1780627 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0050424994 | 0.003922962 | 0.004102256 | 1.0457036 | 1.8E-4 |
6.7 | 8.974824E-6 | 6.750182E-6 | 6.750182E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8462964E-5 | 2.8929042E-5 | 2.8929042E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6818596E-4 | 3.5215638E-4 | 4.0213877E-4 | 1.1419324 | 5.0E-5 | 0.004672008 | 0.0035162042 | 0.0036457472 | 1.0368416 | 1.3E-4 |
6.8 | 7.4780046E-6 | 5.1167644E-6 | 5.1167644E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.20482E-5 | 2.1928812E-5 | 2.1928812E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9011694E-4 | 2.6695197E-4 | 3.069413E-4 | 1.1497997 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0038943281 | 0.0026664513 | 0.0027362646 | 1.0261822 | 7.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.3409307E-6 | 3.9079373E-6 | 3.9079373E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7175134E-5 | 1.6748201E-5 | 1.6748201E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3080703E-4 | 2.0389125E-4 | 2.3388513E-4 | 1.1471072 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0033031502 | 0.00203714 | 0.0020870382 | 1.0244942 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.1239335E-6 | 2.6061584E-6 | 2.6061584E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.195953E-5 | 1.1169204E-5 | 1.1169204E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6732447E-4 | 1.3597684E-4 | 1.559741E-4 | 1.1470639 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0026700313 | 0.0013589616 | 0.0013989072 | 1.0293943 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.438899E-6 | 2.0987268E-6 | 2.0987268E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9023713E-5 | 8.994514E-6 | 8.994514E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.315891E-4 | 1.0950292E-4 | 1.2950074E-4 | 1.1826235 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002313479 | 0.0010945116 | 0.0011344678 | 1.0365059 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.50367E-6 | 1.261757E-6 | 1.261757E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5015643E-5 | 5.4075194E-6 | 5.4075194E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8280011E-4 | 6.583464E-5 | 8.583332E-5 | 1.3037714 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0018264982 | 6.581596E-4 | 6.881399E-4 | 1.0455517 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.561638E-6 | 7.120193E-7 | 7.120193E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0978401E-5 | 3.051508E-6 | 3.051508E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3365384E-4 | 3.7151494E-5 | 5.715075E-5 | 1.5383164 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0013357349 | 3.7145484E-4 | 3.9144742E-4 | 1.0538224 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.0368864E-6 | 5.305675E-7 | 5.305675E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.729483E-6 | 2.2738586E-6 | 2.2738586E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.06276275E-4 | 2.7683884E-5 | 2.7683884E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010622547 | 2.768049E-4 | 2.768049E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.1681728E-6 | 3.6035502E-7 | 3.6035502E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0064455E-6 | 1.5443777E-6 | 1.5443777E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0951766E-5 | 1.880264E-5 | 1.880264E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.093505E-4 | 1.8801098E-4 | 1.8801098E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.3154387E-7 | 7.1203566E-8 | 7.1203566E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6375933E-7 | 3.0515812E-7 | 3.0515812E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863748E-6 | 3.7152954E-6 | 3.7152954E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863536E-5 | 3.715249E-5 | 3.715249E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Goldstone Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.671352E-5 | 3.0381485E-5 | 4.0381183E-5 | 1.3291378 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1448149E-4 | 1.3020098E-4 | 1.7019577E-4 | 1.3071773 | 4.0E-5 | 0.001392921 | 0.0015842406 | 0.002243195 | 1.4159434 | 6.6E-4 | 0.013842222 | 0.015748974 | 0.017687948 | 1.1231176 | 0.00197 |
6.1 | 2.671352E-5 | 3.0381485E-5 | 4.0381183E-5 | 1.3291378 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1448149E-4 | 1.3020098E-4 | 1.7019577E-4 | 1.3071773 | 4.0E-5 | 0.001392921 | 0.0015842406 | 0.002243195 | 1.4159434 | 6.6E-4 | 0.013842222 | 0.015748974 | 0.017687948 | 1.1231176 | 0.00197 |
6.2 | 1.4197047E-5 | 1.6098966E-5 | 2.6098805E-5 | 1.6211479 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0843064E-5 | 6.8994304E-5 | 1.0899154E-4 | 1.579718 | 4.0E-5 | 7.4051257E-4 | 8.3978055E-4 | 0.0011894866 | 1.4164256 | 3.5E-4 | 0.007380498 | 0.008375771 | 0.009347563 | 1.1160241 | 9.8E-4 |
6.3 | 1.4197047E-5 | 1.6098966E-5 | 2.6098805E-5 | 1.6211479 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0843064E-5 | 6.8994304E-5 | 1.0899154E-4 | 1.579718 | 4.0E-5 | 7.4051257E-4 | 8.3978055E-4 | 0.0011894866 | 1.4164256 | 3.5E-4 | 0.007380498 | 0.008375771 | 0.009347563 | 1.1160241 | 9.8E-4 |
6.4 | 1.3238931E-5 | 1.5010986E-5 | 2.5010835E-5 | 1.6661688 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6737044E-5 | 6.433176E-5 | 1.0432919E-4 | 1.6217369 | 4.0E-5 | 6.9055456E-4 | 7.830558E-4 | 0.0011227896 | 1.4338564 | 3.4E-4 | 0.006884126 | 0.007812595 | 0.0087254075 | 1.1168386 | 9.2E-4 |
6.5 | 1.3238931E-5 | 1.5010986E-5 | 2.5010835E-5 | 1.6661688 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6737044E-5 | 6.433176E-5 | 1.0432919E-4 | 1.6217369 | 4.0E-5 | 6.9055456E-4 | 7.830558E-4 | 0.0011227896 | 1.4338564 | 3.4E-4 | 0.006884126 | 0.007812595 | 0.0087254075 | 1.1168386 | 9.2E-4 |
6.6 | 1.1328278E-5 | 1.2857329E-5 | 2.28572E-5 | 1.7777566 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8548856E-5 | 5.5102213E-5 | 9.510001E-5 | 1.7258836 | 4.0E-5 | 5.90922E-4 | 6.7075866E-4 | 9.7055745E-4 | 1.4469547 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0058935313 | 0.0066967336 | 0.0075112423 | 1.1216278 | 8.2E-4 |
6.7 | 8.651175E-6 | 9.826197E-6 | 1.9826099E-5 | 2.0176778 | 1.0E-5 | 3.707594E-5 | 4.2112104E-5 | 8.211042E-5 | 1.9498057 | 4.0E-5 | 4.5130608E-4 | 5.126848E-4 | 7.525618E-4 | 1.4678838 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0045039062 | 0.005123902 | 0.0057606227 | 1.1242648 | 6.4E-4 |
6.8 | 1.0215377E-6 | 1.1755695E-6 | 1.1755695E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.378012E-6 | 5.038146E-6 | 5.038146E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3300988E-5 | 6.1337814E-5 | 7.13372E-5 | 1.1630216 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3288206E-4 | 6.132201E-4 | 6.3320785E-4 | 1.0325947 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.9360774E-7 | 9.284113E-7 | 9.284113E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4011714E-6 | 3.9788997E-6 | 3.9788997E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1408475E-5 | 4.84421E-5 | 4.84421E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.140076E-4 | 4.843224E-4 | 4.843224E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 7.4382757E-7 | 8.74799E-7 | 8.74799E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1878285E-6 | 3.7491336E-6 | 3.7491336E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8811122E-5 | 4.5644814E-5 | 4.5644814E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8804344E-4 | 4.5636104E-4 | 4.5636104E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 6.4709513E-7 | 7.711864E-7 | 7.711864E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.773262E-6 | 3.3050808E-6 | 3.3050808E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.376394E-5 | 4.0238676E-5 | 4.0238676E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.375881E-4 | 4.0231986E-4 | 4.0231986E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.356704E-7 | 7.5889113E-7 | 7.5889113E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7242988E-6 | 3.252387E-6 | 3.252387E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3167835E-5 | 3.959715E-5 | 3.959715E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3162883E-4 | 3.9590689E-4 | 3.9590689E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.7695723E-7 | 6.897073E-7 | 6.897073E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4726714E-6 | 2.9558855E-6 | 2.9558855E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0104358E-5 | 3.598737E-5 | 3.598737E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0100282E-4 | 3.5982113E-4 | 3.5982113E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.209647E-7 | 6.193939E-7 | 6.193939E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.232704E-6 | 2.6545429E-6 | 2.6545429E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.718283E-5 | 3.2318636E-5 | 3.2318636E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7179506E-4 | 3.2314492E-4 | 3.2314492E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.512955E-7 | 5.3492334E-7 | 5.3492334E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.934122E-6 | 2.292527E-6 | 2.292527E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3547682E-5 | 2.791121E-5 | 2.791121E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3545188E-4 | 2.7908236E-4 | 2.7908236E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.604087E-7 | 2.604087E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.1160371E-6 | 1.1160371E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.3587695E-5 | 1.3587695E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1539775E-4 | 1.3587147E-4 | 1.3587147E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
So Sierra Nevada
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1080402E-5 | 2.1080292E-5 | 1.9024843 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7486647E-5 | 1.7748047E-4 | 3.7374818 | 1.3E-4 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.780093E-4 | 0.0013475643 | 2.3313885 | 7.7E-4 | 0.006007948 | 0.0057663284 | 0.007585776 | 1.3155297 | 0.00183 |
6.1 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1080402E-5 | 2.1080292E-5 | 1.9024843 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7486647E-5 | 1.7748047E-4 | 3.7374818 | 1.3E-4 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.780093E-4 | 0.0013475643 | 2.3313885 | 7.7E-4 | 0.006007948 | 0.0057663284 | 0.007585776 | 1.3155297 | 0.00183 |
6.2 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1080402E-5 | 2.1080292E-5 | 1.9024843 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7486647E-5 | 1.7748047E-4 | 3.7374818 | 1.3E-4 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.780093E-4 | 0.0013475643 | 2.3313885 | 7.7E-4 | 0.006007948 | 0.0057663284 | 0.007585776 | 1.3155297 | 0.00183 |
6.3 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1080402E-5 | 2.1080292E-5 | 1.9024843 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7486647E-5 | 1.7748047E-4 | 3.7374818 | 1.3E-4 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.780093E-4 | 0.0013475643 | 2.3313885 | 7.7E-4 | 0.006007948 | 0.0057663284 | 0.007585776 | 1.3155297 | 0.00183 |
6.4 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1080402E-5 | 2.1080292E-5 | 1.9024843 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7486647E-5 | 1.7748047E-4 | 3.7374818 | 1.3E-4 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.780093E-4 | 0.0013475643 | 2.3313885 | 7.7E-4 | 0.006007948 | 0.0057663284 | 0.007585776 | 1.3155297 | 0.00183 |
6.5 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1080402E-5 | 2.1080292E-5 | 1.9024843 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7486647E-5 | 1.7748047E-4 | 3.7374818 | 1.3E-4 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.780093E-4 | 0.0013475643 | 2.3313885 | 7.7E-4 | 0.006007948 | 0.0057663284 | 0.007585776 | 1.3155297 | 0.00183 |
6.6 | 7.587044E-6 | 6.9361413E-6 | 1.6936072E-5 | 2.4417138 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2515498E-5 | 2.9726E-5 | 1.3972273E-4 | 4.7003546 | 1.1E-4 | 3.9580427E-4 | 3.6185686E-4 | 8.416832E-4 | 2.3260114 | 4.8E-4 | 0.003951 | 0.0036129681 | 0.004619319 | 1.2785386 | 0.00101 |
6.7 | 7.587044E-6 | 6.9361413E-6 | 1.6936072E-5 | 2.4417138 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2515498E-5 | 2.9726E-5 | 1.3972273E-4 | 4.7003546 | 1.1E-4 | 3.9580427E-4 | 3.6185686E-4 | 8.416832E-4 | 2.3260114 | 4.8E-4 | 0.003951 | 0.0036129681 | 0.004619319 | 1.2785386 | 0.00101 |
6.8 | 5.9026956E-6 | 5.1797997E-6 | 1.5179748E-5 | 2.9305665 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5297022E-5 | 2.2198958E-5 | 1.1219696E-4 | 5.0541544 | 9.0E-5 | 3.0794772E-4 | 2.7023995E-4 | 6.2014535E-4 | 2.2947953 | 3.5E-4 | 0.0030752132 | 0.0026992296 | 0.0034472053 | 1.277107 | 7.5E-4 |
6.9 | 5.0118915E-6 | 4.252782E-6 | 1.425274E-5 | 3.3513918 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1479358E-5 | 1.8226086E-5 | 8.822481E-5 | 4.840579 | 7.0E-5 | 2.614798E-4 | 2.2188073E-4 | 5.118164E-4 | 2.3067186 | 2.9E-4 | 0.0026117235 | 0.0022166646 | 0.002795379 | 1.2610744 | 5.8E-4 |
7.0 | 4.4924795E-6 | 3.714248E-6 | 1.3714211E-5 | 3.692325 | 1.0E-5 | 1.925334E-5 | 1.591811E-5 | 7.591716E-5 | 4.7692313 | 6.0E-5 | 2.3438422E-4 | 1.937864E-4 | 4.5373602E-4 | 2.3414233 | 2.6E-4 | 0.0023413717 | 0.0019362372 | 0.0024652109 | 1.2731968 | 5.3E-4 |
7.1 | 3.9118436E-6 | 3.1122759E-6 | 1.3112245E-5 | 4.213073 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6764936E-5 | 1.333826E-5 | 5.3337728E-5 | 3.9988518 | 4.0E-5 | 2.0409399E-4 | 1.6238178E-4 | 3.7234768E-4 | 2.2930386 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0020390663 | 0.0016226874 | 0.002042006 | 1.2584099 | 4.2E-4 |
7.2 | 3.4200818E-6 | 2.605727E-6 | 1.2605701E-5 | 4.8376904 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4657411E-5 | 1.1167357E-5 | 4.1167023E-5 | 3.686371 | 3.0E-5 | 1.7843937E-4 | 1.3595459E-4 | 3.2592876E-4 | 2.3973355 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0017829615 | 0.0013587639 | 0.0017182748 | 1.2645867 | 3.6E-4 |
7.3 | 2.6593618E-6 | 1.8286546E-6 | 1.8286546E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.13972155E-5 | 7.8370695E-6 | 2.7836912E-5 | 3.5519545 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3875226E-4 | 9.541243E-5 | 2.2540003E-4 | 2.362376 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0013866565 | 9.537436E-4 | 0.0012035052 | 1.2618749 | 2.5E-4 |
7.4 | 2.2577992E-6 | 1.4366491E-6 | 1.4366491E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.676246E-6 | 6.1570545E-6 | 2.6156931E-5 | 4.2482867 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1780193E-4 | 7.495981E-5 | 1.9495082E-4 | 2.6007378 | 1.2E-4 | 0.001177395 | 7.493704E-4 | 9.492205E-4 | 1.2666907 | 2.0E-4 |
7.5 | 1.489319E-6 | 7.355556E-7 | 7.355556E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3827797E-6 | 3.1523775E-6 | 1.3152346E-5 | 4.172199 | 1.0E-5 | 7.770758E-5 | 3.8379523E-5 | 9.837722E-5 | 2.5632737 | 6.0E-5 | 7.7680405E-4 | 3.8372938E-4 | 5.0368335E-4 | 1.3126004 | 1.2E-4 |
7.6 | 1.0680322E-6 | 4.6608193E-7 | 4.6608193E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.577273E-6 | 1.9974925E-6 | 1.9974925E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5726876E-5 | 2.4319203E-5 | 6.431823E-5 | 2.6447508 | 4.0E-5 | 5.5712904E-4 | 2.4316568E-4 | 3.4314135E-4 | 1.4111422 | 1.0E-4 |
7.7 | 5.509146E-7 | 1.5585714E-7 | 1.5585714E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3610605E-6 | 6.67959E-7 | 6.67959E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8745531E-5 | 8.1323715E-6 | 1.813229E-5 | 2.2296436 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8741814E-4 | 8.132085E-5 | 1.1131842E-4 | 1.3688791 | 3.0E-5 |
Coyote Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.5090034E-5 | 4.0372368E-5 | 7.0371156E-5 | 1.7430525 | 3.0E-5 | 1.503772E-4 | 1.7301441E-4 | 2.3300403E-4 | 1.3467319 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0018293047 | 0.0021046728 | 0.0025936416 | 1.2323253 | 4.9E-4 | 0.018143194 | 0.02087333 | 0.022283273 | 1.0675476 | 0.00144 |
6.1 | 3.5090034E-5 | 4.0372368E-5 | 7.0371156E-5 | 1.7430525 | 3.0E-5 | 1.503772E-4 | 1.7301441E-4 | 2.3300403E-4 | 1.3467319 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0018293047 | 0.0021046728 | 0.0025936416 | 1.2323253 | 4.9E-4 | 0.018143194 | 0.02087333 | 0.022283273 | 1.0675476 | 0.00144 |
6.2 | 1.841879E-5 | 2.10638E-5 | 4.106338E-5 | 1.9494762 | 2.0E-5 | 7.8935285E-5 | 9.027088E-5 | 1.4026636E-4 | 1.5538385 | 5.0E-5 | 9.606133E-4 | 0.0010985959 | 0.0013583102 | 1.2364057 | 2.6E-4 | 0.0095647145 | 0.01094174 | 0.011663753 | 1.065987 | 7.3E-4 |
6.3 | 1.841879E-5 | 2.10638E-5 | 4.106338E-5 | 1.9494762 | 2.0E-5 | 7.8935285E-5 | 9.027088E-5 | 1.4026636E-4 | 1.5538385 | 5.0E-5 | 9.606133E-4 | 0.0010985959 | 0.0013583102 | 1.2364057 | 2.6E-4 | 0.0095647145 | 0.01094174 | 0.011663753 | 1.065987 | 7.3E-4 |
6.4 | 1.712201E-5 | 1.9568915E-5 | 3.9568524E-5 | 2.022009 | 2.0E-5 | 7.337798E-5 | 8.386465E-5 | 1.3386046E-4 | 1.5961487 | 5.0E-5 | 8.930107E-4 | 0.0010206745 | 0.0012804092 | 1.2544736 | 2.6E-4 | 0.008894307 | 0.010169788 | 0.010882466 | 1.0700779 | 7.2E-4 |
6.5 | 1.4744935E-5 | 1.6840142E-5 | 3.6839803E-5 | 2.1876185 | 2.0E-5 | 6.3191044E-5 | 7.2170566E-5 | 1.2216695E-4 | 1.6927532 | 5.0E-5 | 7.6907943E-4 | 8.7841594E-4 | 0.0010882315 | 1.2388567 | 2.1E-4 | 0.007664232 | 0.008758638 | 0.0093632955 | 1.0690355 | 6.1E-4 |
6.6 | 1.2017839E-5 | 1.3726675E-5 | 2.3726538E-5 | 1.7284986 | 1.0E-5 | 5.150401E-5 | 5.882778E-5 | 6.882719E-5 | 1.1699777 | 1.0E-5 | 6.268809E-4 | 7.160815E-4 | 8.559812E-4 | 1.1953685 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0062511545 | 0.007146437 | 0.0075832927 | 1.0611291 | 4.4E-4 |
6.7 | 1.00956095E-5 | 1.1535696E-5 | 2.1535581E-5 | 1.8668644 | 1.0E-5 | 4.326618E-5 | 4.9438255E-5 | 5.943776E-5 | 1.2022625 | 1.0E-5 | 5.266384E-4 | 6.0183153E-4 | 7.3175324E-4 | 1.2158773 | 1.3E-4 | 0.005253921 | 0.006010547 | 0.006368383 | 1.0595347 | 3.6E-4 |
San Andreas (Mojave S)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.7559903E-4 | 6.7559903E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013306376 | 0.00289234 | 0.003002022 | 1.0379215 | 1.1E-4 | 0.016080605 | 0.03461473 | 0.035174653 | 1.0161759 | 5.8E-4 | 0.1496549 | 0.28685644 | 0.28779778 | 1.0032816 | 0.00132 |
6.1 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.7559903E-4 | 6.7559903E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013306376 | 0.00289234 | 0.003002022 | 1.0379215 | 1.1E-4 | 0.016080605 | 0.03461473 | 0.035174653 | 1.0161759 | 5.8E-4 | 0.1496549 | 0.28685644 | 0.28779778 | 1.0032816 | 0.00132 |
6.2 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.7559903E-4 | 6.7559903E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013306376 | 0.00289234 | 0.003002022 | 1.0379215 | 1.1E-4 | 0.016080605 | 0.03461473 | 0.035174653 | 1.0161759 | 5.8E-4 | 0.1496549 | 0.28685644 | 0.28779778 | 1.0032816 | 0.00132 |
6.3 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.7559903E-4 | 6.7559903E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013306376 | 0.00289234 | 0.003002022 | 1.0379215 | 1.1E-4 | 0.016080605 | 0.03461473 | 0.035174653 | 1.0161759 | 5.8E-4 | 0.1496549 | 0.28685644 | 0.28779778 | 1.0032816 | 0.00132 |
6.4 | 1.9872203E-4 | 4.3273345E-4 | 4.3273345E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5138786E-4 | 0.001853282 | 0.0019630783 | 1.0592442 | 1.1E-4 | 0.010316478 | 0.02233641 | 0.022844797 | 1.0227604 | 5.2E-4 | 0.098504856 | 0.19733314 | 0.19828029 | 1.0047997 | 0.00118 |
6.5 | 1.291105E-4 | 2.8841707E-4 | 2.8841707E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5321335E-4 | 0.0012354904 | 0.0013353669 | 1.0808395 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006714592 | 0.014939179 | 0.015392307 | 1.0303315 | 4.6E-4 | 0.065152965 | 0.13841933 | 0.139324 | 1.0065356 | 0.00105 |
6.6 | 1.291105E-4 | 2.8841707E-4 | 2.8841707E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5321335E-4 | 0.0012354904 | 0.0013353669 | 1.0808395 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006714592 | 0.014939179 | 0.015392307 | 1.0303315 | 4.6E-4 | 0.065152965 | 0.13841933 | 0.139324 | 1.0065356 | 0.00105 |
6.7 | 1.08001186E-4 | 2.4421612E-4 | 2.4421612E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6278012E-4 | 0.0010462212 | 0.0011461166 | 1.0954821 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0056198016 | 0.012663651 | 0.013117827 | 1.0358645 | 4.6E-4 | 0.054797906 | 0.11954924 | 0.1204561 | 1.0075856 | 0.00103 |
6.8 | 1.0624356E-4 | 2.3939021E-4 | 2.3939021E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5525006E-4 | 0.0010255551 | 0.0011254526 | 1.0974082 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0055285925 | 0.012414927 | 0.0128692165 | 1.0365921 | 4.6E-4 | 0.053930566 | 0.11750012 | 0.1184091 | 1.007736 | 0.00103 |
6.9 | 1.0393785E-4 | 2.3309048E-4 | 2.3309048E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4537184E-4 | 9.985772E-4 | 0.0010984774 | 1.1000425 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0054089287 | 0.012090157 | 0.012534716 | 1.0367703 | 4.5E-4 | 0.05279156 | 0.11479217 | 0.11569508 | 1.0078657 | 0.00102 |
7.0 | 1.0155622E-4 | 2.2678217E-4 | 2.2678217E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3516833E-4 | 9.71562E-4 | 0.0010714649 | 1.1028271 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005285311 | 0.011764839 | 0.012209545 | 1.0377996 | 4.5E-4 | 0.05161361 | 0.11204842 | 0.112954125 | 1.0080832 | 0.00102 |
7.1 | 9.885595E-5 | 2.1966166E-4 | 2.1966166E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2359953E-4 | 9.4106776E-4 | 0.0010409737 | 1.1061623 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0051451353 | 0.01139751 | 0.011842381 | 1.0390323 | 4.5E-4 | 0.05027629 | 0.10893346 | 0.10984235 | 1.0083435 | 0.00102 |
7.2 | 9.6411415E-5 | 2.1328723E-4 | 2.1328723E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1312634E-4 | 9.1376825E-4 | 0.0010136769 | 1.109337 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005018219 | 0.011068562 | 0.0115135815 | 1.0402057 | 4.5E-4 | 0.049064007 | 0.10612123 | 0.107032984 | 1.0085917 | 0.00102 |
7.3 | 9.1180635E-5 | 1.955459E-4 | 1.955459E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.907156E-4 | 8.377848E-4 | 9.37701E-4 | 1.1192623 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004746591 | 0.01015244 | 0.010587973 | 1.0428994 | 4.4E-4 | 0.046464786 | 0.09832391 | 0.09922559 | 1.0091704 | 0.001 |
7.4 | 8.887388E-5 | 1.880222E-4 | 1.880222E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8083247E-4 | 8.055606E-4 | 9.0548006E-4 | 1.1240371 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0046267817 | 0.009763694 | 0.010199398 | 1.0446249 | 4.4E-4 | 0.045316286 | 0.09495587 | 0.09586091 | 1.0095313 | 0.001 |
7.5 | 8.6750515E-5 | 1.8132909E-4 | 1.8132909E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7173493E-4 | 7.768933E-4 | 8.768156E-4 | 1.1286178 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004516484 | 0.009417741 | 0.009853597 | 1.0462804 | 4.4E-4 | 0.04425787 | 0.09191717 | 0.09282526 | 1.0098794 | 0.001 |
7.6 | 8.453092E-5 | 1.75195E-4 | 1.75195E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6222505E-4 | 7.5061974E-4 | 8.5054466E-4 | 1.1331233 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0044011753 | 0.009100577 | 0.009536573 | 1.0479085 | 4.4E-4 | 0.04315024 | 0.08907158 | 0.08998251 | 1.010227 | 0.001 |
7.7 | 8.259102E-5 | 1.7040732E-4 | 1.7040732E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.539135E-4 | 7.301128E-4 | 8.3003973E-4 | 1.1368651 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004300386 | 0.008852962 | 0.009289067 | 1.0492609 | 4.4E-4 | 0.042181134 | 0.08681877 | 0.08773195 | 1.0105182 | 0.001 |
7.8 | 7.444844E-5 | 1.5355951E-4 | 1.5355951E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1902574E-4 | 6.579462E-4 | 7.47887E-4 | 1.1366993 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0038772223 | 0.007981123 | 0.00835809 | 1.0472324 | 3.8E-4 | 0.03810269 | 0.07861876 | 0.07941114 | 1.0100789 | 8.6E-4 |
7.9 | 5.2586525E-5 | 1.0055757E-4 | 1.0055757E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2535135E-4 | 4.3088984E-4 | 5.008597E-4 | 1.1623845 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0027402006 | 0.005233476 | 0.005462272 | 1.0437179 | 2.3E-4 | 0.027066574 | 0.052431434 | 0.052867316 | 1.0083134 | 4.6E-4 |
8.0 | 3.379877E-5 | 5.43583E-5 | 5.43583E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4484383E-4 | 2.3294336E-4 | 2.6293637E-4 | 1.1287566 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0017620471 | 0.0028323987 | 0.0028922288 | 1.0211234 | 6.0E-5 | 0.017481409 | 0.028974585 | 0.029120238 | 1.0050269 | 1.5E-4 |
8.1 | 1.8668277E-5 | 1.9443254E-5 | 1.9443254E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.000444E-5 | 8.332557E-5 | 8.332557E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.736188E-4 | 0.0010140173 | 0.0010240072 | 1.0098518 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009693642 | 0.010869506 | 0.010889288 | 1.00182 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.541571E-6 | 5.5115256E-6 | 5.5115256E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.660622E-5 | 2.362061E-5 | 2.362061E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.455896E-4 | 2.8754305E-4 | 2.8754305E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044469717 | 0.0032686228 | 0.0032686228 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.745133E-7 | 7.745133E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.3193387E-6 | 3.3193387E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.0412215E-5 | 4.0412215E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.7688978E-4 | 4.7688978E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Mojave N)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.948921E-4 | 1.948921E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.3498465E-4 | 9.448928E-4 | 1.131629 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010118681 | 0.010663115 | 1.0538049 | 5.5E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.09870688 | 0.09987856 | 1.0118703 | 0.0013 |
6.1 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.948921E-4 | 1.948921E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.3498465E-4 | 9.448928E-4 | 1.131629 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010118681 | 0.010663115 | 1.0538049 | 5.5E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.09870688 | 0.09987856 | 1.0118703 | 0.0013 |
6.2 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.948921E-4 | 1.948921E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.3498465E-4 | 9.448928E-4 | 1.131629 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010118681 | 0.010663115 | 1.0538049 | 5.5E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.09870688 | 0.09987856 | 1.0118703 | 0.0013 |
6.3 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.948921E-4 | 1.948921E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.3498465E-4 | 9.448928E-4 | 1.131629 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010118681 | 0.010663115 | 1.0538049 | 5.5E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.09870688 | 0.09987856 | 1.0118703 | 0.0013 |
6.4 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.948921E-4 | 1.948921E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.3498465E-4 | 9.448928E-4 | 1.131629 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010118681 | 0.010663115 | 1.0538049 | 5.5E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.09870688 | 0.09987856 | 1.0118703 | 0.0013 |
6.5 | 9.861474E-5 | 1.9462948E-4 | 1.9462948E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2256617E-4 | 8.338599E-4 | 9.437682E-4 | 1.1318066 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0051326132 | 0.0101051135 | 0.010649556 | 1.0538778 | 5.5E-4 | 0.050156746 | 0.0985847 | 0.09975653 | 1.0118866 | 0.0013 |
6.6 | 9.861474E-5 | 1.9462948E-4 | 1.9462948E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2256617E-4 | 8.338599E-4 | 9.437682E-4 | 1.1318066 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0051326132 | 0.0101051135 | 0.010649556 | 1.0538778 | 5.5E-4 | 0.050156746 | 0.0985847 | 0.09975653 | 1.0118866 | 0.0013 |
6.7 | 9.8552715E-5 | 1.9452891E-4 | 1.9452891E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.223004E-4 | 8.3342916E-4 | 9.4333745E-4 | 1.1318748 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0051293927 | 0.010099919 | 0.010644363 | 1.0539058 | 5.5E-4 | 0.050125998 | 0.09853771 | 0.099709615 | 1.0118929 | 0.0013 |
6.8 | 9.8464974E-5 | 1.9438026E-4 | 1.9438026E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.219245E-4 | 8.327925E-4 | 9.427009E-4 | 1.1319758 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0051248376 | 0.010092239 | 0.010636688 | 1.0539473 | 5.5E-4 | 0.05008251 | 0.09846774 | 0.09963973 | 1.0119023 | 0.0013 |
6.9 | 9.825824E-5 | 1.9405986E-4 | 1.9405986E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2103877E-4 | 8.314202E-4 | 9.4132876E-4 | 1.1321937 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0051141046 | 0.0100756865 | 0.010620144 | 1.0540369 | 5.5E-4 | 0.049980022 | 0.09831693 | 0.09948912 | 1.0119226 | 0.0013 |
7.0 | 9.781462E-5 | 1.9337249E-4 | 1.9337249E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1913814E-4 | 8.284762E-4 | 9.383851E-4 | 1.1326638 | 1.1E-4 | 0.005091073 | 0.010040174 | 0.0105846515 | 1.05423 | 5.5E-4 | 0.04976007 | 0.097992994 | 0.0991656 | 1.0119662 | 0.0013 |
7.1 | 9.7121134E-5 | 1.9238824E-4 | 1.9238824E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1616702E-4 | 8.2426064E-4 | 9.3417E-4 | 1.133343 | 1.1E-4 | 0.005055068 | 0.009989321 | 0.010533827 | 1.0545088 | 5.5E-4 | 0.04941613 | 0.097529165 | 0.09870238 | 1.0120293 | 0.0013 |
7.2 | 9.663819E-5 | 1.9169506E-4 | 1.9169506E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1409794E-4 | 8.2129176E-4 | 9.3120144E-4 | 1.1338253 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0050299936 | 0.009953506 | 0.010498032 | 1.0547069 | 5.5E-4 | 0.049176537 | 0.09720227 | 0.09837591 | 1.0120742 | 0.0013 |
7.3 | 9.6277574E-5 | 1.9121895E-4 | 1.9121895E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.125529E-4 | 8.192526E-4 | 9.2916243E-4 | 1.1341587 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0050112694 | 0.009928905 | 0.010473444 | 1.0548438 | 5.5E-4 | 0.04899759 | 0.09697525 | 0.09814918 | 1.0121055 | 0.0013 |
7.4 | 9.593308E-5 | 1.906153E-4 | 1.906153E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1107697E-4 | 8.1666716E-4 | 9.265773E-4 | 1.1345838 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0049933824 | 0.0098977145 | 0.01044227 | 1.0550184 | 5.5E-4 | 0.04882661 | 0.09669332 | 0.097867616 | 1.0121446 | 0.0013 |
7.5 | 9.561707E-5 | 1.9007483E-4 | 1.9007483E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0972308E-4 | 8.143523E-4 | 9.2426274E-4 | 1.1349667 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0049769743 | 0.009869787 | 0.010414358 | 1.0551757 | 5.5E-4 | 0.048669744 | 0.09643904 | 0.09761367 | 1.01218 | 0.0013 |
7.6 | 9.418194E-5 | 1.865905E-4 | 1.865905E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0357444E-4 | 7.9942873E-4 | 9.093408E-4 | 1.1374882 | 1.1E-4 | 0.004902454 | 0.009689721 | 0.010234392 | 1.0562112 | 5.5E-4 | 0.047957025 | 0.09481797 | 0.09599471 | 1.0124105 | 0.0013 |
7.7 | 8.202141E-5 | 1.6100607E-4 | 1.6100607E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.51473E-4 | 6.898436E-4 | 7.9976773E-4 | 1.1593465 | 1.1E-4 | 0.00427079 | 0.00836656 | 0.008872293 | 1.060447 | 5.1E-4 | 0.04189639 | 0.08259304 | 0.08369392 | 1.013329 | 0.0012 |
7.8 | 7.2859846E-5 | 1.4587809E-4 | 1.4587809E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1221908E-4 | 6.25042E-4 | 7.1498577E-4 | 1.1439003 | 9.0E-5 | 0.003794643 | 0.007583376 | 0.007960495 | 1.0497296 | 3.8E-4 | 0.037304975 | 0.0750498 | 0.075845264 | 1.010599 | 8.6E-4 |
7.9 | 5.3874453E-5 | 1.0095529E-4 | 1.0095529E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3087008E-4 | 4.3259378E-4 | 5.025635E-4 | 1.1617446 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0028072202 | 0.0052541215 | 0.005482913 | 1.0435451 | 2.3E-4 | 0.02772022 | 0.05265856 | 0.053103812 | 1.0084554 | 4.7E-4 |
8.0 | 3.468538E-5 | 5.454723E-5 | 5.454723E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4864317E-4 | 2.337529E-4 | 2.637459E-4 | 1.1283107 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0018082283 | 0.002842229 | 0.0029020587 | 1.0210502 | 6.0E-5 | 0.017935853 | 0.029088818 | 0.029234454 | 1.0050067 | 1.5E-4 |
8.1 | 1.9152367E-5 | 1.9538082E-5 | 1.9538082E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.207899E-5 | 8.373195E-5 | 8.373195E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.988535E-4 | 0.0010189604 | 0.0010289502 | 1.0098039 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009943757 | 0.010927798 | 0.01094758 | 1.0018102 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.525733E-6 | 5.525733E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3681498E-5 | 2.3681498E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8828418E-4 | 2.8828418E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0032766163 | 0.0032766163 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.745133E-7 | 7.745133E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.3193387E-6 | 3.3193387E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.0412215E-5 | 4.0412215E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.7688978E-4 | 4.7688978E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Death Valley (So)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.5624546E-5 | 3.562429E-5 | 1.3902408 | 1.0E-5 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.0981496E-4 | 1.6980837E-4 | 1.5463136 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0010787029 | 0.001336194 | 0.0017556328 | 1.3139056 | 4.2E-4 | 0.010734817 | 0.013287807 | 0.014600134 | 1.0987618 | 0.00133 |
6.1 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.5624546E-5 | 3.562429E-5 | 1.3902408 | 1.0E-5 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.0981496E-4 | 1.6980837E-4 | 1.5463136 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0010787029 | 0.001336194 | 0.0017556328 | 1.3139056 | 4.2E-4 | 0.010734817 | 0.013287807 | 0.014600134 | 1.0987618 | 0.00133 |
6.2 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.5624546E-5 | 3.562429E-5 | 1.3902408 | 1.0E-5 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.0981496E-4 | 1.6980837E-4 | 1.5463136 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0010787029 | 0.001336194 | 0.0017556328 | 1.3139056 | 4.2E-4 | 0.010734817 | 0.013287807 | 0.014600134 | 1.0987618 | 0.00133 |
6.3 | 2.0240292E-5 | 2.5124547E-5 | 3.5124296E-5 | 1.3980072 | 1.0E-5 | 8.6741224E-5 | 1.0767228E-4 | 1.6766581E-4 | 1.5571865 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0010555626 | 0.0013101384 | 0.0017096144 | 1.3049113 | 4.0E-4 | 0.010505628 | 0.013030325 | 0.014303517 | 1.0977098 | 0.00129 |
6.4 | 2.0240292E-5 | 2.5124547E-5 | 3.5124296E-5 | 1.3980072 | 1.0E-5 | 8.6741224E-5 | 1.0767228E-4 | 1.6766581E-4 | 1.5571865 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0010555626 | 0.0013101384 | 0.0017096144 | 1.3049113 | 4.0E-4 | 0.010505628 | 0.013030325 | 0.014303517 | 1.0977098 | 0.00129 |
6.5 | 1.9962767E-5 | 2.4813751E-5 | 3.4813504E-5 | 1.4029924 | 1.0E-5 | 8.55519E-5 | 1.06340405E-4 | 1.5633508E-4 | 1.4701382 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0010410968 | 0.0012939422 | 0.0016834375 | 1.3010145 | 3.9E-4 | 0.010362327 | 0.0128702475 | 0.014123902 | 1.0974072 | 0.00127 |
6.6 | 1.8937297E-5 | 2.3317278E-5 | 3.3317046E-5 | 1.4288565 | 1.0E-5 | 8.115732E-5 | 9.992745E-5 | 1.4992245E-4 | 1.500313 | 5.0E-5 | 9.876423E-4 | 0.0012159522 | 0.0015855023 | 1.3039182 | 3.7E-4 | 0.009832645 | 0.012098888 | 0.013215216 | 1.092267 | 0.00113 |
6.7 | 1.8621096E-5 | 2.291785E-5 | 3.2917622E-5 | 1.4363312 | 1.0E-5 | 7.980225E-5 | 9.8215736E-5 | 1.4821083E-4 | 1.5090333 | 5.0E-5 | 9.711593E-4 | 0.0011951352 | 0.0015646929 | 1.3092184 | 3.7E-4 | 0.009669261 | 0.011892953 | 0.012979871 | 1.0913918 | 0.0011 |
6.8 | 1.7830353E-5 | 2.1811558E-5 | 3.1811338E-5 | 1.4584625 | 1.0E-5 | 7.641356E-5 | 9.347483E-5 | 1.4347016E-4 | 1.5348533 | 5.0E-5 | 9.29938E-4 | 0.001137476 | 0.0014770892 | 1.2985674 | 3.4E-4 | 0.009260561 | 0.011320806 | 0.012329259 | 1.0890796 | 0.00102 |
6.9 | 1.3135183E-5 | 1.5307181E-5 | 2.5307028E-5 | 1.6532781 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6292425E-5 | 6.5600594E-5 | 9.5598625E-5 | 1.4572829 | 3.0E-5 | 6.8514474E-4 | 7.98401E-4 | 0.0010482015 | 1.3128759 | 2.5E-4 | 0.006830362 | 0.007955757 | 0.008620426 | 1.0835458 | 6.7E-4 |
7.0 | 1.1507512E-5 | 1.3156692E-5 | 2.3156561E-5 | 1.7600595 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9316975E-5 | 5.6384637E-5 | 7.638351E-5 | 1.3546865 | 2.0E-5 | 6.002687E-4 | 6.862725E-4 | 8.4616273E-4 | 1.2329836 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0059864987 | 0.006841647 | 0.0073084314 | 1.0682269 | 4.7E-4 |
7.1 | 9.715903E-6 | 1.0867051E-5 | 2.0866943E-5 | 1.9202029 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1638916E-5 | 4.6572266E-5 | 6.657134E-5 | 1.4294201 | 2.0E-5 | 5.068359E-4 | 5.668741E-4 | 6.5682305E-4 | 1.1586754 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0050568148 | 0.005654687 | 0.0058634994 | 1.0369273 | 2.1E-4 |
7.2 | 9.233269E-6 | 1.028794E-5 | 2.0287836E-5 | 1.9720019 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9570554E-5 | 4.409045E-5 | 6.408957E-5 | 1.453593 | 2.0E-5 | 4.81665E-4 | 5.3667324E-4 | 6.066357E-4 | 1.1303632 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0048062233 | 0.0053542037 | 0.0055133468 | 1.029723 | 1.6E-4 |
7.3 | 8.8041315E-6 | 9.809655E-6 | 1.9809557E-5 | 2.019394 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7731446E-5 | 4.2040723E-5 | 6.2039886E-5 | 1.4757092 | 2.0E-5 | 4.592835E-4 | 5.117298E-4 | 5.716991E-4 | 1.1171894 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0045833546 | 0.0051059416 | 0.0052352776 | 1.0253305 | 1.3E-4 |
7.4 | 8.708749E-6 | 9.708658E-6 | 1.9708561E-5 | 2.0299985 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7322676E-5 | 4.1607895E-5 | 6.160706E-5 | 1.480658 | 2.0E-5 | 4.5430884E-4 | 5.064626E-4 | 5.664322E-4 | 1.1184088 | 6.0E-5 | 0.004533812 | 0.0050535095 | 0.0051828525 | 1.0255947 | 1.3E-4 |
7.5 | 8.612678E-6 | 9.606291E-6 | 1.9606196E-5 | 2.0409744 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6910955E-5 | 4.1169194E-5 | 6.116837E-5 | 1.4857801 | 2.0E-5 | 4.492982E-4 | 5.0112384E-4 | 5.610938E-4 | 1.1196709 | 6.0E-5 | 0.004483909 | 0.005000364 | 0.005129714 | 1.025868 | 1.3E-4 |
7.6 | 8.319024E-6 | 9.28535E-6 | 1.9285257E-5 | 2.0769553 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5652476E-5 | 3.9793773E-5 | 5.979298E-5 | 1.5025712 | 2.0E-5 | 4.3398244E-4 | 4.843857E-4 | 5.4435665E-4 | 1.1238083 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0043313587 | 0.004833723 | 0.0049332394 | 1.020588 | 1.0E-4 |
7.7 | 7.4718328E-6 | 8.346468E-6 | 1.8346385E-5 | 2.1981015 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2021748E-5 | 3.577011E-5 | 4.5769753E-5 | 1.279553 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8979502E-4 | 4.3541813E-4 | 4.6540506E-4 | 1.0688692 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00389112 | 0.0043460554 | 0.004415751 | 1.0160365 | 7.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.648528E-7 | 3.648528E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.563654E-6 | 1.563654E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.9037325E-5 | 1.9037325E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.9035739E-4 | 1.9035739E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6698248E-9 | 2.6698248E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1442106E-8 | 1.1442106E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3930764E-7 | 1.3930764E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3930764E-6 | 1.3930764E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Nelson Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.913453E-6 | 1.0192636E-5 | 1.0192636E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2485535E-5 | 4.3682052E-5 | 6.368118E-5 | 1.4578339 | 2.0E-5 | 5.1713863E-4 | 5.317096E-4 | 8.3155005E-4 | 1.5639178 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0051593683 | 0.0053054015 | 0.006310043 | 1.189362 | 0.00101 |
6.1 | 9.913453E-6 | 1.0192636E-5 | 1.0192636E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2485535E-5 | 4.3682052E-5 | 6.368118E-5 | 1.4578339 | 2.0E-5 | 5.1713863E-4 | 5.317096E-4 | 8.3155005E-4 | 1.5639178 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0051593683 | 0.0053054015 | 0.006310043 | 1.189362 | 0.00101 |
6.2 | 4.5596407E-6 | 4.6965E-6 | 4.6965E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.954117E-5 | 2.0127709E-5 | 4.0127306E-5 | 1.993635 | 2.0E-5 | 2.3788778E-4 | 2.4502858E-4 | 4.1498692E-4 | 1.6936266 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0023763329 | 0.0024477101 | 0.0028766578 | 1.1752443 | 4.3E-4 |
6.3 | 4.5596407E-6 | 4.6965E-6 | 4.6965E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.954117E-5 | 2.0127709E-5 | 4.0127306E-5 | 1.993635 | 2.0E-5 | 2.3788778E-4 | 2.4502858E-4 | 4.1498692E-4 | 1.6936266 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0023763329 | 0.0024477101 | 0.0028766578 | 1.1752443 | 4.3E-4 |
6.4 | 3.4025713E-6 | 3.5100445E-6 | 3.5100445E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4582367E-5 | 1.5042965E-5 | 3.5042664E-5 | 2.3295052 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7752586E-4 | 1.8313355E-4 | 3.1310975E-4 | 1.7097344 | 1.3E-4 | 0.001773841 | 0.0018299093 | 0.0021293603 | 1.1636425 | 3.0E-4 |
6.5 | 2.8352947E-6 | 2.9279831E-6 | 2.9279831E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2151207E-5 | 1.2548443E-5 | 3.2548192E-5 | 2.5938032 | 2.0E-5 | 1.479309E-4 | 1.5276733E-4 | 2.5275207E-4 | 1.6544902 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0014783246 | 0.0015266971 | 0.0017563459 | 1.150422 | 2.3E-4 |
6.6 | 2.251518E-6 | 2.329174E-6 | 2.329174E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.649328E-6 | 9.982141E-6 | 1.998204E-5 | 2.001779 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1747423E-4 | 1.2152641E-4 | 1.7152034E-4 | 1.4113832 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0011741214 | 0.0012146613 | 0.0013644791 | 1.1233412 | 1.5E-4 |
6.7 | 1.8911853E-6 | 1.9592333E-6 | 1.9592333E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.105055E-6 | 8.39669E-6 | 8.39669E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.867457E-5 | 1.02225495E-4 | 1.422214E-4 | 1.3912518 | 4.0E-5 | 9.863076E-4 | 0.0010218422 | 0.0011417196 | 1.1173149 | 1.2E-4 |
6.8 | 1.4874814E-6 | 1.5439082E-6 | 1.5439082E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.374905E-6 | 6.6167354E-6 | 6.6167354E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.76117E-5 | 8.0556296E-5 | 1.1055388E-4 | 1.3723804 | 3.0E-5 | 7.75846E-4 | 8.053221E-4 | 9.152335E-4 | 1.1364813 | 1.1E-4 |
6.9 | 6.835972E-7 | 7.140349E-7 | 7.140349E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9296991E-6 | 3.060148E-6 | 3.060148E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.56685E-5 | 3.725698E-5 | 4.725661E-5 | 1.268396 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5662777E-4 | 3.7253863E-4 | 4.2252E-4 | 1.1341642 | 5.0E-5 |
Lenwood-Lockhart-Old Woman Springs
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.396766E-5 | 4.396766E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8842019E-4 | 1.984183E-4 | 1.0530629 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019519776 | 0.0022917744 | 0.0026309951 | 1.1480167 | 3.4E-4 | 0.019349206 | 0.022699414 | 0.023706034 | 1.0443456 | 0.00103 |
6.1 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.396766E-5 | 4.396766E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8842019E-4 | 1.984183E-4 | 1.0530629 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019519776 | 0.0022917744 | 0.0026309951 | 1.1480167 | 3.4E-4 | 0.019349206 | 0.022699414 | 0.023706034 | 1.0443456 | 0.00103 |
6.2 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.396766E-5 | 4.396766E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8842019E-4 | 1.984183E-4 | 1.0530629 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019519776 | 0.0022917744 | 0.0026309951 | 1.1480167 | 3.4E-4 | 0.019349206 | 0.022699414 | 0.023706034 | 1.0443456 | 0.00103 |
6.3 | 2.1079984E-5 | 2.5355728E-5 | 2.5355728E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0339665E-5 | 1.0866299E-4 | 1.0866299E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010993304 | 0.001322189 | 0.00141207 | 1.067979 | 9.0E-5 | 0.010939079 | 0.013145439 | 0.013559918 | 1.0315303 | 4.2E-4 |
6.4 | 2.1079984E-5 | 2.5355728E-5 | 2.5355728E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0339665E-5 | 1.0866299E-4 | 1.0866299E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010993304 | 0.001322189 | 0.00141207 | 1.067979 | 9.0E-5 | 0.010939079 | 0.013145439 | 0.013559918 | 1.0315303 | 4.2E-4 |
6.5 | 1.7397282E-5 | 2.0664356E-5 | 2.0664356E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.455765E-5 | 8.855859E-5 | 8.855859E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.073613E-4 | 0.0010776792 | 0.0011476038 | 1.0648844 | 7.0E-5 | 0.009036654 | 0.010725826 | 0.011012715 | 1.0267476 | 2.9E-4 |
6.6 | 1.52050325E-5 | 1.768105E-5 | 1.768105E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.51628E-5 | 7.577377E-5 | 7.577377E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9306826E-4 | 9.221631E-4 | 9.821078E-4 | 1.0650045 | 6.0E-5 | 0.007902439 | 0.009184227 | 0.009461656 | 1.030207 | 2.8E-4 |
6.7 | 1.332523E-5 | 1.5265248E-5 | 1.5265248E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7106878E-5 | 6.5420885E-5 | 6.5420885E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.950544E-4 | 7.9621404E-4 | 8.3618215E-4 | 1.0501977 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006928845 | 0.007934243 | 0.008162418 | 1.0287583 | 2.3E-4 |
6.8 | 1.1525329E-5 | 1.3032137E-5 | 1.3032137E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9393333E-5 | 5.5850844E-5 | 5.5850844E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.011979E-4 | 6.797761E-4 | 7.097557E-4 | 1.0441022 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00599574 | 0.0067774192 | 0.006956199 | 1.0263788 | 1.8E-4 |
6.9 | 1.0253909E-5 | 1.1515421E-5 | 1.1515421E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3944583E-5 | 4.9350892E-5 | 4.9350892E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3489394E-4 | 6.006851E-4 | 6.30667E-4 | 1.0499129 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0053360825 | 0.0059909937 | 0.006140095 | 1.0248876 | 1.5E-4 |
7.0 | 8.104563E-6 | 8.99187E-6 | 8.99187E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4733377E-5 | 3.8536033E-5 | 3.8536033E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2279682E-4 | 4.690776E-4 | 4.890682E-4 | 1.0426168 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0042199334 | 0.004681123 | 0.004780655 | 1.0212624 | 1.0E-4 |
7.1 | 6.7986157E-6 | 7.516334E-6 | 7.516334E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.91366E-5 | 3.2212472E-5 | 3.2212472E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5468035E-4 | 3.921184E-4 | 3.921184E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003541148 | 0.003914482 | 0.0039842078 | 1.0178124 | 7.0E-5 |
7.2 | 5.6893327E-6 | 6.2804115E-6 | 6.2804115E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4382627E-5 | 2.6915783E-5 | 2.6915783E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9681803E-4 | 3.2765238E-4 | 3.2765238E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002964219 | 0.0032718915 | 0.0033416625 | 1.0213244 | 7.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.253348E-6 | 4.707292E-6 | 4.707292E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8228506E-5 | 2.0173962E-5 | 2.0173962E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2190946E-4 | 2.4559215E-4 | 2.4559215E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00221688 | 0.0024533884 | 0.0025232167 | 1.0284619 | 7.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.5448119E-6 | 2.8521881E-6 | 2.8521881E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0906291E-5 | 1.2223615E-5 | 1.2223615E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3277601E-4 | 1.4881401E-4 | 1.4881401E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001326967 | 0.0014873057 | 0.0015372314 | 1.0335678 | 5.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.3706837E-8 | 4.5631754E-8 | 4.5631754E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8731501E-7 | 1.9556464E-7 | 1.9556464E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2805577E-6 | 2.3809976E-6 | 2.3809976E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2805343E-5 | 2.3809775E-5 | 3.3809538E-5 | 1.4199855 | 1.0E-5 |
Towne Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.894625E-6 | 1.3894586E-5 | 3.5676315 | 1.0E-5 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.6691167E-5 | 5.66905E-5 | 3.3964372 | 4.0E-5 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0320038E-4 | 5.931211E-4 | 2.9188979 | 3.9E-4 | 0.0020067208 | 0.002030575 | 0.003038524 | 1.496386 | 0.00101 |
6.1 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.894625E-6 | 1.3894586E-5 | 3.5676315 | 1.0E-5 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.6691167E-5 | 5.66905E-5 | 3.3964372 | 4.0E-5 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0320038E-4 | 5.931211E-4 | 2.9188979 | 3.9E-4 | 0.0020067208 | 0.002030575 | 0.003038524 | 1.496386 | 0.00101 |
6.2 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.894625E-6 | 1.3894586E-5 | 3.5676315 | 1.0E-5 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.6691167E-5 | 5.66905E-5 | 3.3964372 | 4.0E-5 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0320038E-4 | 5.931211E-4 | 2.9188979 | 3.9E-4 | 0.0020067208 | 0.002030575 | 0.003038524 | 1.496386 | 0.00101 |
6.3 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.894625E-6 | 1.3894586E-5 | 3.5676315 | 1.0E-5 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.6691167E-5 | 5.66905E-5 | 3.3964372 | 4.0E-5 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0320038E-4 | 5.931211E-4 | 2.9188979 | 3.9E-4 | 0.0020067208 | 0.002030575 | 0.003038524 | 1.496386 | 0.00101 |
6.4 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.894625E-6 | 1.3894586E-5 | 3.5676315 | 1.0E-5 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.6691167E-5 | 5.66905E-5 | 3.3964372 | 4.0E-5 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0320038E-4 | 5.931211E-4 | 2.9188979 | 3.9E-4 | 0.0020067208 | 0.002030575 | 0.003038524 | 1.496386 | 0.00101 |
6.5 | 1.1953545E-6 | 1.2030855E-6 | 1.2030855E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1229376E-6 | 5.1560714E-6 | 5.1560714E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.236998E-5 | 6.277348E-5 | 1.227697E-4 | 1.9557576 | 6.0E-5 | 6.235248E-4 | 6.275692E-4 | 7.6748134E-4 | 1.222943 | 1.4E-4 |
6.6 | 1.1953545E-6 | 1.2030855E-6 | 1.2030855E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1229376E-6 | 5.1560714E-6 | 5.1560714E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.236998E-5 | 6.277348E-5 | 1.227697E-4 | 1.9557576 | 6.0E-5 | 6.235248E-4 | 6.275692E-4 | 7.6748134E-4 | 1.222943 | 1.4E-4 |
6.7 | 8.375951E-7 | 8.410949E-7 | 8.410949E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5896885E-6 | 3.6046877E-6 | 3.6046877E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.370358E-5 | 4.3886248E-5 | 8.388449E-5 | 1.9114072 | 4.0E-5 | 4.3694986E-4 | 4.387815E-4 | 5.2874204E-4 | 1.2050235 | 9.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.38041E-7 | 6.392404E-7 | 6.392404E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7344586E-6 | 2.739599E-6 | 2.739599E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3291526E-5 | 3.3354147E-5 | 6.3353145E-5 | 1.8994083 | 3.0E-5 | 3.3286537E-4 | 3.334952E-4 | 3.734819E-4 | 1.1199018 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.3460053E-7 | 5.345564E-7 | 5.345564E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2911431E-6 | 2.2909542E-6 | 2.2909542E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.789431E-5 | 2.7892043E-5 | 4.7891484E-5 | 1.7170304 | 2.0E-5 | 2.789081E-4 | 2.7888874E-4 | 2.9888318E-4 | 1.0716932 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.557783E-7 | 3.5326204E-7 | 3.5326204E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5247632E-6 | 1.5139793E-6 | 1.5139793E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8563835E-5 | 1.843255E-5 | 1.843255E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8562283E-4 | 1.8431105E-4 | 1.8431105E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 3.037942E-7 | 3.0004026E-7 | 3.0004026E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3019744E-6 | 1.2858862E-6 | 1.2858862E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5851423E-5 | 1.565556E-5 | 1.565556E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5850292E-4 | 1.5654533E-4 | 1.5654533E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.0808248E-7 | 2.0219188E-7 | 2.0219188E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.917818E-7 | 8.665364E-7 | 8.665364E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0857389E-5 | 1.0550035E-5 | 1.0550035E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0856859E-4 | 1.054958E-4 | 1.054958E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.1162073E-7 | 1.06378224E-7 | 1.06378224E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7837443E-7 | 4.5590662E-7 | 4.5590662E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8241935E-6 | 5.550651E-6 | 5.550651E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8240406E-5 | 5.5505323E-5 | 5.5505323E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Bicycle Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9621975E-5 | 2.2100778E-5 | 2.2100778E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.4091465E-5 | 9.471494E-5 | 1.247121E-4 | 1.3167099 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010233327 | 0.0011526794 | 0.0014323567 | 1.2426323 | 2.8E-4 | 0.01018633 | 0.011480321 | 0.012261252 | 1.0680234 | 7.9E-4 |
6.1 | 1.9621975E-5 | 2.2100778E-5 | 2.2100778E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.4091465E-5 | 9.471494E-5 | 1.247121E-4 | 1.3167099 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010233327 | 0.0011526794 | 0.0014323567 | 1.2426323 | 2.8E-4 | 0.01018633 | 0.011480321 | 0.012261252 | 1.0680234 | 7.9E-4 |
6.2 | 9.9971285E-6 | 1.125752E-5 | 1.125752E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2844134E-5 | 4.8245915E-5 | 6.8244946E-5 | 1.4145229 | 2.0E-5 | 5.2150246E-4 | 5.872877E-4 | 7.272055E-4 | 1.238244 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0052028033 | 0.0058624637 | 0.0063098255 | 1.0763096 | 4.5E-4 |
6.3 | 9.589428E-6 | 1.0800152E-5 | 1.0800152E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.10969E-5 | 4.6285837E-5 | 6.628491E-5 | 1.4320776 | 2.0E-5 | 5.002399E-4 | 5.6343625E-4 | 7.033574E-4 | 1.2483354 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0049911533 | 0.005625169 | 0.006042806 | 1.0742444 | 4.2E-4 |
6.4 | 9.589428E-6 | 1.0800152E-5 | 1.0800152E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.10969E-5 | 4.6285837E-5 | 6.628491E-5 | 1.4320776 | 2.0E-5 | 5.002399E-4 | 5.6343625E-4 | 7.033574E-4 | 1.2483354 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0049911533 | 0.005625169 | 0.006042806 | 1.0742444 | 4.2E-4 |
6.5 | 5.557707E-6 | 6.2866934E-6 | 6.2866934E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3818526E-5 | 2.6942846E-5 | 2.6942846E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8995197E-4 | 3.2800666E-4 | 3.979837E-4 | 1.2133403 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0028957394 | 0.0032778624 | 0.0035170757 | 1.0729785 | 2.4E-4 |
6.6 | 4.8742945E-6 | 5.5142486E-6 | 5.5142486E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0889667E-5 | 2.3632427E-5 | 2.3632427E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.54302E-4 | 2.8771302E-4 | 3.4769575E-4 | 1.2084812 | 6.0E-5 | 0.002540112 | 0.002875975 | 0.003045486 | 1.0589404 | 1.7E-4 |
6.7 | 3.991108E-6 | 4.516698E-6 | 4.516698E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7104636E-5 | 1.9357278E-5 | 1.9357278E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0822904E-4 | 2.3567484E-4 | 2.8566306E-4 | 1.2121067 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0020803404 | 0.0023567486 | 0.002486442 | 1.0550307 | 1.3E-4 |
San Andreas (San Bernardino N)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.4273766E-4 | 3.1681266E-4 | 3.1681266E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.115894E-4 | 0.001357068 | 0.0014169866 | 1.044153 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0074207084 | 0.016398637 | 0.016683882 | 1.0173944 | 2.9E-4 | 0.07177748 | 0.15055393 | 0.15114853 | 1.0039495 | 7.0E-4 |
6.1 | 1.4273766E-4 | 3.1681266E-4 | 3.1681266E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.115894E-4 | 0.001357068 | 0.0014169866 | 1.044153 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0074207084 | 0.016398637 | 0.016683882 | 1.0173944 | 2.9E-4 | 0.07177748 | 0.15055393 | 0.15114853 | 1.0039495 | 7.0E-4 |
6.2 | 1.4273766E-4 | 3.1681266E-4 | 3.1681266E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.115894E-4 | 0.001357068 | 0.0014169866 | 1.044153 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0074207084 | 0.016398637 | 0.016683882 | 1.0173944 | 2.9E-4 | 0.07177748 | 0.15055393 | 0.15114853 | 1.0039495 | 7.0E-4 |
6.3 | 1.3730655E-4 | 3.0585725E-4 | 3.0585725E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.883239E-4 | 0.0013101639 | 0.0013700853 | 1.0457358 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0071393442 | 0.015835984 | 0.016121391 | 1.0180228 | 2.9E-4 | 0.06914291 | 0.14585465 | 0.14643547 | 1.0039822 | 6.8E-4 |
6.4 | 1.3730655E-4 | 3.0585725E-4 | 3.0585725E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.883239E-4 | 0.0013101639 | 0.0013700853 | 1.0457358 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0071393442 | 0.015835984 | 0.016121391 | 1.0180228 | 2.9E-4 | 0.06914291 | 0.14585465 | 0.14643547 | 1.0039822 | 6.8E-4 |
6.5 | 1.2942807E-4 | 2.899964E-4 | 2.899964E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.545738E-4 | 0.0012422549 | 0.0013021803 | 1.0482392 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0067310524 | 0.015020818 | 0.0153064625 | 1.0190165 | 2.9E-4 | 0.06530788 | 0.13897963 | 0.13956513 | 1.0042129 | 6.8E-4 |
6.6 | 1.1125901E-4 | 2.543705E-4 | 2.543705E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.767372E-4 | 0.0010897062 | 0.0011496409 | 1.0550007 | 6.0E-5 | 0.005788839 | 0.013187102 | 0.01346341 | 1.0209528 | 2.8E-4 | 0.056403454 | 0.123296574 | 0.12388396 | 1.0047641 | 6.7E-4 |
6.7 | 1.02209575E-4 | 2.3571524E-4 | 2.3571524E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3796748E-4 | 0.0010098185 | 0.0010697579 | 1.0593566 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0053192247 | 0.012225658 | 0.012492357 | 1.0218147 | 2.7E-4 | 0.051936906 | 0.11508511 | 0.11565146 | 1.0049211 | 6.4E-4 |
6.8 | 9.610582E-5 | 2.2096344E-4 | 2.2096344E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1181705E-4 | 9.466432E-4 | 0.0010065864 | 1.0633218 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0050023515 | 0.011464741 | 0.011731646 | 1.0232805 | 2.7E-4 | 0.048912346 | 0.108501606 | 0.10906325 | 1.0051764 | 6.3E-4 |
6.9 | 9.3877505E-5 | 2.1551584E-4 | 2.1551584E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0227012E-4 | 9.23313E-4 | 9.832577E-4 | 1.0649234 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0048866454 | 0.011183642 | 0.011440734 | 1.0229882 | 2.6E-4 | 0.04780577 | 0.10608942 | 0.10664365 | 1.0052241 | 6.2E-4 |
7.0 | 9.1019785E-5 | 2.0878055E-4 | 2.0878055E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.900265E-4 | 8.944676E-4 | 9.544139E-4 | 1.067019 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0047382377 | 0.010835991 | 0.011093174 | 1.0237341 | 2.6E-4 | 0.046384744 | 0.10305159 | 0.1036077 | 1.0053964 | 6.2E-4 |
7.1 | 8.771155E-5 | 2.0052044E-4 | 2.0052044E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.758525E-4 | 8.590909E-4 | 9.190393E-4 | 1.0697813 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0045664064 | 0.010409469 | 0.010666762 | 1.0247172 | 2.6E-4 | 0.044737056 | 0.099368185 | 0.099926576 | 1.0056194 | 6.2E-4 |
7.2 | 8.0830236E-5 | 1.8456501E-4 | 1.8456501E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4636928E-4 | 7.907533E-4 | 8.5070584E-4 | 1.075817 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0042088944 | 0.00958503 | 0.009842538 | 1.0268656 | 2.6E-4 | 0.041300658 | 0.09208895 | 0.09265186 | 1.0061126 | 6.2E-4 |
7.3 | 7.7668235E-5 | 1.7398769E-4 | 1.7398769E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.328214E-4 | 7.454485E-4 | 8.054038E-4 | 1.0804285 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0040445733 | 0.0090381475 | 0.009295798 | 1.028507 | 2.6E-4 | 0.03971748 | 0.087362826 | 0.08792866 | 1.0064769 | 6.2E-4 |
7.4 | 7.520177E-5 | 1.6617944E-4 | 1.6617944E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2225347E-4 | 7.1200327E-4 | 7.7196053E-4 | 1.0842093 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0039163795 | 0.0086342525 | 0.008892007 | 1.0298526 | 2.6E-4 | 0.038480744 | 0.08381544 | 0.08438347 | 1.0067772 | 6.2E-4 |
7.5 | 7.274697E-5 | 1.5904733E-4 | 1.5904733E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1173544E-4 | 6.814534E-4 | 7.414125E-4 | 1.0879871 | 6.0E-5 | 0.003788775 | 0.008265191 | 0.008523041 | 1.0311972 | 2.6E-4 | 0.03724827 | 0.080529675 | 0.08109974 | 1.007079 | 6.2E-4 |
7.6 | 7.1185845E-5 | 1.5474037E-4 | 1.5474037E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0504653E-4 | 6.630045E-4 | 7.2296476E-4 | 1.0904372 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0037076178 | 0.008042257 | 0.008300166 | 1.0320692 | 2.6E-4 | 0.036463667 | 0.07851714 | 0.07908846 | 1.0072764 | 6.2E-4 |
7.7 | 6.709961E-5 | 1.4381323E-4 | 1.4381323E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8753807E-4 | 6.1619683E-4 | 6.7615986E-4 | 1.0973115 | 6.0E-5 | 0.003495157 | 0.0074764295 | 0.0077344854 | 1.034516 | 2.6E-4 | 0.034406938 | 0.07333991 | 0.07391444 | 1.0078338 | 6.2E-4 |
7.8 | 6.300812E-5 | 1.3262154E-4 | 1.3262154E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7000686E-4 | 5.6825427E-4 | 6.282202E-4 | 1.1055266 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0032823787 | 0.0068965782 | 0.007154785 | 1.0374398 | 2.6E-4 | 0.032343175 | 0.06798564 | 0.06854484 | 1.0082254 | 6.0E-4 |
7.9 | 4.983037E-5 | 9.7704826E-5 | 9.7704826E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1354125E-4 | 4.186678E-4 | 4.7864267E-4 | 1.1432517 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0025967648 | 0.0050853775 | 0.005304259 | 1.0430413 | 2.2E-4 | 0.025666296 | 0.050868895 | 0.051296003 | 1.0083963 | 4.5E-4 |
8.0 | 3.2211527E-5 | 5.3578744E-5 | 5.3578744E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.380421E-4 | 2.29603E-4 | 2.595961E-4 | 1.1306304 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0016793669 | 0.0027918348 | 0.0028516673 | 1.0214312 | 6.0E-5 | 0.016667323 | 0.028495586 | 0.028641311 | 1.005114 | 1.5E-4 |
8.1 | 1.743376E-5 | 1.8950941E-5 | 1.8950941E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.471398E-5 | 8.1215796E-5 | 8.1215796E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0926304E-4 | 9.883544E-4 | 9.983445E-4 | 1.0101079 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009055517 | 0.010550465 | 0.010570254 | 1.0018756 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 7.831616E-6 | 5.201391E-6 | 5.201391E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3563636E-5 | 2.2291486E-5 | 2.2291486E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0856065E-4 | 2.7136513E-4 | 2.7136513E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004078103 | 0.0030670767 | 0.0030670767 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.745133E-7 | 7.745133E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.3193387E-6 | 3.3193387E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.0412215E-5 | 4.0412215E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.7688978E-4 | 4.7688978E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Paradise
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.4851273E-5 | 1.6696418E-5 | 2.669625E-5 | 1.5989208 | 1.0E-5 | 6.364676E-5 | 7.155425E-5 | 8.155353E-5 | 1.1397442 | 1.0E-5 | 7.7462377E-4 | 8.7084837E-4 | 0.0011406132 | 1.3097725 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0077192914 | 0.0086767385 | 0.009331011 | 1.0754055 | 6.6E-4 |
6.1 | 1.4851273E-5 | 1.6696418E-5 | 2.669625E-5 | 1.5989208 | 1.0E-5 | 6.364676E-5 | 7.155425E-5 | 8.155353E-5 | 1.1397442 | 1.0E-5 | 7.7462377E-4 | 8.7084837E-4 | 0.0011406132 | 1.3097725 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0077192914 | 0.0086767385 | 0.009331011 | 1.0754055 | 6.6E-4 |
6.2 | 1.4851273E-5 | 1.6696418E-5 | 2.669625E-5 | 1.5989208 | 1.0E-5 | 6.364676E-5 | 7.155425E-5 | 8.155353E-5 | 1.1397442 | 1.0E-5 | 7.7462377E-4 | 8.7084837E-4 | 0.0011406132 | 1.3097725 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0077192914 | 0.0086767385 | 0.009331011 | 1.0754055 | 6.6E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0426831E-5 | 1.1889796E-5 | 1.1889796E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4685654E-5 | 5.0955307E-5 | 5.0955307E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.43912E-4 | 6.202102E-4 | 7.001606E-4 | 1.1289085 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0054258266 | 0.0061854017 | 0.006493484 | 1.049808 | 3.1E-4 |
6.4 | 1.0426831E-5 | 1.1889796E-5 | 1.1889796E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4685654E-5 | 5.0955307E-5 | 5.0955307E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.43912E-4 | 6.202102E-4 | 7.001606E-4 | 1.1289085 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0054258266 | 0.0061854017 | 0.006493484 | 1.049808 | 3.1E-4 |
6.5 | 9.25027E-6 | 1.0621004E-5 | 1.0621004E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.964341E-5 | 4.551782E-5 | 4.551782E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8255164E-4 | 5.5404345E-4 | 6.140102E-4 | 1.1082348 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0048150513 | 0.005527121 | 0.0057359603 | 1.0377845 | 2.1E-4 |
6.6 | 7.904275E-6 | 9.160403E-6 | 9.160403E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3875025E-5 | 3.9258306E-5 | 3.9258306E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1235037E-4 | 4.7786898E-4 | 5.1784987E-4 | 1.083665 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0041158604 | 0.0047688107 | 0.0048782863 | 1.0229565 | 1.1E-4 |
6.7 | 7.2061953E-6 | 8.408049E-6 | 8.408049E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.088333E-5 | 3.603402E-5 | 3.603402E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7593965E-4 | 4.3862956E-4 | 4.7861203E-4 | 1.0911531 | 4.0E-5 | 0.003753043 | 0.0043780073 | 0.004447701 | 1.015919 | 7.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.6948724E-6 | 7.842911E-6 | 7.842911E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8691995E-5 | 3.361206E-5 | 3.361206E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4926904E-4 | 4.0915358E-4 | 4.291454E-4 | 1.0488614 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003487206 | 0.0040843603 | 0.004124197 | 1.0097535 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.0421025E-6 | 7.1312957E-6 | 7.1312957E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5894467E-5 | 3.0562354E-5 | 3.0562354E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1521954E-4 | 3.7203656E-4 | 3.7203656E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031477278 | 0.0037144755 | 0.0037144755 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 4.134091E-6 | 5.0808067E-6 | 5.0808067E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7717413E-5 | 2.1774713E-5 | 2.1774713E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1568815E-4 | 2.650764E-4 | 2.650764E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021547892 | 0.0026477554 | 0.0026477554 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 3.7674888E-6 | 4.6323194E-6 | 4.6323194E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6146281E-5 | 1.9852656E-5 | 1.9852656E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9656324E-4 | 2.4168078E-4 | 2.4168078E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019638946 | 0.0024143301 | 0.0024143301 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.4065345E-6 | 4.1571257E-6 | 4.1571257E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4599351E-5 | 1.781614E-5 | 1.781614E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.777326E-4 | 2.1689142E-4 | 2.1689142E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017759053 | 0.0021669455 | 0.0021669455 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.9934936E-6 | 3.629653E-6 | 3.629653E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2829195E-5 | 1.5555572E-5 | 1.5555572E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5618425E-4 | 1.893741E-4 | 1.893741E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015607453 | 0.0018922726 | 0.0018922726 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.4049796E-6 | 2.889224E-6 | 2.889224E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0307015E-5 | 1.2382338E-5 | 1.2382338E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2548068E-4 | 1.5074598E-4 | 1.5074598E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012540985 | 0.0015065786 | 0.0015065786 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.2710091E-6 | 1.5135874E-6 | 1.5135874E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.44717E-6 | 6.486794E-6 | 6.486794E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.631728E-5 | 7.897511E-5 | 7.897511E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6297496E-4 | 7.8959303E-4 | 7.8959303E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.604087E-7 | 2.604087E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.1160371E-6 | 1.1160371E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.3587695E-5 | 1.3587695E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1539775E-4 | 1.3587147E-4 | 1.3587147E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Garlic Springs
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6760017E-5 | 1.8779832E-5 | 2.8779645E-5 | 1.5324762 | 1.0E-5 | 7.182667E-5 | 8.048317E-5 | 1.00481564E-4 | 1.2484791 | 2.0E-5 | 8.7413884E-4 | 9.795596E-4 | 0.0011394029 | 1.1631787 | 1.6E-4 | 0.008707083 | 0.009763967 | 0.010328402 | 1.0578079 | 5.7E-4 |
6.1 | 9.852767E-6 | 1.0975244E-5 | 1.0975244E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.222546E-5 | 4.703631E-5 | 5.703584E-5 | 1.2125918 | 1.0E-5 | 5.139737E-4 | 5.725876E-4 | 6.62536E-4 | 1.1570911 | 9.0E-5 | 0.005127866 | 0.005718083 | 0.0060263104 | 1.0539039 | 3.1E-4 |
6.2 | 9.852767E-6 | 1.0975244E-5 | 1.0975244E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.222546E-5 | 4.703631E-5 | 5.703584E-5 | 1.2125918 | 1.0E-5 | 5.139737E-4 | 5.725876E-4 | 6.62536E-4 | 1.1570911 | 9.0E-5 | 0.005127866 | 0.005718083 | 0.0060263104 | 1.0539039 | 3.1E-4 |
6.3 | 4.3167724E-6 | 4.7787057E-6 | 4.7787057E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8500323E-5 | 2.0480136E-5 | 2.0480136E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2521814E-4 | 2.4934017E-4 | 2.9932772E-4 | 1.2004793 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0022499003 | 0.0024928632 | 0.002592614 | 1.0400145 | 1.0E-4 |
6.4 | 4.3167724E-6 | 4.7787057E-6 | 4.7787057E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8500323E-5 | 2.0480136E-5 | 2.0480136E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2521814E-4 | 2.4934017E-4 | 2.9932772E-4 | 1.2004793 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0022499003 | 0.0024928632 | 0.002592614 | 1.0400145 | 1.0E-4 |
6.5 | 4.3167724E-6 | 4.7787057E-6 | 4.7787057E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8500323E-5 | 2.0480136E-5 | 2.0480136E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2521814E-4 | 2.4934017E-4 | 2.9932772E-4 | 1.2004793 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0022499003 | 0.0024928632 | 0.002592614 | 1.0400145 | 1.0E-4 |
6.6 | 4.301311E-6 | 4.7615717E-6 | 4.7615717E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8434059E-5 | 2.0406706E-5 | 2.0406706E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2441156E-4 | 2.4844636E-4 | 2.9843394E-4 | 1.2012007 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0022418506 | 0.0024839449 | 0.0025836965 | 1.0401585 | 1.0E-4 |
6.7 | 3.8599724E-6 | 4.2716633E-6 | 4.2716633E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6542634E-5 | 1.8307128E-5 | 1.8307128E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0138794E-4 | 2.2288928E-4 | 2.6288038E-4 | 1.1794213 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0020120554 | 0.0022288929 | 0.0022787813 | 1.0223826 | 5.0E-5 |
Death Valley (Black Mtns Frontal)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.8673187E-5 | 3.8672813E-5 | 2.0710344 | 2.0E-5 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.002553E-5 | 1.1002313E-4 | 1.3748504 | 3.0E-5 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.7388297E-4 | 0.0011537076 | 1.1846471 | 1.8E-4 | 0.00867977 | 0.009697005 | 0.01007332 | 1.0388074 | 3.8E-4 |
6.1 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.8673187E-5 | 3.8672813E-5 | 2.0710344 | 2.0E-5 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.002553E-5 | 1.1002313E-4 | 1.3748504 | 3.0E-5 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.7388297E-4 | 0.0011537076 | 1.1846471 | 1.8E-4 | 0.00867977 | 0.009697005 | 0.01007332 | 1.0388074 | 3.8E-4 |
6.2 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.8673187E-5 | 3.8672813E-5 | 2.0710344 | 2.0E-5 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.002553E-5 | 1.1002313E-4 | 1.3748504 | 3.0E-5 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.7388297E-4 | 0.0011537076 | 1.1846471 | 1.8E-4 | 0.00867977 | 0.009697005 | 0.01007332 | 1.0388074 | 3.8E-4 |
6.3 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.8673187E-5 | 3.8672813E-5 | 2.0710344 | 2.0E-5 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.002553E-5 | 1.1002313E-4 | 1.3748504 | 3.0E-5 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.7388297E-4 | 0.0011537076 | 1.1846471 | 1.8E-4 | 0.00867977 | 0.009697005 | 0.01007332 | 1.0388074 | 3.8E-4 |
6.4 | 1.5515609E-5 | 1.7340923E-5 | 3.7340575E-5 | 2.1533213 | 2.0E-5 | 6.649377E-5 | 7.431616E-5 | 1.0431393E-4 | 1.4036508 | 3.0E-5 | 8.0926094E-4 | 9.0442976E-4 | 0.001054294 | 1.1657003 | 1.5E-4 | 0.008063202 | 0.009008174 | 0.009325292 | 1.0352033 | 3.2E-4 |
6.5 | 1.5515609E-5 | 1.7340923E-5 | 3.7340575E-5 | 2.1533213 | 2.0E-5 | 6.649377E-5 | 7.431616E-5 | 1.0431393E-4 | 1.4036508 | 3.0E-5 | 8.0926094E-4 | 9.0442976E-4 | 0.001054294 | 1.1657003 | 1.5E-4 | 0.008063202 | 0.009008174 | 0.009325292 | 1.0352033 | 3.2E-4 |
6.6 | 1.5041828E-5 | 1.6811773E-5 | 3.6811434E-5 | 2.1896226 | 2.0E-5 | 6.4463384E-5 | 7.20485E-5 | 1.0204633E-4 | 1.4163562 | 3.0E-5 | 7.8455906E-4 | 8.768433E-4 | 0.0010267118 | 1.1709182 | 1.5E-4 | 0.00781795 | 0.008734492 | 0.009031871 | 1.0340465 | 3.0E-4 |
6.7 | 1.4634985E-5 | 1.6358576E-5 | 3.6358248E-5 | 2.2225804 | 2.0E-5 | 6.271985E-5 | 7.010633E-5 | 1.00104226E-4 | 1.4278914 | 3.0E-5 | 7.6334673E-4 | 8.532161E-4 | 0.0010030881 | 1.1756554 | 1.5E-4 | 0.007607299 | 0.00850004 | 0.00879749 | 1.034994 | 3.0E-4 |
6.8 | 1.4209158E-5 | 1.5884536E-5 | 3.588422E-5 | 2.259066 | 2.0E-5 | 6.089497E-5 | 6.8074834E-5 | 9.807279E-5 | 1.4406614 | 3.0E-5 | 7.4114406E-4 | 8.285016E-4 | 9.583939E-4 | 1.1567798 | 1.3E-4 | 0.007386771 | 0.008254744 | 0.008502681 | 1.0300356 | 2.5E-4 |
6.9 | 1.3780098E-5 | 1.540701E-5 | 3.54067E-5 | 2.2980905 | 2.0E-5 | 5.9056227E-5 | 6.60284E-5 | 9.602642E-5 | 1.45432 | 3.0E-5 | 7.1877235E-4 | 8.036048E-4 | 9.335003E-4 | 1.1616411 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0071645193 | 0.008007584 | 0.008255582 | 1.0309705 | 2.5E-4 |
7.0 | 1.3585064E-5 | 1.5190541E-5 | 3.5190238E-5 | 2.3165889 | 2.0E-5 | 5.8220405E-5 | 6.510072E-5 | 9.509877E-5 | 1.4607943 | 3.0E-5 | 7.086029E-4 | 7.9231855E-4 | 9.222155E-4 | 1.1639454 | 1.3E-4 | 0.007063476 | 0.007895528 | 0.008133634 | 1.030157 | 2.4E-4 |
7.1 | 1.3398601E-5 | 1.4983694E-5 | 3.4983394E-5 | 2.3347642 | 2.0E-5 | 5.742131E-5 | 6.4214284E-5 | 9.421236E-5 | 1.4671558 | 3.0E-5 | 6.9888023E-4 | 7.8153395E-4 | 9.114323E-4 | 1.1662096 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0069668638 | 0.0077884435 | 0.008026575 | 1.0305749 | 2.4E-4 |
7.2 | 1.3126312E-5 | 1.4681873E-5 | 3.468158E-5 | 2.362204 | 2.0E-5 | 5.6254412E-5 | 6.292082E-5 | 9.2918934E-5 | 1.4767597 | 3.0E-5 | 6.846822E-4 | 7.657972E-4 | 8.75713E-4 | 1.1435312 | 1.1E-4 | 0.006825765 | 0.0076321675 | 0.0078405645 | 1.0273051 | 2.1E-4 |
7.3 | 1.2922429E-5 | 1.4456067E-5 | 3.4455777E-5 | 2.3834822 | 2.0E-5 | 5.5380664E-5 | 6.1953135E-5 | 9.1951275E-5 | 1.484207 | 3.0E-5 | 6.74051E-4 | 7.5402384E-4 | 8.539484E-4 | 1.1325217 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006720101 | 0.0075152353 | 0.0077137323 | 1.0264126 | 2.0E-4 |
7.4 | 1.2768878E-5 | 1.4286026E-5 | 3.4285742E-5 | 2.3999493 | 2.0E-5 | 5.4722615E-5 | 6.122442E-5 | 9.122259E-5 | 1.4899706 | 3.0E-5 | 6.660441E-4 | 7.451578E-4 | 8.450833E-4 | 1.1340997 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0066405144 | 0.007427172 | 0.0076256865 | 1.0267282 | 2.0E-4 |
7.5 | 1.2521929E-5 | 1.4014234E-5 | 3.4013952E-5 | 2.4271004 | 2.0E-5 | 5.366431E-5 | 6.005965E-5 | 9.0057845E-5 | 1.4994735 | 3.0E-5 | 6.531671E-4 | 7.3098636E-4 | 8.3091325E-4 | 1.1367015 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006512506 | 0.007286395 | 0.007484938 | 1.0272484 | 2.0E-4 |
7.6 | 1.1301089E-5 | 1.26501545E-5 | 3.2649903E-5 | 2.5809884 | 2.0E-5 | 4.8432343E-5 | 5.421385E-5 | 8.4212224E-5 | 1.5533341 | 3.0E-5 | 5.895042E-4 | 6.5985904E-4 | 7.597931E-4 | 1.1514475 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0058794282 | 0.00657955 | 0.0067285635 | 1.0226479 | 1.5E-4 |
7.7 | 9.189108E-6 | 1.0284987E-5 | 2.0284884E-5 | 1.972281 | 1.0E-5 | 3.93813E-5 | 4.4077802E-5 | 5.407736E-5 | 1.2268616 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7936183E-4 | 5.3652015E-4 | 5.9648795E-4 | 1.1117718 | 6.0E-5 | 0.004783291 | 0.0053527597 | 0.0054522245 | 1.018582 | 1.0E-4 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.648528E-7 | 3.648528E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.563654E-6 | 1.563654E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.9037325E-5 | 1.9037325E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.9035739E-4 | 1.9035739E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6698248E-9 | 2.6698248E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1442106E-8 | 1.1442106E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3930764E-7 | 1.3930764E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3930764E-6 | 1.3930764E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (San Bernardino S)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2336002E-4 | 3.005476E-4 | 3.005476E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0012874515 | 0.0013274 | 1.0310291 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006416472 | 0.015567032 | 0.015695008 | 1.008221 | 1.3E-4 | 0.06234337 | 0.14287806 | 0.14317805 | 1.0020996 | 3.5E-4 |
6.1 | 1.2336002E-4 | 3.005476E-4 | 3.005476E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0012874515 | 0.0013274 | 1.0310291 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006416472 | 0.015567032 | 0.015695008 | 1.008221 | 1.3E-4 | 0.06234337 | 0.14287806 | 0.14317805 | 1.0020996 | 3.5E-4 |
6.2 | 1.2336002E-4 | 3.005476E-4 | 3.005476E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0012874515 | 0.0013274 | 1.0310291 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006416472 | 0.015567032 | 0.015695008 | 1.008221 | 1.3E-4 | 0.06234337 | 0.14287806 | 0.14317805 | 1.0020996 | 3.5E-4 |
6.3 | 1.1712257E-4 | 2.8842466E-4 | 2.8842466E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.018573E-4 | 0.0012355458 | 0.0012754964 | 1.0323343 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006093008 | 0.014943867 | 0.015071924 | 1.0085692 | 1.3E-4 | 0.059286322 | 0.13758847 | 0.13789031 | 1.0021938 | 3.5E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1712257E-4 | 2.8842466E-4 | 2.8842466E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.018573E-4 | 0.0012355458 | 0.0012754964 | 1.0323343 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006093008 | 0.014943867 | 0.015071924 | 1.0085692 | 1.3E-4 | 0.059286322 | 0.13758847 | 0.13789031 | 1.0021938 | 3.5E-4 |
6.5 | 1.0689076E-4 | 2.685448E-4 | 2.685448E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5802278E-4 | 0.0011504234 | 0.001180389 | 1.0260473 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0055621783 | 0.01392108 | 0.014039409 | 1.0085 | 1.2E-4 | 0.05425003 | 0.12882513 | 0.12911262 | 1.0022316 | 3.3E-4 |
6.6 | 9.7648895E-5 | 2.5098393E-4 | 2.5098393E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1842813E-4 | 0.0010752256 | 0.0011051934 | 1.0278711 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005082469 | 0.013016669 | 0.013135107 | 1.009099 | 1.2E-4 | 0.049677886 | 0.120999366 | 0.12128944 | 1.0023973 | 3.3E-4 |
6.7 | 8.757013E-5 | 2.3168462E-4 | 2.3168462E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7524657E-4 | 9.925786E-4 | 0.0010225488 | 1.0301943 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00455906 | 0.012021776 | 0.012140334 | 1.0098618 | 1.2E-4 | 0.04466656 | 0.11227854 | 0.11255373 | 1.002451 | 3.1E-4 |
6.8 | 8.562978E-5 | 2.2727968E-4 | 2.2727968E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6693315E-4 | 9.737144E-4 | 0.0010036852 | 1.0307798 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004458263 | 0.011794607 | 0.0119131915 | 1.0100541 | 1.2E-4 | 0.043698758 | 0.11029185 | 0.11056767 | 1.0025008 | 3.1E-4 |
6.9 | 6.124075E-5 | 1.7107872E-4 | 1.7107872E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6243398E-4 | 7.329893E-4 | 7.6296733E-4 | 1.0408983 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0031904527 | 0.008887837 | 0.008996859 | 1.0122665 | 1.1E-4 | 0.031450346 | 0.08436053 | 0.08462606 | 1.0031476 | 2.9E-4 |
7.0 | 5.8598747E-5 | 1.6536468E-4 | 1.6536468E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5111332E-4 | 7.0851407E-4 | 7.3849276E-4 | 1.0423121 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0030530186 | 0.008592237 | 0.008701291 | 1.0126922 | 1.1E-4 | 0.03011414 | 0.08167276 | 0.08193907 | 1.0032607 | 2.9E-4 |
7.1 | 5.613814E-5 | 1.5954573E-4 | 1.5954573E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4056983E-4 | 6.83589E-4 | 7.135685E-4 | 1.043856 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0029250039 | 0.008291118 | 0.008400206 | 1.0131572 | 1.1E-4 | 0.028868021 | 0.07897815 | 0.07924525 | 1.0033818 | 2.9E-4 |
7.2 | 4.991222E-5 | 1.4560048E-4 | 1.4560048E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1389198E-4 | 6.2385324E-4 | 6.5383455E-4 | 1.0480583 | 3.0E-5 | 0.002601025 | 0.0075690653 | 0.0076782326 | 1.0144229 | 1.1E-4 | 0.025707912 | 0.0724204 | 0.07268941 | 1.0037144 | 2.9E-4 |
7.3 | 4.7410045E-5 | 1.3753315E-4 | 1.3753315E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0317009E-4 | 5.8929494E-4 | 6.1927724E-4 | 1.0508783 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0024707897 | 0.0071511497 | 0.007260363 | 1.0152721 | 1.1E-4 | 0.024434982 | 0.06870898 | 0.068979055 | 1.0039307 | 2.9E-4 |
7.4 | 4.5556746E-5 | 1.3160551E-4 | 1.3160551E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.952286E-4 | 5.63902E-4 | 5.9388514E-4 | 1.0531707 | 3.0E-5 | 0.002374317 | 0.0068439743 | 0.0069532217 | 1.0159625 | 1.1E-4 | 0.023491086 | 0.06595794 | 0.066228814 | 1.0041068 | 2.9E-4 |
7.5 | 4.3084514E-5 | 1.2395077E-4 | 1.2395077E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8463485E-4 | 5.311097E-4 | 5.610938E-4 | 1.0564555 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0022456115 | 0.006447161 | 0.006556452 | 1.0169518 | 1.1E-4 | 0.022230545 | 0.06235559 | 0.06262751 | 1.0043608 | 2.9E-4 |
7.6 | 3.408608E-5 | 9.870241E-5 | 9.870241E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4607502E-4 | 4.2294184E-4 | 4.5292915E-4 | 1.0709018 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0017770125 | 0.005137185 | 0.0052466197 | 1.0213025 | 1.1E-4 | 0.017628696 | 0.050174475 | 0.050440423 | 1.0053005 | 2.8E-4 |
7.7 | 2.8315713E-5 | 8.2812745E-5 | 8.2812745E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2134742E-4 | 3.548635E-4 | 3.8485287E-4 | 1.0845095 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0014764034 | 0.004311913 | 0.004421439 | 1.0254008 | 1.1E-4 | 0.01466633 | 0.042417623 | 0.04267617 | 1.0060953 | 2.7E-4 |
7.8 | 2.6222975E-5 | 7.4935546E-5 | 7.4935546E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1237934E-4 | 3.2111284E-4 | 3.511032E-4 | 1.0933951 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0013673597 | 0.0039025464 | 0.004012117 | 1.0280768 | 1.1E-4 | 0.013589768 | 0.03857408 | 0.03882405 | 1.0064803 | 2.6E-4 |
7.9 | 2.1469694E-5 | 5.8131973E-5 | 5.8131973E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.200973E-5 | 2.4911325E-4 | 2.791058E-4 | 1.1203972 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011196428 | 0.0030287388 | 0.003128436 | 1.032917 | 1.0E-4 | 0.011140184 | 0.03026797 | 0.030471615 | 1.006728 | 2.1E-4 |
8.0 | 1.2420249E-5 | 3.14591E-5 | 3.14591E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.322855E-5 | 1.3481776E-4 | 1.5481506E-4 | 1.1483284 | 2.0E-5 | 6.478649E-4 | 0.0016401715 | 0.0016900895 | 1.0304346 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0064597935 | 0.01658801 | 0.01665685 | 1.0041499 | 7.0E-5 |
8.1 | 4.9197724E-6 | 7.873088E-6 | 7.873088E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1084568E-5 | 3.374137E-5 | 3.374137E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.566744E-4 | 4.1072388E-4 | 4.207198E-4 | 1.0243373 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002563781 | 0.0044101155 | 0.004420072 | 1.0022575 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 2.5634774E-6 | 2.9301643E-6 | 2.9301643E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0986286E-5 | 1.2557786E-5 | 1.2557786E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3374983E-4 | 1.5288037E-4 | 1.5288037E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013366934 | 0.0017173792 | 0.0017173792 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 5.2850464E-7 | 3.243253E-7 | 3.243253E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2650179E-6 | 1.389965E-6 | 1.389965E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7576245E-5 | 1.6922704E-5 | 1.6922704E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7572823E-4 | 2.0066346E-4 | 2.0066346E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Helendale-So Lockhart
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.7296055E-5 | 1.8104853E-5 | 1.8104853E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.412385E-5 | 7.759003E-5 | 1.1758693E-4 | 1.51549 | 4.0E-5 | 9.0208417E-4 | 9.4427E-4 | 0.0010741473 | 1.1375425 | 1.3E-4 | 0.008984311 | 0.009404697 | 0.009721688 | 1.0337056 | 3.2E-4 |
6.1 | 1.7296055E-5 | 1.8104853E-5 | 1.8104853E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.412385E-5 | 7.759003E-5 | 1.1758693E-4 | 1.51549 | 4.0E-5 | 9.0208417E-4 | 9.4427E-4 | 0.0010741473 | 1.1375425 | 1.3E-4 | 0.008984311 | 0.009404697 | 0.009721688 | 1.0337056 | 3.2E-4 |
6.2 | 1.7296055E-5 | 1.8104853E-5 | 1.8104853E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.412385E-5 | 7.759003E-5 | 1.1758693E-4 | 1.51549 | 4.0E-5 | 9.0208417E-4 | 9.4427E-4 | 0.0010741473 | 1.1375425 | 1.3E-4 | 0.008984311 | 0.009404697 | 0.009721688 | 1.0337056 | 3.2E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0669118E-5 | 1.11360705E-5 | 1.11360705E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5723988E-5 | 4.772516E-5 | 5.7724683E-5 | 1.2095231 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5654737E-4 | 5.809017E-4 | 6.308727E-4 | 1.0860231 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0055515557 | 0.005794129 | 0.005973086 | 1.0308859 | 1.8E-4 |
6.4 | 1.0669118E-5 | 1.11360705E-5 | 1.11360705E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5723988E-5 | 4.772516E-5 | 5.7724683E-5 | 1.2095231 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5654737E-4 | 5.809017E-4 | 6.308727E-4 | 1.0860231 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0055515557 | 0.005794129 | 0.005973086 | 1.0308859 | 1.8E-4 |
6.5 | 8.790038E-6 | 9.170723E-6 | 9.170723E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.767105E-5 | 3.930252E-5 | 4.9302125E-5 | 1.2544266 | 1.0E-5 | 4.585485E-4 | 4.7840463E-4 | 5.2838074E-4 | 1.104464 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0045760344 | 0.004773912 | 0.0049132435 | 1.029186 | 1.4E-4 |
6.6 | 7.396949E-6 | 7.715978E-6 | 7.715978E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1700827E-5 | 3.3068067E-5 | 4.3067736E-5 | 1.3023965 | 1.0E-5 | 3.858892E-4 | 4.0253034E-4 | 4.4251423E-4 | 1.0993314 | 4.0E-5 | 0.003852198 | 0.004018119 | 0.0041475967 | 1.0322235 | 1.3E-4 |
6.7 | 6.4600285E-6 | 6.7384162E-6 | 6.7384162E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7685543E-5 | 2.887861E-5 | 2.887861E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3701936E-4 | 3.5154115E-4 | 3.7153412E-4 | 1.0568724 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0033650869 | 0.0035099322 | 0.0035996162 | 1.0255516 | 9.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.600104E-6 | 5.8363357E-6 | 5.8363357E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4000226E-5 | 2.501263E-5 | 2.501263E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9216358E-4 | 3.0448684E-4 | 3.1448377E-4 | 1.0328321 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029177975 | 0.003040758 | 0.0030806363 | 1.0131146 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.839122E-6 | 5.039786E-6 | 5.039786E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0738931E-5 | 2.1598908E-5 | 2.1598908E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5246723E-4 | 2.6293544E-4 | 2.729328E-4 | 1.0380222 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002521806 | 0.002626291 | 0.0026661858 | 1.0151906 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.6937633E-6 | 3.8454173E-6 | 3.8454173E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5830317E-5 | 1.6480257E-5 | 1.6480257E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9271708E-4 | 2.0062897E-4 | 2.1062697E-4 | 1.0498333 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019255003 | 0.0020045098 | 0.0020344497 | 1.0149362 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.7858857E-6 | 2.8980082E-6 | 2.8980082E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1939455E-5 | 1.2419978E-5 | 1.2419978E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4535317E-4 | 1.5120296E-4 | 1.6120145E-4 | 1.0661262 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014525814 | 0.0015110222 | 0.0015409769 | 1.0198241 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.1672065E-6 | 2.2541326E-6 | 2.2541326E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2879945E-6 | 9.660534E-6 | 9.660534E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1307546E-4 | 1.1761083E-4 | 1.1761083E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011301794 | 0.0011755041 | 0.0011954806 | 1.016994 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.4823496E-6 | 1.5422928E-6 | 1.5422928E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3529114E-6 | 6.6098105E-6 | 6.6098105E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.734395E-5 | 8.0471626E-5 | 8.0471626E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.731704E-4 | 8.0443994E-4 | 8.2442386E-4 | 1.024842 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.2321457E-7 | 4.4111235E-7 | 4.4111235E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8137755E-6 | 1.8904805E-6 | 1.8904805E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2082493E-5 | 2.3016402E-5 | 2.3016402E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2080299E-4 | 2.3014471E-4 | 2.4014241E-4 | 1.0434409 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.6942316E-8 | 5.941907E-8 | 5.941907E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.440385E-7 | 2.5465314E-7 | 2.5465314E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9711643E-6 | 3.1003983E-6 | 3.1003983E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9711247E-5 | 3.1003627E-5 | 4.1003317E-5 | 1.3225329 | 1.0E-5 |
Coyote Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.980352E-5 | 2.1709513E-5 | 2.1709513E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.486947E-5 | 9.303786E-5 | 9.303786E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010327959 | 0.0011322193 | 0.0012520835 | 1.1058666 | 1.2E-4 | 0.010280091 | 0.011271688 | 0.0115188705 | 1.0219295 | 2.5E-4 |
6.1 | 1.980352E-5 | 2.1709513E-5 | 2.1709513E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.486947E-5 | 9.303786E-5 | 9.303786E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010327959 | 0.0011322193 | 0.0012520835 | 1.1058666 | 1.2E-4 | 0.010280091 | 0.011271688 | 0.0115188705 | 1.0219295 | 2.5E-4 |
6.2 | 1.980352E-5 | 2.1709513E-5 | 2.1709513E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.486947E-5 | 9.303786E-5 | 9.303786E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010327959 | 0.0011322193 | 0.0012520835 | 1.1058666 | 1.2E-4 | 0.010280091 | 0.011271688 | 0.0115188705 | 1.0219295 | 2.5E-4 |
6.3 | 1.5344787E-5 | 1.6822816E-5 | 1.6822816E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.576172E-5 | 7.209613E-5 | 7.209613E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.003548E-4 | 8.7747816E-4 | 9.57408E-4 | 1.0910903 | 8.0E-5 | 0.007974784 | 0.008746182 | 0.008934519 | 1.0215337 | 1.9E-4 |
6.4 | 1.5344787E-5 | 1.6822816E-5 | 1.6822816E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.576172E-5 | 7.209613E-5 | 7.209613E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.003548E-4 | 8.7747816E-4 | 9.57408E-4 | 1.0910903 | 8.0E-5 | 0.007974784 | 0.008746182 | 0.008934519 | 1.0215337 | 1.9E-4 |
6.5 | 1.4189697E-5 | 1.5559977E-5 | 1.5559977E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.081157E-5 | 6.668425E-5 | 6.668425E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.401293E-4 | 8.1163866E-4 | 8.7159E-4 | 1.0738645 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0073766913 | 0.008092688 | 0.008231555 | 1.0171596 | 1.4E-4 |
6.6 | 1.3469301E-5 | 1.4773473E-5 | 1.4773473E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7724297E-5 | 6.331368E-5 | 6.331368E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.025667E-4 | 7.706315E-4 | 8.3058525E-4 | 1.0777982 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0070034964 | 0.0076854974 | 0.007824421 | 1.0180762 | 1.4E-4 |
6.7 | 1.3027966E-5 | 1.4283569E-5 | 1.4283569E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5832945E-5 | 6.1214196E-5 | 6.1214196E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7955407E-4 | 7.4508775E-4 | 7.9505047E-4 | 1.0670562 | 5.0E-5 | 0.006774798 | 0.007431775 | 0.007521106 | 1.0120201 | 9.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.695434E-6 | 6.2251847E-6 | 6.2251847E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4408775E-5 | 2.667926E-5 | 2.667926E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.971363E-4 | 3.2480157E-4 | 3.2480157E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029673933 | 0.00324621 | 0.003266145 | 1.0061411 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.385688E-6 | 4.793646E-6 | 4.793646E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.879567E-5 | 2.0544197E-5 | 2.0544197E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2881327E-4 | 2.501256E-4 | 2.501256E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002285778 | 0.0025012558 | 0.002511231 | 1.003988 | 1.0E-5 |
San Andreas (Big Bend)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.0159209E-4 | 2.0159209E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.63681E-4 | 8.736724E-4 | 1.0115683 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0052979486 | 0.010464904 | 0.010563857 | 1.0094558 | 1.0E-4 | 0.051734097 | 0.101813555 | 0.10200217 | 1.0018526 | 2.1E-4 |
6.1 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.0159209E-4 | 2.0159209E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.63681E-4 | 8.736724E-4 | 1.0115683 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0052979486 | 0.010464904 | 0.010563857 | 1.0094558 | 1.0E-4 | 0.051734097 | 0.101813555 | 0.10200217 | 1.0018526 | 2.1E-4 |
6.2 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.0159209E-4 | 2.0159209E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.63681E-4 | 8.736724E-4 | 1.0115683 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0052979486 | 0.010464904 | 0.010563857 | 1.0094558 | 1.0E-4 | 0.051734097 | 0.101813555 | 0.10200217 | 1.0018526 | 2.1E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.0159209E-4 | 2.0159209E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.63681E-4 | 8.736724E-4 | 1.0115683 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0052979486 | 0.010464904 | 0.010563857 | 1.0094558 | 1.0E-4 | 0.051734097 | 0.101813555 | 0.10200217 | 1.0018526 | 2.1E-4 |
6.4 | 9.1639464E-5 | 1.8514495E-4 | 1.8514495E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9268145E-4 | 7.932373E-4 | 8.0322934E-4 | 1.0125966 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0047704205 | 0.009615018 | 0.009674441 | 1.0061803 | 6.0E-5 | 0.046693064 | 0.09415637 | 0.0943013 | 1.0015393 | 1.6E-4 |
6.5 | 9.1639464E-5 | 1.8514495E-4 | 1.8514495E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9268145E-4 | 7.932373E-4 | 8.0322934E-4 | 1.0125966 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0047704205 | 0.009615018 | 0.009674441 | 1.0061803 | 6.0E-5 | 0.046693064 | 0.09415637 | 0.0943013 | 1.0015393 | 1.6E-4 |
6.6 | 9.042622E-5 | 1.832136E-4 | 1.832136E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8748336E-4 | 7.849651E-4 | 7.949572E-4 | 1.0127294 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0047074095 | 0.009515186 | 0.009574614 | 1.0062457 | 6.0E-5 | 0.046089325 | 0.09324536 | 0.093390435 | 1.0015559 | 1.6E-4 |
6.7 | 8.9836685E-5 | 1.8235622E-4 | 1.8235622E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8495753E-4 | 7.812928E-4 | 7.9128495E-4 | 1.0127892 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00467679 | 0.009470864 | 0.009530296 | 1.0062752 | 6.0E-5 | 0.045795817 | 0.09283944 | 0.09298459 | 1.0015634 | 1.6E-4 |
6.8 | 8.9471854E-5 | 1.8182321E-4 | 1.8182321E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8339442E-4 | 7.7900983E-4 | 7.8900205E-4 | 1.0128268 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004657841 | 0.00944331 | 0.009502744 | 1.0062937 | 6.0E-5 | 0.04561414 | 0.09258634 | 0.09273152 | 1.0015681 | 1.6E-4 |
6.9 | 8.858234E-5 | 1.8064154E-4 | 1.8064154E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7958333E-4 | 7.7394856E-4 | 7.839408E-4 | 1.0129107 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004611638 | 0.009382221 | 0.009441658 | 1.006335 | 6.0E-5 | 0.04517103 | 0.092026316 | 0.092171595 | 1.0015787 | 1.6E-4 |
7.0 | 8.7433385E-5 | 1.790274E-4 | 1.790274E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.746607E-4 | 7.670349E-4 | 7.770272E-4 | 1.0130272 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004551957 | 0.009298769 | 0.0093582105 | 1.0063925 | 6.0E-5 | 0.044598386 | 0.09125964 | 0.09140504 | 1.0015932 | 1.6E-4 |
7.1 | 8.684964E-5 | 1.7814558E-4 | 1.7814558E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7215967E-4 | 7.6325785E-4 | 7.7325024E-4 | 1.0130917 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045216335 | 0.009253175 | 0.009312619 | 1.0064243 | 6.0E-5 | 0.04430731 | 0.09084083 | 0.0909863 | 1.0016013 | 1.6E-4 |
7.2 | 8.606521E-5 | 1.7705045E-4 | 1.7705045E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6879873E-4 | 7.585672E-4 | 7.685596E-4 | 1.0131727 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0044808835 | 0.009196549 | 0.009255997 | 1.0064642 | 6.0E-5 | 0.043916024 | 0.090320475 | 0.09046603 | 1.0016115 | 1.6E-4 |
7.3 | 8.568266E-5 | 1.764689E-4 | 1.764689E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6715972E-4 | 7.560762E-4 | 7.6606864E-4 | 1.0132161 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0044610105 | 0.009166477 | 0.009225927 | 1.0064856 | 6.0E-5 | 0.043725148 | 0.09004091 | 0.0901865 | 1.001617 | 1.6E-4 |
7.4 | 8.5432206E-5 | 1.7609372E-4 | 1.7609372E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6608664E-4 | 7.5446925E-4 | 7.644617E-4 | 1.0132444 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004447999 | 0.009147078 | 0.009206529 | 1.0064995 | 6.0E-5 | 0.043600157 | 0.08986083 | 0.09000645 | 1.0016205 | 1.6E-4 |
7.5 | 8.4791965E-5 | 1.7478343E-4 | 1.7478343E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.633435E-4 | 7.4885704E-4 | 7.5884955E-4 | 1.0133437 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0044147377 | 0.009079319 | 0.009138775 | 1.0065484 | 6.0E-5 | 0.043280575 | 0.08923666 | 0.08938239 | 1.0016329 | 1.6E-4 |
7.6 | 8.241105E-5 | 1.6922351E-4 | 1.6922351E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.531424E-4 | 7.250422E-4 | 7.3503493E-4 | 1.0137823 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042910352 | 0.008791749 | 0.008851222 | 1.0067645 | 6.0E-5 | 0.042091176 | 0.0866105 | 0.08675665 | 1.0016874 | 1.6E-4 |
7.7 | 7.00432E-5 | 1.427828E-4 | 1.427828E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.001506E-4 | 6.117828E-4 | 6.217767E-4 | 1.0163357 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036482112 | 0.0074230577 | 0.0074726865 | 1.0066857 | 5.0E-5 | 0.035888977 | 0.07385627 | 0.07395815 | 1.0013794 | 1.1E-4 |
7.8 | 6.415362E-5 | 1.3035483E-4 | 1.3035483E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.749151E-4 | 5.58544E-4 | 5.6853844E-4 | 1.0178937 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033419547 | 0.0067791 | 0.006828761 | 1.0073256 | 5.0E-5 | 0.03292141 | 0.06755797 | 0.06765121 | 1.0013802 | 1.0E-4 |
7.9 | 4.939911E-5 | 9.388759E-5 | 9.388759E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.116933E-4 | 4.0231334E-4 | 4.123093E-4 | 1.0248462 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0025743195 | 0.0048871734 | 0.0049269777 | 1.0081447 | 4.0E-5 | 0.025447013 | 0.0491385 | 0.049195554 | 1.001161 | 6.0E-5 |
8.0 | 3.344983E-5 | 5.250966E-5 | 5.250966E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4334853E-4 | 2.2502198E-4 | 2.2502198E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017438711 | 0.0027362027 | 0.0027661205 | 1.0109341 | 3.0E-5 | 0.017302496 | 0.028061826 | 0.028090984 | 1.001039 | 3.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.9104898E-5 | 1.9309593E-5 | 1.9309593E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.1875565E-5 | 8.275278E-5 | 8.275278E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.963791E-4 | 0.0010070499 | 0.0010170399 | 1.00992 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009919235 | 0.010822101 | 0.010831992 | 1.000914 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.525733E-6 | 5.525733E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3681498E-5 | 2.3681498E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8828418E-4 | 2.8828418E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0032766163 | 0.0032766163 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.745133E-7 | 7.745133E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.3193387E-6 | 3.3193387E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.0412215E-5 | 4.0412215E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.7688978E-4 | 4.7688978E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Death Valley (No)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.0074807E-5 | 2.2503706E-5 | 4.2503256E-5 | 1.8887225 | 2.0E-5 | 8.603206E-5 | 9.6440934E-5 | 1.3643707E-4 | 1.4147216 | 4.0E-5 | 0.001046937 | 0.0011735433 | 0.0012934025 | 1.1021345 | 1.2E-4 | 0.010420183 | 0.011674375 | 0.011881923 | 1.0177782 | 2.1E-4 |
6.1 | 2.0074807E-5 | 2.2503706E-5 | 4.2503256E-5 | 1.8887225 | 2.0E-5 | 8.603206E-5 | 9.6440934E-5 | 1.3643707E-4 | 1.4147216 | 4.0E-5 | 0.001046937 | 0.0011735433 | 0.0012934025 | 1.1021345 | 1.2E-4 | 0.010420183 | 0.011674375 | 0.011881923 | 1.0177782 | 2.1E-4 |
6.2 | 2.0074807E-5 | 2.2503706E-5 | 4.2503256E-5 | 1.8887225 | 2.0E-5 | 8.603206E-5 | 9.6440934E-5 | 1.3643707E-4 | 1.4147216 | 4.0E-5 | 0.001046937 | 0.0011735433 | 0.0012934025 | 1.1021345 | 1.2E-4 | 0.010420183 | 0.011674375 | 0.011881923 | 1.0177782 | 2.1E-4 |
6.3 | 1.9050609E-5 | 2.134036E-5 | 4.1339932E-5 | 1.9371713 | 2.0E-5 | 8.164292E-5 | 9.145552E-5 | 1.3145186E-4 | 1.4373311 | 4.0E-5 | 9.935491E-4 | 0.0011129089 | 0.0012327754 | 1.1077055 | 1.2E-4 | 0.009891188 | 0.011074181 | 0.0112818545 | 1.018753 | 2.1E-4 |
6.4 | 1.9050609E-5 | 2.134036E-5 | 4.1339932E-5 | 1.9371713 | 2.0E-5 | 8.164292E-5 | 9.145552E-5 | 1.3145186E-4 | 1.4373311 | 4.0E-5 | 9.935491E-4 | 0.0011129089 | 0.0012327754 | 1.1077055 | 1.2E-4 | 0.009891188 | 0.011074181 | 0.0112818545 | 1.018753 | 2.1E-4 |
6.5 | 1.8367004E-5 | 2.0564283E-5 | 4.056387E-5 | 1.97254 | 2.0E-5 | 7.8713354E-5 | 8.81297E-5 | 1.2812618E-4 | 1.4538366 | 4.0E-5 | 9.5791375E-4 | 0.0010724575 | 0.0011923288 | 1.1117725 | 1.2E-4 | 0.009537951 | 0.010673606 | 0.010881364 | 1.0194647 | 2.1E-4 |
6.6 | 1.779439E-5 | 1.9914085E-5 | 3.9913688E-5 | 2.0042942 | 2.0E-5 | 7.625944E-5 | 8.534332E-5 | 1.2533991E-4 | 1.4686551 | 4.0E-5 | 9.280632E-4 | 0.0010385661 | 0.0011584414 | 1.1154239 | 1.2E-4 | 0.009241969 | 0.010337884 | 0.010545713 | 1.0201037 | 2.1E-4 |
6.7 | 1.7025437E-5 | 1.9046434E-5 | 3.9046055E-5 | 2.0500453 | 2.0E-5 | 7.296412E-5 | 8.162506E-5 | 1.2162179E-4 | 1.4900056 | 4.0E-5 | 8.87976E-4 | 9.933382E-4 | 0.001113219 | 1.1206847 | 1.2E-4 | 0.008844362 | 0.0098897 | 0.010097624 | 1.0210242 | 2.1E-4 |
6.8 | 1.6545107E-5 | 1.8515479E-5 | 3.851511E-5 | 2.0801573 | 2.0E-5 | 7.090568E-5 | 7.934967E-5 | 1.193465E-4 | 1.5040579 | 4.0E-5 | 8.629347E-4 | 9.656602E-4 | 0.0010855444 | 1.1241473 | 1.2E-4 | 0.008595915 | 0.009615345 | 0.009823326 | 1.02163 | 2.1E-4 |
6.9 | 1.615478E-5 | 1.8090475E-5 | 3.8090115E-5 | 2.105534 | 2.0E-5 | 6.9232934E-5 | 7.752834E-5 | 1.1752524E-4 | 1.5159004 | 4.0E-5 | 8.4258494E-4 | 9.435049E-4 | 0.0010633917 | 1.1270653 | 1.2E-4 | 0.008393973 | 0.009395686 | 0.009603713 | 1.0221407 | 2.1E-4 |
7.0 | 1.5894311E-5 | 1.7808401E-5 | 3.7808044E-5 | 2.1230454 | 2.0E-5 | 6.81167E-5 | 7.631952E-5 | 1.1631646E-4 | 1.5240723 | 4.0E-5 | 8.2900526E-4 | 9.288001E-4 | 0.0010486887 | 1.129079 | 1.2E-4 | 0.008259195 | 0.009249872 | 0.009457929 | 1.022493 | 2.1E-4 |
7.1 | 1.5602263E-5 | 1.7486309E-5 | 3.748596E-5 | 2.1437318 | 2.0E-5 | 6.6865134E-5 | 7.4939206E-5 | 1.1493621E-4 | 1.533726 | 4.0E-5 | 8.137789E-4 | 9.12009E-4 | 0.0010318996 | 1.1314577 | 1.2E-4 | 0.008108052 | 0.009083345 | 0.009291437 | 1.0229093 | 2.1E-4 |
7.2 | 1.5323829E-5 | 1.7173385E-5 | 3.7173042E-5 | 2.1645727 | 2.0E-5 | 6.56719E-5 | 7.3598174E-5 | 1.1359523E-4 | 1.5434518 | 4.0E-5 | 7.99262E-4 | 8.9569547E-4 | 0.001005597 | 1.1226996 | 1.1E-4 | 0.007963934 | 0.008921531 | 0.009119747 | 1.0222176 | 2.0E-4 |
7.3 | 1.4556212E-5 | 1.6305059E-5 | 3.6304733E-5 | 2.2265933 | 2.0E-5 | 6.238227E-5 | 6.987698E-5 | 9.987489E-5 | 1.4292959 | 3.0E-5 | 7.592395E-4 | 8.5042603E-4 | 9.50341E-4 | 1.1174881 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0075665074 | 0.008472362 | 0.008660751 | 1.0222359 | 1.9E-4 |
7.4 | 1.411725E-5 | 1.581048E-5 | 3.5810164E-5 | 2.2649639 | 2.0E-5 | 6.0501097E-5 | 6.775747E-5 | 9.775544E-5 | 1.4427257 | 3.0E-5 | 7.363519E-4 | 8.246408E-4 | 9.1456657E-4 | 1.1090484 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0073391674 | 0.008216443 | 0.008394963 | 1.0217273 | 1.8E-4 |
7.5 | 1.3503312E-5 | 1.5128708E-5 | 3.5128407E-5 | 2.32197 | 2.0E-5 | 5.7870053E-5 | 6.483574E-5 | 9.48338E-5 | 1.4626777 | 3.0E-5 | 7.043401E-4 | 7.8909507E-4 | 8.7902404E-4 | 1.1139647 | 9.0E-5 | 0.007021119 | 0.007863557 | 0.008042141 | 1.0227104 | 1.8E-4 |
7.6 | 1.1279839E-5 | 1.2628332E-5 | 3.262808E-5 | 2.5837204 | 2.0E-5 | 4.834127E-5 | 5.412033E-5 | 8.411871E-5 | 1.5542903 | 3.0E-5 | 5.88396E-4 | 6.5872114E-4 | 7.486618E-4 | 1.1365384 | 9.0E-5 | 0.005868405 | 0.006568238 | 0.0067073186 | 1.0211747 | 1.4E-4 |
7.7 | 9.189108E-6 | 1.0284987E-5 | 2.0284884E-5 | 1.972281 | 1.0E-5 | 3.93813E-5 | 4.4077802E-5 | 5.407736E-5 | 1.2268616 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7936183E-4 | 5.3652015E-4 | 5.9648795E-4 | 1.1117718 | 6.0E-5 | 0.004783291 | 0.0053527597 | 0.0054522245 | 1.018582 | 1.0E-4 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.648528E-7 | 3.648528E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.563654E-6 | 1.563654E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.9037325E-5 | 1.9037325E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.9035739E-4 | 1.9035739E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6698248E-9 | 2.6698248E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1442106E-8 | 1.1442106E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3930764E-7 | 1.3930764E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3930764E-6 | 1.3930764E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Parkfield)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.556969E-4 | 7.878558E-4 | 7.878558E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023793848 | 0.0033727214 | 0.0033826877 | 1.002955 | 1.0E-5 | 0.028586963 | 0.04083259 | 0.04089014 | 1.0014094 | 6.0E-5 | 0.25176284 | 0.33877483 | 0.33890045 | 1.0003709 | 1.9E-4 |
6.1 | 1.925858E-4 | 3.0557998E-4 | 3.0557998E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2510663E-4 | 0.0013090682 | 0.0013190551 | 1.007629 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0099994885 | 0.015911955 | 0.015961159 | 1.0030923 | 5.0E-5 | 0.095613256 | 0.15044227 | 0.15056121 | 1.0007906 | 1.4E-4 |
6.2 | 9.4306815E-5 | 1.8320262E-4 | 1.8320262E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0410945E-4 | 7.849191E-4 | 7.9491123E-4 | 1.0127301 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0049089384 | 0.009514702 | 0.009564226 | 1.005205 | 5.0E-5 | 0.048019063 | 0.092192404 | 0.09230135 | 1.0011816 | 1.2E-4 |
6.3 | 9.283051E-5 | 1.8016524E-4 | 1.8016524E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9778434E-4 | 7.719094E-4 | 7.819017E-4 | 1.0129449 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0048322747 | 0.009357692 | 0.009407224 | 1.0052933 | 5.0E-5 | 0.047285385 | 0.09084468 | 0.09095378 | 1.0012009 | 1.2E-4 |
6.4 | 9.138826E-5 | 1.7778187E-4 | 1.7778187E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.916052E-4 | 7.61701E-4 | 7.7169336E-4 | 1.0131185 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0047573745 | 0.009234468 | 0.009284007 | 1.0053645 | 5.0E-5 | 0.046568092 | 0.08974667 | 0.0898559 | 1.0012171 | 1.2E-4 |
6.5 | 9.000255E-5 | 1.753574E-4 | 1.753574E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8566816E-4 | 7.5131643E-4 | 7.613089E-4 | 1.0133 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0046854047 | 0.009109123 | 0.009158667 | 1.005439 | 5.0E-5 | 0.045878403 | 0.08863416 | 0.08874353 | 1.0012339 | 1.2E-4 |
6.6 | 8.8109264E-5 | 1.7215897E-4 | 1.7215897E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7755648E-4 | 7.376167E-4 | 7.476093E-4 | 1.0135472 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045870654 | 0.008943725 | 0.008993278 | 1.0055405 | 5.0E-5 | 0.04493529 | 0.08716316 | 0.087272696 | 1.0012567 | 1.2E-4 |
6.7 | 8.738073E-5 | 1.7082757E-4 | 1.7082757E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7443507E-4 | 7.319139E-4 | 7.419066E-4 | 1.0136528 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045492216 | 0.0088749 | 0.008924455 | 1.0055839 | 5.0E-5 | 0.04457213 | 0.08656284 | 0.086672455 | 1.0012662 | 1.2E-4 |
6.8 | 8.710195E-5 | 1.702809E-4 | 1.702809E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7324068E-4 | 7.295723E-4 | 7.39565E-4 | 1.0136967 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045347405 | 0.008846631 | 0.008896189 | 1.0056019 | 5.0E-5 | 0.04443313 | 0.08630964 | 0.086419284 | 1.0012703 | 1.2E-4 |
6.9 | 8.6801556E-5 | 1.6968888E-4 | 1.6968888E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7195362E-4 | 7.270365E-4 | 7.3702924E-4 | 1.0137445 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045191357 | 0.0088160075 | 0.008865567 | 1.0056216 | 5.0E-5 | 0.044283327 | 0.086034946 | 0.08614462 | 1.0012748 | 1.2E-4 |
7.0 | 8.5571606E-5 | 1.6721088E-4 | 1.6721088E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6668387E-4 | 7.164224E-4 | 7.264152E-4 | 1.0139482 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004455241 | 0.0086878175 | 0.008737383 | 1.0057052 | 5.0E-5 | 0.043669727 | 0.0848807 | 0.08499052 | 1.0012938 | 1.2E-4 |
7.1 | 7.82589E-5 | 1.5199429E-4 | 1.5199429E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3535215E-4 | 6.512422E-4 | 6.612357E-4 | 1.0153452 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0040752706 | 0.00790022 | 0.007949825 | 1.006279 | 5.0E-5 | 0.040013418 | 0.07778513 | 0.07789579 | 1.0014228 | 1.2E-4 |
7.2 | 7.690929E-5 | 1.4936247E-4 | 1.4936247E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2956956E-4 | 6.399686E-4 | 6.499622E-4 | 1.0156158 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004005129 | 0.0077639497 | 0.007813562 | 1.00639 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0393371 | 0.07655686 | 0.076667674 | 1.0014474 | 1.2E-4 |
7.3 | 7.5543794E-5 | 1.4631981E-4 | 1.4631981E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2371894E-4 | 6.269349E-4 | 6.3692866E-4 | 1.0159407 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003934157 | 0.007606383 | 0.007656003 | 1.0065234 | 5.0E-5 | 0.038652334 | 0.07511586 | 0.07522684 | 1.0014775 | 1.2E-4 |
7.4 | 7.4214564E-5 | 1.4331998E-4 | 1.4331998E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1802364E-4 | 6.140846E-4 | 6.2407844E-4 | 1.0162745 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003865065 | 0.0074510104 | 0.007500638 | 1.0066605 | 5.0E-5 | 0.03798529 | 0.073686086 | 0.07379724 | 1.0015085 | 1.2E-4 |
7.5 | 6.149578E-5 | 1.12502225E-4 | 1.12502225E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6352672E-4 | 4.820634E-4 | 4.920586E-4 | 1.0207342 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032037178 | 0.0058533596 | 0.005903067 | 1.0084921 | 5.0E-5 | 0.03157923 | 0.058829132 | 0.058932662 | 1.0017598 | 1.1E-4 |
7.6 | 6.0643448E-5 | 1.10783076E-4 | 1.10783076E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.598746E-4 | 4.7469835E-4 | 4.846936E-4 | 1.021056 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0031593828 | 0.005764168 | 0.00581388 | 1.0086243 | 5.0E-5 | 0.031148417 | 0.05798794 | 0.05809156 | 1.001787 | 1.1E-4 |
7.7 | 5.1652263E-5 | 9.227494E-5 | 9.227494E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2134806E-4 | 3.954041E-4 | 4.0540015E-4 | 1.0252806 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002691582 | 0.004803429 | 0.004843237 | 1.0082874 | 4.0E-5 | 0.026592141 | 0.048782326 | 0.048858423 | 1.00156 | 8.0E-5 |
7.8 | 4.8090482E-5 | 8.6082495E-5 | 8.6082495E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.060858E-4 | 3.6887283E-4 | 3.7886915E-4 | 1.0270996 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0025062072 | 0.004481787 | 0.004521608 | 1.008885 | 4.0E-5 | 0.024781305 | 0.04552987 | 0.045606226 | 1.001677 | 8.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.970278E-5 | 6.788188E-5 | 6.788188E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7014367E-4 | 2.9088993E-4 | 3.00887E-4 | 1.0343673 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002069531 | 0.0035358374 | 0.003575696 | 1.0112728 | 4.0E-5 | 0.020503636 | 0.036063198 | 0.036121033 | 1.0016037 | 6.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.8982335E-5 | 4.0937015E-5 | 4.0937015E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2420409E-4 | 1.7543256E-4 | 1.7543256E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015111357 | 0.0021338004 | 0.0021637364 | 1.0140294 | 3.0E-5 | 0.015009012 | 0.02213064 | 0.022159977 | 1.0013256 | 3.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.8836186E-5 | 1.881553E-5 | 1.881553E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0724014E-5 | 8.0635495E-5 | 8.0635495E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.823717E-4 | 9.812956E-4 | 9.912858E-4 | 1.0101806 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009780403 | 0.01055928 | 0.010569175 | 1.000937 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.525733E-6 | 5.525733E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3681498E-5 | 2.3681498E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8828418E-4 | 2.8828418E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0032766163 | 0.0032766163 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.745133E-7 | 7.745133E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.3193387E-6 | 3.3193387E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.0412215E-5 | 4.0412215E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.7688978E-4 | 4.7688978E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Sierra Nevada (No Extension)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.9769026E-6 | 6.9769026E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.990087E-5 | 3.990057E-5 | 1.3344284 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6401814E-4 | 4.6398173E-4 | 1.2746116 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004045588 | 0.003637735 | 0.0038170803 | 1.0493014 | 1.8E-4 |
6.1 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.9769026E-6 | 6.9769026E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.990087E-5 | 3.990057E-5 | 1.3344284 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6401814E-4 | 4.6398173E-4 | 1.2746116 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004045588 | 0.003637735 | 0.0038170803 | 1.0493014 | 1.8E-4 |
6.2 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.9769026E-6 | 6.9769026E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.990087E-5 | 3.990057E-5 | 1.3344284 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6401814E-4 | 4.6398173E-4 | 1.2746116 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004045588 | 0.003637735 | 0.0038170803 | 1.0493014 | 1.8E-4 |
6.3 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.9769026E-6 | 6.9769026E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.990087E-5 | 3.990057E-5 | 1.3344284 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6401814E-4 | 4.6398173E-4 | 1.2746116 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004045588 | 0.003637735 | 0.0038170803 | 1.0493014 | 1.8E-4 |
6.4 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.9769026E-6 | 6.9769026E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.990087E-5 | 3.990057E-5 | 1.3344284 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6401814E-4 | 4.6398173E-4 | 1.2746116 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004045588 | 0.003637735 | 0.0038170803 | 1.0493014 | 1.8E-4 |
6.5 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.9769026E-6 | 6.9769026E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.990087E-5 | 3.990057E-5 | 1.3344284 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6401814E-4 | 4.6398173E-4 | 1.2746116 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004045588 | 0.003637735 | 0.0038170803 | 1.0493014 | 1.8E-4 |
6.6 | 2.653E-6 | 1.6150935E-6 | 1.6150935E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.136995E-5 | 6.9218113E-6 | 1.6921742E-5 | 2.4446986 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3842035E-4 | 8.426983E-5 | 1.5426392E-4 | 1.830595 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0013833415 | 8.4238214E-4 | 9.922558E-4 | 1.1779164 | 1.5E-4 |
6.7 | 2.5902466E-6 | 1.5504244E-6 | 1.5504244E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.11010095E-5 | 6.644659E-6 | 1.6644593E-5 | 2.5049582 | 1.0E-5 | 1.351464E-4 | 8.0895756E-5 | 1.5089009E-4 | 1.8652412 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0013506424 | 8.0866605E-4 | 9.585447E-4 | 1.1853406 | 1.5E-4 |
6.8 | 2.5853892E-6 | 1.5472234E-6 | 1.5472234E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1080193E-5 | 6.630941E-6 | 1.6630875E-5 | 2.5080717 | 1.0E-5 | 1.34893E-4 | 8.072874E-5 | 1.5072309E-4 | 1.8670313 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0013481114 | 8.069972E-4 | 9.568761E-4 | 1.1857243 | 1.5E-4 |
6.9 | 2.458257E-6 | 1.4222919E-6 | 1.4222919E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0535345E-5 | 6.0955226E-6 | 1.6095462E-5 | 2.6405385 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2826028E-4 | 7.4210475E-5 | 1.4420529E-4 | 1.9431931 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0012818627 | 7.418589E-4 | 8.9174765E-4 | 1.2020447 | 1.5E-4 |
7.0 | 2.4341468E-6 | 1.3992544E-6 | 1.3992544E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0432016E-5 | 5.996791E-6 | 1.5996731E-5 | 2.6675487 | 1.0E-5 | 1.270024E-4 | 7.30085E-5 | 1.4300339E-4 | 1.9587225 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0012692984 | 7.298471E-4 | 8.797376E-4 | 1.2053725 | 1.5E-4 |
7.1 | 2.3652476E-6 | 1.3342003E-6 | 1.3342003E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0136736E-5 | 5.717989E-6 | 1.5717931E-5 | 2.7488565 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2340778E-4 | 6.961431E-5 | 1.3960943E-4 | 2.0054705 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0012333926 | 6.959267E-4 | 8.4582233E-4 | 1.21539 | 1.5E-4 |
7.2 | 2.272158E-6 | 1.2505012E-6 | 1.2505012E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.737784E-6 | 5.3592803E-6 | 1.5359226E-5 | 2.8659122 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1855107E-4 | 6.5247295E-5 | 1.3524274E-4 | 2.0727713 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0011848784 | 6.522829E-4 | 7.921916E-4 | 1.2144908 | 1.4E-4 |
7.3 | 2.1382127E-6 | 1.1421819E-6 | 1.1421819E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.163737E-6 | 4.895056E-6 | 1.4895007E-5 | 3.0428677 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1156279E-4 | 5.9595688E-5 | 1.19592114E-4 | 2.0067244 | 6.0E-5 | 0.001115068 | 5.9579825E-4 | 7.257208E-4 | 1.2180647 | 1.3E-4 |
7.4 | 1.9048055E-6 | 9.577233E-7 | 9.577233E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.163426E-6 | 4.104522E-6 | 1.4104481E-5 | 3.4363275 | 1.0E-5 | 9.9385186E-5 | 4.997141E-5 | 1.09968416E-4 | 2.2006264 | 6.0E-5 | 9.934074E-4 | 4.9960247E-4 | 6.195425E-4 | 1.2400709 | 1.2E-4 |
7.5 | 1.5373403E-6 | 7.5617294E-7 | 7.5617294E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5885843E-6 | 3.2407372E-6 | 1.3240705E-5 | 4.0857077 | 1.0E-5 | 8.021306E-5 | 3.9455266E-5 | 9.94529E-5 | 2.5206497 | 6.0E-5 | 8.0184115E-4 | 3.9448307E-4 | 5.1443576E-4 | 1.3040756 | 1.2E-4 |
7.6 | 1.0680322E-6 | 4.6608193E-7 | 4.6608193E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.577273E-6 | 1.9974925E-6 | 1.9974925E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5726876E-5 | 2.4319203E-5 | 6.431823E-5 | 2.6447508 | 4.0E-5 | 5.5712904E-4 | 2.4316568E-4 | 3.4314135E-4 | 1.4111422 | 1.0E-4 |
7.7 | 5.509146E-7 | 1.5585714E-7 | 1.5585714E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3610605E-6 | 6.67959E-7 | 6.67959E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8745531E-5 | 8.1323715E-6 | 1.813229E-5 | 2.2296436 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8741814E-4 | 8.132085E-5 | 1.1131842E-4 | 1.3688791 | 3.0E-5 |
San Andreas (Cholame) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2302514E-4 | 2.530265E-4 | 2.530265E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.27144E-4 | 0.0010839503 | 0.0010939394 | 1.0092155 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0063991086 | 0.013117749 | 0.013176963 | 1.004514 | 6.0E-5 | 0.06217949 | 0.12478654 | 0.124944076 | 1.0012624 | 1.8E-4 |
6.1 | 1.2302514E-4 | 2.530265E-4 | 2.530265E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.27144E-4 | 0.0010839503 | 0.0010939394 | 1.0092155 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0063991086 | 0.013117749 | 0.013176963 | 1.004514 | 6.0E-5 | 0.06217949 | 0.12478654 | 0.124944076 | 1.0012624 | 1.8E-4 |
6.2 | 1.2203569E-4 | 2.5119307E-4 | 2.5119307E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2290526E-4 | 0.0010760991 | 0.0010860884 | 1.0092828 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006347804 | 0.0130233085 | 0.013082528 | 1.0045471 | 6.0E-5 | 0.061695136 | 0.123973876 | 0.12413156 | 1.001272 | 1.8E-4 |
6.3 | 1.2142645E-4 | 2.5005205E-4 | 2.5005205E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.202953E-4 | 0.0010712132 | 0.0010812025 | 1.0093253 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006316212 | 0.012964532 | 0.013023754 | 1.004568 | 6.0E-5 | 0.06139677 | 0.123467065 | 0.12362484 | 1.0012779 | 1.8E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1865206E-4 | 2.4510102E-4 | 2.4510102E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0840975E-4 | 0.0010500116 | 0.0010600011 | 1.0095137 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006172335 | 0.01270944 | 0.0127686765 | 1.0046608 | 6.0E-5 | 0.060036868 | 0.12126337 | 0.121412754 | 1.0012319 | 1.7E-4 |
6.5 | 1.17443946E-4 | 2.4302982E-4 | 2.4302982E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.032341E-4 | 0.0010411422 | 0.0010511318 | 1.0095948 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006109677 | 0.0126027055 | 0.01266195 | 1.0047009 | 6.0E-5 | 0.059444077 | 0.12033949 | 0.12048903 | 1.0012426 | 1.7E-4 |
6.6 | 1.13579066E-4 | 2.3610788E-4 | 2.3610788E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.866766E-4 | 0.0010115 | 0.00102149 | 1.0098763 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0059092017 | 0.012245921 | 0.012305187 | 1.0048395 | 6.0E-5 | 0.057545185 | 0.11725778 | 0.11740784 | 1.0012798 | 1.7E-4 |
6.7 | 1.1271412E-4 | 2.3454869E-4 | 2.3454869E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.829711E-4 | 0.0010048229 | 0.0010148128 | 1.009942 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005864331 | 0.012165539 | 0.012224809 | 1.004872 | 6.0E-5 | 0.057119697 | 0.11656104 | 0.11671123 | 1.0012884 | 1.7E-4 |
6.8 | 1.1217975E-4 | 2.334306E-4 | 2.334306E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8068175E-4 | 0.0010000349 | 0.0010100248 | 1.0099896 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005836608 | 0.012107894 | 0.012167167 | 1.0048954 | 6.0E-5 | 0.056856725 | 0.11605903 | 0.1162093 | 1.0012947 | 1.7E-4 |
6.9 | 1.1146753E-4 | 2.319156E-4 | 2.319156E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7763053E-4 | 9.935469E-4 | 0.001003537 | 1.010055 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0057996577 | 0.012029778 | 0.012089057 | 1.0049276 | 6.0E-5 | 0.056506127 | 0.11537771 | 0.115519255 | 1.0012268 | 1.6E-4 |
7.0 | 1.0965793E-4 | 2.2814117E-4 | 2.2814117E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.698779E-4 | 9.77383E-4 | 9.873732E-4 | 1.0102214 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005705768 | 0.011835137 | 0.011894427 | 1.0050097 | 6.0E-5 | 0.055614736 | 0.11367844 | 0.11382025 | 1.0012475 | 1.6E-4 |
7.1 | 9.927982E-5 | 2.0629595E-4 | 2.0629595E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2541555E-4 | 8.83827E-4 | 8.9381816E-4 | 1.0113044 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051671406 | 0.0107077975 | 0.010767155 | 1.0055434 | 6.0E-5 | 0.05048634 | 0.10376917 | 0.10391257 | 1.0013819 | 1.6E-4 |
7.2 | 9.696786E-5 | 2.013324E-4 | 2.013324E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1551032E-4 | 8.6256885E-4 | 8.725602E-4 | 1.0115833 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00504711 | 0.010451491 | 0.010510864 | 1.0056808 | 6.0E-5 | 0.04934009 | 0.101503074 | 0.10164683 | 1.0014163 | 1.6E-4 |
7.3 | 9.4727984E-5 | 1.9561072E-4 | 1.9561072E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0591392E-4 | 8.3806325E-4 | 8.480549E-4 | 1.0119222 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0049308087 | 0.010155956 | 0.010215347 | 1.0058478 | 6.0E-5 | 0.048228268 | 0.09886914 | 0.09901331 | 1.0014583 | 1.6E-4 |
7.4 | 9.220358E-5 | 1.8929933E-4 | 1.8929933E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9509835E-4 | 8.1103155E-4 | 8.210235E-4 | 1.0123199 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004799717 | 0.009829853 | 0.009889263 | 1.0060439 | 6.0E-5 | 0.046973653 | 0.095947914 | 0.09609257 | 1.0015075 | 1.6E-4 |
7.5 | 7.71631E-5 | 1.5254077E-4 | 1.5254077E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.306571E-4 | 6.5358257E-4 | 6.63576E-4 | 1.0152903 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0040183207 | 0.007928407 | 0.007987931 | 1.0075077 | 6.0E-5 | 0.03946433 | 0.0786268 | 0.078765 | 1.0017577 | 1.5E-4 |
7.6 | 7.5634416E-5 | 1.491249E-4 | 1.491249E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.241072E-4 | 6.389503E-4 | 6.4894394E-4 | 1.0156406 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0039388672 | 0.007751541 | 0.007811076 | 1.0076804 | 6.0E-5 | 0.038697794 | 0.076988935 | 0.07712739 | 1.0017984 | 1.5E-4 |
7.7 | 6.3783E-5 | 1.2425841E-4 | 1.2425841E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7332708E-4 | 5.324274E-4 | 5.4242206E-4 | 1.0187719 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033226798 | 0.006463064 | 0.0065127406 | 1.0076863 | 5.0E-5 | 0.032734364 | 0.06485294 | 0.06494646 | 1.001442 | 1.0E-4 |
7.8 | 5.863422E-5 | 1.1477146E-4 | 1.1477146E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.512653E-4 | 4.91785E-4 | 5.017801E-4 | 1.0203241 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003054864 | 0.0059710657 | 0.006020767 | 1.0083237 | 5.0E-5 | 0.030132094 | 0.059943225 | 0.06003723 | 1.0015682 | 1.0E-4 |
7.9 | 4.595283E-5 | 8.470819E-5 | 8.470819E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9692584E-4 | 3.6298457E-4 | 3.7298095E-4 | 1.0275394 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023949358 | 0.004410389 | 0.0044502127 | 1.0090295 | 4.0E-5 | 0.023692891 | 0.044573124 | 0.04463045 | 1.0012861 | 6.0E-5 |
8.0 | 3.2950178E-5 | 5.105059E-5 | 5.105059E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.412074E-4 | 2.187699E-4 | 2.187699E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017178444 | 0.002660272 | 0.002690192 | 1.011247 | 3.0E-5 | 0.017046256 | 0.027317554 | 0.027346734 | 1.0010682 | 3.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.9177472E-5 | 1.9321917E-5 | 1.9321917E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.218658E-5 | 8.2805585E-5 | 8.2805585E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010001622 | 0.0010076924 | 0.0010176824 | 1.0099137 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009956728 | 0.010830593 | 0.010840485 | 1.0009133 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.525733E-6 | 5.525733E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3681498E-5 | 2.3681498E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8828418E-4 | 2.8828418E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0032766163 | 0.0032766163 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.745133E-7 | 7.745133E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.3193387E-6 | 3.3193387E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.0412215E-5 | 4.0412215E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.7688978E-4 | 4.7688978E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Carrizo) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4420203E-4 | 2.4420203E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.001046162 | 0.0010561516 | 1.0095488 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006073493 | 0.012663124 | 0.012722365 | 1.0046781 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0591016 | 0.1210424 | 0.121200606 | 1.0013071 | 1.8E-4 |
6.1 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4420203E-4 | 2.4420203E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.001046162 | 0.0010561516 | 1.0095488 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006073493 | 0.012663124 | 0.012722365 | 1.0046781 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0591016 | 0.1210424 | 0.121200606 | 1.0013071 | 1.8E-4 |
6.2 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4420203E-4 | 2.4420203E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.001046162 | 0.0010561516 | 1.0095488 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006073493 | 0.012663124 | 0.012722365 | 1.0046781 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0591016 | 0.1210424 | 0.121200606 | 1.0013071 | 1.8E-4 |
6.3 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4420203E-4 | 2.4420203E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.001046162 | 0.0010561516 | 1.0095488 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006073493 | 0.012663124 | 0.012722365 | 1.0046781 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0591016 | 0.1210424 | 0.121200606 | 1.0013071 | 1.8E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4420203E-4 | 2.4420203E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.001046162 | 0.0010561516 | 1.0095488 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006073493 | 0.012663124 | 0.012722365 | 1.0046781 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0591016 | 0.1210424 | 0.121200606 | 1.0013071 | 1.8E-4 |
6.5 | 1.13136164E-4 | 2.3739762E-4 | 2.3739762E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.847792E-4 | 0.0010170232 | 0.0010270131 | 1.0098226 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0058862255 | 0.0123124095 | 0.01237167 | 1.0048131 | 6.0E-5 | 0.057327334 | 0.11801231 | 0.118171066 | 1.0013453 | 1.8E-4 |
6.6 | 1.13136164E-4 | 2.3739762E-4 | 2.3739762E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.847792E-4 | 0.0010170232 | 0.0010270131 | 1.0098226 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0058862255 | 0.0123124095 | 0.01237167 | 1.0048131 | 6.0E-5 | 0.057327334 | 0.11801231 | 0.118171066 | 1.0013453 | 1.8E-4 |
6.7 | 1.1149675E-4 | 2.3430759E-4 | 2.3430759E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.777557E-4 | 0.0010037904 | 0.0010137804 | 1.0099522 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0058011734 | 0.012153106 | 0.012212377 | 1.004877 | 6.0E-5 | 0.05652051 | 0.116639875 | 0.11679888 | 1.0013632 | 1.8E-4 |
6.8 | 1.1103589E-4 | 2.3332801E-4 | 2.3332801E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7578133E-4 | 9.995955E-4 | 0.0010095855 | 1.009994 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005777263 | 0.012102601 | 0.012161875 | 1.0048976 | 6.0E-5 | 0.056293584 | 0.11620042 | 0.1163595 | 1.001369 | 1.8E-4 |
6.9 | 1.1053259E-4 | 2.3225065E-4 | 2.3225065E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7362508E-4 | 9.949817E-4 | 0.0010049718 | 1.0100404 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0057511497 | 0.012047051 | 0.012106328 | 1.0049205 | 6.0E-5 | 0.05604569 | 0.115715355 | 0.115865685 | 1.0012991 | 1.7E-4 |
7.0 | 1.1005377E-4 | 2.3125774E-4 | 2.3125774E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7157376E-4 | 9.907297E-4 | 0.0010007197 | 1.0100836 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0057263062 | 0.011995854 | 0.012055134 | 1.0049417 | 6.0E-5 | 0.055809796 | 0.11526874 | 0.11541914 | 1.0013049 | 1.7E-4 |
7.1 | 1.0308142E-4 | 2.1633772E-4 | 2.1633772E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.417027E-4 | 9.2683325E-4 | 9.36824E-4 | 1.0107794 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0053644776 | 0.011226129 | 0.011285455 | 1.0052847 | 6.0E-5 | 0.052368138 | 0.10850719 | 0.108658746 | 1.0013968 | 1.7E-4 |
7.2 | 1.0027479E-4 | 2.1040978E-4 | 2.1040978E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.296783E-4 | 9.014456E-4 | 9.114365E-4 | 1.0110832 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0052187922 | 0.010920171 | 0.0109795155 | 1.0054344 | 6.0E-5 | 0.050979212 | 0.105804265 | 0.10595628 | 1.0014367 | 1.7E-4 |
7.3 | 9.816942E-5 | 2.051486E-4 | 2.051486E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2065824E-4 | 8.78913E-4 | 8.889042E-4 | 1.0113677 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005109493 | 0.010648551 | 0.010707912 | 1.0055746 | 6.0E-5 | 0.049935985 | 0.10338346 | 0.10353588 | 1.0014744 | 1.7E-4 |
7.4 | 9.5634205E-5 | 1.9882647E-4 | 1.9882647E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0979648E-4 | 8.5183606E-4 | 8.618276E-4 | 1.0117294 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0049778637 | 0.010322052 | 0.010381432 | 1.0057528 | 6.0E-5 | 0.048678253 | 0.10047068 | 0.1006236 | 1.0015221 | 1.7E-4 |
7.5 | 8.052417E-5 | 1.619247E-4 | 1.619247E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4505792E-4 | 6.937787E-4 | 7.037717E-4 | 1.0144038 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0041929903 | 0.008414123 | 0.008473619 | 1.0070709 | 6.0E-5 | 0.04114753 | 0.08316644 | 0.08331314 | 1.0017638 | 1.6E-4 |
7.6 | 7.897024E-5 | 1.5844642E-4 | 1.5844642E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.384E-4 | 6.7887956E-4 | 6.8887277E-4 | 1.0147202 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0041122385 | 0.008234112 | 0.0082936175 | 1.0072267 | 6.0E-5 | 0.040369697 | 0.08150652 | 0.081653476 | 1.001803 | 1.6E-4 |
7.7 | 6.707427E-5 | 1.3346934E-4 | 1.3346934E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8742946E-4 | 5.718861E-4 | 5.8188033E-4 | 1.017476 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003493839 | 0.0069405176 | 0.0069901706 | 1.0071541 | 5.0E-5 | 0.034394164 | 0.069375515 | 0.069477886 | 1.0014756 | 1.1E-4 |
7.8 | 6.147705E-5 | 1.2261621E-4 | 1.2261621E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6344648E-4 | 5.2539224E-4 | 5.35387E-4 | 1.0190234 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032027436 | 0.006377915 | 0.006427596 | 1.0077896 | 5.0E-5 | 0.031569764 | 0.06381065 | 0.06390426 | 1.0014671 | 1.0E-4 |
7.9 | 4.7636717E-5 | 8.9258916E-5 | 8.9258916E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0414138E-4 | 3.8248216E-4 | 3.9247834E-4 | 1.026135 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024825884 | 0.004646785 | 0.004686599 | 1.008568 | 4.0E-5 | 0.024550365 | 0.046846006 | 0.046903193 | 1.0012208 | 6.0E-5 |
8.0 | 3.3554235E-5 | 5.2419924E-5 | 5.2419924E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4379594E-4 | 2.246375E-4 | 2.246375E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017493097 | 0.002731533 | 0.002761451 | 1.0109528 | 3.0E-5 | 0.017356034 | 0.028020784 | 0.028049942 | 1.0010406 | 3.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.9175432E-5 | 1.9321744E-5 | 1.9321744E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.217783E-5 | 8.280485E-5 | 8.280485E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010000558 | 0.0010076835 | 0.0010176733 | 1.0099138 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009955673 | 0.010830476 | 0.0108403675 | 1.0009133 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.525733E-6 | 5.525733E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3681498E-5 | 2.3681498E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8828418E-4 | 2.8828418E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0032766163 | 0.0032766163 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.745133E-7 | 7.745133E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.3193387E-6 | 3.3193387E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.0412215E-5 | 4.0412215E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.7688978E-4 | 4.7688978E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (San Bernardino)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.614502E-5 | 3.614502E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.5489804E-4 | 1.7489494E-4 | 1.1290972 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017774 | 0.0018842539 | 0.001954122 | 1.0370799 | 7.0E-5 | 0.01763251 | 0.019431202 | 0.019588092 | 1.0080742 | 1.6E-4 |
6.1 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.614502E-5 | 3.614502E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.5489804E-4 | 1.7489494E-4 | 1.1290972 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017774 | 0.0018842539 | 0.001954122 | 1.0370799 | 7.0E-5 | 0.01763251 | 0.019431202 | 0.019588092 | 1.0080742 | 1.6E-4 |
6.2 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.614502E-5 | 3.614502E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.5489804E-4 | 1.7489494E-4 | 1.1290972 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017774 | 0.0018842539 | 0.001954122 | 1.0370799 | 7.0E-5 | 0.01763251 | 0.019431202 | 0.019588092 | 1.0080742 | 1.6E-4 |
6.3 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.614502E-5 | 3.614502E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.5489804E-4 | 1.7489494E-4 | 1.1290972 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017774 | 0.0018842539 | 0.001954122 | 1.0370799 | 7.0E-5 | 0.01763251 | 0.019431202 | 0.019588092 | 1.0080742 | 1.6E-4 |
6.4 | 3.400795E-5 | 3.603765E-5 | 3.603765E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4574021E-4 | 1.5443793E-4 | 1.7443484E-4 | 1.1294819 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017729428 | 0.0018786618 | 0.0019485303 | 1.0371906 | 7.0E-5 | 0.017588645 | 0.019376269 | 0.019533169 | 1.0080975 | 1.6E-4 |
6.5 | 3.341482E-5 | 3.529804E-5 | 3.529804E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4319851E-4 | 1.5126854E-4 | 1.7126552E-4 | 1.1321952 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017420477 | 0.0018401401 | 0.0019100113 | 1.0379705 | 7.0E-5 | 0.017284546 | 0.01899772 | 0.019154679 | 1.008262 | 1.6E-4 |
6.6 | 3.3364955E-5 | 3.5235233E-5 | 3.5235233E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4298483E-4 | 1.5099942E-4 | 1.709964E-4 | 1.1324308 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017394501 | 0.001836869 | 0.0019067405 | 1.0380384 | 7.0E-5 | 0.017258976 | 0.018965576 | 0.019122541 | 1.0082763 | 1.6E-4 |
6.7 | 3.335922E-5 | 3.5225006E-5 | 3.5225006E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4296026E-4 | 1.5095557E-4 | 1.7095255E-4 | 1.1324693 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017391514 | 0.0018363363 | 0.0019062078 | 1.0380493 | 7.0E-5 | 0.017256035 | 0.018960366 | 0.019117333 | 1.0082786 | 1.6E-4 |
6.8 | 3.327683E-5 | 3.5119032E-5 | 3.5119032E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4260718E-4 | 1.5050147E-4 | 1.7049846E-4 | 1.1328691 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017348597 | 0.0018308167 | 0.0019006886 | 1.0381643 | 7.0E-5 | 0.017213784 | 0.018906124 | 0.019063098 | 1.0083028 | 1.6E-4 |
6.9 | 3.3235785E-5 | 3.5059962E-5 | 3.5059962E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4243131E-4 | 1.5024834E-4 | 1.7024533E-4 | 1.133093 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017327217 | 0.0018277401 | 0.0018976121 | 1.0382286 | 7.0E-5 | 0.017192734 | 0.018875983 | 0.019032963 | 1.0083164 | 1.6E-4 |
7.0 | 3.3197095E-5 | 3.4999863E-5 | 3.4999863E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.422655E-4 | 1.499908E-4 | 1.699878E-4 | 1.1333215 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017307063 | 0.0018246098 | 0.0018944822 | 1.0382943 | 7.0E-5 | 0.017172894 | 0.018845348 | 0.019002333 | 1.0083301 | 1.6E-4 |
7.1 | 3.3129716E-5 | 3.488001E-5 | 3.488001E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4197677E-4 | 1.494772E-4 | 1.6947421E-4 | 1.1337796 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017271966 | 0.0018183673 | 0.00188824 | 1.038426 | 7.0E-5 | 0.017138338 | 0.0187844 | 0.018941395 | 1.0083578 | 1.6E-4 |
7.2 | 3.3034008E-5 | 3.4747405E-5 | 3.4747405E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4156665E-4 | 1.4890896E-4 | 1.6890599E-4 | 1.1342902 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017222111 | 0.0018114605 | 0.0018813337 | 1.0385729 | 7.0E-5 | 0.017089253 | 0.018716782 | 0.018873788 | 1.0083885 | 1.6E-4 |
7.3 | 3.2956614E-5 | 3.4615066E-5 | 3.4615066E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4123498E-4 | 1.4834186E-4 | 1.683389E-4 | 1.1348037 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017181796 | 0.0018045675 | 0.0018744412 | 1.0387205 | 7.0E-5 | 0.017049557 | 0.018649492 | 0.018806508 | 1.0084193 | 1.6E-4 |
7.4 | 3.2915937E-5 | 3.453669E-5 | 3.453669E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4106068E-4 | 1.4800599E-4 | 1.6800303E-4 | 1.1351097 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017160608 | 0.001800485 | 0.001870359 | 1.0388085 | 7.0E-5 | 0.017028693 | 0.018609721 | 0.018766744 | 1.0084376 | 1.6E-4 |
7.5 | 3.281791E-5 | 3.4401488E-5 | 3.4401488E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.406406E-4 | 1.4742662E-4 | 1.6742367E-4 | 1.1356407 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017109542 | 0.0017934428 | 0.0018633172 | 1.038961 | 7.0E-5 | 0.016978411 | 0.018540557 | 0.01869759 | 1.0084697 | 1.6E-4 |
7.6 | 3.2521442E-5 | 3.4126137E-5 | 3.4126137E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3937015E-4 | 1.4624669E-4 | 1.6624376E-4 | 1.1367352 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0016955109 | 0.0017791007 | 0.0018489761 | 1.0392758 | 7.0E-5 | 0.016826328 | 0.018398054 | 0.01855511 | 1.0085366 | 1.6E-4 |
7.7 | 3.0287873E-5 | 3.2608412E-5 | 3.2608412E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.297987E-4 | 1.3974286E-4 | 1.5974006E-4 | 1.1431 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015791537 | 0.0017000427 | 0.0017699237 | 1.0411054 | 7.0E-5 | 0.01567979 | 0.017608069 | 0.01776525 | 1.0089267 | 1.6E-4 |
7.8 | 2.6316151E-5 | 2.9813596E-5 | 2.9813596E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1277862E-4 | 1.277663E-4 | 1.4776374E-4 | 1.1565158 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0013722149 | 0.0015544457 | 0.0016243369 | 1.0449622 | 7.0E-5 | 0.013637724 | 0.016147051 | 0.016294628 | 1.0091397 | 1.5E-4 |
7.9 | 2.0761147E-5 | 2.3548937E-5 | 2.3548937E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.897331E-5 | 1.00920115E-4 | 1.209181E-4 | 1.1981566 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010827117 | 0.0012280107 | 0.001287937 | 1.0487995 | 6.0E-5 | 0.010774517 | 0.012861164 | 0.012989492 | 1.0099779 | 1.3E-4 |
8.0 | 1.5738568E-5 | 1.6131631E-5 | 1.6131631E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.744926E-5 | 6.913373E-5 | 7.913304E-5 | 1.1446372 | 1.0E-5 | 8.2088535E-4 | 8.413788E-4 | 8.513704E-4 | 1.0118753 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008178596 | 0.008917758 | 0.008997045 | 1.0088909 | 8.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.0105832E-5 | 8.387487E-6 | 8.387487E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3309992E-5 | 3.594588E-5 | 3.594588E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2717153E-4 | 4.375537E-4 | 4.375537E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005259227 | 0.0047080545 | 0.0047180075 | 1.002114 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 4.189207E-6 | 1.5944557E-6 | 1.5944557E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7953622E-5 | 6.833364E-6 | 6.833364E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1856341E-4 | 8.319306E-5 | 8.319306E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021834858 | 9.657699E-4 | 9.657699E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2758221E-6 | 3.6577427E-7 | 3.6577427E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4677976E-6 | 1.567603E-6 | 1.567603E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.65684E-5 | 1.9085404E-5 | 1.9085404E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6548464E-4 | 2.3004012E-4 | 2.3004012E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Death Valley (Fish Lake Valley)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.872328E-5 | 4.7279907E-5 | 6.727896E-5 | 1.4229927 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6594635E-4 | 2.0261385E-4 | 2.226098E-4 | 1.0986899 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0020185246 | 0.002464284 | 0.002544087 | 1.0323838 | 8.0E-5 | 0.02000288 | 0.024395378 | 0.024541719 | 1.0059987 | 1.5E-4 |
6.1 | 3.872328E-5 | 4.7279907E-5 | 6.727896E-5 | 1.4229927 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6594635E-4 | 2.0261385E-4 | 2.226098E-4 | 1.0986899 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0020185246 | 0.002464284 | 0.002544087 | 1.0323838 | 8.0E-5 | 0.02000288 | 0.024395378 | 0.024541719 | 1.0059987 | 1.5E-4 |
6.2 | 3.872328E-5 | 4.7279907E-5 | 6.727896E-5 | 1.4229927 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6594635E-4 | 2.0261385E-4 | 2.226098E-4 | 1.0986899 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0020185246 | 0.002464284 | 0.002544087 | 1.0323838 | 8.0E-5 | 0.02000288 | 0.024395378 | 0.024541719 | 1.0059987 | 1.5E-4 |
6.3 | 2.8356371E-5 | 3.3618202E-5 | 5.3617532E-5 | 1.5948958 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2152165E-4 | 1.4407023E-4 | 1.6406736E-4 | 1.1388012 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014785219 | 0.0017527139 | 0.0018325737 | 1.0455635 | 8.0E-5 | 0.014687235 | 0.017396092 | 0.017543484 | 1.0084727 | 1.5E-4 |
6.4 | 2.8356371E-5 | 3.3618202E-5 | 5.3617532E-5 | 1.5948958 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2152165E-4 | 1.4407023E-4 | 1.6406736E-4 | 1.1388012 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014785219 | 0.0017527139 | 0.0018325737 | 1.0455635 | 8.0E-5 | 0.014687235 | 0.017396092 | 0.017543484 | 1.0084727 | 1.5E-4 |
6.5 | 2.4448687E-5 | 2.861413E-5 | 4.8613558E-5 | 1.6989354 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0477588E-4 | 1.226265E-4 | 1.4262405E-4 | 1.1630769 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012748998 | 0.001492002 | 0.0015718827 | 1.0535393 | 8.0E-5 | 0.012676105 | 0.014824748 | 0.014972525 | 1.0099682 | 1.5E-4 |
6.6 | 2.1298161E-5 | 2.4665298E-5 | 4.4664805E-5 | 1.8108358 | 2.0E-5 | 9.127464E-5 | 1.05704334E-4 | 1.2570222E-4 | 1.189187 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011107022 | 0.0012862234 | 0.0013561334 | 1.0543529 | 7.0E-5 | 0.011051672 | 0.012791221 | 0.012919558 | 1.0100332 | 1.3E-4 |
6.7 | 1.8959729E-5 | 2.178537E-5 | 4.1784933E-5 | 1.9180273 | 2.0E-5 | 8.125345E-5 | 9.336267E-5 | 1.133608E-4 | 1.2141984 | 2.0E-5 | 9.888117E-4 | 0.0011361234 | 0.0012060439 | 1.061543 | 7.0E-5 | 0.009844234 | 0.011305813 | 0.011434343 | 1.0113685 | 1.3E-4 |
6.8 | 1.6691629E-5 | 1.9021896E-5 | 3.9021514E-5 | 2.0514 | 2.0E-5 | 7.153359E-5 | 8.151996E-5 | 1.0151833E-4 | 1.2453187 | 2.0E-5 | 8.7057345E-4 | 9.920704E-4 | 0.001062001 | 1.0704895 | 7.0E-5 | 0.008671708 | 0.009878175 | 0.010006892 | 1.0130303 | 1.3E-4 |
6.9 | 1.450505E-5 | 1.6392378E-5 | 3.639205E-5 | 2.2200592 | 2.0E-5 | 6.216302E-5 | 7.0251204E-5 | 9.02498E-5 | 1.2846726 | 2.0E-5 | 7.5657194E-4 | 8.549816E-4 | 9.2492177E-4 | 1.0818031 | 7.0E-5 | 0.007540013 | 0.008517854 | 0.008636832 | 1.0139681 | 1.2E-4 |
7.0 | 1.2940855E-5 | 1.4540358E-5 | 3.4540066E-5 | 2.3754618 | 2.0E-5 | 5.545963E-5 | 6.2314364E-5 | 8.231312E-5 | 1.3209332 | 2.0E-5 | 6.750118E-4 | 7.584191E-4 | 8.28366E-4 | 1.0922272 | 7.0E-5 | 0.006729651 | 0.007558926 | 0.007678019 | 1.0157553 | 1.2E-4 |
7.1 | 1.2544658E-5 | 1.4080496E-5 | 3.4080214E-5 | 2.4203844 | 2.0E-5 | 5.3761712E-5 | 6.034362E-5 | 8.034241E-5 | 1.3314152 | 2.0E-5 | 6.5435225E-4 | 7.344415E-4 | 8.043901E-4 | 1.0952405 | 7.0E-5 | 0.006524288 | 0.0073207365 | 0.0074398583 | 1.0162718 | 1.2E-4 |
7.2 | 1.2489416E-5 | 1.4017952E-5 | 3.401767E-5 | 2.426722 | 2.0E-5 | 5.3524967E-5 | 6.0075585E-5 | 8.007438E-5 | 1.332894 | 2.0E-5 | 6.514716E-4 | 7.311804E-4 | 8.011292E-4 | 1.0956656 | 7.0E-5 | 0.006495651 | 0.0072883395 | 0.007407465 | 1.0163447 | 1.2E-4 |
7.3 | 1.2368307E-5 | 1.3882068E-5 | 3.388179E-5 | 2.4406874 | 2.0E-5 | 5.3005948E-5 | 5.9493254E-5 | 7.949206E-5 | 1.3361526 | 2.0E-5 | 6.451563E-4 | 7.240952E-4 | 7.940445E-4 | 1.0966023 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0064328653 | 0.0072179507 | 0.0073370845 | 1.0165052 | 1.2E-4 |
7.4 | 1.2161707E-5 | 1.3650086E-5 | 3.3649812E-5 | 2.4651723 | 2.0E-5 | 5.212056E-5 | 5.8499085E-5 | 7.849791E-5 | 1.3418657 | 2.0E-5 | 6.3438306E-4 | 7.119992E-4 | 7.819494E-4 | 1.0982447 | 7.0E-5 | 0.006325751 | 0.0070977695 | 0.007216918 | 1.0167867 | 1.2E-4 |
7.5 | 1.1707948E-5 | 1.314766E-5 | 3.3147397E-5 | 2.5211632 | 2.0E-5 | 5.0175953E-5 | 5.634593E-5 | 7.6344804E-5 | 1.3549302 | 2.0E-5 | 6.10721E-4 | 6.858013E-4 | 7.5575337E-4 | 1.1020004 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0060904534 | 0.006837433 | 0.0069566127 | 1.0174304 | 1.2E-4 |
7.6 | 1.0319538E-5 | 1.15815E-5 | 3.158127E-5 | 2.726872 | 2.0E-5 | 4.4225842E-5 | 4.9634087E-5 | 6.96331E-5 | 1.4029288 | 2.0E-5 | 5.383166E-4 | 6.0413266E-4 | 6.7409035E-4 | 1.1157986 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0053701443 | 0.0060254345 | 0.0061447117 | 1.0197955 | 1.2E-4 |
7.7 | 8.937764E-6 | 1.0024395E-5 | 2.0024296E-5 | 1.9975563 | 1.0E-5 | 3.830414E-5 | 4.2961015E-5 | 5.2960586E-5 | 1.2327591 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6625308E-4 | 5.229299E-4 | 5.828985E-4 | 1.1146781 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0046527605 | 0.0052175033 | 0.0053169816 | 1.0190662 | 1.0E-4 |
7.8 | 3.108007E-7 | 3.2849027E-7 | 3.2849027E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3320023E-6 | 1.4078147E-6 | 1.4078147E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6217007E-5 | 1.7140013E-5 | 1.7140013E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6215823E-4 | 1.7138729E-4 | 1.7138729E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6698248E-9 | 2.6698248E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1442106E-8 | 1.1442106E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3930764E-7 | 1.3930764E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3930764E-6 | 1.3930764E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cady
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9892565E-5 | 2.1861597E-5 | 2.1861597E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.525106E-5 | 9.3689705E-5 | 9.3689705E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010374374 | 0.0011401662 | 0.0011801206 | 1.0350426 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010326075 | 0.011352182 | 0.01150048 | 1.0130633 | 1.5E-4 |
6.1 | 1.9892565E-5 | 2.1861597E-5 | 2.1861597E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.525106E-5 | 9.3689705E-5 | 9.3689705E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010374374 | 0.0011401662 | 0.0011801206 | 1.0350426 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010326075 | 0.011352182 | 0.01150048 | 1.0130633 | 1.5E-4 |
6.2 | 1.9892565E-5 | 2.1861597E-5 | 2.1861597E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.525106E-5 | 9.3689705E-5 | 9.3689705E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010374374 | 0.0011401662 | 0.0011801206 | 1.0350426 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010326075 | 0.011352182 | 0.01150048 | 1.0130633 | 1.5E-4 |
6.3 | 1.1117327E-5 | 1.2178123E-5 | 1.2178123E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.764482E-5 | 5.219109E-5 | 5.219109E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7992124E-4 | 6.3527277E-4 | 6.652537E-4 | 1.0471938 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0057841022 | 0.006337675 | 0.006417168 | 1.012543 | 8.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1117327E-5 | 1.2178123E-5 | 1.2178123E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.764482E-5 | 5.219109E-5 | 5.219109E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7992124E-4 | 6.3527277E-4 | 6.652537E-4 | 1.0471938 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0057841022 | 0.006337675 | 0.006417168 | 1.012543 | 8.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.103093E-6 | 6.672846E-6 | 6.672846E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.615585E-5 | 2.859767E-5 | 2.859767E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1840094E-4 | 3.4813356E-4 | 3.7812314E-4 | 1.0861439 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0031794512 | 0.0034771163 | 0.0035369077 | 1.0171957 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.817237E-6 | 6.366455E-6 | 6.366455E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4930776E-5 | 2.7284592E-5 | 2.7284592E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.034899E-4 | 3.321517E-4 | 3.6214176E-4 | 1.0902902 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0030307577 | 0.0033177752 | 0.0033775761 | 1.0180244 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.8846314E-6 | 5.34123E-6 | 5.34123E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0933967E-5 | 2.289085E-5 | 2.289085E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5484123E-4 | 2.7867223E-4 | 2.9866668E-4 | 1.0717489 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0025454918 | 0.0027843837 | 0.0028342446 | 1.0179073 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.7788773E-6 | 1.9401411E-6 | 1.9401411E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6237375E-6 | 8.3148725E-6 | 8.3148725E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.281505E-5 | 1.0123045E-4 | 1.11229434E-4 | 1.0987746 | 1.0E-5 | 9.2776294E-4 | 0.001011998 | 0.0010419677 | 1.0296143 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.5455404E-7 | 8.298188E-7 | 8.298188E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.233799E-6 | 3.5563635E-6 | 3.5563635E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.937079E-5 | 4.32982E-5 | 5.329777E-5 | 1.2309464 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9363815E-4 | 4.329306E-4 | 4.4292628E-4 | 1.0230883 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 6.8578805E-7 | 7.5428136E-7 | 7.5428136E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9390883E-6 | 3.2326323E-6 | 3.2326323E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.578281E-5 | 3.935692E-5 | 4.9356524E-5 | 1.2540749 | 1.0E-5 | 3.577705E-4 | 3.9353195E-4 | 4.0352804E-4 | 1.0254009 | 1.0E-5 |
White Wolf (Extension)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.222555E-6 | 6.067016E-6 | 6.067016E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5239045E-5 | 2.6001275E-5 | 2.6001275E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.289509E-4 | 3.1652616E-4 | 3.6651033E-4 | 1.1579149 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0042812387 | 0.0031614054 | 0.0033109311 | 1.0472972 | 1.5E-4 |
6.1 | 8.222555E-6 | 6.067016E-6 | 6.067016E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5239045E-5 | 2.6001275E-5 | 2.6001275E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.289509E-4 | 3.1652616E-4 | 3.6651033E-4 | 1.1579149 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0042812387 | 0.0031614054 | 0.0033109311 | 1.0472972 | 1.5E-4 |
6.2 | 8.222555E-6 | 6.067016E-6 | 6.067016E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5239045E-5 | 2.6001275E-5 | 2.6001275E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.289509E-4 | 3.1652616E-4 | 3.6651033E-4 | 1.1579149 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0042812387 | 0.0031614054 | 0.0033109311 | 1.0472972 | 1.5E-4 |
6.3 | 8.222555E-6 | 6.067016E-6 | 6.067016E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5239045E-5 | 2.6001275E-5 | 2.6001275E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.289509E-4 | 3.1652616E-4 | 3.6651033E-4 | 1.1579149 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0042812387 | 0.0031614054 | 0.0033109311 | 1.0472972 | 1.5E-4 |
6.4 | 5.821773E-6 | 3.557376E-6 | 3.557376E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4950215E-5 | 1.5245814E-5 | 1.5245814E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0372653E-4 | 1.8560307E-4 | 2.1559751E-4 | 1.1616052 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0030331176 | 0.001854589 | 0.0019244592 | 1.0376742 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.766023E-6 | 3.499307E-6 | 3.499307E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4711293E-5 | 1.499695E-5 | 1.499695E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0081844E-4 | 1.8257367E-4 | 2.1256818E-4 | 1.1642872 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0030041158 | 0.0018243449 | 0.0018942172 | 1.0382999 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.643576E-6 | 2.3327598E-6 | 2.3327598E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9900888E-5 | 9.997506E-6 | 9.997506E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4226638E-4 | 1.2171327E-4 | 1.2171327E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024200242 | 0.0012165084 | 0.0012364842 | 1.0164205 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.9529173E-6 | 1.6484476E-6 | 1.6484476E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6940963E-5 | 7.064757E-6 | 7.064757E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0623671E-4 | 8.6010215E-5 | 8.6010215E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002060454 | 8.5978775E-4 | 8.6977915E-4 | 1.0116208 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.4377522E-6 | 1.2246004E-6 | 1.2246004E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.473314E-5 | 5.2482774E-6 | 5.2482774E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7936122E-4 | 6.3896E-5 | 6.3896E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017921652 | 6.3878536E-4 | 6.48779E-4 | 1.0156447 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.1367306E-6 | 1.0034402E-6 | 1.0034402E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3443062E-5 | 4.300451E-6 | 4.300451E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.63657E-4 | 5.2356812E-5 | 5.2356812E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016353652 | 5.234524E-4 | 5.334472E-4 | 1.019094 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.8298145E-6 | 7.429161E-7 | 7.429161E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2127721E-5 | 3.1839224E-6 | 3.1839224E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.47645E-4 | 3.8763617E-5 | 3.8763617E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014754693 | 3.8757356E-4 | 3.9756967E-4 | 1.0257915 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.4091064E-6 | 5.423117E-7 | 5.423117E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.03247E-5 | 2.3241912E-6 | 2.3241912E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2569598E-4 | 2.82967E-5 | 2.82967E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001256249 | 2.82935E-4 | 2.9293218E-4 | 1.0353338 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.3875518E-6 | 1.074392E-7 | 1.074392E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9466374E-6 | 4.6045363E-7 | 4.6045363E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.23979E-5 | 5.60601E-6 | 5.60601E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2374323E-4 | 5.6058798E-5 | 6.605824E-5 | 1.1783742 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.056077E-7 | 5.0023555E-8 | 5.0023555E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0240296E-6 | 2.1438665E-7 | 2.1438665E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.681694E-5 | 2.6101548E-6 | 2.6101548E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.681084E-4 | 2.6101286E-5 | 3.6101028E-5 | 1.3831129 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 5.9334678E-8 | 4.8648907E-9 | 4.8648907E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5429145E-7 | 2.0849532E-8 | 2.0849532E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.095994E-6 | 2.53843E-7 | 2.53843E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.095951E-5 | 2.5384286E-6 | 2.5384286E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Manix-Afton Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.3783202E-5 | 1.4712406E-5 | 1.4712406E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.906953E-5 | 6.3051746E-5 | 6.3051746E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.189342E-4 | 7.6740206E-4 | 7.873867E-4 | 1.026042 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0071661277 | 0.007649278 | 0.007778283 | 1.016865 | 1.3E-4 |
6.1 | 1.3783202E-5 | 1.4712406E-5 | 1.4712406E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.906953E-5 | 6.3051746E-5 | 6.3051746E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.189342E-4 | 7.6740206E-4 | 7.873867E-4 | 1.026042 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0071661277 | 0.007649278 | 0.007778283 | 1.016865 | 1.3E-4 |
6.2 | 1.3783202E-5 | 1.4712406E-5 | 1.4712406E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.906953E-5 | 6.3051746E-5 | 6.3051746E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.189342E-4 | 7.6740206E-4 | 7.873867E-4 | 1.026042 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0071661277 | 0.007649278 | 0.007778283 | 1.016865 | 1.3E-4 |
6.3 | 1.10494875E-5 | 1.1794191E-5 | 1.1794191E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7354086E-5 | 5.0545612E-5 | 5.0545612E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.763835E-4 | 6.152294E-4 | 6.2522327E-4 | 1.016244 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005748908 | 0.006136303 | 0.0062356894 | 1.0161965 | 1.0E-4 |
6.4 | 1.10494875E-5 | 1.1794191E-5 | 1.1794191E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7354086E-5 | 5.0545612E-5 | 5.0545612E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.763835E-4 | 6.152294E-4 | 6.2522327E-4 | 1.016244 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005748908 | 0.006136303 | 0.0062356894 | 1.0161965 | 1.0E-4 |
6.5 | 9.788949E-6 | 1.0455265E-5 | 1.0455265E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1951964E-5 | 4.480756E-5 | 4.480756E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1064545E-4 | 5.454048E-4 | 5.5539934E-4 | 1.018325 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0050947363 | 0.0054415893 | 0.0055410448 | 1.0182769 | 1.0E-4 |
6.6 | 8.810006E-6 | 9.414486E-6 | 9.414486E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.775662E-5 | 4.0347222E-5 | 4.0347222E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5958988E-4 | 4.911256E-4 | 5.011207E-4 | 1.0203514 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045864056 | 0.004901285 | 0.0049808924 | 1.0162423 | 8.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.80128E-6 | 9.404965E-6 | 9.404965E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7719226E-5 | 4.030642E-5 | 4.030642E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.591348E-4 | 4.9062906E-4 | 5.006241E-4 | 1.020372 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004581874 | 0.004896341 | 0.004975949 | 1.0162587 | 8.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.8994877E-6 | 7.3807596E-6 | 7.3807596E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9568899E-5 | 3.163149E-5 | 3.163149E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5994186E-4 | 3.8505348E-4 | 3.9504966E-4 | 1.0259604 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003593594 | 0.0038446684 | 0.0039044376 | 1.0155461 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.9328037E-6 | 5.271442E-6 | 5.271442E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1140417E-5 | 2.2591734E-5 | 2.2591734E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5735417E-4 | 2.750258E-4 | 2.8502304E-4 | 1.0363503 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0025705635 | 0.0027474596 | 0.0027873497 | 1.0145189 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.347973E-6 | 3.5903752E-6 | 3.5903752E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4348378E-5 | 1.5387255E-5 | 1.5387255E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.746775E-4 | 1.8732782E-4 | 1.9732595E-4 | 1.0533724 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017454025 | 0.0018721019 | 0.001912027 | 1.0213263 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.2073567E-6 | 1.2936044E-6 | 1.2936044E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1743755E-6 | 5.5440164E-6 | 5.5440164E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.29962E-5 | 6.7497946E-5 | 6.7497946E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.297835E-4 | 6.749346E-4 | 6.949211E-4 | 1.0296125 | 2.0E-5 |
Calico-Hidalgo
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.0906612E-5 | 5.071429E-5 | 5.071429E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7530227E-4 | 2.1733114E-4 | 2.1733114E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021322158 | 0.0026431924 | 0.0026830868 | 1.0150932 | 4.0E-5 | 0.02111873 | 0.026157849 | 0.026284447 | 1.0048398 | 1.3E-4 |
6.1 | 4.0906612E-5 | 5.071429E-5 | 5.071429E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7530227E-4 | 2.1733114E-4 | 2.1733114E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021322158 | 0.0026431924 | 0.0026830868 | 1.0150932 | 4.0E-5 | 0.02111873 | 0.026157849 | 0.026284447 | 1.0048398 | 1.3E-4 |
6.2 | 4.0906612E-5 | 5.071429E-5 | 5.071429E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7530227E-4 | 2.1733114E-4 | 2.1733114E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021322158 | 0.0026431924 | 0.0026830868 | 1.0150932 | 4.0E-5 | 0.02111873 | 0.026157849 | 0.026284447 | 1.0048398 | 1.3E-4 |
6.3 | 2.4242801E-5 | 3.0094923E-5 | 3.0094923E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0389358E-4 | 1.2897205E-4 | 1.2897205E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012641704 | 0.0015691372 | 0.0015891058 | 1.0127258 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01257003 | 0.015584259 | 0.015663013 | 1.0050534 | 8.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.4242801E-5 | 3.0094923E-5 | 3.0094923E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0389358E-4 | 1.2897205E-4 | 1.2897205E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012641704 | 0.0015691372 | 0.0015891058 | 1.0127258 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01257003 | 0.015584259 | 0.015663013 | 1.0050534 | 8.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.0286952E-5 | 2.5318846E-5 | 2.5318846E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.694118E-5 | 1.0850492E-4 | 1.0850492E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010579949 | 0.001320264 | 0.0013402376 | 1.0151285 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010529719 | 0.013126139 | 0.013195219 | 1.0052629 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.0269223E-5 | 2.5299794E-5 | 2.5299794E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6865206E-5 | 1.0842328E-4 | 1.0842328E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010570707 | 0.0013192712 | 0.0013392448 | 1.0151399 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010520565 | 0.013116327 | 0.013185409 | 1.0052669 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.799852E-5 | 2.2543212E-5 | 2.2543212E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.713423E-5 | 9.6610274E-5 | 9.6610274E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3870464E-4 | 0.00117561 | 0.0011955865 | 1.0169924 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009347493 | 0.011695521 | 0.011744936 | 1.0042251 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.7458793E-5 | 2.1844531E-5 | 2.1844531E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4821255E-5 | 9.3616145E-5 | 9.3616145E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.10568E-4 | 0.001139195 | 0.0011591723 | 1.0175363 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009068459 | 0.011335138 | 0.011384571 | 1.004361 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.542884E-5 | 1.902796E-5 | 1.902796E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.612192E-5 | 8.154593E-5 | 8.154593E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.04737E-4 | 9.923826E-4 | 0.0010123628 | 1.0201335 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008018291 | 0.009880909 | 0.009930415 | 1.0050102 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.468253E-5 | 1.8032322E-5 | 1.8032322E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.292361E-5 | 7.727916E-5 | 7.727916E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.658257E-4 | 9.404807E-4 | 9.6046185E-4 | 1.0212457 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0076319184 | 0.009366372 | 0.009415904 | 1.0052882 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.3139281E-5 | 1.6202415E-5 | 1.6202415E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6309986E-5 | 6.943715E-5 | 6.943715E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.853584E-4 | 8.45082E-4 | 8.550735E-4 | 1.0118232 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0068324856 | 0.008419981 | 0.008459644 | 1.0047106 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.1127404E-5 | 1.386783E-5 | 1.386783E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7688E-5 | 5.9432263E-5 | 5.9432263E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8044674E-4 | 7.233585E-4 | 7.333512E-4 | 1.0138144 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0057893298 | 0.007211147 | 0.0072310027 | 1.0027535 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.808154E-6 | 1.2177271E-5 | 1.2177271E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2034266E-5 | 5.2187323E-5 | 5.2187323E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.11647E-4 | 6.352061E-4 | 6.451998E-4 | 1.0157329 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051047057 | 0.006334981 | 0.006354854 | 1.0031371 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.942452E-6 | 9.792905E-6 | 9.792905E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4038632E-5 | 4.196897E-5 | 4.196897E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1434157E-4 | 5.108619E-4 | 5.208568E-4 | 1.0195647 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0041356985 | 0.0050978167 | 0.005117715 | 1.0039033 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.7121216E-6 | 5.773261E-6 | 5.773261E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.019465E-5 | 2.4742354E-5 | 2.4742354E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4584212E-4 | 3.0120419E-4 | 3.1120118E-4 | 1.03319 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024557032 | 0.003008712 | 0.003028652 | 1.0066273 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.604087E-7 | 2.604087E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.1160371E-6 | 1.1160371E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.3587695E-5 | 1.3587695E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1539775E-4 | 1.3587147E-4 | 1.3587147E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (San Jacinto Valley) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.652694E-5 | 3.4554887E-5 | 3.4554887E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5653463E-4 | 1.4808397E-4 | 1.6808101E-4 | 1.1350385 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0019041431 | 0.0018014333 | 0.0018513432 | 1.0277057 | 5.0E-5 | 0.018879099 | 0.018605566 | 0.018733148 | 1.0068572 | 1.3E-4 |
6.1 | 3.652694E-5 | 3.4554887E-5 | 3.4554887E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5653463E-4 | 1.4808397E-4 | 1.6808101E-4 | 1.1350385 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0019041431 | 0.0018014333 | 0.0018513432 | 1.0277057 | 5.0E-5 | 0.018879099 | 0.018605566 | 0.018733148 | 1.0068572 | 1.3E-4 |
6.2 | 3.652694E-5 | 3.4554887E-5 | 3.4554887E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5653463E-4 | 1.4808397E-4 | 1.6808101E-4 | 1.1350385 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0019041431 | 0.0018014333 | 0.0018513432 | 1.0277057 | 5.0E-5 | 0.018879099 | 0.018605566 | 0.018733148 | 1.0068572 | 1.3E-4 |
6.3 | 3.652694E-5 | 3.4554887E-5 | 3.4554887E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5653463E-4 | 1.4808397E-4 | 1.6808101E-4 | 1.1350385 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0019041431 | 0.0018014333 | 0.0018513432 | 1.0277057 | 5.0E-5 | 0.018879099 | 0.018605566 | 0.018733148 | 1.0068572 | 1.3E-4 |
6.4 | 3.646941E-5 | 3.4476427E-5 | 3.4476427E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5628811E-4 | 1.4774775E-4 | 1.677448E-4 | 1.1353458 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0019011468 | 0.001797347 | 0.001847257 | 1.0277687 | 5.0E-5 | 0.018849645 | 0.018565431 | 0.018693019 | 1.0068723 | 1.3E-4 |
6.5 | 3.646941E-5 | 3.4476427E-5 | 3.4476427E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5628811E-4 | 1.4774775E-4 | 1.677448E-4 | 1.1353458 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0019011468 | 0.001797347 | 0.001847257 | 1.0277687 | 5.0E-5 | 0.018849645 | 0.018565431 | 0.018693019 | 1.0068723 | 1.3E-4 |
6.6 | 3.6442503E-5 | 3.4439796E-5 | 3.4439796E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.561728E-4 | 1.4759079E-4 | 1.6758783E-4 | 1.1354898 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0018997455 | 0.0017954393 | 0.0018453494 | 1.0277983 | 5.0E-5 | 0.018835869 | 0.018546695 | 0.018674282 | 1.0068793 | 1.3E-4 |
6.7 | 3.6432113E-5 | 3.4425364E-5 | 3.4425364E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5612828E-4 | 1.4752895E-4 | 1.67526E-4 | 1.1355466 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0018992044 | 0.0017946876 | 0.0018445979 | 1.02781 | 5.0E-5 | 0.018830549 | 0.018539315 | 0.018666904 | 1.0068821 | 1.3E-4 |
6.8 | 3.6409598E-5 | 3.4394405E-5 | 3.4394405E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.560318E-4 | 1.4739628E-4 | 1.6739333E-4 | 1.1356686 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0018980318 | 0.0017930751 | 0.0018429854 | 1.027835 | 5.0E-5 | 0.018819023 | 0.018523462 | 0.018651055 | 1.0068882 | 1.3E-4 |
6.9 | 3.638078E-5 | 3.435481E-5 | 3.435481E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5590832E-4 | 1.472266E-4 | 1.6722365E-4 | 1.135825 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0018965311 | 0.0017910127 | 0.0018409231 | 1.0278672 | 5.0E-5 | 0.018804269 | 0.01850319 | 0.018630782 | 1.0068958 | 1.3E-4 |
7.0 | 3.6294874E-5 | 3.4236768E-5 | 3.4236768E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5554018E-4 | 1.4672078E-4 | 1.6671784E-4 | 1.1362933 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0018920569 | 0.0017848645 | 0.0018347752 | 1.0279633 | 5.0E-5 | 0.018760284 | 0.018442746 | 0.018570349 | 1.0069188 | 1.3E-4 |
7.1 | 3.6260717E-5 | 3.4193035E-5 | 3.4193035E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5539382E-4 | 1.4653336E-4 | 1.6653044E-4 | 1.1364677 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001890278 | 0.0017825866 | 0.0018324974 | 1.0279992 | 5.0E-5 | 0.018742796 | 0.018420339 | 0.018547943 | 1.0069274 | 1.3E-4 |
7.2 | 3.6210204E-5 | 3.4127148E-5 | 3.4127148E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5517735E-4 | 1.4625103E-4 | 1.662481E-4 | 1.1367311 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001887647 | 0.0017791546 | 0.0018290656 | 1.0280533 | 5.0E-5 | 0.01871693 | 0.018386574 | 0.018514184 | 1.0069404 | 1.3E-4 |
7.3 | 3.6119454E-5 | 3.4015196E-5 | 3.4015196E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5478847E-4 | 1.4577128E-4 | 1.6576838E-4 | 1.1371813 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0018829206 | 0.0017733234 | 0.0018232347 | 1.0281457 | 5.0E-5 | 0.018670462 | 0.01832901 | 0.018456627 | 1.0069625 | 1.3E-4 |
7.4 | 3.607848E-5 | 3.3962624E-5 | 3.3962624E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5461289E-4 | 1.4554599E-4 | 1.6554308E-4 | 1.1373936 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0018807866 | 0.0017705848 | 0.0018204963 | 1.0281893 | 5.0E-5 | 0.018649481 | 0.018301966 | 0.018429587 | 1.006973 | 1.3E-4 |
7.5 | 3.5856774E-5 | 3.377133E-5 | 3.377133E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5366284E-4 | 1.4472626E-4 | 1.6472337E-4 | 1.1381719 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0018692396 | 0.0017606209 | 0.0018105329 | 1.028349 | 5.0E-5 | 0.018535944 | 0.018202517 | 0.018330151 | 1.0070119 | 1.3E-4 |
7.6 | 3.286655E-5 | 3.2286018E-5 | 3.2286018E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4084904E-4 | 1.3836133E-4 | 1.5835855E-4 | 1.1445291 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001713488 | 0.0016832496 | 0.0017231823 | 1.0237236 | 4.0E-5 | 0.017003361 | 0.017417919 | 0.017535828 | 1.0067694 | 1.2E-4 |
7.7 | 2.8882527E-5 | 2.937574E-5 | 2.937574E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.237764E-4 | 1.2588996E-4 | 1.4588745E-4 | 1.1588489 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015059357 | 0.0015316338 | 0.0015715725 | 1.026076 | 4.0E-5 | 0.014957713 | 0.015902836 | 0.016020928 | 1.0074258 | 1.2E-4 |
7.8 | 2.4950225E-5 | 2.6661348E-5 | 2.6661348E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0692515E-4 | 1.1425792E-4 | 1.3425564E-4 | 1.1750226 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0013010362 | 0.0013902034 | 0.0014301478 | 1.0287328 | 4.0E-5 | 0.012934455 | 0.0144817075 | 0.014590114 | 1.0074857 | 1.1E-4 |
7.9 | 1.9881603E-5 | 2.162813E-5 | 2.162813E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.520408E-5 | 9.26887E-5 | 1.12686845E-4 | 1.215756 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001036866 | 0.0011279015 | 0.0011678564 | 1.0354241 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010320415 | 0.011840176 | 0.011948873 | 1.0091804 | 1.1E-4 |
8.0 | 1.563292E-5 | 1.6034532E-5 | 1.6034532E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6996516E-5 | 6.8717614E-5 | 7.871693E-5 | 1.145513 | 1.0E-5 | 8.153773E-4 | 8.363165E-4 | 8.4630813E-4 | 1.0119472 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00812392 | 0.008861887 | 0.008941178 | 1.0089474 | 8.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.0045313E-5 | 8.358449E-6 | 8.358449E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.305063E-5 | 3.5821435E-5 | 3.5821435E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2401534E-4 | 4.3603923E-4 | 4.3603923E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052278144 | 0.004689741 | 0.004699694 | 1.0021223 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 4.1554413E-6 | 1.5814193E-6 | 1.5814193E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7808914E-5 | 6.7774936E-6 | 6.7774936E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1680194E-4 | 8.251289E-5 | 8.251289E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021659054 | 9.573781E-4 | 9.573781E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2758221E-6 | 3.6577427E-7 | 3.6577427E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4677976E-6 | 1.567603E-6 | 1.567603E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.65684E-5 | 1.9085404E-5 | 1.9085404E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6548464E-4 | 2.3004012E-4 | 2.3004012E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (San Gorgonio Pass-Garnet HIll)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.3423777E-4 | 2.3423777E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010034887 | 0.0010234686 | 1.0199105 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004329778 | 0.012148943 | 0.0121983355 | 1.0040656 | 5.0E-5 | 0.042463828 | 0.11274631 | 0.11285278 | 1.0009444 | 1.2E-4 |
6.1 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.3423777E-4 | 2.3423777E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010034887 | 0.0010234686 | 1.0199105 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004329778 | 0.012148943 | 0.0121983355 | 1.0040656 | 5.0E-5 | 0.042463828 | 0.11274631 | 0.11285278 | 1.0009444 | 1.2E-4 |
6.2 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.3423777E-4 | 2.3423777E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010034887 | 0.0010234686 | 1.0199105 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004329778 | 0.012148943 | 0.0121983355 | 1.0040656 | 5.0E-5 | 0.042463828 | 0.11274631 | 0.11285278 | 1.0009444 | 1.2E-4 |
6.3 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.3423777E-4 | 2.3423777E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010034887 | 0.0010234686 | 1.0199105 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004329778 | 0.012148943 | 0.0121983355 | 1.0040656 | 5.0E-5 | 0.042463828 | 0.11274631 | 0.11285278 | 1.0009444 | 1.2E-4 |
6.4 | 8.059055E-5 | 2.2981146E-4 | 2.2981146E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4534236E-4 | 9.845331E-4 | 0.0010045134 | 1.0202942 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0041964394 | 0.011921028 | 0.011970432 | 1.0041443 | 5.0E-5 | 0.041180745 | 0.11072679 | 0.1108335 | 1.0009638 | 1.2E-4 |
6.5 | 8.059055E-5 | 2.2981146E-4 | 2.2981146E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4534236E-4 | 9.845331E-4 | 0.0010045134 | 1.0202942 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0041964394 | 0.011921028 | 0.011970432 | 1.0041443 | 5.0E-5 | 0.041180745 | 0.11072679 | 0.1108335 | 1.0009638 | 1.2E-4 |
6.6 | 7.619237E-5 | 2.2225309E-4 | 2.2225309E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2649786E-4 | 9.5216784E-4 | 9.721488E-4 | 1.0209846 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0039678677 | 0.011531573 | 0.011580996 | 1.0042859 | 5.0E-5 | 0.03897764 | 0.10726256 | 0.10736969 | 1.0009987 | 1.2E-4 |
6.7 | 7.440636E-5 | 2.1901034E-4 | 2.1901034E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.188454E-4 | 9.3828037E-4 | 9.582616E-4 | 1.0212955 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0038750346 | 0.011364264 | 0.011413696 | 1.0043497 | 5.0E-5 | 0.038081564 | 0.1057707 | 0.10587801 | 1.0010145 | 1.2E-4 |
6.8 | 7.3735864E-5 | 2.1748147E-4 | 2.1748147E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1597257E-4 | 9.317328E-4 | 9.517142E-4 | 1.0214454 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0038401815 | 0.011285379 | 0.011334814 | 1.0043805 | 5.0E-5 | 0.03774495 | 0.10507214 | 0.10517953 | 1.0010221 | 1.2E-4 |
6.9 | 7.27575E-5 | 2.1517056E-4 | 2.1517056E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.117806E-4 | 9.2183583E-4 | 9.418174E-4 | 1.0216758 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003789323 | 0.011166125 | 0.011215567 | 1.0044278 | 5.0E-5 | 0.037253562 | 0.10401997 | 0.10412749 | 1.0010337 | 1.2E-4 |
7.0 | 7.102591E-5 | 2.1100916E-4 | 2.1100916E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0436125E-4 | 9.040138E-4 | 9.239957E-4 | 1.0221035 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003699303 | 0.01095134 | 0.0110007925 | 1.0045156 | 5.0E-5 | 0.03638325 | 0.102121696 | 0.102229446 | 1.0010551 | 1.2E-4 |
7.1 | 7.028513E-5 | 2.0936482E-4 | 2.0936482E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0118722E-4 | 8.969715E-4 | 9.1695355E-4 | 1.0222772 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0036607897 | 0.010866459 | 0.010915916 | 1.0045513 | 5.0E-5 | 0.036010686 | 0.10136434 | 0.10147217 | 1.0010638 | 1.2E-4 |
7.2 | 6.8498244E-5 | 2.0544157E-4 | 2.0544157E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9353087E-4 | 8.80169E-4 | 9.001514E-4 | 1.0227029 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003567883 | 0.010663907 | 0.010713373 | 1.0046387 | 5.0E-5 | 0.035111405 | 0.09955592 | 0.09966397 | 1.0010854 | 1.2E-4 |
7.3 | 6.622592E-5 | 1.9770932E-4 | 1.9770932E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8379448E-4 | 8.4705267E-4 | 8.6703576E-4 | 1.0235913 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0034497243 | 0.010264583 | 0.01031407 | 1.0048211 | 5.0E-5 | 0.033966612 | 0.09605076 | 0.096159235 | 1.0011294 | 1.2E-4 |
7.4 | 5.1050705E-5 | 1.4722548E-4 | 1.4722548E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1877038E-4 | 6.308147E-4 | 6.5080205E-4 | 1.031685 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002660276 | 0.0076533165 | 0.007702934 | 1.0064831 | 5.0E-5 | 0.02628654 | 0.0730085 | 0.07311974 | 1.0015236 | 1.2E-4 |
7.5 | 3.9302922E-5 | 1.1159019E-4 | 1.1159019E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6843023E-4 | 4.7815632E-4 | 4.9814675E-4 | 1.0418073 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0020487092 | 0.005806084 | 0.0058557936 | 1.0085616 | 5.0E-5 | 0.020299247 | 0.056138545 | 0.05625181 | 1.0020176 | 1.2E-4 |
7.6 | 2.9851626E-5 | 8.520933E-5 | 8.520933E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2792926E-4 | 3.6513185E-4 | 3.8512456E-4 | 1.0547547 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015564259 | 0.0044364445 | 0.0044862228 | 1.0112203 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0154556995 | 0.043309335 | 0.04341457 | 1.0024298 | 1.1E-4 |
7.7 | 2.1135214E-5 | 6.375948E-5 | 6.375948E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0576345E-5 | 2.7322632E-4 | 2.9322086E-4 | 1.0731794 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011022091 | 0.0033214616 | 0.0033712955 | 1.0150036 | 5.0E-5 | 0.010967582 | 0.032686636 | 0.032783367 | 1.0029594 | 1.0E-4 |
7.8 | 1.883379E-5 | 5.585154E-5 | 5.585154E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0713755E-5 | 2.393418E-4 | 2.5933702E-4 | 1.0835425 | 2.0E-5 | 9.822468E-4 | 0.0029100957 | 0.0029599501 | 1.0171316 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0097791655 | 0.028791051 | 0.028888172 | 1.0033733 | 1.0E-4 |
7.9 | 1.5156185E-5 | 4.183138E-5 | 4.183138E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.495346E-5 | 1.7926503E-4 | 1.9926144E-4 | 1.1115466 | 2.0E-5 | 7.9052144E-4 | 0.0021803684 | 0.0022302594 | 1.0228819 | 5.0E-5 | 0.007877152 | 0.021839086 | 0.02192712 | 1.0040311 | 9.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.1405907E-5 | 3.010396E-5 | 3.010396E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8881542E-5 | 1.2901059E-4 | 1.4900802E-4 | 1.155006 | 2.0E-5 | 5.9497025E-4 | 0.0015695733 | 0.0016194949 | 1.0318058 | 5.0E-5 | 0.005933798 | 0.015833206 | 0.015902098 | 1.0043511 | 7.0E-5 |
8.1 | 4.3511436E-6 | 7.415379E-6 | 7.415379E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8647626E-5 | 3.177981E-5 | 3.177981E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2701119E-4 | 3.8685062E-4 | 3.9684676E-4 | 1.0258398 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022677942 | 0.004139594 | 0.004149552 | 1.0024056 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 2.3042528E-6 | 2.7543942E-6 | 2.7543942E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.875332E-6 | 1.1804494E-5 | 1.1804494E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2022553E-4 | 1.4371028E-4 | 1.4371028E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012016051 | 0.001609278 | 0.001609278 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 5.202968E-7 | 3.193709E-7 | 3.193709E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2298414E-6 | 1.3687318E-6 | 1.3687318E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.714798E-5 | 1.6664195E-5 | 1.6664195E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7144665E-4 | 1.975685E-4 | 1.975685E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Scodie Lineament
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.2919327E-6 | 3.0134718E-6 | 3.0134718E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4108206E-5 | 1.2914833E-5 | 1.2914833E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7175387E-4 | 1.5722992E-4 | 1.9722364E-4 | 1.2543645 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0017162118 | 0.0015714985 | 0.0016913099 | 1.0762402 | 1.2E-4 |
6.1 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.5491268E-6 | 1.5491268E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.639101E-6 | 6.639101E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.738045E-5 | 8.082855E-5 | 1.0082693E-4 | 1.2474173 | 2.0E-5 | 9.7337784E-4 | 8.080403E-4 | 8.679918E-4 | 1.0741937 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.5491268E-6 | 1.5491268E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.639101E-6 | 6.639101E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.738045E-5 | 8.082855E-5 | 1.0082693E-4 | 1.2474173 | 2.0E-5 | 9.7337784E-4 | 8.080403E-4 | 8.679918E-4 | 1.0741937 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.5491268E-6 | 1.5491268E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.639101E-6 | 6.639101E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.738045E-5 | 8.082855E-5 | 1.0082693E-4 | 1.2474173 | 2.0E-5 | 9.7337784E-4 | 8.080403E-4 | 8.679918E-4 | 1.0741937 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.5491268E-6 | 1.5491268E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.639101E-6 | 6.639101E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.738045E-5 | 8.082855E-5 | 1.0082693E-4 | 1.2474173 | 2.0E-5 | 9.7337784E-4 | 8.080403E-4 | 8.679918E-4 | 1.0741937 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.8106311E-6 | 1.4910576E-6 | 1.4910576E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.759824E-6 | 6.390234E-6 | 6.390234E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.447177E-5 | 7.779882E-5 | 9.779726E-5 | 1.2570534 | 2.0E-5 | 9.4431615E-4 | 7.777645E-4 | 8.377178E-4 | 1.0770842 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.2414679E-6 | 8.99799E-7 | 8.99799E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.320566E-6 | 3.856276E-6 | 3.856276E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.477596E-5 | 4.694924E-5 | 4.694924E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.475708E-4 | 4.6940186E-4 | 4.893925E-4 | 1.0425874 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.1062215E-6 | 7.5946735E-7 | 7.5946735E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7409408E-6 | 3.2548564E-6 | 3.2548564E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7719422E-5 | 3.9627226E-5 | 3.9627226E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.770443E-4 | 3.962086E-4 | 4.0620464E-4 | 1.0252292 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0006736E-6 | 6.500706E-7 | 6.500706E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.288594E-6 | 2.7860144E-6 | 2.7860144E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.221238E-5 | 3.391926E-5 | 3.391926E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.220012E-4 | 3.3914688E-4 | 3.491435E-4 | 1.0294758 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.167364E-7 | 5.631894E-7 | 5.631894E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9288643E-6 | 2.4136668E-6 | 2.4136668E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7832873E-5 | 2.9386056E-5 | 2.9386056E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.782258E-4 | 2.9382738E-4 | 3.0382443E-4 | 1.0340236 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.6987664E-7 | 4.1135843E-7 | 4.1135843E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2994672E-6 | 1.7629636E-6 | 1.7629636E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0170275E-5 | 2.1463911E-5 | 2.1463911E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0163012E-4 | 2.1462223E-4 | 2.2462009E-4 | 1.0465835 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.1038727E-7 | 3.5213236E-7 | 3.5213236E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0445133E-6 | 1.5091381E-6 | 1.5091381E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.706632E-5 | 1.8373636E-5 | 1.8373636E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7060137E-4 | 1.8372467E-4 | 1.9372282E-4 | 1.0544193 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.0799602E-7 | 3.118715E-8 | 3.118715E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.914113E-7 | 1.336592E-7 | 1.336592E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0852878E-5 | 1.6272996E-6 | 1.6272996E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.08523476E-4 | 1.6272885E-5 | 2.627272E-5 | 1.6145092 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.5048182E-7 | 1.5943666E-8 | 1.5943666E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.449219E-7 | 6.8329996E-8 | 6.8329996E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.851896E-6 | 8.3191736E-7 | 8.3191736E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.851618E-5 | 8.319145E-6 | 1.8319062E-5 | 2.2020366 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 5.9334678E-8 | 4.8648907E-9 | 4.8648907E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5429145E-7 | 2.0849532E-8 | 2.0849532E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.095994E-6 | 2.53843E-7 | 2.53843E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.095951E-5 | 2.5384286E-6 | 2.5384286E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elsinore (Glen Ivy) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.938227E-4 | 2.938227E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0012587184 | 0.0012587184 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008420097 | 0.015238632 | 0.015287871 | 1.0032312 | 5.0E-5 | 0.081081145 | 0.13977908 | 0.1398737 | 1.000677 | 1.1E-4 |
6.1 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.938227E-4 | 2.938227E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0012587184 | 0.0012587184 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008420097 | 0.015238632 | 0.015287871 | 1.0032312 | 5.0E-5 | 0.081081145 | 0.13977908 | 0.1398737 | 1.000677 | 1.1E-4 |
6.2 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.938227E-4 | 2.938227E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0012587184 | 0.0012587184 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008420097 | 0.015238632 | 0.015287871 | 1.0032312 | 5.0E-5 | 0.081081145 | 0.13977908 | 0.1398737 | 1.000677 | 1.1E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0111737E-4 | 1.7707341E-4 | 1.7707341E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.332882E-4 | 7.587821E-4 | 7.587821E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005262531 | 0.009219734 | 0.009229642 | 1.0010747 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0513964 | 0.08700908 | 0.0870456 | 1.0004197 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.0111737E-4 | 1.7707341E-4 | 1.7707341E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.332882E-4 | 7.587821E-4 | 7.587821E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005262531 | 0.009219734 | 0.009229642 | 1.0010747 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0513964 | 0.08700908 | 0.0870456 | 1.0004197 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.6624708E-5 | 4.6408884E-5 | 4.6408884E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.569536E-4 | 1.988821E-4 | 1.988821E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001909235 | 0.0024190615 | 0.0024190615 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01892915 | 0.02377815 | 0.023787912 | 1.0004106 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.5051324E-5 | 2.6161653E-5 | 2.6161653E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.073584E-4 | 1.121168E-4 | 1.121168E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013063047 | 0.0013642119 | 0.0013642119 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012986525 | 0.013570615 | 0.01358048 | 1.0007269 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.2189772E-5 | 2.2084898E-5 | 2.2084898E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.509556E-5 | 9.464633E-5 | 9.464633E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011571734 | 0.0011517464 | 0.0011517464 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011511663 | 0.011470587 | 0.011480472 | 1.0008618 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.6654378E-5 | 1.4444998E-5 | 1.4444998E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.137396E-5 | 6.1905695E-5 | 6.1905695E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.686314E-4 | 7.534463E-4 | 7.534463E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008652439 | 0.0075143096 | 0.0075143096 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.5042909E-5 | 1.2338392E-5 | 1.2338392E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.446802E-5 | 5.2877764E-5 | 5.2877764E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8461546E-4 | 6.435998E-4 | 6.435998E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007818509 | 0.0064215083 | 0.0064215083 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.4361385E-5 | 1.145734E-5 | 1.145734E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.154734E-5 | 4.910198E-5 | 4.910198E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.490812E-4 | 5.9765554E-4 | 5.9765554E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007465612 | 0.0059643867 | 0.0059643867 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.3265571E-5 | 1.0250278E-5 | 1.0250278E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6851208E-5 | 4.3929038E-5 | 4.3929038E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.919436E-4 | 5.3470733E-4 | 5.3470733E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006897931 | 0.0053376635 | 0.0053376635 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.1596403E-5 | 8.509606E-6 | 8.509606E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9697923E-5 | 3.646924E-5 | 3.646924E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.049042E-4 | 4.4392425E-4 | 4.4392425E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006032603 | 0.004431834 | 0.004431834 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.0150827E-5 | 7.2426587E-6 | 7.2426587E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3502816E-5 | 3.1039606E-5 | 3.1039606E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2951806E-4 | 3.778431E-4 | 3.778431E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005282581 | 0.003772417 | 0.003772417 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 9.080705E-6 | 6.355985E-6 | 6.355985E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8916725E-5 | 2.723966E-5 | 2.723966E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7370812E-4 | 3.3159376E-4 | 3.3159376E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004726996 | 0.0033111402 | 0.0033111402 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 7.671649E-6 | 5.2286186E-6 | 5.2286186E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.287808E-5 | 2.240818E-5 | 2.240818E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0021708E-4 | 2.7278668E-4 | 2.7278668E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039949706 | 0.0027246436 | 0.0027246436 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.990086E-6 | 4.690312E-6 | 4.690312E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9957167E-5 | 2.010119E-5 | 2.010119E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6466747E-4 | 2.4470568E-4 | 2.4470568E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036406964 | 0.0024444785 | 0.0024444785 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.163505E-6 | 2.3310024E-6 | 2.3310024E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7843471E-5 | 9.989976E-6 | 9.989976E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.172226E-4 | 1.2162191E-4 | 1.2162191E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021701038 | 0.0012156266 | 0.0012156266 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.2692414E-7 | 9.3890904E-8 | 9.3890904E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.725317E-7 | 4.0238953E-7 | 4.0238953E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1840509E-5 | 4.899085E-6 | 4.899085E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1839878E-4 | 4.8990096E-5 | 4.8990096E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.4409702E-9 | 3.4409702E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.4747015E-8 | 1.4747015E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.795449E-7 | 1.795449E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838679E-6 | 1.7954477E-6 | 1.7954477E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Ludlow
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2407607E-5 | 2.3659004E-5 | 2.3659004E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.602906E-5 | 1.0139204E-4 | 1.2139001E-4 | 1.1972342 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011685267 | 0.0012337932 | 0.0012937192 | 1.0485705 | 6.0E-5 | 0.011624013 | 0.012273945 | 0.0123924725 | 1.0096568 | 1.2E-4 |
6.1 | 2.2407607E-5 | 2.3659004E-5 | 2.3659004E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.602906E-5 | 1.0139204E-4 | 1.2139001E-4 | 1.1972342 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011685267 | 0.0012337932 | 0.0012937192 | 1.0485705 | 6.0E-5 | 0.011624013 | 0.012273945 | 0.0123924725 | 1.0096568 | 1.2E-4 |
6.2 | 1.0781252E-5 | 1.1366481E-5 | 1.1366481E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.620455E-5 | 4.8712605E-5 | 5.8712118E-5 | 1.2052757 | 1.0E-5 | 5.623952E-4 | 5.929186E-4 | 6.229008E-4 | 1.0505672 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00560974 | 0.005913785 | 0.005953549 | 1.0067239 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.0781252E-5 | 1.1366481E-5 | 1.1366481E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.620455E-5 | 4.8712605E-5 | 5.8712118E-5 | 1.2052757 | 1.0E-5 | 5.623952E-4 | 5.929186E-4 | 6.229008E-4 | 1.0505672 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00560974 | 0.005913785 | 0.005953549 | 1.0067239 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.814439E-6 | 8.238321E-6 | 8.238321E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3490025E-5 | 3.530662E-5 | 4.5306268E-5 | 1.283223 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0766477E-4 | 4.2977472E-4 | 4.497661E-4 | 1.0465161 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0040691774 | 0.0042895824 | 0.0043194536 | 1.0069637 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.4986366E-6 | 6.8514128E-6 | 6.8514128E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7851002E-5 | 2.9362871E-5 | 2.9362871E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.390332E-4 | 3.5743523E-4 | 3.5743523E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003385164 | 0.0035686996 | 0.0035786638 | 1.0027921 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.582177E-6 | 5.8864307E-6 | 5.8864307E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3923398E-5 | 2.522732E-5 | 2.522732E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9122844E-4 | 3.0710007E-4 | 3.0710007E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029084706 | 0.00306683 | 0.0030767994 | 1.0032507 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.6858763E-6 | 4.9407836E-6 | 4.9407836E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0082172E-5 | 2.1174617E-5 | 2.1174617E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4447302E-4 | 2.5777103E-4 | 2.5777103E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024420423 | 0.0025747768 | 0.002584751 | 1.0038738 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.5584908E-6 | 3.752289E-6 | 3.752289E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5250586E-5 | 1.6081141E-5 | 1.6081141E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8566006E-4 | 1.9577073E-4 | 1.9577073E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018550502 | 0.0019560237 | 0.0019560237 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.532834E-6 | 2.6711969E-6 | 2.6711969E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0854958E-5 | 1.1447937E-5 | 1.1447937E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3215111E-4 | 1.3937001E-4 | 1.3937001E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013207254 | 0.0013928536 | 0.0013928536 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.7083285E-6 | 1.8020748E-6 | 1.8020748E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3213873E-6 | 7.723156E-6 | 7.723156E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.913424E-5 | 9.4025534E-5 | 9.4025534E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9098496E-4 | 9.3987404E-4 | 9.3987404E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.0905424E-6 | 1.1498448E-6 | 1.1498448E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6737446E-6 | 4.9278974E-6 | 4.9278974E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6901354E-5 | 5.99956E-5 | 5.99956E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6886784E-4 | 5.998038E-4 | 5.998038E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.06668E-7 | 6.387725E-7 | 6.387725E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.600003E-6 | 2.737594E-6 | 2.737594E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1654577E-5 | 3.332977E-5 | 3.332977E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1650066E-4 | 3.3325455E-4 | 3.3325455E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Stepovers Combined)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.0667746E-5 | 3.5422672E-5 | 3.5422672E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.742787E-4 | 1.5180261E-4 | 1.618011E-4 | 1.065865 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021197782 | 0.0018466314 | 0.001876576 | 1.0162158 | 3.0E-5 | 0.020996714 | 0.019064689 | 0.019172592 | 1.0056598 | 1.1E-4 |
6.1 | 4.0667746E-5 | 3.5422672E-5 | 3.5422672E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.742787E-4 | 1.5180261E-4 | 1.618011E-4 | 1.065865 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021197782 | 0.0018466314 | 0.001876576 | 1.0162158 | 3.0E-5 | 0.020996714 | 0.019064689 | 0.019172592 | 1.0056598 | 1.1E-4 |
6.2 | 4.0667746E-5 | 3.5422672E-5 | 3.5422672E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.742787E-4 | 1.5180261E-4 | 1.618011E-4 | 1.065865 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021197782 | 0.0018466314 | 0.001876576 | 1.0162158 | 3.0E-5 | 0.020996714 | 0.019064689 | 0.019172592 | 1.0056598 | 1.1E-4 |
6.3 | 4.0667746E-5 | 3.5422672E-5 | 3.5422672E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.742787E-4 | 1.5180261E-4 | 1.618011E-4 | 1.065865 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021197782 | 0.0018466314 | 0.001876576 | 1.0162158 | 3.0E-5 | 0.020996714 | 0.019064689 | 0.019172592 | 1.0056598 | 1.1E-4 |
6.4 | 4.0577226E-5 | 3.529452E-5 | 3.529452E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.738908E-4 | 1.5125347E-4 | 1.6125196E-4 | 1.0661042 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021150648 | 0.0018399579 | 0.0018699027 | 1.0162747 | 3.0E-5 | 0.020950472 | 0.01899923 | 0.01910714 | 1.0056797 | 1.1E-4 |
6.5 | 4.0577226E-5 | 3.529452E-5 | 3.529452E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.738908E-4 | 1.5125347E-4 | 1.6125196E-4 | 1.0661042 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021150648 | 0.0018399579 | 0.0018699027 | 1.0162747 | 3.0E-5 | 0.020950472 | 0.01899923 | 0.01910714 | 1.0056797 | 1.1E-4 |
6.6 | 4.053861E-5 | 3.5239835E-5 | 3.5239835E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7372532E-4 | 1.5101914E-4 | 1.6101763E-4 | 1.0662068 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021130538 | 0.0018371103 | 0.0018670551 | 1.0163 | 3.0E-5 | 0.020930743 | 0.018971296 | 0.01907921 | 1.0056882 | 1.1E-4 |
6.7 | 4.0516545E-5 | 3.5208894E-5 | 3.5208894E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7363077E-4 | 1.5088654E-4 | 1.6088503E-4 | 1.066265 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002111905 | 0.0018354988 | 0.0018654438 | 1.0163144 | 3.0E-5 | 0.020919468 | 0.018955488 | 0.019063402 | 1.0056931 | 1.1E-4 |
6.8 | 4.049434E-5 | 3.518044E-5 | 3.518044E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7353562E-4 | 1.5076462E-4 | 1.6076311E-4 | 1.0663185 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021107488 | 0.001834017 | 0.001863962 | 1.0163275 | 3.0E-5 | 0.020908125 | 0.018940896 | 0.019048812 | 1.0056975 | 1.1E-4 |
6.9 | 4.046386E-5 | 3.514298E-5 | 3.514298E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.73405E-4 | 1.506041E-4 | 1.6060259E-4 | 1.0663892 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021091616 | 0.001832066 | 0.001862011 | 1.0163449 | 3.0E-5 | 0.020892553 | 0.018921658 | 0.019029578 | 1.0057034 | 1.1E-4 |
7.0 | 4.036382E-5 | 3.5023477E-5 | 3.5023477E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7297632E-4 | 1.50092E-4 | 1.600905E-4 | 1.0666158 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021039525 | 0.0018258417 | 0.001855787 | 1.0164008 | 3.0E-5 | 0.02084144 | 0.01886024 | 0.018968165 | 1.0057224 | 1.1E-4 |
7.1 | 4.0343282E-5 | 3.500193E-5 | 3.500193E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7288832E-4 | 1.4999966E-4 | 1.5999815E-4 | 1.0666568 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002102883 | 0.0018247194 | 0.0018546645 | 1.0164108 | 3.0E-5 | 0.020830948 | 0.01884911 | 0.018957036 | 1.0057259 | 1.1E-4 |
7.2 | 4.0257353E-5 | 3.4906283E-5 | 3.4906283E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.725201E-4 | 1.495898E-4 | 1.5958831E-4 | 1.0668395 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020984085 | 0.0018197377 | 0.0018496831 | 1.0164559 | 3.0E-5 | 0.020787042 | 0.018799778 | 0.01890771 | 1.0057411 | 1.1E-4 |
7.3 | 3.9940667E-5 | 3.473345E-5 | 3.473345E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7116306E-4 | 1.4884917E-4 | 1.5884767E-4 | 1.067172 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020819185 | 0.0018107354 | 0.0018406812 | 1.0165379 | 3.0E-5 | 0.020625217 | 0.01870816 | 0.0188161 | 1.0057697 | 1.1E-4 |
7.4 | 3.9721202E-5 | 3.4618577E-5 | 3.4618577E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7022261E-4 | 1.4835692E-4 | 1.5835544E-4 | 1.067395 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020704903 | 0.0018047524 | 0.0018346983 | 1.0165927 | 3.0E-5 | 0.020513052 | 0.018647153 | 0.0187551 | 1.005789 | 1.1E-4 |
7.5 | 3.7036873E-5 | 3.3682867E-5 | 3.3682867E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5871979E-4 | 1.4434717E-4 | 1.5434573E-4 | 1.0692674 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019307006 | 0.0017560131 | 0.0017859605 | 1.0170542 | 3.0E-5 | 0.019140124 | 0.018147055 | 0.01825506 | 1.0059516 | 1.1E-4 |
7.6 | 3.2940967E-5 | 3.1454583E-5 | 3.1454583E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4116794E-4 | 1.347984E-4 | 1.4479706E-4 | 1.0741749 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017173645 | 0.0016399374 | 0.0016599046 | 1.0121756 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01704153 | 0.016975349 | 0.017073652 | 1.005791 | 1.0E-4 |
7.7 | 2.8236149E-5 | 2.801682E-5 | 2.801682E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2100645E-4 | 1.20066565E-4 | 1.3006537E-4 | 1.0832771 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014722579 | 0.0014608313 | 0.0014808021 | 1.0136708 | 2.0E-5 | 0.014625421 | 0.01518434 | 0.015282822 | 1.0064857 | 1.0E-4 |
7.8 | 2.4329287E-5 | 2.5335241E-5 | 2.5335241E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.042642E-4 | 1.0857509E-4 | 1.18574004E-4 | 1.0920922 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012686774 | 0.001321101 | 0.0013410746 | 1.0151188 | 2.0E-5 | 0.012614589 | 0.013779249 | 0.013868009 | 1.0064416 | 9.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.9370926E-5 | 2.0536723E-5 | 2.0536723E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.301561E-5 | 8.801157E-5 | 9.8010685E-5 | 1.1136115 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010102465 | 0.0010710149 | 0.0010909934 | 1.0186539 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0100566605 | 0.011260007 | 0.0113489935 | 1.0079029 | 9.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.5583017E-5 | 1.598326E-5 | 1.598326E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6782646E-5 | 6.8497895E-5 | 7.849721E-5 | 1.1459799 | 1.0E-5 | 8.127754E-4 | 8.336434E-4 | 8.436351E-4 | 1.0119855 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008098091 | 0.008832984 | 0.0089122765 | 1.0089769 | 8.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.0024873E-5 | 8.348946E-6 | 8.348946E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2963035E-5 | 3.578071E-5 | 3.578071E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.229494E-4 | 4.355436E-4 | 4.355436E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052172043 | 0.004683979 | 0.004693932 | 1.0021249 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 4.142796E-6 | 1.5768089E-6 | 1.5768089E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.775472E-5 | 6.757735E-6 | 6.757735E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1614227E-4 | 8.2272345E-5 | 8.2272345E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021593217 | 9.545213E-4 | 9.545213E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2750878E-6 | 3.6548533E-7 | 3.6548533E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4646503E-6 | 1.5663647E-6 | 1.5663647E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.653009E-5 | 1.9070329E-5 | 1.9070329E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6510175E-4 | 2.2986814E-4 | 2.2986814E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Coachella) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1925945E-4 | 3.2774822E-4 | 3.2774822E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.110118E-4 | 0.0014038839 | 0.0014138698 | 1.0071131 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0062038354 | 0.016959673 | 0.017008824 | 1.0028982 | 5.0E-5 | 0.060334753 | 0.1528261 | 0.15291929 | 1.0006098 | 1.1E-4 |
6.1 | 1.1925945E-4 | 3.2774822E-4 | 3.2774822E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.110118E-4 | 0.0014038839 | 0.0014138698 | 1.0071131 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0062038354 | 0.016959673 | 0.017008824 | 1.0028982 | 5.0E-5 | 0.060334753 | 0.1528261 | 0.15291929 | 1.0006098 | 1.1E-4 |
6.2 | 1.07432395E-4 | 3.0275303E-4 | 3.0275303E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.603433E-4 | 0.0012968718 | 0.0013068588 | 1.0077009 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005590286 | 0.015676206 | 0.01572542 | 1.0031395 | 5.0E-5 | 0.05451731 | 0.14199941 | 0.1420938 | 1.0006646 | 1.1E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0718766E-4 | 3.0220606E-4 | 3.0220606E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.592948E-4 | 0.00129453 | 0.001304517 | 1.0077149 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005577586 | 0.015648104 | 0.01569732 | 1.0031452 | 5.0E-5 | 0.054396555 | 0.14176771 | 0.14186211 | 1.0006659 | 1.1E-4 |
6.4 | 1.0355944E-4 | 2.942863E-4 | 2.942863E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4375064E-4 | 0.0012606214 | 0.0012706087 | 1.0079226 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0053892885 | 0.015241113 | 0.015290351 | 1.0032306 | 5.0E-5 | 0.052604496 | 0.13832137 | 0.13841616 | 1.0006852 | 1.1E-4 |
6.5 | 1.0227914E-4 | 2.9148042E-4 | 2.9148042E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.382655E-4 | 0.0012486078 | 0.0012585953 | 1.007999 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0053228354 | 0.015096883 | 0.015146129 | 1.0032619 | 5.0E-5 | 0.051971316 | 0.13709524 | 0.13719016 | 1.0006924 | 1.1E-4 |
6.6 | 1.0116757E-4 | 2.891377E-4 | 2.891377E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3350324E-4 | 0.0012385772 | 0.0012485647 | 1.0080638 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0052651367 | 0.014976446 | 0.015025697 | 1.0032886 | 5.0E-5 | 0.051421247 | 0.13607414 | 0.13616918 | 1.0006983 | 1.1E-4 |
6.7 | 1.0050676E-4 | 2.877232E-4 | 2.877232E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3067214E-4 | 0.0012325207 | 0.0012425084 | 1.0081035 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005230834 | 0.01490372 | 0.014952974 | 1.0033048 | 5.0E-5 | 0.051094085 | 0.1354594 | 0.13555449 | 1.000702 | 1.1E-4 |
6.8 | 9.976819E-5 | 2.8575922E-4 | 2.8575922E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2750788E-4 | 0.0012241115 | 0.0012340993 | 1.0081592 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051924936 | 0.014802733 | 0.014851993 | 1.0033277 | 5.0E-5 | 0.050728295 | 0.13461113 | 0.13470632 | 1.0007071 | 1.1E-4 |
6.9 | 9.77719E-5 | 2.807252E-4 | 2.807252E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1895514E-4 | 0.0012025571 | 0.0012125451 | 1.0083057 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0050888555 | 0.0145438425 | 0.014593116 | 1.0033879 | 5.0E-5 | 0.049738888 | 0.13243876 | 0.1325342 | 1.0007206 | 1.1E-4 |
7.0 | 8.500761E-5 | 2.480466E-4 | 2.480466E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6426744E-4 | 0.001062627 | 0.0010726163 | 1.0094006 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0044259406 | 0.012861514 | 0.012901001 | 1.00307 | 4.0E-5 | 0.04338823 | 0.11830139 | 0.11838956 | 1.0007453 | 1.0E-4 |
7.1 | 8.319876E-5 | 2.440692E-4 | 2.440692E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5651738E-4 | 0.0010455948 | 0.0010555844 | 1.0095539 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004331963 | 0.012656577 | 0.012696071 | 1.0031204 | 4.0E-5 | 0.042484846 | 0.116520256 | 0.116608605 | 1.0007582 | 1.0E-4 |
7.2 | 7.563917E-5 | 2.24541E-4 | 2.24541E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2412758E-4 | 9.6196675E-4 | 9.719571E-4 | 1.0103854 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0039391145 | 0.011649743 | 0.011689276 | 1.0033935 | 4.0E-5 | 0.03870018 | 0.10792289 | 0.108012095 | 1.0008266 | 1.0E-4 |
7.3 | 7.082985E-5 | 2.0768684E-4 | 2.0768684E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0352117E-4 | 8.897857E-4 | 8.997768E-4 | 1.0112287 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036891096 | 0.010779958 | 0.010819527 | 1.0036706 | 4.0E-5 | 0.03628465 | 0.100440085 | 0.10053004 | 1.0008956 | 1.0E-4 |
7.4 | 5.146215E-5 | 1.4305381E-4 | 1.4305381E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2053342E-4 | 6.129446E-4 | 6.229385E-4 | 1.0163047 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0026816884 | 0.0074372557 | 0.007476958 | 1.0053383 | 4.0E-5 | 0.02649557 | 0.0709867 | 0.07107031 | 1.0011778 | 9.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.0285166E-5 | 1.09690125E-4 | 1.09690125E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7263928E-4 | 4.7001615E-4 | 4.8001145E-4 | 1.0212659 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002099857 | 0.005707502 | 0.0057472736 | 1.0069684 | 4.0E-5 | 0.020801254 | 0.05513358 | 0.05521862 | 1.0015424 | 9.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.1168736E-5 | 8.463255E-5 | 8.463255E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3357346E-4 | 3.6266065E-4 | 3.7265703E-4 | 1.0275639 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016250437 | 0.004406481 | 0.0044463044 | 1.0090375 | 4.0E-5 | 0.016132116 | 0.042919476 | 0.04299604 | 1.001784 | 8.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.2100989E-5 | 6.260137E-5 | 6.260137E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4715084E-5 | 2.6826403E-4 | 2.7826134E-4 | 1.0372667 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001152546 | 0.0032612295 | 0.003301099 | 1.0122253 | 4.0E-5 | 0.011465867 | 0.031997748 | 0.032065507 | 1.0021176 | 7.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.7484861E-5 | 5.1986306E-5 | 5.1986306E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.493296E-5 | 2.2277945E-4 | 2.3277722E-4 | 1.0448774 | 1.0E-5 | 9.1192697E-4 | 0.002708969 | 0.0027488607 | 1.0147258 | 4.0E-5 | 0.009081938 | 0.026727326 | 0.026795456 | 1.002549 | 7.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.3967285E-5 | 3.8378315E-5 | 3.8378315E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.985842E-5 | 1.6446813E-4 | 1.7446648E-4 | 1.0607921 | 1.0E-5 | 7.2853256E-4 | 0.0020005617 | 0.0020404817 | 1.0199544 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0072614877 | 0.019981902 | 0.020040704 | 1.0029427 | 6.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.1887396E-5 | 3.1198797E-5 | 3.1198797E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.094499E-5 | 1.3370228E-4 | 1.4370095E-4 | 1.0747831 | 1.0E-5 | 6.200787E-4 | 0.0016266108 | 0.0016665458 | 1.024551 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006183513 | 0.016341867 | 0.016400887 | 1.0036116 | 6.0E-5 |
8.1 | 5.100864E-6 | 9.026917E-6 | 9.026917E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1860664E-5 | 3.8686212E-5 | 3.8686212E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6612106E-4 | 4.70903E-4 | 4.8089828E-4 | 1.0212258 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002658026 | 0.004944802 | 0.0049547525 | 1.0020124 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 2.3004484E-6 | 2.8076706E-6 | 2.8076706E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.859027E-6 | 1.2032819E-5 | 1.2032819E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2002704E-4 | 1.4648975E-4 | 1.4648975E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011996223 | 0.0016084061 | 0.0016084061 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.0424446E-7 | 5.8725426E-8 | 5.8725426E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4676187E-7 | 2.5168038E-7 | 2.5168038E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.439312E-6 | 3.0642045E-6 | 3.0642045E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4391792E-5 | 3.2209275E-5 | 3.2209275E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Red Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.258278E-6 | 8.551668E-6 | 8.551668E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.539214E-5 | 3.6649588E-5 | 3.6649588E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.308141E-4 | 4.4613527E-4 | 4.7612187E-4 | 1.0672141 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0042997985 | 0.004454154 | 0.0045537087 | 1.0223509 | 1.0E-4 |
6.1 | 3.649988E-6 | 3.775488E-6 | 3.775488E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5642712E-5 | 1.618059E-5 | 1.618059E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9043336E-4 | 1.9698562E-4 | 1.9698562E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019027026 | 0.0019685775 | 0.0019985186 | 1.0152094 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.649988E-6 | 3.775488E-6 | 3.775488E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5642712E-5 | 1.618059E-5 | 1.618059E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9043336E-4 | 1.9698562E-4 | 1.9698562E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019027026 | 0.0019685775 | 0.0019985186 | 1.0152094 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3924937E-6 | 1.4411834E-6 | 1.4411834E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9678164E-6 | 6.1764936E-6 | 6.1764936E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.265574E-5 | 7.5197626E-5 | 7.5197626E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.263199E-4 | 7.518606E-4 | 7.718456E-4 | 1.0265807 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.3924937E-6 | 1.4411834E-6 | 1.4411834E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9678164E-6 | 6.1764936E-6 | 6.1764936E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.265574E-5 | 7.5197626E-5 | 7.5197626E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.263199E-4 | 7.518606E-4 | 7.718456E-4 | 1.0265807 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.876812E-7 | 1.0222386E-6 | 1.0222386E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2329125E-6 | 4.3810223E-6 | 4.3810223E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.153449E-5 | 5.333895E-5 | 5.333895E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1522546E-4 | 5.333895E-4 | 5.5337884E-4 | 1.0374761 | 2.0E-5 |
San Jacinto (Anza) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.347332E-5 | 4.347332E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8630098E-4 | 1.9629912E-4 | 1.0536666 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0022658668 | 0.0022957989 | 1.0132099 | 3.0E-5 | 0.032346968 | 0.023386808 | 0.023484468 | 1.0041759 | 1.0E-4 |
6.1 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.347332E-5 | 4.347332E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8630098E-4 | 1.9629912E-4 | 1.0536666 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0022658668 | 0.0022957989 | 1.0132099 | 3.0E-5 | 0.032346968 | 0.023386808 | 0.023484468 | 1.0041759 | 1.0E-4 |
6.2 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.347332E-5 | 4.347332E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8630098E-4 | 1.9629912E-4 | 1.0536666 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0022658668 | 0.0022957989 | 1.0132099 | 3.0E-5 | 0.032346968 | 0.023386808 | 0.023484468 | 1.0041759 | 1.0E-4 |
6.3 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.347332E-5 | 4.347332E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8630098E-4 | 1.9629912E-4 | 1.0536666 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0022658668 | 0.0022957989 | 1.0132099 | 3.0E-5 | 0.032346968 | 0.023386808 | 0.023484468 | 1.0041759 | 1.0E-4 |
6.4 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.347332E-5 | 4.347332E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8630098E-4 | 1.9629912E-4 | 1.0536666 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0022658668 | 0.0022957989 | 1.0132099 | 3.0E-5 | 0.032346968 | 0.023386808 | 0.023484468 | 1.0041759 | 1.0E-4 |
6.5 | 5.811017E-5 | 4.0247785E-5 | 4.0247785E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4901982E-4 | 1.7247914E-4 | 1.8247741E-4 | 1.057968 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030276014 | 0.0020979168 | 0.0021278537 | 1.01427 | 3.0E-5 | 0.02986684 | 0.021679942 | 0.021777773 | 1.0045125 | 1.0E-4 |
6.6 | 5.811017E-5 | 4.0247785E-5 | 4.0247785E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4901982E-4 | 1.7247914E-4 | 1.8247741E-4 | 1.057968 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030276014 | 0.0020979168 | 0.0021278537 | 1.01427 | 3.0E-5 | 0.02986684 | 0.021679942 | 0.021777773 | 1.0045125 | 1.0E-4 |
6.7 | 5.712442E-5 | 3.9668903E-5 | 3.9668903E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4479596E-4 | 1.6999853E-4 | 1.7999683E-4 | 1.058814 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029763177 | 0.002067773 | 0.002097711 | 1.0144783 | 3.0E-5 | 0.029367693 | 0.021371232 | 0.021469096 | 1.0045792 | 1.0E-4 |
6.8 | 5.6967532E-5 | 3.9524857E-5 | 3.9524857E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4412372E-4 | 1.6938128E-4 | 1.7937958E-4 | 1.0590284 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029681553 | 0.002060272 | 0.0020902103 | 1.0145311 | 3.0E-5 | 0.029288229 | 0.021296678 | 0.021394547 | 1.0045955 | 1.0E-4 |
6.9 | 5.6211324E-5 | 3.92286E-5 | 3.92286E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4088343E-4 | 1.6811176E-4 | 1.7811007E-4 | 1.0594742 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029288116 | 0.0020448447 | 0.0020747834 | 1.014641 | 3.0E-5 | 0.028905109 | 0.021134814 | 0.021232702 | 1.0046315 | 1.0E-4 |
7.0 | 5.4383527E-5 | 3.808551E-5 | 3.808551E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3305144E-4 | 1.6321344E-4 | 1.732118E-4 | 1.0612595 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028337094 | 0.0019853173 | 0.0020152577 | 1.0150809 | 3.0E-5 | 0.027978465 | 0.020526405 | 0.020624353 | 1.0047718 | 1.0E-4 |
7.1 | 5.1393665E-5 | 3.654222E-5 | 3.654222E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2023996E-4 | 1.5660013E-4 | 1.6659858E-4 | 1.063847 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0026781242 | 0.0019049436 | 0.0019348864 | 1.0157185 | 3.0E-5 | 0.026460782 | 0.01969843 | 0.019796459 | 1.0049765 | 1.0E-4 |
7.2 | 4.785222E-5 | 3.488839E-5 | 3.488839E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0506482E-4 | 1.4951311E-4 | 1.5951162E-4 | 1.0668738 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024938055 | 0.0018188059 | 0.0018487513 | 1.0164644 | 3.0E-5 | 0.024660049 | 0.01880653 | 0.01890465 | 1.0052173 | 1.0E-4 |
7.3 | 4.2143256E-5 | 3.3979286E-5 | 3.3979286E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8060145E-4 | 1.456174E-4 | 1.5561594E-4 | 1.0686631 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002196605 | 0.0017714537 | 0.0018014006 | 1.0169052 | 3.0E-5 | 0.02175019 | 0.018311892 | 0.01841006 | 1.005361 | 1.0E-4 |
7.4 | 4.0264713E-5 | 3.3616296E-5 | 3.3616296E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7255165E-4 | 1.440619E-4 | 1.5406046E-4 | 1.0694046 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002098792 | 0.001752546 | 0.0017824934 | 1.0170879 | 3.0E-5 | 0.020790804 | 0.01811571 | 0.0182139 | 1.0054201 | 1.0E-4 |
7.5 | 3.694492E-5 | 3.232666E-5 | 3.232666E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5832575E-4 | 1.385355E-4 | 1.485341E-4 | 1.0721737 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019259118 | 0.0016853679 | 0.0017153173 | 1.0177703 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01909306 | 0.017430253 | 0.01752851 | 1.0056372 | 1.0E-4 |
7.6 | 3.200565E-5 | 2.9632518E-5 | 2.9632518E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3715986E-4 | 1.2699034E-4 | 1.3698907E-4 | 1.0787362 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001668642 | 0.001545013 | 0.0015649822 | 1.0129249 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01656168 | 0.016013348 | 0.016101908 | 1.0055304 | 9.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.731642E-5 | 2.6217553E-5 | 2.6217553E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1706512E-4 | 1.1235611E-4 | 1.2235499E-4 | 1.0889927 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001424336 | 0.0013670783 | 0.001387051 | 1.0146097 | 2.0E-5 | 0.014152412 | 0.014232303 | 0.014321022 | 1.0062337 | 9.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.3466424E-5 | 2.3624592E-5 | 2.3624592E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0056651E-4 | 1.0124433E-4 | 1.1124332E-4 | 1.098761 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012237094 | 0.0012319535 | 0.0012519289 | 1.0162144 | 2.0E-5 | 0.012169928 | 0.012871883 | 0.0129508525 | 1.0061351 | 8.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.8611925E-5 | 1.9016215E-5 | 1.9016215E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9762955E-5 | 8.149552E-5 | 9.149471E-5 | 1.1226962 | 1.0E-5 | 9.7068126E-4 | 9.91757E-4 | 0.0010117373 | 1.0201463 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0096645225 | 0.010450837 | 0.0105300015 | 1.0075749 | 8.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.5460775E-5 | 1.5836958E-5 | 1.5836958E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6258784E-5 | 6.787092E-5 | 7.787024E-5 | 1.1473285 | 1.0E-5 | 8.0640207E-4 | 8.2601584E-4 | 8.360076E-4 | 1.0120963 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008034821 | 0.008753645 | 0.0088230325 | 1.0079267 | 7.0E-5 |
8.1 | 9.983884E-6 | 8.3262685E-6 | 8.3262685E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2787375E-5 | 3.5683523E-5 | 3.5683523E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2081177E-4 | 4.343608E-4 | 4.343608E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051959283 | 0.0046704654 | 0.0046804184 | 1.0021311 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 4.1226E-6 | 1.5686913E-6 | 1.5686913E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7668166E-5 | 6.7229457E-6 | 6.7229457E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1508869E-4 | 8.184882E-5 | 8.184882E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021488064 | 9.495056E-4 | 9.495056E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2750878E-6 | 3.6548533E-7 | 3.6548533E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4646503E-6 | 1.5663647E-6 | 1.5663647E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.653009E-5 | 1.9070329E-5 | 1.9070329E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6510175E-4 | 2.2986814E-4 | 2.2986814E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Baker
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.695525E-6 | 5.8350274E-6 | 5.8350274E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4409164E-5 | 2.5007044E-5 | 2.5007044E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9714106E-4 | 3.0442222E-4 | 3.2441615E-4 | 1.0656782 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0029674405 | 0.0030404478 | 0.0031401438 | 1.03279 | 1.0E-4 |
6.1 | 5.695525E-6 | 5.8350274E-6 | 5.8350274E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4409164E-5 | 2.5007044E-5 | 2.5007044E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9714106E-4 | 3.0442222E-4 | 3.2441615E-4 | 1.0656782 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0029674405 | 0.0030404478 | 0.0031401438 | 1.03279 | 1.0E-4 |
6.2 | 5.695525E-6 | 5.8350274E-6 | 5.8350274E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4409164E-5 | 2.5007044E-5 | 2.5007044E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9714106E-4 | 3.0442222E-4 | 3.2441615E-4 | 1.0656782 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0029674405 | 0.0030404478 | 0.0031401438 | 1.03279 | 1.0E-4 |
6.3 | 3.2995713E-6 | 3.3837825E-6 | 3.3837825E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4140943E-5 | 1.4501847E-5 | 1.4501847E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7215237E-4 | 1.7654616E-4 | 1.9654262E-4 | 1.1132648 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017201907 | 0.0017641061 | 0.0018140179 | 1.028293 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.2995713E-6 | 3.3837825E-6 | 3.3837825E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4140943E-5 | 1.4501847E-5 | 1.4501847E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7215237E-4 | 1.7654616E-4 | 1.9654262E-4 | 1.1132648 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017201907 | 0.0017641061 | 0.0018140179 | 1.028293 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.782202E-6 | 2.8559416E-6 | 2.8559416E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1923668E-5 | 1.2239694E-5 | 1.2239694E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4516099E-4 | 1.4900843E-4 | 1.6900543E-4 | 1.1342006 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001450662 | 0.0014891179 | 0.0015390434 | 1.0335269 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.3163404E-6 | 2.381009E-6 | 2.381009E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.927136E-6 | 1.0204285E-5 | 1.0204285E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.20856166E-4 | 1.242303E-4 | 1.4422782E-4 | 1.1609713 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012079047 | 0.0012416287 | 0.001281579 | 1.0321758 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.037056E-6 | 2.0965824E-6 | 2.0965824E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7302105E-6 | 8.985324E-6 | 8.985324E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0628513E-4 | 1.0939099E-4 | 1.2938879E-4 | 1.1828104 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010623431 | 0.0010933875 | 0.0011333438 | 1.0365436 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.8356744E-6 | 1.8916058E-6 | 1.8916058E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.867153E-6 | 8.106858E-6 | 8.106858E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.577837E-5 | 9.869666E-5 | 1.1869469E-4 | 1.2026211 | 2.0E-5 | 9.57371E-4 | 9.865423E-4 | 0.0010265028 | 1.0405056 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.6310546E-6 | 1.6832794E-6 | 1.6832794E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9902153E-6 | 7.214035E-6 | 7.214035E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.510255E-5 | 8.782745E-5 | 1.078257E-4 | 1.2276993 | 2.0E-5 | 8.5069967E-4 | 8.779387E-4 | 9.1790356E-4 | 1.0455213 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.2058036E-6 | 1.2509291E-6 | 1.2509291E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1677193E-6 | 5.3611143E-6 | 5.3611143E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.291517E-5 | 6.526963E-5 | 8.526833E-5 | 1.3064013 | 2.0E-5 | 6.289736E-4 | 6.5250695E-4 | 6.824874E-4 | 1.0459465 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.052382E-6 | 1.0952205E-6 | 1.0952205E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5102006E-6 | 4.6937935E-6 | 4.6937935E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.491031E-5 | 5.7145444E-5 | 7.71443E-5 | 1.3499641 | 2.0E-5 | 5.4896745E-4 | 5.7130837E-4 | 6.0129125E-4 | 1.052481 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.0067454E-6 | 1.0488296E-6 | 1.0488296E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3146156E-6 | 4.494976E-6 | 4.494976E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.252918E-5 | 5.472497E-5 | 7.4723874E-5 | 1.3654438 | 2.0E-5 | 5.251676E-4 | 5.471158E-4 | 5.770994E-4 | 1.054803 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.3596316E-7 | 9.768293E-7 | 9.768293E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0112645E-6 | 4.186404E-6 | 4.186404E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8836053E-5 | 5.0968287E-5 | 7.096727E-5 | 1.3923808 | 2.0E-5 | 4.8825322E-4 | 5.0956674E-4 | 5.395515E-4 | 1.0588435 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 8.8117395E-7 | 9.2082155E-7 | 9.2082155E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7764542E-6 | 3.946372E-6 | 3.946372E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5977362E-5 | 4.804603E-5 | 6.804507E-5 | 1.4162475 | 2.0E-5 | 4.596785E-4 | 4.8035718E-4 | 5.1034277E-4 | 1.0624235 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 8.292386E-7 | 8.6751294E-7 | 8.6751294E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5538749E-6 | 3.7179072E-6 | 3.7179072E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.326757E-5 | 4.5264587E-5 | 6.526368E-5 | 1.4418265 | 2.0E-5 | 4.3259145E-4 | 4.5255444E-4 | 4.8254084E-4 | 1.0662603 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 7.553842E-7 | 7.914975E-7 | 7.914975E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2373566E-6 | 3.3921276E-6 | 3.3921276E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9414106E-5 | 4.129838E-5 | 6.129755E-5 | 1.4842606 | 2.0E-5 | 3.9407116E-4 | 4.1290774E-4 | 4.3289948E-4 | 1.048417 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.5285366E-7 | 6.8532506E-7 | 6.8532506E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.797941E-6 | 2.9371042E-6 | 2.9371042E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.40644E-5 | 3.575866E-5 | 3.575866E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.405918E-4 | 3.5752976E-4 | 3.5752976E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.648528E-7 | 3.648528E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.563654E-6 | 1.563654E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.9037325E-5 | 1.9037325E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.9035739E-4 | 1.9035739E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6698248E-9 | 2.6698248E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1442106E-8 | 1.1442106E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3930764E-7 | 1.3930764E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3930764E-6 | 1.3930764E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pleito
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.4831523E-5 | 2.4831523E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.06416875E-4 | 1.06416875E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0012949274 | 0.0013149016 | 1.0154248 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.012988195 | 0.013077026 | 1.0068394 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.4831523E-5 | 2.4831523E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.06416875E-4 | 1.06416875E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0012949274 | 0.0013149016 | 1.0154248 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.012988195 | 0.013077026 | 1.0068394 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.4831523E-5 | 2.4831523E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.06416875E-4 | 1.06416875E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0012949274 | 0.0013149016 | 1.0154248 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.012988195 | 0.013077026 | 1.0068394 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.4831523E-5 | 2.4831523E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.06416875E-4 | 1.06416875E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0012949274 | 0.0013149016 | 1.0154248 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.012988195 | 0.013077026 | 1.0068394 | 9.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.4831523E-5 | 2.4831523E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.06416875E-4 | 1.06416875E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0012949274 | 0.0013149016 | 1.0154248 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.012988195 | 0.013077026 | 1.0068394 | 9.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.4831523E-5 | 2.4831523E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.06416875E-4 | 1.06416875E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0012949274 | 0.0013149016 | 1.0154248 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.012988195 | 0.013077026 | 1.0068394 | 9.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.910213E-6 | 1.7281289E-5 | 1.7281289E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.247165E-5 | 7.406059E-5 | 7.406059E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.169696E-4 | 9.013184E-4 | 9.213004E-4 | 1.0221697 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0051576863 | 0.009084614 | 0.009124251 | 1.0043631 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.910213E-6 | 1.7281289E-5 | 1.7281289E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.247165E-5 | 7.406059E-5 | 7.406059E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.169696E-4 | 9.013184E-4 | 9.213004E-4 | 1.0221697 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0051576863 | 0.009084614 | 0.009124251 | 1.0043631 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.300162E-6 | 1.5540712E-5 | 1.5540712E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.557164E-5 | 6.660136E-5 | 6.660136E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3299864E-4 | 8.105713E-4 | 8.305551E-4 | 1.0246539 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004321559 | 0.008183985 | 0.0082236575 | 1.0048476 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.183114E-6 | 1.5411895E-5 | 1.5411895E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5070017E-5 | 6.604932E-5 | 6.604932E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2689382E-4 | 8.038552E-4 | 8.238391E-4 | 1.0248601 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0042607468 | 0.008117316 | 0.008156992 | 1.0048877 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.1748823E-6 | 1.4198042E-5 | 1.4198042E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0749135E-5 | 6.0847335E-5 | 6.0847335E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.743064E-4 | 7.40565E-4 | 7.40565E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037367654 | 0.007488207 | 0.007508057 | 1.0026509 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.1671807E-6 | 1.4188403E-5 | 1.4188403E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0716128E-5 | 6.0806025E-5 | 6.0806025E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7390468E-4 | 7.4006245E-4 | 7.4006245E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037327618 | 0.007483215 | 0.0075030653 | 1.0026526 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.0649667E-6 | 1.4035473E-5 | 1.4035473E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0278077E-5 | 6.0150644E-5 | 6.0150644E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6857324E-4 | 7.320885E-4 | 7.320885E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036796255 | 0.007403861 | 0.0074237124 | 1.0026813 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.02082E-6 | 1.3978801E-5 | 1.3978801E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.008888E-5 | 5.9907772E-5 | 5.9907772E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6627054E-4 | 7.2913355E-4 | 7.2913355E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036566744 | 0.0073743016 | 0.007394154 | 1.0026921 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.987146E-6 | 1.3938291E-5 | 1.3938291E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9944567E-5 | 5.9734168E-5 | 5.9734168E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6451413E-4 | 7.2702137E-4 | 7.2702137E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036391679 | 0.0073532 | 0.0073631266 | 1.0013499 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.9494554E-6 | 1.3895142E-5 | 1.3895142E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9783041E-5 | 5.9549253E-5 | 5.9549253E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.625482E-4 | 7.247715E-4 | 7.247715E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036195726 | 0.0073308013 | 0.007340728 | 1.0013541 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.92694E-6 | 1.38541545E-5 | 1.38541545E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9686547E-5 | 5.93736E-5 | 5.93736E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6137376E-4 | 7.226343E-4 | 7.226343E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036078666 | 0.007309504 | 0.007319431 | 1.001358 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.395867E-6 | 1.2730444E-5 | 1.2730444E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.741057E-5 | 5.4557906E-5 | 5.4557906E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.336726E-4 | 6.640404E-4 | 6.640404E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033317201 | 0.006726769 | 0.006736702 | 1.0014766 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.8664327E-6 | 1.159269E-5 | 1.159269E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5141611E-5 | 4.968201E-5 | 4.968201E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.060561E-4 | 6.0471083E-4 | 6.0471083E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030563495 | 0.006129493 | 0.0061394316 | 1.0016215 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.7167474E-6 | 7.148454E-6 | 7.148454E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.592882E-5 | 3.0635874E-5 | 3.0635874E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9391612E-4 | 3.7292807E-4 | 3.7292807E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019374699 | 0.0037849643 | 0.0037849643 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.0903841E-6 | 1.29538E-6 | 1.29538E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6730665E-6 | 5.5516166E-6 | 5.5516166E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.68931E-5 | 6.758885E-5 | 6.758885E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6878536E-4 | 6.9809705E-4 | 6.9809705E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 2.6894583E-7 | 1.1182288E-7 | 1.1182288E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1526245E-6 | 4.792408E-7 | 4.792408E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4033113E-5 | 5.8347414E-6 | 5.8347414E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4032227E-4 | 6.5253116E-5 | 6.5253116E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 5.2967013E-9 | 2.4870044E-9 | 2.4870044E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2700148E-8 | 1.0658591E-8 | 1.0658591E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7637427E-7 | 1.2976834E-7 | 1.2976834E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7637393E-6 | 1.4754038E-6 | 1.4754038E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Owens Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.83821E-5 | 3.6320978E-6 | 3.6320978E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0733538E-4 | 1.5566045E-5 | 2.556589E-5 | 1.642414 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002521386 | 1.8950112E-4 | 2.3949165E-4 | 1.2638006 | 5.0E-5 | 0.024929691 | 0.001930133 | 0.0020199593 | 1.046539 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.83821E-5 | 3.6320978E-6 | 3.6320978E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0733538E-4 | 1.5566045E-5 | 2.556589E-5 | 1.642414 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002521386 | 1.8950112E-4 | 2.3949165E-4 | 1.2638006 | 5.0E-5 | 0.024929691 | 0.001930133 | 0.0020199593 | 1.046539 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.83821E-5 | 3.6320978E-6 | 3.6320978E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0733538E-4 | 1.5566045E-5 | 2.556589E-5 | 1.642414 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002521386 | 1.8950112E-4 | 2.3949165E-4 | 1.2638006 | 5.0E-5 | 0.024929691 | 0.001930133 | 0.0020199593 | 1.046539 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.953008E-5 | 3.1581644E-6 | 3.1581644E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6940363E-4 | 1.3534924E-5 | 2.3534789E-5 | 1.7388194 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002060538 | 1.6477598E-4 | 2.1476773E-4 | 1.3033923 | 5.0E-5 | 0.020415364 | 0.0016596176 | 0.0017494683 | 1.0541394 | 9.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.953008E-5 | 3.1581644E-6 | 3.1581644E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6940363E-4 | 1.3534924E-5 | 2.3534789E-5 | 1.7388194 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002060538 | 1.6477598E-4 | 2.1476773E-4 | 1.3033923 | 5.0E-5 | 0.020415364 | 0.0016596176 | 0.0017494683 | 1.0541394 | 9.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.457342E-5 | 2.9732203E-6 | 2.9732203E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4816338E-4 | 1.27423145E-5 | 2.2742188E-5 | 1.7847768 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018023965 | 1.5512733E-4 | 2.0511958E-4 | 1.3222659 | 5.0E-5 | 0.017878477 | 0.0015563794 | 0.0016462393 | 1.0577365 | 9.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.1127765E-5 | 2.8760849E-6 | 2.8760849E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3339789E-4 | 1.2326023E-5 | 2.23259E-5 | 1.8112817 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016229092 | 1.5005968E-4 | 2.0005218E-4 | 1.3331507 | 5.0E-5 | 0.016111081 | 0.0015014781 | 0.0015913431 | 1.0598509 | 9.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.806885E-5 | 2.8116874E-6 | 2.8116874E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2028952E-4 | 1.2050037E-5 | 2.2049917E-5 | 1.829863 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001463541 | 1.4670001E-4 | 1.9669268E-4 | 1.3407816 | 5.0E-5 | 0.014539397 | 0.0014664683 | 0.0015563363 | 1.0612819 | 9.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.524524E-5 | 2.2364468E-6 | 2.2364468E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0818939E-4 | 9.584738E-6 | 1.9584642E-5 | 2.0433154 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013164099 | 1.1668824E-4 | 1.5668357E-4 | 1.3427538 | 4.0E-5 | 0.01308639 | 0.0011666063 | 0.001246513 | 1.068495 | 8.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.2704568E-5 | 1.6089252E-6 | 1.6089252E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.730166E-5 | 6.895376E-6 | 1.6895307E-5 | 2.4502373 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011840039 | 8.394798E-5 | 1.2394463E-4 | 1.4764456 | 4.0E-5 | 0.011777153 | 8.394314E-4 | 9.193643E-4 | 1.0952226 | 8.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.0871712E-5 | 1.5402713E-6 | 1.5402713E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.944713E-5 | 6.6011467E-6 | 1.6601081E-5 | 2.5148783 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010884746 | 8.036601E-5 | 1.203628E-4 | 1.4976828 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010831586 | 8.035962E-4 | 8.8353193E-4 | 1.0994725 | 8.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.944928E-5 | 1.3870336E-6 | 1.3870336E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.335139E-5 | 5.9444164E-6 | 1.5944357E-5 | 2.682241 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010143308 | 7.237087E-5 | 1.1236798E-4 | 1.5526686 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010097133 | 7.2368665E-4 | 8.0362876E-4 | 1.110465 | 8.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.7876306E-5 | 1.2494548E-6 | 1.2494548E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6610486E-5 | 5.3547956E-6 | 1.5354743E-5 | 2.8674748 | 1.0E-5 | 9.3233347E-4 | 6.51927E-5 | 1.0519009E-4 | 1.6135256 | 4.0E-5 | 0.009284316 | 6.5191265E-4 | 7.21867E-4 | 1.1073064 | 7.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.2618672E-5 | 1.11202E-6 | 1.11202E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.40789E-5 | 4.765791E-6 | 1.4765744E-5 | 3.0982776 | 1.0E-5 | 6.582117E-4 | 5.8021968E-5 | 9.801965E-5 | 1.6893541 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0065626553 | 5.8024004E-4 | 6.501994E-4 | 1.1205697 | 7.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.4874442E-6 | 8.5528256E-7 | 8.5528256E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.208865E-5 | 3.6654917E-6 | 1.3665455E-5 | 3.728137 | 1.0E-5 | 3.906093E-4 | 4.462645E-5 | 8.462467E-5 | 1.8962893 | 4.0E-5 | 0.003899234 | 4.4630817E-4 | 5.162769E-4 | 1.1567723 | 7.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.4734156E-6 | 6.071604E-7 | 6.071604E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.060031E-5 | 2.6021135E-6 | 1.2602088E-5 | 4.84302 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2905113E-4 | 3.1680273E-5 | 7.167901E-5 | 2.2625754 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0012897621 | 3.167579E-4 | 3.8673572E-4 | 1.220919 | 7.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.1328841E-6 | 3.1979982E-7 | 3.1979982E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8552088E-6 | 1.37057E-6 | 1.37057E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9110564E-5 | 1.6686563E-5 | 4.6686062E-5 | 2.7978237 | 3.0E-5 | 5.9094845E-4 | 1.668533E-4 | 2.2684329E-4 | 1.3595374 | 6.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.8613185E-7 | 8.969731E-8 | 8.969731E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0834207E-6 | 3.8441698E-7 | 3.8441698E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.536535E-5 | 4.6802675E-6 | 1.468022E-5 | 3.13662 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5362454E-4 | 4.6801753E-5 | 6.680082E-5 | 1.4273144 | 2.0E-5 |
Lake Isabella (Seismicity)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.742077E-6 | 9.742077E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.1751162E-5 | 5.1750743E-5 | 1.2395043 | 1.0E-5 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.0821493E-4 | 5.581895E-4 | 1.0983336 | 5.0E-5 | 0.004909227 | 0.0050718198 | 0.005151414 | 1.0156934 | 8.0E-5 |
6.1 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.742077E-6 | 9.742077E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.1751162E-5 | 5.1750743E-5 | 1.2395043 | 1.0E-5 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.0821493E-4 | 5.581895E-4 | 1.0983336 | 5.0E-5 | 0.004909227 | 0.0050718198 | 0.005151414 | 1.0156934 | 8.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.742077E-6 | 9.742077E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.1751162E-5 | 5.1750743E-5 | 1.2395043 | 1.0E-5 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.0821493E-4 | 5.581895E-4 | 1.0983336 | 5.0E-5 | 0.004909227 | 0.0050718198 | 0.005151414 | 1.0156934 | 8.0E-5 |
6.3 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.742077E-6 | 9.742077E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.1751162E-5 | 5.1750743E-5 | 1.2395043 | 1.0E-5 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.0821493E-4 | 5.581895E-4 | 1.0983336 | 5.0E-5 | 0.004909227 | 0.0050718198 | 0.005151414 | 1.0156934 | 8.0E-5 |
6.4 | 5.144063E-6 | 5.3002896E-6 | 5.3002896E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2045799E-5 | 2.2715349E-5 | 2.2715349E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6837454E-4 | 2.7652772E-4 | 2.965222E-4 | 1.0723054 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0026805066 | 0.0027621768 | 0.0028120386 | 1.0180516 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.144063E-6 | 5.3002896E-6 | 5.3002896E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2045799E-5 | 2.2715349E-5 | 2.2715349E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6837454E-4 | 2.7652772E-4 | 2.965222E-4 | 1.0723054 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0026805066 | 0.0027621768 | 0.0028120386 | 1.0180516 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.4009804E-6 | 3.4989196E-6 | 3.4989196E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4575549E-5 | 1.4995293E-5 | 1.4995293E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7744285E-4 | 1.82554E-4 | 1.9255218E-4 | 1.0547683 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017730123 | 0.0018241982 | 0.0018441617 | 1.0109438 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.3880428E-6 | 3.485786E-6 | 3.485786E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4520103E-5 | 1.4939006E-5 | 1.4939006E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.767679E-4 | 1.8186883E-4 | 1.91867E-4 | 1.0549747 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017662736 | 0.0018173576 | 0.0018373213 | 1.010985 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.6582E-6 | 2.7338033E-6 | 2.7338033E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1392236E-5 | 1.1716254E-5 | 1.1716254E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3869164E-4 | 1.4263741E-4 | 1.5263598E-4 | 1.0700978 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013860512 | 0.0014255906 | 0.0014455621 | 1.0140092 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.406011E-6 | 2.474422E-6 | 2.474422E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0311434E-5 | 1.060463E-5 | 1.060463E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2553448E-4 | 1.2910504E-4 | 1.2910504E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012546359 | 0.00129043 | 0.0013004171 | 1.0077393 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.6953097E-6 | 1.7430021E-6 | 1.7430021E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.265593E-6 | 7.4699938E-6 | 7.4699938E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8455E-5 | 9.094443E-5 | 9.094443E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.84198E-4 | 9.0917485E-4 | 9.0917485E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 3.5013824E-7 | 3.5715772E-7 | 3.5715772E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5005916E-6 | 1.530675E-6 | 1.530675E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.826955E-5 | 1.8635812E-5 | 1.8635812E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8268047E-4 | 1.8634275E-4 | 1.8634275E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.2321095E-7 | 2.2751153E-7 | 2.2751153E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.56618E-7 | 9.750491E-7 | 9.750491E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1646762E-5 | 1.187116E-5 | 1.187116E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1646151E-4 | 1.1870535E-4 | 1.1870535E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.5760406E-7 | 1.6061328E-7 | 1.6061328E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7544585E-7 | 6.883425E-7 | 6.883425E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.223522E-6 | 8.380538E-6 | 8.380538E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2232174E-5 | 8.380228E-5 | 8.380228E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.1216497E-7 | 1.14319974E-7 | 1.14319974E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8070694E-7 | 4.8994264E-7 | 4.8994264E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.852591E-6 | 5.9650356E-6 | 5.9650356E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8524372E-5 | 5.96488E-5 | 5.96488E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.885185E-8 | 4.9789E-8 | 4.9789E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0936506E-7 | 2.1338143E-7 | 2.1338143E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5490165E-6 | 2.597916E-6 | 2.597916E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5489873E-5 | 2.5978874E-5 | 2.5978874E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.504641E-9 | 1.5318269E-9 | 1.5318269E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4484613E-9 | 6.5649726E-9 | 6.5649726E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.851001E-8 | 7.992854E-8 | 7.992854E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8509987E-7 | 7.9928543E-7 | 7.9928543E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Ynez (West)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.7352758E-5 | 5.498515E-5 | 5.498515E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0292461E-4 | 2.3563024E-4 | 2.3563024E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024678076 | 0.002865294 | 0.0028852366 | 1.00696 | 2.0E-5 | 0.024405818 | 0.02831162 | 0.028360203 | 1.001716 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.7352758E-5 | 5.498515E-5 | 5.498515E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0292461E-4 | 2.3563024E-4 | 2.3563024E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024678076 | 0.002865294 | 0.0028852366 | 1.00696 | 2.0E-5 | 0.024405818 | 0.02831162 | 0.028360203 | 1.001716 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.0415853E-5 | 3.3932396E-5 | 3.3932396E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3034715E-4 | 1.4541666E-4 | 1.4541666E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015858212 | 0.0017690448 | 0.0017790272 | 1.0056428 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015745522 | 0.017553572 | 0.01759287 | 1.0022388 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.0415853E-5 | 3.3932396E-5 | 3.3932396E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3034715E-4 | 1.4541666E-4 | 1.4541666E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015858212 | 0.0017690448 | 0.0017790272 | 1.0056428 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015745522 | 0.017553572 | 0.01759287 | 1.0022388 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.5452082E-5 | 2.7918037E-5 | 2.7918037E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.09075794E-4 | 1.19643344E-4 | 1.19643344E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013271887 | 0.001455703 | 0.0014656886 | 1.0068595 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013192902 | 0.014463847 | 0.014503268 | 1.0027255 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.3143784E-5 | 2.5133082E-5 | 2.5133082E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9183875E-5 | 1.0770884E-4 | 1.0770884E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012068948 | 0.0013105808 | 0.0013205677 | 1.0076202 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012003611 | 0.013030185 | 0.013069664 | 1.0030298 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.9118515E-5 | 2.035801E-5 | 2.035801E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.193392E-5 | 8.724574E-5 | 8.724574E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.97089E-4 | 0.0010617072 | 0.0010716965 | 1.0094088 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00992627 | 0.01056726 | 0.010606837 | 1.0037453 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.722807E-5 | 1.8149522E-5 | 1.8149522E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3832496E-5 | 7.778138E-5 | 7.778138E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.985399E-4 | 9.465824E-4 | 9.5657294E-4 | 1.0105543 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008949154 | 0.0094261505 | 0.009465774 | 1.0042036 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.5317364E-5 | 1.5929178E-5 | 1.5929178E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.56442E-5 | 6.826615E-5 | 6.826615E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.98925E-4 | 8.308277E-4 | 8.408194E-4 | 1.0120262 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007960589 | 0.008277704 | 0.008317373 | 1.0047922 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.3071226E-5 | 1.3331776E-5 | 1.3331776E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6018336E-5 | 5.7134945E-5 | 5.7134945E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8180985E-4 | 6.953982E-4 | 7.053912E-4 | 1.0143702 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0067972173 | 0.006932482 | 0.006972205 | 1.0057299 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.1836986E-5 | 1.1934688E-5 | 1.1934688E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0728955E-5 | 5.114767E-5 | 5.114767E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1745E-4 | 6.225466E-4 | 6.325404E-4 | 1.0160531 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006157372 | 0.0062082196 | 0.006247971 | 1.0064031 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0597169E-5 | 1.054388E-5 | 1.054388E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.541565E-5 | 4.518728E-5 | 4.518728E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5279525E-4 | 5.500174E-4 | 5.600119E-4 | 1.0181712 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0055142213 | 0.0054866923 | 0.005526473 | 1.0072503 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.59113E-6 | 9.460712E-6 | 9.460712E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.11042E-5 | 4.0545285E-5 | 4.0545285E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0032866E-4 | 4.935281E-4 | 5.0352316E-4 | 1.0202522 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004992037 | 0.0049244394 | 0.0049542915 | 1.006062 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 8.586084E-6 | 8.381044E-6 | 8.381044E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.679698E-5 | 3.591827E-5 | 3.591827E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4791115E-4 | 4.3721826E-4 | 4.4721388E-4 | 1.0228618 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004470094 | 0.004363692 | 0.004393561 | 1.0068449 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.2622997E-6 | 6.9528496E-6 | 6.9528496E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.112377E-5 | 2.9797591E-5 | 2.9797591E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.78866E-4 | 3.6272625E-4 | 3.7272263E-4 | 1.027559 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037822074 | 0.0036214425 | 0.00364137 | 1.0055027 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.627296E-6 | 5.252419E-6 | 5.252419E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.411676E-5 | 2.2510178E-5 | 2.2510178E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9358198E-4 | 2.7402764E-4 | 2.8402492E-4 | 1.0364827 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029319443 | 0.0027369696 | 0.0027469422 | 1.0036436 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.265244E-6 | 2.0610555E-6 | 2.0610555E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.708152E-6 | 8.833065E-6 | 8.833065E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.18190335E-4 | 1.0753735E-4 | 1.1753628E-4 | 1.092981 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001181275 | 0.0010748617 | 0.001084851 | 1.0092936 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.3099874E-6 | 1.1017199E-6 | 1.1017199E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.61422E-6 | 4.7216486E-6 | 4.7216486E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8350986E-5 | 5.748458E-5 | 5.748458E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.832996E-4 | 5.746995E-4 | 5.746995E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 7.903951E-7 | 6.071564E-7 | 6.071564E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3874032E-6 | 2.6020962E-6 | 2.6020962E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1240855E-5 | 3.1680076E-5 | 3.1680076E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.12332E-4 | 3.1675692E-4 | 3.1675692E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.0753297E-9 | 5.090262E-9 | 5.090262E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.032284E-8 | 2.1815408E-8 | 2.1815408E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6918053E-7 | 2.6560258E-7 | 2.6560258E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.691799E-6 | 2.6560235E-6 | 2.6560235E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (North Branch Mill Creek)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3569824E-5 | 2.3569824E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.01009646E-4 | 1.1100863E-4 | 1.0989904 | 1.0E-5 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.0012291019 | 0.0012690527 | 1.0325041 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012264188 | 0.012343207 | 1.006443 | 8.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3569824E-5 | 2.3569824E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.01009646E-4 | 1.1100863E-4 | 1.0989904 | 1.0E-5 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.0012291019 | 0.0012690527 | 1.0325041 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012264188 | 0.012343207 | 1.006443 | 8.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3569824E-5 | 2.3569824E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.01009646E-4 | 1.1100863E-4 | 1.0989904 | 1.0E-5 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.0012291019 | 0.0012690527 | 1.0325041 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012264188 | 0.012343207 | 1.006443 | 8.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3569824E-5 | 2.3569824E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.01009646E-4 | 1.1100863E-4 | 1.0989904 | 1.0E-5 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.0012291019 | 0.0012690527 | 1.0325041 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012264188 | 0.012343207 | 1.006443 | 8.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3569824E-5 | 2.3569824E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.01009646E-4 | 1.1100863E-4 | 1.0989904 | 1.0E-5 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.0012291019 | 0.0012690527 | 1.0325041 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012264188 | 0.012343207 | 1.006443 | 8.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3450706E-5 | 2.3558785E-5 | 2.3558785E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.764461E-5 | 1.0096233E-4 | 1.1096132E-4 | 1.0990368 | 1.0E-5 | 7.0159714E-4 | 0.0012285266 | 0.0012684774 | 1.0325193 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006993862 | 0.012258498 | 0.012337518 | 1.0064461 | 8.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.3074523E-5 | 2.3173043E-5 | 2.3173043E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6032466E-5 | 9.930928E-5 | 1.0930829E-4 | 1.1006855 | 1.0E-5 | 6.8198174E-4 | 0.001208423 | 0.0012483748 | 1.033061 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006798926 | 0.012059658 | 0.012138694 | 1.0065536 | 8.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.3050216E-5 | 2.3148334E-5 | 2.3148334E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.59283E-5 | 9.920339E-5 | 1.09202396E-4 | 1.100793 | 1.0E-5 | 6.8071426E-4 | 0.0012071353 | 0.001247087 | 1.0330963 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0067863287 | 0.01204692 | 0.012125956 | 1.0065607 | 8.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.29049395E-5 | 2.299673E-5 | 2.299673E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.530571E-5 | 9.855371E-5 | 1.08552726E-4 | 1.1014575 | 1.0E-5 | 6.73139E-4 | 0.0011992342 | 0.0012391862 | 1.0333146 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0067110364 | 0.011968761 | 0.012047804 | 1.0066041 | 8.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.2867369E-5 | 2.2956125E-5 | 2.2956125E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.51447E-5 | 9.83797E-5 | 1.08378714E-4 | 1.101637 | 1.0E-5 | 6.711799E-4 | 0.001197118 | 0.0012370701 | 1.0333736 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006691564 | 0.0119478265 | 0.012026871 | 1.0066158 | 8.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.2495996E-5 | 2.2355653E-5 | 2.2355653E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3553173E-5 | 9.580644E-5 | 1.05805484E-4 | 1.1043671 | 1.0E-5 | 6.518148E-4 | 0.0011658221 | 0.0012057754 | 1.0342705 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0064990623 | 0.011638158 | 0.011717226 | 1.006794 | 8.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.2452067E-5 | 2.2300705E-5 | 2.2300705E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3364907E-5 | 9.557096E-5 | 1.05570005E-4 | 1.1046243 | 1.0E-5 | 6.4952404E-4 | 0.0011629582 | 0.0012029117 | 1.034355 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0064762887 | 0.011609819 | 0.01168889 | 1.0068107 | 8.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.2002777E-5 | 2.1678876E-5 | 2.1678876E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.143946E-5 | 9.290617E-5 | 1.02905244E-4 | 1.1076255 | 1.0E-5 | 6.2609545E-4 | 0.0011305484 | 0.0011705031 | 1.035341 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006243344 | 0.011289067 | 0.011368164 | 1.0070065 | 8.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.1923425E-5 | 2.1548622E-5 | 2.1548622E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.109939E-5 | 9.234798E-5 | 1.0234706E-4 | 1.108276 | 1.0E-5 | 6.219575E-4 | 0.0011237594 | 0.0011637144 | 1.0355548 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0062021962 | 0.011221892 | 0.011300995 | 1.007049 | 8.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.16105175E-5 | 2.0921905E-5 | 2.0921905E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.975841E-5 | 8.9662244E-5 | 9.9661345E-5 | 1.1115197 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0564023E-4 | 0.0010910938 | 0.00113105 | 1.0366205 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006039923 | 0.010898939 | 0.010978067 | 1.0072602 | 8.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.1037265E-5 | 1.9619567E-5 | 1.9619567E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7301706E-5 | 8.4081155E-5 | 9.4080315E-5 | 1.1189227 | 1.0E-5 | 5.757461E-4 | 0.0010232095 | 0.0010631686 | 1.0390527 | 4.0E-5 | 0.005742567 | 0.010228689 | 0.01030787 | 1.0077411 | 8.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.0720915E-5 | 1.9060646E-5 | 1.9060646E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5945973E-5 | 8.168593E-5 | 9.168512E-5 | 1.12241 | 1.0E-5 | 5.592486E-4 | 9.940747E-4 | 0.0010340349 | 1.0401984 | 4.0E-5 | 0.005578433 | 0.009939994 | 0.010019198 | 1.0079683 | 8.0E-5 |
7.7 | 9.276279E-6 | 1.6503329E-5 | 1.6503329E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9754876E-5 | 7.0726644E-5 | 8.0725935E-5 | 1.1413795 | 1.0E-5 | 4.839081E-4 | 8.6075836E-4 | 9.007239E-4 | 1.0464307 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0048285574 | 0.008617984 | 0.008697295 | 1.009203 | 8.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.8346777E-6 | 1.1205106E-5 | 1.1205106E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5005522E-5 | 4.8020996E-5 | 5.8020516E-5 | 1.2082323 | 1.0E-5 | 3.043997E-4 | 5.844989E-4 | 6.2447554E-4 | 1.0683947 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0030398308 | 0.0058729425 | 0.0059524723 | 1.0135418 | 8.0E-5 |
7.9 | 4.690204E-6 | 8.550745E-6 | 8.550745E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0100719E-5 | 3.664554E-5 | 4.664517E-5 | 1.2728745 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4469878E-4 | 4.4606818E-4 | 4.8605032E-4 | 1.0896324 | 4.0E-5 | 0.002444295 | 0.0044925036 | 0.004562189 | 1.0155115 | 7.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.9570454E-6 | 4.8722964E-6 | 4.8722964E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.267299E-5 | 2.0881103E-5 | 2.0881103E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5428272E-4 | 2.541978E-4 | 2.541978E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015417566 | 0.0025631485 | 0.0025631485 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.6376824E-6 | 2.2100965E-6 | 2.2100965E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.01862E-6 | 9.471807E-6 | 9.471807E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.544835E-5 | 1.1531317E-4 | 1.1531317E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.54155E-4 | 0.0011677721 | 0.0011677721 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 6.9631557E-7 | 4.576388E-7 | 4.576388E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.984206E-6 | 1.9613076E-6 | 1.9613076E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.63321E-5 | 2.387866E-5 | 2.387866E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6326164E-4 | 2.4730063E-4 | 2.4730063E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.7876137E-7 | 8.441393E-8 | 8.441393E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.661199E-7 | 3.617739E-7 | 3.617739E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.32747E-6 | 4.4045887E-6 | 4.4045887E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3270784E-5 | 4.6252266E-5 | 4.6252266E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Independence rev 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.326407E-6 | 4.326407E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.854163E-5 | 1.854163E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2572395E-4 | 2.4571945E-4 | 1.0885838 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022552405 | 0.0023250827 | 1.0309688 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.326407E-6 | 4.326407E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.854163E-5 | 1.854163E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2572395E-4 | 2.4571945E-4 | 1.0885838 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022552405 | 0.0023250827 | 1.0309688 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.326407E-6 | 4.326407E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.854163E-5 | 1.854163E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2572395E-4 | 2.4571945E-4 | 1.0885838 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022552405 | 0.0023250827 | 1.0309688 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.326407E-6 | 4.326407E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.854163E-5 | 1.854163E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2572395E-4 | 2.4571945E-4 | 1.0885838 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022552405 | 0.0023250827 | 1.0309688 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.326407E-6 | 4.326407E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.854163E-5 | 1.854163E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2572395E-4 | 2.4571945E-4 | 1.0885838 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022552405 | 0.0023250827 | 1.0309688 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.326407E-6 | 4.326407E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.854163E-5 | 1.854163E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2572395E-4 | 2.4571945E-4 | 1.0885838 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022552405 | 0.0023250827 | 1.0309688 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.663744E-6 | 2.532118E-6 | 2.532118E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1415996E-5 | 1.08518925E-5 | 1.08518925E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3898089E-4 | 1.3211426E-4 | 1.5211162E-4 | 1.1513641 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0013889399 | 0.0013204055 | 0.001390313 | 1.0529441 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.663744E-6 | 2.532118E-6 | 2.532118E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1415996E-5 | 1.08518925E-5 | 1.08518925E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3898089E-4 | 1.3211426E-4 | 1.5211162E-4 | 1.1513641 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0013889399 | 0.0013204055 | 0.001390313 | 1.0529441 | 7.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.9716529E-6 | 1.8323711E-6 | 1.8323711E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.449913E-6 | 7.8529965E-6 | 7.8529965E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0287284E-4 | 9.560617E-5 | 1.15604256E-4 | 1.2091715 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010282523 | 9.556633E-4 | 0.0010255964 | 1.0731776 | 7.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.8788617E-6 | 1.7431076E-6 | 1.7431076E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0522395E-6 | 7.470441E-6 | 7.470441E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.80316E-5 | 9.0948946E-5 | 1.1094713E-4 | 1.2198836 | 2.0E-5 | 9.798837E-4 | 9.091293E-4 | 9.790657E-4 | 1.0769267 | 7.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.5045488E-6 | 1.3850403E-6 | 1.3850403E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.44805E-6 | 5.9358736E-6 | 5.9358736E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8502184E-5 | 7.226692E-5 | 9.226547E-5 | 1.2767318 | 2.0E-5 | 7.8474457E-4 | 7.224393E-4 | 7.9238875E-4 | 1.0968239 | 7.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.272341E-6 | 1.1625883E-6 | 1.1625883E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4528787E-6 | 4.982512E-6 | 4.982512E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6386776E-5 | 6.0660426E-5 | 8.0659214E-5 | 1.3296843 | 2.0E-5 | 6.636695E-4 | 6.0644187E-4 | 6.7639945E-4 | 1.1153574 | 7.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.0416892E-6 | 9.4105565E-7 | 9.4105565E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.464375E-6 | 4.0330897E-6 | 4.0330897E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4352407E-5 | 4.9101778E-5 | 6.9100795E-5 | 1.4072973 | 2.0E-5 | 5.4339116E-4 | 4.9091113E-4 | 5.608768E-4 | 1.142522 | 7.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.9450155E-7 | 7.2355107E-7 | 7.2355107E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4050022E-6 | 3.1009295E-6 | 3.1009295E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1455114E-5 | 3.7753172E-5 | 5.775242E-5 | 1.5297368 | 2.0E-5 | 4.144738E-4 | 3.774687E-4 | 4.474423E-4 | 1.1853758 | 7.0E-5 |
7.4 | 5.3893444E-7 | 5.019833E-7 | 5.019833E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.309717E-6 | 2.1513554E-6 | 2.1513554E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8120441E-5 | 2.6192442E-5 | 4.6191915E-5 | 1.7635591 | 2.0E-5 | 2.8116882E-4 | 2.61894E-4 | 3.2187827E-4 | 1.2290404 | 6.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.8852085E-7 | 3.6827694E-7 | 3.6827694E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6650882E-6 | 1.5783288E-6 | 1.5783288E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.027226E-5 | 1.9215986E-5 | 3.9215603E-5 | 2.04078 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0270412E-4 | 1.9214346E-4 | 2.5213193E-4 | 1.3122066 | 6.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.414929E-7 | 2.3458695E-7 | 2.3458695E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0349692E-6 | 1.0053723E-6 | 1.0053723E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2600677E-5 | 1.224034E-5 | 3.2240096E-5 | 2.6339216 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2599962E-4 | 1.2239678E-4 | 1.8238944E-4 | 1.490149 | 6.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.8298014E-8 | 6.859204E-8 | 6.859204E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9270575E-7 | 2.9396585E-7 | 2.9396585E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5636867E-6 | 3.5790288E-6 | 3.5790288E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5636294E-5 | 3.578976E-5 | 4.5789402E-5 | 1.2793995 | 1.0E-5 |
Brawley (Seismic Zone) alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2521618E-4 | 4.772269E-4 | 4.772269E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.6485513E-4 | 0.0020436922 | 0.0020536717 | 1.004883 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011683988 | 0.02459246 | 0.024621721 | 1.0011898 | 3.0E-5 | 0.11088423 | 0.21380629 | 0.21386132 | 1.0002574 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.2521618E-4 | 4.772269E-4 | 4.772269E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.6485513E-4 | 0.0020436922 | 0.0020536717 | 1.004883 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011683988 | 0.02459246 | 0.024621721 | 1.0011898 | 3.0E-5 | 0.11088423 | 0.21380629 | 0.21386132 | 1.0002574 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.198148E-4 | 4.6805054E-4 | 4.6805054E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.417233E-4 | 0.0020044255 | 0.0020144056 | 1.004979 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011405343 | 0.024125725 | 0.024155 | 1.0012134 | 3.0E-5 | 0.10837428 | 0.21023802 | 0.21029331 | 1.000263 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.1704129E-4 | 4.624041E-4 | 4.624041E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.298453E-4 | 0.0019802635 | 0.0019902436 | 1.0050398 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011262234 | 0.023838852 | 0.023868136 | 1.0012285 | 3.0E-5 | 0.107082725 | 0.20812891 | 0.20818435 | 1.0002663 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.876142E-4 | 4.0129907E-4 | 4.0129907E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.038131E-4 | 0.001718734 | 0.0017287168 | 1.0058082 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00974259 | 0.020725375 | 0.020754753 | 1.0014175 | 3.0E-5 | 0.093263686 | 0.184882 | 0.18493906 | 1.0003086 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.7390939E-4 | 3.7558933E-4 | 3.7558933E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.45113E-4 | 0.0016086878 | 0.0016186717 | 1.0062063 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009034078 | 0.01941197 | 0.019441389 | 1.0015154 | 3.0E-5 | 0.086755216 | 0.17469841 | 0.17475618 | 1.0003307 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.591791E-4 | 3.496961E-4 | 3.496961E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8201777E-4 | 0.001497847 | 0.0015078321 | 1.0066663 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008271996 | 0.018086538 | 0.018115994 | 1.0016286 | 3.0E-5 | 0.07970774 | 0.16409712 | 0.16415563 | 1.0003566 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.4268003E-4 | 3.2131202E-4 | 3.2131202E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1134255E-4 | 0.0013763331 | 0.0013863193 | 1.0072557 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007417723 | 0.01663043 | 0.01665993 | 1.001774 | 3.0E-5 | 0.07174956 | 0.15221472 | 0.15227407 | 1.0003899 | 7.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.239713E-4 | 2.9115618E-4 | 2.9115618E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3119735E-4 | 0.0012472217 | 0.0012572092 | 1.0080078 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0064481674 | 0.015080636 | 0.015110184 | 1.0019593 | 3.0E-5 | 0.06264243 | 0.13862199 | 0.13868229 | 1.000435 | 7.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.0180238E-4 | 2.6302566E-4 | 2.6302566E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3622297E-4 | 0.00112677 | 0.00112677 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005298089 | 0.013633139 | 0.013652867 | 1.001447 | 2.0E-5 | 0.05173543 | 0.12515466 | 0.12520714 | 1.0004194 | 6.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.6619996E-5 | 2.243622E-4 | 2.243622E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.283301E-4 | 9.6120115E-4 | 9.6120115E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039900932 | 0.011640541 | 0.011660309 | 1.0016981 | 2.0E-5 | 0.039192066 | 0.10741501 | 0.107468575 | 1.0004985 | 6.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.5127435E-5 | 2.2118918E-4 | 2.2118918E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2193496E-4 | 9.4761245E-4 | 9.4761245E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039125155 | 0.011476853 | 0.011496624 | 1.0017227 | 2.0E-5 | 0.038443442 | 0.1059774 | 0.106031045 | 1.0005062 | 6.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.788582E-5 | 2.0245397E-4 | 2.0245397E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9090676E-4 | 8.6737436E-4 | 8.6737436E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035360386 | 0.010509791 | 0.0105295805 | 1.001883 | 2.0E-5 | 0.034803 | 0.09764403 | 0.097698174 | 1.0005544 | 6.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.399602E-5 | 1.8874889E-4 | 1.8874889E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7423984E-4 | 8.086759E-4 | 8.086759E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033337586 | 0.009801774 | 0.009821578 | 1.0020205 | 2.0E-5 | 0.03284188 | 0.091533594 | 0.0915881 | 1.0005955 | 6.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.506759E-5 | 1.2555803E-4 | 1.2555803E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9313251E-4 | 5.379957E-4 | 5.379957E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023488526 | 0.006530601 | 0.0065504704 | 1.0030425 | 2.0E-5 | 0.023241805 | 0.06247956 | 0.062526435 | 1.0007503 | 5.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.43289E-5 | 9.3579096E-5 | 9.3579096E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4711556E-4 | 4.0099194E-4 | 4.0099194E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017896603 | 0.0048712105 | 0.004891113 | 1.0040858 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01775316 | 0.04715615 | 0.047203794 | 1.0010103 | 5.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.5980507E-5 | 7.07269E-5 | 7.07269E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1134028E-4 | 3.030802E-4 | 3.030802E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001354725 | 0.0036837822 | 0.0037037085 | 1.0054092 | 2.0E-5 | 0.013464959 | 0.035929248 | 0.035967812 | 1.0010732 | 4.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.7292105E-5 | 4.957423E-5 | 4.957423E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4106916E-5 | 2.1244372E-4 | 2.1244372E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.018782E-4 | 0.0025834402 | 0.0026033884 | 1.0077217 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008982267 | 0.025366908 | 0.025396146 | 1.0011526 | 3.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.2927471E-5 | 3.983863E-5 | 3.983863E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5402274E-5 | 1.7072582E-4 | 1.7072582E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.743139E-4 | 0.002076608 | 0.0020965664 | 1.0096111 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0067227143 | 0.020498453 | 0.020527838 | 1.0014335 | 3.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.0200774E-5 | 2.8862996E-5 | 2.8862996E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.371687E-5 | 1.2369269E-4 | 1.2369269E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.321229E-4 | 0.0015049193 | 0.0015248893 | 1.0132698 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005308505 | 0.015046383 | 0.015066082 | 1.0013093 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 8.650396E-6 | 2.3377852E-5 | 2.3377852E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.70726E-5 | 1.0018695E-4 | 1.0018695E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5126543E-4 | 0.0012190945 | 0.0012390701 | 1.0163857 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0045035016 | 0.012258284 | 0.012278039 | 1.0016116 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 3.9368224E-6 | 7.370701E-6 | 7.370701E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6871985E-5 | 3.1588337E-5 | 3.1588337E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0539707E-4 | 3.8452024E-4 | 3.8452024E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020520731 | 0.004022768 | 0.004022768 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.7101195E-6 | 2.2344077E-6 | 2.2344077E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.329063E-6 | 9.575998E-6 | 9.575998E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.922769E-5 | 1.1658156E-4 | 1.1658156E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9191867E-4 | 0.001275213 | 0.001275213 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 3.0346666E-8 | 1.7382819E-8 | 1.7382819E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3005713E-7 | 7.44978E-8 | 7.44978E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5834444E-6 | 9.0701053E-7 | 9.0701053E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5834332E-5 | 9.4556935E-6 | 9.4556935E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Coyote Creek)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.4225566E-5 | 2.4225566E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.03819744E-4 | 1.03819744E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014273542 | 0.001263275 | 0.0012732624 | 1.007906 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01418221 | 0.012970378 | 0.01303947 | 1.0053269 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.4225566E-5 | 2.4225566E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.03819744E-4 | 1.03819744E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014273542 | 0.001263275 | 0.0012732624 | 1.007906 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01418221 | 0.012970378 | 0.01303947 | 1.0053269 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.4225566E-5 | 2.4225566E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.03819744E-4 | 1.03819744E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014273542 | 0.001263275 | 0.0012732624 | 1.007906 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01418221 | 0.012970378 | 0.01303947 | 1.0053269 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.4225566E-5 | 2.4225566E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.03819744E-4 | 1.03819744E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014273542 | 0.001263275 | 0.0012732624 | 1.007906 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01418221 | 0.012970378 | 0.01303947 | 1.0053269 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.4225566E-5 | 2.4225566E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.03819744E-4 | 1.03819744E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014273542 | 0.001263275 | 0.0012732624 | 1.007906 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01418221 | 0.012970378 | 0.01303947 | 1.0053269 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.7282445E-5 | 2.4111609E-5 | 2.4111609E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.16919524E-4 | 1.0333139E-4 | 1.0333139E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014225657 | 0.0012573362 | 0.0012673237 | 1.0079433 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014134934 | 0.0129116895 | 0.012980785 | 1.0053514 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.7282445E-5 | 2.4111609E-5 | 2.4111609E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.16919524E-4 | 1.0333139E-4 | 1.0333139E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014225657 | 0.0012573362 | 0.0012673237 | 1.0079433 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014134934 | 0.0129116895 | 0.012980785 | 1.0053514 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.7216198E-5 | 2.4036706E-5 | 2.4036706E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1663563E-4 | 1.030104E-4 | 1.030104E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014191137 | 0.0012534327 | 0.0012634202 | 1.0079681 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014100855 | 0.012873089 | 0.012942188 | 1.0053678 | 7.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.7078617E-5 | 2.3953877E-5 | 2.3953877E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1604605E-4 | 1.02655446E-4 | 1.02655446E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001411945 | 0.0012491161 | 0.0012591037 | 1.0079956 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014030075 | 0.012830213 | 0.012899314 | 1.0053859 | 7.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.6982952E-5 | 2.3873341E-5 | 2.3873341E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.15636096E-4 | 1.0231032E-4 | 1.0231032E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014069602 | 0.001244919 | 0.0012549066 | 1.0080227 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013980856 | 0.0127884615 | 0.012857566 | 1.0054036 | 7.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.6449972E-5 | 2.345019E-5 | 2.345019E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1335209E-4 | 1.0049695E-4 | 1.0049695E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001379188 | 0.0012228662 | 0.0012328541 | 1.0081675 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0137065975 | 0.012569732 | 0.012638852 | 1.0054989 | 7.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.6257849E-5 | 2.3276143E-5 | 2.3276143E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1252879E-4 | 9.97511E-5 | 9.97511E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013691769 | 0.0012137956 | 0.0012237835 | 1.0082287 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013607717 | 0.012479534 | 0.012548661 | 1.0055392 | 7.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.5270041E-5 | 2.2470305E-5 | 2.2470305E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0829568E-4 | 9.629777E-5 | 9.629777E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013177024 | 0.0011717972 | 0.0011817854 | 1.008524 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013099162 | 0.012060269 | 0.012129424 | 1.0057342 | 7.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.339701E-5 | 2.1201071E-5 | 2.1201071E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0026905E-4 | 9.085858E-5 | 9.085858E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001220092 | 0.0011056439 | 0.0011156328 | 1.0090345 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012134149 | 0.01139867 | 0.011467873 | 1.0060711 | 7.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.296333E-5 | 2.093115E-5 | 2.093115E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.841056E-5 | 8.9701854E-5 | 8.9701854E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011974899 | 0.0010915749 | 0.001101564 | 1.0091511 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011910575 | 0.011257638 | 0.01132685 | 1.006148 | 7.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.2188895E-5 | 2.0453455E-5 | 2.0453455E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.50918E-5 | 8.7654735E-5 | 8.7654735E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011571277 | 0.0010666759 | 0.0010766652 | 1.009365 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011511209 | 0.011006933 | 0.011076163 | 1.0062896 | 7.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.0013189E-5 | 1.9038043E-5 | 1.9038043E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5767984E-5 | 8.1589074E-5 | 8.1589074E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001043725 | 9.92896E-4 | 0.0010028861 | 1.0100615 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010388365 | 0.010264187 | 0.010333468 | 1.0067499 | 7.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.7230794E-5 | 1.6817228E-5 | 1.6817228E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.384417E-5 | 7.207185E-5 | 7.207185E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.986819E-4 | 8.7712234E-4 | 8.8711357E-4 | 1.0113909 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008950562 | 0.009101659 | 0.009171021 | 1.0076209 | 7.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.4478809E-5 | 1.5061964E-5 | 1.5061964E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.205057E-5 | 6.4549684E-5 | 6.4549684E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.552038E-4 | 7.8560965E-4 | 7.956018E-4 | 1.0127189 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0075264242 | 0.008178955 | 0.008238465 | 1.0072759 | 6.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.1114467E-5 | 1.1708291E-5 | 1.1708291E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7632562E-5 | 5.0177427E-5 | 5.0177427E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.797721E-4 | 6.107395E-4 | 6.207334E-4 | 1.0163636 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0057826187 | 0.0064137327 | 0.0064733475 | 1.0092949 | 6.0E-5 |
8.0 | 9.327402E-6 | 9.9565705E-6 | 9.9565705E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9973966E-5 | 4.2670323E-5 | 4.2670323E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8657437E-4 | 5.193879E-4 | 5.193879E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048551033 | 0.0054803193 | 0.005530045 | 1.0090736 | 5.0E-5 |
8.1 | 7.0235833E-6 | 6.8701984E-6 | 6.8701984E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0100724E-5 | 2.9443378E-5 | 2.9443378E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.664147E-4 | 3.584147E-4 | 3.584147E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003658111 | 0.0038104455 | 0.0038204074 | 1.0026144 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 2.0358202E-6 | 9.076455E-7 | 9.076455E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.724915E-6 | 3.8899034E-6 | 3.8899034E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.06220665E-4 | 4.735857E-5 | 4.735857E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001061699 | 5.371569E-4 | 5.371569E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 2.0051264E-7 | 6.686286E-8 | 6.686286E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5933965E-7 | 2.865551E-7 | 2.865551E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.046241E-5 | 3.4888033E-6 | 3.4888033E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0461917E-4 | 4.0536288E-5 | 4.0536288E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.986481E-4 | 0.0012287712 | 0.0012287712 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025631124 | 0.0052506737 | 0.0052506737 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.030762846 | 0.061263498 | 0.06129166 | 1.0004597 | 3.0E-5 | 0.26835477 | 0.42624313 | 0.4262833 | 1.0000942 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.015945E-4 | 0.0010227632 | 0.0010227632 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00214792 | 0.0043720854 | 0.0043720854 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.025839351 | 0.051297646 | 0.051316623 | 1.0003699 | 2.0E-5 | 0.23032776 | 0.37315094 | 0.37318856 | 1.0001009 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.073338E-4 | 8.1168005E-4 | 8.1168005E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017445484 | 0.0034712802 | 0.0034712802 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021034058 | 0.040981986 | 0.041001167 | 1.000468 | 2.0E-5 | 0.19150782 | 0.31335235 | 0.31339353 | 1.0001315 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.464099E-4 | 6.7487045E-4 | 6.7487045E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014837692 | 0.0028871067 | 0.0028871067 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017915873 | 0.03423879 | 0.034258105 | 1.0005641 | 2.0E-5 | 0.16538359 | 0.2716547 | 0.2716984 | 1.0001608 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.935057E-4 | 5.553884E-4 | 5.553884E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012572751 | 0.0023767021 | 0.0023767021 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015200248 | 0.028314197 | 0.02833363 | 1.0006864 | 2.0E-5 | 0.14201577 | 0.23334214 | 0.23338048 | 1.0001643 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.3409708E-4 | 4.218964E-4 | 4.218964E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010028875 | 0.0018061479 | 0.0018061479 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012141965 | 0.021637546 | 0.021657113 | 1.0009043 | 2.0E-5 | 0.11499573 | 0.18720241 | 0.18724306 | 1.0002171 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.5842178E-4 | 2.5166903E-4 | 2.5166903E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7877385E-4 | 0.0010781237 | 0.0010781237 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0082328 | 0.013045786 | 0.013065525 | 1.001513 | 2.0E-5 | 0.07934396 | 0.12355299 | 0.12359682 | 1.0003546 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.5616413E-4 | 2.470317E-4 | 2.470317E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.691031E-4 | 0.0010582703 | 0.0010582703 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0081159435 | 0.012807535 | 0.012827278 | 1.0015416 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0782586 | 0.121580124 | 0.121624045 | 1.0003612 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.5538467E-4 | 2.4526808E-4 | 2.4526808E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6576427E-4 | 0.0010507194 | 0.0010507194 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008075596 | 0.012716831 | 0.012736576 | 1.0015527 | 2.0E-5 | 0.07788358 | 0.120810546 | 0.120854504 | 1.0003638 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.5153569E-4 | 2.3635213E-4 | 2.3635213E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.49277E-4 | 0.0010125465 | 0.0010125465 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007876333 | 0.012258597 | 0.012278351 | 1.0016115 | 2.0E-5 | 0.07602952 | 0.11687919 | 0.11692334 | 1.0003778 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.4588932E-4 | 2.2491427E-4 | 2.2491427E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.250901E-4 | 9.635642E-4 | 9.635642E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0075839474 | 0.011668792 | 0.011688558 | 1.001694 | 2.0E-5 | 0.073302895 | 0.111724004 | 0.11176842 | 1.0003976 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.1565079E-4 | 1.6362977E-4 | 1.6362977E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.955521E-4 | 7.010828E-4 | 7.010828E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006016669 | 0.008502481 | 0.008522311 | 1.0023322 | 2.0E-5 | 0.058563538 | 0.08403489 | 0.08408069 | 1.000545 | 5.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.0393792E-4 | 1.469272E-4 | 1.469272E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4537216E-4 | 6.2953675E-4 | 6.2953675E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005408933 | 0.0076378454 | 0.007657693 | 1.0025985 | 2.0E-5 | 0.052791595 | 0.07596896 | 0.07601516 | 1.0006082 | 5.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.332884E-5 | 1.2848155E-4 | 1.2848155E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.999194E-4 | 5.505197E-4 | 5.505197E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048581534 | 0.006682114 | 0.0067019807 | 1.0029731 | 2.0E-5 | 0.047533102 | 0.066795014 | 0.06684168 | 1.0006986 | 5.0E-5 |
7.4 | 8.670252E-5 | 1.17650736E-4 | 1.17650736E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.715293E-4 | 5.041206E-4 | 5.041206E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004513991 | 0.0061205174 | 0.006140395 | 1.0032477 | 2.0E-5 | 0.044233937 | 0.061440848 | 0.061487775 | 1.0007638 | 5.0E-5 |
7.5 | 7.3036405E-5 | 9.057734E-5 | 9.057734E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.129756E-4 | 3.8813092E-4 | 3.8813092E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038038217 | 0.004715277 | 0.0047351825 | 1.0042216 | 2.0E-5 | 0.03739367 | 0.048124246 | 0.04817184 | 1.000989 | 5.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.3935775E-5 | 8.32663E-5 | 8.32663E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7398168E-4 | 3.5680682E-4 | 3.5680682E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033306254 | 0.004335489 | 0.004355402 | 1.0045931 | 2.0E-5 | 0.032811474 | 0.044211827 | 0.04425962 | 1.0010809 | 5.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.5050095E-5 | 6.702782E-5 | 6.702782E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3590765E-4 | 2.8723045E-4 | 2.8723045E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028683927 | 0.0034914275 | 0.0035113578 | 1.0057083 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0283165 | 0.035994742 | 0.036033303 | 1.0010712 | 4.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.027131E-5 | 6.200321E-5 | 6.200321E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1543067E-4 | 2.6570098E-4 | 2.6570098E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026197135 | 0.0032301145 | 0.00325005 | 1.0061717 | 2.0E-5 | 0.025890453 | 0.03330892 | 0.033347584 | 1.0011609 | 4.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.7271806E-5 | 5.052656E-5 | 5.052656E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5972654E-4 | 2.1652444E-4 | 2.1652444E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019429359 | 0.002633 | 0.0026529473 | 1.0075759 | 2.0E-5 | 0.019260362 | 0.027215678 | 0.02725459 | 1.0014298 | 4.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.7310243E-5 | 3.162757E-5 | 3.162757E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.17038646E-4 | 1.355397E-4 | 1.355397E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014240141 | 0.0016489475 | 0.0016689146 | 1.0121089 | 2.0E-5 | 0.014149235 | 0.017315658 | 0.01733531 | 1.001135 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.7940547E-5 | 1.7528437E-5 | 1.7528437E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.688579E-5 | 7.5119715E-5 | 7.5119715E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3568244E-4 | 9.141993E-4 | 9.2419016E-4 | 1.0109285 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009317525 | 0.00986674 | 0.009876641 | 1.0010035 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.525733E-6 | 5.525733E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3681498E-5 | 2.3681498E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8828418E-4 | 2.8828418E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0032766163 | 0.0032766163 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.745133E-7 | 7.745133E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.3193387E-6 | 3.3193387E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.0412215E-5 | 4.0412215E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.7688978E-4 | 4.7688978E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Kern Canyon (North Kern) 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.7575447E-6 | 6.7575447E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.8960629E-5 | 2.8960629E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.5254663E-4 | 3.8253606E-4 | 1.0850651 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0034516277 | 0.003520662 | 0.0035904155 | 1.0198126 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.7575447E-6 | 6.7575447E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.8960629E-5 | 2.8960629E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.5254663E-4 | 3.8253606E-4 | 1.0850651 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0034516277 | 0.003520662 | 0.0035904155 | 1.0198126 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.7575447E-6 | 6.7575447E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.8960629E-5 | 2.8960629E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.5254663E-4 | 3.8253606E-4 | 1.0850651 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0034516277 | 0.003520662 | 0.0035904155 | 1.0198126 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.7575447E-6 | 6.7575447E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.8960629E-5 | 2.8960629E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.5254663E-4 | 3.8253606E-4 | 1.0850651 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0034516277 | 0.003520662 | 0.0035904155 | 1.0198126 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.7575447E-6 | 6.7575447E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.8960629E-5 | 2.8960629E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.5254663E-4 | 3.8253606E-4 | 1.0850651 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0034516277 | 0.003520662 | 0.0035904155 | 1.0198126 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.2162225E-6 | 3.2571834E-6 | 3.2571834E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3783738E-5 | 1.3959288E-5 | 1.3959288E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6780409E-4 | 1.6994188E-4 | 1.7994018E-4 | 1.0588336 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016767744 | 0.001698199 | 0.001718165 | 1.0117571 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.2162225E-6 | 3.2571834E-6 | 3.2571834E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3783738E-5 | 1.3959288E-5 | 1.3959288E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6780409E-4 | 1.6994188E-4 | 1.7994018E-4 | 1.0588336 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016767744 | 0.001698199 | 0.001718165 | 1.0117571 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.1908265E-6 | 2.2071808E-6 | 2.2071808E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.389223E-6 | 9.459313E-6 | 9.459313E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1430779E-4 | 1.15161245E-4 | 1.2516009E-4 | 1.0868248 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011424901 | 0.0011510351 | 0.0011710121 | 1.0173557 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.7303895E-6 | 1.7365978E-6 | 1.7365978E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.415934E-6 | 7.442541E-6 | 7.442541E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.028525E-5 | 9.060927E-5 | 1.0060836E-4 | 1.110354 | 1.0E-5 | 9.024858E-4 | 9.05733E-4 | 9.257149E-4 | 1.0220616 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.3700314E-6 | 1.3688972E-6 | 1.3688972E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.87155E-6 | 5.866689E-6 | 5.866689E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.148377E-5 | 7.142465E-5 | 8.142393E-5 | 1.1399977 | 1.0E-5 | 7.146078E-4 | 7.140215E-4 | 7.340072E-4 | 1.0279903 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.1467797E-6 | 1.1414097E-6 | 1.1414097E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9147607E-6 | 4.891747E-6 | 4.891747E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.983557E-5 | 5.9555423E-5 | 6.955483E-5 | 1.1679008 | 1.0E-5 | 5.981946E-4 | 5.953978E-4 | 6.153858E-4 | 1.033571 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 9.3952065E-7 | 9.302931E-7 | 9.302931E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.026511E-6 | 3.986964E-6 | 3.986964E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9021666E-5 | 4.8540227E-5 | 5.8539743E-5 | 1.2060047 | 1.0E-5 | 4.901085E-4 | 4.8529805E-4 | 5.052883E-4 | 1.0411918 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.858055E-7 | 6.719479E-7 | 6.719479E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.939163E-6 | 2.8797733E-6 | 2.8797733E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5783723E-5 | 3.5060686E-5 | 4.5060337E-5 | 1.2852098 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5777962E-4 | 3.5055244E-4 | 3.7054543E-4 | 1.0570328 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 5.1101983E-7 | 4.9394345E-7 | 4.9394345E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1900833E-6 | 2.1168987E-6 | 2.1168987E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6663936E-5 | 2.5772943E-5 | 3.5772686E-5 | 1.3879938 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6660739E-4 | 2.577E-4 | 2.7769487E-4 | 1.0775896 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.4999414E-7 | 3.2996854E-7 | 3.2996854E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.499974E-6 | 1.4141501E-6 | 1.4141501E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8262032E-5 | 1.7217144E-5 | 1.7217144E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.826053E-4 | 1.7215835E-4 | 1.8215663E-4 | 1.058076 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.7021522E-7 | 1.4750547E-7 | 1.4750547E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2949354E-7 | 6.321662E-7 | 6.321662E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.881548E-6 | 7.696596E-6 | 7.696596E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8811925E-5 | 7.6963384E-5 | 8.696261E-5 | 1.1299219 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.572245E-8 | 1.7353642E-8 | 1.7353642E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10239064E-7 | 7.437275E-8 | 7.437275E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421597E-6 | 9.0548787E-7 | 9.0548787E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421517E-5 | 9.054847E-6 | 9.054847E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Imperial
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.7496446E-4 | 5.0682464E-4 | 5.0682464E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011778869 | 0.002170337 | 0.002180315 | 1.0045975 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0142467655 | 0.026103199 | 0.026132414 | 1.0011193 | 3.0E-5 | 0.13367249 | 0.22848772 | 0.22854172 | 1.0002364 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.5356023E-4 | 4.8769935E-4 | 4.8769935E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001086234 | 0.0020885041 | 0.0020984833 | 1.0047781 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013144928 | 0.0251277 | 0.025156945 | 1.001164 | 3.0E-5 | 0.123940155 | 0.21987312 | 0.21992773 | 1.0002483 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.4820742E-4 | 4.7863115E-4 | 4.7863115E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010633124 | 0.0020497018 | 0.0020596813 | 1.0048687 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01286919 | 0.024666725 | 0.024695985 | 1.0011863 | 3.0E-5 | 0.12148927 | 0.21637443 | 0.2164293 | 1.0002536 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3205351E-4 | 4.5990478E-4 | 4.5990478E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.94136E-4 | 0.0019695684 | 0.001979549 | 1.0050672 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012036599 | 0.023707977 | 0.023737265 | 1.0012354 | 3.0E-5 | 0.11405133 | 0.20827457 | 0.20832999 | 1.0002661 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0304754E-4 | 3.9973893E-4 | 3.9973893E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6991355E-4 | 0.0017120567 | 0.0017220395 | 1.0058309 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010539869 | 0.020642104 | 0.020671485 | 1.0014234 | 3.0E-5 | 0.100537635 | 0.18541032 | 0.18546735 | 1.0003076 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.854992E-4 | 3.707964E-4 | 3.707964E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9475436E-4 | 0.0015881719 | 0.001598156 | 1.0062865 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009633281 | 0.019165123 | 0.019194549 | 1.0015353 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0922623 | 0.17362633 | 0.17368418 | 1.0003332 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.6586106E-4 | 3.4117367E-4 | 3.4117367E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.106394E-4 | 0.0014613637 | 0.0014713492 | 1.006833 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008617763 | 0.017644111 | 0.017673582 | 1.0016702 | 3.0E-5 | 0.08291132 | 0.16108131 | 0.16114004 | 1.0003645 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.4224656E-4 | 3.083848E-4 | 3.083848E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.094856E-4 | 0.0013209879 | 0.0013309747 | 1.0075601 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0073952693 | 0.015966691 | 0.015996212 | 1.0018489 | 3.0E-5 | 0.07153955 | 0.14676353 | 0.14682326 | 1.000407 | 7.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2317259E-4 | 2.7851516E-4 | 2.7851516E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2777573E-4 | 0.0011930965 | 0.0012030846 | 1.0083716 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0064067547 | 0.014430593 | 0.01446016 | 1.002049 | 3.0E-5 | 0.06225166 | 0.13317735 | 0.13323803 | 1.0004556 | 7.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.859898E-5 | 2.5059603E-4 | 2.5059603E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2249862E-4 | 0.0010735452 | 0.0010735452 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051317946 | 0.01299305 | 0.01301279 | 1.0015193 | 2.0E-5 | 0.05014893 | 0.11958907 | 0.11964189 | 1.0004417 | 6.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.3191884E-5 | 2.1300677E-4 | 2.1300677E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.136418E-4 | 9.1257E-4 | 9.1257E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003811904 | 0.011054627 | 0.011074405 | 1.0017892 | 2.0E-5 | 0.037471764 | 0.10220149 | 0.10225536 | 1.000527 | 6.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.1760296E-5 | 2.1001582E-4 | 2.1001582E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0750787E-4 | 8.9976046E-4 | 8.9976046E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003737482 | 0.010900241 | 0.010920024 | 1.0018148 | 2.0E-5 | 0.03675245 | 0.10083639 | 0.10089034 | 1.000535 | 6.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.46614E-5 | 1.9168881E-4 | 1.9168881E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7709085E-4 | 8.212679E-4 | 8.212679E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033683628 | 0.009953719 | 0.0099735195 | 1.0019892 | 2.0E-5 | 0.033177625 | 0.09263993 | 0.09269437 | 1.0005877 | 6.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.088115E-5 | 1.7839161E-4 | 1.7839161E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6089314E-4 | 7.643144E-4 | 7.643144E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031717476 | 0.009266401 | 0.0092862155 | 1.0021384 | 2.0E-5 | 0.031268585 | 0.086685516 | 0.086740315 | 1.0006322 | 6.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.199346E-5 | 1.1533978E-4 | 1.1533978E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7995955E-4 | 4.942206E-4 | 4.942206E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021888057 | 0.0060007046 | 0.0060205846 | 1.003313 | 2.0E-5 | 0.02167372 | 0.057543352 | 0.057590473 | 1.000819 | 5.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.130448E-5 | 8.3528066E-5 | 8.3528066E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3415517E-4 | 3.5792863E-4 | 3.5792863E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016321153 | 0.0043491335 | 0.0043690465 | 1.0045786 | 2.0E-5 | 0.016201803 | 0.04222041 | 0.0422683 | 1.0011343 | 5.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.3074248E-5 | 6.101102E-5 | 6.101102E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.888588E-5 | 2.6144972E-4 | 2.6144972E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012032706 | 0.0031785273 | 0.003198464 | 1.0062722 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011967761 | 0.03110213 | 0.031140886 | 1.0012461 | 4.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.45864815E-5 | 4.0262392E-5 | 4.0262392E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2511994E-5 | 1.7254174E-4 | 1.7254174E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.608177E-4 | 0.0020986772 | 0.0021186352 | 1.0095098 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007582182 | 0.020691508 | 0.020720888 | 1.0014199 | 3.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.0352979E-5 | 3.1077987E-5 | 3.1077987E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4369157E-5 | 1.3318459E-4 | 1.3318459E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.400606E-4 | 0.0016203186 | 0.0016402862 | 1.0123233 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0053875 | 0.016071081 | 0.016100598 | 1.0018367 | 3.0E-5 |
7.9 | 8.137906E-6 | 2.2242875E-5 | 2.2242875E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4876273E-5 | 9.532313E-5 | 9.532313E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2453592E-4 | 0.0011599422 | 0.001179919 | 1.0172223 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004237258 | 0.011662128 | 0.011681895 | 1.0016949 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 6.93792E-6 | 1.8089295E-5 | 1.8089295E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9733603E-5 | 7.752325E-5 | 7.752325E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6194647E-4 | 9.4343757E-4 | 9.6341874E-4 | 1.0211791 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0036135751 | 0.009539697 | 0.009559507 | 1.0020765 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 3.4286315E-6 | 6.416875E-6 | 6.416875E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4694053E-5 | 2.7500602E-5 | 2.7500602E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7888541E-4 | 3.347685E-4 | 3.347685E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017874148 | 0.0035047785 | 0.0035047785 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.4906886E-6 | 1.9510067E-6 | 1.9510067E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3886496E-6 | 8.36143E-6 | 8.36143E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7779034E-5 | 1.017957E-4 | 1.017957E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.775182E-4 | 0.001114944 | 0.001114944 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 2.5758007E-8 | 1.4641498E-8 | 1.4641498E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10391454E-7 | 6.274927E-8 | 6.274927E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3440151E-6 | 7.639724E-7 | 7.639724E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.344007E-5 | 7.962027E-6 | 7.962027E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Red Mountain
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7600613E-5 | 4.7600613E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.0398761E-4 | 2.0398761E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024808852 | 0.0024908604 | 1.0040208 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021580452 | 0.024549514 | 0.024598287 | 1.0019867 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7600613E-5 | 4.7600613E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.0398761E-4 | 2.0398761E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024808852 | 0.0024908604 | 1.0040208 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021580452 | 0.024549514 | 0.024598287 | 1.0019867 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7600613E-5 | 4.7600613E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.0398761E-4 | 2.0398761E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024808852 | 0.0024908604 | 1.0040208 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021580452 | 0.024549514 | 0.024598287 | 1.0019867 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7600613E-5 | 4.7600613E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.0398761E-4 | 2.0398761E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024808852 | 0.0024908604 | 1.0040208 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021580452 | 0.024549514 | 0.024598287 | 1.0019867 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7600613E-5 | 4.7600613E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.0398761E-4 | 2.0398761E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024808852 | 0.0024908604 | 1.0040208 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021580452 | 0.024549514 | 0.024598287 | 1.0019867 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.154503E-5 | 3.536726E-5 | 3.536726E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3518598E-4 | 1.5156569E-4 | 1.5156569E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016446467 | 0.0018438424 | 0.001853824 | 1.0054134 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01632528 | 0.01829509 | 0.018324543 | 1.0016098 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.1535834E-5 | 3.535664E-5 | 3.535664E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3514658E-4 | 1.5152017E-4 | 1.5152017E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016441676 | 0.0018432894 | 0.0018532709 | 1.0054151 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01632056 | 0.018289652 | 0.018319102 | 1.0016103 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.8267326E-5 | 3.147589E-5 | 3.147589E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2114006E-4 | 1.3489019E-4 | 1.3489019E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014738824 | 0.001641136 | 0.0016511196 | 1.0060834 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014641452 | 0.016298931 | 0.016328443 | 1.0018107 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.8212884E-5 | 3.1413765E-5 | 3.1413765E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.20906756E-4 | 1.3462396E-4 | 1.3462396E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014710457 | 0.0016378995 | 0.0016478832 | 1.0060954 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014613459 | 0.016267043 | 0.016296554 | 1.0018142 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.4227871E-5 | 2.67124E-5 | 2.67124E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.03829596E-4 | 1.14477116E-4 | 1.14477116E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012633923 | 0.0013929438 | 0.0014029298 | 1.007169 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012562336 | 0.013849819 | 0.0138794035 | 1.0021361 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.348524E-5 | 2.5840984E-5 | 2.5840984E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0064714E-4 | 1.10742796E-4 | 1.10742796E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012246901 | 0.0013475353 | 0.0013575219 | 1.007411 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012179627 | 0.013401281 | 0.013430879 | 1.0022086 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.2311642E-5 | 2.446774E-5 | 2.446774E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.561782E-5 | 1.0485794E-4 | 1.0485794E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011635252 | 0.0012759727 | 0.00128596 | 1.0078272 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01157452 | 0.012693984 | 0.012723604 | 1.0023333 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.6533986E-5 | 1.7673672E-5 | 1.7673672E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.085802E-5 | 7.574247E-5 | 7.574247E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.623549E-4 | 9.218379E-4 | 9.318287E-4 | 1.0108379 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008590161 | 0.0091864215 | 0.009216146 | 1.0032357 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.4703092E-5 | 1.5562415E-5 | 1.5562415E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.301173E-5 | 6.669471E-5 | 6.669471E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.668978E-4 | 8.117672E-4 | 8.2175905E-4 | 1.0123088 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0076425658 | 0.008094097 | 0.008113935 | 1.002451 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.1331984E-6 | 5.5294913E-6 | 5.5294913E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6284872E-5 | 2.3697608E-5 | 2.3697608E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.199713E-4 | 2.8848072E-4 | 2.9847783E-4 | 1.0346544 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0031951098 | 0.0028811167 | 0.002901059 | 1.0069218 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.954766E-6 | 5.3390995E-6 | 5.3390995E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5520176E-5 | 2.2881657E-5 | 2.2881657E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1066386E-4 | 2.785491E-4 | 2.8854632E-4 | 1.0358903 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003102299 | 0.0027820535 | 0.0028019978 | 1.0071689 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 4.9726646E-6 | 4.3157866E-6 | 4.3157866E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1311245E-5 | 1.8496099E-5 | 1.8496099E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5943352E-4 | 2.2516708E-4 | 2.3516483E-4 | 1.0444014 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0025913084 | 0.002249424 | 0.002269379 | 1.0088712 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 3.3613894E-6 | 2.853002E-6 | 2.853002E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4405875E-5 | 1.2227095E-5 | 1.2227095E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7537741E-4 | 1.4885498E-4 | 1.4885498E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017523908 | 0.001487579 | 0.001497564 | 1.0067123 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.1828961E-6 | 1.0123796E-6 | 1.0123796E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.069545E-6 | 4.3387627E-6 | 4.3387627E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.171996E-5 | 5.2823183E-5 | 5.2823183E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.170282E-4 | 5.281092E-4 | 5.281092E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.2967266E-7 | 1.8620821E-7 | 1.8620821E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.843111E-7 | 7.98035E-7 | 7.98035E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.19839215E-5 | 9.7160355E-6 | 9.7160355E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1983275E-4 | 9.715639E-5 | 9.715639E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cleghorn Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5467183E-5 | 1.679612E-5 | 1.679612E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6286244E-5 | 7.19817E-5 | 7.19817E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.067362E-4 | 8.760797E-4 | 9.160447E-4 | 1.0456179 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008038137 | 0.008731688 | 0.0088010775 | 1.0079467 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.5467183E-5 | 1.679612E-5 | 1.679612E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6286244E-5 | 7.19817E-5 | 7.19817E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.067362E-4 | 8.760797E-4 | 9.160447E-4 | 1.0456179 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008038137 | 0.008731688 | 0.0088010775 | 1.0079467 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.2624631E-5 | 1.36830695E-5 | 1.36830695E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.410444E-5 | 5.8640682E-5 | 5.8640682E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.585225E-4 | 7.1376516E-4 | 7.4374373E-4 | 1.0420007 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0065657445 | 0.0071195234 | 0.007169167 | 1.0069729 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.2624631E-5 | 1.36830695E-5 | 1.36830695E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.410444E-5 | 5.8640682E-5 | 5.8640682E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.585225E-4 | 7.1376516E-4 | 7.4374373E-4 | 1.0420007 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0065657445 | 0.0071195234 | 0.007169167 | 1.0069729 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 9.417684E-6 | 1.01712E-5 | 1.01712E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.036088E-5 | 4.3590364E-5 | 4.3590364E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.912829E-4 | 5.3062453E-4 | 5.506139E-4 | 1.0376714 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004901982 | 0.0052976124 | 0.0053374004 | 1.0075105 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.368219E-6 | 1.0118622E-5 | 1.0118622E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.014889E-5 | 4.336504E-5 | 4.336504E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8870314E-4 | 5.2788254E-4 | 5.47872E-4 | 1.0378672 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004876298 | 0.0052703223 | 0.0053101117 | 1.0075496 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.803798E-6 | 8.44275E-6 | 8.44275E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3444423E-5 | 3.6182937E-5 | 3.6182937E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0710976E-4 | 4.4047815E-4 | 4.6046934E-4 | 1.0453852 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0040636472 | 0.004399969 | 0.0044397926 | 1.009051 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.3108669E-6 | 2.4440203E-6 | 2.4440203E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.903678E-6 | 1.0474332E-5 | 1.0474332E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.205706E-4 | 1.2751772E-4 | 1.2751772E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001205052 | 0.0012744641 | 0.0012744641 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 2.0882828E-6 | 2.2064476E-6 | 2.2064476E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.949753E-6 | 9.456171E-6 | 9.456171E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.08957785E-4 | 1.15122966E-4 | 1.15122966E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010890438 | 0.0011506502 | 0.0011506502 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.876935E-6 | 1.9811969E-6 | 1.9811969E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.043982E-6 | 8.490817E-6 | 8.490817E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.7931086E-5 | 1.0337095E-4 | 1.0337095E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.788794E-4 | 0.0010332447 | 0.0010332447 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.5357559E-6 | 1.6203991E-6 | 1.6203991E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5817944E-6 | 6.9445496E-6 | 6.9445496E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.01304E-5 | 8.454674E-5 | 8.454674E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.010151E-4 | 8.451582E-4 | 8.451582E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.0905424E-6 | 1.1498448E-6 | 1.1498448E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6737446E-6 | 4.9278974E-6 | 4.9278974E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6901354E-5 | 5.99956E-5 | 5.99956E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6886784E-4 | 5.998038E-4 | 5.998038E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.06668E-7 | 6.387725E-7 | 6.387725E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.600003E-6 | 2.737594E-6 | 2.737594E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1654577E-5 | 3.332977E-5 | 3.332977E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1650066E-4 | 3.3325455E-4 | 3.3325455E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Diego Trough south
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.279495E-5 | 1.04289524E-4 | 1.04289524E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5478722E-4 | 4.468835E-4 | 4.5687903E-4 | 1.0223672 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004310982 | 0.0054277102 | 0.0054476014 | 1.0036649 | 2.0E-5 | 0.042283054 | 0.053009972 | 0.05305732 | 1.0008932 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.6961468E-5 | 5.7747497E-5 | 5.7747497E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0124791E-4 | 2.4746676E-4 | 2.4746676E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00244744 | 0.0030087905 | 0.0030187604 | 1.0033135 | 1.0E-5 | 0.024206603 | 0.02968837 | 0.029707776 | 1.0006536 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.5079658E-5 | 4.215392E-5 | 4.215392E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5033272E-4 | 1.806474E-4 | 1.806474E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018287642 | 0.0021971753 | 0.0022071532 | 1.0045413 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018137876 | 0.021756927 | 0.02176671 | 1.0004497 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.5079658E-5 | 4.215392E-5 | 4.215392E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5033272E-4 | 1.806474E-4 | 1.806474E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018287642 | 0.0021971753 | 0.0022071532 | 1.0045413 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018137876 | 0.021756927 | 0.02176671 | 1.0004497 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.7196904E-5 | 3.209483E-5 | 3.209483E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.16552954E-4 | 1.3754213E-4 | 1.3754213E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014181085 | 0.001673301 | 0.0016832842 | 1.0059662 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014090929 | 0.016608616 | 0.01661845 | 1.0005921 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.5584688E-5 | 3.0108711E-5 | 3.0108711E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0964406E-4 | 1.2903105E-4 | 1.2903105E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013340989 | 0.0015698326 | 0.0015798169 | 1.00636 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013261181 | 0.0155889755 | 0.01559882 | 1.0006315 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.2034688E-5 | 2.574849E-5 | 2.574849E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.443096E-5 | 1.1034605E-4 | 1.1034605E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011490905 | 0.0013426427 | 0.0013526293 | 1.007438 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011431668 | 0.013346302 | 0.013356169 | 1.0007392 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.9394853E-5 | 2.2546645E-5 | 2.2546645E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.311815E-5 | 9.662493E-5 | 9.662493E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010114936 | 0.0011757788 | 0.0011757788 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01006902 | 0.011696285 | 0.011696285 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.7615313E-5 | 2.040749E-5 | 2.040749E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.549201E-5 | 8.745776E-5 | 8.745776E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1872766E-4 | 0.0010642825 | 0.0010642825 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009149387 | 0.010592422 | 0.010592422 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.5621423E-5 | 1.8029812E-5 | 1.8029812E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6947236E-5 | 7.7268356E-5 | 7.7268356E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.147778E-4 | 9.4033976E-4 | 9.4033976E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008117969 | 0.009364054 | 0.009364054 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.3444376E-5 | 1.5451154E-5 | 1.5451154E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7617483E-5 | 6.6217566E-5 | 6.6217566E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0126704E-4 | 8.0590346E-4 | 8.0590346E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006990582 | 0.008030142 | 0.008030142 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.2268361E-5 | 1.4075787E-5 | 1.4075787E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2577634E-5 | 6.032342E-5 | 6.032342E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.399447E-4 | 7.341928E-4 | 7.341928E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063810493 | 0.007317977 | 0.007317977 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.0922655E-5 | 1.251599E-5 | 1.251599E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.681054E-5 | 5.3638872E-5 | 5.3638872E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.697693E-4 | 6.528601E-4 | 6.528601E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0056831064 | 0.006509702 | 0.006509702 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 6.1106753E-6 | 6.930162E-6 | 6.930162E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6188345E-5 | 2.9700357E-5 | 2.9700357E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1879646E-4 | 3.6154225E-4 | 3.6154225E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031833951 | 0.003609586 | 0.003609586 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.933187E-6 | 5.590545E-6 | 5.590545E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.114206E-5 | 2.395926E-5 | 2.395926E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5737417E-4 | 2.9166535E-4 | 2.9166535E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002570763 | 0.0029128667 | 0.0029128667 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.7489613E-6 | 1.970012E-6 | 1.970012E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.495527E-6 | 8.442882E-6 | 8.442882E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.125422E-5 | 1.0278747E-4 | 1.0278747E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1216754E-4 | 0.0010274213 | 0.0010274213 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.6988751E-7 | 1.7534569E-7 | 1.7534569E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2808916E-7 | 7.5148137E-7 | 7.5148137E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.864449E-6 | 9.149249E-6 | 9.149249E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8640954E-5 | 9.1488924E-5 | 9.1488924E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pinto Mtn
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.7869726E-5 | 4.7869726E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0514074E-4 | 2.0514074E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0024948914 | 0.0025148415 | 1.0079964 | 2.0E-5 | 0.022796938 | 0.024686355 | 0.024735121 | 1.0019754 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.7869726E-5 | 4.7869726E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0514074E-4 | 2.0514074E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0024948914 | 0.0025148415 | 1.0079964 | 2.0E-5 | 0.022796938 | 0.024686355 | 0.024735121 | 1.0019754 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.7869726E-5 | 4.7869726E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0514074E-4 | 2.0514074E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0024948914 | 0.0025148415 | 1.0079964 | 2.0E-5 | 0.022796938 | 0.024686355 | 0.024735121 | 1.0019754 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.7869726E-5 | 4.7869726E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0514074E-4 | 2.0514074E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0024948914 | 0.0025148415 | 1.0079964 | 2.0E-5 | 0.022796938 | 0.024686355 | 0.024735121 | 1.0019754 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.729929E-5 | 3.961715E-5 | 3.961715E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5984432E-4 | 1.6977724E-4 | 1.6977724E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019443673 | 0.0020651715 | 0.0020851302 | 1.0096644 | 2.0E-5 | 0.019274427 | 0.020469833 | 0.02051881 | 1.0023926 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.729929E-5 | 3.961715E-5 | 3.961715E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5984432E-4 | 1.6977724E-4 | 1.6977724E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019443673 | 0.0020651715 | 0.0020851302 | 1.0096644 | 2.0E-5 | 0.019274427 | 0.020469833 | 0.02051881 | 1.0023926 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.0204548E-5 | 3.121721E-5 | 3.121721E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2944164E-4 | 1.3378137E-4 | 1.3378137E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015748127 | 0.001627606 | 0.0016475734 | 1.012268 | 2.0E-5 | 0.015636992 | 0.016160727 | 0.016200079 | 1.0024351 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.9857754E-5 | 3.0826526E-5 | 3.0826526E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2795553E-4 | 1.3210719E-4 | 1.3210719E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015567453 | 0.0016072531 | 0.0016272209 | 1.0124236 | 2.0E-5 | 0.015458848 | 0.015960133 | 0.015999494 | 1.0024662 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.4819734E-5 | 2.502003E-5 | 2.502003E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0636595E-4 | 1.0722441E-4 | 1.0722441E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012942362 | 0.0013046971 | 0.0013246711 | 1.0153092 | 2.0E-5 | 0.012867244 | 0.012972742 | 0.013002353 | 1.0022825 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.331124E-5 | 2.3348068E-5 | 2.3348068E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.990149E-5 | 1.0005943E-4 | 1.0005943E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001215622 | 0.001217563 | 0.0012375388 | 1.0164063 | 2.0E-5 | 0.012089936 | 0.012111117 | 0.012140754 | 1.002447 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.1818534E-5 | 2.1770997E-5 | 2.1770997E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3504656E-5 | 9.3301045E-5 | 9.3301045E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011378246 | 0.0011353681 | 0.0011553455 | 1.0175954 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011320163 | 0.01129778 | 0.011327441 | 1.0026253 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.066081E-5 | 2.055045E-5 | 2.055045E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.854332E-5 | 8.807049E-5 | 8.807049E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010774818 | 0.0010717504 | 0.0010917289 | 1.0186411 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010722724 | 0.010667868 | 0.010697548 | 1.0027822 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.8990233E-5 | 1.9063538E-5 | 1.9063538E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.138417E-5 | 8.169843E-5 | 8.169843E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.904018E-4 | 9.942438E-4 | 0.0010142239 | 1.0200958 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009859995 | 0.009899957 | 0.00992966 | 1.0030003 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.3335872E-5 | 1.4915472E-5 | 1.4915472E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7152483E-5 | 6.392196E-5 | 6.392196E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.956093E-4 | 7.779847E-4 | 7.879769E-4 | 1.0128437 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006934359 | 0.0077539114 | 0.0077737565 | 1.0025593 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.414066E-6 | 1.1869291E-5 | 1.1869291E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0345374E-5 | 5.086745E-5 | 5.086745E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.910942E-4 | 6.1914464E-4 | 6.2913843E-4 | 1.0161413 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0049001034 | 0.006175146 | 0.0061950227 | 1.0032188 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 7.2101157E-6 | 9.166344E-6 | 9.166344E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.090013E-5 | 3.9283786E-5 | 3.9283786E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7614413E-4 | 4.7818295E-4 | 4.8817816E-4 | 1.0209025 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037550807 | 0.004772316 | 0.004792221 | 1.0041709 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.296375E-6 | 4.5533716E-6 | 4.5533716E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4127245E-5 | 1.9514313E-5 | 1.9514313E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7198564E-4 | 2.3756224E-4 | 2.3756224E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017185259 | 0.0023732209 | 0.0023732209 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.5741092E-6 | 3.5918235E-6 | 3.5918235E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.103185E-5 | 1.5393447E-5 | 1.5393447E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3430449E-4 | 1.8740042E-4 | 1.8740042E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013422335 | 0.0018725543 | 0.0018725543 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Mission Ridge-Arroyo Parida-Santa Ana
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.169034E-5 | 4.71499E-5 | 4.71499E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7866064E-4 | 2.0206021E-4 | 2.0206021E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021730233 | 0.0024581437 | 0.0024681191 | 1.0040581 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021518968 | 0.024391348 | 0.024440128 | 1.0019999 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.73813E-5 | 1.6857359E-5 | 1.6857359E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4489166E-5 | 7.224388E-5 | 7.224388E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.065282E-4 | 8.7922503E-4 | 8.8921626E-4 | 1.0113636 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009028391 | 0.008758617 | 0.008778442 | 1.0022634 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.4622182E-5 | 1.3675764E-5 | 1.3675764E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2664985E-5 | 5.8609123E-5 | 5.8609123E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6267915E-4 | 7.1333634E-4 | 7.1333634E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007600669 | 0.0071109184 | 0.0071208477 | 1.0013963 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3552434E-5 | 1.2484495E-5 | 1.2484495E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8080568E-5 | 5.3503896E-5 | 5.3503896E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.069015E-4 | 6.512184E-4 | 6.512184E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00704657 | 0.006493473 | 0.0065034083 | 1.00153 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.30977305E-5 | 1.1981378E-5 | 1.1981378E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.613192E-5 | 5.1347768E-5 | 5.1347768E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.831918E-4 | 6.2498276E-4 | 6.2498276E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006810953 | 0.006232606 | 0.0062425435 | 1.0015944 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.225205E-5 | 1.1050901E-5 | 1.1050901E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2507727E-5 | 4.736016E-5 | 4.736016E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3909404E-4 | 5.764601E-4 | 5.764601E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006372592 | 0.0057499665 | 0.0057599093 | 1.0017291 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.1352241E-5 | 1.0065509E-5 | 1.0065509E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8651553E-5 | 4.3137192E-5 | 4.3137192E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.921717E-4 | 5.250709E-4 | 5.250709E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0059059616 | 0.005238558 | 0.0052485056 | 1.0018989 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.0864116E-5 | 9.5189125E-6 | 9.5189125E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6559664E-5 | 4.0794715E-5 | 4.0794715E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.667165E-4 | 4.9656443E-4 | 4.9656443E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005652734 | 0.004954792 | 0.0049647423 | 1.0020082 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0666365E-5 | 9.301636E-6 | 9.301636E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.571219E-5 | 3.9863557E-5 | 3.9863557E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.564038E-4 | 4.852327E-4 | 4.852327E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005550127 | 0.0048419735 | 0.004851925 | 1.0020553 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.0038665E-5 | 8.593783E-6 | 8.593783E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.302214E-5 | 3.6829988E-5 | 3.6829988E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.236687E-4 | 4.4831465E-4 | 4.4831465E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005224364 | 0.0044743223 | 0.004484277 | 1.0022249 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 9.5379955E-6 | 8.0267055E-6 | 8.0267055E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0876483E-5 | 3.4399724E-5 | 3.4399724E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.975576E-4 | 4.1873785E-4 | 4.1873785E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00496445 | 0.004179697 | 0.004189655 | 1.0023825 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 9.207389E-6 | 7.653936E-6 | 7.653936E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.945964E-5 | 3.280218E-5 | 3.280218E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.803152E-4 | 3.9929507E-4 | 3.9929507E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004792784 | 0.0039859815 | 0.0039959415 | 1.0024987 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.638091E-6 | 5.9323124E-6 | 5.9323124E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2734264E-5 | 2.5423951E-5 | 2.5423951E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.984668E-4 | 3.0949296E-4 | 3.0949296E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039775306 | 0.003090685 | 0.003100654 | 1.0032256 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.2500147E-6 | 5.5972805E-6 | 5.5972805E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1071122E-5 | 2.3988126E-5 | 2.3988126E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7822526E-4 | 2.920166E-4 | 2.920166E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037758215 | 0.0029163933 | 0.002926364 | 1.0034189 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.3899715E-6 | 4.9194905E-6 | 4.9194905E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7385306E-5 | 2.1083362E-5 | 2.1083362E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3336508E-4 | 2.566599E-4 | 2.566599E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033286542 | 0.0025636882 | 0.0025736624 | 1.0038906 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.379025E-6 | 4.084659E-6 | 4.084659E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.305276E-5 | 1.7505563E-5 | 1.7505563E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.806312E-4 | 2.131095E-4 | 2.131095E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028027708 | 0.0021290625 | 0.0021390414 | 1.004687 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 4.1270696E-6 | 3.0888707E-6 | 3.0888707E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.768732E-5 | 1.323795E-5 | 1.323795E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1532185E-4 | 1.611602E-4 | 1.611602E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021511333 | 0.0016104414 | 0.0016204253 | 1.0061995 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.5406805E-6 | 1.8285143E-6 | 1.8285143E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0888585E-5 | 7.8364665E-6 | 7.8364665E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3256045E-4 | 9.540487E-5 | 9.540487E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013248142 | 9.536452E-4 | 9.636357E-4 | 1.0104761 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 4.8608285E-7 | 3.5103284E-7 | 3.5103284E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0832106E-6 | 1.5044257E-6 | 1.5044257E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5362791E-5 | 1.831623E-5 | 1.831623E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5359896E-4 | 1.8314732E-4 | 1.8314732E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.0472514E-8 | 1.2691799E-8 | 1.2691799E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7739345E-8 | 5.439342E-8 | 5.439342E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.068226E-6 | 6.622397E-7 | 6.622397E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0682209E-5 | 6.6223784E-6 | 6.6223784E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 4.443582E-9 | 2.033386E-9 | 2.033386E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9043922E-8 | 8.714511E-9 | 8.714511E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3185973E-7 | 1.06099165E-7 | 1.06099165E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3185949E-6 | 1.0609912E-6 | 1.0609912E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Clemente
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.681379E-5 | 8.166213E-5 | 8.166213E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8631336E-4 | 3.4993677E-4 | 3.4993677E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003480294 | 0.0042526587 | 0.004262616 | 1.0023415 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03426291 | 0.04176802 | 0.04181593 | 1.001147 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.681379E-5 | 8.166213E-5 | 8.166213E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8631336E-4 | 3.4993677E-4 | 3.4993677E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003480294 | 0.0042526587 | 0.004262616 | 1.0023415 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03426291 | 0.04176802 | 0.041796766 | 1.0006882 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.9400576E-5 | 4.646354E-5 | 4.646354E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6884868E-4 | 1.9911451E-4 | 1.9911451E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020537945 | 0.0024215772 | 0.0024215772 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020349167 | 0.023958556 | 0.023958556 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 3.2590255E-5 | 3.7937407E-5 | 3.7937407E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3966505E-4 | 1.6257894E-4 | 1.6257894E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016990956 | 0.001977632 | 0.001977632 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01686163 | 0.019604124 | 0.019604124 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 2.9454652E-5 | 3.4104934E-5 | 3.4104934E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2622811E-4 | 1.4615597E-4 | 1.4615597E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015357438 | 0.0017780226 | 0.0017780226 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015251739 | 0.017641144 | 0.017641144 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 2.790836E-5 | 3.225415E-5 | 3.225415E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1960178E-4 | 1.3822489E-4 | 1.3822489E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001455179 | 0.0016816144 | 0.0016816144 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014456868 | 0.016691914 | 0.016691914 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 2.2492153E-5 | 2.5767684E-5 | 2.5767684E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.639138E-5 | 1.10428344E-4 | 1.10428344E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011729331 | 0.0013436506 | 0.0013436506 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011667615 | 0.013356983 | 0.013356983 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.9862755E-5 | 2.2670674E-5 | 2.2670674E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.512331E-5 | 9.715648E-5 | 9.715648E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010358836 | 0.0011822495 | 0.0011822495 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010310682 | 0.011760893 | 0.011760893 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.6697575E-5 | 1.8981149E-5 | 1.8981149E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.155907E-5 | 8.13453E-5 | 8.13453E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7088346E-4 | 9.899384E-4 | 9.899384E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008674784 | 0.009856314 | 0.009856314 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.5218415E-5 | 1.7272489E-5 | 1.7272489E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.522015E-5 | 7.40229E-5 | 7.40229E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.93766E-4 | 9.00865E-4 | 9.00865E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007909367 | 0.008973078 | 0.008973078 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.2392958E-5 | 1.403548E-5 | 1.403548E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3111595E-5 | 6.015071E-5 | 6.015071E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4644177E-4 | 7.3209644E-4 | 7.3209644E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0064456454 | 0.007297633 | 0.007297633 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.0934128E-5 | 1.2377302E-5 | 1.2377302E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6859706E-5 | 5.304454E-5 | 5.304454E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7036756E-4 | 6.4563326E-4 | 6.4563326E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0056890585 | 0.006438322 | 0.006438322 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 9.5798805E-6 | 1.0846835E-5 | 1.0846835E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1055984E-5 | 4.648565E-5 | 4.648565E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9974193E-4 | 5.65823E-4 | 5.65823E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0049861963 | 0.0056445473 | 0.0056445473 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 8.0167365E-6 | 9.085522E-6 | 9.085522E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4356988E-5 | 3.8937407E-5 | 3.8937407E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1821605E-4 | 4.7396688E-4 | 4.7396688E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041742986 | 0.0047302633 | 0.0047302633 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.9581017E-6 | 3.3629888E-6 | 3.3629888E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2677518E-5 | 1.4412758E-5 | 1.4412758E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5433785E-4 | 1.7546625E-4 | 1.7546625E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001542307 | 0.0017537723 | 0.0017537723 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Palos Verdes
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.126063E-5 | 7.625075E-5 | 7.625075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6251914E-4 | 3.2674923E-4 | 3.2674923E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031914865 | 0.0039714496 | 0.00399137 | 1.005016 | 2.0E-5 | 0.031460393 | 0.03906137 | 0.039119028 | 1.001476 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.126063E-5 | 7.625075E-5 | 7.625075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6251914E-4 | 3.2674923E-4 | 3.2674923E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031914865 | 0.0039714496 | 0.00399137 | 1.005016 | 2.0E-5 | 0.031460393 | 0.03906137 | 0.039119028 | 1.001476 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.126063E-5 | 7.625075E-5 | 7.625075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6251914E-4 | 3.2674923E-4 | 3.2674923E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031914865 | 0.0039714496 | 0.00399137 | 1.005016 | 2.0E-5 | 0.031460393 | 0.03906137 | 0.039119028 | 1.001476 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.0838047E-5 | 4.9763552E-5 | 4.9763552E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7500846E-4 | 2.1325576E-4 | 2.1325576E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021286458 | 0.0025935054 | 0.0026134534 | 1.0076916 | 2.0E-5 | 0.021083709 | 0.02565408 | 0.02571254 | 1.0022788 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.0838047E-5 | 4.9763552E-5 | 4.9763552E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7500846E-4 | 2.1325576E-4 | 2.1325576E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021286458 | 0.0025935054 | 0.0026134534 | 1.0076916 | 2.0E-5 | 0.021083709 | 0.02565408 | 0.02571254 | 1.0022788 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.0512005E-5 | 3.6571277E-5 | 3.6571277E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3075917E-4 | 1.5672528E-4 | 1.5672528E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015908304 | 0.0019065762 | 0.0019165572 | 1.005235 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015794903 | 0.018914131 | 0.018963186 | 1.0025935 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.9255087E-5 | 3.5163852E-5 | 3.5163852E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2537291E-4 | 1.5069415E-4 | 1.5069415E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015253464 | 0.0018332708 | 0.0018432525 | 1.0054448 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015149189 | 0.018193092 | 0.018242182 | 1.0026983 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.287198E-5 | 2.7255253E-5 | 2.7255253E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.801909E-5 | 1.16803516E-4 | 1.16803516E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001192729 | 0.0014212468 | 0.0014312326 | 1.0070261 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011863477 | 0.01413081 | 0.014160386 | 1.0020931 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.1325764E-5 | 2.5438425E-5 | 2.5438425E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.139293E-5 | 1.09017776E-4 | 1.09017776E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001112141 | 0.0013265735 | 0.0013365602 | 1.0075282 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011065915 | 0.013195588 | 0.013225192 | 1.0022435 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.9009392E-5 | 2.2619284E-5 | 2.2619284E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.1466285E-5 | 9.693668E-5 | 9.693668E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.914007E-4 | 0.0011796525 | 0.0011896407 | 1.0084671 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009869894 | 0.011742596 | 0.011772243 | 1.0025249 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.7098473E-5 | 2.0324482E-5 | 2.0324482E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3277115E-5 | 8.710249E-5 | 8.710249E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.917837E-4 | 0.0010600422 | 0.0010700315 | 1.0094236 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008882134 | 0.010558298 | 0.010587981 | 1.0028113 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.5982785E-5 | 1.8999555E-5 | 1.8999555E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.849585E-5 | 8.14246E-5 | 8.14246E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.336179E-4 | 9.909783E-4 | 0.0010009685 | 1.010081 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008304977 | 0.009873961 | 0.009903666 | 1.0030082 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.4468002E-5 | 1.7201583E-5 | 1.7201583E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.200425E-5 | 7.3719464E-5 | 7.3719464E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.546402E-4 | 8.972489E-4 | 9.072399E-4 | 1.0111352 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007520827 | 0.008944537 | 0.008974268 | 1.003324 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 5.288233E-6 | 6.205136E-6 | 6.205136E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2663658E-5 | 2.6593365E-5 | 2.6593365E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7589512E-4 | 3.2376102E-4 | 3.3375778E-4 | 1.030877 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0027555283 | 0.003236318 | 0.0032462857 | 1.0030799 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 8.279556E-7 | 8.40852E-7 | 8.40852E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5483763E-6 | 3.603647E-6 | 3.603647E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3200624E-5 | 4.387359E-5 | 4.387359E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3192226E-4 | 4.386565E-4 | 4.386565E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.559831E-7 | 6.667374E-7 | 6.667374E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8113532E-6 | 2.8574432E-6 | 2.8574432E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4227687E-5 | 3.478888E-5 | 3.478888E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4222414E-4 | 3.4784098E-4 | 3.4784098E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.5018968E-7 | 3.562084E-7 | 3.562084E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.500812E-6 | 1.5266068E-6 | 1.5266068E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8272232E-5 | 1.8586326E-5 | 1.8586326E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8270731E-4 | 1.8585232E-4 | 1.8585232E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.1986104E-7 | 1.2198663E-7 | 1.2198663E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1369005E-7 | 5.227997E-7 | 5.227997E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2541585E-6 | 6.3650687E-6 | 6.3650687E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2539824E-5 | 6.3648906E-5 | 6.3648906E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.0445005E-8 | 3.102837E-8 | 3.102837E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3047858E-7 | 1.3297873E-7 | 1.3297873E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5885756E-6 | 1.619015E-6 | 1.619015E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5885644E-5 | 1.6190053E-5 | 1.6190053E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
White Mountains
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.503579E-5 | 3.37881E-5 | 3.37881E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5014476E-4 | 1.4479879E-4 | 1.4479879E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018264796 | 0.0017616205 | 0.0017716029 | 1.0056666 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018115403 | 0.017488897 | 0.017538022 | 1.0028089 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.503579E-5 | 3.37881E-5 | 3.37881E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5014476E-4 | 1.4479879E-4 | 1.4479879E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018264796 | 0.0017616205 | 0.0017716029 | 1.0056666 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018115403 | 0.017488897 | 0.017538022 | 1.0028089 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.503579E-5 | 3.37881E-5 | 3.37881E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5014476E-4 | 1.4479879E-4 | 1.4479879E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018264796 | 0.0017616205 | 0.0017716029 | 1.0056666 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018115403 | 0.017488897 | 0.017538022 | 1.0028089 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.7818425E-5 | 1.5918016E-5 | 1.5918016E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.636245E-5 | 6.821837E-5 | 6.821837E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.293162E-4 | 8.3025644E-4 | 8.3025644E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009254395 | 0.008273005 | 0.008302756 | 1.0035963 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.7818425E-5 | 1.5918016E-5 | 1.5918016E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.636245E-5 | 6.821837E-5 | 6.821837E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.293162E-4 | 8.3025644E-4 | 8.3025644E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009254395 | 0.008273005 | 0.008302756 | 1.0035963 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3397557E-5 | 1.1337698E-5 | 1.1337698E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.741684E-5 | 4.8589267E-5 | 4.8589267E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.988258E-4 | 5.9142074E-4 | 5.9142074E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006966323 | 0.0058991737 | 0.0058991737 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.0818695E-5 | 8.626414E-6 | 8.626414E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6365014E-5 | 3.6969846E-5 | 3.6969846E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6434784E-4 | 4.5001926E-4 | 4.5001926E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005629168 | 0.0044915164 | 0.0044915164 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 9.067908E-6 | 6.803243E-6 | 6.803243E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8861883E-5 | 2.9156448E-5 | 2.9156448E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7304068E-4 | 3.5492514E-4 | 3.5492514E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00472035 | 0.0035439 | 0.0035439 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 7.295947E-6 | 4.9369983E-6 | 4.9369983E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.126797E-5 | 2.1158397E-5 | 2.1158397E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8062103E-4 | 2.5757417E-4 | 2.5757417E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037996976 | 0.0025728694 | 0.0025728694 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 6.2243444E-6 | 3.8327235E-6 | 3.8327235E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6675489E-5 | 1.6425858E-5 | 1.6425858E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2472567E-4 | 1.9996699E-4 | 1.9996699E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032425157 | 0.0019979232 | 0.0019979232 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 4.9878413E-6 | 2.6799457E-6 | 2.6799457E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1376287E-5 | 1.1485432E-5 | 1.1485432E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.602252E-4 | 1.3982643E-4 | 1.3982643E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002599207 | 0.0013974108 | 0.0013974108 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 4.0252844E-6 | 1.8860478E-6 | 1.8860478E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7251105E-5 | 8.083038E-6 | 8.083038E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1001195E-4 | 9.840667E-5 | 9.840667E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020981359 | 9.836437E-4 | 9.836437E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.3284066E-6 | 1.2822092E-6 | 1.2822092E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4264522E-5 | 5.495171E-6 | 5.495171E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.736567E-4 | 6.690175E-5 | 6.690175E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017352107 | 6.688262E-4 | 6.688262E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.458226E-6 | 6.0594044E-7 | 6.0594044E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0535211E-5 | 2.5968852E-6 | 2.5968852E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2825865E-4 | 3.1616655E-5 | 3.1616655E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012818464 | 3.1612534E-4 | 3.1612534E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.965953E-6 | 3.1108345E-7 | 3.1108345E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.425486E-6 | 1.3332142E-6 | 1.3332142E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0257547E-4 | 1.6231763E-5 | 1.6231763E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010252813 | 1.623059E-4 | 1.623059E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.2014192E-6 | 1.8257592E-7 | 1.8257592E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.148929E-6 | 7.8246796E-7 | 7.8246796E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2686406E-5 | 9.526507E-6 | 9.526507E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.266873E-4 | 9.5261064E-5 | 9.5261064E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.5612175E-7 | 4.8982212E-8 | 4.8982212E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0976642E-6 | 2.0992375E-7 | 2.0992375E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3363979E-5 | 2.555819E-6 | 2.555819E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3363175E-4 | 2.5557933E-5 | 2.5557933E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Lytle Creek connector)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.687055E-6 | 6.687055E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.8658491E-5 | 2.8658491E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.4886136E-4 | 3.7885088E-4 | 1.0859641 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.0035633543 | 0.003613176 | 1.0139817 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.687055E-6 | 6.687055E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.8658491E-5 | 2.8658491E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.4886136E-4 | 3.7885088E-4 | 1.0859641 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.0035633543 | 0.003613176 | 1.0139817 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.687055E-6 | 6.687055E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.8658491E-5 | 2.8658491E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.4886136E-4 | 3.7885088E-4 | 1.0859641 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.0035633543 | 0.003613176 | 1.0139817 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.687055E-6 | 6.687055E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.8658491E-5 | 2.8658491E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.4886136E-4 | 3.7885088E-4 | 1.0859641 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.0035633543 | 0.003613176 | 1.0139817 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.687055E-6 | 6.687055E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.8658491E-5 | 2.8658491E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.4886136E-4 | 3.7885088E-4 | 1.0859641 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.0035633543 | 0.003613176 | 1.0139817 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.6561875E-6 | 6.64727E-6 | 6.64727E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8526205E-5 | 2.848799E-5 | 2.848799E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.472512E-4 | 3.4678614E-4 | 3.7677574E-4 | 1.0864786 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0034670907 | 0.0035426687 | 0.0035924914 | 1.0140636 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.6561875E-6 | 6.64727E-6 | 6.64727E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8526205E-5 | 2.848799E-5 | 2.848799E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.472512E-4 | 3.4678614E-4 | 3.7677574E-4 | 1.0864786 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0034670907 | 0.0035426687 | 0.0035924914 | 1.0140636 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.5802237E-6 | 6.5664403E-6 | 6.5664403E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8200653E-5 | 2.8141583E-5 | 2.8141583E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4328885E-4 | 3.4256998E-4 | 3.725597E-4 | 1.0875434 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0034275902 | 0.0035006402 | 0.0035504652 | 1.0142331 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.575632E-6 | 6.5609283E-6 | 6.5609283E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8180975E-5 | 2.8117962E-5 | 2.8117962E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4304935E-4 | 3.4228247E-4 | 3.7227222E-4 | 1.0876169 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0034252026 | 0.0034977742 | 0.0035475993 | 1.0142448 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.570433E-6 | 6.552318E-6 | 6.552318E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8158694E-5 | 2.8081062E-5 | 2.8081062E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4277816E-4 | 3.4183337E-4 | 3.7182312E-4 | 1.0877321 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0034224992 | 0.0034932974 | 0.0035431227 | 1.0142632 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 6.5643826E-6 | 6.5424347E-6 | 6.5424347E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8132765E-5 | 2.8038705E-5 | 2.8038705E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.424626E-4 | 3.4131782E-4 | 3.713076E-4 | 1.0878646 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0034193532 | 0.0034881583 | 0.0035379839 | 1.0142843 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 6.557402E-6 | 6.531142E-6 | 6.531142E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8102848E-5 | 2.7990309E-5 | 2.7990309E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4209844E-4 | 3.407288E-4 | 3.7071857E-4 | 1.0880165 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0034157229 | 0.0034822873 | 0.003532113 | 1.0143083 | 5.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.546394E-6 | 6.5130994E-6 | 6.5130994E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8055672E-5 | 2.7912984E-5 | 2.7912984E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4152428E-4 | 3.3978766E-4 | 3.6977747E-4 | 1.0882604 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0034099987 | 0.0034729103 | 0.0035227367 | 1.0143472 | 5.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.5364216E-6 | 6.493867E-6 | 6.493867E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8012933E-5 | 2.7830562E-5 | 2.7830562E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4100408E-4 | 3.3878448E-4 | 3.6877432E-4 | 1.0885218 | 3.0E-5 | 0.003404813 | 0.0034629216 | 0.0035127485 | 1.0143887 | 5.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.5269523E-6 | 6.474934E-6 | 6.474934E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7972354E-5 | 2.7749422E-5 | 2.7749422E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4051016E-4 | 3.377969E-4 | 3.6778676E-4 | 1.0887808 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0033998888 | 0.0034530947 | 0.0035029221 | 1.0144298 | 5.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.5111835E-6 | 6.4511864E-6 | 6.4511864E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7904773E-5 | 2.764765E-5 | 2.764765E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3968766E-4 | 3.365582E-4 | 3.665481E-4 | 1.0891076 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0033916887 | 0.0034407554 | 0.0034905833 | 1.0144817 | 5.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.4768806E-6 | 6.4102624E-6 | 6.4102624E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7757764E-5 | 2.7472264E-5 | 2.7472264E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3789838E-4 | 3.3442356E-4 | 3.644135E-4 | 1.0896766 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0033738504 | 0.0034194693 | 0.0034692984 | 1.0145721 | 5.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.1655364E-6 | 6.202537E-6 | 6.202537E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.642346E-5 | 2.658203E-5 | 2.658203E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2165812E-4 | 3.2358823E-4 | 3.535785E-4 | 1.0926805 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0032119295 | 0.0033109798 | 0.0033608142 | 1.0150512 | 5.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.5043524E-6 | 5.7628563E-6 | 5.7628563E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3589868E-5 | 2.4697723E-5 | 2.4697723E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.871688E-4 | 3.0065334E-4 | 3.306443E-4 | 1.0997527 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0028679797 | 0.0030806884 | 0.0031305344 | 1.0161802 | 5.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.889249E-6 | 4.097696E-6 | 4.097696E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6668104E-5 | 1.7561437E-5 | 1.7561437E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0291525E-4 | 2.1378956E-4 | 2.4378314E-4 | 1.1402949 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0020273007 | 0.0022052776 | 0.0022551673 | 1.0226228 | 5.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.668535E-6 | 2.5459497E-6 | 2.5459497E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1436528E-5 | 1.0911168E-5 | 1.0911168E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3923083E-4 | 1.328354E-4 | 1.328354E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013914363 | 0.0013834514 | 0.0014034237 | 1.0144366 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.5911459E-6 | 1.226346E-6 | 1.226346E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8191785E-6 | 5.255758E-6 | 5.255758E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.3020335E-5 | 6.3987E-5 | 6.3987E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.298933E-4 | 6.7347346E-4 | 6.7347346E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 6.1294963E-7 | 2.203393E-7 | 2.203393E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6269242E-6 | 9.443109E-7 | 9.443109E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1982334E-5 | 1.1496925E-5 | 1.1496925E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1977732E-4 | 1.2910186E-4 | 1.2910186E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.762871E-7 | 4.8103228E-8 | 4.8103228E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5551594E-7 | 2.0615667E-7 | 2.0615667E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1983675E-6 | 2.5099546E-6 | 2.5099546E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.197987E-5 | 2.9007713E-5 | 2.9007713E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Cruz Island
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.9164563E-5 | 3.160327E-5 | 3.160327E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2498499E-4 | 1.3543633E-4 | 1.4543497E-4 | 1.0738255 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015206301 | 0.0016478263 | 0.0016777769 | 1.0181758 | 3.0E-5 | 0.015102667 | 0.016369814 | 0.016418995 | 1.0030044 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.9164563E-5 | 3.160327E-5 | 3.160327E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2498499E-4 | 1.3543633E-4 | 1.4543497E-4 | 1.0738255 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015206301 | 0.0016478263 | 0.0016777769 | 1.0181758 | 3.0E-5 | 0.015102667 | 0.016369814 | 0.016418995 | 1.0030044 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.9164563E-5 | 3.160327E-5 | 3.160327E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2498499E-4 | 1.3543633E-4 | 1.4543497E-4 | 1.0738255 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015206301 | 0.0016478263 | 0.0016777769 | 1.0181758 | 3.0E-5 | 0.015102667 | 0.016369814 | 0.016418995 | 1.0030044 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.6635553E-5 | 1.7806033E-5 | 1.7806033E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1293274E-5 | 7.630944E-5 | 8.6308675E-5 | 1.1310353 | 1.0E-5 | 8.6765E-4 | 9.2868967E-4 | 9.386804E-4 | 1.0107578 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008642701 | 0.00924996 | 0.009269775 | 1.0021422 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6635553E-5 | 1.7806033E-5 | 1.7806033E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1293274E-5 | 7.630944E-5 | 8.6308675E-5 | 1.1310353 | 1.0E-5 | 8.6765E-4 | 9.2868967E-4 | 9.386804E-4 | 1.0107578 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008642701 | 0.00924996 | 0.009269775 | 1.0021422 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.2238748E-5 | 1.3044146E-5 | 1.3044146E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2450723E-5 | 5.5902306E-5 | 6.5901746E-5 | 1.1788735 | 1.0E-5 | 6.3840044E-4 | 6.8040175E-4 | 6.9039495E-4 | 1.0146872 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0063656955 | 0.006783584 | 0.0068034483 | 1.0029283 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0489767E-5 | 1.115759E-5 | 1.115759E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.495537E-5 | 4.781738E-5 | 5.78169E-5 | 1.209119 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4719415E-4 | 5.820233E-4 | 5.920175E-4 | 1.0171715 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005458487 | 0.0058052307 | 0.0058251144 | 1.0034251 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.699222E-6 | 9.237552E-6 | 9.237552E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7281847E-5 | 3.958891E-5 | 3.958891E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5381195E-4 | 4.8188894E-4 | 4.8188894E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045288634 | 0.0048085074 | 0.0048184595 | 1.0020696 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.307732E-6 | 8.817634E-6 | 8.817634E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.560408E-5 | 3.7789312E-5 | 3.7789312E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3339343E-4 | 4.599882E-4 | 4.599882E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004325492 | 0.004590414 | 0.0046003684 | 1.0021684 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.073121E-6 | 8.565644E-6 | 8.565644E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.459863E-5 | 3.6709385E-5 | 3.6709385E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2115687E-4 | 4.4684554E-4 | 4.4684554E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004203596 | 0.004459522 | 0.0044694776 | 1.0022324 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.617019E-6 | 8.07532E-6 | 8.07532E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.264396E-5 | 3.4608056E-5 | 3.4608056E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9736772E-4 | 4.21272E-4 | 4.21272E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003966579 | 0.0042047817 | 0.00421474 | 1.0023682 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.1224836E-6 | 7.546394E-6 | 7.546394E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.052457E-5 | 3.234129E-5 | 3.234129E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.715733E-4 | 3.9368443E-4 | 3.9368443E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003709526 | 0.003929913 | 0.0039398735 | 1.0025346 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.441115E-6 | 6.8279373E-6 | 6.8279373E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7604487E-5 | 2.9262263E-5 | 2.9262263E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.360328E-4 | 3.5621005E-4 | 3.5621005E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033552512 | 0.0035564192 | 0.0035663836 | 1.0028018 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 5.494274E-6 | 5.820463E-6 | 5.820463E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3546674E-5 | 2.4944602E-5 | 2.4944602E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8664304E-4 | 3.0365842E-4 | 3.0365842E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002862736 | 0.003032458 | 0.0030424278 | 1.0032877 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.0802624E-6 | 4.312592E-6 | 4.312592E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7486722E-5 | 1.8482406E-5 | 1.8482406E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1288003E-4 | 2.2500013E-4 | 2.2500013E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021267622 | 0.0022477321 | 0.0022577096 | 1.0044389 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.3584746E-6 | 2.4754818E-6 | 2.4754818E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0107709E-5 | 1.0609165E-5 | 1.0609165E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2305441E-4 | 1.2915897E-4 | 1.2915897E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012298629 | 0.0012908442 | 0.0012908442 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 9.4981914E-7 | 9.861511E-7 | 9.861511E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0706473E-6 | 4.2263555E-6 | 4.2263555E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9559E-5 | 5.1454674E-5 | 5.1454674E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.954795E-4 | 5.144289E-4 | 5.144289E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.6013532E-7 | 2.6417797E-7 | 2.6417797E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1148652E-6 | 1.1321908E-6 | 1.1321908E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3573399E-5 | 1.3784337E-5 | 1.3784337E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.357257E-4 | 1.3783488E-4 | 1.3783488E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.1522263E-8 | 3.965834E-8 | 3.965834E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7795254E-7 | 1.6996431E-7 | 1.6996431E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.16657E-6 | 2.0693137E-6 | 2.0693137E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1665488E-5 | 2.0692965E-5 | 2.0692965E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.7242046E-10 | 5.9479377E-10 | 5.9479377E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3103735E-9 | 2.5491165E-9 | 2.5491165E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0303796E-8 | 3.1035494E-8 | 3.1035494E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.030379E-7 | 3.1035492E-7 | 3.1035492E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Diego Trough north alt1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.329252E-5 | 8.823659E-5 | 8.823659E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.14073E-4 | 3.7810567E-4 | 3.7810567E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038171355 | 0.004594293 | 0.004624155 | 1.0064999 | 3.0E-5 | 0.03752231 | 0.04505705 | 0.045104798 | 1.0010597 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.7940346E-5 | 4.489608E-5 | 4.489608E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6259136E-4 | 1.9239813E-4 | 1.9239813E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019777524 | 0.0023400057 | 0.0023499823 | 1.0042635 | 1.0E-5 | 0.019602431 | 0.023162343 | 0.02317211 | 1.0004218 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.8645263E-5 | 3.3304008E-5 | 3.3304008E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2275964E-4 | 1.4272382E-4 | 1.4272382E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014935739 | 0.0017362991 | 0.0017462817 | 1.0057493 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0148357535 | 0.01722999 | 0.017239816 | 1.0005704 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.8645263E-5 | 3.3304008E-5 | 3.3304008E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2275964E-4 | 1.4272382E-4 | 1.4272382E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014935739 | 0.0017362991 | 0.0017462817 | 1.0057493 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0148357535 | 0.01722999 | 0.017239816 | 1.0005704 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.2204576E-5 | 2.5453306E-5 | 2.5453306E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.5159E-5 | 1.0908109E-4 | 1.0908109E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001157945 | 0.0013272625 | 0.0013372493 | 1.0075243 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011519298 | 0.013194525 | 0.013204393 | 1.0007479 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.1004838E-5 | 2.4029323E-5 | 2.4029323E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0017624E-5 | 1.029788E-4 | 1.029788E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010954136 | 0.0012530547 | 0.0012630422 | 1.0079705 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010900296 | 0.012460977 | 0.012470853 | 1.0007925 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.820557E-5 | 2.0708596E-5 | 2.0708596E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.802154E-5 | 8.874814E-5 | 8.874814E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4949827E-4 | 0.0010799783 | 0.0010799783 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009454516 | 0.01074797 | 0.01074797 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.5884485E-5 | 1.7986826E-5 | 1.7986826E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.807459E-5 | 7.7084136E-5 | 7.7084136E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.284929E-4 | 9.38098E-4 | 9.38098E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008254109 | 0.0093417475 | 0.0093417475 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.4331171E-5 | 1.620389E-5 | 1.620389E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.141786E-5 | 6.9443406E-5 | 6.9443406E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4750587E-4 | 8.4514753E-4 | 8.4514753E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0074499645 | 0.008419601 | 0.008419601 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.2574203E-5 | 1.4208297E-5 | 1.4208297E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3888325E-5 | 6.089129E-5 | 6.089129E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.558929E-4 | 7.411007E-4 | 7.411007E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0065396037 | 0.0073864786 | 0.0073864786 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.0883844E-5 | 1.2291381E-5 | 1.2291381E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.664421E-5 | 5.267629E-5 | 5.267629E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.677453E-4 | 6.411461E-4 | 6.411461E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00566297 | 0.0063930918 | 0.0063930918 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 9.393088E-6 | 1.0608852E-5 | 1.0608852E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.025547E-5 | 4.546572E-5 | 4.546572E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.900001E-4 | 5.534053E-4 | 5.534053E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048892107 | 0.0055203685 | 0.0055203685 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 8.190791E-6 | 9.2602395E-6 | 9.2602395E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.510292E-5 | 3.968614E-5 | 3.968614E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2729423E-4 | 4.830723E-4 | 4.830723E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042647356 | 0.0048203026 | 0.0048203026 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 6.268162E-6 | 7.090957E-6 | 7.090957E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6863276E-5 | 3.0389465E-5 | 3.0389465E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2701128E-4 | 3.6992933E-4 | 3.6992933E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003265305 | 0.0036931813 | 0.0036931813 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.985186E-6 | 5.643675E-6 | 5.643675E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1364907E-5 | 2.4186958E-5 | 2.4186958E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.600867E-4 | 2.9443682E-4 | 2.9443682E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002597825 | 0.0029405085 | 0.0029405085 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.7489613E-6 | 1.970012E-6 | 1.970012E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.495527E-6 | 8.442882E-6 | 8.442882E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.125422E-5 | 1.0278747E-4 | 1.0278747E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1216754E-4 | 0.0010274213 | 0.0010274213 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.6988751E-7 | 1.7534569E-7 | 1.7534569E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2808916E-7 | 7.5148137E-7 | 7.5148137E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.864449E-6 | 9.149249E-6 | 9.149249E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8640954E-5 | 9.1488924E-5 | 9.1488924E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Lost Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.5110714E-5 | 2.5110714E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0761386E-4 | 1.0761386E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011647546 | 0.0013095795 | 0.0013195663 | 1.007626 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011586686 | 0.013035225 | 0.013084574 | 1.0037857 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.5110714E-5 | 2.5110714E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0761386E-4 | 1.0761386E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011647546 | 0.0013095795 | 0.0013195663 | 1.007626 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011586686 | 0.013035225 | 0.013084574 | 1.0037857 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.5110714E-5 | 2.5110714E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0761386E-4 | 1.0761386E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011647546 | 0.0013095795 | 0.0013195663 | 1.007626 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011586686 | 0.013035225 | 0.013084574 | 1.0037857 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.5110714E-5 | 2.5110714E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0761386E-4 | 1.0761386E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011647546 | 0.0013095795 | 0.0013195663 | 1.007626 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011586686 | 0.013035225 | 0.013084574 | 1.0037857 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2288092E-5 | 1.37833285E-5 | 1.37833285E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2662188E-5 | 5.90706E-5 | 5.90706E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.409735E-4 | 7.1904104E-4 | 7.290339E-4 | 1.0138974 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006391279 | 0.0071763545 | 0.0071962113 | 1.002767 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.2288092E-5 | 1.37833285E-5 | 1.37833285E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2662188E-5 | 5.90706E-5 | 5.90706E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.409735E-4 | 7.1904104E-4 | 7.290339E-4 | 1.0138974 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006391279 | 0.0071763545 | 0.0071962113 | 1.002767 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.58281E-6 | 9.635334E-6 | 9.635334E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6782953E-5 | 4.1294108E-5 | 4.1294108E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4774043E-4 | 5.0272304E-4 | 5.12718E-4 | 1.0198817 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0044683935 | 0.0050240206 | 0.00504392 | 1.0039608 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.205685E-6 | 8.089616E-6 | 8.089616E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.088114E-5 | 3.466978E-5 | 3.466978E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7591302E-4 | 4.2210458E-4 | 4.3210038E-4 | 1.0236808 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037527776 | 0.004221046 | 0.0042409617 | 1.0047182 | 2.0E-5 |
Kern Canyon (South Kern) 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.113829E-6 | 4.113829E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.763058E-5 | 1.763058E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.1463181E-4 | 2.3462753E-4 | 1.0931628 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021443092 | 0.0021842234 | 1.018614 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.113829E-6 | 4.113829E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.763058E-5 | 1.763058E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.1463181E-4 | 2.3462753E-4 | 1.0931628 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021443092 | 0.0021842234 | 1.018614 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.113829E-6 | 4.113829E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.763058E-5 | 1.763058E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.1463181E-4 | 2.3462753E-4 | 1.0931628 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021443092 | 0.0021842234 | 1.018614 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.113829E-6 | 4.113829E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.763058E-5 | 1.763058E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.1463181E-4 | 2.3462753E-4 | 1.0931628 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021443092 | 0.0021842234 | 1.018614 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.113829E-6 | 4.113829E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.763058E-5 | 1.763058E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.1463181E-4 | 2.3462753E-4 | 1.0931628 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021443092 | 0.0021842234 | 1.018614 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.9849807E-6 | 2.9732298E-6 | 2.9732298E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2792712E-5 | 1.2742352E-5 | 1.2742352E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5574014E-4 | 1.5512724E-4 | 1.7512414E-4 | 1.1289064 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015563103 | 0.0015502047 | 0.0015901427 | 1.025763 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.9849807E-6 | 2.9732298E-6 | 2.9732298E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2792712E-5 | 1.2742352E-5 | 1.2742352E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5574014E-4 | 1.5512724E-4 | 1.7512414E-4 | 1.1289064 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015563103 | 0.0015502047 | 0.0015901427 | 1.025763 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.6756725E-6 | 2.6582882E-6 | 2.6582882E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1467117E-5 | 1.1392614E-5 | 1.1392614E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.396032E-4 | 1.3869636E-4 | 1.5869358E-4 | 1.1441799 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0013951553 | 0.0013861089 | 0.0014260535 | 1.0288178 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.3283721E-6 | 2.3048378E-6 | 2.3048378E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9787E-6 | 9.87784E-6 | 9.87784E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.214839E-4 | 1.2025614E-4 | 1.4025373E-4 | 1.1662917 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001214175 | 0.0012019181 | 0.001231882 | 1.0249301 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.0972677E-6 | 2.0696948E-6 | 2.0696948E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.988259E-6 | 8.870091E-6 | 8.870091E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0942656E-4 | 1.0798806E-4 | 1.279859E-4 | 1.1851857 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010937268 | 0.0010793617 | 0.0011093293 | 1.0277642 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.7132242E-6 | 1.6787479E-6 | 1.6787479E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3423685E-6 | 7.194614E-6 | 7.194614E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.938967E-5 | 8.7590946E-5 | 9.759007E-5 | 1.1141571 | 1.0E-5 | 8.935372E-4 | 8.755681E-4 | 8.955506E-4 | 1.0228223 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.4215541E-6 | 1.3816122E-6 | 1.3816122E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0923603E-6 | 5.921182E-6 | 5.921182E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.417196E-5 | 7.2088034E-5 | 8.208731E-5 | 1.1387093 | 1.0E-5 | 7.414721E-4 | 7.2064914E-4 | 7.4063474E-4 | 1.0277327 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.097853E-7 | 8.604018E-7 | 8.604018E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.899074E-6 | 3.6874312E-6 | 3.6874312E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7470192E-5 | 4.489356E-5 | 5.4893113E-5 | 1.2227391 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7460053E-4 | 4.48846E-4 | 4.6883704E-4 | 1.0445387 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.144169E-7 | 5.628374E-7 | 5.628374E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6332125E-6 | 2.4121582E-6 | 2.4121582E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.205889E-5 | 2.9367635E-5 | 3.936734E-5 | 1.340501 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2054266E-4 | 2.9363803E-4 | 3.1363216E-4 | 1.068091 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.049844E-7 | 3.572945E-7 | 3.572945E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7356463E-6 | 1.5312613E-6 | 1.5312613E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1131287E-5 | 1.864295E-5 | 1.864295E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1129279E-4 | 1.8641411E-4 | 1.9641223E-4 | 1.053634 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.9871162E-7 | 1.5831046E-7 | 1.5831046E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5162094E-7 | 6.784732E-7 | 6.784732E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0368436E-5 | 8.260381E-6 | 8.260381E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0367952E-4 | 8.260082E-5 | 9.26E-5 | 1.1210542 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.572245E-8 | 1.7353642E-8 | 1.7353642E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10239064E-7 | 7.437275E-8 | 7.437275E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421597E-6 | 9.0548787E-7 | 9.0548787E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421517E-5 | 9.054847E-6 | 9.054847E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Ynez (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.6759866E-5 | 3.6759866E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5753582E-4 | 1.5753582E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0019168967 | 0.0019268775 | 1.0052068 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016697178 | 0.019061102 | 0.01910034 | 1.0020585 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.6759866E-5 | 3.6759866E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5753582E-4 | 1.5753582E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0019168967 | 0.0019268775 | 1.0052068 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016697178 | 0.019061102 | 0.01910034 | 1.0020585 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.6759866E-5 | 3.6759866E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5753582E-4 | 1.5753582E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0019168967 | 0.0019268775 | 1.0052068 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016697178 | 0.019061102 | 0.01910034 | 1.0020585 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.6759866E-5 | 3.6759866E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5753582E-4 | 1.5753582E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0019168967 | 0.0019268775 | 1.0052068 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016697178 | 0.019061102 | 0.01910034 | 1.0020585 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.4404779E-5 | 1.4851815E-5 | 1.4851815E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1733306E-5 | 6.364911E-5 | 6.364911E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.513438E-4 | 7.7465747E-4 | 7.7465747E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0074880854 | 0.0077201216 | 0.0077399677 | 1.0025706 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.4404779E-5 | 1.4851815E-5 | 1.4851815E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1733306E-5 | 6.364911E-5 | 6.364911E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.513438E-4 | 7.7465747E-4 | 7.7465747E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0074880854 | 0.0077201216 | 0.0077399677 | 1.0025706 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.280208E-5 | 1.30140215E-5 | 1.30140215E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4864904E-5 | 5.5773195E-5 | 5.5773195E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6777546E-4 | 6.7882886E-4 | 6.7882886E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006657724 | 0.0067677638 | 0.0067876284 | 1.0029352 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2457027E-5 | 1.2630485E-5 | 1.2630485E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3386164E-5 | 5.4129538E-5 | 5.4129538E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.497827E-4 | 6.588295E-4 | 6.588295E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00647886 | 0.006568961 | 0.0065888297 | 1.0030246 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2095134E-5 | 1.223288E-5 | 1.223288E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1835254E-5 | 5.2425585E-5 | 5.2425585E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.309115E-4 | 6.380962E-4 | 6.380962E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0062912325 | 0.0063628284 | 0.006382701 | 1.0031233 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.1104036E-5 | 1.1159193E-5 | 1.1159193E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.758786E-5 | 4.782424E-5 | 4.782424E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7922816E-4 | 5.8210583E-4 | 5.8210583E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005777207 | 0.0058059567 | 0.0058258404 | 1.0034248 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0577444E-5 | 1.0583454E-5 | 1.0583454E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5331115E-5 | 4.535688E-5 | 4.535688E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5176654E-4 | 5.5208127E-4 | 5.5208127E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0055039856 | 0.0055072363 | 0.005527126 | 1.0036116 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0021775E-5 | 9.982696E-6 | 9.982696E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.294976E-5 | 4.278229E-5 | 4.278229E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2278786E-4 | 5.2075105E-4 | 5.2075105E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052155964 | 0.0051954403 | 0.0052153366 | 1.0038295 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 8.874109E-6 | 8.750365E-6 | 8.750365E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8031343E-5 | 3.750103E-5 | 3.750103E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.629332E-4 | 4.5648048E-4 | 4.5648048E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0046197 | 0.004555546 | 0.004575455 | 1.0043702 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.5504267E-6 | 7.5065022E-6 | 7.5065022E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.235857E-5 | 3.2170334E-5 | 3.2170334E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9389438E-4 | 3.9160444E-4 | 3.9160444E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039319694 | 0.0039092507 | 0.0039291726 | 1.0050961 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.309394E-6 | 6.1843857E-6 | 6.1843857E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.703998E-5 | 2.6504245E-5 | 2.6504245E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2916202E-4 | 3.2264236E-4 | 3.2264236E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003286749 | 0.0032218366 | 0.0032318046 | 1.0030938 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.6103073E-6 | 4.441627E-6 | 4.441627E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.975831E-5 | 1.903541E-5 | 1.903541E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4053088E-4 | 2.3173216E-4 | 2.3173216E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002402707 | 0.0023149748 | 0.0023149748 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.2858658E-6 | 1.3009167E-6 | 1.3009167E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5108417E-6 | 5.5753458E-6 | 5.5753458E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7092435E-5 | 6.787779E-5 | 6.787779E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.707218E-4 | 6.7857746E-4 | 6.7857746E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.3302307E-7 | 5.6125344E-7 | 5.6125344E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2843826E-6 | 2.40537E-6 | 2.40537E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7812002E-5 | 2.9285022E-5 | 2.9285022E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7808524E-4 | 2.928152E-4 | 2.928152E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.613933E-8 | 4.803271E-8 | 4.803271E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9773998E-7 | 2.0585445E-7 | 2.0585445E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4074816E-6 | 2.5062752E-6 | 2.5062752E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4074554E-5 | 2.506248E-5 | 2.506248E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Camp Rock 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6710783E-5 | 4.250396E-6 | 4.250396E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.161568E-5 | 1.821586E-5 | 1.821586E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7157206E-4 | 2.2175604E-4 | 2.4175161E-4 | 1.0901692 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008681616 | 0.0022154003 | 0.002255312 | 1.0180154 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6710783E-5 | 4.250396E-6 | 4.250396E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.161568E-5 | 1.821586E-5 | 1.821586E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7157206E-4 | 2.2175604E-4 | 2.4175161E-4 | 1.0901692 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008681616 | 0.0022154003 | 0.002255312 | 1.0180154 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6710783E-5 | 4.250396E-6 | 4.250396E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.161568E-5 | 1.821586E-5 | 1.821586E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7157206E-4 | 2.2175604E-4 | 2.4175161E-4 | 1.0901692 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008681616 | 0.0022154003 | 0.002255312 | 1.0180154 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.6710783E-5 | 4.250396E-6 | 4.250396E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.161568E-5 | 1.821586E-5 | 1.821586E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7157206E-4 | 2.2175604E-4 | 2.4175161E-4 | 1.0901692 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008681616 | 0.0022154003 | 0.002255312 | 1.0180154 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.982846E-6 | 3.6824108E-6 | 3.6824108E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.421175E-5 | 1.5781667E-5 | 1.5781667E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1644843E-4 | 1.921252E-4 | 2.1212136E-4 | 1.1040788 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0041566887 | 0.0019196259 | 0.001959549 | 1.0207974 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 7.982846E-6 | 3.6824108E-6 | 3.6824108E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.421175E-5 | 1.5781667E-5 | 1.5781667E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1644843E-4 | 1.921252E-4 | 2.1212136E-4 | 1.1040788 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0041566887 | 0.0019196259 | 0.001959549 | 1.0207974 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.048869E-6 | 3.4246589E-6 | 3.4246589E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0209088E-5 | 1.4677029E-5 | 1.4677029E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.677336E-4 | 1.786785E-4 | 1.9867491E-4 | 1.1119128 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0036712566 | 0.00178538 | 0.0018253085 | 1.0223641 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.987307E-6 | 3.3626318E-6 | 3.3626318E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9945259E-5 | 1.4411201E-5 | 1.4411201E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6452254E-4 | 1.7544256E-4 | 1.9543905E-4 | 1.1139774 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0036392517 | 0.0017530717 | 0.0017930015 | 1.0227771 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.3737602E-6 | 3.1182126E-6 | 3.1182126E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.731583E-5 | 1.3363701E-5 | 1.3363701E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3251947E-4 | 1.626912E-4 | 1.8268795E-4 | 1.1229123 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0033202237 | 0.0016257496 | 0.0016656846 | 1.024564 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.112211E-6 | 2.9334128E-6 | 2.9334128E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6194928E-5 | 1.257171E-5 | 1.257171E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1887658E-4 | 1.530501E-4 | 1.7304704E-4 | 1.1306561 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003184194 | 0.0015294746 | 0.0015694135 | 1.0261128 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.5140117E-6 | 2.6422322E-6 | 2.6422322E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3631264E-5 | 1.1323805E-5 | 1.1323805E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8767265E-4 | 1.3785885E-4 | 1.5785609E-4 | 1.1450559 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0028730053 | 0.0013777586 | 0.0014177035 | 1.0289927 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.8151105E-6 | 2.1345315E-6 | 2.1345315E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0636026E-5 | 9.1479615E-6 | 9.1479615E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5121463E-4 | 1.1137096E-4 | 1.3136874E-4 | 1.1795601 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0025093083 | 0.0011131734 | 0.0011531288 | 1.0358933 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.818335E-6 | 1.2939337E-6 | 1.2939337E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6364189E-5 | 5.545419E-6 | 5.545419E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9921579E-4 | 6.7513465E-5 | 8.751211E-5 | 1.2962172 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0019903728 | 6.749378E-4 | 7.0491753E-4 | 1.0444186 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.7166698E-6 | 7.3846667E-7 | 7.3846667E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1642818E-5 | 3.1648535E-6 | 3.1648535E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4174209E-4 | 3.853143E-5 | 5.853066E-5 | 1.5190368 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014165172 | 3.852495E-4 | 4.052418E-4 | 1.0518944 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.0893426E-6 | 5.462706E-7 | 5.462706E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.954295E-6 | 2.3411576E-6 | 2.3411576E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0901308E-4 | 2.8503226E-5 | 2.8503226E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010895962 | 2.8499626E-4 | 2.8499626E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.1681728E-6 | 3.6035502E-7 | 3.6035502E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0064455E-6 | 1.5443777E-6 | 1.5443777E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0951766E-5 | 1.880264E-5 | 1.880264E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.093505E-4 | 1.8801098E-4 | 1.8801098E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.3154387E-7 | 7.1203566E-8 | 7.1203566E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6375933E-7 | 3.0515812E-7 | 3.0515812E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863748E-6 | 3.7152954E-6 | 3.7152954E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863536E-5 | 3.715249E-5 | 3.715249E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Tin Mountain
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.1816697E-6 | 4.1816697E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.792134E-5 | 1.792134E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.1817419E-4 | 2.1817419E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021285915 | 0.0021799656 | 0.0022198786 | 1.0183089 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.1816697E-6 | 4.1816697E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.792134E-5 | 1.792134E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.1817419E-4 | 2.1817419E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021285915 | 0.0021799656 | 0.0022198786 | 1.0183089 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.1816697E-6 | 4.1816697E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.792134E-5 | 1.792134E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.1817419E-4 | 2.1817419E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021285915 | 0.0021799656 | 0.0022198786 | 1.0183089 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.1816697E-6 | 4.1816697E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.792134E-5 | 1.792134E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.1817419E-4 | 2.1817419E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021285915 | 0.0021799656 | 0.0022198786 | 1.0183089 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.1816697E-6 | 4.1816697E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.792134E-5 | 1.792134E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.1817419E-4 | 2.1817419E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021285915 | 0.0021799656 | 0.0022198786 | 1.0183089 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.3143427E-6 | 2.3732375E-6 | 2.3732375E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9185745E-6 | 1.0170983E-5 | 1.0170983E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2075195E-4 | 1.2382545E-4 | 1.2382545E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012068636 | 0.0012376405 | 0.001277591 | 1.0322796 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.3143427E-6 | 2.3732375E-6 | 2.3732375E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9185745E-6 | 1.0170983E-5 | 1.0170983E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2075195E-4 | 1.2382545E-4 | 1.2382545E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012068636 | 0.0012376405 | 0.001277591 | 1.0322796 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.7029532E-6 | 1.7498556E-6 | 1.7498556E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2983503E-6 | 7.4993627E-6 | 7.4993627E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.885379E-5 | 9.130145E-5 | 9.130145E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.881827E-4 | 9.1269205E-4 | 9.426647E-4 | 1.0328398 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2914646E-6 | 1.3299907E-6 | 1.3299907E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.534837E-6 | 5.69995E-6 | 5.69995E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.738455E-5 | 6.939512E-5 | 6.939512E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.736412E-4 | 6.937779E-4 | 7.237571E-4 | 1.0432115 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.8708974E-7 | 6.1173347E-7 | 6.1173347E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5160964E-6 | 2.6217124E-6 | 2.6217124E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0633044E-5 | 3.1918924E-5 | 3.1918924E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0628822E-4 | 3.1914748E-4 | 3.1914748E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 4.6248786E-7 | 4.832303E-7 | 4.832303E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9820893E-6 | 2.0709856E-6 | 2.0709856E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.413167E-5 | 2.5213994E-5 | 2.5213994E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.412905E-4 | 2.5211502E-4 | 2.5211502E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 3.804606E-7 | 3.987401E-7 | 3.987401E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6305444E-6 | 1.7088852E-6 | 1.7088852E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9851697E-5 | 2.0805513E-5 | 2.0805513E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9849923E-4 | 2.0803901E-4 | 2.0803901E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.5864858E-7 | 3.7619301E-7 | 3.7619301E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5370645E-6 | 1.612255E-6 | 1.612255E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.87136E-5 | 1.9629062E-5 | 1.9629062E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8712023E-4 | 1.9627658E-4 | 1.9627658E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.342063E-7 | 3.506576E-7 | 3.506576E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4323119E-6 | 1.5028176E-6 | 1.5028176E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7438259E-5 | 1.8296683E-5 | 1.8296683E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.743689E-4 | 1.8295507E-4 | 1.8295507E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.971242E-7 | 3.116784E-7 | 3.116784E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2733886E-6 | 1.3357641E-6 | 1.3357641E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5503398E-5 | 1.626284E-5 | 1.626284E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5502315E-4 | 1.6261978E-4 | 1.6261978E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.4326713E-7 | 1.5013477E-7 | 1.5013477E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.140018E-7 | 6.4343476E-7 | 6.4343476E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4754466E-6 | 7.833818E-6 | 7.833818E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.475195E-5 | 7.833818E-5 | 7.833818E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Dry Mountain
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.4396786E-6 | 6.4396786E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.759842E-5 | 2.759842E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.3597488E-4 | 3.659648E-4 | 1.0892624 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0032417132 | 0.0033562316 | 0.0033960973 | 1.0118781 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.4396786E-6 | 6.4396786E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.759842E-5 | 2.759842E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.3597488E-4 | 3.659648E-4 | 1.0892624 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0032417132 | 0.0033562316 | 0.0033960973 | 1.0118781 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.4396786E-6 | 6.4396786E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.759842E-5 | 2.759842E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.3597488E-4 | 3.659648E-4 | 1.0892624 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0032417132 | 0.0033562316 | 0.0033960973 | 1.0118781 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.4396786E-6 | 6.4396786E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.759842E-5 | 2.759842E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.3597488E-4 | 3.659648E-4 | 1.0892624 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0032417132 | 0.0033562316 | 0.0033960973 | 1.0118781 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.4396786E-6 | 6.4396786E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.759842E-5 | 2.759842E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.3597488E-4 | 3.659648E-4 | 1.0892624 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0032417132 | 0.0033562316 | 0.0033960973 | 1.0118781 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.8528623E-6 | 2.9523046E-6 | 2.9523046E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.22264955E-5 | 1.2652722E-5 | 1.2652722E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4884741E-4 | 1.540447E-4 | 1.7404162E-4 | 1.1298125 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014874774 | 0.0015402327 | 0.0015701865 | 1.0194476 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.8528623E-6 | 2.9523046E-6 | 2.9523046E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.22264955E-5 | 1.2652722E-5 | 1.2652722E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4884741E-4 | 1.540447E-4 | 1.7404162E-4 | 1.1298125 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014874774 | 0.0015402327 | 0.0015701865 | 1.0194476 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.541E-6 | 2.6294792E-6 | 2.6294792E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0889954E-5 | 1.1269196E-5 | 1.1269196E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3257713E-4 | 1.3720247E-4 | 1.5719973E-4 | 1.1457499 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0013249806 | 0.0013720246 | 0.0014019834 | 1.0218354 | 3.0E-5 |
Pisgah-Bullion Mtn-Mesquite Lk
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0240792E-5 | 2.4094536E-5 | 2.4094536E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2959696E-4 | 1.03258775E-4 | 1.03258775E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015767008 | 0.0012565514 | 0.0012765261 | 1.0158966 | 2.0E-5 | 0.015655609 | 0.01250449 | 0.01254399 | 1.0031588 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.0240792E-5 | 2.4094536E-5 | 2.4094536E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2959696E-4 | 1.03258775E-4 | 1.03258775E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015767008 | 0.0012565514 | 0.0012765261 | 1.0158966 | 2.0E-5 | 0.015655609 | 0.01250449 | 0.01254399 | 1.0031588 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.0240792E-5 | 2.4094536E-5 | 2.4094536E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2959696E-4 | 1.03258775E-4 | 1.03258775E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015767008 | 0.0012565514 | 0.0012765261 | 1.0158966 | 2.0E-5 | 0.015655609 | 0.01250449 | 0.01254399 | 1.0031588 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.0498217E-5 | 1.3639723E-5 | 1.3639723E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.784654E-5 | 5.8454734E-5 | 5.8454734E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010690069 | 7.1147026E-4 | 7.3145604E-4 | 1.0280908 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01063879 | 0.0070935516 | 0.0071233385 | 1.0041991 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0498217E-5 | 1.3639723E-5 | 1.3639723E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.784654E-5 | 5.8454734E-5 | 5.8454734E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010690069 | 7.1147026E-4 | 7.3145604E-4 | 1.0280908 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01063879 | 0.0070935516 | 0.0071233385 | 1.0041991 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.7316182E-5 | 1.0478171E-5 | 1.0478171E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.42101E-5 | 4.490573E-5 | 4.490573E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0313336E-4 | 5.4660015E-4 | 5.665892E-4 | 1.0365698 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008994718 | 0.0054535526 | 0.005473444 | 1.0036473 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.5251077E-5 | 8.4150215E-6 | 8.4150215E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.536012E-5 | 3.6063917E-5 | 3.6063917E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9546886E-4 | 4.3899697E-4 | 4.5898822E-4 | 1.0455384 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007926274 | 0.004382015 | 0.0044019273 | 1.0045441 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2997425E-5 | 6.411854E-6 | 6.411854E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.570206E-5 | 2.7479111E-5 | 2.7479111E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7796157E-4 | 3.3451148E-4 | 3.545048E-4 | 1.0597687 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0067589693 | 0.0033405398 | 0.0033604729 | 1.005967 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.035386E-5 | 4.3337523E-6 | 4.3337523E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.437293E-5 | 1.8573097E-5 | 1.8573097E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.401065E-4 | 2.2610486E-4 | 2.4610033E-4 | 1.0884346 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0053879567 | 0.002258835 | 0.0022787899 | 1.0088341 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.816252E-6 | 3.581042E-6 | 3.581042E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.778339E-5 | 1.5347236E-5 | 1.5347236E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5991567E-4 | 1.8683716E-4 | 2.0683341E-4 | 1.1070251 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00458965 | 0.0018668593 | 0.0018868219 | 1.0106932 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 6.8232207E-6 | 2.567817E-6 | 2.567817E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9242048E-5 | 1.1004885E-5 | 1.1004885E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5596377E-4 | 1.3397656E-4 | 1.5397387E-4 | 1.1492598 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0035539411 | 0.0013389889 | 0.0013589622 | 1.0149167 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.837013E-6 | 2.2276574E-6 | 2.2276574E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.501553E-5 | 9.54707E-6 | 9.54707E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.045215E-4 | 1.1622967E-4 | 1.3622735E-4 | 1.1720531 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0030410455 | 0.0011617178 | 0.0011816946 | 1.0171959 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.278052E-6 | 1.627774E-6 | 1.627774E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.833438E-5 | 6.9761572E-6 | 6.9761572E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.231982E-4 | 8.493164E-5 | 1.0492994E-4 | 1.2354635 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0022297418 | 8.49015E-4 | 8.6899806E-4 | 1.0235367 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.8803692E-6 | 8.3457894E-7 | 8.3457894E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0587E-6 | 3.5767628E-6 | 3.5767628E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.811026E-5 | 4.3546366E-5 | 4.3546366E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.806695E-4 | 4.3539278E-4 | 4.3539278E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elysian Park (Upper)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.704518E-5 | 3.704518E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5875814E-4 | 1.5875814E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0019316409 | 0.0019316409 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016495159 | 0.019194974 | 0.019234205 | 1.0020438 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.704518E-5 | 3.704518E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5875814E-4 | 1.5875814E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0019316409 | 0.0019316409 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016495159 | 0.019194974 | 0.019234205 | 1.0020438 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.704518E-5 | 3.704518E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5875814E-4 | 1.5875814E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0019316409 | 0.0019316409 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016495159 | 0.019194974 | 0.019234205 | 1.0020438 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.704518E-5 | 3.704518E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5875814E-4 | 1.5875814E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0019316409 | 0.0019316409 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016495159 | 0.019194974 | 0.019234205 | 1.0020438 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.9273462E-5 | 2.1207095E-5 | 2.1207095E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.259794E-5 | 9.088537E-5 | 9.088537E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001005166 | 0.0011061387 | 0.0011061387 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010006315 | 0.011023145 | 0.011042925 | 1.0017943 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.9273462E-5 | 2.1207095E-5 | 2.1207095E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.259794E-5 | 9.088537E-5 | 9.088537E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001005166 | 0.0011061387 | 0.0011061387 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010006315 | 0.011023145 | 0.011042925 | 1.0017943 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.813258E-6 | 9.666882E-6 | 9.666882E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.205614E-5 | 4.1428877E-5 | 4.1428877E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.119132E-4 | 5.0428713E-4 | 5.0428713E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005107356 | 0.0050321515 | 0.0050321515 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 9.801478E-6 | 9.654451E-6 | 9.654451E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2005657E-5 | 4.1375602E-5 | 4.1375602E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.112989E-4 | 5.0363876E-4 | 5.0363876E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051012407 | 0.0050256974 | 0.0050256974 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 8.102489E-6 | 7.77402E-6 | 7.77402E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4724493E-5 | 3.331683E-5 | 3.331683E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2268867E-4 | 4.0556188E-4 | 4.0556188E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004218856 | 0.0040487116 | 0.0040487116 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 6.08275E-6 | 5.4820575E-6 | 5.4820575E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6068668E-5 | 2.3494325E-5 | 2.3494325E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.173398E-4 | 2.8600663E-4 | 2.8600663E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031688702 | 0.0028564632 | 0.0028564632 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 5.5995934E-6 | 4.9833275E-6 | 4.9833275E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3998036E-5 | 2.1356946E-5 | 2.1356946E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9213692E-4 | 2.5999045E-4 | 2.5999045E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029175316 | 0.0025969301 | 0.0025969301 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 4.709881E-6 | 4.0878467E-6 | 4.0878467E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0185047E-5 | 1.7519227E-5 | 1.7519227E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4572524E-4 | 2.1327613E-4 | 2.1327613E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002454537 | 0.002130756 | 0.002130756 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.6063436E-6 | 2.9782657E-6 | 2.9782657E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5455667E-5 | 1.2763934E-5 | 1.2763934E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.881565E-4 | 1.5538993E-4 | 1.5538993E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018799726 | 0.001552824 | 0.001552824 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.471135E-6 | 2.0956838E-6 | 2.0956838E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0590536E-5 | 8.981472E-6 | 8.981472E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2893214E-4 | 1.09344E-4 | 1.09344E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012885736 | 0.0010929093 | 0.0010929093 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.163943E-6 | 1.027627E-6 | 1.027627E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.988318E-6 | 4.4041085E-6 | 4.4041085E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0731076E-5 | 5.3618733E-5 | 5.3618733E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.071448E-4 | 5.3606095E-4 | 5.3606095E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.99459E-7 | 4.9181693E-7 | 4.9181693E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.140537E-6 | 2.1077853E-6 | 2.1077853E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6060725E-5 | 2.5662E-5 | 2.5662E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.605767E-4 | 2.5659194E-4 | 2.5659194E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.4667852E-7 | 2.4781727E-7 | 2.4781727E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0571932E-6 | 1.0620736E-6 | 1.0620736E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2871251E-5 | 1.2930673E-5 | 1.2930673E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2870505E-4 | 1.2929957E-4 | 1.2929957E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 8.2312795E-8 | 7.388285E-8 | 7.388285E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.527691E-7 | 3.1664078E-7 | 3.1664078E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.294955E-6 | 3.8550957E-6 | 3.8550957E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2948723E-5 | 3.8550403E-5 | 3.8550403E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.7819295E-8 | 1.757895E-8 | 1.757895E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1922555E-7 | 7.5338356E-8 | 7.5338356E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.45157E-6 | 9.172443E-7 | 9.172443E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.45156055E-5 | 9.17242E-6 | 9.17242E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Chino alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.939946E-5 | 4.8967253E-5 | 4.8967253E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6884391E-4 | 2.0984572E-4 | 2.0984572E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020537362 | 0.002552392 | 0.0025623664 | 1.0039079 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020348595 | 0.025286697 | 0.025325686 | 1.0015419 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1505624E-5 | 2.6891363E-5 | 2.6891363E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2163704E-5 | 1.15244235E-4 | 1.15244235E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011215154 | 0.0014023057 | 0.0014122917 | 1.0071211 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011158722 | 0.013950518 | 0.013970239 | 1.0014136 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1505624E-5 | 2.6891363E-5 | 2.6891363E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2163704E-5 | 1.15244235E-4 | 1.15244235E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011215154 | 0.0014023057 | 0.0014122917 | 1.0071211 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011158722 | 0.013950518 | 0.013970239 | 1.0014136 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.4290785E-5 | 1.8174986E-5 | 1.8174986E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1244784E-5 | 7.789073E-5 | 7.789073E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.454001E-4 | 9.4795227E-4 | 9.4795227E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007429048 | 0.009448606 | 0.009458511 | 1.0010483 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.4290785E-5 | 1.8174986E-5 | 1.8174986E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1244784E-5 | 7.789073E-5 | 7.789073E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.454001E-4 | 9.4795227E-4 | 9.4795227E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007429048 | 0.009448606 | 0.009458511 | 1.0010483 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3017944E-5 | 1.6661566E-5 | 1.6661566E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5789995E-5 | 7.1405004E-5 | 7.1405004E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.790315E-4 | 8.69053E-4 | 8.69053E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0067696036 | 0.008665904 | 0.008675817 | 1.0011439 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.470016E-6 | 1.2046706E-5 | 1.2046706E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.058515E-5 | 5.162791E-5 | 5.162791E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.940122E-4 | 6.284225E-4 | 6.284225E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004929154 | 0.0062743775 | 0.0062843147 | 1.0015838 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.314155E-6 | 1.041422E-5 | 1.041422E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5631605E-5 | 4.463179E-5 | 4.463179E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3372845E-4 | 5.432888E-4 | 5.432888E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004328829 | 0.0054279226 | 0.005437868 | 1.0018324 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.4856364E-6 | 3.8156268E-6 | 3.8156268E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4938357E-5 | 1.6352595E-5 | 1.6352595E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8185932E-4 | 1.9907673E-4 | 1.9907673E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018171056 | 0.0019906762 | 0.0019906762 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.2645952E-6 | 2.1544195E-6 | 2.1544195E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.705372E-6 | 9.233195E-6 | 9.233195E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.18156495E-4 | 1.1240857E-4 | 1.1240857E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011809369 | 0.0011240747 | 0.0011240747 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.7864003E-6 | 1.544403E-6 | 1.544403E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.655979E-6 | 6.6188536E-6 | 6.6188536E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3207556E-5 | 8.0581616E-5 | 8.0581616E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.316847E-4 | 8.05951E-4 | 8.05951E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.7315456E-6 | 1.4746537E-6 | 1.4746537E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.420889E-6 | 6.319929E-6 | 6.319929E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.034557E-5 | 7.694248E-5 | 7.694248E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0308854E-4 | 7.6957664E-4 | 7.6957664E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.6008337E-6 | 1.358664E-6 | 1.358664E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.860698E-6 | 5.8228334E-6 | 5.8228334E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.352579E-5 | 7.089075E-5 | 7.089075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.34944E-4 | 7.090838E-4 | 7.090838E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.3320939E-6 | 1.1229145E-6 | 1.1229145E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7089615E-6 | 4.812482E-6 | 4.812482E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9504385E-5 | 5.8590438E-5 | 5.8590438E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9482654E-4 | 5.8589986E-4 | 5.8589986E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.114294E-6 | 9.247533E-7 | 9.247533E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.775537E-6 | 3.9632228E-6 | 3.9632228E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8140613E-5 | 4.8251204E-5 | 4.8251204E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.81254E-4 | 4.824235E-4 | 4.824235E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 9.354081E-7 | 7.63314E-7 | 7.63314E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0088858E-6 | 3.271342E-6 | 3.271342E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8807087E-5 | 3.9827893E-5 | 3.9827893E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.879637E-4 | 3.9821098E-4 | 3.9821098E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 8.521771E-7 | 6.8901096E-7 | 6.8901096E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6521824E-6 | 2.952901E-6 | 2.952901E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4464414E-5 | 3.595101E-5 | 3.595101E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4455516E-4 | 3.5945512E-4 | 3.5945512E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.1803626E-7 | 1.4212222E-7 | 1.4212222E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.344408E-7 | 6.0909514E-7 | 6.0909514E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1376757E-5 | 7.415718E-6 | 7.415718E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.13761744E-4 | 7.4155665E-5 | 7.4155665E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hector Mine
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.8760093E-5 | 2.7970027E-6 | 2.7970027E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.039792E-5 | 1.1987121E-5 | 1.1987121E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.78405E-4 | 1.4593743E-4 | 1.6593451E-4 | 1.137025 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009741086 | 0.0014588083 | 0.0014887645 | 1.0205348 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.8760093E-5 | 2.7970027E-6 | 2.7970027E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.039792E-5 | 1.1987121E-5 | 1.1987121E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.78405E-4 | 1.4593743E-4 | 1.6593451E-4 | 1.137025 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009741086 | 0.0014588083 | 0.0014887645 | 1.0205348 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.8760093E-5 | 2.7970027E-6 | 2.7970027E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.039792E-5 | 1.1987121E-5 | 1.1987121E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.78405E-4 | 1.4593743E-4 | 1.6593451E-4 | 1.137025 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009741086 | 0.0014588083 | 0.0014887645 | 1.0205348 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.8760093E-5 | 2.7970027E-6 | 2.7970027E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.039792E-5 | 1.1987121E-5 | 1.1987121E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.78405E-4 | 1.4593743E-4 | 1.6593451E-4 | 1.137025 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009741086 | 0.0014588083 | 0.0014887645 | 1.0205348 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.0888055E-5 | 2.7970027E-6 | 2.7970027E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.666226E-5 | 1.1987121E-5 | 1.1987121E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.679649E-4 | 1.4593743E-4 | 1.6593451E-4 | 1.137025 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0056651547 | 0.0014588083 | 0.0014887645 | 1.0205348 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.0888055E-5 | 2.7970027E-6 | 2.7970027E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.666226E-5 | 1.1987121E-5 | 1.1987121E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.679649E-4 | 1.4593743E-4 | 1.6593451E-4 | 1.137025 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0056651547 | 0.0014588083 | 0.0014887645 | 1.0205348 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0730738E-5 | 2.7970027E-6 | 2.7970027E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5988065E-5 | 1.1987121E-5 | 1.1987121E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5976084E-4 | 1.4593743E-4 | 1.6593451E-4 | 1.137025 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0055835294 | 0.0014588083 | 0.0014887645 | 1.0205348 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.881326E-6 | 2.7716756E-6 | 2.7716756E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3776672E-5 | 1.1878577E-5 | 1.1878577E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.111534E-4 | 1.4461609E-4 | 1.6461319E-4 | 1.1382772 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0041039353 | 0.001445612 | 0.0014755686 | 1.0207225 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 7.5683483E-6 | 2.733386E-6 | 2.733386E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2435375E-5 | 1.1714482E-5 | 1.1714482E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9482914E-4 | 1.4261848E-4 | 1.6261563E-4 | 1.1402143 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0039412836 | 0.0014256617 | 0.001455619 | 1.0210129 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.473048E-6 | 2.514408E-6 | 2.514408E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7741338E-5 | 1.0776012E-5 | 1.0776012E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3769844E-4 | 1.3119401E-4 | 1.5119139E-4 | 1.152426 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0033718573 | 0.0013115554 | 0.0013315291 | 1.0152291 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.9959954E-6 | 1.8569268E-6 | 1.8569268E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1411232E-5 | 7.958253E-6 | 7.958253E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6065056E-4 | 9.6890995E-5 | 1.1688906E-4 | 1.2063975 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0026034506 | 9.6883724E-4 | 9.888179E-4 | 1.0206233 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.2997541E-6 | 1.560627E-7 | 1.560627E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5703626E-6 | 6.6883996E-7 | 6.6883996E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7817055E-5 | 8.1431E-6 | 2.8142937E-5 | 3.456047 | 2.0E-5 | 6.779636E-4 | 8.1428414E-5 | 1.01426784E-4 | 1.2455945 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 8.392699E-7 | 9.730215E-8 | 9.730215E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.596866E-6 | 4.1700915E-7 | 4.1700915E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3790962E-5 | 5.0770764E-6 | 2.5076975E-5 | 4.9392548 | 2.0E-5 | 4.3782333E-4 | 5.0769795E-5 | 7.076878E-5 | 1.393915 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.13015E-7 | 4.8305566E-8 | 4.8305566E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3414921E-6 | 2.0702385E-7 | 2.0702385E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6332544E-5 | 2.5205131E-6 | 2.5205131E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6331344E-4 | 2.520493E-5 | 2.520493E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Juan
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.682808E-6 | 8.75314E-6 | 8.75314E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.72115E-5 | 3.7512946E-5 | 3.7512946E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5295584E-4 | 4.566292E-4 | 4.6662462E-4 | 1.0218896 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004520337 | 0.0045574512 | 0.0045873146 | 1.0065526 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 8.682808E-6 | 8.75314E-6 | 8.75314E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.72115E-5 | 3.7512946E-5 | 3.7512946E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5295584E-4 | 4.566292E-4 | 4.6662462E-4 | 1.0218896 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004520337 | 0.0045574512 | 0.0045873146 | 1.0065526 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 8.682808E-6 | 8.75314E-6 | 8.75314E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.72115E-5 | 3.7512946E-5 | 3.7512946E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5295584E-4 | 4.566292E-4 | 4.6662462E-4 | 1.0218896 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004520337 | 0.0045574512 | 0.0045873146 | 1.0065526 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.3054235E-6 | 6.2864383E-6 | 6.2864383E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7022963E-5 | 2.6941609E-5 | 2.6941609E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2895492E-4 | 3.2796612E-4 | 3.2796612E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003284684 | 0.003275022 | 0.0032849892 | 1.0030434 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.1490473E-6 | 6.1177884E-6 | 6.1177884E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6352795E-5 | 2.6218837E-5 | 2.6218837E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2079802E-4 | 3.1916896E-4 | 3.1916896E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032033534 | 0.0031873027 | 0.003197271 | 1.0031275 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.204848E-6 | 5.140449E-6 | 5.140449E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.23063E-5 | 2.2030315E-5 | 2.2030315E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7154534E-4 | 2.6818702E-4 | 2.6818702E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027121378 | 0.0026787887 | 0.0026787887 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 4.5179986E-6 | 4.417437E-6 | 4.417437E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9362706E-5 | 1.8931742E-5 | 1.8931742E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3571544E-4 | 2.3047037E-4 | 2.3047037E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023546559 | 0.0023024513 | 0.0023024513 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 3.9442616E-6 | 3.821979E-6 | 3.821979E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6903869E-5 | 1.6379812E-5 | 1.6379812E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0578515E-4 | 1.9940663E-4 | 1.9940663E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002055947 | 0.0019924028 | 0.0019924028 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 3.4536245E-6 | 3.3183967E-6 | 3.3183967E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4801163E-5 | 1.4221626E-5 | 1.4221626E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8018926E-4 | 1.7313515E-4 | 1.7313515E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018004322 | 0.0017301224 | 0.0017301224 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 3.059865E-6 | 2.9139999E-6 | 2.9139999E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3113641E-5 | 1.2488514E-5 | 1.2488514E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.596469E-4 | 1.5203762E-4 | 1.5203762E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015953224 | 0.0015194515 | 0.0015194515 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.6504351E-6 | 2.493859E-6 | 2.493859E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1358958E-5 | 1.0687926E-5 | 1.0687926E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3828653E-4 | 1.3011828E-4 | 1.3011828E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013820052 | 0.0013005335 | 0.0013005335 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.2039317E-6 | 2.0353586E-6 | 2.0353586E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.445387E-6 | 8.722939E-6 | 8.722939E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1499152E-4 | 1.0619714E-4 | 1.0619714E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011493203 | 0.0010615748 | 0.0010615748 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.0786707E-6 | 8.783245E-7 | 8.783245E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.622866E-6 | 3.7642424E-6 | 3.7642424E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.628194E-5 | 4.5828696E-5 | 4.5828696E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6267687E-4 | 4.582525E-4 | 4.582525E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 6.846433E-7 | 4.87706E-7 | 4.87706E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9341822E-6 | 2.0901668E-6 | 2.0901668E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5723086E-5 | 2.5447485E-5 | 2.5447485E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.571734E-4 | 2.544799E-4 | 2.544799E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.23043E-7 | 3.2689212E-7 | 3.2689212E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2416111E-6 | 1.4009655E-6 | 1.4009655E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7291273E-5 | 1.7056622E-5 | 1.7056622E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7287923E-4 | 1.7058605E-4 | 1.7058605E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.648444E-7 | 2.72874E-7 | 2.72874E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9921886E-6 | 1.1694594E-6 | 1.1694594E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4254627E-5 | 1.4238076E-5 | 1.4238076E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.425198E-4 | 1.4240222E-4 | 1.4240222E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.9906567E-7 | 2.2124779E-7 | 2.2124779E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7102802E-6 | 9.4820444E-7 | 9.4820444E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0822463E-5 | 1.1544328E-5 | 1.1544328E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0820512E-4 | 1.1546211E-4 | 1.1546211E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.8784601E-7 | 5.3818873E-8 | 5.3818873E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0505407E-7 | 2.3065229E-7 | 2.3065229E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.80149E-6 | 2.808188E-6 | 2.808188E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.801057E-5 | 2.8090844E-5 | 2.8090844E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.00154914E-7 | 1.2462858E-8 | 1.2462858E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2923529E-7 | 5.3412254E-8 | 5.3412254E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.225927E-6 | 6.5029394E-7 | 6.5029394E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.225804E-5 | 6.5088643E-6 | 6.5088643E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.171429E-8 | 4.32063E-9 | 4.32063E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6448978E-7 | 1.8516989E-8 | 1.8516989E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2201583E-6 | 2.254443E-7 | 2.254443E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2201115E-5 | 2.2597742E-6 | 2.2597742E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.3974572E-8 | 3.4217507E-10 | 3.4217507E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.989102E-8 | 1.4664665E-9 | 1.4664665E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2917294E-7 | 1.7854234E-8 | 1.7854234E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2917055E-6 | 1.8286427E-7 | 1.8286427E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.8403477E-9 | 1.141236E-10 | 1.141236E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.887204E-9 | 4.891012E-10 | 4.891012E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.602671E-8 | 5.9548038E-9 | 5.9548038E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.602667E-7 | 6.076333E-8 | 6.076333E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Rose Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5923203E-5 | 4.9793965E-5 | 5.979347E-5 | 1.2008176 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9679888E-4 | 2.1338661E-4 | 2.2338447E-4 | 1.0468533 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023933933 | 0.0025950863 | 0.0026050606 | 1.0038434 | 1.0E-5 | 0.023677798 | 0.025691276 | 0.025720507 | 1.0011377 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.5923203E-5 | 4.9793965E-5 | 5.979347E-5 | 1.2008176 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9679888E-4 | 2.1338661E-4 | 2.2338447E-4 | 1.0468533 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023933933 | 0.0025950863 | 0.0026050606 | 1.0038434 | 1.0E-5 | 0.023677798 | 0.025691276 | 0.025720507 | 1.0011377 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.8844734E-5 | 2.9741092E-5 | 2.9741092E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2361443E-4 | 1.2745579E-4 | 1.2745579E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015039665 | 0.0015506984 | 0.0015506984 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0149382865 | 0.015401089 | 0.015410935 | 1.0006393 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3171577E-5 | 2.3230888E-5 | 2.3230888E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9302975E-5 | 9.9557226E-5 | 9.9557226E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012083431 | 0.0012114487 | 0.0012114487 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012017938 | 0.012053551 | 0.012063431 | 1.0008197 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0066604E-5 | 1.970981E-5 | 1.970981E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.599689E-5 | 8.446794E-5 | 8.446794E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010465092 | 0.0010279221 | 0.0010279221 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010415946 | 0.010231871 | 0.010231871 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.776989E-5 | 1.713948E-5 | 1.713948E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.615444E-5 | 7.345289E-5 | 7.345289E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.267859E-4 | 8.9392904E-4 | 8.9392904E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009229303 | 0.008903609 | 0.008903609 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.5227364E-5 | 1.434864E-5 | 1.434864E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.52585E-5 | 6.149275E-5 | 6.149275E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.942326E-4 | 7.484223E-4 | 7.484223E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007914 | 0.0074502192 | 0.0074502192 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.2703898E-5 | 1.1676016E-5 | 1.1676016E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4444143E-5 | 5.003913E-5 | 5.003913E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.626558E-4 | 6.0906034E-4 | 6.0906034E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006606833 | 0.006064392 | 0.006064392 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.1554917E-5 | 1.0611943E-5 | 1.0611943E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9520135E-5 | 4.5478988E-5 | 4.5478988E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0274085E-4 | 5.5357005E-4 | 5.5357005E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0060110865 | 0.005506722 | 0.005506722 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 8.732078E-6 | 7.882957E-6 | 7.882957E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7422655E-5 | 3.3783683E-5 | 3.3783683E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5552556E-4 | 4.1124164E-4 | 4.1124164E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045459294 | 0.004089864 | 0.004089864 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 5.9337494E-6 | 5.1079296E-6 | 5.1079296E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5430107E-5 | 2.1890944E-5 | 2.1890944E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0956755E-4 | 2.664898E-4 | 2.664898E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030913667 | 0.002661718 | 0.002661718 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 5.013409E-6 | 4.177737E-6 | 4.177737E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1485863E-5 | 1.7904464E-5 | 1.7904464E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6155898E-4 | 2.1796515E-4 | 2.1796515E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026125133 | 0.0021775253 | 0.0021775253 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 4.120763E-6 | 3.2824187E-6 | 3.2824187E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7660293E-5 | 1.4067433E-5 | 1.4067433E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1499286E-4 | 1.7125763E-4 | 1.7125763E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021478499 | 0.001711266 | 0.001711266 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.2081239E-6 | 2.4407414E-6 | 2.4407414E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.374903E-5 | 1.0460279E-5 | 1.0460279E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6738157E-4 | 1.2734652E-4 | 1.2734652E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016725556 | 0.0012727424 | 0.0012727424 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.4194755E-6 | 1.7682179E-6 | 1.7682179E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0369139E-5 | 7.578055E-6 | 7.578055E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2623696E-4 | 9.225897E-5 | 9.225897E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012616527 | 9.2221197E-4 | 9.2221197E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3842889E-6 | 9.379535E-7 | 9.379535E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9326535E-6 | 4.0197947E-6 | 4.0197947E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.222766E-5 | 4.8939935E-5 | 4.8939935E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.220419E-4 | 4.892951E-4 | 4.892951E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.0021575E-6 | 6.4121554E-7 | 6.4121554E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2949537E-6 | 2.7480637E-6 | 2.7480637E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2289808E-5 | 3.3457185E-5 | 3.3457185E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2277505E-4 | 3.3452362E-4 | 3.3452362E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 8.7620116E-8 | 6.449785E-8 | 6.449785E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7551473E-7 | 2.7641934E-7 | 2.7641934E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5718825E-6 | 3.3654005E-6 | 3.3654005E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5717883E-5 | 3.3653523E-5 | 3.3653523E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Sierra Madre
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.3379373E-5 | 1.1004212E-5 | 1.1004212E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7338908E-5 | 4.7160065E-5 | 5.7159592E-5 | 1.2120339 | 1.0E-5 | 6.978776E-4 | 5.74024E-4 | 5.940125E-4 | 1.0348217 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0069569005 | 0.0057258746 | 0.005755703 | 1.0052093 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.3379373E-5 | 1.1004212E-5 | 1.1004212E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7338908E-5 | 4.7160065E-5 | 5.7159592E-5 | 1.2120339 | 1.0E-5 | 6.978776E-4 | 5.74024E-4 | 5.940125E-4 | 1.0348217 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0069569005 | 0.0057258746 | 0.005755703 | 1.0052093 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.3379373E-5 | 1.1004212E-5 | 1.1004212E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7338908E-5 | 4.7160065E-5 | 5.7159592E-5 | 1.2120339 | 1.0E-5 | 6.978776E-4 | 5.74024E-4 | 5.940125E-4 | 1.0348217 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0069569005 | 0.0057258746 | 0.005755703 | 1.0052093 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3379373E-5 | 1.1004212E-5 | 1.1004212E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7338908E-5 | 4.7160065E-5 | 5.7159592E-5 | 1.2120339 | 1.0E-5 | 6.978776E-4 | 5.74024E-4 | 5.940125E-4 | 1.0348217 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0069569005 | 0.0057258746 | 0.005755703 | 1.0052093 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.3379373E-5 | 1.1004212E-5 | 1.1004212E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7338908E-5 | 4.7160065E-5 | 5.7159592E-5 | 1.2120339 | 1.0E-5 | 6.978776E-4 | 5.74024E-4 | 5.940125E-4 | 1.0348217 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0069569005 | 0.0057258746 | 0.005755703 | 1.0052093 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.26563245E-5 | 1.0233601E-5 | 1.0233601E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4240263E-5 | 4.3857555E-5 | 5.385712E-5 | 1.2280009 | 1.0E-5 | 6.601751E-4 | 5.33836E-4 | 5.5382535E-4 | 1.0374447 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006582173 | 0.005325956 | 0.0053458493 | 1.0037352 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.26563245E-5 | 1.0233601E-5 | 1.0233601E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4240263E-5 | 4.3857555E-5 | 5.385712E-5 | 1.2280009 | 1.0E-5 | 6.601751E-4 | 5.33836E-4 | 5.5382535E-4 | 1.0374447 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006582173 | 0.005325956 | 0.0053458493 | 1.0037352 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2502474E-5 | 1.0069731E-5 | 1.0069731E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3580934E-5 | 4.315528E-5 | 5.3154847E-5 | 1.2317114 | 1.0E-5 | 6.521526E-4 | 5.252899E-4 | 5.452794E-4 | 1.0380542 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0065024206 | 0.0052409 | 0.005260795 | 1.0037961 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2454966E-5 | 1.0022011E-5 | 1.0022011E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3377335E-5 | 4.2950775E-5 | 5.2950345E-5 | 1.2328147 | 1.0E-5 | 6.4967526E-4 | 5.228013E-4 | 5.4279086E-4 | 1.0382354 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006477792 | 0.0052161305 | 0.005236026 | 1.0038142 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.2225574E-5 | 9.7958155E-6 | 9.7958155E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2394265E-5 | 4.1981395E-5 | 5.1980976E-5 | 1.2381908 | 1.0E-5 | 6.3771347E-4 | 5.1100465E-4 | 5.3099444E-4 | 1.0391185 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006358865 | 0.0050987103 | 0.005118608 | 1.0039026 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.182946E-5 | 9.402291E-6 | 9.402291E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.06967E-5 | 4.0294915E-5 | 5.029451E-5 | 1.2481602 | 1.0E-5 | 6.1705755E-4 | 4.904812E-4 | 5.1047135E-4 | 1.0407562 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006153469 | 0.004894396 | 0.004914298 | 1.0040663 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.14369095E-5 | 8.989222E-6 | 8.989222E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9014405E-5 | 3.8524675E-5 | 3.8524675E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9658696E-4 | 4.6893794E-4 | 4.7893325E-4 | 1.0213147 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005949879 | 0.0046798876 | 0.0046898406 | 1.0021268 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.0836419E-5 | 8.40253E-6 | 8.40253E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.644097E-5 | 3.6010348E-5 | 3.6010348E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.652721E-4 | 4.3833873E-4 | 4.4833432E-4 | 1.0228034 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0056383642 | 0.0043751365 | 0.0043850928 | 1.0022756 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.0403439E-5 | 8.023742E-6 | 8.023742E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4585406E-5 | 3.4387016E-5 | 3.4387016E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.426921E-4 | 4.185824E-4 | 4.2857823E-4 | 1.0238801 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005413687 | 0.004178333 | 0.0041882913 | 1.0023834 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.768864E-6 | 7.417278E-6 | 7.417278E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.186589E-5 | 3.1787953E-5 | 3.1787953E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.09598E-4 | 3.8695047E-4 | 3.9694662E-4 | 1.0258331 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0050843097 | 0.0038631568 | 0.0038731182 | 1.0025785 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 8.687089E-6 | 6.4527535E-6 | 6.4527535E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.722985E-5 | 2.7654369E-5 | 2.7654369E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5317915E-4 | 3.366408E-4 | 3.4663742E-4 | 1.0296953 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004522561 | 0.0033616936 | 0.00337166 | 1.0029647 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.3506063E-6 | 4.4326393E-6 | 4.4326393E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.72166E-5 | 1.8996889E-5 | 1.8996889E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3131172E-4 | 2.3126282E-4 | 2.4126051E-4 | 1.0432309 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003308182 | 0.0023105447 | 0.0023205217 | 1.004318 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.62223E-6 | 2.9351022E-6 | 2.9351022E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9809406E-5 | 1.2578949E-5 | 1.2578949E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4115283E-4 | 1.5313797E-4 | 1.6313643E-4 | 1.0652906 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024089129 | 0.0015306245 | 0.0015406092 | 1.0065233 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.2145008E-6 | 1.950957E-6 | 1.950957E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3776359E-5 | 8.361218E-6 | 8.361218E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6771426E-4 | 1.01793084E-4 | 1.1179207E-4 | 1.0982285 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016758774 | 0.0010177125 | 0.0010277024 | 1.0098159 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.0391769E-6 | 5.6078875E-7 | 5.6078875E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4536077E-6 | 2.4033782E-6 | 2.4033782E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4221324E-5 | 2.926074E-5 | 3.926045E-5 | 1.3417449 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4208096E-4 | 2.925693E-4 | 3.025664E-4 | 1.0341699 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.210983E-7 | 6.6173584E-8 | 6.6173584E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1899264E-7 | 2.8360105E-7 | 2.8360105E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3187167E-6 | 3.4528375E-6 | 3.4528375E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.318537E-5 | 3.4527857E-5 | 3.4527857E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Blue Cut
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.1227985E-5 | 2.2721695E-5 | 2.2721695E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.097391E-5 | 9.7375385E-5 | 9.7375385E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011070445 | 0.0011849586 | 0.0011949468 | 1.0084292 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011015458 | 0.011792246 | 0.011821893 | 1.002514 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1227985E-5 | 2.2721695E-5 | 2.2721695E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.097391E-5 | 9.7375385E-5 | 9.7375385E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011070445 | 0.0011849586 | 0.0011949468 | 1.0084292 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011015458 | 0.011792246 | 0.011821893 | 1.002514 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1227985E-5 | 2.2721695E-5 | 2.2721695E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.097391E-5 | 9.7375385E-5 | 9.7375385E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011070445 | 0.0011849586 | 0.0011949468 | 1.0084292 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011015458 | 0.011792246 | 0.011821893 | 1.002514 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1613981E-5 | 1.2354586E-5 | 1.2354586E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9773254E-5 | 5.294722E-5 | 5.294722E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0582085E-4 | 6.444542E-4 | 6.444542E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0060417196 | 0.006427101 | 0.0064370367 | 1.0015459 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1613981E-5 | 1.2354586E-5 | 1.2354586E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9773254E-5 | 5.294722E-5 | 5.294722E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0582085E-4 | 6.444542E-4 | 6.444542E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0060417196 | 0.006427101 | 0.0064370367 | 1.0015459 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 8.931326E-6 | 9.4823745E-6 | 9.4823745E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8276554E-5 | 4.0638166E-5 | 4.0638166E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6591737E-4 | 4.946665E-4 | 4.946665E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0046494175 | 0.004936564 | 0.0049465145 | 1.0020157 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.345353E-6 | 7.790905E-6 | 7.790905E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1479703E-5 | 3.338921E-5 | 3.338921E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.83198E-4 | 4.0644582E-4 | 4.0644582E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038253788 | 0.004057816 | 0.004057816 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 6.2775666E-6 | 6.65568E-6 | 6.65568E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.690358E-5 | 2.8524073E-5 | 2.8524073E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2750185E-4 | 3.4723277E-4 | 3.4723277E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032701963 | 0.0034676434 | 0.0034676434 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 5.5234095E-6 | 5.8555775E-6 | 5.8555775E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.367154E-5 | 2.5095133E-5 | 2.5095133E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8816288E-4 | 3.0549767E-4 | 3.0549767E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002877895 | 0.0030514933 | 0.0030514933 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 4.7780054E-6 | 5.0658246E-6 | 5.0658246E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0477004E-5 | 2.1710535E-5 | 2.1710535E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4927902E-4 | 2.6430076E-4 | 2.6430076E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024899957 | 0.0026405565 | 0.0026405565 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 3.883171E-6 | 4.118818E-6 | 4.118818E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6642054E-5 | 1.7651997E-5 | 1.7651997E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0259817E-4 | 2.1489876E-4 | 2.1489876E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020241356 | 0.0021475854 | 0.0021475854 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.8358215E-6 | 3.0099607E-6 | 3.0099607E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2153464E-5 | 1.28998045E-5 | 1.28998045E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4795837E-4 | 1.5705038E-4 | 1.5705038E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001478599 | 0.0015700393 | 0.0015700393 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Big Pine (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.916913E-6 | 1.2829758E-5 | 1.2829758E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.250036E-5 | 5.4983644E-5 | 5.4983644E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.173191E-4 | 6.6924235E-4 | 6.792357E-4 | 1.0149323 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051611643 | 0.0066769873 | 0.0067067873 | 1.0044631 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 9.916913E-6 | 1.2829758E-5 | 1.2829758E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.250036E-5 | 5.4983644E-5 | 5.4983644E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.173191E-4 | 6.6924235E-4 | 6.792357E-4 | 1.0149323 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051611643 | 0.0066769873 | 0.0067067873 | 1.0044631 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.916913E-6 | 1.2829758E-5 | 1.2829758E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.250036E-5 | 5.4983644E-5 | 5.4983644E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.173191E-4 | 6.6924235E-4 | 6.792357E-4 | 1.0149323 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051611643 | 0.0066769873 | 0.0067067873 | 1.0044631 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 5.479711E-6 | 8.12535E-6 | 8.12535E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3484265E-5 | 3.4822482E-5 | 3.4822482E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.858834E-4 | 4.2388443E-4 | 4.338802E-4 | 1.0235814 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028551589 | 0.004233611 | 0.004253526 | 1.0047041 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 5.465009E-6 | 8.109642E-6 | 8.109642E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3421257E-5 | 3.475516E-5 | 3.475516E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.851165E-4 | 4.2306515E-4 | 4.3306092E-4 | 1.023627 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028475097 | 0.004225449 | 0.0042453646 | 1.0047132 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.826767E-6 | 7.4346467E-6 | 7.4346467E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.068598E-5 | 3.1862397E-5 | 3.1862397E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.518227E-4 | 3.8785842E-4 | 3.8785842E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025153751 | 0.0038746248 | 0.003884586 | 1.0025709 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.3146847E-6 | 6.8945437E-6 | 6.8945437E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8491375E-5 | 2.9547722E-5 | 2.9547722E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2510924E-4 | 3.596866E-4 | 3.596866E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022488134 | 0.0035938218 | 0.0036037858 | 1.0027726 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.6968106E-6 | 6.0070283E-6 | 6.0070283E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5843378E-5 | 2.5744162E-5 | 2.5744162E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9287605E-4 | 3.1339162E-4 | 3.1339162E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019270873 | 0.0031321838 | 0.0031421524 | 1.0031826 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.4671132E-6 | 5.7134166E-6 | 5.7134166E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4858972E-5 | 2.448585E-5 | 2.448585E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8089297E-4 | 2.9807587E-4 | 2.9807587E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018074579 | 0.002979439 | 0.0029894093 | 1.0033463 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.7686972E-6 | 4.8355996E-6 | 4.8355996E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1865792E-5 | 2.0723839E-5 | 2.0723839E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4445644E-4 | 2.5228428E-4 | 2.5228428E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014436257 | 0.002522589 | 0.0025325639 | 1.0039542 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.1472624E-6 | 3.994466E-6 | 3.994466E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.20252E-6 | 1.7119031E-5 | 1.7119031E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.12034926E-4 | 2.084048E-4 | 2.084048E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011197845 | 0.00208468 | 0.00208468 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.7018335E-6 | 3.3534761E-6 | 3.3534761E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.293552E-6 | 1.43719635E-5 | 1.43719635E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.879537E-5 | 1.7496495E-4 | 1.7496495E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.87599E-4 | 0.0017508288 | 0.0017508288 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.25603E-6 | 2.8026116E-6 | 2.8026116E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3829745E-6 | 1.2011138E-5 | 1.2011138E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.553574E-5 | 1.4622603E-4 | 1.4622603E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.551642E-4 | 0.0014638278 | 0.0014638278 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.112297E-6 | 2.61801E-6 | 2.61801E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7669787E-6 | 1.1219996E-5 | 1.1219996E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.803642E-5 | 1.365951E-4 | 1.365951E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.802127E-4 | 0.0013674783 | 0.0013674783 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.0137181E-6 | 2.4908416E-6 | 2.4908416E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3444993E-6 | 1.0674992E-5 | 1.0674992E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2892992E-5 | 1.2996049E-4 | 1.2996049E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.288041E-4 | 0.0013009979 | 0.0013009979 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 9.598608E-7 | 2.4142819E-6 | 2.4142819E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1136827E-6 | 1.0346882E-5 | 1.0346882E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0082934E-5 | 1.2596622E-4 | 1.2596622E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.007165E-4 | 0.0012609098 | 0.0012609098 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 7.929459E-7 | 2.0511695E-6 | 2.0511695E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3983351E-6 | 8.790698E-6 | 8.790698E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1373947E-5 | 1.07021675E-4 | 1.07021675E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1366243E-4 | 0.001071673 | 0.001071673 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.155788E-7 | 1.1650304E-6 | 1.1650304E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7810507E-6 | 4.992978E-6 | 4.992978E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1684076E-5 | 6.0787854E-5 | 6.0787854E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1681961E-4 | 6.1081926E-4 | 6.1081926E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.14666925E-7 | 2.601985E-7 | 2.601985E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.914296E-7 | 1.115136E-6 | 1.115136E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9831386E-6 | 1.35767E-5 | 1.35767E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9829777E-5 | 1.3686229E-4 | 1.3686229E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.9231824E-8 | 4.1629917E-8 | 4.1629917E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2527924E-7 | 1.7841393E-7 | 1.7841393E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5252737E-6 | 2.1721876E-6 | 2.1721876E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5252632E-5 | 2.205403E-5 | 2.205403E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Bullion Mountains
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6420427E-5 | 1.4694275E-5 | 1.4694275E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.037136E-5 | 6.2974155E-5 | 6.2974155E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5643446E-4 | 7.6647906E-4 | 7.6647906E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008531413 | 0.007642149 | 0.0076719197 | 1.0038956 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6420427E-5 | 1.4694275E-5 | 1.4694275E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.037136E-5 | 6.2974155E-5 | 6.2974155E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5643446E-4 | 7.6647906E-4 | 7.6647906E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008531413 | 0.007642149 | 0.0076719197 | 1.0038956 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6420427E-5 | 1.4694275E-5 | 1.4694275E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.037136E-5 | 6.2974155E-5 | 6.2974155E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5643446E-4 | 7.6647906E-4 | 7.6647906E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008531413 | 0.007642149 | 0.0076719197 | 1.0038956 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.2046778E-5 | 9.863852E-6 | 9.863852E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1628023E-5 | 4.2273095E-5 | 4.2273095E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.283899E-4 | 5.145766E-4 | 5.145766E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0062661595 | 0.005136133 | 0.0051560304 | 1.003874 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2046778E-5 | 9.863852E-6 | 9.863852E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1628023E-5 | 4.2273095E-5 | 4.2273095E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.283899E-4 | 5.145766E-4 | 5.145766E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0062661595 | 0.005136133 | 0.0051560304 | 1.003874 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.0244343E-5 | 7.880712E-6 | 7.880712E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.390359E-5 | 3.377416E-5 | 3.377416E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.343951E-4 | 4.1114347E-4 | 4.1114347E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005331118 | 0.00410586 | 0.0041257776 | 1.0048511 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.605408E-6 | 7.178658E-6 | 7.178658E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1165385E-5 | 3.076543E-5 | 3.076543E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.010733E-4 | 3.7452506E-4 | 3.7452506E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00499945 | 0.0037409365 | 0.0037608617 | 1.0053263 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.60418E-6 | 6.1250234E-6 | 6.1250234E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.687454E-5 | 2.6249947E-5 | 2.6249947E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.48855E-4 | 3.1956573E-4 | 3.1956573E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004479495 | 0.0031929745 | 0.0032129106 | 1.0062437 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.187994E-6 | 2.5636934E-6 | 2.5636934E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.223407E-5 | 1.09872335E-5 | 1.09872335E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7066618E-4 | 1.3376535E-4 | 1.3376535E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027033675 | 0.0013372401 | 0.0013472268 | 1.0074681 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.5302368E-6 | 2.3447842E-6 | 2.3447842E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9415156E-5 | 1.0049059E-5 | 1.0049059E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3635388E-4 | 1.223444E-4 | 1.223444E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023610266 | 0.0012231596 | 0.0012231596 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 3.431668E-6 | 1.6886095E-6 | 1.6886095E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4707065E-5 | 7.2368975E-6 | 7.2368975E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7904381E-4 | 8.810923E-5 | 8.810923E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017889962 | 8.810923E-4 | 8.810923E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Clark) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.482615E-5 | 2.1246671E-5 | 2.1246671E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9209793E-4 | 9.105404E-5 | 9.105404E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023362834 | 0.0011080285 | 0.0011180174 | 1.0090151 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02311874 | 0.011546586 | 0.011576239 | 1.0025681 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.482615E-5 | 2.1246671E-5 | 2.1246671E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9209793E-4 | 9.105404E-5 | 9.105404E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023362834 | 0.0011080285 | 0.0011180174 | 1.0090151 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02311874 | 0.011546586 | 0.011576239 | 1.0025681 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.482615E-5 | 2.1246671E-5 | 2.1246671E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9209793E-4 | 9.105404E-5 | 9.105404E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023362834 | 0.0011080285 | 0.0011180174 | 1.0090151 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02311874 | 0.011546586 | 0.011576239 | 1.0025681 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.482615E-5 | 2.1246671E-5 | 2.1246671E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9209793E-4 | 9.105404E-5 | 9.105404E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023362834 | 0.0011080285 | 0.0011180174 | 1.0090151 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02311874 | 0.011546586 | 0.011576239 | 1.0025681 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.482615E-5 | 2.1246671E-5 | 2.1246671E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9209793E-4 | 9.105404E-5 | 9.105404E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023362834 | 0.0011080285 | 0.0011180174 | 1.0090151 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02311874 | 0.011546586 | 0.011576239 | 1.0025681 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.7294863E-5 | 1.7438351E-5 | 1.7438351E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5982533E-4 | 7.4733674E-5 | 7.4733674E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019441366 | 9.0950716E-4 | 9.194981E-4 | 1.010985 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01927216 | 0.00953424 | 0.009563954 | 1.0031166 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.7294863E-5 | 1.7438351E-5 | 1.7438351E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5982533E-4 | 7.4733674E-5 | 7.4733674E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019441366 | 9.0950716E-4 | 9.194981E-4 | 1.010985 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01927216 | 0.00953424 | 0.009563954 | 1.0031166 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.6039248E-5 | 1.6685028E-5 | 1.6685028E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5444479E-4 | 7.1505325E-5 | 7.1505325E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018787434 | 8.702338E-4 | 8.802251E-4 | 1.0114812 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01862939 | 0.009133039 | 0.009152857 | 1.0021698 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.5031844E-5 | 1.6312488E-5 | 1.6312488E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5012783E-4 | 6.990881E-5 | 6.990881E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018262739 | 8.5081154E-4 | 8.60803E-4 | 1.0117434 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01811338 | 0.008932659 | 0.008952481 | 1.002219 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.435112E-5 | 1.6142012E-5 | 1.6142012E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4721078E-4 | 6.917824E-5 | 6.917824E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017908178 | 8.419237E-4 | 8.519153E-4 | 1.0118675 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017764548 | 0.008841427 | 0.00886125 | 1.0022421 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.8959772E-5 | 1.4407165E-5 | 1.4407165E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.241074E-4 | 6.174354E-5 | 6.174354E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015099603 | 7.514712E-4 | 7.614637E-4 | 1.0132972 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014997416 | 0.007908755 | 0.007928597 | 1.0025089 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.6002877E-5 | 1.289322E-5 | 1.289322E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.11436144E-4 | 5.52555E-5 | 5.52555E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013558907 | 6.725302E-4 | 6.825235E-4 | 1.0148592 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013476475 | 0.0070856134 | 0.0071054716 | 1.0028026 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.2544838E-5 | 1.1321204E-5 | 1.1321204E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.661716E-5 | 4.851855E-5 | 4.851855E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001175679 | 5.905547E-4 | 6.005488E-4 | 1.0169232 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011694785 | 0.0062251934 | 0.0062450687 | 1.0031928 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.75334E-5 | 1.0867475E-5 | 1.0867475E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.514098E-5 | 4.6574067E-5 | 4.6574067E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.144575E-4 | 5.6689314E-4 | 5.7688745E-4 | 1.01763 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009107036 | 0.005963627 | 0.0059835077 | 1.0033337 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.5924552E-5 | 1.0666332E-5 | 1.0666332E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.82463E-5 | 4.5712055E-5 | 4.5712055E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.305819E-4 | 5.5640354E-4 | 5.6639797E-4 | 1.0179626 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008274844 | 0.00585024 | 0.0058701234 | 1.0033987 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.3428931E-5 | 9.903722E-6 | 9.903722E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7551293E-5 | 4.2443833E-5 | 4.2443833E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.004617E-4 | 5.166323E-4 | 5.2662706E-4 | 1.0193461 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006982579 | 0.00543419 | 0.005454081 | 1.0036604 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.0688787E-5 | 8.658597E-6 | 8.658597E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5808283E-5 | 3.7107748E-5 | 3.7107748E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5757316E-4 | 4.5169363E-4 | 4.5169363E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005561762 | 0.004764969 | 0.004774921 | 1.0020887 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 8.81236E-6 | 7.5103612E-6 | 7.5103612E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.776671E-5 | 3.2186865E-5 | 3.2186865E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.597127E-4 | 3.9180485E-4 | 3.9180485E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045876284 | 0.004157233 | 0.004167191 | 1.0023954 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 7.780431E-6 | 6.7365627E-6 | 6.7365627E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3344273E-5 | 2.8870665E-5 | 2.8870665E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0589093E-4 | 3.5144383E-4 | 3.5144383E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040515037 | 0.0037441854 | 0.003754148 | 1.0026608 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 6.5437994E-6 | 5.8176984E-6 | 5.8176984E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8044553E-5 | 2.4932755E-5 | 2.4932755E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4138895E-4 | 3.0351419E-4 | 3.0351419E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034086495 | 0.0032545142 | 0.0032644814 | 1.0030626 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 5.4488164E-6 | 4.846396E-6 | 4.846396E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3351862E-5 | 2.0770105E-5 | 2.0770105E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8427184E-4 | 2.5284683E-4 | 2.5284683E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028390845 | 0.0027286236 | 0.0027385964 | 1.0036548 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 2.8397242E-6 | 1.3799922E-6 | 1.3799922E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.217019E-5 | 5.9142394E-6 | 5.9142394E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4816198E-4 | 7.2003495E-5 | 7.2003495E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014806325 | 8.188152E-4 | 8.188152E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 2.030244E-6 | 6.391774E-7 | 6.391774E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.701017E-6 | 2.739329E-6 | 2.739329E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.05929736E-4 | 3.3350825E-5 | 3.3350825E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010587925 | 3.9912004E-4 | 3.9912004E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.0659804E-6 | 2.9605235E-7 | 2.9605235E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.568479E-6 | 1.2687951E-6 | 1.2687951E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5619817E-5 | 1.5447476E-5 | 1.5447476E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5605895E-4 | 1.8777263E-4 | 1.8777263E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cleghorn Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.0522846E-5 | 1.1041362E-5 | 1.1041362E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.509713E-5 | 4.731956E-5 | 4.731956E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4891926E-4 | 5.76016E-4 | 5.960045E-4 | 1.0347012 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0054756533 | 0.0057503963 | 0.0057802238 | 1.005187 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.0522846E-5 | 1.1041362E-5 | 1.1041362E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.509713E-5 | 4.731956E-5 | 4.731956E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4891926E-4 | 5.76016E-4 | 5.960045E-4 | 1.0347012 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0054756533 | 0.0057503963 | 0.0057802238 | 1.005187 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1045846E-6 | 2.2083466E-6 | 2.2083466E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.019617E-6 | 9.464332E-6 | 9.464332E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.098083E-4 | 1.1522634E-4 | 1.252252E-4 | 1.0867757 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010975406 | 0.0011520775 | 0.0011720544 | 1.01734 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.1045846E-6 | 2.2083466E-6 | 2.2083466E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.019617E-6 | 9.464332E-6 | 9.464332E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.098083E-4 | 1.1522634E-4 | 1.252252E-4 | 1.0867757 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010975406 | 0.0011520775 | 0.0011720544 | 1.01734 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.7259927E-6 | 1.8109952E-6 | 1.8109952E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3970905E-6 | 7.761408E-6 | 7.761408E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.005586E-5 | 9.4495146E-5 | 1.044942E-4 | 1.1058155 | 1.0E-5 | 9.001937E-4 | 9.4495143E-4 | 9.6493255E-4 | 1.0211451 | 2.0E-5 |
Coronado Bank alt1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.533492E-5 | 9.398167E-5 | 9.398167E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.22824E-4 | 4.0272065E-4 | 4.1271662E-4 | 1.0248212 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0039233007 | 0.0048927073 | 0.0049126097 | 1.0040677 | 2.0E-5 | 0.03854755 | 0.04791909 | 0.047947653 | 1.000596 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.1807285E-5 | 5.0506987E-5 | 5.0506987E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7916178E-4 | 2.1644114E-4 | 2.2643898E-4 | 1.0461919 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021791123 | 0.002632065 | 0.0026420385 | 1.0037893 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021578677 | 0.026018219 | 0.026027959 | 1.0003743 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.1807285E-5 | 5.0506987E-5 | 5.0506987E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7916178E-4 | 2.1644114E-4 | 2.2643898E-4 | 1.0461919 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021791123 | 0.002632065 | 0.0026420385 | 1.0037893 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021578677 | 0.026018219 | 0.026027959 | 1.0003743 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.1793104E-5 | 3.7720514E-5 | 3.7720514E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3624904E-4 | 1.6164953E-4 | 1.716479E-4 | 1.0618522 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016575698 | 0.0019663388 | 0.0019763191 | 1.0050756 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016452603 | 0.019493302 | 0.019503107 | 1.000503 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.9878007E-5 | 3.534444E-5 | 3.534444E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2804232E-4 | 1.5146757E-4 | 1.5146757E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015578003 | 0.0018425902 | 0.0018425902 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015469253 | 0.018276894 | 0.018276894 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 2.4512565E-5 | 2.8770806E-5 | 2.8770806E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0504962E-4 | 1.2329777E-4 | 1.2329777E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012782287 | 0.0015001433 | 0.0015001433 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012709012 | 0.014903136 | 0.014903136 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 2.1317413E-5 | 2.4912308E-5 | 2.4912308E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.135714E-5 | 1.0676279E-4 | 1.0676279E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011117056 | 0.001299084 | 0.001299084 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011061605 | 0.012917311 | 0.012917311 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.8585655E-5 | 2.1639658E-5 | 2.1639658E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9650374E-5 | 9.2738206E-5 | 9.2738206E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.6931186E-4 | 0.0011285234 | 0.0011285234 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0096509475 | 0.011230088 | 0.011230088 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.5862879E-5 | 1.8423476E-5 | 1.8423476E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.798199E-5 | 7.8955476E-5 | 7.8955476E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.273665E-4 | 9.608783E-4 | 9.608783E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008242928 | 0.009569219 | 0.009569219 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.3021509E-5 | 1.5098513E-5 | 1.5098513E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5805274E-5 | 6.4706415E-5 | 6.4706415E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.792174E-4 | 7.8753394E-4 | 7.8753394E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006771452 | 0.007849256 | 0.007849256 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.0974371E-5 | 1.2722846E-5 | 1.2722846E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7032172E-5 | 5.452544E-5 | 5.452544E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7246623E-4 | 6.636626E-4 | 6.636626E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057099373 | 0.006618557 | 0.006618557 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 8.766221E-6 | 1.0166037E-5 | 1.0166037E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7568978E-5 | 4.35681E-5 | 4.35681E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.573063E-4 | 5.3032977E-4 | 5.3032977E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045636636 | 0.005292342 | 0.005292342 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 8.026024E-7 | 8.332519E-7 | 8.332519E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.43972E-6 | 3.5710746E-6 | 3.5710746E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1877785E-5 | 4.3476975E-5 | 4.3476975E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1869894E-4 | 4.346858E-4 | 4.346858E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.7293114E-7 | 3.7003616E-7 | 3.7003616E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5982754E-6 | 1.5858683E-6 | 1.5858683E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9458828E-5 | 1.9307776E-5 | 1.9307776E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9457124E-4 | 1.9306105E-4 | 1.9306105E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.0557036E-7 | 1.9675649E-7 | 1.9675649E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.810155E-7 | 8.432418E-7 | 8.432418E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0726311E-5 | 1.0266421E-5 | 1.0266421E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0725793E-4 | 1.026595E-4 | 1.026595E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.845446E-8 | 6.2797916E-8 | 6.2797916E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9337625E-7 | 2.691339E-7 | 2.691339E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5718497E-6 | 3.2767005E-6 | 3.2767005E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5717923E-5 | 3.276653E-5 | 3.276653E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.0975145E-9 | 5.5320197E-9 | 5.5320197E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6132206E-8 | 2.3708655E-8 | 2.3708655E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1815955E-7 | 2.8865284E-7 | 2.8865284E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.181591E-6 | 2.8865256E-6 | 2.8865256E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Rosa Island
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.1143165E-5 | 4.7100202E-5 | 4.7100202E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7631594E-4 | 2.018435E-4 | 2.018435E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002144533 | 0.0024548718 | 0.0024548718 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021239553 | 0.024298187 | 0.024327459 | 1.0012046 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1061249E-5 | 2.3869197E-5 | 2.3869197E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0259375E-5 | 1.0229271E-4 | 1.0229271E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010983539 | 0.0012447312 | 0.0012447312 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01092941 | 0.012380634 | 0.0124102635 | 1.0023931 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1061249E-5 | 2.3869197E-5 | 2.3869197E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0259375E-5 | 1.0229271E-4 | 1.0229271E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010983539 | 0.0012447312 | 0.0012447312 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01092941 | 0.012380634 | 0.0124102635 | 1.0023931 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.5158236E-5 | 1.7077298E-5 | 1.7077298E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.496225E-5 | 7.3186435E-5 | 7.3186435E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.906284E-4 | 8.9069264E-4 | 8.9069264E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007878214 | 0.00887248 | 0.0089022145 | 1.0033512 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2341918E-5 | 1.3855181E-5 | 1.3855181E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2892858E-5 | 5.9378042E-5 | 5.9378042E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.437803E-4 | 7.22696E-4 | 7.22696E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006419184 | 0.007204295 | 0.007234079 | 1.0041342 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.061158E-6 | 1.0118608E-5 | 1.0118608E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.883296E-5 | 4.3364773E-5 | 4.3364773E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.726887E-4 | 5.2784354E-4 | 5.2784354E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004716845 | 0.005266436 | 0.005296278 | 1.0056665 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.5461685E-6 | 8.402008E-6 | 8.402008E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2340322E-5 | 3.6008132E-5 | 3.6008132E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.936723E-4 | 4.383151E-4 | 4.383151E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003929756 | 0.0043749358 | 0.0043948484 | 1.0045515 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 5.5023775E-6 | 6.08825E-6 | 6.08825E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3581404E-5 | 2.6092257E-5 | 2.6092257E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8706578E-4 | 3.1763018E-4 | 3.1763018E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028669522 | 0.0031720838 | 0.0031920203 | 1.006285 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.7351679E-6 | 4.083653E-6 | 4.083653E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6007763E-5 | 1.7501266E-5 | 1.7501266E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.948771E-4 | 2.1305958E-4 | 2.1305958E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019470629 | 0.0021287983 | 0.0021487558 | 1.009375 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.456366E-6 | 2.629519E-6 | 2.629519E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0527241E-5 | 1.1269319E-5 | 1.1269319E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2816161E-4 | 1.3719534E-4 | 1.3719534E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012808773 | 0.0013711094 | 0.0013810956 | 1.0072833 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.3245157E-6 | 2.4830051E-6 | 2.4830051E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.962172E-6 | 1.0641407E-5 | 1.0641407E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2128269E-4 | 1.2955145E-4 | 1.2955145E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012121652 | 0.0012947615 | 0.0013047486 | 1.0077134 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.2248344E-6 | 2.3734624E-6 | 2.3734624E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.53497E-6 | 1.0171942E-5 | 1.0171942E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1608207E-4 | 1.2383638E-4 | 1.2383638E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011602144 | 0.0012376757 | 0.0012476633 | 1.0080696 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.1350402E-6 | 2.2763559E-6 | 2.2763559E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.150141E-6 | 9.755775E-6 | 9.755775E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1139726E-4 | 1.187701E-4 | 1.187701E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011134144 | 0.0011870682 | 0.0011970563 | 1.0084141 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.9793572E-6 | 2.1089043E-6 | 2.1089043E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.482932E-6 | 9.03813E-6 | 9.03813E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.032748E-4 | 1.1003369E-4 | 1.1003369E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010322682 | 0.0010997939 | 0.0011097828 | 1.0090826 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.6951194E-6 | 1.8047302E-6 | 1.8047302E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.264777E-6 | 7.734535E-6 | 7.734535E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.844508E-5 | 9.4163915E-5 | 9.4163915E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.840988E-4 | 9.412418E-4 | 9.512324E-4 | 1.0106143 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 8.987207E-7 | 9.5129724E-7 | 9.5129724E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8516546E-6 | 4.076982E-6 | 4.076982E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6892885E-5 | 4.9636135E-5 | 4.9636135E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.688299E-4 | 4.962517E-4 | 4.962517E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.8783037E-7 | 4.0531916E-7 | 4.0531916E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6621291E-6 | 1.737081E-6 | 1.737081E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0236233E-5 | 2.1148762E-5 | 2.1148762E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.023439E-4 | 2.1146816E-4 | 2.1146816E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.181804E-8 | 6.3393614E-8 | 6.3393614E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6493444E-7 | 2.716869E-7 | 2.716869E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.225572E-6 | 3.3077831E-6 | 3.3077831E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.225525E-5 | 3.3077344E-5 | 3.3077344E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.3704449E-9 | 1.3964505E-9 | 1.3964505E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.873335E-9 | 5.9847878E-9 | 5.9847878E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1507856E-8 | 7.2864786E-8 | 7.2864786E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1507833E-7 | 7.286477E-7 | 7.286477E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Gabriel
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.083775E-5 | 1.2006666E-5 | 2.2006547E-5 | 1.8328607 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6446676E-5 | 5.145619E-5 | 6.145568E-5 | 1.1943301 | 1.0E-5 | 5.653415E-4 | 6.2631036E-4 | 6.363041E-4 | 1.0159565 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0056390543 | 0.00625733 | 0.0062871426 | 1.0047643 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.083775E-5 | 1.2006666E-5 | 2.2006547E-5 | 1.8328607 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6446676E-5 | 5.145619E-5 | 6.145568E-5 | 1.1943301 | 1.0E-5 | 5.653415E-4 | 6.2631036E-4 | 6.363041E-4 | 1.0159565 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0056390543 | 0.00625733 | 0.0062871426 | 1.0047643 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.083775E-5 | 1.2006666E-5 | 2.2006547E-5 | 1.8328607 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6446676E-5 | 5.145619E-5 | 6.145568E-5 | 1.1943301 | 1.0E-5 | 5.653415E-4 | 6.2631036E-4 | 6.363041E-4 | 1.0159565 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0056390543 | 0.00625733 | 0.0062871426 | 1.0047643 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.083775E-5 | 1.2006666E-5 | 2.2006547E-5 | 1.8328607 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6446676E-5 | 5.145619E-5 | 6.145568E-5 | 1.1943301 | 1.0E-5 | 5.653415E-4 | 6.2631036E-4 | 6.363041E-4 | 1.0159565 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0056390543 | 0.00625733 | 0.0062871426 | 1.0047643 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.083775E-5 | 1.2006666E-5 | 2.2006547E-5 | 1.8328607 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6446676E-5 | 5.145619E-5 | 6.145568E-5 | 1.1943301 | 1.0E-5 | 5.653415E-4 | 6.2631036E-4 | 6.363041E-4 | 1.0159565 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0056390543 | 0.00625733 | 0.0062871426 | 1.0047643 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.7317824E-6 | 7.738199E-6 | 7.738199E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8850178E-5 | 3.31633E-5 | 3.31633E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.511943E-4 | 4.036894E-4 | 4.036894E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003506398 | 0.0040404387 | 0.004060358 | 1.0049299 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.7317824E-6 | 7.738199E-6 | 7.738199E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8850178E-5 | 3.31633E-5 | 3.31633E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.511943E-4 | 4.036894E-4 | 4.036894E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003506398 | 0.0040404387 | 0.004060358 | 1.0049299 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.274881E-6 | 7.2671E-6 | 7.2671E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6892068E-5 | 3.1144347E-5 | 3.1144347E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2736175E-4 | 3.7911744E-4 | 3.7911744E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032687993 | 0.003795578 | 0.003815502 | 1.0052493 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.996209E-6 | 6.9798084E-6 | 6.9798084E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5697784E-5 | 2.9913128E-5 | 2.9913128E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.128256E-4 | 3.641324E-4 | 3.641324E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003123856 | 0.0036462264 | 0.0036661534 | 1.0054651 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.686331E-6 | 6.6447697E-6 | 6.6447697E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4369761E-5 | 2.847728E-5 | 2.847728E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9666146E-4 | 3.4665663E-4 | 3.4665663E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029626573 | 0.003472026 | 0.0034919565 | 1.0057403 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.2329838E-6 | 6.1685987E-6 | 6.1685987E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.242688E-5 | 2.6436588E-5 | 2.6436588E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7301308E-4 | 3.218187E-4 | 3.218187E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002726779 | 0.0032243812 | 0.003244317 | 1.0061828 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.135671E-6 | 6.0586685E-6 | 6.0586685E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2009834E-5 | 2.5965468E-5 | 2.5965468E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6793676E-4 | 3.1608448E-4 | 3.1608448E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026761394 | 0.0031672039 | 0.0031871407 | 1.0062947 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.989062E-6 | 5.891952E-6 | 5.891952E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1381518E-5 | 2.5250982E-5 | 2.5250982E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6028889E-4 | 3.0738808E-4 | 3.0738808E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025998424 | 0.003080484 | 0.0031004224 | 1.0064725 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.8219395E-6 | 5.723421E-6 | 5.723421E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0665291E-5 | 2.4528721E-5 | 2.4528721E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5157086E-4 | 2.98597E-4 | 2.98597E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025128627 | 0.0029928132 | 0.0030127533 | 1.0066627 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.7118383E-6 | 5.6119034E-6 | 5.6119034E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0193436E-5 | 2.4050798E-5 | 2.4050798E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4582737E-4 | 2.9277988E-4 | 2.9277988E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002455556 | 0.0029347949 | 0.0029447654 | 1.0033973 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.5506545E-6 | 5.457166E-6 | 5.457166E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9502659E-5 | 2.3387649E-5 | 2.3387649E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.37419E-4 | 2.847082E-4 | 2.847082E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002371655 | 0.002854287 | 0.0028642584 | 1.0034935 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 4.343636E-6 | 5.24987E-6 | 5.24987E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.861545E-5 | 2.2499253E-5 | 2.2499253E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2661954E-4 | 2.7389472E-4 | 2.7389472E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022638857 | 0.0027464153 | 0.002756388 | 1.0036311 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.936235E-6 | 2.7577237E-6 | 2.7577237E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2583803E-5 | 1.1818762E-5 | 1.1818762E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5319703E-4 | 1.4388395E-4 | 1.4388395E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015309147 | 0.0014452338 | 0.0014552193 | 1.0069093 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.4541639E-6 | 9.178343E-7 | 9.178343E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.232116E-6 | 3.9335696E-6 | 3.9335696E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.587337E-5 | 4.789016E-5 | 4.789016E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.584747E-4 | 4.8375287E-4 | 4.9374806E-4 | 1.0206617 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 8.098958E-7 | 2.4382712E-7 | 2.4382712E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4709774E-6 | 1.0449729E-6 | 1.0449729E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.225833E-5 | 1.2722471E-5 | 1.2722471E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2250296E-4 | 1.3033609E-4 | 1.403348E-4 | 1.0767148 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 5.2473234E-7 | 7.7735336E-8 | 7.7735336E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.248851E-6 | 3.331514E-7 | 3.331514E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7379416E-5 | 4.056111E-6 | 4.056111E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7376044E-4 | 4.2707976E-5 | 4.2707976E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 3.3162388E-7 | 4.201926E-8 | 4.201926E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4212444E-6 | 1.8008252E-7 | 1.8008252E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7303513E-5 | 2.1925025E-6 | 2.1925025E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7302166E-4 | 2.3252913E-5 | 2.3252913E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.0235345E-7 | 1.4207602E-8 | 1.4207602E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3865757E-7 | 6.0889725E-8 | 6.0889725E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.340643E-6 | 7.4133214E-7 | 7.4133214E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3405143E-5 | 8.019836E-6 | 8.019836E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 09 (Laguna Seca)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.4353277E-5 | 7.053002E-5 | 7.053002E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3292181E-4 | 3.0223365E-4 | 3.0223365E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028321352 | 0.0036735102 | 0.0036834734 | 1.0027122 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02796312 | 0.03613016 | 0.03614944 | 1.0005336 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.5578287E-5 | 5.824421E-5 | 5.824421E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.953209E-4 | 2.4959247E-4 | 2.4959247E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023754383 | 0.0030345584 | 0.0030345584 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.023502063 | 0.029931422 | 0.029941123 | 1.0003241 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.8536782E-5 | 3.4748744E-5 | 3.4748744E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2229476E-4 | 1.4891455E-4 | 1.4891455E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014879217 | 0.0018115037 | 0.0018115037 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014779986 | 0.017964557 | 0.017964557 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 2.3698774E-5 | 2.8222947E-5 | 2.8222947E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.01562226E-4 | 1.2094961E-4 | 1.2094961E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012358186 | 0.001471551 | 0.001471551 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012289686 | 0.014616336 | 0.014616336 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.9191197E-5 | 2.2129932E-5 | 2.2129932E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2245395E-5 | 9.483876E-5 | 9.483876E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010008777 | 0.0011540529 | 0.0011540529 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009963818 | 0.011480577 | 0.011480577 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.5203241E-5 | 1.6805954E-5 | 1.6805954E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5155116E-5 | 7.202371E-5 | 7.202371E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9297484E-4 | 8.765475E-4 | 8.765475E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007901512 | 0.008732009 | 0.008732009 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.0984925E-5 | 1.1245041E-5 | 1.1245041E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.70774E-5 | 4.8192163E-5 | 4.8192163E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.730166E-4 | 5.865855E-4 | 5.865855E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005715413 | 0.0058507626 | 0.0058507626 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 9.134616E-6 | 9.021757E-6 | 9.021757E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9147766E-5 | 3.866411E-5 | 3.866411E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7651984E-4 | 4.7063627E-4 | 4.7063627E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004754993 | 0.0046966407 | 0.0046966407 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 7.785589E-6 | 7.453469E-6 | 7.453469E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3366385E-5 | 3.194306E-5 | 3.194306E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0616E-4 | 3.8883937E-4 | 3.8883937E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040541845 | 0.0038817942 | 0.0038817942 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 5.579095E-6 | 4.8994843E-6 | 4.8994843E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3910188E-5 | 2.099763E-5 | 2.099763E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9106764E-4 | 2.5561752E-4 | 2.5561752E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002906867 | 0.0025533724 | 0.0025533724 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.6816688E-6 | 1.5218624E-6 | 1.5218624E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1492816E-5 | 6.522251E-6 | 6.522251E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3991605E-4 | 7.94056E-5 | 7.94056E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013982799 | 7.937811E-4 | 7.937811E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.9951021E-6 | 7.454978E-7 | 7.454978E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.55041E-6 | 3.194987E-6 | 3.194987E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0409627E-4 | 3.8898314E-5 | 3.8898314E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010404752 | 3.8891917E-4 | 3.8891917E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.9951021E-6 | 7.454978E-7 | 7.454978E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.55041E-6 | 3.194987E-6 | 3.194987E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0409627E-4 | 3.8898314E-5 | 3.8898314E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010404752 | 3.8891917E-4 | 3.8891917E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.7087556E-6 | 6.5798605E-7 | 6.5798605E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3232177E-6 | 2.8199372E-6 | 2.8199372E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.915652E-5 | 3.4332235E-5 | 3.4332235E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9120766E-4 | 3.4327336E-4 | 3.4327336E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.3804846E-6 | 6.0747107E-7 | 6.0747107E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.916349E-6 | 2.6034452E-6 | 2.6034452E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2029165E-5 | 3.1696523E-5 | 3.1696523E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.200583E-4 | 3.1692404E-4 | 3.1692404E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3804846E-6 | 6.0747107E-7 | 6.0747107E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.916349E-6 | 2.6034452E-6 | 2.6034452E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2029165E-5 | 3.1696523E-5 | 3.1696523E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.200583E-4 | 3.1692404E-4 | 3.1692404E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Borrego)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.543992E-5 | 2.8002782E-5 | 2.8002782E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5187653E-4 | 1.2000647E-4 | 1.2000647E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018475284 | 0.0014601118 | 0.0014601118 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.018322436 | 0.014908044 | 0.014927745 | 1.0013216 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.542281E-5 | 2.8002782E-5 | 2.8002782E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5180321E-4 | 1.2000647E-4 | 1.2000647E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018466372 | 0.0014601118 | 0.0014601118 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.018313672 | 0.014908044 | 0.014927745 | 1.0013216 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.4688688E-5 | 2.8002782E-5 | 2.8002782E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4865733E-4 | 1.2000647E-4 | 1.2000647E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018084005 | 0.0014601118 | 0.0014601118 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017937548 | 0.014908043 | 0.014927745 | 1.0013216 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.2087122E-5 | 2.7848082E-5 | 2.7848082E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3750899E-4 | 1.1934353E-4 | 1.1934353E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016728862 | 0.0014520513 | 0.0014520513 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016603488 | 0.014829179 | 0.014848882 | 1.0013287 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.1828724E-5 | 2.7815058E-5 | 2.7815058E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.364017E-4 | 1.1920202E-4 | 1.1920202E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016594254 | 0.0014503307 | 0.0014503307 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016470885 | 0.014811955 | 0.014831659 | 1.0013303 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.1563577E-5 | 2.7554604E-5 | 2.7554604E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3526545E-4 | 1.1808588E-4 | 1.1808588E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016456128 | 0.0014367597 | 0.0014367597 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0163348 | 0.014679319 | 0.014699026 | 1.0013424 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.1467625E-5 | 2.739876E-5 | 2.739876E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3485427E-4 | 1.1741804E-4 | 1.1741804E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016406142 | 0.0014286394 | 0.0014286394 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016285548 | 0.01459965 | 0.014619359 | 1.0013499 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.1223695E-5 | 2.7016658E-5 | 2.7016658E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3380898E-4 | 1.1578061E-4 | 1.1578061E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016279068 | 0.0014087296 | 0.0014087296 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01616033 | 0.0144039625 | 0.014423675 | 1.0013685 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.1015585E-5 | 2.683753E-5 | 2.683753E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3291716E-4 | 1.1501298E-4 | 1.1501298E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001617065 | 0.0013993958 | 0.0013993958 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016053487 | 0.0143112065 | 0.014330921 | 1.0013775 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.6641965E-5 | 2.2255139E-5 | 2.2255139E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1417485E-4 | 9.5375704E-5 | 9.5375704E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013891924 | 0.0011605845 | 0.0011605845 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0138054015 | 0.011919701 | 0.011939462 | 1.0016578 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.3854353E-5 | 2.0547433E-5 | 2.0547433E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.02228936E-4 | 8.805747E-5 | 8.805747E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012439266 | 0.001071575 | 0.001071575 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012369866 | 0.011018697 | 0.011038477 | 1.001795 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.3672901E-5 | 2.038385E-5 | 2.038385E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0145135E-4 | 8.735644E-5 | 8.735644E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012344702 | 0.0010630484 | 0.0010630484 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0122763505 | 0.010933818 | 0.0109536 | 1.0018092 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.2717244E-5 | 1.961066E-5 | 1.961066E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.735599E-5 | 8.404299E-5 | 8.404299E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011846646 | 0.0010227455 | 0.0010227455 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01178369 | 0.010530888 | 0.010550678 | 1.0018792 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.1016205E-5 | 1.8451366E-5 | 1.8451366E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.006634E-5 | 7.90749E-5 | 7.90749E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001096006 | 9.623138E-4 | 9.623138E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010906163 | 0.00992611 | 0.00994591 | 1.0019948 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.0683625E-5 | 1.8253697E-5 | 1.8253697E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.86411E-5 | 7.822779E-5 | 7.822779E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001078671 | 9.520093E-4 | 9.520093E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010734501 | 0.009822735 | 0.009842537 | 1.0020161 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.9993966E-5 | 1.7848162E-5 | 1.7848162E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.568561E-5 | 7.6489894E-5 | 7.6489894E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001042723 | 9.308686E-4 | 9.308686E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010378438 | 0.009609367 | 0.009629174 | 1.0020612 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.788966E-5 | 1.6499747E-5 | 1.6499747E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.666772E-5 | 7.071129E-5 | 7.071129E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3302975E-4 | 8.6057174E-4 | 8.6057174E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00929122 | 0.008900505 | 0.008920327 | 1.0022271 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.5125781E-5 | 1.4299691E-5 | 1.4299691E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4823165E-5 | 6.128295E-5 | 6.128295E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.889362E-4 | 7.458654E-4 | 7.458654E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007861412 | 0.0077471714 | 0.0077670165 | 1.0025616 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.250089E-5 | 1.2690582E-5 | 1.2690582E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3574146E-5 | 5.4387077E-5 | 5.4387077E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5207E-4 | 6.619621E-4 | 6.619621E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006501599 | 0.0068997485 | 0.0069196103 | 1.0028787 | 2.0E-5 |
7.9 | 9.561E-6 | 9.808038E-6 | 9.808038E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0975072E-5 | 4.203378E-5 | 4.203378E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.987573E-4 | 5.116416E-4 | 5.116416E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0049763937 | 0.0053807474 | 0.00540064 | 1.0036969 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 8.01699E-6 | 8.342167E-6 | 8.342167E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4358076E-5 | 3.575166E-5 | 3.575166E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1822926E-4 | 4.3519004E-4 | 4.3519004E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041744304 | 0.004599254 | 0.004619162 | 1.0043285 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 6.541947E-6 | 6.502241E-6 | 6.502241E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8036617E-5 | 2.7866452E-5 | 2.7866452E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4129233E-4 | 3.3922176E-4 | 3.3922176E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034076865 | 0.0036020882 | 0.0036020882 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.7968189E-6 | 8.043326E-7 | 8.043326E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.70063E-6 | 3.4471354E-6 | 3.4471354E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3751136E-5 | 4.1968087E-5 | 4.1968087E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.371159E-4 | 4.7525397E-4 | 4.7525397E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.5167889E-7 | 4.948769E-8 | 4.948769E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.500522E-7 | 2.1209007E-7 | 2.1209007E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9143565E-6 | 2.5821942E-6 | 2.5821942E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.914075E-5 | 2.9989365E-5 | 2.9989365E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Ventura-Pitas Point
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.3742785E-5 | 3.3742785E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4460536E-4 | 1.4460536E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017594054 | 0.0017793701 | 1.0113475 | 2.0E-5 | 0.017163932 | 0.017480224 | 0.017499875 | 1.0011241 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.3742785E-5 | 3.3742785E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4460536E-4 | 1.4460536E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017594054 | 0.0017793701 | 1.0113475 | 2.0E-5 | 0.017163932 | 0.017480224 | 0.017499875 | 1.0011241 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.3742785E-5 | 3.3742785E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4460536E-4 | 1.4460536E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017594054 | 0.0017793701 | 1.0113475 | 2.0E-5 | 0.017163932 | 0.017480224 | 0.017499875 | 1.0011241 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.3742785E-5 | 3.3742785E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4460536E-4 | 1.4460536E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017594054 | 0.0017793701 | 1.0113475 | 2.0E-5 | 0.017163932 | 0.017480224 | 0.017499875 | 1.0011241 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.8754668E-5 | 1.7023658E-5 | 1.7023658E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.037467E-5 | 7.295663E-5 | 7.295663E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.781223E-4 | 8.879081E-4 | 8.879081E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009738282 | 0.008845867 | 0.008845867 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.8754668E-5 | 1.7023658E-5 | 1.7023658E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.037467E-5 | 7.295663E-5 | 7.295663E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.781223E-4 | 8.879081E-4 | 8.879081E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009738282 | 0.008845867 | 0.008845867 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.4361558E-5 | 1.2125577E-5 | 1.2125577E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.154808E-5 | 5.1965737E-5 | 5.1965737E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.490902E-4 | 6.325015E-4 | 6.325015E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0074657016 | 0.006307194 | 0.006307194 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.4361558E-5 | 1.2125577E-5 | 1.2125577E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.154808E-5 | 5.1965737E-5 | 5.1965737E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.490902E-4 | 6.325015E-4 | 6.325015E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0074657016 | 0.006307194 | 0.006307194 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.3663846E-5 | 1.1347602E-5 | 1.1347602E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8558027E-5 | 4.8631682E-5 | 4.8631682E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.127108E-4 | 5.919318E-4 | 5.919318E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007104293 | 0.005903692 | 0.005903692 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.3644157E-5 | 1.1325699E-5 | 1.1325699E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8473648E-5 | 4.853782E-5 | 4.853782E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.116841E-4 | 5.9078966E-4 | 5.9078966E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007094092 | 0.005892331 | 0.005892331 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.3568845E-5 | 1.1245251E-5 | 1.1245251E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8150898E-5 | 4.819305E-5 | 4.819305E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.077572E-4 | 5.865944E-4 | 5.865944E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007055073 | 0.0058505996 | 0.0058505996 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.306572E-5 | 1.0723612E-5 | 1.0723612E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.599474E-5 | 4.595754E-5 | 4.595754E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.815227E-4 | 5.593912E-4 | 5.593912E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0067943637 | 0.0055799605 | 0.0055799605 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.232604E-5 | 9.998047E-6 | 9.998047E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2824813E-5 | 4.2848078E-5 | 4.2848078E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.429523E-4 | 5.215522E-4 | 5.215522E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0064109527 | 0.0052033984 | 0.0052033984 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.0917261E-5 | 8.845144E-6 | 8.845144E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.678742E-5 | 3.790722E-5 | 3.790722E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.69488E-4 | 4.614242E-4 | 4.614242E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0056803077 | 0.0046047512 | 0.0046047512 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.039959E-5 | 8.424779E-6 | 8.424779E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.456891E-5 | 3.6105703E-5 | 3.6105703E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.424914E-4 | 4.394998E-4 | 4.394998E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0054116896 | 0.004386392 | 0.004386392 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 9.015877E-6 | 7.2984794E-6 | 7.2984794E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.86389E-5 | 3.1278832E-5 | 3.1278832E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7032707E-4 | 3.8075465E-4 | 3.8075465E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004693329 | 0.003801091 | 0.003801091 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.900162E-6 | 3.874505E-6 | 3.874505E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1000526E-5 | 1.6604916E-5 | 1.6604916E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.556514E-4 | 2.0214623E-4 | 2.0214623E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025535747 | 0.0020196373 | 0.0020196373 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 3.8850626E-6 | 3.1270404E-6 | 3.1270404E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6650163E-5 | 1.3401534E-5 | 1.3401534E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0269687E-4 | 1.6315155E-4 | 1.6315155E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002025121 | 0.001630327 | 0.001630327 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.4654719E-6 | 2.030069E-6 | 2.030069E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0566265E-5 | 8.700267E-6 | 8.700267E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2863669E-4 | 1.0592065E-4 | 1.0592065E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012856225 | 0.0010587063 | 0.0010587063 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 4.095894E-7 | 3.2768247E-7 | 3.2768247E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7553821E-6 | 1.4043527E-6 | 1.4043527E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1371567E-5 | 1.7097864E-5 | 1.7097864E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1369511E-4 | 1.7096578E-4 | 1.7096578E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 7.791402E-9 | 5.6840577E-9 | 5.6840577E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3391725E-8 | 2.4360249E-8 | 2.4360249E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0654416E-7 | 2.96586E-7 | 2.96586E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.065434E-6 | 2.9658581E-6 | 2.9658581E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
North Frontal (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.135738E-6 | 7.4776517E-6 | 7.4776517E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0581377E-5 | 3.20468E-5 | 3.20468E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7226462E-4 | 3.9011985E-4 | 3.9011985E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037164164 | 0.003896308 | 0.00391623 | 1.005113 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 7.135738E-6 | 7.4776517E-6 | 7.4776517E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0581377E-5 | 3.20468E-5 | 3.20468E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7226462E-4 | 3.9011985E-4 | 3.9011985E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037164164 | 0.003896308 | 0.00391623 | 1.005113 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 7.135738E-6 | 7.4776517E-6 | 7.4776517E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0581377E-5 | 3.20468E-5 | 3.20468E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7226462E-4 | 3.9011985E-4 | 3.9011985E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037164164 | 0.003896308 | 0.00391623 | 1.005113 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 7.135738E-6 | 7.4776517E-6 | 7.4776517E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0581377E-5 | 3.20468E-5 | 3.20468E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7226462E-4 | 3.9011985E-4 | 3.9011985E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037164164 | 0.003896308 | 0.00391623 | 1.005113 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.135738E-6 | 7.4776517E-6 | 7.4776517E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0581377E-5 | 3.20468E-5 | 3.20468E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7226462E-4 | 3.9011985E-4 | 3.9011985E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037164164 | 0.003896308 | 0.00391623 | 1.005113 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 7.135738E-6 | 7.4776517E-6 | 7.4776517E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0581377E-5 | 3.20468E-5 | 3.20468E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7226462E-4 | 3.9011985E-4 | 3.9011985E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037164164 | 0.003896308 | 0.00391623 | 1.005113 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.135738E-6 | 7.4776517E-6 | 7.4776517E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0581377E-5 | 3.20468E-5 | 3.20468E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7226462E-4 | 3.9011985E-4 | 3.9011985E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037164164 | 0.003896308 | 0.00391623 | 1.005113 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.135738E-6 | 7.4776517E-6 | 7.4776517E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0581377E-5 | 3.20468E-5 | 3.20468E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7226462E-4 | 3.9011985E-4 | 3.9011985E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037164164 | 0.003896308 | 0.00391623 | 1.005113 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.959142E-6 | 6.2370686E-6 | 6.2370686E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.553893E-5 | 2.6730122E-5 | 2.6730122E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.108921E-4 | 3.254087E-4 | 3.254087E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031045752 | 0.0032510955 | 0.0032710305 | 1.0061318 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.2946929E-6 | 2.3825814E-6 | 2.3825814E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.834361E-6 | 1.0211026E-5 | 1.0211026E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1972676E-4 | 1.2431263E-4 | 1.2431263E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011966228 | 0.0012424773 | 0.001252465 | 1.0080384 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.2468673E-6 | 2.3322714E-6 | 2.3322714E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.629396E-6 | 9.995413E-6 | 9.995413E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1723159E-4 | 1.2168782E-4 | 1.2168782E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011716976 | 0.0012162583 | 0.0012262461 | 1.008212 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.9921076E-6 | 2.064703E-6 | 2.064703E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.537577E-6 | 8.8486995E-6 | 8.8486995E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0394004E-4 | 1.07728025E-4 | 1.07728025E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010389143 | 0.0010768007 | 0.00108679 | 1.0092767 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.4524545E-6 | 1.5045864E-6 | 1.5045864E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2247905E-6 | 6.448213E-6 | 6.448213E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5784184E-5 | 7.850441E-5 | 7.850441E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.575835E-4 | 7.8479125E-4 | 7.947834E-4 | 1.0127323 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 8.9802575E-7 | 9.3091796E-7 | 9.3091796E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.848676E-6 | 3.989643E-6 | 3.989643E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.685662E-5 | 4.8572936E-5 | 4.8572936E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6846745E-4 | 4.856345E-4 | 4.956296E-4 | 1.0205816 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.776139E-7 | 8.060866E-7 | 8.060866E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3326266E-6 | 3.4546529E-6 | 3.4546529E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0573974E-5 | 4.2059695E-5 | 4.2059695E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0566566E-4 | 4.2052811E-4 | 4.305239E-4 | 1.0237696 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.244417E-7 | 5.4414903E-7 | 5.4414903E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2476054E-6 | 2.3320654E-6 | 2.3320654E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7364253E-5 | 2.8392593E-5 | 2.8392593E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7360884E-4 | 2.8389617E-4 | 2.9389333E-4 | 1.0352142 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.5489647E-7 | 1.6090331E-7 | 1.6090331E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6384183E-7 | 6.8958553E-7 | 6.8958553E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.082245E-6 | 8.395692E-6 | 8.395692E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.08195E-5 | 8.395574E-5 | 8.395574E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cucamonga
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1848348E-5 | 1.1743851E-5 | 1.1743851E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0777642E-5 | 5.0329836E-5 | 5.0329836E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.180424E-4 | 6.1259617E-4 | 6.225901E-4 | 1.0163139 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0061632637 | 0.006110227 | 0.006130105 | 1.0032532 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.1848348E-5 | 1.1743851E-5 | 1.1743851E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0777642E-5 | 5.0329836E-5 | 5.0329836E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.180424E-4 | 6.1259617E-4 | 6.225901E-4 | 1.0163139 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0061632637 | 0.006110227 | 0.006130105 | 1.0032532 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.1848348E-5 | 1.1743851E-5 | 1.1743851E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0777642E-5 | 5.0329836E-5 | 5.0329836E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.180424E-4 | 6.1259617E-4 | 6.225901E-4 | 1.0163139 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0061632637 | 0.006110227 | 0.006130105 | 1.0032532 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1848348E-5 | 1.1743851E-5 | 1.1743851E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0777642E-5 | 5.0329836E-5 | 5.0329836E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.180424E-4 | 6.1259617E-4 | 6.225901E-4 | 1.0163139 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0061632637 | 0.006110227 | 0.006130105 | 1.0032532 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1848348E-5 | 1.1743851E-5 | 1.1743851E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0777642E-5 | 5.0329836E-5 | 5.0329836E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.180424E-4 | 6.1259617E-4 | 6.225901E-4 | 1.0163139 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0061632637 | 0.006110227 | 0.006130105 | 1.0032532 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.16988695E-5 | 1.1582866E-5 | 1.1582866E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.013705E-5 | 4.9639923E-5 | 4.9639923E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.102476E-4 | 6.0420117E-4 | 6.1419513E-4 | 1.0165408 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006085745 | 0.006026733 | 0.0060466127 | 1.0032985 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.16988695E-5 | 1.1582866E-5 | 1.1582866E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.013705E-5 | 4.9639923E-5 | 4.9639923E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.102476E-4 | 6.0420117E-4 | 6.1419513E-4 | 1.0165408 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006085745 | 0.006026733 | 0.0060466127 | 1.0032985 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.1397107E-5 | 1.1121596E-5 | 1.1121596E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.884383E-5 | 4.7663125E-5 | 4.7663125E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9451134E-4 | 5.8014656E-4 | 5.9014076E-4 | 1.017227 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005929234 | 0.005787448 | 0.0057973904 | 1.0017179 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.058387E-5 | 9.790807E-6 | 9.790807E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5358654E-5 | 4.195993E-5 | 4.195993E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.521017E-4 | 5.107435E-4 | 5.207384E-4 | 1.0195693 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00550732 | 0.005096683 | 0.0051066317 | 1.001952 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.690046E-6 | 8.584756E-6 | 8.584756E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1528107E-5 | 3.6791294E-5 | 3.6791294E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.054874E-4 | 4.4784235E-4 | 4.578379E-4 | 1.0223193 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005043391 | 0.0044703125 | 0.004480268 | 1.002227 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 9.381461E-6 | 8.1922335E-6 | 8.1922335E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.020564E-5 | 3.5109104E-5 | 3.5109104E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.893937E-4 | 4.2736984E-4 | 4.3736558E-4 | 1.023389 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0048831734 | 0.004266392 | 0.0042763497 | 1.0023339 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.946492E-6 | 7.786917E-6 | 7.786917E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8341543E-5 | 3.3372075E-5 | 3.3372075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.667083E-4 | 4.0622958E-4 | 4.1622552E-4 | 1.0246066 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0046572937 | 0.004055785 | 0.0040657446 | 1.0024556 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 8.251016E-6 | 6.9799644E-6 | 6.9799644E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5361016E-5 | 2.991379E-5 | 2.991379E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3043532E-4 | 3.6413976E-4 | 3.7413614E-4 | 1.027452 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042960253 | 0.0036363413 | 0.0036463048 | 1.00274 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.717881E-6 | 6.4908845E-6 | 6.4908845E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3076216E-5 | 2.7817781E-5 | 2.7817781E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.026285E-4 | 3.3862906E-4 | 3.4862568E-4 | 1.0295209 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004018998 | 0.003382039 | 0.0033920053 | 1.0029469 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.275623E-6 | 6.0363427E-6 | 6.0363427E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.118087E-5 | 2.5869784E-5 | 2.5869784E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7956095E-4 | 3.149193E-4 | 3.2491615E-4 | 1.0317441 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037891332 | 0.0031456384 | 0.0031556068 | 1.0031691 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.5109502E-6 | 5.1044476E-6 | 5.1044476E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7903774E-5 | 2.187602E-5 | 2.187602E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3967546E-4 | 2.6630814E-4 | 2.7630548E-4 | 1.0375404 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033915674 | 0.0026607842 | 0.0026707575 | 1.0037483 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 5.4495326E-6 | 3.9119664E-6 | 3.9119664E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.335493E-5 | 1.6765462E-5 | 1.6765462E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8430918E-4 | 2.0410045E-4 | 2.140984E-4 | 1.0489855 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028394572 | 0.0020400186 | 0.0020499981 | 1.0048919 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.7997164E-6 | 3.2033033E-6 | 3.2033033E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.057005E-5 | 1.37283705E-5 | 1.37283705E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.504116E-4 | 1.6713013E-4 | 1.7712846E-4 | 1.0598236 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002501296 | 0.0016709435 | 0.0016809268 | 1.0059747 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.3941733E-6 | 2.06591E-6 | 2.06591E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4546376E-5 | 8.853869E-6 | 8.853869E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7708774E-4 | 1.0779055E-4 | 1.1778947E-4 | 1.0927625 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017694668 | 0.0010777035 | 0.0010876928 | 1.009269 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 9.750552E-7 | 5.1611164E-7 | 5.1611164E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.178801E-6 | 2.2119052E-6 | 2.2119052E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0875715E-5 | 2.6929616E-5 | 3.692935E-5 | 1.3713284 | 1.0E-5 | 5.086407E-4 | 2.6926392E-4 | 2.7926124E-4 | 1.0371283 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.133857E-7 | 6.0571885E-8 | 6.0571885E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8593864E-7 | 2.5959378E-7 | 2.5959378E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9162867E-6 | 3.1605498E-6 | 3.1605498E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.916129E-5 | 3.1605065E-5 | 3.1605065E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Round Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.588152E-5 | 1.3673229E-5 | 1.3673229E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.806188E-5 | 5.859846E-5 | 5.859846E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.283384E-4 | 7.132421E-4 | 7.132421E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008252576 | 0.007113418 | 0.0071332757 | 1.0027916 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.588152E-5 | 1.3673229E-5 | 1.3673229E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.806188E-5 | 5.859846E-5 | 5.859846E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.283384E-4 | 7.132421E-4 | 7.132421E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008252576 | 0.007113418 | 0.0071332757 | 1.0027916 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.588152E-5 | 1.3673229E-5 | 1.3673229E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.806188E-5 | 5.859846E-5 | 5.859846E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.283384E-4 | 7.132421E-4 | 7.132421E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008252576 | 0.007113418 | 0.0071332757 | 1.0027916 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.588152E-5 | 1.3673229E-5 | 1.3673229E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.806188E-5 | 5.859846E-5 | 5.859846E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.283384E-4 | 7.132421E-4 | 7.132421E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008252576 | 0.007113418 | 0.0071332757 | 1.0027916 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.588152E-5 | 1.3673229E-5 | 1.3673229E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.806188E-5 | 5.859846E-5 | 5.859846E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.283384E-4 | 7.132421E-4 | 7.132421E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008252576 | 0.007113418 | 0.0071332757 | 1.0027916 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.0646776E-5 | 7.954851E-6 | 7.954851E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5628243E-5 | 3.409182E-5 | 3.409182E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.553823E-4 | 4.1499722E-4 | 4.1499722E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005539963 | 0.0041430513 | 0.00415301 | 1.0024037 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.632956E-6 | 5.77031E-6 | 5.77031E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6997862E-5 | 2.4729687E-5 | 2.4729687E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5035584E-4 | 3.0104618E-4 | 3.0104618E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044944426 | 0.0030067617 | 0.0030067617 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 8.632956E-6 | 5.77031E-6 | 5.77031E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6997862E-5 | 2.4729687E-5 | 2.4729687E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5035584E-4 | 3.0104618E-4 | 3.0104618E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044944426 | 0.0030067617 | 0.0030067617 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 7.143895E-6 | 4.2032325E-6 | 4.2032325E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0616335E-5 | 1.8013738E-5 | 1.8013738E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.726901E-4 | 2.1929687E-4 | 2.1929687E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037206567 | 0.0021909694 | 0.0021909694 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 6.5120694E-6 | 3.6657857E-6 | 3.6657857E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.790857E-5 | 1.5710424E-5 | 1.5710424E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3973387E-4 | 1.9125914E-4 | 1.9125914E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033921495 | 0.0019110944 | 0.0019110944 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 5.0614435E-6 | 2.6847952E-6 | 2.6847952E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.169172E-5 | 1.150622E-5 | 1.150622E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6406467E-4 | 1.4008026E-4 | 1.4008026E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026375111 | 0.0014000209 | 0.0014000209 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 4.41728E-6 | 2.3585353E-6 | 2.3585353E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8931061E-5 | 1.0107975E-5 | 1.0107975E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.304613E-4 | 1.2305863E-4 | 1.2305863E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023022245 | 0.0012300014 | 0.0012300014 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.535495E-6 | 1.1217234E-6 | 1.1217234E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0866362E-5 | 4.80738E-6 | 4.80738E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3228992E-4 | 5.85288E-5 | 5.85288E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013221119 | 5.8518513E-4 | 5.8518513E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 7.900015E-7 | 4.090018E-7 | 4.090018E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3857161E-6 | 1.7528649E-6 | 1.7528649E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1220315E-5 | 2.134113E-5 | 2.134113E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.121267E-4 | 2.134113E-4 | 2.134113E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Monte Vista - Shannon 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.7907707E-5 | 2.7592792E-5 | 2.7592792E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.19598975E-4 | 1.1825016E-4 | 1.1825016E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014551448 | 0.0014388687 | 0.0014488542 | 1.0069399 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014456532 | 0.014324647 | 0.014334504 | 1.0006881 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.7907707E-5 | 2.7592792E-5 | 2.7592792E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.19598975E-4 | 1.1825016E-4 | 1.1825016E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014551448 | 0.0014388687 | 0.0014488542 | 1.0069399 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014456532 | 0.014324647 | 0.014334504 | 1.0006881 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.7907707E-5 | 2.7592792E-5 | 2.7592792E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.19598975E-4 | 1.1825016E-4 | 1.1825016E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014551448 | 0.0014388687 | 0.0014488542 | 1.0069399 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014456532 | 0.014324647 | 0.014334504 | 1.0006881 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.7907707E-5 | 2.7592792E-5 | 2.7592792E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.19598975E-4 | 1.1825016E-4 | 1.1825016E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014551448 | 0.0014388687 | 0.0014488542 | 1.0069399 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014456532 | 0.014324647 | 0.014334504 | 1.0006881 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.7907707E-5 | 2.7592792E-5 | 2.7592792E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.19598975E-4 | 1.1825016E-4 | 1.1825016E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014551448 | 0.0014388687 | 0.0014488542 | 1.0069399 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014456532 | 0.014324647 | 0.014334504 | 1.0006881 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.7990213E-5 | 1.6646962E-5 | 1.6646962E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.709863E-5 | 7.134255E-5 | 7.134255E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.382716E-4 | 8.6831575E-4 | 8.783071E-4 | 1.0115066 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0093431985 | 0.008672639 | 0.008682552 | 1.0011431 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.650407E-6 | 7.4629907E-6 | 7.4629907E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.135823E-5 | 3.19839E-5 | 3.19839E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0342013E-4 | 3.893422E-4 | 3.993383E-4 | 1.0256743 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005022812 | 0.0039043152 | 0.003914276 | 1.0025513 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.62828E-6 | 7.4408977E-6 | 7.4408977E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1263404E-5 | 3.1889216E-5 | 3.1889216E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.022661E-4 | 3.8818986E-4 | 3.9818598E-4 | 1.0257506 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0050113243 | 0.0038928322 | 0.0039027934 | 1.0025588 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.887523E-6 | 4.4670587E-6 | 4.4670587E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9517621E-5 | 1.914441E-5 | 1.914441E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5931775E-4 | 2.3306049E-4 | 2.3306049E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035873733 | 0.002345348 | 0.002345348 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 6.2722347E-6 | 3.80885E-6 | 3.80885E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6880729E-5 | 1.632355E-5 | 1.632355E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2722374E-4 | 1.9872315E-4 | 1.9872315E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003267423 | 0.0020026278 | 0.0020026278 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 5.5320347E-6 | 3.0358779E-6 | 3.0358779E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3708504E-5 | 1.301085E-5 | 1.301085E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8861282E-4 | 1.5839742E-4 | 1.5839742E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028823826 | 0.0016000047 | 0.0016000047 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 3.8794055E-6 | 1.2888096E-6 | 1.2888096E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6625918E-5 | 5.523458E-6 | 5.523458E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0240174E-4 | 6.7246045E-5 | 6.7246045E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002022175 | 6.8924465E-4 | 6.8924465E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.4813652E-6 | 9.718902E-7 | 9.718902E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.49200505E-5 | 4.1652374E-6 | 4.1652374E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8163648E-4 | 5.0710594E-5 | 5.0710594E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018148809 | 5.2396505E-4 | 5.2396505E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.1682148E-6 | 7.765457E-7 | 7.765457E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3577992E-5 | 3.3280487E-6 | 3.3280487E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6529951E-4 | 4.051824E-5 | 4.051824E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016517661 | 4.2205807E-4 | 4.2205807E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.9707667E-6 | 7.390667E-7 | 7.390667E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2731795E-5 | 3.167425E-6 | 3.167425E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5499859E-4 | 3.8562717E-5 | 3.8562717E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015489052 | 4.022995E-4 | 4.022995E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.3462758E-6 | 6.0462736E-7 | 6.0462736E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0055429E-5 | 2.5912575E-6 | 2.5912575E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2241797E-4 | 3.1548105E-5 | 3.1548105E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012235056 | 3.3042382E-4 | 3.3042382E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.112783E-6 | 5.287687E-7 | 5.287687E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.054753E-6 | 2.2661495E-6 | 2.2661495E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1023604E-4 | 2.7590022E-5 | 2.7590022E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011018137 | 2.904178E-4 | 2.904178E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.7022471E-6 | 4.2631302E-7 | 4.2631302E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2953244E-6 | 1.8270545E-6 | 1.8270545E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.881695E-5 | 2.2244163E-5 | 2.2244163E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.878146E-4 | 2.3565307E-4 | 2.3565307E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 7.230914E-7 | 3.7572747E-7 | 3.7572747E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0989595E-6 | 1.6102596E-6 | 1.6102596E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.772918E-5 | 1.9604735E-5 | 1.9604735E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7722773E-4 | 2.0878564E-4 | 2.0878564E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 4.3588446E-7 | 3.4556183E-7 | 3.4556183E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.868075E-6 | 1.4809784E-6 | 1.4809784E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2743576E-5 | 1.8030763E-5 | 1.8030763E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2741247E-4 | 1.9126658E-4 | 1.9126658E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 2.3317523E-7 | 3.1733785E-7 | 3.1733785E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.99322E-7 | 1.3600186E-6 | 1.3600186E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2166677E-5 | 1.6558102E-5 | 1.6558102E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.21660116E-4 | 1.7514049E-4 | 1.7514049E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.4662456E-7 | 2.0438097E-7 | 2.0438097E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.283908E-7 | 8.7591815E-7 | 8.7591815E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.650631E-6 | 1.0664252E-5 | 1.0664252E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.650368E-5 | 1.1200176E-4 | 1.1200176E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 5.4931775E-9 | 5.1100697E-9 | 5.1100697E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3542189E-8 | 2.1900298E-8 | 2.1900298E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8662612E-7 | 2.666361E-7 | 2.666361E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8662573E-6 | 2.7717144E-6 | 2.7717144E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hat Creek-McArthur-Mayfield
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.967457E-5 | 4.316336E-5 | 4.316336E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7002279E-4 | 1.8497335E-4 | 1.8497335E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002068062 | 0.0022498388 | 0.0022697938 | 1.0088695 | 2.0E-5 | 0.02048922 | 0.022282979 | 0.022302533 | 1.0008775 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.5044013E-5 | 2.707408E-5 | 2.707408E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0732707E-4 | 1.16026786E-4 | 1.16026786E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013059238 | 0.0014117425 | 0.0014217284 | 1.0070734 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01298276 | 0.014031162 | 0.0140410215 | 1.0007027 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.5044013E-5 | 2.707408E-5 | 2.707408E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0732707E-4 | 1.16026786E-4 | 1.16026786E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013059238 | 0.0014117425 | 0.0014217284 | 1.0070734 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01298276 | 0.014031162 | 0.0140410215 | 1.0007027 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.6624012E-5 | 1.7892884E-5 | 1.7892884E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.124382E-5 | 7.668158E-5 | 7.668158E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.670483E-4 | 9.33207E-4 | 9.33207E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008636732 | 0.009293816 | 0.009293816 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.6624012E-5 | 1.7892884E-5 | 1.7892884E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.124382E-5 | 7.668158E-5 | 7.668158E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.670483E-4 | 9.33207E-4 | 9.33207E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008636732 | 0.009293816 | 0.009293816 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.3394842E-5 | 1.439356E-5 | 1.439356E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7405203E-5 | 6.1685256E-5 | 6.1685256E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.986842E-4 | 7.507648E-4 | 7.507648E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006964916 | 0.0074828775 | 0.0074828775 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.1137514E-5 | 1.195571E-5 | 1.195571E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7731326E-5 | 5.1237774E-5 | 5.1237774E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.809739E-4 | 6.236454E-4 | 6.236454E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005794574 | 0.006219374 | 0.006219374 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 7.0200663E-6 | 7.525007E-6 | 7.525007E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.008565E-5 | 3.224964E-5 | 3.224964E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6623122E-4 | 3.9257022E-4 | 3.9257022E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036562826 | 0.00391893 | 0.00391893 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 5.940172E-6 | 6.3660814E-6 | 6.3660814E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.545763E-5 | 2.7282927E-5 | 2.7282927E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0990256E-4 | 3.3212028E-4 | 3.3212028E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030947074 | 0.003316368 | 0.003316368 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 4.129831E-6 | 4.4239646E-6 | 4.4239646E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7699154E-5 | 1.8959714E-5 | 1.8959714E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.154659E-4 | 2.3081087E-4 | 2.3081087E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002152571 | 0.0023057899 | 0.0023057899 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.6512955E-6 | 2.8376644E-6 | 2.8376644E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1362646E-5 | 1.2161364E-5 | 1.2161364E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3833142E-4 | 1.4805498E-4 | 1.4805498E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013824535 | 0.001479606 | 0.001479606 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.2992575E-6 | 1.3910619E-6 | 1.3910619E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.568235E-6 | 5.961682E-6 | 5.961682E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.779115E-5 | 7.258128E-5 | 7.258128E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7770475E-4 | 7.255973E-4 | 7.255973E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 4.968191E-7 | 5.3276585E-7 | 5.3276585E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1292228E-6 | 2.2832808E-6 | 2.2832808E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.592298E-5 | 2.7798715E-5 | 2.7798715E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5919956E-4 | 2.7796475E-4 | 2.7796475E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Gabriel (Extension)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.6486106E-6 | 5.720022E-6 | 5.720022E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4208108E-5 | 2.4514155E-5 | 2.4514155E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9469383E-4 | 2.9842023E-4 | 3.0841725E-4 | 1.0334998 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029430336 | 0.0029803247 | 0.003000265 | 1.0066906 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.6486106E-6 | 5.720022E-6 | 5.720022E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4208108E-5 | 2.4514155E-5 | 2.4514155E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9469383E-4 | 2.9842023E-4 | 3.0841725E-4 | 1.0334998 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029430336 | 0.0029803247 | 0.003000265 | 1.0066906 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 5.6486106E-6 | 5.720022E-6 | 5.720022E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4208108E-5 | 2.4514155E-5 | 2.4514155E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9469383E-4 | 2.9842023E-4 | 3.0841725E-4 | 1.0334998 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029430336 | 0.0029803247 | 0.003000265 | 1.0066906 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 5.6486106E-6 | 5.720022E-6 | 5.720022E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4208108E-5 | 2.4514155E-5 | 2.4514155E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9469383E-4 | 2.9842023E-4 | 3.0841725E-4 | 1.0334998 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029430336 | 0.0029803247 | 0.003000265 | 1.0066906 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 5.6486106E-6 | 5.720022E-6 | 5.720022E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4208108E-5 | 2.4514155E-5 | 2.4514155E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9469383E-4 | 2.9842023E-4 | 3.0841725E-4 | 1.0334998 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029430336 | 0.0029803247 | 0.003000265 | 1.0066906 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.7134554E-6 | 4.757408E-6 | 4.757408E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0200367E-5 | 2.0388738E-5 | 2.0388738E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.459117E-4 | 2.4820544E-4 | 2.4820544E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024563975 | 0.0024793698 | 0.002489345 | 1.0040233 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.7134554E-6 | 4.757408E-6 | 4.757408E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0200367E-5 | 2.0388738E-5 | 2.0388738E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.459117E-4 | 2.4820544E-4 | 2.4820544E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024563975 | 0.0024793698 | 0.002489345 | 1.0040233 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.2468837E-6 | 4.277207E-6 | 4.277207E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8200803E-5 | 1.8330762E-5 | 1.8330762E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2157225E-4 | 2.231549E-4 | 2.231549E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022135144 | 0.0022293832 | 0.002239361 | 1.0044756 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 4.1180615E-6 | 4.1445915E-6 | 4.1445915E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7648716E-5 | 1.7762417E-5 | 1.7762417E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1485193E-4 | 2.1623669E-4 | 2.1623669E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021464431 | 0.0021603373 | 0.0021703155 | 1.0046189 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.863861E-6 | 3.8828966E-6 | 3.8828966E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.65593E-5 | 1.6640883E-5 | 1.6640883E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0159081E-4 | 2.0258459E-4 | 2.0258459E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020140803 | 0.00202407 | 0.0020340495 | 1.0049305 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.6947372E-6 | 3.7087889E-6 | 3.7087889E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5834492E-5 | 1.5894717E-5 | 1.5894717E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9276788E-4 | 1.9350166E-4 | 1.9350166E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019260074 | 0.0019334012 | 0.0019433819 | 1.0051622 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.5686835E-6 | 3.5759986E-6 | 3.5759986E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5294268E-5 | 1.5325622E-5 | 1.5325622E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.861918E-4 | 1.8657414E-4 | 1.8657414E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018603588 | 0.0018642439 | 0.0018742252 | 1.005354 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.8023446E-6 | 2.7798453E-6 | 2.7798453E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2009994E-5 | 1.1913568E-5 | 1.1913568E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4621185E-4 | 1.4503815E-4 | 1.4503815E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001461157 | 0.0014494488 | 0.0014594343 | 1.0068892 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.5843012E-6 | 2.5489903E-6 | 2.5489903E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1075529E-5 | 1.0924199E-5 | 1.0924199E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3483623E-4 | 1.329941E-4 | 1.329941E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013475444 | 0.0013291579 | 0.0013391445 | 1.0075135 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.4464468E-6 | 2.3996477E-6 | 2.3996477E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.04847295E-5 | 1.0284164E-5 | 1.0284164E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.276441E-4 | 1.252026E-4 | 1.252026E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012757082 | 0.0012513332 | 0.0012613207 | 1.0079814 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.0420266E-6 | 1.8936723E-6 | 1.8936723E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.751514E-6 | 8.115713E-6 | 8.115713E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0654447E-4 | 9.880437E-5 | 9.880437E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001064934 | 9.876108E-4 | 9.976008E-4 | 1.0101155 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.8326596E-6 | 1.6422854E-6 | 1.6422854E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.854232E-6 | 7.038347E-6 | 7.038347E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.562107E-5 | 8.568853E-5 | 8.568853E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.5579936E-4 | 8.5656013E-4 | 8.6655153E-4 | 1.0116646 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.4786998E-6 | 1.2546261E-6 | 1.2546261E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3372695E-6 | 5.376958E-6 | 5.376958E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.715353E-5 | 6.546251E-5 | 6.546251E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7126746E-4 | 6.544405E-4 | 6.64434E-4 | 1.0152702 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 7.6975533E-7 | 6.088128E-7 | 6.088128E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2989474E-6 | 2.6091952E-6 | 2.6091952E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0163945E-5 | 3.1766493E-5 | 3.1766493E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0156685E-4 | 3.1762593E-4 | 3.2762275E-4 | 1.0314735 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.7645915E-7 | 9.265081E-8 | 9.265081E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.562533E-7 | 3.970748E-7 | 3.970748E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.207345E-6 | 4.834375E-6 | 4.834375E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.206964E-5 | 4.8347494E-5 | 5.834701E-5 | 1.206826 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.0463461E-7 | 2.5165477E-8 | 2.5165477E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4843398E-7 | 1.0785204E-7 | 1.0785204E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.45967E-6 | 1.3130978E-6 | 1.3130978E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.459536E-5 | 1.31356865E-5 | 1.31356865E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 7.875717E-8 | 1.40081085E-8 | 1.40081085E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3753068E-7 | 6.003475E-8 | 6.003475E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.109428E-6 | 7.309228E-7 | 7.309228E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.109352E-5 | 7.313991E-6 | 7.313991E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.33163E-8 | 1.7934287E-9 | 1.7934287E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7069855E-8 | 7.686124E-9 | 7.686124E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9482525E-7 | 9.357855E-8 | 9.357855E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9482307E-6 | 9.377742E-7 | 9.377742E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Whittier alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.2554693E-5 | 4.7264362E-5 | 4.7264362E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8236451E-4 | 2.0254764E-4 | 2.0254764E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002218027 | 0.0024635505 | 0.0024635505 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.02196019 | 0.024396561 | 0.024416072 | 1.0007998 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.2554693E-5 | 4.7264362E-5 | 4.7264362E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8236451E-4 | 2.0254764E-4 | 2.0254764E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002218027 | 0.0024635505 | 0.0024635505 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.02196019 | 0.024396561 | 0.024416072 | 1.0007998 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.2554693E-5 | 4.7264362E-5 | 4.7264362E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8236451E-4 | 2.0254764E-4 | 2.0254764E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002218027 | 0.0024635505 | 0.0024635505 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.02196019 | 0.024396561 | 0.024416072 | 1.0007998 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.9617712E-5 | 1.827524E-5 | 1.827524E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.40732E-5 | 7.8320205E-5 | 7.8320205E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010231105 | 9.5315045E-4 | 9.5315045E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01018413 | 0.009494013 | 0.009503918 | 1.0010433 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.5611336E-5 | 1.3609928E-5 | 1.3609928E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.690401E-5 | 5.832699E-5 | 5.832699E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.142519E-4 | 7.0990575E-4 | 7.0990575E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008112748 | 0.007078446 | 0.007078446 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.5150166E-5 | 1.3106519E-5 | 1.3106519E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.492767E-5 | 5.6169618E-5 | 5.6169618E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9020765E-4 | 6.836564E-4 | 6.836564E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007874036 | 0.006817584 | 0.006817584 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.295588E-5 | 1.0385327E-5 | 1.0385327E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.552402E-5 | 4.45078E-5 | 4.45078E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7579525E-4 | 5.4174964E-4 | 5.4174964E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006737438 | 0.005405956 | 0.005405956 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.2542085E-5 | 9.903863E-6 | 9.903863E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3750682E-5 | 4.244445E-5 | 4.244445E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.542181E-4 | 5.1664055E-4 | 5.1664055E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006522954 | 0.005156059 | 0.005156059 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.2195878E-5 | 9.499759E-6 | 9.499759E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2267E-5 | 4.0712624E-5 | 4.0712624E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.36165E-4 | 4.9556536E-4 | 4.9556536E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063434686 | 0.0049461755 | 0.0049461755 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.1580298E-5 | 8.776976E-6 | 8.776976E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9628903E-5 | 3.761508E-5 | 3.761508E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.040644E-4 | 4.5786897E-4 | 4.5786897E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00602425 | 0.0045707 | 0.0045707 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.0964795E-5 | 8.087834E-6 | 8.087834E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6991136E-5 | 3.4661694E-5 | 3.4661694E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7196687E-4 | 4.2192594E-4 | 4.2192594E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057049696 | 0.004212579 | 0.004212579 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.0230601E-5 | 7.330093E-6 | 7.330093E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3844695E-5 | 3.141431E-5 | 3.141431E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.336784E-4 | 3.8240344E-4 | 3.8240344E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005323986 | 0.0038186738 | 0.0038186738 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 9.40865E-6 | 6.546425E-6 | 6.546425E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.032216E-5 | 2.8055812E-5 | 2.8055812E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.908117E-4 | 3.415272E-4 | 3.415272E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048972913 | 0.0034111768 | 0.0034111768 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 8.237384E-6 | 5.600475E-6 | 5.600475E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5302593E-5 | 2.400182E-5 | 2.400182E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2972428E-4 | 2.9218404E-4 | 2.9218404E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042889426 | 0.0029183314 | 0.0029183314 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 7.5316966E-6 | 5.0303097E-6 | 5.0303097E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2278298E-5 | 2.1558297E-5 | 2.1558297E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9291743E-4 | 2.6244167E-4 | 2.6244167E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039222343 | 0.002621429 | 0.002621429 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.149649E-6 | 3.9358774E-6 | 3.9358774E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6355372E-5 | 1.6867942E-5 | 1.6867942E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.208294E-4 | 2.0534873E-4 | 2.0534873E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003203666 | 0.0020516792 | 0.0020516792 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 5.457711E-6 | 3.3972024E-6 | 3.3972024E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.338998E-5 | 1.4559362E-5 | 1.4559362E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8473578E-4 | 1.7724663E-4 | 1.7724663E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028437122 | 0.0017711335 | 0.0017711335 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.1676276E-6 | 2.3346638E-6 | 2.3346638E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7861139E-5 | 1.0005668E-5 | 1.0005668E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1743766E-4 | 1.2181294E-4 | 1.2181294E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021722503 | 0.0012175348 | 0.0012175348 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.2692414E-7 | 9.3890904E-8 | 9.3890904E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.725317E-7 | 4.0238953E-7 | 4.0238953E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1840509E-5 | 4.899085E-6 | 4.899085E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1839878E-4 | 4.8990096E-5 | 4.8990096E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.4409702E-9 | 3.4409702E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.4747015E-8 | 1.4747015E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.795449E-7 | 1.795449E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838679E-6 | 1.7954477E-6 | 1.7954477E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Simi-Santa Rosa
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.198912E-5 | 2.2279432E-5 | 2.2279432E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4235686E-5 | 9.5480034E-5 | 9.5480034E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011467156 | 0.0011618934 | 0.0011718817 | 1.0085967 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011408163 | 0.011562634 | 0.011582403 | 1.0017097 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.198912E-5 | 2.2279432E-5 | 2.2279432E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4235686E-5 | 9.5480034E-5 | 9.5480034E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011467156 | 0.0011618934 | 0.0011718817 | 1.0085967 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011408163 | 0.011562634 | 0.011582403 | 1.0017097 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.69983E-5 | 1.667163E-5 | 1.667163E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.284782E-5 | 7.144805E-5 | 7.144805E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.865613E-4 | 8.6956203E-4 | 8.795534E-4 | 1.01149 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008830327 | 0.008664517 | 0.008674431 | 1.0011442 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.69983E-5 | 1.667163E-5 | 1.667163E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.284782E-5 | 7.144805E-5 | 7.144805E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.865613E-4 | 8.6956203E-4 | 8.795534E-4 | 1.01149 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008830327 | 0.008664517 | 0.008674431 | 1.0011442 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.4666188E-5 | 1.4055191E-5 | 1.4055191E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.285358E-5 | 6.0235285E-5 | 6.0235285E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6497364E-4 | 7.331427E-4 | 7.431354E-4 | 1.0136299 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0076234564 | 0.007309717 | 0.0073196436 | 1.001358 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.4666188E-5 | 1.4055191E-5 | 1.4055191E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.285358E-5 | 6.0235285E-5 | 6.0235285E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6497364E-4 | 7.331427E-4 | 7.431354E-4 | 1.0136299 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0076234564 | 0.007309717 | 0.0073196436 | 1.001358 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.4377586E-5 | 1.373218E-5 | 1.373218E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1616774E-5 | 5.8851012E-5 | 5.8851012E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4992597E-4 | 7.163004E-4 | 7.2629325E-4 | 1.0139506 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007474003 | 0.007142385 | 0.007152314 | 1.0013901 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.3881404E-5 | 1.3210065E-5 | 1.3210065E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9490372E-5 | 5.6613473E-5 | 5.6613473E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.240546E-4 | 6.890758E-4 | 6.990689E-4 | 1.0145022 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007217 | 0.006871842 | 0.006881773 | 1.0014452 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0176516E-5 | 9.155986E-6 | 9.155986E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3612912E-5 | 3.9239443E-5 | 3.9239443E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.308578E-4 | 4.776521E-4 | 4.876473E-4 | 1.0209258 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0052959146 | 0.004767888 | 0.004777841 | 1.0020874 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.699797E-6 | 8.776478E-6 | 8.776478E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.15699E-5 | 3.761303E-5 | 3.761303E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.05996E-4 | 4.5785887E-4 | 4.678543E-4 | 1.0218308 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005048454 | 0.004570774 | 0.0045807282 | 1.0021778 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.4049476E-6 | 6.5606623E-6 | 6.5606623E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1735104E-5 | 2.8116892E-5 | 2.8116892E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8630638E-4 | 3.4228206E-4 | 3.522786E-4 | 1.0292057 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0038563553 | 0.0034187913 | 0.0034287572 | 1.002915 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.873439E-6 | 2.760128E-6 | 2.760128E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6600346E-5 | 1.1829067E-5 | 1.1829067E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0209046E-4 | 1.4400962E-4 | 1.5400817E-4 | 1.0694298 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020190678 | 0.0014391865 | 0.0014491722 | 1.0069383 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.417706E-6 | 2.3682103E-6 | 2.3682103E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4647229E-5 | 1.0149434E-5 | 1.0149434E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7831543E-4 | 1.2356258E-4 | 1.3356135E-4 | 1.0809207 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017817242 | 0.0012349611 | 0.0012449487 | 1.0080874 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.90225E-6 | 1.4078162E-6 | 1.4078162E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.152474E-6 | 6.033484E-6 | 6.033484E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9251854E-5 | 7.3455216E-5 | 8.3454484E-5 | 1.1361274 | 1.0E-5 | 9.920754E-4 | 7.343116E-4 | 7.4430427E-4 | 1.0136082 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.5170556E-6 | 1.1028877E-6 | 1.1028877E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5016507E-6 | 4.7266535E-6 | 4.7266535E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.915472E-5 | 5.7545494E-5 | 6.754492E-5 | 1.1737655 | 1.0E-5 | 7.9126534E-4 | 5.7530706E-4 | 5.853013E-4 | 1.017372 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.178732E-6 | 8.539002E-7 | 8.539002E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0516987E-6 | 3.659567E-6 | 3.659567E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1502695E-5 | 4.4554326E-5 | 5.4553882E-5 | 1.2244351 | 1.0E-5 | 6.148568E-4 | 4.454549E-4 | 4.5545044E-4 | 1.022439 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.8722386E-7 | 4.796792E-7 | 4.796792E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9452417E-6 | 2.0557663E-6 | 2.0557663E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5857727E-5 | 2.502867E-5 | 3.502842E-5 | 1.3995318 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5851944E-4 | 2.5025863E-4 | 2.6025614E-4 | 1.0399487 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.5126515E-7 | 3.676551E-7 | 3.676551E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3625628E-6 | 1.5756639E-6 | 1.5756639E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8763823E-5 | 1.9183539E-5 | 2.9183348E-5 | 1.5212703 | 1.0E-5 | 2.87601E-4 | 1.9181894E-4 | 2.0181702E-4 | 1.0521225 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.3860243E-7 | 2.009939E-7 | 2.009939E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4511525E-6 | 8.614021E-7 | 8.614021E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7667637E-5 | 1.0487521E-5 | 2.0487416E-5 | 1.9535042 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7666233E-4 | 1.0487031E-4 | 1.1486926E-4 | 1.0953459 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.7955386E-7 | 1.4671082E-7 | 1.4671082E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1980875E-6 | 6.287605E-7 | 6.287605E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4586617E-5 | 7.655132E-6 | 1.7655057E-5 | 2.306303 | 1.0E-5 | 1.458566E-4 | 7.654873E-5 | 8.654797E-5 | 1.1306257 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 5.6259015E-8 | 3.3374857E-8 | 3.3374857E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4111003E-7 | 1.430351E-7 | 1.430351E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9355108E-6 | 1.7414511E-6 | 1.7414511E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.935472E-5 | 1.7414388E-5 | 1.7414388E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Deep Springs
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.311763E-5 | 2.311763E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.9074656E-5 | 9.9074656E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012060743 | 0.0012160622 | 1.0082814 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010283757 | 0.012045087 | 0.012064846 | 1.0016404 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.311763E-5 | 2.311763E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.9074656E-5 | 9.9074656E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012060743 | 0.0012160622 | 1.0082814 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010283757 | 0.012045087 | 0.012064846 | 1.0016404 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.311763E-5 | 2.311763E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.9074656E-5 | 9.9074656E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012060743 | 0.0012160622 | 1.0082814 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010283757 | 0.012045087 | 0.012064846 | 1.0016404 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.311763E-5 | 2.311763E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.9074656E-5 | 9.9074656E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012060743 | 0.0012160622 | 1.0082814 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010283757 | 0.012045087 | 0.012064846 | 1.0016404 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.311763E-5 | 2.311763E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.9074656E-5 | 9.9074656E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012060743 | 0.0012160622 | 1.0082814 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010283757 | 0.012045087 | 0.012064846 | 1.0016404 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.7190405E-5 | 2.0054982E-5 | 2.0054982E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.367108E-5 | 8.594993E-5 | 8.594993E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9657627E-4 | 0.00104644 | 0.00104644 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008929676 | 0.010464368 | 0.010474264 | 1.0009456 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.7190405E-5 | 2.0054982E-5 | 2.0054982E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.367108E-5 | 8.594993E-5 | 8.594993E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9657627E-4 | 0.00104644 | 0.00104644 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008929676 | 0.010464368 | 0.010474264 | 1.0009456 | 1.0E-5 |
Santa Ynez River
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6396456E-5 | 1.7210774E-5 | 1.7210774E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.026863E-5 | 7.375857E-5 | 7.375857E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.551848E-4 | 8.9767616E-4 | 8.9767616E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0085190125 | 0.00894405 | 0.008963872 | 1.0022161 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6396456E-5 | 1.7210774E-5 | 1.7210774E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.026863E-5 | 7.375857E-5 | 7.375857E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.551848E-4 | 8.9767616E-4 | 8.9767616E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0085190125 | 0.00894405 | 0.008963872 | 1.0022161 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6396456E-5 | 1.7210774E-5 | 1.7210774E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.026863E-5 | 7.375857E-5 | 7.375857E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.551848E-4 | 8.9767616E-4 | 8.9767616E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0085190125 | 0.00894405 | 0.008963872 | 1.0022161 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 9.736976E-6 | 1.0123062E-5 | 1.0123062E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.172923E-5 | 4.3383858E-5 | 4.3383858E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0793495E-4 | 5.2807544E-4 | 5.2807544E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005067755 | 0.005268712 | 0.0052886065 | 1.003776 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 9.736976E-6 | 1.0123062E-5 | 1.0123062E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.172923E-5 | 4.3383858E-5 | 4.3383858E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0793495E-4 | 5.2807544E-4 | 5.2807544E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005067755 | 0.005268712 | 0.0052886065 | 1.003776 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 7.081964E-6 | 7.330436E-6 | 7.330436E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.035092E-5 | 3.1415784E-5 | 3.1415784E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.694598E-4 | 3.8242163E-4 | 3.8242163E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036884616 | 0.0038177972 | 0.003837721 | 1.0052186 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.873247E-6 | 6.060197E-6 | 6.060197E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5170815E-5 | 2.5972018E-5 | 2.5972018E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.064116E-4 | 3.1616428E-4 | 3.1616428E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030598943 | 0.0031572324 | 0.0031771692 | 1.0063146 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.973277E-6 | 5.116294E-6 | 5.116294E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1313872E-5 | 2.1926791E-5 | 2.1926791E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5946548E-4 | 2.6692645E-4 | 2.6692645E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025916274 | 0.0026661074 | 0.0026860542 | 1.0074816 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 4.396492E-6 | 4.511331E-6 | 4.511331E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.884197E-5 | 1.9334135E-5 | 1.9334135E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2937685E-4 | 2.3536802E-4 | 2.3536802E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022914023 | 0.0023512228 | 0.0023711757 | 1.0084863 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.5255632E-6 | 3.6016331E-6 | 3.6016331E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5109469E-5 | 1.543548E-5 | 1.543548E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8394225E-4 | 1.8791092E-4 | 1.8791092E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018379007 | 0.0018775364 | 0.0018974988 | 1.0106323 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.211603E-6 | 3.273935E-6 | 3.273935E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.376394E-5 | 1.4031075E-5 | 1.4031075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6756308E-4 | 1.7081508E-4 | 1.7081508E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016743679 | 0.001706852 | 0.0017268179 | 1.0116975 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.5094619E-6 | 2.541159E-6 | 2.541159E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0754793E-5 | 1.0890635E-5 | 1.0890635E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3093173E-4 | 1.3258548E-4 | 1.3258548E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013085462 | 0.0013250698 | 0.0013450433 | 1.0150735 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.0515774E-6 | 2.0621467E-6 | 2.0621467E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.792445E-6 | 8.837742E-6 | 8.837742E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0704277E-4 | 1.07594235E-4 | 1.07594235E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010699122 | 0.0010754257 | 0.0010854149 | 1.0092887 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.6845745E-6 | 1.6775753E-6 | 1.6775753E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.219585E-6 | 7.189589E-6 | 7.189589E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.78949E-5 | 8.7529756E-5 | 8.7529756E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7860145E-4 | 8.749557E-4 | 8.849469E-4 | 1.0114192 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.3600285E-6 | 1.3334928E-6 | 1.3334928E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.82868E-6 | 5.714957E-6 | 5.714957E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.096187E-5 | 6.95774E-5 | 6.95774E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0939213E-4 | 6.9555844E-4 | 7.055515E-4 | 1.014367 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 9.735342E-7 | 9.2913604E-7 | 9.2913604E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.172283E-6 | 3.9820056E-6 | 3.9820056E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.079636E-5 | 4.847986E-5 | 4.847986E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0784746E-4 | 4.8469452E-4 | 4.8469452E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 5.067187E-7 | 4.778985E-7 | 4.778985E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1716498E-6 | 2.0481345E-6 | 2.0481345E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6439517E-5 | 2.4935762E-5 | 2.4935762E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.643637E-4 | 2.493304E-4 | 2.493304E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.769089E-7 | 2.576127E-7 | 2.576127E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1867519E-6 | 1.1040539E-6 | 1.1040539E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4448608E-5 | 1.3441773E-5 | 1.3441773E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.444767E-4 | 1.3440964E-4 | 1.3440964E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.7044663E-7 | 1.5450385E-7 | 1.5450385E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3048534E-7 | 6.621592E-7 | 6.621592E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.893623E-6 | 8.061758E-6 | 8.061758E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.893267E-5 | 8.0614685E-5 | 8.0614685E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 4.8344287E-8 | 4.091485E-8 | 4.091485E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0718979E-7 | 1.7534933E-7 | 1.7534933E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5225327E-6 | 2.134876E-6 | 2.134876E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5225041E-5 | 2.134856E-5 | 2.134856E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Superstition Mtn)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.4193904E-5 | 9.606781E-5 | 9.606781E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7508775E-4 | 4.11664E-4 | 4.11664E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033440501 | 0.0050019096 | 0.00501186 | 1.0019892 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03294174 | 0.04885562 | 0.048874643 | 1.0003893 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.4193904E-5 | 9.606781E-5 | 9.606781E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7508775E-4 | 4.11664E-4 | 4.11664E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033440501 | 0.0050019096 | 0.00501186 | 1.0019892 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03294174 | 0.04885562 | 0.048874643 | 1.0003893 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 5.7023593E-5 | 8.321213E-5 | 8.321213E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4436394E-4 | 3.5658406E-4 | 3.5658406E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002971072 | 0.0043344153 | 0.0043344153 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.029316625 | 0.04253614 | 0.042545717 | 1.0002251 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 5.6940098E-5 | 8.3057435E-5 | 8.3057435E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4400617E-4 | 3.559213E-4 | 3.559213E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002966728 | 0.0043263785 | 0.0043263785 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.029274331 | 0.04245949 | 0.042469066 | 1.0002255 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 5.4171585E-5 | 7.755062E-5 | 7.755062E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3214328E-4 | 3.3232674E-4 | 3.3232674E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028226813 | 0.0040402208 | 0.0040402208 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.02787096 | 0.03974861 | 0.039758213 | 1.0002416 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.375144E-5 | 5.6486286E-5 | 5.6486286E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.874927E-4 | 2.4206826E-4 | 2.4206826E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022803338 | 0.0029443738 | 0.0029443738 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.022570757 | 0.029266996 | 0.029266996 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 2.772192E-5 | 2.5549776E-5 | 2.5549776E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1880282E-4 | 1.09494555E-4 | 1.09494555E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014454646 | 0.0013323004 | 0.0013323004 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014360986 | 0.013571757 | 0.013571757 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 2.7124124E-5 | 2.4760513E-5 | 2.4760513E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1624106E-4 | 1.06112275E-4 | 1.06112275E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014143161 | 0.0012911705 | 0.0012911705 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014053487 | 0.013165031 | 0.013165031 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 2.5475807E-5 | 2.2224E-5 | 2.2224E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0917746E-4 | 9.524231E-5 | 9.524231E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001328425 | 0.0011589703 | 0.0011589703 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0132051185 | 0.0118527245 | 0.0118527245 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.1162023E-5 | 1.768098E-5 | 1.768098E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.069123E-5 | 7.577345E-5 | 7.577345E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011036064 | 9.221551E-4 | 9.221551E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010981417 | 0.009475748 | 0.009475748 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.8754288E-5 | 1.621391E-5 | 1.621391E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.037304E-5 | 6.948634E-5 | 6.948634E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.781026E-4 | 8.4567035E-4 | 8.4567035E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009738087 | 0.008697593 | 0.008697593 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.8678527E-5 | 1.6139002E-5 | 1.6139002E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0048376E-5 | 6.9165326E-5 | 6.9165326E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.7415317E-4 | 8.41765E-4 | 8.41765E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009698939 | 0.0086584985 | 0.0086584985 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.7804578E-5 | 1.5433026E-5 | 1.5433026E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6303106E-5 | 6.613988E-5 | 6.613988E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.285943E-4 | 8.0495776E-4 | 8.0495776E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009247236 | 0.008289515 | 0.008289515 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.6583685E-5 | 1.4581547E-5 | 1.4581547E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1070994E-5 | 6.249086E-5 | 6.249086E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.649459E-4 | 7.6056266E-4 | 7.6056266E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00861587 | 0.007844559 | 0.007844559 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.6387552E-5 | 1.4446335E-5 | 1.4446335E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.023047E-5 | 6.191141E-5 | 6.191141E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5472054E-4 | 7.535127E-4 | 7.535127E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008514405 | 0.0077738925 | 0.0077738925 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.5790754E-5 | 1.4086523E-5 | 1.4086523E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.767291E-5 | 6.0369428E-5 | 6.0369428E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.236062E-4 | 7.347519E-4 | 7.347519E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008205604 | 0.0075841956 | 0.0075841956 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.4248672E-5 | 1.3104208E-5 | 1.3104208E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.106431E-5 | 5.6159693E-5 | 5.6159693E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.432043E-4 | 6.835315E-4 | 6.835315E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007407237 | 0.007066199 | 0.007066199 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.15449975E-5 | 1.095084E-5 | 1.095084E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.947762E-5 | 4.693133E-5 | 4.693133E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.022235E-4 | 5.7124E-4 | 5.7124E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006005941 | 0.005935203 | 0.005935203 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 9.1391985E-6 | 9.559695E-6 | 9.559695E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9167408E-5 | 4.0969484E-5 | 4.0969484E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.767588E-4 | 4.986899E-4 | 4.986899E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0047573727 | 0.005200932 | 0.005200932 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.973017E-6 | 7.4227078E-6 | 7.4227078E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9884017E-5 | 3.1811218E-5 | 3.1811218E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6377716E-4 | 3.872333E-4 | 3.872333E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036318225 | 0.0040734243 | 0.0040734243 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 5.7638235E-6 | 6.2969975E-6 | 6.2969975E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4701867E-5 | 2.6986856E-5 | 2.6986856E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0070372E-4 | 3.2851595E-4 | 3.2851595E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030029714 | 0.0034731708 | 0.0034731708 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 5.1124434E-6 | 5.5294718E-6 | 5.5294718E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1910288E-5 | 2.3697525E-5 | 2.3697525E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6672508E-4 | 2.8847964E-4 | 2.8847964E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026640517 | 0.0030583662 | 0.0030583662 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.1075938E-6 | 5.3829586E-7 | 5.3829586E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7468216E-6 | 2.3069804E-6 | 2.3069804E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.779102E-5 | 2.8087146E-5 | 2.8087146E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.777599E-4 | 3.160582E-4 | 3.160582E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.3584393E-8 | 4.5173922E-9 | 4.5173922E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8218827E-8 | 1.9360252E-8 | 1.9360252E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0881396E-7 | 2.3571107E-7 | 2.3571107E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0881174E-6 | 2.641637E-6 | 2.641637E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Santa Cruz Mts) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.7221631E-4 | 1.3854812E-4 | 1.3854812E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.378611E-4 | 5.936446E-4 | 5.936446E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008946515 | 0.007204051 | 0.007213979 | 1.001378 | 1.0E-5 | 0.08594794 | 0.07085871 | 0.07087729 | 1.0002623 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.7221631E-4 | 1.3854812E-4 | 1.3854812E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.378611E-4 | 5.936446E-4 | 5.936446E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008946515 | 0.007204051 | 0.007213979 | 1.001378 | 1.0E-5 | 0.08594794 | 0.07085871 | 0.07087729 | 1.0002623 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.7221631E-4 | 1.3854812E-4 | 1.3854812E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.378611E-4 | 5.936446E-4 | 5.936446E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008946515 | 0.007204051 | 0.007213979 | 1.001378 | 1.0E-5 | 0.08594794 | 0.07085871 | 0.07087729 | 1.0002623 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.716926E-4 | 1.37741E-4 | 1.37741E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3561794E-4 | 5.9018703E-4 | 5.9018703E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008919428 | 0.007162232 | 0.0071721603 | 1.0013862 | 1.0E-5 | 0.08569809 | 0.07047012 | 0.070488706 | 1.0002638 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6392978E-4 | 1.3648672E-4 | 1.3648672E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.02367E-4 | 5.84814E-4 | 5.84814E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008517839 | 0.007097242 | 0.0071071708 | 1.001399 | 1.0E-5 | 0.08198654 | 0.06969568 | 0.069714285 | 1.0002669 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5742714E-4 | 1.2707087E-4 | 1.2707087E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.745133E-4 | 5.4447755E-4 | 5.4447755E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00818132 | 0.00660918 | 0.006619114 | 1.001503 | 1.0E-5 | 0.078865945 | 0.06513913 | 0.06515782 | 1.000287 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.3038084E-4 | 1.16419105E-4 | 1.16419105E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5865536E-4 | 4.988449E-4 | 4.988449E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006780438 | 0.0060567553 | 0.006066695 | 1.001641 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0657725 | 0.05957787 | 0.05959668 | 1.0003157 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2867592E-4 | 1.1368018E-4 | 1.1368018E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5135164E-4 | 4.8711107E-4 | 4.8711107E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0066920654 | 0.0059146793 | 0.00592462 | 1.0016807 | 1.0E-5 | 0.06494093 | 0.05828748 | 0.058306314 | 1.0003232 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2801298E-4 | 1.1305502E-4 | 1.1305502E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.485117E-4 | 4.8443282E-4 | 4.8443282E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0066577005 | 0.00588226 | 0.0058922013 | 1.00169 | 1.0E-5 | 0.06461738 | 0.058001038 | 0.058019876 | 1.0003248 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.269149E-4 | 1.1147464E-4 | 1.1147464E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4380763E-4 | 4.7766228E-4 | 4.7766228E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006600777 | 0.0058002705 | 0.0058102123 | 1.0017141 | 1.0E-5 | 0.06408122 | 0.057272114 | 0.057290968 | 1.0003293 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.2030331E-4 | 1.0876748E-4 | 1.0876748E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.154837E-4 | 4.6606435E-4 | 4.6606435E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006257969 | 0.0056598075 | 0.0056697507 | 1.0017568 | 1.0E-5 | 0.06084648 | 0.055940896 | 0.055959776 | 1.0003375 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.049617E-5 | 5.4312244E-5 | 5.4312244E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4493793E-4 | 2.327462E-4 | 2.327462E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041915346 | 0.0028300378 | 0.0028400098 | 1.0035235 | 1.0E-5 | 0.041133516 | 0.029810382 | 0.029829787 | 1.0006509 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.093979E-5 | 4.328212E-5 | 4.328212E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0399222E-4 | 1.8548175E-4 | 1.8548175E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036948253 | 0.0022559247 | 0.002265902 | 1.0044228 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03633994 | 0.024115022 | 0.02413454 | 1.0008093 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.193693E-5 | 2.9148272E-5 | 2.9148272E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6541698E-4 | 1.249152E-4 | 1.249152E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032266637 | 0.0015197833 | 0.0015297681 | 1.0065699 | 1.0E-5 | 0.031802133 | 0.016633168 | 0.016652836 | 1.0011824 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 5.906492E-5 | 2.7261034E-5 | 2.7261034E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5311083E-4 | 1.1682778E-4 | 1.1682778E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030772698 | 0.0014214516 | 0.0014314374 | 1.007025 | 1.0E-5 | 0.030350044 | 0.0155970985 | 0.015616787 | 1.0012623 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.424296E-5 | 2.4893261E-5 | 2.4893261E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.324491E-4 | 1.06681044E-4 | 1.06681044E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002826395 | 0.001298069 | 0.0013080561 | 1.0076938 | 1.0E-5 | 0.027907165 | 0.014277724 | 0.014297438 | 1.0013808 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 4.43084E-5 | 2.0068299E-5 | 2.0068299E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8987931E-4 | 8.6004155E-5 | 8.6004155E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023093296 | 0.0010465978 | 0.0010565874 | 1.0095447 | 1.0E-5 | 0.022854783 | 0.011500824 | 0.011520594 | 1.001719 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.118098E-5 | 1.909294E-5 | 1.909294E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7647797E-4 | 8.182432E-5 | 8.182432E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002146502 | 9.957561E-4 | 0.0010057461 | 1.0100327 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021258866 | 0.010954616 | 0.010974396 | 1.0018057 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.5408906E-5 | 1.871707E-5 | 1.871707E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5174363E-4 | 8.021355E-5 | 8.021355E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018459131 | 9.761627E-4 | 9.861529E-4 | 1.0102342 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018306552 | 0.010733867 | 0.010753653 | 1.0018432 | 2.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.5860836E-5 | 1.745554E-5 | 1.745554E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10827445E-4 | 7.4807314E-5 | 7.4807314E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001348489 | 9.103987E-4 | 9.203896E-4 | 1.0109742 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013403354 | 0.009981854 | 0.010001654 | 1.0019836 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.9777332E-5 | 1.4959243E-5 | 1.4959243E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.4757245E-5 | 6.410947E-5 | 6.410947E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010314309 | 7.802535E-4 | 7.9024566E-4 | 1.0128063 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010266567 | 0.008572637 | 0.008582552 | 1.0011564 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.468494E-5 | 1.2206113E-5 | 1.2206113E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.293394E-5 | 5.2310865E-5 | 5.2310865E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6595135E-4 | 6.3669885E-4 | 6.4669247E-4 | 1.015696 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0076331664 | 0.0070220875 | 0.007032017 | 1.0014141 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.63836E-6 | 5.5199034E-6 | 5.5199034E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7021015E-5 | 2.3656514E-5 | 2.3656514E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5063766E-4 | 2.8798007E-4 | 2.8798007E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004497249 | 0.0032735844 | 0.0032735844 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.745133E-7 | 7.745133E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.3193387E-6 | 3.3193387E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.0412215E-5 | 4.0412215E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.7688978E-4 | 4.7688978E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Earthquake Valley (So Extension)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0194888E-5 | 3.708341E-5 | 3.708341E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2940024E-4 | 1.5892161E-4 | 1.6892001E-4 | 1.0629141 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015743093 | 0.0019336744 | 0.0019536358 | 1.010323 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01563203 | 0.019218875 | 0.01923849 | 1.0010207 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.0194888E-5 | 3.708341E-5 | 3.708341E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2940024E-4 | 1.5892161E-4 | 1.6892001E-4 | 1.0629141 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015743093 | 0.0019336744 | 0.0019536358 | 1.010323 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01563203 | 0.019218875 | 0.01923849 | 1.0010207 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.0194888E-5 | 3.708341E-5 | 3.708341E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2940024E-4 | 1.5892161E-4 | 1.6892001E-4 | 1.0629141 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015743093 | 0.0019336744 | 0.0019536358 | 1.010323 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01563203 | 0.019218875 | 0.01923849 | 1.0010207 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.5795305E-5 | 1.8450823E-5 | 1.8450823E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.769241E-5 | 7.907319E-5 | 7.907319E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.238434E-4 | 9.6240174E-4 | 9.723921E-4 | 1.0103806 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008207959 | 0.009593243 | 0.009603146 | 1.0010324 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.5795305E-5 | 1.8450823E-5 | 1.8450823E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.769241E-5 | 7.907319E-5 | 7.907319E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.238434E-4 | 9.6240174E-4 | 9.723921E-4 | 1.0103806 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008207959 | 0.009593243 | 0.009603146 | 1.0010324 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5795305E-5 | 1.8450823E-5 | 1.8450823E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.769241E-5 | 7.907319E-5 | 7.907319E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.238434E-4 | 9.6240174E-4 | 9.723921E-4 | 1.0103806 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008207959 | 0.009593243 | 0.009603146 | 1.0010324 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.5795305E-5 | 1.8450823E-5 | 1.8450823E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.769241E-5 | 7.907319E-5 | 7.907319E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.238434E-4 | 9.6240174E-4 | 9.723921E-4 | 1.0103806 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008207959 | 0.009593243 | 0.009603146 | 1.0010324 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.1363076E-5 | 1.3141106E-5 | 1.3141106E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8697988E-5 | 5.631824E-5 | 5.631824E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.927367E-4 | 6.85535E-4 | 6.955282E-4 | 1.0145772 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0059115817 | 0.006841679 | 0.0068516107 | 1.0014516 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0049611E-5 | 1.1596787E-5 | 1.1596787E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.306905E-5 | 4.9699982E-5 | 4.9699982E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.242395E-4 | 6.0500245E-4 | 6.0500245E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052300454 | 0.006040734 | 0.006040734 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.0049611E-5 | 1.1596787E-5 | 1.1596787E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.306905E-5 | 4.9699982E-5 | 4.9699982E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.242395E-4 | 6.0500245E-4 | 6.0500245E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052300454 | 0.006040734 | 0.006040734 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.0049611E-5 | 1.1596787E-5 | 1.1596787E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.306905E-5 | 4.9699982E-5 | 4.9699982E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.242395E-4 | 6.0500245E-4 | 6.0500245E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052300454 | 0.006040734 | 0.006040734 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 8.140254E-6 | 9.385448E-6 | 9.385448E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4886336E-5 | 4.0223105E-5 | 4.0223105E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2465836E-4 | 4.8967334E-4 | 4.8967334E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042384774 | 0.004892523 | 0.004892523 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.673835E-7 | 1.4157997E-7 | 1.4157997E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.173577E-7 | 6.067712E-7 | 6.067712E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.733795E-6 | 7.387418E-6 | 7.387418E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.733451E-5 | 7.387208E-5 | 7.387208E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.6632116E-7 | 1.4056211E-7 | 1.4056211E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1280476E-7 | 6.0240893E-7 | 6.0240893E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.678364E-6 | 7.3343076E-6 | 7.3343076E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6780245E-5 | 7.334101E-5 | 7.334101E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.6569169E-7 | 1.400083E-7 | 1.400083E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1010703E-7 | 6.0003543E-7 | 6.0003543E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.645519E-6 | 7.3054102E-6 | 7.3054102E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.645182E-5 | 7.3052055E-5 | 7.3052055E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.1764555E-7 | 1.0098939E-7 | 1.0098939E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.041951E-7 | 4.328116E-7 | 4.328116E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.138558E-6 | 5.2694704E-6 | 5.2694704E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1383886E-5 | 5.269367E-5 | 5.269367E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.07927605E-7 | 9.263579E-8 | 9.263579E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6254678E-7 | 3.9701047E-7 | 3.9701047E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6314925E-6 | 4.8335937E-6 | 4.8335937E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.63135E-5 | 4.8335096E-5 | 4.8335096E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.1826905E-8 | 1.1185484E-8 | 1.1185484E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3543875E-8 | 4.7937785E-8 | 4.7937785E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1388961E-6 | 5.836424E-7 | 5.836424E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1388902E-5 | 5.8364144E-6 | 5.8364144E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.6169649E-9 | 1.1974154E-9 | 1.1974154E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1215564E-8 | 5.13178E-9 | 5.13178E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3654947E-7 | 6.247942E-8 | 6.247942E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.365494E-6 | 6.247942E-7 | 6.247942E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Mono Lake 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.0341662E-5 | 2.3833609E-5 | 2.3833609E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.717564E-5 | 1.02143036E-4 | 1.02143036E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010608466 | 0.0012434132 | 0.0012434132 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010557966 | 0.012416657 | 0.012436409 | 1.0015907 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.0341662E-5 | 2.3833609E-5 | 2.3833609E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.717564E-5 | 1.02143036E-4 | 1.02143036E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010608466 | 0.0012434132 | 0.0012434132 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010557966 | 0.012416657 | 0.012436409 | 1.0015907 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.0341662E-5 | 2.3833609E-5 | 2.3833609E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.717564E-5 | 1.02143036E-4 | 1.02143036E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010608466 | 0.0012434132 | 0.0012434132 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010557966 | 0.012416657 | 0.012436409 | 1.0015907 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.0341662E-5 | 2.3833609E-5 | 2.3833609E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.717564E-5 | 1.02143036E-4 | 1.02143036E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010608466 | 0.0012434132 | 0.0012434132 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010557966 | 0.012416657 | 0.012436409 | 1.0015907 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.749821E-5 | 2.0495658E-5 | 2.0495658E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.499018E-5 | 8.783854E-5 | 8.783854E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1262296E-4 | 0.0010694339 | 0.0010694339 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009088841 | 0.010694294 | 0.010704187 | 1.0009251 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.749821E-5 | 2.0495658E-5 | 2.0495658E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.499018E-5 | 8.783854E-5 | 8.783854E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1262296E-4 | 0.0010694339 | 0.0010694339 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009088841 | 0.010694294 | 0.010704187 | 1.0009251 | 1.0E-5 |
Kern Canyon (Lake Isabella) 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.2387383E-6 | 4.0017544E-6 | 4.0017544E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.7150272E-5 | 1.7150272E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.0878644E-4 | 2.1878435E-4 | 1.0478858 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022092736 | 0.0020860867 | 0.002106045 | 1.0095674 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.2387383E-6 | 4.0017544E-6 | 4.0017544E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.7150272E-5 | 1.7150272E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.0878644E-4 | 2.1878435E-4 | 1.0478858 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022092736 | 0.0020860867 | 0.002106045 | 1.0095674 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.2387383E-6 | 4.0017544E-6 | 4.0017544E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.7150272E-5 | 1.7150272E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.0878644E-4 | 2.1878435E-4 | 1.0478858 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022092736 | 0.0020860867 | 0.002106045 | 1.0095674 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.2387383E-6 | 4.0017544E-6 | 4.0017544E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.7150272E-5 | 1.7150272E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.0878644E-4 | 2.1878435E-4 | 1.0478858 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022092736 | 0.0020860867 | 0.002106045 | 1.0095674 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.2387383E-6 | 4.0017544E-6 | 4.0017544E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.7150272E-5 | 1.7150272E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.0878644E-4 | 2.1878435E-4 | 1.0478858 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022092736 | 0.0020860867 | 0.002106045 | 1.0095674 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.7857532E-6 | 2.5179409E-6 | 2.5179409E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1938888E-5 | 1.0791132E-5 | 1.0791132E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4534626E-4 | 1.3137444E-4 | 1.3137444E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014525123 | 0.0013130005 | 0.0013229874 | 1.0076061 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.2233348E-6 | 1.944182E-6 | 1.944182E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.528543E-6 | 8.332183E-6 | 8.332183E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1600384E-4 | 1.0143969E-4 | 1.0143969E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001159433 | 0.0010139425 | 0.0010239324 | 1.0098525 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.1635126E-6 | 1.883561E-6 | 1.883561E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.272164E-6 | 8.07238E-6 | 8.07238E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1288274E-4 | 9.8276876E-5 | 9.8276876E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011282542 | 9.823423E-4 | 9.923325E-4 | 1.0101697 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.8685711E-6 | 1.5831927E-6 | 1.5831927E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.008137E-6 | 6.7850942E-6 | 6.7850942E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.74947E-5 | 8.260544E-5 | 8.260544E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.745194E-4 | 8.257523E-4 | 8.3574397E-4 | 1.0121002 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.5815071E-6 | 1.3065351E-6 | 1.3065351E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.77787E-6 | 5.599424E-6 | 5.599424E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.251744E-5 | 6.8170884E-5 | 6.8170884E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.248681E-4 | 6.815024E-4 | 6.914956E-4 | 1.0146635 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.3772564E-6 | 1.1211083E-6 | 1.1211083E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9025137E-6 | 4.804741E-6 | 4.804741E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.186073E-5 | 5.849617E-5 | 5.849617E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.18375E-4 | 5.848098E-4 | 5.9480395E-4 | 1.0170896 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0916998E-6 | 8.7640564E-7 | 8.7640564E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.678705E-6 | 3.7560187E-6 | 3.7560187E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6961744E-5 | 4.5728582E-5 | 4.5728582E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6947145E-4 | 4.5719306E-4 | 4.671885E-4 | 1.0218626 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.6277024E-7 | 5.901649E-7 | 5.901649E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2690114E-6 | 2.5292757E-6 | 2.5292757E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9799485E-5 | 3.07935E-5 | 3.07935E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9792358E-4 | 3.0789297E-4 | 3.1788988E-4 | 1.0324688 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 5.3265916E-7 | 4.3825816E-7 | 4.3825816E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.282823E-6 | 1.8782479E-6 | 1.8782479E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7793016E-5 | 2.2867433E-5 | 2.2867433E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.778954E-4 | 2.2865117E-4 | 2.3864889E-4 | 1.0437248 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.4946007E-7 | 3.0066698E-7 | 3.0066698E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.497685E-6 | 1.2885721E-6 | 1.2885721E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8234163E-5 | 1.5688254E-5 | 1.5688254E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8232666E-4 | 1.568717E-4 | 1.6687013E-4 | 1.0637363 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.8317026E-7 | 1.4245374E-7 | 1.4245374E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.850152E-7 | 6.1051594E-7 | 6.1051594E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.557518E-6 | 7.433007E-6 | 7.433007E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.5571064E-5 | 7.432766E-5 | 8.4326915E-5 | 1.1345295 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.572245E-8 | 1.7353642E-8 | 1.7353642E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10239064E-7 | 7.437275E-8 | 7.437275E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421597E-6 | 9.0548787E-7 | 9.0548787E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421517E-5 | 9.054847E-6 | 9.054847E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Oceanic - West Huasna
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.195567E-5 | 2.7930459E-5 | 2.7930459E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3694567E-4 | 1.1969672E-4 | 1.2969552E-4 | 1.0835345 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016660384 | 0.0014563765 | 0.0014763473 | 1.0137128 | 2.0E-5 | 0.016536033 | 0.014472876 | 0.014492586 | 1.0013618 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1156782E-5 | 1.7575774E-5 | 1.7575774E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.066878E-5 | 7.532263E-5 | 8.532187E-5 | 1.1327522 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011033333 | 9.1667654E-4 | 9.3665824E-4 | 1.0217979 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010978713 | 0.009129962 | 0.009149779 | 1.0021706 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6195117E-5 | 1.3328484E-5 | 1.3328484E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9405796E-5 | 5.7120837E-5 | 5.7120837E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.44688E-4 | 6.952269E-4 | 7.052199E-4 | 1.0143738 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008414844 | 0.006930813 | 0.006940744 | 1.0014328 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3559345E-5 | 1.1180071E-5 | 1.1180071E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.811018E-5 | 4.7913712E-5 | 4.7913712E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.072618E-4 | 5.831943E-4 | 5.831943E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0070501505 | 0.0058167567 | 0.0058167567 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.2120619E-5 | 1.0001759E-5 | 1.0001759E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1944477E-5 | 4.286398E-5 | 4.286398E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.322405E-4 | 5.217445E-4 | 5.217445E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006304447 | 0.005205263 | 0.005205263 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.13511915E-5 | 9.368202E-6 | 9.368202E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8647056E-5 | 4.014882E-5 | 4.014882E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9211696E-4 | 4.8870273E-4 | 4.8870273E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0059054173 | 0.004876339 | 0.004876339 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 9.850605E-6 | 8.13604E-6 | 8.13604E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2216197E-5 | 3.486828E-5 | 3.486828E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1386096E-4 | 4.2443885E-4 | 4.2443885E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051267436 | 0.0042363144 | 0.0042363144 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 8.8558645E-6 | 7.3190104E-6 | 7.3190104E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7953152E-5 | 3.1366813E-5 | 3.1366813E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6198163E-4 | 3.8182418E-4 | 3.8182418E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004610224 | 0.003811707 | 0.003811707 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 7.67136E-6 | 6.3922844E-6 | 6.3922844E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2876844E-5 | 2.7395217E-5 | 2.7395217E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0020206E-4 | 3.334859E-4 | 3.334859E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003994821 | 0.0033298754 | 0.0033298754 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 6.534529E-6 | 5.4588018E-6 | 5.4588018E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8004823E-5 | 2.3394656E-5 | 2.3394656E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4090536E-4 | 2.8479283E-4 | 2.8479283E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034038287 | 0.0028442952 | 0.0028442952 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 5.460525E-6 | 4.5703177E-6 | 4.5703177E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3402039E-5 | 1.958693E-5 | 1.958693E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8488258E-4 | 2.3844489E-4 | 2.3844489E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028451765 | 0.0023819043 | 0.0023819043 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 4.4825083E-6 | 3.7527896E-6 | 3.7527896E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9210609E-5 | 1.6083286E-5 | 1.6083286E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3386406E-4 | 1.957965E-4 | 1.957965E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002336181 | 0.001956252 | 0.001956252 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.821708E-6 | 2.425273E-6 | 2.425273E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2092979E-5 | 1.0393986E-5 | 1.0393986E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4722206E-4 | 1.2653942E-4 | 1.2653942E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014712457 | 0.0012646762 | 0.0012646762 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.0644757E-6 | 1.7690513E-6 | 1.7690513E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.847723E-6 | 7.581626E-6 | 7.581626E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0771569E-4 | 9.230239E-5 | 9.230239E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001076635 | 9.2264224E-4 | 9.2264224E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.6980367E-6 | 1.4382498E-6 | 1.4382498E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.27728E-6 | 6.1639134E-6 | 6.1639134E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8597284E-5 | 7.504306E-5 | 7.504306E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8561967E-4 | 7.5017876E-4 | 7.5017876E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3637683E-6 | 1.1305112E-6 | 1.1305112E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.844708E-6 | 4.8450393E-6 | 4.8450393E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1156996E-5 | 5.898676E-5 | 5.898676E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1134215E-4 | 5.8971246E-4 | 5.8971246E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 9.802994E-7 | 7.679575E-7 | 7.679575E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2012766E-6 | 3.2912421E-6 | 3.2912421E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1149345E-5 | 4.007014E-5 | 4.007014E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.113757E-4 | 4.0063052E-4 | 4.0063052E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.986191E-7 | 4.006912E-7 | 4.006912E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5655079E-6 | 1.7172468E-6 | 1.7172468E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1234613E-5 | 2.090728E-5 | 2.090728E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.123022E-4 | 2.0905443E-4 | 2.0905443E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.9189815E-7 | 1.5300803E-7 | 1.5300803E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2509914E-6 | 6.557485E-7 | 6.557485E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5230714E-5 | 7.983709E-6 | 7.983709E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.522967E-4 | 7.9835496E-5 | 7.9835496E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.2057845E-7 | 4.6295177E-8 | 4.6295177E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1676466E-7 | 1.9840789E-7 | 1.9840789E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2915915E-6 | 2.4156134E-6 | 2.4156134E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2914136E-5 | 2.4157136E-5 | 2.4157136E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 3.3806387E-9 | 9.042955E-10 | 9.042955E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4488451E-8 | 3.8755505E-9 | 3.8755505E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7639688E-7 | 4.7184834E-8 | 4.7184834E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7639674E-6 | 4.7297104E-7 | 4.7297104E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cleghorn
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.9267165E-6 | 9.844507E-6 | 9.844507E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.39712E-5 | 4.219012E-5 | 4.219012E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1352084E-4 | 5.1355426E-4 | 5.1355426E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004127522 | 0.0051386817 | 0.005158579 | 1.003872 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 7.9267165E-6 | 9.844507E-6 | 9.844507E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.39712E-5 | 4.219012E-5 | 4.219012E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1352084E-4 | 5.1355426E-4 | 5.1355426E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004127522 | 0.0051386817 | 0.005158579 | 1.003872 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 7.9267165E-6 | 9.844507E-6 | 9.844507E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.39712E-5 | 4.219012E-5 | 4.219012E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1352084E-4 | 5.1355426E-4 | 5.1355426E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004127522 | 0.0051386817 | 0.005158579 | 1.003872 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 7.9267165E-6 | 9.844507E-6 | 9.844507E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.39712E-5 | 4.219012E-5 | 4.219012E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1352084E-4 | 5.1355426E-4 | 5.1355426E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004127522 | 0.0051386817 | 0.005158579 | 1.003872 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.3445207E-6 | 6.1041487E-6 | 6.1041487E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8619241E-5 | 2.616038E-5 | 2.616038E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2666567E-4 | 3.1845708E-4 | 3.1845708E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022643462 | 0.0031940911 | 0.003204059 | 1.0031208 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.3445207E-6 | 6.1041487E-6 | 6.1041487E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8619241E-5 | 2.616038E-5 | 2.616038E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2666567E-4 | 3.1845708E-4 | 3.1845708E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022643462 | 0.0031940911 | 0.003204059 | 1.0031208 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.040109E-6 | 5.786538E-6 | 5.786538E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7314638E-5 | 2.479922E-5 | 2.479922E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1078532E-4 | 3.0188958E-4 | 3.0188958E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002105855 | 0.0030288724 | 0.003038842 | 1.0032916 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.3632055E-6 | 5.0799945E-6 | 5.0799945E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4413658E-5 | 2.1771226E-5 | 2.1771226E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7547216E-4 | 2.6503275E-4 | 2.6503275E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017533366 | 0.002661188 | 0.0026711612 | 1.0037477 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.2902772E-6 | 5.0018944E-6 | 5.0018944E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4101111E-5 | 2.1436515E-5 | 2.1436515E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.716675E-4 | 2.6095865E-4 | 2.6095865E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017153495 | 0.0026205431 | 0.002630517 | 1.003806 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.031547E-6 | 4.7034E-6 | 4.7034E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.299228E-5 | 2.0157275E-5 | 2.0157275E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5816953E-4 | 2.4538746E-4 | 2.4538746E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00158057 | 0.0024651838 | 0.0024751592 | 1.0040464 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.8259715E-6 | 4.3823084E-6 | 4.3823084E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.211125E-5 | 1.878119E-5 | 1.878119E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4744449E-4 | 2.2863722E-4 | 2.2863722E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001473467 | 0.0022980375 | 0.0023080145 | 1.0043415 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.5962665E-6 | 4.077242E-6 | 4.077242E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1126809E-5 | 1.7473778E-5 | 1.7473778E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3546048E-4 | 2.1272269E-4 | 2.1272269E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013537793 | 0.0021392189 | 0.0021491973 | 1.0046647 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.3247253E-6 | 3.6874478E-6 | 3.6874478E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.96307E-6 | 1.5803254E-5 | 1.5803254E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.21293626E-4 | 1.9238782E-4 | 1.9238782E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012122744 | 0.0019362585 | 0.0019362585 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.056928E-6 | 3.2454573E-6 | 3.2454573E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.815376E-6 | 1.3909029E-5 | 1.3909029E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0732192E-4 | 1.6932943E-4 | 1.6932943E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001072701 | 0.0017061188 | 0.0017061188 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.8055999E-6 | 2.8352056E-6 | 2.8352056E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.738263E-6 | 1.2150825E-5 | 1.2150825E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4209274E-5 | 1.4792639E-4 | 1.4792639E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4169343E-4 | 0.0014925337 | 0.0014925337 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.4683443E-6 | 2.434156E-6 | 2.434156E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.292889E-6 | 1.0432056E-5 | 1.0432056E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.661323E-5 | 1.2700298E-4 | 1.2700298E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.658682E-4 | 0.0012835943 | 0.0012835943 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 9.804088E-7 | 1.9095216E-6 | 1.9095216E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.201745E-6 | 8.183639E-6 | 8.183639E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1155046E-5 | 9.963129E-5 | 9.963129E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.114327E-4 | 0.001010193 | 0.001010193 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 7.3434086E-7 | 1.6375278E-6 | 1.6375278E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1471714E-6 | 7.0179576E-6 | 7.0179576E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.831614E-5 | 8.544031E-5 | 8.544031E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8309532E-4 | 8.6843706E-4 | 8.6843706E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 6.434184E-7 | 1.5307085E-6 | 1.5307085E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7575045E-6 | 6.560163E-6 | 6.560163E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.35721E-5 | 7.986708E-5 | 7.986708E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3567028E-4 | 8.123976E-4 | 8.123976E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 3.4943926E-7 | 7.6210677E-7 | 7.6210677E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.497596E-6 | 3.2661678E-6 | 3.2661678E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8233079E-5 | 3.9764876E-5 | 3.9764876E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8231584E-4 | 4.0637513E-4 | 4.0637513E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 6.717524E-8 | 5.8915553E-8 | 5.8915553E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8789387E-7 | 2.524952E-7 | 2.524952E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.505102E-6 | 3.0741248E-6 | 3.0741248E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5050467E-5 | 3.30145E-5 | 3.30145E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 3.1984914E-8 | 1.31211175E-8 | 1.31211175E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.370782E-7 | 5.623336E-8 | 5.623336E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6689258E-6 | 6.8464095E-7 | 6.8464095E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6689133E-5 | 7.839099E-6 | 7.839099E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.21887656E-8 | 3.7000547E-9 | 3.7000547E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2237567E-8 | 1.5857378E-8 | 1.5857378E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.359922E-7 | 1.9306356E-7 | 1.9306356E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3599036E-6 | 2.276525E-6 | 2.276525E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Earthquake Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9416384E-5 | 2.2589133E-5 | 2.2589133E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.321042E-5 | 9.680765E-5 | 9.680765E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001012616 | 0.0011781157 | 0.0011881039 | 1.0084782 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010080142 | 0.011730539 | 0.011740421 | 1.0008425 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.9416384E-5 | 2.2589133E-5 | 2.2589133E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.321042E-5 | 9.680765E-5 | 9.680765E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001012616 | 0.0011781157 | 0.0011881039 | 1.0084782 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010080142 | 0.011730539 | 0.011740421 | 1.0008425 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.9416384E-5 | 2.2589133E-5 | 2.2589133E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.321042E-5 | 9.680765E-5 | 9.680765E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001012616 | 0.0011781157 | 0.0011881039 | 1.0084782 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010080142 | 0.011730539 | 0.011740421 | 1.0008425 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.9416384E-5 | 2.2589133E-5 | 2.2589133E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.321042E-5 | 9.680765E-5 | 9.680765E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001012616 | 0.0011781157 | 0.0011881039 | 1.0084782 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010080142 | 0.011730539 | 0.011740421 | 1.0008425 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.9416384E-5 | 2.2589133E-5 | 2.2589133E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.321042E-5 | 9.680765E-5 | 9.680765E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001012616 | 0.0011781157 | 0.0011881039 | 1.0084782 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010080142 | 0.011730539 | 0.011740421 | 1.0008425 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.9389157E-5 | 2.2557715E-5 | 2.2557715E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.309374E-5 | 9.6673015E-5 | 9.6673015E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010111968 | 0.0011764782 | 0.0011864665 | 1.00849 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010066078 | 0.011714336 | 0.01172422 | 1.0008436 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.9389157E-5 | 2.2557715E-5 | 2.2557715E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.309374E-5 | 9.6673015E-5 | 9.6673015E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010111968 | 0.0011764782 | 0.0011864665 | 1.00849 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010066078 | 0.011714336 | 0.01172422 | 1.0008436 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.4925434E-5 | 1.7211836E-5 | 1.7211836E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.396457E-5 | 7.376341E-5 | 7.376341E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7849044E-4 | 8.9778454E-4 | 9.077756E-4 | 1.0111285 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007757689 | 0.008949955 | 0.008959865 | 1.0011073 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.3570335E-5 | 1.5620084E-5 | 1.5620084E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8157282E-5 | 6.694196E-5 | 6.694196E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0783484E-4 | 8.147958E-4 | 8.147958E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0070558446 | 0.008126157 | 0.008126157 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.3570335E-5 | 1.5620084E-5 | 1.5620084E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8157282E-5 | 6.694196E-5 | 6.694196E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0783484E-4 | 8.147958E-4 | 8.147958E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0070558446 | 0.008126157 | 0.008126157 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.3433392E-5 | 1.5463598E-5 | 1.5463598E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.757041E-5 | 6.627134E-5 | 6.627134E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0069433E-4 | 8.06637E-4 | 8.06637E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006984891 | 0.008045163 | 0.008045163 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 8.181609E-6 | 9.418854E-6 | 9.418854E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5063567E-5 | 4.0366267E-5 | 4.0366267E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.268153E-4 | 4.914156E-4 | 4.914156E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042599645 | 0.0049098684 | 0.0049098684 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.0663983E-7 | 1.7268071E-7 | 1.7268071E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.855989E-7 | 7.4006005E-7 | 7.4006005E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0782113E-5 | 9.010198E-6 | 9.010198E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.07815904E-4 | 9.009868E-5 | 9.009868E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.0462376E-7 | 1.7083532E-7 | 1.7083532E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7695867E-7 | 7.321512E-7 | 7.321512E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0676919E-5 | 8.913908E-6 | 8.913908E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0676406E-4 | 8.9135865E-5 | 8.9135865E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.0171088E-7 | 1.686595E-7 | 1.686595E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.644749E-7 | 7.2282626E-7 | 7.2282626E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0524931E-5 | 8.800378E-6 | 8.800378E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.05244326E-4 | 8.8000656E-5 | 8.8000656E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.4847944E-7 | 1.2563393E-7 | 1.2563393E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.363403E-7 | 5.3843104E-7 | 5.3843104E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.747416E-6 | 6.5553804E-6 | 6.5553804E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.747146E-5 | 6.5552085E-5 | 6.5552085E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.3185847E-7 | 1.1126924E-7 | 1.1126924E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6510765E-7 | 4.768681E-7 | 4.768681E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8801637E-6 | 5.8058554E-6 | 5.8058554E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8799505E-5 | 5.8057252E-5 | 5.8057252E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.8609954E-8 | 1.417709E-8 | 1.417709E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2261408E-7 | 6.075895E-8 | 6.075895E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4928254E-6 | 7.397401E-7 | 7.397401E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4928154E-5 | 7.397381E-6 | 7.397381E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 6.527266E-9 | 2.924455E-9 | 2.924455E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7973995E-8 | 1.2533377E-8 | 1.2533377E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4058334E-7 | 1.5259386E-7 | 1.5259386E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4058282E-6 | 1.5259378E-6 | 1.5259378E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.2898267E-9 | 7.130003E-10 | 7.130003E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.527829E-9 | 3.055716E-9 | 3.055716E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7301315E-8 | 3.7203343E-8 | 3.7203343E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7301295E-7 | 3.720334E-7 | 3.720334E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
South Klamath Lake East
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.3539369E-5 | 2.5049438E-5 | 2.5049438E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0087911E-4 | 1.0735078E-4 | 1.1734971E-4 | 1.0931425 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012275111 | 0.0013062954 | 0.0013162823 | 1.0076452 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012207527 | 0.012994516 | 0.013004386 | 1.0007596 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.3539369E-5 | 2.5049438E-5 | 2.5049438E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0087911E-4 | 1.0735078E-4 | 1.1734971E-4 | 1.0931425 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012275111 | 0.0013062954 | 0.0013162823 | 1.0076452 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012207527 | 0.012994516 | 0.013004386 | 1.0007596 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.3539369E-5 | 2.5049438E-5 | 2.5049438E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0087911E-4 | 1.0735078E-4 | 1.1734971E-4 | 1.0931425 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012275111 | 0.0013062954 | 0.0013162823 | 1.0076452 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012207527 | 0.012994516 | 0.013004386 | 1.0007596 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 9.807823E-6 | 1.03968705E-5 | 1.03968705E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2032847E-5 | 4.4557302E-5 | 4.4557302E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1162974E-4 | 5.423585E-4 | 5.423585E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005104534 | 0.005411186 | 0.005411186 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 9.807823E-6 | 1.03968705E-5 | 1.03968705E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2032847E-5 | 4.4557302E-5 | 4.4557302E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1162974E-4 | 5.423585E-4 | 5.423585E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005104534 | 0.005411186 | 0.005411186 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 6.191981E-6 | 6.5513436E-6 | 6.5513436E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.653679E-5 | 2.80769E-5 | 2.80769E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2303753E-4 | 3.4178543E-4 | 3.4178543E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032256835 | 0.003412876 | 0.003412876 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 4.3693776E-6 | 4.616904E-6 | 4.616904E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8725768E-5 | 1.9786587E-5 | 1.9786587E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2796239E-4 | 2.4087621E-4 | 2.4087621E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022772867 | 0.0024062637 | 0.0024062637 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 3.360834E-6 | 3.551507E-6 | 3.551507E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4403494E-5 | 1.522066E-5 | 1.522066E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7534842E-4 | 1.852966E-4 | 1.852966E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017521014 | 0.0018515008 | 0.0018515008 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 2.57873E-6 | 2.7253761E-6 | 2.7253761E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1051653E-5 | 1.1680135E-5 | 1.1680135E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3454557E-4 | 1.4219698E-4 | 1.4219698E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013446413 | 0.0014211206 | 0.0014211206 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 9.987825E-7 | 1.0567024E-6 | 1.0567024E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2804895E-6 | 4.528719E-6 | 4.528719E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.211371E-5 | 5.5136083E-5 | 5.5136083E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.210149E-4 | 5.5125623E-4 | 5.5125623E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Peralta Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.8850067E-6 | 3.84013E-6 | 3.84013E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6649923E-5 | 1.6457638E-5 | 1.6457638E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0269395E-4 | 2.0036074E-4 | 2.0036074E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020250916 | 0.0020025286 | 0.0020125087 | 1.0049837 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.8850067E-6 | 3.84013E-6 | 3.84013E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6649923E-5 | 1.6457638E-5 | 1.6457638E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0269395E-4 | 2.0036074E-4 | 2.0036074E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020250916 | 0.0020025286 | 0.0020125087 | 1.0049837 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.8850067E-6 | 3.84013E-6 | 3.84013E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6649923E-5 | 1.6457638E-5 | 1.6457638E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0269395E-4 | 2.0036074E-4 | 2.0036074E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020250916 | 0.0020025286 | 0.0020125087 | 1.0049837 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.8850067E-6 | 3.84013E-6 | 3.84013E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6649923E-5 | 1.6457638E-5 | 1.6457638E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0269395E-4 | 2.0036074E-4 | 2.0036074E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020250916 | 0.0020025286 | 0.0020125087 | 1.0049837 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.8850067E-6 | 3.84013E-6 | 3.84013E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6649923E-5 | 1.6457638E-5 | 1.6457638E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0269395E-4 | 2.0036074E-4 | 2.0036074E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020250916 | 0.0020025286 | 0.0020125087 | 1.0049837 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5587785E-6 | 1.4436017E-6 | 1.4436017E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6804623E-6 | 6.1868514E-6 | 6.1868514E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.133159E-5 | 7.5322554E-5 | 7.5322554E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.1301836E-4 | 7.5299427E-4 | 7.5299427E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.5587785E-6 | 1.4436017E-6 | 1.4436017E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6804623E-6 | 6.1868514E-6 | 6.1868514E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.133159E-5 | 7.5322554E-5 | 7.5322554E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.1301836E-4 | 7.5299427E-4 | 7.5299427E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.5018579E-6 | 1.3842209E-6 | 1.3842209E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.436518E-6 | 5.9323634E-6 | 5.9323634E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.836179E-5 | 7.222437E-5 | 7.222437E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.833416E-4 | 7.220325E-4 | 7.220325E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.4584314E-6 | 1.33865E-6 | 1.33865E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.250405E-6 | 5.7370603E-6 | 5.7370603E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6096025E-5 | 6.984671E-5 | 6.984671E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6069974E-4 | 6.98271E-4 | 6.98271E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.1382393E-6 | 9.866011E-7 | 9.866011E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8781594E-6 | 4.228284E-6 | 4.228284E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9389975E-5 | 5.1478226E-5 | 5.1478226E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.93741E-4 | 5.1467126E-4 | 5.1467126E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 9.970413E-7 | 8.312783E-7 | 8.312783E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.273027E-6 | 3.562617E-6 | 3.562617E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2022864E-5 | 4.3374068E-5 | 4.3374068E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2010687E-4 | 4.3366282E-4 | 4.3366282E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 9.684443E-7 | 7.997131E-7 | 7.997131E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.150469E-6 | 3.427338E-6 | 3.427338E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.053079E-5 | 4.1727108E-5 | 4.1727108E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.05193E-4 | 4.1719948E-4 | 4.1719948E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 9.240811E-7 | 7.5060655E-7 | 7.5060655E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.960342E-6 | 3.2168816E-6 | 3.2168816E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8216094E-5 | 3.9164897E-5 | 3.9164897E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8205635E-4 | 3.9158648E-4 | 3.9158648E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 8.158643E-7 | 6.352599E-7 | 6.352599E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4965567E-6 | 2.7225399E-6 | 2.7225399E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2569747E-5 | 3.314648E-5 | 3.314648E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2561593E-4 | 3.314215E-4 | 3.314215E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 6.3822824E-7 | 4.7976863E-7 | 4.7976863E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7352612E-6 | 2.05615E-6 | 2.05615E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3301294E-5 | 2.503339E-5 | 2.503339E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3296304E-4 | 2.5031084E-4 | 2.5031084E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.0292628E-7 | 2.7857266E-7 | 2.7857266E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7268258E-6 | 1.1938823E-6 | 1.1938823E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1023901E-5 | 1.453545E-5 | 1.453545E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1021912E-4 | 1.4534779E-4 | 1.4534779E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.672993E-7 | 2.4864747E-7 | 2.4864747E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5741389E-6 | 1.0656317E-6 | 1.0656317E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9164972E-5 | 1.29740165E-5 | 1.29740165E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.916332E-4 | 1.2973532E-4 | 1.2973532E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.8466823E-7 | 1.7867615E-7 | 1.7867615E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2200061E-6 | 7.6575486E-7 | 7.6575486E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4853474E-5 | 9.323052E-6 | 9.323052E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.485248E-4 | 9.322921E-5 | 9.322921E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Susana East (connector)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.858397E-5 | 3.2030708E-5 | 3.2030708E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2249697E-4 | 1.3726884E-4 | 1.3726884E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014903803 | 0.0016702352 | 0.0016802185 | 1.0059772 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014804244 | 0.016603552 | 0.016613385 | 1.0005922 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.858397E-5 | 3.2030708E-5 | 3.2030708E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2249697E-4 | 1.3726884E-4 | 1.3726884E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014903803 | 0.0016702352 | 0.0016802185 | 1.0059772 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014804244 | 0.016603552 | 0.016613385 | 1.0005922 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.858397E-5 | 3.2030708E-5 | 3.2030708E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2249697E-4 | 1.3726884E-4 | 1.3726884E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014903803 | 0.0016702352 | 0.0016802185 | 1.0059772 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014804244 | 0.016603552 | 0.016613385 | 1.0005922 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.943582E-5 | 2.0372114E-5 | 2.0372114E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.329371E-5 | 8.730678E-5 | 8.730678E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001013629 | 0.0010625538 | 0.0010725432 | 1.0094013 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010090181 | 0.0105859665 | 0.010595861 | 1.0009346 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.943582E-5 | 2.0372114E-5 | 2.0372114E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.329371E-5 | 8.730678E-5 | 8.730678E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001013629 | 0.0010625538 | 0.0010725432 | 1.0094013 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010090181 | 0.0105859665 | 0.010595861 | 1.0009346 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.943582E-5 | 2.0372114E-5 | 2.0372114E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.329371E-5 | 8.730678E-5 | 8.730678E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001013629 | 0.0010625538 | 0.0010725432 | 1.0094013 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010090181 | 0.0105859665 | 0.010595861 | 1.0009346 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.943582E-5 | 2.0372114E-5 | 2.0372114E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.329371E-5 | 8.730678E-5 | 8.730678E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001013629 | 0.0010625538 | 0.0010725432 | 1.0094013 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010090181 | 0.0105859665 | 0.010595861 | 1.0009346 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.9404439E-5 | 2.0359532E-5 | 2.0359532E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.3159226E-5 | 8.7252854E-5 | 8.7252854E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010119933 | 0.001061898 | 0.0010718873 | 1.009407 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010073971 | 0.0105794715 | 0.010589365 | 1.0009352 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2217526E-5 | 1.15950015E-5 | 1.15950015E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2359774E-5 | 4.969201E-5 | 4.969201E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.372938E-4 | 6.0484913E-4 | 6.0484913E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063546924 | 0.006033873 | 0.006033873 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.2217526E-5 | 1.15950015E-5 | 1.15950015E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2359774E-5 | 4.969201E-5 | 4.969201E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.372938E-4 | 6.0484913E-4 | 6.0484913E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063546924 | 0.006033873 | 0.006033873 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 9.276017E-6 | 8.060125E-6 | 8.060125E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9753755E-5 | 3.4542954E-5 | 3.4542954E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8389446E-4 | 4.2048277E-4 | 4.2048277E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048284214 | 0.0041973935 | 0.0041973935 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 9.130355E-6 | 7.943279E-6 | 7.943279E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9129503E-5 | 3.40422E-5 | 3.40422E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7629757E-4 | 4.1438843E-4 | 4.1438843E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00475278 | 0.0041366788 | 0.0041366788 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 8.851015E-6 | 7.742418E-6 | 7.742418E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7932372E-5 | 3.318139E-5 | 3.318139E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6172875E-4 | 4.0391195E-4 | 4.0391195E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0046077054 | 0.0040322966 | 0.0040322966 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 8.573006E-6 | 7.551116E-6 | 7.551116E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6740938E-5 | 3.2361546E-5 | 3.2361546E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.472291E-4 | 3.93934E-4 | 3.93934E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004463301 | 0.003932866 | 0.003932866 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 7.852282E-6 | 6.818478E-6 | 6.818478E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.36522E-5 | 2.922174E-5 | 2.922174E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.096385E-4 | 3.5571962E-4 | 3.5571962E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040888423 | 0.0035519511 | 0.0035519511 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.8869324E-6 | 4.279532E-6 | 4.279532E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0943828E-5 | 1.834073E-5 | 1.834073E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5496128E-4 | 2.2327718E-4 | 2.2327718E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025466895 | 0.0022306158 | 0.0022306158 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.3894544E-6 | 1.1569141E-6 | 1.1569141E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.954791E-6 | 4.958195E-6 | 4.958195E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.249717E-5 | 6.036457E-5 | 6.036457E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.247352E-4 | 6.0350355E-4 | 6.0350355E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.9924632E-7 | 2.3722747E-7 | 2.3722747E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2824837E-6 | 1.0166888E-6 | 1.0166888E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5614127E-5 | 1.2378123E-5 | 1.2378123E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5613029E-4 | 1.2377505E-4 | 1.2377505E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.8188564E-8 | 2.633684E-8 | 2.633684E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.065224E-7 | 1.12872165E-7 | 1.12872165E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5144072E-6 | 1.3742178E-6 | 1.3742178E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5143789E-5 | 1.3742102E-5 | 1.3742102E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.6127251E-9 | 2.7683287E-9 | 2.7683287E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1197393E-8 | 1.1864265E-8 | 1.1864265E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3632825E-7 | 1.4444743E-7 | 1.4444743E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3632817E-6 | 1.4444743E-6 | 1.4444743E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Gregorio (South) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.8770423E-5 | 1.6286212E-5 | 1.6286212E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.044219E-5 | 6.97962E-5 | 6.97962E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.789435E-4 | 8.494413E-4 | 8.494413E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009746423 | 0.008474586 | 0.0084845 | 1.00117 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.8770423E-5 | 1.6286212E-5 | 1.6286212E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.044219E-5 | 6.97962E-5 | 6.97962E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.789435E-4 | 8.494413E-4 | 8.494413E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009746423 | 0.008474586 | 0.0084845 | 1.00117 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.7508692E-5 | 1.4905545E-5 | 1.4905545E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5035096E-5 | 6.387936E-5 | 6.387936E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1316935E-4 | 7.7745673E-4 | 7.7745673E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00909426 | 0.0077599264 | 0.007769849 | 1.0012786 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.7508692E-5 | 1.4905545E-5 | 1.4905545E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5035096E-5 | 6.387936E-5 | 6.387936E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1316935E-4 | 7.7745673E-4 | 7.7745673E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00909426 | 0.0077599264 | 0.007769849 | 1.0012786 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6004591E-5 | 1.32551695E-5 | 1.32551695E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.85893E-5 | 5.680664E-5 | 5.680664E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.347548E-4 | 6.914024E-4 | 6.914024E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008316261 | 0.0069048703 | 0.0069048703 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.6004591E-5 | 1.32551695E-5 | 1.32551695E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.85893E-5 | 5.680664E-5 | 5.680664E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.347548E-4 | 6.914024E-4 | 6.914024E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008316261 | 0.0069048703 | 0.0069048703 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.5442201E-5 | 1.26397235E-5 | 1.26397235E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.617918E-5 | 5.4169126E-5 | 5.4169126E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0543366E-4 | 6.593104E-4 | 6.593104E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008025207 | 0.006585883 | 0.006585883 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.489921E-5 | 1.2048163E-5 | 1.2048163E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3852196E-5 | 5.1633964E-5 | 5.1633964E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7712315E-4 | 6.284629E-4 | 6.284629E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0077441116 | 0.0062791808 | 0.0062791808 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.3876024E-5 | 1.092697E-5 | 1.092697E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9467322E-5 | 4.6829035E-5 | 4.6829035E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.237741E-4 | 5.699947E-4 | 5.699947E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0072142133 | 0.0056976173 | 0.0056976173 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.33922495E-5 | 1.0398407E-5 | 1.0398407E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7394092E-5 | 4.456384E-5 | 4.456384E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9854903E-4 | 5.4243E-4 | 5.4243E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0069635725 | 0.0054233414 | 0.0054233414 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.2807324E-5 | 9.758288E-6 | 9.758288E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4887376E-5 | 4.1820564E-5 | 4.1820564E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.680489E-4 | 5.090466E-4 | 5.090466E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006660442 | 0.005091079 | 0.005091079 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.2191438E-5 | 9.067061E-6 | 9.067061E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.224797E-5 | 3.8858256E-5 | 3.8858256E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3593336E-4 | 4.7299665E-4 | 4.7299665E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063411663 | 0.004732164 | 0.004732164 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.1769438E-5 | 8.587167E-6 | 8.587167E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0439474E-5 | 3.6801623E-5 | 3.6801623E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1392755E-4 | 4.4796773E-4 | 4.4796773E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0061223423 | 0.0044829114 | 0.0044829114 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.150374E-5 | 8.302564E-6 | 8.302564E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9300812E-5 | 3.5581932E-5 | 3.5581932E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0007203E-4 | 4.33124E-4 | 4.33124E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0059845424 | 0.004335046 | 0.004335046 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.12514E-5 | 8.048259E-6 | 8.048259E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8219394E-5 | 3.449208E-5 | 3.449208E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8691297E-4 | 4.1986024E-4 | 4.1986024E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005853653 | 0.004202905 | 0.004202905 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.059696E-5 | 7.398471E-6 | 7.398471E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5414752E-5 | 3.170735E-5 | 3.170735E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5278436E-4 | 3.8596865E-4 | 3.8596865E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0055141128 | 0.003865144 | 0.003865144 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 9.018592E-6 | 5.841975E-6 | 5.841975E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8650534E-5 | 2.5036798E-5 | 2.5036798E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7046866E-4 | 3.047804E-4 | 3.047804E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004694739 | 0.003055395 | 0.003055395 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.243489E-6 | 3.2436033E-6 | 3.2436033E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6757538E-5 | 1.3901083E-5 | 1.3901083E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.257243E-4 | 1.6923255E-4 | 1.6923255E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003252473 | 0.0017012157 | 0.0017012157 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.1941963E-6 | 1.3835132E-6 | 1.3835132E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.368934E-5 | 5.9293284E-6 | 5.9293284E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6665498E-4 | 7.2187184E-5 | 7.2187184E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016653005 | 7.2765036E-4 | 7.2765036E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.0098398E-6 | 6.9349517E-7 | 6.9349517E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6135715E-6 | 2.9721186E-6 | 2.9721186E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0486518E-4 | 3.6184945E-5 | 3.6184945E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010481571 | 3.6671798E-4 | 3.6671798E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 8.353119E-7 | 3.1713205E-7 | 3.1713205E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.579903E-6 | 1.3591366E-6 | 1.3591366E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.358445E-5 | 1.6547363E-5 | 1.6547363E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3575902E-4 | 1.66661E-4 | 1.66661E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.5033264E-7 | 6.542721E-8 | 6.542721E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.442826E-7 | 2.8040228E-7 | 2.8040228E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.844113E-6 | 3.4138925E-6 | 3.4138925E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.843835E-5 | 3.4156303E-5 | 3.4156303E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Anacapa-Dume alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.1871802E-6 | 5.3676717E-6 | 5.3676717E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2230583E-5 | 2.300411E-5 | 2.300411E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7062374E-4 | 2.8003988E-4 | 2.8003988E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002702944 | 0.0027969554 | 0.0028069273 | 1.0035653 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.1871802E-6 | 5.3676717E-6 | 5.3676717E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2230583E-5 | 2.300411E-5 | 2.300411E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7062374E-4 | 2.8003988E-4 | 2.8003988E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002702944 | 0.0027969554 | 0.0028069273 | 1.0035653 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 5.1871802E-6 | 5.3676717E-6 | 5.3676717E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2230583E-5 | 2.300411E-5 | 2.300411E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7062374E-4 | 2.8003988E-4 | 2.8003988E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002702944 | 0.0027969554 | 0.0028069273 | 1.0035653 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 5.1871802E-6 | 5.3676717E-6 | 5.3676717E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2230583E-5 | 2.300411E-5 | 2.300411E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7062374E-4 | 2.8003988E-4 | 2.8003988E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002702944 | 0.0027969554 | 0.0028069273 | 1.0035653 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 5.1871802E-6 | 5.3676717E-6 | 5.3676717E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2230583E-5 | 2.300411E-5 | 2.300411E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7062374E-4 | 2.8003988E-4 | 2.8003988E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002702944 | 0.0027969554 | 0.0028069273 | 1.0035653 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.1871802E-6 | 5.3676717E-6 | 5.3676717E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2230583E-5 | 2.300411E-5 | 2.300411E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7062374E-4 | 2.8003988E-4 | 2.8003988E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002702944 | 0.0027969554 | 0.0028069273 | 1.0035653 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.1871802E-6 | 5.3676717E-6 | 5.3676717E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2230583E-5 | 2.300411E-5 | 2.300411E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7062374E-4 | 2.8003988E-4 | 2.8003988E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002702944 | 0.0027969554 | 0.0028069273 | 1.0035653 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.7693475E-6 | 4.936955E-6 | 4.936955E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.04399E-5 | 2.1158212E-5 | 2.1158212E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4882736E-4 | 2.5757152E-4 | 2.5757152E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024854892 | 0.002572806 | 0.0025827803 | 1.0038768 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 4.753408E-6 | 4.9205028E-6 | 4.9205028E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.037159E-5 | 2.1087702E-5 | 2.1087702E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4799586E-4 | 2.5671328E-4 | 2.5671328E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002477193 | 0.0025642433 | 0.0025742177 | 1.0038898 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.800069E-6 | 3.937348E-6 | 3.937348E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6285909E-5 | 1.687424E-5 | 1.687424E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9826289E-4 | 2.0542475E-4 | 2.0542475E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001980861 | 0.0020523723 | 0.002062352 | 1.0048624 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.6671938E-6 | 3.8001344E-6 | 3.8001344E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.571645E-5 | 1.6286189E-5 | 1.6286189E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9133097E-4 | 1.9826654E-4 | 1.9826654E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019116632 | 0.0019809199 | 0.0019909001 | 1.0050381 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.2394885E-6 | 3.358991E-6 | 3.358991E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3883448E-5 | 1.4395597E-5 | 1.4395597E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6901788E-4 | 1.752524E-4 | 1.752524E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016888938 | 0.0017511531 | 0.0017611356 | 1.0057005 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.0935948E-6 | 3.2081168E-6 | 3.2081168E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3258196E-5 | 1.3749001E-5 | 1.3749001E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6140658E-4 | 1.6738132E-4 | 1.6738132E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001612894 | 0.0016725636 | 0.0016825468 | 1.0059688 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.5604163E-6 | 2.6472253E-6 | 2.6472253E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0973167E-5 | 1.13452015E-5 | 1.13452015E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3359012E-4 | 1.3811913E-4 | 1.3811913E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013350984 | 0.0013803374 | 0.0013903236 | 1.0072346 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.1429005E-6 | 2.2107286E-6 | 2.2107286E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1838265E-6 | 9.474516E-6 | 9.474516E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.11807356E-4 | 1.15346156E-4 | 1.15346156E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011175112 | 0.0011528656 | 0.001162854 | 1.008664 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.7237151E-6 | 1.7762466E-6 | 1.7762466E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3873293E-6 | 7.612463E-6 | 7.612463E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.993702E-5 | 9.2677816E-5 | 9.2677816E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.990063E-4 | 9.26394E-4 | 9.26394E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 9.541696E-7 | 9.82377E-7 | 9.82377E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.089292E-6 | 4.21018E-6 | 4.21018E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9785995E-5 | 5.1257746E-5 | 5.1257746E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9774844E-4 | 5.1246054E-4 | 5.1246054E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.7226676E-7 | 2.7173695E-7 | 2.7173695E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.166857E-6 | 1.1645864E-6 | 1.1645864E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4206392E-5 | 1.4178748E-5 | 1.4178748E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4205484E-4 | 1.417785E-4 | 1.417785E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.5017995E-8 | 4.215964E-8 | 4.215964E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9293425E-7 | 1.8068417E-7 | 1.8068417E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.348972E-6 | 2.1998278E-6 | 2.1998278E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.348947E-5 | 2.1998081E-5 | 2.1998081E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 8.007447E-10 | 6.162062E-10 | 6.162062E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4317629E-9 | 2.6408842E-9 | 2.6408842E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1781714E-8 | 3.2152766E-8 | 3.2152766E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1781706E-7 | 3.215276E-7 | 3.215276E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Big Pine (Central)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2706755E-5 | 1.425545E-5 | 1.425545E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4456385E-5 | 6.109356E-5 | 6.109356E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.628048E-4 | 7.435968E-4 | 7.435968E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006608314 | 0.007416077 | 0.007426003 | 1.0013384 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 8.342579E-6 | 9.515143E-6 | 9.515143E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5753423E-5 | 4.0778665E-5 | 4.0778665E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3521097E-4 | 4.963889E-4 | 4.963889E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0043435963 | 0.0049563176 | 0.004966268 | 1.0020076 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.923899E-6 | 7.971347E-6 | 7.971347E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9673516E-5 | 3.416258E-5 | 3.416258E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6121515E-4 | 4.1586926E-4 | 4.1586926E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003606286 | 0.00415418 | 0.0041641383 | 1.0023972 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.728396E-6 | 3.4279922E-6 | 3.4279922E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1693074E-5 | 1.4691317E-5 | 1.4691317E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4235388E-4 | 1.7885298E-4 | 1.7885298E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014226272 | 0.0017885584 | 0.0017985406 | 1.0055811 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.7136944E-6 | 3.4122843E-6 | 3.4122843E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1630066E-5 | 1.4623998E-5 | 1.4623998E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4158686E-4 | 1.780335E-4 | 1.780335E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014149669 | 0.0017803768 | 0.001790359 | 1.0056068 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.6971882E-6 | 3.3946276E-6 | 3.3946276E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1559327E-5 | 1.4548328E-5 | 1.4548328E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4072572E-4 | 1.7711236E-4 | 1.7711236E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014063664 | 0.0017711802 | 0.0017811625 | 1.005636 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.669092E-6 | 3.3646454E-6 | 3.3646454E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1438916E-5 | 1.4419834E-5 | 1.4419834E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3925991E-4 | 1.7554821E-4 | 1.7554821E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013917267 | 0.0017555634 | 0.0017655458 | 1.0056862 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.6408059E-6 | 3.3346687E-6 | 3.3346687E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1317691E-5 | 1.4291364E-5 | 1.4291364E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3778417E-4 | 1.7398433E-4 | 1.7398433E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013769877 | 0.0017399492 | 0.0017499318 | 1.0057373 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.1786943E-6 | 2.8581062E-6 | 2.8581062E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.337228E-6 | 1.2248974E-5 | 1.2248974E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1367482E-4 | 1.4912177E-4 | 1.4912177E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011361669 | 0.0014916717 | 0.0015016567 | 1.0066938 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.4411696E-6 | 2.0720145E-6 | 2.0720145E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1764263E-6 | 8.880033E-6 | 8.880033E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.51954E-5 | 1.08109314E-4 | 1.08109314E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5169955E-4 | 0.0010819772 | 0.0010919663 | 1.0092323 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0073411E-6 | 1.5574002E-6 | 1.5574002E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.317169E-6 | 6.674556E-6 | 6.674556E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2560266E-5 | 8.1259845E-5 | 8.1259845E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2547833E-4 | 8.136999E-4 | 8.136999E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 8.947104E-7 | 1.4333451E-6 | 1.4333451E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.834468E-6 | 6.142894E-6 | 6.142894E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6683643E-5 | 7.478732E-5 | 7.478732E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6673836E-4 | 7.4901985E-4 | 7.4901985E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 5.215166E-7 | 1.0140593E-6 | 1.0140593E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2350691E-6 | 4.3459613E-6 | 4.3459613E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7211627E-5 | 5.291084E-5 | 5.291084E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7208295E-4 | 5.303706E-4 | 5.303706E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 4.4024807E-7 | 9.2476586E-7 | 9.2476586E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8867761E-6 | 3.9632764E-6 | 3.9632764E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2971257E-5 | 4.8251866E-5 | 4.8251866E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2968883E-4 | 4.8380165E-4 | 4.8380165E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.6130905E-7 | 8.38574E-7 | 8.38574E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5484665E-6 | 3.593884E-6 | 3.593884E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8852415E-5 | 4.37547E-5 | 4.37547E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8850817E-4 | 4.3883838E-4 | 4.3883838E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 3.408184E-7 | 8.1347787E-7 | 8.1347787E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4606494E-6 | 3.4863294E-6 | 3.4863294E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7783263E-5 | 4.2445274E-5 | 4.2445274E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.778184E-4 | 4.2573005E-4 | 4.2573005E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.1428627E-7 | 7.757299E-7 | 7.757299E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3469405E-6 | 3.3245528E-6 | 3.3245528E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6398877E-5 | 4.047572E-5 | 4.047572E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6397667E-4 | 4.060117E-4 | 4.060117E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.7972785E-7 | 5.097372E-7 | 5.097372E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.70262E-7 | 2.1845863E-6 | 2.1845863E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.377899E-6 | 2.6597023E-5 | 2.6597023E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.377503E-5 | 2.6729287E-4 | 2.6729287E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.9230927E-8 | 1.20269E-7 | 1.20269E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1098968E-7 | 5.1543844E-7 | 5.1543844E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5687964E-6 | 6.2754466E-6 | 6.2754466E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5687666E-5 | 6.3204345E-5 | 6.3204345E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 3.6805972E-9 | 4.1242147E-9 | 4.1242147E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5773987E-8 | 1.7675207E-8 | 1.7675207E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9204828E-7 | 2.1519563E-7 | 2.1519563E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.920481E-6 | 2.200129E-6 | 2.200129E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Owens Valley Keough Hot Springs
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5708529E-5 | 4.95216E-6 | 4.95216E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7320536E-5 | 2.1223399E-5 | 2.1223399E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.193192E-4 | 2.5836937E-4 | 2.6836677E-4 | 1.0386943 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008163051 | 0.0025814024 | 0.0025913767 | 1.0038638 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.5708529E-5 | 4.95216E-6 | 4.95216E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7320536E-5 | 2.1223399E-5 | 2.1223399E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.193192E-4 | 2.5836937E-4 | 2.6836677E-4 | 1.0386943 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008163051 | 0.0025814024 | 0.0025913767 | 1.0038638 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.5708529E-5 | 4.95216E-6 | 4.95216E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7320536E-5 | 2.1223399E-5 | 2.1223399E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.193192E-4 | 2.5836937E-4 | 2.6836677E-4 | 1.0386943 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008163051 | 0.0025814024 | 0.0025913767 | 1.0038638 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.5708529E-5 | 4.95216E-6 | 4.95216E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7320536E-5 | 2.1223399E-5 | 2.1223399E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.193192E-4 | 2.5836937E-4 | 2.6836677E-4 | 1.0386943 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008163051 | 0.0025814024 | 0.0025913767 | 1.0038638 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.4622509E-5 | 3.7278178E-6 | 3.7278178E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.266639E-5 | 1.5976284E-5 | 1.5976284E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.626962E-4 | 1.9449719E-4 | 2.0449524E-4 | 1.0514046 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007600839 | 0.0019438034 | 0.001953784 | 1.0051346 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3335527E-5 | 2.2787729E-6 | 2.2787729E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7151006E-5 | 9.766137E-6 | 9.766137E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.955913E-4 | 1.1889691E-4 | 1.2889573E-4 | 1.0840964 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0069341804 | 0.0011886094 | 0.0011985976 | 1.0084032 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.3332855E-5 | 2.2759218E-6 | 2.2759218E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7139558E-5 | 9.753918E-6 | 9.753918E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9545204E-4 | 1.1874816E-4 | 1.2874698E-4 | 1.0842018 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0069327964 | 0.0011871236 | 0.0011971117 | 1.0084137 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.3318214E-5 | 2.265149E-6 | 2.265149E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.707681E-5 | 9.707749E-6 | 9.707749E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.946886E-4 | 1.18186115E-4 | 1.2818494E-4 | 1.0846024 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0069252094 | 0.0011815091 | 0.0011914973 | 1.0084537 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2441338E-5 | 1.6786568E-6 | 1.6786568E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.331893E-5 | 7.194225E-6 | 7.194225E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.489646E-4 | 8.7586464E-5 | 8.7586464E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0064707273 | 8.7575824E-4 | 8.7575824E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.1130476E-5 | 1.0309365E-6 | 1.0309365E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7701167E-5 | 4.4182916E-6 | 4.4182916E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.806069E-4 | 5.3791387E-5 | 5.3791387E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057909233 | 5.3799147E-4 | 5.3799147E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.0986073E-5 | 9.584639E-7 | 9.584639E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7082318E-5 | 4.1076964E-6 | 4.1076964E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.730765E-4 | 5.001007E-5 | 5.001007E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057160086 | 5.001951E-4 | 5.001951E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.0451338E-5 | 8.0044487E-7 | 8.0044487E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4790682E-5 | 3.4304735E-6 | 3.4304735E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.451901E-4 | 4.1765223E-5 | 4.1765223E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005438545 | 4.177771E-4 | 4.177771E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 9.989061E-6 | 6.5484653E-7 | 6.5484653E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.280956E-5 | 2.8064821E-6 | 2.8064821E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2108173E-4 | 3.4168388E-5 | 3.4168388E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051986156 | 3.4180778E-4 | 3.4180778E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 9.465365E-6 | 5.463298E-7 | 5.463298E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.056522E-5 | 2.3414113E-6 | 2.3414113E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.937696E-4 | 2.8506312E-5 | 2.8506312E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0049267393 | 2.8519798E-4 | 2.8519798E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 6.3824805E-6 | 4.0190065E-7 | 4.0190065E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.73532E-5 | 1.7224303E-6 | 1.7224303E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3297433E-4 | 2.0970389E-5 | 2.0970389E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033247585 | 2.0981712E-4 | 2.0981712E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.6192645E-6 | 2.5179082E-7 | 2.5179082E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9396865E-6 | 1.0791031E-6 | 1.0791031E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.448741E-5 | 1.3138001E-5 | 1.3138001E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.4455294E-4 | 1.3137238E-4 | 1.3137238E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 5.7062545E-7 | 1.0799365E-7 | 1.0799365E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4455355E-6 | 4.6282983E-7 | 4.6282983E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9773988E-5 | 5.6349395E-6 | 5.6349395E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.977E-4 | 5.634805E-5 | 5.634805E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.5988817E-7 | 4.5482818E-8 | 4.5482818E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.113806E-6 | 1.9492634E-7 | 1.9492634E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3560503E-5 | 2.3732262E-6 | 2.3732262E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3559677E-4 | 2.3732051E-5 | 2.3732051E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Mission Creek
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6346243E-5 | 1.6346243E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9496433E-5 | 7.005353E-5 | 7.005353E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.52583E-4 | 8.52583E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006008218 | 0.008522051 | 0.008531966 | 1.0011635 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6346243E-5 | 1.6346243E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9496433E-5 | 7.005353E-5 | 7.005353E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.52583E-4 | 8.52583E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006008218 | 0.008522051 | 0.008531966 | 1.0011635 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6346243E-5 | 1.6346243E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9496433E-5 | 7.005353E-5 | 7.005353E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.52583E-4 | 8.52583E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006008218 | 0.008522051 | 0.008531966 | 1.0011635 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6346243E-5 | 1.6346243E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9496433E-5 | 7.005353E-5 | 7.005353E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.52583E-4 | 8.52583E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006008218 | 0.008522051 | 0.008531966 | 1.0011635 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6346243E-5 | 1.6346243E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9496433E-5 | 7.005353E-5 | 7.005353E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.52583E-4 | 8.52583E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006008218 | 0.008522051 | 0.008531966 | 1.0011635 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6346243E-5 | 1.6346243E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9496433E-5 | 7.005353E-5 | 7.005353E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.52583E-4 | 8.52583E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006008218 | 0.008522051 | 0.008531966 | 1.0011635 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.202681E-6 | 1.3869338E-5 | 1.3869338E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9439463E-5 | 5.9438713E-5 | 5.9438713E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.800697E-4 | 7.2343514E-4 | 7.2343514E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004790339 | 0.007239156 | 0.0072490834 | 1.0013714 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.019164E-6 | 1.3674991E-5 | 1.3674991E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8652986E-5 | 5.860584E-5 | 5.860584E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7049852E-4 | 7.1330153E-4 | 7.1330153E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004695036 | 0.0071384734 | 0.0071484023 | 1.0013908 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.673558E-6 | 1.3297053E-5 | 1.3297053E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.717186E-5 | 5.6986173E-5 | 5.6986173E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.524734E-4 | 6.9359463E-4 | 6.9359463E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045155324 | 0.006942638 | 0.006952569 | 1.0014304 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.002255E-6 | 1.1501103E-5 | 1.1501103E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.000932E-5 | 4.928955E-5 | 4.928955E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.653022E-4 | 5.999419E-4 | 5.999419E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036470229 | 0.0060113794 | 0.0060213194 | 1.0016536 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.84644E-6 | 9.697217E-6 | 9.697217E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5055931E-5 | 4.1558866E-5 | 4.1558866E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0501327E-4 | 5.0586625E-4 | 5.0586625E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030459496 | 0.0050750975 | 0.005085047 | 1.0019604 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.54703E-6 | 9.351612E-6 | 9.351612E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.377277E-5 | 4.0077746E-5 | 4.0077746E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8939504E-4 | 4.8784178E-4 | 4.8784178E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028901845 | 0.0048956517 | 0.0049056024 | 1.0020326 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.384709E-6 | 7.702721E-6 | 7.702721E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8791474E-5 | 3.3011263E-5 | 3.3011263E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2876218E-4 | 4.0184168E-4 | 4.0184168E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022852682 | 0.0040390207 | 0.0040489803 | 1.0024658 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.7888456E-6 | 6.936183E-6 | 6.936183E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.623781E-5 | 2.972618E-5 | 2.972618E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9767738E-4 | 3.6185948E-4 | 3.6185948E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019750162 | 0.0036405483 | 0.003650512 | 1.0027368 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.1982462E-6 | 5.0438944E-6 | 5.0438944E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.421021E-6 | 2.1616512E-5 | 2.1616512E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1469489E-4 | 2.6314944E-4 | 2.6314944E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011463572 | 0.0026560118 | 0.0026659854 | 1.0037551 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.051923E-6 | 4.634581E-6 | 4.634581E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.793926E-6 | 1.9862338E-5 | 1.9862338E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0706078E-4 | 2.4179729E-4 | 2.4179729E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010700922 | 0.0024433339 | 0.0024533095 | 1.0040828 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.8733427E-6 | 4.1422586E-6 | 4.1422586E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.028587E-6 | 1.7752418E-5 | 1.7752418E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.774366E-5 | 2.1611433E-4 | 2.1611433E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.770069E-4 | 0.0021875268 | 0.0021975047 | 1.0045614 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.8411953E-6 | 4.061806E-6 | 4.061806E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.890813E-6 | 1.7407625E-5 | 1.7407625E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.606641E-5 | 2.119173E-4 | 2.119173E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.6024893E-4 | 0.0021457567 | 0.0021557354 | 1.0046504 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.7194251E-6 | 3.727886E-6 | 3.727886E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.368944E-6 | 1.5976557E-5 | 1.5976557E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.97132E-5 | 1.9449729E-4 | 1.9449729E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.967699E-4 | 0.001971094 | 0.0019810742 | 1.0050633 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.4035052E-6 | 2.9643656E-6 | 2.9643656E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0150082E-6 | 1.2704363E-5 | 1.2704363E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3230265E-5 | 1.546647E-4 | 1.546647E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3206134E-4 | 0.0015701717 | 0.001580156 | 1.0063587 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 3.9318823E-7 | 5.562762E-7 | 5.562762E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6850913E-6 | 2.3840387E-6 | 2.3840387E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0515794E-5 | 2.9025288E-5 | 2.9025288E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0513899E-4 | 3.008935E-4 | 3.008935E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.596793E-7 | 1.1496835E-7 | 1.1496835E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8433974E-7 | 4.927214E-7 | 4.927214E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.331805E-6 | 5.998867E-6 | 5.998867E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.331492E-5 | 6.613749E-5 | 6.613749E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 4.9003038E-8 | 2.5739038E-8 | 2.5739038E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.10013E-7 | 1.10310154E-7 | 1.10310154E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5569052E-6 | 1.3430254E-6 | 1.3430254E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.556876E-5 | 1.511816E-5 | 1.511816E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Raymond
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5157413E-5 | 1.581271E-5 | 1.581271E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4958724E-5 | 6.7767134E-5 | 7.776645E-5 | 1.1475542 | 1.0E-5 | 7.905855E-4 | 8.2477764E-4 | 8.347694E-4 | 1.0121145 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007877788 | 0.00821967 | 0.008229587 | 1.0012066 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.5157413E-5 | 1.581271E-5 | 1.581271E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4958724E-5 | 6.7767134E-5 | 7.776645E-5 | 1.1475542 | 1.0E-5 | 7.905855E-4 | 8.2477764E-4 | 8.347694E-4 | 1.0121145 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007877788 | 0.00821967 | 0.008229587 | 1.0012066 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.5157413E-5 | 1.581271E-5 | 1.581271E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4958724E-5 | 6.7767134E-5 | 7.776645E-5 | 1.1475542 | 1.0E-5 | 7.905855E-4 | 8.2477764E-4 | 8.347694E-4 | 1.0121145 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007877788 | 0.00821967 | 0.008229587 | 1.0012066 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.5157413E-5 | 1.581271E-5 | 1.581271E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4958724E-5 | 6.7767134E-5 | 7.776645E-5 | 1.1475542 | 1.0E-5 | 7.905855E-4 | 8.2477764E-4 | 8.347694E-4 | 1.0121145 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007877788 | 0.00821967 | 0.008229587 | 1.0012066 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.3941944E-5 | 1.4457065E-5 | 1.4457065E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9749822E-5 | 6.195751E-5 | 7.195689E-5 | 1.1613909 | 1.0E-5 | 7.2721124E-4 | 7.540949E-4 | 7.6408737E-4 | 1.013251 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007248361 | 0.0075176796 | 0.0075276042 | 1.0013202 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3941944E-5 | 1.4457065E-5 | 1.4457065E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9749822E-5 | 6.195751E-5 | 7.195689E-5 | 1.1613909 | 1.0E-5 | 7.2721124E-4 | 7.540949E-4 | 7.6408737E-4 | 1.013251 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007248361 | 0.0075176796 | 0.0075276042 | 1.0013202 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0542609E-5 | 1.0672919E-5 | 1.0672919E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5181827E-5 | 4.5740315E-5 | 5.5739856E-5 | 1.2186155 | 1.0E-5 | 5.499499E-4 | 5.567515E-4 | 5.6674593E-4 | 1.0179514 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005485909 | 0.0055541126 | 0.005564057 | 1.0017905 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.0542609E-5 | 1.0672919E-5 | 1.0672919E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5181827E-5 | 4.5740315E-5 | 5.5739856E-5 | 1.2186155 | 1.0E-5 | 5.499499E-4 | 5.567515E-4 | 5.6674593E-4 | 1.0179514 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005485909 | 0.0055541126 | 0.005564057 | 1.0017905 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0079132E-5 | 1.0178408E-5 | 1.0178408E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3195567E-5 | 4.362105E-5 | 5.3620613E-5 | 1.2292371 | 1.0E-5 | 5.257791E-4 | 5.3096225E-4 | 5.409569E-4 | 1.0188237 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0052453685 | 0.0052974704 | 0.0053074174 | 1.0018777 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.721598E-6 | 7.550263E-6 | 7.550263E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3092143E-5 | 3.2357875E-5 | 4.235755E-5 | 1.3090338 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0282236E-4 | 3.9388714E-4 | 4.038832E-4 | 1.025378 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0040209293 | 0.003932008 | 0.0039419685 | 1.0025332 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.137566E-6 | 6.912586E-6 | 6.912586E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.058921E-5 | 2.9625036E-5 | 3.962474E-5 | 1.3375423 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7236E-4 | 3.606262E-4 | 3.706226E-4 | 1.0277195 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037173668 | 0.0036005129 | 0.0036104769 | 1.0027673 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.654976E-6 | 5.3006333E-6 | 5.3006333E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4235387E-5 | 2.2716804E-5 | 2.2716804E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9502588E-4 | 2.765422E-4 | 2.765422E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029463451 | 0.0027619961 | 0.0027619961 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 4.9358455E-6 | 4.527665E-6 | 4.527665E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1153453E-5 | 1.9404135E-5 | 1.9404135E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5751285E-4 | 2.3621987E-4 | 2.3621987E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025721465 | 0.0023596943 | 0.0023596943 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 4.2368597E-6 | 3.806549E-6 | 3.806549E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8157843E-5 | 1.6313681E-5 | 1.6313681E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2104931E-4 | 1.9860106E-4 | 1.9860106E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022082955 | 0.001984239 | 0.001984239 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.4999923E-6 | 3.0445863E-6 | 3.0445863E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.49998805E-5 | 1.3048162E-5 | 1.3048162E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8260824E-4 | 1.5884987E-4 | 1.5884987E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018245826 | 0.0015873634 | 0.0015873634 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.738017E-6 | 2.302689E-6 | 2.302689E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1734306E-5 | 9.86863E-6 | 9.86863E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.428558E-4 | 1.2014401E-4 | 1.2014401E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014276401 | 0.0012007894 | 0.0012007894 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.8186392E-6 | 1.4427594E-6 | 1.4427594E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.794145E-6 | 6.18324E-6 | 6.18324E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.488958E-5 | 7.527839E-5 | 7.527839E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4849075E-4 | 7.525248E-4 | 7.525248E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.0660348E-6 | 7.6474055E-7 | 7.6474055E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5687125E-6 | 3.2774556E-6 | 3.2774556E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5622655E-5 | 3.990231E-5 | 3.990231E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5608735E-4 | 3.9894495E-4 | 3.9894495E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 6.913602E-7 | 4.323371E-7 | 4.323371E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.962969E-6 | 1.852872E-6 | 1.852872E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.607355E-5 | 2.2558488E-5 | 2.2558488E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6067693E-4 | 2.2555442E-4 | 2.2555442E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.425201E-8 | 5.325348E-8 | 5.325348E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1822285E-7 | 2.2822918E-7 | 2.2822918E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.874356E-6 | 2.778688E-6 | 2.778688E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8742884E-5 | 2.7786662E-5 | 2.7786662E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Swain Ravine - Spenceville
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.596169E-6 | 5.663885E-6 | 5.663885E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.398336E-5 | 2.4273582E-5 | 2.4273582E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9195828E-4 | 2.9549352E-4 | 2.9549352E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00291575 | 0.0029512753 | 0.0029612458 | 1.0033784 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.596169E-6 | 5.663885E-6 | 5.663885E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.398336E-5 | 2.4273582E-5 | 2.4273582E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9195828E-4 | 2.9549352E-4 | 2.9549352E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00291575 | 0.0029512753 | 0.0029612458 | 1.0033784 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 5.596169E-6 | 5.663885E-6 | 5.663885E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.398336E-5 | 2.4273582E-5 | 2.4273582E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9195828E-4 | 2.9549352E-4 | 2.9549352E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00291575 | 0.0029512753 | 0.0029612458 | 1.0033784 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 5.596169E-6 | 5.663885E-6 | 5.663885E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.398336E-5 | 2.4273582E-5 | 2.4273582E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9195828E-4 | 2.9549352E-4 | 2.9549352E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00291575 | 0.0029512753 | 0.0029612458 | 1.0033784 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.8426775E-6 | 2.874186E-6 | 2.874186E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2182847E-5 | 1.2317884E-5 | 1.2317884E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4831607E-4 | 1.4996031E-4 | 1.4996031E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014821711 | 0.0014986297 | 0.0015086146 | 1.0066627 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.9210793E-6 | 1.941442E-6 | 1.941442E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.233172E-6 | 8.3204395E-6 | 8.3204395E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0023425E-4 | 1.01296784E-4 | 1.01296784E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010018905 | 0.0010125195 | 0.0010225094 | 1.0098664 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.9210793E-6 | 1.941442E-6 | 1.941442E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.233172E-6 | 8.3204395E-6 | 8.3204395E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0023425E-4 | 1.01296784E-4 | 1.01296784E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010018905 | 0.0010125195 | 0.0010225094 | 1.0098664 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.4667394E-6 | 1.4819136E-6 | 1.4819136E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.286011E-6 | 6.3510433E-6 | 6.3510433E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.65295E-5 | 7.732129E-5 | 7.732129E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6503144E-4 | 7.729516E-4 | 7.8294385E-4 | 1.0129274 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.1076943E-6 | 1.1189685E-6 | 1.1189685E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.747252E-6 | 4.795571E-6 | 4.795571E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7796264E-5 | 5.8384558E-5 | 5.8384558E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.778124E-4 | 5.836966E-4 | 5.936908E-4 | 1.0171221 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.514296E-7 | 8.60021E-7 | 8.60021E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.648979E-6 | 3.6857991E-6 | 3.6857991E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.442541E-5 | 4.487371E-5 | 4.487371E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.441653E-4 | 4.4864934E-4 | 4.5864485E-4 | 1.0222791 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.8544706E-7 | 4.9033656E-7 | 4.9033656E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0804857E-6 | 2.1014407E-6 | 2.1014407E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.532962E-5 | 2.5584755E-5 | 2.5584755E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5326732E-4 | 2.5581938E-4 | 2.6581684E-4 | 1.03908 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.829186E-7 | 3.86793E-7 | 3.86793E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6410787E-6 | 1.6576834E-6 | 1.6576834E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.997995E-5 | 2.0182119E-5 | 2.0182119E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9978154E-4 | 2.0180392E-4 | 2.0180392E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.4726595E-7 | 1.4879642E-7 | 1.4879642E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3113964E-7 | 6.3769886E-7 | 6.3769886E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.684098E-6 | 7.763961E-6 | 7.763961E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6838325E-5 | 7.763743E-5 | 7.763743E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 4.1880604E-8 | 4.23249E-8 | 4.23249E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7948828E-7 | 1.8139244E-7 | 1.8139244E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1852677E-6 | 2.2084528E-6 | 2.2084528E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1852462E-5 | 2.2084529E-5 | 2.2084529E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Breckenridge 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1490393E-6 | 6.738357E-7 | 6.738357E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.924445E-6 | 2.8878642E-6 | 2.8878642E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.995347E-5 | 3.5159203E-5 | 3.5159203E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9937296E-4 | 3.5153845E-4 | 3.615349E-4 | 1.0284364 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.1490393E-6 | 6.738357E-7 | 6.738357E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.924445E-6 | 2.8878642E-6 | 2.8878642E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.995347E-5 | 3.5159203E-5 | 3.5159203E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9937296E-4 | 3.5153845E-4 | 3.615349E-4 | 1.0284364 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.1490393E-6 | 6.738357E-7 | 6.738357E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.924445E-6 | 2.8878642E-6 | 2.8878642E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.995347E-5 | 3.5159203E-5 | 3.5159203E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9937296E-4 | 3.5153845E-4 | 3.615349E-4 | 1.0284364 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.064617E-6 | 5.886745E-7 | 5.886745E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5626366E-6 | 2.5228883E-6 | 2.5228883E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5548684E-5 | 3.0715746E-5 | 3.0715746E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.55348E-4 | 3.0711616E-4 | 3.171131E-4 | 1.0325509 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.064617E-6 | 5.886745E-7 | 5.886745E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5626366E-6 | 2.5228883E-6 | 2.5228883E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5548684E-5 | 3.0715746E-5 | 3.0715746E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.55348E-4 | 3.0711616E-4 | 3.171131E-4 | 1.0325509 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.064617E-6 | 5.886745E-7 | 5.886745E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5626366E-6 | 2.5228883E-6 | 2.5228883E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5548684E-5 | 3.0715746E-5 | 3.0715746E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.55348E-4 | 3.0711616E-4 | 3.171131E-4 | 1.0325509 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.064617E-6 | 5.886745E-7 | 5.886745E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5626366E-6 | 2.5228883E-6 | 2.5228883E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5548684E-5 | 3.0715746E-5 | 3.0715746E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.55348E-4 | 3.0711616E-4 | 3.171131E-4 | 1.0325509 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.4219524E-7 | 4.9543155E-7 | 4.9543155E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.037973E-6 | 2.1232763E-6 | 2.1232763E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.916122E-5 | 2.585059E-5 | 2.585059E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9150345E-4 | 2.5847647E-4 | 2.684739E-4 | 1.0386783 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.556422E-7 | 4.312194E-7 | 4.312194E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.667033E-6 | 1.8480819E-6 | 1.8480819E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.464521E-5 | 2.2500168E-5 | 2.2500168E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4636242E-4 | 2.249793E-4 | 2.3497705E-4 | 1.0444385 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.7357794E-7 | 3.8422291E-7 | 3.8422291E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3153299E-6 | 1.6466686E-6 | 1.6466686E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0363393E-5 | 2.0048008E-5 | 2.0048008E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.035606E-4 | 2.0046231E-4 | 2.104603E-4 | 1.0498747 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 6.8172454E-7 | 3.3473103E-7 | 3.3473103E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9216735E-6 | 1.4345607E-6 | 1.4345607E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5570793E-5 | 1.746564E-5 | 1.746564E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.55651E-4 | 1.7464289E-4 | 1.8464115E-4 | 1.0572497 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.5936397E-7 | 2.8911015E-7 | 2.8911015E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.397272E-6 | 1.239043E-6 | 1.239043E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9186394E-5 | 1.5085245E-5 | 1.5085245E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9182562E-4 | 1.5084239E-4 | 1.6084088E-4 | 1.0662844 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.8420822E-7 | 2.0469352E-7 | 2.0469352E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6466057E-6 | 8.7725766E-7 | 8.7725766E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.004724E-5 | 1.0680561E-5 | 1.0680561E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.004543E-4 | 1.0680056E-4 | 1.1679949E-4 | 1.0936224 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.6405158E-7 | 1.6473967E-7 | 1.6473967E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1316491E-6 | 7.06027E-7 | 7.06027E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.37777415E-5 | 8.595845E-6 | 8.595845E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3776887E-4 | 8.5955195E-5 | 9.595433E-5 | 1.1163297 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.792114E-7 | 1.2725877E-7 | 1.2725877E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6804866E-7 | 5.4539464E-7 | 5.4539464E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3509525E-6 | 6.64016E-6 | 6.64016E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.350559E-5 | 6.639966E-5 | 7.6398996E-5 | 1.1505932 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.3548703E-7 | 9.3858425E-8 | 9.3858425E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8065854E-7 | 4.0225032E-7 | 4.0225032E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0694946E-6 | 4.897387E-6 | 4.897387E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0692695E-5 | 4.8972826E-5 | 5.897234E-5 | 1.2041849 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.572245E-8 | 1.7353642E-8 | 1.7353642E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10239064E-7 | 7.437275E-8 | 7.437275E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421597E-6 | 9.0548787E-7 | 9.0548787E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421517E-5 | 9.054847E-6 | 9.054847E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pitas Point (Lower)-Montalvo
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.2543637E-6 | 4.8382976E-6 | 4.8382976E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2518509E-5 | 2.0735397E-5 | 2.0735397E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7412834E-4 | 2.5242454E-4 | 2.6242202E-4 | 1.0396059 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0027379042 | 0.0025214106 | 0.0025313855 | 1.0039561 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.2543637E-6 | 4.8382976E-6 | 4.8382976E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2518509E-5 | 2.0735397E-5 | 2.0735397E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7412834E-4 | 2.5242454E-4 | 2.6242202E-4 | 1.0396059 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0027379042 | 0.0025214106 | 0.0025313855 | 1.0039561 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 5.2543637E-6 | 4.8382976E-6 | 4.8382976E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2518509E-5 | 2.0735397E-5 | 2.0735397E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7412834E-4 | 2.5242454E-4 | 2.6242202E-4 | 1.0396059 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0027379042 | 0.0025214106 | 0.0025313855< |