Parent Section Magnitude-Probability Distributions
Only fault sections with at least one triggered aftershock are plotted. Sections are sorted by total supraseismogenic trigger rate (decreasing)
Table Of Contents
Garlock (Central)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.5131142E-5 | 7.0252936E-5 | 0.007769712 | 110.59627 | 0.0077 | 2.3625491E-4 | 3.0104961E-4 | 0.019515263 | 64.82408 | 0.01922 | 0.0028726095 | 0.0036591832 | 0.05068647 | 13.851853 | 0.0472 | 0.028357591 | 0.0361412 | 0.107033014 | 2.9615235 | 0.07355 |
6.1 | 5.5131142E-5 | 7.0252936E-5 | 0.007769712 | 110.59627 | 0.0077 | 2.3625491E-4 | 3.0104961E-4 | 0.019515263 | 64.82408 | 0.01922 | 0.0028726095 | 0.0036591832 | 0.05068647 | 13.851853 | 0.0472 | 0.028357591 | 0.0361412 | 0.107033014 | 2.9615235 | 0.07355 |
6.2 | 4.216245E-5 | 5.166702E-5 | 0.0051914016 | 100.47806 | 0.00514 | 1.806837E-4 | 2.2141145E-4 | 0.012528686 | 56.585537 | 0.01231 | 0.0021976046 | 0.0026923835 | 0.032262553 | 11.982898 | 0.02965 | 0.021759989 | 0.026704067 | 0.07153408 | 2.6787708 | 0.04606 |
6.3 | 4.216245E-5 | 5.166702E-5 | 0.0051914016 | 100.47806 | 0.00514 | 1.806837E-4 | 2.2141145E-4 | 0.012528686 | 56.585537 | 0.01231 | 0.0021976046 | 0.0026923835 | 0.032262553 | 11.982898 | 0.02965 | 0.021759989 | 0.026704067 | 0.07153408 | 2.6787708 | 0.04606 |
6.4 | 3.6858168E-5 | 4.411544E-5 | 0.00402394 | 91.21387 | 0.00398 | 1.5795401E-4 | 1.890526E-4 | 0.009837228 | 52.034344 | 0.00965 | 0.0019213937 | 0.0022993109 | 0.025366152 | 11.032066 | 0.02312 | 0.019048655 | 0.022868566 | 0.05813324 | 2.5420587 | 0.03609 |
6.5 | 3.39199E-5 | 4.0023602E-5 | 0.0036698782 | 91.692856 | 0.00363 | 1.453629E-4 | 1.7151856E-4 | 0.008820035 | 51.423206 | 0.00865 | 0.0017683565 | 0.0020862604 | 0.022962615 | 11.006592 | 0.02092 | 0.017543508 | 0.020761253 | 0.052537553 | 2.5305576 | 0.03245 |
6.6 | 3.3571985E-5 | 3.9477756E-5 | 0.0036693343 | 92.946884 | 0.00363 | 1.4387199E-4 | 1.6917953E-4 | 0.0088177165 | 52.12047 | 0.00865 | 0.0017502342 | 0.0020578366 | 0.022924807 | 11.140246 | 0.02091 | 0.017365133 | 0.020482505 | 0.052209076 | 2.5489595 | 0.03239 |
6.7 | 3.2580007E-5 | 3.8094186E-5 | 0.0035279612 | 92.61154 | 0.00349 | 1.3962112E-4 | 1.632507E-4 | 0.0084918905 | 52.017483 | 0.00833 | 0.0016985617 | 0.001985787 | 0.02195605 | 11.0566 | 0.02001 | 0.016856372 | 0.019771622 | 0.050080284 | 2.5329375 | 0.03092 |
6.8 | 3.2185937E-5 | 3.7521368E-5 | 0.0034673926 | 92.41115 | 0.00343 | 1.3793244E-4 | 1.6079607E-4 | 0.008309485 | 51.677166 | 0.00815 | 0.0016780337 | 0.0019559558 | 0.02151762 | 11.001077 | 0.0196 | 0.016654192 | 0.01947876 | 0.049276803 | 2.5297709 | 0.03039 |
6.9 | 3.165394E-5 | 3.672589E-5 | 0.0033966026 | 92.48523 | 0.00336 | 1.3565269E-4 | 1.573873E-4 | 0.008126133 | 51.63144 | 0.00797 | 0.0016503202 | 0.0019145276 | 0.021027865 | 10.983317 | 0.01915 | 0.01638118 | 0.01907232 | 0.048176445 | 2.5259876 | 0.02967 |
7.0 | 3.0903822E-5 | 3.5631027E-5 | 0.003235517 | 90.806175 | 0.0032 | 1.3243823E-4 | 1.5269557E-4 | 0.007841521 | 51.353954 | 0.00769 | 0.0016112428 | 0.0018575046 | 0.02038303 | 10.97334 | 0.01856 | 0.015996104 | 0.018513773 | 0.046770763 | 2.5262685 | 0.02879 |
7.1 | 3.0069863E-5 | 3.439724E-5 | 0.0031142912 | 90.538994 | 0.00308 | 1.2886449E-4 | 1.4740853E-4 | 0.0075063235 | 50.92191 | 0.00736 | 0.0015677959 | 0.0017932425 | 0.019541359 | 10.897221 | 0.01778 | 0.01556781 | 0.017881477 | 0.044938844 | 2.5131505 | 0.02755 |
7.2 | 2.7957109E-5 | 3.1286352E-5 | 0.0025812066 | 82.50263 | 0.00255 | 1.1981068E-4 | 1.3407759E-4 | 0.0063232477 | 47.161106 | 0.00619 | 0.0014577188 | 0.0016311919 | 0.016496904 | 10.113404 | 0.01489 | 0.014481937 | 0.01628507 | 0.03912693 | 2.402626 | 0.02322 |
7.3 | 2.4519275E-5 | 2.6719234E-5 | 0.0016966746 | 63.500126 | 0.00167 | 1.0507837E-4 | 1.1450605E-4 | 0.0043540206 | 38.02437 | 0.00424 | 0.0012785783 | 0.0013932344 | 0.011938522 | 8.568926 | 0.01056 | 0.012712469 | 0.013929329 | 0.030307962 | 2.175838 | 0.01661 |
7.4 | 2.3225532E-5 | 2.52037E-5 | 0.0015251659 | 60.51357 | 0.0015 | 9.95342E-5 | 1.08011474E-4 | 0.0038776044 | 35.89993 | 0.00377 | 0.0012111551 | 0.0013142608 | 0.010921618 | 8.310084 | 0.00962 | 0.012045753 | 0.013146927 | 0.028127356 | 2.1394625 | 0.01518 |
7.5 | 2.097765E-5 | 2.2487684E-5 | 0.0012724596 | 56.584736 | 0.00125 | 8.9901114E-5 | 9.637229E-5 | 0.0031760754 | 32.956314 | 0.00308 | 0.0010939965 | 0.0011727129 | 0.008953578 | 7.6349273 | 0.00779 | 0.010886264 | 0.011741684 | 0.023877496 | 2.0335667 | 0.01228 |
7.6 | 1.511254E-5 | 1.599496E-5 | 6.759844E-4 | 42.26234 | 6.6E-4 | 6.476642E-5 | 6.854807E-5 | 0.0017684315 | 25.798416 | 0.0017 | 7.882459E-4 | 8.34261E-4 | 0.0050207656 | 6.018219 | 0.00419 | 0.007854558 | 0.008384922 | 0.015217149 | 1.8148232 | 0.00689 |
7.7 | 9.934069E-6 | 1.0682194E-5 | 2.5067964E-4 | 23.467054 | 2.4E-4 | 4.2573887E-5 | 4.578003E-5 | 5.657562E-4 | 12.358144 | 5.2E-4 | 5.182138E-4 | 5.5722974E-4 | 0.0018165276 | 3.2599258 | 0.00126 | 0.00517007 | 0.0056296214 | 0.0076283063 | 1.35503 | 0.00201 |
7.8 | 6.7562896E-6 | 8.431359E-6 | 1.18430435E-4 | 14.046423 | 1.1E-4 | 2.8955206E-5 | 3.6133893E-5 | 3.6612197E-4 | 10.132369 | 3.3E-4 | 3.5247262E-4 | 4.3984153E-4 | 0.001279472 | 2.908939 | 8.4E-4 | 0.0035191406 | 0.004448285 | 0.005752458 | 1.2931855 | 0.00131 |
7.9 | 3.975453E-6 | 5.3728804E-6 | 4.5372664E-5 | 8.4447565 | 4.0E-5 | 1.7037546E-5 | 2.3026427E-5 | 2.1302205E-4 | 9.251199 | 1.9E-4 | 2.0741238E-4 | 2.8031078E-4 | 8.101622E-4 | 2.8902285 | 5.3E-4 | 0.002072189 | 0.00283465 | 0.003612439 | 1.2743863 | 7.8E-4 |
8.0 | 1.6729537E-6 | 2.0781215E-6 | 2.0781215E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.169782E-6 | 8.906205E-6 | 1.8906116E-5 | 2.1228027 | 1.0E-5 | 8.7288594E-5 | 1.0842768E-4 | 2.5841143E-4 | 2.3832605 | 1.5E-4 | 8.7254314E-4 | 0.0010973068 | 0.0013370435 | 1.2184774 | 2.4E-4 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 3.1497066E-7 | 3.1497066E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5742813E-6 | 1.3498736E-6 | 1.3498736E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.6434604E-5 | 2.643444E-5 | 1.6084622 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.6648426E-4 | 1.764826E-4 | 1.0600557 | 1.0E-5 |
Tank Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.8284557E-5 | 5.7965928E-5 | 0.0045677046 | 78.79981 | 0.00451 | 2.0691741E-4 | 2.484056E-4 | 0.011405634 | 45.915363 | 0.01116 | 0.0025163088 | 0.00302081 | 0.03367792 | 11.14864 | 0.03075 | 0.02488006 | 0.029864373 | 0.08088381 | 2.7083712 | 0.05259 |
6.1 | 1.7796336E-5 | 2.0873778E-5 | 0.001400845 | 67.11027 | 0.00138 | 7.626778E-5 | 8.94562E-5 | 0.0039091143 | 43.69864 | 0.00382 | 9.281647E-4 | 0.0010886233 | 0.011956779 | 10.983395 | 0.01088 | 0.009242975 | 0.010836863 | 0.029888146 | 2.758007 | 0.01926 |
6.2 | 1.7796336E-5 | 2.0873778E-5 | 0.001400845 | 67.11027 | 0.00138 | 7.626778E-5 | 8.94562E-5 | 0.0039091143 | 43.69864 | 0.00382 | 9.281647E-4 | 0.0010886233 | 0.011956779 | 10.983395 | 0.01088 | 0.009242975 | 0.010836863 | 0.029888146 | 2.758007 | 0.01926 |
6.3 | 1.3515912E-5 | 1.575992E-5 | 0.0010657434 | 67.62365 | 0.00105 | 5.792405E-5 | 6.754091E-5 | 0.0029573457 | 43.785995 | 0.00289 | 7.049971E-4 | 8.2202395E-4 | 0.008775481 | 10.675456 | 0.00796 | 0.007027647 | 0.00819231 | 0.022147045 | 2.7033944 | 0.01407 |
6.4 | 1.0870146E-5 | 1.2618305E-5 | 8.2260807E-4 | 65.19165 | 8.1E-4 | 4.658551E-5 | 5.407743E-5 | 0.0023239546 | 42.974575 | 0.00227 | 5.67031E-4 | 6.5821153E-4 | 0.0065243477 | 9.912235 | 0.00587 | 0.005655863 | 0.006564494 | 0.016876355 | 2.5708537 | 0.01038 |
6.5 | 7.964826E-6 | 9.196297E-6 | 4.891919E-4 | 53.194443 | 4.8E-4 | 3.4134522E-5 | 3.9412163E-5 | 0.0013193617 | 33.476 | 0.00128 | 4.1550855E-4 | 4.79748E-4 | 0.00403804 | 8.417003 | 0.00356 | 0.0041473247 | 0.004788282 | 0.011217349 | 2.342667 | 0.00646 |
6.6 | 6.6317E-6 | 7.6124547E-6 | 3.8760956E-4 | 50.917816 | 3.8E-4 | 2.8421264E-5 | 3.2624448E-5 | 0.0010125925 | 31.037842 | 9.8E-4 | 3.4597394E-4 | 3.9713932E-4 | 0.0031260552 | 7.871432 | 0.00273 | 0.0034543579 | 0.0039653047 | 0.008815994 | 2.2232828 | 0.00487 |
6.7 | 4.793663E-6 | 5.4308844E-6 | 2.3542963E-4 | 43.350147 | 2.3E-4 | 2.0544108E-5 | 2.3275035E-5 | 5.6326244E-4 | 24.200283 | 5.4E-4 | 2.500958E-4 | 2.833411E-4 | 0.0016929415 | 5.9749246 | 0.00141 | 0.0024981452 | 0.0028303456 | 0.0054628737 | 1.9301082 | 0.00264 |
6.8 | 4.382823E-6 | 4.969349E-6 | 2.349682E-4 | 47.283497 | 2.3E-4 | 1.8783392E-5 | 2.129706E-5 | 5.212864E-4 | 24.476917 | 5.0E-4 | 2.286638E-4 | 2.5926513E-4 | 0.0015889204 | 6.128554 | 0.00133 | 0.0022842865 | 0.0025901678 | 0.005033822 | 1.9434346 | 0.00245 |
6.9 | 2.729601E-6 | 3.0735978E-6 | 8.3073355E-5 | 27.02805 | 8.0E-5 | 1.1698237E-5 | 1.3172503E-5 | 2.4316947E-4 | 18.460386 | 2.3E-4 | 1.4241673E-4 | 1.6036464E-4 | 8.0026203E-4 | 4.990265 | 6.4E-4 | 0.001423255 | 0.0016027512 | 0.0028407637 | 1.7724297 | 0.00124 |
7.0 | 1.8987357E-6 | 2.1269796E-6 | 5.2126874E-5 | 24.507463 | 5.0E-5 | 8.137413E-6 | 9.115598E-6 | 1.1911459E-4 | 13.067118 | 1.1E-4 | 9.90685E-5 | 1.1097746E-4 | 3.709486E-4 | 3.3425581 | 2.6E-4 | 9.902435E-4 | 0.001109289 | 0.00164869 | 1.4862583 | 5.4E-4 |
7.1 | 1.4928986E-6 | 1.6641586E-6 | 2.1664126E-5 | 13.0180645 | 2.0E-5 | 6.398121E-6 | 7.1320924E-6 | 4.7131805E-5 | 6.6084123 | 4.0E-5 | 7.789434E-5 | 8.6830354E-5 | 2.1681907E-4 | 2.4970422 | 1.3E-4 | 7.786704E-4 | 8.6802215E-4 | 0.0011777531 | 1.3568237 | 3.1E-4 |
7.2 | 1.069082E-6 | 1.1828818E-6 | 1.11828695E-5 | 9.45392 | 1.0E-5 | 4.581772E-6 | 5.069486E-6 | 2.5069385E-5 | 4.9451528 | 2.0E-5 | 5.5781646E-5 | 6.171978E-5 | 1.21716075E-4 | 1.9720757 | 6.0E-5 | 5.576765E-4 | 6.170787E-4 | 7.669861E-4 | 1.2429309 | 1.5E-4 |
7.3 | 8.776551E-7 | 9.770191E-7 | 1.0977009E-5 | 11.235204 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7613736E-6 | 4.1872213E-6 | 1.4187179E-5 | 3.3882089 | 1.0E-5 | 4.579376E-5 | 5.0978742E-5 | 8.097722E-5 | 1.5884506 | 3.0E-5 | 4.5784327E-4 | 5.097215E-4 | 6.0967053E-4 | 1.1960856 | 1.0E-4 |
7.4 | 7.55721E-7 | 8.510419E-7 | 1.0851033E-5 | 12.750293 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2388E-6 | 3.64732E-6 | 1.3647284E-5 | 3.741729 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9431678E-5 | 4.4405737E-5 | 7.44044E-5 | 1.6755584 | 3.0E-5 | 3.942468E-4 | 4.4401948E-4 | 5.339795E-4 | 1.2026038 | 9.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.587665E-7 | 6.3057325E-7 | 1.0630567E-5 | 16.858576 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3947114E-6 | 2.7024569E-6 | 1.270243E-5 | 4.7003264 | 1.0E-5 | 2.915522E-5 | 3.290241E-5 | 6.2901425E-5 | 1.9117572 | 3.0E-5 | 2.9151395E-4 | 3.2902413E-4 | 4.089978E-4 | 1.2430632 | 8.0E-5 |
Little Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.8424427E-5 | 3.1206153E-5 | 0.003371102 | 108.02683 | 0.00334 | 1.2181328E-4 | 1.3373456E-4 | 0.0086126 | 64.40071 | 0.00848 | 0.0014820677 | 0.0016271353 | 0.023132088 | 14.21645 | 0.02154 | 0.014722223 | 0.016165623 | 0.049861953 | 3.0844433 | 0.03425 |
6.1 | 2.8424427E-5 | 3.1206153E-5 | 0.003371102 | 108.02683 | 0.00334 | 1.2181328E-4 | 1.3373456E-4 | 0.0086126 | 64.40071 | 0.00848 | 0.0014820677 | 0.0016271353 | 0.023132088 | 14.21645 | 0.02154 | 0.014722223 | 0.016165623 | 0.049861953 | 3.0844433 | 0.03425 |
6.2 | 2.8424427E-5 | 3.1206153E-5 | 0.003371102 | 108.02683 | 0.00334 | 1.2181328E-4 | 1.3373456E-4 | 0.0086126 | 64.40071 | 0.00848 | 0.0014820677 | 0.0016271353 | 0.023132088 | 14.21645 | 0.02154 | 0.014722223 | 0.016165623 | 0.049861953 | 3.0844433 | 0.03425 |
6.3 | 1.48860645E-5 | 1.6081587E-5 | 0.0022460457 | 139.66566 | 0.00223 | 6.379586E-5 | 6.891943E-5 | 0.0056785326 | 82.39379 | 0.00561 | 7.7643775E-4 | 8.387992E-4 | 0.0148070725 | 17.652702 | 0.01398 | 0.007737305 | 0.00835915 | 0.030314079 | 3.6264546 | 0.02214 |
6.4 | 1.48860645E-5 | 1.6081587E-5 | 0.0022460457 | 139.66566 | 0.00223 | 6.379586E-5 | 6.891943E-5 | 0.0056785326 | 82.39379 | 0.00561 | 7.7643775E-4 | 8.387992E-4 | 0.0148070725 | 17.652702 | 0.01398 | 0.007737305 | 0.00835915 | 0.030314079 | 3.6264546 | 0.02214 |
6.5 | 1.2797581E-5 | 1.376573E-5 | 0.0020437378 | 148.46564 | 0.00203 | 5.4845623E-5 | 5.8994796E-5 | 0.00522869 | 88.62968 | 0.00517 | 6.675408E-4 | 7.1805064E-4 | 0.013518852 | 18.827158 | 0.01281 | 0.006655392 | 0.0071598557 | 0.027215226 | 3.801086 | 0.0202 |
6.6 | 9.661896E-6 | 1.0289153E-5 | 0.0017302715 | 168.16463 | 0.00172 | 4.1407468E-5 | 4.4095712E-5 | 0.004523898 | 102.5927 | 0.00448 | 5.040193E-4 | 5.367493E-4 | 0.011350942 | 21.147566 | 0.01082 | 0.005028777 | 0.005356134 | 0.022205401 | 4.145789 | 0.01694 |
6.7 | 7.767871E-6 | 8.199772E-6 | 0.0016081866 | 196.12576 | 0.0016 | 3.329045E-5 | 3.5141486E-5 | 0.004114998 | 117.09801 | 0.00408 | 4.0523586E-4 | 4.2777733E-4 | 0.01007365 | 23.548815 | 0.00965 | 0.004044977 | 0.0042708907 | 0.019256614 | 4.5088053 | 0.01505 |
6.8 | 6.4235196E-6 | 6.7358133E-6 | 0.0012867271 | 191.02774 | 0.00128 | 2.752908E-5 | 2.8867524E-5 | 0.0032487747 | 112.54081 | 0.00322 | 3.35115E-4 | 3.5141825E-4 | 0.007958744 | 22.647497 | 0.00761 | 0.003346101 | 0.0035098856 | 0.015208679 | 4.3330984 | 0.01174 |
6.9 | 3.1283696E-6 | 3.112201E-6 | 7.8310975E-4 | 251.6257 | 7.8E-4 | 1.3407229E-5 | 1.3337944E-5 | 0.002023311 | 151.69588 | 0.00201 | 1.6322079E-4 | 1.6237888E-4 | 0.0046416516 | 28.585314 | 0.00448 | 0.0016310095 | 0.0016227507 | 0.008481602 | 5.226682 | 0.00687 |
7.0 | 2.290603E-6 | 2.2286956E-6 | 4.922276E-4 | 220.85904 | 4.9E-4 | 9.816834E-6 | 9.551524E-6 | 0.0012695395 | 132.91486 | 0.00126 | 1.19513395E-4 | 1.1628464E-4 | 0.0028259696 | 24.302174 | 0.00271 | 0.0011944914 | 0.00116234 | 0.0053175045 | 4.574827 | 0.00416 |
7.1 | 1.293693E-6 | 1.1776893E-6 | 2.7117739E-4 | 230.26222 | 2.7E-4 | 5.5443866E-6 | 5.047234E-6 | 5.7504437E-4 | 113.93257 | 5.7E-4 | 6.750081E-5 | 6.144904E-5 | 0.0013213716 | 21.503534 | 0.00126 | 6.7480316E-4 | 6.1438896E-4 | 0.0026631295 | 4.3345985 | 0.00205 |
7.2 | 4.715842E-7 | 3.0917863E-7 | 3.0917863E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0210737E-6 | 1.3250507E-6 | 1.1325037E-5 | 8.546871 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4606294E-5 | 1.6132379E-5 | 5.6131732E-5 | 3.4794457 | 4.0E-5 | 2.460357E-4 | 1.6131261E-4 | 2.412997E-4 | 1.4958515 | 8.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.9430947E-7 | 2.3097442E-7 | 2.3097442E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6898966E-6 | 9.8989E-7 | 1.098988E-5 | 11.102122 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0574296E-5 | 1.2051845E-5 | 5.2051364E-5 | 4.318954 | 4.0E-5 | 2.0572392E-4 | 1.2051199E-4 | 1.9050355E-4 | 1.580785 | 7.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.547123E-7 | 1.9679048E-7 | 1.9679048E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5201948E-6 | 8.433875E-7 | 8.433875E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8508214E-5 | 1.0268195E-5 | 4.0267885E-5 | 3.921613 | 3.0E-5 | 1.8506673E-4 | 1.0267727E-4 | 1.6267112E-4 | 1.5842953 | 6.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.6354266E-7 | 1.4423068E-7 | 1.4423068E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.129468E-6 | 6.1813137E-7 | 6.1813137E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3751187E-5 | 7.525724E-6 | 2.7525573E-5 | 3.6575317 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3750336E-4 | 7.525474E-5 | 1.2525098E-4 | 1.6643599 | 5.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.269913E-7 | 7.572499E-8 | 7.572499E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4424834E-7 | 3.2453565E-7 | 3.2453565E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6262032E-6 | 3.9512147E-6 | 3.9512147E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.626006E-5 | 3.951148E-5 | 6.951029E-5 | 1.759243 | 3.0E-5 |
Airport Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.31032575E-5 | 0.0029130653 | 222.31612 | 0.0029 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.6155768E-5 | 0.0071157594 | 126.71466 | 0.00706 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.835104E-4 | 0.017591946 | 25.73764 | 0.01692 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0068168915 | 0.033215698 | 4.872558 | 0.02658 |
6.1 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.31032575E-5 | 0.0029130653 | 222.31612 | 0.0029 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.6155768E-5 | 0.0071157594 | 126.71466 | 0.00706 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.835104E-4 | 0.017591946 | 25.73764 | 0.01692 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0068168915 | 0.033215698 | 4.872558 | 0.02658 |
6.2 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.31032575E-5 | 0.0029130653 | 222.31612 | 0.0029 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.6155768E-5 | 0.0071157594 | 126.71466 | 0.00706 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.835104E-4 | 0.017591946 | 25.73764 | 0.01692 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0068168915 | 0.033215698 | 4.872558 | 0.02658 |
6.3 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.31032575E-5 | 0.0029130653 | 222.31612 | 0.0029 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.6155768E-5 | 0.0071157594 | 126.71466 | 0.00706 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.835104E-4 | 0.017591946 | 25.73764 | 0.01692 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0068168915 | 0.033215698 | 4.872558 | 0.02658 |
6.4 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.31032575E-5 | 0.0029130653 | 222.31612 | 0.0029 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.6155768E-5 | 0.0071157594 | 126.71466 | 0.00706 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.835104E-4 | 0.017591946 | 25.73764 | 0.01692 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0068168915 | 0.033215698 | 4.872558 | 0.02658 |
6.5 | 6.9922594E-6 | 7.38498E-6 | 0.0022273685 | 301.60794 | 0.00222 | 2.996648E-5 | 3.164956E-5 | 0.005411479 | 170.98117 | 0.00538 | 3.6478083E-4 | 3.8527072E-4 | 0.013120363 | 34.054916 | 0.01274 | 0.003641826 | 0.0038465653 | 0.023689942 | 6.158726 | 0.01992 |
6.6 | 6.9922594E-6 | 7.38498E-6 | 0.0022273685 | 301.60794 | 0.00222 | 2.996648E-5 | 3.164956E-5 | 0.005411479 | 170.98117 | 0.00538 | 3.6478083E-4 | 3.8527072E-4 | 0.013120363 | 34.054916 | 0.01274 | 0.003641826 | 0.0038465653 | 0.023689942 | 6.158726 | 0.01992 |
6.7 | 5.477277E-6 | 5.7861116E-6 | 0.0018757753 | 324.18582 | 0.00187 | 2.3473833E-5 | 2.4797408E-5 | 0.0046546827 | 187.70844 | 0.00463 | 2.8575645E-4 | 3.0187052E-4 | 0.011178586 | 37.031063 | 0.01088 | 0.0028538927 | 0.0030149885 | 0.019973703 | 6.6248026 | 0.01701 |
6.8 | 3.9950432E-6 | 4.2191186E-6 | 0.0013542135 | 320.9707 | 0.00135 | 1.7121502E-5 | 1.8081826E-5 | 0.00343802 | 190.13676 | 0.00342 | 2.0843433E-4 | 2.2012675E-4 | 0.008248359 | 37.47095 | 0.00803 | 0.0020823893 | 0.002199358 | 0.014811559 | 6.7344913 | 0.01264 |
6.9 | 2.95695E-6 | 3.1230477E-6 | 0.0010831197 | 346.81497 | 0.00108 | 1.2672582E-5 | 1.3384434E-5 | 0.0026333493 | 196.74716 | 0.00262 | 1.5427776E-4 | 1.6294557E-4 | 0.005971999 | 36.65027 | 0.00581 | 0.001541707 | 0.0016284833 | 0.010623811 | 6.5237455 | 0.00901 |
7.0 | 1.456072E-6 | 1.5408239E-6 | 4.6154013E-4 | 299.5411 | 4.6E-4 | 6.2402937E-6 | 6.60352E-6 | 0.0012065956 | 182.72006 | 0.0012 | 7.597293E-5 | 8.03959E-5 | 0.0026101924 | 32.466736 | 0.00253 | 7.594696E-4 | 8.03767E-4 | 0.0046606646 | 5.798527 | 0.00386 |
7.1 | 6.995192E-7 | 7.4090326E-7 | 2.6074072E-4 | 351.92276 | 2.6E-4 | 2.997936E-6 | 3.1752998E-6 | 5.431736E-4 | 171.06215 | 5.4E-4 | 3.649926E-5 | 3.8659273E-5 | 0.0012186137 | 31.521898 | 0.00118 | 3.6493264E-4 | 3.8659273E-4 | 0.0022858582 | 5.9128327 | 0.0019 |
Owl Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.0320643E-5 | 6.636041E-5 | 0.0020662276 | 31.136452 | 0.002 | 2.1564208E-4 | 2.84377E-4 | 0.005152992 | 18.120285 | 0.00487 | 0.0026222812 | 0.0034577118 | 0.0163729 | 4.7351837 | 0.01296 | 0.02591553 | 0.034142397 | 0.05547819 | 1.6249062 | 0.02209 |
6.1 | 5.0320643E-5 | 6.636041E-5 | 0.0020662276 | 31.136452 | 0.002 | 2.1564208E-4 | 2.84377E-4 | 0.005152992 | 18.120285 | 0.00487 | 0.0026222812 | 0.0034577118 | 0.0163729 | 4.7351837 | 0.01296 | 0.02591553 | 0.034142397 | 0.05547819 | 1.6249062 | 0.02209 |
6.2 | 2.4125871E-5 | 3.098217E-5 | 0.0016609316 | 53.609276 | 0.00163 | 1.0339249E-4 | 1.3277512E-4 | 0.0040022614 | 30.143156 | 0.00387 | 0.0012580766 | 0.0016155102 | 0.011469565 | 7.099655 | 0.00987 | 0.012509781 | 0.016071098 | 0.032325603 | 2.0114124 | 0.01652 |
6.3 | 1.7433485E-5 | 2.2356866E-5 | 0.0015423229 | 68.98654 | 0.00152 | 7.471279E-5 | 9.58125E-5 | 0.0035954772 | 37.52618 | 0.0035 | 9.0924866E-4 | 0.0011660301 | 0.009845898 | 8.443948 | 0.00869 | 0.009055373 | 0.011629325 | 0.025782794 | 2.2170498 | 0.01432 |
6.4 | 1.7433485E-5 | 2.2356866E-5 | 0.0015423229 | 68.98654 | 0.00152 | 7.471279E-5 | 9.58125E-5 | 0.0035954772 | 37.52618 | 0.0035 | 9.0924866E-4 | 0.0011660301 | 0.009845898 | 8.443948 | 0.00869 | 0.009055373 | 0.011629325 | 0.025782794 | 2.2170498 | 0.01432 |
6.5 | 1.5182742E-5 | 1.9430483E-5 | 0.0015094015 | 77.68214 | 0.00149 | 6.506727E-5 | 8.32717E-5 | 0.0034729894 | 41.706722 | 0.00339 | 7.919061E-4 | 0.0010134967 | 0.009355034 | 9.2304535 | 0.00835 | 0.0078909 | 0.010118797 | 0.023610879 | 2.333368 | 0.01363 |
6.6 | 6.7271576E-6 | 8.548313E-6 | 0.0013085372 | 153.07549 | 0.0013 | 2.8830356E-5 | 3.6635145E-5 | 0.00290653 | 79.337204 | 0.00287 | 3.5095305E-4 | 4.4594728E-4 | 0.007082986 | 15.883013 | 0.00664 | 0.0035039932 | 0.004467926 | 0.0146621745 | 3.281651 | 0.01024 |
6.7 | 6.682835E-6 | 8.480754E-6 | 0.0013084697 | 154.28696 | 0.0013 | 2.8640408E-5 | 3.6345617E-5 | 0.0029062412 | 79.961266 | 0.00287 | 3.4864116E-4 | 4.4242368E-4 | 0.0070694904 | 15.979006 | 0.00663 | 0.003480947 | 0.00443287 | 0.014587655 | 3.2907922 | 0.0102 |
6.8 | 6.5774975E-6 | 8.32722E-6 | 0.0012983165 | 155.91237 | 0.00129 | 2.8188972E-5 | 3.5687626E-5 | 0.002885586 | 80.85676 | 0.00285 | 3.4314668E-4 | 4.3441588E-4 | 0.007031549 | 16.186214 | 0.0066 | 0.0034261728 | 0.0043530487 | 0.014458866 | 3.3215492 | 0.01015 |
6.9 | 6.363419E-6 | 8.000376E-6 | 0.0012979901 | 162.24113 | 0.00129 | 2.727151E-5 | 3.4286906E-5 | 0.00286419 | 83.53597 | 0.00283 | 3.3198006E-4 | 4.173687E-4 | 0.0069846264 | 16.734907 | 0.00657 | 0.0033148455 | 0.004183012 | 0.014230805 | 3.4020474 | 0.01009 |
7.0 | 6.1342453E-6 | 7.632552E-6 | 0.0012876227 | 168.70148 | 0.00128 | 2.6289357E-5 | 3.271056E-5 | 0.0028426186 | 86.902176 | 0.00281 | 3.2002592E-4 | 3.9818377E-4 | 0.0069055916 | 17.342726 | 0.00651 | 0.0031956544 | 0.003991678 | 0.013961721 | 3.4977074 | 0.01001 |
7.1 | 5.842926E-6 | 7.1430604E-6 | 0.0012271344 | 171.79391 | 0.00122 | 2.504087E-5 | 3.0612788E-5 | 0.0026705319 | 87.23583 | 0.00264 | 3.0482994E-4 | 3.7265237E-4 | 0.0065203607 | 17.497168 | 0.00615 | 0.0030441214 | 0.0037372818 | 0.013161927 | 3.5217915 | 0.00946 |
7.2 | 4.77173E-6 | 5.359158E-6 | 8.553546E-4 | 159.60616 | 8.5E-4 | 2.045011E-5 | 2.296764E-5 | 0.0018329261 | 79.80472 | 0.00181 | 2.4895166E-4 | 2.795992E-4 | 0.004278481 | 15.302193 | 0.004 | 0.0024867293 | 0.002808747 | 0.008941473 | 3.1834383 | 0.00615 |
7.3 | 3.0494948E-6 | 2.7108347E-6 | 2.5271016E-4 | 93.22227 | 2.5E-4 | 1.3069198E-5 | 1.1617813E-5 | 5.0161214E-4 | 43.176125 | 4.9E-4 | 1.5910587E-4 | 1.4143785E-4 | 0.0012612795 | 8.917553 | 0.00112 | 0.0015899199 | 0.0014233418 | 0.0030909649 | 2.1716251 | 0.00167 |
7.4 | 2.7263884E-6 | 2.3060104E-6 | 1.7230562E-4 | 74.72023 | 1.7E-4 | 1.1684469E-5 | 9.882864E-6 | 2.798802E-4 | 28.319744 | 2.7E-4 | 1.4224913E-4 | 1.2031734E-4 | 8.2023314E-4 | 6.817248 | 7.0E-4 | 0.0014215811 | 0.0012113012 | 0.0022300656 | 1.8410497 | 0.00102 |
7.5 | 2.6090431E-6 | 2.1659357E-6 | 1.5216561E-4 | 70.25398 | 1.5E-4 | 1.1181565E-5 | 9.282549E-6 | 2.4928033E-4 | 26.854727 | 2.4E-4 | 1.3612706E-4 | 1.1300927E-4 | 7.329392E-4 | 6.485656 | 6.2E-4 | 0.001360437 | 0.0011380832 | 0.0020470475 | 1.7986801 | 9.1E-4 |
7.6 | 2.3008756E-6 | 1.8730968E-6 | 9.187293E-5 | 49.04868 | 9.0E-5 | 9.860858E-6 | 8.027534E-6 | 1.7802617E-4 | 22.176945 | 1.7E-4 | 1.20049335E-4 | 9.7730925E-5 | 5.1768986E-4 | 5.297094 | 4.2E-4 | 0.001199845 | 9.851726E-4 | 0.0016345321 | 1.659133 | 6.5E-4 |
7.7 | 1.7184348E-6 | 1.3421906E-6 | 6.134211E-5 | 45.70298 | 6.0E-5 | 7.3646997E-6 | 5.752233E-6 | 1.157516E-4 | 20.122898 | 1.1E-4 | 8.966153E-5 | 7.003123E-5 | 3.2001373E-4 | 4.5695863 | 2.5E-4 | 8.962536E-4 | 7.08018E-4 | 0.0010977419 | 1.5504434 | 3.9E-4 |
7.8 | 8.4612907E-7 | 8.408234E-7 | 1.0840815E-5 | 12.893093 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6262625E-6 | 3.6035242E-6 | 4.360338E-5 | 12.100204 | 4.0E-5 | 4.4148852E-5 | 4.3872045E-5 | 1.1386898E-4 | 2.595479 | 7.0E-5 | 4.414008E-4 | 4.440713E-4 | 5.8400916E-4 | 1.3151246 | 1.4E-4 |
7.9 | 2.716738E-7 | 3.7693766E-7 | 3.7693766E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1643157E-6 | 1.6154462E-6 | 1.6154462E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4175452E-5 | 1.9667892E-5 | 1.9667892E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4174548E-4 | 1.9836401E-4 | 2.0836203E-4 | 1.0504024 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.1995428E-8 | 3.38572E-8 | 3.38572E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.426611E-8 | 1.4510229E-7 | 1.4510229E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1476893E-6 | 1.7666197E-6 | 1.7666197E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.14768345E-5 | 1.7871007E-5 | 1.7871007E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Panamint Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.3984965E-5 | 0.0016939285 | 49.843468 | 0.00166 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.4564188E-4 | 0.004095067 | 28.117369 | 0.00395 | 0.0015751923 | 0.0017717773 | 0.012143369 | 6.8537784 | 0.01039 | 0.015640736 | 0.017582124 | 0.035029866 | 1.9923569 | 0.01776 |
6.1 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.3984965E-5 | 0.0016939285 | 49.843468 | 0.00166 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.4564188E-4 | 0.004095067 | 28.117369 | 0.00395 | 0.0015751923 | 0.0017717773 | 0.012143369 | 6.8537784 | 0.01039 | 0.015640736 | 0.017582124 | 0.035029866 | 1.9923569 | 0.01776 |
6.2 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.3984965E-5 | 0.0016939285 | 49.843468 | 0.00166 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.4564188E-4 | 0.004095067 | 28.117369 | 0.00395 | 0.0015751923 | 0.0017717773 | 0.012143369 | 6.8537784 | 0.01039 | 0.015640736 | 0.017582124 | 0.035029866 | 1.9923569 | 0.01776 |
6.3 | 2.8573924E-5 | 3.2103115E-5 | 0.0016520511 | 51.460777 | 0.00162 | 1.2245393E-4 | 1.3757768E-4 | 0.003987048 | 28.980343 | 0.00385 | 0.001489857 | 0.0016737491 | 0.011647028 | 6.958647 | 0.00999 | 0.01479908 | 0.01661714 | 0.03333465 | 2.00604 | 0.017 |
6.4 | 2.8573924E-5 | 3.2103115E-5 | 0.0016520511 | 51.460777 | 0.00162 | 1.2245393E-4 | 1.3757768E-4 | 0.003987048 | 28.980343 | 0.00385 | 0.001489857 | 0.0016737491 | 0.011647028 | 6.958647 | 0.00999 | 0.01479908 | 0.01661714 | 0.03333465 | 2.00604 | 0.017 |
6.5 | 2.7468774E-5 | 3.0828793E-5 | 0.0016107801 | 52.249214 | 0.00158 | 1.1771801E-4 | 1.3211685E-4 | 0.0038716227 | 29.304533 | 0.00374 | 0.0014322745 | 0.0016073632 | 0.011341691 | 7.0560846 | 0.00975 | 0.014230782 | 0.015962977 | 0.03223895 | 2.0196075 | 0.01654 |
6.6 | 2.6135967E-5 | 2.925278E-5 | 0.0015892071 | 54.326706 | 0.00156 | 1.1200648E-4 | 1.2536318E-4 | 0.0037849043 | 30.191515 | 0.00366 | 0.0013628257 | 0.0015252546 | 0.010870978 | 7.1273203 | 0.00936 | 0.013544982 | 0.015153424 | 0.030733697 | 2.0281684 | 0.01582 |
6.7 | 2.4498746E-5 | 2.7341659E-5 | 0.0015672996 | 57.322765 | 0.00154 | 1.04990395E-4 | 1.1717342E-4 | 0.0036367609 | 31.037422 | 0.00352 | 0.0012775084 | 0.0014256779 | 0.010312989 | 7.233744 | 0.0089 | 0.012701893 | 0.014170669 | 0.028928533 | 2.0414374 | 0.01497 |
6.8 | 2.2244329E-5 | 2.4935984E-5 | 0.0015348983 | 61.55355 | 0.00151 | 9.532935E-5 | 1.06864245E-4 | 0.003506501 | 32.812668 | 0.0034 | 0.0011600169 | 0.0013003175 | 0.009879148 | 7.5974894 | 0.00859 | 0.011539802 | 0.012932051 | 0.026879322 | 2.078504 | 0.01413 |
6.9 | 1.9902658E-5 | 2.2290773E-5 | 0.0013622609 | 61.113216 | 0.00134 | 8.529431E-5 | 9.552849E-5 | 0.0032052314 | 33.55262 | 0.00311 | 0.0010379635 | 0.0011624574 | 0.008973367 | 7.7193084 | 0.00782 | 0.010331288 | 0.011568334 | 0.0241313 | 2.085979 | 0.01271 |
7.0 | 1.8353881E-5 | 2.0566635E-5 | 0.0013105401 | 63.72166 | 0.00129 | 7.865712E-5 | 8.8139845E-5 | 0.0030278808 | 34.35314 | 0.00294 | 9.5722964E-4 | 0.001072592 | 0.008274859 | 7.714824 | 0.00721 | 0.009531168 | 0.010678438 | 0.022243606 | 2.0830395 | 0.01169 |
7.1 | 1.7667631E-5 | 1.9773011E-5 | 0.0012397489 | 62.699043 | 0.00122 | 7.571623E-5 | 8.473882E-5 | 0.002914499 | 34.393906 | 0.00283 | 9.2145515E-4 | 0.0010312245 | 0.008014016 | 7.7713594 | 0.00699 | 0.009176437 | 0.010268626 | 0.021462487 | 2.0901031 | 0.01131 |
7.2 | 1.6381597E-5 | 1.8158586E-5 | 0.0010781393 | 59.37353 | 0.00106 | 7.020495E-5 | 7.782029E-5 | 0.0025776257 | 33.1228 | 0.0025 | 8.544101E-4 | 9.4706746E-4 | 0.00722112 | 7.6247153 | 0.00628 | 0.008511325 | 0.009434342 | 0.01958764 | 2.0762062 | 0.01025 |
7.3 | 1.4520491E-5 | 1.596705E-5 | 8.5595367E-4 | 53.607494 | 8.4E-4 | 6.222919E-5 | 6.842852E-5 | 0.0021282875 | 31.102348 | 0.00206 | 7.57377E-4 | 8.3281496E-4 | 0.0059385593 | 7.130707 | 0.00511 | 0.0075480095 | 0.008299384 | 0.01662967 | 2.0037231 | 0.0084 |
7.4 | 1.2852287E-5 | 1.4145931E-5 | 8.441342E-4 | 59.673286 | 8.3E-4 | 5.5080065E-5 | 6.06241E-5 | 0.0020705021 | 34.153122 | 0.00201 | 6.7039346E-4 | 7.378643E-4 | 0.0057441676 | 7.784857 | 0.00501 | 0.0066837464 | 0.0073563983 | 0.015496076 | 2.1064758 | 0.0082 |
7.5 | 1.1637851E-5 | 1.28372185E-5 | 8.228268E-4 | 64.09697 | 8.1E-4 | 4.987555E-5 | 5.501558E-5 | 0.0020249072 | 36.80607 | 0.00197 | 6.070656E-4 | 6.696245E-4 | 0.0056063165 | 8.372329 | 0.00494 | 0.006054099 | 0.0066782837 | 0.014674524 | 2.1973495 | 0.00805 |
7.6 | 3.0068115E-6 | 3.3332262E-6 | 3.0333223E-4 | 91.002594 | 3.0E-4 | 1.2886271E-5 | 1.4285218E-5 | 8.7427296E-4 | 61.201233 | 8.6E-4 | 1.5687906E-4 | 1.7391593E-4 | 0.0022935471 | 13.187677 | 0.00212 | 0.0015676835 | 0.0017386783 | 0.0053224363 | 3.0611968 | 0.00359 |
Garlock (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5092507E-5 | 6.290799E-5 | 0.0011328406 | 18.007898 | 0.00107 | 1.9323928E-4 | 2.695803E-4 | 0.0033387528 | 12.385002 | 0.00307 | 0.0023501497 | 0.0032776468 | 0.011759754 | 3.5878649 | 0.00851 | 0.023254504 | 0.032344494 | 0.04631744 | 1.4320039 | 0.01444 |
6.1 | 4.5092507E-5 | 6.290799E-5 | 0.0011328406 | 18.007898 | 0.00107 | 1.9323928E-4 | 2.695803E-4 | 0.0033387528 | 12.385002 | 0.00307 | 0.0023501497 | 0.0032776468 | 0.011759754 | 3.5878649 | 0.00851 | 0.023254504 | 0.032344494 | 0.04631744 | 1.4320039 | 0.01444 |
6.2 | 2.6674514E-5 | 3.451465E-5 | 8.1448775E-4 | 23.59832 | 7.8E-4 | 1.1431433E-4 | 1.4791173E-4 | 0.0024675685 | 16.68271 | 0.00232 | 0.0013908884 | 0.0017993709 | 0.007898376 | 4.389521 | 0.00611 | 0.01382215 | 0.017863318 | 0.02801861 | 1.5684998 | 0.01034 |
6.3 | 2.6674514E-5 | 3.451465E-5 | 8.1448775E-4 | 23.59832 | 7.8E-4 | 1.1431433E-4 | 1.4791173E-4 | 0.0024675685 | 16.68271 | 0.00232 | 0.0013908884 | 0.0017993709 | 0.007898376 | 4.389521 | 0.00611 | 0.01382215 | 0.017863318 | 0.02801861 | 1.5684998 | 0.01034 |
6.4 | 2.5312667E-5 | 3.2343483E-5 | 8.0231857E-4 | 24.80619 | 7.7E-4 | 1.0847834E-4 | 1.3860772E-4 | 0.0024182918 | 17.44702 | 0.00228 | 0.0013199237 | 0.0016862722 | 0.0076661715 | 4.546224 | 0.00599 | 0.013121112 | 0.016764186 | 0.02669487 | 1.5923748 | 0.0101 |
6.5 | 2.5312667E-5 | 3.2343483E-5 | 8.0231857E-4 | 24.80619 | 7.7E-4 | 1.0847834E-4 | 1.3860772E-4 | 0.0024182918 | 17.44702 | 0.00228 | 0.0013199237 | 0.0016862722 | 0.0076661715 | 4.546224 | 0.00599 | 0.013121112 | 0.016764186 | 0.02669487 | 1.5923748 | 0.0101 |
6.6 | 2.246556E-5 | 2.8137678E-5 | 7.781166E-4 | 27.653902 | 7.5E-4 | 9.627742E-5 | 1.20584606E-4 | 0.0022703253 | 18.827656 | 0.00215 | 0.0011715472 | 0.0014671524 | 0.007198731 | 4.9066005 | 0.00574 | 0.011653901 | 0.014604934 | 0.024163267 | 1.6544591 | 0.0097 |
6.7 | 2.2241198E-5 | 2.7807404E-5 | 7.7778654E-4 | 27.970484 | 7.5E-4 | 9.531594E-5 | 1.1916928E-4 | 0.002268913 | 19.039413 | 0.00215 | 0.0011598538 | 0.0014499439 | 0.0071616503 | 4.9392605 | 0.00572 | 0.011538187 | 0.014434824 | 0.02396524 | 1.6602378 | 0.00967 |
6.8 | 1.9528685E-5 | 2.3901322E-5 | 7.3388434E-4 | 30.70476 | 7.1E-4 | 8.369167E-5 | 1.0243033E-4 | 0.0021322223 | 20.816319 | 0.00203 | 0.0010184698 | 0.0012463954 | 0.006639665 | 5.3270936 | 0.0054 | 0.010138147 | 0.012438075 | 0.021316256 | 1.7137907 | 0.00899 |
6.9 | 1.3318621E-5 | 1.5200952E-5 | 6.851908E-4 | 45.07552 | 6.7E-4 | 5.7078556E-5 | 6.514534E-5 | 0.0019750209 | 30.317148 | 0.00191 | 6.9470983E-4 | 7.928616E-4 | 0.005708961 | 7.2004504 | 0.00492 | 0.0069254204 | 0.007940963 | 0.01579807 | 1.9894402 | 0.00792 |
7.0 | 1.1760853E-5 | 1.3109707E-5 | 6.831009E-4 | 52.1065 | 6.7E-4 | 5.0402683E-5 | 5.6183275E-5 | 0.0019460771 | 34.638016 | 0.00189 | 6.134799E-4 | 6.838217E-4 | 0.005510519 | 8.058414 | 0.00483 | 0.0061178906 | 0.006857492 | 0.01450469 | 2.1151595 | 0.0077 |
7.1 | 1.0064758E-5 | 1.0904764E-5 | 6.608977E-4 | 60.606323 | 6.5E-4 | 4.3133965E-5 | 4.6733887E-5 | 0.0018966474 | 40.58399 | 0.00185 | 5.2502943E-4 | 5.6884E-4 | 0.005216195 | 9.16988 | 0.00465 | 0.005237907 | 0.005713798 | 0.012991973 | 2.2737892 | 0.00732 |
7.2 | 9.768808E-6 | 1.0500609E-5 | 6.40494E-4 | 60.995888 | 6.3E-4 | 4.186565E-5 | 4.5001856E-5 | 0.0018649199 | 41.440956 | 0.00182 | 5.095951E-4 | 5.477633E-4 | 0.005095271 | 9.301957 | 0.00455 | 0.0050842804 | 0.0055042095 | 0.01258502 | 2.2864354 | 0.00712 |
7.3 | 9.344516E-6 | 9.946213E-6 | 5.8994046E-4 | 59.313072 | 5.8E-4 | 4.004731E-5 | 4.262595E-5 | 0.001682556 | 39.472576 | 0.00164 | 4.8746695E-4 | 5.188508E-4 | 0.004706677 | 9.071349 | 0.00419 | 0.0048639905 | 0.005215881 | 0.011751613 | 2.2530446 | 0.00657 |
7.4 | 9.023491E-6 | 9.492341E-6 | 5.194875E-4 | 54.727016 | 5.1E-4 | 3.867153E-5 | 4.0680847E-5 | 0.0015006214 | 36.887665 | 0.00146 | 4.7072413E-4 | 4.951801E-4 | 0.0042733084 | 8.6298065 | 0.00378 | 0.004697283 | 0.0049793427 | 0.010909665 | 2.1909852 | 0.00596 |
7.5 | 7.081253E-6 | 7.089067E-6 | 2.8708708E-4 | 40.49716 | 2.8E-4 | 3.0347876E-5 | 3.0381365E-5 | 8.303571E-4 | 27.331131 | 8.0E-4 | 3.6942272E-4 | 3.6983108E-4 | 0.0024290693 | 6.5680504 | 0.00206 | 0.003688092 | 0.0037253548 | 0.006913434 | 1.8557786 | 0.0032 |
7.6 | 6.116396E-6 | 5.960529E-6 | 2.3595916E-4 | 39.58695 | 2.3E-4 | 2.6212863E-5 | 2.5544876E-5 | 5.655311E-4 | 22.13873 | 5.4E-4 | 3.1909486E-4 | 3.1096474E-4 | 0.0016405511 | 5.2756824 | 0.00133 | 0.0031863707 | 0.003136776 | 0.005230189 | 1.6673772 | 0.0021 |
7.7 | 4.797145E-6 | 4.758607E-6 | 1.4475794E-4 | 30.420235 | 1.4E-4 | 2.055903E-5 | 2.039387E-5 | 3.3038756E-4 | 16.200335 | 3.1E-4 | 2.5027743E-4 | 2.4826723E-4 | 9.78086E-4 | 3.93965 | 7.3E-4 | 0.0024999576 | 0.002510294 | 0.0036474322 | 1.45299 | 0.00114 |
7.8 | 3.4028885E-6 | 3.9797173E-6 | 7.397944E-5 | 18.589119 | 7.0E-5 | 1.4583726E-5 | 1.7055821E-5 | 2.3705207E-4 | 13.8986025 | 2.2E-4 | 1.775424E-4 | 2.076349E-4 | 7.475228E-4 | 3.6001787 | 5.4E-4 | 0.0017740062 | 0.00210206 | 0.0028504836 | 1.3560429 | 7.5E-4 |
7.9 | 2.5928412E-6 | 3.3735669E-6 | 2.3373499E-5 | 6.9284234 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1112129E-5 | 1.4458064E-5 | 1.644559E-4 | 11.374683 | 1.5E-4 | 1.3528178E-4 | 1.7601276E-4 | 5.659441E-4 | 3.2153583 | 3.9E-4 | 0.0013519945 | 0.0017819697 | 0.0023309896 | 1.3080972 | 5.5E-4 |
8.0 | 1.3743648E-6 | 1.6739597E-6 | 1.6739597E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8901214E-6 | 7.1740933E-6 | 1.7174021E-5 | 2.3938944 | 1.0E-5 | 7.1709874E-5 | 8.734111E-5 | 2.1732975E-4 | 2.488287 | 1.3E-4 | 7.1686733E-4 | 8.841624E-4 | 0.0010839856 | 1.2260028 | 2.0E-4 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 3.1497066E-7 | 3.1497066E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5742813E-6 | 1.3498736E-6 | 1.3498736E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.6434604E-5 | 2.643444E-5 | 1.6084622 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.6648426E-4 | 1.764826E-4 | 1.0600557 | 1.0E-5 |
Ash Hill
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.3194681E-5 | 8.1317633E-4 | 35.058743 | 7.9E-4 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.9402445E-5 | 0.0018992235 | 19.106407 | 0.0018 | 0.0011236023 | 0.0012096328 | 0.0061136936 | 5.054173 | 0.00491 | 0.011179381 | 0.01203847 | 0.02048554 | 1.7016732 | 0.00855 |
6.1 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.3194681E-5 | 8.1317633E-4 | 35.058743 | 7.9E-4 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.9402445E-5 | 0.0018992235 | 19.106407 | 0.0018 | 0.0011236023 | 0.0012096328 | 0.0061136936 | 5.054173 | 0.00491 | 0.011179381 | 0.01203847 | 0.02048554 | 1.7016732 | 0.00855 |
6.2 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.3194681E-5 | 8.1317633E-4 | 35.058743 | 7.9E-4 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.9402445E-5 | 0.0018992235 | 19.106407 | 0.0018 | 0.0011236023 | 0.0012096328 | 0.0061136936 | 5.054173 | 0.00491 | 0.011179381 | 0.01203847 | 0.02048554 | 1.7016732 | 0.00855 |
6.3 | 1.0025529E-5 | 1.0747037E-5 | 3.007439E-4 | 27.983892 | 2.9E-4 | 4.2965847E-5 | 4.605799E-5 | 7.360262E-4 | 15.980424 | 6.9E-4 | 5.229836E-4 | 5.60625E-4 | 0.0025095318 | 4.4763107 | 0.00195 | 0.005217545 | 0.0055934195 | 0.008825241 | 1.5777899 | 0.00325 |
6.4 | 1.0025529E-5 | 1.0747037E-5 | 3.007439E-4 | 27.983892 | 2.9E-4 | 4.2965847E-5 | 4.605799E-5 | 7.360262E-4 | 15.980424 | 6.9E-4 | 5.229836E-4 | 5.60625E-4 | 0.0025095318 | 4.4763107 | 0.00195 | 0.005217545 | 0.0055934195 | 0.008825241 | 1.5777899 | 0.00325 |
6.5 | 6.9617327E-6 | 7.456704E-6 | 2.1745513E-4 | 29.162365 | 2.1E-4 | 2.9835655E-5 | 3.1956963E-5 | 5.219413E-4 | 16.332632 | 4.9E-4 | 3.6318856E-4 | 3.8901521E-4 | 0.0017085017 | 4.3918633 | 0.00132 | 0.0036259557 | 0.0038841967 | 0.0061354185 | 1.5795848 | 0.00226 |
6.6 | 4.9919777E-6 | 5.346739E-6 | 1.5534593E-4 | 29.054335 | 1.5E-4 | 2.1394015E-5 | 2.2914432E-5 | 3.5290688E-4 | 15.401075 | 3.3E-4 | 2.60441E-4 | 2.789542E-4 | 0.0012386864 | 4.4404655 | 9.6E-4 | 0.0026013597 | 0.0027866988 | 0.0043224073 | 1.5510852 | 0.00154 |
6.7 | 3.6630722E-6 | 3.9246606E-6 | 1.3392416E-4 | 34.123753 | 1.3E-4 | 1.5698786E-5 | 1.6819899E-5 | 2.4681602E-4 | 14.674049 | 2.3E-4 | 1.9111596E-4 | 2.0476876E-4 | 9.146234E-4 | 4.4666157 | 7.1E-4 | 0.0019095168 | 0.002046364 | 0.0031740514 | 1.5510689 | 0.00113 |
6.8 | 2.5599613E-6 | 2.7449514E-6 | 1.0274468E-4 | 37.430416 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0971216E-5 | 1.1764052E-5 | 1.7176216E-4 | 14.600595 | 1.6E-4 | 1.3356637E-4 | 1.4322287E-4 | 6.3315267E-4 | 4.4207516 | 4.9E-4 | 0.0013348613 | 0.0014317906 | 0.0022306452 | 1.557941 | 8.0E-4 |
6.9 | 1.7684905E-6 | 1.896889E-6 | 8.189674E-5 | 43.17424 | 8.0E-5 | 7.579223E-6 | 8.129524E-6 | 1.1812863E-4 | 14.530817 | 1.1E-4 | 9.2273134E-5 | 9.8976954E-5 | 4.489423E-4 | 4.5358267 | 3.5E-4 | 9.223483E-4 | 9.897696E-4 | 0.001519245 | 1.5349481 | 5.3E-4 |
Hunter Mountain-Saline Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5103672E-5 | 5.4570846E-5 | 8.9452503E-4 | 16.391994 | 8.4E-4 | 1.9328714E-4 | 2.3385457E-4 | 0.0023033705 | 9.849585 | 0.00207 | 0.002350731 | 0.0028436389 | 0.007939108 | 2.7918832 | 0.00511 | 0.023260195 | 0.02809229 | 0.036343787 | 1.2937281 | 0.00849 |
6.1 | 4.5103672E-5 | 5.4570846E-5 | 8.9452503E-4 | 16.391994 | 8.4E-4 | 1.9328714E-4 | 2.3385457E-4 | 0.0023033705 | 9.849585 | 0.00207 | 0.002350731 | 0.0028436389 | 0.007939108 | 2.7918832 | 0.00511 | 0.023260195 | 0.02809229 | 0.036343787 | 1.2937281 | 0.00849 |
6.2 | 3.9363465E-5 | 4.7064215E-5 | 8.870247E-4 | 18.847116 | 8.4E-4 | 1.6868966E-4 | 2.0168893E-4 | 0.0022512753 | 11.162117 | 0.00205 | 0.002051862 | 0.0024529307 | 0.0075104944 | 3.0618453 | 0.00507 | 0.020330196 | 0.024273701 | 0.03248932 | 1.3384575 | 0.00842 |
6.3 | 3.9363465E-5 | 4.7064215E-5 | 8.870247E-4 | 18.847116 | 8.4E-4 | 1.6868966E-4 | 2.0168893E-4 | 0.0022512753 | 11.162117 | 0.00205 | 0.002051862 | 0.0024529307 | 0.0075104944 | 3.0618453 | 0.00507 | 0.020330196 | 0.024273701 | 0.03248932 | 1.3384575 | 0.00842 |
6.4 | 3.2311684E-5 | 3.7952268E-5 | 8.6792075E-4 | 22.868746 | 8.3E-4 | 1.384713E-4 | 1.6264283E-4 | 0.0021923126 | 13.479308 | 0.00203 | 0.0016845843 | 0.0019784467 | 0.006998495 | 3.5373685 | 0.00503 | 0.016718714 | 0.019616457 | 0.02780266 | 1.417313 | 0.00835 |
6.5 | 3.2311684E-5 | 3.7952268E-5 | 8.6792075E-4 | 22.868746 | 8.3E-4 | 1.384713E-4 | 1.6264283E-4 | 0.0021923126 | 13.479308 | 0.00203 | 0.0016845843 | 0.0019784467 | 0.006998495 | 3.5373685 | 0.00503 | 0.016718714 | 0.019616457 | 0.02780266 | 1.417313 | 0.00835 |
6.6 | 2.9305844E-5 | 3.4182984E-5 | 8.641546E-4 | 25.280258 | 8.3E-4 | 1.2559042E-4 | 1.4649061E-4 | 0.0021761933 | 14.855514 | 0.00203 | 0.0015279909 | 0.0017821258 | 0.0068031615 | 3.817442 | 0.00503 | 0.015175272 | 0.017685596 | 0.025878098 | 1.4632303 | 0.00834 |
6.7 | 2.7826512E-5 | 3.2345313E-5 | 8.6231844E-4 | 26.659763 | 8.3E-4 | 1.19251024E-4 | 1.3861575E-4 | 0.0021683343 | 15.64277 | 0.00203 | 0.0014509142 | 0.0016864006 | 0.006707918 | 3.977654 | 0.00503 | 0.014414776 | 0.01674306 | 0.02493359 | 1.4891896 | 0.00833 |
6.8 | 2.3389874E-5 | 2.6867581E-5 | 8.568453E-4 | 31.891418 | 8.3E-4 | 1.0023846E-4 | 1.15141964E-4 | 0.0021449083 | 18.62838 | 0.00203 | 0.00121972 | 0.0014009993 | 0.0064139664 | 4.578137 | 0.00502 | 0.01213047 | 0.0139272185 | 0.022111623 | 1.5876553 | 0.0083 |
6.9 | 2.069209E-5 | 2.3570803E-5 | 8.5355126E-4 | 36.212227 | 8.3E-4 | 8.867737E-5 | 1.0101402E-4 | 0.002130809 | 21.09419 | 0.00203 | 0.0010791123 | 0.0012291879 | 0.0062430175 | 5.078977 | 0.00502 | 0.010738871 | 0.012228257 | 0.02038725 | 1.6672246 | 0.00826 |
7.0 | 1.7462342E-5 | 1.9634203E-5 | 8.496179E-4 | 43.272343 | 8.3E-4 | 7.483646E-5 | 8.4144E-5 | 0.0021139733 | 25.12328 | 0.00203 | 9.1075303E-4 | 0.0010239943 | 0.006038854 | 5.897351 | 0.00502 | 0.009070295 | 0.0101957265 | 0.01837151 | 1.8018833 | 0.00826 |
7.1 | 1.4807709E-5 | 1.644232E-5 | 8.464287E-4 | 51.478664 | 8.3E-4 | 6.3460066E-5 | 7.046528E-5 | 0.0020703243 | 29.380774 | 0.002 | 7.723524E-4 | 8.5759355E-4 | 0.0058433143 | 6.813617 | 0.00499 | 0.007696735 | 0.00854516 | 0.016685005 | 1.9525677 | 0.00821 |
7.2 | 1.4180048E-5 | 1.5698888E-5 | 8.4568583E-4 | 53.869152 | 8.3E-4 | 6.077022E-5 | 6.727931E-5 | 0.0020671447 | 30.724821 | 0.002 | 7.396263E-4 | 8.1883394E-4 | 0.005804748 | 7.0890417 | 0.00499 | 0.0073716943 | 0.008160452 | 0.016303455 | 1.9978616 | 0.00821 |
7.3 | 1.3730402E-5 | 1.5172614E-5 | 8.4516004E-4 | 55.70299 | 8.3E-4 | 5.8843252E-5 | 6.502396E-5 | 0.002064894 | 31.755894 | 0.002 | 7.161811E-4 | 7.9139526E-4 | 0.005777446 | 7.3003297 | 0.00499 | 0.007138774 | 0.007888035 | 0.016033273 | 2.0326068 | 0.00821 |
7.4 | 1.2810095E-5 | 1.4109794E-5 | 8.440981E-4 | 59.823555 | 8.3E-4 | 5.489925E-5 | 6.0469236E-5 | 0.0020603484 | 34.07267 | 0.002 | 6.681934E-4 | 7.359801E-4 | 0.0057223076 | 7.775085 | 0.00499 | 0.006661878 | 0.007337654 | 0.015457632 | 2.1066177 | 0.00818 |
7.5 | 1.1595659E-5 | 1.2801082E-5 | 8.227907E-4 | 64.27509 | 8.1E-4 | 4.9694736E-5 | 5.4860713E-5 | 0.0020147532 | 36.72488 | 0.00196 | 6.0486543E-4 | 6.677402E-4 | 0.005584455 | 8.363215 | 0.00492 | 0.006032217 | 0.006659527 | 0.014636051 | 2.1977613 | 0.00803 |
7.6 | 2.997694E-6 | 3.3253514E-6 | 3.0332434E-4 | 91.21573 | 3.0E-4 | 1.28471975E-5 | 1.4251469E-5 | 8.742392E-4 | 61.343796 | 8.6E-4 | 1.564034E-4 | 1.735051E-4 | 0.0022931374 | 13.21654 | 0.00212 | 0.0015629337 | 0.0017345662 | 0.005318339 | 3.0660918 | 0.00359 |
Blackwater
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0708583E-5 | 3.309619E-5 | 7.130737E-4 | 21.545492 | 6.8E-4 | 1.3160157E-4 | 1.4183388E-4 | 0.0016016267 | 11.292273 | 0.00146 | 0.0016010714 | 0.0017255963 | 0.005758625 | 3.3371797 | 0.00404 | 0.015895851 | 0.017135808 | 0.024065001 | 1.4043691 | 0.00705 |
6.1 | 3.0708583E-5 | 3.309619E-5 | 7.130737E-4 | 21.545492 | 6.8E-4 | 1.3160157E-4 | 1.4183388E-4 | 0.0016016267 | 11.292273 | 0.00146 | 0.0016010714 | 0.0017255963 | 0.005758625 | 3.3371797 | 0.00404 | 0.015895851 | 0.017135808 | 0.024065001 | 1.4043691 | 0.00705 |
6.2 | 1.1707779E-5 | 1.2545242E-5 | 3.1254147E-4 | 24.91315 | 3.0E-4 | 5.017523E-5 | 5.3764266E-5 | 6.237336E-4 | 11.601267 | 5.7E-4 | 6.107122E-4 | 6.5439293E-4 | 0.0021334244 | 3.260158 | 0.00148 | 0.006090366 | 0.006525631 | 0.009227881 | 1.4140979 | 0.00272 |
6.3 | 1.1707779E-5 | 1.2545242E-5 | 3.1254147E-4 | 24.91315 | 3.0E-4 | 5.017523E-5 | 5.3764266E-5 | 6.237336E-4 | 11.601267 | 5.7E-4 | 6.107122E-4 | 6.5439293E-4 | 0.0021334244 | 3.260158 | 0.00148 | 0.006090366 | 0.006525631 | 0.009227881 | 1.4140979 | 0.00272 |
6.4 | 7.929244E-6 | 8.480176E-6 | 1.584789E-4 | 18.688162 | 1.5E-4 | 3.3982033E-5 | 3.6343128E-5 | 3.9633006E-4 | 10.905227 | 3.6E-4 | 4.136527E-4 | 4.4239179E-4 | 0.0013519892 | 3.05609 | 9.1E-4 | 0.0041288356 | 0.0044155167 | 0.006068187 | 1.374287 | 0.00166 |
6.5 | 5.8832115E-6 | 6.286048E-6 | 1.3628523E-4 | 21.68059 | 1.3E-4 | 2.521352E-5 | 2.6939942E-5 | 3.069324E-4 | 11.393209 | 2.8E-4 | 3.0693135E-4 | 3.2794697E-4 | 0.0010377142 | 3.1642742 | 7.1E-4 | 0.0030650778 | 0.0032748834 | 0.004530757 | 1.3834865 | 0.00126 |
6.6 | 5.8832115E-6 | 6.286048E-6 | 1.3628523E-4 | 21.68059 | 1.3E-4 | 2.521352E-5 | 2.6939942E-5 | 3.069324E-4 | 11.393209 | 2.8E-4 | 3.0693135E-4 | 3.2794697E-4 | 0.0010377142 | 3.1642742 | 7.1E-4 | 0.0030650778 | 0.0032748834 | 0.004530757 | 1.3834865 | 0.00126 |
6.7 | 3.0715053E-6 | 3.281496E-6 | 4.3281365E-5 | 13.189523 | 4.0E-5 | 1.3163528E-5 | 1.4063485E-5 | 1.2406193E-4 | 8.821565 | 1.1E-4 | 1.6025416E-4 | 1.7121063E-4 | 4.8115756E-4 | 2.8103251 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0016013865 | 0.0017109019 | 0.0022699437 | 1.3267528 | 5.6E-4 |
6.8 | 2.2722281E-6 | 2.4287758E-6 | 3.2428703E-5 | 13.3518715 | 3.0E-5 | 9.738084E-6 | 1.0409003E-5 | 1.0040807E-4 | 9.646272 | 9.0E-5 | 1.1855473E-4 | 1.2672316E-4 | 3.266978E-4 | 2.5780435 | 2.0E-4 | 0.001184915 | 0.0012665992 | 0.0016161558 | 1.2759805 | 3.5E-4 |
6.9 | 9.952399E-7 | 1.0653588E-6 | 1.0653588E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.265307E-6 | 4.5658185E-6 | 4.4565637E-5 | 9.760712 | 4.0E-5 | 5.1928873E-5 | 5.5587938E-5 | 1.2558405E-4 | 2.259196 | 7.0E-5 | 5.191674E-4 | 5.5579096E-4 | 6.9571316E-4 | 1.2517533 | 1.4E-4 |
7.0 | 4.7385504E-7 | 5.0756074E-7 | 5.0756074E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0308057E-6 | 2.1752603E-6 | 2.2175216E-5 | 10.194282 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4724779E-5 | 2.6483794E-5 | 5.6483E-5 | 2.132738 | 3.0E-5 | 2.4722028E-4 | 2.6483793E-4 | 3.2482206E-4 | 1.2264936 | 6.0E-5 |
Garlock (West)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.5181727E-5 | 2.5201914E-5 | 5.651883E-4 | 22.426403 | 5.4E-4 | 1.0791722E-4 | 1.08003755E-4 | 0.0015278504 | 14.146272 | 0.00142 | 0.0013131002 | 0.0013141559 | 0.0049293987 | 3.751 | 0.00362 | 0.013053683 | 0.01314424 | 0.01862129 | 1.4166882 | 0.00555 |
6.1 | 2.5077732E-5 | 2.5102956E-5 | 5.650894E-4 | 22.510872 | 5.4E-4 | 1.0747157E-4 | 1.07579675E-4 | 0.0015274269 | 14.198099 | 0.00142 | 0.001307681 | 0.001308999 | 0.0049242605 | 3.7618518 | 0.00362 | 0.013000126 | 0.013093281 | 0.018570613 | 1.4183315 | 0.00555 |
6.2 | 2.494612E-5 | 2.4984645E-5 | 5.649712E-4 | 22.612736 | 5.4E-4 | 1.0690756E-4 | 1.0707267E-4 | 0.0015269206 | 14.260601 | 0.00142 | 0.0013008224 | 0.0013028337 | 0.0049181175 | 3.7749388 | 0.00362 | 0.012932341 | 0.013032351 | 0.018510021 | 1.4203134 | 0.00555 |
6.3 | 2.4733758E-5 | 2.4804003E-5 | 5.647906E-4 | 22.770138 | 5.4E-4 | 1.0599751E-4 | 1.0629856E-4 | 0.0015261476 | 14.357181 | 0.00142 | 0.0012897556 | 0.0012934201 | 0.0049087377 | 3.7951615 | 0.00362 | 0.012822957 | 0.012939315 | 0.018417502 | 1.4233754 | 0.00555 |
6.4 | 2.3237335E-5 | 2.3183304E-5 | 5.5317103E-4 | 23.86075 | 5.3E-4 | 9.958477E-5 | 9.9353245E-5 | 0.0015092131 | 15.190376 | 0.00141 | 0.0012117702 | 0.0012089573 | 0.004804605 | 3.9741726 | 0.0036 | 0.012051838 | 0.01210416 | 0.017537588 | 1.4488893 | 0.0055 |
6.5 | 2.2732203E-5 | 2.299767E-5 | 5.5298547E-4 | 24.045282 | 5.3E-4 | 9.742009E-5 | 9.8557735E-5 | 0.0015084188 | 15.304925 | 0.00141 | 0.0011854442 | 0.0011992827 | 0.004794965 | 3.9981945 | 0.0036 | 0.011791403 | 0.012008464 | 0.017442416 | 1.4525104 | 0.0055 |
6.6 | 2.1319436E-5 | 2.1777872E-5 | 5.517663E-4 | 25.3361 | 5.3E-4 | 9.136581E-5 | 9.333041E-5 | 0.0015031988 | 16.106207 | 0.00141 | 0.001111811 | 0.0011357077 | 0.0047316193 | 4.1662297 | 0.0036 | 0.011062649 | 0.01137937 | 0.016816782 | 1.4778309 | 0.0055 |
6.7 | 1.970802E-5 | 2.039774E-5 | 5.503869E-4 | 26.98274 | 5.3E-4 | 8.446021E-5 | 8.741597E-5 | 0.0014972927 | 17.128366 | 0.00141 | 0.001027818 | 0.0010637715 | 0.0046499525 | 4.371195 | 0.00359 | 0.010230771 | 0.010667094 | 0.016098533 | 1.5091769 | 0.00549 |
6.8 | 1.8744462E-5 | 1.9905396E-5 | 5.498949E-4 | 27.625416 | 5.3E-4 | 8.033094E-5 | 8.530606E-5 | 0.0014951858 | 17.52731 | 0.00141 | 9.775903E-4 | 0.0010381081 | 0.004624381 | 4.454624 | 0.00359 | 0.009733009 | 0.010412897 | 0.01584573 | 1.5217408 | 0.00549 |
6.9 | 1.7559682E-5 | 1.8957733E-5 | 5.4894766E-4 | 28.9564 | 5.3E-4 | 7.5253614E-5 | 8.124491E-5 | 0.0014911303 | 18.353525 | 0.00141 | 9.158276E-4 | 9.887093E-4 | 0.00457516 | 4.6274066 | 0.00359 | 0.0091206245 | 0.009923427 | 0.015349046 | 1.5467486 | 0.00548 |
7.0 | 1.6794445E-5 | 1.8220519E-5 | 5.4821087E-4 | 30.087557 | 5.3E-4 | 7.197421E-5 | 7.8085606E-5 | 0.0014879755 | 19.055696 | 0.00141 | 8.759337E-4 | 9.5027895E-4 | 0.004526877 | 4.763735 | 0.00358 | 0.008724891 | 0.009542331 | 0.01495023 | 1.5667273 | 0.00546 |
7.1 | 1.6337795E-5 | 1.7721295E-5 | 5.477119E-4 | 30.90699 | 5.3E-4 | 7.0017246E-5 | 7.5946205E-5 | 0.0014758399 | 19.432701 | 0.0014 | 8.521265E-4 | 9.242542E-4 | 0.004480964 | 4.8481946 | 0.00356 | 0.008488664 | 0.0092840865 | 0.01467358 | 1.5805088 | 0.00544 |
7.2 | 1.5780008E-5 | 1.716991E-5 | 5.471608E-4 | 31.867424 | 5.3E-4 | 6.762685E-5 | 7.358326E-5 | 0.001463481 | 19.888777 | 0.00139 | 8.2304585E-4 | 8.9550926E-4 | 0.004422348 | 4.938361 | 0.00353 | 0.008200042 | 0.008998912 | 0.014350317 | 1.5946726 | 0.0054 |
7.3 | 1.5058865E-5 | 1.6622957E-5 | 5.466142E-4 | 32.883087 | 5.3E-4 | 6.45364E-5 | 7.12393E-5 | 0.001451141 | 20.36995 | 0.00138 | 7.854473E-4 | 8.669946E-4 | 0.0043839426 | 5.0564823 | 0.00352 | 0.00782677 | 0.00871559 | 0.014058614 | 1.613042 | 0.00539 |
7.4 | 1.4887923E-5 | 1.6458913E-5 | 5.3645036E-4 | 32.593304 | 5.2E-4 | 6.380382E-5 | 7.05363E-5 | 0.0014004424 | 19.85421 | 0.00133 | 7.7653467E-4 | 8.584423E-4 | 0.0042854976 | 4.9921794 | 0.00343 | 0.0077382675 | 0.008630417 | 0.013854935 | 1.605361 | 0.00527 |
7.5 | 1.4509299E-5 | 1.6050892E-5 | 5.06043E-4 | 31.52741 | 4.9E-4 | 6.218123E-5 | 6.8787725E-5 | 0.0013087024 | 19.025232 | 0.00124 | 7.567935E-4 | 8.3716994E-4 | 0.0040244996 | 4.8072667 | 0.00319 | 0.0075422134 | 0.008418757 | 0.013297336 | 1.5794894 | 0.00492 |
7.6 | 1.2756717E-5 | 1.40547745E-5 | 3.740497E-4 | 26.613712 | 3.6E-4 | 5.4670498E-5 | 6.023336E-5 | 9.0018276E-4 | 14.944921 | 8.4E-4 | 6.6541E-4 | 7.3309505E-4 | 0.0028015776 | 3.8215747 | 0.00207 | 0.006634211 | 0.00738374 | 0.0106693 | 1.4449723 | 0.00331 |
7.7 | 1.0328985E-5 | 1.1464304E-5 | 2.5146155E-4 | 21.934305 | 2.4E-4 | 4.4266326E-5 | 4.913181E-5 | 5.6910625E-4 | 11.583255 | 5.2E-4 | 5.388092E-4 | 5.98016E-4 | 0.0018572625 | 3.1057072 | 0.00126 | 0.0053750467 | 0.0060406122 | 0.0080384705 | 1.3307377 | 0.00201 |
7.8 | 7.0306583E-6 | 8.902713E-6 | 1.18901735E-4 | 13.355674 | 1.1E-4 | 3.0131043E-5 | 3.815393E-5 | 3.6814134E-4 | 9.648846 | 3.3E-4 | 3.667837E-4 | 4.6442522E-4 | 0.0013040351 | 2.8078473 | 8.4E-4 | 0.003661789 | 0.004697 | 0.006000847 | 1.2775915 | 0.00131 |
7.9 | 4.060633E-6 | 5.467275E-6 | 4.5467055E-5 | 8.316219 | 4.0E-5 | 1.7402595E-5 | 2.3430968E-5 | 2.1342652E-4 | 9.108737 | 1.9E-4 | 2.11856E-4 | 2.852348E-4 | 8.150836E-4 | 2.8575883 | 5.3E-4 | 0.0021165414 | 0.0028852404 | 0.0036629897 | 1.2695614 | 7.8E-4 |
8.0 | 1.6729537E-6 | 2.0781215E-6 | 2.0781215E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.169782E-6 | 8.906205E-6 | 1.8906116E-5 | 2.1228027 | 1.0E-5 | 8.7288594E-5 | 1.0842768E-4 | 2.5841143E-4 | 2.3832605 | 1.5E-4 | 8.7254314E-4 | 0.0010973068 | 0.0013370435 | 1.2184774 | 2.4E-4 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 3.1497066E-7 | 3.1497066E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5742813E-6 | 1.3498736E-6 | 1.3498736E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.6434604E-5 | 2.643444E-5 | 1.6084622 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.6648426E-4 | 1.764826E-4 | 1.0600557 | 1.0E-5 |
McLean Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.7360222E-5 | 1.8501789E-5 | 1.8849864E-4 | 10.18813 | 1.7E-4 | 7.439883E-5 | 7.929125E-5 | 6.192484E-4 | 7.809796 | 5.4E-4 | 9.0542925E-4 | 9.64992E-4 | 0.0030130139 | 3.12232 | 0.00205 | 0.009017491 | 0.009612858 | 0.013752677 | 1.4306543 | 0.00418 |
6.1 | 9.062689E-6 | 9.592268E-6 | 4.9591883E-5 | 5.1699853 | 4.0E-5 | 3.8839516E-5 | 4.110912E-5 | 2.7109968E-4 | 6.5946355 | 2.3E-4 | 4.727685E-4 | 5.003975E-4 | 0.0014699121 | 2.937489 | 9.7E-4 | 0.0047176396 | 0.0049935905 | 0.0070532537 | 1.4124614 | 0.00207 |
6.2 | 9.062689E-6 | 9.592268E-6 | 4.9591883E-5 | 5.1699853 | 4.0E-5 | 3.8839516E-5 | 4.110912E-5 | 2.7109968E-4 | 6.5946355 | 2.3E-4 | 4.727685E-4 | 5.003975E-4 | 0.0014699121 | 2.937489 | 9.7E-4 | 0.0047176396 | 0.0049935905 | 0.0070532537 | 1.4124614 | 0.00207 |
6.3 | 7.2575485E-6 | 7.667767E-6 | 4.766746E-5 | 6.216603 | 4.0E-5 | 3.110341E-5 | 3.2861484E-5 | 2.3285492E-4 | 7.0859523 | 2.0E-4 | 3.786182E-4 | 4.0002225E-4 | 0.0012296903 | 3.0740545 | 8.3E-4 | 0.0037797375 | 0.003993727 | 0.0057068574 | 1.4289554 | 0.00172 |
6.4 | 7.2575485E-6 | 7.667767E-6 | 4.766746E-5 | 6.216603 | 4.0E-5 | 3.110341E-5 | 3.2861484E-5 | 2.3285492E-4 | 7.0859523 | 2.0E-4 | 3.786182E-4 | 4.0002225E-4 | 0.0012296903 | 3.0740545 | 8.3E-4 | 0.0037797375 | 0.003993727 | 0.0057068574 | 1.4289554 | 0.00172 |
6.5 | 6.06582E-6 | 6.4039245E-6 | 4.6403668E-5 | 7.24613 | 4.0E-5 | 2.5996113E-5 | 2.7445138E-5 | 1.9744047E-4 | 7.1940055 | 1.7E-4 | 3.164567E-4 | 3.340998E-4 | 0.0010438625 | 3.1244035 | 7.1E-4 | 0.0031600643 | 0.0033366138 | 0.0047618425 | 1.4271482 | 0.00143 |
6.6 | 5.598744E-6 | 5.910306E-6 | 4.591007E-5 | 7.7677994 | 4.0E-5 | 2.3994397E-5 | 2.5329673E-5 | 1.9532537E-4 | 7.711326 | 1.7E-4 | 2.9209262E-4 | 3.083515E-4 | 9.981388E-4 | 3.237016 | 6.9E-4 | 0.0029170897 | 0.0030798658 | 0.004375862 | 1.4207963 | 0.0013 |
6.7 | 5.246996E-6 | 5.539203E-6 | 3.5539037E-5 | 6.4159117 | 3.0E-5 | 2.2486933E-5 | 2.3739261E-5 | 1.6373594E-4 | 6.8972635 | 1.4E-4 | 2.73744E-4 | 2.8899353E-4 | 9.188115E-4 | 3.1793497 | 6.3E-4 | 0.0027340704 | 0.002886801 | 0.00411325 | 1.4248471 | 0.00123 |
6.8 | 4.02324E-6 | 4.246936E-6 | 2.424685E-5 | 5.7092576 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7242342E-5 | 1.820106E-5 | 1.1819924E-4 | 6.4940853 | 1.0E-4 | 2.099053E-4 | 2.2158133E-4 | 6.814794E-4 | 3.0755272 | 4.6E-4 | 0.0020970714 | 0.0022141882 | 0.0031221735 | 1.4100758 | 9.1E-4 |
6.9 | 6.835972E-7 | 7.1399705E-7 | 1.07139895E-5 | 15.0056505 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9296991E-6 | 3.0599856E-6 | 3.3059892E-5 | 10.803938 | 3.0E-5 | 3.56685E-5 | 3.7255006E-5 | 1.7724979E-4 | 4.7577443 | 1.4E-4 | 3.5662777E-4 | 3.7251884E-4 | 5.8244064E-4 | 1.5635198 | 2.1E-4 |
Gravel Hills-Harper Lk
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0679566E-5 | 3.146516E-5 | 2.9145696E-4 | 9.262848 | 2.6E-4 | 1.3147724E-4 | 1.3484493E-4 | 9.3473704E-4 | 6.9319406 | 8.0E-4 | 0.0015995599 | 0.0016407177 | 0.0039269603 | 2.3934407 | 0.00229 | 0.015880952 | 0.016307613 | 0.020114502 | 1.2334425 | 0.00387 |
6.1 | 3.0679566E-5 | 3.146516E-5 | 2.9145696E-4 | 9.262848 | 2.6E-4 | 1.3147724E-4 | 1.3484493E-4 | 9.3473704E-4 | 6.9319406 | 8.0E-4 | 0.0015995599 | 0.0016407177 | 0.0039269603 | 2.3934407 | 0.00229 | 0.015880952 | 0.016307613 | 0.020114502 | 1.2334425 | 0.00387 |
6.2 | 1.514536E-5 | 1.363538E-5 | 7.363456E-5 | 5.4002576 | 6.0E-5 | 6.490707E-5 | 5.84361E-5 | 2.8842266E-4 | 4.9356933 | 2.3E-4 | 7.8995706E-4 | 7.112392E-4 | 0.0014007484 | 1.9694479 | 6.9E-4 | 0.007871548 | 0.0070908302 | 0.008331967 | 1.175034 | 0.00125 |
6.3 | 1.514536E-5 | 1.363538E-5 | 7.363456E-5 | 5.4002576 | 6.0E-5 | 6.490707E-5 | 5.84361E-5 | 2.8842266E-4 | 4.9356933 | 2.3E-4 | 7.8995706E-4 | 7.112392E-4 | 0.0014007484 | 1.9694479 | 6.9E-4 | 0.007871548 | 0.0070908302 | 0.008331967 | 1.175034 | 0.00125 |
6.4 | 1.2532521E-5 | 1.0689813E-5 | 5.0689385E-5 | 4.74184 | 4.0E-5 | 5.37097E-5 | 4.5812714E-5 | 1.9580584E-4 | 4.27405 | 1.5E-4 | 6.537194E-4 | 5.576329E-4 | 0.0010373652 | 1.8603014 | 4.8E-4 | 0.0065179965 | 0.0055629266 | 0.006408198 | 1.1519473 | 8.5E-4 |
6.5 | 1.1094058E-5 | 9.083761E-6 | 3.908349E-5 | 4.302567 | 3.0E-5 | 4.7545094E-5 | 3.8929848E-5 | 1.3892596E-4 | 3.5686233 | 1.0E-4 | 5.787078E-4 | 4.7387183E-4 | 8.1371074E-4 | 1.7171535 | 3.4E-4 | 0.0057720304 | 0.0047290213 | 0.005326184 | 1.1262761 | 6.0E-4 |
6.6 | 9.688328E-6 | 7.531771E-6 | 3.7531547E-5 | 4.9830966 | 3.0E-5 | 4.1520743E-5 | 3.2278636E-5 | 9.22767E-5 | 2.8587546 | 6.0E-5 | 5.053978E-4 | 3.9292406E-4 | 5.4286513E-4 | 1.3816031 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0050424994 | 0.00392255 | 0.0042114127 | 1.0736415 | 2.9E-4 |
6.7 | 8.974824E-6 | 6.7494793E-6 | 3.6749276E-5 | 5.4447575 | 3.0E-5 | 3.8462964E-5 | 2.8926032E-5 | 8.8924295E-5 | 3.0741963 | 6.0E-5 | 4.6818596E-4 | 3.521197E-4 | 4.8207396E-4 | 1.3690627 | 1.3E-4 | 0.004672008 | 0.0035158389 | 0.0037350655 | 1.062354 | 2.2E-4 |
6.8 | 7.4780046E-6 | 5.1162397E-6 | 2.5116136E-5 | 4.909101 | 2.0E-5 | 3.20482E-5 | 2.1926564E-5 | 4.1926127E-5 | 1.9121156 | 2.0E-5 | 3.9011694E-4 | 2.6692462E-4 | 3.0691395E-4 | 1.1498151 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0038943281 | 0.0026661782 | 0.0027359917 | 1.0261848 | 7.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.3409307E-6 | 3.9075294E-6 | 1.390749E-5 | 3.559152 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7175134E-5 | 1.6746453E-5 | 2.6746286E-5 | 1.5971314 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3080703E-4 | 2.0386997E-4 | 2.3386386E-4 | 1.1471226 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0033031502 | 0.0020369277 | 0.002086826 | 1.0244968 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.1239335E-6 | 2.605876E-6 | 1.260585E-5 | 4.837471 | 1.0E-5 | 2.195953E-5 | 1.1167994E-5 | 2.1167882E-5 | 1.895406 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6732447E-4 | 1.359621E-4 | 1.5595937E-4 | 1.1470798 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0026700313 | 0.0013588143 | 0.0013887736 | 1.0220481 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.438899E-6 | 2.0984924E-6 | 1.2098471E-5 | 5.765316 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9023713E-5 | 8.993509E-6 | 1.899342E-5 | 2.111903 | 1.0E-5 | 2.315891E-4 | 1.0949069E-4 | 1.294885E-4 | 1.1826439 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002313479 | 0.0010943894 | 0.0011243565 | 1.0273825 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.50367E-6 | 1.2615886E-6 | 1.1261576E-5 | 8.926504 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5015643E-5 | 5.4067978E-6 | 1.5406744E-5 | 2.8495135 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8280011E-4 | 6.582586E-5 | 8.582454E-5 | 1.303812 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0018264982 | 6.5807183E-4 | 6.7805866E-4 | 1.0303718 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.561638E-6 | 7.1188435E-7 | 1.0711878E-5 | 15.047215 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0978401E-5 | 3.0509295E-6 | 1.3050899E-5 | 4.2776794 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3365384E-4 | 3.7144455E-5 | 4.7144084E-5 | 1.2692091 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013357349 | 3.7138443E-4 | 3.8138073E-4 | 1.0269163 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.0368864E-6 | 5.3046045E-7 | 1.0530455E-5 | 19.851538 | 1.0E-5 | 8.729483E-6 | 2.2734E-6 | 1.2273377E-5 | 5.3986883 | 1.0E-5 | 1.06276275E-4 | 2.7678298E-5 | 3.7678023E-5 | 1.3612839 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010622547 | 2.7674905E-4 | 2.8674628E-4 | 1.0361239 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.1681728E-6 | 3.6029326E-7 | 1.036029E-5 | 28.755157 | 1.0E-5 | 5.0064455E-6 | 1.544113E-6 | 1.1544098E-5 | 7.4761996 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0951766E-5 | 1.879942E-5 | 2.8799232E-5 | 1.5319213 | 1.0E-5 | 6.093505E-4 | 1.8797876E-4 | 1.9797689E-4 | 1.0531875 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.3154387E-7 | 7.119745E-8 | 7.119745E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6375933E-7 | 3.051319E-7 | 3.051319E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863748E-6 | 3.7149762E-6 | 3.7149762E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863536E-5 | 3.7149297E-5 | 3.7149297E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Goldstone Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.671352E-5 | 3.0376643E-5 | 1.303736E-4 | 4.291903 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1448149E-4 | 1.3018023E-4 | 5.2012946E-4 | 3.9954567 | 3.9E-4 | 0.001392921 | 0.0015839882 | 0.0032313745 | 2.0400245 | 0.00165 | 0.013842222 | 0.01574648 | 0.019073255 | 1.2112712 | 0.00338 |
6.1 | 2.671352E-5 | 3.0376643E-5 | 1.303736E-4 | 4.291903 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1448149E-4 | 1.3018023E-4 | 5.2012946E-4 | 3.9954567 | 3.9E-4 | 0.001392921 | 0.0015839882 | 0.0032313745 | 2.0400245 | 0.00165 | 0.013842222 | 0.01574648 | 0.019073255 | 1.2112712 | 0.00338 |
6.2 | 1.4197047E-5 | 1.6096526E-5 | 6.609572E-5 | 4.10621 | 5.0E-5 | 6.0843064E-5 | 6.898385E-5 | 2.2897281E-4 | 3.3192236 | 1.6E-4 | 7.4051257E-4 | 8.396533E-4 | 0.0016489732 | 1.9638739 | 8.1E-4 | 0.007380498 | 0.008374506 | 0.01003052 | 1.1977447 | 0.00167 |
6.3 | 1.4197047E-5 | 1.6096526E-5 | 6.609572E-5 | 4.10621 | 5.0E-5 | 6.0843064E-5 | 6.898385E-5 | 2.2897281E-4 | 3.3192236 | 1.6E-4 | 7.4051257E-4 | 8.396533E-4 | 0.0016489732 | 1.9638739 | 8.1E-4 | 0.007380498 | 0.008374506 | 0.01003052 | 1.1977447 | 0.00167 |
6.4 | 1.3238931E-5 | 1.5008722E-5 | 6.5007975E-5 | 4.331346 | 5.0E-5 | 5.6737044E-5 | 6.432206E-5 | 2.1431241E-4 | 3.3318648 | 1.5E-4 | 6.9055456E-4 | 7.8293774E-4 | 0.001562327 | 1.9954678 | 7.8E-4 | 0.006884126 | 0.0078114197 | 0.009369156 | 1.1994178 | 0.00157 |
6.5 | 1.3238931E-5 | 1.5008722E-5 | 6.5007975E-5 | 4.331346 | 5.0E-5 | 5.6737044E-5 | 6.432206E-5 | 2.1431241E-4 | 3.3318648 | 1.5E-4 | 6.9055456E-4 | 7.8293774E-4 | 0.001562327 | 1.9954678 | 7.8E-4 | 0.006884126 | 0.0078114197 | 0.009369156 | 1.1994178 | 0.00157 |
6.6 | 1.1328278E-5 | 1.2855392E-5 | 5.2854877E-5 | 4.111495 | 4.0E-5 | 4.8548856E-5 | 5.509391E-5 | 1.750873E-4 | 3.177979 | 1.2E-4 | 5.90922E-4 | 6.706576E-4 | 0.0013202217 | 1.9685479 | 6.5E-4 | 0.0058935313 | 0.006695726 | 0.0079870215 | 1.1928537 | 0.0013 |
6.7 | 8.651175E-6 | 9.824737E-6 | 3.9824445E-5 | 4.053487 | 3.0E-5 | 3.707594E-5 | 4.210585E-5 | 1.5210122E-4 | 3.6123536 | 1.1E-4 | 4.5130608E-4 | 5.126087E-4 | 0.0010123524 | 1.974903 | 5.0E-4 | 0.0045039062 | 0.005123141 | 0.006137916 | 1.1980766 | 0.00102 |
6.8 | 1.0215377E-6 | 1.1754901E-6 | 1.1175478E-5 | 9.50708 | 1.0E-5 | 4.378012E-6 | 5.0378057E-6 | 2.5037705E-5 | 4.9699626 | 2.0E-5 | 5.3300988E-5 | 6.1333674E-5 | 1.0133122E-4 | 1.6521304 | 4.0E-5 | 5.3288206E-4 | 6.131787E-4 | 6.5315416E-4 | 1.0651939 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.9360774E-7 | 9.2835677E-7 | 1.0928347E-5 | 11.771711 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4011714E-6 | 3.978666E-6 | 2.3978586E-5 | 6.02679 | 2.0E-5 | 4.1408475E-5 | 4.8439255E-5 | 7.84378E-5 | 1.6193024 | 3.0E-5 | 4.140076E-4 | 4.8429397E-4 | 5.142794E-4 | 1.0619159 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.4382757E-7 | 8.747494E-7 | 1.0874741E-5 | 12.431835 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1878285E-6 | 3.748921E-6 | 2.3748846E-5 | 6.3348484 | 2.0E-5 | 3.8811122E-5 | 4.5642224E-5 | 7.5640855E-5 | 1.6572561 | 3.0E-5 | 3.8804344E-4 | 4.5633517E-4 | 4.8632146E-4 | 1.0657111 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 6.4709513E-7 | 7.711456E-7 | 1.0771138E-5 | 13.9677105 | 1.0E-5 | 2.773262E-6 | 3.3049057E-6 | 1.33048725E-5 | 4.025795 | 1.0E-5 | 3.376394E-5 | 4.0236544E-5 | 6.023574E-5 | 1.4970405 | 2.0E-5 | 3.375881E-4 | 4.0229855E-4 | 4.2229053E-4 | 1.0496943 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.356704E-7 | 7.588514E-7 | 1.0758844E-5 | 14.1778 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7242988E-6 | 3.2522166E-6 | 1.32521845E-5 | 4.0748158 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3167835E-5 | 3.9595077E-5 | 5.9594287E-5 | 1.5050932 | 2.0E-5 | 3.3162883E-4 | 3.9588616E-4 | 4.1587825E-4 | 1.0504996 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 5.7695723E-7 | 6.896703E-7 | 1.0689663E-5 | 15.499672 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4726714E-6 | 2.9557268E-6 | 1.29556975E-5 | 4.3832526 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0104358E-5 | 3.598544E-5 | 4.5985078E-5 | 1.2778802 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0100282E-4 | 3.5980184E-4 | 3.6979825E-4 | 1.027783 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 5.209647E-7 | 6.1936277E-7 | 1.06193565E-5 | 17.145617 | 1.0E-5 | 2.232704E-6 | 2.6544094E-6 | 1.2654383E-5 | 4.7673063 | 1.0E-5 | 2.718283E-5 | 3.231701E-5 | 4.231669E-5 | 1.3094245 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7179506E-4 | 3.2312868E-4 | 3.3312544E-4 | 1.0309374 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.512955E-7 | 5.3489794E-7 | 1.0534893E-5 | 19.695147 | 1.0E-5 | 1.934122E-6 | 2.292418E-6 | 1.2292395E-5 | 5.3621964 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3547682E-5 | 2.7909884E-5 | 3.7909605E-5 | 1.358286 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3545188E-4 | 2.790691E-4 | 2.8906632E-4 | 1.0358235 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.6040198E-7 | 2.6040198E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.1160082E-6 | 1.1160082E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.3587343E-5 | 1.3587343E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1539775E-4 | 1.3586794E-4 | 1.3586794E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
So Sierra Nevada
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1079688E-5 | 2.2107737E-4 | 19.953392 | 2.1E-4 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7483583E-5 | 6.874532E-4 | 14.477702 | 6.4E-4 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.7797204E-4 | 0.0023569432 | 4.077954 | 0.00178 | 0.006007948 | 0.0057659578 | 0.008828199 | 1.5310897 | 0.00308 |
6.1 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1079688E-5 | 2.2107737E-4 | 19.953392 | 2.1E-4 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7483583E-5 | 6.874532E-4 | 14.477702 | 6.4E-4 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.7797204E-4 | 0.0023569432 | 4.077954 | 0.00178 | 0.006007948 | 0.0057659578 | 0.008828199 | 1.5310897 | 0.00308 |
6.2 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1079688E-5 | 2.2107737E-4 | 19.953392 | 2.1E-4 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7483583E-5 | 6.874532E-4 | 14.477702 | 6.4E-4 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.7797204E-4 | 0.0023569432 | 4.077954 | 0.00178 | 0.006007948 | 0.0057659578 | 0.008828199 | 1.5310897 | 0.00308 |
6.3 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1079688E-5 | 2.2107737E-4 | 19.953392 | 2.1E-4 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7483583E-5 | 6.874532E-4 | 14.477702 | 6.4E-4 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.7797204E-4 | 0.0023569432 | 4.077954 | 0.00178 | 0.006007948 | 0.0057659578 | 0.008828199 | 1.5310897 | 0.00308 |
6.4 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1079688E-5 | 2.2107737E-4 | 19.953392 | 2.1E-4 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7483583E-5 | 6.874532E-4 | 14.477702 | 6.4E-4 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.7797204E-4 | 0.0023569432 | 4.077954 | 0.00178 | 0.006007948 | 0.0057659578 | 0.008828199 | 1.5310897 | 0.00308 |
6.5 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1079688E-5 | 2.2107737E-4 | 19.953392 | 2.1E-4 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7483583E-5 | 6.874532E-4 | 14.477702 | 6.4E-4 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.7797204E-4 | 0.0023569432 | 4.077954 | 0.00178 | 0.006007948 | 0.0057659578 | 0.008828199 | 1.5310897 | 0.00308 |
6.6 | 7.587044E-6 | 6.935655E-6 | 1.6693455E-4 | 24.069036 | 1.6E-4 | 3.2515498E-5 | 2.9723915E-5 | 3.897132E-4 | 13.1111 | 3.6E-4 | 3.9580427E-4 | 3.6183148E-4 | 0.0014414407 | 3.9837348 | 0.00108 | 0.003951 | 0.0036127153 | 0.0054062125 | 1.4964402 | 0.0018 |
6.7 | 7.587044E-6 | 6.935655E-6 | 1.6693455E-4 | 24.069036 | 1.6E-4 | 3.2515498E-5 | 2.9723915E-5 | 3.897132E-4 | 13.1111 | 3.6E-4 | 3.9580427E-4 | 3.6183148E-4 | 0.0014414407 | 3.9837348 | 0.00108 | 0.003951 | 0.0036127153 | 0.0054062125 | 1.4964402 | 0.0018 |
6.8 | 5.9026956E-6 | 5.179403E-6 | 1.1517883E-4 | 22.23786 | 1.1E-4 | 2.5297022E-5 | 2.2197259E-5 | 2.721917E-4 | 12.262402 | 2.5E-4 | 3.0794772E-4 | 2.702193E-4 | 9.500355E-4 | 3.5157948 | 6.8E-4 | 0.0030752132 | 0.0026990233 | 0.0038558925 | 1.4286251 | 0.00116 |
6.9 | 5.0118915E-6 | 4.2524307E-6 | 1.0425201E-4 | 24.515863 | 1.0E-4 | 2.1479358E-5 | 1.8224579E-5 | 2.2822076E-4 | 12.52269 | 2.1E-4 | 2.614798E-4 | 2.2186238E-4 | 8.117315E-4 | 3.6587162 | 5.9E-4 | 0.0026117235 | 0.0022164814 | 0.0032342207 | 1.4591688 | 0.00102 |
7.0 | 4.4924795E-6 | 3.7139203E-6 | 8.3713625E-5 | 22.5405 | 8.0E-5 | 1.925334E-5 | 1.5916707E-5 | 1.85914E-4 | 11.680431 | 1.7E-4 | 2.3438422E-4 | 1.9376932E-4 | 6.9367245E-4 | 3.5798879 | 5.0E-4 | 0.0023413717 | 0.0019360665 | 0.0028243435 | 1.458805 | 8.9E-4 |
7.1 | 3.9118436E-6 | 3.111977E-6 | 3.3111883E-5 | 10.640143 | 3.0E-5 | 1.6764936E-5 | 1.33369795E-5 | 1.2333551E-4 | 9.247635 | 1.1E-4 | 2.0409399E-4 | 1.623662E-4 | 5.2230776E-4 | 3.2168503 | 3.6E-4 | 0.0020390663 | 0.0016225318 | 0.0023014285 | 1.4184182 | 6.8E-4 |
7.2 | 3.4200818E-6 | 2.6054513E-6 | 2.26054E-5 | 8.676193 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4657411E-5 | 1.1166175E-5 | 9.116528E-5 | 8.164414 | 8.0E-5 | 1.7843937E-4 | 1.359402E-4 | 4.2590077E-4 | 3.1330009 | 2.9E-4 | 0.0017829615 | 0.0013586201 | 0.001907873 | 1.4042724 | 5.5E-4 |
7.3 | 2.6593618E-6 | 1.8284135E-6 | 1.1828395E-5 | 6.469212 | 1.0E-5 | 1.13972155E-5 | 7.836036E-6 | 6.7835565E-5 | 8.656873 | 6.0E-5 | 1.3875226E-4 | 9.539985E-5 | 2.9538077E-4 | 3.096239 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0013866565 | 9.53618E-4 | 0.0013332556 | 1.3981024 | 3.8E-4 |
7.4 | 2.2577992E-6 | 1.4364293E-6 | 1.1436415E-5 | 7.961697 | 1.0E-5 | 9.676246E-6 | 6.1561127E-6 | 5.6155804E-5 | 9.121959 | 5.0E-5 | 1.1780193E-4 | 7.4948344E-5 | 2.449356E-4 | 3.2680588 | 1.7E-4 | 0.001177395 | 7.4925576E-4 | 0.0010290459 | 1.3734242 | 2.8E-4 |
7.5 | 1.489319E-6 | 7.35383E-7 | 7.35383E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3827797E-6 | 3.1516379E-6 | 1.3151606E-5 | 4.1729436 | 1.0E-5 | 7.770758E-5 | 3.837052E-5 | 8.83686E-5 | 2.3030338 | 5.0E-5 | 7.7680405E-4 | 3.836394E-4 | 4.935972E-4 | 1.2866176 | 1.1E-4 |
7.6 | 1.0680322E-6 | 4.6595343E-7 | 4.6595343E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.577273E-6 | 1.9969418E-6 | 1.1996922E-5 | 6.007647 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5726876E-5 | 2.4312498E-5 | 4.431201E-5 | 1.8226022 | 2.0E-5 | 5.5712904E-4 | 2.4309864E-4 | 3.0308406E-4 | 1.2467533 | 6.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.509146E-7 | 1.5579108E-7 | 1.5579108E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3610605E-6 | 6.676759E-7 | 1.0667669E-5 | 15.977316 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8745531E-5 | 8.128925E-6 | 1.8128843E-5 | 2.230165 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8741814E-4 | 8.1286395E-5 | 9.128558E-5 | 1.1230118 | 1.0E-5 |
San Andreas (Mojave S)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.7471585E-4 | 9.1455394E-4 | 1.3554653 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0013306376 | 0.0028885633 | 0.0034469457 | 1.193308 | 5.6E-4 | 0.016080605 | 0.03457021 | 0.036018357 | 1.0418899 | 0.0015 | 0.1496549 | 0.2866514 | 0.28838485 | 1.0060472 | 0.00243 |
6.1 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.7471585E-4 | 9.1455394E-4 | 1.3554653 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0013306376 | 0.0028885633 | 0.0034469457 | 1.193308 | 5.6E-4 | 0.016080605 | 0.03457021 | 0.036018357 | 1.0418899 | 0.0015 | 0.1496549 | 0.2866514 | 0.28838485 | 1.0060472 | 0.00243 |
6.2 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.7471585E-4 | 9.1455394E-4 | 1.3554653 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0013306376 | 0.0028885633 | 0.0034469457 | 1.193308 | 5.6E-4 | 0.016080605 | 0.03457021 | 0.036018357 | 1.0418899 | 0.0015 | 0.1496549 | 0.2866514 | 0.28838485 | 1.0060472 | 0.00243 |
6.3 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.7471585E-4 | 9.1455394E-4 | 1.3554653 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0013306376 | 0.0028885633 | 0.0034469457 | 1.193308 | 5.6E-4 | 0.016080605 | 0.03457021 | 0.036018357 | 1.0418899 | 0.0015 | 0.1496549 | 0.2866514 | 0.28838485 | 1.0060472 | 0.00243 |
6.4 | 1.9872203E-4 | 4.31896E-4 | 6.51801E-4 | 1.5091618 | 2.2E-4 | 8.5138786E-4 | 0.0018496981 | 0.0023787178 | 1.2860032 | 5.3E-4 | 0.010316478 | 0.02229367 | 0.02362335 | 1.0596439 | 0.00136 | 0.098504856 | 0.19705607 | 0.19881453 | 1.0089235 | 0.00219 |
6.5 | 1.291105E-4 | 2.8762486E-4 | 4.8756736E-4 | 1.6951501 | 2.0E-4 | 5.5321335E-4 | 0.0012320984 | 0.0017214947 | 1.3972055 | 4.9E-4 | 0.006714592 | 0.014898448 | 0.016129825 | 1.0826514 | 0.00125 | 0.065152965 | 0.138118 | 0.13982452 | 1.0123556 | 0.00198 |
6.6 | 1.291105E-4 | 2.8762486E-4 | 4.8756736E-4 | 1.6951501 | 2.0E-4 | 5.5321335E-4 | 0.0012320984 | 0.0017214947 | 1.3972055 | 4.9E-4 | 0.006714592 | 0.014898448 | 0.016129825 | 1.0826514 | 0.00125 | 0.065152965 | 0.138118 | 0.13982452 | 1.0123556 | 0.00198 |
6.7 | 1.08001186E-4 | 2.4343564E-4 | 4.4338696E-4 | 1.8213724 | 2.0E-4 | 4.6278012E-4 | 0.0010428791 | 0.0015223784 | 1.4597843 | 4.8E-4 | 0.0056198016 | 0.012623432 | 0.013828032 | 1.0954257 | 0.00122 | 0.054797906 | 0.119228184 | 0.12090165 | 1.0140358 | 0.0019 |
6.8 | 1.0624356E-4 | 2.3861213E-4 | 4.3856443E-4 | 1.8379803 | 2.0E-4 | 4.5525006E-4 | 0.0010222232 | 0.0015017325 | 1.4690847 | 4.8E-4 | 0.0055285925 | 0.012374822 | 0.013579724 | 1.0973673 | 0.00122 | 0.053930566 | 0.117172524 | 0.11884107 | 1.01424 | 0.00189 |
6.9 | 1.0393785E-4 | 2.3231508E-4 | 4.322686E-4 | 1.8606998 | 2.0E-4 | 4.4537184E-4 | 9.952566E-4 | 0.0014747789 | 1.4818077 | 4.8E-4 | 0.0054089287 | 0.012050176 | 0.013255475 | 1.1000234 | 0.00122 | 0.05279156 | 0.11446828 | 0.11612422 | 1.0144664 | 0.00187 |
7.0 | 1.0155622E-4 | 2.2601044E-4 | 4.159675E-4 | 1.8404791 | 1.9E-4 | 4.3516833E-4 | 9.68257E-4 | 0.0014378019 | 1.4849383 | 4.7E-4 | 0.005285311 | 0.011725035 | 0.012920847 | 1.101988 | 0.00121 | 0.05161361 | 0.11172433 | 0.11337653 | 1.0147882 | 0.00186 |
7.1 | 9.885595E-5 | 2.188942E-4 | 4.0885262E-4 | 1.8678093 | 1.9E-4 | 4.2359953E-4 | 9.3778106E-4 | 0.0014073403 | 1.5007131 | 4.7E-4 | 0.0051451353 | 0.011357912 | 0.012544283 | 1.1044532 | 0.0012 | 0.05027629 | 0.108605 | 0.11025408 | 1.0151842 | 0.00185 |
7.2 | 9.6411415E-5 | 2.1252372E-4 | 4.0248333E-4 | 1.8938279 | 1.9E-4 | 4.1312634E-4 | 9.104983E-4 | 0.0013800703 | 1.5157309 | 4.7E-4 | 0.005018219 | 0.011029154 | 0.01219614 | 1.1058092 | 0.00118 | 0.049064007 | 0.10579592 | 0.10743231 | 1.0154674 | 0.00183 |
7.3 | 9.1180635E-5 | 1.9480525E-4 | 3.8476824E-4 | 1.9751431 | 1.9E-4 | 3.907156E-4 | 8.3461264E-4 | 0.0013042204 | 1.5626655 | 4.7E-4 | 0.004746591 | 0.010114178 | 0.011272344 | 1.1145092 | 0.00117 | 0.046464786 | 0.09798997 | 0.09962261 | 1.0166613 | 0.00181 |
7.4 | 8.887388E-5 | 1.8729005E-4 | 3.7725447E-4 | 2.0142794 | 1.9E-4 | 3.8083247E-4 | 8.024248E-4 | 0.0012720476 | 1.5852547 | 4.7E-4 | 0.0046267817 | 0.0097258575 | 0.010884478 | 1.1191279 | 0.00117 | 0.045316286 | 0.0946256 | 0.096264325 | 1.017318 | 0.00181 |
7.5 | 8.6750515E-5 | 1.8060463E-4 | 3.705703E-4 | 2.0518317 | 1.9E-4 | 3.7173493E-4 | 7.7379035E-4 | 0.0012434267 | 1.6069297 | 4.7E-4 | 0.004516484 | 0.009380288 | 0.010539314 | 1.1235596 | 0.00117 | 0.04425787 | 0.09158909 | 0.093224235 | 1.017853 | 0.0018 |
7.6 | 8.453092E-5 | 1.7447997E-4 | 3.5444857E-4 | 2.0314572 | 1.8E-4 | 3.6222505E-4 | 7.4755703E-4 | 0.0012072132 | 1.6148777 | 4.6E-4 | 0.0044011753 | 0.0090636 | 0.010213085 | 1.1268245 | 0.00116 | 0.04315024 | 0.08874676 | 0.090368785 | 1.018277 | 0.00178 |
7.7 | 8.259102E-5 | 1.6970029E-4 | 3.4966975E-4 | 2.0605135 | 1.8E-4 | 3.539135E-4 | 7.270843E-4 | 0.0011867498 | 1.6322039 | 4.6E-4 | 0.004300386 | 0.008816389 | 0.009966162 | 1.1304132 | 0.00116 | 0.042181134 | 0.08649703 | 0.08812307 | 1.0187987 | 0.00178 |
7.8 | 7.444844E-5 | 1.5291499E-4 | 2.7289664E-4 | 1.7846297 | 1.2E-4 | 3.1902574E-4 | 6.5518543E-4 | 0.0010149495 | 1.5491028 | 3.6E-4 | 0.0038772223 | 0.007947756 | 0.008890206 | 1.1185806 | 9.5E-4 | 0.03810269 | 0.078325555 | 0.07968964 | 1.0174155 | 0.00148 |
7.9 | 5.2586525E-5 | 1.0011774E-4 | 1.5011273E-4 | 1.499362 | 5.0E-5 | 2.2535135E-4 | 4.2900548E-4 | 6.289197E-4 | 1.4659945 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0027402006 | 0.005210644 | 0.0057975696 | 1.1126398 | 5.9E-4 | 0.027066574 | 0.052224807 | 0.053030416 | 1.0154258 | 8.5E-4 |
8.0 | 3.379877E-5 | 5.4103475E-5 | 5.4103475E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4484383E-4 | 2.3185145E-4 | 2.4184912E-4 | 1.0431211 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017620471 | 0.002819139 | 0.002978688 | 1.056595 | 1.6E-4 | 0.017481409 | 0.028849052 | 0.029091839 | 1.0084158 | 2.5E-4 |
8.1 | 1.8668277E-5 | 1.9321345E-5 | 1.9321345E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.000444E-5 | 8.280314E-5 | 8.280314E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.736188E-4 | 0.0010076626 | 0.0010176526 | 1.0099139 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009693642 | 0.010805132 | 0.010815023 | 1.0009155 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.541571E-6 | 5.4646152E-6 | 5.4646152E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.660622E-5 | 2.341957E-5 | 2.341957E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.455896E-4 | 2.8509603E-4 | 2.8509603E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044469717 | 0.0032429425 | 0.0032429425 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.6647797E-7 | 7.6647797E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.2849016E-6 | 3.2849016E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.999296E-5 | 3.999296E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.7228087E-4 | 4.7228087E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Coyote Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.5090034E-5 | 4.036512E-5 | 1.6036027E-4 | 3.9727435 | 1.2E-4 | 1.503772E-4 | 1.7298336E-4 | 5.029263E-4 | 2.907368 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0018293047 | 0.0021042954 | 0.003321728 | 1.5785465 | 0.00122 | 0.018143194 | 0.020869616 | 0.023092244 | 1.1065005 | 0.00227 |
6.1 | 3.5090034E-5 | 4.036512E-5 | 1.6036027E-4 | 3.9727435 | 1.2E-4 | 1.503772E-4 | 1.7298336E-4 | 5.029263E-4 | 2.907368 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0018293047 | 0.0021042954 | 0.003321728 | 1.5785465 | 0.00122 | 0.018143194 | 0.020869616 | 0.023092244 | 1.1065005 | 0.00227 |
6.2 | 1.841879E-5 | 2.1060194E-5 | 7.105914E-5 | 3.374097 | 5.0E-5 | 7.8935285E-5 | 9.0255424E-5 | 2.002455E-4 | 2.2186532 | 1.1E-4 | 9.606133E-4 | 0.0010984079 | 0.001727716 | 1.5729275 | 6.3E-4 | 0.0095647145 | 0.010939875 | 0.012126747 | 1.1084905 | 0.0012 |
6.3 | 1.841879E-5 | 2.1060194E-5 | 7.105914E-5 | 3.374097 | 5.0E-5 | 7.8935285E-5 | 9.0255424E-5 | 2.002455E-4 | 2.2186532 | 1.1E-4 | 9.606133E-4 | 0.0010984079 | 0.001727716 | 1.5729275 | 6.3E-4 | 0.0095647145 | 0.010939875 | 0.012126747 | 1.1084905 | 0.0012 |
6.4 | 1.712201E-5 | 1.9565581E-5 | 6.95646E-5 | 3.5554578 | 5.0E-5 | 7.337798E-5 | 8.385037E-5 | 1.9384114E-4 | 2.3117507 | 1.1E-4 | 8.930107E-4 | 0.0010205007 | 0.0016098985 | 1.5775576 | 5.9E-4 | 0.008894307 | 0.0101680625 | 0.011286573 | 1.1100023 | 0.00113 |
6.5 | 1.4744935E-5 | 1.6837288E-5 | 6.6836445E-5 | 3.9695492 | 5.0E-5 | 6.3191044E-5 | 7.215834E-5 | 1.6215185E-4 | 2.247167 | 9.0E-5 | 7.6907943E-4 | 8.782672E-4 | 0.0013678368 | 1.5574268 | 4.9E-4 | 0.007664232 | 0.008757159 | 0.009738489 | 1.1120603 | 9.9E-4 |
6.6 | 1.2017839E-5 | 1.3724348E-5 | 5.3723797E-5 | 3.9144883 | 4.0E-5 | 5.150401E-5 | 5.8817805E-5 | 1.388131E-4 | 2.3600523 | 8.0E-5 | 6.268809E-4 | 7.159601E-4 | 0.0011356594 | 1.5862049 | 4.2E-4 | 0.0062511545 | 0.0071452283 | 0.007999083 | 1.1195 | 8.6E-4 |
6.7 | 1.00956095E-5 | 1.1533734E-5 | 5.1533272E-5 | 4.4680476 | 4.0E-5 | 4.326618E-5 | 4.9429844E-5 | 1.1942638E-4 | 2.4160786 | 7.0E-5 | 5.266384E-4 | 6.0172915E-4 | 9.5151854E-4 | 1.581307 | 3.5E-4 | 0.005253921 | 0.006009526 | 0.006745079 | 1.1223978 | 7.4E-4 |
San Andreas (Mojave N)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9410432E-4 | 4.640519E-4 | 2.3907347 | 2.7E-4 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.3161064E-4 | 0.0014411033 | 1.7329063 | 6.1E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010077983 | 0.011562866 | 1.1473393 | 0.0015 | 0.05023708 | 0.098361015 | 0.10051593 | 1.0219083 | 0.00239 |
6.1 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9410432E-4 | 4.640519E-4 | 2.3907347 | 2.7E-4 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.3161064E-4 | 0.0014411033 | 1.7329063 | 6.1E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010077983 | 0.011562866 | 1.1473393 | 0.0015 | 0.05023708 | 0.098361015 | 0.10051593 | 1.0219083 | 0.00239 |
6.2 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9410432E-4 | 4.640519E-4 | 2.3907347 | 2.7E-4 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.3161064E-4 | 0.0014411033 | 1.7329063 | 6.1E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010077983 | 0.011562866 | 1.1473393 | 0.0015 | 0.05023708 | 0.098361015 | 0.10051593 | 1.0219083 | 0.00239 |
6.3 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9410432E-4 | 4.640519E-4 | 2.3907347 | 2.7E-4 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.3161064E-4 | 0.0014411033 | 1.7329063 | 6.1E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010077983 | 0.011562866 | 1.1473393 | 0.0015 | 0.05023708 | 0.098361015 | 0.10051593 | 1.0219083 | 0.00239 |
6.4 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9410432E-4 | 4.640519E-4 | 2.3907347 | 2.7E-4 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.3161064E-4 | 0.0014411033 | 1.7329063 | 6.1E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010077983 | 0.011562866 | 1.1473393 | 0.0015 | 0.05023708 | 0.098361015 | 0.10051593 | 1.0219083 | 0.00239 |
6.5 | 9.861474E-5 | 1.9384196E-4 | 4.6378962E-4 | 2.3926172 | 2.7E-4 | 4.2256617E-4 | 8.3048694E-4 | 0.0014399803 | 1.7338989 | 6.1E-4 | 0.0051326132 | 0.010064429 | 0.011549332 | 1.1475397 | 0.0015 | 0.050156746 | 0.09823856 | 0.10039377 | 1.0219386 | 0.00239 |
6.6 | 9.861474E-5 | 1.9384196E-4 | 4.6378962E-4 | 2.3926172 | 2.7E-4 | 4.2256617E-4 | 8.3048694E-4 | 0.0014399803 | 1.7338989 | 6.1E-4 | 0.0051326132 | 0.010064429 | 0.011549332 | 1.1475397 | 0.0015 | 0.050156746 | 0.09823856 | 0.10039377 | 1.0219386 | 0.00239 |
6.7 | 9.8552715E-5 | 1.9374148E-4 | 4.6368918E-4 | 2.3933396 | 2.7E-4 | 4.223004E-4 | 8.300566E-4 | 0.0014395503 | 1.7342796 | 6.1E-4 | 0.0051293927 | 0.0100592375 | 0.011544148 | 1.1476166 | 0.0015 | 0.050125998 | 0.098191775 | 0.100347094 | 1.0219501 | 0.00239 |
6.8 | 9.8464974E-5 | 1.9359306E-4 | 4.6354078E-4 | 2.394408 | 2.7E-4 | 4.219245E-4 | 8.294209E-4 | 0.001438915 | 1.7348429 | 6.1E-4 | 0.0051248376 | 0.01005157 | 0.011536492 | 1.1477305 | 0.0015 | 0.05008251 | 0.09812213 | 0.10027761 | 1.0219674 | 0.00239 |
6.9 | 9.825824E-5 | 1.9327311E-4 | 4.6322093E-4 | 2.3967168 | 2.7E-4 | 4.2103877E-4 | 8.2805054E-4 | 0.0014375454 | 1.73606 | 6.1E-4 | 0.0051141046 | 0.010035039 | 0.011519986 | 1.1479763 | 0.0015 | 0.049980022 | 0.09797137 | 0.10012722 | 1.0220048 | 0.00239 |
7.0 | 9.781462E-5 | 1.9258665E-4 | 4.6253466E-4 | 2.4016962 | 2.7E-4 | 4.1913814E-4 | 8.251105E-4 | 0.0014346072 | 1.7386849 | 6.1E-4 | 0.005091073 | 0.009999573 | 0.011484574 | 1.1485064 | 0.0015 | 0.04976007 | 0.09764758 | 0.0998042 | 1.0220858 | 0.00239 |
7.1 | 9.7121134E-5 | 1.9160361E-4 | 4.6155188E-4 | 2.4088893 | 2.7E-4 | 4.1616702E-4 | 8.2090014E-4 | 0.0014303994 | 1.7424767 | 6.1E-4 | 0.005055068 | 0.009948781 | 0.0114338575 | 1.1492722 | 0.0015 | 0.04941613 | 0.09718397 | 0.0993417 | 1.0222025 | 0.00239 |
7.2 | 9.663819E-5 | 1.9091136E-4 | 4.6085982E-4 | 2.4139988 | 2.7E-4 | 4.1409794E-4 | 8.179352E-4 | 0.0014274362 | 1.7451704 | 6.1E-4 | 0.0050299936 | 0.009913012 | 0.011398142 | 1.1498163 | 0.0015 | 0.049176537 | 0.09685706 | 0.09901558 | 1.0222856 | 0.00239 |
7.3 | 9.6277574E-5 | 1.9043636E-4 | 4.6038494E-4 | 2.4175265 | 2.7E-4 | 4.125529E-4 | 8.1590074E-4 | 0.001425403 | 1.7470299 | 6.1E-4 | 0.0050112694 | 0.009888468 | 0.011373635 | 1.1501919 | 0.0015 | 0.04899759 | 0.09663044 | 0.09878949 | 1.0223434 | 0.00239 |
7.4 | 9.593308E-5 | 1.8983395E-4 | 4.597827E-4 | 2.4220257 | 2.7E-4 | 4.1107697E-4 | 8.133206E-4 | 0.0014228245 | 1.7494017 | 6.1E-4 | 0.0049933824 | 0.00985734 | 0.011342553 | 1.1506709 | 0.0015 | 0.04882661 | 0.09634874 | 0.09850847 | 1.0224158 | 0.00239 |
7.5 | 9.561707E-5 | 1.892946E-4 | 4.5924349E-4 | 2.426078 | 2.7E-4 | 4.0972308E-4 | 8.1101054E-4 | 0.0014205158 | 1.751538 | 6.1E-4 | 0.0049769743 | 0.009829468 | 0.011314725 | 1.1511023 | 0.0015 | 0.048669744 | 0.09609495 | 0.098255284 | 1.0224812 | 0.00239 |
7.6 | 9.418194E-5 | 1.858169E-4 | 4.457686E-4 | 2.3989668 | 2.6E-4 | 4.0357444E-4 | 7.961153E-4 | 0.0013956376 | 1.7530597 | 6.0E-4 | 0.004902454 | 0.009649739 | 0.011125361 | 1.1529183 | 0.00149 | 0.047957025 | 0.094475985 | 0.09663113 | 1.0228115 | 0.00238 |
7.7 | 8.202141E-5 | 1.6029968E-4 | 4.102596E-4 | 2.5593288 | 2.5E-4 | 3.51473E-4 | 6.868178E-4 | 0.00123644 | 1.8002446 | 5.5E-4 | 0.00427079 | 0.008330002 | 0.009698507 | 1.1642863 | 0.00138 | 0.04189639 | 0.08226986 | 0.08428887 | 1.0245413 | 0.0022 |
7.8 | 7.2859846E-5 | 1.452426E-4 | 2.6522516E-4 | 1.8260839 | 1.2E-4 | 3.1221908E-4 | 6.223198E-4 | 9.820957E-4 | 1.5781207 | 3.6E-4 | 0.003794643 | 0.007550463 | 0.00849329 | 1.1248701 | 9.5E-4 | 0.037304975 | 0.074759446 | 0.0761288 | 1.0183169 | 0.00148 |
7.9 | 5.3874453E-5 | 1.0051061E-4 | 1.5050558E-4 | 1.4974099 | 5.0E-5 | 2.3087008E-4 | 4.3068864E-4 | 6.3060253E-4 | 1.4641726 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0028072202 | 0.005231038 | 0.005817952 | 1.1121984 | 5.9E-4 | 0.02772022 | 0.052449387 | 0.053254806 | 1.0153561 | 8.5E-4 |
8.0 | 3.468538E-5 | 5.4289703E-5 | 5.4289703E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4864317E-4 | 2.3264941E-4 | 2.4264709E-4 | 1.0429732 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018082283 | 0.0028288292 | 0.0029883767 | 1.0564005 | 1.6E-4 | 0.017935853 | 0.028961731 | 0.029204492 | 1.0083821 | 2.5E-4 |
8.1 | 1.9152367E-5 | 1.9414629E-5 | 1.9414629E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.207899E-5 | 8.3202896E-5 | 8.3202896E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.988535E-4 | 0.0010125252 | 0.001022515 | 1.0098664 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009943757 | 0.010862543 | 0.010872435 | 1.0009106 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.478665E-6 | 5.478665E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3479783E-5 | 2.3479783E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8582895E-4 | 2.8582895E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0032508469 | 0.0032508469 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.6647797E-7 | 7.6647797E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.2849016E-6 | 3.2849016E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.999296E-5 | 3.999296E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.7228087E-4 | 4.7228087E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Death Valley (So)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.5618914E-5 | 1.1561661E-4 | 4.5129395 | 9.0E-5 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.09790824E-4 | 3.4976448E-4 | 3.185735 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0010787029 | 0.0013359005 | 0.0023445513 | 1.7550343 | 0.00101 | 0.010734817 | 0.01328137 | 0.015501487 | 1.1671603 | 0.00225 |
6.1 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.5618914E-5 | 1.1561661E-4 | 4.5129395 | 9.0E-5 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.09790824E-4 | 3.4976448E-4 | 3.185735 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0010787029 | 0.0013359005 | 0.0023445513 | 1.7550343 | 0.00101 | 0.010734817 | 0.01328137 | 0.015501487 | 1.1671603 | 0.00225 |
6.2 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.5618914E-5 | 1.1561661E-4 | 4.5129395 | 9.0E-5 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.09790824E-4 | 3.4976448E-4 | 3.185735 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0010787029 | 0.0013359005 | 0.0023445513 | 1.7550343 | 0.00101 | 0.010734817 | 0.01328137 | 0.015501487 | 1.1671603 | 0.00225 |
6.3 | 2.0240292E-5 | 2.511899E-5 | 1.1511673E-4 | 4.5828567 | 9.0E-5 | 8.6741224E-5 | 1.0764847E-4 | 3.376237E-4 | 3.136354 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0010555626 | 0.0013098489 | 0.0022586046 | 1.7243245 | 9.5E-4 | 0.010505628 | 0.013023925 | 0.015126185 | 1.1614152 | 0.00213 |
6.4 | 2.0240292E-5 | 2.511899E-5 | 1.1511673E-4 | 4.5828567 | 9.0E-5 | 8.6741224E-5 | 1.0764847E-4 | 3.376237E-4 | 3.136354 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0010555626 | 0.0013098489 | 0.0022586046 | 1.7243245 | 9.5E-4 | 0.010505628 | 0.013023925 | 0.015126185 | 1.1614152 | 0.00213 |
6.5 | 1.9962767E-5 | 2.4808238E-5 | 1.14806004E-4 | 4.627737 | 9.0E-5 | 8.55519E-5 | 1.0631679E-4 | 3.262934E-4 | 3.0690675 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0010410968 | 0.0012936549 | 0.002232439 | 1.7256835 | 9.4E-4 | 0.010362327 | 0.012863869 | 0.014887498 | 1.1573111 | 0.00205 |
6.6 | 1.8937297E-5 | 2.331202E-5 | 9.331039E-5 | 4.0026727 | 7.0E-5 | 8.115732E-5 | 9.9904915E-5 | 2.8988594E-4 | 2.9016182 | 1.9E-4 | 9.876423E-4 | 0.0012156782 | 0.0020746328 | 1.7065641 | 8.6E-4 | 0.009832645 | 0.012092765 | 0.013920394 | 1.151134 | 0.00185 |
6.7 | 1.8621096E-5 | 2.2912649E-5 | 8.2911276E-5 | 3.6185808 | 6.0E-5 | 7.980225E-5 | 9.819346E-5 | 2.5817775E-4 | 2.6292765 | 1.6E-4 | 9.711593E-4 | 0.0011948642 | 0.0019939083 | 1.6687322 | 8.0E-4 | 0.009669261 | 0.011886865 | 0.013606181 | 1.1446401 | 0.00174 |
6.8 | 1.7830353E-5 | 2.1806614E-5 | 7.180552E-5 | 3.2928321 | 5.0E-5 | 7.641356E-5 | 9.345365E-5 | 2.3344057E-4 | 2.4979289 | 1.4E-4 | 9.29938E-4 | 0.0011372183 | 0.0018763768 | 1.6499705 | 7.4E-4 | 0.009260561 | 0.011316919 | 0.01293836 | 1.1432757 | 0.00164 |
6.9 | 1.3135183E-5 | 1.5304342E-5 | 5.5303728E-5 | 3.6135974 | 4.0E-5 | 5.6292425E-5 | 6.558842E-5 | 1.6558186E-4 | 2.5245593 | 1.0E-4 | 6.8514474E-4 | 7.9825294E-4 | 0.0012778698 | 1.6008332 | 4.8E-4 | 0.006830362 | 0.007954868 | 0.008976675 | 1.1284505 | 0.00103 |
7.0 | 1.1507512E-5 | 1.315447E-5 | 5.3153944E-5 | 4.0407515 | 4.0E-5 | 4.9316975E-5 | 5.6375116E-5 | 1.3637061E-4 | 2.4189858 | 8.0E-5 | 6.002687E-4 | 6.861567E-4 | 0.0010559028 | 1.5388654 | 3.7E-4 | 0.0059864987 | 0.0068410533 | 0.0075759906 | 1.1074305 | 7.4E-4 |
7.1 | 9.715903E-6 | 1.086547E-5 | 4.0865143E-5 | 3.7610102 | 3.0E-5 | 4.1638916E-5 | 4.6565492E-5 | 9.656316E-5 | 2.0737064 | 5.0E-5 | 5.068359E-4 | 5.667917E-4 | 7.56684E-4 | 1.3350302 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0050568148 | 0.0056537534 | 0.0060216617 | 1.0650733 | 3.7E-4 |
7.2 | 9.233269E-6 | 1.0286476E-5 | 3.028627E-5 | 2.9442804 | 2.0E-5 | 3.9570554E-5 | 4.4084176E-5 | 8.4082414E-5 | 1.907315 | 4.0E-5 | 4.81665E-4 | 5.365969E-4 | 6.765218E-4 | 1.2607635 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0048062233 | 0.005353444 | 0.005621998 | 1.0501648 | 2.7E-4 |
7.3 | 8.8041315E-6 | 9.808313E-6 | 2.9808118E-5 | 3.0390666 | 2.0E-5 | 3.7731446E-5 | 4.2034975E-5 | 8.203329E-5 | 1.9515486 | 4.0E-5 | 4.592835E-4 | 5.1165983E-4 | 6.315984E-4 | 1.2344108 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0045833546 | 0.0051052445 | 0.0053241216 | 1.0428729 | 2.2E-4 |
7.4 | 8.708749E-6 | 9.707323E-6 | 2.970713E-5 | 3.06028 | 2.0E-5 | 3.7322676E-5 | 4.1602176E-5 | 7.160092E-5 | 1.7210861 | 3.0E-5 | 4.5430884E-4 | 5.06393E-4 | 6.1633723E-4 | 1.2171127 | 1.1E-4 | 0.004533812 | 0.0050528166 | 0.0052617555 | 1.041351 | 2.1E-4 |
7.5 | 8.612678E-6 | 9.604964E-6 | 2.9604773E-5 | 3.0822365 | 2.0E-5 | 3.6910955E-5 | 4.116351E-5 | 7.116227E-5 | 1.7287709 | 3.0E-5 | 4.492982E-4 | 5.010547E-4 | 6.1099953E-4 | 1.2194269 | 1.1E-4 | 0.004483909 | 0.0049996753 | 0.0052086255 | 1.0417928 | 2.1E-4 |
7.6 | 8.319024E-6 | 9.28406E-6 | 1.9283967E-5 | 2.077105 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5652476E-5 | 3.9788243E-5 | 5.978745E-5 | 1.5026411 | 2.0E-5 | 4.3398244E-4 | 4.8431839E-4 | 5.8427E-4 | 1.2063757 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0043313587 | 0.004833053 | 0.0050320863 | 1.0411817 | 2.0E-4 |
7.7 | 7.4718328E-6 | 8.3453E-6 | 1.8345216E-5 | 2.1982694 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2021748E-5 | 3.57651E-5 | 4.5764744E-5 | 1.2795922 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8979502E-4 | 4.3535716E-4 | 4.9533107E-4 | 1.1377579 | 6.0E-5 | 0.00389112 | 0.004345448 | 0.0044848397 | 1.0320777 | 1.4E-4 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.648288E-7 | 3.648288E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5635511E-6 | 1.5635511E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.9036073E-5 | 1.9036073E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.9034486E-4 | 1.9034486E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6696871E-9 | 2.6696871E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1441516E-8 | 1.1441516E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3930045E-7 | 1.3930045E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3930046E-6 | 1.3930046E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Nelson Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.913453E-6 | 1.0192293E-5 | 7.019168E-5 | 6.8867407 | 6.0E-5 | 4.2485535E-5 | 4.3680586E-5 | 2.536714E-4 | 5.807418 | 2.1E-4 | 5.1713863E-4 | 5.316917E-4 | 0.0014312131 | 2.6918104 | 9.0E-4 | 0.0051593683 | 0.0053052236 | 0.007195144 | 1.3562375 | 0.0019 |
6.1 | 9.913453E-6 | 1.0192293E-5 | 7.019168E-5 | 6.8867407 | 6.0E-5 | 4.2485535E-5 | 4.3680586E-5 | 2.536714E-4 | 5.807418 | 2.1E-4 | 5.1713863E-4 | 5.316917E-4 | 0.0014312131 | 2.6918104 | 9.0E-4 | 0.0051593683 | 0.0053052236 | 0.007195144 | 1.3562375 | 0.0019 |
6.2 | 4.5596407E-6 | 4.696332E-6 | 2.4696237E-5 | 5.258623 | 2.0E-5 | 1.954117E-5 | 2.0126989E-5 | 1.20124976E-4 | 5.9683533 | 1.0E-4 | 2.3788778E-4 | 2.450198E-4 | 6.449218E-4 | 2.632121 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0023763329 | 0.0024476226 | 0.003295542 | 1.3464258 | 8.5E-4 |
6.3 | 4.5596407E-6 | 4.696332E-6 | 2.4696237E-5 | 5.258623 | 2.0E-5 | 1.954117E-5 | 2.0126989E-5 | 1.20124976E-4 | 5.9683533 | 1.0E-4 | 2.3788778E-4 | 2.450198E-4 | 6.449218E-4 | 2.632121 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0023763329 | 0.0024476226 | 0.003295542 | 1.3464258 | 8.5E-4 |
6.4 | 3.4025713E-6 | 3.509912E-6 | 1.3509877E-5 | 3.8490644 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4582367E-5 | 1.50423975E-5 | 1.0504104E-4 | 6.982999 | 9.0E-5 | 1.7752586E-4 | 1.8312664E-4 | 4.830717E-4 | 2.6379106 | 3.0E-4 | 0.001773841 | 0.0018298404 | 0.002438724 | 1.3327525 | 6.1E-4 |
6.5 | 2.8352947E-6 | 2.9278688E-6 | 1.292784E-5 | 4.4154434 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2151207E-5 | 1.2547953E-5 | 1.0254682E-4 | 8.172395 | 9.0E-5 | 1.479309E-4 | 1.5276136E-4 | 4.2272013E-4 | 2.7671926 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0014783246 | 0.0015266375 | 0.0020358588 | 1.3335575 | 5.1E-4 |
6.6 | 2.251518E-6 | 2.3290781E-6 | 1.2329055E-5 | 5.2935343 | 1.0E-5 | 9.649328E-6 | 9.981729E-6 | 8.998093E-5 | 9.014564 | 8.0E-5 | 1.1747423E-4 | 1.2152141E-4 | 3.6149225E-4 | 2.9747207 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0011741214 | 0.0012146112 | 0.0016540769 | 1.3618158 | 4.4E-4 |
6.7 | 1.8911853E-6 | 1.9591491E-6 | 1.195913E-5 | 6.104247 | 1.0E-5 | 8.105055E-6 | 8.39633E-6 | 5.8395908E-5 | 6.954933 | 5.0E-5 | 9.867457E-5 | 1.022211E-4 | 2.9220167E-4 | 2.858526 | 1.9E-4 | 9.863076E-4 | 0.0010217984 | 0.00140141 | 1.3715134 | 3.8E-4 |
6.8 | 1.4874814E-6 | 1.5438383E-6 | 1.1543822E-5 | 7.4773526 | 1.0E-5 | 6.374905E-6 | 6.6164357E-6 | 5.6616103E-5 | 8.556889 | 5.0E-5 | 7.76117E-5 | 8.055265E-5 | 2.5053896E-4 | 3.110251 | 1.7E-4 | 7.75846E-4 | 8.052856E-4 | 0.001115036 | 1.3846465 | 3.1E-4 |
6.9 | 6.835972E-7 | 7.1399705E-7 | 1.07139895E-5 | 15.0056505 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9296991E-6 | 3.0599856E-6 | 3.3059892E-5 | 10.803938 | 3.0E-5 | 3.56685E-5 | 3.7255006E-5 | 1.7724979E-4 | 4.7577443 | 1.4E-4 | 3.5662777E-4 | 3.7251884E-4 | 5.8244064E-4 | 1.5635198 | 2.1E-4 |
Lenwood-Lockhart-Old Woman Springs
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.3963868E-5 | 2.2395595E-4 | 5.0940914 | 1.8E-4 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8840394E-4 | 6.683135E-4 | 3.5472374 | 4.8E-4 | 0.0019519776 | 0.002291577 | 0.0034389417 | 1.5006878 | 0.00115 | 0.019349206 | 0.022697475 | 0.024466392 | 1.0779345 | 0.00181 |
6.1 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.3963868E-5 | 2.2395595E-4 | 5.0940914 | 1.8E-4 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8840394E-4 | 6.683135E-4 | 3.5472374 | 4.8E-4 | 0.0019519776 | 0.002291577 | 0.0034389417 | 1.5006878 | 0.00115 | 0.019349206 | 0.022697475 | 0.024466392 | 1.0779345 | 0.00181 |
6.2 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.3963868E-5 | 2.2395595E-4 | 5.0940914 | 1.8E-4 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8840394E-4 | 6.683135E-4 | 3.5472374 | 4.8E-4 | 0.0019519776 | 0.002291577 | 0.0034389417 | 1.5006878 | 0.00115 | 0.019349206 | 0.022697475 | 0.024466392 | 1.0779345 | 0.00181 |
6.3 | 2.1079984E-5 | 2.5354482E-5 | 1.05352454E-4 | 4.1551805 | 8.0E-5 | 9.0339665E-5 | 1.0865765E-4 | 2.7863917E-4 | 2.5643768 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0010993304 | 0.0013221242 | 0.0017215953 | 1.3021435 | 4.0E-4 | 0.010939079 | 0.013144798 | 0.013746779 | 1.0457962 | 6.1E-4 |
6.4 | 2.1079984E-5 | 2.5354482E-5 | 1.05352454E-4 | 4.1551805 | 8.0E-5 | 9.0339665E-5 | 1.0865765E-4 | 2.7863917E-4 | 2.5643768 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0010993304 | 0.0013221242 | 0.0017215953 | 1.3021435 | 4.0E-4 | 0.010939079 | 0.013144798 | 0.013746779 | 1.0457962 | 6.1E-4 |
6.5 | 1.7397282E-5 | 2.0663358E-5 | 9.066191E-5 | 4.387569 | 7.0E-5 | 7.455765E-5 | 8.855431E-5 | 2.2854192E-4 | 2.5808108 | 1.4E-4 | 9.073613E-4 | 0.0010776272 | 0.0013872931 | 1.287359 | 3.1E-4 | 0.009036654 | 0.010725311 | 0.011210055 | 1.0451963 | 4.9E-4 |
6.6 | 1.52050325E-5 | 1.7680148E-5 | 8.767891E-5 | 4.959173 | 7.0E-5 | 6.51628E-5 | 7.57699E-5 | 2.157593E-4 | 2.8475592 | 1.4E-4 | 7.9306826E-4 | 9.2211604E-4 | 0.001191867 | 1.2925348 | 2.7E-4 | 0.007902439 | 0.009183761 | 0.009580088 | 1.0431552 | 4.0E-4 |
6.7 | 1.332523E-5 | 1.5264432E-5 | 8.526336E-5 | 5.585754 | 7.0E-5 | 5.7106878E-5 | 6.5417385E-5 | 1.9540888E-4 | 2.9871092 | 1.3E-4 | 6.950544E-4 | 7.961715E-4 | 0.0010359804 | 1.3012025 | 2.4E-4 | 0.006928845 | 0.0079338215 | 0.008290965 | 1.0450153 | 3.6E-4 |
6.8 | 1.1525329E-5 | 1.3031408E-5 | 7.303063E-5 | 5.604201 | 6.0E-5 | 4.9393333E-5 | 5.584772E-5 | 1.6584157E-4 | 2.9695318 | 1.1E-4 | 6.011979E-4 | 6.797381E-4 | 8.7960216E-4 | 1.294031 | 2.0E-4 | 0.00599574 | 0.0067770416 | 0.0070849406 | 1.0454327 | 3.1E-4 |
6.9 | 1.0253909E-5 | 1.15148705E-5 | 6.151429E-5 | 5.342161 | 5.0E-5 | 4.3944583E-5 | 4.9348535E-5 | 1.493436E-4 | 3.0263026 | 1.0E-4 | 5.3489394E-4 | 6.006564E-4 | 7.705543E-4 | 1.2828537 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0053360825 | 0.0059907082 | 0.0062590907 | 1.0447998 | 2.7E-4 |
7.0 | 8.104563E-6 | 8.9914565E-6 | 5.8991005E-5 | 6.560785 | 5.0E-5 | 3.4733377E-5 | 3.8534257E-5 | 1.1853117E-4 | 3.0759947 | 8.0E-5 | 4.2279682E-4 | 4.69056E-4 | 5.889997E-4 | 1.255713 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0042199334 | 0.004680908 | 0.0048700185 | 1.0404004 | 1.9E-4 |
7.1 | 6.7986157E-6 | 7.5159987E-6 | 3.7515772E-5 | 4.9914556 | 3.0E-5 | 2.91366E-5 | 3.221104E-5 | 9.2209106E-5 | 2.8626554 | 6.0E-5 | 3.5468035E-4 | 3.9210095E-4 | 4.7206957E-4 | 1.2039491 | 8.0E-5 | 0.003541148 | 0.003914308 | 0.004043799 | 1.0330815 | 1.3E-4 |
7.2 | 5.6893327E-6 | 6.2801455E-6 | 3.627996E-5 | 5.7769294 | 3.0E-5 | 2.4382627E-5 | 2.6914644E-5 | 8.691303E-5 | 3.2292097 | 6.0E-5 | 2.9681803E-4 | 3.276385E-4 | 3.9761557E-4 | 1.2135801 | 7.0E-5 | 0.002964219 | 0.0032717532 | 0.0033813934 | 1.0335112 | 1.1E-4 |
7.3 | 4.253348E-6 | 4.707082E-6 | 3.470694E-5 | 7.373345 | 3.0E-5 | 1.8228506E-5 | 2.0173064E-5 | 8.0171856E-5 | 3.974203 | 6.0E-5 | 2.2190946E-4 | 2.455812E-4 | 3.1556402E-4 | 1.2849681 | 7.0E-5 | 0.00221688 | 0.0024532792 | 0.0025430582 | 1.0365956 | 9.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.5448119E-6 | 2.8520615E-6 | 2.2852004E-5 | 8.012451 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0906291E-5 | 1.2223072E-5 | 4.2222706E-5 | 3.4543447 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3277601E-4 | 1.488074E-4 | 1.8880145E-4 | 1.2687638 | 4.0E-5 | 0.001326967 | 0.0014872397 | 0.0015371654 | 1.0335693 | 5.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.3706837E-8 | 4.5629356E-8 | 4.5629356E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8731501E-7 | 1.9555438E-7 | 1.9555438E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2805577E-6 | 2.3808725E-6 | 2.3808725E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2805343E-5 | 2.3808525E-5 | 2.3808525E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Towne Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.8945495E-6 | 1.1389412E-4 | 29.24449 | 1.1E-4 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.6690845E-5 | 3.366855E-4 | 20.171867 | 3.2E-4 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0319647E-4 | 0.0011330075 | 5.5759215 | 9.3E-4 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020305358 | 0.0037769824 | 1.8600914 | 0.00175 |
6.1 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.8945495E-6 | 1.1389412E-4 | 29.24449 | 1.1E-4 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.6690845E-5 | 3.366855E-4 | 20.171867 | 3.2E-4 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0319647E-4 | 0.0011330075 | 5.5759215 | 9.3E-4 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020305358 | 0.0037769824 | 1.8600914 | 0.00175 |
6.2 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.8945495E-6 | 1.1389412E-4 | 29.24449 | 1.1E-4 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.6690845E-5 | 3.366855E-4 | 20.171867 | 3.2E-4 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0319647E-4 | 0.0011330075 | 5.5759215 | 9.3E-4 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020305358 | 0.0037769824 | 1.8600914 | 0.00175 |
6.3 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.8945495E-6 | 1.1389412E-4 | 29.24449 | 1.1E-4 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.6690845E-5 | 3.366855E-4 | 20.171867 | 3.2E-4 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0319647E-4 | 0.0011330075 | 5.5759215 | 9.3E-4 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020305358 | 0.0037769824 | 1.8600914 | 0.00175 |
6.4 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.8945495E-6 | 1.1389412E-4 | 29.24449 | 1.1E-4 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.6690845E-5 | 3.366855E-4 | 20.171867 | 3.2E-4 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0319647E-4 | 0.0011330075 | 5.5759215 | 9.3E-4 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020305358 | 0.0037769824 | 1.8600914 | 0.00175 |
6.5 | 1.1953545E-6 | 1.2030554E-6 | 4.1203006E-5 | 34.24864 | 4.0E-5 | 5.1229376E-6 | 5.1559423E-6 | 1.1515537E-4 | 22.334497 | 1.1E-4 | 6.236998E-5 | 6.2771906E-5 | 2.727587E-4 | 4.345236 | 2.1E-4 | 6.235248E-4 | 6.275535E-4 | 9.973213E-4 | 1.5892212 | 3.7E-4 |
6.6 | 1.1953545E-6 | 1.2030554E-6 | 4.1203006E-5 | 34.24864 | 4.0E-5 | 5.1229376E-6 | 5.1559423E-6 | 1.1515537E-4 | 22.334497 | 1.1E-4 | 6.236998E-5 | 6.2771906E-5 | 2.727587E-4 | 4.345236 | 2.1E-4 | 6.235248E-4 | 6.275535E-4 | 9.973213E-4 | 1.5892212 | 3.7E-4 |
6.7 | 8.375951E-7 | 8.4106983E-7 | 2.0841053E-5 | 24.779219 | 2.0E-5 | 3.5896885E-6 | 3.6045803E-6 | 6.360436E-5 | 17.645428 | 6.0E-5 | 4.370358E-5 | 4.388494E-5 | 1.7387923E-4 | 3.9621618 | 1.3E-4 | 4.3694986E-4 | 4.3876845E-4 | 6.8865874E-4 | 1.5695267 | 2.5E-4 |
6.8 | 6.38041E-7 | 6.392181E-7 | 2.0639205E-5 | 32.288204 | 2.0E-5 | 2.7344586E-6 | 2.7395035E-6 | 5.2739368E-5 | 19.251432 | 5.0E-5 | 3.3291526E-5 | 3.3352986E-5 | 1.2334998E-4 | 3.6983192 | 9.0E-5 | 3.3286537E-4 | 3.334836E-4 | 5.034269E-4 | 1.5096002 | 1.7E-4 |
6.9 | 5.3460053E-7 | 5.345356E-7 | 2.0534524E-5 | 38.415634 | 2.0E-5 | 2.2911431E-6 | 2.290865E-6 | 5.229075E-5 | 22.825766 | 5.0E-5 | 2.789431E-5 | 2.789096E-5 | 1.1788845E-4 | 4.226762 | 9.0E-5 | 2.789081E-4 | 2.788779E-4 | 4.0884165E-4 | 1.4660238 | 1.3E-4 |
7.0 | 3.557783E-7 | 3.5324425E-7 | 1.0353241E-5 | 29.309015 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5247632E-6 | 1.513903E-6 | 1.1513888E-5 | 7.6054325 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8563835E-5 | 1.8431623E-5 | 3.8431255E-5 | 2.0850716 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8562283E-4 | 1.8430178E-4 | 2.3429256E-4 | 1.2712442 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.037942E-7 | 3.00024E-7 | 1.0300021E-5 | 34.330658 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3019744E-6 | 1.2858166E-6 | 1.1285803E-5 | 8.777149 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5851423E-5 | 1.5654712E-5 | 3.5654397E-5 | 2.2775507 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5850292E-4 | 1.5653683E-4 | 2.06529E-4 | 1.3193636 | 5.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.0808248E-7 | 2.0217831E-7 | 2.0217831E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.917818E-7 | 8.664782E-7 | 8.664782E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0857389E-5 | 1.0549326E-5 | 2.054922E-5 | 1.9479178 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0856859E-4 | 1.0548872E-4 | 1.3548555E-4 | 1.2843606 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.1162073E-7 | 1.0636953E-7 | 1.0636953E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7837443E-7 | 4.5586933E-7 | 4.5586933E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8241935E-6 | 5.550197E-6 | 5.550197E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8240406E-5 | 5.5500783E-5 | 5.5500783E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (San Bernardino N)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.4273766E-4 | 3.1614845E-4 | 3.861263E-4 | 1.221345 | 7.0E-5 | 6.115894E-4 | 0.0013542244 | 0.0016038858 | 1.1843575 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0074207084 | 0.016364535 | 0.017102262 | 1.0450808 | 7.5E-4 | 0.07177748 | 0.15036654 | 0.1513946 | 1.006837 | 0.00121 |
6.1 | 1.4273766E-4 | 3.1614845E-4 | 3.861263E-4 | 1.221345 | 7.0E-5 | 6.115894E-4 | 0.0013542244 | 0.0016038858 | 1.1843575 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0074207084 | 0.016364535 | 0.017102262 | 1.0450808 | 7.5E-4 | 0.07177748 | 0.15036654 | 0.1513946 | 1.006837 | 0.00121 |
6.2 | 1.4273766E-4 | 3.1614845E-4 | 3.861263E-4 | 1.221345 | 7.0E-5 | 6.115894E-4 | 0.0013542244 | 0.0016038858 | 1.1843575 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0074207084 | 0.016364535 | 0.017102262 | 1.0450808 | 7.5E-4 | 0.07177748 | 0.15036654 | 0.1513946 | 1.006837 | 0.00121 |
6.3 | 1.3730655E-4 | 3.051962E-4 | 3.7517486E-4 | 1.2292906 | 7.0E-5 | 5.883239E-4 | 0.0013073338 | 0.001557007 | 1.1909789 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0071393442 | 0.015802028 | 0.016540177 | 1.0467123 | 7.5E-4 | 0.06914291 | 0.14567827 | 0.14671199 | 1.0070959 | 0.00121 |
6.4 | 1.3730655E-4 | 3.051962E-4 | 3.7517486E-4 | 1.2292906 | 7.0E-5 | 5.883239E-4 | 0.0013073338 | 0.001557007 | 1.1909789 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0071393442 | 0.015802028 | 0.016540177 | 1.0467123 | 7.5E-4 | 0.06914291 | 0.14567827 | 0.14671199 | 1.0070959 | 0.00121 |
6.5 | 1.2942807E-4 | 2.893405E-4 | 3.5932026E-4 | 1.2418594 | 7.0E-5 | 5.545738E-4 | 0.0012394466 | 0.0014891367 | 1.201453 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0067310524 | 0.014987098 | 0.015716007 | 1.0486358 | 7.4E-4 | 0.06530788 | 0.13881195 | 0.13984537 | 1.0074447 | 0.0012 |
6.6 | 1.1125901E-4 | 2.537283E-4 | 3.2371056E-4 | 1.2758156 | 7.0E-5 | 4.767372E-4 | 0.0010869562 | 0.0013266953 | 1.2205601 | 2.4E-4 | 0.005788839 | 0.013154025 | 0.013874423 | 1.0547663 | 7.3E-4 | 0.056403454 | 0.123056285 | 0.12409985 | 1.0084804 | 0.00119 |
6.7 | 1.02209575E-4 | 2.3507705E-4 | 2.9506296E-4 | 1.2551755 | 6.0E-5 | 4.3796748E-4 | 0.0010070855 | 0.0012368539 | 1.2281518 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0053192247 | 0.012192756 | 0.012903977 | 1.0583315 | 7.2E-4 | 0.051936906 | 0.11485627 | 0.115891896 | 1.0090166 | 0.00117 |
6.8 | 9.610582E-5 | 2.2033554E-4 | 2.8032233E-4 | 1.272252 | 6.0E-5 | 4.1181705E-4 | 9.4395416E-4 | 0.001173737 | 1.2434258 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0050023515 | 0.011432346 | 0.012134229 | 1.0613945 | 7.1E-4 | 0.048912346 | 0.10822741 | 0.10924403 | 1.0093933 | 0.00114 |
6.9 | 9.3877505E-5 | 2.1489074E-4 | 2.7487785E-4 | 1.2791517 | 6.0E-5 | 4.0227012E-4 | 9.2063594E-4 | 0.0011504241 | 1.2495973 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0048866454 | 0.011151383 | 0.011853465 | 1.0629592 | 7.1E-4 | 0.04780577 | 0.105814084 | 0.10682452 | 1.0095491 | 0.00113 |
7.0 | 9.1019785E-5 | 2.0815943E-4 | 2.6814695E-4 | 1.2881806 | 6.0E-5 | 3.900265E-4 | 8.9180743E-4 | 0.0011216024 | 1.2576733 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0047382377 | 0.010803926 | 0.011506255 | 1.0650069 | 7.1E-4 | 0.046384744 | 0.10278599 | 0.10379984 | 1.0098637 | 0.00113 |
7.1 | 8.771155E-5 | 1.9990467E-4 | 2.5989267E-4 | 1.300083 | 6.0E-5 | 3.758525E-4 | 8.564535E-4 | 0.0010862566 | 1.2683192 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0045664064 | 0.010377665 | 0.011080297 | 1.0677061 | 7.1E-4 | 0.044737056 | 0.099094115 | 0.10011213 | 1.0102733 | 0.00113 |
7.2 | 8.0830236E-5 | 1.8396029E-4 | 2.4394925E-4 | 1.3260974 | 6.0E-5 | 3.4636928E-4 | 7.8816316E-4 | 0.0010179819 | 1.2915877 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0042088944 | 0.009553772 | 0.010247085 | 1.0725695 | 7.0E-4 | 0.041300658 | 0.09182046 | 0.092837624 | 1.0110778 | 0.00112 |
7.3 | 7.7668235E-5 | 1.7339372E-4 | 2.3338333E-4 | 1.3459733 | 6.0E-5 | 3.328214E-4 | 7.4290443E-4 | 9.727336E-4 | 1.3093656 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0040445733 | 0.009007431 | 0.009691215 | 1.0759134 | 6.9E-4 | 0.03971748 | 0.0870959 | 0.088109225 | 1.0116346 | 0.00111 |
7.4 | 7.520177E-5 | 1.6559374E-4 | 2.255838E-4 | 1.3622725 | 6.0E-5 | 3.2225347E-4 | 7.0949446E-4 | 9.393313E-4 | 1.3239444 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0039163795 | 0.008603949 | 0.009288013 | 1.0795057 | 6.9E-4 | 0.038480744 | 0.083552666 | 0.08456992 | 1.0121751 | 0.00111 |
7.5 | 7.274697E-5 | 1.5846924E-4 | 2.1845973E-4 | 1.3785623 | 6.0E-5 | 3.1173544E-4 | 6.789772E-4 | 9.08821E-4 | 1.3385148 | 2.3E-4 | 0.003788775 | 0.008235271 | 0.008919589 | 1.0830959 | 6.9E-4 | 0.03724827 | 0.08026917 | 0.08128088 | 1.0126039 | 0.0011 |
7.6 | 7.1185845E-5 | 1.541672E-4 | 2.0415949E-4 | 1.3242732 | 5.0E-5 | 3.0504653E-4 | 6.605493E-4 | 8.80404E-4 | 1.3328362 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0037076178 | 0.008012585 | 0.008687137 | 1.0841864 | 6.8E-4 | 0.036463667 | 0.078258425 | 0.079253905 | 1.0127205 | 0.00108 |
7.7 | 6.709961E-5 | 1.4325391E-4 | 1.9324676E-4 | 1.3489805 | 5.0E-5 | 2.8753807E-4 | 6.1380095E-4 | 8.336659E-4 | 1.3582023 | 2.2E-4 | 0.003495157 | 0.007447459 | 0.008122395 | 1.0906264 | 6.8E-4 | 0.034406938 | 0.07308612 | 0.07408719 | 1.013697 | 0.00108 |
7.8 | 6.300812E-5 | 1.3209098E-4 | 1.8208438E-4 | 1.378477 | 5.0E-5 | 2.7000686E-4 | 5.6598143E-4 | 7.858569E-4 | 1.3884853 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0032823787 | 0.006869081 | 0.007534479 | 1.0968685 | 6.7E-4 | 0.032343175 | 0.0677427 | 0.06873089 | 1.0145874 | 0.00106 |
7.9 | 4.983037E-5 | 9.7286385E-5 | 1.4728152E-4 | 1.5138966 | 5.0E-5 | 2.1354125E-4 | 4.1687503E-4 | 6.1679166E-4 | 1.47956 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0025967648 | 0.005063652 | 0.0056506647 | 1.1159267 | 5.9E-4 | 0.025666296 | 0.050672647 | 0.051479574 | 1.0159243 | 8.5E-4 |
8.0 | 3.2211527E-5 | 5.3333257E-5 | 5.3333257E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.380421E-4 | 2.2855109E-4 | 2.385488E-4 | 1.0437438 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016793669 | 0.0027790607 | 0.002938616 | 1.0574135 | 1.6E-4 | 0.016667323 | 0.028375156 | 0.028618064 | 1.0085605 | 2.5E-4 |
8.1 | 1.743376E-5 | 1.8835979E-5 | 1.8835979E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.471398E-5 | 8.0723126E-5 | 8.0723126E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0926304E-4 | 9.823616E-4 | 9.923518E-4 | 1.0101695 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009055517 | 0.010490086 | 0.01049998 | 1.0009433 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 7.831616E-6 | 5.158648E-6 | 5.158648E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3563636E-5 | 2.2108305E-5 | 2.2108305E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0856065E-4 | 2.6913546E-4 | 2.6913546E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004078103 | 0.003043787 | 0.003043787 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.6647797E-7 | 7.6647797E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.2849016E-6 | 3.2849016E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.999296E-5 | 3.999296E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.7228087E-4 | 4.7228087E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Bicycle Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9621975E-5 | 2.2097447E-5 | 5.2096784E-5 | 2.3575928 | 3.0E-5 | 8.4091465E-5 | 9.470067E-5 | 1.946912E-4 | 2.0558586 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0010233327 | 0.0011525059 | 0.001681895 | 1.4593375 | 5.3E-4 | 0.01018633 | 0.011478599 | 0.012664826 | 1.1033424 | 0.0012 |
6.1 | 1.9621975E-5 | 2.2097447E-5 | 5.2096784E-5 | 2.3575928 | 3.0E-5 | 8.4091465E-5 | 9.470067E-5 | 1.946912E-4 | 2.0558586 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0010233327 | 0.0011525059 | 0.001681895 | 1.4593375 | 5.3E-4 | 0.01018633 | 0.011478599 | 0.012664826 | 1.1033424 | 0.0012 |
6.2 | 9.9971285E-6 | 1.1255827E-5 | 3.1255604E-5 | 2.7768373 | 2.0E-5 | 4.2844134E-5 | 4.8238664E-5 | 9.823625E-5 | 2.036463 | 5.0E-5 | 5.2150246E-4 | 5.8719947E-4 | 9.0701156E-4 | 1.5446396 | 3.2E-4 | 0.0052028033 | 0.0058615846 | 0.0065873056 | 1.1238097 | 7.3E-4 |
6.3 | 9.589428E-6 | 1.0798527E-5 | 3.079831E-5 | 2.8520844 | 2.0E-5 | 4.10969E-5 | 4.627887E-5 | 9.6276555E-5 | 2.0803566 | 5.0E-5 | 5.002399E-4 | 5.633515E-4 | 8.831712E-4 | 1.5677091 | 3.2E-4 | 0.0049911533 | 0.0056243236 | 0.006340274 | 1.1272954 | 7.2E-4 |
6.4 | 9.589428E-6 | 1.0798527E-5 | 3.079831E-5 | 2.8520844 | 2.0E-5 | 4.10969E-5 | 4.627887E-5 | 9.6276555E-5 | 2.0803566 | 5.0E-5 | 5.002399E-4 | 5.633515E-4 | 8.831712E-4 | 1.5677091 | 3.2E-4 | 0.0049911533 | 0.0056243236 | 0.006340274 | 1.1272954 | 7.2E-4 |
6.5 | 5.557707E-6 | 6.2857107E-6 | 2.6285585E-5 | 4.1818 | 2.0E-5 | 2.3818526E-5 | 2.6938633E-5 | 7.6937285E-5 | 2.8560205 | 5.0E-5 | 2.8995197E-4 | 3.2795538E-4 | 4.9789966E-4 | 1.5181932 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0028957394 | 0.0032773504 | 0.0037059411 | 1.1307735 | 4.3E-4 |
6.6 | 4.8742945E-6 | 5.5133855E-6 | 2.5513275E-5 | 4.6275153 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0889667E-5 | 2.3628729E-5 | 6.3627784E-5 | 2.6928146 | 4.0E-5 | 2.54302E-4 | 2.87668E-4 | 4.3762484E-4 | 1.5212845 | 1.5E-4 | 0.002540112 | 0.0028755253 | 0.0032544325 | 1.1317698 | 3.8E-4 |
6.7 | 3.991108E-6 | 4.515989E-6 | 2.4515899E-5 | 5.4286885 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7104636E-5 | 1.9354238E-5 | 4.9353657E-5 | 2.550018 | 3.0E-5 | 2.0822904E-4 | 2.3563785E-4 | 3.5560958E-4 | 1.5091361 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0020803404 | 0.0023563786 | 0.002645695 | 1.1227802 | 2.9E-4 |
Paradise
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.4851273E-5 | 1.6694923E-5 | 3.669459E-5 | 2.197949 | 2.0E-5 | 6.364676E-5 | 7.1547845E-5 | 2.1153783E-4 | 2.9565926 | 1.4E-4 | 7.7462377E-4 | 8.707705E-4 | 0.0014202916 | 1.6310745 | 5.5E-4 | 0.0077192914 | 0.008675965 | 0.009736681 | 1.1222593 | 0.00107 |
6.1 | 1.4851273E-5 | 1.6694923E-5 | 3.669459E-5 | 2.197949 | 2.0E-5 | 6.364676E-5 | 7.1547845E-5 | 2.1153783E-4 | 2.9565926 | 1.4E-4 | 7.7462377E-4 | 8.707705E-4 | 0.0014202916 | 1.6310745 | 5.5E-4 | 0.0077192914 | 0.008675965 | 0.009736681 | 1.1222593 | 0.00107 |
6.2 | 1.4851273E-5 | 1.6694923E-5 | 3.669459E-5 | 2.197949 | 2.0E-5 | 6.364676E-5 | 7.1547845E-5 | 2.1153783E-4 | 2.9565926 | 1.4E-4 | 7.7462377E-4 | 8.707705E-4 | 0.0014202916 | 1.6310745 | 5.5E-4 | 0.0077192914 | 0.008675965 | 0.009736681 | 1.1222593 | 0.00107 |
6.3 | 1.0426831E-5 | 1.1888797E-5 | 3.188856E-5 | 2.682236 | 2.0E-5 | 4.4685654E-5 | 5.095103E-5 | 1.7094491E-4 | 3.3550828 | 1.2E-4 | 5.43912E-4 | 6.2015816E-4 | 8.999845E-4 | 1.4512178 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0054258266 | 0.0061848834 | 0.006691729 | 1.0819491 | 5.1E-4 |
6.4 | 1.0426831E-5 | 1.1888797E-5 | 3.188856E-5 | 2.682236 | 2.0E-5 | 4.4685654E-5 | 5.095103E-5 | 1.7094491E-4 | 3.3550828 | 1.2E-4 | 5.43912E-4 | 6.2015816E-4 | 8.999845E-4 | 1.4512178 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0054258266 | 0.0061848834 | 0.006691729 | 1.0819491 | 5.1E-4 |
6.5 | 9.25027E-6 | 1.0620124E-5 | 2.0620018E-5 | 1.9415985 | 1.0E-5 | 3.964341E-5 | 4.551405E-5 | 1.1551086E-4 | 2.5379167 | 7.0E-5 | 4.8255164E-4 | 5.539976E-4 | 7.3389785E-4 | 1.3247311 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0048150513 | 0.0055266647 | 0.0058946195 | 1.0665781 | 3.7E-4 |
6.6 | 7.904275E-6 | 9.159673E-6 | 1.9159581E-5 | 2.091732 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3875025E-5 | 3.925517E-5 | 8.925321E-5 | 2.2736676 | 5.0E-5 | 4.1235037E-4 | 4.7783085E-4 | 5.7778304E-4 | 1.209179 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0041158604 | 0.004768431 | 0.0049674776 | 1.0417426 | 2.0E-4 |
6.7 | 7.2061953E-6 | 8.407388E-6 | 1.8407305E-5 | 2.18942 | 1.0E-5 | 3.088333E-5 | 3.6031186E-5 | 8.602939E-5 | 2.3876367 | 5.0E-5 | 3.7593965E-4 | 4.3859507E-4 | 5.385512E-4 | 1.2279007 | 1.0E-4 | 0.003753043 | 0.0043776636 | 0.0045469194 | 1.0386635 | 1.7E-4 |
6.8 | 6.6948724E-6 | 7.842299E-6 | 1.7842221E-5 | 2.2751262 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8691995E-5 | 3.360944E-5 | 8.360776E-5 | 2.4876273 | 5.0E-5 | 3.4926904E-4 | 4.0912168E-4 | 4.990849E-4 | 1.2198935 | 9.0E-5 | 0.003487206 | 0.0040840427 | 0.0042234706 | 1.0341398 | 1.4E-4 |
6.9 | 6.0421025E-6 | 7.130747E-6 | 1.7130676E-5 | 2.4023676 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5894467E-5 | 3.0560004E-5 | 8.055848E-5 | 2.6360755 | 5.0E-5 | 3.1521954E-4 | 3.7200793E-4 | 4.419819E-4 | 1.1880981 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0031477278 | 0.0037141903 | 0.0038337444 | 1.0321885 | 1.2E-4 |
7.0 | 4.134091E-6 | 5.080416E-6 | 1.5080365E-5 | 2.9683328 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7717413E-5 | 2.1773038E-5 | 5.1772386E-5 | 2.377821 | 3.0E-5 | 2.1568815E-4 | 2.6505603E-4 | 3.0504543E-4 | 1.1508715 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0021547892 | 0.0026475522 | 0.0026974196 | 1.0188354 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.7674888E-6 | 4.6319656E-6 | 1.4631919E-5 | 3.1589007 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6146281E-5 | 1.9851139E-5 | 3.985074E-5 | 2.007479 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9656324E-4 | 2.4166232E-4 | 2.7165507E-4 | 1.1241101 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0019638946 | 0.002414146 | 0.0024540494 | 1.016529 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.4065345E-6 | 4.156807E-6 | 1.4156765E-5 | 3.4056826 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4599351E-5 | 1.7814775E-5 | 3.7814418E-5 | 2.1226437 | 2.0E-5 | 1.777326E-4 | 2.1687479E-4 | 2.468683E-4 | 1.1382986 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0017759053 | 0.0021667795 | 0.002206693 | 1.0184206 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.9934936E-6 | 3.6293877E-6 | 1.3629351E-5 | 3.7552757 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2829195E-5 | 1.5554435E-5 | 2.5554278E-5 | 1.6428934 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5618425E-4 | 1.8936026E-4 | 1.9935836E-4 | 1.0527993 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015607453 | 0.0018921344 | 0.0019120965 | 1.01055 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.4049796E-6 | 2.8890327E-6 | 1.2889004E-5 | 4.461356 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0307015E-5 | 1.2381518E-5 | 2.2381395E-5 | 1.8076454 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2548068E-4 | 1.5073598E-4 | 1.6073449E-4 | 1.0663311 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012540985 | 0.001506479 | 0.0015264488 | 1.013256 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.2710091E-6 | 1.513489E-6 | 1.15134735E-5 | 7.60724 | 1.0E-5 | 5.44717E-6 | 6.486372E-6 | 1.6486307E-5 | 2.541684 | 1.0E-5 | 6.631728E-5 | 7.896997E-5 | 8.896918E-5 | 1.1266204 | 1.0E-5 | 6.6297496E-4 | 7.895417E-4 | 7.995338E-4 | 1.0126556 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.6040198E-7 | 2.6040198E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.1160082E-6 | 1.1160082E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.3587343E-5 | 1.3587343E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1539775E-4 | 1.3586794E-4 | 1.3586794E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Garlic Springs
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6760017E-5 | 1.8777133E-5 | 3.8776758E-5 | 2.0651054 | 2.0E-5 | 7.182667E-5 | 8.0471604E-5 | 1.6046516E-4 | 1.9940594 | 8.0E-5 | 8.7413884E-4 | 9.794187E-4 | 0.001379027 | 1.4080055 | 4.0E-4 | 0.008707083 | 0.009762568 | 0.0107528055 | 1.1014321 | 0.001 |
6.1 | 9.852767E-6 | 1.0973753E-5 | 2.0973643E-5 | 1.9112554 | 1.0E-5 | 4.222546E-5 | 4.702992E-5 | 8.702804E-5 | 1.8504823 | 4.0E-5 | 5.139737E-4 | 5.7250983E-4 | 8.123724E-4 | 1.4189668 | 2.4E-4 | 0.005127866 | 0.0057173073 | 0.006204506 | 1.0852147 | 4.9E-4 |
6.2 | 9.852767E-6 | 1.0973753E-5 | 2.0973643E-5 | 1.9112554 | 1.0E-5 | 4.222546E-5 | 4.702992E-5 | 8.702804E-5 | 1.8504823 | 4.0E-5 | 5.139737E-4 | 5.7250983E-4 | 8.123724E-4 | 1.4189668 | 2.4E-4 | 0.005127866 | 0.0057173073 | 0.006204506 | 1.0852147 | 4.9E-4 |
6.3 | 4.3167724E-6 | 4.7780964E-6 | 1.4778048E-5 | 3.0928738 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8500323E-5 | 2.0477524E-5 | 5.047691E-5 | 2.4649909 | 3.0E-5 | 2.2521814E-4 | 2.4930836E-4 | 3.3928594E-4 | 1.3609087 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0022499003 | 0.0024925452 | 0.0026920468 | 1.0800393 | 2.0E-4 |
6.4 | 4.3167724E-6 | 4.7780964E-6 | 1.4778048E-5 | 3.0928738 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8500323E-5 | 2.0477524E-5 | 5.047691E-5 | 2.4649909 | 3.0E-5 | 2.2521814E-4 | 2.4930836E-4 | 3.3928594E-4 | 1.3609087 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0022499003 | 0.0024925452 | 0.0026920468 | 1.0800393 | 2.0E-4 |
6.5 | 4.3167724E-6 | 4.7780964E-6 | 1.4778048E-5 | 3.0928738 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8500323E-5 | 2.0477524E-5 | 5.047691E-5 | 2.4649909 | 3.0E-5 | 2.2521814E-4 | 2.4930836E-4 | 3.3928594E-4 | 1.3609087 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0022499003 | 0.0024925452 | 0.0026920468 | 1.0800393 | 2.0E-4 |
6.6 | 4.301311E-6 | 4.7609647E-6 | 1.4760917E-5 | 3.1004047 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8434059E-5 | 2.0404104E-5 | 5.040349E-5 | 2.4702625 | 3.0E-5 | 2.2441156E-4 | 2.4841467E-4 | 3.3839233E-4 | 1.3622074 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0022418506 | 0.0024836282 | 0.0026831315 | 1.0803274 | 2.0E-4 |
6.7 | 3.8599724E-6 | 4.2711204E-6 | 1.4271078E-5 | 3.3412962 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6542634E-5 | 1.8304801E-5 | 3.8304435E-5 | 2.0925896 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0138794E-4 | 2.2286095E-4 | 3.028431E-4 | 1.3588883 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0020120554 | 0.0022286095 | 0.0024082083 | 1.0805879 | 1.8E-4 |
Helendale-So Lockhart
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.7296055E-5 | 1.8103841E-5 | 6.8102934E-5 | 3.7617948 | 5.0E-5 | 7.412385E-5 | 7.7585704E-5 | 2.4757252E-4 | 3.1909554 | 1.7E-4 | 9.0208417E-4 | 9.442173E-4 | 0.0012739057 | 1.3491658 | 3.3E-4 | 0.008984311 | 0.009404174 | 0.0099886255 | 1.0621481 | 5.9E-4 |
6.1 | 1.7296055E-5 | 1.8103841E-5 | 6.8102934E-5 | 3.7617948 | 5.0E-5 | 7.412385E-5 | 7.7585704E-5 | 2.4757252E-4 | 3.1909554 | 1.7E-4 | 9.0208417E-4 | 9.442173E-4 | 0.0012739057 | 1.3491658 | 3.3E-4 | 0.008984311 | 0.009404174 | 0.0099886255 | 1.0621481 | 5.9E-4 |
6.2 | 1.7296055E-5 | 1.8103841E-5 | 6.8102934E-5 | 3.7617948 | 5.0E-5 | 7.412385E-5 | 7.7585704E-5 | 2.4757252E-4 | 3.1909554 | 1.7E-4 | 9.0208417E-4 | 9.442173E-4 | 0.0012739057 | 1.3491658 | 3.3E-4 | 0.008984311 | 0.009404174 | 0.0099886255 | 1.0621481 | 5.9E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0669118E-5 | 1.1135489E-5 | 6.113493E-5 | 5.4900985 | 5.0E-5 | 4.5723988E-5 | 4.7722668E-5 | 1.977155E-4 | 4.1430106 | 1.5E-4 | 5.5654737E-4 | 5.8087136E-4 | 8.407204E-4 | 1.4473433 | 2.6E-4 | 0.0055515557 | 0.005793827 | 0.0062113935 | 1.072071 | 4.2E-4 |
6.4 | 1.0669118E-5 | 1.1135489E-5 | 6.113493E-5 | 5.4900985 | 5.0E-5 | 4.5723988E-5 | 4.7722668E-5 | 1.977155E-4 | 4.1430106 | 1.5E-4 | 5.5654737E-4 | 5.8087136E-4 | 8.407204E-4 | 1.4473433 | 2.6E-4 | 0.0055515557 | 0.005793827 | 0.0062113935 | 1.072071 | 4.2E-4 |
6.5 | 8.790038E-6 | 9.1702495E-6 | 5.916979E-5 | 6.4523644 | 5.0E-5 | 3.767105E-5 | 3.9300485E-5 | 1.3929655E-4 | 3.5443978 | 1.0E-4 | 4.585485E-4 | 4.7837992E-4 | 6.782842E-4 | 1.4178778 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0045760344 | 0.0047736657 | 0.0051020905 | 1.0687993 | 3.3E-4 |
6.6 | 7.396949E-6 | 7.715581E-6 | 5.7715195E-5 | 7.4803433 | 5.0E-5 | 3.1700827E-5 | 3.3066364E-5 | 1.1306372E-4 | 3.419297 | 8.0E-5 | 3.858892E-4 | 4.025096E-4 | 5.724412E-4 | 1.4221802 | 1.7E-4 | 0.003852198 | 0.004017913 | 0.0042967875 | 1.0694079 | 2.8E-4 |
6.7 | 6.4600285E-6 | 6.7380697E-6 | 5.6737732E-5 | 8.420473 | 5.0E-5 | 2.7685543E-5 | 2.8877126E-5 | 1.0887482E-4 | 3.770279 | 8.0E-5 | 3.3701936E-4 | 3.5152308E-4 | 5.0147035E-4 | 1.4265646 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0033650869 | 0.003509752 | 0.0037588745 | 1.0709801 | 2.5E-4 |
6.8 | 5.600104E-6 | 5.836042E-6 | 4.5835808E-5 | 7.85392 | 4.0E-5 | 2.4000226E-5 | 2.5011372E-5 | 8.500987E-5 | 3.3988488 | 6.0E-5 | 2.9216358E-4 | 3.044715E-4 | 4.2443495E-4 | 1.3940055 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0029177975 | 0.003040605 | 0.003239997 | 1.0655764 | 2.0E-4 |
6.9 | 4.839122E-6 | 5.039537E-6 | 4.5039335E-5 | 8.937197 | 4.0E-5 | 2.0738931E-5 | 2.159784E-5 | 8.159655E-5 | 3.7779956 | 6.0E-5 | 2.5246723E-4 | 2.6292243E-4 | 3.6289613E-4 | 1.3802403 | 1.0E-4 | 0.002521806 | 0.002626161 | 0.0027757674 | 1.0569676 | 1.5E-4 |
7.0 | 3.6937633E-6 | 3.845229E-6 | 4.3845073E-5 | 11.402462 | 4.0E-5 | 1.5830317E-5 | 1.6479451E-5 | 7.647846E-5 | 4.640838 | 6.0E-5 | 1.9271708E-4 | 2.0061915E-4 | 2.806031E-4 | 1.3986856 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0019255003 | 0.0020044118 | 0.0021241712 | 1.0597479 | 1.2E-4 |
7.1 | 2.7858857E-6 | 2.8978693E-6 | 2.2897812E-5 | 7.9016027 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1939455E-5 | 1.2419382E-5 | 5.2418884E-5 | 4.220732 | 4.0E-5 | 1.4535317E-4 | 1.511957E-4 | 2.0118813E-4 | 1.3306472 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0014525814 | 0.0015109498 | 0.001580844 | 1.0462584 | 7.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.1672065E-6 | 2.2540248E-6 | 2.225398E-5 | 9.872997 | 2.0E-5 | 9.2879945E-6 | 9.660072E-6 | 4.9659684E-5 | 5.140716 | 4.0E-5 | 1.1307546E-4 | 1.176052E-4 | 1.6759933E-4 | 1.4251013 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0011301794 | 0.0011754478 | 0.0012353774 | 1.0509844 | 6.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.4823496E-6 | 1.5422185E-6 | 2.1542188E-5 | 13.968311 | 2.0E-5 | 6.3529114E-6 | 6.6094917E-6 | 4.6609228E-5 | 7.0518622 | 4.0E-5 | 7.734395E-5 | 8.046775E-5 | 1.3046373E-4 | 1.621317 | 5.0E-5 | 7.731704E-4 | 8.044012E-4 | 8.54361E-4 | 1.062108 | 5.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.2321457E-7 | 4.4109012E-7 | 1.0441086E-5 | 23.671093 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8137755E-6 | 1.8903852E-6 | 1.1890366E-5 | 6.2899175 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2082493E-5 | 2.3015242E-5 | 4.301478E-5 | 1.8689693 | 2.0E-5 | 2.2080299E-4 | 2.3013311E-4 | 2.501285E-4 | 1.0868862 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.6942316E-8 | 5.941599E-8 | 5.941599E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.440385E-7 | 2.5463993E-7 | 2.5463993E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9711643E-6 | 3.1002376E-6 | 3.1002376E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9711247E-5 | 3.1002022E-5 | 3.1002022E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (San Bernardino S)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2336002E-4 | 3.000988E-4 | 3.200928E-4 | 1.0666248 | 2.0E-5 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0012855299 | 0.001365427 | 1.0621512 | 8.0E-5 | 0.006416472 | 0.015543964 | 0.01585899 | 1.0202668 | 3.2E-4 | 0.06234337 | 0.14291926 | 0.14339922 | 1.0033582 | 5.6E-4 |
6.1 | 1.2336002E-4 | 3.000988E-4 | 3.200928E-4 | 1.0666248 | 2.0E-5 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0012855299 | 0.001365427 | 1.0621512 | 8.0E-5 | 0.006416472 | 0.015543964 | 0.01585899 | 1.0202668 | 3.2E-4 | 0.06234337 | 0.14291926 | 0.14339922 | 1.0033582 | 5.6E-4 |
6.2 | 1.2336002E-4 | 3.000988E-4 | 3.200928E-4 | 1.0666248 | 2.0E-5 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0012855299 | 0.001365427 | 1.0621512 | 8.0E-5 | 0.006416472 | 0.015543964 | 0.01585899 | 1.0202668 | 3.2E-4 | 0.06234337 | 0.14291926 | 0.14339922 | 1.0033582 | 5.6E-4 |
6.3 | 1.1712257E-4 | 2.879813E-4 | 3.0797554E-4 | 1.0694289 | 2.0E-5 | 5.018573E-4 | 0.0012336475 | 0.0013035611 | 1.0566723 | 7.0E-5 | 0.006093008 | 0.0149210645 | 0.015226439 | 1.020466 | 3.1E-4 | 0.059286322 | 0.13763407 | 0.13810837 | 1.0034461 | 5.5E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1712257E-4 | 2.879813E-4 | 3.0797554E-4 | 1.0694289 | 2.0E-5 | 5.018573E-4 | 0.0012336475 | 0.0013035611 | 1.0566723 | 7.0E-5 | 0.006093008 | 0.0149210645 | 0.015226439 | 1.020466 | 3.1E-4 | 0.059286322 | 0.13763407 | 0.13810837 | 1.0034461 | 5.5E-4 |
6.5 | 1.0689076E-4 | 2.6810818E-4 | 2.8810283E-4 | 1.0745767 | 2.0E-5 | 4.5802278E-4 | 0.0011485539 | 0.0012184734 | 1.0608763 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0055621783 | 0.013898602 | 0.014194432 | 1.0212849 | 3.0E-4 | 0.05425003 | 0.12891594 | 0.12936018 | 1.0034461 | 5.1E-4 |
6.6 | 9.7648895E-5 | 2.5055694E-4 | 2.7055194E-4 | 1.0798022 | 2.0E-5 | 4.1842813E-4 | 0.0010733972 | 0.001143322 | 1.0651435 | 7.0E-5 | 0.005082469 | 0.012994667 | 0.0132907685 | 1.0227864 | 3.0E-4 | 0.049677886 | 0.12101118 | 0.12145068 | 1.0036318 | 5.0E-4 |
6.7 | 8.757013E-5 | 2.3126253E-4 | 2.512579E-4 | 1.0864618 | 2.0E-5 | 3.7524657E-4 | 9.90771E-4 | 0.0010607016 | 1.070582 | 7.0E-5 | 0.00455906 | 0.012000005 | 0.012296405 | 1.0247 | 3.0E-4 | 0.04466656 | 0.11236583 | 0.11280077 | 1.0038707 | 4.9E-4 |
6.8 | 8.562978E-5 | 2.268613E-4 | 2.4685677E-4 | 1.0881395 | 2.0E-5 | 3.6693315E-4 | 9.719227E-4 | 0.0010418546 | 1.0719522 | 7.0E-5 | 0.004458263 | 0.011773022 | 0.012069491 | 1.025182 | 3.0E-4 | 0.043698758 | 0.11037151 | 0.11079853 | 1.0038689 | 4.8E-4 |
6.9 | 6.124075E-5 | 1.7070957E-4 | 1.9070615E-4 | 1.117138 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6243398E-4 | 7.3140813E-4 | 7.913643E-4 | 1.0819736 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0031904527 | 0.008868743 | 0.00914626 | 1.0312916 | 2.8E-4 | 0.031450346 | 0.08419216 | 0.08461343 | 1.0050037 | 4.6E-4 |
7.0 | 5.8598747E-5 | 1.6499894E-4 | 1.8499565E-4 | 1.1211929 | 2.0E-5 | 2.5111332E-4 | 7.069475E-4 | 7.669051E-4 | 1.0848119 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0030530186 | 0.008573314 | 0.0088509135 | 1.0323795 | 2.8E-4 | 0.03011414 | 0.08151563 | 0.08193813 | 1.0051831 | 4.6E-4 |
7.1 | 5.613814E-5 | 1.5918406E-4 | 1.7918088E-4 | 1.1256207 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4056983E-4 | 6.8203977E-4 | 7.4199884E-4 | 1.0879114 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0029250039 | 0.008272399 | 0.008550083 | 1.0335675 | 2.8E-4 | 0.028868021 | 0.07881265 | 0.07922719 | 1.0052598 | 4.5E-4 |
7.2 | 4.991222E-5 | 1.452485E-4 | 1.652456E-4 | 1.137675 | 2.0E-5 | 2.1389198E-4 | 6.223455E-4 | 6.823081E-4 | 1.0963495 | 6.0E-5 | 0.002601025 | 0.007550835 | 0.007818797 | 1.0354877 | 2.7E-4 | 0.025707912 | 0.07226236 | 0.07267057 | 1.005649 | 4.4E-4 |
7.3 | 4.7410045E-5 | 1.3718859E-4 | 1.5718584E-4 | 1.1457647 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0317009E-4 | 5.8781897E-4 | 6.477837E-4 | 1.1020123 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0024707897 | 0.007133297 | 0.0073914425 | 1.0361888 | 2.6E-4 | 0.024434982 | 0.068555124 | 0.068955645 | 1.0058423 | 4.3E-4 |
7.4 | 4.5556746E-5 | 1.312667E-4 | 1.5126407E-4 | 1.1523416 | 2.0E-5 | 1.952286E-4 | 5.624506E-4 | 6.2241685E-4 | 1.106616 | 6.0E-5 | 0.002374317 | 0.006826414 | 0.007084639 | 1.0378274 | 2.6E-4 | 0.023491086 | 0.0658083 | 0.06621 | 1.0061041 | 4.3E-4 |
7.5 | 4.3084514E-5 | 1.2361899E-4 | 1.436165E-4 | 1.1617675 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8463485E-4 | 5.296884E-4 | 5.896566E-4 | 1.1132141 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0022456115 | 0.006429958 | 0.0066882866 | 1.0401757 | 2.6E-4 | 0.022230545 | 0.062208522 | 0.06260239 | 1.0063314 | 4.2E-4 |
7.6 | 3.408608E-5 | 9.8397344E-5 | 1.1839538E-4 | 1.2032375 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4607502E-4 | 4.2163485E-4 | 4.8160958E-4 | 1.1422433 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0017770125 | 0.0051213475 | 0.005370067 | 1.0485653 | 2.5E-4 | 0.017628696 | 0.050038666 | 0.05041865 | 1.0075939 | 4.0E-4 |
7.7 | 2.8315713E-5 | 8.252603E-5 | 1.0252438E-4 | 1.2423278 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2134742E-4 | 3.5363509E-4 | 4.1361386E-4 | 1.1696064 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0014764034 | 0.004297016 | 0.004545942 | 1.0579299 | 2.5E-4 | 0.01466633 | 0.042289194 | 0.042672276 | 1.0090587 | 4.0E-4 |
7.8 | 2.6222975E-5 | 7.466726E-5 | 9.466577E-5 | 1.267835 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1237934E-4 | 3.1996332E-4 | 3.7994413E-4 | 1.1874615 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0013673597 | 0.0038886012 | 0.004137629 | 1.0640404 | 2.5E-4 | 0.013589768 | 0.03845329 | 0.038837906 | 1.0100023 | 4.0E-4 |
7.9 | 2.1469694E-5 | 5.7908495E-5 | 7.790734E-5 | 1.3453525 | 2.0E-5 | 9.200973E-5 | 2.4815567E-4 | 3.081408E-4 | 1.2417237 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0011196428 | 0.0030171126 | 0.0032563885 | 1.0793062 | 2.4E-4 | 0.011140184 | 0.030165782 | 0.03052462 | 1.0118955 | 3.7E-4 |
8.0 | 1.2420249E-5 | 3.1335217E-5 | 3.1335217E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.322855E-5 | 1.3428688E-4 | 1.3428688E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.478649E-4 | 0.0016337177 | 0.0017036033 | 1.0427771 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0064597935 | 0.01652998 | 0.016647996 | 1.0071396 | 1.2E-4 |
8.1 | 4.9197724E-6 | 7.827452E-6 | 7.827452E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1084568E-5 | 3.354579E-5 | 3.354579E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.566744E-4 | 4.0834362E-4 | 4.0834362E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002563781 | 0.004386937 | 0.004386937 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 2.5634774E-6 | 2.9088305E-6 | 2.9088305E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0986286E-5 | 1.24663575E-5 | 1.24663575E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3374983E-4 | 1.5176737E-4 | 1.5176737E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013366934 | 0.0017061312 | 0.0017061312 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 5.2850464E-7 | 3.2110069E-7 | 3.2110069E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2650179E-6 | 1.3761452E-6 | 1.3761452E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7576245E-5 | 1.6754451E-5 | 1.6754451E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7572823E-4 | 1.9885681E-4 | 1.9885681E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Death Valley (Black Mtns Frontal)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.867056E-5 | 4.867E-5 | 2.6067777 | 3.0E-5 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.001427E-5 | 1.5000868E-4 | 1.8747739 | 7.0E-5 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.7374606E-4 | 0.0012434832 | 1.2770097 | 2.7E-4 | 0.00867977 | 0.009695647 | 0.010250218 | 1.0571979 | 5.6E-4 |
6.1 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.867056E-5 | 4.867E-5 | 2.6067777 | 3.0E-5 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.001427E-5 | 1.5000868E-4 | 1.8747739 | 7.0E-5 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.7374606E-4 | 0.0012434832 | 1.2770097 | 2.7E-4 | 0.00867977 | 0.009695647 | 0.010250218 | 1.0571979 | 5.6E-4 |
6.2 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.867056E-5 | 4.867E-5 | 2.6067777 | 3.0E-5 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.001427E-5 | 1.5000868E-4 | 1.8747739 | 7.0E-5 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.7374606E-4 | 0.0012434832 | 1.2770097 | 2.7E-4 | 0.00867977 | 0.009695647 | 0.010250218 | 1.0571979 | 5.6E-4 |
6.3 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.867056E-5 | 4.867E-5 | 2.6067777 | 3.0E-5 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.001427E-5 | 1.5000868E-4 | 1.8747739 | 7.0E-5 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.7374606E-4 | 0.0012434832 | 1.2770097 | 2.7E-4 | 0.00867977 | 0.009695647 | 0.010250218 | 1.0571979 | 5.6E-4 |
6.4 | 1.5515609E-5 | 1.7338483E-5 | 3.7338137E-5 | 2.1534834 | 2.0E-5 | 6.649377E-5 | 7.430571E-5 | 1.1430273E-4 | 1.5382767 | 4.0E-5 | 8.0926094E-4 | 9.0430264E-4 | 0.0011041218 | 1.2209649 | 2.0E-4 | 0.008063202 | 0.009006913 | 0.00945286 | 1.0495117 | 4.5E-4 |
6.5 | 1.5515609E-5 | 1.7338483E-5 | 3.7338137E-5 | 2.1534834 | 2.0E-5 | 6.649377E-5 | 7.430571E-5 | 1.1430273E-4 | 1.5382767 | 4.0E-5 | 8.0926094E-4 | 9.0430264E-4 | 0.0011041218 | 1.2209649 | 2.0E-4 | 0.008063202 | 0.009006913 | 0.00945286 | 1.0495117 | 4.5E-4 |
6.6 | 1.5041828E-5 | 1.6809407E-5 | 3.680907E-5 | 2.18979 | 2.0E-5 | 6.4463384E-5 | 7.203836E-5 | 1.1203548E-4 | 1.5552198 | 4.0E-5 | 7.8455906E-4 | 8.7672E-4 | 0.001046571 | 1.1937345 | 1.7E-4 | 0.00781795 | 0.008733268 | 0.009129775 | 1.0454018 | 4.0E-4 |
6.7 | 1.4634985E-5 | 1.6356273E-5 | 3.6355945E-5 | 2.2227526 | 2.0E-5 | 6.271985E-5 | 7.009646E-5 | 1.1009366E-4 | 1.5706023 | 4.0E-5 | 7.6334673E-4 | 8.53096E-4 | 0.0010129595 | 1.1873921 | 1.6E-4 | 0.007607299 | 0.008498848 | 0.008865704 | 1.0431653 | 3.7E-4 |
6.8 | 1.4209158E-5 | 1.5882297E-5 | 3.5881978E-5 | 2.2592437 | 2.0E-5 | 6.089497E-5 | 6.806524E-5 | 1.08062515E-4 | 1.5876315 | 4.0E-5 | 7.4114406E-4 | 8.2838483E-4 | 9.782605E-4 | 1.1809253 | 1.5E-4 | 0.007386771 | 0.008253585 | 0.008590779 | 1.0408542 | 3.4E-4 |
6.9 | 1.3780098E-5 | 1.5404834E-5 | 3.5404526E-5 | 2.2982738 | 2.0E-5 | 5.9056227E-5 | 6.601908E-5 | 1.06016436E-4 | 1.6058455 | 4.0E-5 | 7.1877235E-4 | 8.0349133E-4 | 9.533708E-4 | 1.1865352 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0071645193 | 0.008006458 | 0.008323896 | 1.0396477 | 3.2E-4 |
7.0 | 1.3585064E-5 | 1.5188394E-5 | 3.518809E-5 | 2.3167748 | 2.0E-5 | 5.8220405E-5 | 6.5091524E-5 | 1.0508892E-4 | 1.6144793 | 4.0E-5 | 7.086029E-4 | 7.922066E-4 | 9.320957E-4 | 1.1765816 | 1.4E-4 | 0.007063476 | 0.007894417 | 0.00820197 | 1.0389583 | 3.1E-4 |
7.1 | 1.3398601E-5 | 1.4981575E-5 | 3.4981276E-5 | 2.334953 | 2.0E-5 | 5.742131E-5 | 6.4205204E-5 | 1.04202634E-4 | 1.6229625 | 4.0E-5 | 6.9888023E-4 | 7.814234E-4 | 9.21314E-4 | 1.1790203 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0069668638 | 0.007787346 | 0.00808501 | 1.038224 | 3.0E-4 |
7.2 | 1.3126312E-5 | 1.4679792E-5 | 3.46795E-5 | 2.3623972 | 2.0E-5 | 5.6254412E-5 | 6.291191E-5 | 1.0290939E-4 | 1.6357697 | 4.0E-5 | 6.846822E-4 | 7.656887E-4 | 8.955892E-4 | 1.1696517 | 1.3E-4 | 0.006825765 | 0.00763109 | 0.007899029 | 1.0351115 | 2.7E-4 |
7.3 | 1.2922429E-5 | 1.4454016E-5 | 3.4453726E-5 | 2.3836784 | 2.0E-5 | 5.5380664E-5 | 6.1944345E-5 | 1.0194186E-4 | 1.6457009 | 4.0E-5 | 6.74051E-4 | 7.5391686E-4 | 8.738264E-4 | 1.1590488 | 1.2E-4 | 0.006720101 | 0.0075141727 | 0.007772219 | 1.0343413 | 2.6E-4 |
7.4 | 1.2768878E-5 | 1.4283997E-5 | 3.4283712E-5 | 2.4001484 | 2.0E-5 | 5.4722615E-5 | 6.1215724E-5 | 9.1213886E-5 | 1.4900402 | 3.0E-5 | 6.660441E-4 | 7.45052E-4 | 8.549701E-4 | 1.1475307 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0066405144 | 0.0074261203 | 0.007674264 | 1.033415 | 2.5E-4 |
7.5 | 1.2521929E-5 | 1.40122365E-5 | 3.4011955E-5 | 2.4273038 | 2.0E-5 | 5.366431E-5 | 6.0051094E-5 | 9.004929E-5 | 1.4995446 | 3.0E-5 | 6.531671E-4 | 7.308822E-4 | 8.408018E-4 | 1.150393 | 1.1E-4 | 0.006512506 | 0.0072853607 | 0.0075335396 | 1.0340654 | 2.5E-4 |
7.6 | 1.1301089E-5 | 1.2648349E-5 | 2.2648223E-5 | 1.790607 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8432343E-5 | 5.4206117E-5 | 7.420503E-5 | 1.368942 | 2.0E-5 | 5.895042E-4 | 6.597649E-4 | 7.59699E-4 | 1.1514691 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0058794282 | 0.0065786145 | 0.0068170354 | 1.0362419 | 2.4E-4 |
7.7 | 9.189108E-6 | 1.0283521E-5 | 2.0283418E-5 | 1.9724195 | 1.0E-5 | 3.93813E-5 | 4.407152E-5 | 5.4071075E-5 | 1.2268939 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7936183E-4 | 5.3644367E-4 | 5.9641147E-4 | 1.1117877 | 6.0E-5 | 0.004783291 | 0.0053519984 | 0.0055111423 | 1.0297353 | 1.6E-4 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.648288E-7 | 3.648288E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5635511E-6 | 1.5635511E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.9036073E-5 | 1.9036073E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.9034486E-4 | 1.9034486E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6696871E-9 | 2.6696871E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1441516E-8 | 1.1441516E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3930045E-7 | 1.3930045E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3930046E-6 | 1.3930046E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Big Bend)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.0081972E-4 | 2.1081771E-4 | 1.0497859 | 1.0E-5 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.603731E-4 | 9.303129E-4 | 1.08129 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0052979486 | 0.010425015 | 0.010682305 | 1.02468 | 2.6E-4 | 0.051734097 | 0.101484396 | 0.10192467 | 1.0043384 | 4.9E-4 |
6.1 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.0081972E-4 | 2.1081771E-4 | 1.0497859 | 1.0E-5 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.603731E-4 | 9.303129E-4 | 1.08129 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0052979486 | 0.010425015 | 0.010682305 | 1.02468 | 2.6E-4 | 0.051734097 | 0.101484396 | 0.10192467 | 1.0043384 | 4.9E-4 |
6.2 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.0081972E-4 | 2.1081771E-4 | 1.0497859 | 1.0E-5 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.603731E-4 | 9.303129E-4 | 1.08129 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0052979486 | 0.010425015 | 0.010682305 | 1.02468 | 2.6E-4 | 0.051734097 | 0.101484396 | 0.10192467 | 1.0043384 | 4.9E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.0081972E-4 | 2.1081771E-4 | 1.0497859 | 1.0E-5 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.603731E-4 | 9.303129E-4 | 1.08129 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0052979486 | 0.010425015 | 0.010682305 | 1.02468 | 2.6E-4 | 0.051734097 | 0.101484396 | 0.10192467 | 1.0043384 | 4.9E-4 |
6.4 | 9.1639464E-5 | 1.8438944E-4 | 1.943876E-4 | 1.0542231 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9268145E-4 | 7.9000136E-4 | 8.1997766E-4 | 1.0379447 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0047704205 | 0.009575968 | 0.009734435 | 1.0165485 | 1.6E-4 | 0.046693064 | 0.09381712 | 0.09411616 | 1.0031875 | 3.3E-4 |
6.5 | 9.1639464E-5 | 1.8438944E-4 | 1.943876E-4 | 1.0542231 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9268145E-4 | 7.9000136E-4 | 8.1997766E-4 | 1.0379447 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0047704205 | 0.009575968 | 0.009734435 | 1.0165485 | 1.6E-4 | 0.046693064 | 0.09381712 | 0.09411616 | 1.0031875 | 3.3E-4 |
6.6 | 9.042622E-5 | 1.8245954E-4 | 1.9245771E-4 | 1.0547967 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8748336E-4 | 7.817353E-4 | 8.117119E-4 | 1.0383462 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0047074095 | 0.009476205 | 0.009614879 | 1.0146339 | 1.4E-4 | 0.046089325 | 0.09291417 | 0.09317722 | 1.0028311 | 2.9E-4 |
6.7 | 8.9836685E-5 | 1.8160277E-4 | 1.9160095E-4 | 1.0550553 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8495753E-4 | 7.7806565E-4 | 8.080423E-4 | 1.0385271 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00467679 | 0.0094319135 | 0.009550782 | 1.0126028 | 1.2E-4 | 0.045795817 | 0.0925084 | 0.09275342 | 1.0026487 | 2.7E-4 |
6.8 | 8.9471854E-5 | 1.8107046E-4 | 1.9106866E-4 | 1.0552171 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8339442E-4 | 7.7578565E-4 | 8.057624E-4 | 1.0386405 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004657841 | 0.009404396 | 0.009523267 | 1.01264 | 1.2E-4 | 0.04561414 | 0.092256 | 0.09250109 | 1.0026567 | 2.7E-4 |
6.9 | 8.858234E-5 | 1.7989E-4 | 1.898882E-4 | 1.0555795 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7958333E-4 | 7.7072956E-4 | 8.0070645E-4 | 1.0388942 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004611638 | 0.009343366 | 0.009462246 | 1.0127233 | 1.2E-4 | 0.04517103 | 0.0916962 | 0.091932364 | 1.0025754 | 2.6E-4 |
7.0 | 8.7433385E-5 | 1.7827768E-4 | 1.8827591E-4 | 1.0560822 | 1.0E-5 | 3.746607E-4 | 7.638237E-4 | 7.938008E-4 | 1.0392461 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004551957 | 0.009260005 | 0.009378894 | 1.012839 | 1.2E-4 | 0.044598386 | 0.09093105 | 0.091140136 | 1.0022994 | 2.3E-4 |
7.1 | 8.684964E-5 | 1.7739709E-4 | 1.8739532E-4 | 1.0563607 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7215967E-4 | 7.6005195E-4 | 7.900291E-4 | 1.039441 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0045216335 | 0.009214473 | 0.009333367 | 1.012903 | 1.2E-4 | 0.04430731 | 0.09051253 | 0.09072171 | 1.0023111 | 2.3E-4 |
7.2 | 8.606521E-5 | 1.7630306E-4 | 1.8630129E-4 | 1.0567105 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6879873E-4 | 7.553659E-4 | 7.8534323E-4 | 1.0396858 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0044808835 | 0.009157902 | 0.009276803 | 1.0129834 | 1.2E-4 | 0.043916024 | 0.08999327 | 0.090193465 | 1.0022247 | 2.2E-4 |
7.3 | 8.568266E-5 | 1.7572299E-4 | 1.8572123E-4 | 1.0568978 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6715972E-4 | 7.528814E-4 | 7.828588E-4 | 1.0398169 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0044610105 | 0.0091279065 | 0.009246811 | 1.0130265 | 1.2E-4 | 0.043725148 | 0.08971421 | 0.08991447 | 1.0022322 | 2.2E-4 |
7.4 | 8.5432206E-5 | 1.7534874E-4 | 1.8534699E-4 | 1.0570192 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6608664E-4 | 7.5127836E-4 | 7.8125583E-4 | 1.039902 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004447999 | 0.009108554 | 0.00922746 | 1.0130544 | 1.2E-4 | 0.043600157 | 0.08953439 | 0.08973469 | 1.0022372 | 2.2E-4 |
7.5 | 8.4791965E-5 | 1.7404204E-4 | 1.840403E-4 | 1.0574474 | 1.0E-5 | 3.633435E-4 | 7.456814E-4 | 7.7565905E-4 | 1.0402017 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0044147377 | 0.009040978 | 0.009159893 | 1.013153 | 1.2E-4 | 0.043280575 | 0.088910125 | 0.08911056 | 1.0022544 | 2.2E-4 |
7.6 | 8.241105E-5 | 1.6849465E-4 | 1.7849296E-4 | 1.059339 | 1.0E-5 | 3.531424E-4 | 7.219202E-4 | 7.5189857E-4 | 1.0415258 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0042910352 | 0.008754046 | 0.008872995 | 1.013588 | 1.2E-4 | 0.042091176 | 0.08628652 | 0.08648755 | 1.0023296 | 2.2E-4 |
7.7 | 7.00432E-5 | 1.4212567E-4 | 1.5212425E-4 | 1.0703503 | 1.0E-5 | 3.001506E-4 | 6.089679E-4 | 6.389496E-4 | 1.0492337 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0036482112 | 0.0073890192 | 0.0075081326 | 1.0161203 | 1.2E-4 | 0.035888977 | 0.073552616 | 0.07372864 | 1.0023931 | 1.9E-4 |
7.8 | 6.415362E-5 | 1.2976197E-4 | 1.3976067E-4 | 1.0770541 | 1.0E-5 | 2.749151E-4 | 5.5600423E-4 | 5.859876E-4 | 1.0539265 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0033419547 | 0.0067483704 | 0.006857628 | 1.0161903 | 1.1E-4 | 0.03292141 | 0.06728497 | 0.067443535 | 1.0023565 | 1.7E-4 |
7.9 | 4.939911E-5 | 9.346299E-5 | 1.0346206E-4 | 1.1069843 | 1.0E-5 | 2.116933E-4 | 4.004942E-4 | 4.104902E-4 | 1.0249592 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0025743195 | 0.0048651244 | 0.0049248324 | 1.0122727 | 6.0E-5 | 0.025447013 | 0.048938233 | 0.049004808 | 1.0013604 | 7.0E-5 |
8.0 | 3.344983E-5 | 5.2255753E-5 | 5.2255753E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4334853E-4 | 2.2393401E-4 | 2.2393401E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017438711 | 0.0027229895 | 0.0027329624 | 1.0036625 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017302496 | 0.02793611 | 0.027945831 | 1.000348 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.9104898E-5 | 1.9185067E-5 | 1.9185067E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.1875565E-5 | 8.221913E-5 | 8.221913E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.963791E-4 | 0.0010005588 | 0.0010005588 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009919235 | 0.010756051 | 0.010756051 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.478665E-6 | 5.478665E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3479783E-5 | 2.3479783E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8582895E-4 | 2.8582895E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0032508469 | 0.0032508469 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.6647797E-7 | 7.6647797E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.2849016E-6 | 3.2849016E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.999296E-5 | 3.999296E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.7228087E-4 | 4.7228087E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Coyote Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.980352E-5 | 2.1707021E-5 | 3.1706804E-5 | 1.4606705 | 1.0E-5 | 8.486947E-5 | 9.302718E-5 | 1.230244E-4 | 1.3224564 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010327959 | 0.0011320895 | 0.001271931 | 1.1235251 | 1.4E-4 | 0.010280091 | 0.011270401 | 0.011675781 | 1.0359684 | 4.1E-4 |
6.1 | 1.980352E-5 | 2.1707021E-5 | 3.1706804E-5 | 1.4606705 | 1.0E-5 | 8.486947E-5 | 9.302718E-5 | 1.230244E-4 | 1.3224564 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010327959 | 0.0011320895 | 0.001271931 | 1.1235251 | 1.4E-4 | 0.010280091 | 0.011270401 | 0.011675781 | 1.0359684 | 4.1E-4 |
6.2 | 1.980352E-5 | 2.1707021E-5 | 3.1706804E-5 | 1.4606705 | 1.0E-5 | 8.486947E-5 | 9.302718E-5 | 1.230244E-4 | 1.3224564 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010327959 | 0.0011320895 | 0.001271931 | 1.1235251 | 1.4E-4 | 0.010280091 | 0.011270401 | 0.011675781 | 1.0359684 | 4.1E-4 |
6.3 | 1.5344787E-5 | 1.6820884E-5 | 2.6820715E-5 | 1.5944891 | 1.0E-5 | 6.576172E-5 | 7.208785E-5 | 1.02085694E-4 | 1.4161289 | 3.0E-5 | 8.003548E-4 | 8.7737746E-4 | 9.972722E-4 | 1.1366513 | 1.2E-4 | 0.007974784 | 0.00874518 | 0.009121858 | 1.0430725 | 3.8E-4 |
6.4 | 1.5344787E-5 | 1.6820884E-5 | 2.6820715E-5 | 1.5944891 | 1.0E-5 | 6.576172E-5 | 7.208785E-5 | 1.02085694E-4 | 1.4161289 | 3.0E-5 | 8.003548E-4 | 8.7737746E-4 | 9.972722E-4 | 1.1366513 | 1.2E-4 | 0.007974784 | 0.00874518 | 0.009121858 | 1.0430725 | 3.8E-4 |
6.5 | 1.4189697E-5 | 1.5558186E-5 | 2.555803E-5 | 1.6427385 | 1.0E-5 | 6.081157E-5 | 6.667658E-5 | 9.667457E-5 | 1.4499031 | 3.0E-5 | 7.401293E-4 | 8.1154524E-4 | 9.2145597E-4 | 1.1354339 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0073766913 | 0.008091759 | 0.008458765 | 1.0453556 | 3.7E-4 |
6.6 | 1.3469301E-5 | 1.47717665E-5 | 2.477162E-5 | 1.6769571 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7724297E-5 | 6.3306376E-5 | 9.330447E-5 | 1.473856 | 3.0E-5 | 7.025667E-4 | 7.7054254E-4 | 8.8045775E-4 | 1.1426466 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0070034964 | 0.0076846126 | 0.008051769 | 1.0477781 | 3.7E-4 |
6.7 | 1.3027966E-5 | 1.4281927E-5 | 2.4281784E-5 | 1.7001756 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5832945E-5 | 6.120716E-5 | 8.120594E-5 | 1.3267392 | 2.0E-5 | 6.7955407E-4 | 7.450021E-4 | 8.449276E-4 | 1.1341279 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006774798 | 0.007430923 | 0.0077783223 | 1.0467504 | 3.5E-4 |
6.8 | 5.695434E-6 | 6.2244944E-6 | 6.2244944E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4408775E-5 | 2.6676302E-5 | 2.6676302E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.971363E-4 | 3.2476554E-4 | 3.347623E-4 | 1.0307814 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029673933 | 0.0032458503 | 0.0033554933 | 1.0337794 | 1.1E-4 |
6.9 | 4.385688E-6 | 4.7931144E-6 | 4.7931144E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.879567E-5 | 2.0541918E-5 | 2.0541918E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2881327E-4 | 2.5009786E-4 | 2.6009537E-4 | 1.0399743 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002285778 | 0.0025009785 | 0.0025907536 | 1.035896 | 9.0E-5 |
San Andreas (Cholame) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2302514E-4 | 2.5215113E-4 | 2.7214608E-4 | 1.0792975 | 2.0E-5 | 5.27144E-4 | 0.0010802018 | 0.0011201586 | 1.0369902 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0063991086 | 0.013072659 | 0.013240437 | 1.0128342 | 1.7E-4 | 0.06217949 | 0.12442699 | 0.124654636 | 1.0018296 | 2.6E-4 |
6.1 | 1.2302514E-4 | 2.5215113E-4 | 2.7214608E-4 | 1.0792975 | 2.0E-5 | 5.27144E-4 | 0.0010802018 | 0.0011201586 | 1.0369902 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0063991086 | 0.013072659 | 0.013240437 | 1.0128342 | 1.7E-4 | 0.06217949 | 0.12442699 | 0.124654636 | 1.0018296 | 2.6E-4 |
6.2 | 1.2203569E-4 | 2.5031884E-4 | 2.7031385E-4 | 1.0798781 | 2.0E-5 | 5.2290526E-4 | 0.0010723557 | 0.0011123128 | 1.037261 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006347804 | 0.012978274 | 0.013146068 | 1.0129288 | 1.7E-4 | 0.061695136 | 0.12361445 | 0.123842314 | 1.0018433 | 2.6E-4 |
6.3 | 1.2142645E-4 | 2.4917856E-4 | 2.6917356E-4 | 1.0802437 | 2.0E-5 | 5.202953E-4 | 0.0010674726 | 0.0011074299 | 1.0374317 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006316212 | 0.01291953 | 0.013087334 | 1.0129883 | 1.7E-4 | 0.06139677 | 0.1231077 | 0.12333569 | 1.0018519 | 2.6E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1865206E-4 | 2.4423326E-4 | 2.542308E-4 | 1.0409344 | 1.0E-5 | 5.0840975E-4 | 0.0010462956 | 0.0010762643 | 1.0286425 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006172335 | 0.012664723 | 0.012812824 | 1.011694 | 1.5E-4 | 0.060036868 | 0.12090532 | 0.1211163 | 1.001745 | 2.4E-4 |
6.5 | 1.17443946E-4 | 2.4216558E-4 | 2.5216315E-4 | 1.0412841 | 1.0E-5 | 5.032341E-4 | 0.0010374413 | 0.0010674101 | 1.0288873 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006109677 | 0.012558166 | 0.012706282 | 1.0117944 | 1.5E-4 | 0.059444077 | 0.11998259 | 0.1201938 | 1.0017602 | 2.4E-4 |
6.6 | 1.13579066E-4 | 2.3525437E-4 | 2.45252E-4 | 1.0424972 | 1.0E-5 | 4.866766E-4 | 0.0010078449 | 0.0010378148 | 1.0297365 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0059092017 | 0.012201919 | 0.012340211 | 1.0113336 | 1.4E-4 | 0.057545185 | 0.11690384 | 0.11710695 | 1.0017375 | 2.3E-4 |
6.7 | 1.1271412E-4 | 2.3369725E-4 | 2.4369491E-4 | 1.0427804 | 1.0E-5 | 4.829711E-4 | 0.0010011768 | 0.0010311467 | 1.0299348 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005864331 | 0.01212164 | 0.012259943 | 1.0114096 | 1.4E-4 | 0.057119697 | 0.11620769 | 0.11641096 | 1.0017492 | 2.3E-4 |
6.8 | 1.1217975E-4 | 2.325812E-4 | 2.4257887E-4 | 1.0429857 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8068175E-4 | 9.963973E-4 | 0.0010263674 | 1.0300785 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005836608 | 0.0120640965 | 0.012202408 | 1.0114647 | 1.4E-4 | 0.056856725 | 0.11570667 | 0.11591005 | 1.0017577 | 2.3E-4 |
6.9 | 1.1146753E-4 | 2.3106842E-4 | 2.4106611E-4 | 1.0432673 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7763053E-4 | 9.89919E-4 | 0.0010198893 | 1.0302755 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0057996577 | 0.011986093 | 0.012114535 | 1.010716 | 1.3E-4 | 0.056506127 | 0.11502693 | 0.11522163 | 1.0016927 | 2.2E-4 |
7.0 | 1.0965793E-4 | 2.2730078E-4 | 2.3729852E-4 | 1.0439845 | 1.0E-5 | 4.698779E-4 | 9.737841E-4 | 0.0010037548 | 1.0307777 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005705768 | 0.011791794 | 0.011920261 | 1.0108947 | 1.3E-4 | 0.055614736 | 0.1133308 | 0.11352586 | 1.0017213 | 2.2E-4 |
7.1 | 9.927982E-5 | 2.0548643E-4 | 2.1548438E-4 | 1.048655 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2541555E-4 | 8.8035996E-4 | 9.1033353E-4 | 1.034047 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0051671406 | 0.010666 | 0.01078472 | 1.0111307 | 1.2E-4 | 0.05048634 | 0.10343333 | 0.10362161 | 1.0018203 | 2.1E-4 |
7.2 | 9.696786E-5 | 2.005288E-4 | 2.1052679E-4 | 1.0498581 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1551032E-4 | 8.591271E-4 | 8.891013E-4 | 1.0348892 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00504711 | 0.010409988 | 0.01052874 | 1.0114074 | 1.2E-4 | 0.04934009 | 0.10116881 | 0.101357564 | 1.0018657 | 2.1E-4 |
7.3 | 9.4727984E-5 | 1.9481927E-4 | 2.0481732E-4 | 1.0513196 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0591392E-4 | 8.346735E-4 | 8.646485E-4 | 1.0359122 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0049308087 | 0.010115068 | 0.010233855 | 1.0117435 | 1.2E-4 | 0.048228268 | 0.09854372 | 0.09873302 | 1.001921 | 2.1E-4 |
7.4 | 9.220358E-5 | 1.8852325E-4 | 1.9852136E-4 | 1.0530338 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9509835E-4 | 8.077075E-4 | 8.3768327E-4 | 1.0371121 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004799717 | 0.009789746 | 0.009908571 | 1.0121378 | 1.2E-4 | 0.046973653 | 0.095616065 | 0.09579694 | 1.0018917 | 2.0E-4 |
7.5 | 7.71631E-5 | 1.5186344E-4 | 1.6186193E-4 | 1.0658386 | 1.0E-5 | 3.306571E-4 | 6.5068115E-4 | 6.8066164E-4 | 1.0460756 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0040183207 | 0.007893339 | 0.008012392 | 1.0150827 | 1.2E-4 | 0.03946433 | 0.07832433 | 0.078508675 | 1.0023534 | 2.0E-4 |
7.6 | 7.5634416E-5 | 1.484566E-4 | 1.584551E-4 | 1.0673498 | 1.0E-5 | 3.241072E-4 | 6.360876E-4 | 6.660685E-4 | 1.0471333 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0039388672 | 0.007716934 | 0.007836008 | 1.0154302 | 1.2E-4 | 0.038697794 | 0.07668804 | 0.0768727 | 1.002408 | 2.0E-4 |
7.7 | 6.3783E-5 | 1.2365977E-4 | 1.3365854E-4 | 1.080857 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7332708E-4 | 5.298629E-4 | 5.59847E-4 | 1.0565884 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0033226798 | 0.006432025 | 0.0065512536 | 1.0185367 | 1.2E-4 | 0.032734364 | 0.06457185 | 0.064730875 | 1.0024627 | 1.7E-4 |
7.8 | 5.863422E-5 | 1.1422686E-4 | 1.2422571E-4 | 1.087535 | 1.0E-5 | 2.512653E-4 | 4.8945186E-4 | 5.194372E-4 | 1.0612631 | 3.0E-5 | 0.003054864 | 0.0059428154 | 0.0060521616 | 1.0183997 | 1.1E-4 | 0.030132094 | 0.05968955 | 0.05984 | 1.0025206 | 1.6E-4 |
7.9 | 4.595283E-5 | 8.431093E-5 | 9.431009E-5 | 1.1185986 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9692584E-4 | 3.6128255E-4 | 3.7127893E-4 | 1.0276692 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023949358 | 0.0043897503 | 0.0044494867 | 1.0136082 | 6.0E-5 | 0.023692891 | 0.044384085 | 0.044450976 | 1.0015072 | 7.0E-5 |
8.0 | 3.2950178E-5 | 5.08012E-5 | 5.08012E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.412074E-4 | 2.1770128E-4 | 2.1770128E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017178444 | 0.002647293 | 0.0026572666 | 1.0037675 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017046256 | 0.02719375 | 0.027203478 | 1.0003577 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.9177472E-5 | 1.9197154E-5 | 1.9197154E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.218658E-5 | 8.2270926E-5 | 8.2270926E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010001622 | 0.0010011889 | 0.0010011889 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009956728 | 0.010764398 | 0.010764398 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.478665E-6 | 5.478665E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3479783E-5 | 2.3479783E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8582895E-4 | 2.8582895E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0032508469 | 0.0032508469 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.6647797E-7 | 7.6647797E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.2849016E-6 | 3.2849016E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.999296E-5 | 3.999296E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.7228087E-4 | 4.7228087E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Death Valley (No)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.0074807E-5 | 2.2500446E-5 | 4.2499996E-5 | 1.8888513 | 2.0E-5 | 8.603206E-5 | 9.642696E-5 | 1.2642407E-4 | 1.3110863 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001046937 | 0.0011733733 | 0.0012932325 | 1.1021492 | 1.2E-4 | 0.010420183 | 0.011672693 | 0.011939541 | 1.0228609 | 2.7E-4 |
6.1 | 2.0074807E-5 | 2.2500446E-5 | 4.2499996E-5 | 1.8888513 | 2.0E-5 | 8.603206E-5 | 9.642696E-5 | 1.2642407E-4 | 1.3110863 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001046937 | 0.0011733733 | 0.0012932325 | 1.1021492 | 1.2E-4 | 0.010420183 | 0.011672693 | 0.011939541 | 1.0228609 | 2.7E-4 |
6.2 | 2.0074807E-5 | 2.2500446E-5 | 4.2499996E-5 | 1.8888513 | 2.0E-5 | 8.603206E-5 | 9.642696E-5 | 1.2642407E-4 | 1.3110863 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001046937 | 0.0011733733 | 0.0012932325 | 1.1021492 | 1.2E-4 | 0.010420183 | 0.011672693 | 0.011939541 | 1.0228609 | 2.7E-4 |
6.3 | 1.9050609E-5 | 2.1337288E-5 | 3.1337077E-5 | 1.4686531 | 1.0E-5 | 8.164292E-5 | 9.144236E-5 | 1.11440524E-4 | 1.2186971 | 2.0E-5 | 9.935491E-4 | 0.0011127489 | 0.0012226264 | 1.0987443 | 1.1E-4 | 0.009891188 | 0.011072595 | 0.011329716 | 1.0232214 | 2.6E-4 |
6.4 | 1.9050609E-5 | 2.1337288E-5 | 3.1337077E-5 | 1.4686531 | 1.0E-5 | 8.164292E-5 | 9.144236E-5 | 1.11440524E-4 | 1.2186971 | 2.0E-5 | 9.935491E-4 | 0.0011127489 | 0.0012226264 | 1.0987443 | 1.1E-4 | 0.009891188 | 0.011072595 | 0.011329716 | 1.0232214 | 2.6E-4 |
6.5 | 1.8367004E-5 | 2.0561336E-5 | 3.056113E-5 | 1.4863397 | 1.0E-5 | 7.8713354E-5 | 8.811707E-5 | 1.0811531E-4 | 1.2269508 | 2.0E-5 | 9.5791375E-4 | 0.0010723039 | 0.0011721967 | 1.0931572 | 1.0E-4 | 0.009537951 | 0.010672085 | 0.010919416 | 1.0231756 | 2.5E-4 |
6.6 | 1.779439E-5 | 1.9911244E-5 | 2.9911045E-5 | 1.5022188 | 1.0E-5 | 7.625944E-5 | 8.533114E-5 | 1.0532944E-4 | 1.234361 | 2.0E-5 | 9.280632E-4 | 0.0010384179 | 0.0011383141 | 1.0962003 | 1.0E-4 | 0.009241969 | 0.010336416 | 0.010583832 | 1.0239364 | 2.5E-4 |
6.7 | 1.7025437E-5 | 1.9043726E-5 | 2.9043536E-5 | 1.5250974 | 1.0E-5 | 7.296412E-5 | 8.161345E-5 | 1.0161182E-4 | 1.2450377 | 2.0E-5 | 8.87976E-4 | 9.93197E-4 | 0.0010930976 | 1.100585 | 1.0E-4 | 0.008844362 | 0.009888301 | 0.0101358285 | 1.0250324 | 2.5E-4 |
6.8 | 1.6545107E-5 | 1.851284E-5 | 2.8512653E-5 | 1.5401556 | 1.0E-5 | 7.090568E-5 | 7.933836E-5 | 9.933677E-5 | 1.2520648 | 2.0E-5 | 8.629347E-4 | 9.655226E-4 | 0.001065426 | 1.1034708 | 1.0E-4 | 0.008595915 | 0.009613981 | 0.009851673 | 1.0247236 | 2.4E-4 |
6.9 | 1.615478E-5 | 1.8087881E-5 | 2.8087701E-5 | 1.5528463 | 1.0E-5 | 6.9232934E-5 | 7.751722E-5 | 9.751567E-5 | 1.2579871 | 2.0E-5 | 8.4258494E-4 | 9.433697E-4 | 0.0010432753 | 1.105903 | 1.0E-4 | 0.008393973 | 0.009394345 | 0.00963209 | 1.0253073 | 2.4E-4 |
7.0 | 1.5894311E-5 | 1.7805834E-5 | 2.7805656E-5 | 1.5616037 | 1.0E-5 | 6.81167E-5 | 7.6308526E-5 | 9.6307E-5 | 1.2620739 | 2.0E-5 | 8.2900526E-4 | 9.286663E-4 | 0.0010285735 | 1.1075813 | 1.0E-4 | 0.008259195 | 0.009248544 | 0.009486325 | 1.02571 | 2.4E-4 |
7.1 | 1.5602263E-5 | 1.7483784E-5 | 2.748361E-5 | 1.5719485 | 1.0E-5 | 6.6865134E-5 | 7.4928386E-5 | 9.492689E-5 | 1.2669015 | 2.0E-5 | 8.137789E-4 | 9.118773E-4 | 0.0010117862 | 1.1095638 | 1.0E-4 | 0.008108052 | 0.009082039 | 0.00931986 | 1.0261858 | 2.4E-4 |
7.2 | 1.5323829E-5 | 1.7170905E-5 | 2.7170734E-5 | 1.5823705 | 1.0E-5 | 6.56719E-5 | 7.358755E-5 | 9.358608E-5 | 1.2717651 | 2.0E-5 | 7.99262E-4 | 8.9556625E-4 | 9.954767E-4 | 1.1115612 | 1.0E-4 | 0.007963934 | 0.008920249 | 0.009158108 | 1.0266651 | 2.4E-4 |
7.3 | 1.4556212E-5 | 1.6302716E-5 | 2.6302552E-5 | 1.6133847 | 1.0E-5 | 6.238227E-5 | 6.986695E-5 | 8.986555E-5 | 1.2862384 | 2.0E-5 | 7.592395E-4 | 8.503039E-4 | 9.502189E-4 | 1.117505 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0075665074 | 0.008471149 | 0.008709116 | 1.0280914 | 2.4E-4 |
7.4 | 1.411725E-5 | 1.5808211E-5 | 2.5808054E-5 | 1.6325727 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0501097E-5 | 6.774775E-5 | 8.77464E-5 | 1.2951927 | 2.0E-5 | 7.363519E-4 | 8.245226E-4 | 9.244401E-4 | 1.1211823 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0073391674 | 0.008215268 | 0.0084532965 | 1.0289739 | 2.4E-4 |
7.5 | 1.3503312E-5 | 1.5126531E-5 | 2.512638E-5 | 1.6610801 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7870053E-5 | 6.482641E-5 | 8.4825115E-5 | 1.3084962 | 2.0E-5 | 7.043401E-4 | 7.8898156E-4 | 8.889027E-4 | 1.1266457 | 1.0E-4 | 0.007021119 | 0.007862429 | 0.008100542 | 1.0302849 | 2.4E-4 |
7.6 | 1.1279839E-5 | 1.2626528E-5 | 2.2626402E-5 | 1.7919734 | 1.0E-5 | 4.834127E-5 | 5.4112596E-5 | 7.4111515E-5 | 1.3695797 | 2.0E-5 | 5.88396E-4 | 6.58627E-4 | 7.5856113E-4 | 1.151731 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005868405 | 0.0065673026 | 0.0068057263 | 1.0363047 | 2.4E-4 |
7.7 | 9.189108E-6 | 1.0283521E-5 | 2.0283418E-5 | 1.9724195 | 1.0E-5 | 3.93813E-5 | 4.407152E-5 | 5.4071075E-5 | 1.2268939 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7936183E-4 | 5.3644367E-4 | 5.9641147E-4 | 1.1117877 | 6.0E-5 | 0.004783291 | 0.0053519984 | 0.0055111423 | 1.0297353 | 1.6E-4 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.648288E-7 | 3.648288E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5635511E-6 | 1.5635511E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.9036073E-5 | 1.9036073E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.9034486E-4 | 1.9034486E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6696871E-9 | 2.6696871E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1441516E-8 | 1.1441516E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3930045E-7 | 1.3930045E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3930046E-6 | 1.3930046E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Parkfield)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.556969E-4 | 7.787764E-4 | 7.987608E-4 | 1.0256613 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0023793848 | 0.0033338934 | 0.00337376 | 1.011958 | 4.0E-5 | 0.028586963 | 0.04027906 | 0.040413424 | 1.0033357 | 1.4E-4 | 0.25176284 | 0.3373374 | 0.3375097 | 1.0005107 | 2.6E-4 |
6.1 | 1.925858E-4 | 3.0300187E-4 | 3.1299883E-4 | 1.0329931 | 1.0E-5 | 8.2510663E-4 | 0.0012980271 | 0.0013279882 | 1.023082 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0099994885 | 0.01578479 | 0.015853686 | 1.0043646 | 7.0E-5 | 0.095613256 | 0.14981315 | 0.14990667 | 1.0006243 | 1.1E-4 |
6.2 | 9.4306815E-5 | 1.8251229E-4 | 1.9251046E-4 | 1.0547808 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0410945E-4 | 7.8196224E-4 | 8.019466E-4 | 1.0255567 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0049089384 | 0.009479025 | 0.009538457 | 1.0062698 | 6.0E-5 | 0.048019063 | 0.09188695 | 0.09197776 | 1.0009882 | 1.0E-4 |
6.3 | 9.283051E-5 | 1.7947727E-4 | 1.8947547E-4 | 1.0557073 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9778434E-4 | 7.689627E-4 | 7.8894733E-4 | 1.025989 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0048322747 | 0.0093221245 | 0.009381565 | 1.0063763 | 6.0E-5 | 0.047285385 | 0.09053988 | 0.09063083 | 1.0010045 | 1.0E-4 |
6.4 | 9.138826E-5 | 1.7709887E-4 | 1.870971E-4 | 1.0564556 | 1.0E-5 | 3.916052E-4 | 7.5877557E-4 | 7.787604E-4 | 1.0263382 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0047573745 | 0.009199142 | 0.009248682 | 1.0053853 | 5.0E-5 | 0.046568092 | 0.08944346 | 0.08952541 | 1.0009162 | 9.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.000255E-5 | 1.7467843E-4 | 1.8467668E-4 | 1.0572381 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8566816E-4 | 7.484082E-4 | 7.683932E-4 | 1.0267034 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0046854047 | 0.009074002 | 0.009123548 | 1.0054603 | 5.0E-5 | 0.045878403 | 0.08833238 | 0.08841442 | 1.0009289 | 9.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.8109264E-5 | 1.7148908E-4 | 1.8148737E-4 | 1.0583028 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7755648E-4 | 7.347474E-4 | 7.547327E-4 | 1.0272002 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0045870654 | 0.008909067 | 0.008958622 | 1.0055623 | 5.0E-5 | 0.04493529 | 0.08686431 | 0.08694649 | 1.000946 | 9.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.738073E-5 | 1.7015962E-4 | 1.8015792E-4 | 1.0587584 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7443507E-4 | 7.290529E-4 | 7.490383E-4 | 1.0274129 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0045492216 | 0.008840349 | 0.008889907 | 1.0056059 | 5.0E-5 | 0.04457213 | 0.08626531 | 0.08634755 | 1.0009533 | 9.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.710195E-5 | 1.6961442E-4 | 1.7961273E-4 | 1.0589472 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7324068E-4 | 7.267176E-4 | 7.4670307E-4 | 1.027501 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0045347405 | 0.008812156 | 0.008861715 | 1.0056239 | 5.0E-5 | 0.04443313 | 0.086012915 | 0.08609518 | 1.0009563 | 9.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.6801556E-5 | 1.6902383E-4 | 1.7902213E-4 | 1.0591532 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7195362E-4 | 7.241879E-4 | 7.4417336E-4 | 1.0275972 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0045191357 | 0.0087816045 | 0.008831166 | 1.0056437 | 5.0E-5 | 0.044283327 | 0.08573886 | 0.085821144 | 1.0009598 | 9.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.5571606E-5 | 1.6655146E-4 | 1.7654979E-4 | 1.0600315 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6668387E-4 | 7.1359787E-4 | 7.335836E-4 | 1.028007 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004455241 | 0.008653701 | 0.008703269 | 1.0057279 | 5.0E-5 | 0.043669727 | 0.08458771 | 0.0846701 | 1.0009739 | 9.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.82589E-5 | 1.513576E-4 | 1.6135609E-4 | 1.0660588 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3535215E-4 | 6.485149E-4 | 6.6850195E-4 | 1.0308197 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0040752706 | 0.007867255 | 0.007916861 | 1.0063055 | 5.0E-5 | 0.040013418 | 0.07750286 | 0.07758588 | 1.0010712 | 9.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.690929E-5 | 1.4872964E-4 | 1.5872816E-4 | 1.067226 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2956956E-4 | 6.3725776E-4 | 6.5724505E-4 | 1.0313644 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004005129 | 0.0077311797 | 0.007780793 | 1.0064173 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0393371 | 0.07627582 | 0.07635895 | 1.0010899 | 9.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.5543794E-5 | 1.4569426E-4 | 1.556928E-4 | 1.0686269 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2371894E-4 | 6.242553E-4 | 6.442428E-4 | 1.0320182 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003934157 | 0.0075739846 | 0.007623606 | 1.0065515 | 5.0E-5 | 0.038652334 | 0.07484126 | 0.07492452 | 1.0011126 | 9.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.4214564E-5 | 1.4270298E-4 | 1.5270156E-4 | 1.0700656 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1802364E-4 | 6.1144156E-4 | 6.314293E-4 | 1.0326896 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003865065 | 0.00741905 | 0.007468679 | 1.0066894 | 5.0E-5 | 0.03798529 | 0.07341491 | 0.07348903 | 1.0010097 | 8.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.149578E-5 | 1.1197151E-4 | 1.2197039E-4 | 1.0892985 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6352672E-4 | 4.7978974E-4 | 4.997802E-4 | 1.041665 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0032037178 | 0.0058258264 | 0.005875535 | 1.0085325 | 5.0E-5 | 0.03157923 | 0.058584794 | 0.05866011 | 1.0012856 | 8.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.0643448E-5 | 1.10257475E-4 | 1.2025637E-4 | 1.0906868 | 1.0E-5 | 2.598746E-4 | 4.7244655E-4 | 4.924371E-4 | 1.0423129 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0031593828 | 0.0057368972 | 0.005786611 | 1.0086656 | 5.0E-5 | 0.031148417 | 0.0577456 | 0.05782098 | 1.0013053 | 8.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.1652263E-5 | 9.180402E-5 | 1.018031E-4 | 1.1089177 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2134806E-4 | 3.933865E-4 | 4.133786E-4 | 1.0508206 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002691582 | 0.0047789724 | 0.0048287334 | 1.0104125 | 5.0E-5 | 0.026592141 | 0.048558682 | 0.048625283 | 1.0013715 | 7.0E-5 |
7.8 | 4.8090482E-5 | 8.564889E-5 | 9.5648036E-5 | 1.1167457 | 1.0E-5 | 2.060858E-4 | 3.6701505E-4 | 3.8700772E-4 | 1.0544736 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0025062072 | 0.0044592614 | 0.0045090383 | 1.0111626 | 5.0E-5 | 0.024781305 | 0.04532328 | 0.045390107 | 1.0014745 | 7.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.970278E-5 | 6.754373E-5 | 7.754305E-5 | 1.1480422 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7014367E-4 | 2.8944103E-4 | 2.9943814E-4 | 1.0345393 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002069531 | 0.003518254 | 0.0035481486 | 1.008497 | 3.0E-5 | 0.020503636 | 0.03590036 | 0.035938926 | 1.0010742 | 4.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.8982335E-5 | 4.072156E-5 | 4.072156E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2420409E-4 | 1.745093E-4 | 1.745093E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015111357 | 0.0021225815 | 0.0021225815 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015009012 | 0.022022424 | 0.022022424 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.8836186E-5 | 1.8692857E-5 | 1.8692857E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0724014E-5 | 8.0109785E-5 | 8.0109785E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.823717E-4 | 9.7490085E-4 | 9.7490085E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009780403 | 0.010494427 | 0.010494427 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.478665E-6 | 5.478665E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3479783E-5 | 2.3479783E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8582895E-4 | 2.8582895E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0032508469 | 0.0032508469 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.6647797E-7 | 7.6647797E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.2849016E-6 | 3.2849016E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.999296E-5 | 3.999296E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.7228087E-4 | 4.7228087E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
White Wolf (Extension)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.222555E-6 | 6.0666557E-6 | 3.6066474E-5 | 5.945034 | 3.0E-5 | 3.5239045E-5 | 2.5999732E-5 | 9.599791E-5 | 3.6922655 | 7.0E-5 | 4.289509E-4 | 3.165074E-4 | 4.7645674E-4 | 1.5053575 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0042812387 | 0.0031612178 | 0.003420396 | 1.0819868 | 2.6E-4 |
6.1 | 8.222555E-6 | 6.0666557E-6 | 3.6066474E-5 | 5.945034 | 3.0E-5 | 3.5239045E-5 | 2.5999732E-5 | 9.599791E-5 | 3.6922655 | 7.0E-5 | 4.289509E-4 | 3.165074E-4 | 4.7645674E-4 | 1.5053575 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0042812387 | 0.0031612178 | 0.003420396 | 1.0819868 | 2.6E-4 |
6.2 | 8.222555E-6 | 6.0666557E-6 | 3.6066474E-5 | 5.945034 | 3.0E-5 | 3.5239045E-5 | 2.5999732E-5 | 9.599791E-5 | 3.6922655 | 7.0E-5 | 4.289509E-4 | 3.165074E-4 | 4.7645674E-4 | 1.5053575 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0042812387 | 0.0031612178 | 0.003420396 | 1.0819868 | 2.6E-4 |
6.3 | 8.222555E-6 | 6.0666557E-6 | 3.6066474E-5 | 5.945034 | 3.0E-5 | 3.5239045E-5 | 2.5999732E-5 | 9.599791E-5 | 3.6922655 | 7.0E-5 | 4.289509E-4 | 3.165074E-4 | 4.7645674E-4 | 1.5053575 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0042812387 | 0.0031612178 | 0.003420396 | 1.0819868 | 2.6E-4 |
6.4 | 5.821773E-6 | 3.5571516E-6 | 1.3557116E-5 | 3.811228 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4950215E-5 | 1.5244852E-5 | 5.5244243E-5 | 3.6237965 | 4.0E-5 | 3.0372653E-4 | 1.8559136E-4 | 2.7557465E-4 | 1.4848464 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0030331176 | 0.0018544721 | 0.001984231 | 1.0699708 | 1.3E-4 |
6.5 | 5.766023E-6 | 3.4990853E-6 | 1.34990505E-5 | 3.8578796 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4711293E-5 | 1.4996E-5 | 5.49954E-5 | 3.667338 | 4.0E-5 | 3.0081844E-4 | 1.825621E-4 | 2.7254567E-4 | 1.492893 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0030041158 | 0.0018242294 | 0.0019539923 | 1.071133 | 1.3E-4 |
6.6 | 4.643576E-6 | 2.3325927E-6 | 2.3325927E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9900888E-5 | 9.99679E-6 | 2.999659E-5 | 3.0006223 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4226638E-4 | 1.2170455E-4 | 1.7169847E-4 | 1.410781 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0024200242 | 0.0012164214 | 0.0012763485 | 1.049265 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.9529173E-6 | 1.6483134E-6 | 1.6483134E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6940963E-5 | 7.0641822E-6 | 2.7064041E-5 | 3.831164 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0623671E-4 | 8.6003216E-5 | 1.3599891E-4 | 1.5813236 | 5.0E-5 | 0.002060454 | 8.5971784E-4 | 9.1966626E-4 | 1.0697303 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.4377522E-6 | 1.2244896E-6 | 1.2244896E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.473314E-5 | 5.247802E-6 | 2.5247697E-5 | 4.811099 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7936122E-4 | 6.389021E-5 | 1.1388702E-4 | 1.7825425 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0017921652 | 6.3872756E-4 | 6.9868925E-4 | 1.0938767 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.1367306E-6 | 1.0033432E-6 | 1.0033432E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3443062E-5 | 4.300036E-6 | 2.429995E-5 | 5.651104 | 2.0E-5 | 1.63657E-4 | 5.2351756E-5 | 1.02349135E-4 | 1.9550278 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0016353652 | 5.234019E-4 | 5.8337045E-4 | 1.1145747 | 6.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.8298145E-6 | 7.4283355E-7 | 7.4283355E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2127721E-5 | 3.1835689E-6 | 2.3183506E-5 | 7.282238 | 2.0E-5 | 1.47645E-4 | 3.875931E-5 | 7.875776E-5 | 2.03197 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0014754693 | 3.875305E-4 | 4.3751113E-4 | 1.128972 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.4091064E-6 | 5.422472E-7 | 5.422472E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.03247E-5 | 2.323915E-6 | 2.2323868E-5 | 9.606147 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2569598E-4 | 2.8293338E-5 | 6.8292204E-5 | 2.4137204 | 4.0E-5 | 0.001256249 | 2.829014E-4 | 3.228901E-4 | 1.141352 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.3875518E-6 | 1.074062E-7 | 1.074062E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9466374E-6 | 4.603122E-7 | 4.603122E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.23979E-5 | 5.604288E-6 | 1.5604232E-5 | 2.784338 | 1.0E-5 | 7.2374323E-4 | 5.604158E-5 | 6.604102E-5 | 1.1784289 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.056077E-7 | 5.0005806E-8 | 5.0005806E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0240296E-6 | 2.1431059E-7 | 2.1431059E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.681694E-5 | 2.6092287E-6 | 2.6092287E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.681084E-4 | 2.6092028E-5 | 2.6092028E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.9334678E-8 | 4.8638475E-9 | 4.8638475E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5429145E-7 | 2.084506E-8 | 2.084506E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.095994E-6 | 2.5378858E-7 | 2.5378858E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.095951E-5 | 2.5378843E-6 | 2.5378843E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Carrizo) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4333803E-4 | 2.533356E-4 | 1.0410851 | 1.0E-5 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010424621 | 0.0010724309 | 1.028748 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006073493 | 0.012618599 | 0.012756833 | 1.0109547 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0591016 | 0.12066075 | 0.12088058 | 1.0018219 | 2.5E-4 |
6.1 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4333803E-4 | 2.533356E-4 | 1.0410851 | 1.0E-5 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010424621 | 0.0010724309 | 1.028748 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006073493 | 0.012618599 | 0.012756833 | 1.0109547 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0591016 | 0.12066075 | 0.12088058 | 1.0018219 | 2.5E-4 |
6.2 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4333803E-4 | 2.533356E-4 | 1.0410851 | 1.0E-5 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010424621 | 0.0010724309 | 1.028748 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006073493 | 0.012618599 | 0.012756833 | 1.0109547 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0591016 | 0.12066075 | 0.12088058 | 1.0018219 | 2.5E-4 |
6.3 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4333803E-4 | 2.533356E-4 | 1.0410851 | 1.0E-5 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010424621 | 0.0010724309 | 1.028748 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006073493 | 0.012618599 | 0.012756833 | 1.0109547 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0591016 | 0.12066075 | 0.12088058 | 1.0018219 | 2.5E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4333803E-4 | 2.533356E-4 | 1.0410851 | 1.0E-5 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010424621 | 0.0010724309 | 1.028748 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006073493 | 0.012618599 | 0.012756833 | 1.0109547 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0591016 | 0.12066075 | 0.12088058 | 1.0018219 | 2.5E-4 |
6.5 | 1.13136164E-4 | 2.3653745E-4 | 2.4653508E-4 | 1.0422666 | 1.0E-5 | 4.847792E-4 | 0.0010133396 | 0.0010433092 | 1.0295751 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0058862255 | 0.012268067 | 0.01240635 | 1.0112717 | 1.4E-4 | 0.057327334 | 0.11763024 | 0.11785084 | 1.0018753 | 2.5E-4 |
6.6 | 1.13136164E-4 | 2.3653745E-4 | 2.4653508E-4 | 1.0422666 | 1.0E-5 | 4.847792E-4 | 0.0010133396 | 0.0010433092 | 1.0295751 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0058862255 | 0.012268067 | 0.01240635 | 1.0112717 | 1.4E-4 | 0.057327334 | 0.11763024 | 0.11785084 | 1.0018753 | 2.5E-4 |
6.7 | 1.1149675E-4 | 2.334492E-4 | 2.4344686E-4 | 1.0428258 | 1.0E-5 | 4.777557E-4 | 0.0010001145 | 0.0010300844 | 1.0299666 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0058011734 | 0.012108848 | 0.012247154 | 1.0114218 | 1.4E-4 | 0.05652051 | 0.11625791 | 0.11647885 | 1.0019004 | 2.5E-4 |
6.8 | 1.1103589E-4 | 2.324707E-4 | 2.4246838E-4 | 1.0430062 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7578133E-4 | 9.959241E-4 | 0.0010258942 | 1.0300928 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005777263 | 0.012058397 | 0.0121967085 | 1.0114702 | 1.4E-4 | 0.056293584 | 0.11581856 | 0.11603961 | 1.0019085 | 2.5E-4 |
6.9 | 1.1053259E-4 | 2.3139441E-4 | 2.413921E-4 | 1.0432062 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7362508E-4 | 9.91315E-4 | 0.0010212852 | 1.0302328 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0057511497 | 0.0120029 | 0.01213134 | 1.0107007 | 1.3E-4 | 0.05604569 | 0.115334466 | 0.115546785 | 1.001841 | 2.4E-4 |
7.0 | 1.1005377E-4 | 2.304026E-4 | 2.4040029E-4 | 1.0433923 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7157376E-4 | 9.870676E-4 | 0.0010170379 | 1.0303631 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0057263062 | 0.011951757 | 0.012080203 | 1.0107471 | 1.3E-4 | 0.055809796 | 0.1148876 | 0.11510003 | 1.001849 | 2.4E-4 |
7.1 | 1.0308142E-4 | 2.154949E-4 | 2.2549275E-4 | 1.0463948 | 1.0E-5 | 4.417027E-4 | 9.2322374E-4 | 9.53196E-4 | 1.0324649 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0053644776 | 0.011182634 | 0.011301292 | 1.0106109 | 1.2E-4 | 0.052368138 | 0.10815858 | 0.108354785 | 1.001814 | 2.2E-4 |
7.2 | 1.0027479E-4 | 2.0957364E-4 | 2.1957155E-4 | 1.0477059 | 1.0E-5 | 4.296783E-4 | 8.978646E-4 | 9.278376E-4 | 1.0333827 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0052187922 | 0.010877009 | 0.010995703 | 1.0109124 | 1.2E-4 | 0.050979212 | 0.10545821 | 0.10565501 | 1.0018661 | 2.2E-4 |
7.3 | 9.816942E-5 | 2.0432367E-4 | 2.1432164E-4 | 1.048932 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2065824E-4 | 8.7538E-4 | 9.0535375E-4 | 1.0342408 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005109493 | 0.0106059555 | 0.010724683 | 1.0111943 | 1.2E-4 | 0.049935985 | 0.10304579 | 0.10324313 | 1.001915 | 2.2E-4 |
7.4 | 9.5634205E-5 | 1.980169E-4 | 2.0801491E-4 | 1.0504907 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0979648E-4 | 8.4836874E-4 | 8.783433E-4 | 1.035332 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0049778637 | 0.010280236 | 0.010399002 | 1.0115529 | 1.2E-4 | 0.048678253 | 0.100126535 | 0.10031551 | 1.0018873 | 2.1E-4 |
7.5 | 8.052417E-5 | 1.612143E-4 | 1.7121268E-4 | 1.0620192 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4505792E-4 | 6.9073564E-4 | 7.207149E-4 | 1.043402 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0041929903 | 0.00837736 | 0.008496355 | 1.0142043 | 1.2E-4 | 0.04114753 | 0.08285146 | 0.08304407 | 1.0023247 | 2.1E-4 |
7.6 | 7.897024E-5 | 1.5774513E-4 | 1.6774356E-4 | 1.0633833 | 1.0E-5 | 3.384E-4 | 6.758756E-4 | 7.058553E-4 | 1.0443568 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0041122385 | 0.008197814 | 0.008316831 | 1.014518 | 1.2E-4 | 0.040369697 | 0.08119292 | 0.081385866 | 1.0023764 | 2.1E-4 |
7.7 | 6.707427E-5 | 1.3283793E-4 | 1.4283661E-4 | 1.0752697 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8742946E-4 | 5.691813E-4 | 5.9916417E-4 | 1.0526773 | 3.0E-5 | 0.003493839 | 0.0069077956 | 0.0070269667 | 1.0172517 | 1.2E-4 | 0.034394164 | 0.069081694 | 0.06924926 | 1.0024256 | 1.8E-4 |
7.8 | 6.147705E-5 | 1.2204444E-4 | 1.3204322E-4 | 1.0819274 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6344648E-4 | 5.229428E-4 | 5.529271E-4 | 1.0573376 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0032027436 | 0.0063482667 | 0.0064575686 | 1.0172175 | 1.1E-4 | 0.031569764 | 0.06354592 | 0.06370512 | 1.0025052 | 1.7E-4 |
7.9 | 4.7636717E-5 | 8.8847315E-5 | 9.884642E-5 | 1.1125426 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0414138E-4 | 3.8071864E-4 | 3.9071482E-4 | 1.0262561 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024825884 | 0.0046254057 | 0.004685128 | 1.0129118 | 6.0E-5 | 0.024550365 | 0.046651114 | 0.04671785 | 1.0014305 | 7.0E-5 |
8.0 | 3.3554235E-5 | 5.216579E-5 | 5.216579E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4379594E-4 | 2.2354853E-4 | 2.2354853E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017493097 | 0.002718308 | 0.0027282808 | 1.0036688 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017356034 | 0.027894866 | 0.027904587 | 1.0003484 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.9175432E-5 | 1.9196985E-5 | 1.9196985E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.217783E-5 | 8.22702E-5 | 8.22702E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010000558 | 0.00100118 | 0.00100118 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009955673 | 0.010764282 | 0.010764282 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.478665E-6 | 5.478665E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3479783E-5 | 2.3479783E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8582895E-4 | 2.8582895E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0032508469 | 0.0032508469 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.6647797E-7 | 7.6647797E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.2849016E-6 | 3.2849016E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.999296E-5 | 3.999296E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.7228087E-4 | 4.7228087E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Red Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.258278E-6 | 8.551305E-6 | 4.8550963E-5 | 5.6776085 | 4.0E-5 | 3.539214E-5 | 3.6648038E-5 | 1.0664547E-4 | 2.9099915 | 7.0E-5 | 4.308141E-4 | 4.4611638E-4 | 5.660628E-4 | 1.2688681 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0042997985 | 0.004453966 | 0.0046829414 | 1.0514094 | 2.3E-4 |
6.1 | 3.649988E-6 | 3.7753332E-6 | 1.3775296E-5 | 3.6487627 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5642712E-5 | 1.6179927E-5 | 3.61796E-5 | 2.2360797 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9043336E-4 | 1.9697756E-4 | 2.3696967E-4 | 1.2030288 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0019027026 | 0.001968497 | 0.0020383592 | 1.0354902 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.649988E-6 | 3.7753332E-6 | 1.3775296E-5 | 3.6487627 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5642712E-5 | 1.6179927E-5 | 3.61796E-5 | 2.2360797 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9043336E-4 | 1.9697756E-4 | 2.3696967E-4 | 1.2030288 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0019027026 | 0.001968497 | 0.0020383592 | 1.0354902 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3924937E-6 | 1.4411233E-6 | 1.1441109E-5 | 7.9390216 | 1.0E-5 | 5.9678164E-6 | 6.176236E-6 | 2.6176112E-5 | 4.2381983 | 2.0E-5 | 7.265574E-5 | 7.51945E-5 | 1.0519224E-4 | 1.3989354 | 3.0E-5 | 7.263199E-4 | 7.518293E-4 | 7.917992E-4 | 1.0531635 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.3924937E-6 | 1.4411233E-6 | 1.1441109E-5 | 7.9390216 | 1.0E-5 | 5.9678164E-6 | 6.176236E-6 | 2.6176112E-5 | 4.2381983 | 2.0E-5 | 7.265574E-5 | 7.51945E-5 | 1.0519224E-4 | 1.3989354 | 3.0E-5 | 7.263199E-4 | 7.518293E-4 | 7.917992E-4 | 1.0531635 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.876812E-7 | 1.022196E-6 | 1.022196E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2329125E-6 | 4.38084E-6 | 4.38084E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.153449E-5 | 5.3336724E-5 | 6.333619E-5 | 1.1874781 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1522546E-4 | 5.333672E-4 | 5.533566E-4 | 1.0374776 | 2.0E-5 |
Sierra Nevada (No Extension)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.9763464E-6 | 1.6976277E-5 | 2.433405 | 1.0E-5 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.9898487E-5 | 6.9897294E-5 | 2.3378203 | 4.0E-5 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6398912E-4 | 4.8394545E-4 | 1.3295602 | 1.2E-4 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036374456 | 0.003866609 | 1.0630012 | 2.3E-4 |
6.1 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.9763464E-6 | 1.6976277E-5 | 2.433405 | 1.0E-5 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.9898487E-5 | 6.9897294E-5 | 2.3378203 | 4.0E-5 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6398912E-4 | 4.8394545E-4 | 1.3295602 | 1.2E-4 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036374456 | 0.003866609 | 1.0630012 | 2.3E-4 |
6.2 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.9763464E-6 | 1.6976277E-5 | 2.433405 | 1.0E-5 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.9898487E-5 | 6.9897294E-5 | 2.3378203 | 4.0E-5 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6398912E-4 | 4.8394545E-4 | 1.3295602 | 1.2E-4 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036374456 | 0.003866609 | 1.0630012 | 2.3E-4 |
6.3 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.9763464E-6 | 1.6976277E-5 | 2.433405 | 1.0E-5 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.9898487E-5 | 6.9897294E-5 | 2.3378203 | 4.0E-5 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6398912E-4 | 4.8394545E-4 | 1.3295602 | 1.2E-4 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036374456 | 0.003866609 | 1.0630012 | 2.3E-4 |
6.4 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.9763464E-6 | 1.6976277E-5 | 2.433405 | 1.0E-5 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.9898487E-5 | 6.9897294E-5 | 2.3378203 | 4.0E-5 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6398912E-4 | 4.8394545E-4 | 1.3295602 | 1.2E-4 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036374456 | 0.003866609 | 1.0630012 | 2.3E-4 |
6.5 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.9763464E-6 | 1.6976277E-5 | 2.433405 | 1.0E-5 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.9898487E-5 | 6.9897294E-5 | 2.3378203 | 4.0E-5 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6398912E-4 | 4.8394545E-4 | 1.3295602 | 1.2E-4 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036374456 | 0.003866609 | 1.0630012 | 2.3E-4 |
6.6 | 2.653E-6 | 1.6148447E-6 | 1.16148285E-5 | 7.1925364 | 1.0E-5 | 1.136995E-5 | 6.9207445E-6 | 4.6920468E-5 | 6.779685 | 4.0E-5 | 1.3842035E-4 | 8.425684E-5 | 1.9424758E-4 | 2.305422 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0013833415 | 8.422524E-4 | 0.0010221008 | 1.2135327 | 1.8E-4 |
6.7 | 2.5902466E-6 | 1.5501779E-6 | 1.15501625E-5 | 7.4508624 | 1.0E-5 | 1.11010095E-5 | 6.643603E-6 | 4.6643338E-5 | 7.0207896 | 4.0E-5 | 1.351464E-4 | 8.088289E-5 | 1.90874E-4 | 2.359881 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0013506424 | 8.0853753E-4 | 9.88392E-4 | 1.2224442 | 1.8E-4 |
6.8 | 2.5853892E-6 | 1.5469781E-6 | 1.1546963E-5 | 7.4642057 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1080193E-5 | 6.6298894E-6 | 4.6629626E-5 | 7.033243 | 4.0E-5 | 1.34893E-4 | 8.0715945E-5 | 1.9070707E-4 | 2.3626938 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0013481114 | 8.0686924E-4 | 9.86724E-4 | 1.2229044 | 1.8E-4 |
6.9 | 2.458257E-6 | 1.4220519E-6 | 1.14220375E-5 | 8.032083 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0535345E-5 | 6.094494E-6 | 3.6094312E-5 | 5.922446 | 3.0E-5 | 1.2826028E-4 | 7.419796E-5 | 1.7419054E-4 | 2.347646 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0012818627 | 7.417338E-4 | 9.116077E-4 | 1.2290227 | 1.7E-4 |
7.0 | 2.4341468E-6 | 1.3990157E-6 | 1.1399002E-5 | 8.147873 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0432016E-5 | 5.995768E-6 | 3.599559E-5 | 6.0034995 | 3.0E-5 | 1.270024E-4 | 7.2996045E-5 | 1.7298874E-4 | 2.3698373 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0012692984 | 7.297226E-4 | 8.995985E-4 | 1.2327952 | 1.7E-4 |
7.1 | 2.3652476E-6 | 1.3339652E-6 | 1.1333952E-5 | 8.496438 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0136736E-5 | 5.716981E-6 | 3.571681E-5 | 6.2474947 | 3.0E-5 | 1.2340778E-4 | 6.9602036E-5 | 1.6959508E-4 | 2.4366395 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0012333926 | 6.958041E-4 | 8.656858E-4 | 1.2441516 | 1.7E-4 |
7.2 | 2.272158E-6 | 1.2502717E-6 | 1.1250259E-5 | 8.998252 | 1.0E-5 | 9.737784E-6 | 5.358296E-6 | 3.5358134E-5 | 6.5987644 | 3.0E-5 | 1.1855107E-4 | 6.523532E-5 | 1.6522879E-4 | 2.5328119 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0011848784 | 6.521632E-4 | 8.220523E-4 | 1.2605009 | 1.7E-4 |
7.3 | 2.1382127E-6 | 1.1419595E-6 | 1.1141949E-5 | 9.756867 | 1.0E-5 | 9.163737E-6 | 4.8941033E-6 | 3.4893957E-5 | 7.129796 | 3.0E-5 | 1.1156279E-4 | 5.9584087E-5 | 1.5957814E-4 | 2.6782005 | 1.0E-4 | 0.001115068 | 5.956823E-4 | 7.55587E-4 | 1.2684395 | 1.6E-4 |
7.4 | 1.9048055E-6 | 9.57513E-7 | 1.0957503E-5 | 11.443713 | 1.0E-5 | 8.163426E-6 | 4.1036205E-6 | 2.4103538E-5 | 5.8737254 | 2.0E-5 | 9.9385186E-5 | 4.996044E-5 | 1.3995594E-4 | 2.8013353 | 9.0E-5 | 9.934074E-4 | 4.9949274E-4 | 6.494178E-4 | 1.3001547 | 1.5E-4 |
7.5 | 1.5373403E-6 | 7.559938E-7 | 7.559938E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5885843E-6 | 3.2399694E-6 | 1.3239937E-5 | 4.0864387 | 1.0E-5 | 8.021306E-5 | 3.944592E-5 | 8.944394E-5 | 2.2675083 | 5.0E-5 | 8.0184115E-4 | 3.9438964E-4 | 5.043463E-4 | 1.278802 | 1.1E-4 |
7.6 | 1.0680322E-6 | 4.6595343E-7 | 4.6595343E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.577273E-6 | 1.9969418E-6 | 1.1996922E-5 | 6.007647 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5726876E-5 | 2.4312498E-5 | 4.431201E-5 | 1.8226022 | 2.0E-5 | 5.5712904E-4 | 2.4309864E-4 | 3.0308406E-4 | 1.2467533 | 6.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.509146E-7 | 1.5579108E-7 | 1.5579108E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3610605E-6 | 6.676759E-7 | 1.0667669E-5 | 15.977316 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8745531E-5 | 8.128925E-6 | 1.8128843E-5 | 2.230165 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8741814E-4 | 8.1286395E-5 | 9.128558E-5 | 1.1230118 | 1.0E-5 |
Scodie Lineament
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.2919327E-6 | 3.0133451E-6 | 1.3013315E-5 | 4.318561 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4108206E-5 | 1.2914291E-5 | 6.291364E-5 | 4.87163 | 5.0E-5 | 1.7175387E-4 | 1.5722332E-4 | 2.972013E-4 | 1.8903131 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0017162118 | 0.0015714325 | 0.0018110554 | 1.1524869 | 2.4E-4 |
6.1 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.5490476E-6 | 1.1549032E-5 | 7.4555697 | 1.0E-5 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.6387615E-6 | 4.6638495E-5 | 7.0251803 | 4.0E-5 | 9.738045E-5 | 8.082442E-5 | 1.5081876E-4 | 1.866005 | 7.0E-5 | 9.7337784E-4 | 8.0799905E-4 | 8.9792634E-4 | 1.1112963 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.5490476E-6 | 1.1549032E-5 | 7.4555697 | 1.0E-5 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.6387615E-6 | 4.6638495E-5 | 7.0251803 | 4.0E-5 | 9.738045E-5 | 8.082442E-5 | 1.5081876E-4 | 1.866005 | 7.0E-5 | 9.7337784E-4 | 8.0799905E-4 | 8.9792634E-4 | 1.1112963 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.5490476E-6 | 1.1549032E-5 | 7.4555697 | 1.0E-5 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.6387615E-6 | 4.6638495E-5 | 7.0251803 | 4.0E-5 | 9.738045E-5 | 8.082442E-5 | 1.5081876E-4 | 1.866005 | 7.0E-5 | 9.7337784E-4 | 8.0799905E-4 | 8.9792634E-4 | 1.1112963 | 9.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.5490476E-6 | 1.1549032E-5 | 7.4555697 | 1.0E-5 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.6387615E-6 | 4.6638495E-5 | 7.0251803 | 4.0E-5 | 9.738045E-5 | 8.082442E-5 | 1.5081876E-4 | 1.866005 | 7.0E-5 | 9.7337784E-4 | 8.0799905E-4 | 8.9792634E-4 | 1.1112963 | 9.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.8106311E-6 | 1.4909813E-6 | 1.1490966E-5 | 7.706982 | 1.0E-5 | 7.759824E-6 | 6.389907E-6 | 4.638965E-5 | 7.259832 | 4.0E-5 | 9.447177E-5 | 7.779484E-5 | 1.477894E-4 | 1.8997327 | 7.0E-5 | 9.4431615E-4 | 7.777247E-4 | 8.676547E-4 | 1.1156322 | 9.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.2414679E-6 | 8.997501E-7 | 8.997501E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.320566E-6 | 3.8560665E-6 | 2.385599E-5 | 6.1866126 | 2.0E-5 | 6.477596E-5 | 4.6946687E-5 | 7.694528E-5 | 1.6389928 | 3.0E-5 | 6.475708E-4 | 4.6937633E-4 | 4.9936224E-4 | 1.0638846 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.1062215E-6 | 7.594247E-7 | 7.594247E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7409408E-6 | 3.2546736E-6 | 2.3254608E-5 | 7.1449895 | 2.0E-5 | 5.7719422E-5 | 3.9625003E-5 | 6.962381E-5 | 1.7570677 | 3.0E-5 | 5.770443E-4 | 3.9618637E-4 | 4.2617446E-4 | 1.0756919 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0006736E-6 | 6.5003275E-7 | 6.5003275E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.288594E-6 | 2.785852E-6 | 2.2785796E-5 | 8.179112 | 2.0E-5 | 5.221238E-5 | 3.3917284E-5 | 6.391627E-5 | 1.8844749 | 3.0E-5 | 5.220012E-4 | 3.3912715E-4 | 3.6911695E-4 | 1.0884324 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.167364E-7 | 5.6315514E-7 | 5.6315514E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9288643E-6 | 2.4135202E-6 | 2.2413471E-5 | 9.286632 | 2.0E-5 | 4.7832873E-5 | 2.938427E-5 | 5.9383387E-5 | 2.0209243 | 3.0E-5 | 4.782258E-4 | 2.938095E-4 | 3.238007E-4 | 1.102077 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.6987664E-7 | 4.113303E-7 | 4.113303E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2994672E-6 | 1.7628431E-6 | 2.1762808E-5 | 12.345289 | 2.0E-5 | 4.0170275E-5 | 2.1462443E-5 | 4.1462015E-5 | 1.9318403 | 2.0E-5 | 4.0163012E-4 | 2.1460756E-4 | 2.3460327E-4 | 1.0931734 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.1038727E-7 | 3.521066E-7 | 3.521066E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0445133E-6 | 1.5090276E-6 | 2.1508997E-5 | 14.253548 | 2.0E-5 | 3.706632E-5 | 1.8372291E-5 | 3.8371923E-5 | 2.0885758 | 2.0E-5 | 3.7060137E-4 | 1.8371122E-4 | 2.0370755E-4 | 1.1088465 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.0799602E-7 | 3.1178946E-8 | 3.1178946E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.914113E-7 | 1.3362404E-7 | 1.3362404E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0852878E-5 | 1.6268716E-6 | 1.6268716E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.08523476E-4 | 1.6268605E-5 | 1.6268605E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.5048182E-7 | 1.5939344E-8 | 1.5939344E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.449219E-7 | 6.831147E-8 | 6.831147E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.851896E-6 | 8.316919E-7 | 8.316919E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.851618E-5 | 8.316891E-6 | 8.316891E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.9334678E-8 | 4.8638475E-9 | 4.8638475E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5429145E-7 | 2.084506E-8 | 2.084506E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.095994E-6 | 2.5378858E-7 | 2.5378858E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.095951E-5 | 2.5378843E-6 | 2.5378843E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Manix-Afton Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.3783202E-5 | 1.4711221E-5 | 4.471078E-5 | 3.0392296 | 3.0E-5 | 5.906953E-5 | 6.304667E-5 | 1.1304351E-4 | 1.7930133 | 5.0E-5 | 7.189342E-4 | 7.673403E-4 | 9.372099E-4 | 1.2213745 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0071661277 | 0.007648664 | 0.007876905 | 1.0298406 | 2.3E-4 |
6.1 | 1.3783202E-5 | 1.4711221E-5 | 4.471078E-5 | 3.0392296 | 3.0E-5 | 5.906953E-5 | 6.304667E-5 | 1.1304351E-4 | 1.7930133 | 5.0E-5 | 7.189342E-4 | 7.673403E-4 | 9.372099E-4 | 1.2213745 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0071661277 | 0.007648664 | 0.007876905 | 1.0298406 | 2.3E-4 |
6.2 | 1.3783202E-5 | 1.4711221E-5 | 4.471078E-5 | 3.0392296 | 3.0E-5 | 5.906953E-5 | 6.304667E-5 | 1.1304351E-4 | 1.7930133 | 5.0E-5 | 7.189342E-4 | 7.673403E-4 | 9.372099E-4 | 1.2213745 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0071661277 | 0.007648664 | 0.007876905 | 1.0298406 | 2.3E-4 |
6.3 | 1.10494875E-5 | 1.1793241E-5 | 3.1793006E-5 | 2.6958666 | 2.0E-5 | 4.7354086E-5 | 5.054154E-5 | 8.054003E-5 | 1.5935411 | 3.0E-5 | 5.763835E-4 | 6.151799E-4 | 7.3510606E-4 | 1.1949449 | 1.2E-4 | 0.005748908 | 0.00613581 | 0.0062948284 | 1.0259165 | 1.6E-4 |
6.4 | 1.10494875E-5 | 1.1793241E-5 | 3.1793006E-5 | 2.6958666 | 2.0E-5 | 4.7354086E-5 | 5.054154E-5 | 8.054003E-5 | 1.5935411 | 3.0E-5 | 5.763835E-4 | 6.151799E-4 | 7.3510606E-4 | 1.1949449 | 1.2E-4 | 0.005748908 | 0.00613581 | 0.0062948284 | 1.0259165 | 1.6E-4 |
6.5 | 9.788949E-6 | 1.0454414E-5 | 2.045431E-5 | 1.9565238 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1951964E-5 | 4.4803914E-5 | 6.480302E-5 | 1.4463695 | 2.0E-5 | 5.1064545E-4 | 5.4536044E-4 | 6.453059E-4 | 1.183265 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0050947363 | 0.005441148 | 0.00557044 | 1.023762 | 1.3E-4 |
6.6 | 8.810006E-6 | 9.413714E-6 | 1.941362E-5 | 2.06227 | 1.0E-5 | 3.775662E-5 | 4.0343915E-5 | 6.0343107E-5 | 1.4957178 | 2.0E-5 | 4.5958988E-4 | 4.9108535E-4 | 5.8104115E-4 | 1.1831776 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0045864056 | 0.004900884 | 0.0050202957 | 1.0243654 | 1.2E-4 |
6.7 | 8.80128E-6 | 9.404193E-6 | 1.94041E-5 | 2.0633454 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7719226E-5 | 4.0303115E-5 | 6.0302307E-5 | 1.4962195 | 2.0E-5 | 4.591348E-4 | 4.9058883E-4 | 5.805447E-4 | 1.183363 | 9.0E-5 | 0.004581874 | 0.0048959404 | 0.0050153527 | 1.0243901 | 1.2E-4 |
6.8 | 6.8994877E-6 | 7.3801443E-6 | 7.3801443E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9568899E-5 | 3.1628853E-5 | 4.1628537E-5 | 1.316157 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5994186E-4 | 3.850214E-4 | 4.449983E-4 | 1.1557755 | 6.0E-5 | 0.003593594 | 0.0038443485 | 0.003924041 | 1.0207298 | 8.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.9328037E-6 | 5.2710093E-6 | 5.2710093E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1140417E-5 | 2.258988E-5 | 3.2589654E-5 | 1.442666 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5735417E-4 | 2.7500323E-4 | 2.9499774E-4 | 1.0727065 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0025705635 | 0.0027472344 | 0.0027871246 | 1.01452 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.347973E-6 | 3.5900646E-6 | 3.5900646E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4348378E-5 | 1.5385924E-5 | 1.5385924E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.746775E-4 | 1.8731161E-4 | 1.9730974E-4 | 1.0533769 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017454025 | 0.00187194 | 0.0018919025 | 1.0106641 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.2073567E-6 | 1.2934943E-6 | 1.2934943E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1743755E-6 | 5.5435444E-6 | 5.5435444E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.29962E-5 | 6.74922E-5 | 6.74922E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.297835E-4 | 6.7487714E-4 | 6.7487714E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Ludlow
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2407607E-5 | 2.3657429E-5 | 3.3657194E-5 | 1.4226902 | 1.0E-5 | 9.602906E-5 | 1.0138529E-4 | 1.3138224E-4 | 1.2958709 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011685267 | 0.001233711 | 0.0013236001 | 1.0728606 | 9.0E-5 | 0.011624013 | 0.012273132 | 0.012480555 | 1.0169005 | 2.1E-4 |
6.1 | 2.2407607E-5 | 2.3657429E-5 | 3.3657194E-5 | 1.4226902 | 1.0E-5 | 9.602906E-5 | 1.0138529E-4 | 1.3138224E-4 | 1.2958709 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011685267 | 0.001233711 | 0.0013236001 | 1.0728606 | 9.0E-5 | 0.011624013 | 0.012273132 | 0.012480555 | 1.0169005 | 2.1E-4 |
6.2 | 1.0781252E-5 | 1.1365745E-5 | 1.1365745E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.620455E-5 | 4.870945E-5 | 5.8708963E-5 | 1.205289 | 1.0E-5 | 5.623952E-4 | 5.9288024E-4 | 6.1286835E-4 | 1.0337136 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00560974 | 0.005913404 | 0.00598299 | 1.0117675 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.0781252E-5 | 1.1365745E-5 | 1.1365745E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.620455E-5 | 4.870945E-5 | 5.8708963E-5 | 1.205289 | 1.0E-5 | 5.623952E-4 | 5.9288024E-4 | 6.1286835E-4 | 1.0337136 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00560974 | 0.005913404 | 0.00598299 | 1.0117675 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.814439E-6 | 8.237788E-6 | 8.237788E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3490025E-5 | 3.5304336E-5 | 4.5303983E-5 | 1.2832413 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0766477E-4 | 4.2974693E-4 | 4.4973832E-4 | 1.046519 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0040691774 | 0.0042893053 | 0.004339091 | 1.0116069 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.4986366E-6 | 6.850969E-6 | 6.850969E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7851002E-5 | 2.936097E-5 | 2.936097E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.390332E-4 | 3.574121E-4 | 3.6740853E-4 | 1.0279689 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003385164 | 0.0035684688 | 0.0036083262 | 1.0111693 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.582177E-6 | 5.8860483E-6 | 5.8860483E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3923398E-5 | 2.522568E-5 | 2.522568E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9122844E-4 | 3.070801E-4 | 3.070801E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029084706 | 0.003066631 | 0.003096539 | 1.0097528 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.6858763E-6 | 4.940463E-6 | 4.940463E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0082172E-5 | 2.1173244E-5 | 2.1173244E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4447302E-4 | 2.577543E-4 | 2.577543E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024420423 | 0.0025746098 | 0.0026045325 | 1.0116223 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.5584908E-6 | 3.7520454E-6 | 3.7520454E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5250586E-5 | 1.6080097E-5 | 1.6080097E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8566006E-4 | 1.9575801E-4 | 1.9575801E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018550502 | 0.0019558968 | 0.0019858382 | 1.0153083 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.532834E-6 | 2.6710227E-6 | 2.6710227E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0854958E-5 | 1.1447192E-5 | 1.1447192E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3215111E-4 | 1.3936093E-4 | 1.3936093E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013207254 | 0.0013927629 | 0.0014227212 | 1.0215099 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.7083285E-6 | 1.801957E-6 | 1.801957E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3213873E-6 | 7.7226505E-6 | 7.7226505E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.913424E-5 | 9.4019386E-5 | 9.4019386E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9098496E-4 | 9.3981257E-4 | 9.597938E-4 | 1.0212609 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0905424E-6 | 1.1497702E-6 | 1.1497702E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6737446E-6 | 4.927578E-6 | 4.927578E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6901354E-5 | 5.999171E-5 | 5.999171E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6886784E-4 | 5.997649E-4 | 6.197529E-4 | 1.0333264 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.06668E-7 | 6.387322E-7 | 6.387322E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.600003E-6 | 2.7374213E-6 | 2.7374213E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1654577E-5 | 3.3327666E-5 | 3.3327666E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1650066E-4 | 3.332335E-4 | 3.332335E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cady
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9892565E-5 | 2.1859016E-5 | 4.1858577E-5 | 1.9149343 | 2.0E-5 | 8.525106E-5 | 9.3678645E-5 | 1.4367395E-4 | 1.5336896 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0010374374 | 0.0011400316 | 0.0012898607 | 1.1314253 | 1.5E-4 | 0.010326075 | 0.011350849 | 0.011568352 | 1.0191618 | 2.2E-4 |
6.1 | 1.9892565E-5 | 2.1859016E-5 | 4.1858577E-5 | 1.9149343 | 2.0E-5 | 8.525106E-5 | 9.3678645E-5 | 1.4367395E-4 | 1.5336896 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0010374374 | 0.0011400316 | 0.0012898607 | 1.1314253 | 1.5E-4 | 0.010326075 | 0.011350849 | 0.011568352 | 1.0191618 | 2.2E-4 |
6.2 | 1.9892565E-5 | 2.1859016E-5 | 4.1858577E-5 | 1.9149343 | 2.0E-5 | 8.525106E-5 | 9.3678645E-5 | 1.4367395E-4 | 1.5336896 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0010374374 | 0.0011400316 | 0.0012898607 | 1.1314253 | 1.5E-4 | 0.010326075 | 0.011350849 | 0.011568352 | 1.0191618 | 2.2E-4 |
6.3 | 1.1117327E-5 | 1.2176738E-5 | 3.2176493E-5 | 2.642456 | 2.0E-5 | 4.764482E-5 | 5.218515E-5 | 8.2183586E-5 | 1.5748461 | 3.0E-5 | 5.7992124E-4 | 6.3520053E-4 | 7.2514336E-4 | 1.1415975 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0057841022 | 0.0063369554 | 0.006456195 | 1.0188166 | 1.2E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1117327E-5 | 1.2176738E-5 | 3.2176493E-5 | 2.642456 | 2.0E-5 | 4.764482E-5 | 5.218515E-5 | 8.2183586E-5 | 1.5748461 | 3.0E-5 | 5.7992124E-4 | 6.3520053E-4 | 7.2514336E-4 | 1.1415975 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0057841022 | 0.0063369554 | 0.006456195 | 1.0188166 | 1.2E-4 |
6.5 | 6.103093E-6 | 6.672103E-6 | 2.6671969E-5 | 3.9975355 | 2.0E-5 | 2.615585E-5 | 2.8594486E-5 | 5.859363E-5 | 2.0491233 | 3.0E-5 | 3.1840094E-4 | 3.4809482E-4 | 3.980774E-4 | 1.143589 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0031794512 | 0.0034767296 | 0.003536521 | 1.0171976 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.817237E-6 | 6.365738E-6 | 2.6365611E-5 | 4.1417994 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4930776E-5 | 2.728152E-5 | 5.72807E-5 | 2.0996156 | 3.0E-5 | 3.034899E-4 | 3.3211432E-4 | 3.8209773E-4 | 1.1505005 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0030307577 | 0.003317402 | 0.003377203 | 1.0180265 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.8846314E-6 | 5.3406343E-6 | 2.5340527E-5 | 4.7448535 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0933967E-5 | 2.2888298E-5 | 5.288761E-5 | 2.3106835 | 3.0E-5 | 2.5484123E-4 | 2.7864118E-4 | 3.2862724E-4 | 1.1793922 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0025454918 | 0.0027840736 | 0.0028439066 | 1.0214912 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.7788773E-6 | 1.9399313E-6 | 1.9399313E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6237375E-6 | 8.313974E-6 | 8.313974E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.281505E-5 | 1.01219506E-4 | 1.1121849E-4 | 1.0987852 | 1.0E-5 | 9.2776294E-4 | 0.0010118886 | 0.0010218786 | 1.0098726 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.5455404E-7 | 8.297202E-7 | 8.297202E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.233799E-6 | 3.5559406E-6 | 3.5559406E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.937079E-5 | 4.3293054E-5 | 4.3293054E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9363815E-4 | 4.3287914E-4 | 4.3287914E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 6.8578805E-7 | 7.541916E-7 | 7.541916E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9390883E-6 | 3.2322475E-6 | 3.2322475E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.578281E-5 | 3.9352235E-5 | 3.9352235E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.577705E-4 | 3.9348513E-4 | 3.9348513E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (San Gorgonio Pass-Garnet HIll)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.338839E-4 | 2.338839E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010019708 | 0.0010019708 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004329778 | 0.01213065 | 0.012229437 | 1.0081435 | 1.0E-4 | 0.042463828 | 0.11259771 | 0.11276632 | 1.0014974 | 1.9E-4 |
6.1 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.338839E-4 | 2.338839E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010019708 | 0.0010019708 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004329778 | 0.01213065 | 0.012229437 | 1.0081435 | 1.0E-4 | 0.042463828 | 0.11259771 | 0.11276632 | 1.0014974 | 1.9E-4 |
6.2 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.338839E-4 | 2.338839E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010019708 | 0.0010019708 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004329778 | 0.01213065 | 0.012229437 | 1.0081435 | 1.0E-4 | 0.042463828 | 0.11259771 | 0.11276632 | 1.0014974 | 1.9E-4 |
6.3 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.338839E-4 | 2.338839E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010019708 | 0.0010019708 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004329778 | 0.01213065 | 0.012229437 | 1.0081435 | 1.0E-4 | 0.042463828 | 0.11259771 | 0.11276632 | 1.0014974 | 1.9E-4 |
6.4 | 8.059055E-5 | 2.2945837E-4 | 2.2945837E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4534236E-4 | 9.830239E-4 | 9.830239E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041964394 | 0.011902837 | 0.012001647 | 1.0083014 | 1.0E-4 | 0.041180745 | 0.11057874 | 0.11074773 | 1.0015283 | 1.9E-4 |
6.5 | 8.059055E-5 | 2.2945837E-4 | 2.2945837E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4534236E-4 | 9.830239E-4 | 9.830239E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041964394 | 0.011902837 | 0.012001647 | 1.0083014 | 1.0E-4 | 0.041180745 | 0.11057874 | 0.11074773 | 1.0015283 | 1.9E-4 |
6.6 | 7.619237E-5 | 2.2190346E-4 | 2.2190346E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2649786E-4 | 9.5067057E-4 | 9.5067057E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039678677 | 0.011513535 | 0.011612384 | 1.0085855 | 1.0E-4 | 0.03897764 | 0.107115194 | 0.107284844 | 1.0015838 | 1.9E-4 |
6.7 | 7.440636E-5 | 2.1866155E-4 | 2.1866155E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.188454E-4 | 9.367866E-4 | 9.367866E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038750346 | 0.011346267 | 0.011445132 | 1.0087135 | 1.0E-4 | 0.038081564 | 0.105623715 | 0.10579365 | 1.0016088 | 1.9E-4 |
6.8 | 7.3735864E-5 | 2.1713313E-4 | 2.1713313E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1597257E-4 | 9.3024096E-4 | 9.3024096E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038401815 | 0.011267403 | 0.011366276 | 1.0087751 | 1.0E-4 | 0.03774495 | 0.10492511 | 0.10509518 | 1.0016208 | 1.9E-4 |
6.9 | 7.27575E-5 | 2.1482276E-4 | 2.1482276E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.117806E-4 | 9.203464E-4 | 9.203464E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003789323 | 0.011148175 | 0.011247061 | 1.0088701 | 1.0E-4 | 0.037253562 | 0.103873 | 0.10404327 | 1.0016391 | 1.9E-4 |
7.0 | 7.102591E-5 | 2.10663E-4 | 2.10663E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0436125E-4 | 9.0253126E-4 | 9.0253126E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003699303 | 0.010933471 | 0.011032377 | 1.0090462 | 1.0E-4 | 0.03638325 | 0.10197552 | 0.10214615 | 1.0016732 | 1.9E-4 |
7.1 | 7.028513E-5 | 2.0901936E-4 | 2.0901936E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0118722E-4 | 8.95492E-4 | 8.95492E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036607897 | 0.010848625 | 0.0109475395 | 1.0091177 | 1.0E-4 | 0.036010686 | 0.10121833 | 0.101389095 | 1.0016872 | 1.9E-4 |
7.2 | 6.8498244E-5 | 2.0509785E-4 | 2.0509785E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9353087E-4 | 8.786969E-4 | 8.786969E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003567883 | 0.010646159 | 0.010745094 | 1.0092931 | 1.0E-4 | 0.035111405 | 0.09941009 | 0.0995812 | 1.0017213 | 1.9E-4 |
7.3 | 6.622592E-5 | 1.9737013E-4 | 1.9737013E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8379448E-4 | 8.455999E-4 | 8.455999E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034497243 | 0.010247062 | 0.010346037 | 1.0096589 | 1.0E-4 | 0.033966612 | 0.09590662 | 0.0960784 | 1.0017911 | 1.9E-4 |
7.4 | 5.1050705E-5 | 1.4693316E-4 | 1.4693316E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1877038E-4 | 6.295625E-4 | 6.295625E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002660276 | 0.0076381783 | 0.0077374144 | 1.0129921 | 1.0E-4 | 0.02628654 | 0.07287833 | 0.073054485 | 1.0024171 | 1.9E-4 |
7.5 | 3.9302922E-5 | 1.1133535E-4 | 1.1133535E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6843023E-4 | 4.7706455E-4 | 4.7706455E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020487092 | 0.0057928623 | 0.005892283 | 1.0171627 | 1.0E-4 | 0.020299247 | 0.056023482 | 0.05618396 | 1.0028645 | 1.7E-4 |
7.6 | 2.9851626E-5 | 8.498211E-5 | 8.498211E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2792926E-4 | 3.6415833E-4 | 3.6415833E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015564259 | 0.00442464 | 0.0045241974 | 1.0225008 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0154556995 | 0.043206394 | 0.043369047 | 1.0037646 | 1.7E-4 |
7.7 | 2.1135214E-5 | 6.355745E-5 | 6.355745E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0576345E-5 | 2.7236066E-4 | 2.7236066E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011022091 | 0.0033109542 | 0.0034106232 | 1.0301027 | 1.0E-4 | 0.010967582 | 0.03259442 | 0.032758877 | 1.0050457 | 1.7E-4 |
7.8 | 1.883379E-5 | 5.5666103E-5 | 5.5666103E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0713755E-5 | 2.3854722E-4 | 2.3854722E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.822468E-4 | 0.0029004475 | 0.0030001574 | 1.0343775 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0097791655 | 0.02870594 | 0.02887106 | 1.0057521 | 1.7E-4 |
7.9 | 1.5156185E-5 | 4.167907E-5 | 4.167907E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.495346E-5 | 1.7861238E-4 | 1.7861238E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9052144E-4 | 0.0021724382 | 0.002272221 | 1.0459312 | 1.0E-4 | 0.007877152 | 0.021768799 | 0.021935098 | 1.0076393 | 1.7E-4 |
8.0 | 1.1405907E-5 | 2.9989498E-5 | 2.9989498E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8881542E-5 | 1.2852009E-4 | 1.2852009E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9497025E-4 | 0.00156361 | 0.0016235162 | 1.0383128 | 6.0E-5 | 0.005933798 | 0.015779829 | 0.01587825 | 1.0062371 | 1.0E-4 |
8.1 | 4.3511436E-6 | 7.3739657E-6 | 7.3739657E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8647626E-5 | 3.160233E-5 | 3.160233E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2701119E-4 | 3.8469053E-4 | 3.8469053E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022677942 | 0.0041186865 | 0.0041186865 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 2.3042528E-6 | 2.7349201E-6 | 2.7349201E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.875332E-6 | 1.1721034E-5 | 1.1721034E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2022553E-4 | 1.4269429E-4 | 1.4269429E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012016051 | 0.0015990431 | 0.0015990431 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 5.202968E-7 | 3.1619535E-7 | 3.1619535E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2298414E-6 | 1.3551223E-6 | 1.3551223E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.714798E-5 | 1.6498503E-5 | 1.6498503E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7144665E-4 | 1.9577713E-4 | 1.9577713E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (North Branch Mill Creek)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.350783E-5 | 2.350783E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.0074397E-4 | 1.0074397E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.001225871 | 0.0013656993 | 1.1140645 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012232522 | 0.012420198 | 1.0153424 | 1.9E-4 |
6.1 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.350783E-5 | 2.350783E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.0074397E-4 | 1.0074397E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.001225871 | 0.0013656993 | 1.1140645 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012232522 | 0.012420198 | 1.0153424 | 1.9E-4 |
6.2 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.350783E-5 | 2.350783E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.0074397E-4 | 1.0074397E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.001225871 | 0.0013656993 | 1.1140645 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012232522 | 0.012420198 | 1.0153424 | 1.9E-4 |
6.3 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.350783E-5 | 2.350783E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.0074397E-4 | 1.0074397E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.001225871 | 0.0013656993 | 1.1140645 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012232522 | 0.012420198 | 1.0153424 | 1.9E-4 |
6.4 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.350783E-5 | 2.350783E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.0074397E-4 | 1.0074397E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.001225871 | 0.0013656993 | 1.1140645 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012232522 | 0.012420198 | 1.0153424 | 1.9E-4 |
6.5 | 1.3450706E-5 | 2.349679E-5 | 2.349679E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.764461E-5 | 1.00696656E-4 | 1.00696656E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0159714E-4 | 0.0012252956 | 0.0013651241 | 1.1141181 | 1.4E-4 | 0.006993862 | 0.012226831 | 0.0124145085 | 1.0153496 | 1.9E-4 |
6.6 | 1.3074523E-5 | 2.3111072E-5 | 2.3111072E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6032466E-5 | 9.9043704E-5 | 9.9043704E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8198174E-4 | 0.0012051932 | 0.0013450246 | 1.1160239 | 1.4E-4 | 0.006798926 | 0.012027997 | 0.012215711 | 1.0156065 | 1.9E-4 |
6.7 | 1.3050216E-5 | 2.3086368E-5 | 2.3086368E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.59283E-5 | 9.893784E-5 | 9.893784E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8071426E-4 | 0.0012039058 | 0.0013437372 | 1.1161481 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0067863287 | 0.012015262 | 0.012202978 | 1.0156232 | 1.9E-4 |
6.8 | 1.29049395E-5 | 2.2934775E-5 | 2.2934775E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.530571E-5 | 9.8288205E-5 | 9.8288205E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.73139E-4 | 0.0011960051 | 0.0013358378 | 1.1169163 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0067110364 | 0.011937105 | 0.012124837 | 1.0157268 | 1.9E-4 |
6.9 | 1.2867369E-5 | 2.2894177E-5 | 2.2894177E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.51447E-5 | 9.811423E-5 | 9.811423E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.711799E-4 | 0.0011938893 | 0.0013337221 | 1.1171238 | 1.4E-4 | 0.006691564 | 0.011916174 | 0.01210391 | 1.0157547 | 1.9E-4 |
7.0 | 1.2495996E-5 | 2.2294238E-5 | 2.2294238E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3553173E-5 | 9.5543255E-5 | 9.5543255E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.518148E-4 | 0.0011626212 | 0.0013024585 | 1.1202775 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0064990623 | 0.011606771 | 0.011794565 | 1.0161798 | 1.9E-4 |
7.1 | 1.2452067E-5 | 2.2239308E-5 | 2.2239308E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3364907E-5 | 9.5307856E-5 | 9.5307856E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4952404E-4 | 0.0011597583 | 0.0012995959 | 1.1205748 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0064762887 | 0.01157844 | 0.01176624 | 1.0162199 | 1.9E-4 |
7.2 | 1.2002777E-5 | 2.1617801E-5 | 2.1617801E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.143946E-5 | 9.264445E-5 | 9.264445E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2609545E-4 | 0.0011273652 | 0.0012672073 | 1.1240433 | 1.4E-4 | 0.006243344 | 0.01125784 | 0.011445702 | 1.0166872 | 1.9E-4 |
7.3 | 1.1923425E-5 | 2.1487636E-5 | 2.1487636E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.109939E-5 | 9.208664E-5 | 9.208664E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.219575E-4 | 0.0011205808 | 0.0012604239 | 1.1247952 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0062021962 | 0.011190712 | 0.011378586 | 1.0167884 | 1.9E-4 |
7.4 | 1.16105175E-5 | 2.0861535E-5 | 2.0861535E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.975841E-5 | 8.9403526E-5 | 8.9403526E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0564023E-4 | 0.0010879469 | 0.0012277947 | 1.1285428 | 1.4E-4 | 0.006039923 | 0.010868174 | 0.011056109 | 1.0172923 | 1.9E-4 |
7.5 | 1.1037265E-5 | 1.9561343E-5 | 1.9561343E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7301706E-5 | 8.383165E-5 | 8.383165E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.757461E-4 | 0.0010201746 | 0.0011600318 | 1.1370914 | 1.4E-4 | 0.005742567 | 0.010198631 | 0.010386693 | 1.01844 | 1.9E-4 |
7.6 | 1.0720915E-5 | 1.9003148E-5 | 1.9003148E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5945973E-5 | 8.143953E-5 | 8.143953E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.592486E-4 | 9.910774E-4 | 0.0011309386 | 1.1411204 | 1.4E-4 | 0.005578433 | 0.009910301 | 0.010098418 | 1.0189819 | 1.9E-4 |
7.7 | 9.276279E-6 | 1.6448577E-5 | 1.6448577E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9754876E-5 | 7.0492E-5 | 7.0492E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.839081E-4 | 8.579039E-4 | 9.977837E-4 | 1.1630484 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0048285574 | 0.008589426 | 0.008777794 | 1.0219302 | 1.9E-4 |
7.8 | 5.8346777E-6 | 1.1160578E-5 | 1.1160578E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5005522E-5 | 4.783017E-5 | 4.783017E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.043997E-4 | 5.8217684E-4 | 7.121012E-4 | 1.2231698 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0030398308 | 0.0058496357 | 0.006028583 | 1.0305911 | 1.8E-4 |
7.9 | 4.690204E-6 | 8.513636E-6 | 8.513636E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0100719E-5 | 3.64865E-5 | 3.64865E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4469878E-4 | 4.4413272E-4 | 5.6407944E-4 | 1.2700695 | 1.2E-4 | 0.002444295 | 0.004473071 | 0.0046423106 | 1.0378352 | 1.7E-4 |
8.0 | 2.9570454E-6 | 4.8496286E-6 | 4.8496286E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.267299E-5 | 2.0783957E-5 | 2.0783957E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5428272E-4 | 2.530153E-4 | 3.030027E-4 | 1.1975665 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0015417566 | 0.0025509798 | 0.0026108269 | 1.0234604 | 6.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.6376824E-6 | 2.1982057E-6 | 2.1982057E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.01862E-6 | 9.420847E-6 | 9.420847E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.544835E-5 | 1.146928E-4 | 1.146928E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.54155E-4 | 0.0011613306 | 0.0011613306 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 6.9631557E-7 | 4.5391383E-7 | 4.5391383E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.984206E-6 | 1.9453435E-6 | 1.9453435E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.63321E-5 | 2.36843E-5 | 2.36843E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6326164E-4 | 2.4532314E-4 | 2.4532314E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.7876137E-7 | 8.3658875E-8 | 8.3658875E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.661199E-7 | 3.58538E-7 | 3.58538E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.32747E-6 | 4.3651917E-6 | 4.3651917E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3270784E-5 | 4.5847937E-5 | 4.5847937E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Ynez (West)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.7352758E-5 | 5.49722E-5 | 7.4971096E-5 | 1.3638003 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0292461E-4 | 2.3557546E-4 | 2.5557075E-4 | 1.0848784 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0024678076 | 0.0028646276 | 0.002964341 | 1.0348085 | 1.0E-4 | 0.024405818 | 0.028305134 | 0.028450888 | 1.0051494 | 1.5E-4 |
6.1 | 4.7352758E-5 | 5.49722E-5 | 7.4971096E-5 | 1.3638003 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0292461E-4 | 2.3557546E-4 | 2.5557075E-4 | 1.0848784 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0024678076 | 0.0028646276 | 0.002964341 | 1.0348085 | 1.0E-4 | 0.024405818 | 0.028305134 | 0.02844117 | 1.004806 | 1.4E-4 |
6.2 | 3.0415853E-5 | 3.392567E-5 | 4.392533E-5 | 1.294752 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3034715E-4 | 1.4538778E-4 | 1.5538633E-4 | 1.0687716 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015858212 | 0.0017686938 | 0.0018086231 | 1.0225756 | 4.0E-5 | 0.015745522 | 0.01755012 | 0.01761889 | 1.0039185 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.0415853E-5 | 3.392567E-5 | 4.392533E-5 | 1.294752 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3034715E-4 | 1.4538778E-4 | 1.5538633E-4 | 1.0687716 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015858212 | 0.0017686938 | 0.0018086231 | 1.0225756 | 4.0E-5 | 0.015745522 | 0.01755012 | 0.01761889 | 1.0039185 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.5452082E-5 | 2.7912814E-5 | 3.7912534E-5 | 1.3582484 | 1.0E-5 | 1.09075794E-4 | 1.1962098E-4 | 1.2961977E-4 | 1.0835874 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013271887 | 0.0014554313 | 0.0014953732 | 1.0274433 | 4.0E-5 | 0.013192902 | 0.014461164 | 0.014530152 | 1.0047705 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.3143784E-5 | 2.5128551E-5 | 3.51283E-5 | 1.3979437 | 1.0E-5 | 9.9183875E-5 | 1.0768943E-4 | 1.1768835E-4 | 1.0928496 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012068948 | 0.0013103448 | 0.0013502924 | 1.0304863 | 4.0E-5 | 0.012003611 | 0.013027853 | 0.013096942 | 1.0053031 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.9118515E-5 | 2.0354546E-5 | 3.0354342E-5 | 1.4912808 | 1.0E-5 | 8.193392E-5 | 8.7230896E-5 | 9.723002E-5 | 1.1146283 | 1.0E-5 | 9.97089E-4 | 0.0010615266 | 0.0011014842 | 1.0376415 | 4.0E-5 | 0.00992627 | 0.010565472 | 0.010624838 | 1.0056189 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.722807E-5 | 1.8146504E-5 | 2.8146322E-5 | 1.5510603 | 1.0E-5 | 7.3832496E-5 | 7.776845E-5 | 8.7767665E-5 | 1.1285769 | 1.0E-5 | 8.985399E-4 | 9.464251E-4 | 9.863873E-4 | 1.0422243 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008949154 | 0.0094245905 | 0.009484026 | 1.0063063 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.5317364E-5 | 1.5926595E-5 | 2.5926434E-5 | 1.6278707 | 1.0E-5 | 6.56442E-5 | 6.825507E-5 | 7.825439E-5 | 1.1464993 | 1.0E-5 | 7.98925E-4 | 8.3069294E-4 | 8.706597E-4 | 1.0481125 | 4.0E-5 | 0.007960589 | 0.008276366 | 0.008325952 | 1.0059913 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.3071226E-5 | 1.3329679E-5 | 1.3329679E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6018336E-5 | 5.7125955E-5 | 5.7125955E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8180985E-4 | 6.952888E-4 | 7.25268E-4 | 1.0431175 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0067972173 | 0.0069313953 | 0.006971118 | 1.0057309 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.1836986E-5 | 1.19328115E-5 | 1.19328115E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0728955E-5 | 5.113963E-5 | 5.113963E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1745E-4 | 6.224488E-4 | 6.424363E-4 | 1.0321112 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006157372 | 0.006207247 | 0.0062370603 | 1.0048031 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0597169E-5 | 1.0542209E-5 | 1.0542209E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.541565E-5 | 4.5180117E-5 | 4.5180117E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5279525E-4 | 5.499302E-4 | 5.6991924E-4 | 1.0363482 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0055142213 | 0.005485825 | 0.00551566 | 1.0054387 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.59113E-6 | 9.4591405E-6 | 9.4591405E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.11042E-5 | 4.0538547E-5 | 4.0538547E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0032866E-4 | 4.9344613E-4 | 5.134363E-4 | 1.0405113 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004992037 | 0.0049236235 | 0.0049534757 | 1.0060631 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 8.586084E-6 | 8.3795685E-6 | 8.3795685E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.679698E-5 | 3.5911948E-5 | 3.5911948E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4791115E-4 | 4.371413E-4 | 4.4713693E-4 | 1.0228659 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004470094 | 0.0043629254 | 0.004382838 | 1.004564 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.2622997E-6 | 6.9515127E-6 | 6.9515127E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.112377E-5 | 2.9791861E-5 | 2.9791861E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.78866E-4 | 3.6265652E-4 | 3.6265652E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037822074 | 0.0036207472 | 0.003630711 | 1.0027518 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.627296E-6 | 5.251543E-6 | 5.251543E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.411676E-5 | 2.2506423E-5 | 2.2506423E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9358198E-4 | 2.7398195E-4 | 2.7398195E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029319443 | 0.0027365137 | 0.0027464863 | 1.0036442 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.265244E-6 | 2.0608816E-6 | 2.0608816E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.708152E-6 | 8.8323195E-6 | 8.8323195E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.18190335E-4 | 1.0752828E-4 | 1.0752828E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001181275 | 0.001074771 | 0.001074771 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.3099874E-6 | 1.1016346E-6 | 1.1016346E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.61422E-6 | 4.7212825E-6 | 4.7212825E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8350986E-5 | 5.748012E-5 | 5.748012E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.832996E-4 | 5.7465496E-4 | 5.7465496E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 7.903951E-7 | 6.0711466E-7 | 6.0711466E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3874032E-6 | 2.6019175E-6 | 2.6019175E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1240855E-5 | 3.1677897E-5 | 3.1677897E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.12332E-4 | 3.1673515E-4 | 3.1673515E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.0753297E-9 | 5.0900932E-9 | 5.0900932E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.032284E-8 | 2.1814685E-8 | 2.1814685E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6918053E-7 | 2.6559377E-7 | 2.6559377E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.691799E-6 | 2.6559355E-6 | 2.6559355E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (San Bernardino)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.6001682E-5 | 5.600096E-5 | 1.5555096 | 2.0E-5 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.542838E-4 | 2.1427455E-4 | 1.3888338 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0017774 | 0.0018767886 | 0.0020065445 | 1.0691372 | 1.3E-4 | 0.01763251 | 0.01935761 | 0.019534126 | 1.0091187 | 1.8E-4 |
6.1 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.6001682E-5 | 5.600096E-5 | 1.5555096 | 2.0E-5 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.542838E-4 | 2.1427455E-4 | 1.3888338 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0017774 | 0.0018767886 | 0.0020065445 | 1.0691372 | 1.3E-4 | 0.01763251 | 0.01935761 | 0.019534126 | 1.0091187 | 1.8E-4 |
6.2 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.6001682E-5 | 5.600096E-5 | 1.5555096 | 2.0E-5 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.542838E-4 | 2.1427455E-4 | 1.3888338 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0017774 | 0.0018767886 | 0.0020065445 | 1.0691372 | 1.3E-4 | 0.01763251 | 0.01935761 | 0.019534126 | 1.0091187 | 1.8E-4 |
6.3 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.6001682E-5 | 5.600096E-5 | 1.5555096 | 2.0E-5 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.542838E-4 | 2.1427455E-4 | 1.3888338 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0017774 | 0.0018767886 | 0.0020065445 | 1.0691372 | 1.3E-4 | 0.01763251 | 0.01935761 | 0.019534126 | 1.0091187 | 1.8E-4 |
6.4 | 3.400795E-5 | 3.5894343E-5 | 5.5893623E-5 | 1.5571709 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4574021E-4 | 1.5382383E-4 | 2.1381461E-4 | 1.3899965 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0017729428 | 0.0018711982 | 0.002000955 | 1.0693442 | 1.3E-4 | 0.017588645 | 0.01930269 | 0.019479215 | 1.0091451 | 1.8E-4 |
6.5 | 3.341482E-5 | 3.515495E-5 | 5.5154247E-5 | 1.56889 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4319851E-4 | 1.5065537E-4 | 2.1064634E-4 | 1.3981999 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0017420477 | 0.0018326874 | 0.0019624492 | 1.0708041 | 1.3E-4 | 0.017284546 | 0.018924221 | 0.019100815 | 1.0093316 | 1.8E-4 |
6.6 | 3.3364955E-5 | 3.5092165E-5 | 5.5091463E-5 | 1.5699078 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4298483E-4 | 1.5038633E-4 | 2.103773E-4 | 1.3989124 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0017394501 | 0.0018294173 | 0.0019591795 | 1.0709308 | 1.3E-4 | 0.017258976 | 0.018892085 | 0.019068684 | 1.0093478 | 1.8E-4 |
6.7 | 3.335922E-5 | 3.508194E-5 | 5.5081236E-5 | 1.570074 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4296026E-4 | 1.503425E-4 | 2.1033348E-4 | 1.3990288 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0017391514 | 0.0018288847 | 0.0019586468 | 1.0709516 | 1.3E-4 | 0.017256035 | 0.018886877 | 0.019063476 | 1.0093504 | 1.8E-4 |
6.8 | 3.327683E-5 | 3.4976E-5 | 5.49753E-5 | 1.5718007 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4260718E-4 | 1.4988854E-4 | 2.0987954E-4 | 1.4002374 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0017348597 | 0.0018233669 | 0.00195313 | 1.0711666 | 1.3E-4 | 0.017213784 | 0.018832648 | 0.019009257 | 1.0093778 | 1.8E-4 |
6.9 | 3.3235785E-5 | 3.491695E-5 | 5.4916254E-5 | 1.5727677 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4243131E-4 | 1.496355E-4 | 2.0962652E-4 | 1.4009143 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0017327217 | 0.0018202913 | 0.0019500547 | 1.0712872 | 1.3E-4 | 0.017192734 | 0.018802516 | 0.018979132 | 1.0093932 | 1.8E-4 |
7.0 | 3.3197095E-5 | 3.485688E-5 | 5.485618E-5 | 1.5737549 | 2.0E-5 | 1.422655E-4 | 1.4937807E-4 | 2.0936911E-4 | 1.4016054 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0017307063 | 0.0018171624 | 0.0019469261 | 1.0714101 | 1.3E-4 | 0.017172894 | 0.01877189 | 0.018948512 | 1.0094088 | 1.8E-4 |
7.1 | 3.3129716E-5 | 3.473708E-5 | 5.4736385E-5 | 1.5757337 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4197677E-4 | 1.4886471E-4 | 2.0885578E-4 | 1.4029905 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0017271966 | 0.0018109226 | 0.0019406872 | 1.0716566 | 1.3E-4 | 0.017138338 | 0.01871097 | 0.018887604 | 1.0094401 | 1.8E-4 |
7.2 | 3.3034008E-5 | 3.4604524E-5 | 5.460383E-5 | 1.5779392 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4156665E-4 | 1.4829668E-4 | 2.0828778E-4 | 1.4045343 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0017222111 | 0.0018040182 | 0.0019337836 | 1.0719314 | 1.3E-4 | 0.017089253 | 0.018643353 | 0.018819997 | 1.0094749 | 1.8E-4 |
7.3 | 3.2956614E-5 | 3.447227E-5 | 5.4471577E-5 | 1.5801566 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4123498E-4 | 1.4772992E-4 | 2.0772107E-4 | 1.4060866 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0017181796 | 0.0017971295 | 0.0019268959 | 1.0722076 | 1.3E-4 | 0.017049557 | 0.018576099 | 0.018752754 | 1.0095099 | 1.8E-4 |
7.4 | 3.2915937E-5 | 3.4393954E-5 | 5.4393266E-5 | 1.5814775 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4106068E-4 | 1.4739433E-4 | 2.0738548E-4 | 1.4070113 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0017160608 | 0.0017930503 | 0.0019228172 | 1.0723722 | 1.3E-4 | 0.017028693 | 0.01853637 | 0.018713035 | 1.0095307 | 1.8E-4 |
7.5 | 3.281791E-5 | 3.4258854E-5 | 5.4258166E-5 | 1.5837708 | 2.0E-5 | 1.406406E-4 | 1.468154E-4 | 2.068066E-4 | 1.4086164 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0017109542 | 0.0017860134 | 0.0019157812 | 1.0726578 | 1.3E-4 | 0.016978411 | 0.01846725 | 0.018643925 | 1.009567 | 1.8E-4 |
7.6 | 3.2521442E-5 | 3.3983775E-5 | 5.3983094E-5 | 1.5884961 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3937015E-4 | 1.4563663E-4 | 2.0562789E-4 | 1.4119242 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0016955109 | 0.0017716853 | 0.001901455 | 1.0732465 | 1.3E-4 | 0.016826328 | 0.018324887 | 0.01850159 | 1.0096427 | 1.8E-4 |
7.7 | 3.0287873E-5 | 3.2467702E-5 | 5.2467054E-5 | 1.6159768 | 2.0E-5 | 1.297987E-4 | 1.3913988E-4 | 1.9913154E-4 | 1.4311607 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0015791537 | 0.001692713 | 0.0018224929 | 1.0766698 | 1.3E-4 | 0.01567979 | 0.017535618 | 0.01771246 | 1.0100849 | 1.8E-4 |
7.8 | 2.6316151E-5 | 2.9678076E-5 | 4.9677485E-5 | 1.6738781 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1277862E-4 | 1.2718556E-4 | 1.8717792E-4 | 1.4716916 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0013722149 | 0.0015473852 | 0.0016771841 | 1.0838827 | 1.3E-4 | 0.013637724 | 0.016076857 | 0.016253963 | 1.0110162 | 1.8E-4 |
7.9 | 2.0761147E-5 | 2.343051E-5 | 4.3430042E-5 | 1.8535678 | 2.0E-5 | 8.897331E-5 | 1.0041261E-4 | 1.6040659E-4 | 1.5974745 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0010827117 | 0.0012218388 | 0.0013416922 | 1.0980927 | 1.2E-4 | 0.010774517 | 0.012799647 | 0.012947727 | 1.011569 | 1.5E-4 |
8.0 | 1.5738568E-5 | 1.604239E-5 | 1.604239E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.744926E-5 | 6.875129E-5 | 7.87506E-5 | 1.1454418 | 1.0E-5 | 8.2088535E-4 | 8.3672616E-4 | 8.766927E-4 | 1.0477654 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008178596 | 0.008870586 | 0.008939966 | 1.0078212 | 7.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.0105832E-5 | 8.335246E-6 | 8.335246E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3309992E-5 | 3.5721994E-5 | 3.5721994E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2717153E-4 | 4.34829E-4 | 4.4482466E-4 | 1.0229876 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005259227 | 0.0046798005 | 0.004689754 | 1.0021268 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 4.189207E-6 | 1.5793896E-6 | 1.5793896E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7953622E-5 | 6.768795E-6 | 6.768795E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1856341E-4 | 8.2406994E-5 | 8.2406994E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021834858 | 9.571454E-4 | 9.571454E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2758221E-6 | 3.6171858E-7 | 3.6171858E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4677976E-6 | 1.5502216E-6 | 1.5502216E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.65684E-5 | 1.8873789E-5 | 1.8873789E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6548464E-4 | 2.2764095E-4 | 2.2764095E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Death Valley (Fish Lake Valley)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.872328E-5 | 4.7267124E-5 | 5.726665E-5 | 1.2115536 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6594635E-4 | 2.0255933E-4 | 2.125573E-4 | 1.0493582 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020185246 | 0.002463633 | 0.0025334605 | 1.0283433 | 7.0E-5 | 0.02000288 | 0.024389042 | 0.024564652 | 1.0072004 | 1.8E-4 |
6.1 | 3.872328E-5 | 4.7267124E-5 | 5.726665E-5 | 1.2115536 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6594635E-4 | 2.0255933E-4 | 2.125573E-4 | 1.0493582 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020185246 | 0.002463633 | 0.0025334605 | 1.0283433 | 7.0E-5 | 0.02000288 | 0.024389042 | 0.024564652 | 1.0072004 | 1.8E-4 |
6.2 | 3.872328E-5 | 4.7267124E-5 | 5.726665E-5 | 1.2115536 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6594635E-4 | 2.0255933E-4 | 2.125573E-4 | 1.0493582 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020185246 | 0.002463633 | 0.0025334605 | 1.0283433 | 7.0E-5 | 0.02000288 | 0.024389042 | 0.024564652 | 1.0072004 | 1.8E-4 |
6.3 | 2.8356371E-5 | 3.361063E-5 | 4.3610296E-5 | 1.2975149 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2152165E-4 | 1.4403803E-4 | 1.5403659E-4 | 1.0694162 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014785219 | 0.0017523223 | 0.0018221997 | 1.0398769 | 7.0E-5 | 0.014687235 | 0.017392244 | 0.017569114 | 1.0101694 | 1.8E-4 |
6.4 | 2.8356371E-5 | 3.361063E-5 | 4.3610296E-5 | 1.2975149 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2152165E-4 | 1.4403803E-4 | 1.5403659E-4 | 1.0694162 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014785219 | 0.0017523223 | 0.0018221997 | 1.0398769 | 7.0E-5 | 0.014687235 | 0.017392244 | 0.017569114 | 1.0101694 | 1.8E-4 |
6.5 | 2.4448687E-5 | 2.8608241E-5 | 3.8607956E-5 | 1.3495396 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0477588E-4 | 1.2260124E-4 | 1.3260002E-4 | 1.0815552 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012748998 | 0.0014916958 | 0.0015516062 | 1.0401627 | 6.0E-5 | 0.012676105 | 0.014821727 | 0.0149892075 | 1.0112996 | 1.7E-4 |
6.6 | 2.1298161E-5 | 2.4660607E-5 | 3.466036E-5 | 1.405495 | 1.0E-5 | 9.127464E-5 | 1.05684194E-4 | 1.15683135E-4 | 1.0946115 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011107022 | 0.0012859785 | 0.0013459013 | 1.0465971 | 6.0E-5 | 0.011051672 | 0.0127888 | 0.012956625 | 1.0131229 | 1.7E-4 |
6.7 | 1.8959729E-5 | 2.178146E-5 | 3.178124E-5 | 1.4590961 | 1.0E-5 | 8.125345E-5 | 9.334592E-5 | 1.0334499E-4 | 1.1071184 | 1.0E-5 | 9.888117E-4 | 0.0011359196 | 0.0011958515 | 1.0527606 | 6.0E-5 | 0.009844234 | 0.011303795 | 0.011471872 | 1.0148692 | 1.7E-4 |
6.8 | 1.6691629E-5 | 1.9018706E-5 | 2.9018516E-5 | 1.5257881 | 1.0E-5 | 7.153359E-5 | 8.150629E-5 | 9.150548E-5 | 1.12268 | 1.0E-5 | 8.7057345E-4 | 9.919042E-4 | 0.0010518447 | 1.0604297 | 6.0E-5 | 0.008671708 | 0.009876527 | 0.010044848 | 1.0170425 | 1.7E-4 |
6.9 | 1.450505E-5 | 1.6389824E-5 | 2.638966E-5 | 1.6101247 | 1.0E-5 | 6.216302E-5 | 7.024026E-5 | 8.023956E-5 | 1.1423585 | 1.0E-5 | 7.5657194E-4 | 8.548484E-4 | 9.147971E-4 | 1.0701278 | 6.0E-5 | 0.007540013 | 0.008516532 | 0.008685085 | 1.0197911 | 1.7E-4 |
7.0 | 1.2940855E-5 | 1.453821E-5 | 2.4538065E-5 | 1.6878326 | 1.0E-5 | 5.545963E-5 | 6.230516E-5 | 7.230454E-5 | 1.1604904 | 1.0E-5 | 6.750118E-4 | 7.583071E-4 | 8.1826164E-4 | 1.0790637 | 6.0E-5 | 0.006729651 | 0.0075578135 | 0.0077265287 | 1.0223233 | 1.7E-4 |
7.1 | 1.2544658E-5 | 1.4078437E-5 | 2.4078296E-5 | 1.7102962 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3761712E-5 | 6.033479E-5 | 7.033419E-5 | 1.1657319 | 1.0E-5 | 6.5435225E-4 | 7.343341E-4 | 7.9429004E-4 | 1.0816467 | 6.0E-5 | 0.006524288 | 0.0073196692 | 0.007488425 | 1.0230551 | 1.7E-4 |
7.2 | 1.2489416E-5 | 1.4015902E-5 | 2.4015762E-5 | 1.7134653 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3524967E-5 | 6.00668E-5 | 7.00662E-5 | 1.1664714 | 1.0E-5 | 6.514716E-4 | 7.310735E-4 | 7.9102966E-4 | 1.0820111 | 6.0E-5 | 0.006495651 | 0.007287278 | 0.0074560386 | 1.0231583 | 1.7E-4 |
7.3 | 1.2368307E-5 | 1.3880038E-5 | 2.3879898E-5 | 1.7204491 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3005948E-5 | 5.948455E-5 | 6.9483955E-5 | 1.1681008 | 1.0E-5 | 6.451563E-4 | 7.239894E-4 | 7.8394596E-4 | 1.0828141 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0064328653 | 0.0072168987 | 0.0073856716 | 1.0233859 | 1.7E-4 |
7.4 | 1.2161707E-5 | 1.3648089E-5 | 2.3647954E-5 | 1.7326933 | 1.0E-5 | 5.212056E-5 | 5.8490532E-5 | 6.848995E-5 | 1.1709578 | 1.0E-5 | 6.3438306E-4 | 7.118952E-4 | 7.7185244E-4 | 1.0842221 | 6.0E-5 | 0.006325751 | 0.0070967353 | 0.007265529 | 1.0237846 | 1.7E-4 |
7.5 | 1.1707948E-5 | 1.314573E-5 | 2.3145598E-5 | 1.7606933 | 1.0E-5 | 5.0175953E-5 | 5.6337656E-5 | 6.6337096E-5 | 1.1774912 | 1.0E-5 | 6.10721E-4 | 6.857007E-4 | 7.456595E-4 | 1.0874417 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0060904534 | 0.0068364325 | 0.00700527 | 1.0246968 | 1.7E-4 |
7.6 | 1.0319538E-5 | 1.157981E-5 | 2.1579694E-5 | 1.863562 | 1.0E-5 | 4.4225842E-5 | 4.9626844E-5 | 5.9626345E-5 | 1.2014939 | 1.0E-5 | 5.383166E-4 | 6.040445E-4 | 6.6400826E-4 | 1.0992705 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0053701443 | 0.0060245576 | 0.0061935335 | 1.0280478 | 1.7E-4 |
7.7 | 8.937764E-6 | 1.0022941E-5 | 2.002284E-5 | 1.9977012 | 1.0E-5 | 3.830414E-5 | 4.295478E-5 | 5.295435E-5 | 1.232793 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6625308E-4 | 5.2285404E-4 | 5.8282266E-4 | 1.1146948 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0046527605 | 0.005216748 | 0.0053659654 | 1.0286036 | 1.5E-4 |
7.8 | 3.108007E-7 | 3.2846788E-7 | 3.2846788E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3320023E-6 | 1.4077187E-6 | 1.4077187E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6217007E-5 | 1.7138846E-5 | 1.7138846E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6215823E-4 | 1.713756E-4 | 1.713756E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6696871E-9 | 2.6696871E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1441516E-8 | 1.1441516E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3930045E-7 | 1.3930045E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3930046E-6 | 1.3930046E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Mission Ridge-Arroyo Parida-Santa Ana
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.169034E-5 | 4.7138332E-5 | 6.7137385E-5 | 1.4242631 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7866064E-4 | 2.0201063E-4 | 2.3200458E-4 | 1.1484771 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0021730233 | 0.0024575314 | 0.0025572858 | 1.0405912 | 1.0E-4 | 0.021518968 | 0.024385462 | 0.024512293 | 1.0052011 | 1.3E-4 |
6.1 | 1.73813E-5 | 1.685448E-5 | 3.685414E-5 | 2.1866083 | 2.0E-5 | 7.4489166E-5 | 7.2231545E-5 | 9.22301E-5 | 1.2768674 | 2.0E-5 | 9.065282E-4 | 8.7907485E-4 | 9.090485E-4 | 1.0340968 | 3.0E-5 | 0.009028391 | 0.008757258 | 0.00880682 | 1.0056596 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.4622182E-5 | 1.3673473E-5 | 3.36732E-5 | 2.4626663 | 2.0E-5 | 6.2664985E-5 | 5.8599304E-5 | 7.859813E-5 | 1.3412809 | 2.0E-5 | 7.6267915E-4 | 7.1321684E-4 | 7.431955E-4 | 1.042033 | 3.0E-5 | 0.007600669 | 0.0071098623 | 0.007149578 | 1.005586 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3552434E-5 | 1.24823655E-5 | 3.2482116E-5 | 2.6022403 | 2.0E-5 | 5.8080568E-5 | 5.3494776E-5 | 7.3493706E-5 | 1.3738483 | 2.0E-5 | 7.069015E-4 | 6.511074E-4 | 6.8108784E-4 | 1.0460453 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00704657 | 0.006492501 | 0.006532241 | 1.0061209 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.30977305E-5 | 1.1979314E-5 | 3.1979074E-5 | 2.6695247 | 2.0E-5 | 5.613192E-5 | 5.1338924E-5 | 7.13379E-5 | 1.389548 | 2.0E-5 | 6.831918E-4 | 6.2487513E-4 | 6.548564E-4 | 1.0479796 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006810953 | 0.0062316665 | 0.0062714173 | 1.0063788 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.225205E-5 | 1.1048948E-5 | 3.1048727E-5 | 2.810107 | 2.0E-5 | 5.2507727E-5 | 4.735179E-5 | 6.735085E-5 | 1.4223505 | 2.0E-5 | 6.3909404E-4 | 5.763583E-4 | 6.06341E-4 | 1.0520209 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006372592 | 0.005749085 | 0.0057888553 | 1.0069176 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.1352241E-5 | 1.0063668E-5 | 3.0063467E-5 | 2.9873269 | 2.0E-5 | 4.8651553E-5 | 4.3129305E-5 | 6.312844E-5 | 1.4637018 | 2.0E-5 | 5.921717E-4 | 5.249749E-4 | 5.549591E-4 | 1.0571156 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0059059616 | 0.005237734 | 0.0052775247 | 1.0075969 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.0864116E-5 | 9.517152E-6 | 2.9516961E-5 | 3.101449 | 2.0E-5 | 4.6559664E-5 | 4.0787167E-5 | 6.078635E-5 | 1.4903303 | 2.0E-5 | 5.667165E-4 | 4.964726E-4 | 5.2645773E-4 | 1.0603963 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005652734 | 0.004954009 | 0.004993811 | 1.0080342 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0666365E-5 | 9.2999E-6 | 2.9299714E-5 | 3.1505406 | 2.0E-5 | 4.571219E-5 | 3.9856117E-5 | 5.985532E-5 | 1.501785 | 2.0E-5 | 5.564038E-4 | 4.851422E-4 | 5.151276E-4 | 1.0618075 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005550127 | 0.004841204 | 0.00488101 | 1.0082225 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.0038665E-5 | 8.592155E-6 | 2.8591983E-5 | 3.3276846 | 2.0E-5 | 4.302214E-5 | 3.682301E-5 | 5.6822275E-5 | 1.5431186 | 2.0E-5 | 5.236687E-4 | 4.4822975E-4 | 4.782163E-4 | 1.0669 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005224364 | 0.0044736085 | 0.0045134295 | 1.0089014 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 9.5379955E-6 | 8.025172E-6 | 2.8025011E-5 | 3.4921384 | 2.0E-5 | 4.0876483E-5 | 3.4393153E-5 | 5.4392465E-5 | 1.5814911 | 2.0E-5 | 4.975576E-4 | 4.1865787E-4 | 4.4864533E-4 | 1.0716275 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00496445 | 0.0041790316 | 0.0042188647 | 1.0095316 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 9.207389E-6 | 7.652467E-6 | 2.7652313E-5 | 3.6135163 | 2.0E-5 | 3.945964E-5 | 3.2795884E-5 | 5.279523E-5 | 1.6098126 | 2.0E-5 | 4.803152E-4 | 3.992184E-4 | 4.2920644E-4 | 1.0751169 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004792784 | 0.0039853496 | 0.00402519 | 1.0099968 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.638091E-6 | 5.931174E-6 | 2.5931056E-5 | 4.3719935 | 2.0E-5 | 3.2734264E-5 | 2.541907E-5 | 4.5418565E-5 | 1.7867908 | 2.0E-5 | 3.984668E-4 | 3.0943356E-4 | 3.2942736E-4 | 1.0646142 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0039775306 | 0.0030902245 | 0.0031201318 | 1.009678 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.2500147E-6 | 5.596204E-6 | 2.5596093E-5 | 4.573831 | 2.0E-5 | 3.1071122E-5 | 2.3983514E-5 | 4.3983033E-5 | 1.8338861 | 2.0E-5 | 3.7822526E-4 | 2.9196046E-4 | 3.1195462E-4 | 1.0684824 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0037758215 | 0.002915965 | 0.0029458776 | 1.0102582 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.3899715E-6 | 4.9185496E-6 | 2.4918452E-5 | 5.0662193 | 2.0E-5 | 2.7385306E-5 | 2.107933E-5 | 4.1078907E-5 | 1.9487767 | 2.0E-5 | 3.3336508E-4 | 2.566108E-4 | 2.766057E-4 | 1.077919 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0033286542 | 0.0025633303 | 0.0025932535 | 1.0116736 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.379025E-6 | 4.0839013E-6 | 2.408382E-5 | 5.897258 | 2.0E-5 | 2.305276E-5 | 1.7502318E-5 | 3.7501966E-5 | 2.142686 | 2.0E-5 | 2.806312E-4 | 2.1306999E-4 | 2.3306573E-4 | 1.0938458 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0028027708 | 0.0021286684 | 0.0021586046 | 1.0140634 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 4.1270696E-6 | 3.088378E-6 | 2.3088316E-5 | 7.4758716 | 2.0E-5 | 1.768732E-5 | 1.3235838E-5 | 3.3235574E-5 | 2.511029 | 2.0E-5 | 2.1532185E-4 | 1.6113449E-4 | 1.8113127E-4 | 1.1241 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0021511333 | 0.0016101847 | 0.0016401364 | 1.0186014 | 3.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.5406805E-6 | 1.8282275E-6 | 2.1828191E-5 | 11.939538 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0888585E-5 | 7.835237E-6 | 2.783508E-5 | 3.552551 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3256045E-4 | 9.53899E-5 | 1.1538799E-4 | 1.2096457 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0013248142 | 9.5349574E-4 | 9.734766E-4 | 1.0209554 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 4.8608285E-7 | 3.5099023E-7 | 3.5099023E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0832106E-6 | 1.504243E-6 | 1.504243E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5362791E-5 | 1.8314006E-5 | 1.8314006E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5359896E-4 | 1.8312508E-4 | 1.8312508E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.0472514E-8 | 1.2688983E-8 | 1.2688983E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7739345E-8 | 5.4381356E-8 | 5.4381356E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.068226E-6 | 6.620928E-7 | 6.620928E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0682209E-5 | 6.6209095E-6 | 6.6209095E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 4.443582E-9 | 2.032151E-9 | 2.032151E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9043922E-8 | 8.709217E-9 | 8.709217E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3185973E-7 | 1.0603472E-7 | 1.0603472E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3185949E-6 | 1.0603468E-6 | 1.0603468E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elsinore (Glen Ivy) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.9373635E-4 | 2.9373635E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0012584174 | 0.0012684049 | 1.0079365 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008420097 | 0.01523484 | 0.015333317 | 1.0064639 | 1.0E-4 | 0.081081145 | 0.13962553 | 0.1397546 | 1.0009243 | 1.5E-4 |
6.1 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.9373635E-4 | 2.9373635E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0012584174 | 0.0012684049 | 1.0079365 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008420097 | 0.01523484 | 0.015333317 | 1.0064639 | 1.0E-4 | 0.081081145 | 0.13962553 | 0.1397546 | 1.0009243 | 1.5E-4 |
6.2 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.9373635E-4 | 2.9373635E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0012584174 | 0.0012684049 | 1.0079365 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008420097 | 0.01523484 | 0.015333317 | 1.0064639 | 1.0E-4 | 0.081081145 | 0.13962553 | 0.1397546 | 1.0009243 | 1.5E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0111737E-4 | 1.7703637E-4 | 1.7703637E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.332882E-4 | 7.586233E-4 | 7.586233E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005262531 | 0.009217811 | 0.009267351 | 1.0053743 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0513964 | 0.08707389 | 0.08714692 | 1.0008388 | 8.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.0111737E-4 | 1.7703637E-4 | 1.7703637E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.332882E-4 | 7.586233E-4 | 7.586233E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005262531 | 0.009217811 | 0.009267351 | 1.0053743 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0513964 | 0.08707389 | 0.08714692 | 1.0008388 | 8.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.6624708E-5 | 4.6393732E-5 | 4.6393732E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.569536E-4 | 1.9881714E-4 | 1.9881714E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001909235 | 0.0024182722 | 0.002438224 | 1.0082504 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01892915 | 0.023697015 | 0.023716541 | 1.000824 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.5051324E-5 | 2.6148944E-5 | 2.6148944E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.073584E-4 | 1.1206234E-4 | 1.1206234E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013063047 | 0.0013635496 | 0.001373536 | 1.0073237 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012986525 | 0.013565712 | 0.013575575 | 1.0007272 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.2189772E-5 | 2.2073793E-5 | 2.2073793E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.509556E-5 | 9.459874E-5 | 9.459874E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011571734 | 0.0011511676 | 0.0011511676 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011511663 | 0.011466403 | 0.011466403 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.6654378E-5 | 1.4438363E-5 | 1.4438363E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.137396E-5 | 6.187726E-5 | 6.187726E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.686314E-4 | 7.5310044E-4 | 7.5310044E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008652439 | 0.0075102663 | 0.0075102663 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.5042909E-5 | 1.2332568E-5 | 1.2332568E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.446802E-5 | 5.285281E-5 | 5.285281E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8461546E-4 | 6.432961E-4 | 6.432961E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007818509 | 0.0064180964 | 0.0064180964 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.4361385E-5 | 1.1451833E-5 | 1.1451833E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.154734E-5 | 4.907838E-5 | 4.907838E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.490812E-4 | 5.973684E-4 | 5.973684E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007465612 | 0.0059608603 | 0.0059608603 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.3265571E-5 | 1.0245265E-5 | 1.0245265E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6851208E-5 | 4.3907552E-5 | 4.3907552E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.919436E-4 | 5.3444586E-4 | 5.3444586E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006897931 | 0.005334682 | 0.005334682 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.1596403E-5 | 8.505279E-6 | 8.505279E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9697923E-5 | 3.6450696E-5 | 3.6450696E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.049042E-4 | 4.4369852E-4 | 4.4369852E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006032603 | 0.004429451 | 0.004429451 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.0150827E-5 | 7.238911E-6 | 7.238911E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3502816E-5 | 3.1023545E-5 | 3.1023545E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2951806E-4 | 3.7764764E-4 | 3.7764764E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005282581 | 0.003770453 | 0.003770453 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 9.080705E-6 | 6.352632E-6 | 6.352632E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8916725E-5 | 2.7225291E-5 | 2.7225291E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7370812E-4 | 3.3141885E-4 | 3.3141885E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004726996 | 0.0033093947 | 0.0033093947 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 7.671649E-6 | 5.2257096E-6 | 5.2257096E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.287808E-5 | 2.2395712E-5 | 2.2395712E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0021708E-4 | 2.7263493E-4 | 2.7263493E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039949706 | 0.0027231297 | 0.0027231297 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.990086E-6 | 4.6875944E-6 | 4.6875944E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9957167E-5 | 2.0089543E-5 | 2.0089543E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6466747E-4 | 2.445639E-4 | 2.445639E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036406964 | 0.0024430638 | 0.0024430638 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.163505E-6 | 2.3295045E-6 | 2.3295045E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7843471E-5 | 9.983556E-6 | 9.983556E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.172226E-4 | 1.2154376E-4 | 1.2154376E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021701038 | 0.0012148459 | 0.0012148459 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.2692414E-7 | 9.384624E-8 | 9.384624E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.725317E-7 | 4.021981E-7 | 4.021981E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1840509E-5 | 4.8967545E-6 | 4.8967545E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1839878E-4 | 4.8966795E-5 | 4.8966795E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.4397993E-9 | 3.4397993E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.4741998E-8 | 1.4741998E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.794838E-7 | 1.794838E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838679E-6 | 1.7948367E-6 | 1.7948367E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Calico-Hidalgo
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.0906612E-5 | 5.0705254E-5 | 6.0704744E-5 | 1.1972083 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7530227E-4 | 2.172924E-4 | 2.3728806E-4 | 1.0920218 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0021322158 | 0.0026427244 | 0.0027125396 | 1.0264179 | 7.0E-5 | 0.02111873 | 0.026153268 | 0.026299344 | 1.0055854 | 1.5E-4 |
6.1 | 4.0906612E-5 | 5.0705254E-5 | 6.0704744E-5 | 1.1972083 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7530227E-4 | 2.172924E-4 | 2.3728806E-4 | 1.0920218 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0021322158 | 0.0026427244 | 0.0027125396 | 1.0264179 | 7.0E-5 | 0.02111873 | 0.026153268 | 0.026299344 | 1.0055854 | 1.5E-4 |
6.2 | 4.0906612E-5 | 5.0705254E-5 | 6.0704744E-5 | 1.1972083 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7530227E-4 | 2.172924E-4 | 2.3728806E-4 | 1.0920218 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0021322158 | 0.0026427244 | 0.0027125396 | 1.0264179 | 7.0E-5 | 0.02111873 | 0.026153268 | 0.026299344 | 1.0055854 | 1.5E-4 |
6.3 | 2.4242801E-5 | 3.0091267E-5 | 4.0090967E-5 | 1.3323123 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0389358E-4 | 1.2895638E-4 | 1.4895381E-4 | 1.1550711 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012641704 | 0.0015689468 | 0.0016188683 | 1.0318185 | 5.0E-5 | 0.01257003 | 0.015582383 | 0.015651291 | 1.0044223 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.4242801E-5 | 3.0091267E-5 | 4.0090967E-5 | 1.3323123 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0389358E-4 | 1.2895638E-4 | 1.4895381E-4 | 1.1550711 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012641704 | 0.0015689468 | 0.0016188683 | 1.0318185 | 5.0E-5 | 0.01257003 | 0.015582383 | 0.015651291 | 1.0044223 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.0286952E-5 | 2.531624E-5 | 3.531599E-5 | 1.3949934 | 1.0E-5 | 8.694118E-5 | 1.08493754E-4 | 1.2849158E-4 | 1.1843224 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010579949 | 0.0013201282 | 0.0013600753 | 1.0302601 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010529719 | 0.013124796 | 0.01317414 | 1.0037596 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.0269223E-5 | 2.529719E-5 | 3.5296936E-5 | 1.3952909 | 1.0E-5 | 8.6865206E-5 | 1.0841212E-4 | 1.2840994E-4 | 1.1844612 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010570707 | 0.0013191354 | 0.0013590826 | 1.0302829 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010520565 | 0.013114986 | 0.013164329 | 1.0037625 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.799852E-5 | 2.2541075E-5 | 3.254085E-5 | 1.4436245 | 1.0E-5 | 7.713423E-5 | 9.6601114E-5 | 1.16599185E-4 | 1.207017 | 2.0E-5 | 9.3870464E-4 | 0.0011754986 | 0.0012154515 | 1.0339881 | 4.0E-5 | 0.009347493 | 0.011694419 | 0.011743834 | 1.0042255 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.7458793E-5 | 2.1842718E-5 | 3.18425E-5 | 1.4578085 | 1.0E-5 | 7.4821255E-5 | 9.360837E-5 | 1.136065E-4 | 1.2136362 | 2.0E-5 | 9.10568E-4 | 0.0011391005 | 0.001179055 | 1.0350754 | 4.0E-5 | 0.009068459 | 0.011334201 | 0.011383635 | 1.0043614 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.542884E-5 | 1.9026409E-5 | 2.9026218E-5 | 1.5255753 | 1.0E-5 | 6.612192E-5 | 8.153928E-5 | 1.0153765E-4 | 1.2452606 | 2.0E-5 | 8.04737E-4 | 9.923017E-4 | 0.001032262 | 1.0402703 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008018291 | 0.009880107 | 0.009929612 | 1.0050107 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.468253E-5 | 1.8031209E-5 | 2.8031029E-5 | 1.554584 | 1.0E-5 | 6.292361E-5 | 7.7274395E-5 | 9.727285E-5 | 1.258798 | 2.0E-5 | 7.658257E-4 | 9.404227E-4 | 9.803851E-4 | 1.042494 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0076319184 | 0.009365797 | 0.0094153285 | 1.0052886 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.3139281E-5 | 1.620149E-5 | 2.6201327E-5 | 1.6172172 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6309986E-5 | 6.9433176E-5 | 8.9431785E-5 | 1.2880267 | 2.0E-5 | 6.853584E-4 | 8.450336E-4 | 8.750083E-4 | 1.0354716 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0068324856 | 0.008419501 | 0.008459165 | 1.0047109 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.1127404E-5 | 1.3867119E-5 | 2.386698E-5 | 1.7211204 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7688E-5 | 5.9429218E-5 | 7.942803E-5 | 1.3365148 | 2.0E-5 | 5.8044674E-4 | 7.233214E-4 | 7.5329974E-4 | 1.0414454 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0057893298 | 0.007210779 | 0.0072504906 | 1.0055072 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.808154E-6 | 1.2176658E-5 | 2.2176537E-5 | 1.8212334 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2034266E-5 | 5.2184692E-5 | 6.2184175E-5 | 1.191617 | 1.0E-5 | 5.11647E-4 | 6.3517416E-4 | 6.451678E-4 | 1.0157337 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051047057 | 0.006334663 | 0.006354536 | 1.0031372 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.942452E-6 | 9.792409E-6 | 1.9792311E-5 | 2.0211892 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4038632E-5 | 4.1966847E-5 | 5.1966428E-5 | 1.2382734 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1434157E-4 | 5.10836E-4 | 5.208309E-4 | 1.0195657 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0041356985 | 0.005097559 | 0.005117457 | 1.0039034 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.7121216E-6 | 5.7729853E-6 | 1.5772928E-5 | 2.732196 | 1.0E-5 | 2.019465E-5 | 2.4741174E-5 | 3.4740926E-5 | 1.4041746 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4584212E-4 | 3.011898E-4 | 3.111868E-4 | 1.0331917 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024557032 | 0.0030085684 | 0.0030185385 | 1.0033139 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.6040198E-7 | 2.6040198E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.1160082E-6 | 1.1160082E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.3587343E-5 | 1.3587343E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1539775E-4 | 1.3586794E-4 | 1.3586794E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Red Mountain
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7591075E-5 | 6.7590125E-5 | 1.4202269 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.0394672E-4 | 2.339406E-4 | 1.1470672 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024803884 | 0.0025502148 | 1.0281514 | 7.0E-5 | 0.021580452 | 0.024544649 | 0.02465195 | 1.0043716 | 1.1E-4 |
6.1 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7591075E-5 | 6.7590125E-5 | 1.4202269 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.0394672E-4 | 2.339406E-4 | 1.1470672 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024803884 | 0.0025502148 | 1.0281514 | 7.0E-5 | 0.021580452 | 0.024544649 | 0.02465195 | 1.0043716 | 1.1E-4 |
6.2 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7591075E-5 | 6.7590125E-5 | 1.4202269 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.0394672E-4 | 2.339406E-4 | 1.1470672 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024803884 | 0.0025502148 | 1.0281514 | 7.0E-5 | 0.021580452 | 0.024544649 | 0.02465195 | 1.0043716 | 1.1E-4 |
6.3 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7591075E-5 | 6.7590125E-5 | 1.4202269 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.0394672E-4 | 2.339406E-4 | 1.1470672 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024803884 | 0.0025502148 | 1.0281514 | 7.0E-5 | 0.021580452 | 0.024544649 | 0.02465195 | 1.0043716 | 1.1E-4 |
6.4 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7591075E-5 | 6.7590125E-5 | 1.4202269 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.0394672E-4 | 2.339406E-4 | 1.1470672 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024803884 | 0.0025502148 | 1.0281514 | 7.0E-5 | 0.021580452 | 0.024544649 | 0.02465195 | 1.0043716 | 1.1E-4 |
6.5 | 3.154503E-5 | 3.5360503E-5 | 5.5359797E-5 | 1.5655828 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3518598E-4 | 1.5153673E-4 | 1.8153219E-4 | 1.1979418 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0016446467 | 0.0018434906 | 0.0018933985 | 1.0270724 | 5.0E-5 | 0.01632528 | 0.018291628 | 0.018370165 | 1.0042936 | 8.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.1535834E-5 | 3.5349887E-5 | 5.534918E-5 | 1.5657526 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3514658E-4 | 1.5149123E-4 | 1.8148668E-4 | 1.1980013 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0016441676 | 0.0018429377 | 0.0018928455 | 1.0270807 | 5.0E-5 | 0.01632056 | 0.018286189 | 0.018364726 | 1.0042949 | 8.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.8267326E-5 | 3.1470005E-5 | 5.1469375E-5 | 1.6355058 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2114006E-4 | 1.3486497E-4 | 1.6486092E-4 | 1.2224147 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0014738824 | 0.0016408293 | 0.0016907472 | 1.0304224 | 5.0E-5 | 0.014641452 | 0.016295906 | 0.016374603 | 1.0048292 | 8.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.8212884E-5 | 3.140789E-5 | 5.1407264E-5 | 1.6367626 | 2.0E-5 | 1.20906756E-4 | 1.3459878E-4 | 1.6459475E-4 | 1.2228546 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0014710457 | 0.0016375934 | 0.0016875116 | 1.0304826 | 5.0E-5 | 0.014613459 | 0.016264021 | 0.01634272 | 1.0048388 | 8.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.4227871E-5 | 2.6707532E-5 | 4.6707E-5 | 1.7488325 | 2.0E-5 | 1.03829596E-4 | 1.14456256E-4 | 1.4445282E-4 | 1.2620789 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0012633923 | 0.00139269 | 0.0014426204 | 1.0358517 | 5.0E-5 | 0.012562336 | 0.013847311 | 0.013926203 | 1.0056973 | 8.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.348524E-5 | 2.5836296E-5 | 4.583578E-5 | 1.7740848 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0064714E-4 | 1.1072271E-4 | 1.4071939E-4 | 1.2709172 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0012246901 | 0.001347291 | 0.0013972237 | 1.0370615 | 5.0E-5 | 0.012179627 | 0.013398864 | 0.013477793 | 1.0058906 | 8.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.2311642E-5 | 2.4463332E-5 | 4.4462842E-5 | 1.8175302 | 2.0E-5 | 9.561782E-5 | 1.04839055E-4 | 1.3483591E-4 | 1.2861229 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011635252 | 0.0012757429 | 0.0013256791 | 1.0391428 | 5.0E-5 | 0.01157452 | 0.01269171 | 0.012770696 | 1.0062233 | 8.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.6533986E-5 | 1.767069E-5 | 3.7670336E-5 | 2.1317978 | 2.0E-5 | 7.085802E-5 | 7.572969E-5 | 1.0572742E-4 | 1.3961158 | 3.0E-5 | 8.623549E-4 | 9.2168245E-4 | 9.716363E-4 | 1.0541986 | 5.0E-5 | 0.008590161 | 0.009184876 | 0.009254234 | 1.0075512 | 7.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.4703092E-5 | 1.555982E-5 | 3.555951E-5 | 2.2853417 | 2.0E-5 | 6.301173E-5 | 6.668359E-5 | 9.668159E-5 | 1.4498558 | 3.0E-5 | 7.668978E-4 | 8.116319E-4 | 8.6159137E-4 | 1.0615543 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0076425658 | 0.008092752 | 0.008162186 | 1.0085797 | 7.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.1331984E-6 | 5.5289447E-6 | 2.5528834E-5 | 4.6173067 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6284872E-5 | 2.3695266E-5 | 4.3694792E-5 | 1.8440305 | 2.0E-5 | 3.199713E-4 | 2.884522E-4 | 3.0844644E-4 | 1.0693156 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0031951098 | 0.0028808324 | 0.002920717 | 1.0138448 | 4.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.954766E-6 | 5.3385725E-6 | 2.5338466E-5 | 4.7462997 | 2.0E-5 | 2.5520176E-5 | 2.2879398E-5 | 4.2878943E-5 | 1.8741288 | 2.0E-5 | 3.1066386E-4 | 2.785216E-4 | 2.9851604E-4 | 1.0717877 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003102299 | 0.0027817793 | 0.0028216678 | 1.0143393 | 4.0E-5 |
7.6 | 4.9726646E-6 | 4.315354E-6 | 2.4315268E-5 | 5.634594 | 2.0E-5 | 2.1311245E-5 | 1.8494246E-5 | 3.8493876E-5 | 2.0813975 | 2.0E-5 | 2.5943352E-4 | 2.2514451E-4 | 2.4514E-4 | 1.0888119 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0025913084 | 0.0022491987 | 0.0022791312 | 1.013308 | 3.0E-5 |
7.7 | 3.3613894E-6 | 2.8527159E-6 | 2.2852659E-5 | 8.010842 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4405875E-5 | 1.222587E-5 | 3.2225624E-5 | 2.6358554 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7537741E-4 | 1.4884006E-4 | 1.6883708E-4 | 1.1343524 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017523908 | 0.00148743 | 0.0015074003 | 1.0134261 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.1828961E-6 | 1.0123005E-6 | 1.0123005E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.069545E-6 | 4.3384234E-6 | 4.3384234E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.171996E-5 | 5.2819054E-5 | 5.2819054E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.170282E-4 | 5.2806793E-4 | 5.2806793E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.2967266E-7 | 1.8619376E-7 | 1.8619376E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.843111E-7 | 7.9797303E-7 | 7.9797303E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.19839215E-5 | 9.7152815E-6 | 9.7152815E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1983275E-4 | 9.7148855E-5 | 9.7148855E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Baker
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.695525E-6 | 5.834856E-6 | 2.5834739E-5 | 4.4276567 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4409164E-5 | 2.500631E-5 | 4.500581E-5 | 1.7997781 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9714106E-4 | 3.044133E-4 | 3.8438893E-4 | 1.2627206 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0029674405 | 0.0030403587 | 0.003179933 | 1.0459073 | 1.4E-4 |
6.1 | 5.695525E-6 | 5.834856E-6 | 2.5834739E-5 | 4.4276567 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4409164E-5 | 2.500631E-5 | 4.500581E-5 | 1.7997781 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9714106E-4 | 3.044133E-4 | 3.8438893E-4 | 1.2627206 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0029674405 | 0.0030403587 | 0.003179933 | 1.0459073 | 1.4E-4 |
6.2 | 5.695525E-6 | 5.834856E-6 | 2.5834739E-5 | 4.4276567 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4409164E-5 | 2.500631E-5 | 4.500581E-5 | 1.7997781 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9714106E-4 | 3.044133E-4 | 3.8438893E-4 | 1.2627206 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0029674405 | 0.0030403587 | 0.003179933 | 1.0459073 | 1.4E-4 |
6.3 | 3.2995713E-6 | 3.3836786E-6 | 2.338361E-5 | 6.910707 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4140943E-5 | 1.4501402E-5 | 3.450111E-5 | 2.379157 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7215237E-4 | 1.7654074E-4 | 2.3653015E-4 | 1.3398049 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0017201907 | 0.0017640521 | 0.0018738579 | 1.0622464 | 1.1E-4 |
6.4 | 3.2995713E-6 | 3.3836786E-6 | 2.338361E-5 | 6.910707 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4140943E-5 | 1.4501402E-5 | 3.450111E-5 | 2.379157 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7215237E-4 | 1.7654074E-4 | 2.3653015E-4 | 1.3398049 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0017201907 | 0.0017640521 | 0.0018738579 | 1.0622464 | 1.1E-4 |
6.5 | 2.782202E-6 | 2.8558507E-6 | 2.2855793E-5 | 8.003147 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1923668E-5 | 1.2239304E-5 | 3.223906E-5 | 2.63406 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4516099E-4 | 1.4900367E-4 | 1.9899622E-4 | 1.3355122 | 5.0E-5 | 0.001450662 | 0.0014890704 | 0.0015789364 | 1.0603504 | 9.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.3163404E-6 | 2.380929E-6 | 2.2380882E-5 | 9.400063 | 2.0E-5 | 9.927136E-6 | 1.0203942E-5 | 3.0203739E-5 | 2.9600067 | 2.0E-5 | 1.20856166E-4 | 1.2422612E-4 | 1.7421991E-4 | 1.4024419 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0012079047 | 0.001241587 | 0.0013314752 | 1.0723978 | 9.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.037056E-6 | 2.0965088E-6 | 1.2096488E-5 | 5.769825 | 1.0E-5 | 8.7302105E-6 | 8.985007E-6 | 1.8984918E-5 | 2.112955 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0628513E-4 | 1.0938713E-4 | 1.3938385E-4 | 1.2742252 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010623431 | 0.0010933491 | 0.0011532834 | 1.0548173 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.8356744E-6 | 1.8915364E-6 | 1.1891518E-5 | 6.286698 | 1.0E-5 | 7.867153E-6 | 8.10656E-6 | 1.8106479E-5 | 2.233559 | 1.0E-5 | 9.577837E-5 | 9.869304E-5 | 1.1869107E-4 | 1.2026285 | 2.0E-5 | 9.57371E-4 | 9.865061E-4 | 0.0010364568 | 1.0506339 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.6310546E-6 | 1.6832144E-6 | 1.1683198E-5 | 6.941004 | 1.0E-5 | 6.9902153E-6 | 7.213757E-6 | 1.7213684E-5 | 2.3862302 | 1.0E-5 | 8.510255E-5 | 8.782406E-5 | 1.0782231E-4 | 1.227708 | 2.0E-5 | 8.5069967E-4 | 8.779048E-4 | 9.278609E-4 | 1.0569038 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.2058036E-6 | 1.2508729E-6 | 1.1250861E-5 | 8.994408 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1677193E-6 | 5.3608724E-6 | 1.536082E-5 | 2.8653579 | 1.0E-5 | 6.291517E-5 | 6.526669E-5 | 8.526539E-5 | 1.306415 | 2.0E-5 | 6.289736E-4 | 6.5247755E-4 | 7.0244493E-4 | 1.076581 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.052382E-6 | 1.0951668E-6 | 1.1095156E-5 | 10.131019 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5102006E-6 | 4.693564E-6 | 1.4693516E-5 | 3.1305673 | 1.0E-5 | 5.491031E-5 | 5.7142646E-5 | 7.714151E-5 | 1.3499813 | 2.0E-5 | 5.4896745E-4 | 5.712804E-4 | 6.212519E-4 | 1.0874727 | 5.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.0067454E-6 | 1.0487769E-6 | 1.1048766E-5 | 10.534906 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3146156E-6 | 4.4947506E-6 | 1.4494705E-5 | 3.2248075 | 1.0E-5 | 5.252918E-5 | 5.4722223E-5 | 7.472113E-5 | 1.3654622 | 2.0E-5 | 5.251676E-4 | 5.4708833E-4 | 5.97061E-4 | 1.0913429 | 5.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.3596316E-7 | 9.76778E-7 | 1.0976768E-5 | 11.237731 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0112645E-6 | 4.186185E-6 | 1.4186143E-5 | 3.3888 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8836053E-5 | 5.0965617E-5 | 6.0965107E-5 | 1.1962007 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8825322E-4 | 5.095401E-4 | 5.4951967E-4 | 1.0784621 | 4.0E-5 |
7.4 | 8.8117395E-7 | 9.2077187E-7 | 1.0920763E-5 | 11.860443 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7764542E-6 | 3.9461593E-6 | 1.394612E-5 | 3.5340996 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5977362E-5 | 4.8043436E-5 | 5.8042955E-5 | 1.208135 | 1.0E-5 | 4.596785E-4 | 4.8033125E-4 | 5.2031205E-4 | 1.0832359 | 4.0E-5 |
7.5 | 8.292386E-7 | 8.674649E-7 | 1.0867456E-5 | 12.527834 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5538749E-6 | 3.7177015E-6 | 1.3717664E-5 | 3.689824 | 1.0E-5 | 4.326757E-5 | 4.5262084E-5 | 5.526163E-5 | 1.2209255 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3259145E-4 | 4.5252938E-4 | 4.9251126E-4 | 1.0883521 | 4.0E-5 |
7.6 | 7.553842E-7 | 7.9145207E-7 | 7.9145207E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2373566E-6 | 3.3919332E-6 | 3.3919332E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9414106E-5 | 4.129601E-5 | 4.129601E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9407116E-4 | 4.1288408E-4 | 4.4287168E-4 | 1.0726296 | 3.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.5285366E-7 | 6.852842E-7 | 6.852842E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.797941E-6 | 2.9369291E-6 | 2.9369291E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.40644E-5 | 3.5756533E-5 | 3.5756533E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.405918E-4 | 3.5750846E-4 | 3.775013E-4 | 1.0559227 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.648288E-7 | 3.648288E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5635511E-6 | 1.5635511E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.9036073E-5 | 1.9036073E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.9034486E-4 | 1.9034486E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6696871E-9 | 2.6696871E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1441516E-8 | 1.1441516E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3930045E-7 | 1.3930045E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3930046E-6 | 1.3930046E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Coachella) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1925945E-4 | 3.2735174E-4 | 3.2735174E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.110118E-4 | 0.0014021865 | 0.0014021865 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0062038354 | 0.016939327 | 0.017027803 | 1.005223 | 9.0E-5 | 0.060334753 | 0.15269604 | 0.15281467 | 1.0007769 | 1.4E-4 |
6.1 | 1.1925945E-4 | 3.2735174E-4 | 3.2735174E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.110118E-4 | 0.0014021865 | 0.0014021865 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0062038354 | 0.016939327 | 0.017027803 | 1.005223 | 9.0E-5 | 0.060334753 | 0.15269604 | 0.15281467 | 1.0007769 | 1.4E-4 |
6.2 | 1.07432395E-4 | 3.023596E-4 | 3.023596E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.603433E-4 | 0.0012951873 | 0.0012951873 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005590286 | 0.01565599 | 0.015734738 | 1.0050299 | 8.0E-5 | 0.05451731 | 0.14184935 | 0.14195232 | 1.000726 | 1.2E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0718766E-4 | 3.0181266E-4 | 3.0181266E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.592948E-4 | 0.0012928456 | 0.0012928456 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005577586 | 0.015627889 | 0.01570664 | 1.0050391 | 8.0E-5 | 0.054396555 | 0.14161763 | 0.14172064 | 1.0007273 | 1.2E-4 |
6.4 | 1.0355944E-4 | 2.9389336E-4 | 2.9389336E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4375064E-4 | 0.001258939 | 0.001258939 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0053892885 | 0.015220915 | 0.015299697 | 1.005176 | 8.0E-5 | 0.052604496 | 0.13817544 | 0.13827886 | 1.0007485 | 1.2E-4 |
6.5 | 1.0227914E-4 | 2.9108766E-4 | 2.9108766E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.382655E-4 | 0.0012469261 | 0.0012469261 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0053228354 | 0.015076692 | 0.015155486 | 1.0052263 | 8.0E-5 | 0.051971316 | 0.13695958 | 0.13706316 | 1.0007561 | 1.2E-4 |
6.6 | 1.0116757E-4 | 2.8874516E-4 | 2.8874516E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3350324E-4 | 0.0012368963 | 0.0012368963 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052651367 | 0.014956261 | 0.015035065 | 1.0052689 | 8.0E-5 | 0.051421247 | 0.1359371 | 0.13604079 | 1.0007628 | 1.2E-4 |
6.7 | 1.0050676E-4 | 2.8733077E-4 | 2.8733077E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3067214E-4 | 0.0012308403 | 0.0012308403 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005230834 | 0.01488354 | 0.014962349 | 1.005295 | 8.0E-5 | 0.051094085 | 0.13532192 | 0.13542569 | 1.0007668 | 1.2E-4 |
6.8 | 9.976819E-5 | 2.8536728E-4 | 2.8536728E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2750788E-4 | 0.0012224333 | 0.0012224333 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051924936 | 0.014782578 | 0.014861395 | 1.0053318 | 8.0E-5 | 0.050728295 | 0.13447334 | 0.1345772 | 1.0007724 | 1.2E-4 |
6.9 | 9.77719E-5 | 2.8033604E-4 | 2.8033604E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1895514E-4 | 0.0012008909 | 0.0012008909 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0050888555 | 0.014523826 | 0.014602664 | 1.0054282 | 8.0E-5 | 0.049738888 | 0.13230172 | 0.13240585 | 1.000787 | 1.2E-4 |
7.0 | 8.500761E-5 | 2.476793E-4 | 2.476793E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6426744E-4 | 0.0010610541 | 0.0010610541 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044259406 | 0.01284259 | 0.012921563 | 1.0061493 | 8.0E-5 | 0.04338823 | 0.118151076 | 0.118256904 | 1.0008956 | 1.2E-4 |
7.1 | 8.319876E-5 | 2.4370618E-4 | 2.4370618E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5651738E-4 | 0.0010440402 | 0.0010440402 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004331963 | 0.0126378685 | 0.012716858 | 1.0062501 | 8.0E-5 | 0.042484846 | 0.11637106 | 0.116477095 | 1.0009112 | 1.2E-4 |
7.2 | 7.563917E-5 | 2.2418915E-4 | 2.2418915E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2412758E-4 | 9.604599E-4 | 9.604599E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039391145 | 0.011631592 | 0.011710661 | 1.0067978 | 8.0E-5 | 0.03870018 | 0.107777216 | 0.10788428 | 1.0009934 | 1.2E-4 |
7.3 | 7.082985E-5 | 2.0734889E-4 | 2.0734889E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0352117E-4 | 8.8833837E-4 | 8.8833837E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036891096 | 0.01076251 | 0.010841649 | 1.0073532 | 8.0E-5 | 0.03628465 | 0.10029867 | 0.10040664 | 1.0010765 | 1.2E-4 |
7.4 | 5.146215E-5 | 1.4277869E-4 | 1.4277869E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2053342E-4 | 6.1176607E-4 | 6.1176607E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026816884 | 0.007423004 | 0.00750241 | 1.0106974 | 8.0E-5 | 0.02649557 | 0.07086286 | 0.07097435 | 1.0015734 | 1.2E-4 |
7.5 | 4.0285166E-5 | 1.09450986E-4 | 1.09450986E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7263928E-4 | 4.6899164E-4 | 4.6899164E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002099857 | 0.0056950934 | 0.0057746377 | 1.0139672 | 8.0E-5 | 0.020801254 | 0.055024315 | 0.055118814 | 1.0017173 | 1.0E-4 |
7.6 | 3.1168736E-5 | 8.441976E-5 | 8.441976E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3357346E-4 | 3.617489E-4 | 3.617489E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016250437 | 0.0043954253 | 0.0044750734 | 1.0181208 | 8.0E-5 | 0.016132116 | 0.042821974 | 0.04291769 | 1.0022353 | 1.0E-4 |
7.7 | 2.2100989E-5 | 6.241421E-5 | 6.241421E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4715084E-5 | 2.674621E-4 | 2.674621E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001152546 | 0.003251495 | 0.0033312351 | 1.0245241 | 8.0E-5 | 0.011465867 | 0.031911246 | 0.032008056 | 1.0030336 | 1.0E-4 |
7.8 | 1.7484861E-5 | 5.181932E-5 | 5.181932E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.493296E-5 | 2.220639E-4 | 2.220639E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1192697E-4 | 0.002700279 | 0.0027700898 | 1.0258533 | 7.0E-5 | 0.009081938 | 0.026649911 | 0.026737511 | 1.0032871 | 9.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.3967285E-5 | 3.8241284E-5 | 3.8241284E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.985842E-5 | 1.6388092E-4 | 1.6388092E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2853256E-4 | 0.0019934257 | 0.002063286 | 1.0350454 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0072614877 | 0.019917965 | 0.020006172 | 1.0044285 | 9.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.1887396E-5 | 3.1081006E-5 | 3.1081006E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.094499E-5 | 1.3319752E-4 | 1.3319752E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.200787E-4 | 0.0016204745 | 0.0016803773 | 1.0369662 | 6.0E-5 | 0.006183513 | 0.016286531 | 0.016365228 | 1.004832 | 8.0E-5 |
8.1 | 5.100864E-6 | 8.979058E-6 | 8.979058E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1860664E-5 | 3.8481114E-5 | 3.8481114E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6612106E-4 | 4.6840697E-4 | 4.6840697E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002658026 | 0.0049204906 | 0.0049204906 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 2.3004484E-6 | 2.7884673E-6 | 2.7884673E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.859027E-6 | 1.195052E-5 | 1.195052E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2002704E-4 | 1.454879E-4 | 1.454879E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011996223 | 0.0015984424 | 0.0015984424 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.0424446E-7 | 5.820319E-8 | 5.820319E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4676187E-7 | 2.4944222E-7 | 2.4944222E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.439312E-6 | 3.0369551E-6 | 3.0369551E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4391792E-5 | 3.1931086E-5 | 3.1931086E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Lake Isabella (Seismicity)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.741694E-6 | 9.741694E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.1749525E-5 | 4.1749525E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.0819496E-4 | 5.5816956E-4 | 1.0983374 | 5.0E-5 | 0.004909227 | 0.005071621 | 0.0052009616 | 1.0255028 | 1.3E-4 |
6.1 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.741694E-6 | 9.741694E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.1749525E-5 | 4.1749525E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.0819496E-4 | 5.5816956E-4 | 1.0983374 | 5.0E-5 | 0.004909227 | 0.005071621 | 0.0052009616 | 1.0255028 | 1.3E-4 |
6.2 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.741694E-6 | 9.741694E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.1749525E-5 | 4.1749525E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.0819496E-4 | 5.5816956E-4 | 1.0983374 | 5.0E-5 | 0.004909227 | 0.005071621 | 0.0052009616 | 1.0255028 | 1.3E-4 |
6.3 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.741694E-6 | 9.741694E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.1749525E-5 | 4.1749525E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.0819496E-4 | 5.5816956E-4 | 1.0983374 | 5.0E-5 | 0.004909227 | 0.005071621 | 0.0052009616 | 1.0255028 | 1.3E-4 |
6.4 | 5.144063E-6 | 5.3000977E-6 | 5.3000977E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2045799E-5 | 2.2714525E-5 | 2.2714525E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6837454E-4 | 2.765177E-4 | 2.9651218E-4 | 1.0723081 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0026805066 | 0.002762077 | 0.0028618006 | 1.0361047 | 1.0E-4 |
6.5 | 5.144063E-6 | 5.3000977E-6 | 5.3000977E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2045799E-5 | 2.2714525E-5 | 2.2714525E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6837454E-4 | 2.765177E-4 | 2.9651218E-4 | 1.0723081 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0026805066 | 0.002762077 | 0.0028618006 | 1.0361047 | 1.0E-4 |
6.6 | 3.4009804E-6 | 3.4987995E-6 | 3.4987995E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4575549E-5 | 1.4994778E-5 | 1.4994778E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7744285E-4 | 1.8254772E-4 | 1.9254591E-4 | 1.0547702 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017730123 | 0.0018241355 | 0.0018740443 | 1.0273602 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.3880428E-6 | 3.4856662E-6 | 3.4856662E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4520103E-5 | 1.4938492E-5 | 1.4938492E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.767679E-4 | 1.8186258E-4 | 1.9186074E-4 | 1.0549766 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017662736 | 0.0018172951 | 0.0018672043 | 1.0274634 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.6582E-6 | 2.7337105E-6 | 2.7337105E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1392236E-5 | 1.1715857E-5 | 1.1715857E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3869164E-4 | 1.4263256E-4 | 1.5263114E-4 | 1.0701002 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013860512 | 0.0014255423 | 0.0014754711 | 1.0350244 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.406011E-6 | 2.474338E-6 | 2.474338E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0311434E-5 | 1.0604271E-5 | 1.0604271E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2553448E-4 | 1.2910066E-4 | 1.3909937E-4 | 1.077449 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012546359 | 0.0012903863 | 0.0013203475 | 1.0232189 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.6953097E-6 | 1.7429437E-6 | 1.7429437E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.265593E-6 | 7.469743E-6 | 7.469743E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8455E-5 | 9.094137E-5 | 1.00940466E-4 | 1.1099509 | 1.0E-5 | 8.84198E-4 | 9.0914435E-4 | 9.2912617E-4 | 1.0219787 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.5013824E-7 | 3.571492E-7 | 3.571492E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5005916E-6 | 1.5306384E-6 | 1.5306384E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.826955E-5 | 1.8635366E-5 | 1.8635366E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8268047E-4 | 1.863383E-4 | 1.863383E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.2321095E-7 | 2.2750632E-7 | 2.2750632E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.56618E-7 | 9.750268E-7 | 9.750268E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1646762E-5 | 1.1870887E-5 | 1.1870887E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1646151E-4 | 1.1870263E-4 | 1.1870263E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.5760406E-7 | 1.6060963E-7 | 1.6060963E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7544585E-7 | 6.883268E-7 | 6.883268E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.223522E-6 | 8.380347E-6 | 8.380347E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2232174E-5 | 8.3800376E-5 | 8.3800376E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.1216497E-7 | 1.1431735E-7 | 1.1431735E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8070694E-7 | 4.8993144E-7 | 4.8993144E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.852591E-6 | 5.964899E-6 | 5.964899E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8524372E-5 | 5.9647435E-5 | 5.9647435E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.885185E-8 | 4.9787864E-8 | 4.9787864E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0936506E-7 | 2.1337654E-7 | 2.1337654E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5490165E-6 | 2.5978566E-6 | 2.5978566E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5489873E-5 | 2.597828E-5 | 2.597828E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.504641E-9 | 1.5317939E-9 | 1.5317939E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4484613E-9 | 6.5648313E-9 | 6.5648313E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.851001E-8 | 7.992682E-8 | 7.992682E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8509987E-7 | 7.992682E-7 | 7.992682E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Owens Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.83821E-5 | 3.621193E-6 | 1.36211565E-5 | 3.7615108 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0733538E-4 | 1.5519312E-5 | 2.5519155E-5 | 1.6443485 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002521386 | 1.8893222E-4 | 2.58919E-4 | 1.3704332 | 7.0E-5 | 0.024929691 | 0.001929822 | 0.0020495905 | 1.0620619 | 1.2E-4 |
6.1 | 4.83821E-5 | 3.621193E-6 | 1.36211565E-5 | 3.7615108 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0733538E-4 | 1.5519312E-5 | 2.5519155E-5 | 1.6443485 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002521386 | 1.8893222E-4 | 2.58919E-4 | 1.3704332 | 7.0E-5 | 0.024929691 | 0.001929822 | 0.0020495905 | 1.0620619 | 1.2E-4 |
6.2 | 4.83821E-5 | 3.621193E-6 | 1.36211565E-5 | 3.7615108 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0733538E-4 | 1.5519312E-5 | 2.5519155E-5 | 1.6443485 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002521386 | 1.8893222E-4 | 2.58919E-4 | 1.3704332 | 7.0E-5 | 0.024929691 | 0.001929822 | 0.0020495905 | 1.0620619 | 1.2E-4 |
6.3 | 3.953008E-5 | 3.153231E-6 | 3.153231E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6940363E-4 | 1.3513782E-5 | 1.3513782E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002060538 | 1.645186E-4 | 2.2450872E-4 | 1.3646404 | 6.0E-5 | 0.020415364 | 0.0016622683 | 0.0017621021 | 1.0600587 | 1.0E-4 |
6.4 | 3.953008E-5 | 3.153231E-6 | 3.153231E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6940363E-4 | 1.3513782E-5 | 1.3513782E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002060538 | 1.645186E-4 | 2.2450872E-4 | 1.3646404 | 6.0E-5 | 0.020415364 | 0.0016622683 | 0.0017621021 | 1.0600587 | 1.0E-4 |
6.5 | 3.457342E-5 | 2.970874E-6 | 2.970874E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4816338E-4 | 1.2732259E-5 | 1.2732259E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018023965 | 1.5500492E-4 | 2.1499563E-4 | 1.3870245 | 6.0E-5 | 0.017878477 | 0.0015564174 | 0.0016562617 | 1.0641501 | 1.0E-4 |
6.6 | 3.1127765E-5 | 2.8738657E-6 | 2.8738657E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3339789E-4 | 1.2316514E-5 | 1.2316514E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016229092 | 1.4994392E-4 | 2.0993492E-4 | 1.4000896 | 6.0E-5 | 0.016111081 | 0.001501446 | 0.0016012959 | 1.0665025 | 1.0E-4 |
6.7 | 2.806885E-5 | 2.8102859E-6 | 2.8102859E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2028952E-4 | 1.204403E-5 | 1.204403E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001463541 | 1.4662689E-4 | 2.0661809E-4 | 1.4091419 | 6.0E-5 | 0.014539397 | 0.0014657174 | 0.0015655708 | 1.068126 | 1.0E-4 |
6.8 | 2.524524E-5 | 2.2352563E-6 | 2.2352563E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0818939E-4 | 9.579636E-6 | 9.579636E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013164099 | 1.1662613E-4 | 1.7661913E-4 | 1.5144044 | 6.0E-5 | 0.01308639 | 0.0011659319 | 0.0012658153 | 1.0856683 | 1.0E-4 |
6.9 | 2.2704568E-5 | 1.6080646E-6 | 1.6080646E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.730166E-5 | 6.8916875E-6 | 6.8916875E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011840039 | 8.390308E-5 | 1.4389805E-4 | 1.7150508 | 6.0E-5 | 0.011777153 | 8.3894585E-4 | 9.388619E-4 | 1.1190972 | 1.0E-4 |
7.0 | 2.0871712E-5 | 1.5394511E-6 | 1.5394511E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.944713E-5 | 6.597631E-6 | 6.597631E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010884746 | 8.032321E-5 | 1.403184E-4 | 1.746922 | 6.0E-5 | 0.010831586 | 8.0313E-4 | 9.0304966E-4 | 1.1244129 | 1.0E-4 |
7.1 | 1.944928E-5 | 1.3863316E-6 | 1.3863316E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.335139E-5 | 5.941408E-6 | 5.941408E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010143308 | 7.233425E-5 | 1.3232991E-4 | 1.8294226 | 6.0E-5 | 0.010097133 | 7.232817E-4 | 8.2320935E-4 | 1.1381587 | 1.0E-4 |
7.2 | 1.7876306E-5 | 1.2488347E-6 | 1.2488347E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6610486E-5 | 5.352138E-6 | 5.352138E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3233347E-4 | 6.516034E-5 | 1.1515708E-4 | 1.767288 | 5.0E-5 | 0.009284316 | 6.5157266E-4 | 7.4151397E-4 | 1.1380373 | 9.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.2618672E-5 | 1.1114453E-6 | 1.1114453E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.40789E-5 | 4.763328E-6 | 4.763328E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.582117E-4 | 5.7991983E-5 | 1.07989086E-4 | 1.8621382 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0065626553 | 5.7992374E-4 | 6.698716E-4 | 1.1551028 | 9.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.4874442E-6 | 8.548014E-7 | 8.548014E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.208865E-5 | 3.6634294E-6 | 3.6634294E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.906093E-4 | 4.4601344E-5 | 9.459911E-5 | 2.1209924 | 5.0E-5 | 0.003899234 | 4.4603736E-4 | 5.359972E-4 | 1.2016869 | 9.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.4734156E-6 | 6.0683584E-7 | 6.0683584E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.060031E-5 | 2.6007224E-6 | 2.6007224E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2905113E-4 | 3.1663338E-5 | 6.166239E-5 | 1.947438 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0012897621 | 3.165886E-4 | 3.8656642E-4 | 1.2210371 | 7.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.1328841E-6 | 3.1963748E-7 | 3.1963748E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8552088E-6 | 1.3698742E-6 | 1.3698742E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9110564E-5 | 1.6678092E-5 | 2.6677926E-5 | 1.599579 | 1.0E-5 | 5.9094845E-4 | 1.667686E-4 | 2.0676192E-4 | 1.2398133 | 4.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.8613185E-7 | 8.9632934E-8 | 8.9632934E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0834207E-6 | 3.8414112E-7 | 3.8414112E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.536535E-5 | 4.6769087E-6 | 4.6769087E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5362454E-4 | 4.676817E-5 | 4.676817E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Ynez (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.6751615E-5 | 5.675088E-5 | 1.5441737 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5750073E-4 | 1.9749445E-4 | 1.2539271 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0016823979 | 0.001916469 | 0.0019963156 | 1.0416634 | 8.0E-5 | 0.016697178 | 0.01905687 | 0.019164773 | 1.0056622 | 1.1E-4 |
6.1 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.6751615E-5 | 5.675088E-5 | 1.5441737 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5750073E-4 | 1.9749445E-4 | 1.2539271 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0016823979 | 0.001916469 | 0.0019963156 | 1.0416634 | 8.0E-5 | 0.016697178 | 0.01905687 | 0.019164773 | 1.0056622 | 1.1E-4 |
6.2 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.6751615E-5 | 5.675088E-5 | 1.5441737 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5750073E-4 | 1.9749445E-4 | 1.2539271 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0016823979 | 0.001916469 | 0.0019963156 | 1.0416634 | 8.0E-5 | 0.016697178 | 0.01905687 | 0.019164773 | 1.0056622 | 1.1E-4 |
6.3 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.6751615E-5 | 5.675088E-5 | 1.5441737 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5750073E-4 | 1.9749445E-4 | 1.2539271 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0016823979 | 0.001916469 | 0.0019963156 | 1.0416634 | 8.0E-5 | 0.016697178 | 0.01905687 | 0.019164773 | 1.0056622 | 1.1E-4 |
6.4 | 1.4404779E-5 | 1.4849478E-5 | 2.484933E-5 | 1.6734143 | 1.0E-5 | 6.1733306E-5 | 6.36391E-5 | 7.363846E-5 | 1.1571261 | 1.0E-5 | 7.513438E-4 | 7.7453564E-4 | 8.145047E-4 | 1.0516038 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0074880854 | 0.0077189123 | 0.007768526 | 1.0064276 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.4404779E-5 | 1.4849478E-5 | 2.484933E-5 | 1.6734143 | 1.0E-5 | 6.1733306E-5 | 6.36391E-5 | 7.363846E-5 | 1.1571261 | 1.0E-5 | 7.513438E-4 | 7.7453564E-4 | 8.145047E-4 | 1.0516038 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0074880854 | 0.0077189123 | 0.007768526 | 1.0064276 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.280208E-5 | 1.3012008E-5 | 1.3012008E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4864904E-5 | 5.576457E-5 | 5.576457E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6777546E-4 | 6.787239E-4 | 7.0870353E-4 | 1.0441706 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006657724 | 0.00676672 | 0.0068064495 | 1.0058713 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2457027E-5 | 1.2628523E-5 | 1.2628523E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3386164E-5 | 5.4121127E-5 | 5.4121127E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.497827E-4 | 6.587272E-4 | 6.8870746E-4 | 1.0455123 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00647886 | 0.006567944 | 0.006607681 | 1.0060502 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2095134E-5 | 1.2230965E-5 | 1.2230965E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1835254E-5 | 5.2417377E-5 | 5.2417377E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.309115E-4 | 6.379963E-4 | 6.6797715E-4 | 1.0469922 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0062912325 | 0.006361835 | 0.0064015808 | 1.0062475 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.1104036E-5 | 1.1157385E-5 | 1.1157385E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.758786E-5 | 4.78165E-5 | 4.78165E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7922816E-4 | 5.820116E-4 | 6.119941E-4 | 1.0515153 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005777207 | 0.005805019 | 0.0058447868 | 1.0068506 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0577444E-5 | 1.0581712E-5 | 1.0581712E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5331115E-5 | 4.534941E-5 | 4.534941E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5176654E-4 | 5.519904E-4 | 5.819738E-4 | 1.0543188 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0055039856 | 0.0055063316 | 0.005546111 | 1.0072243 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0021775E-5 | 9.981012E-6 | 9.981012E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.294976E-5 | 4.277507E-5 | 4.277507E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2278786E-4 | 5.206632E-4 | 5.506476E-4 | 1.0575888 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0052155964 | 0.005194566 | 0.0052343584 | 1.0076604 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 8.874109E-6 | 8.748804E-6 | 8.748804E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8031343E-5 | 3.749434E-5 | 3.749434E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.629332E-4 | 4.5639908E-4 | 4.7638995E-4 | 1.0438013 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0046197 | 0.0045547355 | 0.0045845993 | 1.0065565 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.5504267E-6 | 7.5050975E-6 | 7.5050975E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.235857E-5 | 3.2164313E-5 | 3.2164313E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9389438E-4 | 3.9153118E-4 | 4.0152724E-4 | 1.0255307 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0039319694 | 0.0039085206 | 0.0039284425 | 1.005097 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.309394E-6 | 6.1831197E-6 | 6.1831197E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.703998E-5 | 2.6498821E-5 | 2.6498821E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2916202E-4 | 3.2257635E-4 | 3.2257635E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003286749 | 0.0032211784 | 0.0032311461 | 1.0030944 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.6103073E-6 | 4.4408375E-6 | 4.4408375E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.975831E-5 | 1.9032026E-5 | 1.9032026E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4053088E-4 | 2.3169098E-4 | 2.3169098E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002402707 | 0.0023145638 | 0.0023245406 | 1.0043105 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.2858658E-6 | 1.3008295E-6 | 1.3008295E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5108417E-6 | 5.574972E-6 | 5.574972E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7092435E-5 | 6.787324E-5 | 6.787324E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.707218E-4 | 6.78532E-4 | 6.78532E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.3302307E-7 | 5.612178E-7 | 5.612178E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2843826E-6 | 2.4052172E-6 | 2.4052172E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7812002E-5 | 2.9283161E-5 | 2.9283161E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7808524E-4 | 2.927966E-4 | 2.927966E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.613933E-8 | 4.803036E-8 | 4.803036E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9773998E-7 | 2.0584437E-7 | 2.0584437E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4074816E-6 | 2.5061524E-6 | 2.5061524E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4074554E-5 | 2.5061252E-5 | 2.5061252E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (San Jacinto Valley) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.652694E-5 | 3.441575E-5 | 5.441506E-5 | 1.5811093 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5653463E-4 | 1.4748774E-4 | 1.8748183E-4 | 1.271169 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0019041431 | 0.0017941861 | 0.0018840246 | 1.0500721 | 9.0E-5 | 0.018879099 | 0.01853357 | 0.018651346 | 1.0063547 | 1.2E-4 |
6.1 | 3.652694E-5 | 3.441575E-5 | 5.441506E-5 | 1.5811093 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5653463E-4 | 1.4748774E-4 | 1.8748183E-4 | 1.271169 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0019041431 | 0.0017941861 | 0.0018840246 | 1.0500721 | 9.0E-5 | 0.018879099 | 0.01853357 | 0.018651346 | 1.0063547 | 1.2E-4 |
6.2 | 3.652694E-5 | 3.441575E-5 | 5.441506E-5 | 1.5811093 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5653463E-4 | 1.4748774E-4 | 1.8748183E-4 | 1.271169 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0019041431 | 0.0017941861 | 0.0018840246 | 1.0500721 | 9.0E-5 | 0.018879099 | 0.01853357 | 0.018651346 | 1.0063547 | 1.2E-4 |
6.3 | 3.652694E-5 | 3.441575E-5 | 5.441506E-5 | 1.5811093 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5653463E-4 | 1.4748774E-4 | 1.8748183E-4 | 1.271169 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0019041431 | 0.0017941861 | 0.0018840246 | 1.0500721 | 9.0E-5 | 0.018879099 | 0.01853357 | 0.018651346 | 1.0063547 | 1.2E-4 |
6.4 | 3.646941E-5 | 3.4337318E-5 | 5.4336633E-5 | 1.5824367 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5628811E-4 | 1.4715164E-4 | 1.8714576E-4 | 1.2717885 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0019011468 | 0.0017901013 | 0.0018799403 | 1.0501865 | 9.0E-5 | 0.018849645 | 0.01849345 | 0.01861123 | 1.0063688 | 1.2E-4 |
6.5 | 3.646941E-5 | 3.4337318E-5 | 5.4336633E-5 | 1.5824367 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5628811E-4 | 1.4715164E-4 | 1.8714576E-4 | 1.2717885 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0019011468 | 0.0017901013 | 0.0018799403 | 1.0501865 | 9.0E-5 | 0.018849645 | 0.01849345 | 0.01861123 | 1.0063688 | 1.2E-4 |
6.6 | 3.6442503E-5 | 3.4300705E-5 | 5.4300017E-5 | 1.5830584 | 2.0E-5 | 1.561728E-4 | 1.4699475E-4 | 1.8698887E-4 | 1.2720785 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0018997455 | 0.0017881944 | 0.0018780334 | 1.05024 | 9.0E-5 | 0.018835869 | 0.018474717 | 0.018592501 | 1.0063753 | 1.2E-4 |
6.7 | 3.6432113E-5 | 3.428628E-5 | 5.4285592E-5 | 1.5833037 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5612828E-4 | 1.4693293E-4 | 1.8692705E-4 | 1.2721931 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0018992044 | 0.0017874431 | 0.0018772822 | 1.0502613 | 9.0E-5 | 0.018830549 | 0.01846734 | 0.018585125 | 1.0063779 | 1.2E-4 |
6.8 | 3.6409598E-5 | 3.4255332E-5 | 5.4254648E-5 | 1.5838307 | 2.0E-5 | 1.560318E-4 | 1.4680032E-4 | 1.8679445E-4 | 1.272439 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0018980318 | 0.0017858313 | 0.0018756705 | 1.0503067 | 9.0E-5 | 0.018819023 | 0.018451495 | 0.01856928 | 1.0063835 | 1.2E-4 |
6.9 | 3.638078E-5 | 3.4215755E-5 | 5.421507E-5 | 1.584506 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5590832E-4 | 1.4663071E-4 | 1.8662485E-4 | 1.2727541 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0018965311 | 0.0017837697 | 0.0018736091 | 1.050365 | 9.0E-5 | 0.018804269 | 0.018431228 | 0.018549016 | 1.0063907 | 1.2E-4 |
7.0 | 3.6294874E-5 | 3.4097768E-5 | 5.4097087E-5 | 1.5865287 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5554018E-4 | 1.4612512E-4 | 1.8611927E-4 | 1.273698 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0018920569 | 0.0017776241 | 0.0018674642 | 1.0505394 | 9.0E-5 | 0.018760284 | 0.018370807 | 0.018488603 | 1.0064121 | 1.2E-4 |
7.1 | 3.6260717E-5 | 3.4054046E-5 | 5.4053366E-5 | 1.5872817 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5539382E-4 | 1.4593777E-4 | 1.8593193E-4 | 1.2740494 | 4.0E-5 | 0.001890278 | 0.0017753469 | 0.0018651872 | 1.0506043 | 9.0E-5 | 0.018742796 | 0.018348401 | 0.018466199 | 1.0064201 | 1.2E-4 |
7.2 | 3.6210204E-5 | 3.3988264E-5 | 5.3987584E-5 | 1.5884184 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5517735E-4 | 1.4565587E-4 | 1.8565005E-4 | 1.2745799 | 4.0E-5 | 0.001887647 | 0.0017719205 | 0.001861761 | 1.0507023 | 9.0E-5 | 0.01871693 | 0.018314669 | 0.01843247 | 1.0064322 | 1.2E-4 |
7.3 | 3.6119454E-5 | 3.3876542E-5 | 5.3875865E-5 | 1.590359 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5478847E-4 | 1.4517711E-4 | 1.851713E-4 | 1.2754855 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0018829206 | 0.0017661011 | 0.0018559421 | 1.0508697 | 9.0E-5 | 0.018670462 | 0.01825722 | 0.01837503 | 1.0064528 | 1.2E-4 |
7.4 | 3.607848E-5 | 3.382404E-5 | 5.382336E-5 | 1.5912755 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5461289E-4 | 1.4495212E-4 | 1.8494633E-4 | 1.2759132 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0018807866 | 0.0017633662 | 0.0018532075 | 1.0509487 | 9.0E-5 | 0.018649481 | 0.018230215 | 0.018348027 | 1.0064625 | 1.2E-4 |
7.5 | 3.5856774E-5 | 3.363379E-5 | 5.3633117E-5 | 1.5946201 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5366284E-4 | 1.4413687E-4 | 1.841311E-4 | 1.277474 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0018692396 | 0.0017534565 | 0.0018432987 | 1.0512372 | 9.0E-5 | 0.018535944 | 0.018131303 | 0.018249126 | 1.0064983 | 1.2E-4 |
7.6 | 3.286655E-5 | 3.2156633E-5 | 5.2155992E-5 | 1.6219356 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4084904E-4 | 1.3780687E-4 | 1.7780137E-4 | 1.2902213 | 4.0E-5 | 0.001713488 | 0.0016765095 | 0.0017663586 | 1.0535929 | 9.0E-5 | 0.017003361 | 0.01735091 | 0.017468829 | 1.0067961 | 1.2E-4 |
7.7 | 2.8882527E-5 | 2.9249288E-5 | 3.9248996E-5 | 1.3418787 | 1.0E-5 | 1.237764E-4 | 1.2534807E-4 | 1.5534431E-4 | 1.2393036 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0015059357 | 0.0015250455 | 0.0016049235 | 1.0523775 | 8.0E-5 | 0.014957713 | 0.015837153 | 0.01594541 | 1.0068357 | 1.1E-4 |
7.8 | 2.4950225E-5 | 2.6539781E-5 | 3.6539517E-5 | 1.3767829 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0692515E-4 | 1.1373697E-4 | 1.4373356E-4 | 1.2637365 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0013010362 | 0.0013838689 | 0.0014637582 | 1.057729 | 8.0E-5 | 0.012934455 | 0.014418158 | 0.014526571 | 1.0075192 | 1.1E-4 |
7.9 | 1.9881603E-5 | 2.1518656E-5 | 3.151844E-5 | 1.4647031 | 1.0E-5 | 8.520408E-5 | 9.2219554E-5 | 1.2221679E-4 | 1.3252807 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001036866 | 0.0011221955 | 0.001192117 | 1.0623077 | 7.0E-5 | 0.010320415 | 0.011782875 | 0.011881697 | 1.0083869 | 1.0E-4 |
8.0 | 1.563292E-5 | 1.5946089E-5 | 1.5946089E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6996516E-5 | 6.8338595E-5 | 7.8337915E-5 | 1.1463202 | 1.0E-5 | 8.153773E-4 | 8.3170546E-4 | 8.716722E-4 | 1.048054 | 4.0E-5 | 0.00812392 | 0.00881513 | 0.008884513 | 1.0078709 | 7.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.0045313E-5 | 8.306527E-6 | 8.306527E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.305063E-5 | 3.5598918E-5 | 3.5598918E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2401534E-4 | 4.3333112E-4 | 4.433268E-4 | 1.023067 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0052278144 | 0.0046616676 | 0.0046716207 | 1.0021352 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 4.1554413E-6 | 1.5665041E-6 | 1.5665041E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7808914E-5 | 6.713572E-6 | 6.713572E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1680194E-4 | 8.17347E-5 | 8.17347E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021659054 | 9.488419E-4 | 9.488419E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2758221E-6 | 3.6171858E-7 | 3.6171858E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4677976E-6 | 1.5502216E-6 | 1.5502216E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.65684E-5 | 1.8873789E-5 | 1.8873789E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6548464E-4 | 2.2764095E-4 | 2.2764095E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cleghorn Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.0522846E-5 | 1.1040714E-5 | 1.1040714E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.509713E-5 | 4.7316782E-5 | 5.731631E-5 | 1.2113315 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4891926E-4 | 5.759822E-4 | 6.159592E-4 | 1.0694066 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0054756533 | 0.005750059 | 0.0058494844 | 1.0172911 | 1.0E-4 |
6.1 | 1.0522846E-5 | 1.1040714E-5 | 1.1040714E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.509713E-5 | 4.7316782E-5 | 5.731631E-5 | 1.2113315 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4891926E-4 | 5.759822E-4 | 6.159592E-4 | 1.0694066 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0054756533 | 0.005750059 | 0.0058494844 | 1.0172911 | 1.0E-4 |
6.2 | 2.1045846E-6 | 2.2082168E-6 | 2.2082168E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.019617E-6 | 9.463776E-6 | 9.463776E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.098083E-4 | 1.1521958E-4 | 1.1521958E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010975406 | 0.0011520098 | 0.0011719867 | 1.017341 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.1045846E-6 | 2.2082168E-6 | 2.2082168E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.019617E-6 | 9.463776E-6 | 9.463776E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.098083E-4 | 1.1521958E-4 | 1.1521958E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010975406 | 0.0011520098 | 0.0011719867 | 1.017341 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.7259927E-6 | 1.8108889E-6 | 1.8108889E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3970905E-6 | 7.760952E-6 | 7.760952E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.005586E-5 | 9.4489595E-5 | 9.4489595E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.001937E-4 | 9.4489596E-4 | 9.648771E-4 | 1.0211463 | 2.0E-5 |
San Jacinto (Stepovers Combined)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.0667746E-5 | 3.5285528E-5 | 4.5285175E-5 | 1.2833923 | 1.0E-5 | 1.742787E-4 | 1.5121493E-4 | 1.812104E-4 | 1.1983631 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0021197782 | 0.0018394884 | 0.0019193413 | 1.0434103 | 8.0E-5 | 0.020996714 | 0.018993655 | 0.019101566 | 1.0056814 | 1.1E-4 |
6.1 | 4.0667746E-5 | 3.5285528E-5 | 4.5285175E-5 | 1.2833923 | 1.0E-5 | 1.742787E-4 | 1.5121493E-4 | 1.812104E-4 | 1.1983631 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0021197782 | 0.0018394884 | 0.0019193413 | 1.0434103 | 8.0E-5 | 0.020996714 | 0.018993655 | 0.019101566 | 1.0056814 | 1.1E-4 |
6.2 | 4.0667746E-5 | 3.5285528E-5 | 4.5285175E-5 | 1.2833923 | 1.0E-5 | 1.742787E-4 | 1.5121493E-4 | 1.812104E-4 | 1.1983631 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0021197782 | 0.0018394884 | 0.0019193413 | 1.0434103 | 8.0E-5 | 0.020996714 | 0.018993655 | 0.019101566 | 1.0056814 | 1.1E-4 |
6.3 | 4.0667746E-5 | 3.5285528E-5 | 4.5285175E-5 | 1.2833923 | 1.0E-5 | 1.742787E-4 | 1.5121493E-4 | 1.812104E-4 | 1.1983631 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0021197782 | 0.0018394884 | 0.0019193413 | 1.0434103 | 8.0E-5 | 0.020996714 | 0.018993655 | 0.019101566 | 1.0056814 | 1.1E-4 |
6.4 | 4.0577226E-5 | 3.515743E-5 | 4.515708E-5 | 1.2844249 | 1.0E-5 | 1.738908E-4 | 1.5066602E-4 | 1.806615E-4 | 1.199086 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0021150648 | 0.0018328178 | 0.0019126713 | 1.0435686 | 8.0E-5 | 0.020950472 | 0.018928219 | 0.019036137 | 1.0057014 | 1.1E-4 |
6.5 | 4.0577226E-5 | 3.515743E-5 | 4.515708E-5 | 1.2844249 | 1.0E-5 | 1.738908E-4 | 1.5066602E-4 | 1.806615E-4 | 1.199086 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0021150648 | 0.0018328178 | 0.0019126713 | 1.0435686 | 8.0E-5 | 0.020950472 | 0.018928219 | 0.019036137 | 1.0057014 | 1.1E-4 |
6.6 | 4.053861E-5 | 3.510277E-5 | 4.510242E-5 | 1.2848678 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7372532E-4 | 1.5043179E-4 | 1.8042728E-4 | 1.1993959 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0021130538 | 0.0018299713 | 0.0019098249 | 1.0436366 | 8.0E-5 | 0.020930743 | 0.018900296 | 0.019008217 | 1.00571 | 1.1E-4 |
6.7 | 4.0516545E-5 | 3.5071844E-5 | 4.5071494E-5 | 1.285119 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7363077E-4 | 1.5029925E-4 | 1.8029475E-4 | 1.1995717 | 3.0E-5 | 0.002111905 | 0.0018283607 | 0.0019082144 | 1.0436751 | 8.0E-5 | 0.020919468 | 0.018884491 | 0.018992415 | 1.0057149 | 1.1E-4 |
6.8 | 4.049434E-5 | 3.5043406E-5 | 4.5043053E-5 | 1.2853504 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7353562E-4 | 1.501774E-4 | 1.8017288E-4 | 1.1997337 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0021107488 | 0.0018268795 | 0.0019067334 | 1.0437105 | 8.0E-5 | 0.020908125 | 0.018869905 | 0.018977828 | 1.0057194 | 1.1E-4 |
6.9 | 4.046386E-5 | 3.5005964E-5 | 4.500561E-5 | 1.2856556 | 1.0E-5 | 1.73405E-4 | 1.5001695E-4 | 1.8001244E-4 | 1.1999474 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0021091616 | 0.0018249294 | 0.0019047833 | 1.0437573 | 8.0E-5 | 0.020892553 | 0.018850677 | 0.018958602 | 1.0057254 | 1.1E-4 |
7.0 | 4.036382E-5 | 3.4886525E-5 | 4.4886176E-5 | 1.2866336 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7297632E-4 | 1.4950513E-4 | 1.7950064E-4 | 1.200632 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0021039525 | 0.0018187086 | 0.0018985631 | 1.0439073 | 8.0E-5 | 0.02084144 | 0.018789288 | 0.01889722 | 1.0057445 | 1.1E-4 |
7.1 | 4.0343282E-5 | 3.486499E-5 | 4.486464E-5 | 1.2868106 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7288832E-4 | 1.4941284E-4 | 1.7940835E-4 | 1.200756 | 3.0E-5 | 0.002102883 | 0.0018175867 | 0.0018974413 | 1.0439345 | 8.0E-5 | 0.020830948 | 0.018778158 | 0.018886093 | 1.0057479 | 1.1E-4 |
7.2 | 4.0257353E-5 | 3.476948E-5 | 4.4769135E-5 | 1.2875985 | 1.0E-5 | 1.725201E-4 | 1.4900356E-4 | 1.7899911E-4 | 1.2013074 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0020984085 | 0.0018126123 | 0.0018924673 | 1.0440552 | 8.0E-5 | 0.020787042 | 0.018728893 | 0.018836834 | 1.0057633 | 1.1E-4 |
7.3 | 3.9940667E-5 | 3.459712E-5 | 4.4596774E-5 | 1.2890314 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7116306E-4 | 1.4826495E-4 | 1.7826051E-4 | 1.2023104 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0020819185 | 0.0018036346 | 0.0018834902 | 1.0442749 | 8.0E-5 | 0.020625217 | 0.018637514 | 0.018745463 | 1.005792 | 1.1E-4 |
7.4 | 3.9721202E-5 | 3.44825E-5 | 4.4482153E-5 | 1.2899922 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7022261E-4 | 1.4777378E-4 | 1.7776935E-4 | 1.202983 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0020704903 | 0.0017976643 | 0.0018775206 | 1.0444221 | 8.0E-5 | 0.020513052 | 0.018576635 | 0.018684592 | 1.0058115 | 1.1E-4 |
7.5 | 3.7036873E-5 | 3.354985E-5 | 4.3549517E-5 | 1.2980539 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5871979E-4 | 1.4377717E-4 | 1.7377286E-4 | 1.2086263 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0019307006 | 0.0017490846 | 0.0018289447 | 1.0456582 | 8.0E-5 | 0.019140124 | 0.018078115 | 0.018186126 | 1.0059747 | 1.1E-4 |
7.6 | 3.2940967E-5 | 3.1330474E-5 | 4.133016E-5 | 1.3191681 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4116794E-4 | 1.3426656E-4 | 1.6426254E-4 | 1.2234061 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0017173645 | 0.001633472 | 0.0017133413 | 1.0488955 | 8.0E-5 | 0.01704153 | 0.01691088 | 0.01701902 | 1.0063947 | 1.1E-4 |
7.7 | 2.8236149E-5 | 2.7896147E-5 | 2.7896147E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2100645E-4 | 1.1954944E-4 | 1.3954705E-4 | 1.1672748 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014722579 | 0.0014545437 | 0.0015244419 | 1.048055 | 7.0E-5 | 0.014625421 | 0.015121453 | 0.015219941 | 1.0065131 | 1.0E-4 |
7.8 | 2.4329287E-5 | 2.5219388E-5 | 2.5219388E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.042642E-4 | 1.0807862E-4 | 1.2807646E-4 | 1.1850305 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012686774 | 0.0013150638 | 0.0013849717 | 1.0531594 | 7.0E-5 | 0.012614589 | 0.013718468 | 0.013817096 | 1.0071894 | 1.0E-4 |
7.9 | 1.9370926E-5 | 2.0432055E-5 | 2.0432055E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.301561E-5 | 8.7563014E-5 | 1.0756126E-4 | 1.228387 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010102465 | 0.001065559 | 0.0011254951 | 1.0562484 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0100566605 | 0.011205053 | 0.011294045 | 1.0079421 | 9.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.5583017E-5 | 1.5895175E-5 | 1.5895175E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6782646E-5 | 6.8120404E-5 | 7.811972E-5 | 1.146789 | 1.0E-5 | 8.127754E-4 | 8.29051E-4 | 8.6901785E-4 | 1.0482079 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008098091 | 0.008786416 | 0.0088558 | 1.0078969 | 7.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.0024873E-5 | 8.297121E-6 | 8.297121E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2963035E-5 | 3.5558605E-5 | 3.5558605E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.229494E-4 | 4.3284055E-4 | 4.4283623E-4 | 1.0230932 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0052172043 | 0.00465596 | 0.004665913 | 1.0021378 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 4.142796E-6 | 1.5619446E-6 | 1.5619446E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.775472E-5 | 6.6940315E-6 | 6.6940315E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1614227E-4 | 8.1496815E-5 | 8.1496815E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021593217 | 9.4601413E-4 | 9.4601413E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2750878E-6 | 3.6143226E-7 | 3.6143226E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4646503E-6 | 1.5489944E-6 | 1.5489944E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.653009E-5 | 1.8858847E-5 | 1.8858847E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6510175E-4 | 2.2747046E-4 | 2.2747046E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Dry Mountain
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.439411E-6 | 2.6439282E-5 | 4.105854 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.7597274E-5 | 6.759617E-5 | 2.4493785 | 4.0E-5 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.359609E-4 | 4.059374E-4 | 1.2082876 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0032417132 | 0.0033560924 | 0.0034557567 | 1.0296966 | 1.0E-4 |
6.1 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.439411E-6 | 2.6439282E-5 | 4.105854 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.7597274E-5 | 6.759617E-5 | 2.4493785 | 4.0E-5 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.359609E-4 | 4.059374E-4 | 1.2082876 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0032417132 | 0.0033560924 | 0.0034557567 | 1.0296966 | 1.0E-4 |
6.2 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.439411E-6 | 2.6439282E-5 | 4.105854 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.7597274E-5 | 6.759617E-5 | 2.4493785 | 4.0E-5 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.359609E-4 | 4.059374E-4 | 1.2082876 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0032417132 | 0.0033560924 | 0.0034557567 | 1.0296966 | 1.0E-4 |
6.3 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.439411E-6 | 2.6439282E-5 | 4.105854 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.7597274E-5 | 6.759617E-5 | 2.4493785 | 4.0E-5 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.359609E-4 | 4.059374E-4 | 1.2082876 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0032417132 | 0.0033560924 | 0.0034557567 | 1.0296966 | 1.0E-4 |
6.4 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.439411E-6 | 2.6439282E-5 | 4.105854 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.7597274E-5 | 6.759617E-5 | 2.4493785 | 4.0E-5 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.359609E-4 | 4.059374E-4 | 1.2082876 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0032417132 | 0.0033560924 | 0.0034557567 | 1.0296966 | 1.0E-4 |
6.5 | 2.8528623E-6 | 2.952182E-6 | 2.2952123E-5 | 7.77463 | 2.0E-5 | 1.22264955E-5 | 1.2652196E-5 | 4.2651816E-5 | 3.3710997 | 3.0E-5 | 1.4884741E-4 | 1.5403831E-4 | 2.040306E-4 | 1.3245445 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0014874774 | 0.0015401688 | 0.0016000763 | 1.0388968 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.8528623E-6 | 2.952182E-6 | 2.2952123E-5 | 7.77463 | 2.0E-5 | 1.22264955E-5 | 1.2652196E-5 | 4.2651816E-5 | 3.3710997 | 3.0E-5 | 1.4884741E-4 | 1.5403831E-4 | 2.040306E-4 | 1.3245445 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0014874774 | 0.0015401688 | 0.0016000763 | 1.0388968 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.541E-6 | 2.62937E-6 | 2.2629318E-5 | 8.606365 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0889954E-5 | 1.12687285E-5 | 4.126839E-5 | 3.6622047 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3257713E-4 | 1.3719677E-4 | 1.8718991E-4 | 1.36439 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0013249806 | 0.0013719677 | 0.0014218991 | 1.036394 | 5.0E-5 |
Elysian Park (Upper)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.703628E-5 | 3.703628E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5871998E-4 | 1.7871681E-4 | 1.1259881 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0019311737 | 0.0020110193 | 1.0413456 | 8.0E-5 | 0.016495159 | 0.019190373 | 0.019278646 | 1.0045998 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.703628E-5 | 3.703628E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5871998E-4 | 1.7871681E-4 | 1.1259881 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0019311737 | 0.0020110193 | 1.0413456 | 8.0E-5 | 0.016495159 | 0.019190373 | 0.019278646 | 1.0045998 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.703628E-5 | 3.703628E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5871998E-4 | 1.7871681E-4 | 1.1259881 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0019311737 | 0.0020110193 | 1.0413456 | 8.0E-5 | 0.016495159 | 0.019190373 | 0.019278646 | 1.0045998 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.703628E-5 | 3.703628E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5871998E-4 | 1.7871681E-4 | 1.1259881 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0019311737 | 0.0020110193 | 1.0413456 | 8.0E-5 | 0.016495159 | 0.019190373 | 0.019278646 | 1.0045998 | 9.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.9273462E-5 | 2.1202904E-5 | 2.1202904E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.259794E-5 | 9.0867405E-5 | 1.008665E-4 | 1.1100404 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001005166 | 0.0011059209 | 0.0011458766 | 1.036129 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010006315 | 0.011020984 | 0.011070432 | 1.0044868 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.9273462E-5 | 2.1202904E-5 | 2.1202904E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.259794E-5 | 9.0867405E-5 | 1.008665E-4 | 1.1100404 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001005166 | 0.0011059209 | 0.0011458766 | 1.036129 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010006315 | 0.011020984 | 0.011070432 | 1.0044868 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.813258E-6 | 9.665716E-6 | 9.665716E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.205614E-5 | 4.1423882E-5 | 4.1423882E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.119132E-4 | 5.042263E-4 | 5.1422126E-4 | 1.0198224 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005107356 | 0.005031546 | 0.0050414954 | 1.0019774 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.801478E-6 | 9.653286E-6 | 9.653286E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2005657E-5 | 4.1370608E-5 | 4.1370608E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.112989E-4 | 5.03578E-4 | 5.1357294E-4 | 1.0198479 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051012407 | 0.0050250925 | 0.0050350423 | 1.0019801 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.102489E-6 | 7.773095E-6 | 7.773095E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4724493E-5 | 3.3312866E-5 | 3.3312866E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2268867E-4 | 4.0551362E-4 | 4.1550957E-4 | 1.0246501 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004218856 | 0.0040482306 | 0.00405819 | 1.0024602 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.08275E-6 | 5.481501E-6 | 5.481501E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6068668E-5 | 2.349194E-5 | 2.349194E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.173398E-4 | 2.859776E-4 | 2.9597475E-4 | 1.0349578 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0031688702 | 0.0028561736 | 0.002866145 | 1.0034912 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.5995934E-6 | 4.982823E-6 | 4.982823E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3998036E-5 | 2.1354786E-5 | 2.1354786E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9213692E-4 | 2.5996417E-4 | 2.6996157E-4 | 1.0384568 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029175316 | 0.002596668 | 0.002606642 | 1.003841 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.709881E-6 | 4.0874347E-6 | 4.0874347E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0185047E-5 | 1.7517461E-5 | 1.7517461E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4572524E-4 | 2.1325464E-4 | 2.232525E-4 | 1.0468823 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002454537 | 0.0021305413 | 0.0021405201 | 1.0046836 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.6063436E-6 | 2.9779728E-6 | 2.9779728E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5455667E-5 | 1.2762678E-5 | 1.2762678E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.881565E-4 | 1.5537464E-4 | 1.5537464E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018799726 | 0.0015526713 | 0.0015526713 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.471135E-6 | 2.0954792E-6 | 2.0954792E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0590536E-5 | 8.980594E-6 | 8.980594E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2893214E-4 | 1.0933332E-4 | 1.0933332E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012885736 | 0.0010928025 | 0.0010928025 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.163943E-6 | 1.0275194E-6 | 1.0275194E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.988318E-6 | 4.4036474E-6 | 4.4036474E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0731076E-5 | 5.3613116E-5 | 5.3613116E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.071448E-4 | 5.360048E-4 | 5.360048E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.99459E-7 | 4.917662E-7 | 4.917662E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.140537E-6 | 2.1075678E-6 | 2.1075678E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6060725E-5 | 2.565935E-5 | 2.565935E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.605767E-4 | 2.5656543E-4 | 2.5656543E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.4667852E-7 | 2.4778686E-7 | 2.4778686E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0571932E-6 | 1.0619433E-6 | 1.0619433E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2871251E-5 | 1.2929087E-5 | 1.2929087E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2870505E-4 | 1.2928371E-4 | 1.2928371E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 8.2312795E-8 | 7.386639E-8 | 7.386639E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.527691E-7 | 3.165702E-7 | 3.165702E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.294955E-6 | 3.8542366E-6 | 3.8542366E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2948723E-5 | 3.8541813E-5 | 3.8541813E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.7819295E-8 | 1.7567253E-8 | 1.7567253E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1922555E-7 | 7.528822E-8 | 7.528822E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.45157E-6 | 9.166339E-7 | 9.166339E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.45156055E-5 | 9.166316E-6 | 9.166316E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pisgah-Bullion Mtn-Mesquite Lk
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0240792E-5 | 2.4091287E-5 | 3.4091045E-5 | 1.4150778 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2959696E-4 | 1.03244856E-4 | 1.1324382E-4 | 1.0968472 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015767008 | 0.001256382 | 0.0013163065 | 1.0476962 | 6.0E-5 | 0.015655609 | 0.012502813 | 0.012601563 | 1.0078982 | 1.0E-4 |
6.1 | 3.0240792E-5 | 2.4091287E-5 | 3.4091045E-5 | 1.4150778 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2959696E-4 | 1.03244856E-4 | 1.1324382E-4 | 1.0968472 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015767008 | 0.001256382 | 0.0013163065 | 1.0476962 | 6.0E-5 | 0.015655609 | 0.012502813 | 0.012601563 | 1.0078982 | 1.0E-4 |
6.2 | 3.0240792E-5 | 2.4091287E-5 | 3.4091045E-5 | 1.4150778 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2959696E-4 | 1.03244856E-4 | 1.1324382E-4 | 1.0968472 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015767008 | 0.001256382 | 0.0013163065 | 1.0476962 | 6.0E-5 | 0.015655609 | 0.012502813 | 0.012601563 | 1.0078982 | 1.0E-4 |
6.3 | 2.0498217E-5 | 1.36382505E-5 | 2.3638115E-5 | 1.7332219 | 1.0E-5 | 8.784654E-5 | 5.8448426E-5 | 6.8447844E-5 | 1.171081 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010690069 | 7.113935E-4 | 7.6135795E-4 | 1.0702345 | 5.0E-5 | 0.01063879 | 0.0070927883 | 0.007162292 | 1.0097991 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0498217E-5 | 1.36382505E-5 | 2.3638115E-5 | 1.7332219 | 1.0E-5 | 8.784654E-5 | 5.8448426E-5 | 6.8447844E-5 | 1.171081 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010690069 | 7.113935E-4 | 7.6135795E-4 | 1.0702345 | 5.0E-5 | 0.01063879 | 0.0070927883 | 0.007162292 | 1.0097991 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.7316182E-5 | 1.04771225E-5 | 1.04771225E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.42101E-5 | 4.4901237E-5 | 4.4901237E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0313336E-4 | 5.4654543E-4 | 5.8652356E-4 | 1.0731469 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008994718 | 0.005453008 | 0.0055126813 | 1.010943 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.5251077E-5 | 8.414257E-6 | 8.414257E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.536012E-5 | 3.606064E-5 | 3.606064E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9546886E-4 | 4.389571E-4 | 4.7893953E-4 | 1.0910851 | 4.0E-5 | 0.007926274 | 0.0043816175 | 0.0044313986 | 1.0113614 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2997425E-5 | 6.4113133E-6 | 6.4113133E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.570206E-5 | 2.7476794E-5 | 2.7476794E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7796157E-4 | 3.3448328E-4 | 3.7446988E-4 | 1.1195475 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0067589693 | 0.0033402585 | 0.0033900915 | 1.0149189 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.035386E-5 | 4.3332407E-6 | 4.3332407E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.437293E-5 | 1.8570905E-5 | 1.8570905E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.401065E-4 | 2.2607818E-4 | 2.6606914E-4 | 1.1768899 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0053879567 | 0.0022585685 | 0.0023084555 | 1.0220879 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.816252E-6 | 3.5806777E-6 | 3.5806777E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.778339E-5 | 1.5345675E-5 | 1.5345675E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5991567E-4 | 1.8681816E-4 | 2.2681069E-4 | 1.214072 | 4.0E-5 | 0.00458965 | 0.0018666695 | 0.0019165762 | 1.0267357 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 6.8232207E-6 | 2.5675185E-6 | 2.5675185E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9242048E-5 | 1.1003606E-5 | 1.1003606E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5596377E-4 | 1.3396099E-4 | 1.7395563E-4 | 1.2985544 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0035539411 | 0.0013388334 | 0.0013887665 | 1.0372959 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.837013E-6 | 2.227375E-6 | 2.227375E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.501553E-5 | 9.545859E-6 | 9.545859E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.045215E-4 | 1.16214935E-4 | 1.5621028E-4 | 1.3441498 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0030410455 | 0.0011615707 | 0.0012015242 | 1.0343962 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.278052E-6 | 1.6275252E-6 | 1.6275252E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.833438E-5 | 6.975091E-6 | 6.975091E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.231982E-4 | 8.4918654E-5 | 1.1491611E-4 | 1.3532493 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0022297418 | 8.488853E-4 | 8.7885984E-4 | 1.0353105 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.8803692E-6 | 8.3448816E-7 | 8.3448816E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0587E-6 | 3.5763737E-6 | 3.5763737E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.811026E-5 | 4.354163E-5 | 4.354163E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.806695E-4 | 4.3534543E-4 | 4.3534543E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Mission Creek
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6325142E-5 | 2.6324979E-5 | 1.612542 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9496433E-5 | 6.9963105E-5 | 9.9961006E-5 | 1.4287674 | 3.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.514829E-4 | 9.1143185E-4 | 1.0704052 | 6.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.008511699 | 0.008600933 | 1.0104837 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6325142E-5 | 2.6324979E-5 | 1.612542 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9496433E-5 | 6.9963105E-5 | 9.9961006E-5 | 1.4287674 | 3.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.514829E-4 | 9.1143185E-4 | 1.0704052 | 6.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.008511699 | 0.008600933 | 1.0104837 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6325142E-5 | 2.6324979E-5 | 1.612542 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9496433E-5 | 6.9963105E-5 | 9.9961006E-5 | 1.4287674 | 3.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.514829E-4 | 9.1143185E-4 | 1.0704052 | 6.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.008511699 | 0.008600933 | 1.0104837 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6325142E-5 | 2.6324979E-5 | 1.612542 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9496433E-5 | 6.9963105E-5 | 9.9961006E-5 | 1.4287674 | 3.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.514829E-4 | 9.1143185E-4 | 1.0704052 | 6.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.008511699 | 0.008600933 | 1.0104837 | 9.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6325142E-5 | 2.6324979E-5 | 1.612542 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9496433E-5 | 6.9963105E-5 | 9.9961006E-5 | 1.4287674 | 3.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.514829E-4 | 9.1143185E-4 | 1.0704052 | 6.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.008511699 | 0.008600933 | 1.0104837 | 9.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6325142E-5 | 2.6324979E-5 | 1.612542 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9496433E-5 | 6.9963105E-5 | 9.9961006E-5 | 1.4287674 | 3.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.514829E-4 | 9.1143185E-4 | 1.0704052 | 6.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.008511699 | 0.008600933 | 1.0104837 | 9.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.202681E-6 | 1.3848401E-5 | 2.3848263E-5 | 1.722095 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9439463E-5 | 5.934899E-5 | 8.934721E-5 | 1.5054545 | 3.0E-5 | 4.800697E-4 | 7.2234345E-4 | 7.823001E-4 | 1.0830029 | 6.0E-5 | 0.004790339 | 0.0072288746 | 0.0073182243 | 1.0123601 | 9.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.019164E-6 | 1.3654068E-5 | 2.3653933E-5 | 1.7323724 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8652986E-5 | 5.8516176E-5 | 8.851442E-5 | 1.5126487 | 3.0E-5 | 4.7049852E-4 | 7.1221055E-4 | 7.721678E-4 | 1.0841848 | 6.0E-5 | 0.004695036 | 0.0071281986 | 0.007217557 | 1.0125359 | 9.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.673558E-6 | 1.3276174E-5 | 2.3276041E-5 | 1.753219 | 1.0E-5 | 3.717186E-5 | 5.68967E-5 | 8.6894994E-5 | 1.5272413 | 3.0E-5 | 4.524734E-4 | 6.92506E-4 | 7.5246446E-4 | 1.0865818 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0045155324 | 0.0069323843 | 0.0070217606 | 1.0128926 | 9.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.002255E-6 | 1.1480386E-5 | 2.1480271E-5 | 1.8710408 | 1.0E-5 | 3.000932E-5 | 4.9200764E-5 | 7.9199286E-5 | 1.6097167 | 3.0E-5 | 3.653022E-4 | 5.988615E-4 | 6.4883154E-4 | 1.0834417 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0036470229 | 0.0060011996 | 0.0060807196 | 1.0132507 | 8.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.84644E-6 | 9.677556E-6 | 1.9677458E-5 | 2.0333087 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5055931E-5 | 4.1474606E-5 | 7.147336E-5 | 1.7233042 | 3.0E-5 | 3.0501327E-4 | 5.0484086E-4 | 5.5481563E-4 | 1.0989912 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0030459496 | 0.0050654565 | 0.005145051 | 1.0157132 | 8.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.54703E-6 | 9.332022E-6 | 1.9331928E-5 | 2.0715692 | 1.0E-5 | 2.377277E-5 | 3.9993793E-5 | 6.9992595E-5 | 1.7500864 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8939504E-4 | 4.868201E-4 | 5.3679576E-4 | 1.1026573 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0028901845 | 0.004886046 | 0.004965655 | 1.0162932 | 8.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.384709E-6 | 7.683992E-6 | 1.7683915E-5 | 2.3013968 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8791474E-5 | 3.2931002E-5 | 6.293001E-5 | 1.9109657 | 3.0E-5 | 2.2876218E-4 | 4.0086484E-4 | 4.408488E-4 | 1.0997442 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0022852682 | 0.0040298863 | 0.004099604 | 1.0173002 | 7.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.7888456E-6 | 6.917821E-6 | 1.6917751E-5 | 2.4455318 | 1.0E-5 | 1.623781E-5 | 2.9647486E-5 | 5.9646594E-5 | 2.0118601 | 3.0E-5 | 1.9767738E-4 | 3.609017E-4 | 4.0088728E-4 | 1.1107935 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0019750162 | 0.0036316153 | 0.0037013611 | 1.0192052 | 7.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.1982462E-6 | 5.026073E-6 | 1.5026023E-5 | 2.989615 | 1.0E-5 | 9.421021E-6 | 2.1540136E-5 | 5.153949E-5 | 2.3927188 | 3.0E-5 | 1.1469489E-4 | 2.6221978E-4 | 3.022093E-4 | 1.1525038 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0011463572 | 0.0026473494 | 0.002717164 | 1.0263716 | 7.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.051923E-6 | 4.617237E-6 | 1.46171915E-5 | 3.1657872 | 1.0E-5 | 8.793926E-6 | 1.978801E-5 | 4.9787417E-5 | 2.5160396 | 3.0E-5 | 1.0706078E-4 | 2.4089254E-4 | 2.808829E-4 | 1.1660092 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0010700922 | 0.0024350125 | 0.0024948663 | 1.0245805 | 6.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.8733427E-6 | 4.125508E-6 | 1.4125467E-5 | 3.4239337 | 1.0E-5 | 8.028587E-6 | 1.768063E-5 | 4.76801E-5 | 2.696742 | 3.0E-5 | 9.774366E-5 | 2.1524049E-4 | 2.552319E-4 | 1.1857986 | 4.0E-5 | 9.770069E-4 | 0.002179529 | 0.0022393982 | 1.0274689 | 6.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.8411953E-6 | 4.0451673E-6 | 1.4045127E-5 | 3.4720757 | 1.0E-5 | 7.890813E-6 | 1.7336315E-5 | 4.7335794E-5 | 2.7304416 | 3.0E-5 | 9.606641E-5 | 2.1104928E-4 | 2.5104085E-4 | 1.1894892 | 4.0E-5 | 9.6024893E-4 | 0.0021378102 | 0.002197682 | 1.0280061 | 6.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.7194251E-6 | 3.7123866E-6 | 1.371235E-5 | 3.6936748 | 1.0E-5 | 7.368944E-6 | 1.5910133E-5 | 4.5909655E-5 | 2.885561 | 3.0E-5 | 8.97132E-5 | 1.9368871E-4 | 2.3368097E-4 | 1.2064769 | 4.0E-5 | 8.967699E-4 | 0.0019636988 | 0.002023581 | 1.0304946 | 6.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.4035052E-6 | 2.9516495E-6 | 1.295162E-5 | 4.387926 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0150082E-6 | 1.2649865E-5 | 4.2649484E-5 | 3.3715367 | 3.0E-5 | 7.3230265E-5 | 1.5400129E-4 | 1.9399513E-4 | 1.259698 | 4.0E-5 | 7.3206134E-4 | 0.0015642311 | 0.0016241373 | 1.0382975 | 6.0E-5 |
8.0 | 3.9318823E-7 | 5.531722E-7 | 5.531722E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6850913E-6 | 2.370736E-6 | 2.370736E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0515794E-5 | 2.8863333E-5 | 3.8863043E-5 | 1.3464503 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0513899E-4 | 2.9927568E-4 | 3.192697E-4 | 1.066808 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.596793E-7 | 1.13891964E-7 | 1.13891964E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8433974E-7 | 4.881083E-7 | 4.881083E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.331805E-6 | 5.942703E-6 | 5.942703E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.331492E-5 | 6.555237E-5 | 6.555237E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 4.9003038E-8 | 2.5465459E-8 | 2.5465459E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.10013E-7 | 1.0913767E-7 | 1.0913767E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5569052E-6 | 1.3287504E-6 | 1.3287504E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.556876E-5 | 1.49686575E-5 | 1.49686575E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pinto Mtn
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.7855512E-5 | 4.7855512E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0507984E-4 | 2.0507984E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0024941512 | 0.0025340514 | 1.0159975 | 4.0E-5 | 0.022796938 | 0.024679113 | 0.024766892 | 1.0035568 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.7855512E-5 | 4.7855512E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0507984E-4 | 2.0507984E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0024941512 | 0.0025340514 | 1.0159975 | 4.0E-5 | 0.022796938 | 0.024679113 | 0.024766892 | 1.0035568 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.7855512E-5 | 4.7855512E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0507984E-4 | 2.0507984E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0024941512 | 0.0025340514 | 1.0159975 | 4.0E-5 | 0.022796938 | 0.024679113 | 0.024766892 | 1.0035568 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.7855512E-5 | 4.7855512E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0507984E-4 | 2.0507984E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0024941512 | 0.0025340514 | 1.0159975 | 4.0E-5 | 0.022796938 | 0.024679113 | 0.024766892 | 1.0035568 | 9.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.729929E-5 | 3.960486E-5 | 3.960486E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5984432E-4 | 1.697246E-4 | 1.697246E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019443673 | 0.002064532 | 0.0021044493 | 1.0193349 | 4.0E-5 | 0.019274427 | 0.02046355 | 0.020522323 | 1.002872 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.729929E-5 | 3.960486E-5 | 3.960486E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5984432E-4 | 1.697246E-4 | 1.697246E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019443673 | 0.002064532 | 0.0021044493 | 1.0193349 | 4.0E-5 | 0.019274427 | 0.02046355 | 0.020522323 | 1.002872 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.0204548E-5 | 3.1206768E-5 | 3.1206768E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2944164E-4 | 1.3373663E-4 | 1.3373663E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015748127 | 0.001627062 | 0.0016570132 | 1.0184082 | 3.0E-5 | 0.015636992 | 0.016155364 | 0.016204556 | 1.003045 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.9857754E-5 | 3.0816143E-5 | 3.0816143E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2795553E-4 | 1.320627E-4 | 1.320627E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015567453 | 0.0016067121 | 0.0016366639 | 1.0186417 | 3.0E-5 | 0.015458848 | 0.0159548 | 0.016004002 | 1.0030838 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.4819734E-5 | 2.5010708E-5 | 2.5010708E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0636595E-4 | 1.0718447E-4 | 1.0718447E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012942362 | 0.0013042113 | 0.0013341722 | 1.0229725 | 3.0E-5 | 0.012867244 | 0.0129679395 | 0.013007421 | 1.0030445 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.331124E-5 | 2.3338964E-5 | 2.3338964E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.990149E-5 | 1.0002041E-4 | 1.0002041E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001215622 | 0.0012170885 | 0.001247052 | 1.024619 | 3.0E-5 | 0.012089936 | 0.012106422 | 0.012145937 | 1.0032641 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.1818534E-5 | 2.176207E-5 | 2.176207E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3504656E-5 | 9.3262795E-5 | 9.3262795E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011378246 | 0.0011349028 | 0.0011648688 | 1.026404 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011320163 | 0.011293174 | 0.011332721 | 1.003502 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.066081E-5 | 2.0541695E-5 | 2.0541695E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.854332E-5 | 8.8032975E-5 | 8.8032975E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010774818 | 0.001071294 | 0.0011012618 | 1.0279735 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010722724 | 0.010663347 | 0.010702921 | 1.0037112 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.8990233E-5 | 1.905496E-5 | 1.905496E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.138417E-5 | 8.166167E-5 | 8.166167E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.904018E-4 | 9.937966E-4 | 0.0010237668 | 1.0301572 | 3.0E-5 | 0.009859995 | 0.009895524 | 0.0099351285 | 1.0040022 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.3335872E-5 | 1.4907597E-5 | 1.4907597E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7152483E-5 | 6.388821E-5 | 6.388821E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.956093E-4 | 7.7757414E-4 | 7.7757414E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006934359 | 0.007749834 | 0.0077597564 | 1.0012803 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.414066E-6 | 1.1861796E-5 | 1.1861796E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0345374E-5 | 5.0835333E-5 | 5.0835333E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.910942E-4 | 6.1875384E-4 | 6.1875384E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0049001034 | 0.006171259 | 0.006171259 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 7.2101157E-6 | 9.15899E-6 | 9.15899E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.090013E-5 | 3.925227E-5 | 3.925227E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7614413E-4 | 4.777994E-4 | 4.777994E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037550807 | 0.004768497 | 0.004768497 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.296375E-6 | 4.546278E-6 | 4.546278E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4127245E-5 | 1.948391E-5 | 1.948391E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7198564E-4 | 2.3719217E-4 | 2.3719217E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017185259 | 0.0023695275 | 0.0023695275 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.5741092E-6 | 3.5851394E-6 | 3.5851394E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.103185E-5 | 1.53648E-5 | 1.53648E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3430449E-4 | 1.870517E-4 | 1.870517E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013422335 | 0.0018690726 | 0.0018690726 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cleghorn Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5467183E-5 | 1.6794396E-5 | 1.6794396E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6286244E-5 | 7.1974304E-5 | 8.197359E-5 | 1.1389285 | 1.0E-5 | 8.067362E-4 | 8.7598973E-4 | 8.8598096E-4 | 1.0114057 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008038137 | 0.008730795 | 0.008820009 | 1.0102184 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.5467183E-5 | 1.6794396E-5 | 1.6794396E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6286244E-5 | 7.1974304E-5 | 8.197359E-5 | 1.1389285 | 1.0E-5 | 8.067362E-4 | 8.7598973E-4 | 8.8598096E-4 | 1.0114057 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008038137 | 0.008730795 | 0.008820009 | 1.0102184 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.2624631E-5 | 1.3681697E-5 | 1.3681697E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.410444E-5 | 5.86348E-5 | 5.86348E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.585225E-4 | 7.1369356E-4 | 7.1369356E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0065657445 | 0.007118811 | 0.0071883127 | 1.0097631 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.2624631E-5 | 1.3681697E-5 | 1.3681697E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.410444E-5 | 5.86348E-5 | 5.86348E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.585225E-4 | 7.1369356E-4 | 7.1369356E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0065657445 | 0.007118811 | 0.0071883127 | 1.0097631 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 9.417684E-6 | 1.0170226E-5 | 1.0170226E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.036088E-5 | 4.3586184E-5 | 4.3586184E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.912829E-4 | 5.305737E-4 | 5.305737E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004901982 | 0.0052971053 | 0.0053567877 | 1.011267 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.368219E-6 | 1.0117652E-5 | 1.0117652E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.014889E-5 | 4.3360877E-5 | 4.3360877E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8870314E-4 | 5.278319E-4 | 5.278319E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004876298 | 0.0052698175 | 0.0053295013 | 1.0113256 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.803798E-6 | 8.441923E-6 | 8.441923E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3444423E-5 | 3.6179394E-5 | 3.6179394E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0710976E-4 | 4.40435E-4 | 4.40435E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040636472 | 0.004399538 | 0.0044592745 | 1.0135778 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.3108669E-6 | 2.4438523E-6 | 2.4438523E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.903678E-6 | 1.0473612E-5 | 1.0473612E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.205706E-4 | 1.2750895E-4 | 1.2750895E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001205052 | 0.0012743765 | 0.0013043383 | 1.0235109 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.0882828E-6 | 2.2062986E-6 | 2.2062986E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.949753E-6 | 9.455533E-6 | 9.455533E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.08957785E-4 | 1.15115196E-4 | 1.15115196E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010890438 | 0.0011505726 | 0.0011805381 | 1.026044 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.876935E-6 | 1.9810657E-6 | 1.9810657E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.043982E-6 | 8.490254E-6 | 8.490254E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.7931086E-5 | 1.033641E-4 | 1.033641E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.788794E-4 | 0.0010331762 | 0.0010631452 | 1.0290067 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.5357559E-6 | 1.6202926E-6 | 1.6202926E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5817944E-6 | 6.944093E-6 | 6.944093E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.01304E-5 | 8.454118E-5 | 8.454118E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.010151E-4 | 8.4510265E-4 | 8.6508575E-4 | 1.0236458 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0905424E-6 | 1.1497702E-6 | 1.1497702E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6737446E-6 | 4.927578E-6 | 4.927578E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6901354E-5 | 5.999171E-5 | 5.999171E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6886784E-4 | 5.997649E-4 | 6.197529E-4 | 1.0333264 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.06668E-7 | 6.387322E-7 | 6.387322E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.600003E-6 | 2.7374213E-6 | 2.7374213E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1654577E-5 | 3.3327666E-5 | 3.3327666E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1650066E-4 | 3.332335E-4 | 3.332335E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Anza) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.3312386E-5 | 5.3311953E-5 | 1.2308708 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8561137E-4 | 2.0560765E-4 | 1.107732 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0022574882 | 0.0023173527 | 1.0265182 | 6.0E-5 | 0.032346968 | 0.023307782 | 0.023395684 | 1.0037714 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.3312386E-5 | 5.3311953E-5 | 1.2308708 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8561137E-4 | 2.0560765E-4 | 1.107732 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0022574882 | 0.0023173527 | 1.0265182 | 6.0E-5 | 0.032346968 | 0.023307782 | 0.023395684 | 1.0037714 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.3312386E-5 | 5.3311953E-5 | 1.2308708 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8561137E-4 | 2.0560765E-4 | 1.107732 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0022574882 | 0.0023173527 | 1.0265182 | 6.0E-5 | 0.032346968 | 0.023307782 | 0.023395684 | 1.0037714 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.3312386E-5 | 5.3311953E-5 | 1.2308708 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8561137E-4 | 2.0560765E-4 | 1.107732 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0022574882 | 0.0023173527 | 1.0265182 | 6.0E-5 | 0.032346968 | 0.023307782 | 0.023395684 | 1.0037714 | 9.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.3312386E-5 | 5.3311953E-5 | 1.2308708 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8561137E-4 | 2.0560765E-4 | 1.107732 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0022574882 | 0.0023173527 | 1.0265182 | 6.0E-5 | 0.032346968 | 0.023307782 | 0.023395684 | 1.0037714 | 9.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.811017E-5 | 4.009432E-5 | 5.009392E-5 | 1.2494019 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4901982E-4 | 1.7182152E-4 | 1.918181E-4 | 1.1163799 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0030276014 | 0.0020899256 | 0.0021498003 | 1.0286492 | 6.0E-5 | 0.02986684 | 0.021605028 | 0.021693084 | 1.0040756 | 9.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.811017E-5 | 4.009432E-5 | 5.009392E-5 | 1.2494019 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4901982E-4 | 1.7182152E-4 | 1.918181E-4 | 1.1163799 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0030276014 | 0.0020899256 | 0.0021498003 | 1.0286492 | 6.0E-5 | 0.02986684 | 0.021605028 | 0.021693084 | 1.0040756 | 9.0E-5 |
6.7 | 5.712442E-5 | 3.951705E-5 | 4.9516653E-5 | 1.2530453 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4479596E-4 | 1.6934783E-4 | 1.8934443E-4 | 1.1180801 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0029763177 | 0.0020598655 | 0.0021197419 | 1.0290681 | 6.0E-5 | 0.029367693 | 0.021297079 | 0.021385163 | 1.004136 | 9.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.6967532E-5 | 3.9373335E-5 | 4.9372942E-5 | 1.253969 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4412372E-4 | 1.6873197E-4 | 1.887286E-4 | 1.1185112 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0029681553 | 0.0020523819 | 0.0021122587 | 1.0291743 | 6.0E-5 | 0.029288229 | 0.02122268 | 0.02131077 | 1.0041507 | 9.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.6211324E-5 | 3.9078248E-5 | 4.907786E-5 | 1.2558868 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4088343E-4 | 1.6746749E-4 | 1.8746415E-4 | 1.1194062 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0029288116 | 0.0020370155 | 0.0020968933 | 1.0293949 | 6.0E-5 | 0.028905109 | 0.021060992 | 0.021149097 | 1.0041833 | 9.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.4383527E-5 | 3.793897E-5 | 4.7938593E-5 | 1.2635713 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3305144E-4 | 1.6258548E-4 | 1.8258224E-4 | 1.1229922 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0028337094 | 0.001977686 | 0.0020375673 | 1.0302784 | 6.0E-5 | 0.027978465 | 0.020454587 | 0.020542746 | 1.00431 | 9.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.1393665E-5 | 3.6401827E-5 | 4.6401463E-5 | 1.2747015 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2023996E-4 | 1.5599852E-4 | 1.759954E-4 | 1.1281863 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0026781242 | 0.0018976318 | 0.0019575178 | 1.0315584 | 6.0E-5 | 0.026460782 | 0.019625481 | 0.019713715 | 1.0044959 | 9.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.785222E-5 | 3.4752728E-5 | 4.475238E-5 | 1.2877371 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0506482E-4 | 1.4893178E-4 | 1.689288E-4 | 1.1342697 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0024938055 | 0.0018117399 | 0.0018716312 | 1.0330573 | 6.0E-5 | 0.024660049 | 0.018735653 | 0.018823966 | 1.0047137 | 9.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.2143256E-5 | 3.384821E-5 | 4.384787E-5 | 1.2954266 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8060145E-4 | 1.4505572E-4 | 1.6505281E-4 | 1.137858 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002196605 | 0.0017646261 | 0.0018245203 | 1.0339415 | 6.0E-5 | 0.02175019 | 0.018243507 | 0.018331865 | 1.0048432 | 9.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.0264713E-5 | 3.348636E-5 | 4.3486027E-5 | 1.298619 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7255165E-4 | 1.4350511E-4 | 1.6350223E-4 | 1.1393479 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002098792 | 0.0017457779 | 0.0018056731 | 1.0343087 | 6.0E-5 | 0.020790804 | 0.018048115 | 0.018136492 | 1.0048966 | 9.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.694492E-5 | 3.2200267E-5 | 4.2199943E-5 | 1.3105464 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5832575E-4 | 1.3799386E-4 | 1.579911E-4 | 1.144914 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0019259118 | 0.0016787836 | 0.0017386829 | 1.0356802 | 6.0E-5 | 0.01909306 | 0.017364455 | 0.017452892 | 1.005093 | 9.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.200565E-5 | 2.9515684E-5 | 3.9515387E-5 | 1.3387929 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3715986E-4 | 1.2648967E-4 | 1.4648713E-4 | 1.1580957 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001668642 | 0.001538926 | 0.0015988337 | 1.0389283 | 6.0E-5 | 0.01656168 | 0.015952358 | 0.016040921 | 1.0055518 | 9.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.731642E-5 | 2.6104135E-5 | 2.6104135E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1706512E-4 | 1.11870075E-4 | 1.2186896E-4 | 1.0893794 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001424336 | 0.0013611682 | 0.0014111002 | 1.0366832 | 5.0E-5 | 0.014152412 | 0.014172893 | 0.014251759 | 1.0055646 | 8.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.3466424E-5 | 2.3515782E-5 | 2.3515782E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0056651E-4 | 1.0077804E-4 | 1.1077703E-4 | 1.099218 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012237094 | 0.0012262828 | 0.0012762215 | 1.0407237 | 5.0E-5 | 0.012169928 | 0.012814545 | 0.01289352 | 1.0061629 | 8.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.8611925E-5 | 1.8917919E-5 | 1.8917919E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9762955E-5 | 8.107428E-5 | 9.107347E-5 | 1.1233337 | 1.0E-5 | 9.7068126E-4 | 9.86633E-4 | 0.0010265936 | 1.040502 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0096645225 | 0.010399014 | 0.010468286 | 1.0066614 | 7.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.5460775E-5 | 1.5749598E-5 | 1.5749598E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6258784E-5 | 6.7496534E-5 | 7.749586E-5 | 1.1481458 | 1.0E-5 | 8.0640207E-4 | 8.2146114E-4 | 8.6142827E-4 | 1.0486537 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008034821 | 0.008707448 | 0.008776839 | 1.0079691 | 7.0E-5 |
8.1 | 9.983884E-6 | 8.274653E-6 | 8.274653E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2787375E-5 | 3.546232E-5 | 3.546232E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2081177E-4 | 4.316687E-4 | 4.416644E-4 | 1.0231559 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051959283 | 0.0046425606 | 0.004652514 | 1.002144 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 4.1226E-6 | 1.5539142E-6 | 1.5539142E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7668166E-5 | 6.6596153E-6 | 6.6596153E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1508869E-4 | 8.107783E-5 | 8.107783E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021488064 | 9.410467E-4 | 9.410467E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2750878E-6 | 3.6143226E-7 | 3.6143226E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4646503E-6 | 1.5489944E-6 | 1.5489944E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.653009E-5 | 1.8858847E-5 | 1.8858847E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6510175E-4 | 2.2747046E-4 | 2.2747046E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Independence rev 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.3262453E-6 | 1.4326202E-5 | 3.311463 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8540937E-5 | 4.854038E-5 | 2.6180112 | 3.0E-5 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.257155E-4 | 2.6570648E-4 | 1.1771742 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022551562 | 0.0023449531 | 1.0398185 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.3262453E-6 | 1.4326202E-5 | 3.311463 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8540937E-5 | 4.854038E-5 | 2.6180112 | 3.0E-5 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.257155E-4 | 2.6570648E-4 | 1.1771742 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022551562 | 0.0023449531 | 1.0398185 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.3262453E-6 | 1.4326202E-5 | 3.311463 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8540937E-5 | 4.854038E-5 | 2.6180112 | 3.0E-5 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.257155E-4 | 2.6570648E-4 | 1.1771742 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022551562 | 0.0023449531 | 1.0398185 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.3262453E-6 | 1.4326202E-5 | 3.311463 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8540937E-5 | 4.854038E-5 | 2.6180112 | 3.0E-5 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.257155E-4 | 2.6570648E-4 | 1.1771742 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022551562 | 0.0023449531 | 1.0398185 | 9.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.3262453E-6 | 1.4326202E-5 | 3.311463 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8540937E-5 | 4.854038E-5 | 2.6180112 | 3.0E-5 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.257155E-4 | 2.6570648E-4 | 1.1771742 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022551562 | 0.0023449531 | 1.0398185 | 9.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.3262453E-6 | 1.4326202E-5 | 3.311463 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8540937E-5 | 4.854038E-5 | 2.6180112 | 3.0E-5 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.257155E-4 | 2.6570648E-4 | 1.1771742 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022551562 | 0.0023449531 | 1.0398185 | 9.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.663744E-6 | 2.5319996E-6 | 1.2531975E-5 | 4.9494376 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1415996E-5 | 1.0851385E-5 | 4.085106E-5 | 3.764594 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3898089E-4 | 1.3210809E-4 | 1.7210281E-4 | 1.3027424 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0013889399 | 0.0013203438 | 0.0014002381 | 1.0605103 | 8.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.663744E-6 | 2.5319996E-6 | 1.2531975E-5 | 4.9494376 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1415996E-5 | 1.0851385E-5 | 4.085106E-5 | 3.764594 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3898089E-4 | 1.3210809E-4 | 1.7210281E-4 | 1.3027424 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0013889399 | 0.0013203438 | 0.0014002381 | 1.0605103 | 8.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.9716529E-6 | 1.8322698E-6 | 1.1832251E-5 | 6.4577017 | 1.0E-5 | 8.449913E-6 | 7.852562E-6 | 3.7852325E-5 | 4.8203793 | 3.0E-5 | 1.0287284E-4 | 9.560088E-5 | 1.3559706E-4 | 1.4183662 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0010282523 | 9.556104E-4 | 0.0010255435 | 1.0731816 | 7.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.8788617E-6 | 1.7430103E-6 | 1.1742993E-5 | 6.7371907 | 1.0E-5 | 8.0522395E-6 | 7.4700233E-6 | 2.7469874E-5 | 3.6773477 | 2.0E-5 | 9.80316E-5 | 9.094386E-5 | 1.20941135E-4 | 1.3298439 | 3.0E-5 | 9.798837E-4 | 9.0907846E-4 | 9.690239E-4 | 1.0659409 | 6.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.5045488E-6 | 1.3849603E-6 | 1.1384946E-5 | 8.220413 | 1.0E-5 | 6.44805E-6 | 5.935531E-6 | 2.5935413E-5 | 4.3695183 | 2.0E-5 | 7.8502184E-5 | 7.226275E-5 | 1.0226058E-4 | 1.4151217 | 3.0E-5 | 7.8474457E-4 | 7.2239764E-4 | 7.823543E-4 | 1.0829967 | 6.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.272341E-6 | 1.1625186E-6 | 1.1162507E-5 | 9.602003 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4528787E-6 | 4.9822133E-6 | 2.4982113E-5 | 5.0142603 | 2.0E-5 | 6.6386776E-5 | 6.065679E-5 | 9.065497E-5 | 1.4945561 | 3.0E-5 | 6.636695E-4 | 6.0640555E-4 | 6.6636916E-4 | 1.0988837 | 6.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.0416892E-6 | 9.4099533E-7 | 1.0940986E-5 | 11.627035 | 1.0E-5 | 4.464375E-6 | 4.032831E-6 | 2.403275E-5 | 5.9592752 | 2.0E-5 | 5.4352407E-5 | 4.909863E-5 | 7.909716E-5 | 1.610985 | 3.0E-5 | 5.4339116E-4 | 4.908797E-4 | 5.5085024E-4 | 1.1221695 | 6.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.9450155E-7 | 7.2350707E-7 | 1.07235E-5 | 14.821555 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4050022E-6 | 3.100741E-6 | 2.310068E-5 | 7.4500513 | 2.0E-5 | 4.1455114E-5 | 3.7750877E-5 | 6.7749745E-5 | 1.7946535 | 3.0E-5 | 4.144738E-4 | 3.7744577E-4 | 4.274269E-4 | 1.1324193 | 5.0E-5 |
7.4 | 5.3893444E-7 | 5.0195547E-7 | 1.0501951E-5 | 20.922077 | 1.0E-5 | 2.309717E-6 | 2.1512358E-6 | 2.2151193E-5 | 10.296962 | 2.0E-5 | 2.8120441E-5 | 2.6190986E-5 | 5.61902E-5 | 2.1454022 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8116882E-4 | 2.6187944E-4 | 3.1186637E-4 | 1.1908776 | 5.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.8852085E-7 | 3.6825836E-7 | 3.6825836E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6650882E-6 | 1.5782492E-6 | 1.1578233E-5 | 7.336125 | 1.0E-5 | 2.027226E-5 | 1.9215016E-5 | 3.9214632E-5 | 2.0408325 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0270412E-4 | 1.9213377E-4 | 2.3212608E-4 | 1.2081482 | 4.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.414929E-7 | 2.3457733E-7 | 2.3457733E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0349692E-6 | 1.005331E-6 | 1.1005321E-5 | 10.946962 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2600677E-5 | 1.2239838E-5 | 2.2239716E-5 | 1.8169943 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2599962E-4 | 1.2239176E-4 | 1.4238931E-4 | 1.1633897 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.8298014E-8 | 6.858997E-8 | 6.858997E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9270575E-7 | 2.93957E-7 | 1.0293954E-5 | 35.018574 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5636867E-6 | 3.578921E-6 | 1.3578885E-5 | 3.7941282 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5636294E-5 | 3.5788682E-5 | 4.578832E-5 | 1.279408 | 1.0E-5 |
Santa Rosa Island
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.1143165E-5 | 4.7092035E-5 | 4.7092035E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7631594E-4 | 2.018085E-4 | 2.018085E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002144533 | 0.0024544464 | 0.0024843728 | 1.0121927 | 3.0E-5 | 0.021239553 | 0.024294019 | 0.024381833 | 1.0036147 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1061249E-5 | 2.3865383E-5 | 2.3865383E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0259375E-5 | 1.0227637E-4 | 1.0227637E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010983539 | 0.0012445324 | 0.0012545199 | 1.0080252 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01092941 | 0.012378668 | 0.012408297 | 1.0023935 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1061249E-5 | 2.3865383E-5 | 2.3865383E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0259375E-5 | 1.0227637E-4 | 1.0227637E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010983539 | 0.0012445324 | 0.0012545199 | 1.0080252 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01092941 | 0.012378668 | 0.012408297 | 1.0023935 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.5158236E-5 | 1.7074706E-5 | 1.7074706E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.496225E-5 | 7.317533E-5 | 7.317533E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.906284E-4 | 8.905575E-4 | 9.005486E-4 | 1.0112189 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007878214 | 0.008871139 | 0.008900873 | 1.0033518 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2341918E-5 | 1.3853143E-5 | 1.3853143E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2892858E-5 | 5.9369308E-5 | 5.9369308E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.437803E-4 | 7.225897E-4 | 7.225897E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006419184 | 0.007203239 | 0.007223095 | 1.0027565 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.061158E-6 | 1.0117189E-5 | 1.0117189E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.883296E-5 | 4.335869E-5 | 4.335869E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.726887E-4 | 5.277695E-4 | 5.277695E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004716845 | 0.0052656992 | 0.005285594 | 1.0037782 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.5461685E-6 | 8.400862E-6 | 8.400862E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2340322E-5 | 3.6003217E-5 | 3.6003217E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.936723E-4 | 4.3825532E-4 | 4.3825532E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003929756 | 0.00437434 | 0.0043942523 | 1.0045521 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 5.5023775E-6 | 6.0874677E-6 | 6.0874677E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3581404E-5 | 2.6088905E-5 | 2.6088905E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8706578E-4 | 3.1758938E-4 | 3.1758938E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028669522 | 0.0031716768 | 0.003181645 | 1.003143 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.7351679E-6 | 4.083192E-6 | 4.083192E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6007763E-5 | 1.749929E-5 | 1.749929E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.948771E-4 | 2.1303551E-4 | 2.1303551E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019470629 | 0.0021285582 | 0.0021285582 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.456366E-6 | 2.6292955E-6 | 2.6292955E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0527241E-5 | 1.1268361E-5 | 1.1268361E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2816161E-4 | 1.3718368E-4 | 1.3718368E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012808773 | 0.0013709929 | 0.0013709929 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.3245157E-6 | 2.4828012E-6 | 2.4828012E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.962172E-6 | 1.0640533E-5 | 1.0640533E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2128269E-4 | 1.295408E-4 | 1.295408E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012121652 | 0.0012946553 | 0.0012946553 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.2248344E-6 | 2.3732714E-6 | 2.3732714E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.53497E-6 | 1.0171123E-5 | 1.0171123E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1608207E-4 | 1.2382641E-4 | 1.2382641E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011602144 | 0.0012375761 | 0.0012375761 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.1350402E-6 | 2.2761742E-6 | 2.2761742E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.150141E-6 | 9.754996E-6 | 9.754996E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1139726E-4 | 1.18760625E-4 | 1.18760625E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011134144 | 0.0011869734 | 0.0011869734 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.9793572E-6 | 2.1087376E-6 | 2.1087376E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.482932E-6 | 9.037416E-6 | 9.037416E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.032748E-4 | 1.10025E-4 | 1.10025E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010322682 | 0.0010997071 | 0.0010997071 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.6951194E-6 | 1.8045891E-6 | 1.8045891E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.264777E-6 | 7.733931E-6 | 7.733931E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.844508E-5 | 9.415655E-5 | 9.415655E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.840988E-4 | 9.411683E-4 | 9.411683E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 8.987207E-7 | 9.5122914E-7 | 9.5122914E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8516546E-6 | 4.07669E-6 | 4.07669E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6892885E-5 | 4.963258E-5 | 4.963258E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.688299E-4 | 4.962162E-4 | 4.962162E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.8783037E-7 | 4.0529594E-7 | 4.0529594E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6621291E-6 | 1.7369814E-6 | 1.7369814E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0236233E-5 | 2.114755E-5 | 2.114755E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.023439E-4 | 2.1145603E-4 | 2.1145603E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.181804E-8 | 6.339078E-8 | 6.339078E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6493444E-7 | 2.7167474E-7 | 2.7167474E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.225572E-6 | 3.3076349E-6 | 3.3076349E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.225525E-5 | 3.3075863E-5 | 3.3075863E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.3704449E-9 | 1.3964188E-9 | 1.3964188E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.873335E-9 | 5.984652E-9 | 5.984652E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1507856E-8 | 7.286314E-8 | 7.286314E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1507833E-7 | 7.286312E-7 | 7.286312E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.986481E-4 | 0.001227701 | 0.0012376886 | 1.0081353 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0025631124 | 0.005246098 | 0.005265993 | 1.0037924 | 2.0E-5 | 0.030762846 | 0.061211813 | 0.061249364 | 1.0006135 | 4.0E-5 | 0.26835477 | 0.42596716 | 0.42600733 | 1.0000943 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.015945E-4 | 0.0010218859 | 0.0010318757 | 1.0097759 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00214792 | 0.0043683136 | 0.004388226 | 1.0045584 | 2.0E-5 | 0.025839351 | 0.051254056 | 0.051292006 | 1.0007404 | 4.0E-5 | 0.23032776 | 0.3728875 | 0.3729314 | 1.0001178 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.073338E-4 | 8.1082666E-4 | 8.208186E-4 | 1.0123231 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017445484 | 0.003467598 | 0.0034875288 | 1.0057477 | 2.0E-5 | 0.021034058 | 0.040938858 | 0.04097722 | 1.0009371 | 4.0E-5 | 0.19150782 | 0.31306726 | 0.31311533 | 1.0001535 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.464099E-4 | 6.740175E-4 | 6.8401074E-4 | 1.0148264 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014837692 | 0.0028834257 | 0.002903368 | 1.0069162 | 2.0E-5 | 0.017915873 | 0.034195323 | 0.034233954 | 1.0011297 | 4.0E-5 | 0.16538359 | 0.27135244 | 0.27140343 | 1.000188 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.935057E-4 | 5.545179E-4 | 5.645124E-4 | 1.0180237 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012572751 | 0.002372998 | 0.0023929507 | 1.0084082 | 2.0E-5 | 0.015200248 | 0.028270293 | 0.02830916 | 1.001375 | 4.0E-5 | 0.14201577 | 0.23302312 | 0.23307681 | 1.0002304 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.3409708E-4 | 4.2102532E-4 | 4.3102112E-4 | 1.0237415 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010028875 | 0.0018024362 | 0.0018224001 | 1.0110761 | 2.0E-5 | 0.012141965 | 0.021593295 | 0.021632433 | 1.0018125 | 4.0E-5 | 0.11499573 | 0.18686365 | 0.18692057 | 1.0003046 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.5842178E-4 | 2.5080625E-4 | 2.6080373E-4 | 1.0398614 | 1.0E-5 | 6.7877385E-4 | 0.0010744325 | 0.001094411 | 1.0185945 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0082328 | 0.013001433 | 0.013040913 | 1.0030366 | 4.0E-5 | 0.07934396 | 0.12318965 | 0.12325103 | 1.0004982 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.5616413E-4 | 2.4617155E-4 | 2.561691E-4 | 1.0406121 | 1.0E-5 | 6.691031E-4 | 0.0010545887 | 0.0010745677 | 1.0189447 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0081159435 | 0.012763296 | 0.012802785 | 1.003094 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0782586 | 0.121216856 | 0.12127837 | 1.0005075 | 7.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.5538467E-4 | 2.4440986E-4 | 2.5440744E-4 | 1.0409049 | 1.0E-5 | 6.6576427E-4 | 0.0010470453 | 0.0010670244 | 1.0190814 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008075596 | 0.012672617 | 0.01271211 | 1.0031164 | 4.0E-5 | 0.07788358 | 0.12044768 | 0.12050925 | 1.0005112 | 7.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.5153569E-4 | 2.3550174E-4 | 2.454994E-4 | 1.0424526 | 1.0E-5 | 6.49277E-4 | 0.0010089047 | 0.0010288844 | 1.0198035 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007876333 | 0.012214754 | 0.012254265 | 1.0032347 | 4.0E-5 | 0.07602952 | 0.1165177 | 0.11657955 | 1.0005307 | 7.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.4588932E-4 | 2.2407302E-4 | 2.3407079E-4 | 1.0446182 | 1.0E-5 | 6.250901E-4 | 9.599615E-4 | 9.799423E-4 | 1.0208142 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0075839474 | 0.011625397 | 0.011664932 | 1.0034007 | 4.0E-5 | 0.073302895 | 0.1113634 | 0.11142561 | 1.0005586 | 7.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.1565079E-4 | 1.6291256E-4 | 1.7291094E-4 | 1.0613726 | 1.0E-5 | 4.955521E-4 | 6.980107E-4 | 7.179968E-4 | 1.0286329 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006016669 | 0.008465368 | 0.00850503 | 1.0046852 | 4.0E-5 | 0.058563538 | 0.083707 | 0.08377114 | 1.0007663 | 7.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.0393792E-4 | 1.4624851E-4 | 1.5624706E-4 | 1.0683668 | 1.0E-5 | 4.4537216E-4 | 6.2662957E-4 | 6.4661703E-4 | 1.0318968 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005408933 | 0.007602697 | 0.007642393 | 1.0052212 | 4.0E-5 | 0.052791595 | 0.0756556 | 0.07572031 | 1.0008552 | 7.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.332884E-5 | 1.2788622E-4 | 1.3788494E-4 | 1.0781845 | 1.0E-5 | 3.999194E-4 | 5.479693E-4 | 5.6795834E-4 | 1.0364784 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0048581534 | 0.006651253 | 0.006690987 | 1.0059739 | 4.0E-5 | 0.047533102 | 0.06651429 | 0.06657963 | 1.0009824 | 7.0E-5 |
7.4 | 8.670252E-5 | 1.1709979E-4 | 1.2709862E-4 | 1.0853872 | 1.0E-5 | 3.715293E-4 | 5.0176034E-4 | 5.217503E-4 | 1.0398396 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004513991 | 0.0060919416 | 0.006131698 | 1.006526 | 4.0E-5 | 0.044233937 | 0.0611787 | 0.06123503 | 1.0009208 | 6.0E-5 |
7.5 | 7.3036405E-5 | 9.011361E-5 | 1.001127E-4 | 1.1109611 | 1.0E-5 | 3.129756E-4 | 3.861441E-4 | 4.061364E-4 | 1.0517741 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0038038217 | 0.0046911915 | 0.0047310037 | 1.0084866 | 4.0E-5 | 0.03739367 | 0.047902368 | 0.04795949 | 1.0011926 | 6.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.3935775E-5 | 8.285012E-5 | 9.2849295E-5 | 1.1206899 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7398168E-4 | 3.5502372E-4 | 3.7501662E-4 | 1.0563142 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0033306254 | 0.0043138657 | 0.004353693 | 1.0092324 | 4.0E-5 | 0.032811474 | 0.044012927 | 0.044070285 | 1.0013032 | 6.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.5050095E-5 | 6.6658926E-5 | 7.665826E-5 | 1.1500074 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3590765E-4 | 2.8564985E-4 | 3.0564412E-4 | 1.0699958 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0028683927 | 0.0034722448 | 0.0035121061 | 1.01148 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0283165 | 0.03581521 | 0.035863418 | 1.0013461 | 5.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.027131E-5 | 6.166573E-5 | 7.1665105E-5 | 1.1621547 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1543067E-4 | 2.6425492E-4 | 2.8424963E-4 | 1.0756645 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0026197135 | 0.0032125604 | 0.003252432 | 1.0124111 | 4.0E-5 | 0.025890453 | 0.03314427 | 0.03319261 | 1.0014585 | 5.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.7271806E-5 | 5.0254795E-5 | 6.0254293E-5 | 1.198976 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5972654E-4 | 2.1535992E-4 | 2.2535777E-4 | 1.0464239 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019429359 | 0.0026188563 | 0.002638804 | 1.0076169 | 2.0E-5 | 0.019260362 | 0.027081393 | 0.02711058 | 1.0010778 | 3.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.7310243E-5 | 3.1447296E-5 | 3.1447296E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.17038646E-4 | 1.3476716E-4 | 1.3476716E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014240141 | 0.0016395561 | 0.0016395561 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014149235 | 0.017223299 | 0.017223299 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.7940547E-5 | 1.7411876E-5 | 1.7411876E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.688579E-5 | 7.46202E-5 | 7.46202E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3568244E-4 | 9.0812275E-4 | 9.0812275E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009317525 | 0.009804959 | 0.009804959 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.478665E-6 | 5.478665E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3479783E-5 | 2.3479783E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8582895E-4 | 2.8582895E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0032508469 | 0.0032508469 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.6647797E-7 | 7.6647797E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.2849016E-6 | 3.2849016E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.999296E-5 | 3.999296E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.7228087E-4 | 4.7228087E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pleito
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.4771325E-5 | 2.4771325E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0615891E-4 | 1.0615891E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0012917904 | 0.0013117646 | 1.0154624 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.01295784 | 0.013026933 | 1.0053321 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.4771325E-5 | 2.4771325E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0615891E-4 | 1.0615891E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0012917904 | 0.0013117646 | 1.0154624 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.01295784 | 0.013026933 | 1.0053321 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.4771325E-5 | 2.4771325E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0615891E-4 | 1.0615891E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0012917904 | 0.0013117646 | 1.0154624 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.01295784 | 0.013026933 | 1.0053321 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.4771325E-5 | 2.4771325E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0615891E-4 | 1.0615891E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0012917904 | 0.0013117646 | 1.0154624 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.01295784 | 0.013026933 | 1.0053321 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.4771325E-5 | 2.4771325E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0615891E-4 | 1.0615891E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0012917904 | 0.0013117646 | 1.0154624 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.01295784 | 0.013026933 | 1.0053321 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.4771325E-5 | 2.4771325E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0615891E-4 | 1.0615891E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0012917904 | 0.0013117646 | 1.0154624 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.01295784 | 0.013026933 | 1.0053321 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.910213E-6 | 1.7222008E-5 | 1.7222008E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.247165E-5 | 7.380654E-5 | 7.380654E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.169696E-4 | 8.982279E-4 | 9.182099E-4 | 1.0222461 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0051576863 | 0.009054615 | 0.009104162 | 1.0054721 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.910213E-6 | 1.7222008E-5 | 1.7222008E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.247165E-5 | 7.380654E-5 | 7.380654E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.169696E-4 | 8.982279E-4 | 9.182099E-4 | 1.0222461 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0051576863 | 0.009054615 | 0.009104162 | 1.0054721 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.300162E-6 | 1.5481599E-5 | 1.5481599E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.557164E-5 | 6.634803E-5 | 6.634803E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3299864E-4 | 8.074893E-4 | 8.274732E-4 | 1.0247481 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004321559 | 0.008154046 | 0.008203638 | 1.0060819 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.183114E-6 | 1.535281E-5 | 1.535281E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5070017E-5 | 6.5796106E-5 | 6.5796106E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2689382E-4 | 8.007746E-4 | 8.207586E-4 | 1.0249559 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0042607468 | 0.008087389 | 0.008136984 | 1.0061325 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.1748823E-6 | 1.41397095E-5 | 1.41397095E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0749135E-5 | 6.059735E-5 | 6.059735E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.743064E-4 | 7.3752354E-4 | 7.575088E-4 | 1.0270978 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0037367654 | 0.0074588493 | 0.0074886256 | 1.0039921 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.1671807E-6 | 1.4130079E-5 | 1.4130079E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0716128E-5 | 6.0556078E-5 | 6.0556078E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7390468E-4 | 7.370214E-4 | 7.5700664E-4 | 1.0271163 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0037327618 | 0.0074538616 | 0.007483638 | 1.0039947 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.0649667E-6 | 1.3977344E-5 | 1.3977344E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0278077E-5 | 5.990153E-5 | 5.990153E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6857324E-4 | 7.290576E-4 | 7.49043E-4 | 1.0274127 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0036796255 | 0.007374603 | 0.0074043814 | 1.004038 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.02082E-6 | 1.3920784E-5 | 1.3920784E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.008888E-5 | 5.965914E-5 | 5.965914E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6627054E-4 | 7.261085E-4 | 7.46094E-4 | 1.0275241 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0036566744 | 0.007345096 | 0.007374876 | 1.0040543 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.987146E-6 | 1.3880338E-5 | 1.3880338E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9944567E-5 | 5.948581E-5 | 5.948581E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6451413E-4 | 7.239996E-4 | 7.439851E-4 | 1.0276043 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0036391679 | 0.0073240283 | 0.0073538083 | 1.0040661 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.9494554E-6 | 1.3837237E-5 | 1.3837237E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9783041E-5 | 5.93011E-5 | 5.93011E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.625482E-4 | 7.2175224E-4 | 7.417378E-4 | 1.0276903 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0036195726 | 0.0073016533 | 0.007331434 | 1.0040786 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.92694E-6 | 1.3796339E-5 | 1.3796339E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9686547E-5 | 5.9125832E-5 | 5.9125832E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6137376E-4 | 7.1961974E-4 | 7.3960534E-4 | 1.0277724 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0036078666 | 0.0072804 | 0.0073101814 | 1.0040907 | 3.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.395867E-6 | 1.2675077E-5 | 1.2675077E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.741057E-5 | 5.4320633E-5 | 5.4320633E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.336726E-4 | 6.6115335E-4 | 6.811401E-4 | 1.0302302 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0033317201 | 0.0066988943 | 0.0067286934 | 1.0044483 | 3.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.8664327E-6 | 1.15421135E-5 | 1.15421135E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5141611E-5 | 4.9465263E-5 | 4.9465263E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.060561E-4 | 6.020734E-4 | 6.220614E-4 | 1.0331986 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0030563495 | 0.0061040027 | 0.0061238804 | 1.0032566 | 2.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.7167474E-6 | 7.117878E-6 | 7.117878E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.592882E-5 | 3.0504834E-5 | 3.0504834E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9391612E-4 | 3.713332E-4 | 3.813295E-4 | 1.02692 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019374699 | 0.0037694757 | 0.003779438 | 1.0026429 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.0903841E-6 | 1.2886559E-6 | 1.2886559E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6730665E-6 | 5.5227993E-6 | 5.5227993E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.68931E-5 | 6.723802E-5 | 6.723802E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6878536E-4 | 6.9462E-4 | 6.9462E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 2.6894583E-7 | 1.106846E-7 | 1.106846E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1526245E-6 | 4.7436248E-7 | 4.7436248E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4033113E-5 | 5.775348E-6 | 5.775348E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4032227E-4 | 6.461821E-5 | 6.461821E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 5.2967013E-9 | 2.4599007E-9 | 2.4599007E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2700148E-8 | 1.0542432E-8 | 1.0542432E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7637427E-7 | 1.283541E-7 | 1.283541E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7637393E-6 | 1.4601666E-6 | 1.4601666E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Raymond
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5157413E-5 | 1.5810365E-5 | 1.5810365E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4958724E-5 | 6.775709E-5 | 8.775573E-5 | 1.2951521 | 2.0E-5 | 7.905855E-4 | 8.246554E-4 | 8.846059E-4 | 1.0726976 | 6.0E-5 | 0.007877788 | 0.008218473 | 0.008287897 | 1.0084474 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.5157413E-5 | 1.5810365E-5 | 1.5810365E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4958724E-5 | 6.775709E-5 | 8.775573E-5 | 1.2951521 | 2.0E-5 | 7.905855E-4 | 8.246554E-4 | 8.846059E-4 | 1.0726976 | 6.0E-5 | 0.007877788 | 0.008218473 | 0.008287897 | 1.0084474 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.5157413E-5 | 1.5810365E-5 | 1.5810365E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4958724E-5 | 6.775709E-5 | 8.775573E-5 | 1.2951521 | 2.0E-5 | 7.905855E-4 | 8.246554E-4 | 8.846059E-4 | 1.0726976 | 6.0E-5 | 0.007877788 | 0.008218473 | 0.008287897 | 1.0084474 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.5157413E-5 | 1.5810365E-5 | 1.5810365E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4958724E-5 | 6.775709E-5 | 8.775573E-5 | 1.2951521 | 2.0E-5 | 7.905855E-4 | 8.246554E-4 | 8.846059E-4 | 1.0726976 | 6.0E-5 | 0.007877788 | 0.008218473 | 0.008287897 | 1.0084474 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.3941944E-5 | 1.4454908E-5 | 1.4454908E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9749822E-5 | 6.194826E-5 | 8.194702E-5 | 1.3228301 | 2.0E-5 | 7.2721124E-4 | 7.5398246E-4 | 8.139372E-4 | 1.0795175 | 6.0E-5 | 0.007248361 | 0.0075165783 | 0.007586052 | 1.0092428 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3941944E-5 | 1.4454908E-5 | 1.4454908E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9749822E-5 | 6.194826E-5 | 8.194702E-5 | 1.3228301 | 2.0E-5 | 7.2721124E-4 | 7.5398246E-4 | 8.139372E-4 | 1.0795175 | 6.0E-5 | 0.007248361 | 0.0075165783 | 0.007586052 | 1.0092428 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0542609E-5 | 1.0671272E-5 | 1.0671272E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5181827E-5 | 4.5733254E-5 | 5.57328E-5 | 1.2186493 | 1.0E-5 | 5.499499E-4 | 5.566656E-4 | 6.0663774E-4 | 1.0897706 | 5.0E-5 | 0.005485909 | 0.0055532744 | 0.0056129415 | 1.0107445 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.0542609E-5 | 1.0671272E-5 | 1.0671272E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5181827E-5 | 4.5733254E-5 | 5.57328E-5 | 1.2186493 | 1.0E-5 | 5.499499E-4 | 5.566656E-4 | 6.0663774E-4 | 1.0897706 | 5.0E-5 | 0.005485909 | 0.0055532744 | 0.0056129415 | 1.0107445 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0079132E-5 | 1.0176802E-5 | 1.0176802E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3195567E-5 | 4.3614164E-5 | 5.3613727E-5 | 1.2292733 | 1.0E-5 | 5.257791E-4 | 5.3087843E-4 | 5.808519E-4 | 1.0941335 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0052453685 | 0.005296653 | 0.0053563355 | 1.0112679 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.721598E-6 | 7.5490198E-6 | 7.5490198E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3092143E-5 | 3.2352546E-5 | 4.2352225E-5 | 1.3090847 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0282236E-4 | 3.938223E-4 | 4.438026E-4 | 1.1269108 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0040209293 | 0.0039313785 | 0.003991143 | 1.0152018 | 6.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.137566E-6 | 6.911413E-6 | 6.911413E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.058921E-5 | 2.962001E-5 | 3.9619714E-5 | 1.3375996 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7236E-4 | 3.6056503E-4 | 4.10547E-4 | 1.1386212 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0037173668 | 0.0035999198 | 0.0036597038 | 1.016607 | 6.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.654976E-6 | 5.299629E-6 | 5.299629E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4235387E-5 | 2.2712498E-5 | 2.2712498E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9502588E-4 | 2.764898E-4 | 3.064815E-4 | 1.1084731 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0029463451 | 0.0027614902 | 0.00280138 | 1.014445 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.9358455E-6 | 4.5267375E-6 | 4.5267375E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1153453E-5 | 1.940016E-5 | 1.940016E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5751285E-4 | 2.3617149E-4 | 2.5616676E-4 | 1.0846642 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0025721465 | 0.0023592284 | 0.0023891577 | 1.012686 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.2368597E-6 | 3.805688E-6 | 3.805688E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8157843E-5 | 1.630999E-5 | 1.630999E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2104931E-4 | 1.9855614E-4 | 2.1855217E-4 | 1.1007072 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0022082955 | 0.0019838074 | 0.0020137478 | 1.0150925 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.4999923E-6 | 3.0438064E-6 | 3.0438064E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.49998805E-5 | 1.3044819E-5 | 1.3044819E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8260824E-4 | 1.5880918E-4 | 1.78806E-4 | 1.1259173 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0018245826 | 0.0015869739 | 0.0016169263 | 1.0188739 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.738017E-6 | 2.3020955E-6 | 2.3020955E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1734306E-5 | 9.866087E-6 | 9.866087E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.428558E-4 | 1.2011305E-4 | 1.4011066E-4 | 1.1664898 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014276401 | 0.0012004969 | 0.001220473 | 1.0166397 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.8186392E-6 | 1.4423393E-6 | 1.4423393E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.794145E-6 | 6.18144E-6 | 6.18144E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.488958E-5 | 7.525647E-5 | 8.525572E-5 | 1.1328689 | 1.0E-5 | 9.4849075E-4 | 7.5232267E-4 | 7.623151E-4 | 1.0132822 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.0660348E-6 | 7.644004E-7 | 7.644004E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5687125E-6 | 3.2759976E-6 | 3.2759976E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5622655E-5 | 3.988456E-5 | 4.9884162E-5 | 1.2507136 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5608735E-4 | 3.987844E-4 | 4.0878044E-4 | 1.0250663 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 6.913602E-7 | 4.3205526E-7 | 4.3205526E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.962969E-6 | 1.8516641E-6 | 1.8516641E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.607355E-5 | 2.2543783E-5 | 3.2543558E-5 | 1.4435712 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6067693E-4 | 2.2542427E-4 | 2.3542202E-4 | 1.0443507 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 7.425201E-8 | 5.3225733E-8 | 5.3225733E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1822285E-7 | 2.2811027E-7 | 2.2811027E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.874356E-6 | 2.7772403E-6 | 2.7772403E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8742884E-5 | 2.7772185E-5 | 2.7772185E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pine Mtn
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.225567E-6 | 7.225567E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0966366E-5 | 4.0966057E-5 | 1.322921 | 1.0E-5 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.7695325E-4 | 4.269344E-4 | 1.1325924 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0037634359 | 0.0038331726 | 1.01853 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.225567E-6 | 7.225567E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0966366E-5 | 4.0966057E-5 | 1.322921 | 1.0E-5 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.7695325E-4 | 4.269344E-4 | 1.1325924 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0037634359 | 0.0038331726 | 1.01853 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.225567E-6 | 7.225567E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0966366E-5 | 4.0966057E-5 | 1.322921 | 1.0E-5 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.7695325E-4 | 4.269344E-4 | 1.1325924 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0037634359 | 0.0038331726 | 1.01853 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.225567E-6 | 7.225567E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0966366E-5 | 4.0966057E-5 | 1.322921 | 1.0E-5 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.7695325E-4 | 4.269344E-4 | 1.1325924 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0037634359 | 0.0038331726 | 1.01853 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.225567E-6 | 7.225567E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0966366E-5 | 4.0966057E-5 | 1.322921 | 1.0E-5 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.7695325E-4 | 4.269344E-4 | 1.1325924 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0037634359 | 0.0038331726 | 1.01853 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.225567E-6 | 7.225567E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0966366E-5 | 4.0966057E-5 | 1.322921 | 1.0E-5 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.7695325E-4 | 4.269344E-4 | 1.1325924 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0037634359 | 0.0038331726 | 1.01853 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.225567E-6 | 7.225567E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0966366E-5 | 4.0966057E-5 | 1.322921 | 1.0E-5 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.7695325E-4 | 4.269344E-4 | 1.1325924 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0037634359 | 0.0038331726 | 1.01853 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.0867933E-6 | 6.397216E-6 | 6.397216E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6085996E-5 | 2.7416365E-5 | 3.741609E-5 | 1.3647356 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1755073E-4 | 3.3374532E-4 | 3.7373195E-4 | 1.1198119 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0031709734 | 0.00333266 | 0.0033824933 | 1.014953 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.6530425E-6 | 5.950697E-6 | 5.950697E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.42271E-5 | 2.5502748E-5 | 3.5502493E-5 | 1.3921046 | 1.0E-5 | 2.94925E-4 | 3.104538E-4 | 3.5044138E-4 | 1.1288036 | 4.0E-5 | 0.002945339 | 0.0031004054 | 0.0031502505 | 1.0160769 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.6015225E-6 | 4.8639304E-6 | 4.8639304E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9720663E-5 | 2.0845258E-5 | 3.084505E-5 | 1.4797155 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4007261E-4 | 2.537629E-4 | 2.9375276E-4 | 1.1575874 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0023981342 | 0.0025348756 | 0.002584749 | 1.0196748 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.4875965E-6 | 4.747569E-6 | 4.747569E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9232413E-5 | 2.0346575E-5 | 3.0346371E-5 | 1.4914732 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3412947E-4 | 2.4769283E-4 | 2.8768292E-4 | 1.1614504 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0023388295 | 0.0024743115 | 0.0025241878 | 1.0201577 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.203907E-6 | 3.429501E-6 | 3.429501E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3730958E-5 | 1.4697782E-5 | 1.4697782E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6716159E-4 | 1.7893147E-4 | 1.989279E-4 | 1.1117547 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0016703589 | 0.0017879402 | 0.0018178865 | 1.0167491 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.2060601E-6 | 2.3785537E-6 | 2.3785537E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4545085E-6 | 1.0193765E-5 | 1.0193765E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.15102564E-4 | 1.2410247E-4 | 1.3410124E-4 | 1.0805686 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011504296 | 0.0012403765 | 0.0012603517 | 1.0161041 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.3765207E-6 | 1.5217132E-6 | 1.5217132E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.899361E-6 | 6.5216122E-6 | 6.5216122E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.182235E-5 | 7.9397825E-5 | 7.9397825E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1799144E-4 | 7.937037E-4 | 7.937037E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.1245983E-6 | 1.2587666E-6 | 1.2587666E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.819698E-6 | 5.3947033E-6 | 5.3947033E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8678244E-5 | 6.567862E-5 | 6.567862E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.866275E-4 | 6.566004E-4 | 6.566004E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 8.031682E-7 | 9.2774985E-7 | 9.2774985E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4421448E-6 | 3.9760653E-6 | 3.9760653E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1907308E-5 | 4.8407586E-5 | 4.8407586E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1899405E-4 | 4.8397717E-4 | 4.8397717E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.8953444E-7 | 6.003492E-7 | 6.003492E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.098003E-6 | 2.572923E-6 | 2.572923E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5542888E-5 | 3.1324937E-5 | 3.1324937E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5539953E-4 | 3.1321007E-4 | 3.1321007E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.634529E-8 | 6.788847E-8 | 6.788847E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.843369E-7 | 2.9095054E-7 | 2.9095054E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4617963E-6 | 3.5423177E-6 | 3.5423177E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4617424E-5 | 3.542266E-5 | 3.542266E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 9.235578E-9 | 9.488601E-9 | 9.488601E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9581046E-8 | 4.0665434E-8 | 4.0665434E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.818991E-7 | 4.951016E-7 | 4.951016E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8189804E-6 | 4.9510063E-6 | 4.9510063E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Brawley (Seismic Zone) alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2521618E-4 | 4.7643206E-4 | 4.8642728E-4 | 1.0209794 | 1.0E-5 | 9.6485513E-4 | 0.002040291 | 0.0020502706 | 1.0048913 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011683988 | 0.024554973 | 0.024584237 | 1.0011917 | 3.0E-5 | 0.11088423 | 0.21353106 | 0.21358612 | 1.0002578 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.2521618E-4 | 4.7643206E-4 | 4.7643206E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.6485513E-4 | 0.002040291 | 0.002040291 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011683988 | 0.024554973 | 0.024574483 | 1.0007945 | 2.0E-5 | 0.11088423 | 0.21353106 | 0.21357825 | 1.000221 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.198148E-4 | 4.672759E-4 | 4.672759E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.417233E-4 | 0.0020011107 | 0.0020011107 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011405343 | 0.024089037 | 0.024108553 | 1.0008103 | 2.0E-5 | 0.10837428 | 0.20996717 | 0.21000667 | 1.0001881 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.1704129E-4 | 4.6163241E-4 | 4.6163241E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.298453E-4 | 0.001976961 | 0.001976961 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011262234 | 0.023802388 | 0.023821913 | 1.0008203 | 2.0E-5 | 0.107082725 | 0.20785816 | 0.20789777 | 1.0001905 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.876142E-4 | 4.0055066E-4 | 4.0055066E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.038131E-4 | 0.0017155306 | 0.0017155306 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00974259 | 0.020688837 | 0.020708423 | 1.0009468 | 2.0E-5 | 0.093263686 | 0.18460822 | 0.18464899 | 1.0002209 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.7390939E-4 | 3.7486907E-4 | 3.7486907E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.45113E-4 | 0.0016056047 | 0.0016056047 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009034078 | 0.019377038 | 0.019396652 | 1.0010122 | 2.0E-5 | 0.086755216 | 0.17442968 | 0.17447098 | 1.0002366 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.591791E-4 | 3.490135E-4 | 3.490135E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8201777E-4 | 0.0014949249 | 0.0014949249 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008271996 | 0.018051691 | 0.018071331 | 1.0010879 | 2.0E-5 | 0.07970774 | 0.16383655 | 0.16387837 | 1.0002552 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.4268003E-4 | 3.2067046E-4 | 3.2067046E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1134255E-4 | 0.0013735864 | 0.0013735864 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007417723 | 0.016597226 | 0.016616894 | 1.001185 | 2.0E-5 | 0.07174956 | 0.15196328 | 0.15200567 | 1.0002791 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.239713E-4 | 2.906121E-4 | 2.906121E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3119735E-4 | 0.0012448921 | 0.0012448921 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0064481674 | 0.015052661 | 0.01507236 | 1.0013087 | 2.0E-5 | 0.06264243 | 0.13840474 | 0.13844782 | 1.0003113 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.0180238E-4 | 2.6260383E-4 | 2.6260383E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3622297E-4 | 0.0011249639 | 0.0011249639 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005298089 | 0.013611422 | 0.0136212865 | 1.0007247 | 1.0E-5 | 0.05173543 | 0.12498361 | 0.12500985 | 1.00021 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.6619996E-5 | 2.2404084E-4 | 2.2404084E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.283301E-4 | 9.598249E-4 | 9.598249E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039900932 | 0.011623963 | 0.011633847 | 1.0008503 | 1.0E-5 | 0.039192066 | 0.10728301 | 0.107309796 | 1.0002496 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.5127435E-5 | 2.2087194E-4 | 2.2087194E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2193496E-4 | 9.462538E-4 | 9.462538E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039125155 | 0.011460485 | 0.01147037 | 1.0008626 | 1.0E-5 | 0.038443442 | 0.105846815 | 0.10587364 | 1.0002534 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.788582E-5 | 2.0214771E-4 | 2.0214771E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9090676E-4 | 8.660627E-4 | 8.660627E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035360386 | 0.010493974 | 0.0105038695 | 1.000943 | 1.0E-5 | 0.034803 | 0.09751713 | 0.09754421 | 1.0002776 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.399602E-5 | 1.884553E-4 | 1.884553E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7423984E-4 | 8.074185E-4 | 8.074185E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033337586 | 0.009786601 | 0.009796504 | 1.0010118 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03284188 | 0.09141058 | 0.09143784 | 1.0002981 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.506759E-5 | 1.2532667E-4 | 1.2532667E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9313251E-4 | 5.370046E-4 | 5.370046E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023488526 | 0.006518606 | 0.006528541 | 1.0015241 | 1.0E-5 | 0.023241805 | 0.06237464 | 0.062402766 | 1.000451 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.43289E-5 | 9.338305E-5 | 9.338305E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4711556E-4 | 4.00152E-4 | 4.00152E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017896603 | 0.00486103 | 0.0048709814 | 1.0020472 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01775316 | 0.04706593 | 0.047075458 | 1.0002024 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.5980507E-5 | 7.055588E-5 | 7.055588E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1134028E-4 | 3.023474E-4 | 3.023474E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001354725 | 0.0036748908 | 0.0036848541 | 1.0027112 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013464959 | 0.035850268 | 0.03585991 | 1.0002689 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.7292105E-5 | 4.9428265E-5 | 4.9428265E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4106916E-5 | 2.1181825E-4 | 2.1181825E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.018782E-4 | 0.002575843 | 0.0025858171 | 1.0038723 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008982267 | 0.025298944 | 0.025308691 | 1.0003853 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.2927471E-5 | 3.971141E-5 | 3.971141E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5402274E-5 | 1.7018066E-4 | 1.7018066E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.743139E-4 | 0.0020699832 | 0.0020699832 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0067227143 | 0.020439085 | 0.020439085 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.0200774E-5 | 2.8759863E-5 | 2.8759863E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.371687E-5 | 1.2325073E-4 | 1.2325073E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.321229E-4 | 0.0014995459 | 0.0014995459 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005308505 | 0.0149981035 | 0.0149981035 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 8.650396E-6 | 2.3289316E-5 | 2.3289316E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.70726E-5 | 9.980754E-5 | 9.980754E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5126543E-4 | 0.0012144803 | 0.0012144803 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045035016 | 0.012216583 | 0.012216583 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 3.9368224E-6 | 7.3325436E-6 | 7.3325436E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6871985E-5 | 3.142481E-5 | 3.142481E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0539707E-4 | 3.8253E-4 | 3.8253E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020520731 | 0.0040034265 | 0.0040034265 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.7101195E-6 | 2.21947E-6 | 2.21947E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.329063E-6 | 9.511979E-6 | 9.511979E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.922769E-5 | 1.1580222E-4 | 1.1580222E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9191867E-4 | 0.0012675131 | 0.0012675131 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 3.0346666E-8 | 1.7229212E-8 | 1.7229212E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3005713E-7 | 7.383948E-8 | 7.383948E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5834444E-6 | 8.9899555E-7 | 8.9899555E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5834332E-5 | 9.375523E-6 | 9.375523E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Diego Trough north alt1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.329252E-5 | 8.821515E-5 | 1.0821338E-4 | 1.2266984 | 2.0E-5 | 3.14073E-4 | 3.780138E-4 | 3.9800623E-4 | 1.0528882 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0038171355 | 0.004593173 | 0.004623035 | 1.0065014 | 3.0E-5 | 0.03752231 | 0.04504633 | 0.045103624 | 1.001272 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.7940346E-5 | 4.4886026E-5 | 5.4885575E-5 | 1.2227765 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6259136E-4 | 1.9235504E-4 | 2.0235313E-4 | 1.0519772 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019777524 | 0.0023394884 | 0.0023494652 | 1.0042645 | 1.0E-5 | 0.019602431 | 0.023157293 | 0.023167063 | 1.0004219 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.8645263E-5 | 3.3297452E-5 | 4.3297117E-5 | 1.3003132 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2275964E-4 | 1.4269572E-4 | 1.526943E-4 | 1.0700692 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014935739 | 0.0017359584 | 0.001745941 | 1.0057505 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0148357535 | 0.017226638 | 0.017236467 | 1.0005705 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.8645263E-5 | 3.3297452E-5 | 4.3297117E-5 | 1.3003132 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2275964E-4 | 1.4269572E-4 | 1.526943E-4 | 1.0700692 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014935739 | 0.0017359584 | 0.001745941 | 1.0057505 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0148357535 | 0.017226638 | 0.017236467 | 1.0005705 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.2204576E-5 | 2.5448819E-5 | 3.5448564E-5 | 1.3929355 | 1.0E-5 | 9.5159E-5 | 1.0906186E-4 | 1.1906077E-4 | 1.0916811 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001157945 | 0.0013270287 | 0.0013370155 | 1.0075257 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011519298 | 0.013192215 | 0.013202083 | 1.000748 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.1004838E-5 | 2.402516E-5 | 3.4024917E-5 | 1.4162203 | 1.0E-5 | 9.0017624E-5 | 1.02960956E-4 | 1.12959926E-4 | 1.0971142 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010954136 | 0.0012528376 | 0.0012628251 | 1.0079719 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010900296 | 0.01245883 | 0.012468706 | 1.0007926 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.820557E-5 | 2.070517E-5 | 3.0704963E-5 | 1.4829612 | 1.0E-5 | 7.802154E-5 | 8.873346E-5 | 9.873257E-5 | 1.1126871 | 1.0E-5 | 9.4949827E-4 | 0.0010797998 | 0.001089789 | 1.009251 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009454516 | 0.0107462015 | 0.010756094 | 1.0009205 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.5884485E-5 | 1.7983964E-5 | 2.7983784E-5 | 1.5560409 | 1.0E-5 | 6.807459E-5 | 7.707187E-5 | 8.70711E-5 | 1.129739 | 1.0E-5 | 8.284929E-4 | 9.379488E-4 | 9.4793946E-4 | 1.0106516 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008254109 | 0.009340268 | 0.009350174 | 1.0010606 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.4331171E-5 | 1.6201348E-5 | 2.6201185E-5 | 1.6172227 | 1.0E-5 | 6.141786E-5 | 6.9432506E-5 | 7.943181E-5 | 1.1440147 | 1.0E-5 | 7.4750587E-4 | 8.4501493E-4 | 8.5500645E-4 | 1.0118241 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0074499645 | 0.008418285 | 0.008428201 | 1.0011779 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.2574203E-5 | 1.4206081E-5 | 2.420594E-5 | 1.7039139 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3888325E-5 | 6.088179E-5 | 7.0881186E-5 | 1.1642427 | 1.0E-5 | 6.558929E-4 | 7.4098515E-4 | 7.509777E-4 | 1.0134856 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0065396037 | 0.0073853307 | 0.007395257 | 1.0013441 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0883844E-5 | 1.22894735E-5 | 2.228935E-5 | 1.8136945 | 1.0E-5 | 4.664421E-5 | 5.2668114E-5 | 6.266759E-5 | 1.1898582 | 1.0E-5 | 5.677453E-4 | 6.410466E-4 | 6.510402E-4 | 1.0155895 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00566297 | 0.0063921027 | 0.0064020385 | 1.0015545 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 9.393088E-6 | 1.0607203E-5 | 2.0607096E-5 | 1.9427456 | 1.0E-5 | 4.025547E-5 | 4.5458655E-5 | 5.54582E-5 | 1.2199701 | 1.0E-5 | 4.900001E-4 | 5.5331935E-4 | 5.633138E-4 | 1.0180627 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0048892107 | 0.005519513 | 0.0055294577 | 1.0018017 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 8.190791E-6 | 9.258787E-6 | 1.9258694E-5 | 2.080045 | 1.0E-5 | 3.510292E-5 | 3.9679915E-5 | 4.967952E-5 | 1.2520066 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2729423E-4 | 4.8299658E-4 | 4.9299176E-4 | 1.0206941 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042647356 | 0.004819548 | 0.0048295003 | 1.0020648 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.268162E-6 | 7.08984E-6 | 7.08984E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6863276E-5 | 3.0384675E-5 | 3.0384675E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2701128E-4 | 3.6987104E-4 | 3.6987104E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003265305 | 0.0036926004 | 0.0036926004 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.985186E-6 | 5.6427807E-6 | 5.6427807E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1364907E-5 | 2.4183124E-5 | 2.4183124E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.600867E-4 | 2.9439016E-4 | 2.9439016E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002597825 | 0.002940043 | 0.002940043 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.7489613E-6 | 1.9697113E-6 | 1.9697113E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.495527E-6 | 8.441594E-6 | 8.441594E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.125422E-5 | 1.0277178E-4 | 1.0277178E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1216754E-4 | 0.0010272645 | 0.0010272645 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.6988751E-7 | 1.7533898E-7 | 1.7533898E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2808916E-7 | 7.5145255E-7 | 7.5145255E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.864449E-6 | 9.148898E-6 | 9.148898E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8640954E-5 | 9.148542E-5 | 9.148542E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cucamonga
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1848348E-5 | 1.1737856E-5 | 1.1737856E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0777642E-5 | 5.030414E-5 | 5.030414E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.180424E-4 | 6.1228353E-4 | 6.4226513E-4 | 1.0489669 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0061632637 | 0.006107083 | 0.0061667166 | 1.0097647 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.1848348E-5 | 1.1737856E-5 | 1.1737856E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0777642E-5 | 5.030414E-5 | 5.030414E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.180424E-4 | 6.1228353E-4 | 6.4226513E-4 | 1.0489669 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0061632637 | 0.006107083 | 0.0061667166 | 1.0097647 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.1848348E-5 | 1.1737856E-5 | 1.1737856E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0777642E-5 | 5.030414E-5 | 5.030414E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.180424E-4 | 6.1228353E-4 | 6.4226513E-4 | 1.0489669 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0061632637 | 0.006107083 | 0.0061667166 | 1.0097647 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1848348E-5 | 1.1737856E-5 | 1.1737856E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0777642E-5 | 5.030414E-5 | 5.030414E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.180424E-4 | 6.1228353E-4 | 6.4226513E-4 | 1.0489669 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0061632637 | 0.006107083 | 0.0061667166 | 1.0097647 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1848348E-5 | 1.1737856E-5 | 1.1737856E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0777642E-5 | 5.030414E-5 | 5.030414E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.180424E-4 | 6.1228353E-4 | 6.4226513E-4 | 1.0489669 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0061632637 | 0.006107083 | 0.0061667166 | 1.0097647 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.16988695E-5 | 1.1576885E-5 | 1.1576885E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.013705E-5 | 4.9614293E-5 | 4.9614293E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.102476E-4 | 6.038893E-4 | 6.338712E-4 | 1.0496479 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006085745 | 0.0060235965 | 0.006083235 | 1.0099008 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.16988695E-5 | 1.1576885E-5 | 1.1576885E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.013705E-5 | 4.9614293E-5 | 4.9614293E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.102476E-4 | 6.038893E-4 | 6.338712E-4 | 1.0496479 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006085745 | 0.0060235965 | 0.006083235 | 1.0099008 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.1397107E-5 | 1.1115768E-5 | 1.1115768E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.884383E-5 | 4.763815E-5 | 4.763815E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9451134E-4 | 5.798426E-4 | 6.098252E-4 | 1.0517082 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005929234 | 0.00578439 | 0.0058440426 | 1.0103128 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.058387E-5 | 9.785688E-6 | 9.785688E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5358654E-5 | 4.1937994E-5 | 4.1937994E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.521017E-4 | 5.104766E-4 | 5.304664E-4 | 1.039159 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00550732 | 0.005093991 | 0.005123838 | 1.0058593 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.690046E-6 | 8.580108E-6 | 8.580108E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1528107E-5 | 3.677138E-5 | 3.677138E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.054874E-4 | 4.4759997E-4 | 4.6759102E-4 | 1.0446627 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005043391 | 0.004467863 | 0.0044977292 | 1.0066847 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 9.381461E-6 | 8.187711E-6 | 8.187711E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.020564E-5 | 3.508972E-5 | 3.508972E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.893937E-4 | 4.2713396E-4 | 4.471254E-4 | 1.0468037 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0048831734 | 0.0042640073 | 0.0042938795 | 1.0070057 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.946492E-6 | 7.782485E-6 | 7.782485E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8341543E-5 | 3.3353084E-5 | 3.3353084E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.667083E-4 | 4.0599846E-4 | 4.2599035E-4 | 1.0492413 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0046572937 | 0.004053448 | 0.0040833266 | 1.0073711 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 8.251016E-6 | 6.975837E-6 | 6.975837E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5361016E-5 | 2.9896102E-5 | 2.9896102E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3043532E-4 | 3.639245E-4 | 3.839172E-4 | 1.0549364 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0042960253 | 0.0036341618 | 0.0036640528 | 1.008225 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.717881E-6 | 6.4868927E-6 | 6.4868927E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3076216E-5 | 2.7800674E-5 | 2.7800674E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.026285E-4 | 3.3842085E-4 | 3.5841408E-4 | 1.059078 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004018998 | 0.0033799394 | 0.0034098378 | 1.0088459 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.275623E-6 | 6.0325183E-6 | 6.0325183E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.118087E-5 | 2.5853395E-5 | 2.5853395E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7956095E-4 | 3.1471983E-4 | 3.3471352E-4 | 1.0635285 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0037891332 | 0.0031436244 | 0.00317353 | 1.0095131 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.5109502E-6 | 5.101057E-6 | 5.101057E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7903774E-5 | 2.186149E-5 | 2.186149E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3967546E-4 | 2.6613128E-4 | 2.8612596E-4 | 1.0751309 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0033915674 | 0.0026589984 | 0.0026789452 | 1.0075016 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 5.4495326E-6 | 3.908965E-6 | 3.908965E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.335493E-5 | 1.67526E-5 | 1.67526E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8430918E-4 | 2.0394388E-4 | 2.1394184E-4 | 1.0490232 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028394572 | 0.0020384341 | 0.0020484137 | 1.0048957 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.7997164E-6 | 3.2006137E-6 | 3.2006137E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.057005E-5 | 1.3716844E-5 | 1.3716844E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.504116E-4 | 1.669898E-4 | 1.7698813E-4 | 1.0598739 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002501296 | 0.0016695231 | 0.0016795064 | 1.0059798 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.3941733E-6 | 2.0644063E-6 | 2.0644063E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4546376E-5 | 8.847426E-6 | 8.847426E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7708774E-4 | 1.07712105E-4 | 1.17711024E-4 | 1.0928301 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017694668 | 0.0010766896 | 0.0010866788 | 1.0092777 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 9.750552E-7 | 5.15656E-7 | 5.15656E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.178801E-6 | 2.2099523E-6 | 2.2099523E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0875715E-5 | 2.6905842E-5 | 2.6905842E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.086407E-4 | 2.6902626E-4 | 2.6902626E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.133857E-7 | 6.053729E-8 | 6.053729E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8593864E-7 | 2.594455E-7 | 2.594455E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9162867E-6 | 3.1587447E-6 | 3.1587447E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.916129E-5 | 3.1587013E-5 | 3.1587013E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Bullion Mountains
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6420427E-5 | 1.4692201E-5 | 3.4691908E-5 | 2.3612463 | 2.0E-5 | 7.037136E-5 | 6.296527E-5 | 8.296401E-5 | 1.3176154 | 2.0E-5 | 8.5643446E-4 | 7.6637097E-4 | 7.96348E-4 | 1.0391155 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008531413 | 0.0076410742 | 0.007700616 | 1.0077924 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6420427E-5 | 1.4692201E-5 | 3.4691908E-5 | 2.3612463 | 2.0E-5 | 7.037136E-5 | 6.296527E-5 | 8.296401E-5 | 1.3176154 | 2.0E-5 | 8.5643446E-4 | 7.6637097E-4 | 7.96348E-4 | 1.0391155 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008531413 | 0.0076410742 | 0.007700616 | 1.0077924 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6420427E-5 | 1.4692201E-5 | 3.4691908E-5 | 2.3612463 | 2.0E-5 | 7.037136E-5 | 6.296527E-5 | 8.296401E-5 | 1.3176154 | 2.0E-5 | 8.5643446E-4 | 7.6637097E-4 | 7.96348E-4 | 1.0391155 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008531413 | 0.0076410742 | 0.007700616 | 1.0077924 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.2046778E-5 | 9.8623805E-6 | 1.9862282E-5 | 2.013944 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1628023E-5 | 4.226679E-5 | 5.226637E-5 | 1.2365824 | 1.0E-5 | 6.283899E-4 | 5.1449984E-4 | 5.244947E-4 | 1.0194263 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0062661595 | 0.0051353686 | 0.005155266 | 1.0038745 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2046778E-5 | 9.8623805E-6 | 1.9862282E-5 | 2.013944 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1628023E-5 | 4.226679E-5 | 5.226637E-5 | 1.2365824 | 1.0E-5 | 6.283899E-4 | 5.1449984E-4 | 5.244947E-4 | 1.0194263 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0062661595 | 0.0051353686 | 0.005155266 | 1.0038745 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.0244343E-5 | 7.879477E-6 | 1.7879398E-5 | 2.2691097 | 1.0E-5 | 4.390359E-5 | 3.376887E-5 | 4.376853E-5 | 1.2961208 | 1.0E-5 | 5.343951E-4 | 4.110791E-4 | 4.2107498E-4 | 1.0243162 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005331118 | 0.0041052178 | 0.004125136 | 1.0048518 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.605408E-6 | 7.177506E-6 | 1.7177434E-5 | 2.3932316 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1165385E-5 | 3.0760493E-5 | 4.0760184E-5 | 1.3250823 | 1.0E-5 | 5.010733E-4 | 3.74465E-4 | 3.8446125E-4 | 1.0266948 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00499945 | 0.0037403372 | 0.0037602624 | 1.0053271 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.60418E-6 | 6.124001E-6 | 1.612394E-5 | 2.6329093 | 1.0E-5 | 3.687454E-5 | 2.6245565E-5 | 3.6245303E-5 | 1.3810067 | 1.0E-5 | 4.48855E-4 | 3.1951242E-4 | 3.295092E-4 | 1.0312877 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004479495 | 0.0031924422 | 0.0032024102 | 1.0031224 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.187994E-6 | 2.5631452E-6 | 2.5631452E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.223407E-5 | 1.0984884E-5 | 1.0984884E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7066618E-4 | 1.3373674E-4 | 1.3373674E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027033675 | 0.0013369543 | 0.0013369543 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 4.5302368E-6 | 2.344301E-6 | 2.344301E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9415156E-5 | 1.0046988E-5 | 1.0046988E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3635388E-4 | 1.2231918E-4 | 1.2231918E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023610266 | 0.0012229076 | 0.0012229076 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 3.431668E-6 | 1.688219E-6 | 1.688219E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4707065E-5 | 7.235224E-6 | 7.235224E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7904381E-4 | 8.8088855E-5 | 8.8088855E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017889962 | 8.8088855E-4 | 8.8088855E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Oceanic - West Huasna
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.195567E-5 | 2.7926611E-5 | 2.7926611E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3694567E-4 | 1.1968023E-4 | 1.3967784E-4 | 1.167092 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0016660384 | 0.001456176 | 0.0014961178 | 1.0274292 | 4.0E-5 | 0.016536033 | 0.014470896 | 0.014530027 | 1.0040863 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1156782E-5 | 1.7573251E-5 | 1.7573251E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.066878E-5 | 7.531181E-5 | 7.531181E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011033333 | 9.1654493E-4 | 9.3652663E-4 | 1.0218011 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010978713 | 0.009128656 | 0.0091682905 | 1.0043418 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6195117E-5 | 1.332732E-5 | 1.332732E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9405796E-5 | 5.7115845E-5 | 5.7115845E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.44688E-4 | 6.951662E-4 | 7.1515224E-4 | 1.0287501 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008414844 | 0.0069302097 | 0.006960002 | 1.0042989 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3559345E-5 | 1.1179085E-5 | 1.1179085E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.811018E-5 | 4.7909492E-5 | 4.7909492E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.072618E-4 | 5.831429E-4 | 6.0313125E-4 | 1.034277 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0070501505 | 0.0058162455 | 0.0058460706 | 1.005128 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2120619E-5 | 1.0000936E-5 | 1.0000936E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1944477E-5 | 4.286045E-5 | 4.286045E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.322405E-4 | 5.217015E-4 | 5.416911E-4 | 1.0383161 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006304447 | 0.0052048354 | 0.0052247313 | 1.0038226 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.13511915E-5 | 9.367435E-6 | 9.367435E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8647056E-5 | 4.0145536E-5 | 4.0145536E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9211696E-4 | 4.8866274E-4 | 5.0865294E-4 | 1.040908 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0059054173 | 0.0048759407 | 0.004895843 | 1.0040817 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.850605E-6 | 8.135364E-6 | 8.135364E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2216197E-5 | 3.4865378E-5 | 3.4865378E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1386096E-4 | 4.2440352E-4 | 4.4439503E-4 | 1.047105 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0051267436 | 0.0042359624 | 0.004255878 | 1.0047015 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.8558645E-6 | 7.318384E-6 | 7.318384E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7953152E-5 | 3.1364125E-5 | 3.1364125E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6198163E-4 | 3.817915E-4 | 4.0178388E-4 | 1.0523646 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004610224 | 0.0038113813 | 0.003831305 | 1.0052274 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 7.67136E-6 | 6.3917278E-6 | 6.3917278E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2876844E-5 | 2.7392833E-5 | 2.7392833E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0020206E-4 | 3.3345685E-4 | 3.534502E-4 | 1.0599577 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003994821 | 0.003329586 | 0.0033495193 | 1.0059868 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.534529E-6 | 5.4582943E-6 | 5.4582943E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8004823E-5 | 2.339248E-5 | 2.339248E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4090536E-4 | 2.8476634E-4 | 2.947635E-4 | 1.0351065 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034038287 | 0.0028440312 | 0.0028540026 | 1.0035062 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.460525E-6 | 4.5699494E-6 | 4.5699494E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3402039E-5 | 1.9585352E-5 | 1.9585352E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8488258E-4 | 2.3842567E-4 | 2.4842328E-4 | 1.0419317 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028451765 | 0.0023817124 | 0.0023916885 | 1.0041887 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.4825083E-6 | 3.7524424E-6 | 3.7524424E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9210609E-5 | 1.6081798E-5 | 1.6081798E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3386406E-4 | 1.957784E-4 | 2.0577644E-4 | 1.0510682 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002336181 | 0.001956071 | 0.0019660515 | 1.0051023 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.821708E-6 | 2.4249653E-6 | 2.4249653E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2092979E-5 | 1.0392667E-5 | 1.0392667E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4722206E-4 | 1.2652339E-4 | 1.2652339E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014712457 | 0.0012645158 | 0.0012645158 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.0644757E-6 | 1.7687719E-6 | 1.7687719E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.847723E-6 | 7.580429E-6 | 7.580429E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0771569E-4 | 9.228782E-5 | 9.228782E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001076635 | 9.2249655E-4 | 9.2249655E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.6980367E-6 | 1.4380173E-6 | 1.4380173E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.27728E-6 | 6.1629166E-6 | 6.1629166E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8597284E-5 | 7.503093E-5 | 7.503093E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8561967E-4 | 7.5005746E-4 | 7.5005746E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3637683E-6 | 1.1302892E-6 | 1.1302892E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.844708E-6 | 4.8440875E-6 | 4.8440875E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1156996E-5 | 5.897517E-5 | 5.897517E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1134215E-4 | 5.895966E-4 | 5.895966E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 9.802994E-7 | 7.677469E-7 | 7.677469E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2012766E-6 | 3.2903397E-6 | 3.2903397E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1149345E-5 | 4.005915E-5 | 4.005915E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.113757E-4 | 4.0052057E-4 | 4.0052057E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.986191E-7 | 4.0052444E-7 | 4.0052444E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5655079E-6 | 1.7165321E-6 | 1.7165321E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1234613E-5 | 2.0898578E-5 | 2.0898578E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.123022E-4 | 2.0896735E-4 | 2.0896735E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.9189815E-7 | 1.5286729E-7 | 1.5286729E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2509914E-6 | 6.5514536E-7 | 6.5514536E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5230714E-5 | 7.976366E-6 | 7.976366E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.522967E-4 | 7.976198E-5 | 7.976198E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.2057845E-7 | 4.621617E-8 | 4.621617E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1676466E-7 | 1.9806929E-7 | 1.9806929E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2915915E-6 | 2.4114909E-6 | 2.4114909E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2914136E-5 | 2.4115825E-5 | 2.4115825E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 3.3806387E-9 | 9.0127306E-10 | 9.0127306E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4488451E-8 | 3.8625965E-9 | 3.8625965E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7639688E-7 | 4.7027115E-8 | 4.7027115E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7639674E-6 | 4.7134822E-7 | 4.7134822E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
White Mountains
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.503579E-5 | 3.3784498E-5 | 4.378416E-5 | 1.2959838 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5014476E-4 | 1.4478335E-4 | 1.547819E-4 | 1.0690588 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018264796 | 0.0017614327 | 0.00179138 | 1.0170016 | 3.0E-5 | 0.018115403 | 0.017487047 | 0.017545998 | 1.0033711 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.503579E-5 | 3.3784498E-5 | 4.378416E-5 | 1.2959838 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5014476E-4 | 1.4478335E-4 | 1.547819E-4 | 1.0690588 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018264796 | 0.0017614327 | 0.00179138 | 1.0170016 | 3.0E-5 | 0.018115403 | 0.017487047 | 0.017545998 | 1.0033711 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.503579E-5 | 3.3784498E-5 | 4.378416E-5 | 1.2959838 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5014476E-4 | 1.4478335E-4 | 1.547819E-4 | 1.0690588 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018264796 | 0.0017614327 | 0.00179138 | 1.0170016 | 3.0E-5 | 0.018115403 | 0.017487047 | 0.017545998 | 1.0033711 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.7818425E-5 | 1.591632E-5 | 1.591632E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.636245E-5 | 6.821109E-5 | 6.821109E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.293162E-4 | 8.301679E-4 | 8.401596E-4 | 1.0120357 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009254395 | 0.008272125 | 0.008291961 | 1.0023978 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.7818425E-5 | 1.591632E-5 | 1.591632E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.636245E-5 | 6.821109E-5 | 6.821109E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.293162E-4 | 8.301679E-4 | 8.401596E-4 | 1.0120357 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009254395 | 0.008272125 | 0.008291961 | 1.0023978 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3397557E-5 | 1.1336486E-5 | 1.1336486E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.741684E-5 | 4.8584072E-5 | 4.8584072E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.988258E-4 | 5.9135753E-4 | 6.013516E-4 | 1.0169003 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006966323 | 0.0058985446 | 0.0059084855 | 1.0016854 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0818695E-5 | 8.625519E-6 | 8.625519E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6365014E-5 | 3.696601E-5 | 3.696601E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6434784E-4 | 4.4997258E-4 | 4.5996808E-4 | 1.0222136 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005629168 | 0.004491051 | 0.0045010066 | 1.0022167 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.067908E-6 | 6.802544E-6 | 6.802544E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8861883E-5 | 2.915345E-5 | 2.915345E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7304068E-4 | 3.5488865E-4 | 3.648851E-4 | 1.0281678 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00472035 | 0.0035435364 | 0.0035535009 | 1.002812 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 7.295947E-6 | 4.9364785E-6 | 4.9364785E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.126797E-5 | 2.1156171E-5 | 2.1156171E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8062103E-4 | 2.5754707E-4 | 2.5754707E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037996976 | 0.0025725989 | 0.0025725989 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 6.2243444E-6 | 3.8322955E-6 | 3.8322955E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6675489E-5 | 1.6424025E-5 | 1.6424025E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2472567E-4 | 1.9994467E-4 | 1.9994467E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032425157 | 0.0019977004 | 0.0019977004 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 4.9878413E-6 | 2.6796004E-6 | 2.6796004E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1376287E-5 | 1.1483952E-5 | 1.1483952E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.602252E-4 | 1.3980841E-4 | 1.3980841E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002599207 | 0.0013972308 | 0.0013972308 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 4.0252844E-6 | 1.885737E-6 | 1.885737E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7251105E-5 | 8.081706E-6 | 8.081706E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1001195E-4 | 9.8390454E-5 | 9.8390454E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020981359 | 9.834818E-4 | 9.834818E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.3284066E-6 | 1.2819264E-6 | 1.2819264E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4264522E-5 | 5.493959E-6 | 5.493959E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.736567E-4 | 6.6887005E-5 | 6.6887005E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017352107 | 6.686788E-4 | 6.686788E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.458226E-6 | 6.0570005E-7 | 6.0570005E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0535211E-5 | 2.595855E-6 | 2.595855E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2825865E-4 | 3.1604115E-5 | 3.1604115E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012818464 | 3.1599996E-4 | 3.1599996E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.965953E-6 | 3.1087455E-7 | 3.1087455E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.425486E-6 | 1.3323188E-6 | 1.3323188E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0257547E-4 | 1.6220862E-5 | 1.6220862E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010252813 | 1.6219691E-4 | 1.6219691E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.2014192E-6 | 1.8242919E-7 | 1.8242919E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.148929E-6 | 7.8183916E-7 | 7.8183916E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2686406E-5 | 9.518851E-6 | 9.518851E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.266873E-4 | 9.5184514E-5 | 9.5184514E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.5612175E-7 | 4.8943498E-8 | 4.8943498E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0976642E-6 | 2.0975783E-7 | 2.0975783E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3363979E-5 | 2.553799E-6 | 2.553799E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3363175E-4 | 2.5537733E-5 | 2.5537733E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Sierra Madre
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.3379373E-5 | 1.1001147E-5 | 1.1001147E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7338908E-5 | 4.7146932E-5 | 4.7146932E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.978776E-4 | 5.7386415E-4 | 6.238355E-4 | 1.0870787 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0069569005 | 0.0057240664 | 0.0057837227 | 1.0104221 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.3379373E-5 | 1.1001147E-5 | 1.1001147E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7338908E-5 | 4.7146932E-5 | 4.7146932E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.978776E-4 | 5.7386415E-4 | 6.238355E-4 | 1.0870787 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0069569005 | 0.0057240664 | 0.0057837227 | 1.0104221 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.3379373E-5 | 1.1001147E-5 | 1.1001147E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7338908E-5 | 4.7146932E-5 | 4.7146932E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.978776E-4 | 5.7386415E-4 | 6.238355E-4 | 1.0870787 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0069569005 | 0.0057240664 | 0.0057837227 | 1.0104221 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3379373E-5 | 1.1001147E-5 | 1.1001147E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7338908E-5 | 4.7146932E-5 | 4.7146932E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.978776E-4 | 5.7386415E-4 | 6.238355E-4 | 1.0870787 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0069569005 | 0.0057240664 | 0.0057837227 | 1.0104221 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.3379373E-5 | 1.1001147E-5 | 1.1001147E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7338908E-5 | 4.7146932E-5 | 4.7146932E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.978776E-4 | 5.7386415E-4 | 6.238355E-4 | 1.0870787 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0069569005 | 0.0057240664 | 0.0057837227 | 1.0104221 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.26563245E-5 | 1.0230597E-5 | 1.0230597E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4240263E-5 | 4.3844684E-5 | 4.3844684E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.601751E-4 | 5.336793E-4 | 5.8365264E-4 | 1.0936393 | 5.0E-5 | 0.006582173 | 0.0053241784 | 0.005383859 | 1.0112094 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.26563245E-5 | 1.0230597E-5 | 1.0230597E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4240263E-5 | 4.3844684E-5 | 4.3844684E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.601751E-4 | 5.336793E-4 | 5.8365264E-4 | 1.0936393 | 5.0E-5 | 0.006582173 | 0.0053241784 | 0.005383859 | 1.0112094 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2502474E-5 | 1.0066739E-5 | 1.0066739E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3580934E-5 | 4.314246E-5 | 4.314246E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.521526E-4 | 5.251339E-4 | 5.751077E-4 | 1.0951638 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0065024206 | 0.0052391286 | 0.0052988143 | 1.0113922 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2454966E-5 | 1.0019025E-5 | 1.0019025E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3377335E-5 | 4.2937972E-5 | 4.2937972E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4967526E-4 | 5.226455E-4 | 5.726194E-4 | 1.0956172 | 5.0E-5 | 0.006477792 | 0.005214361 | 0.0052740485 | 1.0114467 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.2225574E-5 | 9.793E-6 | 9.793E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2394265E-5 | 4.1969328E-5 | 4.1969328E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3771347E-4 | 5.108578E-4 | 5.6083227E-4 | 1.0978246 | 5.0E-5 | 0.006358865 | 0.0050970297 | 0.005156724 | 1.0117116 | 6.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.182946E-5 | 9.399537E-6 | 9.399537E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.06967E-5 | 4.0283114E-5 | 4.0283114E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1705755E-4 | 4.9033755E-4 | 5.403131E-4 | 1.1019206 | 5.0E-5 | 0.006153469 | 0.0048927474 | 0.004952454 | 1.0122031 | 6.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.14369095E-5 | 8.986543E-6 | 8.986543E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9014405E-5 | 3.8513193E-5 | 3.8513193E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9658696E-4 | 4.6879821E-4 | 5.087795E-4 | 1.0852846 | 4.0E-5 | 0.005949879 | 0.0046782778 | 0.004728044 | 1.0106376 | 5.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.0836419E-5 | 8.399933E-6 | 8.399933E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.644097E-5 | 3.599922E-5 | 3.599922E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.652721E-4 | 4.3820328E-4 | 4.6819012E-4 | 1.0684314 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0056383642 | 0.0043735686 | 0.0044133933 | 1.0091058 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.0403439E-5 | 8.021192E-6 | 8.021192E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4585406E-5 | 3.437609E-5 | 3.437609E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.426921E-4 | 4.1844943E-4 | 4.4843688E-4 | 1.0716633 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005413687 | 0.0041767894 | 0.0042166226 | 1.0095367 | 4.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.768864E-6 | 7.4148143E-6 | 7.4148143E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.186589E-5 | 3.1777392E-5 | 3.1777392E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.09598E-4 | 3.8682195E-4 | 4.1681036E-4 | 1.077525 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0050843097 | 0.0038616573 | 0.0039015028 | 1.0103183 | 4.0E-5 |
7.5 | 8.687089E-6 | 6.450497E-6 | 6.450497E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.722985E-5 | 2.7644699E-5 | 2.7644699E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5317915E-4 | 3.3652308E-4 | 3.66513E-4 | 1.0891169 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004522561 | 0.003360301 | 0.0033902002 | 1.0088978 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.3506063E-6 | 4.4306207E-6 | 4.4306207E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.72166E-5 | 1.8988238E-5 | 1.8988238E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3131172E-4 | 2.3115752E-4 | 2.511529E-4 | 1.0865011 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003308182 | 0.0023092744 | 0.0023292282 | 1.0086408 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.62223E-6 | 2.9332343E-6 | 2.9332343E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9809406E-5 | 1.2570943E-5 | 1.2570943E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4115283E-4 | 1.5304051E-4 | 1.6303897E-4 | 1.0653322 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024089129 | 0.0015294303 | 0.001539415 | 1.0065284 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.2145008E-6 | 1.949628E-6 | 1.949628E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3776359E-5 | 8.355522E-6 | 8.355522E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6771426E-4 | 1.0172375E-4 | 1.1172274E-4 | 1.0982955 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016758774 | 0.0010167895 | 0.0010267793 | 1.0098249 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.0391769E-6 | 5.6032485E-7 | 5.6032485E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4536077E-6 | 2.40139E-6 | 2.40139E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4221324E-5 | 2.9236535E-5 | 2.9236535E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4208096E-4 | 2.923273E-4 | 2.923273E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.210983E-7 | 6.6138576E-8 | 6.6138576E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1899264E-7 | 2.8345102E-7 | 2.8345102E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3187167E-6 | 3.4510108E-6 | 3.4510108E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.318537E-5 | 3.450959E-5 | 3.450959E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Diego Trough south
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.279495E-5 | 1.0425905E-4 | 1.1425801E-4 | 1.095905 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5478722E-4 | 4.4675023E-4 | 4.667413E-4 | 1.0447477 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004310982 | 0.0054260944 | 0.0054658777 | 1.0073317 | 4.0E-5 | 0.042283054 | 0.052994724 | 0.053051546 | 1.0010722 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.6961468E-5 | 5.773192E-5 | 6.7731344E-5 | 1.1732044 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0124791E-4 | 2.4739734E-4 | 2.6739237E-4 | 1.0808216 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00244744 | 0.0030079763 | 0.0030279162 | 1.006629 | 2.0E-5 | 0.024206603 | 0.02968051 | 0.029699914 | 1.0006539 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.5079658E-5 | 4.2143583E-5 | 5.214316E-5 | 1.237274 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5033272E-4 | 1.8060306E-4 | 1.9060126E-4 | 1.0553601 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018287642 | 0.0021966458 | 0.0022066238 | 1.0045424 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018137876 | 0.021751761 | 0.021761544 | 1.0004498 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.5079658E-5 | 4.2143583E-5 | 5.214316E-5 | 1.237274 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5033272E-4 | 1.8060306E-4 | 1.9060126E-4 | 1.0553601 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018287642 | 0.0021966458 | 0.0022066238 | 1.0045424 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018137876 | 0.021751761 | 0.021761544 | 1.0004498 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.7196904E-5 | 3.2087904E-5 | 4.2087584E-5 | 1.311634 | 1.0E-5 | 1.16552954E-4 | 1.3751238E-4 | 1.47511E-4 | 1.0727108 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014181085 | 0.0016729396 | 0.001682923 | 1.0059675 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014090929 | 0.01660506 | 0.016614895 | 1.0005922 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.5584688E-5 | 3.0102321E-5 | 4.010202E-5 | 1.3321903 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0964406E-4 | 1.290036E-4 | 1.3900231E-4 | 1.0775073 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013340989 | 0.0015694996 | 0.001579484 | 1.0063615 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013261181 | 0.015585696 | 0.01559554 | 1.0006316 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.2034688E-5 | 2.574329E-5 | 3.5743033E-5 | 1.3884407 | 1.0E-5 | 9.443096E-5 | 1.10323745E-4 | 1.2032264E-4 | 1.0906323 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011490905 | 0.0013423713 | 0.0013523579 | 1.0074395 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011431668 | 0.013343622 | 0.013353489 | 1.0007395 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.9394853E-5 | 2.254225E-5 | 3.2542022E-5 | 1.4436015 | 1.0E-5 | 8.311815E-5 | 9.660609E-5 | 1.06605126E-4 | 1.1035031 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010114936 | 0.0011755498 | 0.001185538 | 1.0084966 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01006902 | 0.011694018 | 0.011703901 | 1.0008452 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.7615313E-5 | 2.0403613E-5 | 3.040341E-5 | 1.4900993 | 1.0E-5 | 7.549201E-5 | 8.744115E-5 | 9.744028E-5 | 1.1143526 | 1.0E-5 | 9.1872766E-4 | 0.0010640804 | 0.0010740698 | 1.0093877 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009149387 | 0.01059042 | 0.0106003145 | 1.0009342 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.5621423E-5 | 1.8026485E-5 | 2.8026305E-5 | 1.5547293 | 1.0E-5 | 6.6947236E-5 | 7.7254095E-5 | 8.725332E-5 | 1.129433 | 1.0E-5 | 8.147778E-4 | 9.401663E-4 | 9.501569E-4 | 1.0106264 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008117969 | 0.0093623325 | 0.009372239 | 1.0010581 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.3444376E-5 | 1.5448395E-5 | 2.544824E-5 | 1.6473064 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7617483E-5 | 6.620574E-5 | 7.6205084E-5 | 1.1510344 | 1.0E-5 | 7.0126704E-4 | 8.057596E-4 | 8.1575155E-4 | 1.0124006 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006990582 | 0.008028714 | 0.0080386335 | 1.0012355 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.2268361E-5 | 1.40733055E-5 | 2.4073164E-5 | 1.7105551 | 1.0E-5 | 5.2577634E-5 | 6.031279E-5 | 7.0312184E-5 | 1.1657923 | 1.0E-5 | 6.399447E-4 | 7.3406345E-4 | 7.440561E-4 | 1.0136127 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0063810493 | 0.007316692 | 0.007326619 | 1.0013567 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.0922655E-5 | 1.2513806E-5 | 2.2513681E-5 | 1.7991074 | 1.0E-5 | 4.681054E-5 | 5.362951E-5 | 6.362897E-5 | 1.1864545 | 1.0E-5 | 5.697693E-4 | 6.527462E-4 | 6.627396E-4 | 1.0153099 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0056831064 | 0.0065085697 | 0.0065185046 | 1.0015265 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.1106753E-6 | 6.9290486E-6 | 6.9290486E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6188345E-5 | 2.9695586E-5 | 2.9695586E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1879646E-4 | 3.6148418E-4 | 3.6148418E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031833951 | 0.0036090072 | 0.0036090072 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.933187E-6 | 5.5896517E-6 | 5.5896517E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.114206E-5 | 2.3955432E-5 | 2.3955432E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5737417E-4 | 2.9161875E-4 | 2.9161875E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002570763 | 0.002912402 | 0.002912402 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.7489613E-6 | 1.9697113E-6 | 1.9697113E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.495527E-6 | 8.441594E-6 | 8.441594E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.125422E-5 | 1.0277178E-4 | 1.0277178E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1216754E-4 | 0.0010272645 | 0.0010272645 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.6988751E-7 | 1.7533898E-7 | 1.7533898E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2808916E-7 | 7.5145255E-7 | 7.5145255E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.864449E-6 | 9.148898E-6 | 9.148898E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8640954E-5 | 9.148542E-5 | 9.148542E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Tin Mountain
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.18155E-6 | 4.18155E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.7920827E-5 | 4.792029E-5 | 2.674 | 3.0E-5 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.1816794E-4 | 2.581592E-4 | 1.183305 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0021285915 | 0.0021799032 | 0.0022397726 | 1.0274642 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.18155E-6 | 4.18155E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.7920827E-5 | 4.792029E-5 | 2.674 | 3.0E-5 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.1816794E-4 | 2.581592E-4 | 1.183305 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0021285915 | 0.0021799032 | 0.0022397726 | 1.0274642 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.18155E-6 | 4.18155E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.7920827E-5 | 4.792029E-5 | 2.674 | 3.0E-5 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.1816794E-4 | 2.581592E-4 | 1.183305 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0021285915 | 0.0021799032 | 0.0022397726 | 1.0274642 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.18155E-6 | 4.18155E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.7920827E-5 | 4.792029E-5 | 2.674 | 3.0E-5 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.1816794E-4 | 2.581592E-4 | 1.183305 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0021285915 | 0.0021799032 | 0.0022397726 | 1.0274642 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.18155E-6 | 4.18155E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.7920827E-5 | 4.792029E-5 | 2.674 | 3.0E-5 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.1816794E-4 | 2.581592E-4 | 1.183305 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0021285915 | 0.0021799032 | 0.0022397726 | 1.0274642 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.3143427E-6 | 2.3731652E-6 | 2.3731652E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9185745E-6 | 1.0170673E-5 | 2.0170572E-5 | 1.9832091 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2075195E-4 | 1.2382168E-4 | 1.3382045E-4 | 1.0807513 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012068636 | 0.0012376028 | 0.0012475904 | 1.0080701 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.3143427E-6 | 2.3731652E-6 | 2.3731652E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9185745E-6 | 1.0170673E-5 | 2.0170572E-5 | 1.9832091 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2075195E-4 | 1.2382168E-4 | 1.3382045E-4 | 1.0807513 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012068636 | 0.0012376028 | 0.0012475904 | 1.0080701 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.7029532E-6 | 1.7497979E-6 | 1.7497979E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2983503E-6 | 7.4991153E-6 | 7.4991153E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.885379E-5 | 9.129844E-5 | 9.129844E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.881827E-4 | 9.1266196E-4 | 9.1266196E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.2914646E-6 | 1.3299432E-6 | 1.3299432E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.534837E-6 | 5.6997465E-6 | 5.6997465E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.738455E-5 | 6.939264E-5 | 6.939264E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.736412E-4 | 6.937531E-4 | 6.937531E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 5.8708974E-7 | 6.117028E-7 | 6.117028E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5160964E-6 | 2.621581E-6 | 2.621581E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0633044E-5 | 3.1917323E-5 | 3.1917323E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0628822E-4 | 3.191315E-4 | 3.191315E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 4.6248786E-7 | 4.832044E-7 | 4.832044E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9820893E-6 | 2.0708746E-6 | 2.0708746E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.413167E-5 | 2.5212645E-5 | 2.5212645E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.412905E-4 | 2.5210154E-4 | 2.5210154E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 3.804606E-7 | 3.9871725E-7 | 3.9871725E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6305444E-6 | 1.7087873E-6 | 1.7087873E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9851697E-5 | 2.080432E-5 | 2.080432E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9849923E-4 | 2.080271E-4 | 2.080271E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.5864858E-7 | 3.7617107E-7 | 3.7617107E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5370645E-6 | 1.6121609E-6 | 1.6121609E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.87136E-5 | 1.9627916E-5 | 1.9627916E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8712023E-4 | 1.9626514E-4 | 1.9626514E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.342063E-7 | 3.50637E-7 | 3.50637E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4323119E-6 | 1.5027293E-6 | 1.5027293E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7438259E-5 | 1.829561E-5 | 1.829561E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.743689E-4 | 1.8294434E-4 | 1.8294434E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.971242E-7 | 3.116602E-7 | 3.116602E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2733886E-6 | 1.3356861E-6 | 1.3356861E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5503398E-5 | 1.626189E-5 | 1.626189E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5502315E-4 | 1.6261027E-4 | 1.6261027E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.4326713E-7 | 1.501262E-7 | 1.501262E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.140018E-7 | 6.43398E-7 | 6.43398E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4754466E-6 | 7.833371E-6 | 7.833371E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.475195E-5 | 7.83337E-5 | 7.83337E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Kern Canyon (North Kern) 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.7573515E-6 | 1.6757283E-5 | 2.4798598 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.8959801E-5 | 3.895951E-5 | 1.3452963 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.5253656E-4 | 3.725295E-4 | 1.0567117 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0034516277 | 0.0035205614 | 0.0035803502 | 1.0169828 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.7573515E-6 | 1.6757283E-5 | 2.4798598 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.8959801E-5 | 3.895951E-5 | 1.3452963 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.5253656E-4 | 3.725295E-4 | 1.0567117 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0034516277 | 0.0035205614 | 0.0035803502 | 1.0169828 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.7573515E-6 | 1.6757283E-5 | 2.4798598 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.8959801E-5 | 3.895951E-5 | 1.3452963 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.5253656E-4 | 3.725295E-4 | 1.0567117 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0034516277 | 0.0035205614 | 0.0035803502 | 1.0169828 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.7573515E-6 | 1.6757283E-5 | 2.4798598 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.8959801E-5 | 3.895951E-5 | 1.3452963 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.5253656E-4 | 3.725295E-4 | 1.0567117 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0034516277 | 0.0035205614 | 0.0035803502 | 1.0169828 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.7573515E-6 | 1.6757283E-5 | 2.4798598 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.8959801E-5 | 3.895951E-5 | 1.3452963 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.5253656E-4 | 3.725295E-4 | 1.0567117 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0034516277 | 0.0035205614 | 0.0035803502 | 1.0169828 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.2162225E-6 | 3.2571006E-6 | 1.32570685E-5 | 4.070205 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3783738E-5 | 1.3958933E-5 | 2.3958793E-5 | 1.7163771 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6780409E-4 | 1.6993756E-4 | 1.7993586E-4 | 1.0588351 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016767744 | 0.0016981558 | 0.0017081389 | 1.0058787 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.2162225E-6 | 3.2571006E-6 | 1.32570685E-5 | 4.070205 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3783738E-5 | 1.3958933E-5 | 2.3958793E-5 | 1.7163771 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6780409E-4 | 1.6993756E-4 | 1.7993586E-4 | 1.0588351 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016767744 | 0.0016981558 | 0.0017081389 | 1.0058787 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.1908265E-6 | 2.207128E-6 | 2.207128E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.389223E-6 | 9.459087E-6 | 9.459087E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1430779E-4 | 1.15158495E-4 | 1.15158495E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011424901 | 0.0011510076 | 0.0011510076 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.7303895E-6 | 1.7365575E-6 | 1.7365575E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.415934E-6 | 7.4423683E-6 | 7.4423683E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.028525E-5 | 9.0607165E-5 | 9.0607165E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.024858E-4 | 9.0571196E-4 | 9.0571196E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.3700314E-6 | 1.3688658E-6 | 1.3688658E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.87155E-6 | 5.8665546E-6 | 5.8665546E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.148377E-5 | 7.142301E-5 | 7.142301E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.146078E-4 | 7.140051E-4 | 7.140051E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.1467797E-6 | 1.1413834E-6 | 1.1413834E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9147607E-6 | 4.8916345E-6 | 4.8916345E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.983557E-5 | 5.955405E-5 | 5.955405E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.981946E-4 | 5.9538404E-4 | 5.9538404E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 9.3952065E-7 | 9.3027154E-7 | 9.3027154E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.026511E-6 | 3.986872E-6 | 3.986872E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9021666E-5 | 4.8539103E-5 | 4.8539103E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.901085E-4 | 4.852868E-4 | 4.852868E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.858055E-7 | 6.719319E-7 | 6.719319E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.939163E-6 | 2.879705E-6 | 2.879705E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5783723E-5 | 3.5059853E-5 | 3.5059853E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5777962E-4 | 3.505441E-4 | 3.505441E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.1101983E-7 | 4.939314E-7 | 4.939314E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1900833E-6 | 2.116847E-6 | 2.116847E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6663936E-5 | 2.5772315E-5 | 2.5772315E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6660739E-4 | 2.5769373E-4 | 2.5769373E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.4999414E-7 | 3.2996007E-7 | 3.2996007E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.499974E-6 | 1.4141139E-6 | 1.4141139E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8262032E-5 | 1.7216704E-5 | 1.7216704E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.826053E-4 | 1.7215393E-4 | 1.7215393E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.7021522E-7 | 1.4750101E-7 | 1.4750101E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2949354E-7 | 6.321471E-7 | 6.321471E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.881548E-6 | 7.696364E-6 | 7.696364E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8811925E-5 | 7.696106E-5 | 7.696106E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.572245E-8 | 1.7352718E-8 | 1.7352718E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10239064E-7 | 7.436879E-8 | 7.436879E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421597E-6 | 9.054397E-7 | 9.054397E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421517E-5 | 9.054365E-6 | 9.054365E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Big Pine (Central)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2706755E-5 | 1.4251083E-5 | 1.4251083E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4456385E-5 | 6.107485E-5 | 7.107423E-5 | 1.1637236 | 1.0E-5 | 6.628048E-4 | 7.433691E-4 | 7.6335424E-4 | 1.0268846 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006608314 | 0.0074138264 | 0.0074733817 | 1.008033 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 8.342579E-6 | 9.511262E-6 | 9.511262E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5753423E-5 | 4.0762035E-5 | 4.0762035E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3521097E-4 | 4.961865E-4 | 5.0618156E-4 | 1.0201437 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0043435963 | 0.004954315 | 0.0049742158 | 1.0040169 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.923899E-6 | 7.967629E-6 | 7.967629E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9673516E-5 | 3.4146644E-5 | 3.4146644E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6121515E-4 | 4.1567534E-4 | 4.1567534E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003606286 | 0.00415226 | 0.0041622184 | 1.0023984 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.728396E-6 | 3.4247232E-6 | 3.4247232E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1693074E-5 | 1.4677307E-5 | 1.4677307E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4235388E-4 | 1.7868243E-4 | 1.7868243E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014226272 | 0.001786868 | 0.0017968501 | 1.0055864 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.7136944E-6 | 3.4090162E-6 | 3.4090162E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1630066E-5 | 1.4609993E-5 | 1.4609993E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4158686E-4 | 1.7786301E-4 | 1.7786301E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014149669 | 0.001778687 | 0.0017886691 | 1.0056121 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.6971882E-6 | 3.3913614E-6 | 3.3913614E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1559327E-5 | 1.4534329E-5 | 1.4534329E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4072572E-4 | 1.7694196E-4 | 1.7694196E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014063664 | 0.0017694911 | 0.0017794734 | 1.0056413 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.669092E-6 | 3.3613815E-6 | 3.3613815E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1438916E-5 | 1.4405846E-5 | 1.4405846E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3925991E-4 | 1.7537792E-4 | 1.7537792E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013917267 | 0.0017538755 | 0.001763858 | 1.0056916 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.6408059E-6 | 3.3314068E-6 | 3.3314068E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1317691E-5 | 1.4277384E-5 | 1.4277384E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3778417E-4 | 1.7381416E-4 | 1.7381416E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013769877 | 0.0017382624 | 0.001748245 | 1.0057429 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.1786943E-6 | 2.8548623E-6 | 2.8548623E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.337228E-6 | 1.223507E-5 | 1.223507E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1367482E-4 | 1.4895253E-4 | 1.4895253E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011361669 | 0.0014899937 | 0.0014999788 | 1.0067015 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.4411696E-6 | 2.0689088E-6 | 2.0689088E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1764263E-6 | 8.866724E-6 | 8.866724E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.51954E-5 | 1.07947286E-4 | 1.07947286E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5169955E-4 | 0.0010803706 | 0.0010903598 | 1.0092461 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0073411E-6 | 1.5546336E-6 | 1.5546336E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.317169E-6 | 6.662699E-6 | 6.662699E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2560266E-5 | 8.11155E-5 | 8.11155E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2547833E-4 | 8.1226975E-4 | 8.222616E-4 | 1.0123012 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.947104E-7 | 1.4306167E-6 | 1.4306167E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.834468E-6 | 6.1312007E-6 | 6.1312007E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6683643E-5 | 7.4644966E-5 | 7.4644966E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6673836E-4 | 7.4760953E-4 | 7.576021E-4 | 1.013366 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 5.215166E-7 | 1.0115094E-6 | 1.0115094E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2350691E-6 | 4.3350337E-6 | 4.3350337E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7211627E-5 | 5.27778E-5 | 5.27778E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7208295E-4 | 5.2905316E-4 | 5.2905316E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 4.4024807E-7 | 9.2229175E-7 | 9.2229175E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8867761E-6 | 3.952673E-6 | 3.952673E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2971257E-5 | 4.8122773E-5 | 4.8122773E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2968883E-4 | 4.8252378E-4 | 4.8252378E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.6130905E-7 | 8.3617664E-7 | 8.3617664E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5484665E-6 | 3.5836094E-6 | 3.5836094E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8852415E-5 | 4.362961E-5 | 4.362961E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8850817E-4 | 4.3760161E-4 | 4.3760161E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 3.408184E-7 | 8.111325E-7 | 8.111325E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4606494E-6 | 3.4762777E-6 | 3.4762777E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7783263E-5 | 4.2322896E-5 | 4.2322896E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.778184E-4 | 4.2451447E-4 | 4.2451447E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.1428627E-7 | 7.734672E-7 | 7.734672E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3469405E-6 | 3.3148556E-6 | 3.3148556E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6398877E-5 | 4.0357656E-5 | 4.0357656E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6397667E-4 | 4.0484127E-4 | 4.0484127E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.7972785E-7 | 5.0801975E-7 | 5.0801975E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.70262E-7 | 2.1772257E-6 | 2.1772257E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.377899E-6 | 2.650741E-5 | 2.650741E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.377503E-5 | 2.6640965E-4 | 2.6640965E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.9230927E-8 | 1.1986405E-7 | 1.1986405E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1098968E-7 | 5.13703E-7 | 5.13703E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5687964E-6 | 6.2543177E-6 | 6.2543177E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5687666E-5 | 6.29837E-5 | 6.29837E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 3.6805972E-9 | 4.1069246E-9 | 4.1069246E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5773987E-8 | 1.7601105E-8 | 1.7601105E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9204828E-7 | 2.1429342E-7 | 2.1429342E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.920481E-6 | 2.1908222E-6 | 2.1908222E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Ynez River
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6396456E-5 | 1.7209572E-5 | 2.72094E-5 | 1.581062 | 1.0E-5 | 7.026863E-5 | 7.375342E-5 | 8.375268E-5 | 1.135577 | 1.0E-5 | 8.551848E-4 | 8.976135E-4 | 9.175956E-4 | 1.0222613 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0085190125 | 0.008943428 | 0.009002892 | 1.0066488 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6396456E-5 | 1.7209572E-5 | 2.72094E-5 | 1.581062 | 1.0E-5 | 7.026863E-5 | 7.375342E-5 | 8.375268E-5 | 1.135577 | 1.0E-5 | 8.551848E-4 | 8.976135E-4 | 9.175956E-4 | 1.0222613 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0085190125 | 0.008943428 | 0.009002892 | 1.0066488 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6396456E-5 | 1.7209572E-5 | 2.72094E-5 | 1.581062 | 1.0E-5 | 7.026863E-5 | 7.375342E-5 | 8.375268E-5 | 1.135577 | 1.0E-5 | 8.551848E-4 | 8.976135E-4 | 9.175956E-4 | 1.0222613 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0085190125 | 0.008943428 | 0.009002892 | 1.0066488 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 9.736976E-6 | 1.0122406E-5 | 2.0122305E-5 | 1.9878975 | 1.0E-5 | 4.172923E-5 | 4.3381046E-5 | 5.3380612E-5 | 1.2305055 | 1.0E-5 | 5.0793495E-4 | 5.280412E-4 | 5.3803594E-4 | 1.0189279 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005067755 | 0.005268371 | 0.0053081606 | 1.0075525 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 9.736976E-6 | 1.0122406E-5 | 2.0122305E-5 | 1.9878975 | 1.0E-5 | 4.172923E-5 | 4.3381046E-5 | 5.3380612E-5 | 1.2305055 | 1.0E-5 | 5.0793495E-4 | 5.280412E-4 | 5.3803594E-4 | 1.0189279 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005067755 | 0.005268371 | 0.0053081606 | 1.0075525 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 7.081964E-6 | 7.3299525E-6 | 7.3299525E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.035092E-5 | 3.1413714E-5 | 3.1413714E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.694598E-4 | 3.8239642E-4 | 3.8239642E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036884616 | 0.003817546 | 0.0038474314 | 1.0078285 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.873247E-6 | 6.0597904E-6 | 6.0597904E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5170815E-5 | 2.5970277E-5 | 2.5970277E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.064116E-4 | 3.161431E-4 | 3.161431E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030598943 | 0.003157021 | 0.0031769578 | 1.0063151 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.973277E-6 | 5.1159423E-6 | 5.1159423E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1313872E-5 | 2.1925287E-5 | 2.1925287E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5946548E-4 | 2.6690814E-4 | 2.6690814E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025916274 | 0.0026659246 | 0.0026858714 | 1.007482 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 4.396492E-6 | 4.511015E-6 | 4.511015E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.884197E-5 | 1.9332781E-5 | 1.9332781E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2937685E-4 | 2.3535153E-4 | 2.3535153E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022914023 | 0.0023510582 | 0.0023710113 | 1.0084869 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.5255632E-6 | 3.6013655E-6 | 3.6013655E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5109469E-5 | 1.5434332E-5 | 1.5434332E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8394225E-4 | 1.8789696E-4 | 1.8789696E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018379007 | 0.0018773971 | 0.0018973595 | 1.010633 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.211603E-6 | 3.2736843E-6 | 3.2736843E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.376394E-5 | 1.4030001E-5 | 1.4030001E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6756308E-4 | 1.7080201E-4 | 1.7080201E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016743679 | 0.0017067215 | 0.0017266874 | 1.0116984 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.5094619E-6 | 2.5409465E-6 | 2.5409465E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0754793E-5 | 1.0889726E-5 | 1.0889726E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3093173E-4 | 1.325744E-4 | 1.325744E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013085462 | 0.0013249591 | 0.0013349459 | 1.0075374 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.0515774E-6 | 2.0619607E-6 | 2.0619607E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.792445E-6 | 8.836944E-6 | 8.836944E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0704277E-4 | 1.0758453E-4 | 1.0758453E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010699122 | 0.0010753288 | 0.001085318 | 1.0092895 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.6845745E-6 | 1.6774113E-6 | 1.6774113E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.219585E-6 | 7.188886E-6 | 7.188886E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.78949E-5 | 8.75212E-5 | 8.75212E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7860145E-4 | 8.7487017E-4 | 8.848614E-4 | 1.0114202 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.3600285E-6 | 1.3333537E-6 | 1.3333537E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.82868E-6 | 5.71436E-6 | 5.71436E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.096187E-5 | 6.957014E-5 | 6.957014E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0939213E-4 | 6.954858E-4 | 7.0547883E-4 | 1.0143684 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 9.735342E-7 | 9.290247E-7 | 9.290247E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.172283E-6 | 3.981528E-6 | 3.981528E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.079636E-5 | 4.8474045E-5 | 4.8474045E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0784746E-4 | 4.8463643E-4 | 4.946316E-4 | 1.020624 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 5.067187E-7 | 4.77864E-7 | 4.77864E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1716498E-6 | 2.047987E-6 | 2.047987E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6439517E-5 | 2.4933963E-5 | 2.4933963E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.643637E-4 | 2.493124E-4 | 2.493124E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.769089E-7 | 2.575952E-7 | 2.575952E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1867519E-6 | 1.1039789E-6 | 1.1039789E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4448608E-5 | 1.344086E-5 | 1.344086E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.444767E-4 | 1.344005E-4 | 1.344005E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.7044663E-7 | 1.5449315E-7 | 1.5449315E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3048534E-7 | 6.621133E-7 | 6.621133E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.893623E-6 | 8.0612E-6 | 8.0612E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.893267E-5 | 8.06091E-5 | 8.06091E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 4.8344287E-8 | 4.0911427E-8 | 4.0911427E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0718979E-7 | 1.7533468E-7 | 1.7533468E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5225327E-6 | 2.1346975E-6 | 2.1346975E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5225041E-5 | 2.1346776E-5 | 2.1346776E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Kern Canyon (South Kern) 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.1137364E-6 | 1.4113695E-5 | 3.43087 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.7630184E-5 | 2.7630007E-5 | 1.5671991 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.1462698E-4 | 2.3462268E-4 | 1.0931649 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021442608 | 0.0021941536 | 1.0232681 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.1137364E-6 | 1.4113695E-5 | 3.43087 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.7630184E-5 | 2.7630007E-5 | 1.5671991 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.1462698E-4 | 2.3462268E-4 | 1.0931649 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021442608 | 0.0021941536 | 1.0232681 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.1137364E-6 | 1.4113695E-5 | 3.43087 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.7630184E-5 | 2.7630007E-5 | 1.5671991 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.1462698E-4 | 2.3462268E-4 | 1.0931649 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021442608 | 0.0021941536 | 1.0232681 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.1137364E-6 | 1.4113695E-5 | 3.43087 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.7630184E-5 | 2.7630007E-5 | 1.5671991 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.1462698E-4 | 2.3462268E-4 | 1.0931649 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021442608 | 0.0021941536 | 1.0232681 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.1137364E-6 | 1.4113695E-5 | 3.43087 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.7630184E-5 | 2.7630007E-5 | 1.5671991 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.1462698E-4 | 2.3462268E-4 | 1.0931649 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021442608 | 0.0021941536 | 1.0232681 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.9849807E-6 | 2.9731618E-6 | 1.29731325E-5 | 4.363413 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2792712E-5 | 1.2742061E-5 | 2.2741933E-5 | 1.7847924 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5574014E-4 | 1.551237E-4 | 1.751206E-4 | 1.1289093 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015563103 | 0.0015501693 | 0.0016000918 | 1.0322045 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.9849807E-6 | 2.9731618E-6 | 1.29731325E-5 | 4.363413 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2792712E-5 | 1.2742061E-5 | 2.2741933E-5 | 1.7847924 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5574014E-4 | 1.551237E-4 | 1.751206E-4 | 1.1289093 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015563103 | 0.0015501693 | 0.0016000918 | 1.0322045 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.6756725E-6 | 2.6582272E-6 | 1.2658201E-5 | 4.7618957 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1467117E-5 | 1.13923525E-5 | 2.139224E-5 | 1.8777719 | 1.0E-5 | 1.396032E-4 | 1.3869318E-4 | 1.586904E-4 | 1.1441832 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0013951553 | 0.0013860771 | 0.0014060494 | 1.0144092 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.3283721E-6 | 2.3047844E-6 | 1.2304761E-5 | 5.338791 | 1.0E-5 | 9.9787E-6 | 9.87761E-6 | 1.9877512E-5 | 2.0123806 | 1.0E-5 | 1.214839E-4 | 1.20253346E-4 | 1.4025094E-4 | 1.1662955 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001214175 | 0.0012018902 | 0.0012218661 | 1.0166204 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.0972677E-6 | 2.0696461E-6 | 1.2069626E-5 | 5.8317337 | 1.0E-5 | 8.988259E-6 | 8.869883E-6 | 1.8869794E-5 | 2.1274006 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0942656E-4 | 1.0798552E-4 | 1.2798337E-4 | 1.18519 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010937268 | 0.0010793363 | 0.0010993148 | 1.0185099 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.7132242E-6 | 1.6787077E-6 | 1.16786905E-5 | 6.9569535 | 1.0E-5 | 7.3423685E-6 | 7.194442E-6 | 1.719437E-5 | 2.389952 | 1.0E-5 | 8.938967E-5 | 8.758884E-5 | 1.075871E-4 | 1.2283195 | 2.0E-5 | 8.935372E-4 | 8.7554706E-4 | 8.955296E-4 | 1.0228229 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.4215541E-6 | 1.3815785E-6 | 1.1381565E-5 | 8.238088 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0923603E-6 | 5.9210374E-6 | 1.5920978E-5 | 2.688883 | 1.0E-5 | 7.417196E-5 | 7.208627E-5 | 9.208483E-5 | 1.2774253 | 2.0E-5 | 7.414721E-4 | 7.206316E-4 | 7.406172E-4 | 1.0277334 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.097853E-7 | 8.6037966E-7 | 8.6037966E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.899074E-6 | 3.6873362E-6 | 3.6873362E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7470192E-5 | 4.4892404E-5 | 4.4892404E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7460053E-4 | 4.4883444E-4 | 4.4883444E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 6.144169E-7 | 5.6282187E-7 | 5.6282187E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6332125E-6 | 2.4120914E-6 | 2.4120914E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.205889E-5 | 2.9366824E-5 | 2.9366824E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2054266E-4 | 2.9362994E-4 | 2.9362994E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.049844E-7 | 3.5728377E-7 | 3.5728377E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7356463E-6 | 1.5312153E-6 | 1.5312153E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1131287E-5 | 1.864239E-5 | 1.864239E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1129279E-4 | 1.864085E-4 | 1.864085E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.9871162E-7 | 1.5830446E-7 | 1.5830446E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5162094E-7 | 6.784475E-7 | 6.784475E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0368436E-5 | 8.260068E-6 | 8.260068E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0367952E-4 | 8.25977E-5 | 8.25977E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.572245E-8 | 1.7352718E-8 | 1.7352718E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10239064E-7 | 7.436879E-8 | 7.436879E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421597E-6 | 9.054397E-7 | 9.054397E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421517E-5 | 9.054365E-6 | 9.054365E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Cayetano
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8169507E-5 | 3.8169142E-5 | 2.1007254 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.786701E-5 | 9.786545E-5 | 1.2568282 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012242225 | 9.476222E-4 | 9.775937E-4 | 1.0316281 | 3.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.009437101 | 0.009486629 | 1.0052482 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8169507E-5 | 3.8169142E-5 | 2.1007254 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.786701E-5 | 9.786545E-5 | 1.2568282 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012242225 | 9.476222E-4 | 9.775937E-4 | 1.0316281 | 3.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.009437101 | 0.009486629 | 1.0052482 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8169507E-5 | 3.8169142E-5 | 2.1007254 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.786701E-5 | 9.786545E-5 | 1.2568282 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012242225 | 9.476222E-4 | 9.775937E-4 | 1.0316281 | 3.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.009437101 | 0.009486629 | 1.0052482 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8169507E-5 | 3.8169142E-5 | 2.1007254 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.786701E-5 | 9.786545E-5 | 1.2568282 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012242225 | 9.476222E-4 | 9.775937E-4 | 1.0316281 | 3.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.009437101 | 0.009486629 | 1.0052482 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8169507E-5 | 3.8169142E-5 | 2.1007254 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.786701E-5 | 9.786545E-5 | 1.2568282 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012242225 | 9.476222E-4 | 9.775937E-4 | 1.0316281 | 3.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.009437101 | 0.009486629 | 1.0052482 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8169507E-5 | 3.8169142E-5 | 2.1007254 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.786701E-5 | 9.786545E-5 | 1.2568282 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012242225 | 9.476222E-4 | 9.775937E-4 | 1.0316281 | 3.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.009437101 | 0.009486629 | 1.0052482 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8169507E-5 | 3.8169142E-5 | 2.1007254 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.786701E-5 | 9.786545E-5 | 1.2568282 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012242225 | 9.476222E-4 | 9.775937E-4 | 1.0316281 | 3.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.009437101 | 0.009486629 | 1.0052482 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8169507E-5 | 3.8169142E-5 | 2.1007254 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.786701E-5 | 9.786545E-5 | 1.2568282 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012242225 | 9.476222E-4 | 9.775937E-4 | 1.0316281 | 3.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.009437101 | 0.009486629 | 1.0052482 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.3241924E-5 | 1.7937233E-5 | 3.7936872E-5 | 2.1149793 | 2.0E-5 | 9.960445E-5 | 7.6871605E-5 | 9.687007E-5 | 1.2601541 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012120095 | 9.355136E-4 | 9.654855E-4 | 1.032038 | 3.0E-5 | 0.012054204 | 0.009316779 | 0.009366313 | 1.0053166 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.2761007E-5 | 1.743266E-5 | 3.743231E-5 | 2.1472518 | 2.0E-5 | 9.7543525E-5 | 7.470928E-5 | 9.4707786E-5 | 1.2676843 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011869454 | 9.092093E-4 | 9.3918206E-4 | 1.0329657 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011806256 | 0.009055895 | 0.009105442 | 1.0054712 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.240283E-5 | 1.7066408E-5 | 3.7066067E-5 | 2.1718729 | 2.0E-5 | 9.600859E-5 | 7.3139716E-5 | 9.313825E-5 | 1.2734293 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011682777 | 8.901157E-4 | 9.20089E-4 | 1.0336735 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011621549 | 0.008866488 | 0.008916045 | 1.0055892 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.1871154E-5 | 1.6586284E-5 | 3.6585952E-5 | 2.2057958 | 2.0E-5 | 9.373015E-5 | 7.1082155E-5 | 9.108073E-5 | 1.2813445 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011405671 | 8.6508493E-4 | 8.95059E-4 | 1.0346487 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011347309 | 0.008618144 | 0.008667713 | 1.0057517 | 5.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.0714133E-5 | 1.5564807E-5 | 3.5564495E-5 | 2.28493 | 2.0E-5 | 8.8771834E-5 | 6.670463E-5 | 8.6703294E-5 | 1.2998092 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010802611 | 8.118295E-4 | 8.3181326E-4 | 1.0246158 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010750249 | 0.008089582 | 0.008129259 | 1.0049046 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.8408395E-5 | 1.3997041E-5 | 3.399676E-5 | 2.4288535 | 2.0E-5 | 7.8890735E-5 | 5.9985956E-5 | 7.9984755E-5 | 1.3333914 | 2.0E-5 | 9.600714E-4 | 7.300873E-4 | 7.5007265E-4 | 1.027374 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009559342 | 0.007277768 | 0.007317477 | 1.0054562 | 4.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.6856795E-5 | 1.2850253E-5 | 3.2849995E-5 | 2.5563695 | 2.0E-5 | 7.2241404E-5 | 5.5071367E-5 | 7.507027E-5 | 1.3631451 | 2.0E-5 | 8.7918417E-4 | 6.702905E-4 | 6.902771E-4 | 1.0298178 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00875714 | 0.006683518 | 0.006723251 | 1.0059448 | 4.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.2822778E-5 | 9.577563E-6 | 2.9577372E-5 | 3.088194 | 2.0E-5 | 5.495361E-5 | 4.1046063E-5 | 6.104524E-5 | 1.4872375 | 2.0E-5 | 6.688548E-4 | 4.9962284E-4 | 5.196128E-4 | 1.0400102 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006668452 | 0.004985341 | 0.0050251414 | 1.0079836 | 4.0E-5 |
7.6 | 5.6272684E-6 | 3.8549674E-6 | 2.3854891E-5 | 6.1880913 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4116642E-5 | 1.6521184E-5 | 3.6520854E-5 | 2.210547 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9358055E-4 | 2.0112695E-4 | 2.2112293E-4 | 1.0994197 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0029319301 | 0.0020094602 | 0.0020394 | 1.0148994 | 3.0E-5 |
7.7 | 3.5261346E-6 | 2.3407508E-6 | 2.2340704E-5 | 9.544247 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5111918E-5 | 1.0031751E-5 | 3.003155E-5 | 2.99365 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8397206E-4 | 1.221298E-4 | 1.4212735E-4 | 1.1637402 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0018381984 | 0.0012206341 | 0.0012406097 | 1.0163649 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.4826929E-6 | 1.0564586E-6 | 1.0564586E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.354383E-6 | 4.527672E-6 | 4.527672E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.736187E-5 | 5.512303E-5 | 5.512303E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.733494E-4 | 5.510956E-4 | 5.510956E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.7568166E-7 | 1.6978433E-7 | 1.6978433E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1814923E-6 | 7.276469E-7 | 7.276469E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4384574E-5 | 8.859066E-6 | 8.859066E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4383643E-4 | 8.858716E-5 | 8.858716E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 5.407832E-8 | 2.68885E-8 | 2.68885E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3176422E-7 | 1.15236425E-7 | 1.15236425E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8217257E-6 | 1.4030026E-6 | 1.4030026E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8216898E-5 | 1.4029942E-5 | 1.4029942E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
White Wolf
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.0037822E-5 | 1.0468736E-6 | 1.0468736E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.587355E-5 | 4.4865938E-6 | 2.4486504E-5 | 5.4577045 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001045009 | 5.462296E-5 | 9.462078E-5 | 1.7322527 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010401085 | 5.4610043E-4 | 5.960731E-4 | 1.0915083 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.0037822E-5 | 1.0468736E-6 | 1.0468736E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.587355E-5 | 4.4865938E-6 | 2.4486504E-5 | 5.4577045 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001045009 | 5.462296E-5 | 9.462078E-5 | 1.7322527 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010401085 | 5.4610043E-4 | 5.960731E-4 | 1.0915083 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.0037822E-5 | 1.0468736E-6 | 1.0468736E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.587355E-5 | 4.4865938E-6 | 2.4486504E-5 | 5.4577045 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001045009 | 5.462296E-5 | 9.462078E-5 | 1.7322527 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010401085 | 5.4610043E-4 | 5.960731E-4 | 1.0915083 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.0037822E-5 | 1.0468736E-6 | 1.0468736E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.587355E-5 | 4.4865938E-6 | 2.4486504E-5 | 5.4577045 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001045009 | 5.462296E-5 | 9.462078E-5 | 1.7322527 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010401085 | 5.4610043E-4 | 5.960731E-4 | 1.0915083 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.132487E-5 | 1.0468736E-6 | 1.0468736E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8534253E-5 | 4.4865938E-6 | 2.4486504E-5 | 5.4577045 | 2.0E-5 | 5.907443E-4 | 5.462296E-5 | 9.462078E-5 | 1.7322527 | 4.0E-5 | 0.005891764 | 5.4610043E-4 | 5.960731E-4 | 1.0915083 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.132487E-5 | 1.0468736E-6 | 1.0468736E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8534253E-5 | 4.4865938E-6 | 2.4486504E-5 | 5.4577045 | 2.0E-5 | 5.907443E-4 | 5.462296E-5 | 9.462078E-5 | 1.7322527 | 4.0E-5 | 0.005891764 | 5.4610043E-4 | 5.960731E-4 | 1.0915083 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.347473E-6 | 1.0468736E-6 | 1.0468736E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0059982E-5 | 4.4865938E-6 | 2.4486504E-5 | 5.4577045 | 2.0E-5 | 4.8762115E-4 | 5.462296E-5 | 9.462078E-5 | 1.7322527 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0048655253 | 5.4610043E-4 | 5.960731E-4 | 1.0915083 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.842647E-6 | 1.0047925E-6 | 1.0047925E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.361091E-5 | 4.3062464E-6 | 2.430616E-5 | 5.644396 | 2.0E-5 | 4.0913603E-4 | 5.242734E-5 | 9.2425245E-5 | 1.7629207 | 4.0E-5 | 0.004083836 | 5.241547E-4 | 5.7412847E-4 | 1.0953417 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.26597E-6 | 9.73443E-7 | 9.73443E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.685388E-5 | 4.171892E-6 | 2.4171808E-5 | 5.7939677 | 2.0E-5 | 3.2689696E-4 | 5.0791652E-5 | 9.078962E-5 | 1.787491 | 4.0E-5 | 0.003264165 | 5.078053E-4 | 5.5778E-4 | 1.0984129 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.258436E-6 | 9.1828633E-7 | 9.1828633E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2535958E-5 | 3.9355073E-6 | 2.3935429E-5 | 6.081917 | 2.0E-5 | 2.7434074E-4 | 4.7913796E-5 | 8.791188E-5 | 1.8347926 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0027400232 | 4.7903945E-4 | 5.290155E-4 | 1.1043255 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.675028E-6 | 8.6608276E-7 | 8.6608276E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.003568E-5 | 3.7117782E-6 | 2.3711704E-5 | 6.388233 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4390711E-4 | 4.519001E-5 | 8.51882E-5 | 1.8851113 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0024363957 | 4.5181293E-4 | 5.017903E-4 | 1.1106153 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.8270078E-6 | 6.873876E-7 | 6.873876E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2115692E-5 | 2.9459438E-6 | 2.2945886E-5 | 7.7889757 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4749856E-4 | 3.5866316E-5 | 7.586488E-5 | 2.1152124 | 4.0E-5 | 0.001474007 | 3.586094E-4 | 3.9859503E-4 | 1.1115019 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.6881406E-6 | 2.2703898E-7 | 2.2703898E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2348685E-6 | 9.730238E-7 | 9.730238E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.808096E-5 | 1.1846502E-5 | 2.1846385E-5 | 1.844121 | 1.0E-5 | 8.8046055E-4 | 1.1845886E-4 | 1.2845769E-4 | 1.0844074 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.086107E-7 | 1.5264881E-7 | 1.5264881E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8940398E-6 | 6.5420903E-7 | 6.5420903E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7408903E-5 | 7.964967E-6 | 7.964967E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.739879E-4 | 7.9646896E-5 | 7.9646896E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.9717383E-7 | 9.003459E-8 | 9.003459E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.450304E-7 | 3.8586248E-7 | 3.8586248E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0288197E-5 | 4.6978657E-6 | 4.6978657E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.028772E-4 | 4.6977697E-5 | 4.6977697E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.086975E-7 | 6.659703E-8 | 6.659703E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6584634E-7 | 2.8541584E-7 | 2.8541584E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6716644E-6 | 3.4749323E-6 | 3.4749323E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6715195E-5 | 3.4748802E-5 | 3.4748802E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.4217808E-8 | 1.5820925E-8 | 1.5820925E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.03790605E-7 | 6.780396E-8 | 6.780396E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2636499E-6 | 8.255129E-7 | 8.255129E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2636427E-5 | 8.255104E-6 | 8.255104E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Cruz Island
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.9164563E-5 | 3.1600095E-5 | 3.1600095E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2498499E-4 | 1.3542273E-4 | 1.3542273E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015206301 | 0.001647661 | 0.0016576444 | 1.0060592 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015102667 | 0.01636818 | 0.016407525 | 1.0024037 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.9164563E-5 | 3.1600095E-5 | 3.1600095E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2498499E-4 | 1.3542273E-4 | 1.3542273E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015206301 | 0.001647661 | 0.0016576444 | 1.0060592 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015102667 | 0.01636818 | 0.016407525 | 1.0024037 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.9164563E-5 | 3.1600095E-5 | 3.1600095E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2498499E-4 | 1.3542273E-4 | 1.3542273E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015206301 | 0.001647661 | 0.0016576444 | 1.0060592 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015102667 | 0.01636818 | 0.016407525 | 1.0024037 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.6635553E-5 | 1.7804527E-5 | 1.7804527E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1293274E-5 | 7.630298E-5 | 7.630298E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6765E-4 | 9.2861115E-4 | 9.3860185E-4 | 1.0107588 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008642701 | 0.009249181 | 0.009268995 | 1.0021423 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6635553E-5 | 1.7804527E-5 | 1.7804527E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1293274E-5 | 7.630298E-5 | 7.630298E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6765E-4 | 9.2861115E-4 | 9.3860185E-4 | 1.0107588 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008642701 | 0.009249181 | 0.009268995 | 1.0021423 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.2238748E-5 | 1.3043111E-5 | 1.3043111E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2450723E-5 | 5.5897868E-5 | 5.5897868E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3840044E-4 | 6.8034773E-4 | 6.8034773E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063656955 | 0.0067830477 | 0.00679298 | 1.0014642 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0489767E-5 | 1.11567315E-5 | 1.11567315E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.495537E-5 | 4.78137E-5 | 4.78137E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4719415E-4 | 5.8197853E-4 | 5.8197853E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005458487 | 0.0058047855 | 0.0058147274 | 1.0017127 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.699222E-6 | 9.236859E-6 | 9.236859E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7281847E-5 | 3.9585942E-5 | 3.9585942E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5381195E-4 | 4.8185283E-4 | 4.8185283E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045288634 | 0.004808148 | 0.0048181 | 1.0020698 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.307732E-6 | 8.816977E-6 | 8.816977E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.560408E-5 | 3.77865E-5 | 3.77865E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3339343E-4 | 4.5995397E-4 | 4.5995397E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004325492 | 0.004590073 | 0.004590073 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 8.073121E-6 | 8.56501E-6 | 8.56501E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.459863E-5 | 3.670667E-5 | 3.670667E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2115687E-4 | 4.4681248E-4 | 4.4681248E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004203596 | 0.0044591925 | 0.0044591925 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 7.617019E-6 | 8.07473E-6 | 8.07473E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.264396E-5 | 3.4605528E-5 | 3.4605528E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9736772E-4 | 4.2124125E-4 | 4.2124125E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003966579 | 0.0042044753 | 0.0042044753 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 7.1224836E-6 | 7.545849E-6 | 7.545849E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.052457E-5 | 3.2338954E-5 | 3.2338954E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.715733E-4 | 3.9365597E-4 | 3.9365597E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003709526 | 0.0039296295 | 0.0039296295 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.441115E-6 | 6.827439E-6 | 6.827439E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7604487E-5 | 2.9260125E-5 | 2.9260125E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.360328E-4 | 3.5618403E-4 | 3.5618403E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033552512 | 0.00355616 | 0.00355616 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.494274E-6 | 5.820041E-6 | 5.820041E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3546674E-5 | 2.4942798E-5 | 2.4942798E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8664304E-4 | 3.0363645E-4 | 3.0363645E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002862736 | 0.003032239 | 0.003032239 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.0802624E-6 | 4.31229E-6 | 4.31229E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7486722E-5 | 1.8481112E-5 | 1.8481112E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1288003E-4 | 2.2498438E-4 | 2.2498438E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021267622 | 0.002247575 | 0.002247575 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.3584746E-6 | 2.475327E-6 | 2.475327E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0107709E-5 | 1.0608502E-5 | 1.0608502E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2305441E-4 | 1.291509E-4 | 1.291509E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012298629 | 0.0012907635 | 0.0012907635 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 9.4981914E-7 | 9.86099E-7 | 9.86099E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0706473E-6 | 4.226132E-6 | 4.226132E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9559E-5 | 5.1451956E-5 | 5.1451956E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.954795E-4 | 5.144017E-4 | 5.144017E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.6013532E-7 | 2.6416743E-7 | 2.6416743E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1148652E-6 | 1.1321456E-6 | 1.1321456E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3573399E-5 | 1.3783787E-5 | 1.3783787E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.357257E-4 | 1.3782938E-4 | 1.3782938E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.1522263E-8 | 3.9657085E-8 | 3.9657085E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7795254E-7 | 1.6995892E-7 | 1.6995892E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.16657E-6 | 2.069248E-6 | 2.069248E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1665488E-5 | 2.0692309E-5 | 2.0692309E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.7242046E-10 | 5.9475247E-10 | 5.9475247E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3103735E-9 | 2.5489395E-9 | 2.5489395E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0303796E-8 | 3.1033338E-8 | 3.1033338E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.030379E-7 | 3.1033335E-7 | 3.1033335E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Camp Rock 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6710783E-5 | 4.2500346E-6 | 1.4249992E-5 | 3.352912 | 1.0E-5 | 7.161568E-5 | 1.821431E-5 | 2.8214128E-5 | 1.5490088 | 1.0E-5 | 8.7157206E-4 | 2.2173718E-4 | 2.4173275E-4 | 1.0901768 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008681616 | 0.0022152122 | 0.0022651015 | 1.0225213 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6710783E-5 | 4.2500346E-6 | 1.4249992E-5 | 3.352912 | 1.0E-5 | 7.161568E-5 | 1.821431E-5 | 2.8214128E-5 | 1.5490088 | 1.0E-5 | 8.7157206E-4 | 2.2173718E-4 | 2.4173275E-4 | 1.0901768 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008681616 | 0.0022152122 | 0.0022651015 | 1.0225213 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6710783E-5 | 4.2500346E-6 | 1.4249992E-5 | 3.352912 | 1.0E-5 | 7.161568E-5 | 1.821431E-5 | 2.8214128E-5 | 1.5490088 | 1.0E-5 | 8.7157206E-4 | 2.2173718E-4 | 2.4173275E-4 | 1.0901768 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008681616 | 0.0022152122 | 0.0022651015 | 1.0225213 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.6710783E-5 | 4.2500346E-6 | 1.4249992E-5 | 3.352912 | 1.0E-5 | 7.161568E-5 | 1.821431E-5 | 2.8214128E-5 | 1.5490088 | 1.0E-5 | 8.7157206E-4 | 2.2173718E-4 | 2.4173275E-4 | 1.0901768 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008681616 | 0.0022152122 | 0.0022651015 | 1.0225213 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.982846E-6 | 3.682069E-6 | 1.3682033E-5 | 3.7158544 | 1.0E-5 | 3.421175E-5 | 1.5780202E-5 | 2.5780044E-5 | 1.6336955 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1644843E-4 | 1.9210737E-4 | 2.1210354E-4 | 1.1040884 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0041566887 | 0.0019194479 | 0.0019593711 | 1.0207993 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 7.982846E-6 | 3.682069E-6 | 1.3682033E-5 | 3.7158544 | 1.0E-5 | 3.421175E-5 | 1.5780202E-5 | 2.5780044E-5 | 1.6336955 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1644843E-4 | 1.9210737E-4 | 2.1210354E-4 | 1.1040884 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0041566887 | 0.0019194479 | 0.0019593711 | 1.0207993 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.048869E-6 | 3.4243315E-6 | 1.3424297E-5 | 3.920268 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0209088E-5 | 1.4675626E-5 | 2.4675479E-5 | 1.681392 | 1.0E-5 | 3.677336E-4 | 1.786614E-4 | 1.9865783E-4 | 1.1119236 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0036712566 | 0.0017852094 | 0.001825138 | 1.0223663 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.987307E-6 | 3.3623085E-6 | 1.3362275E-5 | 3.974137 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9945259E-5 | 1.4409816E-5 | 2.4409672E-5 | 1.6939614 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6452254E-4 | 1.754257E-4 | 1.954222E-4 | 1.1139884 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0036392517 | 0.0017529033 | 0.0017928332 | 1.0227792 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.3737602E-6 | 3.1178974E-6 | 1.3117867E-5 | 4.2072797 | 1.0E-5 | 2.731583E-5 | 1.3362351E-5 | 2.3362218E-5 | 1.7483613 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3251947E-4 | 1.6267477E-4 | 1.8267152E-4 | 1.1229247 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0033202237 | 0.0016255855 | 0.0016655205 | 1.0245665 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.112211E-6 | 2.9331072E-6 | 1.2933078E-5 | 4.4093437 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6194928E-5 | 1.2570401E-5 | 2.2570275E-5 | 1.7955096 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1887658E-4 | 1.5303415E-4 | 1.730311E-4 | 1.1306698 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003184194 | 0.0015293155 | 0.0015692543 | 1.0261155 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.5140117E-6 | 2.6419382E-6 | 1.2641912E-5 | 4.78509 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3631264E-5 | 1.1322544E-5 | 2.132243E-5 | 1.8831837 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8767265E-4 | 1.3784351E-4 | 1.5784075E-4 | 1.1450721 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0028730053 | 0.0013776054 | 0.001407564 | 1.0217469 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.8151105E-6 | 2.1342858E-6 | 1.2134265E-5 | 5.685398 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0636026E-5 | 9.146908E-6 | 1.9146817E-5 | 2.0932555 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5121463E-4 | 1.1135814E-4 | 1.313559E-4 | 1.1795807 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0025093083 | 0.0011130453 | 0.0011430118 | 1.0269231 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.818335E-6 | 1.2937558E-6 | 1.1293743E-5 | 8.729424 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6364189E-5 | 5.5446562E-6 | 1.5544601E-5 | 2.8035283 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9921579E-4 | 6.750418E-5 | 8.750283E-5 | 1.296258 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0019903728 | 6.74845E-4 | 6.948315E-4 | 1.0296165 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.7166698E-6 | 7.3832456E-7 | 1.07383175E-5 | 14.544169 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1642818E-5 | 3.1642444E-6 | 1.3164213E-5 | 4.160302 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4174209E-4 | 3.8524013E-5 | 4.852363E-5 | 1.2595683 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014165172 | 3.8517537E-4 | 3.9517152E-4 | 1.0259522 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.0893426E-6 | 5.4615964E-7 | 1.0546154E-5 | 19.309656 | 1.0E-5 | 8.954295E-6 | 2.340682E-6 | 1.2340659E-5 | 5.272249 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0901308E-4 | 2.8497436E-5 | 3.849715E-5 | 1.3508987 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010895962 | 2.8493837E-4 | 2.949355E-4 | 1.0350853 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.1681728E-6 | 3.6029326E-7 | 1.036029E-5 | 28.755157 | 1.0E-5 | 5.0064455E-6 | 1.544113E-6 | 1.1544098E-5 | 7.4761996 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0951766E-5 | 1.879942E-5 | 2.8799232E-5 | 1.5319213 | 1.0E-5 | 6.093505E-4 | 1.8797876E-4 | 1.9797689E-4 | 1.0531875 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.3154387E-7 | 7.119745E-8 | 7.119745E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6375933E-7 | 3.051319E-7 | 3.051319E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863748E-6 | 3.7149762E-6 | 3.7149762E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863536E-5 | 3.7149297E-5 | 3.7149297E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Big Pine (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.916913E-6 | 1.281854E-5 | 1.281854E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.250036E-5 | 5.4935572E-5 | 5.4935572E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.173191E-4 | 6.686574E-4 | 6.8864407E-4 | 1.0298907 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0051611643 | 0.00667124 | 0.0067209066 | 1.0074449 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 9.916913E-6 | 1.281854E-5 | 1.281854E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.250036E-5 | 5.4935572E-5 | 5.4935572E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.173191E-4 | 6.686574E-4 | 6.8864407E-4 | 1.0298907 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0051611643 | 0.00667124 | 0.0067209066 | 1.0074449 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.916913E-6 | 1.281854E-5 | 1.281854E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.250036E-5 | 5.4935572E-5 | 5.4935572E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.173191E-4 | 6.686574E-4 | 6.8864407E-4 | 1.0298907 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0051611643 | 0.00667124 | 0.0067209066 | 1.0074449 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 5.479711E-6 | 8.11447E-6 | 8.11447E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3484265E-5 | 3.4775854E-5 | 3.4775854E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.858834E-4 | 4.2331696E-4 | 4.433085E-4 | 1.047226 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0028551589 | 0.0042280247 | 0.0042778137 | 1.0117759 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 5.465009E-6 | 8.098763E-6 | 8.098763E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3421257E-5 | 3.470854E-5 | 3.470854E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.851165E-4 | 4.2249775E-4 | 4.424893E-4 | 1.0473175 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0028475097 | 0.004219864 | 0.004269653 | 1.0117987 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.826767E-6 | 7.4238146E-6 | 7.4238146E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.068598E-5 | 3.1815976E-5 | 3.1815976E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.518227E-4 | 3.8729343E-4 | 4.0728567E-4 | 1.0516205 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0025153751 | 0.0038690618 | 0.0039188685 | 1.012873 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.3146847E-6 | 6.8837467E-6 | 6.8837467E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8491375E-5 | 2.950145E-5 | 2.950145E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2510924E-4 | 3.5912343E-4 | 3.7911625E-4 | 1.0556712 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0022488134 | 0.0035882755 | 0.0036380962 | 1.0138843 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.6968106E-6 | 5.9968484E-6 | 5.9968484E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5843378E-5 | 2.5700534E-5 | 2.5700534E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9287605E-4 | 3.1286062E-4 | 3.1286062E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019270873 | 0.003126956 | 0.0031568622 | 1.009564 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.4671132E-6 | 5.703515E-6 | 5.703515E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4858972E-5 | 2.4443414E-5 | 2.4443414E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8089297E-4 | 2.9755937E-4 | 2.9755937E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018074579 | 0.0029743554 | 0.0030042662 | 1.0100563 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.7686972E-6 | 4.8264656E-6 | 4.8264656E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1865792E-5 | 2.0684693E-5 | 2.0684693E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4445644E-4 | 2.518078E-4 | 2.518078E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014436257 | 0.0025179028 | 0.0025378524 | 1.0079231 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.1472624E-6 | 3.986174E-6 | 3.986174E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.20252E-6 | 1.7083494E-5 | 1.7083494E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.12034926E-4 | 2.0797222E-4 | 2.0797222E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011197845 | 0.0020804254 | 0.0020904047 | 1.0047967 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.7018335E-6 | 3.3459255E-6 | 3.3459255E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.293552E-6 | 1.4339605E-5 | 1.4339605E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.879537E-5 | 1.7457105E-4 | 1.7457105E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.87599E-4 | 0.0017469557 | 0.0017569382 | 1.0057143 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.25603E-6 | 2.795471E-6 | 2.795471E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3829745E-6 | 1.1980536E-5 | 1.1980536E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.553574E-5 | 1.458535E-4 | 1.458535E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.551642E-4 | 0.0014601707 | 0.0014601707 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.112297E-6 | 2.6112702E-6 | 2.6112702E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7669787E-6 | 1.1191111E-5 | 1.1191111E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.803642E-5 | 1.3624349E-4 | 1.3624349E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.802127E-4 | 0.00136402 | 0.00136402 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.0137181E-6 | 2.4843957E-6 | 2.4843957E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3444993E-6 | 1.0647368E-5 | 1.0647368E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2892992E-5 | 1.2962421E-4 | 1.2962421E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.288041E-4 | 0.0012976775 | 0.0012976775 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 9.598608E-7 | 2.4080273E-6 | 2.4080273E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1136827E-6 | 1.0320077E-5 | 1.0320077E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0082934E-5 | 1.2563991E-4 | 1.2563991E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.007165E-4 | 0.0012576841 | 0.0012576841 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 7.929459E-7 | 2.0456312E-6 | 2.0456312E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3983351E-6 | 8.766962E-6 | 8.766962E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1373947E-5 | 1.0673271E-4 | 1.0673271E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1366243E-4 | 0.0010689225 | 0.0010689225 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.155788E-7 | 1.1611139E-6 | 1.1611139E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7810507E-6 | 4.9761934E-6 | 4.9761934E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1684076E-5 | 6.0583512E-5 | 6.0583512E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1681961E-4 | 6.0889556E-4 | 6.0889556E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.14666925E-7 | 2.5932084E-7 | 2.5932084E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.914296E-7 | 1.1113746E-6 | 1.1113746E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9831386E-6 | 1.3530906E-5 | 1.3530906E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9829777E-5 | 1.364052E-4 | 1.364052E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.9231824E-8 | 4.1479638E-8 | 4.1479638E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2527924E-7 | 1.7776986E-7 | 1.7776986E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5252737E-6 | 2.1643461E-6 | 2.1643461E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5252632E-5 | 2.1986685E-5 | 2.1986685E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Channel Islands Thrust
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4092304E-5 | 2.4092304E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.03249244E-4 | 1.03249244E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012564411 | 0.001276416 | 1.015898 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011494373 | 0.012503966 | 0.012553341 | 1.0039487 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4092304E-5 | 2.4092304E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.03249244E-4 | 1.03249244E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012564411 | 0.001276416 | 1.015898 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011494373 | 0.012503966 | 0.012553341 | 1.0039487 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4092304E-5 | 2.4092304E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.03249244E-4 | 1.03249244E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012564411 | 0.001276416 | 1.015898 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011494373 | 0.012503966 | 0.012553341 | 1.0039487 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4092304E-5 | 2.4092304E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.03249244E-4 | 1.03249244E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012564411 | 0.001276416 | 1.015898 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011494373 | 0.012503966 | 0.012553341 | 1.0039487 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4092304E-5 | 2.4092304E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.03249244E-4 | 1.03249244E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012564411 | 0.001276416 | 1.015898 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011494373 | 0.012503966 | 0.012553341 | 1.0039487 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4092304E-5 | 2.4092304E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.03249244E-4 | 1.03249244E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012564411 | 0.001276416 | 1.015898 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011494373 | 0.012503966 | 0.012553341 | 1.0039487 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4092304E-5 | 2.4092304E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.03249244E-4 | 1.03249244E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012564411 | 0.001276416 | 1.015898 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011494373 | 0.012503966 | 0.012553341 | 1.0039487 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.0601296E-5 | 1.1379656E-5 | 1.1379656E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5433335E-5 | 4.876907E-5 | 4.876907E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5301044E-4 | 5.9360656E-4 | 6.0360064E-4 | 1.0168362 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005516363 | 0.0059207114 | 0.0059306524 | 1.001679 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0246747E-5 | 1.0996777E-5 | 1.0996777E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.391389E-5 | 4.7128222E-5 | 4.7128222E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.345204E-4 | 5.736398E-4 | 5.836341E-4 | 1.0174226 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0053323656 | 0.005722081 | 0.0057320236 | 1.0017376 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.049551E-6 | 9.699738E-6 | 9.699738E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.878322E-5 | 4.1569667E-5 | 4.1569667E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7208337E-4 | 5.059973E-4 | 5.059973E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0047108172 | 0.005048869 | 0.005048869 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 8.6542195E-6 | 9.274693E-6 | 9.274693E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7088983E-5 | 3.97481E-5 | 3.97481E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5146482E-4 | 4.8382976E-4 | 4.8382976E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004505487 | 0.0048281755 | 0.0048281755 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 8.391028E-6 | 8.993012E-6 | 8.993012E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5961057E-5 | 3.8540933E-5 | 3.8540933E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3773788E-4 | 4.691389E-4 | 4.691389E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004368766 | 0.0046818955 | 0.0046818955 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 5.965188E-6 | 6.3717544E-6 | 6.3717544E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.556484E-5 | 2.7307236E-5 | 2.7307236E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1120746E-4 | 3.3241542E-4 | 3.3241542E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00310772 | 0.00331924 | 0.00331924 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 4.877518E-6 | 5.2060545E-6 | 5.2060545E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0903482E-5 | 2.2311473E-5 | 2.2311473E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5447016E-4 | 2.716088E-4 | 2.716088E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025417898 | 0.0027128146 | 0.0027128146 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.8829853E-6 | 4.1419007E-6 | 4.1419007E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.664126E-5 | 1.7750885E-5 | 1.7750885E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0258849E-4 | 2.1609601E-4 | 2.1609601E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002024039 | 0.0021589005 | 0.0021589005 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3489616E-6 | 1.4278028E-6 | 1.4278028E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7812517E-6 | 6.119141E-6 | 6.119141E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.038446E-5 | 7.449803E-5 | 7.449803E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.036218E-4 | 7.4473454E-4 | 7.4473454E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.058192E-7 | 6.353833E-7 | 6.353833E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5963652E-6 | 2.7230685E-6 | 2.7230685E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.161029E-5 | 3.315287E-5 | 3.315287E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1605794E-4 | 3.3148087E-4 | 3.3148087E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.2170494E-7 | 2.2608089E-7 | 2.2608089E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.5016367E-7 | 9.689178E-7 | 9.689178E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1568181E-5 | 1.1796522E-5 | 1.1796522E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1567579E-4 | 1.17960066E-4 | 1.17960066E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.1613102E-8 | 1.5466844E-8 | 1.5466844E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.262757E-8 | 6.6286475E-8 | 6.6286475E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1277401E-6 | 8.070376E-7 | 8.070376E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1277344E-5 | 8.070355E-6 | 8.070355E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Lost Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.5106996E-5 | 2.5106996E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0759792E-4 | 1.1759684E-4 | 1.0929286 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011647546 | 0.0013093855 | 0.0013193724 | 1.0076271 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011586686 | 0.013033304 | 0.013082652 | 1.0037863 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.5106996E-5 | 2.5106996E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0759792E-4 | 1.1759684E-4 | 1.0929286 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011647546 | 0.0013093855 | 0.0013193724 | 1.0076271 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011586686 | 0.013033304 | 0.013082652 | 1.0037863 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.5106996E-5 | 2.5106996E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0759792E-4 | 1.1759684E-4 | 1.0929286 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011647546 | 0.0013093855 | 0.0013193724 | 1.0076271 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011586686 | 0.013033304 | 0.013082652 | 1.0037863 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.5106996E-5 | 2.5106996E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0759792E-4 | 1.1759684E-4 | 1.0929286 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011647546 | 0.0013093855 | 0.0013193724 | 1.0076271 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011586686 | 0.013033304 | 0.013082652 | 1.0037863 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2288092E-5 | 1.37813295E-5 | 1.37813295E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2662188E-5 | 5.9062033E-5 | 6.906144E-5 | 1.1693035 | 1.0E-5 | 6.409735E-4 | 7.189368E-4 | 7.289296E-4 | 1.0138994 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006391279 | 0.007175316 | 0.007195173 | 1.0027673 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.2288092E-5 | 1.37813295E-5 | 1.37813295E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2662188E-5 | 5.9062033E-5 | 6.906144E-5 | 1.1693035 | 1.0E-5 | 6.409735E-4 | 7.189368E-4 | 7.289296E-4 | 1.0138994 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006391279 | 0.007175316 | 0.007195173 | 1.0027673 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.58281E-6 | 9.633926E-6 | 9.633926E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6782953E-5 | 4.1288073E-5 | 4.1288073E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4774043E-4 | 5.026495E-4 | 5.026495E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044683935 | 0.0050232867 | 0.0050232867 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 7.205685E-6 | 8.088433E-6 | 8.088433E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.088114E-5 | 3.4664714E-5 | 3.4664714E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7591302E-4 | 4.2204288E-4 | 4.2204288E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037527776 | 0.004220429 | 0.004220429 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Imperial
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.7496446E-4 | 5.0567614E-4 | 5.0567614E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011778869 | 0.0021654228 | 0.0021654228 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0142467655 | 0.02603894 | 0.026048679 | 1.0003741 | 1.0E-5 | 0.13367249 | 0.22807938 | 0.22811797 | 1.0001693 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.5356023E-4 | 4.8670304E-4 | 4.8670304E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001086234 | 0.002084241 | 0.002084241 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013144928 | 0.025080038 | 0.025089787 | 1.0003887 | 1.0E-5 | 0.123940155 | 0.21950823 | 0.21954726 | 1.0001777 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.4820742E-4 | 4.776551E-4 | 4.776551E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010633124 | 0.0020455252 | 0.0020455252 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01286919 | 0.024619855 | 0.02462961 | 1.0003961 | 1.0E-5 | 0.12148927 | 0.21601348 | 0.21604484 | 1.0001452 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3205351E-4 | 4.590242E-4 | 4.590242E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.94136E-4 | 0.0019658 | 0.0019658 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012036599 | 0.023666015 | 0.023675779 | 1.0004126 | 1.0E-5 | 0.11405133 | 0.20796531 | 0.207997 | 1.0001523 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0304754E-4 | 3.988816E-4 | 3.988816E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6991355E-4 | 0.001708387 | 0.001708387 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010539869 | 0.02060005 | 0.020609844 | 1.0004754 | 1.0E-5 | 0.100537635 | 0.185097 | 0.1851296 | 1.0001761 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.854992E-4 | 3.6999586E-4 | 3.6999586E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9475436E-4 | 0.0015847452 | 0.0015847452 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009633281 | 0.019126106 | 0.019135915 | 1.0005128 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0922623 | 0.17332682 | 0.17335989 | 1.0001907 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.6586106E-4 | 3.4044893E-4 | 3.4044893E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.106394E-4 | 0.001458261 | 0.001458261 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008617763 | 0.017607149 | 0.017616972 | 1.0005579 | 1.0E-5 | 0.08291132 | 0.16080214 | 0.16083571 | 1.0002087 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.4224656E-4 | 3.0775566E-4 | 3.0775566E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.094856E-4 | 0.0013182943 | 0.0013182943 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0073952693 | 0.015934104 | 0.015943944 | 1.0006176 | 1.0E-5 | 0.07153955 | 0.146514 | 0.14654814 | 1.000233 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2317259E-4 | 2.7798547E-4 | 2.7798547E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2777573E-4 | 0.0011908285 | 0.0011908285 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0064067547 | 0.01440334 | 0.014413197 | 1.0006843 | 1.0E-5 | 0.06225166 | 0.13296336 | 0.13299805 | 1.0002608 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.859898E-5 | 2.5019908E-4 | 2.5019908E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2249862E-4 | 0.0010718454 | 0.0010718454 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051317946 | 0.012972599 | 0.012972599 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.05014893 | 0.119427115 | 0.11944472 | 1.0001475 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.3191884E-5 | 2.1271173E-4 | 2.1271173E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.136418E-4 | 9.113064E-4 | 9.113064E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003811904 | 0.011039398 | 0.011039398 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.037471764 | 0.10207956 | 0.10209752 | 1.000176 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.1760296E-5 | 2.0972485E-4 | 2.0972485E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0750787E-4 | 8.9851435E-4 | 8.9851435E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003737482 | 0.01088522 | 0.01088522 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.03675245 | 0.1007159 | 0.10073388 | 1.0001786 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.46614E-5 | 1.9140878E-4 | 1.9140878E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7709085E-4 | 8.2006847E-4 | 8.2006847E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033683628 | 0.009939248 | 0.009939248 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.033177625 | 0.092523254 | 0.092541404 | 1.0001962 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.088115E-5 | 1.781241E-4 | 1.781241E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6089314E-4 | 7.631685E-4 | 7.631685E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031717476 | 0.009252568 | 0.009252568 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.031268585 | 0.08657277 | 0.086591035 | 1.000211 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.199346E-5 | 1.1513443E-4 | 1.1513443E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7995955E-4 | 4.9334083E-4 | 4.9334083E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021888057 | 0.005990052 | 0.005990052 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.02167372 | 0.057449117 | 0.057467967 | 1.0003282 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.130448E-5 | 8.3357954E-5 | 8.3357954E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3415517E-4 | 3.5719978E-4 | 3.5719978E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016321153 | 0.0043402947 | 0.0043402947 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016201803 | 0.042141106 | 0.042141106 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.3074248E-5 | 6.086575E-5 | 6.086575E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.888588E-5 | 2.6082728E-4 | 2.6082728E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012032706 | 0.003170971 | 0.003170971 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011967761 | 0.031034198 | 0.031034198 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.45864815E-5 | 4.0141942E-5 | 4.0141942E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2511994E-5 | 1.7202558E-4 | 1.7202558E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.608177E-4 | 0.002092405 | 0.002092405 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007582182 | 0.02063468 | 0.02063468 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.0352979E-5 | 3.097546E-5 | 3.097546E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4369157E-5 | 1.3274523E-4 | 1.3274523E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.400606E-4 | 0.0016149776 | 0.0016149776 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0053875 | 0.016022595 | 0.016022595 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 8.137906E-6 | 2.216039E-5 | 2.216039E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4876273E-5 | 9.496964E-5 | 9.496964E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2453592E-4 | 0.001155643 | 0.001155643 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004237258 | 0.011622993 | 0.011622993 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 6.93792E-6 | 1.8018303E-5 | 1.8018303E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9733603E-5 | 7.721902E-5 | 7.721902E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6194647E-4 | 9.397368E-4 | 9.397368E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036135751 | 0.009505922 | 0.009505922 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 3.4286315E-6 | 6.383862E-6 | 6.383862E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4694053E-5 | 2.7359121E-5 | 2.7359121E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7888541E-4 | 3.330465E-4 | 3.330465E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017874148 | 0.0034880012 | 0.0034880012 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.4906886E-6 | 1.9380652E-6 | 1.9380652E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3886496E-6 | 8.305968E-6 | 8.305968E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7779034E-5 | 1.01120495E-4 | 1.01120495E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.775182E-4 | 0.0011082697 | 0.0011082697 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 2.5758007E-8 | 1.4511432E-8 | 1.4511432E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10391454E-7 | 6.219185E-8 | 6.219185E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3440151E-6 | 7.5718583E-7 | 7.5718583E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.344007E-5 | 7.894757E-6 | 7.894757E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Coyote Creek)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.4152421E-5 | 3.415218E-5 | 1.4140272 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.0350628E-4 | 1.2350421E-4 | 1.193205 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014273542 | 0.001259463 | 0.0012994127 | 1.0317196 | 4.0E-5 | 0.01418221 | 0.012931943 | 0.0129812965 | 1.0038164 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.4152421E-5 | 3.415218E-5 | 1.4140272 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.0350628E-4 | 1.2350421E-4 | 1.193205 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014273542 | 0.001259463 | 0.0012994127 | 1.0317196 | 4.0E-5 | 0.01418221 | 0.012931943 | 0.0129812965 | 1.0038164 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.4152421E-5 | 3.415218E-5 | 1.4140272 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.0350628E-4 | 1.2350421E-4 | 1.193205 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014273542 | 0.001259463 | 0.0012994127 | 1.0317196 | 4.0E-5 | 0.01418221 | 0.012931943 | 0.0129812965 | 1.0038164 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.4152421E-5 | 3.415218E-5 | 1.4140272 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.0350628E-4 | 1.2350421E-4 | 1.193205 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014273542 | 0.001259463 | 0.0012994127 | 1.0317196 | 4.0E-5 | 0.01418221 | 0.012931943 | 0.0129812965 | 1.0038164 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.4152421E-5 | 3.415218E-5 | 1.4140272 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.0350628E-4 | 1.2350421E-4 | 1.193205 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014273542 | 0.001259463 | 0.0012994127 | 1.0317196 | 4.0E-5 | 0.01418221 | 0.012931943 | 0.0129812965 | 1.0038164 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.7282445E-5 | 2.4038494E-5 | 3.4038254E-5 | 1.4159894 | 1.0E-5 | 1.16919524E-4 | 1.03018065E-4 | 1.2301601E-4 | 1.1941206 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014225657 | 0.001253526 | 0.0012934759 | 1.03187 | 4.0E-5 | 0.014134934 | 0.012873269 | 0.012922625 | 1.003834 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.7282445E-5 | 2.4038494E-5 | 3.4038254E-5 | 1.4159894 | 1.0E-5 | 1.16919524E-4 | 1.03018065E-4 | 1.2301601E-4 | 1.1941206 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014225657 | 0.001253526 | 0.0012934759 | 1.03187 | 4.0E-5 | 0.014134934 | 0.012873269 | 0.012922625 | 1.003834 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.7216198E-5 | 2.3963614E-5 | 3.3963373E-5 | 1.4172894 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1663563E-4 | 1.0269717E-4 | 1.2269511E-4 | 1.1947273 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014191137 | 0.0012496236 | 0.0012895736 | 1.0319697 | 4.0E-5 | 0.014100855 | 0.012834677 | 0.012884035 | 1.0038457 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.7078617E-5 | 2.3880828E-5 | 3.3880588E-5 | 1.418736 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1604605E-4 | 1.02342405E-4 | 1.2234035E-4 | 1.1954024 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001411945 | 0.0012453091 | 0.0012852594 | 1.0320805 | 4.0E-5 | 0.014030075 | 0.012791819 | 0.01284118 | 1.0038588 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.6982952E-5 | 2.3800336E-5 | 3.3800097E-5 | 1.4201522 | 1.0E-5 | 1.15636096E-4 | 1.01997466E-4 | 1.2199543E-4 | 1.1960633 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014069602 | 0.0012411143 | 0.0012810647 | 1.0321891 | 4.0E-5 | 0.013980856 | 0.012750106 | 0.012799469 | 1.0038716 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.6449972E-5 | 2.3377343E-5 | 3.337711E-5 | 1.4277546 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1335209E-4 | 1.00184785E-4 | 1.20182776E-4 | 1.1996111 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001379188 | 0.0012190698 | 0.001259021 | 1.032772 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0137065975 | 0.012531462 | 0.012580835 | 1.00394 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.6257849E-5 | 2.3203378E-5 | 3.3203145E-5 | 1.4309617 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1252879E-4 | 9.943927E-5 | 1.1943728E-4 | 1.2011077 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0013691769 | 0.0012100033 | 0.0012499549 | 1.0330178 | 4.0E-5 | 0.013607717 | 0.012441383 | 0.012490761 | 1.0039688 | 5.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.5270041E-5 | 2.2398073E-5 | 3.239785E-5 | 1.446457 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0829568E-4 | 9.598822E-5 | 1.159863E-4 | 1.2083389 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0013177024 | 0.0011680324 | 0.0012079857 | 1.0342057 | 4.0E-5 | 0.013099162 | 0.012022524 | 0.012071923 | 1.0041089 | 5.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.339701E-5 | 2.1129852E-5 | 3.112964E-5 | 1.4732541 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0026905E-4 | 9.0553374E-5 | 1.1055157E-4 | 1.2208441 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001220092 | 0.0011019319 | 0.0011418877 | 1.0362599 | 4.0E-5 | 0.012134149 | 0.011361412 | 0.011410844 | 1.0043509 | 5.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.296333E-5 | 2.0860187E-5 | 3.0859977E-5 | 1.4793721 | 1.0E-5 | 9.841056E-5 | 8.939775E-5 | 1.0939596E-4 | 1.2236993 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011974899 | 0.0010878762 | 0.0011278327 | 1.0367289 | 4.0E-5 | 0.011910575 | 0.011220528 | 0.011269967 | 1.0044061 | 5.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.2188895E-5 | 2.0383068E-5 | 3.0382864E-5 | 1.4905933 | 1.0E-5 | 9.50918E-5 | 8.735309E-5 | 1.0735134E-4 | 1.2289358 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011571277 | 0.001063007 | 0.0011029645 | 1.0375891 | 4.0E-5 | 0.011511209 | 0.010970126 | 0.011019577 | 1.0045078 | 5.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.0013189E-5 | 1.8969224E-5 | 2.8969034E-5 | 1.5271597 | 1.0E-5 | 8.5767984E-5 | 8.129415E-5 | 1.0129252E-4 | 1.2460002 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001043725 | 9.893086E-4 | 0.0010292691 | 1.0403923 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010388365 | 0.010228057 | 0.010277546 | 1.0048385 | 5.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.7230794E-5 | 1.6750411E-5 | 1.6750411E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.384417E-5 | 7.178551E-5 | 8.178479E-5 | 1.1392939 | 1.0E-5 | 8.986819E-4 | 8.7363896E-4 | 9.036127E-4 | 1.0343091 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008950562 | 0.009066527 | 0.009106164 | 1.0043719 | 4.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.4478809E-5 | 1.4997487E-5 | 1.4997487E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.205057E-5 | 6.4273365E-5 | 7.427272E-5 | 1.1555754 | 1.0E-5 | 7.552038E-4 | 7.8224787E-4 | 8.122244E-4 | 1.038321 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0075264242 | 0.008144863 | 0.008184537 | 1.0048711 | 4.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.1114467E-5 | 1.1650795E-5 | 1.1650795E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7632562E-5 | 4.9931026E-5 | 5.9930528E-5 | 1.2002662 | 1.0E-5 | 5.797721E-4 | 6.0774124E-4 | 6.37723E-4 | 1.0493331 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0057826187 | 0.00638346 | 0.0064232047 | 1.0062262 | 4.0E-5 |
8.0 | 9.327402E-6 | 9.904316E-6 | 9.904316E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9973966E-5 | 4.2446383E-5 | 5.2445957E-5 | 1.2355814 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8657437E-4 | 5.1666267E-4 | 5.466472E-4 | 1.058035 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0048551033 | 0.005452786 | 0.005492568 | 1.0072957 | 4.0E-5 |
8.1 | 7.0235833E-6 | 6.831197E-6 | 6.831197E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0100724E-5 | 2.9276232E-5 | 2.9276232E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.664147E-4 | 3.5638033E-4 | 3.6637677E-4 | 1.02805 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003658111 | 0.0037895683 | 0.0037995304 | 1.0026288 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 2.0358202E-6 | 8.9996047E-7 | 8.9996047E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.724915E-6 | 3.856968E-6 | 3.856968E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.06220665E-4 | 4.6957593E-5 | 4.6957593E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001061699 | 5.3285924E-4 | 5.3285924E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 2.0051264E-7 | 6.621079E-8 | 6.621079E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5933965E-7 | 2.837605E-7 | 2.837605E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.046241E-5 | 3.454779E-6 | 3.454779E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0461917E-4 | 4.016238E-5 | 4.016238E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Borrego)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.543992E-5 | 2.7933444E-5 | 3.7933165E-5 | 1.3579838 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5187653E-4 | 1.1970933E-4 | 1.2970813E-4 | 1.0835257 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018475284 | 0.001456499 | 0.0014864553 | 1.0205673 | 3.0E-5 | 0.018322436 | 0.014871439 | 0.014910844 | 1.0026497 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.542281E-5 | 2.7933444E-5 | 3.7933165E-5 | 1.3579838 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5180321E-4 | 1.1970933E-4 | 1.2970813E-4 | 1.0835257 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018466372 | 0.001456499 | 0.0014864553 | 1.0205673 | 3.0E-5 | 0.018313672 | 0.014871439 | 0.014910844 | 1.0026497 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.4688688E-5 | 2.7933444E-5 | 3.7933165E-5 | 1.3579838 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4865733E-4 | 1.1970933E-4 | 1.2970813E-4 | 1.0835257 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018084005 | 0.001456499 | 0.0014864552 | 1.0205673 | 3.0E-5 | 0.017937548 | 0.014871439 | 0.014910844 | 1.0026497 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.2087122E-5 | 2.7778793E-5 | 3.7778515E-5 | 1.3599769 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3750899E-4 | 1.1904661E-4 | 1.2904541E-4 | 1.0839907 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016728862 | 0.0014484411 | 0.0014783975 | 1.020682 | 3.0E-5 | 0.016603488 | 0.014792597 | 0.014832005 | 1.0026641 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.1828724E-5 | 2.774577E-5 | 3.7745493E-5 | 1.3604053 | 1.0E-5 | 1.364017E-4 | 1.1890509E-4 | 1.289039E-4 | 1.0840907 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016594254 | 0.0014467203 | 0.0014766769 | 1.0207065 | 3.0E-5 | 0.016470885 | 0.01477579 | 0.014815199 | 1.0026672 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.1563577E-5 | 2.7485452E-5 | 3.7485177E-5 | 1.3638189 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3526545E-4 | 1.1778954E-4 | 1.2778837E-4 | 1.0848871 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016456128 | 0.0014331564 | 0.0014631135 | 1.0209029 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0163348 | 0.014643186 | 0.0146826 | 1.0026916 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.1467625E-5 | 2.7329666E-5 | 3.7329395E-5 | 1.3658928 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3485427E-4 | 1.17121956E-4 | 1.2712079E-4 | 1.0853711 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016406142 | 0.0014250393 | 0.0014549965 | 1.0210221 | 3.0E-5 | 0.016285548 | 0.014563348 | 0.014602765 | 1.0027066 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.1223695E-5 | 2.6947682E-5 | 3.694741E-5 | 1.3710794 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3380898E-4 | 1.1548502E-4 | 1.2548387E-4 | 1.0865813 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016279068 | 0.0014051354 | 0.0014350932 | 1.0213202 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01616033 | 0.01436762 | 0.014407046 | 1.0027441 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.1015585E-5 | 2.6768674E-5 | 3.6768404E-5 | 1.373561 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3291716E-4 | 1.1471791E-4 | 1.2471677E-4 | 1.0871603 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001617065 | 0.0013958078 | 0.0014257659 | 1.0214629 | 3.0E-5 | 0.016053487 | 0.014274874 | 0.014314302 | 1.0027621 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.6641965E-5 | 2.2190488E-5 | 3.2190266E-5 | 1.4506335 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1417485E-4 | 9.509865E-5 | 1.050977E-4 | 1.105144 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013891924 | 0.001157215 | 0.0011871803 | 1.0258943 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0138054015 | 0.011885386 | 0.01192491 | 1.0033255 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.3854353E-5 | 2.0485062E-5 | 3.0484856E-5 | 1.4881506 | 1.0E-5 | 1.02228936E-4 | 8.7790184E-5 | 9.778931E-5 | 1.1138979 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012439266 | 0.001068324 | 0.0010982918 | 1.0280514 | 3.0E-5 | 0.012369866 | 0.010985749 | 0.011025309 | 1.0036011 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.3672901E-5 | 2.0321548E-5 | 3.0321344E-5 | 1.4920785 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0145135E-4 | 8.708945E-5 | 9.708858E-5 | 1.1148145 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012344702 | 0.0010598009 | 0.0010897691 | 1.0282772 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0122763505 | 0.01090098 | 0.010940543 | 1.0036294 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.2717244E-5 | 1.9548863E-5 | 2.9548666E-5 | 1.5115287 | 1.0E-5 | 9.735599E-5 | 8.377816E-5 | 9.377732E-5 | 1.1193528 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011846646 | 0.0010195242 | 0.0010494936 | 1.0293955 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01178369 | 0.010498457 | 0.010538036 | 1.0037701 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.1016205E-5 | 1.8390432E-5 | 2.8390248E-5 | 1.543751 | 1.0E-5 | 9.006634E-5 | 7.881377E-5 | 8.881299E-5 | 1.1268713 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001096006 | 9.5913734E-4 | 9.891086E-4 | 1.0312481 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010906163 | 0.009894083 | 0.009933688 | 1.0040028 | 4.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.0683625E-5 | 1.819294E-5 | 2.8192759E-5 | 1.5496538 | 1.0E-5 | 8.86411E-5 | 7.796742E-5 | 8.796665E-5 | 1.1282487 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001078671 | 9.4884203E-4 | 9.788136E-4 | 1.0315875 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010734501 | 0.009790815 | 0.009830424 | 1.0040455 | 4.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.9993966E-5 | 1.7787928E-5 | 2.778775E-5 | 1.562169 | 1.0E-5 | 8.568561E-5 | 7.6231765E-5 | 8.6231E-5 | 1.131169 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001042723 | 9.2772854E-4 | 9.577007E-4 | 1.032307 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010378438 | 0.009577702 | 0.009617319 | 1.0041363 | 4.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.788966E-5 | 1.6441034E-5 | 2.644087E-5 | 1.6082243 | 1.0E-5 | 7.666772E-5 | 7.045968E-5 | 8.045897E-5 | 1.1419151 | 1.0E-5 | 9.3302975E-4 | 8.575107E-4 | 8.8748505E-4 | 1.034955 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00929122 | 0.00886951 | 0.008909155 | 1.0044699 | 4.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.5125781E-5 | 1.4242966E-5 | 1.4242966E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4823165E-5 | 6.1039864E-5 | 6.1039864E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.889362E-4 | 7.4290775E-4 | 7.628929E-4 | 1.0269012 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007861412 | 0.007717176 | 0.0077469447 | 1.0038574 | 3.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.250089E-5 | 1.2635926E-5 | 1.2635926E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3574146E-5 | 5.415285E-5 | 5.415285E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5207E-4 | 6.591121E-4 | 6.7909894E-4 | 1.0303239 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006501599 | 0.0068706553 | 0.0069004493 | 1.0043364 | 3.0E-5 |
7.9 | 9.561E-6 | 9.759346E-6 | 9.759346E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0975072E-5 | 4.1825097E-5 | 4.1825097E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.987573E-4 | 5.0910213E-4 | 5.29092E-4 | 1.0392648 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0049763937 | 0.005354963 | 0.005384802 | 1.0055723 | 3.0E-5 |
8.0 | 8.01699E-6 | 8.297771E-6 | 8.297771E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4358076E-5 | 3.5561392E-5 | 3.5561392E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1822926E-4 | 4.3287448E-4 | 4.5286582E-4 | 1.0461828 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0041744304 | 0.004575734 | 0.0046055964 | 1.0065264 | 3.0E-5 |
8.1 | 6.541947E-6 | 6.465709E-6 | 6.465709E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8036617E-5 | 2.7709888E-5 | 2.7709888E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4129233E-4 | 3.3731616E-4 | 3.473128E-4 | 1.0296358 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034076865 | 0.0035825386 | 0.0035925028 | 1.0027813 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 1.7968189E-6 | 7.9757825E-7 | 7.9757825E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.70063E-6 | 3.4181883E-6 | 3.4181883E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3751136E-5 | 4.161567E-5 | 4.161567E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.371159E-4 | 4.7149012E-4 | 4.7149012E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.5167889E-7 | 4.9005383E-8 | 4.9005383E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.500522E-7 | 2.1002305E-7 | 2.1002305E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9143565E-6 | 2.557028E-6 | 2.557028E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.914075E-5 | 2.9710194E-5 | 2.9710194E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hosgri
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.883978E-5 | 2.9128816E-5 | 2.9128816E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.235932E-4 | 1.2483196E-4 | 1.2483196E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015037085 | 0.0015187968 | 0.0015187968 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01493574 | 0.015087956 | 0.0151273515 | 1.0026112 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.883978E-5 | 2.9128816E-5 | 2.9128816E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.235932E-4 | 1.2483196E-4 | 1.2483196E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015037085 | 0.0015187968 | 0.0015187968 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01493574 | 0.015087956 | 0.0151273515 | 1.0026112 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.883978E-5 | 2.9128816E-5 | 2.9128816E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.235932E-4 | 1.2483196E-4 | 1.2483196E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015037085 | 0.0015187968 | 0.0015187968 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01493574 | 0.015087956 | 0.0151273515 | 1.0026112 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.2914428E-5 | 2.2642287E-5 | 2.2642287E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.8200995E-5 | 9.703479E-5 | 9.703479E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011949413 | 0.0011807632 | 0.0011807632 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011885363 | 0.011746307 | 0.011775955 | 1.002524 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0195741E-5 | 1.9696845E-5 | 1.9696845E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.65503E-5 | 8.441233E-5 | 8.441233E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010532405 | 0.0010272375 | 0.0010272375 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010482626 | 0.010225951 | 0.010255643 | 1.0029037 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.9924333E-5 | 1.9409264E-5 | 1.9409264E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.53872E-5 | 8.317992E-5 | 8.317992E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010390934 | 0.0010122469 | 0.0010122469 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010342481 | 0.010077409 | 0.010107107 | 1.002947 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.809694E-5 | 1.7458564E-5 | 1.7458564E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7556004E-5 | 7.482028E-5 | 7.482028E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.438353E-4 | 9.105575E-4 | 9.105575E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009398366 | 0.00906922 | 0.009089039 | 1.0021852 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.675989E-5 | 1.6043017E-5 | 1.6043017E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.182612E-5 | 6.875398E-5 | 6.875398E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7413215E-4 | 8.3675934E-4 | 8.3675934E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008707017 | 0.008337004 | 0.008356837 | 1.002379 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.5401129E-5 | 1.4614321E-5 | 1.4614321E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6003166E-5 | 6.2631305E-5 | 6.2631305E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.032922E-4 | 7.6227024E-4 | 7.6227024E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008003947 | 0.0075974306 | 0.0076073543 | 1.0013062 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.356559E-5 | 1.269019E-5 | 1.269019E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8136946E-5 | 5.4385397E-5 | 5.4385397E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0758746E-4 | 6.619415E-4 | 6.619415E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007053386 | 0.0066005136 | 0.0066104475 | 1.001505 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.2030819E-5 | 1.1096171E-5 | 1.1096171E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.155963E-5 | 4.755415E-5 | 4.755415E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.275577E-4 | 5.788181E-4 | 5.788181E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006257884 | 0.005773876 | 0.005773876 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.0972698E-5 | 1.0022381E-5 | 1.0022381E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7025E-5 | 4.2952353E-5 | 4.2952353E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.72379E-4 | 5.228195E-4 | 5.228195E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057090693 | 0.005216657 | 0.005216657 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 9.961926E-6 | 9.0349395E-6 | 9.0349395E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2693267E-5 | 3.8720595E-5 | 3.8720595E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1966653E-4 | 4.713213E-4 | 4.713213E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00518453 | 0.004703974 | 0.004703974 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 8.700929E-6 | 7.828288E-6 | 7.828288E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7289166E-5 | 3.3549375E-5 | 3.3549375E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.53901E-4 | 4.083871E-4 | 4.083871E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00452975 | 0.004077116 | 0.004077116 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 7.866285E-6 | 6.9989205E-6 | 6.9989205E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3712215E-5 | 2.999503E-5 | 2.999503E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.103689E-4 | 3.651283E-4 | 3.651283E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004096119 | 0.0036460315 | 0.0036460315 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.8381305E-6 | 5.959869E-6 | 5.959869E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9305946E-5 | 2.5542047E-5 | 2.5542047E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5674145E-4 | 3.1093007E-4 | 3.1093007E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035616932 | 0.0031056956 | 0.0031056956 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 5.503376E-6 | 4.595407E-6 | 4.595407E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3585684E-5 | 1.9694453E-5 | 1.9694453E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8711787E-4 | 2.3975359E-4 | 2.3975359E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002867472 | 0.0023956925 | 0.0023956925 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 3.6144982E-6 | 2.6523571E-6 | 2.6523571E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5490614E-5 | 1.1367195E-5 | 1.1367195E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8858191E-4 | 1.3838682E-4 | 1.3838682E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018842196 | 0.0013837479 | 0.0013837479 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.9853494E-6 | 1.1362197E-6 | 1.1362197E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.508612E-6 | 4.8695038E-6 | 4.8695038E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0358743E-4 | 5.9284594E-5 | 5.9284594E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010353916 | 5.9342675E-4 | 5.9342675E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.1818757E-6 | 5.2958796E-7 | 5.2958796E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0651715E-6 | 2.2696604E-6 | 2.2696604E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1666724E-5 | 2.7632766E-5 | 2.7632766E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1649614E-4 | 2.7697708E-4 | 2.7697708E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 6.962958E-7 | 2.714428E-7 | 2.714428E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9841215E-6 | 1.1633257E-6 | 1.1633257E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6331072E-5 | 1.4163398E-5 | 1.4163398E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6325134E-4 | 1.4218807E-4 | 1.4218807E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.5033264E-7 | 6.528495E-8 | 6.528495E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.442826E-7 | 2.7979263E-7 | 2.7979263E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.844113E-6 | 3.4064701E-6 | 3.4064701E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.843835E-5 | 3.408197E-5 | 3.408197E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cleghorn
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.9267165E-6 | 9.832763E-6 | 9.832763E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.39712E-5 | 4.213979E-5 | 4.213979E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1352084E-4 | 5.129418E-4 | 5.229367E-4 | 1.0194854 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004127522 | 0.005132704 | 0.005172499 | 1.0077531 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 7.9267165E-6 | 9.832763E-6 | 9.832763E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.39712E-5 | 4.213979E-5 | 4.213979E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1352084E-4 | 5.129418E-4 | 5.229367E-4 | 1.0194854 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004127522 | 0.005132704 | 0.005172499 | 1.0077531 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 7.9267165E-6 | 9.832763E-6 | 9.832763E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.39712E-5 | 4.213979E-5 | 4.213979E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1352084E-4 | 5.129418E-4 | 5.229367E-4 | 1.0194854 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004127522 | 0.005132704 | 0.005172499 | 1.0077531 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 7.9267165E-6 | 9.832763E-6 | 9.832763E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.39712E-5 | 4.213979E-5 | 4.213979E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1352084E-4 | 5.129418E-4 | 5.229367E-4 | 1.0194854 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004127522 | 0.005132704 | 0.005172499 | 1.0077531 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.3445207E-6 | 6.0926013E-6 | 6.0926013E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8619241E-5 | 2.6110894E-5 | 2.6110894E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2666567E-4 | 3.1785478E-4 | 3.1785478E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022643462 | 0.003188204 | 0.0032181086 | 1.0093797 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.3445207E-6 | 6.0926013E-6 | 6.0926013E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8619241E-5 | 2.6110894E-5 | 2.6110894E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2666567E-4 | 3.1785478E-4 | 3.1785478E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022643462 | 0.003188204 | 0.0032181086 | 1.0093797 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.040109E-6 | 5.7750076E-6 | 5.7750076E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7314638E-5 | 2.4749803E-5 | 2.4749803E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1078532E-4 | 3.0128812E-4 | 3.0128812E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002105855 | 0.003022993 | 0.0030529024 | 1.0098939 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.3632055E-6 | 5.0685003E-6 | 5.0685003E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4413658E-5 | 2.1721964E-5 | 2.1721964E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7547216E-4 | 2.6443315E-4 | 2.6443315E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017533366 | 0.0026553252 | 0.0026852456 | 1.011268 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.2902772E-6 | 4.990407E-6 | 4.990407E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4101111E-5 | 2.1387285E-5 | 2.1387285E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.716675E-4 | 2.603594E-4 | 2.603594E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017153495 | 0.0026146837 | 0.0026446055 | 1.0114436 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.031547E-6 | 4.692163E-6 | 4.692163E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.299228E-5 | 2.0109117E-5 | 2.0109117E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5816953E-4 | 2.4480128E-4 | 2.4480128E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00158057 | 0.0024594541 | 0.0024893803 | 1.0121678 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.8259715E-6 | 4.371714E-6 | 4.371714E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.211125E-5 | 1.8735784E-5 | 1.8735784E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4744449E-4 | 2.2808454E-4 | 2.2808454E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001473467 | 0.0022926412 | 0.0023225723 | 1.0130553 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.5962665E-6 | 4.066925E-6 | 4.066925E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1126809E-5 | 1.7429564E-5 | 1.7429564E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3546048E-4 | 2.1218449E-4 | 2.1218449E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013537793 | 0.0021339648 | 0.002153922 | 1.0093522 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.3247253E-6 | 3.6774632E-6 | 3.6774632E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.96307E-6 | 1.5760463E-5 | 1.5760463E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.21293626E-4 | 1.9186691E-4 | 1.9186691E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012122744 | 0.0019311808 | 0.0019511422 | 1.0103364 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.056928E-6 | 3.236149E-6 | 3.236149E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.815376E-6 | 1.3869138E-5 | 1.3869138E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0732192E-4 | 1.6884382E-4 | 1.6884382E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001072701 | 0.0017013908 | 0.0017213569 | 1.0117351 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.8055999E-6 | 2.8265147E-6 | 2.8265147E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.738263E-6 | 1.2113579E-5 | 1.2113579E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4209274E-5 | 1.4747298E-4 | 1.4747298E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4169343E-4 | 0.001488129 | 0.0015080993 | 1.0134197 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.4683443E-6 | 2.4257406E-6 | 2.4257406E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.292889E-6 | 1.039599E-5 | 1.039599E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.661323E-5 | 1.2656393E-4 | 1.2656393E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.658682E-4 | 0.0012793359 | 0.0012893231 | 1.0078065 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 9.804088E-7 | 1.9012458E-6 | 1.9012458E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.201745E-6 | 8.148171E-6 | 8.148171E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1155046E-5 | 9.919951E-5 | 9.919951E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.114327E-4 | 0.0010060034 | 0.0010159933 | 1.0099304 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 7.3434086E-7 | 1.6293816E-6 | 1.6293816E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1471714E-6 | 6.9830453E-6 | 6.9830453E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.831614E-5 | 8.501529E-5 | 8.501529E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8309532E-4 | 8.6431357E-4 | 8.743049E-4 | 1.0115598 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 6.434184E-7 | 1.522934E-6 | 1.522934E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7575045E-6 | 6.5268437E-6 | 6.5268437E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.35721E-5 | 7.946145E-5 | 7.946145E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3567028E-4 | 8.0846256E-4 | 8.184545E-4 | 1.0123591 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.4943926E-7 | 7.5794E-7 | 7.5794E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.497596E-6 | 3.2483103E-6 | 3.2483103E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8233079E-5 | 3.9547467E-5 | 3.9547467E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8231584E-4 | 4.0426495E-4 | 4.0426495E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 6.717524E-8 | 5.8437763E-8 | 5.8437763E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8789387E-7 | 2.5044753E-7 | 2.5044753E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.505102E-6 | 3.0491944E-6 | 3.0491944E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5050467E-5 | 3.2754215E-5 | 3.2754215E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 3.1984914E-8 | 1.2967114E-8 | 1.2967114E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.370782E-7 | 5.5573338E-8 | 5.5573338E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6689258E-6 | 6.766052E-7 | 6.766052E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6689133E-5 | 7.750275E-6 | 7.750275E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.21887656E-8 | 3.6524417E-9 | 3.6524417E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2237567E-8 | 1.565332E-8 | 1.565332E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.359922E-7 | 1.9057916E-7 | 1.9057916E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3599036E-6 | 2.2488762E-6 | 2.2488762E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Superstition Mtn)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.4193904E-5 | 9.6002805E-5 | 1.0600185E-4 | 1.1041536 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7508775E-4 | 4.1138552E-4 | 4.313773E-4 | 1.0485961 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0033440501 | 0.004998534 | 0.0050283843 | 1.0059718 | 3.0E-5 | 0.03294174 | 0.048822355 | 0.0488604 | 1.0007793 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.4193904E-5 | 9.6002805E-5 | 1.0600185E-4 | 1.1041536 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7508775E-4 | 4.1138552E-4 | 4.313773E-4 | 1.0485961 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0033440501 | 0.004998534 | 0.0050283843 | 1.0059718 | 3.0E-5 | 0.03294174 | 0.048822355 | 0.0488604 | 1.0007793 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 5.7023593E-5 | 8.315118E-5 | 9.3150345E-5 | 1.1202528 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4436394E-4 | 3.5632294E-4 | 3.7631582E-4 | 1.0561088 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002971072 | 0.004331248 | 0.0043511614 | 1.0045977 | 2.0E-5 | 0.029316625 | 0.04250458 | 0.042533305 | 1.0006758 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 5.6940098E-5 | 8.2996536E-5 | 9.299571E-5 | 1.120477 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4400617E-4 | 3.5566036E-4 | 3.7565327E-4 | 1.0562134 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002966728 | 0.0043232134 | 0.004343127 | 1.0046062 | 2.0E-5 | 0.029274331 | 0.04242795 | 0.04245668 | 1.0006771 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 5.4171585E-5 | 7.749044E-5 | 8.7489665E-5 | 1.1290382 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3214328E-4 | 3.320689E-4 | 3.420656E-4 | 1.0301043 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028226813 | 0.004037093 | 0.0040470525 | 1.002467 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02787096 | 0.03971742 | 0.03973663 | 1.0004835 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.375144E-5 | 5.6427816E-5 | 6.642725E-5 | 1.1772076 | 1.0E-5 | 1.874927E-4 | 2.4181772E-4 | 2.518153E-4 | 1.0413435 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022803338 | 0.0029413316 | 0.002951302 | 1.0033898 | 1.0E-5 | 0.022570757 | 0.029237961 | 0.02924767 | 1.000332 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.772192E-5 | 2.5494071E-5 | 3.5493817E-5 | 1.392238 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1880282E-4 | 1.09255845E-4 | 1.1925475E-4 | 1.0915183 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014454646 | 0.0013293975 | 0.0013393842 | 1.0075122 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014360986 | 0.013542279 | 0.013552143 | 1.0007284 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.7124124E-5 | 2.4705068E-5 | 3.4704823E-5 | 1.4047652 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1624106E-4 | 1.0587468E-4 | 1.1587362E-4 | 1.0944413 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014143161 | 0.0012882812 | 0.0012982683 | 1.0077523 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014053487 | 0.0131356325 | 0.013145502 | 1.0007513 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.5475807E-5 | 2.2169877E-5 | 3.2169657E-5 | 1.4510524 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0917746E-4 | 9.501037E-5 | 1.0500942E-4 | 1.1052417 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001328425 | 0.0011561494 | 0.0011661379 | 1.0086395 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0132051185 | 0.011823943 | 0.011833825 | 1.0008358 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.1162023E-5 | 1.7631051E-5 | 2.7630875E-5 | 1.5671711 | 1.0E-5 | 9.069123E-5 | 7.555948E-5 | 8.555873E-5 | 1.132336 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011036064 | 9.195522E-4 | 9.2954305E-4 | 1.0108649 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010981417 | 0.0094489865 | 0.009458892 | 1.0010483 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.8754288E-5 | 1.616617E-5 | 2.6166008E-5 | 1.6185657 | 1.0E-5 | 8.037304E-5 | 6.928176E-5 | 7.928107E-5 | 1.1443281 | 1.0E-5 | 9.781026E-4 | 8.4318145E-4 | 8.53173E-4 | 1.0118499 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009738087 | 0.008672153 | 0.008682066 | 1.0011431 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.8678527E-5 | 1.6091313E-5 | 2.6091153E-5 | 1.6214433 | 1.0E-5 | 8.0048376E-5 | 6.8960966E-5 | 7.896027E-5 | 1.1449996 | 1.0E-5 | 9.7415317E-4 | 8.392788E-4 | 8.492704E-4 | 1.011905 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009698939 | 0.008633161 | 0.008643075 | 1.0011483 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.7804578E-5 | 1.5385827E-5 | 2.5385672E-5 | 1.6499388 | 1.0E-5 | 7.6303106E-5 | 6.59376E-5 | 7.593694E-5 | 1.1516485 | 1.0E-5 | 9.285943E-4 | 8.024969E-4 | 8.124889E-4 | 1.012451 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009247236 | 0.0082646 | 0.008274518 | 1.0012 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.6583685E-5 | 1.4534898E-5 | 2.4534753E-5 | 1.6879894 | 1.0E-5 | 7.1070994E-5 | 6.229094E-5 | 7.229032E-5 | 1.160527 | 1.0E-5 | 8.649459E-4 | 7.581304E-4 | 7.681228E-4 | 1.0131804 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00861587 | 0.007819886 | 0.007829809 | 1.0012687 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.6387552E-5 | 1.4399775E-5 | 2.4399631E-5 | 1.6944453 | 1.0E-5 | 7.023047E-5 | 6.171187E-5 | 7.1711256E-5 | 1.1620333 | 1.0E-5 | 8.5472054E-4 | 7.5108506E-4 | 7.6107756E-4 | 1.0133041 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008514405 | 0.0077492767 | 0.0077591995 | 1.0012804 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.5790754E-5 | 1.4040427E-5 | 2.4040288E-5 | 1.712219 | 1.0E-5 | 6.767291E-5 | 6.0171882E-5 | 7.0171285E-5 | 1.1661806 | 1.0E-5 | 8.236062E-4 | 7.323484E-4 | 7.423411E-4 | 1.0136447 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008205604 | 0.0075598094 | 0.007569734 | 1.0013127 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.4248672E-5 | 1.3059319E-5 | 2.3059189E-5 | 1.7657267 | 1.0E-5 | 6.106431E-5 | 5.5967317E-5 | 6.596676E-5 | 1.1786658 | 1.0E-5 | 7.432043E-4 | 6.811908E-4 | 6.9118396E-4 | 1.0146701 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007407237 | 0.007042322 | 0.0070522516 | 1.00141 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.15449975E-5 | 1.0907912E-5 | 1.0907912E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.947762E-5 | 4.6747362E-5 | 4.6747362E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.022235E-4 | 5.6900125E-4 | 5.6900125E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006005941 | 0.005912308 | 0.005912308 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 9.1391985E-6 | 9.518418E-6 | 9.518418E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9167408E-5 | 4.0792587E-5 | 4.0792587E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.767588E-4 | 4.9653713E-4 | 4.9653713E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0047573727 | 0.0051787267 | 0.0051787267 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.973017E-6 | 7.385764E-6 | 7.385764E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9884017E-5 | 3.1652893E-5 | 3.1652893E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6377716E-4 | 3.8530637E-4 | 3.8530637E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036318225 | 0.0040537147 | 0.0040537147 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 5.7638235E-6 | 6.263249E-6 | 6.263249E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4701867E-5 | 2.6842223E-5 | 2.6842223E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0070372E-4 | 3.2675554E-4 | 3.2675554E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030029714 | 0.0034551586 | 0.0034551586 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 5.1124434E-6 | 5.498651E-6 | 5.498651E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1910288E-5 | 2.3565437E-5 | 2.3565437E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6672508E-4 | 2.8687192E-4 | 2.8687192E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026640517 | 0.0030418336 | 0.0030418336 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.1075938E-6 | 5.339512E-7 | 5.339512E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7468216E-6 | 2.2883605E-6 | 2.2883605E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.779102E-5 | 2.7860455E-5 | 2.7860455E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.777599E-4 | 3.136582E-4 | 3.136582E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.3584393E-8 | 4.4764112E-9 | 4.4764112E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8218827E-8 | 1.918462E-8 | 1.918462E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0881396E-7 | 2.3357273E-7 | 2.3357273E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0881174E-6 | 2.6165987E-6 | 2.6165987E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Rose Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5923203E-5 | 4.9717553E-5 | 4.9717553E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9679888E-4 | 2.1305913E-4 | 2.1305913E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023933933 | 0.0025910994 | 0.0026010734 | 1.0038494 | 1.0E-5 | 0.023677798 | 0.025618313 | 0.025657289 | 1.0015213 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.5923203E-5 | 4.9717553E-5 | 4.9717553E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9679888E-4 | 2.1305913E-4 | 2.1305913E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023933933 | 0.0025910994 | 0.0025910994 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.023677798 | 0.025618313 | 0.025637802 | 1.0007607 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.8844734E-5 | 2.9670837E-5 | 2.9670837E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2361443E-4 | 1.2715468E-4 | 1.2715468E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015039665 | 0.0015470362 | 0.0015470362 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0149382865 | 0.015357477 | 0.015367323 | 1.0006411 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3171577E-5 | 2.3163399E-5 | 2.3163399E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9302975E-5 | 9.9268E-5 | 9.9268E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012083431 | 0.0012079312 | 0.0012079312 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012017938 | 0.012004637 | 0.012014518 | 1.000823 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0066604E-5 | 1.966902E-5 | 1.966902E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.599689E-5 | 8.429313E-5 | 8.429313E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010465092 | 0.0010257957 | 0.0010257957 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010415946 | 0.010203916 | 0.010213814 | 1.00097 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.776989E-5 | 1.7115479E-5 | 1.7115479E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.615444E-5 | 7.3350035E-5 | 7.3350035E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.267859E-4 | 8.926777E-4 | 8.926777E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009229303 | 0.008879829 | 0.00888974 | 1.0011162 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.5227364E-5 | 1.4340938E-5 | 1.4340938E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.52585E-5 | 6.1459745E-5 | 6.1459745E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.942326E-4 | 7.480207E-4 | 7.480207E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007914 | 0.00744577 | 0.0074556954 | 1.001333 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2703898E-5 | 1.167434E-5 | 1.167434E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4444143E-5 | 5.0031955E-5 | 5.0031955E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.626558E-4 | 6.0897303E-4 | 6.0897303E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006606833 | 0.00606576 | 0.0060756993 | 1.0016387 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.1554917E-5 | 1.0610447E-5 | 1.0610447E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9520135E-5 | 4.5472574E-5 | 4.5472574E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0274085E-4 | 5.53492E-4 | 5.53492E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0060110865 | 0.005507283 | 0.005517228 | 1.0018058 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.732078E-6 | 7.882343E-6 | 7.882343E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7422655E-5 | 3.378105E-5 | 3.378105E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5552556E-4 | 4.112096E-4 | 4.112096E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045459294 | 0.004089545 | 0.004099504 | 1.0024352 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.9337494E-6 | 5.1074826E-6 | 5.1074826E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5430107E-5 | 2.1889029E-5 | 2.1889029E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0956755E-4 | 2.6646646E-4 | 2.6646646E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030913667 | 0.0026614852 | 0.0026714585 | 1.0037473 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.013409E-6 | 4.177376E-6 | 4.177376E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1485863E-5 | 1.7902918E-5 | 1.7902918E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6155898E-4 | 2.1794632E-4 | 2.1794632E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026125133 | 0.0021773374 | 0.0021773374 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 4.120763E-6 | 3.2821204E-6 | 3.2821204E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7660293E-5 | 1.4066155E-5 | 1.4066155E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1499286E-4 | 1.7124206E-4 | 1.7124206E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021478499 | 0.0017111107 | 0.0017111107 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.2081239E-6 | 2.440515E-6 | 2.440515E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.374903E-5 | 1.0459307E-5 | 1.0459307E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6738157E-4 | 1.273347E-4 | 1.273347E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016725556 | 0.0012726244 | 0.0012726244 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.4194755E-6 | 1.7680458E-6 | 1.7680458E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0369139E-5 | 7.5773173E-6 | 7.5773173E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2623696E-4 | 9.224998E-5 | 9.224998E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012616527 | 9.221223E-4 | 9.221223E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3842889E-6 | 9.378391E-7 | 9.378391E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9326535E-6 | 4.0193045E-6 | 4.0193045E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.222766E-5 | 4.893397E-5 | 4.893397E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.220419E-4 | 4.8923545E-4 | 4.8923545E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.0021575E-6 | 6.4114187E-7 | 6.4114187E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2949537E-6 | 2.7477479E-6 | 2.7477479E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2289808E-5 | 3.345334E-5 | 3.345334E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2277505E-4 | 3.3448517E-4 | 3.3448517E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 8.7620116E-8 | 6.449342E-8 | 6.449342E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7551473E-7 | 2.7640036E-7 | 2.7640036E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5718825E-6 | 3.3651693E-6 | 3.3651693E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5717883E-5 | 3.3651213E-5 | 3.3651213E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Kern Canyon (Lake Isabella) 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.2387383E-6 | 4.001647E-6 | 1.4001607E-5 | 3.498961 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.7149814E-5 | 2.7149643E-5 | 1.5830867 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.0878084E-4 | 2.3877458E-4 | 1.1436614 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0022092736 | 0.0020860308 | 0.0021259475 | 1.0191351 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.2387383E-6 | 4.001647E-6 | 1.4001607E-5 | 3.498961 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.7149814E-5 | 2.7149643E-5 | 1.5830867 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.0878084E-4 | 2.3877458E-4 | 1.1436614 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0022092736 | 0.0020860308 | 0.0021259475 | 1.0191351 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.2387383E-6 | 4.001647E-6 | 1.4001607E-5 | 3.498961 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.7149814E-5 | 2.7149643E-5 | 1.5830867 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.0878084E-4 | 2.3877458E-4 | 1.1436614 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0022092736 | 0.0020860308 | 0.0021259475 | 1.0191351 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.2387383E-6 | 4.001647E-6 | 1.4001607E-5 | 3.498961 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.7149814E-5 | 2.7149643E-5 | 1.5830867 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.0878084E-4 | 2.3877458E-4 | 1.1436614 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0022092736 | 0.0020860308 | 0.0021259475 | 1.0191351 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.2387383E-6 | 4.001647E-6 | 1.4001607E-5 | 3.498961 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.7149814E-5 | 2.7149643E-5 | 1.5830867 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.0878084E-4 | 2.3877458E-4 | 1.1436614 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0022092736 | 0.0020860308 | 0.0021259475 | 1.0191351 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.7857532E-6 | 2.517871E-6 | 1.2517846E-5 | 4.971599 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1938888E-5 | 1.0790834E-5 | 2.0790725E-5 | 1.9267025 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4534626E-4 | 1.313708E-4 | 1.6136686E-4 | 1.2283312 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0014525123 | 0.0013129641 | 0.0013529117 | 1.0304254 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.2233348E-6 | 1.944126E-6 | 1.19441065E-5 | 6.143689 | 1.0E-5 | 9.528543E-6 | 8.331944E-6 | 1.833186E-5 | 2.2001903 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1600384E-4 | 1.0143677E-4 | 1.2143474E-4 | 1.1971471 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001159433 | 0.0010139133 | 0.0010438829 | 1.0295583 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.1635126E-6 | 1.8835061E-6 | 1.1883487E-5 | 6.3092375 | 1.0E-5 | 9.272164E-6 | 8.072145E-6 | 1.8072064E-5 | 2.2388182 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1288274E-4 | 9.827401E-5 | 1.18272044E-4 | 1.2034926 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011282542 | 9.823136E-4 | 0.0010122842 | 1.0305102 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.8685711E-6 | 1.5831444E-6 | 1.1583128E-5 | 7.3165336 | 1.0E-5 | 8.008137E-6 | 6.784887E-6 | 1.678482E-5 | 2.4738538 | 1.0E-5 | 9.74947E-5 | 8.260291E-5 | 1.0260126E-4 | 1.2421021 | 2.0E-5 | 9.745194E-4 | 8.25727E-4 | 8.457105E-4 | 1.024201 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.5815071E-6 | 1.3064939E-6 | 1.1306481E-5 | 8.654063 | 1.0E-5 | 6.77787E-6 | 5.5992477E-6 | 1.5599191E-5 | 2.7859442 | 1.0E-5 | 8.251744E-5 | 6.816874E-5 | 8.816737E-5 | 1.2933697 | 2.0E-5 | 8.248681E-4 | 6.814809E-4 | 7.014673E-4 | 1.0293279 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.3772564E-6 | 1.1210726E-6 | 1.1121061E-5 | 9.920019 | 1.0E-5 | 5.9025137E-6 | 4.804588E-6 | 1.480454E-5 | 3.0813339 | 1.0E-5 | 7.186073E-5 | 5.849431E-5 | 7.849314E-5 | 1.3418936 | 2.0E-5 | 7.18375E-4 | 5.847912E-4 | 6.047795E-4 | 1.0341803 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0916998E-6 | 8.7637835E-7 | 1.087637E-5 | 12.410586 | 1.0E-5 | 4.678705E-6 | 3.7559018E-6 | 1.37558645E-5 | 3.6624663 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6961744E-5 | 4.572716E-5 | 6.572624E-5 | 1.4373568 | 2.0E-5 | 5.6947145E-4 | 4.5717886E-4 | 4.771697E-4 | 1.0437266 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.6277024E-7 | 5.9014616E-7 | 5.9014616E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2690114E-6 | 2.5291954E-6 | 2.5291954E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9799485E-5 | 3.0792526E-5 | 3.0792526E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9792358E-4 | 3.078832E-4 | 3.078832E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.3265916E-7 | 4.3824443E-7 | 4.3824443E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.282823E-6 | 1.8781891E-6 | 1.8781891E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7793016E-5 | 2.2866716E-5 | 2.2866716E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.778954E-4 | 2.2864401E-4 | 2.2864401E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.4946007E-7 | 3.0065758E-7 | 3.0065758E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.497685E-6 | 1.2885318E-6 | 1.2885318E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8234163E-5 | 1.5687765E-5 | 1.5687765E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8232666E-4 | 1.568668E-4 | 1.568668E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.8317026E-7 | 1.4244814E-7 | 1.4244814E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.850152E-7 | 6.104919E-7 | 6.104919E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.557518E-6 | 7.4327145E-6 | 7.4327145E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.5571064E-5 | 7.432474E-5 | 7.432474E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.572245E-8 | 1.7352718E-8 | 1.7352718E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10239064E-7 | 7.436879E-8 | 7.436879E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421597E-6 | 9.054397E-7 | 9.054397E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421517E-5 | 9.054365E-6 | 9.054365E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Luis Range 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.8368415E-6 | 8.965478E-6 | 8.965478E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.787163E-5 | 3.8422957E-5 | 3.8422957E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.609895E-4 | 4.6770697E-4 | 4.777023E-4 | 1.0213709 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0046003438 | 0.004668009 | 0.004707822 | 1.008529 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 8.8368415E-6 | 8.965478E-6 | 8.965478E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.787163E-5 | 3.8422957E-5 | 3.8422957E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.609895E-4 | 4.6770697E-4 | 4.777023E-4 | 1.0213709 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0046003438 | 0.004668009 | 0.004707822 | 1.008529 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 8.8368415E-6 | 8.965478E-6 | 8.965478E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.787163E-5 | 3.8422957E-5 | 3.8422957E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.609895E-4 | 4.6770697E-4 | 4.777023E-4 | 1.0213709 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0046003438 | 0.004668009 | 0.004707822 | 1.008529 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 8.8368415E-6 | 8.965478E-6 | 8.965478E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.787163E-5 | 3.8422957E-5 | 3.8422957E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.609895E-4 | 4.6770697E-4 | 4.777023E-4 | 1.0213709 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0046003438 | 0.004668009 | 0.004707822 | 1.008529 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.9094193E-6 | 3.941214E-6 | 3.941214E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6754546E-5 | 1.689081E-5 | 1.689081E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.039675E-4 | 2.0562648E-4 | 2.1562443E-4 | 1.0486219 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020378039 | 0.002054391 | 0.00207435 | 1.0097152 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.9094193E-6 | 3.941214E-6 | 3.941214E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6754546E-5 | 1.689081E-5 | 1.689081E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.039675E-4 | 2.0562648E-4 | 2.1562443E-4 | 1.0486219 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020378039 | 0.002054391 | 0.00207435 | 1.0097152 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.0587726E-6 | 3.0753974E-6 | 3.0753974E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3108959E-5 | 1.3180209E-5 | 1.3180209E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.595899E-4 | 1.6045735E-4 | 1.7045575E-4 | 1.0623119 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015947534 | 0.0016034269 | 0.0016134109 | 1.0062267 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.6160574E-6 | 2.6251355E-6 | 2.6251355E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1211626E-5 | 1.1250533E-5 | 1.1250533E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3649299E-4 | 1.3696669E-4 | 1.4696532E-4 | 1.0730004 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013640919 | 0.0013688289 | 0.0013788152 | 1.0072955 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.5110312E-6 | 2.5181482E-6 | 2.5181482E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0761518E-5 | 1.079202E-5 | 1.079202E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.310136E-4 | 1.3138496E-4 | 1.4138366E-4 | 1.0761023 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013093639 | 0.0013130788 | 0.0013230657 | 1.0076057 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.8564405E-6 | 1.8524935E-6 | 1.8524935E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.95615E-6 | 7.939234E-6 | 7.939234E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.686181E-5 | 9.66559E-5 | 9.66559E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.68196E-4 | 9.6614065E-4 | 9.6614065E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.546127E-6 | 1.5369595E-6 | 1.5369595E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.626242E-6 | 6.586953E-6 | 6.586953E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.06715E-5 | 8.0193204E-5 | 8.0193204E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0642226E-4 | 8.016434E-4 | 8.016434E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.3368208E-6 | 1.3235378E-6 | 1.3235378E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7292195E-6 | 5.672293E-6 | 5.672293E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.975101E-5 | 6.905798E-5 | 6.905798E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.972912E-4 | 6.903657E-4 | 6.903657E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.0623363E-6 | 1.0454412E-6 | 1.0454412E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5528623E-6 | 4.4804547E-6 | 4.4804547E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5429686E-5 | 5.4548174E-5 | 5.4548174E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5415864E-4 | 5.453481E-4 | 5.453481E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 7.831679E-7 | 7.7274274E-7 | 7.7274274E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3564295E-6 | 3.3117506E-6 | 3.3117506E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.086376E-5 | 4.0319817E-5 | 4.0319817E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0856248E-4 | 4.0312516E-4 | 4.0312516E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.9558846E-7 | 5.9106696E-7 | 5.9106696E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5525194E-6 | 2.5331417E-6 | 2.5331417E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.107648E-5 | 3.0840565E-5 | 3.0840565E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1072134E-4 | 3.083629E-4 | 3.083629E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.1616502E-7 | 4.1196597E-7 | 4.1196597E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7835631E-6 | 1.7655673E-6 | 1.7655673E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1714664E-5 | 2.1495569E-5 | 2.1495569E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1712543E-4 | 2.1493496E-4 | 2.1493496E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.3816014E-7 | 2.3376762E-7 | 2.3376762E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0206859E-6 | 1.0018608E-6 | 1.0018608E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.242678E-5 | 1.2197587E-5 | 1.2197587E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2426086E-4 | 1.219692E-4 | 1.219692E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 9.918777E-8 | 9.386922E-8 | 9.386922E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2509038E-7 | 4.0229656E-7 | 4.0229656E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1754632E-6 | 4.8979496E-6 | 4.8979496E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1753424E-5 | 4.897842E-5 | 4.897842E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.4982556E-8 | 2.9687648E-8 | 2.9687648E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4992524E-7 | 1.2723277E-7 | 1.2723277E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8253382E-6 | 1.5490579E-6 | 1.5490579E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8253233E-5 | 1.5490472E-5 | 1.5490472E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.6624908E-8 | 1.147785E-8 | 1.147785E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.12496E-8 | 4.9190785E-8 | 4.9190785E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6746354E-7 | 5.9889766E-7 | 5.9889766E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.674601E-6 | 5.9889603E-6 | 5.9889603E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 6.3352315E-9 | 3.0891683E-9 | 3.0891683E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.715099E-8 | 1.3239292E-8 | 1.3239292E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3056327E-7 | 1.6118838E-7 | 1.6118838E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3056278E-6 | 1.6118827E-6 | 1.6118827E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Deep Springs
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.311303E-5 | 2.311303E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.9054945E-5 | 1.0905396E-4 | 1.100944 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012058344 | 0.0012357982 | 1.024849 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010283757 | 0.012042696 | 0.012082214 | 1.0032815 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.311303E-5 | 2.311303E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.9054945E-5 | 1.0905396E-4 | 1.100944 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012058344 | 0.0012357982 | 1.024849 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010283757 | 0.012042696 | 0.012082214 | 1.0032815 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.311303E-5 | 2.311303E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.9054945E-5 | 1.0905396E-4 | 1.100944 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012058344 | 0.0012357982 | 1.024849 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010283757 | 0.012042696 | 0.012082214 | 1.0032815 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.311303E-5 | 2.311303E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.9054945E-5 | 1.0905396E-4 | 1.100944 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012058344 | 0.0012357982 | 1.024849 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010283757 | 0.012042696 | 0.012082214 | 1.0032815 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.311303E-5 | 2.311303E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.9054945E-5 | 1.0905396E-4 | 1.100944 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012058344 | 0.0012357982 | 1.024849 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010283757 | 0.012042696 | 0.012082214 | 1.0032815 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.7190405E-5 | 2.0051E-5 | 2.0051E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.367108E-5 | 8.593286E-5 | 9.5931995E-5 | 1.11636 | 1.0E-5 | 8.9657627E-4 | 0.0010462323 | 0.001076201 | 1.0286443 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008929676 | 0.010462292 | 0.010501873 | 1.0037832 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.7190405E-5 | 2.0051E-5 | 2.0051E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.367108E-5 | 8.593286E-5 | 9.5931995E-5 | 1.11636 | 1.0E-5 | 8.9657627E-4 | 0.0010462323 | 0.001076201 | 1.0286443 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008929676 | 0.010462292 | 0.010501873 | 1.0037832 | 4.0E-5 |
Oak Ridge (Onshore)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9526547E-5 | 3.9526254E-5 | 1.3386682 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2653643E-4 | 1.3653516E-4 | 1.0790186 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015395303 | 0.0015694841 | 1.0194565 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01632816 | 0.015293304 | 0.015332691 | 1.0025755 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9526547E-5 | 3.9526254E-5 | 1.3386682 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2653643E-4 | 1.3653516E-4 | 1.0790186 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015395303 | 0.0015694841 | 1.0194565 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01632816 | 0.015293304 | 0.015332691 | 1.0025755 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9526547E-5 | 3.9526254E-5 | 1.3386682 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2653643E-4 | 1.3653516E-4 | 1.0790186 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015395303 | 0.0015694841 | 1.0194565 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01632816 | 0.015293304 | 0.015332691 | 1.0025755 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9526547E-5 | 3.9526254E-5 | 1.3386682 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2653643E-4 | 1.3653516E-4 | 1.0790186 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015395303 | 0.0015694841 | 1.0194565 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01632816 | 0.015293304 | 0.015332691 | 1.0025755 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9526547E-5 | 3.9526254E-5 | 1.3386682 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2653643E-4 | 1.3653516E-4 | 1.0790186 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015395303 | 0.0015694841 | 1.0194565 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01632816 | 0.015293304 | 0.015332691 | 1.0025755 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9526547E-5 | 3.9526254E-5 | 1.3386682 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2653643E-4 | 1.3653516E-4 | 1.0790186 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015395303 | 0.0015694841 | 1.0194565 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01632816 | 0.015293304 | 0.015332691 | 1.0025755 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9526547E-5 | 3.9526254E-5 | 1.3386682 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2653643E-4 | 1.3653516E-4 | 1.0790186 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015395303 | 0.0015694841 | 1.0194565 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01632816 | 0.015293304 | 0.015332691 | 1.0025755 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.098897E-5 | 2.8864733E-5 | 3.8864444E-5 | 1.3464335 | 1.0E-5 | 1.328031E-4 | 1.2370035E-4 | 1.3369911E-4 | 1.0808306 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016156785 | 0.001505049 | 0.0015350038 | 1.019903 | 3.0E-5 | 0.016039822 | 0.01495315 | 0.014992552 | 1.002635 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.0449872E-5 | 2.8239918E-5 | 3.8239636E-5 | 1.3540987 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3049292E-4 | 1.21022815E-4 | 1.310216E-4 | 1.0826191 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015875935 | 0.0014724941 | 0.0015024499 | 1.0203435 | 3.0E-5 | 0.015762992 | 0.014631892 | 0.014671306 | 1.0026938 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.697928E-5 | 2.4220235E-5 | 3.4219993E-5 | 1.4128679 | 1.0E-5 | 1.15620365E-4 | 1.03797E-4 | 1.1379596E-4 | 1.096332 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014067689 | 0.0012630174 | 0.0012929795 | 1.0237226 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0139789665 | 0.012561257 | 0.012600754 | 1.0031444 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.4893961E-5 | 2.1862457E-5 | 3.186224E-5 | 1.4573951 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0668404E-4 | 9.369298E-5 | 1.03692044E-4 | 1.1067216 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012981043 | 0.0011401328 | 0.00116011 | 1.0175219 | 2.0E-5 | 0.012905477 | 0.011345269 | 0.011374929 | 1.0026143 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.0945363E-5 | 1.7354816E-5 | 1.7354816E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.976275E-5 | 7.437569E-5 | 7.437569E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010923136 | 9.051526E-4 | 9.151436E-4 | 1.0110378 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0108696 | 0.009015744 | 0.009035563 | 1.0021983 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.0439404E-5 | 1.6809745E-5 | 1.6809745E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7594504E-5 | 7.2039795E-5 | 7.2039795E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010659413 | 8.767363E-4 | 8.8672753E-4 | 1.0113959 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010608427 | 0.008733843 | 0.0087536685 | 1.00227 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.8463334E-5 | 1.5382124E-5 | 1.5382124E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.912617E-5 | 6.592175E-5 | 6.592175E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.6293533E-4 | 8.0230605E-4 | 8.1229804E-4 | 1.012454 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009587734 | 0.00799511 | 0.00801495 | 1.0024816 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.763139E-5 | 1.4517136E-5 | 1.4517136E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.556091E-5 | 6.2214836E-5 | 6.2214836E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1956573E-4 | 7.5720635E-4 | 7.671988E-4 | 1.0131965 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009157699 | 0.007547218 | 0.0075670667 | 1.00263 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.3594944E-5 | 1.1163481E-5 | 1.1163481E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8262744E-5 | 4.7842626E-5 | 4.7842626E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0911803E-4 | 5.8233086E-4 | 5.92325E-4 | 1.0171623 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007068595 | 0.0058084945 | 0.0058283783 | 1.0034232 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.9889534E-6 | 5.6367644E-6 | 5.6367644E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9952313E-5 | 2.4157342E-5 | 2.4157342E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.646084E-4 | 2.9407637E-4 | 3.0407342E-4 | 1.0339948 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036401073 | 0.002936916 | 0.0029568572 | 1.0067899 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.0824193E-6 | 3.2832984E-6 | 3.2832984E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7495966E-5 | 1.4071204E-5 | 1.4071204E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1299256E-4 | 1.7130356E-4 | 1.7130356E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021278851 | 0.0017117286 | 0.0017117286 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.7023609E-6 | 1.4370712E-6 | 1.4370712E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.295812E-6 | 6.158862E-6 | 6.158862E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.882289E-5 | 7.4981595E-5 | 7.4981595E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8787393E-4 | 7.495657E-4 | 7.495657E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.721225E-7 | 2.2617078E-7 | 2.2617078E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1662388E-6 | 9.69303E-7 | 9.69303E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4198865E-5 | 1.1801203E-5 | 1.1801203E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4197957E-4 | 1.1800604E-4 | 1.1800604E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 9.364255E-9 | 5.1208513E-9 | 5.1208513E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0132523E-8 | 2.1946507E-8 | 2.1946507E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8861335E-7 | 2.671987E-7 | 2.671987E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8861225E-6 | 2.671984E-6 | 2.671984E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Coronado Bank alt1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.533492E-5 | 9.395439E-5 | 9.395439E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.22824E-4 | 4.026023E-4 | 4.026023E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039233007 | 0.0048912787 | 0.00490123 | 1.0020344 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03854755 | 0.04790551 | 0.047943592 | 1.000795 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.1807285E-5 | 5.049452E-5 | 5.049452E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7916178E-4 | 2.1638718E-4 | 2.1638718E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021791123 | 0.0026314093 | 0.0026314093 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021578677 | 0.026011832 | 0.026021574 | 1.0003744 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.1807285E-5 | 5.049452E-5 | 5.049452E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7916178E-4 | 2.1638718E-4 | 2.1638718E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021791123 | 0.0026314093 | 0.0026314093 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021578677 | 0.026011832 | 0.026021574 | 1.0003744 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.1793104E-5 | 3.7712067E-5 | 3.7712067E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3624904E-4 | 1.616133E-4 | 1.616133E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016575698 | 0.0019658979 | 0.0019658979 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016452603 | 0.019488975 | 0.01949878 | 1.0005031 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.9878007E-5 | 3.5336667E-5 | 3.5336667E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2804232E-4 | 1.5143424E-4 | 1.5143424E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015578003 | 0.0018421846 | 0.0018421846 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015469253 | 0.018272907 | 0.018272907 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 2.4512565E-5 | 2.876477E-5 | 2.876477E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0504962E-4 | 1.2327192E-4 | 1.2327192E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012782287 | 0.0014998292 | 0.0014998292 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012709012 | 0.014900037 | 0.014900037 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 2.1317413E-5 | 2.4907235E-5 | 2.4907235E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.135714E-5 | 1.0674105E-4 | 1.0674105E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011117056 | 0.0012988197 | 0.0012988197 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011061605 | 0.012914698 | 0.012914698 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.8585655E-5 | 2.1635358E-5 | 2.1635358E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9650374E-5 | 9.271978E-5 | 9.271978E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.6931186E-4 | 0.0011282993 | 0.0011282993 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0096509475 | 0.011227869 | 0.011227869 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.5862879E-5 | 1.8419876E-5 | 1.8419876E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.798199E-5 | 7.8940044E-5 | 7.8940044E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.273665E-4 | 9.6069055E-4 | 9.6069055E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008242928 | 0.009567358 | 0.009567358 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.3021509E-5 | 1.509559E-5 | 1.509559E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5805274E-5 | 6.4693886E-5 | 6.4693886E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.792174E-4 | 7.873815E-4 | 7.873815E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006771452 | 0.007847741 | 0.007847741 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.0974371E-5 | 1.2720379E-5 | 1.2720379E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7032172E-5 | 5.451487E-5 | 5.451487E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7246623E-4 | 6.63534E-4 | 6.63534E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057099373 | 0.0066172774 | 0.0066172774 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 8.766221E-6 | 1.01640535E-5 | 1.01640535E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7568978E-5 | 4.3559598E-5 | 4.3559598E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.573063E-4 | 5.302263E-4 | 5.302263E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045636636 | 0.0052913115 | 0.0052913115 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 8.026024E-7 | 8.3318497E-7 | 8.3318497E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.43972E-6 | 3.5707878E-6 | 3.5707878E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1877785E-5 | 4.3473487E-5 | 4.3473487E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1869894E-4 | 4.346509E-4 | 4.346509E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.7293114E-7 | 3.700131E-7 | 3.700131E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5982754E-6 | 1.5857695E-6 | 1.5857695E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9458828E-5 | 1.9306573E-5 | 1.9306573E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9457124E-4 | 1.9304903E-4 | 1.9304903E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.0557036E-7 | 1.9674545E-7 | 1.9674545E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.810155E-7 | 8.4319447E-7 | 8.4319447E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0726311E-5 | 1.0265845E-5 | 1.0265845E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0725793E-4 | 1.02653736E-4 | 1.02653736E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.845446E-8 | 6.279429E-8 | 6.279429E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9337625E-7 | 2.6911837E-7 | 2.6911837E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5718497E-6 | 3.2765113E-6 | 3.2765113E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5717923E-5 | 3.2764638E-5 | 3.2764638E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.0975145E-9 | 5.5319123E-9 | 5.5319123E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6132206E-8 | 2.3708195E-8 | 2.3708195E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1815955E-7 | 2.8864724E-7 | 2.8864724E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.181591E-6 | 2.8864697E-6 | 2.8864697E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Ortigalita (North)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.711876E-5 | 1.0505833E-4 | 1.0505833E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3046713E-4 | 4.50182E-4 | 4.50182E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004016016 | 0.005468294 | 0.00549813 | 1.0054562 | 3.0E-5 | 0.039442103 | 0.053457875 | 0.053495735 | 1.0007082 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.607858E-5 | 6.024242E-5 | 6.024242E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9746469E-4 | 2.5815787E-4 | 2.5815787E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024014818 | 0.003138861 | 0.0031488296 | 1.0031759 | 1.0E-5 | 0.023756953 | 0.03097651 | 0.0309862 | 1.0003128 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.607858E-5 | 6.024242E-5 | 6.024242E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9746469E-4 | 2.5815787E-4 | 2.5815787E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024014818 | 0.003138861 | 0.0031488296 | 1.0031759 | 1.0E-5 | 0.023756953 | 0.03097651 | 0.0309862 | 1.0003128 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.327423E-5 | 4.247773E-5 | 4.247773E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4259605E-4 | 1.8203634E-4 | 1.8203634E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017347244 | 0.0022142874 | 0.0022242651 | 1.0045061 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017212452 | 0.021946533 | 0.021956313 | 1.0004456 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.7732503E-5 | 3.5000263E-5 | 3.5000263E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1884817E-4 | 1.499939E-4 | 1.499939E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001446016 | 0.0018248801 | 0.0018348618 | 1.0054698 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014366428 | 0.018121928 | 0.018131748 | 1.0005418 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.7689714E-5 | 3.4950077E-5 | 3.4950077E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.186648E-4 | 1.4977883E-4 | 1.4977883E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014437864 | 0.001822266 | 0.0018322478 | 1.0054777 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014344421 | 0.018096214 | 0.018106034 | 1.0005426 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.2976905E-5 | 2.8719278E-5 | 2.8719278E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.846873E-5 | 1.2307824E-4 | 1.2307824E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011981975 | 0.0014976859 | 0.0015076709 | 1.006667 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011917574 | 0.014899237 | 0.014909089 | 1.0006611 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.9871539E-5 | 2.4905505E-5 | 2.4905505E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.516096E-5 | 1.0673491E-4 | 1.0673491E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010363415 | 0.001298965 | 0.001308952 | 1.0076884 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010315218 | 0.012937383 | 0.012947254 | 1.0007629 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.5640475E-6 | 7.6056526E-6 | 7.6056526E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.813133E-5 | 3.2595264E-5 | 3.2595264E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.424451E-4 | 3.9677793E-4 | 3.9677793E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034191788 | 0.0039609824 | 0.0039609824 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 5.6219683E-6 | 6.5019726E-6 | 6.5019726E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4093928E-5 | 2.7865315E-5 | 2.7865315E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.933041E-4 | 3.3920998E-4 | 3.3920998E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029291727 | 0.0033871792 | 0.0033871792 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 3.875591E-6 | 4.4848484E-6 | 4.4848484E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6609569E-5 | 1.922065E-5 | 1.922065E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0220275E-4 | 2.339884E-4 | 2.339884E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020201886 | 0.0023376285 | 0.0023376285 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.6017933E-6 | 1.8570811E-6 | 1.8570811E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8648105E-6 | 7.958901E-6 | 7.958901E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.357586E-5 | 9.689637E-5 | 9.689637E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.3544437E-4 | 9.686459E-4 | 9.686459E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Chino alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.939946E-5 | 4.8949914E-5 | 4.8949914E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6884391E-4 | 2.0977142E-4 | 2.2976722E-4 | 1.0953219 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0020537362 | 0.0025514853 | 0.0025814087 | 1.0117278 | 3.0E-5 | 0.020348595 | 0.025280792 | 0.025319781 | 1.0015422 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1505624E-5 | 2.688007E-5 | 2.688007E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2163704E-5 | 1.1519585E-4 | 1.1519585E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011215154 | 0.0014017166 | 0.0014117026 | 1.0071241 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011158722 | 0.013947706 | 0.013957567 | 1.0007069 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1505624E-5 | 2.688007E-5 | 2.688007E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2163704E-5 | 1.1519585E-4 | 1.1519585E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011215154 | 0.0014017166 | 0.0014117026 | 1.0071241 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011158722 | 0.013947706 | 0.013957567 | 1.0007069 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.4290785E-5 | 1.816584E-5 | 1.816584E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1244784E-5 | 7.785153E-5 | 7.785153E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.454001E-4 | 9.4747543E-4 | 9.5746596E-4 | 1.0105444 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007429048 | 0.009446898 | 0.009456803 | 1.0010486 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.4290785E-5 | 1.816584E-5 | 1.816584E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1244784E-5 | 7.785153E-5 | 7.785153E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.454001E-4 | 9.4747543E-4 | 9.5746596E-4 | 1.0105444 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007429048 | 0.009446898 | 0.009456803 | 1.0010486 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3017944E-5 | 1.6652762E-5 | 1.6652762E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5789995E-5 | 7.136728E-5 | 7.136728E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.790315E-4 | 8.685939E-4 | 8.785852E-4 | 1.0115029 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0067696036 | 0.008664371 | 0.008674284 | 1.0011442 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.470016E-6 | 1.2039946E-5 | 1.2039946E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.058515E-5 | 5.159894E-5 | 5.159894E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.940122E-4 | 6.2807E-4 | 6.380637E-4 | 1.0159118 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004929154 | 0.006273371 | 0.0062833084 | 1.001584 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.314155E-6 | 1.0408143E-5 | 1.0408143E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5631605E-5 | 4.4605746E-5 | 4.4605746E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3372845E-4 | 5.429719E-4 | 5.429719E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004328829 | 0.005427294 | 0.005427294 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 3.4856364E-6 | 3.8135686E-6 | 3.8135686E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4938357E-5 | 1.6343774E-5 | 1.6343774E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8185932E-4 | 1.9896936E-4 | 1.9896936E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018171056 | 0.0019897262 | 0.0019897262 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.2645952E-6 | 2.153006E-6 | 2.153006E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.705372E-6 | 9.2271375E-6 | 9.2271375E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.18156495E-4 | 1.1233483E-4 | 1.1233483E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011809369 | 0.0011235814 | 0.0011235814 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.7864003E-6 | 1.5431655E-6 | 1.5431655E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.655979E-6 | 6.61355E-6 | 6.61355E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3207556E-5 | 8.051705E-5 | 8.051705E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.316847E-4 | 8.0526597E-4 | 8.0526597E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.7315456E-6 | 1.4734359E-6 | 1.4734359E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.420889E-6 | 6.31471E-6 | 6.31471E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.034557E-5 | 7.687894E-5 | 7.687894E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0308854E-4 | 7.689018E-4 | 7.689018E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.6008337E-6 | 1.3574833E-6 | 1.3574833E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.860698E-6 | 5.817773E-6 | 5.817773E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.352579E-5 | 7.082913E-5 | 7.082913E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.34944E-4 | 7.084325E-4 | 7.084325E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.3320939E-6 | 1.1218311E-6 | 1.1218311E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7089615E-6 | 4.807839E-6 | 4.807839E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9504385E-5 | 5.8533915E-5 | 5.8533915E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9482654E-4 | 5.8530783E-4 | 5.8530783E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.114294E-6 | 9.2374944E-7 | 9.2374944E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.775537E-6 | 3.9589204E-6 | 3.9589204E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8140613E-5 | 4.8198825E-5 | 4.8198825E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.81254E-4 | 4.8189829E-4 | 4.8189829E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 9.354081E-7 | 7.623722E-7 | 7.623722E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0088858E-6 | 3.2673056E-6 | 3.2673056E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8807087E-5 | 3.9778755E-5 | 3.9778755E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.879637E-4 | 3.9771973E-4 | 3.9771973E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 8.521771E-7 | 6.880951E-7 | 6.880951E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6521824E-6 | 2.9489759E-6 | 2.9489759E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4464414E-5 | 3.590322E-5 | 3.590322E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4455516E-4 | 3.5897738E-4 | 3.5897738E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.1803626E-7 | 1.418694E-7 | 1.418694E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.344408E-7 | 6.0801165E-7 | 6.0801165E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1376757E-5 | 7.4025265E-6 | 7.4025265E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.13761744E-4 | 7.402376E-5 | 7.402376E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Ventura-Pitas Point
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.37358E-5 | 3.37358E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4457543E-4 | 1.4457543E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017590416 | 0.0017590416 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017163932 | 0.01747688 | 0.017506355 | 1.0016866 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.37358E-5 | 3.37358E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4457543E-4 | 1.4457543E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017590416 | 0.0017590416 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017163932 | 0.01747688 | 0.017506355 | 1.0016866 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.37358E-5 | 3.37358E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4457543E-4 | 1.4457543E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017590416 | 0.0017590416 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017163932 | 0.01747688 | 0.017506355 | 1.0016866 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.37358E-5 | 3.37358E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4457543E-4 | 1.4457543E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017590416 | 0.0017590416 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017163932 | 0.01747688 | 0.017506355 | 1.0016866 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.8754668E-5 | 1.7019853E-5 | 1.7019853E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.037467E-5 | 7.294031E-5 | 7.294031E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.781223E-4 | 8.877096E-4 | 8.877096E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009738282 | 0.008844146 | 0.008863969 | 1.0022414 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.8754668E-5 | 1.7019853E-5 | 1.7019853E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.037467E-5 | 7.294031E-5 | 7.294031E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.781223E-4 | 8.877096E-4 | 8.877096E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009738282 | 0.008844146 | 0.008863969 | 1.0022414 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.4361558E-5 | 1.2122441E-5 | 1.2122441E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.154808E-5 | 5.19523E-5 | 5.19523E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.490902E-4 | 6.32338E-4 | 6.32338E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0074657016 | 0.0063058166 | 0.006315754 | 1.0015758 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.4361558E-5 | 1.2122441E-5 | 1.2122441E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.154808E-5 | 5.19523E-5 | 5.19523E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.490902E-4 | 6.32338E-4 | 6.32338E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0074657016 | 0.0063058166 | 0.006315754 | 1.0015758 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.3663846E-5 | 1.1344573E-5 | 1.1344573E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8558027E-5 | 4.8618702E-5 | 4.8618702E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.127108E-4 | 5.917739E-4 | 5.917739E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007104293 | 0.0059023695 | 0.0059023695 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.3644157E-5 | 1.1322673E-5 | 1.1322673E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8473648E-5 | 4.852485E-5 | 4.852485E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.116841E-4 | 5.9063185E-4 | 5.9063185E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007094092 | 0.0058910097 | 0.0058910097 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.3568845E-5 | 1.12422385E-5 | 1.12422385E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8150898E-5 | 4.8180143E-5 | 4.8180143E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.077572E-4 | 5.864373E-4 | 5.864373E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007055073 | 0.0058492855 | 0.0058492855 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.306572E-5 | 1.072068E-5 | 1.072068E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.599474E-5 | 4.5944973E-5 | 4.5944973E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.815227E-4 | 5.5923837E-4 | 5.5923837E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0067943637 | 0.005578688 | 0.005578688 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.232604E-5 | 9.9952695E-6 | 9.9952695E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2824813E-5 | 4.2836175E-5 | 4.2836175E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.429523E-4 | 5.214074E-4 | 5.214074E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0064109527 | 0.0052022054 | 0.0052022054 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.0917261E-5 | 8.843945E-6 | 8.843945E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.678742E-5 | 3.790208E-5 | 3.790208E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.69488E-4 | 4.6136163E-4 | 4.6136163E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0056803077 | 0.0046043773 | 0.0046043773 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.039959E-5 | 8.423664E-6 | 8.423664E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.456891E-5 | 3.6100926E-5 | 3.6100926E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.424914E-4 | 4.3944168E-4 | 4.3944168E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0054116896 | 0.004386062 | 0.004386062 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 9.015877E-6 | 7.297624E-6 | 7.297624E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.86389E-5 | 3.1275165E-5 | 3.1275165E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7032707E-4 | 3.8071E-4 | 3.8071E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004693329 | 0.0038008976 | 0.0038008976 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.900162E-6 | 3.874157E-6 | 3.874157E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1000526E-5 | 1.6603424E-5 | 1.6603424E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.556514E-4 | 2.0212808E-4 | 2.0212808E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025535747 | 0.002019456 | 0.002019456 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 3.8850626E-6 | 3.1267878E-6 | 3.1267878E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6650163E-5 | 1.3400451E-5 | 1.3400451E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0269687E-4 | 1.6313836E-4 | 1.6313836E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002025121 | 0.0016301954 | 0.0016301954 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.4654719E-6 | 2.0299206E-6 | 2.0299206E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0566265E-5 | 8.6996315E-6 | 8.6996315E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2863669E-4 | 1.05912906E-4 | 1.05912906E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012856225 | 0.001058629 | 0.001058629 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 4.095894E-7 | 3.2765396E-7 | 3.2765396E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7553821E-6 | 1.4042306E-6 | 1.4042306E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1371567E-5 | 1.7096376E-5 | 1.7096376E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1369511E-4 | 1.7095092E-4 | 1.7095092E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 7.791402E-9 | 5.6836416E-9 | 5.6836416E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3391725E-8 | 2.4358464E-8 | 2.4358464E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0654416E-7 | 2.9656428E-7 | 2.9656428E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.065434E-6 | 2.9656408E-6 | 2.9656408E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Clemente
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.681379E-5 | 8.164081E-5 | 8.164081E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8631336E-4 | 3.4984472E-4 | 3.4984472E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003480294 | 0.004251534 | 0.004261492 | 1.0023421 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03426291 | 0.041757226 | 0.04179556 | 1.0009179 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.681379E-5 | 8.164081E-5 | 8.164081E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8631336E-4 | 3.4984472E-4 | 3.4984472E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003480294 | 0.004251534 | 0.004261492 | 1.0023421 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03426291 | 0.041757226 | 0.041776393 | 1.000459 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.9400576E-5 | 4.645349E-5 | 4.645349E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6884868E-4 | 1.9907155E-4 | 1.9907155E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020537945 | 0.0024210564 | 0.0024210564 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020349167 | 0.02395347 | 0.02396323 | 1.0004075 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.2590255E-5 | 3.792995E-5 | 3.792995E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3966505E-4 | 1.6254697E-4 | 1.6254697E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016990956 | 0.0019772432 | 0.0019772432 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01686163 | 0.019600306 | 0.01961011 | 1.0005002 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.9454652E-5 | 3.409848E-5 | 3.409848E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2622811E-4 | 1.4612831E-4 | 1.4612831E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015357438 | 0.0017776866 | 0.0017776866 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015251739 | 0.017637838 | 0.017647661 | 1.000557 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.790836E-5 | 3.2248132E-5 | 3.2248132E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1960178E-4 | 1.381991E-4 | 1.381991E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001455179 | 0.001681301 | 0.001681301 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014456868 | 0.016688827 | 0.01669866 | 1.0005893 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.2492153E-5 | 2.57632E-5 | 2.57632E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.639138E-5 | 1.1040912E-4 | 1.1040912E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011729331 | 0.0013434169 | 0.0013434169 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011667615 | 0.013354673 | 0.013354673 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.9862755E-5 | 2.2666847E-5 | 2.2666847E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.512331E-5 | 9.714008E-5 | 9.714008E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010358836 | 0.0011820501 | 0.0011820501 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010310682 | 0.01175892 | 0.01175892 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.6697575E-5 | 1.8978053E-5 | 1.8978053E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.155907E-5 | 8.133203E-5 | 8.133203E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7088346E-4 | 9.89777E-4 | 9.89777E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008674784 | 0.009854714 | 0.009854714 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.5218415E-5 | 1.726971E-5 | 1.726971E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.522015E-5 | 7.401099E-5 | 7.401099E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.93766E-4 | 9.0072013E-4 | 9.0072013E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007909367 | 0.00897164 | 0.00897164 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.2392958E-5 | 1.4033262E-5 | 1.4033262E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3111595E-5 | 6.0141207E-5 | 6.0141207E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4644177E-4 | 7.319808E-4 | 7.319808E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0064456454 | 0.0072964844 | 0.0072964844 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.0934128E-5 | 1.2375354E-5 | 1.2375354E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6859706E-5 | 5.3036194E-5 | 5.3036194E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7036756E-4 | 6.455317E-4 | 6.455317E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0056890585 | 0.006437312 | 0.006437312 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 9.5798805E-6 | 1.0845125E-5 | 1.0845125E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1055984E-5 | 4.647832E-5 | 4.647832E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9974193E-4 | 5.657338E-4 | 5.657338E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0049861963 | 0.00564366 | 0.00564366 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 8.0167365E-6 | 9.084078E-6 | 9.084078E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4356988E-5 | 3.8931223E-5 | 3.8931223E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1821605E-4 | 4.738916E-4 | 4.738916E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041742986 | 0.004729513 | 0.004729513 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.9581017E-6 | 3.36244E-6 | 3.36244E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2677518E-5 | 1.4410407E-5 | 1.4410407E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5433785E-4 | 1.7543763E-4 | 1.7543763E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001542307 | 0.0017534863 | 0.0017534863 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Blue Cut
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.1227985E-5 | 2.2719787E-5 | 2.2719787E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.097391E-5 | 9.736721E-5 | 1.07366235E-4 | 1.102694 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011070445 | 0.0011848592 | 0.0012148236 | 1.0252894 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011015458 | 0.011791261 | 0.011820908 | 1.0025142 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1227985E-5 | 2.2719787E-5 | 2.2719787E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.097391E-5 | 9.736721E-5 | 1.07366235E-4 | 1.102694 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011070445 | 0.0011848592 | 0.0012148236 | 1.0252894 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011015458 | 0.011791261 | 0.011820908 | 1.0025142 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1227985E-5 | 2.2719787E-5 | 2.2719787E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.097391E-5 | 9.736721E-5 | 1.07366235E-4 | 1.102694 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011070445 | 0.0011848592 | 0.0012148236 | 1.0252894 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011015458 | 0.011791261 | 0.011820908 | 1.0025142 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1613981E-5 | 1.23536465E-5 | 1.23536465E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9773254E-5 | 5.2943193E-5 | 6.2942665E-5 | 1.1888717 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0582085E-4 | 6.444052E-4 | 6.5439875E-4 | 1.0155082 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0060417196 | 0.0064266133 | 0.006436549 | 1.001546 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1613981E-5 | 1.23536465E-5 | 1.23536465E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9773254E-5 | 5.2943193E-5 | 6.2942665E-5 | 1.1888717 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0582085E-4 | 6.444052E-4 | 6.5439875E-4 | 1.0155082 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0060417196 | 0.0064266133 | 0.006436549 | 1.001546 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 8.931326E-6 | 9.481677E-6 | 9.481677E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8276554E-5 | 4.063518E-5 | 5.063477E-5 | 1.2460822 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6591737E-4 | 4.9463013E-4 | 5.046252E-4 | 1.0202072 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0046494175 | 0.0049362015 | 0.004946152 | 1.0020158 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.345353E-6 | 7.790341E-6 | 7.790341E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1479703E-5 | 3.3386797E-5 | 4.3386462E-5 | 1.2995096 | 1.0E-5 | 3.83198E-4 | 4.0641645E-4 | 4.164124E-4 | 1.0245953 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0038253788 | 0.0040575233 | 0.004067483 | 1.0024545 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.2775666E-6 | 6.655202E-6 | 6.655202E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.690358E-5 | 2.8522025E-5 | 3.852174E-5 | 1.3505962 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2750185E-4 | 3.4720785E-4 | 3.5720438E-4 | 1.0287912 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032701963 | 0.0034673947 | 0.0034773601 | 1.002874 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.5234095E-6 | 5.8551577E-6 | 5.8551577E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.367154E-5 | 2.5093334E-5 | 3.5093082E-5 | 1.3985022 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8816288E-4 | 3.0547578E-4 | 3.1547272E-4 | 1.0327258 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002877895 | 0.003051275 | 0.0030612443 | 1.0032673 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.7780054E-6 | 5.0654608E-6 | 5.0654608E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0477004E-5 | 2.1708976E-5 | 3.170876E-5 | 1.460629 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4927902E-4 | 2.6428179E-4 | 2.7427915E-4 | 1.0378284 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024899957 | 0.0026403673 | 0.0026503408 | 1.0037774 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.883171E-6 | 4.1185203E-6 | 4.1185203E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6642054E-5 | 1.765072E-5 | 2.7650543E-5 | 1.5665392 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0259817E-4 | 2.1488321E-4 | 2.2488106E-4 | 1.0465269 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020241356 | 0.00214743 | 0.0021574085 | 1.0046468 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.8358215E-6 | 3.0097403E-6 | 3.0097403E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2153464E-5 | 1.289886E-5 | 2.2898732E-5 | 1.7752522 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4795837E-4 | 1.5703888E-4 | 1.6703732E-4 | 1.0636685 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001478599 | 0.0015699244 | 0.0015799087 | 1.0063597 | 1.0E-5 |
Pitas Point (Lower West)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.855864E-6 | 7.855864E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.366756E-5 | 3.366756E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0982617E-4 | 4.2981797E-4 | 1.0487812 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0042443196 | 0.0040907846 | 0.004120662 | 1.0073036 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.855864E-6 | 7.855864E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.366756E-5 | 3.366756E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0982617E-4 | 4.2981797E-4 | 1.0487812 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0042443196 | 0.0040907846 | 0.004120662 | 1.0073036 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.855864E-6 | 7.855864E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.366756E-5 | 3.366756E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0982617E-4 | 4.2981797E-4 | 1.0487812 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0042443196 | 0.0040907846 | 0.004120662 | 1.0073036 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.855864E-6 | 7.855864E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.366756E-5 | 3.366756E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0982617E-4 | 4.2981797E-4 | 1.0487812 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0042443196 | 0.0040907846 | 0.004120662 | 1.0073036 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.855864E-6 | 7.855864E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.366756E-5 | 3.366756E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0982617E-4 | 4.2981797E-4 | 1.0487812 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0042443196 | 0.0040907846 | 0.004120662 | 1.0073036 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.855864E-6 | 7.855864E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.366756E-5 | 3.366756E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0982617E-4 | 4.2981797E-4 | 1.0487812 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0042443196 | 0.0040907846 | 0.004120662 | 1.0073036 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.855864E-6 | 7.855864E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.366756E-5 | 3.366756E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0982617E-4 | 4.2981797E-4 | 1.0487812 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0042443196 | 0.0040907846 | 0.004120662 | 1.0073036 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.855864E-6 | 7.855864E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.366756E-5 | 3.366756E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0982617E-4 | 4.2981797E-4 | 1.0487812 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0042443196 | 0.0040907846 | 0.004120662 | 1.0073036 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.855864E-6 | 7.855864E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.366756E-5 | 3.366756E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0982617E-4 | 4.2981797E-4 | 1.0487812 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0042443196 | 0.0040907846 | 0.004120662 | 1.0073036 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.855864E-6 | 7.855864E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.366756E-5 | 3.366756E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0982617E-4 | 4.2981797E-4 | 1.0487812 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0042443196 | 0.0040907846 | 0.004120662 | 1.0073036 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.103535E-6 | 7.8052935E-6 | 7.8052935E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4728975E-5 | 3.3450833E-5 | 3.3450833E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2274324E-4 | 4.0718852E-4 | 4.2718038E-4 | 1.0490973 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0042193993 | 0.0040645045 | 0.0040943827 | 1.0073509 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.853298E-6 | 7.5409826E-6 | 7.5409826E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3656554E-5 | 3.23181E-5 | 3.23181E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.096915E-4 | 3.9340253E-4 | 4.1339468E-4 | 1.0508186 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00408937 | 0.0039271372 | 0.0039570197 | 1.0076091 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.771102E-6 | 7.4532636E-6 | 7.4532636E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.33043E-5 | 3.194217E-5 | 3.194217E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0540437E-4 | 3.8882723E-4 | 4.0881947E-4 | 1.0514168 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0040466557 | 0.0038815448 | 0.0039114286 | 1.0076989 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.3945344E-6 | 7.0493643E-6 | 7.0493643E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1690477E-5 | 3.0211215E-5 | 3.0211215E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8576324E-4 | 3.677601E-4 | 3.8775275E-4 | 1.0543633 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0038509427 | 0.0036715828 | 0.0037014724 | 1.0081409 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.964645E-6 | 6.5902095E-6 | 6.5902095E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9848137E-5 | 2.8243452E-5 | 2.8243452E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6334046E-4 | 3.4381024E-4 | 3.4381024E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036274698 | 0.0034328368 | 0.0034428025 | 1.002903 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.6525035E-6 | 6.2592453E-6 | 6.2592453E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.851042E-5 | 2.6825064E-5 | 2.6825064E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4705905E-4 | 3.265467E-4 | 3.265467E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034651754 | 0.00326072 | 0.0032706875 | 1.0030568 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 5.613338E-6 | 5.1514635E-6 | 5.1514635E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.405694E-5 | 2.2077516E-5 | 2.2077516E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.928539E-4 | 2.687609E-4 | 2.687609E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029246826 | 0.0026843904 | 0.0026843904 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.494704E-6 | 3.99698E-6 | 3.99698E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9262876E-5 | 1.7129803E-5 | 1.7129803E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3450027E-4 | 2.0853562E-4 | 2.0853562E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023425296 | 0.0020834235 | 0.0020834235 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.6075882E-6 | 2.1836859E-6 | 2.1836859E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.117533E-5 | 9.35862E-6 | 9.35862E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3605114E-4 | 1.1393529E-4 | 1.1393529E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013596788 | 0.0011387735 | 0.0011387735 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 4.045984E-7 | 3.2424379E-7 | 3.2424379E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.733992E-6 | 1.3896155E-6 | 1.3896155E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1111147E-5 | 1.691844E-5 | 1.691844E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1109142E-4 | 1.6917182E-4 | 1.6917182E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 7.791402E-9 | 5.6836416E-9 | 5.6836416E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3391725E-8 | 2.4358464E-8 | 2.4358464E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0654416E-7 | 2.9656428E-7 | 2.9656428E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.065434E-6 | 2.9656408E-6 | 2.9656408E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hosgri (Extension)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1369135E-5 | 1.20832E-5 | 1.20832E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8723956E-5 | 5.1784245E-5 | 5.1784245E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9305265E-4 | 6.3031353E-4 | 6.403072E-4 | 1.0158551 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005914725 | 0.0062875063 | 0.006317318 | 1.0047413 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.934979E-6 | 7.324637E-6 | 7.324637E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9721E-5 | 3.1390948E-5 | 3.1390948E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.617931E-4 | 3.821219E-4 | 3.821219E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036120464 | 0.0038150612 | 0.003834985 | 1.0052223 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.934979E-6 | 7.324637E-6 | 7.324637E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9721E-5 | 3.1390948E-5 | 3.1390948E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.617931E-4 | 3.821219E-4 | 3.821219E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036120464 | 0.0038150612 | 0.003834985 | 1.0052223 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.5484676E-6 | 4.7693884E-6 | 4.7693884E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9493287E-5 | 2.0440079E-5 | 2.0440079E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3730492E-4 | 2.4882995E-4 | 2.4882995E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023705168 | 0.002485556 | 0.0025055064 | 1.0080265 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.218095E-6 | 4.4169165E-6 | 4.4169165E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8077424E-5 | 1.8929508E-5 | 1.8929508E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2007042E-4 | 2.304427E-4 | 2.304427E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002198526 | 0.0023020708 | 0.002322025 | 1.0086678 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.717374E-6 | 3.883928E-6 | 3.883928E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5931506E-5 | 1.6645301E-5 | 1.6645301E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9394881E-4 | 2.0263788E-4 | 2.0263788E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019377962 | 0.0020245498 | 0.0020445094 | 1.0098587 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.4605036E-6 | 3.6083538E-6 | 3.6083538E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4830645E-5 | 1.5464282E-5 | 1.5464282E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8054814E-4 | 1.8826152E-4 | 1.8826152E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018040152 | 0.001881035 | 0.0019009975 | 1.0106125 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.123439E-6 | 3.246613E-6 | 3.246613E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.33860985E-5 | 1.3913982E-5 | 1.3913982E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6296357E-4 | 1.6938966E-4 | 1.6938966E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001628441 | 0.0016926165 | 0.0017125827 | 1.011796 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.8290783E-6 | 2.9305816E-6 | 2.9305816E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2124565E-5 | 1.2559575E-5 | 1.2559575E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4760658E-4 | 1.5290218E-4 | 1.5290218E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014750857 | 0.0015279786 | 0.0015379633 | 1.0065346 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.454112E-6 | 2.5283568E-6 | 2.5283568E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0517581E-5 | 1.0835771E-5 | 1.0835771E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2804402E-4 | 1.3191758E-4 | 1.3191758E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012797028 | 0.0013183989 | 0.0013283857 | 1.0075749 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.1008145E-6 | 2.149904E-6 | 2.149904E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.003459E-6 | 9.2138425E-6 | 9.2138425E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.096116E-4 | 1.1217279E-4 | 1.1217279E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010955755 | 0.0011211655 | 0.0011211655 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.744384E-6 | 1.7686655E-6 | 1.7686655E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.47591E-6 | 7.579973E-6 | 7.579973E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1015405E-5 | 9.228228E-5 | 9.228228E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.097813E-4 | 9.224413E-4 | 9.224413E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.5456587E-6 | 1.5563166E-6 | 1.5563166E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6242346E-6 | 6.6699113E-6 | 6.6699113E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.064707E-5 | 8.120316E-5 | 8.120316E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0617814E-4 | 8.117361E-4 | 8.117361E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.3775123E-6 | 1.3766349E-6 | 1.3766349E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9036106E-6 | 5.8998507E-6 | 5.8998507E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.187409E-5 | 7.1828326E-5 | 7.1828326E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.185085E-4 | 7.180521E-4 | 7.180521E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.214491E-6 | 1.2023712E-6 | 1.2023712E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2049513E-6 | 5.153009E-6 | 5.153009E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.336844E-5 | 6.2736086E-5 | 6.2736086E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.335037E-4 | 6.271846E-4 | 6.271846E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.0101123E-6 | 9.842478E-7 | 9.842478E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3290456E-6 | 4.218198E-6 | 4.218198E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2704854E-5 | 5.1355353E-5 | 5.1355353E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2692357E-4 | 5.1343546E-4 | 5.1343546E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 8.1558215E-7 | 7.766179E-7 | 7.766179E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4953473E-6 | 3.3283584E-6 | 3.3283584E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.255502E-5 | 4.0522013E-5 | 4.0522013E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2546875E-4 | 4.0514668E-4 | 4.0514668E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.757816E-7 | 4.1310682E-7 | 4.1310682E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0390623E-6 | 1.7704566E-6 | 1.7704566E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4825302E-5 | 2.1555097E-5 | 2.1555097E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.482253E-4 | 2.1553019E-4 | 2.1553019E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.782787E-7 | 2.00493E-7 | 2.00493E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1926223E-6 | 8.5925547E-7 | 8.5925547E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.452008E-5 | 1.04613855E-5 | 1.04613855E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4519131E-4 | 1.0460896E-4 | 1.0460896E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.6948086E-7 | 9.2453185E-8 | 9.2453185E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2634634E-7 | 3.9622788E-7 | 3.9622788E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.843231E-6 | 4.8240636E-6 | 4.8240636E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.842879E-5 | 4.8239595E-5 | 4.8239595E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.0225492E-7 | 4.4745146E-8 | 4.4745146E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.382353E-7 | 1.917649E-7 | 1.917649E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.335502E-6 | 2.3347352E-6 | 2.3347352E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.335374E-5 | 2.334711E-5 | 2.334711E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.43711345E-8 | 5.7886886E-9 | 5.7886886E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1590576E-8 | 2.4808667E-8 | 2.4808667E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4986497E-7 | 3.0204546E-7 | 3.0204546E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4986247E-6 | 3.0204512E-6 | 3.0204512E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 07 (Orestimba)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.9687902E-5 | 3.2757947E-5 | 3.2757947E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2722766E-4 | 1.4038406E-4 | 1.4038406E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015478961 | 0.0017079079 | 0.0017278737 | 1.0116903 | 2.0E-5 | 0.015371585 | 0.016955366 | 0.016984858 | 1.0017394 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.9687902E-5 | 3.2757947E-5 | 3.2757947E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2722766E-4 | 1.4038406E-4 | 1.4038406E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015478961 | 0.0017079079 | 0.0017278737 | 1.0116903 | 2.0E-5 | 0.015371585 | 0.016955366 | 0.016984858 | 1.0017394 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.9231524E-5 | 2.1159447E-5 | 2.1159447E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2418206E-5 | 9.0680325E-5 | 9.0680325E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010029797 | 0.0011034969 | 0.0011134859 | 1.0090522 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00998465 | 0.010982586 | 0.010992476 | 1.0009005 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.324766E-5 | 1.4548723E-5 | 1.4548723E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6774446E-5 | 6.235023E-5 | 6.235023E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.910097E-4 | 7.5885886E-4 | 7.6885126E-4 | 1.0131677 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006888649 | 0.0075636217 | 0.0075735464 | 1.0013121 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.818645E-6 | 8.57295E-6 | 8.57295E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3508048E-5 | 3.6740716E-5 | 3.6740716E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.078841E-4 | 4.4722977E-4 | 4.5722528E-4 | 1.0223498 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004071363 | 0.0044636377 | 0.004473593 | 1.0022303 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.3076565E-6 | 5.817875E-6 | 5.817875E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.27469E-5 | 2.4933523E-5 | 2.4933523E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7690834E-4 | 3.0352548E-4 | 3.1352244E-4 | 1.0329362 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0027656353 | 0.0030313185 | 0.0030412881 | 1.0032889 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.6003578E-6 | 3.9485462E-6 | 3.9485462E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5430012E-5 | 1.6922239E-5 | 1.6922239E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8784421E-4 | 2.0601034E-4 | 2.1600828E-4 | 1.0485313 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018768552 | 0.0020583477 | 0.0020683273 | 1.0048482 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.5361826E-6 | 2.783504E-6 | 2.783504E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0869308E-5 | 1.1929255E-5 | 1.1929255E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3232579E-4 | 1.4523033E-4 | 1.4523033E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013224703 | 0.001451484 | 0.001451484 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.2115831E-6 | 1.3313972E-6 | 1.3313972E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1924885E-6 | 5.705981E-6 | 5.705981E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3216714E-5 | 6.9469075E-5 | 6.9469075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3198735E-4 | 6.9456873E-4 | 6.9456873E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Lytle Creek connector)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.6628318E-6 | 6.6628318E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.8554681E-5 | 3.8554397E-5 | 1.3501953 | 1.0E-5 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.4759787E-4 | 3.6759092E-4 | 1.0575178 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.0035508901 | 0.0035807837 | 1.0084186 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.6628318E-6 | 6.6628318E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.8554681E-5 | 3.8554397E-5 | 1.3501953 | 1.0E-5 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.4759787E-4 | 3.6759092E-4 | 1.0575178 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.0035508901 | 0.0035807837 | 1.0084186 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.6628318E-6 | 6.6628318E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.8554681E-5 | 3.8554397E-5 | 1.3501953 | 1.0E-5 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.4759787E-4 | 3.6759092E-4 | 1.0575178 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.0035508901 | 0.0035807837 | 1.0084186 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.6628318E-6 | 6.6628318E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.8554681E-5 | 3.8554397E-5 | 1.3501953 | 1.0E-5 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.4759787E-4 | 3.6759092E-4 | 1.0575178 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.0035508901 | 0.0035807837 | 1.0084186 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.6628318E-6 | 6.6628318E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.8554681E-5 | 3.8554397E-5 | 1.3501953 | 1.0E-5 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.4759787E-4 | 3.6759092E-4 | 1.0575178 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.0035508901 | 0.0035807837 | 1.0084186 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.6561875E-6 | 6.6230496E-6 | 6.6230496E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8526205E-5 | 2.838419E-5 | 3.8383907E-5 | 1.3522989 | 1.0E-5 | 3.472512E-4 | 3.455228E-4 | 3.6551588E-4 | 1.0578634 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0034670907 | 0.0035302055 | 0.0035600998 | 1.008468 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.6561875E-6 | 6.6230496E-6 | 6.6230496E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8526205E-5 | 2.838419E-5 | 3.8383907E-5 | 1.3522989 | 1.0E-5 | 3.472512E-4 | 3.455228E-4 | 3.6551588E-4 | 1.0578634 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0034670907 | 0.0035302055 | 0.0035600998 | 1.008468 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.5802237E-6 | 6.5422255E-6 | 6.5422255E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8200653E-5 | 2.803781E-5 | 3.8037528E-5 | 1.3566513 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4328885E-4 | 3.4130694E-4 | 3.613001E-4 | 1.0585783 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0034275902 | 0.0034881798 | 0.003518075 | 1.0085704 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.575632E-6 | 6.5367153E-6 | 6.5367153E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8180975E-5 | 2.8014192E-5 | 3.8013914E-5 | 1.356952 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4304935E-4 | 3.410195E-4 | 3.6101267E-4 | 1.0586277 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0034252026 | 0.0034853143 | 0.0035152098 | 1.0085776 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.570433E-6 | 6.5281088E-6 | 6.5281088E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8158694E-5 | 2.7977308E-5 | 3.7977028E-5 | 1.3574225 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4277816E-4 | 3.4057058E-4 | 3.6056378E-4 | 1.058705 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0034224992 | 0.0034808393 | 0.0035107348 | 1.0085886 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 6.5643826E-6 | 6.5182294E-6 | 6.5182294E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8132765E-5 | 2.793497E-5 | 3.793469E-5 | 1.3579643 | 1.0E-5 | 3.424626E-4 | 3.4005524E-4 | 3.6004843E-4 | 1.058794 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0034193532 | 0.0034757021 | 0.0035055978 | 1.0086013 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 6.557402E-6 | 6.5069403E-6 | 6.5069403E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8102848E-5 | 2.788659E-5 | 3.788631E-5 | 1.3585852 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4209844E-4 | 3.394664E-4 | 3.5945963E-4 | 1.058896 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0034157229 | 0.0034698334 | 0.0034997293 | 1.008616 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.546394E-6 | 6.488906E-6 | 6.488906E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8055672E-5 | 2.7809301E-5 | 3.7809023E-5 | 1.359582 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4152428E-4 | 3.3852572E-4 | 3.5851894E-4 | 1.0590597 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0034099987 | 0.0034604599 | 0.003490356 | 1.0086393 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.5364216E-6 | 6.469689E-6 | 6.469689E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8012933E-5 | 2.7726945E-5 | 3.772667E-5 | 1.36065 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4100408E-4 | 3.3752335E-4 | 3.575166E-4 | 1.0592352 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003404813 | 0.003450482 | 0.0034803785 | 1.0086645 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.5269523E-6 | 6.450774E-6 | 6.450774E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7972354E-5 | 2.7645881E-5 | 3.7645605E-5 | 1.3617076 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4051016E-4 | 3.365367E-4 | 3.5652996E-4 | 1.0594089 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0033998888 | 0.0034406635 | 0.0034705603 | 1.0086893 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.5111835E-6 | 6.4270453E-6 | 6.4270453E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7904773E-5 | 2.7544189E-5 | 3.7543916E-5 | 1.363043 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3968766E-4 | 3.3529897E-4 | 3.5529226E-4 | 1.0596282 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0033916887 | 0.0034283353 | 0.0034582326 | 1.0087206 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.4768806E-6 | 6.3861507E-6 | 6.3861507E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7757764E-5 | 2.736893E-5 | 3.7368656E-5 | 1.3653678 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3789838E-4 | 3.3316584E-4 | 3.5315918E-4 | 1.0600102 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0033738504 | 0.0034070655 | 0.0034369633 | 1.0087752 | 3.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.1655364E-6 | 6.1786222E-6 | 6.1786222E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.642346E-5 | 2.6479542E-5 | 3.6479276E-5 | 1.37764 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2165812E-4 | 3.2234078E-4 | 3.4233433E-4 | 1.0620261 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0032119295 | 0.0032986694 | 0.0033285704 | 1.0090646 | 3.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.5043524E-6 | 5.739622E-6 | 5.739622E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3589868E-5 | 2.4598148E-5 | 3.4597902E-5 | 1.4065247 | 1.0E-5 | 2.871688E-4 | 2.9944137E-4 | 3.1943538E-4 | 1.066771 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0028679797 | 0.003068756 | 0.003098664 | 1.009746 | 3.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.889249E-6 | 4.0787854E-6 | 4.0787854E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6668104E-5 | 1.7480392E-5 | 2.7480217E-5 | 1.5720595 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0291525E-4 | 2.1280303E-4 | 2.2280091E-4 | 1.0469818 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020273007 | 0.0021955092 | 0.002215465 | 1.0090895 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.668535E-6 | 2.5328056E-6 | 2.5328056E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1436528E-5 | 1.0854836E-5 | 2.0854728E-5 | 1.9212384 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3923083E-4 | 1.3214964E-4 | 1.4214832E-4 | 1.0756618 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013914363 | 0.0013765903 | 0.0013965629 | 1.0145086 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.5911459E-6 | 1.2193005E-6 | 1.2193005E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8191785E-6 | 5.225563E-6 | 5.225563E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.3020335E-5 | 6.3619394E-5 | 6.3619394E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.298933E-4 | 6.697524E-4 | 6.697524E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 6.1294963E-7 | 2.1825215E-7 | 2.1825215E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6269242E-6 | 9.35366E-7 | 9.35366E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1982334E-5 | 1.1388021E-5 | 1.1388021E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1977732E-4 | 1.279216E-4 | 1.279216E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.762871E-7 | 4.757476E-8 | 4.757476E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5551594E-7 | 2.038918E-7 | 2.038918E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1983675E-6 | 2.4823798E-6 | 2.4823798E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.197987E-5 | 2.8703373E-5 | 2.8703373E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 09 (Laguna Seca)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.4353277E-5 | 7.050336E-5 | 7.050336E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3292181E-4 | 3.0212323E-4 | 3.0212323E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028321352 | 0.0036721565 | 0.0036821198 | 1.0027132 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02796312 | 0.036117274 | 0.036146194 | 1.0008006 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.5578287E-5 | 5.8223057E-5 | 5.8223057E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.953209E-4 | 2.4950382E-4 | 2.4950382E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023754383 | 0.0030334755 | 0.003043445 | 1.0032866 | 1.0E-5 | 0.023502063 | 0.029921044 | 0.029950146 | 1.0009726 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.8536782E-5 | 3.4737728E-5 | 3.4737728E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2229476E-4 | 1.4886676E-4 | 1.4886676E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014879217 | 0.0018109222 | 0.0018109222 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014779986 | 0.017958904 | 0.017968724 | 1.0005468 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3698774E-5 | 2.8214345E-5 | 2.8214345E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.01562226E-4 | 1.2091216E-4 | 1.2091216E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012358186 | 0.001471101 | 0.001471101 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012289686 | 0.014611942 | 0.014621796 | 1.0006744 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.9191197E-5 | 2.2123615E-5 | 2.2123615E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2245395E-5 | 9.481171E-5 | 9.481171E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010008777 | 0.0011537268 | 0.0011537268 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009963818 | 0.011477377 | 0.011487262 | 1.0008613 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5203241E-5 | 1.6801783E-5 | 1.6801783E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5155116E-5 | 7.200525E-5 | 7.200525E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9297484E-4 | 8.763255E-4 | 8.763255E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007901512 | 0.008729823 | 0.008739736 | 1.0011355 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0984925E-5 | 1.1242807E-5 | 1.1242807E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.70774E-5 | 4.8182592E-5 | 4.8182592E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.730166E-4 | 5.864689E-4 | 5.864689E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005715413 | 0.0058496036 | 0.0058496036 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 9.134616E-6 | 9.020056E-6 | 9.020056E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9147766E-5 | 3.8656824E-5 | 3.8656824E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7651984E-4 | 4.7054756E-4 | 4.7054756E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004754993 | 0.0046957573 | 0.0046957573 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 7.785589E-6 | 7.4520726E-6 | 7.4520726E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3366385E-5 | 3.1937074E-5 | 3.1937074E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0616E-4 | 3.8876652E-4 | 3.8876652E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040541845 | 0.0038810682 | 0.0038810682 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 5.579095E-6 | 4.898567E-6 | 4.898567E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3910188E-5 | 2.0993697E-5 | 2.0993697E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9106764E-4 | 2.5556967E-4 | 2.5556967E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002906867 | 0.002552895 | 0.002552895 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.6816688E-6 | 1.5216133E-6 | 1.5216133E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1492816E-5 | 6.521184E-6 | 6.521184E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3991605E-4 | 7.939261E-5 | 7.939261E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013982799 | 7.9365115E-4 | 7.9365115E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.9951021E-6 | 7.453698E-7 | 7.453698E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.55041E-6 | 3.1944382E-6 | 3.1944382E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0409627E-4 | 3.8891634E-5 | 3.8891634E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010404752 | 3.8885244E-4 | 3.8885244E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.9951021E-6 | 7.453698E-7 | 7.453698E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.55041E-6 | 3.1944382E-6 | 3.1944382E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0409627E-4 | 3.8891634E-5 | 3.8891634E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010404752 | 3.8885244E-4 | 3.8885244E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.7087556E-6 | 6.5787674E-7 | 6.5787674E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3232177E-6 | 2.8194688E-6 | 2.8194688E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.915652E-5 | 3.4326535E-5 | 3.4326535E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9120766E-4 | 3.4321635E-4 | 3.4321635E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.3804846E-6 | 6.0737995E-7 | 6.0737995E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.916349E-6 | 2.6030546E-6 | 2.6030546E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2029165E-5 | 3.169177E-5 | 3.169177E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.200583E-4 | 3.168765E-4 | 3.168765E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3804846E-6 | 6.0737995E-7 | 6.0737995E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.916349E-6 | 2.6030546E-6 | 2.6030546E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2029165E-5 | 3.169177E-5 | 3.169177E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.200583E-4 | 3.168765E-4 | 3.168765E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hollywood
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.24487615E-5 | 1.2593379E-5 | 1.2593379E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3350745E-5 | 5.3970536E-5 | 6.3969994E-5 | 1.1852763 | 1.0E-5 | 6.4935174E-4 | 6.5689784E-4 | 6.868781E-4 | 1.0456392 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0064745755 | 0.0065500485 | 0.006579852 | 1.0045501 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.24487615E-5 | 1.2593379E-5 | 1.2593379E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3350745E-5 | 5.3970536E-5 | 6.3969994E-5 | 1.1852763 | 1.0E-5 | 6.4935174E-4 | 6.5689784E-4 | 6.868781E-4 | 1.0456392 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0064745755 | 0.0065500485 | 0.006579852 | 1.0045501 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.24487615E-5 | 1.2593379E-5 | 1.2593379E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3350745E-5 | 5.3970536E-5 | 6.3969994E-5 | 1.1852763 | 1.0E-5 | 6.4935174E-4 | 6.5689784E-4 | 6.868781E-4 | 1.0456392 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0064745755 | 0.0065500485 | 0.006579852 | 1.0045501 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.24487615E-5 | 1.2593379E-5 | 1.2593379E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3350745E-5 | 5.3970536E-5 | 6.3969994E-5 | 1.1852763 | 1.0E-5 | 6.4935174E-4 | 6.5689784E-4 | 6.868781E-4 | 1.0456392 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0064745755 | 0.0065500485 | 0.006579852 | 1.0045501 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2431024E-5 | 1.25739925E-5 | 1.25739925E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.327473E-5 | 5.3887452E-5 | 6.388692E-5 | 1.185562 | 1.0E-5 | 6.4842677E-4 | 6.558869E-4 | 6.858672E-4 | 1.0457096 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0064653796 | 0.006539999 | 0.0065698028 | 1.0045571 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.1242222E-5 | 1.1317944E-5 | 1.1317944E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8180063E-5 | 4.850459E-5 | 5.8504105E-5 | 1.206156 | 1.0E-5 | 5.864344E-4 | 5.9038604E-4 | 6.2036834E-4 | 1.0507842 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0058488925 | 0.0058884625 | 0.005918286 | 1.0050647 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.1234066E-5 | 1.1309058E-5 | 1.1309058E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8145106E-5 | 4.8466507E-5 | 5.8466023E-5 | 1.206318 | 1.0E-5 | 5.86009E-4 | 5.8992265E-4 | 6.1990495E-4 | 1.0508242 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005844661 | 0.005883853 | 0.0059136767 | 1.0050687 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.12294E-5 | 1.1303801E-5 | 1.1303801E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.812511E-5 | 4.8443977E-5 | 5.8443493E-5 | 1.206414 | 1.0E-5 | 5.857657E-4 | 5.896485E-4 | 6.196308E-4 | 1.0508478 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0058422405 | 0.0058811265 | 0.00591095 | 1.005071 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0252819E-5 | 1.0218572E-5 | 1.0218572E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3939912E-5 | 4.379316E-5 | 5.379272E-5 | 1.2283362 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3483713E-4 | 5.3305336E-4 | 5.630374E-4 | 1.0562495 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005335517 | 0.005317974 | 0.0053478144 | 1.0056113 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.252289E-6 | 9.1104175E-6 | 9.1104175E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9652066E-5 | 3.9044073E-5 | 4.9043683E-5 | 1.2561108 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8265693E-4 | 4.7525953E-4 | 5.052453E-4 | 1.0630934 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0048161 | 0.004742605 | 0.004772463 | 1.0062957 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.474604E-6 | 8.258358E-6 | 8.258358E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6319227E-5 | 3.539249E-5 | 4.5392135E-5 | 1.2825358 | 1.0E-5 | 4.4209688E-4 | 4.308198E-4 | 4.6080688E-4 | 1.0696046 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004412184 | 0.0042999964 | 0.004329867 | 1.0069468 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 6.643643E-6 | 6.2684435E-6 | 6.2684435E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8472443E-5 | 2.6864484E-5 | 2.6864484E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4659685E-4 | 3.270264E-4 | 3.4701987E-4 | 1.0611371 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0034605677 | 0.0032654977 | 0.0032854325 | 1.0061046 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 5.549002E-6 | 5.1087686E-6 | 5.1087686E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.378122E-5 | 2.189454E-5 | 2.189454E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8949787E-4 | 2.6653355E-4 | 2.8652823E-4 | 1.0750175 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0028912104 | 0.0026621553 | 0.0026821021 | 1.0074927 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.3059727E-6 | 3.959941E-6 | 3.959941E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8454039E-5 | 1.6971066E-5 | 1.6971066E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2465475E-4 | 2.0660323E-4 | 2.2659909E-4 | 1.0967839 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0022442779 | 0.0020641217 | 0.0020840804 | 1.0096693 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.8550733E-6 | 2.7013398E-6 | 2.7013398E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2235971E-5 | 1.157712E-5 | 1.157712E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4896276E-4 | 1.4094236E-4 | 1.6093954E-4 | 1.141882 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014886294 | 0.0014085348 | 0.0014285067 | 1.0141791 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.9927045E-6 | 1.8976706E-6 | 1.8976706E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.540134E-6 | 8.132849E-6 | 8.132849E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0397117E-4 | 9.901297E-5 | 1.1901099E-4 | 1.2019737 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010392254 | 9.896922E-4 | 0.0010096724 | 1.0201883 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.345084E-6 | 1.2216213E-6 | 1.2216213E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.764633E-6 | 5.2355094E-6 | 5.2355094E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.018215E-5 | 6.374048E-5 | 7.3739844E-5 | 1.1568762 | 1.0E-5 | 7.0159987E-4 | 6.37224E-4 | 6.472176E-4 | 1.015683 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 7.6835164E-7 | 6.2778383E-7 | 6.2778383E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2929315E-6 | 2.6904993E-6 | 2.6904993E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.00907E-5 | 3.2756354E-5 | 4.2756026E-5 | 1.3052742 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0083472E-4 | 3.2751673E-4 | 3.3751343E-4 | 1.0305228 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.6562128E-7 | 2.45358E-7 | 2.45358E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5669474E-6 | 1.0515338E-6 | 1.0515338E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9077417E-5 | 1.2802353E-5 | 2.2802225E-5 | 1.7810965 | 1.0E-5 | 1.907578E-4 | 1.2801652E-4 | 1.3801524E-4 | 1.078105 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 7.5024424E-8 | 5.3820486E-8 | 5.3820486E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.215332E-7 | 2.3065921E-7 | 2.3065921E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.91466E-6 | 2.8082736E-6 | 2.8082736E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9145907E-5 | 2.808251E-5 | 2.808251E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Susana East (connector)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.858397E-5 | 3.202259E-5 | 3.202259E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2249697E-4 | 1.3723405E-4 | 1.4723268E-4 | 1.0728582 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014903803 | 0.0016698164 | 0.0016897831 | 1.0119574 | 2.0E-5 | 0.014804244 | 0.01659979 | 0.016629292 | 1.0017773 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.858397E-5 | 3.202259E-5 | 3.202259E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2249697E-4 | 1.3723405E-4 | 1.4723268E-4 | 1.0728582 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014903803 | 0.0016698164 | 0.0016897831 | 1.0119574 | 2.0E-5 | 0.014804244 | 0.01659979 | 0.016629292 | 1.0017773 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.858397E-5 | 3.202259E-5 | 3.202259E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2249697E-4 | 1.3723405E-4 | 1.4723268E-4 | 1.0728582 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014903803 | 0.0016698164 | 0.0016897831 | 1.0119574 | 2.0E-5 | 0.014804244 | 0.01659979 | 0.016629292 | 1.0017773 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.943582E-5 | 2.036782E-5 | 2.036782E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.329371E-5 | 8.728837E-5 | 9.728749E-5 | 1.1145529 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001013629 | 0.0010623297 | 0.0010823085 | 1.0188066 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010090181 | 0.010584113 | 0.010603902 | 1.0018697 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.943582E-5 | 2.036782E-5 | 2.036782E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.329371E-5 | 8.728837E-5 | 9.728749E-5 | 1.1145529 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001013629 | 0.0010623297 | 0.0010823085 | 1.0188066 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010090181 | 0.010584113 | 0.010603902 | 1.0018697 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.943582E-5 | 2.036782E-5 | 2.036782E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.329371E-5 | 8.728837E-5 | 9.728749E-5 | 1.1145529 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001013629 | 0.0010623297 | 0.0010823085 | 1.0188066 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010090181 | 0.010584113 | 0.010603902 | 1.0018697 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.943582E-5 | 2.036782E-5 | 2.036782E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.329371E-5 | 8.728837E-5 | 9.728749E-5 | 1.1145529 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001013629 | 0.0010623297 | 0.0010823085 | 1.0188066 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010090181 | 0.010584113 | 0.010603902 | 1.0018697 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.9404439E-5 | 2.035524E-5 | 2.035524E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.3159226E-5 | 8.723446E-5 | 9.723359E-5 | 1.1146235 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010119933 | 0.0010616741 | 0.0010816528 | 1.0188181 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010073971 | 0.010577619 | 0.010597408 | 1.0018708 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2217526E-5 | 1.159334E-5 | 1.159334E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2359774E-5 | 4.968489E-5 | 4.968489E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.372938E-4 | 6.0476246E-4 | 6.147564E-4 | 1.0165254 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0063546924 | 0.0060333833 | 0.006043323 | 1.0016475 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.2217526E-5 | 1.159334E-5 | 1.159334E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2359774E-5 | 4.968489E-5 | 4.968489E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.372938E-4 | 6.0476246E-4 | 6.147564E-4 | 1.0165254 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0063546924 | 0.0060333833 | 0.006043323 | 1.0016475 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 9.276017E-6 | 8.059356E-6 | 8.059356E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9753755E-5 | 3.4539662E-5 | 3.4539662E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8389446E-4 | 4.204427E-4 | 4.304385E-4 | 1.0237745 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0048284214 | 0.004197368 | 0.0042073256 | 1.0023725 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 9.130355E-6 | 7.942529E-6 | 7.942529E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9129503E-5 | 3.4038985E-5 | 3.4038985E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7629757E-4 | 4.1434926E-4 | 4.243451E-4 | 1.0241243 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00475278 | 0.0041366615 | 0.00414662 | 1.0024074 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 8.851015E-6 | 7.74169E-6 | 7.74169E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7932372E-5 | 3.317827E-5 | 3.317827E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6172875E-4 | 4.0387394E-4 | 4.1386992E-4 | 1.0247502 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0046077054 | 0.0040322915 | 0.004042251 | 1.00247 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 8.573006E-6 | 7.5504113E-6 | 7.5504113E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6740938E-5 | 3.2358523E-5 | 3.2358523E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.472291E-4 | 3.938972E-4 | 4.0389327E-4 | 1.0253774 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004463301 | 0.003932873 | 0.0039428333 | 1.0025327 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.852282E-6 | 6.8179206E-6 | 6.8179206E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.36522E-5 | 2.9219349E-5 | 2.9219349E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.096385E-4 | 3.5569054E-4 | 3.6568698E-4 | 1.0281043 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0040888423 | 0.0035520305 | 0.003561995 | 1.0028052 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.8869324E-6 | 4.27914E-6 | 4.27914E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0943828E-5 | 1.8339051E-5 | 1.8339051E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5496128E-4 | 2.2325672E-4 | 2.3325448E-4 | 1.0447814 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0025466895 | 0.0022306633 | 0.002240641 | 1.004473 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.3894544E-6 | 1.1568442E-6 | 1.1568442E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.954791E-6 | 4.9578953E-6 | 4.9578953E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.249717E-5 | 6.0360926E-5 | 7.036032E-5 | 1.1656601 | 1.0E-5 | 7.247352E-4 | 6.0346717E-4 | 6.1346113E-4 | 1.0165609 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.9924632E-7 | 2.3719647E-7 | 2.3719647E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2824837E-6 | 1.016556E-6 | 1.016556E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5614127E-5 | 1.2376506E-5 | 1.2376506E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5613029E-4 | 1.2375889E-4 | 1.2375889E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.8188564E-8 | 2.6323553E-8 | 2.6323553E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.065224E-7 | 1.1281523E-7 | 1.1281523E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5144072E-6 | 1.3735246E-6 | 1.3735246E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5143789E-5 | 1.3735169E-5 | 1.3735169E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.6127251E-9 | 2.768132E-9 | 2.768132E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1197393E-8 | 1.1863423E-8 | 1.1863423E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3632825E-7 | 1.4443718E-7 | 1.4443718E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3632817E-6 | 1.4443717E-6 | 1.4443717E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Sheephole
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5579695E-6 | 4.7412877E-6 | 4.7412877E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9534009E-5 | 2.0319678E-5 | 2.0319678E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3780059E-4 | 2.4736955E-4 | 2.4736955E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023754628 | 0.0024714863 | 0.0025014123 | 1.0121084 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.5579695E-6 | 4.7412877E-6 | 4.7412877E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9534009E-5 | 2.0319678E-5 | 2.0319678E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3780059E-4 | 2.4736955E-4 | 2.4736955E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023754628 | 0.0024714863 | 0.0025014123 | 1.0121084 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.6677674E-6 | 2.7874107E-6 | 2.7874107E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1433239E-5 | 1.1945997E-5 | 1.1945997E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3919079E-4 | 1.4543389E-4 | 1.4543389E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013910364 | 0.001453493 | 0.001473464 | 1.01374 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.6677674E-6 | 2.7874107E-6 | 2.7874107E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1433239E-5 | 1.1945997E-5 | 1.1945997E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3919079E-4 | 1.4543389E-4 | 1.4543389E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013910364 | 0.001453493 | 0.001473464 | 1.01374 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.2159759E-6 | 2.3228936E-6 | 2.3228936E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.497005E-6 | 9.955224E-6 | 9.955224E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.156199E-4 | 1.2119893E-4 | 1.2119893E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011555976 | 0.0012114076 | 0.0012313834 | 1.0164897 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.1986082E-6 | 2.3047737E-6 | 2.3047737E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4225725E-6 | 9.877569E-6 | 9.877569E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1471378E-4 | 1.2025358E-4 | 1.2025358E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011465458 | 0.0012019643 | 0.0012219403 | 1.0166194 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.5232331E-6 | 1.6019028E-6 | 1.6019028E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5281256E-6 | 6.8652807E-6 | 6.8652807E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.947703E-5 | 8.358178E-5 | 8.358178E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9448614E-4 | 8.3552214E-4 | 8.555054E-4 | 1.0239171 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.3137362E-6 | 1.3828287E-6 | 1.3828287E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6302856E-6 | 5.926396E-6 | 5.926396E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.854657E-5 | 7.2151626E-5 | 7.2151626E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8525434E-4 | 7.212959E-4 | 7.4128143E-4 | 1.0277078 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2275751E-6 | 1.2922936E-6 | 1.2922936E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2610258E-6 | 5.5383903E-6 | 5.5383903E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4051106E-5 | 6.742795E-5 | 6.742795E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4032647E-4 | 6.740883E-4 | 6.9407484E-4 | 1.0296497 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.1837088E-6 | 1.2461107E-6 | 1.2461107E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0730278E-6 | 5.340464E-6 | 5.340464E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.176237E-5 | 6.501835E-5 | 6.501835E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.17452E-4 | 6.500064E-4 | 6.699934E-4 | 1.030749 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 9.849371E-7 | 1.036636E-6 | 1.036636E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2211523E-6 | 4.442719E-6 | 4.442719E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1391315E-5 | 5.408886E-5 | 5.408886E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.137943E-4 | 5.4076704E-4 | 5.6075625E-4 | 1.0369645 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.1643645E-7 | 8.5917287E-7 | 8.5917287E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4990085E-6 | 3.6821648E-6 | 3.6821648E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2599597E-5 | 4.482952E-5 | 4.482952E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.259143E-4 | 4.482134E-4 | 4.6820444E-4 | 1.0446016 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 5.7295756E-7 | 6.029544E-7 | 6.029544E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.45553E-6 | 2.584088E-6 | 2.584088E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9895667E-5 | 3.1460884E-5 | 3.1460884E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9891645E-4 | 3.14571E-4 | 3.14571E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Rinconada 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5752368E-5 | 1.6274787E-5 | 1.6274787E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.75084E-5 | 6.974724E-5 | 7.974655E-5 | 1.1433648 | 1.0E-5 | 8.2160486E-4 | 8.48845E-4 | 8.7881956E-4 | 1.0353122 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008185739 | 0.008456407 | 0.008486154 | 1.0035176 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.0966133E-5 | 1.1323078E-5 | 1.1323078E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6996865E-5 | 4.852658E-5 | 5.8526097E-5 | 1.2060627 | 1.0E-5 | 5.720366E-4 | 5.906517E-4 | 6.2063395E-4 | 1.0507613 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0057056635 | 0.0058909147 | 0.005920738 | 1.0050626 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.0966133E-5 | 1.1323078E-5 | 1.1323078E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6996865E-5 | 4.852658E-5 | 5.8526097E-5 | 1.2060627 | 1.0E-5 | 5.720366E-4 | 5.906517E-4 | 6.2063395E-4 | 1.0507613 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0057056635 | 0.0058909147 | 0.005920738 | 1.0050626 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 8.926149E-6 | 9.212811E-6 | 9.212811E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8254362E-5 | 3.9482882E-5 | 4.9482485E-5 | 1.2532643 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6564735E-4 | 4.805984E-4 | 5.10584E-4 | 1.0623922 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0046467283 | 0.004795635 | 0.0048254915 | 1.0062257 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.676955E-6 | 7.920225E-6 | 7.920225E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.290082E-5 | 3.394338E-5 | 3.394338E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0049385E-4 | 4.1318245E-4 | 4.2317834E-4 | 1.0241923 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0039977287 | 0.004124169 | 0.0041341274 | 1.0024147 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.1671026E-6 | 6.358982E-6 | 6.358982E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6430173E-5 | 2.7252494E-5 | 2.7252494E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2173982E-4 | 3.3174868E-4 | 3.4174536E-4 | 1.0301332 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003212744 | 0.0033125465 | 0.0033225133 | 1.0030088 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.553456E-6 | 5.7248367E-6 | 5.7248367E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3800309E-5 | 2.4534784E-5 | 2.4534784E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.897302E-4 | 2.9867011E-4 | 3.086671E-4 | 1.0334717 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028935277 | 0.0029826956 | 0.0029926659 | 1.0033426 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.787857E-6 | 4.93333E-6 | 4.93333E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0519226E-5 | 2.1142672E-5 | 2.1142672E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4979294E-4 | 2.5738167E-4 | 2.6737907E-4 | 1.0388428 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024951235 | 0.0025708415 | 0.0025808157 | 1.0038798 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.9955166E-6 | 4.1134927E-6 | 4.1134927E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7123532E-5 | 1.7629136E-5 | 1.7629136E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0845905E-4 | 2.1461361E-4 | 2.2461147E-4 | 1.0465853 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002082636 | 0.0021440673 | 0.0021540457 | 1.004654 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.4250072E-6 | 3.5224602E-6 | 3.5224602E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.46785205E-5 | 1.50961705E-5 | 1.50961705E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7869633E-4 | 1.837804E-4 | 1.9377856E-4 | 1.0544027 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001785527 | 0.0018362866 | 0.0018462683 | 1.0054358 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.7712713E-6 | 2.846711E-6 | 2.846711E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1876823E-5 | 1.2200132E-5 | 1.2200132E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4459073E-4 | 1.485265E-4 | 1.5852501E-4 | 1.0673181 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014449668 | 0.0014842738 | 0.001494259 | 1.0067273 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.227358E-6 | 2.285707E-6 | 2.285707E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.545785E-6 | 9.79585E-6 | 9.79585E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.16213734E-4 | 1.1925796E-4 | 1.2925676E-4 | 1.0838418 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011615298 | 0.0011919406 | 0.0012019287 | 1.0083797 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.581796E-6 | 1.620907E-6 | 1.620907E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.779108E-6 | 6.946726E-6 | 6.946726E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.253252E-5 | 8.457311E-5 | 8.457311E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.250187E-4 | 8.454098E-4 | 8.454098E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.0306567E-6 | 1.0546515E-6 | 1.0546515E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4170924E-6 | 4.519927E-6 | 4.519927E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3776774E-5 | 5.5028726E-5 | 5.5028726E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.376376E-4 | 5.501513E-4 | 5.501513E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 6.535541E-7 | 6.6827675E-7 | 6.6827675E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.800943E-6 | 2.8640402E-6 | 2.8640402E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4100947E-5 | 3.4869132E-5 | 3.4869132E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4095717E-4 | 3.4863673E-4 | 3.4863673E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 3.2656962E-7 | 3.3316834E-7 | 3.3316834E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3995833E-6 | 1.4278635E-6 | 1.4278635E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7039794E-5 | 1.73841E-5 | 1.73841E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7038487E-4 | 1.7382744E-4 | 1.7382744E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 9.754343E-8 | 9.821057E-8 | 9.821057E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.180432E-7 | 4.2090235E-7 | 4.2090235E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.089664E-6 | 5.1244742E-6 | 5.1244742E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0895473E-5 | 5.124357E-5 | 5.124357E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.0001453E-9 | 5.84914E-9 | 5.84914E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5714908E-8 | 2.5067743E-8 | 2.5067743E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1307894E-7 | 3.0519973E-7 | 3.0519973E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1307852E-6 | 3.0519934E-6 | 3.0519934E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 7.400003E-11 | 7.4654505E-11 | 7.4654505E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.171432E-10 | 3.1994807E-10 | 3.1994807E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.861218E-9 | 3.8953676E-9 | 3.8953676E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.861218E-8 | 3.8953676E-8 | 3.8953676E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Monica alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1066008E-5 | 1.1480437E-5 | 1.1480437E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.742488E-5 | 4.9201022E-5 | 5.920053E-5 | 1.2032378 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7724497E-4 | 5.9887173E-4 | 6.188598E-4 | 1.0333761 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005757478 | 0.005973966 | 0.0059938463 | 1.0033278 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.1066008E-5 | 1.1480437E-5 | 1.1480437E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.742488E-5 | 4.9201022E-5 | 5.920053E-5 | 1.2032378 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7724497E-4 | 5.9887173E-4 | 6.188598E-4 | 1.0333761 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005757478 | 0.005973966 | 0.0059938463 | 1.0033278 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.1066008E-5 | 1.1480437E-5 | 1.1480437E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.742488E-5 | 4.9201022E-5 | 5.920053E-5 | 1.2032378 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7724497E-4 | 5.9887173E-4 | 6.188598E-4 | 1.0333761 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005757478 | 0.005973966 | 0.0059938463 | 1.0033278 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1066008E-5 | 1.1480437E-5 | 1.1480437E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.742488E-5 | 4.9201022E-5 | 5.920053E-5 | 1.2032378 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7724497E-4 | 5.9887173E-4 | 6.188598E-4 | 1.0333761 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005757478 | 0.005973966 | 0.0059938463 | 1.0033278 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1066008E-5 | 1.1480437E-5 | 1.1480437E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.742488E-5 | 4.9201022E-5 | 5.920053E-5 | 1.2032378 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7724497E-4 | 5.9887173E-4 | 6.188598E-4 | 1.0333761 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005757478 | 0.005973966 | 0.0059938463 | 1.0033278 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 8.183544E-6 | 8.335521E-6 | 8.335521E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5071862E-5 | 3.5723177E-5 | 4.572282E-5 | 1.2799203 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2691626E-4 | 4.348445E-4 | 4.548358E-4 | 1.0459734 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0042609703 | 0.004340102 | 0.004360015 | 1.0045882 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.1543285E-6 | 8.303734E-6 | 8.303734E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4946657E-5 | 3.5586956E-5 | 4.55866E-5 | 1.2809918 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2539247E-4 | 4.3318665E-4 | 4.5317799E-4 | 1.0461495 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0042457907 | 0.0043235878 | 0.0043435013 | 1.0046058 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.110878E-6 | 8.2571305E-6 | 8.2571305E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4760444E-5 | 3.538723E-5 | 4.5386878E-5 | 1.2825778 | 1.0E-5 | 4.231262E-4 | 4.3075596E-4 | 4.5074735E-4 | 1.04641 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0042232145 | 0.004299375 | 0.0043192892 | 1.0046319 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 7.644036E-6 | 7.751143E-6 | 7.751143E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.275974E-5 | 3.321877E-5 | 4.3218435E-5 | 1.3010247 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9877684E-4 | 4.0436487E-4 | 4.2435678E-4 | 1.0494403 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00398062 | 0.0040364373 | 0.0040563564 | 1.0049349 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.3698293E-6 | 7.4557984E-6 | 7.4557984E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.15846E-5 | 3.1953037E-5 | 4.195272E-5 | 1.3129493 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8447464E-4 | 3.8896018E-4 | 4.0895242E-4 | 1.0513991 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0038381014 | 0.0038829376 | 0.00390286 | 1.0051308 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.209872E-6 | 7.2857038E-6 | 7.2857038E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0899086E-5 | 3.1224077E-5 | 4.1223764E-5 | 1.3202556 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7613141E-4 | 3.8008823E-4 | 4.0008064E-4 | 1.0525993 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0037549543 | 0.0037945241 | 0.0038144484 | 1.0052508 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.603456E-6 | 5.523948E-6 | 5.523948E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4014591E-5 | 2.3673849E-5 | 2.3673849E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.923384E-4 | 2.881914E-4 | 2.981885E-4 | 1.0346892 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029195412 | 0.0028782184 | 0.0028881896 | 1.0034643 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.7483613E-6 | 4.5911765E-6 | 4.5911765E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0349962E-5 | 1.9676323E-5 | 1.9676323E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4773262E-4 | 2.3953304E-4 | 2.4953065E-4 | 1.0417379 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024745662 | 0.0023927628 | 0.002402739 | 1.0041692 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.829015E-6 | 3.6342597E-6 | 3.6342597E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6409962E-5 | 1.5575306E-5 | 1.5575306E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9977297E-4 | 1.8961294E-4 | 1.9961104E-4 | 1.052729 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019959346 | 0.0018945204 | 0.0019045015 | 1.0052683 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.610755E-6 | 2.4995952E-6 | 2.4995952E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1188902E-5 | 1.0712507E-5 | 1.0712507E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3621636E-4 | 1.3041701E-4 | 1.4041571E-4 | 1.0766671 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001361329 | 0.0013034092 | 0.0013133961 | 1.0076622 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.792146E-6 | 1.7584366E-6 | 1.7584366E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.680603E-6 | 7.5361354E-6 | 7.5361354E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3507326E-5 | 9.174862E-5 | 1.017477E-4 | 1.1089835 | 1.0E-5 | 9.3467993E-4 | 9.1711053E-4 | 9.2710136E-4 | 1.0108938 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.1473018E-6 | 1.1029273E-6 | 1.1029273E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9169985E-6 | 4.7268227E-6 | 4.7268227E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.986281E-5 | 5.754756E-5 | 6.7546986E-5 | 1.1737593 | 1.0E-5 | 5.984669E-4 | 5.7532825E-4 | 5.853225E-4 | 1.0173714 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.330919E-7 | 4.7453193E-7 | 4.7453193E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2846775E-6 | 2.0337068E-6 | 2.0337068E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7815593E-5 | 2.476011E-5 | 3.475986E-5 | 1.4038655 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7812112E-4 | 2.4757464E-4 | 2.5757216E-4 | 1.0403819 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.1668574E-7 | 8.29686E-8 | 8.29686E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.000816E-7 | 3.5557966E-7 | 3.5557966E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0884768E-6 | 4.329174E-6 | 1.4329131E-5 | 3.3098996 | 1.0E-5 | 6.08831E-5 | 4.3290926E-5 | 5.3290492E-5 | 1.2309853 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 8.007447E-10 | 6.1615857E-10 | 6.1615857E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4317629E-9 | 2.64068E-9 | 2.64068E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1781714E-8 | 3.215028E-8 | 3.215028E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1781706E-7 | 3.2150274E-7 | 3.2150274E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Newport-Inglewood alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.9668912E-5 | 3.040552E-5 | 3.040552E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2714628E-4 | 1.303056E-4 | 1.303056E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015469068 | 0.0015858014 | 0.0015957855 | 1.0062959 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015361829 | 0.015792465 | 0.01581215 | 1.0012465 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.9668912E-5 | 3.040552E-5 | 3.040552E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2714628E-4 | 1.303056E-4 | 1.303056E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015469068 | 0.0015858014 | 0.0015957855 | 1.0062959 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015361829 | 0.015792465 | 0.01581215 | 1.0012465 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.9668912E-5 | 3.040552E-5 | 3.040552E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2714628E-4 | 1.303056E-4 | 1.303056E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015469068 | 0.0015858014 | 0.0015957855 | 1.0062959 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015361829 | 0.015792465 | 0.01581215 | 1.0012465 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.9668912E-5 | 3.040552E-5 | 3.040552E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2714628E-4 | 1.303056E-4 | 1.303056E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015469068 | 0.0015858014 | 0.0015957855 | 1.0062959 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015361829 | 0.015792465 | 0.01581215 | 1.0012465 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.275942E-5 | 1.0272689E-5 | 1.0272689E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4682085E-5 | 4.402509E-5 | 4.402509E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.65551E-4 | 5.358778E-4 | 5.358778E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0066356123 | 0.005346281 | 0.005346281 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.275942E-5 | 1.0272689E-5 | 1.0272689E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4682085E-5 | 4.402509E-5 | 4.402509E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.65551E-4 | 5.358778E-4 | 5.358778E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0066356123 | 0.005346281 | 0.005346281 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.1255358E-5 | 8.66204E-6 | 8.66204E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8236358E-5 | 3.712251E-5 | 3.712251E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.871194E-4 | 4.518745E-4 | 4.518745E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005855706 | 0.004509734 | 0.004509734 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.0504745E-5 | 7.899962E-6 | 7.899962E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5019555E-5 | 3.3856548E-5 | 3.3856548E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4797524E-4 | 4.1212674E-4 | 4.1212674E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0054662596 | 0.0041137543 | 0.0041137543 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.0476007E-5 | 7.881343E-6 | 7.881343E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4896402E-5 | 3.3776756E-5 | 3.3776756E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.464766E-4 | 4.1115563E-4 | 4.1115563E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005451347 | 0.004104079 | 0.004104079 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 9.076797E-6 | 6.4897567E-6 | 6.4897567E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.889998E-5 | 2.7812948E-5 | 2.7812948E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7350433E-4 | 3.3857036E-4 | 3.3857036E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004724967 | 0.003380583 | 0.003380583 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 8.73795E-6 | 6.21215E-6 | 6.21215E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7447822E-5 | 2.662323E-5 | 2.662323E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5583185E-4 | 3.240899E-4 | 3.240899E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045489795 | 0.0032362042 | 0.0032362042 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 8.391299E-6 | 5.955852E-6 | 5.955852E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5962214E-5 | 2.5524832E-5 | 2.5524832E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.37752E-4 | 3.107208E-4 | 3.107208E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004368907 | 0.003102893 | 0.003102893 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 7.796882E-6 | 5.4965785E-6 | 5.4965785E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.341478E-5 | 2.3556555E-5 | 2.3556555E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.06749E-4 | 2.8676353E-4 | 2.8676353E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040600533 | 0.0028639587 | 0.0028639587 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 6.4738833E-6 | 4.647811E-6 | 4.647811E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.774492E-5 | 1.9919036E-5 | 1.9919036E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3774204E-4 | 2.4248744E-4 | 2.4248744E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033722918 | 0.0024222452 | 0.0024222452 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.382145E-6 | 3.885752E-6 | 3.885752E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3066134E-5 | 1.6653117E-5 | 1.6653117E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8079396E-4 | 2.0273299E-4 | 2.0273299E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028043943 | 0.0020254948 | 0.0020254948 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 3.648244E-6 | 2.573781E-6 | 2.573781E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5635238E-5 | 1.10304445E-5 | 1.10304445E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9034238E-4 | 1.3428749E-4 | 1.3428749E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019017943 | 0.0013420738 | 0.0013420738 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.2906888E-6 | 1.5479967E-6 | 1.5479967E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.817201E-6 | 6.634255E-6 | 6.634255E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1951787E-4 | 8.076913E-5 | 8.076913E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011945361 | 8.0740446E-4 | 8.0740446E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.0479874E-7 | 3.397505E-7 | 3.397505E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5919921E-6 | 1.4560729E-6 | 1.4560729E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1557047E-5 | 1.7727558E-5 | 1.7727558E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1552566E-4 | 1.772628E-4 | 1.772628E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.16056995E-8 | 9.782997E-9 | 9.782997E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9738713E-8 | 4.1927127E-8 | 4.1927127E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0556863E-7 | 5.1046277E-7 | 5.1046277E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.05567E-6 | 5.1046277E-6 | 5.1046277E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Newport-Inglewood (Offshore)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9626508E-5 | 1.8965571E-5 | 1.8965571E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.411089E-5 | 8.127856E-5 | 8.127856E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001023569 | 9.891298E-4 | 9.891298E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010188672 | 0.009848615 | 0.009868418 | 1.0020107 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.331886E-5 | 1.2218245E-5 | 1.2218245E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.707958E-5 | 5.2362862E-5 | 5.2362862E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.947222E-4 | 6.373329E-4 | 6.373329E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006925544 | 0.0063552284 | 0.006375101 | 1.003127 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.2250852E-5 | 1.1076171E-5 | 1.1076171E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2502597E-5 | 4.746845E-5 | 4.746845E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3903164E-4 | 5.777761E-4 | 5.777761E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006371971 | 0.0057628606 | 0.0057827453 | 1.0034505 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.2106258E-5 | 1.0919031E-5 | 1.0919031E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1882926E-5 | 4.6795016E-5 | 4.6795016E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3149154E-4 | 5.6958135E-4 | 5.6958135E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0062970007 | 0.0056813317 | 0.0057012183 | 1.0035003 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1348758E-5 | 1.0109495E-5 | 1.0109495E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8636626E-5 | 4.332569E-5 | 4.332569E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.919901E-4 | 5.2736345E-4 | 5.2736345E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005904155 | 0.0052612154 | 0.0052811103 | 1.0037814 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.100837E-5 | 9.743519E-6 | 9.743519E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7177873E-5 | 4.175727E-5 | 4.175727E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7423924E-4 | 5.08277E-4 | 5.08277E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005727576 | 0.005071236 | 0.0050911345 | 1.0039238 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0634696E-5 | 9.345668E-6 | 9.345668E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.557647E-5 | 4.0052255E-5 | 4.0052255E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5475225E-4 | 4.8752784E-4 | 4.8752784E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0055336943 | 0.00486467 | 0.0048845722 | 1.0040913 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.9780855E-6 | 8.668028E-6 | 8.668028E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.276252E-5 | 3.714817E-5 | 3.714817E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.205093E-4 | 4.521858E-4 | 4.521858E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051929182 | 0.004512736 | 0.004532646 | 1.0044119 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 9.59546E-6 | 8.273059E-6 | 8.273059E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1122752E-5 | 3.545549E-5 | 3.545549E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0055445E-4 | 4.3158577E-4 | 4.3158577E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004994285 | 0.004307552 | 0.0043274653 | 1.004623 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.000614E-6 | 7.7069435E-6 | 7.7069435E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.857349E-5 | 3.3029344E-5 | 3.3029344E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6953102E-4 | 4.0205874E-4 | 4.0205874E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004685402 | 0.0040133847 | 0.0040233447 | 1.0024817 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.4070194E-6 | 6.148973E-6 | 6.148973E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1743984E-5 | 2.6352478E-5 | 2.6352478E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8641447E-4 | 3.2079432E-4 | 3.2079432E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038574322 | 0.0032033324 | 0.0032133004 | 1.0031117 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 6.299615E-6 | 5.056658E-6 | 5.056658E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.699807E-5 | 2.1671214E-5 | 2.1671214E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2865192E-4 | 2.6381522E-4 | 2.6381522E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003281663 | 0.002635035 | 0.002635035 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 5.096653E-6 | 3.89282E-6 | 3.89282E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1842614E-5 | 1.6683409E-5 | 1.6683409E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6590136E-4 | 2.0310168E-4 | 2.0310168E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026558342 | 0.0020291717 | 0.0020291717 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.9753018E-6 | 2.909908E-6 | 2.909908E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7036897E-5 | 1.2470975E-5 | 1.2470975E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0740448E-4 | 1.5182362E-4 | 1.5182362E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00207211 | 0.0015172071 | 0.0015172071 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.0568392E-6 | 2.1449978E-6 | 2.1449978E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3100675E-5 | 9.192815E-6 | 9.192815E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5948903E-4 | 1.11916845E-4 | 1.11916845E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015937461 | 0.0011186111 | 0.0011186111 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.7279019E-6 | 1.1469773E-6 | 1.1469773E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.405273E-6 | 4.915608E-6 | 4.915608E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.015547E-5 | 5.9845923E-5 | 5.9845923E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.01189E-4 | 5.9830194E-4 | 5.9830194E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.1156416E-6 | 7.2230335E-7 | 7.2230335E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7813123E-6 | 3.0955823E-6 | 3.0955823E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.821092E-5 | 3.7688085E-5 | 3.7688085E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8195676E-4 | 3.7681928E-4 | 3.7681928E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 9.117973E-8 | 6.734264E-8 | 6.734264E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.907702E-7 | 2.886113E-7 | 2.886113E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.757617E-6 | 3.513837E-6 | 3.513837E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7575148E-5 | 3.5137844E-5 | 3.5137844E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
La Panza 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.6754544E-6 | 4.717608E-6 | 4.717608E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0037509E-5 | 2.0218175E-5 | 2.0218175E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4392935E-4 | 2.4613045E-4 | 2.4613045E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024366176 | 0.0024587729 | 0.0024787236 | 1.0081141 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.6754544E-6 | 4.717608E-6 | 4.717608E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0037509E-5 | 2.0218175E-5 | 2.0218175E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4392935E-4 | 2.4613045E-4 | 2.4613045E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024366176 | 0.0024587729 | 0.0024787236 | 1.0081141 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.6754544E-6 | 4.717608E-6 | 4.717608E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0037509E-5 | 2.0218175E-5 | 2.0218175E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4392935E-4 | 2.4613045E-4 | 2.4613045E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024366176 | 0.0024587729 | 0.0024787236 | 1.0081141 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.6754544E-6 | 4.717608E-6 | 4.717608E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0037509E-5 | 2.0218175E-5 | 2.0218175E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4392935E-4 | 2.4613045E-4 | 2.4613045E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024366176 | 0.0024587729 | 0.0024787236 | 1.0081141 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.6754544E-6 | 4.717608E-6 | 4.717608E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0037509E-5 | 2.0218175E-5 | 2.0218175E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4392935E-4 | 2.4613045E-4 | 2.4613045E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024366176 | 0.0024587729 | 0.0024787236 | 1.0081141 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.485343E-6 | 2.5006163E-6 | 2.5006163E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0651426E-5 | 1.0716885E-5 | 1.0716885E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.296734E-4 | 1.3047065E-4 | 1.3047065E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012959775 | 0.001303979 | 0.0013239529 | 1.0153177 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.485343E-6 | 2.5006163E-6 | 2.5006163E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0651426E-5 | 1.0716885E-5 | 1.0716885E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.296734E-4 | 1.3047065E-4 | 1.3047065E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012959775 | 0.001303979 | 0.0013239529 | 1.0153177 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.5108508E-6 | 1.5146534E-6 | 1.5146534E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4750584E-6 | 6.491356E-6 | 6.491356E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8830984E-5 | 7.90295E-5 | 7.90295E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.880303E-4 | 7.900248E-4 | 8.000169E-4 | 1.0126479 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.3865837E-6 | 1.3885259E-6 | 1.3885259E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.942488E-6 | 5.950812E-6 | 5.950812E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.234739E-5 | 7.244883E-5 | 7.244883E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.232384E-4 | 7.242619E-4 | 7.3425466E-4 | 1.0137972 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.826583E-7 | 9.796437E-7 | 9.796437E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2113857E-6 | 4.1984663E-6 | 4.1984663E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1272415E-5 | 5.1115185E-5 | 5.1115185E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.126059E-4 | 5.1103963E-4 | 5.210345E-4 | 1.019558 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 6.7797646E-7 | 6.71036E-7 | 6.71036E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9056102E-6 | 2.8758654E-6 | 2.8758654E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.537523E-5 | 3.501313E-5 | 3.501313E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5369597E-4 | 3.5007924E-4 | 3.5007924E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 3.4979826E-7 | 3.3875276E-7 | 3.3875276E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4991346E-6 | 1.4517968E-6 | 1.4517968E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.825181E-5 | 1.7675495E-5 | 1.7675495E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.825031E-4 | 1.7674205E-4 | 1.7674205E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.5088332E-7 | 2.3833275E-7 | 2.3833275E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0752137E-6 | 1.0214256E-6 | 1.0214256E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3090649E-5 | 1.2435796E-5 | 1.2435796E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3089878E-4 | 1.2435185E-4 | 1.2435185E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.0159086E-7 | 8.64596E-8 | 8.64596E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3538932E-7 | 3.705411E-7 | 3.705411E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.300852E-6 | 4.511329E-6 | 4.511329E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3007258E-5 | 4.5112414E-5 | 4.5112414E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.5006252E-8 | 1.9407974E-8 | 1.9407974E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5002678E-7 | 8.317703E-8 | 8.317703E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8265745E-6 | 1.0126798E-6 | 1.0126798E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8265595E-5 | 1.0126755E-5 | 1.0126755E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.592274E-8 | 1.0241491E-8 | 1.0241491E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1109746E-7 | 4.3892104E-8 | 4.3892104E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3526106E-6 | 5.3438623E-7 | 5.3438623E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3526024E-5 | 5.3438503E-6 | 5.3438503E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.9016717E-8 | 5.246079E-9 | 5.246079E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.150022E-8 | 2.2483196E-8 | 2.2483196E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.922647E-7 | 2.7373287E-7 | 2.7373287E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.922603E-6 | 2.7373255E-6 | 2.7373255E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.17738495E-8 | 1.24002E-9 | 1.24002E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0459356E-8 | 5.3143716E-9 | 5.3143716E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1434247E-7 | 6.470247E-8 | 6.470247E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.143408E-6 | 6.4702454E-7 | 6.4702454E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 5.489079E-9 | 2.0114244E-10 | 2.0114244E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3524624E-8 | 8.6204055E-10 | 8.6204055E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8641225E-7 | 1.0495341E-8 | 1.0495341E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8641189E-6 | 1.049534E-7 | 1.049534E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5081048E-9 | 6.6833206E-11 | 6.6833206E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0749021E-8 | 2.864291E-10 | 2.864291E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3086932E-7 | 3.4872727E-9 | 3.4872727E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3086925E-6 | 3.487273E-8 | 3.487273E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Johnson Valley (No) 2011 rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.577707E-5 | 1.2901344E-5 | 2.2901215E-5 | 1.7751031 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1046848E-4 | 5.5290526E-5 | 6.5289976E-5 | 1.1808528 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013441239 | 6.7299395E-4 | 6.829872E-4 | 1.014849 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013360229 | 0.0067134677 | 0.006733333 | 1.0029591 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.577707E-5 | 1.2901344E-5 | 2.2901215E-5 | 1.7751031 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1046848E-4 | 5.5290526E-5 | 6.5289976E-5 | 1.1808528 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013441239 | 6.7299395E-4 | 6.829872E-4 | 1.014849 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013360229 | 0.0067134677 | 0.006733333 | 1.0029591 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.577707E-5 | 1.2901344E-5 | 2.2901215E-5 | 1.7751031 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1046848E-4 | 5.5290526E-5 | 6.5289976E-5 | 1.1808528 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013441239 | 6.7299395E-4 | 6.829872E-4 | 1.014849 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013360229 | 0.0067134677 | 0.006733333 | 1.0029591 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.577707E-5 | 1.2901344E-5 | 2.2901215E-5 | 1.7751031 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1046848E-4 | 5.5290526E-5 | 6.5289976E-5 | 1.1808528 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013441239 | 6.7299395E-4 | 6.829872E-4 | 1.014849 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013360229 | 0.0067134677 | 0.006733333 | 1.0029591 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.5296591E-5 | 7.5370353E-6 | 1.753696E-5 | 2.3267715 | 1.0E-5 | 6.555518E-5 | 3.2301286E-5 | 4.2300962E-5 | 1.3095752 | 1.0E-5 | 7.97842E-4 | 3.9321595E-4 | 4.03212E-4 | 1.0254213 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007949836 | 0.003927043 | 0.0039469646 | 1.0050728 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5296591E-5 | 7.5370353E-6 | 1.753696E-5 | 2.3267715 | 1.0E-5 | 6.555518E-5 | 3.2301286E-5 | 4.2300962E-5 | 1.3095752 | 1.0E-5 | 7.97842E-4 | 3.9321595E-4 | 4.03212E-4 | 1.0254213 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007949836 | 0.003927043 | 0.0039469646 | 1.0050728 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.3289383E-5 | 5.9919753E-6 | 5.9919753E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6953253E-5 | 2.5679738E-5 | 2.5679738E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9318525E-4 | 3.1262293E-4 | 3.1262293E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0069102696 | 0.003123496 | 0.0031334646 | 1.0031916 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.3289383E-5 | 5.9919753E-6 | 5.9919753E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6953253E-5 | 2.5679738E-5 | 2.5679738E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9318525E-4 | 3.1262293E-4 | 3.1262293E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0069102696 | 0.003123496 | 0.0031334646 | 1.0031916 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.330789E-6 | 2.9214602E-6 | 2.9214602E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.570289E-5 | 1.2520515E-5 | 1.2520515E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.34596E-4 | 1.5243233E-4 | 1.5243233E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0043374705 | 0.0015238377 | 0.0015238377 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 7.2359003E-6 | 2.3014725E-6 | 2.3014725E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1010633E-5 | 9.863446E-6 | 9.863446E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7748902E-4 | 1.2008617E-4 | 1.2008617E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037684843 | 0.0012007357 | 0.0012007357 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 6.5149957E-6 | 2.088642E-6 | 2.088642E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.792111E-5 | 8.951322E-6 | 8.951322E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.398865E-4 | 1.089822E-4 | 1.089822E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003393671 | 0.0010898075 | 0.0010898075 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.1662233E-6 | 2.8795448E-8 | 2.8795448E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9980904E-6 | 1.2340907E-7 | 1.2340907E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0850052E-5 | 1.5025045E-6 | 1.5025045E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.083339E-4 | 1.5024959E-5 | 1.5024959E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 5.413881E-7 | 2.8795448E-8 | 2.8795448E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3202326E-6 | 1.2340907E-7 | 1.2340907E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8248465E-5 | 1.5025045E-6 | 1.5025045E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8244875E-4 | 1.5024959E-5 | 1.5024959E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.076821E-7 | 2.8795448E-8 | 2.8795448E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1757785E-6 | 1.2340905E-7 | 1.2340905E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.648978E-5 | 1.5025045E-6 | 1.5025045E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6486625E-4 | 1.5024959E-5 | 1.5024959E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.7568687E-7 | 2.8777395E-8 | 2.8777395E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0386565E-6 | 1.2333169E-7 | 1.2333169E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.482036E-5 | 1.5015625E-6 | 1.5015625E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4817587E-4 | 1.5015539E-5 | 1.5015539E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 3.435626E-7 | 2.5352403E-8 | 2.5352403E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4724103E-6 | 1.0865315E-7 | 1.0865315E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7926448E-5 | 1.3228514E-6 | 1.3228514E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7925001E-4 | 1.3228451E-5 | 1.3228451E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Holser alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.2746653E-6 | 5.7900243E-6 | 2.5789908E-5 | 4.454197 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6891146E-5 | 2.4814219E-5 | 4.481372E-5 | 1.8059695 | 2.0E-5 | 3.273505E-4 | 3.0208277E-4 | 3.2207672E-4 | 1.066187 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0032686873 | 0.0030178542 | 0.003037794 | 1.0066072 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.2746653E-6 | 5.7900243E-6 | 2.5789908E-5 | 4.454197 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6891146E-5 | 2.4814219E-5 | 4.481372E-5 | 1.8059695 | 2.0E-5 | 3.273505E-4 | 3.0208277E-4 | 3.2207672E-4 | 1.066187 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0032686873 | 0.0030178542 | 0.003037794 | 1.0066072 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.2746653E-6 | 5.7900243E-6 | 2.5789908E-5 | 4.454197 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6891146E-5 | 2.4814219E-5 | 4.481372E-5 | 1.8059695 | 2.0E-5 | 3.273505E-4 | 3.0208277E-4 | 3.2207672E-4 | 1.066187 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0032686873 | 0.0030178542 | 0.003037794 | 1.0066072 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.2746653E-6 | 5.7900243E-6 | 2.5789908E-5 | 4.454197 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6891146E-5 | 2.4814219E-5 | 4.481372E-5 | 1.8059695 | 2.0E-5 | 3.273505E-4 | 3.0208277E-4 | 3.2207672E-4 | 1.066187 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0032686873 | 0.0030178542 | 0.003037794 | 1.0066072 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.2746653E-6 | 5.7900243E-6 | 2.5789908E-5 | 4.454197 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6891146E-5 | 2.4814219E-5 | 4.481372E-5 | 1.8059695 | 2.0E-5 | 3.273505E-4 | 3.0208277E-4 | 3.2207672E-4 | 1.066187 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0032686873 | 0.0030178542 | 0.003037794 | 1.0066072 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.2746653E-6 | 5.7900243E-6 | 2.5789908E-5 | 4.454197 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6891146E-5 | 2.4814219E-5 | 4.481372E-5 | 1.8059695 | 2.0E-5 | 3.273505E-4 | 3.0208277E-4 | 3.2207672E-4 | 1.066187 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0032686873 | 0.0030178542 | 0.003037794 | 1.0066072 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.375825E-6 | 2.7712324E-6 | 2.2771177E-5 | 8.216986 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4467741E-5 | 1.18766575E-5 | 3.1876418E-5 | 2.6839554 | 2.0E-5 | 1.761305E-4 | 1.4458888E-4 | 1.6458599E-4 | 1.1383033 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017599097 | 0.001444965 | 0.0014649361 | 1.0138211 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.375825E-6 | 2.7712324E-6 | 2.2771177E-5 | 8.216986 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4467741E-5 | 1.18766575E-5 | 3.1876418E-5 | 2.6839554 | 2.0E-5 | 1.761305E-4 | 1.4458888E-4 | 1.6458599E-4 | 1.1383033 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017599097 | 0.001444965 | 0.0014649361 | 1.0138211 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.366533E-6 | 2.761632E-6 | 2.2761576E-5 | 8.242075 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4427919E-5 | 1.1835513E-5 | 3.1835276E-5 | 2.6898096 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7564575E-4 | 1.44088E-4 | 1.6408513E-4 | 1.138784 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017550698 | 0.0014399628 | 0.0014599339 | 1.0138693 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.253174E-6 | 2.6438533E-6 | 2.26438E-5 | 8.564696 | 2.0E-5 | 1.39421E-5 | 1.13307515E-5 | 3.1330525E-5 | 2.7650878 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6973184E-4 | 1.3794332E-4 | 1.5794057E-4 | 1.1449671 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0016960226 | 0.0013785929 | 0.0013985654 | 1.0144875 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.9336593E-6 | 2.3118396E-6 | 2.2311793E-5 | 9.6511 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2572766E-5 | 9.907846E-6 | 2.9907647E-5 | 3.0185823 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5306266E-4 | 1.2062137E-4 | 1.4061895E-4 | 1.165788 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015295728 | 0.0012055614 | 0.0012255374 | 1.0165697 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.9087812E-6 | 2.2876916E-6 | 1.2287669E-5 | 5.3712087 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2466146E-5 | 9.804356E-6 | 1.9804258E-5 | 2.019945 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5176475E-4 | 1.1936151E-4 | 1.2936031E-4 | 1.0837691 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015166114 | 0.0011929765 | 0.0012029646 | 1.0083724 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.8674524E-6 | 2.2475824E-6 | 1.224756E-5 | 5.449215 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2289024E-5 | 9.632461E-6 | 1.9632365E-5 | 2.0381463 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4960859E-4 | 1.1726892E-4 | 1.2726775E-4 | 1.0852641 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014950791 | 0.0011720727 | 0.001182061 | 1.0085219 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.8057775E-6 | 2.1954718E-6 | 1.219545E-5 | 5.5548196 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2024705E-5 | 9.409131E-6 | 1.9409037E-5 | 2.0627873 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4639096E-4 | 1.1455017E-4 | 1.2454903E-4 | 1.087288 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014629456 | 0.0011449135 | 0.001154902 | 1.0087243 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.683666E-6 | 2.1092687E-6 | 1.2109247E-5 | 5.7409697 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1501375E-5 | 9.039692E-6 | 1.90396E-5 | 2.1062224 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4002025E-4 | 1.1005271E-4 | 1.20051605E-4 | 1.0908556 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013993206 | 0.0010999843 | 0.0011099733 | 1.009081 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.434495E-6 | 1.9195734E-6 | 1.1919554E-5 | 6.209481 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0433508E-5 | 8.226717E-6 | 1.8226634E-5 | 2.2155416 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2702055E-4 | 1.00155696E-4 | 1.10154695E-4 | 1.0998346 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012694797 | 0.0010011076 | 0.0010110976 | 1.0099789 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.9914562E-6 | 1.573175E-6 | 1.1573159E-5 | 7.3565617 | 1.0E-5 | 8.534785E-6 | 6.7421615E-6 | 1.6742093E-5 | 2.4831939 | 1.0E-5 | 1.03906044E-4 | 8.208273E-5 | 9.2081915E-5 | 1.1218183 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010385747 | 8.2052575E-4 | 8.3051756E-4 | 1.0121773 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.5229501E-6 | 1.1896288E-6 | 1.1189617E-5 | 9.405973 | 1.0E-5 | 6.526913E-6 | 5.0983995E-6 | 1.5098348E-5 | 2.96139 | 1.0E-5 | 7.946226E-5 | 6.207125E-5 | 7.207064E-5 | 1.1610951 | 1.0E-5 | 7.943385E-4 | 6.2054046E-4 | 6.3053425E-4 | 1.0161049 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 6.3489426E-7 | 4.687924E-7 | 4.687924E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7209726E-6 | 2.0091086E-6 | 2.0091086E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.312734E-5 | 2.4460625E-5 | 2.4460625E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.31224E-4 | 2.445795E-4 | 2.445795E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.5459432E-7 | 1.01939754E-7 | 1.01939754E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6254694E-7 | 4.3688456E-7 | 4.3688456E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.066479E-6 | 5.319057E-6 | 5.319057E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.066186E-5 | 5.3189313E-5 | 5.3189313E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.8307812E-8 | 9.6906785E-9 | 9.6906785E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.846205E-8 | 4.153148E-8 | 4.153148E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.55275E-7 | 5.0564563E-7 | 5.0564563E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.552709E-6 | 5.0564454E-6 | 5.0564454E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Cruz Catalina Ridge alt1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.2833184E-5 | 3.655896E-5 | 3.655896E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4070606E-4 | 1.5667279E-4 | 1.5667279E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00171175 | 0.0019059886 | 0.0019059886 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016986247 | 0.01891332 | 0.01893294 | 1.0010375 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.9835548E-5 | 2.1659771E-5 | 2.1659771E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.500672E-5 | 9.2824404E-5 | 9.2824404E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010344655 | 0.0011295713 | 0.0011295713 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010296632 | 0.011240433 | 0.011250321 | 1.0008796 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.9835548E-5 | 2.1659771E-5 | 2.1659771E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.500672E-5 | 9.2824404E-5 | 9.2824404E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010344655 | 0.0011295713 | 0.0011295713 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010296632 | 0.011240433 | 0.011250321 | 1.0008796 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.5728183E-5 | 1.7034137E-5 | 1.7034137E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7404755E-5 | 7.3001436E-5 | 7.3001436E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2034385E-4 | 8.884362E-4 | 8.884362E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008173222 | 0.008849524 | 0.008859436 | 1.00112 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.5728183E-5 | 1.7034137E-5 | 1.7034137E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7404755E-5 | 7.3001436E-5 | 7.3001436E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2034385E-4 | 8.884362E-4 | 8.884362E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008173222 | 0.008849524 | 0.008859436 | 1.00112 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3707734E-5 | 1.4794678E-5 | 1.4794678E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8746107E-5 | 6.3404244E-5 | 6.3404244E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1499916E-4 | 7.716768E-4 | 7.716768E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0071270303 | 0.0076903705 | 0.007700294 | 1.0012903 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.2539813E-5 | 1.3510358E-5 | 1.3510358E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3740947E-5 | 5.7900266E-5 | 5.7900266E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.540996E-4 | 7.0471043E-4 | 7.0471043E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0065217763 | 0.0070250607 | 0.0070349905 | 1.0014135 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.1504083E-5 | 1.23775E-5 | 1.23775E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.930228E-5 | 5.304536E-5 | 5.304536E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0008996E-4 | 6.456379E-4 | 6.456379E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005984721 | 0.0064378507 | 0.0064477865 | 1.0015433 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.012739E-5 | 1.0877178E-5 | 1.0877178E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.340238E-5 | 4.6615653E-5 | 4.6615653E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.282958E-4 | 5.673993E-4 | 5.673993E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052704164 | 0.005659675 | 0.0056696185 | 1.0017569 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.9607865E-6 | 9.60921E-6 | 9.60921E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8402806E-5 | 4.1181684E-5 | 4.1181684E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6745385E-4 | 5.0127273E-4 | 5.0127273E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0046647177 | 0.00500154 | 0.0050114896 | 1.0019894 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.046829E-6 | 8.619827E-6 | 8.619827E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4485955E-5 | 3.6941598E-5 | 3.6941598E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1978562E-4 | 4.4967196E-4 | 4.4967196E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004189935 | 0.004487711 | 0.0044976664 | 1.0022184 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.136131E-6 | 7.637727E-6 | 7.637727E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0583058E-5 | 3.273271E-5 | 3.273271E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7228514E-4 | 3.9844858E-4 | 3.9844858E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037166206 | 0.0039774184 | 0.0039873784 | 1.0025042 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.362014E-6 | 6.8050217E-6 | 6.8050217E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.726549E-5 | 2.9164055E-5 | 2.9164055E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3190678E-4 | 3.5501516E-4 | 3.5501516E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033141149 | 0.0035445488 | 0.0035445488 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.004101E-6 | 5.3517642E-6 | 5.3517642E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1445969E-5 | 2.2935934E-5 | 2.2935934E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6107338E-4 | 2.7920975E-4 | 2.7920975E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002607669 | 0.0027886443 | 0.0027886443 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.4901443E-6 | 3.732087E-6 | 3.732087E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4957676E-5 | 1.5994563E-5 | 1.5994563E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8209449E-4 | 1.9471678E-4 | 1.9471678E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018194534 | 0.0019455003 | 0.0019455003 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.1215045E-6 | 1.1893966E-6 | 1.1893966E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.806439E-6 | 5.0974045E-6 | 5.0974045E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.851682E-5 | 6.205916E-5 | 6.205916E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.850142E-4 | 6.204214E-4 | 6.204214E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.8599047E-7 | 2.9952182E-7 | 2.9952182E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2256729E-6 | 1.2836642E-6 | 1.2836642E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4922465E-5 | 1.5628502E-5 | 1.5628502E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4921463E-4 | 1.5627417E-4 | 1.5627417E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.0781519E-7 | 2.1744457E-7 | 2.1744457E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.906362E-7 | 9.3190494E-7 | 9.3190494E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.08434415E-5 | 1.1345885E-5 | 1.1345885E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0842913E-4 | 1.1345315E-4 | 1.1345315E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.614776E-8 | 3.7641225E-8 | 3.7641225E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5491896E-7 | 1.6131952E-7 | 1.6131952E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8861368E-6 | 1.9640636E-6 | 1.9640636E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8861208E-5 | 1.9640474E-5 | 1.9640474E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Los Osos 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.8871775E-6 | 4.9815035E-6 | 4.9815035E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0944879E-5 | 2.134914E-5 | 2.134914E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5497406E-4 | 2.5989758E-4 | 2.6989498E-4 | 1.0384667 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002546817 | 0.0025962107 | 0.0026061847 | 1.0038418 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.8871775E-6 | 4.9815035E-6 | 4.9815035E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0944879E-5 | 2.134914E-5 | 2.134914E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5497406E-4 | 2.5989758E-4 | 2.6989498E-4 | 1.0384667 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002546817 | 0.0025962107 | 0.0026061847 | 1.0038418 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.8871775E-6 | 4.9815035E-6 | 4.9815035E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0944879E-5 | 2.134914E-5< |