Parent Section Magnitude-Probability Distributions
Only fault sections with at least one triggered aftershock are plotted. Sections are sorted by total supraseismogenic trigger rate (decreasing)
Table Of Contents
Garlock (Central)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.5131142E-5 | 7.0271424E-5 | 0.0024201062 | 34.439407 | 0.00235 | 2.3625491E-4 | 3.0112884E-4 | 0.008248735 | 27.39271 | 0.00795 | 0.0028726095 | 0.0036601445 | 0.032713413 | 8.937738 | 0.02916 | 0.028357591 | 0.03610883 | 0.08990359 | 2.4897954 | 0.05581 |
6.1 | 5.5131142E-5 | 7.0271424E-5 | 0.0024201062 | 34.439407 | 0.00235 | 2.3625491E-4 | 3.0112884E-4 | 0.008248735 | 27.39271 | 0.00795 | 0.0028726095 | 0.0036601445 | 0.032713413 | 8.937738 | 0.02916 | 0.028357591 | 0.03610883 | 0.08990359 | 2.4897954 | 0.05581 |
6.2 | 4.216245E-5 | 5.1684234E-5 | 0.0012516222 | 24.216713 | 0.0012 | 1.806837E-4 | 2.2148523E-4 | 0.004980431 | 22.486515 | 0.00476 | 0.0021976046 | 0.0026932796 | 0.020654773 | 7.669005 | 0.01801 | 0.021759989 | 0.026699346 | 0.06073567 | 2.2748 | 0.03497 |
6.3 | 4.216245E-5 | 5.1684234E-5 | 0.0012516222 | 24.216713 | 0.0012 | 1.806837E-4 | 2.2148523E-4 | 0.004980431 | 22.486515 | 0.00476 | 0.0021976046 | 0.0026932796 | 0.020654773 | 7.669005 | 0.01801 | 0.021759989 | 0.026699346 | 0.06073567 | 2.2748 | 0.03497 |
6.4 | 3.6858168E-5 | 4.4131644E-5 | 9.940898E-4 | 22.525553 | 9.5E-4 | 1.5795401E-4 | 1.8912205E-4 | 0.0040183975 | 21.247643 | 0.00383 | 0.0019213937 | 0.0023001547 | 0.016487446 | 7.167973 | 0.01422 | 0.019048655 | 0.022866493 | 0.04970835 | 2.173851 | 0.02747 |
6.5 | 3.39199E-5 | 4.0038954E-5 | 8.800053E-4 | 21.978727 | 8.4E-4 | 1.453629E-4 | 1.7158437E-4 | 0.0036109942 | 21.045008 | 0.00344 | 0.0017683565 | 0.00208706 | 0.014860345 | 7.1202297 | 0.0128 | 0.017543508 | 0.020775849 | 0.044835385 | 2.1580532 | 0.02457 |
6.6 | 3.3571985E-5 | 3.9493098E-5 | 8.6946035E-4 | 22.0155 | 8.3E-4 | 1.4387199E-4 | 1.6924528E-4 | 0.0035986647 | 21.263014 | 0.00343 | 0.0017502342 | 0.0020586357 | 0.014822306 | 7.2000628 | 0.01279 | 0.017365133 | 0.02049695 | 0.044533953 | 2.1727114 | 0.02454 |
6.7 | 3.2580007E-5 | 3.8109458E-5 | 8.3807897E-4 | 21.991365 | 8.0E-4 | 1.3962112E-4 | 1.6331614E-4 | 0.003512769 | 21.509014 | 0.00335 | 0.0016985617 | 0.001986582 | 0.014272127 | 7.1842623 | 0.01231 | 0.016856372 | 0.019786576 | 0.0428706 | 2.166651 | 0.02355 |
6.8 | 3.2185937E-5 | 3.7536578E-5 | 8.2750694E-4 | 22.04535 | 7.9E-4 | 1.3793244E-4 | 1.6086125E-4 | 0.0034603304 | 21.511274 | 0.0033 | 0.0016780337 | 0.0019567478 | 0.01399315 | 7.1512275 | 0.01206 | 0.016654192 | 0.019493341 | 0.042113632 | 2.1604111 | 0.02307 |
6.9 | 3.165394E-5 | 3.6741036E-5 | 7.967131E-4 | 21.684559 | 7.6E-4 | 1.3565269E-4 | 1.5745219E-4 | 0.0033869436 | 21.510933 | 0.00323 | 0.0016503202 | 0.0019153163 | 0.013692715 | 7.149062 | 0.0118 | 0.01638118 | 0.019086242 | 0.04127451 | 2.1625268 | 0.02262 |
7.0 | 3.0903822E-5 | 3.5646088E-5 | 7.756197E-4 | 21.758902 | 7.4E-4 | 1.3243823E-4 | 1.5276013E-4 | 0.0032522865 | 21.290154 | 0.0031 | 0.0016112428 | 0.0018582892 | 0.013217142 | 7.112532 | 0.01138 | 0.015996104 | 0.01852385 | 0.04008688 | 2.1640685 | 0.02197 |
7.1 | 3.0069863E-5 | 3.4412176E-5 | 7.143888E-4 | 20.759768 | 6.8E-4 | 1.2886449E-4 | 1.4747253E-4 | 0.0030870389 | 20.932976 | 0.00294 | 0.0015677959 | 0.0017940205 | 0.012574645 | 7.009198 | 0.0108 | 0.01556781 | 0.017891437 | 0.038437147 | 2.1483545 | 0.02092 |
7.2 | 2.7957109E-5 | 3.1300966E-5 | 5.9128343E-4 | 18.89026 | 5.6E-4 | 1.1981068E-4 | 1.3414022E-4 | 0.0025838115 | 19.26202 | 0.00245 | 0.0014577188 | 0.0016319532 | 0.010717102 | 6.56704 | 0.0091 | 0.014481937 | 0.016294453 | 0.033391256 | 2.0492406 | 0.01738 |
7.3 | 2.4519275E-5 | 2.6732969E-5 | 4.2672228E-4 | 15.962398 | 4.0E-4 | 1.0507837E-4 | 1.14564915E-4 | 0.001894361 | 16.535263 | 0.00178 | 0.0012785783 | 0.0013939501 | 0.007914848 | 5.6779995 | 0.00653 | 0.012712469 | 0.013937883 | 0.026086168 | 1.8716019 | 0.01232 |
7.4 | 2.3225532E-5 | 2.5217167E-5 | 3.8520808E-4 | 15.275629 | 3.6E-4 | 9.95342E-5 | 1.0806918E-4 | 0.0017278941 | 15.988778 | 0.00162 | 0.0012111551 | 0.0013149625 | 0.0071972176 | 5.4733253 | 0.00589 | 0.012045753 | 0.013155304 | 0.024188228 | 1.8386673 | 0.01118 |
7.5 | 2.097765E-5 | 2.2500466E-5 | 3.4249327E-4 | 15.221607 | 3.2E-4 | 8.9901114E-5 | 9.642707E-5 | 0.0014162998 | 14.687781 | 0.00132 | 0.0010939965 | 0.0011733791 | 0.005807935 | 4.949751 | 0.00464 | 0.010886264 | 0.011749807 | 0.020051109 | 1.7065054 | 0.0084 |
7.6 | 1.511254E-5 | 1.6006861E-5 | 1.5600462E-4 | 9.746109 | 1.4E-4 | 6.476642E-5 | 6.8599074E-5 | 7.785504E-4 | 11.349283 | 7.1E-4 | 7.882459E-4 | 8.3488156E-4 | 0.0033627693 | 4.02784 | 0.00253 | 0.007854558 | 0.008392387 | 0.013013279 | 1.550605 | 0.00466 |
7.7 | 9.934069E-6 | 1.0693293E-5 | 4.0692972E-5 | 3.805467 | 3.0E-5 | 4.2573887E-5 | 4.5827597E-5 | 2.858166E-4 | 6.236779 | 2.4E-4 | 5.182138E-4 | 5.5780855E-4 | 0.0012674124 | 2.272128 | 7.1E-4 | 0.00517007 | 0.005635492 | 0.007037546 | 1.24879 | 0.00141 |
7.8 | 6.7562896E-6 | 8.440426E-6 | 1.8440342E-5 | 2.1847641 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8955206E-5 | 3.6172754E-5 | 1.6616806E-4 | 4.593735 | 1.3E-4 | 3.5247262E-4 | 4.4031447E-4 | 8.5013395E-4 | 1.9307427 | 4.1E-4 | 0.0035191406 | 0.004453119 | 0.0052893786 | 1.1877918 | 8.4E-4 |
7.9 | 3.975453E-6 | 5.378374E-6 | 5.378374E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7037546E-5 | 2.3049972E-5 | 9.304836E-5 | 4.03681 | 7.0E-5 | 2.0741238E-4 | 2.8059736E-4 | 5.805132E-4 | 2.0688477 | 3.0E-4 | 0.002072189 | 0.0028377224 | 0.0033662184 | 1.1862395 | 5.3E-4 |
8.0 | 1.6729537E-6 | 2.080019E-6 | 2.080019E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.169782E-6 | 8.914337E-6 | 4.8913982E-5 | 5.4871135 | 4.0E-5 | 8.7288594E-5 | 1.08526685E-4 | 2.585104E-4 | 2.3819985 | 1.5E-4 | 8.7254314E-4 | 0.0010985459 | 0.0013282932 | 1.2091377 | 2.3E-4 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 3.1523513E-7 | 3.1523513E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5742813E-6 | 1.3510071E-6 | 1.1350993E-5 | 8.4018755 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.6448403E-5 | 3.6448073E-5 | 2.2159035 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.6662726E-4 | 1.9662226E-4 | 1.1800126 | 3.0E-5 |
Tank Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.8284557E-5 | 5.797054E-5 | 0.0010879108 | 18.766615 | 0.00103 | 2.0691741E-4 | 2.4842535E-4 | 0.0044773747 | 18.023018 | 0.00423 | 0.0025163088 | 0.003021048 | 0.022422258 | 7.4220133 | 0.01946 | 0.02488006 | 0.02986708 | 0.06853658 | 2.2947197 | 0.03986 |
6.1 | 1.7796336E-5 | 2.0875163E-5 | 3.6086806E-4 | 17.286959 | 3.4E-4 | 7.626778E-5 | 8.946213E-5 | 0.0015393324 | 17.206524 | 0.00145 | 9.281647E-4 | 0.0010886953 | 0.007871303 | 7.2300334 | 0.00679 | 0.009242975 | 0.010837966 | 0.02521049 | 2.3261275 | 0.01453 |
6.2 | 1.7796336E-5 | 2.0875163E-5 | 3.6086806E-4 | 17.286959 | 3.4E-4 | 7.626778E-5 | 8.946213E-5 | 0.0015393324 | 17.206524 | 0.00145 | 9.281647E-4 | 0.0010886953 | 0.007871303 | 7.2300334 | 0.00679 | 0.009242975 | 0.010837966 | 0.02521049 | 2.3261275 | 0.01453 |
6.3 | 1.3515912E-5 | 1.5760907E-5 | 3.0575634E-4 | 19.399666 | 2.9E-4 | 5.792405E-5 | 6.754513E-5 | 0.0011574716 | 17.136269 | 0.00109 | 7.049971E-4 | 8.220753E-4 | 0.005728039 | 6.9677787 | 0.00491 | 0.007027647 | 0.00819321 | 0.018726198 | 2.2855752 | 0.01062 |
6.4 | 1.0870146E-5 | 1.2619056E-5 | 2.3261628E-4 | 18.433731 | 2.2E-4 | 4.658551E-5 | 5.4080647E-5 | 8.24039E-4 | 15.237225 | 7.7E-4 | 5.67031E-4 | 6.582507E-4 | 0.004235894 | 6.435077 | 0.00358 | 0.005655863 | 0.0065652747 | 0.0143339345 | 2.1832955 | 0.00782 |
6.5 | 7.964826E-6 | 9.196807E-6 | 1.291957E-4 | 14.047888 | 1.2E-4 | 3.4134522E-5 | 3.941435E-5 | 5.29395E-4 | 13.431531 | 4.9E-4 | 4.1550855E-4 | 4.7977458E-4 | 0.0027186999 | 5.6666193 | 0.00224 | 0.0041473247 | 0.004788939 | 0.00969533 | 2.0245256 | 0.00493 |
6.6 | 6.6317E-6 | 7.6128526E-6 | 1.1761201E-4 | 15.449139 | 1.1E-4 | 2.8421264E-5 | 3.2626154E-5 | 4.4261277E-4 | 13.5661955 | 4.1E-4 | 3.4597394E-4 | 3.971601E-4 | 0.0020964849 | 5.27869 | 0.0017 | 0.0034543579 | 0.003965905 | 0.007840478 | 1.9769707 | 0.00389 |
6.7 | 4.793663E-6 | 5.431129E-6 | 8.543069E-5 | 15.729822 | 8.0E-5 | 2.0544108E-5 | 2.3276085E-5 | 2.6327049E-4 | 11.310773 | 2.4E-4 | 2.500958E-4 | 2.8335385E-4 | 0.001253079 | 4.4223113 | 9.7E-4 | 0.0024981452 | 0.0028308667 | 0.0049049784 | 1.7326773 | 0.00208 |
6.8 | 4.382823E-6 | 4.96956E-6 | 7.496921E-5 | 15.085684 | 7.0E-5 | 1.8783392E-5 | 2.1297965E-5 | 2.2129371E-4 | 10.390368 | 2.0E-4 | 2.286638E-4 | 2.5927613E-4 | 0.0011590428 | 4.4703026 | 9.0E-4 | 0.0022842865 | 0.0025906577 | 0.0045156577 | 1.7430546 | 0.00193 |
6.9 | 2.729601E-6 | 3.073687E-6 | 2.3073626E-5 | 7.506824 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1698237E-5 | 1.3172884E-5 | 4.3172487E-5 | 3.2773757 | 3.0E-5 | 1.4241673E-4 | 1.6036928E-4 | 5.903003E-4 | 3.6808815 | 4.3E-4 | 0.001423255 | 0.0016027665 | 0.0025412599 | 1.5855459 | 9.4E-4 |
7.0 | 1.8987357E-6 | 2.1270264E-6 | 2.1270264E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.137413E-6 | 9.1158E-6 | 9.1158E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.90685E-5 | 1.10979905E-4 | 3.009588E-4 | 2.7118316 | 1.9E-4 | 9.902435E-4 | 0.0011093135 | 0.001488892 | 1.3421742 | 3.8E-4 |
7.1 | 1.4928986E-6 | 1.66419E-6 | 1.66419E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.398121E-6 | 7.1322265E-6 | 7.1322265E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.789434E-5 | 8.683199E-5 | 1.9682244E-4 | 2.2667043 | 1.1E-4 | 7.786704E-4 | 8.680385E-4 | 0.0010978389 | 1.2647352 | 2.3E-4 |
7.2 | 1.069082E-6 | 1.1829021E-6 | 1.1829021E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.581772E-6 | 5.069574E-6 | 5.069574E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5781646E-5 | 6.172085E-5 | 1.4171591E-4 | 2.2960784 | 8.0E-5 | 5.576765E-4 | 6.1708933E-4 | 7.4700906E-4 | 1.2105365 | 1.3E-4 |
7.3 | 8.776551E-7 | 9.770343E-7 | 9.770343E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7613736E-6 | 4.1872863E-6 | 4.1872863E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.579376E-5 | 5.097954E-5 | 8.097801E-5 | 1.5884414 | 3.0E-5 | 4.5784327E-4 | 5.0972943E-4 | 5.8968866E-4 | 1.156866 | 8.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.55721E-7 | 8.5105546E-7 | 8.5105546E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2388E-6 | 3.6473784E-6 | 3.6473784E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9431678E-5 | 4.4406446E-5 | 4.4406446E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.942468E-4 | 4.4402658E-4 | 4.9400434E-4 | 1.1125559 | 5.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.587665E-7 | 6.3058303E-7 | 6.3058303E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3947114E-6 | 2.7024987E-6 | 2.7024987E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.915522E-5 | 3.290292E-5 | 3.290292E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9151395E-4 | 3.2902922E-4 | 3.6901605E-4 | 1.1215297 | 4.0E-5 |
Little Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.8424427E-5 | 3.1207474E-5 | 0.0012811684 | 41.05326 | 0.00125 | 1.2181328E-4 | 1.337402E-4 | 0.003843244 | 28.736639 | 0.00371 | 0.0014820677 | 0.001627204 | 0.015135188 | 9.301346 | 0.01353 | 0.014722223 | 0.016166301 | 0.040821176 | 2.525078 | 0.02506 |
6.1 | 2.8424427E-5 | 3.1207474E-5 | 0.0012811684 | 41.05326 | 0.00125 | 1.2181328E-4 | 1.337402E-4 | 0.003843244 | 28.736639 | 0.00371 | 0.0014820677 | 0.001627204 | 0.015135188 | 9.301346 | 0.01353 | 0.014722223 | 0.016166301 | 0.040821176 | 2.525078 | 0.02506 |
6.2 | 2.8424427E-5 | 3.1207474E-5 | 0.0012811684 | 41.05326 | 0.00125 | 1.2181328E-4 | 1.337402E-4 | 0.003843244 | 28.736639 | 0.00371 | 0.0014820677 | 0.001627204 | 0.015135188 | 9.301346 | 0.01353 | 0.014722223 | 0.016166301 | 0.040821176 | 2.525078 | 0.02506 |
6.3 | 1.48860645E-5 | 1.60822E-5 | 8.0606947E-4 | 50.12184 | 7.9E-4 | 6.379586E-5 | 6.8922054E-5 | 0.0023487648 | 34.078568 | 0.00228 | 7.7643775E-4 | 8.388312E-4 | 0.009631449 | 11.481988 | 0.0088 | 0.007737305 | 0.008359468 | 0.024562875 | 2.93833 | 0.01634 |
6.4 | 1.48860645E-5 | 1.60822E-5 | 8.0606947E-4 | 50.12184 | 7.9E-4 | 6.379586E-5 | 6.8922054E-5 | 0.0023487648 | 34.078568 | 0.00228 | 7.7643775E-4 | 8.388312E-4 | 0.009631449 | 11.481988 | 0.0088 | 0.007737305 | 0.008359468 | 0.024562875 | 2.93833 | 0.01634 |
6.5 | 1.2797581E-5 | 1.3766243E-5 | 7.137566E-4 | 51.848324 | 7.0E-4 | 5.4845623E-5 | 5.8996993E-5 | 0.0020688784 | 35.067524 | 0.00201 | 6.675408E-4 | 7.1807735E-4 | 0.008642383 | 12.035448 | 0.00793 | 0.006655392 | 0.007160121 | 0.021834295 | 3.0494308 | 0.01478 |
6.6 | 9.661896E-6 | 1.0289515E-5 | 6.1028334E-4 | 59.311188 | 6.0E-4 | 4.1407468E-5 | 4.4097265E-5 | 0.0018140192 | 41.136772 | 0.00177 | 5.040193E-4 | 5.367682E-4 | 0.0072931396 | 13.587131 | 0.00676 | 0.005028777 | 0.005356322 | 0.017829154 | 3.3286188 | 0.01254 |
6.7 | 7.767871E-6 | 8.200049E-6 | 5.2819576E-4 | 64.413734 | 5.2E-4 | 3.329045E-5 | 3.514267E-5 | 0.0015950878 | 45.388916 | 0.00156 | 4.0523586E-4 | 4.2779176E-4 | 0.006245302 | 14.59893 | 0.00582 | 0.004044977 | 0.0042710346 | 0.015293754 | 3.580808 | 0.01107 |
6.8 | 6.4235196E-6 | 6.7360374E-6 | 4.267332E-4 | 63.350777 | 4.2E-4 | 2.752908E-5 | 2.8868486E-5 | 0.0013088315 | 45.337727 | 0.00128 | 3.35115E-4 | 3.5142995E-4 | 0.0050097923 | 14.25545 | 0.00466 | 0.003346101 | 0.0035100025 | 0.012348869 | 3.5181937 | 0.00887 |
6.9 | 3.1283696E-6 | 3.1122813E-6 | 2.7311145E-4 | 87.752815 | 2.7E-4 | 1.3407229E-5 | 1.3338288E-5 | 8.433272E-4 | 63.226044 | 8.3E-4 | 1.6322079E-4 | 1.6238306E-4 | 0.0030019218 | 18.486668 | 0.00284 | 0.0016310095 | 0.0016227924 | 0.0070938994 | 4.371415 | 0.00548 |
7.0 | 2.290603E-6 | 2.2287568E-6 | 1.622284E-4 | 72.78874 | 1.6E-4 | 9.816834E-6 | 9.551785E-6 | 4.795473E-4 | 50.20499 | 4.7E-4 | 1.19513395E-4 | 1.16287825E-4 | 0.0016761064 | 14.41343 | 0.00156 | 0.0011944914 | 0.0011623718 | 0.004478513 | 3.8529088 | 0.00332 |
7.1 | 1.293693E-6 | 1.1777277E-6 | 1.0117761E-4 | 85.90917 | 1.0E-4 | 5.5443866E-6 | 5.0473986E-6 | 2.2504629E-4 | 44.58659 | 2.2E-4 | 6.750081E-5 | 6.145104E-5 | 8.414031E-4 | 13.692251 | 7.8E-4 | 6.7480316E-4 | 6.14409E-4 | 0.0021834443 | 3.5537312 | 0.00157 |
7.2 | 4.715842E-7 | 3.0919745E-7 | 3.0919745E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0210737E-6 | 1.3251313E-6 | 1.1325118E-5 | 8.546412 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4606294E-5 | 1.613336E-5 | 7.613239E-5 | 4.718942 | 6.0E-5 | 2.460357E-4 | 1.6132242E-4 | 2.8130307E-4 | 1.743732 | 1.2E-4 |
7.3 | 3.9430947E-7 | 2.3099179E-7 | 2.3099179E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6898966E-6 | 9.899644E-7 | 1.0989955E-5 | 11.101363 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0574296E-5 | 1.2052751E-5 | 7.2052026E-5 | 5.9780564 | 6.0E-5 | 2.0572392E-4 | 1.2052105E-4 | 2.105102E-4 | 1.7466675 | 9.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.547123E-7 | 1.9680678E-7 | 1.9680678E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5201948E-6 | 8.434573E-7 | 1.0843449E-5 | 12.855954 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8508214E-5 | 1.0269046E-5 | 6.0268532E-5 | 5.868952 | 5.0E-5 | 1.8506673E-4 | 1.0268577E-4 | 1.8267756E-4 | 1.7789958 | 8.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.6354266E-7 | 1.4424151E-7 | 1.4424151E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.129468E-6 | 6.1817775E-7 | 1.06181715E-5 | 17.176567 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3751187E-5 | 7.5262888E-6 | 4.7525988E-5 | 6.3146644 | 4.0E-5 | 1.3750336E-4 | 7.526039E-5 | 1.4525512E-4 | 1.9300342 | 7.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.269913E-7 | 7.572964E-8 | 7.572964E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4424834E-7 | 3.2455554E-7 | 3.2455554E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6262032E-6 | 3.951457E-6 | 1.3951418E-5 | 3.530702 | 1.0E-5 | 6.626006E-5 | 3.9513903E-5 | 7.951232E-5 | 2.0122619 | 4.0E-5 |
Airport Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.3103559E-5 | 9.4309135E-4 | 71.97215 | 9.3E-4 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.615706E-5 | 0.003065988 | 54.59666 | 0.00301 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.8352616E-4 | 0.011955816 | 17.49138 | 0.01128 | 0.0064425888 | 0.006817048 | 0.027822867 | 4.081366 | 0.02115 |
6.1 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.3103559E-5 | 9.4309135E-4 | 71.97215 | 9.3E-4 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.615706E-5 | 0.003065988 | 54.59666 | 0.00301 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.8352616E-4 | 0.011955816 | 17.49138 | 0.01128 | 0.0064425888 | 0.006817048 | 0.027822867 | 4.081366 | 0.02115 |
6.2 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.3103559E-5 | 9.4309135E-4 | 71.97215 | 9.3E-4 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.615706E-5 | 0.003065988 | 54.59666 | 0.00301 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.8352616E-4 | 0.011955816 | 17.49138 | 0.01128 | 0.0064425888 | 0.006817048 | 0.027822867 | 4.081366 | 0.02115 |
6.3 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.3103559E-5 | 9.4309135E-4 | 71.97215 | 9.3E-4 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.615706E-5 | 0.003065988 | 54.59666 | 0.00301 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.8352616E-4 | 0.011955816 | 17.49138 | 0.01128 | 0.0064425888 | 0.006817048 | 0.027822867 | 4.081366 | 0.02115 |
6.4 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.3103559E-5 | 9.4309135E-4 | 71.97215 | 9.3E-4 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.615706E-5 | 0.003065988 | 54.59666 | 0.00301 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.8352616E-4 | 0.011955816 | 17.49138 | 0.01128 | 0.0064425888 | 0.006817048 | 0.027822867 | 4.081366 | 0.02115 |
6.5 | 6.9922594E-6 | 7.385145E-6 | 7.0737995E-4 | 95.784164 | 7.0E-4 | 2.996648E-5 | 3.165027E-5 | 0.002351577 | 74.2988 | 0.00232 | 3.6478083E-4 | 3.8527933E-4 | 0.008662089 | 22.482622 | 0.00828 | 0.003641826 | 0.003846651 | 0.019406566 | 5.045055 | 0.01562 |
6.6 | 6.9922594E-6 | 7.385145E-6 | 7.0737995E-4 | 95.784164 | 7.0E-4 | 2.996648E-5 | 3.165027E-5 | 0.002351577 | 74.2988 | 0.00232 | 3.6478083E-4 | 3.8527933E-4 | 0.008662089 | 22.482622 | 0.00828 | 0.003641826 | 0.003846651 | 0.019406566 | 5.045055 | 0.01562 |
6.7 | 5.477277E-6 | 5.7862417E-6 | 6.2578265E-4 | 108.15011 | 6.2E-4 | 2.3473833E-5 | 2.4797964E-5 | 0.0020147485 | 81.24654 | 0.00199 | 2.8575645E-4 | 3.0187727E-4 | 0.007349749 | 24.346811 | 0.00705 | 0.0028538927 | 0.003015056 | 0.016264986 | 5.3945885 | 0.01329 |
6.8 | 3.9950432E-6 | 4.2192128E-6 | 4.842172E-4 | 114.764824 | 4.8E-4 | 1.7121502E-5 | 1.808223E-5 | 0.0016280531 | 90.03608 | 0.00161 | 2.0843433E-4 | 2.2013167E-4 | 0.005668932 | 25.75246 | 0.00545 | 0.0020823893 | 0.0021994072 | 0.012366995 | 5.6228766 | 0.01019 |
6.9 | 2.95695E-6 | 3.1231173E-6 | 3.7312196E-4 | 119.471 | 3.7E-4 | 1.2672582E-5 | 1.33847325E-5 | 0.0011433696 | 85.423416 | 0.00113 | 1.5427776E-4 | 1.629492E-4 | 0.0039023398 | 23.948198 | 0.00374 | 0.001541707 | 0.0016285196 | 0.008687006 | 5.334296 | 0.00707 |
7.0 | 1.456072E-6 | 1.5408596E-6 | 1.615406E-4 | 104.83798 | 1.6E-4 | 6.2402937E-6 | 6.603673E-6 | 4.566007E-4 | 69.14345 | 4.5E-4 | 7.597293E-5 | 8.039776E-5 | 0.0015102827 | 18.785135 | 0.00143 | 7.594696E-4 | 8.0378563E-4 | 0.003871318 | 4.816356 | 0.00307 |
7.1 | 6.995192E-7 | 7.409207E-7 | 1.0074085E-4 | 135.96712 | 1.0E-4 | 2.997936E-6 | 3.1753743E-6 | 2.131747E-4 | 67.13372 | 2.1E-4 | 3.649926E-5 | 3.8660182E-5 | 7.186339E-4 | 18.588476 | 6.8E-4 | 3.6493264E-4 | 3.8660184E-4 | 0.0017760645 | 4.5940404 | 0.00139 |
Owl Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.0320643E-5 | 6.637038E-5 | 6.463319E-4 | 9.738257 | 5.8E-4 | 2.1564208E-4 | 2.8441957E-4 | 0.0024138137 | 8.486806 | 0.00213 | 0.0026222812 | 0.0034582033 | 0.0115202265 | 3.3312752 | 0.00809 | 0.02591553 | 0.034148198 | 0.050538704 | 1.4799815 | 0.01697 |
6.1 | 5.0320643E-5 | 6.637038E-5 | 6.463319E-4 | 9.738257 | 5.8E-4 | 2.1564208E-4 | 2.8441957E-4 | 0.0024138137 | 8.486806 | 0.00213 | 0.0026222812 | 0.0034582033 | 0.0115202265 | 3.3312752 | 0.00809 | 0.02591553 | 0.034148198 | 0.050538704 | 1.4799815 | 0.01697 |
6.2 | 2.4125871E-5 | 3.09871E-5 | 4.6097377E-4 | 14.876313 | 4.3E-4 | 1.0339249E-4 | 1.3279608E-4 | 0.001752581 | 13.1975355 | 0.00162 | 0.0012580766 | 0.0016157634 | 0.0077658105 | 4.806279 | 0.00616 | 0.012509781 | 0.016074665 | 0.028560678 | 1.776751 | 0.01269 |
6.3 | 1.7433485E-5 | 2.2360797E-5 | 3.9235252E-4 | 17.546448 | 3.7E-4 | 7.471279E-5 | 9.582917E-5 | 0.0015256922 | 15.920957 | 0.00143 | 9.0924866E-4 | 0.0011662331 | 0.006519982 | 5.590634 | 0.00536 | 0.009055373 | 0.011632415 | 0.022524226 | 1.9363327 | 0.01102 |
6.4 | 1.7433485E-5 | 2.2360797E-5 | 3.9235252E-4 | 17.546448 | 3.7E-4 | 7.471279E-5 | 9.582917E-5 | 0.0015256922 | 15.920957 | 0.00143 | 9.0924866E-4 | 0.0011662331 | 0.006519982 | 5.590634 | 0.00536 | 0.009055373 | 0.011632415 | 0.022524226 | 1.9363327 | 0.01102 |
6.5 | 1.5182742E-5 | 1.9434077E-5 | 3.894269E-4 | 20.038353 | 3.7E-4 | 6.506727E-5 | 8.328693E-5 | 0.0014931695 | 17.928019 | 0.00141 | 7.919061E-4 | 0.0010136823 | 0.0061684516 | 6.0851917 | 0.00516 | 0.0078909 | 0.010121727 | 0.020545145 | 2.0298064 | 0.01053 |
6.6 | 6.7271576E-6 | 8.550671E-6 | 2.4854863E-4 | 29.067732 | 2.4E-4 | 2.8830356E-5 | 3.664525E-5 | 0.0010966064 | 29.924927 | 0.00106 | 3.5095305E-4 | 4.4607025E-4 | 0.0043443306 | 9.739118 | 0.0039 | 0.0035039932 | 0.0044702506 | 0.012295115 | 2.7504306 | 0.00786 |
6.7 | 6.682835E-6 | 8.48311E-6 | 2.4848108E-4 | 29.291271 | 2.4E-4 | 2.8640408E-5 | 3.635571E-5 | 0.0010963172 | 30.155296 | 0.00106 | 3.4864116E-4 | 4.4254653E-4 | 0.0043408205 | 9.808733 | 0.0039 | 0.003480947 | 0.0044352226 | 0.012250407 | 2.7620723 | 0.00785 |
6.8 | 6.5774975E-6 | 8.32956E-6 | 2.4832756E-4 | 29.812805 | 2.4E-4 | 2.8188972E-5 | 3.569766E-5 | 0.0010956598 | 30.692764 | 0.00106 | 3.4314668E-4 | 4.3453797E-4 | 0.004322848 | 9.948147 | 0.00389 | 0.0034261728 | 0.0043553766 | 0.012161231 | 2.792234 | 0.00784 |
6.9 | 6.363419E-6 | 8.002683E-6 | 2.4800075E-4 | 30.989704 | 2.4E-4 | 2.727151E-5 | 3.429679E-5 | 0.0010942605 | 31.90562 | 0.00106 | 3.3198006E-4 | 4.1748903E-4 | 0.0042758775 | 10.241892 | 0.00386 | 0.0033148455 | 0.0041853474 | 0.01196266 | 2.858224 | 0.00781 |
7.0 | 6.1342453E-6 | 7.634817E-6 | 2.47633E-4 | 32.4347 | 2.4E-4 | 2.6289357E-5 | 3.272026E-5 | 0.0010826859 | 33.089157 | 0.00105 | 3.2002592E-4 | 3.983019E-4 | 0.0042067845 | 10.561799 | 0.00381 | 0.0031956544 | 0.003994015 | 0.0117130615 | 2.9326532 | 0.00775 |
7.1 | 5.842926E-6 | 7.1452696E-6 | 2.271437E-4 | 31.789381 | 2.2E-4 | 2.504087E-5 | 3.0622254E-5 | 0.0010305917 | 33.654987 | 0.001 | 3.0482994E-4 | 3.727676E-4 | 0.003951433 | 10.600259 | 0.00358 | 0.0030441214 | 0.0037395519 | 0.01104214 | 2.952798 | 0.00733 |
7.2 | 4.77173E-6 | 5.3611675E-6 | 1.4536042E-4 | 27.113577 | 1.4E-4 | 2.045011E-5 | 2.2976252E-5 | 6.829611E-4 | 29.724651 | 6.6E-4 | 2.4895166E-4 | 2.7970402E-4 | 0.0026090522 | 9.327905 | 0.00233 | 0.0024867293 | 0.0028107075 | 0.0074974974 | 2.667477 | 0.0047 |
7.3 | 3.0494948E-6 | 2.712334E-6 | 3.2712254E-5 | 12.0605545 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3069198E-5 | 1.1624238E-5 | 2.3162169E-4 | 19.925753 | 2.2E-4 | 1.5910587E-4 | 1.4151607E-4 | 8.014227E-4 | 5.663121 | 6.6E-4 | 0.0015899199 | 0.0014246284 | 0.0026329046 | 1.8481343 | 0.00121 |
7.4 | 2.7263884E-6 | 2.307415E-6 | 2.230737E-5 | 9.667688 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1684469E-5 | 9.888884E-6 | 1.798872E-4 | 18.19085 | 1.7E-4 | 1.4224913E-4 | 1.20390614E-4 | 5.603376E-4 | 4.65433 | 4.4E-4 | 0.0014215811 | 0.0012125135 | 0.0020714707 | 1.7084104 | 8.6E-4 |
7.5 | 2.6090431E-6 | 2.1673172E-6 | 2.2167274E-5 | 10.227979 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1181565E-5 | 9.288469E-6 | 1.7928689E-4 | 19.302092 | 1.7E-4 | 1.3612706E-4 | 1.1308135E-4 | 5.23035E-4 | 4.6252985 | 4.1E-4 | 0.001360437 | 0.0011392768 | 0.0018784336 | 1.6487949 | 7.4E-4 |
7.6 | 2.3008756E-6 | 1.8744257E-6 | 2.1874388E-5 | 11.669915 | 2.0E-5 | 9.860858E-6 | 8.033228E-6 | 1.4803211E-4 | 18.427473 | 1.4E-4 | 1.20049335E-4 | 9.780025E-5 | 4.37767E-4 | 4.476134 | 3.4E-4 | 0.001199845 | 9.862278E-4 | 0.0016056163 | 1.628038 | 6.2E-4 |
7.7 | 1.7184348E-6 | 1.3434202E-6 | 2.1343394E-5 | 15.887356 | 2.0E-5 | 7.3646997E-6 | 5.7575025E-6 | 1.1575687E-4 | 20.105396 | 1.1E-4 | 8.966153E-5 | 7.0095375E-5 | 3.0007926E-4 | 4.2810135 | 2.3E-4 | 8.962536E-4 | 7.0897903E-4 | 0.0010787167 | 1.5215071 | 3.7E-4 |
7.8 | 8.4612907E-7 | 8.416933E-7 | 1.0841685E-5 | 12.880802 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6262625E-6 | 3.6072522E-6 | 6.360703E-5 | 17.6331 | 6.0E-5 | 4.4148852E-5 | 4.391743E-5 | 1.3391348E-4 | 3.0492103 | 9.0E-5 | 4.414008E-4 | 4.4484966E-4 | 5.7479186E-4 | 1.2921035 | 1.3E-4 |
7.9 | 2.716738E-7 | 3.773008E-7 | 3.773008E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1643157E-6 | 1.6170025E-6 | 1.1616987E-5 | 7.1842723 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4175452E-5 | 1.9686839E-5 | 3.9686445E-5 | 2.0158873 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4174548E-4 | 1.9892666E-4 | 2.1892268E-4 | 1.1005195 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.1995428E-8 | 3.3868776E-8 | 3.3868776E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.426611E-8 | 1.4515189E-7 | 1.4515189E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1476893E-6 | 1.7672235E-6 | 1.7672235E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.14768345E-5 | 1.8218208E-5 | 1.8218208E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Panamint Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.3987795E-5 | 4.4397387E-4 | 13.062744 | 4.1E-4 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.4565402E-4 | 0.0017154253 | 11.777398 | 0.00157 | 0.0015751923 | 0.0017719247 | 0.008330283 | 4.7012625 | 0.00657 | 0.015640736 | 0.017584749 | 0.030297203 | 1.722925 | 0.01294 |
6.1 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.3987795E-5 | 4.4397387E-4 | 13.062744 | 4.1E-4 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.4565402E-4 | 0.0017154253 | 11.777398 | 0.00157 | 0.0015751923 | 0.0017719247 | 0.008330283 | 4.7012625 | 0.00657 | 0.015640736 | 0.017584749 | 0.030297203 | 1.722925 | 0.01294 |
6.2 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.3987795E-5 | 4.4397387E-4 | 13.062744 | 4.1E-4 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.4565402E-4 | 0.0017154253 | 11.777398 | 0.00157 | 0.0015751923 | 0.0017719247 | 0.008330283 | 4.7012625 | 0.00657 | 0.015640736 | 0.017584749 | 0.030297203 | 1.722925 | 0.01294 |
6.3 | 2.8573924E-5 | 3.2105843E-5 | 4.32093E-4 | 13.458391 | 4.0E-4 | 1.2245393E-4 | 1.3758938E-4 | 0.0016673788 | 12.118515 | 0.00153 | 0.001489857 | 0.0016738913 | 0.007973329 | 4.7633495 | 0.00631 | 0.01479908 | 0.016619716 | 0.028705461 | 1.7271931 | 0.01229 |
6.4 | 2.8573924E-5 | 3.2105843E-5 | 4.32093E-4 | 13.458391 | 4.0E-4 | 1.2245393E-4 | 1.3758938E-4 | 0.0016673788 | 12.118515 | 0.00153 | 0.001489857 | 0.0016738913 | 0.007973329 | 4.7633495 | 0.00631 | 0.01479908 | 0.016619716 | 0.028705461 | 1.7271931 | 0.01229 |
6.5 | 2.7468774E-5 | 3.0831467E-5 | 4.2081944E-4 | 13.649025 | 3.9E-4 | 1.1771801E-4 | 1.321283E-4 | 0.0016419288 | 12.426775 | 0.00151 | 0.0014322745 | 0.0016075026 | 0.007667745 | 4.7699738 | 0.00607 | 0.014230782 | 0.015965527 | 0.027586974 | 1.7279087 | 0.01181 |
6.6 | 2.6135967E-5 | 2.9255378E-5 | 4.0924427E-4 | 13.988685 | 3.8E-4 | 1.1200648E-4 | 1.2537432E-4 | 0.0016151875 | 12.882921 | 0.00149 | 0.0013628257 | 0.0015253901 | 0.007426375 | 4.868509 | 0.00591 | 0.013544982 | 0.015155784 | 0.026353462 | 1.7388387 | 0.01137 |
6.7 | 2.4498746E-5 | 2.7344215E-5 | 4.0733384E-4 | 14.896527 | 3.8E-4 | 1.04990395E-4 | 1.1718437E-4 | 0.0015770133 | 13.45754 | 0.00146 | 0.0012775084 | 0.001425811 | 0.0070677553 | 4.957007 | 0.00565 | 0.012701893 | 0.014173006 | 0.024849512 | 1.7532986 | 0.01083 |
6.8 | 2.2244329E-5 | 2.4938487E-5 | 3.849295E-4 | 15.435159 | 3.6E-4 | 9.532935E-5 | 1.0687498E-4 | 0.0014567306 | 13.630232 | 0.00135 | 0.0011600169 | 0.001300448 | 0.0065935557 | 5.0702186 | 0.0053 | 0.011539802 | 0.012934348 | 0.022824746 | 1.7646616 | 0.01002 |
6.9 | 1.9902658E-5 | 2.229314E-5 | 3.2228645E-4 | 14.456755 | 3.0E-4 | 8.529431E-5 | 9.5538635E-5 | 0.0012754259 | 13.349844 | 0.00118 | 0.0010379635 | 0.0011625807 | 0.005976977 | 5.141129 | 0.00482 | 0.010331288 | 0.01157016 | 0.02044626 | 1.7671545 | 0.00898 |
7.0 | 1.8353881E-5 | 2.0568947E-5 | 2.905634E-4 | 14.126313 | 2.7E-4 | 7.865712E-5 | 8.814975E-5 | 0.0011980518 | 13.591098 | 0.00111 | 9.5722964E-4 | 0.0010727125 | 0.0054580034 | 5.0880394 | 0.00439 | 0.009531168 | 0.010680287 | 0.018733349 | 1.7540118 | 0.00814 |
7.1 | 1.7667631E-5 | 1.9775267E-5 | 2.7977012E-4 | 14.147476 | 2.6E-4 | 7.571623E-5 | 8.474849E-5 | 0.0011746561 | 13.860496 | 0.00109 | 9.2145515E-4 | 0.0010313421 | 0.005276959 | 5.1165943 | 0.00425 | 0.009176437 | 0.010270455 | 0.018089319 | 1.7612967 | 0.0079 |
7.2 | 1.6381597E-5 | 1.8160737E-5 | 2.3815675E-4 | 13.113825 | 2.2E-4 | 7.020495E-5 | 7.782951E-5 | 0.0010577532 | 13.590645 | 9.8E-4 | 8.544101E-4 | 9.471797E-4 | 0.0048235045 | 5.0924916 | 0.00388 | 0.008511325 | 0.009436136 | 0.016449329 | 1.7432271 | 0.00708 |
7.3 | 1.4520491E-5 | 1.5968153E-5 | 2.0596512E-4 | 12.898494 | 1.9E-4 | 6.222919E-5 | 6.843323E-5 | 8.783778E-4 | 12.835544 | 8.1E-4 | 7.57377E-4 | 8.3287235E-4 | 0.0039602653 | 4.7549486 | 0.00313 | 0.0075480095 | 0.0083006555 | 0.01399301 | 1.6857717 | 0.00574 |
7.4 | 1.2852287E-5 | 1.41469245E-5 | 2.0414423E-4 | 14.43029 | 1.9E-4 | 5.5080065E-5 | 6.0628357E-5 | 8.6057984E-4 | 14.194345 | 8.0E-4 | 6.7039346E-4 | 7.379161E-4 | 0.0036757465 | 4.9812527 | 0.00294 | 0.0066837464 | 0.007357609 | 0.0127178775 | 1.7285341 | 0.0054 |
7.5 | 1.1637851E-5 | 1.2838173E-5 | 2.0283573E-4 | 15.799424 | 1.9E-4 | 4.987555E-5 | 5.5019667E-5 | 8.3497673E-4 | 15.175969 | 7.8E-4 | 6.070656E-4 | 6.6967425E-4 | 0.0035677322 | 5.327564 | 0.0029 | 0.006054099 | 0.006679489 | 0.01198382 | 1.7941225 | 0.00534 |
7.6 | 3.0068115E-6 | 3.333561E-6 | 7.333333E-5 | 21.998497 | 7.0E-5 | 1.2886271E-5 | 1.4286652E-5 | 3.8428136E-4 | 26.89793 | 3.7E-4 | 1.5687906E-4 | 1.739334E-4 | 0.0014537107 | 8.357859 | 0.00128 | 0.0015676835 | 0.0017394735 | 0.004035473 | 2.3199391 | 0.0023 |
Garlock (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5092507E-5 | 6.291901E-5 | 3.6290014E-4 | 5.7677345 | 3.0E-4 | 1.9323928E-4 | 2.6962755E-4 | 0.0016092663 | 5.9684787 | 0.00134 | 0.0023501497 | 0.0032782198 | 0.008819993 | 2.6904824 | 0.00556 | 0.023254504 | 0.032287683 | 0.04323251 | 1.3389784 | 0.01131 |
6.1 | 4.5092507E-5 | 6.291901E-5 | 3.6290014E-4 | 5.7677345 | 3.0E-4 | 1.9323928E-4 | 2.6962755E-4 | 0.0016092663 | 5.9684787 | 0.00134 | 0.0023501497 | 0.0032782198 | 0.008819993 | 2.6904824 | 0.00556 | 0.023254504 | 0.032287683 | 0.04323251 | 1.3389784 | 0.01131 |
6.2 | 2.6674514E-5 | 3.4522156E-5 | 2.945132E-4 | 8.531136 | 2.6E-4 | 1.1431433E-4 | 1.4794388E-4 | 0.0012277841 | 8.2989855 | 0.00108 | 0.0013908884 | 0.0017997618 | 0.0058824006 | 3.268433 | 0.00409 | 0.01382215 | 0.01787814 | 0.025961002 | 1.4521087 | 0.00823 |
6.3 | 2.6674514E-5 | 3.4522156E-5 | 2.945132E-4 | 8.531136 | 2.6E-4 | 1.1431433E-4 | 1.4794388E-4 | 0.0012277841 | 8.2989855 | 0.00108 | 0.0013908884 | 0.0017997618 | 0.0058824006 | 3.268433 | 0.00409 | 0.01382215 | 0.01787814 | 0.025961002 | 1.4521087 | 0.00823 |
6.4 | 2.5312667E-5 | 3.2350978E-5 | 2.9234256E-4 | 9.036592 | 2.6E-4 | 1.0847834E-4 | 1.3863985E-4 | 0.0012084915 | 8.716769 | 0.00107 | 0.0013199237 | 0.0016866627 | 0.005749798 | 3.4089792 | 0.00407 | 0.013121112 | 0.016778192 | 0.024742287 | 1.4746696 | 0.0081 |
6.5 | 2.5312667E-5 | 3.2350978E-5 | 2.9234256E-4 | 9.036592 | 2.6E-4 | 1.0847834E-4 | 1.3863985E-4 | 0.0012084915 | 8.716769 | 0.00107 | 0.0013199237 | 0.0016866627 | 0.005749798 | 3.4089792 | 0.00407 | 0.013121112 | 0.016778192 | 0.024742287 | 1.4746696 | 0.0081 |
6.6 | 2.246556E-5 | 2.8145088E-5 | 2.7813806E-4 | 9.882295 | 2.5E-4 | 9.627742E-5 | 1.20616365E-4 | 0.0011504921 | 9.538442 | 0.00103 | 0.0011715472 | 0.0014675385 | 0.0053418446 | 3.6400027 | 0.00388 | 0.011653901 | 0.014618727 | 0.02222587 | 1.5203698 | 0.00772 |
6.7 | 2.2241198E-5 | 2.7814802E-5 | 2.7780785E-4 | 9.98777 | 2.5E-4 | 9.531594E-5 | 1.1920098E-4 | 0.0011490782 | 9.639838 | 0.00103 | 0.0011598538 | 0.0014503293 | 0.0053147166 | 3.6644895 | 0.00387 | 0.011538187 | 0.014448618 | 0.022037363 | 1.525223 | 0.0077 |
6.8 | 1.9528685E-5 | 2.3908464E-5 | 2.3390344E-4 | 9.78329 | 2.1E-4 | 8.369167E-5 | 1.0246093E-4 | 0.0010623626 | 10.368464 | 9.6E-4 | 0.0010184698 | 0.0012467676 | 0.004872242 | 3.907899 | 0.00363 | 0.010138147 | 0.012441509 | 0.019630935 | 1.577858 | 0.00728 |
6.9 | 1.3318621E-5 | 1.5207378E-5 | 2.2520419E-4 | 14.808876 | 2.1E-4 | 5.7078556E-5 | 6.5172884E-5 | 9.451155E-4 | 14.501669 | 8.8E-4 | 6.9470983E-4 | 7.9319667E-4 | 0.004110563 | 5.182275 | 0.00332 | 0.0069254204 | 0.007945063 | 0.0144727845 | 1.8216072 | 0.00658 |
7.0 | 1.1760853E-5 | 1.3115919E-5 | 2.131133E-4 | 16.248446 | 2.0E-4 | 5.0402683E-5 | 5.6209898E-5 | 9.26161E-4 | 16.476831 | 8.7E-4 | 6.134799E-4 | 6.8414566E-4 | 0.0039119357 | 5.717987 | 0.00323 | 0.0061178906 | 0.006861606 | 0.0131283095 | 1.9132998 | 0.00631 |
7.1 | 1.0064758E-5 | 1.09107295E-5 | 2.0090866E-4 | 18.41386 | 1.9E-4 | 4.3133965E-5 | 4.675945E-5 | 8.867202E-4 | 18.963444 | 8.4E-4 | 5.2502943E-4 | 5.6915113E-4 | 0.0036573925 | 6.4260483 | 0.00309 | 0.005237907 | 0.005717425 | 0.011633406 | 2.0347283 | 0.00595 |
7.2 | 9.768808E-6 | 1.0506538E-5 | 2.0050454E-4 | 19.083788 | 1.9E-4 | 4.186565E-5 | 4.5027264E-5 | 8.549908E-4 | 18.98829 | 8.1E-4 | 5.095951E-4 | 5.480725E-4 | 0.0035364337 | 6.452492 | 0.00299 | 0.0050842804 | 0.0055075847 | 0.011235861 | 2.0400705 | 0.00576 |
7.3 | 9.344516E-6 | 9.952032E-6 | 1.8995024E-4 | 19.086578 | 1.8E-4 | 4.004731E-5 | 4.2650885E-5 | 7.926189E-4 | 18.58388 | 7.5E-4 | 4.8746695E-4 | 5.191543E-4 | 0.003257732 | 6.2750745 | 0.00274 | 0.0048639905 | 0.0052191834 | 0.010521365 | 2.0159025 | 0.00533 |
7.4 | 9.023491E-6 | 9.498046E-6 | 1.5949662E-4 | 16.792572 | 1.5E-4 | 3.867153E-5 | 4.0705298E-5 | 7.10678E-4 | 17.459105 | 6.7E-4 | 4.7072413E-4 | 4.9547764E-4 | 0.0029142785 | 5.881756 | 0.00242 | 0.004697283 | 0.0049825576 | 0.009708891 | 1.9485757 | 0.00475 |
7.5 | 7.081253E-6 | 7.0941337E-6 | 1.17093354E-4 | 16.50566 | 1.1E-4 | 3.0347876E-5 | 3.040308E-5 | 4.103915E-4 | 13.498354 | 3.8E-4 | 3.6942272E-4 | 3.7009537E-4 | 0.0015896439 | 4.2952275 | 0.00122 | 0.003688092 | 0.0037283404 | 0.0058304737 | 1.5638255 | 0.00211 |
7.6 | 6.116396E-6 | 5.9653516E-6 | 4.5965113E-5 | 7.7053485 | 4.0E-5 | 2.6212863E-5 | 2.5565543E-5 | 2.0556094E-4 | 8.040546 | 1.8E-4 | 3.1909486E-4 | 3.112163E-4 | 0.0010909735 | 3.5055156 | 7.8E-4 | 0.0031863707 | 0.0031395783 | 0.00448534 | 1.4286441 | 0.00135 |
7.7 | 4.797145E-6 | 4.7631393E-6 | 4.7631393E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.055903E-5 | 2.0413294E-5 | 1.20411256E-4 | 5.8986683 | 1.0E-4 | 2.5027743E-4 | 2.4850364E-4 | 6.084142E-4 | 2.4483109 | 3.6E-4 | 0.0024999576 | 0.0025124259 | 0.0032006924 | 1.273945 | 6.9E-4 |
7.8 | 3.4028885E-6 | 3.9837723E-6 | 3.9837723E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4583726E-5 | 1.70732E-5 | 6.7072346E-5 | 3.9285166 | 5.0E-5 | 1.775424E-4 | 2.0784645E-4 | 4.178028E-4 | 2.0101511 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0017740062 | 0.0021040265 | 0.0025231428 | 1.1991973 | 4.2E-4 |
7.9 | 2.5928412E-6 | 3.3769782E-6 | 3.3769782E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1112129E-5 | 1.4472684E-5 | 6.447196E-5 | 4.4547343 | 5.0E-5 | 1.3528178E-4 | 1.7619075E-4 | 3.761555E-4 | 2.1349335 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0013519945 | 0.0017837033 | 0.0021430613 | 1.2014673 | 3.6E-4 |
8.0 | 1.3743648E-6 | 1.6755052E-6 | 1.6755052E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8901214E-6 | 7.180717E-6 | 3.71805E-5 | 5.177826 | 3.0E-5 | 7.1709874E-5 | 8.742175E-5 | 2.1741039E-4 | 2.4869142 | 1.3E-4 | 7.1686733E-4 | 8.849517E-4 | 0.0010947658 | 1.2370911 | 2.1E-4 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 3.1523513E-7 | 3.1523513E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5742813E-6 | 1.3510071E-6 | 1.1350993E-5 | 8.4018755 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.6448403E-5 | 3.6448073E-5 | 2.2159035 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.6662726E-4 | 1.9662226E-4 | 1.1800126 | 3.0E-5 |
Ash Hill
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.3195389E-5 | 2.1319099E-4 | 9.191093 | 1.9E-4 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.940547E-5 | 8.7932794E-4 | 8.84587 | 7.8E-4 | 0.0011236023 | 0.0012096697 | 0.0043059196 | 3.559583 | 0.0031 | 0.011179381 | 0.012038835 | 0.018391425 | 1.5276748 | 0.00643 |
6.1 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.3195389E-5 | 2.1319099E-4 | 9.191093 | 1.9E-4 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.940547E-5 | 8.7932794E-4 | 8.84587 | 7.8E-4 | 0.0011236023 | 0.0012096697 | 0.0043059196 | 3.559583 | 0.0031 | 0.011179381 | 0.012038835 | 0.018391425 | 1.5276748 | 0.00643 |
6.2 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.3195389E-5 | 2.1319099E-4 | 9.191093 | 1.9E-4 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.940547E-5 | 8.7932794E-4 | 8.84587 | 7.8E-4 | 0.0011236023 | 0.0012096697 | 0.0043059196 | 3.559583 | 0.0031 | 0.011179381 | 0.012038835 | 0.018391425 | 1.5276748 | 0.00643 |
6.3 | 1.0025529E-5 | 1.0747344E-5 | 6.0746806E-5 | 5.6522617 | 5.0E-5 | 4.2965847E-5 | 4.605931E-5 | 3.3604595E-4 | 7.29594 | 2.9E-4 | 5.229836E-4 | 5.6064106E-4 | 0.0017499739 | 3.1213803 | 0.00119 | 0.005217545 | 0.0055935793 | 0.008029875 | 1.4355522 | 0.00245 |
6.4 | 1.0025529E-5 | 1.0747344E-5 | 6.0746806E-5 | 5.6522617 | 5.0E-5 | 4.2965847E-5 | 4.605931E-5 | 3.3604595E-4 | 7.29594 | 2.9E-4 | 5.229836E-4 | 5.6064106E-4 | 0.0017499739 | 3.1213803 | 0.00119 | 0.005217545 | 0.0055935793 | 0.008029875 | 1.4355522 | 0.00245 |
6.5 | 6.9617327E-6 | 7.4569152E-6 | 4.745662E-5 | 6.3641086 | 4.0E-5 | 2.9835655E-5 | 3.1957865E-5 | 2.2195179E-4 | 6.945138 | 1.9E-4 | 3.6318856E-4 | 3.8902622E-4 | 0.0011587266 | 2.9785311 | 7.7E-4 | 0.0036259557 | 0.0038843066 | 0.005448208 | 1.4026206 | 0.00157 |
6.6 | 4.9919777E-6 | 5.34689E-6 | 3.534673E-5 | 6.610708 | 3.0E-5 | 2.1394015E-5 | 2.291508E-5 | 1.6291186E-4 | 7.1093745 | 1.4E-4 | 2.60441E-4 | 2.7896208E-4 | 8.488031E-4 | 3.0427186 | 5.7E-4 | 0.0026013597 | 0.0027867774 | 0.0038537956 | 1.382886 | 0.00107 |
6.7 | 3.6630722E-6 | 3.9247725E-6 | 2.3924695E-5 | 6.095817 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5698786E-5 | 1.6820377E-5 | 1.2681853E-4 | 7.539577 | 1.1E-4 | 1.9111596E-4 | 2.0477458E-4 | 6.1469065E-4 | 3.0017917 | 4.1E-4 | 0.0019095168 | 0.002046422 | 0.0028248257 | 1.380373 | 7.8E-4 |
6.8 | 2.5599613E-6 | 2.7450303E-6 | 1.2745003E-5 | 4.642937 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0971216E-5 | 1.176439E-5 | 5.176392E-5 | 4.400051 | 4.0E-5 | 1.3356637E-4 | 1.4322698E-4 | 3.8319262E-4 | 2.675422 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0013348613 | 0.0014318317 | 0.001961073 | 1.3696252 | 5.3E-4 |
6.9 | 1.7684905E-6 | 1.8969438E-6 | 1.1896925E-5 | 6.2716274 | 1.0E-5 | 7.579223E-6 | 8.129759E-6 | 4.8129434E-5 | 5.920155 | 4.0E-5 | 9.2273134E-5 | 9.897981E-5 | 3.0895902E-4 | 3.1214347 | 2.1E-4 | 9.223483E-4 | 9.897981E-4 | 0.0013894022 | 1.4037228 | 4.0E-4 |
Hunter Mountain-Saline Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5103672E-5 | 5.4575703E-5 | 2.5456477E-4 | 4.6644344 | 2.0E-4 | 1.9328714E-4 | 2.3387565E-4 | 0.0010636816 | 4.5480647 | 8.3E-4 | 0.002350731 | 0.0028438994 | 0.00597497 | 2.100978 | 0.00314 | 0.023260195 | 0.028095502 | 0.03372283 | 1.2002928 | 0.00579 |
6.1 | 4.5103672E-5 | 5.4575703E-5 | 2.5456477E-4 | 4.6644344 | 2.0E-4 | 1.9328714E-4 | 2.3387565E-4 | 0.0010636816 | 4.5480647 | 8.3E-4 | 0.002350731 | 0.0028438994 | 0.00597497 | 2.100978 | 0.00314 | 0.023260195 | 0.028095502 | 0.03372283 | 1.2002928 | 0.00579 |
6.2 | 3.9363465E-5 | 4.7068323E-5 | 2.470589E-4 | 5.2489424 | 2.0E-4 | 1.6868966E-4 | 2.017062E-4 | 0.0010215408 | 5.064499 | 8.2E-4 | 0.002051862 | 0.0024531453 | 0.005555516 | 2.26465 | 0.00311 | 0.020330196 | 0.02427648 | 0.029867375 | 1.2303009 | 0.00573 |
6.3 | 3.9363465E-5 | 4.7068323E-5 | 2.470589E-4 | 5.2489424 | 2.0E-4 | 1.6868966E-4 | 2.017062E-4 | 0.0010215408 | 5.064499 | 8.2E-4 | 0.002051862 | 0.0024531453 | 0.005555516 | 2.26465 | 0.00311 | 0.020330196 | 0.02427648 | 0.029867375 | 1.2303009 | 0.00573 |
6.4 | 3.2311684E-5 | 3.7955364E-5 | 2.3794777E-4 | 6.2691474 | 2.0E-4 | 1.384713E-4 | 1.6265611E-4 | 9.825227E-4 | 6.0404906 | 8.2E-4 | 0.0016845843 | 0.001978608 | 0.0050624944 | 2.5586138 | 0.00309 | 0.016718714 | 0.019618724 | 0.02518729 | 1.2838393 | 0.00568 |
6.5 | 3.2311684E-5 | 3.7955364E-5 | 2.3794777E-4 | 6.2691474 | 2.0E-4 | 1.384713E-4 | 1.6265611E-4 | 9.825227E-4 | 6.0404906 | 8.2E-4 | 0.0016845843 | 0.001978608 | 0.0050624944 | 2.5586138 | 0.00309 | 0.016718714 | 0.019618724 | 0.02518729 | 1.2838393 | 0.00568 |
6.6 | 2.9305844E-5 | 3.4185698E-5 | 2.3417886E-4 | 6.8501997 | 2.0E-4 | 1.2559042E-4 | 1.4650227E-4 | 9.6638215E-4 | 6.5963635 | 8.2E-4 | 0.0015279909 | 0.0017822677 | 0.0048667607 | 2.7306561 | 0.00309 | 0.015175272 | 0.017687676 | 0.023247564 | 1.3143368 | 0.00566 |
6.7 | 2.7826512E-5 | 3.2347863E-5 | 2.323414E-4 | 7.1825886 | 2.0E-4 | 1.19251024E-4 | 1.3862668E-4 | 9.58513E-4 | 6.914347 | 8.2E-4 | 0.0014509142 | 0.0016865334 | 0.0047613387 | 2.823151 | 0.00308 | 0.014414776 | 0.016745051 | 0.02229061 | 1.3311759 | 0.00564 |
6.8 | 2.3389874E-5 | 2.686962E-5 | 2.2686424E-4 | 8.4431505 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0023846E-4 | 1.15150695E-4 | 9.2505745E-4 | 8.03345 | 8.1E-4 | 0.00121972 | 0.0014011054 | 0.004466804 | 3.188057 | 0.00307 | 0.01213047 | 0.013928953 | 0.01946081 | 1.3971483 | 0.00561 |
6.9 | 2.069209E-5 | 2.357255E-5 | 2.2356784E-4 | 9.484245 | 2.0E-4 | 8.867737E-5 | 1.01021506E-4 | 9.1093965E-4 | 9.017285 | 8.1E-4 | 0.0010791123 | 0.001229279 | 0.0042755296 | 3.4780793 | 0.00305 | 0.010738871 | 0.012229844 | 0.01775148 | 1.4514886 | 0.00559 |
7.0 | 1.7462342E-5 | 1.9635605E-5 | 2.1963168E-4 | 11.185378 | 2.0E-4 | 7.483646E-5 | 8.415001E-5 | 8.9408184E-4 | 10.624857 | 8.1E-4 | 9.1075303E-4 | 0.0010240674 | 0.004030985 | 3.9362495 | 0.00301 | 0.009070295 | 0.010197138 | 0.015650952 | 1.5348376 | 0.00551 |
7.1 | 1.4807709E-5 | 1.6443466E-5 | 2.0644034E-4 | 12.554551 | 1.9E-4 | 6.3460066E-5 | 7.047019E-5 | 8.704138E-4 | 12.351519 | 8.0E-4 | 7.723524E-4 | 8.5765333E-4 | 0.0038450889 | 4.4832673 | 0.00299 | 0.007696735 | 0.008546443 | 0.0139597785 | 1.6334023 | 0.00546 |
7.2 | 1.4180048E-5 | 1.5699981E-5 | 2.05697E-4 | 13.101736 | 1.9E-4 | 6.077022E-5 | 6.728399E-5 | 8.672302E-4 | 12.889102 | 8.0E-4 | 7.396263E-4 | 8.1889087E-4 | 0.0038064425 | 4.64829 | 0.00299 | 0.0073716943 | 0.008161707 | 0.013577144 | 1.6635177 | 0.00546 |
7.3 | 1.3730402E-5 | 1.517367E-5 | 2.0517079E-4 | 13.521501 | 1.9E-4 | 5.8843252E-5 | 6.5028486E-5 | 8.6497643E-4 | 13.301501 | 8.0E-4 | 7.161811E-4 | 7.914503E-4 | 0.003779084 | 4.7748847 | 0.00299 | 0.007138774 | 0.007889271 | 0.0132962745 | 1.6853616 | 0.00545 |
7.4 | 1.2810095E-5 | 1.4110783E-5 | 2.041081E-4 | 14.46469 | 1.9E-4 | 5.489925E-5 | 6.047347E-5 | 8.604251E-4 | 14.228141 | 8.0E-4 | 6.681934E-4 | 7.360316E-4 | 0.003663875 | 4.977877 | 0.00293 | 0.006661878 | 0.0073388554 | 0.012669446 | 1.7263517 | 0.00537 |
7.5 | 1.1595659E-5 | 1.280203E-5 | 2.027996E-4 | 15.841206 | 1.9E-4 | 4.9694736E-5 | 5.486478E-5 | 8.3482196E-4 | 15.215991 | 7.8E-4 | 6.0486543E-4 | 6.6778966E-4 | 0.0035558597 | 5.32482 | 0.00289 | 0.006032217 | 0.0066607227 | 0.011935354 | 1.7919008 | 0.00531 |
7.6 | 2.997694E-6 | 3.325686E-6 | 7.332546E-5 | 22.048218 | 7.0E-5 | 1.28471975E-5 | 1.4252903E-5 | 3.8424763E-4 | 26.959253 | 3.7E-4 | 1.564034E-4 | 1.7352257E-4 | 0.0014533005 | 8.375282 | 0.00128 | 0.0015629337 | 0.0017353615 | 0.0040313704 | 2.3230722 | 0.0023 |
Blackwater
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0708583E-5 | 3.3097214E-5 | 2.1309126E-4 | 6.438344 | 1.8E-4 | 1.3160157E-4 | 1.4183826E-4 | 6.317688E-4 | 4.454149 | 4.9E-4 | 0.0016010714 | 0.0017256497 | 0.0041814046 | 2.42309 | 0.00246 | 0.015895851 | 0.017136335 | 0.022099797 | 1.2896454 | 0.00505 |
6.1 | 3.0708583E-5 | 3.3097214E-5 | 2.1309126E-4 | 6.438344 | 1.8E-4 | 1.3160157E-4 | 1.4183826E-4 | 6.317688E-4 | 4.454149 | 4.9E-4 | 0.0016010714 | 0.0017256497 | 0.0041814046 | 2.42309 | 0.00246 | 0.015895851 | 0.017136335 | 0.022099797 | 1.2896454 | 0.00505 |
6.2 | 1.1707779E-5 | 1.2545598E-5 | 4.2545224E-5 | 3.3912468 | 3.0E-5 | 5.017523E-5 | 5.3765798E-5 | 2.2375665E-4 | 4.1616917 | 1.7E-4 | 6.107122E-4 | 6.5441156E-4 | 0.0015738095 | 2.4049232 | 9.2E-4 | 0.006090366 | 0.0065258164 | 0.008443221 | 1.2938185 | 0.00193 |
6.3 | 1.1707779E-5 | 1.2545598E-5 | 4.2545224E-5 | 3.3912468 | 3.0E-5 | 5.017523E-5 | 5.3765798E-5 | 2.2375665E-4 | 4.1616917 | 1.7E-4 | 6.107122E-4 | 6.5441156E-4 | 0.0015738095 | 2.4049232 | 9.2E-4 | 0.006090366 | 0.0065258164 | 0.008443221 | 1.2938185 | 0.00193 |
6.4 | 7.929244E-6 | 8.4804105E-6 | 1.8480327E-5 | 2.1791782 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3982033E-5 | 3.6344132E-5 | 1.2634086E-4 | 3.476238 | 9.0E-5 | 4.136527E-4 | 4.4240404E-4 | 0.001032143 | 2.3330326 | 5.9E-4 | 0.0041288356 | 0.0044156383 | 0.0056899865 | 1.2885988 | 0.00128 |
6.5 | 5.8832115E-6 | 6.286219E-6 | 6.286219E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.521352E-5 | 2.6940676E-5 | 8.693906E-5 | 3.2270555 | 6.0E-5 | 3.0693135E-4 | 3.279559E-4 | 7.8780507E-4 | 2.4021676 | 4.6E-4 | 0.0030650778 | 0.0032749726 | 0.004251763 | 1.2982591 | 9.8E-4 |
6.6 | 5.8832115E-6 | 6.286219E-6 | 6.286219E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.521352E-5 | 2.6940676E-5 | 8.693906E-5 | 3.2270555 | 6.0E-5 | 3.0693135E-4 | 3.279559E-4 | 7.8780507E-4 | 2.4021676 | 4.6E-4 | 0.0030650778 | 0.0032749726 | 0.004251763 | 1.2982591 | 9.8E-4 |
6.7 | 3.0715053E-6 | 3.2815851E-6 | 3.2815851E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3163528E-5 | 1.4063868E-5 | 3.4063585E-5 | 2.422064 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6025416E-4 | 1.7121529E-4 | 3.6118276E-4 | 2.109524 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0016013865 | 0.0017109484 | 0.0020803153 | 1.2158843 | 3.7E-4 |
6.8 | 2.2722281E-6 | 2.4288424E-6 | 2.4288424E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.738084E-6 | 1.0409289E-5 | 1.0409289E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1855473E-4 | 1.2672663E-4 | 2.2671396E-4 | 1.7890002 | 1.0E-4 | 0.001184915 | 0.0012666339 | 0.0015163171 | 1.1971235 | 2.5E-4 |
6.9 | 9.952399E-7 | 1.0653887E-6 | 1.0653887E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.265307E-6 | 4.5659463E-6 | 4.5659463E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1928873E-5 | 5.5589495E-5 | 8.5587824E-5 | 1.5396403 | 3.0E-5 | 5.191674E-4 | 5.558065E-4 | 6.057787E-4 | 1.0899093 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.7385504E-7 | 5.075751E-7 | 5.075751E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0308057E-6 | 2.175322E-6 | 2.175322E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4724779E-5 | 2.6484544E-5 | 4.6484012E-5 | 1.7551374 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4722028E-4 | 2.6484544E-4 | 2.8484015E-4 | 1.0754957 | 2.0E-5 |
Garlock (West)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.5181727E-5 | 2.5216248E-5 | 1.8521221E-4 | 7.344955 | 1.6E-4 | 1.0791722E-4 | 1.0806518E-4 | 7.6799386E-4 | 7.1067653 | 6.6E-4 | 0.0013131002 | 0.0013149029 | 0.0034321153 | 2.6101663 | 0.00212 | 0.013053683 | 0.013152735 | 0.017070519 | 1.2978684 | 0.00397 |
6.1 | 2.5077732E-5 | 2.5117288E-5 | 1.8511327E-4 | 7.3699546 | 1.6E-4 | 1.0747157E-4 | 1.0764109E-4 | 7.6757005E-4 | 7.1308274 | 6.6E-4 | 0.001307681 | 0.001309746 | 0.0034269693 | 2.6165147 | 0.00212 | 0.013000126 | 0.013101775 | 0.017019762 | 1.2990423 | 0.00397 |
6.2 | 2.494612E-5 | 2.4998972E-5 | 1.8499498E-4 | 7.4001036 | 1.6E-4 | 1.0690756E-4 | 1.0713407E-4 | 7.6706335E-4 | 7.1598454 | 6.6E-4 | 0.0013008224 | 0.0013035802 | 0.0034208165 | 2.6241705 | 0.00212 | 0.012932341 | 0.0130408425 | 0.016959071 | 1.3004582 | 0.00397 |
6.3 | 2.4733758E-5 | 2.4818324E-5 | 1.8481436E-4 | 7.4466896 | 1.6E-4 | 1.0599751E-4 | 1.0635993E-4 | 7.662897E-4 | 7.2046843 | 6.6E-4 | 0.0012897556 | 0.0012941663 | 0.0034114227 | 2.6360002 | 0.00212 | 0.012822957 | 0.012947805 | 0.016866403 | 1.3026457 | 0.00397 |
6.4 | 2.3237335E-5 | 2.3197525E-5 | 1.8319381E-4 | 7.8971276 | 1.6E-4 | 9.958477E-5 | 9.9414196E-5 | 7.5934856E-4 | 7.6382313 | 6.6E-4 | 0.0012117702 | 0.0012096985 | 0.0033071581 | 2.7338698 | 0.0021 | 0.012051838 | 0.012112607 | 0.016004883 | 1.3213409 | 0.00394 |
6.5 | 2.2732203E-5 | 2.3011888E-5 | 1.830082E-4 | 7.952768 | 1.6E-4 | 9.742009E-5 | 9.8618664E-5 | 7.5855356E-4 | 7.6917853 | 6.6E-4 | 0.0011854442 | 0.0012000237 | 0.0032975036 | 2.7478654 | 0.0021 | 0.011791403 | 0.012016909 | 0.015909562 | 1.3239313 | 0.00394 |
6.6 | 2.1319436E-5 | 2.179202E-5 | 1.8178853E-4 | 8.341977 | 1.6E-4 | 9.136581E-5 | 9.339105E-5 | 7.533294E-4 | 8.066399 | 6.6E-4 | 0.001111811 | 0.0011364452 | 0.00322407 | 2.836978 | 0.00209 | 0.011062649 | 0.011387785 | 0.015273031 | 1.3411766 | 0.00393 |
6.7 | 1.970802E-5 | 2.0411735E-5 | 1.8040847E-4 | 8.838469 | 1.6E-4 | 8.446021E-5 | 8.747594E-5 | 7.474182E-4 | 8.544271 | 6.6E-4 | 0.001027818 | 0.0010645009 | 0.0031522762 | 2.9612713 | 0.00209 | 0.010230771 | 0.010675436 | 0.014563481 | 1.3642049 | 0.00393 |
6.8 | 1.8744462E-5 | 1.9919305E-5 | 1.7991613E-4 | 9.0322485 | 1.6E-4 | 8.033094E-5 | 8.536567E-5 | 7.4530934E-4 | 8.730785 | 6.6E-4 | 9.775903E-4 | 0.0010388332 | 0.003126662 | 3.0097828 | 0.00209 | 0.009733009 | 0.0104211895 | 0.014310234 | 1.3731862 | 0.00393 |
6.9 | 1.7559682E-5 | 1.8971561E-5 | 1.7896852E-4 | 9.4335165 | 1.6E-4 | 7.5253614E-5 | 8.130416E-5 | 7.312513E-4 | 8.99402 | 6.5E-4 | 9.158276E-4 | 9.894301E-4 | 0.0030673721 | 3.1001403 | 0.00208 | 0.0091206245 | 0.009931459 | 0.013812527 | 1.3907853 | 0.00392 |
7.0 | 1.6794445E-5 | 1.823424E-5 | 1.7823132E-4 | 9.774542 | 1.6E-4 | 7.197421E-5 | 7.81444E-5 | 7.280936E-4 | 9.317284 | 6.5E-4 | 8.759337E-4 | 9.509942E-4 | 0.0030190258 | 3.1745994 | 0.00207 | 0.008724891 | 0.009550322 | 0.01342298 | 1.4055003 | 0.00391 |
7.1 | 1.6337795E-5 | 1.7734945E-5 | 1.6773229E-4 | 9.457728 | 1.5E-4 | 7.0017246E-5 | 7.60047E-5 | 7.1595603E-4 | 9.419892 | 6.4E-4 | 8.521265E-4 | 9.249657E-4 | 0.0029830602 | 3.2250495 | 0.00206 | 0.008488664 | 0.00929198 | 0.013145835 | 1.4147506 | 0.00389 |
7.2 | 1.5780008E-5 | 1.7183505E-5 | 1.6718093E-4 | 9.729152 | 1.5E-4 | 6.762685E-5 | 7.3641524E-5 | 7.135944E-4 | 9.690109 | 6.4E-4 | 8.2304585E-4 | 8.9621806E-4 | 0.0029543717 | 3.2964878 | 0.00206 | 0.008200042 | 0.009006796 | 0.012832031 | 1.4247053 | 0.00386 |
7.3 | 1.5058865E-5 | 1.6636446E-5 | 1.5663412E-4 | 9.415119 | 1.4E-4 | 6.45364E-5 | 7.129711E-5 | 7.012522E-4 | 9.835632 | 6.3E-4 | 7.854473E-4 | 8.676978E-4 | 0.002915919 | 3.3605237 | 0.00205 | 0.00782677 | 0.00872343 | 0.012529933 | 1.4363538 | 0.00384 |
7.4 | 1.4887923E-5 | 1.6472359E-5 | 1.5647005E-4 | 9.498946 | 1.4E-4 | 6.380382E-5 | 7.0593924E-5 | 6.805509E-4 | 9.64036 | 6.1E-4 | 7.7653467E-4 | 8.591433E-4 | 0.002877408 | 3.3491592 | 0.00202 | 0.0077382675 | 0.008638229 | 0.012375663 | 1.432662 | 0.00377 |
7.5 | 1.4509299E-5 | 1.6064254E-5 | 1.56062E-4 | 9.714862 | 1.4E-4 | 6.218123E-5 | 6.8844995E-5 | 6.588044E-4 | 9.569387 | 5.9E-4 | 7.567935E-4 | 8.378666E-4 | 0.0027162915 | 3.2419138 | 0.00188 | 0.0075422134 | 0.008426482 | 0.01184741 | 1.4059736 | 0.00345 |
7.6 | 1.2756717E-5 | 1.4067613E-5 | 8.4066625E-5 | 5.9758987 | 7.0E-5 | 5.4670498E-5 | 6.028838E-5 | 4.1026727E-4 | 6.8050804 | 3.5E-4 | 6.6541E-4 | 7.337645E-4 | 0.0019928399 | 2.715912 | 0.00126 | 0.006634211 | 0.0073910584 | 0.0097435415 | 1.3182877 | 0.00237 |
7.7 | 1.0328985E-5 | 1.1476324E-5 | 4.147598E-5 | 3.6140475 | 3.0E-5 | 4.4266326E-5 | 4.9183323E-5 | 2.8917153E-4 | 5.8794627 | 2.4E-4 | 5.388092E-4 | 5.986428E-4 | 0.0013082178 | 2.185306 | 7.1E-4 | 0.0053750467 | 0.006046964 | 0.0074484376 | 1.2317649 | 0.00141 |
7.8 | 7.0306583E-6 | 8.912348E-6 | 1.8912258E-5 | 2.1220288 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0131043E-5 | 3.819522E-5 | 1.6819025E-4 | 4.403437 | 1.3E-4 | 3.667837E-4 | 4.6492773E-4 | 8.747371E-4 | 1.8814476 | 4.1E-4 | 0.003661789 | 0.004702143 | 0.0055381935 | 1.177802 | 8.4E-4 |
7.9 | 4.060633E-6 | 5.472873E-6 | 5.472873E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7402595E-5 | 2.3454959E-5 | 9.345332E-5 | 3.9843733 | 7.0E-5 | 2.11856E-4 | 2.8552682E-4 | 5.854411E-4 | 2.0503893 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0021165414 | 0.0028883645 | 0.0034168335 | 1.1829648 | 5.3E-4 |
8.0 | 1.6729537E-6 | 2.080019E-6 | 2.080019E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.169782E-6 | 8.914337E-6 | 4.8913982E-5 | 5.4871135 | 4.0E-5 | 8.7288594E-5 | 1.08526685E-4 | 2.585104E-4 | 2.3819985 | 1.5E-4 | 8.7254314E-4 | 0.0010985459 | 0.0013282932 | 1.2091377 | 2.3E-4 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 3.1523513E-7 | 3.1523513E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5742813E-6 | 1.3510071E-6 | 1.1350993E-5 | 8.4018755 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.6448403E-5 | 3.6448073E-5 | 2.2159035 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.6662726E-4 | 1.9662226E-4 | 1.1800126 | 3.0E-5 |
McLean Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.7360222E-5 | 1.8502275E-5 | 7.8501165E-5 | 4.2427845 | 6.0E-5 | 7.439883E-5 | 7.929332E-5 | 3.0927508E-4 | 3.9003925 | 2.3E-4 | 9.0542925E-4 | 9.6501724E-4 | 0.0023936373 | 2.4804087 | 0.00143 | 0.009017491 | 0.009613109 | 0.012683309 | 1.3193763 | 0.0031 |
6.1 | 9.062689E-6 | 9.592492E-6 | 4.959211E-5 | 5.1698885 | 4.0E-5 | 3.8839516E-5 | 4.1110077E-5 | 2.011035E-4 | 4.8918295 | 1.6E-4 | 4.727685E-4 | 5.0040917E-4 | 0.0012500338 | 2.4980235 | 7.5E-4 | 0.0047176396 | 0.0049937065 | 0.006734967 | 1.3486911 | 0.00175 |
6.2 | 9.062689E-6 | 9.592492E-6 | 4.959211E-5 | 5.1698885 | 4.0E-5 | 3.8839516E-5 | 4.1110077E-5 | 2.011035E-4 | 4.8918295 | 1.6E-4 | 4.727685E-4 | 5.0040917E-4 | 0.0012500338 | 2.4980235 | 7.5E-4 | 0.0047176396 | 0.0049937065 | 0.006734967 | 1.3486911 | 0.00175 |
6.3 | 7.2575485E-6 | 7.66794E-6 | 3.766771E-5 | 4.912364 | 3.0E-5 | 3.110341E-5 | 3.2862223E-5 | 1.3285894E-4 | 4.0429077 | 1.0E-4 | 3.786182E-4 | 4.0003125E-4 | 9.2981925E-4 | 2.3243666 | 5.3E-4 | 0.0037797375 | 0.003993816 | 0.005328465 | 1.3341787 | 0.00134 |
6.4 | 7.2575485E-6 | 7.66794E-6 | 3.766771E-5 | 4.912364 | 3.0E-5 | 3.110341E-5 | 3.2862223E-5 | 1.3285894E-4 | 4.0429077 | 1.0E-4 | 3.786182E-4 | 4.0003125E-4 | 9.2981925E-4 | 2.3243666 | 5.3E-4 | 0.0037797375 | 0.003993816 | 0.005328465 | 1.3341787 | 0.00134 |
6.5 | 6.06582E-6 | 6.4040664E-6 | 2.6403939E-5 | 4.1229954 | 2.0E-5 | 2.5996113E-5 | 2.7445747E-5 | 1.0744355E-4 | 3.9147613 | 8.0E-5 | 3.164567E-4 | 3.3410723E-4 | 8.139468E-4 | 2.4361846 | 4.8E-4 | 0.0031600643 | 0.0033366878 | 0.004433017 | 1.3285682 | 0.0011 |
6.6 | 5.598744E-6 | 5.910437E-6 | 2.5910318E-5 | 4.383825 | 2.0E-5 | 2.3994397E-5 | 2.5330233E-5 | 1.0532821E-4 | 4.158201 | 8.0E-5 | 2.9209262E-4 | 3.0835834E-4 | 7.5821957E-4 | 2.4588912 | 4.5E-4 | 0.0029170897 | 0.003079934 | 0.004086823 | 1.3269191 | 0.00101 |
6.7 | 5.246996E-6 | 5.5393257E-6 | 2.5539215E-5 | 4.6105275 | 2.0E-5 | 2.2486933E-5 | 2.3739787E-5 | 1.0373789E-4 | 4.36979 | 8.0E-5 | 2.73744E-4 | 2.8899993E-4 | 7.0887856E-4 | 2.4528675 | 4.2E-4 | 0.0027340704 | 0.0028868648 | 0.003804209 | 1.3177648 | 9.2E-4 |
6.8 | 4.02324E-6 | 4.2470297E-6 | 2.4246945E-5 | 5.7091537 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7242342E-5 | 1.8201463E-5 | 7.820037E-5 | 4.296378 | 6.0E-5 | 2.099053E-4 | 2.2158623E-4 | 5.615109E-4 | 2.5340514 | 3.4E-4 | 0.0020970714 | 0.0022142373 | 0.002932643 | 1.3244483 | 7.2E-4 |
6.9 | 6.835972E-7 | 7.140097E-7 | 7.140097E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9296991E-6 | 3.0600397E-6 | 1.3060009E-5 | 4.2679214 | 1.0E-5 | 3.56685E-5 | 3.7255664E-5 | 1.1725268E-4 | 3.1472445 | 8.0E-5 | 3.5662777E-4 | 3.7252545E-4 | 5.02477E-4 | 1.3488394 | 1.3E-4 |
Gravel Hills-Harper Lk
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0679566E-5 | 3.146678E-5 | 5.146615E-5 | 1.6355709 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3147724E-4 | 1.3485189E-4 | 4.7480603E-4 | 3.5209448 | 3.4E-4 | 0.0015995599 | 0.0016408021 | 0.0028288497 | 1.7240651 | 0.00119 | 0.015880952 | 0.016308447 | 0.018875882 | 1.1574298 | 0.00261 |
6.1 | 3.0679566E-5 | 3.146678E-5 | 5.146615E-5 | 1.6355709 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3147724E-4 | 1.3485189E-4 | 4.7480603E-4 | 3.5209448 | 3.4E-4 | 0.0015995599 | 0.0016408021 | 0.0028288497 | 1.7240651 | 0.00119 | 0.015880952 | 0.016308447 | 0.018875882 | 1.1574298 | 0.00261 |
6.2 | 1.514536E-5 | 1.3635941E-5 | 2.3635805E-5 | 1.733346 | 1.0E-5 | 6.490707E-5 | 5.843851E-5 | 1.784315E-4 | 3.0533206 | 1.2E-4 | 7.8995706E-4 | 7.1126845E-4 | 0.0011409626 | 1.6041237 | 4.3E-4 | 0.007871548 | 0.0070911213 | 0.008123746 | 1.1456223 | 0.00104 |
6.3 | 1.514536E-5 | 1.3635941E-5 | 2.3635805E-5 | 1.733346 | 1.0E-5 | 6.490707E-5 | 5.843851E-5 | 1.784315E-4 | 3.0533206 | 1.2E-4 | 7.8995706E-4 | 7.1126845E-4 | 0.0011409626 | 1.6041237 | 4.3E-4 | 0.007871548 | 0.0070911213 | 0.008123746 | 1.1456223 | 0.00104 |
6.4 | 1.2532521E-5 | 1.0690225E-5 | 2.0690119E-5 | 1.935424 | 1.0E-5 | 5.37097E-5 | 4.581448E-5 | 1.1581127E-4 | 2.5278313 | 7.0E-5 | 6.537194E-4 | 5.5765436E-4 | 8.374982E-4 | 1.5018232 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0065179965 | 0.00556314 | 0.0062294127 | 1.1197656 | 6.7E-4 |
6.5 | 1.1094058E-5 | 9.084098E-6 | 1.9084007E-5 | 2.1008148 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7545094E-5 | 3.8931288E-5 | 1.08928565E-4 | 2.7979696 | 7.0E-5 | 5.787078E-4 | 4.738894E-4 | 7.137757E-4 | 1.5062072 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0057720304 | 0.004729196 | 0.005246737 | 1.1094353 | 5.2E-4 |
6.6 | 9.688328E-6 | 7.5320436E-6 | 1.7531967E-5 | 2.327651 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1520743E-5 | 3.22798E-5 | 6.2278836E-5 | 1.9293437 | 3.0E-5 | 5.053978E-4 | 3.9293827E-4 | 5.128911E-4 | 1.3052715 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0050424994 | 0.0039226916 | 0.004221515 | 1.0761781 | 3.0E-4 |
6.7 | 8.974824E-6 | 6.7497213E-6 | 1.6749655E-5 | 2.4815326 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8462964E-5 | 2.8927068E-5 | 4.892649E-5 | 1.691374 | 2.0E-5 | 4.6818596E-4 | 3.5213237E-4 | 4.1211123E-4 | 1.1703305 | 6.0E-5 | 0.004672008 | 0.0035159648 | 0.0037152616 | 1.0566834 | 2.0E-4 |
6.8 | 7.4780046E-6 | 5.1164225E-6 | 5.1164225E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.20482E-5 | 2.1927348E-5 | 3.1927128E-5 | 1.4560415 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9011694E-4 | 2.6693416E-4 | 2.8692881E-4 | 1.0749048 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0038943281 | 0.0026662734 | 0.0027959268 | 1.0486271 | 1.3E-4 |
6.9 | 6.3409307E-6 | 3.9076735E-6 | 3.9076735E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7175134E-5 | 1.674707E-5 | 2.6746904E-5 | 1.5971093 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3080703E-4 | 2.038775E-4 | 2.2387342E-4 | 1.0980781 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0033031502 | 0.0020370027 | 0.0021268195 | 1.0440925 | 9.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.1239335E-6 | 2.605978E-6 | 2.605978E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.195953E-5 | 1.116843E-5 | 2.1168318E-5 | 1.895371 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6732447E-4 | 1.359674E-4 | 1.5596469E-4 | 1.1470741 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0026700313 | 0.0013588674 | 0.0013988131 | 1.0293963 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.438899E-6 | 2.0985767E-6 | 2.0985767E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9023713E-5 | 8.99387E-6 | 1.899378E-5 | 2.1118584 | 1.0E-5 | 2.315891E-4 | 1.0949509E-4 | 1.294929E-4 | 1.1826366 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002313479 | 0.0010944332 | 0.0011244004 | 1.0273814 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.50367E-6 | 1.2616476E-6 | 1.2616476E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5015643E-5 | 5.4070506E-6 | 1.5406997E-5 | 2.8494272 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8280011E-4 | 6.5828935E-5 | 8.582762E-5 | 1.3037977 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0018264982 | 6.5810257E-4 | 6.780894E-4 | 1.0303704 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.561638E-6 | 7.1193233E-7 | 7.1193233E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0978401E-5 | 3.051135E-6 | 1.3051104E-5 | 4.2774587 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3365384E-4 | 3.7146954E-5 | 5.714621E-5 | 1.5383822 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0013357349 | 3.7140946E-4 | 3.9140202E-4 | 1.053829 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.0368864E-6 | 5.304974E-7 | 5.304974E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.729483E-6 | 2.2735583E-6 | 1.22735355E-5 | 5.3983817 | 1.0E-5 | 1.06276275E-4 | 2.7680228E-5 | 4.7679674E-5 | 1.7225174 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010622547 | 2.7676832E-4 | 2.967628E-4 | 1.0722426 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.1681728E-6 | 3.6031344E-7 | 3.6031344E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0064455E-6 | 1.5441996E-6 | 1.5441996E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0951766E-5 | 1.8800472E-5 | 1.8800472E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.093505E-4 | 1.8798928E-4 | 1.8798928E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.3154387E-7 | 7.119929E-8 | 7.119929E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6375933E-7 | 3.0513976E-7 | 3.0513976E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863748E-6 | 3.715072E-6 | 3.715072E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863536E-5 | 3.7150257E-5 | 3.7150257E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Goldstone Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.671352E-5 | 3.0378256E-5 | 6.0377344E-5 | 1.9875184 | 3.0E-5 | 1.1448149E-4 | 1.3018714E-4 | 3.101637E-4 | 2.382445 | 1.8E-4 | 0.001392921 | 0.0015840722 | 0.0026623616 | 1.6807071 | 0.00108 | 0.013842222 | 0.01574731 | 0.018198099 | 1.1556323 | 0.00249 |
6.1 | 2.671352E-5 | 3.0378256E-5 | 6.0377344E-5 | 1.9875184 | 3.0E-5 | 1.1448149E-4 | 1.3018714E-4 | 3.101637E-4 | 2.382445 | 1.8E-4 | 0.001392921 | 0.0015840722 | 0.0026623616 | 1.6807071 | 0.00108 | 0.013842222 | 0.01574731 | 0.018198099 | 1.1556323 | 0.00249 |
6.2 | 1.4197047E-5 | 1.609734E-5 | 3.609702E-5 | 2.2424214 | 2.0E-5 | 6.0843064E-5 | 6.898733E-5 | 1.4898181E-4 | 2.1595533 | 8.0E-5 | 7.4051257E-4 | 8.396957E-4 | 0.0013292843 | 1.5830548 | 4.9E-4 | 0.007380498 | 0.008374927 | 0.009574793 | 1.1432688 | 0.00121 |
6.3 | 1.4197047E-5 | 1.609734E-5 | 3.609702E-5 | 2.2424214 | 2.0E-5 | 6.0843064E-5 | 6.898733E-5 | 1.4898181E-4 | 2.1595533 | 8.0E-5 | 7.4051257E-4 | 8.396957E-4 | 0.0013292843 | 1.5830548 | 4.9E-4 | 0.007380498 | 0.008374927 | 0.009574793 | 1.1432688 | 0.00121 |
6.4 | 1.3238931E-5 | 1.5009476E-5 | 3.5009176E-5 | 2.3324716 | 2.0E-5 | 5.6737044E-5 | 6.432529E-5 | 1.4432015E-4 | 2.2435987 | 8.0E-5 | 6.9055456E-4 | 7.8297703E-4 | 0.0012326248 | 1.5742795 | 4.5E-4 | 0.006884126 | 0.0078118113 | 0.008952828 | 1.146063 | 0.00115 |
6.5 | 1.3238931E-5 | 1.5009476E-5 | 3.5009176E-5 | 2.3324716 | 2.0E-5 | 5.6737044E-5 | 6.432529E-5 | 1.4432015E-4 | 2.2435987 | 8.0E-5 | 6.9055456E-4 | 7.8297703E-4 | 0.0012326248 | 1.5742795 | 4.5E-4 | 0.006884126 | 0.0078118113 | 0.008952828 | 1.146063 | 0.00115 |
6.6 | 1.1328278E-5 | 1.2856037E-5 | 3.285578E-5 | 2.5556693 | 2.0E-5 | 4.8548856E-5 | 5.5096676E-5 | 1.3509227E-4 | 2.451913 | 8.0E-5 | 5.90922E-4 | 6.7069125E-4 | 0.0010604297 | 1.5810996 | 3.9E-4 | 0.0058935313 | 0.0066960617 | 0.0076496336 | 1.1424079 | 9.6E-4 |
6.7 | 8.651175E-6 | 9.825223E-6 | 1.9825125E-5 | 2.0177786 | 1.0E-5 | 3.707594E-5 | 4.210793E-5 | 1.12104986E-4 | 2.6623247 | 7.0E-5 | 4.5130608E-4 | 5.12634E-4 | 8.2247506E-4 | 1.6044099 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0045039062 | 0.0051233945 | 0.005869552 | 1.1456373 | 7.5E-4 |
6.8 | 1.0215377E-6 | 1.1755159E-6 | 1.1755159E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.378012E-6 | 5.0379163E-6 | 5.0379163E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3300988E-5 | 6.133502E-5 | 7.1334405E-5 | 1.163029 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3288206E-4 | 6.1319215E-4 | 6.331799E-4 | 1.0325962 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.9360774E-7 | 9.283743E-7 | 9.283743E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4011714E-6 | 3.978741E-6 | 3.978741E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1408475E-5 | 4.8440168E-5 | 5.8439684E-5 | 1.2064302 | 1.0E-5 | 4.140076E-4 | 4.8430308E-4 | 4.9429823E-4 | 1.0206382 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.4382757E-7 | 8.7476525E-7 | 8.7476525E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1878285E-6 | 3.748989E-6 | 3.748989E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8811122E-5 | 4.5643053E-5 | 5.5642595E-5 | 1.2190814 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8804344E-4 | 4.5634343E-4 | 4.6633885E-4 | 1.0219033 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 6.4709513E-7 | 7.711585E-7 | 7.711585E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.773262E-6 | 3.3049612E-6 | 3.3049612E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.376394E-5 | 4.023722E-5 | 4.023722E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.375881E-4 | 4.023053E-4 | 4.023053E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.356704E-7 | 7.5886396E-7 | 7.5886396E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7242988E-6 | 3.2522705E-6 | 3.2522705E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3167835E-5 | 3.9595736E-5 | 3.9595736E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3162883E-4 | 3.9589274E-4 | 3.9589274E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.7695723E-7 | 6.8968285E-7 | 6.8968285E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4726714E-6 | 2.9557807E-6 | 2.9557807E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0104358E-5 | 3.5986093E-5 | 3.5986093E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0100282E-4 | 3.598084E-4 | 3.598084E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.209647E-7 | 6.1937425E-7 | 6.1937425E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.232704E-6 | 2.6544587E-6 | 2.6544587E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.718283E-5 | 3.231761E-5 | 3.231761E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7179506E-4 | 3.2313468E-4 | 3.2313468E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.512955E-7 | 5.3490703E-7 | 5.3490703E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.934122E-6 | 2.292457E-6 | 2.292457E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3547682E-5 | 2.791036E-5 | 2.791036E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3545188E-4 | 2.7907387E-4 | 2.7907387E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.6040448E-7 | 2.6040448E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.1160189E-6 | 1.1160189E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.3587473E-5 | 1.3587473E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1539775E-4 | 1.3586924E-4 | 1.3586924E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
So Sierra Nevada
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1079929E-5 | 7.107927E-5 | 6.4151373 | 6.0E-5 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7484617E-5 | 2.8747323E-4 | 6.0540285 | 2.4E-4 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.779846E-4 | 0.0015374298 | 2.6599839 | 9.6E-4 | 0.006007948 | 0.0057660826 | 0.008032936 | 1.3931358 | 0.00228 |
6.1 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1079929E-5 | 7.107927E-5 | 6.4151373 | 6.0E-5 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7484617E-5 | 2.8747323E-4 | 6.0540285 | 2.4E-4 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.779846E-4 | 0.0015374298 | 2.6599839 | 9.6E-4 | 0.006007948 | 0.0057660826 | 0.008032936 | 1.3931358 | 0.00228 |
6.2 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1079929E-5 | 7.107927E-5 | 6.4151373 | 6.0E-5 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7484617E-5 | 2.8747323E-4 | 6.0540285 | 2.4E-4 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.779846E-4 | 0.0015374298 | 2.6599839 | 9.6E-4 | 0.006007948 | 0.0057660826 | 0.008032936 | 1.3931358 | 0.00228 |
6.3 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1079929E-5 | 7.107927E-5 | 6.4151373 | 6.0E-5 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7484617E-5 | 2.8747323E-4 | 6.0540285 | 2.4E-4 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.779846E-4 | 0.0015374298 | 2.6599839 | 9.6E-4 | 0.006007948 | 0.0057660826 | 0.008032936 | 1.3931358 | 0.00228 |
6.4 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1079929E-5 | 7.107927E-5 | 6.4151373 | 6.0E-5 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7484617E-5 | 2.8747323E-4 | 6.0540285 | 2.4E-4 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.779846E-4 | 0.0015374298 | 2.6599839 | 9.6E-4 | 0.006007948 | 0.0057660826 | 0.008032936 | 1.3931358 | 0.00228 |
6.5 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1079929E-5 | 7.107927E-5 | 6.4151373 | 6.0E-5 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7484617E-5 | 2.8747323E-4 | 6.0540285 | 2.4E-4 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.779846E-4 | 0.0015374298 | 2.6599839 | 9.6E-4 | 0.006007948 | 0.0057660826 | 0.008032936 | 1.3931358 | 0.00228 |
6.6 | 7.587044E-6 | 6.9358202E-6 | 4.6935544E-5 | 6.7671223 | 4.0E-5 | 3.2515498E-5 | 2.9724622E-5 | 1.6972046E-4 | 5.70976 | 1.4E-4 | 3.9580427E-4 | 3.618401E-4 | 9.116411E-4 | 2.5194585 | 5.5E-4 | 0.003951 | 0.003612801 | 0.0048483214 | 1.341984 | 0.00124 |
6.7 | 7.587044E-6 | 6.9358202E-6 | 4.6935544E-5 | 6.7671223 | 4.0E-5 | 3.2515498E-5 | 2.9724622E-5 | 1.6972046E-4 | 5.70976 | 1.4E-4 | 3.9580427E-4 | 3.618401E-4 | 9.116411E-4 | 2.5194585 | 5.5E-4 | 0.003951 | 0.003612801 | 0.0048483214 | 1.341984 | 0.00124 |
6.8 | 5.9026956E-6 | 5.179538E-6 | 4.517933E-5 | 8.722656 | 4.0E-5 | 2.5297022E-5 | 2.2197837E-5 | 1.1219584E-4 | 5.054359 | 9.0E-5 | 3.0794772E-4 | 2.7022633E-4 | 7.001101E-4 | 2.5908287 | 4.3E-4 | 0.0030752132 | 0.0026990937 | 0.0036166103 | 1.3399352 | 9.2E-4 |
6.9 | 5.0118915E-6 | 4.2525508E-6 | 2.4252466E-5 | 5.7030396 | 2.0E-5 | 2.1479358E-5 | 1.8225093E-5 | 8.822382E-5 | 4.840788 | 7.0E-5 | 2.614798E-4 | 2.2186866E-4 | 5.3179986E-4 | 2.396913 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0026117235 | 0.002216544 | 0.0029648817 | 1.3376145 | 7.5E-4 |
7.0 | 4.4924795E-6 | 3.7140323E-6 | 2.3713957E-5 | 6.3849626 | 2.0E-5 | 1.925334E-5 | 1.5917189E-5 | 8.591607E-5 | 5.3976917 | 7.0E-5 | 2.3438422E-4 | 1.9377517E-4 | 4.8371896E-4 | 2.4962897 | 2.9E-4 | 0.0023413717 | 0.0019361249 | 0.0025848665 | 1.3350722 | 6.5E-4 |
7.1 | 3.9118436E-6 | 3.1120794E-6 | 1.3112048E-5 | 4.213276 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6764936E-5 | 1.3337418E-5 | 6.333675E-5 | 4.7488017 | 5.0E-5 | 2.0409399E-4 | 1.6237154E-4 | 4.0233257E-4 | 2.4778516 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0020390663 | 0.001622585 | 0.002161709 | 1.3322623 | 5.4E-4 |
7.2 | 3.4200818E-6 | 2.605546E-6 | 1.260552E-5 | 4.8379574 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4657411E-5 | 1.116658E-5 | 6.116602E-5 | 5.4775968 | 5.0E-5 | 1.7843937E-4 | 1.3594514E-4 | 3.3591795E-4 | 2.4709816 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0017829615 | 0.0013586695 | 0.0018080581 | 1.3307564 | 4.5E-4 |
7.3 | 2.6593618E-6 | 1.8284966E-6 | 1.8284966E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.13972155E-5 | 7.836392E-6 | 3.783616E-5 | 4.8282623 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3875226E-4 | 9.540419E-5 | 2.5538894E-4 | 2.6769152 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0013866565 | 9.536612E-4 | 0.0012533751 | 1.3142772 | 3.0E-4 |
7.4 | 2.2577992E-6 | 1.4365053E-6 | 1.4365053E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.676246E-6 | 6.156438E-6 | 3.6156252E-5 | 5.8729177 | 3.0E-5 | 1.1780193E-4 | 7.495231E-5 | 2.1494181E-4 | 2.8677144 | 1.4E-4 | 0.001177395 | 7.4929534E-4 | 9.891154E-4 | 1.320061 | 2.4E-4 |
7.5 | 1.489319E-6 | 7.354422E-7 | 7.354422E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3827797E-6 | 3.1518912E-6 | 1.315186E-5 | 4.1726885 | 1.0E-5 | 7.770758E-5 | 3.8373604E-5 | 8.8371686E-5 | 2.302929 | 5.0E-5 | 7.7680405E-4 | 3.836702E-4 | 4.9362803E-4 | 1.2865945 | 1.1E-4 |
7.6 | 1.0680322E-6 | 4.659972E-7 | 4.659972E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.577273E-6 | 1.9971294E-6 | 1.9971294E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5726876E-5 | 2.431478E-5 | 3.4314537E-5 | 1.4112625 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5712904E-4 | 2.4312147E-4 | 3.0310688E-4 | 1.2467302 | 6.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.509146E-7 | 1.5581371E-7 | 1.5581371E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3610605E-6 | 6.677729E-7 | 6.677729E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8745531E-5 | 8.130106E-6 | 8.130106E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8741814E-4 | 8.1298196E-5 | 8.1298196E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Mojave S)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.7501515E-4 | 7.3497463E-4 | 1.0888269 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0013306376 | 0.002889843 | 0.0031490917 | 1.0897102 | 2.6E-4 | 0.016080605 | 0.034743454 | 0.035563923 | 1.023615 | 8.5E-4 | 0.1496549 | 0.28684503 | 0.2881287 | 1.0044751 | 0.0018 |
6.1 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.7501515E-4 | 7.3497463E-4 | 1.0888269 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0013306376 | 0.002889843 | 0.0031490917 | 1.0897102 | 2.6E-4 | 0.016080605 | 0.034743454 | 0.035563923 | 1.023615 | 8.5E-4 | 0.1496549 | 0.28684503 | 0.2881287 | 1.0044751 | 0.0018 |
6.2 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.7501515E-4 | 7.3497463E-4 | 1.0888269 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0013306376 | 0.002889843 | 0.0031490917 | 1.0897102 | 2.6E-4 | 0.016080605 | 0.034743454 | 0.035563923 | 1.023615 | 8.5E-4 | 0.1496549 | 0.28684503 | 0.2881287 | 1.0044751 | 0.0018 |
6.3 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.7501515E-4 | 7.3497463E-4 | 1.0888269 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0013306376 | 0.002889843 | 0.0031490917 | 1.0897102 | 2.6E-4 | 0.016080605 | 0.034743454 | 0.035563923 | 1.023615 | 8.5E-4 | 0.1496549 | 0.28684503 | 0.2881287 | 1.0044751 | 0.0018 |
6.4 | 1.9872203E-4 | 4.3217847E-4 | 4.8215684E-4 | 1.1156429 | 5.0E-5 | 8.5138786E-4 | 0.0018509069 | 0.0020605181 | 1.1132479 | 2.1E-4 | 0.010316478 | 0.022308085 | 0.0230218 | 1.0319935 | 7.3E-4 | 0.098504856 | 0.19718863 | 0.19845708 | 1.0064327 | 0.00158 |
6.5 | 1.291105E-4 | 2.878896E-4 | 3.1788097E-4 | 1.1041766 | 3.0E-5 | 5.5321335E-4 | 0.001233232 | 0.0014229977 | 1.1538767 | 1.9E-4 | 0.006714592 | 0.0149120595 | 0.015532665 | 1.0416176 | 6.3E-4 | 0.065152965 | 0.13821197 | 0.13937537 | 1.0084176 | 0.00135 |
6.6 | 1.291105E-4 | 2.878896E-4 | 3.1788097E-4 | 1.1041766 | 3.0E-5 | 5.5321335E-4 | 0.001233232 | 0.0014229977 | 1.1538767 | 1.9E-4 | 0.006714592 | 0.0149120595 | 0.015532665 | 1.0416176 | 6.3E-4 | 0.065152965 | 0.13821197 | 0.13937537 | 1.0084176 | 0.00135 |
6.7 | 1.08001186E-4 | 2.4369665E-4 | 2.7368934E-4 | 1.1230738 | 3.0E-5 | 4.6278012E-4 | 0.0010439967 | 0.0012337983 | 1.1818029 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0056198016 | 0.012636882 | 0.013258921 | 1.049224 | 6.3E-4 | 0.054797906 | 0.11933387 | 0.12044351 | 1.0092986 | 0.00126 |
6.8 | 1.0624356E-4 | 2.3887234E-4 | 2.6886517E-4 | 1.12556 | 3.0E-5 | 4.5525006E-4 | 0.0010233375 | 0.001213143 | 1.185477 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0055285925 | 0.012388234 | 0.013010429 | 1.0502247 | 6.3E-4 | 0.053930566 | 0.117277905 | 0.118390135 | 1.0094837 | 0.00126 |
6.9 | 1.0393785E-4 | 2.3257434E-4 | 2.6256737E-4 | 1.128961 | 3.0E-5 | 4.4537184E-4 | 9.963668E-4 | 0.0011861776 | 1.1905028 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0054089287 | 0.012063543 | 0.012685943 | 1.0515934 | 6.3E-4 | 0.05279156 | 0.11457736 | 0.11569299 | 1.0097369 | 0.00126 |
7.0 | 1.0155622E-4 | 2.2626782E-4 | 2.5626103E-4 | 1.1325562 | 3.0E-5 | 4.3516833E-4 | 9.693592E-4 | 0.0011591751 | 1.1958158 | 1.9E-4 | 0.005285311 | 0.01173831 | 0.012360915 | 1.0530404 | 6.3E-4 | 0.05161361 | 0.111840434 | 0.11295064 | 1.0099267 | 0.00125 |
7.1 | 9.885595E-5 | 2.1914982E-4 | 2.4914325E-4 | 1.1368626 | 3.0E-5 | 4.2359953E-4 | 9.388758E-4 | 0.0011286974 | 1.2021797 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0051451353 | 0.011371101 | 0.011984051 | 1.0539042 | 6.2E-4 | 0.05027629 | 0.10872063 | 0.1098169 | 1.0100834 | 0.00123 |
7.2 | 9.6411415E-5 | 2.1277768E-4 | 2.427713E-4 | 1.1409622 | 3.0E-5 | 4.1312634E-4 | 9.11586E-4 | 0.0011014128 | 1.208238 | 1.9E-4 | 0.005018219 | 0.011042262 | 0.011655416 | 1.0555279 | 6.2E-4 | 0.049064007 | 0.105914876 | 0.1070146 | 1.0103831 | 0.00123 |
7.3 | 9.1180635E-5 | 1.9505205E-4 | 2.250462E-4 | 1.1537751 | 3.0E-5 | 3.907156E-4 | 8.3566963E-4 | 0.0010255108 | 1.2271726 | 1.9E-4 | 0.004746591 | 0.010126927 | 0.010740648 | 1.0606029 | 6.2E-4 | 0.046464786 | 0.09810342 | 0.09919471 | 1.0111239 | 0.00121 |
7.4 | 8.887388E-5 | 1.875339E-4 | 2.1752827E-4 | 1.1599411 | 3.0E-5 | 3.8083247E-4 | 8.034692E-4 | 9.933165E-4 | 1.2362845 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0046267817 | 0.009738459 | 0.010352422 | 1.0630451 | 6.2E-4 | 0.045316286 | 0.094735 | 0.09582131 | 1.0114669 | 0.0012 |
7.5 | 8.6750515E-5 | 1.8084598E-4 | 2.1084056E-4 | 1.165857 | 3.0E-5 | 3.7173493E-4 | 7.7482406E-4 | 9.6467684E-4 | 1.245027 | 1.9E-4 | 0.004516484 | 0.009392765 | 0.010006942 | 1.0653882 | 6.2E-4 | 0.04425787 | 0.091696784 | 0.09278675 | 1.0118866 | 0.0012 |
7.6 | 8.453092E-5 | 1.7471766E-4 | 2.0471241E-4 | 1.1716756 | 3.0E-5 | 3.6222505E-4 | 7.485751E-4 | 9.384329E-4 | 1.2536255 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0044011753 | 0.009075891 | 0.009690264 | 1.0676929 | 6.2E-4 | 0.04315024 | 0.08885263 | 0.089946 | 1.0123055 | 0.0012 |
7.7 | 8.259102E-5 | 1.6993514E-4 | 1.9993004E-4 | 1.176508 | 3.0E-5 | 3.539135E-4 | 7.280903E-4 | 9.179519E-4 | 1.2607666 | 1.9E-4 | 0.004300386 | 0.0088285385 | 0.009443064 | 1.0696068 | 6.2E-4 | 0.042181134 | 0.086603284 | 0.08769935 | 1.0126563 | 0.0012 |
7.8 | 7.444844E-5 | 1.531286E-4 | 1.6312707E-4 | 1.0652946 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1902574E-4 | 6.561004E-4 | 7.9600856E-4 | 1.2132419 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0038772223 | 0.0079588145 | 0.008434994 | 1.0598305 | 4.8E-4 | 0.03810269 | 0.07842231 | 0.07929781 | 1.011164 | 9.5E-4 |
7.9 | 5.2586525E-5 | 1.0026347E-4 | 1.0026347E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2535135E-4 | 4.2962984E-4 | 4.995998E-4 | 1.162861 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0027402006 | 0.0052182092 | 0.005546487 | 1.0629101 | 3.3E-4 | 0.027066574 | 0.052295044 | 0.05285419 | 1.0106921 | 5.9E-4 |
8.0 | 3.379877E-5 | 5.418741E-5 | 5.418741E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4484383E-4 | 2.322111E-4 | 2.722018E-4 | 1.172217 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0017620471 | 0.0028235065 | 0.0029930265 | 1.0600388 | 1.7E-4 | 0.017481409 | 0.0288912 | 0.0291534 | 1.0090754 | 2.7E-4 |
8.1 | 1.8668277E-5 | 1.9360978E-5 | 1.9360978E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.000444E-5 | 8.2972976E-5 | 9.297215E-5 | 1.1205112 | 1.0E-5 | 9.736188E-4 | 0.0010097285 | 0.0010297083 | 1.0197873 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009693642 | 0.010826115 | 0.010865681 | 1.0036547 | 4.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.541571E-6 | 5.4799148E-6 | 5.4799148E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.660622E-5 | 2.3485138E-5 | 2.3485138E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.455896E-4 | 2.8589412E-4 | 2.8589412E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044469717 | 0.0032512886 | 0.003261256 | 1.0030657 | 1.0E-5 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.690063E-7 | 7.690063E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.295737E-6 | 3.295737E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.012488E-5 | 4.012488E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.737206E-4 | 4.8371585E-4 | 1.0210994 | 1.0E-5 |
Death Valley (So)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.5620835E-5 | 5.5620065E-5 | 2.170892 | 3.0E-5 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.09799046E-4 | 2.4978368E-4 | 2.2749166 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0010787029 | 0.0013360005 | 0.0021349317 | 1.5980022 | 8.0E-4 | 0.010734817 | 0.013282978 | 0.015108405 | 1.137426 | 0.00185 |
6.1 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.5620835E-5 | 5.5620065E-5 | 2.170892 | 3.0E-5 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.09799046E-4 | 2.4978368E-4 | 2.2749166 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0010787029 | 0.0013360005 | 0.0021349317 | 1.5980022 | 8.0E-4 | 0.010734817 | 0.013282978 | 0.015108405 | 1.137426 | 0.00185 |
6.2 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.5620835E-5 | 5.5620065E-5 | 2.170892 | 3.0E-5 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.09799046E-4 | 2.4978368E-4 | 2.2749166 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0010787029 | 0.0013360005 | 0.0021349317 | 1.5980022 | 8.0E-4 | 0.010734817 | 0.013282978 | 0.015108405 | 1.137426 | 0.00185 |
6.3 | 2.0240292E-5 | 2.5120886E-5 | 5.512013E-5 | 2.1941955 | 3.0E-5 | 8.6741224E-5 | 1.0765659E-4 | 2.4764152E-4 | 2.3002913 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0010555626 | 0.0013099476 | 0.0020889258 | 1.5946636 | 7.8E-4 | 0.010505628 | 0.01302552 | 0.014782335 | 1.1348748 | 0.00178 |
6.4 | 2.0240292E-5 | 2.5120886E-5 | 5.512013E-5 | 2.1941955 | 3.0E-5 | 8.6741224E-5 | 1.0765659E-4 | 2.4764152E-4 | 2.3002913 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0010555626 | 0.0013099476 | 0.0020889258 | 1.5946636 | 7.8E-4 | 0.010505628 | 0.01302552 | 0.014782335 | 1.1348748 | 0.00178 |
6.5 | 1.9962767E-5 | 2.4810119E-5 | 5.4809374E-5 | 2.2091541 | 3.0E-5 | 8.55519E-5 | 1.0632484E-4 | 2.4630997E-4 | 2.3165796 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0010410968 | 0.0012937529 | 0.0020427825 | 1.5789589 | 7.5E-4 | 0.010362327 | 0.012865457 | 0.0145732 | 1.1327386 | 0.00173 |
6.6 | 1.8937297E-5 | 2.3313813E-5 | 5.3313113E-5 | 2.2867608 | 3.0E-5 | 8.115732E-5 | 9.99126E-5 | 2.1990061E-4 | 2.2009299 | 1.2E-4 | 9.876423E-4 | 0.0012157715 | 0.0019049327 | 1.5668508 | 6.9E-4 | 0.009832645 | 0.01209411 | 0.013645123 | 1.1282452 | 0.00157 |
6.7 | 1.8621096E-5 | 2.291442E-5 | 5.2913732E-5 | 2.309189 | 3.0E-5 | 7.980225E-5 | 9.8201046E-5 | 2.0819025E-4 | 2.120041 | 1.1E-4 | 9.711593E-4 | 0.0011949565 | 0.0018541678 | 1.5516614 | 6.6E-4 | 0.009669261 | 0.011888204 | 0.013380253 | 1.1255066 | 0.00151 |
6.8 | 1.7830353E-5 | 2.1808304E-5 | 5.1807652E-5 | 2.3755927 | 3.0E-5 | 7.641356E-5 | 9.34609E-5 | 1.9345155E-4 | 2.0698662 | 1.0E-4 | 9.29938E-4 | 0.0011373064 | 0.001736624 | 1.5269623 | 6.0E-4 | 0.009260561 | 0.011317262 | 0.012721192 | 1.124052 | 0.00142 |
6.9 | 1.3135183E-5 | 1.5305317E-5 | 3.5305013E-5 | 2.3067155 | 2.0E-5 | 5.6292425E-5 | 6.5592605E-5 | 1.555867E-4 | 2.372016 | 9.0E-5 | 6.8514474E-4 | 7.9830387E-4 | 0.0011979846 | 1.5006623 | 4.0E-4 | 0.006830362 | 0.007955869 | 0.008928073 | 1.1221995 | 9.8E-4 |
7.0 | 1.1507512E-5 | 1.3155236E-5 | 2.3155104E-5 | 1.7601436 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9316975E-5 | 5.6378398E-5 | 1.3637388E-4 | 2.418903 | 8.0E-5 | 6.002687E-4 | 6.861966E-4 | 9.859907E-4 | 1.4368925 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0059864987 | 0.0068420726 | 0.0075174198 | 1.098705 | 6.8E-4 |
7.1 | 9.715903E-6 | 1.0865992E-5 | 1.0865992E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1638916E-5 | 4.6567733E-5 | 8.656587E-5 | 1.8589239 | 4.0E-5 | 5.068359E-4 | 5.668189E-4 | 7.1673386E-4 | 1.2644848 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0050568148 | 0.0056542754 | 0.0059824097 | 1.0580329 | 3.3E-4 |
7.2 | 9.233269E-6 | 1.02869635E-5 | 1.02869635E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9570554E-5 | 4.4086264E-5 | 7.408494E-5 | 1.680454 | 3.0E-5 | 4.81665E-4 | 5.366223E-4 | 6.26574E-4 | 1.1676258 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0048062233 | 0.0053536966 | 0.0056023584 | 1.0464467 | 2.5E-4 |
7.3 | 8.8041315E-6 | 9.80876E-6 | 9.80876E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7731446E-5 | 4.203689E-5 | 6.203605E-5 | 1.4757526 | 2.0E-5 | 4.592835E-4 | 5.116832E-4 | 5.7165243E-4 | 1.1172 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0045833546 | 0.005105477 | 0.00526466 | 1.031179 | 1.6E-4 |
7.4 | 8.708749E-6 | 9.707768E-6 | 9.707768E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7322676E-5 | 4.1604082E-5 | 6.160325E-5 | 1.480702 | 2.0E-5 | 4.5430884E-4 | 5.0641614E-4 | 5.663858E-4 | 1.1184196 | 6.0E-5 | 0.004533812 | 0.0050530476 | 0.0052022897 | 1.029535 | 1.5E-4 |
7.5 | 8.612678E-6 | 9.605406E-6 | 9.605406E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6910955E-5 | 4.1165404E-5 | 6.116458E-5 | 1.4858248 | 2.0E-5 | 4.492982E-4 | 5.0107774E-4 | 5.6104764E-4 | 1.119682 | 6.0E-5 | 0.004483909 | 0.004999905 | 0.005149155 | 1.0298506 | 1.5E-4 |
7.6 | 8.319024E-6 | 9.28449E-6 | 9.28449E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5652476E-5 | 3.9790088E-5 | 5.978929E-5 | 1.5026177 | 2.0E-5 | 4.3398244E-4 | 4.8434082E-4 | 5.3431664E-4 | 1.103183 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0043313587 | 0.0048332764 | 0.004962648 | 1.0267669 | 1.3E-4 |
7.7 | 7.4718328E-6 | 8.345689E-6 | 8.345689E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2021748E-5 | 3.576677E-5 | 5.5766057E-5 | 1.5591582 | 2.0E-5 | 3.8979502E-4 | 4.3537747E-4 | 4.6536443E-4 | 1.0688757 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00389112 | 0.0043456503 | 0.0044253026 | 1.0183293 | 8.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.648368E-7 | 3.648368E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5635853E-6 | 1.1563569E-5 | 7.3955474 | 1.0E-5 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.903649E-5 | 2.90363E-5 | 1.5252969 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.9034903E-4 | 2.1034523E-4 | 1.1050501 | 2.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6697329E-9 | 2.6697329E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.14417125E-8 | 1.14417125E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3930286E-7 | 1.3930286E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3930285E-6 | 1.3930285E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Coyote Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.5090034E-5 | 4.0367537E-5 | 9.036552E-5 | 2.238569 | 5.0E-5 | 1.503772E-4 | 1.729937E-4 | 3.2296777E-4 | 1.8669336 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0018293047 | 0.0021044211 | 0.002832885 | 1.3461587 | 7.3E-4 | 0.018143194 | 0.020870855 | 0.022417879 | 1.0741236 | 0.00158 |
6.1 | 3.5090034E-5 | 4.0367537E-5 | 9.036552E-5 | 2.238569 | 5.0E-5 | 1.503772E-4 | 1.729937E-4 | 3.2296777E-4 | 1.8669336 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0018293047 | 0.0021044211 | 0.002832885 | 1.3461587 | 7.3E-4 | 0.018143194 | 0.020870855 | 0.022417879 | 1.0741236 | 0.00158 |
6.2 | 1.841879E-5 | 2.1061396E-5 | 5.1060764E-5 | 2.424377 | 3.0E-5 | 7.8935285E-5 | 9.0260575E-5 | 1.6025426E-4 | 1.7754624 | 7.0E-5 | 9.606133E-4 | 0.0010984705 | 0.00140813 | 1.2819005 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0095647145 | 0.010940497 | 0.011692181 | 1.0687066 | 7.6E-4 |
6.3 | 1.841879E-5 | 2.1061396E-5 | 5.1060764E-5 | 2.424377 | 3.0E-5 | 7.8935285E-5 | 9.0260575E-5 | 1.6025426E-4 | 1.7754624 | 7.0E-5 | 9.606133E-4 | 0.0010984705 | 0.00140813 | 1.2819005 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0095647145 | 0.010940497 | 0.011692181 | 1.0687066 | 7.6E-4 |
6.4 | 1.712201E-5 | 1.9566693E-5 | 4.9566108E-5 | 2.5331876 | 3.0E-5 | 7.337798E-5 | 8.385513E-5 | 1.5384927E-4 | 1.8347031 | 7.0E-5 | 8.930107E-4 | 0.0010205586 | 0.0013102626 | 1.2838681 | 2.9E-4 | 0.008894307 | 0.010168638 | 0.0108318245 | 1.0652188 | 6.7E-4 |
6.5 | 1.4744935E-5 | 1.683824E-5 | 4.6837733E-5 | 2.7816288 | 3.0E-5 | 6.3191044E-5 | 7.216242E-5 | 1.4215737E-4 | 1.969964 | 7.0E-5 | 7.6907943E-4 | 8.7831676E-4 | 0.0011280972 | 1.2843853 | 2.5E-4 | 0.007664232 | 0.008757652 | 0.009283011 | 1.0599885 | 5.3E-4 |
6.6 | 1.2017839E-5 | 1.3725124E-5 | 3.372485E-5 | 2.457162 | 2.0E-5 | 5.150401E-5 | 5.882113E-5 | 1.0881819E-4 | 1.8499846 | 5.0E-5 | 6.268809E-4 | 7.1600056E-4 | 8.858788E-4 | 1.23726 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0062511545 | 0.007145631 | 0.0075527015 | 1.0569677 | 4.1E-4 |
6.7 | 1.00956095E-5 | 1.1534388E-5 | 3.1534157E-5 | 2.7339253 | 2.0E-5 | 4.326618E-5 | 4.943265E-5 | 9.943017E-5 | 2.0114274 | 5.0E-5 | 5.266384E-4 | 6.0176325E-4 | 7.61667E-4 | 1.2657253 | 1.6E-4 | 0.005253921 | 0.006009866 | 0.0063776425 | 1.0611954 | 3.7E-4 |
San Andreas (Mojave N)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9436594E-4 | 2.243601E-4 | 1.154318 | 3.0E-5 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.3273114E-4 | 0.001082523 | 1.2999669 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.0100914985 | 0.01094282 | 1.0843602 | 8.6E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.09847636 | 0.09999091 | 1.0153799 | 0.00168 |
6.1 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9436594E-4 | 2.243601E-4 | 1.154318 | 3.0E-5 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.3273114E-4 | 0.001082523 | 1.2999669 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.0100914985 | 0.01094282 | 1.0843602 | 8.6E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.09847636 | 0.09999091 | 1.0153799 | 0.00168 |
6.2 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9436594E-4 | 2.243601E-4 | 1.154318 | 3.0E-5 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.3273114E-4 | 0.001082523 | 1.2999669 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.0100914985 | 0.01094282 | 1.0843602 | 8.6E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.09847636 | 0.09999091 | 1.0153799 | 0.00168 |
6.3 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9436594E-4 | 2.243601E-4 | 1.154318 | 3.0E-5 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.3273114E-4 | 0.001082523 | 1.2999669 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.0100914985 | 0.01094282 | 1.0843602 | 8.6E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.09847636 | 0.09999091 | 1.0153799 | 0.00168 |
6.4 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9436594E-4 | 2.243601E-4 | 1.154318 | 3.0E-5 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.3273114E-4 | 0.001082523 | 1.2999669 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.0100914985 | 0.01094282 | 1.0843602 | 8.6E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.09847636 | 0.09999091 | 1.0153799 | 0.00168 |
6.5 | 9.861474E-5 | 1.9410347E-4 | 2.2409765E-4 | 1.1545267 | 3.0E-5 | 4.2256617E-4 | 8.3160703E-4 | 0.0010813992 | 1.3003727 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0051326132 | 0.010077939 | 0.0109292725 | 1.0844749 | 8.6E-4 | 0.050156746 | 0.098354205 | 0.09986897 | 1.0154011 | 0.00168 |
6.6 | 9.861474E-5 | 1.9410347E-4 | 2.2409765E-4 | 1.1545267 | 3.0E-5 | 4.2256617E-4 | 8.3160703E-4 | 0.0010813992 | 1.3003727 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0051326132 | 0.010077939 | 0.0109292725 | 1.0844749 | 8.6E-4 | 0.050156746 | 0.098354205 | 0.09986897 | 1.0154011 | 0.00168 |
6.7 | 9.8552715E-5 | 1.9400296E-4 | 2.2399714E-4 | 1.1546068 | 3.0E-5 | 4.223004E-4 | 8.311765E-4 | 0.0010809688 | 1.3005284 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0051293927 | 0.010072746 | 0.010924084 | 1.0845189 | 8.6E-4 | 0.050125998 | 0.09830724 | 0.09982208 | 1.0154092 | 0.00168 |
6.8 | 9.8464974E-5 | 1.9385452E-4 | 2.238487E-4 | 1.1547252 | 3.0E-5 | 4.219245E-4 | 8.305407E-4 | 0.0010803331 | 1.3007587 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0051248376 | 0.010065078 | 0.010916421 | 1.084584 | 8.6E-4 | 0.05008251 | 0.098237 | 0.09975196 | 1.0154215 | 0.00168 |
6.9 | 9.825824E-5 | 1.935344E-4 | 2.235286E-4 | 1.1549813 | 3.0E-5 | 4.2103877E-4 | 8.291697E-4 | 0.0010789623 | 1.3012564 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0051141046 | 0.010048538 | 0.010899897 | 1.0847245 | 8.6E-4 | 0.049980022 | 0.09808606 | 0.09960127 | 1.0154479 | 0.00168 |
7.0 | 9.781462E-5 | 1.9284763E-4 | 2.2284185E-4 | 1.1555332 | 3.0E-5 | 4.1913814E-4 | 8.2622824E-4 | 0.0010760217 | 1.3023298 | 2.5E-4 | 0.005091073 | 0.010013057 | 0.010864445 | 1.0850278 | 8.6E-4 | 0.04976007 | 0.09776237 | 0.09927813 | 1.0155045 | 0.00168 |
7.1 | 9.7121134E-5 | 1.9186416E-4 | 2.218584E-4 | 1.1563306 | 3.0E-5 | 4.1616702E-4 | 8.2201604E-4 | 0.0010718105 | 1.3038803 | 2.5E-4 | 0.005055068 | 0.009962243 | 0.010813676 | 1.0854659 | 8.6E-4 | 0.04941613 | 0.09729878 | 0.098815314 | 1.0155864 | 0.00168 |
7.2 | 9.663819E-5 | 1.9117158E-4 | 2.2116584E-4 | 1.1568971 | 3.0E-5 | 4.1409794E-4 | 8.1904966E-4 | 0.0010688449 | 1.3049818 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0050299936 | 0.009926458 | 0.0107779205 | 1.0857772 | 8.6E-4 | 0.049176537 | 0.09697204 | 0.09848913 | 1.0156446 | 0.00168 |
7.3 | 9.6277574E-5 | 1.906962E-4 | 2.2069048E-4 | 1.1572883 | 3.0E-5 | 4.125529E-4 | 8.170136E-4 | 0.0010668094 | 1.3057425 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0050112694 | 0.009901894 | 0.010753378 | 1.0859921 | 8.6E-4 | 0.04899759 | 0.09674529 | 0.09826276 | 1.0156852 | 0.00168 |
7.4 | 9.593308E-5 | 1.9009347E-4 | 2.2008778E-4 | 1.1577871 | 3.0E-5 | 4.1107697E-4 | 8.1443216E-4 | 0.0010642286 | 1.3067124 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0049933824 | 0.00987075 | 0.010722261 | 1.0862662 | 8.6E-4 | 0.04882661 | 0.09646287 | 0.09798081 | 1.015736 | 0.00168 |
7.5 | 9.561707E-5 | 1.8955376E-4 | 2.1954806E-4 | 1.1582365 | 3.0E-5 | 4.0972308E-4 | 8.121205E-4 | 0.0010619174 | 1.3075861 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0049769743 | 0.0098428605 | 0.010684494 | 1.085507 | 8.5E-4 | 0.048669744 | 0.09620883 | 0.097718164 | 1.0156881 | 0.00167 |
7.6 | 9.418194E-5 | 1.8607336E-4 | 2.1606777E-4 | 1.1611967 | 3.0E-5 | 4.0357444E-4 | 7.972137E-4 | 0.0010470144 | 1.3133422 | 2.5E-4 | 0.004902454 | 0.009662993 | 0.010504779 | 1.0871145 | 8.5E-4 | 0.047957025 | 0.09458842 | 0.09610046 | 1.0159855 | 0.00167 |
7.7 | 8.202141E-5 | 1.6053455E-4 | 1.9052972E-4 | 1.1868457 | 3.0E-5 | 3.51473E-4 | 6.878238E-4 | 9.3765184E-4 | 1.3632152 | 2.5E-4 | 0.00427079 | 0.008342157 | 0.00911565 | 1.092721 | 7.8E-4 | 0.04189639 | 0.08237585 | 0.08377063 | 1.016932 | 0.00152 |
7.8 | 7.2859846E-5 | 1.4545326E-4 | 1.554518E-4 | 1.0687406 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1221908E-4 | 6.232222E-4 | 7.63135E-4 | 1.224499 | 1.4E-4 | 0.003794643 | 0.0075613735 | 0.008037744 | 1.0630006 | 4.8E-4 | 0.037304975 | 0.074854724 | 0.07573361 | 1.0117413 | 9.5E-4 |
7.9 | 5.3874453E-5 | 1.0065783E-4 | 1.0065783E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3087008E-4 | 4.313194E-4 | 5.012892E-4 | 1.1622227 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0028072202 | 0.0052386806 | 0.0055669523 | 1.062663 | 3.3E-4 | 0.02772022 | 0.052520394 | 0.053079408 | 1.0106437 | 5.9E-4 |
8.0 | 3.468538E-5 | 5.4374406E-5 | 5.4374406E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4864317E-4 | 2.3301235E-4 | 2.7300304E-4 | 1.1716247 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0018082283 | 0.0028332367 | 0.0030027549 | 1.0598321 | 1.7E-4 | 0.017935853 | 0.02900434 | 0.029266508 | 1.0090389 | 2.7E-4 |
8.1 | 1.9152367E-5 | 1.9454663E-5 | 1.9454663E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.207899E-5 | 8.337447E-5 | 9.337363E-5 | 1.1199307 | 1.0E-5 | 9.988535E-4 | 0.001014612 | 0.0010345918 | 1.019692 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009943757 | 0.010883738 | 0.010923303 | 1.0036352 | 4.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.494016E-6 | 5.494016E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3545572E-5 | 2.3545572E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.866297E-4 | 2.866297E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0032592218 | 0.003269189 | 1.0030582 | 1.0E-5 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.690063E-7 | 7.690063E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.295737E-6 | 3.295737E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.012488E-5 | 4.012488E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.737206E-4 | 4.8371585E-4 | 1.0210994 | 1.0E-5 |
Nelson Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.913453E-6 | 1.0192408E-5 | 5.0192E-5 | 4.92445 | 4.0E-5 | 4.2485535E-5 | 4.3681073E-5 | 2.0367409E-4 | 4.6627536 | 1.6E-4 | 5.1713863E-4 | 5.3169765E-4 | 0.001151368 | 2.1654563 | 6.2E-4 | 0.0051593683 | 0.0053052832 | 0.0067276964 | 1.2681127 | 0.00143 |
6.1 | 9.913453E-6 | 1.0192408E-5 | 5.0192E-5 | 4.92445 | 4.0E-5 | 4.2485535E-5 | 4.3681073E-5 | 2.0367409E-4 | 4.6627536 | 1.6E-4 | 5.1713863E-4 | 5.3169765E-4 | 0.001151368 | 2.1654563 | 6.2E-4 | 0.0051593683 | 0.0053052832 | 0.0067276964 | 1.2681127 | 0.00143 |
6.2 | 4.5596407E-6 | 4.696388E-6 | 3.4696248E-5 | 7.387858 | 3.0E-5 | 1.954117E-5 | 2.0127229E-5 | 1.20125216E-4 | 5.968294 | 1.0E-4 | 2.3788778E-4 | 2.4502273E-4 | 5.349517E-4 | 2.1832738 | 2.9E-4 | 0.0023763329 | 0.0024476517 | 0.0030860852 | 1.260835 | 6.4E-4 |
6.3 | 4.5596407E-6 | 4.696388E-6 | 3.4696248E-5 | 7.387858 | 3.0E-5 | 1.954117E-5 | 2.0127229E-5 | 1.20125216E-4 | 5.968294 | 1.0E-4 | 2.3788778E-4 | 2.4502273E-4 | 5.349517E-4 | 2.1832738 | 2.9E-4 | 0.0023763329 | 0.0024476517 | 0.0030860852 | 1.260835 | 6.4E-4 |
6.4 | 3.4025713E-6 | 3.509956E-6 | 3.3509852E-5 | 9.547086 | 3.0E-5 | 1.4582367E-5 | 1.5042587E-5 | 8.504153E-5 | 5.6533847 | 7.0E-5 | 1.7752586E-4 | 1.8312894E-4 | 3.9309048E-4 | 2.146523 | 2.1E-4 | 0.001773841 | 0.0018298633 | 0.00227904 | 1.24547 | 4.5E-4 |
6.5 | 2.8352947E-6 | 2.927907E-6 | 1.2927878E-5 | 4.415399 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2151207E-5 | 1.25481165E-5 | 4.254774E-5 | 3.390767 | 3.0E-5 | 1.479309E-4 | 1.5276336E-4 | 3.127389E-4 | 2.0472116 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0014783246 | 0.0015266574 | 0.0018861077 | 1.2354493 | 3.6E-4 |
6.6 | 2.251518E-6 | 2.3291102E-6 | 1.23290865E-5 | 5.293475 | 1.0E-5 | 9.649328E-6 | 9.981866E-6 | 3.9981565E-5 | 4.00542 | 3.0E-5 | 1.1747423E-4 | 1.2152307E-4 | 2.7150483E-4 | 2.2341835 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0011741214 | 0.001214628 | 0.0015242514 | 1.2549121 | 3.1E-4 |
6.7 | 1.8911853E-6 | 1.959177E-6 | 1.1959158E-5 | 6.1041737 | 1.0E-5 | 8.105055E-6 | 8.39645E-6 | 3.8396196E-5 | 4.572909 | 3.0E-5 | 9.867457E-5 | 1.0222256E-4 | 2.5220722E-4 | 2.4672365 | 1.5E-4 | 9.863076E-4 | 0.0010218129 | 0.0013215063 | 1.2932959 | 3.0E-4 |
6.8 | 1.4874814E-6 | 1.5438616E-6 | 1.5438616E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.374905E-6 | 6.6165358E-6 | 2.6616404E-5 | 4.02271 | 2.0E-5 | 7.76117E-5 | 8.0553866E-5 | 2.105434E-4 | 2.613697 | 1.3E-4 | 7.75846E-4 | 8.0529775E-4 | 0.0010550964 | 1.3101941 | 2.5E-4 |
6.9 | 6.835972E-7 | 7.140097E-7 | 7.140097E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9296991E-6 | 3.0600397E-6 | 1.3060009E-5 | 4.2679214 | 1.0E-5 | 3.56685E-5 | 3.7255664E-5 | 1.1725268E-4 | 3.1472445 | 8.0E-5 | 3.5662777E-4 | 3.7252545E-4 | 5.02477E-4 | 1.3488394 | 1.3E-4 |
Lenwood-Lockhart-Old Woman Springs
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.3965032E-5 | 6.396415E-5 | 1.454887 | 2.0E-5 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8840893E-4 | 3.1838444E-4 | 1.6898586 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0019519776 | 0.0022916375 | 0.0029102168 | 1.2699289 | 6.2E-4 | 0.019349206 | 0.02269807 | 0.024134705 | 1.0632932 | 0.00147 |
6.1 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.3965032E-5 | 6.396415E-5 | 1.454887 | 2.0E-5 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8840893E-4 | 3.1838444E-4 | 1.6898586 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0019519776 | 0.0022916375 | 0.0029102168 | 1.2699289 | 6.2E-4 | 0.019349206 | 0.02269807 | 0.024134705 | 1.0632932 | 0.00147 |
6.2 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.3965032E-5 | 6.396415E-5 | 1.454887 | 2.0E-5 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8840893E-4 | 3.1838444E-4 | 1.6898586 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0019519776 | 0.0022916375 | 0.0029102168 | 1.2699289 | 6.2E-4 | 0.019349206 | 0.02269807 | 0.024134705 | 1.0632932 | 0.00147 |
6.3 | 2.1079984E-5 | 2.5354779E-5 | 2.5354779E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0339665E-5 | 1.0865892E-4 | 1.3865567E-4 | 1.2760633 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010993304 | 0.0013221395 | 0.0015518354 | 1.1737305 | 2.3E-4 | 0.010939079 | 0.01314495 | 0.013638377 | 1.0375375 | 5.0E-4 |
6.4 | 2.1079984E-5 | 2.5354779E-5 | 2.5354779E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0339665E-5 | 1.0865892E-4 | 1.3865567E-4 | 1.2760633 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010993304 | 0.0013221395 | 0.0015518354 | 1.1737305 | 2.3E-4 | 0.010939079 | 0.01314495 | 0.013638377 | 1.0375375 | 5.0E-4 |
6.5 | 1.7397282E-5 | 2.0663578E-5 | 2.0663578E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.455765E-5 | 8.855525E-5 | 1.1855259E-4 | 1.3387415 | 3.0E-5 | 9.073613E-4 | 0.0010776386 | 0.001227477 | 1.1390432 | 1.5E-4 | 0.009036654 | 0.010725424 | 0.011081562 | 1.0332052 | 3.6E-4 |
6.6 | 1.52050325E-5 | 1.7680335E-5 | 1.7680335E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.51628E-5 | 7.577071E-5 | 1.05768435E-4 | 1.3959013 | 3.0E-5 | 7.9306826E-4 | 9.221258E-4 | 0.0010619967 | 1.1516831 | 1.4E-4 | 0.007902439 | 0.009183858 | 0.009491011 | 1.0334449 | 3.1E-4 |
6.7 | 1.332523E-5 | 1.526459E-5 | 1.526459E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7106878E-5 | 6.541806E-5 | 8.541676E-5 | 1.3057059 | 2.0E-5 | 6.950544E-4 | 7.9617975E-4 | 9.060922E-4 | 1.1380497 | 1.1E-4 | 0.006928845 | 0.0079339035 | 0.008181919 | 1.0312604 | 2.5E-4 |
6.8 | 1.1525329E-5 | 1.30315375E-5 | 1.30315375E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9393333E-5 | 5.584827E-5 | 7.584716E-5 | 1.3580931 | 2.0E-5 | 6.011979E-4 | 6.797448E-4 | 7.696837E-4 | 1.1323127 | 9.0E-5 | 0.00599574 | 0.0067771086 | 0.0069558886 | 1.02638 | 1.8E-4 |
6.9 | 1.0253909E-5 | 1.151498E-5 | 1.151498E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3944583E-5 | 4.9349E-5 | 6.934801E-5 | 1.4052567 | 2.0E-5 | 5.3489394E-4 | 6.006621E-4 | 6.90608E-4 | 1.1497446 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0053360825 | 0.005990765 | 0.0061696866 | 1.0298662 | 1.8E-4 |
7.0 | 8.104563E-6 | 8.991533E-6 | 8.991533E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4733377E-5 | 3.8534585E-5 | 4.85342E-5 | 1.2594972 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2279682E-4 | 4.6906E-4 | 5.2903185E-4 | 1.1278554 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0042199334 | 0.0046809474 | 0.004800386 | 1.0255158 | 1.2E-4 |
7.1 | 6.7986157E-6 | 7.516056E-6 | 7.516056E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.91366E-5 | 3.2211283E-5 | 4.2210962E-5 | 1.3104402 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5468035E-4 | 3.9210395E-4 | 4.5208042E-4 | 1.1529607 | 6.0E-5 | 0.003541148 | 0.0039143376 | 0.0040139463 | 1.0254471 | 1.0E-4 |
7.2 | 5.6893327E-6 | 6.280187E-6 | 6.280187E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4382627E-5 | 2.691482E-5 | 3.6914553E-5 | 1.3715326 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9681803E-4 | 3.2764065E-4 | 3.87621E-4 | 1.1830674 | 6.0E-5 | 0.002964219 | 0.0032717746 | 0.00336148 | 1.027418 | 9.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.253348E-6 | 4.707105E-6 | 4.707105E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8228506E-5 | 2.017316E-5 | 3.0172958E-5 | 1.4956982 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2190946E-4 | 2.4558237E-4 | 2.8557255E-4 | 1.1628381 | 4.0E-5 | 0.00221688 | 0.0024532909 | 0.002523119 | 1.0284631 | 7.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.5448119E-6 | 2.8520674E-6 | 2.8520674E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0906291E-5 | 1.2223099E-5 | 1.2223099E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3277601E-4 | 1.4880771E-4 | 1.7880324E-4 | 1.2015724 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001326967 | 0.0014872429 | 0.0015271833 | 1.0268553 | 4.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.3706837E-8 | 4.5630156E-8 | 4.5630156E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8731501E-7 | 1.955578E-7 | 1.955578E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2805577E-6 | 2.380914E-6 | 2.380914E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2805343E-5 | 2.3808941E-5 | 2.3808941E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Towne Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.894574E-6 | 2.3894496E-5 | 6.1353297 | 2.0E-5 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.669095E-5 | 1.1668928E-4 | 6.991171 | 1.0E-4 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0319773E-4 | 6.930982E-4 | 3.4109542 | 4.9E-4 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020305486 | 0.0032680307 | 1.6094325 | 0.00124 |
6.1 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.894574E-6 | 2.3894496E-5 | 6.1353297 | 2.0E-5 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.669095E-5 | 1.1668928E-4 | 6.991171 | 1.0E-4 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0319773E-4 | 6.930982E-4 | 3.4109542 | 4.9E-4 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020305486 | 0.0032680307 | 1.6094325 | 0.00124 |
6.2 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.894574E-6 | 2.3894496E-5 | 6.1353297 | 2.0E-5 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.669095E-5 | 1.1668928E-4 | 6.991171 | 1.0E-4 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0319773E-4 | 6.930982E-4 | 3.4109542 | 4.9E-4 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020305486 | 0.0032680307 | 1.6094325 | 0.00124 |
6.3 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.894574E-6 | 2.3894496E-5 | 6.1353297 | 2.0E-5 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.669095E-5 | 1.1668928E-4 | 6.991171 | 1.0E-4 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0319773E-4 | 6.930982E-4 | 3.4109542 | 4.9E-4 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020305486 | 0.0032680307 | 1.6094325 | 0.00124 |
6.4 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.894574E-6 | 2.3894496E-5 | 6.1353297 | 2.0E-5 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.669095E-5 | 1.1668928E-4 | 6.991171 | 1.0E-4 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0319773E-4 | 6.930982E-4 | 3.4109542 | 4.9E-4 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020305486 | 0.0032680307 | 1.6094325 | 0.00124 |
6.5 | 1.1953545E-6 | 1.2030648E-6 | 1.2030648E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1229376E-6 | 5.1559828E-6 | 2.515588E-5 | 4.8789687 | 2.0E-5 | 6.236998E-5 | 6.27724E-5 | 1.4276739E-4 | 2.2743654 | 8.0E-5 | 6.235248E-4 | 6.275584E-4 | 8.9738896E-4 | 1.4299688 | 2.7E-4 |
6.6 | 1.1953545E-6 | 1.2030648E-6 | 1.2030648E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1229376E-6 | 5.1559828E-6 | 2.515588E-5 | 4.8789687 | 2.0E-5 | 6.236998E-5 | 6.27724E-5 | 1.4276739E-4 | 2.2743654 | 8.0E-5 | 6.235248E-4 | 6.275584E-4 | 8.9738896E-4 | 1.4299688 | 2.7E-4 |
6.7 | 8.375951E-7 | 8.410776E-7 | 8.410776E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5896885E-6 | 3.6046138E-6 | 2.3604542E-5 | 6.5484247 | 2.0E-5 | 4.370358E-5 | 4.3885346E-5 | 1.1388228E-4 | 2.5949955 | 7.0E-5 | 4.3694986E-4 | 4.3877252E-4 | 5.887067E-4 | 1.3417128 | 1.5E-4 |
6.8 | 6.38041E-7 | 6.39225E-7 | 6.39225E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7344586E-6 | 2.7395329E-6 | 2.2739478E-5 | 8.300494 | 2.0E-5 | 3.3291526E-5 | 3.3353343E-5 | 1.03351005E-4 | 3.0986702 | 7.0E-5 | 3.3286537E-4 | 3.3348717E-4 | 4.5344717E-4 | 1.3597139 | 1.2E-4 |
6.9 | 5.3460053E-7 | 5.34542E-7 | 5.34542E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2911431E-6 | 2.2908923E-6 | 2.2908923E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.789431E-5 | 2.7891292E-5 | 7.78899E-5 | 2.7926242 | 5.0E-5 | 2.789081E-4 | 2.7888123E-4 | 3.5885893E-4 | 1.2867805 | 8.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.557783E-7 | 3.532496E-7 | 3.532496E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5247632E-6 | 1.513926E-6 | 1.513926E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8563835E-5 | 1.8431901E-5 | 5.8431164E-5 | 3.1701105 | 4.0E-5 | 1.8562283E-4 | 1.8430458E-4 | 2.242972E-4 | 1.216992 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.037942E-7 | 3.0002886E-7 | 3.0002886E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3019744E-6 | 1.2858374E-6 | 1.2858374E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5851423E-5 | 1.5654965E-5 | 5.565434E-5 | 3.55506 | 4.0E-5 | 1.5850292E-4 | 1.5653936E-4 | 1.965331E-4 | 1.2554867 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.0808248E-7 | 2.0218206E-7 | 2.0218206E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.917818E-7 | 8.664943E-7 | 8.664943E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0857389E-5 | 1.0549522E-5 | 5.05491E-5 | 4.7916007 | 4.0E-5 | 1.0856859E-4 | 1.05490675E-4 | 1.4548645E-4 | 1.3791404 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.1162073E-7 | 1.06371445E-7 | 1.06371445E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7837443E-7 | 4.5587754E-7 | 4.5587754E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8241935E-6 | 5.550297E-6 | 3.555013E-5 | 6.405086 | 3.0E-5 | 5.8240406E-5 | 5.5501783E-5 | 8.550012E-5 | 1.5404931 | 3.0E-5 |
San Andreas (San Bernardino N)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.4273766E-4 | 3.1637165E-4 | 3.1637165E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.115894E-4 | 0.0013551798 | 0.0014450579 | 1.0663218 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0074207084 | 0.016375994 | 0.01677928 | 1.0246266 | 4.1E-4 | 0.07177748 | 0.15046582 | 0.15120491 | 1.004912 | 8.7E-4 |
6.1 | 1.4273766E-4 | 3.1637165E-4 | 3.1637165E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.115894E-4 | 0.0013551798 | 0.0014450579 | 1.0663218 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0074207084 | 0.016375994 | 0.01677928 | 1.0246266 | 4.1E-4 | 0.07177748 | 0.15046582 | 0.15120491 | 1.004912 | 8.7E-4 |
6.2 | 1.4273766E-4 | 3.1637165E-4 | 3.1637165E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.115894E-4 | 0.0013551798 | 0.0014450579 | 1.0663218 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0074207084 | 0.016375994 | 0.01677928 | 1.0246266 | 4.1E-4 | 0.07177748 | 0.15046582 | 0.15120491 | 1.004912 | 8.7E-4 |
6.3 | 1.3730655E-4 | 3.0541886E-4 | 3.0541886E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.883239E-4 | 0.0013082869 | 0.0013981692 | 1.0687022 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0071393442 | 0.015813464 | 0.01621698 | 1.0255172 | 4.1E-4 | 0.06914291 | 0.14575101 | 0.14649421 | 1.005099 | 8.7E-4 |
6.4 | 1.3730655E-4 | 3.0541886E-4 | 3.0541886E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.883239E-4 | 0.0013082869 | 0.0013981692 | 1.0687022 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0071393442 | 0.015813464 | 0.01621698 | 1.0255172 | 4.1E-4 | 0.06914291 | 0.14575101 | 0.14649421 | 1.005099 | 8.7E-4 |
6.5 | 1.2942807E-4 | 2.895608E-4 | 2.895608E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.545738E-4 | 0.0012403899 | 0.0013302782 | 1.0724678 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0067310524 | 0.014998424 | 0.015402275 | 1.0269262 | 4.1E-4 | 0.06530788 | 0.1388892 | 0.13962974 | 1.005332 | 8.6E-4 |
6.6 | 1.1125901E-4 | 2.5394472E-4 | 2.5394472E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.767372E-4 | 0.0010878829 | 0.001177785 | 1.0826395 | 9.0E-5 | 0.005788839 | 0.013165171 | 0.013559905 | 1.0299832 | 4.0E-4 | 0.056403454 | 0.123156786 | 0.123902105 | 1.0060518 | 8.5E-4 |
6.7 | 1.02209575E-4 | 2.3529287E-4 | 2.3529287E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3796748E-4 | 0.0010080098 | 0.0010979191 | 1.0891949 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0053192247 | 0.012203882 | 0.012599002 | 1.0323764 | 4.0E-4 | 0.051936906 | 0.1149152 | 0.11565867 | 1.0064697 | 8.4E-4 |
6.8 | 9.610582E-5 | 2.2054653E-4 | 2.2054653E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1181705E-4 | 9.448577E-4 | 0.0010347727 | 1.0951624 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0050023515 | 0.011443232 | 0.011838655 | 1.0345552 | 4.0E-4 | 0.048912346 | 0.10832591 | 0.109066 | 1.0068321 | 8.3E-4 |
6.9 | 9.3877505E-5 | 2.1510055E-4 | 2.1510055E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0227012E-4 | 9.2153443E-4 | 0.0010114515 | 1.0975732 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0048866454 | 0.01116221 | 0.011557745 | 1.0354352 | 4.0E-4 | 0.04780577 | 0.10591924 | 0.10666133 | 1.0070062 | 8.3E-4 |
7.0 | 9.1019785E-5 | 2.0836767E-4 | 2.0836767E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.900265E-4 | 8.926993E-4 | 9.826189E-4 | 1.1007278 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0047382377 | 0.010814676 | 0.01121035 | 1.0365868 | 4.0E-4 | 0.046384744 | 0.10288831 | 0.10361497 | 1.0070627 | 8.1E-4 |
7.1 | 8.771155E-5 | 2.0011076E-4 | 2.0011076E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.758525E-4 | 8.573362E-4 | 9.472591E-4 | 1.1048863 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0045664064 | 0.010388309 | 0.010774258 | 1.0371522 | 3.9E-4 | 0.044737056 | 0.099199384 | 0.09991101 | 1.0071738 | 7.9E-4 |
7.2 | 8.0830236E-5 | 1.8416144E-4 | 1.8416144E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4636928E-4 | 7.890247E-4 | 8.789537E-4 | 1.1139748 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0042088944 | 0.00956417 | 0.009950439 | 1.0403872 | 3.9E-4 | 0.041300658 | 0.09192752 | 0.0926449 | 1.0078037 | 7.9E-4 |
7.3 | 7.7668235E-5 | 1.7359214E-4 | 1.7359214E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.328214E-4 | 7.4375427E-4 | 8.336873E-4 | 1.1209177 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0040445733 | 0.009017691 | 0.009404174 | 1.0428584 | 3.9E-4 | 0.03971748 | 0.087187394 | 0.08789939 | 1.0081662 | 7.8E-4 |
7.4 | 7.520177E-5 | 1.6578918E-4 | 1.6578918E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2225347E-4 | 7.1033166E-4 | 8.0026774E-4 | 1.1266114 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0039163795 | 0.008614061 | 0.009000702 | 1.0448848 | 3.9E-4 | 0.038480744 | 0.08364062 | 0.084337056 | 1.0083265 | 7.6E-4 |
7.5 | 7.274697E-5 | 1.5866217E-4 | 1.5866217E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1173544E-4 | 6.7980355E-4 | 7.6974236E-4 | 1.1323012 | 9.0E-5 | 0.003788775 | 0.008245256 | 0.008622123 | 1.0457071 | 3.8E-4 | 0.03724827 | 0.080355436 | 0.081045166 | 1.0085835 | 7.5E-4 |
7.6 | 7.1185845E-5 | 1.5435848E-4 | 1.5435848E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0504653E-4 | 6.6136866E-4 | 7.513091E-4 | 1.1359915 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0037076178 | 0.008022487 | 0.008399438 | 1.0469868 | 3.8E-4 | 0.036463667 | 0.07834393 | 0.07903517 | 1.0088232 | 7.5E-4 |
7.7 | 6.709961E-5 | 1.4344044E-4 | 1.4344044E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8753807E-4 | 6.1459997E-4 | 7.0454465E-4 | 1.1463467 | 9.0E-5 | 0.003495157 | 0.0074571203 | 0.007834286 | 1.050578 | 3.8E-4 | 0.034406938 | 0.07317166 | 0.073866785 | 1.0094999 | 7.5E-4 |
7.8 | 6.300812E-5 | 1.3226763E-4 | 1.3226763E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7000686E-4 | 5.6673813E-4 | 6.5668713E-4 | 1.1587135 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0032823787 | 0.0068782354 | 0.0072556217 | 1.0548667 | 3.8E-4 | 0.032343175 | 0.06782526 | 0.06852439 | 1.0103078 | 7.5E-4 |
7.9 | 4.983037E-5 | 9.7425276E-5 | 9.7425276E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1354125E-4 | 4.174701E-4 | 4.8744088E-4 | 1.1676067 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0025967648 | 0.0050708633 | 0.00539919 | 1.0647477 | 3.3E-4 | 0.025666296 | 0.050739504 | 0.05129957 | 1.0110381 | 5.9E-4 |
8.0 | 3.2211527E-5 | 5.3414442E-5 | 5.3414442E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.380421E-4 | 2.2889896E-4 | 2.688898E-4 | 1.1747096 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0016793669 | 0.0027832852 | 0.002952812 | 1.0609089 | 1.7E-4 | 0.016667323 | 0.028415749 | 0.028678076 | 1.0092318 | 2.7E-4 |
8.1 | 1.743376E-5 | 1.8873632E-5 | 1.8873632E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.471398E-5 | 8.0884485E-5 | 9.088368E-5 | 1.1236231 | 1.0E-5 | 9.0926304E-4 | 9.843244E-4 | 0.0010043047 | 1.0202985 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009055517 | 0.010509953 | 0.010549532 | 1.003766 | 4.0E-5 |
8.2 | 7.831616E-6 | 5.1727284E-6 | 5.1727284E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3563636E-5 | 2.2168648E-5 | 2.2168648E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0856065E-4 | 2.6986995E-4 | 2.6986995E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004078103 | 0.003051444 | 0.0030614135 | 1.0032672 | 1.0E-5 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.690063E-7 | 7.690063E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.295737E-6 | 3.295737E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.012488E-5 | 4.012488E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.737206E-4 | 4.8371585E-4 | 1.0210994 | 1.0E-5 |
Bicycle Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9621975E-5 | 2.2098557E-5 | 5.2097894E-5 | 2.3575246 | 3.0E-5 | 8.4091465E-5 | 9.470543E-5 | 1.5469974E-4 | 1.6334834 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0010233327 | 0.0011525637 | 0.0014821833 | 1.2859882 | 3.3E-4 | 0.01018633 | 0.011479174 | 0.012230449 | 1.0654469 | 7.6E-4 |
6.1 | 1.9621975E-5 | 2.2098557E-5 | 5.2097894E-5 | 2.3575246 | 3.0E-5 | 8.4091465E-5 | 9.470543E-5 | 1.5469974E-4 | 1.6334834 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0010233327 | 0.0011525637 | 0.0014821833 | 1.2859882 | 3.3E-4 | 0.01018633 | 0.011479174 | 0.012230449 | 1.0654469 | 7.6E-4 |
6.2 | 9.9971285E-6 | 1.1256391E-5 | 3.1256168E-5 | 2.7767484 | 2.0E-5 | 4.2844134E-5 | 4.824108E-5 | 7.823963E-5 | 1.6218467 | 3.0E-5 | 5.2150246E-4 | 5.8722886E-4 | 7.3714077E-4 | 1.255287 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0052028033 | 0.0058618775 | 0.0062297084 | 1.0627497 | 3.7E-4 |
6.3 | 9.589428E-6 | 1.0799068E-5 | 3.0798852E-5 | 2.8519917 | 2.0E-5 | 4.10969E-5 | 4.6281195E-5 | 7.627981E-5 | 1.6481814 | 3.0E-5 | 5.002399E-4 | 5.633797E-4 | 7.033009E-4 | 1.2483603 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0049911533 | 0.0056246053 | 0.0059726364 | 1.0618765 | 3.5E-4 |
6.4 | 9.589428E-6 | 1.0799068E-5 | 3.0798852E-5 | 2.8519917 | 2.0E-5 | 4.10969E-5 | 4.6281195E-5 | 7.627981E-5 | 1.6481814 | 3.0E-5 | 5.002399E-4 | 5.633797E-4 | 7.033009E-4 | 1.2483603 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0049911533 | 0.0056246053 | 0.0059726364 | 1.0618765 | 3.5E-4 |
6.5 | 5.557707E-6 | 6.286038E-6 | 2.6285912E-5 | 4.181634 | 2.0E-5 | 2.3818526E-5 | 2.6940037E-5 | 5.693923E-5 | 2.1135542 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8995197E-4 | 3.2797246E-4 | 4.1794297E-4 | 1.2743232 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0028957394 | 0.003277521 | 0.0034967999 | 1.066904 | 2.2E-4 |
6.6 | 4.8742945E-6 | 5.5136734E-6 | 1.5513619E-5 | 2.813663 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0889667E-5 | 2.3629962E-5 | 3.3629727E-5 | 1.4231815 | 1.0E-5 | 2.54302E-4 | 2.87683E-4 | 3.5766285E-4 | 1.2432534 | 7.0E-5 | 0.002540112 | 0.0028756752 | 0.0030651288 | 1.0658815 | 1.9E-4 |
6.7 | 3.991108E-6 | 4.5162255E-6 | 1.451618E-5 | 3.2142284 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7104636E-5 | 1.9355251E-5 | 2.9355058E-5 | 1.5166457 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0822904E-4 | 2.3565018E-4 | 3.056337E-4 | 1.2969805 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0020803404 | 0.0023565018 | 0.0025261012 | 1.0719708 | 1.7E-4 |
Paradise
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.4851273E-5 | 1.6695423E-5 | 3.6695088E-5 | 2.1979132 | 2.0E-5 | 6.364676E-5 | 7.1549985E-5 | 1.3154569E-4 | 1.8385146 | 6.0E-5 | 7.7462377E-4 | 8.707965E-4 | 0.0011405614 | 1.309791 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0077192914 | 0.008676223 | 0.00937015 | 1.0799803 | 7.0E-4 |
6.1 | 1.4851273E-5 | 1.6695423E-5 | 3.6695088E-5 | 2.1979132 | 2.0E-5 | 6.364676E-5 | 7.1549985E-5 | 1.3154569E-4 | 1.8385146 | 6.0E-5 | 7.7462377E-4 | 8.707965E-4 | 0.0011405614 | 1.309791 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0077192914 | 0.008676223 | 0.00937015 | 1.0799803 | 7.0E-4 |
6.2 | 1.4851273E-5 | 1.6695423E-5 | 3.6695088E-5 | 2.1979132 | 2.0E-5 | 6.364676E-5 | 7.1549985E-5 | 1.3154569E-4 | 1.8385146 | 6.0E-5 | 7.7462377E-4 | 8.707965E-4 | 0.0011405614 | 1.309791 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0077192914 | 0.008676223 | 0.00937015 | 1.0799803 | 7.0E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0426831E-5 | 1.1889131E-5 | 2.1889013E-5 | 1.8410944 | 1.0E-5 | 4.4685654E-5 | 5.0952458E-5 | 7.095144E-5 | 1.3925028 | 2.0E-5 | 5.43912E-4 | 6.2017556E-4 | 7.5009494E-4 | 1.209488 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0054258266 | 0.0061850566 | 0.006453387 | 1.0433836 | 2.7E-4 |
6.4 | 1.0426831E-5 | 1.1889131E-5 | 2.1889013E-5 | 1.8410944 | 1.0E-5 | 4.4685654E-5 | 5.0952458E-5 | 7.095144E-5 | 1.3925028 | 2.0E-5 | 5.43912E-4 | 6.2017556E-4 | 7.5009494E-4 | 1.209488 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0054258266 | 0.0061850566 | 0.006453387 | 1.0433836 | 2.7E-4 |
6.5 | 9.25027E-6 | 1.0620418E-5 | 2.0620311E-5 | 1.9415725 | 1.0E-5 | 3.964341E-5 | 4.5515313E-5 | 6.55144E-5 | 1.4393926 | 2.0E-5 | 4.8255164E-4 | 5.5401295E-4 | 6.7394646E-4 | 1.2164814 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0048150513 | 0.0055268174 | 0.0057456014 | 1.039586 | 2.2E-4 |
6.6 | 7.904275E-6 | 9.159918E-6 | 9.159918E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3875025E-5 | 3.925622E-5 | 4.925583E-5 | 1.2547266 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1235037E-4 | 4.778436E-4 | 5.678006E-4 | 1.1882561 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0041158604 | 0.0047685583 | 0.0049277954 | 1.0333931 | 1.6E-4 |
6.7 | 7.2061953E-6 | 8.40761E-6 | 8.40761E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.088333E-5 | 3.6032136E-5 | 3.6032136E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7593965E-4 | 4.3860663E-4 | 5.0857593E-4 | 1.1595263 | 7.0E-5 | 0.003753043 | 0.0043777786 | 0.004517166 | 1.0318397 | 1.4E-4 |
6.8 | 6.6948724E-6 | 7.842504E-6 | 7.842504E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8691995E-5 | 3.361032E-5 | 3.361032E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4926904E-4 | 4.0913236E-4 | 4.49116E-4 | 1.0977279 | 4.0E-5 | 0.003487206 | 0.004084149 | 0.004163822 | 1.0195079 | 8.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.0421025E-6 | 7.13093E-6 | 7.13093E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5894467E-5 | 3.056079E-5 | 3.056079E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1521954E-4 | 3.720175E-4 | 4.120026E-4 | 1.1074818 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0031477278 | 0.0037142856 | 0.0037840256 | 1.0187762 | 7.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.134091E-6 | 5.080546E-6 | 5.080546E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7717413E-5 | 2.1773596E-5 | 2.1773596E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1568815E-4 | 2.6506282E-4 | 2.7506019E-4 | 1.0377169 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021547892 | 0.00264762 | 0.002687514 | 1.0150679 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.7674888E-6 | 4.6320843E-6 | 4.6320843E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6146281E-5 | 1.9851648E-5 | 1.9851648E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9656324E-4 | 2.4166853E-4 | 2.4166853E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019638946 | 0.002414208 | 0.0024441353 | 1.0123965 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.4065345E-6 | 4.1569137E-6 | 4.1569137E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4599351E-5 | 1.7815231E-5 | 1.7815231E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.777326E-4 | 2.1688035E-4 | 2.1688035E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017759053 | 0.0021668351 | 0.0021867917 | 1.0092101 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.9934936E-6 | 3.629477E-6 | 3.629477E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2829195E-5 | 1.5554817E-5 | 1.5554817E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5618425E-4 | 1.8936492E-4 | 1.8936492E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015607453 | 0.001892181 | 0.0019121432 | 1.0105498 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.4049796E-6 | 2.889102E-6 | 2.889102E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0307015E-5 | 1.2381815E-5 | 1.2381815E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2548068E-4 | 1.5073961E-4 | 1.5073961E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012540985 | 0.0015065151 | 0.001526485 | 1.0132557 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.2710091E-6 | 1.5135334E-6 | 1.5135334E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.44717E-6 | 6.4865626E-6 | 6.4865626E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.631728E-5 | 7.897229E-5 | 7.897229E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6297496E-4 | 7.895649E-4 | 8.095491E-4 | 1.0253104 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.6040448E-7 | 2.6040448E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.1160189E-6 | 1.1160189E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.3587473E-5 | 1.3587473E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1539775E-4 | 1.3586924E-4 | 1.3586924E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Garlic Springs
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6760017E-5 | 1.8778032E-5 | 1.8778032E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.182667E-5 | 8.047546E-5 | 1.1047305E-4 | 1.3727545 | 3.0E-5 | 8.7413884E-4 | 9.794657E-4 | 0.0012192306 | 1.2447915 | 2.4E-4 | 0.008707083 | 0.009763035 | 0.010337372 | 1.0588278 | 5.8E-4 |
6.1 | 9.852767E-6 | 1.097425E-5 | 1.097425E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.222546E-5 | 4.703205E-5 | 6.7031106E-5 | 1.4252219 | 2.0E-5 | 5.139737E-4 | 5.7253573E-4 | 6.824728E-4 | 1.1920178 | 1.1E-4 | 0.005127866 | 0.0057175662 | 0.005995965 | 1.0486919 | 2.8E-4 |
6.2 | 9.852767E-6 | 1.097425E-5 | 1.097425E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.222546E-5 | 4.703205E-5 | 6.7031106E-5 | 1.4252219 | 2.0E-5 | 5.139737E-4 | 5.7253573E-4 | 6.824728E-4 | 1.1920178 | 1.1E-4 | 0.005127866 | 0.0057175662 | 0.005995965 | 1.0486919 | 2.8E-4 |
6.3 | 4.3167724E-6 | 4.7782996E-6 | 4.7782996E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8500323E-5 | 2.0478396E-5 | 2.0478396E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2521814E-4 | 2.4931898E-4 | 2.793115E-4 | 1.1202978 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0022499003 | 0.002492651 | 0.002592402 | 1.040018 | 1.0E-4 |
6.4 | 4.3167724E-6 | 4.7782996E-6 | 4.7782996E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8500323E-5 | 2.0478396E-5 | 2.0478396E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2521814E-4 | 2.4931898E-4 | 2.793115E-4 | 1.1202978 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0022499003 | 0.002492651 | 0.002592402 | 1.040018 | 1.0E-4 |
6.5 | 4.3167724E-6 | 4.7782996E-6 | 4.7782996E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8500323E-5 | 2.0478396E-5 | 2.0478396E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2521814E-4 | 2.4931898E-4 | 2.793115E-4 | 1.1202978 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0022499003 | 0.002492651 | 0.002592402 | 1.040018 | 1.0E-4 |
6.6 | 4.301311E-6 | 4.761167E-6 | 4.761167E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8434059E-5 | 2.0404972E-5 | 2.0404972E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2441156E-4 | 2.4842523E-4 | 2.7841778E-4 | 1.1207306 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0022418506 | 0.002483734 | 0.0025834856 | 1.040162 | 1.0E-4 |
6.7 | 3.8599724E-6 | 4.2713013E-6 | 4.2713013E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6542634E-5 | 1.8305576E-5 | 1.8305576E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0138794E-4 | 2.228704E-4 | 2.4286594E-4 | 1.0897182 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0020120554 | 0.0022287038 | 0.0023185033 | 1.0402923 | 9.0E-5 |
San Andreas (San Bernardino S)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2336002E-4 | 3.0025674E-4 | 3.0025674E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0012862061 | 0.0013061804 | 1.0155296 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006416472 | 0.015552082 | 0.015778504 | 1.014559 | 2.3E-4 | 0.06234337 | 0.14278531 | 0.14319676 | 1.0028816 | 4.8E-4 |
6.1 | 1.2336002E-4 | 3.0025674E-4 | 3.0025674E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0012862061 | 0.0013061804 | 1.0155296 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006416472 | 0.015552082 | 0.015778504 | 1.014559 | 2.3E-4 | 0.06234337 | 0.14278531 | 0.14319676 | 1.0028816 | 4.8E-4 |
6.2 | 1.2336002E-4 | 3.0025674E-4 | 3.0025674E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0012862061 | 0.0013061804 | 1.0155296 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006416472 | 0.015552082 | 0.015778504 | 1.014559 | 2.3E-4 | 0.06234337 | 0.14278531 | 0.14319676 | 1.0028816 | 4.8E-4 |
6.3 | 1.1712257E-4 | 2.8813703E-4 | 2.8813703E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.018573E-4 | 0.0012343143 | 0.0012542896 | 1.0161834 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006093008 | 0.014929076 | 0.015155641 | 1.0151762 | 2.3E-4 | 0.059286322 | 0.13748851 | 0.13789389 | 1.0029485 | 4.7E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1712257E-4 | 2.8813703E-4 | 2.8813703E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.018573E-4 | 0.0012343143 | 0.0012542896 | 1.0161834 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006093008 | 0.014929076 | 0.015155641 | 1.0151762 | 2.3E-4 | 0.059286322 | 0.13748851 | 0.13789389 | 1.0029485 | 4.7E-4 |
6.5 | 1.0689076E-4 | 2.6826185E-4 | 2.6826185E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5802278E-4 | 0.0011492119 | 0.0011691889 | 1.0173832 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0055621783 | 0.013906514 | 0.0141333155 | 1.016309 | 2.3E-4 | 0.05425003 | 0.12872604 | 0.12913553 | 1.0031812 | 4.7E-4 |
6.6 | 9.7648895E-5 | 2.5070578E-4 | 2.5070578E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1842813E-4 | 0.0010740346 | 0.0010940131 | 1.0186014 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005082469 | 0.013002338 | 0.013229348 | 1.0174592 | 2.3E-4 | 0.049677886 | 0.120901346 | 0.121314526 | 1.0034175 | 4.7E-4 |
6.7 | 8.757013E-5 | 2.3141113E-4 | 2.3141113E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7524657E-4 | 9.914073E-4 | 0.0010113874 | 1.0201533 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00455906 | 0.0120076705 | 0.0122349085 | 1.0189245 | 2.3E-4 | 0.04466656 | 0.11218169 | 0.11259897 | 1.0037197 | 4.7E-4 |
6.8 | 8.562978E-5 | 2.270081E-4 | 2.270081E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6693315E-4 | 9.7255135E-4 | 9.925319E-4 | 1.0205444 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004458263 | 0.011780596 | 0.0120078875 | 1.0192937 | 2.3E-4 | 0.043698758 | 0.1101955 | 0.11061371 | 1.0037951 | 4.7E-4 |
6.9 | 6.124075E-5 | 1.7083176E-4 | 1.7083176E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6243398E-4 | 7.319315E-4 | 7.5191684E-4 | 1.027305 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0031904527 | 0.008875063 | 0.009043554 | 1.0189848 | 1.7E-4 | 0.031450346 | 0.084271915 | 0.084619895 | 1.0041292 | 3.8E-4 |
7.0 | 5.8598747E-5 | 1.6512029E-4 | 1.6512029E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5111332E-4 | 7.0746726E-4 | 7.274531E-4 | 1.0282499 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0030530186 | 0.008579592 | 0.008748134 | 1.0196445 | 1.7E-4 | 0.03011414 | 0.08158445 | 0.08192427 | 1.0041652 | 3.7E-4 |
7.1 | 5.613814E-5 | 1.5930375E-4 | 1.5930375E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4056983E-4 | 6.8255246E-4 | 7.0253876E-4 | 1.0292817 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0029250039 | 0.008278593 | 0.008447186 | 1.0203649 | 1.7E-4 | 0.028868021 | 0.07888606 | 0.079217665 | 1.0042036 | 3.6E-4 |
7.2 | 4.991222E-5 | 1.4536385E-4 | 1.4536385E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1389198E-4 | 6.2283955E-4 | 6.4282713E-4 | 1.032091 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002601025 | 0.007556809 | 0.0077156 | 1.0210129 | 1.6E-4 | 0.025707912 | 0.07233381 | 0.072658494 | 1.0044887 | 3.5E-4 |
7.3 | 4.7410045E-5 | 1.373025E-4 | 1.373025E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0317009E-4 | 5.883069E-4 | 6.082952E-4 | 1.0339758 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0024707897 | 0.0071392 | 0.0072980574 | 1.0222515 | 1.6E-4 | 0.024434982 | 0.06861141 | 0.068928085 | 1.0046154 | 3.4E-4 |
7.4 | 4.5556746E-5 | 1.3137884E-4 | 1.3137884E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.952286E-4 | 5.62931E-4 | 5.8291975E-4 | 1.0355083 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002374317 | 0.006832226 | 0.006991133 | 1.0232584 | 1.6E-4 | 0.023491086 | 0.06586029 | 0.06616855 | 1.0046806 | 3.3E-4 |
7.5 | 4.3084514E-5 | 1.2372872E-4 | 1.2372872E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8463485E-4 | 5.3015846E-4 | 5.5014784E-4 | 1.0377046 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0022456115 | 0.006435648 | 0.006584683 | 1.0231577 | 1.5E-4 | 0.022230545 | 0.06225957 | 0.06255965 | 1.0048198 | 3.2E-4 |
7.6 | 3.408608E-5 | 9.849839E-5 | 9.849839E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4607502E-4 | 4.2206777E-4 | 4.4205933E-4 | 1.0473658 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017770125 | 0.005126593 | 0.0052758246 | 1.0291092 | 1.5E-4 | 0.017628696 | 0.050086122 | 0.050390095 | 1.006069 | 3.2E-4 |
7.7 | 2.8315713E-5 | 8.262102E-5 | 8.262102E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2134742E-4 | 3.5404207E-4 | 3.7403498E-4 | 1.0564705 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014764034 | 0.0043019517 | 0.0044513065 | 1.0347179 | 1.5E-4 | 0.01466633 | 0.042333513 | 0.042639967 | 1.007239 | 3.2E-4 |
7.8 | 2.6222975E-5 | 7.4756E-5 | 7.4756E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1237934E-4 | 3.203435E-4 | 3.403371E-4 | 1.062413 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0013673597 | 0.0038932136 | 0.0040426296 | 1.0383786 | 1.5E-4 | 0.013589768 | 0.038495146 | 0.03880283 | 1.0079927 | 3.2E-4 |
7.9 | 2.1469694E-5 | 5.7982703E-5 | 5.7982703E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.200973E-5 | 2.4847363E-4 | 2.6846866E-4 | 1.0804714 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011196428 | 0.003020973 | 0.00316055 | 1.0462027 | 1.4E-4 | 0.011140184 | 0.030201301 | 0.03049224 | 1.0096333 | 3.0E-4 |
8.0 | 1.2420249E-5 | 3.1376432E-5 | 3.1376432E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.322855E-5 | 1.344635E-4 | 1.5446081E-4 | 1.1487193 | 2.0E-5 | 6.478649E-4 | 0.0016358647 | 0.0017257174 | 1.0549268 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0064597935 | 0.016549915 | 0.016707268 | 1.0095078 | 1.6E-4 |
8.1 | 4.9197724E-6 | 7.842547E-6 | 7.842547E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1084568E-5 | 3.3610482E-5 | 3.3610482E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.566744E-4 | 4.0913094E-4 | 4.0913094E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002563781 | 0.0043946104 | 0.0044045663 | 1.0022656 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 2.5634774E-6 | 2.915849E-6 | 2.915849E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0986286E-5 | 1.2496436E-5 | 1.2496436E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3374983E-4 | 1.5213354E-4 | 1.5213354E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013366934 | 0.0017097751 | 0.001719758 | 1.0058388 | 1.0E-5 |
8.3 | 5.2850464E-7 | 3.2203224E-7 | 3.2203224E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2650179E-6 | 1.3801375E-6 | 1.3801375E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7576245E-5 | 1.6803056E-5 | 1.6803056E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7572823E-4 | 1.9934843E-4 | 2.0934644E-4 | 1.0501534 | 1.0E-5 |
Death Valley (Black Mtns Frontal)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.8671435E-5 | 1.8671435E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.001803E-5 | 1.20014825E-4 | 1.4998474 | 4.0E-5 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.737917E-4 | 0.0011636066 | 1.1949236 | 1.9E-4 | 0.00867977 | 0.0096961 | 0.010141737 | 1.0459604 | 4.5E-4 |
6.1 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.8671435E-5 | 1.8671435E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.001803E-5 | 1.20014825E-4 | 1.4998474 | 4.0E-5 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.737917E-4 | 0.0011636066 | 1.1949236 | 1.9E-4 | 0.00867977 | 0.0096961 | 0.010141737 | 1.0459604 | 4.5E-4 |
6.2 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.8671435E-5 | 1.8671435E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.001803E-5 | 1.20014825E-4 | 1.4998474 | 4.0E-5 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.737917E-4 | 0.0011636066 | 1.1949236 | 1.9E-4 | 0.00867977 | 0.0096961 | 0.010141737 | 1.0459604 | 4.5E-4 |
6.3 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.8671435E-5 | 1.8671435E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.001803E-5 | 1.20014825E-4 | 1.4998474 | 4.0E-5 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.737917E-4 | 0.0011636066 | 1.1949236 | 1.9E-4 | 0.00867977 | 0.0096961 | 0.010141737 | 1.0459604 | 4.5E-4 |
6.4 | 1.5515609E-5 | 1.7339296E-5 | 1.7339296E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.649377E-5 | 7.430919E-5 | 1.1430622E-4 | 1.5382514 | 4.0E-5 | 8.0926094E-4 | 9.04345E-4 | 0.0010741913 | 1.1878114 | 1.7E-4 | 0.008063202 | 0.009007333 | 0.009354181 | 1.0385072 | 3.5E-4 |
6.5 | 1.5515609E-5 | 1.7339296E-5 | 1.7339296E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.649377E-5 | 7.430919E-5 | 1.1430622E-4 | 1.5382514 | 4.0E-5 | 8.0926094E-4 | 9.04345E-4 | 0.0010741913 | 1.1878114 | 1.7E-4 | 0.008063202 | 0.009007333 | 0.009354181 | 1.0385072 | 3.5E-4 |
6.6 | 1.5041828E-5 | 1.6810196E-5 | 1.6810196E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4463384E-5 | 7.204174E-5 | 1.12038855E-4 | 1.5551937 | 4.0E-5 | 7.8455906E-4 | 8.767611E-4 | 0.0010166384 | 1.1595386 | 1.4E-4 | 0.00781795 | 0.008733676 | 0.0090409685 | 1.0351847 | 3.1E-4 |
6.7 | 1.4634985E-5 | 1.635704E-5 | 1.635704E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.271985E-5 | 7.009975E-5 | 1.10096946E-4 | 1.5705755 | 4.0E-5 | 7.6334673E-4 | 8.53136E-4 | 9.830251E-4 | 1.152249 | 1.3E-4 | 0.007607299 | 0.008499245 | 0.008776866 | 1.0326641 | 2.8E-4 |
6.8 | 1.4209158E-5 | 1.5883043E-5 | 1.5883043E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.089497E-5 | 6.806844E-5 | 9.80664E-5 | 1.4407029 | 3.0E-5 | 7.4114406E-4 | 8.2842377E-4 | 9.4832433E-4 | 1.1447334 | 1.2E-4 | 0.007386771 | 0.008253971 | 0.008521743 | 1.0324415 | 2.7E-4 |
6.9 | 1.3780098E-5 | 1.540556E-5 | 1.540556E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9056227E-5 | 6.6022185E-5 | 9.602021E-5 | 1.4543628 | 3.0E-5 | 7.1877235E-4 | 8.0352917E-4 | 9.034488E-4 | 1.124351 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0071645193 | 0.0080068335 | 0.008244911 | 1.0297344 | 2.4E-4 |
7.0 | 1.3585064E-5 | 1.5189109E-5 | 1.5189109E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8220405E-5 | 6.509459E-5 | 9.509263E-5 | 1.4608378 | 3.0E-5 | 7.086029E-4 | 7.922439E-4 | 8.821726E-4 | 1.1135113 | 9.0E-5 | 0.007063476 | 0.007894788 | 0.008113051 | 1.0276465 | 2.2E-4 |
7.1 | 1.3398601E-5 | 1.4982282E-5 | 1.4982282E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.742131E-5 | 6.420823E-5 | 9.4206305E-5 | 1.4671998 | 3.0E-5 | 6.9888023E-4 | 7.8146026E-4 | 8.613977E-4 | 1.1022924 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0069668638 | 0.007787712 | 0.007996077 | 1.0267556 | 2.1E-4 |
7.2 | 1.3126312E-5 | 1.4680485E-5 | 1.4680485E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6254412E-5 | 6.291488E-5 | 9.291299E-5 | 1.4768047 | 3.0E-5 | 6.846822E-4 | 7.6572486E-4 | 8.3567126E-4 | 1.0913466 | 7.0E-5 | 0.006825765 | 0.007631449 | 0.007829922 | 1.0260073 | 2.0E-4 |
7.3 | 1.2922429E-5 | 1.4454699E-5 | 1.4454699E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5380664E-5 | 6.194727E-5 | 9.194542E-5 | 1.4842528 | 3.0E-5 | 6.74051E-4 | 7.539525E-4 | 8.238997E-4 | 1.092774 | 7.0E-5 | 0.006720101 | 0.007514527 | 0.0076832497 | 1.0224528 | 1.7E-4 |
7.4 | 1.2768878E-5 | 1.4284673E-5 | 1.4284673E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4722615E-5 | 6.121862E-5 | 8.12174E-5 | 1.3266779 | 2.0E-5 | 6.660441E-4 | 7.450873E-4 | 8.0504257E-4 | 1.0804675 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0066405144 | 0.007426471 | 0.007575357 | 1.020048 | 1.5E-4 |
7.5 | 1.2521929E-5 | 1.4012902E-5 | 1.4012902E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.366431E-5 | 6.0053942E-5 | 8.005274E-5 | 1.3330139 | 2.0E-5 | 6.531671E-4 | 7.309169E-4 | 7.908731E-4 | 1.0820286 | 6.0E-5 | 0.006512506 | 0.0072857053 | 0.0074346126 | 1.0204383 | 1.5E-4 |
7.6 | 1.1301089E-5 | 1.2648951E-5 | 1.2648951E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8432343E-5 | 5.4208693E-5 | 7.420761E-5 | 1.3689245 | 2.0E-5 | 5.895042E-4 | 6.597963E-4 | 7.097633E-4 | 1.0757309 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0058794282 | 0.006578926 | 0.006708071 | 1.0196301 | 1.3E-4 |
7.7 | 9.189108E-6 | 1.02840095E-5 | 1.02840095E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.93813E-5 | 4.407361E-5 | 6.407273E-5 | 1.4537662 | 2.0E-5 | 4.7936183E-4 | 5.3646916E-4 | 5.664531E-4 | 1.0558912 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004783291 | 0.005352252 | 0.005431824 | 1.014867 | 8.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.648368E-7 | 3.648368E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5635853E-6 | 1.1563569E-5 | 7.3955474 | 1.0E-5 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.903649E-5 | 2.90363E-5 | 1.5252969 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.9034903E-4 | 2.1034523E-4 | 1.1050501 | 2.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6697329E-9 | 2.6697329E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.14417125E-8 | 1.14417125E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3930286E-7 | 1.3930286E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3930285E-6 | 1.3930285E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Helendale-So Lockhart
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.7296055E-5 | 1.810418E-5 | 2.8103997E-5 | 1.5523486 | 1.0E-5 | 7.412385E-5 | 7.7587145E-5 | 1.0758482E-4 | 1.386632 | 3.0E-5 | 9.0208417E-4 | 9.442349E-4 | 0.0010940932 | 1.1587088 | 1.5E-4 | 0.008984311 | 0.009404349 | 0.009780775 | 1.0400268 | 3.8E-4 |
6.1 | 1.7296055E-5 | 1.810418E-5 | 2.8103997E-5 | 1.5523486 | 1.0E-5 | 7.412385E-5 | 7.7587145E-5 | 1.0758482E-4 | 1.386632 | 3.0E-5 | 9.0208417E-4 | 9.442349E-4 | 0.0010940932 | 1.1587088 | 1.5E-4 | 0.008984311 | 0.009404349 | 0.009780775 | 1.0400268 | 3.8E-4 |
6.2 | 1.7296055E-5 | 1.810418E-5 | 2.8103997E-5 | 1.5523486 | 1.0E-5 | 7.412385E-5 | 7.7587145E-5 | 1.0758482E-4 | 1.386632 | 3.0E-5 | 9.0208417E-4 | 9.442349E-4 | 0.0010940932 | 1.1587088 | 1.5E-4 | 0.008984311 | 0.009404349 | 0.009780775 | 1.0400268 | 3.8E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0669118E-5 | 1.1135683E-5 | 2.1135571E-5 | 1.898004 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5723988E-5 | 4.7723497E-5 | 6.772255E-5 | 1.4190607 | 2.0E-5 | 5.5654737E-4 | 5.808815E-4 | 6.708292E-4 | 1.1548469 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0055515557 | 0.0057939277 | 0.006042479 | 1.0428987 | 2.5E-4 |
6.4 | 1.0669118E-5 | 1.1135683E-5 | 2.1135571E-5 | 1.898004 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5723988E-5 | 4.7723497E-5 | 6.772255E-5 | 1.4190607 | 2.0E-5 | 5.5654737E-4 | 5.808815E-4 | 6.708292E-4 | 1.1548469 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0055515557 | 0.0057939277 | 0.006042479 | 1.0428987 | 2.5E-4 |
6.5 | 8.790038E-6 | 9.170408E-6 | 9.170408E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.767105E-5 | 3.930116E-5 | 4.9300772E-5 | 1.2544354 | 1.0E-5 | 4.585485E-4 | 4.7838816E-4 | 5.4835464E-4 | 1.1462547 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0045760344 | 0.0047737476 | 0.0049628406 | 1.039611 | 1.9E-4 |
6.6 | 7.396949E-6 | 7.715714E-6 | 7.715714E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1700827E-5 | 3.306693E-5 | 4.30666E-5 | 1.3024069 | 1.0E-5 | 3.858892E-4 | 4.025165E-4 | 4.7248835E-4 | 1.1738359 | 7.0E-5 | 0.003852198 | 0.0040179817 | 0.0041872985 | 1.0421398 | 1.7E-4 |
6.7 | 6.4600285E-6 | 6.738185E-6 | 6.738185E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7685543E-5 | 2.8877621E-5 | 3.8877333E-5 | 1.3462789 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3701936E-4 | 3.515291E-4 | 3.9151503E-4 | 1.1137486 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0033650869 | 0.003509812 | 0.003619426 | 1.0312307 | 1.1E-4 |
6.8 | 5.600104E-6 | 5.8361397E-6 | 5.8361397E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4000226E-5 | 2.5011792E-5 | 3.501154E-5 | 1.3998014 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9216358E-4 | 3.0447662E-4 | 3.3446748E-4 | 1.0984998 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0029177975 | 0.003040656 | 0.0031004734 | 1.0196726 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.839122E-6 | 5.03962E-6 | 5.03962E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0738931E-5 | 2.1598196E-5 | 3.1597978E-5 | 1.4629916 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5246723E-4 | 2.6292677E-4 | 2.9291888E-4 | 1.1140702 | 3.0E-5 | 0.002521806 | 0.0026262044 | 0.0026760732 | 1.0189888 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.6937633E-6 | 3.8452918E-6 | 3.8452918E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5830317E-5 | 1.6479718E-5 | 1.6479718E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9271708E-4 | 2.0062242E-4 | 2.206184E-4 | 1.0996698 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0019255003 | 0.0020044446 | 0.0020443643 | 1.0199157 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.7858857E-6 | 2.8979157E-6 | 2.8979157E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1939455E-5 | 1.241958E-5 | 1.241958E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4535317E-4 | 1.5119811E-4 | 1.7119509E-4 | 1.1322567 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014525814 | 0.0015109739 | 0.0015509136 | 1.026433 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.1672065E-6 | 2.2540607E-6 | 2.2540607E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2879945E-6 | 9.660225E-6 | 9.660225E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1307546E-4 | 1.1760708E-4 | 1.3760473E-4 | 1.1700377 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011301794 | 0.0011754666 | 0.0012154196 | 1.0339891 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.4823496E-6 | 1.5422432E-6 | 1.5422432E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3529114E-6 | 6.609598E-6 | 6.609598E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.734395E-5 | 8.0469035E-5 | 9.046823E-5 | 1.1242614 | 1.0E-5 | 7.731704E-4 | 8.044141E-4 | 8.3439E-4 | 1.0372642 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.2321457E-7 | 4.4109754E-7 | 4.4109754E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8137755E-6 | 1.8904169E-6 | 1.8904169E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2082493E-5 | 2.301563E-5 | 3.30154E-5 | 1.4344773 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2080299E-4 | 2.3013698E-4 | 2.4013467E-4 | 1.0434424 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.6942316E-8 | 5.9417015E-8 | 5.9417015E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.440385E-7 | 2.5464433E-7 | 2.5464433E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9711643E-6 | 3.100291E-6 | 3.100291E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9711247E-5 | 3.1002557E-5 | 3.1002557E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Big Bend)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.0107176E-4 | 2.1106975E-4 | 1.0497235 | 1.0E-5 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.6145254E-4 | 8.814353E-4 | 1.0231966 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0052979486 | 0.0104380315 | 0.010566675 | 1.0123245 | 1.3E-4 | 0.051734097 | 0.10163772 | 0.10191621 | 1.00274 | 3.1E-4 |
6.1 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.0107176E-4 | 2.1106975E-4 | 1.0497235 | 1.0E-5 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.6145254E-4 | 8.814353E-4 | 1.0231966 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0052979486 | 0.0104380315 | 0.010566675 | 1.0123245 | 1.3E-4 | 0.051734097 | 0.10163772 | 0.10191621 | 1.00274 | 3.1E-4 |
6.2 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.0107176E-4 | 2.1106975E-4 | 1.0497235 | 1.0E-5 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.6145254E-4 | 8.814353E-4 | 1.0231966 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0052979486 | 0.0104380315 | 0.010566675 | 1.0123245 | 1.3E-4 | 0.051734097 | 0.10163772 | 0.10191621 | 1.00274 | 3.1E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.0107176E-4 | 2.1106975E-4 | 1.0497235 | 1.0E-5 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.6145254E-4 | 8.814353E-4 | 1.0231966 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0052979486 | 0.0104380315 | 0.010566675 | 1.0123245 | 1.3E-4 | 0.051734097 | 0.10163772 | 0.10191621 | 1.00274 | 3.1E-4 |
6.4 | 9.1639464E-5 | 1.8463937E-4 | 1.8463937E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9268145E-4 | 7.9107186E-4 | 8.010639E-4 | 1.012631 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0047704205 | 0.009588886 | 0.009668118 | 1.008263 | 8.0E-5 | 0.046693064 | 0.093937874 | 0.09407378 | 1.0014468 | 1.5E-4 |
6.5 | 9.1639464E-5 | 1.8463937E-4 | 1.8463937E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9268145E-4 | 7.9107186E-4 | 8.010639E-4 | 1.012631 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0047704205 | 0.009588886 | 0.009668118 | 1.008263 | 8.0E-5 | 0.046693064 | 0.093937874 | 0.09407378 | 1.0014468 | 1.5E-4 |
6.6 | 9.042622E-5 | 1.827092E-4 | 1.827092E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8748336E-4 | 7.828047E-4 | 7.927969E-4 | 1.0127646 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0047074095 | 0.009489112 | 0.009568353 | 1.0083507 | 8.0E-5 | 0.046089325 | 0.09302715 | 0.09316319 | 1.0014625 | 1.5E-4 |
6.7 | 8.9836685E-5 | 1.8185233E-4 | 1.8185233E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8495753E-4 | 7.791345E-4 | 7.8912673E-4 | 1.0128248 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00467679 | 0.009444815 | 0.0095240595 | 1.0083903 | 8.0E-5 | 0.045795817 | 0.09262138 | 0.092757486 | 1.0014695 | 1.5E-4 |
6.8 | 8.9471854E-5 | 1.8131983E-4 | 1.8131983E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8339442E-4 | 7.7685376E-4 | 7.86846E-4 | 1.0128624 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004657841 | 0.009417287 | 0.009496534 | 1.008415 | 8.0E-5 | 0.04561414 | 0.092368215 | 0.09250436 | 1.0014739 | 1.5E-4 |
6.9 | 8.858234E-5 | 1.8013896E-4 | 1.8013896E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7958333E-4 | 7.717959E-4 | 7.817882E-4 | 1.0129468 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004611638 | 0.009356238 | 0.00943549 | 1.0084704 | 8.0E-5 | 0.04517103 | 0.09180844 | 0.091944665 | 1.0014838 | 1.5E-4 |
7.0 | 8.7433385E-5 | 1.7852607E-4 | 1.7852607E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.746607E-4 | 7.6488755E-4 | 7.7487994E-4 | 1.0130638 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004551957 | 0.009272847 | 0.009352106 | 1.0085473 | 8.0E-5 | 0.044598386 | 0.0910425 | 0.09116975 | 1.0013977 | 1.4E-4 |
7.1 | 8.684964E-5 | 1.7764501E-4 | 1.7764501E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7215967E-4 | 7.6111377E-4 | 7.7110616E-4 | 1.0131286 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045216335 | 0.009227292 | 0.009306554 | 1.00859 | 8.0E-5 | 0.04430731 | 0.09062394 | 0.09075125 | 1.0014049 | 1.4E-4 |
7.2 | 8.606521E-5 | 1.7655063E-4 | 1.7655063E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6879873E-4 | 7.5642637E-4 | 7.664188E-4 | 1.01321 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0044808835 | 0.0091707045 | 0.009249971 | 1.0086434 | 8.0E-5 | 0.043916024 | 0.09010384 | 0.090231225 | 1.0014138 | 1.4E-4 |
7.3 | 8.568266E-5 | 1.7596998E-4 | 1.7596998E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6715972E-4 | 7.5393927E-4 | 7.639317E-4 | 1.0132537 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0044610105 | 0.009140679 | 0.009219947 | 1.0086721 | 8.0E-5 | 0.043725148 | 0.08982521 | 0.08995264 | 1.0014186 | 1.4E-4 |
7.4 | 8.5432206E-5 | 1.7559543E-4 | 1.7559543E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6608664E-4 | 7.5233495E-4 | 7.6232746E-4 | 1.013282 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004447999 | 0.00912131 | 0.00920058 | 1.0086907 | 8.0E-5 | 0.043600157 | 0.08964524 | 0.08977269 | 1.0014217 | 1.4E-4 |
7.5 | 8.4791965E-5 | 1.7428731E-4 | 1.7428731E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.633435E-4 | 7.46732E-4 | 7.5672456E-4 | 1.0133817 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0044147377 | 0.009053662 | 0.009132938 | 1.0087562 | 8.0E-5 | 0.043280575 | 0.08902357 | 0.0891511 | 1.0014327 | 1.4E-4 |
7.6 | 8.241105E-5 | 1.6873641E-4 | 1.6873641E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.531424E-4 | 7.229558E-4 | 7.3294854E-4 | 1.0138221 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042910352 | 0.008766552 | 0.008845851 | 1.0090456 | 8.0E-5 | 0.042091176 | 0.08639386 | 0.08652177 | 1.0014805 | 1.4E-4 |
7.7 | 7.00432E-5 | 1.4234452E-4 | 1.4234452E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.001506E-4 | 6.099054E-4 | 6.198993E-4 | 1.016386 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036482112 | 0.007400356 | 0.0074698376 | 1.009389 | 7.0E-5 | 0.035888977 | 0.07365227 | 0.07375416 | 1.0013835 | 1.1E-4 |
7.8 | 6.415362E-5 | 1.2995867E-4 | 1.2995867E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.749151E-4 | 5.568469E-4 | 5.6684134E-4 | 1.0179483 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033419547 | 0.006758566 | 0.006828093 | 1.0102873 | 7.0E-5 | 0.03292141 | 0.06737457 | 0.06747716 | 1.0015227 | 1.1E-4 |
7.9 | 4.939911E-5 | 9.36036E-5 | 9.36036E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.116933E-4 | 4.0109662E-4 | 4.0109662E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025743195 | 0.0048724264 | 0.00490228 | 1.0061271 | 3.0E-5 | 0.025447013 | 0.049006134 | 0.049063195 | 1.0011643 | 6.0E-5 |
8.0 | 3.344983E-5 | 5.233905E-5 | 5.233905E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4334853E-4 | 2.2429094E-4 | 2.2429094E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017438711 | 0.0027273244 | 0.0027472698 | 1.0073133 | 2.0E-5 | 0.017302496 | 0.027977858 | 0.028016739 | 1.0013897 | 4.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.9104898E-5 | 1.9225243E-5 | 1.9225243E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.1875565E-5 | 8.23913E-5 | 8.23913E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.963791E-4 | 0.001002653 | 0.001002653 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009919235 | 0.010777342 | 0.010787235 | 1.0009179 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.494016E-6 | 5.494016E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3545572E-5 | 2.3545572E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.866297E-4 | 2.866297E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0032592218 | 0.003269189 | 1.0030582 | 1.0E-5 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.690063E-7 | 7.690063E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.295737E-6 | 3.295737E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.012488E-5 | 4.012488E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.737206E-4 | 4.8371585E-4 | 1.0210994 | 1.0E-5 |
Coyote Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.980352E-5 | 2.1707852E-5 | 2.1707852E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.486947E-5 | 9.303074E-5 | 1.1302888E-4 | 1.2149627 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010327959 | 0.0011321327 | 0.0012320195 | 1.0882288 | 1.0E-4 | 0.010280091 | 0.01127083 | 0.0115279 | 1.0228084 | 2.6E-4 |
6.1 | 1.980352E-5 | 2.1707852E-5 | 2.1707852E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.486947E-5 | 9.303074E-5 | 1.1302888E-4 | 1.2149627 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010327959 | 0.0011321327 | 0.0012320195 | 1.0882288 | 1.0E-4 | 0.010280091 | 0.01127083 | 0.0115279 | 1.0228084 | 2.6E-4 |
6.2 | 1.980352E-5 | 2.1707852E-5 | 2.1707852E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.486947E-5 | 9.303074E-5 | 1.1302888E-4 | 1.2149627 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010327959 | 0.0011321327 | 0.0012320195 | 1.0882288 | 1.0E-4 | 0.010280091 | 0.01127083 | 0.0115279 | 1.0228084 | 2.6E-4 |
6.3 | 1.5344787E-5 | 1.6821528E-5 | 1.6821528E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.576172E-5 | 7.209062E-5 | 9.2089176E-5 | 1.2774086 | 2.0E-5 | 8.003548E-4 | 8.7741105E-4 | 9.473496E-4 | 1.0797101 | 7.0E-5 | 0.007974784 | 0.008745514 | 0.008923939 | 1.020402 | 1.8E-4 |
6.4 | 1.5344787E-5 | 1.6821528E-5 | 1.6821528E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.576172E-5 | 7.209062E-5 | 9.2089176E-5 | 1.2774086 | 2.0E-5 | 8.003548E-4 | 8.7741105E-4 | 9.473496E-4 | 1.0797101 | 7.0E-5 | 0.007974784 | 0.008745514 | 0.008923939 | 1.020402 | 1.8E-4 |
6.5 | 1.4189697E-5 | 1.5558782E-5 | 1.5558782E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.081157E-5 | 6.667913E-5 | 8.66778E-5 | 1.2999239 | 2.0E-5 | 7.401293E-4 | 8.115764E-4 | 8.715277E-4 | 1.0738702 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0073766913 | 0.008092069 | 0.008260693 | 1.0208383 | 1.7E-4 |
6.6 | 1.3469301E-5 | 1.4772335E-5 | 1.4772335E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7724297E-5 | 6.330881E-5 | 8.330755E-5 | 1.3158917 | 2.0E-5 | 7.025667E-4 | 7.7057217E-4 | 8.3052594E-4 | 1.0778042 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0070034964 | 0.0076849074 | 0.007853601 | 1.0219513 | 1.7E-4 |
6.7 | 1.3027966E-5 | 1.4282475E-5 | 1.4282475E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5832945E-5 | 6.12095E-5 | 8.120828E-5 | 1.3267267 | 2.0E-5 | 6.7955407E-4 | 7.450307E-4 | 7.949934E-4 | 1.0670613 | 5.0E-5 | 0.006774798 | 0.007431207 | 0.007590018 | 1.0213708 | 1.6E-4 |
6.8 | 5.695434E-6 | 6.2247245E-6 | 6.2247245E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4408775E-5 | 2.6677288E-5 | 2.6677288E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.971363E-4 | 3.2477756E-4 | 3.2477756E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029673933 | 0.0032459702 | 0.0032858404 | 1.012283 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.385688E-6 | 4.7932917E-6 | 4.7932917E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.879567E-5 | 2.0542679E-5 | 2.0542679E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2881327E-4 | 2.501071E-4 | 2.501071E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002285778 | 0.002501071 | 0.002540971 | 1.0159532 | 4.0E-5 |
San Andreas (San Gorgonio Pass-Garnet HIll)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.3400006E-4 | 2.3400006E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010024677 | 0.0010224477 | 1.0199307 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004329778 | 0.012136659 | 0.012255202 | 1.0097674 | 1.2E-4 | 0.042463828 | 0.112651974 | 0.112847194 | 1.001733 | 2.2E-4 |
6.1 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.3400006E-4 | 2.3400006E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010024677 | 0.0010224477 | 1.0199307 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004329778 | 0.012136659 | 0.012255202 | 1.0097674 | 1.2E-4 | 0.042463828 | 0.112651974 | 0.112847194 | 1.001733 | 2.2E-4 |
6.2 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.3400006E-4 | 2.3400006E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010024677 | 0.0010224477 | 1.0199307 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004329778 | 0.012136659 | 0.012255202 | 1.0097674 | 1.2E-4 | 0.042463828 | 0.112651974 | 0.112847194 | 1.001733 | 2.2E-4 |
6.3 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.3400006E-4 | 2.3400006E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010024677 | 0.0010224477 | 1.0199307 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004329778 | 0.012136659 | 0.012255202 | 1.0097674 | 1.2E-4 | 0.042463828 | 0.112651974 | 0.112847194 | 1.001733 | 2.2E-4 |
6.4 | 8.059055E-5 | 2.2957478E-4 | 2.2957478E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4534236E-4 | 9.835173E-4 | 0.0010034975 | 1.0203152 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0041964394 | 0.0119088115 | 0.012027383 | 1.0099566 | 1.2E-4 | 0.041180745 | 0.11063283 | 0.1108196 | 1.0016881 | 2.1E-4 |
6.5 | 8.059055E-5 | 2.2957478E-4 | 2.2957478E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4534236E-4 | 9.835173E-4 | 0.0010034975 | 1.0203152 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0041964394 | 0.0119088115 | 0.012027383 | 1.0099566 | 1.2E-4 | 0.041180745 | 0.11063283 | 0.1108196 | 1.0016881 | 2.1E-4 |
6.6 | 7.619237E-5 | 2.2201831E-4 | 2.2201831E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2649786E-4 | 9.5116236E-4 | 9.6115284E-4 | 1.0105034 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0039678677 | 0.011519459 | 0.011628192 | 1.0094391 | 1.1E-4 | 0.03897764 | 0.10716916 | 0.10734772 | 1.0016662 | 2.0E-4 |
6.7 | 7.440636E-5 | 2.187761E-4 | 2.187761E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.188454E-4 | 9.3727716E-4 | 9.472678E-4 | 1.0106592 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0038750346 | 0.011352178 | 0.011460928 | 1.0095798 | 1.1E-4 | 0.038081564 | 0.10567762 | 0.105856486 | 1.0016925 | 2.0E-4 |
6.8 | 7.3735864E-5 | 2.1724754E-4 | 2.1724754E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1597257E-4 | 9.307309E-4 | 9.407216E-4 | 1.0107342 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0038401815 | 0.011273306 | 0.011382066 | 1.0096476 | 1.1E-4 | 0.03774495 | 0.10497911 | 0.10515811 | 1.0017052 | 2.0E-4 |
6.9 | 7.27575E-5 | 2.1493697E-4 | 2.1493697E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.117806E-4 | 9.208355E-4 | 9.308263E-4 | 1.0108497 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003789323 | 0.01115407 | 0.011262842 | 1.0097519 | 1.1E-4 | 0.037253562 | 0.10392705 | 0.10410626 | 1.0017245 | 2.0E-4 |
7.0 | 7.102591E-5 | 2.1077669E-4 | 2.1077669E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0436125E-4 | 9.0301817E-4 | 9.1300916E-4 | 1.0110639 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003699303 | 0.01093934 | 0.011048136 | 1.0099454 | 1.1E-4 | 0.03638325 | 0.10202858 | 0.102208175 | 1.0017602 | 2.0E-4 |
7.1 | 7.028513E-5 | 2.0913279E-4 | 2.0913279E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0118722E-4 | 8.959777E-4 | 9.059688E-4 | 1.011151 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036607897 | 0.01085448 | 0.010963286 | 1.0100241 | 1.1E-4 | 0.036010686 | 0.10127171 | 0.10145146 | 1.0017749 | 2.0E-4 |
7.2 | 6.8498244E-5 | 2.0521069E-4 | 2.0521069E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9353087E-4 | 8.7918015E-4 | 8.891713E-4 | 1.0113642 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003567883 | 0.010651984 | 0.010760813 | 1.0102167 | 1.1E-4 | 0.035111405 | 0.09946359 | 0.0996437 | 1.0018108 | 2.0E-4 |
7.3 | 6.622592E-5 | 1.9748145E-4 | 1.9748145E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8379448E-4 | 8.4607676E-4 | 8.560683E-4 | 1.0118092 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034497243 | 0.010252813 | 0.0103616845 | 1.0106188 | 1.1E-4 | 0.033966612 | 0.095959775 | 0.096140586 | 1.0018842 | 2.0E-4 |
7.4 | 5.1050705E-5 | 1.4702928E-4 | 1.4702928E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1877038E-4 | 6.299742E-4 | 6.399679E-4 | 1.0158637 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002660276 | 0.0076431558 | 0.0077523147 | 1.014282 | 1.1E-4 | 0.02628654 | 0.07292454 | 0.073109955 | 1.0025426 | 2.0E-4 |
7.5 | 3.9302922E-5 | 1.1141936E-4 | 1.1141936E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6843023E-4 | 4.7742447E-4 | 4.874197E-4 | 1.0209358 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020487092 | 0.005797221 | 0.0059065833 | 1.0188646 | 1.1E-4 | 0.020299247 | 0.056063596 | 0.056252383 | 1.0033674 | 2.0E-4 |
7.6 | 2.9851626E-5 | 8.50571E-5 | 8.50571E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2792926E-4 | 3.644796E-4 | 3.74476E-4 | 1.0274264 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015564259 | 0.0044285357 | 0.004538049 | 1.0247289 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0154556995 | 0.0432426 | 0.043433953 | 1.004425 | 2.0E-4 |
7.7 | 2.1135214E-5 | 6.362411E-5 | 6.362411E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0576345E-5 | 2.7264628E-4 | 2.8264357E-4 | 1.0366676 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011022091 | 0.0033144215 | 0.0034240568 | 1.0330783 | 1.1E-4 | 0.010967582 | 0.032626197 | 0.032809995 | 1.0056336 | 1.9E-4 |
7.8 | 1.883379E-5 | 5.5727225E-5 | 5.5727225E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0713755E-5 | 2.3880912E-4 | 2.4880673E-4 | 1.0418644 | 1.0E-5 | 9.822468E-4 | 0.0029036277 | 0.0030133084 | 1.0377736 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0097791655 | 0.028735327 | 0.028919868 | 1.006422 | 1.9E-4 |
7.9 | 1.5156185E-5 | 4.172945E-5 | 4.172945E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.495346E-5 | 1.7882824E-4 | 1.8882645E-4 | 1.0559096 | 1.0E-5 | 7.9052144E-4 | 0.0021750613 | 0.0022748436 | 1.0458757 | 1.0E-4 | 0.007877152 | 0.021792497 | 0.021968573 | 1.0080798 | 1.8E-4 |
8.0 | 1.1405907E-5 | 3.0027531E-5 | 3.0027531E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8881542E-5 | 1.2868308E-4 | 1.3868179E-4 | 1.0777003 | 1.0E-5 | 5.9497025E-4 | 0.0015655915 | 0.0016454663 | 1.051019 | 8.0E-5 | 0.005933798 | 0.01579799 | 0.015935777 | 1.0087218 | 1.4E-4 |
8.1 | 4.3511436E-6 | 7.3876467E-6 | 7.3876467E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8647626E-5 | 3.166096E-5 | 3.166096E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2701119E-4 | 3.8540413E-4 | 3.8540413E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022677942 | 0.004125591 | 0.0041355495 | 1.0024139 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 2.3042528E-6 | 2.741309E-6 | 2.741309E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.875332E-6 | 1.1748414E-5 | 1.1748414E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2022553E-4 | 1.430276E-4 | 1.430276E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012016051 | 0.0016023441 | 0.0016123281 | 1.0062308 | 1.0E-5 |
8.3 | 5.202968E-7 | 3.1710775E-7 | 3.1710775E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2298414E-6 | 1.3590326E-6 | 1.3590326E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.714798E-5 | 1.6546108E-5 | 1.6546108E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7144665E-4 | 1.9627038E-4 | 2.062684E-4 | 1.0509402 | 1.0E-5 |
Sierra Nevada (No Extension)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.9765347E-6 | 6.9765347E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.9899295E-5 | 4.9898696E-5 | 1.6688921 | 2.0E-5 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6399896E-4 | 4.6396255E-4 | 1.274626 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036375436 | 0.0038368162 | 1.0547822 | 2.0E-4 |
6.1 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.9765347E-6 | 6.9765347E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.9899295E-5 | 4.9898696E-5 | 1.6688921 | 2.0E-5 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6399896E-4 | 4.6396255E-4 | 1.274626 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036375436 | 0.0038368162 | 1.0547822 | 2.0E-4 |
6.2 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.9765347E-6 | 6.9765347E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.9899295E-5 | 4.9898696E-5 | 1.6688921 | 2.0E-5 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6399896E-4 | 4.6396255E-4 | 1.274626 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036375436 | 0.0038368162 | 1.0547822 | 2.0E-4 |
6.3 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.9765347E-6 | 6.9765347E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.9899295E-5 | 4.9898696E-5 | 1.6688921 | 2.0E-5 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6399896E-4 | 4.6396255E-4 | 1.274626 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036375436 | 0.0038368162 | 1.0547822 | 2.0E-4 |
6.4 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.9765347E-6 | 6.9765347E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.9899295E-5 | 4.9898696E-5 | 1.6688921 | 2.0E-5 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6399896E-4 | 4.6396255E-4 | 1.274626 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036375436 | 0.0038368162 | 1.0547822 | 2.0E-4 |
6.5 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.9765347E-6 | 6.9765347E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.9899295E-5 | 4.9898696E-5 | 1.6688921 | 2.0E-5 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6399896E-4 | 4.6396255E-4 | 1.274626 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036375436 | 0.0038368162 | 1.0547822 | 2.0E-4 |
6.6 | 2.653E-6 | 1.6149307E-6 | 1.6149307E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.136995E-5 | 6.9211133E-6 | 1.6921043E-5 | 2.4448442 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3842035E-4 | 8.426133E-5 | 1.642546E-4 | 1.9493471 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0013833415 | 8.422973E-4 | 9.821793E-4 | 1.1660721 | 1.4E-4 |
6.7 | 2.5902466E-6 | 1.5502632E-6 | 1.5502632E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.11010095E-5 | 6.6439684E-6 | 1.6643902E-5 | 2.5051146 | 1.0E-5 | 1.351464E-4 | 8.0887345E-5 | 1.6088087E-4 | 1.9889499 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0013506424 | 8.08582E-4 | 9.484688E-4 | 1.1730026 | 1.4E-4 |
6.8 | 2.5853892E-6 | 1.547063E-6 | 1.547063E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1080193E-5 | 6.630253E-6 | 1.6630187E-5 | 2.508228 | 1.0E-5 | 1.34893E-4 | 8.072037E-5 | 1.6071391E-4 | 1.9909958 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0013481114 | 8.069135E-4 | 9.468005E-4 | 1.1733606 | 1.4E-4 |
6.9 | 2.458257E-6 | 1.4221347E-6 | 1.4221347E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0535345E-5 | 6.094849E-6 | 1.6094787E-5 | 2.6407197 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2826028E-4 | 7.4202275E-5 | 1.5419634E-4 | 2.078054 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0012818627 | 7.41777E-4 | 8.816731E-4 | 1.188596 | 1.4E-4 |
7.0 | 2.4341468E-6 | 1.3990981E-6 | 1.3990981E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0432016E-5 | 5.9961208E-6 | 1.599606E-5 | 2.6677349 | 1.0E-5 | 1.270024E-4 | 7.3000345E-5 | 1.529945E-4 | 2.0958052 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0012692984 | 7.2976557E-4 | 8.696634E-4 | 1.1917025 | 1.4E-4 |
7.1 | 2.3652476E-6 | 1.3340461E-6 | 1.3340461E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0136736E-5 | 5.717328E-6 | 1.571727E-5 | 2.7490587 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2340778E-4 | 6.960626E-5 | 1.3960138E-4 | 2.0055866 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0012333926 | 6.958463E-4 | 8.257558E-4 | 1.1866928 | 1.3E-4 |
7.2 | 2.272158E-6 | 1.2503509E-6 | 1.2503509E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.737784E-6 | 5.3586355E-6 | 1.5358582E-5 | 2.8661366 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1855107E-4 | 6.523945E-5 | 1.3523488E-4 | 2.0729003 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0011848784 | 6.522045E-4 | 7.821197E-4 | 1.199194 | 1.3E-4 |
7.3 | 2.1382127E-6 | 1.1420364E-6 | 1.1420364E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.163737E-6 | 4.894432E-6 | 1.4894384E-5 | 3.043128 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1156279E-4 | 5.9588092E-5 | 1.2958392E-4 | 2.1746614 | 7.0E-5 | 0.001115068 | 5.9572235E-4 | 7.256449E-4 | 1.2180924 | 1.3E-4 |
7.4 | 1.9048055E-6 | 9.575857E-7 | 9.575857E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.163426E-6 | 4.103932E-6 | 1.4103891E-5 | 3.4366775 | 1.0E-5 | 9.9385186E-5 | 4.9964237E-5 | 1.09961235E-4 | 2.200799 | 6.0E-5 | 9.934074E-4 | 4.995307E-4 | 6.194708E-4 | 1.2401055 | 1.2E-4 |
7.5 | 1.5373403E-6 | 7.5605493E-7 | 7.5605493E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5885843E-6 | 3.2402313E-6 | 1.3240199E-5 | 4.0861893 | 1.0E-5 | 8.021306E-5 | 3.9449107E-5 | 8.944714E-5 | 2.2674057 | 5.0E-5 | 8.0184115E-4 | 3.944215E-4 | 5.043781E-4 | 1.2787795 | 1.1E-4 |
7.6 | 1.0680322E-6 | 4.659972E-7 | 4.659972E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.577273E-6 | 1.9971294E-6 | 1.9971294E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5726876E-5 | 2.431478E-5 | 3.4314537E-5 | 1.4112625 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5712904E-4 | 2.4312147E-4 | 3.0310688E-4 | 1.2467302 | 6.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.509146E-7 | 1.5581371E-7 | 1.5581371E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3610605E-6 | 6.677729E-7 | 6.677729E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8745531E-5 | 8.130106E-6 | 8.130106E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8741814E-4 | 8.1298196E-5 | 8.1298196E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Death Valley (No)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.0074807E-5 | 2.2501532E-5 | 3.2501306E-5 | 1.4444041 | 1.0E-5 | 8.603206E-5 | 9.643161E-5 | 1.3642776E-4 | 1.4147617 | 4.0E-5 | 0.001046937 | 0.00117343 | 0.0012733126 | 1.0851202 | 1.0E-4 | 0.010420183 | 0.011673254 | 0.011880803 | 1.0177798 | 2.1E-4 |
6.1 | 2.0074807E-5 | 2.2501532E-5 | 3.2501306E-5 | 1.4444041 | 1.0E-5 | 8.603206E-5 | 9.643161E-5 | 1.3642776E-4 | 1.4147617 | 4.0E-5 | 0.001046937 | 0.00117343 | 0.0012733126 | 1.0851202 | 1.0E-4 | 0.010420183 | 0.011673254 | 0.011880803 | 1.0177798 | 2.1E-4 |
6.2 | 2.0074807E-5 | 2.2501532E-5 | 3.2501306E-5 | 1.4444041 | 1.0E-5 | 8.603206E-5 | 9.643161E-5 | 1.3642776E-4 | 1.4147617 | 4.0E-5 | 0.001046937 | 0.00117343 | 0.0012733126 | 1.0851202 | 1.0E-4 | 0.010420183 | 0.011673254 | 0.011880803 | 1.0177798 | 2.1E-4 |
6.3 | 1.9050609E-5 | 2.1338312E-5 | 2.1338312E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.164292E-5 | 9.1446746E-5 | 1.21444E-4 | 1.3280298 | 3.0E-5 | 9.935491E-4 | 0.0011128022 | 0.001202702 | 1.080787 | 9.0E-5 | 0.009891188 | 0.011073124 | 0.01125113 | 1.0160756 | 1.8E-4 |
6.4 | 1.9050609E-5 | 2.1338312E-5 | 2.1338312E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.164292E-5 | 9.1446746E-5 | 1.21444E-4 | 1.3280298 | 3.0E-5 | 9.935491E-4 | 0.0011128022 | 0.001202702 | 1.080787 | 9.0E-5 | 0.009891188 | 0.011073124 | 0.01125113 | 1.0160756 | 1.8E-4 |
6.5 | 1.8367004E-5 | 2.0562318E-5 | 2.0562318E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8713354E-5 | 8.812128E-5 | 1.1811864E-4 | 1.3404099 | 3.0E-5 | 9.5791375E-4 | 0.0010723551 | 0.0011622586 | 1.0838374 | 9.0E-5 | 0.009537951 | 0.010672592 | 0.010850671 | 1.0166856 | 1.8E-4 |
6.6 | 1.779439E-5 | 1.9912191E-5 | 1.9912191E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.625944E-5 | 8.53352E-5 | 1.15332645E-4 | 1.3515248 | 3.0E-5 | 9.280632E-4 | 0.0010384673 | 0.0011183843 | 1.0769566 | 8.0E-5 | 0.009241969 | 0.010336905 | 0.010505147 | 1.0162759 | 1.7E-4 |
6.7 | 1.7025437E-5 | 1.904463E-5 | 1.904463E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.296412E-5 | 8.161732E-5 | 1.1161487E-4 | 1.367539 | 3.0E-5 | 8.87976E-4 | 9.93244E-4 | 0.0010731646 | 1.0804641 | 8.0E-5 | 0.008844362 | 0.009888767 | 0.010057086 | 1.0170212 | 1.7E-4 |
6.8 | 1.6545107E-5 | 1.851372E-5 | 1.851372E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.090568E-5 | 7.934213E-5 | 1.0933975E-4 | 1.3780793 | 3.0E-5 | 8.629347E-4 | 9.6556847E-4 | 0.0010454912 | 1.0827727 | 8.0E-5 | 0.008595915 | 0.009614435 | 0.0097828 | 1.0175117 | 1.7E-4 |
6.9 | 1.615478E-5 | 1.8088747E-5 | 1.8088747E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9232934E-5 | 7.7520934E-5 | 1.0751861E-4 | 1.3869623 | 3.0E-5 | 8.4258494E-4 | 9.4341475E-4 | 0.0010233392 | 1.0847183 | 8.0E-5 | 0.008393973 | 0.009394792 | 0.009563195 | 1.0179251 | 1.7E-4 |
7.0 | 1.5894311E-5 | 1.780669E-5 | 1.780669E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.81167E-5 | 7.6312186E-5 | 1.063099E-4 | 1.393092 | 3.0E-5 | 8.2900526E-4 | 9.287109E-4 | 0.0010086367 | 1.0860609 | 8.0E-5 | 0.008259195 | 0.009248987 | 0.009417415 | 1.0182104 | 1.7E-4 |
7.1 | 1.5602263E-5 | 1.7484625E-5 | 1.7484625E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6865134E-5 | 7.493199E-5 | 1.0492974E-4 | 1.400333 | 3.0E-5 | 8.137789E-4 | 9.119212E-4 | 9.918483E-4 | 1.0876468 | 8.0E-5 | 0.008108052 | 0.009082474 | 0.0092509305 | 1.0185474 | 1.7E-4 |
7.2 | 1.5323829E-5 | 1.7171731E-5 | 1.7171731E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.56719E-5 | 7.3591094E-5 | 1.03588885E-4 | 1.407628 | 3.0E-5 | 7.99262E-4 | 8.956093E-4 | 9.755377E-4 | 1.0892446 | 8.0E-5 | 0.007963934 | 0.008920676 | 0.00908916 | 1.0188868 | 1.7E-4 |
7.3 | 1.4556212E-5 | 1.6303497E-5 | 1.6303497E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.238227E-5 | 6.9870286E-5 | 9.986819E-5 | 1.429337 | 3.0E-5 | 7.592395E-4 | 8.503446E-4 | 9.302766E-4 | 1.0939995 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0075665074 | 0.008471553 | 0.008640113 | 1.0198971 | 1.7E-4 |
7.4 | 1.411725E-5 | 1.5808968E-5 | 1.5808968E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0501097E-5 | 6.775099E-5 | 8.7749635E-5 | 1.2951787 | 2.0E-5 | 7.363519E-4 | 8.24562E-4 | 8.9450425E-4 | 1.0848236 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0073391674 | 0.00821566 | 0.0083743455 | 1.019315 | 1.6E-4 |
7.5 | 1.3503312E-5 | 1.5127256E-5 | 1.5127256E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7870053E-5 | 6.4829524E-5 | 8.482822E-5 | 1.3084815 | 2.0E-5 | 7.043401E-4 | 7.890194E-4 | 8.4897206E-4 | 1.0759838 | 6.0E-5 | 0.007021119 | 0.007862805 | 0.008011626 | 1.0189272 | 1.5E-4 |
7.6 | 1.1279839E-5 | 1.2627129E-5 | 1.2627129E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.834127E-5 | 5.4115175E-5 | 7.411409E-5 | 1.3695621 | 2.0E-5 | 5.88396E-4 | 6.586584E-4 | 7.086254E-4 | 1.0758619 | 5.0E-5 | 0.005868405 | 0.006567614 | 0.0066967607 | 1.019664 | 1.3E-4 |
7.7 | 9.189108E-6 | 1.02840095E-5 | 1.02840095E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.93813E-5 | 4.407361E-5 | 6.407273E-5 | 1.4537662 | 2.0E-5 | 4.7936183E-4 | 5.3646916E-4 | 5.664531E-4 | 1.0558912 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004783291 | 0.005352252 | 0.005431824 | 1.014867 | 8.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.648368E-7 | 3.648368E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5635853E-6 | 1.1563569E-5 | 7.3955474 | 1.0E-5 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.903649E-5 | 2.90363E-5 | 1.5252969 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.9034903E-4 | 2.1034523E-4 | 1.1050501 | 2.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6697329E-9 | 2.6697329E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.14417125E-8 | 1.14417125E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3930286E-7 | 1.3930286E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3930285E-6 | 1.3930285E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Parkfield)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.556969E-4 | 7.8200514E-4 | 7.919973E-4 | 1.0127777 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023793848 | 0.003347701 | 0.003367634 | 1.0059543 | 2.0E-5 | 0.028586963 | 0.040345885 | 0.040413063 | 1.001665 | 7.0E-5 | 0.25176284 | 0.3377101 | 0.33782932 | 1.000353 | 1.8E-4 |
6.1 | 1.925858E-4 | 3.0395915E-4 | 3.0395915E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2510663E-4 | 0.0013021269 | 0.0013121138 | 1.0076697 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0099994885 | 0.015831968 | 0.015871335 | 1.0024866 | 4.0E-5 | 0.095613256 | 0.14996985 | 0.15005486 | 1.0005668 | 1.0E-4 |
6.2 | 9.4306815E-5 | 1.8274323E-4 | 1.8274323E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0410945E-4 | 7.829515E-4 | 7.9294364E-4 | 1.0127622 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0049089384 | 0.009490968 | 0.0095206825 | 1.0031309 | 3.0E-5 | 0.048019063 | 0.09199097 | 0.09207269 | 1.0008883 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 9.283051E-5 | 1.7970752E-4 | 1.7970752E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9778434E-4 | 7.69949E-4 | 7.799413E-4 | 1.0129778 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0048322747 | 0.009334031 | 0.00936375 | 1.0031841 | 3.0E-5 | 0.047285385 | 0.090643644 | 0.09072549 | 1.0009029 | 9.0E-5 |
6.4 | 9.138826E-5 | 1.7732776E-4 | 1.7732776E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.916052E-4 | 7.5975596E-4 | 7.6974835E-4 | 1.0131521 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0047573745 | 0.009210981 | 0.0092407055 | 1.003227 | 3.0E-5 | 0.046568092 | 0.08954158 | 0.08962352 | 1.0009152 | 9.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.000255E-5 | 1.749061E-4 | 1.749061E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8566816E-4 | 7.493834E-4 | 7.593759E-4 | 1.0133343 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0046854047 | 0.009085771 | 0.0091154985 | 1.0032718 | 3.0E-5 | 0.045878403 | 0.08842976 | 0.088511795 | 1.0009278 | 9.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.8109264E-5 | 1.7171387E-4 | 1.7171387E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7755648E-4 | 7.3571014E-4 | 7.4570277E-4 | 1.0135823 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045870654 | 0.008920688 | 0.00895042 | 1.003333 | 3.0E-5 | 0.04493529 | 0.08695953 | 0.087041706 | 1.000945 | 9.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.738073E-5 | 1.7038376E-4 | 1.7038376E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7443507E-4 | 7.3001295E-4 | 7.4000563E-4 | 1.0136884 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045492216 | 0.0088519445 | 0.008881679 | 1.0033591 | 3.0E-5 | 0.04457213 | 0.086359605 | 0.08644184 | 1.0009521 | 9.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.710195E-5 | 1.698381E-4 | 1.698381E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7324068E-4 | 7.276757E-4 | 7.3766836E-4 | 1.0137324 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045347405 | 0.008823725 | 0.008853461 | 1.0033699 | 3.0E-5 | 0.04443313 | 0.08610701 | 0.086189255 | 1.0009552 | 9.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.6801556E-5 | 1.6924697E-4 | 1.6924697E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7195362E-4 | 7.251437E-4 | 7.3513645E-4 | 1.0137804 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045191357 | 0.008793148 | 0.008822884 | 1.0033817 | 3.0E-5 | 0.044283327 | 0.085832745 | 0.085915014 | 1.0009586 | 9.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.5571606E-5 | 1.6677282E-4 | 1.6677282E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6668387E-4 | 7.14546E-4 | 7.2453887E-4 | 1.0139849 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004455241 | 0.008665155 | 0.008694895 | 1.0034322 | 3.0E-5 | 0.043669727 | 0.084680066 | 0.08476244 | 1.0009729 | 9.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.82589E-5 | 1.5156982E-4 | 1.5156982E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3535215E-4 | 6.4942404E-4 | 6.5941754E-4 | 1.0153883 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0040752706 | 0.007878244 | 0.007908007 | 1.003778 | 3.0E-5 | 0.040013418 | 0.07759189 | 0.0776749 | 1.0010699 | 9.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.690929E-5 | 1.4894054E-4 | 1.4894054E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2956956E-4 | 6.381612E-4 | 6.481548E-4 | 1.01566 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004005129 | 0.007742101 | 0.0077718687 | 1.003845 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0393371 | 0.07636437 | 0.076447494 | 1.0010886 | 9.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.5543794E-5 | 1.4590233E-4 | 1.4590233E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2371894E-4 | 6.251466E-4 | 6.3514034E-4 | 1.0159862 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003934157 | 0.0075847614 | 0.007614534 | 1.0039253 | 3.0E-5 | 0.038652334 | 0.07492845 | 0.0750117 | 1.0011111 | 9.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.4214564E-5 | 1.4290822E-4 | 1.4290822E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1802364E-4 | 6.123207E-4 | 6.2231463E-4 | 1.0163213 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003865065 | 0.0074296813 | 0.0074594584 | 1.0040078 | 3.0E-5 | 0.03798529 | 0.07350102 | 0.07357514 | 1.0010084 | 8.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.149578E-5 | 1.1214689E-4 | 1.1214689E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6352672E-4 | 4.805411E-4 | 4.905363E-4 | 1.0207999 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032037178 | 0.005834925 | 0.00586475 | 1.0051115 | 3.0E-5 | 0.03157923 | 0.058674183 | 0.05874949 | 1.0012834 | 8.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.0643448E-5 | 1.1043109E-4 | 1.1043109E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.598746E-4 | 4.7319033E-4 | 4.831856E-4 | 1.0211232 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0031593828 | 0.0057459055 | 0.005775733 | 1.0051911 | 3.0E-5 | 0.031148417 | 0.057834256 | 0.05790963 | 1.0013033 | 8.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.1652263E-5 | 9.1959046E-5 | 9.1959046E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2134806E-4 | 3.940507E-4 | 4.0404673E-4 | 1.0253675 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002691582 | 0.0047870236 | 0.00481688 | 1.0062369 | 3.0E-5 | 0.026592141 | 0.04863762 | 0.048694704 | 1.0011736 | 6.0E-5 |
7.8 | 4.8090482E-5 | 8.5791486E-5 | 8.5791486E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.060858E-4 | 3.67626E-4 | 3.7762232E-4 | 1.0271915 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0025062072 | 0.004466669 | 0.0044965353 | 1.0066864 | 3.0E-5 | 0.024781305 | 0.045395855 | 0.04545313 | 1.0012617 | 6.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.970278E-5 | 6.765535E-5 | 6.765535E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7014367E-4 | 2.899193E-4 | 2.899193E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002069531 | 0.003524058 | 0.0035439876 | 1.0056553 | 2.0E-5 | 0.020503636 | 0.035954855 | 0.036003057 | 1.0013406 | 5.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.8982335E-5 | 4.0792085E-5 | 4.0792085E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2420409E-4 | 1.748115E-4 | 1.748115E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015111357 | 0.002126254 | 0.0021462112 | 1.0093862 | 2.0E-5 | 0.015009012 | 0.022058146 | 0.022097263 | 1.0017734 | 4.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.8836186E-5 | 1.8732435E-5 | 1.8732435E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0724014E-5 | 8.02794E-5 | 8.02794E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.823717E-4 | 9.76964E-4 | 9.76964E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009780403 | 0.010515128 | 0.010525024 | 1.000941 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.494016E-6 | 5.494016E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3545572E-5 | 2.3545572E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.866297E-4 | 2.866297E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0032592218 | 0.003269189 | 1.0030582 | 1.0E-5 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.690063E-7 | 7.690063E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.295737E-6 | 3.295737E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.012488E-5 | 4.012488E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.737206E-4 | 4.8371585E-4 | 1.0210994 | 1.0E-5 |
Scodie Lineament
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.2919327E-6 | 3.0133872E-6 | 3.0133872E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4108206E-5 | 1.2914471E-5 | 2.291434E-5 | 1.7743152 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7175387E-4 | 1.5722551E-4 | 2.272145E-4 | 1.4451504 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0017162118 | 0.0015714543 | 0.0017511715 | 1.1143636 | 1.8E-4 |
6.1 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.5490738E-6 | 1.5490738E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.638874E-6 | 6.638874E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.738045E-5 | 8.082579E-5 | 1.1082336E-4 | 1.3711387 | 3.0E-5 | 9.7337784E-4 | 8.0801273E-4 | 8.879481E-4 | 1.0989283 | 8.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.5490738E-6 | 1.5490738E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.638874E-6 | 6.638874E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.738045E-5 | 8.082579E-5 | 1.1082336E-4 | 1.3711387 | 3.0E-5 | 9.7337784E-4 | 8.0801273E-4 | 8.879481E-4 | 1.0989283 | 8.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.5490738E-6 | 1.5490738E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.638874E-6 | 6.638874E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.738045E-5 | 8.082579E-5 | 1.1082336E-4 | 1.3711387 | 3.0E-5 | 9.7337784E-4 | 8.0801273E-4 | 8.879481E-4 | 1.0989283 | 8.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.5490738E-6 | 1.5490738E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.638874E-6 | 6.638874E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.738045E-5 | 8.082579E-5 | 1.1082336E-4 | 1.3711387 | 3.0E-5 | 9.7337784E-4 | 8.0801273E-4 | 8.879481E-4 | 1.0989283 | 8.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.8106311E-6 | 1.4910065E-6 | 1.4910065E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.759824E-6 | 6.390015E-6 | 6.390015E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.447177E-5 | 7.7796154E-5 | 1.0779382E-4 | 1.3855932 | 3.0E-5 | 9.4431615E-4 | 7.777379E-4 | 8.576756E-4 | 1.1027824 | 8.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.2414679E-6 | 8.9976623E-7 | 8.9976623E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.320566E-6 | 3.8561357E-6 | 3.8561357E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.477596E-5 | 4.694753E-5 | 6.694659E-5 | 1.4259875 | 2.0E-5 | 6.475708E-4 | 4.6938477E-4 | 5.193613E-4 | 1.1064724 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.1062215E-6 | 7.5943876E-7 | 7.5943876E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7409408E-6 | 3.2547339E-6 | 3.2547339E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7719422E-5 | 3.9625735E-5 | 4.9625338E-5 | 1.2523513 | 1.0E-5 | 5.770443E-4 | 3.9619367E-4 | 4.3617783E-4 | 1.1009207 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0006736E-6 | 6.500452E-7 | 6.500452E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.288594E-6 | 2.7859055E-6 | 2.7859055E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.221238E-5 | 3.391793E-5 | 4.3917593E-5 | 1.2948192 | 1.0E-5 | 5.220012E-4 | 3.3913364E-4 | 3.7912006E-4 | 1.1179076 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.167364E-7 | 5.631664E-7 | 5.631664E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9288643E-6 | 2.4135684E-6 | 2.4135684E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7832873E-5 | 2.9384857E-5 | 3.9384562E-5 | 1.3403014 | 1.0E-5 | 4.782258E-4 | 2.938154E-4 | 3.3380362E-4 | 1.1360999 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.6987664E-7 | 4.113395E-7 | 4.113395E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2994672E-6 | 1.7628826E-6 | 1.7628826E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0170275E-5 | 2.1462924E-5 | 3.146271E-5 | 1.4659097 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0163012E-4 | 2.1461236E-4 | 2.4460594E-4 | 1.1397569 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.1038727E-7 | 3.521151E-7 | 3.521151E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0445133E-6 | 1.5090641E-6 | 1.5090641E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.706632E-5 | 1.8372735E-5 | 1.8372735E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7060137E-4 | 1.8371566E-4 | 2.0371198E-4 | 1.1088439 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.0799602E-7 | 3.118087E-8 | 3.118087E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.914113E-7 | 1.336323E-7 | 1.336323E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0852878E-5 | 1.6269721E-6 | 1.6269721E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.08523476E-4 | 1.6269609E-5 | 1.6269609E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.5048182E-7 | 1.5940762E-8 | 1.5940762E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.449219E-7 | 6.831755E-8 | 6.831755E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.851896E-6 | 8.317658E-7 | 8.317658E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.851618E-5 | 8.31763E-6 | 8.31763E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.9334678E-8 | 4.864214E-9 | 4.864214E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5429145E-7 | 2.0846631E-8 | 2.0846631E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.095994E-6 | 2.5380774E-7 | 2.5380774E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.095951E-5 | 2.5380755E-6 | 2.5380755E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
White Wolf (Extension)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.222555E-6 | 6.066774E-6 | 6.066774E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5239045E-5 | 2.600024E-5 | 3.599998E-5 | 1.3846018 | 1.0E-5 | 4.289509E-4 | 3.1651356E-4 | 3.9648823E-4 | 1.2526737 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0042812387 | 0.0031612795 | 0.003330742 | 1.0536057 | 1.7E-4 |
6.1 | 8.222555E-6 | 6.066774E-6 | 6.066774E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5239045E-5 | 2.600024E-5 | 3.599998E-5 | 1.3846018 | 1.0E-5 | 4.289509E-4 | 3.1651356E-4 | 3.9648823E-4 | 1.2526737 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0042812387 | 0.0031612795 | 0.003330742 | 1.0536057 | 1.7E-4 |
6.2 | 8.222555E-6 | 6.066774E-6 | 6.066774E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5239045E-5 | 2.600024E-5 | 3.599998E-5 | 1.3846018 | 1.0E-5 | 4.289509E-4 | 3.1651356E-4 | 3.9648823E-4 | 1.2526737 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0042812387 | 0.0031612795 | 0.003330742 | 1.0536057 | 1.7E-4 |
6.3 | 8.222555E-6 | 6.066774E-6 | 6.066774E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5239045E-5 | 2.600024E-5 | 3.599998E-5 | 1.3846018 | 1.0E-5 | 4.289509E-4 | 3.1651356E-4 | 3.9648823E-4 | 1.2526737 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0042812387 | 0.0031612795 | 0.003330742 | 1.0536057 | 1.7E-4 |
6.4 | 5.821773E-6 | 3.5572245E-6 | 3.5572245E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4950215E-5 | 1.5245166E-5 | 1.5245166E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0372653E-4 | 1.8559519E-4 | 2.2558776E-4 | 1.2154828 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0030331176 | 0.0018545102 | 0.0019543248 | 1.0538226 | 1.0E-4 |
6.5 | 5.766023E-6 | 3.4991574E-6 | 3.4991574E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4711293E-5 | 1.4996309E-5 | 1.4996309E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0081844E-4 | 1.8256587E-4 | 2.2255856E-4 | 1.219059 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0030041158 | 0.001824267 | 0.0019240846 | 1.0547166 | 1.0E-4 |
6.6 | 4.643576E-6 | 2.3326468E-6 | 2.3326468E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9900888E-5 | 9.997021E-6 | 9.997021E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4226638E-4 | 1.21707366E-4 | 1.5170372E-4 | 1.246463 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0024200242 | 0.0012164495 | 0.0012863644 | 1.0574745 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.9529173E-6 | 1.6483561E-6 | 1.6483561E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6940963E-5 | 7.064365E-6 | 7.064365E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0623671E-4 | 8.600544E-5 | 9.600458E-5 | 1.1162617 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002060454 | 8.597401E-4 | 9.096971E-4 | 1.0581071 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.4377522E-6 | 1.2245247E-6 | 1.2245247E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.473314E-5 | 5.247953E-6 | 5.247953E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7936122E-4 | 6.389205E-5 | 7.389141E-5 | 1.156504 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017921652 | 6.387459E-4 | 6.887139E-4 | 1.0782284 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.1367306E-6 | 1.0033741E-6 | 1.0033741E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3443062E-5 | 4.300168E-6 | 4.300168E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.63657E-4 | 5.2353364E-5 | 6.235284E-5 | 1.1909997 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016353652 | 5.2341796E-4 | 5.733918E-4 | 1.0954759 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.8298145E-6 | 7.428598E-7 | 7.428598E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2127721E-5 | 3.1836814E-6 | 3.1836814E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.47645E-4 | 3.876068E-5 | 4.8760296E-5 | 1.2579834 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014754693 | 3.8754422E-4 | 4.2752872E-4 | 1.103174 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.4091064E-6 | 5.422674E-7 | 5.422674E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.03247E-5 | 2.3240013E-6 | 2.3240013E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2569598E-4 | 2.829439E-5 | 2.829439E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001256249 | 2.829119E-4 | 3.0290626E-4 | 1.0706733 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.3875518E-6 | 1.0741592E-7 | 1.0741592E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9466374E-6 | 4.6035387E-7 | 4.6035387E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.23979E-5 | 5.604795E-6 | 5.604795E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2374323E-4 | 5.6046654E-5 | 5.6046654E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 7.056077E-7 | 5.001199E-8 | 5.001199E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0240296E-6 | 2.1433708E-7 | 2.1433708E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.681694E-5 | 2.6095513E-6 | 2.6095513E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.681084E-4 | 2.6095253E-5 | 2.6095253E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.9334678E-8 | 4.864214E-9 | 4.864214E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5429145E-7 | 2.0846631E-8 | 2.0846631E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.095994E-6 | 2.5380774E-7 | 2.5380774E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.095951E-5 | 2.5380755E-6 | 2.5380755E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cady
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9892565E-5 | 2.1859876E-5 | 2.1859876E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.525106E-5 | 9.3682334E-5 | 1.2367952E-4 | 1.3202012 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010374374 | 0.0011400766 | 0.0012099966 | 1.0613294 | 7.0E-5 | 0.010326075 | 0.011351293 | 0.011519363 | 1.0148063 | 1.7E-4 |
6.1 | 1.9892565E-5 | 2.1859876E-5 | 2.1859876E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.525106E-5 | 9.3682334E-5 | 1.2367952E-4 | 1.3202012 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010374374 | 0.0011400766 | 0.0012099966 | 1.0613294 | 7.0E-5 | 0.010326075 | 0.011351293 | 0.011519363 | 1.0148063 | 1.7E-4 |
6.2 | 1.9892565E-5 | 2.1859876E-5 | 2.1859876E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.525106E-5 | 9.3682334E-5 | 1.2367952E-4 | 1.3202012 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010374374 | 0.0011400766 | 0.0012099966 | 1.0613294 | 7.0E-5 | 0.010326075 | 0.011351293 | 0.011519363 | 1.0148063 | 1.7E-4 |
6.3 | 1.1117327E-5 | 1.2177199E-5 | 1.2177199E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.764482E-5 | 5.218713E-5 | 7.2186085E-5 | 1.3832163 | 2.0E-5 | 5.7992124E-4 | 6.352246E-4 | 6.851928E-4 | 1.0786623 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0057841022 | 0.006337195 | 0.006446498 | 1.0172478 | 1.1E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1117327E-5 | 1.2177199E-5 | 1.2177199E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.764482E-5 | 5.218713E-5 | 7.2186085E-5 | 1.3832163 | 2.0E-5 | 5.7992124E-4 | 6.352246E-4 | 6.851928E-4 | 1.0786623 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0057841022 | 0.006337195 | 0.006446498 | 1.0172478 | 1.1E-4 |
6.5 | 6.103093E-6 | 6.672351E-6 | 6.672351E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.615585E-5 | 2.8595547E-5 | 3.8595263E-5 | 1.3496948 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1840094E-4 | 3.4810771E-4 | 3.6810077E-4 | 1.0574335 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0031794512 | 0.0034768586 | 0.00353665 | 1.017197 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.817237E-6 | 6.3659772E-6 | 6.3659772E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4930776E-5 | 2.7282544E-5 | 3.7282272E-5 | 1.3665247 | 1.0E-5 | 3.034899E-4 | 3.321268E-4 | 3.5212014E-4 | 1.060198 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0030307577 | 0.0033175263 | 0.0033673604 | 1.0150214 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.8846314E-6 | 5.340833E-6 | 5.340833E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0933967E-5 | 2.288915E-5 | 3.2888922E-5 | 1.4368782 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5484123E-4 | 2.7865154E-4 | 2.9864596E-4 | 1.0717542 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0025454918 | 0.002784177 | 0.0028240655 | 1.0143269 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.7788773E-6 | 1.940001E-6 | 1.940001E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6237375E-6 | 8.314273E-6 | 8.314273E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.281505E-5 | 1.0122315E-4 | 1.11222136E-4 | 1.0987816 | 1.0E-5 | 9.2776294E-4 | 0.001011925 | 0.001021915 | 1.0098722 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.5455404E-7 | 8.2975305E-7 | 8.2975305E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.233799E-6 | 3.5560815E-6 | 3.5560815E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.937079E-5 | 4.329477E-5 | 4.329477E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9363815E-4 | 4.3289628E-4 | 4.3289628E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 6.8578805E-7 | 7.542215E-7 | 7.542215E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9390883E-6 | 3.2323758E-6 | 3.2323758E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.578281E-5 | 3.9353796E-5 | 3.9353796E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.577705E-4 | 3.9350073E-4 | 3.9350073E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Coachella) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1925945E-4 | 3.2748378E-4 | 3.2748378E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.110118E-4 | 0.0014027518 | 0.0014227238 | 1.0142376 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0062038354 | 0.016946103 | 0.017044408 | 1.0058011 | 1.0E-4 | 0.060334753 | 0.15272254 | 0.15284963 | 1.0008322 | 1.5E-4 |
6.1 | 1.1925945E-4 | 3.2748378E-4 | 3.2748378E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.110118E-4 | 0.0014027518 | 0.0014227238 | 1.0142376 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0062038354 | 0.016946103 | 0.017044408 | 1.0058011 | 1.0E-4 | 0.060334753 | 0.15272254 | 0.15284963 | 1.0008322 | 1.5E-4 |
6.2 | 1.07432395E-4 | 3.0248926E-4 | 3.0248926E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.603433E-4 | 0.0012957426 | 0.0013157167 | 1.0154152 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005590286 | 0.015662653 | 0.015761087 | 1.0062846 | 1.0E-4 | 0.05451731 | 0.14190318 | 0.1420319 | 1.0009071 | 1.5E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0718766E-4 | 3.0194232E-4 | 3.0194232E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.592948E-4 | 0.0012934008 | 0.001313375 | 1.0154431 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005577586 | 0.015634552 | 0.015732989 | 1.006296 | 1.0E-4 | 0.054396555 | 0.14167143 | 0.14180018 | 1.0009087 | 1.5E-4 |
6.4 | 1.0355944E-4 | 2.94023E-4 | 2.94023E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4375064E-4 | 0.001259494 | 0.0012794688 | 1.0158594 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0053892885 | 0.015227578 | 0.015326055 | 1.006467 | 1.0E-4 | 0.052604496 | 0.13822651 | 0.13835578 | 1.0009352 | 1.5E-4 |
6.5 | 1.0227914E-4 | 2.9121726E-4 | 2.9121726E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.382655E-4 | 0.001247481 | 0.001267456 | 1.0160123 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0053228354 | 0.015083354 | 0.015181846 | 1.0065298 | 1.0E-4 | 0.051971316 | 0.13700029 | 0.13712974 | 1.0009449 | 1.5E-4 |
6.6 | 1.0116757E-4 | 2.8887467E-4 | 2.8887467E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3350324E-4 | 0.0012374509 | 0.0012574261 | 1.0161422 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0052651367 | 0.014962921 | 0.015061424 | 1.0065832 | 1.0E-4 | 0.051421247 | 0.13597916 | 0.13610876 | 1.0009531 | 1.5E-4 |
6.7 | 1.0050676E-4 | 2.8746025E-4 | 2.8746025E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3067214E-4 | 0.0012313948 | 0.0012513702 | 1.0162218 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005230834 | 0.014890198 | 0.014988709 | 1.0066159 | 1.0E-4 | 0.051094085 | 0.13536453 | 0.13549423 | 1.0009581 | 1.5E-4 |
6.8 | 9.976819E-5 | 2.854966E-4 | 2.854966E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2750788E-4 | 0.001222987 | 0.0012429625 | 1.0163335 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0051924936 | 0.014789228 | 0.014887749 | 1.0066617 | 1.0E-4 | 0.050728295 | 0.13451625 | 0.13464609 | 1.0009651 | 1.5E-4 |
6.9 | 9.77719E-5 | 2.8046442E-4 | 2.8046442E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1895514E-4 | 0.0012014406 | 0.0012214165 | 1.0166267 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0050888555 | 0.014530429 | 0.014628976 | 1.006782 | 1.0E-4 | 0.049738888 | 0.13234438 | 0.13247453 | 1.0009834 | 1.5E-4 |
7.0 | 8.500761E-5 | 2.4780032E-4 | 2.4780032E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6426744E-4 | 0.0010615723 | 0.0010815512 | 1.0188199 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0044259406 | 0.012848827 | 0.012947542 | 1.0076828 | 1.0E-4 | 0.04338823 | 0.11821055 | 0.11834282 | 1.0011189 | 1.5E-4 |
7.1 | 8.319876E-5 | 2.4382581E-4 | 2.4382581E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5651738E-4 | 0.0010445524 | 0.0010645316 | 1.019127 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004331963 | 0.012644033 | 0.012742769 | 1.0078089 | 1.0E-4 | 0.042484846 | 0.116430394 | 0.116562925 | 1.0011383 | 1.5E-4 |
7.2 | 7.563917E-5 | 2.2430507E-4 | 2.2430507E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2412758E-4 | 9.609563E-4 | 9.809372E-4 | 1.0207926 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0039391145 | 0.011637572 | 0.011736408 | 1.0084928 | 1.0E-4 | 0.03870018 | 0.10783492 | 0.10796875 | 1.001241 | 1.5E-4 |
7.3 | 7.082985E-5 | 2.074602E-4 | 2.074602E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0352117E-4 | 8.888151E-4 | 9.087973E-4 | 1.0224819 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0036891096 | 0.010768257 | 0.01086718 | 1.0091865 | 1.0E-4 | 0.03628465 | 0.100355 | 0.100489944 | 1.0013447 | 1.5E-4 |
7.4 | 5.146215E-5 | 1.4286964E-4 | 1.4286964E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2053342E-4 | 6.1215565E-4 | 6.3214346E-4 | 1.0326514 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0026816884 | 0.0074277157 | 0.007526973 | 1.0133631 | 1.0E-4 | 0.02649557 | 0.07090832 | 0.071047686 | 1.0019654 | 1.5E-4 |
7.5 | 4.0285166E-5 | 1.0953038E-4 | 1.0953038E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7263928E-4 | 4.6933178E-4 | 4.893224E-4 | 1.0425938 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002099857 | 0.005699213 | 0.005798643 | 1.0174463 | 1.0E-4 | 0.020801254 | 0.055062566 | 0.055194855 | 1.0024025 | 1.4E-4 |
7.6 | 3.1168736E-5 | 8.4490566E-5 | 8.4490566E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3357346E-4 | 3.620523E-4 | 3.8204505E-4 | 1.0552206 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0016250437 | 0.004399104 | 0.0044986643 | 1.0226319 | 1.0E-4 | 0.016132116 | 0.04285644 | 0.04299044 | 1.0031267 | 1.4E-4 |
7.7 | 2.2100989E-5 | 6.247655E-5 | 6.247655E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4715084E-5 | 2.677292E-4 | 2.8772384E-4 | 1.0746824 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001152546 | 0.0032547372 | 0.0033544118 | 1.0306244 | 1.0E-4 | 0.011465867 | 0.031941194 | 0.03206704 | 1.00394 | 1.3E-4 |
7.8 | 1.7484861E-5 | 5.1874897E-5 | 5.1874897E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.493296E-5 | 2.2230206E-4 | 2.4229761E-4 | 1.0899477 | 2.0E-5 | 9.1192697E-4 | 0.0027031712 | 0.002802901 | 1.0368936 | 1.0E-4 | 0.009081938 | 0.026676701 | 0.026803233 | 1.0047432 | 1.3E-4 |
7.9 | 1.3967285E-5 | 3.8286966E-5 | 3.8286966E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.985842E-5 | 1.6407667E-4 | 1.8407339E-4 | 1.1218742 | 2.0E-5 | 7.2853256E-4 | 0.0019958045 | 0.002085625 | 1.0450046 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0072614877 | 0.019939471 | 0.020057078 | 1.0058982 | 1.2E-4 |
8.0 | 1.1887396E-5 | 3.1120293E-5 | 3.1120293E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.094499E-5 | 1.3336587E-4 | 1.5336322E-4 | 1.1499434 | 2.0E-5 | 6.200787E-4 | 0.0016225212 | 0.0017123752 | 1.0553793 | 9.0E-5 | 0.006183513 | 0.016305106 | 0.016423149 | 1.0072397 | 1.2E-4 |
8.1 | 5.100864E-6 | 8.995033E-6 | 8.995033E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1860664E-5 | 3.8549573E-5 | 3.8549573E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6612106E-4 | 4.692401E-4 | 4.692401E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002658026 | 0.0049286583 | 0.004938609 | 1.0020189 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 2.3004484E-6 | 2.7949095E-6 | 2.7949095E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.859027E-6 | 1.1978128E-5 | 1.1978128E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2002704E-4 | 1.4582399E-4 | 1.4582399E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011996223 | 0.001601765 | 0.001601765 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.0424446E-7 | 5.837541E-8 | 5.837541E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4676187E-7 | 2.501803E-7 | 2.501803E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.439312E-6 | 3.0459412E-6 | 3.0459412E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4391792E-5 | 3.2025855E-5 | 3.2025855E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Ynez (West)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.7352758E-5 | 5.4976248E-5 | 6.49757E-5 | 1.1818867 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0292461E-4 | 2.3559289E-4 | 2.4559052E-4 | 1.0424361 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024678076 | 0.0028648374 | 0.0028947513 | 1.0104418 | 3.0E-5 | 0.024405818 | 0.028307172 | 0.028423775 | 1.0041192 | 1.2E-4 |
6.1 | 4.7352758E-5 | 5.4976248E-5 | 6.49757E-5 | 1.1818867 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0292461E-4 | 2.3559289E-4 | 2.4559052E-4 | 1.0424361 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024678076 | 0.0028648374 | 0.0028947513 | 1.0104418 | 3.0E-5 | 0.024405818 | 0.028307172 | 0.028394625 | 1.0030894 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.0415853E-5 | 3.3927645E-5 | 3.3927645E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3034715E-4 | 1.4539632E-4 | 1.4539632E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015858212 | 0.0017687982 | 0.0017887629 | 1.0112871 | 2.0E-5 | 0.015745522 | 0.017551146 | 0.017619917 | 1.0039183 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.0415853E-5 | 3.3927645E-5 | 3.3927645E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3034715E-4 | 1.4539632E-4 | 1.4539632E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015858212 | 0.0017687982 | 0.0017887629 | 1.0112871 | 2.0E-5 | 0.015745522 | 0.017551146 | 0.017619917 | 1.0039183 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.5452082E-5 | 2.7914315E-5 | 2.7914315E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.09075794E-4 | 1.196274E-4 | 1.196274E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013271887 | 0.0014555093 | 0.0014754803 | 1.0137209 | 2.0E-5 | 0.013192902 | 0.014461935 | 0.014521066 | 1.0040889 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.3143784E-5 | 2.512982E-5 | 2.512982E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9183875E-5 | 1.0769487E-4 | 1.0769487E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012068948 | 0.0013104109 | 0.0013303846 | 1.0152423 | 2.0E-5 | 0.012003611 | 0.013028506 | 0.013087725 | 1.0045453 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.9118515E-5 | 2.035546E-5 | 2.035546E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.193392E-5 | 8.723481E-5 | 8.723481E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.97089E-4 | 0.0010615742 | 0.0010815529 | 1.0188199 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00992627 | 0.010565943 | 0.010625309 | 1.0056186 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.722807E-5 | 1.8147268E-5 | 1.8147268E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3832496E-5 | 7.777172E-5 | 7.777172E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.985399E-4 | 9.4646495E-4 | 9.66446E-4 | 1.0211112 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008949154 | 0.009424986 | 0.0094844205 | 1.006306 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.5317364E-5 | 1.5927215E-5 | 1.5927215E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.56442E-5 | 6.825773E-5 | 6.825773E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.98925E-4 | 8.3072524E-4 | 8.5070863E-4 | 1.0240554 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007960589 | 0.008276687 | 0.00833619 | 1.0071893 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.3071226E-5 | 1.3330136E-5 | 1.3330136E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6018336E-5 | 5.7127916E-5 | 5.7127916E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8180985E-4 | 6.953127E-4 | 7.152988E-4 | 1.028744 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0067972173 | 0.0069316328 | 0.0069713555 | 1.0057306 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.1836986E-5 | 1.1933195E-5 | 1.1933195E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0728955E-5 | 5.1141273E-5 | 5.1141273E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1745E-4 | 6.224688E-4 | 6.4245635E-4 | 1.0321101 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006157372 | 0.0062074456 | 0.0062372596 | 1.004803 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0597169E-5 | 1.0542524E-5 | 1.0542524E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.541565E-5 | 4.518147E-5 | 4.518147E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5279525E-4 | 5.499467E-4 | 5.699357E-4 | 1.0363472 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0055142213 | 0.0054859887 | 0.005515824 | 1.0054384 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.59113E-6 | 9.4594225E-6 | 9.4594225E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.11042E-5 | 4.053976E-5 | 4.053976E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0032866E-4 | 4.9346086E-4 | 5.13451E-4 | 1.04051 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004992037 | 0.00492377 | 0.0049536224 | 1.0060629 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 8.586084E-6 | 8.3798195E-6 | 8.3798195E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.679698E-5 | 3.591302E-5 | 3.591302E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4791115E-4 | 4.3715438E-4 | 4.5714562E-4 | 1.0457305 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004470094 | 0.0043630553 | 0.0043929247 | 1.006846 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.2622997E-6 | 6.951717E-6 | 6.951717E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.112377E-5 | 2.9792738E-5 | 2.9792738E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.78866E-4 | 3.6266717E-4 | 3.7266355E-4 | 1.0275635 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037822074 | 0.0036208534 | 0.0036407812 | 1.0055035 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.627296E-6 | 5.251687E-6 | 5.251687E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.411676E-5 | 2.250704E-5 | 2.250704E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9358198E-4 | 2.7398948E-4 | 2.7398948E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029319443 | 0.0027365887 | 0.0027365887 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.265244E-6 | 2.0609377E-6 | 2.0609377E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.708152E-6 | 8.832561E-6 | 8.832561E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.18190335E-4 | 1.0753121E-4 | 1.0753121E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001181275 | 0.0010748004 | 0.0010748004 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.3099874E-6 | 1.1016689E-6 | 1.1016689E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.61422E-6 | 4.7214294E-6 | 4.7214294E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8350986E-5 | 5.7481913E-5 | 5.7481913E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.832996E-4 | 5.746728E-4 | 5.746728E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 7.903951E-7 | 6.071319E-7 | 6.071319E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3874032E-6 | 2.6019911E-6 | 2.6019911E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1240855E-5 | 3.1678795E-5 | 3.1678795E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.12332E-4 | 3.1674412E-4 | 3.1674412E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.0753297E-9 | 5.0901185E-9 | 5.0901185E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.032284E-8 | 2.1814794E-8 | 2.1814794E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6918053E-7 | 2.6559508E-7 | 2.6559508E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.691799E-6 | 2.6559487E-6 | 2.6559487E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Calico-Hidalgo
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.0906612E-5 | 5.0708393E-5 | 5.0708393E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7530227E-4 | 2.1730587E-4 | 2.4729935E-4 | 1.1380242 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0021322158 | 0.0026428874 | 0.0027027288 | 1.0226425 | 6.0E-5 | 0.02111873 | 0.02615486 | 0.026310677 | 1.0059574 | 1.6E-4 |
6.1 | 4.0906612E-5 | 5.0708393E-5 | 5.0708393E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7530227E-4 | 2.1730587E-4 | 2.4729935E-4 | 1.1380242 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0021322158 | 0.0026428874 | 0.0027027288 | 1.0226425 | 6.0E-5 | 0.02111873 | 0.02615486 | 0.026310677 | 1.0059574 | 1.6E-4 |
6.2 | 4.0906612E-5 | 5.0708393E-5 | 5.0708393E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7530227E-4 | 2.1730587E-4 | 2.4729935E-4 | 1.1380242 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0021322158 | 0.0026428874 | 0.0027027288 | 1.0226425 | 6.0E-5 | 0.02111873 | 0.02615486 | 0.026310677 | 1.0059574 | 1.6E-4 |
6.3 | 2.4242801E-5 | 3.0092604E-5 | 3.0092604E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0389358E-4 | 1.2896211E-4 | 1.4895955E-4 | 1.1550643 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012641704 | 0.0015690165 | 0.0015989693 | 1.0190903 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01257003 | 0.015583069 | 0.015671667 | 1.0056854 | 9.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.4242801E-5 | 3.0092604E-5 | 3.0092604E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0389358E-4 | 1.2896211E-4 | 1.4895955E-4 | 1.1550643 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012641704 | 0.0015690165 | 0.0015989693 | 1.0190903 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01257003 | 0.015583069 | 0.015671667 | 1.0056854 | 9.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.0286952E-5 | 2.5317231E-5 | 2.5317231E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.694118E-5 | 1.08498E-4 | 1.2849583E-4 | 1.1843152 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010579949 | 0.0013201798 | 0.0013501402 | 1.0226942 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010529719 | 0.013125306 | 0.013204256 | 1.0060151 | 8.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.0269223E-5 | 2.5298179E-5 | 2.5298179E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6865206E-5 | 1.0841636E-4 | 1.2841419E-4 | 1.184454 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010570707 | 0.001319187 | 0.0013491474 | 1.0227113 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010520565 | 0.013115495 | 0.013194446 | 1.0060197 | 8.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.799852E-5 | 2.2541886E-5 | 2.2541886E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.713423E-5 | 9.660459E-5 | 1.0660363E-4 | 1.1035048 | 1.0E-5 | 9.3870464E-4 | 0.0011755408 | 0.0011955174 | 1.0169934 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009347493 | 0.011694837 | 0.011754136 | 1.0050704 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.7458793E-5 | 2.1843232E-5 | 2.1843232E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4821255E-5 | 9.361057E-5 | 1.0360964E-4 | 1.1068156 | 1.0E-5 | 9.10568E-4 | 0.0011391273 | 0.0011591045 | 1.0175374 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009068459 | 0.011334467 | 0.0113839 | 1.0043613 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.542884E-5 | 1.9026784E-5 | 1.9026784E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.612192E-5 | 8.1540886E-5 | 9.154007E-5 | 1.1226279 | 1.0E-5 | 8.04737E-4 | 9.923213E-4 | 0.0010023114 | 1.0100673 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008018291 | 0.009880301 | 0.009919905 | 1.0040084 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.468253E-5 | 1.8031564E-5 | 1.8031564E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.292361E-5 | 7.7275916E-5 | 8.727514E-5 | 1.1293964 | 1.0E-5 | 7.658257E-4 | 9.404412E-4 | 9.504318E-4 | 1.0106233 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0076319184 | 0.0093659805 | 0.0094056055 | 1.0042307 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.3139281E-5 | 1.620179E-5 | 1.620179E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6309986E-5 | 6.943446E-5 | 7.9433776E-5 | 1.1440107 | 1.0E-5 | 6.853584E-4 | 8.4504933E-4 | 8.550409E-4 | 1.0118237 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0068324856 | 0.008419657 | 0.00845932 | 1.0047108 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.1127404E-5 | 1.3867326E-5 | 1.3867326E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7688E-5 | 5.9430102E-5 | 6.942951E-5 | 1.1682549 | 1.0E-5 | 5.8044674E-4 | 7.2333217E-4 | 7.3332497E-4 | 1.0138149 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0057893298 | 0.007210886 | 0.0072406693 | 1.0041304 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.808154E-6 | 1.2176835E-5 | 1.2176835E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2034266E-5 | 5.2185453E-5 | 5.2185453E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.11647E-4 | 6.351834E-4 | 6.351834E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051047057 | 0.0063347546 | 0.006354628 | 1.0031372 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.942452E-6 | 9.792561E-6 | 9.792561E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4038632E-5 | 4.1967498E-5 | 4.1967498E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1434157E-4 | 5.10844E-4 | 5.10844E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041356985 | 0.005097638 | 0.005117536 | 1.0039034 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.7121216E-6 | 5.773085E-6 | 5.773085E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.019465E-5 | 2.4741601E-5 | 2.4741601E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4584212E-4 | 3.0119502E-4 | 3.0119502E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024557032 | 0.0030086206 | 0.0030285604 | 1.0066276 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.6040448E-7 | 2.6040448E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.1160189E-6 | 1.1160189E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.3587473E-5 | 1.3587473E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1539775E-4 | 1.3586924E-4 | 1.3586924E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elsinore (Glen Ivy) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.93772E-4 | 2.93772E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0012584875 | 0.0012584875 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008420097 | 0.015235919 | 0.0152950045 | 1.0038781 | 6.0E-5 | 0.081081145 | 0.1398973 | 0.13999191 | 1.0006763 | 1.1E-4 |
6.1 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.93772E-4 | 2.93772E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0012584875 | 0.0012584875 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008420097 | 0.015235919 | 0.0152950045 | 1.0038781 | 6.0E-5 | 0.081081145 | 0.1398973 | 0.13999191 | 1.0006763 | 1.1E-4 |
6.2 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.93772E-4 | 2.93772E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0012584875 | 0.0012584875 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008420097 | 0.015235919 | 0.0152950045 | 1.0038781 | 6.0E-5 | 0.081081145 | 0.1398973 | 0.13999191 | 1.0006763 | 1.1E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0111737E-4 | 1.7704953E-4 | 1.7704953E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.332882E-4 | 7.5867976E-4 | 7.5867976E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005262531 | 0.009218495 | 0.009258126 | 1.004299 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0513964 | 0.08714668 | 0.0872197 | 1.000838 | 8.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.0111737E-4 | 1.7704953E-4 | 1.7704953E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.332882E-4 | 7.5867976E-4 | 7.5867976E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005262531 | 0.009218495 | 0.009258126 | 1.004299 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0513964 | 0.08714668 | 0.0872197 | 1.000838 | 8.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.6624708E-5 | 4.63993E-5 | 4.63993E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.569536E-4 | 1.9884102E-4 | 1.9884102E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001909235 | 0.002418563 | 0.002418563 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01892915 | 0.023771606 | 0.023781369 | 1.0004107 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.5051324E-5 | 2.6153504E-5 | 2.6153504E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.073584E-4 | 1.12081885E-4 | 1.12081885E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013063047 | 0.0013637872 | 0.0013637872 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012986525 | 0.013565531 | 0.013575395 | 1.0007272 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.2189772E-5 | 2.2077826E-5 | 2.2077826E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.509556E-5 | 9.461602E-5 | 9.461602E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011571734 | 0.0011513777 | 0.0011513777 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011511663 | 0.011465822 | 0.011465822 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.6654378E-5 | 1.44404075E-5 | 1.44404075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.137396E-5 | 6.188602E-5 | 6.188602E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.686314E-4 | 7.5320696E-4 | 7.5320696E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008652439 | 0.007511861 | 0.007511861 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.5042909E-5 | 1.2334343E-5 | 1.2334343E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.446802E-5 | 5.2860418E-5 | 5.2860418E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8461546E-4 | 6.4338866E-4 | 6.4338866E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007818509 | 0.0064195115 | 0.0064195115 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.4361385E-5 | 1.1453502E-5 | 1.1453502E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.154734E-5 | 4.908553E-5 | 4.908553E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.490812E-4 | 5.974554E-4 | 5.974554E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007465612 | 0.0059625087 | 0.0059625087 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.3265571E-5 | 1.0246804E-5 | 1.0246804E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6851208E-5 | 4.391415E-5 | 4.391415E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.919436E-4 | 5.3452613E-4 | 5.3452613E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006897931 | 0.0053357244 | 0.0053357244 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.1596403E-5 | 8.506578E-6 | 8.506578E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9697923E-5 | 3.6456262E-5 | 3.6456262E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.049042E-4 | 4.4376627E-4 | 4.4376627E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006032603 | 0.004430235 | 0.004430235 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.0150827E-5 | 7.2400208E-6 | 7.2400208E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3502816E-5 | 3.10283E-5 | 3.10283E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2951806E-4 | 3.777055E-4 | 3.777055E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005282581 | 0.003771035 | 0.003771035 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 9.080705E-6 | 6.3536127E-6 | 6.3536127E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8916725E-5 | 2.7229491E-5 | 2.7229491E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7370812E-4 | 3.3147E-4 | 3.3147E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004726996 | 0.0033099046 | 0.0033099046 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 7.671649E-6 | 5.2265436E-6 | 5.2265436E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.287808E-5 | 2.2399287E-5 | 2.2399287E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0021708E-4 | 2.7267844E-4 | 2.7267844E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039949706 | 0.0027235637 | 0.0027235637 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.990086E-6 | 4.688364E-6 | 4.688364E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9957167E-5 | 2.0092839E-5 | 2.0092839E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6466747E-4 | 2.4460402E-4 | 2.4460402E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036406964 | 0.0024434642 | 0.0024434642 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.163505E-6 | 2.3300386E-6 | 2.3300386E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7843471E-5 | 9.985846E-6 | 9.985846E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.172226E-4 | 1.2157163E-4 | 1.2157163E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021701038 | 0.0012151244 | 0.0012151244 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.2692414E-7 | 9.38645E-8 | 9.38645E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.725317E-7 | 4.0227638E-7 | 4.0227638E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1840509E-5 | 4.8977076E-6 | 4.8977076E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1839878E-4 | 4.8976322E-5 | 4.8976322E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.4402008E-9 | 3.4402008E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.4743718E-8 | 1.4743718E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.7950475E-7 | 1.7950475E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838679E-6 | 1.7950463E-6 | 1.7950463E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Cholame) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2302514E-4 | 2.5244427E-4 | 2.5244427E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.27144E-4 | 0.0010814571 | 0.0010914463 | 1.0092368 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0063991086 | 0.01308776 | 0.013156843 | 1.0052785 | 7.0E-5 | 0.06217949 | 0.124556385 | 0.1246877 | 1.0010543 | 1.5E-4 |
6.1 | 1.2302514E-4 | 2.5244427E-4 | 2.5244427E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.27144E-4 | 0.0010814571 | 0.0010914463 | 1.0092368 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0063991086 | 0.01308776 | 0.013156843 | 1.0052785 | 7.0E-5 | 0.06217949 | 0.124556385 | 0.1246877 | 1.0010543 | 1.5E-4 |
6.2 | 1.2203569E-4 | 2.5061177E-4 | 2.5061177E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2290526E-4 | 0.00107361 | 0.0010835993 | 1.0093044 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006347804 | 0.0129933655 | 0.013062456 | 1.0053173 | 7.0E-5 | 0.061695136 | 0.123740464 | 0.1238719 | 1.0010623 | 1.5E-4 |
6.3 | 1.2142645E-4 | 2.494712E-4 | 2.494712E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.202953E-4 | 0.0010687258 | 0.0010787151 | 1.009347 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006316212 | 0.012934607 | 0.013003702 | 1.0053419 | 7.0E-5 | 0.06139677 | 0.12323469 | 0.12336621 | 1.0010672 | 1.5E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1865206E-4 | 2.4452424E-4 | 2.4452424E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0840975E-4 | 0.0010475417 | 0.0010575313 | 1.0095361 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006172335 | 0.012679719 | 0.012748831 | 1.0054506 | 7.0E-5 | 0.060036868 | 0.12102321 | 0.12115505 | 1.0010895 | 1.5E-4 |
6.5 | 1.17443946E-4 | 2.4245547E-4 | 2.4245547E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.032341E-4 | 0.0010386826 | 0.0010486722 | 1.0096176 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006109677 | 0.012573105 | 0.012642225 | 1.0054975 | 7.0E-5 | 0.059444077 | 0.12009983 | 0.120231815 | 1.001099 | 1.5E-4 |
6.6 | 1.13579066E-4 | 2.3554098E-4 | 2.3554098E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.866766E-4 | 0.0010090723 | 0.0010190622 | 1.0099001 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0059092017 | 0.012216696 | 0.012285841 | 1.0056598 | 7.0E-5 | 0.057545185 | 0.11701165 | 0.1171441 | 1.0011319 | 1.5E-4 |
6.7 | 1.1271412E-4 | 2.3398313E-4 | 2.3398313E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.829711E-4 | 0.001002401 | 0.001012391 | 1.009966 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005864331 | 0.01213638 | 0.012205531 | 1.0056977 | 7.0E-5 | 0.057119697 | 0.11631538 | 0.11644793 | 1.0011396 | 1.5E-4 |
6.8 | 1.1217975E-4 | 2.3286647E-4 | 2.3286647E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8068175E-4 | 9.97619E-4 | 0.001007609 | 1.0100138 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005836608 | 0.012078806 | 0.012147961 | 1.0057253 | 7.0E-5 | 0.056856725 | 0.11581328 | 0.115945905 | 1.0011452 | 1.5E-4 |
6.9 | 1.1146753E-4 | 2.3135285E-4 | 2.3135285E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7763053E-4 | 9.91137E-4 | 0.0010011271 | 1.0100794 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0057996577 | 0.01200076 | 0.01206992 | 1.0057629 | 7.0E-5 | 0.056506127 | 0.11513366 | 0.11526639 | 1.0011529 | 1.5E-4 |
7.0 | 1.0965793E-4 | 2.2758332E-4 | 2.2758332E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.698779E-4 | 9.7499404E-4 | 9.849842E-4 | 1.0102465 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005705768 | 0.011806366 | 0.01187554 | 1.005859 | 7.0E-5 | 0.055614736 | 0.11343388 | 0.11356687 | 1.0011723 | 1.5E-4 |
7.1 | 9.927982E-5 | 2.0575813E-4 | 2.0575813E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2541555E-4 | 8.8152353E-4 | 8.9151476E-4 | 1.011334 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051671406 | 0.010680028 | 0.01074928 | 1.0064843 | 7.0E-5 | 0.05048634 | 0.10352613 | 0.1036606 | 1.0012989 | 1.5E-4 |
7.2 | 9.696786E-5 | 2.0079788E-4 | 2.0079788E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1551032E-4 | 8.6027954E-4 | 8.7027095E-4 | 1.0116141 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00504711 | 0.010423886 | 0.010493156 | 1.0066453 | 7.0E-5 | 0.04934009 | 0.10126456 | 0.10139937 | 1.0013312 | 1.5E-4 |
7.3 | 9.4727984E-5 | 1.9508426E-4 | 1.9508426E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0591392E-4 | 8.3580846E-4 | 8.458001E-4 | 1.0119544 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0049308087 | 0.010128759 | 0.010198049 | 1.0068411 | 7.0E-5 | 0.048228268 | 0.09863298 | 0.09875917 | 1.0012794 | 1.4E-4 |
7.4 | 9.220358E-5 | 1.8878204E-4 | 1.8878204E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9509835E-4 | 8.0881594E-4 | 8.1880786E-4 | 1.0123538 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004799717 | 0.009803121 | 0.009872435 | 1.0070705 | 7.0E-5 | 0.046973653 | 0.09571529 | 0.095832855 | 1.0012282 | 1.3E-4 |
7.5 | 7.71631E-5 | 1.520862E-4 | 1.520862E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.306571E-4 | 6.5163535E-4 | 6.6162884E-4 | 1.015336 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0040183207 | 0.007904872 | 0.007974319 | 1.0087852 | 7.0E-5 | 0.03946433 | 0.078431815 | 0.07855162 | 1.0015275 | 1.3E-4 |
7.6 | 7.5634416E-5 | 1.4867744E-4 | 1.4867744E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.241072E-4 | 6.370336E-4 | 6.470272E-4 | 1.0156877 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0039388672 | 0.00772837 | 0.0077978293 | 1.0089875 | 7.0E-5 | 0.038697794 | 0.07679068 | 0.0769107 | 1.001563 | 1.3E-4 |
7.7 | 6.3783E-5 | 1.2385847E-4 | 1.2385847E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7332708E-4 | 5.30714E-4 | 5.407087E-4 | 1.0188326 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033226798 | 0.006442327 | 0.0065019405 | 1.0092534 | 6.0E-5 | 0.032734364 | 0.06466551 | 0.064759046 | 1.0014464 | 1.0E-4 |
7.8 | 5.863422E-5 | 1.1440734E-4 | 1.1440734E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.512653E-4 | 4.9022504E-4 | 5.0022017E-4 | 1.0203888 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003054864 | 0.0059521776 | 0.0060118204 | 1.0100204 | 6.0E-5 | 0.030132094 | 0.059772514 | 0.059866536 | 1.001573 | 1.0E-4 |
7.9 | 4.595283E-5 | 8.44424E-5 | 8.44424E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9692584E-4 | 3.618458E-4 | 3.618458E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023949358 | 0.00439658 | 0.0044264486 | 1.0067935 | 3.0E-5 | 0.023692891 | 0.044448342 | 0.044505678 | 1.0012898 | 6.0E-5 |
8.0 | 3.2950178E-5 | 5.0882958E-5 | 5.0882958E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.412074E-4 | 2.180516E-4 | 2.180516E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017178444 | 0.002651548 | 0.0026714948 | 1.0075228 | 2.0E-5 | 0.017046256 | 0.027234862 | 0.027273772 | 1.0014287 | 4.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.9177472E-5 | 1.9237392E-5 | 1.9237392E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.218658E-5 | 8.244337E-5 | 8.244337E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010001622 | 0.0010032863 | 0.0010032863 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009956728 | 0.010785722 | 0.010795615 | 1.0009172 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.494016E-6 | 5.494016E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3545572E-5 | 2.3545572E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.866297E-4 | 2.866297E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0032592218 | 0.003269189 | 1.0030582 | 1.0E-5 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.690063E-7 | 7.690063E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.295737E-6 | 3.295737E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.012488E-5 | 4.012488E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.737206E-4 | 4.8371585E-4 | 1.0210994 | 1.0E-5 |
San Andreas (Carrizo) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4362565E-4 | 2.4362565E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010436937 | 0.0010536833 | 1.0095713 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006073493 | 0.012633421 | 0.012702537 | 1.0054709 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0591016 | 0.12077793 | 0.12090981 | 1.001092 | 1.5E-4 |
6.1 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4362565E-4 | 2.4362565E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010436937 | 0.0010536833 | 1.0095713 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006073493 | 0.012633421 | 0.012702537 | 1.0054709 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0591016 | 0.12077793 | 0.12090981 | 1.001092 | 1.5E-4 |
6.2 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4362565E-4 | 2.4362565E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010436937 | 0.0010536833 | 1.0095713 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006073493 | 0.012633421 | 0.012702537 | 1.0054709 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0591016 | 0.12077793 | 0.12090981 | 1.001092 | 1.5E-4 |
6.3 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4362565E-4 | 2.4362565E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010436937 | 0.0010536833 | 1.0095713 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006073493 | 0.012633421 | 0.012702537 | 1.0054709 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0591016 | 0.12077793 | 0.12090981 | 1.001092 | 1.5E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4362565E-4 | 2.4362565E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010436937 | 0.0010536833 | 1.0095713 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006073493 | 0.012633421 | 0.012702537 | 1.0054709 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0591016 | 0.12077793 | 0.12090981 | 1.001092 | 1.5E-4 |
6.5 | 1.13136164E-4 | 2.368245E-4 | 2.368245E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.847792E-4 | 0.001014569 | 0.0010245588 | 1.0098464 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0058862255 | 0.012282865 | 0.012352006 | 1.005629 | 7.0E-5 | 0.057327334 | 0.11774252 | 0.11787486 | 1.001124 | 1.5E-4 |
6.6 | 1.13136164E-4 | 2.368245E-4 | 2.368245E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.847792E-4 | 0.001014569 | 0.0010245588 | 1.0098464 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0058862255 | 0.012282865 | 0.012352006 | 1.005629 | 7.0E-5 | 0.057327334 | 0.11774252 | 0.11787486 | 1.001124 | 1.5E-4 |
6.7 | 1.1149675E-4 | 2.3373615E-4 | 2.3373615E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.777557E-4 | 0.0010013434 | 0.0010113333 | 1.0099766 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0058011734 | 0.012123644 | 0.012192795 | 1.0057038 | 7.0E-5 | 0.05652051 | 0.11636054 | 0.11649308 | 1.001139 | 1.5E-4 |
6.8 | 1.1103589E-4 | 2.3275726E-4 | 2.3275726E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7578133E-4 | 9.971512E-4 | 0.0010071413 | 1.0100186 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005777263 | 0.012073172 | 0.012142328 | 1.005728 | 7.0E-5 | 0.056293584 | 0.11592107 | 0.116053686 | 1.0011439 | 1.5E-4 |
6.9 | 1.1053259E-4 | 2.3168049E-4 | 2.3168049E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7362508E-4 | 9.9254E-4 | 0.0010025301 | 1.0100652 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0057511497 | 0.012017651 | 0.012086811 | 1.0057547 | 7.0E-5 | 0.05604569 | 0.11543746 | 0.11557015 | 1.0011494 | 1.5E-4 |
7.0 | 1.1005377E-4 | 2.306884E-4 | 2.306884E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7157376E-4 | 9.882915E-4 | 9.982815E-4 | 1.0101085 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0057263062 | 0.011966494 | 0.012035657 | 1.0057796 | 7.0E-5 | 0.055809796 | 0.114989534 | 0.11512229 | 1.0011544 | 1.5E-4 |
7.1 | 1.0308142E-4 | 2.157785E-4 | 2.157785E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.417027E-4 | 9.2443835E-4 | 9.3442906E-4 | 1.0108074 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0053644776 | 0.01119727 | 0.011266486 | 1.0061815 | 7.0E-5 | 0.052368138 | 0.108249314 | 0.10838308 | 1.0012357 | 1.5E-4 |
7.2 | 1.0027479E-4 | 2.0985417E-4 | 2.0985417E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.296783E-4 | 8.9906604E-4 | 9.0905704E-4 | 1.0111127 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0052187922 | 0.01089149 | 0.010960727 | 1.0063571 | 7.0E-5 | 0.050979212 | 0.105556235 | 0.105690405 | 1.001271 | 1.5E-4 |
7.3 | 9.816942E-5 | 2.0460035E-4 | 2.0460035E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2065824E-4 | 8.76565E-4 | 8.865562E-4 | 1.0113982 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005109493 | 0.010620243 | 0.010689499 | 1.0065212 | 7.0E-5 | 0.049935985 | 0.103138015 | 0.10326357 | 1.0012174 | 1.4E-4 |
7.4 | 9.5634205E-5 | 1.9828742E-4 | 1.9828742E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0979648E-4 | 8.4952737E-4 | 8.595189E-4 | 1.0117613 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0049778637 | 0.010294209 | 0.010363488 | 1.00673 | 7.0E-5 | 0.048678253 | 0.10022864 | 0.10034561 | 1.001167 | 1.3E-4 |
7.5 | 8.052417E-5 | 1.6144858E-4 | 1.6144858E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4505792E-4 | 6.917392E-4 | 7.017323E-4 | 1.0144463 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0041929903 | 0.008389484 | 0.008458897 | 1.0082737 | 7.0E-5 | 0.04114753 | 0.082961716 | 0.08308093 | 1.001437 | 1.3E-4 |
7.6 | 7.897024E-5 | 1.5797748E-4 | 1.5797748E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.384E-4 | 6.7687087E-4 | 6.8686414E-4 | 1.0147638 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0041122385 | 0.00820984 | 0.008279266 | 1.0084563 | 7.0E-5 | 0.040369697 | 0.08129846 | 0.081417896 | 1.001469 | 1.3E-4 |
7.7 | 6.707427E-5 | 1.3304809E-4 | 1.3304809E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8742946E-4 | 5.700815E-4 | 5.8007584E-4 | 1.0175314 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003493839 | 0.006918687 | 0.0069782715 | 1.0086122 | 6.0E-5 | 0.034394164 | 0.06917808 | 0.06927116 | 1.0013455 | 1.0E-4 |
7.8 | 6.147705E-5 | 1.2223405E-4 | 1.2223405E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6344648E-4 | 5.2375504E-4 | 5.337498E-4 | 1.0190829 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032027436 | 0.0063580987 | 0.0064177173 | 1.0093768 | 6.0E-5 | 0.031569764 | 0.06363271 | 0.06372635 | 1.0014715 | 1.0E-4 |
7.9 | 4.7636717E-5 | 8.898354E-5 | 8.898354E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0414138E-4 | 3.8130232E-4 | 3.8130232E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024825884 | 0.004632482 | 0.004662343 | 1.006446 | 3.0E-5 | 0.024550365 | 0.046717253 | 0.046774447 | 1.0012243 | 6.0E-5 |
8.0 | 3.3554235E-5 | 5.224913E-5 | 5.224913E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4379594E-4 | 2.2390562E-4 | 2.2390562E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017493097 | 0.002722645 | 0.0027425904 | 1.0073258 | 2.0E-5 | 0.017356034 | 0.02793666 | 0.027975542 | 1.0013918 | 4.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.9175432E-5 | 1.923722E-5 | 1.923722E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.217783E-5 | 8.244263E-5 | 8.244263E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010000558 | 0.0010032775 | 0.0010032775 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009955673 | 0.010785607 | 0.010795498 | 1.0009172 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.494016E-6 | 5.494016E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3545572E-5 | 2.3545572E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.866297E-4 | 2.866297E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0032592218 | 0.003269189 | 1.0030582 | 1.0E-5 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.690063E-7 | 7.690063E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.295737E-6 | 3.295737E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.012488E-5 | 4.012488E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.737206E-4 | 4.8371585E-4 | 1.0210994 | 1.0E-5 |
Ludlow
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2407607E-5 | 2.3657954E-5 | 2.3657954E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.602906E-5 | 1.0138754E-4 | 1.0138754E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011685267 | 0.0012337384 | 0.0013136397 | 1.0647635 | 8.0E-5 | 0.011624013 | 0.012273403 | 0.012421562 | 1.0120715 | 1.5E-4 |
6.1 | 2.2407607E-5 | 2.3657954E-5 | 2.3657954E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.602906E-5 | 1.0138754E-4 | 1.0138754E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011685267 | 0.0012337384 | 0.0013136397 | 1.0647635 | 8.0E-5 | 0.011624013 | 0.012273403 | 0.012421562 | 1.0120715 | 1.5E-4 |
6.2 | 1.0781252E-5 | 1.1365991E-5 | 1.1365991E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.620455E-5 | 4.8710503E-5 | 4.8710503E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.623952E-4 | 5.92893E-4 | 6.528574E-4 | 1.1011387 | 6.0E-5 | 0.00560974 | 0.005913531 | 0.005993058 | 1.0134482 | 8.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.0781252E-5 | 1.1365991E-5 | 1.1365991E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.620455E-5 | 4.8710503E-5 | 4.8710503E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.623952E-4 | 5.92893E-4 | 6.528574E-4 | 1.1011387 | 6.0E-5 | 0.00560974 | 0.005913531 | 0.005993058 | 1.0134482 | 8.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.814439E-6 | 8.237966E-6 | 8.237966E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3490025E-5 | 3.5305096E-5 | 3.5305096E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0766477E-4 | 4.2975618E-4 | 4.797347E-4 | 1.116295 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0040691774 | 0.0042893975 | 0.004359097 | 1.0162493 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.4986366E-6 | 6.8511167E-6 | 6.8511167E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7851002E-5 | 2.9361603E-5 | 2.9361603E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.390332E-4 | 3.574198E-4 | 3.9740553E-4 | 1.1118733 | 4.0E-5 | 0.003385164 | 0.003568546 | 0.0036183675 | 1.0139613 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.582177E-6 | 5.8861756E-6 | 5.8861756E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3923398E-5 | 2.5226227E-5 | 2.5226227E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9122844E-4 | 3.0708674E-4 | 3.3707754E-4 | 1.0976622 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0029084706 | 0.0030666974 | 0.0031065748 | 1.0130033 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.6858763E-6 | 4.94057E-6 | 4.94057E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0082172E-5 | 2.1173702E-5 | 2.1173702E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4447302E-4 | 2.5775988E-4 | 2.8775213E-4 | 1.1163574 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0024420423 | 0.0025746655 | 0.0026145624 | 1.015496 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.5584908E-6 | 3.7521265E-6 | 3.7521265E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5250586E-5 | 1.6080447E-5 | 1.6080447E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8566006E-4 | 1.9576224E-4 | 2.1575834E-4 | 1.1021447 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0018550502 | 0.0019559392 | 0.0019759 | 1.0102053 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.532834E-6 | 2.6710807E-6 | 2.6710807E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0854958E-5 | 1.1447441E-5 | 1.1447441E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3215111E-4 | 1.3936395E-4 | 1.4936256E-4 | 1.0717446 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013207254 | 0.0013927931 | 0.0014027792 | 1.0071698 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.7083285E-6 | 1.8019963E-6 | 1.8019963E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3213873E-6 | 7.722819E-6 | 7.722819E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.913424E-5 | 9.402143E-5 | 1.04020495E-4 | 1.1063488 | 1.0E-5 | 8.9098496E-4 | 9.3983306E-4 | 9.4982365E-4 | 1.0106301 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0905424E-6 | 1.1497951E-6 | 1.1497951E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6737446E-6 | 4.9276846E-6 | 4.9276846E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6901354E-5 | 5.9993006E-5 | 5.9993006E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6886784E-4 | 5.997779E-4 | 5.997779E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.06668E-7 | 6.387457E-7 | 6.387457E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.600003E-6 | 2.737479E-6 | 2.737479E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1654577E-5 | 3.3328364E-5 | 3.3328364E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1650066E-4 | 3.3324052E-4 | 3.3324052E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Manix-Afton Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.3783202E-5 | 1.4711616E-5 | 1.4711616E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.906953E-5 | 6.3048356E-5 | 8.3047096E-5 | 1.3171968 | 2.0E-5 | 7.189342E-4 | 7.673609E-4 | 8.373072E-4 | 1.0911517 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0071661277 | 0.0076488685 | 0.0077778744 | 1.016866 | 1.3E-4 |
6.1 | 1.3783202E-5 | 1.4711616E-5 | 1.4711616E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.906953E-5 | 6.3048356E-5 | 8.3047096E-5 | 1.3171968 | 2.0E-5 | 7.189342E-4 | 7.673609E-4 | 8.373072E-4 | 1.0911517 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0071661277 | 0.0076488685 | 0.0077778744 | 1.016866 | 1.3E-4 |
6.2 | 1.3783202E-5 | 1.4711616E-5 | 1.4711616E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.906953E-5 | 6.3048356E-5 | 8.3047096E-5 | 1.3171968 | 2.0E-5 | 7.189342E-4 | 7.673609E-4 | 8.373072E-4 | 1.0911517 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0071661277 | 0.0076488685 | 0.0077778744 | 1.016866 | 1.3E-4 |
6.3 | 1.10494875E-5 | 1.1793558E-5 | 1.1793558E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7354086E-5 | 5.0542898E-5 | 7.0541886E-5 | 1.3956835 | 2.0E-5 | 5.763835E-4 | 6.151964E-4 | 6.751595E-4 | 1.0974698 | 6.0E-5 | 0.005748908 | 0.0061359745 | 0.0062353606 | 1.0161973 | 1.0E-4 |
6.4 | 1.10494875E-5 | 1.1793558E-5 | 1.1793558E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7354086E-5 | 5.0542898E-5 | 7.0541886E-5 | 1.3956835 | 2.0E-5 | 5.763835E-4 | 6.151964E-4 | 6.751595E-4 | 1.0974698 | 6.0E-5 | 0.005748908 | 0.0061359745 | 0.0062353606 | 1.0161973 | 1.0E-4 |
6.5 | 9.788949E-6 | 1.0454697E-5 | 1.0454697E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1951964E-5 | 4.480513E-5 | 6.480423E-5 | 1.4463575 | 2.0E-5 | 5.1064545E-4 | 5.453752E-4 | 5.9534796E-4 | 1.09163 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0050947363 | 0.005441295 | 0.005530805 | 1.0164502 | 9.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.810006E-6 | 9.413971E-6 | 9.413971E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.775662E-5 | 4.0345018E-5 | 6.034421E-5 | 1.4957042 | 2.0E-5 | 4.5958988E-4 | 4.9109873E-4 | 5.410742E-4 | 1.1017625 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0045864056 | 0.0049010175 | 0.004980625 | 1.0162431 | 8.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.80128E-6 | 9.404451E-6 | 9.404451E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7719226E-5 | 4.0304214E-5 | 6.030341E-5 | 1.496206 | 2.0E-5 | 4.591348E-4 | 4.906022E-4 | 5.405777E-4 | 1.1018655 | 5.0E-5 | 0.004581874 | 0.004896074 | 0.004975682 | 1.0162597 | 8.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.8994877E-6 | 7.3803494E-6 | 7.3803494E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9568899E-5 | 3.162973E-5 | 3.162973E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5994186E-4 | 3.850321E-4 | 4.1502054E-4 | 1.0778856 | 3.0E-5 | 0.003593594 | 0.0038444551 | 0.003894263 | 1.0129558 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.9328037E-6 | 5.271154E-6 | 5.271154E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1140417E-5 | 2.2590497E-5 | 2.2590497E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5735417E-4 | 2.7501077E-4 | 2.8500802E-4 | 1.0363522 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0025705635 | 0.0027473096 | 0.0027772272 | 1.0108898 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.347973E-6 | 3.590168E-6 | 3.590168E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4348378E-5 | 1.5386368E-5 | 1.5386368E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.746775E-4 | 1.8731703E-4 | 1.8731703E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017454025 | 0.0018719939 | 0.0018919564 | 1.0106637 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.2073567E-6 | 1.293531E-6 | 1.293531E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1743755E-6 | 5.5437017E-6 | 5.5437017E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.29962E-5 | 6.749411E-5 | 6.749411E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.297835E-4 | 6.748963E-4 | 6.748963E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (North Branch Mill Creek)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3528417E-5 | 2.3528417E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.0083219E-4 | 1.2083018E-4 | 1.1983293 | 2.0E-5 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.0012269439 | 0.0013068458 | 1.0651226 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012244128 | 0.012362658 | 1.0096806 | 1.2E-4 |
6.1 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3528417E-5 | 2.3528417E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.0083219E-4 | 1.2083018E-4 | 1.1983293 | 2.0E-5 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.0012269439 | 0.0013068458 | 1.0651226 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012244128 | 0.012362658 | 1.0096806 | 1.2E-4 |
6.2 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3528417E-5 | 2.3528417E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.0083219E-4 | 1.2083018E-4 | 1.1983293 | 2.0E-5 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.0012269439 | 0.0013068458 | 1.0651226 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012244128 | 0.012362658 | 1.0096806 | 1.2E-4 |
6.3 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3528417E-5 | 2.3528417E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.0083219E-4 | 1.2083018E-4 | 1.1983293 | 2.0E-5 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.0012269439 | 0.0013068458 | 1.0651226 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012244128 | 0.012362658 | 1.0096806 | 1.2E-4 |
6.4 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3528417E-5 | 2.3528417E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.0083219E-4 | 1.2083018E-4 | 1.1983293 | 2.0E-5 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.0012269439 | 0.0013068458 | 1.0651226 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012244128 | 0.012362658 | 1.0096806 | 1.2E-4 |
6.5 | 1.3450706E-5 | 2.3517377E-5 | 2.3517377E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.764461E-5 | 1.00784884E-4 | 1.2078287E-4 | 1.1984224 | 2.0E-5 | 7.0159714E-4 | 0.0012263686 | 0.0013062705 | 1.0651532 | 8.0E-5 | 0.006993862 | 0.012238437 | 0.012356969 | 1.0096852 | 1.2E-4 |
6.6 | 1.3074523E-5 | 2.313165E-5 | 2.313165E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6032466E-5 | 9.9131896E-5 | 1.19129916E-4 | 1.2017314 | 2.0E-5 | 6.8198174E-4 | 0.0012062659 | 0.0012861694 | 1.0662404 | 8.0E-5 | 0.006798926 | 0.012039601 | 0.012158156 | 1.0098472 | 1.2E-4 |
6.7 | 1.3050216E-5 | 2.3106948E-5 | 2.3106948E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.59283E-5 | 9.902603E-5 | 1.1902405E-4 | 1.2019471 | 2.0E-5 | 6.8071426E-4 | 0.0012049783 | 0.001284882 | 1.0663112 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0067863287 | 0.012026866 | 0.012145422 | 1.0098577 | 1.2E-4 |
6.8 | 1.29049395E-5 | 2.295535E-5 | 2.295535E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.530571E-5 | 9.837638E-5 | 1.1837442E-4 | 1.2032808 | 2.0E-5 | 6.73139E-4 | 0.0011970776 | 0.0012769818 | 1.0667495 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0067110364 | 0.011948708 | 0.012067275 | 1.009923 | 1.2E-4 |
6.9 | 1.2867369E-5 | 2.2914748E-5 | 2.2914748E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.51447E-5 | 9.8202385E-5 | 1.1820043E-4 | 1.203641 | 2.0E-5 | 6.711799E-4 | 0.0011949615 | 0.0012748659 | 1.0668677 | 8.0E-5 | 0.006691564 | 0.011927776 | 0.012046345 | 1.0099405 | 1.2E-4 |
7.0 | 1.2495996E-5 | 2.2314638E-5 | 2.2314638E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3553173E-5 | 9.5630676E-5 | 1.1562876E-4 | 1.2091179 | 2.0E-5 | 6.518148E-4 | 0.0011636844 | 0.0012435913 | 1.0686672 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0064990623 | 0.011618286 | 0.011736892 | 1.0102085 | 1.2E-4 |
7.1 | 1.2452067E-5 | 2.2259701E-5 | 2.2259701E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3364907E-5 | 9.539525E-5 | 1.1539334E-4 | 1.2096341 | 2.0E-5 | 6.4952404E-4 | 0.0011608212 | 0.0012407283 | 1.0688367 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0064762887 | 0.011589954 | 0.011708562 | 1.0102338 | 1.2E-4 |
7.2 | 1.2002777E-5 | 2.1638136E-5 | 2.1638136E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.143946E-5 | 9.2731585E-5 | 1.1272974E-4 | 1.2156563 | 2.0E-5 | 6.2609545E-4 | 0.001128425 | 0.0012083347 | 1.0708153 | 8.0E-5 | 0.006243344 | 0.011269332 | 0.01138798 | 1.0105283 | 1.2E-4 |
7.3 | 1.1923425E-5 | 2.150792E-5 | 2.150792E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.109939E-5 | 9.2173555E-5 | 1.12171714E-4 | 1.216962 | 2.0E-5 | 6.219575E-4 | 0.001121638 | 0.0012015483 | 1.0712442 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0062021962 | 0.011202184 | 0.01132084 | 1.0105922 | 1.2E-4 |
7.4 | 1.16105175E-5 | 2.0881596E-5 | 2.0881596E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.975841E-5 | 8.94895E-5 | 1.0948771E-4 | 1.2234699 | 2.0E-5 | 6.0564023E-4 | 0.0010889926 | 0.0011689055 | 1.0733824 | 8.0E-5 | 0.006039923 | 0.010879889 | 0.010998583 | 1.0109096 | 1.2E-4 |
7.5 | 1.1037265E-5 | 1.9580697E-5 | 1.9580697E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7301706E-5 | 8.391459E-5 | 1.03912906E-4 | 1.2383176 | 2.0E-5 | 5.757461E-4 | 0.0010211834 | 0.0011011017 | 1.0782605 | 8.0E-5 | 0.005742567 | 0.010208925 | 0.0103277 | 1.0116345 | 1.2E-4 |
7.6 | 1.0720915E-5 | 1.9022264E-5 | 1.9022264E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5945973E-5 | 8.152145E-5 | 1.0151982E-4 | 1.2453142 | 2.0E-5 | 5.592486E-4 | 9.920739E-4 | 0.0010719945 | 1.0805591 | 8.0E-5 | 0.005578433 | 0.009920476 | 0.010039286 | 1.0119762 | 1.2E-4 |
7.7 | 9.276279E-6 | 1.6466776E-5 | 1.6466776E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9754876E-5 | 7.057E-5 | 9.056859E-5 | 1.2833866 | 2.0E-5 | 4.839081E-4 | 8.588527E-4 | 9.38784E-4 | 1.0930675 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0048285574 | 0.008599266 | 0.008718235 | 1.0138347 | 1.2E-4 |
7.8 | 5.8346777E-6 | 1.1175348E-5 | 1.1175348E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5005522E-5 | 4.7893467E-5 | 6.789251E-5 | 1.4175735 | 2.0E-5 | 3.043997E-4 | 5.829471E-4 | 6.6290045E-4 | 1.1371537 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0030398308 | 0.0058576525 | 0.0059769494 | 1.0203661 | 1.2E-4 |
7.9 | 4.690204E-6 | 8.525966E-6 | 8.525966E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0100719E-5 | 3.6539343E-5 | 5.653861E-5 | 1.5473353 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4469878E-4 | 4.4477577E-4 | 5.247402E-4 | 1.179786 | 8.0E-5 | 0.002444295 | 0.0044796076 | 0.00459907 | 1.0266681 | 1.2E-4 |
8.0 | 2.9570454E-6 | 4.857161E-6 | 4.857161E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.267299E-5 | 2.0816238E-5 | 3.081603E-5 | 1.4803842 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5428272E-4 | 2.5340827E-4 | 2.9339813E-4 | 1.1578081 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0015417566 | 0.002555138 | 0.0026149845 | 1.0234221 | 6.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.6376824E-6 | 2.2021675E-6 | 2.2021675E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.01862E-6 | 9.4378265E-6 | 9.4378265E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.544835E-5 | 1.1489949E-4 | 1.1489949E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.54155E-4 | 0.0011635037 | 0.001173492 | 1.0085847 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 6.9631557E-7 | 4.5515284E-7 | 4.5515284E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.984206E-6 | 1.9506535E-6 | 1.9506535E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.63321E-5 | 2.374895E-5 | 2.374895E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6326164E-4 | 2.4599142E-4 | 2.4599142E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.7876137E-7 | 8.39093E-8 | 8.39093E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.661199E-7 | 3.5961122E-7 | 3.5961122E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.32747E-6 | 4.3782584E-6 | 4.3782584E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3270784E-5 | 4.598492E-5 | 4.598492E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Baker
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.695525E-6 | 5.8349133E-6 | 5.8349133E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4409164E-5 | 2.5006555E-5 | 4.5006054E-5 | 1.7997704 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9714106E-4 | 3.0441626E-4 | 3.5440104E-4 | 1.1641988 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0029674405 | 0.0030403885 | 0.0031600236 | 1.0393486 | 1.2E-4 |
6.1 | 5.695525E-6 | 5.8349133E-6 | 5.8349133E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4409164E-5 | 2.5006555E-5 | 4.5006054E-5 | 1.7997704 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9714106E-4 | 3.0441626E-4 | 3.5440104E-4 | 1.1641988 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0029674405 | 0.0030403885 | 0.0031600236 | 1.0393486 | 1.2E-4 |
6.2 | 5.695525E-6 | 5.8349133E-6 | 5.8349133E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4409164E-5 | 2.5006555E-5 | 4.5006054E-5 | 1.7997704 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9714106E-4 | 3.0441626E-4 | 3.5440104E-4 | 1.1641988 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0029674405 | 0.0030403885 | 0.0031600236 | 1.0393486 | 1.2E-4 |
6.3 | 3.2995713E-6 | 3.3837132E-6 | 3.3837132E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4140943E-5 | 1.450155E-5 | 2.4501405E-5 | 1.6895715 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7215237E-4 | 1.7654254E-4 | 2.1653548E-4 | 1.2265342 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0017201907 | 0.00176407 | 0.001873876 | 1.0622458 | 1.1E-4 |
6.4 | 3.2995713E-6 | 3.3837132E-6 | 3.3837132E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4140943E-5 | 1.450155E-5 | 2.4501405E-5 | 1.6895715 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7215237E-4 | 1.7654254E-4 | 2.1653548E-4 | 1.2265342 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0017201907 | 0.00176407 | 0.001873876 | 1.0622458 | 1.1E-4 |
6.5 | 2.782202E-6 | 2.855881E-6 | 2.855881E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1923668E-5 | 1.2239434E-5 | 2.2239312E-5 | 1.8170213 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4516099E-4 | 1.4900525E-4 | 1.6900228E-4 | 1.1342034 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001450662 | 0.0014890862 | 0.001568967 | 1.0536442 | 8.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.3163404E-6 | 2.3809555E-6 | 2.3809555E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.927136E-6 | 1.0204057E-5 | 2.0203954E-5 | 1.9799924 | 1.0E-5 | 1.20856166E-4 | 1.242275E-4 | 1.4422502E-4 | 1.160975 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012079047 | 0.0012416008 | 0.0013215016 | 1.064353 | 8.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.037056E-6 | 2.0965333E-6 | 2.0965333E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7302105E-6 | 8.985113E-6 | 1.8985023E-5 | 2.1129422 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0628513E-4 | 1.0938842E-4 | 1.2938623E-4 | 1.1828147 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010623431 | 0.0010933619 | 0.0011732744 | 1.0730888 | 8.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.8356744E-6 | 1.8915596E-6 | 1.8915596E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.867153E-6 | 8.106659E-6 | 1.8106579E-5 | 2.2335436 | 1.0E-5 | 9.577837E-5 | 9.869425E-5 | 1.18692275E-4 | 1.2026261 | 2.0E-5 | 9.57371E-4 | 9.865181E-4 | 0.0010564491 | 1.0708866 | 7.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.6310546E-6 | 1.6832361E-6 | 1.6832361E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9902153E-6 | 7.2138496E-6 | 1.7213777E-5 | 2.3862123 | 1.0E-5 | 8.510255E-5 | 8.7825196E-5 | 1.07823435E-4 | 1.2277051 | 2.0E-5 | 8.5069967E-4 | 8.779161E-4 | 9.378634E-4 | 1.0682837 | 6.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.2058036E-6 | 1.2508916E-6 | 1.2508916E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1677193E-6 | 5.3609533E-6 | 1.53609E-5 | 2.86533 | 1.0E-5 | 6.291517E-5 | 6.5267675E-5 | 7.526702E-5 | 1.1532052 | 1.0E-5 | 6.289736E-4 | 6.5248733E-4 | 6.9246127E-4 | 1.0612639 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.052382E-6 | 1.0951846E-6 | 1.0951846E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5102006E-6 | 4.69364E-6 | 1.4693594E-5 | 3.1305325 | 1.0E-5 | 5.491031E-5 | 5.714358E-5 | 6.714301E-5 | 1.1749878 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4896745E-4 | 5.7128974E-4 | 6.112669E-4 | 1.069977 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.0067454E-6 | 1.0487945E-6 | 1.0487945E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3146156E-6 | 4.4948256E-6 | 1.4494781E-5 | 3.2247703 | 1.0E-5 | 5.252918E-5 | 5.472314E-5 | 6.472259E-5 | 1.182728 | 1.0E-5 | 5.251676E-4 | 5.470975E-4 | 5.870756E-4 | 1.0730731 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.3596316E-7 | 9.76795E-7 | 9.76795E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0112645E-6 | 4.186258E-6 | 1.41862165E-5 | 3.3887582 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8836053E-5 | 5.0966508E-5 | 6.0966E-5 | 1.1961973 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8825322E-4 | 5.09549E-4 | 5.495286E-4 | 1.0784608 | 4.0E-5 |
7.4 | 8.8117395E-7 | 9.207884E-7 | 9.207884E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7764542E-6 | 3.94623E-6 | 1.3946191E-5 | 3.534054 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5977362E-5 | 4.80443E-5 | 5.804382E-5 | 1.2081312 | 1.0E-5 | 4.596785E-4 | 4.803399E-4 | 5.2032067E-4 | 1.0832343 | 4.0E-5 |
7.5 | 8.292386E-7 | 8.6748094E-7 | 8.6748094E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5538749E-6 | 3.7177701E-6 | 1.3717733E-5 | 3.6897745 | 1.0E-5 | 4.326757E-5 | 4.5262917E-5 | 5.5262466E-5 | 1.2209214 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3259145E-4 | 4.5253773E-4 | 4.9251964E-4 | 1.0883504 | 4.0E-5 |
7.6 | 7.553842E-7 | 7.9146724E-7 | 7.9146724E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2373566E-6 | 3.391998E-6 | 1.3391964E-5 | 3.9481049 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9414106E-5 | 4.12968E-5 | 5.1296385E-5 | 1.2421395 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9407116E-4 | 4.1289197E-4 | 4.4287957E-4 | 1.0726283 | 3.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.5285366E-7 | 6.8529783E-7 | 6.8529783E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.797941E-6 | 2.9369874E-6 | 1.2936958E-5 | 4.4048395 | 1.0E-5 | 3.40644E-5 | 3.5757243E-5 | 4.5756886E-5 | 1.2796537 | 1.0E-5 | 3.405918E-4 | 3.5751556E-4 | 3.875048E-4 | 1.0838825 | 3.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.648368E-7 | 3.648368E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5635853E-6 | 1.1563569E-5 | 7.3955474 | 1.0E-5 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.903649E-5 | 2.90363E-5 | 1.5252969 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.9034903E-4 | 2.1034523E-4 | 1.1050501 | 2.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6697329E-9 | 2.6697329E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.14417125E-8 | 1.14417125E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3930286E-7 | 1.3930286E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3930285E-6 | 1.3930285E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Red Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.258278E-6 | 8.551426E-6 | 8.551426E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.539214E-5 | 3.6648555E-5 | 3.6648555E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.308141E-4 | 4.4612266E-4 | 4.861048E-4 | 1.0896214 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0042997985 | 0.0044540283 | 0.004573494 | 1.0268219 | 1.2E-4 |
6.1 | 3.649988E-6 | 3.7753848E-6 | 3.7753848E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5642712E-5 | 1.6180147E-5 | 1.6180147E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9043336E-4 | 1.9698025E-4 | 1.9698025E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019027026 | 0.0019685237 | 0.0019984648 | 1.0152098 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.649988E-6 | 3.7753848E-6 | 3.7753848E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5642712E-5 | 1.6180147E-5 | 1.6180147E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9043336E-4 | 1.9698025E-4 | 1.9698025E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019027026 | 0.0019685237 | 0.0019984648 | 1.0152098 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3924937E-6 | 1.4411434E-6 | 1.4411434E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9678164E-6 | 6.1763217E-6 | 6.1763217E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.265574E-5 | 7.519554E-5 | 7.519554E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.263199E-4 | 7.518397E-4 | 7.718247E-4 | 1.0265814 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.3924937E-6 | 1.4411434E-6 | 1.4411434E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9678164E-6 | 6.1763217E-6 | 6.1763217E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.265574E-5 | 7.519554E-5 | 7.519554E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.263199E-4 | 7.518397E-4 | 7.718247E-4 | 1.0265814 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.876812E-7 | 1.0222102E-6 | 1.0222102E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2329125E-6 | 4.3809005E-6 | 4.3809005E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.153449E-5 | 5.3337466E-5 | 5.3337466E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1522546E-4 | 5.3337467E-4 | 5.4336933E-4 | 1.0187385 | 1.0E-5 |
Santa Ynez (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.675413E-5 | 3.675413E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5751152E-4 | 1.5751152E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0019165992 | 0.0020164077 | 1.0520757 | 1.0E-4 | 0.016697178 | 0.01905816 | 0.019175872 | 1.0061765 | 1.2E-4 |
6.1 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.675413E-5 | 3.675413E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5751152E-4 | 1.5751152E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0019165992 | 0.0020164077 | 1.0520757 | 1.0E-4 | 0.016697178 | 0.01905816 | 0.019175872 | 1.0061765 | 1.2E-4 |
6.2 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.675413E-5 | 3.675413E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5751152E-4 | 1.5751152E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0019165992 | 0.0020164077 | 1.0520757 | 1.0E-4 | 0.016697178 | 0.01905816 | 0.019175872 | 1.0061765 | 1.2E-4 |
6.3 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.675413E-5 | 3.675413E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5751152E-4 | 1.5751152E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0019165992 | 0.0020164077 | 1.0520757 | 1.0E-4 | 0.016697178 | 0.01905816 | 0.019175872 | 1.0061765 | 1.2E-4 |
6.4 | 1.4404779E-5 | 1.4850021E-5 | 1.4850021E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1733306E-5 | 6.3641426E-5 | 6.3641426E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.513438E-4 | 7.74564E-4 | 8.0454076E-4 | 1.0387014 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0074880854 | 0.0077191936 | 0.0077688075 | 1.0064274 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.4404779E-5 | 1.4850021E-5 | 1.4850021E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1733306E-5 | 6.3641426E-5 | 6.3641426E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.513438E-4 | 7.74564E-4 | 8.0454076E-4 | 1.0387014 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0074880854 | 0.0077191936 | 0.0077688075 | 1.0064274 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.280208E-5 | 1.3012444E-5 | 1.3012444E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4864904E-5 | 5.5766435E-5 | 5.5766435E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6777546E-4 | 6.787466E-4 | 7.0872623E-4 | 1.0441691 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006657724 | 0.006766946 | 0.0068166074 | 1.0073389 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2457027E-5 | 1.26289415E-5 | 1.26289415E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3386164E-5 | 5.412292E-5 | 5.412292E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.497827E-4 | 6.58749E-4 | 6.887292E-4 | 1.0455109 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00647886 | 0.0065681604 | 0.006617832 | 1.0075625 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2095134E-5 | 1.2231368E-5 | 1.2231368E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1835254E-5 | 5.2419102E-5 | 5.2419102E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.309115E-4 | 6.380173E-4 | 6.6799816E-4 | 1.0469906 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0062912325 | 0.006362044 | 0.0064117257 | 1.0078092 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.1104036E-5 | 1.1157752E-5 | 1.1157752E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.758786E-5 | 4.781807E-5 | 4.781807E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7922816E-4 | 5.8203074E-4 | 6.120133E-4 | 1.0515137 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005777207 | 0.0058052093 | 0.005854919 | 1.0085629 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0577444E-5 | 1.0582056E-5 | 1.0582056E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5331115E-5 | 4.535089E-5 | 4.535089E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5176654E-4 | 5.520084E-4 | 5.8199186E-4 | 1.054317 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0055039856 | 0.005506511 | 0.0055562356 | 1.0090301 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0021775E-5 | 9.981338E-6 | 9.981338E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.294976E-5 | 4.2776468E-5 | 4.2776468E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2278786E-4 | 5.206802E-4 | 5.506646E-4 | 1.0575869 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0052155964 | 0.0051947352 | 0.005244476 | 1.0095751 | 5.0E-5 |
7.2 | 8.874109E-6 | 8.749089E-6 | 8.749089E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8031343E-5 | 3.7495563E-5 | 3.7495563E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.629332E-4 | 4.5641392E-4 | 4.8640024E-4 | 1.0656998 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0046197 | 0.0045548836 | 0.004604656 | 1.0109272 | 5.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.5504267E-6 | 7.5053244E-6 | 7.5053244E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.235857E-5 | 3.2165288E-5 | 3.2165288E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9389438E-4 | 3.91543E-4 | 4.2153127E-4 | 1.07659 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0039319694 | 0.0039086384 | 0.003958443 | 1.0127422 | 5.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.309394E-6 | 6.183301E-6 | 6.183301E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.703998E-5 | 2.6499598E-5 | 2.6499598E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2916202E-4 | 3.225858E-4 | 3.3258257E-4 | 1.0309895 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003286749 | 0.0032212727 | 0.003251176 | 1.0092831 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.6103073E-6 | 4.440954E-6 | 4.440954E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.975831E-5 | 1.9032526E-5 | 1.9032526E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4053088E-4 | 2.3169705E-4 | 2.3169705E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002402707 | 0.0023146244 | 0.0023246012 | 1.0043104 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.2858658E-6 | 1.3008582E-6 | 1.3008582E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5108417E-6 | 5.575095E-6 | 5.575095E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7092435E-5 | 6.787474E-5 | 6.787474E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.707218E-4 | 6.7854696E-4 | 6.8854017E-4 | 1.0147274 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.3302307E-7 | 5.612297E-7 | 5.612297E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2843826E-6 | 2.4052679E-6 | 2.4052679E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7812002E-5 | 2.9283781E-5 | 2.9283781E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7808524E-4 | 2.9280278E-4 | 3.0279986E-4 | 1.0341427 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 4.613933E-8 | 4.8031144E-8 | 4.8031144E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9773998E-7 | 2.0584774E-7 | 2.0584774E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4074816E-6 | 2.5061934E-6 | 2.5061934E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4074554E-5 | 2.5061661E-5 | 2.5061661E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Lost Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.5108235E-5 | 2.5108235E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.07603235E-4 | 1.2760107E-4 | 1.185848 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011647546 | 0.0013094501 | 0.0013593847 | 1.038134 | 5.0E-5 | 0.011586686 | 0.013033944 | 0.013122772 | 1.0068151 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.5108235E-5 | 2.5108235E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.07603235E-4 | 1.2760107E-4 | 1.185848 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011647546 | 0.0013094501 | 0.0013593847 | 1.038134 | 5.0E-5 | 0.011586686 | 0.013033944 | 0.013122772 | 1.0068151 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.5108235E-5 | 2.5108235E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.07603235E-4 | 1.2760107E-4 | 1.185848 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011647546 | 0.0013094501 | 0.0013593847 | 1.038134 | 5.0E-5 | 0.011586686 | 0.013033944 | 0.013122772 | 1.0068151 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.5108235E-5 | 2.5108235E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.07603235E-4 | 1.2760107E-4 | 1.185848 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011647546 | 0.0013094501 | 0.0013593847 | 1.038134 | 5.0E-5 | 0.011586686 | 0.013033944 | 0.013122772 | 1.0068151 | 9.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2288092E-5 | 1.3781996E-5 | 1.3781996E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2662188E-5 | 5.906489E-5 | 7.9063706E-5 | 1.3385906 | 2.0E-5 | 6.409735E-4 | 7.1897154E-4 | 7.589428E-4 | 1.055595 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006391279 | 0.007175662 | 0.00724516 | 1.0096852 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.2288092E-5 | 1.3781996E-5 | 1.3781996E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2662188E-5 | 5.906489E-5 | 7.9063706E-5 | 1.3385906 | 2.0E-5 | 6.409735E-4 | 7.1897154E-4 | 7.589428E-4 | 1.055595 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006391279 | 0.007175662 | 0.00724516 | 1.0096852 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.58281E-6 | 9.634396E-6 | 9.634396E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6782953E-5 | 4.1290084E-5 | 5.128967E-5 | 1.2421789 | 1.0E-5 | 4.4774043E-4 | 5.02674E-4 | 5.22664E-4 | 1.0397673 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0044683935 | 0.005023531 | 0.0050533805 | 1.0059419 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.205685E-6 | 8.088828E-6 | 8.088828E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.088114E-5 | 3.4666402E-5 | 4.4666056E-5 | 1.2884537 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7591302E-4 | 4.2206346E-4 | 4.3205923E-4 | 1.0236831 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037527776 | 0.0042206347 | 0.00424055 | 1.0047187 | 2.0E-5 |
Mission Ridge-Arroyo Parida-Santa Ana
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.169034E-5 | 4.7142308E-5 | 4.7142308E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7866064E-4 | 2.0202712E-4 | 2.0202712E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021730233 | 0.0024577351 | 0.0024976367 | 1.0162351 | 4.0E-5 | 0.021518968 | 0.024387209 | 0.024455503 | 1.0028003 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.73813E-5 | 1.6855429E-5 | 1.6855429E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4489166E-5 | 7.223561E-5 | 7.223561E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.065282E-4 | 8.791244E-4 | 9.09098E-4 | 1.0340948 | 3.0E-5 | 0.009028391 | 0.008757493 | 0.008807056 | 1.0056593 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.4622182E-5 | 1.36742265E-5 | 1.36742265E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2664985E-5 | 5.8602534E-5 | 5.8602534E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6267915E-4 | 7.132562E-4 | 7.4323476E-4 | 1.0420306 | 3.0E-5 | 0.007600669 | 0.0071099964 | 0.007149712 | 1.0055859 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3552434E-5 | 1.2483065E-5 | 1.2483065E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8080568E-5 | 5.3497773E-5 | 5.3497773E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.069015E-4 | 6.511439E-4 | 6.8112434E-4 | 1.0460428 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00704657 | 0.006492607 | 0.006522412 | 1.0045906 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.30977305E-5 | 1.19799915E-5 | 1.19799915E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.613192E-5 | 5.1341827E-5 | 5.1341827E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.831918E-4 | 6.249105E-4 | 6.548918E-4 | 1.0479769 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006810953 | 0.0062317615 | 0.0062615746 | 1.0047841 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.225205E-5 | 1.1049589E-5 | 1.1049589E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2507727E-5 | 4.7354537E-5 | 4.7354537E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3909404E-4 | 5.763917E-4 | 6.063744E-4 | 1.0520179 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006372592 | 0.005749161 | 0.0057789884 | 1.0051881 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.1352241E-5 | 1.0064272E-5 | 1.0064272E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8651553E-5 | 4.313189E-5 | 4.313189E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.921717E-4 | 5.250063E-4 | 5.549906E-4 | 1.0571122 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0059059616 | 0.0052377903 | 0.005267633 | 1.0056976 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.0864116E-5 | 9.517728E-6 | 9.517728E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6559664E-5 | 4.078964E-5 | 4.078964E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.667165E-4 | 4.965027E-4 | 5.264878E-4 | 1.0603926 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005652734 | 0.0049540517 | 0.004983903 | 1.0060257 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0666365E-5 | 9.300469E-6 | 9.300469E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.571219E-5 | 3.9858554E-5 | 3.9858554E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.564038E-4 | 4.8517185E-4 | 5.151573E-4 | 1.0618038 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005550127 | 0.004841242 | 0.0048710965 | 1.0061668 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.0038665E-5 | 8.592688E-6 | 8.592688E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.302214E-5 | 3.6825295E-5 | 3.6825295E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.236687E-4 | 4.4825752E-4 | 4.7824407E-4 | 1.0668958 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005224364 | 0.0044736275 | 0.0045034937 | 1.006676 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 9.5379955E-6 | 8.025673E-6 | 8.025673E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0876483E-5 | 3.43953E-5 | 3.43953E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.975576E-4 | 4.18684E-4 | 4.4867146E-4 | 1.0716231 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00496445 | 0.004179035 | 0.0042089093 | 1.0071487 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 9.207389E-6 | 7.652947E-6 | 7.652947E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.945964E-5 | 3.279794E-5 | 3.279794E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.803152E-4 | 3.9924344E-4 | 4.2923147E-4 | 1.0751121 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004792784 | 0.0039853416 | 0.004015222 | 1.0074975 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.638091E-6 | 5.9315425E-6 | 5.9315425E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2734264E-5 | 2.542065E-5 | 2.542065E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.984668E-4 | 3.0945276E-4 | 3.2944657E-4 | 1.0646102 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0039775306 | 0.0030901586 | 0.0031100968 | 1.0064522 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.2500147E-6 | 5.596552E-6 | 5.596552E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1071122E-5 | 2.3985005E-5 | 2.3985005E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7822526E-4 | 2.919786E-4 | 3.1197278E-4 | 1.0684782 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0037758215 | 0.0029158886 | 0.0029358303 | 1.0068389 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.3899715E-6 | 4.9188443E-6 | 4.9188443E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7385306E-5 | 2.1080592E-5 | 2.1080592E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3336508E-4 | 2.5662617E-4 | 2.6662363E-4 | 1.0389572 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033286542 | 0.002563226 | 0.0025732005 | 1.0038913 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.379025E-6 | 4.0841383E-6 | 4.0841383E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.305276E-5 | 1.7503333E-5 | 1.7503333E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.806312E-4 | 2.1308236E-4 | 2.1308236E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028027708 | 0.0021287918 | 0.0021287918 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.1270696E-6 | 3.0885694E-6 | 3.0885694E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.768732E-5 | 1.32366595E-5 | 1.32366595E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1532185E-4 | 1.6114449E-4 | 1.6114449E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021511333 | 0.0016102846 | 0.0016102846 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.5406805E-6 | 1.8283392E-6 | 1.8283392E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0888585E-5 | 7.835716E-6 | 7.835716E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3256045E-4 | 9.5395735E-5 | 9.5395735E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013248142 | 9.53554E-4 | 9.53554E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.8608285E-7 | 3.5100481E-7 | 3.5100481E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0832106E-6 | 1.5043055E-6 | 1.5043055E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5362791E-5 | 1.8314766E-5 | 1.8314766E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5359896E-4 | 1.831327E-4 | 1.831327E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.0472514E-8 | 1.2689942E-8 | 1.2689942E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7739345E-8 | 5.4385467E-8 | 5.4385467E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.068226E-6 | 6.6214284E-7 | 6.6214284E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0682209E-5 | 6.6214097E-6 | 6.6214097E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 4.443582E-9 | 2.0326758E-9 | 2.0326758E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9043922E-8 | 8.711468E-9 | 8.711468E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3185973E-7 | 1.0606212E-7 | 1.0606212E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3185949E-6 | 1.0606208E-6 | 1.0606208E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Death Valley (Fish Lake Valley)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.872328E-5 | 4.7271373E-5 | 4.7271373E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6594635E-4 | 2.0257758E-4 | 2.2257352E-4 | 1.0987076 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0020185246 | 0.0024638502 | 0.0025037515 | 1.0161947 | 4.0E-5 | 0.02000288 | 0.024391154 | 0.024478959 | 1.0035999 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.872328E-5 | 4.7271373E-5 | 4.7271373E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6594635E-4 | 2.0257758E-4 | 2.2257352E-4 | 1.0987076 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0020185246 | 0.0024638502 | 0.0025037515 | 1.0161947 | 4.0E-5 | 0.02000288 | 0.024391154 | 0.024478959 | 1.0035999 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.872328E-5 | 4.7271373E-5 | 4.7271373E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6594635E-4 | 2.0257758E-4 | 2.2257352E-4 | 1.0987076 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0020185246 | 0.0024638502 | 0.0025037515 | 1.0161947 | 4.0E-5 | 0.02000288 | 0.024391154 | 0.024478959 | 1.0035999 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.8356371E-5 | 3.3613145E-5 | 3.3613145E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2152165E-4 | 1.4404883E-4 | 1.6404595E-4 | 1.1388218 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014785219 | 0.0017524528 | 0.0017923827 | 1.0227852 | 4.0E-5 | 0.014687235 | 0.017393526 | 0.01748196 | 1.0050844 | 9.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.8356371E-5 | 3.3613145E-5 | 3.3613145E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2152165E-4 | 1.4404883E-4 | 1.6404595E-4 | 1.1388218 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014785219 | 0.0017524528 | 0.0017923827 | 1.0227852 | 4.0E-5 | 0.014687235 | 0.017393526 | 0.01748196 | 1.0050844 | 9.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.4448687E-5 | 2.8610195E-5 | 2.8610195E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0477588E-4 | 1.2260964E-4 | 1.4260718E-4 | 1.1630993 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012748998 | 0.0014917979 | 0.0015317382 | 1.0267733 | 4.0E-5 | 0.012676105 | 0.014822734 | 0.0149114 | 1.0059818 | 9.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.1298161E-5 | 2.466216E-5 | 2.466216E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.127464E-5 | 1.0569088E-4 | 1.2568876E-4 | 1.1892111 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011107022 | 0.0012860601 | 0.0013260087 | 1.0310627 | 4.0E-5 | 0.011051672 | 0.012789606 | 0.012878455 | 1.0069469 | 9.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.8959729E-5 | 2.1782764E-5 | 2.1782764E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.125345E-5 | 9.3351504E-5 | 1.1334963E-4 | 1.214224 | 2.0E-5 | 9.888117E-4 | 0.0011359876 | 0.0011759421 | 1.0351716 | 4.0E-5 | 0.009844234 | 0.011304467 | 0.011393449 | 1.0078715 | 9.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.6691629E-5 | 1.901977E-5 | 1.901977E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.153359E-5 | 8.151084E-5 | 1.0150921E-4 | 1.2453461 | 2.0E-5 | 8.7057345E-4 | 9.919596E-4 | 0.0010319198 | 1.0402843 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008671708 | 0.009877076 | 0.009966187 | 1.009022 | 9.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.450505E-5 | 1.6390675E-5 | 1.6390675E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.216302E-5 | 7.024391E-5 | 8.0243204E-5 | 1.1423512 | 1.0E-5 | 7.5657194E-4 | 8.5489283E-4 | 8.8486716E-4 | 1.0350621 | 3.0E-5 | 0.007540013 | 0.008516973 | 0.008596292 | 1.009313 | 8.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.2940855E-5 | 1.4538927E-5 | 1.4538927E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.545963E-5 | 6.230823E-5 | 7.230761E-5 | 1.1604824 | 1.0E-5 | 6.750118E-4 | 7.583444E-4 | 7.883217E-4 | 1.0395298 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006729651 | 0.007558184 | 0.0076375795 | 1.0105046 | 8.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.2544658E-5 | 1.4079123E-5 | 1.4079123E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3761712E-5 | 6.0337734E-5 | 7.033713E-5 | 1.1657238 | 1.0E-5 | 6.5435225E-4 | 7.343699E-4 | 7.643479E-4 | 1.0408213 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006524288 | 0.007320025 | 0.0073994393 | 1.0108489 | 8.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.2489416E-5 | 1.4016585E-5 | 1.4016585E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3524967E-5 | 6.0069728E-5 | 7.006913E-5 | 1.1664633 | 1.0E-5 | 6.514716E-4 | 7.311091E-4 | 7.610872E-4 | 1.0410036 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006495651 | 0.0072876317 | 0.0073670484 | 1.0108975 | 8.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.2368307E-5 | 1.38807145E-5 | 1.38807145E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3005948E-5 | 5.948745E-5 | 6.948686E-5 | 1.1680927 | 1.0E-5 | 6.451563E-4 | 7.2402466E-4 | 7.5400295E-4 | 1.0414051 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0064328653 | 0.0072172494 | 0.0072966716 | 1.0110046 | 8.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.2161707E-5 | 1.3648755E-5 | 1.3648755E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.212056E-5 | 5.8493384E-5 | 6.84928E-5 | 1.1709495 | 1.0E-5 | 6.3438306E-4 | 7.1192987E-4 | 7.419085E-4 | 1.042109 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006325751 | 0.0070970803 | 0.0071765124 | 1.0111922 | 8.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.1707948E-5 | 1.3146373E-5 | 1.3146373E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0175953E-5 | 5.6340414E-5 | 6.633985E-5 | 1.1774825 | 1.0E-5 | 6.10721E-4 | 6.857342E-4 | 7.057205E-4 | 1.0291458 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0060904534 | 0.006836766 | 0.0069062873 | 1.0101688 | 7.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.0319538E-5 | 1.1580373E-5 | 1.1580373E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4225842E-5 | 4.9629256E-5 | 5.962876E-5 | 1.2014841 | 1.0E-5 | 5.383166E-4 | 6.0407387E-4 | 6.240618E-4 | 1.0330886 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0053701443 | 0.00602485 | 0.0060944282 | 1.0115485 | 7.0E-5 |
7.7 | 8.937764E-6 | 1.0023426E-5 | 1.0023426E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.830414E-5 | 4.295686E-5 | 5.295643E-5 | 1.2327816 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6625308E-4 | 5.228793E-4 | 5.4286886E-4 | 1.0382297 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0046527605 | 0.005217 | 0.005276687 | 1.0114409 | 6.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.108007E-7 | 3.2847535E-7 | 3.2847535E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3320023E-6 | 1.4077508E-6 | 1.4077508E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6217007E-5 | 1.7139235E-5 | 1.7139235E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6215823E-4 | 1.713795E-4 | 1.8137779E-4 | 1.0583401 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6697329E-9 | 2.6697329E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.14417125E-8 | 1.14417125E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3930286E-7 | 1.3930286E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3930285E-6 | 1.3930285E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cleghorn Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5467183E-5 | 1.6794971E-5 | 1.6794971E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6286244E-5 | 7.197677E-5 | 7.197677E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.067362E-4 | 8.760197E-4 | 9.259759E-4 | 1.0570264 | 5.0E-5 | 0.008038137 | 0.008731093 | 0.008820307 | 1.010218 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.5467183E-5 | 1.6794971E-5 | 1.6794971E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6286244E-5 | 7.197677E-5 | 7.197677E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.067362E-4 | 8.760197E-4 | 9.259759E-4 | 1.0570264 | 5.0E-5 | 0.008038137 | 0.008731093 | 0.008820307 | 1.010218 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.2624631E-5 | 1.36821545E-5 | 1.36821545E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.410444E-5 | 5.863676E-5 | 5.863676E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.585225E-4 | 7.137174E-4 | 7.636817E-4 | 1.0700058 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0065657445 | 0.0071190484 | 0.0072084074 | 1.0125521 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.2624631E-5 | 1.36821545E-5 | 1.36821545E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.410444E-5 | 5.863676E-5 | 5.863676E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.585225E-4 | 7.137174E-4 | 7.636817E-4 | 1.0700058 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0065657445 | 0.0071190484 | 0.0072084074 | 1.0125521 | 9.0E-5 |
6.4 | 9.417684E-6 | 1.0170551E-5 | 1.0170551E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.036088E-5 | 4.3587577E-5 | 4.3587577E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.912829E-4 | 5.3059065E-4 | 5.5058004E-4 | 1.0376738 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004901982 | 0.0052972743 | 0.0053370623 | 1.007511 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.368219E-6 | 1.0117976E-5 | 1.0117976E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.014889E-5 | 4.3362263E-5 | 4.3362263E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8870314E-4 | 5.278488E-4 | 5.478382E-4 | 1.0378697 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004876298 | 0.0052699856 | 0.005309775 | 1.0075501 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.803798E-6 | 8.442198E-6 | 8.442198E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3444423E-5 | 3.6180576E-5 | 3.6180576E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0710976E-4 | 4.404494E-4 | 4.6044058E-4 | 1.0453882 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0040636472 | 0.004399682 | 0.0044395057 | 1.0090516 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.3108669E-6 | 2.4439082E-6 | 2.4439082E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.903678E-6 | 1.0473852E-5 | 1.0473852E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.205706E-4 | 1.2751187E-4 | 1.375106E-4 | 1.0784141 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001205052 | 0.0012744057 | 0.001284393 | 1.0078368 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.0882828E-6 | 2.2063484E-6 | 2.2063484E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.949753E-6 | 9.455745E-6 | 9.455745E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.08957785E-4 | 1.15117786E-4 | 1.2511664E-4 | 1.0868576 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010890438 | 0.0011505984 | 0.001160587 | 1.0086812 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.876935E-6 | 1.9811093E-6 | 1.9811093E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.043982E-6 | 8.490441E-6 | 8.490441E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.7931086E-5 | 1.0336639E-4 | 1.1336535E-4 | 1.0967332 | 1.0E-5 | 9.788794E-4 | 0.001033199 | 0.0010431887 | 1.0096687 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.5357559E-6 | 1.620328E-6 | 1.620328E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5817944E-6 | 6.9442453E-6 | 6.9442453E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.01304E-5 | 8.454303E-5 | 9.4542185E-5 | 1.1182729 | 1.0E-5 | 8.010151E-4 | 8.4512116E-4 | 8.551127E-4 | 1.0118226 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0905424E-6 | 1.1497951E-6 | 1.1497951E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6737446E-6 | 4.9276846E-6 | 4.9276846E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6901354E-5 | 5.9993006E-5 | 5.9993006E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6886784E-4 | 5.997779E-4 | 5.997779E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.06668E-7 | 6.387457E-7 | 6.387457E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.600003E-6 | 2.737479E-6 | 2.737479E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1654577E-5 | 3.3328364E-5 | 3.3328364E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1650066E-4 | 3.3324052E-4 | 3.3324052E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.986481E-4 | 0.0012281181 | 0.0012281181 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025631124 | 0.0052478816 | 0.005257829 | 1.0018955 | 1.0E-5 | 0.030762846 | 0.061232176 | 0.06126034 | 1.0004599 | 3.0E-5 | 0.26835477 | 0.42607728 | 0.42612892 | 1.0001212 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.015945E-4 | 0.0010222462 | 0.0010222462 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00214792 | 0.004369848 | 0.0043798042 | 1.0022784 | 1.0E-5 | 0.025839351 | 0.051271588 | 0.05130005 | 1.0005552 | 3.0E-5 | 0.23032776 | 0.3729949 | 0.37304506 | 1.0001345 | 8.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.073338E-4 | 8.1118365E-4 | 8.1118365E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017445484 | 0.0034691135 | 0.0034790789 | 1.0028726 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021034058 | 0.040956367 | 0.04098514 | 1.0007025 | 3.0E-5 | 0.19150782 | 0.3131846 | 0.31323954 | 1.0001755 | 8.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.464099E-4 | 6.743695E-4 | 6.743695E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014837692 | 0.0028849328 | 0.002894904 | 1.0034562 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017915873 | 0.03421296 | 0.034232277 | 1.0005646 | 2.0E-5 | 0.16538359 | 0.27147684 | 0.27152783 | 1.0001879 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.935057E-4 | 5.5487157E-4 | 5.5487157E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012572751 | 0.0023745096 | 0.002384486 | 1.0042014 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015200248 | 0.028288092 | 0.028307525 | 1.000687 | 2.0E-5 | 0.14201577 | 0.23315436 | 0.23320803 | 1.0002302 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.3409708E-4 | 4.2138255E-4 | 4.2138255E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010028875 | 0.0018039518 | 0.0018139337 | 1.0055333 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012141965 | 0.02161123 | 0.0216308 | 1.0009054 | 2.0E-5 | 0.11499573 | 0.18700314 | 0.18706004 | 1.0003043 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.5842178E-4 | 2.511574E-4 | 2.511574E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7877385E-4 | 0.0010759344 | 0.0010859236 | 1.0092843 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0082328 | 0.013019429 | 0.013039168 | 1.0015162 | 2.0E-5 | 0.07934396 | 0.12333928 | 0.12340065 | 1.0004976 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.5616413E-4 | 2.46522E-4 | 2.46522E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.691031E-4 | 0.0010560873 | 0.0010660767 | 1.0094589 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0081159435 | 0.0127812615 | 0.012801006 | 1.0015448 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0782586 | 0.12136643 | 0.12142793 | 1.0005068 | 7.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.5538467E-4 | 2.4475955E-4 | 2.4475955E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6576427E-4 | 0.0010485414 | 0.0010585309 | 1.0095271 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008075596 | 0.01269062 | 0.0127103655 | 1.0015559 | 2.0E-5 | 0.07788358 | 0.120597176 | 0.12065874 | 1.0005105 | 7.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.5153569E-4 | 2.3584829E-4 | 2.3584829E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.49277E-4 | 0.0010103888 | 0.0010203788 | 1.0098872 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007876333 | 0.012232622 | 0.012252377 | 1.0016149 | 2.0E-5 | 0.07602952 | 0.116666704 | 0.11672854 | 1.00053 | 7.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.4588932E-4 | 2.2441633E-4 | 2.2441633E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.250901E-4 | 9.6143177E-4 | 9.714222E-4 | 1.0103911 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0075839474 | 0.011643107 | 0.011662873 | 1.0016978 | 2.0E-5 | 0.073302895 | 0.1115123 | 0.11157449 | 1.0005578 | 7.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.1565079E-4 | 1.631913E-4 | 1.631913E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.955521E-4 | 6.992047E-4 | 7.091977E-4 | 1.014292 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006016669 | 0.008479793 | 0.008499622 | 1.0023385 | 2.0E-5 | 0.058563538 | 0.08384011 | 0.08390424 | 1.000765 | 7.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.0393792E-4 | 1.4650873E-4 | 1.4650873E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4537216E-4 | 6.277442E-4 | 6.377379E-4 | 1.01592 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005408933 | 0.007616173 | 0.007636021 | 1.002606 | 2.0E-5 | 0.052791595 | 0.07578092 | 0.075845614 | 1.0008537 | 7.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.332884E-5 | 1.2811464E-4 | 1.2811464E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.999194E-4 | 5.4894784E-4 | 5.589423E-4 | 1.0182067 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0048581534 | 0.006663094 | 0.006682961 | 1.0029817 | 2.0E-5 | 0.047533102 | 0.06662787 | 0.0666932 | 1.0009806 | 7.0E-5 |
7.4 | 8.670252E-5 | 1.1729612E-4 | 1.1729612E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.715293E-4 | 5.026014E-4 | 5.1259634E-4 | 1.0198865 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004513991 | 0.006102124 | 0.0061220024 | 1.0032575 | 2.0E-5 | 0.044233937 | 0.061277855 | 0.061334178 | 1.0009191 | 6.0E-5 |
7.5 | 7.3036405E-5 | 9.0276684E-5 | 9.0276684E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.129756E-4 | 3.868428E-4 | 3.9683894E-4 | 1.0258403 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0038038217 | 0.0046996614 | 0.0047195675 | 1.0042356 | 2.0E-5 | 0.03739367 | 0.047983047 | 0.048040166 | 1.0011904 | 6.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.3935775E-5 | 8.298909E-5 | 8.298909E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7398168E-4 | 3.5561912E-4 | 3.656156E-4 | 1.02811 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033306254 | 0.004321086 | 0.0043409998 | 1.0046085 | 2.0E-5 | 0.032811474 | 0.044081833 | 0.044139188 | 1.001301 | 6.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.5050095E-5 | 6.678156E-5 | 6.678156E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3590765E-4 | 2.8617532E-4 | 2.9617245E-4 | 1.0349336 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028683927 | 0.0034786223 | 0.0034985526 | 1.0057294 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0283165 | 0.035876084 | 0.03592429 | 1.0013437 | 5.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.027131E-5 | 6.177745E-5 | 6.177745E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1543067E-4 | 2.6473365E-4 | 2.7473102E-4 | 1.0377638 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0026197135 | 0.003218372 | 0.0032383075 | 1.0061944 | 2.0E-5 | 0.025890453 | 0.033199526 | 0.033247866 | 1.001456 | 5.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.7271806E-5 | 5.0343926E-5 | 5.0343926E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5972654E-4 | 2.1574185E-4 | 2.1574185E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019429359 | 0.0026234952 | 0.002633469 | 1.0038017 | 1.0E-5 | 0.019260362 | 0.027125923 | 0.027164837 | 1.0014346 | 4.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.7310243E-5 | 3.1506035E-5 | 3.1506035E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.17038646E-4 | 1.3501888E-4 | 1.3501888E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014240141 | 0.0016426162 | 0.0016525998 | 1.0060779 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014149235 | 0.01725378 | 0.017283263 | 1.0017087 | 3.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.7940547E-5 | 1.7449367E-5 | 1.7449367E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.688579E-5 | 7.478086E-5 | 7.478086E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3568244E-4 | 9.1007724E-4 | 9.1007724E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009317525 | 0.009824635 | 0.009834537 | 1.0010078 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.494016E-6 | 5.494016E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3545572E-5 | 2.3545572E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.866297E-4 | 2.866297E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0032592218 | 0.003269189 | 1.0030582 | 1.0E-5 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.690063E-7 | 7.690063E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.295737E-6 | 3.295737E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.012488E-5 | 4.012488E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.737206E-4 | 4.8371585E-4 | 1.0210994 | 1.0E-5 |
San Jacinto (San Bernardino)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.604894E-5 | 3.604894E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.5448632E-4 | 1.7448323E-4 | 1.1294413 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017774 | 0.0018792498 | 0.0019291559 | 1.0265564 | 5.0E-5 | 0.01763251 | 0.019381514 | 0.01946977 | 1.0045536 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.604894E-5 | 3.604894E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.5448632E-4 | 1.7448323E-4 | 1.1294413 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017774 | 0.0018792498 | 0.0019291559 | 1.0265564 | 5.0E-5 | 0.01763251 | 0.019381514 | 0.01946977 | 1.0045536 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.604894E-5 | 3.604894E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.5448632E-4 | 1.7448323E-4 | 1.1294413 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017774 | 0.0018792498 | 0.0019291559 | 1.0265564 | 5.0E-5 | 0.01763251 | 0.019381514 | 0.01946977 | 1.0045536 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.604894E-5 | 3.604894E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.5448632E-4 | 1.7448323E-4 | 1.1294413 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017774 | 0.0018792498 | 0.0019291559 | 1.0265564 | 5.0E-5 | 0.01763251 | 0.019381514 | 0.01946977 | 1.0045536 | 9.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.400795E-5 | 3.594159E-5 | 3.594159E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4574021E-4 | 1.540263E-4 | 1.7402323E-4 | 1.129828 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017729428 | 0.0018736589 | 0.0019235652 | 1.0266358 | 5.0E-5 | 0.017588645 | 0.01932659 | 0.01941485 | 1.0045668 | 9.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.341482E-5 | 3.5202123E-5 | 3.5202123E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4319851E-4 | 1.5085752E-4 | 1.708545E-4 | 1.1325554 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017420477 | 0.0018351445 | 0.0018850527 | 1.0271958 | 5.0E-5 | 0.017284546 | 0.018948095 | 0.019036388 | 1.0046598 | 9.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.3364955E-5 | 3.5139332E-5 | 3.5139332E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4298483E-4 | 1.5058846E-4 | 1.7058544E-4 | 1.1327924 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017394501 | 0.001831874 | 0.0018817824 | 1.0272444 | 5.0E-5 | 0.017258976 | 0.018915955 | 0.019004254 | 1.0046679 | 9.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.335922E-5 | 3.5129106E-5 | 3.5129106E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4296026E-4 | 1.5054463E-4 | 1.7054162E-4 | 1.132831 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017391514 | 0.0018313414 | 0.0018812498 | 1.0272524 | 5.0E-5 | 0.017256035 | 0.018910747 | 0.018999046 | 1.0046692 | 9.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.327683E-5 | 3.5023157E-5 | 3.5023157E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4260718E-4 | 1.5009061E-4 | 1.700876E-4 | 1.1332328 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017348597 | 0.001825823 | 0.0018757317 | 1.0273349 | 5.0E-5 | 0.017213784 | 0.018856514 | 0.018944817 | 1.0046829 | 9.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.3235785E-5 | 3.49641E-5 | 3.49641E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4243131E-4 | 1.4983755E-4 | 1.6983454E-4 | 1.1334579 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017327217 | 0.001822747 | 0.0018726559 | 1.0273812 | 5.0E-5 | 0.017192734 | 0.01882638 | 0.018914685 | 1.0046905 | 9.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.3197095E-5 | 3.4904017E-5 | 3.4904017E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.422655E-4 | 1.4958008E-4 | 1.6957709E-4 | 1.1336876 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017307063 | 0.0018196177 | 0.0018695267 | 1.0274283 | 5.0E-5 | 0.017172894 | 0.018795753 | 0.01888406 | 1.0046983 | 9.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.3129716E-5 | 3.4784203E-5 | 3.4784203E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4197677E-4 | 1.4906665E-4 | 1.6906366E-4 | 1.1341481 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017271966 | 0.001813377 | 0.0018632864 | 1.0275229 | 5.0E-5 | 0.017138338 | 0.01873482 | 0.018823136 | 1.0047139 | 9.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.3034008E-5 | 3.4651628E-5 | 3.4651628E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4156665E-4 | 1.4849853E-4 | 1.6849556E-4 | 1.1346614 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017222111 | 0.0018064718 | 0.0018563814 | 1.0276283 | 5.0E-5 | 0.017089253 | 0.018667199 | 0.01875552 | 1.0047313 | 9.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.2956614E-5 | 3.4519344E-5 | 3.4519344E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4123498E-4 | 1.4793167E-4 | 1.6792871E-4 | 1.1351776 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017181796 | 0.0017995817 | 0.0018494916 | 1.0277343 | 5.0E-5 | 0.017049557 | 0.018599935 | 0.018688262 | 1.0047487 | 9.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.2915937E-5 | 3.4441007E-5 | 3.4441007E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4106068E-4 | 1.4759599E-4 | 1.6759303E-4 | 1.135485 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017160608 | 0.0017955014 | 0.0018454116 | 1.0277973 | 5.0E-5 | 0.017028693 | 0.01856018 | 0.01864851 | 1.0047591 | 9.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.281791E-5 | 3.4305875E-5 | 3.4305875E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.406406E-4 | 1.4701691E-4 | 1.6701396E-4 | 1.1360188 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017109542 | 0.0017884627 | 0.0018383734 | 1.027907 | 5.0E-5 | 0.016978411 | 0.018491047 | 0.018579382 | 1.0047772 | 9.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.2521442E-5 | 3.403071E-5 | 3.403071E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3937015E-4 | 1.4583775E-4 | 1.6583483E-4 | 1.1371187 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0016955109 | 0.00177413 | 0.0018240414 | 1.0281328 | 5.0E-5 | 0.016826328 | 0.018348608 | 0.018436957 | 1.004815 | 9.0E-5 |
7.7 | 3.0287873E-5 | 3.2514057E-5 | 3.2514057E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.297987E-4 | 1.3933852E-4 | 1.5933573E-4 | 1.1435153 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015791537 | 0.0016951276 | 0.0017450429 | 1.0294464 | 5.0E-5 | 0.01567979 | 0.017559286 | 0.017647706 | 1.0050355 | 9.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.6316151E-5 | 2.9722758E-5 | 2.9722758E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1277862E-4 | 1.2737703E-4 | 1.4737449E-4 | 1.1569942 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0013722149 | 0.0015497132 | 0.0015996357 | 1.032214 | 5.0E-5 | 0.013637724 | 0.016099673 | 0.016188223 | 1.0055002 | 9.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.0761147E-5 | 2.346946E-5 | 2.346946E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.897331E-5 | 1.0057953E-4 | 1.2057752E-4 | 1.1988276 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010827117 | 0.0012238687 | 0.0012738075 | 1.040804 | 5.0E-5 | 0.010774517 | 0.012819743 | 0.012908589 | 1.0069305 | 9.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.5738568E-5 | 1.6071699E-5 | 1.6071699E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.744926E-5 | 6.887689E-5 | 7.8876204E-5 | 1.1451765 | 1.0E-5 | 8.2088535E-4 | 8.3825423E-4 | 8.782207E-4 | 1.0476782 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008178596 | 0.008886066 | 0.008935622 | 1.0055767 | 5.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.0105832E-5 | 8.352162E-6 | 8.352162E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3309992E-5 | 3.5794492E-5 | 4.5794135E-5 | 1.2793626 | 1.0E-5 | 5.2717153E-4 | 4.357113E-4 | 4.557026E-4 | 1.045882 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005259227 | 0.004688983 | 0.004708889 | 1.0042453 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 4.189207E-6 | 1.5843941E-6 | 1.5843941E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7953622E-5 | 6.790243E-6 | 6.790243E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1856341E-4 | 8.26681E-5 | 8.26681E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021834858 | 9.600267E-4 | 9.600267E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2758221E-6 | 3.6306494E-7 | 3.6306494E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4677976E-6 | 1.5559917E-6 | 1.5559917E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.65684E-5 | 1.8944038E-5 | 1.8944038E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6548464E-4 | 2.2845245E-4 | 2.2845245E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Mission Creek
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6332237E-5 | 1.6332237E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9496433E-5 | 6.9993504E-5 | 7.99928E-5 | 1.1428604 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.5185276E-4 | 8.718357E-4 | 1.0234582 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.0085145235 | 0.008603757 | 1.0104802 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6332237E-5 | 1.6332237E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9496433E-5 | 6.9993504E-5 | 7.99928E-5 | 1.1428604 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.5185276E-4 | 8.718357E-4 | 1.0234582 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.0085145235 | 0.008603757 | 1.0104802 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6332237E-5 | 1.6332237E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9496433E-5 | 6.9993504E-5 | 7.99928E-5 | 1.1428604 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.5185276E-4 | 8.718357E-4 | 1.0234582 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.0085145235 | 0.008603757 | 1.0104802 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6332237E-5 | 1.6332237E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9496433E-5 | 6.9993504E-5 | 7.99928E-5 | 1.1428604 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.5185276E-4 | 8.718357E-4 | 1.0234582 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.0085145235 | 0.008603757 | 1.0104802 | 9.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6332237E-5 | 1.6332237E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9496433E-5 | 6.9993504E-5 | 7.99928E-5 | 1.1428604 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.5185276E-4 | 8.718357E-4 | 1.0234582 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.0085145235 | 0.008603757 | 1.0104802 | 9.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6332237E-5 | 1.6332237E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9496433E-5 | 6.9993504E-5 | 7.99928E-5 | 1.1428604 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.5185276E-4 | 8.718357E-4 | 1.0234582 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.0085145235 | 0.008603757 | 1.0104802 | 9.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.202681E-6 | 1.385544E-5 | 1.385544E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9439463E-5 | 5.9379156E-5 | 6.937856E-5 | 1.1683992 | 1.0E-5 | 4.800697E-4 | 7.2271045E-4 | 7.42696E-4 | 1.0276536 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004790339 | 0.0072316756 | 0.007311097 | 1.0109824 | 8.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.019164E-6 | 1.3661103E-5 | 1.3661103E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8652986E-5 | 5.854632E-5 | 6.8545734E-5 | 1.170795 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7049852E-4 | 7.1257737E-4 | 7.325631E-4 | 1.0280471 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004695036 | 0.0071309973 | 0.0072104265 | 1.0111387 | 8.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.673558E-6 | 1.3283194E-5 | 1.3283194E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.717186E-5 | 5.692678E-5 | 6.692621E-5 | 1.1756543 | 1.0E-5 | 4.524734E-4 | 6.92872E-4 | 7.1285816E-4 | 1.0288453 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0045155324 | 0.006935176 | 0.0070046904 | 1.0100235 | 7.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.002255E-6 | 1.1487351E-5 | 1.1487351E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.000932E-5 | 4.9230614E-5 | 5.9230122E-5 | 1.2031156 | 1.0E-5 | 3.653022E-4 | 5.9922476E-4 | 6.1921275E-4 | 1.0333564 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0036470229 | 0.0060039656 | 0.0060735457 | 1.0115889 | 7.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.84644E-6 | 9.68415E-6 | 9.68415E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5055931E-5 | 4.150287E-5 | 5.1502455E-5 | 1.2409372 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0501327E-4 | 5.051848E-4 | 5.251747E-4 | 1.0395695 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0030459496 | 0.005068033 | 0.0051376782 | 1.0137421 | 7.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.54703E-6 | 9.338593E-6 | 9.338593E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.377277E-5 | 4.0021954E-5 | 5.0021554E-5 | 1.2498529 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8939504E-4 | 4.8716282E-4 | 5.0715305E-4 | 1.041034 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0028901845 | 0.0048886104 | 0.0049582683 | 1.014249 | 7.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.384709E-6 | 7.690283E-6 | 7.690283E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8791474E-5 | 3.295796E-5 | 4.2957632E-5 | 1.3034068 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2876218E-4 | 4.0119293E-4 | 4.2118493E-4 | 1.0498313 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0022852682 | 0.0040323576 | 0.0041020755 | 1.0172895 | 7.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.7888456E-6 | 6.9239895E-6 | 6.9239895E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.623781E-5 | 2.9673924E-5 | 3.9673625E-5 | 1.3369862 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9767738E-4 | 3.6122347E-4 | 3.8121626E-4 | 1.0553474 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0019750162 | 0.0036340314 | 0.0036938132 | 1.0164506 | 6.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.1982462E-6 | 5.032061E-6 | 5.032061E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.421021E-6 | 2.1565798E-5 | 3.156558E-5 | 1.4636872 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1469489E-4 | 2.6253215E-4 | 2.825269E-4 | 1.0761611 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011463572 | 0.00264967 | 0.002709511 | 1.0225843 | 6.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.051923E-6 | 4.623061E-6 | 4.623061E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.793926E-6 | 1.9812971E-5 | 2.9812772E-5 | 1.5047098 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0706078E-4 | 2.4119635E-4 | 2.6119154E-4 | 1.0829 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010700922 | 0.0024373732 | 0.002497227 | 1.0245566 | 6.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.8733427E-6 | 4.131132E-6 | 4.131132E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.028587E-6 | 1.7704731E-5 | 2.7704553E-5 | 1.5648108 | 1.0E-5 | 9.774366E-5 | 2.1553386E-4 | 2.3552954E-4 | 1.0927728 | 2.0E-5 | 9.770069E-4 | 0.0021818897 | 0.0022417586 | 1.0274391 | 6.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.8411953E-6 | 4.0507525E-6 | 4.0507525E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.890813E-6 | 1.7360253E-5 | 2.736008E-5 | 1.5760185 | 1.0E-5 | 9.606641E-5 | 2.1134067E-4 | 2.3133644E-4 | 1.0946139 | 2.0E-5 | 9.6024893E-4 | 0.0021401562 | 0.002200028 | 1.0279753 | 6.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.7194251E-6 | 3.7175898E-6 | 3.7175898E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.368944E-6 | 1.5932432E-5 | 2.5932271E-5 | 1.6276406 | 1.0E-5 | 8.97132E-5 | 1.9396016E-4 | 2.1395629E-4 | 1.103094 | 2.0E-5 | 8.967699E-4 | 0.0019658697 | 0.0020257516 | 1.0304608 | 6.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.4035052E-6 | 2.9559305E-6 | 2.9559305E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0150082E-6 | 1.2668213E-5 | 2.2668086E-5 | 1.7893673 | 1.0E-5 | 7.3230265E-5 | 1.5422463E-4 | 1.7422154E-4 | 1.129661 | 2.0E-5 | 7.3206134E-4 | 0.001565874 | 0.00162578 | 1.0382572 | 6.0E-5 |
8.0 | 3.9318823E-7 | 5.5421293E-7 | 5.5421293E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6850913E-6 | 2.3751961E-6 | 1.2375172E-5 | 5.210169 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0515794E-5 | 2.8917633E-5 | 3.8917344E-5 | 1.3457998 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0513899E-4 | 2.9980825E-4 | 3.1980226E-4 | 1.0666893 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.596793E-7 | 1.1425073E-7 | 1.1425073E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8433974E-7 | 4.896459E-7 | 4.896459E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.331805E-6 | 5.961423E-6 | 5.961423E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.331492E-5 | 6.574893E-5 | 6.574893E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 4.9003038E-8 | 2.5556407E-8 | 2.5556407E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.10013E-7 | 1.09527456E-7 | 1.09527456E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5569052E-6 | 1.333496E-6 | 1.333496E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.556876E-5 | 1.5019927E-5 | 1.5019927E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Owens Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.83821E-5 | 3.6305946E-6 | 3.6305946E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0733538E-4 | 1.5559604E-5 | 2.5559448E-5 | 1.6426798 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002521386 | 1.8942272E-4 | 2.2941513E-4 | 1.2111279 | 4.0E-5 | 0.024929691 | 0.0019204353 | 0.0020002818 | 1.0415772 | 8.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.83821E-5 | 3.6305946E-6 | 3.6305946E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0733538E-4 | 1.5559604E-5 | 2.5559448E-5 | 1.6426798 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002521386 | 1.8942272E-4 | 2.2941513E-4 | 1.2111279 | 4.0E-5 | 0.024929691 | 0.0019204353 | 0.0020002818 | 1.0415772 | 8.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.83821E-5 | 3.6305946E-6 | 3.6305946E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0733538E-4 | 1.5559604E-5 | 2.5559448E-5 | 1.6426798 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002521386 | 1.8942272E-4 | 2.2941513E-4 | 1.2111279 | 4.0E-5 | 0.024929691 | 0.0019204353 | 0.0020002818 | 1.0415772 | 8.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.953008E-5 | 3.1569743E-6 | 3.1569743E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6940363E-4 | 1.3529823E-5 | 2.3529688E-5 | 1.739098 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002060538 | 1.6471389E-4 | 2.0470729E-4 | 1.2428054 | 4.0E-5 | 0.020415364 | 0.0016592429 | 0.0017391102 | 1.0481348 | 8.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.953008E-5 | 3.1569743E-6 | 3.1569743E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6940363E-4 | 1.3529823E-5 | 2.3529688E-5 | 1.739098 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002060538 | 1.6471389E-4 | 2.0470729E-4 | 1.2428054 | 4.0E-5 | 0.020415364 | 0.0016592429 | 0.0017391102 | 1.0481348 | 8.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.457342E-5 | 2.9722537E-6 | 2.9722537E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4816338E-4 | 1.2738172E-5 | 2.2738044E-5 | 1.785032 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018023965 | 1.5507691E-4 | 1.950707E-4 | 1.2578965 | 4.0E-5 | 0.017878477 | 0.0015558794 | 0.0016357548 | 1.0513378 | 8.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.1127765E-5 | 2.8751224E-6 | 2.8751224E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3339789E-4 | 1.2321899E-5 | 2.2321776E-5 | 1.8115532 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016229092 | 1.5000948E-4 | 1.9000348E-4 | 1.2666098 | 4.0E-5 | 0.016111081 | 0.0015009856 | 0.0015808656 | 1.0532184 | 8.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.806885E-5 | 2.8107588E-6 | 2.8107588E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2028952E-4 | 1.2046057E-5 | 2.2045937E-5 | 1.8301371 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001463541 | 1.4665157E-4 | 1.866457E-4 | 1.2727153 | 4.0E-5 | 0.014539397 | 0.0014659754 | 0.0015458581 | 1.0544912 | 8.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.524524E-5 | 2.2356737E-6 | 2.2356737E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0818939E-4 | 9.581425E-6 | 1.958133E-5 | 2.0436761 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013164099 | 1.1664791E-4 | 1.5664325E-4 | 1.3428723 | 4.0E-5 | 0.01308639 | 0.0011661606 | 0.0012460672 | 1.0685211 | 8.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.2704568E-5 | 1.6083629E-6 | 1.6083629E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.730166E-5 | 6.8929658E-6 | 1.6892896E-5 | 2.4507444 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011840039 | 8.391865E-5 | 1.2391529E-4 | 1.4766121 | 4.0E-5 | 0.011777153 | 8.3909626E-4 | 9.190291E-4 | 1.0952606 | 8.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.0871712E-5 | 1.539734E-6 | 1.539734E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.944713E-5 | 6.5988434E-6 | 1.6598777E-5 | 2.515407 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010884746 | 8.033797E-5 | 1.2033476E-4 | 1.4978566 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010831586 | 8.0327404E-4 | 8.8320975E-4 | 1.0995125 | 8.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.944928E-5 | 1.386575E-6 | 1.386575E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.335139E-5 | 5.942451E-6 | 1.594239E-5 | 2.6827972 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010143308 | 7.234695E-5 | 1.1234405E-4 | 1.5528513 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010097133 | 7.2340504E-4 | 8.0334715E-4 | 1.1105081 | 8.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.7876306E-5 | 1.24905E-6 | 1.24905E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6610486E-5 | 5.3530603E-6 | 1.5353007E-5 | 2.8680804 | 1.0E-5 | 9.3233347E-4 | 6.517157E-5 | 1.0516896E-4 | 1.6137246 | 4.0E-5 | 0.009284316 | 6.5168424E-4 | 7.316321E-4 | 1.1226789 | 8.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.2618672E-5 | 1.1116437E-6 | 1.1116437E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.40789E-5 | 4.7641784E-6 | 1.476413E-5 | 3.0989878 | 1.0E-5 | 6.582117E-4 | 5.8002333E-5 | 9.800001E-5 | 1.6895875 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0065626553 | 5.8002654E-4 | 6.5998017E-4 | 1.1378447 | 8.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.4874442E-6 | 8.5496856E-7 | 8.5496856E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.208865E-5 | 3.6641459E-6 | 1.3664109E-5 | 3.729139 | 1.0E-5 | 3.906093E-4 | 4.4610068E-5 | 8.4608284E-5 | 1.8966186 | 4.0E-5 | 0.003899234 | 4.4612345E-4 | 5.2608777E-4 | 1.1792426 | 8.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.4734156E-6 | 6.0694214E-7 | 6.0694214E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.060031E-5 | 2.601178E-6 | 1.2601152E-5 | 4.844402 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2905113E-4 | 3.1668886E-5 | 7.1667615E-5 | 2.2630293 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0012897621 | 3.1664406E-4 | 3.966187E-4 | 1.2525697 | 8.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.1328841E-6 | 3.196907E-7 | 3.196907E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8552088E-6 | 1.3701024E-6 | 1.3701024E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9110564E-5 | 1.668087E-5 | 2.6680704E-5 | 1.5994791 | 1.0E-5 | 5.9094845E-4 | 1.6679637E-4 | 2.1678803E-4 | 1.2997167 | 5.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.8613185E-7 | 8.9654996E-8 | 8.9654996E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0834207E-6 | 3.8423565E-7 | 3.8423565E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.536535E-5 | 4.6780597E-6 | 4.6780597E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5362454E-4 | 4.677968E-5 | 4.677968E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cleghorn Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.0522846E-5 | 1.104093E-5 | 1.104093E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.509713E-5 | 4.731771E-5 | 4.731771E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4891926E-4 | 5.759935E-4 | 6.1597046E-4 | 1.0694052 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0054756533 | 0.005750172 | 0.005819769 | 1.0121036 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.0522846E-5 | 1.104093E-5 | 1.104093E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.509713E-5 | 4.731771E-5 | 4.731771E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4891926E-4 | 5.759935E-4 | 6.1597046E-4 | 1.0694052 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0054756533 | 0.005750172 | 0.005819769 | 1.0121036 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1045846E-6 | 2.2082602E-6 | 2.2082602E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.019617E-6 | 9.463961E-6 | 9.463961E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.098083E-4 | 1.1522183E-4 | 1.1522183E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010975406 | 0.0011520323 | 0.0011520323 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 2.1045846E-6 | 2.2082602E-6 | 2.2082602E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.019617E-6 | 9.463961E-6 | 9.463961E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.098083E-4 | 1.1522183E-4 | 1.1522183E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010975406 | 0.0011520323 | 0.0011520323 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.7259927E-6 | 1.8109243E-6 | 1.8109243E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3970905E-6 | 7.761104E-6 | 7.761104E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.005586E-5 | 9.449144E-5 | 9.449144E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.001937E-4 | 9.4491447E-4 | 9.4491447E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Rosa Island
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.1143165E-5 | 4.709476E-5 | 4.709476E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7631594E-4 | 2.0182018E-4 | 2.0182018E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002144533 | 0.0024545882 | 0.002474539 | 1.008128 | 2.0E-5 | 0.021239553 | 0.024295408 | 0.024363708 | 1.0028112 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1061249E-5 | 2.3866654E-5 | 2.3866654E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0259375E-5 | 1.0228182E-4 | 1.0228182E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010983539 | 0.0012445987 | 0.0012445987 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01092941 | 0.012379324 | 0.0123990765 | 1.0015956 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1061249E-5 | 2.3866654E-5 | 2.3866654E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0259375E-5 | 1.0228182E-4 | 1.0228182E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010983539 | 0.0012445987 | 0.0012445987 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01092941 | 0.012379324 | 0.0123990765 | 1.0015956 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.5158236E-5 | 1.707557E-5 | 1.707557E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.496225E-5 | 7.317903E-5 | 7.317903E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.906284E-4 | 8.9060253E-4 | 8.9060253E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007878214 | 0.008871586 | 0.008891408 | 1.0022343 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2341918E-5 | 1.3853823E-5 | 1.3853823E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2892858E-5 | 5.9372218E-5 | 5.9372218E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.437803E-4 | 7.226252E-4 | 7.226252E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006419184 | 0.007203591 | 0.007223447 | 1.0027564 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.061158E-6 | 1.0117662E-5 | 1.0117662E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.883296E-5 | 4.3360717E-5 | 4.3360717E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.726887E-4 | 5.277942E-4 | 5.277942E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004716845 | 0.005265945 | 0.005275892 | 1.001889 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.5461685E-6 | 8.401244E-6 | 8.401244E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2340322E-5 | 3.6004854E-5 | 3.6004854E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.936723E-4 | 4.3827525E-4 | 4.3827525E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003929756 | 0.0043745385 | 0.004384495 | 1.002276 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 5.5023775E-6 | 6.0877283E-6 | 6.0877283E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3581404E-5 | 2.6090021E-5 | 2.6090021E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8706578E-4 | 3.1760297E-4 | 3.1760297E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028669522 | 0.0031718123 | 0.0031817807 | 1.0031427 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.7351679E-6 | 4.0833456E-6 | 4.0833456E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6007763E-5 | 1.7499948E-5 | 1.7499948E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.948771E-4 | 2.1304353E-4 | 2.1304353E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019470629 | 0.0021286383 | 0.0021286383 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.456366E-6 | 2.6293699E-6 | 2.6293699E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0527241E-5 | 1.126868E-5 | 1.126868E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2816161E-4 | 1.3718757E-4 | 1.3718757E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012808773 | 0.0013710317 | 0.0013710317 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.3245157E-6 | 2.4828691E-6 | 2.4828691E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.962172E-6 | 1.0640824E-5 | 1.0640824E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2128269E-4 | 1.2954435E-4 | 1.2954435E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012121652 | 0.0012946906 | 0.0012946906 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.2248344E-6 | 2.373335E-6 | 2.373335E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.53497E-6 | 1.0171396E-5 | 1.0171396E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1608207E-4 | 1.2382973E-4 | 1.2382973E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011602144 | 0.0012376093 | 0.0012376093 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.1350402E-6 | 2.2762347E-6 | 2.2762347E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.150141E-6 | 9.755256E-6 | 9.755256E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1139726E-4 | 1.1876378E-4 | 1.1876378E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011134144 | 0.001187005 | 0.001187005 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.9793572E-6 | 2.108793E-6 | 2.108793E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.482932E-6 | 9.037653E-6 | 9.037653E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.032748E-4 | 1.100279E-4 | 1.100279E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010322682 | 0.001099736 | 0.001099736 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.6951194E-6 | 1.8046361E-6 | 1.8046361E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.264777E-6 | 7.734132E-6 | 7.734132E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.844508E-5 | 9.4159004E-5 | 9.4159004E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.840988E-4 | 9.411928E-4 | 9.411928E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 8.987207E-7 | 9.512518E-7 | 9.512518E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8516546E-6 | 4.0767873E-6 | 4.0767873E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6892885E-5 | 4.9633767E-5 | 4.9633767E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.688299E-4 | 4.96228E-4 | 4.96228E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.8783037E-7 | 4.0530364E-7 | 4.0530364E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6621291E-6 | 1.7370145E-6 | 1.7370145E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0236233E-5 | 2.1147953E-5 | 2.1147953E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.023439E-4 | 2.1146005E-4 | 2.1146005E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.181804E-8 | 6.3391695E-8 | 6.3391695E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6493444E-7 | 2.7167866E-7 | 2.7167866E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.225572E-6 | 3.3076826E-6 | 3.3076826E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.225525E-5 | 3.3076343E-5 | 3.3076343E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.3704449E-9 | 1.3964294E-9 | 1.3964294E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.873335E-9 | 5.984697E-9 | 5.984697E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1507856E-8 | 7.2863685E-8 | 7.2863685E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1507833E-7 | 7.2863673E-7 | 7.2863673E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Brawley (Seismic Zone) alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2521618E-4 | 4.76691E-4 | 4.76691E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.6485513E-4 | 0.002041399 | 0.002041399 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011683988 | 0.024565222 | 0.024594484 | 1.0011913 | 3.0E-5 | 0.11088423 | 0.21363127 | 0.21367845 | 1.0002209 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.2521618E-4 | 4.76691E-4 | 4.76691E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.6485513E-4 | 0.002041399 | 0.002041399 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011683988 | 0.024565222 | 0.024594484 | 1.0011913 | 3.0E-5 | 0.11088423 | 0.21363127 | 0.21367845 | 1.0002209 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.198148E-4 | 4.6752882E-4 | 4.6752882E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.417233E-4 | 0.0020021931 | 0.0020021931 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011405343 | 0.02409898 | 0.024128256 | 1.0012149 | 3.0E-5 | 0.10837428 | 0.21006602 | 0.2101134 | 1.0002257 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.1704129E-4 | 4.618843E-4 | 4.618843E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.298453E-4 | 0.001978039 | 0.001978039 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011262234 | 0.02381224 | 0.023841526 | 1.0012299 | 3.0E-5 | 0.107082725 | 0.20795701 | 0.20800453 | 1.0002285 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.876142E-4 | 4.0079502E-4 | 4.0079502E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.038131E-4 | 0.0017165765 | 0.0017165765 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00974259 | 0.020700144 | 0.020729521 | 1.0014193 | 3.0E-5 | 0.093263686 | 0.18470816 | 0.18475707 | 1.0002649 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.7390939E-4 | 3.7510466E-4 | 3.7510466E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.45113E-4 | 0.0016066132 | 0.0016066132 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009034078 | 0.019388033 | 0.01941745 | 1.0015173 | 3.0E-5 | 0.086755216 | 0.17452815 | 0.17457768 | 1.0002838 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.591791E-4 | 3.4923697E-4 | 3.4923697E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8201777E-4 | 0.0014958814 | 0.0014958814 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008271996 | 0.018062927 | 0.018092385 | 1.0016309 | 3.0E-5 | 0.07970774 | 0.16393267 | 0.16398282 | 1.000306 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.4268003E-4 | 3.208802E-4 | 3.208802E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1134255E-4 | 0.0013744844 | 0.0013744844 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007417723 | 0.01660808 | 0.016637582 | 1.0017763 | 3.0E-5 | 0.07174956 | 0.15205671 | 0.15210758 | 1.0003346 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.239713E-4 | 2.9079075E-4 | 2.9079075E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3119735E-4 | 0.001245657 | 0.001245657 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0064481674 | 0.015061846 | 0.015091394 | 1.0019618 | 3.0E-5 | 0.06264243 | 0.13848521 | 0.1385369 | 1.0003732 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.0180238E-4 | 2.6274272E-4 | 2.6274272E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3622297E-4 | 0.0011255586 | 0.0011255586 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005298089 | 0.013618573 | 0.013648164 | 1.0021728 | 3.0E-5 | 0.05173543 | 0.12504812 | 0.12510061 | 1.0004199 | 6.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.6619996E-5 | 2.241466E-4 | 2.241466E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.283301E-4 | 9.602778E-4 | 9.602778E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039900932 | 0.011629419 | 0.01165907 | 1.0025496 | 3.0E-5 | 0.039192066 | 0.10733641 | 0.107381046 | 1.0004158 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.5127435E-5 | 2.2097632E-4 | 2.2097632E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2193496E-4 | 9.4670086E-4 | 9.4670086E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039125155 | 0.011465871 | 0.011495527 | 1.0025865 | 3.0E-5 | 0.038443442 | 0.10589979 | 0.10594449 | 1.0004221 | 5.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.788582E-5 | 2.0224846E-4 | 2.0224846E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9090676E-4 | 8.664942E-4 | 8.664942E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035360386 | 0.0104991775 | 0.0105288625 | 1.0028274 | 3.0E-5 | 0.034803 | 0.097568415 | 0.097613536 | 1.0004624 | 5.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.399602E-5 | 1.8855186E-4 | 1.8855186E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7423984E-4 | 8.0783205E-4 | 8.0783205E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033337586 | 0.009791592 | 0.009821298 | 1.0030339 | 3.0E-5 | 0.03284188 | 0.091460384 | 0.09150581 | 1.0004966 | 5.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.506759E-5 | 1.2540306E-4 | 1.2540306E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9313251E-4 | 5.373319E-4 | 5.373319E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023488526 | 0.0065225675 | 0.0065523717 | 1.0045694 | 3.0E-5 | 0.023241805 | 0.06241342 | 0.0624603 | 1.0007511 | 5.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.43289E-5 | 9.3448114E-5 | 9.3448114E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4711556E-4 | 4.0043076E-4 | 4.0043076E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017896603 | 0.0048644086 | 0.0048942626 | 1.0061373 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01775316 | 0.04709746 | 0.047135577 | 1.0008093 | 4.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.5980507E-5 | 7.061279E-5 | 7.061279E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1134028E-4 | 3.0259127E-4 | 3.0259127E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001354725 | 0.0036778497 | 0.0037077393 | 1.008127 | 3.0E-5 | 0.013464959 | 0.03587832 | 0.035916883 | 1.0010749 | 4.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.7292105E-5 | 4.9476897E-5 | 4.9476897E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4106916E-5 | 2.1202664E-4 | 2.1202664E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.018782E-4 | 0.0025783742 | 0.0026082967 | 1.0116053 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008982267 | 0.025322445 | 0.025351686 | 1.0011547 | 3.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.2927471E-5 | 3.9753748E-5 | 3.9753748E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5402274E-5 | 1.703621E-4 | 1.703621E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.743139E-4 | 0.0020721878 | 0.0021021257 | 1.0144475 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0067227143 | 0.02045964 | 0.020489026 | 1.0014364 | 3.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.0200774E-5 | 2.879426E-5 | 2.879426E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.371687E-5 | 1.2339813E-4 | 1.2339813E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.321229E-4 | 0.0015013381 | 0.001521308 | 1.0133015 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005308505 | 0.015014351 | 0.015034051 | 1.001312 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 8.650396E-6 | 2.331885E-5 | 2.331885E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.70726E-5 | 9.99341E-5 | 9.99341E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5126543E-4 | 0.0012160194 | 0.0012359951 | 1.0164272 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0045035016 | 0.012230608 | 0.012250363 | 1.0016153 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 3.9368224E-6 | 7.3453502E-6 | 7.3453502E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6871985E-5 | 3.1479693E-5 | 3.1479693E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0539707E-4 | 3.83198E-4 | 3.83198E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020520731 | 0.004009915 | 0.004009915 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.7101195E-6 | 2.2244978E-6 | 2.2244978E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.329063E-6 | 9.533527E-6 | 9.533527E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.922769E-5 | 1.1606455E-4 | 1.1606455E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9191867E-4 | 0.0012700894 | 0.0012700894 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 3.0346666E-8 | 1.7278948E-8 | 1.7278948E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3005713E-7 | 7.405263E-8 | 7.405263E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5834444E-6 | 9.015907E-7 | 9.015907E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5834332E-5 | 9.403383E-6 | 9.403383E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Red Mountain
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.759426E-5 | 4.759426E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.0396039E-4 | 2.0396039E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024805544 | 0.0025104801 | 1.0120641 | 3.0E-5 | 0.021580452 | 0.024546275 | 0.024604803 | 1.0023843 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.759426E-5 | 4.759426E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.0396039E-4 | 2.0396039E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024805544 | 0.0025104801 | 1.0120641 | 3.0E-5 | 0.021580452 | 0.024546275 | 0.024604803 | 1.0023843 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.759426E-5 | 4.759426E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.0396039E-4 | 2.0396039E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024805544 | 0.0025104801 | 1.0120641 | 3.0E-5 | 0.021580452 | 0.024546275 | 0.024604803 | 1.0023843 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.759426E-5 | 4.759426E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.0396039E-4 | 2.0396039E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024805544 | 0.0025104801 | 1.0120641 | 3.0E-5 | 0.021580452 | 0.024546275 | 0.024604803 | 1.0023843 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.759426E-5 | 4.759426E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.0396039E-4 | 2.0396039E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024805544 | 0.0025104801 | 1.0120641 | 3.0E-5 | 0.021580452 | 0.024546275 | 0.024604803 | 1.0023843 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.154503E-5 | 3.5362766E-5 | 3.5362766E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3518598E-4 | 1.5154642E-4 | 1.5154642E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016446467 | 0.0018436083 | 0.001873553 | 1.0162424 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01632528 | 0.018292787 | 0.018341873 | 1.0026833 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.1535834E-5 | 3.5352146E-5 | 3.5352146E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3514658E-4 | 1.5150092E-4 | 1.5150092E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016441676 | 0.0018430552 | 0.001873 | 1.0162473 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01632056 | 0.018287348 | 0.018336432 | 1.0026841 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.8267326E-5 | 3.1471976E-5 | 3.1471976E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2114006E-4 | 1.3487341E-4 | 1.3487341E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014738824 | 0.0016409319 | 0.0016708827 | 1.0182523 | 3.0E-5 | 0.014641452 | 0.01629692 | 0.016336268 | 1.0024145 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.8212884E-5 | 3.1409858E-5 | 3.1409858E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.20906756E-4 | 1.3460721E-4 | 1.3460721E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014710457 | 0.0016376958 | 0.0016676467 | 1.0182884 | 3.0E-5 | 0.014613459 | 0.016265033 | 0.016304381 | 1.0024192 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.4227871E-5 | 2.6709162E-5 | 2.6709162E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.03829596E-4 | 1.1446325E-4 | 1.1446325E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012633923 | 0.0013927751 | 0.0014227333 | 1.0215098 | 3.0E-5 | 0.012562336 | 0.013848151 | 0.013887597 | 1.0028485 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.348524E-5 | 2.5837868E-5 | 2.5837868E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0064714E-4 | 1.10729445E-4 | 1.10729445E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012246901 | 0.0013473729 | 0.0013773325 | 1.0222355 | 3.0E-5 | 0.012179627 | 0.013399675 | 0.013439138 | 1.0029452 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.2311642E-5 | 2.4464809E-5 | 2.4464809E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.561782E-5 | 1.0484539E-4 | 1.0484539E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011635252 | 0.00127582 | 0.0013057817 | 1.0234842 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01157452 | 0.012692473 | 0.012731966 | 1.0031115 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.6533986E-5 | 1.7671693E-5 | 1.7671693E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.085802E-5 | 7.573399E-5 | 7.573399E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.623549E-4 | 9.217347E-4 | 9.4171625E-4 | 1.0216782 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008590161 | 0.009185396 | 0.00921512 | 1.003236 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.4703092E-5 | 1.5560694E-5 | 1.5560694E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.301173E-5 | 6.668733E-5 | 6.668733E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.668978E-4 | 8.116775E-4 | 8.316612E-4 | 1.0246203 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0076425658 | 0.008093204 | 0.008122962 | 1.0036768 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.1331984E-6 | 5.5291357E-6 | 5.5291357E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6284872E-5 | 2.3696084E-5 | 2.3696084E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.199713E-4 | 2.8846215E-4 | 2.8846215E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031951098 | 0.0028809316 | 0.0028809316 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 5.954766E-6 | 5.3387566E-6 | 5.3387566E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5520176E-5 | 2.288019E-5 | 2.288019E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1066386E-4 | 2.7853122E-4 | 2.7853122E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003102299 | 0.0027818752 | 0.0027818752 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.9726646E-6 | 4.315507E-6 | 4.315507E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1311245E-5 | 1.84949E-5 | 1.84949E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5943352E-4 | 2.2515249E-4 | 2.2515249E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025913084 | 0.0022492784 | 0.0022492784 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 3.3613894E-6 | 2.8528066E-6 | 2.8528066E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4405875E-5 | 1.2226258E-5 | 1.2226258E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7537741E-4 | 1.4884479E-4 | 1.4884479E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017523908 | 0.0014874772 | 0.0014874772 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.1828961E-6 | 1.0123285E-6 | 1.0123285E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.069545E-6 | 4.338544E-6 | 4.338544E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.171996E-5 | 5.2820524E-5 | 5.2820524E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.170282E-4 | 5.280826E-4 | 5.280826E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.2967266E-7 | 1.8619782E-7 | 1.8619782E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.843111E-7 | 7.979905E-7 | 7.979905E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.19839215E-5 | 9.715493E-6 | 9.715493E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1983275E-4 | 9.715097E-5 | 9.715097E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Lake Isabella (Seismicity)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.7418215E-6 | 1.9741725E-5 | 2.026492 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.175007E-5 | 5.1749652E-5 | 1.2395105 | 1.0E-5 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.082016E-4 | 5.1819655E-4 | 1.0196673 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004909227 | 0.005071687 | 0.0051413323 | 1.0137321 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.7418215E-6 | 1.9741725E-5 | 2.026492 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.175007E-5 | 5.1749652E-5 | 1.2395105 | 1.0E-5 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.082016E-4 | 5.1819655E-4 | 1.0196673 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004909227 | 0.005071687 | 0.0051413323 | 1.0137321 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.7418215E-6 | 1.9741725E-5 | 2.026492 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.175007E-5 | 5.1749652E-5 | 1.2395105 | 1.0E-5 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.082016E-4 | 5.1819655E-4 | 1.0196673 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004909227 | 0.005071687 | 0.0051413323 | 1.0137321 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.7418215E-6 | 1.9741725E-5 | 2.026492 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.175007E-5 | 5.1749652E-5 | 1.2395105 | 1.0E-5 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.082016E-4 | 5.1819655E-4 | 1.0196673 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004909227 | 0.005071687 | 0.0051413323 | 1.0137321 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 5.144063E-6 | 5.3001613E-6 | 1.530011E-5 | 2.886725 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2045799E-5 | 2.27148E-5 | 3.271457E-5 | 1.4402316 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6837454E-4 | 2.7652105E-4 | 2.8651828E-4 | 1.0361536 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0026805066 | 0.0027621102 | 0.0028219444 | 1.0216625 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.144063E-6 | 5.3001613E-6 | 1.530011E-5 | 2.886725 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2045799E-5 | 2.27148E-5 | 3.271457E-5 | 1.4402316 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6837454E-4 | 2.7652105E-4 | 2.8651828E-4 | 1.0361536 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0026805066 | 0.0027621102 | 0.0028219444 | 1.0216625 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.4009804E-6 | 3.4988395E-6 | 1.3498805E-5 | 3.8580804 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4575549E-5 | 1.4994949E-5 | 2.4994799E-5 | 1.6668812 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7744285E-4 | 1.8254982E-4 | 1.9254799E-4 | 1.0547695 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017730123 | 0.0018241564 | 0.0018740651 | 1.02736 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.3880428E-6 | 3.485706E-6 | 1.3485671E-5 | 3.8688493 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4520103E-5 | 1.4938664E-5 | 2.4938514E-5 | 1.6693939 | 1.0E-5 | 1.767679E-4 | 1.8186466E-4 | 1.9186284E-4 | 1.054976 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017662736 | 0.0018173159 | 0.0018672252 | 1.0274631 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.6582E-6 | 2.7337414E-6 | 2.7337414E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1392236E-5 | 1.171599E-5 | 1.171599E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3869164E-4 | 1.4263418E-4 | 1.4263418E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013860512 | 0.0014255584 | 0.0014655014 | 1.0280192 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.406011E-6 | 2.474366E-6 | 2.474366E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0311434E-5 | 1.0604391E-5 | 1.0604391E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2553448E-4 | 1.2910213E-4 | 1.2910213E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012546359 | 0.0012904009 | 0.0013203622 | 1.0232186 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.6953097E-6 | 1.7429631E-6 | 1.7429631E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.265593E-6 | 7.469827E-6 | 7.469827E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8455E-5 | 9.094239E-5 | 9.094239E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.84198E-4 | 9.0915454E-4 | 9.3912723E-4 | 1.0329677 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.5013824E-7 | 3.5715203E-7 | 3.5715203E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5005916E-6 | 1.5306507E-6 | 1.5306507E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.826955E-5 | 1.8635516E-5 | 1.8635516E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8268047E-4 | 1.8633978E-4 | 1.8633978E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.2321095E-7 | 2.2750805E-7 | 2.2750805E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.56618E-7 | 9.750341E-7 | 9.750341E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1646762E-5 | 1.1870978E-5 | 1.1870978E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1646151E-4 | 1.1870354E-4 | 1.1870354E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.5760406E-7 | 1.6061085E-7 | 1.6061085E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7544585E-7 | 6.88332E-7 | 6.88332E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.223522E-6 | 8.380411E-6 | 8.380411E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2232174E-5 | 8.380101E-5 | 8.380101E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.1216497E-7 | 1.14318226E-7 | 1.14318226E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8070694E-7 | 4.899352E-7 | 4.899352E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.852591E-6 | 5.9649446E-6 | 5.9649446E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8524372E-5 | 5.964789E-5 | 5.964789E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.885185E-8 | 4.9788245E-8 | 4.9788245E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0936506E-7 | 2.1337817E-7 | 2.1337817E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5490165E-6 | 2.5978763E-6 | 2.5978763E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5489873E-5 | 2.5978477E-5 | 2.5978477E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.504641E-9 | 1.5318049E-9 | 1.5318049E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4484613E-9 | 6.5648784E-9 | 6.5648784E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.851001E-8 | 7.9927396E-8 | 7.9927396E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8509987E-7 | 7.9927395E-7 | 7.9927395E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (San Jacinto Valley) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.652694E-5 | 3.4466113E-5 | 3.4466113E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5653463E-4 | 1.4770357E-4 | 1.5770209E-4 | 1.0676931 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019041431 | 0.0017968096 | 0.0018367377 | 1.0222217 | 4.0E-5 | 0.018879099 | 0.018559378 | 0.018618263 | 1.0031729 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.652694E-5 | 3.4466113E-5 | 3.4466113E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5653463E-4 | 1.4770357E-4 | 1.5770209E-4 | 1.0676931 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019041431 | 0.0017968096 | 0.0018367377 | 1.0222217 | 4.0E-5 | 0.018879099 | 0.018559378 | 0.018618263 | 1.0031729 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.652694E-5 | 3.4466113E-5 | 3.4466113E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5653463E-4 | 1.4770357E-4 | 1.5770209E-4 | 1.0676931 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019041431 | 0.0017968096 | 0.0018367377 | 1.0222217 | 4.0E-5 | 0.018879099 | 0.018559378 | 0.018618263 | 1.0031729 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.652694E-5 | 3.4466113E-5 | 3.4466113E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5653463E-4 | 1.4770357E-4 | 1.5770209E-4 | 1.0676931 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019041431 | 0.0017968096 | 0.0018367377 | 1.0222217 | 4.0E-5 | 0.018879099 | 0.018559378 | 0.018618263 | 1.0031729 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.646941E-5 | 3.4387675E-5 | 3.4387675E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5628811E-4 | 1.4736745E-4 | 1.5736597E-4 | 1.0678476 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019011468 | 0.0017927244 | 0.0018326526 | 1.0222725 | 4.0E-5 | 0.018849645 | 0.018519253 | 0.01857814 | 1.0031799 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.646941E-5 | 3.4387675E-5 | 3.4387675E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5628811E-4 | 1.4736745E-4 | 1.5736597E-4 | 1.0678476 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019011468 | 0.0017927244 | 0.0018326526 | 1.0222725 | 4.0E-5 | 0.018849645 | 0.018519253 | 0.01857814 | 1.0031799 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.6442503E-5 | 3.435106E-5 | 3.435106E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.561728E-4 | 1.4721052E-4 | 1.5720906E-4 | 1.06792 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018997455 | 0.0017908171 | 0.0018307455 | 1.0222962 | 4.0E-5 | 0.018835869 | 0.018500518 | 0.018559407 | 1.0031831 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.6432113E-5 | 3.433663E-5 | 3.433663E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5612828E-4 | 1.4714869E-4 | 1.5714722E-4 | 1.0679485 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018992044 | 0.0017900657 | 0.0018299941 | 1.0223056 | 4.0E-5 | 0.018830549 | 0.01849314 | 0.018552031 | 1.0031844 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.6409598E-5 | 3.4305678E-5 | 3.4305678E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.560318E-4 | 1.4701606E-4 | 1.570146E-4 | 1.0680097 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018980318 | 0.0017884537 | 0.0018283821 | 1.0223256 | 4.0E-5 | 0.018819023 | 0.018477293 | 0.018536184 | 1.0031872 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.638078E-5 | 3.4266093E-5 | 3.4266093E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5590832E-4 | 1.4684643E-4 | 1.5684497E-4 | 1.0680883 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018965311 | 0.0017863918 | 0.0018263203 | 1.0223515 | 4.0E-5 | 0.018804269 | 0.018457023 | 0.018515915 | 1.0031908 | 6.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.6294874E-5 | 3.4148088E-5 | 3.4148088E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5554018E-4 | 1.4634077E-4 | 1.563393E-4 | 1.0683236 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018920569 | 0.0017802453 | 0.0018201742 | 1.0224289 | 4.0E-5 | 0.018760284 | 0.018396595 | 0.01845549 | 1.0032015 | 6.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.6260717E-5 | 3.4104367E-5 | 3.4104367E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5539382E-4 | 1.461534E-4 | 1.5615193E-4 | 1.0684112 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001890278 | 0.0017779679 | 0.0018178968 | 1.0224576 | 4.0E-5 | 0.018742796 | 0.018374188 | 0.018433087 | 1.0032054 | 6.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.6210204E-5 | 3.4038494E-5 | 3.4038494E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5517735E-4 | 1.4587112E-4 | 1.5586965E-4 | 1.0685437 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001887647 | 0.0017745368 | 0.0018144659 | 1.0225011 | 4.0E-5 | 0.01871693 | 0.018340416 | 0.018399315 | 1.0032115 | 6.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.6119454E-5 | 3.392659E-5 | 3.392659E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5478847E-4 | 1.4539158E-4 | 1.5539012E-4 | 1.0687698 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018829206 | 0.0017687079 | 0.0018086372 | 1.0225754 | 4.0E-5 | 0.018670462 | 0.018282874 | 0.018341776 | 1.0032218 | 6.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.607848E-5 | 3.3874043E-5 | 3.3874043E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5461289E-4 | 1.4516641E-4 | 1.5516496E-4 | 1.0688765 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018807866 | 0.001765971 | 0.0018059002 | 1.0226104 | 4.0E-5 | 0.018649481 | 0.018255847 | 0.01831475 | 1.0032266 | 6.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.5856774E-5 | 3.368289E-5 | 3.368289E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5366284E-4 | 1.4434727E-4 | 1.5434582E-4 | 1.0692674 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018692396 | 0.0017560141 | 0.0017959438 | 1.0227388 | 4.0E-5 | 0.018535944 | 0.018156461 | 0.018215373 | 1.0032446 | 6.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.286655E-5 | 3.219922E-5 | 3.219922E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4084904E-4 | 1.3798937E-4 | 1.4798799E-4 | 1.0724593 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001713488 | 0.0016787279 | 0.0017186607 | 1.0237876 | 4.0E-5 | 0.017003361 | 0.017372673 | 0.017431632 | 1.0033937 | 6.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.8882527E-5 | 2.9290912E-5 | 2.9290912E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.237764E-4 | 1.2552645E-4 | 1.3552519E-4 | 1.0796545 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015059357 | 0.0015272142 | 0.001567153 | 1.0261515 | 4.0E-5 | 0.014957713 | 0.01585857 | 0.015917618 | 1.0037235 | 6.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.4950225E-5 | 2.6579837E-5 | 2.6579837E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0692515E-4 | 1.13908616E-4 | 1.2390748E-4 | 1.0877796 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013010362 | 0.001385956 | 0.0014259006 | 1.028821 | 4.0E-5 | 0.012934455 | 0.014438762 | 0.014497896 | 1.0040954 | 6.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.9881603E-5 | 2.1554622E-5 | 2.1554622E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.520408E-5 | 9.237368E-5 | 1.0237276E-4 | 1.108246 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001036866 | 0.0011240701 | 0.0011640252 | 1.035545 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010320415 | 0.011801713 | 0.011861006 | 1.005024 | 6.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.563292E-5 | 1.597515E-5 | 1.597515E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6996516E-5 | 6.846314E-5 | 7.846246E-5 | 1.146054 | 1.0E-5 | 8.153773E-4 | 8.3322066E-4 | 8.731873E-4 | 1.0479665 | 4.0E-5 | 0.00812392 | 0.008830484 | 0.0088800425 | 1.0056123 | 5.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.0045313E-5 | 8.323337E-6 | 8.323337E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.305063E-5 | 3.567096E-5 | 4.5670604E-5 | 1.2803301 | 1.0E-5 | 5.2401534E-4 | 4.3420793E-4 | 4.5419924E-4 | 1.0460409 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0052278144 | 0.00467079 | 0.0046906965 | 1.004262 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 4.1554413E-6 | 1.571458E-6 | 1.571458E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7808914E-5 | 6.734803E-6 | 6.734803E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1680194E-4 | 8.199317E-5 | 8.199317E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021659054 | 9.5169496E-4 | 9.5169496E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2758221E-6 | 3.6306494E-7 | 3.6306494E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4677976E-6 | 1.5559917E-6 | 1.5559917E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.65684E-5 | 1.8944038E-5 | 1.8944038E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6548464E-4 | 2.2845245E-4 | 2.2845245E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Imperial
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.7496446E-4 | 5.060534E-4 | 5.060534E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011778869 | 0.002167037 | 0.002167037 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0142467655 | 0.026063008 | 0.026082486 | 1.0007473 | 2.0E-5 | 0.13367249 | 0.22823441 | 0.228273 | 1.000169 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.5356023E-4 | 4.8701253E-4 | 4.8701253E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001086234 | 0.0020855654 | 0.0020855654 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013144928 | 0.025100723 | 0.025120221 | 1.0007768 | 2.0E-5 | 0.123940155 | 0.21965367 | 0.21969269 | 1.0001776 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.4820742E-4 | 4.7795853E-4 | 4.7795853E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010633124 | 0.0020468235 | 0.0020468235 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01286919 | 0.02464024 | 0.024659747 | 1.0007917 | 2.0E-5 | 0.12148927 | 0.21615778 | 0.21619697 | 1.0001813 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3205351E-4 | 4.5930318E-4 | 4.5930318E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.94136E-4 | 0.001966994 | 0.001966994 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012036599 | 0.023685131 | 0.023704657 | 1.0008245 | 2.0E-5 | 0.11405133 | 0.20807824 | 0.20811783 | 1.0001903 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0304754E-4 | 3.9915304E-4 | 3.9915304E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6991355E-4 | 0.001709549 | 0.001709549 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010539869 | 0.02062065 | 0.020640237 | 1.0009499 | 2.0E-5 | 0.100537635 | 0.1852114 | 0.18525214 | 1.00022 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.854992E-4 | 3.7025133E-4 | 3.7025133E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9475436E-4 | 0.0015858389 | 0.0015858389 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009633281 | 0.019145777 | 0.019165395 | 1.0010246 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0922623 | 0.17343764 | 0.17347896 | 1.0002383 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.6586106E-4 | 3.406821E-4 | 3.406821E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.106394E-4 | 0.0014592593 | 0.0014592593 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008617763 | 0.01762655 | 0.0176462 | 1.0011146 | 2.0E-5 | 0.08291132 | 0.16090786 | 0.16094983 | 1.0002607 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.4224656E-4 | 3.0796128E-4 | 3.0796128E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.094856E-4 | 0.0013191747 | 0.0013191747 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0073952693 | 0.015944751 | 0.015964434 | 1.0012343 | 2.0E-5 | 0.07153955 | 0.14660648 | 0.14664915 | 1.000291 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2317259E-4 | 2.7815934E-4 | 2.7815934E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2777573E-4 | 0.0011915729 | 0.0011915729 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0064067547 | 0.014412285 | 0.014431997 | 1.0013677 | 2.0E-5 | 0.06225166 | 0.13304241 | 0.13308576 | 1.0003258 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.859898E-5 | 2.503297E-4 | 2.503297E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2249862E-4 | 0.0010724048 | 0.0010724048 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051317946 | 0.012979328 | 0.012999069 | 1.0015209 | 2.0E-5 | 0.05014893 | 0.11948839 | 0.119532414 | 1.0003685 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.3191884E-5 | 2.1280872E-4 | 2.1280872E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.136418E-4 | 9.117218E-4 | 9.117218E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003811904 | 0.011044404 | 0.011064183 | 1.0017909 | 2.0E-5 | 0.037471764 | 0.10212967 | 0.10216558 | 1.0003517 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.1760296E-5 | 2.0982049E-4 | 2.0982049E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0750787E-4 | 8.9892396E-4 | 8.9892396E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003737482 | 0.010890158 | 0.01090994 | 1.0018165 | 2.0E-5 | 0.03675245 | 0.10076556 | 0.100801535 | 1.0003569 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.46614E-5 | 1.9150079E-4 | 1.9150079E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7709085E-4 | 8.204626E-4 | 8.204626E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033683628 | 0.009944002 | 0.009963804 | 1.0019913 | 2.0E-5 | 0.033177625 | 0.09257121 | 0.092607506 | 1.0003921 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.088115E-5 | 1.7821198E-4 | 1.7821198E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6089314E-4 | 7.6354493E-4 | 7.6354493E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031717476 | 0.009257112 | 0.0092769265 | 1.0021405 | 2.0E-5 | 0.031268585 | 0.086619206 | 0.08665574 | 1.0004218 | 4.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.199346E-5 | 1.1520217E-4 | 1.1520217E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7995955E-4 | 4.9363106E-4 | 4.9363106E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021888057 | 0.0059935665 | 0.0060134465 | 1.0033169 | 2.0E-5 | 0.02167372 | 0.05748436 | 0.057522062 | 1.0006559 | 4.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.130448E-5 | 8.341438E-5 | 8.341438E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3415517E-4 | 3.5744155E-4 | 3.5744155E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016321153 | 0.004343227 | 0.00436314 | 1.0045849 | 2.0E-5 | 0.016201803 | 0.042169005 | 0.042197738 | 1.0006814 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.3074248E-5 | 6.0914088E-5 | 6.0914088E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.888588E-5 | 2.6103438E-4 | 2.6103438E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012032706 | 0.0031734854 | 0.003193422 | 1.0062822 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011967761 | 0.031058539 | 0.031087607 | 1.0009359 | 3.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.45864815E-5 | 4.018208E-5 | 4.018208E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2511994E-5 | 1.7219759E-4 | 1.7219759E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.608177E-4 | 0.002094495 | 0.0021144531 | 1.0095289 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007582182 | 0.020654438 | 0.020674024 | 1.0009483 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.0352979E-5 | 3.100957E-5 | 3.100957E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4369157E-5 | 1.3289141E-4 | 1.3289141E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.400606E-4 | 0.0016167545 | 0.0016367221 | 1.0123504 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0053875 | 0.016039513 | 0.016059194 | 1.0012269 | 2.0E-5 |
7.9 | 8.137906E-6 | 2.2187884E-5 | 2.2187884E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4876273E-5 | 9.5087475E-5 | 9.5087475E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2453592E-4 | 0.0011570761 | 0.001177053 | 1.017265 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004237258 | 0.011636249 | 0.011656016 | 1.0016987 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 6.93792E-6 | 1.8041985E-5 | 1.8041985E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9733603E-5 | 7.73205E-5 | 7.73205E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6194647E-4 | 9.409713E-4 | 9.609525E-4 | 1.0212346 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0036135751 | 0.009517279 | 0.009537089 | 1.0020814 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 3.4286315E-6 | 6.394906E-6 | 6.394906E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4694053E-5 | 2.7406453E-5 | 2.7406453E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7888541E-4 | 3.336226E-4 | 3.336226E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017874148 | 0.003493592 | 0.003493592 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.4906886E-6 | 1.9423765E-6 | 1.9423765E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3886496E-6 | 8.324444E-6 | 8.324444E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7779034E-5 | 1.01345424E-4 | 1.01345424E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.775182E-4 | 0.0011104718 | 0.0011104718 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 2.5758007E-8 | 1.4553524E-8 | 1.4553524E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10391454E-7 | 6.2372244E-8 | 6.2372244E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3440151E-6 | 7.593821E-7 | 7.593821E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.344007E-5 | 7.9182655E-6 | 7.9182655E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Stepovers Combined)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.0667746E-5 | 3.5335263E-5 | 3.5335263E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.742787E-4 | 1.5142806E-4 | 1.6142655E-4 | 1.066028 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021197782 | 0.0018420788 | 0.0018820051 | 1.0216746 | 4.0E-5 | 0.020996714 | 0.019019177 | 0.019078035 | 1.0030947 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.0667746E-5 | 3.5335263E-5 | 3.5335263E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.742787E-4 | 1.5142806E-4 | 1.6142655E-4 | 1.066028 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021197782 | 0.0018420788 | 0.0018820051 | 1.0216746 | 4.0E-5 | 0.020996714 | 0.019019177 | 0.019078035 | 1.0030947 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.0667746E-5 | 3.5335263E-5 | 3.5335263E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.742787E-4 | 1.5142806E-4 | 1.6142655E-4 | 1.066028 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021197782 | 0.0018420788 | 0.0018820051 | 1.0216746 | 4.0E-5 | 0.020996714 | 0.019019177 | 0.019078035 | 1.0030947 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.0667746E-5 | 3.5335263E-5 | 3.5335263E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.742787E-4 | 1.5142806E-4 | 1.6142655E-4 | 1.066028 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021197782 | 0.0018420788 | 0.0018820051 | 1.0216746 | 4.0E-5 | 0.020996714 | 0.019019177 | 0.019078035 | 1.0030947 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.0577226E-5 | 3.5207147E-5 | 3.5207147E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.738908E-4 | 1.5087906E-4 | 1.6087756E-4 | 1.0662682 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021150648 | 0.0018354072 | 0.0018753338 | 1.0217535 | 4.0E-5 | 0.020950472 | 0.018953735 | 0.019012596 | 1.0031056 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.0577226E-5 | 3.5207147E-5 | 3.5207147E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.738908E-4 | 1.5087906E-4 | 1.6087756E-4 | 1.0662682 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021150648 | 0.0018354072 | 0.0018753338 | 1.0217535 | 4.0E-5 | 0.020950472 | 0.018953735 | 0.019012596 | 1.0031056 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.053861E-5 | 3.515248E-5 | 3.515248E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7372532E-4 | 1.506448E-4 | 1.6064329E-4 | 1.0663713 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021130538 | 0.0018325604 | 0.001872487 | 1.0217874 | 4.0E-5 | 0.020930743 | 0.018925807 | 0.018984672 | 1.0031103 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.0516545E-5 | 3.5121546E-5 | 3.5121546E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7363077E-4 | 1.5051225E-4 | 1.6051074E-4 | 1.0664297 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002111905 | 0.0018309496 | 0.0018708763 | 1.0218066 | 4.0E-5 | 0.020919468 | 0.018910002 | 0.018968867 | 1.0031129 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 4.049434E-5 | 3.5093104E-5 | 3.5093104E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7353562E-4 | 1.5039036E-4 | 1.6038885E-4 | 1.0664836 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021107488 | 0.0018294681 | 0.0018693949 | 1.0218242 | 4.0E-5 | 0.020908125 | 0.018895412 | 0.018954279 | 1.0031154 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.046386E-5 | 3.5055655E-5 | 3.5055655E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.73405E-4 | 1.5022988E-4 | 1.6022839E-4 | 1.0665547 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021091616 | 0.0018275176 | 0.0018674445 | 1.0218476 | 4.0E-5 | 0.020892553 | 0.018876182 | 0.018935049 | 1.0031186 | 6.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.036382E-5 | 3.4936198E-5 | 3.4936198E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7297632E-4 | 1.4971798E-4 | 1.5971648E-4 | 1.0667822 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021039525 | 0.0018212957 | 0.0018612229 | 1.0219223 | 4.0E-5 | 0.02084144 | 0.018814782 | 0.018873652 | 1.003129 | 6.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.0343282E-5 | 3.4914654E-5 | 3.4914654E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7288832E-4 | 1.4962567E-4 | 1.5962418E-4 | 1.0668235 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002102883 | 0.0018201737 | 0.0018601009 | 1.0219359 | 4.0E-5 | 0.020830948 | 0.018803652 | 0.018862523 | 1.0031309 | 6.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.0257353E-5 | 3.4819048E-5 | 3.4819048E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.725201E-4 | 1.4921598E-4 | 1.5921448E-4 | 1.067007 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020984085 | 0.001815194 | 0.0018551215 | 1.0219963 | 4.0E-5 | 0.020787042 | 0.018754339 | 0.018813213 | 1.0031393 | 6.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.9940667E-5 | 3.4646426E-5 | 3.4646426E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7116306E-4 | 1.4847625E-4 | 1.5847477E-4 | 1.0673409 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020819185 | 0.0018062027 | 0.0018461305 | 1.0221059 | 4.0E-5 | 0.020625217 | 0.018662827 | 0.018721707 | 1.003155 | 6.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.9721202E-5 | 3.4531695E-5 | 3.4531695E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7022261E-4 | 1.479846E-4 | 1.5798312E-4 | 1.0675646 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020704903 | 0.0018002269 | 0.0018401549 | 1.0221794 | 4.0E-5 | 0.020513052 | 0.018601885 | 0.018660769 | 1.0031655 | 6.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.7036873E-5 | 3.3597462E-5 | 3.3597462E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5871979E-4 | 1.4398119E-4 | 1.5397975E-4 | 1.0694435 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019307006 | 0.0017515646 | 0.0017914945 | 1.0227968 | 4.0E-5 | 0.019140124 | 0.018102536 | 0.01816145 | 1.0032544 | 6.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.2940967E-5 | 3.1371335E-5 | 3.1371335E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4116794E-4 | 1.3444165E-4 | 1.4444032E-4 | 1.0743717 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017173645 | 0.0016356006 | 0.0016755351 | 1.0244159 | 4.0E-5 | 0.01704153 | 0.016931716 | 0.0169907 | 1.0034837 | 6.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.8236149E-5 | 2.7935872E-5 | 2.7935872E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2100645E-4 | 1.19719676E-4 | 1.2971848E-4 | 1.0835185 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014722579 | 0.0014566135 | 0.0014965553 | 1.027421 | 4.0E-5 | 0.014625421 | 0.015141861 | 0.015200952 | 1.0039026 | 6.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.4329287E-5 | 2.5257565E-5 | 2.5257565E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.042642E-4 | 1.08242224E-4 | 1.18241136E-4 | 1.0923754 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012686774 | 0.0013170532 | 0.0013570006 | 1.0303308 | 4.0E-5 | 0.012614589 | 0.013738072 | 0.013797247 | 1.0043074 | 6.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.9370926E-5 | 2.0466443E-5 | 2.0466443E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.301561E-5 | 8.771038E-5 | 9.7709504E-5 | 1.1140016 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010102465 | 0.0010673514 | 0.0011073088 | 1.0374359 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0100566605 | 0.011223038 | 0.011282365 | 1.0052861 | 6.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.5583017E-5 | 1.5924119E-5 | 1.5924119E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6782646E-5 | 6.8244444E-5 | 7.824376E-5 | 1.146522 | 1.0E-5 | 8.127754E-4 | 8.3056005E-4 | 8.705268E-4 | 1.0481203 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008098091 | 0.008801706 | 0.0088512665 | 1.0056307 | 5.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.0024873E-5 | 8.313899E-6 | 8.313899E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2963035E-5 | 3.5630514E-5 | 4.5630157E-5 | 1.2806484 | 1.0E-5 | 5.229494E-4 | 4.3371567E-4 | 4.5370698E-4 | 1.0460931 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0052172043 | 0.004665064 | 0.004684971 | 1.0042672 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 4.142796E-6 | 1.5668816E-6 | 1.5668816E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.775472E-5 | 6.7151896E-6 | 6.7151896E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1614227E-4 | 8.175439E-5 | 8.175439E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021593217 | 9.488576E-4 | 9.488576E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2750878E-6 | 3.6277774E-7 | 3.6277774E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4646503E-6 | 1.5547608E-6 | 1.5547608E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.653009E-5 | 1.8929053E-5 | 1.8929053E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6510175E-4 | 2.2828147E-4 | 2.2828147E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Chino alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.939946E-5 | 4.8956157E-5 | 4.8956157E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6884391E-4 | 2.0979813E-4 | 2.0979813E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020537362 | 0.002551809 | 0.0025617834 | 1.0039088 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020348595 | 0.025279585 | 0.025328321 | 1.0019279 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1505624E-5 | 2.6884254E-5 | 2.6884254E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2163704E-5 | 1.1521374E-4 | 1.1521374E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011215154 | 0.0014019344 | 0.0014019344 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011158722 | 0.01394543 | 0.01394543 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.2 | 2.1505624E-5 | 2.6884254E-5 | 2.6884254E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2163704E-5 | 1.1521374E-4 | 1.1521374E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011215154 | 0.0014019344 | 0.0014019344 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011158722 | 0.01394543 | 0.01394543 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 1.4290785E-5 | 1.81693E-5 | 1.81693E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1244784E-5 | 7.786636E-5 | 7.786636E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.454001E-4 | 9.476558E-4 | 9.476558E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007429048 | 0.009444239 | 0.009444239 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.4290785E-5 | 1.81693E-5 | 1.81693E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1244784E-5 | 7.786636E-5 | 7.786636E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.454001E-4 | 9.476558E-4 | 9.476558E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007429048 | 0.009444239 | 0.009444239 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.3017944E-5 | 1.6656108E-5 | 1.6656108E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5789995E-5 | 7.138161E-5 | 7.138161E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.790315E-4 | 8.687684E-4 | 8.687684E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0067696036 | 0.008661652 | 0.008661652 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 9.470016E-6 | 1.204242E-5 | 1.204242E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.058515E-5 | 5.1609542E-5 | 5.1609542E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.940122E-4 | 6.2819896E-4 | 6.2819896E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004929154 | 0.00627157 | 0.00627157 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 8.314155E-6 | 1.04104065E-5 | 1.04104065E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5631605E-5 | 4.4615444E-5 | 4.4615444E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3372845E-4 | 5.4308993E-4 | 5.4308993E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004328829 | 0.005425105 | 0.005425105 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 3.4856364E-6 | 3.8139972E-6 | 3.8139972E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4938357E-5 | 1.6345612E-5 | 1.6345612E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8185932E-4 | 1.9899172E-4 | 1.9899172E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018171056 | 0.001989816 | 0.001989816 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.2645952E-6 | 2.1532255E-6 | 2.1532255E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.705372E-6 | 9.228078E-6 | 9.228078E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.18156495E-4 | 1.1234627E-4 | 1.1234627E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011809369 | 0.0011235173 | 0.0011235173 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.7864003E-6 | 1.5433253E-6 | 1.5433253E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.655979E-6 | 6.614235E-6 | 6.614235E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3207556E-5 | 8.0525395E-5 | 8.0525395E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.316847E-4 | 8.0545404E-4 | 8.0545404E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.7315456E-6 | 1.4735895E-6 | 1.4735895E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.420889E-6 | 6.3153684E-6 | 6.3153684E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.034557E-5 | 7.688695E-5 | 7.688695E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0308854E-4 | 7.6908193E-4 | 7.6908193E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.6008337E-6 | 1.3576248E-6 | 1.3576248E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.860698E-6 | 5.818379E-6 | 5.818379E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.352579E-5 | 7.083652E-5 | 7.083652E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.34944E-4 | 7.086046E-4 | 7.086046E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.3320939E-6 | 1.1219453E-6 | 1.1219453E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7089615E-6 | 4.8083284E-6 | 4.8083284E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9504385E-5 | 5.8539874E-5 | 5.8539874E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9482654E-4 | 5.854161E-4 | 5.854161E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.114294E-6 | 9.2384E-7 | 9.2384E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.775537E-6 | 3.9593083E-6 | 3.9593083E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8140613E-5 | 4.820355E-5 | 4.820355E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.81254E-4 | 4.8194567E-4 | 4.8194567E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 9.354081E-7 | 7.6244334E-7 | 7.6244334E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0088858E-6 | 3.2676103E-6 | 3.2676103E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8807087E-5 | 3.9782462E-5 | 3.9782462E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.879637E-4 | 3.977568E-4 | 3.977568E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 8.521771E-7 | 6.881599E-7 | 6.881599E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6521824E-6 | 2.9492537E-6 | 2.9492537E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4464414E-5 | 3.5906603E-5 | 3.5906603E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4455516E-4 | 3.590112E-4 | 3.590112E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.1803626E-7 | 1.4188254E-7 | 1.4188254E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.344408E-7 | 6.08068E-7 | 6.08068E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1376757E-5 | 7.403212E-6 | 7.403212E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.13761744E-4 | 7.403061E-5 | 7.403061E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Kern Canyon (Lake Isabella) 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.2387383E-6 | 4.0016826E-6 | 4.0016826E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.7149967E-5 | 2.7149796E-5 | 1.5830815 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.087827E-4 | 2.1878061E-4 | 1.0478867 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022092736 | 0.0020860494 | 0.002135945 | 1.0239187 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.2387383E-6 | 4.0016826E-6 | 4.0016826E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.7149967E-5 | 2.7149796E-5 | 1.5830815 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.087827E-4 | 2.1878061E-4 | 1.0478867 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022092736 | 0.0020860494 | 0.002135945 | 1.0239187 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.2387383E-6 | 4.0016826E-6 | 4.0016826E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.7149967E-5 | 2.7149796E-5 | 1.5830815 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.087827E-4 | 2.1878061E-4 | 1.0478867 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022092736 | 0.0020860494 | 0.002135945 | 1.0239187 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.2387383E-6 | 4.0016826E-6 | 4.0016826E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.7149967E-5 | 2.7149796E-5 | 1.5830815 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.087827E-4 | 2.1878061E-4 | 1.0478867 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022092736 | 0.0020860494 | 0.002135945 | 1.0239187 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.2387383E-6 | 4.0016826E-6 | 4.0016826E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.7149967E-5 | 2.7149796E-5 | 1.5830815 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.087827E-4 | 2.1878061E-4 | 1.0478867 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022092736 | 0.0020860494 | 0.002135945 | 1.0239187 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.7857532E-6 | 2.5178942E-6 | 2.5178942E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1938888E-5 | 1.0790933E-5 | 2.0790825E-5 | 1.9266939 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4534626E-4 | 1.3137201E-4 | 1.413707E-4 | 1.0761098 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014525123 | 0.0013129762 | 0.0013629106 | 1.0380315 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.2233348E-6 | 1.9441447E-6 | 1.9441447E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.528543E-6 | 8.332023E-6 | 8.332023E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1600384E-4 | 1.0143774E-4 | 1.0143774E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001159433 | 0.0010139231 | 0.0010438927 | 1.0295581 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.1635126E-6 | 1.8835244E-6 | 1.8835244E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.272164E-6 | 8.072223E-6 | 8.072223E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1288274E-4 | 9.827496E-5 | 9.827496E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011282542 | 9.823232E-4 | 0.0010122937 | 1.0305098 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.8685711E-6 | 1.5831604E-6 | 1.5831604E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.008137E-6 | 6.7849555E-6 | 6.7849555E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.74947E-5 | 8.260376E-5 | 8.260376E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.745194E-4 | 8.2573545E-4 | 8.5571065E-4 | 1.0363013 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.5815071E-6 | 1.3065078E-6 | 1.3065078E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.77787E-6 | 5.5993073E-6 | 5.5993073E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.251744E-5 | 6.816946E-5 | 6.816946E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.248681E-4 | 6.8148813E-4 | 7.0147455E-4 | 1.0293275 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.3772564E-6 | 1.1210848E-6 | 1.1210848E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9025137E-6 | 4.8046404E-6 | 4.8046404E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.186073E-5 | 5.8494945E-5 | 5.8494945E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.18375E-4 | 5.847975E-4 | 6.0478586E-4 | 1.0341799 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0916998E-6 | 8.7638756E-7 | 8.7638756E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.678705E-6 | 3.7559414E-6 | 3.7559414E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6961744E-5 | 4.572764E-5 | 4.572764E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6947145E-4 | 4.5718366E-4 | 4.6717908E-4 | 1.0218631 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.6277024E-7 | 5.9015247E-7 | 5.9015247E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2690114E-6 | 2.5292225E-6 | 2.5292225E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9799485E-5 | 3.0792857E-5 | 3.0792857E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9792358E-4 | 3.0788648E-4 | 3.0788648E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.3265916E-7 | 4.3824897E-7 | 4.3824897E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.282823E-6 | 1.8782085E-6 | 1.8782085E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7793016E-5 | 2.2866952E-5 | 2.2866952E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.778954E-4 | 2.2864637E-4 | 2.2864637E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.4946007E-7 | 3.0066073E-7 | 3.0066073E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.497685E-6 | 1.2885454E-6 | 1.2885454E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8234163E-5 | 1.5687929E-5 | 1.5687929E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8232666E-4 | 1.5686844E-4 | 1.5686844E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.8317026E-7 | 1.4244999E-7 | 1.4244999E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.850152E-7 | 6.104998E-7 | 6.104998E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.557518E-6 | 7.432811E-6 | 7.432811E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.5571064E-5 | 7.43257E-5 | 7.43257E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.572245E-8 | 1.7353019E-8 | 1.7353019E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10239064E-7 | 7.437008E-8 | 7.437008E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421597E-6 | 9.054554E-7 | 9.054554E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421517E-5 | 9.054523E-6 | 9.054523E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Kern Canyon (North Kern) 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.757416E-6 | 6.757416E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.8960078E-5 | 2.8960078E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.525399E-4 | 3.525399E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034516277 | 0.003520595 | 0.0035704188 | 1.0141522 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.757416E-6 | 6.757416E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.8960078E-5 | 2.8960078E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.525399E-4 | 3.525399E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034516277 | 0.003520595 | 0.0035704188 | 1.0141522 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.757416E-6 | 6.757416E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.8960078E-5 | 2.8960078E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.525399E-4 | 3.525399E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034516277 | 0.003520595 | 0.0035704188 | 1.0141522 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.757416E-6 | 6.757416E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.8960078E-5 | 2.8960078E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.525399E-4 | 3.525399E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034516277 | 0.003520595 | 0.0035704188 | 1.0141522 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.757416E-6 | 6.757416E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.8960078E-5 | 2.8960078E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.525399E-4 | 3.525399E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034516277 | 0.003520595 | 0.0035704188 | 1.0141522 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.2162225E-6 | 3.2571281E-6 | 3.2571281E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3783738E-5 | 1.395905E-5 | 1.395905E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6780409E-4 | 1.69939E-4 | 1.69939E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016767744 | 0.0016981701 | 0.0017181361 | 1.0117574 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.2162225E-6 | 3.2571281E-6 | 3.2571281E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3783738E-5 | 1.395905E-5 | 1.395905E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6780409E-4 | 1.69939E-4 | 1.69939E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016767744 | 0.0016981701 | 0.0017181361 | 1.0117574 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.1908265E-6 | 2.2071456E-6 | 2.2071456E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.389223E-6 | 9.459161E-6 | 9.459161E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1430779E-4 | 1.15159404E-4 | 1.15159404E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011424901 | 0.0011510167 | 0.0011610052 | 1.008678 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.7303895E-6 | 1.7365708E-6 | 1.7365708E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.415934E-6 | 7.4424256E-6 | 7.4424256E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.028525E-5 | 9.060786E-5 | 9.060786E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.024858E-4 | 9.057189E-4 | 9.157098E-4 | 1.0110309 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.3700314E-6 | 1.3688762E-6 | 1.3688762E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.87155E-6 | 5.866599E-6 | 5.866599E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.148377E-5 | 7.142355E-5 | 7.142355E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.146078E-4 | 7.140105E-4 | 7.2400336E-4 | 1.0139954 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.1467797E-6 | 1.1413921E-6 | 1.1413921E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9147607E-6 | 4.8916713E-6 | 4.8916713E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.983557E-5 | 5.9554503E-5 | 5.9554503E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.981946E-4 | 5.953886E-4 | 6.053826E-4 | 1.0167857 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 9.3952065E-7 | 9.302786E-7 | 9.302786E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.026511E-6 | 3.9869024E-6 | 3.9869024E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9021666E-5 | 4.853947E-5 | 4.853947E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.901085E-4 | 4.8529045E-4 | 4.8529045E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.858055E-7 | 6.719371E-7 | 6.719371E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.939163E-6 | 2.8797272E-6 | 2.8797272E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5783723E-5 | 3.5060122E-5 | 3.5060122E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5777962E-4 | 3.505468E-4 | 3.505468E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.1101983E-7 | 4.9393526E-7 | 4.9393526E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1900833E-6 | 2.1168637E-6 | 2.1168637E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6663936E-5 | 2.5772517E-5 | 2.5772517E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6660739E-4 | 2.5769576E-4 | 2.5769576E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.4999414E-7 | 3.2996275E-7 | 3.2996275E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.499974E-6 | 1.4141253E-6 | 1.4141253E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8262032E-5 | 1.7216842E-5 | 1.7216842E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.826053E-4 | 1.7215533E-4 | 1.7215533E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.7021522E-7 | 1.4750238E-7 | 1.4750238E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2949354E-7 | 6.321529E-7 | 6.321529E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.881548E-6 | 7.696435E-6 | 7.696435E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8811925E-5 | 7.696177E-5 | 7.696177E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.572245E-8 | 1.7353019E-8 | 1.7353019E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10239064E-7 | 7.437008E-8 | 7.437008E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421597E-6 | 9.054554E-7 | 9.054554E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421517E-5 | 9.054523E-6 | 9.054523E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Anza) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.33769E-5 | 4.33769E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8588782E-4 | 1.9588596E-4 | 1.0537859 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032827691 | 0.002260847 | 0.0023007568 | 1.0176525 | 4.0E-5 | 0.032346968 | 0.023336569 | 0.023385402 | 1.0020926 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.33769E-5 | 4.33769E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8588782E-4 | 1.9588596E-4 | 1.0537859 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032827691 | 0.002260847 | 0.0023007568 | 1.0176525 | 4.0E-5 | 0.032346968 | 0.023336569 | 0.023385402 | 1.0020926 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.33769E-5 | 4.33769E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8588782E-4 | 1.9588596E-4 | 1.0537859 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032827691 | 0.002260847 | 0.0023007568 | 1.0176525 | 4.0E-5 | 0.032346968 | 0.023336569 | 0.023385402 | 1.0020926 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.33769E-5 | 4.33769E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8588782E-4 | 1.9588596E-4 | 1.0537859 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032827691 | 0.002260847 | 0.0023007568 | 1.0176525 | 4.0E-5 | 0.032346968 | 0.023336569 | 0.023385402 | 1.0020926 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.33769E-5 | 4.33769E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8588782E-4 | 1.9588596E-4 | 1.0537859 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032827691 | 0.002260847 | 0.0023007568 | 1.0176525 | 4.0E-5 | 0.032346968 | 0.023336569 | 0.023385402 | 1.0020926 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.811017E-5 | 4.0152172E-5 | 4.0152172E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4901982E-4 | 1.7206941E-4 | 1.820677E-4 | 1.0581061 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030276014 | 0.002092938 | 0.0021328542 | 1.0190719 | 4.0E-5 | 0.02986684 | 0.02163211 | 0.02168103 | 1.0022614 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.811017E-5 | 4.0152172E-5 | 4.0152172E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4901982E-4 | 1.7206941E-4 | 1.820677E-4 | 1.0581061 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030276014 | 0.002092938 | 0.0021328542 | 1.0190719 | 4.0E-5 | 0.02986684 | 0.02163211 | 0.02168103 | 1.0022614 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 5.712442E-5 | 3.9574043E-5 | 3.9574043E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4479596E-4 | 1.6959205E-4 | 1.7959035E-4 | 1.0589551 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029763177 | 0.0020628334 | 0.0021027508 | 1.0193508 | 4.0E-5 | 0.029367693 | 0.021324372 | 0.021373307 | 1.0022948 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.6967532E-5 | 3.9430324E-5 | 3.9430324E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4412372E-4 | 1.689762E-4 | 1.789745E-4 | 1.0591699 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029681553 | 0.0020553495 | 0.0020952672 | 1.0194215 | 4.0E-5 | 0.029288229 | 0.021248532 | 0.02129747 | 1.0023031 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.6211324E-5 | 3.9134367E-5 | 3.9134367E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4088343E-4 | 1.6770797E-4 | 1.7770629E-4 | 1.0596174 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029288116 | 0.0020399378 | 0.0020798563 | 1.0195684 | 4.0E-5 | 0.028905109 | 0.021088846 | 0.021137793 | 1.0023209 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.4383527E-5 | 3.7993592E-5 | 3.7993592E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3305144E-4 | 1.6281955E-4 | 1.7281792E-4 | 1.0614077 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028337094 | 0.0019805306 | 0.0020204515 | 1.0201566 | 4.0E-5 | 0.027978465 | 0.020475477 | 0.020524453 | 1.0023919 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.1393665E-5 | 3.6453963E-5 | 3.6453963E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2023996E-4 | 1.5622194E-4 | 1.6622037E-4 | 1.0640014 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0026781242 | 0.0019003471 | 0.0019402711 | 1.0210087 | 4.0E-5 | 0.026460782 | 0.019646611 | 0.019695628 | 1.0024949 | 5.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.785222E-5 | 3.480354E-5 | 3.480354E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0506482E-4 | 1.4914952E-4 | 1.5914802E-4 | 1.0670369 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024938055 | 0.0018143865 | 0.0018543139 | 1.022006 | 4.0E-5 | 0.024660049 | 0.018758623 | 0.018807685 | 1.0026155 | 5.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.2143256E-5 | 3.3895747E-5 | 3.3895747E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8060145E-4 | 1.4525942E-4 | 1.5525796E-4 | 1.0688324 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002196605 | 0.0017671023 | 0.0018070316 | 1.0225959 | 4.0E-5 | 0.02175019 | 0.018267985 | 0.018317072 | 1.002687 | 5.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.0264713E-5 | 3.35335E-5 | 3.35335E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7255165E-4 | 1.4370709E-4 | 1.5370565E-4 | 1.069576 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002098792 | 0.0017482331 | 0.0017881632 | 1.0228403 | 4.0E-5 | 0.020790804 | 0.018072372 | 0.01812147 | 1.0027167 | 5.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.694492E-5 | 3.2245665E-5 | 3.2245665E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5832575E-4 | 1.381884E-4 | 1.4818703E-4 | 1.0723549 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019259118 | 0.0016811487 | 0.0017210813 | 1.0237533 | 4.0E-5 | 0.01909306 | 0.017387826 | 0.017436955 | 1.0028256 | 5.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.200565E-5 | 2.9554123E-5 | 2.9554123E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3715986E-4 | 1.2665438E-4 | 1.3665312E-4 | 1.078945 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001668642 | 0.0015409287 | 0.001580867 | 1.0259184 | 4.0E-5 | 0.01656168 | 0.015972013 | 0.016021214 | 1.0030805 | 5.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.731642E-5 | 2.6141446E-5 | 2.6141446E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1706512E-4 | 1.12029964E-4 | 1.2202884E-4 | 1.0892519 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001424336 | 0.0013631124 | 0.0014030578 | 1.0293046 | 4.0E-5 | 0.014152412 | 0.014192118 | 0.014241409 | 1.003473 | 5.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.3466424E-5 | 2.3551616E-5 | 2.3551616E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0056651E-4 | 1.009316E-4 | 1.1093059E-4 | 1.099067 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012237094 | 0.0012281502 | 0.0012681012 | 1.0325294 | 4.0E-5 | 0.012169928 | 0.012832963 | 0.012882321 | 1.0038462 | 5.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.8611925E-5 | 1.8950184E-5 | 1.8950184E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9762955E-5 | 8.121255E-5 | 9.121174E-5 | 1.1231236 | 1.0E-5 | 9.7068126E-4 | 9.883151E-4 | 0.0010282756 | 1.0404329 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0096645225 | 0.010415917 | 0.010465397 | 1.0047504 | 5.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.5460775E-5 | 1.5778292E-5 | 1.5778292E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6258784E-5 | 6.7619505E-5 | 7.7618824E-5 | 1.1478764 | 1.0E-5 | 8.0640207E-4 | 8.229572E-4 | 8.6292427E-4 | 1.0485651 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008034821 | 0.008722612 | 0.008772176 | 1.0056822 | 5.0E-5 |
8.1 | 9.983884E-6 | 8.29136E-6 | 8.29136E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2787375E-5 | 3.553392E-5 | 4.5533565E-5 | 1.2814113 | 1.0E-5 | 5.2081177E-4 | 4.3254014E-4 | 4.5253147E-4 | 1.0462185 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0051959283 | 0.004651628 | 0.004671535 | 1.0042796 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 4.1226E-6 | 1.5588215E-6 | 1.5588215E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7668166E-5 | 6.6806465E-6 | 6.6806465E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1508869E-4 | 8.133386E-5 | 8.133386E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021488064 | 9.43875E-4 | 9.43875E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2750878E-6 | 3.6277774E-7 | 3.6277774E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4646503E-6 | 1.5547608E-6 | 1.5547608E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.653009E-5 | 1.8929053E-5 | 1.8929053E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6510175E-4 | 2.2828147E-4 | 2.2828147E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Clemente
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.681379E-5 | 8.164766E-5 | 8.164766E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8631336E-4 | 3.4987382E-4 | 3.4987382E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003480294 | 0.0042519076 | 0.0042817798 | 1.0070256 | 3.0E-5 | 0.03426291 | 0.041760825 | 0.041799154 | 1.0009178 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.681379E-5 | 8.164766E-5 | 8.164766E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8631336E-4 | 3.4987382E-4 | 3.4987382E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003480294 | 0.0042519076 | 0.0042718225 | 1.0046837 | 2.0E-5 | 0.03426291 | 0.041760825 | 0.04178957 | 1.0006884 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.9400576E-5 | 4.6456847E-5 | 4.6456847E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6884868E-4 | 1.9908592E-4 | 1.9908592E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020537945 | 0.0024212298 | 0.0024312057 | 1.0041201 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020349167 | 0.023955164 | 0.023964925 | 1.0004075 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.2590255E-5 | 3.793244E-5 | 3.793244E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3966505E-4 | 1.6255764E-4 | 1.6255764E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016990956 | 0.001977373 | 0.0019873532 | 1.0050472 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01686163 | 0.019601578 | 0.019611383 | 1.0005002 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.9454652E-5 | 3.410063E-5 | 3.410063E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2622811E-4 | 1.4613752E-4 | 1.4613752E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015357438 | 0.0017777986 | 0.0017777986 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015251739 | 0.017638939 | 0.017638939 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 2.790836E-5 | 3.2250136E-5 | 3.2250136E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1960178E-4 | 1.3820769E-4 | 1.3820769E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001455179 | 0.0016814056 | 0.0016814056 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014456868 | 0.016689856 | 0.016689856 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 2.2492153E-5 | 2.5764695E-5 | 2.5764695E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.639138E-5 | 1.1041553E-4 | 1.1041553E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011729331 | 0.0013434949 | 0.0013434949 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011667615 | 0.013355443 | 0.013355443 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.9862755E-5 | 2.2668124E-5 | 2.2668124E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.512331E-5 | 9.7145545E-5 | 9.7145545E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010358836 | 0.0011821166 | 0.0011821166 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010310682 | 0.011759578 | 0.011759578 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.6697575E-5 | 1.8979084E-5 | 1.8979084E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.155907E-5 | 8.133645E-5 | 8.133645E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7088346E-4 | 9.898308E-4 | 9.898308E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008674784 | 0.009855248 | 0.009855248 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.5218415E-5 | 1.7270635E-5 | 1.7270635E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.522015E-5 | 7.401496E-5 | 7.401496E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.93766E-4 | 9.007684E-4 | 9.007684E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007909367 | 0.00897212 | 0.00897212 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.2392958E-5 | 1.4034001E-5 | 1.4034001E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3111595E-5 | 6.0144375E-5 | 6.0144375E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4644177E-4 | 7.320193E-4 | 7.320193E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0064456454 | 0.007296867 | 0.007296867 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.0934128E-5 | 1.2376004E-5 | 1.2376004E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6859706E-5 | 5.3038977E-5 | 5.3038977E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7036756E-4 | 6.4556557E-4 | 6.4556557E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0056890585 | 0.0064376486 | 0.0064376486 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 9.5798805E-6 | 1.0845695E-5 | 1.0845695E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1055984E-5 | 4.6480764E-5 | 4.6480764E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9974193E-4 | 5.6576356E-4 | 5.6576356E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0049861963 | 0.005643956 | 0.005643956 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 8.0167365E-6 | 9.084559E-6 | 9.084559E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4356988E-5 | 3.893328E-5 | 3.893328E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1821605E-4 | 4.7391668E-4 | 4.7391668E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041742986 | 0.004729763 | 0.004729763 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.9581017E-6 | 3.362623E-6 | 3.362623E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2677518E-5 | 1.441119E-5 | 1.441119E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5433785E-4 | 1.7544716E-4 | 1.7544716E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001542307 | 0.0017535817 | 0.0017535817 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Coronado Bank alt1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.533492E-5 | 9.396308E-5 | 9.396308E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.22824E-4 | 4.026398E-4 | 4.026398E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039233007 | 0.004891753 | 0.0049017044 | 1.0020343 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03854755 | 0.047910035 | 0.04795764 | 1.0009936 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.1807285E-5 | 5.0498526E-5 | 5.0498526E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7916178E-4 | 2.164048E-4 | 2.164048E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021791123 | 0.0026316273 | 0.002641601 | 1.0037899 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021578677 | 0.026013961 | 0.02603344 | 1.0007489 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.1807285E-5 | 5.0498526E-5 | 5.0498526E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7916178E-4 | 2.164048E-4 | 2.164048E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021791123 | 0.0026316273 | 0.002641601 | 1.0037899 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021578677 | 0.026013961 | 0.02603344 | 1.0007489 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.1793104E-5 | 3.7714883E-5 | 3.7714883E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3624904E-4 | 1.6162539E-4 | 1.6162539E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016575698 | 0.0019660448 | 0.001976025 | 1.0050764 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016452603 | 0.019490417 | 0.019510027 | 1.0010061 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.9878007E-5 | 3.5339264E-5 | 3.5339264E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2804232E-4 | 1.5144538E-4 | 1.5144538E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015578003 | 0.0018423196 | 0.0018523013 | 1.005418 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015469253 | 0.018274235 | 0.018284053 | 1.0005373 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.4512565E-5 | 2.8766783E-5 | 2.8766783E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0504962E-4 | 1.2328054E-4 | 1.2328054E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012782287 | 0.0014999339 | 0.0015099188 | 1.006657 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012709012 | 0.01490107 | 0.0149109205 | 1.0006611 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.1317413E-5 | 2.4908924E-5 | 2.4908924E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.135714E-5 | 1.0674829E-4 | 1.0674829E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011117056 | 0.0012989078 | 0.0013088948 | 1.0076888 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011061605 | 0.012915568 | 0.0129254395 | 1.0007643 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.8585655E-5 | 2.1636792E-5 | 2.1636792E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9650374E-5 | 9.2725924E-5 | 9.2725924E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.6931186E-4 | 0.0011283739 | 0.0011383626 | 1.0088524 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0096509475 | 0.011228609 | 0.011238496 | 1.0008806 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.5862879E-5 | 1.8421075E-5 | 1.8421075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.798199E-5 | 7.894519E-5 | 7.894519E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.273665E-4 | 9.6075307E-4 | 9.707435E-4 | 1.0103985 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008242928 | 0.009567978 | 0.009577882 | 1.0010351 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.3021509E-5 | 1.5096564E-5 | 1.5096564E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5805274E-5 | 6.4698055E-5 | 6.4698055E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.792174E-4 | 7.874323E-4 | 7.974244E-4 | 1.0126895 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006771452 | 0.007848245 | 0.007858167 | 1.0012642 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0974371E-5 | 1.2721201E-5 | 1.2721201E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7032172E-5 | 5.451839E-5 | 5.451839E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7246623E-4 | 6.635768E-4 | 6.735702E-4 | 1.0150598 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0057099373 | 0.0066177035 | 0.0066276374 | 1.0015011 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.766221E-6 | 1.0164714E-5 | 1.0164714E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7568978E-5 | 4.356243E-5 | 4.356243E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.573063E-4 | 5.3026073E-4 | 5.4025545E-4 | 1.0188487 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045636636 | 0.0052916547 | 0.0053016017 | 1.0018798 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 8.026024E-7 | 8.332067E-7 | 8.332067E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.43972E-6 | 3.570881E-6 | 3.570881E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1877785E-5 | 4.3474618E-5 | 4.3474618E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1869894E-4 | 4.3466224E-4 | 4.3466224E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.7293114E-7 | 3.7002025E-7 | 3.7002025E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5982754E-6 | 1.5858001E-6 | 1.5858001E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9458828E-5 | 1.9306945E-5 | 1.9306945E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9457124E-4 | 1.9305275E-4 | 1.9305275E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.0557036E-7 | 1.9674852E-7 | 1.9674852E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.810155E-7 | 8.4320766E-7 | 8.4320766E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0726311E-5 | 1.0266005E-5 | 1.0266005E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0725793E-4 | 1.0265534E-4 | 1.0265534E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.845446E-8 | 6.2794854E-8 | 6.2794854E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9337625E-7 | 2.6912076E-7 | 2.6912076E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5718497E-6 | 3.2765404E-6 | 3.2765404E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5717923E-5 | 3.276493E-5 | 3.276493E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.0975145E-9 | 5.5319385E-9 | 5.5319385E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6132206E-8 | 2.3708308E-8 | 2.3708308E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1815955E-7 | 2.8864864E-7 | 2.8864864E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.181591E-6 | 2.8864836E-6 | 2.8864836E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Oceanic - West Huasna
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.195567E-5 | 2.7928398E-5 | 2.7928398E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3694567E-4 | 1.1968789E-4 | 1.1968789E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016660384 | 0.0014562691 | 0.0014662545 | 1.0068569 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016536033 | 0.014471814 | 0.014511236 | 1.002724 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1156782E-5 | 1.7574706E-5 | 1.7574706E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.066878E-5 | 7.531805E-5 | 7.531805E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011033333 | 9.166209E-4 | 9.166209E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010978713 | 0.009129409 | 0.009149226 | 1.0021707 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6195117E-5 | 1.3327666E-5 | 1.3327666E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9405796E-5 | 5.7117333E-5 | 5.7117333E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.44688E-4 | 6.951842E-4 | 6.951842E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008414844 | 0.006930389 | 0.0069502504 | 1.0028658 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3559345E-5 | 1.1179372E-5 | 1.1179372E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.811018E-5 | 4.7910722E-5 | 4.7910722E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.072618E-4 | 5.831579E-4 | 5.831579E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0070501505 | 0.005816394 | 0.005826336 | 1.0017092 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2120619E-5 | 1.0001191E-5 | 1.0001191E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1944477E-5 | 4.2861546E-5 | 4.2861546E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.322405E-4 | 5.2171486E-4 | 5.2171486E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006304447 | 0.0052049677 | 0.005214916 | 1.0019113 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.13511915E-5 | 9.367664E-6 | 9.367664E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8647056E-5 | 4.0146515E-5 | 4.0146515E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9211696E-4 | 4.886746E-4 | 4.886746E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0059054173 | 0.004876059 | 0.00488601 | 1.0020409 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.850605E-6 | 8.135557E-6 | 8.135557E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2216197E-5 | 3.486621E-5 | 3.486621E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1386096E-4 | 4.2441362E-4 | 4.2441362E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051267436 | 0.004236063 | 0.0042460207 | 1.0023507 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.8558645E-6 | 7.318557E-6 | 7.318557E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7953152E-5 | 3.1364867E-5 | 3.1364867E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6198163E-4 | 3.8180055E-4 | 3.8180055E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004610224 | 0.0038114712 | 0.0038114712 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 7.67136E-6 | 6.3918774E-6 | 6.3918774E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2876844E-5 | 2.7393473E-5 | 2.7393473E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0020206E-4 | 3.3346465E-4 | 3.3346465E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003994821 | 0.0033296635 | 0.0033296635 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 6.534529E-6 | 5.458424E-6 | 5.458424E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8004823E-5 | 2.3393037E-5 | 2.3393037E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4090536E-4 | 2.8477312E-4 | 2.8477312E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034038287 | 0.0028440985 | 0.0028440985 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 5.460525E-6 | 4.570061E-6 | 4.570061E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3402039E-5 | 1.9585828E-5 | 1.9585828E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8488258E-4 | 2.3843147E-4 | 2.3843147E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028451765 | 0.0023817702 | 0.0023817702 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 4.4825083E-6 | 3.7525451E-6 | 3.7525451E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9210609E-5 | 1.6082236E-5 | 1.6082236E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3386406E-4 | 1.9578375E-4 | 1.9578375E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002336181 | 0.0019561243 | 0.0019561243 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.821708E-6 | 2.425045E-6 | 2.425045E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2092979E-5 | 1.0393009E-5 | 1.0393009E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4722206E-4 | 1.2652755E-4 | 1.2652755E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014712457 | 0.0012645572 | 0.0012645572 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.0644757E-6 | 1.7688409E-6 | 1.7688409E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.847723E-6 | 7.5807243E-6 | 7.5807243E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0771569E-4 | 9.229141E-5 | 9.229141E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001076635 | 9.2253234E-4 | 9.2253234E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.6980367E-6 | 1.4380826E-6 | 1.4380826E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.27728E-6 | 6.1631963E-6 | 6.1631963E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8597284E-5 | 7.503434E-5 | 7.503434E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8561967E-4 | 7.500914E-4 | 7.500914E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3637683E-6 | 1.1303514E-6 | 1.1303514E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.844708E-6 | 4.844354E-6 | 4.844354E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1156996E-5 | 5.8978418E-5 | 5.8978418E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1134215E-4 | 5.8962894E-4 | 5.8962894E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 9.802994E-7 | 7.6780407E-7 | 7.6780407E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2012766E-6 | 3.2905848E-6 | 3.2905848E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1149345E-5 | 4.0062132E-5 | 4.0062132E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.113757E-4 | 4.005503E-4 | 4.005503E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.986191E-7 | 4.0057682E-7 | 4.0057682E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5655079E-6 | 1.7167566E-6 | 1.7167566E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1234613E-5 | 2.0901312E-5 | 2.0901312E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.123022E-4 | 2.0899458E-4 | 2.0899458E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.9189815E-7 | 1.5291376E-7 | 1.5291376E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2509914E-6 | 6.553445E-7 | 6.553445E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5230714E-5 | 7.978791E-6 | 7.978791E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.522967E-4 | 7.9786114E-5 | 7.9786114E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.2057845E-7 | 4.624249E-8 | 4.624249E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1676466E-7 | 1.981821E-7 | 1.981821E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2915915E-6 | 2.4128642E-6 | 2.4128642E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2914136E-5 | 2.4129453E-5 | 2.4129453E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 3.3806387E-9 | 9.0229946E-10 | 9.0229946E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4488451E-8 | 3.8669987E-9 | 3.8669987E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7639688E-7 | 4.7080707E-8 | 4.7080707E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7639674E-6 | 4.7169183E-7 | 4.7169183E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Cruz Island
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.9164563E-5 | 3.1601154E-5 | 3.1601154E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2498499E-4 | 1.3542725E-4 | 1.3542725E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015206301 | 0.001647716 | 0.001647716 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015102667 | 0.016368724 | 0.016398234 | 1.0018028 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.9164563E-5 | 3.1601154E-5 | 3.1601154E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2498499E-4 | 1.3542725E-4 | 1.3542725E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015206301 | 0.001647716 | 0.001647716 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015102667 | 0.016368724 | 0.016398234 | 1.0018028 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.9164563E-5 | 3.1601154E-5 | 3.1601154E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2498499E-4 | 1.3542725E-4 | 1.3542725E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015206301 | 0.001647716 | 0.001647716 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015102667 | 0.016368724 | 0.016398234 | 1.0018028 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.6635553E-5 | 1.7805029E-5 | 1.7805029E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1293274E-5 | 7.6305136E-5 | 7.6305136E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6765E-4 | 9.286373E-4 | 9.286373E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008642701 | 0.00924944 | 0.009269255 | 1.0021423 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6635553E-5 | 1.7805029E-5 | 1.7805029E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1293274E-5 | 7.6305136E-5 | 7.6305136E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6765E-4 | 9.286373E-4 | 9.286373E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008642701 | 0.00924944 | 0.009269255 | 1.0021423 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.2238748E-5 | 1.30434555E-5 | 1.30434555E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2450723E-5 | 5.589935E-5 | 5.589935E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3840044E-4 | 6.803657E-4 | 6.803657E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063656955 | 0.0067832265 | 0.0068030907 | 1.0029285 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0489767E-5 | 1.1157017E-5 | 1.1157017E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.495537E-5 | 4.7814923E-5 | 4.7814923E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4719415E-4 | 5.8199343E-4 | 5.8199343E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005458487 | 0.0058049336 | 0.005824818 | 1.0034254 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.699222E-6 | 9.23709E-6 | 9.23709E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7281847E-5 | 3.9586932E-5 | 3.9586932E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5381195E-4 | 4.8186484E-4 | 4.8186484E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045288634 | 0.0048082676 | 0.0048182197 | 1.0020697 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.307732E-6 | 8.8171955E-6 | 8.8171955E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.560408E-5 | 3.778744E-5 | 3.778744E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3339343E-4 | 4.5996535E-4 | 4.5996535E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004325492 | 0.0045901868 | 0.0046001407 | 1.0021685 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.073121E-6 | 8.565221E-6 | 8.565221E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.459863E-5 | 3.6707574E-5 | 3.6707574E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2115687E-4 | 4.4682348E-4 | 4.4682348E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004203596 | 0.0044593024 | 0.004469258 | 1.0022326 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.617019E-6 | 8.074926E-6 | 8.074926E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.264396E-5 | 3.460637E-5 | 3.460637E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9736772E-4 | 4.212515E-4 | 4.212515E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003966579 | 0.0042045773 | 0.0042145355 | 1.0023683 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.1224836E-6 | 7.5460302E-6 | 7.5460302E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.052457E-5 | 3.2339733E-5 | 3.2339733E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.715733E-4 | 3.9366545E-4 | 3.9366545E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003709526 | 0.003929724 | 0.0039396845 | 1.0025347 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.441115E-6 | 6.827605E-6 | 6.827605E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7604487E-5 | 2.9260838E-5 | 2.9260838E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.360328E-4 | 3.561927E-4 | 3.561927E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033552512 | 0.0035562462 | 0.0035662106 | 1.0028019 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 5.494274E-6 | 5.8201817E-6 | 5.8201817E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3546674E-5 | 2.4943398E-5 | 2.4943398E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8664304E-4 | 3.0364376E-4 | 3.0364376E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002862736 | 0.0030323118 | 0.0030422816 | 1.0032878 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.0802624E-6 | 4.3123905E-6 | 4.3123905E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7486722E-5 | 1.8481544E-5 | 1.8481544E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1288003E-4 | 2.2498962E-4 | 2.2498962E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021267622 | 0.0022476274 | 0.0022576049 | 1.0044391 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.3584746E-6 | 2.4753786E-6 | 2.4753786E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0107709E-5 | 1.0608722E-5 | 1.0608722E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2305441E-4 | 1.2915359E-4 | 1.2915359E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012298629 | 0.0012907903 | 0.0012907903 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 9.4981914E-7 | 9.861163E-7 | 9.861163E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0706473E-6 | 4.226206E-6 | 4.226206E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9559E-5 | 5.1452855E-5 | 5.1452855E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.954795E-4 | 5.144107E-4 | 5.144107E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.6013532E-7 | 2.6417084E-7 | 2.6417084E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1148652E-6 | 1.1321602E-6 | 1.1321602E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3573399E-5 | 1.3783963E-5 | 1.3783963E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.357257E-4 | 1.3783116E-4 | 1.3783116E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.1522263E-8 | 3.965741E-8 | 3.965741E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7795254E-7 | 1.6996033E-7 | 1.6996033E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.16657E-6 | 2.0692653E-6 | 2.0692653E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1665488E-5 | 2.0692481E-5 | 2.0692481E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.7242046E-10 | 5.947626E-10 | 5.947626E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3103735E-9 | 2.548983E-9 | 2.548983E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0303796E-8 | 3.1033867E-8 | 3.1033867E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.030379E-7 | 3.1033863E-7 | 3.1033863E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Emerson-Copper Mtn 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.1364202E-5 | 9.968862E-6 | 9.968862E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1557646E-5 | 4.2723044E-5 | 5.272262E-5 | 1.2340558 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011141442 | 5.2003766E-4 | 5.400273E-4 | 1.0384388 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011085749 | 0.005189077 | 0.0052288696 | 1.0076685 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1364202E-5 | 9.968862E-6 | 9.968862E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1557646E-5 | 4.2723044E-5 | 5.272262E-5 | 1.2340558 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011141442 | 5.2003766E-4 | 5.400273E-4 | 1.0384388 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011085749 | 0.005189077 | 0.0052288696 | 1.0076685 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1364202E-5 | 9.968862E-6 | 9.968862E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1557646E-5 | 4.2723044E-5 | 5.272262E-5 | 1.2340558 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011141442 | 5.2003766E-4 | 5.400273E-4 | 1.0384388 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011085749 | 0.005189077 | 0.0052288696 | 1.0076685 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.7751237E-5 | 8.0898735E-6 | 8.0898735E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.607452E-5 | 3.467046E-5 | 4.4670112E-5 | 1.28842 | 1.0E-5 | 9.258136E-4 | 4.2203735E-4 | 4.4202892E-4 | 1.0473691 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00921966 | 0.0042129816 | 0.004242855 | 1.0070908 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.7751237E-5 | 8.0898735E-6 | 8.0898735E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.607452E-5 | 3.467046E-5 | 4.4670112E-5 | 1.28842 | 1.0E-5 | 9.258136E-4 | 4.2203735E-4 | 4.4202892E-4 | 1.0473691 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00921966 | 0.0042129816 | 0.004242855 | 1.0070908 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5886664E-5 | 6.604355E-6 | 6.604355E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.808392E-5 | 2.8304097E-5 | 3.8303813E-5 | 1.3532958 | 1.0E-5 | 8.286065E-4 | 3.445526E-4 | 3.645457E-4 | 1.0580263 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008255237 | 0.003440648 | 0.003470545 | 1.0086893 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.5886664E-5 | 6.604355E-6 | 6.604355E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.808392E-5 | 2.8304097E-5 | 3.8303813E-5 | 1.3532958 | 1.0E-5 | 8.286065E-4 | 3.445526E-4 | 3.645457E-4 | 1.0580263 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008255237 | 0.003440648 | 0.003470545 | 1.0086893 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.428471E-5 | 5.47086E-6 | 5.47086E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.121875E-5 | 2.3446355E-5 | 3.344612E-5 | 1.4264956 | 1.0E-5 | 7.450834E-4 | 2.8542592E-4 | 3.054202E-4 | 1.0700507 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007425902 | 0.0028509812 | 0.0028808957 | 1.0104927 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.3490684E-5 | 5.0741232E-6 | 5.0741232E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7815934E-5 | 2.1746082E-5 | 3.1745865E-5 | 1.4598429 | 1.0E-5 | 7.0368167E-4 | 2.6473025E-4 | 2.8472496E-4 | 1.0755286 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007014576 | 0.00264453 | 0.0026744506 | 1.0113142 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.2235421E-5 | 4.29004E-6 | 4.29004E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2436466E-5 | 1.8385777E-5 | 2.8385593E-5 | 1.5438887 | 1.0E-5 | 6.38227E-4 | 2.2382745E-4 | 2.4382297E-4 | 1.0893345 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0063639707 | 0.0022363744 | 0.0022663074 | 1.0133846 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.1009851E-5 | 3.7193186E-6 | 3.7193186E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7184225E-5 | 1.5939859E-5 | 2.59397E-5 | 1.6273482 | 1.0E-5 | 5.743165E-4 | 1.9405394E-4 | 2.1405006E-4 | 1.1030442 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005728345 | 0.0019391828 | 0.0019691247 | 1.0154405 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 9.726373E-6 | 3.212039E-6 | 3.212039E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.168379E-5 | 1.3765828E-5 | 2.376569E-5 | 1.7264265 | 1.0E-5 | 5.07382E-4 | 1.6758945E-4 | 1.8758609E-4 | 1.1193192 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0050622504 | 0.0016749619 | 0.0017049117 | 1.0178808 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.9335127E-6 | 1.1525179E-6 | 1.1525179E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6857803E-5 | 4.9393534E-6 | 1.49393045E-5 | 3.0245464 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0522442E-4 | 6.013503E-5 | 8.0133825E-5 | 1.3325648 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00205035 | 6.011935E-4 | 6.211815E-4 | 1.0332471 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.661632E-6 | 6.91165E-7 | 6.91165E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.14069435E-5 | 2.9621324E-6 | 1.2962103E-5 | 4.3759365 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3887069E-4 | 3.6063375E-5 | 5.6062654E-5 | 1.5545592 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0013878393 | 3.6057626E-4 | 3.8056905E-4 | 1.0554467 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.0893426E-6 | 5.461979E-7 | 5.461979E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.954295E-6 | 2.340846E-6 | 1.2340823E-5 | 5.27195 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0901308E-4 | 2.8499433E-5 | 4.8498863E-5 | 1.7017484 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010895962 | 2.8495834E-4 | 3.049526E-4 | 1.0701658 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.1681728E-6 | 3.6031344E-7 | 3.6031344E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0064455E-6 | 1.5441996E-6 | 1.5441996E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0951766E-5 | 1.8800472E-5 | 1.8800472E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.093505E-4 | 1.8798928E-4 | 1.8798928E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.3154387E-7 | 7.119929E-8 | 7.119929E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6375933E-7 | 3.0513976E-7 | 3.0513976E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863748E-6 | 3.715072E-6 | 3.715072E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863536E-5 | 3.7150257E-5 | 3.7150257E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Independence rev 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.3263026E-6 | 4.3263026E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.854118E-5 | 1.854118E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2571848E-4 | 2.5571173E-4 | 1.1328789 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0023047708 | 0.002255186 | 0.0022950957 | 1.0176969 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.3263026E-6 | 4.3263026E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.854118E-5 | 1.854118E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2571848E-4 | 2.5571173E-4 | 1.1328789 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0023047708 | 0.002255186 | 0.0022950957 | 1.0176969 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.3263026E-6 | 4.3263026E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.854118E-5 | 1.854118E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2571848E-4 | 2.5571173E-4 | 1.1328789 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0023047708 | 0.002255186 | 0.0022950957 | 1.0176969 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.3263026E-6 | 4.3263026E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.854118E-5 | 1.854118E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2571848E-4 | 2.5571173E-4 | 1.1328789 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0023047708 | 0.002255186 | 0.0022950957 | 1.0176969 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.3263026E-6 | 4.3263026E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.854118E-5 | 1.854118E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2571848E-4 | 2.5571173E-4 | 1.1328789 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0023047708 | 0.002255186 | 0.0022950957 | 1.0176969 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.3263026E-6 | 4.3263026E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.854118E-5 | 1.854118E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2571848E-4 | 2.5571173E-4 | 1.1328789 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0023047708 | 0.002255186 | 0.0022950957 | 1.0176969 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.663744E-6 | 2.5320423E-6 | 2.5320423E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1415996E-5 | 1.0851568E-5 | 1.0851568E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3898089E-4 | 1.3211032E-4 | 1.5210768E-4 | 1.1513686 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0013889399 | 0.001320366 | 0.0013503265 | 1.022691 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.663744E-6 | 2.5320423E-6 | 2.5320423E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1415996E-5 | 1.0851568E-5 | 1.0851568E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3898089E-4 | 1.3211032E-4 | 1.5210768E-4 | 1.1513686 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0013889399 | 0.001320366 | 0.0013503265 | 1.022691 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.9716529E-6 | 1.8323069E-6 | 1.8323069E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.449913E-6 | 7.852721E-6 | 7.852721E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0287284E-4 | 9.560281E-5 | 1.156009E-4 | 1.2091789 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010282523 | 9.5562974E-4 | 9.856011E-4 | 1.0313629 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.8788617E-6 | 1.7430461E-6 | 1.7430461E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0522395E-6 | 7.470177E-6 | 7.470177E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.80316E-5 | 9.094573E-5 | 1.1094391E-4 | 1.2198913 | 2.0E-5 | 9.798837E-4 | 9.0909714E-4 | 9.390699E-4 | 1.0329698 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.5045488E-6 | 1.3849901E-6 | 1.3849901E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.44805E-6 | 5.935659E-6 | 5.935659E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8502184E-5 | 7.22643E-5 | 8.226358E-5 | 1.1383709 | 1.0E-5 | 7.8474457E-4 | 7.224132E-4 | 7.423987E-4 | 1.027665 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.272341E-6 | 1.1625449E-6 | 1.1625449E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4528787E-6 | 4.982326E-6 | 4.982326E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6386776E-5 | 6.0658163E-5 | 7.065756E-5 | 1.1648483 | 1.0E-5 | 6.636695E-4 | 6.064193E-4 | 6.2640716E-4 | 1.0329605 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.0416892E-6 | 9.4101864E-7 | 9.4101864E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.464375E-6 | 4.032931E-6 | 4.032931E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4352407E-5 | 4.9099846E-5 | 5.9099355E-5 | 1.2036567 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4339116E-4 | 4.9089186E-4 | 5.1088206E-4 | 1.0407221 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.9450155E-7 | 7.2352304E-7 | 7.2352304E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4050022E-6 | 3.1008094E-6 | 3.1008094E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1455114E-5 | 3.775171E-5 | 4.7751335E-5 | 1.2648786 | 1.0E-5 | 4.144738E-4 | 3.774541E-4 | 3.9744654E-4 | 1.0529666 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 5.3893444E-7 | 5.019647E-7 | 5.019647E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.309717E-6 | 2.1512753E-6 | 2.1512753E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8120441E-5 | 2.6191468E-5 | 3.6191206E-5 | 1.3817937 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8116882E-4 | 2.6188427E-4 | 2.8187904E-4 | 1.0763496 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.8852085E-7 | 3.682647E-7 | 3.682647E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6650882E-6 | 1.5782763E-6 | 1.5782763E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.027226E-5 | 1.9215347E-5 | 1.9215347E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0270412E-4 | 1.9213707E-4 | 2.0213515E-4 | 1.0520362 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.414929E-7 | 2.345808E-7 | 2.345808E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0349692E-6 | 1.0053459E-6 | 1.0053459E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2600677E-5 | 1.2240019E-5 | 1.2240019E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2599962E-4 | 1.2239357E-4 | 1.3239235E-4 | 1.0816936 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.8298014E-8 | 6.859071E-8 | 6.859071E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9270575E-7 | 2.9396014E-7 | 2.9396014E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5636867E-6 | 3.5789594E-6 | 3.5789594E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5636294E-5 | 3.5789068E-5 | 3.5789068E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Los Alamos extension
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.0146506E-6 | 4.0862483E-6 | 4.0862483E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7205533E-5 | 1.751238E-5 | 1.751238E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0945723E-4 | 2.1319349E-4 | 2.2319135E-4 | 1.0468957 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020925992 | 0.0021299988 | 0.0021699136 | 1.0187393 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.0146506E-6 | 4.0862483E-6 | 4.0862483E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7205533E-5 | 1.751238E-5 | 1.751238E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0945723E-4 | 2.1319349E-4 | 2.2319135E-4 | 1.0468957 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020925992 | 0.0021299988 | 0.0021699136 | 1.0187393 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.0146506E-6 | 4.0862483E-6 | 4.0862483E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7205533E-5 | 1.751238E-5 | 1.751238E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0945723E-4 | 2.1319349E-4 | 2.2319135E-4 | 1.0468957 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020925992 | 0.0021299988 | 0.0021699136 | 1.0187393 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.0146506E-6 | 4.0862483E-6 | 4.0862483E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7205533E-5 | 1.751238E-5 | 1.751238E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0945723E-4 | 2.1319349E-4 | 2.2319135E-4 | 1.0468957 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020925992 | 0.0021299988 | 0.0021699136 | 1.0187393 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.0146506E-6 | 4.0862483E-6 | 4.0862483E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7205533E-5 | 1.751238E-5 | 1.751238E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0945723E-4 | 2.1319349E-4 | 2.2319135E-4 | 1.0468957 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020925992 | 0.0021299988 | 0.0021699136 | 1.0187393 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.0146506E-6 | 4.0862483E-6 | 4.0862483E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7205533E-5 | 1.751238E-5 | 1.751238E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0945723E-4 | 2.1319349E-4 | 2.2319135E-4 | 1.0468957 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020925992 | 0.0021299988 | 0.0021699136 | 1.0187393 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.0146506E-6 | 4.0862483E-6 | 4.0862483E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7205533E-5 | 1.751238E-5 | 1.751238E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0945723E-4 | 2.1319349E-4 | 2.2319135E-4 | 1.0468957 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020925992 | 0.0021299988 | 0.0021699136 | 1.0187393 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.0146506E-6 | 4.0862483E-6 | 4.0862483E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7205533E-5 | 1.751238E-5 | 1.751238E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0945723E-4 | 2.1319349E-4 | 2.2319135E-4 | 1.0468957 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020925992 | 0.0021299988 | 0.0021699136 | 1.0187393 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.6584688E-6 | 3.7189413E-6 | 3.7189413E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5679057E-5 | 1.5938229E-5 | 1.5938229E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9087581E-4 | 1.9403159E-4 | 2.0402964E-4 | 1.051528 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019071194 | 0.0019387142 | 0.001968656 | 1.0154442 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.644631E-6 | 3.7046511E-6 | 3.7046511E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5619753E-5 | 1.5876985E-5 | 1.5876985E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.901539E-4 | 1.9328608E-4 | 2.0328414E-4 | 1.0517268 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018999127 | 0.0019312721 | 0.0019612142 | 1.0155038 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.6318522E-6 | 3.6914114E-6 | 3.6914114E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5564989E-5 | 1.5820244E-5 | 1.5820244E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8948725E-4 | 1.9259538E-4 | 2.0259345E-4 | 1.0519123 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018932576 | 0.001924377 | 0.0019543194 | 1.0155594 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.5001724E-6 | 3.5554797E-6 | 3.5554797E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5000653E-5 | 1.5237686E-5 | 1.5237686E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8261763E-4 | 1.8550396E-4 | 1.955021E-4 | 1.0538973 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018246764 | 0.0018535818 | 0.0018835261 | 1.0161549 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.5204702E-6 | 2.5437564E-6 | 2.5437564E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.080197E-5 | 1.0901767E-5 | 1.0901767E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3150605E-4 | 1.3272099E-4 | 1.4271967E-4 | 1.075336 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013142825 | 0.0013264229 | 0.0013563831 | 1.0225872 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.1399692E-6 | 2.1501864E-6 | 2.1501864E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1712645E-6 | 9.215053E-6 | 9.215053E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1165442E-4 | 1.12187525E-4 | 1.2218641E-4 | 1.0891265 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011159834 | 0.0011213121 | 0.0011512785 | 1.0267243 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.9660122E-6 | 1.970288E-6 | 1.970288E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.42574E-6 | 8.444064E-6 | 8.444064E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0257855E-4 | 1.0280166E-4 | 1.1280063E-4 | 1.0972646 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010253121 | 0.0010275443 | 0.0010575134 | 1.0291659 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.7204633E-6 | 1.7151447E-6 | 1.7151447E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.373393E-6 | 7.3505994E-6 | 7.3505994E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.976737E-5 | 8.9489906E-5 | 8.9489906E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9731114E-4 | 8.945416E-4 | 9.145237E-4 | 1.0223378 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.3717638E-6 | 1.3536211E-6 | 1.3536211E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.878974E-6 | 5.80122E-6 | 5.80122E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.157416E-5 | 7.06276E-5 | 7.06276E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1551115E-4 | 7.060541E-4 | 7.2604E-4 | 1.0283065 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 8.272564E-7 | 7.957882E-7 | 7.957882E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5453797E-6 | 3.4105165E-6 | 3.4105165E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3164142E-5 | 4.1522246E-5 | 4.1522246E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.315576E-4 | 4.1514507E-4 | 4.3513678E-4 | 1.0481559 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.9708277E-7 | 3.6720428E-7 | 3.6720428E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7017821E-6 | 1.5737317E-6 | 1.5737317E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0719E-5 | 1.9160016E-5 | 1.9160016E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.071707E-4 | 1.915837E-4 | 2.0158179E-4 | 1.0521865 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 9.292528E-8 | 7.889468E-8 | 7.889468E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9825116E-7 | 3.3812E-7 | 3.3812E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.848697E-6 | 4.116603E-6 | 4.116603E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8485912E-5 | 4.116528E-5 | 5.116487E-5 | 1.2429131 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 7.880441E-11 | 8.235512E-11 | 8.235512E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3773329E-10 | 3.5295045E-10 | 3.5295045E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1119033E-9 | 4.2971724E-9 | 4.2971724E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1119034E-8 | 4.297172E-8 | 4.297172E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Whittier alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.2554693E-5 | 4.725724E-5 | 4.725724E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8236451E-4 | 2.0251713E-4 | 2.0251713E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002218027 | 0.0024631799 | 0.0024731553 | 1.0040498 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02196019 | 0.024392825 | 0.024431849 | 1.0015998 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.2554693E-5 | 4.725724E-5 | 4.725724E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8236451E-4 | 2.0251713E-4 | 2.0251713E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002218027 | 0.0024631799 | 0.0024731553 | 1.0040498 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02196019 | 0.024392825 | 0.024431849 | 1.0015998 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.2554693E-5 | 4.725724E-5 | 4.725724E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8236451E-4 | 2.0251713E-4 | 2.0251713E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002218027 | 0.0024631799 | 0.0024731553 | 1.0040498 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02196019 | 0.024392825 | 0.024431849 | 1.0015998 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.9617712E-5 | 1.827133E-5 | 1.827133E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.40732E-5 | 7.8303456E-5 | 7.8303456E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010231105 | 9.5294666E-4 | 9.5294666E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01018413 | 0.009491887 | 0.009491887 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.5611336E-5 | 1.3606614E-5 | 1.3606614E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.690401E-5 | 5.8312788E-5 | 5.8312788E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.142519E-4 | 7.0973294E-4 | 7.0973294E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008112748 | 0.0070766234 | 0.0070766234 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.5150166E-5 | 1.3103243E-5 | 1.3103243E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.492767E-5 | 5.615558E-5 | 5.615558E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9020765E-4 | 6.834856E-4 | 6.834856E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007874036 | 0.0068157804 | 0.0068157804 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.295588E-5 | 1.03825705E-5 | 1.03825705E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.552402E-5 | 4.4495984E-5 | 4.4495984E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7579525E-4 | 5.4160587E-4 | 5.4160587E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006737438 | 0.005404372 | 0.005404372 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.2542085E-5 | 9.901169E-6 | 9.901169E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3750682E-5 | 4.24329E-5 | 4.24329E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.542181E-4 | 5.165E-4 | 5.165E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006522954 | 0.0051544965 | 0.0051544965 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.2195878E-5 | 9.497154E-6 | 9.497154E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2267E-5 | 4.0701463E-5 | 4.0701463E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.36165E-4 | 4.954295E-4 | 4.954295E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063434686 | 0.0049446435 | 0.0049446435 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.1580298E-5 | 8.774531E-6 | 8.774531E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9628903E-5 | 3.76046E-5 | 3.76046E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.040644E-4 | 4.577415E-4 | 4.577415E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00602425 | 0.0045693456 | 0.0045693456 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.0964795E-5 | 8.085506E-6 | 8.085506E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6991136E-5 | 3.465172E-5 | 3.465172E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7196687E-4 | 4.2180452E-4 | 4.2180452E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057049696 | 0.0042113136 | 0.0042113136 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.0230601E-5 | 7.3279657E-6 | 7.3279657E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3844695E-5 | 3.1405198E-5 | 3.1405198E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.336784E-4 | 3.822925E-4 | 3.822925E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005323986 | 0.0038174998 | 0.0038174998 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 9.40865E-6 | 6.544458E-6 | 6.544458E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.032216E-5 | 2.8047383E-5 | 2.8047383E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.908117E-4 | 3.414246E-4 | 3.414246E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048972913 | 0.0034100893 | 0.0034100893 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 8.237384E-6 | 5.5987566E-6 | 5.5987566E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5302593E-5 | 2.3994457E-5 | 2.3994457E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2972428E-4 | 2.920944E-4 | 2.920944E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042889426 | 0.002917429 | 0.002917429 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 7.5316966E-6 | 5.028736E-6 | 5.028736E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2278298E-5 | 2.1551552E-5 | 2.1551552E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9291743E-4 | 2.6235956E-4 | 2.6235956E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039222343 | 0.0026206083 | 0.0026206083 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.149649E-6 | 3.9345864E-6 | 3.9345864E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6355372E-5 | 1.6862408E-5 | 1.6862408E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.208294E-4 | 2.0528138E-4 | 2.0528138E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003203666 | 0.0020510068 | 0.0020510068 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 5.457711E-6 | 3.3960353E-6 | 3.3960353E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.338998E-5 | 1.455436E-5 | 1.455436E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8473578E-4 | 1.7718575E-4 | 1.7718575E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028437122 | 0.0017705255 | 0.0017705255 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.1676276E-6 | 2.3337E-6 | 2.3337E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7861139E-5 | 1.0001537E-5 | 1.0001537E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1743766E-4 | 1.21762656E-4 | 1.21762656E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021722503 | 0.0012170325 | 0.0012170325 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.2692414E-7 | 9.38645E-8 | 9.38645E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.725317E-7 | 4.0227638E-7 | 4.0227638E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1840509E-5 | 4.8977076E-6 | 4.8977076E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1839878E-4 | 4.8976322E-5 | 4.8976322E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.4402008E-9 | 3.4402008E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.4743718E-8 | 1.4743718E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.7950475E-7 | 1.7950475E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838679E-6 | 1.7950463E-6 | 1.7950463E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pisgah-Bullion Mtn-Mesquite Lk
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0240792E-5 | 2.4092273E-5 | 3.409203E-5 | 1.4150609 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2959696E-4 | 1.0324908E-4 | 1.1324805E-4 | 1.0968431 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015767008 | 0.0012564333 | 0.0012664208 | 1.007949 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015655609 | 0.012503322 | 0.012542822 | 1.0031592 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.0240792E-5 | 2.4092273E-5 | 3.409203E-5 | 1.4150609 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2959696E-4 | 1.0324908E-4 | 1.1324805E-4 | 1.0968431 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015767008 | 0.0012564333 | 0.0012664208 | 1.007949 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015655609 | 0.012503322 | 0.012542822 | 1.0031592 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.0240792E-5 | 2.4092273E-5 | 3.409203E-5 | 1.4150609 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2959696E-4 | 1.0324908E-4 | 1.1324805E-4 | 1.0968431 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015767008 | 0.0012564333 | 0.0012664208 | 1.007949 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015655609 | 0.012503322 | 0.012542822 | 1.0031592 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.0498217E-5 | 1.3638665E-5 | 1.3638665E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.784654E-5 | 5.84502E-5 | 5.84502E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010690069 | 7.114151E-4 | 7.114151E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01063879 | 0.007093003 | 0.007093003 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 2.0498217E-5 | 1.3638665E-5 | 1.3638665E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.784654E-5 | 5.84502E-5 | 5.84502E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010690069 | 7.114151E-4 | 7.114151E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01063879 | 0.007093003 | 0.007093003 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.7316182E-5 | 1.0477401E-5 | 1.0477401E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.42101E-5 | 4.4902426E-5 | 4.4902426E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0313336E-4 | 5.465599E-4 | 5.465599E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008994718 | 0.0054531526 | 0.0054531526 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.5251077E-5 | 8.414451E-6 | 8.414451E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.536012E-5 | 3.6061476E-5 | 3.6061476E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9546886E-4 | 4.3896728E-4 | 4.3896728E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007926274 | 0.004381719 | 0.004381719 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.2997425E-5 | 6.411434E-6 | 6.411434E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.570206E-5 | 2.747731E-5 | 2.747731E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7796157E-4 | 3.3448957E-4 | 3.3448957E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0067589693 | 0.0033403211 | 0.0033403211 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.035386E-5 | 4.3333516E-6 | 4.3333516E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.437293E-5 | 1.857138E-5 | 1.857138E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.401065E-4 | 2.2608395E-4 | 2.2608395E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0053879567 | 0.0022586263 | 0.0022586263 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 8.816252E-6 | 3.5807668E-6 | 3.5807668E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.778339E-5 | 1.5346057E-5 | 1.5346057E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5991567E-4 | 1.8682281E-4 | 1.8682281E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00458965 | 0.001866716 | 0.001866716 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 6.8232207E-6 | 2.5675947E-6 | 2.5675947E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9242048E-5 | 1.1003933E-5 | 1.1003933E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5596377E-4 | 1.3396496E-4 | 1.3396496E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035539411 | 0.0013388731 | 0.0013388731 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 5.837013E-6 | 2.2274467E-6 | 2.2274467E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.501553E-5 | 9.546166E-6 | 9.546166E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.045215E-4 | 1.16218675E-4 | 1.16218675E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030410455 | 0.001161608 | 0.001161608 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 4.278052E-6 | 1.6275889E-6 | 1.6275889E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.833438E-5 | 6.9753632E-6 | 6.9753632E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.231982E-4 | 8.492197E-5 | 8.492197E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022297418 | 8.4891845E-4 | 8.4891845E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.8803692E-6 | 8.345203E-7 | 8.345203E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0587E-6 | 3.5765115E-6 | 3.5765115E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.811026E-5 | 4.3543307E-5 | 4.3543307E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.806695E-4 | 4.353622E-4 | 4.353622E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Rose Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5923203E-5 | 4.9721333E-5 | 4.9721333E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9679888E-4 | 2.130744E-4 | 2.130744E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023933933 | 0.002591291 | 0.0026012652 | 1.003849 | 1.0E-5 | 0.023677798 | 0.02562449 | 0.025663465 | 1.001521 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.5923203E-5 | 4.9721333E-5 | 4.9721333E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9679888E-4 | 2.130744E-4 | 2.130744E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023933933 | 0.002591291 | 0.0026012652 | 1.003849 | 1.0E-5 | 0.023677798 | 0.02562449 | 0.025653722 | 1.0011407 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.8844734E-5 | 2.9672712E-5 | 2.9672712E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2361443E-4 | 1.2716257E-4 | 1.2716257E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015039665 | 0.0015471342 | 0.0015471342 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0149382865 | 0.015362789 | 0.015382482 | 1.0012819 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3171577E-5 | 2.316474E-5 | 2.316474E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9302975E-5 | 9.9273755E-5 | 9.9273755E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012083431 | 0.001208001 | 0.001208001 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012017938 | 0.012007657 | 0.012027417 | 1.0016456 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0066604E-5 | 1.9670135E-5 | 1.9670135E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.599689E-5 | 8.4297906E-5 | 8.4297906E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010465092 | 0.0010258538 | 0.0010258538 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010415946 | 0.010209216 | 0.010229011 | 1.001939 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.776989E-5 | 1.7116565E-5 | 1.7116565E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.615444E-5 | 7.3354684E-5 | 7.3354684E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.267859E-4 | 8.9273433E-4 | 8.9273433E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009229303 | 0.008885121 | 0.008895032 | 1.0011154 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.5227364E-5 | 1.4341523E-5 | 1.4341523E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.52585E-5 | 6.146225E-5 | 6.146225E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.942326E-4 | 7.4805116E-4 | 7.4805116E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007914 | 0.007443273 | 0.0074531985 | 1.0013335 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2703898E-5 | 1.1674748E-5 | 1.1674748E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4444143E-5 | 5.0033697E-5 | 5.0033697E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.626558E-4 | 6.089942E-4 | 6.089942E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006606833 | 0.0060647707 | 0.00607471 | 1.0016389 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.1554917E-5 | 1.0610774E-5 | 1.0610774E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9520135E-5 | 4.5473975E-5 | 4.5473975E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0274085E-4 | 5.5350905E-4 | 5.5350905E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0060110865 | 0.0055070627 | 0.005517008 | 1.0018059 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.732078E-6 | 7.882542E-6 | 7.882542E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7422655E-5 | 3.3781904E-5 | 3.3781904E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5552556E-4 | 4.1121998E-4 | 4.1121998E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045459294 | 0.0040896484 | 0.0040996075 | 1.0024352 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.9337494E-6 | 5.1076154E-6 | 5.1076154E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5430107E-5 | 2.1889597E-5 | 2.1889597E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0956755E-4 | 2.664734E-4 | 2.664734E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030913667 | 0.0026615544 | 0.0026615544 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 5.013409E-6 | 4.1774833E-6 | 4.1774833E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1485863E-5 | 1.7903378E-5 | 1.7903378E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6155898E-4 | 2.1795194E-4 | 2.1795194E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026125133 | 0.0021773935 | 0.0021773935 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 4.120763E-6 | 3.2822081E-6 | 3.2822081E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7660293E-5 | 1.4066532E-5 | 1.4066532E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1499286E-4 | 1.7124665E-4 | 1.7124665E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021478499 | 0.0017111565 | 0.0017111565 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.2081239E-6 | 2.4405792E-6 | 2.4405792E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.374903E-5 | 1.0459584E-5 | 1.0459584E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6738157E-4 | 1.2733806E-4 | 1.2733806E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016725556 | 0.001272658 | 0.001272658 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.4194755E-6 | 1.7680943E-6 | 1.7680943E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0369139E-5 | 7.577525E-6 | 7.577525E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2623696E-4 | 9.225252E-5 | 9.225252E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012616527 | 9.221476E-4 | 9.221476E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3842889E-6 | 9.378659E-7 | 9.378659E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9326535E-6 | 4.019419E-6 | 4.019419E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.222766E-5 | 4.8935366E-5 | 4.8935366E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.220419E-4 | 4.892494E-4 | 4.892494E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.0021575E-6 | 6.4116585E-7 | 6.4116585E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2949537E-6 | 2.7478509E-6 | 2.7478509E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2289808E-5 | 3.345459E-5 | 3.345459E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2277505E-4 | 3.3449772E-4 | 3.3449772E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 8.7620116E-8 | 6.449451E-8 | 6.449451E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7551473E-7 | 2.7640502E-7 | 2.7640502E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5718825E-6 | 3.3652261E-6 | 3.3652261E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5717883E-5 | 3.365178E-5 | 3.365178E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
White Mountains
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.503579E-5 | 3.378576E-5 | 3.378576E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5014476E-4 | 1.4478876E-4 | 1.4478876E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018264796 | 0.0017614986 | 0.001771481 | 1.005667 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018115403 | 0.017487697 | 0.017526997 | 1.0022473 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.503579E-5 | 3.378576E-5 | 3.378576E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5014476E-4 | 1.4478876E-4 | 1.4478876E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018264796 | 0.0017614986 | 0.001771481 | 1.005667 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018115403 | 0.017487697 | 0.017526997 | 1.0022473 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.503579E-5 | 3.378576E-5 | 3.378576E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5014476E-4 | 1.4478876E-4 | 1.4478876E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018264796 | 0.0017614986 | 0.001771481 | 1.005667 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018115403 | 0.017487697 | 0.017526997 | 1.0022473 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.7818425E-5 | 1.5916949E-5 | 1.5916949E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.636245E-5 | 6.821379E-5 | 6.821379E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.293162E-4 | 8.3020073E-4 | 8.401924E-4 | 1.0120353 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009254395 | 0.008272451 | 0.008292286 | 1.0023977 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.7818425E-5 | 1.5916949E-5 | 1.5916949E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.636245E-5 | 6.821379E-5 | 6.821379E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.293162E-4 | 8.3020073E-4 | 8.401924E-4 | 1.0120353 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009254395 | 0.008272451 | 0.008292286 | 1.0023977 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3397557E-5 | 1.1336967E-5 | 1.1336967E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.741684E-5 | 4.858614E-5 | 4.858614E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.988258E-4 | 5.913826E-4 | 6.0137676E-4 | 1.0168995 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006966323 | 0.0058987946 | 0.0059087356 | 1.0016853 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0818695E-5 | 8.625845E-6 | 8.625845E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6365014E-5 | 3.696741E-5 | 3.696741E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6434784E-4 | 4.499896E-4 | 4.599851E-4 | 1.0222127 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005629168 | 0.0044912207 | 0.004501176 | 1.0022166 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.067908E-6 | 6.802775E-6 | 6.802775E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8861883E-5 | 2.915444E-5 | 2.915444E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7304068E-4 | 3.549007E-4 | 3.6489713E-4 | 1.0281669 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00472035 | 0.0035436563 | 0.003553621 | 1.0028119 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 7.295947E-6 | 4.936636E-6 | 4.936636E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.126797E-5 | 2.1156846E-5 | 2.1156846E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8062103E-4 | 2.5755528E-4 | 2.675527E-4 | 1.0388166 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037996976 | 0.0025726808 | 0.002582655 | 1.003877 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.2243444E-6 | 3.8324238E-6 | 3.8324238E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6675489E-5 | 1.6424572E-5 | 1.6424572E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2472567E-4 | 1.9995135E-4 | 1.9995135E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032425157 | 0.0019977672 | 0.0019977672 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 4.9878413E-6 | 2.6796909E-6 | 2.6796909E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1376287E-5 | 1.1484341E-5 | 1.1484341E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.602252E-4 | 1.3981314E-4 | 1.3981314E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002599207 | 0.001397278 | 0.001397278 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 4.0252844E-6 | 1.8858237E-6 | 1.8858237E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7251105E-5 | 8.082077E-6 | 8.082077E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1001195E-4 | 9.839498E-5 | 9.839498E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020981359 | 9.835269E-4 | 9.835269E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.3284066E-6 | 1.2820087E-6 | 1.2820087E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4264522E-5 | 5.494312E-6 | 5.494312E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.736567E-4 | 6.68913E-5 | 6.68913E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017352107 | 6.6872174E-4 | 6.6872174E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.458226E-6 | 6.057767E-7 | 6.057767E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0535211E-5 | 2.5961833E-6 | 2.5961833E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2825865E-4 | 3.1608113E-5 | 3.1608113E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012818464 | 3.1603992E-4 | 3.1603992E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.965953E-6 | 3.1094075E-7 | 3.1094075E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.425486E-6 | 1.3326026E-6 | 1.3326026E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0257547E-4 | 1.6224316E-5 | 1.6224316E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010252813 | 1.6223144E-4 | 1.6223144E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.2014192E-6 | 1.8247486E-7 | 1.8247486E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.148929E-6 | 7.820349E-7 | 7.820349E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2686406E-5 | 9.521234E-6 | 9.521234E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.266873E-4 | 9.520834E-5 | 9.520834E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.5612175E-7 | 4.8954593E-8 | 4.8954593E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0976642E-6 | 2.0980538E-7 | 2.0980538E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3363979E-5 | 2.554378E-6 | 2.554378E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3363175E-4 | 2.5543522E-5 | 2.5543522E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Channel Islands Thrust
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4093148E-5 | 2.4093148E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.0325286E-4 | 1.0325286E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012564851 | 0.0012664726 | 1.0079488 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011494373 | 0.012504402 | 0.012543901 | 1.0031589 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4093148E-5 | 2.4093148E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.0325286E-4 | 1.0325286E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012564851 | 0.0012664726 | 1.0079488 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011494373 | 0.012504402 | 0.012543901 | 1.0031589 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4093148E-5 | 2.4093148E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.0325286E-4 | 1.0325286E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012564851 | 0.0012664726 | 1.0079488 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011494373 | 0.012504402 | 0.012543901 | 1.0031589 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4093148E-5 | 2.4093148E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.0325286E-4 | 1.0325286E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012564851 | 0.0012664726 | 1.0079488 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011494373 | 0.012504402 | 0.012543901 | 1.0031589 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4093148E-5 | 2.4093148E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.0325286E-4 | 1.0325286E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012564851 | 0.0012664726 | 1.0079488 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011494373 | 0.012504402 | 0.012543901 | 1.0031589 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4093148E-5 | 2.4093148E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.0325286E-4 | 1.0325286E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012564851 | 0.0012664726 | 1.0079488 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011494373 | 0.012504402 | 0.012543901 | 1.0031589 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4093148E-5 | 2.4093148E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.0325286E-4 | 1.0325286E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012564851 | 0.0012664726 | 1.0079488 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011494373 | 0.012504402 | 0.012543901 | 1.0031589 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.0601296E-5 | 1.1379992E-5 | 1.1379992E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5433335E-5 | 4.8770515E-5 | 4.8770515E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5301044E-4 | 5.9362414E-4 | 6.0361816E-4 | 1.0168357 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005516363 | 0.0059208865 | 0.005940768 | 1.0033579 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0246747E-5 | 1.09971015E-5 | 1.09971015E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.391389E-5 | 4.712961E-5 | 4.712961E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.345204E-4 | 5.7365675E-4 | 5.83651E-4 | 1.0174221 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0053323656 | 0.0057222494 | 0.005742135 | 1.0034751 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.049551E-6 | 9.70002E-6 | 9.70002E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.878322E-5 | 4.1570875E-5 | 4.1570875E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7208337E-4 | 5.0601194E-4 | 5.160069E-4 | 1.0197524 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0047108172 | 0.0050490154 | 0.005068914 | 1.0039412 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.6542195E-6 | 9.2749615E-6 | 9.2749615E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7088983E-5 | 3.974925E-5 | 3.974925E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5146482E-4 | 4.8384376E-4 | 4.938389E-4 | 1.0206578 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004505487 | 0.004828315 | 0.004848219 | 1.0041223 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.391028E-6 | 8.993273E-6 | 8.993273E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5961057E-5 | 3.8542054E-5 | 3.8542054E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3773788E-4 | 4.6915252E-4 | 4.7914783E-4 | 1.0213051 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004368766 | 0.004682031 | 0.0047019375 | 1.0042516 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 5.965188E-6 | 6.3719312E-6 | 6.3719312E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.556484E-5 | 2.7307993E-5 | 2.7307993E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1120746E-4 | 3.3242465E-4 | 3.4242132E-4 | 1.030072 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00310772 | 0.003319332 | 0.0033392655 | 1.0060053 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.877518E-6 | 5.206198E-6 | 5.206198E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0903482E-5 | 2.2312088E-5 | 2.2312088E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5447016E-4 | 2.7161627E-4 | 2.8161355E-4 | 1.0368067 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0025417898 | 0.002712889 | 0.002732835 | 1.0073522 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.8829853E-6 | 4.142015E-6 | 4.142015E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.664126E-5 | 1.7751374E-5 | 1.7751374E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0258849E-4 | 2.1610195E-4 | 2.2609979E-4 | 1.0462644 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002024039 | 0.0021589599 | 0.0021789167 | 1.0092437 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.3489616E-6 | 1.4278398E-6 | 1.4278398E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7812517E-6 | 6.119299E-6 | 6.119299E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.038446E-5 | 7.449996E-5 | 7.449996E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.036218E-4 | 7.447538E-4 | 7.447538E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.058192E-7 | 6.3539926E-7 | 6.3539926E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5963652E-6 | 2.723137E-6 | 2.723137E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.161029E-5 | 3.3153705E-5 | 3.3153705E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1605794E-4 | 3.314892E-4 | 3.314892E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.2170494E-7 | 2.26086E-7 | 2.26086E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.5016367E-7 | 9.689397E-7 | 9.689397E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1568181E-5 | 1.1796788E-5 | 1.1796788E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1567579E-4 | 1.1796273E-4 | 1.1796273E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.1613102E-8 | 1.546703E-8 | 1.546703E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.262757E-8 | 6.628727E-8 | 6.628727E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1277401E-6 | 8.070473E-7 | 8.070473E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1277344E-5 | 8.070451E-6 | 8.070451E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Camp Rock 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6710783E-5 | 4.2501633E-6 | 4.2501633E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.161568E-5 | 1.8214861E-5 | 2.821468E-5 | 1.5489923 | 1.0E-5 | 8.7157206E-4 | 2.2174389E-4 | 2.4173946E-4 | 1.0901742 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008681616 | 0.0022152793 | 0.0022551906 | 1.0180165 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6710783E-5 | 4.2501633E-6 | 4.2501633E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.161568E-5 | 1.8214861E-5 | 2.821468E-5 | 1.5489923 | 1.0E-5 | 8.7157206E-4 | 2.2174389E-4 | 2.4173946E-4 | 1.0901742 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008681616 | 0.0022152793 | 0.0022551906 | 1.0180165 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6710783E-5 | 4.2501633E-6 | 4.2501633E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.161568E-5 | 1.8214861E-5 | 2.821468E-5 | 1.5489923 | 1.0E-5 | 8.7157206E-4 | 2.2174389E-4 | 2.4173946E-4 | 1.0901742 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008681616 | 0.0022152793 | 0.0022551906 | 1.0180165 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.6710783E-5 | 4.2501633E-6 | 4.2501633E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.161568E-5 | 1.8214861E-5 | 2.821468E-5 | 1.5489923 | 1.0E-5 | 8.7157206E-4 | 2.2174389E-4 | 2.4173946E-4 | 1.0901742 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008681616 | 0.0022152793 | 0.0022551906 | 1.0180165 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.982846E-6 | 3.6821912E-6 | 3.6821912E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.421175E-5 | 1.5780724E-5 | 2.5780568E-5 | 1.6336744 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1644843E-4 | 1.9211374E-4 | 2.121099E-4 | 1.104085 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0041566887 | 0.0019195115 | 0.0019594347 | 1.0207987 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 7.982846E-6 | 3.6821912E-6 | 3.6821912E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.421175E-5 | 1.5780724E-5 | 2.5780568E-5 | 1.6336744 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1644843E-4 | 1.9211374E-4 | 2.121099E-4 | 1.104085 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0041566887 | 0.0019195115 | 0.0019594347 | 1.0207987 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.048869E-6 | 3.4244488E-6 | 3.4244488E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0209088E-5 | 1.4676129E-5 | 2.4675981E-5 | 1.6813686 | 1.0E-5 | 3.677336E-4 | 1.7866753E-4 | 1.9866395E-4 | 1.1119198 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0036712566 | 0.0017852704 | 0.001825199 | 1.0223656 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.987307E-6 | 3.3624244E-6 | 3.3624244E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9945259E-5 | 1.4410312E-5 | 2.4410168E-5 | 1.6939375 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6452254E-4 | 1.7543173E-4 | 1.9542823E-4 | 1.1139845 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0036392517 | 0.0017529636 | 0.0017928935 | 1.0227785 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.3737602E-6 | 3.1180107E-6 | 3.1180107E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.731583E-5 | 1.3362836E-5 | 2.3362702E-5 | 1.7483342 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3251947E-4 | 1.6268066E-4 | 1.8267741E-4 | 1.1229203 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0033202237 | 0.0016256444 | 0.0016655794 | 1.0245656 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.112211E-6 | 2.9332175E-6 | 2.9332175E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6194928E-5 | 1.2570873E-5 | 2.2570746E-5 | 1.7954797 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1887658E-4 | 1.530399E-4 | 1.7303685E-4 | 1.1306648 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003184194 | 0.0015293729 | 0.0015693117 | 1.0261145 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.5140117E-6 | 2.642044E-6 | 2.642044E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3631264E-5 | 1.1322997E-5 | 2.1322885E-5 | 1.8831484 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8767265E-4 | 1.3784903E-4 | 1.5784627E-4 | 1.1450663 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0028730053 | 0.0013776604 | 0.0014176053 | 1.0289947 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.8151105E-6 | 2.134374E-6 | 2.134374E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0636026E-5 | 9.147286E-6 | 1.9147194E-5 | 2.0932105 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5121463E-4 | 1.1136274E-4 | 1.313605E-4 | 1.1795733 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0025093083 | 0.0011130912 | 0.0011430578 | 1.026922 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.818335E-6 | 1.293818E-6 | 1.293818E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6364189E-5 | 5.5449227E-6 | 1.5544867E-5 | 2.8034418 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9921579E-4 | 6.7507426E-5 | 8.750607E-5 | 1.2962437 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0019903728 | 6.748774E-4 | 6.948639E-4 | 1.029615 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.7166698E-6 | 7.38375E-7 | 7.38375E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1642818E-5 | 3.1644604E-6 | 1.3164429E-5 | 4.160086 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4174209E-4 | 3.8526647E-5 | 5.8525875E-5 | 1.5191013 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014165172 | 3.8520168E-4 | 4.0519398E-4 | 1.0519009 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.0893426E-6 | 5.461979E-7 | 5.461979E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.954295E-6 | 2.340846E-6 | 1.2340823E-5 | 5.27195 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0901308E-4 | 2.8499433E-5 | 4.8498863E-5 | 1.7017484 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010895962 | 2.8495834E-4 | 3.049526E-4 | 1.0701658 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.1681728E-6 | 3.6031344E-7 | 3.6031344E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0064455E-6 | 1.5441996E-6 | 1.5441996E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0951766E-5 | 1.8800472E-5 | 1.8800472E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.093505E-4 | 1.8798928E-4 | 1.8798928E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.3154387E-7 | 7.119929E-8 | 7.119929E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6375933E-7 | 3.0513976E-7 | 3.0513976E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863748E-6 | 3.715072E-6 | 3.715072E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863536E-5 | 3.7150257E-5 | 3.7150257E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pinto Mtn
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.786026E-5 | 4.786026E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.051002E-4 | 2.051002E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0024943987 | 0.0024943987 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.022796938 | 0.024681535 | 0.024720548 | 1.0015806 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.786026E-5 | 4.786026E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.051002E-4 | 2.051002E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0024943987 | 0.0024943987 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.022796938 | 0.024681535 | 0.024720548 | 1.0015806 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.786026E-5 | 4.786026E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.051002E-4 | 2.051002E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0024943987 | 0.0024943987 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.022796938 | 0.024681535 | 0.024720548 | 1.0015806 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.786026E-5 | 4.786026E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.051002E-4 | 2.051002E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0024943987 | 0.0024943987 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.022796938 | 0.024681535 | 0.024720548 | 1.0015806 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.729929E-5 | 3.9608974E-5 | 3.9608974E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5984432E-4 | 1.6974223E-4 | 1.6974223E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019443673 | 0.0020647459 | 0.0020647459 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.019274427 | 0.020465652 | 0.020504834 | 1.0019145 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.729929E-5 | 3.9608974E-5 | 3.9608974E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5984432E-4 | 1.6974223E-4 | 1.6974223E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019443673 | 0.0020647459 | 0.0020647459 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.019274427 | 0.020465652 | 0.020504834 | 1.0019145 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.0204548E-5 | 3.1210264E-5 | 3.1210264E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2944164E-4 | 1.3375162E-4 | 1.3375162E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015748127 | 0.0016272442 | 0.0016272442 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015636992 | 0.01615716 | 0.016176837 | 1.0012178 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.9857754E-5 | 3.081962E-5 | 3.081962E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2795553E-4 | 1.320776E-4 | 1.320776E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015567453 | 0.0016068934 | 0.0016068934 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015458848 | 0.015956586 | 0.015976267 | 1.0012335 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.4819734E-5 | 2.5013833E-5 | 2.5013833E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0636595E-4 | 1.07197855E-4 | 1.07197855E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012942362 | 0.0013043742 | 0.0013043742 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012867244 | 0.01296955 | 0.01297942 | 1.000761 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.331124E-5 | 2.3342016E-5 | 2.3342016E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.990149E-5 | 1.0003349E-4 | 1.0003349E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001215622 | 0.0012172476 | 0.0012172476 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012089936 | 0.012107995 | 0.012117875 | 1.0008159 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.1818534E-5 | 2.1765065E-5 | 2.1765065E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3504656E-5 | 9.327562E-5 | 9.327562E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011378246 | 0.0011350589 | 0.0011350589 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011320163 | 0.011294719 | 0.011304606 | 1.0008754 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.066081E-5 | 2.0544632E-5 | 2.0544632E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.854332E-5 | 8.804556E-5 | 8.804556E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010774818 | 0.0010714472 | 0.0010714472 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010722724 | 0.010664865 | 0.010674758 | 1.0009277 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.8990233E-5 | 1.9057838E-5 | 1.9057838E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.138417E-5 | 8.1674E-5 | 8.1674E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.904018E-4 | 9.939467E-4 | 9.939467E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009859995 | 0.00989701 | 0.009906912 | 1.0010004 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.3335872E-5 | 1.4910233E-5 | 1.4910233E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7152483E-5 | 6.3899504E-5 | 6.3899504E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.956093E-4 | 7.7771157E-4 | 7.7771157E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006934359 | 0.007751199 | 0.007751199 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 9.414066E-6 | 1.1864307E-5 | 1.1864307E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0345374E-5 | 5.0846094E-5 | 5.0846094E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.910942E-4 | 6.188848E-4 | 6.188848E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0049001034 | 0.0061725616 | 0.0061725616 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 7.2101157E-6 | 9.16147E-6 | 9.16147E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.090013E-5 | 3.9262897E-5 | 3.9262897E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7614413E-4 | 4.7792873E-4 | 4.7792873E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037550807 | 0.0047697844 | 0.0047697844 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.296375E-6 | 4.548674E-6 | 4.548674E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4127245E-5 | 1.9494179E-5 | 1.9494179E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7198564E-4 | 2.3731717E-4 | 2.3731717E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017185259 | 0.002370775 | 0.002370775 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.5741092E-6 | 3.5873995E-6 | 3.5873995E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.103185E-5 | 1.5374486E-5 | 1.5374486E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3430449E-4 | 1.8716961E-4 | 1.8716961E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013422335 | 0.0018702497 | 0.0018702497 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Ortigalita (North)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.711876E-5 | 1.0507352E-4 | 1.0507352E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3046713E-4 | 4.502348E-4 | 4.502348E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004016016 | 0.005469011 | 0.005488902 | 1.003637 | 2.0E-5 | 0.039442103 | 0.05346466 | 0.053502522 | 1.0007081 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.607858E-5 | 6.0249444E-5 | 6.0249444E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9746469E-4 | 2.581888E-4 | 2.581888E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024014818 | 0.003139234 | 0.003139234 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.023756953 | 0.030980105 | 0.030999485 | 1.0006256 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.607858E-5 | 6.0249444E-5 | 6.0249444E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9746469E-4 | 2.581888E-4 | 2.581888E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024014818 | 0.003139234 | 0.003139234 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.023756953 | 0.030980105 | 0.030999485 | 1.0006256 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.327423E-5 | 4.2482494E-5 | 4.2482494E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4259605E-4 | 1.8205654E-4 | 1.8205654E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017347244 | 0.002214531 | 0.002214531 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017212452 | 0.021948911 | 0.021958692 | 1.0004456 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.7732503E-5 | 3.5003977E-5 | 3.5003977E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1884817E-4 | 1.5000958E-4 | 1.5000958E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001446016 | 0.0018250728 | 0.0018250728 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014366428 | 0.018123824 | 0.018133642 | 1.0005418 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.7689714E-5 | 3.4953788E-5 | 3.4953788E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.186648E-4 | 1.497945E-4 | 1.497945E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014437864 | 0.0018224587 | 0.0018224587 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014344421 | 0.018098108 | 0.018107926 | 1.0005425 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.2976905E-5 | 2.872225E-5 | 2.872225E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.846873E-5 | 1.2309082E-4 | 1.2309082E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011981975 | 0.0014978388 | 0.0014978388 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011917574 | 0.014900749 | 0.014910599 | 1.0006611 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.9871539E-5 | 2.4908106E-5 | 2.4908106E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.516096E-5 | 1.0674606E-4 | 1.0674606E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010363415 | 0.0012990998 | 0.0012990998 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010315218 | 0.012938719 | 0.012938719 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 6.5640475E-6 | 7.6061337E-6 | 7.6061337E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.813133E-5 | 3.2597323E-5 | 3.2597323E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.424451E-4 | 3.9680302E-4 | 3.9680302E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034191788 | 0.0039612325 | 0.0039612325 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 5.6219683E-6 | 6.5023783E-6 | 6.5023783E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4093928E-5 | 2.7867052E-5 | 2.7867052E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.933041E-4 | 3.3923113E-4 | 3.3923113E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029291727 | 0.00338739 | 0.00338739 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 3.875591E-6 | 4.4851295E-6 | 4.4851295E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6609569E-5 | 1.9221854E-5 | 1.9221854E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0220275E-4 | 2.3400305E-4 | 2.3400305E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020201886 | 0.0023377747 | 0.0023377747 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.6017933E-6 | 1.857199E-6 | 1.857199E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8648105E-6 | 7.959406E-6 | 7.959406E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.357586E-5 | 9.690253E-5 | 9.690253E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.3544437E-4 | 9.6870743E-4 | 9.6870743E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hayward (So) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.8091932E-4 | 3.572658E-4 | 3.572658E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.751381E-4 | 0.0015302505 | 0.0015302505 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00939654 | 0.018474055 | 0.018474055 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.090090066 | 0.16683507 | 0.16685173 | 1.0000999 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.8091932E-4 | 3.572658E-4 | 3.572658E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.751381E-4 | 0.0015302505 | 0.0015302505 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00939654 | 0.018474055 | 0.018474055 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.090090066 | 0.16683507 | 0.16685173 | 1.0000999 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.8091932E-4 | 3.572658E-4 | 3.572658E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.751381E-4 | 0.0015302505 | 0.0015302505 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00939654 | 0.018474055 | 0.018474055 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.090090066 | 0.16683507 | 0.16685173 | 1.0000999 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.7322872E-4 | 3.4283107E-4 | 3.4283107E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4219756E-4 | 0.0014684583 | 0.0014684583 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0089988755 | 0.017734194 | 0.017734194 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.08643075 | 0.16077508 | 0.16079186 | 1.0001044 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6334097E-4 | 3.2364417E-4 | 3.2364417E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.998449E-4 | 0.0013863178 | 0.0013863178 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008487372 | 0.016749809 | 0.016749809 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.081704415 | 0.1526814 | 0.15269835 | 1.000111 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5600289E-4 | 3.1038653E-4 | 3.1038653E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.684125E-4 | 0.0013295582 | 0.0013295582 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008107598 | 0.016069118 | 0.016069118 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.078181036 | 0.14695747 | 0.14697453 | 1.0001161 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.4046066E-4 | 2.8051974E-4 | 2.8051974E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.018354E-4 | 0.0012016804 | 0.0012016804 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0073027555 | 0.014533816 | 0.014533816 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.07067384 | 0.13404344 | 0.1340521 | 1.0000646 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.14696966E-4 | 2.3288836E-4 | 2.3288836E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.914658E-4 | 9.977162E-4 | 9.977162E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0059671924 | 0.012080604 | 0.012080604 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.058094822 | 0.11285077 | 0.112859644 | 1.0000786 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 9.3874296E-5 | 1.8875783E-4 | 1.8875783E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0225635E-4 | 8.08715E-4 | 8.08715E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048864787 | 0.00980239 | 0.00980239 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.047804173 | 0.092699364 | 0.09270844 | 1.0000979 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.551852E-5 | 1.07379914E-4 | 1.07379914E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3791482E-4 | 4.6011907E-4 | 4.6011907E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028927654 | 0.00558768 | 0.00558768 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.028553981 | 0.054287255 | 0.054287255 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 4.2662363E-5 | 8.2531384E-5 | 8.2531384E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8282588E-4 | 3.5365837E-4 | 3.5365837E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022236328 | 0.004297363 | 0.004297363 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.022015138 | 0.04209628 | 0.04209628 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 3.305886E-5 | 6.307517E-5 | 6.307517E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4167312E-4 | 2.7029423E-4 | 2.7029423E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017235056 | 0.0032858853 | 0.0032858853 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017101998 | 0.032479387 | 0.032479387 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.9856887E-5 | 5.7067366E-5 | 5.7067366E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2795182E-4 | 2.445516E-4 | 2.445516E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015567001 | 0.0029733672 | 0.0029733672 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015458403 | 0.029479273 | 0.029479273 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.4559737E-5 | 4.603594E-5 | 4.603594E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0525176E-4 | 1.9728203E-4 | 1.9728203E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012806869 | 0.002399276 | 0.002399276 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012733313 | 0.02387939 | 0.02387939 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.9002231E-5 | 3.5087567E-5 | 3.5087567E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.143559E-5 | 1.5036669E-4 | 1.5036669E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.910273E-4 | 0.0018291869 | 0.0018291869 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009866194 | 0.018276993 | 0.018276993 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.2783333E-5 | 2.335991E-5 | 2.335991E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4784563E-5 | 1.0011009E-4 | 1.0011009E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.667979E-4 | 0.0012181647 | 0.0012181647 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006648007 | 0.012224549 | 0.012224549 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.8149627E-6 | 8.898817E-6 | 8.898817E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.063539E-5 | 3.8137237E-5 | 3.8137237E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5120692E-4 | 4.6422318E-4 | 4.6422318E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025092314 | 0.004687876 | 0.004687876 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.0838227E-7 | 1.2080477E-6 | 1.2080477E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6073499E-6 | 5.177337E-6 | 5.177337E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.174402E-5 | 6.3032254E-5 | 6.3032254E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1739488E-4 | 6.5410853E-4 | 6.5410853E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.5542808E-7 | 9.812968E-7 | 9.812968E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9518332E-6 | 4.2055512E-6 | 4.2055512E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.376331E-5 | 5.1201387E-5 | 5.1201387E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3760769E-4 | 5.331643E-4 | 5.331643E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 3.3016747E-7 | 7.401679E-7 | 7.401679E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4150027E-6 | 3.172144E-6 | 3.172144E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7227521E-5 | 3.8620172E-5 | 3.8620172E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7226185E-4 | 4.0006454E-4 | 4.0006454E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 2.347038E-7 | 5.482229E-7 | 5.482229E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0058731E-6 | 2.3495245E-6 | 2.3495245E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2246436E-5 | 2.8605087E-5 | 2.8605087E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2245761E-4 | 2.9407733E-4 | 2.9407733E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.18822804E-7 | 2.610645E-7 | 2.610645E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.092405E-7 | 1.1188474E-6 | 1.1188474E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1999854E-6 | 1.3621884E-5 | 1.3621884E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.199812E-5 | 1.3941649E-4 | 1.3941649E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Tin Mountain
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.18159E-6 | 4.18159E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.7920998E-5 | 2.7920818E-5 | 1.5579946 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.1817003E-4 | 2.3816565E-4 | 1.0916517 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0021285915 | 0.0021799242 | 0.0022098587 | 1.013732 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.18159E-6 | 4.18159E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.7920998E-5 | 2.7920818E-5 | 1.5579946 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.1817003E-4 | 2.3816565E-4 | 1.0916517 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0021285915 | 0.0021799242 | 0.0022098587 | 1.013732 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.18159E-6 | 4.18159E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.7920998E-5 | 2.7920818E-5 | 1.5579946 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.1817003E-4 | 2.3816565E-4 | 1.0916517 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0021285915 | 0.0021799242 | 0.0022098587 | 1.013732 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.18159E-6 | 4.18159E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.7920998E-5 | 2.7920818E-5 | 1.5579946 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.1817003E-4 | 2.3816565E-4 | 1.0916517 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0021285915 | 0.0021799242 | 0.0022098587 | 1.013732 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.18159E-6 | 4.18159E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.7920998E-5 | 2.7920818E-5 | 1.5579946 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.1817003E-4 | 2.3816565E-4 | 1.0916517 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0021285915 | 0.0021799242 | 0.0022098587 | 1.013732 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.3143427E-6 | 2.3731893E-6 | 2.3731893E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9185745E-6 | 1.01707765E-5 | 2.0170673E-5 | 1.9831991 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2075195E-4 | 1.2382293E-4 | 1.338217E-4 | 1.0807505 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012068636 | 0.0012376154 | 0.001247603 | 1.0080701 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.3143427E-6 | 2.3731893E-6 | 2.3731893E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9185745E-6 | 1.01707765E-5 | 2.0170673E-5 | 1.9831991 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2075195E-4 | 1.2382293E-4 | 1.338217E-4 | 1.0807505 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012068636 | 0.0012376154 | 0.001247603 | 1.0080701 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.7029532E-6 | 1.7498172E-6 | 1.7498172E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2983503E-6 | 7.499198E-6 | 7.499198E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.885379E-5 | 9.1299444E-5 | 9.1299444E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.881827E-4 | 9.12672E-4 | 9.12672E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.2914646E-6 | 1.329959E-6 | 1.329959E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.534837E-6 | 5.699814E-6 | 5.699814E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.738455E-5 | 6.939347E-5 | 6.939347E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.736412E-4 | 6.937614E-4 | 6.937614E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 5.8708974E-7 | 6.11713E-7 | 6.11713E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5160964E-6 | 2.6216248E-6 | 2.6216248E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0633044E-5 | 3.1917854E-5 | 3.1917854E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0628822E-4 | 3.1913683E-4 | 3.1913683E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 4.6248786E-7 | 4.8321306E-7 | 4.8321306E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9820893E-6 | 2.0709115E-6 | 2.0709115E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.413167E-5 | 2.5213094E-5 | 2.5213094E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.412905E-4 | 2.5210602E-4 | 2.5210602E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 3.804606E-7 | 3.9872486E-7 | 3.9872486E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6305444E-6 | 1.7088199E-6 | 1.7088199E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9851697E-5 | 2.0804719E-5 | 2.0804719E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9849923E-4 | 2.0803107E-4 | 2.0803107E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.5864858E-7 | 3.7617838E-7 | 3.7617838E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5370645E-6 | 1.6121922E-6 | 1.6121922E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.87136E-5 | 1.9628298E-5 | 1.9628298E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8712023E-4 | 1.9626896E-4 | 1.9626896E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.342063E-7 | 3.5064386E-7 | 3.5064386E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4323119E-6 | 1.5027588E-6 | 1.5027588E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7438259E-5 | 1.8295968E-5 | 1.8295968E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.743689E-4 | 1.8294792E-4 | 1.8294792E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.971242E-7 | 3.1166627E-7 | 3.1166627E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2733886E-6 | 1.3357121E-6 | 1.3357121E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5503398E-5 | 1.6262207E-5 | 1.6262207E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5502315E-4 | 1.6261345E-4 | 1.6261345E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.4326713E-7 | 1.5012905E-7 | 1.5012905E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.140018E-7 | 6.434102E-7 | 6.434102E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4754466E-6 | 7.83352E-6 | 7.83352E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.475195E-5 | 7.833519E-5 | 7.833519E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Bullion Mountains
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6420427E-5 | 1.4692933E-5 | 1.4692933E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.037136E-5 | 6.296841E-5 | 6.296841E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5643446E-4 | 7.664091E-4 | 7.7640143E-4 | 1.0130379 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008531413 | 0.0076414533 | 0.0076712244 | 1.003896 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6420427E-5 | 1.4692933E-5 | 1.4692933E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.037136E-5 | 6.296841E-5 | 6.296841E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5643446E-4 | 7.664091E-4 | 7.7640143E-4 | 1.0130379 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008531413 | 0.0076414533 | 0.0076712244 | 1.003896 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6420427E-5 | 1.4692933E-5 | 1.4692933E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.037136E-5 | 6.296841E-5 | 6.296841E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5643446E-4 | 7.664091E-4 | 7.7640143E-4 | 1.0130379 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008531413 | 0.0076414533 | 0.0076712244 | 1.003896 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.2046778E-5 | 9.862912E-6 | 9.862912E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1628023E-5 | 4.2269065E-5 | 4.2269065E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.283899E-4 | 5.1452755E-4 | 5.245224E-4 | 1.0194253 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0062661595 | 0.005135644 | 0.0051654903 | 1.0058116 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2046778E-5 | 9.862912E-6 | 9.862912E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1628023E-5 | 4.2269065E-5 | 4.2269065E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.283899E-4 | 5.1452755E-4 | 5.245224E-4 | 1.0194253 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0062661595 | 0.005135644 | 0.0051654903 | 1.0058116 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.0244343E-5 | 7.879929E-6 | 7.879929E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.390359E-5 | 3.3770804E-5 | 3.3770804E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.343951E-4 | 4.1110266E-4 | 4.1110266E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005331118 | 0.004105453 | 0.004115412 | 1.0024258 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.605408E-6 | 7.177931E-6 | 7.177931E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1165385E-5 | 3.0762312E-5 | 3.0762312E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.010733E-4 | 3.7448714E-4 | 3.7448714E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00499945 | 0.0037405582 | 0.0037505208 | 1.0026634 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.60418E-6 | 6.1243827E-6 | 6.1243827E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.687454E-5 | 2.62472E-5 | 2.62472E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.48855E-4 | 3.195323E-4 | 3.195323E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004479495 | 0.0031926408 | 0.003202609 | 1.0031222 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.187994E-6 | 2.5633894E-6 | 2.5633894E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.223407E-5 | 1.098593E-5 | 1.098593E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7066618E-4 | 1.3374949E-4 | 1.3374949E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027033675 | 0.0013370815 | 0.0013470682 | 1.0074689 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.5302368E-6 | 2.344526E-6 | 2.344526E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9415156E-5 | 1.0047952E-5 | 1.0047952E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3635388E-4 | 1.2233092E-4 | 1.2233092E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023610266 | 0.0012230249 | 0.0012330128 | 1.0081664 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.431668E-6 | 1.6884097E-6 | 1.6884097E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4707065E-5 | 7.2360417E-6 | 7.2360417E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7904381E-4 | 8.809881E-5 | 8.809881E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017889962 | 8.809881E-4 | 8.9097925E-4 | 1.0113409 | 1.0E-5 |
Pitas Point (Lower West)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.856073E-6 | 7.856073E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.3668453E-5 | 3.3668453E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0983706E-4 | 4.1983297E-4 | 1.02439 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042443196 | 0.004090893 | 0.0041207704 | 1.0073034 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.856073E-6 | 7.856073E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.3668453E-5 | 3.3668453E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0983706E-4 | 4.1983297E-4 | 1.02439 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042443196 | 0.004090893 | 0.0041207704 | 1.0073034 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.856073E-6 | 7.856073E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.3668453E-5 | 3.3668453E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0983706E-4 | 4.1983297E-4 | 1.02439 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042443196 | 0.004090893 | 0.0041207704 | 1.0073034 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.856073E-6 | 7.856073E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.3668453E-5 | 3.3668453E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0983706E-4 | 4.1983297E-4 | 1.02439 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042443196 | 0.004090893 | 0.0041207704 | 1.0073034 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.856073E-6 | 7.856073E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.3668453E-5 | 3.3668453E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0983706E-4 | 4.1983297E-4 | 1.02439 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042443196 | 0.004090893 | 0.0041207704 | 1.0073034 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.856073E-6 | 7.856073E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.3668453E-5 | 3.3668453E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0983706E-4 | 4.1983297E-4 | 1.02439 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042443196 | 0.004090893 | 0.0041207704 | 1.0073034 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.856073E-6 | 7.856073E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.3668453E-5 | 3.3668453E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0983706E-4 | 4.1983297E-4 | 1.02439 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042443196 | 0.004090893 | 0.0041207704 | 1.0073034 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.856073E-6 | 7.856073E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.3668453E-5 | 3.3668453E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0983706E-4 | 4.1983297E-4 | 1.02439 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042443196 | 0.004090893 | 0.0041207704 | 1.0073034 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.856073E-6 | 7.856073E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.3668453E-5 | 3.3668453E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0983706E-4 | 4.1983297E-4 | 1.02439 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042443196 | 0.004090893 | 0.0041207704 | 1.0073034 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.856073E-6 | 7.856073E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.3668453E-5 | 3.3668453E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0983706E-4 | 4.1983297E-4 | 1.02439 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042443196 | 0.004090893 | 0.0041207704 | 1.0073034 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.103535E-6 | 7.805501E-6 | 7.805501E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4728975E-5 | 3.3451724E-5 | 3.3451724E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2274324E-4 | 4.0719935E-4 | 4.171953E-4 | 1.024548 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042193993 | 0.0040646126 | 0.004094491 | 1.0073508 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.853298E-6 | 7.5411845E-6 | 7.5411845E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3656554E-5 | 3.2318967E-5 | 3.2318967E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.096915E-4 | 3.9341307E-4 | 4.0340913E-4 | 1.0254086 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00408937 | 0.003927242 | 0.0039571244 | 1.0076089 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.771102E-6 | 7.4534632E-6 | 7.4534632E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.33043E-5 | 3.1943026E-5 | 3.1943026E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0540437E-4 | 3.8883765E-4 | 3.9883377E-4 | 1.0257077 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0040466557 | 0.0038816486 | 0.003911532 | 1.0076987 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.3945344E-6 | 7.049552E-6 | 7.049552E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1690477E-5 | 3.021202E-5 | 3.021202E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8576324E-4 | 3.6776988E-4 | 3.777662E-4 | 1.0271809 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0038509427 | 0.0036716803 | 0.0037015702 | 1.0081407 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.964645E-6 | 6.5903846E-6 | 6.5903846E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9848137E-5 | 2.8244203E-5 | 2.8244203E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6334046E-4 | 3.438194E-4 | 3.438194E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036274698 | 0.003432928 | 0.0034528594 | 1.005806 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.6525035E-6 | 6.2594127E-6 | 6.2594127E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.851042E-5 | 2.682578E-5 | 2.682578E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4705905E-4 | 3.2655543E-4 | 3.2655543E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034651754 | 0.0032608071 | 0.0032807419 | 1.0061134 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 5.613338E-6 | 5.1516E-6 | 5.1516E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.405694E-5 | 2.20781E-5 | 2.20781E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.928539E-4 | 2.68768E-4 | 2.68768E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029246826 | 0.0026844612 | 0.0027044076 | 1.0074303 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.494704E-6 | 3.9970882E-6 | 3.9970882E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9262876E-5 | 1.7130267E-5 | 1.7130267E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3450027E-4 | 2.0854129E-4 | 2.0854129E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023425296 | 0.00208348 | 0.0021034381 | 1.0095793 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.6075882E-6 | 2.1837427E-6 | 2.1837427E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.117533E-5 | 9.358864E-6 | 9.358864E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3605114E-4 | 1.1393826E-4 | 1.1393826E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013596788 | 0.0011388032 | 0.0011487918 | 1.0087712 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 4.045984E-7 | 3.2425163E-7 | 3.2425163E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.733992E-6 | 1.389649E-6 | 1.389649E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1111147E-5 | 1.691885E-5 | 1.691885E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1109142E-4 | 1.6917592E-4 | 1.7917423E-4 | 1.0591 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 7.791402E-9 | 5.6839005E-9 | 5.6839005E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3391725E-8 | 2.4359574E-8 | 2.4359574E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0654416E-7 | 2.9657778E-7 | 2.9657778E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.065434E-6 | 2.965776E-6 | 2.965776E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Ventura-Pitas Point
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.3739056E-5 | 3.3739056E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.445894E-4 | 1.445894E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017592113 | 0.0017691937 | 1.0056744 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017163932 | 0.017478276 | 0.017497927 | 1.0011243 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.3739056E-5 | 3.3739056E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.445894E-4 | 1.445894E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017592113 | 0.0017691937 | 1.0056744 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017163932 | 0.017478276 | 0.017497927 | 1.0011243 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.3739056E-5 | 3.3739056E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.445894E-4 | 1.445894E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017592113 | 0.0017691937 | 1.0056744 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017163932 | 0.017478276 | 0.017497927 | 1.0011243 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.3739056E-5 | 3.3739056E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.445894E-4 | 1.445894E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017592113 | 0.0017691937 | 1.0056744 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017163932 | 0.017478276 | 0.017497927 | 1.0011243 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.8754668E-5 | 1.7022052E-5 | 1.7022052E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.037467E-5 | 7.294974E-5 | 7.294974E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.781223E-4 | 8.878243E-4 | 8.878243E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009738282 | 0.008845002 | 0.008854914 | 1.0011206 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.8754668E-5 | 1.7022052E-5 | 1.7022052E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.037467E-5 | 7.294974E-5 | 7.294974E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.781223E-4 | 8.878243E-4 | 8.878243E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009738282 | 0.008845002 | 0.008854914 | 1.0011206 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.4361558E-5 | 1.21244175E-5 | 1.21244175E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.154808E-5 | 5.1960767E-5 | 5.1960767E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.490902E-4 | 6.32441E-4 | 6.32441E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0074657016 | 0.0063065602 | 0.006316497 | 1.0015757 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.4361558E-5 | 1.21244175E-5 | 1.21244175E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.154808E-5 | 5.1960767E-5 | 5.1960767E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.490902E-4 | 6.32441E-4 | 6.32441E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0074657016 | 0.0063065602 | 0.006316497 | 1.0015757 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.3663846E-5 | 1.1346513E-5 | 1.1346513E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8558027E-5 | 4.862702E-5 | 4.862702E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.127108E-4 | 5.9187505E-4 | 5.9187505E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007104293 | 0.0059030945 | 0.0059130355 | 1.0016841 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.3644157E-5 | 1.1324612E-5 | 1.1324612E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8473648E-5 | 4.8533162E-5 | 4.8533162E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.116841E-4 | 5.9073296E-4 | 5.9073296E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007094092 | 0.0058917343 | 0.005901675 | 1.0016873 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.3568845E-5 | 1.1244173E-5 | 1.1244173E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8150898E-5 | 4.8188434E-5 | 4.8188434E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.077572E-4 | 5.8653817E-4 | 5.8653817E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007055073 | 0.0058500078 | 0.0058599496 | 1.0016994 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.306572E-5 | 1.07225915E-5 | 1.07225915E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.599474E-5 | 4.5953166E-5 | 4.5953166E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.815227E-4 | 5.59338E-4 | 5.59338E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0067943637 | 0.0055793985 | 0.0055893427 | 1.0017823 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.232604E-5 | 9.997138E-6 | 9.997138E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2824813E-5 | 4.284418E-5 | 4.284418E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.429523E-4 | 5.2150484E-4 | 5.2150484E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0064109527 | 0.0052028936 | 0.0052128416 | 1.001912 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.0917261E-5 | 8.844401E-6 | 8.844401E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.678742E-5 | 3.7904032E-5 | 3.7904032E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.69488E-4 | 4.6138544E-4 | 4.6138544E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0056803077 | 0.0046043326 | 0.0046142866 | 1.0021619 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.039959E-5 | 8.424092E-6 | 8.424092E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.456891E-5 | 3.610276E-5 | 3.610276E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.424914E-4 | 4.3946397E-4 | 4.3946397E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0054116896 | 0.004386002 | 0.0043959585 | 1.00227 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 9.015877E-6 | 7.297917E-6 | 7.297917E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.86389E-5 | 3.127642E-5 | 3.127642E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7032707E-4 | 3.8072528E-4 | 3.8072528E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004693329 | 0.003800768 | 0.0038107298 | 1.002621 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 4.900162E-6 | 3.8742764E-6 | 3.8742764E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1000526E-5 | 1.6603937E-5 | 1.6603937E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.556514E-4 | 2.0213432E-4 | 2.0213432E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025535747 | 0.0020195183 | 0.002029498 | 1.0049417 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 3.8850626E-6 | 3.12688E-6 | 3.12688E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6650163E-5 | 1.3400846E-5 | 1.3400846E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0269687E-4 | 1.6314318E-4 | 1.6314318E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002025121 | 0.0016302434 | 0.001640227 | 1.006124 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.4654719E-6 | 2.0299744E-6 | 2.0299744E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0566265E-5 | 8.699862E-6 | 8.699862E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2863669E-4 | 1.05915715E-4 | 1.05915715E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012856225 | 0.0010586571 | 0.0010686464 | 1.0094359 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 4.095894E-7 | 3.2766198E-7 | 3.2766198E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7553821E-6 | 1.4042649E-6 | 1.4042649E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1371567E-5 | 1.7096794E-5 | 1.7096794E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1369511E-4 | 1.709551E-4 | 1.8095339E-4 | 1.0584849 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 7.791402E-9 | 5.6839005E-9 | 5.6839005E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3391725E-8 | 2.4359574E-8 | 2.4359574E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0654416E-7 | 2.9657778E-7 | 2.9657778E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.065434E-6 | 2.965776E-6 | 2.965776E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Lytle Creek connector)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.6708703E-6 | 6.6708703E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.8589133E-5 | 4.858856E-5 | 1.6995466 | 2.0E-5 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.4801717E-4 | 3.7800672E-4 | 1.0861727 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.0035549798 | 0.0035848732 | 1.0084089 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.6708703E-6 | 6.6708703E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.8589133E-5 | 4.858856E-5 | 1.6995466 | 2.0E-5 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.4801717E-4 | 3.7800672E-4 | 1.0861727 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.0035549798 | 0.0035848732 | 1.0084089 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.6708703E-6 | 6.6708703E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.8589133E-5 | 4.858856E-5 | 1.6995466 | 2.0E-5 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.4801717E-4 | 3.7800672E-4 | 1.0861727 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.0035549798 | 0.0035848732 | 1.0084089 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.6708703E-6 | 6.6708703E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.8589133E-5 | 4.858856E-5 | 1.6995466 | 2.0E-5 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.4801717E-4 | 3.7800672E-4 | 1.0861727 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.0035549798 | 0.0035848732 | 1.0084089 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.6708703E-6 | 6.6708703E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.8589133E-5 | 4.858856E-5 | 1.6995466 | 2.0E-5 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.4801717E-4 | 3.7800672E-4 | 1.0861727 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.0035549798 | 0.0035848732 | 1.0084089 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.6561875E-6 | 6.6310877E-6 | 6.6310877E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8526205E-5 | 2.8418637E-5 | 4.8418067E-5 | 1.7037435 | 2.0E-5 | 3.472512E-4 | 3.4594207E-4 | 3.7593168E-4 | 1.0866897 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0034670907 | 0.003534295 | 0.003564189 | 1.0084583 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.6561875E-6 | 6.6310877E-6 | 6.6310877E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8526205E-5 | 2.8418637E-5 | 4.8418067E-5 | 1.7037435 | 2.0E-5 | 3.472512E-4 | 3.4594207E-4 | 3.7593168E-4 | 1.0866897 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0034670907 | 0.003534295 | 0.003564189 | 1.0084583 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.5802237E-6 | 6.550262E-6 | 6.550262E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8200653E-5 | 2.8072249E-5 | 4.8071688E-5 | 1.7124274 | 2.0E-5 | 3.4328885E-4 | 3.417261E-4 | 3.7171584E-4 | 1.0877596 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0034275902 | 0.0034922683 | 0.0035221635 | 1.0085604 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.575632E-6 | 6.5447507E-6 | 6.5447507E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8180975E-5 | 2.804863E-5 | 4.804807E-5 | 1.7130274 | 2.0E-5 | 3.4304935E-4 | 3.4143863E-4 | 3.7142838E-4 | 1.0878335 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0034252026 | 0.0034894026 | 0.003519298 | 1.0085675 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.570433E-6 | 6.5361432E-6 | 6.5361432E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8158694E-5 | 2.8011742E-5 | 4.801118E-5 | 1.7139664 | 2.0E-5 | 3.4277816E-4 | 3.4098965E-4 | 3.7097943E-4 | 1.0879492 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0034224992 | 0.0034849271 | 0.0035148226 | 1.0085785 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 6.5643826E-6 | 6.526262E-6 | 6.526262E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8132765E-5 | 2.7969396E-5 | 4.7968835E-5 | 1.7150472 | 2.0E-5 | 3.424626E-4 | 3.4047425E-4 | 3.7046405E-4 | 1.0880824 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0034193532 | 0.0034797892 | 0.003509685 | 1.0085912 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 6.557402E-6 | 6.514972E-6 | 6.514972E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8102848E-5 | 2.792101E-5 | 4.7920454E-5 | 1.7162864 | 2.0E-5 | 3.4209844E-4 | 3.3988536E-4 | 3.6987517E-4 | 1.088235 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0034157229 | 0.00347392 | 0.003503816 | 1.0086057 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.546394E-6 | 6.496935E-6 | 6.496935E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8055672E-5 | 2.784371E-5 | 4.7843154E-5 | 1.7182751 | 2.0E-5 | 3.4152428E-4 | 3.3894452E-4 | 3.6893433E-4 | 1.0884801 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0034099987 | 0.0034645454 | 0.0034944415 | 1.0086292 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.5364216E-6 | 6.477713E-6 | 6.477713E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8012933E-5 | 2.7761333E-5 | 4.776078E-5 | 1.7204065 | 2.0E-5 | 3.4100408E-4 | 3.379419E-4 | 3.6793173E-4 | 1.0887426 | 3.0E-5 | 0.003404813 | 0.0034545609 | 0.0034844573 | 1.0086541 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.5269523E-6 | 6.4587916E-6 | 6.4587916E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7972354E-5 | 2.7680242E-5 | 4.767969E-5 | 1.722517 | 2.0E-5 | 3.4051016E-4 | 3.3695492E-4 | 3.669448E-4 | 1.0890027 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0033998888 | 0.00344474 | 0.003474637 | 1.0086789 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.5111835E-6 | 6.435057E-6 | 6.435057E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7904773E-5 | 2.7578524E-5 | 4.7577974E-5 | 1.7251819 | 2.0E-5 | 3.3968766E-4 | 3.3571688E-4 | 3.657068E-4 | 1.089331 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0033916887 | 0.00343241 | 0.0034623072 | 1.0087103 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.4768806E-6 | 6.394153E-6 | 6.394153E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7757764E-5 | 2.7403225E-5 | 4.740268E-5 | 1.7298211 | 2.0E-5 | 3.3789838E-4 | 3.3358324E-4 | 3.6357326E-4 | 1.0899025 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0033738504 | 0.003411134 | 0.0034410316 | 1.0087647 | 3.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.1655364E-6 | 6.18656E-6 | 6.18656E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.642346E-5 | 2.6513559E-5 | 4.651303E-5 | 1.7543111 | 2.0E-5 | 3.2165812E-4 | 3.2275481E-4 | 3.5274515E-4 | 1.0929198 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0032119295 | 0.003302697 | 0.0033325981 | 1.0090535 | 3.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.5043524E-6 | 5.747343E-6 | 5.747343E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3589868E-5 | 2.463124E-5 | 4.4630746E-5 | 1.811957 | 2.0E-5 | 2.871688E-4 | 2.9984413E-4 | 3.2983514E-4 | 1.100022 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0028679797 | 0.0030726586 | 0.0031025663 | 1.0097336 | 3.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.889249E-6 | 4.085056E-6 | 4.085056E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6668104E-5 | 1.7507266E-5 | 3.7506914E-5 | 2.1423628 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0291525E-4 | 2.1313014E-4 | 2.4312375E-4 | 1.1407291 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0020273007 | 0.0021987725 | 0.0022287064 | 1.0136139 | 3.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.668535E-6 | 2.5371553E-6 | 2.5371553E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1436528E-5 | 1.0873477E-5 | 2.0873369E-5 | 1.919659 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3923083E-4 | 1.3237656E-4 | 1.5237392E-4 | 1.1510642 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0013914363 | 0.0013788908 | 0.0013988633 | 1.0144844 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.5911459E-6 | 1.2216242E-6 | 1.2216242E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8191785E-6 | 5.2355217E-6 | 1.523547E-5 | 2.9100194 | 1.0E-5 | 8.3020335E-5 | 6.3740634E-5 | 7.374E-5 | 1.1568758 | 1.0E-5 | 8.298933E-4 | 6.709651E-4 | 6.809584E-4 | 1.0148939 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 6.1294963E-7 | 2.1894976E-7 | 2.1894976E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6269242E-6 | 9.383558E-7 | 9.383558E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1982334E-5 | 1.1424422E-5 | 1.1424422E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1977732E-4 | 1.2831615E-4 | 1.2831615E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.762871E-7 | 4.7755343E-8 | 4.7755343E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5551594E-7 | 2.0466574E-7 | 2.0466574E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1983675E-6 | 2.4918027E-6 | 2.4918027E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.197987E-5 | 2.881044E-5 | 2.881044E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Kern Canyon (South Kern) 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.1137673E-6 | 4.1137673E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.7630315E-5 | 1.7630315E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.1462858E-4 | 2.2462645E-4 | 1.0465821 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021442769 | 0.0021742126 | 1.0139607 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.1137673E-6 | 4.1137673E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.7630315E-5 | 1.7630315E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.1462858E-4 | 2.2462645E-4 | 1.0465821 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021442769 | 0.0021742126 | 1.0139607 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.1137673E-6 | 4.1137673E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.7630315E-5 | 1.7630315E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.1462858E-4 | 2.2462645E-4 | 1.0465821 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021442769 | 0.0021742126 | 1.0139607 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.1137673E-6 | 4.1137673E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.7630315E-5 | 1.7630315E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.1462858E-4 | 2.2462645E-4 | 1.0465821 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021442769 | 0.0021742126 | 1.0139607 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.1137673E-6 | 4.1137673E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.7630315E-5 | 1.7630315E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.1462858E-4 | 2.2462645E-4 | 1.0465821 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021442769 | 0.0021742126 | 1.0139607 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.9849807E-6 | 2.9731846E-6 | 2.9731846E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2792712E-5 | 1.2742158E-5 | 1.2742158E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5574014E-4 | 1.5512487E-4 | 1.6512333E-4 | 1.0644542 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015563103 | 0.0015501811 | 0.0015801346 | 1.0193226 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.9849807E-6 | 2.9731846E-6 | 2.9731846E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2792712E-5 | 1.2742158E-5 | 1.2742158E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5574014E-4 | 1.5512487E-4 | 1.6512333E-4 | 1.0644542 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015563103 | 0.0015501811 | 0.0015801346 | 1.0193226 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.6756725E-6 | 2.6582475E-6 | 2.6582475E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1467117E-5 | 1.139244E-5 | 1.139244E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.396032E-4 | 1.3869423E-4 | 1.4869285E-4 | 1.0720911 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013951553 | 0.0013860877 | 0.0014160462 | 1.0216136 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.3283721E-6 | 2.3048021E-6 | 2.3048021E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9787E-6 | 9.877686E-6 | 9.877686E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.214839E-4 | 1.2025428E-4 | 1.2025428E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001214175 | 0.0012018995 | 0.0012218754 | 1.0166203 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.0972677E-6 | 2.0696623E-6 | 2.0696623E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.988259E-6 | 8.869952E-6 | 8.869952E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0942656E-4 | 1.07986365E-4 | 1.07986365E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010937268 | 0.0010793448 | 0.001089334 | 1.0092549 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.7132242E-6 | 1.6787211E-6 | 1.6787211E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3423685E-6 | 7.194499E-6 | 7.194499E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.938967E-5 | 8.758954E-5 | 8.758954E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.935372E-4 | 8.7555405E-4 | 8.8554533E-4 | 1.0114113 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.4215541E-6 | 1.3815898E-6 | 1.3815898E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0923603E-6 | 5.9210856E-6 | 5.9210856E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.417196E-5 | 7.208686E-5 | 7.208686E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.414721E-4 | 7.2063744E-4 | 7.3063024E-4 | 1.0138665 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.097853E-7 | 8.60387E-7 | 8.60387E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.899074E-6 | 3.6873678E-6 | 3.6873678E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7470192E-5 | 4.489279E-5 | 4.489279E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7460053E-4 | 4.4883828E-4 | 4.4883828E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 6.144169E-7 | 5.62827E-7 | 5.62827E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6332125E-6 | 2.4121134E-6 | 2.4121134E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.205889E-5 | 2.9367091E-5 | 2.9367091E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2054266E-4 | 2.936326E-4 | 2.936326E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.049844E-7 | 3.5728738E-7 | 3.5728738E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7356463E-6 | 1.5312307E-6 | 1.5312307E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1131287E-5 | 1.8642577E-5 | 1.8642577E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1129279E-4 | 1.8641038E-4 | 1.8641038E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.9871162E-7 | 1.5830643E-7 | 1.5830643E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5162094E-7 | 6.78456E-7 | 6.78456E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0368436E-5 | 8.260171E-6 | 8.260171E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0367952E-4 | 8.259873E-5 | 8.259873E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.572245E-8 | 1.7353019E-8 | 1.7353019E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10239064E-7 | 7.437008E-8 | 7.437008E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421597E-6 | 9.054554E-7 | 9.054554E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421517E-5 | 9.054523E-6 | 9.054523E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Deep Springs
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.3114562E-5 | 2.3114562E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.9061515E-5 | 9.9061515E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012059144 | 0.0012059144 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010283757 | 0.012043493 | 0.012073131 | 1.002461 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.3114562E-5 | 2.3114562E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.9061515E-5 | 9.9061515E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012059144 | 0.0012059144 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010283757 | 0.012043493 | 0.012073131 | 1.002461 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.3114562E-5 | 2.3114562E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.9061515E-5 | 9.9061515E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012059144 | 0.0012059144 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010283757 | 0.012043493 | 0.012073131 | 1.002461 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.3114562E-5 | 2.3114562E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.9061515E-5 | 9.9061515E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012059144 | 0.0012059144 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010283757 | 0.012043493 | 0.012073131 | 1.002461 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.3114562E-5 | 2.3114562E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.9061515E-5 | 9.9061515E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012059144 | 0.0012059144 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010283757 | 0.012043493 | 0.012073131 | 1.002461 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.7190405E-5 | 2.0052328E-5 | 2.0052328E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.367108E-5 | 8.593855E-5 | 8.593855E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9657627E-4 | 0.0010463016 | 0.0010463016 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008929676 | 0.0104629835 | 0.010492669 | 1.0028373 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.7190405E-5 | 2.0052328E-5 | 2.0052328E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.367108E-5 | 8.593855E-5 | 8.593855E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9657627E-4 | 0.0010463016 | 0.0010463016 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008929676 | 0.0104629835 | 0.010492669 | 1.0028373 | 3.0E-5 |
Cleghorn
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.9267165E-6 | 9.838549E-6 | 9.838549E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.39712E-5 | 4.216459E-5 | 4.216459E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1352084E-4 | 5.1324355E-4 | 5.2323844E-4 | 1.0194739 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004127522 | 0.0051355856 | 0.005165431 | 1.0058116 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 7.9267165E-6 | 9.838549E-6 | 9.838549E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.39712E-5 | 4.216459E-5 | 4.216459E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1352084E-4 | 5.1324355E-4 | 5.2323844E-4 | 1.0194739 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004127522 | 0.0051355856 | 0.005165431 | 1.0058116 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 7.9267165E-6 | 9.838549E-6 | 9.838549E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.39712E-5 | 4.216459E-5 | 4.216459E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1352084E-4 | 5.1324355E-4 | 5.2323844E-4 | 1.0194739 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004127522 | 0.0051355856 | 0.005165431 | 1.0058116 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 7.9267165E-6 | 9.838549E-6 | 9.838549E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.39712E-5 | 4.216459E-5 | 4.216459E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1352084E-4 | 5.1324355E-4 | 5.2323844E-4 | 1.0194739 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004127522 | 0.0051355856 | 0.005165431 | 1.0058116 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.3445207E-6 | 6.098322E-6 | 6.098322E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8619241E-5 | 2.613541E-5 | 2.613541E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2666567E-4 | 3.1815318E-4 | 3.2815E-4 | 1.0314214 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022643462 | 0.0031910567 | 0.003220961 | 1.0093713 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.3445207E-6 | 6.098322E-6 | 6.098322E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8619241E-5 | 2.613541E-5 | 2.613541E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2666567E-4 | 3.1815318E-4 | 3.2815E-4 | 1.0314214 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022643462 | 0.0031910567 | 0.003220961 | 1.0093713 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.040109E-6 | 5.7807224E-6 | 5.7807224E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7314638E-5 | 2.4774296E-5 | 2.4774296E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1078532E-4 | 3.0158623E-4 | 3.1158322E-4 | 1.033148 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002105855 | 0.0030258433 | 0.0030557525 | 1.0098846 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.3632055E-6 | 5.0742033E-6 | 5.0742033E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4413658E-5 | 2.1746406E-5 | 2.1746406E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7547216E-4 | 2.6473065E-4 | 2.74728E-4 | 1.0377642 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017533366 | 0.0026581702 | 0.0026880905 | 1.011256 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.2902772E-6 | 4.9961077E-6 | 4.9961077E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4101111E-5 | 2.1411717E-5 | 2.1411717E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.716675E-4 | 2.606568E-4 | 2.7065416E-4 | 1.0383546 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017153495 | 0.0026175277 | 0.0026474493 | 1.0114312 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.031547E-6 | 4.6976434E-6 | 4.6976434E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.299228E-5 | 2.0132604E-5 | 2.0132604E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5816953E-4 | 2.4508717E-4 | 2.550847E-4 | 1.0407919 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00158057 | 0.0024621838 | 0.00249211 | 1.0121543 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.8259715E-6 | 4.3766395E-6 | 4.3766395E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.211125E-5 | 1.8756893E-5 | 1.8756893E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4744449E-4 | 2.2834148E-4 | 2.3833918E-4 | 1.043784 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001473467 | 0.0022950824 | 0.0023150365 | 1.0086943 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.5962665E-6 | 4.071624E-6 | 4.071624E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1126809E-5 | 1.7449702E-5 | 1.7449702E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3546048E-4 | 2.1242963E-4 | 2.2242751E-4 | 1.0470644 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013537793 | 0.002136286 | 0.0021562434 | 1.0093421 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.3247253E-6 | 3.6819104E-6 | 3.6819104E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.96307E-6 | 1.577952E-5 | 1.577952E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.21293626E-4 | 1.9209892E-4 | 2.02097E-4 | 1.0520465 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012122744 | 0.0019333686 | 0.00195333 | 1.0103246 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.056928E-6 | 3.240099E-6 | 3.240099E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.815376E-6 | 1.3886065E-5 | 1.3886065E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0732192E-4 | 1.6904989E-4 | 1.790482E-4 | 1.0591441 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001072701 | 0.001703324 | 0.00172329 | 1.0117217 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.8055999E-6 | 2.830045E-6 | 2.830045E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.738263E-6 | 1.2128709E-5 | 1.2128709E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4209274E-5 | 1.4765716E-4 | 1.576557E-4 | 1.0677145 | 1.0E-5 | 9.4169343E-4 | 0.0014898488 | 0.0015098191 | 1.0134041 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.4683443E-6 | 2.4290832E-6 | 2.4290832E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.292889E-6 | 1.0410316E-5 | 1.0410316E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.661323E-5 | 1.267383E-4 | 1.3673704E-4 | 1.0788927 | 1.0E-5 | 7.658682E-4 | 0.0012809638 | 0.0013009382 | 1.0155933 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 9.804088E-7 | 1.9045069E-6 | 1.9045069E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.201745E-6 | 8.162147E-6 | 8.162147E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1155046E-5 | 9.936965E-5 | 1.0936866E-4 | 1.1006243 | 1.0E-5 | 5.114327E-4 | 0.0010075923 | 0.0010275722 | 1.0198293 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 7.3434086E-7 | 1.6325722E-6 | 1.6325722E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1471714E-6 | 6.9967195E-6 | 6.9967195E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.831614E-5 | 8.518175E-5 | 9.5180905E-5 | 1.117386 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8309532E-4 | 8.6586515E-4 | 8.8584784E-4 | 1.0230783 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 6.434184E-7 | 1.5259246E-6 | 1.5259246E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7575045E-6 | 6.5396607E-6 | 6.5396607E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.35721E-5 | 7.9617486E-5 | 8.961669E-5 | 1.1255906 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3567028E-4 | 8.0996245E-4 | 8.2994625E-4 | 1.0246725 | 2.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.4943926E-7 | 7.594768E-7 | 7.594768E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.497596E-6 | 3.2548967E-6 | 3.2548967E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8233079E-5 | 3.9627655E-5 | 4.962726E-5 | 1.252339 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8231584E-4 | 4.050516E-4 | 4.1504754E-4 | 1.0246782 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 6.717524E-8 | 5.858803E-8 | 5.858803E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8789387E-7 | 2.510915E-7 | 2.510915E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.505102E-6 | 3.057035E-6 | 3.057035E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5050467E-5 | 3.2865428E-5 | 3.2865428E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 3.1984914E-8 | 1.3018768E-8 | 1.3018768E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.370782E-7 | 5.5794718E-8 | 5.5794718E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6689258E-6 | 6.793005E-7 | 6.793005E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6689133E-5 | 7.780131E-6 | 7.780131E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.21887656E-8 | 3.6682692E-9 | 3.6682692E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2237567E-8 | 1.5721154E-8 | 1.5721154E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.359922E-7 | 1.9140504E-7 | 1.9140504E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3599036E-6 | 2.2579025E-6 | 2.2579025E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Ortigalita (South)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.72394E-5 | 4.3259326E-5 | 4.3259326E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5958765E-4 | 1.8538482E-4 | 1.8538482E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019412481 | 0.0022548803 | 0.0022548803 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.019243775 | 0.022336403 | 0.022365732 | 1.0013131 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.7299884E-5 | 3.1494612E-5 | 3.1494612E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.16994255E-4 | 1.3497024E-4 | 1.3497024E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014234743 | 0.0016420798 | 0.0016420798 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014143906 | 0.016305394 | 0.016334904 | 1.0018098 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.7299884E-5 | 3.1494612E-5 | 3.1494612E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.16994255E-4 | 1.3497024E-4 | 1.3497024E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014234743 | 0.0016420798 | 0.0016420798 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014143906 | 0.016305394 | 0.016334904 | 1.0018098 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.0546433E-5 | 2.3633342E-5 | 2.3633342E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.805317E-5 | 1.0128192E-4 | 1.0128192E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00107152 | 0.0012324288 | 0.0012324288 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010663681 | 0.012258004 | 0.012267882 | 1.0008057 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0546433E-5 | 2.3633342E-5 | 2.3633342E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.805317E-5 | 1.0128192E-4 | 1.0128192E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00107152 | 0.0012324288 | 0.0012324288 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010663681 | 0.012258004 | 0.012267882 | 1.0008057 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.7779594E-5 | 2.0448608E-5 | 2.0448608E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.619603E-5 | 8.763403E-5 | 8.763403E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.272918E-4 | 0.0010664356 | 0.0010664356 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009234319 | 0.010614647 | 0.010624541 | 1.0009321 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.6272212E-5 | 1.8716464E-5 | 1.8716464E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.973618E-5 | 8.0211015E-5 | 8.0211015E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.487073E-4 | 9.7614387E-4 | 9.7614387E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008454733 | 0.0097198635 | 0.009729766 | 1.0010188 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.3051484E-5 | 1.5039977E-5 | 1.5039977E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.593373E-5 | 6.4455504E-5 | 6.4455504E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.807804E-4 | 7.8447274E-4 | 7.8447274E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006786986 | 0.007818019 | 0.007818019 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.04277415E-5 | 1.1988189E-5 | 1.1988189E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4689557E-5 | 5.137698E-5 | 5.137698E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.439595E-4 | 6.2534265E-4 | 6.2534265E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0054262993 | 0.0062365844 | 0.0062365844 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 7.639968E-6 | 8.792207E-6 | 8.792207E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.274231E-5 | 3.7680376E-5 | 3.7680376E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9856473E-4 | 4.5866793E-4 | 4.5866793E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003978506 | 0.004577799 | 0.004577799 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 3.919831E-6 | 4.5337783E-6 | 4.5337783E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.679917E-5 | 1.9430345E-5 | 1.9430345E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.045107E-4 | 2.3654089E-4 | 2.3654089E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020432258 | 0.0023630997 | 0.0023630997 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.6017933E-6 | 1.857199E-6 | 1.857199E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8648105E-6 | 7.959406E-6 | 7.959406E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.357586E-5 | 9.690253E-5 | 9.690253E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.3544437E-4 | 9.6870743E-4 | 9.6870743E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Cruz Catalina Ridge alt1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.2833184E-5 | 3.6560636E-5 | 3.6560636E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4070606E-4 | 1.5667996E-4 | 1.5667996E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00171175 | 0.0019060757 | 0.0019260376 | 1.0104728 | 2.0E-5 | 0.016986247 | 0.01891418 | 0.018943612 | 1.0015562 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.9835548E-5 | 2.1660571E-5 | 2.1660571E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.500672E-5 | 9.282783E-5 | 9.282783E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010344655 | 0.001129613 | 0.0011396017 | 1.0088426 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010296632 | 0.011240846 | 0.011260621 | 1.0017592 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.9835548E-5 | 2.1660571E-5 | 2.1660571E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.500672E-5 | 9.282783E-5 | 9.282783E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010344655 | 0.001129613 | 0.0011396017 | 1.0088426 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010296632 | 0.011240846 | 0.011260621 | 1.0017592 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.5728183E-5 | 1.7034703E-5 | 1.7034703E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7404755E-5 | 7.300386E-5 | 7.300386E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2034385E-4 | 8.8846567E-4 | 8.984568E-4 | 1.0112454 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008173222 | 0.008849816 | 0.00886964 | 1.00224 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.5728183E-5 | 1.7034703E-5 | 1.7034703E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7404755E-5 | 7.300386E-5 | 7.300386E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2034385E-4 | 8.8846567E-4 | 8.984568E-4 | 1.0112454 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008173222 | 0.008849816 | 0.00886964 | 1.00224 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3707734E-5 | 1.4795146E-5 | 1.4795146E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8746107E-5 | 6.3406245E-5 | 6.3406245E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1499916E-4 | 7.7170116E-4 | 7.8169344E-4 | 1.0129484 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0071270303 | 0.0076906127 | 0.007710459 | 1.0025805 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.2539813E-5 | 1.3510776E-5 | 1.3510776E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3740947E-5 | 5.7902053E-5 | 5.7902053E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.540996E-4 | 7.0473214E-4 | 7.147251E-4 | 1.0141798 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0065217763 | 0.007025277 | 0.0070451363 | 1.0028268 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.1504083E-5 | 1.2377875E-5 | 1.2377875E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.930228E-5 | 5.3046966E-5 | 5.3046966E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0008996E-4 | 6.456574E-4 | 6.55651E-4 | 1.0154781 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005984721 | 0.006438045 | 0.0064479806 | 1.0015433 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.012739E-5 | 1.0877499E-5 | 1.0877499E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.340238E-5 | 4.661703E-5 | 4.661703E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.282958E-4 | 5.67416E-4 | 5.774104E-4 | 1.0176138 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0052704164 | 0.0056598415 | 0.005669785 | 1.0017568 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.9607865E-6 | 9.609487E-6 | 9.609487E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8402806E-5 | 4.118287E-5 | 4.118287E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6745385E-4 | 5.0128717E-4 | 5.112822E-4 | 1.0199386 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0046647177 | 0.0050016837 | 0.0050116335 | 1.0019894 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.046829E-6 | 8.620072E-6 | 8.620072E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4485955E-5 | 3.694265E-5 | 3.694265E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1978562E-4 | 4.496847E-4 | 4.5968022E-4 | 1.0222278 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004189935 | 0.004487838 | 0.0044977935 | 1.0022182 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.136131E-6 | 7.637941E-6 | 7.637941E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0583058E-5 | 3.2733627E-5 | 3.2733627E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7228514E-4 | 3.9845973E-4 | 4.0845576E-4 | 1.0250866 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037166206 | 0.0039775297 | 0.0039874897 | 1.0025041 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.362014E-6 | 6.8052104E-6 | 6.8052104E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.726549E-5 | 2.9164865E-5 | 2.9164865E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3190678E-4 | 3.5502503E-4 | 3.6502146E-4 | 1.028157 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033141149 | 0.003544647 | 0.0035546115 | 1.0028112 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 5.004101E-6 | 5.3519125E-6 | 5.3519125E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1445969E-5 | 2.2936569E-5 | 2.2936569E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6107338E-4 | 2.792175E-4 | 2.892147E-4 | 1.0358044 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002607669 | 0.0027887214 | 0.0027986935 | 1.0035759 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.4901443E-6 | 3.73219E-6 | 3.73219E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4957676E-5 | 1.5995005E-5 | 1.5995005E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8209449E-4 | 1.9472216E-4 | 2.0472021E-4 | 1.0513452 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018194534 | 0.001945554 | 0.0019555346 | 1.0051299 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.1215045E-6 | 1.1894253E-6 | 1.1894253E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.806439E-6 | 5.0975277E-6 | 5.0975277E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.851682E-5 | 6.206066E-5 | 6.206066E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.850142E-4 | 6.204364E-4 | 6.204364E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.8599047E-7 | 2.9952744E-7 | 2.9952744E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2256729E-6 | 1.2836884E-6 | 1.2836884E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4922465E-5 | 1.5628797E-5 | 1.5628797E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4921463E-4 | 1.562771E-4 | 1.562771E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.0781519E-7 | 2.1744857E-7 | 2.1744857E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.906362E-7 | 9.3192216E-7 | 9.3192216E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.08434415E-5 | 1.1346094E-5 | 1.1346094E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0842913E-4 | 1.1345524E-4 | 1.1345524E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.614776E-8 | 3.7641843E-8 | 3.7641843E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5491896E-7 | 1.6132218E-7 | 1.6132218E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8861368E-6 | 1.9640959E-6 | 1.9640959E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8861208E-5 | 1.9640796E-5 | 1.9640796E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Cayetano
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8172113E-5 | 1.8172113E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.787818E-5 | 7.787818E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012242225 | 9.477581E-4 | 9.677391E-4 | 1.0210824 | 2.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.009437738 | 0.009467455 | 1.0031487 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8172113E-5 | 1.8172113E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.787818E-5 | 7.787818E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012242225 | 9.477581E-4 | 9.677391E-4 | 1.0210824 | 2.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.009437738 | 0.009467455 | 1.0031487 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8172113E-5 | 1.8172113E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.787818E-5 | 7.787818E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012242225 | 9.477581E-4 | 9.677391E-4 | 1.0210824 | 2.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.009437738 | 0.009467455 | 1.0031487 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8172113E-5 | 1.8172113E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.787818E-5 | 7.787818E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012242225 | 9.477581E-4 | 9.677391E-4 | 1.0210824 | 2.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.009437738 | 0.009467455 | 1.0031487 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8172113E-5 | 1.8172113E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.787818E-5 | 7.787818E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012242225 | 9.477581E-4 | 9.677391E-4 | 1.0210824 | 2.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.009437738 | 0.009467455 | 1.0031487 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8172113E-5 | 1.8172113E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.787818E-5 | 7.787818E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012242225 | 9.477581E-4 | 9.677391E-4 | 1.0210824 | 2.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.009437738 | 0.009467455 | 1.0031487 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8172113E-5 | 1.8172113E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.787818E-5 | 7.787818E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012242225 | 9.477581E-4 | 9.677391E-4 | 1.0210824 | 2.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.009437738 | 0.009467455 | 1.0031487 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8172113E-5 | 1.8172113E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.787818E-5 | 7.787818E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012242225 | 9.477581E-4 | 9.677391E-4 | 1.0210824 | 2.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.009437738 | 0.009467455 | 1.0031487 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.3241924E-5 | 1.7939776E-5 | 1.7939776E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.960445E-5 | 7.6882505E-5 | 7.6882505E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012120095 | 9.356462E-4 | 9.556275E-4 | 1.0213556 | 2.0E-5 | 0.012054204 | 0.009317572 | 0.009347293 | 1.0031897 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.2761007E-5 | 1.7435174E-5 | 1.7435174E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.7543525E-5 | 7.472005E-5 | 7.472005E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011869454 | 9.0934034E-4 | 9.2932215E-4 | 1.021974 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011806256 | 0.009056673 | 0.009086402 | 1.0032824 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.240283E-5 | 1.7068909E-5 | 1.7068909E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.600859E-5 | 7.315043E-5 | 7.315043E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011682777 | 8.9024607E-4 | 9.102283E-4 | 1.0224457 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011621549 | 0.00886726 | 0.008887083 | 1.0022355 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.1871154E-5 | 1.6588769E-5 | 1.6588769E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.373015E-5 | 7.10928E-5 | 7.10928E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011405671 | 8.652145E-4 | 8.851972E-4 | 1.0230956 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011347309 | 0.008618908 | 0.008638736 | 1.0023005 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.0714133E-5 | 1.556723E-5 | 1.556723E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8771834E-5 | 6.671501E-5 | 6.671501E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010802611 | 8.119558E-4 | 8.319396E-4 | 1.0246118 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010750249 | 0.008090313 | 0.008110152 | 1.0024521 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.8408395E-5 | 1.3997954E-5 | 1.3997954E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8890735E-5 | 5.998987E-5 | 5.998987E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.600714E-4 | 7.301349E-4 | 7.5012026E-4 | 1.0273722 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009559342 | 0.0072777392 | 0.0072975936 | 1.0027281 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.6856795E-5 | 1.2850997E-5 | 1.2850997E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2241404E-5 | 5.5074554E-5 | 5.5074554E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7918417E-4 | 6.7032926E-4 | 6.803226E-4 | 1.0149081 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00875714 | 0.0066834004 | 0.0066933334 | 1.0014863 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.2822778E-5 | 9.578085E-6 | 9.578085E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.495361E-5 | 4.1048297E-5 | 4.1048297E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.688548E-4 | 4.9965E-4 | 4.9965E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006668452 | 0.00498533 | 0.00498533 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 5.6272684E-6 | 3.855225E-6 | 3.855225E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4116642E-5 | 1.6522288E-5 | 1.6522288E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9358055E-4 | 2.0114038E-4 | 2.0114038E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029319301 | 0.0020095943 | 0.0020095943 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 3.5261346E-6 | 2.3409038E-6 | 2.3409038E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5111918E-5 | 1.0032407E-5 | 1.0032407E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8397206E-4 | 1.2213778E-4 | 1.2213778E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018381984 | 0.001220714 | 0.001220714 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.4826929E-6 | 1.0565171E-6 | 1.0565171E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.354383E-6 | 4.527923E-6 | 4.527923E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.736187E-5 | 5.5126085E-5 | 5.5126085E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.733494E-4 | 5.5112614E-4 | 5.5112614E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.7568166E-7 | 1.6979682E-7 | 1.6979682E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1814923E-6 | 7.2770047E-7 | 7.2770047E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4384574E-5 | 8.859717E-6 | 8.859717E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4383643E-4 | 8.8593675E-5 | 8.8593675E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 5.407832E-8 | 2.6892753E-8 | 2.6892753E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3176422E-7 | 1.1525465E-7 | 1.1525465E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8217257E-6 | 1.4032245E-6 | 1.4032245E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8216898E-5 | 1.4032161E-5 | 1.4032161E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Palos Verdes
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.126063E-5 | 7.623574E-5 | 7.623574E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6251914E-4 | 3.2668703E-4 | 3.2668703E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031914865 | 0.0039706845 | 0.003980645 | 1.0025084 | 1.0E-5 | 0.031460393 | 0.039054003 | 0.03908283 | 1.0007381 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.126063E-5 | 7.623574E-5 | 7.623574E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6251914E-4 | 3.2668703E-4 | 3.2668703E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031914865 | 0.0039706845 | 0.003980645 | 1.0025084 | 1.0E-5 | 0.031460393 | 0.039054003 | 0.03908283 | 1.0007381 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.126063E-5 | 7.623574E-5 | 7.623574E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6251914E-4 | 3.2668703E-4 | 3.2668703E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031914865 | 0.0039706845 | 0.003980645 | 1.0025084 | 1.0E-5 | 0.031460393 | 0.039054003 | 0.03908283 | 1.0007381 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.0838047E-5 | 4.9754835E-5 | 4.9754835E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7500846E-4 | 2.1321885E-4 | 2.1321885E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021286458 | 0.0025930547 | 0.0026030287 | 1.0038464 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021083709 | 0.02564968 | 0.02567891 | 1.0011396 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.0838047E-5 | 4.9754835E-5 | 4.9754835E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7500846E-4 | 2.1321885E-4 | 2.1321885E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021286458 | 0.0025930547 | 0.0026030287 | 1.0038464 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021083709 | 0.02564968 | 0.02567891 | 1.0011396 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.0512005E-5 | 3.6565478E-5 | 3.6565478E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3075917E-4 | 1.5670045E-4 | 1.5670045E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015908304 | 0.0019062737 | 0.0019162546 | 1.0052358 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015794903 | 0.018911155 | 0.018930778 | 1.0010376 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.9255087E-5 | 3.5158188E-5 | 3.5158188E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2537291E-4 | 1.5066989E-4 | 1.5066989E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015253464 | 0.0018329752 | 0.0018429569 | 1.0054456 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015149189 | 0.018190183 | 0.018209819 | 1.0010794 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.287198E-5 | 2.7251068E-5 | 2.7251068E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.801909E-5 | 1.1678558E-4 | 1.1678558E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001192729 | 0.0014210287 | 0.0014210287 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011863477 | 0.014128654 | 0.014138513 | 1.0006977 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.1325764E-5 | 2.5434496E-5 | 2.5434496E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.139293E-5 | 1.0900094E-4 | 1.0900094E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001112141 | 0.0013263688 | 0.0013263688 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011065915 | 0.013193562 | 0.013193562 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.9009392E-5 | 2.2615843E-5 | 2.2615843E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.1466285E-5 | 9.692193E-5 | 9.692193E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.914007E-4 | 0.0011794731 | 0.0011794731 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009869894 | 0.011740818 | 0.011740818 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.7098473E-5 | 2.0321406E-5 | 2.0321406E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3277115E-5 | 8.708931E-5 | 8.708931E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.917837E-4 | 0.0010598819 | 0.0010598819 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008882134 | 0.010556707 | 0.010556707 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.5982785E-5 | 1.8996678E-5 | 1.8996678E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.849585E-5 | 8.141227E-5 | 8.141227E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.336179E-4 | 9.908284E-4 | 9.908284E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008304977 | 0.009872472 | 0.009872472 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.4468002E-5 | 1.7198974E-5 | 1.7198974E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.200425E-5 | 7.370828E-5 | 7.370828E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.546402E-4 | 8.971129E-4 | 8.971129E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007520827 | 0.008943185 | 0.008943185 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.288233E-6 | 6.204259E-6 | 6.204259E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2663658E-5 | 2.6589607E-5 | 2.6589607E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7589512E-4 | 3.237153E-4 | 3.237153E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027555283 | 0.003235861 | 0.003235861 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 8.279556E-7 | 8.408416E-7 | 8.408416E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5483763E-6 | 3.6036022E-6 | 3.6036022E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3200624E-5 | 4.387305E-5 | 4.387305E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3192226E-4 | 4.386511E-4 | 4.386511E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.559831E-7 | 6.667287E-7 | 6.667287E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8113532E-6 | 2.857406E-6 | 2.857406E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4227687E-5 | 3.4788427E-5 | 3.4788427E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4222414E-4 | 3.4783647E-4 | 3.4783647E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.5018968E-7 | 3.5620351E-7 | 3.5620351E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.500812E-6 | 1.526586E-6 | 1.526586E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8272232E-5 | 1.8586072E-5 | 1.8586072E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8270731E-4 | 1.8584977E-4 | 1.8584977E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.1986104E-7 | 1.2198491E-7 | 1.2198491E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1369005E-7 | 5.227924E-7 | 5.227924E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2541585E-6 | 6.364979E-6 | 6.364979E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2539824E-5 | 6.364801E-5 | 6.364801E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.0445005E-8 | 3.10279E-8 | 3.10279E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3047858E-7 | 1.3297671E-7 | 1.3297671E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5885756E-6 | 1.6189904E-6 | 1.6189904E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5885644E-5 | 1.6189806E-5 | 1.6189806E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
White Wolf
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.0037822E-5 | 1.0469125E-6 | 1.0469125E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.587355E-5 | 4.4867606E-6 | 4.4867606E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001045009 | 5.4624994E-5 | 5.4624994E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010401085 | 5.4612075E-4 | 5.761043E-4 | 1.0549029 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.0037822E-5 | 1.0469125E-6 | 1.0469125E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.587355E-5 | 4.4867606E-6 | 4.4867606E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001045009 | 5.4624994E-5 | 5.4624994E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010401085 | 5.4612075E-4 | 5.761043E-4 | 1.0549029 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.0037822E-5 | 1.0469125E-6 | 1.0469125E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.587355E-5 | 4.4867606E-6 | 4.4867606E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001045009 | 5.4624994E-5 | 5.4624994E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010401085 | 5.4612075E-4 | 5.761043E-4 | 1.0549029 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.0037822E-5 | 1.0469125E-6 | 1.0469125E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.587355E-5 | 4.4867606E-6 | 4.4867606E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001045009 | 5.4624994E-5 | 5.4624994E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010401085 | 5.4612075E-4 | 5.761043E-4 | 1.0549029 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.132487E-5 | 1.0469125E-6 | 1.0469125E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8534253E-5 | 4.4867606E-6 | 4.4867606E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.907443E-4 | 5.4624994E-5 | 5.4624994E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005891764 | 5.4612075E-4 | 5.761043E-4 | 1.0549029 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.132487E-5 | 1.0469125E-6 | 1.0469125E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8534253E-5 | 4.4867606E-6 | 4.4867606E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.907443E-4 | 5.4624994E-5 | 5.4624994E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005891764 | 5.4612075E-4 | 5.761043E-4 | 1.0549029 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.347473E-6 | 1.0469125E-6 | 1.0469125E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0059982E-5 | 4.4867606E-6 | 4.4867606E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8762115E-4 | 5.4624994E-5 | 5.4624994E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048655253 | 5.4612075E-4 | 5.761043E-4 | 1.0549029 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.842647E-6 | 1.0048299E-6 | 1.0048299E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.361091E-5 | 4.306407E-6 | 4.306407E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0913603E-4 | 5.2429295E-5 | 5.2429295E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004083836 | 5.2417425E-4 | 5.5415847E-4 | 1.0572029 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.26597E-6 | 9.734783E-7 | 9.734783E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.685388E-5 | 4.1720436E-6 | 4.1720436E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2689696E-4 | 5.07935E-5 | 5.07935E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003264165 | 5.078238E-4 | 5.378086E-4 | 1.0590456 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.258436E-6 | 9.183194E-7 | 9.183194E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2535958E-5 | 3.935649E-6 | 3.935649E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7434074E-4 | 4.7915524E-5 | 4.7915524E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027400232 | 4.790567E-4 | 5.0904235E-4 | 1.0625931 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.675028E-6 | 8.661136E-7 | 8.661136E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.003568E-5 | 3.7119105E-6 | 3.7119105E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4390711E-4 | 4.5191624E-5 | 4.5191624E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024363957 | 4.5182905E-4 | 4.8181548E-4 | 1.0663668 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.8270078E-6 | 6.874117E-7 | 6.874117E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2115692E-5 | 2.9460473E-6 | 2.9460473E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4749856E-4 | 3.5867575E-5 | 3.5867575E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001474007 | 3.5862197E-4 | 3.786148E-4 | 1.055749 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.6881406E-6 | 2.2705167E-7 | 2.2705167E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2348685E-6 | 9.730783E-7 | 9.730783E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.808096E-5 | 1.1847164E-5 | 1.1847164E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8046055E-4 | 1.1846548E-4 | 1.1846548E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 9.086107E-7 | 1.5265711E-7 | 1.5265711E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8940398E-6 | 6.542446E-7 | 6.542446E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7408903E-5 | 7.9654E-6 | 7.9654E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.739879E-4 | 7.9651225E-5 | 7.9651225E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.9717383E-7 | 9.003655E-8 | 9.003655E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.450304E-7 | 3.8587086E-7 | 3.8587086E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0288197E-5 | 4.697968E-6 | 4.697968E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.028772E-4 | 4.697872E-5 | 4.697872E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.086975E-7 | 6.659832E-8 | 6.659832E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6584634E-7 | 2.8542135E-7 | 2.8542135E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6716644E-6 | 3.4749996E-6 | 3.4749996E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6715195E-5 | 3.4749475E-5 | 3.4749475E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.4217808E-8 | 1.5821215E-8 | 1.5821215E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.03790605E-7 | 6.78052E-8 | 6.78052E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2636499E-6 | 8.2552805E-7 | 8.2552805E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2636427E-5 | 8.255255E-6 | 8.255255E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Ynez River
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6396456E-5 | 1.7209959E-5 | 1.7209959E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.026863E-5 | 7.375509E-5 | 7.375509E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.551848E-4 | 8.976337E-4 | 9.176158E-4 | 1.0222608 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0085190125 | 0.008943629 | 0.008973361 | 1.0033244 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6396456E-5 | 1.7209959E-5 | 1.7209959E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.026863E-5 | 7.375509E-5 | 7.375509E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.551848E-4 | 8.976337E-4 | 9.176158E-4 | 1.0222608 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0085190125 | 0.008943629 | 0.008973361 | 1.0033244 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6396456E-5 | 1.7209959E-5 | 1.7209959E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.026863E-5 | 7.375509E-5 | 7.375509E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.551848E-4 | 8.976337E-4 | 9.176158E-4 | 1.0222608 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0085190125 | 0.008943629 | 0.008973361 | 1.0033244 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 9.736976E-6 | 1.01226115E-5 | 1.01226115E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.172923E-5 | 4.338193E-5 | 4.338193E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0793495E-4 | 5.28052E-4 | 5.480414E-4 | 1.037855 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005067755 | 0.0052684783 | 0.00529832 | 1.0056642 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 9.736976E-6 | 1.01226115E-5 | 1.01226115E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.172923E-5 | 4.338193E-5 | 4.338193E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0793495E-4 | 5.28052E-4 | 5.480414E-4 | 1.037855 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005067755 | 0.0052684783 | 0.00529832 | 1.0056642 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 7.081964E-6 | 7.330101E-6 | 7.330101E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.035092E-5 | 3.141435E-5 | 3.141435E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.694598E-4 | 3.8240416E-4 | 3.9240034E-4 | 1.0261403 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036884616 | 0.0038176232 | 0.0038375468 | 1.0052189 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.873247E-6 | 6.059913E-6 | 6.059913E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5170815E-5 | 2.5970803E-5 | 2.5970803E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.064116E-4 | 3.161495E-4 | 3.2614634E-4 | 1.0316206 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030598943 | 0.0031570848 | 0.0031770219 | 1.006315 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.973277E-6 | 5.116047E-6 | 5.116047E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1313872E-5 | 2.1925734E-5 | 2.1925734E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5946548E-4 | 2.669136E-4 | 2.7691093E-4 | 1.0374553 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0025916274 | 0.002665979 | 0.0026859257 | 1.0074819 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 4.396492E-6 | 4.511108E-6 | 4.511108E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.884197E-5 | 1.9333178E-5 | 1.9333178E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2937685E-4 | 2.3535638E-4 | 2.4535402E-4 | 1.0424788 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022914023 | 0.0023511064 | 0.0023710595 | 1.0084866 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.5255632E-6 | 3.6014421E-6 | 3.6014421E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5109469E-5 | 1.5434662E-5 | 1.5434662E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8394225E-4 | 1.8790095E-4 | 1.9789908E-4 | 1.0532095 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018379007 | 0.001877437 | 0.0018973994 | 1.0106329 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.211603E-6 | 3.2737553E-6 | 3.2737553E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.376394E-5 | 1.4030305E-5 | 1.4030305E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6756308E-4 | 1.7080571E-4 | 1.80804E-4 | 1.058536 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016743679 | 0.0017067584 | 0.0017267243 | 1.0116981 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.5094619E-6 | 2.5410047E-6 | 2.5410047E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0754793E-5 | 1.0889975E-5 | 1.0889975E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3093173E-4 | 1.3257744E-4 | 1.4257611E-4 | 1.0754176 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013085462 | 0.0013249894 | 0.0013449629 | 1.0150745 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.0515774E-6 | 2.06201E-6 | 2.06201E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.792445E-6 | 8.837156E-6 | 8.837156E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0704277E-4 | 1.07587104E-4 | 1.1758603E-4 | 1.092938 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010699122 | 0.0010753545 | 0.001095333 | 1.0185785 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.6845745E-6 | 1.6774534E-6 | 1.6774534E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.219585E-6 | 7.1890663E-6 | 7.1890663E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.78949E-5 | 8.752339E-5 | 9.752252E-5 | 1.1142452 | 1.0E-5 | 8.7860145E-4 | 8.748921E-4 | 8.9487457E-4 | 1.0228399 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.3600285E-6 | 1.3333874E-6 | 1.3333874E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.82868E-6 | 5.7145053E-6 | 5.7145053E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.096187E-5 | 6.95719E-5 | 7.9571204E-5 | 1.1437262 | 1.0E-5 | 7.0939213E-4 | 6.9550343E-4 | 7.154895E-4 | 1.0287361 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 9.735342E-7 | 9.290493E-7 | 9.290493E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.172283E-6 | 3.981634E-6 | 3.981634E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.079636E-5 | 4.8475333E-5 | 4.8475333E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0784746E-4 | 4.846493E-4 | 4.9464445E-4 | 1.0206234 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 5.067187E-7 | 4.778753E-7 | 4.778753E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1716498E-6 | 2.0480354E-6 | 2.0480354E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6439517E-5 | 2.4934552E-5 | 2.4934552E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.643637E-4 | 2.4931828E-4 | 2.593158E-4 | 1.0400994 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.769089E-7 | 2.5760096E-7 | 2.5760096E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1867519E-6 | 1.1040037E-6 | 1.1040037E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4448608E-5 | 1.3441162E-5 | 1.3441162E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.444767E-4 | 1.3440353E-4 | 1.4440218E-4 | 1.0743928 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.7044663E-7 | 1.5449687E-7 | 1.5449687E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3048534E-7 | 6.6212925E-7 | 6.6212925E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.893623E-6 | 8.0613945E-6 | 8.0613945E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.893267E-5 | 8.061104E-5 | 9.0610236E-5 | 1.1240425 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 4.8344287E-8 | 4.0912912E-8 | 4.0912912E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0718979E-7 | 1.7534104E-7 | 1.7534104E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5225327E-6 | 2.134775E-6 | 2.134775E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5225041E-5 | 2.134755E-5 | 3.1347336E-5 | 1.4684278 | 1.0E-5 |
Pine Mtn
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.2258863E-6 | 7.2258863E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0967734E-5 | 4.0967425E-5 | 1.3229067 | 1.0E-5 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.769699E-4 | 3.9696236E-4 | 1.0530347 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0037636019 | 0.003793489 | 1.0079411 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.2258863E-6 | 7.2258863E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0967734E-5 | 4.0967425E-5 | 1.3229067 | 1.0E-5 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.769699E-4 | 3.9696236E-4 | 1.0530347 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0037636019 | 0.003793489 | 1.0079411 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.2258863E-6 | 7.2258863E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0967734E-5 | 4.0967425E-5 | 1.3229067 | 1.0E-5 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.769699E-4 | 3.9696236E-4 | 1.0530347 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0037636019 | 0.003793489 | 1.0079411 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.2258863E-6 | 7.2258863E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0967734E-5 | 4.0967425E-5 | 1.3229067 | 1.0E-5 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.769699E-4 | 3.9696236E-4 | 1.0530347 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0037636019 | 0.003793489 | 1.0079411 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.2258863E-6 | 7.2258863E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0967734E-5 | 4.0967425E-5 | 1.3229067 | 1.0E-5 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.769699E-4 | 3.9696236E-4 | 1.0530347 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0037636019 | 0.003793489 | 1.0079411 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.2258863E-6 | 7.2258863E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0967734E-5 | 4.0967425E-5 | 1.3229067 | 1.0E-5 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.769699E-4 | 3.9696236E-4 | 1.0530347 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0037636019 | 0.003793489 | 1.0079411 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.2258863E-6 | 7.2258863E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0967734E-5 | 4.0967425E-5 | 1.3229067 | 1.0E-5 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.769699E-4 | 3.9696236E-4 | 1.0530347 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0037636019 | 0.003793489 | 1.0079411 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.0867933E-6 | 6.397527E-6 | 6.397527E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6085996E-5 | 2.7417698E-5 | 3.7417423E-5 | 1.364718 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1755073E-4 | 3.3376153E-4 | 3.5375485E-4 | 1.059903 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0031709734 | 0.0033328217 | 0.003352755 | 1.005981 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.6530425E-6 | 5.9510025E-6 | 5.9510025E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.42271E-5 | 2.550406E-5 | 3.5503803E-5 | 1.3920845 | 1.0E-5 | 2.94925E-4 | 3.1046974E-4 | 3.3046352E-4 | 1.0643985 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002945339 | 0.0031005645 | 0.0031205025 | 1.0064304 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.6015225E-6 | 4.864222E-6 | 4.864222E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9720663E-5 | 2.0846506E-5 | 3.08463E-5 | 1.4796867 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4007261E-4 | 2.537781E-4 | 2.6377555E-4 | 1.0393945 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023981342 | 0.0025350272 | 0.002545002 | 1.0039347 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.4875965E-6 | 4.7478593E-6 | 4.7478593E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9232413E-5 | 2.0347818E-5 | 3.0347615E-5 | 1.4914432 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3412947E-4 | 2.4770797E-4 | 2.5770548E-4 | 1.0403601 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023388295 | 0.0024744626 | 0.0024844378 | 1.0040313 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.203907E-6 | 3.429777E-6 | 3.429777E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3730958E-5 | 1.4698966E-5 | 2.4698818E-5 | 1.68031 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6716159E-4 | 1.7894588E-4 | 1.8894409E-4 | 1.0558728 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016703589 | 0.001788084 | 0.0017980661 | 1.0055826 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.2060601E-6 | 2.3787825E-6 | 2.3787825E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4545085E-6 | 1.0194745E-5 | 2.0194642E-5 | 1.9808875 | 1.0E-5 | 1.15102564E-4 | 1.241144E-4 | 1.3411316E-4 | 1.0805608 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011504296 | 0.0012404957 | 0.0012504833 | 1.0080513 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.3765207E-6 | 1.5219202E-6 | 1.5219202E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.899361E-6 | 6.5224995E-6 | 6.5224995E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.182235E-5 | 7.940863E-5 | 7.940863E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1799144E-4 | 7.9381163E-4 | 7.9381163E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.1245983E-6 | 1.2589533E-6 | 1.2589533E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.819698E-6 | 5.3955036E-6 | 5.3955036E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8678244E-5 | 6.568836E-5 | 6.568836E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.866275E-4 | 6.566977E-4 | 6.566977E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 8.031682E-7 | 9.279254E-7 | 9.279254E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4421448E-6 | 3.9768174E-6 | 3.9768174E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1907308E-5 | 4.8416743E-5 | 4.8416743E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1899405E-4 | 4.840687E-4 | 4.840687E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.8953444E-7 | 6.0050616E-7 | 6.0050616E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.098003E-6 | 2.5735953E-6 | 2.5735953E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5542888E-5 | 3.1333122E-5 | 3.1333122E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5539953E-4 | 3.1329194E-4 | 3.1329194E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.634529E-8 | 6.7889104E-8 | 6.7889104E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.843369E-7 | 2.9095327E-7 | 2.9095327E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4617963E-6 | 3.542351E-6 | 3.542351E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4617424E-5 | 3.5422992E-5 | 3.5422992E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 9.235578E-9 | 9.488707E-9 | 9.488707E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9581046E-8 | 4.0665885E-8 | 4.0665885E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.818991E-7 | 4.9510703E-7 | 4.9510703E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8189804E-6 | 4.951061E-6 | 4.951061E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 03 Mysterious Ridge
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.1182444E-5 | 3.6037112E-5 | 3.6037112E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.336322E-4 | 1.5443668E-4 | 1.6443514E-4 | 1.0647415 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016257578 | 0.0018788315 | 0.0018888128 | 1.0053124 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016139153 | 0.018648213 | 0.01866784 | 1.0010525 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.1182444E-5 | 3.6037112E-5 | 3.6037112E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.336322E-4 | 1.5443668E-4 | 1.6443514E-4 | 1.0647415 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016257578 | 0.0018788315 | 0.0018888128 | 1.0053124 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016139153 | 0.018648213 | 0.01866784 | 1.0010525 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.1182444E-5 | 3.6037112E-5 | 3.6037112E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.336322E-4 | 1.5443668E-4 | 1.6443514E-4 | 1.0647415 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016257578 | 0.0018788315 | 0.0018888128 | 1.0053124 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016139153 | 0.018648213 | 0.01866784 | 1.0010525 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.106934E-5 | 2.3851984E-5 | 2.3851984E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0294045E-5 | 1.0221896E-4 | 1.1221794E-4 | 1.0978192 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010987755 | 0.0012438364 | 0.001253824 | 1.0080297 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010933585 | 0.012371994 | 0.012391746 | 1.0015966 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.106934E-5 | 2.3851984E-5 | 2.3851984E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0294045E-5 | 1.0221896E-4 | 1.1221794E-4 | 1.0978192 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010987755 | 0.0012438364 | 0.001253824 | 1.0080297 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010933585 | 0.012371994 | 0.012391746 | 1.0015966 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.9389783E-5 | 2.1886484E-5 | 2.1886484E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.309642E-5 | 9.3796E-5 | 1.03795064E-4 | 1.1066043 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010112294 | 0.0011413958 | 0.0011513844 | 1.0087512 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010066401 | 0.01135821 | 0.011377983 | 1.0017408 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.9370193E-5 | 2.1866404E-5 | 2.1866404E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.301247E-5 | 9.3709954E-5 | 1.0370902E-4 | 1.1067022 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010102082 | 0.0011403493 | 0.0011503379 | 1.0087593 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010056281 | 0.011347852 | 0.011367625 | 1.0017425 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.6723505E-5 | 1.8800525E-5 | 1.8800525E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.16702E-5 | 8.05713E-5 | 9.0570495E-5 | 1.1241037 | 1.0E-5 | 8.722353E-4 | 9.805337E-4 | 9.905238E-4 | 1.0101886 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008688197 | 0.009764083 | 0.009773985 | 1.0010141 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.426937E-5 | 1.5998241E-5 | 1.5998241E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.115301E-5 | 6.856217E-5 | 7.856148E-5 | 1.145843 | 1.0E-5 | 7.4428355E-4 | 8.344392E-4 | 8.444309E-4 | 1.0119741 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007417957 | 0.008314539 | 0.0083244555 | 1.0011927 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.2469891E-5 | 1.3957814E-5 | 1.3957814E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3441294E-5 | 5.98179E-5 | 6.98173E-5 | 1.1671641 | 1.0E-5 | 6.504535E-4 | 7.280517E-4 | 7.380444E-4 | 1.0137253 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006485529 | 0.007257889 | 0.0072678165 | 1.0013678 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.7746275E-6 | 9.792338E-6 | 9.792338E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7605005E-5 | 4.1966527E-5 | 5.1966108E-5 | 1.2382752 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5774475E-4 | 5.1083E-4 | 5.208249E-4 | 1.0195659 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00456803 | 0.005097291 | 0.00510724 | 1.0019518 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 6.1067153E-6 | 6.8141453E-6 | 6.8141453E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6171374E-5 | 2.9203184E-5 | 3.9202892E-5 | 1.3424184 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1858988E-4 | 3.5549633E-4 | 3.6549277E-4 | 1.0281197 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0031813353 | 0.0035498275 | 0.003559792 | 1.002807 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.939283E-6 | 3.2743044E-6 | 3.2743044E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2596866E-5 | 1.4032667E-5 | 1.4032667E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5335606E-4 | 1.7083608E-4 | 1.7083608E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015325027 | 0.0017072196 | 0.0017072196 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 7.2387763E-7 | 8.008961E-7 | 8.008961E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.102329E-6 | 3.43241E-6 | 3.43241E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.77702E-5 | 4.1789248E-5 | 4.1789248E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7763783E-4 | 4.178589E-4 | 4.178589E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.112171E-8 | 3.2068883E-8 | 3.2068883E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3337875E-7 | 1.3743806E-7 | 1.3743806E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6238852E-6 | 1.6733072E-6 | 1.6733072E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6238733E-5 | 1.6732954E-5 | 1.6732954E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 07 (Orestimba)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.9687902E-5 | 3.2759297E-5 | 3.2759297E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2722766E-4 | 1.4038983E-4 | 1.4038983E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015478961 | 0.0017079781 | 0.001717961 | 1.0058448 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015371585 | 0.01695606 | 0.01697572 | 1.0011595 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.9687902E-5 | 3.2759297E-5 | 3.2759297E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2722766E-4 | 1.4038983E-4 | 1.4038983E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015478961 | 0.0017079781 | 0.001717961 | 1.0058448 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015371585 | 0.01695606 | 0.01697572 | 1.0011595 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.9231524E-5 | 2.1160291E-5 | 2.1160291E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2418206E-5 | 9.068394E-5 | 9.068394E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010029797 | 0.0011035409 | 0.0011135299 | 1.0090517 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00998465 | 0.010983022 | 0.011002802 | 1.001801 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.324766E-5 | 1.4549291E-5 | 1.4549291E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6774446E-5 | 6.2352665E-5 | 6.2352665E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.910097E-4 | 7.588885E-4 | 7.688809E-4 | 1.0131671 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006888649 | 0.0075639165 | 0.0075738407 | 1.001312 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.818645E-6 | 8.573279E-6 | 8.573279E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3508048E-5 | 3.6742123E-5 | 3.6742123E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.078841E-4 | 4.4724692E-4 | 4.4724692E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004071363 | 0.0044638086 | 0.0044638086 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 5.3076565E-6 | 5.8180976E-6 | 5.8180976E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.27469E-5 | 2.4934478E-5 | 2.4934478E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7690834E-4 | 3.0353706E-4 | 3.0353706E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027656353 | 0.0030314343 | 0.0030314343 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 3.6003578E-6 | 3.948698E-6 | 3.948698E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5430012E-5 | 1.692289E-5 | 1.692289E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8784421E-4 | 2.0601827E-4 | 2.0601827E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018768552 | 0.0020584268 | 0.0020584268 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 2.5361826E-6 | 2.783612E-6 | 2.783612E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0869308E-5 | 1.1929718E-5 | 1.1929718E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3232579E-4 | 1.4523596E-4 | 1.4523596E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013224703 | 0.0014515404 | 0.0014515404 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.2115831E-6 | 1.3314497E-6 | 1.3314497E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1924885E-6 | 5.7062057E-6 | 5.7062057E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3216714E-5 | 6.947181E-5 | 6.947181E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3198735E-4 | 6.9459603E-4 | 6.9459603E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Channel Islands Western Deep Ramp
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.0213506E-6 | 6.2549975E-6 | 6.2549975E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5805533E-5 | 2.6806882E-5 | 2.6806882E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1413708E-4 | 3.2632938E-4 | 3.2632938E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031369338 | 0.0032589433 | 0.0032689108 | 1.0030584 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.0213506E-6 | 6.2549975E-6 | 6.2549975E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5805533E-5 | 2.6806882E-5 | 2.6806882E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1413708E-4 | 3.2632938E-4 | 3.2632938E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031369338 | 0.0032589433 | 0.0032689108 | 1.0030584 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.0213506E-6 | 6.2549975E-6 | 6.2549975E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5805533E-5 | 2.6806882E-5 | 2.6806882E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1413708E-4 | 3.2632938E-4 | 3.2632938E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031369338 | 0.0032589433 | 0.0032689108 | 1.0030584 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.0213506E-6 | 6.2549975E-6 | 6.2549975E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5805533E-5 | 2.6806882E-5 | 2.6806882E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1413708E-4 | 3.2632938E-4 | 3.2632938E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031369338 | 0.0032589433 | 0.0032689108 | 1.0030584 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.0213506E-6 | 6.2549975E-6 | 6.2549975E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5805533E-5 | 2.6806882E-5 | 2.6806882E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1413708E-4 | 3.2632938E-4 | 3.2632938E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031369338 | 0.0032589433 | 0.0032689108 | 1.0030584 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.0213506E-6 | 6.2549975E-6 | 6.2549975E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5805533E-5 | 2.6806882E-5 | 2.6806882E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1413708E-4 | 3.2632938E-4 | 3.2632938E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031369338 | 0.0032589433 | 0.0032689108 | 1.0030584 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.0213506E-6 | 6.2549975E-6 | 6.2549975E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5805533E-5 | 2.6806882E-5 | 2.6806882E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1413708E-4 | 3.2632938E-4 | 3.2632938E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031369338 | 0.0032589433 | 0.0032689108 | 1.0030584 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 5.313309E-6 | 5.5253577E-6 | 5.5253577E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2771126E-5 | 2.3679913E-5 | 2.3679913E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.772032E-4 | 2.8826887E-4 | 2.8826887E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027685766 | 0.0028793528 | 0.002889324 | 1.003463 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.313309E-6 | 5.5253577E-6 | 5.5253577E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2771126E-5 | 2.3679913E-5 | 2.3679913E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.772032E-4 | 2.8826887E-4 | 2.8826887E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027685766 | 0.0028793528 | 0.002889324 | 1.003463 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.744377E-6 | 4.9395385E-6 | 4.9395385E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0332885E-5 | 2.11693E-5 | 2.11693E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4752476E-4 | 2.5770947E-4 | 2.5770947E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024724922 | 0.0025744736 | 0.0025844479 | 1.0038743 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.722209E-6 | 4.9165806E-6 | 4.9165806E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0237881E-5 | 2.1070911E-5 | 2.1070911E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4636835E-4 | 2.5651188E-4 | 2.5651188E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002460954 | 0.0025625252 | 0.0025724997 | 1.0038924 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.611174E-6 | 4.8015145E-6 | 4.8015145E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9762025E-5 | 2.0577778E-5 | 2.0577778E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4057609E-4 | 2.5050936E-4 | 2.5050936E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002403158 | 0.0025026368 | 0.0025126117 | 1.0039858 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.043994E-6 | 4.2121196E-6 | 4.2121196E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7331287E-5 | 1.8051836E-5 | 1.8051836E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.10988E-4 | 2.1976251E-4 | 2.1976251E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002107878 | 0.0021958028 | 0.0022057807 | 1.0045441 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.1233036E-6 | 2.2298468E-6 | 2.2298468E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.099841E-6 | 9.556452E-6 | 9.556452E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1078493E-4 | 1.1634364E-4 | 1.1634364E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011072971 | 0.0011628328 | 0.0011728213 | 1.0085897 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.9051884E-6 | 2.001551E-6 | 2.001551E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.165067E-6 | 8.5780475E-6 | 8.5780475E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.940516E-5 | 1.0443278E-4 | 1.0443278E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.93607E-4 | 0.0010438423 | 0.0010538319 | 1.00957 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.2408497E-6 | 1.3039191E-6 | 1.3039191E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.317916E-6 | 5.588213E-6 | 5.588213E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4743705E-5 | 6.803439E-5 | 6.803439E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4724847E-4 | 6.801378E-4 | 6.801378E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.5440025E-7 | 6.88691E-7 | 6.88691E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8045695E-6 | 2.9515295E-6 | 2.9515295E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4145098E-5 | 3.5934292E-5 | 3.5934292E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4139853E-4 | 3.5928623E-4 | 3.5928623E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 3.985963E-7 | 4.1931946E-7 | 4.1931946E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7082689E-6 | 1.7970822E-6 | 1.7970822E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0797976E-5 | 2.1879268E-5 | 2.1879268E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0796029E-4 | 2.187723E-4 | 2.187723E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.706329E-8 | 3.859264E-8 | 3.859264E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5884267E-7 | 1.6539701E-7 | 1.6539701E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9339077E-6 | 2.013707E-6 | 2.013707E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.933891E-5 | 2.0136898E-5 | 2.0136898E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Homestead Valley 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.539795E-5 | 6.2866297E-6 | 6.2866297E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5989545E-5 | 2.6942538E-5 | 3.6942267E-5 | 1.3711503 | 1.0E-5 | 8.0312655E-4 | 3.2799662E-4 | 3.3799335E-4 | 1.0304781 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008002302 | 0.0032771465 | 0.0032970808 | 1.0060829 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.539795E-5 | 6.2866297E-6 | 6.2866297E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5989545E-5 | 2.6942538E-5 | 3.6942267E-5 | 1.3711503 | 1.0E-5 | 8.0312655E-4 | 3.2799662E-4 | 3.3799335E-4 | 1.0304781 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008002302 | 0.0032771465 | 0.0032970808 | 1.0060829 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.539795E-5 | 6.2866297E-6 | 6.2866297E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5989545E-5 | 2.6942538E-5 | 3.6942267E-5 | 1.3711503 | 1.0E-5 | 8.0312655E-4 | 3.2799662E-4 | 3.3799335E-4 | 1.0304781 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008002302 | 0.0032771465 | 0.0032970808 | 1.0060829 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.539795E-5 | 6.2866297E-6 | 6.2866297E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5989545E-5 | 2.6942538E-5 | 3.6942267E-5 | 1.3711503 | 1.0E-5 | 8.0312655E-4 | 3.2799662E-4 | 3.3799335E-4 | 1.0304781 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008002302 | 0.0032771465 | 0.0032970808 | 1.0060829 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.539795E-5 | 6.2866297E-6 | 6.2866297E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5989545E-5 | 2.6942538E-5 | 3.6942267E-5 | 1.3711503 | 1.0E-5 | 8.0312655E-4 | 3.2799662E-4 | 3.3799335E-4 | 1.0304781 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008002302 | 0.0032771465 | 0.0032970808 | 1.0060829 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.0265258E-5 | 2.878717E-6 | 2.878717E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3993223E-5 | 1.2337339E-5 | 2.2337215E-5 | 1.8105376 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3548586E-4 | 1.502037E-4 | 1.6020221E-4 | 1.0665662 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005341973 | 0.0015017039 | 0.0015216739 | 1.0132982 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.664671E-6 | 5.3441516E-7 | 5.3441516E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8562565E-5 | 2.2903494E-6 | 1.2290327E-5 | 5.366136 | 1.0E-5 | 3.476937E-4 | 2.7884764E-5 | 3.7884485E-5 | 1.3586087 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003471502 | 2.7882427E-4 | 2.888215E-4 | 1.0358549 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.5954046E-6 | 5.3441516E-7 | 5.3441516E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8265715E-5 | 2.2903494E-6 | 1.2290327E-5 | 5.366136 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4408073E-4 | 2.7884764E-5 | 3.7884485E-5 | 1.3586087 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034354846 | 2.7882427E-4 | 2.888215E-4 | 1.0358549 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 4.648189E-6 | 2.3260165E-7 | 2.3260165E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9920659E-5 | 9.968638E-7 | 1.0996854E-5 | 11.03145 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4250703E-4 | 1.2136755E-5 | 2.2136634E-5 | 1.8239335 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024224254 | 1.21361394E-4 | 1.3136018E-4 | 1.0823885 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.1428534E-6 | 1.9345704E-7 | 1.9345704E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7754966E-5 | 8.2910134E-7 | 1.0829093E-5 | 13.061241 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1614527E-4 | 1.0094265E-5 | 2.0094165E-5 | 1.9906515 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021593515 | 1.0093836E-4 | 1.10937355E-4 | 1.0990604 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.0673707E-6 | 1.5367266E-7 | 1.5367266E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3145808E-5 | 6.5859695E-7 | 1.065859E-5 | 16.183784 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6003846E-4 | 8.018389E-6 | 1.8018309E-5 | 2.2471232 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015992324 | 8.0181104E-5 | 9.01803E-5 | 1.1247077 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.340854E-6 | 1.4687458E-7 | 1.4687458E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0032193E-5 | 6.2946236E-7 | 1.06294565E-5 | 16.886564 | 1.0E-5 | 1.221351E-4 | 7.663678E-6 | 1.7663602E-5 | 2.3048465 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00122068 | 7.663424E-5 | 8.6633474E-5 | 1.1304799 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.3754182E-6 | 1.3922599E-7 | 1.3922599E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8946357E-6 | 5.9668264E-7 | 1.05966765E-5 | 17.759317 | 1.0E-5 | 7.176483E-5 | 7.264588E-6 | 1.7264516E-5 | 2.3765306 | 1.0E-5 | 7.174166E-4 | 7.26436E-5 | 8.264287E-5 | 1.1376483 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.2573237E-6 | 1.3827123E-7 | 1.3827123E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.388519E-6 | 5.925909E-7 | 1.0592585E-5 | 17.875038 | 1.0E-5 | 6.560324E-5 | 7.2147714E-6 | 1.72147E-5 | 2.3860354 | 1.0E-5 | 6.558388E-4 | 7.214546E-5 | 8.214474E-5 | 1.1385988 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.0994207E-6 | 1.3106173E-7 | 1.3106173E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7117946E-6 | 5.6169296E-7 | 1.0561687E-5 | 18.80331 | 1.0E-5 | 5.736459E-5 | 6.8385916E-6 | 1.6838523E-5 | 2.4622793 | 1.0E-5 | 5.734978E-4 | 6.83839E-5 | 7.838322E-5 | 1.1462232 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.5569126E-7 | 6.77287E-8 | 6.77287E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3815317E-6 | 2.9026583E-7 | 2.9026583E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8994764E-5 | 3.5339813E-6 | 3.5339813E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.899098E-4 | 3.5339315E-5 | 3.5339315E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Newport-Inglewood alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.9668912E-5 | 3.0407426E-5 | 3.0407426E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2714628E-4 | 1.3031377E-4 | 1.3031377E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015469068 | 0.0015859006 | 0.0015859006 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015361829 | 0.01579345 | 0.015813135 | 1.0012463 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.9668912E-5 | 3.0407426E-5 | 3.0407426E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2714628E-4 | 1.3031377E-4 | 1.3031377E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015469068 | 0.0015859006 | 0.0015859006 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015361829 | 0.01579345 | 0.015813135 | 1.0012463 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.9668912E-5 | 3.0407426E-5 | 3.0407426E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2714628E-4 | 1.3031377E-4 | 1.3031377E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015469068 | 0.0015859006 | 0.0015859006 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015361829 | 0.01579345 | 0.015813135 | 1.0012463 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.9668912E-5 | 3.0407426E-5 | 3.0407426E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2714628E-4 | 1.3031377E-4 | 1.3031377E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015469068 | 0.0015859006 | 0.0015859006 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015361829 | 0.01579345 | 0.015813135 | 1.0012463 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.275942E-5 | 1.0272993E-5 | 1.0272993E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4682085E-5 | 4.4026394E-5 | 4.4026394E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.65551E-4 | 5.3589366E-4 | 5.3589366E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0066356123 | 0.005346439 | 0.005346439 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.275942E-5 | 1.0272993E-5 | 1.0272993E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4682085E-5 | 4.4026394E-5 | 4.4026394E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.65551E-4 | 5.3589366E-4 | 5.3589366E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0066356123 | 0.005346439 | 0.005346439 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.1255358E-5 | 8.662263E-6 | 8.662263E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8236358E-5 | 3.7123467E-5 | 3.7123467E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.871194E-4 | 4.5188615E-4 | 4.5188615E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005855706 | 0.0045098504 | 0.0045098504 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.0504745E-5 | 7.90015E-6 | 7.90015E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5019555E-5 | 3.3857355E-5 | 3.3857355E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4797524E-4 | 4.1213658E-4 | 4.1213658E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0054662596 | 0.0041138525 | 0.0041138525 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.0476007E-5 | 7.881531E-6 | 7.881531E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4896402E-5 | 3.377756E-5 | 3.377756E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.464766E-4 | 4.1116544E-4 | 4.1116544E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005451347 | 0.004104177 | 0.004104177 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 9.076797E-6 | 6.4898973E-6 | 6.4898973E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.889998E-5 | 2.781355E-5 | 2.781355E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7350433E-4 | 3.385777E-4 | 3.385777E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004724967 | 0.003380656 | 0.003380656 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 8.73795E-6 | 6.212289E-6 | 6.212289E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7447822E-5 | 2.6623826E-5 | 2.6623826E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5583185E-4 | 3.2409714E-4 | 3.2409714E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045489795 | 0.0032362766 | 0.0032362766 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 8.391299E-6 | 5.955989E-6 | 5.955989E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5962214E-5 | 2.5525418E-5 | 2.5525418E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.37752E-4 | 3.1072792E-4 | 3.1072792E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004368907 | 0.003102964 | 0.003102964 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 7.796882E-6 | 5.49671E-6 | 5.49671E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.341478E-5 | 2.3557117E-5 | 2.3557117E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.06749E-4 | 2.8677037E-4 | 2.8677037E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040600533 | 0.0028640272 | 0.0028640272 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 6.4738833E-6 | 4.6479204E-6 | 4.6479204E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.774492E-5 | 1.9919507E-5 | 1.9919507E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3774204E-4 | 2.4249316E-4 | 2.4249316E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033722918 | 0.0024223023 | 0.0024223023 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.382145E-6 | 3.8858393E-6 | 3.8858393E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3066134E-5 | 1.665349E-5 | 1.665349E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8079396E-4 | 2.0273753E-4 | 2.0273753E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028043943 | 0.0020255402 | 0.0020255402 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 3.648244E-6 | 2.5738361E-6 | 2.5738361E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5635238E-5 | 1.103068E-5 | 1.103068E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9034238E-4 | 1.3429036E-4 | 1.3429036E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019017943 | 0.0013421025 | 0.0013421025 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.2906888E-6 | 1.5480372E-6 | 1.5480372E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.817201E-6 | 6.6344287E-6 | 6.6344287E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1951787E-4 | 8.077124E-5 | 8.077124E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011945361 | 8.074256E-4 | 8.074256E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.0479874E-7 | 3.397605E-7 | 3.397605E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5919921E-6 | 1.4561158E-6 | 1.4561158E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1557047E-5 | 1.7728078E-5 | 1.7728078E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1552566E-4 | 1.7726803E-4 | 1.7726803E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.16056995E-8 | 9.783043E-9 | 9.783043E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9738713E-8 | 4.1927326E-8 | 4.1927326E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0556863E-7 | 5.104652E-7 | 5.104652E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.05567E-6 | 5.1046522E-6 | 5.1046522E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pleito
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.479146E-5 | 2.479146E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0624519E-4 | 1.0624519E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0012928396 | 0.0013028268 | 1.0077249 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.012967767 | 0.012987508 | 1.0015223 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.479146E-5 | 2.479146E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0624519E-4 | 1.0624519E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0012928396 | 0.0013028268 | 1.0077249 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.012967767 | 0.012987508 | 1.0015223 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.479146E-5 | 2.479146E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0624519E-4 | 1.0624519E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0012928396 | 0.0013028268 | 1.0077249 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.012967767 | 0.012987508 | 1.0015223 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.479146E-5 | 2.479146E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0624519E-4 | 1.0624519E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0012928396 | 0.0013028268 | 1.0077249 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.012967767 | 0.012987508 | 1.0015223 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.479146E-5 | 2.479146E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0624519E-4 | 1.0624519E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0012928396 | 0.0013028268 | 1.0077249 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.012967767 | 0.012987508 | 1.0015223 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.479146E-5 | 2.479146E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0624519E-4 | 1.0624519E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0012928396 | 0.0013028268 | 1.0077249 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.012967767 | 0.012987508 | 1.0015223 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.910213E-6 | 1.7241837E-5 | 1.7241837E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.247165E-5 | 7.389152E-5 | 7.389152E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.169696E-4 | 8.992616E-4 | 8.992616E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051576863 | 0.009064423 | 0.009064423 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 9.910213E-6 | 1.7241837E-5 | 1.7241837E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.247165E-5 | 7.389152E-5 | 7.389152E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.169696E-4 | 8.992616E-4 | 8.992616E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051576863 | 0.009064423 | 0.009064423 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 8.300162E-6 | 1.5501371E-5 | 1.5501371E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.557164E-5 | 6.643277E-5 | 6.643277E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3299864E-4 | 8.0852024E-4 | 8.0852024E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004321559 | 0.008163834 | 0.008163834 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 8.183114E-6 | 1.5372574E-5 | 1.5372574E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5070017E-5 | 6.5880806E-5 | 6.5880806E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2689382E-4 | 8.0180506E-4 | 8.0180506E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042607468 | 0.008097173 | 0.008097173 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 7.1748823E-6 | 1.4159216E-5 | 1.4159216E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0749135E-5 | 6.0680948E-5 | 6.0680948E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.743064E-4 | 7.385406E-4 | 7.385406E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037367654 | 0.007468599 | 0.007468599 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 7.1671807E-6 | 1.4149584E-5 | 1.4149584E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0716128E-5 | 6.0639664E-5 | 6.0639664E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7390468E-4 | 7.380384E-4 | 7.380384E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037327618 | 0.0074636103 | 0.0074636103 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 7.0649667E-6 | 1.3996784E-5 | 1.3996784E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0278077E-5 | 5.998484E-5 | 5.998484E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6857324E-4 | 7.300712E-4 | 7.300712E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036796255 | 0.007384318 | 0.007384318 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 7.02082E-6 | 1.3940186E-5 | 1.3940186E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.008888E-5 | 5.974229E-5 | 5.974229E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6627054E-4 | 7.2712015E-4 | 7.2712015E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036566744 | 0.007354794 | 0.007354794 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 6.987146E-6 | 1.3899719E-5 | 1.3899719E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9944567E-5 | 5.956887E-5 | 5.956887E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6451413E-4 | 7.250101E-4 | 7.250101E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036391679 | 0.007333714 | 0.007333714 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.9494554E-6 | 1.3856602E-5 | 1.3856602E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9783041E-5 | 5.938409E-5 | 5.938409E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.625482E-4 | 7.2276196E-4 | 7.2276196E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036195726 | 0.0073113306 | 0.0073113306 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.92694E-6 | 1.3815674E-5 | 1.3815674E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9686547E-5 | 5.920869E-5 | 5.920869E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6137376E-4 | 7.206279E-4 | 7.206279E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036078666 | 0.0072900616 | 0.0072900616 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.395867E-6 | 1.2693605E-5 | 1.2693605E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.741057E-5 | 5.440003E-5 | 5.440003E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.336726E-4 | 6.621194E-4 | 6.621194E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033317201 | 0.0067081 | 0.0067081 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 5.8664327E-6 | 1.1559044E-5 | 1.1559044E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5141611E-5 | 4.953782E-5 | 4.953782E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.060561E-4 | 6.029563E-4 | 6.029563E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030563495 | 0.006112456 | 0.006112456 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 3.7167474E-6 | 7.128102E-6 | 7.128102E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.592882E-5 | 3.054865E-5 | 3.054865E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9391612E-4 | 3.718665E-4 | 3.718665E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019374699 | 0.0037745768 | 0.0037745768 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.0903841E-6 | 1.2908959E-6 | 1.2908959E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6730665E-6 | 5.532399E-6 | 5.532399E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.68931E-5 | 6.7354886E-5 | 6.7354886E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6878536E-4 | 6.957491E-4 | 6.957491E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 2.6894583E-7 | 1.1106567E-7 | 1.1106567E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1526245E-6 | 4.7599562E-7 | 4.7599562E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4033113E-5 | 5.7952316E-6 | 5.7952316E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4032227E-4 | 6.482664E-5 | 6.482664E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 5.2967013E-9 | 2.468831E-9 | 2.468831E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2700148E-8 | 1.0580704E-8 | 1.0580704E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7637427E-7 | 1.2882006E-7 | 1.2882006E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7637393E-6 | 1.4656648E-6 | 1.4656648E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Big Pine (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.916913E-6 | 1.2822198E-5 | 1.2822198E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.250036E-5 | 5.4951244E-5 | 5.4951244E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.173191E-4 | 6.688481E-4 | 6.7884143E-4 | 1.0149411 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051611643 | 0.006673103 | 0.0066929697 | 1.0029771 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 9.916913E-6 | 1.2822198E-5 | 1.2822198E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.250036E-5 | 5.4951244E-5 | 5.4951244E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.173191E-4 | 6.688481E-4 | 6.7884143E-4 | 1.0149411 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051611643 | 0.006673103 | 0.0066929697 | 1.0029771 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.916913E-6 | 1.2822198E-5 | 1.2822198E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.250036E-5 | 5.4951244E-5 | 5.4951244E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.173191E-4 | 6.688481E-4 | 6.7884143E-4 | 1.0149411 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051611643 | 0.006673103 | 0.0066929697 | 1.0029771 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 5.479711E-6 | 8.118015E-6 | 8.118015E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3484265E-5 | 3.4791046E-5 | 3.4791046E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.858834E-4 | 4.2350183E-4 | 4.334976E-4 | 1.0236026 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028551589 | 0.0042298343 | 0.0042497497 | 1.0047083 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 5.465009E-6 | 8.102307E-6 | 8.102307E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3421257E-5 | 3.472373E-5 | 3.472373E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.851165E-4 | 4.226826E-4 | 4.3267838E-4 | 1.0236484 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028475097 | 0.004221673 | 0.0042415885 | 1.0047175 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.826767E-6 | 7.427343E-6 | 7.427343E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.068598E-5 | 3.18311E-5 | 3.18311E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.518227E-4 | 3.8747748E-4 | 3.8747748E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025153751 | 0.0038708635 | 0.003880825 | 1.0025734 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.3146847E-6 | 6.8872637E-6 | 6.8872637E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8491375E-5 | 2.9516525E-5 | 2.9516525E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2510924E-4 | 3.5930687E-4 | 3.5930687E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022488134 | 0.0035900716 | 0.0036000358 | 1.0027754 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.6968106E-6 | 6.000254E-6 | 6.000254E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5843378E-5 | 2.571513E-5 | 2.571513E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9287605E-4 | 3.1303827E-4 | 3.1303827E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019270873 | 0.003128695 | 0.003138664 | 1.0031862 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.4671132E-6 | 5.706825E-6 | 5.706825E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4858972E-5 | 2.44576E-5 | 2.44576E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8089297E-4 | 2.9773204E-4 | 2.9773204E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018074579 | 0.002976045 | 0.0029860153 | 1.0033501 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.7686972E-6 | 4.829523E-6 | 4.829523E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1865792E-5 | 2.0697795E-5 | 2.0697795E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4445644E-4 | 2.5196726E-4 | 2.5196726E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014436257 | 0.0025194613 | 0.002529436 | 1.0039591 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.1472624E-6 | 3.9889437E-6 | 3.9889437E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.20252E-6 | 1.7095364E-5 | 1.7095364E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.12034926E-4 | 2.0811672E-4 | 2.0811672E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011197845 | 0.0020818403 | 0.0020818403 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.7018335E-6 | 3.3484318E-6 | 3.3484318E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.293552E-6 | 1.4350345E-5 | 1.4350345E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.879537E-5 | 1.747018E-4 | 1.747018E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.87599E-4 | 0.0017482359 | 0.0017482359 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.25603E-6 | 2.797844E-6 | 2.797844E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3829745E-6 | 1.1990706E-5 | 1.1990706E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.553574E-5 | 1.459773E-4 | 1.459773E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.551642E-4 | 0.0014613821 | 0.0014613821 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.112297E-6 | 2.6135112E-6 | 2.6135112E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7669787E-6 | 1.1200716E-5 | 1.1200716E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.803642E-5 | 1.363604E-4 | 1.363604E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.802127E-4 | 0.0013651794 | 0.0013651794 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.0137181E-6 | 2.4865376E-6 | 2.4865376E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3444993E-6 | 1.0656548E-5 | 1.0656548E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2892992E-5 | 1.2973596E-4 | 1.2973596E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.288041E-4 | 0.0012987981 | 0.0012987981 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 9.598608E-7 | 2.410106E-6 | 2.410106E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1136827E-6 | 1.0328986E-5 | 1.0328986E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0082934E-5 | 1.2574837E-4 | 1.2574837E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.007165E-4 | 0.001258775 | 0.001258775 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 7.929459E-7 | 2.0474768E-6 | 2.0474768E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3983351E-6 | 8.774872E-6 | 8.774872E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1373947E-5 | 1.06829E-4 | 1.06829E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1366243E-4 | 0.0010698074 | 0.0010698074 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.155788E-7 | 1.1624114E-6 | 1.1624114E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7810507E-6 | 4.981754E-6 | 4.981754E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1684076E-5 | 6.0651208E-5 | 6.0651208E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1681961E-4 | 6.09492E-4 | 6.09492E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.14666925E-7 | 2.5960628E-7 | 2.5960628E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.914296E-7 | 1.1125978E-6 | 1.1125978E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9831386E-6 | 1.3545799E-5 | 1.3545799E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9829777E-5 | 1.3656996E-4 | 1.3656996E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.9231824E-8 | 4.1527553E-8 | 4.1527553E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2527924E-7 | 1.7797521E-7 | 1.7797521E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5252737E-6 | 2.1668463E-6 | 2.1668463E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5252632E-5 | 2.2004704E-5 | 2.2004704E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Gregorio (North) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.0283932E-5 | 4.3076347E-5 | 4.3076347E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1548476E-4 | 1.8459992E-4 | 1.9459808E-4 | 1.0541612 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0026203706 | 0.0022452015 | 0.002255179 | 1.0044439 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02589687 | 0.022300957 | 0.02232051 | 1.0008768 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.0283932E-5 | 4.3076347E-5 | 4.3076347E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1548476E-4 | 1.8459992E-4 | 1.9459808E-4 | 1.0541612 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0026203706 | 0.0022452015 | 0.002255179 | 1.0044439 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02589687 | 0.022300957 | 0.02232051 | 1.0008768 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.2998647E-5 | 3.445847E-5 | 3.445847E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.842669E-4 | 1.4767087E-4 | 1.4767087E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022411412 | 0.0017964229 | 0.0017964229 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.022186736 | 0.0178934 | 0.0178934 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 4.2998647E-5 | 3.445847E-5 | 3.445847E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.842669E-4 | 1.4767087E-4 | 1.4767087E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022411412 | 0.0017964229 | 0.0017964229 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.022186736 | 0.0178934 | 0.0178934 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 4.1101295E-5 | 3.234342E-5 | 3.234342E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7613651E-4 | 1.3860737E-4 | 1.3860737E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021423528 | 0.0016862521 | 0.0016862521 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.02121817 | 0.016809015 | 0.016809015 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 4.1032585E-5 | 3.2261447E-5 | 3.2261447E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7584208E-4 | 1.382561E-4 | 1.382561E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021387753 | 0.001681982 | 0.001681982 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021183075 | 0.016766965 | 0.016766965 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 4.011629E-5 | 3.128284E-5 | 3.128284E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7191563E-4 | 1.3406252E-4 | 1.3406252E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020910634 | 0.0016310032 | 0.0016310032 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020714961 | 0.016266689 | 0.016266689 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 3.8583938E-5 | 2.9469667E-5 | 2.9469667E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6534925E-4 | 1.2629254E-4 | 1.2629254E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020112682 | 0.0015365414 | 0.0015365414 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.019931622 | 0.015334843 | 0.015334843 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 3.44341E-5 | 2.446622E-5 | 2.446622E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4756636E-4 | 1.0485108E-4 | 1.0485108E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017951399 | 0.0012758248 | 0.0012758248 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017807078 | 0.012759865 | 0.012759865 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 3.221199E-5 | 2.1789543E-5 | 2.1789543E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3804408E-4 | 9.338046E-5 | 9.338046E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016793909 | 0.0011363224 | 0.0011363224 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01666756 | 0.011378872 | 0.011378872 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.9186718E-5 | 1.8156097E-5 | 1.8156097E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2507994E-4 | 7.780955E-5 | 7.780955E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015217843 | 9.46924E-4 | 9.46924E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015114053 | 0.009501642 | 0.009501642 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.6840138E-5 | 1.529297E-5 | 1.529297E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1502409E-4 | 6.553966E-5 | 6.553966E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013995186 | 7.976552E-4 | 7.976552E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013907375 | 0.008020109 | 0.008020109 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.453002E-5 | 1.2614574E-5 | 1.2614574E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.05124425E-4 | 5.406134E-5 | 5.406134E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012791384 | 6.5799867E-4 | 6.5799867E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012718005 | 0.0066317604 | 0.0066317604 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.3330727E-5 | 1.1496337E-5 | 1.1496337E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9985E-5 | 4.926909E-5 | 4.926909E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012166376 | 5.996865E-4 | 5.996865E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012099981 | 0.006050518 | 0.006050518 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.2136466E-5 | 1.0376201E-5 | 1.0376201E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.486712E-5 | 4.4468678E-5 | 4.4468678E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011543952 | 5.4127193E-4 | 5.4127193E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011484168 | 0.0054679983 | 0.0054679983 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.0994974E-5 | 9.4341585E-6 | 9.4341585E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.997535E-5 | 4.043148E-5 | 4.043148E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010948994 | 4.9214234E-4 | 4.9214234E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010895205 | 0.0049771005 | 0.0049771005 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.7091823E-5 | 6.899055E-6 | 6.899055E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3248615E-5 | 2.9567043E-5 | 2.9567043E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9143694E-4 | 3.599194E-4 | 3.599194E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008878695 | 0.003651171 | 0.003651171 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.2772179E-5 | 4.024524E-6 | 4.024524E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.473676E-5 | 1.7247847E-5 | 1.7247847E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6621625E-4 | 2.0997232E-4 | 2.0997232E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006642225 | 0.0021389194 | 0.0021389194 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 7.041923E-6 | 1.9430283E-6 | 1.9430283E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.017932E-5 | 8.327238E-6 | 8.327238E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6737128E-4 | 1.013794E-4 | 1.013794E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036676454 | 0.0010392263 | 0.0010392263 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.946768E-6 | 1.0048365E-6 | 1.0048365E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2628945E-5 | 4.306435E-6 | 4.306435E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5374656E-4 | 5.2429583E-5 | 5.2429583E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015364023 | 5.3481845E-4 | 5.3481845E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.1433375E-6 | 5.190328E-7 | 5.190328E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9000087E-6 | 2.2244244E-6 | 2.2244244E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.965597E-5 | 2.7082031E-5 | 2.7082031E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.963996E-4 | 2.744561E-4 | 2.744561E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 2.6675295E-7 | 1.6324189E-7 | 1.6324189E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1432264E-6 | 6.9960794E-7 | 6.9960794E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3918692E-5 | 8.5176935E-6 | 8.5176935E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.391782E-4 | 8.656348E-5 | 8.656348E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.2704569E-8 | 9.462014E-9 | 9.462014E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.444815E-8 | 4.055149E-8 | 4.055149E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.629061E-7 | 4.9371425E-7 | 4.9371425E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.629041E-6 | 5.129234E-6 | 5.129234E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Honey Lake 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.155506E-5 | 7.9558806E-5 | 7.9558806E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6378073E-4 | 3.4092373E-4 | 3.4092373E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032068014 | 0.0041433005 | 0.0041632177 | 1.0048071 | 2.0E-5 | 0.03160919 | 0.040709037 | 0.040728223 | 1.0004712 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.155506E-5 | 7.9558806E-5 | 7.9558806E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6378073E-4 | 3.4092373E-4 | 3.4092373E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032068014 | 0.0041433005 | 0.0041632177 | 1.0048071 | 2.0E-5 | 0.03160919 | 0.040709037 | 0.040728223 | 1.0004712 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.1335024E-5 | 5.2584124E-5 | 5.2584124E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7713808E-4 | 2.2534179E-4 | 2.2534179E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021545228 | 0.0027402337 | 0.002750206 | 1.0036393 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021337535 | 0.027080594 | 0.027090322 | 1.0003593 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.1335024E-5 | 5.2584124E-5 | 5.2584124E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7713808E-4 | 2.2534179E-4 | 2.2534179E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021545228 | 0.0027402337 | 0.002750206 | 1.0036393 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021337535 | 0.027080594 | 0.027090322 | 1.0003593 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.2393702E-5 | 4.0892955E-5 | 4.0892955E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3882275E-4 | 1.7524442E-4 | 1.7524442E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016888566 | 0.0021316172 | 0.0021415958 | 1.0046812 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016760793 | 0.021122742 | 0.02113253 | 1.0004634 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.7205504E-5 | 3.421643E-5 | 3.421643E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1658981E-4 | 1.4663415E-4 | 1.4663415E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014185566 | 0.0017839017 | 0.0017938839 | 1.0055957 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014095354 | 0.017705344 | 0.017715167 | 1.0005548 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.069265E-5 | 2.595892E-5 | 2.595892E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.867977E-5 | 1.1124825E-4 | 1.1124825E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010791414 | 0.0013536896 | 0.0013536896 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010739161 | 0.013462812 | 0.013462812 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.8060919E-5 | 2.265989E-5 | 2.265989E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7401644E-5 | 9.711066E-5 | 9.711066E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.419576E-4 | 0.0011817619 | 0.0011817619 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009379748 | 0.011762821 | 0.011762821 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.4474663E-5 | 1.8183744E-5 | 1.8183744E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.203279E-5 | 7.792844E-5 | 7.792844E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5498753E-4 | 9.4844215E-4 | 9.4844215E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007524277 | 0.009451474 | 0.009451474 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 8.564552E-6 | 1.0803809E-5 | 1.0803809E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6704707E-5 | 4.6301593E-5 | 4.6301593E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4678818E-4 | 5.636425E-4 | 5.636425E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044589094 | 0.0056286287 | 0.0056286287 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Raymond
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5157413E-5 | 1.5811209E-5 | 1.5811209E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4958724E-5 | 6.776071E-5 | 6.776071E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.905855E-4 | 8.2469947E-4 | 8.2469947E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007877788 | 0.008218907 | 0.008238742 | 1.0024134 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.5157413E-5 | 1.5811209E-5 | 1.5811209E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4958724E-5 | 6.776071E-5 | 6.776071E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.905855E-4 | 8.2469947E-4 | 8.2469947E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007877788 | 0.008218907 | 0.008238742 | 1.0024134 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.5157413E-5 | 1.5811209E-5 | 1.5811209E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4958724E-5 | 6.776071E-5 | 6.776071E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.905855E-4 | 8.2469947E-4 | 8.2469947E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007877788 | 0.008218907 | 0.008238742 | 1.0024134 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.5157413E-5 | 1.5811209E-5 | 1.5811209E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4958724E-5 | 6.776071E-5 | 6.776071E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.905855E-4 | 8.2469947E-4 | 8.2469947E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007877788 | 0.008218907 | 0.008238742 | 1.0024134 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.3941944E-5 | 1.445569E-5 | 1.445569E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9749822E-5 | 6.1951614E-5 | 6.1951614E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2721124E-4 | 7.540232E-4 | 7.540232E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007248361 | 0.0075169806 | 0.00753683 | 1.0026406 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3941944E-5 | 1.445569E-5 | 1.445569E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9749822E-5 | 6.1951614E-5 | 6.1951614E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2721124E-4 | 7.540232E-4 | 7.540232E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007248361 | 0.0075169806 | 0.00753683 | 1.0026406 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0542609E-5 | 1.0671884E-5 | 1.0671884E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5181827E-5 | 4.5735876E-5 | 4.5735876E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.499499E-4 | 5.566975E-4 | 5.566975E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005485909 | 0.005553589 | 0.005553589 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.0542609E-5 | 1.0671884E-5 | 1.0671884E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5181827E-5 | 4.5735876E-5 | 4.5735876E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.499499E-4 | 5.566975E-4 | 5.566975E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005485909 | 0.005553589 | 0.005553589 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.0079132E-5 | 1.01774E-5 | 1.01774E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3195567E-5 | 4.361673E-5 | 4.361673E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.257791E-4 | 5.3090963E-4 | 5.3090963E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052453685 | 0.005296961 | 0.005296961 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 7.721598E-6 | 7.5494972E-6 | 7.5494972E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3092143E-5 | 3.2354594E-5 | 3.2354594E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0282236E-4 | 3.9384718E-4 | 3.9384718E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040209293 | 0.003931624 | 0.003931624 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 7.137566E-6 | 6.911867E-6 | 6.911867E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.058921E-5 | 2.9621957E-5 | 2.9621957E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7236E-4 | 3.6058872E-4 | 3.6058872E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037173668 | 0.0036001527 | 0.0036001527 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 5.654976E-6 | 5.3000267E-6 | 5.3000267E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4235387E-5 | 2.2714205E-5 | 2.2714205E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9502588E-4 | 2.7651055E-4 | 2.7651055E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029463451 | 0.0027616941 | 0.0027616941 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 4.9358455E-6 | 4.5271095E-6 | 4.5271095E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1153453E-5 | 1.9401756E-5 | 1.9401756E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5751285E-4 | 2.361909E-4 | 2.361909E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025721465 | 0.002359419 | 0.002359419 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 4.2368597E-6 | 3.806038E-6 | 3.806038E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8157843E-5 | 1.631149E-5 | 1.631149E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2104931E-4 | 1.985744E-4 | 1.985744E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022082955 | 0.0019839865 | 0.0019839865 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.4999923E-6 | 3.0441297E-6 | 3.0441297E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.49998805E-5 | 1.3046205E-5 | 1.3046205E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8260824E-4 | 1.5882605E-4 | 1.5882605E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018245826 | 0.0015871392 | 0.0015871392 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.738017E-6 | 2.3022947E-6 | 2.3022947E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1734306E-5 | 9.866941E-6 | 9.866941E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.428558E-4 | 1.2012344E-4 | 1.2012344E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014276401 | 0.0012005976 | 0.0012005976 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.8186392E-6 | 1.4424808E-6 | 1.4424808E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.794145E-6 | 6.182046E-6 | 6.182046E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.488958E-5 | 7.526385E-5 | 7.526385E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4849075E-4 | 7.523932E-4 | 7.523932E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.0660348E-6 | 7.64514E-7 | 7.64514E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5687125E-6 | 3.2764847E-6 | 3.2764847E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5622655E-5 | 3.989049E-5 | 3.989049E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5608735E-4 | 3.9884052E-4 | 3.9884052E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 6.913602E-7 | 4.3215485E-7 | 4.3215485E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.962969E-6 | 1.8520909E-6 | 1.8520909E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.607355E-5 | 2.254898E-5 | 2.254898E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6067693E-4 | 2.2547293E-4 | 2.2547293E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.425201E-8 | 5.3234693E-8 | 5.3234693E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1822285E-7 | 2.2814866E-7 | 2.2814866E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.874356E-6 | 2.7777078E-6 | 2.7777078E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8742884E-5 | 2.7776861E-5 | 2.7776861E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Blue Cut
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.1227985E-5 | 2.2720424E-5 | 2.2720424E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.097391E-5 | 9.7369935E-5 | 9.7369935E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011070445 | 0.0011848924 | 0.0011848924 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011015458 | 0.01179159 | 0.011811354 | 1.0016761 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1227985E-5 | 2.2720424E-5 | 2.2720424E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.097391E-5 | 9.7369935E-5 | 9.7369935E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011070445 | 0.0011848924 | 0.0011848924 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011015458 | 0.01179159 | 0.011811354 | 1.0016761 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1227985E-5 | 2.2720424E-5 | 2.2720424E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.097391E-5 | 9.7369935E-5 | 9.7369935E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011070445 | 0.0011848924 | 0.0011848924 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011015458 | 0.01179159 | 0.011811354 | 1.0016761 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1613981E-5 | 1.2353959E-5 | 1.2353959E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9773254E-5 | 5.2944535E-5 | 5.2944535E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0582085E-4 | 6.4442155E-4 | 6.4442155E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0060417196 | 0.006426776 | 0.006426776 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.1613981E-5 | 1.2353959E-5 | 1.2353959E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9773254E-5 | 5.2944535E-5 | 5.2944535E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0582085E-4 | 6.4442155E-4 | 6.4442155E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0060417196 | 0.006426776 | 0.006426776 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 8.931326E-6 | 9.48191E-6 | 9.48191E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8276554E-5 | 4.0636176E-5 | 4.0636176E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6591737E-4 | 4.9464224E-4 | 4.9464224E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0046494175 | 0.004936322 | 0.004936322 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 7.345353E-6 | 7.79053E-6 | 7.79053E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1479703E-5 | 3.33876E-5 | 3.33876E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.83198E-4 | 4.0642623E-4 | 4.0642623E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038253788 | 0.004057621 | 0.004057621 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 6.2775666E-6 | 6.655361E-6 | 6.655361E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.690358E-5 | 2.8522707E-5 | 2.8522707E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2750185E-4 | 3.4721615E-4 | 3.4721615E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032701963 | 0.0034674776 | 0.0034674776 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 5.5234095E-6 | 5.855298E-6 | 5.855298E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.367154E-5 | 2.5093934E-5 | 2.5093934E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8816288E-4 | 3.054831E-4 | 3.054831E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002877895 | 0.0030513476 | 0.0030513476 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 4.7780054E-6 | 5.065582E-6 | 5.065582E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0477004E-5 | 2.1709497E-5 | 2.1709497E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4927902E-4 | 2.642881E-4 | 2.642881E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024899957 | 0.0026404303 | 0.0026404303 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 3.883171E-6 | 4.1186195E-6 | 4.1186195E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6642054E-5 | 1.7651146E-5 | 1.7651146E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0259817E-4 | 2.148884E-4 | 2.148884E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020241356 | 0.0021474818 | 0.0021474818 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.8358215E-6 | 3.0098138E-6 | 3.0098138E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2153464E-5 | 1.2899175E-5 | 1.2899175E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4795837E-4 | 1.5704273E-4 | 1.5704273E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001478599 | 0.0015699627 | 0.0015699627 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Big Pine (Central)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2706755E-5 | 1.4252547E-5 | 1.4252547E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4456385E-5 | 6.108112E-5 | 6.108112E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.628048E-4 | 7.434455E-4 | 7.634306E-4 | 1.0268818 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006608314 | 0.0074146423 | 0.007434494 | 1.0026773 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 8.342579E-6 | 9.512563E-6 | 9.512563E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5753423E-5 | 4.0767616E-5 | 4.0767616E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3521097E-4 | 4.962544E-4 | 5.162445E-4 | 1.0402819 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0043435963 | 0.0049550477 | 0.0049749487 | 1.0040163 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.923899E-6 | 7.968877E-6 | 7.968877E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9673516E-5 | 3.415199E-5 | 3.415199E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6121515E-4 | 4.1574042E-4 | 4.357321E-4 | 1.048087 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003606286 | 0.0041529653 | 0.0041728825 | 1.0047958 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.728396E-6 | 3.425821E-6 | 3.425821E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1693074E-5 | 1.4682013E-5 | 1.4682013E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4235388E-4 | 1.787397E-4 | 1.8873792E-4 | 1.0559373 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014226272 | 0.0017874972 | 0.0017974793 | 1.0055844 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.7136944E-6 | 3.4101138E-6 | 3.4101138E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1630066E-5 | 1.4614697E-5 | 1.4614697E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4158686E-4 | 1.7792027E-4 | 1.879185E-4 | 1.0561949 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014149669 | 0.001779316 | 0.0017892981 | 1.0056101 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.6971882E-6 | 3.3924584E-6 | 3.3924584E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1559327E-5 | 1.4539031E-5 | 1.4539031E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4072572E-4 | 1.769992E-4 | 1.8699742E-4 | 1.0564874 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014063664 | 0.0017701199 | 0.0017801021 | 1.0056393 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.669092E-6 | 3.3624776E-6 | 3.3624776E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1438916E-5 | 1.4410544E-5 | 1.4410544E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3925991E-4 | 1.7543513E-4 | 1.8543337E-4 | 1.0569911 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013917267 | 0.0017545038 | 0.0017644863 | 1.0056896 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.6408059E-6 | 3.3325025E-6 | 3.3325025E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1317691E-5 | 1.428208E-5 | 1.428208E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3778417E-4 | 1.7387132E-4 | 1.8386958E-4 | 1.0575038 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013769877 | 0.0017388904 | 0.001748873 | 1.0057408 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.1786943E-6 | 2.8559518E-6 | 2.8559518E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.337228E-6 | 1.22397405E-5 | 1.22397405E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1367482E-4 | 1.4900937E-4 | 1.5900789E-4 | 1.0670999 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011361669 | 0.0014906187 | 0.0015006039 | 1.0066986 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.4411696E-6 | 2.069955E-6 | 2.069955E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1764263E-6 | 8.871207E-6 | 8.871207E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.51954E-5 | 1.0800186E-4 | 1.0800186E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5169955E-4 | 0.0010809733 | 0.0010809733 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.0073411E-6 | 1.5555618E-6 | 1.5555618E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.317169E-6 | 6.6666776E-6 | 6.6666776E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2560266E-5 | 8.1163926E-5 | 8.1163926E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2547833E-4 | 8.128111E-4 | 8.128111E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 8.947104E-7 | 1.4315309E-6 | 1.4315309E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.834468E-6 | 6.135119E-6 | 6.135119E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6683643E-5 | 7.469266E-5 | 7.469266E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6673836E-4 | 7.481436E-4 | 7.481436E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 5.215166E-7 | 1.0123637E-6 | 1.0123637E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2350691E-6 | 4.3386945E-6 | 4.3386945E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7211627E-5 | 5.2822368E-5 | 5.2822368E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7208295E-4 | 5.29556E-4 | 5.29556E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 4.4024807E-7 | 9.231207E-7 | 9.231207E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8867761E-6 | 3.956226E-6 | 3.956226E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2971257E-5 | 4.8166028E-5 | 4.8166028E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2968883E-4 | 4.8301363E-4 | 4.8301363E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.6130905E-7 | 8.3697915E-7 | 8.3697915E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5484665E-6 | 3.5870487E-6 | 3.5870487E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8852415E-5 | 4.3671484E-5 | 4.3671484E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8850817E-4 | 4.3807772E-4 | 4.3807772E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 3.408184E-7 | 8.1191774E-7 | 8.1191774E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4606494E-6 | 3.479643E-6 | 3.479643E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7783263E-5 | 4.236387E-5 | 4.236387E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.778184E-4 | 4.2498423E-4 | 4.2498423E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.1428627E-7 | 7.742247E-7 | 7.742247E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3469405E-6 | 3.318102E-6 | 3.318102E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6398877E-5 | 4.0397183E-5 | 4.0397183E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6397667E-4 | 4.0529485E-4 | 4.0529485E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.7972785E-7 | 5.085898E-7 | 5.085898E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.70262E-7 | 2.1796686E-6 | 2.1796686E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.377899E-6 | 2.6537155E-5 | 2.6537155E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.377503E-5 | 2.6671647E-4 | 2.6671647E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.9230927E-8 | 1.1999686E-7 | 1.1999686E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1098968E-7 | 5.1427213E-7 | 5.1427213E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5687964E-6 | 6.261247E-6 | 6.261247E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5687666E-5 | 6.306763E-5 | 6.306763E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 3.6805972E-9 | 4.112225E-9 | 4.112225E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5773987E-8 | 1.762382E-8 | 1.762382E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9204828E-7 | 2.1457E-7 | 2.1457E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.920481E-6 | 2.1932892E-6 | 2.1932892E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Rinconada 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5752368E-5 | 1.6275004E-5 | 1.6275004E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.75084E-5 | 6.974817E-5 | 7.974747E-5 | 1.143363 | 1.0E-5 | 8.2160486E-4 | 8.4885623E-4 | 8.6883927E-4 | 1.0235411 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008185739 | 0.008456519 | 0.0084763495 | 1.0023451 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.0966133E-5 | 1.1323226E-5 | 1.1323226E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6996865E-5 | 4.8527214E-5 | 5.8526726E-5 | 1.2060599 | 1.0E-5 | 5.720366E-4 | 5.906594E-4 | 6.0065347E-4 | 1.0169202 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0057056635 | 0.005890991 | 0.005900932 | 1.0016875 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.0966133E-5 | 1.1323226E-5 | 1.1323226E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6996865E-5 | 4.8527214E-5 | 5.8526726E-5 | 1.2060599 | 1.0E-5 | 5.720366E-4 | 5.906594E-4 | 6.0065347E-4 | 1.0169202 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0057056635 | 0.005890991 | 0.005900932 | 1.0016875 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 8.926149E-6 | 9.21293E-6 | 9.21293E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8254362E-5 | 3.948339E-5 | 4.9482995E-5 | 1.2532611 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6564735E-4 | 4.8060456E-4 | 4.905998E-4 | 1.0207971 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0046467283 | 0.0047956966 | 0.0048056487 | 1.0020752 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.676955E-6 | 7.9203255E-6 | 7.9203255E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.290082E-5 | 3.3943812E-5 | 4.3943473E-5 | 1.2945945 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0049385E-4 | 4.1318772E-4 | 4.2318358E-4 | 1.0241921 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0039977287 | 0.004124221 | 0.00413418 | 1.0024147 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.1671026E-6 | 6.3590614E-6 | 6.3590614E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6430173E-5 | 2.7252836E-5 | 2.7252836E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2173982E-4 | 3.3175282E-4 | 3.3175282E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003212744 | 0.0033125877 | 0.0033125877 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 5.553456E-6 | 5.7249076E-6 | 5.7249076E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3800309E-5 | 2.4535088E-5 | 2.4535088E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.897302E-4 | 2.986738E-4 | 2.986738E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028935277 | 0.0029827326 | 0.0029827326 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 4.787857E-6 | 4.9333903E-6 | 4.9333903E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0519226E-5 | 2.114293E-5 | 2.114293E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4979294E-4 | 2.5738482E-4 | 2.5738482E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024951235 | 0.002570873 | 0.002570873 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 3.9955166E-6 | 4.1135418E-6 | 4.1135418E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7123532E-5 | 1.7629347E-5 | 1.7629347E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0845905E-4 | 2.1461617E-4 | 2.1461617E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002082636 | 0.0021440927 | 0.0021440927 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 3.4250072E-6 | 3.522501E-6 | 3.522501E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.46785205E-5 | 1.5096345E-5 | 1.5096345E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7869633E-4 | 1.8378251E-4 | 1.8378251E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001785527 | 0.0018363078 | 0.0018363078 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.7712713E-6 | 2.8467423E-6 | 2.8467423E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1876823E-5 | 1.22002675E-5 | 1.22002675E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4459073E-4 | 1.4852814E-4 | 1.4852814E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014449668 | 0.0014842903 | 0.0014842903 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.227358E-6 | 2.2857314E-6 | 2.2857314E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.545785E-6 | 9.7959555E-6 | 9.7959555E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.16213734E-4 | 1.1925924E-4 | 1.1925924E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011615298 | 0.0011919534 | 0.0011919534 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.581796E-6 | 1.6209236E-6 | 1.6209236E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.779108E-6 | 6.9467974E-6 | 6.9467974E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.253252E-5 | 8.457398E-5 | 8.457398E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.250187E-4 | 8.454185E-4 | 8.454185E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.0306567E-6 | 1.0546619E-6 | 1.0546619E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4170924E-6 | 4.5199718E-6 | 4.5199718E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3776774E-5 | 5.502927E-5 | 5.502927E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.376376E-4 | 5.501567E-4 | 5.501567E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 6.535541E-7 | 6.6828335E-7 | 6.6828335E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.800943E-6 | 2.8640684E-6 | 2.8640684E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4100947E-5 | 3.4869478E-5 | 3.4869478E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4095717E-4 | 3.4864017E-4 | 3.4864017E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 3.2656962E-7 | 3.3317164E-7 | 3.3317164E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3995833E-6 | 1.4278776E-6 | 1.4278776E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7039794E-5 | 1.738427E-5 | 1.738427E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7038487E-4 | 1.7382916E-4 | 1.7382916E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 9.754343E-8 | 9.821144E-8 | 9.821144E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.180432E-7 | 4.209061E-7 | 4.209061E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.089664E-6 | 5.1245197E-6 | 5.1245197E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0895473E-5 | 5.1244024E-5 | 5.1244024E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.0001453E-9 | 5.849203E-9 | 5.849203E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5714908E-8 | 2.5068012E-8 | 2.5068012E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1307894E-7 | 3.05203E-7 | 3.05203E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1307852E-6 | 3.0520262E-6 | 3.0520262E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 7.400003E-11 | 7.465484E-11 | 7.465484E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.171432E-10 | 3.1994918E-10 | 3.1994918E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.861218E-9 | 3.8953814E-9 | 3.8953814E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.861218E-8 | 3.8953814E-8 | 3.8953814E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Pedro Basin
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.3449043E-5 | 6.337653E-5 | 6.337653E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2904722E-4 | 2.7158888E-4 | 2.7158888E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027850836 | 0.0033021797 | 0.0033121468 | 1.0030183 | 1.0E-5 | 0.027504366 | 0.032592677 | 0.032612026 | 1.0005937 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.3449043E-5 | 6.337653E-5 | 6.337653E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2904722E-4 | 2.7158888E-4 | 2.7158888E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027850836 | 0.0033021797 | 0.0033121468 | 1.0030183 | 1.0E-5 | 0.027504366 | 0.032592677 | 0.032612026 | 1.0005937 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.3189454E-5 | 2.6644975E-5 | 2.6644975E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9379584E-5 | 1.1418802E-4 | 1.1418802E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012092749 | 0.0013893996 | 0.0013893996 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012027155 | 0.013811997 | 0.013821859 | 1.0007141 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3189454E-5 | 2.6644975E-5 | 2.6644975E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9379584E-5 | 1.1418802E-4 | 1.1418802E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012092749 | 0.0013893996 | 0.0013893996 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012027155 | 0.013811997 | 0.013821859 | 1.0007141 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.966056E-5 | 2.2465161E-5 | 2.2465161E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.425682E-5 | 9.627594E-5 | 9.627594E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001025344 | 0.0011715693 | 0.0011715693 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010206259 | 0.0116580175 | 0.011667901 | 1.0008478 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.7342953E-5 | 1.9746642E-5 | 1.9746642E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4324824E-5 | 8.462593E-5 | 8.462593E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.04529E-4 | 0.0010298706 | 0.0010298706 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009008561 | 0.010254703 | 0.010264601 | 1.0009651 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.439804E-5 | 1.6323913E-5 | 1.6323913E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.170443E-5 | 6.995793E-5 | 6.995793E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.509924E-4 | 8.514371E-4 | 8.514371E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0074845953 | 0.008484952 | 0.008484952 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.2634884E-5 | 1.42863255E-5 | 1.42863255E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.414838E-5 | 6.1225845E-5 | 6.1225845E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.590571E-4 | 7.452002E-4 | 7.452002E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006571059 | 0.0074300347 | 0.0074300347 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.146091E-5 | 1.29341115E-5 | 1.29341115E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.911726E-5 | 5.5430897E-5 | 5.5430897E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9783855E-4 | 6.746919E-4 | 6.746919E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0059623276 | 0.0067293765 | 0.0067293765 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 9.109035E-6 | 1.023572E-5 | 1.023572E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9038136E-5 | 4.3866792E-5 | 4.3866792E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7518566E-4 | 5.339753E-4 | 5.339753E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0047417083 | 0.0053296774 | 0.0053296774 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 5.9351028E-6 | 6.584381E-6 | 6.584381E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5435906E-5 | 2.8218605E-5 | 2.8218605E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0963816E-4 | 3.4353096E-4 | 3.4353096E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030920706 | 0.0034323165 | 0.0034323165 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.1557585E-6 | 2.2096997E-6 | 2.2096997E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.238933E-6 | 9.470108E-6 | 9.470108E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1247819E-4 | 1.1529262E-4 | 1.1529262E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011242128 | 0.0011523435 | 0.0011523435 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.1251979E-6 | 2.1780454E-6 | 2.1780454E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.107958E-6 | 9.334447E-6 | 9.334447E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1088375E-4 | 1.1364112E-4 | 1.1364112E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011082845 | 0.0011358454 | 0.0011358454 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.7145798E-6 | 1.7443253E-6 | 1.7443253E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3481783E-6 | 7.4756595E-6 | 7.4756595E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.94604E-5 | 9.101244E-5 | 9.101244E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9424395E-4 | 9.097608E-4 | 9.097608E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.4467993E-6 | 1.4642178E-6 | 1.4642178E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.200554E-6 | 6.2752047E-6 | 6.2752047E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.548913E-5 | 7.639801E-5 | 7.639801E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.546349E-4 | 7.6372473E-4 | 7.6372473E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.2803735E-6 | 1.293177E-6 | 1.293177E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.487303E-6 | 5.5421756E-6 | 5.5421756E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.680587E-5 | 6.747397E-5 | 6.747397E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.678579E-4 | 6.745419E-4 | 6.745419E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.755009E-7 | 6.769609E-7 | 6.769609E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8950008E-6 | 2.901258E-6 | 2.901258E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5246063E-5 | 3.5322304E-5 | 3.5322304E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5240475E-4 | 3.5317263E-4 | 3.5317263E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.211885E-8 | 4.5700904E-8 | 4.5700904E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6622362E-7 | 1.95861E-7 | 1.95861E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2412677E-6 | 2.3846053E-6 | 2.3846053E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2412205E-5 | 2.3845818E-5 | 2.3845818E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.6580573E-9 | 1.5139658E-9 | 1.5139658E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1391674E-8 | 6.488425E-9 | 6.488425E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3869362E-7 | 7.899657E-8 | 7.899657E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3869354E-6 | 7.899657E-7 | 7.899657E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elysian Park (Upper)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.703929E-5 | 3.703929E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5873248E-4 | 1.5873248E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0019313293 | 0.0019313293 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016495159 | 0.019191904 | 0.019211521 | 1.0010221 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.703929E-5 | 3.703929E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5873248E-4 | 1.5873248E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0019313293 | 0.0019313293 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016495159 | 0.019191904 | 0.019211521 | 1.0010221 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.703929E-5 | 3.703929E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5873248E-4 | 1.5873248E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0019313293 | 0.0019313293 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016495159 | 0.019191904 | 0.019211521 | 1.0010221 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.703929E-5 | 3.703929E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5873248E-4 | 1.5873248E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0019313293 | 0.0019313293 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016495159 | 0.019191904 | 0.019211521 | 1.0010221 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.9273462E-5 | 2.1204301E-5 | 2.1204301E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.259794E-5 | 9.0873385E-5 | 9.0873385E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001005166 | 0.0011059934 | 0.0011059934 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010006315 | 0.011021703 | 0.011041483 | 1.0017946 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.9273462E-5 | 2.1204301E-5 | 2.1204301E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.259794E-5 | 9.0873385E-5 | 9.0873385E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001005166 | 0.0011059934 | 0.0011059934 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010006315 | 0.011021703 | 0.011041483 | 1.0017946 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.813258E-6 | 9.666103E-6 | 9.666103E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.205614E-5 | 4.142554E-5 | 4.142554E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.119132E-4 | 5.042465E-4 | 5.042465E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005107356 | 0.0050317473 | 0.005041697 | 1.0019773 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.801478E-6 | 9.653672E-6 | 9.653672E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2005657E-5 | 4.1372266E-5 | 4.1372266E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.112989E-4 | 5.035982E-4 | 5.035982E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051012407 | 0.005025293 | 0.005035243 | 1.00198 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.102489E-6 | 7.773402E-6 | 7.773402E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4724493E-5 | 3.3314183E-5 | 3.3314183E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2268867E-4 | 4.0552966E-4 | 4.0552966E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004218856 | 0.0040483903 | 0.00405835 | 1.0024601 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.08275E-6 | 5.4816855E-6 | 5.4816855E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6068668E-5 | 2.349273E-5 | 2.349273E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.173398E-4 | 2.8598722E-4 | 2.8598722E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031688702 | 0.0028562695 | 0.002866241 | 1.003491 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.5995934E-6 | 4.982991E-6 | 4.982991E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3998036E-5 | 2.1355505E-5 | 2.1355505E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9213692E-4 | 2.599729E-4 | 2.599729E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029175316 | 0.002596755 | 0.002606729 | 1.0038409 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.709881E-6 | 4.087571E-6 | 4.087571E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0185047E-5 | 1.7518047E-5 | 1.7518047E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4572524E-4 | 2.1326175E-4 | 2.1326175E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002454537 | 0.0021306125 | 0.0021405912 | 1.0046835 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.6063436E-6 | 2.97807E-6 | 2.97807E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5455667E-5 | 1.2763095E-5 | 1.2763095E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.881565E-4 | 1.553797E-4 | 1.553797E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018799726 | 0.001552722 | 0.0015627064 | 1.0064303 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.471135E-6 | 2.0955465E-6 | 2.0955465E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0590536E-5 | 8.980883E-6 | 8.980883E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2893214E-4 | 1.09336834E-4 | 1.09336834E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012885736 | 0.0010928377 | 0.0010928377 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.163943E-6 | 1.0275547E-6 | 1.0275547E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.988318E-6 | 4.403799E-6 | 4.403799E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0731076E-5 | 5.3614964E-5 | 5.3614964E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.071448E-4 | 5.3602323E-4 | 5.3602323E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.99459E-7 | 4.9178317E-7 | 4.9178317E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.140537E-6 | 2.1076405E-6 | 2.1076405E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6060725E-5 | 2.5660238E-5 | 2.5660238E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.605767E-4 | 2.565743E-4 | 2.565743E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.4667852E-7 | 2.4779692E-7 | 2.4779692E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0571932E-6 | 1.0619863E-6 | 1.0619863E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2871251E-5 | 1.292961E-5 | 1.292961E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2870505E-4 | 1.2928895E-4 | 1.2928895E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 8.2312795E-8 | 7.387176E-8 | 7.387176E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.527691E-7 | 3.1659323E-7 | 3.1659323E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.294955E-6 | 3.8545168E-6 | 3.8545168E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2948723E-5 | 3.8544615E-5 | 3.8544615E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.7819295E-8 | 1.7571175E-8 | 1.7571175E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1922555E-7 | 7.530504E-8 | 7.530504E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.45157E-6 | 9.168386E-7 | 9.168386E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.45156055E-5 | 9.168363E-6 | 9.168363E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Clark) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.482615E-5 | 2.1191718E-5 | 2.1191718E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9209793E-4 | 9.081853E-5 | 9.081853E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023362834 | 0.0011051641 | 0.001115153 | 1.0090384 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02311874 | 0.011545315 | 0.011565085 | 1.0017123 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.482615E-5 | 2.1191718E-5 | 2.1191718E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9209793E-4 | 9.081853E-5 | 9.081853E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023362834 | 0.0011051641 | 0.001115153 | 1.0090384 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02311874 | 0.011545315 | 0.011565085 | 1.0017123 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.482615E-5 | 2.1191718E-5 | 2.1191718E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9209793E-4 | 9.081853E-5 | 9.081853E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023362834 | 0.0011051641 | 0.001115153 | 1.0090384 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02311874 | 0.011545315 | 0.011565085 | 1.0017123 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.482615E-5 | 2.1191718E-5 | 2.1191718E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9209793E-4 | 9.081853E-5 | 9.081853E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023362834 | 0.0011051641 | 0.001115153 | 1.0090384 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02311874 | 0.011545315 | 0.011565085 | 1.0017123 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.482615E-5 | 2.1191718E-5 | 2.1191718E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9209793E-4 | 9.081853E-5 | 9.081853E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023362834 | 0.0011051641 | 0.001115153 | 1.0090384 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02311874 | 0.011545315 | 0.011565085 | 1.0017123 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.7294863E-5 | 1.7390303E-5 | 1.7390303E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5982533E-4 | 7.4527765E-5 | 7.4527765E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019441366 | 9.070023E-4 | 9.1699325E-4 | 1.0110153 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01927216 | 0.009527762 | 0.009547572 | 1.0020791 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.7294863E-5 | 1.7390303E-5 | 1.7390303E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5982533E-4 | 7.4527765E-5 | 7.4527765E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019441366 | 9.070023E-4 | 9.1699325E-4 | 1.0110153 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01927216 | 0.009527762 | 0.009547572 | 1.0020791 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.6039248E-5 | 1.663832E-5 | 1.663832E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5444479E-4 | 7.1305156E-5 | 7.1305156E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018787434 | 8.677987E-4 | 8.7779004E-4 | 1.0115134 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01862939 | 0.009127249 | 0.009147066 | 1.0021713 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.5031844E-5 | 1.6266758E-5 | 1.6266758E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5012783E-4 | 6.971284E-5 | 6.971284E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018262739 | 8.484275E-4 | 8.5841893E-4 | 1.0117766 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01811338 | 0.008926392 | 0.008946213 | 1.0022205 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.435112E-5 | 1.609673E-5 | 1.609673E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4721078E-4 | 6.898418E-5 | 6.898418E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017908178 | 8.395629E-4 | 8.495545E-4 | 1.0119009 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017764548 | 0.008834177 | 0.008854 | 1.0022439 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.8959772E-5 | 1.4369085E-5 | 1.4369085E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.241074E-4 | 6.158036E-5 | 6.158036E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015099603 | 7.4948574E-4 | 7.5947825E-4 | 1.0133325 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014997416 | 0.007885363 | 0.007905205 | 1.0025164 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.6002877E-5 | 1.2858783E-5 | 1.2858783E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.11436144E-4 | 5.5107917E-5 | 5.5107917E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013558907 | 6.707345E-4 | 6.8072777E-4 | 1.014899 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013476475 | 0.007061323 | 0.0070811817 | 1.0028124 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.2544838E-5 | 1.1290127E-5 | 1.1290127E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.661716E-5 | 4.8385373E-5 | 4.8385373E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001175679 | 5.889341E-4 | 5.9892825E-4 | 1.0169698 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011694785 | 0.0062048775 | 0.0062247533 | 1.0032033 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.75334E-5 | 1.0837388E-5 | 1.0837388E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.514098E-5 | 4.644513E-5 | 4.644513E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.144575E-4 | 5.653241E-4 | 5.7531847E-4 | 1.017679 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009107036 | 0.005947213 | 0.0059670946 | 1.0033429 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.5924552E-5 | 1.0636858E-5 | 1.0636858E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.82463E-5 | 4.5585744E-5 | 4.5585744E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.305819E-4 | 5.548665E-4 | 5.6486094E-4 | 1.0180124 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008274844 | 0.005834334 | 0.0058542173 | 1.003408 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.3428931E-5 | 9.8756445E-6 | 9.8756445E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7551293E-5 | 4.232351E-5 | 4.232351E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.004617E-4 | 5.15168E-4 | 5.2516285E-4 | 1.0194012 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006982579 | 0.005418992 | 0.005438884 | 1.0036707 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.0688787E-5 | 8.632028E-6 | 8.632028E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5808283E-5 | 3.6993883E-5 | 3.6993883E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5757316E-4 | 4.503079E-4 | 4.603034E-4 | 1.022197 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005561762 | 0.0047506006 | 0.0047705052 | 1.00419 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 8.81236E-6 | 7.484666E-6 | 7.484666E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.776671E-5 | 3.2076747E-5 | 3.2076747E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.597127E-4 | 3.9046461E-4 | 4.0046073E-4 | 1.0256006 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045876284 | 0.004143442 | 0.004163359 | 1.0048069 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 7.780431E-6 | 6.7123256E-6 | 6.7123256E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3344273E-5 | 2.8766794E-5 | 2.8766794E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0589093E-4 | 3.5017962E-4 | 3.601761E-4 | 1.0285468 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0040515037 | 0.003731095 | 0.0037510204 | 1.0053403 | 2.0E-5 |
7.9 | 6.5437994E-6 | 5.7950524E-6 | 5.7950524E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8044553E-5 | 2.4835703E-5 | 2.4835703E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4138895E-4 | 3.023329E-4 | 3.1232988E-4 | 1.0330662 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034086495 | 0.0032424044 | 0.0032623396 | 1.0061482 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 5.4488164E-6 | 4.8263623E-6 | 4.8263623E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3351862E-5 | 2.0684245E-5 | 2.0684245E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8427184E-4 | 2.5180174E-4 | 2.6179923E-4 | 1.0397037 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028390845 | 0.0027179152 | 0.002737861 | 1.0073385 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 2.8397242E-6 | 1.3719867E-6 | 1.3719867E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.217019E-5 | 5.87993E-6 | 5.87993E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4816198E-4 | 7.1585804E-5 | 8.158509E-5 | 1.1396825 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014806325 | 8.143387E-4 | 8.2433055E-4 | 1.0122699 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 2.030244E-6 | 6.3457173E-7 | 6.3457173E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.701017E-6 | 2.7195904E-6 | 2.7195904E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.05929736E-4 | 3.3110515E-5 | 3.3110515E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010587925 | 3.9645724E-4 | 3.9645724E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.0659804E-6 | 2.9379942E-7 | 2.9379942E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.568479E-6 | 1.2591397E-6 | 1.2591397E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5619817E-5 | 1.5329922E-5 | 1.5329922E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5605895E-4 | 1.8644381E-4 | 1.8644381E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Dry Mountain
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.4395003E-6 | 6.4395003E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.7597656E-5 | 2.7597656E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.3596557E-4 | 3.3596557E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032417132 | 0.0033561387 | 0.0033760716 | 1.0059392 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.4395003E-6 | 6.4395003E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.7597656E-5 | 2.7597656E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.3596557E-4 | 3.3596557E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032417132 | 0.0033561387 | 0.0033760716 | 1.0059392 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.4395003E-6 | 6.4395003E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.7597656E-5 | 2.7597656E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.3596557E-4 | 3.3596557E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032417132 | 0.0033561387 | 0.0033760716 | 1.0059392 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.4395003E-6 | 6.4395003E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.7597656E-5 | 2.7597656E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.3596557E-4 | 3.3596557E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032417132 | 0.0033561387 | 0.0033760716 | 1.0059392 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.4395003E-6 | 6.4395003E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.7597656E-5 | 2.7597656E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.3596557E-4 | 3.3596557E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032417132 | 0.0033561387 | 0.0033760716 | 1.0059392 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.8528623E-6 | 2.952223E-6 | 2.952223E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.22264955E-5 | 1.2652372E-5 | 1.2652372E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4884741E-4 | 1.5404043E-4 | 1.5404043E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014874774 | 0.0015401901 | 0.0015501747 | 1.0064827 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.8528623E-6 | 2.952223E-6 | 2.952223E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.22264955E-5 | 1.2652372E-5 | 1.2652372E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4884741E-4 | 1.5404043E-4 | 1.5404043E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014874774 | 0.0015401901 | 0.0015501747 | 1.0064827 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.541E-6 | 2.6294065E-6 | 2.6294065E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0889954E-5 | 1.1268885E-5 | 1.1268885E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3257713E-4 | 1.3719867E-4 | 1.3719867E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013249806 | 0.0013719867 | 0.0013819729 | 1.0072787 | 1.0E-5 |
Hosgri
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.883978E-5 | 2.9130044E-5 | 2.9130044E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.235932E-4 | 1.2483723E-4 | 1.2483723E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015037085 | 0.0015188608 | 0.0015288456 | 1.0065739 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01493574 | 0.015088583 | 0.015108282 | 1.0013055 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.883978E-5 | 2.9130044E-5 | 2.9130044E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.235932E-4 | 1.2483723E-4 | 1.2483723E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015037085 | 0.0015188608 | 0.0015288456 | 1.0065739 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01493574 | 0.015088583 | 0.015108282 | 1.0013055 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.883978E-5 | 2.9130044E-5 | 2.9130044E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.235932E-4 | 1.2483723E-4 | 1.2483723E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015037085 | 0.0015188608 | 0.0015288456 | 1.0065739 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01493574 | 0.015088583 | 0.015108282 | 1.0013055 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.2914428E-5 | 2.2643271E-5 | 2.2643271E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.8200995E-5 | 9.703901E-5 | 9.703901E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011949413 | 0.0011808145 | 0.0011908027 | 1.0084587 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011885363 | 0.011746811 | 0.011756693 | 1.0008413 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0195741E-5 | 1.969773E-5 | 1.969773E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.65503E-5 | 8.4416126E-5 | 8.4416126E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010532405 | 0.0010272837 | 0.0010272837 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010482626 | 0.010226403 | 0.010226403 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.9924333E-5 | 1.9410143E-5 | 1.9410143E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.53872E-5 | 8.318368E-5 | 8.318368E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010390934 | 0.0010122927 | 0.0010122927 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010342481 | 0.010077859 | 0.010077859 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.809694E-5 | 1.7459386E-5 | 1.7459386E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7556004E-5 | 7.48238E-5 | 7.48238E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.438353E-4 | 9.106004E-4 | 9.106004E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009398366 | 0.009069641 | 0.009069641 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.675989E-5 | 1.6043801E-5 | 1.6043801E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.182612E-5 | 6.875734E-5 | 6.875734E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7413215E-4 | 8.3680026E-4 | 8.3680026E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008707017 | 0.0083374055 | 0.0083374055 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.5401129E-5 | 1.4615068E-5 | 1.4615068E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6003166E-5 | 6.2634506E-5 | 6.2634506E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.032922E-4 | 7.623092E-4 | 7.623092E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008003947 | 0.0075978134 | 0.0075978134 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.356559E-5 | 1.2690886E-5 | 1.2690886E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8136946E-5 | 5.4388383E-5 | 5.4388383E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0758746E-4 | 6.619778E-4 | 6.619778E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007053386 | 0.0066008708 | 0.0066008708 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.2030819E-5 | 1.1096827E-5 | 1.1096827E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.155963E-5 | 4.7556965E-5 | 4.7556965E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.275577E-4 | 5.788523E-4 | 5.788523E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006257884 | 0.0057742125 | 0.0057742125 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.0972698E-5 | 1.0023014E-5 | 1.0023014E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7025E-5 | 4.2955064E-5 | 4.2955064E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.72379E-4 | 5.2285247E-4 | 5.2285247E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057090693 | 0.0052169817 | 0.0052169817 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 9.961926E-6 | 9.035552E-6 | 9.035552E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2693267E-5 | 3.8723218E-5 | 3.8723218E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1966653E-4 | 4.713532E-4 | 4.713532E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00518453 | 0.0047042873 | 0.0047042873 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 8.700929E-6 | 7.828873E-6 | 7.828873E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7289166E-5 | 3.3551885E-5 | 3.3551885E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.53901E-4 | 4.0841763E-4 | 4.0841763E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00452975 | 0.0040774164 | 0.0040774164 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 7.866285E-6 | 6.9994917E-6 | 6.9994917E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3712215E-5 | 2.9997478E-5 | 2.9997478E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.103689E-4 | 3.651581E-4 | 3.651581E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004096119 | 0.0036463244 | 0.0036463244 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.8381305E-6 | 5.9604217E-6 | 5.9604217E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9305946E-5 | 2.5544414E-5 | 2.5544414E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5674145E-4 | 3.109589E-4 | 3.109589E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035616932 | 0.003105979 | 0.003105979 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 5.503376E-6 | 4.595932E-6 | 4.595932E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3585684E-5 | 1.9696703E-5 | 1.9696703E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8711787E-4 | 2.3978099E-4 | 2.3978099E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002867472 | 0.002395962 | 0.002395962 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 3.6144982E-6 | 2.6528419E-6 | 2.6528419E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5490614E-5 | 1.1369272E-5 | 1.1369272E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8858191E-4 | 1.384121E-4 | 1.384121E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018842196 | 0.0013839965 | 0.0013839965 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.9853494E-6 | 1.1366267E-6 | 1.1366267E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.508612E-6 | 4.8712477E-6 | 4.8712477E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0358743E-4 | 5.930583E-5 | 5.930583E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010353916 | 5.936362E-4 | 5.936362E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.1818757E-6 | 5.299053E-7 | 5.299053E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0651715E-6 | 2.2710205E-6 | 2.2710205E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1666724E-5 | 2.7649327E-5 | 2.7649327E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1649614E-4 | 2.7715892E-4 | 2.7715892E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 6.962958E-7 | 2.7166053E-7 | 2.7166053E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9841215E-6 | 1.1642588E-6 | 1.1642588E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6331072E-5 | 1.4174759E-5 | 1.4174759E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6325134E-4 | 1.423126E-4 | 1.423126E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.5033264E-7 | 6.5333694E-8 | 6.5333694E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.442826E-7 | 2.800015E-7 | 2.800015E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.844113E-6 | 3.409013E-6 | 3.409013E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.843835E-5 | 3.410907E-5 | 3.410907E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Coyote Creek)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.4176177E-5 | 2.4176177E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.03608094E-4 | 1.1360706E-4 | 1.0965075 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014273542 | 0.0012607011 | 0.001280676 | 1.0158442 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01418221 | 0.012944493 | 0.012964234 | 1.001525 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.4176177E-5 | 2.4176177E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.03608094E-4 | 1.1360706E-4 | 1.0965075 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014273542 | 0.0012607011 | 0.001280676 | 1.0158442 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01418221 | 0.012944493 | 0.012964234 | 1.001525 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.4176177E-5 | 2.4176177E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.03608094E-4 | 1.1360706E-4 | 1.0965075 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014273542 | 0.0012607011 | 0.001280676 | 1.0158442 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01418221 | 0.012944493 | 0.012964234 | 1.001525 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.4176177E-5 | 2.4176177E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.03608094E-4 | 1.1360706E-4 | 1.0965075 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014273542 | 0.0012607011 | 0.001280676 | 1.0158442 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01418221 | 0.012944493 | 0.012964234 | 1.001525 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.4176177E-5 | 2.4176177E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.03608094E-4 | 1.1360706E-4 | 1.0965075 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014273542 | 0.0012607011 | 0.001280676 | 1.0158442 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01418221 | 0.012944493 | 0.012964234 | 1.001525 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.7282445E-5 | 2.4062241E-5 | 2.4062241E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.16919524E-4 | 1.0311983E-4 | 1.131188E-4 | 1.0969646 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014225657 | 0.0012547635 | 0.0012747383 | 1.0159192 | 2.0E-5 | 0.014134934 | 0.0128858145 | 0.012905557 | 1.0015321 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.7282445E-5 | 2.4062241E-5 | 2.4062241E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.16919524E-4 | 1.0311983E-4 | 1.131188E-4 | 1.0969646 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014225657 | 0.0012547635 | 0.0012747383 | 1.0159192 | 2.0E-5 | 0.014134934 | 0.0128858145 | 0.012905557 | 1.0015321 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.7216198E-5 | 2.3987352E-5 | 2.3987352E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1663563E-4 | 1.02798906E-4 | 1.12797876E-4 | 1.0972673 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014191137 | 0.0012508607 | 0.0012708358 | 1.015969 | 2.0E-5 | 0.014100855 | 0.012847221 | 0.012866964 | 1.0015367 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.7078617E-5 | 2.3904551E-5 | 2.3904551E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1604605E-4 | 1.0244407E-4 | 1.1244305E-4 | 1.0976043 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001411945 | 0.0012465456 | 0.0012665207 | 1.0160244 | 2.0E-5 | 0.014030075 | 0.012804349 | 0.012824093 | 1.001542 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.6982952E-5 | 2.3824046E-5 | 2.3824046E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.15636096E-4 | 1.02099075E-4 | 1.1209806E-4 | 1.0979341 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014069602 | 0.0012423501 | 0.0012623252 | 1.0160785 | 2.0E-5 | 0.013980856 | 0.012762618 | 0.012782363 | 1.0015471 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.6449972E-5 | 2.3401004E-5 | 2.3401004E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1335209E-4 | 1.00286175E-4 | 1.10285175E-4 | 1.0997046 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001379188 | 0.0012203029 | 0.0012402785 | 1.0163693 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0137065975 | 0.012543921 | 0.01256367 | 1.0015744 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.6257849E-5 | 2.322702E-5 | 2.322702E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1252879E-4 | 9.9540586E-5 | 1.0953959E-4 | 1.1004516 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013691769 | 0.0012112354 | 0.0012312112 | 1.016492 | 2.0E-5 | 0.013607717 | 0.012453787 | 0.012473538 | 1.001586 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.5270041E-5 | 2.242154E-5 | 2.242154E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0829568E-4 | 9.6088785E-5 | 1.0608783E-4 | 1.1040604 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013177024 | 0.0011692555 | 0.0011892321 | 1.017085 | 2.0E-5 | 0.013099162 | 0.012034738 | 0.012054497 | 1.0016419 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.339701E-5 | 2.1152975E-5 | 2.1152975E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0026905E-4 | 9.0652466E-5 | 1.0065156E-4 | 1.1103014 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001220092 | 0.001103137 | 0.001123115 | 1.0181102 | 2.0E-5 | 0.012134149 | 0.0113734165 | 0.0113931885 | 1.0017384 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.296333E-5 | 2.0883224E-5 | 2.0883224E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.841056E-5 | 8.9496476E-5 | 9.9495584E-5 | 1.1117263 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011974899 | 0.001089077 | 0.0011090552 | 1.0183442 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011910575 | 0.011232498 | 0.011252273 | 1.0017606 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.2188895E-5 | 2.0405923E-5 | 2.0405923E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.50918E-5 | 8.745104E-5 | 9.745016E-5 | 1.1143397 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011571277 | 0.0010641983 | 0.001084177 | 1.0187734 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011511209 | 0.010982013 | 0.011001794 | 1.0018011 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.0013189E-5 | 1.899158E-5 | 1.899158E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5767984E-5 | 8.138996E-5 | 9.138915E-5 | 1.1228553 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001043725 | 9.90474E-4 | 0.0010104543 | 1.0201724 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010388365 | 0.010239562 | 0.010259357 | 1.0019332 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.7230794E-5 | 1.6772141E-5 | 1.6772141E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.384417E-5 | 7.1878625E-5 | 8.187791E-5 | 1.1391134 | 1.0E-5 | 8.986819E-4 | 8.7477174E-4 | 8.9475425E-4 | 1.0228431 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008950562 | 0.009077629 | 0.009097448 | 1.0021832 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.4478809E-5 | 1.5018486E-5 | 1.5018486E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.205057E-5 | 6.4363354E-5 | 7.436271E-5 | 1.155358 | 1.0E-5 | 7.552038E-4 | 7.8334275E-4 | 8.033271E-4 | 1.0255116 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0075264242 | 0.008155493 | 0.00817533 | 1.0024323 | 2.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.1114467E-5 | 1.1669441E-5 | 1.1669441E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7632562E-5 | 5.0010935E-5 | 6.0010436E-5 | 1.1999463 | 1.0E-5 | 5.797721E-4 | 6.087136E-4 | 6.287014E-4 | 1.0328362 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0057826187 | 0.006393022 | 0.006412894 | 1.0031084 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 9.327402E-6 | 9.92126E-6 | 9.92126E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9973966E-5 | 4.2518997E-5 | 5.251857E-5 | 1.235179 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8657437E-4 | 5.175464E-4 | 5.37536E-4 | 1.0386239 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0048551033 | 0.005461515 | 0.0054814056 | 1.003642 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 7.0235833E-6 | 6.8437025E-6 | 6.8437025E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0100724E-5 | 2.9329827E-5 | 3.9329534E-5 | 1.3409399 | 1.0E-5 | 3.664147E-4 | 3.5703264E-4 | 3.6702908E-4 | 1.0279987 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003658111 | 0.003796282 | 0.003806244 | 1.0026242 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 2.0358202E-6 | 9.025306E-7 | 9.025306E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.724915E-6 | 3.8679827E-6 | 3.8679827E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.06220665E-4 | 4.7091693E-5 | 4.7091693E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001061699 | 5.3427246E-4 | 5.3427246E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 2.0051264E-7 | 6.6426736E-8 | 6.6426736E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5933965E-7 | 2.8468597E-7 | 2.8468597E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.046241E-5 | 3.4660466E-6 | 3.4660466E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0461917E-4 | 4.028949E-5 | 4.028949E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hayward (So) extension 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1721256E-4 | 2.3678501E-4 | 2.3678501E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.022428E-4 | 0.0010141538 | 0.0010141538 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0060976758 | 0.012253833 | 0.012253833 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0593305 | 0.11287341 | 0.11289116 | 1.0001572 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.99169E-5 | 1.381259E-4 | 1.381259E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9960944E-4 | 5.9177785E-4 | 5.9177785E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036416445 | 0.0071749697 | 0.0071749697 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.035825435 | 0.067829885 | 0.067839205 | 1.0001374 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.99169E-5 | 1.381259E-4 | 1.381259E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9960944E-4 | 5.9177785E-4 | 5.9177785E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036416445 | 0.0071749697 | 0.0071749697 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.035825435 | 0.067829885 | 0.067839205 | 1.0001374 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.970908E-5 | 1.3780732E-4 | 1.3780732E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9871898E-4 | 5.904133E-4 | 5.904133E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036308395 | 0.0071585043 | 0.0071585043 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.035720866 | 0.06767883 | 0.06768816 | 1.0001378 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.9517155E-5 | 1.3747651E-4 | 1.3747651E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9789665E-4 | 5.8899634E-4 | 5.8899634E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036208609 | 0.007141415 | 0.007141415 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.03562429 | 0.06752286 | 0.06753218 | 1.000138 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.786248E-5 | 9.4196075E-5 | 9.4196075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0510878E-4 | 4.0363762E-4 | 4.0363762E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024943394 | 0.00490365 | 0.00490365 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.02466527 | 0.046923906 | 0.046933435 | 1.0002031 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.4662214E-5 | 8.886191E-5 | 8.886191E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9139545E-4 | 3.8078375E-4 | 3.8078375E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023277493 | 0.0046266513 | 0.0046266513 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.02303517 | 0.044314813 | 0.04432437 | 1.0002156 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.884542E-5 | 7.8691475E-5 | 7.8691475E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6646975E-4 | 3.3720807E-4 | 3.3720807E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002024885 | 0.004098225 | 0.004098225 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020065336 | 0.039353985 | 0.039353985 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 3.4221863E-5 | 6.8596244E-5 | 6.8596244E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4665688E-4 | 2.9395317E-4 | 2.9395317E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017840851 | 0.003573428 | 0.003573428 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017698295 | 0.034440026 | 0.034440026 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.6927712E-5 | 3.0085983E-5 | 3.0085983E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2545314E-5 | 1.2893387E-4 | 1.2893387E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.828813E-4 | 0.0015686966 | 0.0015686966 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008793819 | 0.015474755 | 0.015474755 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.2509653E-5 | 2.2485337E-5 | 2.2485337E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3611697E-5 | 9.636242E-5 | 9.636242E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.525269E-4 | 0.0011726251 | 0.0011726251 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0065061417 | 0.011592756 | 0.011592756 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 8.751583E-6 | 1.4945013E-5 | 1.4945013E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.750624E-5 | 6.4048516E-5 | 6.4048516E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5654282E-4 | 7.795176E-4 | 7.795176E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045560603 | 0.0077725183 | 0.0077725183 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.354379E-6 | 1.1517141E-5 | 1.1517141E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7232769E-5 | 4.935827E-5 | 4.935827E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3150852E-4 | 6.0077605E-4 | 6.0077605E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033101442 | 0.006008966 | 0.006008966 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 4.645554E-6 | 8.835465E-6 | 8.835465E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9909365E-5 | 3.7865753E-5 | 3.7865753E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4236954E-4 | 4.60922E-4 | 4.60922E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024210536 | 0.004618853 | 0.004618853 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.23437E-6 | 8.009341E-6 | 8.009341E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8147173E-5 | 3.432532E-5 | 3.432532E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2091944E-4 | 4.178345E-4 | 4.178345E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022069993 | 0.004189895 | 0.004189895 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.2187417E-6 | 3.9646256E-6 | 3.9646256E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.508858E-6 | 1.6991156E-5 | 1.6991156E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.157642E-4 | 2.0685032E-4 | 2.0685032E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011570391 | 0.0020793215 | 0.0020793215 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.7952495E-8 | 3.8808025E-8 | 3.8808025E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1979641E-7 | 1.663201E-7 | 1.663201E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4585203E-6 | 2.0249454E-6 | 2.0249454E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4585107E-5 | 2.0340014E-5 | 2.0340014E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.7192724E-8 | 2.3453167E-8 | 2.3453167E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.36831E-8 | 1.0051357E-7 | 1.0051357E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9709135E-7 | 1.2237521E-6 | 1.2237521E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.970877E-6 | 1.2304813E-5 | 1.2304813E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pitas Point (Lower)-Montalvo
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.2543637E-6 | 4.8380684E-6 | 4.8380684E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2518509E-5 | 2.0734415E-5 | 2.0734415E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7412834E-4 | 2.5241257E-4 | 2.5241257E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027379042 | 0.0025212914 | 0.002541241 | 1.0079124 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.2543637E-6 | 4.8380684E-6 | 4.8380684E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2518509E-5 | 2.0734415E-5 | 2.0734415E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7412834E-4 | 2.5241257E-4 | 2.5241257E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027379042 | 0.0025212914 | 0.002541241 | 1.0079124 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 5.2543637E-6 | 4.8380684E-6 | 4.8380684E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2518509E-5 | 2.0734415E-5 | 2.0734415E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7412834E-4 | 2.5241257E-4 | 2.5241257E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027379042 | 0.0025212914 | 0.002541241 | 1.0079124 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 5.2543637E-6 | 4.8380684E-6 | 4.8380684E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2518509E-5 | 2.0734415E-5 | 2.0734415E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7412834E-4 | 2.5241257E-4 | 2.5241257E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027379042 | 0.0025212914 | 0.002541241 | 1.0079124 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 5.2543637E-6 | 4.8380684E-6 | 4.8380684E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2518509E-5 | 2.0734415E-5 | 2.0734415E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7412834E-4 | 2.5241257E-4 | 2.5241257E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027379042 | 0.0025212914 | 0.002541241 | 1.0079124 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.2543637E-6 | 4.8380684E-6 | 4.8380684E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2518509E-5 | 2.0734415E-5 | 2.0734415E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7412834E-4 | 2.5241257E-4 | 2.5241257E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027379042 | 0.0025212914 | 0.002541241 | 1.0079124 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.2543637E-6 | 4.8380684E-6 | 4.8380684E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2518509E-5 | 2.0734415E-5 | 2.0734415E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7412834E-4 | 2.5241257E-4 | 2.5241257E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027379042 | 0.0025212914 | 0.002541241 | 1.0079124 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 5.2543637E-6 | 4.8380684E-6 | 4.8380684E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2518509E-5 | 2.0734415E-5 | 2.0734415E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7412834E-4 | 2.5241257E-4 | 2.5241257E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027379042 | 0.0025212914 | 0.002541241 | 1.0079124 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.2543637E-6 | 4.8380684E-6 | 4.8380684E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2518509E-5 | 2.0734415E-5 | 2.0734415E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7412834E-4 | 2.5241257E-4 | 2.5241257E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027379042 | 0.0025212914 | 0.002541241 | 1.0079124 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.2543637E-6 | 4.8380684E-6 | 4.8380684E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2518509E-5 | 2.0734415E-5 | 2.0734415E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7412834E-4 | 2.5241257E-4 | 2.5241257E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027379042 | 0.0025212914 | 0.002541241 | 1.0079124 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.2543637E-6 | 4.8380684E-6 | 4.8380684E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2518509E-5 | 2.0734415E-5 | 2.0734415E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7412834E-4 | 2.5241257E-4 | 2.5241257E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027379042 | 0.0025212914 | 0.002541241 | 1.0079124 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.2543637E-6 | 4.8380684E-6 | 4.8380684E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2518509E-5 | 2.0734415E-5 | 2.0734415E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7412834E-4 | 2.5241257E-4 | 2.5241257E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027379042 | 0.0025212914 | 0.002541241 | 1.0079124 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 5.2458695E-6 | 4.829222E-6 | 4.829222E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2482105E-5 | 2.0696503E-5 | 2.0696503E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7368523E-4 | 2.519511E-4 | 2.519511E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027334841 | 0.002516687 | 0.0025366368 | 1.007927 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 5.22665E-6 | 4.8091388E-6 | 4.8091388E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2399736E-5 | 2.0610434E-5 | 2.0610434E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7268266E-4 | 2.5090345E-4 | 2.5090345E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002723483 | 0.0025062342 | 0.002526184 | 1.0079601 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 5.210642E-6 | 4.7923504E-6 | 4.7923504E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.233113E-5 | 2.0538486E-5 | 2.0538486E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.718476E-4 | 2.500277E-4 | 2.500277E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002715153 | 0.0024974963 | 0.0025174464 | 1.007988 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.1226016E-6 | 4.700235E-6 | 4.700235E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1953823E-5 | 2.014371E-5 | 2.014371E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.67255E-4 | 2.4522239E-4 | 2.4522239E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026693381 | 0.0024495495 | 0.0024695005 | 1.0081447 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 4.8796987E-6 | 4.4451276E-6 | 4.4451276E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0912828E-5 | 1.905041E-5 | 1.905041E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5458392E-4 | 2.3191435E-4 | 2.3191435E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025429246 | 0.002316754 | 0.0023367077 | 1.0086128 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.0834398E-6 | 3.6092747E-6 | 3.6092747E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7500339E-5 | 1.546823E-5 | 1.546823E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1304579E-4 | 1.8830966E-4 | 1.8830966E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021284167 | 0.0018815246 | 0.001901487 | 1.0106096 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.5445438E-6 | 2.1213307E-6 | 2.1213307E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0905142E-5 | 9.091385E-6 | 9.091385E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3276201E-4 | 1.1068204E-4 | 1.1068204E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013268272 | 0.0011062738 | 0.0011162627 | 1.0090294 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 4.1677114E-7 | 3.3295146E-7 | 3.3295146E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7861609E-6 | 1.4269341E-6 | 1.4269341E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1746291E-5 | 1.7372788E-5 | 1.7372788E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1744163E-4 | 1.7371461E-4 | 1.8371287E-4 | 1.0575557 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 7.791402E-9 | 5.6839005E-9 | 5.6839005E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3391725E-8 | 2.4359574E-8 | 2.4359574E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0654416E-7 | 2.9657778E-7 | 2.9657778E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.065434E-6 | 2.965776E-6 | 2.965776E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Malibu Coast alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6572556E-5 | 1.7598879E-5 | 1.7598879E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.102331E-5 | 7.542169E-5 | 7.542169E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6436566E-4 | 9.1789116E-4 | 9.27882E-4 | 1.0108845 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0086101135 | 0.0091429325 | 0.00916275 | 1.0021675 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6572556E-5 | 1.7598879E-5 | 1.7598879E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.102331E-5 | 7.542169E-5 | 7.542169E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6436566E-4 | 9.1789116E-4 | 9.1789116E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0086101135 | 0.0091429325 | 0.009152842 | 1.0010837 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.1085717E-5 | 1.1557635E-5 | 1.1557635E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.750935E-5 | 4.95318E-5 | 4.95318E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.782728E-4 | 6.028863E-4 | 6.028863E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057677035 | 0.006012879 | 0.006022819 | 1.0016531 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.0208568E-5 | 1.0592674E-5 | 1.0592674E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.375027E-5 | 4.53964E-5 | 4.53964E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.325294E-4 | 5.525639E-4 | 5.525639E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0053125503 | 0.005512208 | 0.005522153 | 1.0018041 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 9.0682315E-6 | 9.34301E-6 | 9.34301E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8863272E-5 | 4.0040868E-5 | 4.0040868E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.730576E-4 | 4.8739056E-4 | 4.8739056E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0047205184 | 0.00486343 | 0.004873381 | 1.0020461 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 7.605796E-6 | 7.748884E-6 | 7.748884E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.259586E-5 | 3.3209086E-5 | 3.3209086E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9678233E-4 | 4.0424694E-4 | 4.0424694E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039607463 | 0.004035254 | 0.0040452136 | 1.0024681 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.889873E-6 | 5.8797464E-6 | 5.8797464E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5242069E-5 | 2.519867E-5 | 2.519867E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0727885E-4 | 3.067507E-4 | 3.067507E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003068543 | 0.0030632857 | 0.003073255 | 1.0032544 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 5.66586E-6 | 5.641841E-6 | 5.641841E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.428203E-5 | 2.4179095E-5 | 2.4179095E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.955936E-4 | 2.943408E-4 | 2.943408E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029520073 | 0.0029395216 | 0.0029494923 | 1.0033919 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.521556E-6 | 5.4896223E-6 | 5.4896223E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3663597E-5 | 2.3526742E-5 | 2.3526742E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.880662E-4 | 2.8640052E-4 | 2.8640052E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028769306 | 0.0028603259 | 0.0028702973 | 1.0034862 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.29752E-6 | 5.250118E-6 | 5.250118E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.270346E-5 | 2.2500313E-5 | 2.2500313E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7637955E-4 | 2.7390695E-4 | 2.7390695E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027603607 | 0.002735704 | 0.0027456766 | 1.0036454 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.106743E-6 | 5.047859E-6 | 5.047859E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1885859E-5 | 2.1633501E-5 | 2.1633501E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6642776E-4 | 2.633561E-4 | 2.633561E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026610855 | 0.0026304498 | 0.0026404236 | 1.0037917 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.8469647E-6 | 4.770543E-6 | 4.770543E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0772539E-5 | 2.0445024E-5 | 2.0445024E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.528763E-4 | 2.4888982E-4 | 2.4888982E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025258875 | 0.0024861186 | 0.0024960937 | 1.0040123 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.545514E-6 | 4.448352E-6 | 4.448352E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9480629E-5 | 1.9064226E-5 | 1.9064226E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3715083E-4 | 2.3208228E-4 | 2.3208228E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023689792 | 0.0023184067 | 0.0023283835 | 1.0043033 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.794097E-6 | 3.6520605E-6 | 3.6520605E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6260314E-5 | 1.5651594E-5 | 1.5651594E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9795135E-4 | 1.9054154E-4 | 1.9054154E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001977751 | 0.0019037863 | 0.0019037863 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.808217E-6 | 2.7191707E-6 | 2.7191707E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.203516E-5 | 1.1653537E-5 | 1.1653537E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4651821E-4 | 1.418726E-4 | 1.418726E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014642165 | 0.0014178229 | 0.0014178229 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.83809E-6 | 1.8191352E-6 | 1.8191352E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.877505E-6 | 7.79627E-6 | 7.79627E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.59044E-5 | 9.491547E-5 | 9.491547E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.5863023E-4 | 9.4875135E-4 | 9.4875135E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.1292672E-6 | 1.1001874E-6 | 1.1001874E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.839708E-6 | 4.71508E-6 | 4.71508E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8921847E-5 | 5.7404606E-5 | 5.7404606E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.890623E-4 | 5.738994E-4 | 5.738994E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.065272E-7 | 4.609368E-7 | 4.609368E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.170829E-6 | 1.975442E-6 | 1.975442E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6429525E-5 | 2.4050752E-5 | 2.4050752E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.642638E-4 | 2.4048261E-4 | 2.4048261E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 8.952991E-8 | 6.708641E-8 | 6.708641E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8369956E-7 | 2.8751316E-7 | 2.8751316E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.671532E-6 | 3.5004673E-6 | 3.5004673E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.671434E-5 | 3.500414E-5 | 3.500414E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 8.007447E-10 | 6.1617156E-10 | 6.1617156E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4317629E-9 | 2.6407359E-9 | 2.6407359E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1781714E-8 | 3.2150957E-8 | 3.2150957E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1781706E-7 | 3.2150956E-7 | 3.2150956E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Susana alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.674877E-5 | 2.7200702E-5 | 2.7200702E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1463255E-4 | 1.1656987E-4 | 1.1656987E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013947578 | 0.0014184278 | 0.0014383994 | 1.0140802 | 2.0E-5 | 0.013860362 | 0.0141051775 | 0.014124895 | 1.001398 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.674877E-5 | 2.7200702E-5 | 2.7200702E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1463255E-4 | 1.1656987E-4 | 1.1656987E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013947578 | 0.0014184278 | 0.0014383994 | 1.0140802 | 2.0E-5 | 0.013860362 | 0.0141051775 | 0.014124895 | 1.001398 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.674877E-5 | 2.7200702E-5 | 2.7200702E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1463255E-4 | 1.1656987E-4 | 1.1656987E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013947578 | 0.0014184278 | 0.0014383994 | 1.0140802 | 2.0E-5 | 0.013860362 | 0.0141051775 | 0.014124895 | 1.001398 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.674877E-5 | 2.7200702E-5 | 2.7200702E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1463255E-4 | 1.1656987E-4 | 1.1656987E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013947578 | 0.0014184278 | 0.0014383994 | 1.0140802 | 2.0E-5 | 0.013860362 | 0.0141051775 | 0.014124895 | 1.001398 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.674877E-5 | 2.7200702E-5 | 2.7200702E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1463255E-4 | 1.1656987E-4 | 1.1656987E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013947578 | 0.0014184278 | 0.0014383994 | 1.0140802 | 2.0E-5 | 0.013860362 | 0.0141051775 | 0.014124895 | 1.001398 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.674877E-5 | 2.7200702E-5 | 2.7200702E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1463255E-4 | 1.1656987E-4 | 1.1656987E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013947578 | 0.0014184278 | 0.0014383994 | 1.0140802 | 2.0E-5 | 0.013860362 | 0.0141051775 | 0.014124895 | 1.001398 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.6647976E-5 | 2.7077027E-5 | 2.7077027E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.14200615E-4 | 1.1603988E-4 | 1.1603988E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013895056 | 0.0014119836 | 0.0014319554 | 1.0141444 | 2.0E-5 | 0.013808494 | 0.014041555 | 0.014061274 | 1.0014043 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.6647976E-5 | 2.7077027E-5 | 2.7077027E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.14200615E-4 | 1.1603988E-4 | 1.1603988E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013895056 | 0.0014119836 | 0.0014319554 | 1.0141444 | 2.0E-5 | 0.013808494 | 0.014041555 | 0.014061274 | 1.0014043 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.9073179E-5 | 1.7638708E-5 | 1.7638708E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.1739636E-5 | 7.5592376E-5 | 7.5592376E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.947256E-4 | 9.199667E-4 | 9.399483E-4 | 1.0217199 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009902848 | 0.009163507 | 0.009183324 | 1.0021626 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.9041876E-5 | 1.7620838E-5 | 1.7620838E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.160549E-5 | 7.5515796E-5 | 7.5515796E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.930939E-4 | 9.190351E-4 | 9.3901675E-4 | 1.021742 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0098866755 | 0.009154269 | 0.009174085 | 1.0021647 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.5917482E-5 | 1.386486E-5 | 1.386486E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8215995E-5 | 5.9419504E-5 | 5.9419504E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.302132E-4 | 7.23197E-4 | 7.3318975E-4 | 1.0138175 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008271185 | 0.007208977 | 0.007218905 | 1.0013771 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.577788E-5 | 1.3744859E-5 | 1.3744859E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.761774E-5 | 5.8905236E-5 | 5.8905236E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2293496E-4 | 7.169399E-4 | 7.269327E-4 | 1.0139382 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008198941 | 0.00714681 | 0.0071567385 | 1.0013893 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.5416446E-5 | 1.3470913E-5 | 1.3470913E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.606882E-5 | 5.773123E-5 | 5.773123E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0409093E-4 | 7.026557E-4 | 7.126487E-4 | 1.0142217 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008011877 | 0.007004871 | 0.0070148013 | 1.0014176 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.4534083E-5 | 1.271876E-5 | 1.271876E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.228744E-5 | 5.450786E-5 | 5.450786E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.580857E-4 | 6.6343555E-4 | 6.7342893E-4 | 1.015063 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007555048 | 0.0066150604 | 0.0066249943 | 1.0015017 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.2858995E-5 | 1.1230413E-5 | 1.1230413E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5108816E-5 | 4.8129477E-5 | 4.8129477E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7074323E-4 | 5.8582274E-4 | 5.958169E-4 | 1.01706 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0066872234 | 0.0058432063 | 0.0058531477 | 1.0017014 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 8.827668E-6 | 7.805836E-6 | 7.805836E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7832317E-5 | 3.3453165E-5 | 3.3453165E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.605111E-4 | 4.072186E-4 | 4.072186E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045955796 | 0.0040648654 | 0.0040648654 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.2533426E-6 | 2.8720965E-6 | 2.8720965E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3942822E-5 | 1.23089285E-5 | 1.23089285E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6974064E-4 | 1.4985127E-4 | 1.4985127E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016961104 | 0.0014975391 | 0.0014975391 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.2751709E-6 | 1.1491738E-6 | 1.1491738E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4650063E-6 | 4.9250216E-6 | 4.9250216E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.653442E-5 | 5.996058E-5 | 5.996058E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6514505E-4 | 5.9945293E-4 | 5.9945293E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.067544E-7 | 3.240163E-7 | 3.240163E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3146611E-6 | 1.3886406E-6 | 1.3886406E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.600588E-5 | 1.6906579E-5 | 1.6906579E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6004729E-4 | 1.6905395E-4 | 1.6905395E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.622999E-8 | 8.088244E-8 | 8.088244E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2669993E-7 | 3.4663898E-7 | 3.4663898E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.977564E-6 | 4.2203237E-6 | 4.2203237E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.977493E-5 | 4.2202642E-5 | 4.2202642E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Burnt Mtn
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5673151E-5 | 1.1749327E-5 | 1.1749327E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.716892E-5 | 5.0354014E-5 | 6.035351E-5 | 1.1985838 | 1.0E-5 | 8.1747473E-4 | 6.130166E-4 | 6.2301045E-4 | 1.0163028 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008144741 | 0.0061258962 | 0.006135835 | 1.0016224 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.5673151E-5 | 1.1749327E-5 | 1.1749327E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.716892E-5 | 5.0354014E-5 | 6.035351E-5 | 1.1985838 | 1.0E-5 | 8.1747473E-4 | 6.130166E-4 | 6.2301045E-4 | 1.0163028 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008144741 | 0.0061258962 | 0.006135835 | 1.0016224 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.5673151E-5 | 1.1749327E-5 | 1.1749327E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.716892E-5 | 5.0354014E-5 | 6.035351E-5 | 1.1985838 | 1.0E-5 | 8.1747473E-4 | 6.130166E-4 | 6.2301045E-4 | 1.0163028 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008144741 | 0.0061258962 | 0.006135835 | 1.0016224 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.5673151E-5 | 1.1749327E-5 | 1.1749327E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.716892E-5 | 5.0354014E-5 | 6.035351E-5 | 1.1985838 | 1.0E-5 | 8.1747473E-4 | 6.130166E-4 | 6.2301045E-4 | 1.0163028 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008144741 | 0.0061258962 | 0.006135835 | 1.0016224 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.5673151E-5 | 1.1749327E-5 | 1.1749327E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.716892E-5 | 5.0354014E-5 | 6.035351E-5 | 1.1985838 | 1.0E-5 | 8.1747473E-4 | 6.130166E-4 | 6.2301045E-4 | 1.0163028 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008144741 | 0.0061258962 | 0.006135835 | 1.0016224 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.36191375E-5 | 1.007816E-5 | 1.007816E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8366426E-5 | 4.319211E-5 | 5.319168E-5 | 1.2315137 | 1.0E-5 | 7.103795E-4 | 5.2586396E-4 | 5.358587E-4 | 1.0190064 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0070811296 | 0.00525864 | 0.0052685873 | 1.0018916 | 1.0E-5 |
San Gorgonio Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.644328E-6 | 1.3322987E-5 | 1.3322987E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2760996E-5 | 5.7097317E-5 | 5.7097317E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.987921E-4 | 6.949467E-4 | 6.949467E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003980772 | 0.0069348887 | 0.0069448194 | 1.001432 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 7.644328E-6 | 1.3322987E-5 | 1.3322987E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2760996E-5 | 5.7097317E-5 | 5.7097317E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.987921E-4 | 6.949467E-4 | 6.949467E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003980772 | 0.0069348887 | 0.0069448194 | 1.001432 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 7.644328E-6 | 1.3322987E-5 | 1.3322987E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2760996E-5 | 5.7097317E-5 | 5.7097317E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.987921E-4 | 6.949467E-4 | 6.949467E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003980772 | 0.0069348887 | 0.0069448194 | 1.001432 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 7.644328E-6 | 1.3322987E-5 | 1.3322987E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2760996E-5 | 5.7097317E-5 | 5.7097317E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.987921E-4 | 6.949467E-4 | 6.949467E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003980772 | 0.0069348887 | 0.0069448194 | 1.001432 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.644328E-6 | 1.3322987E-5 | 1.3322987E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2760996E-5 | 5.7097317E-5 | 5.7097317E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.987921E-4 | 6.949467E-4 | 6.949467E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003980772 | 0.0069348887 | 0.0069448194 | 1.001432 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 7.644328E-6 | 1.3322987E-5 | 1.3322987E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2760996E-5 | 5.7097317E-5 | 5.7097317E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.987921E-4 | 6.949467E-4 | 6.949467E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003980772 | 0.0069348887 | 0.0069448194 | 1.001432 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.644328E-6 | 1.3322987E-5 | 1.3322987E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2760996E-5 | 5.7097317E-5 | 5.7097317E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.987921E-4 | 6.949467E-4 | 6.949467E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003980772 | 0.0069348887 | 0.0069448194 | 1.001432 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.987586E-6 | 1.262724E-5 | 1.262724E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9946454E-5 | 5.4115662E-5 | 5.4115662E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.645371E-4 | 6.586671E-4 | 6.586671E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036393967 | 0.0065742554 | 0.0065841894 | 1.0015111 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.987586E-6 | 1.262724E-5 | 1.262724E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9946454E-5 | 5.4115662E-5 | 5.4115662E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.645371E-4 | 6.586671E-4 | 6.586671E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036393967 | 0.0065742554 | 0.0065841894 | 1.0015111 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.504702E-6 | 1.1058054E-5 | 1.1058054E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3591367E-5 | 4.739083E-5 | 4.739083E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8718702E-4 | 5.7683565E-4 | 5.7683565E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028681618 | 0.0057601864 | 0.0057701287 | 1.001726 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.4825764E-6 | 1.1034394E-5 | 1.1034394E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3496545E-5 | 4.728943E-5 | 4.728943E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8603288E-4 | 5.756018E-4 | 5.756018E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00285665 | 0.005747912 | 0.0057578543 | 1.0017297 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.4692787E-6 | 1.1020104E-5 | 1.1020104E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3439556E-5 | 4.722819E-5 | 4.722819E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8533922E-4 | 5.748566E-4 | 5.748566E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028497311 | 0.005740498 | 0.0057504405 | 1.001732 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 5.453661E-6 | 1.100313E-5 | 1.100313E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3372622E-5 | 4.7155445E-5 | 4.7155445E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8452452E-4 | 5.7397137E-4 | 5.7397137E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002841605 | 0.0057316916 | 0.0057416344 | 1.0017347 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 5.4422303E-6 | 1.0990051E-5 | 1.0990051E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3323635E-5 | 4.70994E-5 | 4.70994E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8392827E-4 | 5.7328935E-4 | 5.7328935E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028356577 | 0.005724907 | 0.0057348497 | 1.0017368 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 5.398595E-6 | 1.09374105E-5 | 1.09374105E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.313663E-5 | 4.6873804E-5 | 4.6873804E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8165206E-4 | 5.705442E-4 | 5.705442E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028129534 | 0.0056975964 | 0.005707539 | 1.0017451 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.3578788E-6 | 1.0863939E-5 | 1.0863939E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2962136E-5 | 4.6558936E-5 | 4.6558936E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7952815E-4 | 5.667127E-4 | 5.667127E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002791768 | 0.005659496 | 0.0056694397 | 1.0017569 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 4.8091474E-6 | 9.611825E-6 | 9.611825E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0610469E-5 | 4.119291E-5 | 4.119291E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5090357E-4 | 5.0141313E-4 | 5.0141313E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025062046 | 0.0050099147 | 0.005019865 | 1.001986 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.5991155E-6 | 3.3572317E-6 | 3.3572317E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.853334E-6 | 1.4388058E-5 | 1.4388058E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.343615E-5 | 1.7516078E-4 | 1.7516078E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.340483E-4 | 0.0017558819 | 0.0017558819 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 9.258398E-7 | 2.0612295E-6 | 2.0612295E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.967879E-6 | 8.83381E-6 | 8.83381E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8307855E-5 | 1.0754635E-4 | 1.0754635E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8297356E-4 | 0.0010805464 | 0.0010805464 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 5.975575E-7 | 1.2314991E-6 | 1.2314991E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5609581E-6 | 5.277843E-6 | 5.277843E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.117922E-5 | 6.425585E-5 | 6.425585E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1174847E-4 | 6.475944E-4 | 6.475944E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 3.4413725E-7 | 6.728574E-7 | 6.728574E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4748731E-6 | 2.8836716E-6 | 2.8836716E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7956432E-5 | 3.510814E-5 | 3.510814E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7954981E-4 | 3.545684E-4 | 3.545684E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.1787731E-8 | 9.667631E-9 | 9.667631E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0518846E-8 | 4.1432703E-8 | 4.1432703E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1506677E-7 | 5.0444305E-7 | 5.0444305E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1506507E-6 | 5.260288E-6 | 5.260288E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Susana East (connector)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.858397E-5 | 3.2025328E-5 | 3.2025328E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2249697E-4 | 1.3724578E-4 | 1.3724578E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014903803 | 0.0016699575 | 0.0016799408 | 1.0059782 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014804244 | 0.016600663 | 0.016610498 | 1.0005924 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.858397E-5 | 3.2025328E-5 | 3.2025328E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2249697E-4 | 1.3724578E-4 | 1.3724578E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014903803 | 0.0016699575 | 0.0016799408 | 1.0059782 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014804244 | 0.016600663 | 0.016610498 | 1.0005924 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.858397E-5 | 3.2025328E-5 | 3.2025328E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2249697E-4 | 1.3724578E-4 | 1.3724578E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014903803 | 0.0016699575 | 0.0016799408 | 1.0059782 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014804244 | 0.016600663 | 0.016610498 | 1.0005924 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.943582E-5 | 2.0369282E-5 | 2.0369282E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.329371E-5 | 8.729463E-5 | 8.729463E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001013629 | 0.001062406 | 0.0010723954 | 1.0094026 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010090181 | 0.010584349 | 0.010594242 | 1.0009348 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.943582E-5 | 2.0369282E-5 | 2.0369282E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.329371E-5 | 8.729463E-5 | 8.729463E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001013629 | 0.001062406 | 0.0010723954 | 1.0094026 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010090181 | 0.010584349 | 0.010594242 | 1.0009348 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.943582E-5 | 2.0369282E-5 | 2.0369282E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.329371E-5 | 8.729463E-5 | 8.729463E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001013629 | 0.001062406 | 0.0010723954 | 1.0094026 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010090181 | 0.010584349 | 0.010594242 | 1.0009348 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.943582E-5 | 2.0369282E-5 | 2.0369282E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.329371E-5 | 8.729463E-5 | 8.729463E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001013629 | 0.001062406 | 0.0010723954 | 1.0094026 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010090181 | 0.010584349 | 0.010594242 | 1.0009348 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.9404439E-5 | 2.0356701E-5 | 2.0356701E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.3159226E-5 | 8.724072E-5 | 8.724072E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010119933 | 0.0010617502 | 0.0010717396 | 1.0094084 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010073971 | 0.010577854 | 0.010587748 | 1.0009353 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2217526E-5 | 1.1593922E-5 | 1.1593922E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2359774E-5 | 4.9687387E-5 | 4.9687387E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.372938E-4 | 6.0479285E-4 | 6.147868E-4 | 1.0165246 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0063546924 | 0.006033162 | 0.0060431017 | 1.0016475 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.2217526E-5 | 1.1593922E-5 | 1.1593922E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2359774E-5 | 4.9687387E-5 | 4.9687387E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.372938E-4 | 6.0479285E-4 | 6.147868E-4 | 1.0165246 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0063546924 | 0.006033162 | 0.0060431017 | 1.0016475 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 9.276017E-6 | 8.059641E-6 | 8.059641E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9753755E-5 | 3.454088E-5 | 3.454088E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8389446E-4 | 4.2045754E-4 | 4.2045754E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048284214 | 0.004196991 | 0.004196991 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 9.130355E-6 | 7.942807E-6 | 7.942807E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9129503E-5 | 3.404018E-5 | 3.404018E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7629757E-4 | 4.143638E-4 | 4.143638E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00475278 | 0.004136282 | 0.004136282 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 8.851015E-6 | 7.741957E-6 | 7.741957E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7932372E-5 | 3.3179414E-5 | 3.3179414E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6172875E-4 | 4.0388794E-4 | 4.0388794E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0046077054 | 0.004031906 | 0.004031906 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 8.573006E-6 | 7.5506696E-6 | 7.5506696E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6740938E-5 | 3.2359632E-5 | 3.2359632E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.472291E-4 | 3.939107E-4 | 3.939107E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004463301 | 0.0039325035 | 0.0039325035 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 7.852282E-6 | 6.8181307E-6 | 6.8181307E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.36522E-5 | 2.922025E-5 | 2.922025E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.096385E-4 | 3.557015E-4 | 3.557015E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040888423 | 0.0035516357 | 0.0035516357 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.8869324E-6 | 4.279285E-6 | 4.279285E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0943828E-5 | 1.8339673E-5 | 1.8339673E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5496128E-4 | 2.232643E-4 | 2.232643E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025466895 | 0.0022304566 | 0.0022304566 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.3894544E-6 | 1.1568683E-6 | 1.1568683E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.954791E-6 | 4.957999E-6 | 4.957999E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.249717E-5 | 6.0362185E-5 | 6.0362185E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.247352E-4 | 6.034797E-4 | 6.034797E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.9924632E-7 | 2.372098E-7 | 2.372098E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2824837E-6 | 1.016613E-6 | 1.016613E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5614127E-5 | 1.23772015E-5 | 1.23772015E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5613029E-4 | 1.2376584E-4 | 1.2376584E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.8188564E-8 | 2.6328209E-8 | 2.6328209E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.065224E-7 | 1.12835174E-7 | 1.12835174E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5144072E-6 | 1.3737674E-6 | 1.3737674E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5143789E-5 | 1.3737598E-5 | 1.3737598E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.6127251E-9 | 2.7681977E-9 | 2.7681977E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1197393E-8 | 1.1863704E-8 | 1.1863704E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3632825E-7 | 1.4444059E-7 | 1.4444059E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3632817E-6 | 1.4444059E-6 | 1.4444059E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Likely 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.5315949E-5 | 2.7105765E-5 | 2.7105765E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0849241E-4 | 1.1616265E-4 | 1.1616265E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013200947 | 0.0014134073 | 0.0014134073 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013122803 | 0.014048834 | 0.014058694 | 1.0007018 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.5315949E-5 | 2.7105765E-5 | 2.7105765E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0849241E-4 | 1.1616265E-4 | 1.1616265E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013200947 | 0.0014134073 | 0.0014134073 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013122803 | 0.014048834 | 0.014058694 | 1.0007018 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6375941E-5 | 1.746646E-5 | 1.746646E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0180715E-5 | 7.485418E-5 | 7.485418E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5411523E-4 | 9.109808E-4 | 9.109808E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008508399 | 0.009073752 | 0.009083661 | 1.0010921 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1945543E-5 | 1.271302E-5 | 1.271302E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.119418E-5 | 5.4483266E-5 | 5.4483266E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2311086E-4 | 6.631372E-4 | 6.631372E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0062136655 | 0.0066121393 | 0.006622073 | 1.0015024 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 9.192729E-6 | 9.768813E-6 | 9.768813E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.939681E-5 | 4.1865682E-5 | 4.1865682E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7955062E-4 | 5.095982E-4 | 5.095982E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004785171 | 0.005084578 | 0.005084578 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 7.67906E-6 | 8.152889E-6 | 8.152889E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2909844E-5 | 3.4940495E-5 | 3.4940495E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.006037E-4 | 4.253194E-4 | 4.253194E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039988225 | 0.0042452468 | 0.0042452468 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 6.4884057E-6 | 6.8849736E-6 | 6.8849736E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7807157E-5 | 2.9506704E-5 | 2.9506704E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3849955E-4 | 3.5918635E-4 | 3.5918635E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003379844 | 0.0035862029 | 0.0035862029 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 4.6060636E-6 | 4.8841976E-6 | 4.8841976E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9740122E-5 | 2.0932112E-5 | 2.0932112E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.403095E-4 | 2.548195E-4 | 2.548195E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002400498 | 0.002545356 | 0.002545356 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 3.2795615E-6 | 3.4774844E-6 | 3.4774844E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4055187E-5 | 1.4903422E-5 | 1.4903422E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7110848E-4 | 1.8143462E-4 | 1.8143462E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017097679 | 0.0018129202 | 0.0018129202 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.3289967E-6 | 2.4706364E-6 | 2.4706364E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.981376E-6 | 1.0588402E-5 | 1.0588402E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2151648E-4 | 1.289066E-4 | 1.289066E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012145005 | 0.0012883613 | 0.0012883613 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.211292E-6 | 1.2864381E-6 | 1.2864381E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1912407E-6 | 5.513296E-6 | 5.513296E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.320152E-5 | 6.7122615E-5 | 6.7122615E- |