Parent Section Magnitude-Probability Distributions

Only fault sections with at least one triggered aftershock are plotted. Sections are sorted by total supraseismogenic trigger rate (decreasing)

Table Of Contents

Garlock (Central)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.5131142E-57.0252936E-50.004399948862.6301080.004332.3625491E-43.0104961E-40.00996813833.1112820.009670.00287260950.00365918320.023765346.4947120.020180.0283575910.03614120.062637681.73313770.02749
6.15.5131142E-57.0252936E-50.004399948862.6301080.004332.3625491E-43.0104961E-40.00996813833.1112820.009670.00287260950.00365918320.023765346.4947120.020180.0283575910.03614120.062637681.73313770.02749
6.24.216245E-55.166702E-50.002581536349.9648780.002531.806837E-42.2141145E-40.00608011427.4607030.005860.00219760460.00269238350.0148894555.5302140.012230.0217599890.0267040670.042792651.60247680.01653
6.34.216245E-55.166702E-50.002581536349.9648780.002531.806837E-42.2141145E-40.00608011427.4607030.005860.00219760460.00269238350.0148894555.5302140.012230.0217599890.0267040670.042792651.60247680.01653
6.43.6858168E-54.411544E-50.001904033443.160250.001861.5795401E-41.890526E-40.00456822524.1637740.004380.00192139370.00229931090.0117076285.0917990.009430.0190486550.0228685660.0351804231.53837470.0126
6.53.39199E-54.0023602E-50.001749955143.723080.001711.453629E-41.7151856E-40.00416083424.2587970.003990.00176835650.00208626040.0106284025.09447530.008560.0175435080.0207612530.031904991.53675640.01138
6.63.3571985E-53.9477756E-50.001739410744.0605280.00171.4387199E-41.6917953E-40.00414850624.5213240.003980.00175023420.00205783660.0105802635.14144950.008540.0173651330.0204825050.031600031.54278150.01135
6.73.2580007E-53.8094186E-50.001648032843.262060.001611.3962112E-41.632507E-40.003992625524.4570180.003830.00169856170.0019857870.0100996435.08596470.008130.0168563720.0197716220.0304070991.53791630.01085
6.83.2185937E-53.7521368E-50.001617462143.1077580.001581.3793244E-41.6079607E-40.003920191424.3798960.003760.00167803370.00195595580.0099303285.07696960.007990.0166541920.019478760.0299213121.53609930.01065
6.93.165394E-53.672589E-50.001596668643.4752850.001561.3565269E-41.573873E-40.003886800324.6957680.003730.00165032020.00191452760.0097195565.07673840.007820.016381180.019072320.0293033961.53643580.01043
7.03.0903822E-53.5631027E-50.001565576543.9385760.001531.3243823E-41.5269557E-40.003822135325.031080.003670.00161124280.00185750460.0095232395.12689920.007680.0159961040.0185137730.0285641921.54286170.01024
7.13.0069863E-53.439724E-50.001504346743.734520.001471.2886449E-41.4740853E-40.003706883625.147010.003560.00156779590.00179324250.0091300635.09137060.007350.015567810.0178814770.0275455251.54045010.00984
7.22.7957109E-53.1286352E-50.001241248539.6737980.001211.1981068E-41.3407759E-40.003103679323.1483820.002970.00145771880.00163119190.00778114384.770220.006160.0144819370.016285070.0243613681.49593280.00821
7.32.4519275E-52.6719234E-59.266952E-434.68279.0E-41.0507837E-41.1450605E-40.002234263319.5121840.002120.00127857830.00139323440.00570721554.0963790.004320.0127124690.0139293290.0195696521.40492440.00572
7.42.3225532E-52.52037E-58.251835E-432.740578.0E-49.95342E-51.08011474E-40.002067799719.144260.001960.00121115510.00131426080.0052690564.00914050.003960.0120457530.0131469270.0182884321.39108040.00521
7.52.097765E-52.2487684E-56.6247326E-429.4593836.4E-48.9901114E-59.637229E-50.001606226816.6668950.001510.00109399650.00117271290.0042491013.6233090.003080.0108862640.0117416840.0157342481.34003330.00404
7.61.511254E-51.599496E-53.4598968E-421.631173.3E-46.476642E-56.854807E-58.3849527E-412.23222357.7E-47.882459E-48.34261E-40.0024928762.9881250.001660.0078545580.0083849220.0105763911.26135840.00221
7.79.934069E-61.0682194E-56.068166E-55.68063645.0E-54.2573887E-54.578003E-51.7577408E-43.8395361.3E-45.182138E-45.5722974E-49.3701796E-41.68156493.8E-40.005170070.00562962140.00613675031.09008235.1E-4
7.86.7562896E-68.431359E-63.8431106E-54.55811553.0E-52.8955206E-53.6133893E-51.2613065E-43.49064619.0E-53.5247262E-44.3984153E-46.597448E-41.49996022.2E-40.00351914060.0044482850.00476686141.07161783.2E-4
7.93.975453E-65.3728804E-65.3728804E-61.00.01.7037546E-52.3026427E-57.302527E-53.17136815.0E-52.0741238E-42.8031078E-44.1027434E-41.46364091.3E-40.0020721890.002834650.00304405461.07387322.1E-4
8.01.6729537E-62.0781215E-62.0781215E-61.00.07.169782E-68.906205E-68.906205E-61.00.08.7288594E-51.0842768E-41.184266E-41.09221731.0E-58.7254314E-40.00109730680.00114725191.04551615.0E-5
8.13.6733252E-73.1497066E-73.1497066E-71.00.01.5742813E-61.3498736E-61.3498736E-61.00.01.9166706E-51.6434604E-51.6434604E-51.00.01.9165053E-41.6648426E-41.6648426E-41.00.0

Little Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.8424427E-53.1206153E-50.002101141567.3310.002071.2181328E-41.3373456E-40.004823107336.064780.004690.00148206770.00162713530.0110817266.81057450.009470.0147222230.0161656230.028778381.78022090.01282
6.12.8424427E-53.1206153E-50.002101141567.3310.002071.2181328E-41.3373456E-40.004823107336.064780.004690.00148206770.00162713530.0110817266.81057450.009470.0147222230.0161656230.028778381.78022090.01282
6.22.8424427E-53.1206153E-50.002101141567.3310.002071.2181328E-41.3373456E-40.004823107336.064780.004690.00148206770.00162713530.0110817266.81057450.009470.0147222230.0161656230.028778381.78022090.01282
6.31.48860645E-51.6081587E-50.001456058590.541960.001446.379586E-56.891943E-50.003258699647.282740.003197.7643775E-48.387992E-40.0073333478.7426730.00650.0077373050.008359150.0171054232.04631110.00882
6.41.48860645E-51.6081587E-50.001456058590.541960.001446.379586E-56.891943E-50.003258699647.282740.003197.7643775E-48.387992E-40.0073333478.7426730.00650.0077373050.008359150.0171054232.04631110.00882
6.51.2797581E-51.376573E-50.00137374799.794710.001365.4845623E-55.8994796E-50.003008820851.001460.002956.675408E-47.1805064E-40.0066837649.30820750.005970.0066553920.00715985570.0152812882.13430120.00818
6.69.661896E-61.0289153E-50.0011602773112.7670440.001154.1407468E-54.4095712E-50.002573984258.372660.002535.040193E-45.367493E-40.00573395810.682750.00520.0050287770.0053561340.0124081592.3166260.00709
6.77.767871E-68.199772E-69.281922E-4113.197319.2E-43.329045E-53.5141486E-50.00218506662.1790960.002154.0523586E-44.2777733E-40.004995822411.6785580.004570.0040449770.00427089070.0104643262.45015070.00622
6.86.4235196E-66.7358133E-67.2673097E-4107.89067.2E-42.752908E-52.8867524E-50.001768817361.2736050.001743.35115E-43.5141825E-40.004040121611.4966180.003690.0033461010.00350988560.0085620912.43942140.00507
6.93.1283696E-63.112201E-64.0311096E-4129.5264.0E-41.3407229E-51.3337944E-50.001073323880.471460.001061.6322079E-41.6237888E-40.002412013514.8542320.002250.00163100950.00162275070.00474767152.92569380.00313
7.02.290603E-62.2286956E-62.9222804E-4131.120672.9E-49.816834E-69.551524E-67.095448E-474.286037.0E-41.19513395E-41.1628464E-40.001646106714.155840.001530.00119449140.001162340.00328986442.83038020.00213
7.11.293693E-61.1776893E-61.1117756E-494.403131.1E-45.5443866E-65.047234E-63.1504568E-462.4194683.1E-46.750081E-56.144904E-57.6140603E-412.3908537.0E-46.7480316E-46.1438896E-40.00153382382.49650269.2E-4
7.24.715842E-73.0917863E-71.0309175E-533.343751.0E-52.0210737E-61.3250507E-61.1325037E-58.5468711.0E-52.4606294E-51.6132379E-54.6131892E-52.85958433.0E-52.460357E-41.6131261E-41.9130777E-41.18594433.0E-5
7.33.9430947E-72.3097442E-72.3097442E-71.00.01.6898966E-69.8989E-79.8989E-71.00.02.0574296E-51.2051845E-53.2051605E-52.6594772.0E-52.0572392E-41.2051199E-41.4050958E-41.16593862.0E-5
7.43.547123E-71.9679048E-71.9679048E-71.00.01.5201948E-68.433875E-78.433875E-71.00.01.8508214E-51.0268195E-53.026799E-52.9477422.0E-51.8506673E-41.0267727E-41.2267522E-41.19476512.0E-5
7.52.6354266E-71.4423068E-71.4423068E-71.00.01.129468E-66.1813137E-76.1813137E-71.00.01.3751187E-57.525724E-62.7525573E-53.65753172.0E-51.3750336E-47.525474E-59.5253235E-51.2657442.0E-5
7.61.269913E-77.572499E-87.572499E-81.00.05.4424834E-73.2453565E-73.2453565E-71.00.06.6262032E-63.9512147E-62.3951136E-56.06171462.0E-56.626006E-53.951148E-55.951069E-51.5061622.0E-5

Tank Canyon

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.8284557E-55.7965928E-50.002037851135.1560170.001982.0691741E-42.484056E-40.004357384517.541410.004110.00251630880.003020810.0118540453.92412830.008860.024880060.0298643730.0414768981.3888420.01197
6.11.7796336E-52.0873778E-56.1086146E-429.2645365.9E-47.626778E-58.94562E-50.001269350614.1896320.001189.281647E-40.00108862330.00370577123.40408950.002620.0092429750.0108368630.0144275251.33133780.00363
6.21.7796336E-52.0873778E-56.1086146E-429.2645365.9E-47.626778E-58.94562E-50.001269350614.1896320.001189.281647E-40.00108862330.00370577123.40408950.002620.0092429750.0108368630.0144275251.33133780.00363
6.31.3515912E-51.575992E-54.1575363E-426.3804384.0E-45.792405E-56.754091E-58.4748823E-412.5477777.8E-47.049971E-48.2202395E-40.00263053623.20007230.001810.0070276470.008192310.0107412551.31113890.00257
6.41.0870146E-51.2618305E-53.1261452E-424.7746853.0E-44.658551E-55.407743E-56.5404497E-412.0946026.0E-45.67031E-46.5821153E-40.00202730973.08002760.001370.0056558630.0065644940.00857123451.3056960.00202
6.57.964826E-69.196297E-61.8919464E-420.5729161.8E-43.4134522E-53.9412163E-53.3940034E-48.6115633.0E-44.1550855E-44.79748E-40.00125937392.62507377.8E-40.00414732470.0047882820.0059924881.25149020.00121
6.66.6317E-67.6124547E-61.5761131E-420.7044011.5E-42.8421264E-53.2624448E-52.9261597E-48.9692232.6E-43.4597394E-43.9713932E-40.00102688912.5857156.3E-40.00345435790.00396530470.00492149821.24113999.6E-4
6.74.793663E-65.4308844E-61.1543029E-421.2544171.1E-42.0544108E-52.3275035E-51.9327107E-48.3037931.7E-42.500958E-42.833411E-46.5323623E-42.30547673.7E-40.00249814520.00283034560.00339873251.20081885.7E-4
6.84.382823E-64.969349E-61.149688E-423.1355861.1E-41.8783392E-52.129706E-51.9129344E-48.9821521.7E-42.286638E-42.5926513E-46.0917437E-42.34961943.5E-40.00228428650.00259016780.0031187951.204095.3E-4
6.92.729601E-63.0735978E-66.3073414E-520.5210366.0E-51.1698237E-51.3172503E-51.2317105E-49.3506191.1E-41.4241673E-41.6036464E-43.6033257E-42.24695782.0E-40.0014232550.00160275120.00186233441.16196112.6E-4
7.01.8987357E-62.1269796E-64.2126896E-519.8059714.0E-58.137413E-69.115598E-65.9115144E-56.48505355.0E-59.90685E-51.1097746E-41.9096858E-41.72078728.0E-59.902435E-40.0011092890.00120917811.09004781.0E-4
7.11.4928986E-61.6641586E-62.1664126E-513.01806452.0E-56.398121E-67.1320924E-62.713195E-53.80420612.0E-57.789434E-58.6830354E-51.1682775E-41.34547133.0E-57.786704E-48.6802215E-49.079874E-41.04604174.0E-5
7.21.069082E-61.1828818E-61.11828695E-59.453921.0E-54.581772E-65.069486E-61.5069436E-52.97257641.0E-55.5781646E-56.171978E-57.1719165E-51.16201261.0E-55.576765E-46.170787E-46.2707247E-41.01619541.0E-5
7.38.776551E-79.770191E-79.770191E-71.00.03.7613736E-64.1872213E-64.1872213E-61.00.04.579376E-55.0978742E-55.0978742E-51.00.04.5784327E-45.097215E-45.097215E-41.00.0
7.47.55721E-78.510419E-78.510419E-71.00.03.2388E-63.64732E-63.64732E-61.00.03.9431678E-54.4405737E-54.4405737E-51.00.03.942468E-44.4401948E-44.4401948E-41.00.0
7.55.587665E-76.3057325E-76.3057325E-71.00.02.3947114E-62.7024569E-62.7024569E-61.00.02.915522E-53.290241E-53.290241E-51.00.02.9151395E-43.2902413E-43.2902413E-41.00.0

Airport Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2387061E-51.31032575E-50.0016730815127.6843950.001665.3086325E-55.6155768E-50.00414592673.829030.004096.461343E-46.835104E-40.00948748813.8805330.008810.00644258880.00681689150.0186953622.74250530.01196
6.11.2387061E-51.31032575E-50.0016730815127.6843950.001665.3086325E-55.6155768E-50.00414592673.829030.004096.461343E-46.835104E-40.00948748813.8805330.008810.00644258880.00681689150.0186953622.74250530.01196
6.21.2387061E-51.31032575E-50.0016730815127.6843950.001665.3086325E-55.6155768E-50.00414592673.829030.004096.461343E-46.835104E-40.00948748813.8805330.008810.00644258880.00681689150.0186953622.74250530.01196
6.31.2387061E-51.31032575E-50.0016730815127.6843950.001665.3086325E-55.6155768E-50.00414592673.829030.004096.461343E-46.835104E-40.00948748813.8805330.008810.00644258880.00681689150.0186953622.74250530.01196
6.41.2387061E-51.31032575E-50.0016730815127.6843950.001665.3086325E-55.6155768E-50.00414592673.829030.004096.461343E-46.835104E-40.00948748813.8805330.008810.00644258880.00681689150.0186953622.74250530.01196
6.56.9922594E-67.38498E-60.0013173753178.385760.001312.996648E-53.164956E-50.003161550599.8923950.003133.6478083E-43.8527072E-40.007082689618.3836690.00670.0036418260.00384656530.01290159953.35405730.00909
6.66.9922594E-67.38498E-60.0013173753178.385760.001312.996648E-53.164956E-50.003161550599.8923950.003133.6478083E-43.8527072E-40.007082689618.3836690.00670.0036418260.00384656530.01290159953.35405730.00909
6.75.477277E-65.7861116E-60.00105578182.467970.001052.3473833E-52.4797408E-50.0026747317107.863360.002652.8575645E-43.0187052E-40.006050134520.0421520.005750.00285389270.00301498850.0107815013.57596780.00779
6.83.9950432E-64.2191186E-67.642159E-4181.131657.6E-41.7121502E-51.8081826E-50.002108044116.583580.002092.0843433E-42.2012675E-40.00467914521.2565940.004460.00208238930.0021993580.0083158763.78104690.00613
6.92.95695E-63.1230477E-65.4312136E-4173.907495.4E-41.2672582E-51.3384434E-50.0014833647110.827610.001471.5427776E-41.6294557E-40.003312432220.328460.003150.0015417070.00162848330.0059713993.66684720.00435
7.01.456072E-61.5408239E-62.815404E-4182.720692.8E-46.2402937E-66.60352E-66.8659906E-4103.97476.8E-47.597293E-58.03959E-50.00156027719.407420.001487.594696E-48.03767E-40.00282214353.5111460.00202
7.16.995192E-77.4090326E-71.0074083E-4135.970291.0E-42.997936E-63.1752998E-62.9317438E-492.329672.9E-43.649926E-53.8659273E-56.986338E-418.071576.6E-43.6493264E-43.8659273E-40.00124626023.22370348.6E-4

Owl Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.0320643E-56.636041E-57.3631597E-411.0957126.7E-42.1564208E-42.84377E-40.00193390776.8005070.001650.00262228120.00345771180.00713495262.06348970.003690.025915530.0341423970.0390972461.14512310.00513
6.15.0320643E-56.636041E-57.3631597E-411.0957126.7E-42.1564208E-42.84377E-40.00193390776.8005070.001650.00262228120.00345771180.00713495262.06348970.003690.025915530.0341423970.0390972461.14512310.00513
6.22.4125871E-53.098217E-56.109642E-419.7198665.8E-41.0339249E-41.3277512E-40.001552586611.6933550.001420.00125807660.00161551020.00475043762.94051840.003140.0125097810.0160710980.020331511.26509770.00433
6.31.7433485E-52.2356866E-55.9234415E-426.4949535.7E-47.471279E-59.58125E-50.001455682215.1930290.001369.0924866E-40.00116603010.004112593.52700190.002950.0090553730.0116293250.0157014131.35015680.00412
6.41.7433485E-52.2356866E-55.9234415E-426.4949535.7E-47.471279E-59.58125E-50.001455682215.1930290.001369.0924866E-40.00116603010.004112593.52700190.002950.0090553730.0116293250.0157014131.35015680.00412
6.51.5182742E-51.9430483E-55.894194E-430.3347785.7E-46.506727E-58.32717E-50.001423160117.0905630.001347.919061E-40.00101349670.0038905783.8387670.002880.00789090.0101187970.0140783231.39130390.004
6.66.7271576E-68.548313E-65.285439E-461.8301935.2E-42.8830356E-53.6635145E-50.001266590134.5730860.001233.5095305E-44.4594728E-40.00304478786.82768540.00260.00350399320.0044679260.00805184151.8021430.0036
6.76.682835E-68.480754E-65.284763E-462.314785.2E-42.8640408E-53.6345617E-50.001266300934.840540.001233.4864116E-44.4242368E-40.00304127346.87411980.00260.0034809470.004432870.0080169121.8085150.0036
6.86.5774975E-68.32722E-65.283229E-463.4452935.2E-42.8188972E-53.5687626E-50.001265643735.4644970.001233.4314668E-44.3441588E-40.00303328646.98244860.00260.00342617280.00435304870.0079373781.82340660.0036
6.96.363419E-68.000376E-65.279962E-465.996435.2E-42.727151E-53.4286906E-50.001264244836.8725240.001233.3198006E-44.173687E-40.00301628357.2269040.00260.00331484550.0041830120.0077579951.85464320.00359
7.06.1342453E-67.632552E-65.276286E-469.128725.2E-42.6289357E-53.271056E-50.001262670338.6013070.001233.2002592E-43.9818377E-40.00298715247.50194450.002590.00319565440.0039916780.00754742741.89079080.00357
7.15.842926E-67.1430604E-65.1713944E-472.397465.1E-42.504087E-53.0612788E-50.001230576140.1981050.00123.0482994E-43.7265237E-40.00286172457.6793410.002490.00304412140.00373728180.0071743881.91968080.00345
7.24.77173E-65.359158E-63.3535738E-462.5765083.3E-42.045011E-52.296764E-57.729504E-433.653897.5E-42.4895166E-42.795992E-40.00187915186.7208770.00160.00248672930.0028087470.0049925961.77751710.00219
7.33.0494948E-62.7108347E-61.0271056E-437.888911.0E-41.3069198E-51.1617813E-51.7161596E-414.7717961.6E-41.5910587E-41.4143785E-45.0138694E-43.54492763.6E-40.00158991990.00142334180.00193261591.35780175.1E-4
7.42.7263884E-62.3060104E-65.2305895E-522.682425.0E-51.1684469E-59.882864E-61.09881876E-411.1184231.0E-41.4224913E-41.2031734E-43.6028845E-42.99448512.4E-40.00142158110.00121130120.00154090141.27210433.3E-4
7.52.6090431E-62.1659357E-65.2165826E-524.0846615.0E-51.1181565E-59.282549E-67.92819E-58.5409627.0E-51.3612706E-41.1300927E-43.029878E-42.6810881.9E-40.0013604370.00113808320.00140777591.2369712.7E-4
7.62.3008756E-61.8730968E-63.187304E-517.0162263.0E-59.860858E-68.027534E-64.8027214E-55.98281054.0E-51.20049335E-49.7730925E-52.3771723E-42.43236471.4E-40.0011998459.851726E-40.00119496571.21295062.1E-4
7.71.7184348E-61.3421906E-63.134215E-523.351493.0E-57.3646997E-65.752233E-64.5752004E-57.9537814.0E-58.966153E-57.003123E-51.8002352E-42.5706181.1E-48.962536E-47.08018E-48.5791183E-41.2117091.5E-4
7.88.4612907E-78.408234E-71.0840815E-512.8930931.0E-53.6262625E-63.6035242E-62.3603452E-56.5501022.0E-54.4148852E-54.3872045E-58.387029E-51.91170234.0E-54.414008E-44.440713E-45.0404464E-41.13505346.0E-5
7.92.716738E-73.7693766E-73.7693766E-71.00.01.1643157E-61.6154462E-61.161543E-57.190231.0E-51.4175452E-51.9667892E-54.9667302E-52.52529883.0E-51.4174548E-41.9836401E-42.483541E-41.25201195.0E-5
8.02.1995428E-83.38572E-83.38572E-81.00.09.426611E-81.4510229E-71.4510229E-71.00.01.1476893E-61.7666197E-61.7666197E-61.00.01.14768345E-51.7871007E-51.7871007E-51.00.0

Panamint Valley

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0211835E-53.3984965E-57.539605E-422.185127.2E-41.2947287E-41.4564188E-40.001735410311.9155990.001590.00157519230.00177177730.00513580632.8986750.003370.0156407360.0175821240.0221208951.25814690.00462
6.13.0211835E-53.3984965E-57.539605E-422.185127.2E-41.2947287E-41.4564188E-40.001735410311.9155990.001590.00157519230.00177177730.00513580632.8986750.003370.0156407360.0175821240.0221208951.25814690.00462
6.23.0211835E-53.3984965E-57.539605E-422.185127.2E-41.2947287E-41.4564188E-40.001735410311.9155990.001590.00157519230.00177177730.00513580632.8986750.003370.0156407360.0175821240.0221208951.25814690.00462
6.32.8573924E-53.2103115E-57.5208E-423.4270117.2E-41.2245393E-41.3757768E-40.001717360312.48284150.001580.0014898570.00167374910.00499817542.98621560.003330.014799080.016617140.0210915321.26926360.00455
6.42.8573924E-53.2103115E-57.5208E-423.4270117.2E-41.2245393E-41.3757768E-40.001717360312.48284150.001580.0014898570.00167374910.00499817542.98621560.003330.014799080.016617140.0210915321.26926360.00455
6.52.7468774E-53.0828793E-57.308072E-423.7053477.0E-41.1771801E-41.3211685E-40.001691910812.8061690.001560.00143227450.00160736320.0048721073.03111770.003270.0142307820.0159629770.0203616211.2755530.00447
6.62.6135967E-52.925278E-57.292323E-424.928657.0E-41.1200648E-41.2536318E-40.001685167713.4422860.001560.00136282570.00152525460.0047503283.11444930.003230.0135449820.0151534240.0194867481.28596340.0044
6.72.4498746E-52.7341659E-57.173228E-426.2355256.9E-41.04990395E-41.1717342E-40.00165699314.1413730.001540.00127750840.00142567790.00459115863.22033360.003170.0127018930.0141706690.0184097351.29914370.0043
6.82.2244329E-52.4935984E-56.8491953E-427.4671156.6E-49.532935E-51.06864245E-40.001616702915.1285670.001510.00116001690.00130031750.00437631233.36557250.003080.0115398020.0129320510.0169987721.31446830.00412
6.91.9902658E-52.2290773E-56.222774E-427.9163676.0E-48.529431E-59.552849E-50.001515392815.8632550.001420.00103796350.00116245740.0040590863.4918150.00290.0103312880.0115683340.0153342581.32553730.00381
7.01.8353881E-52.0566635E-56.005547E-429.2004365.8E-47.865712E-58.8139845E-50.001438020816.315220.001359.5722964E-40.0010725920.00384961023.58907220.002780.0095311680.0106784380.0142894611.33816030.00365
7.11.7667631E-51.9773011E-55.6976214E-428.8151425.5E-47.571623E-58.473882E-50.001384628716.3399560.00139.2145515E-40.00103122450.00372844033.61554670.00270.0091764370.0102686260.0137722741.34119940.00354
7.21.6381597E-51.8158586E-54.8815005E-426.8826034.7E-47.020495E-57.782029E-50.001267727716.2904530.001198.544101E-49.4706746E-40.00336477563.55283620.002420.0085113250.0094343420.0125843411.33388640.00318
7.31.4520491E-51.596705E-54.1596068E-426.051194.0E-46.222919E-56.842852E-50.001048361415.3205359.8E-47.57377E-48.3281496E-40.00280117433.36350150.001970.00754800950.0082993840.0108678891.30948140.00259
7.41.2852287E-51.4145931E-54.1414026E-429.2762814.0E-45.5080065E-56.06241E-50.001040564717.1642079.8E-46.7039346E-47.378643E-40.00268642533.64081240.001950.00668374640.00735639830.00989756551.34543630.00256
7.51.1637851E-51.28372185E-54.1283207E-432.1589974.0E-44.987555E-55.501558E-50.001034961718.8121579.8E-46.070656E-46.696245E-40.00261831873.91012980.001950.0060540990.00667828370.0092211881.3807720.00256
7.63.0068115E-63.3332262E-62.0333256E-461.0017282.0E-41.2886271E-51.4285218E-54.642788E-432.5006454.5E-41.5687906E-41.7391593E-40.00108375766.2315039.1E-40.00156768350.00173867830.0029565571.70046230.00122

Garlock (East)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5092507E-56.290799E-55.4287777E-48.6297124.8E-41.9323928E-42.695803E-40.00141927035.264740.001150.00235014970.00327764680.0057495181.75416040.002480.0232545040.0323444940.0356248471.10141920.00339
6.14.5092507E-56.290799E-55.4287777E-48.6297124.8E-41.9323928E-42.695803E-40.00141927035.264740.001150.00235014970.00327764680.0057495181.75416040.002480.0232545040.0323444940.0356248471.10141920.00339
6.22.6674514E-53.451465E-54.8449912E-414.0374924.5E-41.1431433E-41.4791173E-40.00123775058.368170.001090.00139088840.00179937090.00406528642.2592820.002270.013822150.0178633180.0208686551.16824080.00306
6.32.6674514E-53.451465E-54.8449912E-414.0374924.5E-41.1431433E-41.4791173E-40.00123775058.368170.001090.00139088840.00179937090.00406528642.2592820.002270.013822150.0178633180.0208686551.16824080.00306
6.42.5312667E-53.2343483E-54.7232924E-414.6035384.4E-41.0847834E-41.3860772E-40.0012184588.7906930.001080.00131992370.00168627220.0039324782.33205410.002250.0131211120.0167641860.0197433921.17771240.00303
6.52.5312667E-53.2343483E-54.7232924E-414.6035384.4E-41.0847834E-41.3860772E-40.0012184588.7906930.001080.00131992370.00168627220.0039324782.33205410.002250.0131211120.0167641860.0197433921.17771240.00303
6.62.246556E-52.8137678E-54.681253E-416.6369554.4E-49.627742E-51.20584606E-40.00119045569.8723680.001070.00117154720.00146715240.0036439542.48369150.002180.0116539010.0146049340.0175217041.19971120.00296
6.72.2241198E-52.7807404E-54.6779518E-416.8226834.4E-49.531594E-51.1916928E-40.00118904189.9777550.001070.00115985380.00144994390.0036267832.50132660.002180.0115381870.0144348240.0173520971.20209970.00296
6.81.9528685E-52.3901322E-54.5389106E-418.9902064.3E-48.369167E-51.0243033E-40.001122325910.9569680.001020.00101846980.00124639540.0033637532.69878480.002120.0101381470.0124380750.0152723781.22787310.00287
6.91.3318621E-51.5200952E-54.3519455E-428.6294294.2E-45.7078556E-56.514534E-50.001035082215.8888139.7E-46.9470983E-47.928616E-40.00283124413.57091860.002040.00692542040.0079409630.0106790461.34480490.00276
7.01.1760853E-51.3109707E-54.331042E-433.036914.2E-45.0402683E-55.6183275E-50.001026128818.2639549.7E-46.134799E-46.838217E-40.00272242683.98119380.002040.00611789060.0068574920.0095886341.39827120.00275
7.11.0064758E-51.0904764E-54.109004E-437.6808134.0E-44.3133965E-54.6733887E-59.866899E-421.1129449.4E-45.2502943E-45.6884E-40.0025577084.49635740.001990.0052379070.0057137980.0083884281.46810020.00269
7.29.768808E-61.0500609E-54.004965E-438.1403123.9E-44.186565E-54.5001856E-59.7496E-421.6648859.3E-45.095951E-45.477633E-40.00251668444.5944740.001970.00508428040.00550420950.0081595141.48241330.00267
7.39.344516E-69.946213E-63.7994253E-438.199723.7E-44.004731E-54.262595E-59.2258846E-421.6438228.8E-44.8746695E-45.188508E-40.00233790654.5059320.001820.00486399050.0052158810.00765310231.46726930.00245
7.49.023491E-69.492341E-63.294893E-434.711073.2E-43.867153E-54.0680847E-58.206491E-420.1728637.8E-44.7072413E-44.951801E-40.00209438784.22954750.00160.0046972830.00497934270.00710868651.42763570.00214
7.57.081253E-67.089067E-61.7708786E-424.980421.7E-43.0347876E-53.0381365E-54.2036953E-413.8364263.9E-43.6942272E-43.6983108E-40.00116953523.16234978.0E-40.0036880920.00372535480.00479136871.28615090.00107
7.66.116396E-65.960529E-68.5960055E-514.4215488.0E-52.6212863E-52.5544876E-52.2553977E-48.8291592.0E-43.1909486E-43.1096474E-47.40831E-42.38236364.3E-40.00318637070.0031367760.00371495661.18432325.8E-4
7.74.797145E-64.758607E-62.4758512E-55.2028912.0E-52.055903E-52.039387E-56.0393057E-52.96133354.0E-52.5027743E-42.4826723E-43.7823495E-41.52349941.3E-40.00249995760.0025102940.0027097921.0794722.0E-4
7.83.4028885E-63.9797173E-62.3979637E-56.02546262.0E-51.4583726E-51.7055821E-54.705531E-52.75890043.0E-51.775424E-42.076349E-42.8761828E-41.38521178.0E-50.00177400620.002102060.00224176581.06646131.4E-4
7.92.5928412E-63.3735669E-63.3735669E-61.00.01.1112129E-51.4458064E-52.4457919E-51.69164551.0E-51.3528178E-41.7601276E-42.2600396E-41.28402035.0E-50.00135199450.00178196970.00187180921.05041599.0E-5
8.01.3743648E-61.6739597E-61.6739597E-61.00.05.8901214E-67.1740933E-67.1740933E-61.00.07.1709874E-58.734111E-58.734111E-51.00.07.1686733E-48.841624E-49.0414466E-41.02260032.0E-5
8.13.6733252E-73.1497066E-73.1497066E-71.00.01.5742813E-61.3498736E-61.3498736E-61.00.01.9166706E-51.6434604E-51.6434604E-51.00.01.9165053E-41.6648426E-41.6648426E-41.00.0

Hunter Mountain-Saline Valley

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5103672E-55.4570846E-54.8454737E-48.8792354.3E-41.9328714E-42.3385457E-40.00125361615.36066530.001020.0023507310.00284363890.00485789451.70833740.002020.0232601950.028092290.0306386871.0906440.00262
6.14.5103672E-55.4570846E-54.8454737E-48.8792354.3E-41.9328714E-42.3385457E-40.00125361615.36066530.001020.0023507310.00284363890.00485789451.70833740.002020.0232601950.028092290.0306386871.0906440.00262
6.23.9363465E-54.7064215E-54.7704397E-410.13602354.3E-41.6868966E-42.0168893E-40.00122148326.0562730.001020.0020518620.00245293070.0044679761.82148470.002020.0203301960.0242737010.0268301051.10531570.00262
6.33.9363465E-54.7064215E-54.7704397E-410.13602354.3E-41.6868966E-42.0168893E-40.00122148326.0562730.001020.0020518620.00245293070.0044679761.82148470.002020.0203301960.0242737010.0268301051.10531570.00262
6.43.2311684E-53.7952268E-54.6793596E-412.3295924.3E-41.384713E-41.6264283E-40.00118247697.2703910.001020.00168458430.00197844670.003984472.01393870.002010.0167187140.0196164570.0221752561.13044150.00261
6.53.2311684E-53.7952268E-54.6793596E-412.3295924.3E-41.384713E-41.6264283E-40.00118247697.2703910.001020.00168458430.00197844670.003984472.01393870.002010.0167187140.0196164570.0221752561.13044150.00261
6.62.9305844E-53.4182984E-54.641683E-413.5789284.3E-41.2559042E-41.4649061E-40.00116634127.96188350.001020.00152799090.00178212580.00378854362.12585640.002010.0151752720.0176855960.0202494381.14496770.00261
6.72.7826512E-53.2345313E-54.623314E-414.29361254.3E-41.19251024E-41.3861575E-40.00115847448.3574510.001020.00145091420.00168640060.0036930112.18987750.002010.0144147760.016743060.019309361.15327550.00261
6.82.3389874E-52.6867581E-54.3685656E-416.2596174.1E-41.0023846E-41.15141964E-40.00111502689.683930.0010.001219720.00140099930.00336823942.40416930.001970.012130470.01392721850.0164614251.18196070.00257
6.92.069209E-52.3570803E-54.3356113E-418.3939914.1E-48.867737E-51.0101402E-40.00110091310.8986160.0010.00107911230.00122918790.00319676642.60071420.001970.0107388710.0122282570.014766831.20759890.00257
7.01.7462342E-51.9634203E-54.1962636E-421.3722134.0E-47.483646E-58.4144E-50.001064061512.6457219.8E-49.1075303E-40.00102399430.00297199752.90235760.001950.0090702950.01019572650.0127296251.24852560.00256
7.11.4807709E-51.644232E-54.1643574E-425.3270664.0E-46.3460066E-57.046528E-50.001050396214.9065799.8E-47.723524E-48.5759355E-40.00280592123.27185440.001950.0076967350.008545160.0110832841.29702470.00256
7.21.4180048E-51.5698888E-54.156926E-426.479114.0E-46.077022E-56.727931E-50.001047213315.5651639.8E-47.396263E-48.1883394E-40.00276723713.37948510.001950.00737169430.0081604520.0106995621.3111480.00256
7.31.3730402E-51.5172614E-54.1516655E-427.3628884.0E-45.8843252E-56.502396E-50.001044960216.0703879.8E-47.161811E-47.9139526E-40.0027398523.46205260.001950.0071387740.0078880350.0104278411.32198210.00256
7.41.2810095E-51.4109794E-54.1410414E-429.3487014.0E-45.489925E-56.0469236E-50.0010404117.2056089.8E-46.681934E-47.359801E-40.0026845453.64757820.001950.0066618780.0073376540.0098788691.34632540.00256
7.51.1595659E-51.2801082E-54.1279595E-432.246964.0E-44.9694736E-55.4860713E-50.00103480718.862449.8E-46.0486543E-46.677402E-40.0026164383.91834760.001950.0060322170.0066595270.0092024781.38185170.00256
7.62.997694E-63.3253514E-62.0332469E-461.1438182.0E-41.28471975E-51.4251469E-54.6424507E-432.575244.5E-41.564034E-41.735051E-40.00108334726.24389279.1E-40.00156293370.00173456620.002952451.70212590.00122

Garlock (West)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.5181727E-52.5201914E-53.0519484E-412.1099872.8E-41.0791722E-41.08003755E-47.6793245E-47.1102396.6E-40.00131310020.00131415590.00268235552.04112430.001370.0130536830.013144240.0149107121.13439130.00179
6.12.5077732E-52.5102956E-53.0509592E-412.1537852.8E-41.0747157E-41.07579675E-47.675087E-47.1343286.6E-40.0013076810.0013089990.00267720572.04523130.001370.0130001260.0130932810.0148598431.13492130.00179
6.22.494612E-52.4984645E-53.0497764E-412.2066032.8E-41.0690756E-41.0707267E-47.67002E-47.1633786.6E-40.00130082240.00130283370.00267104872.0501840.001370.0129323410.0130323510.0147990231.13556050.00179
6.32.4733758E-52.4804003E-53.0479705E-412.288222.8E-41.0599751E-41.0629856E-47.662284E-47.20826676.6E-40.00128975560.00129342010.0026616482.05783720.001370.0128229570.0129393150.0147061541.1365480.00179
6.42.3237335E-52.3183304E-53.031768E-413.0773782.8E-49.958477E-59.9353245E-57.592877E-47.6423046.6E-40.00121177020.00120895730.0025773012.13183780.001370.0120518380.012104160.0138724941.1460930.00179
6.52.2732203E-52.299767E-53.0299122E-413.1748672.8E-49.742009E-59.8557735E-57.584927E-47.69592246.6E-40.00118544420.00119928270.00256763962.14097950.001370.0117914030.0120084640.0137769681.14727150.00179
6.62.1319436E-52.1777872E-53.0177177E-413.8568082.8E-49.136581E-59.333041E-57.5326883E-48.0709916.6E-40.0011118110.00113570770.00250415182.20492630.001370.0110626490.011379370.0131491.15551220.00179
6.71.970802E-52.039774E-53.0039204E-414.726732.8E-48.446021E-58.741597E-57.4735825E-48.5494486.6E-40.0010278180.00106377150.00243231422.28650070.001370.0102307710.0106670940.0124381.16601570.00179
6.81.8744462E-51.9905396E-52.998998E-415.0662572.8E-48.033094E-58.530606E-57.4524974E-48.7361886.6E-49.775903E-40.00103810810.00240668582.31833840.001370.0097330090.0104128970.0121842581.17011230.00179
6.91.7559682E-51.8957733E-52.9895242E-415.7694192.8E-47.5253614E-58.124491E-57.4119127E-49.1229276.6E-49.158276E-49.887093E-40.00235735492.3842750.001370.00912062450.0099234270.0116956641.17859130.00179
7.01.6794445E-51.8220519E-52.9821543E-416.3670122.8E-47.197421E-57.8085606E-57.380341E-49.4516026.6E-48.759337E-49.5027895E-40.00231897712.4403120.001370.0087248910.0095423310.011315251.18579520.00179
7.11.6337795E-51.7721295E-52.9771632E-416.799922.8E-47.0017246E-57.5946205E-57.3589606E-49.6897026.6E-48.521265E-49.242542E-40.0022929882.48090620.001370.0084886640.00928408650.0110574681.1910130.00179
7.21.5780008E-51.716991E-52.971651E-417.3073182.8E-46.762685E-57.358326E-57.335347E-49.9687716.6E-48.2304585E-48.9550926E-40.00226428242.52848580.001370.0082000420.0089989120.0107728041.19712290.00179
7.31.5058865E-51.6622957E-52.966183E-417.8438952.8E-46.45364E-57.12393E-57.311923E-410.2638886.6E-47.854473E-48.669946E-40.00223580682.57880140.001370.007826770.008715590.010489991.20358910.00179
7.41.4887923E-51.6458913E-52.964543E-418.011782.8E-46.380382E-57.05363E-57.3048973E-410.3562246.6E-47.7653467E-48.584423E-40.00222726632.5945440.001370.00773826750.0086304170.0104049691.2056160.00179
7.51.4509299E-51.6050892E-52.6604687E-416.5752092.5E-46.218123E-56.8787725E-56.387485E-49.2857925.7E-47.567935E-48.3716994E-40.0020461572.44413570.001210.00754221340.0084187570.009995371.1872740.00159
7.61.2756717E-51.40547745E-51.4405294E-410.2493961.3E-45.4670498E-56.023336E-53.8021407E-46.31235073.2E-46.6541E-47.3309505E-40.00148254532.02230987.5E-40.0066342110.007383740.008366431.13308849.9E-4
7.71.0328985E-51.1464304E-56.146373E-55.3613145.0E-54.4266326E-54.913181E-51.7912542E-43.64581371.3E-45.388092E-45.98016E-49.777887E-41.63505453.8E-40.00537504670.00604061220.00654753161.08391865.1E-4
7.87.0306583E-68.902713E-63.8902446E-54.36972953.0E-53.0131043E-53.815393E-51.281505E-43.3587769.0E-53.667837E-44.6442522E-46.84323E-41.47348382.2E-40.0036617890.0046970.0050154971.06780863.2E-4
7.94.060633E-65.467275E-65.467275E-61.00.01.7402595E-52.3430968E-57.3429794E-53.1338785.0E-52.11856E-42.852348E-44.1519772E-41.45563481.3E-40.00211654140.00288524040.00309463431.07257432.1E-4
8.01.6729537E-62.0781215E-62.0781215E-61.00.07.169782E-68.906205E-68.906205E-61.00.08.7288594E-51.0842768E-41.184266E-41.09221731.0E-58.7254314E-40.00109730680.00114725191.04551615.0E-5
8.13.6733252E-73.1497066E-73.1497066E-71.00.01.5742813E-61.3498736E-61.3498736E-61.00.01.9166706E-51.6434604E-51.6434604E-51.00.01.9165053E-41.6648426E-41.6648426E-41.00.0

Blackwater

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0708583E-53.309619E-52.0309056E-46.1363731.7E-41.3160157E-41.4183388E-46.3176436E-44.4542564.9E-40.00160107140.00172559630.0025940951.50330358.7E-40.0158958510.0171358080.0184135331.07456460.0013
6.13.0708583E-53.309619E-52.0309056E-46.1363731.7E-41.3160157E-41.4183388E-46.3176436E-44.4542564.9E-40.00160107140.00172559630.0025940951.50330358.7E-40.0158958510.0171358080.0184135331.07456460.0013
6.21.1707779E-51.2545242E-59.254424E-57.376848.0E-55.017523E-55.3764266E-52.9375136E-45.46369172.4E-46.107122E-46.5439293E-40.00102415091.56503953.7E-40.0060903660.0065256310.0070422381.07916585.2E-4
6.31.1707779E-51.2545242E-59.254424E-57.376848.0E-55.017523E-55.3764266E-52.9375136E-45.46369172.4E-46.107122E-46.5439293E-40.00102415091.56503953.7E-40.0060903660.0065256310.0070422381.07916585.2E-4
6.47.929244E-68.480176E-68.84795E-510.4336868.0E-53.3982033E-53.6343128E-51.8633768E-45.12717771.5E-44.136527E-44.4239179E-46.7229004E-41.51967112.3E-40.00412883560.00441551670.00473410361.07215173.2E-4
6.55.8832115E-66.286048E-66.628567E-510.5448886.0E-52.521352E-52.6939942E-51.3693697E-45.08304641.1E-43.0693135E-43.2794697E-44.978912E-41.51820651.7E-40.00306507780.00327488340.00351409751.0730452.4E-4
6.65.8832115E-66.286048E-66.628567E-510.5448886.0E-52.521352E-52.6939942E-51.3693697E-45.08304641.1E-43.0693135E-43.2794697E-44.978912E-41.51820651.7E-40.00306507780.00327488340.00351409751.0730452.4E-4
6.73.0715053E-63.281496E-62.3281431E-57.09476142.0E-51.3163528E-51.4063485E-56.4062784E-54.55525645.0E-51.6025416E-41.7121063E-42.3120036E-41.35038556.0E-50.00160138650.00171090190.00180074791.05251389.0E-5
6.82.2722281E-62.4287758E-62.2428727E-59.2345812.0E-59.738084E-61.0409003E-55.0408587E-54.84278734.0E-51.1855473E-41.2672316E-41.7671683E-41.39451095.0E-50.0011849150.00126659920.00133651051.0551967.0E-5
6.99.952399E-71.0653588E-61.0653588E-61.00.04.265307E-64.5658185E-64.5658185E-61.00.05.1928873E-55.5587938E-55.5587938E-51.00.05.191674E-45.5579096E-45.5579096E-41.00.0
7.04.7385504E-75.0756074E-75.0756074E-71.00.02.0308057E-62.1752603E-62.1752603E-61.00.02.4724779E-52.6483794E-52.6483794E-51.00.02.4722028E-42.6483793E-42.6483793E-41.00.0

Ash Hill

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.1545662E-52.3194681E-52.731889E-411.7780832.5E-49.2335285E-59.9402445E-55.593567E-45.6271934.6E-40.00112360230.00120963280.00204861681.69358568.4E-40.0111793810.012038470.0131449881.09191510.00112
6.12.1545662E-52.3194681E-52.731889E-411.7780832.5E-49.2335285E-59.9402445E-55.593567E-45.6271934.6E-40.00112360230.00120963280.00204861681.69358568.4E-40.0111793810.012038470.0131449881.09191510.00112
6.22.1545662E-52.3194681E-52.731889E-411.7780832.5E-49.2335285E-59.9402445E-55.593567E-45.6271934.6E-40.00112360230.00120963280.00204861681.69358568.4E-40.0111793810.012038470.0131449881.09191510.00112
6.31.0025529E-51.0747037E-51.0074607E-49.3743119.0E-54.2965847E-54.605799E-52.0605062E-44.47372151.6E-45.229836E-45.60625E-48.704512E-41.55264433.1E-40.0052175450.00559341950.00600112651.07289044.1E-4
6.41.0025529E-51.0747037E-51.0074607E-49.3743119.0E-54.2965847E-54.605799E-52.0605062E-44.47372151.6E-45.229836E-45.60625E-48.704512E-41.55264433.1E-40.0052175450.00559341950.00600112651.07289044.1E-4
6.56.9617327E-67.456704E-63.745648E-55.02319533.0E-52.9835655E-53.1956963E-51.119544E-43.50328688.0E-53.6318856E-43.8901521E-45.589491E-41.43683091.7E-40.00362595570.00388419670.00410334251.05641972.2E-4
6.64.9919777E-65.346739E-61.5346684E-52.8702891.0E-52.1394015E-52.2914432E-58.291306E-53.61837726.0E-52.60441E-42.789542E-44.0891793E-41.46589641.3E-40.00260135970.00278669880.0029462531.05725561.6E-4
6.73.6630722E-63.9246606E-63.9246606E-61.00.01.5698786E-51.6819899E-55.6819226E-53.37809564.0E-51.9111596E-42.0476876E-43.0474828E-41.48825571.0E-40.00190951680.0020463640.00217609781.06339731.3E-4
6.82.5599613E-62.7449514E-62.7449514E-61.00.01.0971216E-51.1764052E-55.176358E-54.4001494.0E-51.3356637E-41.4322287E-42.3320998E-41.62830139.0E-50.00133486130.00143179060.00154163321.07671691.1E-4
6.91.7684905E-61.896889E-61.896889E-61.00.07.579223E-68.129524E-63.812928E-54.69022273.0E-59.2273134E-59.8976954E-51.5897102E-41.60614176.0E-59.223483E-49.897696E-40.00104971021.06056026.0E-5

Gravel Hills-Harper Lk

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0679566E-53.146516E-51.1146264E-43.54241478.0E-51.3147724E-41.3484493E-43.3481797E-42.4829852.0E-40.00159955990.00164071770.00212991381.29815984.9E-40.0158809520.0163076130.01691751.0373996.2E-4
6.13.0679566E-53.146516E-51.1146264E-43.54241478.0E-51.3147724E-41.3484493E-43.3481797E-42.4829852.0E-40.00159955990.00164071770.00212991381.29815984.9E-40.0158809520.0163076130.01691751.0373996.2E-4
6.21.514536E-51.363538E-53.3635108E-52.46675252.0E-56.490707E-55.84361E-58.8434346E-51.51335133.0E-57.8995706E-47.112392E-47.612036E-41.07024985.0E-50.0078715480.00709083020.0071901211.01400271.0E-4
6.31.514536E-51.363538E-53.3635108E-52.46675252.0E-56.490707E-55.84361E-58.8434346E-51.51335133.0E-57.8995706E-47.112392E-47.612036E-41.07024985.0E-50.0078715480.00709083020.0071901211.01400271.0E-4
6.41.2532521E-51.0689813E-52.0689706E-51.935461.0E-55.37097E-54.5812714E-55.5812256E-51.21827011.0E-56.537194E-45.576329E-45.876162E-41.05376893.0E-50.00651799650.00556292660.0056325371.01251337.0E-5
6.51.1094058E-59.083761E-61.908367E-52.10085561.0E-54.7545094E-53.8929848E-54.8929458E-51.25686231.0E-55.787078E-44.7387183E-45.038576E-41.06327823.0E-50.00577203040.00472902130.0047688321.00841844.0E-5
6.69.688328E-67.531771E-61.7531696E-52.3276991.0E-54.1520743E-53.2278636E-54.2278312E-51.30979241.0E-55.053978E-43.9292406E-44.2291227E-41.07632063.0E-50.00504249940.003922550.00395243241.00761813.0E-5
6.78.974824E-66.7494793E-61.674941E-52.48158571.0E-53.8462964E-52.8926032E-53.892574E-51.34569941.0E-54.6818596E-43.521197E-43.8210917E-41.08516823.0E-50.0046720080.00351583890.00354573341.00850283.0E-5
6.87.4780046E-65.1162397E-65.1162397E-61.00.03.20482E-52.1926564E-52.1926564E-51.00.03.9011694E-42.6692462E-42.7692196E-41.03745381.0E-50.00389432810.00266617820.00267615171.00374071.0E-5
6.96.3409307E-63.9075294E-63.9075294E-61.00.02.7175134E-51.6746453E-51.6746453E-51.00.03.3080703E-42.0386997E-42.0386997E-41.00.00.00330315020.00203692770.00203692771.00.0
7.05.1239335E-62.605876E-62.605876E-61.00.02.195953E-51.1167994E-51.1167994E-51.00.02.6732447E-41.359621E-41.359621E-41.00.00.00267003130.00135881430.00135881431.00.0
7.14.438899E-62.0984924E-62.0984924E-61.00.01.9023713E-58.993509E-68.993509E-61.00.02.315891E-41.0949069E-41.0949069E-41.00.00.0023134790.00109438940.00109438941.00.0
7.23.50367E-61.2615886E-61.2615886E-61.00.01.5015643E-55.4067978E-65.4067978E-61.00.01.8280011E-46.582586E-56.582586E-51.00.00.00182649826.5807183E-46.5807183E-41.00.0
7.32.561638E-67.1188435E-77.1188435E-71.00.01.0978401E-53.0509295E-63.0509295E-61.00.01.3365384E-43.7144455E-53.7144455E-51.00.00.00133573493.7138443E-43.7138443E-41.00.0
7.42.0368864E-65.3046045E-75.3046045E-71.00.08.729483E-62.2734E-62.2734E-61.00.01.06276275E-42.7678298E-52.7678298E-51.00.00.00106225472.7674905E-42.7674905E-41.00.0
7.51.1681728E-63.6029326E-73.6029326E-71.00.05.0064455E-61.544113E-61.544113E-61.00.06.0951766E-51.879942E-51.879942E-51.00.06.093505E-41.8797876E-41.8797876E-41.00.0
7.61.3154387E-77.119745E-87.119745E-81.00.05.6375933E-73.051319E-73.051319E-71.00.06.863748E-63.7149762E-63.7149762E-61.00.06.863536E-53.7149297E-53.7149297E-51.00.0

San Andreas (Mojave N)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.877682E-51.9410432E-42.740888E-41.41206968.0E-54.2326056E-48.3161064E-40.00102145261.22828231.9E-40.00514102770.0100779830.0105531451.04714864.8E-40.050237080.0983610150.0989200251.00568336.2E-4
6.19.877682E-51.9410432E-42.740888E-41.41206968.0E-54.2326056E-48.3161064E-40.00102145261.22828231.9E-40.00514102770.0100779830.0105531451.04714864.8E-40.050237080.0983610150.0989200251.00568336.2E-4
6.29.877682E-51.9410432E-42.740888E-41.41206968.0E-54.2326056E-48.3161064E-40.00102145261.22828231.9E-40.00514102770.0100779830.0105531451.04714864.8E-40.050237080.0983610150.0989200251.00568336.2E-4
6.39.877682E-51.9410432E-42.740888E-41.41206968.0E-54.2326056E-48.3161064E-40.00102145261.22828231.9E-40.00514102770.0100779830.0105531451.04714864.8E-40.050237080.0983610150.0989200251.00568336.2E-4
6.49.877682E-51.9410432E-42.740888E-41.41206968.0E-54.2326056E-48.3161064E-40.00102145261.22828231.9E-40.00514102770.0100779830.0105531451.04714864.8E-40.050237080.0983610150.0989200251.00568336.2E-4
6.59.861474E-51.9384196E-42.7382644E-41.41262738.0E-54.2256617E-48.3048694E-40.00102032921.22859141.9E-40.00513261320.0100644290.0105395981.04721274.8E-40.0501567460.098238560.098797651.00569126.2E-4
6.69.861474E-51.9384196E-42.7382644E-41.41262738.0E-54.2256617E-48.3048694E-40.00102032921.22859141.9E-40.00513261320.0100644290.0105395981.04721274.8E-40.0501567460.098238560.098797651.00569126.2E-4
6.79.8552715E-51.9374148E-42.7372598E-41.41284138.0E-54.223004E-48.300566E-40.00101989891.228711.9E-40.00512939270.01005923750.0105344091.04723734.8E-40.0501259980.0981917750.09875091.00569426.2E-4
6.89.8464974E-51.9359306E-42.7357758E-41.41315798.0E-54.219245E-48.294209E-40.00101926341.22888551.9E-40.00512483760.010051570.0105267451.04727384.8E-40.050082510.098122130.0986812861.00569876.2E-4
6.99.825824E-51.9327311E-42.7325764E-41.41384218.0E-54.2103877E-48.2805054E-40.00101789321.22926461.9E-40.00511410460.0100350390.0105102221.04735244.8E-40.0499800220.097971370.098530631.00570836.2E-4
7.09.781462E-51.9258665E-42.7257125E-41.41531748.0E-54.1913814E-48.251105E-40.00101495371.23008221.9E-40.0050910730.0099995730.0104747731.04752214.8E-40.049760070.097647580.0982070341.00572936.2E-4
7.19.7121134E-51.9160361E-42.715883E-41.41744868.0E-54.1616702E-48.2090014E-40.00101074411.23126331.9E-40.0050550680.0099487810.0104240061.04776724.8E-40.049416130.097183970.097743711.00575966.2E-4
7.29.663819E-51.9091136E-42.708961E-41.41896268.0E-54.1409794E-48.179352E-40.00100777971.23210231.9E-40.00502999360.0099130120.0103882541.04794124.8E-40.0491765370.096857060.097417011.00578126.2E-4
7.39.6277574E-51.9043636E-42.7042112E-41.42000788.0E-54.125529E-48.1590074E-40.00100574571.23268151.9E-40.00501126940.0098884680.0103637211.04806144.8E-40.048997590.096630440.097190531.00579626.2E-4
7.49.593308E-51.8983395E-42.6981876E-41.4213418.0E-54.1107697E-48.133206E-40.00100316611.23342031.9E-40.00499338240.009857340.0103326081.04821474.8E-40.048826610.096348740.096909011.00581496.2E-4
7.59.561707E-51.892946E-42.6927947E-41.42254168.0E-54.0972308E-48.1101054E-40.00100085641.23408571.9E-40.00497697430.0098294680.010304751.04835274.8E-40.0486697440.096094950.0966553761.0058326.2E-4
7.69.418194E-51.858169E-42.6580205E-41.43045148.0E-54.0357444E-47.961153E-49.75972E-41.22591791.8E-40.0049024540.0096497390.0101152031.0482364.7E-40.0479570250.0944759850.0950283561.00584666.1E-4
7.78.202141E-51.6029968E-42.2029007E-41.3742396.0E-53.51473E-46.868178E-48.2672166E-41.20369861.4E-40.004270790.0083300020.0087167541.04642873.9E-40.041896390.082269860.082747091.00580065.2E-4
7.87.2859846E-51.452426E-41.7523824E-41.2065213.0E-53.1221908E-46.223198E-47.122638E-41.14453029.0E-50.0037946430.0075504630.0077688021.02891732.2E-40.0373049750.0747594460.0750555251.00396043.2E-4
7.95.3874453E-51.0051061E-41.0051061E-41.00.02.3087008E-44.3068864E-44.806671E-41.11604315.0E-50.00280722020.0052310380.00536035841.02472161.3E-40.027720220.0524493870.0526483731.00379382.1E-4
8.03.468538E-55.4289703E-55.4289703E-51.00.01.4864317E-42.3264941E-42.3264941E-41.00.00.00180822830.00282882920.00283880111.0035251.0E-50.0179358530.0289617310.0290102831.00167645.0E-5
8.11.9152367E-51.9414629E-51.9414629E-51.00.08.207899E-58.3202896E-58.3202896E-51.00.09.988535E-40.00101252520.00101252521.00.00.0099437570.0108625430.0108625431.00.0
8.28.643924E-65.478665E-65.478665E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3479783E-52.3479783E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.8582895E-42.8582895E-41.00.00.00450013950.00325084690.00325084691.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6647797E-77.6647797E-71.00.08.498917E-63.2849016E-63.2849016E-61.00.01.034694E-43.999296E-53.999296E-51.00.00.00103421244.7228087E-44.7228087E-41.00.0

San Andreas (Mojave S)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.1064058E-46.7471585E-47.4466865E-41.10367747.0E-50.00133063760.00288856330.0030481011.05523091.6E-40.0160806050.034570210.0349951.01228774.4E-40.14965490.28665140.287058031.00141855.7E-4
6.13.1064058E-46.7471585E-47.4466865E-41.10367747.0E-50.00133063760.00288856330.0030481011.05523091.6E-40.0160806050.034570210.0349951.01228774.4E-40.14965490.28665140.287058031.00141855.7E-4
6.23.1064058E-46.7471585E-47.4466865E-41.10367747.0E-50.00133063760.00288856330.0030481011.05523091.6E-40.0160806050.034570210.0349951.01228774.4E-40.14965490.28665140.287058031.00141855.7E-4
6.33.1064058E-46.7471585E-47.4466865E-41.10367747.0E-50.00133063760.00288856330.0030481011.05523091.6E-40.0160806050.034570210.0349951.01228774.4E-40.14965490.28665140.287058031.00141855.7E-4
6.41.9872203E-44.31896E-45.018658E-41.1620067.0E-58.5138786E-40.00184969810.00200940231.08634051.6E-40.0103164780.022293670.0226945281.01798084.1E-40.0985048560.197056070.197489661.00220045.4E-4
6.51.291105E-42.8762486E-43.376105E-41.17378765.0E-55.5321335E-40.00123209840.00137192591.11348721.4E-40.0067145920.0148984480.0152432331.02314233.5E-40.0651529650.1381180.138523091.00293294.7E-4
6.61.291105E-42.8762486E-43.376105E-41.17378765.0E-55.5321335E-40.00123209840.00137192591.11348721.4E-40.0067145920.0148984480.0152432331.02314233.5E-40.0651529650.1381180.138523091.00293294.7E-4
6.71.08001186E-42.4343564E-42.9342348E-41.20534315.0E-54.6278012E-40.00104287910.0011827331.13410381.4E-40.00561980160.0126234320.0129690131.02737623.5E-40.0547979060.1192281840.1196421461.0034724.7E-4
6.81.0624356E-42.3861213E-42.8860022E-41.20949515.0E-54.5525006E-40.00102222320.00115209031.12704381.3E-40.00552859250.0123748220.0127106141.02713513.4E-40.0539305660.1171725240.1175786261.00346594.6E-4
6.91.0393785E-42.3231508E-42.8230346E-41.21517495.0E-54.4537184E-49.952566E-40.00112512721.13048961.3E-40.00540892870.0120501760.0123860791.02787533.4E-40.052791560.114468280.114875621.00355864.6E-4
7.01.0155622E-42.2601044E-42.7599913E-41.22117885.0E-54.3516833E-49.68257E-40.00109813121.13413191.3E-40.0052853110.0117250350.0120610481.02865783.4E-40.051613610.111724330.1121329441.00365724.6E-4
7.19.885595E-52.188942E-42.6888325E-41.22837095.0E-54.2359953E-49.3778106E-40.00105766851.12784161.2E-40.00514513530.0113579120.0116841641.02872473.3E-40.050276290.1086050.109006131.00369354.5E-4
7.29.6411415E-52.1252372E-42.625131E-41.23521785.0E-54.1312634E-49.104983E-40.0010303891.1316761.2E-40.0050182190.0110291540.0113555151.02959073.3E-40.0490640070.105795920.106198311.00380354.5E-4
7.39.1180635E-51.9480525E-42.4479552E-41.25661665.0E-53.907156E-48.3461264E-49.545125E-41.14365921.2E-40.0047465910.0101141780.0104309411.03131883.2E-40.0464647860.097989970.0983868541.00405034.4E-4
7.48.887388E-51.8729005E-42.3728069E-41.26691565.0E-53.8083247E-48.024248E-49.223285E-41.14942671.2E-40.00462678170.00972585750.0100427451.03258193.2E-40.0453162860.09462560.095023961.00420994.4E-4
7.58.6750515E-51.8060463E-42.3059561E-41.27679785.0E-53.7173493E-47.7379035E-48.936975E-41.15496081.2E-40.0045164840.0093802880.0096972861.0337943.2E-40.044257870.091589090.0919887951.0043644.4E-4
7.68.453092E-51.7447997E-42.2447124E-41.28651585.0E-53.6222505E-47.4755703E-48.674673E-41.16040291.2E-40.00440117530.00906360.0093806991.0349863.2E-40.043150240.088746760.089147711.00451794.4E-4
7.78.259102E-51.6970029E-42.196918E-41.29458715.0E-53.539135E-47.270843E-48.46997E-41.16492271.2E-40.0043003860.0088163890.0091236561.03485183.1E-40.0421811340.086497030.086889841.00454134.3E-4
7.87.444844E-51.5291499E-41.829104E-41.19615753.0E-53.1902574E-46.5518543E-47.4512645E-41.13727579.0E-50.00387722230.0079477560.0081660081.02746082.2E-40.038102690.0783255550.078620491.00376553.2E-4
7.95.2586525E-51.0011774E-41.0011774E-41.00.02.2535135E-44.2900548E-44.7898403E-41.11649865.0E-50.00274020060.0052106440.00533996661.02481891.3E-40.0270665740.0522248070.0524238421.00381112.1E-4
8.03.379877E-55.4103475E-55.4103475E-51.00.01.4484383E-42.3185145E-42.3185145E-41.00.00.00176204710.0028191390.0028291111.00353721.0E-50.0174814090.0288490520.028897611.00168315.0E-5
8.11.8668277E-51.9321345E-51.9321345E-51.00.08.000444E-58.280314E-58.280314E-51.00.09.736188E-40.00100766260.00100766261.00.00.0096936420.0108051320.0108051321.00.0
8.28.541571E-65.4646152E-65.4646152E-61.00.03.660622E-52.341957E-52.341957E-51.00.04.455896E-42.8509603E-42.8509603E-41.00.00.00444697170.00324294250.00324294251.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6647797E-77.6647797E-71.00.08.498917E-63.2849016E-63.2849016E-61.00.01.034694E-43.999296E-53.999296E-51.00.00.00103421244.7228087E-44.7228087E-41.00.0

So Sierra Nevada

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.15488665E-51.1079688E-59.10788E-58.220348.0E-54.9494203E-54.7483583E-51.7747741E-43.73765831.3E-46.024253E-45.7797204E-48.6780445E-41.50146442.9E-40.0060079480.00576595780.0062233051.07931864.6E-4
6.11.15488665E-51.1079688E-59.10788E-58.220348.0E-54.9494203E-54.7483583E-51.7747741E-43.73765831.3E-46.024253E-45.7797204E-48.6780445E-41.50146442.9E-40.0060079480.00576595780.0062233051.07931864.6E-4
6.21.15488665E-51.1079688E-59.10788E-58.220348.0E-54.9494203E-54.7483583E-51.7747741E-43.73765831.3E-46.024253E-45.7797204E-48.6780445E-41.50146442.9E-40.0060079480.00576595780.0062233051.07931864.6E-4
6.31.15488665E-51.1079688E-59.10788E-58.220348.0E-54.9494203E-54.7483583E-51.7747741E-43.73765831.3E-46.024253E-45.7797204E-48.6780445E-41.50146442.9E-40.0060079480.00576595780.0062233051.07931864.6E-4
6.41.15488665E-51.1079688E-59.10788E-58.220348.0E-54.9494203E-54.7483583E-51.7747741E-43.73765831.3E-46.024253E-45.7797204E-48.6780445E-41.50146442.9E-40.0060079480.00576595780.0062233051.07931864.6E-4
6.51.15488665E-51.1079688E-59.10788E-58.220348.0E-54.9494203E-54.7483583E-51.7747741E-43.73765831.3E-46.024253E-45.7797204E-48.6780445E-41.50146442.9E-40.0060079480.00576595780.0062233051.07931864.6E-4
6.67.587044E-66.935655E-67.693517E-511.0927047.0E-53.2515498E-52.9723915E-51.3972065E-44.7006141.1E-43.9580427E-43.6183148E-45.717555E-41.58017062.1E-40.0039510.00361271530.0039514871.0937723.4E-4
6.77.587044E-66.935655E-67.693517E-511.0927047.0E-53.2515498E-52.9723915E-51.3972065E-44.7006141.1E-43.9580427E-43.6183148E-45.717555E-41.58017062.1E-40.0039510.00361271530.0039514871.0937723.4E-4
6.85.9026956E-65.179403E-63.5179248E-56.79214333.0E-52.5297022E-52.2197259E-58.2195926E-53.70297656.0E-53.0794772E-42.702193E-44.1018144E-41.51795781.4E-40.00307521320.00269902330.00296829451.09976612.7E-4
6.95.0118915E-64.2524307E-61.4252388E-53.35158631.0E-52.1479358E-51.8224579E-54.8224032E-52.64609863.0E-52.614798E-42.2186238E-43.1184242E-41.40556689.0E-50.00261172350.00221648140.00243599391.09903652.2E-4
7.04.4924795E-63.7139203E-61.3713883E-53.69256261.0E-51.925334E-51.5916707E-54.591623E-52.88478183.0E-52.3438422E-41.9376932E-42.6375576E-41.36118447.0E-50.00234137170.00193606650.0021157181.0927921.8E-4
7.13.9118436E-63.111977E-61.3111946E-54.21338131.0E-51.6764936E-51.33369795E-53.3336713E-52.499572.0E-52.0409399E-41.623662E-42.023597E-41.24631674.0E-50.00203906630.00162253180.00173235321.06768521.1E-4
7.23.4200818E-62.6054513E-61.2605426E-54.83809661.0E-51.4657411E-51.1166175E-52.1166063E-51.89555181.0E-51.7843937E-41.359402E-41.6593612E-41.22065533.0E-50.00178296150.00135862010.00140855231.0367525.0E-5
7.32.6593618E-61.8284135E-61.8284135E-61.00.01.13972155E-57.836036E-67.836036E-61.00.01.3875226E-49.539985E-51.1539795E-41.20962392.0E-50.00138665659.53618E-49.935799E-41.04190554.0E-5
7.42.2577992E-61.4364293E-61.4364293E-61.00.09.676246E-66.1561127E-66.1561127E-61.00.01.1780193E-47.4948344E-59.4946845E-51.26683042.0E-50.0011773957.4925576E-47.892258E-41.05334634.0E-5
7.51.489319E-67.35383E-77.35383E-71.00.06.3827797E-63.1516379E-63.1516379E-61.00.07.770758E-53.837052E-55.836975E-51.52121352.0E-57.7680405E-43.836394E-44.1362786E-41.07816843.0E-5
7.61.0680322E-64.6595343E-74.6595343E-71.00.04.577273E-61.9969418E-61.9969418E-61.00.05.5726876E-52.4312498E-54.431201E-51.82260222.0E-55.5712904E-42.4309864E-42.7309134E-41.12337673.0E-5
7.75.509146E-71.5579108E-71.5579108E-71.00.02.3610605E-66.676759E-76.676759E-71.00.02.8745531E-58.128925E-68.128925E-61.00.02.8741814E-48.1286395E-58.1286395E-51.00.0

Lenwood-Lockhart-Old Woman Springs

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.744542E-54.3963868E-51.1396079E-42.59214667.0E-51.604705E-41.8840394E-42.983832E-41.58374191.1E-40.00195197760.0022915770.0025410041.10884522.5E-40.0193492060.0226974750.0230493041.01550083.6E-4
6.13.744542E-54.3963868E-51.1396079E-42.59214667.0E-51.604705E-41.8840394E-42.983832E-41.58374191.1E-40.00195197760.0022915770.0025410041.10884522.5E-40.0193492060.0226974750.0230493041.01550083.6E-4
6.23.744542E-54.3963868E-51.1396079E-42.59214667.0E-51.604705E-41.8840394E-42.983832E-41.58374191.1E-40.00195197760.0022915770.0025410041.10884522.5E-40.0193492060.0226974750.0230493041.01550083.6E-4
6.32.1079984E-52.5354482E-56.5353466E-52.57759024.0E-59.0339665E-51.0865765E-41.4865331E-41.36808874.0E-50.00109933040.00132212420.00141200521.06798239.0E-50.0109390790.0131447980.0132928261.01126131.5E-4
6.42.1079984E-52.5354482E-56.5353466E-52.57759024.0E-59.0339665E-51.0865765E-41.4865331E-41.36808874.0E-50.00109933040.00132212420.00141200521.06798239.0E-50.0109390790.0131447980.0132928261.01126131.5E-4
6.51.7397282E-52.0663358E-55.0662737E-52.45181543.0E-57.455765E-58.855431E-51.1855165E-41.33874513.0E-59.073613E-40.00107762720.00114755181.06488757.0E-50.0090366540.0107253110.0108341311.01014611.1E-4
6.61.52050325E-51.7680148E-54.7679616E-52.69678833.0E-56.51628E-57.57699E-51.05767635E-41.39590563.0E-57.9306826E-49.2211604E-49.820607E-41.06500776.0E-50.0079024390.0091837610.0092828421.01078881.0E-4
6.71.332523E-51.5264432E-54.5263976E-52.96532323.0E-55.7106878E-56.5417385E-59.5415424E-51.45856373.0E-56.950544E-47.961715E-48.5612375E-41.07530076.0E-50.0069288450.00793382150.0080231071.01125389.0E-5
6.81.1525329E-51.3031408E-54.3031017E-53.30210043.0E-54.9393333E-55.584772E-58.584604E-51.5371453.0E-56.011979E-46.797381E-47.396973E-41.08820936.0E-50.005995740.00677704160.0068465671.0102597.0E-5
6.91.0253909E-51.15148705E-54.1514526E-53.60529663.0E-54.3944583E-54.9348535E-57.934705E-51.60789083.0E-55.3489394E-46.006564E-46.506264E-41.08319225.0E-50.00533608250.00599070820.0060503491.00995556.0E-5
7.08.104563E-68.9914565E-61.8991366E-52.11215691.0E-53.4733377E-53.8534257E-54.853387E-51.25949931.0E-54.2279682E-44.69056E-44.990419E-41.06392823.0E-50.00421993340.0046809080.00471076741.0063793.0E-5
7.16.7986157E-67.5159987E-61.7515924E-52.3304851.0E-52.91366E-53.221104E-54.2210715E-51.31044261.0E-53.5468035E-43.9210095E-44.220892E-41.07648093.0E-50.0035411480.0039143080.003944191.00763423.0E-5
7.25.6893327E-66.2801455E-61.6280082E-52.59230971.0E-52.4382627E-52.6914644E-53.6914375E-51.3715351.0E-52.9681803E-43.276385E-43.4763195E-41.06102292.0E-50.0029642190.00327175320.00329168771.00609292.0E-5
7.34.253348E-64.707082E-61.4707035E-53.12444831.0E-51.8228506E-52.0173064E-53.0172861E-51.49570051.0E-52.2190946E-42.455812E-42.655763E-41.08141952.0E-50.002216880.00245327920.002473231.00813232.0E-5
7.42.5448119E-62.8520615E-62.8520615E-61.00.01.0906291E-51.2223072E-51.2223072E-51.00.01.3277601E-41.488074E-41.488074E-41.00.00.0013269670.00148723970.00148723971.00.0
7.54.3706837E-84.5629356E-84.5629356E-81.00.01.8731501E-71.9555438E-71.9555438E-71.00.02.2805577E-62.3808725E-62.3808725E-61.00.02.2805343E-52.3808525E-52.3808525E-51.00.0

Goldstone Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.671352E-53.0376643E-59.037482E-52.97514186.0E-51.1448149E-41.3018023E-42.201685E-41.69125939.0E-50.0013929210.00158398820.00179365561.13236682.1E-40.0138422220.015746480.0160712821.0206273.3E-4
6.12.671352E-53.0376643E-59.037482E-52.97514186.0E-51.1448149E-41.3018023E-42.201685E-41.69125939.0E-50.0013929210.00158398820.00179365561.13236682.1E-40.0138422220.015746480.0160712821.0206273.3E-4
6.21.4197047E-51.6096526E-55.6095883E-53.48496824.0E-56.0843064E-56.898385E-51.2897971E-41.86970896.0E-57.4051257E-48.396533E-49.595526E-41.14279621.2E-40.0073804980.0083745060.0085629141.02249791.9E-4
6.31.4197047E-51.6096526E-55.6095883E-53.48496824.0E-56.0843064E-56.898385E-51.2897971E-41.86970896.0E-57.4051257E-48.396533E-49.595526E-41.14279621.2E-40.0073804980.0083745060.0085629141.02249791.9E-4
6.41.3238931E-51.5008722E-55.500812E-53.6650774.0E-55.6737044E-56.432206E-51.243182E-41.93274596.0E-56.9055456E-47.8293774E-49.028438E-41.15314891.2E-40.0068841260.00781141970.0079900141.02286311.8E-4
6.51.3238931E-51.5008722E-55.500812E-53.6650774.0E-55.6737044E-56.432206E-51.243182E-41.93274596.0E-56.9055456E-47.8293774E-49.028438E-41.15314891.2E-40.0068841260.00781141970.0079900141.02286311.8E-4
6.61.1328278E-51.2855392E-55.2854877E-54.1114954.0E-54.8548856E-55.509391E-51.150906E-42.08898956.0E-55.90922E-46.706576E-47.805839E-41.16390811.1E-40.00589353130.0066957260.0068645881.02521931.7E-4
6.78.651175E-69.824737E-62.9824541E-53.0356582.0E-53.707594E-54.210585E-58.210416E-51.94994684.0E-54.5130608E-45.126087E-46.025625E-41.17548259.0E-50.00450390620.0051231410.0052723731.02912891.5E-4
6.81.0215377E-61.1754901E-61.1754901E-61.00.04.378012E-65.0378057E-65.0378057E-61.00.05.3300988E-56.1333674E-56.1333674E-51.00.05.3288206E-46.131787E-46.2317256E-41.01629841.0E-5
6.97.9360774E-79.2835677E-79.2835677E-71.00.03.4011714E-63.978666E-63.978666E-61.00.04.1408475E-54.8439255E-54.8439255E-51.00.04.140076E-44.8429397E-44.942891E-41.02063861.0E-5
7.07.4382757E-78.747494E-78.747494E-71.00.03.1878285E-63.748921E-63.748921E-61.00.03.8811122E-54.5642224E-54.5642224E-51.00.03.8804344E-44.5633517E-44.663306E-41.02190381.0E-5
7.16.4709513E-77.711456E-77.711456E-71.00.02.773262E-63.3049057E-63.3049057E-61.00.03.376394E-54.0236544E-54.0236544E-51.00.03.375881E-44.0229855E-44.1229452E-41.02484711.0E-5
7.26.356704E-77.588514E-77.588514E-71.00.02.7242988E-63.2522166E-63.2522166E-61.00.03.3167835E-53.9595077E-53.9595077E-51.00.03.3162883E-43.9588616E-44.0588222E-41.02524981.0E-5
7.35.7695723E-76.896703E-76.896703E-71.00.02.4726714E-62.9557268E-62.9557268E-61.00.03.0104358E-53.598544E-53.598544E-51.00.03.0100282E-43.5980184E-43.6979825E-41.0277831.0E-5
7.45.209647E-76.1936277E-76.1936277E-71.00.02.232704E-62.6544094E-62.6544094E-61.00.02.718283E-53.231701E-53.231701E-51.00.02.7179506E-43.2312868E-43.3312544E-41.03093741.0E-5
7.54.512955E-75.3489794E-75.3489794E-71.00.01.934122E-62.292418E-62.292418E-61.00.02.3547682E-52.7909884E-52.7909884E-51.00.02.3545188E-42.790691E-42.8906632E-41.03582351.0E-5
7.62.21172E-72.6040198E-72.6040198E-71.00.09.478797E-71.1160082E-61.1160082E-61.00.01.1540374E-51.3587343E-51.3587343E-51.00.01.1539775E-41.3586794E-41.4586658E-41.07359091.0E-5

McLean Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.7360222E-51.8501789E-58.850049E-54.7833487.0E-57.439883E-57.929125E-51.8928252E-42.38718061.1E-49.0542925E-49.64992E-40.00126470251.31058343.0E-40.0090174910.0096128580.009949591.03502933.4E-4
6.19.062689E-69.592268E-63.959198E-54.1274893.0E-53.8839516E-54.110912E-51.01106656E-42.459476.0E-54.727685E-45.003975E-46.4032746E-41.27963761.4E-40.00471763960.00499359050.00515279131.03188111.6E-4
6.29.062689E-69.592268E-63.959198E-54.1274893.0E-53.8839516E-54.110912E-51.01106656E-42.459476.0E-54.727685E-45.003975E-46.4032746E-41.27963761.4E-40.00471763960.00499359050.00515279131.03188111.6E-4
6.37.2575485E-67.667767E-63.7667538E-54.9124523.0E-53.110341E-53.2861484E-59.285951E-52.82578566.0E-53.786182E-44.0002225E-45.199743E-41.29986331.2E-40.00377973750.0039937270.00413316771.0349151.4E-4
6.47.2575485E-67.667767E-63.7667538E-54.9124523.0E-53.110341E-53.2861484E-59.285951E-52.82578566.0E-53.786182E-44.0002225E-45.199743E-41.29986331.2E-40.00377973750.0039937270.00413316771.0349151.4E-4
6.56.06582E-66.4039245E-63.6403733E-55.68459753.0E-52.5996113E-52.7445138E-58.744349E-53.18611966.0E-53.164567E-43.340998E-44.340664E-41.29921171.0E-40.00316006430.00333661380.00345621351.03584461.2E-4
6.65.598744E-65.910306E-63.591013E-56.07584953.0E-52.3994397E-52.5329673E-58.532815E-53.36870346.0E-52.9209262E-43.083515E-44.083207E-41.32420521.0E-40.00291708970.00307986580.00319949631.03884271.2E-4
6.75.246996E-65.539203E-63.5539037E-56.41591173.0E-52.2486933E-52.3739261E-58.373784E-53.52739866.0E-52.73744E-42.8899353E-43.789675E-41.31133579.0E-50.00273407040.0028868010.00299648341.03799451.1E-4
6.84.02324E-64.246936E-63.424681E-58.0638873.0E-51.7242342E-51.820106E-56.820015E-53.74704275.0E-52.099053E-42.2158133E-43.015636E-41.36096128.0E-50.00209707140.00221418820.00231396691.04506331.0E-4
6.96.835972E-77.1399705E-77.1399705E-71.00.02.9296991E-63.0599856E-61.3059955E-54.2679791.0E-53.56685E-53.7255006E-54.7254634E-51.26841031.0E-53.5662777E-43.7251884E-43.8251514E-41.02683421.0E-5

San Andreas (San Bernardino N)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.4273766E-43.1614845E-43.261453E-41.03162071.0E-56.115894E-40.00135422440.0014341161.05899448.0E-50.00742070840.0163645350.0165514261.01142051.9E-40.071777480.150366540.150604441.00158212.8E-4
6.11.4273766E-43.1614845E-43.261453E-41.03162071.0E-56.115894E-40.00135422440.0014341161.05899448.0E-50.00742070840.0163645350.0165514261.01142051.9E-40.071777480.150366540.150604441.00158212.8E-4
6.21.4273766E-43.1614845E-43.261453E-41.03162071.0E-56.115894E-40.00135422440.0014341161.05899448.0E-50.00742070840.0163645350.0165514261.01142051.9E-40.071777480.150366540.150604441.00158212.8E-4
6.31.3730655E-43.051962E-43.1519317E-41.03275591.0E-55.883239E-40.00130733380.00138722921.06111328.0E-50.00713934420.0158020280.0159890261.01183381.9E-40.069142910.145678270.145917481.0016422.8E-4
6.41.3730655E-43.051962E-43.1519317E-41.03275591.0E-55.883239E-40.00130733380.00138722921.06111328.0E-50.00713934420.0158020280.0159890261.01183381.9E-40.069142910.145678270.145917481.0016422.8E-4
6.51.2942807E-42.893405E-42.993376E-41.03455141.0E-55.545738E-40.00123944660.00131934741.06446498.0E-50.00673105240.0149870980.015174251.01248751.9E-40.065307880.138811950.139053091.00173712.8E-4
6.61.1125901E-42.537283E-42.637258E-41.03940221.0E-54.767372E-40.00108695620.00116686931.07352018.0E-50.0057888390.0131540250.0133415261.01425421.9E-40.0564034540.1230562850.123301831.00199532.8E-4
6.71.02209575E-42.3507705E-42.450747E-41.04252921.0E-54.3796748E-40.00100708550.00108700491.07935718.0E-50.00531922470.0121927560.012380441.0153931.9E-40.0519369060.114856270.115104121.00215782.8E-4
6.89.610582E-52.2033554E-42.3033333E-41.04537531.0E-54.1181705E-49.4395416E-40.00102387861.08466988.0E-50.00500235150.0114323460.0116201741.01642951.9E-40.0489123460.108227410.108477111.00230722.8E-4
6.99.3877505E-52.1489074E-42.2488859E-41.04652521.0E-54.0227012E-49.2063594E-40.00100056221.08681648.0E-50.00488664540.0111513830.0113392641.01684821.9E-40.047805770.1058140840.106064461.00236622.8E-4
7.09.1019785E-52.0815943E-42.1815735E-41.04803011.0E-53.900265E-48.9180743E-49.717361E-41.08962558.0E-50.00473823770.0108039260.0109918731.01739621.9E-40.0463847440.102785990.1030372161.00244412.8E-4
7.18.771155E-51.9990467E-42.0990266E-41.05001391.0E-53.758525E-48.564535E-49.2639355E-41.08166247.0E-50.00456640640.0103776650.0105557971.0171651.8E-40.0447370560.0990941150.0993373541.00245462.7E-4
7.28.0830236E-51.8396029E-41.9395845E-41.05434951.0E-53.4636928E-47.8816316E-48.58108E-41.0887447.0E-50.00420889440.0095537720.0097320531.01866081.8E-40.0413006580.091820460.092056591.00257162.6E-4
7.37.7668235E-51.7339372E-41.83392E-41.05766221.0E-53.328214E-47.4290443E-48.1285246E-41.09415477.0E-50.00404457330.0090074310.0091858091.01980351.8E-40.039717480.08709590.0873332551.00272522.6E-4
7.47.520177E-51.6559374E-41.7559208E-41.06037881.0E-53.2225347E-47.0949446E-47.794448E-41.09859187.0E-50.00391637950.0086039490.0087824011.02074061.8E-40.0384807440.0835526660.083790941.00285182.6E-4
7.57.274697E-51.5846924E-41.6846765E-41.06309381.0E-53.1173544E-46.789772E-47.489296E-41.10302637.0E-50.0037887750.0082352710.0084137891.02167731.8E-40.037248270.080269170.080508311.00297922.6E-4
7.67.1185845E-51.541672E-41.6416566E-41.06485461.0E-53.0504653E-46.605493E-47.3050306E-41.10590247.0E-50.00370761780.0080125850.0081911431.02228461.8E-40.0364636670.0782584250.078498081.00306242.6E-4
7.76.709961E-51.4325391E-41.5325249E-41.06979611.0E-52.8753807E-46.1380095E-46.8375794E-41.11397357.0E-50.0034951570.0074474590.0076161931.02265661.7E-40.0344069380.073086120.073317851.00317062.5E-4
7.86.300812E-51.3209098E-41.3209098E-41.00.02.7000686E-45.6598143E-46.259475E-41.10595066.0E-50.00328237870.0068690810.0070279821.02313281.6E-40.0323431750.06774270.067966441.00330282.4E-4
7.94.983037E-59.7286385E-59.7286385E-51.00.02.1354125E-44.1687503E-44.668542E-41.119895.0E-50.00259676480.0050636520.0051929941.02554321.3E-40.0256662960.0506726470.0508720061.00393432.1E-4
8.03.2211527E-55.3333257E-55.3333257E-51.00.01.380421E-42.2855109E-42.2855109E-41.00.00.00167936690.00277906070.00278903291.00358831.0E-50.0166673230.0283751560.0284237381.00171215.0E-5
8.11.743376E-51.8835979E-51.8835979E-51.00.07.471398E-58.0723126E-58.0723126E-51.00.09.0926304E-49.823616E-49.823616E-41.00.00.0090555170.0104900860.0104900861.00.0
8.27.831616E-65.158648E-65.158648E-61.00.03.3563636E-52.2108305E-52.2108305E-51.00.04.0856065E-42.6913546E-42.6913546E-41.00.00.0040781030.0030437870.0030437871.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6647797E-77.6647797E-71.00.08.498917E-63.2849016E-63.2849016E-61.00.01.034694E-43.999296E-53.999296E-51.00.00.00103421244.7228087E-44.7228087E-41.00.0

Death Valley (So)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.0684236E-52.5618914E-55.5618148E-52.17097973.0E-58.864371E-51.09790824E-42.2977765E-42.09286761.2E-40.00107870290.00133590050.00150567341.1270851.7E-40.0107348170.013281370.0135083151.01708752.3E-4
6.12.0684236E-52.5618914E-55.5618148E-52.17097973.0E-58.864371E-51.09790824E-42.2977765E-42.09286761.2E-40.00107870290.00133590050.00150567341.1270851.7E-40.0107348170.013281370.0135083151.01708752.3E-4
6.22.0684236E-52.5618914E-55.5618148E-52.17097973.0E-58.864371E-51.09790824E-42.2977765E-42.09286761.2E-40.00107870290.00133590050.00150567341.1270851.7E-40.0107348170.013281370.0135083151.01708752.3E-4
6.32.0240292E-52.511899E-55.511824E-52.19428563.0E-58.6741224E-51.0764847E-42.2763555E-42.11461951.2E-40.00105556260.00130984890.00146963921.12199151.6E-40.0105056280.0130239250.013241061.0166722.2E-4
6.42.0240292E-52.511899E-55.511824E-52.19428563.0E-58.6741224E-51.0764847E-42.2763555E-42.11461951.2E-40.00105556260.00130984890.00146963921.12199151.6E-40.0105056280.0130239250.013241061.0166722.2E-4
6.51.9962767E-52.4808238E-55.4807493E-52.20924573.0E-58.55519E-51.0631679E-42.2630402E-42.12858221.2E-40.00104109680.00129365490.0014534481.12352061.6E-40.0103623270.0128638690.0130810391.01688222.2E-4
6.61.8937297E-52.331202E-55.331132E-52.28685983.0E-58.115732E-59.9904915E-52.0989393E-42.1009371.1E-49.876423E-40.00121567820.00136549581.1232381.5E-40.0098326450.0120927650.0122903461.01633882.0E-4
6.71.8621096E-52.2912649E-55.291196E-52.30929043.0E-57.980225E-59.819346E-52.0818265E-42.12012771.1E-49.711593E-40.00119486420.0013446851.12538731.5E-40.0096692610.0118868650.0120844871.01662532.0E-4
6.81.7830353E-52.1806614E-55.180596E-52.37569933.0E-57.641356E-59.345365E-51.8344524E-41.96295429.0E-59.29938E-40.00113721830.00126707051.1141841.3E-40.0092605610.0113169190.0114948821.01572541.8E-4
6.91.3135183E-51.5304342E-54.530388E-52.96019823.0E-55.6292425E-56.558842E-51.4558318E-42.21964748.0E-56.8514474E-47.9825294E-49.081651E-41.13769091.1E-40.0068303620.0079548680.0081036741.01870631.5E-4
7.01.1507512E-51.315447E-54.3154076E-53.28056363.0E-54.9316975E-55.6375116E-51.3637061E-42.41898588.0E-56.002687E-46.861567E-47.960812E-41.16020321.1E-40.00598649870.00684105330.00698009551.02032471.4E-4
7.19.715903E-61.086547E-53.0865252E-52.84067342.0E-54.1638916E-54.6565492E-51.065627E-42.28844796.0E-55.068359E-45.667917E-46.467463E-41.14106548.0E-50.00505681480.00565375340.0057531881.01758741.0E-4
7.29.233269E-61.0286476E-53.028627E-52.94428042.0E-53.9570554E-54.4084176E-59.4081974E-52.13414385.0E-54.81665E-45.365969E-46.0655933E-41.13038177.0E-50.00480622330.0053534440.00543301551.01486368.0E-5
7.38.8041315E-69.808313E-62.9808118E-53.03906662.0E-53.7731446E-54.2034975E-58.203329E-51.95154864.0E-54.592835E-45.1165983E-45.7162915E-41.11720546.0E-50.00458335460.00510524450.00517488741.01364147.0E-5
7.48.708749E-69.707323E-62.970713E-53.060282.0E-53.7322676E-54.1602176E-58.160051E-51.96144824.0E-54.5430884E-45.06393E-45.663626E-41.1184256.0E-50.0045338120.00505281660.00512246281.01378377.0E-5
7.58.612678E-69.604964E-62.9604773E-53.08223652.0E-53.6910955E-54.116351E-58.116186E-51.97169454.0E-54.492982E-45.010547E-45.610246E-41.11968746.0E-50.0044839090.00499967530.0050693251.01393097.0E-5
7.68.319024E-69.28406E-62.9283874E-53.154212.0E-53.5652476E-53.9788243E-57.978665E-52.00528224.0E-54.3398244E-44.8431839E-45.4428936E-41.12382546.0E-50.00433135870.0048330530.00490271441.01441367.0E-5
7.77.4718328E-68.3453E-62.8345134E-53.39653872.0E-53.2021748E-53.57651E-57.576367E-52.11836864.0E-53.8979502E-44.3535716E-44.9533107E-41.13775796.0E-50.003891120.0043454480.00441514371.01603887.0E-5
7.83.4586725E-73.648288E-73.648288E-71.00.01.4822873E-61.5635511E-61.5635511E-61.00.01.80467E-51.9036073E-51.9036073E-51.00.01.8045233E-41.9034486E-41.9034486E-41.00.0
7.92.5591178E-92.6696871E-92.6696871E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.1441516E-81.1441516E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3930045E-71.3930045E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3930046E-61.3930046E-61.00.0

Coyote Canyon

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.5090034E-54.036512E-56.0364313E-51.49545732.0E-51.503772E-41.7298336E-42.1297645E-41.23119624.0E-50.00182930470.00210429540.00225397971.07113281.5E-40.0181431940.0208696160.0210752341.00985252.1E-4
6.13.5090034E-54.036512E-56.0364313E-51.49545732.0E-51.503772E-41.7298336E-42.1297645E-41.23119624.0E-50.00182930470.00210429540.00225397971.07113281.5E-40.0181431940.0208696160.0210752341.00985252.1E-4
6.21.841879E-52.1060194E-53.1059983E-51.47481941.0E-57.8935285E-59.0255424E-51.1025362E-41.22157342.0E-59.606133E-40.00109840790.0011483531.04547055.0E-50.00956471450.0109398750.0110191.00723278.0E-5
6.31.841879E-52.1060194E-53.1059983E-51.47481941.0E-57.8935285E-59.0255424E-51.1025362E-41.22157342.0E-59.606133E-40.00109840790.0011483531.04547055.0E-50.00956471450.0109398750.0110191.00723278.0E-5
6.41.712201E-51.9565581E-52.9565386E-51.51109161.0E-57.337798E-58.385037E-51.0384869E-41.23850012.0E-58.930107E-40.00102050070.00107044961.04894555.0E-50.0088943070.01016806250.0102472491.00778788.0E-5
6.51.4744935E-51.6837288E-52.683712E-51.59390991.0E-56.3191044E-57.215834E-59.215689E-51.27714822.0E-57.6907943E-48.782672E-49.182321E-41.04550424.0E-50.0076642320.0087571590.0088265461.00792357.0E-5
6.61.2017839E-51.3724348E-52.3724211E-51.72862211.0E-55.150401E-55.8817805E-57.881663E-51.3400132.0E-56.268809E-47.159601E-47.559314E-41.0558294.0E-50.00625115450.00714522830.00719487061.00694765.0E-5
6.71.00956095E-51.1533734E-52.1533619E-51.86701191.0E-54.326618E-54.9429844E-56.9428854E-51.40459382.0E-55.266384E-46.0172915E-46.4170506E-41.06643514.0E-50.0052539210.0060095260.00604928561.00661614.0E-5

Nelson Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.913453E-61.0192293E-53.019209E-52.9622472.0E-54.2485535E-54.3680586E-51.2367709E-42.83139738.0E-55.1713863E-45.316917E-46.416332E-41.20677691.1E-40.00515936830.00530522360.0054544281.0281241.5E-4
6.19.913453E-61.0192293E-53.019209E-52.9622472.0E-54.2485535E-54.3680586E-51.2367709E-42.83139738.0E-55.1713863E-45.316917E-46.416332E-41.20677691.1E-40.00515936830.00530522360.0054544281.0281241.5E-4
6.24.5596407E-64.696332E-61.4696285E-53.12931161.0E-51.954117E-52.0126989E-56.012618E-52.98734144.0E-52.3788778E-42.450198E-42.8501E-41.16321214.0E-50.00237633290.00244762260.00250747571.02445366.0E-5
6.34.5596407E-64.696332E-61.4696285E-53.12931161.0E-51.954117E-52.0126989E-56.012618E-52.98734144.0E-52.3788778E-42.450198E-42.8501E-41.16321214.0E-50.00237633290.00244762260.00250747571.02445366.0E-5
6.43.4025713E-63.509912E-61.3509877E-53.84906441.0E-51.4582367E-51.50423975E-55.5041797E-53.65911054.0E-51.7752586E-41.8312664E-42.2311932E-41.21838814.0E-50.0017738410.00182984040.00187974881.02727485.0E-5
6.52.8352947E-62.9278688E-61.292784E-54.41544341.0E-51.2151207E-51.2547953E-54.2547577E-53.3907983.0E-51.479309E-41.5276136E-41.8275679E-41.19635473.0E-50.00147832460.00152663750.00156657641.02616144.0E-5
6.62.251518E-62.3290781E-61.2329055E-55.29353431.0E-59.649328E-69.981729E-62.998153E-53.0036412.0E-51.1747423E-41.2152141E-41.4151898E-41.16456012.0E-50.00117412140.00121461120.00124457481.02466933.0E-5
6.71.8911853E-61.9591491E-61.195913E-56.1042471.0E-58.105055E-68.39633E-62.8396162E-53.38197332.0E-59.867457E-51.022211E-41.2221905E-41.19563442.0E-59.863076E-40.00102179840.00105176761.029333.0E-5
6.81.4874814E-61.5438383E-61.1543822E-57.47735261.0E-56.374905E-66.6164357E-62.6616304E-54.02275562.0E-57.76117E-58.055265E-51.00551035E-41.24826482.0E-57.75846E-48.052856E-48.352614E-41.03722383.0E-5
6.96.835972E-77.1399705E-77.1399705E-71.00.02.9296991E-63.0599856E-61.3059955E-54.2679791.0E-53.56685E-53.7255006E-54.7254634E-51.26841031.0E-53.5662777E-43.7251884E-43.8251514E-41.02683421.0E-5

Towne Pass

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.849728E-63.8945495E-61.3894511E-53.56768081.0E-51.649873E-51.6690845E-54.6690344E-52.79736263.0E-52.0085352E-42.0319647E-42.831802E-41.39362768.0E-50.00200672080.00203053580.00217025141.06880741.4E-4
6.13.849728E-63.8945495E-61.3894511E-53.56768081.0E-51.649873E-51.6690845E-54.6690344E-52.79736263.0E-52.0085352E-42.0319647E-42.831802E-41.39362768.0E-50.00200672080.00203053580.00217025141.06880741.4E-4
6.23.849728E-63.8945495E-61.3894511E-53.56768081.0E-51.649873E-51.6690845E-54.6690344E-52.79736263.0E-52.0085352E-42.0319647E-42.831802E-41.39362768.0E-50.00200672080.00203053580.00217025141.06880741.4E-4
6.33.849728E-63.8945495E-61.3894511E-53.56768081.0E-51.649873E-51.6690845E-54.6690344E-52.79736263.0E-52.0085352E-42.0319647E-42.831802E-41.39362768.0E-50.00200672080.00203053580.00217025141.06880741.4E-4
6.43.849728E-63.8945495E-61.3894511E-53.56768081.0E-51.649873E-51.6690845E-54.6690344E-52.79736263.0E-52.0085352E-42.0319647E-42.831802E-41.39362768.0E-50.00200672080.00203053580.00217025141.06880741.4E-4
6.51.1953545E-61.2030554E-61.2030554E-61.00.05.1229376E-65.1559423E-61.5155891E-52.93949991.0E-56.236998E-56.2771906E-58.277065E-51.31859392.0E-56.235248E-46.275535E-46.5753463E-41.04777473.0E-5
6.61.1953545E-61.2030554E-61.2030554E-61.00.05.1229376E-65.1559423E-61.5155891E-52.93949991.0E-56.236998E-56.2771906E-58.277065E-51.31859392.0E-56.235248E-46.275535E-46.5753463E-41.04777473.0E-5
6.78.375951E-78.4106983E-78.4106983E-71.00.03.5896885E-63.6045803E-61.3604545E-53.7742381.0E-54.370358E-54.388494E-56.3884065E-51.45571722.0E-54.3694986E-44.3876845E-44.687553E-41.06834323.0E-5
6.86.38041E-76.392181E-76.392181E-71.00.02.7344586E-62.7395035E-62.7395035E-61.00.03.3291526E-53.3352986E-53.3352986E-51.00.03.3286537E-43.334836E-43.4348026E-41.02997651.0E-5
6.95.3460053E-75.345356E-75.345356E-71.00.02.2911431E-62.290865E-62.290865E-61.00.02.789431E-52.789096E-52.789096E-51.00.02.789081E-42.788779E-42.8887513E-41.0358481.0E-5
7.03.557783E-73.5324425E-73.5324425E-71.00.01.5247632E-61.513903E-61.513903E-61.00.01.8563835E-51.8431623E-51.8431623E-51.00.01.8562283E-41.8430178E-41.8430178E-41.00.0
7.13.037942E-73.00024E-73.00024E-71.00.01.3019744E-61.2858166E-61.2858166E-61.00.01.5851423E-51.5654712E-51.5654712E-51.00.01.5850292E-41.5653683E-41.5653683E-41.00.0
7.22.0808248E-72.0217831E-72.0217831E-71.00.08.917818E-78.664782E-78.664782E-71.00.01.0857389E-51.0549326E-51.0549326E-51.00.01.0856859E-41.0548872E-41.0548872E-41.00.0
7.31.1162073E-71.0636953E-71.0636953E-71.00.04.7837443E-74.5586933E-74.5586933E-71.00.05.8241935E-65.550197E-65.550197E-61.00.05.8240406E-55.5500783E-55.5500783E-51.00.0

San Andreas (San Bernardino S)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2336002E-43.000988E-43.000988E-41.00.05.2857865E-40.00128552990.00132547841.03107564.0E-50.0064164720.0155439640.0156325641.00579.0E-50.062343370.142919260.143039261.00083961.4E-4
6.11.2336002E-43.000988E-43.000988E-41.00.05.2857865E-40.00128552990.00132547841.03107564.0E-50.0064164720.0155439640.0156325641.00579.0E-50.062343370.142919260.143039261.00083961.4E-4
6.21.2336002E-43.000988E-43.000988E-41.00.05.2857865E-40.00128552990.00132547841.03107564.0E-50.0064164720.0155439640.0156325641.00579.0E-50.062343370.142919260.143039261.00083961.4E-4
6.31.1712257E-42.879813E-42.879813E-41.00.05.018573E-40.00123364750.00127359821.03238424.0E-50.0060930080.01492106450.0150097221.00594179.0E-50.0592863220.137634070.13775481.00087711.4E-4
6.41.1712257E-42.879813E-42.879813E-41.00.05.018573E-40.00123364750.00127359821.03238424.0E-50.0060930080.01492106450.0150097221.00594179.0E-50.0592863220.137634070.13775481.00087711.4E-4
6.51.0689076E-42.6810818E-42.6810818E-41.00.04.5802278E-40.00114855390.00118850791.03478654.0E-50.00556217830.0138986020.013987351.00638549.0E-50.054250030.128915940.129037891.00094591.4E-4
6.69.7648895E-52.5055694E-42.5055694E-41.00.04.1842813E-40.00107339720.00111335421.03722494.0E-50.0050824690.0129946670.0130834971.00683599.0E-50.0496778860.121011180.1211342441.0010171.4E-4
6.78.757013E-52.3126253E-42.3126253E-41.00.03.7524657E-49.90771E-40.00103073141.04033264.0E-50.004559060.0120000050.0120889251.007419.0E-50.044666560.112365830.11249011.00110591.4E-4
6.88.562978E-52.268613E-42.268613E-41.00.03.6693315E-49.719227E-40.00101188381.04111554.0E-50.0044582630.0117730220.0118619621.00755479.0E-50.0436987580.110371510.110496061.00112841.4E-4
6.96.124075E-51.7070957E-41.7070957E-41.00.02.6243398E-47.3140813E-47.7137887E-41.0546494.0E-50.00319045270.0088687430.0089579451.0100589.0E-50.0314503460.084192160.0843203741.00152291.4E-4
7.05.8598747E-51.6499894E-41.6499894E-41.00.02.5111332E-47.069475E-47.4691925E-41.05654134.0E-50.00305301860.0085733140.0086625421.01040779.0E-50.030114140.081515630.081644221.00157751.4E-4
7.15.613814E-51.5918406E-41.5918406E-41.00.02.4056983E-46.8203977E-47.1201933E-41.04395573.0E-50.00292500390.0082723990.0083517381.00959078.0E-50.0288680210.078812650.0789324051.00151941.3E-4
7.24.991222E-51.452485E-41.452485E-41.00.02.1389198E-46.223455E-46.523268E-41.04817473.0E-50.0026010250.0075508350.0076302311.01051498.0E-50.0257079120.072262360.0723736961.00154071.2E-4
7.34.7410045E-51.3718859E-41.3718859E-41.00.02.0317009E-45.8781897E-46.178013E-41.05100613.0E-50.00247078970.0071332970.00721272641.0111358.0E-50.0244349820.0685551240.06866691.00163041.2E-4
7.44.5556746E-51.312667E-41.312667E-41.00.01.952286E-45.624506E-45.9243373E-41.0533083.0E-50.0023743170.0068264140.00690586771.01163928.0E-50.0234910860.06580830.0659204051.00170351.2E-4
7.54.3084514E-51.2361899E-41.2361899E-41.00.01.8463485E-45.296884E-45.596725E-41.05660713.0E-50.00224561150.0064299580.00650944371.01236188.0E-50.0222305450.0622085220.062321061.0018091.2E-4
7.63.408608E-59.8397344E-59.8397344E-51.00.01.4607502E-44.2163485E-44.516222E-41.07112163.0E-50.00177701250.00512134750.0052009381.01554088.0E-50.0176286960.0500386660.050152661.00227811.2E-4
7.72.8315713E-58.252603E-58.252603E-51.00.01.2134742E-43.5363509E-43.8362446E-41.08480323.0E-50.00147640340.0042970160.0043766721.01853758.0E-50.014666330.0422891940.042404121.00271761.2E-4
7.82.6222975E-57.466726E-57.466726E-51.00.01.1237934E-43.1996332E-43.4995374E-41.09373073.0E-50.00136735970.00388860120.003968291.02049298.0E-50.0135897680.038453290.038568671.00300061.2E-4
7.92.1469694E-55.7908495E-55.7908495E-51.00.09.200973E-52.4815567E-42.7814822E-41.12086193.0E-50.00111964280.00301711260.0030968711.02643548.0E-50.0111401840.0301657820.0302821621.0038581.2E-4
8.01.2420249E-53.1335217E-53.1335217E-51.00.05.322855E-51.3428688E-41.3428688E-41.00.06.478649E-40.00163371770.00164370131.0061111.0E-50.00645979350.016529980.0165693181.00237994.0E-5
8.14.9197724E-67.827452E-67.827452E-61.00.02.1084568E-53.354579E-53.354579E-51.00.02.566744E-44.0834362E-44.0834362E-41.00.00.0025637810.0043869370.0043869371.00.0
8.22.5634774E-62.9088305E-62.9088305E-61.00.01.0986286E-51.24663575E-51.24663575E-51.00.01.3374983E-41.5176737E-41.5176737E-41.00.00.00133669340.00170613120.00170613121.00.0
8.35.2850464E-73.2110069E-73.2110069E-71.00.02.2650179E-61.3761452E-61.3761452E-61.00.02.7576245E-51.6754451E-51.6754451E-51.00.02.7572823E-41.9885681E-41.9885681E-41.00.0

Death Valley (Black Mtns Frontal)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6707214E-51.867056E-53.8670187E-52.0711852.0E-57.160038E-58.001427E-51.3001027E-41.62483855.0E-58.71386E-49.7374606E-40.00106365841.09233659.0E-50.008679770.0096956470.0098144841.01225671.2E-4
6.11.6707214E-51.867056E-53.8670187E-52.0711852.0E-57.160038E-58.001427E-51.3001027E-41.62483855.0E-58.71386E-49.7374606E-40.00106365841.09233659.0E-50.008679770.0096956470.0098144841.01225671.2E-4
6.21.6707214E-51.867056E-53.8670187E-52.0711852.0E-57.160038E-58.001427E-51.3001027E-41.62483855.0E-58.71386E-49.7374606E-40.00106365841.09233659.0E-50.008679770.0096956470.0098144841.01225671.2E-4
6.31.6707214E-51.867056E-53.8670187E-52.0711852.0E-57.160038E-58.001427E-51.3001027E-41.62483855.0E-58.71386E-49.7374606E-40.00106365841.09233659.0E-50.008679770.0096956470.0098144841.01225671.2E-4
6.41.5515609E-51.7338483E-53.7338137E-52.15348342.0E-56.649377E-57.430571E-51.24302E-41.67284585.0E-58.0926094E-49.0430264E-49.942212E-41.09943439.0E-50.0080632020.0090069130.0091159221.01210281.1E-4
6.51.5515609E-51.7338483E-53.7338137E-52.15348342.0E-56.649377E-57.430571E-51.24302E-41.67284585.0E-58.0926094E-49.0430264E-49.942212E-41.09943439.0E-50.0080632020.0090069130.0091159221.01210281.1E-4
6.61.5041828E-51.6809407E-53.680907E-52.189792.0E-56.4463384E-57.203836E-51.2203476E-41.69402475.0E-57.8455906E-48.7672E-49.566499E-41.09116928.0E-50.007817950.0087332680.0088323951.01135051.0E-4
6.71.4634985E-51.6356273E-53.6355945E-52.22275262.0E-56.271985E-57.009646E-51.20092955E-41.71325285.0E-57.6334673E-48.53096E-49.3302777E-41.09369618.0E-50.0076072990.0084988480.0085979981.01166631.0E-4
6.81.4209158E-51.5882297E-53.5881978E-52.25924372.0E-56.089497E-56.806524E-51.18061835E-41.73453945.0E-57.4114406E-48.2838483E-49.0831856E-41.09649358.0E-50.0073867710.0082535850.0083527591.01201591.0E-4
6.91.3780098E-51.5404834E-53.5404526E-52.29827382.0E-55.9056227E-56.601908E-51.1601578E-41.75730685.0E-57.1877235E-48.0349133E-48.8342704E-41.09948558.0E-50.00716451930.0080064580.0081056571.01238991.0E-4
7.01.3585064E-51.5188394E-53.518809E-52.31677482.0E-55.8220405E-56.5091524E-51.1508827E-41.76809925.0E-57.086029E-47.922066E-48.7214325E-41.10090378.0E-50.0070634760.0078944170.0079936281.01256721.0E-4
7.11.3398601E-51.4981575E-53.4981276E-52.3349532.0E-55.742131E-56.4205204E-51.1420199E-41.77870315.0E-56.9888023E-47.814234E-48.613609E-41.10229738.0E-50.00696686380.0077873460.0078865671.01274131.0E-4
7.21.3126312E-51.4679792E-53.46795E-52.36239722.0E-55.6254412E-56.291191E-51.0290939E-41.63576974.0E-56.846822E-47.656887E-48.356351E-41.09135097.0E-50.0068257650.007631090.0077104791.01040348.0E-5
7.31.2922429E-51.4454016E-53.4453726E-52.38367842.0E-55.5380664E-56.1944345E-51.0194186E-41.64570094.0E-56.74051E-47.5391686E-48.238641E-41.09277847.0E-50.0067201010.00751417270.00759357171.01056668.0E-5
7.41.2768878E-51.4283997E-53.4283712E-52.40014842.0E-55.4722615E-56.1215724E-51.0121328E-41.6533874.0E-56.660441E-47.45052E-48.1499986E-41.09388327.0E-50.00664051440.00742612030.00750552631.01069288.0E-5
7.51.2521929E-51.40122365E-53.4011955E-52.42730382.0E-55.366431E-56.0051094E-51.0004869E-41.66605954.0E-56.531671E-47.308822E-48.0083107E-41.09570477.0E-50.0065125060.00728536070.0073647781.0109018.0E-5
7.61.1301089E-51.2648349E-53.2648095E-52.5812142.0E-54.8432343E-55.4206117E-59.420395E-51.73788424.0E-55.895042E-46.597649E-47.297187E-41.10602847.0E-50.00587942820.00657861450.0066580881.01208078.0E-5
7.79.189108E-61.0283521E-53.0283316E-52.9448392.0E-53.93813E-54.407152E-58.4069754E-51.90757574.0E-54.7936183E-45.3644367E-46.0640613E-41.1304197.0E-50.0047832910.00535199840.005431571.01486778.0E-5
7.83.4586725E-73.648288E-73.648288E-71.00.01.4822873E-61.5635511E-61.5635511E-61.00.01.80467E-51.9036073E-51.9036073E-51.00.01.8045233E-41.9034486E-41.9034486E-41.00.0
7.92.5591178E-92.6696871E-92.6696871E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.1441516E-81.1441516E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3930045E-71.3930045E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3930046E-61.3930046E-61.00.0

Bicycle Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.9621975E-52.2097447E-54.2097006E-51.90506182.0E-58.4091465E-59.470067E-51.1469878E-41.21117172.0E-50.00102333270.00115250590.00123241361.06933398.0E-50.010186330.0114785990.0115873371.00947311.1E-4
6.11.9621975E-52.2097447E-54.2097006E-51.90506182.0E-58.4091465E-59.470067E-51.1469878E-41.21117172.0E-50.00102333270.00115250590.00123241361.06933398.0E-50.010186330.0114785990.0115873371.00947311.1E-4
6.29.9971285E-61.1255827E-52.1255715E-51.88841871.0E-54.2844134E-54.8238664E-55.823818E-51.20729261.0E-55.2150246E-45.8719947E-46.2717596E-41.068084.0E-50.00520280330.00586158460.0059112911.00848015.0E-5
6.39.589428E-61.0798527E-51.0798527E-51.00.04.10969E-54.627887E-54.627887E-51.00.05.002399E-45.633515E-45.9333455E-41.05322283.0E-50.00499115330.00562432360.00566409851.0070724.0E-5
6.49.589428E-61.0798527E-51.0798527E-51.00.04.10969E-54.627887E-54.627887E-51.00.05.002399E-45.633515E-45.9333455E-41.05322283.0E-50.00499115330.00562432360.00566409851.0070724.0E-5
6.55.557707E-66.2857107E-66.2857107E-61.00.02.3818526E-52.6938633E-52.6938633E-51.00.02.8995197E-43.2795538E-43.379521E-41.03048191.0E-50.00289573940.00327735040.00329728471.00608252.0E-5
6.64.8742945E-65.5133855E-65.5133855E-61.00.02.0889667E-52.3628729E-52.3628729E-51.00.02.54302E-42.87668E-42.9766513E-41.03475221.0E-50.0025401120.00287552530.00289546771.00693522.0E-5
6.73.991108E-64.515989E-64.515989E-61.00.01.7104636E-51.9354238E-51.9354238E-51.00.02.0822904E-42.3563785E-42.456355E-41.0424281.0E-50.00208034040.00235637860.0023663551.00423381.0E-5

Helendale-So Lockhart

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.7296055E-51.8103841E-53.810348E-52.1047182.0E-57.412385E-57.7585704E-59.7584154E-51.25775952.0E-59.0208417E-49.442173E-40.00102414181.08464628.0E-50.0089843110.0094041740.0095032341.01053361.0E-4
6.11.7296055E-51.8103841E-53.810348E-52.1047182.0E-57.412385E-57.7585704E-59.7584154E-51.25775952.0E-59.0208417E-49.442173E-40.00102414181.08464628.0E-50.0089843110.0094041740.0095032341.01053361.0E-4
6.21.7296055E-51.8103841E-53.810348E-52.1047182.0E-57.412385E-57.7585704E-59.7584154E-51.25775952.0E-59.0208417E-49.442173E-40.00102414181.08464628.0E-50.0089843110.0094041740.0095032341.01053361.0E-4
6.31.0669118E-51.1135489E-53.1135267E-52.79603932.0E-54.5723988E-54.7722668E-56.772171E-51.41906812.0E-55.5654737E-45.8087136E-46.3084235E-41.08602765.0E-50.00555155570.0057938270.00586342161.01201187.0E-5
6.41.0669118E-51.1135489E-53.1135267E-52.79603932.0E-54.5723988E-54.7722668E-56.772171E-51.41906812.0E-55.5654737E-45.8087136E-46.3084235E-41.08602765.0E-50.00555155570.0057938270.00586342161.01201187.0E-5
6.58.790038E-69.1702495E-62.9170065E-53.18094562.0E-53.767105E-53.9300485E-55.92997E-51.50887952.0E-54.585485E-44.7837992E-45.1836076E-41.08357564.0E-50.00457603440.00477366570.00483337931.0125096.0E-5
6.67.396949E-67.715581E-62.7715427E-53.59213732.0E-53.1700827E-53.3066364E-55.30657E-51.60482432.0E-53.858892E-44.025096E-44.3249753E-41.07450233.0E-50.0038521980.0040179130.0040577521.00991554.0E-5
6.76.4600285E-66.7380697E-62.6737935E-53.96818922.0E-52.7685543E-52.8877126E-54.8876547E-51.69256972.0E-53.3701936E-43.5152308E-43.815125E-41.0853133.0E-50.00336508690.0035097520.00354961171.01135684.0E-5
6.85.600104E-65.836042E-62.5835925E-54.426962.0E-52.4000226E-52.5011372E-54.501087E-51.79961622.0E-52.9216358E-43.044715E-43.3446235E-41.09850143.0E-50.00291779750.0030406050.00308048351.01311534.0E-5
6.94.839122E-65.039537E-62.5039437E-54.96859842.0E-52.0738931E-52.159784E-54.1597406E-51.92599862.0E-52.5246723E-42.6292243E-42.8291717E-41.0760482.0E-50.0025218060.0026261610.00265608241.01139353.0E-5
7.03.6937633E-63.845229E-61.3845191E-53.60061551.0E-51.5830317E-51.6479451E-52.6479285E-51.60680641.0E-51.9271708E-42.0061915E-42.1061715E-41.04983571.0E-50.00192550030.00200441180.00201439181.0049791.0E-5
7.12.7858857E-62.8978693E-61.289784E-54.45080141.0E-51.1939455E-51.2419382E-52.2419257E-51.8051831.0E-51.4535317E-41.511957E-41.6119418E-41.06612941.0E-50.00145258140.00151094980.00152093471.00660841.0E-5
7.22.1672065E-62.2540248E-61.2254002E-55.43649861.0E-59.2879945E-69.660072E-61.9659974E-52.03517911.0E-51.1307546E-41.176052E-41.2760403E-41.08502031.0E-50.00113017940.00117544780.00118543621.00849741.0E-5
7.31.4823496E-61.5422185E-61.1542203E-57.48415571.0E-56.3529114E-66.6094917E-61.6609425E-52.51296571.0E-57.734395E-58.046775E-59.046694E-51.12426341.0E-57.731704E-48.044012E-48.1439316E-41.01242161.0E-5
7.44.2321457E-74.4109012E-74.4109012E-71.00.01.8137755E-61.8903852E-61.8903852E-61.00.02.2082493E-52.3015242E-52.3015242E-51.00.02.2080299E-42.3013311E-42.3013311E-41.00.0
7.55.6942316E-85.941599E-85.941599E-81.00.02.440385E-72.5463993E-72.5463993E-71.00.02.9711643E-63.1002376E-63.1002376E-61.00.02.9711247E-53.1002022E-53.1002022E-51.00.0

Death Valley (No)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.0074807E-52.2500446E-54.2499996E-51.88885132.0E-58.603206E-59.642696E-51.364231E-41.41478174.0E-50.0010469370.00117337330.00124329121.0595877.0E-50.0104201830.0116726930.0117715261.0084671.0E-4
6.12.0074807E-52.2500446E-54.2499996E-51.88885132.0E-58.603206E-59.642696E-51.364231E-41.41478174.0E-50.0010469370.00117337330.00124329121.0595877.0E-50.0104201830.0116726930.0117715261.0084671.0E-4
6.22.0074807E-52.2500446E-54.2499996E-51.88885132.0E-58.603206E-59.642696E-51.364231E-41.41478174.0E-50.0010469370.00117337330.00124329121.0595877.0E-50.0104201830.0116726930.0117715261.0084671.0E-4
6.31.9050609E-52.1337288E-54.133686E-51.93730622.0E-58.164292E-59.144236E-51.314387E-41.4373944.0E-59.935491E-40.00111274890.00118267091.06283727.0E-50.0098911880.0110725950.0111615981.00803829.0E-5
6.41.9050609E-52.1337288E-54.133686E-51.93730622.0E-58.164292E-59.144236E-51.314387E-41.4373944.0E-59.935491E-40.00111274890.00118267091.06283727.0E-50.0098911880.0110725950.0111615981.00803829.0E-5
6.51.8367004E-52.0561336E-54.0560924E-51.97267952.0E-57.8713354E-58.811707E-51.2811355E-41.45390154.0E-59.5791375E-40.00107230390.00114222881.065217.0E-50.0095379510.0106720850.0107611241.00834329.0E-5
6.61.779439E-51.9911244E-53.9910847E-52.00443772.0E-57.625944E-58.533114E-51.2532773E-41.4687224.0E-59.280632E-40.00103841790.00110834521.06734037.0E-50.0092419690.0103364160.0104254861.0086179.0E-5
6.71.7025437E-51.9043726E-53.9043345E-52.05019472.0E-57.296412E-58.161345E-51.2161019E-41.49007524.0E-58.87976E-49.93197E-40.00106312741.07040947.0E-50.0088443620.0098883010.009967511.00801048.0E-5
6.81.6545107E-51.851284E-53.851247E-52.08031132.0E-57.090568E-57.933836E-51.19335185E-41.50412984.0E-58.629347E-49.655226E-40.0010354551.07242977.0E-50.0085959150.0096139810.0096932111.00824128.0E-5
6.91.615478E-51.8087881E-53.808752E-52.10569262.0E-56.9232934E-57.751722E-51.1751412E-41.51597434.0E-58.4258494E-49.433697E-40.00101330361.07413217.0E-50.0083939730.0093943450.0094735931.00843578.0E-5
7.01.5894311E-51.7805834E-53.780548E-52.12320732.0E-56.81167E-57.6308526E-51.1630547E-41.52414794.0E-58.2900526E-49.286663E-49.986013E-41.07530697.0E-50.0082591950.0092485440.0093278051.008578.0E-5
7.11.5602263E-51.7483784E-53.7483434E-52.1438972.0E-56.6865134E-57.4928386E-51.1492539E-41.53380314.0E-58.137789E-49.118773E-49.818135E-41.07669477.0E-50.0081080520.0090820390.0091613121.00872868.0E-5
7.21.5323829E-51.7170905E-53.717056E-52.1647412.0E-56.56719E-57.358755E-51.1358461E-41.54353024.0E-57.99262E-48.9556625E-49.6550357E-41.07809287.0E-50.0079639340.0089202490.0089995361.00888848.0E-5
7.31.4556212E-51.6302716E-53.630239E-52.22676942.0E-56.238227E-56.986695E-51.0986415E-41.57247694.0E-57.592395E-48.503039E-49.202444E-41.08225357.0E-50.00756650740.0084711490.0085504721.00936388.0E-5
7.41.411725E-51.5808211E-53.5807894E-52.26514532.0E-56.0501097E-56.774775E-51.0774504E-41.59038544.0E-57.363519E-48.245226E-48.9446484E-41.08482777.0E-50.00733916740.0082152680.0082946111.0096588.0E-5
7.51.3503312E-51.5126531E-53.5126228E-52.32216022.0E-55.7870053E-56.482641E-51.0482382E-41.61699254.0E-57.043401E-47.8898156E-48.5892633E-41.0886527.0E-50.0070211190.0078624290.00794181.0100958.0E-5
7.61.1279839E-51.2626528E-53.2626274E-52.58394672.0E-54.834127E-55.4112596E-59.411043E-51.73915954.0E-55.88396E-46.58627E-47.285809E-41.10621177.0E-50.0058684050.00656730260.0066467771.01210158.0E-5
7.79.189108E-61.0283521E-53.0283316E-52.9448392.0E-53.93813E-54.407152E-58.4069754E-51.90757574.0E-54.7936183E-45.3644367E-46.0640613E-41.1304197.0E-50.0047832910.00535199840.005431571.01486778.0E-5
7.83.4586725E-73.648288E-73.648288E-71.00.01.4822873E-61.5635511E-61.5635511E-61.00.01.80467E-51.9036073E-51.9036073E-51.00.01.8045233E-41.9034486E-41.9034486E-41.00.0
7.92.5591178E-92.6696871E-92.6696871E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.1441516E-81.1441516E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3930045E-71.3930045E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3930046E-61.3930046E-61.00.0

Paradise

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.4851273E-51.6694923E-53.669459E-52.1979492.0E-56.364676E-57.1547845E-59.154641E-51.27951322.0E-57.7462377E-48.707705E-49.0074434E-41.03442233.0E-50.00771929140.0086759650.0087651831.01028359.0E-5
6.11.4851273E-51.6694923E-53.669459E-52.1979492.0E-56.364676E-57.1547845E-59.154641E-51.27951322.0E-57.7462377E-48.707705E-49.0074434E-41.03442233.0E-50.00771929140.0086759650.0087651831.01028359.0E-5
6.21.4851273E-51.6694923E-53.669459E-52.1979492.0E-56.364676E-57.1547845E-59.154641E-51.27951322.0E-57.7462377E-48.707705E-49.0074434E-41.03442233.0E-50.00771929140.0086759650.0087651831.01028359.0E-5
6.31.0426831E-51.1888797E-53.188856E-52.6822362.0E-54.4685654E-55.095103E-57.095001E-51.39251382.0E-55.43912E-46.2015816E-46.4014574E-41.03222982.0E-50.00542582660.00618488340.00623457461.00803425.0E-5
6.41.0426831E-51.1888797E-53.188856E-52.6822362.0E-54.4685654E-55.095103E-57.095001E-51.39251382.0E-55.43912E-46.2015816E-46.4014574E-41.03222982.0E-50.00542582660.00618488340.00623457461.00803425.0E-5
6.59.25027E-61.0620124E-53.061991E-52.8831972.0E-53.964341E-54.551405E-56.551314E-51.43940472.0E-54.8255164E-45.539976E-45.739865E-41.03608122.0E-50.00481505130.00552666470.00556644331.00719764.0E-5
6.67.904275E-69.159673E-62.915949E-53.1834642.0E-53.3875025E-53.925517E-55.9254387E-51.5094672.0E-54.1235037E-44.7783085E-44.9782125E-41.04183582.0E-50.00411586040.0047684310.00480824061.00834854.0E-5
6.77.2061953E-68.407388E-68.407388E-61.00.03.088333E-53.6031186E-53.6031186E-51.00.03.7593965E-44.3859507E-44.3859507E-41.00.00.0037530430.00437766360.0043975761.00454872.0E-5
6.86.6948724E-67.842299E-67.842299E-61.00.02.8691995E-53.360944E-53.360944E-51.00.03.4926904E-44.0912168E-44.0912168E-41.00.00.0034872060.00408404270.0041039611.00487712.0E-5
6.96.0421025E-67.130747E-67.130747E-61.00.02.5894467E-53.0560004E-53.0560004E-51.00.03.1521954E-43.7200793E-43.7200793E-41.00.00.00314772780.00371419030.0037341161.00536482.0E-5
7.04.134091E-65.080416E-65.080416E-61.00.01.7717413E-52.1773038E-52.1773038E-51.00.02.1568815E-42.6505603E-42.6505603E-41.00.00.00215478920.00264755220.0026674991.00753412.0E-5
7.13.7674888E-64.6319656E-64.6319656E-61.00.01.6146281E-51.9851139E-51.9851139E-51.00.01.9656324E-42.4166232E-42.4166232E-41.00.00.00196389460.0024141460.00243409771.00826452.0E-5
7.23.4065345E-64.156807E-64.156807E-61.00.01.4599351E-51.7814775E-51.7814775E-51.00.01.777326E-42.1687479E-42.1687479E-41.00.00.00177590530.00216677950.00218673631.00921022.0E-5
7.32.9934936E-63.6293877E-63.6293877E-61.00.01.2829195E-51.5554435E-51.5554435E-51.00.01.5618425E-41.8936026E-41.8936026E-41.00.00.00156074530.00189213440.00191209651.010552.0E-5
7.42.4049796E-62.8890327E-62.8890327E-61.00.01.0307015E-51.2381518E-51.2381518E-51.00.01.2548068E-41.5073598E-41.5073598E-41.00.00.00125409850.0015064790.00151646391.0066281.0E-5
7.51.2710091E-61.513489E-61.513489E-61.00.05.44717E-66.486372E-66.486372E-61.00.06.631728E-57.896997E-57.896997E-51.00.06.6297496E-47.895417E-47.995338E-41.01265561.0E-5
7.62.21172E-72.6040198E-72.6040198E-71.00.09.478797E-71.1160082E-61.1160082E-61.00.01.1540374E-51.3587343E-51.3587343E-51.00.01.1539775E-41.3586794E-41.4586658E-41.07359091.0E-5

Death Valley (Fish Lake Valley)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.872328E-54.7267124E-56.726618E-51.4231072.0E-51.6594635E-42.0255933E-42.4255122E-41.1974334.0E-50.00201852460.0024636330.00253346051.02834337.0E-50.020002880.0243890420.024467091.00320028.0E-5
6.13.872328E-54.7267124E-56.726618E-51.4231072.0E-51.6594635E-42.0255933E-42.4255122E-41.1974334.0E-50.00201852460.0024636330.00253346051.02834337.0E-50.020002880.0243890420.024467091.00320028.0E-5
6.23.872328E-54.7267124E-56.726618E-51.4231072.0E-51.6594635E-42.0255933E-42.4255122E-41.1974334.0E-50.00201852460.0024636330.00253346051.02834337.0E-50.020002880.0243890420.024467091.00320028.0E-5
6.32.8356371E-53.361063E-55.360996E-51.59502982.0E-51.2152165E-41.4403803E-41.8403227E-41.27766444.0E-50.00147852190.00175232230.00182219971.03987697.0E-50.0146872350.0173922440.0174708521.00451978.0E-5
6.42.8356371E-53.361063E-55.360996E-51.59502982.0E-51.2152165E-41.4403803E-41.8403227E-41.27766444.0E-50.00147852190.00175232230.00182219971.03987697.0E-50.0146872350.0173922440.0174708521.00451978.0E-5
6.52.4448687E-52.8608241E-54.8607668E-51.69907932.0E-51.0477588E-41.2260124E-41.6259633E-41.3262214.0E-50.00127489980.00149169580.00156159131.04685647.0E-50.0126761050.0148217270.0149005411.00531748.0E-5
6.62.1298161E-52.4660607E-54.466011E-51.81099012.0E-59.127464E-51.05684194E-41.4567997E-41.37844614.0E-50.00111070220.00128597850.00135588841.05436337.0E-50.0110516720.01278880.0128677771.00617558.0E-5
6.71.8959729E-52.178146E-54.1781026E-51.9181922.0E-58.125345E-59.334592E-51.3334218E-41.42847364.0E-59.888117E-40.00113591960.00120584011.06155417.0E-50.0098442340.0113037950.011382891.00699728.0E-5
6.81.6691629E-51.9018706E-53.9018327E-52.05157612.0E-57.153359E-58.150629E-51.2150303E-41.49071974.0E-58.7057345E-49.919042E-40.00106183471.07050137.0E-50.0086717080.0098765270.0099557371.008028.0E-5
6.91.450505E-51.6389824E-53.6389494E-52.22024942.0E-56.216302E-57.024026E-51.1023745E-41.56943394.0E-57.5657194E-48.548484E-49.247886E-41.08181587.0E-50.0075400130.0085165320.0085958511.00931358.0E-5
7.01.2940855E-51.453821E-53.453792E-52.37566522.0E-55.545963E-56.230516E-51.0230267E-41.64196134.0E-56.750118E-47.583071E-48.2825404E-41.09224097.0E-50.0067296510.00755781350.0076372091.01050518.0E-5
7.11.2544658E-51.4078437E-53.4078155E-52.42059232.0E-55.3761712E-56.033479E-51.0033238E-41.66292744.0E-56.5435225E-47.343341E-48.042827E-41.09525447.0E-50.0065242880.00731966920.0073990841.01084958.0E-5
7.21.2489416E-51.4015902E-53.4015622E-52.42693072.0E-55.3524967E-56.00668E-51.000644E-41.66588534.0E-56.514716E-47.310735E-48.0102234E-41.09567967.0E-50.0064956510.0072872780.00736669451.0108988.0E-5
7.31.2368307E-51.3880038E-53.387976E-52.44089822.0E-55.3005948E-55.948455E-59.9482175E-51.67240354.0E-56.451563E-47.239894E-47.939387E-41.09661657.0E-50.00643286530.00721689870.00729632141.0110058.0E-5
7.41.2161707E-51.3648089E-53.3647815E-52.46538662.0E-55.212056E-55.8490532E-59.848819E-51.68383134.0E-56.3438306E-47.118952E-47.818453E-41.09825917.0E-50.0063257510.00709673530.0071761681.01119288.0E-5
7.51.1707948E-51.314573E-53.3145465E-52.52138662.0E-55.0175953E-55.6337656E-59.63354E-51.70996464.0E-56.10721E-46.857007E-47.5565267E-41.10201547.0E-50.00609045340.00683643250.00691588551.0116228.0E-5
7.61.0319538E-51.157981E-53.1579577E-52.7271242.0E-54.4225842E-54.9626844E-58.962486E-51.80597544.0E-55.383166E-46.040445E-46.740022E-41.11581557.0E-50.00537014430.00602455760.0061040761.0131998.0E-5
7.78.937764E-61.0022941E-53.002274E-52.99540232.0E-53.830414E-54.295478E-58.295306E-51.93117184.0E-54.6625308E-45.2285404E-45.9281744E-41.13381067.0E-50.00465276050.0052167480.0052963311.01525528.0E-5
7.83.108007E-73.2846788E-73.2846788E-71.00.01.3320023E-61.4077187E-61.4077187E-61.00.01.6217007E-51.7138846E-51.7138846E-51.00.01.6215823E-41.713756E-41.713756E-41.00.0
7.92.5591178E-92.6696871E-92.6696871E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.1441516E-81.1441516E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3930045E-71.3930045E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3930046E-61.3930046E-61.00.0

San Andreas (San Gorgonio Pass-Garnet HIll)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.31567E-52.338839E-42.338839E-41.00.03.5633717E-40.00100197080.00101196081.00997031.0E-50.0043297780.012130650.0121602861.00244313.0E-50.0424638280.112597710.112650951.00047296.0E-5
6.18.31567E-52.338839E-42.338839E-41.00.03.5633717E-40.00100197080.00101196081.00997031.0E-50.0043297780.012130650.0121602861.00244313.0E-50.0424638280.112597710.112650951.00047296.0E-5
6.28.31567E-52.338839E-42.338839E-41.00.03.5633717E-40.00100197080.00101196081.00997031.0E-50.0043297780.012130650.0121602861.00244313.0E-50.0424638280.112597710.112650951.00047296.0E-5
6.38.31567E-52.338839E-42.338839E-41.00.03.5633717E-40.00100197080.00101196081.00997031.0E-50.0043297780.012130650.0121602861.00244313.0E-50.0424638280.112597710.112650951.00047296.0E-5
6.48.059055E-52.2945837E-42.2945837E-41.00.03.4534236E-49.830239E-49.930141E-41.01016271.0E-50.00419643940.0119028370.0119324791.00249043.0E-50.0411807450.110578740.110632111.00048266.0E-5
6.58.059055E-52.2945837E-42.2945837E-41.00.03.4534236E-49.830239E-49.930141E-41.01016271.0E-50.00419643940.0119028370.0119324791.00249043.0E-50.0411807450.110578740.110632111.00048266.0E-5
6.67.619237E-52.2190346E-42.2190346E-41.00.03.2649786E-49.5067057E-49.6066104E-41.01050891.0E-50.00396786770.0115135350.0115431891.00257563.0E-50.038977640.1071151940.1071687641.00050026.0E-5
6.77.440636E-52.1866155E-42.1866155E-41.00.03.188454E-49.367866E-49.4677723E-41.01066481.0E-50.00387503460.0113462670.0113759261.0026143.0E-50.0380815640.1056237150.105677381.00050816.0E-5
6.87.3735864E-52.1713313E-42.1713313E-41.00.03.1597257E-49.3024096E-49.4023166E-41.01073991.0E-50.00384018150.0112674030.0112970651.00263253.0E-50.037744950.104925110.1049788151.00051196.0E-5
6.97.27575E-52.1482276E-42.1482276E-41.00.03.117806E-49.203464E-49.303372E-41.01085541.0E-50.0037893230.0111481750.0111778411.0026613.0E-50.0372535620.1038730.103926771.00051766.0E-5
7.07.102591E-52.10663E-42.10663E-41.00.03.0436125E-49.0253126E-49.125222E-41.01106991.0E-50.0036993030.0109334710.0109631431.00271393.0E-50.036383250.101975520.1020294061.00052836.0E-5
7.17.028513E-52.0901936E-42.0901936E-41.00.03.0118722E-48.95492E-49.05483E-41.0111571.0E-50.00366078970.0108486250.0108782991.00273543.0E-50.0360106860.101218330.1012722551.00053276.0E-5
7.26.8498244E-52.0509785E-42.0509785E-41.00.02.9353087E-48.786969E-48.886881E-41.01137051.0E-50.0035678830.0106461590.0106758391.0027883.0E-50.0351114050.099410090.099464121.00054366.0E-5
7.36.622592E-51.9737013E-41.9737013E-41.00.02.8379448E-48.455999E-48.555915E-41.01181591.0E-50.00344972430.0102470620.0102767541.00289763.0E-50.0339666120.095906620.095960871.00056566.0E-5
7.45.1050705E-51.4693316E-41.4693316E-41.00.02.1877038E-46.295625E-46.395562E-41.0158741.0E-50.0026602760.00763817830.0076679491.00389773.0E-50.026286540.072878330.0729339641.00076336.0E-5
7.53.9302922E-51.1133535E-41.1133535E-41.00.01.6843023E-44.7706455E-44.870598E-41.02095151.0E-50.00204870920.00579286230.00582268831.00514883.0E-50.0202992470.0560234820.056080121.0010116.0E-5
7.62.9851626E-58.498211E-58.498211E-51.00.01.2792926E-43.6415833E-43.7415468E-41.02745061.0E-50.00155642590.004424640.0044545071.00675023.0E-50.01545569950.0432063940.04326381.00132876.0E-5
7.72.1135214E-56.355745E-56.355745E-51.00.09.0576345E-52.7236066E-42.823579E-41.0367061.0E-50.00110220910.00331095420.0033408551.00903083.0E-50.0109675820.032594420.0326524641.00178076.0E-5
7.81.883379E-55.5666103E-55.5666103E-51.00.08.0713755E-52.3854722E-42.4854482E-41.04191041.0E-59.822468E-40.00290044750.00293036041.01031333.0E-50.00977916550.028705940.0287642181.00203016.0E-5
7.91.5156185E-54.167907E-54.167907E-51.00.06.495346E-51.7861238E-41.8861059E-41.05597711.0E-57.9052144E-40.00217243820.0022023731.01377943.0E-50.0078771520.0217687990.0218274931.00269636.0E-5
8.01.1405907E-52.9989498E-52.9989498E-51.00.04.8881542E-51.2852009E-41.2852009E-41.00.05.9497025E-40.001563610.00157359441.00638541.0E-50.0059337980.0157798290.0158191981.00249494.0E-5
8.14.3511436E-67.3739657E-67.3739657E-61.00.01.8647626E-53.160233E-53.160233E-51.00.02.2701119E-43.8469053E-43.8469053E-41.00.00.00226779420.00411868650.00411868651.00.0
8.22.3042528E-62.7349201E-62.7349201E-61.00.09.875332E-61.1721034E-51.1721034E-51.00.01.2022553E-41.4269429E-41.4269429E-41.00.00.00120160510.00159904310.00159904311.00.0
8.35.202968E-73.1619535E-73.1619535E-71.00.02.2298414E-61.3551223E-61.3551223E-61.00.02.714798E-51.6498503E-51.6498503E-51.00.02.7144665E-41.9577713E-41.9577713E-41.00.0

Lake Isabella (Seismicity)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.431637E-69.741694E-61.9741597E-52.02650551.0E-54.0420677E-54.1749525E-56.174869E-51.47902742.0E-54.920106E-45.0819496E-45.4817466E-41.07866994.0E-50.0049092270.0050716210.00512136751.00980885.0E-5
6.19.431637E-69.741694E-61.9741597E-52.02650551.0E-54.0420677E-54.1749525E-56.174869E-51.47902742.0E-54.920106E-45.0819496E-45.4817466E-41.07866994.0E-50.0049092270.0050716210.00512136751.00980885.0E-5
6.29.431637E-69.741694E-61.9741597E-52.02650551.0E-54.0420677E-54.1749525E-56.174869E-51.47902742.0E-54.920106E-45.0819496E-45.4817466E-41.07866994.0E-50.0049092270.0050716210.00512136751.00980885.0E-5
6.39.431637E-69.741694E-61.9741597E-52.02650551.0E-54.0420677E-54.1749525E-56.174869E-51.47902742.0E-54.920106E-45.0819496E-45.4817466E-41.07866994.0E-50.0049092270.0050716210.00512136751.00980885.0E-5
6.45.144063E-65.3000977E-61.5300044E-52.88674781.0E-52.2045799E-52.2714525E-53.27143E-51.44023691.0E-52.6837454E-42.765177E-43.065094E-41.10846213.0E-50.00268050660.0027620770.0027919941.01083143.0E-5
6.55.144063E-65.3000977E-61.5300044E-52.88674781.0E-52.2045799E-52.2714525E-53.27143E-51.44023691.0E-52.6837454E-42.765177E-43.065094E-41.10846213.0E-50.00268050660.0027620770.0027919941.01083143.0E-5
6.63.4009804E-63.4987995E-61.3498765E-53.85811331.0E-51.4575549E-51.4994778E-52.4994628E-51.66688881.0E-51.7744285E-41.8254772E-42.0254408E-41.10954032.0E-50.00177301230.00182413550.0018440991.01094412.0E-5
6.73.3880428E-63.4856662E-61.3485631E-53.86888221.0E-51.4520103E-51.4938492E-52.4938343E-51.66940161.0E-51.767679E-41.8186258E-42.0185893E-41.10995322.0E-50.00176627360.00181729510.00183725881.01098542.0E-5
6.82.6582E-62.7337105E-62.7337105E-61.00.01.1392236E-51.1715857E-51.1715857E-51.00.01.3869164E-41.4263256E-41.5263114E-41.07010021.0E-50.00138605120.00142554230.0014355281.00700491.0E-5
6.92.406011E-62.474338E-62.474338E-61.00.01.0311434E-51.0604271E-51.0604271E-51.00.01.2553448E-41.2910066E-41.3909937E-41.0774491.0E-50.00125463590.00129038630.00130037331.00773971.0E-5
7.01.6953097E-61.7429437E-61.7429437E-61.00.07.265593E-67.469743E-67.469743E-61.00.08.8455E-59.094137E-59.094137E-51.00.08.84198E-49.0914435E-49.0914435E-41.00.0
7.13.5013824E-73.571492E-73.571492E-71.00.01.5005916E-61.5306384E-61.5306384E-61.00.01.826955E-51.8635366E-51.8635366E-51.00.01.8268047E-41.863383E-41.863383E-41.00.0
7.22.2321095E-72.2750632E-72.2750632E-71.00.09.56618E-79.750268E-79.750268E-71.00.01.1646762E-51.1870887E-51.1870887E-51.00.01.1646151E-41.1870263E-41.1870263E-41.00.0
7.31.5760406E-71.6060963E-71.6060963E-71.00.06.7544585E-76.883268E-76.883268E-71.00.08.223522E-68.380347E-68.380347E-61.00.08.2232174E-58.3800376E-58.3800376E-51.00.0
7.41.1216497E-71.1431735E-71.1431735E-71.00.04.8070694E-74.8993144E-74.8993144E-71.00.05.852591E-65.964899E-65.964899E-61.00.05.8524372E-55.9647435E-55.9647435E-51.00.0
7.54.885185E-84.9787864E-84.9787864E-81.00.02.0936506E-72.1337654E-72.1337654E-71.00.02.5490165E-62.5978566E-62.5978566E-61.00.02.5489873E-52.597828E-52.597828E-51.00.0
7.61.504641E-91.5317939E-91.5317939E-91.00.06.4484613E-96.5648313E-96.5648313E-91.00.07.851001E-87.992682E-87.992682E-81.00.07.8509987E-77.992682E-77.992682E-71.00.0

Garlic Springs

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6760017E-51.8777133E-51.8777133E-51.00.07.182667E-58.0471604E-58.0471604E-51.00.08.7413884E-49.794187E-40.00100938941.03060043.0E-50.0087070830.0097625680.009812081.00507165.0E-5
6.19.852767E-61.0973753E-51.0973753E-51.00.04.222546E-54.702992E-54.702992E-51.00.05.139737E-45.7250983E-45.825041E-41.0174571.0E-50.0051278660.00571730730.0057471361.00521723.0E-5
6.29.852767E-61.0973753E-51.0973753E-51.00.04.222546E-54.702992E-54.702992E-51.00.05.139737E-45.7250983E-45.825041E-41.0174571.0E-50.0051278660.00571730730.0057471361.00521723.0E-5
6.34.3167724E-64.7780964E-64.7780964E-61.00.01.8500323E-52.0477524E-52.0477524E-51.00.02.2521814E-42.4930836E-42.4930836E-41.00.00.00224990030.00249254520.00250252031.0040021.0E-5
6.44.3167724E-64.7780964E-64.7780964E-61.00.01.8500323E-52.0477524E-52.0477524E-51.00.02.2521814E-42.4930836E-42.4930836E-41.00.00.00224990030.00249254520.00250252031.0040021.0E-5
6.54.3167724E-64.7780964E-64.7780964E-61.00.01.8500323E-52.0477524E-52.0477524E-51.00.02.2521814E-42.4930836E-42.4930836E-41.00.00.00224990030.00249254520.00250252031.0040021.0E-5
6.64.301311E-64.7609647E-64.7609647E-61.00.01.8434059E-52.0404104E-52.0404104E-51.00.02.2441156E-42.4841467E-42.4841467E-41.00.00.00224185060.00248362820.00249360341.00401641.0E-5
6.73.8599724E-64.2711204E-64.2711204E-61.00.01.6542634E-51.8304801E-51.8304801E-51.00.02.0138794E-42.2286095E-42.2286095E-41.00.00.00201205540.00222860950.00223858721.00447711.0E-5

San Andreas (North Branch Mill Creek)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.3461156E-52.350783E-52.350783E-51.00.05.7689394E-51.0074397E-41.1074296E-41.09925151.0E-57.02142E-40.0012258710.00124584651.0162952.0E-50.00699927660.0122325220.01228191051.00403755.0E-5
6.11.3461156E-52.350783E-52.350783E-51.00.05.7689394E-51.0074397E-41.1074296E-41.09925151.0E-57.02142E-40.0012258710.00124584651.0162952.0E-50.00699927660.0122325220.01228191051.00403755.0E-5
6.21.3461156E-52.350783E-52.350783E-51.00.05.7689394E-51.0074397E-41.1074296E-41.09925151.0E-57.02142E-40.0012258710.00124584651.0162952.0E-50.00699927660.0122325220.01228191051.00403755.0E-5
6.31.3461156E-52.350783E-52.350783E-51.00.05.7689394E-51.0074397E-41.1074296E-41.09925151.0E-57.02142E-40.0012258710.00124584651.0162952.0E-50.00699927660.0122325220.01228191051.00403755.0E-5
6.41.3461156E-52.350783E-52.350783E-51.00.05.7689394E-51.0074397E-41.1074296E-41.09925151.0E-57.02142E-40.0012258710.00124584651.0162952.0E-50.00699927660.0122325220.01228191051.00403755.0E-5
6.51.3450706E-52.349679E-52.349679E-51.00.05.764461E-51.00696656E-41.1069565E-41.09929811.0E-57.0159714E-40.00122529560.00124527111.01630262.0E-50.0069938620.0122268310.012276221.00403945.0E-5
6.61.3074523E-52.3111072E-52.3111072E-51.00.05.6032466E-59.9043704E-51.0904272E-41.10095551.0E-56.8198174E-40.00120519320.00122516921.01657492.0E-50.0067989260.0120279970.0120773951.0041075.0E-5
6.71.3050216E-52.3086368E-52.3086368E-51.00.05.59283E-59.893784E-51.0893685E-41.10106361.0E-56.8071426E-40.00120390580.00122388171.01659262.0E-50.00678632870.0120152620.0120646611.00411145.0E-5
6.81.29049395E-52.2934775E-52.2934775E-51.00.05.530571E-59.8288205E-51.08287226E-41.10173171.0E-56.73139E-40.00119600510.00121598131.01670232.0E-50.00671103640.0119371050.0119865091.00413865.0E-5
6.91.2867369E-52.2894177E-52.2894177E-51.00.05.51447E-59.811423E-51.0811325E-41.1019121.0E-56.711799E-40.00119388930.00121386551.0167322.0E-50.0066915640.0119161740.0119655781.0041465.0E-5
7.01.2495996E-52.2294238E-52.2294238E-51.00.05.3553173E-59.5543255E-51.055423E-41.10465471.0E-56.518148E-40.00116262120.0011825981.01718252.0E-50.00649906230.0116067710.011656191.00425785.0E-5
7.11.2452067E-52.2239308E-52.2239308E-51.00.05.3364907E-59.5307856E-51.05306906E-41.10491311.0E-56.4952404E-40.00115975830.00117973511.0172252.0E-50.00647628870.011578440.0116278611.00426845.0E-5
7.21.2002777E-52.1617801E-52.1617801E-51.00.05.143946E-59.264445E-51.0264352E-41.10792961.0E-56.2609545E-40.00112736520.00114734261.01772052.0E-50.0062433440.011257840.0113072781.00439135.0E-5
7.31.1923425E-52.1487636E-52.1487636E-51.00.05.109939E-59.208664E-51.0208571E-41.10858351.0E-56.219575E-40.00112058080.00114055841.01782792.0E-50.00620219620.0111907120.0112401531.0044185.0E-5
7.41.16105175E-52.0861535E-52.0861535E-51.00.04.975841E-58.9403526E-59.9402634E-51.11184241.0E-56.0564023E-40.00108794690.00110792521.01836322.0E-50.0060399230.0108681740.0109176311.00455065.0E-5
7.51.1037265E-51.9561343E-51.9561343E-51.00.04.7301706E-58.383165E-59.383081E-51.11927661.0E-55.757461E-40.00102017460.00104015411.01958452.0E-50.0057425670.0101986310.0102481211.00485275.0E-5
7.61.0720915E-51.9003148E-51.9003148E-51.00.04.5945973E-58.143953E-59.143871E-51.12278041.0E-55.592486E-49.910774E-40.00101105761.02016012.0E-50.0055784330.0099103010.0099598061.00499525.0E-5
7.79.276279E-61.6448577E-51.6448577E-51.00.03.9754876E-57.0492E-58.04913E-51.14185011.0E-54.839081E-48.579039E-48.778867E-41.02329272.0E-50.00482855740.0085894260.0086389971.00577125.0E-5
7.85.8346777E-61.1160578E-51.1160578E-51.00.02.5005522E-54.783017E-55.782969E-51.2090631.0E-53.043997E-45.8217684E-46.021652E-41.03433382.0E-50.00303983080.00584963570.00589934361.00849765.0E-5
7.94.690204E-68.513636E-68.513636E-61.00.02.0100719E-53.64865E-54.6486137E-51.2740641.0E-52.4469878E-44.4413272E-44.6412382E-41.04501162.0E-50.0024442950.0044730710.00452284751.0111285.0E-5
8.02.9570454E-64.8496286E-64.8496286E-61.00.01.267299E-52.0783957E-52.0783957E-51.00.01.5428272E-42.530153E-42.530153E-41.00.00.00154175660.00255097980.00256095431.00391011.0E-5
8.11.6376824E-62.1982057E-62.1982057E-61.00.07.01862E-69.420847E-69.420847E-61.00.08.544835E-51.146928E-41.146928E-41.00.08.54155E-40.00116133060.00116133061.00.0
8.26.9631557E-74.5391383E-74.5391383E-71.00.02.984206E-61.9453435E-61.9453435E-61.00.03.63321E-52.36843E-52.36843E-51.00.03.6326164E-42.4532314E-42.4532314E-41.00.0
8.31.7876137E-78.3658875E-88.3658875E-81.00.07.661199E-73.58538E-73.58538E-71.00.09.32747E-64.3651917E-64.3651917E-61.00.09.3270784E-54.5847937E-54.5847937E-51.00.0

San Andreas (Coachella) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1925945E-43.2735174E-43.2735174E-41.00.05.110118E-40.00140218650.00141217251.00712171.0E-50.00620383540.0169393270.0169589871.00116072.0E-50.0603347530.152696040.152729931.0002224.0E-5
6.11.1925945E-43.2735174E-43.2735174E-41.00.05.110118E-40.00140218650.00141217251.00712171.0E-50.00620383540.0169393270.0169589871.00116072.0E-50.0603347530.152696040.152729931.0002224.0E-5
6.21.07432395E-43.023596E-43.023596E-41.00.04.603433E-40.00129518730.00130517431.00771091.0E-50.0055902860.015655990.0156756771.00125742.0E-50.054517310.141849350.141883671.0002424.0E-5
6.31.0718766E-43.0181266E-43.0181266E-41.00.04.592948E-40.00129284560.00130283261.00772491.0E-50.0055775860.0156278890.0156475771.00125982.0E-50.0543965550.141617630.141651961.00024254.0E-5
6.41.0355944E-42.9389336E-42.9389336E-41.00.04.4375064E-40.0012589390.00126892641.00793311.0E-50.00538928850.0152209150.0152406111.0012942.0E-50.0526044960.138175440.138209911.00024954.0E-5
6.51.0227914E-42.9108766E-42.9108766E-41.00.04.382655E-40.00124692610.00125691361.00800971.0E-50.00532283540.0150766920.0150963911.00130652.0E-50.0519713160.136959580.136994111.0002524.0E-5
6.61.0116757E-42.8874516E-42.8874516E-41.00.04.3350324E-40.00123689630.00124688391.00807481.0E-50.00526513670.0149562610.0149759621.00131732.0E-50.0514212470.13593710.135971671.00025434.0E-5
6.71.0050676E-42.8733077E-42.8733077E-41.00.04.3067214E-40.00123084030.00124082811.00811461.0E-50.0052308340.014883540.0149032431.00132382.0E-50.0510940850.135321920.13535651.00025564.0E-5
6.89.976819E-52.8536728E-42.8536728E-41.00.04.2750788E-40.00122243330.0012324211.00817041.0E-50.00519249360.0147825780.0148022821.0013332.0E-50.0507282950.134473340.134507951.00025754.0E-5
6.99.77719E-52.8033604E-42.8033604E-41.00.04.1895514E-40.00120089090.0012108791.00831711.0E-50.00508885550.0145238260.0145435351.00135712.0E-50.0497388880.132301720.132336441.00026244.0E-5
7.08.500761E-52.476793E-42.476793E-41.00.03.6426744E-40.00106105410.00107104341.00941461.0E-50.00442594060.012842590.0128623331.00153732.0E-50.043388230.1181510760.1181863551.00029854.0E-5
7.18.319876E-52.4370618E-42.4370618E-41.00.03.5651738E-40.00104404020.00105402981.00956821.0E-50.0043319630.01263786850.0126576151.00156262.0E-50.0424848460.116371060.11640641.00030374.0E-5
7.27.563917E-52.2418915E-42.2418915E-41.00.03.2412758E-49.604599E-49.704503E-41.01040171.0E-50.00393911450.0116315920.01165135951.00169942.0E-50.038700180.1077772160.1078129041.00033124.0E-5
7.37.082985E-52.0734889E-42.0734889E-41.00.03.0352117E-48.8833837E-48.983295E-41.01124691.0E-50.00368910960.010762510.0107822951.00183832.0E-50.036284650.100298670.100334661.00035884.0E-5
7.45.146215E-51.4277869E-41.4277869E-41.00.02.2053342E-46.1176607E-46.1176607E-41.00.00.00268168840.0074230040.00743292971.00133721.0E-50.026495570.070862860.070890731.00039343.0E-5
7.54.0285166E-51.09450986E-41.09450986E-41.00.01.7263928E-44.6899164E-44.6899164E-41.00.00.0020998570.00569509340.0057050361.00174591.0E-50.0208012540.0550243150.0550526641.00051523.0E-5
7.63.1168736E-58.441976E-58.441976E-51.00.01.3357346E-43.617489E-43.617489E-41.00.00.00162504370.00439542530.0044053811.00226511.0E-50.0161321160.0428219740.0428506881.00067063.0E-5
7.72.2100989E-56.241421E-56.241421E-51.00.09.4715084E-52.674621E-42.674621E-41.00.00.0011525460.0032514950.00326146261.00306551.0E-50.0114658670.0319112460.031940291.00091023.0E-5
7.81.7484861E-55.181932E-55.181932E-51.00.07.493296E-52.220639E-42.220639E-41.00.09.1192697E-40.0027002790.00271025181.00369331.0E-50.0090819380.0266499110.0266791121.00109573.0E-5
7.91.3967285E-53.8241284E-53.8241284E-51.00.05.985842E-51.6388092E-41.6388092E-41.00.07.2853256E-40.00199342570.00200340571.00500641.0E-50.00726148770.0199179650.0199473691.00147623.0E-5
8.01.1887396E-53.1081006E-53.1081006E-51.00.05.094499E-51.3319752E-41.3319752E-41.00.06.200787E-40.00162047450.00163045831.0061611.0E-50.0061835130.0162865310.0163160431.0018123.0E-5
8.15.100864E-68.979058E-68.979058E-61.00.02.1860664E-53.8481114E-53.8481114E-51.00.02.6612106E-44.6840697E-44.6840697E-41.00.00.0026580260.00492049060.00492049061.00.0
8.22.3004484E-62.7884673E-62.7884673E-61.00.09.859027E-61.195052E-51.195052E-51.00.01.2002704E-41.454879E-41.454879E-41.00.00.00119962230.00159844240.00159844241.00.0
8.31.0424446E-75.820319E-85.820319E-81.00.04.4676187E-72.4944222E-72.4944222E-71.00.05.439312E-63.0369551E-63.0369551E-61.00.05.4391792E-53.1931086E-53.1931086E-51.00.0

San Andreas (Big Bend)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.0179969E-42.0081972E-42.1081771E-41.04978591.0E-54.362114E-48.603731E-48.803559E-41.02322582.0E-50.00529794860.0104250150.0104645981.00379694.0E-50.0517340970.1014843960.101520341.00035424.0E-5
6.11.0179969E-42.0081972E-42.1081771E-41.04978591.0E-54.362114E-48.603731E-48.803559E-41.02322582.0E-50.00529794860.0104250150.0104645981.00379694.0E-50.0517340970.1014843960.101520341.00035424.0E-5
6.21.0179969E-42.0081972E-42.1081771E-41.04978591.0E-54.362114E-48.603731E-48.803559E-41.02322582.0E-50.00529794860.0104250150.0104645981.00379694.0E-50.0517340970.1014843960.101520341.00035424.0E-5
6.31.0179969E-42.0081972E-42.1081771E-41.04978591.0E-54.362114E-48.603731E-48.803559E-41.02322582.0E-50.00529794860.0104250150.0104645981.00379694.0E-50.0517340970.1014843960.101520341.00035424.0E-5
6.49.1639464E-51.8438944E-41.943876E-41.05422311.0E-53.9268145E-47.9000136E-47.9999346E-41.01264821.0E-50.00477042050.0095759680.0095957761.00206852.0E-50.0466930640.093817120.093835241.00019322.0E-5
6.59.1639464E-51.8438944E-41.943876E-41.05422311.0E-53.9268145E-47.9000136E-47.9999346E-41.01264821.0E-50.00477042050.0095759680.0095957761.00206852.0E-50.0466930640.093817120.093835241.00019322.0E-5
6.69.042622E-51.8245954E-41.9245771E-41.05479671.0E-53.8748336E-47.817353E-47.917275E-41.01278211.0E-50.00470740950.0094762050.0094960161.00209062.0E-50.0460893250.092914170.092932311.00019532.0E-5
6.78.9836685E-51.8160277E-41.9160095E-41.05505531.0E-53.8495753E-47.7806565E-47.8805786E-41.01284241.0E-50.004676790.00943191350.00945172551.00210052.0E-50.0457958170.09250840.092526551.00019622.0E-5
6.88.9471854E-51.8107046E-41.9106866E-41.05521711.0E-53.8339442E-47.7578565E-47.857779E-41.01288021.0E-50.0046578410.0094043960.0094242081.00210672.0E-50.045614140.0922560.092274151.00019682.0E-5
6.98.858234E-51.7989E-41.898882E-41.05557951.0E-53.7958333E-47.7072956E-47.8072184E-41.01296471.0E-50.0046116380.0093433660.009363181.00212062.0E-50.045171030.09169620.091714371.00019812.0E-5
7.08.7433385E-51.7827768E-41.8827591E-41.05608221.0E-53.746607E-47.638237E-47.738161E-41.0130821.0E-50.0045519570.0092600050.009279821.00213982.0E-50.0445983860.090931050.090949241.00019992.0E-5
7.18.684964E-51.7739709E-41.8739532E-41.05636071.0E-53.7215967E-47.6005195E-47.7004434E-41.0131471.0E-50.00452163350.0092144730.0092342891.00215052.0E-50.044307310.090512530.0905307161.0002012.0E-5
7.28.606521E-51.7630306E-41.8630129E-41.05671051.0E-53.6879873E-47.553659E-47.6535833E-41.01322871.0E-50.00448088350.0091579020.0091777191.00216392.0E-50.0439160240.089993270.090011471.00020232.0E-5
7.38.568266E-51.7572299E-41.8572123E-41.05689781.0E-53.6715972E-47.528814E-47.6287385E-41.01327231.0E-50.00446101050.00912790650.0091477241.0021712.0E-50.0437251480.089714210.0897324161.00020292.0E-5
7.48.5432206E-51.7534874E-41.8534699E-41.05701921.0E-53.6608664E-47.5127836E-47.612709E-41.01330071.0E-50.0044479990.0091085540.0091283711.00217572.0E-50.0436001570.089534390.0895525961.00020342.0E-5
7.58.4791965E-51.7404204E-41.840403E-41.05744741.0E-53.633435E-47.456814E-47.55674E-41.01340061.0E-50.00441473770.0090409780.0090607971.00219212.0E-50.0432805750.0889101250.088928351.00020492.0E-5
7.68.241105E-51.6849465E-41.7849296E-41.0593391.0E-53.531424E-47.219202E-47.31913E-41.0138421.0E-50.00429103520.0087540460.0087738711.00226462.0E-50.0420911760.086286520.08630481.00021182.0E-5
7.77.00432E-51.4212567E-41.5212425E-41.07035031.0E-53.001506E-46.089679E-46.189618E-41.01641121.0E-50.00364821120.00738901920.00739894531.00134341.0E-50.0358889770.0735526160.073561881.0001261.0E-5
7.86.415362E-51.2976197E-41.2976197E-41.00.02.749151E-45.5600423E-45.5600423E-41.00.00.00334195470.00674837040.00674837041.00.00.032921410.067284970.067284971.00.0
7.94.939911E-59.346299E-59.346299E-51.00.02.116933E-44.004942E-44.004942E-41.00.00.00257431950.00486512440.00486512441.00.00.0254470130.0489382330.0489382331.00.0
8.03.344983E-55.2255753E-55.2255753E-51.00.01.4334853E-42.2393401E-42.2393401E-41.00.00.00174387110.00272298950.00272298951.00.00.0173024960.027936110.027936111.00.0
8.11.9104898E-51.9185067E-51.9185067E-51.00.08.1875565E-58.221913E-58.221913E-51.00.09.963791E-40.00100055880.00100055881.00.00.0099192350.0107560510.0107560511.00.0
8.28.643924E-65.478665E-65.478665E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3479783E-52.3479783E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.8582895E-42.8582895E-41.00.00.00450013950.00325084690.00325084691.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6647797E-77.6647797E-71.00.08.498917E-63.2849016E-63.2849016E-61.00.01.034694E-43.999296E-53.999296E-51.00.00.00103421244.7228087E-44.7228087E-41.00.0

Sierra Nevada (No Extension)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.7690465E-66.9763464E-66.9763464E-61.00.03.329549E-52.9898487E-52.9898487E-51.00.04.0529718E-43.6398912E-43.8398185E-41.05492682.0E-50.0040455880.00363744560.00367730021.01095684.0E-5
6.17.7690465E-66.9763464E-66.9763464E-61.00.03.329549E-52.9898487E-52.9898487E-51.00.04.0529718E-43.6398912E-43.8398185E-41.05492682.0E-50.0040455880.00363744560.00367730021.01095684.0E-5
6.27.7690465E-66.9763464E-66.9763464E-61.00.03.329549E-52.9898487E-52.9898487E-51.00.04.0529718E-43.6398912E-43.8398185E-41.05492682.0E-50.0040455880.00363744560.00367730021.01095684.0E-5
6.37.7690465E-66.9763464E-66.9763464E-61.00.03.329549E-52.9898487E-52.9898487E-51.00.04.0529718E-43.6398912E-43.8398185E-41.05492682.0E-50.0040455880.00363744560.00367730021.01095684.0E-5
6.47.7690465E-66.9763464E-66.9763464E-61.00.03.329549E-52.9898487E-52.9898487E-51.00.04.0529718E-43.6398912E-43.8398185E-41.05492682.0E-50.0040455880.00363744560.00367730021.01095684.0E-5
6.57.7690465E-66.9763464E-66.9763464E-61.00.03.329549E-52.9898487E-52.9898487E-51.00.04.0529718E-43.6398912E-43.8398185E-41.05492682.0E-50.0040455880.00363744560.00367730021.01095684.0E-5
6.62.653E-61.6148447E-61.6148447E-61.00.01.136995E-56.9207445E-66.9207445E-61.00.01.3842035E-48.425684E-51.0425516E-41.23734942.0E-50.00138334158.422524E-48.822187E-41.04745174.0E-5
6.72.5902466E-61.5501779E-61.5501779E-61.00.01.11010095E-56.643603E-66.643603E-61.00.01.351464E-48.088289E-51.00881276E-41.2472512.0E-50.00135064248.0853753E-48.485052E-41.0494324.0E-5
6.82.5853892E-61.5469781E-61.5469781E-61.00.01.1080193E-56.6298894E-66.6298894E-61.00.01.34893E-48.0715945E-51.0071433E-41.24776262.0E-50.00134811148.0686924E-48.4683695E-41.04953434.0E-5
6.92.458257E-61.4220519E-61.4220519E-61.00.01.0535345E-56.094494E-66.094494E-61.00.01.2826028E-47.419796E-59.4196475E-51.26952922.0E-50.00128186277.417338E-47.8170415E-41.05388774.0E-5
7.02.4341468E-61.3990157E-61.3990157E-61.00.01.0432016E-55.995768E-65.995768E-61.00.01.270024E-47.2996045E-59.299459E-51.27396742.0E-50.00126929847.297226E-47.696934E-41.05477544.0E-5
7.12.3652476E-61.3339652E-61.3339652E-61.00.01.0136736E-55.716981E-65.716981E-61.00.01.2340778E-46.9602036E-58.9600646E-51.28732792.0E-50.00123339266.958041E-47.3577627E-41.05744744.0E-5
7.22.272158E-61.2502717E-61.2502717E-61.00.09.737784E-65.358296E-65.358296E-61.00.01.1855107E-46.523532E-58.5234016E-51.30656242.0E-50.00118487846.521632E-46.921371E-41.06129434.0E-5
7.32.1382127E-61.1419595E-61.1419595E-61.00.09.163737E-64.8941033E-64.8941033E-61.00.01.1156279E-45.9584087E-57.95829E-51.33564012.0E-50.0011150685.956823E-46.356585E-41.067114.0E-5
7.41.9048055E-69.57513E-79.57513E-71.00.08.163426E-64.1036205E-64.1036205E-61.00.09.9385186E-54.996044E-56.995944E-51.40029672.0E-59.934074E-44.9949274E-45.394728E-41.08004134.0E-5
7.51.5373403E-67.559938E-77.559938E-71.00.06.5885843E-63.2399694E-63.2399694E-61.00.08.021306E-53.944592E-55.944513E-51.50700332.0E-58.0184115E-43.9438964E-44.2437782E-41.07603693.0E-5
7.61.0680322E-64.6595343E-74.6595343E-71.00.04.577273E-61.9969418E-61.9969418E-61.00.05.5726876E-52.4312498E-54.431201E-51.82260222.0E-55.5712904E-42.4309864E-42.7309134E-41.12337673.0E-5
7.75.509146E-71.5579108E-71.5579108E-71.00.02.3610605E-66.676759E-76.676759E-71.00.02.8745531E-58.128925E-68.128925E-61.00.02.8741814E-48.1286395E-58.1286395E-51.00.0

Calico-Hidalgo

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.0906612E-55.0705254E-55.0705254E-51.00.01.7530227E-42.172924E-42.3728806E-41.09202182.0E-50.00213221580.00264272440.00266267171.0075482.0E-50.021118730.0261532680.0261922221.00148944.0E-5
6.14.0906612E-55.0705254E-55.0705254E-51.00.01.7530227E-42.172924E-42.3728806E-41.09202182.0E-50.00213221580.00264272440.00266267171.0075482.0E-50.021118730.0261532680.0261922221.00148944.0E-5
6.24.0906612E-55.0705254E-55.0705254E-51.00.01.7530227E-42.172924E-42.3728806E-41.09202182.0E-50.00213221580.00264272440.00266267171.0075482.0E-50.021118730.0261532680.0261922221.00148944.0E-5
6.32.4242801E-53.0091267E-53.0091267E-51.00.01.0389358E-41.2895638E-41.389551E-41.07753561.0E-50.00126417040.00156894680.00157893111.00636371.0E-50.012570030.0155823830.0156119151.00189533.0E-5
6.42.4242801E-53.0091267E-53.0091267E-51.00.01.0389358E-41.2895638E-41.389551E-41.07753561.0E-50.00126417040.00156894680.00157893111.00636371.0E-50.012570030.0155823830.0156119151.00189533.0E-5
6.52.0286952E-52.531624E-52.531624E-51.00.08.694118E-51.08493754E-41.08493754E-41.00.00.00105799490.00132012820.00132012821.00.00.0105297190.0131247960.0131445331.00150382.0E-5
6.62.0269223E-52.529719E-52.529719E-51.00.08.6865206E-51.0841212E-41.0841212E-41.00.00.00105707070.00131913540.00131913541.00.00.0105205650.0131149860.01313472351.0015052.0E-5
6.71.799852E-52.2541075E-52.2541075E-51.00.07.713423E-59.6601114E-59.6601114E-51.00.09.3870464E-40.00117549860.00117549861.00.00.0093474930.0116944190.0117141851.00169032.0E-5
6.81.7458793E-52.1842718E-52.1842718E-51.00.07.4821255E-59.360837E-59.360837E-51.00.09.10568E-40.00113910050.00113910051.00.00.0090684590.0113342010.0113539751.00174462.0E-5
6.91.542884E-51.9026409E-51.9026409E-51.00.06.612192E-58.153928E-58.153928E-51.00.08.04737E-49.923017E-49.923017E-41.00.00.0080182910.0098801070.0098999091.00200432.0E-5
7.01.468253E-51.8031209E-51.8031209E-51.00.06.292361E-57.7274395E-57.7274395E-51.00.07.658257E-49.404227E-49.404227E-41.00.00.00763191840.0093657970.0093856091.00211552.0E-5
7.11.3139281E-51.620149E-51.620149E-51.00.05.6309986E-56.9433176E-56.9433176E-51.00.06.853584E-48.450336E-48.450336E-41.00.00.00683248560.0084195010.0084393331.00235552.0E-5
7.21.1127404E-51.3867119E-51.3867119E-51.00.04.7688E-55.9429218E-55.9429218E-51.00.05.8044674E-47.233214E-47.233214E-41.00.00.00578932980.0072107790.0072306351.00275362.0E-5
7.39.808154E-61.2176658E-51.2176658E-51.00.04.2034266E-55.2184692E-55.2184692E-51.00.05.11647E-46.3517416E-46.3517416E-41.00.00.00510470570.0063346630.0063545361.00313722.0E-5
7.47.942452E-69.792409E-69.792409E-61.00.03.4038632E-54.1966847E-54.1966847E-51.00.04.1434157E-45.10836E-45.10836E-41.00.00.00413569850.0050975590.0051075081.00195171.0E-5
7.54.7121216E-65.7729853E-65.7729853E-61.00.02.019465E-52.4741174E-52.4741174E-51.00.02.4584212E-43.011898E-43.011898E-41.00.00.00245570320.00300856840.00301853851.00331391.0E-5
7.62.21172E-72.6040198E-72.6040198E-71.00.09.478797E-71.1160082E-61.1160082E-61.00.01.1540374E-51.3587343E-51.3587343E-51.00.01.1539775E-41.3586794E-41.4586658E-41.07359091.0E-5

Scodie Lineament

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.2919327E-63.0133451E-61.3013315E-54.3185611.0E-51.4108206E-51.2914291E-52.291416E-51.7743261.0E-51.7175387E-41.5722332E-41.7722018E-41.12718762.0E-50.00171621180.00157143250.00161136951.02541454.0E-5
6.11.8663811E-61.5490476E-61.5490476E-61.00.07.998751E-66.6387615E-66.6387615E-61.00.09.738045E-58.082442E-58.082442E-51.00.09.7337784E-48.0799905E-48.17991E-41.01236631.0E-5
6.21.8663811E-61.5490476E-61.5490476E-61.00.07.998751E-66.6387615E-66.6387615E-61.00.09.738045E-58.082442E-58.082442E-51.00.09.7337784E-48.0799905E-48.17991E-41.01236631.0E-5
6.31.8663811E-61.5490476E-61.5490476E-61.00.07.998751E-66.6387615E-66.6387615E-61.00.09.738045E-58.082442E-58.082442E-51.00.09.7337784E-48.0799905E-48.17991E-41.01236631.0E-5
6.41.8663811E-61.5490476E-61.5490476E-61.00.07.998751E-66.6387615E-66.6387615E-61.00.09.738045E-58.082442E-58.082442E-51.00.09.7337784E-48.0799905E-48.17991E-41.01236631.0E-5
6.51.8106311E-61.4909813E-61.4909813E-61.00.07.759824E-66.389907E-66.389907E-61.00.09.447177E-57.779484E-57.779484E-51.00.09.4431615E-47.777247E-47.8771694E-41.0128481.0E-5
6.61.2414679E-68.997501E-78.997501E-71.00.05.320566E-63.8560665E-63.8560665E-61.00.06.477596E-54.6946687E-54.6946687E-51.00.06.475708E-44.6937633E-44.6937633E-41.00.0
6.71.1062215E-67.594247E-77.594247E-71.00.04.7409408E-63.2546736E-63.2546736E-61.00.05.7719422E-53.9625003E-53.9625003E-51.00.05.770443E-43.9618637E-43.9618637E-41.00.0
6.81.0006736E-66.5003275E-76.5003275E-71.00.04.288594E-62.785852E-62.785852E-61.00.05.221238E-53.3917284E-53.3917284E-51.00.05.220012E-43.3912715E-43.3912715E-41.00.0
6.99.167364E-75.6315514E-75.6315514E-71.00.03.9288643E-62.4135202E-62.4135202E-61.00.04.7832873E-52.938427E-52.938427E-51.00.04.782258E-42.938095E-42.938095E-41.00.0
7.07.6987664E-74.113303E-74.113303E-71.00.03.2994672E-61.7628431E-61.7628431E-61.00.04.0170275E-52.1462443E-52.1462443E-51.00.04.0163012E-42.1460756E-42.1460756E-41.00.0
7.17.1038727E-73.521066E-73.521066E-71.00.03.0445133E-61.5090276E-61.5090276E-61.00.03.706632E-51.8372291E-51.8372291E-51.00.03.7060137E-41.8371122E-41.8371122E-41.00.0
7.22.0799602E-73.1178946E-83.1178946E-81.00.08.914113E-71.3362404E-71.3362404E-71.00.01.0852878E-51.6268716E-61.6268716E-61.00.01.08523476E-41.6268605E-51.6268605E-51.00.0
7.31.5048182E-71.5939344E-81.5939344E-81.00.06.449219E-76.831147E-86.831147E-81.00.07.851896E-68.316919E-78.316919E-71.00.07.851618E-58.316891E-68.316891E-61.00.0
7.45.9334678E-84.8638475E-94.8638475E-91.00.02.5429145E-72.084506E-82.084506E-81.00.03.095994E-62.5378858E-72.5378858E-71.00.03.095951E-52.5378843E-62.5378843E-61.00.0

White Wolf (Extension)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.222555E-66.0666557E-66.0666557E-61.00.03.5239045E-52.5999732E-52.5999732E-51.00.04.289509E-43.165074E-43.165074E-41.00.00.00428123870.00316121780.00320109141.01261334.0E-5
6.18.222555E-66.0666557E-66.0666557E-61.00.03.5239045E-52.5999732E-52.5999732E-51.00.04.289509E-43.165074E-43.165074E-41.00.00.00428123870.00316121780.00320109141.01261334.0E-5
6.28.222555E-66.0666557E-66.0666557E-61.00.03.5239045E-52.5999732E-52.5999732E-51.00.04.289509E-43.165074E-43.165074E-41.00.00.00428123870.00316121780.00320109141.01261334.0E-5
6.38.222555E-66.0666557E-66.0666557E-61.00.03.5239045E-52.5999732E-52.5999732E-51.00.04.289509E-43.165074E-43.165074E-41.00.00.00428123870.00316121780.00320109141.01261334.0E-5
6.45.821773E-63.5571516E-63.5571516E-61.00.02.4950215E-51.5244852E-51.5244852E-51.00.03.0372653E-41.8559136E-41.8559136E-41.00.00.00303311760.00185447210.00188441641.01614713.0E-5
6.55.766023E-63.4990853E-63.4990853E-61.00.02.4711293E-51.4996E-51.4996E-51.00.03.0081844E-41.825621E-41.825621E-41.00.00.00300411580.00182422940.00185417471.01641543.0E-5
6.64.643576E-62.3325927E-62.3325927E-61.00.01.9900888E-59.99679E-69.99679E-61.00.02.4226638E-41.2170455E-41.2170455E-41.00.00.00242002420.00121642140.00123639711.01642172.0E-5
6.73.9529173E-61.6483134E-61.6483134E-61.00.01.6940963E-57.0641822E-67.0641822E-61.00.02.0623671E-48.6003216E-58.6003216E-51.00.00.0020604548.5971784E-48.6970924E-41.01162171.0E-5
6.83.4377522E-61.2244896E-61.2244896E-61.00.01.473314E-55.247802E-65.247802E-61.00.01.7936122E-46.389021E-56.389021E-51.00.00.00179216526.3872756E-46.487212E-41.01564611.0E-5
6.93.1367306E-61.0033432E-61.0033432E-61.00.01.3443062E-54.300036E-64.300036E-61.00.01.63657E-45.2351756E-55.2351756E-51.00.00.00163536525.234019E-45.333966E-41.01909581.0E-5
7.02.8298145E-67.4283355E-77.4283355E-71.00.01.2127721E-53.1835689E-63.1835689E-61.00.01.47645E-43.875931E-53.875931E-51.00.00.00147546933.875305E-43.9752663E-41.02579441.0E-5
7.12.4091064E-65.422472E-75.422472E-71.00.01.03247E-52.323915E-62.323915E-61.00.01.2569598E-42.8293338E-52.8293338E-51.00.00.0012562492.829014E-42.9289856E-41.0353381.0E-5
7.21.3875518E-61.074062E-71.074062E-71.00.05.9466374E-64.603122E-74.603122E-71.00.07.23979E-55.604288E-65.604288E-61.00.07.2374323E-45.604158E-55.604158E-51.00.0
7.37.056077E-75.0005806E-85.0005806E-81.00.03.0240296E-62.1431059E-72.1431059E-71.00.03.681694E-52.6092287E-62.6092287E-61.00.03.681084E-42.6092028E-52.6092028E-51.00.0
7.45.9334678E-84.8638475E-94.8638475E-91.00.02.5429145E-72.084506E-82.084506E-81.00.03.095994E-62.5378858E-72.5378858E-71.00.03.095951E-52.5378843E-62.5378843E-61.00.0

San Jacinto (San Bernardino)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.409352E-53.6001682E-53.6001682E-51.00.01.461069E-41.542838E-41.6428226E-41.06480561.0E-50.00177740.00187678860.0018967511.01063642.0E-50.017632510.019357610.019387031.00151983.0E-5
6.13.409352E-53.6001682E-53.6001682E-51.00.01.461069E-41.542838E-41.6428226E-41.06480561.0E-50.00177740.00187678860.0018967511.01063642.0E-50.017632510.019357610.019387031.00151983.0E-5
6.23.409352E-53.6001682E-53.6001682E-51.00.01.461069E-41.542838E-41.6428226E-41.06480561.0E-50.00177740.00187678860.0018967511.01063642.0E-50.017632510.019357610.019387031.00151983.0E-5
6.33.409352E-53.6001682E-53.6001682E-51.00.01.461069E-41.542838E-41.6428226E-41.06480561.0E-50.00177740.00187678860.0018967511.01063642.0E-50.017632510.019357610.019387031.00151983.0E-5
6.43.400795E-53.5894343E-53.5894343E-51.00.01.4574021E-41.5382383E-41.638223E-41.06499951.0E-50.00177294280.00187119820.00189116071.01066842.0E-50.0175886450.019302690.019332111.00152423.0E-5
6.53.341482E-53.515495E-53.515495E-51.00.01.4319851E-41.5065537E-41.6065387E-41.06636671.0E-50.00174204770.00183268740.00185265071.0108932.0E-50.0172845460.0189242210.0189536551.00155533.0E-5
6.63.3364955E-53.5092165E-53.5092165E-51.00.01.4298483E-41.5038633E-41.6038482E-41.06648541.0E-50.00173945010.00182941730.00184938071.01091242.0E-50.0172589760.0188920850.0189215191.0015583.0E-5
6.73.335922E-53.508194E-53.508194E-51.00.01.4296026E-41.503425E-41.60341E-41.06650481.0E-50.00173915140.00182888470.00184884811.01091562.0E-50.0172560350.0188868770.018916311.00155843.0E-5
6.83.327683E-53.4976E-53.4976E-51.00.01.4260718E-41.4988854E-41.5988704E-41.06670631.0E-50.00173485970.00182336690.00184333051.01094882.0E-50.0172137840.0188326480.0188620821.0015633.0E-5
6.93.3235785E-53.491695E-53.491695E-51.00.01.4243131E-41.496355E-41.59634E-41.06681911.0E-50.00173272170.00182029130.00184025491.01096732.0E-50.0171927340.0188025160.0188319521.00156563.0E-5
7.03.3197095E-53.485688E-53.485688E-51.00.01.422655E-41.4937807E-41.5937658E-41.06693421.0E-50.00173070630.00181716240.0018371261.01098622.0E-50.0171728940.018771890.0188013281.00156813.0E-5
7.13.3129716E-53.473708E-53.473708E-51.00.01.4197677E-41.4886471E-41.5886323E-41.06716511.0E-50.00172719660.00181092260.00183088651.01102412.0E-50.0171383380.018710970.018740411.00157333.0E-5
7.23.3034008E-53.4604524E-53.4604524E-51.00.01.4156665E-41.4829668E-41.582952E-41.06742241.0E-50.00172221110.00180401820.00182398211.01106632.0E-50.0170892530.0186433530.0186727941.00157923.0E-5
7.33.2956614E-53.447227E-53.447227E-51.00.01.4123498E-41.4772992E-41.5772846E-41.06768111.0E-50.00171817960.00179712950.00181709361.01110892.0E-50.0170495570.0185760990.0186055411.0015853.0E-5
7.43.2915937E-53.4393954E-53.4393954E-51.00.01.4106068E-41.4739433E-41.5739286E-41.06783521.0E-50.00171606080.00179305030.00181301451.01113412.0E-50.0170286930.018536370.0185658151.00158853.0E-5
7.53.281791E-53.4258854E-53.4258854E-51.00.01.406406E-41.468154E-41.5681393E-41.06810271.0E-50.00171095420.00178601340.00180597771.01117812.0E-50.0169784110.018467250.0184966961.00159453.0E-5
7.63.2521442E-53.3983775E-53.3983775E-51.00.01.3937015E-41.4563663E-41.5563516E-41.06865411.0E-50.00169551090.00177168530.00179164981.01126872.0E-50.0168263280.0183248870.0183543381.00160713.0E-5
7.73.0287873E-53.2467702E-53.2467702E-51.00.01.297987E-41.3913988E-41.4913849E-41.07186011.0E-50.00157915370.0016927130.0017126791.01179542.0E-50.015679790.0175356180.0175650921.00168093.0E-5
7.82.6316151E-52.9678076E-52.9678076E-51.00.01.1277862E-41.2718556E-41.371843E-41.07861531.0E-50.00137221490.00154738520.00156735431.0129052.0E-50.0136377240.0160768570.0161063751.00183613.0E-5
7.92.0761147E-52.343051E-52.343051E-51.00.08.897331E-51.0041261E-41.1041161E-41.09957911.0E-50.00108271170.00122183880.00123182661.00817441.0E-50.0107745170.0127996470.0128193911.00154262.0E-5
8.01.5738568E-51.604239E-51.604239E-51.00.06.744926E-56.875129E-56.875129E-51.00.08.2088535E-48.3672616E-48.3672616E-41.00.00.0081785960.0088705860.0088705861.00.0
8.11.0105832E-58.335246E-68.335246E-61.00.04.3309992E-53.5721994E-53.5721994E-51.00.05.2717153E-44.34829E-44.34829E-41.00.00.0052592270.00467980050.00467980051.00.0
8.24.189207E-61.5793896E-61.5793896E-61.00.01.7953622E-56.768795E-66.768795E-61.00.02.1856341E-48.2406994E-58.2406994E-51.00.00.00218348589.571454E-49.571454E-41.00.0
8.31.2758221E-63.6171858E-73.6171858E-71.00.05.4677976E-61.5502216E-61.5502216E-61.00.06.65684E-51.8873789E-51.8873789E-51.00.06.6548464E-42.2764095E-42.2764095E-41.00.0

Bullion Mountains

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6420427E-51.4692201E-52.4692055E-51.68062321.0E-57.037136E-56.296527E-57.296464E-51.15880781.0E-58.5643446E-47.6637097E-47.8635564E-41.0260772.0E-50.0085314130.00764107420.0076708451.00389613.0E-5
6.11.6420427E-51.4692201E-52.4692055E-51.68062321.0E-57.037136E-56.296527E-57.296464E-51.15880781.0E-58.5643446E-47.6637097E-47.8635564E-41.0260772.0E-50.0085314130.00764107420.0076708451.00389613.0E-5
6.21.6420427E-51.4692201E-52.4692055E-51.68062321.0E-57.037136E-56.296527E-57.296464E-51.15880781.0E-58.5643446E-47.6637097E-47.8635564E-41.0260772.0E-50.0085314130.00764107420.0076708451.00389613.0E-5
6.31.2046778E-59.8623805E-61.9862282E-52.0139441.0E-55.1628023E-54.226679E-55.226637E-51.23658241.0E-56.283899E-45.1449984E-45.244947E-41.01942631.0E-50.00626615950.00513536860.0051552661.00387452.0E-5
6.41.2046778E-59.8623805E-61.9862282E-52.0139441.0E-55.1628023E-54.226679E-55.226637E-51.23658241.0E-56.283899E-45.1449984E-45.244947E-41.01942631.0E-50.00626615950.00513536860.0051552661.00387452.0E-5
6.51.0244343E-57.879477E-61.7879398E-52.26910971.0E-54.390359E-53.376887E-54.376853E-51.29612081.0E-55.343951E-44.110791E-44.2107498E-41.02431621.0E-50.0053311180.00410521780.0041251361.00485182.0E-5
6.69.605408E-67.177506E-61.7177434E-52.39323161.0E-54.1165385E-53.0760493E-54.0760184E-51.32508231.0E-55.010733E-43.74465E-43.8446125E-41.02669481.0E-50.004999450.00374033720.00376026241.00532712.0E-5
6.78.60418E-66.124001E-61.612394E-52.63290931.0E-53.687454E-52.6245565E-53.6245303E-51.38100671.0E-54.48855E-43.1951242E-43.295092E-41.03128771.0E-50.0044794950.00319244220.00321237841.00624482.0E-5
6.85.187994E-62.5631452E-61.25631195E-54.9014471.0E-52.223407E-51.0984884E-52.0984775E-51.91033181.0E-52.7066618E-41.3373674E-41.4373541E-41.07476381.0E-50.00270336750.00133695430.00135692761.01493942.0E-5
6.94.5302368E-62.344301E-61.2344278E-55.2656541.0E-51.9415156E-51.0046988E-52.0046888E-51.99531321.0E-52.3635388E-41.2231918E-41.3231796E-41.08174341.0E-50.00236102660.00122290760.00124288321.01633442.0E-5
7.03.431668E-61.688219E-61.688219E-61.00.01.4707065E-57.235224E-67.235224E-61.00.01.7904381E-48.8088855E-58.8088855E-51.00.00.00178899628.8088855E-48.908797E-41.01134221.0E-5

Deep Springs

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.9810619E-52.311303E-52.311303E-51.00.08.489989E-59.9054945E-51.19052966E-41.20188812.0E-50.0010331660.00120583440.00122581041.0165662.0E-50.0102837570.0120426960.0120723341.00246123.0E-5
6.11.9810619E-52.311303E-52.311303E-51.00.08.489989E-59.9054945E-51.19052966E-41.20188812.0E-50.0010331660.00120583440.00122581041.0165662.0E-50.0102837570.0120426960.0120723341.00246123.0E-5
6.21.9810619E-52.311303E-52.311303E-51.00.08.489989E-59.9054945E-51.19052966E-41.20188812.0E-50.0010331660.00120583440.00122581041.0165662.0E-50.0102837570.0120426960.0120723341.00246123.0E-5
6.31.9810619E-52.311303E-52.311303E-51.00.08.489989E-59.9054945E-51.19052966E-41.20188812.0E-50.0010331660.00120583440.00122581041.0165662.0E-50.0102837570.0120426960.0120723341.00246123.0E-5
6.41.9810619E-52.311303E-52.311303E-51.00.08.489989E-59.9054945E-51.19052966E-41.20188812.0E-50.0010331660.00120583440.00122581041.0165662.0E-50.0102837570.0120426960.0120723341.00246123.0E-5
6.51.7190405E-52.0051E-52.0051E-51.00.07.367108E-58.593286E-51.0593114E-41.23271992.0E-58.9657627E-40.00104623230.00106621141.01909632.0E-50.0089296760.0104622920.0104919771.00283743.0E-5
6.61.7190405E-52.0051E-52.0051E-51.00.07.367108E-58.593286E-51.0593114E-41.23271992.0E-58.9657627E-40.00104623230.00106621141.01909632.0E-50.0089296760.0104622920.0104919771.00283743.0E-5

Kern Canyon (North Kern) 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.6264497E-66.7573515E-61.6757283E-52.47985981.0E-52.8398761E-52.8959801E-53.895951E-51.34529631.0E-53.4570007E-43.5253656E-43.725295E-41.05671172.0E-50.00345162770.00352056140.0035504561.00849143.0E-5
6.16.6264497E-66.7573515E-61.6757283E-52.47985981.0E-52.8398761E-52.8959801E-53.895951E-51.34529631.0E-53.4570007E-43.5253656E-43.725295E-41.05671172.0E-50.00345162770.00352056140.0035504561.00849143.0E-5
6.26.6264497E-66.7573515E-61.6757283E-52.47985981.0E-52.8398761E-52.8959801E-53.895951E-51.34529631.0E-53.4570007E-43.5253656E-43.725295E-41.05671172.0E-50.00345162770.00352056140.0035504561.00849143.0E-5
6.36.6264497E-66.7573515E-61.6757283E-52.47985981.0E-52.8398761E-52.8959801E-53.895951E-51.34529631.0E-53.4570007E-43.5253656E-43.725295E-41.05671172.0E-50.00345162770.00352056140.0035504561.00849143.0E-5
6.46.6264497E-66.7573515E-61.6757283E-52.47985981.0E-52.8398761E-52.8959801E-53.895951E-51.34529631.0E-53.4570007E-43.5253656E-43.725295E-41.05671172.0E-50.00345162770.00352056140.0035504561.00849143.0E-5
6.53.2162225E-63.2571006E-63.2571006E-61.00.01.3783738E-51.3958933E-51.3958933E-51.00.01.6780409E-41.6993756E-41.6993756E-41.00.00.00167677440.00169815580.00170813891.00587871.0E-5
6.63.2162225E-63.2571006E-63.2571006E-61.00.01.3783738E-51.3958933E-51.3958933E-51.00.01.6780409E-41.6993756E-41.6993756E-41.00.00.00167677440.00169815580.00170813891.00587871.0E-5
6.72.1908265E-62.207128E-62.207128E-61.00.09.389223E-69.459087E-69.459087E-61.00.01.1430779E-41.15158495E-41.15158495E-41.00.00.00114249010.00115100760.00115100761.00.0
6.81.7303895E-61.7365575E-61.7365575E-61.00.07.415934E-67.4423683E-67.4423683E-61.00.09.028525E-59.0607165E-59.0607165E-51.00.09.024858E-49.0571196E-49.0571196E-41.00.0
6.91.3700314E-61.3688658E-61.3688658E-61.00.05.87155E-65.8665546E-65.8665546E-61.00.07.148377E-57.142301E-57.142301E-51.00.07.146078E-47.140051E-47.140051E-41.00.0
7.01.1467797E-61.1413834E-61.1413834E-61.00.04.9147607E-64.8916345E-64.8916345E-61.00.05.983557E-55.955405E-55.955405E-51.00.05.981946E-45.9538404E-45.9538404E-41.00.0
7.19.3952065E-79.3027154E-79.3027154E-71.00.04.026511E-63.986872E-63.986872E-61.00.04.9021666E-54.8539103E-54.8539103E-51.00.04.901085E-44.852868E-44.852868E-41.00.0
7.26.858055E-76.719319E-76.719319E-71.00.02.939163E-62.879705E-62.879705E-61.00.03.5783723E-53.5059853E-53.5059853E-51.00.03.5777962E-43.505441E-43.505441E-41.00.0
7.35.1101983E-74.939314E-74.939314E-71.00.02.1900833E-62.116847E-62.116847E-61.00.02.6663936E-52.5772315E-52.5772315E-51.00.02.6660739E-42.5769373E-42.5769373E-41.00.0
7.43.4999414E-73.2996007E-73.2996007E-71.00.01.499974E-61.4141139E-61.4141139E-61.00.01.8262032E-51.7216704E-51.7216704E-51.00.01.826053E-41.7215393E-41.7215393E-41.00.0
7.51.7021522E-71.4750101E-71.4750101E-71.00.07.2949354E-76.321471E-76.321471E-71.00.08.881548E-67.696364E-67.696364E-61.00.08.8811925E-57.696106E-57.696106E-51.00.0
7.62.572245E-81.7352718E-81.7352718E-81.00.01.10239064E-77.436879E-87.436879E-81.00.01.3421597E-69.054397E-79.054397E-71.00.01.3421517E-59.054365E-69.054365E-61.00.0

Greenville (So) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.279693E-55.504253E-55.504253E-51.00.01.8340252E-42.3587665E-42.3587665E-41.00.00.00223063890.00286826680.00287823821.00347641.0E-50.0220838080.0283396080.028359041.00068572.0E-5
6.13.4037297E-54.319378E-54.319378E-51.00.01.4586597E-41.8510365E-41.8510365E-41.00.00.00177447150.002251470.00226144751.00443151.0E-50.017603690.022303740.0223232941.00087672.0E-5
6.23.4037297E-54.319378E-54.319378E-51.00.01.4586597E-41.8510365E-41.8510365E-41.00.00.00177447150.002251470.00226144751.00443151.0E-50.017603690.022303740.0223232941.00087672.0E-5
6.32.5956324E-53.243031E-53.243031E-51.00.01.11236644E-41.3898002E-41.3898002E-41.00.00.00135346470.00169083240.00170081551.00590421.0E-50.0134525090.0167867840.016806451.00117152.0E-5
6.42.1145053E-52.6198471E-52.6198471E-51.00.09.061851E-51.1227445E-41.1227445E-41.00.00.00110272190.0013661160.00137610231.007311.0E-50.010972660.0135809240.0136006531.00145272.0E-5
6.52.0030959E-52.4796553E-52.4796553E-51.00.08.584414E-51.06266765E-41.06266765E-41.00.00.00104465130.00129306120.00130304821.00772361.0E-50.0103975410.0128590550.0128787981.00153532.0E-5
6.61.8395405E-52.2755145E-52.2755145E-51.00.07.8835066E-59.751856E-59.751856E-51.00.09.5939427E-40.00118667030.00119665851.00841691.0E-50.0095526290.0118067210.0118264841.00167392.0E-5
6.71.7883482E-52.2126169E-52.2126169E-51.00.07.664124E-59.482315E-59.482315E-51.00.09.3270757E-40.0011538890.00116387741.00865641.0E-50.0092880260.0114823580.0115021281.00172192.0E-5
6.81.3373564E-51.650644E-51.650644E-51.00.05.7314013E-57.0740054E-57.0740054E-51.00.06.975747E-48.609346E-48.7092596E-41.01160531.0E-50.00695389040.0085779330.0085878471.00115571.0E-5
6.91.06692905E-51.315295E-51.315295E-51.00.04.5724726E-55.6368626E-55.6368626E-51.00.05.5655633E-46.860832E-46.960763E-41.01456551.0E-50.0055516450.00684121440.0068511461.00145171.0E-5
7.08.157512E-61.0062912E-51.0062912E-51.00.03.4960296E-54.3126074E-54.3126074E-51.00.04.2555845E-45.249372E-45.349319E-41.01903991.0E-50.0042474440.005237780.00524772751.00189921.0E-5
7.16.1467113E-67.627636E-67.627636E-61.00.02.6342783E-53.2689466E-53.2689466E-51.00.03.206762E-43.9792238E-43.9792238E-41.00.00.00320213820.00397261840.00397261841.00.0
7.24.713467E-65.9143304E-65.9143304E-61.00.02.0200418E-52.5346888E-52.5346888E-51.00.02.4591232E-43.0855526E-43.0855526E-41.00.00.00245640380.00308170430.00308170431.00.0
7.32.3266216E-62.954093E-62.954093E-61.00.09.971197E-61.2660337E-51.2660337E-51.00.01.2139256E-41.5412885E-41.5412885E-41.00.00.00121326270.00154047170.00154047171.00.0
7.41.3314E-61.7180038E-61.7180038E-61.00.05.7059874E-67.3628526E-67.3628526E-61.00.06.946818E-58.963909E-58.963909E-51.00.06.9446466E-48.9630444E-48.9630444E-41.00.0
7.51.0362941E-61.3469212E-61.3469212E-61.00.04.4412527E-65.772507E-65.772507E-61.00.05.407091E-57.027805E-57.027805E-51.00.05.405776E-47.028176E-47.028176E-41.00.0
7.67.764784E-71.0088914E-61.0088914E-61.00.03.3277602E-64.3238138E-64.3238138E-61.00.04.0514726E-55.2641197E-55.2641197E-51.00.04.050734E-45.2651245E-45.2651245E-41.00.0
7.71.6927763E-72.214027E-72.214027E-71.00.07.2547533E-79.4886843E-79.4886843E-71.00.08.832627E-61.1552414E-51.1552414E-51.00.08.8322755E-51.1554362E-41.1554362E-41.00.0

Independence rev 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.422171E-64.3262453E-64.3262453E-61.00.01.8952025E-51.8540937E-51.8540937E-51.00.02.3071647E-42.257155E-42.3571325E-41.04429351.0E-50.00230477080.00225515620.0022751111.00884852.0E-5
6.14.422171E-64.3262453E-64.3262453E-61.00.01.8952025E-51.8540937E-51.8540937E-51.00.02.3071647E-42.257155E-42.3571325E-41.04429351.0E-50.00230477080.00225515620.0022751111.00884852.0E-5
6.24.422171E-64.3262453E-64.3262453E-61.00.01.8952025E-51.8540937E-51.8540937E-51.00.02.3071647E-42.257155E-42.3571325E-41.04429351.0E-50.00230477080.00225515620.0022751111.00884852.0E-5
6.34.422171E-64.3262453E-64.3262453E-61.00.01.8952025E-51.8540937E-51.8540937E-51.00.02.3071647E-42.257155E-42.3571325E-41.04429351.0E-50.00230477080.00225515620.0022751111.00884852.0E-5
6.44.422171E-64.3262453E-64.3262453E-61.00.01.8952025E-51.8540937E-51.8540937E-51.00.02.3071647E-42.257155E-42.3571325E-41.04429351.0E-50.00230477080.00225515620.0022751111.00884852.0E-5
6.54.422171E-64.3262453E-64.3262453E-61.00.01.8952025E-51.8540937E-51.8540937E-51.00.02.3071647E-42.257155E-42.3571325E-41.04429351.0E-50.00230477080.00225515620.0022751111.00884852.0E-5
6.62.663744E-62.5319996E-62.5319996E-61.00.01.1415996E-51.0851385E-51.0851385E-51.00.01.3898089E-41.3210809E-41.4210677E-41.07568561.0E-50.00138893990.00132034380.00134031741.01512752.0E-5
6.72.663744E-62.5319996E-62.5319996E-61.00.01.1415996E-51.0851385E-51.0851385E-51.00.01.3898089E-41.3210809E-41.4210677E-41.07568561.0E-50.00138893990.00132034380.00134031741.01512752.0E-5
6.81.9716529E-61.8322698E-61.8322698E-61.00.08.449913E-67.852562E-67.852562E-61.00.01.0287284E-49.560088E-51.05599924E-41.10459161.0E-50.00102825239.556104E-49.755913E-41.02090912.0E-5
6.91.8788617E-61.7430103E-61.7430103E-61.00.08.0522395E-67.4700233E-67.4700233E-61.00.09.80316E-59.094386E-51.00942954E-41.10994791.0E-59.798837E-49.0907846E-49.290603E-41.02198032.0E-5
7.01.5045488E-61.3849603E-61.3849603E-61.00.06.44805E-65.935531E-65.935531E-61.00.07.8502184E-57.226275E-58.226203E-51.13837391.0E-57.8474457E-47.2239764E-47.423832E-41.02766562.0E-5
7.11.272341E-61.1625186E-61.1625186E-61.00.05.4528787E-64.9822133E-64.9822133E-61.00.06.6386776E-56.065679E-57.0656184E-51.1648521.0E-56.636695E-46.0640555E-46.263934E-41.03296122.0E-5
7.21.0416892E-69.4099533E-79.4099533E-71.00.04.464375E-64.032831E-64.032831E-61.00.05.4352407E-54.909863E-55.909814E-51.20366171.0E-55.4339116E-44.908797E-45.108699E-41.04072322.0E-5
7.37.9450155E-77.2350707E-77.2350707E-71.00.03.4050022E-63.100741E-63.100741E-61.00.04.1455114E-53.7750877E-54.7750502E-51.26488451.0E-54.144738E-43.7744577E-43.974382E-41.05296782.0E-5
7.45.3893444E-75.0195547E-75.0195547E-71.00.02.309717E-62.1512358E-62.1512358E-61.00.02.8120441E-52.6190986E-53.6190726E-51.38180081.0E-52.8116882E-42.6187944E-42.818742E-41.0763512.0E-5
7.53.8852085E-73.6825836E-73.6825836E-71.00.01.6650882E-61.5782492E-61.5782492E-61.00.02.027226E-51.9215016E-52.9214825E-51.52041631.0E-52.0270412E-41.9213377E-42.1212992E-41.10407412.0E-5
7.62.414929E-72.3457733E-72.3457733E-71.00.01.0349692E-61.005331E-61.005331E-61.00.01.2600677E-51.2239838E-52.2239716E-51.81699431.0E-51.2599962E-41.2239176E-41.4238931E-41.16338972.0E-5
7.76.8298014E-86.858997E-86.858997E-81.00.02.9270575E-72.93957E-72.93957E-71.00.03.5636867E-63.578921E-63.578921E-61.00.03.5636294E-53.5788682E-53.5788682E-51.00.0

Santa Ynez (West)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.7352758E-55.49722E-55.49722E-51.00.02.0292461E-42.3557546E-42.4557312E-41.04243921.0E-50.00246780760.00286462760.00288457031.00696172.0E-50.0244058180.0283051340.0283245671.00068652.0E-5
6.14.7352758E-55.49722E-55.49722E-51.00.02.0292461E-42.3557546E-42.4557312E-41.04243921.0E-50.00246780760.00286462760.00288457031.00696172.0E-50.0244058180.0283051340.0283245671.00068652.0E-5
6.23.0415853E-53.392567E-53.392567E-51.00.01.3034715E-41.4538778E-41.4538778E-41.00.00.00158582120.00176869380.0017786761.00564381.0E-50.0157455220.017550120.0175599441.00055981.0E-5
6.33.0415853E-53.392567E-53.392567E-51.00.01.3034715E-41.4538778E-41.4538778E-41.00.00.00158582120.00176869380.0017786761.00564381.0E-50.0157455220.017550120.0175599441.00055981.0E-5
6.42.5452082E-52.7912814E-52.7912814E-51.00.01.09075794E-41.1962098E-41.1962098E-41.00.00.00132718870.00145543130.00146541691.00686091.0E-50.0131929020.0144611640.014471021.00068151.0E-5
6.52.3143784E-52.5128551E-52.5128551E-51.00.09.9183875E-51.0768943E-41.0768943E-41.00.00.00120689480.00131034480.00132033171.00762151.0E-50.0120036110.0130278530.01303772351.00075761.0E-5
6.61.9118515E-52.0354546E-52.0354546E-51.00.08.193392E-58.7230896E-58.7230896E-51.00.09.97089E-40.00106152660.00106152661.00.00.009926270.0105654720.0105654721.00.0
6.71.722807E-51.8146504E-51.8146504E-51.00.07.3832496E-57.776845E-57.776845E-51.00.08.985399E-49.464251E-49.464251E-41.00.00.0089491540.00942459050.00942459051.00.0
6.81.5317364E-51.5926595E-51.5926595E-51.00.06.56442E-56.825507E-56.825507E-51.00.07.98925E-48.3069294E-48.3069294E-41.00.00.0079605890.0082763660.0082763661.00.0
6.91.3071226E-51.3329679E-51.3329679E-51.00.05.6018336E-55.7125955E-55.7125955E-51.00.06.8180985E-46.952888E-46.952888E-41.00.00.00679721730.00693139530.00693139531.00.0
7.01.1836986E-51.19328115E-51.19328115E-51.00.05.0728955E-55.113963E-55.113963E-51.00.06.1745E-46.224488E-46.224488E-41.00.00.0061573720.0062072470.0062072471.00.0
7.11.0597169E-51.0542209E-51.0542209E-51.00.04.541565E-54.5180117E-54.5180117E-51.00.05.5279525E-45.499302E-45.499302E-41.00.00.00551422130.0054858250.0054858251.00.0
7.29.59113E-69.4591405E-69.4591405E-61.00.04.11042E-54.0538547E-54.0538547E-51.00.05.0032866E-44.9344613E-44.9344613E-41.00.00.0049920370.00492362350.00492362351.00.0
7.38.586084E-68.3795685E-68.3795685E-61.00.03.679698E-53.5911948E-53.5911948E-51.00.04.4791115E-44.371413E-44.371413E-41.00.00.0044700940.00436292540.00436292541.00.0
7.47.2622997E-66.9515127E-66.9515127E-61.00.03.112377E-52.9791861E-52.9791861E-51.00.03.78866E-43.6265652E-43.6265652E-41.00.00.00378220740.00362074720.00362074721.00.0
7.55.627296E-65.251543E-65.251543E-61.00.02.411676E-52.2506423E-52.2506423E-51.00.02.9358198E-42.7398195E-42.7398195E-41.00.00.00293194430.00273651370.00273651371.00.0
7.62.265244E-62.0608816E-62.0608816E-61.00.09.708152E-68.8323195E-68.8323195E-61.00.01.18190335E-41.0752828E-41.0752828E-41.00.00.0011812750.0010747710.0010747711.00.0
7.71.3099874E-61.1016346E-61.1016346E-61.00.05.61422E-64.7212825E-64.7212825E-61.00.06.8350986E-55.748012E-55.748012E-51.00.06.832996E-45.7465496E-45.7465496E-41.00.0
7.87.903951E-76.0711466E-76.0711466E-71.00.03.3874032E-62.6019175E-62.6019175E-61.00.04.1240855E-53.1677897E-53.1677897E-51.00.04.12332E-43.1673515E-43.1673515E-41.00.0
7.97.0753297E-95.0900932E-95.0900932E-91.00.03.032284E-82.1814685E-82.1814685E-81.00.03.6918053E-72.6559377E-72.6559377E-71.00.03.691799E-62.6559355E-62.6559355E-61.00.0

Red Pass

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.258278E-68.551305E-68.551305E-61.00.03.539214E-53.6648038E-53.6648038E-51.00.04.308141E-44.4611638E-44.4611638E-41.00.00.00429979850.0044539660.00447387671.00447032.0E-5
6.13.649988E-63.7753332E-63.7753332E-61.00.01.5642712E-51.6179927E-51.6179927E-51.00.01.9043336E-41.9697756E-41.9697756E-41.00.00.00190270260.0019684970.00197847721.005071.0E-5
6.23.649988E-63.7753332E-63.7753332E-61.00.01.5642712E-51.6179927E-51.6179927E-51.00.01.9043336E-41.9697756E-41.9697756E-41.00.00.00190270260.0019684970.00197847721.005071.0E-5
6.31.3924937E-61.4411233E-61.4411233E-61.00.05.9678164E-66.176236E-66.176236E-61.00.07.265574E-57.51945E-57.51945E-51.00.07.263199E-47.518293E-47.6182175E-41.01329091.0E-5
6.41.3924937E-61.4411233E-61.4411233E-61.00.05.9678164E-66.176236E-66.176236E-61.00.07.265574E-57.51945E-57.51945E-51.00.07.263199E-47.518293E-47.6182175E-41.01329091.0E-5
6.59.876812E-71.022196E-61.022196E-61.00.04.2329125E-64.38084E-64.38084E-61.00.05.153449E-55.3336724E-55.3336724E-51.00.05.1522546E-45.333672E-45.333672E-41.00.0

Owens Valley

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.83821E-53.621193E-63.621193E-61.00.02.0733538E-41.5519312E-51.5519312E-51.00.00.0025213861.8893222E-41.9893033E-41.0529191.0E-50.0249296910.0019298220.00194978341.01034372.0E-5
6.14.83821E-53.621193E-63.621193E-61.00.02.0733538E-41.5519312E-51.5519312E-51.00.00.0025213861.8893222E-41.9893033E-41.0529191.0E-50.0249296910.0019298220.00194978341.01034372.0E-5
6.24.83821E-53.621193E-63.621193E-61.00.02.0733538E-41.5519312E-51.5519312E-51.00.00.0025213861.8893222E-41.9893033E-41.0529191.0E-50.0249296910.0019298220.00194978341.01034372.0E-5
6.33.953008E-53.153231E-63.153231E-61.00.01.6940363E-41.3513782E-51.3513782E-51.00.00.0020605381.645186E-41.7451696E-41.06077341.0E-50.0204153640.00166226830.0016822351.01201182.0E-5
6.43.953008E-53.153231E-63.153231E-61.00.01.6940363E-41.3513782E-51.3513782E-51.00.00.0020605381.645186E-41.7451696E-41.06077341.0E-50.0204153640.00166226830.0016822351.01201182.0E-5
6.53.457342E-52.970874E-62.970874E-61.00.01.4816338E-41.2732259E-51.2732259E-51.00.00.00180239651.5500492E-41.6500337E-41.0645041.0E-50.0178784770.00155641740.00157638631.012832.0E-5
6.63.1127765E-52.8738657E-62.8738657E-61.00.01.3339789E-41.2316514E-51.2316514E-51.00.00.00162290921.4994392E-41.5994243E-41.06668161.0E-50.0161110810.0015014460.0015214161.01330052.0E-5
6.72.806885E-52.8102859E-62.8102859E-61.00.01.2028952E-41.204403E-51.204403E-51.00.00.0014635411.4662689E-41.5662542E-41.06819031.0E-50.0145393970.00146571740.00148568811.01362512.0E-5
6.82.524524E-52.2352563E-62.2352563E-61.00.01.0818939E-49.579636E-69.579636E-61.00.00.00131640991.1662613E-41.2662496E-41.08573411.0E-50.013086390.00116593190.00118590861.01713372.0E-5
6.92.2704568E-51.6080646E-61.6080646E-61.00.09.730166E-56.8916875E-66.8916875E-61.00.00.00118400398.390308E-59.390224E-51.11917511.0E-50.0117771538.3894585E-48.5892907E-41.02381942.0E-5
7.02.0871712E-51.5394511E-61.5394511E-61.00.08.944713E-56.597631E-66.597631E-61.00.00.00108847468.032321E-59.032241E-51.1244871.0E-50.0108315868.0313E-48.231139E-41.02488262.0E-5
7.11.944928E-51.3863316E-61.3863316E-61.00.08.335139E-55.941408E-65.941408E-61.00.00.00101433087.233425E-58.233353E-51.13823711.0E-50.0100971337.232817E-47.4326724E-41.02763182.0E-5
7.21.7876306E-51.2488347E-61.2488347E-61.00.07.6610486E-55.352138E-65.352138E-61.00.09.3233347E-46.516034E-57.515969E-51.15345761.0E-50.0092843166.5157266E-46.715596E-41.03067492.0E-5
7.31.2618672E-51.1114453E-61.1114453E-61.00.05.40789E-54.763328E-64.763328E-61.00.06.582117E-45.7991983E-56.79914E-51.17242771.0E-50.00656265535.7992374E-45.999122E-41.03446732.0E-5
7.47.4874442E-68.548014E-78.548014E-71.00.03.208865E-53.6634294E-63.6634294E-61.00.03.906093E-44.4601344E-55.46009E-51.22419851.0E-50.0038992344.4603736E-44.6602843E-41.04481922.0E-5
7.52.4734156E-66.0683584E-76.0683584E-71.00.01.060031E-52.6007224E-62.6007224E-61.00.01.2905113E-43.1663338E-54.166302E-51.31581271.0E-50.00128976213.165886E-43.2658543E-41.03157681.0E-5
7.61.1328841E-63.1963748E-73.1963748E-71.00.04.8552088E-61.3698742E-61.3698742E-61.00.05.9110564E-51.6678092E-52.6677926E-51.5995791.0E-55.9094845E-41.667686E-41.7676693E-41.05995331.0E-5
7.74.8613185E-78.9632934E-88.9632934E-81.00.02.0834207E-63.8414112E-73.8414112E-71.00.02.536535E-54.6769087E-64.6769087E-61.00.02.5362454E-44.676817E-54.676817E-51.00.0

Elsinore (Glen Ivy) rev

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6204086E-42.9373635E-42.9373635E-41.00.06.94276E-40.00125841740.00126840491.00793651.0E-50.0084200970.015234840.0152446881.00064641.0E-50.0810811450.139625530.139642751.00012332.0E-5
6.11.6204086E-42.9373635E-42.9373635E-41.00.06.94276E-40.00125841740.00126840491.00793651.0E-50.0084200970.015234840.0152446881.00064641.0E-50.0810811450.139625530.139642751.00012332.0E-5
6.21.6204086E-42.9373635E-42.9373635E-41.00.06.94276E-40.00125841740.00126840491.00793651.0E-50.0084200970.015234840.0152446881.00064641.0E-50.0810811450.139625530.139642751.00012332.0E-5
6.31.0111737E-41.7703637E-41.7703637E-41.00.04.332882E-47.586233E-47.6861575E-41.01317181.0E-50.0052625310.0092178110.0092277191.00107491.0E-50.05139640.087073890.087092151.00020972.0E-5
6.41.0111737E-41.7703637E-41.7703637E-41.00.04.332882E-47.586233E-47.6861575E-41.01317181.0E-50.0052625310.0092178110.0092277191.00107491.0E-50.05139640.087073890.087092151.00020972.0E-5
6.53.6624708E-54.6393732E-54.6393732E-51.00.01.569536E-41.9881714E-41.9881714E-41.00.00.0019092350.00241827220.00241827221.00.00.018929150.0236970150.0236970151.00.0
6.62.5051324E-52.6148944E-52.6148944E-51.00.01.073584E-41.1206234E-41.1206234E-41.00.00.00130630470.00136354960.00136354961.00.00.0129865250.0135657120.0135657121.00.0
6.72.2189772E-52.2073793E-52.2073793E-51.00.09.509556E-59.459874E-59.459874E-51.00.00.00115717340.00115116760.00115116761.00.00.0115116630.0114664030.0114664031.00.0
6.81.6654378E-51.4438363E-51.4438363E-51.00.07.137396E-56.187726E-56.187726E-51.00.08.686314E-47.5310044E-47.5310044E-41.00.00.0086524390.00751026630.00751026631.00.0
6.91.5042909E-51.2332568E-51.2332568E-51.00.06.446802E-55.285281E-55.285281E-51.00.07.8461546E-46.432961E-46.432961E-41.00.00.0078185090.00641809640.00641809641.00.0
7.01.4361385E-51.1451833E-51.1451833E-51.00.06.154734E-54.907838E-54.907838E-51.00.07.490812E-45.973684E-45.973684E-41.00.00.0074656120.00596086030.00596086031.00.0
7.11.3265571E-51.0245265E-51.0245265E-51.00.05.6851208E-54.3907552E-54.3907552E-51.00.06.919436E-45.3444586E-45.3444586E-41.00.00.0068979310.0053346820.0053346821.00.0
7.21.1596403E-58.505279E-68.505279E-61.00.04.9697923E-53.6450696E-53.6450696E-51.00.06.049042E-44.4369852E-44.4369852E-41.00.00.0060326030.0044294510.0044294511.00.0
7.31.0150827E-57.238911E-67.238911E-61.00.04.3502816E-53.1023545E-53.1023545E-51.00.05.2951806E-43.7764764E-43.7764764E-41.00.00.0052825810.0037704530.0037704531.00.0
7.49.080705E-66.352632E-66.352632E-61.00.03.8916725E-52.7225291E-52.7225291E-51.00.04.7370812E-43.3141885E-43.3141885E-41.00.00.0047269960.00330939470.00330939471.00.0
7.57.671649E-65.2257096E-65.2257096E-61.00.03.287808E-52.2395712E-52.2395712E-51.00.04.0021708E-42.7263493E-42.7263493E-41.00.00.00399497060.00272312970.00272312971.00.0
7.66.990086E-64.6875944E-64.6875944E-61.00.02.9957167E-52.0089543E-52.0089543E-51.00.03.6466747E-42.445639E-42.445639E-41.00.00.00364069640.00244306380.00244306381.00.0
7.74.163505E-62.3295045E-62.3295045E-61.00.01.7843471E-59.983556E-69.983556E-61.00.02.172226E-41.2154376E-41.2154376E-41.00.00.00217010380.00121484590.00121484591.00.0
7.82.2692414E-79.384624E-89.384624E-81.00.09.725317E-74.021981E-74.021981E-71.00.01.1840509E-54.8967545E-64.8967545E-61.00.01.1839878E-44.8966795E-54.8966795E-51.00.0
7.96.676829E-93.4397993E-93.4397993E-91.00.02.861498E-81.4741998E-81.4741998E-81.00.03.4838732E-71.794838E-71.794838E-71.00.03.4838679E-61.7948367E-61.7948367E-61.00.0

Imperial

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.7496446E-45.0567614E-45.0567614E-41.00.00.00117788690.00216542280.0021754011.0046081.0E-50.01424676550.026038940.0260584191.0007482.0E-50.133672490.228079380.228094821.00006772.0E-5
6.12.5356023E-44.8670304E-44.8670304E-41.00.00.0010862340.0020842410.00209422011.00478791.0E-50.0131449280.0250800380.0250995361.00077752.0E-50.1239401550.219508230.219523831.00007122.0E-5
6.22.4820742E-44.776551E-44.776551E-41.00.00.00106331240.00204552520.00205550481.00487881.0E-50.012869190.0246198550.0246393621.00079242.0E-50.121489270.216013480.216029171.00007262.0E-5
6.32.3205351E-44.590242E-44.590242E-41.00.09.94136E-40.00196580.00197578061.0050771.0E-50.0120365990.0236660150.0236855411.0008252.0E-50.114051330.207965310.207981151.00007622.0E-5
6.42.0304754E-43.988816E-43.988816E-41.00.08.6991355E-40.0017083870.001718371.00584351.0E-50.0105398690.020600050.0206098441.00047541.0E-50.1005376350.1850970.185105141.0000441.0E-5
6.51.854992E-43.6999586E-43.6999586E-41.00.07.9475436E-40.00158474520.00159472941.00630021.0E-50.0096332810.0191261060.0191359151.00051281.0E-50.09226230.173326820.173335081.00004771.0E-5
6.61.6586106E-43.4044893E-43.4044893E-41.00.07.106394E-40.0014582610.00146824661.00684751.0E-50.0086177630.0176071490.0176169721.00055791.0E-50.082911320.160802140.160810551.00005221.0E-5
6.71.4224656E-43.0775566E-43.0775566E-41.00.06.094856E-40.00131829430.00132828111.00757551.0E-50.00739526930.0159341040.0159439441.00061761.0E-50.071539550.1465140.146522521.00005831.0E-5
6.81.2317259E-42.7798547E-42.7798547E-41.00.05.2777573E-40.00119082850.00120081661.00838761.0E-50.00640675470.014403340.0144131971.00068431.0E-50.062251660.132963360.132972031.00006521.0E-5
6.99.859898E-52.5019908E-42.5019908E-41.00.04.2249862E-40.00107184540.00108183471.00931971.0E-50.00513179460.0129725990.0129824691.00076091.0E-50.050148930.1194271150.119435921.00007381.0E-5
7.07.3191884E-52.1271173E-42.1271173E-41.00.03.136418E-49.113064E-49.212973E-41.01096321.0E-50.0038119040.0110393980.0110492861.00089591.0E-50.0374717640.102079560.102088541.0000881.0E-5
7.17.1760296E-52.0972485E-42.0972485E-41.00.03.0750787E-48.9851435E-49.0850535E-41.01111951.0E-50.0037374820.010885220.0108951121.00090871.0E-50.036752450.10071590.100724891.00008931.0E-5
7.26.46614E-51.9140878E-41.9140878E-41.00.02.7709085E-48.2006847E-48.300603E-41.01218411.0E-50.00336836280.0099392480.0099491491.00099611.0E-50.0331776250.0925232540.092532331.00009811.0E-5
7.36.088115E-51.781241E-41.781241E-41.00.02.6089314E-47.631685E-47.731609E-41.01309321.0E-50.00317174760.0092525680.0092624751.00107071.0E-50.0312685850.086572770.08658191.00010551.0E-5
7.44.199346E-51.1513443E-41.1513443E-41.00.01.7995955E-44.9334083E-44.9334083E-41.00.00.00218880570.0059900520.0059900521.00.00.021673720.0574491170.0574491171.00.0
7.53.130448E-58.3357954E-58.3357954E-51.00.01.3415517E-43.5719978E-43.5719978E-41.00.00.00163211530.00434029470.00434029471.00.00.0162018030.0421411060.0421411061.00.0
7.62.3074248E-56.086575E-56.086575E-51.00.09.888588E-52.6082728E-42.6082728E-41.00.00.00120327060.0031709710.0031709711.00.00.0119677610.0310341980.0310341981.00.0
7.71.45864815E-54.0141942E-54.0141942E-51.00.06.2511994E-51.7202558E-41.7202558E-41.00.07.608177E-40.0020924050.0020924051.00.00.0075821820.020634680.020634681.00.0
7.81.0352979E-53.097546E-53.097546E-51.00.04.4369157E-51.3274523E-41.3274523E-41.00.05.400606E-40.00161497760.00161497761.00.00.00538750.0160225950.0160225951.00.0
7.98.137906E-62.216039E-52.216039E-51.00.03.4876273E-59.496964E-59.496964E-51.00.04.2453592E-40.0011556430.0011556431.00.00.0042372580.0116229930.0116229931.00.0
8.06.93792E-61.8018303E-51.8018303E-51.00.02.9733603E-57.721902E-57.721902E-51.00.03.6194647E-49.397368E-49.397368E-41.00.00.00361357510.0095059220.0095059221.00.0
8.13.4286315E-66.383862E-66.383862E-61.00.01.4694053E-52.7359121E-52.7359121E-51.00.01.7888541E-43.330465E-43.330465E-41.00.00.00178741480.00348800120.00348800121.00.0
8.21.4906886E-61.9380652E-61.9380652E-61.00.06.3886496E-68.305968E-68.305968E-61.00.07.7779034E-51.01120495E-41.01120495E-41.00.07.775182E-40.00110826970.00110826971.00.0
8.32.5758007E-81.4511432E-81.4511432E-81.00.01.10391454E-76.219185E-86.219185E-81.00.01.3440151E-67.5718583E-77.5718583E-71.00.01.344007E-57.894757E-67.894757E-61.00.0

Dry Mountain

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.222801E-66.439411E-66.439411E-61.00.02.6668875E-52.7597274E-52.7597274E-51.00.03.2464517E-43.359609E-43.4595755E-41.02975541.0E-50.00324171320.00335609240.00337602521.00593942.0E-5
6.16.222801E-66.439411E-66.439411E-61.00.02.6668875E-52.7597274E-52.7597274E-51.00.03.2464517E-43.359609E-43.4595755E-41.02975541.0E-50.00324171320.00335609240.00337602521.00593942.0E-5
6.26.222801E-66.439411E-66.439411E-61.00.02.6668875E-52.7597274E-52.7597274E-51.00.03.2464517E-43.359609E-43.4595755E-41.02975541.0E-50.00324171320.00335609240.00337602521.00593942.0E-5
6.36.222801E-66.439411E-66.439411E-61.00.02.6668875E-52.7597274E-52.7597274E-51.00.03.2464517E-43.359609E-43.4595755E-41.02975541.0E-50.00324171320.00335609240.00337602521.00593942.0E-5
6.46.222801E-66.439411E-66.439411E-61.00.02.6668875E-52.7597274E-52.7597274E-51.00.03.2464517E-43.359609E-43.4595755E-41.02975541.0E-50.00324171320.00335609240.00337602521.00593942.0E-5
6.52.8528623E-62.952182E-62.952182E-61.00.01.22264955E-51.2652196E-51.2652196E-51.00.01.4884741E-41.5403831E-41.5403831E-41.00.00.00148747740.00154016880.00154016881.00.0
6.62.8528623E-62.952182E-62.952182E-61.00.01.22264955E-51.2652196E-51.2652196E-51.00.01.4884741E-41.5403831E-41.5403831E-41.00.00.00148747740.00154016880.00154016881.00.0
6.72.541E-62.62937E-62.62937E-61.00.01.0889954E-51.12687285E-51.12687285E-51.00.01.3257713E-41.3719677E-41.3719677E-41.00.00.00132498060.00137196770.00137196771.00.0

Elysian Park (Upper)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.1876025E-53.703628E-54.703591E-51.26999561.0E-51.3660437E-41.5871998E-41.687184E-41.0629941.0E-50.00166188950.00193117370.00195113511.01033642.0E-50.0164951590.0191903730.0192099881.00102222.0E-5
6.13.1876025E-53.703628E-54.703591E-51.26999561.0E-51.3660437E-41.5871998E-41.687184E-41.0629941.0E-50.00166188950.00193117370.00195113511.01033642.0E-50.0164951590.0191903730.0192099881.00102222.0E-5
6.23.1876025E-53.703628E-54.703591E-51.26999561.0E-51.3660437E-41.5871998E-41.687184E-41.0629941.0E-50.00166188950.00193117370.00195113511.01033642.0E-50.0164951590.0191903730.0192099881.00102222.0E-5
6.33.1876025E-53.703628E-54.703591E-51.26999561.0E-51.3660437E-41.5871998E-41.687184E-41.0629941.0E-50.00166188950.00193117370.00195113511.01033642.0E-50.0164951590.0191903730.0192099881.00102222.0E-5
6.41.9273462E-52.1202904E-53.1202693E-51.47162351.0E-58.259794E-59.0867405E-51.008665E-41.11004041.0E-50.0010051660.00110592090.00111590981.00903221.0E-50.0100063150.0110209840.0110308731.00089741.0E-5
6.51.9273462E-52.1202904E-53.1202693E-51.47162351.0E-58.259794E-59.0867405E-51.008665E-41.11004041.0E-50.0010051660.00110592090.00111590981.00903221.0E-50.0100063150.0110209840.0110308731.00089741.0E-5
6.69.813258E-69.665716E-61.966562E-52.03457451.0E-54.205614E-54.1423882E-55.1423467E-51.24139671.0E-55.119132E-45.042263E-45.1422126E-41.01982241.0E-50.0051073560.0050315460.00504149541.00197741.0E-5
6.79.801478E-69.653286E-61.965319E-52.03590681.0E-54.2005657E-54.1370608E-55.1370193E-51.24170741.0E-55.112989E-45.03578E-45.1357294E-41.01984791.0E-50.00510124070.00502509250.00503504231.00198011.0E-5
6.88.102489E-67.773095E-61.7773016E-52.28647881.0E-53.4724493E-53.3312866E-54.331253E-51.30017441.0E-54.2268867E-44.0551362E-44.1550957E-41.02465011.0E-50.0042188560.00404823060.004058191.00246021.0E-5
6.96.08275E-65.481501E-65.481501E-61.00.02.6068668E-52.349194E-52.349194E-51.00.03.173398E-42.859776E-42.859776E-41.00.00.00316887020.00285617360.00285617361.00.0
7.05.5995934E-64.982823E-64.982823E-61.00.02.3998036E-52.1354786E-52.1354786E-51.00.02.9213692E-42.5996417E-42.5996417E-41.00.00.00291753160.0025966680.0025966681.00.0
7.14.709881E-64.0874347E-64.0874347E-61.00.02.0185047E-51.7517461E-51.7517461E-51.00.02.4572524E-42.1325464E-42.1325464E-41.00.00.0024545370.00213054130.00213054131.00.0
7.23.6063436E-62.9779728E-62.9779728E-61.00.01.5455667E-51.2762678E-51.2762678E-51.00.01.881565E-41.5537464E-41.5537464E-41.00.00.00187997260.00155267130.00155267131.00.0
7.32.471135E-62.0954792E-62.0954792E-61.00.01.0590536E-58.980594E-68.980594E-61.00.01.2893214E-41.0933332E-41.0933332E-41.00.00.00128857360.00109280250.00109280251.00.0
7.41.163943E-61.0275194E-61.0275194E-61.00.04.988318E-64.4036474E-64.4036474E-61.00.06.0731076E-55.3613116E-55.3613116E-51.00.06.071448E-45.360048E-45.360048E-41.00.0
7.54.99459E-74.917662E-74.917662E-71.00.02.140537E-62.1075678E-62.1075678E-61.00.02.6060725E-52.565935E-52.565935E-51.00.02.605767E-42.5656543E-42.5656543E-41.00.0
7.62.4667852E-72.4778686E-72.4778686E-71.00.01.0571932E-61.0619433E-61.0619433E-61.00.01.2871251E-51.2929087E-51.2929087E-51.00.01.2870505E-41.2928371E-41.2928371E-41.00.0
7.78.2312795E-87.386639E-87.386639E-81.00.03.527691E-73.165702E-73.165702E-71.00.04.294955E-63.8542366E-63.8542366E-61.00.04.2948723E-53.8541813E-53.8541813E-51.00.0
7.82.7819295E-81.7567253E-81.7567253E-81.00.01.1922555E-77.528822E-87.528822E-81.00.01.45157E-69.166339E-79.166339E-71.00.01.45156055E-59.166316E-69.166316E-61.00.0

Greenville (No) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.286654E-54.0367628E-54.0367628E-51.00.01.4084899E-41.7299286E-41.7299286E-41.00.00.00171348760.00210419130.00211417021.00474241.0E-50.0170033560.0208479260.020867511.00093942.0E-5
6.13.286654E-54.0367628E-54.0367628E-51.00.01.4084899E-41.7299286E-41.7299286E-41.00.00.00171348760.00210419130.00211417021.00474241.0E-50.0170033560.0208479260.020867511.00093942.0E-5
6.23.1697953E-53.8930488E-53.8930488E-51.00.01.358413E-41.6683448E-41.6683448E-41.00.00.00165261320.00202935470.00203933431.00491761.0E-50.016403770.0201132970.0201328961.00097442.0E-5
6.33.1363317E-53.8519345E-53.8519345E-51.00.01.344073E-41.6507268E-41.6507268E-41.00.00.00163518030.00200794450.00201792431.00497021.0E-50.0162320040.0199030580.019922661.00098492.0E-5
6.43.0228604E-53.712643E-53.712643E-51.00.01.2954473E-41.5910377E-41.5910377E-41.00.00.00157606590.00193540380.00194538441.00515691.0E-50.0156493480.0191903770.0192099941.00102222.0E-5
6.52.9537814E-53.6281854E-53.6281854E-51.00.01.2658449E-41.554846E-41.554846E-41.00.00.00154007660.00189141770.00190139881.0052771.0E-50.015294470.0187580250.018777651.00104622.0E-5
6.62.7345395E-53.3591095E-53.3591095E-51.00.01.1718928E-41.4395406E-41.4395406E-41.00.00.00142584570.00175126280.00176124531.00570011.0E-50.0141673170.0173788070.017398461.00113082.0E-5
6.72.5615784E-53.156795E-53.156795E-51.00.01.09777306E-41.3528437E-41.3528437E-41.00.00.00133571930.00164587340.0016558571.00606581.0E-50.0132771910.0163408780.0163605511.00120392.0E-5
6.82.0059057E-52.4712723E-52.4712723E-51.00.08.596455E-51.0590746E-41.0590746E-41.00.00.00104611590.00128867690.0012986641.00774991.0E-50.01041204950.012814430.0128243021.00077031.0E-5
6.91.6321746E-52.018519E-52.018519E-51.00.06.9948466E-58.6505155E-58.6505155E-51.00.08.5128983E-40.00105270380.00106269331.00948931.0E-50.0084803610.0104790720.0104889671.00094431.0E-5
7.01.22527645E-51.5136019E-51.5136019E-51.00.05.2510793E-56.486706E-56.486706E-51.00.06.3913135E-47.894746E-47.994667E-41.01265671.0E-50.00637296260.0078677520.0078776731.0012611.0E-5
7.18.996482E-61.1165242E-51.1165242E-51.00.03.8555783E-54.7850164E-54.7850164E-51.00.04.6931554E-45.8242126E-45.8242126E-41.00.00.0046832560.0058097830.0058097831.00.0
7.26.0273087E-67.5697E-67.5697E-61.00.02.5831067E-53.244117E-53.244117E-51.00.03.1444785E-43.9490036E-43.9490036E-41.00.00.00314003280.0039425720.0039425721.00.0
7.33.1209995E-63.966495E-63.966495E-61.00.01.3375643E-51.6999156E-51.6999156E-51.00.01.6283628E-42.0694522E-42.0694522E-41.00.00.00162717010.0020678310.0020678311.00.0
7.42.0254208E-62.6096925E-62.6096925E-61.00.08.680347E-61.1184348E-51.1184348E-51.00.01.0567809E-41.3616099E-41.3616099E-41.00.00.00105627850.00136110290.00136110291.00.0
7.51.6763418E-62.1734163E-62.1734163E-61.00.07.184302E-69.314608E-69.314608E-61.00.08.746537E-51.1339951E-41.1339951E-41.00.08.743095E-40.0011337250.0011337251.00.0
7.61.1935462E-61.5458975E-61.5458975E-61.00.05.115188E-66.6252583E-66.6252583E-61.00.06.2275634E-58.065958E-58.065958E-51.00.06.2258187E-48.0653606E-48.0653606E-41.00.0
7.73.0464201E-73.9848902E-73.9848902E-71.00.01.3056081E-61.707809E-61.707809E-61.00.01.589566E-52.079238E-52.079238E-51.00.01.5894524E-42.0793274E-42.0793274E-41.00.0

Hector Mine

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.8760093E-52.7963101E-61.2796282E-54.57613131.0E-58.039792E-51.1984153E-52.1984033E-51.83442521.0E-59.78405E-41.459013E-41.5589983E-41.06852951.0E-50.0097410860.00145844730.00147841811.01369322.0E-5
6.11.8760093E-52.7963101E-61.2796282E-54.57613131.0E-58.039792E-51.1984153E-52.1984033E-51.83442521.0E-59.78405E-41.459013E-41.5589983E-41.06852951.0E-50.0097410860.00145844730.00147841811.01369322.0E-5
6.21.8760093E-52.7963101E-61.2796282E-54.57613131.0E-58.039792E-51.1984153E-52.1984033E-51.83442521.0E-59.78405E-41.459013E-41.5589983E-41.06852951.0E-50.0097410860.00145844730.00147841811.01369322.0E-5
6.31.8760093E-52.7963101E-61.2796282E-54.57613131.0E-58.039792E-51.1984153E-52.1984033E-51.83442521.0E-59.78405E-41.459013E-41.5589983E-41.06852951.0E-50.0097410860.00145844730.00147841811.01369322.0E-5
6.41.0888055E-52.7963101E-61.2796282E-54.57613131.0E-54.666226E-51.1984153E-52.1984033E-51.83442521.0E-55.679649E-41.459013E-41.5589983E-41.06852951.0E-50.00566515470.00145844730.00147841811.01369322.0E-5
6.51.0888055E-52.7963101E-61.2796282E-54.57613131.0E-54.666226E-51.1984153E-52.1984033E-51.83442521.0E-55.679649E-41.459013E-41.5589983E-41.06852951.0E-50.00566515470.00145844730.00147841811.01369322.0E-5
6.61.0730738E-52.7963101E-61.2796282E-54.57613131.0E-54.5988065E-51.1984153E-52.1984033E-51.83442521.0E-55.5976084E-41.459013E-41.5589983E-41.06852951.0E-50.00558352940.00145844730.00147841811.01369322.0E-5
6.77.881326E-62.7709912E-61.2770964E-54.6088071.0E-53.3776672E-51.1875645E-52.1875527E-51.84204951.0E-54.111534E-41.4458038E-41.5457894E-41.06915571.0E-50.00410393530.00144525540.00146522641.01381842.0E-5
6.87.5683483E-62.7327694E-61.2732742E-54.65928171.0E-53.2435375E-51.1711839E-52.1711721E-51.85382691.0E-53.9482914E-41.425863E-41.5258488E-41.0701231.0E-50.00394128360.00142534020.00144531171.01401172.0E-5
6.96.473048E-62.5138563E-61.2513831E-54.9779421.0E-52.7741338E-51.0773648E-52.077354E-51.92818071.0E-53.3769844E-41.3116523E-41.4116392E-41.07622971.0E-50.00337185730.00131126770.00133124151.01523242.0E-5
7.04.9959954E-61.8564691E-61.8564691E-61.00.02.1411232E-57.9562915E-67.9562915E-61.00.02.6065056E-49.686711E-59.686711E-51.00.00.00260345069.6859847E-49.785888E-41.01031421.0E-5
7.11.2997541E-61.5600176E-71.5600176E-71.00.05.5703626E-66.685788E-76.685788E-71.00.06.7817055E-58.13992E-68.13992E-61.00.06.779636E-48.139662E-58.139662E-51.00.0
7.28.392699E-79.726067E-89.726067E-81.00.03.596866E-64.1683137E-74.1683137E-71.00.04.3790962E-55.074912E-65.074912E-61.00.04.3782333E-45.0748153E-55.0748153E-51.00.0
7.33.13015E-74.8286488E-84.8286488E-81.00.01.3414921E-62.0694208E-72.0694208E-71.00.01.6332544E-52.5195177E-62.5195177E-61.00.01.6331344E-42.5194977E-52.5194977E-51.00.0

San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.986481E-40.0012277010.0012277011.00.00.00256311240.0052460980.00525604561.00189611.0E-50.0307628460.0612118130.061230591.00030672.0E-50.268354770.425967160.425978631.0000272.0E-5
6.15.015945E-40.00102188590.00102188591.00.00.002147920.00436831360.004378271.00227921.0E-50.0258393510.0512540560.051263541.00018511.0E-50.230327760.37288750.372893751.00001681.0E-5
6.24.073338E-48.1082666E-48.1082666E-41.00.00.00174454840.0034675980.00347756341.00287391.0E-50.0210340580.0409388580.040948451.00023421.0E-50.191507820.313067260.31307411.00002191.0E-5
6.33.464099E-46.740175E-46.740175E-41.00.00.00148376920.00288342570.00288342571.00.00.0179158730.0341953230.0341953231.00.00.165383590.271352440.271352441.00.0
6.42.935057E-45.545179E-45.545179E-41.00.00.00125727510.0023729980.0023729981.00.00.0152002480.0282702930.0282702931.00.00.142015770.233023120.233023121.00.0
6.52.3409708E-44.2102532E-44.2102532E-41.00.00.00100288750.00180243620.00180243621.00.00.0121419650.0215932950.0215932951.00.00.114995730.186863650.186863651.00.0
6.61.5842178E-42.5080625E-42.5080625E-41.00.06.7877385E-40.00107443250.00107443251.00.00.00823280.0130014330.0130014331.00.00.079343960.123189650.123189651.00.0
6.71.5616413E-42.4617155E-42.4617155E-41.00.06.691031E-40.00105458870.00105458871.00.00.00811594350.0127632960.0127632961.00.00.07825860.1212168560.1212168561.00.0
6.81.5538467E-42.4440986E-42.4440986E-41.00.06.6576427E-40.00104704530.00104704531.00.00.0080755960.0126726170.0126726171.00.00.077883580.120447680.120447681.00.0
6.91.5153569E-42.3550174E-42.3550174E-41.00.06.49277E-40.00100890470.00100890471.00.00.0078763330.0122147540.0122147541.00.00.076029520.11651770.11651771.00.0
7.01.4588932E-42.2407302E-42.2407302E-41.00.06.250901E-49.599615E-49.599615E-41.00.00.00758394740.0116253970.0116253971.00.00.0733028950.11136340.11136341.00.0
7.11.1565079E-41.6291256E-41.6291256E-41.00.04.955521E-46.980107E-46.980107E-41.00.00.0060166690.0084653680.0084653681.00.00.0585635380.0837070.0837071.00.0
7.21.0393792E-41.4624851E-41.4624851E-41.00.04.4537216E-46.2662957E-46.2662957E-41.00.00.0054089330.0076026970.0076026971.00.00.0527915950.07565560.07565561.00.0
7.39.332884E-51.2788622E-41.2788622E-41.00.03.999194E-45.479693E-45.479693E-41.00.00.00485815340.0066512530.0066512531.00.00.0475331020.066514290.066514291.00.0
7.48.670252E-51.1709979E-41.1709979E-41.00.03.715293E-45.0176034E-45.0176034E-41.00.00.0045139910.00609194160.00609194161.00.00.0442339370.06117870.06117871.00.0
7.57.3036405E-59.011361E-59.011361E-51.00.03.129756E-43.861441E-43.861441E-41.00.00.00380382170.00469119150.00469119151.00.00.037393670.0479023680.0479023681.00.0
7.66.3935775E-58.285012E-58.285012E-51.00.02.7398168E-43.5502372E-43.5502372E-41.00.00.00333062540.00431386570.00431386571.00.00.0328114740.0440129270.0440129271.00.0
7.75.5050095E-56.6658926E-56.6658926E-51.00.02.3590765E-42.8564985E-42.8564985E-41.00.00.00286839270.00347224480.00347224481.00.00.02831650.035815210.035815211.00.0
7.85.027131E-56.166573E-56.166573E-51.00.02.1543067E-42.6425492E-42.6425492E-41.00.00.00261971350.00321256040.00321256041.00.00.0258904530.033144270.033144271.00.0
7.93.7271806E-55.0254795E-55.0254795E-51.00.01.5972654E-42.1535992E-42.1535992E-41.00.00.00194293590.00261885630.00261885631.00.00.0192603620.0270813930.0270813931.00.0
8.02.7310243E-53.1447296E-53.1447296E-51.00.01.17038646E-41.3476716E-41.3476716E-41.00.00.00142401410.00163955610.00163955611.00.00.0141492350.0172232990.0172232991.00.0
8.11.7940547E-51.7411876E-51.7411876E-51.00.07.688579E-57.46202E-57.46202E-51.00.09.3568244E-49.0812275E-49.0812275E-41.00.00.0093175250.0098049590.0098049591.00.0
8.28.643924E-65.478665E-65.478665E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3479783E-52.3479783E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.8582895E-42.8582895E-41.00.00.00450013950.00325084690.00325084691.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6647797E-77.6647797E-71.00.08.498917E-63.2849016E-63.2849016E-61.00.01.034694E-43.999296E-53.999296E-51.00.00.00103421244.7228087E-44.7228087E-41.00.0

Brawley (Seismic Zone) alt 1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.2521618E-44.7643206E-44.7643206E-41.00.09.6485513E-40.0020402910.00205027061.00489131.0E-50.0116839880.0245549730.0245744831.00079452.0E-50.110884230.213531060.21354681.00007372.0E-5
6.12.2521618E-44.7643206E-44.7643206E-41.00.09.6485513E-40.0020402910.00205027061.00489131.0E-50.0116839880.0245549730.0245744831.00079452.0E-50.110884230.213531060.21354681.00007372.0E-5
6.22.198148E-44.672759E-44.672759E-41.00.09.417233E-40.00200111070.00201109071.00498721.0E-50.0114053430.0240890370.0241085531.00081032.0E-50.108374280.209967170.209982981.00007522.0E-5
6.32.1704129E-44.6163241E-44.6163241E-41.00.09.298453E-40.0019769610.00198694131.00504831.0E-50.0112622340.0238023880.0238219131.00082032.0E-50.1070827250.207858160.207874011.00007622.0E-5
6.41.876142E-44.0055066E-44.0055066E-41.00.08.038131E-40.00171553060.00172551351.00581911.0E-50.009742590.0206888370.0206986311.00047341.0E-50.0932636860.184608220.184616371.00004421.0E-5
6.51.7390939E-43.7486907E-43.7486907E-41.00.07.45113E-40.00160560470.00161558861.00621821.0E-50.0090340780.0193770380.0193868451.0005061.0E-50.0867552160.174429680.174437941.00004731.0E-5
6.61.591791E-43.490135E-43.490135E-41.00.06.8201777E-40.00149492490.001504911.00667931.0E-50.0082719960.0180516910.0180615111.0005441.0E-50.079707740.163836550.163844911.0000511.0E-5
6.71.4268003E-43.2067046E-43.2067046E-41.00.06.1134255E-40.00137358640.00138357261.00727021.0E-50.0074177230.0165972260.0166070611.00059251.0E-50.071749560.151963280.151971761.00005581.0E-5
6.81.239713E-42.906121E-42.906121E-41.00.05.3119735E-40.00124489210.00125487961.00802281.0E-50.00644816740.0150526610.015062511.00065431.0E-50.062642430.138404740.138413351.00006221.0E-5
6.91.0180238E-42.6260383E-42.6260383E-41.00.04.3622297E-40.00112496390.00113495261.00887921.0E-50.0052980890.0136114220.01362128651.00072471.0E-50.051735430.124983610.1249923561.000071.0E-5
7.07.6619996E-52.2404084E-42.2404084E-41.00.03.283301E-49.598249E-49.698153E-41.01040851.0E-50.00399009320.0116239630.0116338471.00085031.0E-50.0391920660.107283010.107291941.00008321.0E-5
7.17.5127435E-52.2087194E-42.2087194E-41.00.03.2193496E-49.462538E-49.562443E-41.0105581.0E-50.00391251550.0114604850.011470371.00086261.0E-50.0384434420.1058468150.1058557561.00008451.0E-5
7.26.788582E-52.0214771E-42.0214771E-41.00.02.9090676E-48.660627E-48.7605405E-41.01153651.0E-50.00353603860.0104939740.01050386951.0009431.0E-50.0348030.097517130.0975261551.00009251.0E-5
7.36.399602E-51.884553E-41.884553E-41.00.02.7423984E-48.074185E-48.174104E-41.01237511.0E-50.00333375860.0097866010.0097965041.00101181.0E-50.032841880.091410580.091419671.00009941.0E-5
7.44.506759E-51.2532667E-41.2532667E-41.00.01.9313251E-45.370046E-45.370046E-41.00.00.00234885260.0065186060.0065186061.00.00.0232418050.062374640.062374641.00.0
7.53.43289E-59.338305E-59.338305E-51.00.01.4711556E-44.00152E-44.00152E-41.00.00.00178966030.004861030.004861031.00.00.017753160.047065930.047065931.00.0
7.62.5980507E-57.055588E-57.055588E-51.00.01.1134028E-43.023474E-43.023474E-41.00.00.0013547250.00367489080.00367489081.00.00.0134649590.0358502680.0358502681.00.0
7.71.7292105E-54.9428265E-54.9428265E-51.00.07.4106916E-52.1181825E-42.1181825E-41.00.09.018782E-40.0025758430.0025758431.00.00.0089822670.0252989440.0252989441.00.0
7.81.2927471E-53.971141E-53.971141E-51.00.05.5402274E-51.7018066E-41.7018066E-41.00.06.743139E-40.00206998320.00206998321.00.00.00672271430.0204390850.0204390851.00.0
7.91.0200774E-52.8759863E-52.8759863E-51.00.04.371687E-51.2325073E-41.2325073E-41.00.05.321229E-40.00149954590.00149954591.00.00.0053085050.01499810350.01499810351.00.0
8.08.650396E-62.3289316E-52.3289316E-51.00.03.70726E-59.980754E-59.980754E-51.00.04.5126543E-40.00121448030.00121448031.00.00.00450350160.0122165830.0122165831.00.0
8.13.9368224E-67.3325436E-67.3325436E-61.00.01.6871985E-53.142481E-53.142481E-51.00.02.0539707E-43.8253E-43.8253E-41.00.00.00205207310.00400342650.00400342651.00.0
8.21.7101195E-62.21947E-62.21947E-61.00.07.329063E-69.511979E-69.511979E-61.00.08.922769E-51.1580222E-41.1580222E-41.00.08.9191867E-40.00126751310.00126751311.00.0
8.33.0346666E-81.7229212E-81.7229212E-81.00.01.3005713E-77.383948E-87.383948E-81.00.01.5834444E-68.9899555E-78.9899555E-71.00.01.5834332E-59.375523E-69.375523E-61.00.0

Mount Diablo Thrust South

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.2377444E-52.6956855E-52.6956855E-51.00.09.5899806E-51.15525385E-41.15525385E-41.00.00.00116695480.00140581180.00142578361.01420662.0E-50.0116084570.0139889160.0140086371.00140962.0E-5
6.12.2377444E-52.6956855E-52.6956855E-51.00.09.5899806E-51.15525385E-41.15525385E-41.00.00.00116695480.00140581180.00142578361.01420662.0E-50.0116084570.0139889160.0140086371.00140962.0E-5
6.22.2377444E-52.6956855E-52.6956855E-51.00.09.5899806E-51.15525385E-41.15525385E-41.00.00.00116695480.00140581180.00142578361.01420662.0E-50.0116084570.0139889160.0140086371.00140962.0E-5
6.32.2377444E-52.6956855E-52.6956855E-51.00.09.5899806E-51.15525385E-41.15525385E-41.00.00.00116695480.00140581180.00142578361.01420662.0E-50.0116084570.0139889160.0140086371.00140962.0E-5
6.41.2228463E-51.4747988E-51.4747988E-51.00.05.2406645E-56.32042E-56.32042E-51.00.06.378641E-47.692523E-47.7924464E-41.01298961.0E-50.00636036270.00766740370.00767732741.00129431.0E-5
6.51.2228463E-51.4747988E-51.4747988E-51.00.05.2406645E-56.32042E-56.32042E-51.00.06.378641E-47.692523E-47.7924464E-41.01298961.0E-50.00636036270.00766740370.00767732741.00129431.0E-5
6.61.2068118E-51.455278E-51.455278E-51.00.05.1719482E-56.236764E-56.236764E-51.00.06.2950276E-47.590743E-47.6906674E-41.01316391.0E-50.0062772250.0075663210.00757624531.00131171.0E-5
6.71.1499428E-51.3875425E-51.3875425E-51.00.04.9282335E-55.9464823E-55.9464823E-51.00.05.9984723E-47.237565E-47.3374924E-41.01380681.0E-50.00598230630.0072154850.00722541241.00137591.0E-5
6.88.82118E-61.0830661E-51.0830661E-51.00.03.780451E-54.6416324E-54.6416324E-51.00.04.601727E-45.649778E-45.749722E-41.01768981.0E-50.00459220960.00563618770.00564613151.00176431.0E-5
6.98.047112E-69.939611E-69.939611E-61.00.03.4487166E-54.259767E-54.259767E-51.00.04.1980037E-45.185085E-45.2850327E-41.01927611.0E-50.0041900820.00517372370.00518367161.00192281.0E-5
7.06.2574763E-67.748641E-67.748641E-61.00.02.681748E-53.320806E-53.320806E-51.00.03.264539E-44.0423684E-44.142328E-41.0247281.0E-50.00325974750.00403573830.00404569831.00246791.0E-5
7.13.6485903E-64.513004E-64.513004E-61.00.01.5636722E-51.9341305E-51.9341305E-51.00.01.9036046E-42.3545536E-42.3545536E-41.00.00.00190197480.0023521230.0023521231.00.0
7.22.3034274E-62.905568E-62.905568E-61.00.09.871795E-61.2452376E-51.2452376E-51.00.01.2018247E-41.5159737E-41.5159737E-41.00.00.00120117490.00151503590.00151503591.00.0
7.31.224035E-61.568004E-61.568004E-61.00.05.245854E-66.720001E-66.720001E-61.00.06.38664E-58.181304E-58.181304E-51.00.06.384805E-48.177875E-48.177875E-41.00.0
7.45.1601154E-76.723497E-76.723497E-71.00.02.2114762E-62.8814957E-62.8814957E-61.00.02.6924388E-53.508166E-53.508166E-51.00.02.6921128E-43.5074085E-43.5074085E-41.00.0
7.53.552894E-74.6653378E-74.6653378E-71.00.01.5226678E-61.999429E-61.999429E-61.00.01.8538323E-52.4342791E-52.4342791E-51.00.01.8536777E-42.4340766E-42.4340766E-41.00.0
7.61.3124082E-71.7192048E-71.7192048E-71.00.05.6246057E-77.368019E-77.368019E-71.00.06.8479358E-68.9705345E-68.9705345E-61.00.06.8477246E-58.967447E-58.967447E-51.00.0
7.73.6193022E-84.7334797E-84.7334797E-81.00.01.5511293E-72.0286342E-72.0286342E-71.00.01.8884983E-62.4698604E-62.4698604E-61.00.01.8884823E-52.4698264E-52.4698264E-51.00.0

Coyote Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.980352E-52.1707021E-52.1707021E-51.00.08.486947E-59.302718E-59.302718E-51.00.00.00103279590.00113208950.00114207821.00882331.0E-50.0102800910.0112704010.0112901761.00175452.0E-5
6.11.980352E-52.1707021E-52.1707021E-51.00.08.486947E-59.302718E-59.302718E-51.00.00.00103279590.00113208950.00114207821.00882331.0E-50.0102800910.0112704010.0112901761.00175452.0E-5
6.21.980352E-52.1707021E-52.1707021E-51.00.08.486947E-59.302718E-59.302718E-51.00.00.00103279590.00113208950.00114207821.00882331.0E-50.0102800910.0112704010.0112901761.00175452.0E-5
6.31.5344787E-51.6820884E-51.6820884E-51.00.06.576172E-57.208785E-57.208785E-51.00.08.003548E-48.7737746E-48.7737746E-41.00.00.0079747840.008745180.00875509251.00113341.0E-5
6.41.5344787E-51.6820884E-51.6820884E-51.00.06.576172E-57.208785E-57.208785E-51.00.08.003548E-48.7737746E-48.7737746E-41.00.00.0079747840.008745180.00875509251.00113341.0E-5
6.51.4189697E-51.5558186E-51.5558186E-51.00.06.081157E-56.667658E-56.667658E-51.00.07.401293E-48.1154524E-48.1154524E-41.00.00.00737669130.0080917590.0081016781.00122581.0E-5
6.61.3469301E-51.47717665E-51.47717665E-51.00.05.7724297E-56.3306376E-56.3306376E-51.00.07.025667E-47.7054254E-47.7054254E-41.00.00.00700349640.00768461260.0076945361.00129131.0E-5
6.71.3027966E-51.4281927E-51.4281927E-51.00.05.5832945E-56.120716E-56.120716E-51.00.06.7955407E-47.450021E-47.450021E-41.00.00.0067747980.0074309230.0074408491.00133571.0E-5
6.85.695434E-66.2244944E-66.2244944E-61.00.02.4408775E-52.6676302E-52.6676302E-51.00.02.971363E-43.2476554E-43.2476554E-41.00.00.00296739330.00324585030.00324585031.00.0
6.94.385688E-64.7931144E-64.7931144E-61.00.01.879567E-52.0541918E-52.0541918E-51.00.02.2881327E-42.5009786E-42.5009786E-41.00.00.0022857780.00250097850.00250097851.00.0

Raymond

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5157413E-51.5810365E-52.5810208E-51.63248651.0E-56.4958724E-56.775709E-57.775641E-51.1475761.0E-57.905855E-48.246554E-48.446389E-41.02423252.0E-50.0078777880.0082184730.0082383081.00241352.0E-5
6.11.5157413E-51.5810365E-52.5810208E-51.63248651.0E-56.4958724E-56.775709E-57.775641E-51.1475761.0E-57.905855E-48.246554E-48.446389E-41.02423252.0E-50.0078777880.0082184730.0082383081.00241352.0E-5
6.21.5157413E-51.5810365E-52.5810208E-51.63248651.0E-56.4958724E-56.775709E-57.775641E-51.1475761.0E-57.905855E-48.246554E-48.446389E-41.02423252.0E-50.0078777880.0082184730.0082383081.00241352.0E-5
6.31.5157413E-51.5810365E-52.5810208E-51.63248651.0E-56.4958724E-56.775709E-57.775641E-51.1475761.0E-57.905855E-48.246554E-48.446389E-41.02423252.0E-50.0078777880.0082184730.0082383081.00241352.0E-5
6.41.3941944E-51.4454908E-52.4454763E-51.69179651.0E-55.9749822E-56.194826E-57.1947645E-51.1614151.0E-57.2721124E-47.5398246E-47.7396736E-41.02650582.0E-50.0072483610.00751657830.0075364281.00264082.0E-5
6.51.3941944E-51.4454908E-52.4454763E-51.69179651.0E-55.9749822E-56.194826E-57.1947645E-51.1614151.0E-57.2721124E-47.5398246E-47.7396736E-41.02650582.0E-50.0072483610.00751657830.0075364281.00264082.0E-5
6.61.0542609E-51.0671272E-52.0671167E-51.93708541.0E-54.5181827E-54.5733254E-55.57328E-51.21864931.0E-55.499499E-45.566656E-45.7665445E-41.03590822.0E-50.0054859090.00555327440.00557316331.00358152.0E-5
6.71.0542609E-51.0671272E-52.0671167E-51.93708541.0E-54.5181827E-54.5733254E-55.57328E-51.21864931.0E-55.499499E-45.566656E-45.7665445E-41.03590822.0E-50.0054859090.00555327440.00557316331.00358152.0E-5
6.81.0079132E-51.0176802E-52.01767E-51.9826171.0E-54.3195567E-54.3614164E-55.3613727E-51.22927331.0E-55.257791E-45.3087843E-45.508678E-41.03765342.0E-50.00524536850.0052966530.0053165471.00375592.0E-5
6.97.721598E-67.5490198E-67.5490198E-61.00.03.3092143E-53.2352546E-53.2352546E-51.00.04.0282236E-43.938223E-44.0381835E-41.02538221.0E-50.00402092930.00393137850.00394133941.00253371.0E-5
7.07.137566E-66.911413E-66.911413E-61.00.03.058921E-52.962001E-52.962001E-51.00.03.7236E-43.6056503E-43.6056503E-41.00.00.00371736680.00359991980.00359991981.00.0
7.15.654976E-65.299629E-65.299629E-61.00.02.4235387E-52.2712498E-52.2712498E-51.00.02.9502588E-42.764898E-42.764898E-41.00.00.00294634510.00276149020.00276149021.00.0
7.24.9358455E-64.5267375E-64.5267375E-61.00.02.1153453E-51.940016E-51.940016E-51.00.02.5751285E-42.3617149E-42.3617149E-41.00.00.00257214650.00235922840.00235922841.00.0
7.34.2368597E-63.805688E-63.805688E-61.00.01.8157843E-51.630999E-51.630999E-51.00.02.2104931E-41.9855614E-41.9855614E-41.00.00.00220829550.00198380740.00198380741.00.0
7.43.4999923E-63.0438064E-63.0438064E-61.00.01.49998805E-51.3044819E-51.3044819E-51.00.01.8260824E-41.5880918E-41.5880918E-41.00.00.00182458260.00158697390.00158697391.00.0
7.52.738017E-62.3020955E-62.3020955E-61.00.01.1734306E-59.866087E-69.866087E-61.00.01.428558E-41.2011305E-41.2011305E-41.00.00.00142764010.00120049690.00120049691.00.0
7.61.8186392E-61.4423393E-61.4423393E-61.00.07.794145E-66.18144E-66.18144E-61.00.09.488958E-57.525647E-57.525647E-51.00.09.4849075E-47.5232267E-47.5232267E-41.00.0
7.71.0660348E-67.644004E-77.644004E-71.00.04.5687125E-63.2759976E-63.2759976E-61.00.05.5622655E-53.988456E-53.988456E-51.00.05.5608735E-43.987844E-43.987844E-41.00.0
7.86.913602E-74.3205526E-74.3205526E-71.00.02.962969E-61.8516641E-61.8516641E-61.00.03.607355E-52.2543783E-52.2543783E-51.00.03.6067693E-42.2542427E-42.2542427E-41.00.0
7.97.425201E-85.3225733E-85.3225733E-81.00.03.1822285E-72.2811027E-72.2811027E-71.00.03.874356E-62.7772403E-62.7772403E-61.00.03.8742884E-52.7772185E-52.7772185E-51.00.0

Mission Ridge-Arroyo Parida-Santa Ana

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.169034E-54.7138332E-55.713786E-51.21213161.0E-51.7866064E-42.0201063E-42.1200861E-41.04949241.0E-50.00217302330.00245753140.00246750681.00405911.0E-50.0215189680.0243854620.0243952181.00040011.0E-5
6.11.73813E-51.685448E-51.685448E-51.00.07.4489166E-57.2231545E-57.2231545E-51.00.09.065282E-48.7907485E-48.7907485E-41.00.00.0090283910.0087572580.0087572581.00.0
6.21.4622182E-51.3673473E-51.3673473E-51.00.06.2664985E-55.8599304E-55.8599304E-51.00.07.6267915E-47.1321684E-47.1321684E-41.00.00.0076006690.00710986230.00710986231.00.0
6.31.3552434E-51.24823655E-51.24823655E-51.00.05.8080568E-55.3494776E-55.3494776E-51.00.07.069015E-46.511074E-46.511074E-41.00.00.007046570.0064925010.0064925011.00.0
6.41.30977305E-51.1979314E-51.1979314E-51.00.05.613192E-55.1338924E-55.1338924E-51.00.06.831918E-46.2487513E-46.2487513E-41.00.00.0068109530.00623166650.00623166651.00.0
6.51.225205E-51.1048948E-51.1048948E-51.00.05.2507727E-54.735179E-54.735179E-51.00.06.3909404E-45.763583E-45.763583E-41.00.00.0063725920.0057490850.0057490851.00.0
6.61.1352241E-51.0063668E-51.0063668E-51.00.04.8651553E-54.3129305E-54.3129305E-51.00.05.921717E-45.249749E-45.249749E-41.00.00.00590596160.0052377340.0052377341.00.0
6.71.0864116E-59.517152E-69.517152E-61.00.04.6559664E-54.0787167E-54.0787167E-51.00.05.667165E-44.964726E-44.964726E-41.00.00.0056527340.0049540090.0049540091.00.0
6.81.0666365E-59.2999E-69.2999E-61.00.04.571219E-53.9856117E-53.9856117E-51.00.05.564038E-44.851422E-44.851422E-41.00.00.0055501270.0048412040.0048412041.00.0
6.91.0038665E-58.592155E-68.592155E-61.00.04.302214E-53.682301E-53.682301E-51.00.05.236687E-44.4822975E-44.4822975E-41.00.00.0052243640.00447360850.00447360851.00.0
7.09.5379955E-68.025172E-68.025172E-61.00.04.0876483E-53.4393153E-53.4393153E-51.00.04.975576E-44.1865787E-44.1865787E-41.00.00.004964450.00417903160.00417903161.00.0
7.19.207389E-67.652467E-67.652467E-61.00.03.945964E-53.2795884E-53.2795884E-51.00.04.803152E-43.992184E-43.992184E-41.00.00.0047927840.00398534960.00398534961.00.0
7.27.638091E-65.931174E-65.931174E-61.00.03.2734264E-52.541907E-52.541907E-51.00.03.984668E-43.0943356E-43.0943356E-41.00.00.00397753060.00309022450.00309022451.00.0
7.37.2500147E-65.596204E-65.596204E-61.00.03.1071122E-52.3983514E-52.3983514E-51.00.03.7822526E-42.9196046E-42.9196046E-41.00.00.00377582150.0029159650.0029159651.00.0
7.46.3899715E-64.9185496E-64.9185496E-61.00.02.7385306E-52.107933E-52.107933E-51.00.03.3336508E-42.566108E-42.566108E-41.00.00.00332865420.00256333030.00256333031.00.0
7.55.379025E-64.0839013E-64.0839013E-61.00.02.305276E-51.7502318E-51.7502318E-51.00.02.806312E-42.1306999E-42.1306999E-41.00.00.00280277080.00212866840.00212866841.00.0
7.64.1270696E-63.088378E-63.088378E-61.00.01.768732E-51.3235838E-51.3235838E-51.00.02.1532185E-41.6113449E-41.6113449E-41.00.00.00215113330.00161018470.00161018471.00.0
7.72.5406805E-61.8282275E-61.8282275E-61.00.01.0888585E-57.835237E-67.835237E-61.00.01.3256045E-49.53899E-59.53899E-51.00.00.00132481429.5349574E-49.5349574E-41.00.0
7.84.8608285E-73.5099023E-73.5099023E-71.00.02.0832106E-61.504243E-61.504243E-61.00.02.5362791E-51.8314006E-51.8314006E-51.00.02.5359896E-41.8312508E-41.8312508E-41.00.0
7.92.0472514E-81.2688983E-81.2688983E-81.00.08.7739345E-85.4381356E-85.4381356E-81.00.01.068226E-66.620928E-76.620928E-71.00.01.0682209E-56.6209095E-66.6209095E-61.00.0
8.04.443582E-92.032151E-92.032151E-91.00.01.9043922E-88.709217E-98.709217E-91.00.02.3185973E-71.0603472E-71.0603472E-71.00.02.3185949E-61.0603468E-61.0603468E-61.00.0

Mission Creek

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1549387E-51.6325142E-51.6325142E-51.00.04.9496433E-56.9963105E-56.9963105E-51.00.06.0245243E-48.514829E-48.714659E-41.02346842.0E-50.0060082180.0085116990.00853152851.00232972.0E-5
6.11.1549387E-51.6325142E-51.6325142E-51.00.04.9496433E-56.9963105E-56.9963105E-51.00.06.0245243E-48.514829E-48.714659E-41.02346842.0E-50.0060082180.0085116990.00853152851.00232972.0E-5
6.21.1549387E-51.6325142E-51.6325142E-51.00.04.9496433E-56.9963105E-56.9963105E-51.00.06.0245243E-48.514829E-48.714659E-41.02346842.0E-50.0060082180.0085116990.00853152851.00232972.0E-5
6.31.1549387E-51.6325142E-51.6325142E-51.00.04.9496433E-56.9963105E-56.9963105E-51.00.06.0245243E-48.514829E-48.714659E-41.02346842.0E-50.0060082180.0085116990.00853152851.00232972.0E-5
6.41.1549387E-51.6325142E-51.6325142E-51.00.04.9496433E-56.9963105E-56.9963105E-51.00.06.0245243E-48.514829E-48.714659E-41.02346842.0E-50.0060082180.0085116990.00853152851.00232972.0E-5
6.51.1549387E-51.6325142E-51.6325142E-51.00.04.9496433E-56.9963105E-56.9963105E-51.00.06.0245243E-48.514829E-48.714659E-41.02346842.0E-50.0060082180.0085116990.00853152851.00232972.0E-5
6.69.202681E-61.3848401E-51.3848401E-51.00.03.9439463E-55.934899E-55.934899E-51.00.04.800697E-47.2234345E-47.42329E-41.02766762.0E-50.0047903390.00722887460.00724873041.00274672.0E-5
6.79.019164E-61.3654068E-51.3654068E-51.00.03.8652986E-55.8516176E-55.8516176E-51.00.04.7049852E-47.1221055E-47.321963E-41.02806162.0E-50.0046950360.00712819860.0071480561.00278582.0E-5
6.88.673558E-61.3276174E-51.3276174E-51.00.03.717186E-55.68967E-55.68967E-51.00.04.524734E-46.92506E-47.1249215E-41.02886062.0E-50.00451553240.00693238430.00695224571.0028652.0E-5
6.97.002255E-61.1480386E-51.1480386E-51.00.03.000932E-54.9200764E-54.9200764E-51.00.03.653022E-45.988615E-46.1884953E-41.03337672.0E-50.00364702290.00600119960.00602107961.00331272.0E-5
7.05.84644E-69.677556E-69.677556E-61.00.02.5055931E-54.1474606E-54.1474606E-51.00.03.0501327E-45.0484086E-45.248308E-41.03959642.0E-50.00304594960.00506545650.0050853551.00392832.0E-5
7.15.54703E-69.332022E-69.332022E-61.00.02.377277E-53.9993793E-53.9993793E-51.00.02.8939504E-44.868201E-45.068104E-41.0410632.0E-50.00289018450.0048860460.00490594841.00407332.0E-5
7.24.384709E-67.683992E-67.683992E-61.00.01.8791474E-53.2931002E-53.2931002E-51.00.02.2876218E-44.0086484E-44.208568E-41.04987222.0E-50.00228526820.00402988630.0040498061.00494292.0E-5
7.33.7888456E-66.917821E-66.917821E-61.00.01.623781E-52.9647486E-52.9647486E-51.00.01.9767738E-43.609017E-43.808945E-41.05539682.0E-50.00197501620.00363161530.00365154281.00548722.0E-5
7.42.1982462E-65.026073E-65.026073E-61.00.09.421021E-62.1540136E-52.1540136E-51.00.01.1469489E-42.6221978E-42.8221455E-41.07625192.0E-50.00114635720.00264734940.00266729641.00753472.0E-5
7.52.051923E-64.617237E-64.617237E-61.00.08.793926E-61.978801E-51.978801E-51.00.01.0706078E-42.4089254E-42.6088773E-41.08300462.0E-50.00107009220.00243501250.00245496371.00819352.0E-5
7.61.8733427E-64.125508E-64.125508E-61.00.08.028587E-61.768063E-51.768063E-51.00.09.774366E-52.1524049E-42.3523618E-41.09289932.0E-59.770069E-40.0021795290.00219948541.00915632.0E-5
7.71.8411953E-64.0451673E-64.0451673E-61.00.07.890813E-61.7336315E-51.7336315E-51.00.09.606641E-52.1104928E-42.3104507E-41.09474462.0E-59.6024893E-40.00213781020.00215776751.00933542.0E-5
7.81.7194251E-63.7123866E-63.7123866E-61.00.07.368944E-61.5910133E-51.5910133E-51.00.08.97132E-51.9368871E-42.1368483E-41.10323852.0E-58.967699E-40.00196369880.00198365961.01016492.0E-5
7.91.4035052E-62.9516495E-62.9516495E-61.00.06.0150082E-61.2649865E-51.2649865E-51.00.07.3230265E-51.5400129E-41.7399821E-41.12984912.0E-57.3206134E-40.00156423110.00158419981.01276592.0E-5
8.03.9318823E-75.531722E-75.531722E-71.00.01.6850913E-62.370736E-62.370736E-61.00.02.0515794E-52.8863333E-52.8863333E-51.00.02.0513899E-42.9927568E-42.9927568E-41.00.0
8.11.596793E-71.13891964E-71.13891964E-71.00.06.8433974E-74.881083E-74.881083E-71.00.08.331805E-65.942703E-65.942703E-61.00.08.331492E-56.555237E-56.555237E-51.00.0
8.24.9003038E-82.5465459E-82.5465459E-81.00.02.10013E-71.0913767E-71.0913767E-71.00.02.5569052E-61.3287504E-61.3287504E-61.00.02.556876E-51.49686575E-51.49686575E-51.00.0

San Andreas (Parkfield)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.556969E-47.787764E-47.787764E-41.00.00.00237938480.00333389340.00333389341.00.00.0285869630.040279060.0402982571.00047652.0E-50.251762840.33733740.337350671.00003932.0E-5
6.11.925858E-43.0300187E-43.0300187E-41.00.08.2510663E-40.00129802710.00129802711.00.00.00999948850.015784790.015784791.00.00.0956132560.149813150.149813151.00.0
6.29.4306815E-51.8251229E-41.8251229E-41.00.04.0410945E-47.8196224E-47.8196224E-41.00.00.00490893840.0094790250.0094790251.00.00.0480190630.091886950.091886951.00.0
6.39.283051E-51.7947727E-41.7947727E-41.00.03.9778434E-47.689627E-47.689627E-41.00.00.00483227470.00932212450.00932212451.00.00.0472853850.090539880.090539881.00.0
6.49.138826E-51.7709887E-41.7709887E-41.00.03.916052E-47.5877557E-47.5877557E-41.00.00.00475737450.0091991420.0091991421.00.00.0465680920.089443460.089443461.00.0
6.59.000255E-51.7467843E-41.7467843E-41.00.03.8566816E-47.484082E-47.484082E-41.00.00.00468540470.0090740020.0090740021.00.00.0458784030.088332380.088332381.00.0
6.68.8109264E-51.7148908E-41.7148908E-41.00.03.7755648E-47.347474E-47.347474E-41.00.00.00458706540.0089090670.0089090671.00.00.044935290.086864310.086864311.00.0
6.78.738073E-51.7015962E-41.7015962E-41.00.03.7443507E-47.290529E-47.290529E-41.00.00.00454922160.0088403490.0088403491.00.00.044572130.086265310.086265311.00.0
6.88.710195E-51.6961442E-41.6961442E-41.00.03.7324068E-47.267176E-47.267176E-41.00.00.00453474050.0088121560.0088121561.00.00.044433130.0860129150.0860129151.00.0
6.98.6801556E-51.6902383E-41.6902383E-41.00.03.7195362E-47.241879E-47.241879E-41.00.00.00451913570.00878160450.00878160451.00.00.0442833270.085738860.085738861.00.0
7.08.5571606E-51.6655146E-41.6655146E-41.00.03.6668387E-47.1359787E-47.1359787E-41.00.00.0044552410.0086537010.0086537011.00.00.0436697270.084587710.084587711.00.0
7.17.82589E-51.513576E-41.513576E-41.00.03.3535215E-46.485149E-46.485149E-41.00.00.00407527060.0078672550.0078672551.00.00.0400134180.077502860.077502861.00.0
7.27.690929E-51.4872964E-41.4872964E-41.00.03.2956956E-46.3725776E-46.3725776E-41.00.00.0040051290.00773117970.00773117971.00.00.03933710.076275820.076275821.00.0
7.37.5543794E-51.4569426E-41.4569426E-41.00.03.2371894E-46.242553E-46.242553E-41.00.00.0039341570.00757398460.00757398461.00.00.0386523340.074841260.074841261.00.0
7.47.4214564E-51.4270298E-41.4270298E-41.00.03.1802364E-46.1144156E-46.1144156E-41.00.00.0038650650.007419050.007419051.00.00.037985290.073414910.073414911.00.0
7.56.149578E-51.1197151E-41.1197151E-41.00.02.6352672E-44.7978974E-44.7978974E-41.00.00.00320371780.00582582640.00582582641.00.00.031579230.0585847940.0585847941.00.0
7.66.0643448E-51.10257475E-41.10257475E-41.00.02.598746E-44.7244655E-44.7244655E-41.00.00.00315938280.00573689720.00573689721.00.00.0311484170.05774560.05774561.00.0
7.75.1652263E-59.180402E-59.180402E-51.00.02.2134806E-43.933865E-43.933865E-41.00.00.0026915820.00477897240.00477897241.00.00.0265921410.0485586820.0485586821.00.0
7.84.8090482E-58.564889E-58.564889E-51.00.02.060858E-43.6701505E-43.6701505E-41.00.00.00250620720.00445926140.00445926141.00.00.0247813050.045323280.045323281.00.0
7.93.970278E-56.754373E-56.754373E-51.00.01.7014367E-42.8944103E-42.8944103E-41.00.00.0020695310.0035182540.0035182541.00.00.0205036360.035900360.035900361.00.0
8.02.8982335E-54.072156E-54.072156E-51.00.01.2420409E-41.745093E-41.745093E-41.00.00.00151113570.00212258150.00212258151.00.00.0150090120.0220224240.0220224241.00.0
8.11.8836186E-51.8692857E-51.8692857E-51.00.08.0724014E-58.0109785E-58.0109785E-51.00.09.823717E-49.7490085E-49.7490085E-41.00.00.0097804030.0104944270.0104944271.00.0
8.28.643924E-65.478665E-65.478665E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3479783E-52.3479783E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.8582895E-42.8582895E-41.00.00.00450013950.00325084690.00325084691.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6647797E-77.6647797E-71.00.08.498917E-63.2849016E-63.2849016E-61.00.01.034694E-43.999296E-53.999296E-51.00.00.00103421244.7228087E-44.7228087E-41.00.0

Santa Susana East (connector)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.858397E-53.202259E-53.202259E-51.00.01.2249697E-41.3723405E-41.3723405E-41.00.00.00149038030.00166981640.00167979981.00597871.0E-50.0148042440.016599790.0166096241.00059251.0E-5
6.12.858397E-53.202259E-53.202259E-51.00.01.2249697E-41.3723405E-41.3723405E-41.00.00.00149038030.00166981640.00167979981.00597871.0E-50.0148042440.016599790.0166096241.00059251.0E-5
6.22.858397E-53.202259E-53.202259E-51.00.01.2249697E-41.3723405E-41.3723405E-41.00.00.00149038030.00166981640.00167979981.00597871.0E-50.0148042440.016599790.0166096241.00059251.0E-5
6.31.943582E-52.036782E-52.036782E-51.00.08.329371E-58.728837E-58.728837E-51.00.00.0010136290.00106232970.00106232971.00.00.0100901810.0105841130.0105841131.00.0
6.41.943582E-52.036782E-52.036782E-51.00.08.329371E-58.728837E-58.728837E-51.00.00.0010136290.00106232970.00106232971.00.00.0100901810.0105841130.0105841131.00.0
6.51.943582E-52.036782E-52.036782E-51.00.08.329371E-58.728837E-58.728837E-51.00.00.0010136290.00106232970.00106232971.00.00.0100901810.0105841130.0105841131.00.0
6.61.943582E-52.036782E-52.036782E-51.00.08.329371E-58.728837E-58.728837E-51.00.00.0010136290.00106232970.00106232971.00.00.0100901810.0105841130.0105841131.00.0
6.71.9404439E-52.035524E-52.035524E-51.00.08.3159226E-58.723446E-58.723446E-51.00.00.00101199330.00106167410.00106167411.00.00.0100739710.0105776190.0105776191.00.0
6.81.2217526E-51.159334E-51.159334E-51.00.05.2359774E-54.968489E-54.968489E-51.00.06.372938E-46.0476246E-46.0476246E-41.00.00.00635469240.00603338330.00603338331.00.0
6.91.2217526E-51.159334E-51.159334E-51.00.05.2359774E-54.968489E-54.968489E-51.00.06.372938E-46.0476246E-46.0476246E-41.00.00.00635469240.00603338330.00603338331.00.0
7.09.276017E-68.059356E-68.059356E-61.00.03.9753755E-53.4539662E-53.4539662E-51.00.04.8389446E-44.204427E-44.204427E-41.00.00.00482842140.0041973680.0041973681.00.0
7.19.130355E-67.942529E-67.942529E-61.00.03.9129503E-53.4038985E-53.4038985E-51.00.04.7629757E-44.1434926E-44.1434926E-41.00.00.004752780.00413666150.00413666151.00.0
7.28.851015E-67.74169E-67.74169E-61.00.03.7932372E-53.317827E-53.317827E-51.00.04.6172875E-44.0387394E-44.0387394E-41.00.00.00460770540.00403229150.00403229151.00.0
7.38.573006E-67.5504113E-67.5504113E-61.00.03.6740938E-53.2358523E-53.2358523E-51.00.04.472291E-43.938972E-43.938972E-41.00.00.0044633010.0039328730.0039328731.00.0
7.47.852282E-66.8179206E-66.8179206E-61.00.03.36522E-52.9219349E-52.9219349E-51.00.04.096385E-43.5569054E-43.5569054E-41.00.00.00408884230.00355203050.00355203051.00.0
7.54.8869324E-64.27914E-64.27914E-61.00.02.0943828E-51.8339051E-51.8339051E-51.00.02.5496128E-42.2325672E-42.2325672E-41.00.00.00254668950.00223066330.00223066331.00.0
7.61.3894544E-61.1568442E-61.1568442E-61.00.05.954791E-64.9578953E-64.9578953E-61.00.07.249717E-56.0360926E-56.0360926E-51.00.07.247352E-46.0346717E-46.0346717E-41.00.0
7.72.9924632E-72.3719647E-72.3719647E-71.00.01.2824837E-61.016556E-61.016556E-61.00.01.5614127E-51.2376506E-51.2376506E-51.00.01.5613029E-41.2375889E-41.2375889E-41.00.0
7.84.8188564E-82.6323553E-82.6323553E-81.00.02.065224E-71.1281523E-71.1281523E-71.00.02.5144072E-61.3735246E-61.3735246E-61.00.02.5143789E-51.3735169E-51.3735169E-51.00.0
7.92.6127251E-92.768132E-92.768132E-91.00.01.1197393E-81.1863423E-81.1863423E-81.00.01.3632825E-71.4443718E-71.4443718E-71.00.01.3632817E-61.4443717E-61.4443717E-61.00.0

San Clemente

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.681379E-58.164081E-58.164081E-51.00.02.8631336E-43.4984472E-43.4984472E-41.00.00.0034802940.0042515340.0042515341.00.00.034262910.0417572260.041766811.00022951.0E-5
6.16.681379E-58.164081E-58.164081E-51.00.02.8631336E-43.4984472E-43.4984472E-41.00.00.0034802940.0042515340.0042515341.00.00.034262910.0417572260.0417572261.00.0
6.23.9400576E-54.645349E-54.645349E-51.00.01.6884868E-41.9907155E-41.9907155E-41.00.00.00205379450.00242105640.00242105641.00.00.0203491670.023953470.023953471.00.0
6.33.2590255E-53.792995E-53.792995E-51.00.01.3966505E-41.6254697E-41.6254697E-41.00.00.00169909560.00197724320.00197724321.00.00.016861630.0196003060.0196003061.00.0
6.42.9454652E-53.409848E-53.409848E-51.00.01.2622811E-41.4612831E-41.4612831E-41.00.00.00153574380.00177768660.00177768661.00.00.0152517390.0176378380.0176378381.00.0
6.52.790836E-53.2248132E-53.2248132E-51.00.01.1960178E-41.381991E-41.381991E-41.00.00.0014551790.0016813010.0016813011.00.00.0144568680.0166888270.0166888271.00.0
6.62.2492153E-52.57632E-52.57632E-51.00.09.639138E-51.1040912E-41.1040912E-41.00.00.00117293310.00134341690.00134341691.00.00.0116676150.0133546730.0133546731.00.0
6.71.9862755E-52.2666847E-52.2666847E-51.00.08.512331E-59.714008E-59.714008E-51.00.00.00103588360.00118205010.00118205011.00.00.0103106820.011758920.011758921.00.0
6.81.6697575E-51.8978053E-51.8978053E-51.00.07.155907E-58.133203E-58.133203E-51.00.08.7088346E-49.89777E-49.89777E-41.00.00.0086747840.0098547140.0098547141.00.0
6.91.5218415E-51.726971E-51.726971E-51.00.06.522015E-57.401099E-57.401099E-51.00.07.93766E-49.0072013E-49.0072013E-41.00.00.0079093670.008971640.008971641.00.0
7.01.2392958E-51.4033262E-51.4033262E-51.00.05.3111595E-56.0141207E-56.0141207E-51.00.06.4644177E-47.319808E-47.319808E-41.00.00.00644564540.00729648440.00729648441.00.0
7.11.0934128E-51.2375354E-51.2375354E-51.00.04.6859706E-55.3036194E-55.3036194E-51.00.05.7036756E-46.455317E-46.455317E-41.00.00.00568905850.0064373120.0064373121.00.0
7.29.5798805E-61.0845125E-51.0845125E-51.00.04.1055984E-54.647832E-54.647832E-51.00.04.9974193E-45.657338E-45.657338E-41.00.00.00498619630.005643660.005643661.00.0
7.38.0167365E-69.084078E-69.084078E-61.00.03.4356988E-53.8931223E-53.8931223E-51.00.04.1821605E-44.738916E-44.738916E-41.00.00.00417429860.0047295130.0047295131.00.0
7.42.9581017E-63.36244E-63.36244E-61.00.01.2677518E-51.4410407E-51.4410407E-51.00.01.5433785E-41.7543763E-41.7543763E-41.00.00.0015423070.00175348630.00175348631.00.0

Simi-Santa Rosa

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.198912E-52.227584E-52.227584E-51.00.09.4235686E-59.5464646E-59.5464646E-51.00.00.00114671560.00116170620.00116170621.00.00.0114081630.0115607810.0115706651.0008551.0E-5
6.12.198912E-52.227584E-52.227584E-51.00.09.4235686E-59.5464646E-59.5464646E-51.00.00.00114671560.00116170620.00116170621.00.00.0114081630.0115607810.0115706651.0008551.0E-5
6.21.69983E-51.6668866E-51.6668866E-51.00.07.284782E-57.14362E-57.14362E-51.00.08.865613E-48.694179E-48.694179E-41.00.00.0088303270.0086630860.0086729991.00114431.0E-5
6.31.69983E-51.6668866E-51.6668866E-51.00.07.284782E-57.14362E-57.14362E-51.00.08.865613E-48.694179E-48.694179E-41.00.00.0088303270.0086630860.0086729991.00114431.0E-5
6.41.4666188E-51.4052807E-51.4052807E-51.00.06.285358E-56.0225066E-56.0225066E-51.00.07.6497364E-47.330184E-47.330184E-41.00.00.00762345640.00730848130.00731840781.00135831.0E-5
6.51.4666188E-51.4052807E-51.4052807E-51.00.06.285358E-56.0225066E-56.0225066E-51.00.07.6497364E-47.330184E-47.330184E-41.00.00.00762345640.00730848130.00731840781.00135831.0E-5
6.61.4377586E-51.3729842E-51.3729842E-51.00.06.1616774E-55.8840993E-55.8840993E-51.00.07.4992597E-47.1617845E-47.1617845E-41.00.00.0074740030.0071411730.00715110131.00139031.0E-5
6.71.3881404E-51.3207801E-51.3207801E-51.00.05.9490372E-55.6603774E-55.6603774E-51.00.07.240546E-46.8895775E-46.8895775E-41.00.00.0072170.00687066840.00688059951.00144541.0E-5
6.81.0176516E-59.154335E-69.154335E-61.00.04.3612912E-53.923237E-53.923237E-51.00.05.308578E-44.7756598E-44.7756598E-41.00.00.00529591460.00476703050.0047769831.00208771.0E-5
6.99.699797E-68.7748995E-68.7748995E-61.00.04.15699E-53.7606264E-53.7606264E-51.00.05.05996E-44.577765E-44.577765E-41.00.00.0050484540.00456995330.00457990731.00217821.0E-5
7.07.4049476E-66.5594745E-66.5594745E-61.00.03.1735104E-52.8111803E-52.8111803E-51.00.03.8630638E-43.422201E-43.422201E-41.00.00.00385635530.00341817320.0034281391.00291551.0E-5
7.13.873439E-62.7595852E-62.7595852E-61.00.01.6600346E-51.1826742E-51.1826742E-51.00.02.0209046E-41.439813E-41.439813E-41.00.00.00201906780.00143890370.00144888941.00693981.0E-5
7.23.417706E-62.3677217E-62.3677217E-61.00.01.4647229E-51.0147341E-51.0147341E-51.00.01.7831543E-41.2353709E-41.2353709E-41.00.00.00178172420.00123470650.00124469411.00808911.0E-5
7.31.90225E-61.4074603E-61.4074603E-61.00.08.152474E-66.031959E-66.031959E-61.00.09.9251854E-57.343665E-57.343665E-51.00.09.920754E-47.34126E-47.34126E-41.00.0
7.41.5170556E-61.1025613E-61.1025613E-61.00.06.5016507E-64.7252547E-64.7252547E-61.00.07.915472E-55.7528465E-55.7528465E-51.00.07.9126534E-45.7513686E-45.7513686E-41.00.0
7.51.178732E-68.535918E-78.535918E-71.00.05.0516987E-63.6582455E-63.6582455E-61.00.06.1502695E-54.453824E-54.453824E-51.00.06.148568E-44.4529408E-44.4529408E-41.00.0
7.66.8722386E-74.79399E-74.79399E-71.00.02.9452417E-62.0545656E-62.0545656E-61.00.03.5857727E-52.501405E-52.501405E-51.00.03.5851944E-42.5011247E-42.5011247E-41.00.0
7.75.5126515E-73.673879E-73.673879E-71.00.02.3625628E-61.5745187E-61.5745187E-61.00.02.8763823E-51.9169596E-51.9169596E-51.00.02.87601E-41.9167954E-41.9167954E-41.00.0
7.83.3860243E-72.0081076E-72.0081076E-71.00.01.4511525E-68.6061726E-78.6061726E-71.00.01.7667637E-51.0477966E-51.0477966E-51.00.01.7666233E-41.04774765E-41.04774765E-41.00.0
7.92.7955386E-71.465409E-71.465409E-71.00.01.1980875E-66.280323E-76.280323E-71.00.01.4586617E-57.646267E-67.646267E-61.00.01.458566E-47.646008E-57.646008E-51.00.0
8.05.6259015E-83.335468E-83.335468E-81.00.02.4111003E-71.4294862E-71.4294862E-71.00.02.9355108E-61.7403981E-61.7403981E-61.00.02.935472E-51.740386E-51.740386E-51.00.0

Earthquake Valley (No Extension)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.1859703E-52.5198877E-52.5198877E-51.00.09.3681076E-51.0799154E-41.1799046E-41.09258991.0E-50.00113997030.0013141490.00132413591.00759951.0E-50.0113414010.013078140.0130880091.00075461.0E-5
6.12.1859703E-52.5198877E-52.5198877E-51.00.09.3681076E-51.0799154E-41.1799046E-41.09258991.0E-50.00113997030.0013141490.00132413591.00759951.0E-50.0113414010.013078140.0130880091.00075461.0E-5
6.22.1859703E-52.5198877E-52.5198877E-51.00.09.3681076E-51.0799154E-41.1799046E-41.09258991.0E-50.00113997030.0013141490.00132413591.00759951.0E-50.0113414010.013078140.0130880091.00075461.0E-5
6.32.1859703E-52.5198877E-52.5198877E-51.00.09.3681076E-51.0799154E-41.1799046E-41.09258991.0E-50.00113997030.0013141490.00132413591.00759951.0E-50.0113414010.013078140.0130880091.00075461.0E-5
6.42.1859703E-52.5198877E-52.5198877E-51.00.09.3681076E-51.0799154E-41.1799046E-41.09258991.0E-50.00113997030.0013141490.00132413591.00759951.0E-50.0113414010.013078140.0130880091.00075461.0E-5
6.52.1859703E-52.5198877E-52.5198877E-51.00.09.3681076E-51.0799154E-41.1799046E-41.09258991.0E-50.00113997030.0013141490.00132413591.00759951.0E-50.0113414010.013078140.0130880091.00075461.0E-5
6.61.597E-51.8356648E-51.8356648E-51.00.06.8441055E-57.8669465E-58.866868E-51.12710421.0E-58.329513E-49.574672E-49.674576E-41.01043431.0E-50.0082983610.0095420280.0095519331.0010381.0E-5
6.71.597E-51.8356648E-51.8356648E-51.00.06.8441055E-57.8669465E-58.866868E-51.12710421.0E-58.329513E-49.574672E-49.674576E-41.01043431.0E-50.0082983610.0095420280.0095519331.0010381.0E-5
6.81.5315149E-51.760245E-51.760245E-51.00.06.5634704E-57.5437376E-58.543662E-51.13255021.0E-57.988095E-49.181497E-49.2814054E-41.01088141.0E-50.0079594410.0091521040.00916201251.00108271.0E-5
6.91.3634728E-51.5676142E-51.5676142E-51.00.05.8433237E-56.718219E-57.7181525E-51.1488391.0E-57.1119244E-48.1771833E-48.2771014E-41.01221921.0E-50.0070892070.0081551660.0081650851.00121621.0E-5
7.01.3496271E-51.551817E-51.551817E-51.00.05.783988E-56.6505214E-57.650455E-51.15035411.0E-57.03973E-48.0948224E-48.194741E-41.01234351.0E-50.0070174710.0080734050.0080833241.00122871.0E-5
7.18.242798E-69.472796E-69.472796E-61.00.03.53258E-54.0597442E-55.059704E-51.2463111.0E-54.300067E-44.9422885E-45.042239E-41.02022351.0E-50.0042917560.00493787370.00494782441.00201511.0E-5
7.22.6506527E-72.2560344E-72.2560344E-71.00.01.1359936E-69.668715E-79.668715E-71.00.01.3830633E-51.1771602E-51.1771602E-51.00.01.3829772E-41.17710195E-41.17710195E-41.00.0
7.32.5810488E-72.1955466E-72.1955466E-71.00.01.1061633E-69.409482E-79.409482E-71.00.01.3467455E-51.1455989E-51.1455989E-51.00.01.3466639E-41.14554394E-41.14554394E-41.00.0
7.42.2676066E-71.9110627E-71.9110627E-71.00.09.71831E-78.1902664E-78.1902664E-71.00.01.1831979E-59.971608E-69.971608E-61.00.01.1831349E-49.971199E-59.971199E-51.00.0
7.51.5553917E-71.3112042E-71.3112042E-71.00.06.6659624E-75.619445E-75.619445E-71.00.08.115779E-66.8416552E-66.8416552E-61.00.08.115482E-56.8414665E-56.8414665E-51.00.0
7.61.3448629E-71.12883015E-71.12883015E-71.00.05.7636964E-74.837843E-74.837843E-71.00.07.017278E-65.8900596E-65.8900596E-61.00.07.0170565E-55.8899248E-55.8899248E-51.00.0
7.72.9719402E-81.4581605E-81.4581605E-81.00.01.2736886E-76.2492596E-86.2492596E-81.00.01.5507147E-67.608471E-77.608471E-71.00.01.550704E-57.6084502E-67.6084502E-61.00.0
7.87.4390196E-93.2500513E-93.2500513E-91.00.03.1881513E-81.39287915E-81.39287915E-81.00.03.8815733E-71.6958302E-71.6958302E-71.00.03.8815665E-61.6958292E-61.6958292E-61.00.0
7.91.5373532E-98.440192E-108.440192E-101.00.06.5886567E-93.6172252E-93.6172252E-91.00.08.021689E-84.4039716E-84.4039716E-81.00.08.0216864E-74.4039714E-74.4039714E-71.00.0

Manix-Afton Hills

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.3783202E-51.4711221E-51.4711221E-51.00.05.906953E-56.304667E-56.304667E-51.00.07.189342E-47.673403E-47.673403E-41.00.00.00716612770.0076486640.0076585881.00129751.0E-5
6.11.3783202E-51.4711221E-51.4711221E-51.00.05.906953E-56.304667E-56.304667E-51.00.07.189342E-47.673403E-47.673403E-41.00.00.00716612770.0076486640.0076585881.00129751.0E-5
6.21.3783202E-51.4711221E-51.4711221E-51.00.05.906953E-56.304667E-56.304667E-51.00.07.189342E-47.673403E-47.673403E-41.00.00.00716612770.0076486640.0076585881.00129751.0E-5
6.31.10494875E-51.1793241E-51.1793241E-51.00.04.7354086E-55.054154E-55.054154E-51.00.05.763835E-46.151799E-46.151799E-41.00.00.0057489080.006135810.0061457491.00161981.0E-5
6.41.10494875E-51.1793241E-51.1793241E-51.00.04.7354086E-55.054154E-55.054154E-51.00.05.763835E-46.151799E-46.151799E-41.00.00.0057489080.006135810.0061457491.00161981.0E-5
6.59.788949E-61.0454414E-51.0454414E-51.00.04.1951964E-54.4803914E-54.4803914E-51.00.05.1064545E-45.4536044E-45.4536044E-41.00.00.00509473630.0054411480.0054411481.00.0
6.68.810006E-69.413714E-69.413714E-61.00.03.775662E-54.0343915E-54.0343915E-51.00.04.5958988E-44.9108535E-44.9108535E-41.00.00.00458640560.0049008840.0049008841.00.0
6.78.80128E-69.404193E-69.404193E-61.00.03.7719226E-54.0303115E-54.0303115E-51.00.04.591348E-44.9058883E-44.9058883E-41.00.00.0045818740.00489594040.00489594041.00.0
6.86.8994877E-67.3801443E-67.3801443E-61.00.02.9568899E-53.1628853E-53.1628853E-51.00.03.5994186E-43.850214E-43.850214E-41.00.00.0035935940.00384434850.00384434851.00.0
6.94.9328037E-65.2710093E-65.2710093E-61.00.02.1140417E-52.258988E-52.258988E-51.00.02.5735417E-42.7500323E-42.7500323E-41.00.00.00257056350.00274723440.00274723441.00.0
7.03.347973E-63.5900646E-63.5900646E-61.00.01.4348378E-51.5385924E-51.5385924E-51.00.01.746775E-41.8731161E-41.8731161E-41.00.00.00174540250.001871940.001871941.00.0
7.11.2073567E-61.2934943E-61.2934943E-61.00.05.1743755E-65.5435444E-65.5435444E-61.00.06.29962E-56.74922E-56.74922E-51.00.06.297835E-46.7487714E-46.7487714E-41.00.0

Sheephole

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5579695E-64.7412877E-64.7412877E-61.00.01.9534009E-52.0319678E-52.0319678E-51.00.02.3780059E-42.4736955E-42.5736706E-41.04041541.0E-50.00237546280.00247148630.00248146171.00403621.0E-5
6.14.5579695E-64.7412877E-64.7412877E-61.00.01.9534009E-52.0319678E-52.0319678E-51.00.02.3780059E-42.4736955E-42.5736706E-41.04041541.0E-50.00237546280.00247148630.00248146171.00403621.0E-5
6.22.6677674E-62.7874107E-62.7874107E-61.00.01.1433239E-51.1945997E-51.1945997E-51.00.01.3919079E-41.4543389E-41.5543244E-41.06874981.0E-50.00139103640.0014534930.00146347851.006871.0E-5
6.32.6677674E-62.7874107E-62.7874107E-61.00.01.1433239E-51.1945997E-51.1945997E-51.00.01.3919079E-41.4543389E-41.5543244E-41.06874981.0E-50.00139103640.0014534930.00146347851.006871.0E-5
6.42.2159759E-62.3228936E-62.3228936E-61.00.09.497005E-69.955224E-69.955224E-61.00.01.156199E-41.2119893E-41.2119893E-41.00.00.00115559760.00121140760.00121140761.00.0
6.52.1986082E-62.3047737E-62.3047737E-61.00.09.4225725E-69.877569E-69.877569E-61.00.01.1471378E-41.2025358E-41.2025358E-41.00.00.00114654580.00120196430.00120196431.00.0
6.61.5232331E-61.6019028E-61.6019028E-61.00.06.5281256E-66.8652807E-66.8652807E-61.00.07.947703E-58.358178E-58.358178E-51.00.07.9448614E-48.3552214E-48.3552214E-41.00.0
6.71.3137362E-61.3828287E-61.3828287E-61.00.05.6302856E-65.926396E-65.926396E-61.00.06.854657E-57.2151626E-57.2151626E-51.00.06.8525434E-47.212959E-47.212959E-41.00.0
6.81.2275751E-61.2922936E-61.2922936E-61.00.05.2610258E-65.5383903E-65.5383903E-61.00.06.4051106E-56.742795E-56.742795E-51.00.06.4032647E-46.740883E-46.740883E-41.00.0
6.91.1837088E-61.2461107E-61.2461107E-61.00.05.0730278E-65.340464E-65.340464E-61.00.06.176237E-56.501835E-56.501835E-51.00.06.17452E-46.500064E-46.500064E-41.00.0
7.09.849371E-71.036636E-61.036636E-61.00.04.2211523E-64.442719E-64.442719E-61.00.05.1391315E-55.408886E-55.408886E-51.00.05.137943E-45.4076704E-45.4076704E-41.00.0
7.18.1643645E-78.5917287E-78.5917287E-71.00.03.4990085E-63.6821648E-63.6821648E-61.00.04.2599597E-54.482952E-54.482952E-51.00.04.259143E-44.482134E-44.482134E-41.00.0
7.25.7295756E-76.029544E-76.029544E-71.00.02.45553E-62.584088E-62.584088E-61.00.02.9895667E-53.1460884E-53.1460884E-51.00.02.9891645E-43.14571E-43.14571E-41.00.0

Great Valley 05 Pittsburg - Kirby Hills alt1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.187212E-55.3444855E-56.344432E-51.18709871.0E-51.794396E-42.2903502E-42.3903273E-41.04365151.0E-50.0021824880.00278589970.00279587181.00357951.0E-50.0216117760.0276041940.0276139171.00035231.0E-5
6.14.187212E-55.3444855E-56.344432E-51.18709871.0E-51.794396E-42.2903502E-42.3903273E-41.04365151.0E-50.0021824880.00278589970.00279587181.00357951.0E-50.0216117760.0276041940.0276139171.00035231.0E-5
6.21.7353306E-52.2155487E-52.2155487E-51.00.07.436919E-59.495095E-59.495095E-51.00.09.050688E-40.00115579890.00115579891.00.00.0090139150.0115356120.0115356121.00.0
6.31.7353306E-52.2155487E-52.2155487E-51.00.07.436919E-59.495095E-59.495095E-51.00.09.050688E-40.00115579890.00115579891.00.00.0090139150.0115356120.0115356121.00.0
6.41.4028824E-51.7901719E-51.7901719E-51.00.06.0122147E-57.672165E-57.672165E-51.00.07.3174125E-49.340638E-49.340638E-41.00.00.00729336450.0093385450.0093385451.00.0

Cleghorn Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5467183E-51.6794396E-51.6794396E-51.00.06.6286244E-57.1974304E-58.197359E-51.13892851.0E-58.067362E-48.7598973E-48.8598096E-41.01140571.0E-50.0080381370.0087307950.0087407071.00113531.0E-5
6.11.5467183E-51.6794396E-51.6794396E-51.00.06.6286244E-57.1974304E-58.197359E-51.13892851.0E-58.067362E-48.7598973E-48.8598096E-41.01140571.0E-50.0080381370.0087307950.0087407071.00113531.0E-5
6.21.2624631E-51.3681697E-51.3681697E-51.00.05.410444E-55.86348E-56.863422E-51.17053721.0E-56.585225E-47.1369356E-47.236864E-41.01400161.0E-50.00656574450.0071188110.00712873971.00139471.0E-5
6.31.2624631E-51.3681697E-51.3681697E-51.00.05.410444E-55.86348E-56.863422E-51.17053721.0E-56.585225E-47.1369356E-47.236864E-41.01400161.0E-50.00656574450.0071188110.00712873971.00139471.0E-5
6.49.417684E-61.0170226E-51.0170226E-51.00.04.036088E-54.3586184E-54.3586184E-51.00.04.912829E-45.305737E-45.305737E-41.00.00.0049019820.00529710530.00529710531.00.0
6.59.368219E-61.0117652E-51.0117652E-51.00.04.014889E-54.3360877E-54.3360877E-51.00.04.8870314E-45.278319E-45.278319E-41.00.00.0048762980.00526981750.00526981751.00.0
6.67.803798E-68.441923E-68.441923E-61.00.03.3444423E-53.6179394E-53.6179394E-51.00.04.0710976E-44.40435E-44.40435E-41.00.00.00406364720.0043995380.0043995381.00.0
6.72.3108669E-62.4438523E-62.4438523E-61.00.09.903678E-61.0473612E-51.0473612E-51.00.01.205706E-41.2750895E-41.2750895E-41.00.00.0012050520.00127437650.00127437651.00.0
6.82.0882828E-62.2062986E-62.2062986E-61.00.08.949753E-69.455533E-69.455533E-61.00.01.08957785E-41.15115196E-41.15115196E-41.00.00.00108904380.00115057260.00115057261.00.0
6.91.876935E-61.9810657E-61.9810657E-61.00.08.043982E-68.490254E-68.490254E-61.00.09.7931086E-51.033641E-41.033641E-41.00.09.788794E-40.00103317620.00103317621.00.0
7.01.5357559E-61.6202926E-61.6202926E-61.00.06.5817944E-66.944093E-66.944093E-61.00.08.01304E-58.454118E-58.454118E-51.00.08.010151E-48.4510265E-48.4510265E-41.00.0
7.11.0905424E-61.1497702E-61.1497702E-61.00.04.6737446E-64.927578E-64.927578E-61.00.05.6901354E-55.999171E-55.999171E-51.00.05.6886784E-45.997649E-45.997649E-41.00.0
7.26.06668E-76.387322E-76.387322E-71.00.02.600003E-62.7374213E-62.7374213E-61.00.03.1654577E-53.3327666E-53.3327666E-51.00.03.1650066E-43.332335E-43.332335E-41.00.0

Cleghorn Pass

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.0522846E-51.1040714E-51.1040714E-51.00.04.509713E-54.7316782E-54.7316782E-51.00.05.4891926E-45.759822E-45.8597646E-41.01735161.0E-50.00547565330.0057500590.0057600021.00172911.0E-5
6.11.0522846E-51.1040714E-51.1040714E-51.00.04.509713E-54.7316782E-54.7316782E-51.00.05.4891926E-45.759822E-45.8597646E-41.01735161.0E-50.00547565330.0057500590.0057600021.00172911.0E-5
6.22.1045846E-62.2082168E-62.2082168E-61.00.09.019617E-69.463776E-69.463776E-61.00.01.098083E-41.1521958E-41.1521958E-41.00.00.00109754060.00115200980.00115200981.00.0
6.32.1045846E-62.2082168E-62.2082168E-61.00.09.019617E-69.463776E-69.463776E-61.00.01.098083E-41.1521958E-41.1521958E-41.00.00.00109754060.00115200980.00115200981.00.0
6.41.7259927E-61.8108889E-61.8108889E-61.00.07.3970905E-67.760952E-67.760952E-61.00.09.005586E-59.4489595E-59.4489595E-51.00.09.001937E-49.4489596E-49.4489596E-41.00.0

Santa Rosa Island

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.1143165E-54.7092035E-55.7091565E-51.21234011.0E-51.7631594E-42.018085E-42.1180649E-41.0495421.0E-50.0021445330.00245444640.00246442181.00406421.0E-50.0212395530.0242940190.0243037771.00040161.0E-5
6.12.1061249E-52.3865383E-53.3865144E-51.4190071.0E-59.0259375E-51.0227637E-41.12275346E-41.09776431.0E-50.00109835390.00124453240.00125451991.00802521.0E-50.010929410.0123786680.0123885441.00079791.0E-5
6.22.1061249E-52.3865383E-53.3865144E-51.4190071.0E-59.0259375E-51.0227637E-41.12275346E-41.09776431.0E-50.00109835390.00124453240.00125451991.00802521.0E-50.010929410.0123786680.0123885441.00079791.0E-5
6.31.5158236E-51.7074706E-51.7074706E-51.00.06.496225E-57.317533E-57.317533E-51.00.07.906284E-48.905575E-48.905575E-41.00.00.0078782140.0088711390.0088711391.00.0
6.41.2341918E-51.3853143E-51.3853143E-51.00.05.2892858E-55.9369308E-55.9369308E-51.00.06.437803E-47.225897E-47.225897E-41.00.00.0064191840.0072032390.0072032391.00.0
6.59.061158E-61.0117189E-51.0117189E-51.00.03.883296E-54.335869E-54.335869E-51.00.04.726887E-45.277695E-45.277695E-41.00.00.0047168450.00526569920.00526569921.00.0
6.67.5461685E-68.400862E-68.400862E-61.00.03.2340322E-53.6003217E-53.6003217E-51.00.03.936723E-44.3825532E-44.3825532E-41.00.00.0039297560.004374340.004374341.00.0
6.75.5023775E-66.0874677E-66.0874677E-61.00.02.3581404E-52.6088905E-52.6088905E-51.00.02.8706578E-43.1758938E-43.1758938E-41.00.00.00286695220.00317167680.00317167681.00.0
6.83.7351679E-64.083192E-64.083192E-61.00.01.6007763E-51.749929E-51.749929E-51.00.01.948771E-42.1303551E-42.1303551E-41.00.00.00194706290.00212855820.00212855821.00.0
6.92.456366E-62.6292955E-62.6292955E-61.00.01.0527241E-51.1268361E-51.1268361E-51.00.01.2816161E-41.3718368E-41.3718368E-41.00.00.00128087730.00137099290.00137099291.00.0
7.02.3245157E-62.4828012E-62.4828012E-61.00.09.962172E-61.0640533E-51.0640533E-51.00.01.2128269E-41.295408E-41.295408E-41.00.00.00121216520.00129465530.00129465531.00.0
7.12.2248344E-62.3732714E-62.3732714E-61.00.09.53497E-61.0171123E-51.0171123E-51.00.01.1608207E-41.2382641E-41.2382641E-41.00.00.00116021440.00123757610.00123757611.00.0
7.22.1350402E-62.2761742E-62.2761742E-61.00.09.150141E-69.754996E-69.754996E-61.00.01.1139726E-41.18760625E-41.18760625E-41.00.00.00111341440.00118697340.00118697341.00.0
7.31.9793572E-62.1087376E-62.1087376E-61.00.08.482932E-69.037416E-69.037416E-61.00.01.032748E-41.10025E-41.10025E-41.00.00.00103226820.00109970710.00109970711.00.0
7.41.6951194E-61.8045891E-61.8045891E-61.00.07.264777E-67.733931E-67.733931E-61.00.08.844508E-59.415655E-59.415655E-51.00.08.840988E-49.411683E-49.411683E-41.00.0
7.58.987207E-79.5122914E-79.5122914E-71.00.03.8516546E-64.07669E-64.07669E-61.00.04.6892885E-54.963258E-54.963258E-51.00.04.688299E-44.962162E-44.962162E-41.00.0
7.63.8783037E-74.0529594E-74.0529594E-71.00.01.6621291E-61.7369814E-61.7369814E-61.00.02.0236233E-52.114755E-52.114755E-51.00.02.023439E-42.1145603E-42.1145603E-41.00.0
7.76.181804E-86.339078E-86.339078E-81.00.02.6493444E-72.7167474E-72.7167474E-71.00.03.225572E-63.3076349E-63.3076349E-61.00.03.225525E-53.3075863E-53.3075863E-51.00.0
7.81.3704449E-91.3964188E-91.3964188E-91.00.05.873335E-95.984652E-95.984652E-91.00.07.1507856E-87.286314E-87.286314E-81.00.07.1507833E-77.286312E-77.286312E-71.00.0

Earthquake Valley (So Extension)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0194888E-53.707323E-53.707323E-51.00.01.2940024E-41.5887865E-41.6887707E-41.06293111.0E-50.00157430930.00193314640.0019431271.0051631.0E-50.015632030.0192136780.0192234871.00051051.0E-5
6.13.0194888E-53.707323E-53.707323E-51.00.01.2940024E-41.5887865E-41.6887707E-41.06293111.0E-50.00157430930.00193314640.0019431271.0051631.0E-50.015632030.0192136780.0192234871.00051051.0E-5
6.23.0194888E-53.707323E-53.707323E-51.00.01.2940024E-41.5887865E-41.6887707E-41.06293111.0E-50.00157430930.00193314640.0019431271.0051631.0E-50.015632030.0192136780.0192234871.00051051.0E-5
6.31.5795305E-51.8447032E-51.8447032E-51.00.06.769241E-57.905694E-58.905615E-51.1264811.0E-58.238434E-49.622042E-49.721946E-41.01038281.0E-50.0082079590.00959128050.0096011841.00103261.0E-5
6.41.5795305E-51.8447032E-51.8447032E-51.00.06.769241E-57.905694E-58.905615E-51.1264811.0E-58.238434E-49.622042E-49.721946E-41.01038281.0E-50.0082079590.00959128050.0096011841.00103261.0E-5
6.51.5795305E-51.8447032E-51.8447032E-51.00.06.769241E-57.905694E-58.905615E-51.1264811.0E-58.238434E-49.622042E-49.721946E-41.01038281.0E-50.0082079590.00959128050.0096011841.00103261.0E-5
6.61.5795305E-51.8447032E-51.8447032E-51.00.06.769241E-57.905694E-58.905615E-51.1264811.0E-58.238434E-49.622042E-49.721946E-41.01038281.0E-50.0082079590.00959128050.0096011841.00103261.0E-5
6.71.1363076E-51.3138569E-51.3138569E-51.00.04.8697988E-55.6307366E-56.63068E-51.17758671.0E-55.927367E-46.8540266E-46.953958E-41.014581.0E-50.00591158170.0068403610.00685029241.0014521.0E-5
6.81.0049611E-51.1594572E-51.1594572E-51.00.04.306905E-54.969049E-55.968999E-51.20123581.0E-55.242395E-46.0488697E-46.148809E-41.0165221.0E-50.00523004540.0060395820.00604952171.00164571.0E-5
6.91.0049611E-51.1594572E-51.1594572E-51.00.04.306905E-54.969049E-55.968999E-51.20123581.0E-55.242395E-46.0488697E-46.148809E-41.0165221.0E-50.00523004540.0060395820.00604952171.00164571.0E-5
7.01.0049611E-51.1594572E-51.1594572E-51.00.04.306905E-54.969049E-55.968999E-51.20123581.0E-55.242395E-46.0488697E-46.148809E-41.0165221.0E-50.00523004540.0060395820.00604952171.00164571.0E-5
7.18.140254E-69.38365E-69.38365E-61.00.03.4886336E-54.02154E-55.0214996E-51.24865091.0E-54.2465836E-44.895796E-44.9957464E-41.02041571.0E-50.00423847740.00489158650.00490153771.00203431.0E-5
7.21.673835E-71.4153831E-71.4153831E-71.00.07.173577E-76.0659266E-76.0659266E-71.00.08.733795E-67.3852443E-67.3852443E-61.00.08.733451E-57.3850344E-57.3850344E-51.00.0
7.31.6632116E-71.4052058E-71.4052058E-71.00.07.1280476E-76.0223095E-76.0223095E-71.00.08.678364E-67.332141E-67.332141E-61.00.08.6780245E-57.3319345E-57.3319345E-51.00.0
7.41.6569169E-71.3996687E-71.3996687E-71.00.07.1010703E-75.998579E-75.998579E-71.00.08.645519E-67.3032493E-67.3032493E-61.00.08.645182E-57.3030445E-57.3030445E-51.00.0
7.51.1764555E-71.0095579E-71.0095579E-71.00.05.041951E-74.326676E-74.326676E-71.00.06.138558E-65.267718E-65.267718E-61.00.06.1383886E-55.2676143E-55.2676143E-51.00.0
7.61.07927605E-79.260366E-89.260366E-81.00.04.6254678E-73.9687282E-73.9687282E-71.00.05.6314925E-64.831918E-64.831918E-61.00.05.63135E-54.8318336E-54.8318336E-51.00.0
7.72.1826905E-81.118023E-81.118023E-81.00.09.3543875E-84.7915268E-84.7915268E-81.00.01.1388961E-65.833683E-75.833683E-71.00.01.1388902E-55.8336727E-65.8336727E-61.00.0
7.82.6169649E-91.1969211E-91.1969211E-91.00.01.1215564E-85.1296616E-95.1296616E-91.00.01.3654947E-76.245363E-86.245363E-81.00.01.365494E-66.2453626E-76.2453626E-71.00.0

Pinto Mtn

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.4194956E-54.7855512E-54.7855512E-51.00.01.893932E-42.0507984E-42.0507984E-41.00.00.00230342360.00249415120.00249415121.00.00.0227969380.0246791130.0246888661.00039521.0E-5
6.14.4194956E-54.7855512E-54.7855512E-51.00.01.893932E-42.0507984E-42.0507984E-41.00.00.00230342360.00249415120.00249415121.00.00.0227969380.0246791130.0246888661.00039521.0E-5
6.24.4194956E-54.7855512E-54.7855512E-51.00.01.893932E-42.0507984E-42.0507984E-41.00.00.00230342360.00249415120.00249415121.00.00.0227969380.0246791130.0246888661.00039521.0E-5
6.34.4194956E-54.7855512E-54.7855512E-51.00.01.893932E-42.0507984E-42.0507984E-41.00.00.00230342360.00249415120.00249415121.00.00.0227969380.0246791130.0246888661.00039521.0E-5
6.43.729929E-53.960486E-53.960486E-51.00.01.5984432E-41.697246E-41.697246E-41.00.00.00194436730.0020645320.0020645321.00.00.0192744270.020463550.0204733441.00047861.0E-5
6.53.729929E-53.960486E-53.960486E-51.00.01.5984432E-41.697246E-41.697246E-41.00.00.00194436730.0020645320.0020645321.00.00.0192744270.020463550.0204733441.00047861.0E-5
6.63.0204548E-53.1206768E-53.1206768E-51.00.01.2944164E-41.3373663E-41.3373663E-41.00.00.00157481270.0016270620.0016270621.00.00.0156369920.0161553640.0161652021.0006091.0E-5
6.72.9857754E-53.0816143E-53.0816143E-51.00.01.2795553E-41.320627E-41.320627E-41.00.00.00155674530.00160671210.00160671211.00.00.0154588480.01595480.015964641.00061681.0E-5
6.82.4819734E-52.5010708E-52.5010708E-51.00.01.0636595E-41.0718447E-41.0718447E-41.00.00.00129423620.00130421130.00130421131.00.00.0128672440.01296793950.0129778111.00076121.0E-5
6.92.331124E-52.3338964E-52.3338964E-51.00.09.990149E-51.0002041E-41.0002041E-41.00.00.0012156220.00121708850.00121708851.00.00.0120899360.0121064220.0121163011.0008161.0E-5
7.02.1818534E-52.176207E-52.176207E-51.00.09.3504656E-59.3262795E-59.3262795E-51.00.00.00113782460.00113490280.00113490281.00.00.0113201630.0112931740.0113030611.00087551.0E-5
7.12.066081E-52.0541695E-52.0541695E-51.00.08.854332E-58.8032975E-58.8032975E-51.00.00.00107748180.0010712940.0010712941.00.00.0107227240.0106633470.0106732411.00092781.0E-5
7.21.8990233E-51.905496E-51.905496E-51.00.08.138417E-58.166167E-58.166167E-51.00.09.904018E-49.937966E-49.937966E-41.00.00.0098599950.0098955240.0099054251.00100051.0E-5
7.31.3335872E-51.4907597E-51.4907597E-51.00.05.7152483E-56.388821E-56.388821E-51.00.06.956093E-47.7757414E-47.7757414E-41.00.00.0069343590.0077498340.00775975641.00128031.0E-5
7.49.414066E-61.1861796E-51.1861796E-51.00.04.0345374E-55.0835333E-55.0835333E-51.00.04.910942E-46.1875384E-46.1875384E-41.00.00.00490010340.0061712590.00618119721.00161041.0E-5
7.57.2101157E-69.15899E-69.15899E-61.00.03.090013E-53.925227E-53.925227E-51.00.03.7614413E-44.777994E-44.777994E-41.00.00.00375508070.0047684970.0047784491.00208711.0E-5
7.63.296375E-64.546278E-64.546278E-61.00.01.4127245E-51.948391E-51.948391E-51.00.01.7198564E-42.3719217E-42.3719217E-41.00.00.00171852590.00236952750.00237950381.00421021.0E-5
7.72.5741092E-63.5851394E-63.5851394E-61.00.01.103185E-51.53648E-51.53648E-51.00.01.3430449E-41.870517E-41.870517E-41.00.00.00134223350.00186907260.00186907261.00.0

Hunting Creek - Bartlett Springs connector 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.940016E-56.7873414E-56.7873414E-51.00.02.1169778E-42.9085318E-42.9085318E-41.00.00.0025743740.00353521950.00353521951.00.00.0254475460.0347759950.0347856471.00027751.0E-5
6.14.940016E-56.7873414E-56.7873414E-51.00.02.1169778E-42.9085318E-42.9085318E-41.00.00.0025743740.00353521950.00353521951.00.00.0254475460.0347759950.0347856471.00027751.0E-5
6.24.472471E-56.100793E-56.100793E-51.00.01.9166325E-42.614367E-42.614367E-41.00.00.00233100260.00317824140.00317824141.00.00.023067030.031318880.0313285661.00030931.0E-5
6.34.472471E-56.100793E-56.100793E-51.00.01.9166325E-42.614367E-42.614367E-41.00.00.00233100260.00317824140.00317824141.00.00.023067030.031318880.0313285661.00030931.0E-5
6.44.0001003E-55.4106935E-55.4106935E-51.00.01.714216E-42.3186632E-42.3186632E-41.00.00.00208506030.00281927010.00281927011.00.00.020656050.0278301020.0278398251.00034931.0E-5
6.53.8033053E-55.1268355E-55.1268355E-51.00.01.6298861E-42.197032E-42.197032E-41.00.00.00198258020.00267157910.00267157911.00.00.0196498560.0263921080.0264018441.0003691.0E-5
6.63.653754E-54.9131297E-54.9131297E-51.00.01.5658008E-42.1054587E-42.1054587E-41.00.00.00190469540.00256037760.00256037761.00.00.0188845270.0253079810.0253177291.00038521.0E-5
6.73.372024E-54.5141747E-54.5141747E-51.00.01.4450731E-41.934504E-41.934504E-41.00.00.00175795670.00235273220.00235273221.00.00.0174411480.0232795480.0232795481.00.0
6.82.9650024E-53.941287E-53.941287E-51.00.01.2706534E-41.6890126E-41.6890126E-41.00.00.00154592270.00205442360.00205442361.00.00.0153521240.0203524960.0203524961.00.0
6.92.860775E-53.7814003E-53.7814003E-51.00.01.2259888E-41.6204998E-41.6204998E-41.00.00.00149161940.00197117990.00197117991.00.00.0148164690.0195370430.0195370431.00.0
7.02.6696067E-53.5068544E-53.5068544E-51.00.01.144067E-41.5028517E-41.5028517E-41.00.00.00139201150.0018281950.0018281951.00.00.0138332420.0181322680.0181322681.00.0
7.12.456087E-53.2014224E-53.2014224E-51.00.01.0525662E-41.3719666E-41.3719666E-41.00.00.0012807460.00166909860.00166909861.00.00.0127338970.0165670770.0165670771.00.0
7.22.295761E-52.982398E-52.982398E-51.00.09.8386045E-51.2781084E-41.2781084E-41.00.00.00119719190.00155499550.00155499551.00.00.0119076270.0154427430.0154427431.00.0
7.32.1256936E-52.7542896E-52.7542896E-51.00.09.109797E-51.1803569E-41.1803569E-41.00.00.00110855350.00143614610.00143614611.00.00.0110303970.0142700820.0142700821.00.0
7.41.8784336E-52.430763E-52.430763E-51.00.08.050181E-51.0417144E-41.0417144E-41.00.09.796688E-40.00126755690.00126755691.00.00.0097536120.0126044730.0126044731.00.0
7.51.7248298E-52.2269673E-52.2269673E-51.00.07.391918E-59.5438E-59.5438E-51.00.08.9959445E-40.00116134590.00116134591.00.00.0089596150.0115539040.0115539041.00.0
7.61.0653709E-51.3722595E-51.3722595E-51.00.04.5657955E-55.8809812E-55.8809812E-51.00.05.557438E-47.157769E-47.157769E-41.00.00.00554356030.0071351820.0071351821.00.0
7.73.286316E-64.09049E-64.09049E-61.00.01.4084137E-51.7530556E-51.7530556E-51.00.01.7146087E-42.1341378E-42.1341378E-41.00.00.00171328630.00213214730.00213214731.00.0
7.85.1855085E-75.972202E-75.972202E-71.00.02.222359E-62.5595127E-62.5595127E-61.00.02.7056883E-53.116163E-53.116163E-51.00.02.705359E-43.1156646E-43.1156646E-41.00.0

San Jacinto (Superstition Mtn)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.4193904E-59.6002805E-51.0600185E-41.10415361.0E-52.7508775E-44.1138552E-44.213814E-41.02429811.0E-50.00334405010.0049985340.00500848421.00199061.0E-50.032941740.0488223550.0488318651.00019481.0E-5
6.16.4193904E-59.6002805E-51.0600185E-41.10415361.0E-52.7508775E-44.1138552E-44.213814E-41.02429811.0E-50.00334405010.0049985340.00500848421.00199061.0E-50.032941740.0488223550.0488318651.00019481.0E-5
6.25.7023593E-58.315118E-59.3150345E-51.12025281.0E-52.4436394E-43.5632294E-43.6631938E-41.02805451.0E-50.0029710720.0043312480.00434120471.00229881.0E-50.0293166250.042504580.0425141531.00022531.0E-5
6.35.6940098E-58.2996536E-59.299571E-51.1204771.0E-52.4400617E-43.5566036E-43.656568E-41.02810671.0E-50.0029667280.00432321340.004333171.00230311.0E-50.0292743310.042427950.0424375271.00022571.0E-5
6.45.4171585E-57.749044E-58.7489665E-51.12903821.0E-52.3214328E-43.320689E-43.420656E-41.03010431.0E-50.00282268130.0040370930.00404705251.0024671.0E-50.027870960.039717420.0397270251.00024181.0E-5
6.54.375144E-55.6427816E-55.6427816E-51.00.01.874927E-42.4181772E-42.4181772E-41.00.00.00228033380.00294133160.00294133161.00.00.0225707570.0292379610.0292379611.00.0
6.62.772192E-52.5494071E-52.5494071E-51.00.01.1880282E-41.09255845E-41.09255845E-41.00.00.00144546460.00132939750.00132939751.00.00.0143609860.0135422790.0135422791.00.0
6.72.7124124E-52.4705068E-52.4705068E-51.00.01.1624106E-41.0587468E-41.0587468E-41.00.00.00141431610.00128828120.00128828121.00.00.0140534870.01313563250.01313563251.00.0
6.82.5475807E-52.2169877E-52.2169877E-51.00.01.0917746E-49.501037E-59.501037E-51.00.00.0013284250.00115614940.00115614941.00.00.01320511850.0118239430.0118239431.00.0
6.92.1162023E-51.7631051E-51.7631051E-51.00.09.069123E-57.555948E-57.555948E-51.00.00.00110360649.195522E-49.195522E-41.00.00.0109814170.00944898650.00944898651.00.0
7.01.8754288E-51.616617E-51.616617E-51.00.08.037304E-56.928176E-56.928176E-51.00.09.781026E-48.4318145E-48.4318145E-41.00.00.0097380870.0086721530.0086721531.00.0
7.11.8678527E-51.6091313E-51.6091313E-51.00.08.0048376E-56.8960966E-56.8960966E-51.00.09.7415317E-48.392788E-48.392788E-41.00.00.0096989390.0086331610.0086331611.00.0
7.21.7804578E-51.5385827E-51.5385827E-51.00.07.6303106E-56.59376E-56.59376E-51.00.09.285943E-48.024969E-48.024969E-41.00.00.0092472360.00826460.00826461.00.0
7.31.6583685E-51.4534898E-51.4534898E-51.00.07.1070994E-56.229094E-56.229094E-51.00.08.649459E-47.581304E-47.581304E-41.00.00.008615870.0078198860.0078198861.00.0
7.41.6387552E-51.4399775E-51.4399775E-51.00.07.023047E-56.171187E-56.171187E-51.00.08.5472054E-47.5108506E-47.5108506E-41.00.00.0085144050.00774927670.00774927671.00.0
7.51.5790754E-51.4040427E-51.4040427E-51.00.06.767291E-56.0171882E-56.0171882E-51.00.08.236062E-47.323484E-47.323484E-41.00.00.0082056040.00755980940.00755980941.00.0
7.61.4248672E-51.3059319E-51.3059319E-51.00.06.106431E-55.5967317E-55.5967317E-51.00.07.432043E-46.811908E-46.811908E-41.00.00.0074072370.0070423220.0070423221.00.0
7.71.15449975E-51.0907912E-51.0907912E-51.00.04.947762E-54.6747362E-54.6747362E-51.00.06.022235E-45.6900125E-45.6900125E-41.00.00.0060059410.0059123080.0059123081.00.0
7.89.1391985E-69.518418E-69.518418E-61.00.03.9167408E-54.0792587E-54.0792587E-51.00.04.767588E-44.9653713E-44.9653713E-41.00.00.00475737270.00517872670.00517872671.00.0
7.96.973017E-67.385764E-67.385764E-61.00.02.9884017E-53.1652893E-53.1652893E-51.00.03.6377716E-43.8530637E-43.8530637E-41.00.00.00363182250.00405371470.00405371471.00.0
8.05.7638235E-66.263249E-66.263249E-61.00.02.4701867E-52.6842223E-52.6842223E-51.00.03.0070372E-43.2675554E-43.2675554E-41.00.00.00300297140.00345515860.00345515861.00.0
8.15.1124434E-65.498651E-65.498651E-61.00.02.1910288E-52.3565437E-52.3565437E-51.00.02.6672508E-42.8687192E-42.8687192E-41.00.00.00266405170.00304183360.00304183361.00.0
8.21.1075938E-65.339512E-75.339512E-71.00.04.7468216E-62.2883605E-62.2883605E-61.00.05.779102E-52.7860455E-52.7860455E-51.00.05.777599E-43.136582E-43.136582E-41.00.0
8.31.3584393E-84.4764112E-94.4764112E-91.00.05.8218827E-81.918462E-81.918462E-81.00.07.0881396E-72.3357273E-72.3357273E-71.00.07.0881174E-62.6165987E-62.6165987E-61.00.0

Red Mountain

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.1810763E-54.7591075E-55.7590598E-51.21011341.0E-51.7917668E-42.0394672E-42.1394469E-41.04902241.0E-50.00217929340.00248038840.00249036351.00402161.0E-50.0215804520.0245446490.0245544031.00039741.0E-5
6.14.1810763E-54.7591075E-55.7590598E-51.21011341.0E-51.7917668E-42.0394672E-42.1394469E-41.04902241.0E-50.00217929340.00248038840.00249036351.00402161.0E-50.0215804520.0245446490.0245544031.00039741.0E-5
6.24.1810763E-54.7591075E-55.7590598E-51.21011341.0E-51.7917668E-42.0394672E-42.1394469E-41.04902241.0E-50.00217929340.00248038840.00249036351.00402161.0E-50.0215804520.0245446490.0245544031.00039741.0E-5
6.34.1810763E-54.7591075E-55.7590598E-51.21011341.0E-51.7917668E-42.0394672E-42.1394469E-41.04902241.0E-50.00217929340.00248038840.00249036351.00402161.0E-50.0215804520.0245446490.0245544031.00039741.0E-5
6.44.1810763E-54.7591075E-55.7590598E-51.21011341.0E-51.7917668E-42.0394672E-42.1394469E-41.04902241.0E-50.00217929340.00248038840.00249036351.00402161.0E-50.0215804520.0245446490.0245544031.00039741.0E-5
6.53.154503E-53.5360503E-53.5360503E-51.00.01.3518598E-41.5153673E-41.5153673E-41.00.00.00164464670.00184349060.00184349061.00.00.016325280.0182916280.0182916281.00.0
6.63.1535834E-53.5349887E-53.5349887E-51.00.01.3514658E-41.5149123E-41.5149123E-41.00.00.00164416760.00184293770.00184293771.00.00.016320560.0182861890.0182861891.00.0
6.72.8267326E-53.1470005E-53.1470005E-51.00.01.2114006E-41.3486497E-41.3486497E-41.00.00.00147388240.00164082930.00164082931.00.00.0146414520.0162959060.0162959061.00.0
6.82.8212884E-53.140789E-53.140789E-51.00.01.20906756E-41.3459878E-41.3459878E-41.00.00.00147104570.00163759340.00163759341.00.00.0146134590.0162640210.0162640211.00.0
6.92.4227871E-52.6707532E-52.6707532E-51.00.01.03829596E-41.14456256E-41.14456256E-41.00.00.00126339230.001392690.001392691.00.00.0125623360.0138473110.0138473111.00.0
7.02.348524E-52.5836296E-52.5836296E-51.00.01.0064714E-41.1072271E-41.1072271E-41.00.00.00122469010.0013472910.0013472911.00.00.0121796270.0133988640.0133988641.00.0
7.12.2311642E-52.4463332E-52.4463332E-51.00.09.561782E-51.04839055E-41.04839055E-41.00.00.00116352520.00127574290.00127574291.00.00.011574520.012691710.012691711.00.0
7.21.6533986E-51.767069E-51.767069E-51.00.07.085802E-57.572969E-57.572969E-51.00.08.623549E-49.2168245E-49.2168245E-41.00.00.0085901610.0091848760.0091848761.00.0
7.31.4703092E-51.555982E-51.555982E-51.00.06.301173E-56.668359E-56.668359E-51.00.07.668978E-48.116319E-48.116319E-41.00.00.00764256580.0080927520.0080927521.00.0
7.46.1331984E-65.5289447E-65.5289447E-61.00.02.6284872E-52.3695266E-52.3695266E-51.00.03.199713E-42.884522E-42.884522E-41.00.00.00319510980.00288083240.00288083241.00.0
7.55.954766E-65.3385725E-65.3385725E-61.00.02.5520176E-52.2879398E-52.2879398E-51.00.03.1066386E-42.785216E-42.785216E-41.00.00.0031022990.00278177930.00278177931.00.0
7.64.9726646E-64.315354E-64.315354E-61.00.02.1311245E-51.8494246E-51.8494246E-51.00.02.5943352E-42.2514451E-42.2514451E-41.00.00.00259130840.00224919870.00224919871.00.0
7.73.3613894E-62.8527159E-62.8527159E-61.00.01.4405875E-51.222587E-51.222587E-51.00.01.7537741E-41.4884006E-41.4884006E-41.00.00.00175239080.001487430.001487431.00.0
7.81.1828961E-61.0123005E-61.0123005E-61.00.05.069545E-64.3384234E-64.3384234E-61.00.06.171996E-55.2819054E-55.2819054E-51.00.06.170282E-45.2806793E-45.2806793E-41.00.0
7.92.2967266E-71.8619376E-71.8619376E-71.00.09.843111E-77.9797303E-77.9797303E-71.00.01.19839215E-59.7152815E-69.7152815E-61.00.01.1983275E-49.7148855E-59.7148855E-51.00.0

Elmore Ranch

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.102099E-58.954244E-58.954244E-51.00.03.9003167E-43.8370665E-43.937028E-41.02605151.0E-50.00473830.00466229630.004672251.00213491.0E-50.0463853480.0458393580.0458489021.00020811.0E-5
6.13.8306698E-54.1492345E-54.1492345E-51.00.01.6416123E-41.7781628E-41.8781451E-41.05622781.0E-50.00199683060.0021632460.00217322451.00461271.0E-50.0197898280.021595270.0216050521.00045311.0E-5
6.23.8306698E-54.1492345E-54.1492345E-51.00.01.6416123E-41.7781628E-41.8781451E-41.05622781.0E-50.00199683060.0021632460.00217322451.00461271.0E-50.0197898280.021595270.0216050521.00045311.0E-5
6.33.3197924E-53.655081E-53.655081E-51.00.01.4226905E-41.566409E-41.6663934E-41.06383031.0E-50.00173074950.00190599410.0019159751.00523661.0E-50.0171733180.0190575460.0190673551.00051471.0E-5
6.42.5148964E-52.7420736E-52.7420736E-51.00.01.0777682E-41.17515796E-41.2751462E-41.08508491.0E-50.00131139290.00143046370.00144044941.00698081.0E-50.013036810.0143653380.0143751941.00068621.0E-5
6.52.5148964E-52.7420736E-52.7420736E-51.00.01.0777682E-41.17515796E-41.2751462E-41.08508491.0E-50.00131139290.00143046370.00144044941.00698081.0E-50.013036810.0143653380.0143751941.00068621.0E-5

Earthquake Valley

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.9416384E-52.2584614E-52.2584614E-51.00.08.321042E-59.678829E-51.06787316E-41.10330831.0E-50.0010126160.00117788020.00118786841.00847981.0E-50.0100801420.0117282050.0117380881.00084271.0E-5
6.11.9416384E-52.2584614E-52.2584614E-51.00.08.321042E-59.678829E-51.06787316E-41.10330831.0E-50.0010126160.00117788020.00118786841.00847981.0E-50.0100801420.0117282050.0117380881.00084271.0E-5
6.21.9416384E-52.2584614E-52.2584614E-51.00.08.321042E-59.678829E-51.06787316E-41.10330831.0E-50.0010126160.00117788020.00118786841.00847981.0E-50.0100801420.0117282050.0117380881.00084271.0E-5
6.31.9416384E-52.2584614E-52.2584614E-51.00.08.321042E-59.678829E-51.06787316E-41.10330831.0E-50.0010126160.00117788020.00118786841.00847981.0E-50.0100801420.0117282050.0117380881.00084271.0E-5
6.41.9416384E-52.2584614E-52.2584614E-51.00.08.321042E-59.678829E-51.06787316E-41.10330831.0E-50.0010126160.00117788020.00118786841.00847981.0E-50.0100801420.0117282050.0117380881.00084271.0E-5
6.51.9389157E-52.2553202E-52.2553202E-51.00.08.309374E-59.6653675E-51.0665271E-41.10345221.0E-50.00101119680.00117624320.00118623141.00849161.0E-50.0100660780.0117120060.01172188951.00084391.0E-5
6.61.9389157E-52.2553202E-52.2553202E-51.00.08.309374E-59.6653675E-51.0665271E-41.10345221.0E-50.00101119680.00117624320.00118623141.00849161.0E-50.0100660780.0117120060.01172188951.00084391.0E-5
6.71.4925434E-51.7208584E-51.7208584E-51.00.06.396457E-57.374946E-58.3748724E-51.13558421.0E-57.7849044E-48.9761487E-49.076059E-41.01113071.0E-50.0077576890.0089482690.00895817951.00110761.0E-5
6.81.3570335E-51.5617163E-51.5617163E-51.00.05.8157282E-56.692944E-57.692877E-51.14940111.0E-57.0783484E-48.146434E-48.246352E-41.01226531.0E-50.00705584460.0081246420.0081345611.00122081.0E-5
6.91.3570335E-51.5617163E-51.5617163E-51.00.05.8157282E-56.692944E-57.692877E-51.14940111.0E-57.0783484E-48.146434E-48.246352E-41.01226531.0E-50.00705584460.0081246420.0081345611.00122081.0E-5
7.01.3433392E-51.5460702E-51.5460702E-51.00.05.757041E-56.625894E-57.625827E-51.1509131.0E-57.0069433E-48.06486E-48.164779E-41.01238941.0E-50.0069848910.0080436610.008053581.00123321.0E-5
7.18.181609E-69.4170455E-69.4170455E-61.00.03.5063567E-54.035852E-55.0358118E-51.24776911.0E-54.268153E-44.9132126E-45.013164E-41.02034331.0E-50.00425996450.0049089270.0049188781.00202721.0E-5
7.22.0663983E-71.7262926E-71.7262926E-71.00.08.855989E-77.3983944E-77.3983944E-71.00.01.0782113E-59.007512E-69.007512E-61.00.01.07815904E-49.007182E-59.007182E-51.00.0
7.32.0462376E-71.7078415E-71.7078415E-71.00.08.7695867E-77.319319E-77.319319E-71.00.01.0676919E-58.911238E-68.911238E-61.00.01.0676406E-48.910916E-58.910916E-51.00.0
7.42.0171088E-71.6860893E-71.6860893E-71.00.08.644749E-77.2260957E-77.2260957E-71.00.01.0524931E-58.79774E-68.79774E-61.00.01.05244326E-48.797427E-58.797427E-51.00.0
7.51.4847944E-71.2559215E-71.2559215E-71.00.06.363403E-75.38252E-75.38252E-71.00.07.747416E-66.5532004E-66.5532004E-61.00.07.747146E-56.5530294E-56.5530294E-51.00.0
7.61.3185847E-71.1123105E-71.1123105E-71.00.05.6510765E-74.7670446E-74.7670446E-71.00.06.8801637E-65.803863E-65.803863E-61.00.06.8799505E-55.803733E-55.803733E-51.00.0
7.72.8609954E-81.4170576E-81.4170576E-81.00.01.2261408E-76.073103E-86.073103E-81.00.01.4928254E-67.3940015E-77.3940015E-71.00.01.4928154E-57.3939823E-67.3939823E-61.00.0
7.86.527266E-92.923321E-92.923321E-91.00.02.7973995E-81.2528518E-81.2528518E-81.00.03.4058334E-71.525347E-71.525347E-71.00.03.4058282E-61.5253461E-61.5253461E-61.00.0
7.91.2898267E-97.127704E-107.127704E-101.00.05.527829E-93.0547302E-93.0547302E-91.00.06.7301315E-83.719134E-83.719134E-81.00.06.7301295E-73.7191342E-73.7191342E-71.00.0

Northridge

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.8340852E-57.5880284E-67.5880284E-61.00.07.860128E-53.251973E-53.251973E-51.00.09.565505E-43.9585796E-43.9585796E-41.00.00.0095244350.0039517620.00396172241.00252061.0E-5
6.11.8340852E-57.5880284E-67.5880284E-61.00.07.860128E-53.251973E-53.251973E-51.00.09.565505E-43.9585796E-43.9585796E-41.00.00.0095244350.0039517620.00396172241.00252061.0E-5
6.21.8340852E-57.5880284E-67.5880284E-61.00.07.860128E-53.251973E-53.251973E-51.00.09.565505E-43.9585796E-43.9585796E-41.00.00.0095244350.0039517620.00396172241.00252061.0E-5
6.31.8340852E-57.5880284E-67.5880284E-61.00.07.860128E-53.251973E-53.251973E-51.00.09.565505E-43.9585796E-43.9585796E-41.00.00.0095244350.0039517620.00396172241.00252061.0E-5
6.41.7361892E-57.5880284E-67.5880284E-61.00.07.440598E-53.251973E-53.251973E-51.00.09.055163E-43.9585796E-43.9585796E-41.00.00.0090183540.0039517620.00396172241.00252061.0E-5
6.51.7361892E-57.5880284E-67.5880284E-61.00.07.440598E-53.251973E-53.251973E-51.00.09.055163E-43.9585796E-43.9585796E-41.00.00.0090183540.0039517620.00396172241.00252061.0E-5
6.61.5458201E-57.5880284E-67.5880284E-61.00.06.624775E-53.251973E-53.251973E-51.00.08.0626784E-43.9585796E-43.9585796E-41.00.00.0080334880.0039517620.00396172241.00252061.0E-5
6.71.2538368E-56.381612E-66.381612E-61.00.05.3734755E-52.734948E-52.734948E-51.00.06.5402425E-43.3292949E-43.3292949E-41.00.00.00652102750.00332436640.00333433321.00299811.0E-5
6.81.1438097E-56.3502694E-66.3502694E-61.00.04.9019498E-52.721516E-52.721516E-51.00.05.9664896E-43.312946E-43.312946E-41.00.00.0059504950.00330806640.00331803321.00301291.0E-5
6.91.1204891E-56.2867225E-66.2867225E-61.00.04.8020076E-52.6942822E-52.6942822E-51.00.05.8448757E-43.279799E-43.279799E-41.00.00.00582952660.00327501750.00328498471.00304341.0E-5
7.01.061046E-56.115376E-66.115376E-61.00.04.5472607E-52.6208494E-52.6208494E-51.00.05.534883E-43.1904213E-43.1904213E-41.00.00.00552111770.0031858870.0031958551.00312891.0E-5
7.11.0266979E-56.004295E-66.004295E-61.00.04.40006E-52.5732441E-52.5732441E-51.00.05.355756E-43.1324785E-43.1324785E-41.00.00.00534286680.00312810860.00313807721.00318681.0E-5
7.29.91273E-65.820007E-65.820007E-61.00.04.248244E-52.494265E-52.494265E-51.00.05.171009E-43.0363488E-43.0363488E-41.00.00.00515899340.00303224520.00304221481.00328791.0E-5
7.38.4959265E-65.193102E-65.193102E-61.00.03.6410605E-52.2255961E-52.2255961E-51.00.04.4320893E-42.7093288E-42.7093288E-41.00.00.004423260.0027060520.0027060521.00.0
7.48.0847185E-64.9819787E-64.9819787E-61.00.03.4648332E-52.1351163E-52.1351163E-51.00.04.2176177E-42.5991965E-42.5991965E-41.00.00.00420962230.00259618230.00259618231.00.0
7.56.8220684E-64.2533266E-64.2533266E-61.00.02.9237108E-51.8228417E-51.8228417E-51.00.03.5590364E-42.2190856E-42.2190856E-41.00.00.00355334180.00221689070.00221689071.00.0
7.64.4224143E-62.899968E-62.899968E-61.00.01.8953066E-51.2428376E-51.2428376E-51.00.02.3072914E-41.5130508E-41.5130508E-41.00.00.00230489740.00151203220.00151203221.00.0
7.72.5297056E-61.6046126E-61.6046126E-61.00.01.0841551E-56.8768936E-66.8768936E-61.00.01.319879E-48.372301E-58.372301E-51.00.00.00131909538.3691935E-48.3691935E-41.00.0
7.81.2508156E-68.7802323E-78.7802323E-71.00.05.3606273E-63.7629513E-63.7629513E-61.00.06.526368E-54.5812983E-54.5812983E-51.00.06.524452E-44.5803667E-44.5803667E-41.00.0
7.92.262199E-71.4665106E-71.4665106E-71.00.09.695135E-76.285044E-76.285044E-71.00.01.1803763E-57.652015E-67.652015E-61.00.01.1803136E-47.6517594E-57.6517594E-51.00.0
8.02.865362E-91.2753111E-91.2753111E-91.00.01.2280123E-85.465619E-95.465619E-91.00.01.4951048E-76.654391E-86.654391E-81.00.01.4951038E-66.6543913E-76.6543913E-71.00.0

Oak Ridge (Onshore)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.155064E-52.9526547E-52.9526547E-51.00.01.3521002E-41.2653643E-41.2653643E-41.00.00.0016449390.00153953030.00153953031.00.00.016328160.0152933040.0153031511.00064381.0E-5
6.13.155064E-52.9526547E-52.9526547E-51.00.01.3521002E-41.2653643E-41.2653643E-41.00.00.0016449390.00153953030.00153953031.00.00.016328160.0152933040.0153031511.00064381.0E-5
6.23.155064E-52.9526547E-52.9526547E-51.00.01.3521002E-41.2653643E-41.2653643E-41.00.00.0016449390.00153953030.00153953031.00.00.016328160.0152933040.0153031511.00064381.0E-5
6.33.155064E-52.9526547E-52.9526547E-51.00.01.3521002E-41.2653643E-41.2653643E-41.00.00.0016449390.00153953030.00153953031.00.00.016328160.0152933040.0153031511.00064381.0E-5
6.43.155064E-52.9526547E-52.9526547E-51.00.01.3521002E-41.2653643E-41.2653643E-41.00.00.0016449390.00153953030.00153953031.00.00.016328160.0152933040.0153031511.00064381.0E-5
6.53.155064E-52.9526547E-52.9526547E-51.00.01.3521002E-41.2653643E-41.2653643E-41.00.00.0016449390.00153953030.00153953031.00.00.016328160.0152933040.0153031511.00064381.0E-5
6.63.155064E-52.9526547E-52.9526547E-51.00.01.3521002E-41.2653643E-41.2653643E-41.00.00.0016449390.00153953030.00153953031.00.00.016328160.0152933040.0153031511.00064381.0E-5
6.73.098897E-52.8864733E-52.8864733E-51.00.01.328031E-41.2370035E-41.2370035E-41.00.00.00161567850.0015050490.0015050491.00.00.0160398220.014953150.0149630011.00065881.0E-5
6.83.0449872E-52.8239918E-52.8239918E-51.00.01.3049292E-41.21022815E-41.21022815E-41.00.00.00158759350.00147249410.00147249411.00.00.0157629920.0146318920.0146417461.00067341.0E-5
6.92.697928E-52.4220235E-52.4220235E-51.00.01.15620365E-41.03797E-41.03797E-41.00.00.00140676890.00126301740.00126301741.00.00.01397896650.0125612570.0125711321.00078611.0E-5
7.02.4893961E-52.1862457E-52.1862457E-51.00.01.0668404E-49.369298E-59.369298E-51.00.00.00129810430.00114013280.00114013281.00.00.0129054770.0113452690.0113551561.00087141.0E-5
7.12.0945363E-51.7354816E-51.7354816E-51.00.08.976275E-57.437569E-57.437569E-51.00.00.00109231369.051526E-49.051526E-41.00.00.01086960.0090157440.0090256531.00109921.0E-5
7.22.0439404E-51.6809745E-51.6809745E-51.00.08.7594504E-57.2039795E-57.2039795E-51.00.00.00106594138.767363E-48.767363E-41.00.00.0106084270.0087338430.00874375551.0011351.0E-5
7.31.8463334E-51.5382124E-51.5382124E-51.00.07.912617E-56.592175E-56.592175E-51.00.09.6293533E-48.0230605E-48.0230605E-41.00.00.0095877340.007995110.007995111.00.0
7.41.763139E-51.4517136E-51.4517136E-51.00.07.556091E-56.2214836E-56.2214836E-51.00.09.1956573E-47.5720635E-47.5720635E-41.00.00.0091576990.0075472180.0075472181.00.0
7.51.3594944E-51.1163481E-51.1163481E-51.00.05.8262744E-54.7842626E-54.7842626E-51.00.07.0911803E-45.8233086E-45.8233086E-41.00.00.0070685950.00580849450.00580849451.00.0
7.66.9889534E-65.6367644E-65.6367644E-61.00.02.9952313E-52.4157342E-52.4157342E-51.00.03.646084E-42.9407637E-42.9407637E-41.00.00.00364010730.0029369160.0029369161.00.0
7.74.0824193E-63.2832984E-63.2832984E-61.00.01.7495966E-51.4071204E-51.4071204E-51.00.02.1299256E-41.7130356E-41.7130356E-41.00.00.00212788510.00171172860.00171172861.00.0
7.81.7023609E-61.4370712E-61.4370712E-61.00.07.295812E-66.158862E-66.158862E-61.00.08.882289E-57.4981595E-57.4981595E-51.00.08.8787393E-47.495657E-47.495657E-41.00.0
7.92.721225E-72.2617078E-72.2617078E-71.00.01.1662388E-69.69303E-79.69303E-71.00.01.4198865E-51.1801203E-51.1801203E-51.00.01.4197957E-41.1800604E-41.1800604E-41.00.0
8.09.364255E-95.1208513E-95.1208513E-91.00.04.0132523E-82.1946507E-82.1946507E-81.00.04.8861335E-72.671987E-72.671987E-71.00.04.8861225E-62.671984E-62.671984E-61.00.0

Hartley Springs 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.4352418E-51.4434351E-52.4434206E-51.69278181.0E-56.1508916E-56.186096E-57.186035E-51.16164281.0E-57.486137E-47.530614E-47.6305383E-41.01326921.0E-50.0074609680.00752121630.00753114141.00131951.0E-5
6.11.4352418E-51.4434351E-52.4434206E-51.69278181.0E-56.1508916E-56.186096E-57.186035E-51.16164281.0E-57.486137E-47.530614E-47.6305383E-41.01326921.0E-50.0074609680.00752121630.00753114141.00131951.0E-5
6.21.4352418E-51.4434351E-52.4434206E-51.69278181.0E-56.1508916E-56.186096E-57.186035E-51.16164281.0E-57.486137E-47.530614E-47.6305383E-41.01326921.0E-50.0074609680.00752121630.00753114141.00131951.0E-5
6.31.4352418E-51.4434351E-52.4434206E-51.69278181.0E-56.1508916E-56.186096E-57.186035E-51.16164281.0E-57.486137E-47.530614E-47.6305383E-41.01326921.0E-50.0074609680.00752121630.00753114141.00131951.0E-5
6.41.4352418E-51.4434351E-52.4434206E-51.69278181.0E-56.1508916E-56.186096E-57.186035E-51.16164281.0E-57.486137E-47.530614E-47.6305383E-41.01326921.0E-50.0074609680.00752121630.00753114141.00131951.0E-5
6.51.2279858E-51.2133241E-52.213312E-51.8241721.0E-55.26269E-55.199946E-56.1998944E-51.19229971.0E-56.4054417E-46.3306774E-46.430614E-41.0157861.0E-50.00638700980.00632815530.0063380921.00157021.0E-5
6.61.2279858E-51.2133241E-52.213312E-51.8241721.0E-55.26269E-55.199946E-56.1998944E-51.19229971.0E-56.4054417E-46.3306774E-46.430614E-41.0157861.0E-50.00638700980.00632815530.0063380921.00157021.0E-5
6.72.1282601E-68.8945814E-78.8945814E-71.00.09.121083E-63.8119592E-63.8119592E-61.00.01.11043526E-44.6409874E-54.6409874E-51.00.00.00110988064.6402714E-44.6402714E-41.00.0
6.82.00516E-68.5173434E-78.5173434E-71.00.08.593515E-63.6502865E-63.6502865E-61.00.01.04621024E-44.444159E-54.444159E-51.00.00.00104571774.4435216E-44.4435216E-41.00.0
6.92.00516E-68.5173434E-78.5173434E-71.00.08.593515E-63.6502865E-63.6502865E-61.00.01.04621024E-44.444159E-54.444159E-51.00.00.00104571774.4435216E-44.4435216E-41.00.0
7.01.8366732E-68.237064E-78.237064E-71.00.07.871433E-63.5301669E-63.5301669E-61.00.09.583048E-54.297919E-54.297919E-51.00.09.5789164E-44.2973383E-44.2973383E-41.00.0
7.11.5097997E-67.189996E-77.189996E-71.00.06.470554E-63.0814247E-63.0814247E-61.00.07.877615E-53.751594E-53.751594E-51.00.07.874823E-43.751198E-43.751198E-41.00.0
7.21.3490993E-66.405045E-76.405045E-71.00.05.7818415E-62.7450176E-62.7450176E-61.00.07.0391645E-53.342031E-53.342031E-51.00.07.0369354E-43.341758E-43.341758E-41.00.0
7.37.900015E-74.0890467E-74.0890467E-71.00.03.3857161E-61.7524486E-61.7524486E-61.00.04.1220315E-52.1336062E-52.1336062E-51.00.04.121267E-42.1336062E-42.1336062E-41.00.0

Hollywood

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.24487615E-51.2593379E-51.2593379E-51.00.05.3350745E-55.3970536E-55.3970536E-51.00.06.4935174E-46.5689784E-46.668912E-41.0152131.0E-50.00647457550.00655004850.0065599831.00151671.0E-5
6.11.24487615E-51.2593379E-51.2593379E-51.00.05.3350745E-55.3970536E-55.3970536E-51.00.06.4935174E-46.5689784E-46.668912E-41.0152131.0E-50.00647457550.00655004850.0065599831.00151671.0E-5
6.21.24487615E-51.2593379E-51.2593379E-51.00.05.3350745E-55.3970536E-55.3970536E-51.00.06.4935174E-46.5689784E-46.668912E-41.0152131.0E-50.00647457550.00655004850.0065599831.00151671.0E-5
6.31.24487615E-51.2593379E-51.2593379E-51.00.05.3350745E-55.3970536E-55.3970536E-51.00.06.4935174E-46.5689784E-46.668912E-41.0152131.0E-50.00647457550.00655004850.0065599831.00151671.0E-5
6.41.2431024E-51.25739925E-51.25739925E-51.00.05.327473E-55.3887452E-55.3887452E-51.00.06.4842677E-46.558869E-46.6588033E-41.01523651.0E-50.00646537960.0065399990.00654993351.00151911.0E-5
6.51.1242222E-51.1317944E-51.1317944E-51.00.04.8180063E-54.850459E-54.850459E-51.00.05.864344E-45.9038604E-46.003801E-41.01692811.0E-50.00584889250.00588846250.0058984041.00168821.0E-5
6.61.1234066E-51.1309058E-51.1309058E-51.00.04.8145106E-54.8466507E-54.8466507E-51.00.05.86009E-45.8992265E-45.9991673E-41.01694141.0E-50.0058446610.0058838530.00589379441.00168961.0E-5
6.71.12294E-51.1303801E-51.1303801E-51.00.04.812511E-54.8443977E-54.8443977E-51.00.05.857657E-45.896485E-45.9964263E-41.01694931.0E-50.00584224050.00588112650.00589106741.00169041.0E-5
6.81.0252819E-51.0218572E-51.0218572E-51.00.04.3939912E-54.379316E-54.379316E-51.00.05.3483713E-45.3305336E-45.430481E-41.01874981.0E-50.0053355170.0053179740.00532792041.00187041.0E-5
6.99.252289E-69.1104175E-69.1104175E-61.00.03.9652066E-53.9044073E-53.9044073E-51.00.04.8265693E-44.7525953E-44.852548E-41.02103111.0E-50.00481610.0047426050.00475255771.00209861.0E-5
7.08.474604E-68.258358E-68.258358E-61.00.03.6319227E-53.539249E-53.539249E-51.00.04.4209688E-44.308198E-44.308198E-41.00.00.0044121840.00429999640.00429999641.00.0
7.16.643643E-66.2684435E-66.2684435E-61.00.02.8472443E-52.6864484E-52.6864484E-51.00.03.4659685E-43.270264E-43.270264E-41.00.00.00346056770.00326549770.00326549771.00.0
7.25.549002E-65.1087686E-65.1087686E-61.00.02.378122E-52.189454E-52.189454E-51.00.02.8949787E-42.6653355E-42.6653355E-41.00.00.00289121040.00266215530.00266215531.00.0
7.34.3059727E-63.959941E-63.959941E-61.00.01.8454039E-51.6971066E-51.6971066E-51.00.02.2465475E-42.0660323E-42.0660323E-41.00.00.00224427790.00206412170.00206412171.00.0
7.42.8550733E-62.7013398E-62.7013398E-61.00.01.2235971E-51.157712E-51.157712E-51.00.01.4896276E-41.4094236E-41.4094236E-41.00.00.00148862940.00140853480.00140853481.00.0
7.51.9927045E-61.8976706E-61.8976706E-61.00.08.540134E-68.132849E-68.132849E-61.00.01.0397117E-49.901297E-59.901297E-51.00.00.00103922549.896922E-49.896922E-41.00.0
7.61.345084E-61.2216213E-61.2216213E-61.00.05.764633E-65.2355094E-65.2355094E-61.00.07.018215E-56.374048E-56.374048E-51.00.07.0159987E-46.37224E-46.37224E-41.00.0
7.77.6835164E-76.2778383E-76.2778383E-71.00.03.2929315E-62.6904993E-62.6904993E-61.00.04.00907E-53.2756354E-53.2756354E-51.00.04.0083472E-43.2751673E-43.2751673E-41.00.0
7.83.6562128E-72.45358E-72.45358E-71.00.01.5669474E-61.0515338E-61.0515338E-61.00.01.9077417E-51.2802353E-51.2802353E-51.00.01.907578E-41.2801652E-41.2801652E-41.00.0
7.97.5024424E-85.3820486E-85.3820486E-81.00.03.215332E-72.3065921E-72.3065921E-71.00.03.91466E-62.8082736E-62.8082736E-61.00.03.9145907E-52.808251E-52.808251E-51.00.0

Pisgah-Bullion Mtn-Mesquite Lk

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0240792E-52.4091287E-52.4091287E-51.00.01.2959696E-41.03244856E-41.03244856E-41.00.00.00157670080.0012563820.00126636941.00794941.0E-50.0156556090.0125028130.0125126881.00078981.0E-5
6.13.0240792E-52.4091287E-52.4091287E-51.00.01.2959696E-41.03244856E-41.03244856E-41.00.00.00157670080.0012563820.00126636941.00794941.0E-50.0156556090.0125028130.0125126881.00078981.0E-5
6.23.0240792E-52.4091287E-52.4091287E-51.00.01.2959696E-41.03244856E-41.03244856E-41.00.00.00157670080.0012563820.00126636941.00794941.0E-50.0156556090.0125028130.0125126881.00078981.0E-5
6.32.0498217E-51.36382505E-51.36382505E-51.00.08.784654E-55.8448426E-55.8448426E-51.00.00.00106900697.113935E-47.213864E-41.01404691.0E-50.010638790.00709278830.00710271761.00139991.0E-5
6.42.0498217E-51.36382505E-51.36382505E-51.00.08.784654E-55.8448426E-55.8448426E-51.00.00.00106900697.113935E-47.213864E-41.01404691.0E-50.010638790.00709278830.00710271761.00139991.0E-5
6.51.7316182E-51.04771225E-51.04771225E-51.00.07.42101E-54.4901237E-54.4901237E-51.00.09.0313336E-45.4654543E-45.5654E-41.01828671.0E-50.0089947180.0054530080.0054629541.00182391.0E-5
6.61.5251077E-58.414257E-68.414257E-61.00.06.536012E-53.606064E-53.606064E-51.00.07.9546886E-44.389571E-44.389571E-41.00.00.0079262740.00438161750.00438161751.00.0
6.71.2997425E-56.4113133E-66.4113133E-61.00.05.570206E-52.7476794E-52.7476794E-51.00.06.7796157E-43.3448328E-43.3448328E-41.00.00.00675896930.00334025850.00334025851.00.0
6.81.035386E-54.3332407E-64.3332407E-61.00.04.437293E-51.8570905E-51.8570905E-51.00.05.401065E-42.2607818E-42.2607818E-41.00.00.00538795670.00225856850.00225856851.00.0
6.98.816252E-63.5806777E-63.5806777E-61.00.03.778339E-51.5345675E-51.5345675E-51.00.04.5991567E-41.8681816E-41.8681816E-41.00.00.004589650.00186666950.00186666951.00.0
7.06.8232207E-62.5675185E-62.5675185E-61.00.02.9242048E-51.1003606E-51.1003606E-51.00.03.5596377E-41.3396099E-41.3396099E-41.00.00.00355394110.00133883340.00133883341.00.0
7.15.837013E-62.227375E-62.227375E-61.00.02.501553E-59.545859E-69.545859E-61.00.03.045215E-41.16214935E-41.16214935E-41.00.00.00304104550.00116157070.00116157071.00.0
7.24.278052E-61.6275252E-61.6275252E-61.00.01.833438E-56.975091E-66.975091E-61.00.02.231982E-48.4918654E-58.4918654E-51.00.00.00222974188.488853E-48.488853E-41.00.0
7.31.8803692E-68.3448816E-78.3448816E-71.00.08.0587E-63.5763737E-63.5763737E-61.00.09.811026E-54.354163E-54.354163E-51.00.09.806695E-44.3534543E-44.3534543E-41.00.0

White Wolf

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.0037822E-51.0468736E-61.0468736E-61.00.08.587355E-54.4865938E-64.4865938E-61.00.00.0010450095.462296E-55.462296E-51.00.00.0104010855.4610043E-45.56095E-41.01830161.0E-5
6.12.0037822E-51.0468736E-61.0468736E-61.00.08.587355E-54.4865938E-64.4865938E-61.00.00.0010450095.462296E-55.462296E-51.00.00.0104010855.4610043E-45.56095E-41.01830161.0E-5
6.22.0037822E-51.0468736E-61.0468736E-61.00.08.587355E-54.4865938E-64.4865938E-61.00.00.0010450095.462296E-55.462296E-51.00.00.0104010855.4610043E-45.56095E-41.01830161.0E-5
6.32.0037822E-51.0468736E-61.0468736E-61.00.08.587355E-54.4865938E-64.4865938E-61.00.00.0010450095.462296E-55.462296E-51.00.00.0104010855.4610043E-45.56095E-41.01830161.0E-5
6.41.132487E-51.0468736E-61.0468736E-61.00.04.8534253E-54.4865938E-64.4865938E-61.00.05.907443E-45.462296E-55.462296E-51.00.00.0058917645.4610043E-45.56095E-41.01830161.0E-5
6.51.132487E-51.0468736E-61.0468736E-61.00.04.8534253E-54.4865938E-64.4865938E-61.00.05.907443E-45.462296E-55.462296E-51.00.00.0058917645.4610043E-45.56095E-41.01830161.0E-5
6.69.347473E-61.0468736E-61.0468736E-61.00.04.0059982E-54.4865938E-64.4865938E-61.00.04.8762115E-45.462296E-55.462296E-51.00.00.00486552535.4610043E-45.56095E-41.01830161.0E-5
6.77.842647E-61.0047925E-61.0047925E-61.00.03.361091E-54.3062464E-64.3062464E-61.00.04.0913603E-45.242734E-55.242734E-51.00.00.0040838365.241547E-45.341494E-41.01906841.0E-5
6.86.26597E-69.73443E-79.73443E-71.00.02.685388E-54.171892E-64.171892E-61.00.03.2689696E-45.0791652E-55.0791652E-51.00.00.0032641655.078053E-45.178003E-41.01968251.0E-5
6.95.258436E-69.1828633E-79.1828633E-71.00.02.2535958E-53.9355073E-63.9355073E-61.00.02.7434074E-44.7913796E-54.7913796E-51.00.00.00274002324.7903945E-44.8903463E-41.02086511.0E-5
7.04.675028E-68.6608276E-78.6608276E-71.00.02.003568E-53.7117782E-63.7117782E-61.00.02.4390711E-44.519001E-54.519001E-51.00.00.00243639574.5181293E-44.618084E-41.02212311.0E-5
7.12.8270078E-66.873876E-76.873876E-71.00.01.2115692E-52.9459438E-62.9459438E-61.00.01.4749856E-43.5866316E-53.5866316E-51.00.00.0014740073.586094E-43.686058E-41.02787551.0E-5
7.21.6881406E-62.2703898E-72.2703898E-71.00.07.2348685E-69.730238E-79.730238E-71.00.08.808096E-51.1846502E-51.1846502E-51.00.08.8046055E-41.1845886E-41.1845886E-41.00.0
7.39.086107E-71.5264881E-71.5264881E-71.00.03.8940398E-66.5420903E-76.5420903E-71.00.04.7408903E-57.964967E-67.964967E-61.00.04.739879E-47.9646896E-57.9646896E-51.00.0
7.41.9717383E-79.003459E-89.003459E-81.00.08.450304E-73.8586248E-73.8586248E-71.00.01.0288197E-54.6978657E-64.6978657E-61.00.01.028772E-44.6977697E-54.6977697E-51.00.0
7.51.086975E-76.659703E-86.659703E-81.00.04.6584634E-72.8541584E-72.8541584E-71.00.05.6716644E-63.4749323E-63.4749323E-61.00.05.6715195E-53.4748802E-53.4748802E-51.00.0
7.62.4217808E-81.5820925E-81.5820925E-81.00.01.03790605E-76.780396E-86.780396E-81.00.01.2636499E-68.255129E-78.255129E-71.00.01.2636427E-58.255104E-68.255104E-61.00.0

San Andreas (Carrizo) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1674632E-42.4333803E-42.533356E-41.04108511.0E-55.002454E-40.00104246210.00105245171.00958261.0E-50.0060734930.0126185990.0126284731.00078251.0E-50.05910160.120660750.1206695441.00007281.0E-5
6.11.1674632E-42.4333803E-42.533356E-41.04108511.0E-55.002454E-40.00104246210.00105245171.00958261.0E-50.0060734930.0126185990.0126284731.00078251.0E-50.05910160.120660750.1206695441.00007281.0E-5
6.21.1674632E-42.4333803E-42.533356E-41.04108511.0E-55.002454E-40.00104246210.00105245171.00958261.0E-50.0060734930.0126185990.0126284731.00078251.0E-50.05910160.120660750.1206695441.00007281.0E-5
6.31.1674632E-42.4333803E-42.533356E-41.04108511.0E-55.002454E-40.00104246210.00105245171.00958261.0E-50.0060734930.0126185990.0126284731.00078251.0E-50.05910160.120660750.1206695441.00007281.0E-5
6.41.1674632E-42.4333803E-42.533356E-41.04108511.0E-55.002454E-40.00104246210.00105245171.00958261.0E-50.0060734930.0126185990.0126284731.00078251.0E-50.05910160.120660750.1206695441.00007281.0E-5
6.51.13136164E-42.3653745E-42.4653508E-41.04226661.0E-54.847792E-40.00101333960.00102332961.00985841.0E-50.00588622550.0122680670.0122779451.00080511.0E-50.0573273340.117630240.117639071.0000751.0E-5
6.61.13136164E-42.3653745E-42.4653508E-41.04226661.0E-54.847792E-40.00101333960.00102332961.00985841.0E-50.00588622550.0122680670.0122779451.00080511.0E-50.0573273340.117630240.117639071.0000751.0E-5
6.71.1149675E-42.334492E-42.4344686E-41.04282581.0E-54.777557E-40.00100011450.00101010441.00998891.0E-50.00580117340.0121088480.0121187281.00081591.0E-50.056520510.116257910.116266751.0000761.0E-5
6.81.1103589E-42.324707E-42.4246838E-41.04300621.0E-54.7578133E-49.959241E-40.00100591411.0100311.0E-50.0057772630.0120583970.0120682761.00081931.0E-50.0562935840.115818560.1158274041.00007631.0E-5
6.91.1053259E-42.3139441E-42.413921E-41.04320621.0E-54.7362508E-49.91315E-40.00100130511.01007761.0E-50.00575114970.01200290.012012781.00082311.0E-50.056045690.1153344660.115343311.00007671.0E-5
7.01.1005377E-42.304026E-42.4040029E-41.04339231.0E-54.7157376E-49.870676E-49.970577E-41.0101211.0E-50.00572630620.0119517570.0119616371.00082671.0E-50.0558097960.11488760.1148964541.0000771.0E-5
7.11.0308142E-42.154949E-42.2549275E-41.04639481.0E-54.417027E-49.2322374E-49.332145E-41.01082161.0E-50.00536447760.0111826340.0111925221.00088431.0E-50.0523681380.108158580.10816751.00008251.0E-5
7.21.0027479E-42.0957364E-42.1957155E-41.04770591.0E-54.296783E-48.978646E-49.0785563E-41.01112761.0E-50.00521879220.0108770090.0108868991.00090931.0E-50.0509792120.105458210.1054671561.00008491.0E-5
7.39.816942E-52.0432367E-42.1432164E-41.0489321.0E-54.2065824E-48.7538E-48.853713E-41.01141361.0E-50.0051094930.01060595550.010615851.00093281.0E-50.0499359850.103045790.103054761.0000871.0E-5
7.49.5634205E-51.980169E-42.0801491E-41.05049071.0E-54.0979648E-48.4836874E-48.5836026E-41.01177731.0E-50.00497786370.0102802360.0102901331.00096271.0E-50.0486782530.1001265350.1001355351.00008991.0E-5
7.58.052417E-51.612143E-41.7121268E-41.06201921.0E-53.4505792E-46.9073564E-47.0072873E-41.01446741.0E-50.00419299030.008377360.0083872771.00118371.0E-50.041147530.082851460.0828606341.00011071.0E-5
7.67.897024E-51.5774513E-41.6774356E-41.06338331.0E-53.384E-46.758756E-46.8586884E-41.01478561.0E-50.00411223850.0081978140.0082077331.00120991.0E-50.0403696970.081192920.0812021051.00011311.0E-5
7.76.707427E-51.3283793E-41.4283661E-41.07526971.0E-52.8742946E-45.691813E-45.791756E-41.0175591.0E-50.0034938390.00690779560.00691772671.00143771.0E-50.0343941640.0690816940.0690911.00013471.0E-5
7.86.147705E-51.2204444E-41.2204444E-41.00.02.6344648E-45.229428E-45.229428E-41.00.00.00320274360.00634826670.00634826671.00.00.0315697640.063545920.063545921.00.0
7.94.7636717E-58.8847315E-58.8847315E-51.00.02.0414138E-43.8071864E-43.8071864E-41.00.00.00248258840.00462540570.00462540571.00.00.0245503650.0466511140.0466511141.00.0
8.03.3554235E-55.216579E-55.216579E-51.00.01.4379594E-42.2354853E-42.2354853E-41.00.00.00174930970.0027183080.0027183081.00.00.0173560340.0278948660.0278948661.00.0
8.11.9175432E-51.9196985E-51.9196985E-51.00.08.217783E-58.22702E-58.22702E-51.00.00.00100005580.001001180.001001181.00.00.0099556730.0107642820.0107642821.00.0
8.28.643924E-65.478665E-65.478665E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3479783E-52.3479783E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.8582895E-42.8582895E-41.00.00.00450013950.00325084690.00325084691.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6647797E-77.6647797E-71.00.08.498917E-63.2849016E-63.2849016E-61.00.01.034694E-43.999296E-53.999296E-51.00.00.00103421244.7228087E-44.7228087E-41.00.0

Calaveras (So) - Paicines extension 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5183659E-43.0524618E-43.0524618E-41.00.06.5056595E-40.0013069820.00131696891.00764121.0E-50.0078919120.0156981270.015707971.0006271.0E-50.0761745940.138510540.138519151.00006221.0E-5
6.11.5024997E-43.0218763E-43.0218763E-41.00.06.437695E-40.0012938910.0013038781.00771871.0E-50.00780976140.01554151250.0155513571.00063351.0E-50.0754093450.13718010.137188731.0000631.0E-5
6.21.2743923E-42.5316005E-42.5316005E-41.00.05.460538E-40.00108414850.00109413771.00921381.0E-50.00662795830.0130487630.0130586331.00075641.0E-50.0643372760.117277780.117286611.00007521.0E-5
6.31.1525114E-42.2602278E-42.2602278E-41.00.04.9383997E-49.680288E-49.680288E-41.00.00.00599593860.0116699630.0116699631.00.00.0583671740.106394060.106394061.00.0
6.41.07200925E-42.0843073E-42.0843073E-41.00.04.5935164E-48.9276396E-48.9276396E-41.00.00.00557827440.0107748350.0107748351.00.00.05440310.099216810.099216811.00.0
6.59.69631E-51.8736755E-41.8736755E-41.00.04.1548995E-48.026078E-48.026078E-41.00.00.00504686260.0096966880.0096966881.00.00.049337730.090108620.090108621.00.0
6.68.0552316E-51.5074162E-41.5074162E-41.00.03.4517853E-46.458456E-46.458456E-41.00.00.00419445240.0078283560.0078283561.00.00.041161610.074878670.074878671.00.0
6.77.815757E-51.4614697E-41.4614697E-41.00.03.34918E-46.2616763E-46.2616763E-41.00.00.0040700050.0075911490.0075911491.00.00.0399626570.072728150.072728151.00.0
6.86.965264E-51.2726107E-41.2726107E-41.00.02.9847719E-45.452736E-45.452736E-41.00.00.00362790520.006615280.006615281.00.00.035692470.063822280.063822281.00.0
6.95.8000453E-51.0146304E-41.0146304E-41.00.02.4854968E-44.3476955E-44.3476955E-41.00.00.00302189330.00528056970.00528056971.00.00.0298112950.051514120.051514121.00.0
7.04.9865852E-58.570392E-58.570392E-51.00.02.1369329E-43.6725128E-43.6725128E-41.00.00.00259861140.00446220630.00446220631.00.00.0256843360.0437933470.0437933471.00.0
7.14.283875E-57.114092E-57.114092E-51.00.01.8358172E-43.0485436E-43.0485436E-41.00.00.00223281630.00370534140.00370534141.00.00.0221051460.0367442220.0367442221.00.0
7.23.450115E-55.5794262E-55.5794262E-51.00.01.478537E-42.3909652E-42.3909652E-41.00.00.00179863230.00290714320.00290714321.00.00.0178414420.0290874040.0290874041.00.0
7.32.5709045E-54.060424E-54.060424E-51.00.01.1017697E-41.7400667E-41.7400667E-41.00.00.00134057910.00211648970.00211648971.00.00.0133252080.0213046480.0213046481.00.0
7.41.8003093E-52.8519447E-52.8519447E-51.00.07.715383E-51.2222049E-41.2222049E-41.00.09.3894306E-40.00148702110.00148702111.00.00.0093498570.0150551910.0150551911.00.0
7.51.5595824E-52.5831554E-52.5831554E-51.00.06.683753E-51.1070197E-41.1070197E-41.00.08.134431E-40.00134696540.00134696541.00.00.0081047190.0136551820.0136551821.00.0
7.61.1110309E-51.9230012E-51.9230012E-51.00.04.761474E-58.241174E-58.241174E-51.00.05.795553E-40.00100290240.00100290241.00.00.00578046120.0102065830.0102065831.00.0
7.76.2140443E-61.04432265E-51.04432265E-51.00.02.6631347E-54.4755914E-54.4755914E-51.00.03.241884E-45.447671E-45.447671E-41.00.00.00323715880.00562281070.00562281071.00.0
7.85.305533E-69.438617E-69.438617E-61.00.02.27378E-54.0450588E-54.0450588E-51.00.02.7679754E-44.923747E-44.923747E-41.00.00.00276453020.0050770380.0050770381.00.0
7.93.363505E-67.389195E-67.389195E-61.00.01.4414942E-53.1667594E-53.1667594E-51.00.01.7548777E-43.8548483E-43.8548483E-41.00.00.00175349260.00395064060.00395064061.00.0
8.02.0271132E-64.4155477E-64.4155477E-61.00.08.687599E-61.8923638E-51.8923638E-51.00.01.05766376E-42.3037099E-42.3037099E-41.00.00.00105716060.00235230990.00235230991.00.0
8.11.2206116E-62.3764833E-62.3764833E-61.00.05.2311816E-61.0184889E-51.0184889E-51.00.06.3687774E-51.23994E-41.23994E-41.00.06.366953E-40.00127125080.00127125081.00.0

Kern Canyon (South Kern) 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.105075E-64.1137364E-64.1137364E-61.00.01.7593058E-51.7630184E-51.7630184E-51.00.02.1417443E-42.1462698E-42.2462483E-41.04658251.0E-50.00213968130.00214426080.00215423951.00465361.0E-5
6.14.105075E-64.1137364E-64.1137364E-61.00.01.7593058E-51.7630184E-51.7630184E-51.00.02.1417443E-42.1462698E-42.2462483E-41.04658251.0E-50.00213968130.00214426080.00215423951.00465361.0E-5
6.24.105075E-64.1137364E-64.1137364E-61.00.01.7593058E-51.7630184E-51.7630184E-51.00.02.1417443E-42.1462698E-42.2462483E-41.04658251.0E-50.00213968130.00214426080.00215423951.00465361.0E-5
6.34.105075E-64.1137364E-64.1137364E-61.00.01.7593058E-51.7630184E-51.7630184E-51.00.02.1417443E-42.1462698E-42.2462483E-41.04658251.0E-50.00213968130.00214426080.00215423951.00465361.0E-5
6.44.105075E-64.1137364E-64.1137364E-61.00.01.7593058E-51.7630184E-51.7630184E-51.00.02.1417443E-42.1462698E-42.2462483E-41.04658251.0E-50.00213968130.00214426080.00215423951.00465361.0E-5
6.52.9849807E-62.9731618E-62.9731618E-61.00.01.2792712E-51.2742061E-51.2742061E-51.00.01.5574014E-41.551237E-41.6512215E-41.06445471.0E-50.00155631030.00155016930.00156015381.00644091.0E-5
6.62.9849807E-62.9731618E-62.9731618E-61.00.01.2792712E-51.2742061E-51.2742061E-51.00.01.5574014E-41.551237E-41.6512215E-41.06445471.0E-50.00155631030.00155016930.00156015381.00644091.0E-5
6.72.6756725E-62.6582272E-62.6582272E-61.00.01.1467117E-51.13923525E-51.13923525E-51.00.01.396032E-41.3869318E-41.4869179E-41.07209161.0E-50.00139515530.00138607710.00139606321.00720471.0E-5
6.82.3283721E-62.3047844E-62.3047844E-61.00.09.9787E-69.87761E-69.87761E-61.00.01.214839E-41.20253346E-41.3025214E-41.08314781.0E-50.0012141750.00120189020.00121187811.00831021.0E-5
6.92.0972677E-62.0696461E-62.0696461E-61.00.08.988259E-68.869883E-68.869883E-61.00.01.0942656E-41.0798552E-41.1798444E-41.0925951.0E-50.00109372680.00107933630.00108932551.00925491.0E-5
7.01.7132242E-61.6787077E-61.6787077E-61.00.07.3423685E-67.194442E-67.194442E-61.00.08.938967E-58.758884E-58.758884E-51.00.08.935372E-48.7554706E-48.7554706E-41.00.0
7.11.4215541E-61.3815785E-61.3815785E-61.00.06.0923603E-65.9210374E-65.9210374E-61.00.07.417196E-57.208627E-57.208627E-51.00.07.414721E-47.206316E-47.206316E-41.00.0
7.29.097853E-78.6037966E-78.6037966E-71.00.03.899074E-63.6873362E-63.6873362E-61.00.04.7470192E-54.4892404E-54.4892404E-51.00.04.7460053E-44.4883444E-44.4883444E-41.00.0
7.36.144169E-75.6282187E-75.6282187E-71.00.02.6332125E-62.4120914E-62.4120914E-61.00.03.205889E-52.9366824E-52.9366824E-51.00.03.2054266E-42.9362994E-42.9362994E-41.00.0
7.44.049844E-73.5728377E-73.5728377E-71.00.01.7356463E-61.5312153E-61.5312153E-61.00.02.1131287E-51.864239E-51.864239E-51.00.02.1129279E-41.864085E-41.864085E-41.00.0
7.51.9871162E-71.5830446E-71.5830446E-71.00.08.5162094E-76.784475E-76.784475E-71.00.01.0368436E-58.260068E-68.260068E-61.00.01.0367952E-48.25977E-58.25977E-51.00.0
7.62.572245E-81.7352718E-81.7352718E-81.00.01.10239064E-77.436879E-87.436879E-81.00.01.3421597E-69.054397E-79.054397E-71.00.01.3421517E-59.054365E-69.054365E-61.00.0

San Andreas (North Coast) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5333705E-47.113417E-57.113417E-51.00.06.5699324E-43.0482528E-43.0482528E-41.00.00.0079695950.0037049660.0037149291.00268911.0E-50.07689770.039377560.0393871671.00024391.0E-5
6.11.5333705E-47.113417E-57.113417E-51.00.06.5699324E-43.0482528E-43.0482528E-41.00.00.0079695950.0037049660.0037149291.00268911.0E-50.07689770.039377560.0393871671.00024391.0E-5
6.21.3912938E-46.0527043E-56.0527043E-51.00.05.961325E-42.5937596E-42.5937596E-41.00.00.0072337870.00315335650.00316332511.00316121.0E-50.070027980.033704080.0337137431.00028671.0E-5
6.31.3912938E-46.0527043E-56.0527043E-51.00.05.961325E-42.5937596E-42.5937596E-41.00.00.0072337870.00315335650.00316332511.00316121.0E-50.070027980.033704080.0337137431.00028671.0E-5
6.41.2623647E-45.046254E-55.046254E-51.00.05.4090127E-42.162502E-42.162502E-41.00.00.00656560580.00262968730.0026396611.00379281.0E-50.063749810.0283149440.0283246621.00034321.0E-5
6.51.1736096E-44.3539436E-54.3539436E-51.00.05.028786E-41.8658434E-41.8658434E-41.00.00.0061053730.00226931370.00227929121.00439671.0E-50.059403350.024594310.0246040651.00039661.0E-5
6.61.1586959E-44.2438805E-54.2438805E-51.00.04.964894E-41.8186802E-41.8186802E-41.00.00.0060280180.00221201060.00222198851.00451081.0E-50.0586710240.023999590.024009351.00040661.0E-5
6.71.13693764E-44.0750157E-54.0750157E-51.00.04.87168E-41.7463193E-41.7463193E-41.00.00.0059151520.00212408650.00212408651.00.00.0576015930.0230907610.0230907611.00.0
6.81.1204889E-43.9967555E-53.9967555E-51.00.04.8012115E-41.7127836E-41.7127836E-41.00.00.0058298190.00208333550.00208333551.00.00.056792320.0226505680.0226505681.00.0
6.91.1005794E-43.902303E-53.902303E-51.00.04.7159163E-41.6723093E-41.6723093E-41.00.00.00572652280.0020341510.0020341511.00.00.0558118520.0221166820.0221166821.00.0
7.01.0647948E-43.7180227E-53.7180227E-51.00.04.562608E-41.5933417E-41.5933417E-41.00.00.00554083570.00193818320.00193818321.00.00.0540470330.0210748950.0210748951.00.0
7.11.04795035E-43.6229067E-53.6229067E-51.00.04.4904428E-41.5525827E-41.5525827E-41.00.00.00545341750.0018886460.0018886461.00.00.0532151650.0205436780.0205436781.00.0
7.21.02724036E-43.513728E-53.513728E-51.00.04.401716E-41.5057974E-41.5057974E-41.00.00.00534592850.00183178220.00183178221.00.00.0521913950.0199317910.0199317911.00.0
7.31.00650694E-43.4604338E-53.4604338E-51.00.04.312888E-41.4829596E-41.4829596E-41.00.00.0052383060.00180402350.00180402351.00.00.0511653570.0196085460.0196085461.00.0
7.49.672919E-53.3393557E-53.3393557E-51.00.04.144878E-41.4310748E-41.4310748E-41.00.00.0050347180.00174095630.00174095631.00.00.0492216830.0188811550.0188811551.00.0
7.58.7600405E-52.271003E-52.271003E-51.00.03.753763E-49.732508E-59.732508E-51.00.00.00456063260.00118429050.00118429051.00.00.044681650.0131366790.0131366791.00.0
7.67.9562284E-51.923447E-51.923447E-51.00.03.4093665E-48.243085E-58.243085E-51.00.00.00414300520.0010031350.0010031351.00.00.0406661260.0112273440.0112273441.00.0
7.76.3866544E-51.19474835E-51.19474835E-51.00.02.7368503E-45.1202496E-55.1202496E-51.00.00.00332702446.2321237E-46.2321237E-41.00.00.0327765270.00721387750.00721387751.00.0
7.84.2543215E-59.081718E-69.081718E-61.00.01.8231533E-43.892107E-53.892107E-51.00.00.00221742924.737611E-44.737611E-41.00.00.0219543320.0054936220.0054936221.00.0
7.92.2636612E-57.819314E-67.819314E-61.00.09.7010445E-53.3510918E-53.3510918E-51.00.00.00118046214.0791914E-44.0791914E-41.00.00.0117421110.0046861010.0046861011.00.0
8.01.5167874E-57.0542583E-67.0542583E-61.00.06.500356E-53.0232186E-53.0232186E-51.00.07.9113094E-43.680148E-43.680148E-41.00.00.0078832030.00421832270.00421832271.00.0
8.11.0681047E-56.39152E-66.39152E-61.00.04.5775112E-52.7391941E-52.7391941E-51.00.05.5716943E-43.3344593E-43.3344593E-41.00.00.00555774570.00381997830.00381997831.00.0
8.28.226114E-65.1186294E-65.1186294E-61.00.03.52543E-52.1936798E-52.1936798E-51.00.04.2913653E-42.6704787E-42.6704787E-41.00.00.0042830880.00304710330.00304710331.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6647797E-77.6647797E-71.00.08.498917E-63.2849016E-63.2849016E-61.00.01.034694E-43.999296E-53.999296E-51.00.00.00103421244.7228087E-44.7228087E-41.00.0

Cady

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.9892565E-52.1859016E-52.1859016E-51.00.08.525106E-59.3678645E-59.3678645E-51.00.00.00103743740.00114003160.00115002031.00876161.0E-50.0103260750.0113508490.0113607351.0008711.0E-5
6.11.9892565E-52.1859016E-52.1859016E-51.00.08.525106E-59.3678645E-59.3678645E-51.00.00.00103743740.00114003160.00115002031.00876161.0E-50.0103260750.0113508490.0113607351.0008711.0E-5
6.21.9892565E-52.1859016E-52.1859016E-51.00.08.525106E-59.3678645E-59.3678645E-51.00.00.00103743740.00114003160.00115002031.00876161.0E-50.0103260750.0113508490.0113607351.0008711.0E-5
6.31.1117327E-51.2176738E-51.2176738E-51.00.04.764482E-55.218515E-55.218515E-51.00.05.7992124E-46.3520053E-46.3520053E-41.00.00.00578410220.00633695540.00633695541.00.0
6.41.1117327E-51.2176738E-51.2176738E-51.00.04.764482E-55.218515E-55.218515E-51.00.05.7992124E-46.3520053E-46.3520053E-41.00.00.00578410220.00633695540.00633695541.00.0
6.56.103093E-66.672103E-66.672103E-61.00.02.615585E-52.8594486E-52.8594486E-51.00.03.1840094E-43.4809482E-43.4809482E-41.00.00.00317945120.00347672960.00347672961.00.0
6.65.817237E-66.365738E-66.365738E-61.00.02.4930776E-52.728152E-52.728152E-51.00.03.034899E-43.3211432E-43.3211432E-41.00.00.00303075770.0033174020.0033174021.00.0
6.74.8846314E-65.3406343E-65.3406343E-61.00.02.0933967E-52.2888298E-52.2888298E-51.00.02.5484123E-42.7864118E-42.7864118E-41.00.00.00254549180.00278407360.00278407361.00.0
6.81.7788773E-61.9399313E-61.9399313E-61.00.07.6237375E-68.313974E-68.313974E-61.00.09.281505E-51.01219506E-41.01219506E-41.00.09.2776294E-40.00101188860.00101188861.00.0
6.97.5455404E-78.297202E-78.297202E-71.00.03.233799E-63.5559406E-63.5559406E-61.00.03.937079E-54.3293054E-54.3293054E-51.00.03.9363815E-44.3287914E-44.3287914E-41.00.0
7.06.8578805E-77.541916E-77.541916E-71.00.02.9390883E-63.2322475E-63.2322475E-61.00.03.578281E-53.9352235E-53.9352235E-51.00.03.577705E-43.9348513E-43.9348513E-41.00.0

Blue Cut

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.1227985E-52.2719787E-52.2719787E-51.00.09.097391E-59.736721E-59.736721E-51.00.00.00110704450.00118485920.00118485921.00.00.0110154580.0117912610.0118011431.0008381.0E-5
6.12.1227985E-52.2719787E-52.2719787E-51.00.09.097391E-59.736721E-59.736721E-51.00.00.00110704450.00118485920.00118485921.00.00.0110154580.0117912610.0118011431.0008381.0E-5
6.22.1227985E-52.2719787E-52.2719787E-51.00.09.097391E-59.736721E-59.736721E-51.00.00.00110704450.00118485920.00118485921.00.00.0110154580.0117912610.0118011431.0008381.0E-5
6.31.1613981E-51.23536465E-51.23536465E-51.00.04.9773254E-55.2943193E-55.2943193E-51.00.06.0582085E-46.444052E-46.444052E-41.00.00.00604171960.00642661330.00642661331.00.0
6.41.1613981E-51.23536465E-51.23536465E-51.00.04.9773254E-55.2943193E-55.2943193E-51.00.06.0582085E-46.444052E-46.444052E-41.00.00.00604171960.00642661330.00642661331.00.0
6.58.931326E-69.481677E-69.481677E-61.00.03.8276554E-54.063518E-54.063518E-51.00.04.6591737E-44.9463013E-44.9463013E-41.00.00.00464941750.00493620150.00493620151.00.0
6.67.345353E-67.790341E-67.790341E-61.00.03.1479703E-53.3386797E-53.3386797E-51.00.03.83198E-44.0641645E-44.0641645E-41.00.00.00382537880.00405752330.00405752331.00.0
6.76.2775666E-66.655202E-66.655202E-61.00.02.690358E-52.8522025E-52.8522025E-51.00.03.2750185E-43.4720785E-43.4720785E-41.00.00.00327019630.00346739470.00346739471.00.0
6.85.5234095E-65.8551577E-65.8551577E-61.00.02.367154E-52.5093334E-52.5093334E-51.00.02.8816288E-43.0547578E-43.0547578E-41.00.00.0028778950.0030512750.0030512751.00.0
6.94.7780054E-65.0654608E-65.0654608E-61.00.02.0477004E-52.1708976E-52.1708976E-51.00.02.4927902E-42.6428179E-42.6428179E-41.00.00.00248999570.00264036730.00264036731.00.0
7.03.883171E-64.1185203E-64.1185203E-61.00.01.6642054E-51.765072E-51.765072E-51.00.02.0259817E-42.1488321E-42.1488321E-41.00.00.00202413560.002147430.002147431.00.0
7.12.8358215E-63.0097403E-63.0097403E-61.00.01.2153464E-51.289886E-51.289886E-51.00.01.4795837E-41.5703888E-41.5703888E-41.00.00.0014785990.00156992440.00156992441.00.0

Cleghorn

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.9267165E-69.832763E-69.832763E-61.00.03.39712E-54.213979E-55.213937E-51.23729541.0E-54.1352084E-45.129418E-45.229367E-41.01948541.0E-50.0041275220.0051327040.0051426531.00193831.0E-5
6.17.9267165E-69.832763E-69.832763E-61.00.03.39712E-54.213979E-55.213937E-51.23729541.0E-54.1352084E-45.129418E-45.229367E-41.01948541.0E-50.0041275220.0051327040.0051426531.00193831.0E-5
6.27.9267165E-69.832763E-69.832763E-61.00.03.39712E-54.213979E-55.213937E-51.23729541.0E-54.1352084E-45.129418E-45.229367E-41.01948541.0E-50.0041275220.0051327040.0051426531.00193831.0E-5
6.37.9267165E-69.832763E-69.832763E-61.00.03.39712E-54.213979E-55.213937E-51.23729541.0E-54.1352084E-45.129418E-45.229367E-41.01948541.0E-50.0041275220.0051327040.0051426531.00193831.0E-5
6.44.3445207E-66.0926013E-66.0926013E-61.00.01.8619241E-52.6110894E-52.6110894E-51.00.02.2666567E-43.1785478E-43.1785478E-41.00.00.00226434620.0031882040.0031882041.00.0
6.54.3445207E-66.0926013E-66.0926013E-61.00.01.8619241E-52.6110894E-52.6110894E-51.00.02.2666567E-43.1785478E-43.1785478E-41.00.00.00226434620.0031882040.0031882041.00.0
6.64.040109E-65.7750076E-65.7750076E-61.00.01.7314638E-52.4749803E-52.4749803E-51.00.02.1078532E-43.0128812E-43.0128812E-41.00.00.0021058550.0030229930.0030229931.00.0
6.73.3632055E-65.0685003E-65.0685003E-61.00.01.4413658E-52.1721964E-52.1721964E-51.00.01.7547216E-42.6443315E-42.6443315E-41.00.00.00175333660.00265532520.00265532521.00.0
6.83.2902772E-64.990407E-64.990407E-61.00.01.4101111E-52.1387285E-52.1387285E-51.00.01.716675E-42.603594E-42.603594E-41.00.00.00171534950.00261468370.00261468371.00.0
6.93.031547E-64.692163E-64.692163E-61.00.01.299228E-52.0109117E-52.0109117E-51.00.01.5816953E-42.4480128E-42.4480128E-41.00.00.001580570.00245945410.00245945411.00.0
7.02.8259715E-64.371714E-64.371714E-61.00.01.211125E-51.8735784E-51.8735784E-51.00.01.4744449E-42.2808454E-42.2808454E-41.00.00.0014734670.00229264120.00229264121.00.0
7.12.5962665E-64.066925E-64.066925E-61.00.01.1126809E-51.7429564E-51.7429564E-51.00.01.3546048E-42.1218449E-42.1218449E-41.00.00.00135377930.00213396480.00213396481.00.0
7.22.3247253E-63.6774632E-63.6774632E-61.00.09.96307E-61.5760463E-51.5760463E-51.00.01.21293626E-41.9186691E-41.9186691E-41.00.00.00121227440.00193118080.00193118081.00.0
7.32.056928E-63.236149E-63.236149E-61.00.08.815376E-61.3869138E-51.3869138E-51.00.01.0732192E-41.6884382E-41.6884382E-41.00.00.0010727010.00170139080.00170139081.00.0
7.41.8055999E-62.8265147E-62.8265147E-61.00.07.738263E-61.2113579E-51.2113579E-51.00.09.4209274E-51.4747298E-41.4747298E-41.00.09.4169343E-40.0014881290.0014881291.00.0
7.51.4683443E-62.4257406E-62.4257406E-61.00.06.292889E-61.039599E-51.039599E-51.00.07.661323E-51.2656393E-41.2656393E-41.00.07.658682E-40.00127933590.00127933591.00.0
7.69.804088E-71.9012458E-61.9012458E-61.00.04.201745E-68.148171E-68.148171E-61.00.05.1155046E-59.919951E-59.919951E-51.00.05.114327E-40.00100600340.00100600341.00.0
7.77.3434086E-71.6293816E-61.6293816E-61.00.03.1471714E-66.9830453E-66.9830453E-61.00.03.831614E-58.501529E-58.501529E-51.00.03.8309532E-48.6431357E-48.6431357E-41.00.0
7.86.434184E-71.522934E-61.522934E-61.00.02.7575045E-66.5268437E-66.5268437E-61.00.03.35721E-57.946145E-57.946145E-51.00.03.3567028E-48.0846256E-48.0846256E-41.00.0
7.93.4943926E-77.5794E-77.5794E-71.00.01.497596E-63.2483103E-63.2483103E-61.00.01.8233079E-53.9547467E-53.9547467E-51.00.01.8231584E-44.0426495E-44.0426495E-41.00.0
8.06.717524E-85.8437763E-85.8437763E-81.00.02.8789387E-72.5044753E-72.5044753E-71.00.03.505102E-63.0491944E-63.0491944E-61.00.03.5050467E-53.2754215E-53.2754215E-51.00.0
8.13.1984914E-81.2967114E-81.2967114E-81.00.01.370782E-75.5573338E-85.5573338E-81.00.01.6689258E-66.766052E-76.766052E-71.00.01.6689133E-57.750275E-67.750275E-61.00.0
8.21.21887656E-83.6524417E-93.6524417E-91.00.05.2237567E-81.565332E-81.565332E-81.00.06.359922E-71.9057916E-71.9057916E-71.00.06.3599036E-62.2488762E-62.2488762E-61.00.0

San Jacinto (Lytle Creek connector)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.693995E-66.6628318E-66.6628318E-61.00.02.8688235E-52.8554681E-52.8554681E-51.00.03.492233E-43.4759787E-43.575944E-41.02875891.0E-50.003486750.00355089010.00356085461.00280621.0E-5
6.16.693995E-66.6628318E-66.6628318E-61.00.02.8688235E-52.8554681E-52.8554681E-51.00.03.492233E-43.4759787E-43.575944E-41.02875891.0E-50.003486750.00355089010.00356085461.00280621.0E-5
6.26.693995E-66.6628318E-66.6628318E-61.00.02.8688235E-52.8554681E-52.8554681E-51.00.03.492233E-43.4759787E-43.575944E-41.02875891.0E-50.003486750.00355089010.00356085461.00280621.0E-5
6.36.693995E-66.6628318E-66.6628318E-61.00.02.8688235E-52.8554681E-52.8554681E-51.00.03.492233E-43.4759787E-43.575944E-41.02875891.0E-50.003486750.00355089010.00356085461.00280621.0E-5
6.46.693995E-66.6628318E-66.6628318E-61.00.02.8688235E-52.8554681E-52.8554681E-51.00.03.492233E-43.4759787E-43.575944E-41.02875891.0E-50.003486750.00355089010.00356085461.00280621.0E-5
6.56.6561875E-66.6230496E-66.6230496E-61.00.02.8526205E-52.838419E-52.838419E-51.00.03.472512E-43.455228E-43.5551933E-41.02893161.0E-50.00346709070.00353020550.00354017041.00282261.0E-5
6.66.6561875E-66.6230496E-66.6230496E-61.00.02.8526205E-52.838419E-52.838419E-51.00.03.472512E-43.455228E-43.5551933E-41.02893161.0E-50.00346709070.00353020550.00354017041.00282261.0E-5
6.76.5802237E-66.5422255E-66.5422255E-61.00.02.8200653E-52.803781E-52.803781E-51.00.03.4328885E-43.4130694E-43.5130352E-41.02928911.0E-50.00342759020.00348817980.0034981451.00285691.0E-5
6.86.575632E-66.5367153E-66.5367153E-61.00.02.8180975E-52.8014192E-52.8014192E-51.00.03.4304935E-43.410195E-43.510161E-41.02931381.0E-50.00342520260.00348531430.00349527951.00285921.0E-5
6.96.570433E-66.5281088E-66.5281088E-61.00.02.8158694E-52.7977308E-52.7977308E-51.00.03.4277816E-43.4057058E-43.5056716E-41.02935251.0E-50.00342249920.00348083930.00349080451.00286281.0E-5
7.06.5643826E-66.5182294E-66.5182294E-61.00.02.8132765E-52.793497E-52.793497E-51.00.03.424626E-43.4005524E-43.5005185E-41.0293971.0E-50.00341935320.00347570210.00348566751.00286711.0E-5
7.16.557402E-66.5069403E-66.5069403E-61.00.02.8102848E-52.788659E-52.788659E-51.00.03.4209844E-43.394664E-43.4946302E-41.0294481.0E-50.00341572290.00346983340.00347979861.0028721.0E-5
7.26.546394E-66.488906E-66.488906E-61.00.02.8055672E-52.7809301E-52.7809301E-51.00.03.4152428E-43.3852572E-43.4852233E-41.02952981.0E-50.00340999870.00346045990.00347042531.00287971.0E-5
7.36.5364216E-66.469689E-66.469689E-61.00.02.8012933E-52.7726945E-52.7726945E-51.00.03.4100408E-43.3752335E-43.4751996E-41.02961751.0E-50.0034048130.0034504820.00346044751.00288821.0E-5
7.46.5269523E-66.450774E-66.450774E-61.00.02.7972354E-52.7645881E-52.7645881E-51.00.03.4051016E-43.365367E-43.465333E-41.02970451.0E-50.00339988880.00344066350.0034506291.00289641.0E-5
7.56.5111835E-66.4270453E-66.4270453E-61.00.02.7904773E-52.7544189E-52.7544189E-51.00.03.3968766E-43.3529897E-43.4529562E-41.02981411.0E-50.00339168870.00342833530.00343830121.00290691.0E-5
7.66.4768806E-66.3861507E-66.3861507E-61.00.02.7757764E-52.736893E-52.736893E-51.00.03.3789838E-43.3316584E-43.431625E-41.03000511.0E-50.00337385040.00340706550.00341703161.0029251.0E-5
7.76.1655364E-66.1786222E-66.1786222E-61.00.02.642346E-52.6479542E-52.6479542E-51.00.03.2165812E-43.2234078E-43.3233757E-41.0310131.0E-50.00321192950.00329866940.00330863641.00302151.0E-5
7.85.5043524E-65.739622E-65.739622E-61.00.02.3589868E-52.4598148E-52.4598148E-51.00.02.871688E-42.9944137E-43.0943836E-41.03338551.0E-50.00286797970.0030687560.00307872541.00324871.0E-5
7.93.889249E-64.0787854E-64.0787854E-61.00.01.6668104E-51.7480392E-51.7480392E-51.00.02.0291525E-42.1280303E-42.2280091E-41.04698181.0E-50.00202730070.00219550920.0022054871.00454471.0E-5
8.02.668535E-62.5328056E-62.5328056E-61.00.01.1436528E-51.0854836E-51.0854836E-51.00.01.3923083E-41.3214964E-41.3214964E-41.00.00.00139143630.00137659030.00137659031.00.0
8.11.5911459E-61.2193005E-61.2193005E-61.00.06.8191785E-65.225563E-65.225563E-61.00.08.3020335E-56.3619394E-56.3619394E-51.00.08.298933E-46.697524E-46.697524E-41.00.0
8.26.1294963E-72.1825215E-72.1825215E-71.00.02.6269242E-69.35366E-79.35366E-71.00.03.1982334E-51.1388021E-51.1388021E-51.00.03.1977732E-41.279216E-41.279216E-41.00.0
8.31.762871E-74.757476E-84.757476E-81.00.07.5551594E-72.038918E-72.038918E-71.00.09.1983675E-62.4823798E-62.4823798E-61.00.09.197987E-52.8703373E-52.8703373E-51.00.0

San Pedro Basin

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.3449043E-56.3371765E-56.3371765E-51.00.02.2904722E-42.7156848E-42.8156576E-41.03681311.0E-50.00278508360.00330193340.00331190041.00301851.0E-50.0275043660.032590280.0325999561.00029681.0E-5
6.15.3449043E-56.3371765E-56.3371765E-51.00.02.2904722E-42.7156848E-42.8156576E-41.03681311.0E-50.00278508360.00330193340.00331190041.00301851.0E-50.0275043660.032590280.0325999561.00029681.0E-5
6.22.3189454E-52.6643364E-52.6643364E-51.00.09.9379584E-51.1418111E-41.1418111E-41.00.00.00120927490.00138931560.00138931561.00.00.0120271550.0138111660.0138111661.00.0
6.32.3189454E-52.6643364E-52.6643364E-51.00.09.9379584E-51.1418111E-41.1418111E-41.00.00.00120927490.00138931560.00138931561.00.00.0120271550.0138111660.0138111661.00.0
6.41.966056E-52.2463855E-52.2463855E-51.00.08.425682E-59.627034E-59.627034E-51.00.00.0010253440.00117150140.00117150141.00.00.0102062590.0116573430.0116573431.00.0
6.51.7342953E-51.9745525E-51.9745525E-51.00.07.4324824E-58.462114E-58.462114E-51.00.09.04529E-40.00102981240.00102981241.00.00.0090085610.0102541250.0102541251.00.0
6.61.439804E-51.6323016E-51.6323016E-51.00.06.170443E-56.995408E-56.995408E-51.00.07.509924E-48.513903E-48.513903E-41.00.00.00748459530.0084844870.0084844871.00.0
6.71.2634884E-51.4285555E-51.4285555E-51.00.05.414838E-56.122254E-56.122254E-51.00.06.590571E-47.4516E-47.4516E-41.00.00.0065710590.00742963470.00742963471.00.0
6.81.146091E-51.2933422E-51.2933422E-51.00.04.911726E-55.5427943E-55.5427943E-51.00.05.9783855E-46.74656E-46.74656E-41.00.00.00596232760.0067290190.0067290191.00.0
6.99.109035E-61.023519E-51.023519E-51.00.03.9038136E-54.386452E-54.386452E-51.00.04.7518566E-45.339476E-45.339476E-41.00.00.00474170830.0053294010.0053294011.00.0
7.05.9351028E-66.584069E-66.584069E-61.00.02.5435906E-52.8217266E-52.8217266E-51.00.03.0963816E-43.4351466E-43.4351466E-41.00.00.00309207060.00343215370.00343215371.00.0
7.12.1557585E-62.2096617E-62.2096617E-61.00.09.238933E-69.469944E-69.469944E-61.00.01.1247819E-41.1529063E-41.1529063E-41.00.00.00112421280.00115232360.00115232361.00.0
7.22.1251979E-62.1780077E-62.1780077E-61.00.09.107958E-69.334286E-69.334286E-61.00.01.1088375E-41.13639166E-41.13639166E-41.00.00.00110828450.00113582590.00113582591.00.0
7.31.7145798E-61.7442975E-61.7442975E-61.00.07.3481783E-67.47554E-67.47554E-61.00.08.94604E-59.101099E-59.101099E-51.00.08.9424395E-49.097463E-49.097463E-41.00.0
7.41.4467993E-61.4641951E-61.4641951E-61.00.06.200554E-66.2751074E-66.2751074E-61.00.07.548913E-57.639683E-57.639683E-51.00.07.546349E-47.637129E-47.637129E-41.00.0
7.51.2803735E-61.293157E-61.293157E-61.00.05.487303E-65.54209E-65.54209E-61.00.06.680587E-56.747293E-56.747293E-51.00.06.678579E-46.745315E-46.745315E-41.00.0
7.66.755009E-76.769505E-76.769505E-71.00.02.8950008E-62.9012133E-62.9012133E-61.00.03.5246063E-53.532176E-53.532176E-51.00.03.5240475E-43.5316718E-43.5316718E-41.00.0
7.76.211885E-84.5700038E-84.5700038E-81.00.02.6622362E-71.9585728E-71.9585728E-71.00.03.2412677E-62.38456E-62.38456E-61.00.03.2412205E-52.3845365E-52.3845365E-51.00.0
7.82.6580573E-91.5138489E-91.5138489E-91.00.01.1391674E-86.487924E-96.487924E-91.00.01.3869362E-77.8990475E-87.8990475E-81.00.01.3869354E-67.8990473E-77.8990473E-71.00.0

Clayton

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1413061E-51.2667253E-51.2667253E-51.00.04.89122E-55.4287222E-55.4287222E-51.00.05.953433E-46.607687E-46.707621E-41.01512381.0E-50.0059375090.0065902430.0066001771.00150741.0E-5
6.11.1413061E-51.2667253E-51.2667253E-51.00.04.89122E-55.4287222E-55.4287222E-51.00.05.953433E-46.607687E-46.707621E-41.01512381.0E-50.0059375090.0065902430.0066001771.00150741.0E-5
6.21.1413061E-51.2667253E-51.2667253E-51.00.04.89122E-55.4287222E-55.4287222E-51.00.05.953433E-46.607687E-46.707621E-41.01512381.0E-50.0059375090.0065902430.0066001771.00150741.0E-5
6.38.538689E-69.53291E-69.53291E-61.00.03.659387E-54.0854746E-54.0854746E-51.00.04.4543925E-44.973038E-45.072988E-41.02009841.0E-50.00444547460.0049629750.00497292541.00200491.0E-5
6.48.538689E-69.53291E-69.53291E-61.00.03.659387E-54.0854746E-54.0854746E-51.00.04.4543925E-44.973038E-45.072988E-41.02009841.0E-50.00444547460.0049629750.00497292541.00200491.0E-5
6.57.197462E-68.081092E-68.081092E-61.00.03.08459E-53.463284E-53.463284E-51.00.03.7548412E-44.2158147E-44.3157724E-41.02371031.0E-50.0037485030.0042086290.00421858671.00236611.0E-5
6.67.1760483E-68.057108E-68.057108E-61.00.03.075413E-53.4530054E-53.4530054E-51.00.03.743672E-44.203305E-44.303263E-41.02378081.0E-50.00373737140.00419616650.00420612471.00237311.0E-5
6.76.202582E-66.976818E-66.976818E-61.00.02.6582224E-52.990035E-52.990035E-51.00.03.235905E-43.639836E-43.7397997E-41.02746381.0E-50.00323119710.00363463020.0036445941.00274131.0E-5
6.83.6417277E-64.1213766E-64.1213766E-61.00.01.5607311E-51.7662927E-51.7662927E-51.00.01.9000245E-42.1502568E-42.2502353E-41.0464961.0E-50.00189840070.00214825270.0021582311.0046451.0E-5
6.92.6498485E-62.9995813E-62.9995813E-61.00.01.1356444E-51.2855287E-51.2855287E-51.00.01.3825593E-41.5650228E-41.6650071E-41.06388691.0E-50.00138169950.00156396020.00157394461.0063841.0E-5
7.02.070442E-62.3407722E-62.3407722E-61.00.08.873292E-61.0031844E-51.0031844E-51.00.01.0802698E-41.2213115E-41.3212994E-41.08186921.0E-50.00107974480.00122067020.00123065791.00818221.0E-5
7.11.2111691E-61.358901E-61.358901E-61.00.05.190714E-65.8238493E-65.8238493E-61.00.06.319511E-57.0903225E-57.0903225E-51.00.06.3177146E-47.088224E-47.088224E-41.00.0
7.23.9541607E-74.2228655E-74.2228655E-71.00.01.6946392E-61.8097983E-61.8097983E-61.00.02.0632036E-52.2034073E-52.2034073E-51.00.02.063012E-42.2031902E-42.2031902E-41.00.0
7.32.5685637E-72.7457332E-72.7457332E-71.00.01.1008126E-61.1767423E-61.1767423E-61.00.01.3402311E-51.4326744E-51.4326744E-51.00.01.3401502E-41.4325828E-41.4325828E-41.00.0
7.41.482299E-71.580828E-71.580828E-71.00.06.3527085E-76.774975E-76.774975E-71.00.07.734395E-68.248501E-68.248501E-61.00.07.734126E-58.248198E-58.248198E-51.00.0
7.59.7969505E-81.0438406E-71.0438406E-71.00.04.1986925E-74.4736018E-74.4736018E-71.00.05.111896E-65.446597E-65.446597E-61.00.05.1117782E-55.446465E-55.446465E-51.00.0
7.66.125415E-86.523247E-86.523247E-81.00.02.6251774E-72.795677E-72.795677E-71.00.03.196149E-63.4037316E-63.4037316E-61.00.03.196103E-53.4036806E-53.4036806E-51.00.0

Jess Valley

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.3861274E-63.4340655E-63.4340655E-61.00.01.4511894E-51.4717357E-51.4717357E-51.00.01.7666799E-41.7917191E-41.8917011E-41.05580231.0E-50.0017652760.0017905510.0018005331.00557481.0E-5
6.13.3861274E-63.4340655E-63.4340655E-61.00.01.4511894E-51.4717357E-51.4717357E-51.00.01.7666799E-41.7917191E-41.8917011E-41.05580231.0E-50.0017652760.0017905510.0018005331.00557481.0E-5
6.23.3861274E-63.4340655E-63.4340655E-61.00.01.4511894E-51.4717357E-51.4717357E-51.00.01.7666799E-41.7917191E-41.8917011E-41.05580231.0E-50.0017652760.0017905510.0018005331.00557481.0E-5
6.33.3861274E-63.4340655E-63.4340655E-61.00.01.4511894E-51.4717357E-51.4717357E-51.00.01.7666799E-41.7917191E-41.8917011E-41.05580231.0E-50.0017652760.0017905510.0018005331.00557481.0E-5
6.41.5291708E-61.5502812E-61.5502812E-61.00.06.553573E-66.6440502E-66.6440502E-61.00.07.978683E-58.0889105E-58.0889105E-51.00.07.975819E-48.0867484E-48.0867484E-41.00.0
6.51.5291708E-61.5502812E-61.5502812E-61.00.06.553573E-66.6440502E-66.6440502E-61.00.07.978683E-58.0889105E-58.0889105E-51.00.07.975819E-48.0867484E-48.0867484E-41.00.0
6.65.396423E-75.4720056E-75.4720056E-71.00.02.312751E-62.3451441E-62.3451441E-61.00.02.8157378E-52.8551944E-52.8551944E-51.00.02.8153812E-42.8550118E-42.8550118E-41.00.0
6.75.396423E-75.4720056E-75.4720056E-71.00.02.312751E-62.3451441E-62.3451441E-61.00.02.8157378E-52.8551944E-52.8551944E-51.00.02.8153812E-42.8550118E-42.8550118E-41.00.0
6.83.6058395E-73.6563134E-73.6563134E-71.00.01.5453588E-61.5669915E-61.5669915E-61.00.01.8814582E-51.9078121E-51.9078121E-51.00.01.8812988E-41.9078121E-41.9078121E-41.00.0