Parent Section Magnitude-Probability Distributions
Only fault sections with at least one triggered aftershock are plotted. Sections are sorted by total supraseismogenic trigger rate (decreasing)
Table Of Contents
Garlock (Central)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.5131142E-5 | 7.0304624E-5 | 0.0012002252 | 17.071781 | 0.00113 | 2.3625491E-4 | 3.012711E-4 | 0.0044900086 | 14.903549 | 0.00419 | 0.0028726095 | 0.003661871 | 0.024844019 | 6.7845154 | 0.02126 | 0.028357591 | 0.036099836 | 0.08010188 | 2.2188988 | 0.04565 |
6.1 | 5.5131142E-5 | 7.0304624E-5 | 0.0012002252 | 17.071781 | 0.00113 | 2.3625491E-4 | 3.012711E-4 | 0.0044900086 | 14.903549 | 0.00419 | 0.0028726095 | 0.003661871 | 0.024844019 | 6.7845154 | 0.02126 | 0.028357591 | 0.036099836 | 0.08010188 | 2.2188988 | 0.04565 |
6.2 | 4.216245E-5 | 5.1713672E-5 | 7.116795E-4 | 13.761922 | 6.6E-4 | 1.806837E-4 | 2.2161138E-4 | 0.0028610264 | 12.910106 | 0.00264 | 0.0021976046 | 0.0026948117 | 0.015719617 | 5.83329 | 0.01306 | 0.021759989 | 0.026712459 | 0.054334357 | 2.0340457 | 0.02838 |
6.3 | 4.216245E-5 | 5.1713672E-5 | 7.116795E-4 | 13.761922 | 6.6E-4 | 1.806837E-4 | 2.2161138E-4 | 0.0028610264 | 12.910106 | 0.00264 | 0.0021976046 | 0.0026948117 | 0.015719617 | 5.83329 | 0.01306 | 0.021759989 | 0.026712459 | 0.054334357 | 2.0340457 | 0.02838 |
6.4 | 3.6858168E-5 | 4.4160413E-5 | 5.541379E-4 | 12.548294 | 5.1E-4 | 1.5795401E-4 | 1.8924533E-4 | 0.0021688705 | 11.460629 | 0.00198 | 0.0019213937 | 0.0023016525 | 0.01232852 | 5.356378 | 0.01005 | 0.019048655 | 0.022862442 | 0.044691693 | 1.9548085 | 0.02234 |
6.5 | 3.39199E-5 | 4.0066698E-5 | 5.100479E-4 | 12.72997 | 4.7E-4 | 1.453629E-4 | 1.7170324E-4 | 0.0019513976 | 11.3649435 | 0.00178 | 0.0017683565 | 0.0020885044 | 0.011029791 | 5.2811913 | 0.00896 | 0.017543508 | 0.020787993 | 0.04027431 | 1.9373834 | 0.0199 |
6.6 | 3.3571985E-5 | 3.9520735E-5 | 5.0950213E-4 | 12.892021 | 4.7E-4 | 1.4387199E-4 | 1.693637E-4 | 0.0019490622 | 11.508146 | 0.00178 | 0.0017502342 | 0.0020600748 | 0.010961699 | 5.32102 | 0.00892 | 0.017365133 | 0.02051186 | 0.0399547 | 1.9478828 | 0.01985 |
6.7 | 3.2580007E-5 | 3.8136997E-5 | 4.8811984E-4 | 12.799115 | 4.5E-4 | 1.3962112E-4 | 1.6343416E-4 | 0.0018631563 | 11.400043 | 0.0017 | 0.0016985617 | 0.0019880165 | 0.010580899 | 5.32234 | 0.00861 | 0.016856372 | 0.019801918 | 0.0385139 | 1.944958 | 0.01909 |
6.8 | 3.2185937E-5 | 3.756404E-5 | 4.8754713E-4 | 12.979092 | 4.5E-4 | 1.3793244E-4 | 1.6097895E-4 | 0.0018107133 | 11.248138 | 0.00165 | 0.0016780337 | 0.0019581781 | 0.01036169 | 5.291495 | 0.00842 | 0.016654192 | 0.019508269 | 0.037882682 | 1.9418783 | 0.01874 |
6.9 | 3.165394E-5 | 3.676836E-5 | 4.7675218E-4 | 12.966371 | 4.4E-4 | 1.3565269E-4 | 1.5756929E-4 | 0.0017673156 | 11.216118 | 0.00161 | 0.0016503202 | 0.0019167394 | 0.01019085 | 5.3167634 | 0.00829 | 0.01638118 | 0.019098902 | 0.037010156 | 1.9378159 | 0.01826 |
7.0 | 3.0903822E-5 | 3.567329E-5 | 4.556583E-4 | 12.773095 | 4.2E-4 | 1.3243823E-4 | 1.5287667E-4 | 0.0017026397 | 11.1373415 | 0.00155 | 0.0016112428 | 0.0018597058 | 0.009874772 | 5.3098574 | 0.00803 | 0.015996104 | 0.018536117 | 0.035898212 | 1.936663 | 0.01769 |
7.1 | 3.0069863E-5 | 3.4439163E-5 | 4.2442573E-4 | 12.323927 | 3.9E-4 | 1.2886449E-4 | 1.4758817E-4 | 0.0016373682 | 11.09417 | 0.00149 | 0.0015677959 | 0.0017954262 | 0.009431691 | 5.2531767 | 0.00765 | 0.01556781 | 0.017903462 | 0.03457946 | 1.93144 | 0.01698 |
7.2 | 2.7957109E-5 | 3.1327418E-5 | 3.413177E-4 | 10.895176 | 3.1E-4 | 1.1981068E-4 | 1.3425355E-4 | 0.0013640884 | 10.160539 | 0.00123 | 0.0014577188 | 0.0016333311 | 0.008122714 | 4.9730973 | 0.0065 | 0.014481937 | 0.016306808 | 0.030560521 | 1.8740959 | 0.01449 |
7.3 | 2.4519275E-5 | 2.6757913E-5 | 2.4675202E-4 | 9.221647 | 2.2E-4 | 1.0507837E-4 | 1.1467181E-4 | 9.4457663E-4 | 8.237217 | 8.3E-4 | 0.0012785783 | 0.0013952499 | 0.005958874 | 4.2708287 | 0.00457 | 0.012712469 | 0.013949672 | 0.024036966 | 1.7231206 | 0.01023 |
7.4 | 2.3225532E-5 | 2.5241627E-5 | 2.3523632E-4 | 9.319381 | 2.1E-4 | 9.95342E-5 | 1.08174E-4 | 9.080875E-4 | 8.394692 | 8.0E-4 | 0.0012111551 | 0.0013162371 | 0.0055806166 | 4.239826 | 0.00427 | 0.012045753 | 0.013167028 | 0.022305101 | 1.6940118 | 0.00926 |
7.5 | 2.097765E-5 | 2.2523805E-5 | 1.9251998E-4 | 8.5473995 | 1.7E-4 | 8.9901114E-5 | 9.652709E-5 | 7.164673E-4 | 7.422447 | 6.2E-4 | 0.0010939965 | 0.0011745956 | 0.0045805904 | 3.8997169 | 0.00341 | 0.010886264 | 0.011760437 | 0.019043762 | 1.6193074 | 0.00737 |
7.6 | 1.511254E-5 | 1.602861E-5 | 1.1602701E-4 | 7.238744 | 1.0E-4 | 6.476642E-5 | 6.869228E-5 | 4.2866755E-4 | 6.240403 | 3.6E-4 | 7.882459E-4 | 8.360155E-4 | 0.0027544103 | 3.2946882 | 0.00192 | 0.007854558 | 0.008402562 | 0.012597019 | 1.499188 | 0.00423 |
7.7 | 9.934069E-6 | 1.0713421E-5 | 6.0712886E-5 | 5.666993 | 5.0E-5 | 4.2573887E-5 | 4.5913857E-5 | 1.9590696E-4 | 4.2668376 | 1.5E-4 | 5.182138E-4 | 5.588582E-4 | 0.0012484726 | 2.2339702 | 6.9E-4 | 0.00517007 | 0.0056455643 | 0.006938225 | 1.2289692 | 0.0013 |
7.8 | 6.7562896E-6 | 8.457093E-6 | 3.8456838E-5 | 4.5472884 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8955206E-5 | 3.6244182E-5 | 1.1624128E-4 | 3.2071707 | 8.0E-5 | 3.5247262E-4 | 4.411837E-4 | 8.909852E-4 | 2.0195332 | 4.5E-4 | 0.0035191406 | 0.0044615343 | 0.0053774295 | 1.2052871 | 9.2E-4 |
7.9 | 3.975453E-6 | 5.3884355E-6 | 5.3884355E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7037546E-5 | 2.3093091E-5 | 6.3092164E-5 | 2.7320797 | 4.0E-5 | 2.0741238E-4 | 2.811222E-4 | 5.410491E-4 | 1.9246047 | 2.6E-4 | 0.002072189 | 0.0028425953 | 0.0034010033 | 1.1964431 | 5.6E-4 |
8.0 | 1.6729537E-6 | 2.083276E-6 | 2.083276E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.169782E-6 | 8.928296E-6 | 1.8928207E-5 | 2.1200247 | 1.0E-5 | 8.7288594E-5 | 1.08696615E-4 | 1.78689E-4 | 1.6439244 | 7.0E-5 | 8.7254314E-4 | 0.0010998601 | 0.0012696731 | 1.1543951 | 1.7E-4 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 3.157017E-7 | 3.157017E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5742813E-6 | 1.3530067E-6 | 1.3530067E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.6472748E-5 | 1.6472748E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.668635E-4 | 1.7686182E-4 | 1.0599192 | 1.0E-5 |
Tank Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.8284557E-5 | 5.7978174E-5 | 5.2795094E-4 | 9.106029 | 4.7E-4 | 2.0691741E-4 | 2.4845806E-4 | 0.0027178444 | 10.938847 | 0.00247 | 0.0025163088 | 0.0030214416 | 0.017009052 | 5.6294484 | 0.01403 | 0.02488006 | 0.029870873 | 0.06169111 | 2.0652597 | 0.0328 |
6.1 | 1.7796336E-5 | 2.087741E-5 | 1.8087406E-4 | 8.663626 | 1.6E-4 | 7.626778E-5 | 8.947175E-5 | 8.2940556E-4 | 9.270027 | 7.4E-4 | 9.281647E-4 | 0.0010888122 | 0.0062032375 | 5.697252 | 0.00512 | 0.009242975 | 0.010839073 | 0.022837596 | 2.1069694 | 0.01213 |
6.2 | 1.7796336E-5 | 2.087741E-5 | 1.8087406E-4 | 8.663626 | 1.6E-4 | 7.626778E-5 | 8.947175E-5 | 8.2940556E-4 | 9.270027 | 7.4E-4 | 9.281647E-4 | 0.0010888122 | 0.0062032375 | 5.697252 | 0.00512 | 0.009242975 | 0.010839073 | 0.022837596 | 2.1069694 | 0.01213 |
6.3 | 1.3515912E-5 | 1.5762493E-5 | 1.4576044E-4 | 9.247297 | 1.3E-4 | 5.792405E-5 | 6.755192E-5 | 6.6751137E-4 | 9.881457 | 6.0E-4 | 7.049971E-4 | 8.221579E-4 | 0.004469157 | 5.4358864 | 0.00365 | 0.007027647 | 0.008193979 | 0.016842527 | 2.055476 | 0.00872 |
6.4 | 1.0870146E-5 | 1.2620249E-5 | 9.261924E-5 | 7.3389387 | 8.0E-5 | 4.658551E-5 | 5.408576E-5 | 4.6406357E-4 | 8.580143 | 4.1E-4 | 5.67031E-4 | 6.583129E-4 | 0.0034664632 | 5.2656765 | 0.00281 | 0.005655863 | 0.0065658423 | 0.013291392 | 2.024324 | 0.00677 |
6.5 | 7.964826E-6 | 9.197599E-6 | 5.919714E-5 | 6.4361515 | 5.0E-5 | 3.4134522E-5 | 3.9417744E-5 | 2.994075E-4 | 7.5957546 | 2.6E-4 | 4.1550855E-4 | 4.798159E-4 | 0.002169005 | 4.520494 | 0.00169 | 0.0041473247 | 0.0047893026 | 0.009018948 | 1.8831444 | 0.00425 |
6.6 | 6.6317E-6 | 7.6134565E-6 | 4.7613154E-5 | 6.253815 | 4.0E-5 | 2.8421264E-5 | 3.262874E-5 | 2.4262189E-4 | 7.435834 | 2.1E-4 | 3.4597394E-4 | 3.971916E-4 | 0.0016366991 | 4.1206794 | 0.00124 | 0.0034543579 | 0.0039661704 | 0.0071733994 | 1.8086462 | 0.00322 |
6.7 | 4.793663E-6 | 5.4314783E-6 | 4.543126E-5 | 8.364437 | 4.0E-5 | 2.0544108E-5 | 2.3277582E-5 | 1.3327503E-4 | 5.7254667 | 1.1E-4 | 2.500958E-4 | 2.833721E-4 | 8.6320774E-4 | 3.0461988 | 5.8E-4 | 0.0024981452 | 0.0028310004 | 0.0045561027 | 1.6093614 | 0.00173 |
6.8 | 4.382823E-6 | 4.969847E-6 | 4.496965E-5 | 9.048497 | 4.0E-5 | 1.8783392E-5 | 2.1299194E-5 | 1.2129707E-4 | 5.694913 | 1.0E-4 | 2.286638E-4 | 2.5929112E-4 | 7.891537E-4 | 3.0435045 | 5.3E-4 | 0.0022842865 | 0.0025907552 | 0.0041666618 | 1.6082808 | 0.00158 |
6.9 | 2.729601E-6 | 3.0738122E-6 | 2.3073751E-5 | 7.5065584 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1698237E-5 | 1.31734205E-5 | 7.317263E-5 | 5.5545654 | 6.0E-5 | 1.4241673E-4 | 1.6037581E-4 | 4.3033253E-4 | 2.6832755 | 2.7E-4 | 0.001423255 | 0.0016028491 | 0.002361631 | 1.4733957 | 7.6E-4 |
7.0 | 1.8987357E-6 | 2.1270966E-6 | 1.2127075E-5 | 5.701234 | 1.0E-5 | 8.137413E-6 | 9.116101E-6 | 3.911583E-5 | 4.2908506 | 3.0E-5 | 9.90685E-5 | 1.1098357E-4 | 2.1097247E-4 | 1.9009342 | 1.0E-4 | 9.902435E-4 | 0.0011093501 | 0.001448973 | 1.3061458 | 3.4E-4 |
7.1 | 1.4928986E-6 | 1.6642413E-6 | 1.1664225E-5 | 7.0087337 | 1.0E-5 | 6.398121E-6 | 7.1324466E-6 | 1.7132375E-5 | 2.4020333 | 1.0E-5 | 7.789434E-5 | 8.683467E-5 | 1.2683119E-4 | 1.4606055 | 4.0E-5 | 7.786704E-4 | 8.680652E-4 | 0.001047909 | 1.2071776 | 1.8E-4 |
7.2 | 1.069082E-6 | 1.1829336E-6 | 1.1829336E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.581772E-6 | 5.0697085E-6 | 5.0697085E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5781646E-5 | 6.172249E-5 | 8.172125E-5 | 1.324011 | 2.0E-5 | 5.576765E-4 | 6.171057E-4 | 7.2703784E-4 | 1.1781415 | 1.1E-4 |
7.3 | 8.776551E-7 | 9.770572E-7 | 9.770572E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7613736E-6 | 4.1873845E-6 | 4.1873845E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.579376E-5 | 5.0980732E-5 | 7.097971E-5 | 1.3922851 | 2.0E-5 | 4.5784327E-4 | 5.0974137E-4 | 5.9969554E-4 | 1.1764702 | 9.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.55721E-7 | 8.510745E-7 | 8.510745E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2388E-6 | 3.64746E-6 | 3.64746E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9431678E-5 | 4.440744E-5 | 5.4406995E-5 | 1.2251775 | 1.0E-5 | 3.942468E-4 | 4.440365E-4 | 5.140054E-4 | 1.1575747 | 7.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.587665E-7 | 6.305968E-7 | 6.305968E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3947114E-6 | 2.7025578E-6 | 2.7025578E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.915522E-5 | 3.290364E-5 | 4.2903313E-5 | 1.3039078 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9151395E-4 | 3.290364E-4 | 3.7901997E-4 | 1.1519089 | 5.0E-5 |
Little Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.8424427E-5 | 3.1209667E-5 | 5.811925E-4 | 18.622194 | 5.5E-4 | 1.2181328E-4 | 1.337496E-4 | 0.0019735035 | 14.75521 | 0.00184 | 0.0014820677 | 0.0016273183 | 0.011391403 | 7.0001073 | 0.00978 | 0.014722223 | 0.01616743 | 0.036532763 | 2.259652 | 0.0207 |
6.1 | 2.8424427E-5 | 3.1209667E-5 | 5.811925E-4 | 18.622194 | 5.5E-4 | 1.2181328E-4 | 1.337496E-4 | 0.0019735035 | 14.75521 | 0.00184 | 0.0014820677 | 0.0016273183 | 0.011391403 | 7.0001073 | 0.00978 | 0.014722223 | 0.01616743 | 0.036532763 | 2.259652 | 0.0207 |
6.2 | 2.8424427E-5 | 3.1209667E-5 | 5.811925E-4 | 18.622194 | 5.5E-4 | 1.2181328E-4 | 1.337496E-4 | 0.0019735035 | 14.75521 | 0.00184 | 0.0014820677 | 0.0016273183 | 0.011391403 | 7.0001073 | 0.00978 | 0.014722223 | 0.01616743 | 0.036532763 | 2.259652 | 0.0207 |
6.3 | 1.48860645E-5 | 1.6083219E-5 | 4.260766E-4 | 26.491999 | 4.1E-4 | 6.379586E-5 | 6.892642E-5 | 0.0013088409 | 18.988958 | 0.00124 | 7.7643775E-4 | 8.3888427E-4 | 0.0073334314 | 8.741887 | 0.0065 | 0.007737305 | 0.008359996 | 0.021915715 | 2.6214983 | 0.01367 |
6.4 | 1.48860645E-5 | 1.6083219E-5 | 4.260766E-4 | 26.491999 | 4.1E-4 | 6.379586E-5 | 6.892642E-5 | 0.0013088409 | 18.988958 | 0.00124 | 7.7643775E-4 | 8.3888427E-4 | 0.0073334314 | 8.741887 | 0.0065 | 0.007737305 | 0.008359996 | 0.021915715 | 2.6214983 | 0.01367 |
6.5 | 1.2797581E-5 | 1.3767094E-5 | 3.537624E-4 | 25.69623 | 3.4E-4 | 5.4845623E-5 | 5.9000642E-5 | 0.0011489363 | 19.473286 | 0.00109 | 6.675408E-4 | 7.1812177E-4 | 0.006493971 | 9.0429945 | 0.00578 | 0.006655392 | 0.007160563 | 0.019342702 | 2.7012825 | 0.01227 |
6.6 | 9.661896E-6 | 1.0290116E-5 | 3.0028712E-4 | 29.182095 | 2.9E-4 | 4.1407468E-5 | 4.409984E-5 | 9.840584E-4 | 22.31433 | 9.4E-4 | 5.040193E-4 | 5.3679955E-4 | 0.0055241208 | 10.290845 | 0.00499 | 0.005028777 | 0.005356634 | 0.015621354 | 2.9162629 | 0.01032 |
6.7 | 7.767871E-6 | 8.200507E-6 | 2.6819838E-4 | 32.705097 | 2.6E-4 | 3.329045E-5 | 3.5144632E-5 | 8.4511616E-4 | 24.046804 | 8.1E-4 | 4.0523586E-4 | 4.2781563E-4 | 0.0048059416 | 11.233675 | 0.00438 | 0.004044977 | 0.0042712726 | 0.013362275 | 3.1284063 | 0.00913 |
6.8 | 6.4235196E-6 | 6.7364085E-6 | 2.0673506E-4 | 30.68921 | 2.0E-4 | 2.752908E-5 | 2.8870076E-5 | 6.0885336E-4 | 21.089426 | 5.8E-4 | 3.35115E-4 | 3.514493E-4 | 0.003780244 | 10.756157 | 0.00343 | 0.003346101 | 0.0035101958 | 0.0106948875 | 3.0468066 | 0.00721 |
6.9 | 3.1283696E-6 | 3.1124116E-6 | 1.2311204E-4 | 39.55519 | 1.2E-4 | 1.3407229E-5 | 1.3338848E-5 | 3.7333404E-4 | 27.988478 | 3.6E-4 | 1.6322079E-4 | 1.6238987E-4 | 0.0022720473 | 13.991311 | 0.00211 | 0.0016310095 | 0.0016228604 | 0.006055655 | 3.7314699 | 0.00444 |
7.0 | 2.290603E-6 | 2.2288552E-6 | 7.22287E-5 | 32.40619 | 7.0E-5 | 9.816834E-6 | 9.552207E-6 | 2.4954992E-4 | 26.124842 | 2.4E-4 | 1.19513395E-4 | 1.1629296E-4 | 0.0015561255 | 13.381081 | 0.00144 | 0.0011944914 | 0.0011624232 | 0.0039691566 | 3.4145539 | 0.00281 |
7.1 | 1.293693E-6 | 1.1777882E-6 | 4.117774E-5 | 34.96192 | 4.0E-5 | 5.5443866E-6 | 5.0476583E-6 | 1.2504705E-4 | 24.77328 | 1.2E-4 | 6.750081E-5 | 6.145421E-5 | 7.514118E-4 | 12.227183 | 6.9E-4 | 6.7480316E-4 | 6.144406E-4 | 0.001963611 | 3.1957705 | 0.00135 |
7.2 | 4.715842E-7 | 3.0922553E-7 | 3.0922553E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0210737E-6 | 1.3252517E-6 | 1.3252517E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4606294E-5 | 1.6134825E-5 | 7.613386E-5 | 4.7186046 | 6.0E-5 | 2.460357E-4 | 1.6133708E-4 | 2.4132417E-4 | 1.4957763 | 8.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.9430947E-7 | 2.3101752E-7 | 2.3101752E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6898966E-6 | 9.900748E-7 | 9.900748E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0574296E-5 | 1.2054094E-5 | 4.2053733E-5 | 3.488751 | 3.0E-5 | 2.0572392E-4 | 1.2053448E-4 | 1.7052845E-4 | 1.414769 | 5.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.547123E-7 | 1.9683047E-7 | 1.9683047E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5201948E-6 | 8.435589E-7 | 8.435589E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8508214E-5 | 1.0270282E-5 | 4.0269973E-5 | 3.9210193 | 3.0E-5 | 1.8506673E-4 | 1.0269813E-4 | 1.52693E-4 | 1.4868138 | 5.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.6354266E-7 | 1.4425851E-7 | 1.4425851E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.129468E-6 | 6.182506E-7 | 6.182506E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3751187E-5 | 7.5271755E-6 | 3.752695E-5 | 4.9855285 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3750336E-4 | 7.526926E-5 | 1.1526625E-4 | 1.5313854 | 4.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.269913E-7 | 7.573688E-8 | 7.573688E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4424834E-7 | 3.2458658E-7 | 3.2458658E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6262032E-6 | 3.951835E-6 | 3.3951717E-5 | 8.59138 | 3.0E-5 | 6.626006E-5 | 3.9517683E-5 | 6.951649E-5 | 1.7591238 | 3.0E-5 |
Airport Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.31040615E-5 | 4.4309843E-4 | 33.813824 | 4.3E-4 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.6159213E-5 | 0.0016560693 | 29.488827 | 0.0016 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.8355235E-4 | 0.0087080635 | 12.739425 | 0.00803 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0068173087 | 0.02346305 | 3.441688 | 0.01676 |
6.1 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.31040615E-5 | 4.4309843E-4 | 33.813824 | 4.3E-4 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.6159213E-5 | 0.0016560693 | 29.488827 | 0.0016 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.8355235E-4 | 0.0087080635 | 12.739425 | 0.00803 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0068173087 | 0.02346305 | 3.441688 | 0.01676 |
6.2 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.31040615E-5 | 4.4309843E-4 | 33.813824 | 4.3E-4 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.6159213E-5 | 0.0016560693 | 29.488827 | 0.0016 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.8355235E-4 | 0.0087080635 | 12.739425 | 0.00803 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0068173087 | 0.02346305 | 3.441688 | 0.01676 |
6.3 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.31040615E-5 | 4.4309843E-4 | 33.813824 | 4.3E-4 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.6159213E-5 | 0.0016560693 | 29.488827 | 0.0016 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.8355235E-4 | 0.0087080635 | 12.739425 | 0.00803 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0068173087 | 0.02346305 | 3.441688 | 0.01676 |
6.4 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.31040615E-5 | 4.4309843E-4 | 33.813824 | 4.3E-4 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.6159213E-5 | 0.0016560693 | 29.488827 | 0.0016 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.8355235E-4 | 0.0087080635 | 12.739425 | 0.00803 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0068173087 | 0.02346305 | 3.441688 | 0.01676 |
6.5 | 6.9922594E-6 | 7.3854203E-6 | 2.8738336E-4 | 38.912254 | 2.8E-4 | 2.996648E-5 | 3.165145E-5 | 0.0011016176 | 34.80465 | 0.00107 | 3.6478083E-4 | 3.8529368E-4 | 0.006323005 | 16.410872 | 0.00594 | 0.003641826 | 0.0038467941 | 0.016059631 | 4.1748095 | 0.01226 |
6.6 | 6.9922594E-6 | 7.3854203E-6 | 2.8738336E-4 | 38.912254 | 2.8E-4 | 2.996648E-5 | 3.165145E-5 | 0.0011016176 | 34.80465 | 0.00107 | 3.6478083E-4 | 3.8529368E-4 | 0.006323005 | 16.410872 | 0.00594 | 0.003641826 | 0.0038467941 | 0.016059631 | 4.1748095 | 0.01226 |
6.7 | 5.477277E-6 | 5.786458E-6 | 2.55785E-4 | 44.204075 | 2.5E-4 | 2.3473833E-5 | 2.4798892E-5 | 9.4477605E-4 | 38.09751 | 9.2E-4 | 2.8575645E-4 | 3.0188856E-4 | 0.0053303703 | 17.656748 | 0.00503 | 0.0028538927 | 0.0030151685 | 0.013493479 | 4.4751987 | 0.01051 |
6.8 | 3.9950432E-6 | 4.2193697E-6 | 1.9421856E-4 | 46.030235 | 1.9E-4 | 1.7121502E-5 | 1.8082903E-5 | 6.580713E-4 | 36.391907 | 6.4E-4 | 2.0843433E-4 | 2.2013985E-4 | 0.0040692925 | 18.485033 | 0.00385 | 0.0020823893 | 0.002199489 | 0.010161937 | 4.620136 | 0.00798 |
6.9 | 2.95695E-6 | 3.1232337E-6 | 1.3312283E-4 | 42.623398 | 1.3E-4 | 1.2672582E-5 | 1.3385232E-5 | 4.8337894E-4 | 36.112858 | 4.7E-4 | 1.5427776E-4 | 1.6295527E-4 | 0.0029425023 | 18.057116 | 0.00278 | 0.001541707 | 0.0016285803 | 0.00729933 | 4.4820204 | 0.00568 |
7.0 | 1.456072E-6 | 1.540919E-6 | 7.154081E-5 | 46.427364 | 7.0E-5 | 6.2402937E-6 | 6.603928E-6 | 2.2660247E-4 | 34.31329 | 2.2E-4 | 7.597293E-5 | 8.040086E-5 | 0.001410294 | 17.540781 | 0.00133 | 7.594696E-4 | 8.0381666E-4 | 0.0033817429 | 4.207107 | 0.00258 |
7.1 | 6.995192E-7 | 7.4094976E-7 | 4.074092E-5 | 54.984726 | 4.0E-5 | 2.997936E-6 | 3.175499E-6 | 1.1317515E-4 | 35.640114 | 1.1E-4 | 3.649926E-5 | 3.86617E-5 | 6.386385E-4 | 16.518635 | 6.0E-4 | 3.6493264E-4 | 3.86617E-4 | 0.0016161414 | 4.180213 | 0.00123 |
Owl Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.0320643E-5 | 6.638703E-5 | 2.8637244E-4 | 4.31368 | 2.2E-4 | 2.1564208E-4 | 2.8449096E-4 | 0.001194232 | 4.197786 | 9.1E-4 | 0.0026222812 | 0.003459034 | 0.008890183 | 2.5701344 | 0.00545 | 0.02591553 | 0.034155257 | 0.047010653 | 1.376381 | 0.01331 |
6.1 | 5.0320643E-5 | 6.638703E-5 | 2.8637244E-4 | 4.31368 | 2.2E-4 | 2.1564208E-4 | 2.8449096E-4 | 0.001194232 | 4.197786 | 9.1E-4 | 0.0026222812 | 0.003459034 | 0.008890183 | 2.5701344 | 0.00545 | 0.02591553 | 0.034155257 | 0.047010653 | 1.376381 | 0.01331 |
6.2 | 2.4125871E-5 | 3.0995336E-5 | 2.3098914E-4 | 7.4523835 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0339249E-4 | 1.3283142E-4 | 9.027291E-4 | 6.7960515 | 7.7E-4 | 0.0012580766 | 0.0016161976 | 0.0057495064 | 3.557428 | 0.00414 | 0.012509781 | 0.016077965 | 0.025671205 | 1.59667 | 0.00975 |
6.3 | 1.7433485E-5 | 2.2367367E-5 | 1.9236357E-4 | 8.600188 | 1.7E-4 | 7.471279E-5 | 9.585752E-5 | 7.857914E-4 | 8.197494 | 6.9E-4 | 9.0924866E-4 | 0.0011665837 | 0.004832302 | 4.1422677 | 0.00367 | 0.009055373 | 0.011634907 | 0.019976707 | 1.7169633 | 0.00844 |
6.4 | 1.7433485E-5 | 2.2367367E-5 | 1.9236357E-4 | 8.600188 | 1.7E-4 | 7.471279E-5 | 9.585752E-5 | 7.857914E-4 | 8.197494 | 6.9E-4 | 9.0924866E-4 | 0.0011665837 | 0.004832302 | 4.1422677 | 0.00367 | 0.009055373 | 0.011634907 | 0.019976707 | 1.7169633 | 0.00844 |
6.5 | 1.5182742E-5 | 1.9440131E-5 | 1.8943683E-4 | 9.744627 | 1.7E-4 | 6.506727E-5 | 8.331304E-5 | 7.7325554E-4 | 9.281327 | 6.9E-4 | 7.919061E-4 | 0.0010140045 | 0.004560405 | 4.497421 | 0.00355 | 0.0078909 | 0.010123927 | 0.018151822 | 1.7929626 | 0.00811 |
6.6 | 6.7271576E-6 | 8.554847E-6 | 1.785534E-4 | 20.871605 | 1.7E-4 | 2.8830356E-5 | 3.6663147E-5 | 5.966426E-4 | 16.273632 | 5.6E-4 | 3.5095305E-4 | 4.4628806E-4 | 0.0030851099 | 6.912822 | 0.00264 | 0.0035039932 | 0.004471414 | 0.010613825 | 2.3737068 | 0.00617 |
6.7 | 6.682835E-6 | 8.487278E-6 | 1.7848583E-4 | 21.029808 | 1.7E-4 | 2.8640408E-5 | 3.6373574E-5 | 5.963532E-4 | 16.395233 | 5.6E-4 | 3.4864116E-4 | 4.4276394E-4 | 0.003081595 | 6.959905 | 0.00264 | 0.003480947 | 0.0044363393 | 0.010578967 | 2.3846164 | 0.00617 |
6.8 | 6.5774975E-6 | 8.333711E-6 | 1.783323E-4 | 21.398907 | 1.7E-4 | 2.8188972E-5 | 3.5715446E-5 | 5.9569546E-4 | 16.67893 | 5.6E-4 | 3.4314668E-4 | 4.3475445E-4 | 0.003063611 | 7.046762 | 0.00263 | 0.0034261728 | 0.004356497 | 0.0104797045 | 2.4055347 | 0.00615 |
6.9 | 6.363419E-6 | 8.006782E-6 | 1.7800542E-4 | 22.23183 | 1.7E-4 | 2.727151E-5 | 3.431436E-5 | 5.842955E-4 | 17.027725 | 5.5E-4 | 3.3198006E-4 | 4.1770283E-4 | 0.0030266126 | 7.245851 | 0.00261 | 0.0033148455 | 0.004186444 | 0.010270865 | 2.4533627 | 0.00611 |
7.0 | 6.1342453E-6 | 7.638853E-6 | 1.7763756E-4 | 23.25448 | 1.7E-4 | 2.6289357E-5 | 3.273756E-5 | 5.827196E-4 | 17.799725 | 5.5E-4 | 3.2002592E-4 | 3.9851243E-4 | 0.0029974764 | 7.521663 | 0.0026 | 0.0031956544 | 0.003995065 | 0.010040815 | 2.5133045 | 0.00607 |
7.1 | 5.842926E-6 | 7.149224E-6 | 1.6714809E-4 | 23.37989 | 1.6E-4 | 2.504087E-5 | 3.0639203E-5 | 5.706227E-4 | 18.62394 | 5.4E-4 | 3.0482994E-4 | 3.7297388E-4 | 0.0028220601 | 7.566375 | 0.00245 | 0.0030441214 | 0.0037403593 | 0.00949874 | 2.539526 | 0.00578 |
7.2 | 4.77173E-6 | 5.364789E-6 | 1.05364255E-4 | 19.639963 | 1.0E-4 | 2.045011E-5 | 2.2991773E-5 | 3.9298326E-4 | 17.092342 | 3.7E-4 | 2.4895166E-4 | 2.7989293E-4 | 0.0019894142 | 7.107769 | 0.00171 | 0.0024867293 | 0.002811724 | 0.0068004774 | 2.4186146 | 0.004 |
7.3 | 3.0494948E-6 | 2.7150375E-6 | 3.2714957E-5 | 12.049541 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3069198E-5 | 1.1635823E-5 | 1.1163466E-4 | 9.5940485 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5910587E-4 | 1.416571E-4 | 5.51599E-4 | 3.893903 | 4.1E-4 | 0.0015899199 | 0.0014253989 | 0.0024539307 | 1.7215748 | 0.00103 |
7.4 | 2.7263884E-6 | 2.3099644E-6 | 2.2309918E-5 | 9.658122 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1684469E-5 | 9.899811E-6 | 9.989892E-5 | 10.090993 | 9.0E-5 | 1.4224913E-4 | 1.2052363E-4 | 4.6048267E-4 | 3.8206835 | 3.4E-4 | 0.0014215811 | 0.0012132581 | 0.0019423724 | 1.6009556 | 7.3E-4 |
7.5 | 2.6090431E-6 | 2.169807E-6 | 2.2169763E-5 | 10.21739 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1181565E-5 | 9.2991395E-6 | 9.9298304E-5 | 10.678225 | 9.0E-5 | 1.3612706E-4 | 1.1321124E-4 | 4.1317727E-4 | 3.6496136 | 3.0E-4 | 0.001360437 | 0.0011400108 | 0.0017892699 | 1.56952 | 6.5E-4 |
7.6 | 2.3008756E-6 | 1.8766946E-6 | 2.1876656E-5 | 11.657015 | 2.0E-5 | 9.860858E-6 | 8.042953E-6 | 6.804247E-5 | 8.4598875 | 6.0E-5 | 1.20049335E-4 | 9.791863E-5 | 3.278961E-4 | 3.348659 | 2.3E-4 | 0.001199845 | 9.86935E-4 | 0.0014564712 | 1.4757519 | 4.7E-4 |
7.7 | 1.7184348E-6 | 1.3455186E-6 | 1.1345505E-5 | 8.432069 | 1.0E-5 | 7.3646997E-6 | 5.766496E-6 | 3.5766323E-5 | 6.202436 | 3.0E-5 | 8.966153E-5 | 7.0204864E-5 | 2.3019363E-4 | 3.2788842 | 1.6E-4 | 8.962536E-4 | 7.0969685E-4 | 9.894981E-4 | 1.3942547 | 2.8E-4 |
7.8 | 8.4612907E-7 | 8.431935E-7 | 1.0843185E-5 | 12.859664 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6262625E-6 | 3.6136817E-6 | 1.3613645E-5 | 3.767251 | 1.0E-5 | 4.4148852E-5 | 4.3995708E-5 | 1.13992624E-4 | 2.5909944 | 7.0E-5 | 4.414008E-4 | 4.453014E-4 | 5.752435E-4 | 1.291807 | 1.3E-4 |
7.9 | 2.716738E-7 | 3.7798344E-7 | 3.7798344E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1643157E-6 | 1.6199281E-6 | 1.6199281E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4175452E-5 | 1.9722456E-5 | 4.9721864E-5 | 2.5210786 | 3.0E-5 | 1.4174548E-4 | 1.9891365E-4 | 2.589017E-4 | 1.3015784 | 6.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.1995428E-8 | 3.3960813E-8 | 3.3960813E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.426611E-8 | 1.4554634E-7 | 1.4554634E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1476893E-6 | 1.7720259E-6 | 1.7720259E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.14768345E-5 | 1.792518E-5 | 2.7925E-5 | 1.5578644 | 1.0E-5 |
Panamint Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.399246E-5 | 2.4398533E-4 | 7.1776304 | 2.1E-4 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.45674E-4 | 9.755531E-4 | 6.6968236 | 8.3E-4 | 0.0015751923 | 0.0017721677 | 0.0061743525 | 3.484068 | 0.00441 | 0.015640736 | 0.017587112 | 0.028187346 | 1.6027274 | 0.01079 |
6.1 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.399246E-5 | 2.4398533E-4 | 7.1776304 | 2.1E-4 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.45674E-4 | 9.755531E-4 | 6.6968236 | 8.3E-4 | 0.0015751923 | 0.0017721677 | 0.0061743525 | 3.484068 | 0.00441 | 0.015640736 | 0.017587112 | 0.028187346 | 1.6027274 | 0.01079 |
6.2 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.399246E-5 | 2.4398533E-4 | 7.1776304 | 2.1E-4 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.45674E-4 | 9.755531E-4 | 6.6968236 | 8.3E-4 | 0.0015751923 | 0.0017721677 | 0.0061743525 | 3.484068 | 0.00441 | 0.015640736 | 0.017587112 | 0.028187346 | 1.6027274 | 0.01079 |
6.3 | 2.8573924E-5 | 3.2110143E-5 | 2.3210372E-4 | 7.2283616 | 2.0E-4 | 1.2245393E-4 | 1.376078E-4 | 9.4749633E-4 | 6.8854847 | 8.1E-4 | 0.001489857 | 0.0016741152 | 0.0059269834 | 3.5403676 | 0.00426 | 0.01479908 | 0.016621407 | 0.026769873 | 1.6105661 | 0.01032 |
6.4 | 2.8573924E-5 | 3.2110143E-5 | 2.3210372E-4 | 7.2283616 | 2.0E-4 | 1.2245393E-4 | 1.376078E-4 | 9.4749633E-4 | 6.8854847 | 8.1E-4 | 0.001489857 | 0.0016741152 | 0.0059269834 | 3.5403676 | 0.00426 | 0.01479908 | 0.016621407 | 0.026769873 | 1.6105661 | 0.01032 |
6.5 | 2.7468774E-5 | 3.083564E-5 | 2.2082978E-4 | 7.1615114 | 1.9E-4 | 1.1771801E-4 | 1.3214619E-4 | 9.120431E-4 | 6.9017735 | 7.8E-4 | 0.0014322745 | 0.0016077199 | 0.0057809995 | 3.5957754 | 0.00418 | 0.014230782 | 0.015967157 | 0.025905889 | 1.6224484 | 0.0101 |
6.6 | 2.6135967E-5 | 2.9259398E-5 | 2.1925384E-4 | 7.49345 | 1.9E-4 | 1.1200648E-4 | 1.2539154E-4 | 8.553E-4 | 6.8210344 | 7.3E-4 | 0.0013628257 | 0.0015255994 | 0.005529482 | 3.624465 | 0.00401 | 0.013544982 | 0.015157488 | 0.024631673 | 1.6250498 | 0.00962 |
6.7 | 2.4498746E-5 | 2.7348175E-5 | 2.1734298E-4 | 7.947257 | 1.9E-4 | 1.04990395E-4 | 1.1720134E-4 | 8.271181E-4 | 7.057241 | 7.1E-4 | 0.0012775084 | 0.0014260174 | 0.0053104702 | 3.7239869 | 0.00389 | 0.012701893 | 0.01417468 | 0.023244273 | 1.6398447 | 0.0092 |
6.8 | 2.2244329E-5 | 2.4941546E-5 | 2.1493681E-4 | 8.617621 | 1.9E-4 | 9.532935E-5 | 1.0688808E-4 | 8.0681324E-4 | 7.548206 | 7.0E-4 | 0.0011600169 | 0.0013006073 | 0.005035743 | 3.8718398 | 0.00374 | 0.011539802 | 0.012935545 | 0.021483524 | 1.6608131 | 0.00866 |
6.9 | 1.9902658E-5 | 2.2295888E-5 | 1.922921E-4 | 8.624555 | 1.7E-4 | 8.529431E-5 | 9.555041E-5 | 7.5548736E-4 | 7.9066887 | 6.6E-4 | 0.0010379635 | 0.0011627239 | 0.0045787473 | 3.937949 | 0.00342 | 0.010331288 | 0.011571264 | 0.019211818 | 1.6603042 | 0.00773 |
7.0 | 1.8353881E-5 | 2.0571602E-5 | 1.8056831E-4 | 8.777552 | 1.6E-4 | 7.865712E-5 | 8.816113E-5 | 7.181056E-4 | 8.145376 | 6.3E-4 | 9.5722964E-4 | 0.0010728509 | 0.0042594285 | 3.970196 | 0.00319 | 0.009531168 | 0.010681301 | 0.01769557 | 1.6566868 | 0.00709 |
7.1 | 1.7667631E-5 | 1.9777877E-5 | 1.7977471E-4 | 9.089686 | 1.6E-4 | 7.571623E-5 | 8.475968E-5 | 6.847088E-4 | 8.078238 | 6.0E-4 | 9.2145515E-4 | 0.0010314782 | 0.0041182907 | 3.992611 | 0.00309 | 0.009176437 | 0.010271435 | 0.01703128 | 1.658121 | 0.00683 |
7.2 | 1.6381597E-5 | 1.8163175E-5 | 1.5816063E-4 | 8.707764 | 1.4E-4 | 7.020495E-5 | 7.7839955E-5 | 6.077987E-4 | 7.808313 | 5.3E-4 | 8.544101E-4 | 9.473067E-4 | 0.003644749 | 3.8474858 | 0.0027 | 0.008511325 | 0.009436953 | 0.015509104 | 1.6434441 | 0.00613 |
7.3 | 1.4520491E-5 | 1.5970196E-5 | 1.4596812E-4 | 9.140034 | 1.3E-4 | 6.222919E-5 | 6.8441994E-5 | 4.984126E-4 | 7.282263 | 4.3E-4 | 7.57377E-4 | 8.3297887E-4 | 0.0030611213 | 3.6749086 | 0.00223 | 0.0075480095 | 0.008301216 | 0.013299378 | 1.6021 | 0.00504 |
7.4 | 1.2852287E-5 | 1.4148717E-5 | 1.3414702E-4 | 9.481215 | 1.2E-4 | 5.5080065E-5 | 6.063604E-5 | 4.7061118E-4 | 7.7612453 | 4.1E-4 | 6.7039346E-4 | 7.380096E-4 | 0.0028664377 | 3.8840115 | 0.00213 | 0.0066837464 | 0.007358041 | 0.012102869 | 1.6448494 | 0.00478 |
7.5 | 1.1637851E-5 | 1.28399E-5 | 1.3283837E-4 | 10.345747 | 1.2E-4 | 4.987555E-5 | 5.502707E-5 | 4.650045E-4 | 8.450468 | 4.1E-4 | 6.070656E-4 | 6.697643E-4 | 0.002778351 | 4.148252 | 0.00211 | 0.006054099 | 0.006679892 | 0.011338564 | 1.6974171 | 0.00469 |
7.6 | 3.0068115E-6 | 3.334232E-6 | 3.333413E-5 | 9.997545 | 3.0E-5 | 1.2886271E-5 | 1.4289528E-5 | 1.5428753E-4 | 10.797245 | 1.4E-4 | 1.5687906E-4 | 1.739684E-4 | 0.0010738118 | 6.1724534 | 9.0E-4 | 0.0015676835 | 0.001739491 | 0.0038458207 | 2.2108886 | 0.00211 |
Garlock (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5092507E-5 | 6.293992E-5 | 1.8293237E-4 | 2.90646 | 1.2E-4 | 1.9323928E-4 | 2.6971713E-4 | 8.895499E-4 | 3.2980845 | 6.2E-4 | 0.0023501497 | 0.0032793079 | 0.007166519 | 2.1853752 | 0.0039 | 0.023254504 | 0.03241337 | 0.041141 | 1.2692603 | 0.00902 |
6.1 | 4.5092507E-5 | 6.293992E-5 | 1.8293237E-4 | 2.90646 | 1.2E-4 | 1.9323928E-4 | 2.6971713E-4 | 8.895499E-4 | 3.2980845 | 6.2E-4 | 0.0023501497 | 0.0032793079 | 0.007166519 | 2.1853752 | 0.0039 | 0.023254504 | 0.03241337 | 0.041141 | 1.2692603 | 0.00902 |
6.2 | 2.6674514E-5 | 3.4535766E-5 | 1.3453231E-4 | 3.895449 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1431433E-4 | 1.480022E-4 | 5.879371E-4 | 3.9724886 | 4.4E-4 | 0.0013908884 | 0.0018004706 | 0.0045854473 | 2.546805 | 0.00279 | 0.01382215 | 0.017902035 | 0.024138357 | 1.3483583 | 0.00635 |
6.3 | 2.6674514E-5 | 3.4535766E-5 | 1.3453231E-4 | 3.895449 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1431433E-4 | 1.480022E-4 | 5.879371E-4 | 3.9724886 | 4.4E-4 | 0.0013908884 | 0.0018004706 | 0.0045854473 | 2.546805 | 0.00279 | 0.01382215 | 0.017902035 | 0.024138357 | 1.3483583 | 0.00635 |
6.4 | 2.5312667E-5 | 3.236454E-5 | 1.323613E-4 | 4.0897017 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0847834E-4 | 1.3869796E-4 | 5.7863694E-4 | 4.1719213 | 4.4E-4 | 0.0013199237 | 0.0016873691 | 0.004432729 | 2.627006 | 0.00275 | 0.013121112 | 0.016773254 | 0.022879092 | 1.3640223 | 0.00621 |
6.5 | 2.5312667E-5 | 3.236454E-5 | 1.323613E-4 | 4.0897017 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0847834E-4 | 1.3869796E-4 | 5.7863694E-4 | 4.1719213 | 4.4E-4 | 0.0013199237 | 0.0016873691 | 0.004432729 | 2.627006 | 0.00275 | 0.013121112 | 0.016773254 | 0.022879092 | 1.3640223 | 0.00621 |
6.6 | 2.246556E-5 | 2.815802E-5 | 1.2815521E-4 | 4.551286 | 1.0E-4 | 9.627742E-5 | 1.2067177E-4 | 5.506199E-4 | 4.562955 | 4.3E-4 | 0.0011715472 | 0.0014682123 | 0.0041442774 | 2.822669 | 0.00268 | 0.011653901 | 0.014625833 | 0.020439541 | 1.3974959 | 0.0059 |
6.7 | 2.2241198E-5 | 2.7827671E-5 | 1.2782488E-4 | 4.5934453 | 1.0E-4 | 9.531594E-5 | 1.1925613E-4 | 5.39206E-4 | 4.5214114 | 4.2E-4 | 0.0011598538 | 0.0014509999 | 0.004097155 | 2.8236768 | 0.00265 | 0.011538187 | 0.0144568905 | 0.020242028 | 1.4001647 | 0.00587 |
6.8 | 1.9528685E-5 | 2.3920438E-5 | 1.0391852E-4 | 4.3443403 | 8.0E-5 | 8.369167E-5 | 1.0251225E-4 | 5.0247123E-4 | 4.9015727 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0010184698 | 0.0012473917 | 0.0037842232 | 3.033709 | 0.00254 | 0.010138147 | 0.012447694 | 0.017948361 | 1.4419024 | 0.00557 |
6.9 | 1.3318621E-5 | 1.5218158E-5 | 9.521694E-5 | 6.256798 | 8.0E-5 | 5.7078556E-5 | 6.521908E-5 | 4.1519626E-4 | 6.3661776 | 3.5E-4 | 6.9470983E-4 | 7.937587E-4 | 0.0031219092 | 3.9330707 | 0.00233 | 0.0069254204 | 0.0079499995 | 0.012900329 | 1.6226829 | 0.00499 |
7.0 | 1.1760853E-5 | 1.3126355E-5 | 9.31253E-5 | 7.094529 | 8.0E-5 | 5.0402683E-5 | 5.6254623E-5 | 4.0623493E-4 | 7.221361 | 3.5E-4 | 6.134799E-4 | 6.8468985E-4 | 0.0029731218 | 4.34229 | 0.00229 | 0.0061178906 | 0.0068662143 | 0.011643188 | 1.6957216 | 0.00481 |
7.1 | 1.0064758E-5 | 1.0920836E-5 | 7.092018E-5 | 6.4940248 | 6.0E-5 | 4.3133965E-5 | 4.6802765E-5 | 3.5678825E-4 | 7.6232305 | 3.1E-4 | 5.2502943E-4 | 5.696782E-4 | 0.0027184533 | 4.7719107 | 0.00215 | 0.005237907 | 0.0057218927 | 0.010285629 | 1.797592 | 0.00459 |
7.2 | 9.768808E-6 | 1.0516573E-5 | 7.051594E-5 | 6.705221 | 6.0E-5 | 4.186565E-5 | 4.5070265E-5 | 3.4505673E-4 | 7.6559734 | 3.0E-4 | 5.095951E-4 | 5.485958E-4 | 0.0026374492 | 4.8076363 | 0.00209 | 0.0050842804 | 0.005512247 | 0.0099675525 | 1.8082557 | 0.00448 |
7.3 | 9.344516E-6 | 9.96188E-6 | 6.996128E-5 | 7.0228996 | 6.0E-5 | 4.004731E-5 | 4.269309E-5 | 3.326807E-4 | 7.792378 | 2.9E-4 | 4.8746695E-4 | 5.1966787E-4 | 0.0024286753 | 4.6735144 | 0.00191 | 0.0048639905 | 0.005223755 | 0.009381919 | 1.7960107 | 0.00418 |
7.4 | 9.023491E-6 | 9.5077E-6 | 6.950713E-5 | 7.3106146 | 6.0E-5 | 3.867153E-5 | 4.074667E-5 | 3.2073527E-4 | 7.8714476 | 2.8E-4 | 4.7072413E-4 | 4.9598113E-4 | 0.002225123 | 4.4863057 | 0.00173 | 0.004697283 | 0.004987081 | 0.008698479 | 1.7442025 | 0.00373 |
7.5 | 7.081253E-6 | 7.1027616E-6 | 3.710255E-5 | 5.223679 | 3.0E-5 | 3.0347876E-5 | 3.0440056E-5 | 1.404367E-4 | 4.6135497 | 1.1E-4 | 3.6942272E-4 | 3.705454E-4 | 0.0012902045 | 3.4819067 | 9.2E-4 | 0.003688092 | 0.0037317702 | 0.005674493 | 1.5205902 | 0.00195 |
7.6 | 6.116396E-6 | 5.9735607E-6 | 3.5973382E-5 | 6.0221 | 3.0E-5 | 2.6212863E-5 | 2.5600726E-5 | 1.1559842E-4 | 4.515435 | 9.0E-5 | 3.1909486E-4 | 3.1164452E-4 | 8.814669E-4 | 2.828437 | 5.7E-4 | 0.0031863707 | 0.0031428854 | 0.004408894 | 1.4028172 | 0.00127 |
7.7 | 4.797145E-6 | 4.7707013E-6 | 2.4770607E-5 | 5.192236 | 2.0E-5 | 2.055903E-5 | 2.0445703E-5 | 7.044468E-5 | 3.4454517 | 5.0E-5 | 2.5027743E-4 | 2.4889814E-4 | 5.5882096E-4 | 2.2451794 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0024999576 | 0.0025161535 | 0.003164518 | 1.2576808 | 6.5E-4 |
7.8 | 3.4028885E-6 | 3.9905126E-6 | 3.9905126E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4583726E-5 | 1.7102086E-5 | 1.7102086E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.775424E-4 | 2.0819806E-4 | 3.8816058E-4 | 1.8643813 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0017740062 | 0.0021074067 | 0.0025464795 | 1.2083474 | 4.4E-4 |
7.9 | 2.5928412E-6 | 3.3826957E-6 | 3.3826957E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1112129E-5 | 1.4497187E-5 | 1.4497187E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3528178E-4 | 1.7648902E-4 | 2.9646783E-4 | 1.679809 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0013519945 | 0.001786475 | 0.0021059033 | 1.1788037 | 3.2E-4 |
8.0 | 1.3743648E-6 | 1.678114E-6 | 1.678114E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8901214E-6 | 7.1918976E-6 | 7.1918976E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1709874E-5 | 8.755786E-5 | 1.3755349E-4 | 1.5710009 | 5.0E-5 | 7.1686733E-4 | 8.860564E-4 | 0.00100595 | 1.1353116 | 1.2E-4 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 3.157017E-7 | 3.157017E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5742813E-6 | 1.3530067E-6 | 1.3530067E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.6472748E-5 | 1.6472748E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.668635E-4 | 1.7686182E-4 | 1.0599192 | 1.0E-5 |
Ash Hill
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.3196568E-5 | 9.319494E-5 | 4.0176177 | 7.0E-5 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.941052E-5 | 5.2936777E-4 | 5.325068 | 4.3E-4 | 0.0011236023 | 0.0012097311 | 0.003476985 | 2.87418 | 0.00227 | 0.011179381 | 0.0120394435 | 0.01713732 | 1.4234313 | 0.00516 |
6.1 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.3196568E-5 | 9.319494E-5 | 4.0176177 | 7.0E-5 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.941052E-5 | 5.2936777E-4 | 5.325068 | 4.3E-4 | 0.0011236023 | 0.0012097311 | 0.003476985 | 2.87418 | 0.00227 | 0.011179381 | 0.0120394435 | 0.01713732 | 1.4234313 | 0.00516 |
6.2 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.3196568E-5 | 9.319494E-5 | 4.0176177 | 7.0E-5 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.941052E-5 | 5.2936777E-4 | 5.325068 | 4.3E-4 | 0.0011236023 | 0.0012097311 | 0.003476985 | 2.87418 | 0.00227 | 0.011179381 | 0.0120394435 | 0.01713732 | 1.4234313 | 0.00516 |
6.3 | 1.0025529E-5 | 1.0747857E-5 | 4.0747535E-5 | 3.791224 | 3.0E-5 | 4.2965847E-5 | 4.606151E-5 | 1.6605598E-4 | 3.605092 | 1.2E-4 | 5.229836E-4 | 5.606678E-4 | 0.0014701575 | 2.6221545 | 9.1E-4 | 0.005217545 | 0.0055938456 | 0.0077019865 | 1.3768679 | 0.00212 |
6.4 | 1.0025529E-5 | 1.0747857E-5 | 4.0747535E-5 | 3.791224 | 3.0E-5 | 4.2965847E-5 | 4.606151E-5 | 1.6605598E-4 | 3.605092 | 1.2E-4 | 5.229836E-4 | 5.606678E-4 | 0.0014701575 | 2.6221545 | 9.1E-4 | 0.005217545 | 0.0055938456 | 0.0077019865 | 1.3768679 | 0.00212 |
6.5 | 6.9617327E-6 | 7.4572667E-6 | 1.7457192E-5 | 2.3409638 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9835655E-5 | 3.195937E-5 | 1.01957135E-4 | 3.1902108 | 7.0E-5 | 3.6318856E-4 | 3.8904455E-4 | 0.0010387917 | 2.6701097 | 6.5E-4 | 0.0036259557 | 0.0038844894 | 0.0053487793 | 1.3769581 | 0.00147 |
6.6 | 4.9919777E-6 | 5.3471417E-6 | 5.3471417E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1394015E-5 | 2.2916158E-5 | 6.291524E-5 | 2.7454534 | 4.0E-5 | 2.60441E-4 | 2.789752E-4 | 7.488441E-4 | 2.6842675 | 4.7E-4 | 0.0026013597 | 0.0027869088 | 0.0038140381 | 1.3685551 | 0.00103 |
6.7 | 3.6630722E-6 | 3.924958E-6 | 3.924958E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5698786E-5 | 1.6821174E-5 | 4.6820667E-5 | 2.7834365 | 3.0E-5 | 1.9111596E-4 | 2.0478427E-4 | 5.347167E-4 | 2.611122 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0019095168 | 0.0020465187 | 0.0028249226 | 1.380355 | 7.8E-4 |
6.8 | 2.5599613E-6 | 2.7451617E-6 | 2.7451617E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0971216E-5 | 1.1764954E-5 | 4.17646E-5 | 3.5499163 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3356637E-4 | 1.4323385E-4 | 4.031966E-4 | 2.8149533 | 2.6E-4 | 0.0013348613 | 0.0014319003 | 0.0020010842 | 1.3975024 | 5.7E-4 |
6.9 | 1.7684905E-6 | 1.8970351E-6 | 1.8970351E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.579223E-6 | 8.1301505E-6 | 3.8129907E-5 | 4.6899385 | 3.0E-5 | 9.2273134E-5 | 9.898458E-5 | 3.1896282E-4 | 3.2223485 | 2.2E-4 | 9.223483E-4 | 9.898458E-4 | 0.0014593806 | 1.4743514 | 4.7E-4 |
Hunter Mountain-Saline Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5103672E-5 | 5.458423E-5 | 1.7457768E-4 | 3.198317 | 1.2E-4 | 1.9328714E-4 | 2.3391256E-4 | 6.63812E-4 | 2.8378637 | 4.3E-4 | 0.002350731 | 0.0028443434 | 0.0050979154 | 1.7922995 | 0.00226 | 0.023260195 | 0.028099326 | 0.03306574 | 1.1767449 | 0.00511 |
6.1 | 4.5103672E-5 | 5.458423E-5 | 1.7457768E-4 | 3.198317 | 1.2E-4 | 1.9328714E-4 | 2.3391256E-4 | 6.63812E-4 | 2.8378637 | 4.3E-4 | 0.002350731 | 0.0028443434 | 0.0050979154 | 1.7922995 | 0.00226 | 0.023260195 | 0.028099326 | 0.03306574 | 1.1767449 | 0.00511 |
6.2 | 3.9363465E-5 | 4.7075304E-5 | 1.6706965E-4 | 3.5489872 | 1.2E-4 | 1.6868966E-4 | 2.0173649E-4 | 6.2165176E-4 | 3.0815036 | 4.2E-4 | 0.002051862 | 0.0024535123 | 0.0046780407 | 1.9066712 | 0.00223 | 0.020330196 | 0.024279572 | 0.029226474 | 1.2037475 | 0.00507 |
6.3 | 3.9363465E-5 | 4.7075304E-5 | 1.6706965E-4 | 3.5489872 | 1.2E-4 | 1.6868966E-4 | 2.0173649E-4 | 6.2165176E-4 | 3.0815036 | 4.2E-4 | 0.002051862 | 0.0024535123 | 0.0046780407 | 1.9066712 | 0.00223 | 0.020330196 | 0.024279572 | 0.029226474 | 1.2037475 | 0.00507 |
6.4 | 3.2311684E-5 | 3.7960708E-5 | 1.5795615E-4 | 4.1610436 | 1.2E-4 | 1.384713E-4 | 1.6267893E-4 | 5.826106E-4 | 3.5813527 | 4.2E-4 | 0.0016845843 | 0.0019788856 | 0.0042044725 | 2.124667 | 0.00223 | 0.016718714 | 0.019620957 | 0.024581674 | 1.2528275 | 0.00506 |
6.5 | 3.2311684E-5 | 3.7960708E-5 | 1.5795615E-4 | 4.1610436 | 1.2E-4 | 1.384713E-4 | 1.6267893E-4 | 5.826106E-4 | 3.5813527 | 4.2E-4 | 0.0016845843 | 0.0019788856 | 0.0042044725 | 2.124667 | 0.00223 | 0.016718714 | 0.019620957 | 0.024581674 | 1.2528275 | 0.00506 |
6.6 | 2.9305844E-5 | 3.41904E-5 | 1.541863E-4 | 4.509637 | 1.2E-4 | 1.2559042E-4 | 1.4652242E-4 | 5.664609E-4 | 3.8660355 | 4.2E-4 | 0.0015279909 | 0.0017825126 | 0.0039985552 | 2.243213 | 0.00222 | 0.015175272 | 0.017689593 | 0.022640437 | 1.2798733 | 0.00504 |
6.7 | 2.7826512E-5 | 3.2352273E-5 | 1.523484E-4 | 4.709048 | 1.2E-4 | 1.19251024E-4 | 1.3864557E-4 | 5.585873E-4 | 4.0288873 | 4.2E-4 | 0.0014509142 | 0.001686763 | 0.0038930352 | 2.3079917 | 0.00221 | 0.014414776 | 0.01674682 | 0.02168275 | 1.2947384 | 0.00502 |
6.8 | 2.3389874E-5 | 2.6873175E-5 | 1.4686995E-4 | 5.4652996 | 1.2E-4 | 1.0023846E-4 | 1.1516593E-4 | 5.351176E-4 | 4.646492 | 4.2E-4 | 0.00121972 | 0.0014012906 | 0.0035882217 | 2.5606549 | 0.00219 | 0.01213047 | 0.013930287 | 0.018811332 | 1.3503909 | 0.00495 |
6.9 | 2.069209E-5 | 2.3575618E-5 | 1.4357279E-4 | 6.0898843 | 1.2E-4 | 8.867737E-5 | 1.0103465E-4 | 5.209922E-4 | 5.1565695 | 4.2E-4 | 0.0010791123 | 0.0012294389 | 0.0034167464 | 2.7791104 | 0.00219 | 0.010738871 | 0.01223093 | 0.01711051 | 1.398954 | 0.00494 |
7.0 | 1.7462342E-5 | 1.9638102E-5 | 1.3963574E-4 | 7.11045 | 1.2E-4 | 7.483646E-5 | 8.416071E-5 | 5.041254E-4 | 5.990032 | 4.2E-4 | 9.1075303E-4 | 0.0010241977 | 0.0031919752 | 3.1165617 | 0.00217 | 0.009070295 | 0.010197932 | 0.015067758 | 1.4775308 | 0.00492 |
7.1 | 1.4807709E-5 | 1.6445534E-5 | 1.3644356E-4 | 8.296694 | 1.2E-4 | 6.3460066E-5 | 7.047905E-5 | 4.8045017E-4 | 6.816921 | 4.1E-4 | 7.723524E-4 | 8.5776113E-4 | 0.003005917 | 3.5043752 | 0.00215 | 0.007696735 | 0.008547015 | 0.013365476 | 1.5637596 | 0.00486 |
7.2 | 1.4180048E-5 | 1.5701959E-5 | 1.3570007E-4 | 8.642239 | 1.2E-4 | 6.077022E-5 | 6.7292465E-5 | 4.7726487E-4 | 7.092397 | 4.1E-4 | 7.396263E-4 | 8.18994E-4 | 0.0029572414 | 3.6108217 | 0.00214 | 0.0073716943 | 0.008162232 | 0.01294289 | 1.5857047 | 0.00482 |
7.3 | 1.3730402E-5 | 1.51755885E-5 | 1.3517377E-4 | 8.907316 | 1.2E-4 | 5.8843252E-5 | 6.503671E-5 | 4.7501005E-4 | 7.3037224 | 4.1E-4 | 7.161811E-4 | 7.915503E-4 | 0.0029298563 | 3.7014153 | 0.00214 | 0.007138774 | 0.007889765 | 0.012661816 | 1.6048405 | 0.00481 |
7.4 | 1.2810095E-5 | 1.4112561E-5 | 1.3411087E-4 | 9.502943 | 1.2E-4 | 5.489925E-5 | 6.0481092E-5 | 4.704563E-4 | 7.778568 | 4.1E-4 | 6.681934E-4 | 7.3612435E-4 | 0.0028545638 | 3.8778281 | 0.00212 | 0.006661878 | 0.0073392782 | 0.01207427 | 1.6451577 | 0.00477 |
7.5 | 1.1595659E-5 | 1.2803744E-5 | 1.328022E-4 | 10.372139 | 1.2E-4 | 4.9694736E-5 | 5.4872122E-5 | 4.648496E-4 | 8.471508 | 4.1E-4 | 6.0486543E-4 | 6.67879E-4 | 0.0027664765 | 4.1421824 | 0.0021 | 0.006032217 | 0.0066611166 | 0.011309942 | 1.697905 | 0.00468 |
7.6 | 2.997694E-6 | 3.3263532E-6 | 3.3326254E-5 | 10.018856 | 3.0E-5 | 1.28471975E-5 | 1.4255762E-5 | 1.5425376E-4 | 10.820451 | 1.4E-4 | 1.564034E-4 | 1.7355736E-4 | 0.0010634029 | 6.1270976 | 8.9E-4 | 0.0015629337 | 0.0017353776 | 0.0038317333 | 2.2080114 | 0.0021 |
Blackwater
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0708583E-5 | 3.3098924E-5 | 1.2309595E-4 | 3.7190316 | 9.0E-5 | 1.3160157E-4 | 1.418456E-4 | 4.618002E-4 | 3.2556543 | 3.2E-4 | 0.0016010714 | 0.0017257388 | 0.0032730638 | 1.8966161 | 0.00155 | 0.015895851 | 0.017137215 | 0.02146181 | 1.2523512 | 0.0044 |
6.1 | 3.0708583E-5 | 3.3098924E-5 | 1.2309595E-4 | 3.7190316 | 9.0E-5 | 1.3160157E-4 | 1.418456E-4 | 4.618002E-4 | 3.2556543 | 3.2E-4 | 0.0016010714 | 0.0017257388 | 0.0032730638 | 1.8966161 | 0.00155 | 0.015895851 | 0.017137215 | 0.02146181 | 1.2523512 | 0.0044 |
6.2 | 1.1707779E-5 | 1.2546194E-5 | 4.2545817E-5 | 3.3911335 | 3.0E-5 | 5.017523E-5 | 5.3768348E-5 | 1.4376351E-4 | 2.6737573 | 9.0E-5 | 6.107122E-4 | 6.5444264E-4 | 0.0013040173 | 1.9925616 | 6.5E-4 | 0.006090366 | 0.006526125 | 0.008145488 | 1.2481353 | 0.00163 |
6.3 | 1.1707779E-5 | 1.2546194E-5 | 4.2545817E-5 | 3.3911335 | 3.0E-5 | 5.017523E-5 | 5.3768348E-5 | 1.4376351E-4 | 2.6737573 | 9.0E-5 | 6.107122E-4 | 6.5444264E-4 | 0.0013040173 | 1.9925616 | 6.5E-4 | 0.006090366 | 0.006526125 | 0.008145488 | 1.2481353 | 0.00163 |
6.4 | 7.929244E-6 | 8.480802E-6 | 2.8480632E-5 | 3.3582478 | 2.0E-5 | 3.3982033E-5 | 3.634581E-5 | 7.634435E-5 | 2.1004996 | 4.0E-5 | 4.136527E-4 | 4.424244E-4 | 8.8222977E-4 | 1.9940802 | 4.4E-4 | 0.0041288356 | 0.0044158413 | 0.005501028 | 1.2457485 | 0.00109 |
6.5 | 5.8832115E-6 | 6.2865047E-6 | 2.628638E-5 | 4.181398 | 2.0E-5 | 2.521352E-5 | 2.69419E-5 | 4.694136E-5 | 1.7423182 | 2.0E-5 | 3.0693135E-4 | 3.279708E-4 | 6.378691E-4 | 1.9448961 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0030650778 | 0.003275121 | 0.004102403 | 1.2525958 | 8.3E-4 |
6.6 | 5.8832115E-6 | 6.2865047E-6 | 2.628638E-5 | 4.181398 | 2.0E-5 | 2.521352E-5 | 2.69419E-5 | 4.694136E-5 | 1.7423182 | 2.0E-5 | 3.0693135E-4 | 3.279708E-4 | 6.378691E-4 | 1.9448961 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0030650778 | 0.003275121 | 0.004102403 | 1.2525958 | 8.3E-4 |
6.7 | 3.0715053E-6 | 3.281734E-6 | 3.281734E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3163528E-5 | 1.4064505E-5 | 1.4064505E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6025416E-4 | 1.7122306E-4 | 2.812042E-4 | 1.6423268 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0016013865 | 0.001711026 | 0.00207041 | 1.2100401 | 3.6E-4 |
6.8 | 2.2722281E-6 | 2.4289534E-6 | 2.4289534E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.738084E-6 | 1.04097635E-5 | 1.04097635E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1855473E-4 | 1.2673243E-4 | 2.0672228E-4 | 1.6311712 | 8.0E-5 | 0.001184915 | 0.0012666917 | 0.0015063877 | 1.18923 | 2.4E-4 |
6.9 | 9.952399E-7 | 1.0654385E-6 | 1.0654385E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.265307E-6 | 4.5661595E-6 | 4.5661595E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1928873E-5 | 5.5592092E-5 | 8.559042E-5 | 1.5396152 | 3.0E-5 | 5.191674E-4 | 5.5583246E-4 | 6.9575466E-4 | 1.2517345 | 1.4E-4 |
7.0 | 4.7385504E-7 | 5.0759905E-7 | 5.0759905E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0308057E-6 | 2.1754245E-6 | 2.1754245E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4724779E-5 | 2.6485792E-5 | 3.6485526E-5 | 1.377551 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4722028E-4 | 2.6485792E-4 | 3.1484468E-4 | 1.1887305 | 5.0E-5 |
Garlock (West)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.5181727E-5 | 2.5242327E-5 | 1.0524031E-4 | 4.1692 | 8.0E-5 | 1.0791722E-4 | 1.0817694E-4 | 3.8814664E-4 | 3.588072 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0013131002 | 0.001316262 | 0.002904169 | 2.2063763 | 0.00159 | 0.013053683 | 0.013164877 | 0.016490512 | 1.2526141 | 0.00337 |
6.1 | 2.5077732E-5 | 2.5143361E-5 | 1.0514135E-4 | 4.1816745 | 8.0E-5 | 1.0747157E-4 | 1.0775283E-4 | 3.8772266E-4 | 3.5982597 | 2.8E-4 | 0.001307681 | 0.0013111046 | 0.00289902 | 2.2111278 | 0.00159 | 0.013000126 | 0.013113915 | 0.016439721 | 1.253609 | 0.00337 |
6.2 | 2.494612E-5 | 2.502499E-5 | 1.0502299E-4 | 4.1967244 | 8.0E-5 | 1.0690756E-4 | 1.0724556E-4 | 3.8721555E-4 | 3.6105506 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0013008224 | 0.0013049361 | 0.0028928611 | 2.2168605 | 0.00159 | 0.012932341 | 0.013052955 | 0.016378967 | 1.2548091 | 0.00337 |
6.3 | 2.4733758E-5 | 2.4844334E-5 | 1.04842344E-4 | 4.21997 | 8.0E-5 | 1.0599751E-4 | 1.0647139E-4 | 3.8644156E-4 | 3.6295345 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0012897556 | 0.0012955217 | 0.0028834618 | 2.2257147 | 0.00159 | 0.012822957 | 0.012959913 | 0.016286239 | 1.2566626 | 0.00337 |
6.4 | 2.3237335E-5 | 2.3223303E-5 | 1.0322144E-4 | 4.444736 | 8.0E-5 | 9.958477E-5 | 9.952466E-5 | 3.7949678E-4 | 3.8130932 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0012117702 | 0.0012110419 | 0.0027891286 | 2.3030818 | 0.00158 | 0.012051838 | 0.012124606 | 0.0154339885 | 1.2729477 | 0.00335 |
6.5 | 2.2732203E-5 | 2.3037657E-5 | 1.0303581E-4 | 4.4724956 | 8.0E-5 | 9.742009E-5 | 9.872909E-5 | 3.7870146E-4 | 3.8357635 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0011854442 | 0.0012013667 | 0.0027794684 | 2.3135889 | 0.00158 | 0.011791403 | 0.012028905 | 0.015338608 | 1.2751459 | 0.00335 |
6.6 | 2.1319436E-5 | 2.181767E-5 | 1.01815924E-4 | 4.6666727 | 8.0E-5 | 9.136581E-5 | 9.350097E-5 | 3.734748E-4 | 3.9943416 | 2.8E-4 | 0.001111811 | 0.0011377821 | 0.0027159844 | 2.3870866 | 0.00158 | 0.011062649 | 0.011399726 | 0.014711537 | 1.2905167 | 0.00335 |
6.7 | 1.970802E-5 | 2.043713E-5 | 1.0043549E-4 | 4.914364 | 8.0E-5 | 8.446021E-5 | 8.758477E-5 | 3.6756025E-4 | 4.196623 | 2.8E-4 | 0.001027818 | 0.0010658246 | 0.0026441407 | 2.4808402 | 0.00158 | 0.010230771 | 0.010687255 | 0.014001452 | 1.3101075 | 0.00335 |
6.8 | 1.8744462E-5 | 1.9944571E-5 | 9.9942976E-5 | 5.0110364 | 8.0E-5 | 8.033094E-5 | 8.547394E-5 | 3.6545002E-4 | 4.2755723 | 2.8E-4 | 9.775903E-4 | 0.0010401502 | 0.0026185068 | 2.5174315 | 0.00158 | 0.009733009 | 0.010432932 | 0.013747982 | 1.3177487 | 0.00335 |
6.9 | 1.7559682E-5 | 1.8996667E-5 | 9.8995144E-5 | 5.211185 | 8.0E-5 | 7.5253614E-5 | 8.141175E-5 | 3.6138896E-4 | 4.439027 | 2.8E-4 | 9.158276E-4 | 9.907389E-4 | 0.0025691735 | 2.5931895 | 0.00158 | 0.0091206245 | 0.009943288 | 0.013250077 | 1.332565 | 0.00334 |
7.0 | 1.6794445E-5 | 1.8259181E-5 | 9.825772E-5 | 5.3812776 | 8.0E-5 | 7.197421E-5 | 7.8251294E-5 | 3.582294E-4 | 4.5779357 | 2.8E-4 | 8.759337E-4 | 9.5229445E-4 | 0.00253079 | 2.6575706 | 0.00158 | 0.008724891 | 0.00956202 | 0.012870083 | 1.3459586 | 0.00334 |
7.1 | 1.6337795E-5 | 1.775976E-5 | 9.775834E-5 | 5.5044856 | 8.0E-5 | 7.0017246E-5 | 7.611104E-5 | 3.5608973E-4 | 4.6785555 | 2.8E-4 | 8.521265E-4 | 9.262593E-4 | 0.0025047958 | 2.7042058 | 0.00158 | 0.008488664 | 0.009303716 | 0.012612642 | 1.3556563 | 0.00334 |
7.2 | 1.5780008E-5 | 1.7208242E-5 | 9.720687E-5 | 5.648855 | 8.0E-5 | 6.762685E-5 | 7.374753E-5 | 3.5372688E-4 | 4.7964573 | 2.8E-4 | 8.2304585E-4 | 8.9750765E-4 | 0.0024760896 | 2.7588508 | 0.00158 | 0.008200042 | 0.00901848 | 0.012328357 | 1.3670107 | 0.00334 |
7.3 | 1.5058865E-5 | 1.6661006E-5 | 9.665967E-5 | 5.801551 | 8.0E-5 | 6.45364E-5 | 7.140236E-5 | 3.5138236E-4 | 4.921159 | 2.8E-4 | 7.854473E-4 | 8.689782E-4 | 0.0024476051 | 2.8166473 | 0.00158 | 0.00782677 | 0.008735029 | 0.012045854 | 1.3790286 | 0.00334 |
7.4 | 1.4887923E-5 | 1.6496837E-5 | 9.649552E-5 | 5.8493342 | 8.0E-5 | 6.380382E-5 | 7.069882E-5 | 3.5067904E-4 | 4.960182 | 2.8E-4 | 7.7653467E-4 | 8.604194E-4 | 0.00243906 | 2.8347337 | 0.00158 | 0.0077382675 | 0.008649883 | 0.011911425 | 1.377062 | 0.00329 |
7.5 | 1.4509299E-5 | 1.6088545E-5 | 8.608742E-5 | 5.350852 | 7.0E-5 | 6.218123E-5 | 6.8949084E-5 | 3.3893046E-4 | 4.915663 | 2.7E-4 | 7.567935E-4 | 8.39133E-4 | 0.0023278827 | 2.7741523 | 0.00149 | 0.0075422134 | 0.008438063 | 0.011511905 | 1.3642828 | 0.0031 |
7.6 | 1.2756717E-5 | 1.4090874E-5 | 8.408989E-5 | 5.9676843 | 7.0E-5 | 5.4670498E-5 | 6.0388065E-5 | 2.8037478E-4 | 4.642884 | 2.2E-4 | 6.6541E-4 | 7.3497737E-4 | 0.0017642203 | 2.4003737 | 0.00103 | 0.006634211 | 0.007402319 | 0.009526478 | 1.2869586 | 0.00214 |
7.7 | 1.0328985E-5 | 1.14980485E-5 | 6.149747E-5 | 5.348514 | 5.0E-5 | 4.4266326E-5 | 4.9276423E-5 | 1.9926904E-4 | 4.043902 | 1.5E-4 | 5.388092E-4 | 5.997757E-4 | 0.0012893619 | 2.14974 | 6.9E-4 | 0.0053750467 | 0.0060578533 | 0.0073499777 | 1.2132975 | 0.0013 |
7.8 | 7.0306583E-6 | 8.929977E-6 | 3.892971E-5 | 4.359441 | 3.0E-5 | 3.0131043E-5 | 3.8270773E-5 | 1.1826771E-4 | 3.0902882 | 8.0E-5 | 3.667837E-4 | 4.658472E-4 | 9.156376E-4 | 1.965532 | 4.5E-4 | 0.003661789 | 0.0047110305 | 0.0056266966 | 1.1943663 | 9.2E-4 |
7.9 | 4.060633E-6 | 5.483148E-6 | 5.483148E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7402595E-5 | 2.3498995E-5 | 6.349805E-5 | 2.7021606 | 4.0E-5 | 2.11856E-4 | 2.860628E-4 | 5.4598844E-4 | 1.9086313 | 2.6E-4 | 0.0021165414 | 0.00289335 | 0.0034517297 | 1.1929873 | 5.6E-4 |
8.0 | 1.6729537E-6 | 2.083276E-6 | 2.083276E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.169782E-6 | 8.928296E-6 | 1.8928207E-5 | 2.1200247 | 1.0E-5 | 8.7288594E-5 | 1.08696615E-4 | 1.78689E-4 | 1.6439244 | 7.0E-5 | 8.7254314E-4 | 0.0010998601 | 0.0012696731 | 1.1543951 | 1.7E-4 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 3.157017E-7 | 3.157017E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5742813E-6 | 1.3530067E-6 | 1.3530067E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.6472748E-5 | 1.6472748E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.668635E-4 | 1.7686182E-4 | 1.0599192 | 1.0E-5 |
McLean Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.7360222E-5 | 1.8503082E-5 | 2.8502896E-5 | 1.5404404 | 1.0E-5 | 7.439883E-5 | 7.929679E-5 | 1.3929202E-4 | 1.7565911 | 6.0E-5 | 9.0542925E-4 | 9.650594E-4 | 0.0018442102 | 1.9109809 | 8.8E-4 | 0.009017491 | 0.009613527 | 0.011881513 | 1.235916 | 0.00229 |
6.1 | 9.062689E-6 | 9.5928635E-6 | 9.5928635E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8839516E-5 | 4.1111674E-5 | 8.1110025E-5 | 1.9729197 | 4.0E-5 | 4.727685E-4 | 5.0042855E-4 | 9.3021337E-4 | 1.8588336 | 4.3E-4 | 0.0047176396 | 0.0049938997 | 0.0061083063 | 1.2231536 | 0.00112 |
6.2 | 9.062689E-6 | 9.5928635E-6 | 9.5928635E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8839516E-5 | 4.1111674E-5 | 8.1110025E-5 | 1.9729197 | 4.0E-5 | 4.727685E-4 | 5.0042855E-4 | 9.3021337E-4 | 1.8588336 | 4.3E-4 | 0.0047176396 | 0.0049938997 | 0.0061083063 | 1.2231536 | 0.00112 |
6.3 | 7.2575485E-6 | 7.668227E-6 | 7.668227E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.110341E-5 | 3.2863456E-5 | 7.2862145E-5 | 2.2171173 | 4.0E-5 | 3.786182E-4 | 4.0004626E-4 | 7.8989024E-4 | 1.9744973 | 3.9E-4 | 0.0037797375 | 0.003993966 | 0.0049501318 | 1.2394025 | 9.6E-4 |
6.4 | 7.2575485E-6 | 7.668227E-6 | 7.668227E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.110341E-5 | 3.2863456E-5 | 7.2862145E-5 | 2.2171173 | 4.0E-5 | 3.786182E-4 | 4.0004626E-4 | 7.8989024E-4 | 1.9744973 | 3.9E-4 | 0.0037797375 | 0.003993966 | 0.0049501318 | 1.2394025 | 9.6E-4 |
6.5 | 6.06582E-6 | 6.4043033E-6 | 6.4043033E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5996113E-5 | 2.7446762E-5 | 6.744567E-5 | 2.457327 | 4.0E-5 | 3.164567E-4 | 3.3411957E-4 | 7.1399263E-4 | 2.1369374 | 3.8E-4 | 0.0031600643 | 0.003336811 | 0.004203908 | 1.259858 | 8.7E-4 |
6.6 | 5.598744E-6 | 5.910655E-6 | 5.910655E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3994397E-5 | 2.5331168E-5 | 5.533041E-5 | 2.1842816 | 3.0E-5 | 2.9209262E-4 | 3.0836972E-4 | 6.682587E-4 | 2.1670697 | 3.6E-4 | 0.0029170897 | 0.0030800477 | 0.0038975219 | 1.2654097 | 8.2E-4 |
6.7 | 5.246996E-6 | 5.5395303E-6 | 5.5395303E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2486933E-5 | 2.3740666E-5 | 5.3739954E-5 | 2.2636247 | 3.0E-5 | 2.73744E-4 | 2.890106E-4 | 6.1891525E-4 | 2.1414967 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0027340704 | 0.0028869715 | 0.0036447772 | 1.2624917 | 7.6E-4 |
6.8 | 4.02324E-6 | 4.2471866E-6 | 4.2471866E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7242342E-5 | 1.8202134E-5 | 4.820159E-5 | 2.6481283 | 3.0E-5 | 2.099053E-4 | 2.2159441E-4 | 5.0153234E-4 | 2.2632897 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0020970714 | 0.0022143188 | 0.0028529018 | 1.2883879 | 6.4E-4 |
6.9 | 6.835972E-7 | 7.140307E-7 | 7.140307E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9296991E-6 | 3.0601298E-6 | 3.0601298E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.56685E-5 | 3.7256763E-5 | 5.7256017E-5 | 1.5367953 | 2.0E-5 | 3.5662777E-4 | 3.7253642E-4 | 4.4251035E-4 | 1.187831 | 7.0E-5 |
Gravel Hills-Harper Lk
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0679566E-5 | 3.1469463E-5 | 9.146758E-5 | 2.9065504 | 6.0E-5 | 1.3147724E-4 | 1.3486338E-4 | 3.0484045E-4 | 2.260365 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0015995599 | 0.001640942 | 0.002589383 | 1.5779858 | 9.5E-4 | 0.015880952 | 0.016309828 | 0.01849362 | 1.1338942 | 0.00222 |
6.1 | 3.0679566E-5 | 3.1469463E-5 | 9.146758E-5 | 2.9065504 | 6.0E-5 | 1.3147724E-4 | 1.3486338E-4 | 3.0484045E-4 | 2.260365 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0015995599 | 0.001640942 | 0.002589383 | 1.5779858 | 9.5E-4 | 0.015880952 | 0.016309828 | 0.01849362 | 1.1338942 | 0.00222 |
6.2 | 1.514536E-5 | 1.3636858E-5 | 1.3636858E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.490707E-5 | 5.8442434E-5 | 9.84401E-5 | 1.6843942 | 4.0E-5 | 7.8995706E-4 | 7.1131624E-4 | 9.811242E-4 | 1.379308 | 2.7E-4 | 0.007871548 | 0.0070915963 | 0.00780649 | 1.1008086 | 7.2E-4 |
6.3 | 1.514536E-5 | 1.3636858E-5 | 1.3636858E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.490707E-5 | 5.8442434E-5 | 9.84401E-5 | 1.6843942 | 4.0E-5 | 7.8995706E-4 | 7.1131624E-4 | 9.811242E-4 | 1.379308 | 2.7E-4 | 0.007871548 | 0.0070915963 | 0.00780649 | 1.1008086 | 7.2E-4 |
6.4 | 1.2532521E-5 | 1.0690891E-5 | 1.0690891E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.37097E-5 | 4.5817334E-5 | 6.581641E-5 | 1.436496 | 2.0E-5 | 6.537194E-4 | 5.576891E-4 | 7.775664E-4 | 1.394265 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0065179965 | 0.005563486 | 0.00605076 | 1.0875843 | 4.9E-4 |
6.5 | 1.1094058E-5 | 9.08464E-6 | 9.08464E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7545094E-5 | 3.893361E-5 | 5.8932834E-5 | 1.513675 | 2.0E-5 | 5.787078E-4 | 4.7391767E-4 | 5.838655E-4 | 1.2319978 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0057720304 | 0.004729477 | 0.005008153 | 1.0589231 | 2.8E-4 |
6.6 | 9.688328E-6 | 7.5324774E-6 | 7.5324774E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1520743E-5 | 3.2281663E-5 | 5.2281015E-5 | 1.6195267 | 2.0E-5 | 5.053978E-4 | 3.929609E-4 | 4.8292553E-4 | 1.2289404 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0050424994 | 0.0039229174 | 0.004112172 | 1.0482433 | 1.9E-4 |
6.7 | 8.974824E-6 | 6.750105E-6 | 6.750105E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8462964E-5 | 2.8928715E-5 | 3.8928425E-5 | 1.3456674 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6818596E-4 | 3.521524E-4 | 4.2212772E-4 | 1.1987076 | 7.0E-5 | 0.004672008 | 0.0035161646 | 0.003665637 | 1.0425102 | 1.5E-4 |
6.8 | 7.4780046E-6 | 5.1167076E-6 | 5.1167076E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.20482E-5 | 2.192857E-5 | 2.192857E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9011694E-4 | 2.6694903E-4 | 2.6694903E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038943281 | 0.0026664217 | 0.0026963418 | 1.011221 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.3409307E-6 | 3.907894E-6 | 3.907894E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7175134E-5 | 1.6748016E-5 | 1.6748016E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3080703E-4 | 2.0388901E-4 | 2.0388901E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033031502 | 0.0020371175 | 0.0020670565 | 1.0146967 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.1239335E-6 | 2.6061293E-6 | 2.6061293E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.195953E-5 | 1.1169079E-5 | 1.1169079E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6732447E-4 | 1.3597531E-4 | 1.3597531E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026700313 | 0.0013589463 | 0.0013889056 | 1.022046 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.438899E-6 | 2.0987022E-6 | 2.0987022E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9023713E-5 | 8.994408E-6 | 8.994408E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.315891E-4 | 1.09501634E-4 | 1.09501634E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002313479 | 0.0010944987 | 0.0011244658 | 1.0273798 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.50367E-6 | 1.2617396E-6 | 1.2617396E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5015643E-5 | 5.4074444E-6 | 5.4074444E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8280011E-4 | 6.583373E-5 | 6.583373E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018264982 | 6.5815053E-4 | 6.7813735E-4 | 1.0303682 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.561638E-6 | 7.12007E-7 | 7.12007E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0978401E-5 | 3.0514552E-6 | 3.0514552E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3365384E-4 | 3.7150854E-5 | 3.7150854E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013357349 | 3.7144843E-4 | 3.9144102E-4 | 1.0538232 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.0368864E-6 | 5.305584E-7 | 5.305584E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.729483E-6 | 2.2738197E-6 | 2.2738197E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.06276275E-4 | 2.7683409E-5 | 2.7683409E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010622547 | 2.7680013E-4 | 2.8679738E-4 | 1.0361172 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.1681728E-6 | 3.6034967E-7 | 3.6034967E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0064455E-6 | 1.5443549E-6 | 1.5443549E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0951766E-5 | 1.8802362E-5 | 1.8802362E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.093505E-4 | 1.8800818E-4 | 1.9800631E-4 | 1.0531791 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.3154387E-7 | 7.120356E-8 | 7.120356E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6375933E-7 | 3.051581E-7 | 3.051581E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863748E-6 | 3.715295E-6 | 3.715295E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863536E-5 | 3.7152487E-5 | 3.7152487E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Goldstone Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.671352E-5 | 3.0380947E-5 | 3.0380947E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1448149E-4 | 1.3019866E-4 | 2.2018695E-4 | 1.6911613 | 9.0E-5 | 0.001392921 | 0.0015842125 | 0.0021533095 | 1.3592302 | 5.7E-4 | 0.013842222 | 0.015748696 | 0.01740224 | 1.1049955 | 0.00168 |
6.1 | 2.671352E-5 | 3.0380947E-5 | 3.0380947E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1448149E-4 | 1.3019866E-4 | 2.2018695E-4 | 1.6911613 | 9.0E-5 | 0.001392921 | 0.0015842125 | 0.0021533095 | 1.3592302 | 5.7E-4 | 0.013842222 | 0.015748696 | 0.01740224 | 1.1049955 | 0.00168 |
6.2 | 1.4197047E-5 | 1.6098695E-5 | 1.6098695E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0843064E-5 | 6.899314E-5 | 1.1898969E-4 | 1.7246597 | 5.0E-5 | 7.4051257E-4 | 8.397664E-4 | 0.0011295229 | 1.3450441 | 2.9E-4 | 0.007380498 | 0.008375631 | 0.009258176 | 1.1053706 | 8.9E-4 |
6.3 | 1.4197047E-5 | 1.6098695E-5 | 1.6098695E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0843064E-5 | 6.899314E-5 | 1.1898969E-4 | 1.7246597 | 5.0E-5 | 7.4051257E-4 | 8.397664E-4 | 0.0011295229 | 1.3450441 | 2.9E-4 | 0.007380498 | 0.008375631 | 0.009258176 | 1.1053706 | 8.9E-4 |
6.4 | 1.3238931E-5 | 1.5010734E-5 | 1.5010734E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6737044E-5 | 6.4330685E-5 | 1.1432747E-4 | 1.7771841 | 5.0E-5 | 6.9055456E-4 | 7.830427E-4 | 0.0010628235 | 1.3572994 | 2.8E-4 | 0.006884126 | 0.0078124646 | 0.008655824 | 1.1079504 | 8.5E-4 |
6.5 | 1.3238931E-5 | 1.5010734E-5 | 1.5010734E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6737044E-5 | 6.4330685E-5 | 1.1432747E-4 | 1.7771841 | 5.0E-5 | 6.9055456E-4 | 7.830427E-4 | 0.0010628235 | 1.3572994 | 2.8E-4 | 0.006884126 | 0.0078124646 | 0.008655824 | 1.1079504 | 8.5E-4 |
6.6 | 1.1328278E-5 | 1.2857114E-5 | 1.2857114E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8548856E-5 | 5.5101293E-5 | 9.509909E-5 | 1.7258958 | 4.0E-5 | 5.90922E-4 | 6.707474E-4 | 9.1058644E-4 | 1.3575698 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0058935313 | 0.0066966214 | 0.007451532 | 1.11273 | 7.6E-4 |
6.7 | 8.651175E-6 | 9.826034E-6 | 9.826034E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.707594E-5 | 4.211141E-5 | 8.210972E-5 | 1.9498214 | 4.0E-5 | 4.5130608E-4 | 5.126763E-4 | 6.825892E-4 | 1.3314232 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0045039062 | 0.0051238174 | 0.005670999 | 1.1067919 | 5.5E-4 |
6.8 | 1.0215377E-6 | 1.1755607E-6 | 1.1755607E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.378012E-6 | 5.038108E-6 | 5.038108E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3300988E-5 | 6.133735E-5 | 7.133674E-5 | 1.1630228 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3288206E-4 | 6.132155E-4 | 6.2320934E-4 | 1.0162975 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.9360774E-7 | 9.284052E-7 | 9.284052E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4011714E-6 | 3.978874E-6 | 3.978874E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1408475E-5 | 4.8441783E-5 | 4.8441783E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.140076E-4 | 4.8431923E-4 | 4.8431923E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 7.4382757E-7 | 8.747935E-7 | 8.747935E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1878285E-6 | 3.74911E-6 | 3.74911E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8811122E-5 | 4.5644523E-5 | 4.5644523E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8804344E-4 | 4.5635813E-4 | 4.5635813E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 6.4709513E-7 | 7.711818E-7 | 7.711818E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.773262E-6 | 3.3050612E-6 | 3.3050612E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.376394E-5 | 4.023844E-5 | 4.023844E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.375881E-4 | 4.0231747E-4 | 4.0231747E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.356704E-7 | 7.588867E-7 | 7.588867E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7242988E-6 | 3.2523678E-6 | 3.2523678E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3167835E-5 | 3.959692E-5 | 3.959692E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3162883E-4 | 3.959046E-4 | 3.959046E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.7695723E-7 | 6.897042E-7 | 6.897042E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4726714E-6 | 2.9558723E-6 | 2.9558723E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0104358E-5 | 3.598721E-5 | 3.598721E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0100282E-4 | 3.5981953E-4 | 3.5981953E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.209647E-7 | 6.193916E-7 | 6.193916E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.232704E-6 | 2.654533E-6 | 2.654533E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.718283E-5 | 3.2318516E-5 | 3.2318516E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7179506E-4 | 3.2314373E-4 | 3.2314373E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.512955E-7 | 5.3492164E-7 | 5.3492164E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.934122E-6 | 2.2925196E-6 | 2.2925196E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3547682E-5 | 2.7911125E-5 | 2.7911125E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3545188E-4 | 2.790815E-4 | 2.790815E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.6040865E-7 | 2.6040865E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.1160367E-6 | 1.1160367E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.3587692E-5 | 1.3587692E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1539775E-4 | 1.3587142E-4 | 1.3587142E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
So Sierra Nevada
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1080323E-5 | 3.10801E-5 | 2.8049815 | 2.0E-5 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7486308E-5 | 1.8747966E-4 | 3.9480784 | 1.4E-4 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.7800516E-4 | 0.0011676642 | 2.020162 | 5.9E-4 | 0.006007948 | 0.0057662874 | 0.007496254 | 1.3000139 | 0.00174 |
6.1 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1080323E-5 | 3.10801E-5 | 2.8049815 | 2.0E-5 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7486308E-5 | 1.8747966E-4 | 3.9480784 | 1.4E-4 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.7800516E-4 | 0.0011676642 | 2.020162 | 5.9E-4 | 0.006007948 | 0.0057662874 | 0.007496254 | 1.3000139 | 0.00174 |
6.2 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1080323E-5 | 3.10801E-5 | 2.8049815 | 2.0E-5 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7486308E-5 | 1.8747966E-4 | 3.9480784 | 1.4E-4 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.7800516E-4 | 0.0011676642 | 2.020162 | 5.9E-4 | 0.006007948 | 0.0057662874 | 0.007496254 | 1.3000139 | 0.00174 |
6.3 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1080323E-5 | 3.10801E-5 | 2.8049815 | 2.0E-5 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7486308E-5 | 1.8747966E-4 | 3.9480784 | 1.4E-4 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.7800516E-4 | 0.0011676642 | 2.020162 | 5.9E-4 | 0.006007948 | 0.0057662874 | 0.007496254 | 1.3000139 | 0.00174 |
6.4 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1080323E-5 | 3.10801E-5 | 2.8049815 | 2.0E-5 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7486308E-5 | 1.8747966E-4 | 3.9480784 | 1.4E-4 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.7800516E-4 | 0.0011676642 | 2.020162 | 5.9E-4 | 0.006007948 | 0.0057662874 | 0.007496254 | 1.3000139 | 0.00174 |
6.5 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1080323E-5 | 3.10801E-5 | 2.8049815 | 2.0E-5 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7486308E-5 | 1.8747966E-4 | 3.9480784 | 1.4E-4 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.7800516E-4 | 0.0011676642 | 2.020162 | 5.9E-4 | 0.006007948 | 0.0057662874 | 0.007496254 | 1.3000139 | 0.00174 |
6.6 | 7.587044E-6 | 6.936088E-6 | 1.693602E-5 | 2.4417248 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2515498E-5 | 2.9725768E-5 | 1.0972339E-4 | 3.6911876 | 8.0E-5 | 3.9580427E-4 | 3.6185406E-4 | 6.8173825E-4 | 1.8840144 | 3.2E-4 | 0.003951 | 0.0036129402 | 0.0045196526 | 1.2509624 | 9.1E-4 |
6.7 | 7.587044E-6 | 6.936088E-6 | 1.693602E-5 | 2.4417248 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2515498E-5 | 2.9725768E-5 | 1.0972339E-4 | 3.6911876 | 8.0E-5 | 3.9580427E-4 | 3.6185406E-4 | 6.8173825E-4 | 1.8840144 | 3.2E-4 | 0.003951 | 0.0036129402 | 0.0045196526 | 1.2509624 | 9.1E-4 |
6.8 | 5.9026956E-6 | 5.179756E-6 | 1.5179704E-5 | 2.930583 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5297022E-5 | 2.2198772E-5 | 1.02196995E-4 | 4.603723 | 8.0E-5 | 3.0794772E-4 | 2.7023768E-4 | 5.2017014E-4 | 1.9248616 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0030752132 | 0.002699207 | 0.0033973176 | 1.2586354 | 7.0E-4 |
6.9 | 5.0118915E-6 | 4.2527436E-6 | 4.2527436E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1479358E-5 | 1.8225921E-5 | 7.8224824E-5 | 4.291955 | 6.0E-5 | 2.614798E-4 | 2.2187871E-4 | 4.5182768E-4 | 2.0363724 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0026117235 | 0.0022166444 | 0.0028352703 | 1.2790821 | 6.2E-4 |
7.0 | 4.4924795E-6 | 3.714212E-6 | 3.714212E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.925334E-5 | 1.5917958E-5 | 6.5917164E-5 | 4.1410565 | 5.0E-5 | 2.3438422E-4 | 1.9378452E-4 | 3.9374578E-4 | 2.0318742 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0023413717 | 0.0019362185 | 0.0024651922 | 1.2731994 | 5.3E-4 |
7.1 | 3.9118436E-6 | 3.1122431E-6 | 3.1122431E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6764936E-5 | 1.333812E-5 | 5.3337586E-5 | 3.9988835 | 4.0E-5 | 2.0409399E-4 | 1.6238008E-4 | 3.3235247E-4 | 2.0467565 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0020390663 | 0.0016226703 | 0.0019920699 | 1.2276492 | 3.7E-4 |
7.2 | 3.4200818E-6 | 2.6056969E-6 | 2.6056969E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4657411E-5 | 1.1167227E-5 | 4.116689E-5 | 3.6864023 | 3.0E-5 | 1.7843937E-4 | 1.3595301E-4 | 2.6593535E-4 | 1.9560827 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0017829615 | 0.0013587482 | 0.0016583406 | 1.2204914 | 3.0E-4 |
7.3 | 2.6593618E-6 | 1.8286283E-6 | 1.8286283E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.13972155E-5 | 7.836957E-6 | 2.78368E-5 | 3.551991 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3875226E-4 | 9.5411066E-5 | 1.7540343E-4 | 1.8383971 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0013866565 | 9.537299E-4 | 0.0011435488 | 1.1990278 | 1.9E-4 |
7.4 | 2.2577992E-6 | 1.4366252E-6 | 1.4366252E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.676246E-6 | 6.156952E-6 | 1.6156891E-5 | 2.6241703 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1780193E-4 | 7.495857E-5 | 1.3495407E-4 | 1.8003821 | 6.0E-5 | 0.001177395 | 7.493579E-4 | 8.792605E-4 | 1.1733519 | 1.3E-4 |
7.5 | 1.489319E-6 | 7.3553707E-7 | 7.3553707E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3827797E-6 | 3.152298E-6 | 3.152298E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.770758E-5 | 3.8378555E-5 | 7.837702E-5 | 2.0422087 | 4.0E-5 | 7.7680405E-4 | 3.8371971E-4 | 4.63689E-4 | 1.2084055 | 8.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.0680322E-6 | 4.66068E-7 | 4.66068E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.577273E-6 | 1.9974327E-6 | 1.9974327E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5726876E-5 | 2.4318475E-5 | 5.4317745E-5 | 2.2336 | 3.0E-5 | 5.5712904E-4 | 2.4315841E-4 | 2.831487E-4 | 1.1644619 | 4.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.509146E-7 | 1.5585033E-7 | 1.5585033E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3610605E-6 | 6.6792984E-7 | 6.6792984E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8745531E-5 | 8.132017E-6 | 8.132017E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8741814E-4 | 8.13173E-5 | 8.13173E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Mojave S)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.75499E-4 | 7.154719E-4 | 1.0591755 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0013306376 | 0.002891912 | 0.0030614203 | 1.0586146 | 1.7E-4 | 0.016080605 | 0.034609687 | 0.035275806 | 1.0192466 | 6.9E-4 | 0.1496549 | 0.28685138 | 0.28795677 | 1.0038534 | 0.00155 |
6.1 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.75499E-4 | 7.154719E-4 | 1.0591755 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0013306376 | 0.002891912 | 0.0030614203 | 1.0586146 | 1.7E-4 | 0.016080605 | 0.034609687 | 0.035275806 | 1.0192466 | 6.9E-4 | 0.1496549 | 0.28685138 | 0.28795677 | 1.0038534 | 0.00155 |
6.2 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.75499E-4 | 7.154719E-4 | 1.0591755 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0013306376 | 0.002891912 | 0.0030614203 | 1.0586146 | 1.7E-4 | 0.016080605 | 0.034609687 | 0.035275806 | 1.0192466 | 6.9E-4 | 0.1496549 | 0.28685138 | 0.28795677 | 1.0038534 | 0.00155 |
6.3 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.75499E-4 | 7.154719E-4 | 1.0591755 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0013306376 | 0.002891912 | 0.0030614203 | 1.0586146 | 1.7E-4 | 0.016080605 | 0.034609687 | 0.035275806 | 1.0192466 | 6.9E-4 | 0.1496549 | 0.28685138 | 0.28795677 | 1.0038534 | 0.00155 |
6.4 | 1.9872203E-4 | 4.3263976E-4 | 4.6262678E-4 | 1.0693117 | 3.0E-5 | 8.5138786E-4 | 0.001852881 | 0.0020026031 | 1.0808051 | 1.5E-4 | 0.010316478 | 0.022331629 | 0.022957336 | 1.028019 | 6.4E-4 | 0.098504856 | 0.19725767 | 0.19838151 | 1.0056974 | 0.0014 |
6.5 | 1.291105E-4 | 2.8832874E-4 | 3.183201E-4 | 1.1040179 | 3.0E-5 | 5.5321335E-4 | 0.0012351122 | 0.0013649516 | 1.1051236 | 1.3E-4 | 0.006714592 | 0.014934637 | 0.015525676 | 1.0395751 | 6.0E-4 | 0.065152965 | 0.1383448 | 0.1394391 | 1.00791 | 0.00127 |
6.6 | 1.291105E-4 | 2.8832874E-4 | 3.183201E-4 | 1.1040179 | 3.0E-5 | 5.5321335E-4 | 0.0012351122 | 0.0013649516 | 1.1051236 | 1.3E-4 | 0.006714592 | 0.014934637 | 0.015525676 | 1.0395751 | 6.0E-4 | 0.065152965 | 0.1383448 | 0.1394391 | 1.00791 | 0.00127 |
6.7 | 1.08001186E-4 | 2.4412778E-4 | 2.7412045E-4 | 1.1228565 | 3.0E-5 | 4.6278012E-4 | 0.001045843 | 0.001175707 | 1.1241716 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0056198016 | 0.012659099 | 0.013221883 | 1.044457 | 5.7E-4 | 0.054797906 | 0.119524054 | 0.12058943 | 1.0089135 | 0.00121 |
6.8 | 1.0624356E-4 | 2.3930229E-4 | 2.6929512E-4 | 1.1253345 | 3.0E-5 | 4.5525006E-4 | 0.0010251787 | 0.0011550453 | 1.1266772 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0055285925 | 0.012410396 | 0.012973322 | 1.0453593 | 5.7E-4 | 0.053930566 | 0.11747297 | 0.11854083 | 1.0090902 | 0.00121 |
6.9 | 1.0393785E-4 | 2.3300288E-4 | 2.629959E-4 | 1.1287237 | 3.0E-5 | 4.4537184E-4 | 9.98202E-4 | 0.0011280723 | 1.1301042 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0054089287 | 0.01208564 | 0.012648751 | 1.0465934 | 5.7E-4 | 0.05279156 | 0.11476672 | 0.11583785 | 1.0093331 | 0.00121 |
7.0 | 1.0155622E-4 | 2.2669467E-4 | 2.5668787E-4 | 1.1323066 | 3.0E-5 | 4.3516833E-4 | 9.7118726E-4 | 0.001101061 | 1.1337268 | 1.3E-4 | 0.005285311 | 0.011760326 | 0.012323623 | 1.047898 | 5.7E-4 | 0.05161361 | 0.11202362 | 0.11309808 | 1.0095913 | 0.00121 |
7.1 | 9.885595E-5 | 2.1957449E-4 | 2.495679E-4 | 1.1365979 | 3.0E-5 | 4.2359953E-4 | 9.4069453E-4 | 0.0010705722 | 1.1380658 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0051451353 | 0.011393013 | 0.011956519 | 1.0494606 | 5.7E-4 | 0.05027629 | 0.108909346 | 0.109987564 | 1.0099002 | 0.00121 |
7.2 | 9.6411415E-5 | 2.1320069E-4 | 2.431943E-4 | 1.1406825 | 3.0E-5 | 4.1312634E-4 | 9.133976E-4 | 0.001033288 | 1.1312577 | 1.2E-4 | 0.005018219 | 0.011064095 | 0.0116179 | 1.0500542 | 5.6E-4 | 0.049064007 | 0.106096804 | 0.10716949 | 1.0101104 | 0.0012 |
7.3 | 9.1180635E-5 | 1.9546472E-4 | 2.2545885E-4 | 1.1534504 | 3.0E-5 | 3.907156E-4 | 8.3743705E-4 | 9.5733657E-4 | 1.1431743 | 1.2E-4 | 0.004746591 | 0.010148245 | 0.0107025625 | 1.0546219 | 5.6E-4 | 0.046464786 | 0.09827767 | 0.09935072 | 1.0109185 | 0.00119 |
7.4 | 8.887388E-5 | 1.8794173E-4 | 2.1793609E-4 | 1.1595939 | 3.0E-5 | 3.8083247E-4 | 8.0521597E-4 | 9.251194E-4 | 1.1489084 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0046267817 | 0.009759536 | 0.010314071 | 1.0568198 | 5.6E-4 | 0.045316286 | 0.09491003 | 0.095978044 | 1.0112529 | 0.00118 |
7.5 | 8.6750515E-5 | 1.812492E-4 | 2.1124377E-4 | 1.165488 | 3.0E-5 | 3.7173493E-4 | 7.765511E-4 | 8.9645793E-4 | 1.1544094 | 1.2E-4 | 0.004516484 | 0.009413611 | 0.009968339 | 1.0589284 | 5.6E-4 | 0.04425787 | 0.091871455 | 0.09294305 | 1.011664 | 0.00118 |
7.6 | 8.453092E-5 | 1.7511568E-4 | 2.0511042E-4 | 1.1712853 | 3.0E-5 | 3.6222505E-4 | 7.5028E-4 | 8.701899E-4 | 1.1598203 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0044011753 | 0.009096475 | 0.009651381 | 1.0610023 | 5.6E-4 | 0.04315024 | 0.0890262 | 0.090101145 | 1.0120745 | 0.00118 |
7.7 | 8.259102E-5 | 1.7032884E-4 | 2.0032375E-4 | 1.1760999 | 3.0E-5 | 3.539135E-4 | 7.297766E-4 | 8.4968907E-4 | 1.1643139 | 1.2E-4 | 0.004300386 | 0.008848903 | 0.009403948 | 1.0627247 | 5.6E-4 | 0.042181134 | 0.086775005 | 0.08785261 | 1.0124184 | 0.00118 |
7.8 | 7.444844E-5 | 1.5348804E-4 | 1.8348344E-4 | 1.1954249 | 3.0E-5 | 3.1902574E-4 | 6.576401E-4 | 7.5757434E-4 | 1.1519588 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0038772223 | 0.007977423 | 0.0084734345 | 1.0621768 | 5.0E-4 | 0.03810269 | 0.07857926 | 0.07954676 | 1.0123123 | 0.00105 |
7.9 | 5.2586525E-5 | 1.00509176E-4 | 1.00509176E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2535135E-4 | 4.3068253E-4 | 4.706653E-4 | 1.0928358 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0027402006 | 0.005230964 | 0.005499552 | 1.0513457 | 2.7E-4 | 0.027066574 | 0.05240819 | 0.05300517 | 1.011391 | 6.3E-4 |
8.0 | 3.379877E-5 | 5.4330183E-5 | 5.4330183E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4484383E-4 | 2.3282287E-4 | 2.4282055E-4 | 1.0429411 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017620471 | 0.0028309356 | 0.0029007376 | 1.0246568 | 7.0E-5 | 0.017481409 | 0.028960353 | 0.029154561 | 1.006706 | 2.0E-4 |
8.1 | 1.8668277E-5 | 1.9429945E-5 | 1.9429945E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.000444E-5 | 8.326853E-5 | 8.326853E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.736188E-4 | 0.0010133235 | 0.0010133235 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009693642 | 0.010861942 | 0.010881725 | 1.0018213 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.541571E-6 | 5.5063715E-6 | 5.5063715E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.660622E-5 | 2.359852E-5 | 2.359852E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.455896E-4 | 2.872742E-4 | 2.872742E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044469717 | 0.0032657357 | 0.003275703 | 1.0030521 | 1.0E-5 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.7366735E-7 | 7.7366735E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.315713E-6 | 3.315713E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.0368075E-5 | 4.0368075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.7638497E-4 | 4.7638497E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Mojave N)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9480404E-4 | 2.447943E-4 | 1.2566181 | 5.0E-5 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.346076E-4 | 0.0010044656 | 1.2035185 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010114132 | 0.010846647 | 1.072425 | 7.4E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.098658785 | 0.100019805 | 1.0137953 | 0.00151 |
6.1 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9480404E-4 | 2.447943E-4 | 1.2566181 | 5.0E-5 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.346076E-4 | 0.0010044656 | 1.2035185 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010114132 | 0.010846647 | 1.072425 | 7.4E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.098658785 | 0.100019805 | 1.0137953 | 0.00151 |
6.2 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9480404E-4 | 2.447943E-4 | 1.2566181 | 5.0E-5 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.346076E-4 | 0.0010044656 | 1.2035185 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010114132 | 0.010846647 | 1.072425 | 7.4E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.098658785 | 0.100019805 | 1.0137953 | 0.00151 |
6.3 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9480404E-4 | 2.447943E-4 | 1.2566181 | 5.0E-5 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.346076E-4 | 0.0010044656 | 1.2035185 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010114132 | 0.010846647 | 1.072425 | 7.4E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.098658785 | 0.100019805 | 1.0137953 | 0.00151 |
6.4 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9480404E-4 | 2.447943E-4 | 1.2566181 | 5.0E-5 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.346076E-4 | 0.0010044656 | 1.2035185 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010114132 | 0.010846647 | 1.072425 | 7.4E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.098658785 | 0.100019805 | 1.0137953 | 0.00151 |
6.5 | 9.861474E-5 | 1.9454143E-4 | 2.445317E-4 | 1.2569647 | 5.0E-5 | 4.2256617E-4 | 8.334828E-4 | 0.001003341 | 1.2037934 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0051326132 | 0.010100565 | 0.010833091 | 1.0725232 | 7.4E-4 | 0.050156746 | 0.098536596 | 0.0998978 | 1.0138142 | 0.00151 |
6.6 | 9.861474E-5 | 1.9454143E-4 | 2.445317E-4 | 1.2569647 | 5.0E-5 | 4.2256617E-4 | 8.334828E-4 | 0.001003341 | 1.2037934 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0051326132 | 0.010100565 | 0.010833091 | 1.0725232 | 7.4E-4 | 0.050156746 | 0.098536596 | 0.0998978 | 1.0138142 | 0.00151 |
6.7 | 9.8552715E-5 | 1.9444086E-4 | 2.4443114E-4 | 1.2570976 | 5.0E-5 | 4.223004E-4 | 8.3305204E-4 | 0.0010029104 | 1.2038989 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0051293927 | 0.010095369 | 0.010827899 | 1.0725609 | 7.4E-4 | 0.050125998 | 0.09848995 | 0.09985123 | 1.0138215 | 0.00151 |
6.8 | 9.8464974E-5 | 1.9429227E-4 | 2.4428256E-4 | 1.2572943 | 5.0E-5 | 4.219245E-4 | 8.3241565E-4 | 0.0010022741 | 1.204055 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0051248376 | 0.010087693 | 0.010820229 | 1.0726167 | 7.4E-4 | 0.05008251 | 0.09841966 | 0.099781044 | 1.0138324 | 0.00151 |
6.9 | 9.825824E-5 | 1.939719E-4 | 2.4396219E-4 | 1.2577193 | 5.0E-5 | 4.2103877E-4 | 8.3104346E-4 | 0.0010009021 | 1.2043921 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0051141046 | 0.010071142 | 0.010803689 | 1.0727372 | 7.4E-4 | 0.049980022 | 0.09826878 | 0.09963039 | 1.013856 | 0.00151 |
7.0 | 9.781462E-5 | 1.932846E-4 | 2.4327495E-4 | 1.2586359 | 5.0E-5 | 4.1913814E-4 | 8.2809984E-4 | 9.97959E-4 | 1.2051193 | 1.7E-4 | 0.005091073 | 0.010035633 | 0.010768207 | 1.0729972 | 7.4E-4 | 0.04976007 | 0.09794495 | 0.09930705 | 1.0139068 | 0.00151 |
7.1 | 9.7121134E-5 | 1.9230042E-4 | 2.422908E-4 | 1.2599598 | 5.0E-5 | 4.1616702E-4 | 8.238845E-4 | 9.937445E-4 | 1.2061696 | 1.7E-4 | 0.005055068 | 0.009984784 | 0.010717395 | 1.0733727 | 7.4E-4 | 0.04941613 | 0.09748115 | 0.098843955 | 1.0139802 | 0.00151 |
7.2 | 9.663819E-5 | 1.9160735E-4 | 2.4159777E-4 | 1.2609004 | 5.0E-5 | 4.1409794E-4 | 8.209161E-4 | 9.907766E-4 | 1.2069157 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0050299936 | 0.009948974 | 0.0106816115 | 1.0736395 | 7.4E-4 | 0.049176537 | 0.09715421 | 0.09850848 | 1.0139394 | 0.0015 |
7.3 | 9.6277574E-5 | 1.9113134E-4 | 2.4112179E-4 | 1.2615502 | 5.0E-5 | 4.125529E-4 | 8.1887736E-4 | 9.887381E-4 | 1.2074313 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0050112694 | 0.009924379 | 0.010657035 | 1.0738238 | 7.4E-4 | 0.04899759 | 0.09692734 | 0.09828195 | 1.0139755 | 0.0015 |
7.4 | 9.593308E-5 | 1.9052801E-4 | 2.4051848E-4 | 1.2623786 | 5.0E-5 | 4.1107697E-4 | 8.1629324E-4 | 9.861545E-4 | 1.2080885 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0049933824 | 0.009893203 | 0.010625882 | 1.0740588 | 7.4E-4 | 0.04882661 | 0.09664443 | 0.09799947 | 1.0140208 | 0.0015 |
7.5 | 9.561707E-5 | 1.8998762E-4 | 2.3997812E-4 | 1.2631251 | 5.0E-5 | 4.0972308E-4 | 8.139788E-4 | 9.838404E-4 | 1.2086806 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0049769743 | 0.00986528 | 0.010597981 | 1.0742705 | 7.4E-4 | 0.048669744 | 0.0963904 | 0.097745806 | 1.0140617 | 0.0015 |
7.6 | 9.418194E-5 | 1.8650362E-4 | 2.3649429E-4 | 1.2680413 | 5.0E-5 | 4.0357444E-4 | 7.9905655E-4 | 9.689207E-4 | 1.2125809 | 1.7E-4 | 0.004902454 | 0.009685231 | 0.010418064 | 1.075665 | 7.4E-4 | 0.047957025 | 0.09476959 | 0.096127436 | 1.0143279 | 0.0015 |
7.7 | 8.202141E-5 | 1.6092768E-4 | 2.1091964E-4 | 1.3106486 | 5.0E-5 | 3.51473E-4 | 6.895078E-4 | 8.493975E-4 | 1.2318896 | 1.6E-4 | 0.00427079 | 0.008362503 | 0.009086398 | 1.0865644 | 7.3E-4 | 0.04189639 | 0.08254919 | 0.08385197 | 1.0157819 | 0.00142 |
7.8 | 7.2859846E-5 | 1.4580764E-4 | 1.7580327E-4 | 1.2057205 | 3.0E-5 | 3.1221908E-4 | 6.247403E-4 | 7.246778E-4 | 1.1599665 | 1.0E-4 | 0.003794643 | 0.007579728 | 0.008075939 | 1.0654655 | 5.0E-4 | 0.037304975 | 0.07501069 | 0.07598193 | 1.012948 | 0.00105 |
7.9 | 5.3874453E-5 | 1.00906385E-4 | 1.00906385E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3087008E-4 | 4.323843E-4 | 4.7236698E-4 | 1.0924703 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0028072202 | 0.005251583 | 0.0055201654 | 1.051143 | 2.7E-4 | 0.02772022 | 0.05263509 | 0.05323193 | 1.0113392 | 6.3E-4 |
8.0 | 3.468538E-5 | 5.4518845E-5 | 5.4518845E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4864317E-4 | 2.3363128E-4 | 2.4362894E-4 | 1.0427924 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018082283 | 0.0028407525 | 0.0029105535 | 1.0245714 | 7.0E-5 | 0.017935853 | 0.029074442 | 0.029268626 | 1.0066789 | 2.0E-4 |
8.1 | 1.9152367E-5 | 1.9524643E-5 | 1.9524643E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.207899E-5 | 8.367436E-5 | 8.367436E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.988535E-4 | 0.0010182599 | 0.0010182599 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009943757 | 0.010920162 | 0.010939944 | 1.0018115 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.5205624E-6 | 5.5205624E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3659339E-5 | 2.3659339E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8801445E-4 | 2.8801445E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.003273719 | 0.0032836862 | 1.0030446 | 1.0E-5 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.7366735E-7 | 7.7366735E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.315713E-6 | 3.315713E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.0368075E-5 | 4.0368075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.7638497E-4 | 4.7638497E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Death Valley (So)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.5623953E-5 | 5.5623183E-5 | 2.1707497 | 3.0E-5 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.0981241E-4 | 1.9980253E-4 | 1.8194895 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0010787029 | 0.001336163 | 0.0018454816 | 1.3811799 | 5.1E-4 | 0.010734817 | 0.013286255 | 0.014628186 | 1.1010014 | 0.00136 |
6.1 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.5623953E-5 | 5.5623183E-5 | 2.1707497 | 3.0E-5 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.0981241E-4 | 1.9980253E-4 | 1.8194895 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0010787029 | 0.001336163 | 0.0018454816 | 1.3811799 | 5.1E-4 | 0.010734817 | 0.013286255 | 0.014628186 | 1.1010014 | 0.00136 |
6.2 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.5623953E-5 | 5.5623183E-5 | 2.1707497 | 3.0E-5 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.0981241E-4 | 1.9980253E-4 | 1.8194895 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0010787029 | 0.001336163 | 0.0018454816 | 1.3811799 | 5.1E-4 | 0.010734817 | 0.013286255 | 0.014628186 | 1.1010014 | 0.00136 |
6.3 | 2.0240292E-5 | 2.5123962E-5 | 5.5123208E-5 | 2.1940491 | 3.0E-5 | 8.6741224E-5 | 1.0766977E-4 | 1.8766116E-4 | 1.7429327 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0010555626 | 0.001310108 | 0.0017695053 | 1.3506562 | 4.6E-4 | 0.010505628 | 0.013028777 | 0.0142921 | 1.0969641 | 0.00128 |
6.4 | 2.0240292E-5 | 2.5123962E-5 | 5.5123208E-5 | 2.1940491 | 3.0E-5 | 8.6741224E-5 | 1.0766977E-4 | 1.8766116E-4 | 1.7429327 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0010555626 | 0.001310108 | 0.0017695053 | 1.3506562 | 4.6E-4 | 0.010505628 | 0.013028777 | 0.0142921 | 1.0969641 | 0.00128 |
6.5 | 1.9962767E-5 | 2.4813171E-5 | 5.4812426E-5 | 2.2090054 | 3.0E-5 | 8.55519E-5 | 1.0633792E-4 | 1.8632942E-4 | 1.7522386 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0010410968 | 0.001293912 | 0.0017433297 | 1.3473326 | 4.5E-4 | 0.010362327 | 0.0128687015 | 0.0141124865 | 1.096652 | 0.00126 |
6.6 | 1.8937297E-5 | 2.3316728E-5 | 5.3316027E-5 | 2.2865999 | 3.0E-5 | 8.115732E-5 | 9.992509E-5 | 1.6991809E-4 | 1.7004548 | 7.0E-5 | 9.876423E-4 | 0.0012159236 | 0.0015954615 | 1.3121396 | 3.8E-4 | 0.009832645 | 0.012097225 | 0.013154281 | 1.08738 | 0.00107 |
6.7 | 1.8621096E-5 | 2.2917306E-5 | 5.2916617E-5 | 2.3090243 | 3.0E-5 | 7.980225E-5 | 9.821341E-5 | 1.6820653E-4 | 1.7126637 | 7.0E-5 | 9.711593E-4 | 0.0011951069 | 0.0015546767 | 1.3008683 | 3.6E-4 | 0.009669261 | 0.0118912915 | 0.012918924 | 1.086419 | 0.00104 |
6.8 | 1.7830353E-5 | 2.1811044E-5 | 5.1810388E-5 | 2.37542 | 3.0E-5 | 7.641356E-5 | 9.3472634E-5 | 1.6346609E-4 | 1.7488123 | 7.0E-5 | 9.29938E-4 | 0.0011374492 | 0.001487051 | 1.307356 | 3.5E-4 | 0.009260561 | 0.011319183 | 0.0123276375 | 1.0890925 | 0.00102 |
6.9 | 1.3135183E-5 | 1.5306863E-5 | 4.5306406E-5 | 2.959875 | 3.0E-5 | 5.6292425E-5 | 6.559923E-5 | 1.255953E-4 | 1.9145849 | 6.0E-5 | 6.8514474E-4 | 7.983845E-4 | 0.0010581769 | 1.3253976 | 2.6E-4 | 0.006830362 | 0.007956522 | 0.008700554 | 1.0935123 | 7.5E-4 |
7.0 | 1.1507512E-5 | 1.3156445E-5 | 3.3156182E-5 | 2.5201476 | 2.0E-5 | 4.9316975E-5 | 5.638358E-5 | 1.0638076E-4 | 1.886733 | 5.0E-5 | 6.002687E-4 | 6.8625965E-4 | 9.0610865E-4 | 1.3203584 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0059864987 | 0.006842401 | 0.0073489114 | 1.0740253 | 5.1E-4 |
7.1 | 9.715903E-6 | 1.0866876E-5 | 1.0866876E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1638916E-5 | 4.657152E-5 | 4.657152E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.068359E-4 | 5.6686497E-4 | 6.4681965E-4 | 1.1410471 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0050568148 | 0.005654487 | 0.005883186 | 1.0404457 | 2.3E-4 |
7.2 | 9.233269E-6 | 1.02877775E-5 | 1.02877775E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9570554E-5 | 4.4089753E-5 | 4.4089753E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.81665E-4 | 5.366648E-4 | 5.8663794E-4 | 1.0931181 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0048062233 | 0.0053541195 | 0.0055033164 | 1.0278658 | 1.5E-4 |
7.3 | 8.8041315E-6 | 9.809506E-6 | 9.809506E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7731446E-5 | 4.2040087E-5 | 4.2040087E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.592835E-4 | 5.1172206E-4 | 5.417067E-4 | 1.0585955 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0045833546 | 0.005105864 | 0.0052252514 | 1.0233824 | 1.2E-4 |
7.4 | 8.708749E-6 | 9.708509E-6 | 9.708509E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7322676E-5 | 4.1607258E-5 | 4.1607258E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5430884E-4 | 5.0645485E-4 | 5.3643965E-4 | 1.0592053 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004533812 | 0.0050534327 | 0.0051628766 | 1.0216573 | 1.1E-4 |
7.5 | 8.612678E-6 | 9.606144E-6 | 9.606144E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6910955E-5 | 4.116856E-5 | 4.116856E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.492982E-4 | 5.0111616E-4 | 5.3110113E-4 | 1.0598364 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004483909 | 0.0050002877 | 0.0051097376 | 1.0218887 | 1.1E-4 |
7.6 | 8.319024E-6 | 9.285207E-6 | 9.285207E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5652476E-5 | 3.979316E-5 | 3.979316E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3398244E-4 | 4.8437822E-4 | 5.143637E-4 | 1.061905 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0043313587 | 0.0048336484 | 0.004943117 | 1.0226471 | 1.1E-4 |
7.7 | 7.4718328E-6 | 8.346338E-6 | 8.346338E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2021748E-5 | 3.5769554E-5 | 3.5769554E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8979502E-4 | 4.3541135E-4 | 4.6539828E-4 | 1.0688703 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00389112 | 0.004345988 | 0.0044555096 | 1.0252007 | 1.1E-4 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.6485014E-7 | 3.6485014E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5636425E-6 | 1.5636425E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.9037187E-5 | 1.9037187E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.9035599E-4 | 1.9035599E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6698093E-9 | 2.6698093E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.144204E-8 | 1.144204E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3930685E-7 | 1.3930685E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3930684E-6 | 1.3930684E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Nelson Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.913453E-6 | 1.0192598E-5 | 1.0192598E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2485535E-5 | 4.368189E-5 | 5.368145E-5 | 1.2289178 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1713863E-4 | 5.3170754E-4 | 8.815215E-4 | 1.6579065 | 3.5E-4 | 0.0051593683 | 0.005305382 | 0.00641944 | 1.2099863 | 0.00112 |
6.1 | 9.913453E-6 | 1.0192598E-5 | 1.0192598E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2485535E-5 | 4.368189E-5 | 5.368145E-5 | 1.2289178 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1713863E-4 | 5.3170754E-4 | 8.815215E-4 | 1.6579065 | 3.5E-4 | 0.0051593683 | 0.005305382 | 0.00641944 | 1.2099863 | 0.00112 |
6.2 | 4.5596407E-6 | 4.6964815E-6 | 4.6964815E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.954117E-5 | 2.0127629E-5 | 2.0127629E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3788778E-4 | 2.450276E-4 | 3.849933E-4 | 1.5712242 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0023763329 | 0.0024477004 | 0.00291655 | 1.1915469 | 4.7E-4 |
6.3 | 4.5596407E-6 | 4.6964815E-6 | 4.6964815E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.954117E-5 | 2.0127629E-5 | 2.0127629E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3788778E-4 | 2.450276E-4 | 3.849933E-4 | 1.5712242 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0023763329 | 0.0024477004 | 0.00291655 | 1.1915469 | 4.7E-4 |
6.4 | 3.4025713E-6 | 3.5100297E-6 | 3.5100297E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4582367E-5 | 1.5042902E-5 | 1.5042902E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7752586E-4 | 1.8313278E-4 | 2.9311265E-4 | 1.6005471 | 1.1E-4 | 0.001773841 | 0.0018299016 | 0.0021692794 | 1.1854624 | 3.4E-4 |
6.5 | 2.8352947E-6 | 2.9279704E-6 | 2.9279704E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2151207E-5 | 1.2548388E-5 | 1.2548388E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.479309E-4 | 1.5276668E-4 | 2.6274988E-4 | 1.7199423 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0014783246 | 0.0015266904 | 0.0018262324 | 1.1962035 | 3.0E-4 |
6.6 | 2.251518E-6 | 2.3291636E-6 | 2.3291636E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.649328E-6 | 9.9820945E-6 | 9.9820945E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1747423E-4 | 1.2152585E-4 | 2.3151249E-4 | 1.9050472 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0011741214 | 0.0012146557 | 0.0014843277 | 1.2220153 | 2.7E-4 |
6.7 | 1.8911853E-6 | 1.959224E-6 | 1.959224E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.105055E-6 | 8.39665E-6 | 8.39665E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.867457E-5 | 1.0222501E-4 | 1.8221683E-4 | 1.7825074 | 8.0E-5 | 9.863076E-4 | 0.0010218373 | 0.0012016534 | 1.1759733 | 1.8E-4 |
6.8 | 1.4874814E-6 | 1.5439005E-6 | 1.5439005E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.374905E-6 | 6.616702E-6 | 6.616702E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.76117E-5 | 8.0555896E-5 | 1.2055267E-4 | 1.4965097 | 4.0E-5 | 7.75846E-4 | 8.05318E-4 | 9.2522136E-4 | 1.1488894 | 1.2E-4 |
6.9 | 6.835972E-7 | 7.140307E-7 | 7.140307E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9296991E-6 | 3.0601298E-6 | 3.0601298E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.56685E-5 | 3.7256763E-5 | 5.7256017E-5 | 1.5367953 | 2.0E-5 | 3.5662777E-4 | 3.7253642E-4 | 4.4251035E-4 | 1.187831 | 7.0E-5 |
Lenwood-Lockhart-Old Woman Springs
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.396728E-5 | 4.396728E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8841856E-4 | 2.684035E-4 | 1.4245067 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0019519776 | 0.0022917548 | 0.0027606776 | 1.2046131 | 4.7E-4 | 0.019349206 | 0.02269922 | 0.023823116 | 1.0495125 | 0.00115 |
6.1 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.396728E-5 | 4.396728E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8841856E-4 | 2.684035E-4 | 1.4245067 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0019519776 | 0.0022917548 | 0.0027606776 | 1.2046131 | 4.7E-4 | 0.019349206 | 0.02269922 | 0.023823116 | 1.0495125 | 0.00115 |
6.2 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.396728E-5 | 4.396728E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8841856E-4 | 2.684035E-4 | 1.4245067 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0019519776 | 0.0022917548 | 0.0027606776 | 1.2046131 | 4.7E-4 | 0.019349206 | 0.02269922 | 0.023823116 | 1.0495125 | 0.00115 |
6.3 | 2.1079984E-5 | 2.5355628E-5 | 2.5355628E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0339665E-5 | 1.0866257E-4 | 1.286604E-4 | 1.184036 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010993304 | 0.0013221839 | 0.0014719855 | 1.1132987 | 1.5E-4 | 0.010939079 | 0.013145388 | 0.013549998 | 1.0307796 | 4.1E-4 |
6.4 | 2.1079984E-5 | 2.5355628E-5 | 2.5355628E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0339665E-5 | 1.0866257E-4 | 1.286604E-4 | 1.184036 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010993304 | 0.0013221839 | 0.0014719855 | 1.1132987 | 1.5E-4 | 0.010939079 | 0.013145388 | 0.013549998 | 1.0307796 | 4.1E-4 |
6.5 | 1.7397282E-5 | 2.0664284E-5 | 2.0664284E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.455765E-5 | 8.855828E-5 | 1.085565E-4 | 1.22582 | 2.0E-5 | 9.073613E-4 | 0.0010776755 | 0.0012075354 | 1.1205 | 1.3E-4 | 0.009036654 | 0.010725789 | 0.011022571 | 1.02767 | 3.0E-4 |
6.6 | 1.52050325E-5 | 1.7680988E-5 | 1.7680988E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.51628E-5 | 7.57735E-5 | 9.577199E-5 | 1.2639245 | 2.0E-5 | 7.9306826E-4 | 9.221599E-4 | 0.0010420491 | 1.1300093 | 1.2E-4 | 0.007902439 | 0.009184196 | 0.009441808 | 1.0280495 | 2.6E-4 |
6.7 | 1.332523E-5 | 1.5265196E-5 | 1.5265196E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7106878E-5 | 6.542065E-5 | 8.541935E-5 | 1.3056939 | 2.0E-5 | 6.950544E-4 | 7.9621124E-4 | 8.961316E-4 | 1.1254948 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006928845 | 0.007934216 | 0.008152471 | 1.027508 | 2.2E-4 |
6.8 | 1.1525329E-5 | 1.3032093E-5 | 1.3032093E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9393333E-5 | 5.5850658E-5 | 7.584954E-5 | 1.3580779 | 2.0E-5 | 6.011979E-4 | 6.7977386E-4 | 7.697127E-4 | 1.1323069 | 9.0E-5 | 0.00599574 | 0.006777397 | 0.006956177 | 1.0263789 | 1.8E-4 |
6.9 | 1.0253909E-5 | 1.1515384E-5 | 1.1515384E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3944583E-5 | 4.9350736E-5 | 6.934975E-5 | 1.4052424 | 2.0E-5 | 5.3489394E-4 | 6.006832E-4 | 6.906291E-4 | 1.1497394 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0053360825 | 0.005990975 | 0.0061500166 | 1.0265468 | 1.6E-4 |
7.0 | 8.104563E-6 | 8.991845E-6 | 8.991845E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4733377E-5 | 3.8535924E-5 | 5.853515E-5 | 1.5189762 | 2.0E-5 | 4.2279682E-4 | 4.6907627E-4 | 5.4903876E-4 | 1.170468 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0042199334 | 0.00468111 | 0.0048105014 | 1.0276412 | 1.3E-4 |
7.1 | 6.7986157E-6 | 7.516315E-6 | 7.516315E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.91366E-5 | 3.2212392E-5 | 5.2211748E-5 | 1.620859 | 2.0E-5 | 3.5468035E-4 | 3.9211742E-4 | 4.420978E-4 | 1.1274629 | 5.0E-5 | 0.003541148 | 0.0039144717 | 0.003994159 | 1.020357 | 8.0E-5 |
7.2 | 5.6893327E-6 | 6.280398E-6 | 6.280398E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4382627E-5 | 2.6915724E-5 | 4.6915186E-5 | 1.7430401 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9681803E-4 | 3.2765165E-4 | 3.7763527E-4 | 1.152551 | 5.0E-5 | 0.002964219 | 0.0032718845 | 0.0033516227 | 1.0243708 | 8.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.253348E-6 | 4.7072845E-6 | 4.7072845E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8228506E-5 | 2.0173931E-5 | 4.0173527E-5 | 1.9913584 | 2.0E-5 | 2.2190946E-4 | 2.4559174E-4 | 2.9557946E-4 | 1.2035398 | 5.0E-5 | 0.00221688 | 0.0024533845 | 0.0025232127 | 1.028462 | 7.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.5448119E-6 | 2.852186E-6 | 2.852186E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0906291E-5 | 1.2223607E-5 | 3.222336E-5 | 2.6361582 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3277601E-4 | 1.4881391E-4 | 1.8880796E-4 | 1.2687521 | 4.0E-5 | 0.001326967 | 0.0014873047 | 0.0015272452 | 1.0268543 | 4.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.3706837E-8 | 4.5631488E-8 | 4.5631488E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8731501E-7 | 1.955635E-7 | 1.955635E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2805577E-6 | 2.3809837E-6 | 2.3809837E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2805343E-5 | 2.3809636E-5 | 2.3809636E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Coyote Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.5090034E-5 | 4.0371564E-5 | 6.0370756E-5 | 1.4953781 | 2.0E-5 | 1.503772E-4 | 1.7301097E-4 | 2.629954E-4 | 1.5201082 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0018293047 | 0.002104631 | 0.0024339363 | 1.1564671 | 3.3E-4 | 0.018143194 | 0.020872919 | 0.021852046 | 1.046909 | 0.001 |
6.1 | 3.5090034E-5 | 4.0371564E-5 | 6.0370756E-5 | 1.4953781 | 2.0E-5 | 1.503772E-4 | 1.7301097E-4 | 2.629954E-4 | 1.5201082 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0018293047 | 0.002104631 | 0.0024339363 | 1.1564671 | 3.3E-4 | 0.018143194 | 0.020872919 | 0.021852046 | 1.046909 | 0.001 |
6.2 | 1.841879E-5 | 2.1063399E-5 | 2.1063399E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8935285E-5 | 9.026916E-5 | 1.3026556E-4 | 1.4430792 | 4.0E-5 | 9.606133E-4 | 0.0010985751 | 0.0012883663 | 1.1727613 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0095647145 | 0.010941532 | 0.011515186 | 1.0524291 | 5.8E-4 |
6.3 | 1.841879E-5 | 2.1063399E-5 | 2.1063399E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8935285E-5 | 9.026916E-5 | 1.3026556E-4 | 1.4430792 | 4.0E-5 | 9.606133E-4 | 0.0010985751 | 0.0012883663 | 1.1727613 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0095647145 | 0.010941532 | 0.011515186 | 1.0524291 | 5.8E-4 |
6.4 | 1.712201E-5 | 1.9568546E-5 | 1.9568546E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.337798E-5 | 8.3863066E-5 | 1.2385972E-4 | 1.476928 | 4.0E-5 | 8.930107E-4 | 0.0010206552 | 0.0011904817 | 1.1663897 | 1.7E-4 | 0.008894307 | 0.010169596 | 0.010714004 | 1.0535327 | 5.5E-4 |
6.5 | 1.4744935E-5 | 1.6839826E-5 | 1.6839826E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3191044E-5 | 7.2169205E-5 | 1.1216632E-4 | 1.554213 | 4.0E-5 | 7.6907943E-4 | 8.783994E-4 | 0.0010382589 | 1.1819894 | 1.6E-4 | 0.007664232 | 0.008758474 | 0.00923427 | 1.054324 | 4.8E-4 |
6.6 | 1.2017839E-5 | 1.3726416E-5 | 1.3726416E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.150401E-5 | 5.882667E-5 | 9.882432E-5 | 1.6799237 | 4.0E-5 | 6.268809E-4 | 7.1606797E-4 | 8.459749E-4 | 1.181417 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0062511545 | 0.0071463026 | 0.007523587 | 1.0527943 | 3.8E-4 |
6.7 | 1.00956095E-5 | 1.1535479E-5 | 1.1535479E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.326618E-5 | 4.943732E-5 | 8.943534E-5 | 1.8090653 | 4.0E-5 | 5.266384E-4 | 6.018201E-4 | 7.317419E-4 | 1.2158813 | 1.3E-4 | 0.005253921 | 0.006010433 | 0.0063782097 | 1.0611897 | 3.7E-4 |
Towne Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.8946164E-6 | 1.3894577E-5 | 3.567637 | 1.0E-5 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.669113E-5 | 4.669063E-5 | 2.7973318 | 3.0E-5 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0319993E-4 | 5.7312474E-4 | 2.8204968 | 3.7E-4 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020305705 | 0.0030385195 | 1.4963871 | 0.00101 |
6.1 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.8946164E-6 | 1.3894577E-5 | 3.567637 | 1.0E-5 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.669113E-5 | 4.669063E-5 | 2.7973318 | 3.0E-5 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0319993E-4 | 5.7312474E-4 | 2.8204968 | 3.7E-4 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020305705 | 0.0030385195 | 1.4963871 | 0.00101 |
6.2 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.8946164E-6 | 1.3894577E-5 | 3.567637 | 1.0E-5 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.669113E-5 | 4.669063E-5 | 2.7973318 | 3.0E-5 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0319993E-4 | 5.7312474E-4 | 2.8204968 | 3.7E-4 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020305705 | 0.0030385195 | 1.4963871 | 0.00101 |
6.3 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.8946164E-6 | 1.3894577E-5 | 3.567637 | 1.0E-5 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.669113E-5 | 4.669063E-5 | 2.7973318 | 3.0E-5 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0319993E-4 | 5.7312474E-4 | 2.8204968 | 3.7E-4 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020305705 | 0.0030385195 | 1.4963871 | 0.00101 |
6.4 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.8946164E-6 | 1.3894577E-5 | 3.567637 | 1.0E-5 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.669113E-5 | 4.669063E-5 | 2.7973318 | 3.0E-5 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0319993E-4 | 5.7312474E-4 | 2.8204968 | 3.7E-4 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020305705 | 0.0030385195 | 1.4963871 | 0.00101 |
6.5 | 1.1953545E-6 | 1.2030821E-6 | 1.2030821E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1229376E-6 | 5.1560564E-6 | 5.1560564E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.236998E-5 | 6.2773295E-5 | 1.6276701E-4 | 2.5929341 | 1.0E-4 | 6.235248E-4 | 6.2756735E-4 | 8.5742306E-4 | 1.3662645 | 2.3E-4 |
6.6 | 1.1953545E-6 | 1.2030821E-6 | 1.2030821E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1229376E-6 | 5.1560564E-6 | 5.1560564E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.236998E-5 | 6.2773295E-5 | 1.6276701E-4 | 2.5929341 | 1.0E-4 | 6.235248E-4 | 6.2756735E-4 | 8.5742306E-4 | 1.3662645 | 2.3E-4 |
6.7 | 8.375951E-7 | 8.4109195E-7 | 8.4109195E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5896885E-6 | 3.6046752E-6 | 3.6046752E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.370358E-5 | 4.3886095E-5 | 1.2388258E-4 | 2.822821 | 8.0E-5 | 4.3694986E-4 | 4.3878E-4 | 5.987098E-4 | 1.3644874 | 1.6E-4 |
6.8 | 6.38041E-7 | 6.392378E-7 | 6.392378E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7344586E-6 | 2.739588E-6 | 2.739588E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3291526E-5 | 3.3354012E-5 | 9.3352006E-5 | 2.798824 | 6.0E-5 | 3.3286537E-4 | 3.3349387E-4 | 4.5345383E-4 | 1.3597068 | 1.2E-4 |
6.9 | 5.3460053E-7 | 5.34554E-7 | 5.34554E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2911431E-6 | 2.2909437E-6 | 2.2909437E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.789431E-5 | 2.7891916E-5 | 8.789024E-5 | 3.1511009 | 6.0E-5 | 2.789081E-4 | 2.7888748E-4 | 3.888568E-4 | 1.3943143 | 1.1E-4 |
7.0 | 3.557783E-7 | 3.532599E-7 | 3.532599E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5247632E-6 | 1.5139702E-6 | 1.5139702E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8563835E-5 | 1.843244E-5 | 3.843207E-5 | 2.0850236 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8562283E-4 | 1.8430996E-4 | 2.1430443E-4 | 1.1627393 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.037942E-7 | 3.0003832E-7 | 3.0003832E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3019744E-6 | 1.2858779E-6 | 1.2858779E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5851423E-5 | 1.565546E-5 | 3.5655146E-5 | 2.2774897 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5850292E-4 | 1.5654431E-4 | 1.8653962E-4 | 1.191609 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.0808248E-7 | 2.0219022E-7 | 2.0219022E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.917818E-7 | 8.6652926E-7 | 8.6652926E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0857389E-5 | 1.0549948E-5 | 3.0549738E-5 | 2.895724 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0856859E-4 | 1.0549493E-4 | 1.3549176E-4 | 1.2843438 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.1162073E-7 | 1.0637713E-7 | 1.0637713E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7837443E-7 | 4.559019E-7 | 4.559019E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8241935E-6 | 5.5505934E-6 | 1.5550539E-5 | 2.801599 | 1.0E-5 | 5.8240406E-5 | 5.5504748E-5 | 6.5504195E-5 | 1.1801548 | 1.0E-5 |
San Andreas (San Bernardino N)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.4273766E-4 | 3.167398E-4 | 3.4673032E-4 | 1.094685 | 3.0E-5 | 6.115894E-4 | 0.0013567561 | 0.0014366476 | 1.0588841 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0074207084 | 0.016394896 | 0.016739158 | 1.0209981 | 3.5E-4 | 0.07177748 | 0.15059182 | 0.15128833 | 1.0046252 | 8.2E-4 |
6.1 | 1.4273766E-4 | 3.167398E-4 | 3.4673032E-4 | 1.094685 | 3.0E-5 | 6.115894E-4 | 0.0013567561 | 0.0014366476 | 1.0588841 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0074207084 | 0.016394896 | 0.016739158 | 1.0209981 | 3.5E-4 | 0.07177748 | 0.15059182 | 0.15128833 | 1.0046252 | 8.2E-4 |
6.2 | 1.4273766E-4 | 3.167398E-4 | 3.4673032E-4 | 1.094685 | 3.0E-5 | 6.115894E-4 | 0.0013567561 | 0.0014366476 | 1.0588841 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0074207084 | 0.016394896 | 0.016739158 | 1.0209981 | 3.5E-4 | 0.07177748 | 0.15059182 | 0.15128833 | 1.0046252 | 8.2E-4 |
6.3 | 1.3730655E-4 | 3.0578513E-4 | 3.3577596E-4 | 1.0980781 | 3.0E-5 | 5.883239E-4 | 0.0013098551 | 0.0013897504 | 1.0609955 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0071393442 | 0.01583228 | 0.016176738 | 1.0217568 | 3.5E-4 | 0.06914291 | 0.14589466 | 0.14659503 | 1.0048004 | 8.2E-4 |
6.4 | 1.3730655E-4 | 3.0578513E-4 | 3.3577596E-4 | 1.0980781 | 3.0E-5 | 5.883239E-4 | 0.0013098551 | 0.0013897504 | 1.0609955 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0071393442 | 0.01583228 | 0.016176738 | 1.0217568 | 3.5E-4 | 0.06914291 | 0.14589466 | 0.14659503 | 1.0048004 | 8.2E-4 |
6.5 | 1.2942807E-4 | 2.8992427E-4 | 3.199156E-4 | 1.1034453 | 3.0E-5 | 5.545738E-4 | 0.0012419461 | 0.0013218467 | 1.064335 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0067310524 | 0.015017111 | 0.015361855 | 1.0229567 | 3.5E-4 | 0.06530788 | 0.1390329 | 0.13973027 | 1.005016 | 8.1E-4 |
6.6 | 1.1125901E-4 | 2.5430034E-4 | 2.842927E-4 | 1.1179408 | 3.0E-5 | 4.767372E-4 | 0.0010894057 | 0.0011693186 | 1.0733545 | 8.0E-5 | 0.005788839 | 0.013183488 | 0.013528873 | 1.0261984 | 3.5E-4 | 0.056403454 | 0.123299934 | 0.124001294 | 1.0056882 | 8.0E-4 |
6.7 | 1.02209575E-4 | 2.3564548E-4 | 2.656384E-4 | 1.1272799 | 3.0E-5 | 4.3796748E-4 | 0.0010095198 | 0.001089439 | 1.0791656 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0053192247 | 0.012222061 | 0.012557905 | 1.0274786 | 3.4E-4 | 0.051936906 | 0.11507991 | 0.115779 | 1.0060748 | 7.9E-4 |
6.8 | 9.610582E-5 | 2.2089499E-4 | 2.4089057E-4 | 1.0905207 | 2.0E-5 | 4.1181705E-4 | 9.4635E-4 | 0.0010162838 | 1.0738984 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0050023515 | 0.0114612095 | 0.011787428 | 1.0284628 | 3.3E-4 | 0.048912346 | 0.10848154 | 0.10917693 | 1.0064101 | 7.8E-4 |
6.9 | 9.3877505E-5 | 2.1544754E-4 | 2.3544322E-4 | 1.09281 | 2.0E-5 | 4.0227012E-4 | 9.230205E-4 | 9.929559E-4 | 1.075768 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0048866454 | 0.011180117 | 0.011496539 | 1.0283022 | 3.2E-4 | 0.04780577 | 0.10607087 | 0.10675919 | 1.0064893 | 7.7E-4 |
7.0 | 9.1019785E-5 | 2.0871244E-4 | 2.2870828E-4 | 1.0958056 | 2.0E-5 | 3.900265E-4 | 8.941759E-4 | 9.641133E-4 | 1.0782144 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0047382377 | 0.0108324755 | 0.011149009 | 1.0292208 | 3.2E-4 | 0.046384744 | 0.1030339 | 0.10372456 | 1.0067033 | 7.7E-4 |
7.1 | 8.771155E-5 | 2.0045337E-4 | 2.2044938E-4 | 1.0997539 | 2.0E-5 | 3.758525E-4 | 8.588036E-4 | 9.287435E-4 | 1.0814388 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0045664064 | 0.010406004 | 0.010722674 | 1.0304315 | 3.2E-4 | 0.044737056 | 0.09934442 | 0.100037925 | 1.0069808 | 7.7E-4 |
7.2 | 8.0830236E-5 | 1.8449864E-4 | 2.0449495E-4 | 1.1083819 | 2.0E-5 | 3.4636928E-4 | 7.90469E-4 | 8.5042155E-4 | 1.0758443 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0042088944 | 0.009581599 | 0.0098886285 | 1.0320437 | 3.1E-4 | 0.041300658 | 0.092064664 | 0.0927547 | 1.007495 | 7.6E-4 |
7.3 | 7.7668235E-5 | 1.7392321E-4 | 1.9391974E-4 | 1.1149733 | 2.0E-5 | 3.328214E-4 | 7.451724E-4 | 8.0512767E-4 | 1.0804583 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0040445733 | 0.009034813 | 0.009342013 | 1.0340017 | 3.1E-4 | 0.03971748 | 0.08732842 | 0.08802205 | 1.0079428 | 7.6E-4 |
7.4 | 7.520177E-5 | 1.661155E-4 | 1.8611217E-4 | 1.1203781 | 2.0E-5 | 3.2225347E-4 | 7.1172934E-4 | 7.7168667E-4 | 1.0842417 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0039163795 | 0.0086309435 | 0.008938268 | 1.0356072 | 3.1E-4 | 0.038480744 | 0.08378261 | 0.08446977 | 1.0082017 | 7.5E-4 |
7.5 | 7.274697E-5 | 1.5898397E-4 | 1.7898079E-4 | 1.1257788 | 2.0E-5 | 3.1173544E-4 | 6.8118196E-4 | 7.411411E-4 | 1.0880222 | 6.0E-5 | 0.003788775 | 0.008261912 | 0.0085693505 | 1.0372115 | 3.1E-4 | 0.03724827 | 0.08049677 | 0.08118641 | 1.0085671 | 7.5E-4 |
7.6 | 7.1185845E-5 | 1.5467741E-4 | 1.7467432E-4 | 1.1292814 | 2.0E-5 | 3.0504653E-4 | 6.6273485E-4 | 7.226951E-4 | 1.0904739 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0037076178 | 0.008038998 | 0.008346505 | 1.038252 | 3.1E-4 | 0.036463667 | 0.0784848 | 0.07917594 | 1.008806 | 7.5E-4 |
7.7 | 6.709961E-5 | 1.4375181E-4 | 1.6374893E-4 | 1.1391087 | 2.0E-5 | 2.8753807E-4 | 6.1593374E-4 | 6.7589676E-4 | 1.0973531 | 6.0E-5 | 0.003495157 | 0.0074732476 | 0.007780931 | 1.0411713 | 3.1E-4 | 0.034406938 | 0.07330966 | 0.07400468 | 1.0094806 | 7.5E-4 |
7.8 | 6.300812E-5 | 1.3256325E-4 | 1.525606E-4 | 1.1508514 | 2.0E-5 | 2.7000686E-4 | 5.6800456E-4 | 6.279705E-4 | 1.1055729 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0032823787 | 0.006893557 | 0.0072014197 | 1.0446595 | 3.1E-4 | 0.032343175 | 0.0679566 | 0.06864631 | 1.0101494 | 7.4E-4 |
7.9 | 4.983037E-5 | 9.765872E-5 | 9.765872E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1354125E-4 | 4.1847024E-4 | 4.584535E-4 | 1.0955462 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0025967648 | 0.0050829835 | 0.005341662 | 1.050891 | 2.6E-4 | 0.025666296 | 0.050846636 | 0.051425617 | 1.0113869 | 6.1E-4 |
8.0 | 3.2211527E-5 | 5.355161E-5 | 5.355161E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.380421E-4 | 2.2948672E-4 | 2.3948442E-4 | 1.0435655 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016793669 | 0.0027904226 | 0.0028602274 | 1.0250158 | 7.0E-5 | 0.016667323 | 0.028481774 | 0.028676078 | 1.006822 | 2.0E-4 |
8.1 | 1.743376E-5 | 1.8938317E-5 | 1.8938317E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.471398E-5 | 8.11617E-5 | 8.11617E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0926304E-4 | 9.876963E-4 | 9.876963E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009055517 | 0.010543277 | 0.010563065 | 1.001877 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 7.831616E-6 | 5.1966613E-6 | 5.1966613E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3563636E-5 | 2.2271215E-5 | 2.2271215E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0856065E-4 | 2.711184E-4 | 2.711184E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004078103 | 0.0030644205 | 0.0030743899 | 1.0032532 | 1.0E-5 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.7366735E-7 | 7.7366735E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.315713E-6 | 3.315713E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.0368075E-5 | 4.0368075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.7638497E-4 | 4.7638497E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Paradise
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.4851273E-5 | 1.6696262E-5 | 2.6696094E-5 | 1.5989264 | 1.0E-5 | 6.364676E-5 | 7.155358E-5 | 1.1155071E-4 | 1.5589817 | 4.0E-5 | 7.7462377E-4 | 8.708402E-4 | 0.0011106312 | 1.2753559 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0077192914 | 0.0086766565 | 0.009380496 | 1.0811187 | 7.1E-4 |
6.1 | 1.4851273E-5 | 1.6696262E-5 | 2.6696094E-5 | 1.5989264 | 1.0E-5 | 6.364676E-5 | 7.155358E-5 | 1.1155071E-4 | 1.5589817 | 4.0E-5 | 7.7462377E-4 | 8.708402E-4 | 0.0011106312 | 1.2753559 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0077192914 | 0.0086766565 | 0.009380496 | 1.0811187 | 7.1E-4 |
6.2 | 1.4851273E-5 | 1.6696262E-5 | 2.6696094E-5 | 1.5989264 | 1.0E-5 | 6.364676E-5 | 7.155358E-5 | 1.1155071E-4 | 1.5589817 | 4.0E-5 | 7.7462377E-4 | 8.708402E-4 | 0.0011106312 | 1.2753559 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0077192914 | 0.0086766565 | 0.009380496 | 1.0811187 | 7.1E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0426831E-5 | 1.1889694E-5 | 1.1889694E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4685654E-5 | 5.0954874E-5 | 6.0954364E-5 | 1.1962421 | 1.0E-5 | 5.43912E-4 | 6.202049E-4 | 7.401305E-4 | 1.1933644 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0054258266 | 0.0061853486 | 0.006543122 | 1.057842 | 3.6E-4 |
6.4 | 1.0426831E-5 | 1.1889694E-5 | 1.1889694E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4685654E-5 | 5.0954874E-5 | 6.0954364E-5 | 1.1962421 | 1.0E-5 | 5.43912E-4 | 6.202049E-4 | 7.401305E-4 | 1.1933644 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0054258266 | 0.0061853486 | 0.006543122 | 1.057842 | 3.6E-4 |
6.5 | 9.25027E-6 | 1.0620915E-5 | 1.0620915E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.964341E-5 | 4.551744E-5 | 5.5516986E-5 | 1.219686 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8255164E-4 | 5.5403885E-4 | 6.339945E-4 | 1.1443142 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0048150513 | 0.0055270754 | 0.0057756933 | 1.0449818 | 2.5E-4 |
6.6 | 7.904275E-6 | 9.1603315E-6 | 9.1603315E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3875025E-5 | 3.9257997E-5 | 3.9257997E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1235037E-4 | 4.7786522E-4 | 5.2784133E-4 | 1.1045821 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0041158604 | 0.0047687734 | 0.0049280105 | 1.0333916 | 1.6E-4 |
6.7 | 7.2061953E-6 | 8.407986E-6 | 8.407986E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.088333E-5 | 3.6033747E-5 | 3.6033747E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7593965E-4 | 4.3862622E-4 | 4.7860868E-4 | 1.0911539 | 4.0E-5 | 0.003753043 | 0.0043779737 | 0.004487492 | 1.0250158 | 1.1E-4 |
6.8 | 6.6948724E-6 | 7.842853E-6 | 7.842853E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8691995E-5 | 3.3611814E-5 | 3.3611814E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4926904E-4 | 4.0915055E-4 | 4.4913418E-4 | 1.0977235 | 4.0E-5 | 0.003487206 | 0.00408433 | 0.0041640033 | 1.019507 | 8.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.0421025E-6 | 7.131244E-6 | 7.131244E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5894467E-5 | 3.0562136E-5 | 3.0562136E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1521954E-4 | 3.7203386E-4 | 4.020227E-4 | 1.0806078 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0031477278 | 0.0037144488 | 0.0037841888 | 1.0187753 | 7.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.134091E-6 | 5.080773E-6 | 5.080773E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7717413E-5 | 2.1774567E-5 | 2.1774567E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1568815E-4 | 2.6507466E-4 | 2.75072E-4 | 1.0377152 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021547892 | 0.002647738 | 0.0026776583 | 1.0113004 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.7674888E-6 | 4.632289E-6 | 4.632289E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6146281E-5 | 1.9852525E-5 | 1.9852525E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9656324E-4 | 2.416792E-4 | 2.5167677E-4 | 1.0413672 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019638946 | 0.0024143143 | 0.002444242 | 1.0123959 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.4065345E-6 | 4.1570993E-6 | 4.1570993E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4599351E-5 | 1.7816026E-5 | 1.7816026E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.777326E-4 | 2.1689002E-4 | 2.2688786E-4 | 1.0460963 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017759053 | 0.0021669318 | 0.0021968668 | 1.0138144 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.9934936E-6 | 3.6296324E-6 | 3.6296324E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2829195E-5 | 1.5555483E-5 | 1.5555483E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5618425E-4 | 1.8937302E-4 | 1.9937112E-4 | 1.0527959 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015607453 | 0.0018922618 | 0.001922205 | 1.0158241 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.4049796E-6 | 2.8892123E-6 | 2.8892123E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0307015E-5 | 1.2382288E-5 | 1.2382288E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2548068E-4 | 1.5074537E-4 | 1.6074386E-4 | 1.066327 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012540985 | 0.0015065726 | 0.0015365274 | 1.0198828 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.2710091E-6 | 1.5135857E-6 | 1.5135857E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.44717E-6 | 6.486787E-6 | 6.486787E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.631728E-5 | 7.897502E-5 | 8.897423E-5 | 1.1266123 | 1.0E-5 | 6.6297496E-4 | 7.8959216E-4 | 8.195685E-4 | 1.0379643 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.6040865E-7 | 2.6040865E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.1160367E-6 | 1.1160367E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.3587692E-5 | 1.3587692E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1539775E-4 | 1.3587142E-4 | 1.3587142E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Bicycle Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9621975E-5 | 2.2100407E-5 | 3.2100186E-5 | 1.4524703 | 1.0E-5 | 8.4091465E-5 | 9.471335E-5 | 1.3470957E-4 | 1.4222869 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0010233327 | 0.0011526601 | 0.0013724065 | 1.1906428 | 2.2E-4 | 0.01018633 | 0.01148013 | 0.012033701 | 1.0482199 | 5.6E-4 |
6.1 | 1.9621975E-5 | 2.2100407E-5 | 3.2100186E-5 | 1.4524703 | 1.0E-5 | 8.4091465E-5 | 9.471335E-5 | 1.3470957E-4 | 1.4222869 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0010233327 | 0.0011526601 | 0.0013724065 | 1.1906428 | 2.2E-4 | 0.01018633 | 0.01148013 | 0.012033701 | 1.0482199 | 5.6E-4 |
6.2 | 9.9971285E-6 | 1.1257332E-5 | 2.125722E-5 | 1.8883 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2844134E-5 | 4.8245107E-5 | 6.8244146E-5 | 1.4145298 | 2.0E-5 | 5.2150246E-4 | 5.8727793E-4 | 6.872192E-4 | 1.1701771 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0052028033 | 0.005862366 | 0.0061705485 | 1.0525696 | 3.1E-4 |
6.3 | 9.589428E-6 | 1.0799971E-5 | 2.0799864E-5 | 1.9259183 | 1.0E-5 | 4.10969E-5 | 4.6285066E-5 | 6.628414E-5 | 1.4320848 | 2.0E-5 | 5.002399E-4 | 5.634268E-4 | 6.633705E-4 | 1.1773853 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0049911533 | 0.0056250747 | 0.005933331 | 1.0548004 | 3.1E-4 |
6.4 | 9.589428E-6 | 1.0799971E-5 | 2.0799864E-5 | 1.9259183 | 1.0E-5 | 4.10969E-5 | 4.6285066E-5 | 6.628414E-5 | 1.4320848 | 2.0E-5 | 5.002399E-4 | 5.634268E-4 | 6.633705E-4 | 1.1773853 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0049911533 | 0.0056250747 | 0.005933331 | 1.0548004 | 3.1E-4 |
6.5 | 5.557707E-6 | 6.2865843E-6 | 6.2865843E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3818526E-5 | 2.6942378E-5 | 3.6942107E-5 | 1.3711525 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8995197E-4 | 3.2800096E-4 | 3.97978E-4 | 1.213344 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0028957394 | 0.0032778054 | 0.0034671826 | 1.0577756 | 1.9E-4 |
6.6 | 4.8742945E-6 | 5.5141527E-6 | 5.5141527E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0889667E-5 | 2.3632016E-5 | 3.363178E-5 | 1.4231447 | 1.0E-5 | 2.54302E-4 | 2.87708E-4 | 3.3769364E-4 | 1.1737373 | 5.0E-5 | 0.002540112 | 0.002875925 | 0.0030055512 | 1.0450728 | 1.3E-4 |
6.7 | 3.991108E-6 | 4.5166194E-6 | 4.5166194E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7104636E-5 | 1.935694E-5 | 2.9356746E-5 | 1.5166006 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0822904E-4 | 2.3567074E-4 | 2.8565896E-4 | 1.2121104 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0020803404 | 0.0023567074 | 0.0024664481 | 1.0465653 | 1.1E-4 |
Garlic Springs
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6760017E-5 | 1.8779532E-5 | 3.8779155E-5 | 2.0649693 | 2.0E-5 | 7.182667E-5 | 8.0481885E-5 | 1.1047947E-4 | 1.3727247 | 3.0E-5 | 8.7413884E-4 | 9.795439E-4 | 0.0012193088 | 1.244772 | 2.4E-4 | 0.008707083 | 0.009763812 | 0.010288637 | 1.0537521 | 5.3E-4 |
6.1 | 9.852767E-6 | 1.0975077E-5 | 3.0974858E-5 | 2.8222907 | 2.0E-5 | 4.222546E-5 | 4.70356E-5 | 6.7034656E-5 | 1.4251899 | 2.0E-5 | 5.139737E-4 | 5.725789E-4 | 7.2249305E-4 | 1.2618226 | 1.5E-4 | 0.005127866 | 0.005717997 | 0.0060162814 | 1.052166 | 3.0E-4 |
6.2 | 9.852767E-6 | 1.0975077E-5 | 3.0974858E-5 | 2.8222907 | 2.0E-5 | 4.222546E-5 | 4.70356E-5 | 6.7034656E-5 | 1.4251899 | 2.0E-5 | 5.139737E-4 | 5.725789E-4 | 7.2249305E-4 | 1.2618226 | 1.5E-4 | 0.005127866 | 0.005717997 | 0.0060162814 | 1.052166 | 3.0E-4 |
6.3 | 4.3167724E-6 | 4.778638E-6 | 2.4778543E-5 | 5.1852727 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8500323E-5 | 2.0479847E-5 | 4.0479437E-5 | 1.9765499 | 2.0E-5 | 2.2521814E-4 | 2.4933665E-4 | 3.493117E-4 | 1.4009643 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0022499003 | 0.0024928278 | 0.002652429 | 1.0640241 | 1.6E-4 |
6.4 | 4.3167724E-6 | 4.778638E-6 | 2.4778543E-5 | 5.1852727 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8500323E-5 | 2.0479847E-5 | 4.0479437E-5 | 1.9765499 | 2.0E-5 | 2.2521814E-4 | 2.4933665E-4 | 3.493117E-4 | 1.4009643 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0022499003 | 0.0024928278 | 0.002652429 | 1.0640241 | 1.6E-4 |
6.5 | 4.3167724E-6 | 4.778638E-6 | 2.4778543E-5 | 5.1852727 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8500323E-5 | 2.0479847E-5 | 4.0479437E-5 | 1.9765499 | 2.0E-5 | 2.2521814E-4 | 2.4933665E-4 | 3.493117E-4 | 1.4009643 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0022499003 | 0.0024928278 | 0.002652429 | 1.0640241 | 1.6E-4 |
6.6 | 4.301311E-6 | 4.7615044E-6 | 2.476141E-5 | 5.200333 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8434059E-5 | 2.0406416E-5 | 4.040601E-5 | 1.9800638 | 2.0E-5 | 2.2441156E-4 | 2.4844284E-4 | 3.48418E-4 | 1.402407 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0022418506 | 0.0024839097 | 0.0026435123 | 1.0642545 | 1.6E-4 |
6.7 | 3.8599724E-6 | 4.271603E-6 | 4.271603E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6542634E-5 | 1.830687E-5 | 1.830687E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0138794E-4 | 2.2288613E-4 | 2.9287054E-4 | 1.3139917 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0020120554 | 0.0022288614 | 0.002348594 | 1.0537192 | 1.2E-4 |
San Andreas (San Bernardino S)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2336002E-4 | 3.0050485E-4 | 3.1050184E-4 | 1.0332674 | 1.0E-5 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0012872684 | 0.001337204 | 1.0387919 | 5.0E-5 | 0.006416472 | 0.015564835 | 0.015742034 | 1.0113845 | 1.8E-4 | 0.06234337 | 0.14286225 | 0.14326511 | 1.0028199 | 4.7E-4 |
6.1 | 1.2336002E-4 | 3.0050485E-4 | 3.1050184E-4 | 1.0332674 | 1.0E-5 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0012872684 | 0.001337204 | 1.0387919 | 5.0E-5 | 0.006416472 | 0.015564835 | 0.015742034 | 1.0113845 | 1.8E-4 | 0.06234337 | 0.14286225 | 0.14326511 | 1.0028199 | 4.7E-4 |
6.2 | 1.2336002E-4 | 3.0050485E-4 | 3.1050184E-4 | 1.0332674 | 1.0E-5 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0012872684 | 0.001337204 | 1.0387919 | 5.0E-5 | 0.006416472 | 0.015564835 | 0.015742034 | 1.0113845 | 1.8E-4 | 0.06234337 | 0.14286225 | 0.14326511 | 1.0028199 | 4.7E-4 |
6.3 | 1.1712257E-4 | 2.8838232E-4 | 2.9837943E-4 | 1.0346662 | 1.0E-5 | 5.018573E-4 | 0.0012353645 | 0.0012853028 | 1.0404239 | 5.0E-5 | 0.006093008 | 0.01494169 | 0.015119 | 1.0118668 | 1.8E-4 | 0.059286322 | 0.1375653 | 0.13797064 | 1.0029466 | 4.7E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1712257E-4 | 2.8838232E-4 | 2.9837943E-4 | 1.0346662 | 1.0E-5 | 5.018573E-4 | 0.0012353645 | 0.0012853028 | 1.0404239 | 5.0E-5 | 0.006093008 | 0.01494169 | 0.015119 | 1.0118668 | 1.8E-4 | 0.059286322 | 0.1375653 | 0.13797064 | 1.0029466 | 4.7E-4 |
6.5 | 1.0689076E-4 | 2.6850254E-4 | 2.7849985E-4 | 1.0372336 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5802278E-4 | 0.0011502425 | 0.001200185 | 1.0434191 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0055621783 | 0.0139189055 | 0.0140964 | 1.012752 | 1.8E-4 | 0.05425003 | 0.12883034 | 0.12923108 | 1.0031105 | 4.6E-4 |
6.6 | 9.7648895E-5 | 2.509417E-4 | 2.6093918E-4 | 1.0398399 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1842813E-4 | 0.0010750449 | 0.0011249911 | 1.0464597 | 5.0E-5 | 0.005082469 | 0.013014494 | 0.013192152 | 1.0136508 | 1.8E-4 | 0.049677886 | 0.121004164 | 0.121399716 | 1.0032688 | 4.5E-4 |
6.7 | 8.757013E-5 | 2.3164261E-4 | 2.4164029E-4 | 1.04316 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7524657E-4 | 9.923986E-4 | 0.001032359 | 1.0402664 | 4.0E-5 | 0.00455906 | 0.01201961 | 0.012187567 | 1.0139736 | 1.7E-4 | 0.04466656 | 0.11228369 | 0.11264766 | 1.0032414 | 4.1E-4 |
6.8 | 8.562978E-5 | 2.2723855E-4 | 2.2723855E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6693315E-4 | 9.7353826E-4 | 0.001003509 | 1.0307854 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004458263 | 0.011792486 | 0.011950599 | 1.013408 | 1.6E-4 | 0.043698758 | 0.11028875 | 0.11064463 | 1.0032269 | 4.0E-4 |
6.9 | 6.124075E-5 | 1.710376E-4 | 1.710376E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6243398E-4 | 7.3281315E-4 | 7.627912E-4 | 1.0409081 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0031904527 | 0.00888571 | 0.009044288 | 1.0178465 | 1.6E-4 | 0.031450346 | 0.08435732 | 0.08470526 | 1.0041246 | 3.8E-4 |
7.0 | 5.8598747E-5 | 1.653238E-4 | 1.653238E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5111332E-4 | 7.08339E-4 | 7.383177E-4 | 1.0423226 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0030530186 | 0.008590122 | 0.008748747 | 1.018466 | 1.6E-4 | 0.03011414 | 0.081671305 | 0.08202027 | 1.0042728 | 3.8E-4 |
7.1 | 5.613814E-5 | 1.5950593E-4 | 1.5950593E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4056983E-4 | 6.834185E-4 | 7.13398E-4 | 1.043867 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0029250039 | 0.008289058 | 0.008447732 | 1.0191425 | 1.6E-4 | 0.028868021 | 0.07896506 | 0.07931505 | 1.0044322 | 3.8E-4 |
7.2 | 4.991222E-5 | 1.455611E-4 | 1.455611E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1389198E-4 | 6.2368455E-4 | 6.536658E-4 | 1.0480713 | 3.0E-5 | 0.002601025 | 0.0075670253 | 0.0077258144 | 1.0209844 | 1.6E-4 | 0.025707912 | 0.07241057 | 0.072763056 | 1.0048679 | 3.8E-4 |
7.3 | 4.7410045E-5 | 1.3749546E-4 | 1.3749546E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0317009E-4 | 5.891335E-4 | 6.1911583E-4 | 1.0508922 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0024707897 | 0.007149197 | 0.0073080533 | 1.0222201 | 1.6E-4 | 0.024434982 | 0.06868981 | 0.0690437 | 1.0051521 | 3.8E-4 |
7.4 | 4.5556746E-5 | 1.3156825E-4 | 1.3156825E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.952286E-4 | 5.6374236E-4 | 5.937254E-4 | 1.0531858 | 3.0E-5 | 0.002374317 | 0.0068420423 | 0.007000948 | 1.0232248 | 1.6E-4 | 0.023491086 | 0.06594088 | 0.06628648 | 1.005241 | 3.7E-4 |
7.5 | 4.3084514E-5 | 1.2391404E-4 | 1.2391404E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8463485E-4 | 5.309524E-4 | 5.6093646E-4 | 1.0564722 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0022456115 | 0.0064452575 | 0.0066042263 | 1.0246644 | 1.6E-4 | 0.022230545 | 0.062338743 | 0.062685676 | 1.0055653 | 3.7E-4 |
7.6 | 3.408608E-5 | 9.866843E-5 | 9.866843E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4607502E-4 | 4.227963E-4 | 4.527836E-4 | 1.0709262 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0017770125 | 0.005135421 | 0.0052945996 | 1.0309962 | 1.6E-4 | 0.017628696 | 0.05015917 | 0.050501112 | 1.0068171 | 3.6E-4 |
7.7 | 2.8315713E-5 | 8.278096E-5 | 8.278096E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2134742E-4 | 3.5472735E-4 | 3.8471672E-4 | 1.084542 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0014764034 | 0.0043102624 | 0.0044695726 | 1.0369607 | 1.6E-4 | 0.01466633 | 0.042402577 | 0.04274731 | 1.0081301 | 3.6E-4 |
7.8 | 2.6222975E-5 | 7.490585E-5 | 7.490585E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1237934E-4 | 3.2098562E-4 | 3.5097598E-4 | 1.0934322 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0013673597 | 0.0039010032 | 0.004060379 | 1.040855 | 1.6E-4 | 0.013589768 | 0.03855961 | 0.03890573 | 1.0089762 | 3.6E-4 |
7.9 | 2.1469694E-5 | 5.810731E-5 | 5.810731E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.200973E-5 | 2.4900757E-4 | 2.7900012E-4 | 1.1204482 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011196428 | 0.0030274556 | 0.0031869714 | 1.0526897 | 1.6E-4 | 0.011140184 | 0.030255903 | 0.030585615 | 1.0108975 | 3.4E-4 |
8.0 | 1.2420249E-5 | 3.1445234E-5 | 3.1445234E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.322855E-5 | 1.3475833E-4 | 1.3475833E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.478649E-4 | 0.001639449 | 0.0016793835 | 1.0243584 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0064597935 | 0.016581131 | 0.016728643 | 1.0088965 | 1.5E-4 |
8.1 | 4.9197724E-6 | 7.867898E-6 | 7.867898E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1084568E-5 | 3.3719127E-5 | 3.3719127E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.566744E-4 | 4.1045315E-4 | 4.1045315E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002563781 | 0.004407251 | 0.004417207 | 1.002259 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 2.5634774E-6 | 2.927817E-6 | 2.927817E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0986286E-5 | 1.2547727E-5 | 1.2547727E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3374983E-4 | 1.5275792E-4 | 1.5275792E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013366934 | 0.0017160305 | 0.0017260134 | 1.0058174 | 1.0E-5 |
8.3 | 5.2850464E-7 | 3.2401533E-7 | 3.2401533E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2650179E-6 | 1.3886365E-6 | 1.3886365E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7576245E-5 | 1.6906532E-5 | 1.6906532E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7572823E-4 | 2.0046857E-4 | 2.0046857E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Big Bend)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.0150088E-4 | 2.1149887E-4 | 1.0496175 | 1.0E-5 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.6329045E-4 | 8.9326454E-4 | 1.0347208 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0052979486 | 0.010460193 | 0.010588834 | 1.0122981 | 1.3E-4 | 0.051734097 | 0.101805806 | 0.10210221 | 1.0029114 | 3.3E-4 |
6.1 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.0150088E-4 | 2.1149887E-4 | 1.0496175 | 1.0E-5 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.6329045E-4 | 8.9326454E-4 | 1.0347208 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0052979486 | 0.010460193 | 0.010588834 | 1.0122981 | 1.3E-4 | 0.051734097 | 0.101805806 | 0.10210221 | 1.0029114 | 3.3E-4 |
6.2 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.0150088E-4 | 2.1149887E-4 | 1.0496175 | 1.0E-5 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.6329045E-4 | 8.9326454E-4 | 1.0347208 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0052979486 | 0.010460193 | 0.010588834 | 1.0122981 | 1.3E-4 | 0.051734097 | 0.101805806 | 0.10210221 | 1.0029114 | 3.3E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.0150088E-4 | 2.1149887E-4 | 1.0496175 | 1.0E-5 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.6329045E-4 | 8.9326454E-4 | 1.0347208 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0052979486 | 0.010460193 | 0.010588834 | 1.0122981 | 1.3E-4 | 0.051734097 | 0.101805806 | 0.10210221 | 1.0029114 | 3.3E-4 |
6.4 | 9.1639464E-5 | 1.8505895E-4 | 1.8505895E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9268145E-4 | 7.928689E-4 | 8.1285305E-4 | 1.0252049 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0047704205 | 0.009610572 | 0.009660092 | 1.0051526 | 5.0E-5 | 0.046693064 | 0.09410653 | 0.09428771 | 1.0019252 | 2.0E-4 |
6.5 | 9.1639464E-5 | 1.8505895E-4 | 1.8505895E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9268145E-4 | 7.928689E-4 | 8.1285305E-4 | 1.0252049 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0047704205 | 0.009610572 | 0.009660092 | 1.0051526 | 5.0E-5 | 0.046693064 | 0.09410653 | 0.09428771 | 1.0019252 | 2.0E-4 |
6.6 | 9.042622E-5 | 1.831276E-4 | 1.831276E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8748336E-4 | 7.845967E-4 | 8.04581E-4 | 1.0254709 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0047074095 | 0.00951074 | 0.009560264 | 1.0052072 | 5.0E-5 | 0.046089325 | 0.09320284 | 0.0933842 | 1.0019459 | 2.0E-4 |
6.7 | 8.9836685E-5 | 1.8227036E-4 | 1.8227036E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8495753E-4 | 7.809251E-4 | 8.009095E-4 | 1.0255907 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00467679 | 0.0094664255 | 0.009515952 | 1.0052319 | 5.0E-5 | 0.045795817 | 0.09279698 | 0.092960276 | 1.0017598 | 1.8E-4 |
6.8 | 8.9471854E-5 | 1.8173749E-4 | 1.8173749E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8339442E-4 | 7.7864266E-4 | 7.986271E-4 | 1.0256658 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004657841 | 0.009438879 | 0.009488407 | 1.0052472 | 5.0E-5 | 0.04561414 | 0.09254347 | 0.09269773 | 1.001667 | 1.7E-4 |
6.9 | 8.858234E-5 | 1.8055591E-4 | 1.8055591E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7958333E-4 | 7.735818E-4 | 7.935663E-4 | 1.0258337 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004611638 | 0.009377794 | 0.009427325 | 1.0052817 | 5.0E-5 | 0.04517103 | 0.091983564 | 0.092137925 | 1.0016781 | 1.7E-4 |
7.0 | 8.7433385E-5 | 1.7894196E-4 | 1.7894196E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.746607E-4 | 7.6666893E-4 | 7.866536E-4 | 1.0260669 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004551957 | 0.009294352 | 0.009343887 | 1.0053296 | 5.0E-5 | 0.044598386 | 0.091217116 | 0.09137161 | 1.0016937 | 1.7E-4 |
7.1 | 8.684964E-5 | 1.780602E-4 | 1.780602E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7215967E-4 | 7.628922E-4 | 7.828769E-4 | 1.026196 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0045216335 | 0.0092487605 | 0.009298298 | 1.0053561 | 5.0E-5 | 0.04430731 | 0.090798676 | 0.09095324 | 1.0017023 | 1.7E-4 |
7.2 | 8.606521E-5 | 1.7696516E-4 | 1.7696516E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6879873E-4 | 7.582019E-4 | 7.781867E-4 | 1.0263582 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0044808835 | 0.009192139 | 0.00924168 | 1.0053895 | 5.0E-5 | 0.043916024 | 0.09027897 | 0.09042452 | 1.0016123 | 1.6E-4 |
7.3 | 8.568266E-5 | 1.7638369E-4 | 1.7638369E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6715972E-4 | 7.5571134E-4 | 7.7569624E-4 | 1.0264452 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0044610105 | 0.009162072 | 0.009211614 | 1.0054073 | 5.0E-5 | 0.043725148 | 0.090000115 | 0.090145715 | 1.0016178 | 1.6E-4 |
7.4 | 8.5432206E-5 | 1.7600866E-4 | 1.7600866E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6608664E-4 | 7.54105E-4 | 7.740899E-4 | 1.0265015 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004447999 | 0.009142679 | 0.009192222 | 1.0054189 | 5.0E-5 | 0.043600157 | 0.08981996 | 0.08996559 | 1.0016214 | 1.6E-4 |
7.5 | 8.4791965E-5 | 1.7469893E-4 | 1.7469893E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.633435E-4 | 7.4849505E-4 | 7.6848007E-4 | 1.0267003 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0044147377 | 0.00907495 | 0.009124496 | 1.0054597 | 5.0E-5 | 0.043280575 | 0.08919611 | 0.089341834 | 1.0016338 | 1.6E-4 |
7.6 | 8.241105E-5 | 1.6914125E-4 | 1.6914125E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.531424E-4 | 7.2468986E-4 | 7.4467534E-4 | 1.027578 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0042910352 | 0.008787494 | 0.008837055 | 1.0056399 | 5.0E-5 | 0.042091176 | 0.08656467 | 0.08671082 | 1.0016884 | 1.6E-4 |
7.7 | 7.00432E-5 | 1.427098E-4 | 1.427098E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.001506E-4 | 6.1147014E-4 | 6.314579E-4 | 1.032688 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0036482112 | 0.0074192765 | 0.0074689058 | 1.0066892 | 5.0E-5 | 0.035888977 | 0.07381426 | 0.07393466 | 1.0016311 | 1.3E-4 |
7.8 | 6.415362E-5 | 1.3028902E-4 | 1.3028902E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.749151E-4 | 5.58262E-4 | 5.7825085E-4 | 1.0358055 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0033419547 | 0.0067756884 | 0.0068253493 | 1.0073293 | 5.0E-5 | 0.03292141 | 0.06752052 | 0.06764175 | 1.0017953 | 1.3E-4 |
7.9 | 4.939911E-5 | 9.3840856E-5 | 9.3840856E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.116933E-4 | 4.021131E-4 | 4.021131E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025743195 | 0.0048847464 | 0.0048946976 | 1.0020372 | 1.0E-5 | 0.025447013 | 0.04911617 | 0.04918273 | 1.0013552 | 7.0E-5 |
8.0 | 3.344983E-5 | 5.248173E-5 | 5.248173E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4334853E-4 | 2.2490232E-4 | 2.2490232E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017438711 | 0.002734749 | 0.002734749 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017302496 | 0.028047686 | 0.028076846 | 1.0010396 | 3.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.9104898E-5 | 1.9296085E-5 | 1.9296085E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.1875565E-5 | 8.269489E-5 | 8.269489E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.963791E-4 | 0.001006346 | 0.001006346 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009919235 | 0.010814378 | 0.01082427 | 1.0009147 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.5205624E-6 | 5.5205624E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3659339E-5 | 2.3659339E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8801445E-4 | 2.8801445E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.003273719 | 0.0032836862 | 1.0030446 | 1.0E-5 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.7366735E-7 | 7.7366735E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.315713E-6 | 3.315713E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.0368075E-5 | 4.0368075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.7638497E-4 | 4.7638497E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Death Valley (Black Mtns Frontal)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.8672894E-5 | 1.8672894E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.002428E-5 | 9.002348E-5 | 1.1249521 | 1.0E-5 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.738677E-4 | 0.00106378 | 1.092325 | 9.0E-5 | 0.00867977 | 0.009696854 | 0.01004346 | 1.0357442 | 3.5E-4 |
6.1 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.8672894E-5 | 1.8672894E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.002428E-5 | 9.002348E-5 | 1.1249521 | 1.0E-5 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.738677E-4 | 0.00106378 | 1.092325 | 9.0E-5 | 0.00867977 | 0.009696854 | 0.01004346 | 1.0357442 | 3.5E-4 |
6.2 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.8672894E-5 | 1.8672894E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.002428E-5 | 9.002348E-5 | 1.1249521 | 1.0E-5 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.738677E-4 | 0.00106378 | 1.092325 | 9.0E-5 | 0.00867977 | 0.009696854 | 0.01004346 | 1.0357442 | 3.5E-4 |
6.3 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.8672894E-5 | 1.8672894E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.002428E-5 | 9.002348E-5 | 1.1249521 | 1.0E-5 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.738677E-4 | 0.00106378 | 1.092325 | 9.0E-5 | 0.00867977 | 0.009696854 | 0.01004346 | 1.0357442 | 3.5E-4 |
6.4 | 1.5515609E-5 | 1.7340652E-5 | 1.7340652E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.649377E-5 | 7.4314994E-5 | 8.4314255E-5 | 1.1345524 | 1.0E-5 | 8.0926094E-4 | 9.044156E-4 | 9.743523E-4 | 1.0773281 | 7.0E-5 | 0.008063202 | 0.009008034 | 0.009305332 | 1.0330036 | 3.0E-4 |
6.5 | 1.5515609E-5 | 1.7340652E-5 | 1.7340652E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.649377E-5 | 7.4314994E-5 | 8.4314255E-5 | 1.1345524 | 1.0E-5 | 8.0926094E-4 | 9.044156E-4 | 9.743523E-4 | 1.0773281 | 7.0E-5 | 0.008063202 | 0.009008034 | 0.009305332 | 1.0330036 | 3.0E-4 |
6.6 | 1.5041828E-5 | 1.681151E-5 | 1.681151E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4463384E-5 | 7.204737E-5 | 8.204665E-5 | 1.1387876 | 1.0E-5 | 7.8455906E-4 | 8.768296E-4 | 9.467682E-4 | 1.079763 | 7.0E-5 | 0.00781795 | 0.008734356 | 0.009001997 | 1.0306424 | 2.7E-4 |
6.7 | 1.4634985E-5 | 1.6358319E-5 | 1.6358319E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.271985E-5 | 7.0105234E-5 | 8.010453E-5 | 1.1426327 | 1.0E-5 | 7.6334673E-4 | 8.532027E-4 | 9.1315154E-4 | 1.0702633 | 6.0E-5 | 0.007607299 | 0.008499907 | 0.008757697 | 1.0303285 | 2.6E-4 |
6.8 | 1.4209158E-5 | 1.5884287E-5 | 1.5884287E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.089497E-5 | 6.807377E-5 | 7.807309E-5 | 1.1468894 | 1.0E-5 | 7.4114406E-4 | 8.284886E-4 | 8.884389E-4 | 1.072361 | 6.0E-5 | 0.007386771 | 0.008254616 | 0.008492635 | 1.0288347 | 2.4E-4 |
6.9 | 1.3780098E-5 | 1.5406767E-5 | 1.5406767E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9056227E-5 | 6.6027365E-5 | 7.602671E-5 | 1.1514424 | 1.0E-5 | 7.1877235E-4 | 8.0359215E-4 | 8.6354394E-4 | 1.0746047 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0071645193 | 0.008007458 | 0.008235617 | 1.0284932 | 2.3E-4 |
7.0 | 1.3585064E-5 | 1.5190302E-5 | 1.5190302E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8220405E-5 | 6.50997E-5 | 7.509905E-5 | 1.1536006 | 1.0E-5 | 7.086029E-4 | 7.923061E-4 | 8.522586E-4 | 1.0756683 | 6.0E-5 | 0.007063476 | 0.007895405 | 0.008113668 | 1.0276443 | 2.2E-4 |
7.1 | 1.3398601E-5 | 1.4983459E-5 | 1.4983459E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.742131E-5 | 6.421327E-5 | 6.421327E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9888023E-4 | 7.8152167E-4 | 8.314826E-4 | 1.0639278 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0069668638 | 0.0077883215 | 0.007986764 | 1.0254794 | 2.0E-4 |
7.2 | 1.3126312E-5 | 1.4681641E-5 | 1.4681641E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6254412E-5 | 6.291983E-5 | 6.291983E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.846822E-4 | 7.6578517E-4 | 8.0575456E-4 | 1.052194 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006825765 | 0.0076320474 | 0.00780075 | 1.0221045 | 1.7E-4 |
7.3 | 1.2922429E-5 | 1.445584E-5 | 1.445584E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5380664E-5 | 6.195216E-5 | 6.195216E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.74051E-4 | 7.540119E-4 | 7.939818E-4 | 1.0530095 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006720101 | 0.0075151175 | 0.0076838396 | 1.022451 | 1.7E-4 |
7.4 | 1.2768878E-5 | 1.4285801E-5 | 1.4285801E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4722615E-5 | 6.122346E-5 | 6.122346E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.660441E-4 | 7.4514607E-4 | 7.851163E-4 | 1.0536407 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0066405144 | 0.007427055 | 0.0075858664 | 1.0213828 | 1.6E-4 |
7.5 | 1.2521929E-5 | 1.4014012E-5 | 1.4014012E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.366431E-5 | 6.0058697E-5 | 6.0058697E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.531671E-4 | 7.309748E-4 | 7.709455E-4 | 1.0546814 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006512506 | 0.0072862804 | 0.007445114 | 1.0217991 | 1.6E-4 |
7.6 | 1.1301089E-5 | 1.26499535E-5 | 1.26499535E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8432343E-5 | 5.4212993E-5 | 5.4212993E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.895042E-4 | 6.598486E-4 | 6.998222E-4 | 1.06058 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0058794282 | 0.006579446 | 0.006728459 | 1.0226482 | 1.5E-4 |
7.7 | 9.189108E-6 | 1.0284824E-5 | 1.0284824E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.93813E-5 | 4.4077104E-5 | 4.4077104E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7936183E-4 | 5.3651165E-4 | 5.764902E-4 | 1.0745157 | 4.0E-5 | 0.004783291 | 0.005352675 | 0.0054819793 | 1.0241569 | 1.3E-4 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.6485014E-7 | 3.6485014E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5636425E-6 | 1.5636425E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.9037187E-5 | 1.9037187E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.9035599E-4 | 1.9035599E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6698093E-9 | 2.6698093E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.144204E-8 | 1.144204E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3930685E-7 | 1.3930685E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3930684E-6 | 1.3930684E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Coyote Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.980352E-5 | 2.1709237E-5 | 4.17088E-5 | 1.9212469 | 2.0E-5 | 8.486947E-5 | 9.303667E-5 | 1.1303481E-4 | 1.214949 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010327959 | 0.0011322049 | 0.0012620577 | 1.1146902 | 1.3E-4 | 0.010280091 | 0.011271545 | 0.011597825 | 1.0289472 | 3.3E-4 |
6.1 | 1.980352E-5 | 2.1709237E-5 | 4.17088E-5 | 1.9212469 | 2.0E-5 | 8.486947E-5 | 9.303667E-5 | 1.1303481E-4 | 1.214949 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010327959 | 0.0011322049 | 0.0012620577 | 1.1146902 | 1.3E-4 | 0.010280091 | 0.011271545 | 0.011597825 | 1.0289472 | 3.3E-4 |
6.2 | 1.980352E-5 | 2.1709237E-5 | 4.17088E-5 | 1.9212469 | 2.0E-5 | 8.486947E-5 | 9.303667E-5 | 1.1303481E-4 | 1.214949 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010327959 | 0.0011322049 | 0.0012620577 | 1.1146902 | 1.3E-4 | 0.010280091 | 0.011271545 | 0.011597825 | 1.0289472 | 3.3E-4 |
6.3 | 1.5344787E-5 | 1.6822602E-5 | 3.6822265E-5 | 2.1888568 | 2.0E-5 | 6.576172E-5 | 7.2095216E-5 | 9.2093775E-5 | 1.277391 | 2.0E-5 | 8.003548E-4 | 8.77467E-4 | 9.873705E-4 | 1.1252508 | 1.1E-4 | 0.007974784 | 0.00874607 | 0.008993884 | 1.0283343 | 2.5E-4 |
6.4 | 1.5344787E-5 | 1.6822602E-5 | 3.6822265E-5 | 2.1888568 | 2.0E-5 | 6.576172E-5 | 7.2095216E-5 | 9.2093775E-5 | 1.277391 | 2.0E-5 | 8.003548E-4 | 8.77467E-4 | 9.873705E-4 | 1.1252508 | 1.1E-4 | 0.007974784 | 0.00874607 | 0.008993884 | 1.0283343 | 2.5E-4 |
6.5 | 1.4189697E-5 | 1.5559779E-5 | 3.5559468E-5 | 2.2853453 | 2.0E-5 | 6.081157E-5 | 6.66834E-5 | 8.668207E-5 | 1.2999047 | 2.0E-5 | 7.401293E-4 | 8.116283E-4 | 9.1154716E-4 | 1.1231091 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0073766913 | 0.008092585 | 0.008330642 | 1.0294168 | 2.4E-4 |
6.6 | 1.3469301E-5 | 1.4773283E-5 | 3.4772987E-5 | 2.3537753 | 2.0E-5 | 5.7724297E-5 | 6.331287E-5 | 8.331161E-5 | 1.3158715 | 2.0E-5 | 7.025667E-4 | 7.706216E-4 | 8.705445E-4 | 1.1296654 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0070034964 | 0.0076853987 | 0.007923555 | 1.0309881 | 2.4E-4 |
6.7 | 1.3027966E-5 | 1.4283386E-5 | 1.4283386E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5832945E-5 | 6.121342E-5 | 6.121342E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7955407E-4 | 7.4507826E-4 | 8.1502605E-4 | 1.0938798 | 7.0E-5 | 0.006774798 | 0.0074316803 | 0.007630194 | 1.0267118 | 2.0E-4 |
6.8 | 5.695434E-6 | 6.225108E-6 | 6.225108E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4408775E-5 | 2.667893E-5 | 2.667893E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.971363E-4 | 3.2479755E-4 | 3.2479755E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029673933 | 0.00324617 | 0.0033059753 | 1.0184233 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.385688E-6 | 4.793587E-6 | 4.793587E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.879567E-5 | 2.0543943E-5 | 2.0543943E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2881327E-4 | 2.501225E-4 | 2.501225E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002285778 | 0.002501225 | 0.002541125 | 1.0159521 | 4.0E-5 |
Helendale-So Lockhart
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.7296055E-5 | 1.810474E-5 | 1.810474E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.412385E-5 | 7.758955E-5 | 8.758878E-5 | 1.1288733 | 1.0E-5 | 9.0208417E-4 | 9.442642E-4 | 0.0010441698 | 1.1058025 | 1.0E-4 | 0.008984311 | 0.00940464 | 0.009682006 | 1.0294925 | 2.8E-4 |
6.1 | 1.7296055E-5 | 1.810474E-5 | 1.810474E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.412385E-5 | 7.758955E-5 | 8.758878E-5 | 1.1288733 | 1.0E-5 | 9.0208417E-4 | 9.442642E-4 | 0.0010441698 | 1.1058025 | 1.0E-4 | 0.008984311 | 0.00940464 | 0.009682006 | 1.0294925 | 2.8E-4 |
6.2 | 1.7296055E-5 | 1.810474E-5 | 1.810474E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.412385E-5 | 7.758955E-5 | 8.758878E-5 | 1.1288733 | 1.0E-5 | 9.0208417E-4 | 9.442642E-4 | 0.0010441698 | 1.1058025 | 1.0E-4 | 0.008984311 | 0.00940464 | 0.009682006 | 1.0294925 | 2.8E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0669118E-5 | 1.1136006E-5 | 1.1136006E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5723988E-5 | 4.7724883E-5 | 5.7724406E-5 | 1.2095243 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5654737E-4 | 5.8089837E-4 | 6.608519E-4 | 1.1376377 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0055515557 | 0.0057940953 | 0.0059929364 | 1.0343179 | 2.0E-4 |
6.4 | 1.0669118E-5 | 1.1136006E-5 | 1.1136006E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5723988E-5 | 4.7724883E-5 | 5.7724406E-5 | 1.2095243 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5654737E-4 | 5.8089837E-4 | 6.608519E-4 | 1.1376377 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0055515557 | 0.0057940953 | 0.0059929364 | 1.0343179 | 2.0E-4 |
6.5 | 8.790038E-6 | 9.170671E-6 | 9.170671E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.767105E-5 | 3.9302293E-5 | 4.93019E-5 | 1.254428 | 1.0E-5 | 4.585485E-4 | 4.784019E-4 | 5.483684E-4 | 1.1462505 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0045760344 | 0.0047738845 | 0.0049231686 | 1.031271 | 1.5E-4 |
6.6 | 7.396949E-6 | 7.715934E-6 | 7.715934E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1700827E-5 | 3.3067878E-5 | 3.3067878E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.858892E-4 | 4.0252804E-4 | 4.6250387E-4 | 1.1489979 | 6.0E-5 | 0.003852198 | 0.0040180963 | 0.004147574 | 1.0322236 | 1.3E-4 |
6.7 | 6.4600285E-6 | 6.7383776E-6 | 6.7383776E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7685543E-5 | 2.8878447E-5 | 2.8878447E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3701936E-4 | 3.5153914E-4 | 4.1151803E-4 | 1.170618 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0033650869 | 0.0035099122 | 0.003629491 | 1.034069 | 1.2E-4 |
6.8 | 5.600104E-6 | 5.836303E-6 | 5.836303E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4000226E-5 | 2.5012492E-5 | 2.5012492E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9216358E-4 | 3.0448512E-4 | 3.4447294E-4 | 1.1313293 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0029177975 | 0.003040741 | 0.0031304671 | 1.029508 | 9.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.839122E-6 | 5.0397584E-6 | 5.0397584E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0738931E-5 | 2.159879E-5 | 2.159879E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5246723E-4 | 2.62934E-4 | 2.929261E-4 | 1.1140671 | 3.0E-5 | 0.002521806 | 0.0026262766 | 0.0026960927 | 1.0265837 | 7.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.6937633E-6 | 3.8453963E-6 | 3.8453963E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5830317E-5 | 1.6480168E-5 | 1.6480168E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9271708E-4 | 2.0062788E-4 | 2.3062185E-4 | 1.1495006 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0019255003 | 0.002004499 | 0.0020643787 | 1.0298727 | 6.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.7858857E-6 | 2.8979928E-6 | 2.8979928E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1939455E-5 | 1.2419911E-5 | 1.2419911E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4535317E-4 | 1.5120214E-4 | 1.6120063E-4 | 1.0661266 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014525814 | 0.0015110142 | 0.001530984 | 1.0132161 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.1672065E-6 | 2.2541205E-6 | 2.2541205E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2879945E-6 | 9.660482E-6 | 9.660482E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1307546E-4 | 1.176102E-4 | 1.2760903E-4 | 1.0850166 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011301794 | 0.0011754978 | 0.0011954743 | 1.0169941 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.4823496E-6 | 1.5422845E-6 | 1.5422845E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3529114E-6 | 6.609775E-6 | 6.609775E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.734395E-5 | 8.0471196E-5 | 9.047039E-5 | 1.124258 | 1.0E-5 | 7.731704E-4 | 8.0443564E-4 | 8.2441955E-4 | 1.0248421 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.2321457E-7 | 4.411099E-7 | 4.411099E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8137755E-6 | 1.8904699E-6 | 1.8904699E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2082493E-5 | 2.3016273E-5 | 3.3016044E-5 | 1.4344652 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2080299E-4 | 2.3014343E-4 | 2.4014112E-4 | 1.0434412 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.6942316E-8 | 5.9418728E-8 | 5.9418728E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.440385E-7 | 2.5465167E-7 | 2.5465167E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9711643E-6 | 3.1003804E-6 | 3.1003804E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9711247E-5 | 3.100345E-5 | 3.100345E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (San Gorgonio Pass-Garnet HIll)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.341988E-4 | 2.341988E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010033213 | 0.0010133112 | 1.009957 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004329778 | 0.012146924 | 0.012206195 | 1.0048795 | 6.0E-5 | 0.042463828 | 0.11273086 | 0.11290832 | 1.0015742 | 2.0E-4 |
6.1 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.341988E-4 | 2.341988E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010033213 | 0.0010133112 | 1.009957 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004329778 | 0.012146924 | 0.012206195 | 1.0048795 | 6.0E-5 | 0.042463828 | 0.11273086 | 0.11290832 | 1.0015742 | 2.0E-4 |
6.2 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.341988E-4 | 2.341988E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010033213 | 0.0010133112 | 1.009957 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004329778 | 0.012146924 | 0.012206195 | 1.0048795 | 6.0E-5 | 0.042463828 | 0.11273086 | 0.11290832 | 1.0015742 | 2.0E-4 |
6.3 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.341988E-4 | 2.341988E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010033213 | 0.0010133112 | 1.009957 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004329778 | 0.012146924 | 0.012206195 | 1.0048795 | 6.0E-5 | 0.042463828 | 0.11273086 | 0.11290832 | 1.0015742 | 2.0E-4 |
6.4 | 8.059055E-5 | 2.2977221E-4 | 2.2977221E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4534236E-4 | 9.843671E-4 | 9.843671E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041964394 | 0.01191902 | 0.011958543 | 1.0033159 | 4.0E-5 | 0.041180745 | 0.1107114 | 0.11088037 | 1.0015261 | 1.9E-4 |
6.5 | 8.059055E-5 | 2.2977221E-4 | 2.2977221E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4534236E-4 | 9.843671E-4 | 9.843671E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041964394 | 0.01191902 | 0.011958543 | 1.0033159 | 4.0E-5 | 0.041180745 | 0.1107114 | 0.11088037 | 1.0015261 | 1.9E-4 |
6.6 | 7.619237E-5 | 2.2221451E-4 | 2.2221451E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2649786E-4 | 9.520026E-4 | 9.520026E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039678677 | 0.011529582 | 0.011569121 | 1.0034293 | 4.0E-5 | 0.03897764 | 0.10724723 | 0.107399 | 1.0014151 | 1.7E-4 |
6.7 | 7.440636E-5 | 2.1897187E-4 | 2.1897187E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.188454E-4 | 9.381156E-4 | 9.381156E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038750346 | 0.011362279 | 0.011401825 | 1.0034804 | 4.0E-5 | 0.038081564 | 0.10575555 | 0.105907574 | 1.0014374 | 1.7E-4 |
6.8 | 7.3735864E-5 | 2.1744304E-4 | 2.1744304E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1597257E-4 | 9.315682E-4 | 9.315682E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038401815 | 0.011283396 | 0.011322944 | 1.003505 | 4.0E-5 | 0.03774495 | 0.10505708 | 0.105209224 | 1.0014482 | 1.7E-4 |
6.9 | 7.27575E-5 | 2.1513218E-4 | 2.1513218E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.117806E-4 | 9.216715E-4 | 9.216715E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003789323 | 0.011164145 | 0.011203698 | 1.0035429 | 4.0E-5 | 0.037253562 | 0.10400488 | 0.1041572 | 1.0014645 | 1.7E-4 |
7.0 | 7.102591E-5 | 2.1097095E-4 | 2.1097095E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0436125E-4 | 9.0385013E-4 | 9.0385013E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003699303 | 0.010949368 | 0.010988929 | 1.0036132 | 4.0E-5 | 0.03638325 | 0.10210809 | 0.10226073 | 1.0014949 | 1.7E-4 |
7.1 | 7.028513E-5 | 2.0932668E-4 | 2.0932668E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0118722E-4 | 8.9680817E-4 | 8.9680817E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036607897 | 0.010864491 | 0.010904056 | 1.0036417 | 4.0E-5 | 0.036010686 | 0.10135082 | 0.10150359 | 1.0015074 | 1.7E-4 |
7.2 | 6.8498244E-5 | 2.0540363E-4 | 2.0540363E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9353087E-4 | 8.800065E-4 | 8.800065E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003567883 | 0.010661948 | 0.010701521 | 1.0037117 | 4.0E-5 | 0.035111405 | 0.09954235 | 0.09969543 | 1.0015378 | 1.7E-4 |
7.3 | 6.622592E-5 | 1.9767189E-4 | 1.9767189E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8379448E-4 | 8.4689236E-4 | 8.4689236E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034497243 | 0.0102626495 | 0.010302239 | 1.0038576 | 4.0E-5 | 0.033966612 | 0.096037135 | 0.09619081 | 1.0016001 | 1.7E-4 |
7.4 | 5.1050705E-5 | 1.4719358E-4 | 1.4719358E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1877038E-4 | 6.30678E-4 | 6.30678E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002660276 | 0.007651665 | 0.0076913587 | 1.0051876 | 4.0E-5 | 0.02628654 | 0.07299337 | 0.07315096 | 1.002159 | 1.7E-4 |
7.5 | 3.9302922E-5 | 1.11561865E-4 | 1.11561865E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6843023E-4 | 4.7803498E-4 | 4.7803498E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020487092 | 0.0058046146 | 0.005844382 | 1.0068511 | 4.0E-5 | 0.020299247 | 0.056126226 | 0.05628668 | 1.0028589 | 1.7E-4 |
7.6 | 2.9851626E-5 | 8.518392E-5 | 8.518392E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2792926E-4 | 3.65023E-4 | 3.65023E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015564259 | 0.004435125 | 0.004474947 | 1.008979 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0154556995 | 0.043298446 | 0.043451518 | 1.0035353 | 1.6E-4 |
7.7 | 2.1135214E-5 | 6.3736974E-5 | 6.3736974E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0576345E-5 | 2.731299E-4 | 2.731299E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011022091 | 0.0033202914 | 0.0033601585 | 1.0120071 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010967582 | 0.032676708 | 0.03283148 | 1.0047364 | 1.6E-4 |
7.8 | 1.883379E-5 | 5.5831013E-5 | 5.5831013E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0713755E-5 | 2.3925384E-4 | 2.3925384E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.822468E-4 | 0.0029090277 | 0.0029489114 | 1.0137103 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0097791655 | 0.02878171 | 0.028937105 | 1.0053991 | 1.6E-4 |
7.9 | 1.5156185E-5 | 4.181439E-5 | 4.181439E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.495346E-5 | 1.7919223E-4 | 1.7919223E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9052144E-4 | 0.0021794839 | 0.0022193966 | 1.0183129 | 4.0E-5 | 0.007877152 | 0.02183116 | 0.021987667 | 1.007169 | 1.6E-4 |
8.0 | 1.1405907E-5 | 3.009111E-5 | 3.009111E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8881542E-5 | 1.2895554E-4 | 1.2895554E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9497025E-4 | 0.0015689039 | 0.0015988568 | 1.0190916 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005933798 | 0.015827041 | 0.015954982 | 1.0080838 | 1.3E-4 |
8.1 | 4.3511436E-6 | 7.4106397E-6 | 7.4106397E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8647626E-5 | 3.17595E-5 | 3.17595E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2701119E-4 | 3.866034E-4 | 3.866034E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022677942 | 0.00413701 | 0.0041469685 | 1.0024072 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 2.3042528E-6 | 2.752233E-6 | 2.752233E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.875332E-6 | 1.1795231E-5 | 1.1795231E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2022553E-4 | 1.4359751E-4 | 1.4359751E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012016051 | 0.0016080692 | 0.0016180531 | 1.0062087 | 1.0E-5 |
8.3 | 5.202968E-7 | 3.1906433E-7 | 3.1906433E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2298414E-6 | 1.3674179E-6 | 1.3674179E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.714798E-5 | 1.6648199E-5 | 1.6648199E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7144665E-4 | 1.9737563E-4 | 1.9737563E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Death Valley (No)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.0074807E-5 | 2.2503344E-5 | 2.2503344E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.603206E-5 | 9.643938E-5 | 9.643938E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001046937 | 0.0011735244 | 0.001233454 | 1.0510681 | 6.0E-5 | 0.010420183 | 0.011674188 | 0.011871853 | 1.0169318 | 2.0E-4 |
6.1 | 2.0074807E-5 | 2.2503344E-5 | 2.2503344E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.603206E-5 | 9.643938E-5 | 9.643938E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001046937 | 0.0011735244 | 0.001233454 | 1.0510681 | 6.0E-5 | 0.010420183 | 0.011674188 | 0.011871853 | 1.0169318 | 2.0E-4 |
6.2 | 2.0074807E-5 | 2.2503344E-5 | 2.2503344E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.603206E-5 | 9.643938E-5 | 9.643938E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001046937 | 0.0011735244 | 0.001233454 | 1.0510681 | 6.0E-5 | 0.010420183 | 0.011674188 | 0.011871853 | 1.0169318 | 2.0E-4 |
6.3 | 1.9050609E-5 | 2.134002E-5 | 2.134002E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.164292E-5 | 9.145406E-5 | 9.145406E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.935491E-4 | 0.0011128911 | 0.0011728244 | 1.0538536 | 6.0E-5 | 0.009891188 | 0.011074004 | 0.0112619 | 1.0169673 | 1.9E-4 |
6.4 | 1.9050609E-5 | 2.134002E-5 | 2.134002E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.164292E-5 | 9.145406E-5 | 9.145406E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.935491E-4 | 0.0011128911 | 0.0011728244 | 1.0538536 | 6.0E-5 | 0.009891188 | 0.011074004 | 0.0112619 | 1.0169673 | 1.9E-4 |
6.5 | 1.8367004E-5 | 2.0563955E-5 | 2.0563955E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8713354E-5 | 8.81283E-5 | 8.81283E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.5791375E-4 | 0.0010724404 | 0.0011223868 | 1.0465727 | 5.0E-5 | 0.009537951 | 0.010673437 | 0.010851515 | 1.0166843 | 1.8E-4 |
6.6 | 1.779439E-5 | 1.991377E-5 | 1.991377E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.625944E-5 | 8.534197E-5 | 8.534197E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.280632E-4 | 0.0010385496 | 0.0010884977 | 1.048094 | 5.0E-5 | 0.009241969 | 0.010337721 | 0.010515859 | 1.017232 | 1.8E-4 |
6.7 | 1.7025437E-5 | 1.9046134E-5 | 1.9046134E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.296412E-5 | 8.1623766E-5 | 8.1623766E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.87976E-4 | 9.933225E-4 | 0.0010432728 | 1.0502862 | 5.0E-5 | 0.008844362 | 0.009889545 | 0.010067765 | 1.018021 | 1.8E-4 |
6.8 | 1.6545107E-5 | 1.8515186E-5 | 1.8515186E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.090568E-5 | 7.9348414E-5 | 7.9348414E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.629347E-4 | 9.656449E-4 | 0.0010056063 | 1.0413831 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008595915 | 0.009615193 | 0.009783559 | 1.0175103 | 1.7E-4 |
6.9 | 1.615478E-5 | 1.8090188E-5 | 1.8090188E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9232934E-5 | 7.752711E-5 | 7.752711E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.4258494E-4 | 9.434899E-4 | 9.834522E-4 | 1.0423558 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008393973 | 0.009395537 | 0.00956394 | 1.0179237 | 1.7E-4 |
7.0 | 1.5894311E-5 | 1.7808115E-5 | 1.7808115E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.81167E-5 | 7.63183E-5 | 7.63183E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2900526E-4 | 9.2878524E-4 | 9.6874806E-4 | 1.043027 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008259195 | 0.0092497235 | 0.009408244 | 1.0171378 | 1.6E-4 |
7.1 | 1.5602263E-5 | 1.7486029E-5 | 1.7486029E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6865134E-5 | 7.4938005E-5 | 7.4938005E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.137789E-4 | 9.119944E-4 | 9.519579E-4 | 1.0438199 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008108052 | 0.009083199 | 0.009241747 | 1.017455 | 1.6E-4 |
7.2 | 1.5323829E-5 | 1.7173108E-5 | 1.7173108E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.56719E-5 | 7.3596995E-5 | 7.3596995E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.99262E-4 | 8.9568115E-4 | 9.356453E-4 | 1.0446187 | 4.0E-5 | 0.007963934 | 0.008921389 | 0.009079961 | 1.0177745 | 1.6E-4 |
7.3 | 1.4556212E-5 | 1.6304797E-5 | 1.6304797E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.238227E-5 | 6.987587E-5 | 6.987587E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.592395E-4 | 8.5041247E-4 | 8.903785E-4 | 1.046996 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0075665074 | 0.008472227 | 0.008630871 | 1.0187253 | 1.6E-4 |
7.4 | 1.411725E-5 | 1.5810228E-5 | 1.5810228E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0501097E-5 | 6.7756395E-5 | 6.7756395E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.363519E-4 | 8.246277E-4 | 8.645947E-4 | 1.0484667 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0073391674 | 0.008216312 | 0.008374997 | 1.0193135 | 1.6E-4 |
7.5 | 1.3503312E-5 | 1.5128466E-5 | 1.5128466E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7870053E-5 | 6.4834705E-5 | 6.4834705E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.043401E-4 | 7.8908243E-4 | 8.290509E-4 | 1.0506518 | 4.0E-5 | 0.007021119 | 0.007863431 | 0.008022173 | 1.0201874 | 1.6E-4 |
7.6 | 1.1279839E-5 | 1.2628131E-5 | 1.2628131E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.834127E-5 | 5.411947E-5 | 5.411947E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.88396E-4 | 6.5871066E-4 | 6.986843E-4 | 1.0606847 | 4.0E-5 | 0.005868405 | 0.0065681343 | 0.0067171487 | 1.0226876 | 1.5E-4 |
7.7 | 9.189108E-6 | 1.0284824E-5 | 1.0284824E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.93813E-5 | 4.4077104E-5 | 4.4077104E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7936183E-4 | 5.3651165E-4 | 5.764902E-4 | 1.0745157 | 4.0E-5 | 0.004783291 | 0.005352675 | 0.0054819793 | 1.0241569 | 1.3E-4 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.6485014E-7 | 3.6485014E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5636425E-6 | 1.5636425E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.9037187E-5 | 1.9037187E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.9035599E-4 | 1.9035599E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6698093E-9 | 2.6698093E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.144204E-8 | 1.144204E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3930685E-7 | 1.3930685E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3930684E-6 | 1.3930684E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Parkfield)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.556969E-4 | 7.8699226E-4 | 7.969844E-4 | 1.0126966 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023793848 | 0.0033690282 | 0.0033989272 | 1.0088747 | 3.0E-5 | 0.028586963 | 0.040669166 | 0.040736318 | 1.0016512 | 7.0E-5 | 0.25176284 | 0.33852416 | 0.33864984 | 1.0003712 | 1.9E-4 |
6.1 | 1.925858E-4 | 3.0535637E-4 | 3.0535637E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2510663E-4 | 0.0013081107 | 0.0013280845 | 1.0152693 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0099994885 | 0.01590093 | 0.015950136 | 1.0030944 | 5.0E-5 | 0.095613256 | 0.1503283 | 0.15044725 | 1.0007913 | 1.4E-4 |
6.2 | 9.4306815E-5 | 1.8312431E-4 | 1.8312431E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0410945E-4 | 7.845837E-4 | 8.04568E-4 | 1.0254712 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0049089384 | 0.009510674 | 0.009560198 | 1.0052073 | 5.0E-5 | 0.048019063 | 0.09217528 | 0.0922933 | 1.0012803 | 1.3E-4 |
6.3 | 9.283051E-5 | 1.8008715E-4 | 1.8008715E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9778434E-4 | 7.71575E-4 | 7.915596E-4 | 1.025901 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0048322747 | 0.00935367 | 0.009403203 | 1.0052955 | 5.0E-5 | 0.047285385 | 0.09082819 | 0.09094638 | 1.0013013 | 1.3E-4 |
6.4 | 9.138826E-5 | 1.7770482E-4 | 1.7770482E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.916052E-4 | 7.61371E-4 | 7.813557E-4 | 1.0262485 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0047573745 | 0.009230502 | 0.00928004 | 1.0053668 | 5.0E-5 | 0.046568092 | 0.08972534 | 0.089843675 | 1.0013188 | 1.3E-4 |
6.5 | 9.000255E-5 | 1.752813E-4 | 1.752813E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8566816E-4 | 7.5099047E-4 | 7.709754E-4 | 1.0266114 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0046854047 | 0.009105202 | 0.009154746 | 1.0054413 | 5.0E-5 | 0.045878403 | 0.08860714 | 0.08872562 | 1.0013372 | 1.3E-4 |
6.6 | 8.8109264E-5 | 1.720841E-4 | 1.720841E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7755648E-4 | 7.37296E-4 | 7.5728126E-4 | 1.0271062 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0045870654 | 0.008939863 | 0.008989416 | 1.0055429 | 5.0E-5 | 0.04493529 | 0.087135226 | 0.0872539 | 1.001362 | 1.3E-4 |
6.7 | 8.738073E-5 | 1.7075296E-4 | 1.7075296E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7443507E-4 | 7.3159434E-4 | 7.515797E-4 | 1.0273175 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0045492216 | 0.008871041 | 0.008920598 | 1.0055863 | 5.0E-5 | 0.04457213 | 0.08653449 | 0.08665325 | 1.0013723 | 1.3E-4 |
6.8 | 8.710195E-5 | 1.7020642E-4 | 1.7020642E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7324068E-4 | 7.292533E-4 | 7.492387E-4 | 1.0274053 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0045347405 | 0.008842777 | 0.008892336 | 1.0056044 | 5.0E-5 | 0.04443313 | 0.08628162 | 0.086400405 | 1.0013767 | 1.3E-4 |
6.9 | 8.6801556E-5 | 1.696145E-4 | 1.696145E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7195362E-4 | 7.26718E-4 | 7.467034E-4 | 1.027501 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0045191357 | 0.00881216 | 0.00886172 | 1.0056239 | 5.0E-5 | 0.044283327 | 0.086007416 | 0.08612623 | 1.0013815 | 1.3E-4 |
7.0 | 8.5571606E-5 | 1.6713707E-4 | 1.6713707E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6668387E-4 | 7.1610627E-4 | 7.360919E-4 | 1.0279088 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004455241 | 0.008683999 | 0.008733565 | 1.0057077 | 5.0E-5 | 0.043669727 | 0.08485426 | 0.08497323 | 1.001402 | 1.3E-4 |
7.1 | 7.82589E-5 | 1.5192173E-4 | 1.5192173E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3535215E-4 | 6.509314E-4 | 6.709184E-4 | 1.0307052 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0040752706 | 0.007896463 | 0.007946068 | 1.006282 | 5.0E-5 | 0.040013418 | 0.07776274 | 0.077882625 | 1.0015417 | 1.3E-4 |
7.2 | 7.690929E-5 | 1.492903E-4 | 1.492903E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2956956E-4 | 6.396594E-4 | 6.5964664E-4 | 1.0312467 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004005129 | 0.0077602123 | 0.0078098243 | 1.0063931 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0393371 | 0.07653466 | 0.07665471 | 1.0015686 | 1.3E-4 |
7.3 | 7.5543794E-5 | 1.462484E-4 | 1.462484E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2371894E-4 | 6.266291E-4 | 6.4661657E-4 | 1.0318968 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003934157 | 0.007602685 | 0.007652305 | 1.0065266 | 5.0E-5 | 0.038652334 | 0.07509722 | 0.075217456 | 1.0016011 | 1.3E-4 |
7.4 | 7.4214564E-5 | 1.4324966E-4 | 1.4324966E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1802364E-4 | 6.137834E-4 | 6.337712E-4 | 1.0325648 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003865065 | 0.0074473685 | 0.0074969963 | 1.0066638 | 5.0E-5 | 0.03798529 | 0.0736681 | 0.07378852 | 1.0016347 | 1.3E-4 |
7.5 | 6.149578E-5 | 1.1244296E-4 | 1.1244296E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6352672E-4 | 4.818095E-4 | 5.0179986E-4 | 1.0414902 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0032037178 | 0.0058502853 | 0.005890051 | 1.0067973 | 4.0E-5 | 0.03157923 | 0.05880492 | 0.058917865 | 1.0019207 | 1.2E-4 |
7.6 | 6.0643448E-5 | 1.10724344E-4 | 1.10724344E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.598746E-4 | 4.7444672E-4 | 4.9443723E-4 | 1.0421344 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0031593828 | 0.005761121 | 0.0058008903 | 1.006903 | 4.0E-5 | 0.031148417 | 0.05796385 | 0.058076896 | 1.0019503 | 1.2E-4 |
7.7 | 5.1652263E-5 | 9.222251E-5 | 9.222251E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2134806E-4 | 3.9517946E-4 | 4.1517155E-4 | 1.0505899 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002691582 | 0.004800706 | 0.004840514 | 1.0082921 | 4.0E-5 | 0.026592141 | 0.04875825 | 0.048862886 | 1.002146 | 1.1E-4 |
7.8 | 4.8090482E-5 | 8.603419E-5 | 8.603419E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.060858E-4 | 3.6866585E-4 | 3.886585E-4 | 1.0542296 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0025062072 | 0.0044792774 | 0.004519098 | 1.00889 | 4.0E-5 | 0.024781305 | 0.045507614 | 0.045612607 | 1.0023072 | 1.1E-4 |
7.9 | 3.970278E-5 | 6.78447E-5 | 6.78447E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7014367E-4 | 2.9073062E-4 | 2.9073062E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002069531 | 0.003533904 | 0.0035438687 | 1.0028198 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020503636 | 0.036044337 | 0.036111817 | 1.0018721 | 7.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.8982335E-5 | 4.091335E-5 | 4.091335E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2420409E-4 | 1.7533115E-4 | 1.7533115E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015111357 | 0.002132568 | 0.002132568 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015009012 | 0.022118594 | 0.022147931 | 1.0013263 | 3.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.8836186E-5 | 1.8802193E-5 | 1.8802193E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0724014E-5 | 8.057834E-5 | 8.057834E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.823717E-4 | 9.806004E-4 | 9.806004E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009780403 | 0.010551867 | 0.010561761 | 1.0009377 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.5205624E-6 | 5.5205624E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3659339E-5 | 2.3659339E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8801445E-4 | 2.8801445E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.003273719 | 0.0032836862 | 1.0030446 | 1.0E-5 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.7366735E-7 | 7.7366735E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.315713E-6 | 3.315713E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.0368075E-5 | 4.0368075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.7638497E-4 | 4.7638497E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Carrizo) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4410314E-4 | 2.4410314E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010457385 | 0.0010757071 | 1.0286579 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006073493 | 0.012658027 | 0.012727141 | 1.0054601 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0591016 | 0.12099155 | 0.12115856 | 1.0013803 | 1.9E-4 |
6.1 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4410314E-4 | 2.4410314E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010457385 | 0.0010757071 | 1.0286579 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006073493 | 0.012658027 | 0.012727141 | 1.0054601 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0591016 | 0.12099155 | 0.12115856 | 1.0013803 | 1.9E-4 |
6.2 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4410314E-4 | 2.4410314E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010457385 | 0.0010757071 | 1.0286579 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006073493 | 0.012658027 | 0.012727141 | 1.0054601 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0591016 | 0.12099155 | 0.12115856 | 1.0013803 | 1.9E-4 |
6.3 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4410314E-4 | 2.4410314E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010457385 | 0.0010757071 | 1.0286579 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006073493 | 0.012658027 | 0.012727141 | 1.0054601 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0591016 | 0.12099155 | 0.12115856 | 1.0013803 | 1.9E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4410314E-4 | 2.4410314E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010457385 | 0.0010757071 | 1.0286579 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006073493 | 0.012658027 | 0.012727141 | 1.0054601 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0591016 | 0.12099155 | 0.12115856 | 1.0013803 | 1.9E-4 |
6.5 | 1.13136164E-4 | 2.3730003E-4 | 2.3730003E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.847792E-4 | 0.0010166053 | 0.0010465748 | 1.02948 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0058862255 | 0.012307378 | 0.012376517 | 1.0056176 | 7.0E-5 | 0.057327334 | 0.11795611 | 0.118123695 | 1.0014207 | 1.9E-4 |
6.6 | 1.13136164E-4 | 2.3730003E-4 | 2.3730003E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.847792E-4 | 0.0010166053 | 0.0010465748 | 1.02948 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0058862255 | 0.012307378 | 0.012376517 | 1.0056176 | 7.0E-5 | 0.057327334 | 0.11795611 | 0.118123695 | 1.0014207 | 1.9E-4 |
6.7 | 1.1149675E-4 | 2.3421079E-4 | 2.3421079E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.777557E-4 | 0.0010033759 | 0.0010233559 | 1.0199127 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0058011734 | 0.012148116 | 0.012207386 | 1.004879 | 6.0E-5 | 0.05652051 | 0.1165741 | 0.11673312 | 1.0013641 | 1.8E-4 |
6.8 | 1.1103589E-4 | 2.3323137E-4 | 2.3323137E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7578133E-4 | 9.991816E-4 | 0.0010191617 | 1.0199964 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005777263 | 0.012097619 | 0.012156893 | 1.0048996 | 6.0E-5 | 0.056293584 | 0.116133586 | 0.116292685 | 1.00137 | 1.8E-4 |
6.9 | 1.1053259E-4 | 2.3215404E-4 | 2.3215404E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7362508E-4 | 9.94568E-4 | 0.0010145481 | 1.0200893 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0057511497 | 0.01204207 | 0.012101348 | 1.0049225 | 6.0E-5 | 0.05604569 | 0.115648925 | 0.11580811 | 1.0013764 | 1.8E-4 |
7.0 | 1.1005377E-4 | 2.311614E-4 | 2.311614E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7157376E-4 | 9.903171E-4 | 0.0010102972 | 1.0201756 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0057263062 | 0.011990886 | 0.012050167 | 1.0049438 | 6.0E-5 | 0.055809796 | 0.115200765 | 0.11536003 | 1.0013825 | 1.8E-4 |
7.1 | 1.0308142E-4 | 2.1624305E-4 | 2.1624305E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.417027E-4 | 9.264278E-4 | 9.4640924E-4 | 1.0215683 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0053644776 | 0.011221243 | 0.011280569 | 1.005287 | 6.0E-5 | 0.052368138 | 0.10845865 | 0.10861913 | 1.0014796 | 1.8E-4 |
7.2 | 1.0027479E-4 | 2.1031524E-4 | 2.1031524E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.296783E-4 | 9.010407E-4 | 9.2102267E-4 | 1.0221765 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0052187922 | 0.0109152915 | 0.010974636 | 1.0054369 | 6.0E-5 | 0.050979212 | 0.105762094 | 0.10592306 | 1.001522 | 1.8E-4 |
7.3 | 9.816942E-5 | 2.0505495E-4 | 2.0505495E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2065824E-4 | 8.78512E-4 | 8.984944E-4 | 1.0227457 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005109493 | 0.010643716 | 0.010703078 | 1.0055771 | 6.0E-5 | 0.049935985 | 0.1033442 | 0.103505604 | 1.0015618 | 1.8E-4 |
7.4 | 9.5634205E-5 | 1.9873395E-4 | 1.9873395E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0979648E-4 | 8.514399E-4 | 8.714228E-4 | 1.0234696 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0049778637 | 0.010317273 | 0.010376655 | 1.0057555 | 6.0E-5 | 0.048678253 | 0.10043197 | 0.1005849 | 1.0015227 | 1.7E-4 |
7.5 | 8.052417E-5 | 1.6184326E-4 | 1.6184326E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4505792E-4 | 6.934298E-4 | 7.134159E-4 | 1.0288222 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0041929903 | 0.008409909 | 0.008459488 | 1.0058954 | 5.0E-5 | 0.04114753 | 0.08312827 | 0.08327497 | 1.0017648 | 1.6E-4 |
7.6 | 7.897024E-5 | 1.5836717E-4 | 1.5836717E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.384E-4 | 6.7854003E-4 | 6.9852645E-4 | 1.0294551 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0041122385 | 0.00823001 | 0.008279598 | 1.0060253 | 5.0E-5 | 0.040369697 | 0.081463225 | 0.081610195 | 1.0018041 | 1.6E-4 |
7.7 | 6.707427E-5 | 1.333992E-4 | 1.333992E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8742946E-4 | 5.715856E-4 | 5.915742E-4 | 1.0349704 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003493839 | 0.0069368826 | 0.006986536 | 1.0071578 | 5.0E-5 | 0.034394164 | 0.06933456 | 0.06945554 | 1.001745 | 1.3E-4 |
7.8 | 6.147705E-5 | 1.2255274E-4 | 1.2255274E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6344648E-4 | 5.2512035E-4 | 5.4510986E-4 | 1.0380665 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0032027436 | 0.006374624 | 0.006424305 | 1.0077935 | 5.0E-5 | 0.031569764 | 0.063774265 | 0.06389597 | 1.0019084 | 1.3E-4 |
7.9 | 4.7636717E-5 | 8.921367E-5 | 8.921367E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0414138E-4 | 3.8228827E-4 | 3.8228827E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024825884 | 0.004644435 | 0.0046543884 | 1.0021431 | 1.0E-5 | 0.024550365 | 0.046824213 | 0.046890937 | 1.0014249 | 7.0E-5 |
8.0 | 3.3554235E-5 | 5.239199E-5 | 5.239199E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4379594E-4 | 2.2451779E-4 | 2.2451779E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017493097 | 0.0027300792 | 0.0027300792 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017356034 | 0.028006645 | 0.028035805 | 1.0010412 | 3.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.9175432E-5 | 1.930822E-5 | 1.930822E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.217783E-5 | 8.274689E-5 | 8.274689E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010000558 | 0.0010069783 | 0.0010069783 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009955673 | 0.010822744 | 0.010832636 | 1.000914 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.5205624E-6 | 5.5205624E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3659339E-5 | 2.3659339E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8801445E-4 | 2.8801445E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.003273719 | 0.0032836862 | 1.0030446 | 1.0E-5 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.7366735E-7 | 7.7366735E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.315713E-6 | 3.315713E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.0368075E-5 | 4.0368075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.7638497E-4 | 4.7638497E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Cholame) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2302514E-4 | 2.5292573E-4 | 2.5292573E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.27144E-4 | 0.0010835187 | 0.0011034971 | 1.0184383 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0063991086 | 0.013112559 | 0.013171772 | 1.0045158 | 6.0E-5 | 0.06217949 | 0.12477454 | 0.12494083 | 1.0013328 | 1.9E-4 |
6.1 | 1.2302514E-4 | 2.5292573E-4 | 2.5292573E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.27144E-4 | 0.0010835187 | 0.0011034971 | 1.0184383 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0063991086 | 0.013112559 | 0.013171772 | 1.0045158 | 6.0E-5 | 0.06217949 | 0.12477454 | 0.12494083 | 1.0013328 | 1.9E-4 |
6.2 | 1.2203569E-4 | 2.5109254E-4 | 2.5109254E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2290526E-4 | 0.0010756687 | 0.0010956472 | 1.018573 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006347804 | 0.013018131 | 0.01307735 | 1.0045489 | 6.0E-5 | 0.061695136 | 0.12395981 | 0.12411749 | 1.0012721 | 1.8E-4 |
6.3 | 1.2142645E-4 | 2.4995155E-4 | 2.4995155E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.202953E-4 | 0.0010707828 | 0.0010907614 | 1.0186579 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006316212 | 0.012959354 | 0.013018576 | 1.0045699 | 6.0E-5 | 0.06139677 | 0.12345377 | 0.123611555 | 1.001278 | 1.8E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1865206E-4 | 2.4500178E-4 | 2.4500178E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0840975E-4 | 0.0010495867 | 0.0010695657 | 1.0190351 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006172335 | 0.012704326 | 0.012763564 | 1.0046628 | 6.0E-5 | 0.060036868 | 0.12124105 | 0.121399224 | 1.0013046 | 1.8E-4 |
6.5 | 1.17443946E-4 | 2.429315E-4 | 2.429315E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.032341E-4 | 0.0010407212 | 0.0010607004 | 1.0191975 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006109677 | 0.012597639 | 0.012656882 | 1.0047028 | 6.0E-5 | 0.059444077 | 0.12031167 | 0.12047001 | 1.0013161 | 1.8E-4 |
6.6 | 1.13579066E-4 | 2.3601133E-4 | 2.3601133E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.866766E-4 | 0.0010110865 | 0.0010310663 | 1.0197607 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0059092017 | 0.0122409435 | 0.012300209 | 1.0048416 | 6.0E-5 | 0.057545185 | 0.117221765 | 0.117380664 | 1.0013555 | 1.8E-4 |
6.7 | 1.1271412E-4 | 2.3445238E-4 | 2.3445238E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.829711E-4 | 0.0010044106 | 0.0010243905 | 1.0198922 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005864331 | 0.012160573 | 0.012219843 | 1.004874 | 6.0E-5 | 0.057119697 | 0.116524756 | 0.11668378 | 1.0013647 | 1.8E-4 |
6.8 | 1.1217975E-4 | 2.3333455E-4 | 2.3333455E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8068175E-4 | 9.996234E-4 | 0.0010196035 | 1.0199876 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005836608 | 0.01210294 | 0.012162214 | 1.0048975 | 6.0E-5 | 0.056856725 | 0.116022095 | 0.11618122 | 1.0013714 | 1.8E-4 |
6.9 | 1.1146753E-4 | 2.3181965E-4 | 2.3181965E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7763053E-4 | 9.93136E-4 | 0.0010131162 | 1.0201182 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0057996577 | 0.01202483 | 0.012084109 | 1.0049297 | 6.0E-5 | 0.056506127 | 0.115341485 | 0.115500726 | 1.0013806 | 1.8E-4 |
7.0 | 1.0965793E-4 | 2.2804625E-4 | 2.2804625E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.698779E-4 | 9.769765E-4 | 9.96957E-4 | 1.0204513 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005705768 | 0.011830241 | 0.011889531 | 1.0050118 | 6.0E-5 | 0.055614736 | 0.113641195 | 0.11380074 | 1.0014039 | 1.8E-4 |
7.1 | 9.927982E-5 | 2.0620458E-4 | 2.0620458E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2541555E-4 | 8.8343566E-4 | 9.0341794E-4 | 1.0226189 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0051671406 | 0.01070308 | 0.010762438 | 1.0055459 | 6.0E-5 | 0.05048634 | 0.10372939 | 0.103890724 | 1.0015553 | 1.8E-4 |
7.2 | 9.696786E-5 | 2.0124129E-4 | 2.0124129E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1551032E-4 | 8.621786E-4 | 8.821614E-4 | 1.023177 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00504711 | 0.010446786 | 0.010506159 | 1.0056834 | 6.0E-5 | 0.04934009 | 0.101463795 | 0.10162553 | 1.0015941 | 1.8E-4 |
7.3 | 9.4727984E-5 | 1.9552064E-4 | 1.9552064E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0591392E-4 | 8.376775E-4 | 8.576608E-4 | 1.0238556 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0049308087 | 0.010151302 | 0.010210694 | 1.0058506 | 6.0E-5 | 0.048228268 | 0.098832294 | 0.09899451 | 1.0016413 | 1.8E-4 |
7.4 | 9.220358E-5 | 1.8921038E-4 | 1.8921038E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9509835E-4 | 8.106505E-4 | 8.306343E-4 | 1.0246515 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004799717 | 0.009825256 | 0.009884666 | 1.0060467 | 6.0E-5 | 0.046973653 | 0.09591164 | 0.096065335 | 1.0016024 | 1.7E-4 |
7.5 | 7.71631E-5 | 1.5246288E-4 | 1.5246288E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.306571E-4 | 6.532489E-4 | 6.7323586E-4 | 1.0305963 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0040183207 | 0.007924374 | 0.007973978 | 1.0062597 | 5.0E-5 | 0.03946433 | 0.07859109 | 0.07873852 | 1.0018759 | 1.6E-4 |
7.6 | 7.5634416E-5 | 1.4904917E-4 | 1.4904917E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.241072E-4 | 6.3862593E-4 | 6.5861316E-4 | 1.0312972 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0039388672 | 0.00774762 | 0.0077972324 | 1.0064036 | 5.0E-5 | 0.038697794 | 0.07694813 | 0.07709582 | 1.0019193 | 1.6E-4 |
7.7 | 6.3783E-5 | 1.2419176E-4 | 1.2419176E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7332708E-4 | 5.321419E-4 | 5.521312E-4 | 1.0375639 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0033226798 | 0.006459608 | 0.006509285 | 1.0076904 | 5.0E-5 | 0.032734364 | 0.06481455 | 0.06493613 | 1.0018758 | 1.3E-4 |
7.8 | 5.863422E-5 | 1.1471117E-4 | 1.1471117E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.512653E-4 | 4.915267E-4 | 5.115169E-4 | 1.0406696 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003054864 | 0.0059679383 | 0.00601764 | 1.0083281 | 5.0E-5 | 0.030132094 | 0.059907798 | 0.06003001 | 1.00204 | 1.3E-4 |
7.9 | 4.595283E-5 | 8.4664556E-5 | 8.4664556E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9692584E-4 | 3.6279767E-4 | 3.6279767E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023949358 | 0.0044081225 | 0.0044180783 | 1.0022585 | 1.0E-5 | 0.023692891 | 0.044551846 | 0.044618726 | 1.0015012 | 7.0E-5 |
8.0 | 3.2950178E-5 | 5.10232E-5 | 5.10232E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.412074E-4 | 2.1865254E-4 | 2.1865254E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017178444 | 0.0026588463 | 0.0026588463 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017046256 | 0.027303608 | 0.02733279 | 1.0010687 | 3.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.9177472E-5 | 1.930839E-5 | 1.930839E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.218658E-5 | 8.2747625E-5 | 8.2747625E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010001622 | 0.0010069874 | 0.0010069874 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009956728 | 0.010822861 | 0.010832753 | 1.000914 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.5205624E-6 | 5.5205624E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3659339E-5 | 2.3659339E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8801445E-4 | 2.8801445E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.003273719 | 0.0032836862 | 1.0030446 | 1.0E-5 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.7366735E-7 | 7.7366735E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.315713E-6 | 3.315713E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.0368075E-5 | 4.0368075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.7638497E-4 | 4.7638497E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Sierra Nevada (No Extension)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.9768407E-6 | 6.9768407E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.9900606E-5 | 2.9900606E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.640149E-4 | 4.5398215E-4 | 1.2471526 | 9.0E-5 | 0.004045588 | 0.003637703 | 0.0038070846 | 1.0465628 | 1.7E-4 |
6.1 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.9768407E-6 | 6.9768407E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.9900606E-5 | 2.9900606E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.640149E-4 | 4.5398215E-4 | 1.2471526 | 9.0E-5 | 0.004045588 | 0.003637703 | 0.0038070846 | 1.0465628 | 1.7E-4 |
6.2 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.9768407E-6 | 6.9768407E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.9900606E-5 | 2.9900606E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.640149E-4 | 4.5398215E-4 | 1.2471526 | 9.0E-5 | 0.004045588 | 0.003637703 | 0.0038070846 | 1.0465628 | 1.7E-4 |
6.3 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.9768407E-6 | 6.9768407E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.9900606E-5 | 2.9900606E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.640149E-4 | 4.5398215E-4 | 1.2471526 | 9.0E-5 | 0.004045588 | 0.003637703 | 0.0038070846 | 1.0465628 | 1.7E-4 |
6.4 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.9768407E-6 | 6.9768407E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.9900606E-5 | 2.9900606E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.640149E-4 | 4.5398215E-4 | 1.2471526 | 9.0E-5 | 0.004045588 | 0.003637703 | 0.0038070846 | 1.0465628 | 1.7E-4 |
6.5 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.9768407E-6 | 6.9768407E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.9900606E-5 | 2.9900606E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.640149E-4 | 4.5398215E-4 | 1.2471526 | 9.0E-5 | 0.004045588 | 0.003637703 | 0.0038070846 | 1.0465628 | 1.7E-4 |
6.6 | 2.653E-6 | 1.615066E-6 | 1.615066E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.136995E-5 | 6.9216935E-6 | 6.9216935E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3842035E-4 | 8.4268395E-5 | 1.4426334E-4 | 1.7119508 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0013833415 | 8.423678E-4 | 9.522752E-4 | 1.1304743 | 1.1E-4 |
6.7 | 2.5902466E-6 | 1.5503972E-6 | 1.5503972E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.11010095E-5 | 6.6445427E-6 | 6.6445427E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.351464E-4 | 8.089434E-5 | 1.4088949E-4 | 1.7416483 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0013506424 | 8.0865185E-4 | 9.1856293E-4 | 1.1359189 | 1.1E-4 |
6.8 | 2.5853892E-6 | 1.5471963E-6 | 1.5471963E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1080193E-5 | 6.630825E-6 | 6.630825E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.34893E-4 | 8.072733E-5 | 1.4072249E-4 | 1.7431827 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0013481114 | 8.0698304E-4 | 9.168943E-4 | 1.1362002 | 1.1E-4 |
6.9 | 2.458257E-6 | 1.4222657E-6 | 1.4222657E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0535345E-5 | 6.0954103E-6 | 6.0954103E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2826028E-4 | 7.420911E-5 | 1.3420466E-4 | 1.8084661 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0012818627 | 7.418453E-4 | 8.5176365E-4 | 1.1481689 | 1.1E-4 |
7.0 | 2.4341468E-6 | 1.3992284E-6 | 1.3992284E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0432016E-5 | 5.996679E-6 | 5.996679E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.270024E-4 | 7.300714E-5 | 1.3300276E-4 | 1.8217773 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0012692984 | 7.298335E-4 | 8.397532E-4 | 1.1506093 | 1.1E-4 |
7.1 | 2.3652476E-6 | 1.3341746E-6 | 1.3341746E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0136736E-5 | 5.7178786E-6 | 5.7178786E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2340778E-4 | 6.9612965E-5 | 1.2960879E-4 | 1.8618484 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0012333926 | 6.9591333E-4 | 8.0583675E-4 | 1.1579556 | 1.1E-4 |
7.2 | 2.272158E-6 | 1.2504762E-6 | 1.2504762E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.737784E-6 | 5.3591725E-6 | 5.3591725E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1855107E-4 | 6.5245986E-5 | 1.2524208E-4 | 1.9195367 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0011848784 | 6.5226987E-4 | 7.6219806E-4 | 1.1685319 | 1.1E-4 |
7.3 | 2.1382127E-6 | 1.1421577E-6 | 1.1421577E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.163737E-6 | 4.8949523E-6 | 4.8949523E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1156279E-4 | 5.9594426E-5 | 1.0959145E-4 | 1.8389547 | 5.0E-5 | 0.001115068 | 5.957856E-4 | 6.95726E-4 | 1.1677456 | 1.0E-4 |
7.4 | 1.9048055E-6 | 9.577004E-7 | 9.577004E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.163426E-6 | 4.104424E-6 | 4.104424E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9385186E-5 | 4.9970222E-5 | 9.996772E-5 | 2.000546 | 5.0E-5 | 9.934074E-4 | 4.9959053E-4 | 5.995406E-4 | 1.200064 | 1.0E-4 |
7.5 | 1.5373403E-6 | 7.561537E-7 | 7.561537E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5885843E-6 | 3.2406547E-6 | 3.2406547E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.021306E-5 | 3.9454262E-5 | 7.9452686E-5 | 2.0137923 | 4.0E-5 | 8.0184115E-4 | 3.9447306E-4 | 4.744415E-4 | 1.2027222 | 8.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.0680322E-6 | 4.66068E-7 | 4.66068E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.577273E-6 | 1.9974327E-6 | 1.9974327E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5726876E-5 | 2.4318475E-5 | 5.4317745E-5 | 2.2336 | 3.0E-5 | 5.5712904E-4 | 2.4315841E-4 | 2.831487E-4 | 1.1644619 | 4.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.509146E-7 | 1.5585033E-7 | 1.5585033E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3610605E-6 | 6.6792984E-7 | 6.6792984E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8745531E-5 | 8.132017E-6 | 8.132017E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8741814E-4 | 8.13173E-5 | 8.13173E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elsinore (Glen Ivy) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.9381394E-4 | 3.03811E-4 | 1.0340252 | 1.0E-5 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0012587128 | 0.0012687002 | 1.0079346 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008420097 | 0.015238435 | 0.015287673 | 1.0032312 | 5.0E-5 | 0.081081145 | 0.13957623 | 0.13968809 | 1.0008014 | 1.3E-4 |
6.1 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.9381394E-4 | 3.03811E-4 | 1.0340252 | 1.0E-5 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0012587128 | 0.0012687002 | 1.0079346 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008420097 | 0.015238435 | 0.015287673 | 1.0032312 | 5.0E-5 | 0.081081145 | 0.13957623 | 0.13968809 | 1.0008014 | 1.3E-4 |
6.2 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.9381394E-4 | 3.03811E-4 | 1.0340252 | 1.0E-5 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0012587128 | 0.0012687002 | 1.0079346 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008420097 | 0.015238435 | 0.015287673 | 1.0032312 | 5.0E-5 | 0.081081145 | 0.13957623 | 0.13968809 | 1.0008014 | 1.3E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0111737E-4 | 1.7707214E-4 | 1.7707214E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.332882E-4 | 7.587767E-4 | 7.587767E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005262531 | 0.009219669 | 0.009239485 | 1.0021492 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0513964 | 0.087007284 | 0.08708032 | 1.0008395 | 8.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.0111737E-4 | 1.7707214E-4 | 1.7707214E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.332882E-4 | 7.587767E-4 | 7.587767E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005262531 | 0.009219669 | 0.009239485 | 1.0021492 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0513964 | 0.087007284 | 0.08708032 | 1.0008395 | 8.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.6624708E-5 | 4.6407622E-5 | 4.6407622E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.569536E-4 | 1.9887669E-4 | 1.9887669E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001909235 | 0.0024189958 | 0.0024289717 | 1.0041239 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01892915 | 0.023776226 | 0.023805512 | 1.0012318 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.5051324E-5 | 2.6160593E-5 | 2.6160593E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.073584E-4 | 1.1211226E-4 | 1.1211226E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013063047 | 0.0013641567 | 0.0013741431 | 1.0073205 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012986525 | 0.013569494 | 0.013589222 | 1.0014539 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.2189772E-5 | 2.2084017E-5 | 2.2084017E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.509556E-5 | 9.4642564E-5 | 9.4642564E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011571734 | 0.0011517005 | 0.0011517005 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011511663 | 0.011469329 | 0.011479215 | 1.0008619 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.6654378E-5 | 1.4444322E-5 | 1.4444322E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.137396E-5 | 6.19028E-5 | 6.19028E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.686314E-4 | 7.534111E-4 | 7.534111E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008652439 | 0.0075140246 | 0.0075239493 | 1.0013208 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.5042909E-5 | 1.2337828E-5 | 1.2337828E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.446802E-5 | 5.2875348E-5 | 5.2875348E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8461546E-4 | 6.435704E-4 | 6.435704E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007818509 | 0.0064213234 | 0.006431259 | 1.0015473 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.4361385E-5 | 1.1456819E-5 | 1.1456819E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.154734E-5 | 4.9099748E-5 | 4.9099748E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.490812E-4 | 5.976284E-4 | 5.976284E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007465612 | 0.0059642186 | 0.005974159 | 1.0016667 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.3265571E-5 | 1.0249838E-5 | 1.0249838E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6851208E-5 | 4.3927153E-5 | 4.3927153E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.919436E-4 | 5.346844E-4 | 5.346844E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006897931 | 0.0053374236 | 0.00534737 | 1.0018636 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.1596403E-5 | 8.509257E-6 | 8.509257E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9697923E-5 | 3.6467747E-5 | 3.6467747E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.049042E-4 | 4.4390603E-4 | 4.4390603E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006032603 | 0.0044315495 | 0.0044415053 | 1.0022465 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.0150827E-5 | 7.2423823E-6 | 7.2423823E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3502816E-5 | 3.103842E-5 | 3.103842E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2951806E-4 | 3.778287E-4 | 3.778287E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005282581 | 0.0037722355 | 0.0037821978 | 1.002641 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.080705E-6 | 6.3557536E-6 | 6.3557536E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8916725E-5 | 2.7238668E-5 | 2.7238668E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7370812E-4 | 3.315817E-4 | 3.315817E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004726996 | 0.0033110243 | 0.003320991 | 1.0030103 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 7.671649E-6 | 5.2284327E-6 | 5.2284327E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.287808E-5 | 2.2407385E-5 | 2.2407385E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0021708E-4 | 2.72777E-4 | 2.72777E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039949706 | 0.002724547 | 0.0027345198 | 1.0036603 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.990086E-6 | 4.690144E-6 | 4.690144E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9957167E-5 | 2.010047E-5 | 2.010047E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6466747E-4 | 2.4469692E-4 | 2.4469692E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036406964 | 0.0024443911 | 0.0024443911 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.163505E-6 | 2.3309096E-6 | 2.3309096E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7843471E-5 | 9.989579E-6 | 9.989579E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.172226E-4 | 1.2161708E-4 | 1.2161708E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021701038 | 0.0012155784 | 0.0012155784 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.2692414E-7 | 9.388763E-8 | 9.388763E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.725317E-7 | 4.023755E-7 | 4.023755E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1840509E-5 | 4.898914E-6 | 4.898914E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1839878E-4 | 4.898839E-5 | 4.898839E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.440774E-9 | 3.440774E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.4746175E-8 | 1.4746175E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.7953467E-7 | 1.7953467E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838679E-6 | 1.7953454E-6 | 1.7953454E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Coachella) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1925945E-4 | 3.2770433E-4 | 3.2770433E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.110118E-4 | 0.0014036959 | 0.0014136818 | 1.007114 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0062038354 | 0.016957419 | 0.01700657 | 1.0028986 | 5.0E-5 | 0.060334753 | 0.15281957 | 0.15294665 | 1.0008316 | 1.5E-4 |
6.1 | 1.1925945E-4 | 3.2770433E-4 | 3.2770433E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.110118E-4 | 0.0014036959 | 0.0014136818 | 1.007114 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0062038354 | 0.016957419 | 0.01700657 | 1.0028986 | 5.0E-5 | 0.060334753 | 0.15281957 | 0.15294665 | 1.0008316 | 1.5E-4 |
6.2 | 1.07432395E-4 | 3.027093E-4 | 3.027093E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.603433E-4 | 0.0012966845 | 0.0013066715 | 1.007702 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005590286 | 0.015673958 | 0.015723173 | 1.00314 | 5.0E-5 | 0.05451731 | 0.1419958 | 0.14212449 | 1.0009063 | 1.5E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0718766E-4 | 3.021623E-4 | 3.021623E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.592948E-4 | 0.0012943427 | 0.0013043297 | 1.007716 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005577586 | 0.015645856 | 0.015695073 | 1.0031457 | 5.0E-5 | 0.054396555 | 0.1417641 | 0.14189284 | 1.0009081 | 1.5E-4 |
6.4 | 1.0355944E-4 | 2.9424255E-4 | 2.9424255E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4375064E-4 | 0.001260434 | 0.0012704214 | 1.0079237 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0053892885 | 0.015238864 | 0.015288102 | 1.003231 | 5.0E-5 | 0.052604496 | 0.13832779 | 0.13845704 | 1.0009344 | 1.5E-4 |
6.5 | 1.0227914E-4 | 2.914367E-4 | 2.914367E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.382655E-4 | 0.0012484206 | 0.0012584081 | 1.0080001 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0053228354 | 0.015094635 | 0.015143881 | 1.0032624 | 5.0E-5 | 0.051971316 | 0.13710265 | 0.13723208 | 1.000944 | 1.5E-4 |
6.6 | 1.0116757E-4 | 2.8909402E-4 | 2.8909402E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3350324E-4 | 0.00123839 | 0.0012483776 | 1.008065 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0052651367 | 0.014974198 | 0.015023449 | 1.0032891 | 5.0E-5 | 0.051421247 | 0.13608116 | 0.13620211 | 1.0008888 | 1.4E-4 |
6.7 | 1.0050676E-4 | 2.8767952E-4 | 2.8767952E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3067214E-4 | 0.0012323336 | 0.0012423213 | 1.0081047 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005230834 | 0.014901472 | 0.014950728 | 1.0033053 | 5.0E-5 | 0.051094085 | 0.13546556 | 0.13558659 | 1.0008935 | 1.4E-4 |
6.8 | 9.976819E-5 | 2.8571556E-4 | 2.8571556E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2750788E-4 | 0.0012239246 | 0.0012339124 | 1.0081605 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051924936 | 0.014800489 | 0.014849749 | 1.0033283 | 5.0E-5 | 0.050728295 | 0.13461755 | 0.1347387 | 1.0009 | 1.4E-4 |
6.9 | 9.77719E-5 | 2.8068185E-4 | 2.8068185E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1895514E-4 | 0.0012023716 | 0.0012123595 | 1.0083069 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0050888555 | 0.014541614 | 0.014590886 | 1.0033884 | 5.0E-5 | 0.049738888 | 0.13244578 | 0.13256724 | 1.0009171 | 1.4E-4 |
7.0 | 8.500761E-5 | 2.4800573E-4 | 2.4800573E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6426744E-4 | 0.001062452 | 0.0010724415 | 1.0094022 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0044259406 | 0.012859411 | 0.012908768 | 1.0038382 | 5.0E-5 | 0.04338823 | 0.11828999 | 0.11841343 | 1.0010436 | 1.4E-4 |
7.1 | 8.319876E-5 | 2.4402884E-4 | 2.4402884E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5651738E-4 | 0.0010454219 | 0.0010554115 | 1.0095555 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004331963 | 0.012654496 | 0.012703864 | 1.0039011 | 5.0E-5 | 0.042484846 | 0.11650906 | 0.116632745 | 1.0010617 | 1.4E-4 |
7.2 | 7.563917E-5 | 2.2450188E-4 | 2.2450188E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2412758E-4 | 9.6179923E-4 | 9.717896E-4 | 1.0103872 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0039391145 | 0.011647725 | 0.011697142 | 1.0042427 | 5.0E-5 | 0.03870018 | 0.107912034 | 0.10803693 | 1.0011574 | 1.4E-4 |
7.3 | 7.082985E-5 | 2.0764906E-4 | 2.0764906E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0352117E-4 | 8.8962395E-4 | 8.9961506E-4 | 1.0112307 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036891096 | 0.010778008 | 0.01082747 | 1.0045891 | 5.0E-5 | 0.03628465 | 0.10043116 | 0.1005571 | 1.001254 | 1.4E-4 |
7.4 | 5.146215E-5 | 1.4302354E-4 | 1.4302354E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2053342E-4 | 6.128149E-4 | 6.2280876E-4 | 1.0163082 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0026816884 | 0.007435687 | 0.007485315 | 1.0066743 | 5.0E-5 | 0.02649557 | 0.07097463 | 0.0711047 | 1.0018325 | 1.4E-4 |
7.5 | 4.0285166E-5 | 1.0966337E-4 | 1.0966337E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7263928E-4 | 4.6990154E-4 | 4.7989684E-4 | 1.0212711 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002099857 | 0.0057061138 | 0.005755828 | 1.0087125 | 5.0E-5 | 0.020801254 | 0.055121224 | 0.05525351 | 1.0023998 | 1.4E-4 |
7.6 | 3.1168736E-5 | 8.460858E-5 | 8.460858E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3357346E-4 | 3.6255794E-4 | 3.7255432E-4 | 1.0275718 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016250437 | 0.0044052354 | 0.004455015 | 1.0113001 | 5.0E-5 | 0.016132116 | 0.042908497 | 0.043032918 | 1.0028996 | 1.3E-4 |
7.7 | 2.2100989E-5 | 6.258035E-5 | 6.258035E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4715084E-5 | 2.68174E-4 | 2.781713E-4 | 1.0372792 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001152546 | 0.0032601363 | 0.0033099733 | 1.0152868 | 5.0E-5 | 0.011465867 | 0.031987756 | 0.032113597 | 1.003934 | 1.3E-4 |
7.8 | 1.7484861E-5 | 5.1967647E-5 | 5.1967647E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.493296E-5 | 2.2269948E-4 | 2.3269726E-4 | 1.0448935 | 1.0E-5 | 9.1192697E-4 | 0.002707998 | 0.0027578624 | 1.0184138 | 5.0E-5 | 0.009081938 | 0.026718242 | 0.026835037 | 1.0043713 | 1.2E-4 |
7.9 | 1.3967285E-5 | 3.8362923E-5 | 3.8362923E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.985842E-5 | 1.6440218E-4 | 1.7440054E-4 | 1.0608164 | 1.0E-5 | 7.2853256E-4 | 0.0019997603 | 0.0020496603 | 1.024953 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0072614877 | 0.019974137 | 0.02009174 | 1.0058877 | 1.2E-4 |
8.0 | 1.1887396E-5 | 3.1185533E-5 | 3.1185533E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.094499E-5 | 1.3364544E-4 | 1.4364411E-4 | 1.0748148 | 1.0E-5 | 6.200787E-4 | 0.0016259198 | 0.0016758385 | 1.0307019 | 5.0E-5 | 0.006183513 | 0.016335068 | 0.016453108 | 1.0072261 | 1.2E-4 |
8.1 | 5.100864E-6 | 9.02143E-6 | 9.02143E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1860664E-5 | 3.86627E-5 | 3.86627E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6612106E-4 | 4.7061683E-4 | 4.7061683E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002658026 | 0.0049414746 | 0.0049514254 | 1.0020137 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 2.3004484E-6 | 2.805491E-6 | 2.805491E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.859027E-6 | 1.2023477E-5 | 1.2023477E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2002704E-4 | 1.4637604E-4 | 1.4637604E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011996223 | 0.0016072247 | 0.0016172087 | 1.0062119 | 1.0E-5 |
8.3 | 1.0424446E-7 | 5.866782E-8 | 5.866782E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4676187E-7 | 2.5143348E-7 | 2.5143348E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.439312E-6 | 3.0611986E-6 | 3.0611986E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4391792E-5 | 3.217701E-5 | 3.217701E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Death Valley (Fish Lake Valley)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.872328E-5 | 4.7278485E-5 | 4.7278485E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6594635E-4 | 2.0260784E-4 | 2.0260784E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020185246 | 0.002464212 | 0.0025041134 | 1.0161923 | 4.0E-5 | 0.02000288 | 0.024394674 | 0.024531258 | 1.0055989 | 1.4E-4 |
6.1 | 3.872328E-5 | 4.7278485E-5 | 4.7278485E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6594635E-4 | 2.0260784E-4 | 2.0260784E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020185246 | 0.002464212 | 0.0025041134 | 1.0161923 | 4.0E-5 | 0.02000288 | 0.024394674 | 0.024531258 | 1.0055989 | 1.4E-4 |
6.2 | 3.872328E-5 | 4.7278485E-5 | 4.7278485E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6594635E-4 | 2.0260784E-4 | 2.0260784E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020185246 | 0.002464212 | 0.0025041134 | 1.0161923 | 4.0E-5 | 0.02000288 | 0.024394674 | 0.024531258 | 1.0055989 | 1.4E-4 |
6.3 | 2.8356371E-5 | 3.361736E-5 | 3.361736E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2152165E-4 | 1.4406671E-4 | 1.4406671E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014785219 | 0.0017526704 | 0.0017926003 | 1.0227823 | 4.0E-5 | 0.014687235 | 0.017395664 | 0.01753323 | 1.007908 | 1.4E-4 |
6.4 | 2.8356371E-5 | 3.361736E-5 | 3.361736E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2152165E-4 | 1.4406671E-4 | 1.4406671E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014785219 | 0.0017526704 | 0.0017926003 | 1.0227823 | 4.0E-5 | 0.014687235 | 0.017395664 | 0.01753323 | 1.007908 | 1.4E-4 |
6.5 | 2.4448687E-5 | 2.8613475E-5 | 2.8613475E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0477588E-4 | 1.226237E-4 | 1.226237E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012748998 | 0.001491968 | 0.0015319083 | 1.0267702 | 4.0E-5 | 0.012676105 | 0.014824413 | 0.014962337 | 1.0093039 | 1.4E-4 |
6.6 | 2.1298161E-5 | 2.4664776E-5 | 2.4664776E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.127464E-5 | 1.05702085E-4 | 1.05702085E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011107022 | 0.0012861962 | 0.0013261448 | 1.0310595 | 4.0E-5 | 0.011051672 | 0.012790952 | 0.012929161 | 1.0108052 | 1.4E-4 |
6.7 | 1.8959729E-5 | 2.1784936E-5 | 2.1784936E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.125345E-5 | 9.336081E-5 | 9.336081E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.888117E-4 | 0.0011361007 | 0.0011760553 | 1.0351682 | 4.0E-5 | 0.009844234 | 0.011305588 | 0.011444005 | 1.0122433 | 1.4E-4 |
6.8 | 1.6691629E-5 | 1.9021541E-5 | 1.9021541E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.153359E-5 | 8.151844E-5 | 8.151844E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7057345E-4 | 9.920519E-4 | 0.0010320123 | 1.0402805 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008671708 | 0.009877992 | 0.010016609 | 1.014033 | 1.4E-4 |
6.9 | 1.450505E-5 | 1.6392094E-5 | 1.6392094E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.216302E-5 | 7.024999E-5 | 7.024999E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5657194E-4 | 8.549668E-4 | 8.949326E-4 | 1.0467454 | 4.0E-5 | 0.007540013 | 0.008517708 | 0.008656515 | 1.0162964 | 1.4E-4 |
7.0 | 1.2940855E-5 | 1.454012E-5 | 1.454012E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.545963E-5 | 6.2313346E-5 | 6.2313346E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.750118E-4 | 7.5840665E-4 | 7.9837634E-4 | 1.0527022 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006729651 | 0.007558802 | 0.0076977443 | 1.0183815 | 1.4E-4 |
7.1 | 1.2544658E-5 | 1.4080268E-5 | 1.4080268E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3761712E-5 | 6.0342638E-5 | 6.0342638E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5435225E-4 | 7.344296E-4 | 7.744002E-4 | 1.054424 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006524288 | 0.007320618 | 0.007459593 | 1.0189841 | 1.4E-4 |
7.2 | 1.2489416E-5 | 1.4017724E-5 | 1.4017724E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3524967E-5 | 6.007461E-5 | 6.007461E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.514716E-4 | 7.311685E-4 | 7.711393E-4 | 1.054667 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006495651 | 0.0072882217 | 0.007427201 | 1.0190691 | 1.4E-4 |
7.3 | 1.2368307E-5 | 1.3881842E-5 | 1.3881842E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3005948E-5 | 5.9492286E-5 | 5.9492286E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.451563E-4 | 7.2408345E-4 | 7.640545E-4 | 1.0552022 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0064328653 | 0.007217834 | 0.007356823 | 1.0192564 | 1.4E-4 |
7.4 | 1.2161707E-5 | 1.3649864E-5 | 1.3649864E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.212056E-5 | 5.8498135E-5 | 5.8498135E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3438306E-4 | 7.1198767E-4 | 7.5195916E-4 | 1.0561408 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006325751 | 0.0070976545 | 0.007236661 | 1.0195848 | 1.4E-4 |
7.5 | 1.1707948E-5 | 1.3147445E-5 | 1.3147445E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0175953E-5 | 5.634501E-5 | 5.634501E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.10721E-4 | 6.8579015E-4 | 7.2576274E-4 | 1.0582869 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0060904534 | 0.006837322 | 0.0069763646 | 1.0203359 | 1.4E-4 |
7.6 | 1.0319538E-5 | 1.1581313E-5 | 1.1581313E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4225842E-5 | 4.9633283E-5 | 4.9633283E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.383166E-4 | 6.041228E-4 | 6.440987E-4 | 1.0661716 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0053701443 | 0.006025337 | 0.0061644935 | 1.0230953 | 1.4E-4 |
7.7 | 8.937764E-6 | 1.0024234E-5 | 1.0024234E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.830414E-5 | 4.2960324E-5 | 4.2960324E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6625308E-4 | 5.2292144E-4 | 5.6290056E-4 | 1.0764533 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0046527605 | 0.0052174195 | 0.0053367936 | 1.0228798 | 1.2E-4 |
7.8 | 3.108007E-7 | 3.284878E-7 | 3.284878E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3320023E-6 | 1.4078041E-6 | 1.4078041E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6217007E-5 | 1.7139884E-5 | 1.7139884E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6215823E-4 | 1.71386E-4 | 1.71386E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6698093E-9 | 2.6698093E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.144204E-8 | 1.144204E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3930685E-7 | 1.3930685E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3930684E-6 | 1.3930684E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Red Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.258278E-6 | 8.551627E-6 | 8.551627E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.539214E-5 | 3.6649417E-5 | 4.664905E-5 | 1.2728456 | 1.0E-5 | 4.308141E-4 | 4.4613317E-4 | 4.861153E-4 | 1.0896193 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0042997985 | 0.004454133 | 0.004583554 | 1.0290564 | 1.3E-4 |
6.1 | 3.649988E-6 | 3.7754708E-6 | 3.7754708E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5642712E-5 | 1.6180516E-5 | 1.6180516E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9043336E-4 | 1.9698474E-4 | 2.0698276E-4 | 1.0507554 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019027026 | 0.0019685687 | 0.0020084898 | 1.0202793 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.649988E-6 | 3.7754708E-6 | 3.7754708E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5642712E-5 | 1.6180516E-5 | 1.6180516E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9043336E-4 | 1.9698474E-4 | 2.0698276E-4 | 1.0507554 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019027026 | 0.0019685687 | 0.0020084898 | 1.0202793 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3924937E-6 | 1.4411767E-6 | 1.4411767E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9678164E-6 | 6.176465E-6 | 6.176465E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.265574E-5 | 7.5197284E-5 | 7.5197284E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.263199E-4 | 7.518571E-4 | 7.6184963E-4 | 1.0132904 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.3924937E-6 | 1.4411767E-6 | 1.4411767E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9678164E-6 | 6.176465E-6 | 6.176465E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.265574E-5 | 7.5197284E-5 | 7.5197284E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.263199E-4 | 7.518571E-4 | 7.6184963E-4 | 1.0132904 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.876812E-7 | 1.0222338E-6 | 1.0222338E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2329125E-6 | 4.3810023E-6 | 4.3810023E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.153449E-5 | 5.3338703E-5 | 5.3338703E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1522546E-4 | 5.33387E-4 | 5.4338167E-4 | 1.0187382 | 1.0E-5 |
San Andreas (North Branch Mill Creek)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3562765E-5 | 2.3562765E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.00979385E-4 | 1.1097838E-4 | 1.0990201 | 1.0E-5 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.0012287339 | 0.0012586971 | 1.0243853 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012263175 | 0.012391581 | 1.0104709 | 1.3E-4 |
6.1 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3562765E-5 | 2.3562765E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.00979385E-4 | 1.1097838E-4 | 1.0990201 | 1.0E-5 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.0012287339 | 0.0012586971 | 1.0243853 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012263175 | 0.012391581 | 1.0104709 | 1.3E-4 |
6.2 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3562765E-5 | 2.3562765E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.00979385E-4 | 1.1097838E-4 | 1.0990201 | 1.0E-5 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.0012287339 | 0.0012586971 | 1.0243853 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012263175 | 0.012391581 | 1.0104709 | 1.3E-4 |
6.3 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3562765E-5 | 2.3562765E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.00979385E-4 | 1.1097838E-4 | 1.0990201 | 1.0E-5 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.0012287339 | 0.0012586971 | 1.0243853 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012263175 | 0.012391581 | 1.0104709 | 1.3E-4 |
6.4 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3562765E-5 | 2.3562765E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.00979385E-4 | 1.1097838E-4 | 1.0990201 | 1.0E-5 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.0012287339 | 0.0012586971 | 1.0243853 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012263175 | 0.012391581 | 1.0104709 | 1.3E-4 |
6.5 | 1.3450706E-5 | 2.3551724E-5 | 2.3551724E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.764461E-5 | 1.0093207E-4 | 1.1093106E-4 | 1.0990665 | 1.0E-5 | 7.0159714E-4 | 0.0012281586 | 0.0012581217 | 1.0243968 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006993862 | 0.012257485 | 0.012385892 | 1.0104758 | 1.3E-4 |
6.6 | 1.3074523E-5 | 2.3165985E-5 | 2.3165985E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6032466E-5 | 9.927903E-5 | 1.0927804E-4 | 1.1007162 | 1.0E-5 | 6.8198174E-4 | 0.0012080552 | 0.001238019 | 1.0248033 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006798926 | 0.0120586455 | 0.012177199 | 1.0098313 | 1.2E-4 |
6.7 | 1.3050216E-5 | 2.3141276E-5 | 2.3141276E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.59283E-5 | 9.917314E-5 | 1.0917215E-4 | 1.1008238 | 1.0E-5 | 6.8071426E-4 | 0.0012067675 | 0.0012367313 | 1.0248297 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0067863287 | 0.012045908 | 0.012164462 | 1.0098419 | 1.2E-4 |
6.8 | 1.29049395E-5 | 2.2989672E-5 | 2.2989672E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.530571E-5 | 9.8523466E-5 | 1.0852248E-4 | 1.1014887 | 1.0E-5 | 6.73139E-4 | 0.0011988664 | 0.0012288304 | 1.0249937 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0067110364 | 0.011967749 | 0.012086313 | 1.009907 | 1.2E-4 |
6.9 | 1.2867369E-5 | 2.2949069E-5 | 2.2949069E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.51447E-5 | 9.834946E-5 | 1.08348475E-4 | 1.1016682 | 1.0E-5 | 6.711799E-4 | 0.0011967502 | 0.0012267142 | 1.0250379 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006691564 | 0.011946815 | 0.012065382 | 1.0099245 | 1.2E-4 |
7.0 | 1.2495996E-5 | 2.2348742E-5 | 2.2348742E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3553173E-5 | 9.577683E-5 | 1.0577587E-4 | 1.1043994 | 1.0E-5 | 6.518148E-4 | 0.001165462 | 0.0011954269 | 1.0257108 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0064990623 | 0.011637221 | 0.011755825 | 1.0101918 | 1.2E-4 |
7.1 | 1.2452067E-5 | 2.2293796E-5 | 2.2293796E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3364907E-5 | 9.5541356E-5 | 1.055404E-4 | 1.1046567 | 1.0E-5 | 6.4952404E-4 | 0.0011625981 | 0.0011925633 | 1.0257742 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0064762887 | 0.011608884 | 0.01172749 | 1.010217 | 1.2E-4 |
7.2 | 1.2002777E-5 | 2.167199E-5 | 2.167199E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.143946E-5 | 9.287667E-5 | 1.0287574E-4 | 1.1076597 | 1.0E-5 | 6.2609545E-4 | 0.0011301895 | 0.0011601556 | 1.0265142 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006243344 | 0.011288142 | 0.011406787 | 1.0105107 | 1.2E-4 |
7.3 | 1.1923425E-5 | 2.1541744E-5 | 2.1541744E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.109939E-5 | 9.231851E-5 | 1.0231759E-4 | 1.1083107 | 1.0E-5 | 6.219575E-4 | 0.001123401 | 0.0011533672 | 1.0266746 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0062021962 | 0.011220978 | 0.011339631 | 1.0105742 | 1.2E-4 |
7.4 | 1.16105175E-5 | 2.0915093E-5 | 2.0915093E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.975841E-5 | 8.9633046E-5 | 9.9632154E-5 | 1.1115559 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0564023E-4 | 0.0010907386 | 0.0011207059 | 1.0274743 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006039923 | 0.010898528 | 0.011017219 | 1.0108906 | 1.2E-4 |
7.5 | 1.1037265E-5 | 1.9613077E-5 | 1.9613077E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7301706E-5 | 8.405335E-5 | 9.4052506E-5 | 1.118962 | 1.0E-5 | 5.757461E-4 | 0.0010228712 | 0.0010528406 | 1.0292993 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005742567 | 0.010225319 | 0.010344092 | 1.0116156 | 1.2E-4 |
7.6 | 1.0720915E-5 | 1.9054234E-5 | 1.9054234E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5945973E-5 | 8.1658465E-5 | 9.165765E-5 | 1.1224513 | 1.0E-5 | 5.592486E-4 | 9.937405E-4 | 0.0010237107 | 1.030159 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005578433 | 0.009936663 | 0.010055471 | 1.0119565 | 1.2E-4 |
7.7 | 9.276279E-6 | 1.6497244E-5 | 1.6497244E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9754876E-5 | 7.070057E-5 | 8.0699865E-5 | 1.1414316 | 1.0E-5 | 4.839081E-4 | 8.604412E-4 | 8.9041534E-4 | 1.0348358 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0048285574 | 0.008614649 | 0.008733615 | 1.0138098 | 1.2E-4 |
7.8 | 5.8346777E-6 | 1.1200156E-5 | 1.1200156E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5005522E-5 | 4.7999787E-5 | 5.7999307E-5 | 1.2083243 | 1.0E-5 | 3.043997E-4 | 5.842408E-4 | 6.142233E-4 | 1.0513186 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0030398308 | 0.005870196 | 0.00597955 | 1.0186287 | 1.1E-4 |
7.9 | 4.690204E-6 | 8.546632E-6 | 8.546632E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0100719E-5 | 3.662791E-5 | 4.662754E-5 | 1.2730058 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4469878E-4 | 4.4585363E-4 | 4.7584026E-4 | 1.0672567 | 3.0E-5 | 0.002444295 | 0.00449015 | 0.0045996564 | 1.0243881 | 1.1E-4 |
8.0 | 2.9570454E-6 | 4.8697993E-6 | 4.8697993E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.267299E-5 | 2.0870402E-5 | 3.0870193E-5 | 1.4791374 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5428272E-4 | 2.5406753E-4 | 2.7406248E-4 | 1.0786992 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015417566 | 0.0025614607 | 0.0025913839 | 1.011682 | 3.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.6376824E-6 | 2.2087866E-6 | 2.2087866E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.01862E-6 | 9.466194E-6 | 9.466194E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.544835E-5 | 1.1524483E-4 | 1.1524483E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.54155E-4 | 0.0011666992 | 0.0011666992 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 6.9631557E-7 | 4.5722274E-7 | 4.5722274E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.984206E-6 | 1.9595245E-6 | 1.9595245E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.63321E-5 | 2.3856952E-5 | 2.3856952E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6326164E-4 | 2.4708375E-4 | 2.4708375E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.7876137E-7 | 8.4330374E-8 | 8.4330374E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.661199E-7 | 3.6141586E-7 | 3.6141586E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.32747E-6 | 4.4002295E-6 | 4.4002295E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3270784E-5 | 4.6205198E-5 | 4.6205198E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cady
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9892565E-5 | 2.186131E-5 | 2.186131E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.525106E-5 | 9.3688475E-5 | 1.0368754E-4 | 1.1067268 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010374374 | 0.0011401513 | 0.0012000828 | 1.0525646 | 6.0E-5 | 0.010326075 | 0.011352034 | 0.011480559 | 1.0113217 | 1.3E-4 |
6.1 | 1.9892565E-5 | 2.186131E-5 | 2.186131E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.525106E-5 | 9.3688475E-5 | 1.0368754E-4 | 1.1067268 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010374374 | 0.0011401513 | 0.0012000828 | 1.0525646 | 6.0E-5 | 0.010326075 | 0.011352034 | 0.011480559 | 1.0113217 | 1.3E-4 |
6.2 | 1.9892565E-5 | 2.186131E-5 | 2.186131E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.525106E-5 | 9.3688475E-5 | 1.0368754E-4 | 1.1067268 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010374374 | 0.0011401513 | 0.0012000828 | 1.0525646 | 6.0E-5 | 0.010326075 | 0.011352034 | 0.011480559 | 1.0113217 | 1.3E-4 |
6.3 | 1.1117327E-5 | 1.2177969E-5 | 1.2177969E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.764482E-5 | 5.219043E-5 | 5.219043E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7992124E-4 | 6.3526473E-4 | 6.552521E-4 | 1.0314629 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0057841022 | 0.0063375947 | 0.0063972143 | 1.0094073 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1117327E-5 | 1.2177969E-5 | 1.2177969E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.764482E-5 | 5.219043E-5 | 5.219043E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7992124E-4 | 6.3526473E-4 | 6.552521E-4 | 1.0314629 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0057841022 | 0.0063375947 | 0.0063972143 | 1.0094073 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.103093E-6 | 6.672764E-6 | 6.672764E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.615585E-5 | 2.8597316E-5 | 2.8597316E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1840094E-4 | 3.4812925E-4 | 3.681223E-4 | 1.0574299 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0031794512 | 0.0034770733 | 0.0035169343 | 1.0114639 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.817237E-6 | 6.3663756E-6 | 6.3663756E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4930776E-5 | 2.7284252E-5 | 2.7284252E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.034899E-4 | 3.3214758E-4 | 3.5214092E-4 | 1.0601943 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0030307577 | 0.0033177338 | 0.003347634 | 1.0090123 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.8846314E-6 | 5.3411636E-6 | 5.3411636E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0933967E-5 | 2.2890566E-5 | 2.2890566E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5484123E-4 | 2.786688E-4 | 2.9866322E-4 | 1.0717498 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0025454918 | 0.0027843493 | 0.0028142657 | 1.0107445 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.7788773E-6 | 1.9401177E-6 | 1.9401177E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6237375E-6 | 8.3147725E-6 | 8.3147725E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.281505E-5 | 1.01229234E-4 | 1.01229234E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2776294E-4 | 0.0010119858 | 0.0010219758 | 1.0098716 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.5455404E-7 | 8.2980785E-7 | 8.2980785E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.233799E-6 | 3.5563164E-6 | 3.5563164E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.937079E-5 | 4.329763E-5 | 4.329763E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9363815E-4 | 4.329249E-4 | 4.329249E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 6.8578805E-7 | 7.542714E-7 | 7.542714E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9390883E-6 | 3.2325895E-6 | 3.2325895E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.578281E-5 | 3.9356397E-5 | 3.9356397E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.577705E-4 | 3.9352677E-4 | 3.9352677E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.986481E-4 | 0.0012286793 | 0.0012286793 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025631124 | 0.005250228 | 0.0052601756 | 1.0018947 | 1.0E-5 | 0.030762846 | 0.06125906 | 0.061277837 | 1.0003065 | 2.0E-5 | 0.26835477 | 0.4262182 | 0.42628133 | 1.000148 | 1.1E-4 |
6.1 | 5.015945E-4 | 0.0010226906 | 0.0010226906 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00214792 | 0.0043717283 | 0.0043816846 | 1.0022774 | 1.0E-5 | 0.025839351 | 0.051293626 | 0.051312603 | 1.0003699 | 2.0E-5 | 0.23032776 | 0.37312782 | 0.3731905 | 1.000168 | 1.0E-4 |
6.2 | 4.073338E-4 | 8.116278E-4 | 8.116278E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017445484 | 0.0034709645 | 0.0034809299 | 1.002871 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021034058 | 0.040978026 | 0.040997203 | 1.000468 | 2.0E-5 | 0.19150782 | 0.31332693 | 0.3133956 | 1.0002191 | 1.0E-4 |
6.3 | 3.464099E-4 | 6.748163E-4 | 6.748163E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014837692 | 0.00288679 | 0.0028967613 | 1.0034541 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017915873 | 0.03423479 | 0.034254104 | 1.0005642 | 2.0E-5 | 0.16538359 | 0.27162817 | 0.271701 | 1.0002681 | 1.0E-4 |
6.4 | 2.935057E-4 | 5.5532105E-4 | 5.5532105E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012572751 | 0.0023763794 | 0.0023863558 | 1.0041981 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015200248 | 0.028310148 | 0.028329583 | 1.0006864 | 2.0E-5 | 0.14201577 | 0.23331413 | 0.23339081 | 1.0003287 | 1.0E-4 |
6.5 | 2.3409708E-4 | 4.2183144E-4 | 4.2183144E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010028875 | 0.0018058238 | 0.0018158058 | 1.0055276 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012141965 | 0.021633469 | 0.021653036 | 1.0009044 | 2.0E-5 | 0.11499573 | 0.18717226 | 0.18725355 | 1.0004343 | 1.0E-4 |
6.6 | 1.5842178E-4 | 2.5158955E-4 | 2.5158955E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7877385E-4 | 0.001077786 | 0.0010877752 | 1.0092683 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0082328 | 0.013041718 | 0.013061457 | 1.0015135 | 2.0E-5 | 0.07934396 | 0.12352042 | 0.12360807 | 1.0007095 | 1.0E-4 |
6.7 | 1.5616413E-4 | 2.4695284E-4 | 2.4695284E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.691031E-4 | 0.0010579334 | 0.0010679228 | 1.0094424 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0081159435 | 0.012803468 | 0.012823212 | 1.0015421 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0782586 | 0.121547535 | 0.12163538 | 1.0007228 | 1.0E-4 |
6.8 | 1.5538467E-4 | 2.4518944E-4 | 2.4518944E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6576427E-4 | 0.0010503832 | 0.0010603727 | 1.0095103 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008075596 | 0.012712778 | 0.0127325235 | 1.0015532 | 2.0E-5 | 0.07788358 | 0.12077802 | 0.12086594 | 1.000728 | 1.0E-4 |
6.9 | 1.5153569E-4 | 2.3627418E-4 | 2.3627418E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.49277E-4 | 0.0010122127 | 0.0010222025 | 1.0098693 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007876333 | 0.012254578 | 0.012274332 | 1.0016121 | 2.0E-5 | 0.07602952 | 0.116846725 | 0.116935045 | 1.0007558 | 1.0E-4 |
7.0 | 1.4588932E-4 | 2.2483729E-4 | 2.2483729E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.250901E-4 | 9.632345E-4 | 9.732249E-4 | 1.0103717 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0075839474 | 0.011664821 | 0.011684587 | 1.0016946 | 2.0E-5 | 0.073302895 | 0.111691765 | 0.1117806 | 1.0007954 | 1.0E-4 |
7.1 | 1.1565079E-4 | 1.6355977E-4 | 1.6355977E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.955521E-4 | 7.00783E-4 | 7.1077596E-4 | 1.0142597 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006016669 | 0.008498859 | 0.008518688 | 1.0023333 | 2.0E-5 | 0.058563538 | 0.0840045 | 0.0840961 | 1.0010904 | 1.0E-4 |
7.2 | 1.0393792E-4 | 1.4686062E-4 | 1.4686062E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4537216E-4 | 6.2925165E-4 | 6.392453E-4 | 1.0158819 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005408933 | 0.007634398 | 0.0076542455 | 1.0025997 | 2.0E-5 | 0.052791595 | 0.075939514 | 0.07603192 | 1.0012169 | 1.0E-4 |
7.3 | 9.332884E-5 | 1.2842029E-4 | 1.2842029E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.999194E-4 | 5.5025716E-4 | 5.602517E-4 | 1.0181633 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0048581534 | 0.006678938 | 0.0066988044 | 1.0029745 | 2.0E-5 | 0.047533102 | 0.06676766 | 0.06686099 | 1.0013977 | 1.0E-4 |
7.4 | 8.670252E-5 | 1.17591604E-4 | 1.17591604E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.715293E-4 | 5.038673E-4 | 5.1386224E-4 | 1.0198365 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004513991 | 0.0061174505 | 0.006137328 | 1.0032493 | 2.0E-5 | 0.044233937 | 0.0614145 | 0.061508358 | 1.0015283 | 1.0E-4 |
7.5 | 7.3036405E-5 | 9.052744E-5 | 9.052744E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.129756E-4 | 3.8791716E-4 | 3.9791327E-4 | 1.0257688 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0038038217 | 0.004712685 | 0.004732591 | 1.0042238 | 2.0E-5 | 0.03739367 | 0.0481021 | 0.048197288 | 1.0019789 | 1.0E-4 |
7.6 | 6.3935775E-5 | 8.321998E-5 | 8.321998E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7398168E-4 | 3.566084E-4 | 3.666048E-4 | 1.028032 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033306254 | 0.0043330826 | 0.0043529957 | 1.0045956 | 2.0E-5 | 0.032811474 | 0.044190943 | 0.044286527 | 1.0021629 | 1.0E-4 |
7.7 | 5.5050095E-5 | 6.6987166E-5 | 6.6987166E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3590765E-4 | 2.8705626E-4 | 2.970534E-4 | 1.0348264 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028683927 | 0.0034893136 | 0.0035092437 | 1.0057118 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0283165 | 0.035975583 | 0.036062345 | 1.0024117 | 9.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.027131E-5 | 6.196603E-5 | 6.196603E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1543067E-4 | 2.6554166E-4 | 2.7553903E-4 | 1.0376489 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0026197135 | 0.0032281806 | 0.003248116 | 1.0061754 | 2.0E-5 | 0.025890453 | 0.033291273 | 0.033378277 | 1.0026134 | 9.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.7271806E-5 | 5.0496637E-5 | 5.0496637E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5972654E-4 | 2.1639622E-4 | 2.1639622E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019429359 | 0.0026314426 | 0.0026314426 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.019260362 | 0.027201219 | 0.027259586 | 1.0021458 | 6.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.7310243E-5 | 3.1607753E-5 | 3.1607753E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.17038646E-4 | 1.3545477E-4 | 1.3545477E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014240141 | 0.0016479151 | 0.0016479151 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014149235 | 0.017305447 | 0.017334927 | 1.0017035 | 3.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.7940547E-5 | 1.7515711E-5 | 1.7515711E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.688579E-5 | 7.5065174E-5 | 7.5065174E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3568244E-4 | 9.135359E-4 | 9.135359E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009317525 | 0.009859767 | 0.009869669 | 1.0010042 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.5205624E-6 | 5.5205624E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3659339E-5 | 2.3659339E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8801445E-4 | 2.8801445E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.003273719 | 0.0032836862 | 1.0030446 | 1.0E-5 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.7366735E-7 | 7.7366735E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.315713E-6 | 3.315713E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.0368075E-5 | 4.0368075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.7638497E-4 | 4.7638497E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Ludlow
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2407607E-5 | 2.365883E-5 | 2.365883E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.602906E-5 | 1.0139129E-4 | 1.0139129E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011685267 | 0.001233784 | 0.0012537594 | 1.0161903 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011624013 | 0.012273855 | 0.012372628 | 1.0080473 | 1.0E-4 |
6.1 | 2.2407607E-5 | 2.365883E-5 | 2.365883E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.602906E-5 | 1.0139129E-4 | 1.0139129E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011685267 | 0.001233784 | 0.0012537594 | 1.0161903 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011624013 | 0.012273855 | 0.012372628 | 1.0080473 | 1.0E-4 |
6.2 | 1.0781252E-5 | 1.1366399E-5 | 1.1366399E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.620455E-5 | 4.8712252E-5 | 4.8712252E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.623952E-4 | 5.9291435E-4 | 5.9291435E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00560974 | 0.005913743 | 0.0059435656 | 1.0050429 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.0781252E-5 | 1.1366399E-5 | 1.1366399E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.620455E-5 | 4.8712252E-5 | 4.8712252E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.623952E-4 | 5.9291435E-4 | 5.9291435E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00560974 | 0.005913743 | 0.0059435656 | 1.0050429 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.814439E-6 | 8.238262E-6 | 8.238262E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3490025E-5 | 3.5306366E-5 | 3.5306366E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0766477E-4 | 4.2977164E-4 | 4.2977164E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040691774 | 0.0042895516 | 0.0043094656 | 1.0046425 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.4986366E-6 | 6.851363E-6 | 6.851363E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7851002E-5 | 2.936266E-5 | 2.936266E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.390332E-4 | 3.5743267E-4 | 3.5743267E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003385164 | 0.003568674 | 0.0035886026 | 1.0055844 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.582177E-6 | 5.8863884E-6 | 5.8863884E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3923398E-5 | 2.5227138E-5 | 2.5227138E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9122844E-4 | 3.0709783E-4 | 3.0709783E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029084706 | 0.003066808 | 0.0030867467 | 1.0065014 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.6858763E-6 | 4.9407477E-6 | 4.9407477E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0082172E-5 | 2.1174465E-5 | 2.1174465E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4447302E-4 | 2.5776916E-4 | 2.5776916E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024420423 | 0.0025747581 | 0.0025947066 | 1.0077478 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.5584908E-6 | 3.752262E-6 | 3.752262E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5250586E-5 | 1.6081027E-5 | 1.6081027E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8566006E-4 | 1.9576932E-4 | 1.9576932E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018550502 | 0.0019560095 | 0.0019759706 | 1.0102049 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.532834E-6 | 2.6711775E-6 | 2.6711775E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0854958E-5 | 1.1447854E-5 | 1.1447854E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3215111E-4 | 1.3936899E-4 | 1.3936899E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013207254 | 0.0013928436 | 0.0014128156 | 1.0143391 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.7083285E-6 | 1.8020618E-6 | 1.8020618E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3213873E-6 | 7.7231E-6 | 7.7231E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.913424E-5 | 9.402485E-5 | 9.402485E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9098496E-4 | 9.398672E-4 | 9.498578E-4 | 1.0106298 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0905424E-6 | 1.1498365E-6 | 1.1498365E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6737446E-6 | 4.927862E-6 | 4.927862E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6901354E-5 | 5.9995167E-5 | 5.9995167E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6886784E-4 | 5.997995E-4 | 5.997995E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.06668E-7 | 6.3876803E-7 | 6.3876803E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.600003E-6 | 2.737575E-6 | 2.737575E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1654577E-5 | 3.3329536E-5 | 3.3329536E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1650066E-4 | 3.332522E-4 | 3.332522E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Owens Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.83821E-5 | 3.631939E-6 | 3.631939E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0733538E-4 | 1.5565365E-5 | 1.5565365E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002521386 | 1.8949284E-4 | 2.3948337E-4 | 1.2638122 | 5.0E-5 | 0.024929691 | 0.0019299901 | 0.002029797 | 1.0517137 | 1.0E-4 |
6.1 | 4.83821E-5 | 3.631939E-6 | 3.631939E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0733538E-4 | 1.5565365E-5 | 1.5565365E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002521386 | 1.8949284E-4 | 2.3948337E-4 | 1.2638122 | 5.0E-5 | 0.024929691 | 0.0019299901 | 0.002029797 | 1.0517137 | 1.0E-4 |
6.2 | 4.83821E-5 | 3.631939E-6 | 3.631939E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0733538E-4 | 1.5565365E-5 | 1.5565365E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002521386 | 1.8949284E-4 | 2.3948337E-4 | 1.2638122 | 5.0E-5 | 0.024929691 | 0.0019299901 | 0.002029797 | 1.0517137 | 1.0E-4 |
6.3 | 3.953008E-5 | 3.1580057E-6 | 3.1580057E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6940363E-4 | 1.3534244E-5 | 1.3534244E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002060538 | 1.647677E-4 | 2.1475946E-4 | 1.3034075 | 5.0E-5 | 0.020415364 | 0.0016594748 | 0.0017493254 | 1.054144 | 9.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.953008E-5 | 3.1580057E-6 | 3.1580057E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6940363E-4 | 1.3534244E-5 | 1.3534244E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002060538 | 1.647677E-4 | 2.1475946E-4 | 1.3034075 | 5.0E-5 | 0.020415364 | 0.0016594748 | 0.0017493254 | 1.054144 | 9.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.457342E-5 | 2.9730618E-6 | 2.9730618E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4816338E-4 | 1.2741635E-5 | 1.2741635E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018023965 | 1.5511907E-4 | 2.051113E-4 | 1.322283 | 5.0E-5 | 0.017878477 | 0.0015562365 | 0.0016460965 | 1.0577419 | 9.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.1127765E-5 | 2.8759262E-6 | 2.8759262E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3339789E-4 | 1.2325344E-5 | 1.2325344E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016229092 | 1.5005142E-4 | 2.0004391E-4 | 1.3331691 | 5.0E-5 | 0.016111081 | 0.0015013425 | 0.0015812224 | 1.0532056 | 8.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.806885E-5 | 2.811529E-6 | 2.811529E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2028952E-4 | 1.2049359E-5 | 1.2049359E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001463541 | 1.4669175E-4 | 1.9668441E-4 | 1.3408008 | 5.0E-5 | 0.014539397 | 0.0014663327 | 0.0015462154 | 1.0544779 | 8.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.524524E-5 | 2.2363192E-6 | 2.2363192E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0818939E-4 | 9.5841915E-6 | 9.5841915E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013164099 | 1.16681585E-4 | 1.6667575E-4 | 1.4284667 | 5.0E-5 | 0.01308639 | 0.0011664868 | 0.0012463934 | 1.068502 | 8.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.2704568E-5 | 1.6088343E-6 | 1.6088343E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.730166E-5 | 6.8949857E-6 | 6.8949857E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011840039 | 8.394324E-5 | 1.3393904E-4 | 1.5955906 | 5.0E-5 | 0.011777153 | 8.3933194E-4 | 9.192648E-4 | 1.0952339 | 8.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.0871712E-5 | 1.5401849E-6 | 1.5401849E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.944713E-5 | 6.600776E-6 | 6.600776E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010884746 | 8.0361504E-5 | 1.3035748E-4 | 1.6221385 | 5.0E-5 | 0.010831586 | 8.03499E-4 | 8.834347E-4 | 1.0994846 | 8.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.944928E-5 | 1.3869612E-6 | 1.3869612E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.335139E-5 | 5.944106E-6 | 5.944106E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010143308 | 7.23671E-5 | 1.2236348E-4 | 1.6908717 | 5.0E-5 | 0.010097133 | 7.235956E-4 | 8.035377E-4 | 1.110479 | 8.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.7876306E-5 | 1.2493912E-6 | 1.2493912E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6610486E-5 | 5.3545223E-6 | 5.3545223E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3233347E-4 | 6.518937E-5 | 1.1518611E-4 | 1.7669462 | 5.0E-5 | 0.009284316 | 6.518341E-4 | 7.3178194E-4 | 1.1226506 | 8.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.2618672E-5 | 1.1119605E-6 | 1.1119605E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.40789E-5 | 4.7655367E-6 | 4.7655367E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.582117E-4 | 5.8018868E-5 | 9.801655E-5 | 1.6893909 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0065626553 | 5.801638E-4 | 6.5012317E-4 | 1.1205856 | 7.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.4874442E-6 | 8.552348E-7 | 8.552348E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.208865E-5 | 3.6652868E-6 | 3.6652868E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.906093E-4 | 4.4623957E-5 | 8.4622174E-5 | 1.8963394 | 4.0E-5 | 0.003899234 | 4.4623815E-4 | 5.162069E-4 | 1.1567969 | 7.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.4734156E-6 | 6.071239E-7 | 6.071239E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.060031E-5 | 2.601957E-6 | 2.601957E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2905113E-4 | 3.167837E-5 | 6.167742E-5 | 1.9469885 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0012897621 | 3.1673888E-4 | 3.6672305E-4 | 1.1578088 | 5.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.1328841E-6 | 3.1978178E-7 | 3.1978178E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8552088E-6 | 1.3704926E-6 | 1.3704926E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9110564E-5 | 1.668562E-5 | 3.6685287E-5 | 2.1986167 | 2.0E-5 | 5.9094845E-4 | 1.6684388E-4 | 1.8684054E-4 | 1.1198525 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.8613185E-7 | 8.969069E-8 | 8.969069E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0834207E-6 | 3.843886E-7 | 3.843886E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.536535E-5 | 4.679922E-6 | 4.679922E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5362454E-4 | 4.6798305E-5 | 4.6798305E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (San Bernardino)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.612939E-5 | 3.612939E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.5483107E-4 | 1.5483107E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017774 | 0.00188344 | 0.0019233646 | 1.0211977 | 4.0E-5 | 0.01763251 | 0.01942361 | 0.019511862 | 1.0045435 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.612939E-5 | 3.612939E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.5483107E-4 | 1.5483107E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017774 | 0.00188344 | 0.0019233646 | 1.0211977 | 4.0E-5 | 0.01763251 | 0.01942361 | 0.019511862 | 1.0045435 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.612939E-5 | 3.612939E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.5483107E-4 | 1.5483107E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017774 | 0.00188344 | 0.0019233646 | 1.0211977 | 4.0E-5 | 0.01763251 | 0.01942361 | 0.019511862 | 1.0045435 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.612939E-5 | 3.612939E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.5483107E-4 | 1.5483107E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017774 | 0.00188344 | 0.0019233646 | 1.0211977 | 4.0E-5 | 0.01763251 | 0.01942361 | 0.019511862 | 1.0045435 | 9.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.400795E-5 | 3.6022026E-5 | 3.6022026E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4574021E-4 | 1.5437098E-4 | 1.5437098E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017729428 | 0.0018778481 | 0.0019177729 | 1.021261 | 4.0E-5 | 0.017588645 | 0.019368678 | 0.019456936 | 1.0045567 | 9.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.341482E-5 | 3.5282435E-5 | 3.5282435E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4319851E-4 | 1.5120169E-4 | 1.5120169E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017420477 | 0.0018393276 | 0.001879254 | 1.021707 | 4.0E-5 | 0.017284546 | 0.018990139 | 0.01907843 | 1.0046493 | 9.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.3364955E-5 | 3.5219637E-5 | 3.5219637E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4298483E-4 | 1.5093257E-4 | 1.5093257E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017394501 | 0.0018360566 | 0.0018759832 | 1.0217458 | 4.0E-5 | 0.017258976 | 0.018957995 | 0.01904629 | 1.0046574 | 9.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.335922E-5 | 3.5209407E-5 | 3.5209407E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4296026E-4 | 1.5088874E-4 | 1.5088874E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017391514 | 0.0018355239 | 0.0018754505 | 1.0217521 | 4.0E-5 | 0.017256035 | 0.018952785 | 0.01904108 | 1.0046587 | 9.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.327683E-5 | 3.510344E-5 | 3.510344E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4260718E-4 | 1.5043464E-4 | 1.5043464E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017348597 | 0.0018300045 | 0.0018699314 | 1.0218179 | 4.0E-5 | 0.017213784 | 0.018898545 | 0.018986844 | 1.0046723 | 9.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.3235785E-5 | 3.504437E-5 | 3.504437E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4243131E-4 | 1.5018153E-4 | 1.5018153E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017327217 | 0.001826928 | 0.001866855 | 1.0218546 | 4.0E-5 | 0.017192734 | 0.018868402 | 0.018956704 | 1.0046799 | 9.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.3197095E-5 | 3.4984274E-5 | 3.4984274E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.422655E-4 | 1.49924E-4 | 1.49924E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017307063 | 0.0018237979 | 0.0018637249 | 1.0218923 | 4.0E-5 | 0.017172894 | 0.018837769 | 0.018926075 | 1.0046877 | 9.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.3129716E-5 | 3.4864428E-5 | 3.4864428E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4197677E-4 | 1.4941042E-4 | 1.4941042E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017271966 | 0.0018175556 | 0.0018574828 | 1.0219675 | 4.0E-5 | 0.017138338 | 0.01877683 | 0.01886514 | 1.0047032 | 9.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.3034008E-5 | 3.4731827E-5 | 3.4731827E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4156665E-4 | 1.4884221E-4 | 1.4884221E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017222111 | 0.0018106491 | 0.0018505767 | 1.0220516 | 4.0E-5 | 0.017089253 | 0.018709209 | 0.018797524 | 1.0047204 | 9.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.2956614E-5 | 3.45995E-5 | 3.45995E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4123498E-4 | 1.4827515E-4 | 1.4827515E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017181796 | 0.0018037567 | 0.0018436845 | 1.022136 | 4.0E-5 | 0.017049557 | 0.018641913 | 0.018730236 | 1.0047379 | 9.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.2915937E-5 | 3.4521127E-5 | 3.4521127E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4106068E-4 | 1.4793931E-4 | 1.4793931E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017160608 | 0.0017996745 | 0.0018396025 | 1.0221863 | 4.0E-5 | 0.017028693 | 0.018602148 | 0.018690474 | 1.0047481 | 9.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.281791E-5 | 3.438594E-5 | 3.438594E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.406406E-4 | 1.4735998E-4 | 1.4735998E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017109542 | 0.0017926329 | 0.0018325612 | 1.0222735 | 4.0E-5 | 0.016978411 | 0.018532988 | 0.01862132 | 1.0047662 | 9.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.2521442E-5 | 3.4110617E-5 | 3.4110617E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3937015E-4 | 1.4618017E-4 | 1.4618017E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016955109 | 0.0017782921 | 0.0018182211 | 1.0224535 | 4.0E-5 | 0.016826328 | 0.018390492 | 0.018478837 | 1.0048038 | 9.0E-5 |
7.7 | 3.0287873E-5 | 3.259305E-5 | 3.259305E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.297987E-4 | 1.3967702E-4 | 1.3967702E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015791537 | 0.0016992425 | 0.0017391745 | 1.0234998 | 4.0E-5 | 0.01567979 | 0.01760061 | 0.017689027 | 1.0050235 | 9.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.6316151E-5 | 2.9798837E-5 | 2.9798837E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1277862E-4 | 1.2770305E-4 | 1.2770305E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013722149 | 0.0015536768 | 0.0015936147 | 1.0257053 | 4.0E-5 | 0.013637724 | 0.016139673 | 0.016218383 | 1.0048767 | 8.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.0761147E-5 | 2.353605E-5 | 2.353605E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.897331E-5 | 1.0086488E-4 | 1.0086488E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010827117 | 0.001227339 | 0.0012672899 | 1.0325508 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010774517 | 0.012854703 | 0.012923803 | 1.0053755 | 7.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.5738568E-5 | 1.6121941E-5 | 1.6121941E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.744926E-5 | 6.90922E-5 | 6.90922E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2088535E-4 | 8.4087363E-4 | 8.508652E-4 | 1.0118824 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008178596 | 0.008912875 | 0.008932697 | 1.002224 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.0105832E-5 | 8.381959E-6 | 8.381959E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3309992E-5 | 3.592219E-5 | 3.592219E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2717153E-4 | 4.372654E-4 | 4.372654E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005259227 | 0.0047050035 | 0.0047149565 | 1.0021154 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 4.189207E-6 | 1.592774E-6 | 1.592774E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7953622E-5 | 6.826156E-6 | 6.826156E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1856341E-4 | 8.310531E-5 | 8.310531E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021834858 | 9.6482044E-4 | 9.6482044E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2758221E-6 | 3.653218E-7 | 3.653218E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4677976E-6 | 1.565664E-6 | 1.565664E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.65684E-5 | 1.9061796E-5 | 1.9061796E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6548464E-4 | 2.2977713E-4 | 2.2977713E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Baker
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.695525E-6 | 5.8350083E-6 | 5.8350083E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4409164E-5 | 2.5006962E-5 | 4.500646E-5 | 1.7997572 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9714106E-4 | 3.0442124E-4 | 3.5440602E-4 | 1.1641961 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0029674405 | 0.0030404378 | 0.0031301642 | 1.029511 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.695525E-6 | 5.8350083E-6 | 5.8350083E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4409164E-5 | 2.5006962E-5 | 4.500646E-5 | 1.7997572 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9714106E-4 | 3.0442124E-4 | 3.5440602E-4 | 1.1641961 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0029674405 | 0.0030404378 | 0.0031301642 | 1.029511 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 5.695525E-6 | 5.8350083E-6 | 5.8350083E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4409164E-5 | 2.5006962E-5 | 4.500646E-5 | 1.7997572 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9714106E-4 | 3.0442124E-4 | 3.5440602E-4 | 1.1641961 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0029674405 | 0.0030404378 | 0.0031301642 | 1.029511 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.2995713E-6 | 3.383771E-6 | 3.383771E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4140943E-5 | 1.45017975E-5 | 2.4501653E-5 | 1.6895597 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7215237E-4 | 1.7654555E-4 | 1.9654202E-4 | 1.1132652 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017201907 | 0.0017641002 | 0.0018040296 | 1.0226345 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.2995713E-6 | 3.383771E-6 | 3.383771E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4140943E-5 | 1.45017975E-5 | 2.4501653E-5 | 1.6895597 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7215237E-4 | 1.7654555E-4 | 1.9654202E-4 | 1.1132652 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017201907 | 0.0017641002 | 0.0018040296 | 1.0226345 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.782202E-6 | 2.8559316E-6 | 2.8559316E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1923668E-5 | 1.2239651E-5 | 2.2239528E-5 | 1.8170067 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4516099E-4 | 1.4900789E-4 | 1.6900491E-4 | 1.134201 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001450662 | 0.0014891125 | 0.001529053 | 1.0268216 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.3163404E-6 | 2.381E-6 | 2.381E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.927136E-6 | 1.0204247E-5 | 1.0204247E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.20856166E-4 | 1.2422983E-4 | 1.3422858E-4 | 1.0804859 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012079047 | 0.001241624 | 0.0012715869 | 1.0241319 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.037056E-6 | 2.0965742E-6 | 2.0965742E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7302105E-6 | 8.985288E-6 | 8.985288E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0628513E-4 | 1.0939056E-4 | 1.19389464E-4 | 1.0914055 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010623431 | 0.0010933832 | 0.0011233505 | 1.0274078 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.8356744E-6 | 1.8915981E-6 | 1.8915981E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.867153E-6 | 8.106825E-6 | 8.106825E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.577837E-5 | 9.869626E-5 | 1.08695276E-4 | 1.101311 | 1.0E-5 | 9.57371E-4 | 9.865382E-4 | 0.0010165087 | 1.0303794 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.6310546E-6 | 1.6832722E-6 | 1.6832722E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9902153E-6 | 7.214004E-6 | 7.214004E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.510255E-5 | 8.782707E-5 | 9.7826196E-5 | 1.1138501 | 1.0E-5 | 8.5069967E-4 | 8.779349E-4 | 9.079086E-4 | 1.0341411 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.2058036E-6 | 1.2509229E-6 | 1.2509229E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1677193E-6 | 5.3610875E-6 | 5.3610875E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.291517E-5 | 6.5269305E-5 | 7.5268654E-5 | 1.1532013 | 1.0E-5 | 6.289736E-4 | 6.525037E-4 | 6.724906E-4 | 1.0306312 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.052382E-6 | 1.0952144E-6 | 1.0952144E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5102006E-6 | 4.693768E-6 | 4.693768E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.491031E-5 | 5.7145135E-5 | 6.714456E-5 | 1.174983 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4896745E-4 | 5.713053E-4 | 5.9129385E-4 | 1.0349876 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.0067454E-6 | 1.0488237E-6 | 1.0488237E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3146156E-6 | 4.494951E-6 | 4.494951E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.252918E-5 | 5.4724664E-5 | 6.472412E-5 | 1.1827229 | 1.0E-5 | 5.251676E-4 | 5.471128E-4 | 5.671018E-4 | 1.0365355 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.3596316E-7 | 9.768236E-7 | 9.768236E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0112645E-6 | 4.18638E-6 | 4.18638E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8836053E-5 | 5.0967992E-5 | 5.0967992E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8825322E-4 | 5.0956383E-4 | 5.1955873E-4 | 1.0196146 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 8.8117395E-7 | 9.2081603E-7 | 9.2081603E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7764542E-6 | 3.9463484E-6 | 3.9463484E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5977362E-5 | 4.8045742E-5 | 4.8045742E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.596785E-4 | 4.803543E-4 | 4.903495E-4 | 1.020808 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 8.292386E-7 | 8.675076E-7 | 8.675076E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5538749E-6 | 3.7178845E-6 | 3.7178845E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.326757E-5 | 4.526431E-5 | 4.526431E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3259145E-4 | 4.5255164E-4 | 4.6254712E-4 | 1.022087 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 7.553842E-7 | 7.914924E-7 | 7.914924E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2373566E-6 | 3.392106E-6 | 3.392106E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9414106E-5 | 4.1298114E-5 | 4.1298114E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9407116E-4 | 4.1290512E-4 | 4.2290098E-4 | 1.0242087 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.5285366E-7 | 6.853205E-7 | 6.853205E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.797941E-6 | 2.9370847E-6 | 2.9370847E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.40644E-5 | 3.5758425E-5 | 3.5758425E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.405918E-4 | 3.5752737E-4 | 3.675238E-4 | 1.02796 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.6485014E-7 | 3.6485014E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5636425E-6 | 1.5636425E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.9037187E-5 | 1.9037187E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.9035599E-4 | 1.9035599E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6698093E-9 | 2.6698093E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.144204E-8 | 1.144204E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3930685E-7 | 1.3930685E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3930684E-6 | 1.3930684E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Ynez (West)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.7352758E-5 | 5.498369E-5 | 5.498369E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0292461E-4 | 2.3562429E-4 | 2.4562192E-4 | 1.0424304 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024678076 | 0.0028652193 | 0.0028951333 | 1.0104403 | 3.0E-5 | 0.024405818 | 0.02831089 | 0.028388625 | 1.0027457 | 8.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.7352758E-5 | 5.498369E-5 | 5.498369E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0292461E-4 | 2.3562429E-4 | 2.3562429E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024678076 | 0.0028652193 | 0.002885162 | 1.0069603 | 2.0E-5 | 0.024405818 | 0.02831089 | 0.028378908 | 1.0024025 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.0415853E-5 | 3.393163E-5 | 3.393163E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3034715E-4 | 1.4541337E-4 | 1.4541337E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015858212 | 0.0017690049 | 0.0017889695 | 1.0112858 | 2.0E-5 | 0.015745522 | 0.017553179 | 0.017592477 | 1.0022388 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.0415853E-5 | 3.393163E-5 | 3.393163E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3034715E-4 | 1.4541337E-4 | 1.4541337E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015858212 | 0.0017690049 | 0.0017889695 | 1.0112858 | 2.0E-5 | 0.015745522 | 0.017553179 | 0.017592477 | 1.0022388 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.5452082E-5 | 2.7917438E-5 | 2.7917438E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.09075794E-4 | 1.1964079E-4 | 1.1964079E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013271887 | 0.001455672 | 0.0014756429 | 1.0137193 | 2.0E-5 | 0.013192902 | 0.014463539 | 0.014493105 | 1.0020442 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.3143784E-5 | 2.513256E-5 | 2.513256E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9183875E-5 | 1.0770661E-4 | 1.0770661E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012068948 | 0.0013105536 | 0.0013305274 | 1.0152407 | 2.0E-5 | 0.012003611 | 0.013029917 | 0.013059527 | 1.0022724 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.9118515E-5 | 2.0357606E-5 | 2.0357606E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.193392E-5 | 8.724401E-5 | 8.724401E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.97089E-4 | 0.0010616861 | 0.0010816649 | 1.0188179 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00992627 | 0.010567052 | 0.010596735 | 1.002809 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.722807E-5 | 1.8149167E-5 | 1.8149167E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3832496E-5 | 7.777986E-5 | 7.777986E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.985399E-4 | 9.4656396E-4 | 9.66545E-4 | 1.0211091 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008949154 | 0.009425968 | 0.0094556855 | 1.0031527 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.5317364E-5 | 1.5928874E-5 | 1.5928874E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.56442E-5 | 6.826484E-5 | 6.826484E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.98925E-4 | 8.308118E-4 | 8.408035E-4 | 1.0120264 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007960589 | 0.008277546 | 0.00829738 | 1.0023962 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.3071226E-5 | 1.3331525E-5 | 1.3331525E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6018336E-5 | 5.7133868E-5 | 5.7133868E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8180985E-4 | 6.953851E-4 | 7.0537813E-4 | 1.0143706 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0067972173 | 0.006932352 | 0.006942283 | 1.0014325 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.1836986E-5 | 1.1934461E-5 | 1.1934461E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0728955E-5 | 5.1146697E-5 | 5.1146697E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1745E-4 | 6.225348E-4 | 6.3252856E-4 | 1.0160533 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006157372 | 0.0062081018 | 0.00621804 | 1.0016007 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0597169E-5 | 1.0543677E-5 | 1.0543677E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.541565E-5 | 4.5186407E-5 | 4.5186407E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5279525E-4 | 5.500068E-4 | 5.600013E-4 | 1.0181715 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0055142213 | 0.0054865866 | 0.0054965317 | 1.0018126 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.59113E-6 | 9.460519E-6 | 9.460519E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.11042E-5 | 4.054446E-5 | 4.054446E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0032866E-4 | 4.93518E-4 | 5.035131E-4 | 1.0202527 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004992037 | 0.0049243392 | 0.00493429 | 1.0020207 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 8.586084E-6 | 8.380862E-6 | 8.380862E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.679698E-5 | 3.5917492E-5 | 3.5917492E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4791115E-4 | 4.3720874E-4 | 4.472044E-4 | 1.0228623 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004470094 | 0.0043635974 | 0.0043735537 | 1.0022817 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.2622997E-6 | 6.952683E-6 | 6.952683E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.112377E-5 | 2.9796878E-5 | 2.9796878E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.78866E-4 | 3.6271758E-4 | 3.7271396E-4 | 1.0275596 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037822074 | 0.0036213559 | 0.0036313196 | 1.0027514 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.627296E-6 | 5.2522714E-6 | 5.2522714E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.411676E-5 | 2.2509545E-5 | 2.2509545E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9358198E-4 | 2.7401996E-4 | 2.7401996E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029319443 | 0.0027368928 | 0.0027368928 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.265244E-6 | 2.0610387E-6 | 2.0610387E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.708152E-6 | 8.832993E-6 | 8.832993E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.18190335E-4 | 1.0753647E-4 | 1.0753647E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001181275 | 0.001074853 | 0.001074853 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.3099874E-6 | 1.1017092E-6 | 1.1017092E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.61422E-6 | 4.7216026E-6 | 4.7216026E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8350986E-5 | 5.7484023E-5 | 5.7484023E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.832996E-4 | 5.746939E-4 | 5.746939E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 7.903951E-7 | 6.071505E-7 | 6.071505E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3874032E-6 | 2.6020712E-6 | 2.6020712E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1240855E-5 | 3.167977E-5 | 3.167977E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.12332E-4 | 3.1675387E-4 | 3.1675387E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.0753297E-9 | 5.0902607E-9 | 5.0902607E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.032284E-8 | 2.1815403E-8 | 2.1815403E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6918053E-7 | 2.656025E-7 | 2.656025E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.691799E-6 | 2.6560228E-6 | 2.6560228E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Mission Ridge-Arroyo Parida-Santa Ana
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.169034E-5 | 4.714861E-5 | 4.714861E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7866064E-4 | 2.0205468E-4 | 2.1205266E-4 | 1.0494815 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021730233 | 0.0024580776 | 0.0025079548 | 1.0202911 | 5.0E-5 | 0.021518968 | 0.02439083 | 0.024478635 | 1.0035999 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.73813E-5 | 1.6857075E-5 | 1.6857075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4489166E-5 | 7.224267E-5 | 7.224267E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.065282E-4 | 8.792103E-4 | 8.792103E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009028391 | 0.0087586045 | 0.00877843 | 1.0022634 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.4622182E-5 | 1.3675547E-5 | 1.3675547E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2664985E-5 | 5.860819E-5 | 5.860819E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6267915E-4 | 7.13325E-4 | 7.13325E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007600669 | 0.00711094 | 0.007130798 | 1.0027926 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3552434E-5 | 1.24842945E-5 | 1.24842945E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8080568E-5 | 5.350304E-5 | 5.350304E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.069015E-4 | 6.51208E-4 | 6.51208E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00704657 | 0.0064935037 | 0.006513374 | 1.00306 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.30977305E-5 | 1.1981186E-5 | 1.1981186E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.613192E-5 | 5.1346946E-5 | 5.1346946E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.831918E-4 | 6.2497274E-4 | 6.2497274E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006810953 | 0.0062326402 | 0.0062525156 | 1.003189 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.225205E-5 | 1.1050721E-5 | 1.1050721E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2507727E-5 | 4.735939E-5 | 4.735939E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3909404E-4 | 5.764507E-4 | 5.764507E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006372592 | 0.0057500075 | 0.0057599503 | 1.0017291 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.1352241E-5 | 1.00653415E-5 | 1.00653415E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8651553E-5 | 4.3136475E-5 | 4.3136475E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.921717E-4 | 5.2506215E-4 | 5.2506215E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0059059616 | 0.005238605 | 0.005248553 | 1.0018989 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.0864116E-5 | 9.518754E-6 | 9.518754E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6559664E-5 | 4.0794035E-5 | 4.0794035E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.667165E-4 | 4.9655617E-4 | 4.9655617E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005652734 | 0.004954844 | 0.0049647945 | 1.0020082 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0666365E-5 | 9.30148E-6 | 9.30148E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.571219E-5 | 3.9862887E-5 | 3.9862887E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.564038E-4 | 4.852246E-4 | 4.852246E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005550127 | 0.004842027 | 0.0048519787 | 1.0020553 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.0038665E-5 | 8.593639E-6 | 8.593639E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.302214E-5 | 3.682937E-5 | 3.682937E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.236687E-4 | 4.4830714E-4 | 4.4830714E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005224364 | 0.004474382 | 0.0044843373 | 1.0022249 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 9.5379955E-6 | 8.026573E-6 | 8.026573E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0876483E-5 | 3.4399152E-5 | 3.4399152E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.975576E-4 | 4.187309E-4 | 4.187309E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00496445 | 0.004179762 | 0.0041897204 | 1.0023825 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 9.207389E-6 | 7.65381E-6 | 7.65381E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.945964E-5 | 3.280164E-5 | 3.280164E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.803152E-4 | 3.9928846E-4 | 3.9928846E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004792784 | 0.0039860504 | 0.0039960104 | 1.0024987 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.638091E-6 | 5.932223E-6 | 5.932223E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2734264E-5 | 2.5423566E-5 | 2.5423566E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.984668E-4 | 3.0948827E-4 | 3.0948827E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039775306 | 0.003090773 | 0.0031007421 | 1.0032254 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.2500147E-6 | 5.5971977E-6 | 5.5971977E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1071122E-5 | 2.3987772E-5 | 2.3987772E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7822526E-4 | 2.920123E-4 | 2.920123E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037758215 | 0.0029164848 | 0.0029264558 | 1.0034188 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.3899715E-6 | 4.919415E-6 | 4.919415E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7385306E-5 | 2.1083037E-5 | 2.1083037E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3336508E-4 | 2.5665594E-4 | 2.5665594E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033286542 | 0.0025637834 | 0.002573758 | 1.0038905 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.379025E-6 | 4.0846035E-6 | 4.0846035E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.305276E-5 | 1.7505326E-5 | 1.7505326E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.806312E-4 | 2.1310661E-4 | 2.1310661E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028027708 | 0.002129034 | 0.0021390126 | 1.004687 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 4.1270696E-6 | 3.0888316E-6 | 3.0888316E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.768732E-5 | 1.3237784E-5 | 1.3237784E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1532185E-4 | 1.6115817E-4 | 1.6115817E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021511333 | 0.0016104211 | 0.0016104211 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.5406805E-6 | 1.8284885E-6 | 1.8284885E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0888585E-5 | 7.836356E-6 | 7.836356E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3256045E-4 | 9.540352E-5 | 9.540352E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013248142 | 9.536318E-4 | 9.536318E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.8608285E-7 | 3.510273E-7 | 3.510273E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0832106E-6 | 1.5044018E-6 | 1.5044018E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5362791E-5 | 1.8315939E-5 | 1.8315939E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5359896E-4 | 1.8314442E-4 | 1.8314442E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.0472514E-8 | 1.26914985E-8 | 1.26914985E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7739345E-8 | 5.4392135E-8 | 5.4392135E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.068226E-6 | 6.6222407E-7 | 6.6222407E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0682209E-5 | 6.622222E-6 | 6.622222E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 4.443582E-9 | 2.0332562E-9 | 2.0332562E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9043922E-8 | 8.713954E-9 | 8.713954E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3185973E-7 | 1.06092386E-7 | 1.06092386E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3185949E-6 | 1.0609235E-6 | 1.0609235E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Ynez (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.6758935E-5 | 3.6758935E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.575319E-4 | 1.7752875E-4 | 1.1269385 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0019168482 | 0.0019567716 | 1.0208275 | 4.0E-5 | 0.016697178 | 0.019060623 | 0.019139098 | 1.0041171 | 8.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.6758935E-5 | 3.6758935E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.575319E-4 | 1.7752875E-4 | 1.1269385 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0019168482 | 0.0019567716 | 1.0208275 | 4.0E-5 | 0.016697178 | 0.019060623 | 0.019139098 | 1.0041171 | 8.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.6758935E-5 | 3.6758935E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.575319E-4 | 1.7752875E-4 | 1.1269385 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0019168482 | 0.0019567716 | 1.0208275 | 4.0E-5 | 0.016697178 | 0.019060623 | 0.019139098 | 1.0041171 | 8.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.6758935E-5 | 3.6758935E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.575319E-4 | 1.7752875E-4 | 1.1269385 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0019168482 | 0.0019567716 | 1.0208275 | 4.0E-5 | 0.016697178 | 0.019060623 | 0.019139098 | 1.0041171 | 8.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.4404779E-5 | 1.4851536E-5 | 1.4851536E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1733306E-5 | 6.3647916E-5 | 7.364728E-5 | 1.1571044 | 1.0E-5 | 7.513438E-4 | 7.74643E-4 | 8.0461975E-4 | 1.0386975 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0074880854 | 0.007719978 | 0.0077596693 | 1.0051414 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.4404779E-5 | 1.4851536E-5 | 1.4851536E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1733306E-5 | 6.3647916E-5 | 7.364728E-5 | 1.1571044 | 1.0E-5 | 7.513438E-4 | 7.74643E-4 | 8.0461975E-4 | 1.0386975 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0074880854 | 0.007719978 | 0.0077596693 | 1.0051414 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.280208E-5 | 1.301378E-5 | 1.301378E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4864904E-5 | 5.5772158E-5 | 6.57716E-5 | 1.1792909 | 1.0E-5 | 6.6777546E-4 | 6.788163E-4 | 7.087959E-4 | 1.0441645 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006657724 | 0.0067676385 | 0.006807368 | 1.0058705 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2457027E-5 | 1.2630249E-5 | 1.2630249E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3386164E-5 | 5.4128526E-5 | 6.4127984E-5 | 1.1847354 | 1.0E-5 | 6.497827E-4 | 6.588172E-4 | 6.8879745E-4 | 1.0455061 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00647886 | 0.0065688384 | 0.0066085756 | 1.0060494 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2095134E-5 | 1.2232649E-5 | 1.2232649E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1835254E-5 | 5.2424595E-5 | 6.242407E-5 | 1.1907401 | 1.0E-5 | 6.309115E-4 | 6.3808414E-4 | 6.5807137E-4 | 1.0313238 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0062912325 | 0.0063627083 | 0.0063925176 | 1.0046849 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.1104036E-5 | 1.1158973E-5 | 1.1158973E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.758786E-5 | 4.78233E-5 | 5.7822825E-5 | 1.2090931 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7922816E-4 | 5.820944E-4 | 6.0208276E-4 | 1.0343387 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005777207 | 0.005805843 | 0.0058356686 | 1.0051372 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0577444E-5 | 1.0583242E-5 | 1.0583242E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5331115E-5 | 4.535597E-5 | 5.535552E-5 | 1.2204682 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5176654E-4 | 5.5207027E-4 | 5.720592E-4 | 1.0362073 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0055039856 | 0.005507126 | 0.005536961 | 1.0054175 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0021775E-5 | 9.982491E-6 | 9.982491E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.294976E-5 | 4.278141E-5 | 4.278141E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2278786E-4 | 5.2074034E-4 | 5.307351E-4 | 1.0191934 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0052155964 | 0.005195334 | 0.00521523 | 1.0038296 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 8.874109E-6 | 8.750173E-6 | 8.750173E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8031343E-5 | 3.750021E-5 | 3.750021E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.629332E-4 | 4.564705E-4 | 4.6646592E-4 | 1.0218972 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0046197 | 0.004555447 | 0.004575356 | 1.0043703 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.5504267E-6 | 7.506327E-6 | 7.506327E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.235857E-5 | 3.216958E-5 | 3.216958E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9389438E-4 | 3.915953E-4 | 4.015914E-4 | 1.0255265 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0039319694 | 0.0039091595 | 0.0039191204 | 1.0025481 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.309394E-6 | 6.184225E-6 | 6.184225E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.703998E-5 | 2.6503558E-5 | 2.6503558E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2916202E-4 | 3.22634E-4 | 3.3263076E-4 | 1.0309849 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003286749 | 0.0032217533 | 0.003231721 | 1.003094 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.6103073E-6 | 4.441488E-6 | 4.441488E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.975831E-5 | 1.9034815E-5 | 1.9034815E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4053088E-4 | 2.317249E-4 | 2.317249E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002402707 | 0.0023149024 | 0.0023149024 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.2858658E-6 | 1.3009083E-6 | 1.3009083E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5108417E-6 | 5.5753094E-6 | 5.5753094E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7092435E-5 | 6.787735E-5 | 6.787735E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.707218E-4 | 6.7857304E-4 | 6.7857304E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.3302307E-7 | 5.612495E-7 | 5.612495E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2843826E-6 | 2.405353E-6 | 2.405353E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7812002E-5 | 2.9284816E-5 | 2.9284816E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7808524E-4 | 2.9281314E-4 | 2.9281314E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.613933E-8 | 4.8032447E-8 | 4.8032447E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9773998E-7 | 2.0585334E-7 | 2.0585334E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4074816E-6 | 2.5062616E-6 | 2.5062616E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4074554E-5 | 2.5062343E-5 | 2.5062343E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Manix-Afton Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.3783202E-5 | 1.4712275E-5 | 1.4712275E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.906953E-5 | 6.305118E-5 | 6.305118E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.189342E-4 | 7.673952E-4 | 7.973722E-4 | 1.0390633 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0071661277 | 0.0076492094 | 0.0077285976 | 1.0103786 | 8.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.3783202E-5 | 1.4712275E-5 | 1.4712275E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.906953E-5 | 6.305118E-5 | 6.305118E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.189342E-4 | 7.673952E-4 | 7.973722E-4 | 1.0390633 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0071661277 | 0.0076492094 | 0.0077285976 | 1.0103786 | 8.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.3783202E-5 | 1.4712275E-5 | 1.4712275E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.906953E-5 | 6.305118E-5 | 6.305118E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.189342E-4 | 7.673952E-4 | 7.973722E-4 | 1.0390633 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0071661277 | 0.0076492094 | 0.0077285976 | 1.0103786 | 8.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.10494875E-5 | 1.1794085E-5 | 1.1794085E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7354086E-5 | 5.0545157E-5 | 5.0545157E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.763835E-4 | 6.1522395E-4 | 6.3521165E-4 | 1.0324885 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005748908 | 0.006136248 | 0.0062058186 | 1.0113376 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.10494875E-5 | 1.1794085E-5 | 1.1794085E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7354086E-5 | 5.0545157E-5 | 5.0545157E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.763835E-4 | 6.1522395E-4 | 6.3521165E-4 | 1.0324885 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005748908 | 0.006136248 | 0.0062058186 | 1.0113376 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.788949E-6 | 1.045517E-5 | 1.045517E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1951964E-5 | 4.4807155E-5 | 4.4807155E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1064545E-4 | 5.4539985E-4 | 5.6538894E-4 | 1.0366503 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0050947363 | 0.00544154 | 0.005511159 | 1.012794 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.810006E-6 | 9.4144E-6 | 9.4144E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.775662E-5 | 4.0346855E-5 | 4.0346855E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5958988E-4 | 4.9112114E-4 | 4.9112114E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045864056 | 0.00490124 | 0.004931093 | 1.0060909 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.80128E-6 | 9.404879E-6 | 9.404879E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7719226E-5 | 4.030605E-5 | 4.030605E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.591348E-4 | 4.906246E-4 | 4.906246E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004581874 | 0.004896296 | 0.0049261493 | 1.0060971 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.8994877E-6 | 7.3806914E-6 | 7.3806914E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9568899E-5 | 3.1631196E-5 | 3.1631196E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5994186E-4 | 3.8504993E-4 | 3.8504993E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003593594 | 0.0038446328 | 0.0038645559 | 1.005182 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.9328037E-6 | 5.271394E-6 | 5.271394E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1140417E-5 | 2.2591528E-5 | 2.2591528E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5735417E-4 | 2.7502328E-4 | 2.7502328E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025705635 | 0.0027474347 | 0.0027474347 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 3.347973E-6 | 3.5903408E-6 | 3.5903408E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4348378E-5 | 1.5387108E-5 | 1.5387108E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.746775E-4 | 1.8732602E-4 | 1.8732602E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017454025 | 0.0018720839 | 0.0018720839 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.2073567E-6 | 1.2935922E-6 | 1.2935922E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1743755E-6 | 5.543964E-6 | 5.543964E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.29962E-5 | 6.7497305E-5 | 6.7497305E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.297835E-4 | 6.749282E-4 | 6.749282E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Big Pine (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.916913E-6 | 1.2828474E-5 | 1.2828474E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.250036E-5 | 5.4978136E-5 | 5.4978136E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.173191E-4 | 6.6917535E-4 | 6.6917535E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051611643 | 0.0066763707 | 0.0067558363 | 1.0119026 | 8.0E-5 |
6.1 | 9.916913E-6 | 1.2828474E-5 | 1.2828474E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.250036E-5 | 5.4978136E-5 | 5.4978136E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.173191E-4 | 6.6917535E-4 | 6.6917535E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051611643 | 0.0066763707 | 0.0067558363 | 1.0119026 | 8.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.916913E-6 | 1.2828474E-5 | 1.2828474E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.250036E-5 | 5.4978136E-5 | 5.4978136E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.173191E-4 | 6.6917535E-4 | 6.6917535E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051611643 | 0.0066763707 | 0.0067558363 | 1.0119026 | 8.0E-5 |
6.3 | 5.479711E-6 | 8.124102E-6 | 8.124102E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3484265E-5 | 3.4817134E-5 | 3.4817134E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.858834E-4 | 4.2381935E-4 | 4.2381935E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028551589 | 0.004233012 | 0.0042927577 | 1.0141143 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 5.465009E-6 | 8.1083945E-6 | 8.1083945E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3421257E-5 | 3.4749817E-5 | 3.4749817E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.851165E-4 | 4.2300008E-4 | 4.2300008E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028475097 | 0.0042248503 | 0.004274639 | 1.0117848 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.826767E-6 | 7.4334043E-6 | 7.4334043E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.068598E-5 | 3.1857075E-5 | 3.1857075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.518227E-4 | 3.8779364E-4 | 3.8779364E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025153751 | 0.0038740286 | 0.003923835 | 1.0128565 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.3146847E-6 | 6.8933055E-6 | 6.8933055E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8491375E-5 | 2.9542416E-5 | 2.9542416E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2510924E-4 | 3.59622E-4 | 3.59622E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022488134 | 0.0035932274 | 0.0036430478 | 1.0138651 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.6968106E-6 | 6.0059515E-6 | 6.0059515E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5843378E-5 | 2.5739548E-5 | 2.5739548E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9287605E-4 | 3.1333545E-4 | 3.1333545E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019270873 | 0.0031316732 | 0.0031615791 | 1.0095495 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.4671132E-6 | 5.7123716E-6 | 5.7123716E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4858972E-5 | 2.4481371E-5 | 2.4481371E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8089297E-4 | 2.9802136E-4 | 2.9802136E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018074579 | 0.002978945 | 0.0029988852 | 1.0066938 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.7686972E-6 | 4.834637E-6 | 4.834637E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1865792E-5 | 2.0719712E-5 | 2.0719712E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4445644E-4 | 2.5223405E-4 | 2.5223405E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014436257 | 0.0025221372 | 0.0025321122 | 1.0039549 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.1472624E-6 | 3.9935912E-6 | 3.9935912E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.20252E-6 | 1.711528E-5 | 1.711528E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.12034926E-4 | 2.0835915E-4 | 2.0835915E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011197845 | 0.0020842662 | 0.0020942453 | 1.0047878 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.7018335E-6 | 3.3526385E-6 | 3.3526385E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.293552E-6 | 1.4368374E-5 | 1.4368374E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.879537E-5 | 1.7492127E-4 | 1.7492127E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.87599E-4 | 0.0017504382 | 0.0017604207 | 1.0057029 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.25603E-6 | 2.8018162E-6 | 2.8018162E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3829745E-6 | 1.2007729E-5 | 1.2007729E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.553574E-5 | 1.4618452E-4 | 1.4618452E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.551642E-4 | 0.0014634664 | 0.0014634664 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.112297E-6 | 2.61726E-6 | 2.61726E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7669787E-6 | 1.1216782E-5 | 1.1216782E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.803642E-5 | 1.3655597E-4 | 1.3655597E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.802127E-4 | 0.0013671555 | 0.0013671555 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.0137181E-6 | 2.4901256E-6 | 2.4901256E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3444993E-6 | 1.0671924E-5 | 1.0671924E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2892992E-5 | 1.2992314E-4 | 1.2992314E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.288041E-4 | 0.0013006713 | 0.0013006713 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 9.598608E-7 | 2.4135875E-6 | 2.4135875E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1136827E-6 | 1.0343906E-5 | 1.0343906E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0082934E-5 | 1.2592999E-4 | 1.2592999E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.007165E-4 | 0.0012605939 | 0.0012605939 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 7.929459E-7 | 2.050551E-6 | 2.050551E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3983351E-6 | 8.788047E-6 | 8.788047E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1373947E-5 | 1.069894E-4 | 1.069894E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1366243E-4 | 0.0010714383 | 0.0010714383 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.155788E-7 | 1.1645784E-6 | 1.1645784E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7810507E-6 | 4.991041E-6 | 4.991041E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1684076E-5 | 6.076427E-5 | 6.076427E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1681961E-4 | 6.106644E-4 | 6.106644E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.14666925E-7 | 2.6010014E-7 | 2.6010014E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.914296E-7 | 1.1147145E-6 | 1.1147145E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9831386E-6 | 1.3571568E-5 | 1.3571568E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9829777E-5 | 1.3680792E-4 | 1.3680792E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.9231824E-8 | 4.161068E-8 | 4.161068E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2527924E-7 | 1.7833148E-7 | 1.7833148E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5252737E-6 | 2.1711837E-6 | 2.1711837E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5252632E-5 | 2.2057637E-5 | 2.2057637E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Mission Creek
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6343922E-5 | 1.6343922E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9496433E-5 | 7.0043585E-5 | 8.004288E-5 | 1.1427583 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.5246196E-4 | 9.024193E-4 | 1.0586036 | 5.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.008520596 | 0.008599914 | 1.009309 | 8.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6343922E-5 | 1.6343922E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9496433E-5 | 7.0043585E-5 | 8.004288E-5 | 1.1427583 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.5246196E-4 | 9.024193E-4 | 1.0586036 | 5.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.008520596 | 0.008599914 | 1.009309 | 8.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6343922E-5 | 1.6343922E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9496433E-5 | 7.0043585E-5 | 8.004288E-5 | 1.1427583 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.5246196E-4 | 9.024193E-4 | 1.0586036 | 5.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.008520596 | 0.008599914 | 1.009309 | 8.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6343922E-5 | 1.6343922E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9496433E-5 | 7.0043585E-5 | 8.004288E-5 | 1.1427583 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.5246196E-4 | 9.024193E-4 | 1.0586036 | 5.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.008520596 | 0.008599914 | 1.009309 | 8.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6343922E-5 | 1.6343922E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9496433E-5 | 7.0043585E-5 | 8.004288E-5 | 1.1427583 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.5246196E-4 | 9.024193E-4 | 1.0586036 | 5.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.008520596 | 0.008599914 | 1.009309 | 8.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6343922E-5 | 1.6343922E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9496433E-5 | 7.0043585E-5 | 8.004288E-5 | 1.1427583 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.5246196E-4 | 9.024193E-4 | 1.0586036 | 5.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.008520596 | 0.008599914 | 1.009309 | 8.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.202681E-6 | 1.3867034E-5 | 1.3867034E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9439463E-5 | 5.9428843E-5 | 6.942825E-5 | 1.1682584 | 1.0E-5 | 4.800697E-4 | 7.23315E-4 | 7.732789E-4 | 1.0690762 | 5.0E-5 | 0.004790339 | 0.0072377077 | 0.0073171286 | 1.0109732 | 8.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.019164E-6 | 1.367269E-5 | 1.367269E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8652986E-5 | 5.859598E-5 | 6.859539E-5 | 1.1706501 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7049852E-4 | 7.131815E-4 | 7.6314586E-4 | 1.0700583 | 5.0E-5 | 0.004695036 | 0.007137026 | 0.007216455 | 1.0111291 | 8.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.673558E-6 | 1.3294756E-5 | 1.3294756E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.717186E-5 | 5.6976332E-5 | 6.697576E-5 | 1.1755015 | 1.0E-5 | 4.524734E-4 | 6.934749E-4 | 7.4344024E-4 | 1.0720507 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0045155324 | 0.006941193 | 0.0070206374 | 1.0114454 | 8.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.002255E-6 | 1.1498824E-5 | 1.1498824E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.000932E-5 | 4.927978E-5 | 5.927929E-5 | 1.2029129 | 1.0E-5 | 3.653022E-4 | 5.99823E-4 | 6.49793E-4 | 1.0833079 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0036470229 | 0.006009942 | 0.006089461 | 1.0132313 | 8.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.84644E-6 | 9.695059E-6 | 9.695059E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5055931E-5 | 4.1549614E-5 | 5.15492E-5 | 1.2406662 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0501327E-4 | 5.0575373E-4 | 5.5572845E-4 | 1.0988123 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0030459496 | 0.005073721 | 0.005153315 | 1.0156875 | 8.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.54703E-6 | 9.349462E-6 | 9.349462E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.377277E-5 | 4.006853E-5 | 5.006813E-5 | 1.2495624 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8939504E-4 | 4.8772962E-4 | 5.377052E-4 | 1.1024659 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0028901845 | 0.004894279 | 0.0049738875 | 1.0162656 | 8.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.384709E-6 | 7.700681E-6 | 7.700681E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8791474E-5 | 3.300252E-5 | 4.300219E-5 | 1.3029971 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2876218E-4 | 4.0173528E-4 | 4.517152E-4 | 1.12441 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0022852682 | 0.004037705 | 0.0041173818 | 1.0197332 | 8.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.7888456E-6 | 6.934178E-6 | 6.934178E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.623781E-5 | 2.9717587E-5 | 3.9717288E-5 | 1.3364911 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9767738E-4 | 3.617549E-4 | 4.117368E-4 | 1.1381651 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0019750162 | 0.0036392712 | 0.0037189801 | 1.0219024 | 8.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.1982462E-6 | 5.0419467E-6 | 5.0419467E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.421021E-6 | 2.1608164E-5 | 3.160795E-5 | 1.4627781 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1469489E-4 | 2.6304784E-4 | 3.130347E-4 | 1.1900295 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0011463572 | 0.0026547594 | 0.0027245735 | 1.0262977 | 7.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.051923E-6 | 4.632683E-6 | 4.632683E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.793926E-6 | 1.9854206E-5 | 2.9854007E-5 | 1.5036616 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0706078E-4 | 2.4169828E-4 | 2.9168618E-4 | 1.2068195 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0010700922 | 0.0024421301 | 0.0025119593 | 1.0285935 | 7.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.8733427E-6 | 4.1404287E-6 | 4.1404287E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.028587E-6 | 1.7744575E-5 | 2.7744396E-5 | 1.5635426 | 1.0E-5 | 9.774366E-5 | 2.1601886E-4 | 2.6600805E-4 | 1.2314112 | 5.0E-5 | 9.770069E-4 | 0.00218634 | 0.0022561871 | 1.031947 | 7.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.8411953E-6 | 4.0599884E-6 | 4.0599884E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.890813E-6 | 1.7399834E-5 | 2.7399661E-5 | 1.5747081 | 1.0E-5 | 9.606641E-5 | 2.1182248E-4 | 2.618119E-4 | 1.2359967 | 5.0E-5 | 9.6024893E-4 | 0.0021445681 | 0.002214418 | 1.0325706 | 7.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.7194251E-6 | 3.726194E-6 | 3.726194E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.368944E-6 | 1.5969306E-5 | 2.5969146E-5 | 1.6261913 | 1.0E-5 | 8.97132E-5 | 1.9440902E-4 | 2.443993E-4 | 1.2571397 | 5.0E-5 | 8.967699E-4 | 0.0019699673 | 0.0020398293 | 1.0354636 | 7.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.4035052E-6 | 2.9629716E-6 | 2.9629716E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0150082E-6 | 1.2698389E-5 | 2.2698261E-5 | 1.7874914 | 1.0E-5 | 7.3230265E-5 | 1.5459198E-4 | 2.0458424E-4 | 1.323382 | 5.0E-5 | 7.3206134E-4 | 0.0015693355 | 0.0016392256 | 1.0445349 | 7.0E-5 |
8.0 | 3.9318823E-7 | 5.5594506E-7 | 5.5594506E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6850913E-6 | 2.3826194E-6 | 2.3826194E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0515794E-5 | 2.9008012E-5 | 3.9007722E-5 | 1.3447224 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0513899E-4 | 3.0049798E-4 | 3.2049196E-4 | 1.0665362 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.596793E-7 | 1.14848405E-7 | 1.14848405E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8433974E-7 | 4.9220733E-7 | 4.9220733E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.331805E-6 | 5.9926083E-6 | 5.9926083E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.331492E-5 | 6.607052E-5 | 6.607052E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 4.9003038E-8 | 2.5708026E-8 | 2.5708026E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.10013E-7 | 1.1017725E-7 | 1.1017725E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5569052E-6 | 1.3414071E-6 | 1.3414071E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.556876E-5 | 1.5104525E-5 | 1.5104525E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Lake Isabella (Seismicity)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.742034E-6 | 9.742034E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.175098E-5 | 5.175056E-5 | 1.2395053 | 1.0E-5 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.082127E-4 | 5.3819746E-4 | 1.0590004 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004909227 | 0.0050717974 | 0.005151392 | 1.0156935 | 8.0E-5 |
6.1 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.742034E-6 | 9.742034E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.175098E-5 | 5.175056E-5 | 1.2395053 | 1.0E-5 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.082127E-4 | 5.3819746E-4 | 1.0590004 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004909227 | 0.0050717974 | 0.005151392 | 1.0156935 | 8.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.742034E-6 | 9.742034E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.175098E-5 | 5.175056E-5 | 1.2395053 | 1.0E-5 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.082127E-4 | 5.3819746E-4 | 1.0590004 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004909227 | 0.0050717974 | 0.005151392 | 1.0156935 | 8.0E-5 |
6.3 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.742034E-6 | 9.742034E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.175098E-5 | 5.175056E-5 | 1.2395053 | 1.0E-5 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.082127E-4 | 5.3819746E-4 | 1.0590004 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004909227 | 0.0050717974 | 0.005151392 | 1.0156935 | 8.0E-5 |
6.4 | 5.144063E-6 | 5.300268E-6 | 5.300268E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2045799E-5 | 2.2715256E-5 | 2.2715256E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6837454E-4 | 2.765266E-4 | 2.8652383E-4 | 1.0361528 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0026805066 | 0.0027621656 | 0.0027821104 | 1.0072207 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.144063E-6 | 5.300268E-6 | 5.300268E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2045799E-5 | 2.2715256E-5 | 2.2715256E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6837454E-4 | 2.765266E-4 | 2.8652383E-4 | 1.0361528 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0026805066 | 0.0027621656 | 0.0027821104 | 1.0072207 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.4009804E-6 | 3.4989064E-6 | 3.4989064E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4575549E-5 | 1.4995236E-5 | 1.4995236E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7744285E-4 | 1.825533E-4 | 1.9255148E-4 | 1.0547686 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017730123 | 0.0018241912 | 0.001834173 | 1.0054718 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.3880428E-6 | 3.4857728E-6 | 3.4857728E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4520103E-5 | 1.493895E-5 | 1.493895E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.767679E-4 | 1.8186813E-4 | 1.9186632E-4 | 1.0549749 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017662736 | 0.0018173507 | 0.0018273325 | 1.0054926 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.6582E-6 | 2.7337928E-6 | 2.7337928E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1392236E-5 | 1.1716211E-5 | 1.1716211E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3869164E-4 | 1.4263687E-4 | 1.5263545E-4 | 1.070098 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013860512 | 0.0014255852 | 0.001435571 | 1.0070046 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.406011E-6 | 2.4744127E-6 | 2.4744127E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0311434E-5 | 1.0604591E-5 | 1.0604591E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2553448E-4 | 1.2910456E-4 | 1.3910327E-4 | 1.0774466 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012546359 | 0.0012904252 | 0.0013004122 | 1.0077394 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.6953097E-6 | 1.7429957E-6 | 1.7429957E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.265593E-6 | 7.469966E-6 | 7.469966E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8455E-5 | 9.0944086E-5 | 1.0094318E-4 | 1.1099477 | 1.0E-5 | 8.84198E-4 | 9.091715E-4 | 9.1916235E-4 | 1.0109891 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.5013824E-7 | 3.5715678E-7 | 3.5715678E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5005916E-6 | 1.5306709E-6 | 1.5306709E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.826955E-5 | 1.8635763E-5 | 1.8635763E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8268047E-4 | 1.8634225E-4 | 1.8634225E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.2321095E-7 | 2.2751097E-7 | 2.2751097E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.56618E-7 | 9.750466E-7 | 9.750466E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1646762E-5 | 1.1871129E-5 | 1.1871129E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1646151E-4 | 1.1870505E-4 | 1.1870505E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.5760406E-7 | 1.6061287E-7 | 1.6061287E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7544585E-7 | 6.883407E-7 | 6.883407E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.223522E-6 | 8.380517E-6 | 8.380517E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2232174E-5 | 8.380207E-5 | 8.380207E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.1216497E-7 | 1.1431968E-7 | 1.1431968E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8070694E-7 | 4.899414E-7 | 4.899414E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.852591E-6 | 5.9650206E-6 | 5.9650206E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8524372E-5 | 5.964865E-5 | 5.964865E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.885185E-8 | 4.9788877E-8 | 4.9788877E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0936506E-7 | 2.1338089E-7 | 2.1338089E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5490165E-6 | 2.5979093E-6 | 2.5979093E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5489873E-5 | 2.5978808E-5 | 2.5978808E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.504641E-9 | 1.5318232E-9 | 1.5318232E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4484613E-9 | 6.564957E-9 | 6.564957E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.851001E-8 | 7.992835E-8 | 7.992835E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8509987E-7 | 7.992835E-7 | 7.992835E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pinto Mtn
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.7868154E-5 | 4.7868154E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0513401E-4 | 2.0513401E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0024948097 | 0.0025047848 | 1.0039983 | 1.0E-5 | 0.022796938 | 0.024685556 | 0.024753828 | 1.0027657 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.7868154E-5 | 4.7868154E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0513401E-4 | 2.0513401E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0024948097 | 0.0025047848 | 1.0039983 | 1.0E-5 | 0.022796938 | 0.024685556 | 0.024753828 | 1.0027657 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.7868154E-5 | 4.7868154E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0513401E-4 | 2.0513401E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0024948097 | 0.0025047848 | 1.0039983 | 1.0E-5 | 0.022796938 | 0.024685556 | 0.024753828 | 1.0027657 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.7868154E-5 | 4.7868154E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0513401E-4 | 2.0513401E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0024948097 | 0.0025047848 | 1.0039983 | 1.0E-5 | 0.022796938 | 0.024685556 | 0.024753828 | 1.0027657 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.729929E-5 | 3.9615792E-5 | 3.9615792E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5984432E-4 | 1.6977143E-4 | 1.6977143E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019443673 | 0.002065101 | 0.0020750803 | 1.0048324 | 1.0E-5 | 0.019274427 | 0.02046914 | 0.02052791 | 1.0028713 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.729929E-5 | 3.9615792E-5 | 3.9615792E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5984432E-4 | 1.6977143E-4 | 1.6977143E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019443673 | 0.002065101 | 0.0020750803 | 1.0048324 | 1.0E-5 | 0.019274427 | 0.02046914 | 0.02052791 | 1.0028713 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.0204548E-5 | 3.121606E-5 | 3.121606E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2944164E-4 | 1.3377644E-4 | 1.3377644E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015748127 | 0.001627546 | 0.001627546 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015636992 | 0.016160134 | 0.016209327 | 1.003044 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.9857754E-5 | 3.0825384E-5 | 3.0825384E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2795553E-4 | 1.321023E-4 | 1.321023E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015567453 | 0.0016071935 | 0.0016071935 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015458848 | 0.015959546 | 0.016008748 | 1.0030829 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.4819734E-5 | 2.5019004E-5 | 2.5019004E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0636595E-4 | 1.0722002E-4 | 1.0722002E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012942362 | 0.0013046437 | 0.0013046437 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012867244 | 0.012972214 | 0.013021565 | 1.0038044 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.331124E-5 | 2.3347067E-5 | 2.3347067E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.990149E-5 | 1.00055135E-4 | 1.00055135E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001215622 | 0.0012175109 | 0.0012175109 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012089936 | 0.0121106 | 0.012159995 | 1.0040786 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.1818534E-5 | 2.1770014E-5 | 2.1770014E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3504656E-5 | 9.329684E-5 | 9.329684E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011378246 | 0.0011353169 | 0.0011353169 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011320163 | 0.011297273 | 0.011346708 | 1.0043758 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.066081E-5 | 2.0549485E-5 | 2.0549485E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.854332E-5 | 8.8066365E-5 | 8.8066365E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010774818 | 0.0010717001 | 0.0010717001 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010722724 | 0.010667371 | 0.010716838 | 1.0046372 | 5.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.8990233E-5 | 1.9062592E-5 | 1.9062592E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.138417E-5 | 8.169437E-5 | 8.169437E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.904018E-4 | 9.941945E-4 | 9.941945E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009859995 | 0.009899468 | 0.009948973 | 1.0050008 | 5.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.3335872E-5 | 1.4914599E-5 | 1.4914599E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7152483E-5 | 6.391822E-5 | 6.391822E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.956093E-4 | 7.779392E-4 | 7.779392E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006934359 | 0.0077534597 | 0.007783227 | 1.0038393 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.414066E-6 | 1.1868452E-5 | 1.1868452E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0345374E-5 | 5.0863855E-5 | 5.0863855E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.910942E-4 | 6.1910093E-4 | 6.1910093E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0049001034 | 0.006174711 | 0.006194588 | 1.003219 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 7.2101157E-6 | 9.16553E-6 | 9.16553E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.090013E-5 | 3.9280294E-5 | 3.9280294E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7614413E-4 | 4.7814046E-4 | 4.7814046E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037550807 | 0.004771893 | 0.0047917976 | 1.0041713 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.296375E-6 | 4.5525717E-6 | 4.5525717E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4127245E-5 | 1.9510882E-5 | 1.9510882E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7198564E-4 | 2.3752051E-4 | 2.3752051E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017185259 | 0.0023728043 | 0.0023827804 | 1.0042044 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.5741092E-6 | 3.5910684E-6 | 3.5910684E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.103185E-5 | 1.539021E-5 | 1.539021E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3430449E-4 | 1.8736102E-4 | 1.8736102E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013422335 | 0.0018721608 | 0.0018821422 | 1.0053314 | 1.0E-5 |
San Jacinto (San Jacinto Valley) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.652694E-5 | 3.454058E-5 | 3.454058E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5653463E-4 | 1.4802266E-4 | 1.4802266E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019041431 | 0.001800688 | 0.001830634 | 1.0166303 | 3.0E-5 | 0.018879099 | 0.01859855 | 0.018657435 | 1.0031661 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.652694E-5 | 3.454058E-5 | 3.454058E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5653463E-4 | 1.4802266E-4 | 1.4802266E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019041431 | 0.001800688 | 0.001830634 | 1.0166303 | 3.0E-5 | 0.018879099 | 0.01859855 | 0.018657435 | 1.0031661 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.652694E-5 | 3.454058E-5 | 3.454058E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5653463E-4 | 1.4802266E-4 | 1.4802266E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019041431 | 0.001800688 | 0.001830634 | 1.0166303 | 3.0E-5 | 0.018879099 | 0.01859855 | 0.018657435 | 1.0031661 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.652694E-5 | 3.454058E-5 | 3.454058E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5653463E-4 | 1.4802266E-4 | 1.4802266E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019041431 | 0.001800688 | 0.001830634 | 1.0166303 | 3.0E-5 | 0.018879099 | 0.01859855 | 0.018657435 | 1.0031661 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.646941E-5 | 3.4462122E-5 | 3.4462122E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5628811E-4 | 1.4768646E-4 | 1.4768646E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019011468 | 0.0017966018 | 0.0018265479 | 1.0166682 | 3.0E-5 | 0.018849645 | 0.018558418 | 0.018617304 | 1.003173 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.646941E-5 | 3.4462122E-5 | 3.4462122E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5628811E-4 | 1.4768646E-4 | 1.4768646E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019011468 | 0.0017966018 | 0.0018265479 | 1.0166682 | 3.0E-5 | 0.018849645 | 0.018558418 | 0.018617304 | 1.003173 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.6442503E-5 | 3.442549E-5 | 3.442549E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.561728E-4 | 1.475295E-4 | 1.475295E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018997455 | 0.0017946942 | 0.0018246403 | 1.016686 | 3.0E-5 | 0.018835869 | 0.01853968 | 0.018598568 | 1.0031763 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.6432113E-5 | 3.441106E-5 | 3.441106E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5612828E-4 | 1.4746765E-4 | 1.4746765E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018992044 | 0.0017939426 | 0.0018238889 | 1.016693 | 3.0E-5 | 0.018830549 | 0.018532302 | 0.01859119 | 1.0031776 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.6409598E-5 | 3.4380104E-5 | 3.4380104E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.560318E-4 | 1.47335E-4 | 1.47335E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018980318 | 0.0017923302 | 0.0018222764 | 1.016708 | 3.0E-5 | 0.018819023 | 0.018516451 | 0.018575339 | 1.0031804 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.638078E-5 | 3.4340508E-5 | 3.4340508E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5590832E-4 | 1.4716532E-4 | 1.4716532E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018965311 | 0.0017902679 | 0.0018202142 | 1.0167273 | 3.0E-5 | 0.018804269 | 0.018496176 | 0.018555067 | 1.003184 | 6.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.6294874E-5 | 3.4222474E-5 | 3.4222474E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5554018E-4 | 1.4665953E-4 | 1.4665953E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018920569 | 0.00178412 | 0.0018140664 | 1.016785 | 3.0E-5 | 0.018760284 | 0.018435737 | 0.01849463 | 1.0031946 | 6.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.6260717E-5 | 3.4178745E-5 | 3.4178745E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5539382E-4 | 1.4647213E-4 | 1.4647213E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001890278 | 0.0017818421 | 0.0018117887 | 1.0168065 | 3.0E-5 | 0.018742796 | 0.01841333 | 0.018472224 | 1.0031985 | 6.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.6210204E-5 | 3.4112858E-5 | 3.4112858E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5517735E-4 | 1.4618979E-4 | 1.4618979E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001887647 | 0.0017784103 | 0.001808357 | 1.016839 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01871693 | 0.018379563 | 0.018438462 | 1.0032045 | 6.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.6119454E-5 | 3.4000917E-5 | 3.4000917E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5478847E-4 | 1.4571009E-4 | 1.4571009E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018829206 | 0.0017725795 | 0.0018025263 | 1.0168945 | 3.0E-5 | 0.018670462 | 0.018321998 | 0.018380899 | 1.0032147 | 6.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.607848E-5 | 3.3948345E-5 | 3.3948345E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5461289E-4 | 1.4548481E-4 | 1.4548481E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018807866 | 0.0017698413 | 0.0017997882 | 1.0169207 | 3.0E-5 | 0.018649481 | 0.01829496 | 0.018353863 | 1.0032196 | 6.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.5856774E-5 | 3.375708E-5 | 3.375708E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5366284E-4 | 1.4466519E-4 | 1.4466519E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018692396 | 0.0017598785 | 0.0017898256 | 1.0170166 | 3.0E-5 | 0.018535944 | 0.018195517 | 0.018254427 | 1.0032375 | 6.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.286655E-5 | 3.227202E-5 | 3.227202E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4084904E-4 | 1.3830133E-4 | 1.3830133E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001713488 | 0.0016825203 | 0.0017124697 | 1.0178005 | 3.0E-5 | 0.017003361 | 0.01741096 | 0.017469915 | 1.0033861 | 6.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.8882527E-5 | 2.9362001E-5 | 2.9362001E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.237764E-4 | 1.2583108E-4 | 1.2583108E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015059357 | 0.001530918 | 0.001560872 | 1.019566 | 3.0E-5 | 0.014957713 | 0.01589609 | 0.015955135 | 1.0037146 | 6.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.4950225E-5 | 2.6648175E-5 | 2.6648175E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0692515E-4 | 1.14201466E-4 | 1.14201466E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013010362 | 0.001389517 | 0.0014194752 | 1.0215602 | 3.0E-5 | 0.012934455 | 0.014475039 | 0.0145243155 | 1.0034043 | 5.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.9881603E-5 | 2.1616279E-5 | 2.1616279E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.520408E-5 | 9.263791E-5 | 9.263791E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001036866 | 0.0011272838 | 0.0011572499 | 1.0265826 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010320415 | 0.011834198 | 0.011883606 | 1.0041751 | 5.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.563292E-5 | 1.6024982E-5 | 1.6024982E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6996516E-5 | 6.867669E-5 | 6.867669E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.153773E-4 | 8.358186E-4 | 8.458102E-4 | 1.0119543 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00812392 | 0.008857071 | 0.008876894 | 1.002238 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.0045313E-5 | 8.352959E-6 | 8.352959E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.305063E-5 | 3.5797908E-5 | 3.5797908E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2401534E-4 | 4.3575288E-4 | 4.3575288E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052278144 | 0.00468671 | 0.004696663 | 1.0021237 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 4.1554413E-6 | 1.5797557E-6 | 1.5797557E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7808914E-5 | 6.770364E-6 | 6.770364E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1680194E-4 | 8.242609E-5 | 8.242609E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021659054 | 9.564398E-4 | 9.564398E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2758221E-6 | 3.653218E-7 | 3.653218E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4677976E-6 | 1.565664E-6 | 1.565664E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.65684E-5 | 1.9061796E-5 | 1.9061796E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6548464E-4 | 2.2977713E-4 | 2.2977713E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Calico-Hidalgo
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.0906612E-5 | 5.0713414E-5 | 5.0713414E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7530227E-4 | 2.1732738E-4 | 2.1732738E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021322158 | 0.0026431473 | 0.0026630943 | 1.0075468 | 2.0E-5 | 0.02111873 | 0.026157403 | 0.026215835 | 1.0022339 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.0906612E-5 | 5.0713414E-5 | 5.0713414E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7530227E-4 | 2.1732738E-4 | 2.1732738E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021322158 | 0.0026431473 | 0.0026630943 | 1.0075468 | 2.0E-5 | 0.02111873 | 0.026157403 | 0.026215835 | 1.0022339 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.0906612E-5 | 5.0713414E-5 | 5.0713414E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7530227E-4 | 2.1732738E-4 | 2.1732738E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021322158 | 0.0026431473 | 0.0026630943 | 1.0075468 | 2.0E-5 | 0.02111873 | 0.026157403 | 0.026215835 | 1.0022339 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.4242801E-5 | 3.0094643E-5 | 3.0094643E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0389358E-4 | 1.2897086E-4 | 1.2897086E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012641704 | 0.0015691225 | 0.0015890911 | 1.012726 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01257003 | 0.015584116 | 0.015643181 | 1.00379 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.4242801E-5 | 3.0094643E-5 | 3.0094643E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0389358E-4 | 1.2897086E-4 | 1.2897086E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012641704 | 0.0015691225 | 0.0015890911 | 1.012726 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01257003 | 0.015584116 | 0.015643181 | 1.00379 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.0286952E-5 | 2.5318679E-5 | 2.5318679E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.694118E-5 | 1.0850421E-4 | 1.0850421E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010579949 | 0.0013202553 | 0.001340229 | 1.0151286 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010529719 | 0.013126053 | 0.0131852655 | 1.0045111 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.0269223E-5 | 2.5299627E-5 | 2.5299627E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6865206E-5 | 1.08422566E-4 | 1.08422566E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010570707 | 0.0013192625 | 0.0013392362 | 1.0151399 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010520565 | 0.013116241 | 0.013175455 | 1.0045145 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.799852E-5 | 2.254309E-5 | 2.254309E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.713423E-5 | 9.660975E-5 | 9.660975E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3870464E-4 | 0.0011756036 | 0.0011955801 | 1.0169926 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009347493 | 0.011695458 | 0.011744873 | 1.0042251 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.7458793E-5 | 2.1844415E-5 | 2.1844415E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4821255E-5 | 9.3615636E-5 | 9.3615636E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.10568E-4 | 0.0011391889 | 0.0011591661 | 1.0175364 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009068459 | 0.011335077 | 0.01138451 | 1.004361 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.542884E-5 | 1.9027857E-5 | 1.9027857E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.612192E-5 | 8.1545484E-5 | 8.1545484E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.04737E-4 | 9.923772E-4 | 0.0010123574 | 1.0201336 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008018291 | 0.009880855 | 0.00992046 | 1.0040082 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.468253E-5 | 1.8032224E-5 | 1.8032224E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.292361E-5 | 7.7278746E-5 | 7.7278746E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.658257E-4 | 9.404756E-4 | 9.604568E-4 | 1.0212458 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0076319184 | 0.009366321 | 0.009405947 | 1.0042306 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.3139281E-5 | 1.6202337E-5 | 1.6202337E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6309986E-5 | 6.943681E-5 | 6.943681E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.853584E-4 | 8.450778E-4 | 8.650609E-4 | 1.0236465 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0068324856 | 0.008419939 | 0.008459603 | 1.0047107 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.1127404E-5 | 1.3867768E-5 | 1.3867768E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7688E-5 | 5.9431997E-5 | 5.9431997E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8044674E-4 | 7.233553E-4 | 7.4334076E-4 | 1.0276289 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0057893298 | 0.007211115 | 0.007250827 | 1.005507 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.808154E-6 | 1.2177219E-5 | 1.2177219E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2034266E-5 | 5.2187097E-5 | 5.2187097E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.11647E-4 | 6.352034E-4 | 6.4519705E-4 | 1.015733 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051047057 | 0.006334954 | 0.0063647637 | 1.0047057 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.942452E-6 | 9.792864E-6 | 9.792864E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4038632E-5 | 4.1968797E-5 | 4.1968797E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1434157E-4 | 5.1085977E-4 | 5.2085466E-4 | 1.0195649 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0041356985 | 0.0050977953 | 0.0051276423 | 1.0058548 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.7121216E-6 | 5.7732523E-6 | 5.7732523E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.019465E-5 | 2.474232E-5 | 2.474232E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4584212E-4 | 3.0120375E-4 | 3.1120074E-4 | 1.0331901 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024557032 | 0.0030087077 | 0.0030386173 | 1.0099411 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.6040865E-7 | 2.6040865E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.1160367E-6 | 1.1160367E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.3587692E-5 | 1.3587692E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1539775E-4 | 1.3587142E-4 | 1.3587142E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Rosa Island
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.1143165E-5 | 4.7099293E-5 | 4.7099293E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7631594E-4 | 2.018396E-4 | 2.1183759E-4 | 1.0495343 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002144533 | 0.0024548245 | 0.0024747753 | 1.0081272 | 2.0E-5 | 0.021239553 | 0.024297724 | 0.024356266 | 1.0024093 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1061249E-5 | 2.3868773E-5 | 2.3868773E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0259375E-5 | 1.0229089E-4 | 1.1228987E-4 | 1.0977504 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010983539 | 0.0012447091 | 0.0012546966 | 1.008024 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01092941 | 0.0123804165 | 0.012410045 | 1.0023931 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1061249E-5 | 2.3868773E-5 | 2.3868773E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0259375E-5 | 1.0229089E-4 | 1.1228987E-4 | 1.0977504 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010983539 | 0.0012447091 | 0.0012546966 | 1.008024 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01092941 | 0.0123804165 | 0.012410045 | 1.0023931 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.5158236E-5 | 1.707701E-5 | 1.707701E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.496225E-5 | 7.3185205E-5 | 8.318447E-5 | 1.1366297 | 1.0E-5 | 7.906284E-4 | 8.906776E-4 | 9.006687E-4 | 1.0112174 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007878214 | 0.008872331 | 0.0089020645 | 1.0033513 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2341918E-5 | 1.3854955E-5 | 1.3854955E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2892858E-5 | 5.937707E-5 | 6.937648E-5 | 1.1684052 | 1.0E-5 | 6.437803E-4 | 7.226842E-4 | 7.3267694E-4 | 1.0138273 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006419184 | 0.007204178 | 0.0072339615 | 1.0041343 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.061158E-6 | 1.01184505E-5 | 1.01184505E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.883296E-5 | 4.3364096E-5 | 4.3364096E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.726887E-4 | 5.278353E-4 | 5.278353E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004716845 | 0.005266354 | 0.005286249 | 1.0037777 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.5461685E-6 | 8.40188E-6 | 8.40188E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2340322E-5 | 3.6007586E-5 | 3.6007586E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.936723E-4 | 4.3830846E-4 | 4.3830846E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003929756 | 0.0043748696 | 0.0043947822 | 1.0045515 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 5.5023775E-6 | 6.088163E-6 | 6.088163E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3581404E-5 | 2.6091884E-5 | 2.6091884E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8706578E-4 | 3.1762564E-4 | 3.1762564E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028669522 | 0.0031720384 | 0.003191975 | 1.0062851 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.7351679E-6 | 4.0836017E-6 | 4.0836017E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6007763E-5 | 1.7501046E-5 | 1.7501046E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.948771E-4 | 2.130569E-4 | 2.130569E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019470629 | 0.0021287717 | 0.002148729 | 1.0093751 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.456366E-6 | 2.6294942E-6 | 2.6294942E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0527241E-5 | 1.1269212E-5 | 1.1269212E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2816161E-4 | 1.3719405E-4 | 1.3719405E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012808773 | 0.0013710965 | 0.0013810827 | 1.0072834 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.3245157E-6 | 2.4829824E-6 | 2.4829824E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.962172E-6 | 1.064131E-5 | 1.064131E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2128269E-4 | 1.2955027E-4 | 1.2955027E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012121652 | 0.0012947498 | 0.0013047368 | 1.0077136 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.2248344E-6 | 2.3734412E-6 | 2.3734412E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.53497E-6 | 1.01718515E-5 | 1.01718515E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1608207E-4 | 1.2383527E-4 | 1.2383527E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011602144 | 0.0012376646 | 0.0012476522 | 1.0080698 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.1350402E-6 | 2.2763356E-6 | 2.2763356E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.150141E-6 | 9.755689E-6 | 9.755689E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1139726E-4 | 1.1876905E-4 | 1.1876905E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011134144 | 0.0011870576 | 0.0011970458 | 1.0084141 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.9793572E-6 | 2.1088856E-6 | 2.1088856E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.482932E-6 | 9.038051E-6 | 9.038051E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.032748E-4 | 1.1003272E-4 | 1.1003272E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010322682 | 0.0010997843 | 0.0011097733 | 1.0090827 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.6951194E-6 | 1.8047145E-6 | 1.8047145E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.264777E-6 | 7.734468E-6 | 7.734468E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.844508E-5 | 9.416309E-5 | 9.416309E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.840988E-4 | 9.4123365E-4 | 9.4123365E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 8.987207E-7 | 9.512897E-7 | 9.512897E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8516546E-6 | 4.0769496E-6 | 4.0769496E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6892885E-5 | 4.963574E-5 | 4.963574E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.688299E-4 | 4.962477E-4 | 4.962477E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.8783037E-7 | 4.0531657E-7 | 4.0531657E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6621291E-6 | 1.73707E-6 | 1.73707E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0236233E-5 | 2.1148628E-5 | 2.1148628E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.023439E-4 | 2.114668E-4 | 2.114668E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.181804E-8 | 6.3393294E-8 | 6.3393294E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6493444E-7 | 2.716855E-7 | 2.716855E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.225572E-6 | 3.307766E-6 | 3.307766E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.225525E-5 | 3.3077176E-5 | 3.3077176E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.3704449E-9 | 1.396447E-9 | 1.396447E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.873335E-9 | 5.9847727E-9 | 5.9847727E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1507856E-8 | 7.28646E-8 | 7.28646E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1507833E-7 | 7.286459E-7 | 7.286459E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
White Mountains
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.503579E-5 | 3.378773E-5 | 3.378773E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5014476E-4 | 1.4479722E-4 | 1.4479722E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018264796 | 0.0017616013 | 0.0017815661 | 1.0113333 | 2.0E-5 | 0.018115403 | 0.017488709 | 0.01754766 | 1.0033708 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.503579E-5 | 3.378773E-5 | 3.378773E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5014476E-4 | 1.4479722E-4 | 1.4479722E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018264796 | 0.0017616013 | 0.0017815661 | 1.0113333 | 2.0E-5 | 0.018115403 | 0.017488709 | 0.01754766 | 1.0033708 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.503579E-5 | 3.378773E-5 | 3.378773E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5014476E-4 | 1.4479722E-4 | 1.4479722E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018264796 | 0.0017616013 | 0.0017815661 | 1.0113333 | 2.0E-5 | 0.018115403 | 0.017488709 | 0.01754766 | 1.0033708 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.7818425E-5 | 1.591786E-5 | 1.591786E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.636245E-5 | 6.82177E-5 | 6.82177E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.293162E-4 | 8.302483E-4 | 8.502317E-4 | 1.0240692 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009254395 | 0.0082729235 | 0.008312592 | 1.0047951 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.7818425E-5 | 1.591786E-5 | 1.591786E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.636245E-5 | 6.82177E-5 | 6.82177E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.293162E-4 | 8.302483E-4 | 8.502317E-4 | 1.0240692 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009254395 | 0.0082729235 | 0.008312592 | 1.0047951 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3397557E-5 | 1.133759E-5 | 1.133759E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.741684E-5 | 4.858881E-5 | 4.858881E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.988258E-4 | 5.9141516E-4 | 6.0140924E-4 | 1.0168986 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006966323 | 0.005899118 | 0.0059289406 | 1.0050555 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0818695E-5 | 8.6263335E-6 | 8.6263335E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6365014E-5 | 3.69695E-5 | 3.69695E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6434784E-4 | 4.5001507E-4 | 4.6001055E-4 | 1.0222114 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005629168 | 0.0044914745 | 0.0045113848 | 1.0044329 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.067908E-6 | 6.8031795E-6 | 6.8031795E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8861883E-5 | 2.9156176E-5 | 2.9156176E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7304068E-4 | 3.549218E-4 | 3.549218E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00472035 | 0.0035438668 | 0.0035538313 | 1.0028118 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 7.295947E-6 | 4.936952E-6 | 4.936952E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.126797E-5 | 2.1158201E-5 | 2.1158201E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8062103E-4 | 2.5757178E-4 | 2.5757178E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037996976 | 0.0025728452 | 0.0025728452 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 6.2243444E-6 | 3.832686E-6 | 3.832686E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6675489E-5 | 1.6425698E-5 | 1.6425698E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2472567E-4 | 1.9996504E-4 | 1.9996504E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032425157 | 0.001997904 | 0.001997904 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 4.9878413E-6 | 2.6799132E-6 | 2.6799132E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1376287E-5 | 1.1485294E-5 | 1.1485294E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.602252E-4 | 1.3982474E-4 | 1.3982474E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002599207 | 0.0013973939 | 0.0013973939 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 4.0252844E-6 | 1.8860168E-6 | 1.8860168E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7251105E-5 | 8.082905E-6 | 8.082905E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1001195E-4 | 9.840506E-5 | 9.840506E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020981359 | 9.836276E-4 | 9.836276E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.3284066E-6 | 1.2821797E-6 | 1.2821797E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4264522E-5 | 5.495045E-6 | 5.495045E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.736567E-4 | 6.690022E-5 | 6.690022E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017352107 | 6.6881086E-4 | 6.6881086E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.458226E-6 | 6.0591253E-7 | 6.0591253E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0535211E-5 | 2.5967656E-6 | 2.5967656E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2825865E-4 | 3.16152E-5 | 3.16152E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012818464 | 3.161108E-4 | 3.161108E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.965953E-6 | 3.110594E-7 | 3.110594E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.425486E-6 | 1.3331111E-6 | 1.3331111E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0257547E-4 | 1.6230508E-5 | 1.6230508E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010252813 | 1.6229335E-4 | 1.6229335E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.2014192E-6 | 1.8255847E-7 | 1.8255847E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.148929E-6 | 7.823932E-7 | 7.823932E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2686406E-5 | 9.525596E-6 | 9.525596E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.266873E-4 | 9.525197E-5 | 9.525197E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.5612175E-7 | 4.8977537E-8 | 4.8977537E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0976642E-6 | 2.0990372E-7 | 2.0990372E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3363979E-5 | 2.555575E-6 | 2.555575E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3363175E-4 | 2.5555493E-5 | 2.5555493E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elysian Park (Upper)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.7044174E-5 | 3.7044174E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5875383E-4 | 1.5875383E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0019315889 | 0.0019515502 | 1.0103341 | 2.0E-5 | 0.016495159 | 0.01919446 | 0.019243501 | 1.0025549 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.7044174E-5 | 3.7044174E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5875383E-4 | 1.5875383E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0019315889 | 0.0019515502 | 1.0103341 | 2.0E-5 | 0.016495159 | 0.01919446 | 0.019243501 | 1.0025549 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.7044174E-5 | 3.7044174E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5875383E-4 | 1.5875383E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0019315889 | 0.0019515502 | 1.0103341 | 2.0E-5 | 0.016495159 | 0.01919446 | 0.019243501 | 1.0025549 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.7044174E-5 | 3.7044174E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5875383E-4 | 1.5875383E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0019315889 | 0.0019515502 | 1.0103341 | 2.0E-5 | 0.016495159 | 0.01919446 | 0.019243501 | 1.0025549 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.9273462E-5 | 2.1206628E-5 | 2.1206628E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.259794E-5 | 9.088336E-5 | 9.088336E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001005166 | 0.0011061144 | 0.0011161033 | 1.0090307 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010006315 | 0.011022903 | 0.011042682 | 1.0017945 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.9273462E-5 | 2.1206628E-5 | 2.1206628E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.259794E-5 | 9.088336E-5 | 9.088336E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001005166 | 0.0011061144 | 0.0011161033 | 1.0090307 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010006315 | 0.011022903 | 0.011042682 | 1.0017945 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.813258E-6 | 9.66675E-6 | 9.66675E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.205614E-5 | 4.142831E-5 | 4.142831E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.119132E-4 | 5.042802E-4 | 5.042802E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005107356 | 0.0050320826 | 0.0050420323 | 1.0019772 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.801478E-6 | 9.654318E-6 | 9.654318E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2005657E-5 | 4.1375035E-5 | 4.1375035E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.112989E-4 | 5.0363183E-4 | 5.0363183E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051012407 | 0.005025629 | 0.0050355783 | 1.0019798 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.102489E-6 | 7.773914E-6 | 7.773914E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4724493E-5 | 3.3316377E-5 | 3.3316377E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2268867E-4 | 4.0555635E-4 | 4.0555635E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004218856 | 0.0040486567 | 0.0040586162 | 1.00246 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.08275E-6 | 5.481993E-6 | 5.481993E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6068668E-5 | 2.3494047E-5 | 2.3494047E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.173398E-4 | 2.8600325E-4 | 2.8600325E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031688702 | 0.0028564294 | 0.0028564294 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 5.5995934E-6 | 4.9832693E-6 | 4.9832693E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3998036E-5 | 2.1356698E-5 | 2.1356698E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9213692E-4 | 2.5998743E-4 | 2.5998743E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029175316 | 0.0025969 | 0.0025969 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 4.709881E-6 | 4.0878E-6 | 4.0878E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0185047E-5 | 1.7519027E-5 | 1.7519027E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4572524E-4 | 2.132737E-4 | 2.132737E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002454537 | 0.0021307317 | 0.0021307317 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.6063436E-6 | 2.9782332E-6 | 2.9782332E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5455667E-5 | 1.2763795E-5 | 1.2763795E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.881565E-4 | 1.5538823E-4 | 1.5538823E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018799726 | 0.001552807 | 0.001552807 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.471135E-6 | 2.095662E-6 | 2.095662E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0590536E-5 | 8.981378E-6 | 8.981378E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2893214E-4 | 1.09342865E-4 | 1.09342865E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012885736 | 0.0010928978 | 0.0010928978 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.163943E-6 | 1.0276154E-6 | 1.0276154E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.988318E-6 | 4.404059E-6 | 4.404059E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0731076E-5 | 5.361813E-5 | 5.361813E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.071448E-4 | 5.360549E-4 | 5.360549E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.99459E-7 | 4.9181125E-7 | 4.9181125E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.140537E-6 | 2.1077608E-6 | 2.1077608E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6060725E-5 | 2.5661702E-5 | 2.5661702E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.605767E-4 | 2.5658894E-4 | 2.5658894E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.4667852E-7 | 2.4781372E-7 | 2.4781372E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0571932E-6 | 1.0620583E-6 | 1.0620583E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2871251E-5 | 1.2930487E-5 | 1.2930487E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2870505E-4 | 1.2929772E-4 | 1.2929772E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 8.2312795E-8 | 7.388083E-8 | 7.388083E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.527691E-7 | 3.1663208E-7 | 3.1663208E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.294955E-6 | 3.8549897E-6 | 3.8549897E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2948723E-5 | 3.8549344E-5 | 3.8549344E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.7819295E-8 | 1.7577431E-8 | 1.7577431E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1922555E-7 | 7.533185E-8 | 7.533185E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.45157E-6 | 9.1716504E-7 | 9.1716504E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.45156055E-5 | 9.171627E-6 | 9.171627E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cleghorn Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.0522846E-5 | 1.104129E-5 | 1.104129E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.509713E-5 | 4.7319252E-5 | 6.731831E-5 | 1.4226409 | 2.0E-5 | 5.4891926E-4 | 5.7601224E-4 | 6.159892E-4 | 1.0694029 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0054756533 | 0.005750359 | 0.005800071 | 1.008645 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.0522846E-5 | 1.104129E-5 | 1.104129E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.509713E-5 | 4.7319252E-5 | 6.731831E-5 | 1.4226409 | 2.0E-5 | 5.4891926E-4 | 5.7601224E-4 | 6.159892E-4 | 1.0694029 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0054756533 | 0.005750359 | 0.005800071 | 1.008645 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1045846E-6 | 2.2083323E-6 | 2.2083323E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.019617E-6 | 9.46427E-6 | 9.46427E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.098083E-4 | 1.1522559E-4 | 1.2522444E-4 | 1.0867763 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010975406 | 0.00115207 | 0.0011620584 | 1.00867 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.1045846E-6 | 2.2083323E-6 | 2.2083323E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.019617E-6 | 9.46427E-6 | 9.46427E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.098083E-4 | 1.1522559E-4 | 1.2522444E-4 | 1.0867763 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010975406 | 0.00115207 | 0.0011620584 | 1.00867 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.7259927E-6 | 1.8109833E-6 | 1.8109833E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3970905E-6 | 7.761358E-6 | 7.761358E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.005586E-5 | 9.449453E-5 | 1.0449358E-4 | 1.1058162 | 1.0E-5 | 9.001937E-4 | 9.4494526E-4 | 9.549358E-4 | 1.0105727 | 1.0E-5 |
Cleghorn Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5467183E-5 | 1.679593E-5 | 1.679593E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6286244E-5 | 7.198088E-5 | 8.198016E-5 | 1.1389158 | 1.0E-5 | 8.067362E-4 | 8.760697E-4 | 9.0604345E-4 | 1.0342139 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008038137 | 0.00873159 | 0.008791066 | 1.0068116 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.5467183E-5 | 1.679593E-5 | 1.679593E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6286244E-5 | 7.198088E-5 | 8.198016E-5 | 1.1389158 | 1.0E-5 | 8.067362E-4 | 8.760697E-4 | 9.0604345E-4 | 1.0342139 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008038137 | 0.00873159 | 0.008791066 | 1.0068116 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.2624631E-5 | 1.3682917E-5 | 1.3682917E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.410444E-5 | 5.864003E-5 | 6.863944E-5 | 1.170522 | 1.0E-5 | 6.585225E-4 | 7.137572E-4 | 7.337429E-4 | 1.0280007 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0065657445 | 0.007119444 | 0.0071492307 | 1.0041838 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.2624631E-5 | 1.3682917E-5 | 1.3682917E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.410444E-5 | 5.864003E-5 | 6.863944E-5 | 1.170522 | 1.0E-5 | 6.585225E-4 | 7.137572E-4 | 7.337429E-4 | 1.0280007 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0065657445 | 0.007119444 | 0.0071492307 | 1.0041838 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 9.417684E-6 | 1.0171092E-5 | 1.0171092E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.036088E-5 | 4.35899E-5 | 4.35899E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.912829E-4 | 5.306189E-4 | 5.4061355E-4 | 1.0188359 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004901982 | 0.005297556 | 0.00531745 | 1.0037553 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.368219E-6 | 1.0118515E-5 | 1.0118515E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.014889E-5 | 4.3364573E-5 | 4.3364573E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8870314E-4 | 5.278769E-4 | 5.378716E-4 | 1.0189338 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004876298 | 0.0052702664 | 0.005290161 | 1.0037749 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.803798E-6 | 8.442658E-6 | 8.442658E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3444423E-5 | 3.6182544E-5 | 3.6182544E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0710976E-4 | 4.4047335E-4 | 4.5046894E-4 | 1.0226928 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0040636472 | 0.004399921 | 0.004419833 | 1.0045255 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.3108669E-6 | 2.4440017E-6 | 2.4440017E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.903678E-6 | 1.0474252E-5 | 1.0474252E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.205706E-4 | 1.2751675E-4 | 1.2751675E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001205052 | 0.0012744544 | 0.0012844416 | 1.0078365 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.0882828E-6 | 2.2064312E-6 | 2.2064312E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.949753E-6 | 9.4561E-6 | 9.4561E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.08957785E-4 | 1.1512211E-4 | 1.1512211E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010890438 | 0.0011506416 | 0.00116063 | 1.0086808 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.876935E-6 | 1.981182E-6 | 1.981182E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.043982E-6 | 8.490754E-6 | 8.490754E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.7931086E-5 | 1.0337019E-4 | 1.0337019E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.788794E-4 | 0.0010332371 | 0.0010432267 | 1.0096684 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.5357559E-6 | 1.6203873E-6 | 1.6203873E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5817944E-6 | 6.9444986E-6 | 6.9444986E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.01304E-5 | 8.454612E-5 | 8.454612E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.010151E-4 | 8.45152E-4 | 8.5514353E-4 | 1.0118222 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0905424E-6 | 1.1498365E-6 | 1.1498365E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6737446E-6 | 4.927862E-6 | 4.927862E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6901354E-5 | 5.9995167E-5 | 5.9995167E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6886784E-4 | 5.997995E-4 | 5.997995E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.06668E-7 | 6.3876803E-7 | 6.3876803E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.600003E-6 | 2.737575E-6 | 2.737575E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1654577E-5 | 3.3329536E-5 | 3.3329536E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1650066E-4 | 3.332522E-4 | 3.332522E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Ortigalita (North)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.711876E-5 | 1.05094885E-4 | 1.05094885E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3046713E-4 | 4.5033597E-4 | 4.5033597E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004016016 | 0.005470223 | 0.0054801684 | 1.0018181 | 1.0E-5 | 0.039442103 | 0.053475987 | 0.053523313 | 1.000885 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.607858E-5 | 6.0261944E-5 | 6.0261944E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9746469E-4 | 2.582411E-4 | 2.582411E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024014818 | 0.003139855 | 0.0031498238 | 1.0031749 | 1.0E-5 | 0.023756953 | 0.030986097 | 0.031005478 | 1.0006255 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.607858E-5 | 6.0261944E-5 | 6.0261944E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9746469E-4 | 2.582411E-4 | 2.582411E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024014818 | 0.003139855 | 0.0031498238 | 1.0031749 | 1.0E-5 | 0.023756953 | 0.030986097 | 0.031005478 | 1.0006255 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.327423E-5 | 4.2490356E-5 | 4.2490356E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4259605E-4 | 1.8208985E-4 | 1.8208985E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017347244 | 0.0022149365 | 0.0022249145 | 1.0045048 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017212452 | 0.021952879 | 0.02196266 | 1.0004455 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.7732503E-5 | 3.5010173E-5 | 3.5010173E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1884817E-4 | 1.5003623E-4 | 1.5003623E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001446016 | 0.0018253946 | 0.0018353764 | 1.0054682 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014366428 | 0.018126983 | 0.018136801 | 1.0005417 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.7689714E-5 | 3.4959976E-5 | 3.4959976E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.186648E-4 | 1.4982112E-4 | 1.4982112E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014437864 | 0.0018227801 | 0.0018327619 | 1.0054761 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014344421 | 0.018101264 | 0.018111084 | 1.0005424 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.2976905E-5 | 2.8727152E-5 | 2.8727152E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.846873E-5 | 1.2311175E-4 | 1.2311175E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011981975 | 0.0014980938 | 0.0015080789 | 1.0066651 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011917574 | 0.014903268 | 0.014913118 | 1.000661 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.9871539E-5 | 2.4912444E-5 | 2.4912444E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.516096E-5 | 1.06764426E-4 | 1.06764426E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010363415 | 0.0012993243 | 0.0013093114 | 1.0076863 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010315218 | 0.012940947 | 0.012950818 | 1.0007627 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.5640475E-6 | 7.6069355E-6 | 7.6069355E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.813133E-5 | 3.260076E-5 | 3.260076E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.424451E-4 | 3.9684484E-4 | 4.0684087E-4 | 1.0251888 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034191788 | 0.0039616493 | 0.0039716098 | 1.0025142 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.6219683E-6 | 6.503054E-6 | 6.503054E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4093928E-5 | 2.786995E-5 | 2.786995E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.933041E-4 | 3.3926638E-4 | 3.49263E-4 | 1.0294653 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029291727 | 0.0033877415 | 0.0033977076 | 1.0029418 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.875591E-6 | 4.4855974E-6 | 4.4855974E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6609569E-5 | 1.9223859E-5 | 1.9223859E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0220275E-4 | 2.3402747E-4 | 2.3402747E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020201886 | 0.0023380185 | 0.0023380185 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.6017933E-6 | 1.8573955E-6 | 1.8573955E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8648105E-6 | 7.960248E-6 | 7.960248E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.357586E-5 | 9.691278E-5 | 9.691278E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.3544437E-4 | 9.688099E-4 | 9.688099E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pine Mtn
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.2264106E-6 | 1.7226339E-5 | 2.383803 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.096998E-5 | 5.096936E-5 | 1.6457666 | 2.0E-5 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.7699725E-4 | 4.1698216E-4 | 1.1060616 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0037638745 | 0.0038236487 | 1.0158811 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.2264106E-6 | 1.7226339E-5 | 2.383803 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.096998E-5 | 5.096936E-5 | 1.6457666 | 2.0E-5 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.7699725E-4 | 4.1698216E-4 | 1.1060616 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0037638745 | 0.0038236487 | 1.0158811 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.2264106E-6 | 1.7226339E-5 | 2.383803 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.096998E-5 | 5.096936E-5 | 1.6457666 | 2.0E-5 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.7699725E-4 | 4.1698216E-4 | 1.1060616 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0037638745 | 0.0038236487 | 1.0158811 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.2264106E-6 | 1.7226339E-5 | 2.383803 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.096998E-5 | 5.096936E-5 | 1.6457666 | 2.0E-5 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.7699725E-4 | 4.1698216E-4 | 1.1060616 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0037638745 | 0.0038236487 | 1.0158811 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.2264106E-6 | 1.7226339E-5 | 2.383803 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.096998E-5 | 5.096936E-5 | 1.6457666 | 2.0E-5 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.7699725E-4 | 4.1698216E-4 | 1.1060616 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0037638745 | 0.0038236487 | 1.0158811 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.2264106E-6 | 1.7226339E-5 | 2.383803 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.096998E-5 | 5.096936E-5 | 1.6457666 | 2.0E-5 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.7699725E-4 | 4.1698216E-4 | 1.1060616 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0037638745 | 0.0038236487 | 1.0158811 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.2264106E-6 | 1.7226339E-5 | 2.383803 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.096998E-5 | 5.096936E-5 | 1.6457666 | 2.0E-5 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.7699725E-4 | 4.1698216E-4 | 1.1060616 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0037638745 | 0.0038236487 | 1.0158811 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.0867933E-6 | 6.3980374E-6 | 1.6397973E-5 | 2.5629692 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6085996E-5 | 2.7419885E-5 | 4.7419337E-5 | 1.7293776 | 2.0E-5 | 3.1755073E-4 | 3.3378816E-4 | 3.6377815E-4 | 1.0898473 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0031709734 | 0.003333087 | 0.0033829205 | 1.0149511 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.6530425E-6 | 5.951504E-6 | 1.5951444E-5 | 2.6802375 | 1.0E-5 | 2.42271E-5 | 2.550621E-5 | 4.5505698E-5 | 1.7841028 | 2.0E-5 | 2.94925E-4 | 3.104959E-4 | 3.404866E-4 | 1.0965897 | 3.0E-5 | 0.002945339 | 0.0031008255 | 0.0031506706 | 1.0160748 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.6015225E-6 | 4.8646993E-6 | 1.486465E-5 | 3.0556154 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9720663E-5 | 2.0848553E-5 | 4.0848136E-5 | 1.9592792 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4007261E-4 | 2.53803E-4 | 2.837954E-4 | 1.1181719 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0023981342 | 0.0025352756 | 0.002585149 | 1.0196717 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.4875965E-6 | 4.7483354E-6 | 1.4748288E-5 | 3.1059911 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9232413E-5 | 2.0349858E-5 | 4.0349452E-5 | 1.9827878 | 2.0E-5 | 2.3412947E-4 | 2.477328E-4 | 2.7772537E-4 | 1.1210682 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0023388295 | 0.00247471 | 0.0025245864 | 1.0201544 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.203907E-6 | 3.4302295E-6 | 1.3430195E-5 | 3.9152467 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3730958E-5 | 1.4700905E-5 | 2.4700757E-5 | 1.6802202 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6716159E-4 | 1.7896948E-4 | 1.889677E-4 | 1.0558654 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016703589 | 0.0017883197 | 0.0017983018 | 1.0055819 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.2060601E-6 | 2.3791554E-6 | 1.23791315E-5 | 5.203162 | 1.0E-5 | 9.4545085E-6 | 1.0196343E-5 | 2.0196241E-5 | 1.9807338 | 1.0E-5 | 1.15102564E-4 | 1.2413386E-4 | 1.3413261E-4 | 1.0805482 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011504296 | 0.00124069 | 0.0012506776 | 1.0080501 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.3765207E-6 | 1.5222568E-6 | 1.5222568E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.899361E-6 | 6.523942E-6 | 6.523942E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.182235E-5 | 7.942619E-5 | 7.942619E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1799144E-4 | 7.939871E-4 | 7.939871E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.1245983E-6 | 1.2592584E-6 | 1.2592584E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.819698E-6 | 5.396811E-6 | 5.396811E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8678244E-5 | 6.570428E-5 | 6.570428E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.866275E-4 | 6.568568E-4 | 6.568568E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 8.031682E-7 | 9.282116E-7 | 9.282116E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4421448E-6 | 3.978044E-6 | 3.978044E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1907308E-5 | 4.8431677E-5 | 4.8431677E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1899405E-4 | 4.84218E-4 | 4.84218E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.8953444E-7 | 6.007621E-7 | 6.007621E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.098003E-6 | 2.5746924E-6 | 2.5746924E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5542888E-5 | 3.134648E-5 | 3.134648E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5539953E-4 | 3.1342547E-4 | 3.1342547E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.634529E-8 | 6.789016E-8 | 6.789016E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.843369E-7 | 2.9095781E-7 | 2.9095781E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4617963E-6 | 3.5424061E-6 | 3.5424061E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4617424E-5 | 3.542354E-5 | 3.542354E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 9.235578E-9 | 9.488882E-9 | 9.488882E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9581046E-8 | 4.0666635E-8 | 4.0666635E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.818991E-7 | 4.951162E-7 | 4.951162E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8189804E-6 | 4.9511523E-6 | 4.9511523E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Big Pine (Central)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2706755E-5 | 1.4254984E-5 | 1.4254984E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4456385E-5 | 6.109157E-5 | 7.109095E-5 | 1.1636788 | 1.0E-5 | 6.628048E-4 | 7.4357254E-4 | 7.635577E-4 | 1.0268772 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006608314 | 0.0074158385 | 0.0074555418 | 1.0053538 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 8.342579E-6 | 9.514731E-6 | 9.514731E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5753423E-5 | 4.07769E-5 | 5.0776493E-5 | 1.2452269 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3521097E-4 | 4.963674E-4 | 5.063624E-4 | 1.0201364 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0043435963 | 0.004956106 | 0.004985958 | 1.0060232 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.923899E-6 | 7.970953E-6 | 7.970953E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9673516E-5 | 3.416089E-5 | 4.4160548E-5 | 1.2927225 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6121515E-4 | 4.158487E-4 | 4.2584457E-4 | 1.0240372 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003606286 | 0.004153978 | 0.0041838535 | 1.007192 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.728396E-6 | 3.4276482E-6 | 3.4276482E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1693074E-5 | 1.4689843E-5 | 1.4689843E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4235388E-4 | 1.7883503E-4 | 1.7883503E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014226272 | 0.0017883821 | 0.0018083464 | 1.0111632 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.7136944E-6 | 3.4119403E-6 | 3.4119403E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1630066E-5 | 1.4622524E-5 | 1.4622524E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4158686E-4 | 1.7801556E-4 | 1.7801556E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014149669 | 0.0017802005 | 0.0017901827 | 1.0056074 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.6971882E-6 | 3.3942838E-6 | 3.3942838E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1559327E-5 | 1.4546855E-5 | 1.4546855E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4072572E-4 | 1.7709444E-4 | 1.7709444E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014063664 | 0.0017710039 | 0.0017809862 | 1.0056366 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.669092E-6 | 3.3643018E-6 | 3.3643018E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1438916E-5 | 1.4418362E-5 | 1.4418362E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3925991E-4 | 1.7553028E-4 | 1.7553028E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013917267 | 0.0017553873 | 0.0017653697 | 1.0056868 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.6408059E-6 | 3.3343254E-6 | 3.3343254E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1317691E-5 | 1.42898925E-5 | 1.42898925E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3778417E-4 | 1.7396641E-4 | 1.7396641E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013769877 | 0.0017397732 | 0.0017497558 | 1.0057379 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.1786943E-6 | 2.857765E-6 | 2.857765E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.337228E-6 | 1.224751E-5 | 1.224751E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1367482E-4 | 1.4910397E-4 | 1.4910397E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011361669 | 0.0014914966 | 0.0015014817 | 1.0066947 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.4411696E-6 | 2.071686E-6 | 2.071686E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1764263E-6 | 8.878625E-6 | 8.878625E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.51954E-5 | 1.0809217E-4 | 1.0809217E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5169955E-4 | 0.0010818086 | 0.0010917978 | 1.0092338 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0073411E-6 | 1.5571075E-6 | 1.5571075E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.317169E-6 | 6.6733014E-6 | 6.6733014E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2560266E-5 | 8.1244565E-5 | 8.1244565E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2547833E-4 | 8.135501E-4 | 8.2354195E-4 | 1.0122818 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.947104E-7 | 1.4330574E-6 | 1.4330574E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.834468E-6 | 6.1416613E-6 | 6.1416613E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6683643E-5 | 7.477231E-5 | 7.477231E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6673836E-4 | 7.488727E-4 | 7.588652E-4 | 1.0133435 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 5.215166E-7 | 1.0137901E-6 | 1.0137901E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2350691E-6 | 4.344808E-6 | 4.344808E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7211627E-5 | 5.2896798E-5 | 5.2896798E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7208295E-4 | 5.302331E-4 | 5.302331E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 4.4024807E-7 | 9.2450546E-7 | 9.2450546E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8867761E-6 | 3.9621605E-6 | 3.9621605E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2971257E-5 | 4.823828E-5 | 4.823828E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2968883E-4 | 4.8366946E-4 | 4.8366946E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.6130905E-7 | 8.383222E-7 | 8.383222E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5484665E-6 | 3.5928047E-6 | 3.5928047E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8852415E-5 | 4.374156E-5 | 4.374156E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8850817E-4 | 4.3871175E-4 | 4.3871175E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 3.408184E-7 | 8.132324E-7 | 8.132324E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4606494E-6 | 3.4852774E-6 | 3.4852774E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7783263E-5 | 4.2432464E-5 | 4.2432464E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.778184E-4 | 4.2560298E-4 | 4.2560298E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.1428627E-7 | 7.7549385E-7 | 7.7549385E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3469405E-6 | 3.323541E-6 | 3.323541E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6398877E-5 | 4.04634E-5 | 4.04634E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6397667E-4 | 4.058912E-4 | 4.058912E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.7972785E-7 | 5.095473E-7 | 5.095473E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.70262E-7 | 2.1837725E-6 | 2.1837725E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.377899E-6 | 2.6587117E-5 | 2.6587117E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.377503E-5 | 2.6717666E-4 | 2.6717666E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.9230927E-8 | 1.2022537E-7 | 1.2022537E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1098968E-7 | 5.152515E-7 | 5.152515E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5687964E-6 | 6.27317E-6 | 6.27317E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5687666E-5 | 6.3165186E-5 | 6.3165186E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 3.6805972E-9 | 4.1224406E-9 | 4.1224406E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5773987E-8 | 1.7667602E-8 | 1.7667602E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9204828E-7 | 2.1510304E-7 | 2.1510304E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.920481E-6 | 2.1987223E-6 | 2.1987223E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Lost Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.5110301E-5 | 2.5110301E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0761209E-4 | 1.0761209E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011647546 | 0.0013095578 | 0.0013195447 | 1.0076262 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011586686 | 0.0130350115 | 0.0130843595 | 1.0037858 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.5110301E-5 | 2.5110301E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0761209E-4 | 1.0761209E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011647546 | 0.0013095578 | 0.0013195447 | 1.0076262 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011586686 | 0.0130350115 | 0.0130843595 | 1.0037858 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.5110301E-5 | 2.5110301E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0761209E-4 | 1.0761209E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011647546 | 0.0013095578 | 0.0013195447 | 1.0076262 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011586686 | 0.0130350115 | 0.0130843595 | 1.0037858 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.5110301E-5 | 2.5110301E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0761209E-4 | 1.0761209E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011647546 | 0.0013095578 | 0.0013195447 | 1.0076262 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011586686 | 0.0130350115 | 0.0130843595 | 1.0037858 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2288092E-5 | 1.3783107E-5 | 1.3783107E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2662188E-5 | 5.9069647E-5 | 5.9069647E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.409735E-4 | 7.1902946E-4 | 7.1902946E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006391279 | 0.007176239 | 0.0071861674 | 1.0013835 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.2288092E-5 | 1.3783107E-5 | 1.3783107E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2662188E-5 | 5.9069647E-5 | 5.9069647E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.409735E-4 | 7.1902946E-4 | 7.1902946E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006391279 | 0.007176239 | 0.0071861674 | 1.0013835 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.58281E-6 | 9.635178E-6 | 9.635178E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6782953E-5 | 4.1293435E-5 | 4.1293435E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4774043E-4 | 5.027148E-4 | 5.027148E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044683935 | 0.005023939 | 0.005033889 | 1.0019804 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.205685E-6 | 8.089484E-6 | 8.089484E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.088114E-5 | 3.4669218E-5 | 3.4669218E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7591302E-4 | 4.2209774E-4 | 4.2209774E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037527776 | 0.0042209774 | 0.004230935 | 1.0023592 | 1.0E-5 |
Cleghorn
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.9267165E-6 | 9.843522E-6 | 9.843522E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.39712E-5 | 4.2185904E-5 | 4.2185904E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1352084E-4 | 5.135029E-4 | 5.4348755E-4 | 1.0583923 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004127522 | 0.005138242 | 0.0051879855 | 1.009681 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 7.9267165E-6 | 9.843522E-6 | 9.843522E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.39712E-5 | 4.2185904E-5 | 4.2185904E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1352084E-4 | 5.135029E-4 | 5.4348755E-4 | 1.0583923 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004127522 | 0.005138242 | 0.0051879855 | 1.009681 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 7.9267165E-6 | 9.843522E-6 | 9.843522E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.39712E-5 | 4.2185904E-5 | 4.2185904E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1352084E-4 | 5.135029E-4 | 5.4348755E-4 | 1.0583923 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004127522 | 0.005138242 | 0.0051879855 | 1.009681 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 7.9267165E-6 | 9.843522E-6 | 9.843522E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.39712E-5 | 4.2185904E-5 | 4.2185904E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1352084E-4 | 5.135029E-4 | 5.4348755E-4 | 1.0583923 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004127522 | 0.005138242 | 0.0051879855 | 1.009681 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.3445207E-6 | 6.103186E-6 | 6.103186E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8619241E-5 | 2.6156256E-5 | 2.6156256E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2666567E-4 | 3.184069E-4 | 3.184069E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022643462 | 0.0031936618 | 0.0031936618 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 4.3445207E-6 | 6.103186E-6 | 6.103186E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8619241E-5 | 2.6156256E-5 | 2.6156256E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2666567E-4 | 3.184069E-4 | 3.184069E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022643462 | 0.0031936618 | 0.0031936618 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 4.040109E-6 | 5.7855777E-6 | 5.7855777E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7314638E-5 | 2.4795101E-5 | 2.4795101E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1078532E-4 | 3.018395E-4 | 3.018395E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002105855 | 0.003028444 | 0.003028444 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 3.3632055E-6 | 5.079038E-6 | 5.079038E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4413658E-5 | 2.1767126E-5 | 2.1767126E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7547216E-4 | 2.6498284E-4 | 2.6498284E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017533366 | 0.0026607616 | 0.0026607616 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 3.2902772E-6 | 5.000939E-6 | 5.000939E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4101111E-5 | 2.143242E-5 | 2.143242E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.716675E-4 | 2.609088E-4 | 2.609088E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017153495 | 0.002620117 | 0.002620117 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 3.031547E-6 | 4.702449E-6 | 4.702449E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.299228E-5 | 2.01532E-5 | 2.01532E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5816953E-4 | 2.4533784E-4 | 2.4533784E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00158057 | 0.0024647603 | 0.0024647603 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.8259715E-6 | 4.381371E-6 | 4.381371E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.211125E-5 | 1.8777171E-5 | 1.8777171E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4744449E-4 | 2.2858832E-4 | 2.2858832E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001473467 | 0.002297621 | 0.002297621 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.5962665E-6 | 4.0763134E-6 | 4.0763134E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1126809E-5 | 1.74698E-5 | 1.74698E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3546048E-4 | 2.1267428E-4 | 2.1267428E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013537793 | 0.0021388012 | 0.0021388012 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.3247253E-6 | 3.6865335E-6 | 3.6865335E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.96307E-6 | 1.5799335E-5 | 1.5799335E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.21293626E-4 | 1.9234011E-4 | 1.9234011E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012122744 | 0.0019358506 | 0.0019358506 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.056928E-6 | 3.2445696E-6 | 3.2445696E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.815376E-6 | 1.3905225E-5 | 1.3905225E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0732192E-4 | 1.6928313E-4 | 1.6928313E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001072701 | 0.0017057232 | 0.0017057232 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.8055999E-6 | 2.8343545E-6 | 2.8343545E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.738263E-6 | 1.2147178E-5 | 1.2147178E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4209274E-5 | 1.4788199E-4 | 1.4788199E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4169343E-4 | 0.0014921307 | 0.0014921307 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.4683443E-6 | 2.4333192E-6 | 2.4333192E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.292889E-6 | 1.0428469E-5 | 1.0428469E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.661323E-5 | 1.269593E-4 | 1.269593E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.658682E-4 | 0.0012832034 | 0.0012832034 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 9.804088E-7 | 1.9086947E-6 | 1.9086947E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.201745E-6 | 8.1800945E-6 | 8.1800945E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1155046E-5 | 9.958814E-5 | 9.958814E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.114327E-4 | 0.0010098019 | 0.0010098019 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 7.3434086E-7 | 1.6367106E-6 | 1.6367106E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1471714E-6 | 7.014455E-6 | 7.014455E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.831614E-5 | 8.5397674E-5 | 8.5397674E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8309532E-4 | 8.680514E-4 | 8.680514E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 6.434184E-7 | 1.5299221E-6 | 1.5299221E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7575045E-6 | 6.5567924E-6 | 6.5567924E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.35721E-5 | 7.982605E-5 | 7.982605E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3567028E-4 | 8.120347E-4 | 8.120347E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 3.4943926E-7 | 7.6167237E-7 | 7.6167237E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.497596E-6 | 3.264306E-6 | 3.264306E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8233079E-5 | 3.974221E-5 | 3.974221E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8231584E-4 | 4.0619678E-4 | 4.0619678E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 6.717524E-8 | 5.8853715E-8 | 5.8853715E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8789387E-7 | 2.5223017E-7 | 2.5223017E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.505102E-6 | 3.0708982E-6 | 3.0708982E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5050467E-5 | 3.300689E-5 | 3.300689E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 3.1984914E-8 | 1.3104425E-8 | 1.3104425E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.370782E-7 | 5.616182E-8 | 5.616182E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6689258E-6 | 6.8376994E-7 | 6.8376994E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6689133E-5 | 7.828922E-6 | 7.828922E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.21887656E-8 | 3.6947165E-9 | 3.6947165E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2237567E-8 | 1.5834498E-8 | 1.5834498E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.359922E-7 | 1.92785E-7 | 1.92785E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3599036E-6 | 2.2736506E-6 | 2.2736506E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Independence rev 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.32639E-6 | 4.32639E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8541556E-5 | 1.8541556E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2572304E-4 | 2.4571852E-4 | 1.0885842 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022552314 | 0.0023051186 | 1.0221207 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.32639E-6 | 4.32639E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8541556E-5 | 1.8541556E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2572304E-4 | 2.4571852E-4 | 1.0885842 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022552314 | 0.0023051186 | 1.0221207 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.32639E-6 | 4.32639E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8541556E-5 | 1.8541556E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2572304E-4 | 2.4571852E-4 | 1.0885842 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022552314 | 0.0023051186 | 1.0221207 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.32639E-6 | 4.32639E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8541556E-5 | 1.8541556E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2572304E-4 | 2.4571852E-4 | 1.0885842 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022552314 | 0.0023051186 | 1.0221207 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.32639E-6 | 4.32639E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8541556E-5 | 1.8541556E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2572304E-4 | 2.4571852E-4 | 1.0885842 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022552314 | 0.0023051186 | 1.0221207 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.32639E-6 | 4.32639E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8541556E-5 | 1.8541556E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2572304E-4 | 2.4571852E-4 | 1.0885842 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022552314 | 0.0023051186 | 1.0221207 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.663744E-6 | 2.5321053E-6 | 2.5321053E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1415996E-5 | 1.0851837E-5 | 1.0851837E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3898089E-4 | 1.321136E-4 | 1.5211095E-4 | 1.1513649 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0013889399 | 0.0013203988 | 0.0013703328 | 1.0378174 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.663744E-6 | 2.5321053E-6 | 2.5321053E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1415996E-5 | 1.0851837E-5 | 1.0851837E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3898089E-4 | 1.321136E-4 | 1.5211095E-4 | 1.1513649 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0013889399 | 0.0013203988 | 0.0013703328 | 1.0378174 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.9716529E-6 | 1.8323602E-6 | 1.8323602E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.449913E-6 | 7.852949E-6 | 7.852949E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0287284E-4 | 9.5605596E-5 | 1.1560369E-4 | 1.2091727 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010282523 | 9.5565757E-4 | 9.956193E-4 | 1.041816 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.8788617E-6 | 1.7430972E-6 | 1.7430972E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0522395E-6 | 7.4703958E-6 | 7.4703958E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.80316E-5 | 9.094839E-5 | 1.10946574E-4 | 1.2198849 | 2.0E-5 | 9.798837E-4 | 9.0912374E-4 | 9.490874E-4 | 1.0439584 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.5045488E-6 | 1.3850317E-6 | 1.3850317E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.44805E-6 | 5.935837E-6 | 5.935837E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8502184E-5 | 7.226647E-5 | 9.226503E-5 | 1.2767335 | 2.0E-5 | 7.8474457E-4 | 7.2243484E-4 | 7.62406E-4 | 1.0553284 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.272341E-6 | 1.1625807E-6 | 1.1625807E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4528787E-6 | 4.9824794E-6 | 4.9824794E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6386776E-5 | 6.066003E-5 | 8.065882E-5 | 1.3296864 | 2.0E-5 | 6.636695E-4 | 6.064379E-4 | 6.4641365E-4 | 1.0659189 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.0416892E-6 | 9.41049E-7 | 9.41049E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.464375E-6 | 4.033061E-6 | 4.033061E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4352407E-5 | 4.910143E-5 | 6.9100446E-5 | 1.4073001 | 2.0E-5 | 5.4339116E-4 | 4.909077E-4 | 5.3088804E-4 | 1.0814418 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.9450155E-7 | 7.235458E-7 | 7.235458E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4050022E-6 | 3.1009067E-6 | 3.1009067E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1455114E-5 | 3.7752896E-5 | 5.7752142E-5 | 1.5297407 | 2.0E-5 | 4.144738E-4 | 3.7746594E-4 | 4.1745085E-4 | 1.1059299 | 4.0E-5 |
7.4 | 5.3893444E-7 | 5.019805E-7 | 5.019805E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.309717E-6 | 2.151343E-6 | 2.151343E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8120441E-5 | 2.6192292E-5 | 4.6191766E-5 | 1.7635634 | 2.0E-5 | 2.8116882E-4 | 2.618925E-4 | 3.01882E-4 | 1.1526945 | 4.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.8852085E-7 | 3.682749E-7 | 3.682749E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6650882E-6 | 1.57832E-6 | 1.57832E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.027226E-5 | 1.9215879E-5 | 2.9215687E-5 | 1.5203929 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0270412E-4 | 1.9214238E-4 | 2.2213663E-4 | 1.1561042 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.414929E-7 | 2.3458581E-7 | 2.3458581E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0349692E-6 | 1.0053674E-6 | 1.0053674E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2600677E-5 | 1.2240281E-5 | 2.2240158E-5 | 1.8169647 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2599962E-4 | 1.2239619E-4 | 1.4239374E-4 | 1.1633838 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.8298014E-8 | 6.859185E-8 | 6.859185E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9270575E-7 | 2.9396503E-7 | 2.9396503E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5636867E-6 | 3.579019E-6 | 3.579019E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5636294E-5 | 3.578966E-5 | 3.578966E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Kern Canyon (North Kern) 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.7575234E-6 | 6.7575234E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.8960538E-5 | 3.8960246E-5 | 1.3452874 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.525455E-4 | 3.925314E-4 | 1.1134205 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0034516277 | 0.0035206508 | 0.0035704747 | 1.0141519 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.7575234E-6 | 6.7575234E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.8960538E-5 | 3.8960246E-5 | 1.3452874 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.525455E-4 | 3.925314E-4 | 1.1134205 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0034516277 | 0.0035206508 | 0.0035704747 | 1.0141519 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.7575234E-6 | 6.7575234E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.8960538E-5 | 3.8960246E-5 | 1.3452874 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.525455E-4 | 3.925314E-4 | 1.1134205 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0034516277 | 0.0035206508 | 0.0035704747 | 1.0141519 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.7575234E-6 | 6.7575234E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.8960538E-5 | 3.8960246E-5 | 1.3452874 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.525455E-4 | 3.925314E-4 | 1.1134205 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0034516277 | 0.0035206508 | 0.0035704747 | 1.0141519 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.7575234E-6 | 6.7575234E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.8960538E-5 | 3.8960246E-5 | 1.3452874 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.525455E-4 | 3.925314E-4 | 1.1134205 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0034516277 | 0.0035206508 | 0.0035704747 | 1.0141519 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.2162225E-6 | 3.2571743E-6 | 3.2571743E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3783738E-5 | 1.3959248E-5 | 1.3959248E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6780409E-4 | 1.699414E-4 | 1.799397E-4 | 1.0588338 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016767744 | 0.0016981941 | 0.0017181601 | 1.0117573 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.2162225E-6 | 3.2571743E-6 | 3.2571743E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3783738E-5 | 1.3959248E-5 | 1.3959248E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6780409E-4 | 1.699414E-4 | 1.799397E-4 | 1.0588338 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016767744 | 0.0016981941 | 0.0017181601 | 1.0117573 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.1908265E-6 | 2.207175E-6 | 2.207175E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.389223E-6 | 9.459288E-6 | 9.459288E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1430779E-4 | 1.1516094E-4 | 1.1516094E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011424901 | 0.001151032 | 0.0011610205 | 1.0086778 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.7303895E-6 | 1.7365933E-6 | 1.7365933E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.415934E-6 | 7.442522E-6 | 7.442522E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.028525E-5 | 9.0609035E-5 | 9.0609035E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.024858E-4 | 9.0573065E-4 | 9.157216E-4 | 1.0110308 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.3700314E-6 | 1.3688937E-6 | 1.3688937E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.87155E-6 | 5.866674E-6 | 5.866674E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.148377E-5 | 7.142446E-5 | 7.142446E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.146078E-4 | 7.1401964E-4 | 7.240125E-4 | 1.0139952 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.1467797E-6 | 1.1414068E-6 | 1.1414068E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9147607E-6 | 4.891734E-6 | 4.891734E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.983557E-5 | 5.9555266E-5 | 5.9555266E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.981946E-4 | 5.953962E-4 | 6.0539023E-4 | 1.0167855 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 9.3952065E-7 | 9.3029064E-7 | 9.3029064E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.026511E-6 | 3.9869537E-6 | 3.9869537E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9021666E-5 | 4.85401E-5 | 4.85401E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.901085E-4 | 4.8529674E-4 | 4.952919E-4 | 1.0205959 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.858055E-7 | 6.71946E-7 | 6.71946E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.939163E-6 | 2.8797656E-6 | 2.8797656E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5783723E-5 | 3.506059E-5 | 3.506059E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5777962E-4 | 3.5055148E-4 | 3.6054797E-4 | 1.0285165 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 5.1101983E-7 | 4.93942E-7 | 4.93942E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1900833E-6 | 2.1168928E-6 | 2.1168928E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6663936E-5 | 2.577287E-5 | 2.577287E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6660739E-4 | 2.5769928E-4 | 2.5769928E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.4999414E-7 | 3.2996755E-7 | 3.2996755E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.499974E-6 | 1.4141458E-6 | 1.4141458E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8262032E-5 | 1.7217091E-5 | 1.7217091E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.826053E-4 | 1.7215782E-4 | 1.7215782E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.7021522E-7 | 1.4750493E-7 | 1.4750493E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2949354E-7 | 6.3216385E-7 | 6.3216385E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.881548E-6 | 7.696568E-6 | 7.696568E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8811925E-5 | 7.69631E-5 | 7.69631E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.572245E-8 | 1.7353479E-8 | 1.7353479E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10239064E-7 | 7.4372046E-8 | 7.4372046E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421597E-6 | 9.0547934E-7 | 9.0547934E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421517E-5 | 9.054762E-6 | 9.054762E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pisgah-Bullion Mtn-Mesquite Lk
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0240792E-5 | 2.4094217E-5 | 2.4094217E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2959696E-4 | 1.03257415E-4 | 1.03257415E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015767008 | 0.0012565347 | 0.0012665221 | 1.0079484 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015655609 | 0.012504326 | 0.0125537 | 1.0039486 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.0240792E-5 | 2.4094217E-5 | 2.4094217E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2959696E-4 | 1.03257415E-4 | 1.03257415E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015767008 | 0.0012565347 | 0.0012665221 | 1.0079484 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015655609 | 0.012504326 | 0.0125537 | 1.0039486 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.0240792E-5 | 2.4094217E-5 | 2.4094217E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2959696E-4 | 1.03257415E-4 | 1.03257415E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015767008 | 0.0012565347 | 0.0012665221 | 1.0079484 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015655609 | 0.012504326 | 0.0125537 | 1.0039486 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.0498217E-5 | 1.3639595E-5 | 1.3639595E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.784654E-5 | 5.845419E-5 | 5.845419E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010690069 | 7.1146357E-4 | 7.1146357E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01063879 | 0.007093485 | 0.0071034143 | 1.0013998 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0498217E-5 | 1.3639595E-5 | 1.3639595E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.784654E-5 | 5.845419E-5 | 5.845419E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010690069 | 7.1146357E-4 | 7.1146357E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01063879 | 0.007093485 | 0.0071034143 | 1.0013998 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.7316182E-5 | 1.0478088E-5 | 1.0478088E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.42101E-5 | 4.4905377E-5 | 4.4905377E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0313336E-4 | 5.4659584E-4 | 5.4659584E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008994718 | 0.0054535097 | 0.0054535097 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.5251077E-5 | 8.414966E-6 | 8.414966E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.536012E-5 | 3.6063684E-5 | 3.6063684E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9546886E-4 | 4.3899412E-4 | 4.3899412E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007926274 | 0.004381987 | 0.004381987 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.2997425E-5 | 6.411824E-6 | 6.411824E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.570206E-5 | 2.7478984E-5 | 2.7478984E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7796157E-4 | 3.345099E-4 | 3.345099E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0067589693 | 0.0033405242 | 0.0033405242 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.035386E-5 | 4.3337254E-6 | 4.3337254E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.437293E-5 | 1.8572982E-5 | 1.8572982E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.401065E-4 | 2.2610347E-4 | 2.2610347E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0053879567 | 0.002258821 | 0.002258821 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 8.816252E-6 | 3.5810187E-6 | 3.5810187E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.778339E-5 | 1.5347136E-5 | 1.5347136E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5991567E-4 | 1.8683595E-4 | 1.8683595E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00458965 | 0.0018668472 | 0.0018668472 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 6.8232207E-6 | 2.5677982E-6 | 2.5677982E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9242048E-5 | 1.1004805E-5 | 1.1004805E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5596377E-4 | 1.3397557E-4 | 1.3397557E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035539411 | 0.0013389791 | 0.0013389791 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 5.837013E-6 | 2.2276397E-6 | 2.2276397E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.501553E-5 | 9.546994E-6 | 9.546994E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.045215E-4 | 1.1622875E-4 | 1.1622875E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030410455 | 0.0011617086 | 0.0011617086 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 4.278052E-6 | 1.6277611E-6 | 1.6277611E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.833438E-5 | 6.9761018E-6 | 6.9761018E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.231982E-4 | 8.4930965E-5 | 8.4930965E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022297418 | 8.4900827E-4 | 8.4900827E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.8803692E-6 | 8.345758E-7 | 8.345758E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0587E-6 | 3.5767494E-6 | 3.5767494E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.811026E-5 | 4.3546203E-5 | 4.3546203E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.806695E-4 | 4.3539115E-4 | 4.3539115E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Chino alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.939946E-5 | 4.8965823E-5 | 5.8965332E-5 | 1.2042141 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6884391E-4 | 2.0983924E-4 | 2.1983715E-4 | 1.0476456 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020537362 | 0.0025523126 | 0.002562287 | 1.003908 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020348595 | 0.025284523 | 0.02533326 | 1.0019275 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1505624E-5 | 2.6890515E-5 | 3.6890247E-5 | 1.3718684 | 1.0E-5 | 9.2163704E-5 | 1.15240604E-4 | 1.2523946E-4 | 1.0867649 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011215154 | 0.0014022616 | 0.0014122475 | 1.0071213 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011158722 | 0.013948671 | 0.013978251 | 1.0021207 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1505624E-5 | 2.6890515E-5 | 3.6890247E-5 | 1.3718684 | 1.0E-5 | 9.2163704E-5 | 1.15240604E-4 | 1.2523946E-4 | 1.0867649 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011215154 | 0.0014022616 | 0.0014122475 | 1.0071213 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011158722 | 0.013948671 | 0.013978251 | 1.0021207 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.4290785E-5 | 1.8174378E-5 | 1.8174378E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1244784E-5 | 7.788812E-5 | 7.788812E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.454001E-4 | 9.4792066E-4 | 9.4792066E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007429048 | 0.009446873 | 0.009456779 | 1.0010486 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.4290785E-5 | 1.8174378E-5 | 1.8174378E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1244784E-5 | 7.788812E-5 | 7.788812E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.454001E-4 | 9.4792066E-4 | 9.4792066E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007429048 | 0.009446873 | 0.009456779 | 1.0010486 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3017944E-5 | 1.6660997E-5 | 1.6660997E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5789995E-5 | 7.140257E-5 | 7.140257E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.790315E-4 | 8.690233E-4 | 8.690233E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0067696036 | 0.00866419 | 0.00866419 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 9.470016E-6 | 1.2046299E-5 | 1.2046299E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.058515E-5 | 5.1626164E-5 | 5.1626164E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.940122E-4 | 6.284013E-4 | 6.284013E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004929154 | 0.0062734876 | 0.0062734876 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 8.314155E-6 | 1.041388E-5 | 1.041388E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5631605E-5 | 4.4630335E-5 | 4.4630335E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3372845E-4 | 5.4327113E-4 | 5.4327113E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004328829 | 0.0054269615 | 0.0054269615 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 3.4856364E-6 | 3.815446E-6 | 3.815446E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4938357E-5 | 1.635182E-5 | 1.635182E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8185932E-4 | 1.9906729E-4 | 1.9906729E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018171056 | 0.001990522 | 0.001990522 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.2645952E-6 | 2.1543328E-6 | 2.1543328E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.705372E-6 | 9.232824E-6 | 9.232824E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.18156495E-4 | 1.1240404E-4 | 1.1240404E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011809369 | 0.0011240008 | 0.0011240008 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.7864003E-6 | 1.5443427E-6 | 1.5443427E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.655979E-6 | 6.6185953E-6 | 6.6185953E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3207556E-5 | 8.057847E-5 | 8.057847E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.316847E-4 | 8.058964E-4 | 8.058964E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.7315456E-6 | 1.4745958E-6 | 1.4745958E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.420889E-6 | 6.3196817E-6 | 6.3196817E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.034557E-5 | 7.693946E-5 | 7.693946E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0308854E-4 | 7.695196E-4 | 7.695196E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.6008337E-6 | 1.3586103E-6 | 1.3586103E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.860698E-6 | 5.8226033E-6 | 5.8226033E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.352579E-5 | 7.0887945E-5 | 7.0887945E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.34944E-4 | 7.0903316E-4 | 7.0903316E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.3320939E-6 | 1.1228735E-6 | 1.1228735E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7089615E-6 | 4.8123065E-6 | 4.8123065E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9504385E-5 | 5.8588306E-5 | 5.8588306E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9482654E-4 | 5.8586156E-4 | 5.8586156E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.114294E-6 | 9.247205E-7 | 9.247205E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.775537E-6 | 3.963082E-6 | 3.963082E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8140613E-5 | 4.824949E-5 | 4.824949E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.81254E-4 | 4.824107E-4 | 4.824107E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 9.354081E-7 | 7.632883E-7 | 7.632883E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0088858E-6 | 3.271232E-6 | 3.271232E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8807087E-5 | 3.9826555E-5 | 3.9826555E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.879637E-4 | 3.9819756E-4 | 3.9819756E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 8.521771E-7 | 6.8898805E-7 | 6.8898805E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6521824E-6 | 2.9528028E-6 | 2.9528028E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4464414E-5 | 3.594981E-5 | 3.594981E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4455516E-4 | 3.5944313E-4 | 3.5944313E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.1803626E-7 | 1.4211959E-7 | 1.4211959E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.344408E-7 | 6.090839E-7 | 6.090839E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1376757E-5 | 7.4155805E-6 | 7.4155805E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.13761744E-4 | 7.415429E-5 | 7.415429E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Scodie Lineament
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.2919327E-6 | 3.0134581E-6 | 3.0134581E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4108206E-5 | 1.2914775E-5 | 1.2914775E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7175387E-4 | 1.5722921E-4 | 1.8722449E-4 | 1.1907742 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0017162118 | 0.0015714912 | 0.0016214127 | 1.0317669 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.5491183E-6 | 1.5491183E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.6390644E-6 | 6.6390644E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.738045E-5 | 8.0828104E-5 | 1.0082649E-4 | 1.2474186 | 2.0E-5 | 9.7337784E-4 | 8.080359E-4 | 8.2801975E-4 | 1.0247314 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.5491183E-6 | 1.5491183E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.6390644E-6 | 6.6390644E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.738045E-5 | 8.0828104E-5 | 1.0082649E-4 | 1.2474186 | 2.0E-5 | 9.7337784E-4 | 8.080359E-4 | 8.2801975E-4 | 1.0247314 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.5491183E-6 | 1.5491183E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.6390644E-6 | 6.6390644E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.738045E-5 | 8.0828104E-5 | 1.0082649E-4 | 1.2474186 | 2.0E-5 | 9.7337784E-4 | 8.080359E-4 | 8.2801975E-4 | 1.0247314 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.5491183E-6 | 1.5491183E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.6390644E-6 | 6.6390644E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.738045E-5 | 8.0828104E-5 | 1.0082649E-4 | 1.2474186 | 2.0E-5 | 9.7337784E-4 | 8.080359E-4 | 8.2801975E-4 | 1.0247314 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.8106311E-6 | 1.4910495E-6 | 1.4910495E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.759824E-6 | 6.390199E-6 | 6.390199E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.447177E-5 | 7.779839E-5 | 9.779684E-5 | 1.2570547 | 2.0E-5 | 9.4431615E-4 | 7.7776023E-4 | 7.9774467E-4 | 1.0256948 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.2414679E-6 | 8.997939E-7 | 8.997939E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.320566E-6 | 3.8562544E-6 | 3.8562544E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.477596E-5 | 4.694897E-5 | 4.694897E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.475708E-4 | 4.693992E-4 | 4.693992E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.1062215E-6 | 7.594629E-7 | 7.594629E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7409408E-6 | 3.2548376E-6 | 3.2548376E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7719422E-5 | 3.9626997E-5 | 3.9626997E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.770443E-4 | 3.962063E-4 | 3.962063E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.0006736E-6 | 6.5006674E-7 | 6.5006674E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.288594E-6 | 2.7859978E-6 | 2.7859978E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.221238E-5 | 3.3919056E-5 | 3.3919056E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.220012E-4 | 3.3914487E-4 | 3.3914487E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 9.167364E-7 | 5.631859E-7 | 5.631859E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9288643E-6 | 2.413652E-6 | 2.413652E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7832873E-5 | 2.9385876E-5 | 2.9385876E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.782258E-4 | 2.9382558E-4 | 2.9382558E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 7.6987664E-7 | 4.1135561E-7 | 4.1135561E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2994672E-6 | 1.7629517E-6 | 1.7629517E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0170275E-5 | 2.1463764E-5 | 2.1463764E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0163012E-4 | 2.1462077E-4 | 2.1462077E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 7.1038727E-7 | 3.521298E-7 | 3.521298E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0445133E-6 | 1.5091271E-6 | 1.5091271E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.706632E-5 | 1.8373503E-5 | 1.8373503E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7060137E-4 | 1.8372333E-4 | 1.8372333E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.0799602E-7 | 3.1186534E-8 | 3.1186534E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.914113E-7 | 1.3365657E-7 | 1.3365657E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0852878E-5 | 1.6272676E-6 | 1.6272676E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.08523476E-4 | 1.6272563E-5 | 1.6272563E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.5048182E-7 | 1.5943153E-8 | 1.5943153E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.449219E-7 | 6.832779E-8 | 6.832779E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.851896E-6 | 8.3189065E-7 | 8.3189065E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.851618E-5 | 8.318878E-6 | 8.318878E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.9334678E-8 | 4.8646855E-9 | 4.8646855E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5429145E-7 | 2.084865E-8 | 2.084865E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.095994E-6 | 2.5383233E-7 | 2.5383233E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.095951E-5 | 2.5383215E-6 | 2.5383215E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Monte Vista - Shannon 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.7907707E-5 | 2.7591917E-5 | 2.7591917E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.19598975E-4 | 1.1824641E-4 | 1.1824641E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014551448 | 0.0014388231 | 0.0014388231 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014456532 | 0.014324198 | 0.014363625 | 1.0027524 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.7907707E-5 | 2.7591917E-5 | 2.7591917E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.19598975E-4 | 1.1824641E-4 | 1.1824641E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014551448 | 0.0014388231 | 0.0014388231 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014456532 | 0.014324198 | 0.014363625 | 1.0027524 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.7907707E-5 | 2.7591917E-5 | 2.7591917E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.19598975E-4 | 1.1824641E-4 | 1.1824641E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014551448 | 0.0014388231 | 0.0014388231 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014456532 | 0.014324198 | 0.014363625 | 1.0027524 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.7907707E-5 | 2.7591917E-5 | 2.7591917E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.19598975E-4 | 1.1824641E-4 | 1.1824641E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014551448 | 0.0014388231 | 0.0014388231 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014456532 | 0.014324198 | 0.014363625 | 1.0027524 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.7907707E-5 | 2.7591917E-5 | 2.7591917E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.19598975E-4 | 1.1824641E-4 | 1.1824641E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014551448 | 0.0014388231 | 0.0014388231 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014456532 | 0.014324198 | 0.014363625 | 1.0027524 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.7990213E-5 | 1.664624E-5 | 1.664624E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.709863E-5 | 7.133945E-5 | 7.133945E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.382716E-4 | 8.6827803E-4 | 8.6827803E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0093431985 | 0.008672264 | 0.008702004 | 1.0034293 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.650407E-6 | 7.46239E-6 | 7.46239E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.135823E-5 | 3.1981323E-5 | 3.1981323E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0342013E-4 | 3.8931088E-4 | 3.8931088E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005022812 | 0.0039040036 | 0.0039139646 | 1.0025514 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.62828E-6 | 7.4402983E-6 | 7.4402983E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1263404E-5 | 3.1886648E-5 | 3.1886648E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.022661E-4 | 3.881586E-4 | 3.881586E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0050113243 | 0.0038925214 | 0.0039024823 | 1.0025591 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.887523E-6 | 4.466494E-6 | 4.466494E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9517621E-5 | 1.914199E-5 | 1.914199E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5931775E-4 | 2.3303102E-4 | 2.3303102E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035873733 | 0.0023450546 | 0.0023450546 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 6.2722347E-6 | 3.8082926E-6 | 3.8082926E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6880729E-5 | 1.6321163E-5 | 1.6321163E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2722374E-4 | 1.9869406E-4 | 1.9869406E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003267423 | 0.0020023382 | 0.0020023382 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 5.5320347E-6 | 3.0353328E-6 | 3.0353328E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3708504E-5 | 1.30085145E-5 | 1.30085145E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8861282E-4 | 1.5836899E-4 | 1.5836899E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028823826 | 0.0015997202 | 0.0015997202 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 3.8794055E-6 | 1.2882919E-6 | 1.2882919E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6625918E-5 | 5.521239E-6 | 5.521239E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0240174E-4 | 6.721903E-5 | 6.721903E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002022175 | 6.889706E-4 | 6.889706E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.4813652E-6 | 9.714006E-7 | 9.714006E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.49200505E-5 | 4.163139E-6 | 4.163139E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8163648E-4 | 5.068505E-5 | 5.068505E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018148809 | 5.2370585E-4 | 5.2370585E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.1682148E-6 | 7.76068E-7 | 7.76068E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3577992E-5 | 3.3260017E-6 | 3.3260017E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6529951E-4 | 4.049332E-5 | 4.049332E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016517661 | 4.218051E-4 | 4.218051E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.9707667E-6 | 7.3860264E-7 | 7.3860264E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2731795E-5 | 3.165436E-6 | 3.165436E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5499859E-4 | 3.8538506E-5 | 3.8538506E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015489052 | 4.0205495E-4 | 4.0205495E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.3462758E-6 | 6.042323E-7 | 6.042323E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0055429E-5 | 2.5895645E-6 | 2.5895645E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2241797E-4 | 3.1527492E-5 | 3.1527492E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012235056 | 3.3022082E-4 | 3.3022082E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.112783E-6 | 5.2839795E-7 | 5.2839795E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.054753E-6 | 2.2645606E-6 | 2.2645606E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1023604E-4 | 2.7570679E-5 | 2.7570679E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011018137 | 2.9023006E-4 | 2.9023006E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.7022471E-6 | 4.259922E-7 | 4.259922E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2953244E-6 | 1.8256795E-6 | 1.8256795E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.881695E-5 | 2.2227423E-5 | 2.2227423E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.878146E-4 | 2.3548573E-4 | 2.3548573E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 7.230914E-7 | 3.754376E-7 | 3.754376E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0989595E-6 | 1.6090173E-6 | 1.6090173E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.772918E-5 | 1.9589612E-5 | 1.9589612E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7722773E-4 | 2.0863344E-4 | 2.0863344E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 4.3588446E-7 | 3.453107E-7 | 3.453107E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.868075E-6 | 1.4799022E-6 | 1.4799022E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2743576E-5 | 1.8017661E-5 | 1.8017661E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2741247E-4 | 1.911333E-4 | 1.911333E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 2.3317523E-7 | 3.1711807E-7 | 3.1711807E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.99322E-7 | 1.3590767E-6 | 1.3590767E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2166677E-5 | 1.6546635E-5 | 1.6546635E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.21660116E-4 | 1.7502457E-4 | 1.7502457E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.4662456E-7 | 2.0425267E-7 | 2.0425267E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.283908E-7 | 8.753683E-7 | 8.753683E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.650631E-6 | 1.0657558E-5 | 1.0657558E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.650368E-5 | 1.1193355E-4 | 1.1193355E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 5.4931775E-9 | 5.1065485E-9 | 5.1065485E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3542189E-8 | 2.1885208E-8 | 2.1885208E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8662612E-7 | 2.664524E-7 | 2.664524E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8662573E-6 | 2.7696428E-6 | 2.7696428E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Oceanic - West Huasna
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.195567E-5 | 2.7930202E-5 | 2.7930202E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3694567E-4 | 1.1969562E-4 | 1.1969562E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016660384 | 0.0014563631 | 0.001476334 | 1.0137129 | 2.0E-5 | 0.016536033 | 0.0144727435 | 0.0145121645 | 1.0027238 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1156782E-5 | 1.7575629E-5 | 1.7575629E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.066878E-5 | 7.5322E-5 | 7.5322E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011033333 | 9.166689E-4 | 9.2665973E-4 | 1.0108991 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010978713 | 0.009129886 | 0.009159612 | 1.003256 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6195117E-5 | 1.3328378E-5 | 1.3328378E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9405796E-5 | 5.7120385E-5 | 5.7120385E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.44688E-4 | 6.952214E-4 | 7.0521445E-4 | 1.0143739 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008414844 | 0.0069307587 | 0.006960551 | 1.0042986 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3559345E-5 | 1.1179985E-5 | 1.1179985E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.811018E-5 | 4.791335E-5 | 4.791335E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.072618E-4 | 5.8318983E-4 | 5.93184E-4 | 1.017137 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0070501505 | 0.0058167125 | 0.005846538 | 1.0051275 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2120619E-5 | 1.0001685E-5 | 1.0001685E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1944477E-5 | 4.286366E-5 | 4.286366E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.322405E-4 | 5.217406E-4 | 5.317354E-4 | 1.0191566 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006304447 | 0.0052052243 | 0.00522512 | 1.0038223 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.13511915E-5 | 9.368132E-6 | 9.368132E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8647056E-5 | 4.0148523E-5 | 4.0148523E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9211696E-4 | 4.8869906E-4 | 4.986942E-4 | 1.0204525 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0059054173 | 0.004876303 | 0.0048962054 | 1.0040815 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.850605E-6 | 8.13598E-6 | 8.13598E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2216197E-5 | 3.4868022E-5 | 3.4868022E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1386096E-4 | 4.2443568E-4 | 4.3443145E-4 | 1.0235507 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051267436 | 0.0042362832 | 0.0042462405 | 1.0023506 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.8558645E-6 | 7.318955E-6 | 7.318955E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7953152E-5 | 3.1366573E-5 | 3.1366573E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6198163E-4 | 3.818213E-4 | 3.818213E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004610224 | 0.0038116782 | 0.0038116782 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 7.67136E-6 | 6.3922334E-6 | 6.3922334E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2876844E-5 | 2.7395E-5 | 2.7395E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0020206E-4 | 3.3348324E-4 | 3.3348324E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003994821 | 0.003329849 | 0.003329849 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 6.534529E-6 | 5.458756E-6 | 5.458756E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8004823E-5 | 2.3394457E-5 | 2.3394457E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4090536E-4 | 2.8479044E-4 | 2.8479044E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034038287 | 0.0028442715 | 0.0028442715 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 5.460525E-6 | 4.5702755E-6 | 4.5702755E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3402039E-5 | 1.9586749E-5 | 1.9586749E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8488258E-4 | 2.3844268E-4 | 2.3844268E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028451765 | 0.0023818824 | 0.0023818824 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 4.4825083E-6 | 3.752749E-6 | 3.752749E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9210609E-5 | 1.6083111E-5 | 1.6083111E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3386406E-4 | 1.9579439E-4 | 1.9579439E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002336181 | 0.001956231 | 0.001956231 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.821708E-6 | 2.425235E-6 | 2.425235E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2092979E-5 | 1.0393823E-5 | 1.0393823E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4722206E-4 | 1.2653746E-4 | 1.2653746E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014712457 | 0.0012646565 | 0.0012646565 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.0644757E-6 | 1.7690159E-6 | 1.7690159E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.847723E-6 | 7.5814746E-6 | 7.5814746E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0771569E-4 | 9.230055E-5 | 9.230055E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001076635 | 9.226239E-4 | 9.226239E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.6980367E-6 | 1.4382155E-6 | 1.4382155E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.27728E-6 | 6.163766E-6 | 6.163766E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8597284E-5 | 7.504127E-5 | 7.504127E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8561967E-4 | 7.5016095E-4 | 7.5016095E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3637683E-6 | 1.130478E-6 | 1.130478E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.844708E-6 | 4.844897E-6 | 4.844897E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1156996E-5 | 5.8985024E-5 | 5.8985024E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1134215E-4 | 5.8969524E-4 | 5.8969524E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 9.802994E-7 | 7.6792537E-7 | 7.6792537E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2012766E-6 | 3.2911046E-6 | 3.2911046E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1149345E-5 | 4.0068462E-5 | 4.0068462E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.113757E-4 | 4.0061385E-4 | 4.0061385E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.986191E-7 | 4.0066794E-7 | 4.0066794E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5655079E-6 | 1.7171471E-6 | 1.7171471E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1234613E-5 | 2.0906065E-5 | 2.0906065E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.123022E-4 | 2.090424E-4 | 2.090424E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.9189815E-7 | 1.5299148E-7 | 1.5299148E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2509914E-6 | 6.556775E-7 | 6.556775E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5230714E-5 | 7.982845E-6 | 7.982845E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.522967E-4 | 7.982694E-5 | 7.982694E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.2057845E-7 | 4.6285937E-8 | 4.6285937E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1676466E-7 | 1.9836828E-7 | 1.9836828E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2915915E-6 | 2.4151311E-6 | 2.4151311E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2914136E-5 | 2.41524E-5 | 2.41524E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 3.3806387E-9 | 9.039536E-10 | 9.039536E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4488451E-8 | 3.8740873E-9 | 3.8740873E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7639688E-7 | 4.716701E-8 | 4.716701E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7639674E-6 | 4.7282526E-7 | 4.7282526E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Deep Springs
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.3117118E-5 | 2.3117118E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.9072466E-5 | 9.9072466E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012060476 | 0.0012160356 | 1.0082816 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010283757 | 0.012044821 | 0.01208434 | 1.0032809 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.3117118E-5 | 2.3117118E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.9072466E-5 | 9.9072466E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012060476 | 0.0012160356 | 1.0082816 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010283757 | 0.012044821 | 0.01208434 | 1.0032809 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.3117118E-5 | 2.3117118E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.9072466E-5 | 9.9072466E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012060476 | 0.0012160356 | 1.0082816 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010283757 | 0.012044821 | 0.01208434 | 1.0032809 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.3117118E-5 | 2.3117118E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.9072466E-5 | 9.9072466E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012060476 | 0.0012160356 | 1.0082816 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010283757 | 0.012044821 | 0.01208434 | 1.0032809 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.3117118E-5 | 2.3117118E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.9072466E-5 | 9.9072466E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012060476 | 0.0012160356 | 1.0082816 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010283757 | 0.012044821 | 0.01208434 | 1.0032809 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.7190405E-5 | 2.005454E-5 | 2.005454E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.367108E-5 | 8.594803E-5 | 8.594803E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9657627E-4 | 0.0010464169 | 0.0010564065 | 1.0095464 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008929676 | 0.010464137 | 0.010503719 | 1.0037826 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.7190405E-5 | 2.005454E-5 | 2.005454E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.367108E-5 | 8.594803E-5 | 8.594803E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9657627E-4 | 0.0010464169 | 0.0010564065 | 1.0095464 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008929676 | 0.010464137 | 0.010503719 | 1.0037826 | 4.0E-5 |
Brawley (Seismic Zone) alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2521618E-4 | 4.771416E-4 | 4.771416E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.6485513E-4 | 0.002043327 | 0.002043327 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011683988 | 0.024581876 | 0.024581876 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.11088423 | 0.21377432 | 0.21380578 | 1.0001471 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.2521618E-4 | 4.771416E-4 | 4.771416E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.6485513E-4 | 0.002043327 | 0.002043327 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011683988 | 0.024581876 | 0.024581876 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.11088423 | 0.21377432 | 0.21380578 | 1.0001471 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.198148E-4 | 4.679672E-4 | 4.679672E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.417233E-4 | 0.002004069 | 0.002004069 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011405343 | 0.024115296 | 0.024115296 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.10837428 | 0.21020646 | 0.21023805 | 1.0001503 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.1704129E-4 | 4.6232107E-4 | 4.6232107E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.298453E-4 | 0.0019799082 | 0.0019799082 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011262234 | 0.023828806 | 0.023828806 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.107082725 | 0.20809753 | 0.20812921 | 1.0001522 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.876142E-4 | 4.0121854E-4 | 4.0121854E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.038131E-4 | 0.0017183892 | 0.0017183892 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00974259 | 0.020715658 | 0.020715658 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.093263686 | 0.18484974 | 0.18488234 | 1.0001764 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.7390939E-4 | 3.7551153E-4 | 3.7551153E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.45113E-4 | 0.0016083547 | 0.0016083547 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009034078 | 0.019402945 | 0.019402945 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.086755216 | 0.17466705 | 0.17470005 | 1.0001891 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.591791E-4 | 3.49622E-4 | 3.49622E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8201777E-4 | 0.0014975297 | 0.0014975297 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008271996 | 0.018080225 | 0.018080225 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.07970774 | 0.16406709 | 0.16410053 | 1.0002038 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.4268003E-4 | 3.2124235E-4 | 3.2124235E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1134255E-4 | 0.0013760347 | 0.0013760347 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007417723 | 0.016624182 | 0.016624182 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.07174956 | 0.15218537 | 0.15221928 | 1.0002228 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.239713E-4 | 2.910959E-4 | 2.910959E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3119735E-4 | 0.0012469636 | 0.0012469636 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0064481674 | 0.015077538 | 0.015077538 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.06264243 | 0.13860303 | 0.13863748 | 1.0002486 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.0180238E-4 | 2.6297927E-4 | 2.6297927E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3622297E-4 | 0.0011265714 | 0.0011265714 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005298089 | 0.0136307515 | 0.0136307515 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.05173543 | 0.1251414 | 0.12517639 | 1.0002797 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.6619996E-5 | 2.2432642E-4 | 2.2432642E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.283301E-4 | 9.610479E-4 | 9.610479E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039900932 | 0.011638695 | 0.011638695 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.039192066 | 0.10740595 | 0.10744166 | 1.0003325 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.5127435E-5 | 2.2115385E-4 | 2.2115385E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2193496E-4 | 9.474612E-4 | 9.474612E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039125155 | 0.01147503 | 0.01147503 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.038443442 | 0.10596854 | 0.106004305 | 1.0003375 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.788582E-5 | 2.0241986E-4 | 2.0241986E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9090676E-4 | 8.672283E-4 | 8.672283E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035360386 | 0.01050803 | 0.01050803 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.034803 | 0.09763551 | 0.097671606 | 1.0003697 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.399602E-5 | 1.88716E-4 | 1.88716E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7423984E-4 | 8.08535E-4 | 8.08535E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033337586 | 0.009800075 | 0.009800075 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.03284188 | 0.09152682 | 0.09156316 | 1.0003971 | 4.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.506759E-5 | 1.2553256E-4 | 1.2553256E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9313251E-4 | 5.3788663E-4 | 5.3788663E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023488526 | 0.0065292814 | 0.0065292814 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.023241805 | 0.06246952 | 0.06250702 | 1.0006003 | 4.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.43289E-5 | 9.355709E-5 | 9.355709E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4711556E-4 | 4.008977E-4 | 4.008977E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017896603 | 0.0048700683 | 0.0048700683 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01775316 | 0.04714583 | 0.047183942 | 1.0008085 | 4.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.5980507E-5 | 7.070754E-5 | 7.070754E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1134028E-4 | 3.029972E-4 | 3.029972E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001354725 | 0.0036827754 | 0.0036827754 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013464959 | 0.03592024 | 0.035949163 | 1.0008051 | 3.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.7292105E-5 | 4.955776E-5 | 4.955776E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4106916E-5 | 2.1237314E-4 | 2.1237314E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.018782E-4 | 0.0025825829 | 0.0025825829 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008982267 | 0.02535887 | 0.02538811 | 1.001153 | 3.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.2927471E-5 | 3.982433E-5 | 3.982433E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5402274E-5 | 1.7066454E-4 | 1.7066454E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.743139E-4 | 0.0020758633 | 0.0020758633 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0067227143 | 0.02049131 | 0.0205109 | 1.000956 | 2.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.0200774E-5 | 2.8851307E-5 | 2.8851307E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.371687E-5 | 1.236426E-4 | 1.236426E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.321229E-4 | 0.0015043103 | 0.0015043103 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005308505 | 0.015040315 | 0.015060014 | 1.0013098 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 8.650396E-6 | 2.3367775E-5 | 2.3367775E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.70726E-5 | 1.0014376E-4 | 1.0014376E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5126543E-4 | 0.0012185692 | 0.0012185692 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045035016 | 0.012252972 | 0.012272728 | 1.0016123 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 3.9368224E-6 | 7.366283E-6 | 7.366283E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6871985E-5 | 3.15694E-5 | 3.15694E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0539707E-4 | 3.8428983E-4 | 3.8428983E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020520731 | 0.0040199994 | 0.0040299594 | 1.0024775 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 1.7101195E-6 | 2.2327079E-6 | 2.2327079E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.329063E-6 | 9.568713E-6 | 9.568713E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.922769E-5 | 1.1649288E-4 | 1.1649288E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9191867E-4 | 0.0012742666 | 0.0012842539 | 1.0078377 | 1.0E-5 |
8.3 | 3.0346666E-8 | 1.736578E-8 | 1.736578E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3005713E-7 | 7.4424776E-8 | 7.4424776E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5834444E-6 | 9.061215E-7 | 9.061215E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5834332E-5 | 9.446433E-6 | 9.446433E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Raymond
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5157413E-5 | 1.5812455E-5 | 1.5812455E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4958724E-5 | 6.776604E-5 | 6.776604E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.905855E-4 | 8.247644E-4 | 8.447479E-4 | 1.0242294 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007877788 | 0.0082195485 | 0.00825922 | 1.0048264 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.5157413E-5 | 1.5812455E-5 | 1.5812455E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4958724E-5 | 6.776604E-5 | 6.776604E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.905855E-4 | 8.247644E-4 | 8.447479E-4 | 1.0242294 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007877788 | 0.0082195485 | 0.00825922 | 1.0048264 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.5157413E-5 | 1.5812455E-5 | 1.5812455E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4958724E-5 | 6.776604E-5 | 6.776604E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.905855E-4 | 8.247644E-4 | 8.447479E-4 | 1.0242294 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007877788 | 0.0082195485 | 0.00825922 | 1.0048264 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.5157413E-5 | 1.5812455E-5 | 1.5812455E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4958724E-5 | 6.776604E-5 | 6.776604E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.905855E-4 | 8.247644E-4 | 8.447479E-4 | 1.0242294 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007877788 | 0.0082195485 | 0.00825922 | 1.0048264 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.3941944E-5 | 1.4456831E-5 | 1.4456831E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9749822E-5 | 6.195651E-5 | 6.195651E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2721124E-4 | 7.5408275E-4 | 7.7406765E-4 | 1.0265023 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007248361 | 0.0075175697 | 0.007557269 | 1.0052809 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3941944E-5 | 1.4456831E-5 | 1.4456831E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9749822E-5 | 6.195651E-5 | 6.195651E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2721124E-4 | 7.5408275E-4 | 7.7406765E-4 | 1.0265023 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007248361 | 0.0075175697 | 0.007557269 | 1.0052809 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0542609E-5 | 1.0672743E-5 | 1.0672743E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5181827E-5 | 4.5739554E-5 | 4.5739554E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.499499E-4 | 5.5674225E-4 | 5.667367E-4 | 1.0179516 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005485909 | 0.005554032 | 0.005573921 | 1.003581 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.0542609E-5 | 1.0672743E-5 | 1.0672743E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5181827E-5 | 4.5739554E-5 | 4.5739554E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.499499E-4 | 5.5674225E-4 | 5.667367E-4 | 1.0179516 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005485909 | 0.005554032 | 0.005573921 | 1.003581 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0079132E-5 | 1.0178235E-5 | 1.0178235E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3195567E-5 | 4.362031E-5 | 4.362031E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.257791E-4 | 5.309532E-4 | 5.4094795E-4 | 1.0188241 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0052453685 | 0.005297392 | 0.005317286 | 1.0037555 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.721598E-6 | 7.550131E-6 | 7.550131E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3092143E-5 | 3.235731E-5 | 3.235731E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0282236E-4 | 3.9388024E-4 | 4.038763E-4 | 1.0253785 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0040209293 | 0.003931951 | 0.0039419113 | 1.0025333 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.137566E-6 | 6.9124617E-6 | 6.9124617E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.058921E-5 | 2.9624505E-5 | 2.9624505E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7236E-4 | 3.6061974E-4 | 3.7061612E-4 | 1.0277201 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037173668 | 0.0036004595 | 0.0036104235 | 1.0027674 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.654976E-6 | 5.300528E-6 | 5.300528E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4235387E-5 | 2.2716353E-5 | 2.2716353E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9502588E-4 | 2.765367E-4 | 2.765367E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029463451 | 0.0027619526 | 0.0027619526 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 4.9358455E-6 | 4.527568E-6 | 4.527568E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1153453E-5 | 1.940372E-5 | 1.940372E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5751285E-4 | 2.3621481E-4 | 2.3621481E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025721465 | 0.0023596552 | 0.0023596552 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 4.2368597E-6 | 3.8064595E-6 | 3.8064595E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8157843E-5 | 1.6313295E-5 | 1.6313295E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2104931E-4 | 1.9859639E-4 | 1.9859639E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022082955 | 0.0019842035 | 0.0019842035 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.4999923E-6 | 3.0445055E-6 | 3.0445055E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.49998805E-5 | 1.3047816E-5 | 1.3047816E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8260824E-4 | 1.5884565E-4 | 1.5884565E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018245826 | 0.0015873326 | 0.0015873326 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.738017E-6 | 2.3026182E-6 | 2.3026182E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1734306E-5 | 9.868327E-6 | 9.868327E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.428558E-4 | 1.2014032E-4 | 1.2014032E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014276401 | 0.0012007637 | 0.0012007637 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.8186392E-6 | 1.4427128E-6 | 1.4427128E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.794145E-6 | 6.1830406E-6 | 6.1830406E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.488958E-5 | 7.527596E-5 | 7.527596E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4849075E-4 | 7.5251184E-4 | 7.5251184E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.0660348E-6 | 7.6470553E-7 | 7.6470553E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5687125E-6 | 3.2773053E-6 | 3.2773053E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5622655E-5 | 3.990048E-5 | 3.990048E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5608735E-4 | 3.98938E-4 | 3.98938E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 6.913602E-7 | 4.3230736E-7 | 4.3230736E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.962969E-6 | 1.8527445E-6 | 1.8527445E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.607355E-5 | 2.2556937E-5 | 2.2556937E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6067693E-4 | 2.2554798E-4 | 2.2554798E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.425201E-8 | 5.324888E-8 | 5.324888E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1822285E-7 | 2.2820947E-7 | 2.2820947E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.874356E-6 | 2.778448E-6 | 2.778448E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8742884E-5 | 2.7784265E-5 | 2.7784265E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 09 (Laguna Seca)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.4353277E-5 | 7.052731E-5 | 7.052731E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3292181E-4 | 3.0222215E-4 | 3.0222215E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028321352 | 0.0036733611 | 0.0036833244 | 1.0027122 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02796312 | 0.03612873 | 0.036157645 | 1.0008004 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.5578287E-5 | 5.8241683E-5 | 5.8241683E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.953209E-4 | 2.495828E-4 | 2.495828E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023754383 | 0.003034439 | 0.0030444087 | 1.0032855 | 1.0E-5 | 0.023502063 | 0.02993027 | 0.02994967 | 1.0006483 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.8536782E-5 | 3.474742E-5 | 3.474742E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2229476E-4 | 1.489091E-4 | 1.489091E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014879217 | 0.0018114393 | 0.0018214212 | 1.0055104 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014779986 | 0.01796393 | 0.01798357 | 1.0010934 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3698774E-5 | 2.8221932E-5 | 2.8221932E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.01562226E-4 | 1.20945486E-4 | 1.20945486E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012358186 | 0.0014715013 | 0.0014814866 | 1.0067858 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012289686 | 0.014615848 | 0.014635555 | 1.0013484 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.9191197E-5 | 2.2129205E-5 | 2.2129205E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2245395E-5 | 9.483588E-5 | 9.483588E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010008777 | 0.0011540169 | 0.0011540169 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009963818 | 0.011480222 | 0.0114901075 | 1.000861 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5203241E-5 | 1.6805468E-5 | 1.6805468E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5155116E-5 | 7.202163E-5 | 7.202163E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9297484E-4 | 8.7652303E-4 | 8.7652303E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007901512 | 0.008731767 | 0.00874168 | 1.0011352 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0984925E-5 | 1.1244793E-5 | 1.1244793E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.70774E-5 | 4.8191105E-5 | 4.8191105E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.730166E-4 | 5.865726E-4 | 5.865726E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005715413 | 0.0058506345 | 0.0058506345 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 9.134616E-6 | 9.02157E-6 | 9.02157E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9147766E-5 | 3.866331E-5 | 3.866331E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7651984E-4 | 4.7062652E-4 | 4.7062652E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004754993 | 0.004696544 | 0.004696544 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 7.785589E-6 | 7.453316E-6 | 7.453316E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3366385E-5 | 3.1942403E-5 | 3.1942403E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0616E-4 | 3.8883137E-4 | 3.8883137E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040541845 | 0.0038817143 | 0.0038817143 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 5.579095E-6 | 4.8993843E-6 | 4.8993843E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3910188E-5 | 2.09972E-5 | 2.09972E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9106764E-4 | 2.556123E-4 | 2.556123E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002906867 | 0.0025533203 | 0.0025533203 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.6816688E-6 | 1.5218363E-6 | 1.5218363E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1492816E-5 | 6.52214E-6 | 6.52214E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3991605E-4 | 7.940425E-5 | 7.940425E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013982799 | 7.937675E-4 | 7.937675E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.9951021E-6 | 7.454853E-7 | 7.454853E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.55041E-6 | 3.1949332E-6 | 3.1949332E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0409627E-4 | 3.889766E-5 | 3.889766E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010404752 | 3.8891265E-4 | 3.8891265E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.9951021E-6 | 7.454853E-7 | 7.454853E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.55041E-6 | 3.1949332E-6 | 3.1949332E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0409627E-4 | 3.889766E-5 | 3.889766E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010404752 | 3.8891265E-4 | 3.8891265E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.7087556E-6 | 6.579761E-7 | 6.579761E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3232177E-6 | 2.819895E-6 | 2.819895E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.915652E-5 | 3.433172E-5 | 3.433172E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9120766E-4 | 3.432682E-4 | 3.432682E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.3804846E-6 | 6.074624E-7 | 6.074624E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.916349E-6 | 2.6034081E-6 | 2.6034081E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2029165E-5 | 3.1696072E-5 | 3.1696072E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.200583E-4 | 3.1691956E-4 | 3.1691956E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3804846E-6 | 6.074624E-7 | 6.074624E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.916349E-6 | 2.6034081E-6 | 2.6034081E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2029165E-5 | 3.1696072E-5 | 3.1696072E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.200583E-4 | 3.1691956E-4 | 3.1691956E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Imperial
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.7496446E-4 | 5.0670496E-4 | 5.0670496E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011778869 | 0.0021698247 | 0.0021698247 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0142467655 | 0.026084317 | 0.026084317 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.13367249 | 0.22842082 | 0.22845168 | 1.0001351 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.5356023E-4 | 4.875966E-4 | 4.875966E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001086234 | 0.0020880646 | 0.0020880646 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013144928 | 0.025118658 | 0.025118658 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.123940155 | 0.21981834 | 0.21984956 | 1.000142 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.4820742E-4 | 4.7853042E-4 | 4.7853042E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010633124 | 0.0020492708 | 0.0020492708 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01286919 | 0.024657842 | 0.024657842 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.12148927 | 0.21631998 | 0.21635133 | 1.000145 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3205351E-4 | 4.598045E-4 | 4.598045E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.94136E-4 | 0.0019691393 | 0.0019691393 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012036599 | 0.023703504 | 0.023703504 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.11405133 | 0.20824504 | 0.2082767 | 1.0001521 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0304754E-4 | 3.996411E-4 | 3.996411E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6991355E-4 | 0.0017116381 | 0.0017116381 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010539869 | 0.020637978 | 0.020637978 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.100537635 | 0.18538003 | 0.18541262 | 1.0001757 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.854992E-4 | 3.707083E-4 | 3.707083E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9475436E-4 | 0.0015877949 | 0.0015877949 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009633281 | 0.019154143 | 0.019154143 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0922623 | 0.17359129 | 0.17362435 | 1.0001904 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.6586106E-4 | 3.410893E-4 | 3.410893E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.106394E-4 | 0.0014610025 | 0.0014610025 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008617763 | 0.017645005 | 0.017645005 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.08291132 | 0.16104749 | 0.16108105 | 1.0002084 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.4224656E-4 | 3.0831824E-4 | 3.0831824E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.094856E-4 | 0.0013207031 | 0.0013207031 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0073952693 | 0.015960598 | 0.015960598 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.07153955 | 0.14673528 | 0.1467694 | 1.0002326 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2317259E-4 | 2.78458E-4 | 2.78458E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2777573E-4 | 0.0011928519 | 0.0011928519 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0064067547 | 0.014427653 | 0.014427653 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.06225166 | 0.1331596 | 0.13319427 | 1.0002604 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.859898E-5 | 2.5055284E-4 | 2.5055284E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2249862E-4 | 0.0010733603 | 0.0010733603 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051317946 | 0.012990825 | 0.012990825 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.05014893 | 0.119576946 | 0.11961216 | 1.0002946 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.3191884E-5 | 2.1297418E-4 | 2.1297418E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.136418E-4 | 9.124304E-4 | 9.124304E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003811904 | 0.011052945 | 0.011052945 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.037471764 | 0.102193736 | 0.10222965 | 1.0003514 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.1760296E-5 | 2.0998367E-4 | 2.0998367E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0750787E-4 | 8.9962286E-4 | 8.9962286E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003737482 | 0.010898583 | 0.010898583 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.03675245 | 0.10082884 | 0.10086481 | 1.0003567 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.46614E-5 | 1.9165789E-4 | 1.9165789E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7709085E-4 | 8.211354E-4 | 8.211354E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033683628 | 0.0099521205 | 0.0099521205 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.033177625 | 0.09263275 | 0.09266905 | 1.0003918 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.088115E-5 | 1.783619E-4 | 1.783619E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6089314E-4 | 7.641871E-4 | 7.641871E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031717476 | 0.009264864 | 0.009264864 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.031268585 | 0.08668008 | 0.08671661 | 1.0004215 | 4.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.199346E-5 | 1.1531748E-4 | 1.1531748E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7995955E-4 | 4.9412507E-4 | 4.9412507E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021888057 | 0.005999548 | 0.005999548 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.02167372 | 0.057534654 | 0.057572354 | 1.0006552 | 4.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.130448E-5 | 8.350922E-5 | 8.350922E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3415517E-4 | 3.5784786E-4 | 3.5784786E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016321153 | 0.004348154 | 0.004348154 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016201803 | 0.04221147 | 0.04224978 | 1.0009077 | 4.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.3074248E-5 | 6.0994786E-5 | 6.0994786E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.888588E-5 | 2.6138016E-4 | 2.6138016E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012032706 | 0.003177683 | 0.003177683 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011967761 | 0.031094514 | 0.031123582 | 1.0009348 | 3.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.45864815E-5 | 4.0249026E-5 | 4.0249026E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2511994E-5 | 1.7248445E-4 | 1.7248445E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.608177E-4 | 0.002097981 | 0.002097981 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007582182 | 0.02068488 | 0.020714259 | 1.0014204 | 3.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.0352979E-5 | 3.1066695E-5 | 3.1066695E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4369157E-5 | 1.331362E-4 | 1.331362E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.400606E-4 | 0.0016197305 | 0.0016197305 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0053875 | 0.016065339 | 0.016085017 | 1.0012249 | 2.0E-5 |
7.9 | 8.137906E-6 | 2.2233762E-5 | 2.2233762E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4876273E-5 | 9.528408E-5 | 9.528408E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2453592E-4 | 0.0011594672 | 0.0011594672 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004237258 | 0.011657234 | 0.011677002 | 1.0016956 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 6.93792E-6 | 1.8081446E-5 | 1.8081446E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9733603E-5 | 7.748962E-5 | 7.748962E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6194647E-4 | 9.430285E-4 | 9.430285E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036135751 | 0.009535417 | 0.009555226 | 1.0020775 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 3.4286315E-6 | 6.4132582E-6 | 6.4132582E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4694053E-5 | 2.7485105E-5 | 2.7485105E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7888541E-4 | 3.3457988E-4 | 3.3457988E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017874148 | 0.0035024078 | 0.0035123727 | 1.0028452 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 1.4906886E-6 | 1.9495847E-6 | 1.9495847E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3886496E-6 | 8.355337E-6 | 8.355337E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7779034E-5 | 1.017215E-4 | 1.017215E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.775182E-4 | 0.0011141391 | 0.001124128 | 1.0089655 | 1.0E-5 |
8.3 | 2.5758007E-8 | 1.46271075E-8 | 1.46271075E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10391454E-7 | 6.2687604E-8 | 6.2687604E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3440151E-6 | 7.632215E-7 | 7.632215E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.344007E-5 | 7.9544325E-6 | 7.9544325E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
White Wolf (Extension)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.222555E-6 | 6.066976E-6 | 6.066976E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5239045E-5 | 2.6001104E-5 | 2.6001104E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.289509E-4 | 3.165241E-4 | 3.3651775E-4 | 1.0631664 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0042812387 | 0.0031613845 | 0.0032012581 | 1.0126127 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 8.222555E-6 | 6.066976E-6 | 6.066976E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5239045E-5 | 2.6001104E-5 | 2.6001104E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.289509E-4 | 3.165241E-4 | 3.3651775E-4 | 1.0631664 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0042812387 | 0.0031613845 | 0.0032012581 | 1.0126127 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 8.222555E-6 | 6.066976E-6 | 6.066976E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5239045E-5 | 2.6001104E-5 | 2.6001104E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.289509E-4 | 3.165241E-4 | 3.3651775E-4 | 1.0631664 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0042812387 | 0.0031613845 | 0.0032012581 | 1.0126127 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 8.222555E-6 | 6.066976E-6 | 6.066976E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5239045E-5 | 2.6001104E-5 | 2.6001104E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.289509E-4 | 3.165241E-4 | 3.3651775E-4 | 1.0631664 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0042812387 | 0.0031613845 | 0.0032012581 | 1.0126127 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 5.821773E-6 | 3.5573512E-6 | 3.5573512E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4950215E-5 | 1.5245708E-5 | 1.5245708E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0372653E-4 | 1.8560178E-4 | 2.0559807E-4 | 1.1077375 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0030331176 | 0.001854576 | 0.001874539 | 1.0107641 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.766023E-6 | 3.4992825E-6 | 3.4992825E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4711293E-5 | 1.4996845E-5 | 1.4996845E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0081844E-4 | 1.8257237E-4 | 2.0256873E-4 | 1.1095256 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0030041158 | 0.001824332 | 0.0018442955 | 1.0109429 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.643576E-6 | 2.3327411E-6 | 2.3327411E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9900888E-5 | 9.997427E-6 | 9.997427E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4226638E-4 | 1.217123E-4 | 1.217123E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024200242 | 0.0012164988 | 0.0012164988 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 3.9529173E-6 | 1.6484325E-6 | 1.6484325E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6940963E-5 | 7.064693E-6 | 7.064693E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0623671E-4 | 8.600943E-5 | 8.600943E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002060454 | 8.5977995E-4 | 8.5977995E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 3.4377522E-6 | 1.2245888E-6 | 1.2245888E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.473314E-5 | 5.248228E-6 | 5.248228E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7936122E-4 | 6.389539E-5 | 6.389539E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017921652 | 6.387793E-4 | 6.387793E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 3.1367306E-6 | 1.0034306E-6 | 1.0034306E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3443062E-5 | 4.30041E-6 | 4.30041E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.63657E-4 | 5.2356314E-5 | 5.2356314E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016353652 | 5.234474E-4 | 5.234474E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.8298145E-6 | 7.429086E-7 | 7.429086E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2127721E-5 | 3.1838904E-6 | 3.1838904E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.47645E-4 | 3.8763228E-5 | 3.8763228E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014754693 | 3.8756966E-4 | 3.8756966E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.4091064E-6 | 5.4230617E-7 | 5.4230617E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.03247E-5 | 2.3241676E-6 | 2.3241676E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2569598E-4 | 2.8296414E-5 | 2.8296414E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001256249 | 2.8293216E-4 | 2.8293216E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.3875518E-6 | 1.0743683E-7 | 1.0743683E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9466374E-6 | 4.6044352E-7 | 4.6044352E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.23979E-5 | 5.6058866E-6 | 5.6058866E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2374323E-4 | 5.6057565E-5 | 5.6057565E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 7.056077E-7 | 5.0022145E-8 | 5.0022145E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0240296E-6 | 2.143806E-7 | 2.143806E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.681694E-5 | 2.610081E-6 | 2.610081E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.681084E-4 | 2.6100552E-5 | 2.6100552E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.9334678E-8 | 4.8646855E-9 | 4.8646855E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5429145E-7 | 2.084865E-8 | 2.084865E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.095994E-6 | 2.5383233E-7 | 2.5383233E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.095951E-5 | 2.5383215E-6 | 2.5383215E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Clemente
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.681379E-5 | 8.165966E-5 | 8.165966E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8631336E-4 | 3.4992624E-4 | 3.4992624E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003480294 | 0.0042525334 | 0.0042824056 | 1.0070246 | 3.0E-5 | 0.03426291 | 0.04176682 | 0.041805148 | 1.0009177 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.681379E-5 | 8.165966E-5 | 8.165966E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8631336E-4 | 3.4992624E-4 | 3.4992624E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003480294 | 0.0042525334 | 0.0042824056 | 1.0070246 | 3.0E-5 | 0.03426291 | 0.04176682 | 0.041805148 | 1.0009177 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.9400576E-5 | 4.646242E-5 | 4.646242E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6884868E-4 | 1.9910977E-4 | 1.9910977E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020537945 | 0.0024215193 | 0.002431495 | 1.0041196 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020349167 | 0.023957992 | 0.023967752 | 1.0004073 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.2590255E-5 | 3.7936574E-5 | 3.7936574E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3966505E-4 | 1.6257538E-4 | 1.6257538E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016990956 | 0.001977589 | 0.001987569 | 1.0050466 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01686163 | 0.0196037 | 0.019613504 | 1.0005001 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.9454652E-5 | 3.4104218E-5 | 3.4104218E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2622811E-4 | 1.4615289E-4 | 1.4615289E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015357438 | 0.0017779854 | 0.0017879675 | 1.0056144 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015251739 | 0.017640777 | 0.0176506 | 1.0005568 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.790836E-5 | 3.225348E-5 | 3.225348E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1960178E-4 | 1.3822202E-4 | 1.3822202E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001455179 | 0.0016815796 | 0.0016915628 | 1.0059367 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014456868 | 0.016691571 | 0.016701404 | 1.0005891 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.2492153E-5 | 2.5767185E-5 | 2.5767185E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.639138E-5 | 1.10426205E-4 | 1.10426205E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011729331 | 0.0013436247 | 0.0013436247 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011667615 | 0.013356726 | 0.013356726 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.9862755E-5 | 2.2670249E-5 | 2.2670249E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.512331E-5 | 9.7154654E-5 | 9.7154654E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010358836 | 0.0011822274 | 0.0011822274 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010310682 | 0.011760674 | 0.011760674 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.6697575E-5 | 1.8980805E-5 | 1.8980805E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.155907E-5 | 8.1343824E-5 | 8.1343824E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7088346E-4 | 9.899205E-4 | 9.899205E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008674784 | 0.0098561365 | 0.0098561365 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.5218415E-5 | 1.7272181E-5 | 1.7272181E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.522015E-5 | 7.402158E-5 | 7.402158E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.93766E-4 | 9.0084894E-4 | 9.0084894E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007909367 | 0.008972918 | 0.008972918 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.2392958E-5 | 1.4035233E-5 | 1.4035233E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3111595E-5 | 6.0149654E-5 | 6.0149654E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4644177E-4 | 7.320836E-4 | 7.320836E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0064456454 | 0.0072975056 | 0.0072975056 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.0934128E-5 | 1.2377085E-5 | 1.2377085E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6859706E-5 | 5.3043612E-5 | 5.3043612E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7036756E-4 | 6.4562197E-4 | 6.4562197E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0056890585 | 0.0064382097 | 0.0064382097 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 9.5798805E-6 | 1.0846645E-5 | 1.0846645E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1055984E-5 | 4.6484834E-5 | 4.6484834E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9974193E-4 | 5.658131E-4 | 5.658131E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0049861963 | 0.005644449 | 0.005644449 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 8.0167365E-6 | 9.085361E-6 | 9.085361E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4356988E-5 | 3.893672E-5 | 3.893672E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1821605E-4 | 4.7395853E-4 | 4.7395853E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041742986 | 0.00473018 | 0.00473018 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.9581017E-6 | 3.3629278E-6 | 3.3629278E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2677518E-5 | 1.4412497E-5 | 1.4412497E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5433785E-4 | 1.7546306E-4 | 1.7546306E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001542307 | 0.0017537405 | 0.0017537405 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Stepovers Combined)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.0667746E-5 | 3.540857E-5 | 3.540857E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.742787E-4 | 1.5174219E-4 | 1.5174219E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021197782 | 0.001845897 | 0.0018658601 | 1.0108148 | 2.0E-5 | 0.020996714 | 0.019057946 | 0.019097185 | 1.0020589 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.0667746E-5 | 3.540857E-5 | 3.540857E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.742787E-4 | 1.5174219E-4 | 1.5174219E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021197782 | 0.001845897 | 0.0018658601 | 1.0108148 | 2.0E-5 | 0.020996714 | 0.019057946 | 0.019097185 | 1.0020589 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.0667746E-5 | 3.540857E-5 | 3.540857E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.742787E-4 | 1.5174219E-4 | 1.5174219E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021197782 | 0.001845897 | 0.0018658601 | 1.0108148 | 2.0E-5 | 0.020996714 | 0.019057946 | 0.019097185 | 1.0020589 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.0667746E-5 | 3.540857E-5 | 3.540857E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.742787E-4 | 1.5174219E-4 | 1.5174219E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021197782 | 0.001845897 | 0.0018658601 | 1.0108148 | 2.0E-5 | 0.020996714 | 0.019057946 | 0.019097185 | 1.0020589 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.0577226E-5 | 3.5280424E-5 | 3.5280424E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.738908E-4 | 1.5119307E-4 | 1.5119307E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021150648 | 0.0018392238 | 0.001859187 | 1.0108541 | 2.0E-5 | 0.020950472 | 0.018992491 | 0.019031731 | 1.0020661 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.0577226E-5 | 3.5280424E-5 | 3.5280424E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.738908E-4 | 1.5119307E-4 | 1.5119307E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021150648 | 0.0018392238 | 0.001859187 | 1.0108541 | 2.0E-5 | 0.020950472 | 0.018992491 | 0.019031731 | 1.0020661 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.053861E-5 | 3.522574E-5 | 3.522574E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7372532E-4 | 1.5095875E-4 | 1.5095875E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021130538 | 0.0018363763 | 0.0018563395 | 1.010871 | 2.0E-5 | 0.020930743 | 0.018964559 | 0.0190038 | 1.0020692 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.0516545E-5 | 3.51948E-5 | 3.51948E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7363077E-4 | 1.5082616E-4 | 1.5082616E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002111905 | 0.001834765 | 0.0018547283 | 1.0108806 | 2.0E-5 | 0.020919468 | 0.018948749 | 0.01898799 | 1.0020709 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 4.049434E-5 | 3.516635E-5 | 3.516635E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7353562E-4 | 1.5070425E-4 | 1.5070425E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021107488 | 0.0018332832 | 0.0018532466 | 1.0108894 | 2.0E-5 | 0.020908125 | 0.018934157 | 0.018973399 | 1.0020726 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.046386E-5 | 3.5128895E-5 | 3.5128895E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.73405E-4 | 1.5054374E-4 | 1.5054374E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021091616 | 0.0018313322 | 0.0018512956 | 1.010901 | 2.0E-5 | 0.020892553 | 0.018914923 | 0.018954167 | 1.0020747 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.036382E-5 | 3.5009398E-5 | 3.5009398E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7297632E-4 | 1.5003167E-4 | 1.5003167E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021039525 | 0.0018251084 | 0.0018450719 | 1.0109383 | 2.0E-5 | 0.02084144 | 0.018853508 | 0.018892754 | 1.0020816 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.0343282E-5 | 3.498785E-5 | 3.498785E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7288832E-4 | 1.4993933E-4 | 1.4993933E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002102883 | 0.0018239861 | 0.0018439495 | 1.010945 | 2.0E-5 | 0.020830948 | 0.018842377 | 0.018881623 | 1.0020828 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.0257353E-5 | 3.489221E-5 | 3.489221E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.725201E-4 | 1.495295E-4 | 1.495295E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020984085 | 0.0018190048 | 0.0018389684 | 1.010975 | 2.0E-5 | 0.020787042 | 0.01879305 | 0.0188323 | 1.0020884 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.9940667E-5 | 3.471941E-5 | 3.471941E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7116306E-4 | 1.4878901E-4 | 1.4878901E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020819185 | 0.0018100042 | 0.0018299681 | 1.0110297 | 2.0E-5 | 0.020625217 | 0.01870145 | 0.018740702 | 1.0020989 | 4.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.9721202E-5 | 3.460456E-5 | 3.460456E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7022261E-4 | 1.4829685E-4 | 1.4829685E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020704903 | 0.0018040222 | 0.0018239862 | 1.0110663 | 2.0E-5 | 0.020513052 | 0.018640446 | 0.0186797 | 1.0021058 | 4.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.7036873E-5 | 3.36691E-5 | 3.36691E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5871979E-4 | 1.4428818E-4 | 1.4428818E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019307006 | 0.001755296 | 0.001775261 | 1.0113741 | 2.0E-5 | 0.019140124 | 0.018140474 | 0.018179748 | 1.002165 | 4.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.2940967E-5 | 3.1441155E-5 | 3.1441155E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4116794E-4 | 1.3474087E-4 | 1.3474087E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017173645 | 0.001639238 | 0.0016592052 | 1.0121808 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01704153 | 0.016968725 | 0.017008046 | 1.0023173 | 4.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.8236149E-5 | 2.8003718E-5 | 2.8003718E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2100645E-4 | 1.20010416E-4 | 1.20010416E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014722579 | 0.0014601486 | 0.0014801194 | 1.0136772 | 2.0E-5 | 0.014625421 | 0.015177882 | 0.015217274 | 1.0025954 | 4.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.4329287E-5 | 2.5322697E-5 | 2.5322697E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.042642E-4 | 1.0852134E-4 | 1.0852134E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012686774 | 0.0013204473 | 0.0013404209 | 1.0151263 | 2.0E-5 | 0.012614589 | 0.013772866 | 0.013802452 | 1.0021482 | 3.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.9370926E-5 | 2.05254E-5 | 2.05254E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.301561E-5 | 8.796304E-5 | 8.796304E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010102465 | 0.0010704247 | 0.0010904032 | 1.0186641 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0100566605 | 0.011254281 | 0.011283943 | 1.0026356 | 3.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.5583017E-5 | 1.5973752E-5 | 1.5973752E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6782646E-5 | 6.845714E-5 | 6.845714E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.127754E-4 | 8.331477E-4 | 8.4313937E-4 | 1.0119927 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008098091 | 0.008828189 | 0.008848012 | 1.0022454 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.0024873E-5 | 8.343467E-6 | 8.343467E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2963035E-5 | 3.5757228E-5 | 3.5757228E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.229494E-4 | 4.3525783E-4 | 4.3525783E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052172043 | 0.004680954 | 0.004690907 | 1.0021263 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 4.142796E-6 | 1.575151E-6 | 1.575151E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.775472E-5 | 6.75063E-6 | 6.75063E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1614227E-4 | 8.218585E-5 | 8.218585E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021593217 | 9.535862E-4 | 9.535862E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2750878E-6 | 3.6503315E-7 | 3.6503315E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4646503E-6 | 1.5644268E-6 | 1.5644268E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.653009E-5 | 1.9046734E-5 | 1.9046734E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6510175E-4 | 2.2960531E-4 | 2.2960531E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Red Mountain
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7599562E-5 | 4.7599562E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.0398309E-4 | 2.0398309E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024808303 | 0.0024908055 | 1.0040209 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021580452 | 0.024548976 | 0.024587994 | 1.0015894 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7599562E-5 | 4.7599562E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.0398309E-4 | 2.0398309E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024808303 | 0.0024908055 | 1.0040209 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021580452 | 0.024548976 | 0.024587994 | 1.0015894 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7599562E-5 | 4.7599562E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.0398309E-4 | 2.0398309E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024808303 | 0.0024908055 | 1.0040209 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021580452 | 0.024548976 | 0.024587994 | 1.0015894 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7599562E-5 | 4.7599562E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.0398309E-4 | 2.0398309E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024808303 | 0.0024908055 | 1.0040209 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021580452 | 0.024548976 | 0.024587994 | 1.0015894 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7599562E-5 | 4.7599562E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.0398309E-4 | 2.0398309E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024808303 | 0.0024908055 | 1.0040209 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021580452 | 0.024548976 | 0.024587994 | 1.0015894 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.154503E-5 | 3.5366513E-5 | 3.5366513E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3518598E-4 | 1.5156249E-4 | 1.5156249E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016446467 | 0.0018438036 | 0.0018537851 | 1.0054135 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01632528 | 0.018294709 | 0.018333977 | 1.0021465 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.1535834E-5 | 3.5355893E-5 | 3.5355893E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3514658E-4 | 1.5151697E-4 | 1.5151697E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016441676 | 0.0018432505 | 0.001853232 | 1.0054152 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01632056 | 0.018289268 | 0.018328536 | 1.0021471 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.8267326E-5 | 3.1475243E-5 | 3.1475243E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2114006E-4 | 1.348874E-4 | 1.348874E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014738824 | 0.0016411021 | 0.0016411021 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014641452 | 0.016298598 | 0.016328108 | 1.0018107 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.8212884E-5 | 3.1413118E-5 | 3.1413118E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.20906756E-4 | 1.3462118E-4 | 1.3462118E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014710457 | 0.0016378658 | 0.0016378658 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014613459 | 0.016266707 | 0.016296221 | 1.0018142 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.4227871E-5 | 2.6711863E-5 | 2.6711863E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.03829596E-4 | 1.1447482E-4 | 1.1447482E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012633923 | 0.0013929157 | 0.0013929157 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012562336 | 0.0138495425 | 0.013869266 | 1.0014241 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.348524E-5 | 2.5840467E-5 | 2.5840467E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0064714E-4 | 1.10740584E-4 | 1.10740584E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012246901 | 0.0013475084 | 0.0013475084 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012179627 | 0.013401015 | 0.013420747 | 1.0014725 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.2311642E-5 | 2.4467254E-5 | 2.4467254E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.561782E-5 | 1.0485586E-4 | 1.0485586E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011635252 | 0.0012759473 | 0.0012759473 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01157452 | 0.012693734 | 0.01271348 | 1.0015556 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.6533986E-5 | 1.7673345E-5 | 1.7673345E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.085802E-5 | 7.574107E-5 | 7.574107E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.623549E-4 | 9.218209E-4 | 9.218209E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008590161 | 0.009186252 | 0.00919616 | 1.0010786 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.4703092E-5 | 1.5562131E-5 | 1.5562131E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.301173E-5 | 6.669349E-5 | 6.669349E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.668978E-4 | 8.1175234E-4 | 8.1175234E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0076425658 | 0.008093949 | 0.008103869 | 1.0012255 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.1331984E-6 | 5.529435E-6 | 5.529435E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6284872E-5 | 2.3697365E-5 | 2.3697365E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.199713E-4 | 2.8847775E-4 | 2.8847775E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031951098 | 0.0028810871 | 0.0028810871 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 5.954766E-6 | 5.339045E-6 | 5.339045E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5520176E-5 | 2.2881424E-5 | 2.2881424E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1066386E-4 | 2.7854624E-4 | 2.7854624E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003102299 | 0.0027820251 | 0.0027820251 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.9726646E-6 | 4.3157424E-6 | 4.3157424E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1311245E-5 | 1.849591E-5 | 1.849591E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5943352E-4 | 2.2516477E-4 | 2.2516477E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025913084 | 0.002249401 | 0.002249401 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 3.3613894E-6 | 2.852971E-6 | 2.852971E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4405875E-5 | 1.2226962E-5 | 1.2226962E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7537741E-4 | 1.4885336E-4 | 1.4885336E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017523908 | 0.0014875629 | 0.0014875629 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.1828961E-6 | 1.0123684E-6 | 1.0123684E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.069545E-6 | 4.338715E-6 | 4.338715E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.171996E-5 | 5.28226E-5 | 5.28226E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.170282E-4 | 5.281034E-4 | 5.281034E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.2967266E-7 | 1.862065E-7 | 1.862065E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.843111E-7 | 7.9802766E-7 | 7.9802766E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.19839215E-5 | 9.715946E-6 | 9.715946E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1983275E-4 | 9.7155506E-5 | 9.7155506E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Channel Islands Thrust
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4094554E-5 | 2.4094554E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.03258884E-4 | 1.03258884E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012565585 | 0.0012565585 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011494373 | 0.012505127 | 0.0125347525 | 1.002369 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4094554E-5 | 2.4094554E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.03258884E-4 | 1.03258884E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012565585 | 0.0012565585 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011494373 | 0.012505127 | 0.0125347525 | 1.002369 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4094554E-5 | 2.4094554E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.03258884E-4 | 1.03258884E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012565585 | 0.0012565585 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011494373 | 0.012505127 | 0.0125347525 | 1.002369 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4094554E-5 | 2.4094554E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.03258884E-4 | 1.03258884E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012565585 | 0.0012565585 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011494373 | 0.012505127 | 0.0125347525 | 1.002369 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4094554E-5 | 2.4094554E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.03258884E-4 | 1.03258884E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012565585 | 0.0012565585 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011494373 | 0.012505127 | 0.0125347525 | 1.002369 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4094554E-5 | 2.4094554E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.03258884E-4 | 1.03258884E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012565585 | 0.0012565585 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011494373 | 0.012505127 | 0.0125347525 | 1.002369 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4094554E-5 | 2.4094554E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.03258884E-4 | 1.03258884E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012565585 | 0.0012565585 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011494373 | 0.012505127 | 0.0125347525 | 1.002369 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.0601296E-5 | 1.13805545E-5 | 1.13805545E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5433335E-5 | 4.877292E-5 | 4.877292E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5301044E-4 | 5.936534E-4 | 5.936534E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005516363 | 0.0059211776 | 0.005941059 | 1.0033576 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0246747E-5 | 1.0997643E-5 | 1.0997643E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.391389E-5 | 4.713193E-5 | 4.713193E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.345204E-4 | 5.736849E-4 | 5.736849E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0053323656 | 0.00572253 | 0.005742416 | 1.003475 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.049551E-6 | 9.7004895E-6 | 9.7004895E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.878322E-5 | 4.1572886E-5 | 4.1572886E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7208337E-4 | 5.0603645E-4 | 5.0603645E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0047108172 | 0.005049259 | 0.005069158 | 1.0039409 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.6542195E-6 | 9.27541E-6 | 9.27541E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7088983E-5 | 3.9751172E-5 | 3.9751172E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5146482E-4 | 4.8386713E-4 | 4.8386713E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004505487 | 0.004828548 | 0.0048484514 | 1.004122 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.391028E-6 | 8.9937075E-6 | 8.9937075E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5961057E-5 | 3.8543916E-5 | 3.8543916E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3773788E-4 | 4.691752E-4 | 4.691752E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004368766 | 0.004682257 | 0.0047021634 | 1.0042515 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 5.965188E-6 | 6.372226E-6 | 6.372226E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.556484E-5 | 2.7309257E-5 | 2.7309257E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1120746E-4 | 3.3244002E-4 | 3.3244002E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00310772 | 0.003319485 | 0.0033294521 | 1.0030025 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.877518E-6 | 5.206437E-6 | 5.206437E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0903482E-5 | 2.2313114E-5 | 2.2313114E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5447016E-4 | 2.7162876E-4 | 2.7162876E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025417898 | 0.0027130137 | 0.0027229865 | 1.0036759 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.8829853E-6 | 4.1422045E-6 | 4.1422045E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.664126E-5 | 1.7752187E-5 | 1.7752187E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0258849E-4 | 2.1611185E-4 | 2.1611185E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002024039 | 0.0021590586 | 0.0021590586 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3489616E-6 | 1.4279015E-6 | 1.4279015E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7812517E-6 | 6.1195633E-6 | 6.1195633E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.038446E-5 | 7.450318E-5 | 7.450318E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.036218E-4 | 7.44786E-4 | 7.44786E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.058192E-7 | 6.354259E-7 | 6.354259E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5963652E-6 | 2.7232513E-6 | 2.7232513E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.161029E-5 | 3.3155095E-5 | 3.3155095E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1605794E-4 | 3.315031E-4 | 3.315031E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.2170494E-7 | 2.2609457E-7 | 2.2609457E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.5016367E-7 | 9.689765E-7 | 9.689765E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1568181E-5 | 1.1797236E-5 | 1.1797236E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1567579E-4 | 1.179672E-4 | 1.179672E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.1613102E-8 | 1.546728E-8 | 1.546728E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.262757E-8 | 6.6288344E-8 | 6.6288344E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1277401E-6 | 8.0706036E-7 | 8.0706036E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1277344E-5 | 8.070582E-6 | 8.070582E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Rose Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5923203E-5 | 4.9791008E-5 | 4.9791008E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9679888E-4 | 2.1337393E-4 | 2.1337393E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023933933 | 0.002594934 | 0.002604908 | 1.0038437 | 1.0E-5 | 0.023677798 | 0.025703197 | 0.025732428 | 1.0011371 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.5923203E-5 | 4.9791008E-5 | 4.9791008E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9679888E-4 | 2.1337393E-4 | 2.1337393E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023933933 | 0.002594934 | 0.002604908 | 1.0038437 | 1.0E-5 | 0.023677798 | 0.025703197 | 0.025722684 | 1.0007582 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.8844734E-5 | 2.9738767E-5 | 2.9738767E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2361443E-4 | 1.2744583E-4 | 1.2744583E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015039665 | 0.0015505776 | 0.001560562 | 1.0064392 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0149382865 | 0.015413445 | 0.015433137 | 1.0012776 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3171577E-5 | 2.3229686E-5 | 2.3229686E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9302975E-5 | 9.9552075E-5 | 9.9552075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012083431 | 0.0012113862 | 0.0012113862 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012017938 | 0.01205956 | 0.0120694395 | 1.0008192 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0066604E-5 | 1.9709016E-5 | 1.9709016E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.599689E-5 | 8.446453E-5 | 8.446453E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010465092 | 0.0010278806 | 0.0010278806 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010415946 | 0.0102352025 | 0.010245101 | 1.000967 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.776989E-5 | 1.7138695E-5 | 1.7138695E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.615444E-5 | 7.3449526E-5 | 7.3449526E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.267859E-4 | 8.9388806E-4 | 8.9388806E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009229303 | 0.008906948 | 0.0089168595 | 1.0011127 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.5227364E-5 | 1.4347866E-5 | 1.4347866E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.52585E-5 | 6.148944E-5 | 6.148944E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.942326E-4 | 7.4838195E-4 | 7.4838195E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007914 | 0.0074535143 | 0.0074535143 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.2703898E-5 | 1.16752435E-5 | 1.16752435E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4444143E-5 | 5.0035826E-5 | 5.0035826E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.626558E-4 | 6.090201E-4 | 6.090201E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006606833 | 0.0060680574 | 0.0060680574 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.1554917E-5 | 1.0611249E-5 | 1.0611249E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9520135E-5 | 4.5476012E-5 | 4.5476012E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0274085E-4 | 5.5353384E-4 | 5.5353384E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0060110865 | 0.0055097532 | 0.0055097532 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 8.732078E-6 | 7.882884E-6 | 7.882884E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7422655E-5 | 3.378337E-5 | 3.378337E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5552556E-4 | 4.1123782E-4 | 4.1123782E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045459294 | 0.0040898263 | 0.0040898263 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 5.9337494E-6 | 5.1078678E-6 | 5.1078678E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5430107E-5 | 2.1890679E-5 | 2.1890679E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0956755E-4 | 2.6648655E-4 | 2.6648655E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030913667 | 0.0026616857 | 0.0026616857 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 5.013409E-6 | 4.1776843E-6 | 4.1776843E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1485863E-5 | 1.790424E-5 | 1.790424E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6155898E-4 | 2.1796243E-4 | 2.1796243E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026125133 | 0.002177498 | 0.002177498 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 4.120763E-6 | 3.2823734E-6 | 3.2823734E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7660293E-5 | 1.4067239E-5 | 1.4067239E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1499286E-4 | 1.7125528E-4 | 1.7125528E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021478499 | 0.0017112425 | 0.0017112425 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.2081239E-6 | 2.4407022E-6 | 2.4407022E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.374903E-5 | 1.0460111E-5 | 1.0460111E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6738157E-4 | 1.2734448E-4 | 1.2734448E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016725556 | 0.001272722 | 0.001272722 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.4194755E-6 | 1.7681864E-6 | 1.7681864E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0369139E-5 | 7.5779203E-6 | 7.5779203E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2623696E-4 | 9.225732E-5 | 9.225732E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012616527 | 9.221956E-4 | 9.221956E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3842889E-6 | 9.379281E-7 | 9.379281E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9326535E-6 | 4.019686E-6 | 4.019686E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.222766E-5 | 4.8938615E-5 | 4.8938615E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.220419E-4 | 4.892819E-4 | 4.892819E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.0021575E-6 | 6.4120934E-7 | 6.4120934E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2949537E-6 | 2.7480373E-6 | 2.7480373E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2289808E-5 | 3.345686E-5 | 3.345686E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2277505E-4 | 3.345204E-4 | 3.345204E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 8.7620116E-8 | 6.449693E-8 | 6.449693E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7551473E-7 | 2.764154E-7 | 2.764154E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5718825E-6 | 3.3653525E-6 | 3.3653525E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5717883E-5 | 3.3653043E-5 | 3.3653043E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Cayetano
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8174464E-5 | 1.8174464E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.788825E-5 | 7.788825E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012242225 | 9.478806E-4 | 9.5787115E-4 | 1.0105399 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.009439189 | 0.009468906 | 1.0031482 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8174464E-5 | 1.8174464E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.788825E-5 | 7.788825E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012242225 | 9.478806E-4 | 9.5787115E-4 | 1.0105399 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.009439189 | 0.009468906 | 1.0031482 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8174464E-5 | 1.8174464E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.788825E-5 | 7.788825E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012242225 | 9.478806E-4 | 9.5787115E-4 | 1.0105399 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.009439189 | 0.009468906 | 1.0031482 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8174464E-5 | 1.8174464E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.788825E-5 | 7.788825E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012242225 | 9.478806E-4 | 9.5787115E-4 | 1.0105399 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.009439189 | 0.009468906 | 1.0031482 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8174464E-5 | 1.8174464E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.788825E-5 | 7.788825E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012242225 | 9.478806E-4 | 9.5787115E-4 | 1.0105399 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.009439189 | 0.009468906 | 1.0031482 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8174464E-5 | 1.8174464E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.788825E-5 | 7.788825E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012242225 | 9.478806E-4 | 9.5787115E-4 | 1.0105399 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.009439189 | 0.009468906 | 1.0031482 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8174464E-5 | 1.8174464E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.788825E-5 | 7.788825E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012242225 | 9.478806E-4 | 9.5787115E-4 | 1.0105399 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.009439189 | 0.009468906 | 1.0031482 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8174464E-5 | 1.8174464E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.788825E-5 | 7.788825E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012242225 | 9.478806E-4 | 9.5787115E-4 | 1.0105399 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.009439189 | 0.009468906 | 1.0031482 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.3241924E-5 | 1.7942104E-5 | 1.7942104E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.960445E-5 | 7.689249E-5 | 7.689249E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012120095 | 9.3576754E-4 | 9.457582E-4 | 1.0106764 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012054204 | 0.009319012 | 0.009348732 | 1.0031892 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.2761007E-5 | 1.743745E-5 | 1.743745E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.7543525E-5 | 7.472981E-5 | 7.472981E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011869454 | 9.094591E-4 | 9.1945E-4 | 1.0109855 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011806256 | 0.009058088 | 0.009087816 | 1.003282 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.240283E-5 | 1.7071121E-5 | 1.7071121E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.600859E-5 | 7.3159914E-5 | 7.3159914E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011682777 | 8.903614E-4 | 9.003525E-4 | 1.0112214 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011621549 | 0.00886864 | 0.008898375 | 1.0033528 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.1871154E-5 | 1.659094E-5 | 1.659094E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.373015E-5 | 7.110211E-5 | 7.110211E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011405671 | 8.653278E-4 | 8.753191E-4 | 1.0115464 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011347309 | 0.008620269 | 0.00865001 | 1.0034502 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.0714133E-5 | 1.556928E-5 | 1.556928E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8771834E-5 | 6.67238E-5 | 6.67238E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010802611 | 8.120627E-4 | 8.220546E-4 | 1.0123043 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010750249 | 0.008091612 | 0.008121369 | 1.0036775 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.8408395E-5 | 1.3999811E-5 | 1.3999811E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8890735E-5 | 5.9997827E-5 | 5.9997827E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.600714E-4 | 7.302317E-4 | 7.402244E-4 | 1.0136843 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009559342 | 0.0072789504 | 0.0072988053 | 1.0027276 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.6856795E-5 | 1.2852709E-5 | 1.2852709E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2241404E-5 | 5.508189E-5 | 5.508189E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7918417E-4 | 6.7041855E-4 | 6.804118E-4 | 1.014906 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00875714 | 0.0066845524 | 0.006704419 | 1.002972 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.2822778E-5 | 9.579261E-6 | 9.579261E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.495361E-5 | 4.1053336E-5 | 4.1053336E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.688548E-4 | 4.997113E-4 | 4.997113E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006668452 | 0.0049859416 | 0.004995892 | 1.0019957 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 5.6272684E-6 | 3.8555618E-6 | 3.8555618E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4116642E-5 | 1.6523732E-5 | 1.6523732E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9358055E-4 | 2.0115796E-4 | 2.0115796E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029319301 | 0.0020097697 | 0.0020097697 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 3.5261346E-6 | 2.3411233E-6 | 2.3411233E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5111918E-5 | 1.0033347E-5 | 1.0033347E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8397206E-4 | 1.2214923E-4 | 1.2214923E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018381984 | 0.0012208283 | 0.0012208283 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.4826929E-6 | 1.0565977E-6 | 1.0565977E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.354383E-6 | 4.528268E-6 | 4.528268E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.736187E-5 | 5.513029E-5 | 5.513029E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.733494E-4 | 5.5116817E-4 | 5.5116817E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.7568166E-7 | 1.698179E-7 | 1.698179E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1814923E-6 | 7.277908E-7 | 7.277908E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4384574E-5 | 8.860817E-6 | 8.860817E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4383643E-4 | 8.860467E-5 | 8.860467E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 5.407832E-8 | 2.689949E-8 | 2.689949E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3176422E-7 | 1.1528352E-7 | 1.1528352E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8217257E-6 | 1.403576E-6 | 1.403576E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8216898E-5 | 1.4035676E-5 | 1.4035676E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Anza) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.3456203E-5 | 4.3456203E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8622764E-4 | 1.8622764E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0022649758 | 0.002274953 | 1.004405 | 1.0E-5 | 0.032346968 | 0.023373041 | 0.02340234 | 1.0012535 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.3456203E-5 | 4.3456203E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8622764E-4 | 1.8622764E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0022649758 | 0.002274953 | 1.004405 | 1.0E-5 | 0.032346968 | 0.023373041 | 0.02340234 | 1.0012535 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.3456203E-5 | 4.3456203E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8622764E-4 | 1.8622764E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0022649758 | 0.002274953 | 1.004405 | 1.0E-5 | 0.032346968 | 0.023373041 | 0.02340234 | 1.0012535 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.3456203E-5 | 4.3456203E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8622764E-4 | 1.8622764E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0022649758 | 0.002274953 | 1.004405 | 1.0E-5 | 0.032346968 | 0.023373041 | 0.02340234 | 1.0012535 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.3456203E-5 | 4.3456203E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8622764E-4 | 1.8622764E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0022649758 | 0.002274953 | 1.004405 | 1.0E-5 | 0.032346968 | 0.023373041 | 0.02340234 | 1.0012535 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.811017E-5 | 4.023067E-5 | 4.023067E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4901982E-4 | 1.7240578E-4 | 1.7240578E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030276014 | 0.0020970255 | 0.0021070044 | 1.0047587 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02986684 | 0.02166615 | 0.0216955 | 1.0013547 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.811017E-5 | 4.023067E-5 | 4.023067E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4901982E-4 | 1.7240578E-4 | 1.7240578E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030276014 | 0.0020970255 | 0.0021070044 | 1.0047587 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02986684 | 0.02166615 | 0.0216955 | 1.0013547 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 5.712442E-5 | 3.9651786E-5 | 3.9651786E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4479596E-4 | 1.6992519E-4 | 1.6992519E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029763177 | 0.0020668816 | 0.002076861 | 1.0048282 | 1.0E-5 | 0.029367693 | 0.021357438 | 0.021386797 | 1.0013747 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.6967532E-5 | 3.9508064E-5 | 3.9508064E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4412372E-4 | 1.693093E-4 | 1.693093E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029681553 | 0.0020593975 | 0.0020693769 | 1.0048457 | 1.0E-5 | 0.029288229 | 0.021281596 | 0.021310957 | 1.0013797 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.6211324E-5 | 3.9211805E-5 | 3.9211805E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4088343E-4 | 1.680398E-4 | 1.680398E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029288116 | 0.0020439704 | 0.00205395 | 1.0048825 | 1.0E-5 | 0.028905109 | 0.021120435 | 0.021149801 | 1.0013905 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.4383527E-5 | 3.8069214E-5 | 3.8069214E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3305144E-4 | 1.631436E-4 | 1.631436E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028337094 | 0.0019844687 | 0.001994449 | 1.0050291 | 1.0E-5 | 0.027978465 | 0.02051087 | 0.020540254 | 1.0014327 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.1393665E-5 | 3.652791E-5 | 3.652791E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2023996E-4 | 1.5653881E-4 | 1.5653881E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026781242 | 0.0019041983 | 0.0019141793 | 1.0052415 | 1.0E-5 | 0.026460782 | 0.019681152 | 0.019710561 | 1.0014943 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.785222E-5 | 3.487416E-5 | 3.487416E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0506482E-4 | 1.4945214E-4 | 1.4945214E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024938055 | 0.0018180647 | 0.0018280465 | 1.0054903 | 1.0E-5 | 0.024660049 | 0.018800605 | 0.01883004 | 1.0015657 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.2143256E-5 | 3.3965818E-5 | 3.3965818E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8060145E-4 | 1.4555968E-4 | 1.4555968E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002196605 | 0.001770752 | 0.0017807344 | 1.0056373 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02175019 | 0.018305402 | 0.018334853 | 1.0016088 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.0264713E-5 | 3.3602955E-5 | 3.3602955E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7255165E-4 | 1.4400473E-4 | 1.4400473E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002098792 | 0.001751851 | 0.0017618336 | 1.0056982 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020790804 | 0.018109279 | 0.018138735 | 1.0016266 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.694492E-5 | 3.231363E-5 | 3.231363E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5832575E-4 | 1.3847965E-4 | 1.3847965E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019259118 | 0.001684689 | 0.0016946722 | 1.0059258 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01909306 | 0.017423982 | 0.017453458 | 1.0016918 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.200565E-5 | 2.9619905E-5 | 2.9619905E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3715986E-4 | 1.2693628E-4 | 1.2693628E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001668642 | 0.0015443559 | 0.0015543405 | 1.0064652 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01656168 | 0.016007079 | 0.016036598 | 1.0018442 | 3.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.731642E-5 | 2.6205262E-5 | 2.6205262E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1706512E-4 | 1.1230343E-4 | 1.1230343E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001424336 | 0.0013664378 | 0.0013764241 | 1.0073082 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014152412 | 0.014226198 | 0.014255771 | 1.0020788 | 3.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.3466424E-5 | 2.361283E-5 | 2.361283E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0056651E-4 | 1.0119393E-4 | 1.0119393E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012237094 | 0.0012313406 | 0.0012413282 | 1.0081112 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012169928 | 0.012865872 | 0.012885615 | 1.0015345 | 2.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.8611925E-5 | 1.9005589E-5 | 1.9005589E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9762955E-5 | 8.144999E-5 | 8.144999E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.7068126E-4 | 9.912032E-4 | 0.0010011933 | 1.0100788 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0096645225 | 0.0104454635 | 0.010465255 | 1.0018947 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.5460775E-5 | 1.5827527E-5 | 1.5827527E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6258784E-5 | 6.78305E-5 | 6.78305E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0640207E-4 | 8.2552416E-4 | 8.355159E-4 | 1.0121036 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008034821 | 0.0087488955 | 0.008768721 | 1.002266 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 9.983884E-6 | 8.320812E-6 | 8.320812E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2787375E-5 | 3.566014E-5 | 3.566014E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2081177E-4 | 4.3407624E-4 | 4.3407624E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051959283 | 0.004667453 | 0.0046774065 | 1.0021325 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 4.1226E-6 | 1.5670429E-6 | 1.5670429E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7668166E-5 | 6.7158808E-6 | 6.7158808E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1508869E-4 | 8.176281E-5 | 8.176281E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021488064 | 9.4857573E-4 | 9.4857573E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2750878E-6 | 3.6503315E-7 | 3.6503315E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4646503E-6 | 1.5644268E-6 | 1.5644268E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.653009E-5 | 1.9046734E-5 | 1.9046734E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6510175E-4 | 2.2960531E-4 | 2.2960531E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Diego Trough north alt1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.329252E-5 | 8.823414E-5 | 8.823414E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.14073E-4 | 3.7809514E-4 | 3.7809514E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038171355 | 0.004594168 | 0.004604122 | 1.0021666 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03752231 | 0.04505586 | 0.04507496 | 1.0004239 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.7940346E-5 | 4.489497E-5 | 4.489497E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6259136E-4 | 1.9239335E-4 | 1.9239335E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019777524 | 0.0023399482 | 0.0023399482 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.019602431 | 0.02316178 | 0.02317155 | 1.0004218 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.8645263E-5 | 3.3303288E-5 | 3.3303288E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2275964E-4 | 1.4272069E-4 | 1.4272069E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014935739 | 0.0017362612 | 0.0017362612 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0148357535 | 0.017229617 | 0.017239444 | 1.0005704 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.8645263E-5 | 3.3303288E-5 | 3.3303288E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2275964E-4 | 1.4272069E-4 | 1.4272069E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014935739 | 0.0017362612 | 0.0017362612 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0148357535 | 0.017229617 | 0.017239444 | 1.0005704 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.2204576E-5 | 2.5452806E-5 | 2.5452806E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.5159E-5 | 1.0907895E-4 | 1.0907895E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001157945 | 0.0013272365 | 0.0013272365 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011519298 | 0.013194269 | 0.013204136 | 1.0007479 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.1004838E-5 | 2.4028861E-5 | 2.4028861E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0017624E-5 | 1.0297682E-4 | 1.0297682E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010954136 | 0.0012530306 | 0.0012530306 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010900296 | 0.012460738 | 0.012470613 | 1.0007925 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.820557E-5 | 2.0708216E-5 | 2.0708216E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.802154E-5 | 8.874651E-5 | 8.874651E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4949827E-4 | 0.0010799585 | 0.0010799585 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009454516 | 0.010747774 | 0.010757666 | 1.0009204 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.5884485E-5 | 1.798651E-5 | 1.798651E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.807459E-5 | 7.7082776E-5 | 7.7082776E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.284929E-4 | 9.380814E-4 | 9.380814E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008254109 | 0.009341583 | 0.009351489 | 1.0010605 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.4331171E-5 | 1.6203609E-5 | 1.6203609E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.141786E-5 | 6.94422E-5 | 6.94422E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4750587E-4 | 8.451328E-4 | 8.451328E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0074499645 | 0.008419455 | 0.008429371 | 1.0011777 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.2574203E-5 | 1.4208051E-5 | 1.4208051E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3888325E-5 | 6.0890234E-5 | 6.0890234E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.558929E-4 | 7.4108783E-4 | 7.4108783E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0065396037 | 0.007386351 | 0.007396277 | 1.0013438 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0883844E-5 | 1.2291169E-5 | 1.2291169E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.664421E-5 | 5.267538E-5 | 5.267538E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.677453E-4 | 6.4113503E-4 | 6.4113503E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00566297 | 0.006392982 | 0.0064029177 | 1.0015543 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 9.393088E-6 | 1.0608669E-5 | 1.0608669E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.025547E-5 | 4.5464934E-5 | 4.5464934E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.900001E-4 | 5.533958E-4 | 5.533958E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048892107 | 0.0055202735 | 0.005530218 | 1.0018015 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 8.190791E-6 | 9.260078E-6 | 9.260078E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.510292E-5 | 3.968545E-5 | 3.968545E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2729423E-4 | 4.830639E-4 | 4.830639E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042647356 | 0.004820219 | 0.004820219 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 6.268162E-6 | 7.0908327E-6 | 7.0908327E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6863276E-5 | 3.0388932E-5 | 3.0388932E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2701128E-4 | 3.6992284E-4 | 3.6992284E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003265305 | 0.0036931168 | 0.0036931168 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.985186E-6 | 5.643576E-6 | 5.643576E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1364907E-5 | 2.4186533E-5 | 2.4186533E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.600867E-4 | 2.9443164E-4 | 2.9443164E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002597825 | 0.0029404568 | 0.0029404568 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.7489613E-6 | 1.9699785E-6 | 1.9699785E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.495527E-6 | 8.442739E-6 | 8.442739E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.125422E-5 | 1.0278572E-4 | 1.0278572E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1216754E-4 | 0.0010274039 | 0.0010274039 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.6988751E-7 | 1.7534495E-7 | 1.7534495E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2808916E-7 | 7.514781E-7 | 7.514781E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.864449E-6 | 9.14921E-6 | 9.14921E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8640954E-5 | 9.148853E-5 | 9.148853E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Kern Canyon (Lake Isabella) 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.2387383E-6 | 4.001742E-6 | 4.001742E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.7150222E-5 | 1.7150222E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.0878582E-4 | 2.1878372E-4 | 1.047886 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022092736 | 0.0020860804 | 0.0021160177 | 1.014351 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.2387383E-6 | 4.001742E-6 | 4.001742E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.7150222E-5 | 1.7150222E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.0878582E-4 | 2.1878372E-4 | 1.047886 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022092736 | 0.0020860804 | 0.0021160177 | 1.014351 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.2387383E-6 | 4.001742E-6 | 4.001742E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.7150222E-5 | 1.7150222E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.0878582E-4 | 2.1878372E-4 | 1.047886 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022092736 | 0.0020860804 | 0.0021160177 | 1.014351 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.2387383E-6 | 4.001742E-6 | 4.001742E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.7150222E-5 | 1.7150222E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.0878582E-4 | 2.1878372E-4 | 1.047886 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022092736 | 0.0020860804 | 0.0021160177 | 1.014351 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.2387383E-6 | 4.001742E-6 | 4.001742E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.7150222E-5 | 1.7150222E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.0878582E-4 | 2.1878372E-4 | 1.047886 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022092736 | 0.0020860804 | 0.0021160177 | 1.014351 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.7857532E-6 | 2.517933E-6 | 2.517933E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1938888E-5 | 1.0791098E-5 | 1.0791098E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4534626E-4 | 1.3137404E-4 | 1.4137272E-4 | 1.0761086 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014525123 | 0.0013129964 | 0.0013329701 | 1.0152123 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.2233348E-6 | 1.944176E-6 | 1.944176E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.528543E-6 | 8.332156E-6 | 8.332156E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1600384E-4 | 1.01439364E-4 | 1.1143835E-4 | 1.0985711 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001159433 | 0.0010139393 | 0.0010239291 | 1.0098525 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.1635126E-6 | 1.8835549E-6 | 1.8835549E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.272164E-6 | 8.072353E-6 | 8.072353E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1288274E-4 | 9.827655E-5 | 1.0827557E-4 | 1.1017437 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011282542 | 9.82339E-4 | 9.923292E-4 | 1.0101697 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.8685711E-6 | 1.5831872E-6 | 1.5831872E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.008137E-6 | 6.7850706E-6 | 6.7850706E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.74947E-5 | 8.2605155E-5 | 8.2605155E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.745194E-4 | 8.257494E-4 | 8.257494E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.5815071E-6 | 1.3065305E-6 | 1.3065305E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.77787E-6 | 5.5994046E-6 | 5.5994046E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.251744E-5 | 6.8170644E-5 | 6.8170644E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.248681E-4 | 6.815E-4 | 6.815E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.3772564E-6 | 1.1211044E-6 | 1.1211044E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9025137E-6 | 4.804725E-6 | 4.804725E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.186073E-5 | 5.8495974E-5 | 5.8495974E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.18375E-4 | 5.848078E-4 | 5.848078E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.0916998E-6 | 8.764029E-7 | 8.764029E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.678705E-6 | 3.7560071E-6 | 3.7560071E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6961744E-5 | 4.572844E-5 | 4.572844E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6947145E-4 | 4.5719164E-4 | 4.5719164E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 7.6277024E-7 | 5.90163E-7 | 5.90163E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2690114E-6 | 2.5292675E-6 | 2.5292675E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9799485E-5 | 3.0793402E-5 | 3.0793402E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9792358E-4 | 3.0789195E-4 | 3.0789195E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.3265916E-7 | 4.3825665E-7 | 4.3825665E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.282823E-6 | 1.8782414E-6 | 1.8782414E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7793016E-5 | 2.2867353E-5 | 2.2867353E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.778954E-4 | 2.2865039E-4 | 2.2865039E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.4946007E-7 | 3.0066593E-7 | 3.0066593E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.497685E-6 | 1.2885677E-6 | 1.2885677E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8234163E-5 | 1.56882E-5 | 1.56882E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8232666E-4 | 1.5687116E-4 | 1.5687116E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.8317026E-7 | 1.4245316E-7 | 1.4245316E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.850152E-7 | 6.105134E-7 | 6.105134E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.557518E-6 | 7.432976E-6 | 7.432976E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.5571064E-5 | 7.432735E-5 | 7.432735E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.572245E-8 | 1.7353479E-8 | 1.7353479E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10239064E-7 | 7.4372046E-8 | 7.4372046E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421597E-6 | 9.0547934E-7 | 9.0547934E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421517E-5 | 9.054762E-6 | 9.054762E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elsinore (Stepovers Combined)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.144392E-5 | 1.9768178E-5 | 1.9768178E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.189928E-5 | 8.4718136E-5 | 8.4718136E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011182994 | 0.0010309747 | 0.0010409643 | 1.0096896 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011126885 | 0.010268764 | 0.010298456 | 1.0028915 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.144392E-5 | 1.9768178E-5 | 1.9768178E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.189928E-5 | 8.4718136E-5 | 8.4718136E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011182994 | 0.0010309747 | 0.0010409643 | 1.0096896 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011126885 | 0.010268764 | 0.010298456 | 1.0028915 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.144392E-5 | 1.9768178E-5 | 1.9768178E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.189928E-5 | 8.4718136E-5 | 8.4718136E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011182994 | 0.0010309747 | 0.0010409643 | 1.0096896 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011126885 | 0.010268764 | 0.010298456 | 1.0028915 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.9751555E-5 | 1.7748967E-5 | 1.7748967E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.4646774E-5 | 7.606488E-5 | 7.606488E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010300872 | 9.2571095E-4 | 9.357017E-4 | 1.0107925 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010253254 | 0.009224885 | 0.009254609 | 1.0032221 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.9751555E-5 | 1.7748967E-5 | 1.7748967E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.4646774E-5 | 7.606488E-5 | 7.606488E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010300872 | 9.2571095E-4 | 9.357017E-4 | 1.0107925 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010253254 | 0.009224885 | 0.009254609 | 1.0032221 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.9751555E-5 | 1.7748967E-5 | 1.7748967E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.4646774E-5 | 7.606488E-5 | 7.606488E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010300872 | 9.2571095E-4 | 9.357017E-4 | 1.0107925 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010253254 | 0.009224885 | 0.009254609 | 1.0032221 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.9188685E-5 | 1.7010636E-5 | 1.7010636E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2234634E-5 | 7.290078E-5 | 7.290078E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010007467 | 8.872218E-4 | 8.9721294E-4 | 1.0112611 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00996252 | 0.008843324 | 0.0088730585 | 1.0033624 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.7608272E-5 | 1.4738972E-5 | 1.4738972E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.546184E-5 | 6.316555E-5 | 6.316555E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.183606E-4 | 7.6877896E-4 | 7.6877896E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009145746 | 0.0076678437 | 0.0076876907 | 1.0025883 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.697165E-5 | 1.3789292E-5 | 1.3789292E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.273361E-5 | 5.9095677E-5 | 5.9095677E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8517193E-4 | 7.1926106E-4 | 7.1926106E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008816543 | 0.0071753967 | 0.0071952534 | 1.0027673 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.600365E-5 | 1.2852388E-5 | 1.2852388E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.858527E-5 | 5.508054E-5 | 5.508054E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.347058E-4 | 6.704071E-4 | 6.704071E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008315775 | 0.0066895075 | 0.006709374 | 1.0029697 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.3314581E-5 | 1.0452589E-5 | 1.0452589E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7061243E-5 | 4.4796056E-5 | 4.4796056E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.944992E-4 | 5.452582E-4 | 5.452582E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006923327 | 0.0054430715 | 0.005453017 | 1.0018272 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.2865345E-5 | 9.94227E-6 | 9.94227E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5136024E-5 | 4.2609045E-5 | 4.2609045E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.710743E-4 | 5.1864417E-4 | 5.1864417E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0066905143 | 0.0051777544 | 0.005187703 | 1.0019213 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.1650051E-5 | 8.63799E-6 | 8.63799E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9927836E-5 | 3.701944E-5 | 3.701944E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0770183E-4 | 4.5062022E-4 | 4.5062022E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0060604266 | 0.0044984296 | 0.0045083845 | 1.002213 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.0008533E-5 | 7.204616E-6 | 7.204616E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2893007E-5 | 3.087657E-5 | 3.087657E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.220972E-4 | 3.7585883E-4 | 3.7585883E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005208723 | 0.0037526044 | 0.003762567 | 1.0026548 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.116759E-6 | 6.413296E-6 | 6.413296E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.907124E-5 | 2.7485272E-5 | 2.7485272E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7558855E-4 | 3.3458316E-4 | 3.3458316E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00474572 | 0.0033409502 | 0.0033509168 | 1.0029832 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 7.870524E-6 | 5.385364E-6 | 5.385364E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3730383E-5 | 2.3079936E-5 | 2.3079936E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1059E-4 | 2.8096326E-4 | 2.8096326E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040983222 | 0.0028062072 | 0.002816179 | 1.0035535 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.9774537E-6 | 4.6802043E-6 | 4.6802043E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.990303E-5 | 2.005787E-5 | 2.005787E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.640086E-4 | 2.4417837E-4 | 2.4417837E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003634129 | 0.0024392172 | 0.0024392172 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.1616954E-6 | 2.3297155E-6 | 2.3297155E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7835715E-5 | 9.984461E-6 | 9.984461E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.171282E-4 | 1.21554775E-4 | 1.21554775E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021691616 | 0.001214956 | 0.001214956 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.2692414E-7 | 9.388763E-8 | 9.388763E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.725317E-7 | 4.023755E-7 | 4.023755E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1840509E-5 | 4.898914E-6 | 4.898914E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1839878E-4 | 4.898839E-5 | 4.898839E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.440774E-9 | 3.440774E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.4746175E-8 | 1.4746175E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.7953467E-7 | 1.7953467E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838679E-6 | 1.7953454E-6 | 1.7953454E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hunting Creek - Berryessa 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1270982E-4 | 2.003424E-4 | 2.003424E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8295266E-4 | 8.583311E-4 | 8.583311E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0058641075 | 0.01039016 | 0.010400056 | 1.0009525 | 1.0E-5 | 0.057117578 | 0.09807448 | 0.0980835 | 1.0000919 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.1239393E-4 | 1.9982355E-4 | 1.9982355E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8159933E-4 | 8.561091E-4 | 8.561091E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0058477195 | 0.010363391 | 0.010373287 | 1.000955 | 1.0E-5 | 0.056962132 | 0.09783285 | 0.097841874 | 1.0000923 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 7.596265E-5 | 1.2938741E-4 | 1.2938741E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2551357E-4 | 5.5436994E-4 | 5.5436994E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039559277 | 0.006723967 | 0.006723967 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.038862433 | 0.064615436 | 0.064615436 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 6.78794E-5 | 1.1452474E-4 | 1.1452474E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9087928E-4 | 4.9071474E-4 | 4.9071474E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003535705 | 0.0059549315 | 0.0059549315 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.034799766 | 0.05748665 | 0.05748665 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 6.2165134E-5 | 1.04386316E-4 | 1.04386316E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6639478E-4 | 4.4728533E-4 | 4.4728533E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032385332 | 0.005429509 | 0.005429509 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.03191742 | 0.052570235 | 0.052570235 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 5.4368087E-5 | 9.07371E-5 | 9.07371E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3298527E-4 | 3.8880756E-4 | 3.8880756E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028329059 | 0.004721537 | 0.004721537 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.027970633 | 0.0458975 | 0.0458975 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 4.729947E-5 | 7.850038E-5 | 7.850038E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0269625E-4 | 3.3637884E-4 | 3.3637884E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002465034 | 0.00408634 | 0.00408634 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.02437869 | 0.039866496 | 0.039866496 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 3.6875328E-5 | 6.0465867E-5 | 6.0465867E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5802756E-4 | 2.5911612E-4 | 2.5911612E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019222875 | 0.003149534 | 0.003149534 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.019057442 | 0.030904554 | 0.030904554 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 2.0292036E-5 | 2.8984903E-5 | 2.8984903E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6962966E-5 | 1.2421503E-4 | 1.2421503E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010582599 | 0.0015112561 | 0.0015112561 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010532344 | 0.014982896 | 0.014982896 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.7871042E-5 | 2.44799E-5 | 2.44799E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.658793E-5 | 1.0490964E-4 | 1.0490964E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.320591E-4 | 0.0012765259 | 0.0012765259 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009281595 | 0.012683794 | 0.012683794 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.6415532E-5 | 2.1913409E-5 | 2.1913409E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.035038E-5 | 9.391122E-5 | 9.391122E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.561793E-4 | 0.0011427706 | 0.0011427706 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008528882 | 0.011368172 | 0.011368172 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.5409885E-5 | 2.0353154E-5 | 2.0353154E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6040695E-5 | 8.72249E-5 | 8.72249E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0374884E-4 | 0.0010614484 | 0.0010614484 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00800848 | 0.010564149 | 0.010564149 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.4497423E-5 | 1.9061452E-5 | 1.9061452E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.213033E-5 | 8.1689395E-5 | 8.1689395E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5617427E-4 | 9.941177E-4 | 9.941177E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0075360634 | 0.009897353 | 0.009897353 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.3615175E-5 | 1.7832454E-5 | 1.7832454E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8349444E-5 | 7.6422584E-5 | 7.6422584E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.101729E-4 | 9.300507E-4 | 9.300507E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0070790765 | 0.0092621865 | 0.0092621865 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.2252825E-5 | 1.6032125E-5 | 1.6032125E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.251105E-5 | 6.870731E-5 | 6.870731E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.391345E-4 | 8.3619327E-4 | 8.3619327E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063729943 | 0.008331022 | 0.008331022 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.0913301E-5 | 1.4246567E-5 | 1.4246567E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6770452E-5 | 6.10553E-5 | 6.10553E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6928146E-4 | 7.430975E-4 | 7.430975E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0056782532 | 0.0074066394 | 0.0074066394 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 8.623192E-6 | 1.123926E-5 | 1.123926E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6956015E-5 | 4.816738E-5 | 4.816738E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4984656E-4 | 5.8628264E-4 | 5.8628264E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00448937 | 0.005847745 | 0.005847745 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.0993634E-6 | 2.663402E-6 | 2.663402E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.997241E-6 | 1.14145305E-5 | 1.14145305E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.09535904E-4 | 1.3896312E-4 | 1.3896312E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010948193 | 0.0013887518 | 0.0013887518 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.8428308E-7 | 2.1678001E-7 | 2.1678001E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.897844E-7 | 9.2905685E-7 | 9.2905685E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.615583E-6 | 1.1311212E-5 | 1.1311212E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.615166E-5 | 1.1309957E-4 | 1.1309957E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Tin Mountain
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.1816565E-6 | 4.1816565E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.7921284E-5 | 1.7921284E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.181735E-4 | 2.2817131E-4 | 1.0458251 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021285915 | 0.0021799589 | 0.0022098934 | 1.0137317 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.1816565E-6 | 4.1816565E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.7921284E-5 | 1.7921284E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.181735E-4 | 2.2817131E-4 | 1.0458251 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021285915 | 0.0021799589 | 0.0022098934 | 1.0137317 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.1816565E-6 | 4.1816565E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.7921284E-5 | 1.7921284E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.181735E-4 | 2.2817131E-4 | 1.0458251 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021285915 | 0.0021799589 | 0.0022098934 | 1.0137317 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.1816565E-6 | 4.1816565E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.7921284E-5 | 1.7921284E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.181735E-4 | 2.2817131E-4 | 1.0458251 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021285915 | 0.0021799589 | 0.0022098934 | 1.0137317 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.1816565E-6 | 4.1816565E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.7921284E-5 | 1.7921284E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.181735E-4 | 2.2817131E-4 | 1.0458251 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021285915 | 0.0021799589 | 0.0022098934 | 1.0137317 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.3143427E-6 | 2.3732296E-6 | 2.3732296E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9185745E-6 | 1.0170948E-5 | 1.0170948E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2075195E-4 | 1.2382503E-4 | 1.2382503E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012068636 | 0.0012376363 | 0.0012376363 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 2.3143427E-6 | 2.3732296E-6 | 2.3732296E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9185745E-6 | 1.0170948E-5 | 1.0170948E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2075195E-4 | 1.2382503E-4 | 1.2382503E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012068636 | 0.0012376363 | 0.0012376363 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.7029532E-6 | 1.7498493E-6 | 1.7498493E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2983503E-6 | 7.4993354E-6 | 7.4993354E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.885379E-5 | 9.130112E-5 | 9.130112E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.881827E-4 | 9.1268873E-4 | 9.1268873E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.2914646E-6 | 1.3299855E-6 | 1.3299855E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.534837E-6 | 5.6999274E-6 | 5.6999274E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.738455E-5 | 6.939485E-5 | 6.939485E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.736412E-4 | 6.9377513E-4 | 6.9377513E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 5.8708974E-7 | 6.1173006E-7 | 6.1173006E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5160964E-6 | 2.6216978E-6 | 2.6216978E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0633044E-5 | 3.1918746E-5 | 3.1918746E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0628822E-4 | 3.191457E-4 | 3.191457E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 4.6248786E-7 | 4.832274E-7 | 4.832274E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9820893E-6 | 2.070973E-6 | 2.070973E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.413167E-5 | 2.5213843E-5 | 2.5213843E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.412905E-4 | 2.5211353E-4 | 2.5211353E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 3.804606E-7 | 3.9873757E-7 | 3.9873757E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6305444E-6 | 1.7088743E-6 | 1.7088743E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9851697E-5 | 2.080538E-5 | 2.080538E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9849923E-4 | 2.0803769E-4 | 2.0803769E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.5864858E-7 | 3.7619057E-7 | 3.7619057E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5370645E-6 | 1.6122445E-6 | 1.6122445E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.87136E-5 | 1.9628935E-5 | 1.9628935E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8712023E-4 | 1.9627532E-4 | 1.9627532E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.342063E-7 | 3.506553E-7 | 3.506553E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4323119E-6 | 1.5028078E-6 | 1.5028078E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7438259E-5 | 1.8296565E-5 | 1.8296565E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.743689E-4 | 1.8295388E-4 | 1.8295388E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.971242E-7 | 3.116764E-7 | 3.116764E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2733886E-6 | 1.3357554E-6 | 1.3357554E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5503398E-5 | 1.6262735E-5 | 1.6262735E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5502315E-4 | 1.6261873E-4 | 1.6261873E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.4326713E-7 | 1.5013381E-7 | 1.5013381E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.140018E-7 | 6.4343067E-7 | 6.4343067E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4754466E-6 | 7.833768E-6 | 7.833768E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.475195E-5 | 7.833768E-5 | 7.833768E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 05 Pittsburg - Kirby Hills alt1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.187212E-5 | 5.3460288E-5 | 5.3460288E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.794396E-4 | 2.2910109E-4 | 2.2910109E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002182488 | 0.0027866994 | 0.0027966716 | 1.0035784 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021611776 | 0.027612003 | 0.02763145 | 1.0007043 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.187212E-5 | 5.3460288E-5 | 5.3460288E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.794396E-4 | 2.2910109E-4 | 2.2910109E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002182488 | 0.0027866994 | 0.0027966716 | 1.0035784 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021611776 | 0.027612003 | 0.02763145 | 1.0007043 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.7353306E-5 | 2.216173E-5 | 2.216173E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.436919E-5 | 9.497763E-5 | 9.497763E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.050688E-4 | 0.0011561314 | 0.0011561314 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009013915 | 0.011538905 | 0.01154879 | 1.0008566 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.7353306E-5 | 2.216173E-5 | 2.216173E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.436919E-5 | 9.497763E-5 | 9.497763E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.050688E-4 | 0.0011561314 | 0.0011561314 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009013915 | 0.011538905 | 0.01154879 | 1.0008566 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.4028824E-5 | 1.7906726E-5 | 1.7906726E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0122147E-5 | 7.674311E-5 | 7.674311E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3174125E-4 | 9.3433197E-4 | 9.3433197E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0072933645 | 0.00934121 | 0.00934121 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Kern Canyon (South Kern) 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.1138187E-6 | 4.1138187E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.7630537E-5 | 1.7630537E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.1463128E-4 | 2.2462914E-4 | 1.0465815 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021443039 | 0.0021742394 | 1.0139606 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.1138187E-6 | 4.1138187E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.7630537E-5 | 1.7630537E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.1463128E-4 | 2.2462914E-4 | 1.0465815 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021443039 | 0.0021742394 | 1.0139606 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.1138187E-6 | 4.1138187E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.7630537E-5 | 1.7630537E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.1463128E-4 | 2.2462914E-4 | 1.0465815 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021443039 | 0.0021742394 | 1.0139606 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.1138187E-6 | 4.1138187E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.7630537E-5 | 1.7630537E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.1463128E-4 | 2.2462914E-4 | 1.0465815 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021443039 | 0.0021742394 | 1.0139606 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.1138187E-6 | 4.1138187E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.7630537E-5 | 1.7630537E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.1463128E-4 | 2.2462914E-4 | 1.0465815 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021443039 | 0.0021742394 | 1.0139606 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.9849807E-6 | 2.9732223E-6 | 2.9732223E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2792712E-5 | 1.274232E-5 | 1.274232E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5574014E-4 | 1.5512685E-4 | 1.651253E-4 | 1.0644534 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015563103 | 0.0015502007 | 0.0015701698 | 1.0128815 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.9849807E-6 | 2.9732223E-6 | 2.9732223E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2792712E-5 | 1.274232E-5 | 1.274232E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5574014E-4 | 1.5512685E-4 | 1.651253E-4 | 1.0644534 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015563103 | 0.0015502007 | 0.0015701698 | 1.0128815 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.6756725E-6 | 2.6582813E-6 | 2.6582813E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1467117E-5 | 1.1392585E-5 | 1.1392585E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.396032E-4 | 1.38696E-4 | 1.4869463E-4 | 1.0720901 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013951553 | 0.0013861054 | 0.0014060776 | 1.014409 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.3283721E-6 | 2.3048322E-6 | 2.3048322E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9787E-6 | 9.877815E-6 | 9.877815E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.214839E-4 | 1.20255834E-4 | 1.3025463E-4 | 1.0831461 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001214175 | 0.001201915 | 0.001221891 | 1.0166202 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.0972677E-6 | 2.0696893E-6 | 2.0696893E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.988259E-6 | 8.870068E-6 | 8.870068E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0942656E-4 | 1.07987784E-4 | 1.179867E-4 | 1.0925931 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010937268 | 0.0010793589 | 0.0010993374 | 1.0185095 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.7132242E-6 | 1.6787435E-6 | 1.6787435E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3423685E-6 | 7.1945956E-6 | 7.1945956E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.938967E-5 | 8.759071E-5 | 8.759071E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.935372E-4 | 8.755658E-4 | 8.8555703E-4 | 1.0114112 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.4215541E-6 | 1.3816085E-6 | 1.3816085E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0923603E-6 | 5.921166E-6 | 5.921166E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.417196E-5 | 7.208784E-5 | 7.208784E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.414721E-4 | 7.206472E-4 | 7.3064E-4 | 1.0138664 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.097853E-7 | 8.6039944E-7 | 8.6039944E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.899074E-6 | 3.687421E-6 | 3.687421E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7470192E-5 | 4.4893437E-5 | 4.4893437E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7460053E-4 | 4.4884474E-4 | 4.5884025E-4 | 1.0222694 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.144169E-7 | 5.6283574E-7 | 5.6283574E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6332125E-6 | 2.412151E-6 | 2.412151E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.205889E-5 | 2.9367546E-5 | 2.9367546E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2054266E-4 | 2.9363716E-4 | 2.9363716E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.049844E-7 | 3.5729332E-7 | 3.5729332E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7356463E-6 | 1.5312562E-6 | 1.5312562E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1131287E-5 | 1.8642888E-5 | 1.8642888E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1129279E-4 | 1.8641348E-4 | 1.8641348E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.9871162E-7 | 1.5830982E-7 | 1.5830982E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5162094E-7 | 6.784705E-7 | 6.784705E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0368436E-5 | 8.260347E-6 | 8.260347E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0367952E-4 | 8.260049E-5 | 8.260049E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.572245E-8 | 1.7353479E-8 | 1.7353479E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10239064E-7 | 7.4372046E-8 | 7.4372046E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421597E-6 | 9.0547934E-7 | 9.0547934E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421517E-5 | 9.054762E-6 | 9.054762E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Camp Rock 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6710783E-5 | 4.250358E-6 | 4.250358E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.161568E-5 | 1.8215695E-5 | 1.8215695E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7157206E-4 | 2.2175405E-4 | 2.2175405E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008681616 | 0.0022153805 | 0.002245314 | 1.0135117 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6710783E-5 | 4.250358E-6 | 4.250358E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.161568E-5 | 1.8215695E-5 | 1.8215695E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7157206E-4 | 2.2175405E-4 | 2.2175405E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008681616 | 0.0022153805 | 0.002245314 | 1.0135117 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6710783E-5 | 4.250358E-6 | 4.250358E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.161568E-5 | 1.8215695E-5 | 1.8215695E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7157206E-4 | 2.2175405E-4 | 2.2175405E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008681616 | 0.0022153805 | 0.002245314 | 1.0135117 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.6710783E-5 | 4.250358E-6 | 4.250358E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.161568E-5 | 1.8215695E-5 | 1.8215695E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7157206E-4 | 2.2175405E-4 | 2.2175405E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008681616 | 0.0022153805 | 0.002245314 | 1.0135117 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.982846E-6 | 3.6823747E-6 | 3.6823747E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.421175E-5 | 1.5781512E-5 | 1.5781512E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1644843E-4 | 1.921233E-4 | 1.921233E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041566887 | 0.001919607 | 0.0019495494 | 1.0155982 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 7.982846E-6 | 3.6823747E-6 | 3.6823747E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.421175E-5 | 1.5781512E-5 | 1.5781512E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1644843E-4 | 1.921233E-4 | 1.921233E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041566887 | 0.001919607 | 0.0019495494 | 1.0155982 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.048869E-6 | 3.4246243E-6 | 3.4246243E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0209088E-5 | 1.4676881E-5 | 1.4676881E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.677336E-4 | 1.7867668E-4 | 1.7867668E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036712566 | 0.0017853619 | 0.0018153084 | 1.0167733 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.987307E-6 | 3.3625975E-6 | 3.3625975E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9945259E-5 | 1.44110545E-5 | 1.44110545E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6452254E-4 | 1.7544077E-4 | 1.7544077E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036392517 | 0.0017530539 | 0.0017830012 | 1.017083 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.3737602E-6 | 3.1181794E-6 | 3.1181794E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.731583E-5 | 1.33635585E-5 | 1.33635585E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3251947E-4 | 1.6268947E-4 | 1.6268947E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033202237 | 0.0016257323 | 0.0016556835 | 1.0184232 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.112211E-6 | 2.9333812E-6 | 2.9333812E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6194928E-5 | 1.2571575E-5 | 1.2571575E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1887658E-4 | 1.5304846E-4 | 1.5304846E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003184194 | 0.0015294583 | 0.0015594123 | 1.0195848 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.5140117E-6 | 2.642202E-6 | 2.642202E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3631264E-5 | 1.1323675E-5 | 1.1323675E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8767265E-4 | 1.3785728E-4 | 1.3785728E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028730053 | 0.0013777429 | 0.0014077015 | 1.0217447 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.8151105E-6 | 2.1345058E-6 | 2.1345058E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0636026E-5 | 9.147851E-6 | 9.147851E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5121463E-4 | 1.1136962E-4 | 1.1136962E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025093083 | 0.0011131599 | 0.0011431265 | 1.0269203 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.818335E-6 | 1.2939154E-6 | 1.2939154E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6364189E-5 | 5.5453406E-6 | 5.5453406E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9921579E-4 | 6.751251E-5 | 6.751251E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019903728 | 6.7492825E-4 | 6.949147E-4 | 1.0296128 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.7166698E-6 | 7.3845376E-7 | 7.3845376E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1642818E-5 | 3.164798E-6 | 3.164798E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4174209E-4 | 3.8530758E-5 | 3.8530758E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014165172 | 3.8524278E-4 | 4.0523507E-4 | 1.0518953 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.0893426E-6 | 5.4626133E-7 | 5.4626133E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.954295E-6 | 2.341118E-6 | 2.341118E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0901308E-4 | 2.8502744E-5 | 2.8502744E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010895962 | 2.8499143E-4 | 2.9498857E-4 | 1.0350788 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.1681728E-6 | 3.6034967E-7 | 3.6034967E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0064455E-6 | 1.5443549E-6 | 1.5443549E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0951766E-5 | 1.8802362E-5 | 1.8802362E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.093505E-4 | 1.8800818E-4 | 1.9800631E-4 | 1.0531791 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.3154387E-7 | 7.120356E-8 | 7.120356E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6375933E-7 | 3.051581E-7 | 3.051581E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863748E-6 | 3.715295E-6 | 3.715295E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863536E-5 | 3.7152487E-5 | 3.7152487E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Bullion Mountains
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6420427E-5 | 1.4694016E-5 | 2.4693869E-5 | 1.6805391 | 1.0E-5 | 7.037136E-5 | 6.297305E-5 | 8.297179E-5 | 1.3175762 | 2.0E-5 | 8.5643446E-4 | 7.664655E-4 | 7.964425E-4 | 1.0391107 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008531413 | 0.0076420144 | 0.007671785 | 1.0038956 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6420427E-5 | 1.4694016E-5 | 2.4693869E-5 | 1.6805391 | 1.0E-5 | 7.037136E-5 | 6.297305E-5 | 8.297179E-5 | 1.3175762 | 2.0E-5 | 8.5643446E-4 | 7.664655E-4 | 7.964425E-4 | 1.0391107 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008531413 | 0.0076420144 | 0.007671785 | 1.0038956 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6420427E-5 | 1.4694016E-5 | 2.4693869E-5 | 1.6805391 | 1.0E-5 | 7.037136E-5 | 6.297305E-5 | 8.297179E-5 | 1.3175762 | 2.0E-5 | 8.5643446E-4 | 7.664655E-4 | 7.964425E-4 | 1.0391107 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008531413 | 0.0076420144 | 0.007671785 | 1.0038956 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.2046778E-5 | 9.863659E-6 | 9.863659E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1628023E-5 | 4.2272273E-5 | 4.2272273E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.283899E-4 | 5.1456655E-4 | 5.245614E-4 | 1.0194238 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0062661595 | 0.005136033 | 0.0051459814 | 1.001937 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2046778E-5 | 9.863659E-6 | 9.863659E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1628023E-5 | 4.2272273E-5 | 4.2272273E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.283899E-4 | 5.1456655E-4 | 5.245614E-4 | 1.0194238 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0062661595 | 0.005136033 | 0.0051459814 | 1.001937 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.0244343E-5 | 7.880545E-6 | 7.880545E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.390359E-5 | 3.3773445E-5 | 3.3773445E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.343951E-4 | 4.111348E-4 | 4.211307E-4 | 1.024313 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005331118 | 0.0041057738 | 0.0041157324 | 1.0024256 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.605408E-6 | 7.178501E-6 | 7.178501E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1165385E-5 | 3.0764757E-5 | 3.0764757E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.010733E-4 | 3.7451688E-4 | 3.8451314E-4 | 1.0266911 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00499945 | 0.0037408548 | 0.0037508174 | 1.0026631 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.60418E-6 | 6.124881E-6 | 6.124881E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.687454E-5 | 2.6249338E-5 | 2.6249338E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.48855E-4 | 3.195583E-4 | 3.295551E-4 | 1.0312831 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004479495 | 0.0031929004 | 0.0032028684 | 1.003122 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.187994E-6 | 2.563597E-6 | 2.563597E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.223407E-5 | 1.0986821E-5 | 1.0986821E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7066618E-4 | 1.3376033E-4 | 1.43759E-4 | 1.0747505 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0027033675 | 0.0013371899 | 0.0013471765 | 1.0074683 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.5302368E-6 | 2.3446953E-6 | 2.3446953E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9415156E-5 | 1.0048679E-5 | 1.0048679E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3635388E-4 | 1.2233976E-4 | 1.3233854E-4 | 1.0817295 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023610266 | 0.0012231133 | 0.0012331011 | 1.0081658 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.431668E-6 | 1.6885278E-6 | 1.6885278E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4707065E-5 | 7.236548E-6 | 7.236548E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7904381E-4 | 8.810497E-5 | 9.810409E-5 | 1.1134909 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017889962 | 8.810497E-4 | 8.910409E-4 | 1.0113401 | 1.0E-5 |
Robinson Creek
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.3705327E-5 | 1.5287116E-5 | 1.5287116E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8735794E-5 | 6.5516215E-5 | 6.5516215E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1487366E-4 | 7.976599E-4 | 8.076519E-4 | 1.0125266 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0071257832 | 0.007976599 | 0.008006359 | 1.003731 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.3705327E-5 | 1.5287116E-5 | 1.5287116E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8735794E-5 | 6.5516215E-5 | 6.5516215E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1487366E-4 | 7.976599E-4 | 8.076519E-4 | 1.0125266 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0071257832 | 0.007976599 | 0.008006359 | 1.003731 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.3705327E-5 | 1.5287116E-5 | 1.5287116E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8735794E-5 | 6.5516215E-5 | 6.5516215E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1487366E-4 | 7.976599E-4 | 8.076519E-4 | 1.0125266 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0071257832 | 0.007976599 | 0.008006359 | 1.003731 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3705327E-5 | 1.5287116E-5 | 1.5287116E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8735794E-5 | 6.5516215E-5 | 6.5516215E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1487366E-4 | 7.976599E-4 | 8.076519E-4 | 1.0125266 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0071257832 | 0.007976599 | 0.008006359 | 1.003731 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.3705327E-5 | 1.5287116E-5 | 1.5287116E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8735794E-5 | 6.5516215E-5 | 6.5516215E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1487366E-4 | 7.976599E-4 | 8.076519E-4 | 1.0125266 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0071257832 | 0.007976599 | 0.008006359 | 1.003731 | 3.0E-5 |
Santa Cruz Island
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.9164563E-5 | 3.1602918E-5 | 3.1602918E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2498499E-4 | 1.3543482E-4 | 1.3543482E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015206301 | 0.001647808 | 0.001647808 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015102667 | 0.016369632 | 0.016389305 | 1.0012017 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.9164563E-5 | 3.1602918E-5 | 3.1602918E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2498499E-4 | 1.3543482E-4 | 1.3543482E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015206301 | 0.001647808 | 0.001647808 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015102667 | 0.016369632 | 0.016389305 | 1.0012017 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.9164563E-5 | 3.1602918E-5 | 3.1602918E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2498499E-4 | 1.3543482E-4 | 1.3543482E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015206301 | 0.001647808 | 0.001647808 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015102667 | 0.016369632 | 0.016389305 | 1.0012017 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.6635553E-5 | 1.7805865E-5 | 1.7805865E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1293274E-5 | 7.630872E-5 | 7.630872E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6765E-4 | 9.2868094E-4 | 9.2868094E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008642701 | 0.009249873 | 0.009269688 | 1.0021422 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6635553E-5 | 1.7805865E-5 | 1.7805865E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1293274E-5 | 7.630872E-5 | 7.630872E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6765E-4 | 9.2868094E-4 | 9.2868094E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008642701 | 0.009249873 | 0.009269688 | 1.0021422 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.2238748E-5 | 1.3044031E-5 | 1.3044031E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2450723E-5 | 5.590181E-5 | 5.590181E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3840044E-4 | 6.8039575E-4 | 6.8039575E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063656955 | 0.0067835245 | 0.0068033887 | 1.0029284 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0489767E-5 | 1.1157495E-5 | 1.1157495E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.495537E-5 | 4.7816968E-5 | 4.7816968E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4719415E-4 | 5.820183E-4 | 5.820183E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005458487 | 0.0058051813 | 0.005825065 | 1.0034252 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.699222E-6 | 9.237475E-6 | 9.237475E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7281847E-5 | 3.958858E-5 | 3.958858E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5381195E-4 | 4.8188493E-4 | 4.8188493E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045288634 | 0.004808468 | 0.0048283716 | 1.0041393 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.307732E-6 | 8.81756E-6 | 8.81756E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.560408E-5 | 3.7789E-5 | 3.7789E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3339343E-4 | 4.5998438E-4 | 4.5998438E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004325492 | 0.0045903763 | 0.004610284 | 1.004337 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.073121E-6 | 8.565573E-6 | 8.565573E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.459863E-5 | 3.6709083E-5 | 3.6709083E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2115687E-4 | 4.4684188E-4 | 4.4684188E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004203596 | 0.0044594854 | 0.004479396 | 1.0044649 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.617019E-6 | 8.075254E-6 | 8.075254E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.264396E-5 | 3.4607776E-5 | 3.4607776E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9736772E-4 | 4.2126857E-4 | 4.2126857E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003966579 | 0.0042047477 | 0.0042246636 | 1.0047365 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.1224836E-6 | 7.5463336E-6 | 7.5463336E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.052457E-5 | 3.234103E-5 | 3.234103E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.715733E-4 | 3.9368126E-4 | 3.9368126E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003709526 | 0.0039298814 | 0.0039398423 | 1.0025346 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.441115E-6 | 6.827882E-6 | 6.827882E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7604487E-5 | 2.9262024E-5 | 2.9262024E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.360328E-4 | 3.5620714E-4 | 3.5620714E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033552512 | 0.0035563903 | 0.0035663547 | 1.0028019 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 5.494274E-6 | 5.820416E-6 | 5.820416E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3546674E-5 | 2.4944402E-5 | 2.4944402E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8664304E-4 | 3.0365598E-4 | 3.0365598E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002862736 | 0.0030324336 | 0.0030424034 | 1.0032877 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.0802624E-6 | 4.3125583E-6 | 4.3125583E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7486722E-5 | 1.8482262E-5 | 1.8482262E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1288003E-4 | 2.2499838E-4 | 2.2499838E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021267622 | 0.0022477147 | 0.0022477147 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.3584746E-6 | 2.4754645E-6 | 2.4754645E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0107709E-5 | 1.0609091E-5 | 1.0609091E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2305441E-4 | 1.2915807E-4 | 1.2915807E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012298629 | 0.0012908352 | 0.0012908352 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 9.4981914E-7 | 9.861453E-7 | 9.861453E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0706473E-6 | 4.2263305E-6 | 4.2263305E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9559E-5 | 5.145437E-5 | 5.145437E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.954795E-4 | 5.1442586E-4 | 5.1442586E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.6013532E-7 | 2.6417678E-7 | 2.6417678E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1148652E-6 | 1.1321857E-6 | 1.1321857E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3573399E-5 | 1.3784274E-5 | 1.3784274E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.357257E-4 | 1.3783427E-4 | 1.3783427E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.1522263E-8 | 3.965821E-8 | 3.965821E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7795254E-7 | 1.6996376E-7 | 1.6996376E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.16657E-6 | 2.069307E-6 | 2.069307E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1665488E-5 | 2.0692898E-5 | 2.0692898E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.7242046E-10 | 5.94783E-10 | 5.94783E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3103735E-9 | 2.5490698E-9 | 2.5490698E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0303796E-8 | 3.1034926E-8 | 3.1034926E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.030379E-7 | 3.1034924E-7 | 3.1034924E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 10 (Panoche)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6014626E-5 | 1.6578562E-5 | 1.6578562E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863231E-5 | 7.104908E-5 | 7.104908E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.35278E-4 | 8.646848E-4 | 8.7467616E-4 | 1.011555 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008321454 | 0.008613816 | 0.008633644 | 1.0023018 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6014626E-5 | 1.6578562E-5 | 1.6578562E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863231E-5 | 7.104908E-5 | 7.104908E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.35278E-4 | 8.646848E-4 | 8.7467616E-4 | 1.011555 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008321454 | 0.008613816 | 0.008633644 | 1.0023018 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.56782E-5 | 1.6201555E-5 | 1.6201555E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.719056E-5 | 6.9433416E-5 | 6.9433416E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.17738E-4 | 8.4502954E-4 | 8.550211E-4 | 1.0118239 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008147354 | 0.008418764 | 0.008438596 | 1.0023557 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.5263338E-5 | 1.572654E-5 | 1.572654E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.541267E-5 | 6.739775E-5 | 6.739775E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.961082E-4 | 8.2026416E-4 | 8.30256E-4 | 1.0121812 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007932622 | 0.008172952 | 0.008192788 | 1.0024271 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.4720723E-5 | 1.510229E-5 | 1.510229E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.308728E-5 | 6.4722524E-5 | 6.4722524E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.67817E-4 | 7.8771723E-4 | 7.8771723E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007651695 | 0.00784982 | 0.007859741 | 1.0012639 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.408264E-5 | 1.4358738E-5 | 1.4358738E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0352773E-5 | 6.1536026E-5 | 6.1536026E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3454727E-4 | 7.4894883E-4 | 7.4894883E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0073212404 | 0.0074647977 | 0.007474723 | 1.0013297 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.3197086E-5 | 1.33244475E-5 | 1.33244475E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6557717E-5 | 5.7103553E-5 | 5.7103553E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8837265E-4 | 6.9501915E-4 | 6.9501915E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006862442 | 0.0069289883 | 0.0069289883 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.017583E-5 | 9.747165E-6 | 9.747165E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.360997E-5 | 4.177291E-5 | 4.177291E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.30822E-4 | 5.084689E-4 | 5.084689E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052955584 | 0.0050733075 | 0.0050733075 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 8.557912E-6 | 7.874138E-6 | 7.874138E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.667625E-5 | 3.3745877E-5 | 3.3745877E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4644187E-4 | 4.1078063E-4 | 4.1078063E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044554602 | 0.00410042 | 0.00410042 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 6.14664E-6 | 5.092992E-6 | 5.092992E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6342475E-5 | 2.1826934E-5 | 2.1826934E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2067244E-4 | 2.6571192E-4 | 2.6571192E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003202101 | 0.0026540803 | 0.0026540803 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 3.2310581E-6 | 1.6953718E-6 | 1.6953718E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3847319E-5 | 7.2658595E-6 | 7.2658595E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6857806E-4 | 8.845834E-5 | 8.845834E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016845023 | 8.8424067E-4 | 8.8424067E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.544492E-6 | 9.1902086E-7 | 9.1902086E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.090492E-5 | 3.938655E-6 | 3.938655E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.327593E-4 | 4.795212E-5 | 4.795212E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013268003 | 4.794225E-4 | 4.794225E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.4479045E-6 | 8.8425173E-7 | 8.8425173E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0490977E-5 | 3.789645E-6 | 3.789645E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2772017E-4 | 4.6138E-5 | 4.6138E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012764678 | 4.6128893E-4 | 4.6128893E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.0559578E-6 | 7.8938336E-7 | 7.8938336E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.811218E-6 | 3.3830675E-6 | 3.3830675E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.072713E-4 | 4.1188116E-5 | 4.1188116E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010721954 | 4.1180945E-4 | 4.1180945E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.727687E-6 | 7.388697E-7 | 7.388697E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.404352E-6 | 3.1665809E-6 | 3.1665809E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0144255E-5 | 3.8552487E-5 | 3.8552487E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0107694E-4 | 3.854626E-4 | 3.854626E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.5002679E-6 | 6.54697E-7 | 6.54697E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4297037E-6 | 2.8058414E-6 | 2.8058414E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.827883E-5 | 3.4160625E-5 | 3.4160625E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.825126E-4 | 3.415579E-4 | 3.415579E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Homestead Valley 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.539795E-5 | 6.2869603E-6 | 6.2869603E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5989545E-5 | 2.6943953E-5 | 2.6943953E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0312655E-4 | 3.2801385E-4 | 3.2801385E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008002302 | 0.0032773183 | 0.0032972528 | 1.0060825 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.539795E-5 | 6.2869603E-6 | 6.2869603E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5989545E-5 | 2.6943953E-5 | 2.6943953E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0312655E-4 | 3.2801385E-4 | 3.2801385E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008002302 | 0.0032773183 | 0.0032972528 | 1.0060825 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.539795E-5 | 6.2869603E-6 | 6.2869603E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5989545E-5 | 2.6943953E-5 | 2.6943953E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0312655E-4 | 3.2801385E-4 | 3.2801385E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008002302 | 0.0032773183 | 0.0032972528 | 1.0060825 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.539795E-5 | 6.2869603E-6 | 6.2869603E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5989545E-5 | 2.6943953E-5 | 2.6943953E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0312655E-4 | 3.2801385E-4 | 3.2801385E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008002302 | 0.0032773183 | 0.0032972528 | 1.0060825 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.539795E-5 | 6.2869603E-6 | 6.2869603E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5989545E-5 | 2.6943953E-5 | 2.6943953E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0312655E-4 | 3.2801385E-4 | 3.2801385E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008002302 | 0.0032773183 | 0.0032972528 | 1.0060825 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.0265258E-5 | 2.8788832E-6 | 2.8788832E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3993223E-5 | 1.2338051E-5 | 1.2338051E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3548586E-4 | 1.5021238E-4 | 1.5021238E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005341973 | 0.0015017905 | 0.0015117754 | 1.0066487 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.664671E-6 | 5.3458126E-7 | 5.3458126E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8562565E-5 | 2.2910613E-6 | 2.2910613E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.476937E-4 | 2.7893431E-5 | 2.7893431E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003471502 | 2.7891094E-4 | 2.7891094E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 6.5954046E-6 | 5.3458126E-7 | 5.3458126E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8265715E-5 | 2.2910613E-6 | 2.2910613E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4408073E-4 | 2.7893431E-5 | 2.7893431E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034354846 | 2.7891094E-4 | 2.7891094E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 4.648189E-6 | 2.3276777E-7 | 2.3276777E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9920659E-5 | 9.975759E-7 | 9.975759E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4250703E-4 | 1.2145423E-5 | 1.2145423E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024224254 | 1.2144807E-4 | 1.2144807E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 4.1428534E-6 | 1.9349032E-7 | 1.9349032E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7754966E-5 | 8.29244E-7 | 8.29244E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1614527E-4 | 1.0096002E-5 | 1.0096002E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021593515 | 1.0095573E-4 | 1.0095573E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 3.0673707E-6 | 1.5370588E-7 | 1.5370588E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3145808E-5 | 6.5873934E-7 | 6.5873934E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6003846E-4 | 8.0201235E-6 | 8.0201235E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015992324 | 8.019844E-5 | 8.019844E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.340854E-6 | 1.4690545E-7 | 1.4690545E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0032193E-5 | 6.2959464E-7 | 6.2959464E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.221351E-4 | 7.665289E-6 | 7.665289E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00122068 | 7.665034E-5 | 7.665034E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.3754182E-6 | 1.3925396E-7 | 1.3925396E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8946357E-6 | 5.968025E-7 | 5.968025E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.176483E-5 | 7.2660473E-6 | 7.2660473E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.174166E-4 | 7.265819E-5 | 7.265819E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.2573237E-6 | 1.3829894E-7 | 1.3829894E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.388519E-6 | 5.927096E-7 | 5.927096E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.560324E-5 | 7.2162165E-6 | 7.2162165E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.558388E-4 | 7.215991E-5 | 7.215991E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.0994207E-6 | 1.3108759E-7 | 1.3108759E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7117946E-6 | 5.6180386E-7 | 5.6180386E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.736459E-5 | 6.8399413E-6 | 6.8399413E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.734978E-4 | 6.83974E-5 | 6.83974E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 5.5569126E-7 | 6.774254E-8 | 6.774254E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3815317E-6 | 2.9032515E-7 | 2.9032515E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8994764E-5 | 3.5347034E-6 | 3.5347034E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.899098E-4 | 3.5346537E-5 | 3.5346537E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Calaveras (Central) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5010907E-4 | 2.48351E-4 | 2.48351E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4316596E-4 | 0.0010638612 | 0.0010738506 | 1.0093898 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0078024664 | 0.012866823 | 0.012886565 | 1.0015343 | 2.0E-5 | 0.07534136 | 0.12054291 | 0.120560504 | 1.0001459 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.4521465E-4 | 2.3996411E-4 | 2.3996411E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.222001E-4 | 0.0010279462 | 0.001037936 | 1.0097182 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0075490056 | 0.012435986 | 0.012455737 | 1.0015882 | 2.0E-5 | 0.07297657 | 0.116813645 | 0.11683131 | 1.0001512 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.429998E-4 | 2.392735E-4 | 2.392735E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.127123E-4 | 0.0010249892 | 0.0010349789 | 1.0097462 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007434286 | 0.01240044 | 0.012420191 | 1.0015929 | 2.0E-5 | 0.07190444 | 0.116466105 | 0.11648378 | 1.0001518 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3536277E-4 | 2.3257648E-4 | 2.3257648E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.799972E-4 | 9.96314E-4 | 0.001006304 | 1.010027 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0070386264 | 0.012056151 | 0.01207591 | 1.0016389 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0681982 | 0.11337502 | 0.113392755 | 1.0001564 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2993296E-4 | 2.268043E-4 | 2.268043E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5673666E-4 | 9.715949E-4 | 9.815851E-4 | 1.0102824 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006757223 | 0.01175855 | 0.0117783155 | 1.0016809 | 2.0E-5 | 0.06555412 | 0.11064962 | 0.11066741 | 1.0001607 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.0498927E-4 | 1.8009552E-4 | 1.8009552E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.498764E-4 | 7.7160855E-4 | 7.8160083E-4 | 1.01295 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005463498 | 0.00935378 | 0.009373592 | 1.0021182 | 2.0E-5 | 0.053311124 | 0.089324355 | 0.089342564 | 1.0002038 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0157505E-4 | 1.7496703E-4 | 1.7496703E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.35249E-4 | 7.4964226E-4 | 7.4964226E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052862884 | 0.009088635 | 0.009098545 | 1.0010903 | 1.0E-5 | 0.05162293 | 0.08690023 | 0.08690936 | 1.000105 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.660386E-5 | 1.6755589E-4 | 1.6755589E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1395082E-4 | 7.1789854E-4 | 7.1789854E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0050282106 | 0.008705346 | 0.008715259 | 1.0011387 | 1.0E-5 | 0.049159497 | 0.08338806 | 0.08339723 | 1.0001099 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 9.089927E-5 | 1.5668749E-4 | 1.5668749E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8951015E-4 | 6.713448E-4 | 6.713448E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0047319788 | 0.008142956 | 0.008152874 | 1.0012181 | 1.0E-5 | 0.046324775 | 0.078275025 | 0.07828425 | 1.0001178 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.353187E-5 | 1.231704E-4 | 1.231704E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.150985E-4 | 5.2776694E-4 | 5.2776694E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038295772 | 0.006406753 | 0.0064166887 | 1.0015508 | 1.0E-5 | 0.037642512 | 0.06229022 | 0.062299598 | 1.0001506 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.746064E-5 | 9.408845E-5 | 9.408845E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4623662E-4 | 4.0317426E-4 | 4.0317426E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029938098 | 0.00489767 | 0.004907621 | 1.0020318 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02953797 | 0.048083927 | 0.048093446 | 1.000198 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.9557195E-5 | 8.0693775E-5 | 8.0693775E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.123707E-4 | 3.4578494E-4 | 3.4578494E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025825473 | 0.004201868 | 0.0042118262 | 1.0023699 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0255274 | 0.041455925 | 0.04146551 | 1.0002313 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.687595E-5 | 5.968496E-5 | 5.968496E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5803022E-4 | 2.5576778E-4 | 2.5576778E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019223199 | 0.0031095552 | 0.003119524 | 1.0032059 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01905776 | 0.030962864 | 0.030972553 | 1.0003129 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.5846984E-5 | 4.261201E-5 | 4.261201E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1076809E-4 | 1.8261022E-4 | 1.8261022E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013477671 | 0.0022210302 | 0.002231008 | 1.0044924 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013396223 | 0.022245554 | 0.022255331 | 1.0004395 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.7747854E-5 | 3.0006437E-5 | 3.0006437E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6060016E-5 | 1.2859268E-4 | 1.2859268E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2563726E-4 | 0.0015644946 | 0.0015744789 | 1.0063819 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009217911 | 0.015744437 | 0.015754279 | 1.0006251 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.4883479E-5 | 2.630918E-5 | 2.630918E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.378478E-5 | 1.1274878E-4 | 1.1274878E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.76303E-4 | 0.0013718547 | 0.001381841 | 1.0072794 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0077359667 | 0.013835565 | 0.013845427 | 1.0007128 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 8.166975E-6 | 1.5010921E-5 | 1.5010921E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5000852E-5 | 6.433094E-5 | 6.433094E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2605202E-4 | 7.829491E-4 | 7.9294125E-4 | 1.0127622 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004252361 | 0.007963647 | 0.007973568 | 1.0012457 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 3.3858064E-6 | 6.2844215E-6 | 6.2844215E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4510518E-5 | 2.6932958E-5 | 2.6932958E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7665124E-4 | 3.2785948E-4 | 3.378562E-4 | 1.0304909 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017651088 | 0.0034032406 | 0.0034132067 | 1.0029284 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.7721615E-6 | 5.392616E-6 | 5.392616E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1880637E-5 | 2.3111008E-5 | 2.3111008E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4463716E-4 | 2.8134024E-4 | 2.913374E-4 | 1.0355341 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014454306 | 0.002920361 | 0.0029303317 | 1.0034143 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.9736292E-6 | 4.147734E-6 | 4.147734E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.4583835E-6 | 1.7775883E-5 | 1.7775883E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0297595E-4 | 2.1639993E-4 | 2.1639993E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010292825 | 0.0022330268 | 0.0022330268 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.1767289E-6 | 2.5659042E-6 | 2.5659042E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0431145E-6 | 1.0996686E-5 | 1.0996686E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.139818E-5 | 1.3387646E-4 | 1.3387646E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1381224E-4 | 0.0013716512 | 0.0013716512 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 7.5112825E-7 | 1.5479106E-6 | 1.5479106E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2191172E-6 | 6.633886E-6 | 6.633886E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9192048E-5 | 8.076459E-5 | 8.076459E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9185135E-4 | 8.269566E-4 | 8.269566E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Lytle Creek connector)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.6843672E-6 | 6.6843672E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.8646975E-5 | 2.8646975E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.4872117E-4 | 3.587177E-4 | 1.0286663 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.0035620353 | 0.003581964 | 1.0055947 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.6843672E-6 | 6.6843672E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.8646975E-5 | 2.8646975E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.4872117E-4 | 3.587177E-4 | 1.0286663 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.0035620353 | 0.003581964 | 1.0055947 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.6843672E-6 | 6.6843672E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.8646975E-5 | 2.8646975E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.4872117E-4 | 3.587177E-4 | 1.0286663 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.0035620353 | 0.003581964 | 1.0055947 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.6843672E-6 | 6.6843672E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.8646975E-5 | 2.8646975E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.4872117E-4 | 3.587177E-4 | 1.0286663 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.0035620353 | 0.003581964 | 1.0055947 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.6843672E-6 | 6.6843672E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.8646975E-5 | 2.8646975E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.4872117E-4 | 3.587177E-4 | 1.0286663 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.0035620353 | 0.003581964 | 1.0055947 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.6561875E-6 | 6.6445828E-6 | 6.6445828E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8526205E-5 | 2.8476474E-5 | 2.8476474E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.472512E-4 | 3.4664597E-4 | 3.5664253E-4 | 1.0288379 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034670907 | 0.0035413497 | 0.0035612788 | 1.0056275 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.6561875E-6 | 6.6445828E-6 | 6.6445828E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8526205E-5 | 2.8476474E-5 | 2.8476474E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.472512E-4 | 3.4664597E-4 | 3.5664253E-4 | 1.0288379 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034670907 | 0.0035413497 | 0.0035612788 | 1.0056275 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.5802237E-6 | 6.5637537E-6 | 6.5637537E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8200653E-5 | 2.813007E-5 | 2.813007E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4328885E-4 | 3.4242985E-4 | 3.5242643E-4 | 1.029193 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034275902 | 0.0034993216 | 0.0035192517 | 1.0056953 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.575632E-6 | 6.558242E-6 | 6.558242E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8180975E-5 | 2.810645E-5 | 2.810645E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4304935E-4 | 3.4214236E-4 | 3.5213894E-4 | 1.0292176 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034252026 | 0.0034964557 | 0.0035163858 | 1.0057001 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.570433E-6 | 6.5496324E-6 | 6.5496324E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8158694E-5 | 2.8069553E-5 | 2.8069553E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4277816E-4 | 3.416933E-4 | 3.5168987E-4 | 1.029256 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034224992 | 0.003491979 | 0.0035119092 | 1.0057074 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 6.5643826E-6 | 6.5397494E-6 | 6.5397494E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8132765E-5 | 2.8027196E-5 | 2.8027196E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.424626E-4 | 3.4117777E-4 | 3.5117436E-4 | 1.0293002 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034193532 | 0.00348684 | 0.0035067704 | 1.0057158 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 6.557402E-6 | 6.528457E-6 | 6.528457E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8102848E-5 | 2.7978802E-5 | 2.7978802E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4209844E-4 | 3.4058874E-4 | 3.5058532E-4 | 1.0293509 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034157229 | 0.003480969 | 0.0035008995 | 1.0057255 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.546394E-6 | 6.5104155E-6 | 6.5104155E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8055672E-5 | 2.7901482E-5 | 2.7901482E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4152428E-4 | 3.3964767E-4 | 3.4964425E-4 | 1.0294323 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034099987 | 0.0034715922 | 0.003491523 | 1.005741 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.5364216E-6 | 6.491185E-6 | 6.491185E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8012933E-5 | 2.7819067E-5 | 2.7819067E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4100408E-4 | 3.3864458E-4 | 3.486412E-4 | 1.0295194 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003404813 | 0.003461605 | 0.0034815357 | 1.0057577 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.5269523E-6 | 6.4722535E-6 | 6.4722535E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7972354E-5 | 2.7737935E-5 | 2.7737935E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4051016E-4 | 3.376571E-4 | 3.4765372E-4 | 1.0296059 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033998888 | 0.0034517783 | 0.003471709 | 1.0057741 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.5111835E-6 | 6.4485084E-6 | 6.4485084E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7904773E-5 | 2.7636172E-5 | 2.7636172E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3968766E-4 | 3.364185E-4 | 3.4641515E-4 | 1.0297148 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033916887 | 0.0034394383 | 0.0034593695 | 1.0057949 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.4768806E-6 | 6.4075875E-6 | 6.4075875E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7757764E-5 | 2.7460801E-5 | 2.7460801E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3789838E-4 | 3.3428404E-4 | 3.442807E-4 | 1.0299047 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033738504 | 0.0034181552 | 0.003438087 | 1.0058311 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.1655364E-6 | 6.1998817E-6 | 6.1998817E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.642346E-5 | 2.6570651E-5 | 2.6570651E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2165812E-4 | 3.2344973E-4 | 3.334465E-4 | 1.0309067 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032119295 | 0.0033096867 | 0.0033296205 | 1.0060228 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.5043524E-6 | 5.7602774E-6 | 5.7602774E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3589868E-5 | 2.4686671E-5 | 2.4686671E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.871688E-4 | 3.0051882E-4 | 3.105158E-4 | 1.0332658 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028679797 | 0.003079446 | 0.0030993845 | 1.0064747 | 2.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.889249E-6 | 4.0956074E-6 | 4.0956074E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6668104E-5 | 1.7552486E-5 | 1.7552486E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0291525E-4 | 2.1368059E-4 | 2.2367845E-4 | 1.0467888 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020273007 | 0.0022042159 | 0.0022241718 | 1.0090535 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.668535E-6 | 2.5445097E-6 | 2.5445097E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1436528E-5 | 1.0904996E-5 | 1.0904996E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3923083E-4 | 1.3276027E-4 | 1.3276027E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013914363 | 0.0013827047 | 0.0013926908 | 1.0072222 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.5911459E-6 | 1.2255833E-6 | 1.2255833E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8191785E-6 | 5.2524897E-6 | 5.2524897E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.3020335E-5 | 6.3947205E-5 | 6.3947205E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.298933E-4 | 6.730645E-4 | 6.8305776E-4 | 1.0148474 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 6.1294963E-7 | 2.2010839E-7 | 2.2010839E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6269242E-6 | 9.433213E-7 | 9.433213E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1982334E-5 | 1.1484876E-5 | 1.1484876E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1977732E-4 | 1.2896978E-4 | 1.2896978E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.762871E-7 | 4.8044697E-8 | 4.8044697E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5551594E-7 | 2.0590583E-7 | 2.0590583E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1983675E-6 | 2.5069007E-6 | 2.5069007E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.197987E-5 | 2.8976781E-5 | 2.8976781E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 07 (Orestimba)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.9687902E-5 | 3.2761545E-5 | 3.2761545E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2722766E-4 | 1.4039947E-4 | 1.4039947E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015478961 | 0.0017080952 | 0.0017280611 | 1.011689 | 2.0E-5 | 0.015371585 | 0.016957214 | 0.016976874 | 1.0011594 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.9687902E-5 | 3.2761545E-5 | 3.2761545E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2722766E-4 | 1.4039947E-4 | 1.4039947E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015478961 | 0.0017080952 | 0.0017180782 | 1.0058445 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015371585 | 0.016957214 | 0.016967045 | 1.0005797 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.9231524E-5 | 2.1161699E-5 | 2.1161699E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2418206E-5 | 9.068997E-5 | 9.068997E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010029797 | 0.0011036143 | 0.0011136032 | 1.0090511 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00998465 | 0.010983748 | 0.010993638 | 1.0009004 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.324766E-5 | 1.4550239E-5 | 1.4550239E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6774446E-5 | 6.235673E-5 | 6.235673E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.910097E-4 | 7.589379E-4 | 7.689303E-4 | 1.0131663 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006888649 | 0.0075644073 | 0.0075743315 | 1.001312 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.818645E-6 | 8.5738275E-6 | 8.5738275E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3508048E-5 | 3.6744477E-5 | 3.6744477E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.078841E-4 | 4.4727552E-4 | 4.5727106E-4 | 1.0223476 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004071363 | 0.0044640936 | 0.004474049 | 1.00223 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.3076565E-6 | 5.8184683E-6 | 5.8184683E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.27469E-5 | 2.4936066E-5 | 2.4936066E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7690834E-4 | 3.0355642E-4 | 3.0355642E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027656353 | 0.0030316273 | 0.0030316273 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 3.6003578E-6 | 3.948951E-6 | 3.948951E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5430012E-5 | 1.6923976E-5 | 1.6923976E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8784421E-4 | 2.0603149E-4 | 2.0603149E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018768552 | 0.0020585589 | 0.0020585589 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 2.5361826E-6 | 2.7837918E-6 | 2.7837918E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0869308E-5 | 1.193049E-5 | 1.193049E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3232579E-4 | 1.4524536E-4 | 1.4524536E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013224703 | 0.0014516342 | 0.0014516342 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.2115831E-6 | 1.331537E-6 | 1.331537E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1924885E-6 | 5.70658E-6 | 5.70658E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3216714E-5 | 6.9476366E-5 | 6.9476366E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3198735E-4 | 6.9464155E-4 | 6.9464155E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Juan
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.682808E-6 | 8.752748E-6 | 8.752748E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.72115E-5 | 3.7511265E-5 | 3.7511265E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5295584E-4 | 4.5660877E-4 | 4.666042E-4 | 1.0218906 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004520337 | 0.0045572477 | 0.004567202 | 1.0021843 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 8.682808E-6 | 8.752748E-6 | 8.752748E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.72115E-5 | 3.7511265E-5 | 3.7511265E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5295584E-4 | 4.5660877E-4 | 4.666042E-4 | 1.0218906 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004520337 | 0.0045572477 | 0.004567202 | 1.0021843 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 8.682808E-6 | 8.752748E-6 | 8.752748E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.72115E-5 | 3.7511265E-5 | 3.7511265E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5295584E-4 | 4.5660877E-4 | 4.666042E-4 | 1.0218906 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004520337 | 0.0045572477 | 0.004567202 | 1.0021843 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.3054235E-6 | 6.286059E-6 | 6.286059E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7022963E-5 | 2.6939982E-5 | 2.6939982E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2895492E-4 | 3.2794633E-4 | 3.3794306E-4 | 1.0304828 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003284684 | 0.0032748247 | 0.003284792 | 1.0030437 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.1490473E-6 | 6.1174637E-6 | 6.1174637E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6352795E-5 | 2.6217445E-5 | 2.6217445E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2079802E-4 | 3.1915202E-4 | 3.2914884E-4 | 1.0313231 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032033534 | 0.0031871342 | 0.0031971023 | 1.0031276 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.204848E-6 | 5.140135E-6 | 5.140135E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.23063E-5 | 2.202897E-5 | 2.202897E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7154534E-4 | 2.6817064E-4 | 2.7816795E-4 | 1.0372797 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0027121378 | 0.0026786255 | 0.0026885986 | 1.0037233 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.5179986E-6 | 4.4172007E-6 | 4.4172007E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9362706E-5 | 1.8930727E-5 | 1.8930727E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3571544E-4 | 2.3045801E-4 | 2.404557E-4 | 1.0433818 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023546559 | 0.0023023284 | 0.0023123052 | 1.0043334 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.9442616E-6 | 3.821768E-6 | 3.821768E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6903869E-5 | 1.6378908E-5 | 1.6378908E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0578515E-4 | 1.9939562E-4 | 2.0939363E-4 | 1.0501416 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002055947 | 0.0019922932 | 0.0020022732 | 1.0050093 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.4536245E-6 | 3.318195E-6 | 3.318195E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4801163E-5 | 1.4220761E-5 | 1.4220761E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8018926E-4 | 1.7312463E-4 | 1.8312289E-4 | 1.0577519 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018004322 | 0.0017300175 | 0.0017400001 | 1.0057703 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.059865E-6 | 2.9138077E-6 | 2.9138077E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3113641E-5 | 1.2487691E-5 | 1.2487691E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.596469E-4 | 1.520276E-4 | 1.6202607E-4 | 1.0657675 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015953224 | 0.0015193516 | 0.0015293364 | 1.0065718 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.6504351E-6 | 2.4936767E-6 | 2.4936767E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1358958E-5 | 1.0687145E-5 | 1.0687145E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3828653E-4 | 1.3010876E-4 | 1.4010747E-4 | 1.0768487 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013820052 | 0.0013004388 | 0.0013104258 | 1.0076797 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.2039317E-6 | 2.0352054E-6 | 2.0352054E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.445387E-6 | 8.7222825E-6 | 8.7222825E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1499152E-4 | 1.06189145E-4 | 1.1618809E-4 | 1.0941616 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011493203 | 0.001061495 | 0.0010714844 | 1.0094106 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.0786707E-6 | 8.7819353E-7 | 8.7819353E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.622866E-6 | 3.763681E-6 | 3.763681E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.628194E-5 | 4.5821864E-5 | 4.5821864E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6267687E-4 | 4.5818416E-4 | 4.5818416E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 6.846433E-7 | 4.8762377E-7 | 4.8762377E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9341822E-6 | 2.0898144E-6 | 2.0898144E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5723086E-5 | 2.5443194E-5 | 2.5443194E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.571734E-4 | 2.5443605E-4 | 2.5443605E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.23043E-7 | 3.2683E-7 | 3.2683E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2416111E-6 | 1.4006993E-6 | 1.4006993E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7291273E-5 | 1.705338E-5 | 1.705338E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7287923E-4 | 1.7055256E-4 | 1.7055256E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.648444E-7 | 2.7282067E-7 | 2.7282067E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9921886E-6 | 1.1692309E-6 | 1.1692309E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4254627E-5 | 1.4235295E-5 | 1.4235295E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.425198E-4 | 1.4237336E-4 | 1.4237336E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.9906567E-7 | 2.2120533E-7 | 2.2120533E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7102802E-6 | 9.4802243E-7 | 9.4802243E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0822463E-5 | 1.1542113E-5 | 1.1542113E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0820512E-4 | 1.15439565E-4 | 1.15439565E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.8784601E-7 | 5.380316E-8 | 5.380316E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0505407E-7 | 2.3058493E-7 | 2.3058493E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.80149E-6 | 2.8073678E-6 | 2.8073678E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.801057E-5 | 2.8082526E-5 | 2.8082526E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.00154914E-7 | 1.2457966E-8 | 1.2457966E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2923529E-7 | 5.3391275E-8 | 5.3391275E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.225927E-6 | 6.500386E-7 | 6.500386E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.225804E-5 | 6.50627E-6 | 6.50627E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.171429E-8 | 4.3180193E-9 | 4.3180193E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6448978E-7 | 1.8505794E-8 | 1.8505794E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2201583E-6 | 2.2530803E-7 | 2.2530803E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2201115E-5 | 2.258376E-6 | 2.258376E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.3974572E-8 | 3.4169978E-10 | 3.4169978E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.989102E-8 | 1.4644234E-9 | 1.4644234E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2917294E-7 | 1.7829356E-8 | 1.7829356E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2917055E-6 | 1.8259455E-7 | 1.8259455E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.8403477E-9 | 1.14010024E-10 | 1.14010024E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.887204E-9 | 4.886116E-10 | 4.886116E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.602671E-8 | 5.94885E-9 | 5.94885E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.602667E-7 | 6.068801E-8 | 6.068801E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Coronado Bank alt1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.533492E-5 | 9.39785E-5 | 9.39785E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.22824E-4 | 4.0270708E-4 | 4.1270306E-4 | 1.024822 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0039233007 | 0.004892549 | 0.0049025 | 1.002034 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03854755 | 0.047917582 | 0.047936622 | 1.0003973 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.1807285E-5 | 5.0505565E-5 | 5.0505565E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7916178E-4 | 2.1643506E-4 | 2.1643506E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021791123 | 0.0026319919 | 0.0026319919 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021578677 | 0.026017508 | 0.026017508 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.2 | 4.1807285E-5 | 5.0505565E-5 | 5.0505565E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7916178E-4 | 2.1643506E-4 | 2.1643506E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021791123 | 0.0026319919 | 0.0026319919 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021578677 | 0.026017508 | 0.026017508 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 3.1793104E-5 | 3.771957E-5 | 3.771957E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3624904E-4 | 1.6164548E-4 | 1.6164548E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016575698 | 0.0019662897 | 0.0019662897 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016452603 | 0.019492822 | 0.019492822 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 2.9878007E-5 | 3.534357E-5 | 3.534357E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2804232E-4 | 1.5146386E-4 | 1.5146386E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015578003 | 0.001842545 | 0.001842545 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015469253 | 0.01827645 | 0.01827645 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 2.4512565E-5 | 2.8770133E-5 | 2.8770133E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0504962E-4 | 1.232949E-4 | 1.232949E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012782287 | 0.0015001083 | 0.0015001083 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012709012 | 0.01490279 | 0.01490279 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 2.1317413E-5 | 2.4911742E-5 | 2.4911742E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.135714E-5 | 1.06760366E-4 | 1.06760366E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011117056 | 0.0012990546 | 0.0012990546 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011061605 | 0.012917019 | 0.012917019 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.8585655E-5 | 2.1639178E-5 | 2.1639178E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9650374E-5 | 9.2736154E-5 | 9.2736154E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.6931186E-4 | 0.0011284983 | 0.0011284983 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0096509475 | 0.011229841 | 0.011229841 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.5862879E-5 | 1.8423076E-5 | 1.8423076E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.798199E-5 | 7.895375E-5 | 7.895375E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.273665E-4 | 9.608573E-4 | 9.608573E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008242928 | 0.009569012 | 0.009569012 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.3021509E-5 | 1.5098188E-5 | 1.5098188E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5805274E-5 | 6.470501E-5 | 6.470501E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.792174E-4 | 7.8751694E-4 | 7.8751694E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006771452 | 0.007849086 | 0.007849086 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.0974371E-5 | 1.272257E-5 | 1.272257E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7032172E-5 | 5.4524262E-5 | 5.4524262E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7246623E-4 | 6.6364824E-4 | 6.6364824E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057099373 | 0.006618414 | 0.006618414 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 8.766221E-6 | 1.0165815E-5 | 1.0165815E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7568978E-5 | 4.356715E-5 | 4.356715E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.573063E-4 | 5.303182E-4 | 5.303182E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045636636 | 0.0052922266 | 0.0052922266 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 8.026024E-7 | 8.3324284E-7 | 8.3324284E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.43972E-6 | 3.571036E-6 | 3.571036E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1877785E-5 | 4.3476506E-5 | 4.3476506E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1869894E-4 | 4.3468107E-4 | 4.3468107E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.7293114E-7 | 3.70032E-7 | 3.70032E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5982754E-6 | 1.5858504E-6 | 1.5858504E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9458828E-5 | 1.930756E-5 | 1.930756E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9457124E-4 | 1.9305888E-4 | 1.9305888E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.0557036E-7 | 1.9675366E-7 | 1.9675366E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.810155E-7 | 8.4322966E-7 | 8.4322966E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0726311E-5 | 1.0266273E-5 | 1.0266273E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0725793E-4 | 1.0265802E-4 | 1.0265802E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.845446E-8 | 6.2795856E-8 | 6.2795856E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9337625E-7 | 2.6912508E-7 | 2.6912508E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5718497E-6 | 3.276593E-6 | 3.276593E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5717923E-5 | 3.2765456E-5 | 3.2765456E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.0975145E-9 | 5.5320197E-9 | 5.5320197E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6132206E-8 | 2.3708655E-8 | 2.3708655E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1815955E-7 | 2.8865284E-7 | 2.8865284E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.181591E-6 | 2.8865256E-6 | 2.8865256E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Earthquake Valley (No Extension)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.1859703E-5 | 2.5203075E-5 | 2.5203075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3681076E-5 | 1.08009524E-4 | 1.08009524E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011399703 | 0.0013143677 | 0.0013143677 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011341401 | 0.013080306 | 0.013100045 | 1.0015091 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1859703E-5 | 2.5203075E-5 | 2.5203075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3681076E-5 | 1.08009524E-4 | 1.08009524E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011399703 | 0.0013143677 | 0.0013143677 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011341401 | 0.013080306 | 0.013100045 | 1.0015091 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1859703E-5 | 2.5203075E-5 | 2.5203075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3681076E-5 | 1.08009524E-4 | 1.08009524E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011399703 | 0.0013143677 | 0.0013143677 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011341401 | 0.013080306 | 0.013100045 | 1.0015091 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.1859703E-5 | 2.5203075E-5 | 2.5203075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3681076E-5 | 1.08009524E-4 | 1.08009524E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011399703 | 0.0013143677 | 0.0013143677 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011341401 | 0.013080306 | 0.013100045 | 1.0015091 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.1859703E-5 | 2.5203075E-5 | 2.5203075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3681076E-5 | 1.08009524E-4 | 1.08009524E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011399703 | 0.0013143677 | 0.0013143677 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011341401 | 0.013080306 | 0.013100045 | 1.0015091 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.1859703E-5 | 2.5203075E-5 | 2.5203075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3681076E-5 | 1.08009524E-4 | 1.08009524E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011399703 | 0.0013143677 | 0.0013143677 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011341401 | 0.013080306 | 0.013100045 | 1.0015091 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.597E-5 | 1.8359671E-5 | 1.8359671E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8441055E-5 | 7.8682424E-5 | 7.8682424E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.329513E-4 | 9.576248E-4 | 9.576248E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008298361 | 0.009543594 | 0.009543594 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.597E-5 | 1.8359671E-5 | 1.8359671E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8441055E-5 | 7.8682424E-5 | 7.8682424E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.329513E-4 | 9.576248E-4 | 9.576248E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008298361 | 0.009543594 | 0.009543594 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.5315149E-5 | 1.760535E-5 | 1.760535E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5634704E-5 | 7.544981E-5 | 7.544981E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.988095E-4 | 9.18301E-4 | 9.18301E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007959441 | 0.009153607 | 0.009153607 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.3634728E-5 | 1.5678743E-5 | 1.5678743E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8433237E-5 | 6.7193345E-5 | 6.7193345E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1119244E-4 | 8.178541E-4 | 8.178541E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007089207 | 0.008156516 | 0.008156516 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.3496271E-5 | 1.5520749E-5 | 1.5520749E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.783988E-5 | 6.651626E-5 | 6.651626E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.03973E-4 | 8.096167E-4 | 8.096167E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007017471 | 0.008074743 | 0.008074743 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 8.242798E-6 | 9.474407E-6 | 9.474407E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.53258E-5 | 4.0604347E-5 | 4.0604347E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.300067E-4 | 4.943129E-4 | 4.943129E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004291756 | 0.004938713 | 0.004938713 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.6506527E-7 | 2.2565335E-7 | 2.2565335E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1359936E-6 | 9.670855E-7 | 9.670855E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3830633E-5 | 1.1774206E-5 | 1.1774206E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3829772E-4 | 1.17736236E-4 | 1.17736236E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.5810488E-7 | 2.1960392E-7 | 2.1960392E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1061633E-6 | 9.411594E-7 | 9.411594E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3467455E-5 | 1.1458559E-5 | 1.1458559E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3466639E-4 | 1.145801E-4 | 1.145801E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.2676066E-7 | 1.9115369E-7 | 1.9115369E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.71831E-7 | 8.1922985E-7 | 8.1922985E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1831979E-5 | 9.974082E-6 | 9.974082E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1831349E-4 | 9.973673E-5 | 9.973673E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.5553917E-7 | 1.3115847E-7 | 1.3115847E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6659624E-7 | 5.6210763E-7 | 5.6210763E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.115779E-6 | 6.8436407E-6 | 6.8436407E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.115482E-5 | 6.843452E-5 | 6.843452E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.3448629E-7 | 1.1291683E-7 | 1.1291683E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7636964E-7 | 4.8392917E-7 | 4.8392917E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.017278E-6 | 5.891824E-6 | 5.891824E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0170565E-5 | 5.8916892E-5 | 5.8916892E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.9719402E-8 | 1.45875765E-8 | 1.45875765E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2736886E-7 | 6.251818E-8 | 6.251818E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5507147E-6 | 7.611587E-7 | 7.611587E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.550704E-5 | 7.6115657E-6 | 7.6115657E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 7.4390196E-9 | 3.2513314E-9 | 3.2513314E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1881513E-8 | 1.3934278E-8 | 1.3934278E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8815733E-7 | 1.6964982E-7 | 1.6964982E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8815665E-6 | 1.6964972E-6 | 1.6964972E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.5373532E-9 | 8.44244E-10 | 8.44244E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5886567E-9 | 3.6181884E-9 | 3.6181884E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.021689E-8 | 4.4051447E-8 | 4.4051447E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0216864E-7 | 4.4051444E-7 | 4.4051444E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elsinore (Temecula) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.9514995E-5 | 2.2528575E-5 | 2.2528575E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.264867E-4 | 9.6547585E-5 | 9.6547585E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015388876 | 0.0011748549 | 0.0011748549 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015282745 | 0.011698068 | 0.0117178345 | 1.0016897 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.9514995E-5 | 2.2528575E-5 | 2.2528575E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.264867E-4 | 9.6547585E-5 | 9.6547585E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015388876 | 0.0011748549 | 0.0011748549 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015282745 | 0.011698068 | 0.0117178345 | 1.0016897 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.9514995E-5 | 2.2528575E-5 | 2.2528575E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.264867E-4 | 9.6547585E-5 | 9.6547585E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015388876 | 0.0011748549 | 0.0011748549 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015282745 | 0.011698068 | 0.0117178345 | 1.0016897 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3223649E-5 | 1.8415301E-5 | 1.8415301E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.952613E-5 | 7.892043E-5 | 7.892043E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001211057 | 9.604498E-4 | 9.604498E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012044783 | 0.009569895 | 0.009589705 | 1.0020698 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.3223649E-5 | 1.8415301E-5 | 1.8415301E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.952613E-5 | 7.892043E-5 | 7.892043E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001211057 | 9.604498E-4 | 9.604498E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012044783 | 0.009569895 | 0.009589705 | 1.0020698 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.8338875E-5 | 1.4756314E-5 | 1.4756314E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8592806E-5 | 6.3239866E-5 | 6.3239866E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.5644733E-4 | 7.696821E-4 | 7.696821E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009523412 | 0.00767366 | 0.0076935063 | 1.0025864 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.8223333E-5 | 1.46188395E-5 | 1.46188395E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.809766E-5 | 6.265072E-5 | 6.265072E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.504242E-4 | 7.6251425E-4 | 7.6251425E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009463696 | 0.007602473 | 0.0076223207 | 1.0026107 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.7512752E-5 | 1.4033172E-5 | 1.4033172E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.505249E-5 | 6.014083E-5 | 6.014083E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.13381E-4 | 7.319772E-4 | 7.319772E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00909636 | 0.007302009 | 0.007321863 | 1.0027189 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.7417142E-5 | 1.3957131E-5 | 1.3957131E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4642754E-5 | 5.9814953E-5 | 5.9814953E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.083966E-4 | 7.280123E-4 | 7.280123E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009046922 | 0.0072625596 | 0.0072824145 | 1.0027338 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.6402591E-5 | 1.2994363E-5 | 1.2994363E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0294926E-5 | 5.568898E-5 | 5.568898E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5550465E-4 | 6.778101E-4 | 6.778101E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008522186 | 0.006762966 | 0.0067828307 | 1.0029373 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.3912486E-5 | 1.0883402E-5 | 1.0883402E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9623577E-5 | 4.664233E-5 | 4.664233E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2567526E-4 | 5.6772516E-4 | 5.6772516E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0072331014 | 0.0056666 | 0.0056765433 | 1.0017548 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.3405147E-5 | 1.0332336E-5 | 1.0332336E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7449364E-5 | 4.4280703E-5 | 4.4280703E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9922156E-4 | 5.3898676E-4 | 5.3898676E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0069702556 | 0.0053802095 | 0.0053901556 | 1.0018487 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.21402E-5 | 9.001082E-6 | 9.001082E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.202839E-5 | 3.85755E-5 | 3.85755E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.332616E-4 | 4.695573E-4 | 4.695573E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063146 | 0.004687018 | 0.0046969713 | 1.0021236 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.05047775E-5 | 7.575511E-6 | 7.575511E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5019697E-5 | 3.246608E-5 | 3.246608E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4797693E-4 | 3.952043E-4 | 3.952043E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005466277 | 0.0039453898 | 0.0039553503 | 1.0025246 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.624483E-6 | 6.790264E-6 | 6.790264E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.124713E-5 | 2.9100815E-5 | 2.9100815E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0206814E-4 | 3.542462E-4 | 3.542462E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005009353 | 0.003536973 | 0.0035469376 | 1.0028173 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 8.215151E-6 | 5.638417E-6 | 5.638417E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5207315E-5 | 2.4164428E-5 | 2.4164428E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2856473E-4 | 2.9416347E-4 | 2.9416347E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004277392 | 0.002937869 | 0.0029478394 | 1.0033938 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.975058E-6 | 4.6786417E-6 | 4.6786417E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9892764E-5 | 2.0051175E-5 | 2.0051175E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6388362E-4 | 2.4409688E-4 | 2.4409688E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036328835 | 0.002438404 | 0.002438404 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.159604E-6 | 2.3283671E-6 | 2.3283671E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7826753E-5 | 9.978683E-6 | 9.978683E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1701909E-4 | 1.2148443E-4 | 1.2148443E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021680726 | 0.0012142534 | 0.0012142534 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.2692414E-7 | 9.388763E-8 | 9.388763E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.725317E-7 | 4.023755E-7 | 4.023755E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1840509E-5 | 4.898914E-6 | 4.898914E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1839878E-4 | 4.898839E-5 | 4.898839E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.440774E-9 | 3.440774E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.4746175E-8 | 1.4746175E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.7953467E-7 | 1.7953467E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838679E-6 | 1.7953454E-6 | 1.7953454E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Calaveras (So) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5950744E-4 | 3.074314E-4 | 3.074314E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.834242E-4 | 0.0013166694 | 0.0013166694 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00828899 | 0.015873082 | 0.015882924 | 1.00062 | 1.0E-5 | 0.079865426 | 0.14452027 | 0.14453737 | 1.0001184 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.3584697E-4 | 2.60647E-4 | 2.60647E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8207137E-4 | 0.0011163643 | 0.0011163643 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007063716 | 0.013475363 | 0.013485229 | 1.0007321 | 1.0E-5 | 0.06843361 | 0.124144785 | 0.1241623 | 1.0001411 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.14676266E-4 | 2.1742845E-4 | 2.1742845E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9137714E-4 | 9.3134854E-4 | 9.3134854E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0059661185 | 0.011258402 | 0.011268289 | 1.0008782 | 1.0E-5 | 0.058084648 | 0.105132796 | 0.10515069 | 1.0001702 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 8.691518E-5 | 1.6012348E-4 | 1.6012348E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7244044E-4 | 6.8602315E-4 | 6.8602315E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004525038 | 0.008313689 | 0.008323606 | 1.0011928 | 1.0E-5 | 0.044339992 | 0.07944587 | 0.07946428 | 1.0002317 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 8.50982E-5 | 1.5718624E-4 | 1.5718624E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.646556E-4 | 6.734415E-4 | 6.734415E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044306475 | 0.008161661 | 0.00817158 | 1.0012152 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04343345 | 0.07805163 | 0.07807007 | 1.0002363 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 8.4062965E-5 | 1.554299E-4 | 1.554299E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.602201E-4 | 6.6591817E-4 | 6.6591817E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004376863 | 0.008070839 | 0.008080758 | 1.001229 | 1.0E-5 | 0.042916555 | 0.07722271 | 0.07724117 | 1.000239 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.194716E-5 | 1.5178655E-4 | 1.5178655E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5115483E-4 | 6.5031246E-4 | 6.5031246E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042669317 | 0.0078826 | 0.007892521 | 1.0012586 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04185927 | 0.0755072 | 0.075525686 | 1.0002449 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.012326E-5 | 1.4846407E-4 | 1.4846407E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.433402E-4 | 6.3608354E-4 | 6.3608354E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004172157 | 0.0077110264 | 0.007720949 | 1.0012869 | 1.0E-5 | 0.040946912 | 0.07394896 | 0.07396748 | 1.0002505 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 7.119773E-5 | 1.2904289E-4 | 1.2904289E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0509746E-4 | 5.529047E-4 | 5.529047E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037082357 | 0.0067076166 | 0.006717549 | 1.0014808 | 1.0E-5 | 0.036469642 | 0.06478786 | 0.064806566 | 1.0002887 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.7343088E-5 | 9.939031E-5 | 9.939031E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4573295E-4 | 4.258894E-4 | 4.258894E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029876942 | 0.00517295 | 0.0051828986 | 1.0019231 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02947844 | 0.05060515 | 0.05062414 | 1.0003753 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.8746577E-5 | 8.304333E-5 | 8.304333E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0889717E-4 | 3.5585178E-4 | 3.5585178E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025403565 | 0.004323955 | 0.004333912 | 1.0023026 | 1.0E-5 | 0.025115121 | 0.042579845 | 0.042598993 | 1.0004497 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.2998014E-5 | 7.281594E-5 | 7.281594E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8426418E-4 | 3.1203133E-4 | 3.1203133E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002241108 | 0.0037924242 | 0.0038023863 | 1.0026268 | 1.0E-5 | 0.022186412 | 0.037504926 | 0.03752418 | 1.0005133 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.221292E-5 | 5.4064247E-5 | 5.4064247E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3804805E-4 | 2.316835E-4 | 2.316835E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016794393 | 0.0028171262 | 0.002827098 | 1.0035397 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016668037 | 0.028114127 | 0.028133564 | 1.0006914 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.3756531E-5 | 3.9610874E-5 | 3.9610874E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0180973E-4 | 1.6974994E-4 | 1.6974994E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012388286 | 0.0020647638 | 0.0020747432 | 1.0048332 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012319452 | 0.02071285 | 0.020732436 | 1.0009456 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.5997684E-5 | 2.7410704E-5 | 2.7410704E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8559704E-5 | 1.1746917E-4 | 1.1746917E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.343947E-4 | 0.0014292514 | 0.001439237 | 1.0069866 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008312687 | 0.014411233 | 0.014430945 | 1.0013678 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.3814293E-5 | 2.484957E-5 | 2.484957E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9202768E-5 | 1.06493826E-4 | 1.06493826E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.205553E-4 | 0.0012957936 | 0.0013057806 | 1.0077072 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007182234 | 0.013089117 | 0.013108855 | 1.001508 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 8.817309E-6 | 1.6484997E-5 | 1.6484997E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7787922E-5 | 7.064808E-5 | 7.064808E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5997082E-4 | 8.598023E-4 | 8.697937E-4 | 1.0116205 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004590199 | 0.008747346 | 0.008767171 | 1.0022664 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.0352206E-6 | 7.744996E-6 | 7.744996E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7293689E-5 | 3.3192417E-5 | 3.3192417E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1053031E-4 | 4.040428E-4 | 4.1403878E-4 | 1.0247399 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021033096 | 0.0041836477 | 0.004203564 | 1.0047605 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.413169E-6 | 6.8203017E-6 | 6.8203017E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4627784E-5 | 2.9229537E-5 | 2.9229537E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7807873E-4 | 3.5581156E-4 | 3.65808E-4 | 1.0280948 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017793609 | 0.0036826765 | 0.0037026028 | 1.0054108 | 2.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.4740732E-6 | 5.3034973E-6 | 5.3034973E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.06031275E-5 | 2.2729077E-5 | 2.2729077E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2908543E-4 | 2.7669143E-4 | 2.7669143E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012901047 | 0.0028466333 | 0.0028566048 | 1.003503 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.5231818E-6 | 3.303211E-6 | 3.303211E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.527906E-6 | 1.41565415E-5 | 1.41565415E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9474354E-5 | 1.723423E-4 | 1.723423E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.944594E-4 | 0.0017634653 | 0.0017634653 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.0104524E-6 | 2.054662E-6 | 2.054662E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.330503E-6 | 8.805665E-6 | 8.805665E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2722597E-5 | 1.0720373E-4 | 1.0720373E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.271009E-4 | 0.0010973924 | 0.0010973924 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hosgri
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.883978E-5 | 2.9132178E-5 | 2.9132178E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.235932E-4 | 1.2484637E-4 | 1.2484637E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015037085 | 0.001518972 | 0.0015289568 | 1.0065734 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01493574 | 0.015089672 | 0.01510937 | 1.0013055 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.883978E-5 | 2.9132178E-5 | 2.9132178E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.235932E-4 | 1.2484637E-4 | 1.2484637E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015037085 | 0.001518972 | 0.0015289568 | 1.0065734 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01493574 | 0.015089672 | 0.01510937 | 1.0013055 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.883978E-5 | 2.9132178E-5 | 2.9132178E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.235932E-4 | 1.2484637E-4 | 1.2484637E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015037085 | 0.001518972 | 0.0015289568 | 1.0065734 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01493574 | 0.015089672 | 0.01510937 | 1.0013055 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.2914428E-5 | 2.2644996E-5 | 2.2644996E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.8200995E-5 | 9.7046395E-5 | 9.7046395E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011949413 | 0.0011809045 | 0.0011809045 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011885363 | 0.011747692 | 0.011757574 | 1.0008413 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0195741E-5 | 1.9699293E-5 | 1.9699293E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.65503E-5 | 8.442282E-5 | 8.442282E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010532405 | 0.0010273651 | 0.0010273651 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010482626 | 0.010227202 | 0.0102371 | 1.0009677 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.9924333E-5 | 1.9411691E-5 | 1.9411691E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.53872E-5 | 8.319032E-5 | 8.319032E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010390934 | 0.0010123735 | 0.0010123735 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010342481 | 0.010078651 | 0.010088551 | 1.0009822 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.809694E-5 | 1.7460843E-5 | 1.7460843E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7556004E-5 | 7.4830044E-5 | 7.4830044E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.438353E-4 | 9.106763E-4 | 9.106763E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009398366 | 0.009070386 | 0.009080295 | 1.0010924 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.675989E-5 | 1.6045195E-5 | 1.6045195E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.182612E-5 | 6.876331E-5 | 6.876331E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7413215E-4 | 8.3687284E-4 | 8.3687284E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008707017 | 0.008338118 | 0.008348035 | 1.0011894 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.5401129E-5 | 1.4616399E-5 | 1.4616399E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6003166E-5 | 6.264021E-5 | 6.264021E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.032922E-4 | 7.6237856E-4 | 7.6237856E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008003947 | 0.007598494 | 0.007598494 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.356559E-5 | 1.2692133E-5 | 1.2692133E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8136946E-5 | 5.4393724E-5 | 5.4393724E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0758746E-4 | 6.620428E-4 | 6.620428E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007053386 | 0.0066015087 | 0.0066015087 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.2030819E-5 | 1.1098007E-5 | 1.1098007E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.155963E-5 | 4.756202E-5 | 4.756202E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.275577E-4 | 5.7891384E-4 | 5.7891384E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006257884 | 0.0057748165 | 0.0057748165 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.0972698E-5 | 1.0024153E-5 | 1.0024153E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7025E-5 | 4.295995E-5 | 4.295995E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.72379E-4 | 5.2291196E-4 | 5.2291196E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057090693 | 0.005217565 | 0.005217565 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 9.961926E-6 | 9.036658E-6 | 9.036658E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2693267E-5 | 3.872796E-5 | 3.872796E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1966653E-4 | 4.7141098E-4 | 4.7141098E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00518453 | 0.004704854 | 0.004704854 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 8.700929E-6 | 7.829941E-6 | 7.829941E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7289166E-5 | 3.355646E-5 | 3.355646E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.53901E-4 | 4.084733E-4 | 4.084733E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00452975 | 0.0040779626 | 0.0040779626 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 7.866285E-6 | 7.000499E-6 | 7.000499E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3712215E-5 | 3.0001793E-5 | 3.0001793E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.103689E-4 | 3.6521064E-4 | 3.6521064E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004096119 | 0.0036468396 | 0.0036468396 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.8381305E-6 | 5.961396E-6 | 5.961396E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9305946E-5 | 2.554859E-5 | 2.554859E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5674145E-4 | 3.110097E-4 | 3.110097E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035616932 | 0.0031064774 | 0.0031064774 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 5.503376E-6 | 4.5968645E-6 | 4.5968645E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3585684E-5 | 1.97007E-5 | 1.97007E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8711787E-4 | 2.3982962E-4 | 2.3982962E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002867472 | 0.002396439 | 0.002396439 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 3.6144982E-6 | 2.653681E-6 | 2.653681E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5490614E-5 | 1.1372868E-5 | 1.1372868E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8858191E-4 | 1.3845587E-4 | 1.3845587E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018842196 | 0.0013844253 | 0.0013844253 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.9853494E-6 | 1.1373253E-6 | 1.1373253E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.508612E-6 | 4.874242E-6 | 4.874242E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0358743E-4 | 5.934228E-5 | 5.934228E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010353916 | 5.939924E-4 | 5.939924E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.1818757E-6 | 5.304578E-7 | 5.304578E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0651715E-6 | 2.2733884E-6 | 2.2733884E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1666724E-5 | 2.7678152E-5 | 2.7678152E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1649614E-4 | 2.7742833E-4 | 2.7742833E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 6.962958E-7 | 2.720428E-7 | 2.720428E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9841215E-6 | 1.1658972E-6 | 1.1658972E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6331072E-5 | 1.4194706E-5 | 1.4194706E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6325134E-4 | 1.425136E-4 | 1.425136E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.5033264E-7 | 6.541228E-8 | 6.541228E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.442826E-7 | 2.8033833E-7 | 2.8033833E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.844113E-6 | 3.4131137E-6 | 3.4131137E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.843835E-5 | 3.415161E-5 | 3.415161E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Johnson Valley (No) 2011 rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.577707E-5 | 1.2902542E-5 | 1.2902542E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1046848E-4 | 5.529566E-5 | 5.529566E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013441239 | 6.730564E-4 | 6.730564E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013360229 | 0.0067140893 | 0.0067339553 | 1.0029588 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.577707E-5 | 1.2902542E-5 | 1.2902542E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1046848E-4 | 5.529566E-5 | 5.529566E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013441239 | 6.730564E-4 | 6.730564E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013360229 | 0.0067140893 | 0.0067339553 | 1.0029588 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.577707E-5 | 1.2902542E-5 | 1.2902542E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1046848E-4 | 5.529566E-5 | 5.529566E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013441239 | 6.730564E-4 | 6.730564E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013360229 | 0.0067140893 | 0.0067339553 | 1.0029588 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.577707E-5 | 1.2902542E-5 | 1.2902542E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1046848E-4 | 5.529566E-5 | 5.529566E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013441239 | 6.730564E-4 | 6.730564E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013360229 | 0.0067140893 | 0.0067339553 | 1.0029588 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.5296591E-5 | 7.5376374E-6 | 7.5376374E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.555518E-5 | 3.2303866E-5 | 3.2303866E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.97842E-4 | 3.9324735E-4 | 3.9324735E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007949836 | 0.0039273566 | 0.003947278 | 1.0050725 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5296591E-5 | 7.5376374E-6 | 7.5376374E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.555518E-5 | 3.2303866E-5 | 3.2303866E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.97842E-4 | 3.9324735E-4 | 3.9324735E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007949836 | 0.0039273566 | 0.003947278 | 1.0050725 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.3289383E-5 | 5.992423E-6 | 5.992423E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6953253E-5 | 2.5681657E-5 | 2.5681657E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9318525E-4 | 3.126463E-4 | 3.126463E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0069102696 | 0.003123729 | 0.0031436665 | 1.0063826 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.3289383E-5 | 5.992423E-6 | 5.992423E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6953253E-5 | 2.5681657E-5 | 2.5681657E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9318525E-4 | 3.126463E-4 | 3.126463E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0069102696 | 0.003123729 | 0.0031436665 | 1.0063826 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.330789E-6 | 2.9214748E-6 | 2.9214748E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.570289E-5 | 1.2520578E-5 | 1.2520578E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.34596E-4 | 1.5243309E-4 | 1.5243309E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0043374705 | 0.0015238452 | 0.0015338301 | 1.0065523 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.2359003E-6 | 2.301487E-6 | 2.301487E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1010633E-5 | 9.863509E-6 | 9.863509E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7748902E-4 | 1.2008694E-4 | 1.2008694E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037684843 | 0.0012007434 | 0.0012107313 | 1.0083182 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 6.5149957E-6 | 2.0886569E-6 | 2.0886569E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.792111E-5 | 8.951386E-6 | 8.951386E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.398865E-4 | 1.0898297E-4 | 1.0898297E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003393671 | 0.001089815 | 0.0010998042 | 1.0091659 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.1662233E-6 | 2.8810108E-8 | 2.8810108E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9980904E-6 | 1.2347189E-7 | 1.2347189E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0850052E-5 | 1.5032693E-6 | 1.5032693E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.083339E-4 | 1.5032609E-5 | 1.5032609E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 5.413881E-7 | 2.8810108E-8 | 2.8810108E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3202326E-6 | 1.2347189E-7 | 1.2347189E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8248465E-5 | 1.5032693E-6 | 1.5032693E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8244875E-4 | 1.5032609E-5 | 1.5032609E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.076821E-7 | 2.8810108E-8 | 2.8810108E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1757785E-6 | 1.2347189E-7 | 1.2347189E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.648978E-5 | 1.5032693E-6 | 1.5032693E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6486625E-4 | 1.5032609E-5 | 1.5032609E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.7568687E-7 | 2.879203E-8 | 2.879203E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0386565E-6 | 1.2339441E-7 | 1.2339441E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.482036E-5 | 1.5023261E-6 | 1.5023261E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4817587E-4 | 1.5023176E-5 | 1.5023176E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 3.435626E-7 | 2.5364644E-8 | 2.5364644E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4724103E-6 | 1.0870561E-7 | 1.0870561E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7926448E-5 | 1.3234902E-6 | 1.3234902E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7925001E-4 | 1.323484E-5 | 1.323484E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Dry Mountain
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.4396486E-6 | 6.4396486E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.7598293E-5 | 2.7598293E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.3597334E-4 | 3.559666E-4 | 1.0595086 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0032417132 | 0.003356216 | 0.0033761489 | 1.0059391 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.4396486E-6 | 6.4396486E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.7598293E-5 | 2.7598293E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.3597334E-4 | 3.559666E-4 | 1.0595086 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0032417132 | 0.003356216 | 0.0033761489 | 1.0059391 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.4396486E-6 | 6.4396486E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.7598293E-5 | 2.7598293E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.3597334E-4 | 3.559666E-4 | 1.0595086 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0032417132 | 0.003356216 | 0.0033761489 | 1.0059391 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.4396486E-6 | 6.4396486E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.7598293E-5 | 2.7598293E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.3597334E-4 | 3.559666E-4 | 1.0595086 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0032417132 | 0.003356216 | 0.0033761489 | 1.0059391 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.4396486E-6 | 6.4396486E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.7598293E-5 | 2.7598293E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.3597334E-4 | 3.559666E-4 | 1.0595086 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0032417132 | 0.003356216 | 0.0033761489 | 1.0059391 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.8528623E-6 | 2.952291E-6 | 2.952291E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.22264955E-5 | 1.2652664E-5 | 1.2652664E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4884741E-4 | 1.54044E-4 | 1.6404246E-4 | 1.0649065 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014874774 | 0.0015402256 | 0.0015502102 | 1.0064826 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.8528623E-6 | 2.952291E-6 | 2.952291E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.22264955E-5 | 1.2652664E-5 | 1.2652664E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4884741E-4 | 1.54044E-4 | 1.6404246E-4 | 1.0649065 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014874774 | 0.0015402256 | 0.0015502102 | 1.0064826 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.541E-6 | 2.629467E-6 | 2.629467E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0889954E-5 | 1.1269144E-5 | 1.1269144E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3257713E-4 | 1.3720183E-4 | 1.4720047E-4 | 1.0728754 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013249806 | 0.0013720184 | 0.0013820046 | 1.0072786 | 1.0E-5 |
Santa Ynez River
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6396456E-5 | 1.7210647E-5 | 1.7210647E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.026863E-5 | 7.375803E-5 | 7.375803E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.551848E-4 | 8.976695E-4 | 9.076606E-4 | 1.01113 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0085190125 | 0.008943984 | 0.008963806 | 1.0022161 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6396456E-5 | 1.7210647E-5 | 1.7210647E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.026863E-5 | 7.375803E-5 | 7.375803E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.551848E-4 | 8.976695E-4 | 9.076606E-4 | 1.01113 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0085190125 | 0.008943984 | 0.008963806 | 1.0022161 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6396456E-5 | 1.7210647E-5 | 1.7210647E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.026863E-5 | 7.375803E-5 | 7.375803E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.551848E-4 | 8.976695E-4 | 9.076606E-4 | 1.01113 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0085190125 | 0.008943984 | 0.008963806 | 1.0022161 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 9.736976E-6 | 1.0122995E-5 | 1.0122995E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.172923E-5 | 4.3383574E-5 | 4.3383574E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0793495E-4 | 5.28072E-4 | 5.380667E-4 | 1.0189269 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005067755 | 0.005268677 | 0.0052786246 | 1.001888 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 9.736976E-6 | 1.0122995E-5 | 1.0122995E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.172923E-5 | 4.3383574E-5 | 4.3383574E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0793495E-4 | 5.28072E-4 | 5.380667E-4 | 1.0189269 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005067755 | 0.005268677 | 0.0052786246 | 1.001888 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 7.081964E-6 | 7.3303886E-6 | 7.3303886E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.035092E-5 | 3.141558E-5 | 3.141558E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.694598E-4 | 3.8241915E-4 | 3.9241533E-4 | 1.0261393 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036884616 | 0.0038177727 | 0.0038277344 | 1.0026094 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.873247E-6 | 6.060158E-6 | 6.060158E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5170815E-5 | 2.5971853E-5 | 2.5971853E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.064116E-4 | 3.1616227E-4 | 3.2615912E-4 | 1.0316193 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030598943 | 0.0031572122 | 0.0031671806 | 1.0031574 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.973277E-6 | 5.116261E-6 | 5.116261E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1313872E-5 | 2.1926651E-5 | 2.1926651E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5946548E-4 | 2.6692476E-4 | 2.6692476E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025916274 | 0.0026660904 | 0.0026660904 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 4.396492E-6 | 4.5113024E-6 | 4.5113024E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.884197E-5 | 1.9334013E-5 | 1.9334013E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2937685E-4 | 2.3536652E-4 | 2.3536652E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022914023 | 0.0023512077 | 0.0023512077 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 3.5255632E-6 | 3.6016097E-6 | 3.6016097E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5109469E-5 | 1.543538E-5 | 1.543538E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8394225E-4 | 1.879097E-4 | 1.879097E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018379007 | 0.0018775243 | 0.0018775243 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 3.211603E-6 | 3.2739133E-6 | 3.2739133E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.376394E-5 | 1.4030982E-5 | 1.4030982E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6756308E-4 | 1.7081396E-4 | 1.7081396E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016743679 | 0.0017068408 | 0.0017068408 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.5094619E-6 | 2.5411416E-6 | 2.5411416E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0754793E-5 | 1.08905615E-5 | 1.08905615E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3093173E-4 | 1.3258458E-4 | 1.3258458E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013085462 | 0.0013250607 | 0.0013250607 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.0515774E-6 | 2.0621324E-6 | 2.0621324E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.792445E-6 | 8.83768E-6 | 8.83768E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0704277E-4 | 1.07593485E-4 | 1.07593485E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010699122 | 0.0010754182 | 0.0010754182 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.6845745E-6 | 1.6775634E-6 | 1.6775634E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.219585E-6 | 7.189538E-6 | 7.189538E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.78949E-5 | 8.752914E-5 | 8.752914E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7860145E-4 | 8.7494944E-4 | 8.7494944E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.3600285E-6 | 1.3334837E-6 | 1.3334837E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.82868E-6 | 5.7149177E-6 | 5.7149177E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.096187E-5 | 6.957693E-5 | 6.957693E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0939213E-4 | 6.9555367E-4 | 6.9555367E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 9.735342E-7 | 9.2913024E-7 | 9.2913024E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.172283E-6 | 3.9819806E-6 | 3.9819806E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.079636E-5 | 4.8479553E-5 | 4.8479553E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0784746E-4 | 4.846915E-4 | 4.846915E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 5.067187E-7 | 4.778955E-7 | 4.778955E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1716498E-6 | 2.048122E-6 | 2.048122E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6439517E-5 | 2.4935607E-5 | 2.4935607E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.643637E-4 | 2.4932885E-4 | 2.4932885E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.769089E-7 | 2.5761074E-7 | 2.5761074E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1867519E-6 | 1.1040455E-6 | 1.1040455E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4448608E-5 | 1.3441671E-5 | 1.3441671E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.444767E-4 | 1.3440862E-4 | 1.3440862E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.7044663E-7 | 1.5450283E-7 | 1.5450283E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3048534E-7 | 6.621548E-7 | 6.621548E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.893623E-6 | 8.061705E-6 | 8.061705E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.893267E-5 | 8.061415E-5 | 8.061415E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 4.8344287E-8 | 4.0914525E-8 | 4.0914525E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0718979E-7 | 1.7534795E-7 | 1.7534795E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5225327E-6 | 2.1348592E-6 | 2.1348592E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5225041E-5 | 2.134839E-5 | 2.134839E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hayward (So) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.8091932E-4 | 3.5744096E-4 | 3.5744096E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.751381E-4 | 0.0015310004 | 0.0015409851 | 1.0065217 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00939654 | 0.018483032 | 0.018492848 | 1.0005311 | 1.0E-5 | 0.090090066 | 0.1669844 | 0.16700105 | 1.0000998 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.8091932E-4 | 3.5744096E-4 | 3.5744096E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.751381E-4 | 0.0015310004 | 0.0015409851 | 1.0065217 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00939654 | 0.018483032 | 0.018492848 | 1.0005311 | 1.0E-5 | 0.090090066 | 0.1669844 | 0.16700105 | 1.0000998 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.8091932E-4 | 3.5744096E-4 | 3.5744096E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.751381E-4 | 0.0015310004 | 0.0015409851 | 1.0065217 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00939654 | 0.018483032 | 0.018492848 | 1.0005311 | 1.0E-5 | 0.090090066 | 0.1669844 | 0.16700105 | 1.0000998 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.7322872E-4 | 3.4300177E-4 | 3.4300177E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4219756E-4 | 0.0014691891 | 0.0014791744 | 1.0067965 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0089988755 | 0.017742947 | 0.017752768 | 1.0005536 | 1.0E-5 | 0.08643075 | 0.16091268 | 0.16092946 | 1.0001043 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6334097E-4 | 3.2381032E-4 | 3.2381032E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.998449E-4 | 0.0013870291 | 0.0013970153 | 1.0071996 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008487372 | 0.016758336 | 0.016768169 | 1.0005867 | 1.0E-5 | 0.081704415 | 0.15279362 | 0.15281056 | 1.0001109 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5600289E-4 | 3.1054893E-4 | 3.1054893E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.684125E-4 | 0.0013302536 | 0.0013402402 | 1.0075073 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008107598 | 0.01607746 | 0.0160873 | 1.000612 | 1.0E-5 | 0.078181036 | 0.14706276 | 0.14707981 | 1.000116 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.4046066E-4 | 2.806711E-4 | 2.806711E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.018354E-4 | 0.0012023285 | 0.0012023285 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0073027555 | 0.014541602 | 0.014541602 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.07067384 | 0.13414264 | 0.1341513 | 1.0000645 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.14696966E-4 | 2.3302583E-4 | 2.3302583E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.914658E-4 | 9.98305E-4 | 9.98305E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0059671924 | 0.012087693 | 0.012087693 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.058094822 | 0.112896614 | 0.11290549 | 1.0000786 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 9.3874296E-5 | 1.8887402E-4 | 1.8887402E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0225635E-4 | 8.0921274E-4 | 8.0921274E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048864787 | 0.009808395 | 0.009808395 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.047804173 | 0.092701405 | 0.092701405 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 5.551852E-5 | 1.07449734E-4 | 1.07449734E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3791482E-4 | 4.604182E-4 | 4.604182E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028927654 | 0.005591303 | 0.005591303 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.028553981 | 0.054318823 | 0.054318823 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 4.2662363E-5 | 8.258791E-5 | 8.258791E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8282588E-4 | 3.5390054E-4 | 3.5390054E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022236328 | 0.0043003005 | 0.0043003005 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.022015138 | 0.04212295 | 0.04212295 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 3.305886E-5 | 6.312096E-5 | 6.312096E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4167312E-4 | 2.7049048E-4 | 2.7049048E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017235056 | 0.0032882674 | 0.0032882674 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017101998 | 0.032502405 | 0.032502405 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.9856887E-5 | 5.7110854E-5 | 5.7110854E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2795182E-4 | 2.4473792E-4 | 2.4473792E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015567001 | 0.0029756299 | 0.0029756299 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015458403 | 0.029501101 | 0.029501101 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.4559737E-5 | 4.607256E-5 | 4.607256E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0525176E-4 | 1.9743896E-4 | 1.9743896E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012806869 | 0.0024011822 | 0.0024011822 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012733313 | 0.023897981 | 0.023897981 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.9002231E-5 | 3.511811E-5 | 3.511811E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.143559E-5 | 1.5049757E-4 | 1.5049757E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.910273E-4 | 0.0018307779 | 0.0018307779 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009866194 | 0.018292667 | 0.018292667 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.2783333E-5 | 2.3382945E-5 | 2.3382945E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4784563E-5 | 1.0020881E-4 | 1.0020881E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.667979E-4 | 0.0012193653 | 0.0012193653 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006648007 | 0.012235939 | 0.012235939 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.8149627E-6 | 8.907241E-6 | 8.907241E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.063539E-5 | 3.8173337E-5 | 3.8173337E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5120692E-4 | 4.646625E-4 | 4.646625E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025092314 | 0.004691474 | 0.004691474 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.0838227E-7 | 1.2108018E-6 | 1.2108018E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6073499E-6 | 5.18914E-6 | 5.18914E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.174402E-5 | 6.3175954E-5 | 6.3175954E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1739488E-4 | 6.554533E-4 | 6.554533E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.5542808E-7 | 9.837064E-7 | 9.837064E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9518332E-6 | 4.2158777E-6 | 4.2158777E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.376331E-5 | 5.1327104E-5 | 5.1327104E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3760769E-4 | 5.3431344E-4 | 5.3431344E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 3.3016747E-7 | 7.419391E-7 | 7.419391E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4150027E-6 | 3.1797351E-6 | 3.1797351E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7227521E-5 | 3.871259E-5 | 3.871259E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7226185E-4 | 4.0090657E-4 | 4.0090657E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 2.347038E-7 | 5.4947E-7 | 5.4947E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0058731E-6 | 2.3548691E-6 | 2.3548691E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2246436E-5 | 2.8670156E-5 | 2.8670156E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2245761E-4 | 2.9466712E-4 | 2.9466712E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.18822804E-7 | 2.6162814E-7 | 2.6162814E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.092405E-7 | 1.1212629E-6 | 1.1212629E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1999854E-6 | 1.3651293E-5 | 1.3651293E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.199812E-5 | 1.3968452E-4 | 1.3968452E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Blue Cut
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.1227985E-5 | 2.2721484E-5 | 2.2721484E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.097391E-5 | 9.7374475E-5 | 9.7374475E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011070445 | 0.0011849476 | 0.0011849476 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011015458 | 0.011792137 | 0.011811901 | 1.0016761 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1227985E-5 | 2.2721484E-5 | 2.2721484E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.097391E-5 | 9.7374475E-5 | 9.7374475E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011070445 | 0.0011849476 | 0.0011849476 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011015458 | 0.011792137 | 0.011811901 | 1.0016761 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1227985E-5 | 2.2721484E-5 | 2.2721484E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.097391E-5 | 9.7374475E-5 | 9.7374475E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011070445 | 0.0011849476 | 0.0011849476 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011015458 | 0.011792137 | 0.011811901 | 1.0016761 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1613981E-5 | 1.2354481E-5 | 1.2354481E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9773254E-5 | 5.2946772E-5 | 5.2946772E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0582085E-4 | 6.4444874E-4 | 6.4444874E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0060417196 | 0.0064270464 | 0.006436982 | 1.0015459 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1613981E-5 | 1.2354481E-5 | 1.2354481E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9773254E-5 | 5.2946772E-5 | 5.2946772E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0582085E-4 | 6.4444874E-4 | 6.4444874E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0060417196 | 0.0064270464 | 0.006436982 | 1.0015459 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 8.931326E-6 | 9.482297E-6 | 9.482297E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8276554E-5 | 4.0637835E-5 | 4.0637835E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6591737E-4 | 4.946625E-4 | 4.946625E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0046494175 | 0.0049365233 | 0.004946474 | 1.0020157 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.345353E-6 | 7.790843E-6 | 7.790843E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1479703E-5 | 3.3388944E-5 | 3.3388944E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.83198E-4 | 4.0644256E-4 | 4.0644256E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038253788 | 0.0040577836 | 0.004067743 | 1.0024544 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.2775666E-6 | 6.6556267E-6 | 6.6556267E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.690358E-5 | 2.8523846E-5 | 2.8523846E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2750185E-4 | 3.4723E-4 | 3.4723E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032701963 | 0.0034676157 | 0.003477581 | 1.0028738 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.5234095E-6 | 5.855531E-6 | 5.855531E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.367154E-5 | 2.5094932E-5 | 2.5094932E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8816288E-4 | 3.0549525E-4 | 3.0549525E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002877895 | 0.003051469 | 0.0030614384 | 1.0032672 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.7780054E-6 | 5.065784E-6 | 5.065784E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0477004E-5 | 2.1710362E-5 | 2.1710362E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4927902E-4 | 2.6429867E-4 | 2.6429867E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024899957 | 0.0026405356 | 0.0026505091 | 1.0037771 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.883171E-6 | 4.118785E-6 | 4.118785E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6642054E-5 | 1.7651855E-5 | 1.7651855E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0259817E-4 | 2.1489704E-4 | 2.1489704E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020241356 | 0.0021475682 | 0.0021575466 | 1.0046464 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.8358215E-6 | 3.009936E-6 | 3.009936E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2153464E-5 | 1.28997E-5 | 1.28997E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4795837E-4 | 1.570491E-4 | 1.570491E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001478599 | 0.0015700265 | 0.0015800108 | 1.0063593 | 1.0E-5 |
San Jacinto (Coyote Creek)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.421767E-5 | 2.421767E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.03785904E-4 | 1.03785904E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014273542 | 0.0012628635 | 0.0012628635 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01418221 | 0.01296674 | 0.012986481 | 1.0015224 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.421767E-5 | 2.421767E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.03785904E-4 | 1.03785904E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014273542 | 0.0012628635 | 0.0012628635 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01418221 | 0.01296674 | 0.012986481 | 1.0015224 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.421767E-5 | 2.421767E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.03785904E-4 | 1.03785904E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014273542 | 0.0012628635 | 0.0012628635 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01418221 | 0.01296674 | 0.012986481 | 1.0015224 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.421767E-5 | 2.421767E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.03785904E-4 | 1.03785904E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014273542 | 0.0012628635 | 0.0012628635 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01418221 | 0.01296674 | 0.012986481 | 1.0015224 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.421767E-5 | 2.421767E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.03785904E-4 | 1.03785904E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014273542 | 0.0012628635 | 0.0012628635 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01418221 | 0.01296674 | 0.012986481 | 1.0015224 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.7282445E-5 | 2.4103716E-5 | 2.4103716E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.16919524E-4 | 1.0329756E-4 | 1.0329756E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014225657 | 0.0012569249 | 0.0012569249 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014134934 | 0.012908054 | 0.012927795 | 1.0015295 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.7282445E-5 | 2.4103716E-5 | 2.4103716E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.16919524E-4 | 1.0329756E-4 | 1.0329756E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014225657 | 0.0012569249 | 0.0012569249 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014134934 | 0.012908054 | 0.012927795 | 1.0015295 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.7216198E-5 | 2.4028815E-5 | 2.4028815E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1663563E-4 | 1.02976584E-4 | 1.02976584E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014191137 | 0.0012530215 | 0.0012530215 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014100855 | 0.012869456 | 0.012889198 | 1.0015341 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.7078617E-5 | 2.3945991E-5 | 2.3945991E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1604605E-4 | 1.02621656E-4 | 1.02621656E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001411945 | 0.0012487052 | 0.0012487052 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014030075 | 0.012826573 | 0.012846316 | 1.0015392 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.6982952E-5 | 2.3865461E-5 | 2.3865461E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.15636096E-4 | 1.0227656E-4 | 1.0227656E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014069602 | 0.0012445084 | 0.0012445084 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013980856 | 0.012784824 | 0.012804568 | 1.0015444 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.6449972E-5 | 2.3442328E-5 | 2.3442328E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1335209E-4 | 1.00463265E-4 | 1.00463265E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001379188 | 0.0012224565 | 0.0012224565 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0137065975 | 0.012566109 | 0.012585858 | 1.0015715 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.6257849E-5 | 2.3268292E-5 | 2.3268292E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1252879E-4 | 9.971746E-5 | 9.971746E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013691769 | 0.0012133865 | 0.0012133865 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013607717 | 0.012475927 | 0.012495678 | 1.0015831 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.5270041E-5 | 2.2462518E-5 | 2.2462518E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0829568E-4 | 9.62644E-5 | 9.62644E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013177024 | 0.0011713912 | 0.0011713912 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013099162 | 0.012056673 | 0.012076432 | 1.0016389 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.339701E-5 | 2.1193391E-5 | 2.1193391E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0026905E-4 | 9.082567E-5 | 9.082567E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001220092 | 0.0011052437 | 0.0011052437 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012134149 | 0.011395129 | 0.011414901 | 1.0017351 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.296333E-5 | 2.0923502E-5 | 2.0923502E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.841056E-5 | 8.966908E-5 | 8.966908E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011974899 | 0.0010911764 | 0.0010911764 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011910575 | 0.011254109 | 0.011273884 | 1.0017571 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.2188895E-5 | 2.0445876E-5 | 2.0445876E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.50918E-5 | 8.7622255E-5 | 8.7622255E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011571277 | 0.0010662809 | 0.0010662809 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011511209 | 0.011003443 | 0.0110232225 | 1.0017976 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.0013189E-5 | 1.9030653E-5 | 1.9030653E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5767984E-5 | 8.15574E-5 | 8.15574E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001043725 | 9.925108E-4 | 9.925108E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010388365 | 0.010260624 | 0.010280418 | 1.0019292 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.7230794E-5 | 1.6810025E-5 | 1.6810025E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.384417E-5 | 7.204098E-5 | 7.204098E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.986819E-4 | 8.767468E-4 | 8.767468E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008950562 | 0.0090981545 | 0.009117972 | 1.0021782 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.4478809E-5 | 1.5055042E-5 | 1.5055042E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.205057E-5 | 6.452002E-5 | 6.452002E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.552038E-4 | 7.8524876E-4 | 7.8524876E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0075264242 | 0.008175472 | 0.00818539 | 1.0012132 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.1114467E-5 | 1.1702114E-5 | 1.1702114E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7632562E-5 | 5.0150957E-5 | 5.0150957E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.797721E-4 | 6.104174E-4 | 6.104174E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057826187 | 0.0064107245 | 0.0064206603 | 1.0015498 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 9.327402E-6 | 9.9509625E-6 | 9.9509625E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9973966E-5 | 4.2646287E-5 | 4.2646287E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8657437E-4 | 5.190954E-4 | 5.190954E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048551033 | 0.005477626 | 0.005487571 | 1.0018156 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 7.0235833E-6 | 6.8660947E-6 | 6.8660947E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0100724E-5 | 2.9425792E-5 | 2.9425792E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.664147E-4 | 3.5820063E-4 | 3.5820063E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003658111 | 0.0038082139 | 0.003818176 | 1.0026159 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 2.0358202E-6 | 9.067804E-7 | 9.067804E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.724915E-6 | 3.886196E-6 | 3.886196E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.06220665E-4 | 4.731343E-5 | 4.731343E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001061699 | 5.36706E-4 | 5.36706E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 2.0051264E-7 | 6.678874E-8 | 6.678874E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5933965E-7 | 2.8623742E-7 | 2.8623742E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.046241E-5 | 3.4849356E-6 | 3.4849356E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0461917E-4 | 4.049726E-5 | 4.049726E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Calaveras (So) - Paicines extension 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5183659E-4 | 3.0547718E-4 | 3.0547718E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5056595E-4 | 0.0013079592 | 0.0013079592 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007891912 | 0.015709965 | 0.015719807 | 1.0006266 | 1.0E-5 | 0.076174594 | 0.13859919 | 0.13861641 | 1.0001243 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.5024997E-4 | 3.0241816E-4 | 3.0241816E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.437695E-4 | 0.0012948647 | 0.0012948647 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0078097614 | 0.0155532975 | 0.0155631425 | 1.000633 | 1.0E-5 | 0.075409345 | 0.13726848 | 0.13728572 | 1.0001256 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.2743923E-4 | 2.534044E-4 | 2.534044E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.460538E-4 | 0.0010851196 | 0.0010851196 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0066279583 | 0.013060331 | 0.013070201 | 1.0007557 | 1.0E-5 | 0.064337276 | 0.11736617 | 0.11738382 | 1.0001504 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1525114E-4 | 2.2625964E-4 | 2.2625964E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9383997E-4 | 9.6898834E-4 | 9.6898834E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0059959386 | 0.011681489 | 0.011691372 | 1.000846 | 1.0E-5 | 0.058367174 | 0.10648317 | 0.106501035 | 1.0001678 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.07200925E-4 | 2.0866889E-4 | 2.0866889E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5935164E-4 | 8.937222E-4 | 8.937222E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0055782744 | 0.01078631 | 0.010796202 | 1.0009171 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0544031 | 0.099306166 | 0.099324174 | 1.0001814 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.69631E-5 | 1.8760293E-4 | 1.8760293E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1548995E-4 | 8.035534E-4 | 8.035534E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0050468626 | 0.00970796 | 0.009717863 | 1.0010201 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04933773 | 0.09019709 | 0.09021529 | 1.0002017 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.0552316E-5 | 1.5096128E-4 | 1.5096128E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4517853E-4 | 6.4677495E-4 | 6.4677495E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041944524 | 0.00783958 | 0.007849501 | 1.0012655 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04116161 | 0.07496814 | 0.07498664 | 1.0002468 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.815757E-5 | 1.4636469E-4 | 1.4636469E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.34918E-4 | 6.270904E-4 | 6.270904E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004070005 | 0.0076022907 | 0.007612215 | 1.0013053 | 1.0E-5 | 0.039962657 | 0.07281713 | 0.07283568 | 1.0002546 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.965264E-5 | 1.2746498E-4 | 1.2746498E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9847719E-4 | 5.461451E-4 | 5.461451E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036279052 | 0.0066258344 | 0.0066357683 | 1.0014993 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03569247 | 0.0639072 | 0.06392592 | 1.0002929 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.8000453E-5 | 1.01651705E-4 | 1.01651705E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4854968E-4 | 4.35578E-4 | 4.35578E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030218933 | 0.0052903644 | 0.0053003114 | 1.0018803 | 1.0E-5 | 0.029811295 | 0.051603384 | 0.051622353 | 1.0003675 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.9865852E-5 | 8.588877E-5 | 8.588877E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1369329E-4 | 3.680433E-4 | 3.680433E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025986114 | 0.00447181 | 0.0044817654 | 1.0022262 | 1.0E-5 | 0.025684336 | 0.043882597 | 0.04390172 | 1.0004357 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.283875E-5 | 7.130358E-5 | 7.130358E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8358172E-4 | 3.0555128E-4 | 3.0555128E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022328163 | 0.0037137978 | 0.0037237606 | 1.0026827 | 1.0E-5 | 0.022105146 | 0.036824234 | 0.036843497 | 1.0005231 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.450115E-5 | 5.595126E-5 | 5.595126E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.478537E-4 | 2.3976924E-4 | 2.3976924E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017986323 | 0.002915312 | 0.0029252828 | 1.0034201 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017841442 | 0.029164877 | 0.029184293 | 1.0006658 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.5709045E-5 | 4.0741903E-5 | 4.0741903E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1017697E-4 | 1.7459656E-4 | 1.7459656E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013405791 | 0.0021236578 | 0.0021336365 | 1.0046989 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013325208 | 0.0213733 | 0.021392873 | 1.0009158 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.8003093E-5 | 2.8593742E-5 | 2.8593742E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.715383E-5 | 1.2253887E-4 | 1.2253887E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3894306E-4 | 0.001490892 | 0.0015008771 | 1.0066974 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009349857 | 0.015093324 | 0.015113022 | 1.0013051 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.5595824E-5 | 2.5902415E-5 | 2.5902415E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.683753E-5 | 1.1100564E-4 | 1.1100564E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.134431E-4 | 0.001350658 | 0.0013606445 | 1.0073938 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008104719 | 0.013691701 | 0.013711427 | 1.0014408 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.1110309E-5 | 1.929071E-5 | 1.929071E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.761474E-5 | 8.267186E-5 | 8.267186E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.795553E-4 | 0.0010060664 | 0.0010160564 | 1.0099297 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0057804612 | 0.010237876 | 0.010257672 | 1.0019336 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.2140443E-6 | 1.0488274E-5 | 1.0488274E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6631347E-5 | 4.494897E-5 | 4.494897E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.241884E-4 | 5.471164E-4 | 5.5711094E-4 | 1.0182676 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032371588 | 0.0056447964 | 0.005664684 | 1.0035231 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.305533E-6 | 9.478938E-6 | 9.478938E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.27378E-5 | 4.062339E-5 | 4.062339E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7679754E-4 | 4.9447763E-4 | 5.0447264E-4 | 1.0202134 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0027645302 | 0.0050966684 | 0.0051165665 | 1.0039041 | 2.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.363505E-6 | 7.4189434E-6 | 7.4189434E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4414942E-5 | 3.1795083E-5 | 3.1795083E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7548777E-4 | 3.8703647E-4 | 3.8703647E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017534926 | 0.003964977 | 0.0039749374 | 1.0025121 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.0271132E-6 | 4.4324293E-6 | 4.4324293E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.687599E-6 | 1.8995986E-5 | 1.8995986E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.05766376E-4 | 2.3125164E-4 | 2.3125164E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010571606 | 0.0023605167 | 0.0023605167 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.2206116E-6 | 2.3857635E-6 | 2.3857635E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2311816E-6 | 1.022466E-5 | 1.022466E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3687774E-5 | 1.2447817E-4 | 1.2447817E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.366953E-4 | 0.0012758602 | 0.0012758602 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hosgri (Extension)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1369135E-5 | 1.2084218E-5 | 1.2084218E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8723956E-5 | 5.1788604E-5 | 5.1788604E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9305265E-4 | 6.3036656E-4 | 6.403603E-4 | 1.0158538 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005914725 | 0.0062880344 | 0.0063079083 | 1.0031606 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.934979E-6 | 7.3252845E-6 | 7.3252845E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9721E-5 | 3.1393723E-5 | 3.1393723E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.617931E-4 | 3.821557E-4 | 3.821557E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036120464 | 0.003815398 | 0.003815398 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.2 | 6.934979E-6 | 7.3252845E-6 | 7.3252845E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9721E-5 | 3.1393723E-5 | 3.1393723E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.617931E-4 | 3.821557E-4 | 3.821557E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036120464 | 0.003815398 | 0.003815398 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 4.5484676E-6 | 4.7698445E-6 | 4.7698445E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9493287E-5 | 2.0442032E-5 | 2.0442032E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3730492E-4 | 2.4885373E-4 | 2.4885373E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023705168 | 0.0024857933 | 0.0024857933 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 4.218095E-6 | 4.4173476E-6 | 4.4173476E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8077424E-5 | 1.8931354E-5 | 1.8931354E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2007042E-4 | 2.3046519E-4 | 2.3046519E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002198526 | 0.0023022953 | 0.0023022953 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 3.717374E-6 | 3.8843227E-6 | 3.8843227E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5931506E-5 | 1.664699E-5 | 1.664699E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9394881E-4 | 2.0265846E-4 | 2.0265846E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019377962 | 0.0020247553 | 0.0020247553 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 3.4605036E-6 | 3.6087272E-6 | 3.6087272E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4830645E-5 | 1.5465883E-5 | 1.5465883E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8054814E-4 | 1.8828099E-4 | 1.8828099E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018040152 | 0.0018812295 | 0.0018812295 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 3.123439E-6 | 3.2469582E-6 | 3.2469582E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.33860985E-5 | 1.3915461E-5 | 1.3915461E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6296357E-4 | 1.6940768E-4 | 1.6940768E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001628441 | 0.0016927962 | 0.0016927962 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 2.8290783E-6 | 2.930902E-6 | 2.930902E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2124565E-5 | 1.2560949E-5 | 1.2560949E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4760658E-4 | 1.529189E-4 | 1.529189E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014750857 | 0.0015281454 | 0.0015281454 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.454112E-6 | 2.5286463E-6 | 2.5286463E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0517581E-5 | 1.083701E-5 | 1.083701E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2804402E-4 | 1.3193268E-4 | 1.3193268E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012797028 | 0.0013185496 | 0.0013185496 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.1008145E-6 | 2.1501648E-6 | 2.1501648E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.003459E-6 | 9.21496E-6 | 9.21496E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.096116E-4 | 1.121864E-4 | 1.121864E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010955755 | 0.0011213014 | 0.0011213014 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.744384E-6 | 1.7688982E-6 | 1.7688982E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.47591E-6 | 7.5809703E-6 | 7.5809703E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1015405E-5 | 9.229442E-5 | 9.229442E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.097813E-4 | 9.225626E-4 | 9.225626E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.5456587E-6 | 1.5565338E-6 | 1.5565338E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6242346E-6 | 6.670842E-6 | 6.670842E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.064707E-5 | 8.1214486E-5 | 8.1214486E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0617814E-4 | 8.118493E-4 | 8.118493E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.3775123E-6 | 1.376839E-6 | 1.376839E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9036106E-6 | 5.9007252E-6 | 5.9007252E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.187409E-5 | 7.183897E-5 | 7.183897E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.185085E-4 | 7.181585E-4 | 7.181585E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.214491E-6 | 1.2025625E-6 | 1.2025625E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2049513E-6 | 5.153829E-6 | 5.153829E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.336844E-5 | 6.2746076E-5 | 6.2746076E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.335037E-4 | 6.272844E-4 | 6.272844E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.0101123E-6 | 9.844235E-7 | 9.844235E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3290456E-6 | 4.2189513E-6 | 4.2189513E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2704854E-5 | 5.1364525E-5 | 5.1364525E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2692357E-4 | 5.1352713E-4 | 5.1352713E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 8.1558215E-7 | 7.767789E-7 | 7.767789E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4953473E-6 | 3.3290482E-6 | 3.3290482E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.255502E-5 | 4.0530413E-5 | 4.0530413E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2546875E-4 | 4.0523065E-4 | 4.0523065E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.757816E-7 | 4.1324088E-7 | 4.1324088E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0390623E-6 | 1.7710312E-6 | 1.7710312E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4825302E-5 | 2.1562093E-5 | 2.1562093E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.482253E-4 | 2.1560013E-4 | 2.1560013E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.782787E-7 | 2.006098E-7 | 2.006098E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1926223E-6 | 8.59756E-7 | 8.59756E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.452008E-5 | 1.0467479E-5 | 1.0467479E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4519131E-4 | 1.04669896E-4 | 1.04669896E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.6948086E-7 | 9.255912E-8 | 9.255912E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2634634E-7 | 3.9668188E-7 | 3.9668188E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.843231E-6 | 4.829591E-6 | 4.829591E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.842879E-5 | 4.8294867E-5 | 4.8294867E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.0225492E-7 | 4.4822645E-8 | 4.4822645E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.382353E-7 | 1.9209703E-7 | 1.9209703E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.335502E-6 | 2.3387788E-6 | 2.3387788E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.335374E-5 | 2.3387545E-5 | 2.3387545E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.43711345E-8 | 5.8006444E-9 | 5.8006444E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1590576E-8 | 2.4859904E-8 | 2.4859904E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4986497E-7 | 3.026693E-7 | 3.026693E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4986247E-6 | 3.0266892E-6 | 3.0266892E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Gabriel
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.083775E-5 | 1.2004545E-5 | 1.2004545E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6446676E-5 | 5.1447103E-5 | 5.1447103E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.653415E-4 | 6.2619976E-4 | 6.2619976E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0056390543 | 0.006256374 | 0.006276249 | 1.0031767 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.083775E-5 | 1.2004545E-5 | 1.2004545E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6446676E-5 | 5.1447103E-5 | 5.1447103E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.653415E-4 | 6.2619976E-4 | 6.2619976E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0056390543 | 0.006256374 | 0.006276249 | 1.0031767 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.083775E-5 | 1.2004545E-5 | 1.2004545E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6446676E-5 | 5.1447103E-5 | 5.1447103E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.653415E-4 | 6.2619976E-4 | 6.2619976E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0056390543 | 0.006256374 | 0.006276249 | 1.0031767 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.083775E-5 | 1.2004545E-5 | 1.2004545E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6446676E-5 | 5.1447103E-5 | 5.1447103E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.653415E-4 | 6.2619976E-4 | 6.2619976E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0056390543 | 0.006256374 | 0.006276249 | 1.0031767 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.083775E-5 | 1.2004545E-5 | 1.2004545E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6446676E-5 | 5.1447103E-5 | 5.1447103E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.653415E-4 | 6.2619976E-4 | 6.2619976E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0056390543 | 0.006256374 | 0.006276249 | 1.0031767 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.7317824E-6 | 7.736101E-6 | 7.736101E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8850178E-5 | 3.3154305E-5 | 3.3154305E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.511943E-4 | 4.0357994E-4 | 4.0357994E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003506398 | 0.004039492 | 0.0040494516 | 1.0024656 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.7317824E-6 | 7.736101E-6 | 7.736101E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8850178E-5 | 3.3154305E-5 | 3.3154305E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.511943E-4 | 4.0357994E-4 | 4.0357994E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003506398 | 0.004039492 | 0.0040494516 | 1.0024656 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.274881E-6 | 7.265004E-6 | 7.265004E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6892068E-5 | 3.1135365E-5 | 3.1135365E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2736175E-4 | 3.790081E-4 | 3.790081E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032687993 | 0.003794632 | 0.003794632 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 5.996209E-6 | 6.9777134E-6 | 6.9777134E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5697784E-5 | 2.990415E-5 | 2.990415E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.128256E-4 | 3.6402312E-4 | 3.6402312E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003123856 | 0.0036452808 | 0.0036452808 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 5.686331E-6 | 6.6426815E-6 | 6.6426815E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4369761E-5 | 2.846833E-5 | 2.846833E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9666146E-4 | 3.465477E-4 | 3.465477E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029626573 | 0.0034710837 | 0.0034710837 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 5.2329838E-6 | 6.1665146E-6 | 6.1665146E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.242688E-5 | 2.6427657E-5 | 2.6427657E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7301308E-4 | 3.2171E-4 | 3.2171E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002726779 | 0.003223441 | 0.003223441 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 5.135671E-6 | 6.0565903E-6 | 6.0565903E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2009834E-5 | 2.5956562E-5 | 2.5956562E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6793676E-4 | 3.1597607E-4 | 3.1597607E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026761394 | 0.003166267 | 0.003166267 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 4.989062E-6 | 5.889883E-6 | 5.889883E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1381518E-5 | 2.5242116E-5 | 2.5242116E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6028889E-4 | 3.072802E-4 | 3.072802E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025998424 | 0.0030795517 | 0.0030795517 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 4.8219395E-6 | 5.721361E-6 | 5.721361E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0665291E-5 | 2.4519892E-5 | 2.4519892E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5157086E-4 | 2.9848955E-4 | 2.9848955E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025128627 | 0.0029918854 | 0.0029918854 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.7118383E-6 | 5.6098506E-6 | 5.6098506E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0193436E-5 | 2.4042E-5 | 2.4042E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4582737E-4 | 2.9267278E-4 | 2.9267278E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002455556 | 0.0029338715 | 0.0029338715 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.5506545E-6 | 5.4551238E-6 | 5.4551238E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9502659E-5 | 2.3378896E-5 | 2.3378896E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.37419E-4 | 2.8460164E-4 | 2.8460164E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002371655 | 0.0028533689 | 0.0028533689 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.343636E-6 | 5.247846E-6 | 5.247846E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.861545E-5 | 2.2490578E-5 | 2.2490578E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2661954E-4 | 2.7378913E-4 | 2.7378913E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022638857 | 0.002745508 | 0.002745508 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.936235E-6 | 2.7563563E-6 | 2.7563563E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2583803E-5 | 1.1812902E-5 | 1.1812902E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5319703E-4 | 1.4381262E-4 | 1.4381262E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015309147 | 0.0014445495 | 0.0014445495 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.4541639E-6 | 9.172868E-7 | 9.172868E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.232116E-6 | 3.931223E-6 | 3.931223E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.587337E-5 | 4.786159E-5 | 4.786159E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.584747E-4 | 4.834562E-4 | 4.834562E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 8.098958E-7 | 2.4361142E-7 | 2.4361142E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4709774E-6 | 1.0440484E-6 | 1.0440484E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.225833E-5 | 1.2711215E-5 | 1.2711215E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2250296E-4 | 1.3021735E-4 | 1.3021735E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 5.2473234E-7 | 7.76339E-8 | 7.76339E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.248851E-6 | 3.3271667E-7 | 3.3271667E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7379416E-5 | 4.0508176E-6 | 4.0508176E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7376044E-4 | 4.265099E-5 | 4.265099E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 3.3162388E-7 | 4.1961535E-8 | 4.1961535E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4212444E-6 | 1.7983514E-7 | 1.7983514E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7303513E-5 | 2.1894905E-6 | 2.1894905E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7302166E-4 | 2.3220366E-5 | 2.3220366E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.0235345E-7 | 1.419086E-8 | 1.419086E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3865757E-7 | 6.081797E-8 | 6.081797E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.340643E-6 | 7.404585E-7 | 7.404585E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3405143E-5 | 8.009577E-6 | 8.009577E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Whittier alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.2554693E-5 | 4.726321E-5 | 4.726321E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8236451E-4 | 2.0254271E-4 | 2.0254271E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002218027 | 0.0024634907 | 0.0024634907 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.02196019 | 0.024395872 | 0.024415383 | 1.0007998 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.2554693E-5 | 4.726321E-5 | 4.726321E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8236451E-4 | 2.0254271E-4 | 2.0254271E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002218027 | 0.0024634907 | 0.0024634907 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.02196019 | 0.024395872 | 0.024415383 | 1.0007998 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.2554693E-5 | 4.726321E-5 | 4.726321E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8236451E-4 | 2.0254271E-4 | 2.0254271E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002218027 | 0.0024634907 | 0.0024634907 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.02196019 | 0.024395872 | 0.024415383 | 1.0007998 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.9617712E-5 | 1.8274623E-5 | 1.8274623E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.40732E-5 | 7.8317564E-5 | 7.8317564E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010231105 | 9.5311826E-4 | 9.5311826E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01018413 | 0.009493591 | 0.009503496 | 1.0010433 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.5611336E-5 | 1.36094095E-5 | 1.36094095E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.690401E-5 | 5.832477E-5 | 5.832477E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.142519E-4 | 7.0987875E-4 | 7.0987875E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008112748 | 0.007078075 | 0.0070880037 | 1.0014029 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5150166E-5 | 1.3106007E-5 | 1.3106007E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.492767E-5 | 5.6167424E-5 | 5.6167424E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9020765E-4 | 6.836297E-4 | 6.836297E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007874036 | 0.006817216 | 0.0068271477 | 1.0014569 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.295588E-5 | 1.03849E-5 | 1.03849E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.552402E-5 | 4.4505963E-5 | 4.4505963E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7579525E-4 | 5.4172735E-4 | 5.4172735E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006737438 | 0.0054056114 | 0.0054155574 | 1.0018399 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2542085E-5 | 9.903445E-6 | 9.903445E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3750682E-5 | 4.2442654E-5 | 4.2442654E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.542181E-4 | 5.166187E-4 | 5.166187E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006522954 | 0.0051557226 | 0.005165671 | 1.0019296 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2195878E-5 | 9.499356E-6 | 9.499356E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2267E-5 | 4.0710896E-5 | 4.0710896E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.36165E-4 | 4.9554434E-4 | 4.9554434E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063434686 | 0.00494587 | 0.0049558207 | 1.0020119 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.1580298E-5 | 8.776621E-6 | 8.776621E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9628903E-5 | 3.7613558E-5 | 3.7613558E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.040644E-4 | 4.5785052E-4 | 4.5785052E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00602425 | 0.004570431 | 0.004580385 | 1.002178 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0964795E-5 | 8.087501E-6 | 8.087501E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6991136E-5 | 3.4660265E-5 | 3.4660265E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7196687E-4 | 4.2190854E-4 | 4.2190854E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057049696 | 0.004212337 | 0.004222295 | 1.0023639 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0230601E-5 | 7.3297965E-6 | 7.3297965E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3844695E-5 | 3.141304E-5 | 3.141304E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.336784E-4 | 3.8238798E-4 | 3.8238798E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005323986 | 0.003818441 | 0.0038284026 | 1.0026089 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.40865E-6 | 6.5461613E-6 | 6.5461613E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.032216E-5 | 2.8054683E-5 | 2.8054683E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.908117E-4 | 3.4151346E-4 | 3.4151346E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048972913 | 0.0034109573 | 0.0034209231 | 1.0029217 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 8.237384E-6 | 5.6002586E-6 | 5.6002586E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5302593E-5 | 2.4000894E-5 | 2.4000894E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2972428E-4 | 2.9217274E-4 | 2.9217274E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042889426 | 0.0029181987 | 0.0029281697 | 1.0034168 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.5316966E-6 | 5.030118E-6 | 5.030118E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2278298E-5 | 2.1557476E-5 | 2.1557476E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9291743E-4 | 2.6243165E-4 | 2.6243165E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039222343 | 0.0026213333 | 0.002631307 | 1.0038048 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.149649E-6 | 3.935729E-6 | 3.935729E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6355372E-5 | 1.6867305E-5 | 1.6867305E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.208294E-4 | 2.05341E-4 | 2.05341E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003203666 | 0.002051602 | 0.0020615815 | 1.0048642 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 5.457711E-6 | 3.3970714E-6 | 3.3970714E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.338998E-5 | 1.4558801E-5 | 1.4558801E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8473578E-4 | 1.772398E-4 | 1.772398E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028437122 | 0.0017710653 | 0.0017710653 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.1676276E-6 | 2.334571E-6 | 2.334571E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7861139E-5 | 1.000527E-5 | 1.000527E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1743766E-4 | 1.218081E-4 | 1.218081E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021722503 | 0.0012174866 | 0.0012174866 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.2692414E-7 | 9.388763E-8 | 9.388763E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.725317E-7 | 4.023755E-7 | 4.023755E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1840509E-5 | 4.898914E-6 | 4.898914E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1839878E-4 | 4.898839E-5 | 4.898839E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.440774E-9 | 3.440774E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.4746175E-8 | 1.4746175E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.7953467E-7 | 1.7953467E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838679E-6 | 1.7953454E-6 | 1.7953454E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Gabriel (Extension)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.6486106E-6 | 5.719698E-6 | 5.719698E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4208108E-5 | 2.4512769E-5 | 2.4512769E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9469383E-4 | 2.9840335E-4 | 3.0840037E-4 | 1.0335017 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029430336 | 0.002980155 | 0.0030000955 | 1.0066911 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.6486106E-6 | 5.719698E-6 | 5.719698E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4208108E-5 | 2.4512769E-5 | 2.4512769E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9469383E-4 | 2.9840335E-4 | 3.0840037E-4 | 1.0335017 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029430336 | 0.002980155 | 0.0030000955 | 1.0066911 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 5.6486106E-6 | 5.719698E-6 | 5.719698E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4208108E-5 | 2.4512769E-5 | 2.4512769E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9469383E-4 | 2.9840335E-4 | 3.0840037E-4 | 1.0335017 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029430336 | 0.002980155 | 0.0030000955 | 1.0066911 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 5.6486106E-6 | 5.719698E-6 | 5.719698E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4208108E-5 | 2.4512769E-5 | 2.4512769E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9469383E-4 | 2.9840335E-4 | 3.0840037E-4 | 1.0335017 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029430336 | 0.002980155 | 0.0030000955 | 1.0066911 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 5.6486106E-6 | 5.719698E-6 | 5.719698E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4208108E-5 | 2.4512769E-5 | 2.4512769E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9469383E-4 | 2.9840335E-4 | 3.0840037E-4 | 1.0335017 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029430336 | 0.002980155 | 0.0030000955 | 1.0066911 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.7134554E-6 | 4.7570884E-6 | 4.7570884E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0200367E-5 | 2.0387368E-5 | 2.0387368E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.459117E-4 | 2.4818876E-4 | 2.5818628E-4 | 1.0402819 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024563975 | 0.002479202 | 0.0024891773 | 1.0040236 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.7134554E-6 | 4.7570884E-6 | 4.7570884E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0200367E-5 | 2.0387368E-5 | 2.0387368E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.459117E-4 | 2.4818876E-4 | 2.5818628E-4 | 1.0402819 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024563975 | 0.002479202 | 0.0024891773 | 1.0040236 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.2468837E-6 | 4.276889E-6 | 4.276889E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8200803E-5 | 1.83294E-5 | 1.83294E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2157225E-4 | 2.2313831E-4 | 2.3313609E-4 | 1.0448053 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022135144 | 0.0022292165 | 0.0022391942 | 1.0044758 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 4.1180615E-6 | 4.144274E-6 | 4.144274E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7648716E-5 | 1.7761056E-5 | 1.7761056E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1485193E-4 | 2.1622013E-4 | 2.2621798E-4 | 1.0462391 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021464431 | 0.0021601706 | 0.002170149 | 1.0046192 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.863861E-6 | 3.88258E-6 | 3.88258E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.65593E-5 | 1.6639526E-5 | 1.6639526E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0159081E-4 | 2.0256809E-4 | 2.1256607E-4 | 1.0493561 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020140803 | 0.002023904 | 0.0020338835 | 1.004931 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.6947372E-6 | 3.7084733E-6 | 3.7084733E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5834492E-5 | 1.5893364E-5 | 1.5893364E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9276788E-4 | 1.9348519E-4 | 2.0348326E-4 | 1.0516735 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019260074 | 0.0019332356 | 0.0019432162 | 1.0051627 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.5686835E-6 | 3.5756839E-6 | 3.5756839E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5294268E-5 | 1.5324273E-5 | 1.5324273E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.861918E-4 | 1.8655772E-4 | 1.9655585E-4 | 1.0535927 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018603588 | 0.0018640787 | 0.00187406 | 1.0053545 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.8023446E-6 | 2.779535E-6 | 2.779535E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2009994E-5 | 1.1912239E-5 | 1.1912239E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4621185E-4 | 1.4502197E-4 | 1.4502197E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001461157 | 0.0014492859 | 0.0014492859 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.5843012E-6 | 2.5486831E-6 | 2.5486831E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1075529E-5 | 1.0922882E-5 | 1.0922882E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3483623E-4 | 1.3297808E-4 | 1.3297808E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013475444 | 0.0013289965 | 0.0013289965 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.4464468E-6 | 2.399344E-6 | 2.399344E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.04847295E-5 | 1.0282863E-5 | 1.0282863E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.276441E-4 | 1.2518677E-4 | 1.2518677E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012757082 | 0.0012511737 | 0.0012511737 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.0420266E-6 | 1.8934064E-6 | 1.8934064E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.751514E-6 | 8.1145745E-6 | 8.1145745E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0654447E-4 | 9.879049E-5 | 9.879049E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001064934 | 9.874708E-4 | 9.874708E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.8326596E-6 | 1.6420413E-6 | 1.6420413E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.854232E-6 | 7.0373007E-6 | 7.0373007E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.562107E-5 | 8.567579E-5 | 8.567579E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.5579936E-4 | 8.564316E-4 | 8.564316E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.4786998E-6 | 1.2544032E-6 | 1.2544032E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3372695E-6 | 5.3760027E-6 | 5.3760027E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.715353E-5 | 6.545088E-5 | 6.545088E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7126746E-4 | 6.543242E-4 | 6.543242E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 7.6975533E-7 | 6.086253E-7 | 6.086253E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2989474E-6 | 2.6083917E-6 | 2.6083917E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0163945E-5 | 3.175671E-5 | 3.175671E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0156685E-4 | 3.1752832E-4 | 3.1752832E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.7645915E-7 | 9.2596295E-8 | 9.2596295E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.562533E-7 | 3.9684122E-7 | 3.9684122E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.207345E-6 | 4.831531E-6 | 4.831531E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.206964E-5 | 4.8318747E-5 | 4.8318747E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.0463461E-7 | 2.5141143E-8 | 2.5141143E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4843398E-7 | 1.0774775E-7 | 1.0774775E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.45967E-6 | 1.3118281E-6 | 1.3118281E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.459536E-5 | 1.31226825E-5 | 1.31226825E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 7.875717E-8 | 1.3990972E-8 | 1.3990972E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3753068E-7 | 5.996131E-8 | 5.996131E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.109428E-6 | 7.300287E-7 | 7.300287E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.109352E-5 | 7.304742E-6 | 7.304742E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.33163E-8 | 1.7913301E-9 | 1.7913301E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7069855E-8 | 7.677129E-9 | 7.677129E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9482525E-7 | 9.346905E-8 | 9.346905E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9482307E-6 | 9.367619E-7 | 9.367619E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pleito
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.482481E-5 | 2.482481E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0638811E-4 | 1.0638811E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0012945777 | 0.0013045648 | 1.0077145 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.012984898 | 0.013004638 | 1.0015203 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.482481E-5 | 2.482481E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0638811E-4 | 1.0638811E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0012945777 | 0.0013045648 | 1.0077145 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.012984898 | 0.013004638 | 1.0015203 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.482481E-5 | 2.482481E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0638811E-4 | 1.0638811E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0012945777 | 0.0013045648 | 1.0077145 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.012984898 | 0.013004638 | 1.0015203 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.482481E-5 | 2.482481E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0638811E-4 | 1.0638811E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0012945777 | 0.0013045648 | 1.0077145 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.012984898 | 0.013004638 | 1.0015203 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.482481E-5 | 2.482481E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0638811E-4 | 1.0638811E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0012945777 | 0.0013045648 | 1.0077145 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.012984898 | 0.013004638 | 1.0015203 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.482481E-5 | 2.482481E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0638811E-4 | 1.0638811E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0012945777 | 0.0013045648 | 1.0077145 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.012984898 | 0.013004638 | 1.0015203 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.910213E-6 | 1.727468E-5 | 1.727468E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.247165E-5 | 7.4032265E-5 | 7.4032265E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.169696E-4 | 9.009738E-4 | 9.009738E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051576863 | 0.009081357 | 0.009081357 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 9.910213E-6 | 1.727468E-5 | 1.727468E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.247165E-5 | 7.4032265E-5 | 7.4032265E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.169696E-4 | 9.009738E-4 | 9.009738E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051576863 | 0.009081357 | 0.009081357 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 8.300162E-6 | 1.553412E-5 | 1.553412E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.557164E-5 | 6.657311E-5 | 6.657311E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3299864E-4 | 8.1022765E-4 | 8.1022765E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004321559 | 0.008180735 | 0.008180735 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 8.183114E-6 | 1.5405309E-5 | 1.5405309E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5070017E-5 | 6.6021086E-5 | 6.6021086E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2689382E-4 | 8.035117E-4 | 8.035117E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042607468 | 0.008114067 | 0.008114067 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 7.1748823E-6 | 1.419154E-5 | 1.419154E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0749135E-5 | 6.081947E-5 | 6.081947E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.743064E-4 | 7.40226E-4 | 7.40226E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037367654 | 0.007485186 | 0.007485186 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 7.1671807E-6 | 1.4181902E-5 | 1.4181902E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0716128E-5 | 6.0778166E-5 | 6.0778166E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7390468E-4 | 7.397235E-4 | 7.397235E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037327618 | 0.007480195 | 0.007480195 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 7.0649667E-6 | 1.4028995E-5 | 1.4028995E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0278077E-5 | 6.0122882E-5 | 6.0122882E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6857324E-4 | 7.3175074E-4 | 7.3175074E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036796255 | 0.0074008503 | 0.0074008503 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 7.02082E-6 | 1.3972335E-5 | 1.3972335E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.008888E-5 | 5.9880065E-5 | 5.9880065E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6627054E-4 | 7.2879647E-4 | 7.2879647E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036566744 | 0.007371293 | 0.007371293 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 6.987146E-6 | 1.3931834E-5 | 1.3931834E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9944567E-5 | 5.9706494E-5 | 5.9706494E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6451413E-4 | 7.2668464E-4 | 7.2668464E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036391679 | 0.0073501943 | 0.0073501943 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.9494554E-6 | 1.388869E-5 | 1.388869E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9783041E-5 | 5.95216E-5 | 5.95216E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.625482E-4 | 7.24435E-4 | 7.24435E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036195726 | 0.0073277983 | 0.0073277983 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.92694E-6 | 1.3847712E-5 | 1.3847712E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9686547E-5 | 5.9345988E-5 | 5.9345988E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6137376E-4 | 7.222984E-4 | 7.222984E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036078666 | 0.0073065045 | 0.0073065045 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.395867E-6 | 1.2724276E-5 | 1.2724276E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.741057E-5 | 5.4531472E-5 | 5.4531472E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.336726E-4 | 6.6371873E-4 | 6.6371873E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033317201 | 0.0067239087 | 0.0067239087 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 5.8664327E-6 | 1.158705E-5 | 1.158705E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5141611E-5 | 4.965784E-5 | 4.965784E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.060561E-4 | 6.044167E-4 | 6.044167E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030563495 | 0.0061268457 | 0.0061268457 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 3.7167474E-6 | 7.1450618E-6 | 7.1450618E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.592882E-5 | 3.0621337E-5 | 3.0621337E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9391612E-4 | 3.7275112E-4 | 3.7275112E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019374699 | 0.0037834109 | 0.0037834109 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.0903841E-6 | 1.2946364E-6 | 1.2946364E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6730665E-6 | 5.5484297E-6 | 5.5484297E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.68931E-5 | 6.7550056E-5 | 6.7550056E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6878536E-4 | 6.9771963E-4 | 6.9771963E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 2.6894583E-7 | 1.1169754E-7 | 1.1169754E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1526245E-6 | 4.7870367E-7 | 4.7870367E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4033113E-5 | 5.8282017E-6 | 5.8282017E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4032227E-4 | 6.517978E-5 | 6.517978E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 5.2967013E-9 | 2.4839004E-9 | 2.4839004E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2700148E-8 | 1.0645288E-8 | 1.0645288E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7637427E-7 | 1.2960638E-7 | 1.2960638E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7637393E-6 | 1.4739632E-6 | 1.4739632E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Monterey Bay-Tularcitos
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0131365E-5 | 3.280234E-5 | 3.280234E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2912804E-4 | 1.4057448E-4 | 1.5057308E-4 | 1.0711267 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001571 | 0.0017102562 | 0.001730222 | 1.0116742 | 2.0E-5 | 0.015599402 | 0.01698175 | 0.017001411 | 1.0011578 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.0131365E-5 | 3.280234E-5 | 3.280234E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2912804E-4 | 1.4057448E-4 | 1.5057308E-4 | 1.0711267 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001571 | 0.0017102562 | 0.001730222 | 1.0116742 | 2.0E-5 | 0.015599402 | 0.01698175 | 0.017001411 | 1.0011578 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.0131365E-5 | 3.280234E-5 | 3.280234E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2912804E-4 | 1.4057448E-4 | 1.5057308E-4 | 1.0711267 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001571 | 0.0017102562 | 0.001730222 | 1.0116742 | 2.0E-5 | 0.015599402 | 0.01698175 | 0.017001411 | 1.0011578 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.6998249E-5 | 1.833261E-5 | 1.833261E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.28476E-5 | 7.856607E-5 | 8.856528E-5 | 1.1272714 | 1.0E-5 | 8.865586E-4 | 9.5614075E-4 | 9.7612164E-4 | 1.0208974 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0088303005 | 0.009522195 | 0.009542004 | 1.0020803 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6998249E-5 | 1.833261E-5 | 1.833261E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.28476E-5 | 7.856607E-5 | 8.856528E-5 | 1.1272714 | 1.0E-5 | 8.865586E-4 | 9.5614075E-4 | 9.7612164E-4 | 1.0208974 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0088303005 | 0.009522195 | 0.009542004 | 1.0020803 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.27470785E-5 | 1.369462E-5 | 1.369462E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4629192E-5 | 5.8689966E-5 | 6.868938E-5 | 1.1703769 | 1.0E-5 | 6.649074E-4 | 7.1432645E-4 | 7.3431217E-4 | 1.0279784 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0066292146 | 0.007121356 | 0.007141214 | 1.0027884 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.2739422E-5 | 1.3686707E-5 | 1.3686707E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4596385E-5 | 5.8656056E-5 | 6.865547E-5 | 1.1704754 | 1.0E-5 | 6.645082E-4 | 7.139138E-4 | 7.3389953E-4 | 1.0279946 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0066252467 | 0.0071172565 | 0.007137114 | 1.0027901 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.0160109E-5 | 1.0886776E-5 | 1.0886776E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.35426E-5 | 4.6656816E-5 | 5.665635E-5 | 1.2143209 | 1.0E-5 | 5.300022E-4 | 5.679058E-4 | 5.878944E-4 | 1.0351971 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005287399 | 0.005665256 | 0.005685143 | 1.0035102 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.349859E-6 | 8.933424E-6 | 8.933424E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.578462E-5 | 3.8285572E-5 | 4.828519E-5 | 1.2611849 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3559066E-4 | 4.6603283E-4 | 4.860235E-4 | 1.0428954 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004347378 | 0.0046511204 | 0.0046710274 | 1.0042801 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.193639E-6 | 5.5369587E-6 | 5.5369587E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2258262E-5 | 2.3729626E-5 | 3.372939E-5 | 1.4214041 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7096065E-4 | 2.8887315E-4 | 3.0886737E-4 | 1.0692146 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0027063051 | 0.0028852976 | 0.0029052398 | 1.0069116 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.359381E-6 | 4.6438195E-6 | 4.6438195E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8682927E-5 | 1.9901949E-5 | 2.990175E-5 | 1.5024533 | 1.0E-5 | 2.274409E-4 | 2.4228226E-4 | 2.622774E-4 | 1.0825284 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0022720827 | 0.002420474 | 0.0024404258 | 1.0082428 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.0398533E-6 | 3.2313776E-6 | 3.2313776E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3027877E-5 | 1.3848702E-5 | 2.3848565E-5 | 1.7220793 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5860285E-4 | 1.6859753E-4 | 1.7859584E-4 | 1.0593028 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001584897 | 0.0016849539 | 0.001694937 | 1.0059248 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.642335E-6 | 1.7335219E-6 | 1.7335219E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0385595E-6 | 7.42937E-6 | 1.7429296E-5 | 2.3459992 | 1.0E-5 | 8.569109E-5 | 9.045089E-5 | 1.00449986E-4 | 1.1105472 | 1.0E-5 | 8.5658056E-4 | 9.043435E-4 | 9.143345E-4 | 1.0110477 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.356842E-7 | 3.296056E-7 | 3.296056E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4386458E-6 | 1.4125947E-6 | 1.4125947E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7515373E-5 | 1.7198205E-5 | 1.7198205E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7513991E-4 | 1.7196884E-4 | 1.7196884E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.1973483E-7 | 2.1014151E-7 | 2.1014151E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.417204E-7 | 9.0060615E-7 | 9.0060615E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1465385E-5 | 1.09648245E-5 | 1.09648245E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1464794E-4 | 1.09642875E-4 | 1.09642875E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.1944135E-7 | 1.0703373E-7 | 1.0703373E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.118914E-7 | 4.587159E-7 | 4.587159E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.23226E-6 | 5.584852E-6 | 5.584852E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2320854E-5 | 5.584713E-5 | 5.584713E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.636058E-8 | 3.3412242E-8 | 3.3412242E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9868818E-7 | 1.4319532E-7 | 1.4319532E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.419026E-6 | 1.7434016E-6 | 1.7434016E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4189996E-5 | 1.7433882E-5 | 1.7433882E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.8588572E-8 | 8.025537E-9 | 8.025537E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9665305E-8 | 3.439516E-8 | 3.439516E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.699246E-7 | 4.1876098E-7 | 4.1876098E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.699204E-6 | 4.1876024E-6 | 4.1876024E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.7960154E-9 | 7.642914E-10 | 7.642914E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1982923E-8 | 3.2755345E-9 | 3.2755345E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4589209E-7 | 3.9879634E-8 | 3.9879634E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4589199E-6 | 3.987963E-7 | 3.987963E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Shoreline
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.9888673E-6 | 4.048072E-6 | 4.048072E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7095033E-5 | 1.7348795E-5 | 1.7348795E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0811215E-4 | 2.112067E-4 | 2.112067E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020791737 | 0.0021106086 | 0.0021305664 | 1.0094559 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.9888673E-6 | 4.048072E-6 | 4.048072E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7095033E-5 | 1.7348795E-5 | 1.7348795E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0811215E-4 | 2.112067E-4 | 2.112067E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020791737 | 0.0021106086 | 0.0021305664 | 1.0094559 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.4039653E-6 | 1.4101674E-6 | 1.4101674E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0169805E-6 | 6.0435614E-6 | 6.0435614E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.325427E-5 | 7.357793E-5 | 7.357793E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3230127E-4 | 7.3554175E-4 | 7.3554175E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 1.4039653E-6 | 1.4101674E-6 | 1.4101674E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0169805E-6 | 6.0435614E-6 | 6.0435614E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.325427E-5 | 7.357793E-5 | 7.357793E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3230127E-4 | 7.3554175E-4 | 7.3554175E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.3314152E-6 | 1.3362372E-6 | 1.3362372E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7060524E-6 | 5.7267184E-6 | 5.7267184E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.946897E-5 | 6.972062E-5 | 6.972062E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9447263E-4 | 6.9699285E-4 | 6.9699285E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.1187026E-6 | 1.120437E-6 | 1.120437E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.794431E-6 | 4.8018637E-6 | 4.8018637E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8370628E-5 | 5.846115E-5 | 5.846115E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.83553E-4 | 5.844602E-4 | 5.844602E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 9.793089E-7 | 9.78562E-7 | 9.78562E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1970316E-6 | 4.19383E-6 | 4.19383E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1097657E-5 | 5.1058698E-5 | 5.1058698E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.108591E-4 | 5.1047094E-4 | 5.1047094E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 8.995986E-7 | 8.973481E-7 | 8.973481E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8554167E-6 | 3.845772E-6 | 3.845772E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.693869E-5 | 4.682128E-5 | 4.682128E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6928777E-4 | 4.681151E-4 | 4.681151E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 7.931612E-7 | 7.8810496E-7 | 7.8810496E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3992578E-6 | 3.3775884E-6 | 3.3775884E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1385178E-5 | 4.1121366E-5 | 4.1121366E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1377472E-4 | 4.1113814E-4 | 4.1113814E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 7.1465956E-7 | 7.0786314E-7 | 7.0786314E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.062823E-6 | 3.0336957E-6 | 3.0336957E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7289232E-5 | 3.6934623E-5 | 3.6934623E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7282976E-4 | 3.692852E-4 | 3.692852E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 6.389046E-7 | 6.300058E-7 | 6.300058E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7381598E-6 | 2.7000222E-6 | 2.7000222E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3336586E-5 | 3.2872274E-5 | 3.2872274E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3331584E-4 | 3.2867436E-4 | 3.2867436E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 5.4300875E-7 | 5.3116946E-7 | 5.3116946E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3271782E-6 | 2.2764386E-6 | 2.2764386E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8333026E-5 | 2.7715287E-5 | 2.7715287E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8329415E-4 | 2.771184E-4 | 2.771184E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 4.6768855E-7 | 4.5354304E-7 | 4.5354304E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0043778E-6 | 1.9437543E-6 | 1.9437543E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4403027E-5 | 2.3664954E-5 | 2.3664954E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4400349E-4 | 2.3662439E-4 | 2.3662439E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 4.0966103E-7 | 3.9390815E-7 | 3.9390815E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7556889E-6 | 1.6881767E-6 | 1.6881767E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1375303E-5 | 2.0553358E-5 | 2.0553358E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1373246E-4 | 2.0551462E-4 | 2.0551462E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.5105785E-7 | 3.336893E-7 | 3.336893E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5045327E-6 | 1.4300961E-6 | 1.4300961E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8317533E-5 | 1.7411281E-5 | 1.7411281E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8316023E-4 | 1.740992E-4 | 1.740992E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.8737534E-7 | 2.6824776E-7 | 2.6824776E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2316079E-6 | 1.1496328E-6 | 1.1496328E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4994724E-5 | 1.3996689E-5 | 1.3996689E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4993713E-4 | 1.399581E-4 | 1.399581E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.0924051E-7 | 1.8783443E-7 | 1.8783443E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.967448E-7 | 8.050044E-7 | 8.050044E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0917813E-5 | 9.800885E-6 | 9.800885E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0917276E-4 | 9.800454E-5 | 9.800454E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.392265E-7 | 1.1547553E-7 | 1.1547553E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9668486E-7 | 4.94895E-7 | 4.94895E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2646135E-6 | 6.02533E-6 | 6.02533E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2643765E-5 | 6.0251674E-5 | 6.0251674E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 8.1080074E-8 | 5.590592E-8 | 5.590592E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4748598E-7 | 2.395968E-7 | 2.395968E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2306337E-6 | 2.917087E-6 | 2.917087E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.230553E-5 | 2.917049E-5 | 2.917049E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 5.0859036E-8 | 2.7279707E-8 | 2.7279707E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1796728E-7 | 1.1691303E-7 | 1.1691303E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6537484E-6 | 1.4234151E-6 | 1.4234151E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6537167E-5 | 1.4234061E-5 | 1.4234061E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 3.1760536E-8 | 1.3603957E-8 | 1.3603957E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3611657E-7 | 5.8302675E-8 | 5.8302675E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6572179E-6 | 7.098348E-7 | 7.098348E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6572056E-5 | 7.0983256E-6 | 7.0983256E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.2947896E-8 | 5.6742797E-9 | 5.6742797E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5490982E-8 | 2.4318341E-8 | 2.4318341E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.756025E-7 | 2.9607577E-7 | 2.9607577E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7560045E-6 | 2.9607538E-6 | 2.9607538E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Newport-Inglewood alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.9668912E-5 | 3.0410616E-5 | 3.0410616E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2714628E-4 | 1.3032745E-4 | 1.3032745E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015469068 | 0.0015860666 | 0.0015860666 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015361829 | 0.015795099 | 0.015814783 | 1.0012462 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.9668912E-5 | 3.0410616E-5 | 3.0410616E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2714628E-4 | 1.3032745E-4 | 1.3032745E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015469068 | 0.0015860666 | 0.0015860666 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015361829 | 0.015795099 | 0.015814783 | 1.0012462 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.9668912E-5 | 3.0410616E-5 | 3.0410616E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2714628E-4 | 1.3032745E-4 | 1.3032745E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015469068 | 0.0015860666 | 0.0015860666 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015361829 | 0.015795099 | 0.015814783 | 1.0012462 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.9668912E-5 | 3.0410616E-5 | 3.0410616E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2714628E-4 | 1.3032745E-4 | 1.3032745E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015469068 | 0.0015860666 | 0.0015860666 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015361829 | 0.015795099 | 0.015814783 | 1.0012462 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.275942E-5 | 1.0273512E-5 | 1.0273512E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4682085E-5 | 4.4028617E-5 | 4.4028617E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.65551E-4 | 5.359207E-4 | 5.359207E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0066356123 | 0.005346708 | 0.0053566545 | 1.0018603 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.275942E-5 | 1.0273512E-5 | 1.0273512E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4682085E-5 | 4.4028617E-5 | 4.4028617E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.65551E-4 | 5.359207E-4 | 5.359207E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0066356123 | 0.005346708 | 0.0053566545 | 1.0018603 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.1255358E-5 | 8.662647E-6 | 8.662647E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8236358E-5 | 3.712511E-5 | 3.712511E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.871194E-4 | 4.5190618E-4 | 4.5190618E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005855706 | 0.0045100497 | 0.0045200046 | 1.0022073 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.0504745E-5 | 7.900479E-6 | 7.900479E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5019555E-5 | 3.3858763E-5 | 3.3858763E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4797524E-4 | 4.1215372E-4 | 4.1215372E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0054662596 | 0.0041140234 | 0.004123982 | 1.0024207 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0476007E-5 | 7.881859E-6 | 7.881859E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4896402E-5 | 3.3778968E-5 | 3.3778968E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.464766E-4 | 4.1118255E-4 | 4.1118255E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005451347 | 0.0041043474 | 0.0041143065 | 1.0024264 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.076797E-6 | 6.490146E-6 | 6.490146E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.889998E-5 | 2.7814618E-5 | 2.7814618E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7350433E-4 | 3.3859067E-4 | 3.3859067E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004724967 | 0.0033807855 | 0.0033907515 | 1.0029479 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.73795E-6 | 6.212536E-6 | 6.212536E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7447822E-5 | 2.6624884E-5 | 2.6624884E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5583185E-4 | 3.2411003E-4 | 3.2411003E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045489795 | 0.003236405 | 0.0032463726 | 1.0030799 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.391299E-6 | 5.9562317E-6 | 5.9562317E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5962214E-5 | 2.5526459E-5 | 2.5526459E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.37752E-4 | 3.1074058E-4 | 3.1074058E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004368907 | 0.0031030905 | 0.0031130593 | 1.0032126 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.796882E-6 | 5.4969446E-6 | 5.4969446E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.341478E-5 | 2.3558121E-5 | 2.3558121E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.06749E-4 | 2.867826E-4 | 2.867826E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040600533 | 0.0028641492 | 0.0028741204 | 1.0034814 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.4738833E-6 | 4.648111E-6 | 4.648111E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.774492E-5 | 1.9920324E-5 | 1.9920324E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3774204E-4 | 2.4250311E-4 | 2.4250311E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033722918 | 0.0024224014 | 0.0024323773 | 1.0041181 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 5.382145E-6 | 3.8859966E-6 | 3.8859966E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3066134E-5 | 1.6654165E-5 | 1.6654165E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8079396E-4 | 2.0274574E-4 | 2.0274574E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028043943 | 0.0020256222 | 0.002035602 | 1.0049268 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.648244E-6 | 2.5739525E-6 | 2.5739525E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5635238E-5 | 1.1031179E-5 | 1.1031179E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9034238E-4 | 1.3429642E-4 | 1.3429642E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019017943 | 0.0013421632 | 0.0013521498 | 1.0074407 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.2906888E-6 | 1.5481096E-6 | 1.5481096E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.817201E-6 | 6.634739E-6 | 6.634739E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1951787E-4 | 8.077502E-5 | 8.077502E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011945361 | 8.0746337E-4 | 8.0746337E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.0479874E-7 | 3.3978014E-7 | 3.3978014E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5919921E-6 | 1.4561999E-6 | 1.4561999E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1557047E-5 | 1.7729104E-5 | 1.7729104E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1552566E-4 | 1.7727827E-4 | 1.7727827E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.16056995E-8 | 9.783043E-9 | 9.783043E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9738713E-8 | 4.1927326E-8 | 4.1927326E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0556863E-7 | 5.104652E-7 | 5.104652E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.05567E-6 | 5.1046522E-6 | 5.1046522E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Big Lagoon - Bald Mtn 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.8699735E-5 | 1.9851645E-5 | 1.9851645E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.013926E-5 | 8.507592E-5 | 8.507592E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.752587E-4 | 0.0010353449 | 0.0010353449 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009709897 | 0.010309031 | 0.0103189275 | 1.00096 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.8699735E-5 | 1.9851645E-5 | 1.9851645E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.013926E-5 | 8.507592E-5 | 8.507592E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.752587E-4 | 0.0010353449 | 0.0010353449 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009709897 | 0.010309031 | 0.0103189275 | 1.00096 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.8699735E-5 | 1.9851645E-5 | 1.9851645E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.013926E-5 | 8.507592E-5 | 8.507592E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.752587E-4 | 0.0010353449 | 0.0010353449 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009709897 | 0.010309031 | 0.0103189275 | 1.00096 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.8699735E-5 | 1.9851645E-5 | 1.9851645E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.013926E-5 | 8.507592E-5 | 8.507592E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.752587E-4 | 0.0010353449 | 0.0010353449 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009709897 | 0.010309031 | 0.0103189275 | 1.00096 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.8699735E-5 | 1.9851645E-5 | 1.9851645E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.013926E-5 | 8.507592E-5 | 8.507592E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.752587E-4 | 0.0010353449 | 0.0010353449 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009709897 | 0.010309031 | 0.0103189275 | 1.00096 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.8699735E-5 | 1.9851645E-5 | 1.9851645E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.013926E-5 | 8.507592E-5 | 8.507592E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.752587E-4 | 0.0010353449 | 0.0010353449 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009709897 | 0.010309031 | 0.0103189275 | 1.00096 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.8699735E-5 | 1.9851645E-5 | 1.9851645E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.013926E-5 | 8.507592E-5 | 8.507592E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.752587E-4 | 0.0010353449 | 0.0010353449 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009709897 | 0.010309031 | 0.0103189275 | 1.00096 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.8699735E-5 | 1.9851645E-5 | 1.9851645E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.013926E-5 | 8.507592E-5 | 8.507592E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.752587E-4 | 0.0010353449 | 0.0010353449 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009709897 | 0.010309031 | 0.0103189275 | 1.00096 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.18505095E-5 | 1.2500624E-5 | 1.2500624E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.078691E-5 | 5.357303E-5 | 5.357303E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.181552E-4 | 6.5206125E-4 | 6.5206125E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006164385 | 0.006501984 | 0.006501984 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.18505095E-5 | 1.2500624E-5 | 1.2500624E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.078691E-5 | 5.357303E-5 | 5.357303E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.181552E-4 | 6.5206125E-4 | 6.5206125E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006164385 | 0.006501984 | 0.006501984 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 9.719786E-6 | 1.0236137E-5 | 1.0236137E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1655563E-5 | 4.3868436E-5 | 4.3868436E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0703844E-4 | 5.3396967E-4 | 5.3396967E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005058831 | 0.005327113 | 0.005327113 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 8.523418E-6 | 8.970025E-6 | 8.970025E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.652842E-5 | 3.8442406E-5 | 3.8442406E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4464276E-4 | 4.6793735E-4 | 4.6793735E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044375416 | 0.004669684 | 0.004669684 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 7.378894E-6 | 7.761593E-6 | 7.761593E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.162345E-5 | 3.3263554E-5 | 3.3263554E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8494746E-4 | 4.049094E-4 | 4.049094E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038428132 | 0.0040418124 | 0.0040418124 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 6.4640294E-6 | 6.7928563E-6 | 6.7928563E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7702688E-5 | 2.9111921E-5 | 2.9111921E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3722803E-4 | 3.5438064E-4 | 3.5438064E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033671674 | 0.0035382255 | 0.0035382255 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.9959093E-6 | 6.2991808E-6 | 6.2991808E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5696501E-5 | 2.6996213E-5 | 2.6996213E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1280998E-4 | 3.2862992E-4 | 3.2862992E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031237002 | 0.0032815014 | 0.0032815014 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.929265E-6 | 5.176706E-6 | 5.176706E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.112525E-5 | 2.2185697E-5 | 2.2185697E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5716957E-4 | 2.7007778E-4 | 2.7007778E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025687215 | 0.0026975363 | 0.0026975363 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.8982403E-6 | 4.089166E-6 | 4.089166E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6706637E-5 | 1.752488E-5 | 1.752488E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0338432E-4 | 2.133448E-4 | 2.133448E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020319829 | 0.0021314276 | 0.0021314276 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.820968E-6 | 2.957382E-6 | 2.957382E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2089806E-5 | 1.2674434E-5 | 1.2674434E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4718344E-4 | 1.5430049E-4 | 1.5430049E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00147086 | 0.0015419512 | 0.0015419512 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.9314455E-6 | 2.0261368E-6 | 2.0261368E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.277597E-6 | 8.683416E-6 | 8.683416E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0077508E-4 | 1.0571559E-4 | 1.0571559E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010072939 | 0.0010566659 | 0.0010566659 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 4.9586197E-7 | 5.2192485E-7 | 5.2192485E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.125121E-6 | 2.236819E-6 | 2.236819E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5873042E-5 | 2.723295E-5 | 2.723295E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5870028E-4 | 2.7229823E-4 | 2.7229823E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Ventura-Pitas Point
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.3742155E-5 | 3.3742155E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4460267E-4 | 1.4460267E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017593725 | 0.001769355 | 1.0056739 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017163932 | 0.01747987 | 0.017489696 | 1.0005621 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.3742155E-5 | 3.3742155E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4460267E-4 | 1.4460267E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017593725 | 0.001769355 | 1.0056739 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017163932 | 0.01747987 | 0.017489696 | 1.0005621 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.3742155E-5 | 3.3742155E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4460267E-4 | 1.4460267E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017593725 | 0.001769355 | 1.0056739 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017163932 | 0.01747987 | 0.017489696 | 1.0005621 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.3742155E-5 | 3.3742155E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4460267E-4 | 1.4460267E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017593725 | 0.001769355 | 1.0056739 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017163932 | 0.01747987 | 0.017489696 | 1.0005621 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.8754668E-5 | 1.7023382E-5 | 1.7023382E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.037467E-5 | 7.2955445E-5 | 7.2955445E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.781223E-4 | 8.8789366E-4 | 8.978848E-4 | 1.0112526 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009738282 | 0.0088456925 | 0.008855605 | 1.0011204 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.8754668E-5 | 1.7023382E-5 | 1.7023382E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.037467E-5 | 7.2955445E-5 | 7.2955445E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.781223E-4 | 8.8789366E-4 | 8.978848E-4 | 1.0112526 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009738282 | 0.0088456925 | 0.008855605 | 1.0011204 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.4361558E-5 | 1.2125375E-5 | 1.2125375E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.154808E-5 | 5.196487E-5 | 5.196487E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.490902E-4 | 6.3249096E-4 | 6.3249096E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0074657016 | 0.0063070585 | 0.0063070585 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.4361558E-5 | 1.2125375E-5 | 1.2125375E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.154808E-5 | 5.196487E-5 | 5.196487E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.490902E-4 | 6.3249096E-4 | 6.3249096E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0074657016 | 0.0063070585 | 0.0063070585 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.3663846E-5 | 1.1347412E-5 | 1.1347412E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8558027E-5 | 4.8630867E-5 | 4.8630867E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.127108E-4 | 5.919219E-4 | 5.919219E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007104293 | 0.0059035625 | 0.0059035625 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.3644157E-5 | 1.1325509E-5 | 1.1325509E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8473648E-5 | 4.8537004E-5 | 4.8537004E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.116841E-4 | 5.9077976E-4 | 5.9077976E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007094092 | 0.0058922013 | 0.0058922013 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.3568845E-5 | 1.12450625E-5 | 1.12450625E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8150898E-5 | 4.8192247E-5 | 4.8192247E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.077572E-4 | 5.8658456E-4 | 5.8658456E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007055073 | 0.0058504716 | 0.0058504716 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.306572E-5 | 1.0723432E-5 | 1.0723432E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.599474E-5 | 4.5956767E-5 | 4.5956767E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.815227E-4 | 5.5938185E-4 | 5.5938185E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0067943637 | 0.0055798367 | 0.0055798367 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.232604E-5 | 9.997891E-6 | 9.997891E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2824813E-5 | 4.284741E-5 | 4.284741E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.429523E-4 | 5.215441E-4 | 5.215441E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0064109527 | 0.005203286 | 0.005203286 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.0917261E-5 | 8.845015E-6 | 8.845015E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.678742E-5 | 3.7906666E-5 | 3.7906666E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.69488E-4 | 4.6141745E-4 | 4.6141745E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0056803077 | 0.0046046535 | 0.0046046535 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.039959E-5 | 8.424659E-6 | 8.424659E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.456891E-5 | 3.610519E-5 | 3.610519E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.424914E-4 | 4.3949357E-4 | 4.3949357E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0054116896 | 0.004386299 | 0.004386299 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 9.015877E-6 | 7.2983826E-6 | 7.2983826E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.86389E-5 | 3.1278414E-5 | 3.1278414E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7032707E-4 | 3.8074958E-4 | 3.8074958E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004693329 | 0.003801011 | 0.003801011 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.900162E-6 | 3.874454E-6 | 3.874454E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1000526E-5 | 1.6604696E-5 | 1.6604696E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.556514E-4 | 2.0214355E-4 | 2.0214355E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025535747 | 0.0020196105 | 0.0020196105 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 3.8850626E-6 | 3.1270106E-6 | 3.1270106E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6650163E-5 | 1.3401406E-5 | 1.3401406E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0269687E-4 | 1.6314999E-4 | 1.6314999E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002025121 | 0.0016303115 | 0.0016303115 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.4654719E-6 | 2.0300504E-6 | 2.0300504E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0566265E-5 | 8.700187E-6 | 8.700187E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2863669E-4 | 1.0591967E-4 | 1.0591967E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012856225 | 0.0010586965 | 0.0010586965 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 4.095894E-7 | 3.276798E-7 | 3.276798E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7553821E-6 | 1.4043412E-6 | 1.4043412E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1371567E-5 | 1.7097724E-5 | 1.7097724E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1369511E-4 | 1.709644E-4 | 1.709644E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 7.791402E-9 | 5.6840443E-9 | 5.6840443E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3391725E-8 | 2.4360192E-8 | 2.4360192E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0654416E-7 | 2.965853E-7 | 2.965853E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.065434E-6 | 2.965851E-6 | 2.965851E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Santa Cruz Mts) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.7221631E-4 | 1.3849801E-4 | 1.3849801E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.378611E-4 | 5.9342996E-4 | 5.9342996E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008946515 | 0.0072014495 | 0.0072014495 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.08594794 | 0.07082957 | 0.07083886 | 1.0001311 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.7221631E-4 | 1.3849801E-4 | 1.3849801E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.378611E-4 | 5.9342996E-4 | 5.9342996E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008946515 | 0.0072014495 | 0.0072014495 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.08594794 | 0.07082957 | 0.07083886 | 1.0001311 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.7221631E-4 | 1.3849801E-4 | 1.3849801E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.378611E-4 | 5.9342996E-4 | 5.9342996E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008946515 | 0.0072014495 | 0.0072014495 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.08594794 | 0.07082957 | 0.07083886 | 1.0001311 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.716926E-4 | 1.3769143E-4 | 1.3769143E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3561794E-4 | 5.8997475E-4 | 5.8997475E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008919428 | 0.0071596587 | 0.0071596587 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.08569809 | 0.070441194 | 0.07045049 | 1.000132 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6392978E-4 | 1.3643716E-4 | 1.3643716E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.02367E-4 | 5.846017E-4 | 5.846017E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008517839 | 0.007094668 | 0.007094668 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.08198654 | 0.06966776 | 0.06967706 | 1.0001335 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5742714E-4 | 1.2702141E-4 | 1.2702141E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.745133E-4 | 5.442656E-4 | 5.442656E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00818132 | 0.00660661 | 0.00660661 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.078865945 | 0.0651285 | 0.06513785 | 1.0001435 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.3038084E-4 | 1.1638158E-4 | 1.1638158E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5865536E-4 | 4.986842E-4 | 4.986842E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006780438 | 0.0060548037 | 0.0060548037 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0657725 | 0.059559178 | 0.05956858 | 1.000158 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2867592E-4 | 1.13643706E-4 | 1.13643706E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5135164E-4 | 4.869548E-4 | 4.869548E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0066920654 | 0.0059127817 | 0.0059127817 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.06494093 | 0.058269057 | 0.058278475 | 1.0001616 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2801298E-4 | 1.13018614E-4 | 1.13018614E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.485117E-4 | 4.8427685E-4 | 4.8427685E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0066577005 | 0.005880371 | 0.005880371 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.06461738 | 0.057982646 | 0.057992063 | 1.0001625 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.269149E-4 | 1.1143834E-4 | 1.1143834E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4380763E-4 | 4.7750678E-4 | 4.7750678E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006600777 | 0.005798387 | 0.005798387 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.06408122 | 0.057253662 | 0.05726309 | 1.0001646 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.2030331E-4 | 1.0873218E-4 | 1.0873218E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.154837E-4 | 4.659131E-4 | 4.659131E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006257969 | 0.0056579756 | 0.0056579756 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.06084648 | 0.0559232 | 0.055932645 | 1.0001688 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.049617E-5 | 5.428296E-5 | 5.428296E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4493793E-4 | 2.326207E-4 | 2.326207E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041915346 | 0.002828514 | 0.002828514 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.041133516 | 0.029795792 | 0.029805494 | 1.0003256 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.093979E-5 | 4.3256136E-5 | 4.3256136E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0399222E-4 | 1.8537039E-4 | 1.8537039E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036948253 | 0.0022545718 | 0.0022545718 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.03633994 | 0.024101108 | 0.024110869 | 1.000405 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.193693E-5 | 2.9127079E-5 | 2.9127079E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6541698E-4 | 1.2482438E-4 |