Parent Section Magnitude-Probability Distributions
Only fault sections with at least one triggered aftershock are plotted. Sections are sorted by total supraseismogenic trigger rate (decreasing)
Table Of Contents
Garlock (Central)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.0826584E-5 | 6.252095E-5 | 0.05891884 | 942.3855 | 0.05886 | 2.1781003E-4 | 2.6791965E-4 | 0.07282847 | 271.82953 | 0.07258 | 0.0026486123 | 0.0032570874 | 0.10115717 | 31.057556 | 0.09822 | 0.026172658 | 0.032200057 | 0.14876188 | 4.619926 | 0.12044 |
6.1 | 5.0826584E-5 | 6.252095E-5 | 0.05891884 | 942.3855 | 0.05886 | 2.1781003E-4 | 2.6791965E-4 | 0.07282847 | 271.82953 | 0.07258 | 0.0026486123 | 0.0032570874 | 0.10115717 | 31.057556 | 0.09822 | 0.026172658 | 0.032200057 | 0.14876188 | 4.619926 | 0.12044 |
6.2 | 4.1409123E-5 | 4.9526207E-5 | 0.040307533 | 813.8627 | 0.04026 | 1.774556E-4 | 2.1223807E-4 | 0.05013164 | 236.20476 | 0.04993 | 0.002158381 | 0.0025809642 | 0.0702359 | 27.213047 | 0.06783 | 0.021375375 | 0.025591852 | 0.10721802 | 4.1895375 | 0.08377 |
6.3 | 4.1409123E-5 | 4.9526207E-5 | 0.040307533 | 813.8627 | 0.04026 | 1.774556E-4 | 2.1223807E-4 | 0.05013164 | 236.20476 | 0.04993 | 0.002158381 | 0.0025809642 | 0.0702359 | 27.213047 | 0.06783 | 0.021375375 | 0.025591852 | 0.10721802 | 4.1895375 | 0.08377 |
6.4 | 3.6905003E-5 | 4.328624E-5 | 0.032851867 | 758.94476 | 0.03281 | 1.5815471E-4 | 1.854994E-4 | 0.04109791 | 221.55278 | 0.04092 | 0.0019238329 | 0.0022561392 | 0.05788036 | 25.654604 | 0.05575 | 0.01907263 | 0.022420054 | 0.08988284 | 4.009038 | 0.06901 |
6.5 | 3.4024517E-5 | 3.934526E-5 | 0.029488187 | 749.47235 | 0.02945 | 1.4581121E-4 | 1.6861178E-4 | 0.036972404 | 219.27534 | 0.03681 | 0.0017738059 | 0.0020509358 | 0.052207857 | 25.455627 | 0.05026 | 0.017597139 | 0.020413121 | 0.08151975 | 3.9934976 | 0.06238 |
6.6 | 3.368409E-5 | 3.881605E-5 | 0.029447675 | 758.64685 | 0.02941 | 1.443524E-4 | 1.66344E-4 | 0.036930226 | 222.01117 | 0.03677 | 0.0017560736 | 0.0020233772 | 0.052101843 | 25.749939 | 0.05018 | 0.017422613 | 0.020142207 | 0.08113836 | 4.0282755 | 0.06225 |
6.7 | 3.2696247E-5 | 3.7459336E-5 | 0.028216403 | 753.2542 | 0.02818 | 1.4011924E-4 | 1.6053025E-4 | 0.03534488 | 220.17583 | 0.03519 | 0.0017046168 | 0.0019527238 | 0.0500087 | 25.609715 | 0.04815 | 0.016916003 | 0.019449795 | 0.07807689 | 4.0142784 | 0.05979 |
6.8 | 3.2279542E-5 | 3.686041E-5 | 0.027625844 | 749.472 | 0.02759 | 1.3833355E-4 | 1.5796373E-4 | 0.03462252 | 219.18018 | 0.03447 | 0.0016829098 | 0.0019215319 | 0.049070757 | 25.537312 | 0.04724 | 0.01670222 | 0.019143047 | 0.07661146 | 4.0020514 | 0.05859 |
6.9 | 3.1748157E-5 | 3.607523E-5 | 0.026975103 | 747.7458 | 0.02694 | 1.3605643E-4 | 1.5459908E-4 | 0.033809394 | 218.69078 | 0.03366 | 0.0016552283 | 0.0018806388 | 0.047774166 | 25.40316 | 0.04598 | 0.016429536 | 0.018740118 | 0.074730806 | 3.9877448 | 0.05706 |
7.0 | 3.0997133E-5 | 3.4990953E-5 | 0.026304072 | 751.73926 | 0.02627 | 1.3283809E-4 | 1.4995271E-4 | 0.03305502 | 220.43628 | 0.03291 | 0.0016161038 | 0.0018241652 | 0.046652243 | 25.574572 | 0.04491 | 0.016044013 | 0.018182367 | 0.07280088 | 4.0039277 | 0.05563 |
7.1 | 3.0141593E-5 | 3.374156E-5 | 0.025032898 | 741.90106 | 0.025 | 1.2917187E-4 | 1.4459877E-4 | 0.031480066 | 217.70631 | 0.03134 | 0.0015715328 | 0.001759088 | 0.044523727 | 25.310688 | 0.04284 | 0.015604655 | 0.01754184 | 0.06969072 | 3.9728281 | 0.05308 |
7.2 | 2.7814413E-5 | 3.0335692E-5 | 0.020579712 | 678.3993 | 0.02055 | 1.19199176E-4 | 1.3000373E-4 | 0.025806665 | 198.50713 | 0.02568 | 0.0014502838 | 0.0015816638 | 0.036785893 | 23.257719 | 0.03526 | 0.014408553 | 0.015793433 | 0.05880326 | 3.7232728 | 0.0437 |
7.3 | 2.402337E-5 | 2.541776E-5 | 0.013905065 | 547.061 | 0.01388 | 1.0295323E-4 | 1.08928776E-4 | 0.017517032 | 160.8118 | 0.01741 | 0.0012527348 | 0.0013254131 | 0.025173763 | 18.993145 | 0.02388 | 0.012456963 | 0.013255511 | 0.042473014 | 3.2041779 | 0.02961 |
7.4 | 2.2769042E-5 | 2.3973937E-5 | 0.012463676 | 519.8844 | 0.01244 | 9.7577955E-5 | 1.0274146E-4 | 0.015731135 | 153.1138 | 0.01563 | 0.0011873641 | 0.0012501713 | 0.022803193 | 18.240053 | 0.02158 | 0.0118104 | 0.01250948 | 0.038796477 | 3.1013663 | 0.02662 |
7.5 | 2.0420326E-5 | 2.1256343E-5 | 0.009371057 | 440.85934 | 0.00935 | 8.7512744E-5 | 9.1095484E-5 | 0.011860023 | 130.19331 | 0.01177 | 0.0010649469 | 0.0011085325 | 0.017360497 | 15.66079 | 0.01627 | 0.0105985785 | 0.011101907 | 0.031127093 | 2.8037608 | 0.02025 |
7.6 | 1.4753501E-5 | 1.5131827E-5 | 0.0051950533 | 343.31964 | 0.00518 | 6.322776E-5 | 6.484911E-5 | 0.0065644276 | 101.22618 | 0.0065 | 7.6952606E-4 | 7.89258E-4 | 0.009592305 | 12.153573 | 0.00881 | 0.0076686675 | 0.007934373 | 0.018876856 | 2.379124 | 0.01103 |
7.7 | 9.9946255E-6 | 1.0367038E-5 | 0.0014703519 | 141.8295 | 0.00146 | 4.2833406E-5 | 4.442941E-5 | 0.0017943516 | 40.386574 | 0.00175 | 5.2137196E-4 | 5.4079416E-4 | 0.002989469 | 5.5279245 | 0.00245 | 0.005201504 | 0.0054641687 | 0.008636738 | 1.5806134 | 0.00319 |
7.8 | 6.764146E-6 | 8.1677845E-6 | 0.0010381594 | 127.10416 | 0.00103 | 2.8988876E-5 | 3.5004323E-5 | 0.0012649613 | 36.137287 | 0.00123 | 3.528824E-4 | 4.2609443E-4 | 0.002085387 | 4.8941903 | 0.00166 | 0.0035232254 | 0.004310093 | 0.006440869 | 1.494369 | 0.00214 |
7.9 | 3.879876E-6 | 5.0936196E-6 | 7.0509006E-4 | 138.42613 | 7.0E-4 | 1.6627935E-5 | 2.1829615E-5 | 8.1181235E-4 | 37.18858 | 7.9E-4 | 2.024263E-4 | 2.6574323E-4 | 0.0012754748 | 4.799651 | 0.00101 | 0.00202242 | 0.00268773 | 0.0039543165 | 1.4712478 | 0.00127 |
8.0 | 1.5950359E-6 | 1.9546258E-6 | 3.21954E-4 | 164.71388 | 3.2E-4 | 6.83585E-6 | 8.376941E-6 | 3.58374E-4 | 42.781013 | 3.5E-4 | 8.322329E-5 | 1.0198451E-4 | 5.3194066E-4 | 5.2158966 | 4.3E-4 | 8.3192135E-4 | 0.0010318218 | 0.001561275 | 1.5131246 | 5.3E-4 |
8.1 | 3.3286665E-7 | 2.870488E-7 | 1.0287046E-5 | 35.83727 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4265705E-6 | 1.2302087E-6 | 1.1230197E-5 | 9.128693 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7368358E-5 | 1.49777E-5 | 5.49771E-5 | 3.670597 | 4.0E-5 | 1.7367E-4 | 1.5146311E-4 | 2.31451E-4 | 1.5281013 | 8.0E-5 |
Tank Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.8417336E-5 | 4.526218E-5 | 0.030753871 | 679.46075 | 0.03071 | 1.6463533E-4 | 1.939684E-4 | 0.040786095 | 210.27184 | 0.0406 | 0.0020025924 | 0.00235937 | 0.06359455 | 26.954039 | 0.06138 | 0.019846417 | 0.02337969 | 0.104839586 | 4.4842167 | 0.08341 |
6.1 | 1.8901083E-5 | 2.1815884E-5 | 0.013901513 | 637.2198 | 0.01388 | 8.100212E-5 | 9.349352E-5 | 0.018351786 | 196.28938 | 0.01826 | 9.857547E-4 | 0.0011377316 | 0.029475454 | 25.907213 | 0.02837 | 0.009813935 | 0.011323343 | 0.050099242 | 4.4244213 | 0.03922 |
6.2 | 1.8901083E-5 | 2.1815884E-5 | 0.013901513 | 637.2198 | 0.01388 | 8.100212E-5 | 9.349352E-5 | 0.018351786 | 196.28938 | 0.01826 | 9.857547E-4 | 0.0011377316 | 0.029475454 | 25.907213 | 0.02837 | 0.009813935 | 0.011323343 | 0.050099242 | 4.4244213 | 0.03922 |
6.3 | 1.5076492E-5 | 1.730566E-5 | 0.0105071245 | 607.1496 | 0.01049 | 6.461194E-5 | 7.4165175E-5 | 0.0138931405 | 187.32701 | 0.01382 | 7.863664E-4 | 9.0261607E-4 | 0.022133436 | 24.52143 | 0.02125 | 0.007835896 | 0.008992422 | 0.038256876 | 4.254346 | 0.02953 |
6.4 | 1.2048824E-5 | 1.3767585E-5 | 0.007633663 | 554.4663 | 0.00762 | 5.1636795E-5 | 5.9002723E-5 | 0.010408392 | 176.40529 | 0.01035 | 6.2849664E-4 | 7.1814243E-4 | 0.016636703 | 23.166298 | 0.01593 | 0.0062672207 | 0.0071603134 | 0.029201355 | 4.0782228 | 0.0222 |
6.5 | 9.349992E-6 | 1.0632026E-5 | 0.0051805773 | 487.26154 | 0.00517 | 4.007078E-5 | 4.5565113E-5 | 0.007025247 | 154.18039 | 0.00698 | 4.8775252E-4 | 5.546293E-4 | 0.011368629 | 20.497705 | 0.01082 | 0.0048668333 | 0.0055339574 | 0.020321667 | 3.6721764 | 0.01487 |
6.6 | 7.5575967E-6 | 8.533915E-6 | 0.0036885026 | 432.21692 | 0.00368 | 3.2389296E-5 | 3.657348E-5 | 0.0050363904 | 137.70607 | 0.005 | 3.9426834E-4 | 4.4520377E-4 | 0.008281713 | 18.602074 | 0.00784 | 0.0039356956 | 0.004444362 | 0.015226229 | 3.4259653 | 0.01083 |
6.7 | 5.301251E-6 | 5.9030012E-6 | 0.0020858906 | 353.36105 | 0.00208 | 2.271945E-5 | 2.5298363E-5 | 0.0027952283 | 110.49048 | 0.00277 | 2.765742E-4 | 3.0796955E-4 | 0.0044566914 | 14.471209 | 0.00415 | 0.0027623023 | 0.0030759694 | 0.008838191 | 2.8733025 | 0.00578 |
6.8 | 4.8406114E-6 | 5.394133E-6 | 0.0018953839 | 351.37878 | 0.00189 | 2.0745312E-5 | 2.3117538E-5 | 0.0025330596 | 109.57307 | 0.00251 | 2.525449E-4 | 2.8142505E-4 | 0.0040203724 | 14.285767 | 0.00374 | 0.002522581 | 0.0028112151 | 0.008016541 | 2.8516283 | 0.00522 |
6.9 | 2.959106E-6 | 3.2889075E-6 | 9.3328586E-4 | 283.76773 | 9.3E-4 | 1.2681822E-5 | 1.4095249E-5 | 0.0012140783 | 86.133865 | 0.0012 | 1.5439025E-4 | 1.7159746E-4 | 0.0020112817 | 11.720929 | 0.00184 | 0.0015428303 | 0.0017147803 | 0.0042204764 | 2.4612343 | 0.00251 |
7.0 | 2.0122975E-6 | 2.2261522E-6 | 4.322252E-4 | 194.15797 | 4.3E-4 | 8.624103E-6 | 9.540621E-6 | 5.3953554E-4 | 56.55141 | 5.3E-4 | 1.0499341E-4 | 1.16151525E-4 | 9.2605746E-4 | 7.9728394 | 8.1E-4 | 0.0010494381 | 0.0011609728 | 0.0023096376 | 1.9893987 | 0.00115 |
7.1 | 1.5578836E-6 | 1.7139955E-6 | 2.5171356E-4 | 146.85777 | 2.5E-4 | 6.6766265E-6 | 7.345677E-6 | 3.2734332E-4 | 44.562714 | 3.2E-4 | 8.1284896E-5 | 8.943049E-5 | 5.593885E-4 | 6.255008 | 4.7E-4 | 8.125517E-4 | 8.9399767E-4 | 0.0015534076 | 1.737597 | 6.6E-4 |
7.2 | 1.1140054E-6 | 1.2160164E-6 | 1.4121585E-4 | 116.12989 | 1.4E-4 | 4.7743E-6 | 5.2114906E-6 | 1.752106E-4 | 33.620056 | 1.7E-4 | 5.8125555E-5 | 6.3448526E-5 | 2.9343393E-4 | 4.624756 | 2.3E-4 | 5.8110355E-4 | 6.343503E-4 | 9.3416E-4 | 1.4726248 | 3.0E-4 |
7.3 | 9.1700525E-7 | 1.0071412E-6 | 9.100705E-5 | 90.361755 | 9.0E-5 | 3.9300166E-6 | 4.316315E-6 | 1.1431584E-4 | 26.484592 | 1.1E-4 | 4.78469E-5 | 5.2550327E-5 | 1.9254297E-4 | 3.6639729 | 1.4E-4 | 4.78366E-4 | 5.2542414E-4 | 6.9533486E-4 | 1.3233781 | 1.7E-4 |
7.4 | 7.549674E-7 | 8.403506E-7 | 8.0840284E-5 | 96.19828 | 8.0E-5 | 3.2355706E-6 | 3.6015E-6 | 8.360121E-5 | 23.212887 | 8.0E-5 | 3.939236E-5 | 4.384784E-5 | 1.3384389E-4 | 3.0524626 | 9.0E-5 | 3.9385378E-4 | 4.3843672E-4 | 5.483885E-4 | 1.2507814 | 1.1E-4 |
7.5 | 5.2776846E-7 | 5.880783E-7 | 6.058804E-5 | 103.02717 | 6.0E-5 | 2.2618628E-6 | 2.5203356E-6 | 6.252019E-5 | 24.806293 | 6.0E-5 | 2.7537832E-5 | 3.0685085E-5 | 1.0068294E-4 | 3.2811685 | 7.0E-5 | 2.7534418E-4 | 3.0685085E-4 | 3.8682632E-4 | 1.260633 | 8.0E-5 |
Little Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.646522E-5 | 2.8911616E-5 | 0.030468032 | 1053.8335 | 0.03044 | 1.13417445E-4 | 1.2390164E-4 | 0.037489273 | 302.5728 | 0.03737 | 0.0013799827 | 0.0015075658 | 0.050893 | 33.758392 | 0.04946 | 0.013714445 | 0.014984184 | 0.0749421 | 5.0014133 | 0.06087 |
6.1 | 2.646522E-5 | 2.8911616E-5 | 0.030468032 | 1053.8335 | 0.03044 | 1.13417445E-4 | 1.2390164E-4 | 0.037489273 | 302.5728 | 0.03737 | 0.0013799827 | 0.0015075658 | 0.050893 | 33.758392 | 0.04946 | 0.013714445 | 0.014984184 | 0.0749421 | 5.0014133 | 0.06087 |
6.2 | 2.646522E-5 | 2.8911616E-5 | 0.030468032 | 1053.8335 | 0.03044 | 1.13417445E-4 | 1.2390164E-4 | 0.037489273 | 302.5728 | 0.03737 | 0.0013799827 | 0.0015075658 | 0.050893 | 33.758392 | 0.04946 | 0.013714445 | 0.014984184 | 0.0749421 | 5.0014133 | 0.06087 |
6.3 | 1.5260941E-5 | 1.6438617E-5 | 0.022046076 | 1341.1151 | 0.02203 | 6.54024E-5 | 7.044948E-5 | 0.02716854 | 385.64572 | 0.0271 | 7.9598324E-4 | 8.574145E-4 | 0.036436882 | 42.496227 | 0.03561 | 0.007931381 | 0.008544028 | 0.05138484 | 6.0141234 | 0.04321 |
6.4 | 1.5260941E-5 | 1.6438617E-5 | 0.022046076 | 1341.1151 | 0.02203 | 6.54024E-5 | 7.044948E-5 | 0.02716854 | 385.64572 | 0.0271 | 7.9598324E-4 | 8.574145E-4 | 0.036436882 | 42.496227 | 0.03561 | 0.007931381 | 0.008544028 | 0.05138484 | 6.0141234 | 0.04321 |
6.5 | 1.3226277E-5 | 1.4189821E-5 | 0.020723896 | 1460.4762 | 0.02071 | 5.6682813E-5 | 6.0812254E-5 | 0.025469268 | 418.81802 | 0.02541 | 6.898947E-4 | 7.401648E-4 | 0.03402551 | 45.970184 | 0.03331 | 0.0068775686 | 0.0073796846 | 0.047491472 | 6.4354334 | 0.04041 |
6.6 | 9.704212E-6 | 1.0301464E-5 | 0.017770119 | 1725.0092 | 0.01776 | 4.1588817E-5 | 4.414847E-5 | 0.021933181 | 496.80505 | 0.02189 | 5.062262E-4 | 5.3739036E-4 | 0.029191984 | 54.321747 | 0.02867 | 0.005050746 | 0.005362422 | 0.040025543 | 7.464079 | 0.03485 |
6.7 | 7.759887E-6 | 8.1640455E-6 | 0.015728036 | 1926.5002 | 0.01572 | 3.3256234E-5 | 3.498837E-5 | 0.019344313 | 552.87836 | 0.01931 | 4.048194E-4 | 4.2591285E-4 | 0.02554521 | 59.977554 | 0.02513 | 0.0040408275 | 0.004252217 | 0.034512993 | 8.11647 | 0.03039 |
6.8 | 6.4022415E-6 | 6.6858656E-6 | 0.012386603 | 1852.6552 | 0.01238 | 2.7437889E-5 | 2.8653461E-5 | 0.015278216 | 533.20667 | 0.01525 | 3.340051E-4 | 3.4881185E-4 | 0.02010192 | 57.629692 | 0.01976 | 0.0033350352 | 0.003483803 | 0.027360331 | 7.8535814 | 0.02396 |
6.9 | 3.1920126E-6 | 3.168023E-6 | 0.008003143 | 2526.226 | 0.008 | 1.3679983E-5 | 1.357718E-5 | 0.009793445 | 721.3165 | 0.00978 | 1.6654107E-4 | 1.652911E-4 | 0.012763209 | 77.216545 | 0.0126 | 0.0016641631 | 0.0016518278 | 0.016766818 | 10.150464 | 0.01514 |
7.0 | 2.3569344E-6 | 2.286139E-6 | 0.0051622745 | 2258.0752 | 0.00516 | 1.0101108E-5 | 9.797708E-6 | 0.006209737 | 633.79486 | 0.0062 | 1.2297404E-4 | 1.1928159E-4 | 0.007958346 | 66.71898 | 0.00784 | 0.0012290602 | 0.0011922764 | 0.010571081 | 8.866301 | 0.00939 |
7.1 | 1.3140507E-6 | 1.1853443E-6 | 0.0023611826 | 1991.9802 | 0.00236 | 5.6316335E-6 | 5.080041E-6 | 0.0029050652 | 571.85864 | 0.0029 | 6.8562986E-5 | 6.184839E-5 | 0.0037416208 | 60.49666 | 0.00368 | 6.854183E-4 | 6.1837496E-4 | 0.004965685 | 8.030217 | 0.00435 |
7.2 | 5.223632E-7 | 3.4799248E-7 | 1.6034793E-4 | 460.77988 | 1.6E-4 | 2.2386978E-6 | 1.4913956E-6 | 1.8149112E-4 | 121.692154 | 1.8E-4 | 2.7255805E-5 | 1.8157594E-5 | 2.6815306E-4 | 14.768094 | 2.5E-4 | 2.725246E-4 | 1.815616E-4 | 4.415144E-4 | 2.4317608 | 2.6E-4 |
7.3 | 4.4451892E-7 | 2.6911815E-7 | 1.5026907E-4 | 558.37585 | 1.5E-4 | 1.9050797E-6 | 1.153363E-6 | 1.7115317E-4 | 148.39488 | 1.7E-4 | 2.3194098E-5 | 1.4042105E-5 | 2.4403888E-4 | 17.37908 | 2.3E-4 | 2.3191677E-4 | 1.4041229E-4 | 3.7038E-4 | 2.6378033 | 2.3E-4 |
7.4 | 3.9209453E-7 | 2.2290052E-7 | 9.022288E-5 | 404.76746 | 9.0E-5 | 1.6804041E-6 | 9.552876E-7 | 1.1095518E-4 | 116.14845 | 1.1E-4 | 2.0458729E-5 | 1.16305655E-5 | 1.7162871E-4 | 14.756695 | 1.6E-4 | 2.0456845E-4 | 1.16299656E-4 | 2.7628106E-4 | 2.3755965 | 1.6E-4 |
7.5 | 2.83946E-7 | 1.5286122E-7 | 7.015285E-5 | 458.93164 | 7.0E-5 | 1.216911E-6 | 6.551193E-7 | 9.065506E-5 | 138.37946 | 9.0E-5 | 1.481579E-5 | 7.976049E-6 | 1.2797509E-4 | 16.044922 | 1.2E-4 | 1.4814801E-4 | 7.975769E-5 | 1.9974812E-4 | 2.5044372 | 1.2E-4 |
7.6 | 1.2411988E-7 | 7.6372984E-8 | 1.0076372E-5 | 131.93634 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3194225E-7 | 3.2731276E-7 | 1.032731E-5 | 31.55181 | 1.0E-5 | 6.4763776E-6 | 3.985026E-6 | 2.3984947E-5 | 6.018768 | 2.0E-5 | 6.476189E-5 | 3.984958E-5 | 5.9848782E-5 | 1.5018673 | 2.0E-5 |
Airport Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2712673E-5 | 1.3469629E-5 | 0.030803055 | 2286.8525 | 0.03079 | 5.448175E-5 | 5.772587E-5 | 0.036985595 | 640.71094 | 0.03693 | 6.631134E-4 | 7.0261466E-4 | 0.047679584 | 67.86022 | 0.04701 | 0.0066113817 | 0.007006786 | 0.06297188 | 8.987271 | 0.05636 |
6.1 | 1.2712673E-5 | 1.3469629E-5 | 0.030803055 | 2286.8525 | 0.03079 | 5.448175E-5 | 5.772587E-5 | 0.036985595 | 640.71094 | 0.03693 | 6.631134E-4 | 7.0261466E-4 | 0.047679584 | 67.86022 | 0.04701 | 0.0066113817 | 0.007006786 | 0.06297188 | 8.987271 | 0.05636 |
6.2 | 1.2712673E-5 | 1.3469629E-5 | 0.030803055 | 2286.8525 | 0.03079 | 5.448175E-5 | 5.772587E-5 | 0.036985595 | 640.71094 | 0.03693 | 6.631134E-4 | 7.0261466E-4 | 0.047679584 | 67.86022 | 0.04701 | 0.0066113817 | 0.007006786 | 0.06297188 | 8.987271 | 0.05636 |
6.3 | 1.2712673E-5 | 1.3469629E-5 | 0.030803055 | 2286.8525 | 0.03079 | 5.448175E-5 | 5.772587E-5 | 0.036985595 | 640.71094 | 0.03693 | 6.631134E-4 | 7.0261466E-4 | 0.047679584 | 67.86022 | 0.04701 | 0.0066113817 | 0.007006786 | 0.06297188 | 8.987271 | 0.05636 |
6.4 | 1.2712673E-5 | 1.3469629E-5 | 0.030803055 | 2286.8525 | 0.03079 | 5.448175E-5 | 5.772587E-5 | 0.036985595 | 640.71094 | 0.03693 | 6.631134E-4 | 7.0261466E-4 | 0.047679584 | 67.86022 | 0.04701 | 0.0066113817 | 0.007006786 | 0.06297188 | 8.987271 | 0.05636 |
6.5 | 7.3682218E-6 | 7.794151E-6 | 0.022947615 | 2944.2095 | 0.02294 | 3.157771E-5 | 3.3403114E-5 | 0.027822474 | 832.9306 | 0.02779 | 3.843908E-4 | 4.0661308E-4 | 0.035982143 | 88.49234 | 0.03559 | 0.0038372658 | 0.004059291 | 0.046625797 | 11.486192 | 0.04274 |
6.6 | 7.3682218E-6 | 7.794151E-6 | 0.022947615 | 2944.2095 | 0.02294 | 3.157771E-5 | 3.3403114E-5 | 0.027822474 | 832.9306 | 0.02779 | 3.843908E-4 | 4.0661308E-4 | 0.035982143 | 88.49234 | 0.03559 | 0.0038372658 | 0.004059291 | 0.046625797 | 11.486192 | 0.04274 |
6.7 | 5.6659146E-6 | 5.994652E-6 | 0.01916588 | 3197.163 | 0.01916 | 2.4282266E-5 | 2.5691135E-5 | 0.023225095 | 904.012 | 0.0232 | 2.955965E-4 | 3.1274886E-4 | 0.030093431 | 96.22236 | 0.02979 | 0.002952036 | 0.0031234988 | 0.03879174 | 12.419323 | 0.03578 |
6.8 | 4.1360354E-6 | 4.375241E-6 | 0.014684311 | 3356.229 | 0.01468 | 1.7725744E-5 | 1.8750914E-5 | 0.017908415 | 955.0689 | 0.01789 | 2.1578958E-4 | 2.2827143E-4 | 0.023073055 | 101.07728 | 0.02285 | 0.0021558015 | 0.0022806604 | 0.02961817 | 12.986664 | 0.0274 |
6.9 | 3.024769E-6 | 3.1998277E-6 | 0.010733166 | 3354.2947 | 0.01073 | 1.2963232E-5 | 1.3713488E-5 | 0.013143534 | 958.43835 | 0.01313 | 1.5781591E-4 | 1.6695131E-4 | 0.016834168 | 100.832794 | 0.01667 | 0.0015770389 | 0.0016684929 | 0.02159519 | 12.942932 | 0.01996 |
7.0 | 1.4616013E-6 | 1.5492518E-6 | 0.004841542 | 3125.0837 | 0.00484 | 6.2639906E-6 | 6.639639E-6 | 0.005796601 | 873.02954 | 0.00579 | 7.6261415E-5 | 8.08356E-5 | 0.007390245 | 91.42314 | 0.00731 | 7.623525E-4 | 8.08159E-4 | 0.009601047 | 11.880146 | 0.0088 |
7.1 | 6.7076405E-7 | 7.1160497E-7 | 0.00216071 | 3036.39 | 0.00216 | 2.8747E-6 | 3.0497356E-6 | 0.0026330417 | 863.36725 | 0.00263 | 3.499891E-5 | 3.713053E-5 | 0.0033770066 | 90.94959 | 0.00334 | 3.4993398E-4 | 3.713053E-4 | 0.0043598237 | 11.741884 | 0.00399 |
Owl Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.937419E-5 | 5.031327E-5 | 0.015439539 | 306.86813 | 0.01539 | 1.6873561E-4 | 2.1561387E-4 | 0.020381264 | 94.526695 | 0.02017 | 0.0020524203 | 0.0026224921 | 0.032374263 | 12.344847 | 0.02983 | 0.020335678 | 0.025985729 | 0.06420605 | 2.4708197 | 0.03924 |
6.1 | 3.937419E-5 | 5.031327E-5 | 0.015439539 | 306.86813 | 0.01539 | 1.6873561E-4 | 2.1561387E-4 | 0.020381264 | 94.526695 | 0.02017 | 0.0020524203 | 0.0026224921 | 0.032374263 | 12.344847 | 0.02983 | 0.020335678 | 0.025985729 | 0.06420605 | 2.4708197 | 0.03924 |
6.2 | 2.3752445E-5 | 2.9860706E-5 | 0.013479459 | 451.41125 | 0.01345 | 1.0179222E-4 | 1.2796959E-4 | 0.017645728 | 137.89001 | 0.01752 | 0.0012386157 | 0.0015571674 | 0.027416836 | 17.606865 | 0.0259 | 0.012317346 | 0.015503524 | 0.04871059 | 3.1419044 | 0.03373 |
6.3 | 2.0207828E-5 | 2.5372974E-5 | 0.012865047 | 507.0374 | 0.01284 | 8.66021E-5 | 1.087381E-4 | 0.016786924 | 154.37941 | 0.01668 | 0.0010538705 | 0.0013233218 | 0.025850821 | 19.534796 | 0.02456 | 0.010488866 | 0.013194306 | 0.04471288 | 3.388801 | 0.03194 |
6.4 | 2.0207828E-5 | 2.5372974E-5 | 0.012865047 | 507.0374 | 0.01284 | 8.66021E-5 | 1.087381E-4 | 0.016786924 | 154.37941 | 0.01668 | 0.0010538705 | 0.0013233218 | 0.025850821 | 19.534796 | 0.02456 | 0.010488866 | 0.013194306 | 0.04471288 | 3.388801 | 0.03194 |
6.5 | 1.8147195E-5 | 2.2760052E-5 | 0.012552475 | 551.5134 | 0.01253 | 7.777137E-5 | 9.75408E-5 | 0.016325958 | 167.37569 | 0.01623 | 9.464551E-4 | 0.0011871472 | 0.024968881 | 21.032675 | 0.02381 | 0.009424343 | 0.011847555 | 0.04222336 | 3.5638883 | 0.03074 |
6.6 | 7.12161E-6 | 8.966772E-6 | 0.009888878 | 1102.8358 | 0.00988 | 3.0520827E-5 | 3.8428498E-5 | 0.012447951 | 323.92502 | 0.01241 | 3.715277E-4 | 4.6777318E-4 | 0.017829647 | 38.116013 | 0.01737 | 0.0037090718 | 0.0046852427 | 0.026343292 | 5.6226096 | 0.02176 |
6.7 | 7.078763E-6 | 8.902425E-6 | 0.009878814 | 1109.6768 | 0.00987 | 3.0337203E-5 | 3.815273E-5 | 0.01243768 | 325.9971 | 0.0124 | 3.6929283E-4 | 4.644172E-4 | 0.017806359 | 38.3413 | 0.01735 | 0.0036867976 | 0.0046518277 | 0.026260836 | 5.6452727 | 0.02171 |
6.8 | 6.9623716E-6 | 8.73647E-6 | 0.009868651 | 1129.5925 | 0.00986 | 2.9838395E-5 | 3.7441514E-5 | 0.012426978 | 331.90372 | 0.01239 | 3.632219E-4 | 4.557617E-4 | 0.017787859 | 39.02886 | 0.01734 | 0.003626288 | 0.0045655076 | 0.026136573 | 5.7247906 | 0.02167 |
6.9 | 6.7451315E-6 | 8.410392E-6 | 0.009858328 | 1172.1603 | 0.00985 | 2.8907385E-5 | 3.6044075E-5 | 0.012405599 | 344.17856 | 0.01237 | 3.5189057E-4 | 4.3875485E-4 | 0.017711174 | 40.366898 | 0.01728 | 0.0035133387 | 0.00439604 | 0.025861261 | 5.882854 | 0.02156 |
7.0 | 6.5026193E-6 | 8.028379E-6 | 0.00977795 | 1217.9233 | 0.00977 | 2.786807E-5 | 3.4406923E-5 | 0.012303985 | 357.60202 | 0.01227 | 3.3924094E-4 | 4.1883028E-4 | 0.017551651 | 41.906357 | 0.01714 | 0.003387235 | 0.00419739 | 0.02543786 | 6.0603995 | 0.02133 |
7.1 | 6.2010863E-6 | 7.5325834E-6 | 0.009267462 | 1230.3167 | 0.00926 | 2.6575814E-5 | 3.2282136E-5 | 0.011631908 | 360.32025 | 0.0116 | 3.2351248E-4 | 3.9297054E-4 | 0.016626589 | 42.310013 | 0.01624 | 0.003230419 | 0.003939682 | 0.024070062 | 6.1096454 | 0.02021 |
7.2 | 4.971571E-6 | 5.520479E-6 | 0.005845488 | 1058.8734 | 0.00584 | 2.1306558E-5 | 2.3659008E-5 | 0.0073034866 | 308.69794 | 0.00728 | 2.5937645E-4 | 2.8801506E-4 | 0.010645031 | 36.95998 | 0.01036 | 0.0025907394 | 0.0028928206 | 0.015745532 | 5.442969 | 0.01289 |
7.3 | 3.0203823E-6 | 2.633653E-6 | 0.0013026302 | 494.60968 | 0.0013 | 1.2944432E-5 | 1.1287036E-5 | 0.001611269 | 142.75395 | 0.0016 | 1.5758706E-4 | 1.3741115E-4 | 0.0025170841 | 18.317904 | 0.00238 | 0.0015747536 | 0.001382923 | 0.0044187186 | 3.1952026 | 0.00304 |
7.4 | 2.6678804E-6 | 2.207685E-6 | 7.52206E-4 | 340.72165 | 7.5E-4 | 1.1433723E-5 | 9.4614725E-6 | 9.2945277E-4 | 98.23553 | 9.2E-4 | 1.3919668E-4 | 1.1518744E-4 | 0.0016250135 | 14.107558 | 0.00151 | 0.0013910952 | 0.001159847 | 0.0030676317 | 2.6448588 | 0.00191 |
7.5 | 2.5635838E-6 | 2.0871328E-6 | 6.3208584E-4 | 302.84888 | 6.3E-4 | 1.09867415E-5 | 8.944824E-6 | 7.6893804E-4 | 85.96458 | 7.6E-4 | 1.3375537E-4 | 1.0889788E-4 | 0.0013787596 | 12.661032 | 0.00127 | 0.001336749 | 0.0010968309 | 0.002725043 | 2.4844697 | 0.00163 |
7.6 | 2.2958475E-6 | 1.8362658E-6 | 4.5183543E-4 | 246.0621 | 4.5E-4 | 9.839309E-6 | 7.869688E-6 | 5.6786527E-4 | 72.158554 | 5.6E-4 | 1.19787E-4 | 9.5809315E-5 | 9.957231E-4 | 10.392759 | 9.0E-4 | 0.0011972245 | 9.6581626E-4 | 0.0021346863 | 2.2102406 | 0.00117 |
7.7 | 1.7425335E-6 | 1.341392E-6 | 2.6134105E-4 | 194.82823 | 2.6E-4 | 7.4679797E-6 | 5.7488105E-6 | 3.2574698E-4 | 56.66337 | 3.2E-4 | 9.091886E-5 | 6.998956E-5 | 5.699546E-4 | 8.143422 | 5.0E-4 | 9.088167E-4 | 7.0761406E-4 | 0.0013671471 | 1.9320518 | 6.6E-4 |
7.8 | 8.766647E-7 | 8.562116E-7 | 1.1085612E-4 | 129.47281 | 1.1E-4 | 3.7571292E-6 | 3.6694732E-6 | 1.6366888E-4 | 44.60283 | 1.6E-4 | 4.5742087E-5 | 4.4674944E-5 | 2.9466377E-4 | 6.595728 | 2.5E-4 | 4.5732674E-4 | 4.5247274E-4 | 7.823234E-4 | 1.7289957 | 3.3E-4 |
7.9 | 2.7260427E-7 | 3.6661413E-7 | 3.0366604E-5 | 82.82988 | 3.0E-5 | 1.1683035E-6 | 1.5712026E-6 | 5.1571125E-5 | 32.82271 | 5.0E-5 | 1.4224002E-5 | 1.9129233E-5 | 9.9127705E-5 | 5.182001 | 8.0E-5 | 1.4223091E-4 | 1.9320223E-4 | 2.8318484E-4 | 1.4657432 | 9.0E-5 |
8.0 | 3.0939944E-8 | 4.5912238E-8 | 4.5912238E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3259975E-7 | 1.9676672E-7 | 1.0196764E-5 | 51.82159 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6144007E-6 | 2.3956331E-6 | 1.2395609E-5 | 5.1742516 | 1.0E-5 | 1.614389E-5 | 2.4457502E-5 | 3.4457258E-5 | 1.4088625 | 1.0E-5 |
Panamint Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.9956876E-5 | 3.3275614E-5 | 0.012762852 | 383.5497 | 0.01273 | 1.283803E-4 | 1.4260213E-4 | 0.016800227 | 117.81189 | 0.01666 | 0.0015619093 | 0.0017348259 | 0.025713155 | 14.82175 | 0.02402 | 0.015509769 | 0.017218493 | 0.04881492 | 2.8350284 | 0.03215 |
6.1 | 2.9956876E-5 | 3.3275614E-5 | 0.012762852 | 383.5497 | 0.01273 | 1.283803E-4 | 1.4260213E-4 | 0.016800227 | 117.81189 | 0.01666 | 0.0015619093 | 0.0017348259 | 0.025713155 | 14.82175 | 0.02402 | 0.015509769 | 0.017218493 | 0.04881492 | 2.8350284 | 0.03215 |
6.2 | 2.9956876E-5 | 3.3275614E-5 | 0.012762852 | 383.5497 | 0.01273 | 1.283803E-4 | 1.4260213E-4 | 0.016800227 | 117.81189 | 0.01666 | 0.0015619093 | 0.0017348259 | 0.025713155 | 14.82175 | 0.02402 | 0.015509769 | 0.017218493 | 0.04881492 | 2.8350284 | 0.03215 |
6.3 | 2.8839793E-5 | 3.200463E-5 | 0.012431608 | 388.43155 | 0.0124 | 1.2359326E-4 | 1.3715564E-4 | 0.016404925 | 119.608086 | 0.01627 | 0.0015037091 | 0.0016686177 | 0.024969673 | 14.964286 | 0.02334 | 0.014935747 | 0.016566196 | 0.04713132 | 2.8450296 | 0.03108 |
6.4 | 2.8839793E-5 | 3.200463E-5 | 0.012431608 | 388.43155 | 0.0124 | 1.2359326E-4 | 1.3715564E-4 | 0.016404925 | 119.608086 | 0.01627 | 0.0015037091 | 0.0016686177 | 0.024969673 | 14.964286 | 0.02334 | 0.014935747 | 0.016566196 | 0.04713132 | 2.8450296 | 0.03108 |
6.5 | 2.7883667E-5 | 3.091567E-5 | 0.01217054 | 393.66898 | 0.01214 | 1.19495955E-4 | 1.3248915E-4 | 0.01605038 | 121.14486 | 0.01592 | 0.0014538922 | 0.0016118884 | 0.024365153 | 15.115906 | 0.02279 | 0.014444169 | 0.0160072 | 0.045772985 | 2.8595245 | 0.03025 |
6.6 | 2.6249763E-5 | 2.9000019E-5 | 0.011718661 | 404.0915 | 0.01169 | 1.1249414E-4 | 1.2428002E-4 | 0.015442376 | 124.2547 | 0.01532 | 0.0013687556 | 0.0015120844 | 0.023179272 | 15.32935 | 0.0217 | 0.013603556 | 0.015023116 | 0.043213155 | 2.876444 | 0.02862 |
6.7 | 2.4451578E-5 | 2.6918893E-5 | 0.0111566195 | 414.45312 | 0.01113 | 1.0478827E-4 | 1.1536171E-4 | 0.014663683 | 127.11048 | 0.01455 | 0.0012750505 | 0.0014036475 | 0.021824943 | 15.548736 | 0.02045 | 0.012677594 | 0.013952701 | 0.04041821 | 2.8968017 | 0.02684 |
6.8 | 2.2171069E-5 | 2.4529956E-5 | 0.010564271 | 430.66818 | 0.01054 | 9.5015406E-5 | 1.05124265E-4 | 0.0138236815 | 131.49849 | 0.01372 | 0.0011561986 | 0.0012791567 | 0.02023488 | 15.818921 | 0.01898 | 0.011502015 | 0.012722421 | 0.037058815 | 2.9128742 | 0.02465 |
6.9 | 1.965535E-5 | 2.1745393E-5 | 0.009551538 | 439.24423 | 0.00953 | 8.4234496E-5 | 9.31913E-5 | 0.012432042 | 133.40346 | 0.01234 | 0.0010250724 | 0.0011340295 | 0.018004876 | 15.876903 | 0.01689 | 0.010203568 | 0.0112864105 | 0.032741494 | 2.9009662 | 0.0217 |
7.0 | 1.8062938E-5 | 1.9991416E-5 | 0.008929813 | 446.68237 | 0.00891 | 7.7410295E-5 | 8.567477E-5 | 0.01158469 | 135.21704 | 0.0115 | 9.420628E-4 | 0.0010426063 | 0.016576394 | 15.898996 | 0.01555 | 0.009380791 | 0.010381015 | 0.03005464 | 2.8951542 | 0.01988 |
7.1 | 1.7327293E-5 | 1.9149495E-5 | 0.008548986 | 446.43402 | 0.00853 | 7.425772E-5 | 8.206677E-5 | 0.01114116 | 135.75726 | 0.01106 | 9.0371264E-4 | 9.9872E-4 | 0.015913809 | 15.934206 | 0.01493 | 0.009000463 | 0.009946131 | 0.028786857 | 2.8942766 | 0.01903 |
7.2 | 1.6001062E-5 | 1.748075E-5 | 0.007537349 | 431.17996 | 0.00752 | 6.8574176E-5 | 7.4915435E-5 | 0.009794187 | 130.73657 | 0.00972 | 8.345708E-4 | 9.1172836E-4 | 0.014039748 | 15.399047 | 0.01314 | 0.008314434 | 0.00908341 | 0.025691172 | 2.828362 | 0.01676 |
7.3 | 1.4037781E-5 | 1.518574E-5 | 0.005915096 | 389.51648 | 0.0059 | 6.0160528E-5 | 6.5080196E-5 | 0.007814576 | 120.076096 | 0.00775 | 7.322083E-4 | 7.9207687E-4 | 0.011413657 | 14.409785 | 0.01063 | 0.007298004 | 0.007894543 | 0.02132765 | 2.7015688 | 0.01354 |
7.4 | 1.2384787E-5 | 1.3388654E-5 | 0.005763312 | 430.46237 | 0.00575 | 5.307658E-5 | 5.737876E-5 | 0.007566948 | 131.87717 | 0.00751 | 6.4601575E-4 | 6.983756E-4 | 0.010931225 | 15.652358 | 0.01024 | 0.0064414097 | 0.006963629 | 0.019912824 | 2.859547 | 0.01304 |
7.5 | 1.1075658E-5 | 1.19938395E-5 | 0.0057019256 | 475.40454 | 0.00569 | 4.746624E-5 | 5.1401228E-5 | 0.0074510206 | 144.95802 | 0.0074 | 5.7774823E-4 | 6.2564324E-4 | 0.01070933 | 17.117311 | 0.01009 | 0.005762485 | 0.006240615 | 0.018950798 | 3.0366874 | 0.01279 |
7.6 | 2.6584066E-6 | 2.9013117E-6 | 0.0025728939 | 886.80365 | 0.00257 | 1.1393121E-5 | 1.2434165E-5 | 0.0032823936 | 263.9818 | 0.00327 | 1.3870242E-4 | 1.5138103E-4 | 0.0045007225 | 29.731087 | 0.00435 | 0.0013861589 | 0.0015138935 | 0.0069157034 | 4.568157 | 0.00541 |
Garlock (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.900985E-5 | 5.0927985E-5 | 0.010060418 | 197.54204 | 0.01001 | 1.6717437E-4 | 2.182454E-4 | 0.013565332 | 62.156322 | 0.01335 | 0.0020334478 | 0.0026540551 | 0.022780497 | 8.58328 | 0.02018 | 0.020149412 | 0.02628143 | 0.0527471 | 2.0070102 | 0.02718 |
6.1 | 3.900985E-5 | 5.0927985E-5 | 0.010060418 | 197.54204 | 0.01001 | 1.6717437E-4 | 2.182454E-4 | 0.013565332 | 62.156322 | 0.01335 | 0.0020334478 | 0.0026540551 | 0.022780497 | 8.58328 | 0.02018 | 0.020149412 | 0.02628143 | 0.0527471 | 2.0070102 | 0.02718 |
6.2 | 2.8371243E-5 | 3.5396235E-5 | 0.008695089 | 245.65013 | 0.00866 | 1.2158538E-4 | 1.5168953E-4 | 0.011429979 | 75.351135 | 0.01128 | 0.0014792967 | 0.0018452918 | 0.018314844 | 9.925175 | 0.0165 | 0.01469488 | 0.018354792 | 0.03961723 | 2.1584132 | 0.02166 |
6.3 | 2.8371243E-5 | 3.5396235E-5 | 0.008695089 | 245.65013 | 0.00866 | 1.2158538E-4 | 1.5168953E-4 | 0.011429979 | 75.351135 | 0.01128 | 0.0014792967 | 0.0018452918 | 0.018314844 | 9.925175 | 0.0165 | 0.01469488 | 0.018354792 | 0.03961723 | 2.1584132 | 0.02166 |
6.4 | 2.6927255E-5 | 3.3197E-5 | 0.008592913 | 258.84607 | 0.00856 | 1.15397415E-4 | 1.4226529E-4 | 0.011260684 | 79.15271 | 0.01112 | 0.001404058 | 0.0017307362 | 0.017962594 | 10.378586 | 0.01626 | 0.013952199 | 0.01721752 | 0.038111474 | 2.2135286 | 0.02126 |
6.5 | 2.6927255E-5 | 3.3197E-5 | 0.008592913 | 258.84607 | 0.00856 | 1.15397415E-4 | 1.4226529E-4 | 0.011260684 | 79.15271 | 0.01112 | 0.001404058 | 0.0017307362 | 0.017962594 | 10.378586 | 0.01626 | 0.013952199 | 0.01721752 | 0.038111474 | 2.2135286 | 0.02126 |
6.6 | 2.3584167E-5 | 2.841282E-5 | 0.00821818 | 289.24197 | 0.00819 | 1.0107109E-4 | 1.2176368E-4 | 0.01074047 | 88.207504 | 0.01062 | 0.0012298458 | 0.001481489 | 0.016948542 | 11.440207 | 0.01549 | 0.012230618 | 0.014753753 | 0.03442912 | 2.3335838 | 0.01997 |
6.7 | 2.3281564E-5 | 2.7984419E-5 | 0.008217755 | 293.65466 | 0.00819 | 9.977431E-5 | 1.1992784E-4 | 0.010728655 | 89.45925 | 0.01061 | 0.0012140753 | 0.0014591678 | 0.016906595 | 11.586463 | 0.01547 | 0.012074638 | 0.0145341735 | 0.0341548 | 2.3499649 | 0.01991 |
6.8 | 2.0156875E-5 | 2.3744993E-5 | 0.007903558 | 332.85156 | 0.00788 | 8.638374E-5 | 1.017604E-4 | 0.010240729 | 100.6357 | 0.01014 | 0.0010512145 | 0.0012382487 | 0.01578022 | 12.743982 | 0.01456 | 0.010462558 | 0.012356588 | 0.030766262 | 2.489867 | 0.01864 |
6.9 | 1.36900535E-5 | 1.513459E-5 | 0.0074350224 | 491.26022 | 0.00742 | 5.867034E-5 | 6.486095E-5 | 0.009424254 | 145.29935 | 0.00936 | 7.1407727E-4 | 7.894022E-4 | 0.013859076 | 17.55642 | 0.01308 | 0.0071178703 | 0.007904917 | 0.02431417 | 3.0758286 | 0.01654 |
7.0 | 1.2427417E-5 | 1.351697E-5 | 0.0073834173 | 546.23315 | 0.00737 | 5.325927E-5 | 5.792862E-5 | 0.009307393 | 160.67003 | 0.00925 | 6.482387E-4 | 7.050586E-4 | 0.01351602 | 19.170065 | 0.01282 | 0.00646351 | 0.0070668305 | 0.02312256 | 3.2719843 | 0.01617 |
7.1 | 1.024484E-5 | 1.0774941E-5 | 0.0070206993 | 651.5766 | 0.00701 | 4.390572E-5 | 4.617752E-5 | 0.008785774 | 190.26085 | 0.00874 | 5.34421E-4 | 5.620696E-4 | 0.01254533 | 22.31989 | 0.01199 | 0.005331376 | 0.005644177 | 0.020400418 | 3.6144183 | 0.01484 |
7.2 | 9.927708E-6 | 1.0354879E-5 | 0.0068302844 | 659.61993 | 0.00682 | 4.2546624E-5 | 4.4377317E-5 | 0.008563999 | 192.98146 | 0.00852 | 5.17882E-4 | 5.401632E-4 | 0.012193865 | 22.57441 | 0.01166 | 0.0051667676 | 0.0054262085 | 0.019758018 | 3.6412196 | 0.01441 |
7.3 | 9.412145E-6 | 9.709437E-6 | 0.006239649 | 642.6376 | 0.00623 | 4.033714E-5 | 4.1611227E-5 | 0.007811288 | 187.72067 | 0.00777 | 4.90994E-4 | 5.0650217E-4 | 0.011081143 | 21.87778 | 0.01058 | 0.004899106 | 0.0050904723 | 0.018074041 | 3.5505629 | 0.01305 |
7.4 | 9.070362E-6 | 9.247888E-6 | 0.0055491966 | 600.0502 | 0.00554 | 3.8872397E-5 | 3.9633218E-5 | 0.006959359 | 175.59409 | 0.00692 | 4.7316865E-4 | 4.8243074E-4 | 0.009957857 | 20.64101 | 0.00948 | 0.0047216243 | 0.0048497864 | 0.016443286 | 3.3905177 | 0.01165 |
7.5 | 7.0302704E-6 | 6.8391687E-6 | 0.0026168213 | 382.62274 | 0.00261 | 3.0129382E-5 | 2.9310397E-5 | 0.0032892148 | 112.22008 | 0.00326 | 3.6676347E-4 | 3.5679628E-4 | 0.0048052086 | 13.467653 | 0.00445 | 0.0036615874 | 0.0035921668 | 0.0091820145 | 2.5561216 | 0.00561 |
7.6 | 6.0709417E-6 | 5.761848E-6 | 0.0016657523 | 289.10034 | 0.00166 | 2.601806E-5 | 2.4693401E-5 | 0.0020846426 | 84.421036 | 0.00206 | 3.1672386E-4 | 3.0060092E-4 | 0.0030297802 | 10.079079 | 0.00273 | 0.0031627282 | 0.0030302368 | 0.006489722 | 2.141655 | 0.00347 |
7.7 | 4.7861286E-6 | 4.6306686E-6 | 8.246269E-4 | 178.07944 | 8.2E-4 | 2.0511818E-5 | 1.9845573E-5 | 9.898263E-4 | 49.87643 | 9.7E-4 | 2.4970277E-4 | 2.4159317E-4 | 0.0015612743 | 6.462411 | 0.00132 | 0.0024942236 | 0.0024427802 | 0.0042084563 | 1.7228142 | 0.00177 |
7.8 | 3.3885092E-6 | 3.8794838E-6 | 5.938772E-4 | 153.0815 | 5.9E-4 | 1.4522101E-5 | 1.6626254E-5 | 6.9661497E-4 | 41.89849 | 6.8E-4 | 1.7679224E-4 | 2.024059E-4 | 0.0010922258 | 5.396215 | 8.9E-4 | 0.0017665165 | 0.0020492633 | 0.0032468042 | 1.5843763 | 0.0012 |
7.9 | 2.5569084E-6 | 3.2503176E-6 | 5.032487E-4 | 154.83063 | 5.0E-4 | 1.0958133E-5 | 1.3929858E-5 | 5.539223E-4 | 39.76511 | 5.4E-4 | 1.334071E-4 | 1.6958288E-4 | 8.494676E-4 | 5.0091586 | 6.8E-4 | 0.0013332705 | 0.0017170223 | 0.002605494 | 1.5174493 | 8.9E-4 |
8.0 | 1.2735545E-6 | 1.5288919E-6 | 2.8152845E-4 | 184.1389 | 2.8E-4 | 5.458079E-6 | 6.5523777E-6 | 2.9655048E-4 | 45.258453 | 2.9E-4 | 6.6450084E-5 | 7.97723E-5 | 4.4974277E-4 | 5.6378317 | 3.7E-4 | 6.643022E-4 | 8.07269E-4 | 0.0012569057 | 1.556985 | 4.5E-4 |
8.1 | 3.3286665E-7 | 2.870488E-7 | 1.0287046E-5 | 35.83727 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4265705E-6 | 1.2302087E-6 | 1.1230197E-5 | 9.128693 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7368358E-5 | 1.49777E-5 | 5.49771E-5 | 3.670597 | 4.0E-5 | 1.7367E-4 | 1.5146311E-4 | 2.31451E-4 | 1.5281013 | 8.0E-5 |
Hunter Mountain-Saline Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.234141E-5 | 5.0496008E-5 | 0.0059801964 | 118.4291 | 0.00593 | 1.8145057E-4 | 2.1639434E-4 | 0.0079947105 | 36.9451 | 0.00778 | 0.0022069223 | 0.0026315632 | 0.013263511 | 5.040164 | 0.01066 | 0.021851335 | 0.026020195 | 0.03931502 | 1.5109425 | 0.01365 |
6.1 | 4.234141E-5 | 5.0496008E-5 | 0.0059801964 | 118.4291 | 0.00593 | 1.8145057E-4 | 2.1639434E-4 | 0.0079947105 | 36.9451 | 0.00778 | 0.0022069223 | 0.0026315632 | 0.013263511 | 5.040164 | 0.01066 | 0.021851335 | 0.026020195 | 0.03931502 | 1.5109425 | 0.01365 |
6.2 | 3.8210994E-5 | 4.5182336E-5 | 0.005964915 | 132.01874 | 0.00592 | 1.6375112E-4 | 1.9362489E-4 | 0.007962121 | 41.12137 | 0.00777 | 0.0019918466 | 0.0023549586 | 0.012959925 | 5.50325 | 0.01063 | 0.019740876 | 0.023313653 | 0.036577053 | 1.5689113 | 0.01358 |
6.3 | 3.8210994E-5 | 4.5182336E-5 | 0.005964915 | 132.01874 | 0.00592 | 1.6375112E-4 | 1.9362489E-4 | 0.007962121 | 41.12137 | 0.00777 | 0.0019918466 | 0.0023549586 | 0.012959925 | 5.50325 | 0.01063 | 0.019740876 | 0.023313653 | 0.036577053 | 1.5689113 | 0.01358 |
6.4 | 3.193382E-5 | 3.715685E-5 | 0.005926938 | 159.51132 | 0.00589 | 1.3685206E-4 | 1.5923422E-4 | 0.007898002 | 49.599903 | 0.00774 | 0.0016649003 | 0.0019370177 | 0.012506505 | 6.4565773 | 0.01059 | 0.01652482 | 0.019208895 | 0.03246919 | 1.6903206 | 0.01352 |
6.5 | 3.193382E-5 | 3.715685E-5 | 0.005926938 | 159.51132 | 0.00589 | 1.3685206E-4 | 1.5923422E-4 | 0.007898002 | 49.599903 | 0.00774 | 0.0016649003 | 0.0019370177 | 0.012506505 | 6.4565773 | 0.01059 | 0.01652482 | 0.019208895 | 0.03246919 | 1.6903206 | 0.01352 |
6.6 | 2.8811966E-5 | 3.3271455E-5 | 0.0059030764 | 177.42165 | 0.00587 | 1.2347402E-4 | 1.4258448E-4 | 0.007861484 | 55.13562 | 0.00772 | 0.0015022594 | 0.00173464 | 0.0122863045 | 7.0829134 | 0.01057 | 0.0149214445 | 0.01721754 | 0.030465446 | 1.7694426 | 0.01348 |
6.7 | 2.7203554E-5 | 3.1284224E-5 | 0.0058811014 | 187.98936 | 0.00585 | 1.1658145E-4 | 1.3406866E-4 | 0.007823038 | 58.35098 | 0.00769 | 0.0014184549 | 0.001631118 | 0.012153926 | 7.4512854 | 0.01054 | 0.01409435 | 0.016197702 | 0.029420005 | 1.8163073 | 0.01344 |
6.8 | 2.2662136E-5 | 2.5709094E-5 | 0.0058355597 | 226.98427 | 0.00581 | 9.7119824E-5 | 1.101774E-4 | 0.007749336 | 70.335075 | 0.00764 | 0.0011817924 | 0.0013406249 | 0.0117866015 | 8.791872 | 0.01046 | 0.011755273 | 0.013330063 | 0.026502106 | 1.9881456 | 0.01335 |
6.9 | 2.0309753E-5 | 2.2852211E-5 | 0.00581272 | 254.36137 | 0.00579 | 8.70389E-5 | 9.793456E-5 | 0.0077071893 | 78.69734 | 0.00761 | 0.0010591834 | 0.001191733 | 0.011599315 | 9.733149 | 0.01042 | 0.010541491 | 0.011857222 | 0.024999522 | 2.1083791 | 0.0133 |
7.0 | 1.717535E-5 | 1.9054487E-5 | 0.0057989443 | 304.33484 | 0.00578 | 7.360657E-5 | 8.1659644E-5 | 0.007661041 | 93.816734 | 0.00758 | 8.9579145E-4 | 9.937721E-4 | 0.011363457 | 11.434671 | 0.01038 | 0.0089218905 | 0.00989577 | 0.02301465 | 2.325706 | 0.01325 |
7.1 | 1.4659091E-5 | 1.6044847E-5 | 0.0057559526 | 358.7415 | 0.00574 | 6.2823165E-5 | 6.87619E-5 | 0.0076082433 | 110.64621 | 0.00754 | 7.646036E-4 | 8.368686E-4 | 0.011138241 | 13.309426 | 0.01031 | 0.007619782 | 0.008339094 | 0.021389352 | 2.564949 | 0.01316 |
7.2 | 1.394384E-5 | 1.5201219E-5 | 0.005755114 | 378.59555 | 0.00574 | 5.9757942E-5 | 6.514653E-5 | 0.007594656 | 116.57806 | 0.00753 | 7.273101E-4 | 7.9288404E-4 | 0.011074726 | 13.967648 | 0.01029 | 0.0072493427 | 0.007902429 | 0.02091875 | 2.6471288 | 0.01312 |
7.3 | 1.3338418E-5 | 1.4496036E-5 | 0.005744413 | 396.27475 | 0.00573 | 5.7163397E-5 | 6.212446E-5 | 0.007571658 | 121.878845 | 0.00751 | 6.957421E-4 | 7.561163E-4 | 0.011018351 | 14.572296 | 0.01027 | 0.006935679 | 0.0075372877 | 0.02053855 | 2.7249258 | 0.0131 |
7.4 | 1.23411855E-5 | 1.3352277E-5 | 0.005723276 | 428.6367 | 0.00571 | 5.288972E-5 | 5.7222864E-5 | 0.0075267954 | 131.53476 | 0.00747 | 6.437421E-4 | 6.9647876E-4 | 0.010879382 | 15.62055 | 0.01019 | 0.006418805 | 0.0069447667 | 0.019844554 | 2.8574831 | 0.01299 |
7.5 | 1.1032056E-5 | 1.1957462E-5 | 0.00566189 | 473.50262 | 0.00565 | 4.7279384E-5 | 5.1245333E-5 | 0.007410868 | 144.61548 | 0.00736 | 5.7547446E-4 | 6.237463E-4 | 0.010657484 | 17.086248 | 0.01004 | 0.005739865 | 0.006221739 | 0.018882474 | 3.034919 | 0.01274 |
7.6 | 2.6518558E-6 | 2.8957609E-6 | 0.0025728883 | 888.50165 | 0.00257 | 1.1365047E-5 | 1.2410376E-5 | 0.0032823698 | 264.48593 | 0.00327 | 1.3836066E-4 | 1.5109143E-4 | 0.0045004343 | 29.786165 | 0.00435 | 0.0013827455 | 0.0015110039 | 0.0069128294 | 4.5749907 | 0.00541 |
Ash Hill
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.1759066E-5 | 2.3490276E-5 | 0.0035834066 | 152.54851 | 0.00356 | 9.324981E-5 | 1.0066918E-4 | 0.0052101547 | 51.755215 | 0.00511 | 0.001134725 | 0.0012250383 | 0.009654699 | 7.8811407 | 0.00844 | 0.011289483 | 0.012190861 | 0.024232253 | 1.9877393 | 0.01219 |
6.1 | 2.1759066E-5 | 2.3490276E-5 | 0.0035834066 | 152.54851 | 0.00356 | 9.324981E-5 | 1.0066918E-4 | 0.0052101547 | 51.755215 | 0.00511 | 0.001134725 | 0.0012250383 | 0.009654699 | 7.8811407 | 0.00844 | 0.011289483 | 0.012190861 | 0.024232253 | 1.9877393 | 0.01219 |
6.2 | 2.1759066E-5 | 2.3490276E-5 | 0.0035834066 | 152.54851 | 0.00356 | 9.324981E-5 | 1.0066918E-4 | 0.0052101547 | 51.755215 | 0.00511 | 0.001134725 | 0.0012250383 | 0.009654699 | 7.8811407 | 0.00844 | 0.011289483 | 0.012190861 | 0.024232253 | 1.9877393 | 0.01219 |
6.3 | 1.07993665E-5 | 1.1606073E-5 | 0.0013515905 | 116.45546 | 0.00134 | 4.628218E-5 | 4.9739447E-5 | 0.0021196364 | 42.6148 | 0.00207 | 5.6333985E-4 | 6.0542446E-4 | 0.0041432814 | 6.843597 | 0.00354 | 0.005619139 | 0.0060392395 | 0.011515964 | 1.9068565 | 0.00551 |
6.4 | 1.07993665E-5 | 1.1606073E-5 | 0.0013515905 | 116.45546 | 0.00134 | 4.628218E-5 | 4.9739447E-5 | 0.0021196364 | 42.6148 | 0.00207 | 5.6333985E-4 | 6.0542446E-4 | 0.0041432814 | 6.843597 | 0.00354 | 0.005619139 | 0.0060392395 | 0.011515964 | 1.9068565 | 0.00551 |
6.5 | 7.661776E-6 | 8.2269535E-6 | 9.0821955E-4 | 110.395615 | 9.0E-4 | 3.283577E-5 | 3.5257952E-5 | 0.001535205 | 43.542095 | 0.0015 | 3.9970217E-4 | 4.291911E-4 | 0.0029481095 | 6.8689904 | 0.00252 | 0.00398984 | 0.0042846175 | 0.008217693 | 1.9179527 | 0.00395 |
6.6 | 5.3560434E-6 | 5.750693E-6 | 6.357471E-4 | 110.55138 | 6.3E-4 | 2.295427E-5 | 2.4645637E-5 | 0.0010846196 | 44.008583 | 0.00106 | 2.794324E-4 | 3.0002667E-4 | 0.0020794927 | 6.931026 | 0.00178 | 0.0027908129 | 0.0029969395 | 0.0058184583 | 1.9414667 | 0.00283 |
6.7 | 3.8637977E-6 | 4.1500107E-6 | 4.94148E-4 | 119.07149 | 4.9E-4 | 1.6559028E-5 | 1.7785675E-5 | 7.87772E-4 | 44.2925 | 7.7E-4 | 2.015875E-4 | 2.1652525E-4 | 0.0014862503 | 6.8640966 | 0.00127 | 0.0020140475 | 0.002163749 | 0.0042691836 | 1.9730493 | 0.00211 |
6.8 | 2.6547373E-6 | 2.8538261E-6 | 3.7285278E-4 | 130.65013 | 3.7E-4 | 1.1377397E-5 | 1.2230656E-5 | 5.5222405E-4 | 45.150814 | 5.4E-4 | 1.38511E-4 | 1.4890329E-4 | 0.0010687663 | 7.177587 | 9.2E-4 | 0.001384247 | 0.0014885473 | 0.00303624 | 2.0397336 | 0.00155 |
6.9 | 1.8040815E-6 | 1.9400263E-6 | 2.9193948E-4 | 150.48222 | 2.9E-4 | 7.731755E-6 | 8.314398E-6 | 4.2831092E-4 | 51.514362 | 4.2E-4 | 9.413005E-5 | 1.012278E-4 | 7.31164E-4 | 7.222957 | 6.3E-4 | 9.409019E-4 | 0.001012278 | 0.0021011746 | 2.0756893 | 0.00109 |
Blackwater
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.8146724E-5 | 3.0270756E-5 | 0.0035701636 | 117.94101 | 0.00354 | 1.20623234E-4 | 1.2972597E-4 | 0.0049590995 | 38.227497 | 0.00483 | 0.0014675985 | 0.0015783788 | 0.009455926 | 5.99091 | 0.00789 | 0.0145794405 | 0.015682744 | 0.026776 | 1.7073542 | 0.01127 |
6.1 | 2.8146724E-5 | 3.0270756E-5 | 0.0035701636 | 117.94101 | 0.00354 | 1.20623234E-4 | 1.2972597E-4 | 0.0049590995 | 38.227497 | 0.00483 | 0.0014675985 | 0.0015783788 | 0.009455926 | 5.99091 | 0.00789 | 0.0145794405 | 0.015682744 | 0.026776 | 1.7073542 | 0.01127 |
6.2 | 1.2373714E-5 | 1.3229681E-5 | 0.0016132086 | 121.938576 | 0.0016 | 5.302912E-5 | 5.6697463E-5 | 0.0021965762 | 38.742054 | 0.00214 | 6.4543827E-4 | 6.900837E-4 | 0.0042076544 | 6.0973105 | 0.00352 | 0.0064356686 | 0.006880494 | 0.011736848 | 1.7058148 | 0.00489 |
6.3 | 1.2373714E-5 | 1.3229681E-5 | 0.0016132086 | 121.938576 | 0.0016 | 5.302912E-5 | 5.6697463E-5 | 0.0021965762 | 38.742054 | 0.00214 | 6.4543827E-4 | 6.900837E-4 | 0.0042076544 | 6.0973105 | 0.00352 | 0.0064356686 | 0.006880494 | 0.011736848 | 1.7058148 | 0.00489 |
6.4 | 8.526547E-6 | 9.099042E-6 | 0.0010790894 | 118.593735 | 0.00107 | 3.6541835E-5 | 3.8995335E-5 | 0.0014189415 | 36.387466 | 0.00138 | 4.4480604E-4 | 4.746696E-4 | 0.0028035636 | 5.9063478 | 0.00233 | 0.004439167 | 0.004737039 | 0.00788207 | 1.6639234 | 0.00316 |
6.5 | 6.2812524E-6 | 6.6967214E-6 | 7.566917E-4 | 112.994354 | 7.5E-4 | 2.6919375E-5 | 2.8699935E-5 | 9.786726E-4 | 34.10017 | 9.5E-4 | 3.276941E-4 | 3.4936864E-4 | 0.0019388131 | 5.549477 | 0.00159 | 0.003272113 | 0.0034884878 | 0.0056608827 | 1.6227326 | 0.00218 |
6.6 | 6.2812524E-6 | 6.6967214E-6 | 7.566917E-4 | 112.994354 | 7.5E-4 | 2.6919375E-5 | 2.8699935E-5 | 9.786726E-4 | 34.10017 | 9.5E-4 | 3.276941E-4 | 3.4936864E-4 | 0.0019388131 | 5.549477 | 0.00159 | 0.003272113 | 0.0034884878 | 0.0056608827 | 1.6227326 | 0.00218 |
6.7 | 3.149943E-6 | 3.3576566E-6 | 2.8335673E-4 | 84.39121 | 2.8E-4 | 1.3499686E-5 | 1.4389884E-5 | 3.54385E-4 | 24.627369 | 3.4E-4 | 1.6434627E-4 | 1.7518394E-4 | 7.5508235E-4 | 4.3102255 | 5.8E-4 | 0.0016422479 | 0.0017505756 | 0.0025691402 | 1.4675974 | 8.2E-4 |
6.8 | 2.3443392E-6 | 2.49995E-6 | 2.3249937E-4 | 93.00161 | 2.3E-4 | 1.0047129E-5 | 1.0714032E-5 | 2.8071113E-4 | 26.200325 | 2.7E-4 | 1.2231694E-4 | 1.3043649E-4 | 5.703791E-4 | 4.3728495 | 4.4E-4 | 0.0012224963 | 0.0013036921 | 0.0019328708 | 1.482613 | 6.3E-4 |
6.9 | 9.4696964E-7 | 1.0113779E-6 | 9.101129E-5 | 89.98742 | 9.0E-5 | 4.058435E-6 | 4.334472E-6 | 1.0433404E-4 | 24.070759 | 1.0E-4 | 4.9410326E-5 | 5.2771393E-5 | 2.5276083E-4 | 4.789732 | 2.0E-4 | 4.939934E-4 | 5.276347E-4 | 8.274764E-4 | 1.5682752 | 3.0E-4 |
7.0 | 4.5862407E-7 | 4.9011396E-7 | 1.0490109E-5 | 21.403408 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9655301E-6 | 2.1004885E-6 | 2.2100447E-5 | 10.521575 | 2.0E-5 | 2.3930068E-5 | 2.5573447E-5 | 8.557191E-5 | 3.3461235 | 6.0E-5 | 2.3927492E-4 | 2.5573449E-4 | 3.8570122E-4 | 1.5082097 | 1.3E-4 |
Garlock (West)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.4649089E-5 | 2.4059424E-5 | 0.0045339507 | 188.44803 | 0.00451 | 1.0563468E-4 | 1.03107755E-4 | 0.0056725335 | 55.015583 | 0.00557 | 0.0012853434 | 0.001254617 | 0.009144706 | 7.288842 | 0.0079 | 0.012779343 | 0.01255241 | 0.02232814 | 1.7787932 | 0.0099 |
6.1 | 2.4557346E-5 | 2.3972705E-5 | 0.0045338646 | 189.12611 | 0.00451 | 1.05241525E-4 | 1.02736136E-4 | 0.005672164 | 55.21099 | 0.00557 | 0.0012805624 | 0.0012500976 | 0.009140222 | 7.311606 | 0.0079 | 0.012732083 | 0.012507726 | 0.0222839 | 1.7816107 | 0.0099 |
6.2 | 2.4446426E-5 | 2.3873701E-5 | 0.004533766 | 189.9063 | 0.00451 | 1.04766186E-4 | 1.0231187E-4 | 0.005671742 | 55.435818 | 0.00557 | 0.0012747819 | 0.0012449381 | 0.009135103 | 7.337797 | 0.0079 | 0.012674939 | 0.01245671 | 0.02223339 | 1.7848524 | 0.0099 |
6.3 | 2.4239502E-5 | 2.3696457E-5 | 0.00453359 | 191.3193 | 0.00451 | 1.0387944E-4 | 1.015523E-4 | 0.0056709866 | 55.843014 | 0.00557 | 0.0012639983 | 0.001235701 | 0.009125939 | 7.3852324 | 0.0079 | 0.012568329 | 0.012365371 | 0.022142954 | 1.790723 | 0.0099 |
6.4 | 2.3057506E-5 | 2.2432912E-5 | 0.0045123324 | 201.14786 | 0.00449 | 9.881414E-5 | 9.613752E-5 | 0.0056356047 | 58.620243 | 0.00554 | 0.0012023982 | 0.0011698484 | 0.009010665 | 7.702421 | 0.00785 | 0.011959131 | 0.011713956 | 0.021428807 | 1.82934 | 0.00983 |
6.5 | 2.2550017E-5 | 2.2248767E-5 | 0.004512149 | 202.80444 | 0.00449 | 9.663935E-5 | 9.534838E-5 | 0.00563482 | 59.09717 | 0.00554 | 0.0011759489 | 0.001160251 | 0.009001143 | 7.7579274 | 0.00785 | 0.011697455 | 0.011618989 | 0.021334775 | 1.8361989 | 0.00983 |
6.6 | 2.1147518E-5 | 2.1046448E-5 | 0.004500952 | 213.85805 | 0.00448 | 9.062907E-5 | 9.019596E-5 | 0.0056196973 | 62.305424 | 0.00553 | 0.0011028503 | 0.0010975847 | 0.008899013 | 8.107814 | 0.00781 | 0.010973931 | 0.010998669 | 0.020671101 | 1.8794185 | 0.00978 |
6.7 | 1.9559262E-5 | 1.9707973E-5 | 0.00449962 | 228.31468 | 0.00448 | 8.382271E-5 | 8.4460014E-5 | 0.005613993 | 66.46924 | 0.00553 | 0.0010200638 | 0.0010278171 | 0.00882979 | 8.590817 | 0.00781 | 0.010153941 | 0.010307636 | 0.019986827 | 1.9390311 | 0.00978 |
6.8 | 1.8594048E-5 | 1.9226134E-5 | 0.00449914 | 234.01169 | 0.00448 | 7.9686346E-5 | 8.239512E-5 | 0.0056119394 | 68.11009 | 0.00553 | 9.6974935E-4 | 0.0010027004 | 0.008804869 | 8.781157 | 0.00781 | 0.009655285 | 0.010058773 | 0.019740397 | 1.9625056 | 0.00978 |
6.9 | 1.7416709E-5 | 1.8286082E-5 | 0.004498204 | 245.99059 | 0.00448 | 7.4640906E-5 | 7.8366575E-5 | 0.0056079333 | 71.560265 | 0.00553 | 9.0837415E-4 | 9.536967E-4 | 0.008756248 | 9.181376 | 0.00781 | 0.0090467 | 0.009572891 | 0.019259268 | 2.011855 | 0.00978 |
7.0 | 1.6681082E-5 | 1.7577615E-5 | 0.004477499 | 254.72734 | 0.00446 | 7.148839E-5 | 7.533047E-5 | 0.005584915 | 74.13886 | 0.00551 | 8.7002356E-4 | 9.1676373E-4 | 0.008689632 | 9.478594 | 0.00778 | 0.008666253 | 0.00920642 | 0.018866658 | 2.0492935 | 0.00975 |
7.1 | 1.6241951E-5 | 1.7100925E-5 | 0.004467025 | 261.2154 | 0.00445 | 6.96065E-5 | 7.328763E-5 | 0.0055728843 | 76.041275 | 0.0055 | 8.471297E-4 | 8.919128E-4 | 0.008654983 | 9.703844 | 0.00777 | 0.008439076 | 0.0089598205 | 0.018602641 | 2.076229 | 0.00973 |
7.2 | 1.5679347E-5 | 1.6547106E-5 | 0.0044564735 | 269.32043 | 0.00444 | 6.719547E-5 | 7.091425E-5 | 0.0055605248 | 78.41196 | 0.00549 | 8.177978E-4 | 8.630401E-4 | 0.008606352 | 9.972134 | 0.00775 | 0.0081479475 | 0.008673302 | 0.018299084 | 2.1098175 | 0.00971 |
7.3 | 1.4967611E-5 | 1.6008113E-5 | 0.0044259373 | 276.48093 | 0.00441 | 6.414532E-5 | 6.860439E-5 | 0.0055182306 | 80.435524 | 0.00545 | 7.806895E-4 | 8.349395E-4 | 0.008508527 | 10.190592 | 0.00768 | 0.0077795256 | 0.008393982 | 0.017933233 | 2.136439 | 0.00962 |
7.4 | 1.4806228E-5 | 1.5853497E-5 | 0.0043557845 | 274.75232 | 0.00434 | 6.345372E-5 | 6.794179E-5 | 0.0054175784 | 79.738525 | 0.00535 | 7.722752E-4 | 8.268784E-4 | 0.008370635 | 10.123176 | 0.00755 | 0.0076959687 | 0.008313648 | 0.017645417 | 2.1224637 | 0.00941 |
7.5 | 1.4436933E-5 | 1.5464731E-5 | 0.0039154044 | 253.18285 | 0.0039 | 6.1871106E-5 | 6.627574E-5 | 0.004895956 | 73.87251 | 0.00483 | 7.530203E-4 | 8.066094E-4 | 0.00768106 | 9.522651 | 0.00688 | 0.0075047375 | 0.008111894 | 0.016671889 | 2.05524 | 0.00863 |
7.6 | 1.2752497E-5 | 1.36066565E-5 | 0.002623571 | 192.81528 | 0.00261 | 5.4652413E-5 | 5.831294E-5 | 0.0032881247 | 56.38756 | 0.00323 | 6.6519E-4 | 7.097294E-4 | 0.005166564 | 7.2796254 | 0.00446 | 0.0066320235 | 0.0071480838 | 0.01273784 | 1.7819936 | 0.00563 |
7.7 | 1.0392202E-5 | 1.1130432E-5 | 0.0014711142 | 132.17046 | 0.00146 | 4.453725E-5 | 4.770098E-5 | 0.0017976175 | 37.685127 | 0.00175 | 5.421061E-4 | 5.8060506E-4 | 0.0030291826 | 5.217286 | 0.00245 | 0.0054078554 | 0.005865841 | 0.009037129 | 1.5406365 | 0.00319 |
7.8 | 7.0438796E-6 | 8.633359E-6 | 0.0010386244 | 120.30363 | 0.00103 | 3.0187706E-5 | 3.6999587E-5 | 0.0012669541 | 34.242382 | 0.00123 | 3.6747332E-4 | 4.50377E-4 | 0.0021096293 | 4.6841407 | 0.00166 | 0.0036686626 | 0.0045559555 | 0.0066862055 | 1.4675748 | 0.00214 |
7.9 | 3.9575416E-6 | 5.1750967E-6 | 7.051715E-4 | 136.26247 | 7.0E-4 | 1.6960781E-5 | 2.2178798E-5 | 8.1216125E-4 | 36.618813 | 7.9E-4 | 2.0647795E-4 | 2.699935E-4 | 0.0012797208 | 4.739821 | 0.00101 | 0.002062862 | 0.0027315156 | 0.0039980463 | 1.4636734 | 0.00127 |
8.0 | 1.5950359E-6 | 1.9546258E-6 | 3.21954E-4 | 164.71388 | 3.2E-4 | 6.83585E-6 | 8.376941E-6 | 3.58374E-4 | 42.781013 | 3.5E-4 | 8.322329E-5 | 1.0198451E-4 | 5.3194066E-4 | 5.2158966 | 4.3E-4 | 8.3192135E-4 | 0.0010318218 | 0.001561275 | 1.5131246 | 5.3E-4 |
8.1 | 3.3286665E-7 | 2.870488E-7 | 1.0287046E-5 | 35.83727 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4265705E-6 | 1.2302087E-6 | 1.1230197E-5 | 9.128693 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7368358E-5 | 1.49777E-5 | 5.49771E-5 | 3.670597 | 4.0E-5 | 1.7367E-4 | 1.5146311E-4 | 2.31451E-4 | 1.5281013 | 8.0E-5 |
McLean Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.7590342E-5 | 1.8735907E-5 | 0.001778703 | 94.93551 | 0.00176 | 7.5385E-5 | 8.0294536E-5 | 0.0028400728 | 35.37069 | 0.00276 | 9.174259E-4 | 9.771937E-4 | 0.0063419463 | 6.489958 | 0.00537 | 0.009136477 | 0.009733575 | 0.018022105 | 1.8515402 | 0.00837 |
6.1 | 9.453936E-6 | 1.0005925E-5 | 8.599974E-4 | 85.948814 | 8.5E-4 | 4.051624E-5 | 4.288188E-5 | 0.0014028236 | 32.71367 | 0.00136 | 4.9317355E-4 | 5.2197E-4 | 0.003300519 | 6.323197 | 0.00278 | 0.0049208053 | 0.005208253 | 0.009674868 | 1.8576033 | 0.00449 |
6.2 | 9.453936E-6 | 1.0005925E-5 | 8.599974E-4 | 85.948814 | 8.5E-4 | 4.051624E-5 | 4.288188E-5 | 0.0014028236 | 32.71367 | 0.00136 | 4.9317355E-4 | 5.2197E-4 | 0.003300519 | 6.323197 | 0.00278 | 0.0049208053 | 0.005208253 | 0.009674868 | 1.8576033 | 0.00449 |
6.3 | 7.3750607E-6 | 7.790684E-6 | 6.07786E-4 | 78.01446 | 6.0E-4 | 3.160702E-5 | 3.3388253E-5 | 0.0010233552 | 30.650156 | 9.9E-4 | 3.8474752E-4 | 4.064321E-4 | 0.002615534 | 6.4353523 | 0.00221 | 0.0038408206 | 0.004057478 | 0.007503439 | 1.8492864 | 0.00346 |
6.4 | 7.3750607E-6 | 7.790684E-6 | 6.07786E-4 | 78.01446 | 6.0E-4 | 3.160702E-5 | 3.3388253E-5 | 0.0010233552 | 30.650156 | 9.9E-4 | 3.8474752E-4 | 4.064321E-4 | 0.002615534 | 6.4353523 | 0.00221 | 0.0038408206 | 0.004057478 | 0.007503439 | 1.8492864 | 0.00346 |
6.5 | 6.2379318E-6 | 6.5847507E-6 | 4.865816E-4 | 73.89522 | 4.8E-4 | 2.6733718E-5 | 2.8220084E-5 | 8.5819664E-4 | 30.410847 | 8.3E-4 | 3.254344E-4 | 3.435307E-4 | 0.0022128883 | 6.4416027 | 0.00187 | 0.0032495824 | 0.0034305237 | 0.006290678 | 1.833737 | 0.00287 |
6.6 | 5.4904262E-6 | 5.79482E-6 | 4.1579246E-4 | 71.75243 | 4.1E-4 | 2.3530185E-5 | 2.4834735E-5 | 7.6481636E-4 | 30.796236 | 7.4E-4 | 2.8644234E-4 | 3.0232605E-4 | 0.0019918152 | 6.588301 | 0.00169 | 0.002860734 | 0.0030196507 | 0.00559186 | 1.8518234 | 0.00258 |
6.7 | 5.0288727E-6 | 5.3073427E-6 | 4.1530517E-4 | 78.25105 | 4.1E-4 | 2.1552134E-5 | 2.2745584E-5 | 7.5272896E-4 | 33.09341 | 7.3E-4 | 2.6236565E-4 | 2.768973E-4 | 0.0018864515 | 6.81282 | 0.00161 | 0.002620561 | 0.0027660162 | 0.005199267 | 1.8796952 | 0.00244 |
6.8 | 3.7259288E-6 | 3.9315482E-6 | 2.939304E-4 | 74.762 | 2.9E-4 | 1.5968168E-5 | 1.684941E-5 | 5.268408E-4 | 31.267612 | 5.1E-4 | 1.943951E-4 | 2.0512682E-4 | 0.001334895 | 6.507657 | 0.00113 | 0.0019422513 | 0.0020498233 | 0.003836154 | 1.871456 | 0.00179 |
6.9 | 6.607022E-7 | 6.909737E-7 | 1.06909665E-5 | 15.472321 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8315776E-6 | 2.9613143E-6 | 3.2961227E-5 | 11.130607 | 3.0E-5 | 3.4473913E-5 | 3.605371E-5 | 1.360501E-4 | 3.7735398 | 1.0E-4 | 3.4468566E-4 | 3.6050825E-4 | 5.704326E-4 | 1.5823009 | 2.1E-4 |
Goldstone Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.5704558E-5 | 2.9173041E-5 | 0.0014591314 | 50.016426 | 0.00143 | 1.10157736E-4 | 1.2502231E-4 | 0.0022447573 | 17.954853 | 0.00212 | 0.0013403452 | 0.0015212569 | 0.0055151717 | 3.6254048 | 0.004 | 0.013322897 | 0.015125632 | 0.021350037 | 1.4115138 | 0.00632 |
6.1 | 2.5704558E-5 | 2.9173041E-5 | 0.0014591314 | 50.016426 | 0.00143 | 1.10157736E-4 | 1.2502231E-4 | 0.0022447573 | 17.954853 | 0.00212 | 0.0013403452 | 0.0015212569 | 0.0055151717 | 3.6254048 | 0.004 | 0.013322897 | 0.015125632 | 0.021350037 | 1.4115138 | 0.00632 |
6.2 | 1.4846628E-5 | 1.6798771E-5 | 8.5678464E-4 | 51.00282 | 8.4E-4 | 6.362685E-5 | 7.199329E-5 | 0.0013718997 | 19.05594 | 0.0013 | 7.743816E-4 | 8.762614E-4 | 0.0031842373 | 3.6338897 | 0.00231 | 0.0077168867 | 0.008737473 | 0.012246543 | 1.4016114 | 0.00354 |
6.3 | 1.4846628E-5 | 1.6798771E-5 | 8.5678464E-4 | 51.00282 | 8.4E-4 | 6.362685E-5 | 7.199329E-5 | 0.0013718997 | 19.05594 | 0.0013 | 7.743816E-4 | 8.762614E-4 | 0.0031842373 | 3.6338897 | 0.00231 | 0.0077168867 | 0.008737473 | 0.012246543 | 1.4016114 | 0.00354 |
6.4 | 1.3733805E-5 | 1.5537513E-5 | 7.6552585E-4 | 49.26952 | 7.5E-4 | 5.8857833E-5 | 6.658818E-5 | 0.001226511 | 18.41935 | 0.00116 | 7.163585E-4 | 8.105043E-4 | 0.0029088024 | 3.5888793 | 0.0021 | 0.0071405363 | 0.008084798 | 0.011328361 | 1.4011928 | 0.00327 |
6.5 | 1.3733805E-5 | 1.5537513E-5 | 7.6552585E-4 | 49.26952 | 7.5E-4 | 5.8857833E-5 | 6.658818E-5 | 0.001226511 | 18.41935 | 0.00116 | 7.163585E-4 | 8.105043E-4 | 0.0029088024 | 3.5888793 | 0.0021 | 0.0071405363 | 0.008084798 | 0.011328361 | 1.4011928 | 0.00327 |
6.6 | 1.148497E-5 | 1.3008391E-5 | 6.2300044E-4 | 47.8922 | 6.1E-4 | 4.922037E-5 | 5.5749573E-5 | 9.756983E-4 | 17.50145 | 9.2E-4 | 5.990932E-4 | 6.7863136E-4 | 0.0023874708 | 3.5180676 | 0.00171 | 0.005974807 | 0.0067745866 | 0.009486092 | 1.4002466 | 0.00273 |
6.7 | 8.27496E-6 | 9.379097E-6 | 4.3937506E-4 | 46.846203 | 4.3E-4 | 3.5463636E-5 | 4.0195984E-5 | 6.7017064E-4 | 16.672577 | 6.3E-4 | 4.316842E-4 | 4.8936054E-4 | 0.0016387978 | 3.3488557 | 0.00115 | 0.004308466 | 0.004891097 | 0.006791755 | 1.3885955 | 0.00191 |
6.8 | 8.861721E-7 | 1.014311E-6 | 2.101429E-5 | 20.717798 | 2.0E-5 | 3.7978746E-6 | 4.3470404E-6 | 3.434691E-5 | 7.9012175 | 3.0E-5 | 4.6238143E-5 | 5.2924017E-5 | 1.02921374E-4 | 1.9447006 | 5.0E-5 | 4.6228524E-4 | 5.291228E-4 | 6.090804E-4 | 1.1511136 | 8.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.626932E-7 | 7.7263746E-7 | 1.077263E-5 | 13.942671 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8401107E-6 | 3.3112995E-6 | 1.3311266E-5 | 4.0199523 | 1.0E-5 | 3.45778E-5 | 4.031437E-5 | 6.0313567E-5 | 1.496081 | 2.0E-5 | 3.457242E-4 | 4.0307516E-4 | 4.230671E-4 | 1.0495986 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.9238477E-7 | 6.9709535E-7 | 1.0697088E-5 | 15.34523 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5387894E-6 | 2.9875482E-6 | 1.2987518E-5 | 4.347216 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0909323E-5 | 3.6372832E-5 | 5.6372104E-5 | 1.5498409 | 2.0E-5 | 3.0905023E-4 | 3.6367268E-4 | 3.8366538E-4 | 1.0549746 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.140832E-7 | 6.133697E-7 | 1.0613364E-5 | 17.303371 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2032118E-6 | 2.6287248E-6 | 1.2628699E-5 | 4.804116 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6823775E-5 | 3.200429E-5 | 5.2003652E-5 | 1.6248962 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6820536E-4 | 3.2000025E-4 | 3.3999386E-4 | 1.06248 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.8981843E-7 | 5.873073E-7 | 1.0587301E-5 | 18.026852 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0992202E-6 | 2.517029E-6 | 1.2517004E-5 | 4.972928 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5557705E-5 | 3.064443E-5 | 5.064382E-5 | 1.6526271 | 2.0E-5 | 2.5554767E-4 | 3.0640542E-4 | 3.263993E-4 | 1.065253 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.5057212E-7 | 5.412204E-7 | 5.412204E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9310219E-6 | 2.3195141E-6 | 2.3195141E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3509938E-5 | 2.8239752E-5 | 3.823947E-5 | 1.3541007 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3507452E-4 | 2.823649E-4 | 2.923621E-4 | 1.0354052 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.9874527E-7 | 4.758185E-7 | 4.758185E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7089072E-6 | 2.0392208E-6 | 2.0392208E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0805746E-5 | 2.4827263E-5 | 3.4827015E-5 | 1.402773 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0803799E-4 | 2.4824802E-4 | 2.5824553E-4 | 1.0402722 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.3092502E-7 | 3.9318908E-7 | 3.9318908E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4182493E-6 | 1.6850951E-6 | 1.6850951E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.726705E-5 | 2.0515869E-5 | 3.0515665E-5 | 1.4874176 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7265708E-4 | 2.0514266E-4 | 2.1514061E-4 | 1.0487366 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.5600239E-7 | 1.8436103E-7 | 1.8436103E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6858144E-7 | 7.901185E-7 | 7.901185E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.1399485E-6 | 9.6196645E-6 | 9.6196645E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.139651E-5 | 9.6193886E-5 | 9.6193886E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Gravel Hills-Harper Lk
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.8095026E-5 | 2.8371654E-5 | 0.0018983186 | 66.90898 | 0.00187 | 1.20401695E-4 | 1.2158797E-4 | 0.002801262 | 23.038975 | 0.00268 | 0.0014649049 | 0.001479475 | 0.005763128 | 3.8953874 | 0.00429 | 0.014552858 | 0.014710883 | 0.02093791 | 1.423294 | 0.00632 |
6.1 | 2.8095026E-5 | 2.8371654E-5 | 0.0018983186 | 66.90898 | 0.00187 | 1.20401695E-4 | 1.2158797E-4 | 0.002801262 | 23.038975 | 0.00268 | 0.0014649049 | 0.001479475 | 0.005763128 | 3.8953874 | 0.00429 | 0.014552858 | 0.014710883 | 0.02093791 | 1.423294 | 0.00632 |
6.2 | 1.628833E-5 | 1.48511335E-5 | 7.148407E-4 | 48.13375 | 7.0E-4 | 6.980526E-5 | 6.364625E-5 | 0.001183575 | 18.596146 | 0.00112 | 8.495477E-4 | 7.746329E-4 | 0.0025232774 | 3.2573845 | 0.00175 | 0.008463073 | 0.0077208793 | 0.010350419 | 1.3405752 | 0.00265 |
6.3 | 1.628833E-5 | 1.48511335E-5 | 7.148407E-4 | 48.13375 | 7.0E-4 | 6.980526E-5 | 6.364625E-5 | 0.001183575 | 18.596146 | 0.00112 | 8.495477E-4 | 7.746329E-4 | 0.0025232774 | 3.2573845 | 0.00175 | 0.008463073 | 0.0077208793 | 0.010350419 | 1.3405752 | 0.00265 |
6.4 | 1.3412165E-5 | 1.1610875E-5 | 4.5160577E-4 | 38.895065 | 4.4E-4 | 5.747944E-5 | 4.9759987E-5 | 6.997276E-4 | 14.062054 | 6.5E-4 | 6.9958746E-4 | 6.056672E-4 | 0.0017050009 | 2.815079 | 0.0011 | 0.0069738915 | 0.006040944 | 0.007710795 | 1.2764223 | 0.00168 |
6.5 | 1.1731356E-5 | 9.734148E-6 | 2.9973133E-4 | 30.791737 | 2.9E-4 | 5.027627E-5 | 4.171714E-5 | 5.0169794E-4 | 12.026183 | 4.6E-4 | 6.119417E-4 | 5.0779287E-4 | 0.001257412 | 2.4762301 | 7.5E-4 | 0.0061025927 | 0.0050668367 | 0.006220959 | 1.2277796 | 0.00116 |
6.6 | 1.0087717E-5 | 7.918767E-6 | 1.5791757E-4 | 19.942194 | 1.5E-4 | 4.3232358E-5 | 3.3937147E-5 | 2.8392868E-4 | 8.366309 | 2.5E-4 | 5.262268E-4 | 4.131094E-4 | 8.029483E-4 | 1.9436698 | 3.9E-4 | 0.0052498244 | 0.0041237148 | 0.0047411583 | 1.1497298 | 6.2E-4 |
6.7 | 9.339846E-6 | 7.098093E-6 | 1.0709738E-4 | 15.088191 | 1.0E-4 | 4.0027295E-5 | 3.0420058E-5 | 2.1041458E-4 | 6.9169683 | 1.8E-4 | 4.8722335E-4 | 3.7030387E-4 | 6.402039E-4 | 1.728861 | 2.7E-4 | 0.004861565 | 0.0036971278 | 0.004135501 | 1.1185713 | 4.4E-4 |
6.8 | 7.801486E-6 | 5.4173956E-6 | 3.5417233E-5 | 6.5376863 | 3.0E-5 | 3.3434513E-5 | 2.3217211E-5 | 1.0321535E-4 | 4.4456396 | 8.0E-5 | 4.0698916E-4 | 2.8263454E-4 | 3.826063E-4 | 1.3537138 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004062446 | 0.002822916 | 0.0030123796 | 1.0671163 | 1.9E-4 |
6.9 | 6.622742E-6 | 4.1572216E-6 | 3.4157096E-5 | 8.216328 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8382872E-5 | 1.781655E-5 | 7.781548E-5 | 4.367595 | 6.0E-5 | 3.4550668E-4 | 2.1689611E-4 | 2.8688094E-4 | 1.3226652 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0034496998 | 0.0021669636 | 0.0022966817 | 1.0598618 | 1.3E-4 |
7.0 | 5.2559594E-6 | 2.6916446E-6 | 2.269159E-5 | 8.430382 | 2.0E-5 | 2.2525346E-5 | 1.153557E-5 | 6.153499E-5 | 5.3343697 | 5.0E-5 | 2.7421158E-4 | 1.404368E-4 | 1.9042978E-4 | 1.3559821 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0027387347 | 0.0014035088 | 0.0014833966 | 1.05692 | 8.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.6375726E-6 | 2.2151553E-6 | 2.221511E-5 | 10.028692 | 2.0E-5 | 1.987516E-5 | 9.49349E-6 | 5.9493017E-5 | 6.266717 | 5.0E-5 | 2.4195321E-4 | 1.15577364E-4 | 1.6557159E-4 | 1.4325607 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0024168994 | 0.0011551979 | 0.001225117 | 1.0605257 | 7.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.597001E-6 | 1.2842036E-6 | 1.1284191E-5 | 8.786917 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5415628E-5 | 5.5037185E-6 | 3.550355E-5 | 6.45083 | 3.0E-5 | 1.8766911E-4 | 6.70058E-5 | 9.700379E-5 | 1.4476924 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001875107 | 6.698642E-4 | 6.998441E-4 | 1.0447552 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.668142E-6 | 7.358184E-7 | 1.0735811E-5 | 14.5903 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1434844E-5 | 3.1535037E-6 | 3.315341E-5 | 10.513198 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3921033E-4 | 3.8393253E-5 | 6.83921E-5 | 1.7813573 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0013912315 | 3.8386835E-4 | 4.1385682E-4 | 1.0781218 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.1519238E-6 | 5.6391127E-7 | 1.0563906E-5 | 18.733276 | 1.0E-5 | 9.222498E-6 | 2.4167605E-6 | 2.2416712E-5 | 9.27552 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1227813E-4 | 2.9423669E-5 | 4.942308E-5 | 1.6797049 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011222142 | 2.9419837E-4 | 3.141925E-4 | 1.0679613 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.2376645E-6 | 3.7787248E-7 | 1.0377868E-5 | 27.463945 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3042654E-6 | 1.6194525E-6 | 2.161942E-5 | 13.349833 | 2.0E-5 | 6.457752E-5 | 1.9716661E-5 | 3.9716266E-5 | 2.0143504 | 2.0E-5 | 6.4558757E-4 | 1.9714967E-4 | 2.1714573E-4 | 1.1014258 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.4118889E-7 | 7.687255E-8 | 7.687255E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.050951E-7 | 3.2945377E-7 | 3.2945377E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.367008E-6 | 4.011094E-6 | 4.011094E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.366764E-5 | 4.011041E-5 | 4.011041E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Death Valley (So)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.1487655E-5 | 2.6031232E-5 | 0.0012060006 | 46.328983 | 0.00118 | 9.2086695E-5 | 1.11557754E-4 | 0.0020213446 | 18.119267 | 0.00191 | 0.0011205788 | 0.0013573876 | 0.004642922 | 3.4204834 | 0.00329 | 0.01114945 | 0.013494292 | 0.018525472 | 1.3728375 | 0.0051 |
6.1 | 2.1487655E-5 | 2.6031232E-5 | 0.0012060006 | 46.328983 | 0.00118 | 9.2086695E-5 | 1.11557754E-4 | 0.0020213446 | 18.119267 | 0.00191 | 0.0011205788 | 0.0013573876 | 0.004642922 | 3.4204834 | 0.00329 | 0.01114945 | 0.013494292 | 0.018525472 | 1.3728375 | 0.0051 |
6.2 | 2.1487655E-5 | 2.6031232E-5 | 0.0012060006 | 46.328983 | 0.00118 | 9.2086695E-5 | 1.11557754E-4 | 0.0020213446 | 18.119267 | 0.00191 | 0.0011205788 | 0.0013573876 | 0.004642922 | 3.4204834 | 0.00329 | 0.01114945 | 0.013494292 | 0.018525472 | 1.3728375 | 0.0051 |
6.3 | 2.116024E-5 | 2.5661533E-5 | 0.0011656323 | 45.42333 | 0.00114 | 9.068359E-5 | 1.09973465E-4 | 0.0019497711 | 17.72947 | 0.00184 | 0.0011035135 | 0.0013381226 | 0.0045138677 | 3.3732836 | 0.00318 | 0.010980497 | 0.013303962 | 0.018168373 | 1.3656363 | 0.00493 |
6.4 | 2.116024E-5 | 2.5661533E-5 | 0.0011656323 | 45.42333 | 0.00114 | 9.068359E-5 | 1.09973465E-4 | 0.0019497711 | 17.72947 | 0.00184 | 0.0011035135 | 0.0013381226 | 0.0045138677 | 3.3732836 | 0.00318 | 0.010980497 | 0.013303962 | 0.018168373 | 1.3656363 | 0.00493 |
6.5 | 2.0931408E-5 | 2.5404126E-5 | 0.0011353759 | 44.69258 | 0.00111 | 8.9702946E-5 | 1.0887039E-4 | 0.0018986755 | 17.43978 | 0.00179 | 0.0010915862 | 0.001324709 | 0.0044106157 | 3.3294978 | 0.00309 | 0.010862397 | 0.013171421 | 0.017927935 | 1.3611238 | 0.00482 |
6.6 | 1.9688681E-5 | 2.3659404E-5 | 9.836367E-4 | 41.57487 | 9.6E-4 | 8.437733E-5 | 1.0139359E-4 | 0.0016812334 | 16.581259 | 0.00158 | 0.0010268098 | 0.001233783 | 0.00398039 | 3.2261672 | 0.00275 | 0.010220783 | 0.012272074 | 0.01652918 | 1.3468939 | 0.00431 |
6.7 | 1.9287212E-5 | 2.3155982E-5 | 9.73134E-4 | 42.025166 | 9.5E-4 | 8.265686E-5 | 9.923623E-5 | 0.0016490824 | 16.617744 | 0.00155 | 0.0010058826 | 0.0012075464 | 0.003894298 | 3.2249675 | 0.00269 | 0.010013417 | 0.012012562 | 0.01614235 | 1.3437891 | 0.00418 |
6.8 | 1.8495908E-5 | 2.2109125E-5 | 9.0208964E-4 | 40.801693 | 8.8E-4 | 7.9265774E-5 | 9.475003E-5 | 0.0015146155 | 15.985382 | 0.00142 | 9.646335E-4 | 0.0011529857 | 0.0036401148 | 3.1571205 | 0.00249 | 0.009604569 | 0.011472825 | 0.0153577365 | 1.3386186 | 0.00393 |
6.9 | 1.36319E-5 | 1.5694495E-5 | 6.656843E-4 | 42.415146 | 6.5E-4 | 5.8421123E-5 | 6.726043E-5 | 0.0010771925 | 16.015247 | 0.00101 | 7.1104505E-4 | 8.1859535E-4 | 0.0025671627 | 3.1360583 | 0.00175 | 0.007087742 | 0.008157502 | 0.010904905 | 1.3367947 | 0.00277 |
7.0 | 1.22768615E-5 | 1.3991382E-5 | 5.8398343E-4 | 41.738796 | 5.7E-4 | 5.2614057E-5 | 5.9961727E-5 | 9.0991077E-4 | 15.17486 | 8.5E-4 | 6.403879E-4 | 7.2979636E-4 | 0.0021687455 | 2.971713 | 0.00144 | 0.006385456 | 0.007275374 | 0.009578495 | 1.316564 | 0.00232 |
7.1 | 9.98783E-6 | 1.1155321E-5 | 2.911522E-4 | 26.099848 | 2.8E-4 | 4.2804284E-5 | 4.780767E-5 | 4.4778854E-4 | 9.366459 | 4.0E-4 | 5.2101753E-4 | 5.819072E-4 | 0.0012215348 | 2.0991917 | 6.4E-4 | 0.0051979767 | 0.005804258 | 0.00677857 | 1.1678616 | 9.8E-4 |
7.2 | 9.416329E-6 | 1.0482714E-5 | 1.9048083E-4 | 18.170946 | 1.8E-4 | 4.035507E-5 | 4.4925167E-5 | 3.2491257E-4 | 7.232307 | 2.8E-4 | 4.9121224E-4 | 5.468309E-4 | 9.965848E-4 | 1.8224735 | 4.5E-4 | 0.0049012783 | 0.005455296 | 0.0061514773 | 1.1276157 | 7.0E-4 |
7.3 | 8.866168E-6 | 9.878421E-6 | 1.3987714E-4 | 14.159867 | 1.3E-4 | 3.799731E-5 | 4.233543E-5 | 2.4232696E-4 | 5.7239757 | 2.0E-4 | 4.6251903E-4 | 5.153162E-4 | 8.351513E-4 | 1.620658 | 3.2E-4 | 0.0046155755 | 0.0051416415 | 0.0056291223 | 1.0948102 | 4.9E-4 |
7.4 | 8.771322E-6 | 9.777832E-6 | 1.3977656E-4 | 14.295251 | 1.3E-4 | 3.759084E-5 | 4.1904346E-5 | 2.4189596E-4 | 5.7725744 | 2.0E-4 | 4.5757234E-4 | 5.100702E-4 | 8.1991206E-4 | 1.6074495 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0045663132 | 0.0050894236 | 0.0055570314 | 1.0918784 | 4.7E-4 |
7.5 | 8.668393E-6 | 9.668455E-6 | 1.396672E-4 | 14.445658 | 1.3E-4 | 3.7149726E-5 | 4.1435604E-5 | 2.4142732E-4 | 5.826567 | 2.0E-4 | 4.5220403E-4 | 5.043659E-4 | 8.042146E-4 | 1.5945063 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0045128493 | 0.0050326404 | 0.0054803756 | 1.0889663 | 4.5E-4 |
7.6 | 8.355129E-6 | 9.324462E-6 | 1.2932334E-4 | 13.869255 | 1.2E-4 | 3.5807203E-5 | 3.9961393E-5 | 2.099546E-4 | 5.2539363 | 1.7E-4 | 4.3586548E-4 | 4.8642556E-4 | 7.462991E-4 | 1.5342515 | 2.6E-4 | 0.004350116 | 0.0048540346 | 0.0052222386 | 1.0758553 | 3.7E-4 |
7.7 | 7.5284247E-6 | 8.407142E-6 | 1.1840622E-4 | 14.084003 | 1.1E-4 | 3.226428E-5 | 3.6030135E-5 | 1.9602437E-4 | 5.4405675 | 1.6E-4 | 3.927468E-4 | 4.3858265E-4 | 6.4849056E-4 | 1.4786052 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0039205337 | 0.0043775784 | 0.004676265 | 1.068231 | 3.0E-4 |
7.8 | 3.1694145E-7 | 3.333711E-7 | 3.333711E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3583199E-6 | 1.4287325E-6 | 1.4287325E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6537419E-5 | 1.7394683E-5 | 1.7394683E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6536188E-4 | 1.7393359E-4 | 1.8393186E-4 | 1.0574832 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.8610457E-9 | 1.9363102E-9 | 1.9363102E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.97591E-9 | 8.298473E-9 | 8.298473E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.71067E-8 | 1.01033905E-7 | 1.01033905E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.710666E-7 | 1.0103391E-6 | 1.0103391E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
So Sierra Nevada
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1489244E-5 | 1.10129995E-5 | 0.0016909945 | 153.54532 | 0.00168 | 4.9238686E-5 | 4.7197784E-5 | 0.0023170908 | 49.09321 | 0.00227 | 5.993161E-4 | 5.744934E-4 | 0.004232391 | 7.367171 | 0.00366 | 0.0059770234 | 0.005731262 | 0.010732434 | 1.8726127 | 0.00503 |
6.1 | 1.1489244E-5 | 1.10129995E-5 | 0.0016909945 | 153.54532 | 0.00168 | 4.9238686E-5 | 4.7197784E-5 | 0.0023170908 | 49.09321 | 0.00227 | 5.993161E-4 | 5.744934E-4 | 0.004232391 | 7.367171 | 0.00366 | 0.0059770234 | 0.005731262 | 0.010732434 | 1.8726127 | 0.00503 |
6.2 | 1.1489244E-5 | 1.10129995E-5 | 0.0016909945 | 153.54532 | 0.00168 | 4.9238686E-5 | 4.7197784E-5 | 0.0023170908 | 49.09321 | 0.00227 | 5.993161E-4 | 5.744934E-4 | 0.004232391 | 7.367171 | 0.00366 | 0.0059770234 | 0.005731262 | 0.010732434 | 1.8726127 | 0.00503 |
6.3 | 1.1489244E-5 | 1.10129995E-5 | 0.0016909945 | 153.54532 | 0.00168 | 4.9238686E-5 | 4.7197784E-5 | 0.0023170908 | 49.09321 | 0.00227 | 5.993161E-4 | 5.744934E-4 | 0.004232391 | 7.367171 | 0.00366 | 0.0059770234 | 0.005731262 | 0.010732434 | 1.8726127 | 0.00503 |
6.4 | 1.1489244E-5 | 1.10129995E-5 | 0.0016909945 | 153.54532 | 0.00168 | 4.9238686E-5 | 4.7197784E-5 | 0.0023170908 | 49.09321 | 0.00227 | 5.993161E-4 | 5.744934E-4 | 0.004232391 | 7.367171 | 0.00366 | 0.0059770234 | 0.005731262 | 0.010732434 | 1.8726127 | 0.00503 |
6.5 | 1.1489244E-5 | 1.10129995E-5 | 0.0016909945 | 153.54532 | 0.00168 | 4.9238686E-5 | 4.7197784E-5 | 0.0023170908 | 49.09321 | 0.00227 | 5.993161E-4 | 5.744934E-4 | 0.004232391 | 7.367171 | 0.00366 | 0.0059770234 | 0.005731262 | 0.010732434 | 1.8726127 | 0.00503 |
6.6 | 7.550903E-6 | 6.9009034E-6 | 0.001006894 | 145.90756 | 0.001 | 3.236061E-5 | 2.9574981E-5 | 0.0013795351 | 46.64534 | 0.00135 | 3.939192E-4 | 3.6001863E-4 | 0.0023592985 | 6.553268 | 0.002 | 0.0039322167 | 0.0035946274 | 0.006334742 | 1.7622806 | 0.00275 |
6.7 | 7.550903E-6 | 6.9009034E-6 | 0.001006894 | 145.90756 | 0.001 | 3.236061E-5 | 2.9574981E-5 | 0.0013795351 | 46.64534 | 0.00135 | 3.939192E-4 | 3.6001863E-4 | 0.0023592985 | 6.553268 | 0.002 | 0.0039322167 | 0.0035946274 | 0.006334742 | 1.7622806 | 0.00275 |
6.8 | 5.8534742E-6 | 5.1335314E-6 | 7.0512993E-4 | 137.35767 | 7.0E-4 | 2.5086076E-5 | 2.200067E-5 | 9.7197975E-4 | 44.179554 | 9.5E-4 | 3.0538018E-4 | 2.6782628E-4 | 0.0016774486 | 6.2631965 | 0.00141 | 0.0030496086 | 0.002675141 | 0.0045201923 | 1.6897023 | 0.00185 |
6.9 | 4.9967352E-6 | 4.2431966E-6 | 5.842407E-4 | 137.68881 | 5.8E-4 | 2.1414404E-5 | 1.8185006E-5 | 8.281703E-4 | 45.54138 | 8.1E-4 | 2.6068918E-4 | 2.2138066E-4 | 0.0013911217 | 6.2838445 | 0.00117 | 0.0026038357 | 0.0022116713 | 0.003758243 | 1.6992775 | 0.00155 |
7.0 | 4.489943E-6 | 3.7181933E-6 | 5.0371635E-4 | 135.4734 | 5.0E-4 | 1.924247E-5 | 1.593502E-5 | 7.1592384E-4 | 44.927704 | 7.0E-4 | 2.3425189E-4 | 1.9399222E-4 | 0.0012137943 | 6.2569227 | 0.00102 | 0.002340051 | 0.0019382905 | 0.0032657126 | 1.6848416 | 0.00133 |
7.1 | 3.8780595E-6 | 3.0838341E-6 | 3.630827E-4 | 117.73744 | 3.6E-4 | 1.662015E-5 | 1.3216368E-5 | 5.432094E-4 | 41.10126 | 5.3E-4 | 2.0233153E-4 | 1.6089795E-4 | 9.30774E-4 | 5.784872 | 7.7E-4 | 0.002021474 | 0.0016078686 | 0.0025962768 | 1.6147319 | 9.9E-4 |
7.2 | 3.395662E-6 | 2.588598E-6 | 3.2258776E-4 | 124.61873 | 3.2E-4 | 1.4552756E-5 | 1.1093946E-5 | 4.210894E-4 | 37.956684 | 4.1E-4 | 1.7716539E-4 | 1.3506091E-4 | 7.7497447E-4 | 5.7379627 | 6.4E-4 | 0.0017702422 | 0.0013498365 | 0.002158743 | 1.5992627 | 8.1E-4 |
7.3 | 2.6238572E-6 | 1.8016136E-6 | 2.0180126E-4 | 112.01139 | 2.0E-4 | 1.1245053E-5 | 7.72118E-6 | 2.5771925E-4 | 33.37822 | 2.5E-4 | 1.3689992E-4 | 9.400158E-5 | 4.93964E-4 | 5.2548475 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0013681562 | 9.3964516E-4 | 0.0014092035 | 1.4997188 | 4.7E-4 |
7.4 | 2.231789E-6 | 1.4217829E-6 | 1.0142164E-4 | 71.33412 | 1.0E-4 | 9.564776E-6 | 6.0933426E-6 | 1.5609243E-4 | 25.61688 | 1.5E-4 | 1.1644491E-4 | 7.4184165E-5 | 3.5416338E-4 | 4.7741103 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0011638391 | 7.416178E-4 | 0.0010713731 | 1.4446431 | 3.3E-4 |
7.5 | 1.4668605E-6 | 7.224703E-7 | 8.072241E-5 | 111.73111 | 8.0E-5 | 6.2865297E-6 | 3.0962976E-6 | 1.0309599E-4 | 33.296535 | 1.0E-4 | 7.653581E-5 | 3.7696776E-5 | 1.8769113E-4 | 4.97897 | 1.5E-4 | 7.6509453E-4 | 3.7690424E-4 | 5.5683637E-4 | 1.4773949 | 1.8E-4 |
7.6 | 1.0382483E-6 | 4.6250517E-7 | 2.0462496E-5 | 44.24274 | 2.0E-5 | 4.449628E-6 | 1.9821634E-6 | 2.1982123E-5 | 11.089965 | 2.0E-5 | 5.4172873E-5 | 2.4132576E-5 | 7.413137E-5 | 3.0718381 | 5.0E-5 | 5.415967E-4 | 2.4129981E-4 | 3.212805E-4 | 1.3314577 | 8.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.5865365E-7 | 1.639999E-7 | 1.0163998E-5 | 61.975636 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3942277E-6 | 7.0285654E-7 | 1.0702849E-5 | 15.227645 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9149332E-5 | 8.5572465E-6 | 3.855699E-5 | 4.5057707 | 3.0E-5 | 2.9145507E-4 | 8.556929E-5 | 1.3556502E-4 | 1.5842718 | 5.0E-5 |
Coyote Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.343805E-5 | 3.818995E-5 | 9.2815596E-4 | 24.303669 | 8.9E-4 | 1.4329806E-4 | 1.6366213E-4 | 0.0016934117 | 10.346998 | 0.00153 | 0.0017432576 | 0.0019909716 | 0.004705556 | 2.3634472 | 0.00272 | 0.017296458 | 0.019752184 | 0.023967251 | 1.2133974 | 0.0043 |
6.1 | 3.343805E-5 | 3.818995E-5 | 9.2815596E-4 | 24.303669 | 8.9E-4 | 1.4329806E-4 | 1.6366213E-4 | 0.0016934117 | 10.346998 | 0.00153 | 0.0017432576 | 0.0019909716 | 0.004705556 | 2.3634472 | 0.00272 | 0.017296458 | 0.019752184 | 0.023967251 | 1.2133974 | 0.0043 |
6.2 | 1.8832037E-5 | 2.1413021E-5 | 4.8140317E-4 | 22.481794 | 4.6E-4 | 8.070623E-5 | 9.176735E-5 | 8.916939E-4 | 9.716897 | 8.0E-4 | 9.821554E-4 | 0.0011167814 | 0.0026051174 | 2.3327012 | 0.00149 | 0.009778259 | 0.011120271 | 0.013434249 | 1.2080865 | 0.00234 |
6.3 | 1.8832037E-5 | 2.1413021E-5 | 4.8140317E-4 | 22.481794 | 4.6E-4 | 8.070623E-5 | 9.176735E-5 | 8.916939E-4 | 9.716897 | 8.0E-4 | 9.821554E-4 | 0.0011167814 | 0.0026051174 | 2.3327012 | 0.00149 | 0.009778259 | 0.011120271 | 0.013434249 | 1.2080865 | 0.00234 |
6.4 | 1.6844657E-5 | 1.9139026E-5 | 4.591306E-4 | 23.989235 | 4.4E-4 | 7.218939E-5 | 8.2022285E-5 | 8.3196076E-4 | 10.143106 | 7.5E-4 | 8.785514E-4 | 9.98247E-4 | 0.0023868594 | 2.391051 | 0.00139 | 0.0087508615 | 0.009945833 | 0.012104151 | 1.2170073 | 0.00218 |
6.5 | 1.404799E-5 | 1.5950454E-5 | 4.0594424E-4 | 25.450325 | 3.9E-4 | 6.020428E-5 | 6.835771E-5 | 7.383119E-4 | 10.800712 | 6.7E-4 | 7.3274056E-4 | 8.3201047E-4 | 0.002060987 | 2.4771168 | 0.00123 | 0.007303292 | 0.008296155 | 0.010200227 | 1.2295125 | 0.00192 |
6.6 | 1.0775264E-5 | 1.2236732E-5 | 3.1223305E-4 | 25.51605 | 3.0E-4 | 4.6178888E-5 | 5.2442454E-5 | 5.724152E-4 | 10.915111 | 5.2E-4 | 5.620829E-4 | 6.3836604E-4 | 0.0016377277 | 2.5654993 | 0.001 | 0.005606633 | 0.006371819 | 0.007951688 | 1.2479463 | 0.00159 |
6.7 | 8.79852E-6 | 9.996745E-6 | 2.6999414E-4 | 27.008207 | 2.6E-4 | 3.7707396E-5 | 4.284285E-5 | 5.0282315E-4 | 11.736454 | 4.6E-4 | 4.5899083E-4 | 5.215514E-4 | 0.0014010924 | 2.6863937 | 8.8E-4 | 0.0045804395 | 0.0052096015 | 0.006532673 | 1.2539679 | 0.00133 |
San Andreas (Mojave S)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.9568913E-4 | 6.409074E-4 | 0.002359805 | 3.6819751 | 0.00172 | 0.0012666236 | 0.0027439615 | 0.004888062 | 1.7813888 | 0.00215 | 0.0153124705 | 0.032918587 | 0.03588753 | 1.0901904 | 0.00307 | 0.14299299 | 0.27517727 | 0.27813455 | 1.0107468 | 0.00408 |
6.1 | 2.9568913E-4 | 6.409074E-4 | 0.002359805 | 3.6819751 | 0.00172 | 0.0012666236 | 0.0027439615 | 0.004888062 | 1.7813888 | 0.00215 | 0.0153124705 | 0.032918587 | 0.03588753 | 1.0901904 | 0.00307 | 0.14299299 | 0.27517727 | 0.27813455 | 1.0107468 | 0.00408 |
6.2 | 2.9568913E-4 | 6.409074E-4 | 0.002359805 | 3.6819751 | 0.00172 | 0.0012666236 | 0.0027439615 | 0.004888062 | 1.7813888 | 0.00215 | 0.0153124705 | 0.032918587 | 0.03588753 | 1.0901904 | 0.00307 | 0.14299299 | 0.27517727 | 0.27813455 | 1.0107468 | 0.00408 |
6.3 | 2.9568913E-4 | 6.409074E-4 | 0.002359805 | 3.6819751 | 0.00172 | 0.0012666236 | 0.0027439615 | 0.004888062 | 1.7813888 | 0.00215 | 0.0153124705 | 0.032918587 | 0.03588753 | 1.0901904 | 0.00307 | 0.14299299 | 0.27517727 | 0.27813455 | 1.0107468 | 0.00408 |
6.4 | 1.9673644E-4 | 4.2676064E-4 | 0.0018961333 | 4.443084 | 0.00147 | 8.4288366E-4 | 0.0018277185 | 0.0036443921 | 1.9939569 | 0.00182 | 0.010213916 | 0.022031186 | 0.024593463 | 1.1163024 | 0.00262 | 0.09757019 | 0.19536169 | 0.19821815 | 1.0146214 | 0.00355 |
6.5 | 1.3062257E-4 | 2.8980625E-4 | 0.0016494121 | 5.69143 | 0.00136 | 5.596909E-4 | 0.0012414383 | 0.0028794024 | 2.3194084 | 0.00164 | 0.006792967 | 0.015010574 | 0.01729575 | 1.1522377 | 0.00232 | 0.06589034 | 0.13922091 | 0.14190654 | 1.0192904 | 0.00312 |
6.6 | 1.3062257E-4 | 2.8980625E-4 | 0.0016494121 | 5.69143 | 0.00136 | 5.596909E-4 | 0.0012414383 | 0.0028794024 | 2.3194084 | 0.00164 | 0.006792967 | 0.015010574 | 0.01729575 | 1.1522377 | 0.00232 | 0.06589034 | 0.13922091 | 0.14190654 | 1.0192904 | 0.00312 |
6.7 | 1.10434674E-4 | 2.4763437E-4 | 0.00155731 | 6.288748 | 0.00131 | 4.732056E-4 | 0.0010608591 | 0.0026291935 | 2.4783628 | 0.00157 | 0.00574607 | 0.012839784 | 0.015051023 | 1.1722177 | 0.00224 | 0.055997457 | 0.12120326 | 0.12384844 | 1.0218244 | 0.00301 |
6.8 | 1.08604E-4 | 2.4264285E-4 | 0.001552325 | 6.3975716 | 0.00131 | 4.6536268E-4 | 0.001039484 | 0.002607852 | 2.5087948 | 0.00157 | 0.0056510814 | 0.012582568 | 0.014784509 | 1.1749994 | 0.00223 | 0.055095196 | 0.1190714 | 0.12171419 | 1.022195 | 0.003 |
6.9 | 1.0624965E-4 | 2.3626332E-4 | 0.0015259585 | 6.4587197 | 0.00129 | 4.552762E-4 | 0.0010121646 | 0.0025605957 | 2.5298214 | 0.00155 | 0.0055289087 | 0.012253738 | 0.014436658 | 1.1781431 | 0.00221 | 0.053933576 | 0.11632825 | 0.118970424 | 1.0227132 | 0.00299 |
7.0 | 1.0382748E-4 | 2.2990852E-4 | 0.0015196119 | 6.6096373 | 0.00129 | 4.4489902E-4 | 9.849506E-4 | 0.002533424 | 2.572133 | 0.00155 | 0.0054032006 | 0.011926076 | 0.01410972 | 1.1830982 | 0.00221 | 0.052737 | 0.11357155 | 0.116221964 | 1.023337 | 0.00299 |
7.1 | 1.0108296E-4 | 2.2272546E-4 | 0.0015124382 | 6.7905936 | 0.00129 | 4.3314075E-4 | 9.541889E-4 | 0.0025027099 | 2.6228664 | 0.00155 | 0.0052607446 | 0.0115555795 | 0.013740042 | 1.1890396 | 0.00221 | 0.051379364 | 0.110430025 | 0.11306316 | 1.0238444 | 0.00296 |
7.2 | 9.842224E-5 | 2.1584443E-4 | 0.001505566 | 6.9752364 | 0.00129 | 4.2174142E-4 | 9.2471996E-4 | 0.0024732866 | 2.674633 | 0.00155 | 0.005122619 | 0.01120054 | 0.013375898 | 1.1942191 | 0.0022 | 0.050061326 | 0.10739508 | 0.110010415 | 1.0243524 | 0.00293 |
7.3 | 9.2784096E-5 | 1.9701266E-4 | 0.0014767605 | 7.4957643 | 0.00128 | 3.975855E-4 | 8.4406685E-4 | 0.002382767 | 2.82296 | 0.00154 | 0.0048298645 | 0.010228209 | 0.012385911 | 1.2109561 | 0.00218 | 0.04726231 | 0.09907304 | 0.101685725 | 1.0263714 | 0.0029 |
7.4 | 9.042319E-5 | 1.8942873E-4 | 0.0014691863 | 7.755879 | 0.00128 | 3.8747038E-4 | 8.1158493E-4 | 0.002350335 | 2.8959818 | 0.00154 | 0.004707252 | 0.009836381 | 0.011994937 | 1.2194462 | 0.00218 | 0.046087816 | 0.0956776 | 0.09829109 | 1.0273156 | 0.00289 |
7.5 | 8.770072E-5 | 1.8089237E-4 | 0.0014606608 | 8.074751 | 0.00128 | 3.7580606E-4 | 7.750227E-4 | 0.0023138293 | 2.9854984 | 0.00154 | 0.0045658434 | 0.009395163 | 0.011554682 | 1.2298543 | 0.00218 | 0.044731654 | 0.09179817 | 0.09442287 | 1.0285921 | 0.00289 |
7.6 | 8.5641805E-5 | 1.7538216E-4 | 0.0014551576 | 8.297068 | 0.00128 | 3.669847E-4 | 7.514213E-4 | 0.0022802716 | 3.0346112 | 0.00153 | 0.004458888 | 0.009110255 | 0.011250577 | 1.2349354 | 0.00216 | 0.04370476 | 0.08923604 | 0.09184083 | 1.0291898 | 0.00286 |
7.7 | 8.377801E-5 | 1.7092467E-4 | 0.0014507059 | 8.487399 | 0.00128 | 3.5899918E-4 | 7.3232874E-4 | 0.0022612084 | 3.0876956 | 0.00153 | 0.0043620584 | 0.008879722 | 0.011020542 | 1.2410909 | 0.00216 | 0.042774227 | 0.08713613 | 0.08973779 | 1.0298574 | 0.00285 |
7.8 | 7.481354E-5 | 1.5213531E-4 | 0.0012019756 | 7.9007006 | 0.00105 | 3.2059004E-4 | 6.518456E-4 | 0.0019110243 | 2.931713 | 0.00126 | 0.0038961996 | 0.00790739 | 0.009663394 | 1.2220713 | 0.00177 | 0.03828593 | 0.07800318 | 0.08016988 | 1.027777 | 0.00235 |
7.9 | 5.2235562E-5 | 9.89947E-5 | 8.0892444E-4 | 8.171391 | 7.1E-4 | 2.2384748E-4 | 4.2419403E-4 | 0.0012338505 | 2.9086936 | 8.1E-4 | 0.002721937 | 0.0051523433 | 0.00621683 | 1.2066025 | 0.00107 | 0.026888376 | 0.051659342 | 0.05298702 | 1.0257006 | 0.0014 |
8.0 | 3.356928E-5 | 5.4086806E-5 | 3.8406896E-4 | 7.100973 | 3.3E-4 | 1.4386041E-4 | 2.3178001E-4 | 6.016942E-4 | 2.5959713 | 3.7E-4 | 0.0017500932 | 0.0028182718 | 0.003286947 | 1.1662989 | 4.7E-4 | 0.017363746 | 0.02879762 | 0.029380342 | 1.0202351 | 6.0E-4 |
8.1 | 1.8491019E-5 | 1.8907018E-5 | 2.890683E-5 | 1.5288941 | 1.0E-5 | 7.924481E-5 | 8.102757E-5 | 9.1026755E-5 | 1.1234047 | 1.0E-5 | 9.6437853E-4 | 9.860647E-4 | 0.0010260253 | 1.0405253 | 4.0E-5 | 0.009602042 | 0.010580359 | 0.010669407 | 1.0084163 | 9.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.450673E-6 | 5.44769E-6 | 5.44769E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6216665E-5 | 2.3347035E-5 | 2.3347035E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4084867E-4 | 2.8421314E-4 | 2.8421314E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0043997513 | 0.003229761 | 0.0032397287 | 1.0030862 | 1.0E-5 |
8.3 | 2.0399948E-6 | 7.9482766E-7 | 7.9482766E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.742806E-6 | 3.4063999E-6 | 3.4063999E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0643846E-4 | 4.1472143E-5 | 4.1472143E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010638749 | 4.865E-4 | 4.865E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Nelson Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.0512636E-5 | 1.08296E-5 | 6.6082255E-4 | 61.020035 | 6.5E-4 | 4.5053377E-5 | 4.6411806E-5 | 0.0011063626 | 23.837955 | 0.00106 | 5.4838683E-4 | 5.6492846E-4 | 0.0027836743 | 4.927481 | 0.00222 | 0.005470355 | 0.0056360406 | 0.009504116 | 1.6863109 | 0.00389 |
6.1 | 1.0512636E-5 | 1.08296E-5 | 6.6082255E-4 | 61.020035 | 6.5E-4 | 4.5053377E-5 | 4.6411806E-5 | 0.0011063626 | 23.837955 | 0.00106 | 5.4838683E-4 | 5.6492846E-4 | 0.0027836743 | 4.927481 | 0.00222 | 0.005470355 | 0.0056360406 | 0.009504116 | 1.6863109 | 0.00389 |
6.2 | 5.0821072E-6 | 5.2432174E-6 | 2.752418E-4 | 52.49483 | 2.7E-4 | 2.1780277E-5 | 2.2470746E-5 | 5.124597E-4 | 22.80564 | 4.9E-4 | 2.6514262E-4 | 2.735485E-4 | 0.0013832449 | 5.056671 | 0.00111 | 0.0026482649 | 0.0027322697 | 0.004647024 | 1.7007924 | 0.00192 |
6.3 | 5.0821072E-6 | 5.2432174E-6 | 2.752418E-4 | 52.49483 | 2.7E-4 | 2.1780277E-5 | 2.2470746E-5 | 5.124597E-4 | 22.80564 | 4.9E-4 | 2.6514262E-4 | 2.735485E-4 | 0.0013832449 | 5.056671 | 0.00111 | 0.0026482649 | 0.0027322697 | 0.004647024 | 1.7007924 | 0.00192 |
6.4 | 3.833157E-6 | 3.960016E-6 | 1.5395942E-4 | 38.878487 | 1.5E-4 | 1.642771E-5 | 1.6971391E-5 | 3.2696614E-4 | 19.265722 | 3.1E-4 | 1.9998902E-4 | 2.066081E-4 | 0.0010164408 | 4.919656 | 8.1E-4 | 0.0019980913 | 0.0020642604 | 0.003421453 | 1.6574717 | 0.00136 |
6.5 | 3.179793E-6 | 3.2883174E-6 | 1.2328793E-4 | 37.492706 | 1.2E-4 | 1.3627614E-5 | 1.4092718E-5 | 2.8408892E-4 | 20.158562 | 2.7E-4 | 1.6590356E-4 | 1.7156621E-4 | 8.714461E-4 | 5.0793576 | 7.0E-4 | 0.0016577976 | 0.0017144248 | 0.0028524704 | 1.6638061 | 0.00114 |
6.6 | 2.484688E-6 | 2.57368E-6 | 9.257345E-5 | 35.969296 | 9.0E-5 | 1.0648619E-5 | 1.1030014E-5 | 2.1102781E-4 | 19.132143 | 2.0E-4 | 1.2963923E-4 | 1.3428286E-4 | 6.942077E-4 | 5.169741 | 5.6E-4 | 0.0012956362 | 0.0013420876 | 0.0022708396 | 1.6920203 | 9.3E-4 |
6.7 | 2.055855E-6 | 2.1326855E-6 | 6.213256E-5 | 29.133484 | 6.0E-5 | 8.810777E-6 | 9.1400525E-6 | 1.3913887E-4 | 15.222983 | 1.3E-4 | 1.07265936E-4 | 1.11275105E-4 | 5.712239E-4 | 5.1334386 | 4.6E-4 | 0.0010721417 | 0.0011122581 | 0.0018913904 | 1.7004961 | 7.8E-4 |
6.8 | 1.5654894E-6 | 1.6273096E-6 | 4.1627245E-5 | 25.580408 | 4.0E-5 | 6.709223E-6 | 6.9741686E-6 | 1.0697347E-4 | 15.338527 | 1.0E-4 | 8.168173E-5 | 8.4907755E-5 | 4.5487634E-4 | 5.3573003 | 3.7E-4 | 8.165171E-4 | 8.48808E-4 | 0.0014482987 | 1.7062737 | 6.0E-4 |
6.9 | 6.607022E-7 | 6.909737E-7 | 1.06909665E-5 | 15.472321 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8315776E-6 | 2.9613143E-6 | 3.2961227E-5 | 11.130607 | 3.0E-5 | 3.4473913E-5 | 3.605371E-5 | 1.360501E-4 | 3.7735398 | 1.0E-4 | 3.4468566E-4 | 3.6050825E-4 | 5.704326E-4 | 1.5823009 | 2.1E-4 |
San Andreas (Mojave N)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.8453354E-5 | 1.906397E-4 | 0.0018903156 | 9.915646 | 0.0017 | 4.218747E-4 | 8.167716E-4 | 0.0029050645 | 3.5567648 | 0.00209 | 0.005124234 | 0.009898968 | 0.012839569 | 1.2970613 | 0.00297 | 0.050076745 | 0.096864216 | 0.10036838 | 1.0361761 | 0.00388 |
6.1 | 9.8453354E-5 | 1.906397E-4 | 0.0018903156 | 9.915646 | 0.0017 | 4.218747E-4 | 8.167716E-4 | 0.0029050645 | 3.5567648 | 0.00209 | 0.005124234 | 0.009898968 | 0.012839569 | 1.2970613 | 0.00297 | 0.050076745 | 0.096864216 | 0.10036838 | 1.0361761 | 0.00388 |
6.2 | 9.8453354E-5 | 1.906397E-4 | 0.0018903156 | 9.915646 | 0.0017 | 4.218747E-4 | 8.167716E-4 | 0.0029050645 | 3.5567648 | 0.00209 | 0.005124234 | 0.009898968 | 0.012839569 | 1.2970613 | 0.00297 | 0.050076745 | 0.096864216 | 0.10036838 | 1.0361761 | 0.00388 |
6.3 | 9.8453354E-5 | 1.906397E-4 | 0.0018903156 | 9.915646 | 0.0017 | 4.218747E-4 | 8.167716E-4 | 0.0029050645 | 3.5567648 | 0.00209 | 0.005124234 | 0.009898968 | 0.012839569 | 1.2970613 | 0.00297 | 0.050076745 | 0.096864216 | 0.10036838 | 1.0361761 | 0.00388 |
6.4 | 9.8453354E-5 | 1.906397E-4 | 0.0018903156 | 9.915646 | 0.0017 | 4.218747E-4 | 8.167716E-4 | 0.0029050645 | 3.5567648 | 0.00209 | 0.005124234 | 0.009898968 | 0.012839569 | 1.2970613 | 0.00297 | 0.050076745 | 0.096864216 | 0.10036838 | 1.0361761 | 0.00388 |
6.5 | 9.828623E-5 | 1.9036792E-4 | 0.0018900443 | 9.928376 | 0.0017 | 4.211587E-4 | 8.156076E-4 | 0.002903903 | 3.560417 | 0.00209 | 0.005115558 | 0.009884926 | 0.012825567 | 1.2974875 | 0.00297 | 0.0499939 | 0.09673801 | 0.10024267 | 1.0362283 | 0.00388 |
6.6 | 9.828623E-5 | 1.9036792E-4 | 0.0018900443 | 9.928376 | 0.0017 | 4.211587E-4 | 8.156076E-4 | 0.002903903 | 3.560417 | 0.00209 | 0.005115558 | 0.009884926 | 0.012825567 | 1.2974875 | 0.00297 | 0.0499939 | 0.09673801 | 0.10024267 | 1.0362283 | 0.00388 |
6.7 | 9.822385E-5 | 1.9026657E-4 | 0.0018899431 | 9.933132 | 0.0017 | 4.2089142E-4 | 8.151735E-4 | 0.0029034698 | 3.5617814 | 0.00209 | 0.0051123193 | 0.009879689 | 0.012810444 | 1.2966446 | 0.00296 | 0.04996297 | 0.096690595 | 0.10018641 | 1.0361546 | 0.00387 |
6.8 | 9.8135715E-5 | 1.9011773E-4 | 0.0018897945 | 9.940127 | 0.0017 | 4.2051385E-4 | 8.14536E-4 | 0.0029028337 | 3.563788 | 0.00209 | 0.0051077437 | 0.009871998 | 0.012792875 | 1.2958751 | 0.00295 | 0.049919277 | 0.09662026 | 0.10010731 | 1.0360903 | 0.00386 |
6.9 | 9.79354E-5 | 1.898106E-4 | 0.001889488 | 9.9545965 | 0.0017 | 4.1965564E-4 | 8.1322057E-4 | 0.002901521 | 3.5679386 | 0.00209 | 0.005097344 | 0.009856127 | 0.012777051 | 1.2963562 | 0.00295 | 0.04981996 | 0.09647484 | 0.09996244 | 1.0361505 | 0.00386 |
7.0 | 9.7523975E-5 | 1.8917865E-4 | 0.001888857 | 9.984515 | 0.0017 | 4.1789294E-4 | 8.1051385E-4 | 0.00289882 | 3.576521 | 0.00209 | 0.0050759832 | 0.00982347 | 0.012744491 | 1.2973512 | 0.00295 | 0.04961594 | 0.09617616 | 0.09966493 | 1.0362747 | 0.00386 |
7.1 | 9.6790536E-5 | 1.881388E-4 | 0.0018878189 | 10.034182 | 0.0017 | 4.1475063E-4 | 8.0606015E-4 | 0.0028943755 | 3.5907686 | 0.00209 | 0.0050379033 | 0.009769734 | 0.012690913 | 1.299003 | 0.00295 | 0.049252123 | 0.095684886 | 0.09917554 | 1.0364808 | 0.00386 |
7.2 | 9.625548E-5 | 1.8736588E-4 | 0.0018870473 | 10.071457 | 0.0017 | 4.1245823E-4 | 8.0274965E-4 | 0.00288108 | 3.589014 | 0.00208 | 0.005010122 | 0.00972979 | 0.012641184 | 1.2992249 | 0.00294 | 0.04898662 | 0.09531927 | 0.09880229 | 1.0365406 | 0.00385 |
7.3 | 9.586802E-5 | 1.8686191E-4 | 0.0018865443 | 10.095927 | 0.0017 | 4.1079824E-4 | 8.0059114E-4 | 0.002878926 | 3.5960002 | 0.00208 | 0.0049900045 | 0.009703744 | 0.012615215 | 1.3000358 | 0.00294 | 0.048794318 | 0.09507846 | 0.09856241 | 1.0366429 | 0.00385 |
7.4 | 9.555528E-5 | 1.8634835E-4 | 0.0018860316 | 10.121 | 0.0017 | 4.0945833E-4 | 7.9839147E-4 | 0.0028767309 | 3.6031582 | 0.00208 | 0.004973766 | 0.0096772015 | 0.012588751 | 1.3008668 | 0.00294 | 0.04863907 | 0.09483644 | 0.098321326 | 1.0367463 | 0.00385 |
7.5 | 9.5249416E-5 | 1.8581866E-4 | 0.0018855027 | 10.147005 | 0.0017 | 4.081479E-4 | 7.9612277E-4 | 0.0028744668 | 3.6105824 | 0.00208 | 0.004957884 | 0.009649824 | 0.012561454 | 1.3017287 | 0.00294 | 0.04848721 | 0.09458674 | 0.09807258 | 1.0368534 | 0.00385 |
7.6 | 9.37891E-5 | 1.8233825E-4 | 0.0018720301 | 10.266799 | 0.00169 | 4.0189136E-4 | 7.812157E-4 | 0.0028396065 | 3.6348557 | 0.00206 | 0.004882055 | 0.009469923 | 0.012362271 | 1.3054247 | 0.00292 | 0.04776184 | 0.0929634 | 0.09644642 | 1.0374665 | 0.00384 |
7.7 | 8.263789E-5 | 1.5941603E-4 | 0.0016491784 | 10.345123 | 0.00149 | 3.5411428E-4 | 6.830327E-4 | 0.0024917964 | 3.6481364 | 0.00181 | 0.004302821 | 0.008284271 | 0.010842897 | 1.3088536 | 0.00258 | 0.04220456 | 0.08197026 | 0.08510075 | 1.0381905 | 0.00341 |
7.8 | 7.278568E-5 | 1.4350623E-4 | 0.0011933555 | 8.315706 | 0.00105 | 3.1190136E-4 | 6.1488175E-4 | 0.0018841008 | 3.0641677 | 0.00127 | 0.0037907881 | 0.0074605285 | 0.009227249 | 1.236809 | 0.00178 | 0.037267722 | 0.07398689 | 0.076181546 | 1.0296627 | 0.00237 |
7.9 | 5.3563504E-5 | 9.940815E-5 | 8.093376E-4 | 8.1415615 | 7.1E-4 | 2.2953768E-4 | 4.2596538E-4 | 0.0012356204 | 2.900753 | 8.1E-4 | 0.0027910399 | 0.005173807 | 0.006238271 | 1.2057409 | 0.00107 | 0.027562449 | 0.05190068 | 0.053228017 | 1.0255746 | 0.0014 |
8.0 | 3.4476874E-5 | 5.428288E-5 | 3.8426497E-4 | 7.078935 | 3.3E-4 | 1.4774967E-4 | 2.3262018E-4 | 6.025341E-4 | 2.5902057 | 3.7E-4 | 0.0017973679 | 0.0028284742 | 0.0032971448 | 1.1656973 | 4.7E-4 | 0.017829001 | 0.028919088 | 0.029501736 | 1.0201476 | 6.0E-4 |
8.1 | 1.8952158E-5 | 1.899995E-5 | 2.899976E-5 | 1.5263071 | 1.0E-5 | 8.1221006E-5 | 8.1425824E-5 | 9.1425005E-5 | 1.1228012 | 1.0E-5 | 9.884171E-4 | 9.909091E-4 | 0.0010308694 | 1.040327 | 4.0E-5 | 0.009840323 | 0.010638654 | 0.010727697 | 1.0083697 | 9.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.539297E-6 | 5.459738E-6 | 5.459738E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6596473E-5 | 2.3398668E-5 | 2.3398668E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4547097E-4 | 2.848416E-4 | 2.848416E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044457903 | 0.0032364808 | 0.0032464485 | 1.0030798 | 1.0E-5 |
8.3 | 2.0399948E-6 | 7.9482766E-7 | 7.9482766E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.742806E-6 | 3.4063999E-6 | 3.4063999E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0643846E-4 | 4.1472143E-5 | 4.1472143E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010638749 | 4.865E-4 | 4.865E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Lenwood-Lockhart-Old Woman Springs
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.6352707E-5 | 4.264737E-5 | 0.0011326009 | 26.557343 | 0.00109 | 1.5578802E-4 | 1.8276251E-4 | 0.0016724902 | 9.151167 | 0.00149 | 0.0018950689 | 0.0022230153 | 0.0045578135 | 2.0502844 | 0.00234 | 0.018789895 | 0.022023782 | 0.02530978 | 1.1492023 | 0.00336 |
6.1 | 3.6352707E-5 | 4.264737E-5 | 0.0011326009 | 26.557343 | 0.00109 | 1.5578802E-4 | 1.8276251E-4 | 0.0016724902 | 9.151167 | 0.00149 | 0.0018950689 | 0.0022230153 | 0.0045578135 | 2.0502844 | 0.00234 | 0.018789895 | 0.022023782 | 0.02530978 | 1.1492023 | 0.00336 |
6.2 | 3.6352707E-5 | 4.264737E-5 | 0.0011326009 | 26.557343 | 0.00109 | 1.5578802E-4 | 1.8276251E-4 | 0.0016724902 | 9.151167 | 0.00149 | 0.0018950689 | 0.0022230153 | 0.0045578135 | 2.0502844 | 0.00234 | 0.018789895 | 0.022023782 | 0.02530978 | 1.1492023 | 0.00336 |
6.3 | 2.1449865E-5 | 2.5768435E-5 | 4.5575734E-4 | 17.686653 | 4.3E-4 | 9.1924754E-5 | 1.1043159E-4 | 7.603598E-4 | 6.885347 | 6.5E-4 | 0.0011186092 | 0.0013436959 | 0.0022924193 | 1.7060552 | 9.5E-4 | 0.011129951 | 0.013357997 | 0.014778761 | 1.1063606 | 0.00144 |
6.4 | 2.1449865E-5 | 2.5768435E-5 | 4.5575734E-4 | 17.686653 | 4.3E-4 | 9.1924754E-5 | 1.1043159E-4 | 7.603598E-4 | 6.885347 | 6.5E-4 | 0.0011186092 | 0.0013436959 | 0.0022924193 | 1.7060552 | 9.5E-4 | 0.011129951 | 0.013357997 | 0.014778761 | 1.1063606 | 0.00144 |
6.5 | 1.7787735E-5 | 2.1101738E-5 | 3.4109497E-4 | 16.164309 | 3.2E-4 | 7.623093E-5 | 9.043296E-5 | 6.003868E-4 | 6.639027 | 5.1E-4 | 9.277163E-4 | 0.0011004774 | 0.001889608 | 1.7170802 | 7.9E-4 | 0.009238529 | 0.010951632 | 0.0121286 | 1.1074696 | 0.00119 |
6.6 | 1.5416557E-5 | 1.7886696E-5 | 3.1788132E-4 | 17.771944 | 3.0E-4 | 6.606929E-5 | 7.665506E-5 | 5.1662134E-4 | 6.7395597 | 4.4E-4 | 8.040967E-4 | 9.3288353E-4 | 0.0015922678 | 1.7068238 | 6.6E-4 | 0.008011933 | 0.009290534 | 0.010301058 | 1.1087692 | 0.00102 |
6.7 | 1.3449048E-5 | 1.5365518E-5 | 2.3536214E-4 | 15.317553 | 2.2E-4 | 5.7637506E-5 | 6.5850596E-5 | 4.1582756E-4 | 6.314712 | 3.5E-4 | 7.0151064E-4 | 8.0144167E-4 | 0.0013609929 | 1.6981808 | 5.6E-4 | 0.0069930027 | 0.007986124 | 0.008809495 | 1.1031003 | 8.3E-4 |
6.8 | 1.1583297E-5 | 1.3063714E-5 | 2.0306124E-4 | 15.543913 | 1.9E-4 | 4.964176E-5 | 5.5986166E-5 | 3.4596992E-4 | 6.179561 | 2.9E-4 | 6.042208E-4 | 6.8142236E-4 | 0.0011311157 | 1.6599334 | 4.5E-4 | 0.0060258056 | 0.0067937532 | 0.0074492693 | 1.0964881 | 6.6E-4 |
6.9 | 1.02897475E-5 | 1.1522258E-5 | 1.7152041E-4 | 14.886007 | 1.6E-4 | 4.409817E-5 | 4.938019E-5 | 2.9936785E-4 | 6.062509 | 2.5E-4 | 5.36763E-4 | 6.0104125E-4 | 9.908068E-4 | 1.6484839 | 3.9E-4 | 0.0053546834 | 0.0059945057 | 0.006541209 | 1.0912007 | 5.5E-4 |
7.0 | 8.090317E-6 | 8.94717E-6 | 1.2894609E-4 | 14.4119425 | 1.2E-4 | 3.4672325E-5 | 3.834446E-5 | 2.1833756E-4 | 5.6941094 | 1.8E-4 | 4.220538E-4 | 4.6674587E-4 | 7.466152E-4 | 1.5996182 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0042125313 | 0.00465787 | 0.0050659603 | 1.0876131 | 4.1E-4 |
7.1 | 6.748474E-6 | 7.4357285E-6 | 9.743506E-5 | 13.103633 | 9.0E-5 | 2.892171E-5 | 3.1867028E-5 | 1.6186289E-4 | 5.0793214 | 1.3E-4 | 3.5206493E-4 | 3.879138E-4 | 5.878362E-4 | 1.5153785 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0035150768 | 0.0038725496 | 0.0041713878 | 1.0771683 | 3.0E-4 |
7.2 | 5.541492E-6 | 6.0961743E-6 | 8.6095686E-5 | 14.122904 | 8.0E-5 | 2.3749035E-5 | 2.612621E-5 | 1.4612307E-4 | 5.592969 | 1.2E-4 | 2.8910613E-4 | 3.180418E-4 | 4.979845E-4 | 1.5657834 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0028873032 | 0.0031760288 | 0.003435203 | 1.0816033 | 2.6E-4 |
7.3 | 3.984858E-6 | 4.393004E-6 | 4.439283E-5 | 10.105347 | 4.0E-5 | 1.7077851E-5 | 1.8827033E-5 | 8.882571E-5 | 4.717988 | 7.0E-5 | 2.07903E-4 | 2.2919646E-4 | 3.3917127E-4 | 1.4798276 | 1.1E-4 | 0.002077086 | 0.0022897446 | 0.002439401 | 1.0653595 | 1.5E-4 |
7.4 | 2.279998E-6 | 2.5420932E-6 | 3.254202E-5 | 12.801269 | 3.0E-5 | 9.771384E-6 | 1.0894647E-5 | 6.08941E-5 | 5.5893598 | 5.0E-5 | 1.189601E-4 | 1.3263553E-4 | 2.0262624E-4 | 1.5276921 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0011889644 | 0.0013256889 | 0.0014155696 | 1.0677992 | 9.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.0593385E-8 | 4.2357865E-8 | 4.2357865E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7397163E-7 | 1.8153371E-7 | 1.8153371E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1181027E-6 | 2.210171E-6 | 2.210171E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1180824E-5 | 2.2101538E-5 | 2.2101538E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Towne Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.862778E-6 | 3.9056677E-6 | 6.83903E-4 | 175.10529 | 6.8E-4 | 1.6554659E-5 | 1.6738491E-5 | 0.0011567194 | 69.105354 | 0.00114 | 2.0153433E-4 | 2.0377639E-4 | 0.0022633567 | 11.10706 | 0.00206 | 0.0020135166 | 0.0020363177 | 0.005349557 | 2.627074 | 0.00332 |
6.1 | 3.862778E-6 | 3.9056677E-6 | 6.83903E-4 | 175.10529 | 6.8E-4 | 1.6554659E-5 | 1.6738491E-5 | 0.0011567194 | 69.105354 | 0.00114 | 2.0153433E-4 | 2.0377639E-4 | 0.0022633567 | 11.10706 | 0.00206 | 0.0020135166 | 0.0020363177 | 0.005349557 | 2.627074 | 0.00332 |
6.2 | 3.862778E-6 | 3.9056677E-6 | 6.83903E-4 | 175.10529 | 6.8E-4 | 1.6554659E-5 | 1.6738491E-5 | 0.0011567194 | 69.105354 | 0.00114 | 2.0153433E-4 | 2.0377639E-4 | 0.0022633567 | 11.10706 | 0.00206 | 0.0020135166 | 0.0020363177 | 0.005349557 | 2.627074 | 0.00332 |
6.3 | 3.862778E-6 | 3.9056677E-6 | 6.83903E-4 | 175.10529 | 6.8E-4 | 1.6554659E-5 | 1.6738491E-5 | 0.0011567194 | 69.105354 | 0.00114 | 2.0153433E-4 | 2.0377639E-4 | 0.0022633567 | 11.10706 | 0.00206 | 0.0020135166 | 0.0020363177 | 0.005349557 | 2.627074 | 0.00332 |
6.4 | 3.862778E-6 | 3.9056677E-6 | 6.83903E-4 | 175.10529 | 6.8E-4 | 1.6554659E-5 | 1.6738491E-5 | 0.0011567194 | 69.105354 | 0.00114 | 2.0153433E-4 | 2.0377639E-4 | 0.0022633567 | 11.10706 | 0.00206 | 0.0020135166 | 0.0020363177 | 0.005349557 | 2.627074 | 0.00332 |
6.5 | 1.2310948E-6 | 1.2374169E-6 | 1.4123724E-4 | 114.13878 | 1.4E-4 | 5.2761097E-6 | 5.303205E-6 | 2.0530215E-4 | 38.712845 | 2.0E-4 | 6.4234744E-5 | 6.4564745E-5 | 4.3454085E-4 | 6.730312 | 3.7E-4 | 6.4216176E-4 | 6.4547313E-4 | 0.0011351568 | 1.758643 | 4.9E-4 |
6.6 | 1.2310948E-6 | 1.2374169E-6 | 1.4123724E-4 | 114.13878 | 1.4E-4 | 5.2761097E-6 | 5.303205E-6 | 2.0530215E-4 | 38.712845 | 2.0E-4 | 6.4234744E-5 | 6.4564745E-5 | 4.3454085E-4 | 6.730312 | 3.7E-4 | 6.4216176E-4 | 6.4547313E-4 | 0.0011351568 | 1.758643 | 4.9E-4 |
6.7 | 8.2608625E-7 | 8.276536E-7 | 9.0827576E-5 | 109.74105 | 9.0E-5 | 3.5403648E-6 | 3.5470823E-6 | 1.5354656E-4 | 43.288128 | 1.5E-4 | 4.310309E-5 | 4.3184926E-5 | 3.031737E-4 | 7.0203595 | 2.6E-4 | 4.3094732E-4 | 4.317706E-4 | 7.9161517E-4 | 1.8334161 | 3.6E-4 |
6.8 | 6.134157E-7 | 6.12511E-7 | 7.061247E-5 | 115.2836 | 7.0E-5 | 2.6289217E-6 | 2.6250445E-6 | 1.2262473E-4 | 46.71339 | 1.2E-4 | 3.200665E-5 | 3.195948E-5 | 2.219534E-4 | 6.9448376 | 1.9E-4 | 3.2002042E-4 | 3.19552E-4 | 5.6947215E-4 | 1.7820953 | 2.5E-4 |
6.9 | 4.983149E-7 | 4.9601624E-7 | 4.0495997E-5 | 81.64248 | 4.0E-5 | 2.1356334E-6 | 2.1257822E-6 | 8.212561E-5 | 38.633125 | 8.0E-5 | 2.6001027E-5 | 2.5881118E-5 | 1.5587776E-4 | 6.0228367 | 1.3E-4 | 2.5997986E-4 | 2.587836E-4 | 4.3873704E-4 | 1.6953819 | 1.8E-4 |
7.0 | 3.3563703E-7 | 3.310331E-7 | 3.310331E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4384436E-6 | 1.4187125E-6 | 2.1418684E-5 | 15.097268 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7512912E-5 | 1.7272694E-5 | 6.727183E-5 | 3.8946922 | 5.0E-5 | 1.751153E-4 | 1.7271416E-4 | 2.3270381E-4 | 1.3473347 | 6.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.8550565E-7 | 2.7970458E-7 | 2.7970458E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2235951E-6 | 1.1987333E-6 | 2.119871E-5 | 17.684258 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4897168E-5 | 1.4594487E-5 | 6.4593754E-5 | 4.4259014 | 5.0E-5 | 1.4896168E-4 | 1.4593585E-4 | 2.0592709E-4 | 1.4110795 | 6.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.1828546E-7 | 2.109984E-7 | 2.109984E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.355088E-7 | 9.042785E-7 | 2.0904261E-5 | 23.11706 | 2.0E-5 | 1.138976E-5 | 1.100954E-5 | 6.100899E-5 | 5.5414658 | 5.0E-5 | 1.13891765E-4 | 1.1009036E-4 | 1.7008376E-4 | 1.5449468 | 6.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.2241175E-7 | 1.168909E-7 | 1.168909E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2462167E-7 | 5.0096094E-7 | 1.0500956E-5 | 20.961626 | 1.0E-5 | 6.38725E-6 | 6.0991842E-6 | 4.609894E-5 | 7.5582137 | 4.0E-5 | 6.387066E-5 | 6.0990387E-5 | 1.1098734E-4 | 1.8197513 | 5.0E-5 |
Bicycle Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9566081E-5 | 2.2013346E-5 | 4.8200323E-4 | 21.895954 | 4.6E-4 | 8.385194E-5 | 9.43402E-5 | 8.542685E-4 | 9.055191 | 7.6E-4 | 0.0010204192 | 0.0011481101 | 0.0024665946 | 2.1483955 | 0.00132 | 0.010157462 | 0.011433977 | 0.013678022 | 1.196261 | 0.00227 |
6.1 | 1.9566081E-5 | 2.2013346E-5 | 4.8200323E-4 | 21.895954 | 4.6E-4 | 8.385194E-5 | 9.43402E-5 | 8.542685E-4 | 9.055191 | 7.6E-4 | 0.0010204192 | 0.0011481101 | 0.0024665946 | 2.1483955 | 0.00132 | 0.010157462 | 0.011433977 | 0.013678022 | 1.196261 | 0.00227 |
6.2 | 1.0538504E-5 | 1.1846149E-5 | 2.9184282E-4 | 24.636093 | 2.8E-4 | 4.5164237E-5 | 5.0768496E-5 | 4.9074617E-4 | 9.666352 | 4.4E-4 | 5.4973585E-4 | 6.1797997E-4 | 0.0014274794 | 2.309912 | 8.1E-4 | 0.0054837787 | 0.006167412 | 0.007509086 | 1.2175425 | 0.00135 |
6.3 | 9.607672E-6 | 1.0801025E-5 | 2.6079832E-4 | 24.1457 | 2.5E-4 | 4.1175088E-5 | 4.6289555E-5 | 4.362715E-4 | 9.424836 | 3.9E-4 | 5.0119136E-4 | 5.6347763E-4 | 0.0013230494 | 2.348007 | 7.6E-4 | 0.005000625 | 0.0056252005 | 0.0068383375 | 1.2156612 | 0.00122 |
6.4 | 9.607672E-6 | 1.0801025E-5 | 2.6079832E-4 | 24.1457 | 2.5E-4 | 4.1175088E-5 | 4.6289555E-5 | 4.362715E-4 | 9.424836 | 3.9E-4 | 5.0119136E-4 | 5.6347763E-4 | 0.0013230494 | 2.348007 | 7.6E-4 | 0.005000625 | 0.0056252005 | 0.0068383375 | 1.2156612 | 0.00122 |
6.5 | 5.57507E-6 | 6.2878917E-6 | 1.3628707E-4 | 21.674526 | 1.3E-4 | 2.3892939E-5 | 2.6947957E-5 | 2.7694122E-4 | 10.276891 | 2.5E-4 | 2.908577E-4 | 3.2806493E-4 | 8.0790743E-4 | 2.462645 | 4.8E-4 | 0.002904773 | 0.0032780543 | 0.003995694 | 1.2189225 | 7.2E-4 |
6.6 | 4.6786554E-6 | 5.2781566E-6 | 1.1527757E-4 | 21.840498 | 1.1E-4 | 2.0051228E-5 | 2.2620598E-5 | 2.2261607E-4 | 9.841299 | 2.0E-4 | 2.4409634E-4 | 2.753927E-4 | 6.5528805E-4 | 2.3794677 | 3.8E-4 | 0.002438284 | 0.0027526445 | 0.0033410203 | 1.2137493 | 5.9E-4 |
6.7 | 3.6104775E-6 | 4.074424E-6 | 1.1407398E-4 | 27.997572 | 1.1E-4 | 1.5473384E-5 | 1.7461816E-5 | 1.9745868E-4 | 11.308025 | 1.8E-4 | 1.8837216E-4 | 2.1259762E-4 | 5.425275E-4 | 2.551898 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0018821256 | 0.0021259761 | 0.0026049558 | 1.2252986 | 4.8E-4 |
Paradise
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.4167362E-5 | 1.594297E-5 | 4.3593626E-4 | 27.343481 | 4.2E-4 | 6.0715854E-5 | 6.8325324E-5 | 7.282802E-4 | 10.659008 | 6.6E-4 | 7.3896477E-4 | 8.3156175E-4 | 0.0021005056 | 2.5259767 | 0.00127 | 0.007365123 | 0.008286362 | 0.010339209 | 1.247738 | 0.00207 |
6.1 | 1.4167362E-5 | 1.594297E-5 | 4.3593626E-4 | 27.343481 | 4.2E-4 | 6.0715854E-5 | 6.8325324E-5 | 7.282802E-4 | 10.659008 | 6.6E-4 | 7.3896477E-4 | 8.3156175E-4 | 0.0021005056 | 2.5259767 | 0.00127 | 0.007365123 | 0.008286362 | 0.010339209 | 1.247738 | 0.00207 |
6.2 | 1.4167362E-5 | 1.594297E-5 | 4.3593626E-4 | 27.343481 | 4.2E-4 | 6.0715854E-5 | 6.8325324E-5 | 7.282802E-4 | 10.659008 | 6.6E-4 | 7.3896477E-4 | 8.3156175E-4 | 0.0021005056 | 2.5259767 | 0.00127 | 0.007365123 | 0.008286362 | 0.010339209 | 1.247738 | 0.00207 |
6.3 | 1.0338487E-5 | 1.1802403E-5 | 2.2179993E-4 | 18.792776 | 2.1E-4 | 4.430705E-5 | 5.0580777E-5 | 4.2056205E-4 | 8.314662 | 3.7E-4 | 5.393048E-4 | 6.1565253E-4 | 0.0012652524 | 2.0551403 | 6.5E-4 | 0.0053799786 | 0.00614004 | 0.007104084 | 1.1570095 | 9.7E-4 |
6.4 | 1.0338487E-5 | 1.1802403E-5 | 2.2179993E-4 | 18.792776 | 2.1E-4 | 4.430705E-5 | 5.0580777E-5 | 4.2056205E-4 | 8.314662 | 3.7E-4 | 5.393048E-4 | 6.1565253E-4 | 0.0012652524 | 2.0551403 | 6.5E-4 | 0.0053799786 | 0.00614004 | 0.007104084 | 1.1570095 | 9.7E-4 |
6.5 | 9.217692E-6 | 1.0598099E-5 | 1.6059651E-4 | 15.153332 | 1.5E-4 | 3.9503797E-5 | 4.541966E-5 | 3.2540693E-4 | 7.1644516 | 2.8E-4 | 4.8085258E-4 | 5.528487E-4 | 0.0010425778 | 1.8858284 | 4.9E-4 | 0.0047981343 | 0.0055152094 | 0.0062312386 | 1.1298281 | 7.2E-4 |
6.6 | 7.826606E-6 | 9.091333E-6 | 5.909088E-5 | 6.499694 | 5.0E-5 | 3.3542165E-5 | 3.896229E-5 | 1.48958E-4 | 3.8231325 | 1.1E-4 | 4.0829935E-4 | 4.7426636E-4 | 7.041573E-4 | 1.4847295 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0040754997 | 0.0047329175 | 0.005121072 | 1.0820116 | 3.9E-4 |
6.7 | 7.029711E-6 | 8.234223E-6 | 4.8233895E-5 | 5.8577347 | 4.0E-5 | 3.0126985E-5 | 3.5289067E-5 | 1.15286246E-4 | 3.266911 | 8.0E-5 | 3.667343E-4 | 4.2956308E-4 | 5.6950294E-4 | 1.3257725 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0036612968 | 0.004287666 | 0.0045266375 | 1.0557345 | 2.4E-4 |
6.8 | 6.509183E-6 | 7.661403E-6 | 4.76611E-5 | 6.2209353 | 4.0E-5 | 2.78962E-5 | 3.2834192E-5 | 1.1283156E-4 | 3.4364045 | 8.0E-5 | 3.395833E-4 | 3.9968622E-4 | 5.3963024E-4 | 1.3501347 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0033906484 | 0.0039900006 | 0.0042091226 | 1.0549178 | 2.2E-4 |
6.9 | 5.8838923E-6 | 6.976864E-6 | 1.6976794E-5 | 2.4332988 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5216437E-5 | 2.990052E-5 | 5.9899623E-5 | 2.003297 | 3.0E-5 | 3.0696686E-4 | 3.6398112E-4 | 4.43952E-4 | 1.2197117 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0030654317 | 0.0036341585 | 0.0037537224 | 1.0329 | 1.2E-4 |
7.0 | 4.0287687E-6 | 4.981055E-6 | 1.4981005E-5 | 3.0075967 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7266037E-5 | 2.1347212E-5 | 3.1346997E-5 | 1.4684353 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1019373E-4 | 2.5987276E-4 | 2.9986238E-4 | 1.1538814 | 4.0E-5 | 0.00209995 | 0.002595833 | 0.0026457033 | 1.0192116 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.6822953E-6 | 4.5583456E-6 | 1.45583E-5 | 3.1937683 | 1.0E-5 | 1.578117E-5 | 1.953563E-5 | 2.9535435E-5 | 1.5118753 | 1.0E-5 | 1.921188E-4 | 2.3782176E-4 | 2.7781224E-4 | 1.1681532 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0019195279 | 0.0023758146 | 0.0024256958 | 1.0209954 | 5.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.2577097E-6 | 4.0045848E-6 | 1.4004545E-5 | 3.497128 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3961539E-5 | 1.71624E-5 | 2.7162228E-5 | 1.5826591 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6996848E-4 | 2.0893359E-4 | 2.3892733E-4 | 1.1435562 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0016983853 | 0.0020875102 | 0.002127427 | 1.0191215 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.8181282E-6 | 3.4357192E-6 | 3.4357192E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2077636E-5 | 1.47244355E-5 | 1.47244355E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.470353E-4 | 1.7925663E-4 | 1.9925305E-4 | 1.1115519 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014693805 | 0.0017912558 | 0.0018212021 | 1.016718 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.2725626E-6 | 2.7456524E-6 | 2.7456524E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.739518E-6 | 1.1767036E-5 | 1.1767036E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1857218E-4 | 1.4325559E-4 | 1.6325273E-4 | 1.1395906 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011850893 | 0.0014317648 | 0.0014617218 | 1.0209231 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.1167768E-6 | 1.3359646E-6 | 1.3359646E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.786178E-6 | 5.7255565E-6 | 5.7255565E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8270158E-5 | 6.970756E-5 | 8.970616E-5 | 1.2868929 | 2.0E-5 | 5.825488E-4 | 6.9696875E-4 | 7.169548E-4 | 1.0286757 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.5600239E-7 | 1.8436103E-7 | 1.8436103E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6858144E-7 | 7.901185E-7 | 7.901185E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.1399485E-6 | 9.6196645E-6 | 9.6196645E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.139651E-5 | 9.6193886E-5 | 9.6193886E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (San Bernardino N)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.3950518E-4 | 3.096307E-4 | 0.0011893582 | 3.8412154 | 8.8E-4 | 5.977423E-4 | 0.0013263187 | 0.0023849127 | 1.7981446 | 0.00106 | 0.007253256 | 0.016029647 | 0.017476084 | 1.0902351 | 0.00147 | 0.07021034 | 0.14755856 | 0.14918672 | 1.011034 | 0.00191 |
6.1 | 1.3950518E-4 | 3.096307E-4 | 0.0011893582 | 3.8412154 | 8.8E-4 | 5.977423E-4 | 0.0013263187 | 0.0023849127 | 1.7981446 | 0.00106 | 0.007253256 | 0.016029647 | 0.017476084 | 1.0902351 | 0.00147 | 0.07021034 | 0.14755856 | 0.14918672 | 1.011034 | 0.00191 |
6.2 | 1.3950518E-4 | 3.096307E-4 | 0.0011893582 | 3.8412154 | 8.8E-4 | 5.977423E-4 | 0.0013263187 | 0.0023849127 | 1.7981446 | 0.00106 | 0.007253256 | 0.016029647 | 0.017476084 | 1.0902351 | 0.00147 | 0.07021034 | 0.14755856 | 0.14918672 | 1.011034 | 0.00191 |
6.3 | 1.3493584E-4 | 3.0043954E-4 | 0.0011801751 | 3.9281619 | 8.8E-4 | 5.7816826E-4 | 0.0012869673 | 0.0023456032 | 1.8225818 | 0.00106 | 0.007016503 | 0.015557457 | 0.017004587 | 1.0930184 | 0.00147 | 0.067990564 | 0.14361042 | 0.14524613 | 1.0113899 | 0.00191 |
6.4 | 1.3493584E-4 | 3.0043954E-4 | 0.0011801751 | 3.9281619 | 8.8E-4 | 5.7816826E-4 | 0.0012869673 | 0.0023456032 | 1.8225818 | 0.00106 | 0.007016503 | 0.015557457 | 0.017004587 | 1.0930184 | 0.00147 | 0.067990564 | 0.14361042 | 0.14524613 | 1.0113899 | 0.00191 |
6.5 | 1.2749722E-4 | 2.85539E-4 | 0.0011552906 | 4.045999 | 8.7E-4 | 5.463022E-4 | 0.0012231688 | 0.0022519089 | 1.8410451 | 0.00103 | 0.006630964 | 0.014791452 | 0.016210154 | 1.0959135 | 0.00144 | 0.06436559 | 0.13714027 | 0.13876244 | 1.0118285 | 0.00188 |
6.6 | 1.1138843E-4 | 2.541438E-4 | 0.0011239226 | 4.422389 | 8.7E-4 | 4.772916E-4 | 0.0010887351 | 0.0021176136 | 1.945022 | 0.00103 | 0.0057955533 | 0.013175367 | 0.014596395 | 1.1078548 | 0.00144 | 0.05646718 | 0.123248816 | 0.12489711 | 1.0133737 | 0.00188 |
6.7 | 1.0328056E-4 | 2.3747735E-4 | 0.0010972731 | 4.6205378 | 8.6E-4 | 4.4255587E-4 | 0.0010173644 | 0.0020363268 | 2.0015707 | 0.00102 | 0.005374814 | 0.012316474 | 0.013728862 | 1.1146747 | 0.00143 | 0.05246661 | 0.11590768 | 0.11753441 | 1.0140347 | 0.00184 |
6.8 | 9.760662E-5 | 2.2385942E-4 | 0.0010836669 | 4.8408365 | 8.6E-4 | 4.1824701E-4 | 9.590455E-4 | 0.0019780672 | 2.0625374 | 0.00102 | 0.005080274 | 0.011614142 | 0.013027534 | 1.1216958 | 0.00143 | 0.049656924 | 0.10980908 | 0.111438125 | 1.0148352 | 0.00183 |
6.9 | 9.533188E-5 | 2.1830274E-4 | 0.0010681172 | 4.892825 | 8.5E-4 | 4.0850122E-4 | 9.352484E-4 | 0.0019443037 | 2.078917 | 0.00101 | 0.004962166 | 0.011327457 | 0.012731371 | 1.1239392 | 0.00142 | 0.048528157 | 0.10735111 | 0.10898466 | 1.0152168 | 0.00183 |
7.0 | 9.260973E-5 | 2.1187172E-4 | 0.0010616917 | 5.0110116 | 8.5E-4 | 3.9683847E-4 | 9.0770633E-4 | 0.0019167896 | 2.1116848 | 0.00101 | 0.0048208097 | 0.010995561 | 0.012399947 | 1.127723 | 0.00142 | 0.04717562 | 0.104464434 | 0.106103264 | 1.015688 | 0.00183 |
7.1 | 8.930165E-5 | 2.0363243E-4 | 0.0010534594 | 5.173338 | 8.5E-4 | 3.826652E-4 | 8.724191E-4 | 0.0018715466 | 2.1452382 | 0.001 | 0.0046490002 | 0.010570181 | 0.011965277 | 1.1319841 | 0.00141 | 0.04552937 | 0.10079387 | 0.10241244 | 1.0160582 | 0.0018 |
7.2 | 8.2281964E-5 | 1.8732832E-4 | 0.0010371691 | 5.536638 | 8.5E-4 | 3.5258933E-4 | 8.025888E-4 | 0.0017917943 | 2.2325184 | 9.9E-4 | 0.004284328 | 0.009727853 | 0.011104332 | 1.1414987 | 0.00139 | 0.04202665 | 0.093369804 | 0.09497454 | 1.0171869 | 0.00177 |
7.3 | 7.866495E-5 | 1.754564E-4 | 0.001015309 | 5.7866745 | 8.4E-4 | 3.3709194E-4 | 7.5173937E-4 | 0.0017310027 | 2.3026633 | 9.8E-4 | 0.004096373 | 0.009114102 | 0.010471616 | 1.1489465 | 0.00137 | 0.040216807 | 0.08803133 | 0.08961816 | 1.0180256 | 0.00174 |
7.4 | 7.613132E-5 | 1.6754842E-4 | 0.0010074077 | 6.012636 | 8.4E-4 | 3.2623627E-4 | 7.1786717E-4 | 0.0016971637 | 2.364175 | 9.8E-4 | 0.003964694 | 0.008705078 | 0.010053239 | 1.1548706 | 0.00136 | 0.038947023 | 0.08443869 | 0.08601346 | 1.0186498 | 0.00172 |
7.5 | 7.3063995E-5 | 1.5853417E-4 | 9.98401E-4 | 6.2977023 | 8.4E-4 | 3.130938E-4 | 6.792553E-4 | 0.0016585896 | 2.4417765 | 9.8E-4 | 0.0038052555 | 0.008238631 | 0.009587427 | 1.163716 | 0.00136 | 0.037407525 | 0.080283 | 0.081864916 | 1.0197042 | 0.00172 |
7.6 | 7.161479E-5 | 1.5472395E-4 | 9.94594E-4 | 6.4281836 | 8.4E-4 | 3.0688444E-4 | 6.629342E-4 | 0.0016422846 | 2.4772964 | 9.8E-4 | 0.0037299178 | 0.008041407 | 0.009380551 | 1.1665311 | 0.00135 | 0.036679313 | 0.07849842 | 0.08006498 | 1.0199565 | 0.0017 |
7.7 | 6.739116E-5 | 1.4318089E-4 | 9.830606E-4 | 6.8658648 | 8.4E-4 | 2.887873E-4 | 6.134881E-4 | 0.0015928869 | 2.596443 | 9.8E-4 | 0.0035103175 | 0.0074436753 | 0.008783626 | 1.180012 | 0.00135 | 0.03455383 | 0.073038936 | 0.074605495 | 1.0214484 | 0.00169 |
7.8 | 6.318867E-5 | 1.315042E-4 | 9.713937E-4 | 7.3867884 | 8.4E-4 | 2.707805E-4 | 5.6346774E-4 | 0.0015429156 | 2.73825 | 9.8E-4 | 0.0032917692 | 0.0068386695 | 0.008179437 | 1.1960568 | 0.00135 | 0.032434337 | 0.06747596 | 0.06905192 | 1.023356 | 0.00169 |
7.9 | 4.963193E-5 | 9.6394964E-5 | 8.063265E-4 | 8.36482 | 7.1E-4 | 2.1269092E-4 | 4.1305588E-4 | 0.0012227213 | 2.9601836 | 8.1E-4 | 0.002586437 | 0.0050173695 | 0.0060820007 | 1.2121892 | 0.00107 | 0.0255654 | 0.05023042 | 0.051522106 | 1.0257152 | 0.00136 |
8.0 | 3.2058884E-5 | 5.3393615E-5 | 3.83376E-4 | 7.1801844 | 3.3E-4 | 1.3738798E-4 | 2.2880972E-4 | 5.9872505E-4 | 2.6166942 | 3.7E-4 | 0.0016714152 | 0.0027822014 | 0.0032508937 | 1.168461 | 4.7E-4 | 0.016588997 | 0.028367952 | 0.028950932 | 1.0205506 | 6.0E-4 |
8.1 | 1.7341661E-5 | 1.8482737E-5 | 2.8482553E-5 | 1.5410354 | 1.0E-5 | 7.431929E-5 | 7.920933E-5 | 8.920854E-5 | 1.1262378 | 1.0E-5 | 9.044617E-4 | 9.6394744E-4 | 0.0010039089 | 1.041456 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0090078935 | 0.010302407 | 0.010391479 | 1.0086458 | 9.0E-5 |
8.2 | 7.791044E-6 | 5.1865645E-6 | 5.1865645E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.338976E-5 | 2.2227945E-5 | 2.2227945E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0644448E-4 | 2.7059167E-4 | 2.7059167E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004057019 | 0.0030587183 | 0.0030686879 | 1.0032593 | 1.0E-5 |
8.3 | 2.0399948E-6 | 7.9482766E-7 | 7.9482766E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.742806E-6 | 3.4063999E-6 | 3.4063999E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0643846E-4 | 4.1472143E-5 | 4.1472143E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010638749 | 4.865E-4 | 4.865E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Garlic Springs
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.384928E-5 | 1.531553E-5 | 2.9531124E-4 | 19.281815 | 2.8E-4 | 5.9352704E-5 | 6.563687E-5 | 4.9560866E-4 | 7.5507655 | 4.3E-4 | 7.223796E-4 | 7.9893094E-4 | 0.0016682359 | 2.0880852 | 8.7E-4 | 0.0072003584 | 0.007969917 | 0.009457963 | 1.1867077 | 0.0015 |
6.1 | 1.10442625E-5 | 1.2194862E-5 | 2.1219242E-4 | 17.400148 | 2.0E-4 | 4.7331694E-5 | 5.2263134E-5 | 3.722464E-4 | 7.122543 | 3.2E-4 | 5.76111E-4 | 6.3620415E-4 | 0.0013057778 | 2.0524511 | 6.7E-4 | 0.0057461974 | 0.006352282 | 0.007494977 | 1.1798873 | 0.00115 |
6.2 | 1.10442625E-5 | 1.2194862E-5 | 2.1219242E-4 | 17.400148 | 2.0E-4 | 4.7331694E-5 | 5.2263134E-5 | 3.722464E-4 | 7.122543 | 3.2E-4 | 5.76111E-4 | 6.3620415E-4 | 0.0013057778 | 2.0524511 | 6.7E-4 | 0.0057461974 | 0.006352282 | 0.007494977 | 1.1798873 | 0.00115 |
6.3 | 4.7583235E-6 | 5.2367127E-6 | 6.5236396E-5 | 12.457509 | 6.0E-5 | 2.0392656E-5 | 2.2443008E-5 | 1.1244099E-4 | 5.010068 | 9.0E-5 | 2.482523E-4 | 2.732351E-4 | 5.031723E-4 | 1.8415359 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0024797514 | 0.0027315174 | 0.0031503702 | 1.1533407 | 4.2E-4 |
6.4 | 4.7583235E-6 | 5.2367127E-6 | 6.5236396E-5 | 12.457509 | 6.0E-5 | 2.0392656E-5 | 2.2443008E-5 | 1.1244099E-4 | 5.010068 | 9.0E-5 | 2.482523E-4 | 2.732351E-4 | 5.031723E-4 | 1.8415359 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0024797514 | 0.0027315174 | 0.0031503702 | 1.1533407 | 4.2E-4 |
6.5 | 4.7583235E-6 | 5.2367127E-6 | 6.5236396E-5 | 12.457509 | 6.0E-5 | 2.0392656E-5 | 2.2443008E-5 | 1.1244099E-4 | 5.010068 | 9.0E-5 | 2.482523E-4 | 2.732351E-4 | 5.031723E-4 | 1.8415359 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0024797514 | 0.0027315174 | 0.0031503702 | 1.1533407 | 4.2E-4 |
6.6 | 4.741348E-6 | 5.218E-6 | 6.521769E-5 | 12.498599 | 6.0E-5 | 2.0319907E-5 | 2.236281E-5 | 1.12360794E-4 | 5.024449 | 9.0E-5 | 2.4736678E-4 | 2.7225894E-4 | 5.021963E-4 | 1.844554 | 2.3E-4 | 0.002470916 | 0.0027217797 | 0.0031406365 | 1.1538908 | 4.2E-4 |
6.7 | 4.081021E-6 | 4.4893595E-6 | 3.4489225E-5 | 7.682438 | 3.0E-5 | 1.7489972E-5 | 1.9240113E-5 | 6.923915E-5 | 3.5986874 | 5.0E-5 | 2.1291962E-4 | 2.3424836E-4 | 4.0420855E-4 | 1.7255554 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0021271573 | 0.0023424837 | 0.0026816872 | 1.1448051 | 3.4E-4 |
Death Valley (Black Mtns Frontal)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6869457E-5 | 1.8848257E-5 | 3.188426E-4 | 16.91629 | 3.0E-4 | 7.229567E-5 | 8.077579E-5 | 5.107411E-4 | 6.322947 | 4.3E-4 | 8.798443E-4 | 9.83009E-4 | 0.0017722325 | 1.8028649 | 7.9E-4 | 0.008763689 | 0.009787453 | 0.010955904 | 1.1193825 | 0.00118 |
6.1 | 1.6869457E-5 | 1.8848257E-5 | 3.188426E-4 | 16.91629 | 3.0E-4 | 7.229567E-5 | 8.077579E-5 | 5.107411E-4 | 6.322947 | 4.3E-4 | 8.798443E-4 | 9.83009E-4 | 0.0017722325 | 1.8028649 | 7.9E-4 | 0.008763689 | 0.009787453 | 0.010955904 | 1.1193825 | 0.00118 |
6.2 | 1.6869457E-5 | 1.8848257E-5 | 3.188426E-4 | 16.91629 | 3.0E-4 | 7.229567E-5 | 8.077579E-5 | 5.107411E-4 | 6.322947 | 4.3E-4 | 8.798443E-4 | 9.83009E-4 | 0.0017722325 | 1.8028649 | 7.9E-4 | 0.008763689 | 0.009787453 | 0.010955904 | 1.1193825 | 0.00118 |
6.3 | 1.6869457E-5 | 1.8848257E-5 | 3.188426E-4 | 16.91629 | 3.0E-4 | 7.229567E-5 | 8.077579E-5 | 5.107411E-4 | 6.322947 | 4.3E-4 | 8.798443E-4 | 9.83009E-4 | 0.0017722325 | 1.8028649 | 7.9E-4 | 0.008763689 | 0.009787453 | 0.010955904 | 1.1193825 | 0.00118 |
6.4 | 1.5727011E-5 | 1.7569457E-5 | 2.9756455E-4 | 16.936468 | 2.8E-4 | 6.7399735E-5 | 7.529553E-5 | 4.752654E-4 | 6.3120003 | 4.0E-4 | 8.202828E-4 | 9.163436E-4 | 0.001625693 | 1.7741085 | 7.1E-4 | 0.008172615 | 0.009126336 | 0.010176662 | 1.1150874 | 0.00106 |
6.5 | 1.5727011E-5 | 1.7569457E-5 | 2.9756455E-4 | 16.936468 | 2.8E-4 | 6.7399735E-5 | 7.529553E-5 | 4.752654E-4 | 6.3120003 | 4.0E-4 | 8.202828E-4 | 9.163436E-4 | 0.001625693 | 1.7741085 | 7.1E-4 | 0.008172615 | 0.009126336 | 0.010176662 | 1.1150874 | 0.00106 |
6.6 | 1.5176593E-5 | 1.6954093E-5 | 2.769497E-4 | 16.33527 | 2.6E-4 | 6.504092E-5 | 7.2658404E-5 | 4.526308E-4 | 6.2295723 | 3.8E-4 | 7.915855E-4 | 8.8426284E-4 | 0.001533688 | 1.7344255 | 6.5E-4 | 0.007887716 | 0.008808089 | 0.009789369 | 1.1114067 | 9.9E-4 |
6.7 | 1.47211595E-5 | 1.6446427E-5 | 2.7644215E-4 | 16.808645 | 2.6E-4 | 6.308916E-5 | 7.048281E-5 | 4.4045673E-4 | 6.249137 | 3.7E-4 | 7.678398E-4 | 8.57796E-4 | 0.0014872556 | 1.7338103 | 6.3E-4 | 0.007651921 | 0.008545473 | 0.009487355 | 1.11022 | 9.5E-4 |
6.8 | 1.43151165E-5 | 1.5994037E-5 | 2.559902E-4 | 16.005352 | 2.4E-4 | 6.1349056E-5 | 6.8544105E-5 | 4.1852013E-4 | 6.1058517 | 3.5E-4 | 7.466688E-4 | 8.342104E-4 | 0.0014137266 | 1.6946882 | 5.8E-4 | 0.0074416497 | 0.008311395 | 0.009174163 | 1.1038055 | 8.7E-4 |
6.9 | 1.3881271E-5 | 1.5510806E-5 | 2.555071E-4 | 16.472843 | 2.4E-4 | 5.9489805E-5 | 6.647322E-5 | 4.0645062E-4 | 6.1145015 | 3.4E-4 | 7.2404766E-4 | 8.0901635E-4 | 0.0013485794 | 1.6669372 | 5.4E-4 | 0.007216931 | 0.008061296 | 0.008854847 | 1.0984396 | 8.0E-4 |
7.0 | 1.3623189E-5 | 1.522394E-5 | 2.2522075E-4 | 14.793854 | 2.1E-4 | 5.838379E-5 | 6.5243854E-5 | 3.7522364E-4 | 5.7510953 | 3.1E-4 | 7.105908E-4 | 7.940598E-4 | 0.0013036549 | 1.641759 | 5.1E-4 | 0.007083229 | 0.007912804 | 0.008666791 | 1.0952868 | 7.6E-4 |
7.1 | 1.3397499E-5 | 1.4973161E-5 | 2.1497016E-4 | 14.357033 | 2.0E-4 | 5.741659E-5 | 6.4169144E-5 | 3.641499E-4 | 5.6748443 | 3.0E-4 | 6.988227E-4 | 7.809846E-4 | 0.0012805942 | 1.6397175 | 5.0E-4 | 0.0069662924 | 0.0077829757 | 0.008527138 | 1.0956142 | 7.5E-4 |
7.2 | 1.3035456E-5 | 1.45710355E-5 | 2.0456826E-4 | 14.039377 | 1.9E-4 | 5.586504E-5 | 6.244583E-5 | 3.3242896E-4 | 5.3234773 | 2.7E-4 | 6.799446E-4 | 7.6001807E-4 | 0.001209676 | 1.5916412 | 4.5E-4 | 0.0067786793 | 0.0075747576 | 0.008259531 | 1.090402 | 6.9E-4 |
7.3 | 1.2757113E-5 | 1.4262481E-5 | 1.8426006E-4 | 12.919214 | 1.7E-4 | 5.4672197E-5 | 6.1123515E-5 | 3.0110884E-4 | 4.9262357 | 2.4E-4 | 6.654307E-4 | 7.4393E-4 | 0.0011336398 | 1.5238528 | 3.9E-4 | 0.0066344165 | 0.0074149612 | 0.008010512 | 1.0803175 | 6.0E-4 |
7.4 | 1.2590625E-5 | 1.4078118E-5 | 1.8407572E-4 | 13.075308 | 1.7E-4 | 5.3958705E-5 | 6.0333427E-5 | 3.0031893E-4 | 4.9776545 | 2.4E-4 | 6.5674924E-4 | 7.343172E-4 | 0.0011040454 | 1.5034995 | 3.7E-4 | 0.006548117 | 0.00731947 | 0.007895225 | 1.0786607 | 5.8E-4 |
7.5 | 1.2308291E-5 | 1.3767555E-5 | 1.7376535E-4 | 12.621366 | 1.6E-4 | 5.2748754E-5 | 5.9002505E-5 | 2.8898893E-4 | 4.8979096 | 2.3E-4 | 6.4202683E-4 | 7.18124E-4 | 0.0010678726 | 1.487031 | 3.5E-4 | 0.006401751 | 0.0071585933 | 0.007704656 | 1.0762807 | 5.5E-4 |
7.6 | 1.1200387E-5 | 1.2530568E-5 | 1.4252894E-4 | 11.3745 | 1.3E-4 | 4.8000777E-5 | 5.3701355E-5 | 2.336917E-4 | 4.351691 | 1.8E-4 | 5.8425276E-4 | 6.536231E-4 | 9.3344005E-4 | 1.4281014 | 2.8E-4 | 0.005827191 | 0.006517548 | 0.006934811 | 1.0640215 | 4.2E-4 |
7.7 | 9.142378E-6 | 1.0226757E-5 | 1.2022563E-4 | 11.755988 | 1.1E-4 | 3.918103E-5 | 4.3828248E-5 | 2.0382124E-4 | 4.6504536 | 1.6E-4 | 4.7692464E-4 | 5.334832E-4 | 7.5336586E-4 | 1.4121641 | 2.2E-4 | 0.004759024 | 0.0053225285 | 0.0056308787 | 1.057933 | 3.1E-4 |
7.8 | 3.1694145E-7 | 3.333711E-7 | 3.333711E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3583199E-6 | 1.4287325E-6 | 1.4287325E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6537419E-5 | 1.7394683E-5 | 1.7394683E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6536188E-4 | 1.7393359E-4 | 1.8393186E-4 | 1.0574832 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.8610457E-9 | 1.9363102E-9 | 1.9363102E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.97591E-9 | 8.298473E-9 | 8.298473E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.71067E-8 | 1.01033905E-7 | 1.01033905E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.710666E-7 | 1.0103391E-6 | 1.0103391E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Helendale-So Lockhart
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6573504E-5 | 1.7329263E-5 | 2.973244E-4 | 17.15736 | 2.8E-4 | 7.102737E-5 | 7.426625E-5 | 4.642373E-4 | 6.2509856 | 3.9E-4 | 8.644151E-4 | 9.0383383E-4 | 0.001633174 | 1.8069406 | 7.3E-4 | 0.008610603 | 0.009003351 | 0.010073628 | 1.1188754 | 0.00108 |
6.1 | 1.6573504E-5 | 1.7329263E-5 | 2.973244E-4 | 17.15736 | 2.8E-4 | 7.102737E-5 | 7.426625E-5 | 4.642373E-4 | 6.2509856 | 3.9E-4 | 8.644151E-4 | 9.0383383E-4 | 0.001633174 | 1.8069406 | 7.3E-4 | 0.008610603 | 0.009003351 | 0.010073628 | 1.1188754 | 0.00108 |
6.2 | 1.6573504E-5 | 1.7329263E-5 | 2.973244E-4 | 17.15736 | 2.8E-4 | 7.102737E-5 | 7.426625E-5 | 4.642373E-4 | 6.2509856 | 3.9E-4 | 8.644151E-4 | 9.0383383E-4 | 0.001633174 | 1.8069406 | 7.3E-4 | 0.008610603 | 0.009003351 | 0.010073628 | 1.1188754 | 0.00108 |
6.3 | 1.0703472E-5 | 1.1165021E-5 | 2.4116246E-4 | 21.599821 | 2.3E-4 | 4.5871217E-5 | 4.784923E-5 | 3.7783344E-4 | 7.8963327 | 3.3E-4 | 5.5833894E-4 | 5.824115E-4 | 0.0011320912 | 1.9437995 | 5.5E-4 | 0.0055693816 | 0.005809152 | 0.006594563 | 1.1352023 | 7.9E-4 |
6.4 | 1.0703472E-5 | 1.1165021E-5 | 2.4116246E-4 | 21.599821 | 2.3E-4 | 4.5871217E-5 | 4.784923E-5 | 3.7783344E-4 | 7.8963327 | 3.3E-4 | 5.5833894E-4 | 5.824115E-4 | 0.0011320912 | 1.9437995 | 5.5E-4 | 0.0055693816 | 0.005809152 | 0.006594563 | 1.1352023 | 7.9E-4 |
6.5 | 8.853983E-6 | 9.232243E-6 | 1.9923049E-4 | 21.579855 | 1.9E-4 | 3.794509E-5 | 3.9566166E-5 | 3.295547E-4 | 8.329205 | 2.9E-4 | 4.6188352E-4 | 4.816132E-4 | 9.513869E-4 | 1.9754168 | 4.7E-4 | 0.0046092467 | 0.0048058648 | 0.005462693 | 1.1366723 | 6.6E-4 |
6.6 | 7.4140758E-6 | 7.729643E-6 | 1.677284E-4 | 21.699375 | 1.6E-4 | 3.1774223E-5 | 3.3126624E-5 | 2.7311867E-4 | 8.244688 | 2.4E-4 | 3.8678249E-4 | 4.03243E-4 | 7.6309784E-4 | 1.8924019 | 3.6E-4 | 0.0038611 | 0.004025219 | 0.0045530857 | 1.1311399 | 5.3E-4 |
6.7 | 6.4685305E-6 | 6.743882E-6 | 1.3674301E-4 | 20.276602 | 1.3E-4 | 2.7721979E-5 | 2.8902035E-5 | 2.2889626E-4 | 7.919728 | 2.0E-4 | 3.374628E-4 | 3.5182622E-4 | 6.717136E-4 | 1.90922 | 3.2E-4 | 0.003369508 | 0.0035127727 | 0.0039910865 | 1.1361642 | 4.8E-4 |
6.8 | 5.595365E-6 | 5.8284336E-6 | 1.15827796E-4 | 19.872885 | 1.1E-4 | 2.3979916E-5 | 2.4978764E-5 | 1.8497476E-4 | 7.4052806 | 1.6E-4 | 2.9191634E-4 | 3.040746E-4 | 5.4400164E-4 | 1.78904 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0029153319 | 0.003036645 | 0.0033955518 | 1.1181918 | 3.6E-4 |
6.9 | 4.8553084E-6 | 5.0539793E-6 | 8.505357E-5 | 16.829031 | 8.0E-5 | 2.0808298E-5 | 2.1659733E-5 | 1.4165713E-4 | 6.5401144 | 1.2E-4 | 2.533116E-4 | 2.6367579E-4 | 4.536257E-4 | 1.7203919 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0025302302 | 0.0026336755 | 0.0029229117 | 1.1098223 | 2.9E-4 |
7.0 | 3.7137843E-6 | 3.864019E-6 | 6.386379E-5 | 16.527813 | 6.0E-5 | 1.591612E-5 | 1.655998E-5 | 9.655865E-5 | 5.830844 | 8.0E-5 | 1.9376155E-4 | 2.015994E-4 | 3.4157117E-4 | 1.6943065 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0019359268 | 0.0020141953 | 0.002243732 | 1.1139596 | 2.3E-4 |
7.1 | 2.821597E-6 | 2.9333992E-6 | 5.2933254E-5 | 18.045021 | 5.0E-5 | 1.2092502E-5 | 1.25716515E-5 | 8.257077E-5 | 6.568013 | 7.0E-5 | 1.4721627E-4 | 1.5304932E-4 | 2.5303403E-4 | 1.6532842 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0014711878 | 0.0015294603 | 0.0016892157 | 1.104452 | 1.6E-4 |
7.2 | 2.1605615E-6 | 2.2457482E-6 | 5.2245636E-5 | 23.264244 | 5.0E-5 | 9.259516E-6 | 9.624601E-6 | 7.9623926E-5 | 8.272959 | 7.0E-5 | 1.1272878E-4 | 1.1717339E-4 | 2.1716168E-4 | 1.8533361 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0011267161 | 0.0011711337 | 0.0013309463 | 1.1364597 | 1.6E-4 |
7.3 | 1.4218666E-6 | 1.4784132E-6 | 1.1478399E-5 | 7.763999 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0937E-6 | 6.336042E-6 | 2.6335916E-5 | 4.1565247 | 2.0E-5 | 7.418827E-5 | 7.713872E-5 | 1.17135634E-4 | 1.5185063 | 4.0E-5 | 7.4163504E-4 | 7.711334E-4 | 8.410794E-4 | 1.0907055 | 7.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.0413232E-7 | 4.2095965E-7 | 4.2095965E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7319945E-6 | 1.8041118E-6 | 1.8041118E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.108683E-5 | 2.1964881E-5 | 3.196466E-5 | 1.4552622 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1084827E-4 | 2.1963127E-4 | 2.2962908E-4 | 1.0455209 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.261701E-8 | 5.487665E-8 | 5.487665E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2550145E-7 | 2.3518562E-7 | 2.3518562E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7454769E-6 | 2.863382E-6 | 2.863382E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7454429E-5 | 2.8633516E-5 | 2.8633516E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (San Bernardino S)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2128924E-4 | 2.984888E-4 | 7.2836044E-4 | 2.44016 | 4.3E-4 | 5.1970745E-4 | 0.0012786353 | 0.0018079577 | 1.4139744 | 5.3E-4 | 0.0063090967 | 0.015460996 | 0.0161994 | 1.0477592 | 7.5E-4 | 0.06132956 | 0.14207096 | 0.14289457 | 1.0057971 | 9.6E-4 |
6.1 | 1.2128924E-4 | 2.984888E-4 | 7.2836044E-4 | 2.44016 | 4.3E-4 | 5.1970745E-4 | 0.0012786353 | 0.0018079577 | 1.4139744 | 5.3E-4 | 0.0063090967 | 0.015460996 | 0.0161994 | 1.0477592 | 7.5E-4 | 0.06132956 | 0.14207096 | 0.14289457 | 1.0057971 | 9.6E-4 |
6.2 | 1.2128924E-4 | 2.984888E-4 | 7.2836044E-4 | 2.44016 | 4.3E-4 | 5.1970745E-4 | 0.0012786353 | 0.0018079577 | 1.4139744 | 5.3E-4 | 0.0063090967 | 0.015460996 | 0.0161994 | 1.0477592 | 7.5E-4 | 0.06132956 | 0.14207096 | 0.14289457 | 1.0057971 | 9.6E-4 |
6.3 | 1.15478055E-4 | 2.8723967E-4 | 7.07119E-4 | 2.4617736 | 4.2E-4 | 4.9481203E-4 | 0.0012304708 | 0.001749831 | 1.4220824 | 5.2E-4 | 0.006007709 | 0.014882704 | 0.01560184 | 1.0483202 | 7.3E-4 | 0.058478672 | 0.13715966 | 0.13797936 | 1.0059762 | 9.5E-4 |
6.4 | 1.15478055E-4 | 2.8723967E-4 | 7.07119E-4 | 2.4617736 | 4.2E-4 | 4.9481203E-4 | 0.0012304708 | 0.001749831 | 1.4220824 | 5.2E-4 | 0.006007709 | 0.014882704 | 0.01560184 | 1.0483202 | 7.3E-4 | 0.058478672 | 0.13715966 | 0.13797936 | 1.0059762 | 9.5E-4 |
6.5 | 1.0570468E-4 | 2.6831168E-4 | 6.8819895E-4 | 2.5649238 | 4.2E-4 | 4.529414E-4 | 0.001149424 | 0.0016588378 | 1.4431905 | 5.1E-4 | 0.0055006268 | 0.013908856 | 0.014599119 | 1.0496277 | 7.0E-4 | 0.053664487 | 0.12880869 | 0.1296102 | 1.0062224 | 9.2E-4 |
6.6 | 9.732296E-5 | 2.524412E-4 | 6.723352E-4 | 2.6633337 | 4.2E-4 | 4.1703173E-4 | 0.0010814652 | 0.0015909136 | 1.4710724 | 5.1E-4 | 0.005065547 | 0.013091565 | 0.013772531 | 1.0520157 | 6.9E-4 | 0.049516242 | 0.12168464 | 0.122475125 | 1.0064962 | 9.0E-4 |
6.7 | 8.784269E-5 | 2.3438103E-4 | 6.4428494E-4 | 2.7488782 | 4.1E-4 | 3.7641433E-4 | 0.0010041252 | 0.0015036231 | 1.497446 | 5.0E-4 | 0.004573218 | 0.012160688 | 0.01282254 | 1.0544256 | 6.7E-4 | 0.044802424 | 0.11355722 | 0.11433729 | 1.0068694 | 8.8E-4 |
6.8 | 8.587587E-5 | 2.2995341E-4 | 6.398591E-4 | 2.7825599 | 4.1E-4 | 3.6798752E-4 | 9.851641E-4 | 0.0014846715 | 1.5070297 | 5.0E-4 | 0.0044710473 | 0.01193238 | 0.012594385 | 1.0554798 | 6.7E-4 | 0.043821555 | 0.11156519 | 0.112347014 | 1.0070077 | 8.8E-4 |
6.9 | 6.167149E-5 | 1.7449375E-4 | 5.7442393E-4 | 3.2919457 | 4.0E-4 | 2.642796E-4 | 7.4761687E-4 | 0.001227258 | 1.6415601 | 4.8E-4 | 0.003212857 | 0.009064466 | 0.009708573 | 1.0710586 | 6.5E-4 | 0.03166802 | 0.0858654 | 0.08661499 | 1.0087298 | 8.2E-4 |
7.0 | 5.9163493E-5 | 1.6909745E-4 | 5.690298E-4 | 3.3651 | 4.0E-4 | 2.535332E-4 | 7.245029E-4 | 0.0012041552 | 1.6620432 | 4.8E-4 | 0.0030823974 | 0.008785354 | 0.009429644 | 1.0733367 | 6.5E-4 | 0.030399917 | 0.083330184 | 0.08408186 | 1.0090203 | 8.2E-4 |
7.1 | 5.6776677E-5 | 1.635146E-4 | 5.634492E-4 | 3.4458647 | 4.0E-4 | 2.4330591E-4 | 7.005895E-4 | 0.0011802532 | 1.6846573 | 4.8E-4 | 0.0029582258 | 0.008496511 | 0.009140988 | 1.075852 | 6.5E-4 | 0.029191548 | 0.080750205 | 0.081503995 | 1.0093348 | 8.2E-4 |
7.2 | 5.0548475E-5 | 1.4964267E-4 | 5.495828E-4 | 3.6726344 | 4.0E-4 | 2.1661833E-4 | 6.4116856E-4 | 0.0011008736 | 1.7169801 | 4.6E-4 | 0.0026341383 | 0.007778401 | 0.008383656 | 1.0778123 | 6.1E-4 | 0.026031327 | 0.07424153 | 0.0749451 | 1.0094769 | 7.6E-4 |
7.3 | 4.7773814E-5 | 1.4085489E-4 | 5.4079853E-4 | 3.839402 | 4.0E-4 | 2.0472884E-4 | 6.035245E-4 | 0.0010632469 | 1.7617294 | 4.6E-4 | 0.0024897244 | 0.0073232492 | 0.007928782 | 1.0826863 | 6.1E-4 | 0.024620146 | 0.07017797 | 0.07087534 | 1.0099372 | 7.5E-4 |
7.4 | 4.5903675E-5 | 1.3497117E-4 | 5.3491717E-4 | 3.9631958 | 4.0E-4 | 1.9671519E-4 | 5.7832E-4 | 0.001038054 | 1.7949474 | 4.6E-4 | 0.0023923768 | 0.0070184018 | 0.0076141907 | 1.0848895 | 6.0E-4 | 0.023667848 | 0.067448944 | 0.06813903 | 1.0102313 | 7.4E-4 |
7.5 | 4.2532432E-5 | 1.2432634E-4 | 5.2427663E-4 | 4.216939 | 4.0E-4 | 1.8226913E-4 | 5.3271867E-4 | 9.924737E-4 | 1.8630352 | 4.6E-4 | 0.0022168679 | 0.0064666374 | 0.0070627574 | 1.092184 | 6.0E-4 | 0.02194883 | 0.062449746 | 0.06314354 | 1.0111095 | 7.4E-4 |
7.6 | 3.3875946E-5 | 9.885331E-5 | 4.9881375E-4 | 5.0459995 | 4.0E-4 | 1.4517455E-4 | 4.2358838E-4 | 8.833935E-4 | 2.0855 | 4.6E-4 | 0.0017660671 | 0.005145023 | 0.0057319873 | 1.1140839 | 5.9E-4 | 0.017520975 | 0.05020137 | 0.050885227 | 1.0136223 | 7.2E-4 |
7.7 | 2.8423432E-5 | 8.3176456E-5 | 4.8314317E-4 | 5.8086534 | 4.0E-4 | 1.21809026E-4 | 3.5642184E-4 | 8.162579E-4 | 2.2901456 | 4.6E-4 | 0.0014820159 | 0.00433081 | 0.004918255 | 1.1356431 | 5.9E-4 | 0.014721712 | 0.042573642 | 0.043253414 | 1.015967 | 7.1E-4 |
7.8 | 2.6341304E-5 | 7.4940086E-5 | 4.749101E-4 | 6.3371973 | 4.0E-4 | 1.1288642E-4 | 3.2113228E-4 | 7.809846E-4 | 2.4319715 | 4.6E-4 | 0.0013735256 | 0.0039027827 | 0.00449048 | 1.1505842 | 5.9E-4 | 0.013650671 | 0.03858219 | 0.0392648 | 1.0176923 | 7.1E-4 |
7.9 | 2.1784474E-5 | 5.872323E-5 | 4.3870092E-4 | 7.4706535 | 3.8E-4 | 9.3358685E-5 | 2.5164674E-4 | 6.71541E-4 | 2.6685865 | 4.2E-4 | 0.0011360493 | 0.0030594978 | 0.0035978456 | 1.1759596 | 5.4E-4 | 0.011302591 | 0.030577287 | 0.031197717 | 1.0202906 | 6.4E-4 |
8.0 | 1.2662067E-5 | 3.2392407E-5 | 2.1238657E-4 | 6.556678 | 1.8E-4 | 5.426487E-5 | 1.3881722E-4 | 3.3878945E-4 | 2.4405434 | 2.0E-4 | 6.604745E-4 | 0.0016887906 | 0.0019184023 | 1.1359621 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0065851496 | 0.017046265 | 0.017311664 | 1.0155692 | 2.7E-4 |
8.1 | 4.9599803E-6 | 7.786836E-6 | 7.786836E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1256885E-5 | 3.337173E-5 | 3.337173E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5877185E-4 | 4.0622515E-4 | 4.0622515E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025847072 | 0.004366996 | 0.0043769525 | 1.0022799 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 2.6658215E-6 | 2.997668E-6 | 2.997668E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1424899E-5 | 1.2847085E-5 | 1.2847085E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3908927E-4 | 1.5640208E-4 | 1.5640208E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013900225 | 0.001760722 | 0.0017707044 | 1.0056695 | 1.0E-5 |
8.3 | 5.252919E-7 | 3.1548603E-7 | 3.1548603E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.251249E-6 | 1.3520823E-6 | 1.3520823E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7408612E-5 | 1.646149E-5 | 1.646149E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7405232E-4 | 1.958847E-4 | 1.958847E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Coyote Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9376961E-5 | 2.1174437E-5 | 1.6117147E-4 | 7.611606 | 1.4E-4 | 8.304147E-5 | 9.07448E-5 | 3.30723E-4 | 3.6445396 | 2.4E-4 | 0.001010561 | 0.0011043238 | 0.0015738048 | 1.4251298 | 4.7E-4 | 0.010059778 | 0.010994924 | 0.011786128 | 1.0719608 | 8.0E-4 |
6.1 | 1.9376961E-5 | 2.1174437E-5 | 1.6117147E-4 | 7.611606 | 1.4E-4 | 8.304147E-5 | 9.07448E-5 | 3.30723E-4 | 3.6445396 | 2.4E-4 | 0.001010561 | 0.0011043238 | 0.0015738048 | 1.4251298 | 4.7E-4 | 0.010059778 | 0.010994924 | 0.011786128 | 1.0719608 | 8.0E-4 |
6.2 | 1.9376961E-5 | 2.1174437E-5 | 1.6117147E-4 | 7.611606 | 1.4E-4 | 8.304147E-5 | 9.07448E-5 | 3.30723E-4 | 3.6445396 | 2.4E-4 | 0.001010561 | 0.0011043238 | 0.0015738048 | 1.4251298 | 4.7E-4 | 0.010059778 | 0.010994924 | 0.011786128 | 1.0719608 | 8.0E-4 |
6.3 | 1.5812224E-5 | 1.728082E-5 | 1.3727875E-4 | 7.9439955 | 1.2E-4 | 6.7764915E-5 | 7.405888E-5 | 2.8404334E-4 | 3.8353715 | 2.1E-4 | 8.247255E-4 | 9.013529E-4 | 0.0013109833 | 1.4544618 | 4.1E-4 | 0.0082167145 | 0.008982804 | 0.009656696 | 1.0750202 | 6.8E-4 |
6.4 | 1.5812224E-5 | 1.728082E-5 | 1.3727875E-4 | 7.9439955 | 1.2E-4 | 6.7764915E-5 | 7.405888E-5 | 2.8404334E-4 | 3.8353715 | 2.1E-4 | 8.247255E-4 | 9.013529E-4 | 0.0013109833 | 1.4544618 | 4.1E-4 | 0.0082167145 | 0.008982804 | 0.009656696 | 1.0750202 | 6.8E-4 |
6.5 | 1.4830592E-5 | 1.6210082E-5 | 1.262083E-4 | 7.78579 | 1.1E-4 | 6.355813E-5 | 6.947026E-5 | 2.6945636E-4 | 3.8787298 | 2.0E-4 | 7.735455E-4 | 8.455305E-4 | 0.0012451923 | 1.4726758 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0077085835 | 0.0084288865 | 0.009073407 | 1.0764657 | 6.5E-4 |
6.6 | 1.3605264E-5 | 1.4875127E-5 | 1.1487364E-4 | 7.722532 | 1.0E-4 | 5.8306974E-5 | 6.374931E-5 | 2.3373846E-4 | 3.6665256 | 1.7E-4 | 7.0965616E-4 | 7.759286E-4 | 0.0011356493 | 1.4636002 | 3.6E-4 | 0.007073942 | 0.0077378224 | 0.008343102 | 1.0782236 | 6.1E-4 |
6.7 | 1.2944943E-5 | 1.4146493E-5 | 8.4145504E-5 | 5.9481525 | 7.0E-5 | 5.5477147E-5 | 6.062674E-5 | 1.9061886E-4 | 3.1441383 | 1.3E-4 | 6.7522493E-4 | 7.3793717E-4 | 0.0010377158 | 1.4062387 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0067317695 | 0.007360434 | 0.007886533 | 1.0714766 | 5.3E-4 |
6.8 | 5.1829566E-6 | 5.651501E-6 | 2.5651389E-5 | 4.538863 | 2.0E-5 | 2.2212482E-5 | 2.4220624E-5 | 6.4219654E-5 | 2.6514452 | 4.0E-5 | 2.704034E-4 | 2.9486945E-4 | 3.7484587E-4 | 1.2712265 | 8.0E-5 | 0.002700746 | 0.0029470623 | 0.003056738 | 1.0372154 | 1.1E-4 |
6.9 | 3.841255E-6 | 4.188223E-6 | 2.4188139E-5 | 5.7752748 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6462416E-5 | 1.7949527E-5 | 4.794899E-5 | 2.671323 | 3.0E-5 | 2.004115E-4 | 2.185355E-4 | 2.885202E-4 | 1.3202441 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0020023084 | 0.002185355 | 0.0022751584 | 1.0410932 | 9.0E-5 |
Death Valley (No)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9666375E-5 | 2.201149E-5 | 2.5200643E-4 | 11.448857 | 2.3E-4 | 8.428174E-5 | 9.433159E-5 | 4.143014E-4 | 4.3919687 | 3.2E-4 | 0.001025647 | 0.0011478887 | 0.0016073607 | 1.4002757 | 4.6E-4 | 0.010209262 | 0.01142043 | 0.01210255 | 1.059728 | 6.9E-4 |
6.1 | 1.9666375E-5 | 2.201149E-5 | 2.5200643E-4 | 11.448857 | 2.3E-4 | 8.428174E-5 | 9.433159E-5 | 4.143014E-4 | 4.3919687 | 3.2E-4 | 0.001025647 | 0.0011478887 | 0.0016073607 | 1.4002757 | 4.6E-4 | 0.010209262 | 0.01142043 | 0.01210255 | 1.059728 | 6.9E-4 |
6.2 | 1.9666375E-5 | 2.201149E-5 | 2.5200643E-4 | 11.448857 | 2.3E-4 | 8.428174E-5 | 9.433159E-5 | 4.143014E-4 | 4.3919687 | 3.2E-4 | 0.001025647 | 0.0011478887 | 0.0016073607 | 1.4002757 | 4.6E-4 | 0.010209262 | 0.01142043 | 0.01210255 | 1.059728 | 6.9E-4 |
6.3 | 1.8963758E-5 | 2.121635E-5 | 2.3121189E-4 | 10.897817 | 2.1E-4 | 8.1270715E-5 | 9.0924084E-5 | 3.908968E-4 | 4.2991557 | 3.0E-4 | 9.890217E-4 | 0.0011064451 | 0.0015459583 | 1.39723 | 4.4E-4 | 0.009846316 | 0.0110101625 | 0.011662896 | 1.0592846 | 6.6E-4 |
6.4 | 1.8963758E-5 | 2.121635E-5 | 2.3121189E-4 | 10.897817 | 2.1E-4 | 8.1270715E-5 | 9.0924084E-5 | 3.908968E-4 | 4.2991557 | 3.0E-4 | 9.890217E-4 | 0.0011064451 | 0.0015459583 | 1.39723 | 4.4E-4 | 0.009846316 | 0.0110101625 | 0.011662896 | 1.0592846 | 6.6E-4 |
6.5 | 1.837566E-5 | 2.0550387E-5 | 2.2054628E-4 | 10.7319765 | 2.0E-4 | 7.8750454E-5 | 8.807015E-5 | 3.780446E-4 | 4.2925396 | 2.9E-4 | 9.58365E-4 | 0.0010717331 | 0.0015012722 | 1.4007893 | 4.3E-4 | 0.009542424 | 0.010666417 | 0.011309484 | 1.0602889 | 6.5E-4 |
6.6 | 1.7677314E-5 | 1.9759344E-5 | 2.197554E-4 | 11.121593 | 2.0E-4 | 7.5757715E-5 | 8.4680185E-5 | 3.7465562E-4 | 4.42436 | 2.9E-4 | 9.219599E-4 | 0.0010304998 | 0.0014600566 | 1.4168433 | 4.3E-4 | 0.009181442 | 0.010257945 | 0.010901278 | 1.0627155 | 6.5E-4 |
6.7 | 1.6930437E-5 | 1.8919221E-5 | 2.1891543E-4 | 11.571059 | 2.0E-4 | 7.2557E-5 | 8.107989E-5 | 3.610572E-4 | 4.453104 | 2.8E-4 | 8.830234E-4 | 9.867066E-4 | 0.0014062922 | 1.4252385 | 4.2E-4 | 0.008795229 | 0.009823953 | 0.010447764 | 1.063499 | 6.3E-4 |
6.8 | 1.6509084E-5 | 1.8456518E-5 | 2.1845283E-4 | 11.83608 | 2.0E-4 | 7.0751295E-5 | 7.9097E-5 | 3.5907485E-4 | 4.539677 | 2.8E-4 | 8.6105656E-4 | 9.6258643E-4 | 0.0013821821 | 1.4359045 | 4.2E-4 | 0.008577279 | 0.009584854 | 0.010208816 | 1.0650986 | 6.3E-4 |
6.9 | 1.6131218E-5 | 1.8047274E-5 | 2.1804367E-4 | 12.081805 | 2.0E-4 | 6.913196E-5 | 7.7343204E-5 | 3.5732155E-4 | 4.6199474 | 2.8E-4 | 8.413565E-4 | 9.412526E-4 | 0.0013508667 | 1.4351797 | 4.1E-4 | 0.008381782 | 0.009373335 | 0.009987524 | 1.065525 | 6.2E-4 |
7.0 | 1.5827703E-5 | 1.7720036E-5 | 2.1771649E-4 | 12.286459 | 2.0E-4 | 6.783125E-5 | 7.5940836E-5 | 3.5591956E-4 | 4.686801 | 2.8E-4 | 8.2553254E-4 | 9.2419336E-4 | 0.0013338145 | 1.4432201 | 4.1E-4 | 0.008224725 | 0.009204168 | 0.009818462 | 1.0667408 | 6.2E-4 |
7.1 | 1.5527876E-5 | 1.7390008E-5 | 2.1738654E-4 | 12.500657 | 2.0E-4 | 6.654634E-5 | 7.452651E-5 | 3.5450564E-4 | 4.7567725 | 2.8E-4 | 8.099005E-4 | 9.0698845E-4 | 0.0013166165 | 1.4516355 | 4.1E-4 | 0.008069552 | 0.009033531 | 0.00964793 | 1.0680132 | 6.2E-4 |
7.2 | 1.5237602E-5 | 1.7063998E-5 | 2.1706059E-4 | 12.720383 | 2.0E-4 | 6.5302374E-5 | 7.31294E-5 | 3.5310892E-4 | 4.8285494 | 2.8E-4 | 7.9476635E-4 | 8.8999263E-4 | 0.0012996277 | 1.460268 | 4.1E-4 | 0.007919299 | 0.008864941 | 0.0094794445 | 1.0693184 | 6.2E-4 |
7.3 | 1.4283242E-5 | 1.5987647E-5 | 2.1598444E-4 | 13.509459 | 2.0E-4 | 6.121246E-5 | 6.851672E-5 | 3.4849753E-4 | 5.0863137 | 2.8E-4 | 7.4500684E-4 | 8.3387736E-4 | 0.0012435354 | 1.491269 | 4.1E-4 | 0.0074251415 | 0.0083081 | 0.008913032 | 1.0728123 | 6.1E-4 |
7.4 | 1.3826613E-5 | 1.547491E-5 | 2.1547181E-4 | 13.923946 | 2.0E-4 | 5.9255566E-5 | 6.6319386E-5 | 3.4630083E-4 | 5.221713 | 2.8E-4 | 7.211977E-4 | 8.0714497E-4 | 0.0012068221 | 1.4951739 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0071886163 | 0.008042741 | 0.008637914 | 1.0740014 | 6.0E-4 |
7.5 | 1.3189405E-5 | 1.47670235E-5 | 2.0476422E-4 | 13.866317 | 1.9E-4 | 5.6524797E-5 | 6.328574E-5 | 3.3326866E-4 | 5.266094 | 2.7E-4 | 6.879721E-4 | 7.7023706E-4 | 0.0011499444 | 1.4929746 | 3.8E-4 | 0.006858461 | 0.0076762713 | 0.008251819 | 1.0749775 | 5.8E-4 |
7.6 | 1.1181E-5 | 1.2510695E-5 | 1.4250907E-4 | 11.390979 | 1.3E-4 | 4.7917692E-5 | 5.3616193E-5 | 2.3360654E-4 | 4.3570147 | 1.8E-4 | 5.8324175E-4 | 6.5258687E-4 | 9.224107E-4 | 1.413468 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0058171335 | 0.0065072468 | 0.006914579 | 1.0625967 | 4.1E-4 |
7.7 | 9.142378E-6 | 1.0226757E-5 | 1.2022563E-4 | 11.755988 | 1.1E-4 | 3.918103E-5 | 4.3828248E-5 | 2.0382124E-4 | 4.6504536 | 1.6E-4 | 4.7692464E-4 | 5.334832E-4 | 7.5336586E-4 | 1.4121641 | 2.2E-4 | 0.004759024 | 0.0053225285 | 0.0056308787 | 1.057933 | 3.1E-4 |
7.8 | 3.1694145E-7 | 3.333711E-7 | 3.333711E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3583199E-6 | 1.4287325E-6 | 1.4287325E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6537419E-5 | 1.7394683E-5 | 1.7394683E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6536188E-4 | 1.7393359E-4 | 1.8393186E-4 | 1.0574832 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.8610457E-9 | 1.9363102E-9 | 1.9363102E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.97591E-9 | 8.298473E-9 | 8.298473E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.71067E-8 | 1.01033905E-7 | 1.01033905E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.710666E-7 | 1.0103391E-6 | 1.0103391E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Big Bend)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.996636E-5 | 1.9474559E-4 | 3.2472028E-4 | 1.6674076 | 1.3E-4 | 4.283569E-4 | 8.343578E-4 | 0.0010241993 | 1.22753 | 1.9E-4 | 0.005202781 | 0.010111227 | 0.010487384 | 1.037202 | 3.8E-4 | 0.050826456 | 0.09880916 | 0.099385925 | 1.0058371 | 6.4E-4 |
6.1 | 9.996636E-5 | 1.9474559E-4 | 3.2472028E-4 | 1.6674076 | 1.3E-4 | 4.283569E-4 | 8.343578E-4 | 0.0010241993 | 1.22753 | 1.9E-4 | 0.005202781 | 0.010111227 | 0.010487384 | 1.037202 | 3.8E-4 | 0.050826456 | 0.09880916 | 0.099385925 | 1.0058371 | 6.4E-4 |
6.2 | 9.996636E-5 | 1.9474559E-4 | 3.2472028E-4 | 1.6674076 | 1.3E-4 | 4.283569E-4 | 8.343578E-4 | 0.0010241993 | 1.22753 | 1.9E-4 | 0.005202781 | 0.010111227 | 0.010487384 | 1.037202 | 3.8E-4 | 0.050826456 | 0.09880916 | 0.099385925 | 1.0058371 | 6.4E-4 |
6.3 | 9.996636E-5 | 1.9474559E-4 | 3.2472028E-4 | 1.6674076 | 1.3E-4 | 4.283569E-4 | 8.343578E-4 | 0.0010241993 | 1.22753 | 1.9E-4 | 0.005202781 | 0.010111227 | 0.010487384 | 1.037202 | 3.8E-4 | 0.050826456 | 0.09880916 | 0.099385925 | 1.0058371 | 6.4E-4 |
6.4 | 9.1149064E-5 | 1.8063291E-4 | 2.4062207E-4 | 1.3321054 | 6.0E-5 | 3.9058036E-4 | 7.7391154E-4 | 8.938187E-4 | 1.1549364 | 1.2E-4 | 0.004744952 | 0.009381772 | 0.009609614 | 1.0242857 | 2.3E-4 | 0.046449076 | 0.09220165 | 0.09256477 | 1.0039383 | 4.0E-4 |
6.5 | 9.1149064E-5 | 1.8063291E-4 | 2.4062207E-4 | 1.3321054 | 6.0E-5 | 3.9058036E-4 | 7.7391154E-4 | 8.938187E-4 | 1.1549364 | 1.2E-4 | 0.004744952 | 0.009381772 | 0.009609614 | 1.0242857 | 2.3E-4 | 0.046449076 | 0.09220165 | 0.09256477 | 1.0039383 | 4.0E-4 |
6.6 | 8.998722E-5 | 1.7880344E-4 | 2.3879271E-4 | 1.335504 | 6.0E-5 | 3.856025E-4 | 7.6607557E-4 | 8.8598364E-4 | 1.1565225 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0046846084 | 0.009287184 | 0.009515048 | 1.0245353 | 2.3E-4 | 0.045870773 | 0.09134082 | 0.09170428 | 1.0039792 | 4.0E-4 |
6.7 | 8.9371715E-5 | 1.7791743E-4 | 2.3790676E-4 | 1.3371751 | 6.0E-5 | 3.829654E-4 | 7.622806E-4 | 8.8218914E-4 | 1.1573024 | 1.2E-4 | 0.00465264 | 0.009241372 | 0.009469247 | 1.0246581 | 2.3E-4 | 0.045564268 | 0.09092046 | 0.09127501 | 1.0038995 | 3.9E-4 |
6.8 | 8.9002955E-5 | 1.7738731E-4 | 2.3737666E-4 | 1.3381829 | 6.0E-5 | 3.8138544E-4 | 7.6001E-4 | 8.799188E-4 | 1.1577727 | 1.2E-4 | 0.004633486 | 0.009213962 | 0.009431935 | 1.0236568 | 2.2E-4 | 0.045380585 | 0.090667605 | 0.091013156 | 1.0038111 | 3.8E-4 |
6.9 | 8.812639E-5 | 1.7623958E-4 | 2.2623077E-4 | 1.2836547 | 5.0E-5 | 3.7762985E-4 | 7.55094E-4 | 8.6501095E-4 | 1.1455672 | 1.1E-4 | 0.004587955 | 0.009154614 | 0.009362691 | 1.0227293 | 2.1E-4 | 0.044943828 | 0.09012232 | 0.090458974 | 1.0037355 | 3.7E-4 |
7.0 | 8.706045E-5 | 1.7477325E-4 | 2.2476452E-4 | 1.286035 | 5.0E-5 | 3.7306285E-4 | 7.488133E-4 | 8.58731E-4 | 1.1467891 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0045325845 | 0.009078787 | 0.009276971 | 1.0218294 | 2.0E-4 | 0.044412434 | 0.089425065 | 0.08975287 | 1.0036657 | 3.6E-4 |
7.1 | 8.644944E-5 | 1.7386035E-4 | 2.2385165E-4 | 1.2875371 | 5.0E-5 | 3.70445E-4 | 7.449031E-4 | 8.548212E-4 | 1.1475602 | 1.1E-4 | 0.004500844 | 0.009031575 | 0.009229769 | 1.0219445 | 2.0E-4 | 0.044107705 | 0.08899041 | 0.08931837 | 1.0036854 | 3.6E-4 |
7.2 | 8.5702006E-5 | 1.7279426E-4 | 2.2278562E-4 | 1.2893115 | 5.0E-5 | 3.672426E-4 | 7.403368E-4 | 8.4026274E-4 | 1.1349736 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0044620153 | 0.008976439 | 0.009164734 | 1.0209765 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0437348 | 0.08848291 | 0.08879282 | 1.0035026 | 3.4E-4 |
7.3 | 8.529E-5 | 1.7216432E-4 | 2.2215571E-4 | 1.2903702 | 5.0E-5 | 3.6547735E-4 | 7.376386E-4 | 8.375648E-4 | 1.1354678 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004440611 | 0.0089438595 | 0.00913216 | 1.0210537 | 1.9E-4 | 0.043529183 | 0.088179536 | 0.088489555 | 1.0035157 | 3.4E-4 |
7.4 | 8.503429E-5 | 1.7178452E-4 | 2.2177593E-4 | 1.2910123 | 5.0E-5 | 3.643818E-4 | 7.3601183E-4 | 8.359382E-4 | 1.1357673 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004427327 | 0.008924216 | 0.00911252 | 1.0211004 | 1.9E-4 | 0.043401547 | 0.08799646 | 0.088306546 | 1.0035238 | 3.4E-4 |
7.5 | 8.437471E-5 | 1.704488E-4 | 2.2044027E-4 | 1.2932932 | 5.0E-5 | 3.6155578E-4 | 7.302905E-4 | 8.3021744E-4 | 1.1368318 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0043930598 | 0.008855127 | 0.009043444 | 1.0212665 | 1.9E-4 | 0.04307224 | 0.0873578 | 0.08766809 | 1.0035521 | 3.4E-4 |
7.6 | 8.200506E-5 | 1.6503085E-4 | 2.150226E-4 | 1.3029237 | 5.0E-5 | 3.514029E-4 | 7.070835E-4 | 7.9701986E-4 | 1.1271935 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0042699403 | 0.00857484 | 0.008753297 | 1.0208117 | 1.8E-4 | 0.04188822 | 0.084783696 | 0.08508572 | 1.0035622 | 3.3E-4 |
7.7 | 7.067656E-5 | 1.4132426E-4 | 1.813186E-4 | 1.282997 | 4.0E-5 | 3.0286436E-4 | 6.055348E-4 | 6.7549245E-4 | 1.1155303 | 7.0E-5 | 0.00368114 | 0.007347504 | 0.007496402 | 1.0202651 | 1.5E-4 | 0.036207564 | 0.07330484 | 0.07353651 | 1.0031604 | 2.5E-4 |
7.8 | 6.4144915E-5 | 1.2806721E-4 | 1.4806465E-4 | 1.156148 | 2.0E-5 | 2.7487782E-4 | 5.4874405E-4 | 5.887221E-4 | 1.0728537 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0033415023 | 0.0066605215 | 0.0067797224 | 1.0178967 | 1.2E-4 | 0.03291702 | 0.06654139 | 0.06674675 | 1.0030862 | 2.2E-4 |
7.9 | 4.9276125E-5 | 9.2537324E-5 | 1.02536396E-4 | 1.1080545 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1116629E-4 | 3.9652825E-4 | 4.1652034E-4 | 1.0504178 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0025679183 | 0.0048170537 | 0.0048767645 | 1.0123957 | 6.0E-5 | 0.025384467 | 0.04848362 | 0.04860732 | 1.0025513 | 1.3E-4 |
8.0 | 3.3424498E-5 | 5.2407588E-5 | 6.240707E-5 | 1.1908021 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4323997E-4 | 2.2458463E-4 | 2.4458012E-4 | 1.0890332 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017425516 | 0.002730891 | 0.0027707817 | 1.0146072 | 4.0E-5 | 0.017289506 | 0.027979879 | 0.028047921 | 1.0024318 | 7.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.9003106E-5 | 1.8818844E-5 | 1.8818844E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.1439335E-5 | 8.0649705E-5 | 8.0649705E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.910729E-4 | 9.814684E-4 | 9.814684E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009866646 | 0.010561038 | 0.010570932 | 1.0009369 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.539297E-6 | 5.459738E-6 | 5.459738E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6596473E-5 | 2.3398668E-5 | 2.3398668E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4547097E-4 | 2.848416E-4 | 2.848416E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044457903 | 0.0032364808 | 0.0032464485 | 1.0030798 | 1.0E-5 |
8.3 | 2.0399948E-6 | 7.9482766E-7 | 7.9482766E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.742806E-6 | 3.4063999E-6 | 3.4063999E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0643846E-4 | 4.1472143E-5 | 4.1472143E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010638749 | 4.865E-4 | 4.865E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Parkfield)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.538215E-4 | 7.6376944E-4 | 8.836778E-4 | 1.1569955 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0023713622 | 0.0032697439 | 0.0034491553 | 1.0548701 | 1.8E-4 | 0.02849185 | 0.03947327 | 0.039732613 | 1.0065701 | 2.7E-4 | 0.2510299 | 0.33361536 | 0.33394855 | 1.0009987 | 5.0E-4 |
6.1 | 1.9321906E-4 | 2.9722098E-4 | 3.4720614E-4 | 1.168175 | 5.0E-5 | 8.278189E-4 | 0.0012732793 | 0.0013431902 | 1.0549061 | 7.0E-5 | 0.010032207 | 0.015498798 | 0.015607093 | 1.0069873 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0959121 | 0.1478045 | 0.14800903 | 1.0013838 | 2.4E-4 |
6.2 | 9.258204E-5 | 1.7463858E-4 | 2.146316E-4 | 1.2290045 | 4.0E-5 | 3.9671984E-4 | 7.4823736E-4 | 8.081925E-4 | 1.0801284 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0048193717 | 0.00907193 | 0.009161114 | 1.0098307 | 9.0E-5 | 0.04716185 | 0.0884384 | 0.08862071 | 1.0020615 | 2.0E-4 |
6.3 | 9.1332906E-5 | 1.721156E-4 | 2.1210872E-4 | 1.2323619 | 4.0E-5 | 3.9136803E-4 | 7.374307E-4 | 7.9738646E-4 | 1.0813036 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0047544995 | 0.008941446 | 0.009030642 | 1.0099754 | 9.0E-5 | 0.04654055 | 0.087310165 | 0.087492704 | 1.0020907 | 2.0E-4 |
6.4 | 9.0284164E-5 | 1.703643E-4 | 2.1035748E-4 | 1.234751 | 4.0E-5 | 3.8687474E-4 | 7.2992936E-4 | 7.898856E-4 | 1.0821397 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0047000316 | 0.008850861 | 0.008940065 | 1.0100785 | 9.0E-5 | 0.046018608 | 0.08650078 | 0.086683474 | 1.0021122 | 2.0E-4 |
6.5 | 8.894716E-5 | 1.680593E-4 | 2.0805257E-4 | 1.2379712 | 4.0E-5 | 3.8114644E-4 | 7.2005624E-4 | 7.8001304E-4 | 1.0832669 | 6.0E-5 | 0.004630588 | 0.0087316325 | 0.008810935 | 1.0090821 | 8.0E-5 | 0.045352794 | 0.08543053 | 0.085604295 | 1.0020341 | 1.9E-4 |
6.6 | 8.699407E-5 | 1.6487644E-4 | 2.0486985E-4 | 1.2425659 | 4.0E-5 | 3.7277845E-4 | 7.064229E-4 | 7.663805E-4 | 1.084875 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0045291362 | 0.008566976 | 0.008646291 | 1.0092582 | 8.0E-5 | 0.044379335 | 0.08395215 | 0.08411704 | 1.0019641 | 1.8E-4 |
6.7 | 8.627864E-5 | 1.6361043E-4 | 2.0360388E-4 | 1.2444432 | 4.0E-5 | 3.697132E-4 | 7.0100004E-4 | 7.6095795E-4 | 1.085532 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0044919713 | 0.008501484 | 0.008580804 | 1.0093302 | 8.0E-5 | 0.044022504 | 0.08337612 | 0.08354111 | 1.0019789 | 1.8E-4 |
6.8 | 8.598252E-5 | 1.6304535E-4 | 2.0303883E-4 | 1.2452905 | 4.0E-5 | 3.6844448E-4 | 6.985796E-4 | 7.585377E-4 | 1.0858285 | 6.0E-5 | 0.004476588 | 0.008472254 | 0.008551575 | 1.0093626 | 8.0E-5 | 0.04387477 | 0.08311254 | 0.083277576 | 1.0019858 | 1.8E-4 |
6.9 | 8.567554E-5 | 1.6245584E-4 | 2.0244933E-4 | 1.2461808 | 4.0E-5 | 3.6712922E-4 | 6.960544E-4 | 7.560127E-4 | 1.0861402 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0044606407 | 0.008441748 | 0.008521073 | 1.0093967 | 8.0E-5 | 0.043721594 | 0.08283711 | 0.0830022 | 1.001993 | 1.8E-4 |
7.0 | 8.446282E-5 | 1.6007808E-4 | 1.9007328E-4 | 1.1873785 | 3.0E-5 | 3.6193331E-4 | 6.858694E-4 | 7.358352E-4 | 1.0728502 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0043976377 | 0.008318699 | 0.008388117 | 1.0083448 | 7.0E-5 | 0.043116238 | 0.08172195 | 0.08187806 | 1.0019102 | 1.7E-4 |
7.1 | 7.777257E-5 | 1.4657389E-4 | 1.6657096E-4 | 1.1364299 | 2.0E-5 | 3.3326843E-4 | 6.2802323E-4 | 6.679981E-4 | 1.0636519 | 4.0E-5 | 0.004049996 | 0.0076195193 | 0.007679062 | 1.0078145 | 6.0E-5 | 0.039769765 | 0.07537641 | 0.07550585 | 1.0017173 | 1.4E-4 |
7.2 | 7.638472E-5 | 1.4390159E-4 | 1.6389872E-4 | 1.1389638 | 2.0E-5 | 3.2732202E-4 | 6.1657594E-4 | 6.565513E-4 | 1.0648344 | 4.0E-5 | 0.003977865 | 0.007481113 | 0.007540664 | 1.0079602 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0390741 | 0.0741245 | 0.074254125 | 1.0017487 | 1.4E-4 |
7.3 | 7.498351E-5 | 1.4094908E-4 | 1.6094626E-4 | 1.1418753 | 2.0E-5 | 3.213183E-4 | 6.0392823E-4 | 6.439041E-4 | 1.066193 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0039050344 | 0.007328173 | 0.0073877336 | 1.0081276 | 6.0E-5 | 0.038371224 | 0.07271609 | 0.072845906 | 1.0017853 | 1.4E-4 |
7.4 | 7.360815E-5 | 1.3792021E-4 | 1.5791746E-4 | 1.1449914 | 2.0E-5 | 3.1542536E-4 | 5.9095334E-4 | 6.309297E-4 | 1.0676472 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0038335426 | 0.0071712537 | 0.0072308234 | 1.0083067 | 6.0E-5 | 0.03768082 | 0.0712624 | 0.07139242 | 1.0018246 | 1.4E-4 |
7.5 | 6.147755E-5 | 1.0924734E-4 | 1.1924625E-4 | 1.0915254 | 1.0E-5 | 2.634486E-4 | 4.6811896E-4 | 4.981049E-4 | 1.0640563 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0032027694 | 0.005684482 | 0.005734198 | 1.0087459 | 5.0E-5 | 0.031570017 | 0.057373103 | 0.057495642 | 1.0021359 | 1.3E-4 |
7.6 | 6.052337E-5 | 1.0750313E-4 | 1.1750206E-4 | 1.0930105 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5936007E-4 | 4.6064646E-4 | 4.906326E-4 | 1.0650959 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0031531367 | 0.005593975 | 0.005643695 | 1.0088882 | 5.0E-5 | 0.031087708 | 0.05651591 | 0.05663856 | 1.0021702 | 1.3E-4 |
7.7 | 5.2179283E-5 | 9.075623E-5 | 1.0075532E-4 | 1.1101753 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2360633E-4 | 3.8889732E-4 | 4.0888952E-4 | 1.0514075 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0027190084 | 0.004724555 | 0.0047643664 | 1.0084264 | 4.0E-5 | 0.026859798 | 0.048155654 | 0.04825084 | 1.0019766 | 1.0E-4 |
7.8 | 4.8208694E-5 | 8.4098276E-5 | 8.4098276E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0659232E-4 | 3.603714E-4 | 3.703678E-4 | 1.0277392 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00251236 | 0.004378703 | 0.0044085714 | 1.0068214 | 3.0E-5 | 0.024841458 | 0.044633687 | 0.04471967 | 1.0019264 | 9.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.960235E-5 | 6.616643E-5 | 6.616643E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6971333E-4 | 2.8353962E-4 | 2.8353962E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020643014 | 0.003446634 | 0.003466565 | 1.0057827 | 2.0E-5 | 0.020452306 | 0.035236515 | 0.0352944 | 1.0016428 | 6.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.8799954E-5 | 4.004929E-5 | 4.004929E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2342253E-4 | 1.7162852E-4 | 1.7162852E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015016336 | 0.0020875758 | 0.002097555 | 1.0047803 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01491527 | 0.021664558 | 0.021703692 | 1.0018064 | 4.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.8700975E-5 | 1.8288863E-5 | 1.8288863E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.014458E-5 | 7.837849E-5 | 7.837849E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.753234E-4 | 9.538409E-4 | 9.538409E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009710538 | 0.010277723 | 0.01028762 | 1.000963 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.539297E-6 | 5.459738E-6 | 5.459738E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6596473E-5 | 2.3398668E-5 | 2.3398668E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4547097E-4 | 2.848416E-4 | 2.848416E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044457903 | 0.0032364808 | 0.0032464485 | 1.0030798 | 1.0E-5 |
8.3 | 2.0399948E-6 | 7.9482766E-7 | 7.9482766E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.742806E-6 | 3.4063999E-6 | 3.4063999E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0643846E-4 | 4.1472143E-5 | 4.1472143E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010638749 | 4.865E-4 | 4.865E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (San Gorgonio Pass-Garnet HIll)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.337304E-5 | 2.4532597E-4 | 4.9526466E-4 | 2.0188024 | 2.5E-4 | 3.5726407E-4 | 0.0010509753 | 0.00135066 | 1.2851491 | 3.0E-4 | 0.004341018 | 0.012720573 | 0.013115484 | 1.0310451 | 4.0E-4 | 0.04257192 | 0.117360696 | 0.117810845 | 1.0038356 | 5.1E-4 |
6.1 | 8.337304E-5 | 2.4532597E-4 | 4.9526466E-4 | 2.0188024 | 2.5E-4 | 3.5726407E-4 | 0.0010509753 | 0.00135066 | 1.2851491 | 3.0E-4 | 0.004341018 | 0.012720573 | 0.013115484 | 1.0310451 | 4.0E-4 | 0.04257192 | 0.117360696 | 0.117810845 | 1.0038356 | 5.1E-4 |
6.2 | 8.337304E-5 | 2.4532597E-4 | 4.9526466E-4 | 2.0188024 | 2.5E-4 | 3.5726407E-4 | 0.0010509753 | 0.00135066 | 1.2851491 | 3.0E-4 | 0.004341018 | 0.012720573 | 0.013115484 | 1.0310451 | 4.0E-4 | 0.04257192 | 0.117360696 | 0.117810845 | 1.0038356 | 5.1E-4 |
6.3 | 8.337304E-5 | 2.4532597E-4 | 4.9526466E-4 | 2.0188024 | 2.5E-4 | 3.5726407E-4 | 0.0010509753 | 0.00135066 | 1.2851491 | 3.0E-4 | 0.004341018 | 0.012720573 | 0.013115484 | 1.0310451 | 4.0E-4 | 0.04257192 | 0.117360696 | 0.117810845 | 1.0038356 | 5.1E-4 |
6.4 | 8.1110426E-5 | 2.4141923E-4 | 4.9135886E-4 | 2.035293 | 2.5E-4 | 3.4756982E-4 | 0.0010342456 | 0.0013239457 | 1.2801076 | 2.9E-4 | 0.004223454 | 0.01251955 | 0.012894792 | 1.0299726 | 3.8E-4 | 0.041440822 | 0.11558812 | 0.116021484 | 1.0037491 | 4.9E-4 |
6.5 | 8.1110426E-5 | 2.4141923E-4 | 4.9135886E-4 | 2.035293 | 2.5E-4 | 3.4756982E-4 | 0.0010342456 | 0.0013239457 | 1.2801076 | 2.9E-4 | 0.004223454 | 0.01251955 | 0.012894792 | 1.0299726 | 3.8E-4 | 0.041440822 | 0.11558812 | 0.116021484 | 1.0037491 | 4.9E-4 |
6.6 | 7.64762E-5 | 2.3346733E-4 | 4.8340898E-4 | 2.0705636 | 2.5E-4 | 3.27714E-4 | 0.0010001932 | 0.0012899032 | 1.289654 | 2.9E-4 | 0.00398262 | 0.012109994 | 0.012485392 | 1.0309991 | 3.8E-4 | 0.03911997 | 0.11196184 | 0.112388104 | 1.0038072 | 4.8E-4 |
6.7 | 7.455442E-5 | 2.2997608E-4 | 4.7991858E-4 | 2.0868196 | 2.5E-4 | 3.194798E-4 | 9.852421E-4 | 0.0012749564 | 1.2940539 | 2.9E-4 | 0.0038827306 | 0.011929967 | 0.012305434 | 1.0314726 | 3.8E-4 | 0.03815588 | 0.110364 | 0.11079103 | 1.0038693 | 4.8E-4 |
6.8 | 7.3898445E-5 | 2.2848345E-4 | 4.7842631E-4 | 2.0939212 | 2.5E-4 | 3.1666917E-4 | 9.7885E-4 | 0.001268566 | 1.295976 | 2.9E-4 | 0.0038486326 | 0.011852995 | 0.01222849 | 1.0316794 | 3.8E-4 | 0.037826583 | 0.10968548 | 0.11011283 | 1.0038961 | 4.8E-4 |
6.9 | 7.296211E-5 | 2.2622017E-4 | 4.761636E-4 | 2.1048682 | 2.5E-4 | 3.1265727E-4 | 9.691574E-4 | 0.0012588763 | 1.298939 | 2.9E-4 | 0.0037999593 | 0.011736265 | 0.012111805 | 1.0319983 | 3.8E-4 | 0.037356347 | 0.108661905 | 0.10908975 | 1.0039374 | 4.8E-4 |
7.0 | 7.128016E-5 | 2.2218794E-4 | 4.7213238E-4 | 2.1249237 | 2.5E-4 | 3.0545064E-4 | 9.518891E-4 | 0.0012416131 | 1.3043673 | 2.9E-4 | 0.0037125212 | 0.011528266 | 0.011903885 | 1.0325824 | 3.8E-4 | 0.036511086 | 0.106830664 | 0.107259385 | 1.0040131 | 4.8E-4 |
7.1 | 7.0489245E-5 | 2.2040059E-4 | 4.703455E-4 | 2.1340482 | 2.5E-4 | 3.020618E-4 | 9.4423455E-4 | 0.0012339607 | 1.3068371 | 2.9E-4 | 0.0036714016 | 0.011436055 | 0.011811709 | 1.0328482 | 3.8E-4 | 0.03611335 | 0.10601392 | 0.10644303 | 1.0040478 | 4.8E-4 |
7.2 | 6.8604844E-5 | 2.1618072E-4 | 4.661267E-4 | 2.15619 | 2.5E-4 | 2.9398763E-4 | 9.261624E-4 | 0.001205903 | 1.3020428 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0035734256 | 0.01121831 | 0.01158416 | 1.0326118 | 3.7E-4 | 0.035165075 | 0.10408603 | 0.1045071 | 1.0040455 | 4.7E-4 |
7.3 | 6.5814595E-5 | 2.0624744E-4 | 4.5619588E-4 | 2.2118864 | 2.5E-4 | 2.8203207E-4 | 8.836206E-4 | 0.0011633732 | 1.316598 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0034283344 | 0.010705562 | 0.011071602 | 1.0341915 | 3.7E-4 | 0.033759244 | 0.099662125 | 0.10007628 | 1.0041556 | 4.6E-4 |
7.4 | 4.9905342E-5 | 1.5003853E-4 | 4.00001E-4 | 2.6659887 | 2.5E-4 | 2.138625E-4 | 6.4286473E-4 | 9.2268473E-4 | 1.4352704 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0026006668 | 0.0077989884 | 0.008156181 | 1.0457999 | 3.6E-4 | 0.025704414 | 0.07417696 | 0.07459358 | 1.0056165 | 4.5E-4 |
7.5 | 3.8465456E-5 | 1.1322805E-4 | 3.5320089E-4 | 3.1193762 | 2.4E-4 | 1.6484153E-4 | 4.8517316E-4 | 7.550422E-4 | 1.5562323 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0020050982 | 0.005891058 | 0.0062389965 | 1.0590621 | 3.5E-4 | 0.019871028 | 0.056823287 | 0.057238284 | 1.0073034 | 4.4E-4 |
7.6 | 2.9410032E-5 | 8.6637636E-5 | 3.2661684E-4 | 3.7699187 | 2.4E-4 | 1.260369E-4 | 3.7125146E-4 | 6.411512E-4 | 1.7269999 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0015334191 | 0.0045106485 | 0.004849115 | 1.0750372 | 3.4E-4 | 0.015228811 | 0.043939807 | 0.04435091 | 1.0093561 | 4.3E-4 |
7.7 | 2.158289E-5 | 6.606046E-5 | 3.060446E-4 | 4.632796 | 2.4E-4 | 9.249482E-5 | 2.8308554E-4 | 5.530091E-4 | 1.9535053 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0011255426 | 0.0034411247 | 0.0037799547 | 1.098465 | 3.4E-4 | 0.011198589 | 0.033787854 | 0.034203324 | 1.0122964 | 4.3E-4 |
7.8 | 1.9310322E-5 | 5.7705332E-5 | 2.976915E-4 | 5.158821 | 2.4E-4 | 8.27559E-5 | 2.4728515E-4 | 5.172184E-4 | 2.0915868 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0010070873 | 0.0030065437 | 0.0033455214 | 1.1127467 | 3.4E-4 | 0.010025355 | 0.02970322 | 0.030120447 | 1.0140465 | 4.3E-4 |
7.9 | 1.5560008E-5 | 4.3282776E-5 | 2.8327238E-4 | 6.544691 | 2.4E-4 | 6.668404E-5 | 1.8548443E-4 | 4.5543435E-4 | 2.4553778 | 2.7E-4 | 8.115758E-4 | 0.0022559357 | 0.0025851913 | 1.1459508 | 3.3E-4 | 0.008086183 | 0.022560088 | 0.022951063 | 1.0173304 | 4.0E-4 |
8.0 | 1.1685418E-5 | 3.118528E-5 | 2.1117966E-4 | 6.7717743 | 1.8E-4 | 5.00794E-5 | 1.3364435E-4 | 3.3361762E-4 | 2.4963093 | 2.0E-4 | 6.0954614E-4 | 0.0016259067 | 0.0018555328 | 1.1412295 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0060787685 | 0.016366908 | 0.01663249 | 1.0162266 | 2.7E-4 |
8.1 | 4.38742E-6 | 7.3357246E-6 | 7.3357246E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8803094E-5 | 3.143844E-5 | 3.143844E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2890362E-4 | 3.826959E-4 | 3.826959E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022866798 | 0.004098885 | 0.0041088443 | 1.0024297 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 2.4019173E-6 | 2.8228305E-6 | 2.8228305E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.029389E-5 | 1.2097789E-5 | 1.2097789E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.253209E-4 | 1.4728066E-4 | 1.4728066E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012525026 | 0.0016525873 | 0.0016625709 | 1.0060412 | 1.0E-5 |
8.3 | 5.179007E-7 | 3.1114806E-7 | 3.1114806E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2195725E-6 | 1.333491E-6 | 1.333491E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.702296E-5 | 1.6235144E-5 | 1.6235144E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7019673E-4 | 1.931575E-4 | 1.931575E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elsinore (Glen Ivy) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6275591E-4 | 2.9709082E-4 | 4.8703438E-4 | 1.639345 | 1.9E-4 | 6.9733884E-4 | 0.001272714 | 0.0015024212 | 1.1804862 | 2.3E-4 | 0.008457098 | 0.015407036 | 0.015771335 | 1.023645 | 3.7E-4 | 0.08142399 | 0.14118096 | 0.14155026 | 1.0026157 | 4.3E-4 |
6.1 | 1.6275591E-4 | 2.9709082E-4 | 4.8703438E-4 | 1.639345 | 1.9E-4 | 6.9733884E-4 | 0.001272714 | 0.0015024212 | 1.1804862 | 2.3E-4 | 0.008457098 | 0.015407036 | 0.015771335 | 1.023645 | 3.7E-4 | 0.08142399 | 0.14118096 | 0.14155026 | 1.0026157 | 4.3E-4 |
6.2 | 1.6275591E-4 | 2.9709082E-4 | 4.8703438E-4 | 1.639345 | 1.9E-4 | 6.9733884E-4 | 0.001272714 | 0.0015024212 | 1.1804862 | 2.3E-4 | 0.008457098 | 0.015407036 | 0.015771335 | 1.023645 | 3.7E-4 | 0.08142399 | 0.14118096 | 0.14155026 | 1.0026157 | 4.3E-4 |
6.3 | 1.00125304E-4 | 1.7666884E-4 | 3.0664587E-4 | 1.73571 | 1.3E-4 | 4.2903787E-4 | 7.5705134E-4 | 9.169302E-4 | 1.2111863 | 1.6E-4 | 0.005211032 | 0.009199224 | 0.009427108 | 1.0247722 | 2.3E-4 | 0.05090518 | 0.08679811 | 0.08704467 | 1.0028406 | 2.7E-4 |
6.4 | 1.00125304E-4 | 1.7666884E-4 | 3.0664587E-4 | 1.73571 | 1.3E-4 | 4.2903787E-4 | 7.5705134E-4 | 9.169302E-4 | 1.2111863 | 1.6E-4 | 0.005211032 | 0.009199224 | 0.009427108 | 1.0247722 | 2.3E-4 | 0.05090518 | 0.08679811 | 0.08704467 | 1.0028406 | 2.7E-4 |
6.5 | 3.5283567E-5 | 4.5015593E-5 | 6.501469E-5 | 1.4442705 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5120652E-4 | 1.9291218E-4 | 2.1290833E-4 | 1.1036541 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0018393848 | 0.0023466141 | 0.0023865204 | 1.0170058 | 4.0E-5 | 0.018242342 | 0.023005817 | 0.023054667 | 1.0021234 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.5877804E-5 | 2.7169051E-5 | 3.716878E-5 | 1.3680558 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1090015E-4 | 1.1643383E-4 | 1.2643267E-4 | 1.0858757 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001349373 | 0.0014167018 | 0.0014466593 | 1.0211459 | 3.0E-5 | 0.013412088 | 0.014084353 | 0.014123789 | 1.0028 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.2711587E-5 | 2.2737597E-5 | 2.2737597E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.733174E-5 | 9.744335E-5 | 9.744335E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011843697 | 0.0011857533 | 0.0011957415 | 1.0084234 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011780773 | 0.011801085 | 0.011820849 | 1.0016748 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.8062692E-5 | 1.6788077E-5 | 1.6788077E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.740924E-5 | 7.194696E-5 | 7.194696E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4205E-4 | 8.756091E-4 | 8.8560034E-4 | 1.0114106 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009380665 | 0.008724698 | 0.008744524 | 1.0022724 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.7132816E-5 | 1.567099E-5 | 1.567099E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3424286E-5 | 6.715969E-5 | 6.715969E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9357403E-4 | 8.173686E-4 | 8.273605E-4 | 1.0122244 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008899895 | 0.008146523 | 0.008156441 | 1.0012175 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.4638881E-5 | 1.2607753E-5 | 1.2607753E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.273655E-5 | 5.4032123E-5 | 5.4032123E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.635498E-4 | 6.576447E-4 | 6.6763815E-4 | 1.0151957 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0076093166 | 0.0065592253 | 0.0065691597 | 1.0015146 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.4052798E-5 | 1.1906366E-5 | 1.1906366E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0224887E-5 | 5.1026294E-5 | 5.1026294E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.329913E-4 | 6.210701E-4 | 6.310639E-4 | 1.0160912 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0073057828 | 0.0061951694 | 0.006205107 | 1.0016042 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.2804514E-5 | 1.0568678E-5 | 1.0568678E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4875334E-5 | 4.5293556E-5 | 4.5293556E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6790235E-4 | 5.5131124E-4 | 5.6130573E-4 | 1.0181286 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0066589853 | 0.0055003758 | 0.005510321 | 1.001808 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.0663969E-5 | 8.533331E-6 | 8.533331E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5701927E-5 | 3.6570917E-5 | 3.6570917E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5627886E-4 | 4.451613E-4 | 4.5515684E-4 | 1.0224538 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005548884 | 0.004443041 | 0.0044529964 | 1.0022407 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.330863E-6 | 7.367059E-6 | 7.367059E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.99888E-5 | 3.1572734E-5 | 3.1572734E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8675487E-4 | 3.8433142E-4 | 3.9432757E-4 | 1.0260092 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004856901 | 0.003836789 | 0.0038467506 | 1.0025964 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 8.1369935E-6 | 6.259672E-6 | 6.259672E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4872366E-5 | 2.6826894E-5 | 2.6826894E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2448833E-4 | 3.2656957E-4 | 3.2656957E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004236784 | 0.0032610057 | 0.0032610057 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 7.5711787E-6 | 5.7442157E-6 | 5.7442157E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2447504E-5 | 2.4617842E-5 | 2.4617842E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9497676E-4 | 2.9968205E-4 | 2.9968205E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039427546 | 0.0029928847 | 0.0029928847 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.7345966E-6 | 3.260369E-6 | 3.260369E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.029097E-5 | 1.3972939E-5 | 1.3972939E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4701457E-4 | 1.7010779E-4 | 1.7010779E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024674018 | 0.0016998294 | 0.0016998294 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 8.796875E-7 | 5.878669E-7 | 5.878669E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7700838E-6 | 2.5194272E-6 | 2.5194272E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5899804E-5 | 3.067361E-5 | 3.067361E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5890323E-4 | 3.0669532E-4 | 3.0669532E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 9.339275E-8 | 6.1061954E-8 | 6.1061954E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0025458E-7 | 2.6169405E-7 | 2.6169405E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8730885E-6 | 3.1861207E-6 | 3.1861207E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8729817E-5 | 3.186076E-5 | 3.186076E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.2971227E-9 | 6.43835E-10 | 6.43835E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5590976E-9 | 2.7592928E-9 | 2.7592928E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.768201E-8 | 3.359439E-8 | 3.359439E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7681987E-7 | 3.3594387E-7 | 3.3594387E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Sierra Nevada (No Extension)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.681013E-6 | 6.890314E-6 | 2.0688893E-4 | 30.026054 | 2.0E-4 | 3.291821E-5 | 2.952977E-5 | 2.695227E-4 | 9.1271515 | 2.4E-4 | 4.0070552E-4 | 3.5949913E-4 | 7.393625E-4 | 2.0566463 | 3.8E-4 | 0.0039998377 | 0.0035924574 | 0.004060769 | 1.1303596 | 4.7E-4 |
6.1 | 7.681013E-6 | 6.890314E-6 | 2.0688893E-4 | 30.026054 | 2.0E-4 | 3.291821E-5 | 2.952977E-5 | 2.695227E-4 | 9.1271515 | 2.4E-4 | 4.0070552E-4 | 3.5949913E-4 | 7.393625E-4 | 2.0566463 | 3.8E-4 | 0.0039998377 | 0.0035924574 | 0.004060769 | 1.1303596 | 4.7E-4 |
6.2 | 7.681013E-6 | 6.890314E-6 | 2.0688893E-4 | 30.026054 | 2.0E-4 | 3.291821E-5 | 2.952977E-5 | 2.695227E-4 | 9.1271515 | 2.4E-4 | 4.0070552E-4 | 3.5949913E-4 | 7.393625E-4 | 2.0566463 | 3.8E-4 | 0.0039998377 | 0.0035924574 | 0.004060769 | 1.1303596 | 4.7E-4 |
6.3 | 7.681013E-6 | 6.890314E-6 | 2.0688893E-4 | 30.026054 | 2.0E-4 | 3.291821E-5 | 2.952977E-5 | 2.695227E-4 | 9.1271515 | 2.4E-4 | 4.0070552E-4 | 3.5949913E-4 | 7.393625E-4 | 2.0566463 | 3.8E-4 | 0.0039998377 | 0.0035924574 | 0.004060769 | 1.1303596 | 4.7E-4 |
6.4 | 7.681013E-6 | 6.890314E-6 | 2.0688893E-4 | 30.026054 | 2.0E-4 | 3.291821E-5 | 2.952977E-5 | 2.695227E-4 | 9.1271515 | 2.4E-4 | 4.0070552E-4 | 3.5949913E-4 | 7.393625E-4 | 2.0566463 | 3.8E-4 | 0.0039998377 | 0.0035924574 | 0.004060769 | 1.1303596 | 4.7E-4 |
6.5 | 7.681013E-6 | 6.890314E-6 | 2.0688893E-4 | 30.026054 | 2.0E-4 | 3.291821E-5 | 2.952977E-5 | 2.695227E-4 | 9.1271515 | 2.4E-4 | 4.0070552E-4 | 3.5949913E-4 | 7.393625E-4 | 2.0566463 | 3.8E-4 | 0.0039998377 | 0.0035924574 | 0.004060769 | 1.1303596 | 4.7E-4 |
6.6 | 2.7332817E-6 | 1.7088931E-6 | 1.6170862E-4 | 94.6277 | 1.6E-4 | 1.1714012E-5 | 7.323807E-6 | 1.8732248E-4 | 25.577202 | 1.8E-4 | 1.4260875E-4 | 8.916375E-5 | 3.4914055E-4 | 3.9157233 | 2.6E-4 | 0.0014251727 | 8.9128374E-4 | 0.0011810253 | 1.3250834 | 2.9E-4 |
6.7 | 2.6557523E-6 | 1.6289625E-6 | 1.616287E-4 | 99.22187 | 1.6E-4 | 1.1381746E-5 | 6.9812495E-6 | 1.8697999E-4 | 26.78317 | 1.8E-4 | 1.3856393E-4 | 8.499343E-5 | 3.4497134E-4 | 4.0588 | 2.6E-4 | 0.0013847757 | 8.496125E-4 | 0.0011393662 | 1.341042 | 2.9E-4 |
6.8 | 2.6483924E-6 | 1.6242167E-6 | 1.6162396E-4 | 99.508865 | 1.6E-4 | 1.1350204E-5 | 6.96091E-6 | 1.8695966E-4 | 26.858507 | 1.8E-4 | 1.3817997E-4 | 8.4745814E-5 | 3.4472378E-4 | 4.067738 | 2.6E-4 | 0.0013809407 | 8.471383E-4 | 0.0011368926 | 1.342039 | 2.9E-4 |
6.9 | 2.505623E-6 | 1.4836432E-6 | 1.614834E-4 | 108.842476 | 1.6E-4 | 1.0738339E-5 | 6.3584557E-6 | 1.8635731E-4 | 29.30858 | 1.8E-4 | 1.3073144E-4 | 7.7411474E-5 | 3.3739134E-4 | 4.358415 | 2.6E-4 | 0.0013065456 | 7.7384716E-4 | 0.0010636228 | 1.374461 | 2.9E-4 |
7.0 | 2.4794133E-6 | 1.4595695E-6 | 1.6145933E-4 | 110.62121 | 1.6E-4 | 1.0626014E-5 | 6.2552826E-6 | 1.8625415E-4 | 29.775497 | 1.8E-4 | 1.2936404E-4 | 7.6155426E-5 | 3.3613562E-4 | 4.4138107 | 2.6E-4 | 0.0012928875 | 7.612953E-4 | 0.0010510746 | 1.3806397 | 2.9E-4 |
7.1 | 2.3966231E-6 | 1.3823081E-6 | 1.613821E-4 | 116.748276 | 1.6E-4 | 1.0271201E-5 | 5.9241643E-6 | 1.859231E-4 | 31.383852 | 1.8E-4 | 1.250447E-4 | 7.212433E-5 | 3.3210558E-4 | 4.604626 | 2.6E-4 | 0.0012497436 | 7.2101096E-4 | 0.0010108019 | 1.4019231 | 2.9E-4 |
7.2 | 2.2992451E-6 | 1.2974541E-6 | 1.6129724E-4 | 124.31827 | 1.6E-4 | 9.85387E-6 | 5.5605055E-6 | 1.855595E-4 | 33.370975 | 1.8E-4 | 1.1996427E-4 | 6.769707E-5 | 3.2767947E-4 | 4.8403788 | 2.6E-4 | 0.0011989953 | 6.76766E-4 | 9.6656976E-4 | 1.4282185 | 2.9E-4 |
7.3 | 2.1572107E-6 | 1.1828905E-6 | 1.611827E-4 | 136.26173 | 1.6E-4 | 9.245156E-6 | 5.0695207E-6 | 1.8506861E-4 | 36.506134 | 1.8E-4 | 1.12553964E-4 | 6.171968E-5 | 3.2170364E-4 | 5.2123346 | 2.6E-4 | 0.0011249697 | 6.1702664E-4 | 9.068477E-4 | 1.4697059 | 2.9E-4 |
7.4 | 1.8911298E-6 | 9.739929E-7 | 1.009739E-4 | 103.67006 | 1.0E-4 | 8.1048165E-6 | 4.1742483E-6 | 1.2417375E-4 | 29.74757 | 1.2E-4 | 9.867168E-5 | 5.0820294E-5 | 2.4081064E-4 | 4.738474 | 1.9E-4 | 9.862788E-4 | 5.0808745E-4 | 7.279757E-4 | 1.4327763 | 2.2E-4 |
7.5 | 1.4998001E-6 | 7.365944E-7 | 8.0736536E-5 | 109.60786 | 8.0E-5 | 6.427699E-6 | 3.1568295E-6 | 1.0315651E-4 | 32.677254 | 1.0E-4 | 7.825442E-5 | 3.8433725E-5 | 1.8842796E-4 | 4.9026723 | 1.5E-4 | 7.8226876E-4 | 3.842712E-4 | 5.64202E-4 | 1.4682392 | 1.8E-4 |
7.6 | 1.0382483E-6 | 4.6250517E-7 | 2.0462496E-5 | 44.24274 | 2.0E-5 | 4.449628E-6 | 1.9821634E-6 | 2.1982123E-5 | 11.089965 | 2.0E-5 | 5.4172873E-5 | 2.4132576E-5 | 7.413137E-5 | 3.0718381 | 5.0E-5 | 5.415967E-4 | 2.4129981E-4 | 3.212805E-4 | 1.3314577 | 8.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.5865365E-7 | 1.639999E-7 | 1.0163998E-5 | 61.975636 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3942277E-6 | 7.0285654E-7 | 1.0702849E-5 | 15.227645 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9149332E-5 | 8.5572465E-6 | 3.855699E-5 | 4.5057707 | 3.0E-5 | 2.9145507E-4 | 8.556929E-5 | 1.3556502E-4 | 1.5842718 | 5.0E-5 |
Red Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.9326595E-6 | 9.275556E-6 | 1.2927444E-4 | 13.937109 | 1.2E-4 | 3.8282265E-5 | 3.9751896E-5 | 2.0974514E-4 | 5.2763553 | 1.7E-4 | 4.659869E-4 | 4.838929E-4 | 7.3377194E-4 | 1.5163933 | 2.5E-4 | 0.00465011 | 0.0048304596 | 0.0052484307 | 1.0865283 | 4.2E-4 |
6.1 | 3.988903E-6 | 4.1373933E-6 | 5.413719E-5 | 13.084853 | 5.0E-5 | 1.7095186E-5 | 1.7731598E-5 | 8.7730354E-5 | 4.947685 | 7.0E-5 | 2.0811401E-4 | 2.1586662E-4 | 3.058472E-4 | 1.4168341 | 9.0E-5 | 0.002079192 | 0.0021571382 | 0.0023068148 | 1.0693866 | 1.5E-4 |
6.2 | 3.988903E-6 | 4.1373933E-6 | 5.413719E-5 | 13.084853 | 5.0E-5 | 1.7095186E-5 | 1.7731598E-5 | 8.7730354E-5 | 4.947685 | 7.0E-5 | 2.0811401E-4 | 2.1586662E-4 | 3.058472E-4 | 1.4168341 | 9.0E-5 | 0.002079192 | 0.0021571382 | 0.0023068148 | 1.0693866 | 1.5E-4 |
6.3 | 1.4533539E-6 | 1.5083419E-6 | 2.1508311E-5 | 14.259573 | 2.0E-5 | 6.2286445E-6 | 6.4643154E-6 | 2.6464186E-5 | 4.0938883 | 2.0E-5 | 7.583111E-5 | 7.8701756E-5 | 1.08699394E-4 | 1.381156 | 3.0E-5 | 7.580524E-4 | 7.868914E-4 | 8.36852E-4 | 1.0634912 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.4533539E-6 | 1.5083419E-6 | 2.1508311E-5 | 14.259573 | 2.0E-5 | 6.2286445E-6 | 6.4643154E-6 | 2.6464186E-5 | 4.0938883 | 2.0E-5 | 7.583111E-5 | 7.8701756E-5 | 1.08699394E-4 | 1.381156 | 3.0E-5 | 7.580524E-4 | 7.868914E-4 | 8.36852E-4 | 1.0634912 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.0333458E-6 | 1.0724643E-6 | 2.1072443E-5 | 19.648619 | 2.0E-5 | 4.4286176E-6 | 4.5962756E-6 | 2.4596184E-5 | 5.351329 | 2.0E-5 | 5.3917087E-5 | 5.595966E-5 | 8.595798E-5 | 1.5360705 | 3.0E-5 | 5.390401E-4 | 5.595966E-4 | 6.095686E-4 | 1.0893 | 5.0E-5 |
Death Valley (Fish Lake Valley)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.6196117E-5 | 4.3548724E-5 | 1.9354219E-4 | 4.4442677 | 1.5E-4 | 1.55117E-4 | 1.8662507E-4 | 3.9658588E-4 | 2.1250408 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0018869134 | 0.0022699684 | 0.0025493328 | 1.1230698 | 2.8E-4 | 0.018709717 | 0.022485944 | 0.022886725 | 1.0178236 | 4.1E-4 |
6.1 | 3.6196117E-5 | 4.3548724E-5 | 1.9354219E-4 | 4.4442677 | 1.5E-4 | 1.55117E-4 | 1.8662507E-4 | 3.9658588E-4 | 2.1250408 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0018869134 | 0.0022699684 | 0.0025493328 | 1.1230698 | 2.8E-4 | 0.018709717 | 0.022485944 | 0.022886725 | 1.0178236 | 4.1E-4 |
6.2 | 3.6196117E-5 | 4.3548724E-5 | 1.9354219E-4 | 4.4442677 | 1.5E-4 | 1.55117E-4 | 1.8662507E-4 | 3.9658588E-4 | 2.1250408 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0018869134 | 0.0022699684 | 0.0025493328 | 1.1230698 | 2.8E-4 | 0.018709717 | 0.022485944 | 0.022886725 | 1.0178236 | 4.1E-4 |
6.3 | 2.8488079E-5 | 3.363848E-5 | 1.8363343E-4 | 5.4590287 | 1.5E-4 | 1.2208604E-4 | 1.4415733E-4 | 3.5412706E-4 | 2.4565318 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0014853841 | 0.0017537769 | 0.0020332858 | 1.1593754 | 2.8E-4 | 0.014754947 | 0.01740713 | 0.017809993 | 1.0231435 | 4.1E-4 |
6.4 | 2.8488079E-5 | 3.363848E-5 | 1.8363343E-4 | 5.4590287 | 1.5E-4 | 1.2208604E-4 | 1.4415733E-4 | 3.5412706E-4 | 2.4565318 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0014853841 | 0.0017537769 | 0.0020332858 | 1.1593754 | 2.8E-4 | 0.014754947 | 0.01740713 | 0.017809993 | 1.0231435 | 4.1E-4 |
6.5 | 2.4580631E-5 | 2.8697708E-5 | 1.786934E-4 | 6.2267485 | 1.5E-4 | 1.0534131E-4 | 1.229846E-4 | 3.3295876E-4 | 2.707321 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0012817758 | 0.0014963596 | 0.0017759406 | 1.1868408 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0127440775 | 0.014868097 | 0.015272002 | 1.0271658 | 4.1E-4 |
6.6 | 2.115977E-5 | 2.4443023E-5 | 1.7443935E-4 | 7.1365705 | 1.5E-4 | 9.068158E-5 | 1.0475179E-4 | 3.1472978E-4 | 3.004529 | 2.1E-4 | 0.001103489 | 0.0012746394 | 0.0015542825 | 1.2193899 | 2.8E-4 | 0.010980255 | 0.01267669 | 0.013081492 | 1.0319328 | 4.1E-4 |
6.7 | 1.849472E-5 | 2.1181226E-5 | 1.7117805E-4 | 8.081593 | 1.5E-4 | 7.926068E-5 | 9.0773654E-5 | 3.007546E-4 | 3.3132365 | 2.1E-4 | 9.645715E-4 | 0.0011046316 | 0.0013743333 | 1.2441554 | 2.7E-4 | 0.009603955 | 0.010993773 | 0.011389376 | 1.0359843 | 4.0E-4 |
6.8 | 1.6351334E-5 | 1.858738E-5 | 1.685846E-4 | 9.069841 | 1.5E-4 | 7.0075264E-5 | 7.965785E-5 | 2.8964112E-4 | 3.636065 | 2.1E-4 | 8.5283234E-4 | 9.694179E-4 | 0.0012391561 | 1.2782476 | 2.7E-4 | 0.008495668 | 0.00965347 | 0.010049609 | 1.0410359 | 4.0E-4 |
6.9 | 1.4341599E-5 | 1.6184904E-5 | 1.6618248E-4 | 10.267746 | 1.5E-4 | 6.1462546E-5 | 6.9362075E-5 | 2.793475E-4 | 4.027381 | 2.1E-4 | 7.480496E-4 | 8.4416446E-4 | 0.0011139365 | 1.3195729 | 2.7E-4 | 0.007455365 | 0.008410468 | 0.008807103 | 1.0471598 | 4.0E-4 |
7.0 | 1.2851966E-5 | 1.4429115E-5 | 1.6442695E-4 | 11.395498 | 1.5E-4 | 5.5078694E-5 | 6.183763E-5 | 2.7182465E-4 | 4.3957806 | 2.1E-4 | 6.7037676E-4 | 7.526187E-4 | 0.0010224155 | 1.3584774 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0066835806 | 0.0075012986 | 0.007898298 | 1.0529242 | 4.0E-4 |
7.1 | 1.24054795E-5 | 1.3912738E-5 | 1.6391065E-4 | 11.781337 | 1.5E-4 | 5.316526E-5 | 5.9624686E-5 | 2.6961215E-4 | 4.521821 | 2.1E-4 | 6.4709474E-4 | 7.256942E-4 | 9.954983E-4 | 1.3717875 | 2.7E-4 | 0.006452137 | 0.0072338157 | 0.0076309224 | 1.0548959 | 4.0E-4 |
7.2 | 1.2338555E-5 | 1.3837147E-5 | 1.6383507E-4 | 11.840236 | 1.5E-4 | 5.287845E-5 | 5.930074E-5 | 2.6928828E-4 | 4.5410614 | 2.1E-4 | 6.4360496E-4 | 7.217527E-4 | 9.915578E-4 | 1.3738194 | 2.7E-4 | 0.006417441 | 0.0071946573 | 0.0075917793 | 1.0551968 | 4.0E-4 |
7.3 | 1.2167435E-5 | 1.3646547E-5 | 1.636445E-4 | 11.991642 | 1.5E-4 | 5.2145107E-5 | 5.8483918E-5 | 2.6847163E-4 | 4.590521 | 2.1E-4 | 6.346817E-4 | 7.118145E-4 | 9.816223E-4 | 1.3790423 | 2.7E-4 | 0.006328721 | 0.007095914 | 0.0074930754 | 1.0559704 | 4.0E-4 |
7.4 | 1.1937304E-5 | 1.3389129E-5 | 1.6338711E-4 | 12.202969 | 1.5E-4 | 5.1158873E-5 | 5.738075E-5 | 2.673687E-4 | 4.659554 | 2.1E-4 | 6.226812E-4 | 6.983921E-4 | 9.6820353E-4 | 1.3863323 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0062093935 | 0.0069625387 | 0.007359754 | 1.0570503 | 4.0E-4 |
7.5 | 1.1483521E-5 | 1.2886512E-5 | 1.6288458E-4 | 12.639927 | 1.5E-4 | 4.9214163E-5 | 5.522677E-5 | 2.6521517E-4 | 4.802294 | 2.1E-4 | 5.9901766E-4 | 6.721839E-4 | 9.420024E-4 | 1.4014058 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0059740553 | 0.006702068 | 0.007099387 | 1.059283 | 4.0E-4 |
7.6 | 1.0223737E-5 | 1.1466811E-5 | 1.3146544E-4 | 11.464865 | 1.2E-4 | 4.381528E-5 | 4.9142578E-5 | 2.1913422E-4 | 4.4591517 | 1.7E-4 | 5.333205E-4 | 5.981517E-4 | 8.1802014E-4 | 1.3675797 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0053204233 | 0.0059659383 | 0.00630391 | 1.0566502 | 3.4E-4 |
7.7 | 8.890573E-6 | 9.966404E-6 | 1.19965305E-4 | 12.03697 | 1.1E-4 | 3.8101898E-5 | 4.2712487E-5 | 2.0270565E-4 | 4.745817 | 1.6E-4 | 4.6379183E-4 | 5.199054E-4 | 7.2979624E-4 | 1.4037097 | 2.1E-4 | 0.004628251 | 0.0051873922 | 0.0054858364 | 1.0575325 | 3.0E-4 |
7.8 | 2.8438137E-7 | 2.9968996E-7 | 2.9968996E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2187767E-6 | 1.2843849E-6 | 1.2843849E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4838505E-5 | 1.5637277E-5 | 1.5637277E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4837515E-4 | 1.5636209E-4 | 1.6636052E-4 | 1.0639441 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.8610457E-9 | 1.9363102E-9 | 1.9363102E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.97591E-9 | 8.298473E-9 | 8.298473E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.71067E-8 | 1.01033905E-7 | 1.01033905E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.710666E-7 | 1.0103391E-6 | 1.0103391E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Carrizo) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1621781E-4 | 2.3829065E-4 | 3.0827397E-4 | 1.2936889 | 7.0E-5 | 4.9798127E-4 | 0.0010208475 | 0.0011307353 | 1.1076436 | 1.1E-4 | 0.00604608 | 0.012358447 | 0.012555975 | 1.0159832 | 2.0E-4 | 0.058842067 | 0.11857754 | 0.118921295 | 1.0028989 | 3.9E-4 |
6.1 | 1.1621781E-4 | 2.3829065E-4 | 3.0827397E-4 | 1.2936889 | 7.0E-5 | 4.9798127E-4 | 0.0010208475 | 0.0011307353 | 1.1076436 | 1.1E-4 | 0.00604608 | 0.012358447 | 0.012555975 | 1.0159832 | 2.0E-4 | 0.058842067 | 0.11857754 | 0.118921295 | 1.0028989 | 3.9E-4 |
6.2 | 1.1621781E-4 | 2.3829065E-4 | 3.0827397E-4 | 1.2936889 | 7.0E-5 | 4.9798127E-4 | 0.0010208475 | 0.0011307353 | 1.1076436 | 1.1E-4 | 0.00604608 | 0.012358447 | 0.012555975 | 1.0159832 | 2.0E-4 | 0.058842067 | 0.11857754 | 0.118921295 | 1.0028989 | 3.9E-4 |
6.3 | 1.1621781E-4 | 2.3829065E-4 | 3.0827397E-4 | 1.2936889 | 7.0E-5 | 4.9798127E-4 | 0.0010208475 | 0.0011307353 | 1.1076436 | 1.1E-4 | 0.00604608 | 0.012358447 | 0.012555975 | 1.0159832 | 2.0E-4 | 0.058842067 | 0.11857754 | 0.118921295 | 1.0028989 | 3.9E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1621781E-4 | 2.3829065E-4 | 3.0827397E-4 | 1.2936889 | 7.0E-5 | 4.9798127E-4 | 0.0010208475 | 0.0011307353 | 1.1076436 | 1.1E-4 | 0.00604608 | 0.012358447 | 0.012555975 | 1.0159832 | 2.0E-4 | 0.058842067 | 0.11857754 | 0.118921295 | 1.0028989 | 3.9E-4 |
6.5 | 1.1291474E-4 | 2.3207827E-4 | 3.0206202E-4 | 1.3015524 | 7.0E-5 | 4.8383055E-4 | 9.942435E-4 | 0.0011041341 | 1.1105269 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0058747386 | 0.012038155 | 0.012235749 | 1.0164138 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0572184 | 0.115811266 | 0.11614726 | 1.0029012 | 3.8E-4 |
6.6 | 1.1291474E-4 | 2.3207827E-4 | 3.0206202E-4 | 1.3015524 | 7.0E-5 | 4.8383055E-4 | 9.942435E-4 | 0.0011041341 | 1.1105269 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0058747386 | 0.012038155 | 0.012235749 | 1.0164138 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0572184 | 0.115811266 | 0.11614726 | 1.0029012 | 3.8E-4 |
6.7 | 1.1131116E-4 | 2.290628E-4 | 2.9904678E-4 | 1.305523 | 7.0E-5 | 4.769606E-4 | 9.813298E-4 | 0.0010912219 | 1.1119828 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0057915444 | 0.011882654 | 0.012080278 | 1.0166312 | 2.0E-4 | 0.05642913 | 0.11446503 | 0.114792675 | 1.0028625 | 3.7E-4 |
6.8 | 1.1085265E-4 | 2.2809958E-4 | 2.980836E-4 | 1.3068135 | 7.0E-5 | 4.7499625E-4 | 9.772049E-4 | 0.0010870973 | 1.112456 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0057677557 | 0.0118329795 | 0.012030613 | 1.0167019 | 2.0E-4 | 0.056203336 | 0.1140309 | 0.11435871 | 1.0028747 | 3.7E-4 |
6.9 | 1.1037759E-4 | 2.2709604E-4 | 2.9708014E-4 | 1.3081696 | 7.0E-5 | 4.7296102E-4 | 9.729072E-4 | 0.0010828001 | 1.1129532 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0057431078 | 0.011781222 | 0.011968984 | 1.0159373 | 1.9E-4 | 0.05596933 | 0.113578826 | 0.113897935 | 1.0028096 | 3.6E-4 |
7.0 | 1.0991247E-4 | 2.2614305E-4 | 2.9612723E-4 | 1.3094686 | 7.0E-5 | 4.709684E-4 | 9.6882595E-4 | 0.0010787194 | 1.1134294 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0057189753 | 0.01173207 | 0.011919841 | 1.0160049 | 1.9E-4 | 0.055740174 | 0.11314715 | 0.11346641 | 1.0028217 | 3.6E-4 |
7.1 | 1.0257383E-4 | 2.1053162E-4 | 2.70519E-4 | 1.2849329 | 6.0E-5 | 4.3952806E-4 | 9.019672E-4 | 0.001001877 | 1.1107688 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005338132 | 0.010926432 | 0.011104465 | 1.0162938 | 1.8E-4 | 0.052117098 | 0.10606149 | 0.10635649 | 1.0027814 | 3.3E-4 |
7.2 | 9.967308E-5 | 2.0446008E-4 | 2.6444782E-4 | 1.2933958 | 6.0E-5 | 4.271004E-4 | 8.7596406E-4 | 9.7587646E-4 | 1.1140599 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005187556 | 0.010612968 | 0.010791058 | 1.0167804 | 1.8E-4 | 0.050681178 | 0.10329073 | 0.10357767 | 1.002778 | 3.2E-4 |
7.3 | 9.74259E-5 | 1.9897077E-4 | 2.5895884E-4 | 1.3014919 | 6.0E-5 | 4.1747277E-4 | 8.52454E-4 | 9.523687E-4 | 1.1172084 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005070891 | 0.010329483 | 0.010507624 | 1.0172459 | 1.8E-4 | 0.049567297 | 0.100750804 | 0.10103856 | 1.0028561 | 3.2E-4 |
7.4 | 9.475861E-5 | 1.924789E-4 | 2.5246735E-4 | 1.3116624 | 6.0E-5 | 4.060451E-4 | 8.2464947E-4 | 9.2456705E-4 | 1.1211636 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0049323984 | 0.00999411 | 0.010172311 | 1.0178306 | 1.8E-4 | 0.048243478 | 0.0977268 | 0.09801553 | 1.0029545 | 3.2E-4 |
7.5 | 8.041468E-5 | 1.5827351E-4 | 2.082656E-4 | 1.3158588 | 5.0E-5 | 3.445888E-4 | 6.7813887E-4 | 7.6807785E-4 | 1.1326262 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0041873003 | 0.008225157 | 0.008393759 | 1.0204983 | 1.7E-4 | 0.041092742 | 0.08160887 | 0.08189357 | 1.0034887 | 3.1E-4 |
7.6 | 7.885749E-5 | 1.5488818E-4 | 2.0488043E-4 | 1.3227636 | 5.0E-5 | 3.379169E-4 | 6.6363777E-4 | 7.5357803E-4 | 1.1355262 | 9.0E-5 | 0.004106379 | 0.008049924 | 0.008218556 | 1.0209482 | 1.7E-4 | 0.040313236 | 0.07998116 | 0.080266364 | 1.0035659 | 3.1E-4 |
7.7 | 6.800855E-5 | 1.3264606E-4 | 1.7264075E-4 | 1.3015144 | 4.0E-5 | 2.9143263E-4 | 5.683593E-4 | 6.383195E-4 | 1.1230916 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0035424205 | 0.006897852 | 0.007036886 | 1.0201561 | 1.4E-4 | 0.034864813 | 0.069137745 | 0.06936115 | 1.0032313 | 2.4E-4 |
7.8 | 6.1754414E-5 | 1.2094831E-4 | 1.409459E-4 | 1.16534 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6463493E-4 | 5.1824696E-4 | 5.582262E-4 | 1.0771433 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0032171702 | 0.0062914267 | 0.0064007347 | 1.0173742 | 1.1E-4 | 0.031709917 | 0.06310026 | 0.06329702 | 1.003118 | 2.1E-4 |
7.9 | 4.7614627E-5 | 8.807159E-5 | 9.807071E-5 | 1.113534 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0404674E-4 | 3.773951E-4 | 3.9738754E-4 | 1.0529748 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0024814385 | 0.0045851124 | 0.004644837 | 1.0130259 | 6.0E-5 | 0.024539122 | 0.04627785 | 0.046401832 | 1.0026791 | 1.3E-4 |
8.0 | 3.3537188E-5 | 5.2318588E-5 | 6.231806E-5 | 1.1911267 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4372288E-4 | 2.2420325E-4 | 2.4419877E-4 | 1.0891848 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017484216 | 0.0027262594 | 0.0027661505 | 1.0146321 | 4.0E-5 | 0.017347291 | 0.02793955 | 0.028007595 | 1.0024354 | 7.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.9087625E-5 | 1.8831894E-5 | 1.8831894E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.180155E-5 | 8.070562E-5 | 8.070562E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.954787E-4 | 9.821486E-4 | 9.821486E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009910312 | 0.010570058 | 0.010579952 | 1.000936 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.539297E-6 | 5.459738E-6 | 5.459738E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6596473E-5 | 2.3398668E-5 | 2.3398668E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4547097E-4 | 2.848416E-4 | 2.848416E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044457903 | 0.0032364808 | 0.0032464485 | 1.0030798 | 1.0E-5 |
8.3 | 2.0399948E-6 | 7.9482766E-7 | 7.9482766E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.742806E-6 | 3.4063999E-6 | 3.4063999E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0643846E-4 | 4.1472143E-5 | 4.1472143E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010638749 | 4.865E-4 | 4.865E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cady
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9419978E-5 | 2.1319294E-5 | 1.01317586E-4 | 4.7523894 | 8.0E-5 | 8.322582E-5 | 9.136567E-5 | 1.8135745E-4 | 1.9849627 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0010128033 | 0.001111892 | 0.0012717142 | 1.1437389 | 1.6E-4 | 0.010081998 | 0.0110714985 | 0.011437402 | 1.0330491 | 3.7E-4 |
6.1 | 1.9419978E-5 | 2.1319294E-5 | 1.01317586E-4 | 4.7523894 | 8.0E-5 | 8.322582E-5 | 9.136567E-5 | 1.8135745E-4 | 1.9849627 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0010128033 | 0.001111892 | 0.0012717142 | 1.1437389 | 1.6E-4 | 0.010081998 | 0.0110714985 | 0.011437402 | 1.0330491 | 3.7E-4 |
6.2 | 1.9419978E-5 | 2.1319294E-5 | 1.01317586E-4 | 4.7523894 | 8.0E-5 | 8.322582E-5 | 9.136567E-5 | 1.8135745E-4 | 1.9849627 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0010128033 | 0.001111892 | 0.0012717142 | 1.1437389 | 1.6E-4 | 0.010081998 | 0.0110714985 | 0.011437402 | 1.0330491 | 3.7E-4 |
6.3 | 1.12373855E-5 | 1.2300435E-5 | 5.2299943E-5 | 4.251878 | 4.0E-5 | 4.8159334E-5 | 5.2715255E-5 | 1.0271262E-4 | 1.9484421 | 5.0E-5 | 5.8618217E-4 | 6.416498E-4 | 7.415857E-4 | 1.1557482 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005846383 | 0.006400989 | 0.0066493885 | 1.0388064 | 2.5E-4 |
6.4 | 1.12373855E-5 | 1.2300435E-5 | 5.2299943E-5 | 4.251878 | 4.0E-5 | 4.8159334E-5 | 5.2715255E-5 | 1.0271262E-4 | 1.9484421 | 5.0E-5 | 5.8618217E-4 | 6.416498E-4 | 7.415857E-4 | 1.1557482 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005846383 | 0.006400989 | 0.0066493885 | 1.0388064 | 2.5E-4 |
6.5 | 6.5086356E-6 | 7.112245E-6 | 7.112245E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7893855E-5 | 3.048077E-5 | 3.048077E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3955477E-4 | 3.710539E-4 | 4.0104275E-4 | 1.0808208 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0033903639 | 0.0037056908 | 0.0037953574 | 1.024197 | 9.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.157966E-6 | 6.736431E-6 | 6.736431E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6391015E-5 | 2.8870174E-5 | 2.8870174E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2126324E-4 | 3.5145122E-4 | 3.8144068E-4 | 1.0853304 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0032079918 | 0.0035102835 | 0.0035999676 | 1.0255489 | 9.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.986104E-6 | 5.449096E-6 | 5.449096E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1368842E-5 | 2.335313E-5 | 2.335313E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.601346E-4 | 2.8429972E-4 | 3.142912E-4 | 1.1054925 | 3.0E-5 | 0.002598303 | 0.0028405834 | 0.0029203563 | 1.0280832 | 8.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.7762113E-6 | 1.9366814E-6 | 1.9366814E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6123124E-6 | 8.300045E-6 | 8.300045E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.267596E-5 | 1.0104986E-4 | 1.2104784E-4 | 1.1979021 | 2.0E-5 | 9.263732E-4 | 0.001010186 | 0.0010501456 | 1.0395566 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.8065113E-7 | 8.5781903E-7 | 8.5781903E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3456433E-6 | 3.676364E-6 | 3.676364E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0732448E-5 | 4.475915E-5 | 5.47587E-5 | 1.223408 | 1.0E-5 | 4.072498E-4 | 4.4753432E-4 | 4.5752985E-4 | 1.0223347 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 6.9503994E-7 | 7.638516E-7 | 7.638516E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9787393E-6 | 3.2736473E-6 | 3.2736473E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.626555E-5 | 3.9856255E-5 | 4.985586E-5 | 1.2508917 | 1.0E-5 | 3.625963E-4 | 3.9852335E-4 | 4.0851938E-4 | 1.0250826 | 1.0E-5 |
San Andreas (Cholame) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1999182E-4 | 2.4138627E-4 | 3.2136697E-4 | 1.331339 | 8.0E-5 | 5.141493E-4 | 0.0010341037 | 0.00114399 | 1.1062623 | 1.1E-4 | 0.006241816 | 0.012517953 | 0.0126957 | 1.0141994 | 1.8E-4 | 0.06069381 | 0.119865865 | 0.12020031 | 1.0027902 | 3.8E-4 |
6.1 | 1.1999182E-4 | 2.4138627E-4 | 3.2136697E-4 | 1.331339 | 8.0E-5 | 5.141493E-4 | 0.0010341037 | 0.00114399 | 1.1062623 | 1.1E-4 | 0.006241816 | 0.012517953 | 0.0126957 | 1.0141994 | 1.8E-4 | 0.06069381 | 0.119865865 | 0.12020031 | 1.0027902 | 3.8E-4 |
6.2 | 1.1915953E-4 | 2.398656E-4 | 3.198464E-4 | 1.3334401 | 8.0E-5 | 5.1058375E-4 | 0.0010275918 | 0.0011374787 | 1.1069365 | 1.1E-4 | 0.006198653 | 0.012439578 | 0.012617338 | 1.01429 | 1.8E-4 | 0.060285755 | 0.11918572 | 0.119520426 | 1.0028083 | 3.8E-4 |
6.3 | 1.1861246E-4 | 2.3885065E-4 | 3.1883153E-4 | 1.3348573 | 8.0E-5 | 5.0824E-4 | 0.0010232454 | 0.0011331328 | 1.1073911 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0061702807 | 0.012387264 | 0.0125650335 | 1.014351 | 1.8E-4 | 0.060017437 | 0.11873276 | 0.119058825 | 1.0027462 | 3.7E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1665568E-4 | 2.3540593E-4 | 3.153871E-4 | 1.3397585 | 8.0E-5 | 4.998571E-4 | 0.0010084937 | 0.0011183828 | 1.1089636 | 1.1E-4 | 0.006068792 | 0.012209688 | 0.012387491 | 1.0145624 | 1.8E-4 | 0.059057098 | 0.11718348 | 0.11751012 | 1.0027875 | 3.7E-4 |
6.5 | 1.15508694E-4 | 2.3347817E-4 | 3.134595E-4 | 1.3425645 | 8.0E-5 | 4.949433E-4 | 0.0010002383 | 0.0011101282 | 1.1098638 | 1.1E-4 | 0.006009298 | 0.012110298 | 0.012278239 | 1.0138676 | 1.7E-4 | 0.058493726 | 0.11631049 | 0.11662862 | 1.0027351 | 3.6E-4 |
6.6 | 1.1190415E-4 | 2.2713265E-4 | 3.0711447E-4 | 1.3521371 | 8.0E-5 | 4.7950103E-4 | 9.7306375E-4 | 0.0010829567 | 1.1129351 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0058223093 | 0.01178307 | 0.0119510675 | 1.0142574 | 1.7E-4 | 0.056721073 | 0.11345563 | 0.113765925 | 1.0027349 | 3.5E-4 |
6.7 | 1.1107517E-4 | 2.2565815E-4 | 3.056401E-4 | 1.3544385 | 8.0E-5 | 4.7594958E-4 | 9.6674915E-4 | 0.0010766428 | 1.1136734 | 1.1E-4 | 0.005779301 | 0.011707019 | 0.011875029 | 1.0143512 | 1.7E-4 | 0.056312922 | 0.112792395 | 0.11308517 | 1.0025958 | 3.3E-4 |
6.8 | 1.1053367E-4 | 2.2454807E-4 | 3.045301E-4 | 1.3561912 | 8.0E-5 | 4.736297E-4 | 9.619952E-4 | 0.0010718894 | 1.1142356 | 1.1E-4 | 0.005751206 | 0.01164976 | 0.011817779 | 1.0144225 | 1.7E-4 | 0.05604622 | 0.112289906 | 0.11258285 | 1.0026088 | 3.3E-4 |
6.9 | 1.0984901E-4 | 2.2311843E-4 | 3.031006E-4 | 1.358474 | 8.0E-5 | 4.7069654E-4 | 9.558727E-4 | 0.0010657675 | 1.1149681 | 1.1E-4 | 0.005715682 | 0.011576014 | 0.0117341615 | 1.0136617 | 1.6E-4 | 0.055708904 | 0.11164391 | 0.11192819 | 1.0025463 | 3.2E-4 |
7.0 | 1.0819352E-4 | 2.1974904E-4 | 2.8973367E-4 | 1.3184752 | 7.0E-5 | 4.636041E-4 | 9.4144285E-4 | 0.0010413487 | 1.10612 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005629782 | 0.011402182 | 0.011550472 | 1.0130054 | 1.5E-4 | 0.05489277 | 0.11011303 | 0.1103889 | 1.0025053 | 3.1E-4 |
7.1 | 9.866312E-5 | 2.0006738E-4 | 2.6005539E-4 | 1.2998389 | 6.0E-5 | 4.227734E-4 | 8.571507E-4 | 9.4707357E-4 | 1.1049091 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0051351245 | 0.010386127 | 0.010524673 | 1.0133395 | 1.4E-4 | 0.050180722 | 0.101121314 | 0.10136401 | 1.0024 | 2.7E-4 |
7.2 | 9.628735E-5 | 1.9503411E-4 | 2.550224E-4 | 1.3075784 | 6.0E-5 | 4.1259482E-4 | 8.3559356E-4 | 9.2551834E-4 | 1.1076179 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0050117774 | 0.010126137 | 0.01026472 | 1.0136856 | 1.4E-4 | 0.049002443 | 0.09881639 | 0.09905971 | 1.0024624 | 2.7E-4 |
7.3 | 9.393365E-5 | 1.8917295E-4 | 2.491616E-4 | 1.3171101 | 6.0E-5 | 4.0251066E-4 | 8.104901E-4 | 9.0041716E-4 | 1.1109539 | 9.0E-5 | 0.004889561 | 0.009823299 | 0.009961924 | 1.0141119 | 1.4E-4 | 0.047833666 | 0.09610077 | 0.09634483 | 1.0025395 | 2.7E-4 |
7.4 | 9.1279E-5 | 1.8269698E-4 | 2.4268602E-4 | 1.3283527 | 6.0E-5 | 3.9113706E-4 | 7.827528E-4 | 8.726824E-4 | 1.1148888 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0047517 | 0.009488581 | 0.009627252 | 1.0146146 | 1.4E-4 | 0.04651373 | 0.09307 | 0.09331487 | 1.0026311 | 2.7E-4 |
7.5 | 7.699902E-5 | 1.4862341E-4 | 1.9861598E-4 | 1.3363707 | 5.0E-5 | 3.2995405E-4 | 6.368021E-4 | 7.167512E-4 | 1.1255478 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0040097926 | 0.0077255676 | 0.007854563 | 1.0166973 | 1.3E-4 | 0.03938208 | 0.0769336 | 0.0771736 | 1.0031196 | 2.6E-4 |
7.6 | 7.547699E-5 | 1.4531767E-4 | 1.953104E-4 | 1.3440238 | 5.0E-5 | 3.2343273E-4 | 6.2264147E-4 | 7.025917E-4 | 1.1284049 | 8.0E-5 | 0.003930685 | 0.0075543695 | 0.0076833875 | 1.0170786 | 1.3E-4 | 0.038618825 | 0.07533635 | 0.07557677 | 1.0031912 | 2.6E-4 |
7.7 | 6.464372E-5 | 1.2315037E-4 | 1.6314545E-4 | 1.3247662 | 4.0E-5 | 2.770151E-4 | 5.276806E-4 | 5.8764894E-4 | 1.1136452 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0033674436 | 0.006405613 | 0.0065049725 | 1.0155113 | 1.0E-4 | 0.033168703 | 0.06447522 | 0.06465297 | 1.0027568 | 1.9E-4 |
7.8 | 5.88608E-5 | 1.1284352E-4 | 1.3284126E-4 | 1.1772165 | 2.0E-5 | 2.5223618E-4 | 4.8352548E-4 | 5.1351095E-4 | 1.0620143 | 3.0E-5 | 0.003066651 | 0.0058710524 | 0.0059406413 | 1.0118529 | 7.0E-5 | 0.030246759 | 0.059106313 | 0.059256855 | 1.002547 | 1.6E-4 |
7.9 | 4.583298E-5 | 8.306568E-5 | 9.3064846E-5 | 1.1203767 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9641228E-4 | 3.559472E-4 | 3.6594365E-4 | 1.028084 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002388697 | 0.0043250523 | 0.0043549226 | 1.0069064 | 3.0E-5 | 0.023631833 | 0.04378357 | 0.04386963 | 1.0019655 | 9.0E-5 |
8.0 | 3.2859887E-5 | 5.0639806E-5 | 6.06393E-5 | 1.1974632 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4082048E-4 | 2.1700969E-4 | 2.2700752E-4 | 1.0460709 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001713141 | 0.0026388934 | 0.0026588407 | 1.007559 | 2.0E-5 | 0.016999943 | 0.027083253 | 0.0271319 | 1.0017961 | 5.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.9090543E-5 | 1.883215E-5 | 1.883215E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.181405E-5 | 8.070672E-5 | 8.070672E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.956307E-4 | 9.82162E-4 | 9.82162E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009911818 | 0.01057023 | 0.010580124 | 1.000936 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.539297E-6 | 5.459738E-6 | 5.459738E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6596473E-5 | 2.3398668E-5 | 2.3398668E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4547097E-4 | 2.848416E-4 | 2.848416E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044457903 | 0.0032364808 | 0.0032464485 | 1.0030798 | 1.0E-5 |
8.3 | 2.0399948E-6 | 7.9482766E-7 | 7.9482766E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.742806E-6 | 3.4063999E-6 | 3.4063999E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0643846E-4 | 4.1472143E-5 | 4.1472143E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010638749 | 4.865E-4 | 4.865E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Scodie Lineament
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.8045596E-6 | 3.5124226E-6 | 1.0351207E-4 | 29.470278 | 1.0E-4 | 1.6305154E-5 | 1.5053179E-5 | 1.7505077E-4 | 11.628824 | 1.6E-4 | 1.9849716E-4 | 1.8326158E-4 | 4.532121E-4 | 2.473034 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0019831995 | 0.0018315505 | 0.0022008729 | 1.2016447 | 3.7E-4 |
6.1 | 2.088641E-6 | 1.7423953E-6 | 2.174236E-5 | 12.478432 | 2.0E-5 | 8.951288E-6 | 7.4673903E-6 | 6.746694E-5 | 9.034875 | 6.0E-5 | 1.08976485E-4 | 9.091232E-5 | 1.9090323E-4 | 2.099861 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0010892305 | 9.088133E-4 | 0.0010287042 | 1.1319203 | 1.2E-4 |
6.2 | 2.088641E-6 | 1.7423953E-6 | 2.174236E-5 | 12.478432 | 2.0E-5 | 8.951288E-6 | 7.4673903E-6 | 6.746694E-5 | 9.034875 | 6.0E-5 | 1.08976485E-4 | 9.091232E-5 | 1.9090323E-4 | 2.099861 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0010892305 | 9.088133E-4 | 0.0010287042 | 1.1319203 | 1.2E-4 |
6.3 | 2.088641E-6 | 1.7423953E-6 | 2.174236E-5 | 12.478432 | 2.0E-5 | 8.951288E-6 | 7.4673903E-6 | 6.746694E-5 | 9.034875 | 6.0E-5 | 1.08976485E-4 | 9.091232E-5 | 1.9090323E-4 | 2.099861 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0010892305 | 9.088133E-4 | 0.0010287042 | 1.1319203 | 1.2E-4 |
6.4 | 2.088641E-6 | 1.7423953E-6 | 2.174236E-5 | 12.478432 | 2.0E-5 | 8.951288E-6 | 7.4673903E-6 | 6.746694E-5 | 9.034875 | 6.0E-5 | 1.08976485E-4 | 9.091232E-5 | 1.9090323E-4 | 2.099861 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0010892305 | 9.088133E-4 | 0.0010287042 | 1.1319203 | 1.2E-4 |
6.5 | 2.0019552E-6 | 1.6520523E-6 | 2.165202E-5 | 13.106133 | 2.0E-5 | 8.57978E-6 | 7.080209E-6 | 6.707978E-5 | 9.474266 | 6.0E-5 | 1.04453815E-4 | 8.619876E-5 | 1.76191E-4 | 2.0440085 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0010440473 | 8.6171494E-4 | 9.7162015E-4 | 1.1275424 | 1.1E-4 |
6.6 | 1.3619391E-6 | 9.862725E-7 | 1.0986263E-5 | 11.139175 | 1.0E-5 | 5.8368687E-6 | 4.226876E-6 | 2.422679E-5 | 5.731607 | 2.0E-5 | 7.106156E-5 | 5.1461102E-5 | 8.145956E-5 | 1.5829346 | 3.0E-5 | 7.103884E-4 | 5.14502E-4 | 5.544814E-4 | 1.077705 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.1984642E-6 | 8.165367E-7 | 1.0816529E-5 | 13.246837 | 1.0E-5 | 5.136265E-6 | 3.499439E-6 | 2.349937E-5 | 6.715182 | 2.0E-5 | 6.2532235E-5 | 4.2604916E-5 | 7.260364E-5 | 1.7041141 | 3.0E-5 | 6.251464E-4 | 4.2597525E-4 | 4.659582E-4 | 1.0938622 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0734544E-6 | 6.8694453E-7 | 6.8694453E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.600511E-6 | 2.944045E-6 | 1.2944016E-5 | 4.3966775 | 1.0E-5 | 5.600978E-5 | 3.5843223E-5 | 5.5842505E-5 | 1.5579655 | 2.0E-5 | 5.5995665E-4 | 3.5838087E-4 | 3.8837013E-4 | 1.0836798 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.805461E-7 | 5.90797E-7 | 5.90797E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2023335E-6 | 2.531985E-6 | 1.253196E-5 | 4.9494605 | 1.0E-5 | 5.116221E-5 | 3.0826544E-5 | 5.0825925E-5 | 1.6487715 | 2.0E-5 | 5.115043E-4 | 3.0822857E-4 | 3.382193E-4 | 1.0973004 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.4579455E-7 | 4.5153698E-7 | 4.5153698E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6248287E-6 | 1.9351573E-6 | 1.1935138E-5 | 6.1675286 | 1.0E-5 | 4.4131397E-5 | 2.356033E-5 | 4.355986E-5 | 1.8488646 | 2.0E-5 | 4.4122632E-4 | 2.3558273E-4 | 2.6557565E-4 | 1.1273139 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.868234E-7 | 3.9229892E-7 | 3.9229892E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.372096E-6 | 1.6812802E-6 | 1.16812635E-5 | 6.947839 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1054496E-5 | 2.0469435E-5 | 3.046923E-5 | 1.4885232 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1046913E-4 | 2.0467951E-4 | 2.2467543E-4 | 1.0976937 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.3247996E-7 | 3.6751E-8 | 3.6751E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.963424E-7 | 1.5750427E-7 | 1.0157502E-5 | 64.490326 | 1.0E-5 | 1.21304E-5 | 1.917613E-6 | 1.1917594E-5 | 6.2148066 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2129738E-4 | 1.9175975E-5 | 2.9175782E-5 | 1.5214759 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.6113793E-7 | 1.7771775E-8 | 1.7771775E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.90591E-7 | 7.616475E-8 | 7.616475E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.407913E-6 | 9.2730545E-7 | 9.2730545E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.4075946E-5 | 9.27302E-6 | 9.27302E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 6.073129E-8 | 4.9978817E-9 | 4.9978817E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6027692E-7 | 2.1419492E-8 | 2.1419492E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.168867E-6 | 2.6078231E-7 | 2.6078231E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1688218E-5 | 2.6078212E-6 | 2.6078212E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (San Bernardino)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.402057E-5 | 3.440845E-5 | 1.7440363E-4 | 5.068628 | 1.4E-4 | 1.457943E-4 | 1.4745646E-4 | 2.9743434E-4 | 2.0170994 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0017736002 | 0.0017938055 | 0.002033375 | 1.1335537 | 2.4E-4 | 0.017595116 | 0.018529577 | 0.018863278 | 1.0180091 | 3.4E-4 |
6.1 | 3.402057E-5 | 3.440845E-5 | 1.7440363E-4 | 5.068628 | 1.4E-4 | 1.457943E-4 | 1.4745646E-4 | 2.9743434E-4 | 2.0170994 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0017736002 | 0.0017938055 | 0.002033375 | 1.1335537 | 2.4E-4 | 0.017595116 | 0.018529577 | 0.018863278 | 1.0180091 | 3.4E-4 |
6.2 | 3.402057E-5 | 3.440845E-5 | 1.7440363E-4 | 5.068628 | 1.4E-4 | 1.457943E-4 | 1.4745646E-4 | 2.9743434E-4 | 2.0170994 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0017736002 | 0.0017938055 | 0.002033375 | 1.1335537 | 2.4E-4 | 0.017595116 | 0.018529577 | 0.018863278 | 1.0180091 | 3.4E-4 |
6.3 | 3.402057E-5 | 3.440845E-5 | 1.7440363E-4 | 5.068628 | 1.4E-4 | 1.457943E-4 | 1.4745646E-4 | 2.9743434E-4 | 2.0170994 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0017736002 | 0.0017938055 | 0.002033375 | 1.1335537 | 2.4E-4 | 0.017595116 | 0.018529577 | 0.018863278 | 1.0180091 | 3.4E-4 |
6.4 | 3.3941633E-5 | 3.4309356E-5 | 1.7430456E-4 | 5.0803795 | 1.4E-4 | 1.4545603E-4 | 1.4703182E-4 | 2.9700977E-4 | 2.0200374 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0017694886 | 0.001788644 | 0.0020282147 | 1.1339399 | 2.4E-4 | 0.01755465 | 0.018478833 | 0.01881255 | 1.0180594 | 3.4E-4 |
6.5 | 3.33728E-5 | 3.3600918E-5 | 1.7359621E-4 | 5.166413 | 1.4E-4 | 1.4301843E-4 | 1.4399599E-4 | 2.939744E-4 | 2.0415456 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0017398586 | 0.0017517427 | 0.0019913223 | 1.1367664 | 2.4E-4 | 0.017262997 | 0.018115912 | 0.018449752 | 1.0184281 | 3.4E-4 |
6.6 | 3.3320426E-5 | 3.3535027E-5 | 1.7353034E-4 | 5.1745996 | 1.4E-4 | 1.4279402E-4 | 1.4371364E-4 | 2.9369208E-4 | 2.0435922 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0017371306 | 0.0017483105 | 0.0019878908 | 1.1370354 | 2.4E-4 | 0.01723614 | 0.018082157 | 0.01841601 | 1.018463 | 3.4E-4 |
6.7 | 3.3314896E-5 | 3.3525204E-5 | 1.7352052E-4 | 5.1758227 | 1.4E-4 | 1.4277032E-4 | 1.4367154E-4 | 2.9365E-4 | 2.043898 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0017368427 | 0.0017477988 | 0.0019873793 | 1.1370755 | 2.4E-4 | 0.017233305 | 0.018077146 | 0.018411001 | 1.0184683 | 3.4E-4 |
6.8 | 3.3233475E-5 | 3.342037E-5 | 1.7341568E-4 | 5.188922 | 1.4E-4 | 1.424214E-4 | 1.4322229E-4 | 2.932008E-4 | 2.047173 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0017326013 | 0.0017423381 | 0.0019819199 | 1.1375059 | 2.4E-4 | 0.01719155 | 0.018023437 | 0.018357309 | 1.0185243 | 3.4E-4 |
6.9 | 3.3193064E-5 | 3.3361717E-5 | 1.7335704E-4 | 5.1962867 | 1.4E-4 | 1.4224823E-4 | 1.4297095E-4 | 2.929495E-4 | 2.049014 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0017304964 | 0.0017392829 | 0.0019788654 | 1.1377479 | 2.4E-4 | 0.017170826 | 0.017993487 | 0.018327368 | 1.0185558 | 3.4E-4 |
7.0 | 3.315477E-5 | 3.330016E-5 | 1.732955E-4 | 5.204044 | 1.4E-4 | 1.4208413E-4 | 1.4270717E-4 | 2.9268576E-4 | 2.0509534 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0017285016 | 0.0017360764 | 0.0019756597 | 1.1380028 | 2.4E-4 | 0.017151188 | 0.017962094 | 0.018295987 | 1.0185888 | 3.4E-4 |
7.1 | 3.308232E-5 | 3.3170483E-5 | 1.7316584E-4 | 5.2204795 | 1.4E-4 | 1.4177368E-4 | 1.4215148E-4 | 2.9213016E-4 | 2.0550623 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0017247278 | 0.0017293217 | 0.0019689065 | 1.1385428 | 2.4E-4 | 0.01711403 | 0.017896095 | 0.01823001 | 1.0186585 | 3.4E-4 |
7.2 | 3.2980828E-5 | 3.3029595E-5 | 1.7302496E-4 | 5.238483 | 1.4E-4 | 1.4133875E-4 | 1.4154773E-4 | 2.915265E-4 | 2.0595632 | 1.5E-4 | 0.001719441 | 0.0017219826 | 0.0019615693 | 1.1391343 | 2.4E-4 | 0.017061977 | 0.01782417 | 0.01815811 | 1.0187352 | 3.4E-4 |
7.3 | 3.289099E-5 | 3.2872853E-5 | 1.7286825E-4 | 5.258693 | 1.4E-4 | 1.4095377E-4 | 1.4087606E-4 | 2.9085492E-4 | 2.0646157 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0017147611 | 0.0017138178 | 0.0019534065 | 1.1397982 | 2.4E-4 | 0.017015897 | 0.017744418 | 0.018078385 | 1.018821 | 3.4E-4 |
7.4 | 3.2844455E-5 | 3.2785352E-5 | 1.7278075E-4 | 5.27006 | 1.4E-4 | 1.4075435E-4 | 1.4050108E-4 | 2.9048E-4 | 2.0674574 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0017123371 | 0.0017092598 | 0.0019488495 | 1.1401716 | 2.4E-4 | 0.016992027 | 0.017699959 | 0.01803394 | 1.018869 | 3.4E-4 |
7.5 | 3.274421E-5 | 3.2649892E-5 | 1.7264532E-4 | 5.287776 | 1.4E-4 | 1.4032479E-4 | 1.3992061E-4 | 2.8989962E-4 | 2.0718865 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0017071153 | 0.0017022035 | 0.0019417951 | 1.1407537 | 2.4E-4 | 0.016940609 | 0.017630564 | 0.01796457 | 1.0189447 | 3.4E-4 |
7.6 | 3.248836E-5 | 3.2410022E-5 | 1.7240549E-4 | 5.3195114 | 1.4E-4 | 1.3922839E-4 | 1.388927E-4 | 2.8887187E-4 | 2.0798204 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0016937876 | 0.0016897083 | 0.0019293027 | 1.1417964 | 2.4E-4 | 0.016809355 | 0.017506383 | 0.017840432 | 1.0190815 | 3.4E-4 |
7.7 | 3.0551753E-5 | 3.111856E-5 | 1.7111421E-4 | 5.4987826 | 1.4E-4 | 1.3092952E-4 | 1.3335845E-4 | 2.8333845E-4 | 2.124638 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0015929012 | 0.001622431 | 0.0018620417 | 1.1476861 | 2.4E-4 | 0.015815316 | 0.016834136 | 0.017168412 | 1.019857 | 3.4E-4 |
7.8 | 2.6160822E-5 | 2.8232907E-5 | 1.6822896E-4 | 5.9586124 | 1.4E-4 | 1.1211299E-4 | 1.2099257E-4 | 2.7097441E-4 | 2.2395957 | 1.5E-4 | 0.001364121 | 0.0014720899 | 0.0017117367 | 1.1627935 | 2.4E-4 | 0.013557776 | 0.015322198 | 0.015656989 | 1.02185 | 3.4E-4 |
7.9 | 2.041141E-5 | 2.2109292E-5 | 1.5210643E-4 | 6.8797503 | 1.3E-4 | 8.747454E-5 | 9.475068E-5 | 2.3473741E-4 | 2.477422 | 1.4E-4 | 0.001064482 | 0.0011529797 | 0.001372726 | 1.1905899 | 2.2E-4 | 0.010593975 | 0.012102098 | 0.012418225 | 1.0261217 | 3.2E-4 |
8.0 | 1.51553E-5 | 1.4872652E-5 | 1.1487117E-4 | 7.7236505 | 1.0E-4 | 6.4949665E-5 | 6.3738386E-5 | 1.7373137E-4 | 2.7256947 | 1.1E-4 | 7.904753E-4 | 7.757391E-4 | 9.555995E-4 | 1.2318568 | 1.8E-4 | 0.007876694 | 0.008246475 | 0.008504331 | 1.0312686 | 2.6E-4 |
8.1 | 9.847068E-6 | 7.883981E-6 | 1.7883902E-5 | 2.2683847 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2201038E-5 | 3.3788056E-5 | 4.3787717E-5 | 1.2959526 | 1.0E-5 | 5.136765E-4 | 4.1129236E-4 | 4.5127593E-4 | 1.0972145 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0051249075 | 0.0044364794 | 0.004506169 | 1.0157083 | 7.0E-5 |
8.2 | 3.9660817E-6 | 1.4383857E-6 | 1.4383857E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6997383E-5 | 6.1644955E-6 | 6.1644955E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0692349E-4 | 7.5050164E-5 | 7.5050164E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002067309 | 8.745024E-4 | 8.745024E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.258898E-6 | 3.4209424E-7 | 3.4209424E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.395266E-6 | 1.4661174E-6 | 1.4661174E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.568538E-5 | 1.7849838E-5 | 1.7849838E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.566597E-4 | 2.1571765E-4 | 2.1571765E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Lake Isabella (Seismicity)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.816225E-6 | 1.0143872E-5 | 1.2014276E-4 | 11.843876 | 1.1E-4 | 4.206886E-5 | 4.347309E-5 | 1.9346656E-4 | 4.45026 | 1.5E-4 | 5.12068E-4 | 5.291702E-4 | 7.390591E-4 | 1.3966377 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0051088966 | 0.005280475 | 0.0055987854 | 1.0602806 | 3.2E-4 |
6.1 | 9.816225E-6 | 1.0143872E-5 | 1.2014276E-4 | 11.843876 | 1.1E-4 | 4.206886E-5 | 4.347309E-5 | 1.9346656E-4 | 4.45026 | 1.5E-4 | 5.12068E-4 | 5.291702E-4 | 7.390591E-4 | 1.3966377 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0051088966 | 0.005280475 | 0.0055987854 | 1.0602806 | 3.2E-4 |
6.2 | 9.816225E-6 | 1.0143872E-5 | 1.2014276E-4 | 11.843876 | 1.1E-4 | 4.206886E-5 | 4.347309E-5 | 1.9346656E-4 | 4.45026 | 1.5E-4 | 5.12068E-4 | 5.291702E-4 | 7.390591E-4 | 1.3966377 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0051088966 | 0.005280475 | 0.0055987854 | 1.0602806 | 3.2E-4 |
6.3 | 9.816225E-6 | 1.0143872E-5 | 1.2014276E-4 | 11.843876 | 1.1E-4 | 4.206886E-5 | 4.347309E-5 | 1.9346656E-4 | 4.45026 | 1.5E-4 | 5.12068E-4 | 5.291702E-4 | 7.390591E-4 | 1.3966377 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0051088966 | 0.005280475 | 0.0055987854 | 1.0602806 | 3.2E-4 |
6.4 | 5.377895E-6 | 5.544063E-6 | 9.554356E-5 | 17.233492 | 9.0E-5 | 2.3047918E-5 | 2.3760074E-5 | 1.4375722E-4 | 6.0503693 | 1.2E-4 | 2.8057228E-4 | 2.892443E-4 | 4.392009E-4 | 1.5184427 | 1.5E-4 | 0.002802183 | 0.002889051 | 0.0031084155 | 1.0759295 | 2.2E-4 |
6.5 | 5.377895E-6 | 5.544063E-6 | 9.554356E-5 | 17.233492 | 9.0E-5 | 2.3047918E-5 | 2.3760074E-5 | 1.4375722E-4 | 6.0503693 | 1.2E-4 | 2.8057228E-4 | 2.892443E-4 | 4.392009E-4 | 1.5184427 | 1.5E-4 | 0.002802183 | 0.002889051 | 0.0031084155 | 1.0759295 | 2.2E-4 |
6.6 | 3.3513732E-6 | 3.4489012E-6 | 6.344869E-5 | 18.396786 | 6.0E-5 | 1.43629495E-5 | 1.478093E-5 | 7.4780044E-5 | 5.0592246 | 6.0E-5 | 1.7485487E-4 | 1.7994437E-4 | 2.5992998E-4 | 1.4445019 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0017471735 | 0.0017981257 | 0.0019278919 | 1.0721675 | 1.3E-4 |
6.7 | 3.3341476E-6 | 3.4314182E-6 | 6.343121E-5 | 18.485422 | 6.0E-5 | 1.4289126E-5 | 1.4706004E-5 | 7.470512E-5 | 5.0799065 | 6.0E-5 | 1.7395621E-4 | 1.7903229E-4 | 2.5901798E-4 | 1.4467667 | 8.0E-5 | 0.001738201 | 0.0017890196 | 0.001918787 | 1.0725355 | 1.3E-4 |
6.8 | 2.5965799E-6 | 2.671071E-6 | 3.2670992E-5 | 12.2314205 | 3.0E-5 | 1.1128152E-5 | 1.1447402E-5 | 4.144706E-5 | 3.620652 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3547683E-4 | 1.3936435E-4 | 1.8935738E-4 | 1.3587219 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0013539427 | 0.0013928815 | 0.0014827561 | 1.0645243 | 9.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.313924E-6 | 2.3803325E-6 | 3.238026E-5 | 13.603251 | 3.0E-5 | 9.916779E-6 | 1.0201392E-5 | 4.0201085E-5 | 3.9407454 | 3.0E-5 | 1.20730096E-4 | 1.2419597E-4 | 1.7418976E-4 | 1.4025395 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0012066453 | 0.0012413745 | 0.0013212753 | 1.0643647 | 8.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.5640155E-6 | 1.6081271E-6 | 2.1608095E-5 | 13.436808 | 2.0E-5 | 6.702907E-6 | 6.89196E-6 | 2.6891821E-5 | 3.9019122 | 2.0E-5 | 8.1604834E-5 | 8.390718E-5 | 1.039055E-4 | 1.2383386 | 2.0E-5 | 8.157487E-4 | 8.388334E-4 | 8.8879146E-4 | 1.0595566 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.6509945E-7 | 3.7240292E-7 | 3.7240292E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.564711E-6 | 1.5960115E-6 | 1.5960115E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.905019E-5 | 1.943127E-5 | 1.943127E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9048557E-4 | 1.9429601E-4 | 1.9429601E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.2385696E-7 | 2.2812584E-7 | 2.2812584E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.593866E-7 | 9.776818E-7 | 9.776818E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.16804695E-5 | 1.1903212E-5 | 1.1903212E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.16798554E-4 | 1.1902585E-4 | 1.1902585E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.5670672E-7 | 1.5967795E-7 | 1.5967795E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7160005E-7 | 6.843339E-7 | 6.843339E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.1767E-6 | 8.331734E-6 | 8.331734E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.176399E-5 | 8.331428E-5 | 8.331428E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.0414827E-7 | 1.06125455E-7 | 1.06125455E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4634967E-7 | 4.548233E-7 | 4.548233E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4342936E-6 | 5.53746E-6 | 5.53746E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4341606E-5 | 5.5373253E-5 | 5.5373253E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 3.5529023E-8 | 3.6205932E-8 | 3.6205932E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5226723E-7 | 1.5516828E-7 | 1.5516828E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8538519E-6 | 1.8891723E-6 | 1.8891723E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8538365E-5 | 1.8891571E-5 | 1.8891571E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.0796107E-9 | 1.0989505E-9 | 1.0989505E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6269033E-9 | 4.7097877E-9 | 4.7097877E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6332546E-8 | 5.7341666E-8 | 5.7341666E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6332533E-7 | 5.734166E-7 | 5.734166E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Ludlow
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.160891E-5 | 2.282967E-5 | 1.1282761E-4 | 4.942148 | 9.0E-5 | 9.260633E-5 | 9.783801E-5 | 2.3782431E-4 | 2.4307966 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0011268988 | 0.0011905683 | 0.0014003182 | 1.1761763 | 2.1E-4 | 0.011212015 | 0.01184613 | 0.012152458 | 1.0258589 | 3.1E-4 |
6.1 | 2.160891E-5 | 2.282967E-5 | 1.1282761E-4 | 4.942148 | 9.0E-5 | 9.260633E-5 | 9.783801E-5 | 2.3782431E-4 | 2.4307966 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0011268988 | 0.0011905683 | 0.0014003182 | 1.1761763 | 2.1E-4 | 0.011212015 | 0.01184613 | 0.012152458 | 1.0258589 | 3.1E-4 |
6.2 | 1.1137236E-5 | 1.1743854E-5 | 3.1743617E-5 | 2.7029984 | 2.0E-5 | 4.7730136E-5 | 5.0329854E-5 | 1.00327336E-4 | 1.9933962 | 5.0E-5 | 5.8095943E-4 | 6.1259815E-4 | 7.02543E-4 | 1.1468252 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0057944297 | 0.006109556 | 0.0062586395 | 1.0244017 | 1.5E-4 |
6.3 | 1.1137236E-5 | 1.1743854E-5 | 3.1743617E-5 | 2.7029984 | 2.0E-5 | 4.7730136E-5 | 5.0329854E-5 | 1.00327336E-4 | 1.9933962 | 5.0E-5 | 5.8095943E-4 | 6.1259815E-4 | 7.02543E-4 | 1.1468252 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0057944297 | 0.006109556 | 0.0062586395 | 1.0244017 | 1.5E-4 |
6.4 | 8.221337E-6 | 8.666666E-6 | 1.866658E-5 | 2.1538363 | 1.0E-5 | 3.523383E-5 | 3.7142338E-5 | 6.714122E-5 | 1.8076737 | 3.0E-5 | 4.288874E-4 | 4.5211572E-4 | 5.2208407E-4 | 1.1547576 | 7.0E-5 | 0.004280606 | 0.0045121294 | 0.004631588 | 1.026475 | 1.2E-4 |
6.5 | 6.828591E-6 | 7.198153E-6 | 1.7198081E-5 | 2.3892353 | 1.0E-5 | 2.926506E-5 | 3.084887E-5 | 5.084825E-5 | 1.648302 | 2.0E-5 | 3.5624387E-4 | 3.7552134E-4 | 4.354988E-4 | 1.1597179 | 6.0E-5 | 0.003556733 | 0.0037489794 | 0.0038486044 | 1.0265739 | 1.0E-4 |
6.6 | 5.8328783E-6 | 6.149642E-6 | 1.6149581E-5 | 2.6261008 | 1.0E-5 | 2.499781E-5 | 2.6355347E-5 | 4.635482E-5 | 1.7588392 | 2.0E-5 | 3.0430584E-4 | 3.2082992E-4 | 3.7081388E-4 | 1.1557958 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0030388946 | 0.0032037518 | 0.0032934635 | 1.028002 | 9.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.8614647E-6 | 5.1246393E-6 | 5.1246393E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0834683E-5 | 2.1962558E-5 | 3.196234E-5 | 1.4553103 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5363272E-4 | 2.6736196E-4 | 3.0735126E-4 | 1.1495699 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0025334344 | 0.002670467 | 0.0027502533 | 1.0298773 | 8.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.6530398E-6 | 3.8510625E-6 | 3.8510625E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.565579E-5 | 1.6504453E-5 | 2.6504287E-5 | 1.6058872 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9059259E-4 | 2.0092363E-4 | 2.409156E-4 | 1.1990407 | 4.0E-5 | 0.001904292 | 0.0020074656 | 0.0020673452 | 1.0298284 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.5515399E-6 | 2.6897744E-6 | 2.6897744E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0935125E-5 | 1.1527555E-5 | 2.152744E-5 | 1.8674766 | 1.0E-5 | 1.33127E-4 | 1.4033925E-4 | 1.7033504E-4 | 1.2137377 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0013304729 | 0.0014025362 | 0.0014324941 | 1.0213598 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.7333412E-6 | 1.8273828E-6 | 1.8273828E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4285836E-6 | 7.831618E-6 | 1.783154E-5 | 2.2768655 | 1.0E-5 | 9.043925E-5 | 9.5345975E-5 | 1.1534406E-4 | 1.2097424 | 2.0E-5 | 9.040245E-4 | 9.530699E-4 | 9.7305083E-4 | 1.0209649 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.1649183E-6 | 1.2274907E-6 | 1.2274907E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9924975E-6 | 5.2606642E-6 | 1.5260612E-5 | 2.9008906 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0781964E-5 | 6.4046835E-5 | 8.4045554E-5 | 1.3122514 | 2.0E-5 | 6.076534E-4 | 6.402962E-4 | 6.602834E-4 | 1.0312155 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.8377943E-7 | 7.195401E-7 | 7.195401E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.93048E-6 | 3.0837402E-6 | 3.0837402E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5678007E-5 | 3.7543985E-5 | 3.7543985E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.567228E-4 | 3.753856E-4 | 3.753856E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Coachella) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1854714E-4 | 3.4216297E-4 | 5.0210825E-4 | 1.4674534 | 1.6E-4 | 5.079602E-4 | 0.0014655932 | 0.0016453294 | 1.1226372 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0061668935 | 0.017698988 | 0.017905273 | 1.0116551 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0599854 | 0.15846844 | 0.15872091 | 1.0015931 | 3.0E-4 |
6.1 | 1.1854714E-4 | 3.4216297E-4 | 5.0210825E-4 | 1.4674534 | 1.6E-4 | 5.079602E-4 | 0.0014655932 | 0.0016453294 | 1.1226372 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0061668935 | 0.017698988 | 0.017905273 | 1.0116551 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0599854 | 0.15846844 | 0.15872091 | 1.0015931 | 3.0E-4 |
6.2 | 1.13762944E-4 | 3.3164534E-4 | 4.915923E-4 | 1.4822831 | 1.6E-4 | 4.8746433E-4 | 0.0014205674 | 0.0016003117 | 1.1265299 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0059187403 | 0.017159563 | 0.017365959 | 1.0120281 | 2.1E-4 | 0.05763561 | 0.15401947 | 0.15427327 | 1.0016478 | 3.0E-4 |
6.3 | 1.13544E-4 | 3.3115663E-4 | 4.911036E-4 | 1.482995 | 1.6E-4 | 4.865264E-4 | 0.0014184752 | 0.0015982199 | 1.1267169 | 1.8E-4 | 0.005907383 | 0.017134491 | 0.017340893 | 1.012046 | 2.1E-4 | 0.057527937 | 0.15381508 | 0.15406893 | 1.0016505 | 3.0E-4 |
6.4 | 1.09871966E-4 | 3.230378E-4 | 4.829861E-4 | 1.495138 | 1.6E-4 | 4.7079485E-4 | 0.0013837175 | 0.0015634685 | 1.1299044 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0057168733 | 0.016717888 | 0.016924378 | 1.0123514 | 2.1E-4 | 0.055720214 | 0.15038379 | 0.15063018 | 1.0016384 | 2.9E-4 |
6.5 | 1.0854412E-4 | 3.201073E-4 | 4.8005607E-4 | 1.4996724 | 1.6E-4 | 4.6510613E-4 | 0.0013711714 | 0.0015509247 | 1.1310946 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0056479746 | 0.016567472 | 0.016773993 | 1.0124655 | 2.1E-4 | 0.05506567 | 0.14913772 | 0.14938447 | 1.0016545 | 2.9E-4 |
6.6 | 1.0710313E-4 | 3.1704924E-4 | 4.769985E-4 | 1.5044935 | 1.6E-4 | 4.5893266E-4 | 0.0013580793 | 0.0015378349 | 1.1323601 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0055731996 | 0.016410487 | 0.016617041 | 1.0125867 | 2.1E-4 | 0.054354843 | 0.14783376 | 0.1480809 | 1.0016717 | 2.9E-4 |
6.7 | 1.0632246E-4 | 3.15377E-4 | 4.7532652E-4 | 1.5071694 | 1.6E-4 | 4.555881E-4 | 0.00135092 | 0.0015306767 | 1.1330625 | 1.8E-4 | 0.005532687 | 0.016324632 | 0.016531203 | 1.012654 | 2.1E-4 | 0.05396952 | 0.14712004 | 0.14736737 | 1.0016812 | 2.9E-4 |
6.8 | 1.0560119E-4 | 3.134601E-4 | 4.7340995E-4 | 1.5102718 | 1.6E-4 | 4.52498E-4 | 0.0013427131 | 0.0015224714 | 1.1338769 | 1.8E-4 | 0.005495256 | 0.016226208 | 0.0164328 | 1.012732 | 2.1E-4 | 0.053613376 | 0.14630307 | 0.14655066 | 1.0016922 | 2.9E-4 |
6.9 | 1.0201819E-4 | 3.0440398E-4 | 4.6435528E-4 | 1.5254573 | 1.6E-4 | 4.3714754E-4 | 0.0013039405 | 0.0014837058 | 1.1378632 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0053092903 | 0.015761074 | 0.015967764 | 1.013114 | 2.1E-4 | 0.051842213 | 0.14244768 | 0.14269637 | 1.0017458 | 2.9E-4 |
7.0 | 8.4153144E-5 | 2.601061E-4 | 4.200645E-4 | 1.6149735 | 1.6E-4 | 3.6060647E-4 | 0.0011142677 | 0.0012940671 | 1.1613611 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0043815486 | 0.013482673 | 0.013689841 | 1.0153656 | 2.1E-4 | 0.042961594 | 0.12329511 | 0.12354936 | 1.0020621 | 2.9E-4 |
7.1 | 8.15236E-5 | 2.5314357E-4 | 4.1310306E-4 | 1.6318924 | 1.6E-4 | 3.4934006E-4 | 0.0010844533 | 0.0012642582 | 1.1658022 | 1.8E-4 | 0.004244923 | 0.01312411 | 0.013331355 | 1.015791 | 2.1E-4 | 0.04164747 | 0.12024182 | 0.12049695 | 1.0021218 | 2.9E-4 |
7.2 | 7.4344665E-5 | 2.3366607E-4 | 3.936287E-4 | 1.6845778 | 1.6E-4 | 3.1858106E-4 | 0.0010010449 | 0.0011808648 | 1.1796321 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0038718276 | 0.012120357 | 0.012327812 | 1.0171162 | 2.1E-4 | 0.038050596 | 0.11171238 | 0.111969985 | 1.002306 | 2.9E-4 |
7.3 | 6.8007364E-5 | 2.1006426E-4 | 3.7003064E-4 | 1.7615117 | 1.6E-4 | 2.9142757E-4 | 8.9996756E-4 | 0.0010798055 | 1.1998272 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0035423585 | 0.010902672 | 0.011110383 | 1.0190513 | 2.1E-4 | 0.034864213 | 0.10132854 | 0.10158915 | 1.002572 | 2.9E-4 |
7.4 | 5.036096E-5 | 1.4756732E-4 | 3.075437E-4 | 2.084091 | 1.6E-4 | 2.1581483E-4 | 6.3227897E-4 | 8.1216515E-4 | 1.2845044 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0026243792 | 0.0076710223 | 0.007879412 | 1.0271658 | 2.1E-4 | 0.02593602 | 0.072972916 | 0.07323248 | 1.0035571 | 2.8E-4 |
7.5 | 3.9626622E-5 | 1.13488124E-4 | 2.7346995E-4 | 2.4096792 | 1.6E-4 | 1.6981733E-4 | 4.8628735E-4 | 6.6619983E-4 | 1.3699715 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0020655652 | 0.0059045516 | 0.0061133117 | 1.0353558 | 2.1E-4 | 0.02046471 | 0.056855362 | 0.057119444 | 1.0046448 | 2.8E-4 |
7.6 | 3.049247E-5 | 8.718055E-5 | 2.471666E-4 | 2.8351116 | 1.6E-4 | 1.3067547E-4 | 3.7357758E-4 | 5.535103E-4 | 1.4816476 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0015898128 | 0.0045388537 | 0.0047479 | 1.0460572 | 2.1E-4 | 0.01578487 | 0.044091918 | 0.044359572 | 1.0060704 | 2.8E-4 |
7.7 | 2.0268619E-5 | 6.221937E-5 | 2.2220942E-4 | 3.5713866 | 1.6E-4 | 8.6862616E-5 | 2.666272E-4 | 4.4657922E-4 | 1.6749198 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0010570392 | 0.0032413588 | 0.003450678 | 1.0645777 | 2.1E-4 | 0.010520253 | 0.03172783 | 0.031998947 | 1.008545 | 2.8E-4 |
7.8 | 1.8208906E-5 | 5.4611046E-5 | 2.146023E-4 | 3.92965 | 1.6E-4 | 7.803583E-5 | 2.3402636E-4 | 4.1398423E-4 | 1.7689642 | 1.8E-4 | 9.496721E-4 | 0.0028455514 | 0.0030549539 | 1.0735894 | 2.1E-4 | 0.009456239 | 0.028017173 | 0.028289327 | 1.0097139 | 2.8E-4 |
7.9 | 1.4513317E-5 | 4.0227605E-5 | 2.0022117E-4 | 4.977208 | 1.6E-4 | 6.219845E-5 | 1.7239264E-4 | 3.5236162E-4 | 2.0439482 | 1.8E-4 | 7.5700297E-4 | 0.0020968614 | 0.002296442 | 1.0951806 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0075442945 | 0.020894045 | 0.021138823 | 1.0117152 | 2.5E-4 |
8.0 | 1.23757245E-5 | 3.2695243E-5 | 1.9269001E-4 | 5.8935184 | 1.6E-4 | 5.3037744E-5 | 1.4011495E-4 | 3.2008972E-4 | 2.2844796 | 1.8E-4 | 6.4554316E-4 | 0.0017045658 | 0.0019042249 | 1.117132 | 2.0E-4 | 0.006436711 | 0.017085625 | 0.017321525 | 1.0138069 | 2.4E-4 |
8.1 | 5.2156556E-6 | 9.026742E-6 | 9.026742E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2352619E-5 | 3.8685466E-5 | 3.8685466E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7210914E-4 | 4.7089384E-4 | 4.7089384E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027177618 | 0.004943855 | 0.004963756 | 1.0040255 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 2.5238028E-6 | 2.9899406E-6 | 2.9899406E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0816252E-5 | 1.2813968E-5 | 1.2813968E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3167992E-4 | 1.5599893E-4 | 1.5599893E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013160191 | 0.0017141807 | 0.0017241635 | 1.0058237 | 1.0E-5 |
8.3 | 2.0380091E-7 | 1.2222112E-7 | 1.2222112E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7343216E-7 | 5.238047E-7 | 5.238047E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0633985E-5 | 6.377304E-6 | 6.377304E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0633476E-4 | 6.6942506E-5 | 6.6942506E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Manix-Afton Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.401565E-5 | 1.496377E-5 | 1.1496228E-4 | 7.6827083 | 1.0E-4 | 6.0065686E-5 | 6.412895E-5 | 1.8412127E-4 | 2.8711097 | 1.2E-4 | 7.3105434E-4 | 7.805064E-4 | 9.703581E-4 | 1.2432417 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0072865407 | 0.007779273 | 0.008067017 | 1.0369885 | 2.9E-4 |
6.1 | 1.401565E-5 | 1.496377E-5 | 1.1496228E-4 | 7.6827083 | 1.0E-4 | 6.0065686E-5 | 6.412895E-5 | 1.8412127E-4 | 2.8711097 | 1.2E-4 | 7.3105434E-4 | 7.805064E-4 | 9.703581E-4 | 1.2432417 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0072865407 | 0.007779273 | 0.008067017 | 1.0369885 | 2.9E-4 |
6.2 | 1.401565E-5 | 1.496377E-5 | 1.1496228E-4 | 7.6827083 | 1.0E-4 | 6.0065686E-5 | 6.412895E-5 | 1.8412127E-4 | 2.8711097 | 1.2E-4 | 7.3105434E-4 | 7.805064E-4 | 9.703581E-4 | 1.2432417 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0072865407 | 0.007779273 | 0.008067017 | 1.0369885 | 2.9E-4 |
6.3 | 1.1567568E-5 | 1.2350158E-5 | 8.2349296E-5 | 6.667874 | 7.0E-5 | 4.957435E-5 | 5.292823E-5 | 1.3292399E-4 | 2.5114007 | 8.0E-5 | 6.034006E-4 | 6.4422097E-4 | 7.8413077E-4 | 1.2171768 | 1.4E-4 | 0.006017648 | 0.0064245695 | 0.006653092 | 1.03557 | 2.3E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1567568E-5 | 1.2350158E-5 | 8.2349296E-5 | 6.667874 | 7.0E-5 | 4.957435E-5 | 5.292823E-5 | 1.3292399E-4 | 2.5114007 | 8.0E-5 | 6.034006E-4 | 6.4422097E-4 | 7.8413077E-4 | 1.2171768 | 1.4E-4 | 0.006017648 | 0.0064245695 | 0.006653092 | 1.03557 | 2.3E-4 |
6.5 | 1.0253583E-5 | 1.0953696E-5 | 7.0953036E-5 | 6.4775434 | 6.0E-5 | 4.3943186E-5 | 4.6943616E-5 | 1.1694033E-4 | 2.4910805 | 7.0E-5 | 5.3487695E-4 | 5.713978E-4 | 6.913292E-4 | 1.2098913 | 1.2E-4 | 0.005335914 | 0.0057001947 | 0.0059089977 | 1.0366309 | 2.1E-4 |
6.6 | 8.804593E-6 | 9.413327E-6 | 6.941276E-5 | 7.3738823 | 6.0E-5 | 3.7733425E-5 | 4.034225E-5 | 1.10339424E-4 | 2.7350836 | 7.0E-5 | 4.593076E-4 | 4.910644E-4 | 6.010104E-4 | 1.2238932 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0045835944 | 0.0049006063 | 0.005079724 | 1.0365502 | 1.8E-4 |
6.7 | 8.798674E-6 | 9.406866E-6 | 6.9406306E-5 | 7.3782597 | 6.0E-5 | 3.7708054E-5 | 4.0314564E-5 | 1.1031174E-4 | 2.7362752 | 7.0E-5 | 4.5899887E-4 | 4.907275E-4 | 6.006735E-4 | 1.2240471 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0045805196 | 0.0048972517 | 0.00507637 | 1.0365753 | 1.8E-4 |
6.8 | 6.764089E-6 | 7.241003E-6 | 6.7240566E-5 | 9.286085 | 6.0E-5 | 2.898863E-5 | 3.103254E-5 | 1.0103037E-4 | 3.2556267 | 7.0E-5 | 3.528794E-4 | 3.77763E-4 | 4.8772147E-4 | 1.2910779 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0035231959 | 0.003771931 | 0.003951252 | 1.0475409 | 1.8E-4 |
6.9 | 4.83182E-6 | 5.168268E-6 | 3.5168112E-5 | 6.804622 | 3.0E-5 | 2.0707635E-5 | 2.2149565E-5 | 5.21489E-5 | 2.3543985 | 3.0E-5 | 2.520863E-4 | 2.69643E-4 | 3.196295E-4 | 1.1853803 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0025180054 | 0.0026936904 | 0.0027734747 | 1.029619 | 8.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.2182302E-6 | 3.4549348E-6 | 3.4549348E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3792342E-5 | 1.4806798E-5 | 1.4806798E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6790883E-4 | 1.8026115E-4 | 1.9025935E-4 | 1.0554651 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016778201 | 0.0018014727 | 0.0018214367 | 1.011082 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.2561367E-6 | 1.346206E-6 | 1.346206E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3834315E-6 | 5.7694497E-6 | 5.7694497E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.554131E-5 | 7.024227E-5 | 7.024227E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5521983E-4 | 7.023465E-4 | 7.023465E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.853421E-4 | 0.001189578 | 0.0012594947 | 1.0587744 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0025061977 | 0.0050834827 | 0.005173025 | 1.0176144 | 9.0E-5 | 0.030089283 | 0.05937232 | 0.059485193 | 1.0019011 | 1.2E-4 | 0.26325434 | 0.41665536 | 0.41678953 | 1.000322 | 2.3E-4 |
6.1 | 4.92739E-4 | 9.910555E-4 | 0.0010310159 | 1.040321 | 4.0E-5 | 0.00211003 | 0.004236729 | 0.0042964746 | 1.0141019 | 6.0E-5 | 0.025388896 | 0.049757607 | 0.049833626 | 1.0015278 | 8.0E-5 | 0.22676136 | 0.36494648 | 0.36506078 | 1.0003133 | 1.8E-4 |
6.2 | 3.9895924E-4 | 7.8121043E-4 | 8.11187E-4 | 1.0383719 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001708705 | 0.0033410497 | 0.0033908826 | 1.0149153 | 5.0E-5 | 0.020606011 | 0.03948344 | 0.03954107 | 1.0014596 | 6.0E-5 | 0.18796577 | 0.30459994 | 0.30471122 | 1.0003653 | 1.6E-4 |
6.3 | 3.4779336E-4 | 6.6644646E-4 | 6.9642643E-4 | 1.0449848 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0014896916 | 0.0028509998 | 0.0029008575 | 1.0174878 | 5.0E-5 | 0.01798679 | 0.03382024 | 0.03387821 | 1.0017141 | 6.0E-5 | 0.16598606 | 0.26924887 | 0.2693585 | 1.0004071 | 1.5E-4 |
6.4 | 2.9161308E-4 | 5.3950486E-4 | 5.594941E-4 | 1.0370511 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012491718 | 0.0023087463 | 0.002348654 | 1.0172855 | 4.0E-5 | 0.015102962 | 0.027520524 | 0.027569147 | 1.0017668 | 5.0E-5 | 0.14116782 | 0.2282201 | 0.22832815 | 1.0004735 | 1.4E-4 |
6.5 | 2.3428557E-4 | 4.1091198E-4 | 4.3090378E-4 | 1.0486522 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010036946 | 0.0017590774 | 0.0017990071 | 1.0226992 | 4.0E-5 | 0.012151684 | 0.021081368 | 0.021130312 | 1.0023217 | 5.0E-5 | 0.11508279 | 0.18331057 | 0.1834249 | 1.0006237 | 1.4E-4 |
6.6 | 1.611228E-4 | 2.46453E-4 | 2.6644807E-4 | 1.0811313 | 2.0E-5 | 6.9034356E-4 | 0.0010557898 | 0.0010957476 | 1.0378463 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008372588 | 0.012777008 | 0.012826369 | 1.0038633 | 5.0E-5 | 0.08064078 | 0.12147299 | 0.1215872 | 1.0009402 | 1.3E-4 |
6.7 | 1.5919778E-4 | 2.4261007E-4 | 2.6260523E-4 | 1.0824168 | 2.0E-5 | 6.8209774E-4 | 0.0010393349 | 0.0010792933 | 1.0384462 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008272963 | 0.012579432 | 0.012628803 | 1.0039247 | 5.0E-5 | 0.07971671 | 0.11982705 | 0.11994147 | 1.0009549 | 1.3E-4 |
6.8 | 1.581269E-4 | 2.4026241E-4 | 2.602576E-4 | 1.0832223 | 2.0E-5 | 6.775107E-4 | 0.0010292825 | 0.0010692413 | 1.038822 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008217538 | 0.012458669 | 0.012508046 | 1.0039632 | 5.0E-5 | 0.079202265 | 0.11879897 | 0.118913524 | 1.0009643 | 1.3E-4 |
6.9 | 1.5403044E-4 | 2.3082674E-4 | 2.508221E-4 | 1.0866251 | 2.0E-5 | 6.599634E-4 | 9.888842E-4 | 0.0010288446 | 1.0404097 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0080054905 | 0.011973691 | 0.012023093 | 1.0041258 | 5.0E-5 | 0.07723167 | 0.11462612 | 0.11474121 | 1.0010041 | 1.3E-4 |
7.0 | 1.4882197E-4 | 2.2026435E-4 | 2.3026216E-4 | 1.04539 | 1.0E-5 | 6.376525E-4 | 9.4365043E-4 | 9.7362214E-4 | 1.0317614 | 3.0E-5 | 0.007735819 | 0.011428889 | 0.011468431 | 1.0034599 | 4.0E-5 | 0.07472007 | 0.10985805 | 0.10996486 | 1.0009723 | 1.2E-4 |
7.1 | 1.185287E-4 | 1.596079E-4 | 1.696063E-4 | 1.0626435 | 1.0E-5 | 5.078812E-4 | 6.838552E-4 | 7.138347E-4 | 1.043839 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0061659366 | 0.00829433 | 0.008333998 | 1.0047826 | 4.0E-5 | 0.05997635 | 0.08236234 | 0.08246328 | 1.0012256 | 1.1E-4 |
7.2 | 1.0768486E-4 | 1.4367934E-4 | 1.536779E-4 | 1.0695894 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6142488E-4 | 6.156239E-4 | 6.4560544E-4 | 1.048701 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0056033866 | 0.0074696084 | 0.0075093093 | 1.0053151 | 4.0E-5 | 0.054641865 | 0.0747007 | 0.07480248 | 1.0013626 | 1.1E-4 |
7.3 | 9.5955525E-5 | 1.2513438E-4 | 1.3513312E-4 | 1.0799041 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1117313E-4 | 5.3618045E-4 | 5.661644E-4 | 1.0559213 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004994548 | 0.006508571 | 0.006548311 | 1.0061058 | 4.0E-5 | 0.04883775 | 0.06536928 | 0.06547209 | 1.0015727 | 1.1E-4 |
7.4 | 8.8811576E-5 | 1.1367672E-4 | 1.2367558E-4 | 1.0879588 | 1.0E-5 | 3.805655E-4 | 4.8709544E-4 | 5.170808E-4 | 1.0615596 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0046235453 | 0.005914361 | 0.005954125 | 1.0067232 | 4.0E-5 | 0.045285244 | 0.059666548 | 0.059769984 | 1.0017335 | 1.1E-4 |
7.5 | 7.4944306E-5 | 8.811882E-5 | 9.811794E-5 | 1.1134732 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2115032E-4 | 3.775975E-4 | 4.0758617E-4 | 1.0794197 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0039029967 | 0.0045875767 | 0.004627393 | 1.0086792 | 4.0E-5 | 0.03835155 | 0.04702485 | 0.047129676 | 1.0022292 | 1.1E-4 |
7.6 | 6.4923515E-5 | 8.059309E-5 | 9.0592286E-5 | 1.1240702 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7821396E-4 | 3.453533E-4 | 3.7534293E-4 | 1.0868375 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0033819943 | 0.0041965856 | 0.004236418 | 1.0094916 | 4.0E-5 | 0.033309855 | 0.0429909 | 0.04309617 | 1.0024487 | 1.1E-4 |
7.7 | 5.6169425E-5 | 6.535323E-5 | 7.535258E-5 | 1.1530046 | 1.0E-5 | 2.407039E-4 | 2.8005522E-4 | 3.0004964E-4 | 1.0713944 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0029266318 | 0.0034043456 | 0.0034342436 | 1.0087823 | 3.0E-5 | 0.028883878 | 0.035245538 | 0.03532272 | 1.0021898 | 8.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.0721486E-5 | 6.0040693E-5 | 6.0040693E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1735969E-4 | 2.572919E-4 | 2.6728932E-4 | 1.0388564 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0026431426 | 0.0031280324 | 0.0031479697 | 1.0063738 | 2.0E-5 | 0.026119253 | 0.0323843 | 0.032452032 | 1.0020915 | 7.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.7414946E-5 | 4.884864E-5 | 4.884864E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.603399E-4 | 2.0933452E-4 | 2.0933452E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019503904 | 0.0025456708 | 0.0025556453 | 1.0039183 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01933361 | 0.026395483 | 0.026444163 | 1.0018443 | 5.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.7491367E-5 | 3.104474E-5 | 3.104474E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1781482E-4 | 1.3304211E-4 | 1.3304211E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014334517 | 0.0016185849 | 0.0016285687 | 1.0061682 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014242403 | 0.01701403 | 0.017053349 | 1.002311 | 4.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.7745691E-5 | 1.6976683E-5 | 1.6976683E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.605075E-5 | 7.275519E-5 | 7.275519E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.255245E-4 | 8.8543486E-4 | 8.8543486E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009216793 | 0.009570359 | 0.009580264 | 1.0010349 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.539297E-6 | 5.459738E-6 | 5.459738E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6596473E-5 | 2.3398668E-5 | 2.3398668E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4547097E-4 | 2.848416E-4 | 2.848416E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044457903 | 0.0032364808 | 0.0032464485 | 1.0030798 | 1.0E-5 |
8.3 | 2.0399948E-6 | 7.9482766E-7 | 7.9482766E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.742806E-6 | 3.4063999E-6 | 3.4063999E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0643846E-4 | 4.1472143E-5 | 4.1472143E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010638749 | 4.865E-4 | 4.865E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (San Jacinto Valley) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.640597E-5 | 3.2901393E-5 | 1.4289777E-4 | 4.3432136 | 1.1E-4 | 1.5601626E-4 | 1.4099837E-4 | 2.6098144E-4 | 1.8509537 | 1.2E-4 | 0.001897843 | 0.0017153051 | 0.0019149621 | 1.1163974 | 2.0E-4 | 0.018817166 | 0.017736116 | 0.018020973 | 1.0160608 | 2.9E-4 |
6.1 | 3.640597E-5 | 3.2901393E-5 | 1.4289777E-4 | 4.3432136 | 1.1E-4 | 1.5601626E-4 | 1.4099837E-4 | 2.6098144E-4 | 1.8509537 | 1.2E-4 | 0.001897843 | 0.0017153051 | 0.0019149621 | 1.1163974 | 2.0E-4 | 0.018817166 | 0.017736116 | 0.018020973 | 1.0160608 | 2.9E-4 |
6.2 | 3.640597E-5 | 3.2901393E-5 | 1.4289777E-4 | 4.3432136 | 1.1E-4 | 1.5601626E-4 | 1.4099837E-4 | 2.6098144E-4 | 1.8509537 | 1.2E-4 | 0.001897843 | 0.0017153051 | 0.0019149621 | 1.1163974 | 2.0E-4 | 0.018817166 | 0.017736116 | 0.018020973 | 1.0160608 | 2.9E-4 |
6.3 | 3.640597E-5 | 3.2901393E-5 | 1.4289777E-4 | 4.3432136 | 1.1E-4 | 1.5601626E-4 | 1.4099837E-4 | 2.6098144E-4 | 1.8509537 | 1.2E-4 | 0.001897843 | 0.0017153051 | 0.0019149621 | 1.1163974 | 2.0E-4 | 0.018817166 | 0.017736116 | 0.018020973 | 1.0160608 | 2.9E-4 |
6.4 | 3.6350164E-5 | 3.282536E-5 | 1.4282175E-4 | 4.350958 | 1.1E-4 | 1.5577712E-4 | 1.4067254E-4 | 2.6065565E-4 | 1.852925 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0018949364 | 0.0017113447 | 0.0019110024 | 1.1166672 | 2.0E-4 | 0.018788593 | 0.017697187 | 0.017982056 | 1.0160968 | 2.9E-4 |
6.5 | 3.6350164E-5 | 3.282536E-5 | 1.4282175E-4 | 4.350958 | 1.1E-4 | 1.5577712E-4 | 1.4067254E-4 | 2.6065565E-4 | 1.852925 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0018949364 | 0.0017113447 | 0.0019110024 | 1.1166672 | 2.0E-4 | 0.018788593 | 0.017697187 | 0.017982056 | 1.0160968 | 2.9E-4 |
6.6 | 3.6325582E-5 | 3.2791937E-5 | 1.4278833E-4 | 4.3543735 | 1.1E-4 | 1.5567178E-4 | 1.4052932E-4 | 2.6051246E-4 | 1.8537943 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0018936562 | 0.0017096039 | 0.001909262 | 1.1167861 | 2.0E-4 | 0.018776007 | 0.017680075 | 0.017964948 | 1.0161127 | 2.9E-4 |
6.7 | 3.6315192E-5 | 3.2777527E-5 | 1.4277392E-4 | 4.355848 | 1.1E-4 | 1.5562726E-4 | 1.4046756E-4 | 2.604507E-4 | 1.8541697 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0018931151 | 0.0017088534 | 0.0019085116 | 1.1168375 | 2.0E-4 | 0.018770687 | 0.0176727 | 0.017957576 | 1.0161195 | 2.9E-4 |
6.8 | 3.6293033E-5 | 3.274714E-5 | 1.4274353E-4 | 4.358962 | 1.1E-4 | 1.555323E-4 | 1.4033735E-4 | 2.603205E-4 | 1.8549625 | 1.2E-4 | 0.001891961 | 0.0017072705 | 0.001906929 | 1.1169461 | 2.0E-4 | 0.018759342 | 0.017657127 | 0.017942008 | 1.0161339 | 2.9E-4 |
6.9 | 3.6264988E-5 | 3.27086E-5 | 1.42705E-4 | 4.36292 | 1.1E-4 | 1.5541211E-4 | 1.4017221E-4 | 2.601554E-4 | 1.8559698 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0018905003 | 0.001705263 | 0.0019049221 | 1.1170839 | 2.0E-4 | 0.01874498 | 0.017637378 | 0.017922264 | 1.0161524 | 2.9E-4 |
7.0 | 3.617651E-5 | 3.2587068E-5 | 1.4258348E-4 | 4.375462 | 1.1E-4 | 1.5503296E-4 | 1.396514E-4 | 2.5963463E-4 | 1.8591624 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0018858921 | 0.0016989323 | 0.0018985925 | 1.117521 | 2.0E-4 | 0.018699678 | 0.01757509 | 0.017859994 | 1.0162107 | 2.9E-4 |
7.1 | 3.614045E-5 | 3.2541044E-5 | 1.4253746E-4 | 4.3802366 | 1.1E-4 | 1.5487843E-4 | 1.3945416E-4 | 2.5943742E-4 | 1.8603778 | 1.2E-4 | 0.001884014 | 0.0016965348 | 0.0018961955 | 1.1176873 | 2.0E-4 | 0.018681211 | 0.01755148 | 0.01783639 | 1.0162328 | 2.9E-4 |
7.2 | 3.6082904E-5 | 3.24664E-5 | 1.4246283E-4 | 4.388008 | 1.1E-4 | 1.5463185E-4 | 1.391343E-4 | 2.591176E-4 | 1.8623561 | 1.2E-4 | 0.001881017 | 0.0016926464 | 0.0018923079 | 1.1179582 | 2.0E-4 | 0.018651746 | 0.017513184 | 0.017798105 | 1.016269 | 2.9E-4 |
7.3 | 3.5962254E-5 | 3.2323984E-5 | 1.4232042E-4 | 4.402936 | 1.1E-4 | 1.5411484E-4 | 1.3852402E-4 | 2.5850738E-4 | 1.8661557 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0018747333 | 0.0016852277 | 0.0018848907 | 1.1184783 | 2.0E-4 | 0.018589962 | 0.01743981 | 0.017724752 | 1.0163386 | 2.9E-4 |
7.4 | 3.5914763E-5 | 3.2265954E-5 | 1.422624E-4 | 4.409056 | 1.1E-4 | 1.5391133E-4 | 1.3827535E-4 | 2.5825875E-4 | 1.8677137 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0018722598 | 0.0016822049 | 0.0018818685 | 1.1186916 | 2.0E-4 | 0.018565642 | 0.017409915 | 0.017694866 | 1.0163672 | 2.9E-4 |
7.5 | 3.5704943E-5 | 3.2086064E-5 | 1.4208253E-4 | 4.4281697 | 1.1E-4 | 1.5301221E-4 | 1.3750447E-4 | 2.5748796E-4 | 1.8725789 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0018613318 | 0.0016728339 | 0.0018724994 | 1.1193576 | 2.0E-4 | 0.018458184 | 0.0173164 | 0.017601376 | 1.0164571 | 2.9E-4 |
7.6 | 3.3342625E-5 | 3.095115E-5 | 1.4094774E-4 | 4.553878 | 1.1E-4 | 1.4288914E-4 | 1.3264104E-4 | 2.5262512E-4 | 1.9045774 | 1.2E-4 | 0.001738287 | 0.0016137107 | 0.001813388 | 1.1237379 | 2.0E-4 | 0.017247524 | 0.016717022 | 0.017002175 | 1.0170575 | 2.9E-4 |
7.7 | 2.9089113E-5 | 2.7874621E-5 | 1.3787155E-4 | 4.9461317 | 1.1E-4 | 1.2466166E-4 | 1.19457196E-4 | 2.3944286E-4 | 2.0044239 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0015166991 | 0.0014534221 | 0.0016531314 | 1.1374062 | 2.0E-4 | 0.015063891 | 0.015114401 | 0.015400018 | 1.018897 | 2.9E-4 |
7.8 | 2.4730354E-5 | 2.5059644E-5 | 1.350569E-4 | 5.3894176 | 1.1E-4 | 1.0598292E-4 | 1.0739406E-4 | 2.2738117E-4 | 2.1172602 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0012895783 | 0.0013067392 | 0.0015064778 | 1.1528528 | 2.0E-4 | 0.012821204 | 0.013637241 | 0.013923286 | 1.0209754 | 2.9E-4 |
7.9 | 1.9452556E-5 | 2.0081663E-5 | 1.3007945E-4 | 6.477524 | 1.1E-4 | 8.3365434E-5 | 8.606144E-5 | 2.060511E-4 | 2.3942327 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0010145014 | 0.0010472949 | 0.0012470855 | 1.1907681 | 2.0E-4 | 0.010098825 | 0.011018885 | 0.01130569 | 1.0260284 | 2.9E-4 |
8.0 | 1.5045218E-5 | 1.4774355E-5 | 1.14772876E-4 | 7.768385 | 1.0E-4 | 6.4477914E-5 | 6.331713E-5 | 1.7331017E-4 | 2.7371764 | 1.1E-4 | 7.8473584E-4 | 7.70614E-4 | 9.504753E-4 | 1.2334 | 1.8E-4 | 0.007819705 | 0.008189247 | 0.008447118 | 1.0314889 | 2.6E-4 |
8.1 | 9.791738E-6 | 7.8594185E-6 | 1.785934E-5 | 2.2723486 | 1.0E-5 | 4.196392E-5 | 3.368279E-5 | 4.3682452E-5 | 1.2968775 | 1.0E-5 | 5.107909E-4 | 4.1001127E-4 | 4.4999487E-4 | 1.0975183 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0050961846 | 0.0044209026 | 0.004490593 | 1.0157639 | 7.0E-5 |
8.2 | 3.9342767E-6 | 1.4262952E-6 | 1.4262952E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6861077E-5 | 6.112679E-6 | 6.112679E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0526428E-4 | 7.4419346E-5 | 7.4419346E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020507479 | 8.66711E-4 | 8.66711E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.258898E-6 | 3.4209424E-7 | 3.4209424E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.395266E-6 | 1.4661174E-6 | 1.4661174E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.568538E-5 | 1.7849838E-5 | 1.7849838E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.566597E-4 | 2.1571765E-4 | 2.1571765E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Baker
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.9871765E-6 | 5.0982776E-6 | 3.5098124E-5 | 6.8843102 | 3.0E-5 | 2.1373438E-5 | 2.1849593E-5 | 8.184828E-5 | 3.7459867 | 6.0E-5 | 2.6019054E-4 | 2.65989E-4 | 4.5593845E-4 | 1.7141253 | 1.9E-4 | 0.002598861 | 0.00265697 | 0.0029362259 | 1.1051033 | 2.8E-4 |
6.1 | 4.9871765E-6 | 5.0982776E-6 | 3.5098124E-5 | 6.8843102 | 3.0E-5 | 2.1373438E-5 | 2.1849593E-5 | 8.184828E-5 | 3.7459867 | 6.0E-5 | 2.6019054E-4 | 2.65989E-4 | 4.5593845E-4 | 1.7141253 | 1.9E-4 | 0.002598861 | 0.00265697 | 0.0029362259 | 1.1051033 | 2.8E-4 |
6.2 | 4.9871765E-6 | 5.0982776E-6 | 3.5098124E-5 | 6.8843102 | 3.0E-5 | 2.1373438E-5 | 2.1849593E-5 | 8.184828E-5 | 3.7459867 | 6.0E-5 | 2.6019054E-4 | 2.65989E-4 | 4.5593845E-4 | 1.7141253 | 1.9E-4 | 0.002598861 | 0.00265697 | 0.0029362259 | 1.1051033 | 2.8E-4 |
6.3 | 3.0142169E-6 | 3.085558E-6 | 1.3085527E-5 | 4.240895 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2918008E-5 | 1.32237565E-5 | 4.322336E-5 | 3.2686143 | 3.0E-5 | 1.572654E-4 | 1.6098775E-4 | 2.4097487E-4 | 1.4968522 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0015715414 | 0.0016087524 | 0.0017485272 | 1.0868839 | 1.4E-4 |
6.4 | 3.0142169E-6 | 3.085558E-6 | 1.3085527E-5 | 4.240895 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2918008E-5 | 1.32237565E-5 | 4.322336E-5 | 3.2686143 | 3.0E-5 | 1.572654E-4 | 1.6098775E-4 | 2.4097487E-4 | 1.4968522 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0015715414 | 0.0016087524 | 0.0017485272 | 1.0868839 | 1.4E-4 |
6.5 | 2.5353388E-6 | 2.5978502E-6 | 1.2597824E-5 | 4.8493266 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0865693E-5 | 1.1133598E-5 | 3.1133375E-5 | 2.7963445 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3228178E-4 | 1.355434E-4 | 2.0553391E-4 | 1.5163697 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0013220307 | 0.0013546358 | 0.0014844596 | 1.0958368 | 1.3E-4 |
6.6 | 2.1369149E-6 | 2.1923192E-6 | 1.2192298E-5 | 5.5613694 | 1.0E-5 | 9.158174E-6 | 9.395621E-6 | 2.9395433E-5 | 3.128631 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1149507E-4 | 1.14385875E-4 | 1.8437786E-4 | 1.6118937 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0011143915 | 0.0011432887 | 0.0012731401 | 1.113577 | 1.3E-4 |
6.7 | 1.875709E-6 | 1.9267115E-6 | 1.1926692E-5 | 6.190181 | 1.0E-5 | 8.038728E-6 | 8.25731E-6 | 1.8257228E-5 | 2.211038 | 1.0E-5 | 9.7867116E-5 | 1.00528254E-4 | 1.6052222E-4 | 1.5967871 | 6.0E-5 | 9.782403E-4 | 0.0010048427 | 0.0011247221 | 1.1193017 | 1.2E-4 |
6.8 | 1.699177E-6 | 1.7473235E-6 | 1.1747306E-5 | 6.7230287 | 1.0E-5 | 7.282167E-6 | 7.4885083E-6 | 1.7488434E-5 | 2.3353693 | 1.0E-5 | 8.865678E-5 | 9.116891E-5 | 1.5116345E-4 | 1.6580591 | 6.0E-5 | 8.8621414E-4 | 9.1132836E-4 | 0.0010212281 | 1.120593 | 1.1E-4 |
6.9 | 1.5051384E-6 | 1.5500759E-6 | 1.1550061E-5 | 7.451287 | 1.0E-5 | 6.4505766E-6 | 6.643166E-6 | 1.66431E-5 | 2.5052962 | 1.0E-5 | 7.853294E-5 | 8.087765E-5 | 1.408728E-4 | 1.7418013 | 6.0E-5 | 7.8505196E-4 | 8.084928E-4 | 9.184039E-4 | 1.1359457 | 1.1E-4 |
7.0 | 1.1039745E-6 | 1.142773E-6 | 1.1142762E-5 | 9.750634 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7313106E-6 | 4.8975894E-6 | 1.48975405E-5 | 3.0418108 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7602185E-5 | 5.9626538E-5 | 1.19622964E-4 | 2.0062034 | 6.0E-5 | 5.7587255E-4 | 5.961072E-4 | 7.0604164E-4 | 1.1844206 | 1.1E-4 |
7.1 | 9.837552E-7 | 1.0208984E-6 | 1.0208984E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2160864E-6 | 4.3752716E-6 | 4.3752716E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1329644E-5 | 5.3267635E-5 | 1.03264974E-4 | 1.9386063 | 5.0E-5 | 5.131779E-4 | 5.3254946E-4 | 6.324962E-4 | 1.187676 | 1.0E-4 |
7.2 | 9.4413525E-7 | 9.8069E-7 | 9.8069E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.046288E-6 | 4.20295E-6 | 4.20295E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.926244E-5 | 5.116972E-5 | 1.0116716E-4 | 1.9770904 | 5.0E-5 | 4.925152E-4 | 5.115802E-4 | 6.0153415E-4 | 1.1758355 | 9.0E-5 |
7.3 | 8.7236936E-7 | 9.0776155E-7 | 9.0776155E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7387204E-6 | 3.890401E-6 | 3.890401E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.551797E-5 | 4.7364607E-5 | 8.7362714E-5 | 1.8444724 | 4.0E-5 | 4.5508647E-4 | 4.7354584E-4 | 5.5350794E-4 | 1.1688583 | 8.0E-5 |
7.4 | 8.1957796E-7 | 8.5384505E-7 | 8.5384505E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5124724E-6 | 3.6593308E-6 | 3.6593308E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.276351E-5 | 4.455145E-5 | 7.455011E-5 | 1.6733488 | 3.0E-5 | 4.2755282E-4 | 4.4542583E-4 | 5.0539913E-4 | 1.1346426 | 6.0E-5 |
7.5 | 7.6149445E-7 | 7.943583E-7 | 7.943583E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2635435E-6 | 3.4043883E-6 | 3.4043883E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9732917E-5 | 4.1447645E-5 | 7.1446404E-5 | 1.7237747 | 3.0E-5 | 3.9725815E-4 | 4.143998E-4 | 4.643791E-4 | 1.1206064 | 5.0E-5 |
7.6 | 7.013777E-7 | 7.3258565E-7 | 7.3258565E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.005901E-6 | 3.139649E-6 | 3.139649E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.659623E-5 | 3.8224563E-5 | 6.822342E-5 | 1.7848057 | 3.0E-5 | 3.6590203E-4 | 3.821805E-4 | 4.3216138E-4 | 1.1307782 | 5.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.151541E-7 | 6.4350814E-7 | 6.4350814E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6363718E-6 | 2.7578892E-6 | 2.7578892E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2097356E-5 | 3.357679E-5 | 4.3576456E-5 | 1.2978147 | 1.0E-5 | 3.209272E-4 | 3.3571778E-4 | 3.657077E-4 | 1.0893308 | 3.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.1694145E-7 | 3.333711E-7 | 3.333711E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3583199E-6 | 1.4287325E-6 | 1.4287325E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6537419E-5 | 1.7394683E-5 | 1.7394683E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6536188E-4 | 1.7393359E-4 | 1.8393186E-4 | 1.0574832 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.8610457E-9 | 1.9363102E-9 | 1.9363102E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.97591E-9 | 8.298473E-9 | 8.298473E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.71067E-8 | 1.01033905E-7 | 1.01033905E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.710666E-7 | 1.0103391E-6 | 1.0103391E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Stepovers Combined)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.0558618E-5 | 3.401503E-5 | 1.4401128E-4 | 4.2337546 | 1.1E-4 | 1.7381107E-4 | 1.4577054E-4 | 2.6575304E-4 | 1.8230916 | 1.2E-4 | 0.002114096 | 0.0017733125 | 0.0019729577 | 1.1125833 | 2.0E-4 | 0.020940965 | 0.018320078 | 0.018594949 | 1.0150038 | 2.8E-4 |
6.1 | 4.0558618E-5 | 3.401503E-5 | 1.4401128E-4 | 4.2337546 | 1.1E-4 | 1.7381107E-4 | 1.4577054E-4 | 2.6575304E-4 | 1.8230916 | 1.2E-4 | 0.002114096 | 0.0017733125 | 0.0019729577 | 1.1125833 | 2.0E-4 | 0.020940965 | 0.018320078 | 0.018594949 | 1.0150038 | 2.8E-4 |
6.2 | 4.0558618E-5 | 3.401503E-5 | 1.4401128E-4 | 4.2337546 | 1.1E-4 | 1.7381107E-4 | 1.4577054E-4 | 2.6575304E-4 | 1.8230916 | 1.2E-4 | 0.002114096 | 0.0017733125 | 0.0019729577 | 1.1125833 | 2.0E-4 | 0.020940965 | 0.018320078 | 0.018594949 | 1.0150038 | 2.8E-4 |
6.3 | 4.0558618E-5 | 3.401503E-5 | 1.4401128E-4 | 4.2337546 | 1.1E-4 | 1.7381107E-4 | 1.4577054E-4 | 2.6575304E-4 | 1.8230916 | 1.2E-4 | 0.002114096 | 0.0017733125 | 0.0019729577 | 1.1125833 | 2.0E-4 | 0.020940965 | 0.018320078 | 0.018594949 | 1.0150038 | 2.8E-4 |
6.4 | 4.04421E-5 | 3.385048E-5 | 1.4384676E-4 | 4.2494745 | 1.1E-4 | 1.7331177E-4 | 1.4506544E-4 | 2.6504803E-4 | 1.8270929 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0021080286 | 0.001764743 | 0.00196439 | 1.1131309 | 2.0E-4 | 0.020881437 | 0.01823596 | 0.018510852 | 1.0150743 | 2.8E-4 |
6.5 | 4.04421E-5 | 3.385048E-5 | 1.4384676E-4 | 4.2494745 | 1.1E-4 | 1.7331177E-4 | 1.4506544E-4 | 2.6504803E-4 | 1.8270929 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0021080286 | 0.001764743 | 0.00196439 | 1.1131309 | 2.0E-4 | 0.020881437 | 0.01823596 | 0.018510852 | 1.0150743 | 2.8E-4 |
6.6 | 4.0395822E-5 | 3.378508E-5 | 1.4378136E-4 | 4.255765 | 1.1E-4 | 1.7311345E-4 | 1.4478518E-4 | 2.647678E-4 | 1.8286941 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0021056188 | 0.001761337 | 0.001960985 | 1.1133502 | 2.0E-4 | 0.02085779 | 0.018202525 | 0.018477427 | 1.0151025 | 2.8E-4 |
6.7 | 4.037292E-5 | 3.3753007E-5 | 1.4374929E-4 | 4.2588587 | 1.1E-4 | 1.7301533E-4 | 1.4464774E-4 | 2.646304E-4 | 1.8294816 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0021044265 | 0.0017596668 | 0.0019593148 | 1.1134579 | 2.0E-4 | 0.020846091 | 0.018186124 | 0.018461032 | 1.0151163 | 2.8E-4 |
6.8 | 4.0351813E-5 | 3.3726068E-5 | 1.4372235E-4 | 4.261462 | 1.1E-4 | 1.7292488E-4 | 1.445323E-4 | 2.6451497E-4 | 1.8301443 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0021033273 | 0.0017582636 | 0.001957912 | 1.1135486 | 2.0E-4 | 0.020835306 | 0.018172294 | 0.018447205 | 1.015128 | 2.8E-4 |
6.9 | 4.0321644E-5 | 3.3688877E-5 | 1.4368517E-4 | 4.265063 | 1.1E-4 | 1.727956E-4 | 1.4437293E-4 | 2.643556E-4 | 1.8310608 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0021017564 | 0.0017563264 | 0.001955975 | 1.113674 | 2.0E-4 | 0.020819891 | 0.018153183 | 0.0184281 | 1.0151443 | 2.8E-4 |
7.0 | 4.0206167E-5 | 3.355653E-5 | 1.4355284E-4 | 4.2779403 | 1.1E-4 | 1.7230076E-4 | 1.438058E-4 | 2.6378853E-4 | 1.8343387 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0020957433 | 0.0017494328 | 0.0019490828 | 1.1141227 | 2.0E-4 | 0.020760886 | 0.018085033 | 0.01835997 | 1.0152024 | 2.8E-4 |
7.1 | 4.0182284E-5 | 3.3532306E-5 | 1.4352861E-4 | 4.2803087 | 1.1E-4 | 1.7219842E-4 | 1.4370198E-4 | 2.6368472E-4 | 1.8349416 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0020944998 | 0.0017481707 | 0.0019478211 | 1.1142054 | 2.0E-4 | 0.020748684 | 0.018072488 | 0.018347427 | 1.0152131 | 2.8E-4 |
7.2 | 4.007387E-5 | 3.341371E-5 | 1.4341004E-4 | 4.2919517 | 1.1E-4 | 1.7173386E-4 | 1.4319379E-4 | 2.631766E-4 | 1.8379052 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0020888546 | 0.0017419934 | 0.0019416449 | 1.114611 | 2.0E-4 | 0.020693285 | 0.018011237 | 0.018286195 | 1.0152658 | 2.8E-4 |
7.3 | 3.9727853E-5 | 3.322052E-5 | 1.4321686E-4 | 4.311096 | 1.1E-4 | 1.702511E-4 | 1.4236591E-4 | 2.6234883E-4 | 1.8427784 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0020708365 | 0.0017319301 | 0.0019315837 | 1.1152781 | 2.0E-4 | 0.020516451 | 0.017909078 | 0.018184064 | 1.0153545 | 2.8E-4 |
7.4 | 3.9503255E-5 | 3.3101598E-5 | 1.4309796E-4 | 4.3229923 | 1.1E-4 | 1.6928867E-4 | 1.4185629E-4 | 2.6183928E-4 | 1.8458065 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0020591412 | 0.0017257354 | 0.0019253902 | 1.1156926 | 2.0E-4 | 0.020401653 | 0.017846093 | 0.018121095 | 1.0154097 | 2.8E-4 |
7.5 | 3.715739E-5 | 3.2324784E-5 | 1.4232122E-4 | 4.4028516 | 1.1E-4 | 1.5923625E-4 | 1.3852745E-4 | 2.5851085E-4 | 1.8661343 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0019369774 | 0.00168527 | 0.001884933 | 1.1184753 | 2.0E-4 | 0.019201808 | 0.017431457 | 0.017706577 | 1.015783 | 2.8E-4 |
7.6 | 3.3862496E-5 | 3.0563213E-5 | 1.4055985E-4 | 4.598988 | 1.1E-4 | 1.4511691E-4 | 1.3097863E-4 | 2.509629E-4 | 1.91606 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0017653665 | 0.001593501 | 0.0017931823 | 1.1253098 | 2.0E-4 | 0.01751408 | 0.016505027 | 0.016780404 | 1.0166845 | 2.8E-4 |
7.7 | 2.8499282E-5 | 2.6715024E-5 | 1.3671209E-4 | 5.117423 | 1.1E-4 | 1.2213406E-4 | 1.1448794E-4 | 2.3447421E-4 | 2.0480254 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0014859679 | 0.0013930004 | 0.0015927218 | 1.1433749 | 2.0E-4 | 0.014760707 | 0.014498803 | 0.0147747435 | 1.0190319 | 2.8E-4 |
7.8 | 2.4160707E-5 | 2.392978E-5 | 1.3392715E-4 | 5.5966725 | 1.1E-4 | 1.0354178E-4 | 1.0255218E-4 | 2.2253988E-4 | 2.170016 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0012598921 | 0.0012478584 | 0.0014476088 | 1.1600746 | 2.0E-4 | 0.01252773 | 0.0130363405 | 0.013312691 | 1.0211984 | 2.8E-4 |
7.9 | 1.8988483E-5 | 1.9176847E-5 | 1.2917473E-4 | 6.735974 | 1.1E-4 | 8.1376675E-5 | 8.21839E-5 | 2.0217404E-4 | 2.46002 | 1.2E-4 | 9.903106E-4 | 0.0010001303 | 0.0011999303 | 1.1997739 | 2.0E-4 | 0.009859091 | 0.010536048 | 0.0108130975 | 1.0262954 | 2.8E-4 |
8.0 | 1.4987103E-5 | 1.47201345E-5 | 1.1471866E-4 | 7.7933164 | 1.0E-4 | 6.4228865E-5 | 6.308477E-5 | 1.7307783E-4 | 2.7435756 | 1.1E-4 | 7.8170584E-4 | 7.67787E-4 | 9.476488E-4 | 1.2342601 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0077896174 | 0.008158757 | 0.008416636 | 1.0316076 | 2.6E-4 |
8.1 | 9.759733E-6 | 7.844926E-6 | 1.7844846E-5 | 2.2746994 | 1.0E-5 | 4.182676E-5 | 3.362068E-5 | 4.362034E-5 | 1.297426 | 1.0E-5 | 5.091218E-4 | 4.0925533E-4 | 4.4923896E-4 | 1.0976985 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0050795693 | 0.0044121393 | 0.0044818306 | 1.0157954 | 7.0E-5 |
8.2 | 3.915394E-6 | 1.419656E-6 | 1.419656E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6780152E-5 | 6.0842253E-6 | 6.0842253E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0427919E-4 | 7.407295E-5 | 7.407295E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002040915 | 8.6260994E-4 | 8.6260994E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.256767E-6 | 3.4127825E-7 | 3.4127825E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.386133E-6 | 1.4626203E-6 | 1.4626203E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.55742E-5 | 1.780726E-5 | 1.780726E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5554853E-4 | 2.1523096E-4 | 2.1523096E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
White Wolf (Extension)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.027098E-6 | 5.9999466E-6 | 6.5999586E-5 | 11.000029 | 6.0E-5 | 3.4401397E-5 | 2.5713834E-5 | 1.4571074E-4 | 5.6666284 | 1.2E-4 | 4.187565E-4 | 3.1302663E-4 | 4.929703E-4 | 1.5748509 | 1.8E-4 | 0.004179683 | 0.0031264143 | 0.0033856013 | 1.0829023 | 2.6E-4 |
6.1 | 8.027098E-6 | 5.9999466E-6 | 6.5999586E-5 | 11.000029 | 6.0E-5 | 3.4401397E-5 | 2.5713834E-5 | 1.4571074E-4 | 5.6666284 | 1.2E-4 | 4.187565E-4 | 3.1302663E-4 | 4.929703E-4 | 1.5748509 | 1.8E-4 | 0.004179683 | 0.0031264143 | 0.0033856013 | 1.0829023 | 2.6E-4 |
6.2 | 8.027098E-6 | 5.9999466E-6 | 6.5999586E-5 | 11.000029 | 6.0E-5 | 3.4401397E-5 | 2.5713834E-5 | 1.4571074E-4 | 5.6666284 | 1.2E-4 | 4.187565E-4 | 3.1302663E-4 | 4.929703E-4 | 1.5748509 | 1.8E-4 | 0.004179683 | 0.0031264143 | 0.0033856013 | 1.0829023 | 2.6E-4 |
6.3 | 8.027098E-6 | 5.9999466E-6 | 6.5999586E-5 | 11.000029 | 6.0E-5 | 3.4401397E-5 | 2.5713834E-5 | 1.4571074E-4 | 5.6666284 | 1.2E-4 | 4.187565E-4 | 3.1302663E-4 | 4.929703E-4 | 1.5748509 | 1.8E-4 | 0.004179683 | 0.0031264143 | 0.0033856013 | 1.0829023 | 2.6E-4 |
6.4 | 5.780459E-6 | 3.6565025E-6 | 4.3656357E-5 | 11.939376 | 4.0E-5 | 2.477316E-5 | 1.5670637E-5 | 1.0566923E-4 | 6.743135 | 9.0E-5 | 3.0157148E-4 | 1.9077449E-4 | 3.2074968E-4 | 1.6813028 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0030116257 | 0.0019062235 | 0.0020758994 | 1.0890115 | 1.7E-4 |
6.5 | 5.693774E-6 | 3.5661596E-6 | 4.356602E-5 | 12.216507 | 4.0E-5 | 2.440166E-5 | 1.5283458E-5 | 1.0528208E-4 | 6.8886294 | 9.0E-5 | 2.970497E-4 | 1.860614E-4 | 3.0603906E-4 | 1.6448284 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0029665292 | 0.0018591721 | 0.0020188747 | 1.0858998 | 1.6E-4 |
6.6 | 4.457246E-6 | 2.281049E-6 | 1.2281026E-5 | 5.383938 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9102343E-5 | 9.77589E-6 | 3.9775598E-5 | 4.068744 | 3.0E-5 | 2.3254621E-4 | 1.1901533E-4 | 1.5901057E-4 | 1.3360511 | 4.0E-5 | 0.00232303 | 0.001189552 | 0.0012494806 | 1.0503792 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.7808209E-6 | 1.6118837E-6 | 1.1611867E-5 | 7.203912 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6203418E-5 | 6.9080556E-6 | 2.6907917E-5 | 3.8951507 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9725875E-4 | 8.4102496E-5 | 1.14099974E-4 | 1.3566777 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0019708374 | 8.407233E-4 | 8.906812E-4 | 1.0594226 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.2931252E-6 | 1.2069884E-6 | 1.2069884E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4113317E-5 | 5.1727975E-6 | 1.5172746E-5 | 2.9331799 | 1.0E-5 | 1.718161E-4 | 6.297708E-5 | 8.297582E-5 | 1.3175559 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017168331 | 6.296011E-4 | 6.5958226E-4 | 1.0476192 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.0317756E-6 | 1.0061792E-6 | 1.0061792E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2993259E-5 | 4.31219E-6 | 1.4312147E-5 | 3.3189974 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5818144E-4 | 5.2499723E-5 | 7.2498675E-5 | 1.3809344 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001580689 | 5.248807E-4 | 5.54865E-4 | 1.0571258 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.7402446E-6 | 7.767127E-7 | 7.767127E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1743852E-5 | 3.3287647E-6 | 1.3328731E-5 | 4.0041075 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4297203E-4 | 4.052701E-5 | 6.0526203E-5 | 1.4934781 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014288008 | 4.0520178E-4 | 4.351896E-4 | 1.0740072 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.284625E-6 | 5.546616E-7 | 5.546616E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.7912125E-6 | 2.3771192E-6 | 1.2377095E-5 | 5.2067623 | 1.0E-5 | 1.192015E-4 | 2.8941087E-5 | 3.8940798E-5 | 1.3455195 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011913758 | 2.8937758E-4 | 3.093718E-4 | 1.0690938 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.2493534E-6 | 1.0024369E-7 | 1.0024369E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.354361E-6 | 4.2961574E-7 | 1.0429611E-5 | 24.276604 | 1.0E-5 | 6.518739E-5 | 5.23056E-6 | 1.5230507E-5 | 2.9118311 | 1.0E-5 | 6.516827E-4 | 5.230445E-5 | 6.230393E-5 | 1.1911783 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 5.926325E-7 | 4.3140886E-8 | 4.3140886E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.539851E-6 | 1.848895E-7 | 1.848895E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0922245E-5 | 2.2510276E-6 | 2.2510276E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0917945E-4 | 2.2510072E-5 | 2.2510072E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 6.073129E-8 | 4.9978817E-9 | 4.9978817E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6027692E-7 | 2.1419492E-8 | 2.1419492E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.168867E-6 | 2.6078231E-7 | 2.6078231E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1688218E-5 | 2.6078212E-6 | 2.6078212E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Anza) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.238666E-5 | 4.1062933E-5 | 1.21059646E-4 | 2.9481492 | 8.0E-5 | 2.6734397E-4 | 1.7597218E-4 | 2.6595633E-4 | 1.5113544 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0032500552 | 0.0021403662 | 0.0023000238 | 1.0745935 | 1.6E-4 | 0.03202932 | 0.022099901 | 0.022334598 | 1.0106198 | 2.4E-4 |
6.1 | 6.238666E-5 | 4.1062933E-5 | 1.21059646E-4 | 2.9481492 | 8.0E-5 | 2.6734397E-4 | 1.7597218E-4 | 2.6595633E-4 | 1.5113544 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0032500552 | 0.0021403662 | 0.0023000238 | 1.0745935 | 1.6E-4 | 0.03202932 | 0.022099901 | 0.022334598 | 1.0106198 | 2.4E-4 |
6.2 | 6.238666E-5 | 4.1062933E-5 | 1.21059646E-4 | 2.9481492 | 8.0E-5 | 2.6734397E-4 | 1.7597218E-4 | 2.6595633E-4 | 1.5113544 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0032500552 | 0.0021403662 | 0.0023000238 | 1.0745935 | 1.6E-4 | 0.03202932 | 0.022099901 | 0.022334598 | 1.0106198 | 2.4E-4 |
6.3 | 6.238666E-5 | 4.1062933E-5 | 1.21059646E-4 | 2.9481492 | 8.0E-5 | 2.6734397E-4 | 1.7597218E-4 | 2.6595633E-4 | 1.5113544 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0032500552 | 0.0021403662 | 0.0023000238 | 1.0745935 | 1.6E-4 | 0.03202932 | 0.022099901 | 0.022334598 | 1.0106198 | 2.4E-4 |
6.4 | 6.238666E-5 | 4.1062933E-5 | 1.21059646E-4 | 2.9481492 | 8.0E-5 | 2.6734397E-4 | 1.7597218E-4 | 2.6595633E-4 | 1.5113544 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0032500552 | 0.0021403662 | 0.0023000238 | 1.0745935 | 1.6E-4 | 0.03202932 | 0.022099901 | 0.022334598 | 1.0106198 | 2.4E-4 |
6.5 | 5.792322E-5 | 3.8202288E-5 | 1.18199234E-4 | 3.0940354 | 8.0E-5 | 2.4821874E-4 | 1.6371385E-4 | 2.536991E-4 | 1.5496497 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0030178754 | 0.001991399 | 0.0021510804 | 1.0801855 | 1.6E-4 | 0.029772192 | 0.020589905 | 0.020824963 | 1.0114162 | 2.4E-4 |
6.6 | 5.792322E-5 | 3.8202288E-5 | 1.18199234E-4 | 3.0940354 | 8.0E-5 | 2.4821874E-4 | 1.6371385E-4 | 2.536991E-4 | 1.5496497 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0030178754 | 0.001991399 | 0.0021510804 | 1.0801855 | 1.6E-4 | 0.029772192 | 0.020589905 | 0.020824963 | 1.0114162 | 2.4E-4 |
6.7 | 5.691238E-5 | 3.7614827E-5 | 1.1761182E-4 | 3.126741 | 8.0E-5 | 2.438874E-4 | 1.6119647E-4 | 2.5118195E-4 | 1.5582349 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0029652861 | 0.0019608054 | 0.0021204916 | 1.0814391 | 1.6E-4 | 0.029260293 | 0.020274777 | 0.020509912 | 1.0115974 | 2.4E-4 |
6.8 | 5.6776622E-5 | 3.7496262E-5 | 1.1749326E-4 | 3.133466 | 8.0E-5 | 2.433057E-4 | 1.606884E-4 | 2.5067394E-4 | 1.5600002 | 9.0E-5 | 0.002958223 | 0.0019546307 | 0.002114318 | 1.0816969 | 1.6E-4 | 0.029191522 | 0.020212779 | 0.020447928 | 1.0116336 | 2.4E-4 |
6.9 | 5.605428E-5 | 3.722127E-5 | 1.1721829E-4 | 3.1492288 | 8.0E-5 | 2.402105E-4 | 1.5951E-4 | 2.4949564E-4 | 1.5641379 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0029206409 | 0.0019403094 | 0.002099999 | 1.082301 | 1.6E-4 | 0.028825527 | 0.02006363 | 0.020298814 | 1.011722 | 2.4E-4 |
7.0 | 5.4274995E-5 | 3.6178386E-5 | 1.1617549E-4 | 3.2111852 | 8.0E-5 | 2.3258638E-4 | 1.5504102E-4 | 2.4502707E-4 | 1.5804015 | 9.0E-5 | 0.002828062 | 0.0018859947 | 0.0020456929 | 1.0846759 | 1.6E-4 | 0.027923414 | 0.019503193 | 0.019738512 | 1.0120656 | 2.4E-4 |
7.1 | 5.1376865E-5 | 3.481824E-5 | 1.14815455E-4 | 3.2975664 | 8.0E-5 | 2.2016797E-4 | 1.4921252E-4 | 2.3919909E-4 | 1.6030766 | 9.0E-5 | 0.00267725 | 0.0018151526 | 0.001974862 | 1.0879868 | 1.6E-4 | 0.026452247 | 0.018771205 | 0.019006701 | 1.0125456 | 2.4E-4 |
7.2 | 4.794116E-5 | 3.3345063E-5 | 1.13342394E-4 | 3.3990757 | 8.0E-5 | 2.0544595E-4 | 1.428996E-4 | 2.3288674E-4 | 1.6297228 | 9.0E-5 | 0.002498435 | 0.0017384177 | 0.0018981396 | 1.0918777 | 1.6E-4 | 0.024705315 | 0.01798504 | 0.018220725 | 1.0131044 | 2.4E-4 |
7.3 | 4.2263673E-5 | 3.2663535E-5 | 1.1266092E-4 | 3.4491343 | 8.0E-5 | 1.8111744E-4 | 1.3997909E-4 | 2.2996649E-4 | 1.6428632 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0022028747 | 0.0017029166 | 0.0018626441 | 1.0937965 | 1.6E-4 | 0.021811655 | 0.01761287 | 0.017848644 | 1.0133864 | 2.4E-4 |
7.4 | 4.0505438E-5 | 3.2386957E-5 | 1.1238436E-4 | 3.4700503 | 8.0E-5 | 1.7358318E-4 | 1.3879387E-4 | 2.2878138E-4 | 1.6483536 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0021113267 | 0.001688509 | 0.0018482389 | 1.0945982 | 1.6E-4 | 0.020913795 | 0.017462961 | 0.01769877 | 1.0135034 | 2.4E-4 |
7.5 | 3.7239548E-5 | 3.110345E-5 | 1.1110096E-4 | 3.571982 | 8.0E-5 | 1.595883E-4 | 1.3329371E-4 | 2.2328172E-4 | 1.6751107 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0019412559 | 0.001621646 | 0.0017813866 | 1.0985051 | 1.6E-4 | 0.019243853 | 0.016782692 | 0.017018665 | 1.0140605 | 2.4E-4 |
7.6 | 3.291315E-5 | 2.8800501E-5 | 1.08798195E-4 | 3.7776494 | 8.0E-5 | 1.4104873E-4 | 1.2342489E-4 | 2.1341379E-4 | 1.7290984 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0017159156 | 0.0015016649 | 0.0016614245 | 1.1063884 | 1.6E-4 | 0.017027264 | 0.015571141 | 0.015807403 | 1.0151731 | 2.4E-4 |
7.7 | 2.756345E-5 | 2.4973308E-5 | 1.0497131E-4 | 4.2033405 | 8.0E-5 | 1.18123724E-4 | 1.0702407E-4 | 1.9701444E-4 | 1.8408424 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0014372076 | 0.0013022402 | 0.0014620317 | 1.1227052 | 1.6E-4 | 0.01427948 | 0.013573811 | 0.013810554 | 1.0174412 | 2.4E-4 |
7.8 | 2.3289298E-5 | 2.226563E-5 | 1.02263846E-4 | 4.5929017 | 8.0E-5 | 9.980746E-5 | 9.542064E-5 | 1.8541205E-4 | 1.9431021 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0012144784 | 0.0011611279 | 0.0013209421 | 1.137637 | 1.6E-4 | 0.012078625 | 0.012150428 | 0.012387512 | 1.0195124 | 2.4E-4 |
7.9 | 1.8218703E-5 | 1.7687646E-5 | 9.768623E-5 | 5.522851 | 8.0E-5 | 7.807782E-5 | 7.5801996E-5 | 1.6579518E-4 | 2.187214 | 9.0E-5 | 9.5018285E-4 | 9.2249917E-4 | 0.0010823515 | 1.1732819 | 1.6E-4 | 0.009461303 | 0.009740646 | 0.009978308 | 1.024399 | 2.4E-4 |
8.0 | 1.4859922E-5 | 1.4579536E-5 | 9.457837E-5 | 6.4870634 | 8.0E-5 | 6.368382E-5 | 6.248223E-5 | 1.5247661E-4 | 2.4403195 | 9.0E-5 | 7.7507476E-4 | 7.6045626E-4 | 9.1034215E-4 | 1.1971 | 1.5E-4 | 0.00772377 | 0.008082144 | 0.008310284 | 1.0282278 | 2.3E-4 |
8.1 | 9.709912E-6 | 7.816216E-6 | 1.7816137E-5 | 2.2793815 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1613243E-5 | 3.349764E-5 | 4.3497304E-5 | 1.2985185 | 1.0E-5 | 5.065235E-4 | 4.077579E-4 | 4.477416E-4 | 1.0980574 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0050537046 | 0.004395165 | 0.0044648573 | 1.0158566 | 7.0E-5 |
8.2 | 3.893307E-6 | 1.411262E-6 | 1.411262E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6685495E-5 | 6.048252E-6 | 6.048252E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0312695E-4 | 7.3635005E-5 | 7.3635005E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020294138 | 8.574069E-4 | 8.574069E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.256767E-6 | 3.4127825E-7 | 3.4127825E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.386133E-6 | 1.4626203E-6 | 1.4626203E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.55742E-5 | 1.780726E-5 | 1.780726E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5554853E-4 | 2.1523096E-4 | 2.1523096E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
North Channel
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.4784803E-5 | 5.1681236E-5 | 9.167917E-5 | 1.7739353 | 4.0E-5 | 1.9192076E-4 | 2.2147298E-4 | 2.8145968E-4 | 1.2708534 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0023341312 | 0.002693233 | 0.0027530715 | 1.0222181 | 6.0E-5 | 0.023097662 | 0.026621087 | 0.026786562 | 1.0062159 | 1.7E-4 |
6.1 | 4.4784803E-5 | 5.1681236E-5 | 9.167917E-5 | 1.7739353 | 4.0E-5 | 1.9192076E-4 | 2.2147298E-4 | 2.8145968E-4 | 1.2708534 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0023341312 | 0.002693233 | 0.0027530715 | 1.0222181 | 6.0E-5 | 0.023097662 | 0.026621087 | 0.026767094 | 1.0054846 | 1.5E-4 |
6.2 | 2.9239323E-5 | 3.345459E-5 | 6.345359E-5 | 1.8967079 | 3.0E-5 | 1.2530536E-4 | 1.433692E-4 | 1.7336488E-4 | 1.2092199 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0015245251 | 0.0017441657 | 0.0017741133 | 1.0171702 | 3.0E-5 | 0.015141088 | 0.017309573 | 0.01740784 | 1.0056771 | 1.0E-4 |
6.3 | 2.2282084E-5 | 2.5258814E-5 | 5.5258057E-5 | 2.1876743 | 3.0E-5 | 9.5491145E-5 | 1.08247696E-4 | 1.3824445E-4 | 1.2771121 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011619846 | 0.001317141 | 0.0013471014 | 1.0227466 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011559275 | 0.013095754 | 0.013174706 | 1.0060289 | 8.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.8016528E-5 | 2.0329506E-5 | 3.0329304E-5 | 1.4918859 | 1.0E-5 | 7.72114E-5 | 8.712364E-5 | 9.712277E-5 | 1.1147695 | 1.0E-5 | 9.3964336E-4 | 0.0010602304 | 0.0010702198 | 1.009422 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009356801 | 0.0105534475 | 0.010602919 | 1.0046878 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.563319E-5 | 1.7593567E-5 | 2.7593393E-5 | 1.5683795 | 1.0E-5 | 6.6997665E-5 | 7.539891E-5 | 8.5398155E-5 | 1.132618 | 1.0E-5 | 8.1539125E-4 | 9.176091E-4 | 9.275999E-4 | 1.0108879 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008124059 | 0.00913966 | 0.009189203 | 1.0054207 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0763303E-5 | 1.2108976E-5 | 1.2108976E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.612763E-5 | 5.1894618E-5 | 5.1894618E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6145916E-4 | 6.316409E-4 | 6.316409E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0056004273 | 0.0062991753 | 0.0063190493 | 1.003155 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.5493017E-6 | 8.432274E-6 | 8.432274E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.235375E-5 | 3.613784E-5 | 3.613784E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9383568E-4 | 4.3989412E-4 | 4.3989412E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039313845 | 0.004390706 | 0.004400662 | 1.0022675 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.547737E-6 | 6.167232E-6 | 6.167232E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3775801E-5 | 2.6430744E-5 | 2.6430744E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8943192E-4 | 3.217496E-4 | 3.217496E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028905524 | 0.0032131178 | 0.0032230858 | 1.0031022 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.5301035E-6 | 5.0313483E-6 | 5.0313483E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9414585E-5 | 2.1562757E-5 | 2.1562757E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3634694E-4 | 2.6249766E-4 | 2.6249766E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023609572 | 0.0026221424 | 0.0026321162 | 1.0038037 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.136622E-6 | 4.5883926E-6 | 4.5883926E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7728258E-5 | 1.9664405E-5 | 1.9664405E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1582017E-4 | 2.3939052E-4 | 2.3939052E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002156107 | 0.002391591 | 0.002401567 | 1.0041714 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.1511863E-6 | 3.4236689E-6 | 3.4236689E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3505014E-5 | 1.4672795E-5 | 1.4672795E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6441115E-4 | 1.786287E-4 | 1.786287E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016428955 | 0.0017850543 | 0.0017850543 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.332509E-6 | 1.2651317E-6 | 1.2651317E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7107404E-6 | 5.4219818E-6 | 5.4219818E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9526046E-5 | 6.601067E-5 | 6.601067E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9504295E-4 | 6.599142E-4 | 6.599142E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 9.772058E-7 | 8.699709E-7 | 8.699709E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.188018E-6 | 3.7284415E-6 | 3.7284415E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.098793E-5 | 4.5392848E-5 | 4.5392848E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.097623E-4 | 4.538375E-4 | 4.538375E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 6.844366E-7 | 5.6457804E-7 | 5.6457804E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9332964E-6 | 2.4196179E-6 | 2.4196179E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.57123E-5 | 2.9458453E-5 | 2.9458453E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.570656E-4 | 2.9454578E-4 | 2.9454578E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.411496E-7 | 5.220372E-7 | 5.220372E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.747781E-6 | 2.2373004E-6 | 2.2373004E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.345372E-5 | 2.7238795E-5 | 2.7238795E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3448686E-4 | 2.7235487E-4 | 2.7235487E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.7170897E-7 | 3.5789088E-7 | 3.5789088E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0216085E-6 | 1.5338171E-6 | 1.5338171E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4612804E-5 | 1.8674065E-5 | 1.8674065E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4610077E-4 | 1.8672516E-4 | 1.8672516E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.1849833E-7 | 1.3803059E-7 | 1.3803059E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3642103E-7 | 5.915595E-7 | 5.915595E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1400866E-5 | 7.2022144E-6 | 7.2022144E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1400282E-4 | 7.2019924E-5 | 7.2019924E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.997118E-8 | 1.3499679E-8 | 1.3499679E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.559077E-8 | 5.7855765E-8 | 5.7855765E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0420672E-6 | 7.043937E-7 | 7.043937E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0420623E-5 | 7.0439173E-6 | 7.0439173E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Calico-Hidalgo
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.916391E-5 | 4.846144E-5 | 1.2845756E-4 | 2.650717 | 8.0E-5 | 1.6783454E-4 | 2.0767706E-4 | 2.9765838E-4 | 1.4332751 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0020414705 | 0.002525836 | 0.0027053813 | 1.0710835 | 1.8E-4 | 0.02022818 | 0.025002018 | 0.025206767 | 1.0081893 | 2.1E-4 |
6.1 | 3.916391E-5 | 4.846144E-5 | 1.2845756E-4 | 2.650717 | 8.0E-5 | 1.6783454E-4 | 2.0767706E-4 | 2.9765838E-4 | 1.4332751 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0020414705 | 0.002525836 | 0.0027053813 | 1.0710835 | 1.8E-4 | 0.02022818 | 0.025002018 | 0.025206767 | 1.0081893 | 2.1E-4 |
6.2 | 3.916391E-5 | 4.846144E-5 | 1.2845756E-4 | 2.650717 | 8.0E-5 | 1.6783454E-4 | 2.0767706E-4 | 2.9765838E-4 | 1.4332751 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0020414705 | 0.002525836 | 0.0027053813 | 1.0710835 | 1.8E-4 | 0.02022818 | 0.025002018 | 0.025206767 | 1.0081893 | 2.1E-4 |
6.3 | 2.5080448E-5 | 3.1209278E-5 | 9.120741E-5 | 2.922445 | 6.0E-5 | 1.074832E-4 | 1.337474E-4 | 1.9373937E-4 | 1.4485469 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0013078224 | 0.0016271928 | 0.0017569812 | 1.0797622 | 1.3E-4 | 0.013001524 | 0.016156636 | 0.016294373 | 1.0085251 | 1.4E-4 |
6.4 | 2.5080448E-5 | 3.1209278E-5 | 9.120741E-5 | 2.922445 | 6.0E-5 | 1.074832E-4 | 1.337474E-4 | 1.9373937E-4 | 1.4485469 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0013078224 | 0.0016271928 | 0.0017569812 | 1.0797622 | 1.3E-4 | 0.013001524 | 0.016156636 | 0.016294373 | 1.0085251 | 1.4E-4 |
6.5 | 2.0924435E-5 | 2.6196436E-5 | 7.619512E-5 | 2.9086065 | 5.0E-5 | 8.967307E-5 | 1.1226571E-4 | 1.622601E-4 | 1.4453219 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0010912227 | 0.0013659955 | 0.0014758452 | 1.0804174 | 1.1E-4 | 0.010858798 | 0.013577994 | 0.013696364 | 1.0087178 | 1.2E-4 |
6.6 | 2.0902167E-5 | 2.6172534E-5 | 7.617123E-5 | 2.9103496 | 5.0E-5 | 8.957764E-5 | 1.1216328E-4 | 1.6215767E-4 | 1.4457287 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0010900621 | 0.00136475 | 0.0014745999 | 1.0804908 | 1.1E-4 | 0.010847305 | 0.013565691 | 0.013684063 | 1.0087259 | 1.2E-4 |
6.7 | 1.8346258E-5 | 2.3072977E-5 | 7.3071824E-5 | 3.1669874 | 5.0E-5 | 7.862446E-5 | 9.888052E-5 | 1.4887557E-4 | 1.5056108 | 5.0E-5 | 9.568323E-4 | 0.0012032198 | 0.0013130873 | 1.0913113 | 1.1E-4 | 0.009527229 | 0.011968649 | 0.012087213 | 1.0099062 | 1.2E-4 |
6.8 | 1.780268E-5 | 2.2368109E-5 | 7.236699E-5 | 3.2352753 | 5.0E-5 | 7.6294964E-5 | 9.5859876E-5 | 1.4585508E-4 | 1.5215447 | 5.0E-5 | 9.284953E-4 | 0.0011664834 | 0.001276355 | 1.0941905 | 1.1E-4 | 0.009246254 | 0.011605174 | 0.011723782 | 1.0102202 | 1.2E-4 |
6.9 | 1.5844284E-5 | 1.9648765E-5 | 4.9648177E-5 | 2.5267835 | 3.0E-5 | 6.790231E-5 | 8.4206345E-5 | 1.1420382E-4 | 1.3562376 | 3.0E-5 | 8.26397E-4 | 0.0010247432 | 0.001114651 | 1.0877368 | 9.0E-5 | 0.008233306 | 0.01020158 | 0.01030056 | 1.0097024 | 1.0E-4 |
7.0 | 1.5015954E-5 | 1.8550601E-5 | 4.8550046E-5 | 2.6171682 | 3.0E-5 | 6.43525E-5 | 7.950023E-5 | 1.0949784E-4 | 1.3773274 | 3.0E-5 | 7.8321004E-4 | 9.674984E-4 | 0.001047421 | 1.0826075 | 8.0E-5 | 0.007804554 | 0.0096342275 | 0.009723361 | 1.0092517 | 9.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.341035E-5 | 1.6646125E-5 | 3.6645793E-5 | 2.2014608 | 2.0E-5 | 5.7471665E-5 | 7.1338654E-5 | 9.133723E-5 | 1.2803329 | 2.0E-5 | 6.9949287E-4 | 8.682145E-4 | 9.181711E-4 | 1.0575395 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0069729513 | 0.008649518 | 0.0087089995 | 1.0068768 | 6.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.1195578E-5 | 1.40566235E-5 | 3.4056342E-5 | 2.4227967 | 2.0E-5 | 4.7980167E-5 | 6.0241342E-5 | 8.024014E-5 | 1.331978 | 2.0E-5 | 5.8400194E-4 | 7.3320244E-4 | 7.731731E-4 | 1.0545152 | 4.0E-5 | 0.005824696 | 0.007308944 | 0.0073585785 | 1.0067909 | 5.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.675513E-6 | 1.2088249E-5 | 1.2088249E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1465824E-5 | 5.180581E-5 | 5.180581E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0472945E-4 | 6.305639E-4 | 6.505512E-4 | 1.0316976 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005035846 | 0.006288815 | 0.006318626 | 1.0047404 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.780715E-6 | 9.648389E-6 | 9.648389E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3345495E-5 | 4.134964E-5 | 4.134964E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.059058E-4 | 5.033248E-4 | 5.233147E-4 | 1.0397158 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004051652 | 0.0050227656 | 0.005052615 | 1.0059428 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.5214815E-6 | 5.5700034E-6 | 5.5700034E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9377634E-5 | 2.3871267E-5 | 2.3871267E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3589715E-4 | 2.9060125E-4 | 3.1059544E-4 | 1.0688028 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002356469 | 0.0029029332 | 0.002922875 | 1.0068696 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.5600239E-7 | 1.8436103E-7 | 1.8436103E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6858144E-7 | 7.901185E-7 | 7.901185E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.1399485E-6 | 9.6196645E-6 | 9.6196645E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.139651E-5 | 9.6193886E-5 | 9.6193886E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (North Branch Mill Creek)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.3663894E-5 | 2.6209622E-5 | 1.26207E-4 | 4.815293 | 1.0E-4 | 5.855823E-5 | 1.12322145E-4 | 2.5230643E-4 | 2.246275 | 1.4E-4 | 7.127132E-4 | 0.0013666697 | 0.0015364373 | 1.12422 | 1.7E-4 | 0.007104317 | 0.013620293 | 0.0138372965 | 1.0159323 | 2.2E-4 |
6.1 | 1.3663894E-5 | 2.6209622E-5 | 1.26207E-4 | 4.815293 | 1.0E-4 | 5.855823E-5 | 1.12322145E-4 | 2.5230643E-4 | 2.246275 | 1.4E-4 | 7.127132E-4 | 0.0013666697 | 0.0015364373 | 1.12422 | 1.7E-4 | 0.007104317 | 0.013620293 | 0.0138372965 | 1.0159323 | 2.2E-4 |
6.2 | 1.3663894E-5 | 2.6209622E-5 | 1.26207E-4 | 4.815293 | 1.0E-4 | 5.855823E-5 | 1.12322145E-4 | 2.5230643E-4 | 2.246275 | 1.4E-4 | 7.127132E-4 | 0.0013666697 | 0.0015364373 | 1.12422 | 1.7E-4 | 0.007104317 | 0.013620293 | 0.0138372965 | 1.0159323 | 2.2E-4 |
6.3 | 1.3663894E-5 | 2.6209622E-5 | 1.26207E-4 | 4.815293 | 1.0E-4 | 5.855823E-5 | 1.12322145E-4 | 2.5230643E-4 | 2.246275 | 1.4E-4 | 7.127132E-4 | 0.0013666697 | 0.0015364373 | 1.12422 | 1.7E-4 | 0.007104317 | 0.013620293 | 0.0138372965 | 1.0159323 | 2.2E-4 |
6.4 | 1.3663894E-5 | 2.6209622E-5 | 1.26207E-4 | 4.815293 | 1.0E-4 | 5.855823E-5 | 1.12322145E-4 | 2.5230643E-4 | 2.246275 | 1.4E-4 | 7.127132E-4 | 0.0013666697 | 0.0015364373 | 1.12422 | 1.7E-4 | 0.007104317 | 0.013620293 | 0.0138372965 | 1.0159323 | 2.2E-4 |
6.5 | 1.3663894E-5 | 2.6209622E-5 | 1.26207E-4 | 4.815293 | 1.0E-4 | 5.855823E-5 | 1.12322145E-4 | 2.5230643E-4 | 2.246275 | 1.4E-4 | 7.127132E-4 | 0.0013666697 | 0.0015364373 | 1.12422 | 1.7E-4 | 0.007104317 | 0.013620293 | 0.0138372965 | 1.0159323 | 2.2E-4 |
6.6 | 1.3449214E-5 | 2.599411E-5 | 1.2599152E-4 | 4.8469253 | 1.0E-4 | 5.7638215E-5 | 1.113986E-4 | 2.51383E-4 | 2.2566082 | 1.4E-4 | 7.015193E-4 | 0.0013554395 | 0.0015252092 | 1.1252506 | 1.7E-4 | 0.006993089 | 0.013509362 | 0.01372639 | 1.016065 | 2.2E-4 |
6.7 | 1.3413387E-5 | 2.5957399E-5 | 1.259548E-4 | 4.8523664 | 1.0E-4 | 5.7484678E-5 | 1.1124128E-4 | 2.5122572E-4 | 2.2583857 | 1.4E-4 | 6.996512E-4 | 0.0013535266 | 0.0015232965 | 1.1254278 | 1.7E-4 | 0.006974525 | 0.013490465 | 0.013707496 | 1.0160878 | 2.2E-4 |
6.8 | 1.3316527E-5 | 2.5857235E-5 | 1.2585465E-4 | 4.8672895 | 1.0E-4 | 5.7069577E-5 | 1.1081204E-4 | 2.5079653E-4 | 2.2632606 | 1.4E-4 | 6.9460063E-4 | 0.0013483071 | 0.0015180779 | 1.125914 | 1.7E-4 | 0.006924335 | 0.013438902 | 0.013655946 | 1.0161504 | 2.2E-4 |
6.9 | 1.3272914E-5 | 2.5809624E-5 | 1.2580704E-4 | 4.8744235 | 1.0E-4 | 5.6882676E-5 | 1.10608016E-4 | 2.5059254E-4 | 2.265591 | 1.4E-4 | 6.923265E-4 | 0.0013458262 | 0.0015155973 | 1.1261464 | 1.7E-4 | 0.006901736 | 0.013414393 | 0.013631442 | 1.0161803 | 2.2E-4 |
7.0 | 1.2963957E-5 | 2.5320782E-5 | 1.2531826E-4 | 4.949225 | 1.0E-4 | 5.555863E-5 | 1.0851315E-4 | 2.4849796E-4 | 2.2900262 | 1.4E-4 | 6.762164E-4 | 0.0013203521 | 0.0014901276 | 1.1285836 | 1.7E-4 | 0.006741624 | 0.013162681 | 0.013379785 | 1.0164939 | 2.2E-4 |
7.1 | 1.2902424E-5 | 2.5246945E-5 | 1.2524442E-4 | 4.9607754 | 1.0E-4 | 5.529493E-5 | 1.08196735E-4 | 2.4818158E-4 | 2.2937992 | 1.4E-4 | 6.730078E-4 | 0.0013165044 | 0.0014862806 | 1.1289599 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0067097326 | 0.01312466 | 0.013341771 | 1.0165423 | 2.2E-4 |
7.2 | 1.2469293E-5 | 2.4674773E-5 | 1.2467231E-4 | 5.0526223 | 1.0E-4 | 5.3438733E-5 | 1.05744766E-4 | 2.4572996E-4 | 2.3238025 | 1.4E-4 | 6.5042236E-4 | 0.0012866873 | 0.0014564686 | 1.1319523 | 1.7E-4 | 0.006485219 | 0.012829998 | 0.013047175 | 1.0169274 | 2.2E-4 |
7.3 | 1.2350464E-5 | 2.4468447E-5 | 1.24466E-4 | 5.086796 | 1.0E-4 | 5.292949E-5 | 1.04860585E-4 | 2.448459E-4 | 2.334966 | 1.4E-4 | 6.44226E-4 | 0.0012759351 | 0.0014457181 | 1.1330656 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0064236154 | 0.012723856 | 0.012941057 | 1.0170704 | 2.2E-4 |
7.4 | 1.1652573E-5 | 2.2931596E-5 | 1.229293E-4 | 5.360696 | 1.0E-4 | 4.9938644E-5 | 9.8274584E-5 | 2.3826082E-4 | 2.42444 | 1.4E-4 | 6.078334E-4 | 0.0011958408 | 0.0013656374 | 1.1419894 | 1.7E-4 | 0.006061735 | 0.01193545 | 0.012152825 | 1.0182124 | 2.2E-4 |
7.5 | 1.0815721E-5 | 2.0912614E-5 | 1.20910525E-4 | 5.781703 | 1.0E-4 | 4.6352267E-5 | 8.962242E-5 | 2.2960988E-4 | 2.561969 | 1.4E-4 | 5.641927E-4 | 0.0010906099 | 0.0012604245 | 1.155706 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0056276247 | 0.010896268 | 0.011113872 | 1.0199704 | 2.2E-4 |
7.6 | 1.0247723E-5 | 1.9848041E-5 | 1.1984606E-4 | 6.038181 | 1.0E-4 | 4.3918077E-5 | 8.5060274E-5 | 2.2504837E-4 | 2.6457517 | 1.4E-4 | 5.345714E-4 | 0.0010351199 | 0.0012049439 | 1.1640621 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0053328727 | 0.010346679 | 0.010564403 | 1.0210428 | 2.2E-4 |
7.7 | 6.91508E-6 | 1.3664014E-5 | 1.13662645E-4 | 8.318394 | 1.0E-4 | 2.9635721E-5 | 5.8558744E-5 | 1.9855055E-4 | 3.3906217 | 1.4E-4 | 3.6075516E-4 | 7.1271986E-4 | 8.825987E-4 | 1.2383529 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0036017008 | 0.007147775 | 0.0073662023 | 1.0305588 | 2.2E-4 |
7.8 | 5.995599E-6 | 1.1697891E-5 | 1.1169672E-4 | 9.5484495 | 1.0E-4 | 2.5695172E-5 | 5.0132854E-5 | 1.9012584E-4 | 3.79244 | 1.4E-4 | 3.1279383E-4 | 6.101967E-4 | 7.8009296E-4 | 1.2784287 | 1.7E-4 | 0.003123539 | 0.0061283135 | 0.006346965 | 1.035679 | 2.2E-4 |
7.9 | 4.6251585E-6 | 8.205041E-6 | 1.0820422E-4 | 13.18753 | 1.0E-4 | 1.9821957E-5 | 3.516399E-5 | 1.7515906E-4 | 4.981206 | 1.4E-4 | 2.4130559E-4 | 4.280375E-4 | 5.87969E-4 | 1.373639 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0024104374 | 0.004312807 | 0.0045219017 | 1.0484822 | 2.1E-4 |
8.0 | 3.0315334E-6 | 4.9187634E-6 | 5.4918517E-5 | 11.165107 | 5.0E-5 | 1.2992222E-5 | 2.1080245E-5 | 8.107898E-5 | 3.846207 | 6.0E-5 | 1.5816881E-4 | 2.5662177E-4 | 3.1660637E-4 | 1.2337471 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0015805629 | 0.0025883394 | 0.0026581583 | 1.0269743 | 7.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.7614171E-6 | 2.3480816E-6 | 2.3480816E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.548909E-6 | 1.0063168E-5 | 1.0063168E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.190408E-5 | 1.225122E-4 | 1.225122E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1866084E-4 | 0.0012421367 | 0.0012521243 | 1.0080407 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 7.821359E-7 | 5.42593E-7 | 5.42593E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3520066E-6 | 2.3253963E-6 | 2.3253963E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0809915E-5 | 2.8311335E-5 | 2.8311335E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.080242E-4 | 2.933531E-4 | 2.933531E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 2.5580607E-7 | 1.3724757E-7 | 1.3724757E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0963113E-6 | 5.882037E-7 | 5.882037E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3347508E-5 | 7.161357E-6 | 7.161357E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3346707E-4 | 7.497076E-5 | 7.497076E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Mission Ridge-Arroyo Parida-Santa Ana
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.8040394E-5 | 4.118548E-5 | 1.0118301E-4 | 2.456764 | 6.0E-5 | 1.6302007E-4 | 1.7649842E-4 | 2.4648607E-4 | 1.3965341 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0019829625 | 0.0021469747 | 0.00224676 | 1.0464772 | 1.0E-4 | 0.019653613 | 0.021285577 | 0.021461746 | 1.0082765 | 1.8E-4 |
6.1 | 2.50597E-5 | 2.5717365E-5 | 4.571685E-5 | 1.7776647 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0739429E-4 | 1.1021281E-4 | 1.402095E-4 | 1.2721707 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0013067413 | 0.0013410468 | 0.001380993 | 1.0297874 | 4.0E-5 | 0.012990839 | 0.013333419 | 0.01342222 | 1.00666 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.04906E-5 | 2.0337935E-5 | 4.033753E-5 | 1.983364 | 2.0E-5 | 8.7813896E-5 | 8.715977E-5 | 1.1715716E-4 | 1.3441654 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010686098 | 0.0010606715 | 0.0011006291 | 1.0376719 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010634857 | 0.0105584785 | 0.0106376335 | 1.0074968 | 8.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.7044817E-5 | 1.624528E-5 | 3.6244954E-5 | 2.2311068 | 2.0E-5 | 7.3047166E-5 | 6.962079E-5 | 9.961871E-5 | 1.4308758 | 3.0E-5 | 8.8898634E-4 | 8.473085E-4 | 8.772831E-4 | 1.0353762 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0088543845 | 0.008441849 | 0.008491427 | 1.0058728 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6678656E-5 | 1.5842663E-5 | 3.5842346E-5 | 2.262394 | 2.0E-5 | 7.1477996E-5 | 6.789539E-5 | 9.789335E-5 | 1.4418262 | 3.0E-5 | 8.6989714E-4 | 8.2631776E-4 | 8.5629296E-4 | 1.0362756 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008664998 | 0.008233513 | 0.008283101 | 1.0060227 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5474263E-5 | 1.4504499E-5 | 3.450421E-5 | 2.3788626 | 2.0E-5 | 6.631658E-5 | 6.216068E-5 | 9.2158814E-5 | 1.4825902 | 3.0E-5 | 8.071053E-4 | 7.56548E-4 | 7.865253E-4 | 1.0396237 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008041802 | 0.007540729 | 0.007570503 | 1.0039485 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.4182203E-5 | 1.3073246E-5 | 2.3073115E-5 | 1.7649109 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0779454E-5 | 5.6027016E-5 | 7.60259E-5 | 1.3569506 | 2.0E-5 | 7.397386E-4 | 6.819195E-4 | 7.0190587E-4 | 1.029309 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0073728096 | 0.006799217 | 0.006819081 | 1.0029215 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.3270211E-5 | 1.2065275E-5 | 2.2065155E-5 | 1.8288149 | 1.0E-5 | 5.687109E-5 | 5.1707317E-5 | 7.170629E-5 | 1.3867724 | 2.0E-5 | 6.9218554E-4 | 6.293586E-4 | 6.49346E-4 | 1.0317584 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0069003347 | 0.0062766816 | 0.006296556 | 1.0031664 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2503908E-5 | 1.1219789E-5 | 2.1219676E-5 | 1.8912724 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3587075E-5 | 4.8083944E-5 | 6.808298E-5 | 1.4159193 | 2.0E-5 | 6.522273E-4 | 5.852685E-4 | 6.0525676E-4 | 1.0341524 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0065031634 | 0.0058381744 | 0.0058580576 | 1.0034057 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.173025E-5 | 1.0338203E-5 | 2.03381E-5 | 1.9672761 | 1.0E-5 | 5.027153E-5 | 4.4305852E-5 | 5.430541E-5 | 1.2256938 | 1.0E-5 | 6.11884E-4 | 5.3929375E-4 | 5.4928835E-4 | 1.0185328 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006102019 | 0.0053807297 | 0.0053906757 | 1.0018485 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.1343447E-5 | 9.899545E-6 | 1.9899446E-5 | 2.0101373 | 1.0E-5 | 4.861387E-5 | 4.2425952E-5 | 5.242553E-5 | 1.2356948 | 1.0E-5 | 5.917131E-4 | 5.16417E-4 | 5.2641187E-4 | 1.0193542 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0059014005 | 0.0051530446 | 0.005162993 | 1.0019306 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.063692E-5 | 9.0874855E-6 | 1.9087394E-5 | 2.1004043 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5586003E-5 | 3.8945807E-5 | 4.8945418E-5 | 1.256757 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5486825E-4 | 4.7406543E-4 | 4.8406067E-4 | 1.0210842 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005534848 | 0.0047314023 | 0.004741355 | 1.0021036 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.993961E-6 | 6.100997E-6 | 1.6100936E-5 | 2.6390665 | 1.0E-5 | 3.425938E-5 | 2.6146869E-5 | 3.614661E-5 | 1.382445 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1702815E-4 | 3.1829212E-4 | 3.2828894E-4 | 1.0314077 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004162464 | 0.0031789306 | 0.0031888988 | 1.0031357 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.0939395E-6 | 5.418587E-6 | 1.5418533E-5 | 2.8454895 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0402245E-5 | 2.3222312E-5 | 3.322208E-5 | 1.4306103 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7008445E-4 | 2.8269534E-4 | 2.926925E-4 | 1.0353638 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036946873 | 0.0028239153 | 0.0028338872 | 1.0035312 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.655877E-6 | 5.0634603E-6 | 1.506341E-5 | 2.974924 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8524875E-5 | 2.1700365E-5 | 3.170015E-5 | 1.4608117 | 1.0E-5 | 3.47235E-4 | 2.641703E-4 | 2.7416766E-4 | 1.0378444 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034669293 | 0.0026391153 | 0.0026490889 | 1.0037792 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.8970833E-6 | 3.59224E-6 | 1.3592204E-5 | 3.7837684 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0987332E-5 | 1.5395224E-5 | 2.539507E-5 | 1.6495421 | 1.0E-5 | 2.554908E-4 | 1.8742081E-4 | 1.9741894E-4 | 1.0533459 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0025519726 | 0.0018726835 | 0.0018826649 | 1.00533 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.1384584E-6 | 2.2749648E-6 | 1.22749425E-5 | 5.3956623 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3450467E-5 | 9.749813E-6 | 1.9749716E-5 | 2.0256507 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6374713E-4 | 1.1869755E-4 | 1.2869637E-4 | 1.0842377 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016362652 | 0.0011863462 | 0.0011963344 | 1.0084193 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.7630501E-6 | 1.2272303E-6 | 1.2272303E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5559074E-6 | 5.259548E-6 | 5.259548E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.198929E-5 | 6.403315E-5 | 6.403315E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.195122E-4 | 6.4015057E-4 | 6.4015057E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.0500584E-7 | 1.9752174E-7 | 1.9752174E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3071673E-6 | 8.465215E-7 | 8.465215E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5914646E-5 | 1.0306351E-5 | 1.0306351E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5913506E-4 | 1.0305885E-4 | 1.0305885E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.052133E-8 | 5.758107E-9 | 5.758107E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.509141E-8 | 2.46776E-8 | 2.46776E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.489878E-7 | 3.0044976E-7 | 3.0044976E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4898646E-6 | 3.0044937E-6 | 3.0044937E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 3.5749022E-9 | 1.6251324E-9 | 1.6251324E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5321008E-8 | 6.9648527E-9 | 6.9648527E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8653327E-7 | 8.479708E-8 | 8.479708E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8653311E-6 | 8.479705E-7 | 8.479705E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Imperial
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.095401E-4 | 0.0012024891 | 0.0012324532 | 1.0249182 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0026097 | 0.0051453034 | 0.0051950463 | 1.0096676 | 5.0E-5 | 0.031313866 | 0.06074105 | 0.060816187 | 1.001237 | 8.0E-5 | 0.27250364 | 0.4464705 | 0.44654247 | 1.0001612 | 1.3E-4 |
6.1 | 3.6457935E-4 | 7.3472253E-4 | 7.5470784E-4 | 1.0272012 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015615473 | 0.0031454293 | 0.003175335 | 1.0095077 | 3.0E-5 | 0.018846832 | 0.03763529 | 0.037693027 | 1.0015342 | 6.0E-5 | 0.17326161 | 0.30361965 | 0.3036893 | 1.0002294 | 1.0E-4 |
6.2 | 3.6142807E-4 | 7.2883815E-4 | 7.488236E-4 | 1.0274209 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001548058 | 0.0031202713 | 0.0031501777 | 1.0095845 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01868543 | 0.037340388 | 0.03739815 | 1.0015469 | 6.0E-5 | 0.17190062 | 0.30166063 | 0.30173048 | 1.0002315 | 1.0E-4 |
6.3 | 2.3750364E-4 | 4.9997924E-4 | 5.1996927E-4 | 1.0399816 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010174756 | 0.0021410862 | 0.002171022 | 1.0139816 | 3.0E-5 | 0.012317582 | 0.02573086 | 0.02576983 | 1.0015146 | 4.0E-5 | 0.11656779 | 0.22119641 | 0.22124313 | 1.0002112 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6264517E-4 | 3.5750907E-4 | 3.775019E-4 | 1.0559226 | 2.0E-5 | 6.968645E-4 | 0.0015312989 | 0.0015612529 | 1.0195612 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008451368 | 0.018480869 | 0.01852013 | 1.0021244 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0813709 | 0.16624022 | 0.16629024 | 1.0003009 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.558044E-4 | 3.4480405E-4 | 3.6479716E-4 | 1.057984 | 2.0E-5 | 6.6756224E-4 | 0.001476911 | 0.0015068668 | 1.0202826 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008097323 | 0.017830241 | 0.017869528 | 1.0022033 | 4.0E-5 | 0.07808555 | 0.16106823 | 0.16111857 | 1.0003126 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.15168164E-4 | 2.8423537E-4 | 3.042297E-4 | 1.0703442 | 2.0E-5 | 4.934845E-4 | 0.0012175883 | 0.0012475518 | 1.0246089 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0059916344 | 0.014733252 | 0.014772663 | 1.0026749 | 4.0E-5 | 0.058326405 | 0.13456027 | 0.1346122 | 1.0003859 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.0120087E-4 | 2.6478423E-4 | 2.8477894E-4 | 1.0755132 | 2.0E-5 | 4.336459E-4 | 0.0011343005 | 0.0011642664 | 1.026418 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0052668652 | 0.013723684 | 0.013763135 | 1.0028746 | 4.0E-5 | 0.05143773 | 0.12566712 | 0.12571959 | 1.0004175 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 9.034936E-5 | 2.562274E-4 | 2.7622227E-4 | 1.0780357 | 2.0E-5 | 3.8715405E-4 | 0.0010976595 | 0.0011276265 | 1.0273008 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0047034174 | 0.013283084 | 0.013322554 | 1.0029713 | 4.0E-5 | 0.046051063 | 0.12121464 | 0.12126737 | 1.000435 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.220928E-5 | 2.473297E-4 | 2.6732477E-4 | 1.0808437 | 2.0E-5 | 3.522779E-4 | 0.001059558 | 0.0010895261 | 1.0282837 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004280551 | 0.012824747 | 0.012864234 | 1.0030789 | 4.0E-5 | 0.04199031 | 0.117073774 | 0.11712675 | 1.0004525 | 6.0E-5 |
7.0 | 6.8112255E-5 | 2.1398577E-4 | 2.3398148E-4 | 1.0934441 | 2.0E-5 | 2.91877E-4 | 9.167629E-4 | 9.467354E-4 | 1.0326939 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0035478126 | 0.011105188 | 0.011144744 | 1.003562 | 4.0E-5 | 0.034917038 | 0.102247395 | 0.10230126 | 1.0005268 | 6.0E-5 |
7.1 | 6.681613E-5 | 2.1085751E-4 | 2.308533E-4 | 1.0948308 | 2.0E-5 | 2.8632343E-4 | 9.033655E-4 | 9.3333836E-4 | 1.0331792 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0034804163 | 0.010943724 | 0.010983286 | 1.003615 | 4.0E-5 | 0.03426409 | 0.10083476 | 0.10088871 | 1.000535 | 6.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.0200153E-5 | 1.9288887E-4 | 2.12885E-4 | 1.1036667 | 2.0E-5 | 2.5797516E-4 | 8.2640786E-4 | 8.5638306E-4 | 1.0362717 | 3.0E-5 | 0.003136324 | 0.010015755 | 0.010055354 | 1.0039537 | 4.0E-5 | 0.03092428 | 0.09280601 | 0.09286044 | 1.0005865 | 6.0E-5 |
7.3 | 5.4577176E-5 | 1.717749E-4 | 1.9177145E-4 | 1.1164114 | 2.0E-5 | 2.3388122E-4 | 7.359732E-4 | 7.659511E-4 | 1.0407324 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0028437856 | 0.00892421 | 0.008963854 | 1.0044422 | 4.0E-5 | 0.028076682 | 0.08334922 | 0.08340422 | 1.0006598 | 6.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.7430393E-5 | 1.1099881E-4 | 1.3099659E-4 | 1.1801621 | 2.0E-5 | 1.604061E-4 | 4.7562332E-4 | 5.056091E-4 | 1.0630451 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0019511948 | 0.005775509 | 0.005815278 | 1.0068858 | 4.0E-5 | 0.019341515 | 0.055244606 | 0.055291846 | 1.0008551 | 5.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.747316E-5 | 7.954284E-5 | 8.954205E-5 | 1.1257085 | 1.0E-5 | 1.17736796E-4 | 3.408537E-4 | 3.608469E-4 | 1.0586562 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014325029 | 0.00414206 | 0.0041719354 | 1.0072128 | 3.0E-5 | 0.014233038 | 0.040091585 | 0.040129982 | 1.0009577 | 4.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.9053488E-5 | 5.512567E-5 | 6.512512E-5 | 1.1813937 | 1.0E-5 | 8.165526E-5 | 2.3623162E-4 | 2.562269E-4 | 1.0846426 | 2.0E-5 | 9.936993E-4 | 0.0028723518 | 0.0029022656 | 1.0104144 | 3.0E-5 | 0.009892675 | 0.028045228 | 0.028084105 | 1.0013863 | 4.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.133027E-5 | 3.492485E-5 | 4.49245E-5 | 1.286319 | 1.0E-5 | 4.85574E-5 | 1.4966937E-4 | 1.6966637E-4 | 1.1336079 | 2.0E-5 | 5.91026E-4 | 0.0018207049 | 0.0018506503 | 1.0164472 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0058945655 | 0.017909138 | 0.017948423 | 1.0021935 | 4.0E-5 |
7.8 | 9.701698E-6 | 2.9039864E-5 | 3.9039573E-5 | 1.3443443 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1578045E-5 | 1.2445063E-4 | 1.4444815E-4 | 1.1606863 | 2.0E-5 | 5.060951E-4 | 0.0015141357 | 0.0015440903 | 1.0197833 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0050494405 | 0.014999123 | 0.015038523 | 1.0026268 | 4.0E-5 |
7.9 | 7.691878E-6 | 2.0708783E-5 | 3.0708576E-5 | 1.4828769 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2964774E-5 | 8.874891E-5 | 1.0874714E-4 | 1.2253349 | 2.0E-5 | 4.0127223E-4 | 0.0010799833 | 0.001109951 | 1.0277482 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0040054843 | 0.010852212 | 0.010891778 | 1.0036459 | 4.0E-5 |
8.0 | 6.682253E-6 | 1.708728E-5 | 2.7087111E-5 | 1.5852206 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8637913E-5 | 7.322915E-5 | 9.322769E-5 | 1.2730953 | 2.0E-5 | 3.486108E-4 | 8.91201E-4 | 9.211743E-4 | 1.0336324 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0034806442 | 0.009006822 | 0.009046461 | 1.0044011 | 4.0E-5 |
8.1 | 3.4791678E-6 | 6.197886E-6 | 6.197886E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4910634E-5 | 2.6562097E-5 | 2.6562097E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8152184E-4 | 3.2334562E-4 | 3.2334562E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018137364 | 0.0033898028 | 0.0033898028 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.7836003E-6 | 2.1711542E-6 | 2.1711542E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.643979E-6 | 9.304913E-6 | 9.304913E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.306147E-5 | 1.1328145E-4 | 1.1328145E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3022507E-4 | 0.0012457047 | 0.0012457047 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.18633295E-7 | 7.053283E-8 | 7.053283E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.084283E-7 | 3.0228352E-7 | 3.0228352E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.190097E-6 | 3.680296E-6 | 3.680296E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.189925E-5 | 3.837912E-5 | 3.837912E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Ynez (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.8245707E-5 | 4.443593E-5 | 1.0443326E-4 | 2.3501987 | 6.0E-5 | 1.6389988E-4 | 1.9042991E-4 | 2.6041656E-4 | 1.3675193 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0019936545 | 0.002316756 | 0.002436478 | 1.0516765 | 1.2E-4 | 0.019758634 | 0.022998901 | 0.02317476 | 1.0076464 | 1.8E-4 |
6.1 | 3.8245707E-5 | 4.443593E-5 | 1.0443326E-4 | 2.3501987 | 6.0E-5 | 1.6389988E-4 | 1.9042991E-4 | 2.6041656E-4 | 1.3675193 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0019936545 | 0.002316756 | 0.002436478 | 1.0516765 | 1.2E-4 | 0.019758634 | 0.022998901 | 0.02317476 | 1.0076464 | 1.8E-4 |
6.2 | 3.8245707E-5 | 4.443593E-5 | 1.0443326E-4 | 2.3501987 | 6.0E-5 | 1.6389988E-4 | 1.9042991E-4 | 2.6041656E-4 | 1.3675193 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0019936545 | 0.002316756 | 0.002436478 | 1.0516765 | 1.2E-4 | 0.019758634 | 0.022998901 | 0.02317476 | 1.0076464 | 1.8E-4 |
6.3 | 3.8245707E-5 | 4.443593E-5 | 1.0443326E-4 | 2.3501987 | 6.0E-5 | 1.6389988E-4 | 1.9042991E-4 | 2.6041656E-4 | 1.3675193 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0019936545 | 0.002316756 | 0.002436478 | 1.0516765 | 1.2E-4 | 0.019758634 | 0.022998901 | 0.02317476 | 1.0076464 | 1.8E-4 |
6.4 | 1.8548286E-5 | 1.9685756E-5 | 2.968556E-5 | 1.5079715 | 1.0E-5 | 7.949023E-5 | 8.436486E-5 | 9.436401E-5 | 1.1185228 | 1.0E-5 | 9.673638E-4 | 0.0010266682 | 0.0010466477 | 1.0194604 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009631637 | 0.0102203665 | 0.010259958 | 1.0038737 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.8548286E-5 | 1.9685756E-5 | 2.968556E-5 | 1.5079715 | 1.0E-5 | 7.949023E-5 | 8.436486E-5 | 9.436401E-5 | 1.1185228 | 1.0E-5 | 9.673638E-4 | 0.0010266682 | 0.0010466477 | 1.0194604 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009631637 | 0.0102203665 | 0.010259958 | 1.0038737 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.6323698E-5 | 1.707791E-5 | 2.7077738E-5 | 1.5855417 | 1.0E-5 | 6.9956826E-5 | 7.3189E-5 | 8.318827E-5 | 1.1366225 | 1.0E-5 | 8.513916E-4 | 8.9071505E-4 | 9.106972E-4 | 1.0224339 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00848137 | 0.008871848 | 0.008911493 | 1.0044687 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.5781683E-5 | 1.6464202E-5 | 2.6464038E-5 | 1.6073684 | 1.0E-5 | 6.763403E-5 | 7.055898E-5 | 8.0558275E-5 | 1.1417154 | 1.0E-5 | 8.231332E-4 | 8.5871987E-4 | 8.7870273E-4 | 1.0232705 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008200909 | 0.008554377 | 0.008594034 | 1.0046359 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.5318497E-5 | 1.594522E-5 | 1.594522E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.564905E-5 | 6.833488E-5 | 6.833488E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.989841E-4 | 8.316624E-4 | 8.41654E-4 | 1.0120142 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007961175 | 0.008285842 | 0.008315594 | 1.0035906 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.4318677E-5 | 1.4825187E-5 | 1.4825187E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.136431E-5 | 6.353498E-5 | 6.353498E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.468544E-4 | 7.7326637E-4 | 7.8325864E-4 | 1.0129222 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0074434937 | 0.007706054 | 0.0077358233 | 1.0038631 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.356927E-5 | 1.3993182E-5 | 1.3993182E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8152717E-5 | 5.9969414E-5 | 5.9969414E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.077793E-4 | 7.2988536E-4 | 7.398781E-4 | 1.0136908 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007055293 | 0.00727516 | 0.007304942 | 1.0040936 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.2933621E-5 | 1.3298563E-5 | 1.3298563E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5428627E-5 | 5.6992612E-5 | 5.6992612E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7463453E-4 | 6.9366646E-4 | 7.0365955E-4 | 1.0144062 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0067259013 | 0.0069152825 | 0.006945075 | 1.0043082 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.16857955E-5 | 1.1945057E-5 | 1.1945057E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.008102E-5 | 5.119211E-5 | 5.119211E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.095658E-4 | 6.23088E-4 | 6.3308177E-4 | 1.0160391 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0060789646 | 0.0062136627 | 0.006243476 | 1.004798 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.301218E-6 | 9.575521E-6 | 9.575521E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9861752E-5 | 4.1037314E-5 | 4.1037314E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8520876E-4 | 4.995167E-4 | 5.095117E-4 | 1.0200094 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004841507 | 0.004984144 | 0.0050139944 | 1.0059891 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.4968148E-6 | 7.64155E-6 | 7.64155E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.212881E-5 | 3.27491E-5 | 3.27491E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9109806E-4 | 3.986491E-4 | 4.086451E-4 | 1.0250747 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0039041045 | 0.003979521 | 0.0039994414 | 1.0050057 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.5812507E-6 | 5.6370172E-6 | 5.6370172E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3919427E-5 | 2.415843E-5 | 2.415843E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.911801E-4 | 2.9409069E-4 | 3.0408776E-4 | 1.0339931 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029079886 | 0.0029371663 | 0.0029571075 | 1.0067893 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.7182125E-6 | 1.7557935E-6 | 1.7557935E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.363747E-6 | 7.524811E-6 | 7.524811E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.964993E-5 | 9.1611284E-5 | 1.0161036E-4 | 1.1091468 | 1.0E-5 | 8.9613773E-4 | 9.1579056E-4 | 9.2578144E-4 | 1.0109096 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.9558766E-8 | 3.0451247E-8 | 3.0451247E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2668042E-7 | 1.3050533E-7 | 1.3050533E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.542333E-6 | 1.5889015E-6 | 1.5889015E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5423222E-5 | 1.5888912E-5 | 1.5888912E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.3286873E-10 | 3.3913217E-10 | 3.3913217E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4265804E-9 | 1.4534237E-9 | 1.4534237E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7368617E-8 | 1.7695433E-8 | 1.7695433E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7368615E-7 | 1.7695432E-7 | 1.7695432E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Ynez (West)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.762692E-5 | 5.5857166E-5 | 7.585605E-5 | 1.3580362 | 2.0E-5 | 2.040994E-4 | 2.3936707E-4 | 2.793575E-4 | 1.1670674 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0024820783 | 0.0029106063 | 0.0029704317 | 1.0205543 | 6.0E-5 | 0.024545377 | 0.028747607 | 0.02887387 | 1.0043921 | 1.3E-4 |
6.1 | 4.762692E-5 | 5.5857166E-5 | 6.5856606E-5 | 1.179018 | 1.0E-5 | 2.040994E-4 | 2.3936707E-4 | 2.6935988E-4 | 1.1253005 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0024820783 | 0.0029106063 | 0.00295049 | 1.0137029 | 4.0E-5 | 0.024545377 | 0.028747607 | 0.028854445 | 1.0037163 | 1.1E-4 |
6.2 | 3.349533E-5 | 3.8312846E-5 | 4.8312464E-5 | 1.2609991 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4354351E-4 | 1.6418785E-4 | 1.8418457E-4 | 1.1217917 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017462412 | 0.0019971982 | 0.0020271381 | 1.014991 | 3.0E-5 | 0.017325828 | 0.019797655 | 0.019885873 | 1.004456 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.349533E-5 | 3.8312846E-5 | 4.8312464E-5 | 1.2609991 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4354351E-4 | 1.6418785E-4 | 1.8418457E-4 | 1.1217917 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017462412 | 0.0019971982 | 0.0020271381 | 1.014991 | 3.0E-5 | 0.017325828 | 0.019797655 | 0.019885873 | 1.004456 | 9.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.9243412E-5 | 3.3143886E-5 | 4.3143555E-5 | 1.3017048 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2532288E-4 | 1.4203768E-4 | 1.6203485E-4 | 1.1407877 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015247382 | 0.0017279701 | 0.0017579183 | 1.0173314 | 3.0E-5 | 0.015143189 | 0.017149128 | 0.017237583 | 1.0051581 | 9.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.6304788E-5 | 2.9574003E-5 | 3.9573708E-5 | 1.3381249 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1272993E-4 | 1.2673972E-4 | 1.4673719E-4 | 1.1577837 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0013716228 | 0.00154199 | 0.0015719438 | 1.0194254 | 3.0E-5 | 0.013631876 | 0.015315852 | 0.015404473 | 1.0057863 | 9.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.1410759E-5 | 2.3704624E-5 | 2.3704624E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.175717E-5 | 1.01587386E-4 | 1.1158637E-4 | 1.0984274 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011165709 | 0.0012361407 | 0.0012561161 | 1.0161594 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011109773 | 0.012294441 | 0.012363581 | 1.0056236 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.9212099E-5 | 2.112763E-5 | 2.112763E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.233497E-5 | 9.0543916E-5 | 1.0054301E-4 | 1.1104337 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010019672 | 0.0011018284 | 0.0011218063 | 1.0181316 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009974616 | 0.010965147 | 0.011034379 | 1.0063139 | 7.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.6872646E-5 | 1.8377112E-5 | 1.8377112E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.230933E-5 | 7.875674E-5 | 8.875595E-5 | 1.1269633 | 1.0E-5 | 8.800105E-4 | 9.5845334E-4 | 9.784342E-4 | 1.020847 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008765338 | 0.009544458 | 0.009603886 | 1.0062264 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.2830199E-5 | 1.3608604E-5 | 1.3608604E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.498541E-5 | 5.83213E-5 | 6.832072E-5 | 1.171454 | 1.0E-5 | 6.692417E-4 | 7.0983317E-4 | 7.29819E-4 | 1.0281557 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006672298 | 0.007075967 | 0.0071256133 | 1.0070162 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.1221824E-5 | 1.17709005E-5 | 1.17709005E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8092643E-5 | 5.044575E-5 | 5.044575E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8537064E-4 | 6.140057E-4 | 6.2399963E-4 | 1.0162765 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005838311 | 0.0061232965 | 0.006163052 | 1.0064924 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 9.870599E-6 | 1.024661E-5 | 1.024661E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.230188E-5 | 4.3913315E-5 | 4.3913315E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.149037E-4 | 5.345146E-4 | 5.4450927E-4 | 1.0186986 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051371222 | 0.005332425 | 0.005362265 | 1.0055959 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 8.660595E-6 | 8.946424E-6 | 8.946424E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7116308E-5 | 3.834126E-5 | 3.834126E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5179736E-4 | 4.6670597E-4 | 4.767013E-4 | 1.0214168 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045087994 | 0.0046573807 | 0.004687241 | 1.0064114 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.791402E-6 | 6.889889E-6 | 6.889889E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9105684E-5 | 2.9527766E-5 | 2.9527766E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5430407E-4 | 3.5944206E-4 | 3.6943846E-4 | 1.0278109 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0035373971 | 0.0035886932 | 0.0036185856 | 1.0083296 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 5.1261522E-6 | 5.080047E-6 | 5.080047E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.196904E-5 | 2.1771451E-5 | 2.1771451E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6744022E-4 | 2.6503584E-4 | 2.7503318E-4 | 1.0377208 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0026711859 | 0.0026472644 | 0.002657238 | 1.0037675 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.3788167E-6 | 3.249599E-6 | 3.249599E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4480562E-5 | 1.3926781E-5 | 1.3926781E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7628659E-4 | 1.6954578E-4 | 1.7954408E-4 | 1.0589712 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001761468 | 0.0016942048 | 0.0017041878 | 1.0058925 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 7.5784953E-7 | 7.5334384E-7 | 7.5334384E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2479225E-6 | 3.2286125E-6 | 3.2286125E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9542738E-5 | 3.930767E-5 | 4.9307277E-5 | 1.2543933 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9535703E-4 | 3.930091E-4 | 4.030052E-4 | 1.0254347 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 9.9652944E-8 | 1.0309665E-7 | 1.0309665E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.27084E-7 | 4.4184273E-7 | 4.4184273E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.199735E-6 | 5.379422E-6 | 5.379422E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1996136E-5 | 5.3792948E-5 | 5.3792948E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.3286873E-10 | 3.3913217E-10 | 3.3913217E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4265804E-9 | 1.4534237E-9 | 1.4534237E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7368617E-8 | 1.7695433E-8 | 1.7695433E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7368615E-7 | 1.7695432E-7 | 1.7695432E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Tin Mountain
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.2481693E-6 | 4.3519212E-6 | 5.4351705E-5 | 12.489129 | 5.0E-5 | 1.8206314E-5 | 1.865098E-5 | 6.865005E-5 | 3.6807742 | 5.0E-5 | 2.2163932E-4 | 2.2705605E-4 | 3.470288E-4 | 1.5283839 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0022141838 | 0.0022686364 | 0.0024282734 | 1.070367 | 1.6E-4 |
6.1 | 4.2481693E-6 | 4.3519212E-6 | 5.4351705E-5 | 12.489129 | 5.0E-5 | 1.8206314E-5 | 1.865098E-5 | 6.865005E-5 | 3.6807742 | 5.0E-5 | 2.2163932E-4 | 2.2705605E-4 | 3.470288E-4 | 1.5283839 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0022141838 | 0.0022686364 | 0.0024282734 | 1.070367 | 1.6E-4 |
6.2 | 4.2481693E-6 | 4.3519212E-6 | 5.4351705E-5 | 12.489129 | 5.0E-5 | 1.8206314E-5 | 1.865098E-5 | 6.865005E-5 | 3.6807742 | 5.0E-5 | 2.2163932E-4 | 2.2705605E-4 | 3.470288E-4 | 1.5283839 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0022141838 | 0.0022686364 | 0.0024282734 | 1.070367 | 1.6E-4 |
6.3 | 4.2481693E-6 | 4.3519212E-6 | 5.4351705E-5 | 12.489129 | 5.0E-5 | 1.8206314E-5 | 1.865098E-5 | 6.865005E-5 | 3.6807742 | 5.0E-5 | 2.2163932E-4 | 2.2705605E-4 | 3.470288E-4 | 1.5283839 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0022141838 | 0.0022686364 | 0.0024282734 | 1.070367 | 1.6E-4 |
6.4 | 4.2481693E-6 | 4.3519212E-6 | 5.4351705E-5 | 12.489129 | 5.0E-5 | 1.8206314E-5 | 1.865098E-5 | 6.865005E-5 | 3.6807742 | 5.0E-5 | 2.2163932E-4 | 2.2705605E-4 | 3.470288E-4 | 1.5283839 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0022141838 | 0.0022686364 | 0.0024282734 | 1.070367 | 1.6E-4 |
6.5 | 2.4271333E-6 | 2.4894562E-6 | 3.248938E-5 | 13.050795 | 3.0E-5 | 1.0401959E-5 | 1.0669059E-5 | 4.066874E-5 | 3.8118393 | 3.0E-5 | 1.2663649E-4 | 1.298889E-4 | 2.098785E-4 | 1.615831 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0012656434 | 0.0012982127 | 0.0014080699 | 1.0846219 | 1.1E-4 |
6.6 | 2.4271333E-6 | 2.4894562E-6 | 3.248938E-5 | 13.050795 | 3.0E-5 | 1.0401959E-5 | 1.0669059E-5 | 4.066874E-5 | 3.8118393 | 3.0E-5 | 1.2663649E-4 | 1.298889E-4 | 2.098785E-4 | 1.615831 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0012656434 | 0.0012982127 | 0.0014080699 | 1.0846219 | 1.1E-4 |
6.7 | 1.7039238E-6 | 1.7515704E-6 | 2.1751535E-5 | 12.418304 | 2.0E-5 | 7.30251E-6 | 7.5067114E-6 | 2.7506561E-5 | 3.6642625 | 2.0E-5 | 8.890443E-5 | 9.1390866E-5 | 1.3138722E-4 | 1.4376405 | 4.0E-5 | 8.886887E-4 | 9.1358094E-4 | 9.735261E-4 | 1.0656157 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.3023692E-6 | 1.3416396E-6 | 1.1341626E-5 | 8.453556 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5815703E-6 | 5.7498737E-6 | 1.5749816E-5 | 2.7391586 | 1.0E-5 | 6.79535E-5 | 7.000287E-5 | 1.0000077E-4 | 1.4285239 | 3.0E-5 | 6.7932723E-4 | 6.9984794E-4 | 7.3981995E-4 | 1.0571153 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.0932183E-7 | 6.3460664E-7 | 6.3460664E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6113767E-6 | 2.7197402E-6 | 2.7197402E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1793046E-5 | 3.3112367E-5 | 3.3112367E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.17885E-4 | 3.3107764E-4 | 3.3107764E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 4.529502E-7 | 4.7329556E-7 | 4.7329556E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9412137E-6 | 2.028408E-6 | 2.028408E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.363402E-5 | 2.4695617E-5 | 2.4695617E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3631507E-4 | 2.4693136E-4 | 2.4693136E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 3.6732627E-7 | 3.8504209E-7 | 3.8504209E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5742545E-6 | 1.6501793E-6 | 1.6501793E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.916638E-5 | 2.0090773E-5 | 2.0090773E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9164727E-4 | 2.0089185E-4 | 2.0089185E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.4854705E-7 | 3.6560428E-7 | 3.6560428E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4937723E-6 | 1.5668747E-6 | 1.5668747E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8186525E-5 | 1.9076555E-5 | 1.9076555E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8185037E-4 | 1.9075144E-4 | 1.9075144E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.0436027E-7 | 3.1950663E-7 | 3.1950663E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3044005E-6 | 1.3693135E-6 | 1.3693135E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.588096E-5 | 1.6671287E-5 | 1.6671287E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5879826E-4 | 1.6670256E-4 | 1.6670256E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.5797166E-7 | 2.7079676E-7 | 2.7079676E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1055923E-6 | 1.1605572E-6 | 1.1605572E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3460503E-5 | 1.4129714E-5 | 1.4129714E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3459688E-4 | 1.4129035E-4 | 1.4129035E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.1361439E-7 | 1.19114446E-7 | 1.19114446E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8691874E-7 | 5.1049045E-7 | 5.1049045E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9282193E-6 | 6.2152217E-6 | 6.2152217E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9280614E-5 | 6.215221E-5 | 6.215221E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Oak Ridge (Offshore) west extension
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.0339008E-5 | 5.370338E-5 | 1.03700695E-4 | 1.9309901 | 5.0E-5 | 1.7287002E-4 | 2.3013855E-4 | 3.0012245E-4 | 1.3040946 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0021026607 | 0.0027983633 | 0.0028781395 | 1.0285082 | 8.0E-5 | 0.020828765 | 0.027633939 | 0.027779793 | 1.0052781 | 1.5E-4 |
6.1 | 3.2791162E-5 | 4.254961E-5 | 8.254791E-5 | 1.940039 | 4.0E-5 | 1.4052597E-4 | 1.8234507E-4 | 2.4233414E-4 | 1.3289864 | 6.0E-5 | 0.001709561 | 0.0022179617 | 0.0022878065 | 1.0314906 | 7.0E-5 | 0.01696469 | 0.021974055 | 0.022091419 | 1.0053409 | 1.2E-4 |
6.2 | 2.1115731E-5 | 2.5545494E-5 | 4.5544984E-5 | 1.7828969 | 2.0E-5 | 9.049285E-5 | 1.0947641E-4 | 1.3947312E-4 | 1.2740016 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011011936 | 0.0013321106 | 0.0013720574 | 1.0299876 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010957527 | 0.013246399 | 0.013305604 | 1.0044695 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.1115731E-5 | 2.5545494E-5 | 4.5544984E-5 | 1.7828969 | 2.0E-5 | 9.049285E-5 | 1.0947641E-4 | 1.3947312E-4 | 1.2740016 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011011936 | 0.0013321106 | 0.0013720574 | 1.0299876 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010957527 | 0.013246399 | 0.013305604 | 1.0044695 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0495294E-5 | 2.4782208E-5 | 4.478171E-5 | 1.8070105 | 2.0E-5 | 8.7834014E-5 | 1.0620545E-4 | 1.3620226E-4 | 1.2824414 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010688545 | 0.0012923346 | 0.001332283 | 1.0309117 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0106372805 | 0.012853318 | 0.012902675 | 1.0038401 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.892671E-5 | 2.2833614E-5 | 4.283316E-5 | 1.8758817 | 2.0E-5 | 8.1111946E-5 | 9.785498E-5 | 1.2785204E-4 | 1.3065461 | 3.0E-5 | 9.870905E-4 | 0.0011907832 | 0.0012307356 | 1.0335513 | 4.0E-5 | 0.009827175 | 0.011849072 | 0.011898479 | 1.0041697 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.5413076E-5 | 1.8408624E-5 | 3.8408256E-5 | 2.0864272 | 2.0E-5 | 6.605436E-5 | 7.889196E-5 | 1.08889595E-4 | 1.3802369 | 3.0E-5 | 8.039151E-4 | 9.6012827E-4 | 0.0010000899 | 1.0416211 | 4.0E-5 | 0.00801013 | 0.00956398 | 0.009613502 | 1.005178 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.3495462E-5 | 1.6054915E-5 | 3.6054593E-5 | 2.2457044 | 2.0E-5 | 5.783641E-5 | 6.8805195E-5 | 9.880313E-5 | 1.4359835 | 3.0E-5 | 7.039308E-4 | 8.374225E-4 | 8.7738904E-4 | 1.0477256 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0070170513 | 0.008346753 | 0.008396336 | 1.0059403 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.1905698E-5 | 1.41025275E-5 | 3.4102246E-5 | 2.4181654 | 2.0E-5 | 5.102342E-5 | 6.043823E-5 | 8.043702E-5 | 1.3308964 | 2.0E-5 | 6.210331E-4 | 7.356267E-4 | 7.656046E-4 | 1.0407516 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006193004 | 0.007335831 | 0.0073755374 | 1.0054127 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.7565466E-6 | 7.847945E-6 | 7.847945E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8956307E-5 | 3.36338E-5 | 3.36338E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.52486E-4 | 4.0944727E-4 | 4.0944727E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035192743 | 0.004090133 | 0.004090133 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.3720168E-6 | 1.2717466E-6 | 1.2717466E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.880059E-6 | 5.4503316E-6 | 5.4503316E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.158736E-5 | 6.635586E-5 | 6.635586E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1564305E-4 | 6.6336937E-4 | 6.6336937E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.2570082E-6 | 1.1402675E-6 | 1.1402675E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3871668E-6 | 4.886852E-6 | 4.886852E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5586784E-5 | 5.9495887E-5 | 5.9495887E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.556743E-4 | 5.948083E-4 | 5.948083E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.0786175E-6 | 9.39994E-7 | 9.39994E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6226382E-6 | 4.02854E-6 | 4.02854E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.627917E-5 | 4.9046448E-5 | 4.9046448E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6264916E-4 | 4.9036415E-4 | 4.9036415E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 9.804143E-7 | 8.297637E-7 | 8.297637E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2017687E-6 | 3.5561256E-6 | 3.5561256E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1155333E-5 | 4.329504E-5 | 4.329504E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.114356E-4 | 4.3287294E-4 | 4.3287294E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 7.179881E-7 | 5.7630587E-7 | 5.7630587E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0770882E-6 | 2.4698802E-6 | 2.4698802E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7462905E-5 | 3.0070425E-5 | 3.0070425E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.745659E-4 | 3.006683E-4 | 3.006683E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.0678113E-7 | 7.8110375E-8 | 7.8110375E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5763335E-7 | 3.347587E-7 | 3.347587E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.571672E-6 | 4.07568E-6 | 4.07568E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.571532E-5 | 4.0756076E-5 | 4.0756076E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 7.012466E-8 | 4.8016616E-8 | 4.8016616E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0053423E-7 | 2.0578548E-7 | 2.0578548E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6589981E-6 | 2.5054355E-6 | 2.5054355E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.658938E-5 | 2.5054085E-5 | 2.5054085E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.491428E-8 | 7.648932E-9 | 7.648932E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.391834E-8 | 3.2781138E-8 | 3.2781138E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.782055E-7 | 3.991103E-7 | 3.991103E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.782028E-6 | 3.9910974E-6 | 3.9910974E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Owens Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.6369987E-5 | 3.3969716E-6 | 9.3396666E-5 | 27.494097 | 9.0E-5 | 1.9871337E-4 | 1.4558374E-5 | 1.1455692E-4 | 7.868799 | 1.0E-4 | 0.002416651 | 1.7723459E-4 | 2.9721332E-4 | 1.6769488 | 1.2E-4 | 0.023905387 | 0.0017921294 | 0.0019518426 | 1.0891193 | 1.6E-4 |
6.1 | 4.6369987E-5 | 3.3969716E-6 | 9.3396666E-5 | 27.494097 | 9.0E-5 | 1.9871337E-4 | 1.4558374E-5 | 1.1455692E-4 | 7.868799 | 1.0E-4 | 0.002416651 | 1.7723459E-4 | 2.9721332E-4 | 1.6769488 | 1.2E-4 | 0.023905387 | 0.0017921294 | 0.0019518426 | 1.0891193 | 1.6E-4 |
6.2 | 4.6369987E-5 | 3.3969716E-6 | 9.3396666E-5 | 27.494097 | 9.0E-5 | 1.9871337E-4 | 1.4558374E-5 | 1.1455692E-4 | 7.868799 | 1.0E-4 | 0.002416651 | 1.7723459E-4 | 2.9721332E-4 | 1.6769488 | 1.2E-4 | 0.023905387 | 0.0017921294 | 0.0019518426 | 1.0891193 | 1.6E-4 |
6.3 | 4.0994822E-5 | 3.2234757E-6 | 9.3223185E-5 | 28.920084 | 9.0E-5 | 1.7568027E-4 | 1.3814827E-5 | 1.1381345E-4 | 8.2385 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0021368088 | 1.6818332E-4 | 2.8816314E-4 | 1.7133871 | 1.2E-4 | 0.021163788 | 0.0016919309 | 0.0018516602 | 1.0944065 | 1.6E-4 |
6.4 | 4.0994822E-5 | 3.2234757E-6 | 9.3223185E-5 | 28.920084 | 9.0E-5 | 1.7568027E-4 | 1.3814827E-5 | 1.1381345E-4 | 8.2385 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0021368088 | 1.6818332E-4 | 2.8816314E-4 | 1.7133871 | 1.2E-4 | 0.021163788 | 0.0016919309 | 0.0018516602 | 1.0944065 | 1.6E-4 |
6.5 | 3.61894E-5 | 3.0835295E-6 | 9.3083254E-5 | 30.187243 | 9.0E-5 | 1.5508822E-4 | 1.3215064E-5 | 1.1321374E-4 | 8.567022 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0018865636 | 1.608823E-4 | 2.80863E-4 | 1.745767 | 1.2E-4 | 0.018706279 | 0.0016133477 | 0.0017730895 | 1.0990127 | 1.6E-4 |
6.6 | 3.1682346E-5 | 2.972547E-6 | 9.297228E-5 | 31.276976 | 9.0E-5 | 1.3577442E-4 | 1.2739429E-5 | 1.0273828E-4 | 8.06459 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0016518 | 1.5509226E-4 | 2.6507518E-4 | 1.7091453 | 1.1E-4 | 0.016395759 | 0.0015519649 | 0.0017017322 | 1.0965017 | 1.5E-4 |
6.7 | 2.8352591E-5 | 2.9036942E-6 | 9.2903436E-5 | 31.99491 | 9.0E-5 | 1.2150544E-4 | 1.2444349E-5 | 1.0244323E-4 | 8.232109 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0014783249 | 1.5150015E-4 | 2.6148348E-4 | 1.7259619 | 1.1E-4 | 0.01468529 | 0.0015143248 | 0.0016640977 | 1.098904 | 1.5E-4 |
6.8 | 2.555583E-5 | 2.284836E-6 | 9.228463E-5 | 40.39005 | 9.0E-5 | 1.09520384E-4 | 9.792119E-6 | 9.9791236E-5 | 10.190975 | 9.0E-5 | 0.001332595 | 1.1921283E-4 | 2.2919972E-4 | 1.9226094 | 1.1E-4 | 0.013246322 | 0.0011917441 | 0.0013415654 | 1.125716 | 1.5E-4 |
6.9 | 2.314584E-5 | 1.671411E-6 | 9.167126E-5 | 54.84663 | 9.0E-5 | 9.9192686E-5 | 7.1631707E-6 | 9.716253E-5 | 13.564178 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0012070019 | 8.720813E-5 | 1.9719853E-4 | 2.2612402 | 1.1E-4 | 0.012004671 | 8.719429E-4 | 0.0010218121 | 1.1718796 | 1.5E-4 |
7.0 | 2.1396356E-5 | 1.5992027E-6 | 9.159906E-5 | 57.27795 | 9.0E-5 | 9.1695445E-5 | 6.8537083E-6 | 9.6853095E-5 | 14.131487 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0011158203 | 8.344072E-5 | 1.9343154E-4 | 2.3181913 | 1.1E-4 | 0.011102341 | 8.342604E-4 | 9.841353E-4 | 1.17965 | 1.5E-4 |
7.1 | 2.00091E-5 | 1.4422081E-6 | 9.144208E-5 | 63.404217 | 9.0E-5 | 8.5750464E-5 | 6.180878E-6 | 9.618032E-5 | 15.560949 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0010435118 | 7.52496E-5 | 1.8524133E-4 | 2.4616919 | 1.1E-4 | 0.010386253 | 7.523935E-4 | 9.022807E-4 | 1.1992137 | 1.5E-4 |
7.2 | 1.828607E-5 | 1.2993364E-6 | 9.129922E-5 | 70.26604 | 9.0E-5 | 7.836652E-5 | 5.5685728E-6 | 9.556807E-5 | 17.16204 | 9.0E-5 | 9.5369463E-4 | 6.779528E-5 | 1.7778782E-4 | 2.622422 | 1.1E-4 | 0.009496122 | 6.778817E-4 | 8.2778005E-4 | 1.2211275 | 1.5E-4 |
7.3 | 1.2564503E-5 | 1.1455461E-6 | 9.114544E-5 | 79.56506 | 9.0E-5 | 5.3846758E-5 | 4.9094742E-6 | 9.490903E-5 | 19.331812 | 9.0E-5 | 6.5538706E-4 | 5.9771213E-5 | 1.6976464E-4 | 2.8402407 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0065345755 | 5.976801E-4 | 7.375964E-4 | 1.234099 | 1.4E-4 |
7.4 | 7.433017E-6 | 8.5999534E-7 | 7.085993E-5 | 82.39572 | 7.0E-5 | 3.1855398E-5 | 3.6856893E-6 | 7.3685434E-5 | 19.992308 | 7.0E-5 | 3.8777044E-4 | 4.4872348E-5 | 1.3486831E-4 | 3.0055995 | 9.0E-5 | 0.003870945 | 4.4871532E-4 | 5.686615E-4 | 1.2673101 | 1.2E-4 |
7.5 | 2.3911468E-6 | 5.840819E-7 | 6.0584047E-5 | 103.72526 | 6.0E-5 | 1.0247732E-5 | 2.5032057E-6 | 6.250306E-5 | 24.969204 | 6.0E-5 | 1.24759E-4 | 3.0476107E-5 | 1.10473666E-4 | 3.6249273 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0012468897 | 3.0471955E-4 | 4.0468908E-4 | 1.3280706 | 1.0E-4 |
7.6 | 1.0773325E-6 | 3.0066118E-7 | 2.0300655E-5 | 67.520035 | 2.0E-5 | 4.6171313E-6 | 1.2885473E-6 | 2.1288522E-5 | 16.521334 | 2.0E-5 | 5.6212124E-5 | 1.5687952E-5 | 5.5687324E-5 | 3.5496871 | 4.0E-5 | 5.619791E-4 | 1.5686863E-4 | 2.168592E-4 | 1.3824257 | 6.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.861246E-7 | 8.98509E-8 | 1.008985E-5 | 112.29549 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0833893E-6 | 3.8507523E-7 | 1.0385072E-5 | 26.968943 | 1.0E-5 | 2.536497E-5 | 4.6882815E-6 | 3.4688142E-5 | 7.3989034 | 3.0E-5 | 2.5362076E-4 | 4.688189E-5 | 8.688001E-5 | 1.8531679 | 4.0E-5 |
Cleghorn Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5498938E-5 | 1.6857093E-5 | 4.6856585E-5 | 2.7796364 | 3.0E-5 | 6.6422326E-5 | 7.2243005E-5 | 1.12240115E-4 | 1.5536468 | 4.0E-5 | 8.083918E-4 | 8.7926176E-4 | 9.791738E-4 | 1.1136317 | 1.0E-4 | 0.008054574 | 0.008763568 | 0.008882516 | 1.013573 | 1.2E-4 |
6.1 | 1.5498938E-5 | 1.6857093E-5 | 4.6856585E-5 | 2.7796364 | 3.0E-5 | 6.6422326E-5 | 7.2243005E-5 | 1.12240115E-4 | 1.5536468 | 4.0E-5 | 8.083918E-4 | 8.7926176E-4 | 9.791738E-4 | 1.1136317 | 1.0E-4 | 0.008054574 | 0.008763568 | 0.008882516 | 1.013573 | 1.2E-4 |
6.2 | 1.3374407E-5 | 1.4526966E-5 | 3.4526674E-5 | 2.37673 | 2.0E-5 | 5.731763E-5 | 6.225725E-5 | 9.225538E-5 | 1.4818416 | 3.0E-5 | 6.976187E-4 | 7.5777306E-4 | 8.477049E-4 | 1.118679 | 9.0E-5 | 0.006954327 | 0.007557279 | 0.0076664477 | 1.0144455 | 1.1E-4 |
6.3 | 1.3374407E-5 | 1.4526966E-5 | 3.4526674E-5 | 2.37673 | 2.0E-5 | 5.731763E-5 | 6.225725E-5 | 9.225538E-5 | 1.4818416 | 3.0E-5 | 6.976187E-4 | 7.5777306E-4 | 8.477049E-4 | 1.118679 | 9.0E-5 | 0.006954327 | 0.007557279 | 0.0076664477 | 1.0144455 | 1.1E-4 |
6.4 | 1.0004383E-5 | 1.0825461E-5 | 3.0825246E-5 | 2.8474765 | 2.0E-5 | 4.287522E-5 | 4.6394267E-5 | 7.639288E-5 | 1.6466016 | 3.0E-5 | 5.218808E-4 | 5.647501E-4 | 6.247162E-4 | 1.1061817 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0052065686 | 0.005637695 | 0.0057073003 | 1.0123464 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.9503395E-6 | 1.0768027E-5 | 3.0767813E-5 | 2.8573306 | 2.0E-5 | 4.2643616E-5 | 4.6148132E-5 | 7.6146745E-5 | 1.6500505 | 3.0E-5 | 5.1906233E-4 | 5.617549E-4 | 6.217212E-4 | 1.1067481 | 6.0E-5 | 0.005178516 | 0.0056078946 | 0.005677502 | 1.0124124 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.091008E-6 | 8.770708E-6 | 1.8770621E-5 | 2.1401489 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4675286E-5 | 3.758846E-5 | 5.7587706E-5 | 1.5320582 | 2.0E-5 | 4.2208983E-4 | 4.5758803E-4 | 5.0756516E-4 | 1.1092186 | 5.0E-5 | 0.00421289 | 0.0045708376 | 0.0046305633 | 1.0130666 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.318209E-6 | 2.450581E-6 | 2.450581E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.935144E-6 | 1.0502448E-5 | 2.0502344E-5 | 1.9521489 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2095366E-4 | 1.2786001E-4 | 1.4785746E-4 | 1.156401 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012088785 | 0.0012778844 | 0.0012978588 | 1.0156308 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.0880166E-6 | 2.2052297E-6 | 2.2052297E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.948612E-6 | 9.450951E-6 | 1.9450858E-5 | 2.0580845 | 1.0E-5 | 1.089439E-4 | 1.1505945E-4 | 1.3505714E-4 | 1.1738032 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010889051 | 0.0011500169 | 0.0011699939 | 1.017371 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.852163E-6 | 1.9539004E-6 | 1.9539004E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.937818E-6 | 8.373833E-6 | 1.837375E-5 | 2.1941862 | 1.0E-5 | 9.663864E-5 | 1.0194682E-4 | 1.2194478E-4 | 1.1961607 | 2.0E-5 | 9.6596626E-4 | 0.0010190175 | 0.0010389971 | 1.0196067 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.5455829E-6 | 1.6296744E-6 | 1.6296744E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.62391E-6 | 6.984301E-6 | 1.6984231E-5 | 2.4317725 | 1.0E-5 | 8.064312E-5 | 8.503069E-5 | 1.05028994E-4 | 1.2351892 | 2.0E-5 | 8.0613856E-4 | 8.49996E-4 | 8.6997903E-4 | 1.0235095 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.1649183E-6 | 1.2274907E-6 | 1.2274907E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9924975E-6 | 5.2606642E-6 | 1.5260612E-5 | 2.9008906 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0781964E-5 | 6.4046835E-5 | 8.4045554E-5 | 1.3122514 | 2.0E-5 | 6.076534E-4 | 6.402962E-4 | 6.602834E-4 | 1.0312155 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.8377943E-7 | 7.195401E-7 | 7.195401E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.93048E-6 | 3.0837402E-6 | 3.0837402E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5678007E-5 | 3.7543985E-5 | 3.7543985E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.567228E-4 | 3.753856E-4 | 3.753856E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
White Mountains
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.4739183E-5 | 3.347643E-5 | 8.3474755E-5 | 2.4935381 | 5.0E-5 | 1.4887372E-4 | 1.4346317E-4 | 2.0345456E-4 | 1.4181658 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0018110304 | 0.0017453792 | 0.0018651697 | 1.068633 | 1.2E-4 | 0.017963422 | 0.01732841 | 0.01747581 | 1.0085063 | 1.5E-4 |
6.1 | 3.4739183E-5 | 3.347643E-5 | 8.3474755E-5 | 2.4935381 | 5.0E-5 | 1.4887372E-4 | 1.4346317E-4 | 2.0345456E-4 | 1.4181658 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0018110304 | 0.0017453792 | 0.0018651697 | 1.068633 | 1.2E-4 | 0.017963422 | 0.01732841 | 0.01747581 | 1.0085063 | 1.5E-4 |
6.2 | 3.4739183E-5 | 3.347643E-5 | 8.3474755E-5 | 2.4935381 | 5.0E-5 | 1.4887372E-4 | 1.4346317E-4 | 2.0345456E-4 | 1.4181658 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0018110304 | 0.0017453792 | 0.0018651697 | 1.068633 | 1.2E-4 | 0.017963422 | 0.01732841 | 0.01747581 | 1.0085063 | 1.5E-4 |
6.3 | 1.846527E-5 | 1.6526696E-5 | 2.652653E-5 | 1.6050717 | 1.0E-5 | 7.913447E-5 | 7.0826856E-5 | 8.082615E-5 | 1.1411793 | 1.0E-5 | 9.630363E-4 | 8.6199126E-4 | 8.919654E-4 | 1.0347731 | 3.0E-5 | 0.009588735 | 0.00858806 | 0.008627716 | 1.0046176 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.846527E-5 | 1.6526696E-5 | 2.652653E-5 | 1.6050717 | 1.0E-5 | 7.913447E-5 | 7.0826856E-5 | 8.082615E-5 | 1.1411793 | 1.0E-5 | 9.630363E-4 | 8.6199126E-4 | 8.919654E-4 | 1.0347731 | 3.0E-5 | 0.009588735 | 0.00858806 | 0.008627716 | 1.0046176 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3796858E-5 | 1.1687625E-5 | 2.1687509E-5 | 1.8555958 | 1.0E-5 | 5.912805E-5 | 5.0088904E-5 | 6.00884E-5 | 1.199635 | 1.0E-5 | 7.196462E-4 | 6.0966914E-4 | 6.396508E-4 | 1.049177 | 3.0E-5 | 0.007173202 | 0.00608071 | 0.0061105276 | 1.0049037 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.103651E-5 | 8.806274E-6 | 1.8806186E-5 | 2.135544 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7298472E-5 | 3.7740654E-5 | 4.774028E-5 | 1.2649562 | 1.0E-5 | 5.757067E-4 | 4.5940006E-4 | 4.8938626E-4 | 1.0652726 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0057421755 | 0.004584953 | 0.0046148156 | 1.0065131 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.179032E-6 | 6.8784407E-6 | 1.6878372E-5 | 2.4538078 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9338116E-5 | 2.9478717E-5 | 3.9478422E-5 | 1.3392178 | 1.0E-5 | 4.788363E-4 | 3.588475E-4 | 3.7884034E-4 | 1.055714 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0047780583 | 0.003583002 | 0.00360293 | 1.005562 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 7.3331007E-6 | 4.9436676E-6 | 4.9436676E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1427197E-5 | 2.118698E-5 | 2.118698E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.825589E-4 | 2.5792205E-4 | 2.6791947E-4 | 1.0387614 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00381901 | 0.002576336 | 0.0025863103 | 1.0038714 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.270693E-6 | 3.852418E-6 | 3.852418E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6874122E-5 | 1.6510263E-5 | 1.6510263E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2714332E-4 | 2.0099441E-4 | 2.109924E-4 | 1.0497426 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032666214 | 0.0020081766 | 0.0020181567 | 1.0049696 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.974064E-6 | 2.6474218E-6 | 2.6474218E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1317242E-5 | 1.13460455E-5 | 1.13460455E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5950652E-4 | 1.3812957E-4 | 1.3812957E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002592037 | 0.0013804607 | 0.0013804607 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 4.0173545E-6 | 1.8613235E-6 | 1.8613235E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.721712E-5 | 7.977077E-6 | 7.977077E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0959828E-4 | 9.7116696E-5 | 9.7116696E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020940069 | 9.707538E-4 | 9.707538E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.3234803E-6 | 1.2601873E-6 | 1.2601873E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.424341E-5 | 5.400792E-6 | 5.400792E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.733997E-4 | 6.575274E-5 | 6.575274E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017326447 | 6.5734127E-4 | 6.5734127E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.4484186E-6 | 5.9230973E-7 | 5.9230973E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.04931805E-5 | 2.538468E-6 | 2.538468E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2774699E-4 | 3.0905438E-5 | 3.0905438E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012767357 | 3.0901402E-4 | 3.0901402E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.9662402E-6 | 3.204672E-7 | 3.204672E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.426717E-6 | 1.3734301E-6 | 1.3734301E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0259045E-4 | 1.6721386E-5 | 1.6721386E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001025431 | 1.672014E-4 | 1.672014E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.1664296E-6 | 1.8000331E-7 | 1.8000331E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.998974E-6 | 7.7144256E-7 | 7.7144256E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.086081E-5 | 9.392274E-6 | 9.392274E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.084414E-4 | 9.391884E-5 | 9.391884E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.429246E-7 | 4.6438643E-8 | 4.6438643E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0411051E-6 | 1.9902274E-7 | 1.9902274E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.267538E-5 | 2.4230994E-6 | 2.4230994E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2674657E-4 | 2.4230763E-5 | 2.4230763E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Kern Canyon (North Kern) 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.5092854E-6 | 6.6383336E-6 | 5.6638E-5 | 8.5319605 | 5.0E-5 | 2.789664E-5 | 2.8449735E-5 | 8.8448025E-5 | 3.1089227 | 6.0E-5 | 3.3958865E-4 | 3.4632822E-4 | 4.6628664E-4 | 1.3463721 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0033907017 | 0.0034586461 | 0.0036081274 | 1.0432196 | 1.5E-4 |
6.1 | 6.5092854E-6 | 6.6383336E-6 | 5.6638E-5 | 8.5319605 | 5.0E-5 | 2.789664E-5 | 2.8449735E-5 | 8.8448025E-5 | 3.1089227 | 6.0E-5 | 3.3958865E-4 | 3.4632822E-4 | 4.6628664E-4 | 1.3463721 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0033907017 | 0.0034586461 | 0.0036081274 | 1.0432196 | 1.5E-4 |
6.2 | 6.5092854E-6 | 6.6383336E-6 | 5.6638E-5 | 8.5319605 | 5.0E-5 | 2.789664E-5 | 2.8449735E-5 | 8.8448025E-5 | 3.1089227 | 6.0E-5 | 3.3958865E-4 | 3.4632822E-4 | 4.6628664E-4 | 1.3463721 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0033907017 | 0.0034586461 | 0.0036081274 | 1.0432196 | 1.5E-4 |
6.3 | 6.5092854E-6 | 6.6383336E-6 | 5.6638E-5 | 8.5319605 | 5.0E-5 | 2.789664E-5 | 2.8449735E-5 | 8.8448025E-5 | 3.1089227 | 6.0E-5 | 3.3958865E-4 | 3.4632822E-4 | 4.6628664E-4 | 1.3463721 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0033907017 | 0.0034586461 | 0.0036081274 | 1.0432196 | 1.5E-4 |
6.4 | 6.5092854E-6 | 6.6383336E-6 | 5.6638E-5 | 8.5319605 | 5.0E-5 | 2.789664E-5 | 2.8449735E-5 | 8.8448025E-5 | 3.1089227 | 6.0E-5 | 3.3958865E-4 | 3.4632822E-4 | 4.6628664E-4 | 1.3463721 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0033907017 | 0.0034586461 | 0.0036081274 | 1.0432196 | 1.5E-4 |
6.5 | 3.192535E-6 | 3.2344024E-6 | 4.323427E-5 | 13.367005 | 4.0E-5 | 1.3682221E-5 | 1.3861655E-5 | 5.3861102E-5 | 3.8856184 | 4.0E-5 | 1.6656831E-4 | 1.6875337E-4 | 2.4873987E-4 | 1.4739846 | 8.0E-5 | 0.001664435 | 0.0016863297 | 0.0017861611 | 1.0592004 | 1.0E-4 |
6.6 | 3.192535E-6 | 3.2344024E-6 | 4.323427E-5 | 13.367005 | 4.0E-5 | 1.3682221E-5 | 1.3861655E-5 | 5.3861102E-5 | 3.8856184 | 4.0E-5 | 1.6656831E-4 | 1.6875337E-4 | 2.4873987E-4 | 1.4739846 | 8.0E-5 | 0.001664435 | 0.0016863297 | 0.0017861611 | 1.0592004 | 1.0E-4 |
6.7 | 2.1814042E-6 | 2.199315E-6 | 4.2199226E-5 | 19.187439 | 4.0E-5 | 9.348842E-6 | 9.425604E-6 | 4.9425227E-5 | 5.24372 | 4.0E-5 | 1.138162E-4 | 1.1475087E-4 | 1.7474398E-4 | 1.5228119 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0011375792 | 0.001146935 | 0.0012168548 | 1.0609622 | 7.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.7200465E-6 | 1.7279426E-6 | 3.172789E-5 | 18.361658 | 3.0E-5 | 7.371607E-6 | 7.405448E-6 | 3.7405225E-5 | 5.0510416 | 3.0E-5 | 8.974562E-5 | 9.015769E-5 | 1.4015319E-4 | 1.5545338 | 5.0E-5 | 8.9709385E-4 | 9.0122054E-4 | 9.6116646E-4 | 1.0665164 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.3707139E-6 | 1.3716035E-6 | 3.137156E-5 | 22.87218 | 3.0E-5 | 5.874475E-6 | 5.8782875E-6 | 3.587811E-5 | 6.103497 | 3.0E-5 | 7.151938E-5 | 7.1565846E-5 | 1.2156227E-4 | 1.6986073 | 5.0E-5 | 7.149637E-4 | 7.154326E-4 | 7.653968E-4 | 1.0698378 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.1481411E-6 | 1.144818E-6 | 3.1144784E-5 | 27.205008 | 3.0E-5 | 4.9205955E-6 | 4.9063538E-6 | 3.4906207E-5 | 7.11449 | 3.0E-5 | 5.9906604E-5 | 5.973325E-5 | 1.0973027E-4 | 1.8370047 | 5.0E-5 | 5.9890456E-4 | 5.97175E-4 | 6.4714515E-4 | 1.0836775 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 9.564358E-7 | 9.49612E-7 | 1.0949602E-5 | 11.530607 | 1.0E-5 | 4.099004E-6 | 4.0697596E-6 | 1.4069718E-5 | 3.4571376 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9904233E-5 | 4.9548213E-5 | 6.9547226E-5 | 1.4036273 | 2.0E-5 | 4.989303E-4 | 4.953736E-4 | 5.153637E-4 | 1.0403535 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.124112E-7 | 7.011667E-7 | 1.0701159E-5 | 15.261934 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0531871E-6 | 3.0049966E-6 | 1.3004967E-5 | 4.3277807 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7171918E-5 | 3.6585232E-5 | 5.65845E-5 | 1.5466487 | 2.0E-5 | 3.7165702E-4 | 3.6579315E-4 | 3.8578582E-4 | 1.0546557 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 5.174893E-7 | 5.0268136E-7 | 1.0502677E-5 | 20.893309 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2178094E-6 | 2.154347E-6 | 1.2154325E-5 | 5.641768 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7001495E-5 | 2.6228863E-5 | 4.622834E-5 | 1.7624987 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6998215E-4 | 2.622582E-4 | 2.8225293E-4 | 1.0762408 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.510596E-7 | 3.3321123E-7 | 1.0333208E-5 | 31.010983 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5045404E-6 | 1.4280474E-6 | 1.1428033E-5 | 8.002559 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8317625E-5 | 1.7386341E-5 | 3.7385995E-5 | 2.1503084 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8316114E-4 | 1.7385007E-4 | 1.938466E-4 | 1.1150217 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.6051936E-7 | 1.3998161E-7 | 1.013998E-5 | 72.43794 | 1.0E-5 | 6.879399E-7 | 5.9992107E-7 | 1.0599915E-5 | 17.66885 | 1.0E-5 | 8.375636E-6 | 7.3040155E-6 | 1.7303943E-5 | 2.3690999 | 1.0E-5 | 8.3753206E-5 | 7.303786E-5 | 8.303713E-5 | 1.1369053 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.9996215E-8 | 2.0812667E-8 | 2.0812667E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.285552E-7 | 8.919714E-8 | 8.919714E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5651584E-6 | 1.0859748E-6 | 1.0859748E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5651474E-5 | 1.0859703E-5 | 1.0859703E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Dry Mountain
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.384001E-6 | 6.6083558E-6 | 2.6608224E-5 | 4.0264516 | 2.0E-5 | 2.7359718E-5 | 2.8321308E-5 | 7.831989E-5 | 2.7654052 | 5.0E-5 | 3.3305364E-4 | 3.4477343E-4 | 4.6473206E-4 | 1.3479346 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0033255492 | 0.0034439613 | 0.0035934446 | 1.0434045 | 1.5E-4 |
6.1 | 6.384001E-6 | 6.6083558E-6 | 2.6608224E-5 | 4.0264516 | 2.0E-5 | 2.7359718E-5 | 2.8321308E-5 | 7.831989E-5 | 2.7654052 | 5.0E-5 | 3.3305364E-4 | 3.4477343E-4 | 4.6473206E-4 | 1.3479346 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0033255492 | 0.0034439613 | 0.0035934446 | 1.0434045 | 1.5E-4 |
6.2 | 6.384001E-6 | 6.6083558E-6 | 2.6608224E-5 | 4.0264516 | 2.0E-5 | 2.7359718E-5 | 2.8321308E-5 | 7.831989E-5 | 2.7654052 | 5.0E-5 | 3.3305364E-4 | 3.4477343E-4 | 4.6473206E-4 | 1.3479346 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0033255492 | 0.0034439613 | 0.0035934446 | 1.0434045 | 1.5E-4 |
6.3 | 6.384001E-6 | 6.6083558E-6 | 2.6608224E-5 | 4.0264516 | 2.0E-5 | 2.7359718E-5 | 2.8321308E-5 | 7.831989E-5 | 2.7654052 | 5.0E-5 | 3.3305364E-4 | 3.4477343E-4 | 4.6473206E-4 | 1.3479346 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0033255492 | 0.0034439613 | 0.0035934446 | 1.0434045 | 1.5E-4 |
6.4 | 6.384001E-6 | 6.6083558E-6 | 2.6608224E-5 | 4.0264516 | 2.0E-5 | 2.7359718E-5 | 2.8321308E-5 | 7.831989E-5 | 2.7654052 | 5.0E-5 | 3.3305364E-4 | 3.4477343E-4 | 4.6473206E-4 | 1.3479346 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0033255492 | 0.0034439613 | 0.0035934446 | 1.0434045 | 1.5E-4 |
6.5 | 2.8187012E-6 | 2.917799E-6 | 1.291777E-5 | 4.427231 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2080091E-5 | 1.2504838E-5 | 2.2504713E-5 | 1.7996805 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4706519E-4 | 1.5224372E-4 | 1.8223915E-4 | 1.1970224 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0014696791 | 0.0015221738 | 0.0015521281 | 1.0196787 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.8187012E-6 | 2.917799E-6 | 1.291777E-5 | 4.427231 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2080091E-5 | 1.2504838E-5 | 2.2504713E-5 | 1.7996805 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4706519E-4 | 1.5224372E-4 | 1.8223915E-4 | 1.1970224 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0014696791 | 0.0015221738 | 0.0015521281 | 1.0196787 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.4208002E-6 | 2.5057766E-6 | 1.2505751E-5 | 4.990769 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0374817E-5 | 1.0739042E-5 | 2.0738935E-5 | 1.9311718 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2630607E-4 | 1.3074784E-4 | 1.4074653E-4 | 1.0764731 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001262343 | 0.0013074784 | 0.0013174653 | 1.0076383 | 1.0E-5 |
Cleghorn Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.0181528E-5 | 1.067471E-5 | 6.0674178E-5 | 5.683918 | 5.0E-5 | 4.3634387E-5 | 4.5748224E-5 | 1.15745024E-4 | 2.530044 | 7.0E-5 | 5.311192E-4 | 5.568896E-4 | 6.4683944E-4 | 1.1615219 | 9.0E-5 | 0.005298516 | 0.0055595795 | 0.005688857 | 1.0232531 | 1.3E-4 |
6.1 | 1.0181528E-5 | 1.067471E-5 | 6.0674178E-5 | 5.683918 | 5.0E-5 | 4.3634387E-5 | 4.5748224E-5 | 1.15745024E-4 | 2.530044 | 7.0E-5 | 5.311192E-4 | 5.568896E-4 | 6.4683944E-4 | 1.1615219 | 9.0E-5 | 0.005298516 | 0.0055595795 | 0.005688857 | 1.0232531 | 1.3E-4 |
6.2 | 2.2925276E-6 | 2.4036651E-6 | 1.2403641E-5 | 5.160303 | 1.0E-5 | 9.825081E-6 | 1.0301409E-5 | 2.0301306E-5 | 1.970731 | 1.0E-5 | 1.19613804E-4 | 1.2541727E-4 | 1.4541476E-4 | 1.1594477 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011954944 | 0.0012539396 | 0.001283902 | 1.0238945 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.2925276E-6 | 2.4036651E-6 | 1.2403641E-5 | 5.160303 | 1.0E-5 | 9.825081E-6 | 1.0301409E-5 | 2.0301306E-5 | 1.970731 | 1.0E-5 | 1.19613804E-4 | 1.2541727E-4 | 1.4541476E-4 | 1.1594477 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011954944 | 0.0012539396 | 0.001283902 | 1.0238945 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.85127E-6 | 1.9408885E-6 | 1.1940869E-5 | 6.1522694 | 1.0E-5 | 7.93399E-6 | 8.318094E-6 | 1.8318011E-5 | 2.2021885 | 1.0E-5 | 9.659205E-5 | 1.0127279E-4 | 1.1127178E-4 | 1.0987332 | 1.0E-5 | 9.655007E-4 | 0.0010127279 | 0.0010327076 | 1.0197287 | 2.0E-5 |
Deep Springs
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9297568E-5 | 2.2422599E-5 | 5.2421925E-5 | 2.337906 | 3.0E-5 | 8.270124E-5 | 9.609603E-5 | 1.3609219E-4 | 1.4162103 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0010064224 | 0.0011698235 | 0.0012397416 | 1.0597681 | 7.0E-5 | 0.010018767 | 0.0116839465 | 0.011812428 | 1.0109963 | 1.3E-4 |
6.1 | 1.9297568E-5 | 2.2422599E-5 | 5.2421925E-5 | 2.337906 | 3.0E-5 | 8.270124E-5 | 9.609603E-5 | 1.3609219E-4 | 1.4162103 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0010064224 | 0.0011698235 | 0.0012397416 | 1.0597681 | 7.0E-5 | 0.010018767 | 0.0116839465 | 0.011812428 | 1.0109963 | 1.3E-4 |
6.2 | 1.9297568E-5 | 2.2422599E-5 | 5.2421925E-5 | 2.337906 | 3.0E-5 | 8.270124E-5 | 9.609603E-5 | 1.3609219E-4 | 1.4162103 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0010064224 | 0.0011698235 | 0.0012397416 | 1.0597681 | 7.0E-5 | 0.010018767 | 0.0116839465 | 0.011812428 | 1.0109963 | 1.3E-4 |
6.3 | 1.9297568E-5 | 2.2422599E-5 | 5.2421925E-5 | 2.337906 | 3.0E-5 | 8.270124E-5 | 9.609603E-5 | 1.3609219E-4 | 1.4162103 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0010064224 | 0.0011698235 | 0.0012397416 | 1.0597681 | 7.0E-5 | 0.010018767 | 0.0116839465 | 0.011812428 | 1.0109963 | 1.3E-4 |
6.4 | 1.9297568E-5 | 2.2422599E-5 | 5.2421925E-5 | 2.337906 | 3.0E-5 | 8.270124E-5 | 9.609603E-5 | 1.3609219E-4 | 1.4162103 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0010064224 | 0.0011698235 | 0.0012397416 | 1.0597681 | 7.0E-5 | 0.010018767 | 0.0116839465 | 0.011812428 | 1.0109963 | 1.3E-4 |
6.5 | 1.6828913E-5 | 1.9549732E-5 | 4.9549144E-5 | 2.534518 | 3.0E-5 | 7.2121926E-5 | 8.3784566E-5 | 1.1378205E-4 | 1.3580312 | 3.0E-5 | 8.7773066E-4 | 0.0010200769 | 0.001070026 | 1.0489659 | 5.0E-5 | 0.008742719 | 0.010200747 | 0.010299726 | 1.0097032 | 1.0E-4 |
6.6 | 1.6828913E-5 | 1.9549732E-5 | 4.9549144E-5 | 2.534518 | 3.0E-5 | 7.2121926E-5 | 8.3784566E-5 | 1.1378205E-4 | 1.3580312 | 3.0E-5 | 8.7773066E-4 | 0.0010200769 | 0.001070026 | 1.0489659 | 5.0E-5 | 0.008742719 | 0.010200747 | 0.010299726 | 1.0097032 | 1.0E-4 |
Santa Cruz Island
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.8690172E-5 | 3.0952928E-5 | 7.095169E-5 | 2.292245 | 4.0E-5 | 1.2295209E-4 | 1.3264941E-4 | 1.8264278E-4 | 1.3768834 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0014959137 | 0.0016139428 | 0.0016838298 | 1.043302 | 7.0E-5 | 0.014858838 | 0.016035562 | 0.016143799 | 1.0067497 | 1.1E-4 |
6.1 | 2.8690172E-5 | 3.0952928E-5 | 7.095169E-5 | 2.292245 | 4.0E-5 | 1.2295209E-4 | 1.3264941E-4 | 1.8264278E-4 | 1.3768834 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0014959137 | 0.0016139428 | 0.0016838298 | 1.043302 | 7.0E-5 | 0.014858838 | 0.016035562 | 0.016143799 | 1.0067497 | 1.1E-4 |
6.2 | 2.8690172E-5 | 3.0952928E-5 | 7.095169E-5 | 2.292245 | 4.0E-5 | 1.2295209E-4 | 1.3264941E-4 | 1.8264278E-4 | 1.3768834 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0014959137 | 0.0016139428 | 0.0016838298 | 1.043302 | 7.0E-5 | 0.014858838 | 0.016035562 | 0.016143799 | 1.0067497 | 1.1E-4 |
6.3 | 1.7104674E-5 | 1.8205603E-5 | 4.8205056E-5 | 2.6478143 | 3.0E-5 | 7.330369E-5 | 7.802183E-5 | 1.1801871E-4 | 1.512637 | 4.0E-5 | 8.9210697E-4 | 9.495284E-4 | 9.894904E-4 | 1.0420861 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008885341 | 0.009457408 | 0.009526746 | 1.0073316 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.7104674E-5 | 1.8205603E-5 | 4.8205056E-5 | 2.6478143 | 3.0E-5 | 7.330369E-5 | 7.802183E-5 | 1.1801871E-4 | 1.512637 | 4.0E-5 | 8.9210697E-4 | 9.495284E-4 | 9.894904E-4 | 1.0420861 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008885341 | 0.009457408 | 0.009526746 | 1.0073316 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.2001291E-5 | 1.2662696E-5 | 2.2662569E-5 | 1.7897112 | 1.0E-5 | 5.143309E-5 | 5.4267584E-5 | 7.42665E-5 | 1.3685242 | 2.0E-5 | 6.260179E-4 | 6.6051085E-4 | 6.90491E-4 | 1.0453894 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0062425733 | 0.006585833 | 0.0066156355 | 1.0045252 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0159658E-5 | 1.0676824E-5 | 2.0676718E-5 | 1.9365981 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3540666E-5 | 4.5757024E-5 | 6.575611E-5 | 1.4370713 | 2.0E-5 | 5.2997866E-4 | 5.5695086E-4 | 5.8693415E-4 | 1.0538347 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005287165 | 0.005555717 | 0.0055855503 | 1.0053699 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.55479E-6 | 8.959629E-6 | 1.895954E-5 | 2.1161077 | 1.0E-5 | 3.666287E-5 | 3.8397844E-5 | 5.8397076E-5 | 1.5208426 | 2.0E-5 | 4.46279E-4 | 4.6739384E-4 | 4.873845E-4 | 1.0427705 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0044538383 | 0.0046641557 | 0.0046840627 | 1.004268 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.172161E-6 | 8.552646E-6 | 1.855256E-5 | 2.1692188 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5023077E-5 | 3.6653688E-5 | 5.6652952E-5 | 1.5456277 | 2.0E-5 | 4.263225E-4 | 4.4616757E-4 | 4.6615864E-4 | 1.0448062 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0042550554 | 0.004452759 | 0.00447267 | 1.0044715 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.79527E-6 | 8.152335E-6 | 1.8152254E-5 | 2.2266324 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3407872E-5 | 3.493811E-5 | 5.4937413E-5 | 1.5724207 | 2.0E-5 | 4.0666494E-4 | 4.2528877E-4 | 4.4528028E-4 | 1.0470068 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0040592155 | 0.004244786 | 0.004264701 | 1.0046917 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.168997E-6 | 7.480188E-6 | 1.7480113E-5 | 2.336855 | 1.0E-5 | 3.072391E-5 | 3.2057556E-5 | 5.2056912E-5 | 1.6238579 | 2.0E-5 | 3.739994E-4 | 3.9023106E-4 | 4.1022326E-4 | 1.0512317 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003733706 | 0.0038954872 | 0.003915409 | 1.0051142 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 6.7616434E-6 | 7.0444603E-6 | 1.704439E-5 | 2.4195452 | 1.0E-5 | 2.897815E-5 | 3.0190196E-5 | 4.0189894E-5 | 1.3312234 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5275184E-4 | 3.6750385E-4 | 3.7750017E-4 | 1.0272006 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0035219244 | 0.0036689874 | 0.0036789507 | 1.0027156 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.1446435E-6 | 6.3940165E-6 | 1.6393953E-5 | 2.5639522 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6333923E-5 | 2.740264E-5 | 3.7402366E-5 | 1.3649184 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2056833E-4 | 3.3357623E-4 | 3.4357287E-4 | 1.0299681 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032010628 | 0.0033307732 | 0.00334074 | 1.0029923 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 5.2643195E-6 | 5.46008E-6 | 1.5460026E-5 | 2.831465 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2561175E-5 | 2.3400135E-5 | 3.33999E-5 | 1.427338 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7464767E-4 | 2.8485947E-4 | 2.948566E-4 | 1.035095 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002743085 | 0.0028449546 | 0.002854926 | 1.003505 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.1032295E-6 | 4.227834E-6 | 1.4227791E-5 | 3.3652675 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7585151E-5 | 1.811916E-5 | 2.811898E-5 | 1.5518919 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1407817E-4 | 2.2057851E-4 | 2.305763E-4 | 1.0453253 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021387206 | 0.0022036019 | 0.0022135798 | 1.004528 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.596691E-6 | 2.6297269E-6 | 2.6297269E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1128628E-5 | 1.1270209E-5 | 1.1270209E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3548262E-4 | 1.3720618E-4 | 1.3720618E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013540005 | 0.001371218 | 0.001371218 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 9.1878456E-7 | 8.517226E-7 | 8.517226E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9376423E-6 | 3.6502342E-6 | 3.6502342E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.793974E-5 | 4.4440698E-5 | 4.4440698E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.79294E-4 | 4.443183E-4 | 4.443183E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.1904846E-7 | 3.383684E-7 | 3.383684E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7959208E-6 | 1.4501494E-6 | 1.4501494E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1865117E-5 | 1.7655428E-5 | 1.7655428E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1862965E-4 | 1.7654031E-4 | 1.7654031E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 6.0191276E-8 | 3.3428474E-8 | 3.3428474E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.579626E-7 | 1.4326488E-7 | 1.4326488E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.14069E-6 | 1.7442487E-6 | 1.7442487E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1406456E-5 | 1.7442364E-5 | 1.7442364E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Oak Ridge (Offshore)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.3001907E-5 | 3.8478287E-5 | 6.847713E-5 | 1.7796305 | 3.0E-5 | 1.4142907E-4 | 1.6489692E-4 | 2.1488867E-4 | 1.3031697 | 5.0E-5 | 0.001720539 | 0.0020058383 | 0.002065718 | 1.0298526 | 6.0E-5 | 0.017072788 | 0.019884713 | 0.019992527 | 1.0054219 | 1.1E-4 |
6.1 | 3.3001907E-5 | 3.8478287E-5 | 6.847713E-5 | 1.7796305 | 3.0E-5 | 1.4142907E-4 | 1.6489692E-4 | 2.1488867E-4 | 1.3031697 | 5.0E-5 | 0.001720539 | 0.0020058383 | 0.002065718 | 1.0298526 | 6.0E-5 | 0.017072788 | 0.019884713 | 0.019992527 | 1.0054219 | 1.1E-4 |
6.2 | 3.3001907E-5 | 3.8478287E-5 | 6.847713E-5 | 1.7796305 | 3.0E-5 | 1.4142907E-4 | 1.6489692E-4 | 2.1488867E-4 | 1.3031697 | 5.0E-5 | 0.001720539 | 0.0020058383 | 0.002065718 | 1.0298526 | 6.0E-5 | 0.017072788 | 0.019884713 | 0.019992527 | 1.0054219 | 1.1E-4 |
6.3 | 3.1140196E-5 | 3.6251706E-5 | 6.625062E-5 | 1.8275173 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3345115E-4 | 1.5535558E-4 | 2.0534782E-4 | 1.3217924 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0016235567 | 0.0018898757 | 0.0019497623 | 1.0316881 | 6.0E-5 | 0.016117463 | 0.018744834 | 0.018852772 | 1.0057583 | 1.1E-4 |
6.4 | 3.0519765E-5 | 3.548843E-5 | 6.5487366E-5 | 1.8453159 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3079242E-4 | 1.5208477E-4 | 2.0207716E-4 | 1.328714 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0015912346 | 0.001850122 | 0.0019100109 | 1.0323703 | 6.0E-5 | 0.015798887 | 0.018353943 | 0.018452108 | 1.0053484 | 1.0E-4 |
6.5 | 2.7539367E-5 | 3.1841333E-5 | 6.184038E-5 | 1.9421417 | 3.0E-5 | 1.1802052E-4 | 1.3645607E-4 | 1.8644925E-4 | 1.3663683 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0014359527 | 0.0016601473 | 0.0017200477 | 1.0360813 | 6.0E-5 | 0.014267093 | 0.016483828 | 0.01658218 | 1.0059665 | 1.0E-4 |
6.6 | 2.4025763E-5 | 2.7416383E-5 | 5.741556E-5 | 2.0942063 | 3.0E-5 | 1.0296349E-4 | 1.1749379E-4 | 1.6748792E-4 | 1.4255044 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0012528596 | 0.0014296006 | 0.001489515 | 1.0419098 | 6.0E-5 | 0.012458197 | 0.014209454 | 0.0143080335 | 1.0069376 | 1.0E-4 |
6.7 | 1.9733052E-5 | 2.2216436E-5 | 5.221577E-5 | 2.3503215 | 3.0E-5 | 8.456748E-5 | 9.521008E-5 | 1.3520628E-4 | 1.4200835 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0010291227 | 0.001158612 | 0.001208554 | 1.0431051 | 5.0E-5 | 0.010243698 | 0.0115303295 | 0.011609407 | 1.0068582 | 8.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.7407981E-5 | 1.9380519E-5 | 4.9379938E-5 | 2.5479162 | 3.0E-5 | 7.460351E-5 | 8.305697E-5 | 1.1305448E-4 | 1.3611679 | 3.0E-5 | 9.0791914E-4 | 0.0010107926 | 0.0010507521 | 1.0395329 | 4.0E-5 | 0.009042187 | 0.01006627 | 0.010135566 | 1.0068839 | 7.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.0484359E-5 | 1.1136626E-5 | 2.1136515E-5 | 1.897928 | 1.0E-5 | 4.4932196E-5 | 4.7727717E-5 | 5.772724E-5 | 1.2095119 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4691214E-4 | 5.809637E-4 | 5.909579E-4 | 1.0172027 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005455681 | 0.0057977596 | 0.0058275857 | 1.0051444 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.9704186E-6 | 4.42169E-6 | 1.4421646E-5 | 3.2615688 | 1.0E-5 | 2.130162E-5 | 1.8949968E-5 | 2.8949778E-5 | 1.5276954 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5931635E-4 | 2.3069252E-4 | 2.406902E-4 | 1.0433377 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0025901396 | 0.0023046366 | 0.0023345675 | 1.0129873 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.7746157E-6 | 4.201625E-6 | 1.4201582E-5 | 3.3800216 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0462478E-5 | 1.8006845E-5 | 2.8006665E-5 | 1.5553343 | 1.0E-5 | 2.491022E-4 | 2.1921235E-4 | 2.2921016E-4 | 1.0456079 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024882313 | 0.0021900667 | 0.002220001 | 1.0136682 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.387391E-6 | 3.7806383E-6 | 1.3780601E-5 | 3.645046 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8802968E-5 | 1.620264E-5 | 2.6202479E-5 | 1.6171733 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2890209E-4 | 1.9725035E-4 | 2.0724838E-4 | 1.050687 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022866647 | 0.0019708562 | 0.002000797 | 1.0151918 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.345927E-6 | 2.6842424E-6 | 2.6842424E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4339608E-5 | 1.1503848E-5 | 1.1503848E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7457074E-4 | 1.4005102E-4 | 1.4005102E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017443367 | 0.0013996928 | 0.0014196648 | 1.0142689 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.9217588E-6 | 2.279973E-6 | 2.279973E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2521764E-5 | 9.77128E-6 | 9.77128E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.524418E-4 | 1.1895947E-4 | 1.1895947E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015233727 | 0.0011890206 | 0.0012089969 | 1.0168005 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.041874E-6 | 1.5457774E-6 | 1.5457774E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.75086E-6 | 6.6247467E-6 | 6.6247467E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0653651E-4 | 8.065389E-5 | 8.065389E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010648544 | 8.063032E-4 | 8.26287E-4 | 1.0247846 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.791087E-7 | 4.1711982E-7 | 4.1711982E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9104626E-6 | 1.7876553E-6 | 1.7876553E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5434306E-5 | 2.1764508E-5 | 2.1764508E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5428657E-4 | 2.17626E-4 | 2.17626E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 8.9133664E-8 | 4.8276537E-8 | 4.8276537E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8200136E-7 | 2.0689943E-7 | 2.0689943E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6508567E-6 | 2.5189977E-6 | 2.5189977E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.650759E-5 | 2.5189702E-5 | 2.5189702E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.8591318E-9 | 2.6420124E-9 | 2.6420124E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0824851E-8 | 1.1322911E-8 | 1.1322911E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5354254E-7 | 1.3785643E-7 | 1.3785643E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5354225E-6 | 1.3785643E-6 | 1.3785643E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Red Mountain
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.7443602E-5 | 5.4448843E-5 | 9.444667E-5 | 1.7345946 | 4.0E-5 | 2.0331387E-4 | 2.3333229E-4 | 2.7332295E-4 | 1.1713893 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0024725364 | 0.0028372977 | 0.0028871559 | 1.0175724 | 5.0E-5 | 0.024452066 | 0.028030459 | 0.028147096 | 1.004161 | 1.2E-4 |
6.1 | 4.7443602E-5 | 5.4448843E-5 | 9.444667E-5 | 1.7345946 | 4.0E-5 | 2.0331387E-4 | 2.3333229E-4 | 2.7332295E-4 | 1.1713893 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0024725364 | 0.0028372977 | 0.0028871559 | 1.0175724 | 5.0E-5 | 0.024452066 | 0.028030459 | 0.028147096 | 1.004161 | 1.2E-4 |
6.2 | 4.7443602E-5 | 5.4448843E-5 | 9.444667E-5 | 1.7345946 | 4.0E-5 | 2.0331387E-4 | 2.3333229E-4 | 2.7332295E-4 | 1.1713893 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0024725364 | 0.0028372977 | 0.0028871559 | 1.0175724 | 5.0E-5 | 0.024452066 | 0.028030459 | 0.028147096 | 1.004161 | 1.2E-4 |
6.3 | 4.7443602E-5 | 5.4448843E-5 | 9.444667E-5 | 1.7345946 | 4.0E-5 | 2.0331387E-4 | 2.3333229E-4 | 2.7332295E-4 | 1.1713893 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0024725364 | 0.0028372977 | 0.0028871559 | 1.0175724 | 5.0E-5 | 0.024452066 | 0.028030459 | 0.028147096 | 1.004161 | 1.2E-4 |
6.4 | 4.7443602E-5 | 5.4448843E-5 | 9.444667E-5 | 1.7345946 | 4.0E-5 | 2.0331387E-4 | 2.3333229E-4 | 2.7332295E-4 | 1.1713893 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0024725364 | 0.0028372977 | 0.0028871559 | 1.0175724 | 5.0E-5 | 0.024452066 | 0.028030459 | 0.028147096 | 1.004161 | 1.2E-4 |
6.5 | 3.6278987E-5 | 4.0886225E-5 | 8.088459E-5 | 1.9782846 | 4.0E-5 | 1.5547211E-4 | 1.7521532E-4 | 2.152083E-4 | 1.2282505 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0018912294 | 0.0021312318 | 0.0021711467 | 1.0187285 | 4.0E-5 | 0.01875215 | 0.02111607 | 0.021194382 | 1.0037086 | 8.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.62529E-5 | 4.0855793E-5 | 8.085416E-5 | 1.9790133 | 4.0E-5 | 1.553603E-4 | 1.7508492E-4 | 2.1507792E-4 | 1.2284206 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0018898707 | 0.0021296474 | 0.0021695623 | 1.0187424 | 4.0E-5 | 0.018738791 | 0.021100527 | 0.021178838 | 1.0037113 | 8.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.2177904E-5 | 3.5965197E-5 | 6.5964115E-5 | 1.8341097 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3789801E-4 | 1.541278E-4 | 1.8412317E-4 | 1.1946137 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0016776153 | 0.0018749519 | 0.0019048956 | 1.0159705 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01665007 | 0.018598009 | 0.018666707 | 1.0036938 | 7.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.1786596E-5 | 3.5513764E-5 | 6.55127E-5 | 1.8447129 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3622116E-4 | 1.5219332E-4 | 1.8218874E-4 | 1.1970878 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0016572308 | 0.0018514397 | 0.0018813842 | 1.0161736 | 3.0E-5 | 0.016449263 | 0.018366799 | 0.018435512 | 1.0037413 | 7.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.6473506E-5 | 2.9196748E-5 | 5.9195874E-5 | 2.0274818 | 3.0E-5 | 1.1345295E-4 | 1.2512317E-4 | 1.5511941E-4 | 1.2397337 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0013804144 | 0.0015223554 | 0.0015523096 | 1.0196763 | 3.0E-5 | 0.013718709 | 0.015124066 | 0.015183158 | 1.0039072 | 6.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.4996663E-5 | 2.7469681E-5 | 5.7468857E-5 | 2.0920832 | 3.0E-5 | 1.0712416E-4 | 1.1772214E-4 | 1.4771862E-4 | 1.2548074 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0013034563 | 0.0014323692 | 0.0014623263 | 1.0209143 | 3.0E-5 | 0.012958372 | 0.014236035 | 0.014295181 | 1.0041547 | 6.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.2619372E-5 | 2.4657096E-5 | 5.4656357E-5 | 2.2166584 | 3.0E-5 | 9.6936565E-5 | 1.05669234E-4 | 1.3566607E-4 | 1.2838748 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011795636 | 0.0012858064 | 0.0013157679 | 1.0233017 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011733221 | 0.012788079 | 0.012827567 | 1.0030879 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.6455124E-5 | 1.7404338E-5 | 3.7403992E-5 | 2.149119 | 2.0E-5 | 7.052005E-5 | 7.45881E-5 | 9.4586605E-5 | 1.2681193 | 2.0E-5 | 8.582434E-4 | 9.077684E-4 | 9.277502E-4 | 1.022012 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008549363 | 0.009044264 | 0.009073993 | 1.0032871 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.4164417E-5 | 1.4774077E-5 | 3.477378E-5 | 2.3537025 | 2.0E-5 | 6.070323E-5 | 6.331614E-5 | 8.331487E-5 | 1.3158553 | 2.0E-5 | 7.388112E-4 | 7.7063724E-4 | 7.9062185E-4 | 1.0259326 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0073635974 | 0.0076832077 | 0.0077129775 | 1.0038747 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.045373E-6 | 6.383307E-6 | 6.383307E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0194105E-5 | 2.7356751E-5 | 2.7356751E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6755123E-4 | 3.3301883E-4 | 3.3301883E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003669439 | 0.0033253278 | 0.0033352945 | 1.0029973 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.4767605E-6 | 5.7745906E-6 | 5.7745906E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.775725E-5 | 2.4748017E-5 | 2.4748017E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3789212E-4 | 3.012667E-4 | 3.012667E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003373788 | 0.0030087098 | 0.0030186796 | 1.0033137 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 4.741415E-6 | 3.894817E-6 | 3.894817E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0320193E-5 | 1.6691969E-5 | 1.6691969E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4737025E-4 | 2.0320648E-4 | 2.0320648E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024709508 | 0.0020302755 | 0.0020302755 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.1222895E-6 | 1.4321888E-6 | 1.4321888E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0954945E-6 | 6.1379383E-6 | 6.1379383E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1073202E-4 | 7.472693E-5 | 7.472693E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011067686 | 7.470273E-4 | 7.470273E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.4988884E-7 | 1.6777926E-7 | 1.6777926E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0709517E-6 | 7.190538E-7 | 7.190538E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3038759E-5 | 8.754446E-6 | 8.754446E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3037994E-4 | 8.754111E-5 | 8.754111E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pinto Mtn
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.430625E-5 | 4.8606184E-5 | 7.8604724E-5 | 1.6171755 | 3.0E-5 | 1.898701E-4 | 2.0829645E-4 | 2.4828812E-4 | 1.191994 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0023092176 | 0.002533212 | 0.0026030347 | 1.0275629 | 7.0E-5 | 0.022853687 | 0.025059886 | 0.025176879 | 1.0046685 | 1.2E-4 |
6.1 | 4.430625E-5 | 4.8606184E-5 | 7.8604724E-5 | 1.6171755 | 3.0E-5 | 1.898701E-4 | 2.0829645E-4 | 2.4828812E-4 | 1.191994 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0023092176 | 0.002533212 | 0.0026030347 | 1.0275629 | 7.0E-5 | 0.022853687 | 0.025059886 | 0.025176879 | 1.0046685 | 1.2E-4 |
6.2 | 4.430625E-5 | 4.8606184E-5 | 7.8604724E-5 | 1.6171755 | 3.0E-5 | 1.898701E-4 | 2.0829645E-4 | 2.4828812E-4 | 1.191994 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0023092176 | 0.002533212 | 0.0026030347 | 1.0275629 | 7.0E-5 | 0.022853687 | 0.025059886 | 0.025176879 | 1.0046685 | 1.2E-4 |
6.3 | 4.430625E-5 | 4.8606184E-5 | 7.8604724E-5 | 1.6171755 | 3.0E-5 | 1.898701E-4 | 2.0829645E-4 | 2.4828812E-4 | 1.191994 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0023092176 | 0.002533212 | 0.0026030347 | 1.0275629 | 7.0E-5 | 0.022853687 | 0.025059886 | 0.025176879 | 1.0046685 | 1.2E-4 |
6.4 | 3.89426E-5 | 4.22358E-5 | 7.223453E-5 | 1.7102679 | 3.0E-5 | 1.6688618E-4 | 1.8099866E-4 | 2.2099141E-4 | 1.2209561 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0020299456 | 0.0022015453 | 0.0022713912 | 1.0317259 | 7.0E-5 | 0.020115025 | 0.021809585 | 0.021907406 | 1.0044851 | 1.0E-4 |
6.5 | 3.89426E-5 | 4.22358E-5 | 7.223453E-5 | 1.7102679 | 3.0E-5 | 1.6688618E-4 | 1.8099866E-4 | 2.2099141E-4 | 1.2209561 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0020299456 | 0.0022015453 | 0.0022713912 | 1.0317259 | 7.0E-5 | 0.020115025 | 0.021809585 | 0.021907406 | 1.0044851 | 1.0E-4 |
6.6 | 3.0631956E-5 | 3.242147E-5 | 5.2420823E-5 | 1.6168551 | 2.0E-5 | 1.312732E-4 | 1.3894199E-4 | 1.6893783E-4 | 1.2158874 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0015970794 | 0.0016903478 | 0.0017302802 | 1.0236238 | 4.0E-5 | 0.015856503 | 0.016779507 | 0.016828667 | 1.0029298 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.0181202E-5 | 3.1913565E-5 | 5.1912928E-5 | 1.6266727 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2934158E-4 | 1.3676548E-4 | 1.6676138E-4 | 1.2193236 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0015735963 | 0.0016638895 | 0.0017038229 | 1.024 | 4.0E-5 | 0.015625 | 0.016518878 | 0.016568054 | 1.0029769 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.4808322E-5 | 2.5701875E-5 | 3.5701618E-5 | 1.3890667 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0631705E-4 | 1.10146386E-4 | 1.3014418E-4 | 1.1815566 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012936414 | 0.0013402329 | 0.0013701927 | 1.0223541 | 3.0E-5 | 0.012861365 | 0.013324275 | 0.013363741 | 1.002962 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.342807E-5 | 2.415974E-5 | 3.4159497E-5 | 1.4139017 | 1.0E-5 | 1.00402154E-4 | 1.0353777E-4 | 1.235357E-4 | 1.1931462 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012217107 | 0.001259868 | 0.0012898303 | 1.023782 | 3.0E-5 | 0.012150159 | 0.012529888 | 0.0125693865 | 1.0031524 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.2082606E-5 | 2.2737373E-5 | 3.2737145E-5 | 1.4397945 | 1.0E-5 | 9.463631E-5 | 9.744238E-5 | 1.1744043E-4 | 1.2052295 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011515879 | 0.0011857396 | 0.001215704 | 1.0252707 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011456386 | 0.01179669 | 0.011836218 | 1.0033507 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.0891754E-5 | 2.148124E-5 | 3.1481028E-5 | 1.4655124 | 1.0E-5 | 8.953301E-5 | 9.205935E-5 | 1.1205751E-4 | 1.2172312 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010895192 | 0.0011202703 | 0.0011502367 | 1.0267493 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01084193 | 0.011148738 | 0.011188292 | 1.0035479 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.9114357E-5 | 1.9904472E-5 | 2.9904273E-5 | 1.5023897 | 1.0E-5 | 8.19161E-5 | 8.530223E-5 | 1.0530052E-4 | 1.2344404 | 2.0E-5 | 9.968722E-4 | 0.0010380837 | 0.0010680525 | 1.0288694 | 3.0E-5 | 0.009924121 | 0.010334802 | 0.010374389 | 1.0038304 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.2684815E-5 | 1.49524685E-5 | 2.4952318E-5 | 1.6687759 | 1.0E-5 | 5.436236E-5 | 6.408051E-5 | 7.4079864E-5 | 1.1560436 | 1.0E-5 | 6.6166074E-4 | 7.799143E-4 | 7.899065E-4 | 1.0128119 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0065969415 | 0.007773133 | 0.0077830553 | 1.0012765 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 8.738702E-6 | 1.18318585E-5 | 2.183174E-5 | 1.8451657 | 1.0E-5 | 3.745104E-5 | 5.0707036E-5 | 6.070653E-5 | 1.1972013 | 1.0E-5 | 4.55871E-4 | 6.171935E-4 | 6.271874E-4 | 1.0161923 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045493697 | 0.006155821 | 0.0061657596 | 1.0016145 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.496013E-6 | 9.057551E-6 | 1.9057461E-5 | 2.104041 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7839758E-5 | 3.8817547E-5 | 4.8817157E-5 | 1.2576054 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3889635E-4 | 4.7250968E-4 | 4.8250495E-4 | 1.0211536 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033838 | 0.004715897 | 0.0047258497 | 1.0021105 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.587783E-6 | 4.450023E-6 | 4.450023E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1090452E-5 | 1.9071402E-5 | 1.9071402E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3501788E-4 | 2.3217191E-4 | 2.3217191E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013493588 | 0.002319524 | 0.002319524 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 09 (Laguna Seca)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.245777E-5 | 6.699223E-5 | 1.0698955E-4 | 1.5970441 | 4.0E-5 | 2.2479963E-4 | 2.8707483E-4 | 3.2706335E-4 | 1.1392965 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0027335004 | 0.0034895996 | 0.0035493902 | 1.017134 | 6.0E-5 | 0.027001202 | 0.03435632 | 0.03446254 | 1.0030917 | 1.1E-4 |
6.1 | 4.3549062E-5 | 5.4752185E-5 | 8.475054E-5 | 1.5478934 | 3.0E-5 | 1.8662548E-4 | 2.3462962E-4 | 2.646226E-4 | 1.1278311 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0022697973 | 0.0028529067 | 0.0028927927 | 1.0139807 | 4.0E-5 | 0.022467531 | 0.028167168 | 0.028244914 | 1.0027602 | 8.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.741784E-5 | 3.287375E-5 | 4.287342E-5 | 1.3041841 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1749974E-4 | 1.4088025E-4 | 1.5087884E-4 | 1.0709723 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014296204 | 0.0017138529 | 0.0017338186 | 1.0116496 | 2.0E-5 | 0.014204582 | 0.01700543 | 0.017064411 | 1.0034683 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.2816139E-5 | 2.6771035E-5 | 3.6770765E-5 | 1.373528 | 1.0E-5 | 9.777979E-5 | 1.147282E-4 | 1.2472706E-4 | 1.0871525 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011898187 | 0.0013959116 | 0.0014158835 | 1.0143075 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011834684 | 0.013870842 | 0.013920148 | 1.0035547 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.8295765E-5 | 2.0776852E-5 | 2.0776852E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.840806E-5 | 8.904079E-5 | 8.904079E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.5420005E-4 | 0.001083536 | 0.0010935251 | 1.009219 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009501132 | 0.010782907 | 0.010812583 | 1.0027522 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.4199205E-5 | 1.5408248E-5 | 1.5408248E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0852315E-5 | 6.60338E-5 | 6.60338E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.406251E-4 | 8.036745E-4 | 8.036745E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0073816157 | 0.008008616 | 0.0080185365 | 1.0012387 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0400845E-5 | 1.050945E-5 | 1.050945E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4574288E-5 | 4.5039735E-5 | 4.5039735E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.425568E-4 | 5.482236E-4 | 5.482236E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0054123406 | 0.0054690004 | 0.0054690004 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 8.619926E-6 | 8.3842215E-6 | 8.3842215E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6942016E-5 | 3.5931895E-5 | 3.5931895E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4967624E-4 | 4.373847E-4 | 4.373847E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044876738 | 0.0043654144 | 0.0043654144 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 7.250376E-6 | 6.7958827E-6 | 6.7958827E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.107267E-5 | 2.9124894E-5 | 2.9124894E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.782441E-4 | 3.5453928E-4 | 3.5453928E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037760092 | 0.003539877 | 0.003539877 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 4.991332E-6 | 4.181446E-6 | 4.181446E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1391248E-5 | 1.7920363E-5 | 1.7920363E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.604073E-4 | 2.1815937E-4 | 2.1815937E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026010238 | 0.0021795304 | 0.0021795304 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.6915934E-6 | 1.5055595E-6 | 1.5055595E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.153535E-5 | 6.4523824E-6 | 6.4523824E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4043383E-4 | 7.855501E-5 | 7.855501E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014034511 | 7.8528083E-4 | 7.8528083E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.020716E-6 | 7.4459143E-7 | 7.4459143E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.660182E-6 | 3.1911022E-6 | 3.1911022E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0543262E-4 | 3.8851016E-5 | 3.8851016E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010538261 | 3.8844606E-4 | 3.8844606E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.020716E-6 | 7.4459143E-7 | 7.4459143E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.660182E-6 | 3.1911022E-6 | 3.1911022E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0543262E-4 | 3.8851016E-5 | 3.8851016E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010538261 | 3.8844606E-4 | 3.8844606E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.6312077E-6 | 6.251078E-7 | 6.251078E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9908715E-6 | 2.679031E-6 | 2.679031E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5110536E-5 | 3.261675E-5 | 3.261675E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5077947E-4 | 3.2612326E-4 | 3.2612326E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.3087774E-6 | 5.74679E-7 | 5.74679E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.609034E-6 | 2.4629078E-6 | 2.4629078E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.828785E-5 | 2.9985527E-5 | 2.9985527E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.826687E-4 | 2.998184E-4 | 2.998184E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3087774E-6 | 5.74679E-7 | 5.74679E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.609034E-6 | 2.4629078E-6 | 2.4629078E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.828785E-5 | 2.9985527E-5 | 2.9985527E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.826687E-4 | 2.998184E-4 | 2.998184E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Independence rev 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.8922966E-6 | 4.784848E-6 | 3.4784705E-5 | 7.269762 | 3.0E-5 | 2.0966818E-5 | 2.050635E-5 | 7.0505324E-5 | 3.438219 | 5.0E-5 | 2.552411E-4 | 2.4963988E-4 | 3.3961743E-4 | 1.3604293 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0025494813 | 0.0024939564 | 0.0026136572 | 1.0479963 | 1.2E-4 |
6.1 | 4.8922966E-6 | 4.784848E-6 | 3.4784705E-5 | 7.269762 | 3.0E-5 | 2.0966818E-5 | 2.050635E-5 | 7.0505324E-5 | 3.438219 | 5.0E-5 | 2.552411E-4 | 2.4963988E-4 | 3.3961743E-4 | 1.3604293 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0025494813 | 0.0024939564 | 0.0026136572 | 1.0479963 | 1.2E-4 |
6.2 | 4.8922966E-6 | 4.784848E-6 | 3.4784705E-5 | 7.269762 | 3.0E-5 | 2.0966818E-5 | 2.050635E-5 | 7.0505324E-5 | 3.438219 | 5.0E-5 | 2.552411E-4 | 2.4963988E-4 | 3.3961743E-4 | 1.3604293 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0025494813 | 0.0024939564 | 0.0026136572 | 1.0479963 | 1.2E-4 |
6.3 | 4.8922966E-6 | 4.784848E-6 | 3.4784705E-5 | 7.269762 | 3.0E-5 | 2.0966818E-5 | 2.050635E-5 | 7.0505324E-5 | 3.438219 | 5.0E-5 | 2.552411E-4 | 2.4963988E-4 | 3.3961743E-4 | 1.3604293 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0025494813 | 0.0024939564 | 0.0026136572 | 1.0479963 | 1.2E-4 |
6.4 | 4.8922966E-6 | 4.784848E-6 | 3.4784705E-5 | 7.269762 | 3.0E-5 | 2.0966818E-5 | 2.050635E-5 | 7.0505324E-5 | 3.438219 | 5.0E-5 | 2.552411E-4 | 2.4963988E-4 | 3.3961743E-4 | 1.3604293 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0025494813 | 0.0024939564 | 0.0026136572 | 1.0479963 | 1.2E-4 |
6.5 | 4.8922966E-6 | 4.784848E-6 | 3.4784705E-5 | 7.269762 | 3.0E-5 | 2.0966818E-5 | 2.050635E-5 | 7.0505324E-5 | 3.438219 | 5.0E-5 | 2.552411E-4 | 2.4963988E-4 | 3.3961743E-4 | 1.3604293 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0025494813 | 0.0024939564 | 0.0026136572 | 1.0479963 | 1.2E-4 |
6.6 | 2.919933E-6 | 2.7683998E-6 | 2.2768345E-5 | 8.22437 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2513939E-5 | 1.1864519E-5 | 5.1864045E-5 | 4.3713565 | 4.0E-5 | 1.5234655E-4 | 1.4444151E-4 | 2.2442995E-4 | 1.5537773 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0015224215 | 0.0014435318 | 0.0015433875 | 1.0691745 | 1.0E-4 |
6.7 | 2.919933E-6 | 2.7683998E-6 | 2.2768345E-5 | 8.22437 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2513939E-5 | 1.1864519E-5 | 5.1864045E-5 | 4.3713565 | 4.0E-5 | 1.5234655E-4 | 1.4444151E-4 | 2.2442995E-4 | 1.5537773 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0015224215 | 0.0014435318 | 0.0015433875 | 1.0691745 | 1.0E-4 |
6.8 | 2.1577478E-6 | 1.999019E-6 | 2.199898E-5 | 11.004887 | 2.0E-5 | 9.2474575E-6 | 8.567198E-6 | 4.8566857E-5 | 5.668931 | 4.0E-5 | 1.12581976E-4 | 1.04300794E-4 | 1.8429245E-4 | 1.7669324 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0011252495 | 0.0010425337 | 0.0011424294 | 1.0958202 | 1.0E-4 |
6.9 | 2.057896E-6 | 1.9033753E-6 | 2.1903337E-5 | 11.507629 | 2.0E-5 | 8.819525E-6 | 8.157298E-6 | 4.8156973E-5 | 5.9035444 | 4.0E-5 | 1.0737242E-4 | 9.931072E-5 | 1.7930278E-4 | 1.8054725 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0010732055 | 9.926776E-4 | 0.0010925784 | 1.1006377 | 1.0E-4 |
7.0 | 1.6461934E-6 | 1.5127682E-6 | 2.1512738E-5 | 14.220776 | 2.0E-5 | 7.0550955E-6 | 6.4832766E-6 | 4.648302E-5 | 7.1696796 | 4.0E-5 | 8.58924E-5 | 7.8931094E-5 | 1.5892478E-4 | 2.0134623 | 8.0E-5 | 8.585921E-4 | 7.8903686E-4 | 8.8895793E-4 | 1.1266367 | 1.0E-4 |
7.1 | 1.362663E-6 | 1.2436165E-6 | 2.1243592E-5 | 17.08211 | 2.0E-5 | 5.8399714E-6 | 5.329774E-6 | 4.532956E-5 | 8.504969 | 4.0E-5 | 7.109933E-5 | 6.48881E-5 | 1.4488291E-4 | 2.2328117 | 8.0E-5 | 7.107659E-4 | 6.4869516E-4 | 7.486303E-4 | 1.1540556 | 1.0E-4 |
7.2 | 1.1253321E-6 | 1.0168873E-6 | 2.1016867E-5 | 20.667845 | 2.0E-5 | 4.822843E-6 | 4.358081E-6 | 4.435791E-5 | 10.178311 | 4.0E-5 | 5.871653E-5 | 5.3058367E-5 | 1.3305413E-4 | 2.5076935 | 8.0E-5 | 5.870102E-4 | 5.304592E-4 | 6.304062E-4 | 1.1884159 | 1.0E-4 |
7.3 | 8.5480673E-7 | 7.738686E-7 | 2.0773854E-5 | 26.844162 | 2.0E-5 | 3.6634524E-6 | 3.3165754E-6 | 4.3316442E-5 | 13.060593 | 4.0E-5 | 4.460162E-5 | 4.037857E-5 | 1.2037534E-4 | 2.981169 | 8.0E-5 | 4.4592668E-4 | 4.0371364E-4 | 4.936773E-4 | 1.2228403 | 9.0E-5 |
7.4 | 5.6690715E-7 | 5.269553E-7 | 2.0526944E-5 | 38.953865 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4295998E-6 | 2.258378E-6 | 4.225829E-5 | 18.711788 | 4.0E-5 | 2.9579976E-5 | 2.7495409E-5 | 1.0749321E-4 | 3.9094965 | 8.0E-5 | 2.957604E-4 | 2.749206E-4 | 3.6489585E-4 | 1.3272773 | 9.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.9182288E-7 | 3.7284394E-7 | 2.0372836E-5 | 54.641724 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6792399E-6 | 1.5979017E-6 | 4.159784E-5 | 26.03279 | 4.0E-5 | 2.0444553E-5 | 1.945428E-5 | 8.945292E-5 | 4.5981097 | 7.0E-5 | 2.0442673E-4 | 1.94526E-4 | 2.7451044E-4 | 1.4111761 | 8.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.5212753E-7 | 2.4611043E-7 | 2.4611043E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0805461E-6 | 1.0547585E-6 | 1.0547585E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.315557E-5 | 1.2841611E-5 | 2.2841483E-5 | 1.7787085 | 1.0E-5 | 1.315479E-4 | 1.2840884E-4 | 1.4840627E-4 | 1.1557325 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 7.5795654E-8 | 7.640393E-8 | 7.640393E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2483848E-7 | 3.2744535E-7 | 3.2744535E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9549013E-6 | 3.9866404E-6 | 3.9866404E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9548308E-5 | 3.9865754E-5 | 4.9865354E-5 | 1.2508318 | 1.0E-5 |
San Jacinto (Clark) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.2198782E-5 | 1.813963E-5 | 7.813854E-5 | 4.307615 | 6.0E-5 | 1.8083939E-4 | 7.773899E-5 | 1.4773355E-4 | 1.9003792 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0021994961 | 9.460666E-4 | 0.0010359815 | 1.0950407 | 9.0E-5 | 0.021778533 | 0.009880234 | 0.009999048 | 1.0120255 | 1.2E-4 |
6.1 | 4.2198782E-5 | 1.813963E-5 | 7.813854E-5 | 4.307615 | 6.0E-5 | 1.8083939E-4 | 7.773899E-5 | 1.4773355E-4 | 1.9003792 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0021994961 | 9.460666E-4 | 0.0010359815 | 1.0950407 | 9.0E-5 | 0.021778533 | 0.009880234 | 0.009999048 | 1.0120255 | 1.2E-4 |
6.2 | 4.2198782E-5 | 1.813963E-5 | 7.813854E-5 | 4.307615 | 6.0E-5 | 1.8083939E-4 | 7.773899E-5 | 1.4773355E-4 | 1.9003792 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0021994961 | 9.460666E-4 | 0.0010359815 | 1.0950407 | 9.0E-5 | 0.021778533 | 0.009880234 | 0.009999048 | 1.0120255 | 1.2E-4 |
6.3 | 4.2198782E-5 | 1.813963E-5 | 7.813854E-5 | 4.307615 | 6.0E-5 | 1.8083939E-4 | 7.773899E-5 | 1.4773355E-4 | 1.9003792 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0021994961 | 9.460666E-4 | 0.0010359815 | 1.0950407 | 9.0E-5 | 0.021778533 | 0.009880234 | 0.009999048 | 1.0120255 | 1.2E-4 |
6.4 | 4.2198782E-5 | 1.813963E-5 | 7.813854E-5 | 4.307615 | 6.0E-5 | 1.8083939E-4 | 7.773899E-5 | 1.4773355E-4 | 1.9003792 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0021994961 | 9.460666E-4 | 0.0010359815 | 1.0950407 | 9.0E-5 | 0.021778533 | 0.009880234 | 0.009999048 | 1.0120255 | 1.2E-4 |
6.5 | 3.6015448E-5 | 1.5441854E-5 | 7.544093E-5 | 4.8854837 | 6.0E-5 | 1.5434278E-4 | 6.6177716E-5 | 1.3617308E-4 | 2.057688 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0018775037 | 8.054189E-4 | 8.953464E-4 | 1.1116531 | 9.0E-5 | 0.018617202 | 0.0084541235 | 0.008573109 | 1.0140742 | 1.2E-4 |
6.6 | 3.6015448E-5 | 1.5441854E-5 | 7.544093E-5 | 4.8854837 | 6.0E-5 | 1.5434278E-4 | 6.6177716E-5 | 1.3617308E-4 | 2.057688 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0018775037 | 8.054189E-4 | 8.953464E-4 | 1.1116531 | 9.0E-5 | 0.018617202 | 0.0084541235 | 0.008573109 | 1.0140742 | 1.2E-4 |
6.7 | 3.478088E-5 | 1.48013105E-5 | 7.4800424E-5 | 5.053635 | 6.0E-5 | 1.4905239E-4 | 6.3432664E-5 | 1.3342823E-4 | 2.1034625 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0018132022 | 7.720218E-4 | 8.619523E-4 | 1.116487 | 9.0E-5 | 0.017984789 | 0.008114403 | 0.008233429 | 1.0146685 | 1.2E-4 |
6.8 | 3.381009E-5 | 1.4513519E-5 | 7.4512645E-5 | 5.1340165 | 6.0E-5 | 1.4489234E-4 | 6.219933E-5 | 1.3219498E-4 | 2.125344 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0017626368 | 7.5701653E-4 | 8.469484E-4 | 1.1187978 | 9.0E-5 | 0.017487213 | 0.007960019 | 0.008079064 | 1.0149553 | 1.2E-4 |
6.9 | 3.3156077E-5 | 1.4388419E-5 | 7.438756E-5 | 5.16996 | 6.0E-5 | 1.4208973E-4 | 6.166321E-5 | 1.3165889E-4 | 2.1351287 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0017285697 | 7.504938E-4 | 8.4042625E-4 | 1.1198311 | 9.0E-5 | 0.017151857 | 0.007892877 | 0.00801193 | 1.0150836 | 1.2E-4 |
7.0 | 2.7951759E-5 | 1.2972825E-5 | 7.297205E-5 | 5.624993 | 6.0E-5 | 1.1978775E-4 | 5.5596647E-5 | 1.2559275E-4 | 2.2589986 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0014574401 | 6.766809E-4 | 7.6662E-4 | 1.1329122 | 9.0E-5 | 0.014479186 | 0.0071196347 | 0.0072387806 | 1.0167348 | 1.2E-4 |
7.1 | 2.5090781E-5 | 1.1645541E-5 | 7.164484E-5 | 6.1521263 | 6.0E-5 | 1.0752749E-4 | 4.9908518E-5 | 1.19905024E-4 | 2.402496 | 7.0E-5 | 0.001308361 | 6.074682E-4 | 6.974135E-4 | 1.1480659 | 9.0E-5 | 0.013006846 | 0.0063957716 | 0.006515004 | 1.0186424 | 1.2E-4 |
7.2 | 2.1777652E-5 | 1.0293678E-5 | 7.029306E-5 | 6.82876 | 6.0E-5 | 9.332946E-5 | 4.4115026E-5 | 1.14111936E-4 | 2.586691 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0011356937 | 5.36969E-4 | 6.2692066E-4 | 1.1675174 | 9.0E-5 | 0.011299073 | 0.0056633875 | 0.0057827076 | 1.0210687 | 1.2E-4 |
7.3 | 1.6553082E-5 | 9.914613E-6 | 6.9914015E-5 | 7.0516133 | 6.0E-5 | 7.093985E-5 | 4.2490512E-5 | 1.12487534E-4 | 2.6473567 | 7.0E-5 | 8.633504E-4 | 5.1720004E-4 | 6.071535E-4 | 1.1739239 | 9.0E-5 | 0.008600039 | 0.0054460764 | 0.005565423 | 1.0219142 | 1.2E-4 |
7.4 | 1.494711E-5 | 9.742777E-6 | 6.974219E-5 | 7.158348 | 6.0E-5 | 6.4057465E-5 | 4.1754098E-5 | 1.1175118E-4 | 2.676412 | 7.0E-5 | 7.796206E-4 | 5.082384E-4 | 5.981927E-4 | 1.1769923 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0077689113 | 0.0053494773 | 0.0054688356 | 1.022312 | 1.2E-4 |
7.5 | 1.2777293E-5 | 9.135581E-6 | 6.9135036E-5 | 7.5676665 | 6.0E-5 | 5.475868E-5 | 3.9151906E-5 | 1.09149165E-4 | 2.7878377 | 7.0E-5 | 6.6648296E-4 | 4.765709E-4 | 5.66528E-4 | 1.1887591 | 9.0E-5 | 0.006644876 | 0.005018311 | 0.0051377085 | 1.0237924 | 1.2E-4 |
7.6 | 1.0578197E-5 | 8.18336E-6 | 6.818287E-5 | 8.331892 | 6.0E-5 | 4.5334345E-5 | 3.5071072E-5 | 1.0506862E-4 | 2.995877 | 7.0E-5 | 5.5180583E-4 | 4.26907E-4 | 5.1686855E-4 | 1.2107288 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0055043767 | 0.0045068157 | 0.004626275 | 1.0265063 | 1.2E-4 |
7.7 | 8.971238E-6 | 7.2310363E-6 | 6.7230605E-5 | 9.297505 | 6.0E-5 | 3.8447593E-5 | 3.0989788E-5 | 1.0098762E-4 | 3.2587385 | 7.0E-5 | 4.679989E-4 | 3.7723553E-4 | 4.6720158E-4 | 1.2384877 | 9.0E-5 | 0.004670145 | 0.0040030433 | 0.004122563 | 1.0298572 | 1.2E-4 |
7.8 | 7.892928E-6 | 6.450035E-6 | 6.644965E-5 | 10.302215 | 6.0E-5 | 3.3826396E-5 | 2.7642716E-5 | 9.764078E-5 | 3.5322428 | 7.0E-5 | 4.1175855E-4 | 3.3649825E-4 | 4.2646794E-4 | 1.2673706 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0041099642 | 0.0035855616 | 0.0037051314 | 1.0333476 | 1.2E-4 |
7.9 | 6.496709E-6 | 5.44982E-6 | 6.5449494E-5 | 12.009478 | 6.0E-5 | 2.7842741E-5 | 2.3356164E-5 | 9.335453E-5 | 3.9969976 | 7.0E-5 | 3.3893264E-4 | 2.843243E-4 | 3.7429872E-4 | 1.3164499 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0033841617 | 0.0030513997 | 0.0031710335 | 1.0392063 | 1.2E-4 |
8.0 | 5.300985E-6 | 4.4759186E-6 | 6.447565E-5 | 14.40501 | 6.0E-5 | 2.2718308E-5 | 1.9182367E-5 | 8.918103E-5 | 4.6491146 | 7.0E-5 | 2.7656028E-4 | 2.335204E-4 | 3.2349938E-4 | 1.3853153 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0027621635 | 0.0025247487 | 0.0026444455 | 1.0474095 | 1.2E-4 |
8.1 | 2.7454237E-6 | 1.2677606E-6 | 1.1267748E-5 | 8.887915 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1766048E-5 | 5.4332486E-6 | 1.5433194E-5 | 2.8405097 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4324223E-4 | 6.6147804E-5 | 7.614714E-5 | 1.1511666 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014314993 | 7.537051E-4 | 7.7369006E-4 | 1.0265156 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 1.9637637E-6 | 5.796254E-7 | 5.796254E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.416104E-6 | 2.4841067E-6 | 2.4841067E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0246124E-4 | 3.0243584E-5 | 3.0243584E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010241402 | 3.6301214E-4 | 3.6301214E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.0515927E-6 | 2.7428558E-7 | 2.7428558E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.506818E-6 | 1.175509E-6 | 1.175509E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4869128E-5 | 1.4311732E-5 | 1.4311732E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.485558E-4 | 1.7438669E-4 | 1.7438669E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Big Pine (Central)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.106985E-5 | 1.242419E-5 | 2.2424067E-5 | 1.8048714 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7441354E-5 | 5.3245632E-5 | 9.32435E-5 | 1.7511953 | 4.0E-5 | 5.774454E-4 | 6.481063E-4 | 7.1806094E-4 | 1.107937 | 7.0E-5 | 0.005759472 | 0.00646724 | 0.006566593 | 1.0153625 | 1.0E-4 |
6.1 | 8.246768E-6 | 9.376905E-6 | 1.9376812E-5 | 2.0664399 | 1.0E-5 | 3.534281E-5 | 4.0186274E-5 | 6.018547E-5 | 1.4976624 | 2.0E-5 | 4.3021378E-4 | 4.891856E-4 | 5.3916115E-4 | 1.1021607 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0042938185 | 0.004885573 | 0.004965182 | 1.0162947 | 8.0E-5 |
6.2 | 7.4601694E-6 | 8.5267575E-6 | 1.8526673E-5 | 2.1727688 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1971762E-5 | 3.6542886E-5 | 5.6542154E-5 | 1.5472822 | 2.0E-5 | 3.891867E-4 | 4.4484573E-4 | 4.948235E-4 | 1.1123486 | 5.0E-5 | 0.003885058 | 0.0044439724 | 0.0045236167 | 1.0179219 | 8.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3674888E-6 | 3.03711E-6 | 1.303708E-5 | 4.2925935 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0146341E-5 | 1.3016123E-5 | 3.3015862E-5 | 2.5365357 | 2.0E-5 | 1.235247E-4 | 1.584602E-4 | 1.8845545E-4 | 1.189292 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0012345606 | 0.0015852925 | 0.001615245 | 1.018894 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.3493242E-6 | 3.0177143E-6 | 1.3017684E-5 | 4.313756 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0068494E-5 | 1.2933E-5 | 3.293274E-5 | 2.5464115 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2257701E-4 | 1.5744832E-4 | 1.874436E-4 | 1.1905087 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0012250942 | 0.0015751881 | 0.0016051409 | 1.0190153 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.3329653E-6 | 3.0002284E-6 | 1.3000198E-5 | 4.3330693 | 1.0E-5 | 9.9983845E-6 | 1.2858061E-5 | 3.2857803E-5 | 2.5554245 | 2.0E-5 | 1.21723526E-4 | 1.5653607E-4 | 1.8653137E-4 | 1.1916192 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0012165688 | 0.0015660785 | 0.0015960315 | 1.0191262 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.301073E-6 | 2.9662203E-6 | 1.296619E-5 | 4.3712835 | 1.0E-5 | 9.861704E-6 | 1.2712313E-5 | 3.2712058E-5 | 2.5732577 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2005962E-4 | 1.5476184E-4 | 1.847572E-4 | 1.1938162 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011999478 | 0.001548361 | 0.0015783146 | 1.0193453 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.259457E-6 | 2.9221194E-6 | 1.292209E-5 | 4.4221635 | 1.0E-5 | 9.683352E-6 | 1.2523311E-5 | 3.252306E-5 | 2.5970018 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1788843E-4 | 1.5246106E-4 | 1.8245648E-4 | 1.1967416 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001178259 | 0.001525385 | 0.0015553392 | 1.0196371 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.903419E-6 | 2.5574932E-6 | 2.5574932E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.157484E-6 | 1.0960641E-5 | 2.0960531E-5 | 1.9123454 | 1.0E-5 | 9.931285E-5 | 1.3343798E-4 | 1.534353E-4 | 1.1498624 | 2.0E-5 | 9.926847E-4 | 0.0013353922 | 0.0013553655 | 1.0149568 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.4274253E-6 | 2.0436519E-6 | 2.0436519E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.117523E-6 | 8.758479E-6 | 1.8758392E-5 | 2.1417406 | 1.0E-5 | 7.4478296E-5 | 1.0662948E-4 | 1.2662735E-4 | 1.1875454 | 2.0E-5 | 7.445334E-4 | 0.0010675833 | 0.0010875621 | 1.018714 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 9.454876E-7 | 1.4829438E-6 | 1.4829438E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0520836E-6 | 6.3554585E-6 | 1.6355394E-5 | 2.5734406 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9332997E-5 | 7.737505E-5 | 8.7374276E-5 | 1.1292306 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9322046E-4 | 7.752699E-4 | 7.8526215E-4 | 1.0128888 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.907416E-7 | 1.3136554E-6 | 1.3136554E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3888882E-6 | 5.62994E-6 | 1.5629883E-5 | 2.776208 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1258932E-5 | 6.8542446E-5 | 7.8541765E-5 | 1.145885 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1251272E-4 | 6.8700156E-4 | 6.9699466E-4 | 1.014546 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.7349388E-7 | 9.58094E-7 | 9.58094E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.029258E-6 | 4.106111E-6 | 4.106111E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4705936E-5 | 4.9990784E-5 | 4.9990784E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.470319E-4 | 5.015788E-4 | 5.015788E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 4.0317434E-7 | 8.8127035E-7 | 8.8127035E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.727889E-6 | 3.7768675E-6 | 3.7768675E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1036845E-5 | 4.598242E-5 | 4.598242E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1034853E-4 | 4.6151096E-4 | 4.6151096E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.5741223E-7 | 8.291059E-7 | 8.291059E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5317659E-6 | 3.5533062E-6 | 3.5533062E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8649089E-5 | 4.3260672E-5 | 4.3260672E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8647524E-4 | 4.342925E-4 | 4.342925E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 3.3163084E-7 | 7.97557E-7 | 7.97557E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4212742E-6 | 3.418097E-6 | 3.418097E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7303877E-5 | 4.1614567E-5 | 4.1614567E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7302528E-4 | 4.1781375E-4 | 4.1781375E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.0565946E-7 | 7.5903756E-7 | 7.5903756E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3099684E-6 | 3.2530143E-6 | 3.2530143E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5948748E-5 | 3.9604754E-5 | 3.9604754E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5947604E-4 | 3.9768955E-4 | 3.9768955E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.984531E-7 | 5.5028767E-7 | 5.5028767E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.50513E-7 | 2.3583739E-6 | 2.3583739E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0354946E-5 | 2.8712837E-5 | 2.8712837E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0354464E-4 | 2.8882085E-4 | 2.8882085E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.332281E-8 | 7.2842205E-8 | 7.2842205E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4281204E-7 | 3.1218084E-7 | 3.1218084E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7387351E-6 | 3.8007959E-6 | 3.8007959E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7387216E-5 | 3.8316204E-5 | 3.8316204E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.4303527E-9 | 6.8155543E-9 | 6.8155543E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7558654E-8 | 2.9209518E-8 | 2.9209518E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3552655E-7 | 3.5562584E-7 | 3.5562584E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3552606E-6 | 3.6305744E-6 | 3.6305744E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Susana alt 2
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.393802E-5 | 8.6858025E-5 | 9.685716E-5 | 1.1151204 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1683876E-4 | 3.7220077E-4 | 4.1218588E-4 | 1.1074289 | 4.0E-5 | 0.00385069 | 0.004522497 | 0.0046021347 | 1.0176094 | 8.0E-5 | 0.037846453 | 0.044346236 | 0.04445136 | 1.0023705 | 1.1E-4 |
6.1 | 7.393802E-5 | 8.6858025E-5 | 9.685716E-5 | 1.1151204 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1683876E-4 | 3.7220077E-4 | 4.1218588E-4 | 1.1074289 | 4.0E-5 | 0.00385069 | 0.004522497 | 0.0046021347 | 1.0176094 | 8.0E-5 | 0.037846453 | 0.044346236 | 0.04445136 | 1.0023705 | 1.1E-4 |
6.2 | 7.393802E-5 | 8.6858025E-5 | 9.685716E-5 | 1.1151204 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1683876E-4 | 3.7220077E-4 | 4.1218588E-4 | 1.1074289 | 4.0E-5 | 0.00385069 | 0.004522497 | 0.0046021347 | 1.0176094 | 8.0E-5 | 0.037846453 | 0.044346236 | 0.04445136 | 1.0023705 | 1.1E-4 |
6.3 | 5.9940696E-5 | 6.693315E-5 | 7.693248E-5 | 1.1493928 | 1.0E-5 | 2.568634E-4 | 2.868274E-4 | 3.268159E-4 | 1.1394167 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0031228275 | 0.0034866084 | 0.0035563642 | 1.0200068 | 7.0E-5 | 0.030793067 | 0.034332197 | 0.03441911 | 1.0025314 | 9.0E-5 |
6.4 | 5.9940696E-5 | 6.693315E-5 | 7.693248E-5 | 1.1493928 | 1.0E-5 | 2.568634E-4 | 2.868274E-4 | 3.268159E-4 | 1.1394167 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0031228275 | 0.0034866084 | 0.0035563642 | 1.0200068 | 7.0E-5 | 0.030793067 | 0.034332197 | 0.03441911 | 1.0025314 | 9.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.7483547E-5 | 4.9138824E-5 | 5.9138332E-5 | 1.203495 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0348503E-4 | 2.1057893E-4 | 2.505705E-4 | 1.1899126 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0024746156 | 0.0025607673 | 0.002630588 | 1.0272655 | 7.0E-5 | 0.024472399 | 0.025315512 | 0.025403233 | 1.0034652 | 9.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.977197E-5 | 3.7952817E-5 | 4.795244E-5 | 1.2634751 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7044017E-4 | 1.626452E-4 | 2.026387E-4 | 1.2458941 | 4.0E-5 | 0.002073134 | 0.0019784453 | 0.0020483069 | 1.0353113 | 7.0E-5 | 0.020539 | 0.019616334 | 0.01970457 | 1.004498 | 9.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.797187E-5 | 3.5638386E-5 | 4.563803E-5 | 1.2805864 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6272643E-4 | 1.527274E-4 | 1.9272129E-4 | 1.2618645 | 4.0E-5 | 0.001979394 | 0.0018579277 | 0.0019277976 | 1.0376064 | 7.0E-5 | 0.019618558 | 0.01843367 | 0.01852201 | 1.0047923 | 9.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.6628822E-5 | 3.3931967E-5 | 4.3931628E-5 | 1.2946974 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5697122E-4 | 1.4541499E-4 | 1.8540918E-4 | 1.2750348 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0019094493 | 0.0017690486 | 0.0018389248 | 1.0394993 | 7.0E-5 | 0.018931257 | 0.017559433 | 0.017647853 | 1.0050354 | 9.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.7767037E-5 | 2.3815483E-5 | 3.3815246E-5 | 1.4198849 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1899616E-4 | 1.0206245E-4 | 1.4205836E-4 | 1.3918769 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0014478153 | 0.0012419164 | 0.0013118294 | 1.0562946 | 7.0E-5 | 0.01438419 | 0.012354306 | 0.012423441 | 1.005596 | 7.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.3095336E-5 | 2.0975896E-5 | 3.0975687E-5 | 1.4767277 | 1.0E-5 | 9.8976256E-5 | 8.989367E-5 | 1.2989008E-4 | 1.4449302 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0012043697 | 0.0010939179 | 0.0011638413 | 1.0639201 | 7.0E-5 | 0.011978633 | 0.01088954 | 0.010958778 | 1.0063581 | 7.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.9867008E-5 | 1.8224864E-5 | 2.822468E-5 | 1.5486909 | 1.0E-5 | 8.514154E-5 | 7.810427E-5 | 1.1810115E-4 | 1.5120959 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0010361052 | 9.5051347E-4 | 0.0010104565 | 1.0630637 | 6.0E-5 | 0.010312878 | 0.009467143 | 0.009526574 | 1.0062777 | 6.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.8344595E-5 | 1.6735406E-5 | 2.6735239E-5 | 1.5975256 | 1.0E-5 | 7.8617326E-5 | 7.1721246E-5 | 1.1171838E-4 | 1.5576748 | 4.0E-5 | 9.567456E-4 | 8.7286474E-4 | 9.228211E-4 | 1.0572326 | 5.0E-5 | 0.009526369 | 0.008696945 | 0.00874651 | 1.0056992 | 5.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.4961493E-5 | 1.3470423E-5 | 1.3470423E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.411911E-5 | 5.7729143E-5 | 7.7727986E-5 | 1.3464254 | 2.0E-5 | 7.8037055E-4 | 7.026319E-4 | 7.326108E-4 | 1.0426666 | 3.0E-5 | 0.007776358 | 0.0070062396 | 0.0070360294 | 1.004252 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.190762E-5 | 1.0377231E-5 | 1.0377231E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.103166E-5 | 4.44731E-5 | 5.4472657E-5 | 1.224845 | 1.0E-5 | 6.211333E-4 | 5.413276E-4 | 5.613168E-4 | 1.0369262 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0061940006 | 0.0054015126 | 0.0054214047 | 1.0036826 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.989319E-6 | 6.182626E-6 | 6.182626E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.995388E-5 | 2.6496702E-5 | 3.6496436E-5 | 1.3773955 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6462746E-4 | 3.225501E-4 | 3.325469E-4 | 1.030993 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036402976 | 0.0032209205 | 0.0032308882 | 1.0030947 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.729969E-6 | 3.1133743E-6 | 3.1133743E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5985484E-5 | 1.3342965E-5 | 1.3342965E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9460588E-4 | 1.6243858E-4 | 1.6243858E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019443556 | 0.0016232082 | 0.0016232082 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.1200456E-6 | 1.6198106E-6 | 1.6198106E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.085878E-6 | 6.942027E-6 | 6.942027E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1061495E-4 | 8.4515974E-5 | 8.4515974E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011055991 | 8.448451E-4 | 8.448451E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 7.7581154E-7 | 4.1833852E-7 | 4.1833852E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3249023E-6 | 1.792878E-6 | 1.792878E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0479936E-5 | 2.1828075E-5 | 2.1828075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.047256E-4 | 2.1825949E-4 | 2.1825949E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 4.853026E-7 | 2.6067875E-7 | 2.6067875E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0798666E-6 | 1.1171941E-6 | 1.1171941E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5322082E-5 | 1.3601755E-5 | 1.3601755E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5319197E-4 | 1.3600937E-4 | 1.3600937E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Lytle Creek connector)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.7026162E-6 | 6.357115E-6 | 3.6356923E-5 | 5.719092 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8725182E-5 | 2.7244494E-5 | 6.72434E-5 | 2.4681466 | 4.0E-5 | 3.4967298E-4 | 3.316513E-4 | 4.116248E-4 | 1.2411371 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0034912326 | 0.0033903057 | 0.0034999328 | 1.0323354 | 1.1E-4 |
6.1 | 6.7026162E-6 | 6.357115E-6 | 3.6356923E-5 | 5.719092 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8725182E-5 | 2.7244494E-5 | 6.72434E-5 | 2.4681466 | 4.0E-5 | 3.4967298E-4 | 3.316513E-4 | 4.116248E-4 | 1.2411371 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0034912326 | 0.0033903057 | 0.0034999328 | 1.0323354 | 1.1E-4 |
6.2 | 6.7026162E-6 | 6.357115E-6 | 3.6356923E-5 | 5.719092 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8725182E-5 | 2.7244494E-5 | 6.72434E-5 | 2.4681466 | 4.0E-5 | 3.4967298E-4 | 3.316513E-4 | 4.116248E-4 | 1.2411371 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0034912326 | 0.0033903057 | 0.0034999328 | 1.0323354 | 1.1E-4 |
6.3 | 6.7026162E-6 | 6.357115E-6 | 3.6356923E-5 | 5.719092 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8725182E-5 | 2.7244494E-5 | 6.72434E-5 | 2.4681466 | 4.0E-5 | 3.4967298E-4 | 3.316513E-4 | 4.116248E-4 | 1.2411371 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0034912326 | 0.0033903057 | 0.0034999328 | 1.0323354 | 1.1E-4 |
6.4 | 6.7026162E-6 | 6.357115E-6 | 3.6356923E-5 | 5.719092 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8725182E-5 | 2.7244494E-5 | 6.72434E-5 | 2.4681466 | 4.0E-5 | 3.4967298E-4 | 3.316513E-4 | 4.116248E-4 | 1.2411371 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0034912326 | 0.0033903057 | 0.0034999328 | 1.0323354 | 1.1E-4 |
6.5 | 6.680755E-6 | 6.3341113E-6 | 3.633392E-5 | 5.7362304 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8631493E-5 | 2.7145908E-5 | 6.714482E-5 | 2.4734786 | 4.0E-5 | 3.485327E-4 | 3.304514E-4 | 4.1042495E-4 | 1.2420131 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0034798654 | 0.003378343 | 0.0034879716 | 1.0324503 | 1.1E-4 |
6.6 | 6.680755E-6 | 6.3341113E-6 | 3.633392E-5 | 5.7362304 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8631493E-5 | 2.7145908E-5 | 6.714482E-5 | 2.4734786 | 4.0E-5 | 3.485327E-4 | 3.304514E-4 | 4.1042495E-4 | 1.2420131 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0034798654 | 0.003378343 | 0.0034879716 | 1.0324503 | 1.1E-4 |
6.7 | 6.56284E-6 | 6.208969E-6 | 3.620878E-5 | 5.83169 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8126155E-5 | 2.6609596E-5 | 6.660853E-5 | 2.5031772 | 4.0E-5 | 3.4238212E-4 | 3.2392374E-4 | 4.0389784E-4 | 1.2468917 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0034185508 | 0.0033132618 | 0.0034228973 | 1.0330899 | 1.1E-4 |
6.8 | 6.558111E-6 | 6.2031677E-6 | 3.6202982E-5 | 5.836209 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8105887E-5 | 2.6584734E-5 | 6.658367E-5 | 2.504583 | 4.0E-5 | 3.4213543E-4 | 3.2362112E-4 | 4.0359524E-4 | 1.2471226 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0034160917 | 0.0033102448 | 0.0034198805 | 1.0331202 | 1.1E-4 |
6.9 | 6.5531212E-6 | 6.1954293E-6 | 3.6195244E-5 | 5.84225 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8084503E-5 | 2.6551568E-5 | 6.655051E-5 | 2.5064623 | 4.0E-5 | 3.418752E-4 | 3.2321748E-4 | 4.031916E-4 | 1.2474314 | 8.0E-5 | 0.003413497 | 0.0033062203 | 0.0034158565 | 1.0331606 | 1.1E-4 |
7.0 | 6.548219E-6 | 6.186576E-6 | 3.618639E-5 | 5.8491793 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8063494E-5 | 2.6513626E-5 | 6.651256E-5 | 2.508618 | 4.0E-5 | 3.4161948E-4 | 3.2275566E-4 | 4.0272984E-4 | 1.2477856 | 8.0E-5 | 0.003410948 | 0.0033016158 | 0.0034112528 | 1.033207 | 1.1E-4 |
7.1 | 6.5395907E-6 | 6.1730416E-6 | 3.6172856E-5 | 5.859811 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8026518E-5 | 2.6455626E-5 | 6.6454566E-5 | 2.5119257 | 4.0E-5 | 3.4116942E-4 | 3.220497E-4 | 4.0202393E-4 | 1.2483289 | 8.0E-5 | 0.003406461 | 0.003294578 | 0.0034042157 | 1.0332782 | 1.1E-4 |
7.2 | 6.527415E-6 | 6.1532314E-6 | 3.6153047E-5 | 5.875457 | 3.0E-5 | 2.7974334E-5 | 2.6370726E-5 | 6.636967E-5 | 2.5167935 | 4.0E-5 | 3.405343E-4 | 3.2101636E-4 | 4.0099068E-4 | 1.2491285 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0034001293 | 0.0032842811 | 0.00339392 | 1.0333829 | 1.1E-4 |
7.3 | 6.515857E-6 | 6.1326823E-6 | 3.61325E-5 | 5.8917933 | 3.0E-5 | 2.7924803E-5 | 2.628266E-5 | 6.628161E-5 | 2.5218759 | 4.0E-5 | 3.3993143E-4 | 3.1994446E-4 | 3.9991888E-4 | 1.2499634 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0033941192 | 0.0032736014 | 0.0033832414 | 1.0334921 | 1.1E-4 |
7.4 | 6.5025133E-6 | 6.1104006E-6 | 3.6110217E-5 | 5.9096317 | 3.0E-5 | 2.7867618E-5 | 2.6187168E-5 | 6.618612E-5 | 2.5274255 | 4.0E-5 | 3.392354E-4 | 3.187822E-4 | 3.987567E-4 | 1.250875 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0033871802 | 0.003262036 | 0.0033716771 | 1.0336113 | 1.1E-4 |
7.5 | 6.4861483E-6 | 6.0862794E-6 | 3.6086098E-5 | 5.92909 | 3.0E-5 | 2.7797483E-5 | 2.6083793E-5 | 6.608275E-5 | 2.5334792 | 4.0E-5 | 3.383818E-4 | 3.1752398E-4 | 3.9749857E-4 | 1.2518694 | 8.0E-5 | 0.00337867 | 0.0032495002 | 0.0033591427 | 1.0337414 | 1.1E-4 |
7.6 | 6.460195E-6 | 6.0549696E-6 | 3.605479E-5 | 5.954578 | 3.0E-5 | 2.7686256E-5 | 2.5949612E-5 | 6.5948574E-5 | 2.5414088 | 4.0E-5 | 3.3702803E-4 | 3.158908E-4 | 3.9586553E-4 | 1.253172 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0033651735 | 0.0032332106 | 0.003342855 | 1.033912 | 1.1E-4 |
7.7 | 6.1986834E-6 | 5.8885303E-6 | 3.588835E-5 | 6.0946198 | 3.0E-5 | 2.6565514E-5 | 2.5236313E-5 | 6.5235305E-5 | 2.5849776 | 4.0E-5 | 3.2338715E-4 | 3.0720886E-4 | 3.871843E-4 | 1.2603291 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0032291694 | 0.0031462382 | 0.003255892 | 1.0348524 | 1.1E-4 |
7.8 | 5.458971E-6 | 5.41977E-6 | 3.5419605E-5 | 6.5352607 | 3.0E-5 | 2.339538E-5 | 2.3227378E-5 | 6.322645E-5 | 2.7220657 | 4.0E-5 | 2.8480153E-4 | 2.8275666E-4 | 3.6273405E-4 | 1.2828487 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0028443679 | 0.0029004018 | 0.0030100828 | 1.0378158 | 1.1E-4 |
7.9 | 3.901783E-6 | 3.8650514E-6 | 3.3864937E-5 | 8.761833 | 3.0E-5 | 1.672182E-5 | 1.65644E-5 | 5.656374E-5 | 3.4147773 | 4.0E-5 | 2.0356914E-4 | 2.0165295E-4 | 2.816368E-4 | 1.3966413 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0020338276 | 0.0020816752 | 0.0021914463 | 1.0527321 | 1.1E-4 |
8.0 | 2.5058332E-6 | 2.3194893E-6 | 2.2319444E-5 | 9.622567 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0739242E-5 | 9.940631E-6 | 3.9940332E-5 | 4.017887 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3074242E-4 | 1.2102048E-4 | 1.91012E-4 | 1.5783445 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0013066552 | 0.0012627435 | 0.0013626172 | 1.0790926 | 1.0E-4 |
8.1 | 1.5041571E-6 | 1.1144249E-6 | 1.1114414E-5 | 9.9732275 | 1.0E-5 | 6.4463716E-6 | 4.776098E-6 | 1.477605E-5 | 3.0937493 | 1.0E-5 | 7.8481746E-5 | 5.814746E-5 | 9.814513E-5 | 1.6878662 | 4.0E-5 | 7.845404E-4 | 6.1312696E-4 | 6.7309017E-4 | 1.0977991 | 6.0E-5 |
8.2 | 5.6128084E-7 | 1.9093181E-7 | 1.9093181E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.405487E-6 | 8.182789E-7 | 8.182789E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9286412E-5 | 9.9625E-6 | 9.9625E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.928255E-4 | 1.12397836E-4 | 1.12397836E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.773209E-7 | 4.5541103E-8 | 4.5541103E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.599465E-7 | 1.9517614E-7 | 1.9517614E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.25231E-6 | 2.376267E-6 | 2.376267E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.251924E-5 | 2.7558935E-5 | 2.7558935E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Ortigalita (North)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.1270606E-5 | 1.11392445E-4 | 1.3139022E-4 | 1.1795254 | 2.0E-5 | 3.482561E-4 | 4.7731935E-4 | 4.973098E-4 | 1.0418807 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004231777 | 0.0057972013 | 0.0058469116 | 1.0085748 | 5.0E-5 | 0.041520942 | 0.056605317 | 0.056690224 | 1.0015 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.6570323E-5 | 6.0812694E-5 | 7.0812086E-5 | 1.1644293 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9957183E-4 | 2.6060097E-4 | 2.7059834E-4 | 1.0383629 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024270795 | 0.0031684353 | 0.003188372 | 1.0062922 | 2.0E-5 | 0.024007421 | 0.031258054 | 0.031306494 | 1.0015496 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.6570323E-5 | 6.0812694E-5 | 7.0812086E-5 | 1.1644293 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9957183E-4 | 2.6060097E-4 | 2.7059834E-4 | 1.0383629 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024270795 | 0.0031684353 | 0.003188372 | 1.0062922 | 2.0E-5 | 0.024007421 | 0.031258054 | 0.031306494 | 1.0015496 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.3139735E-5 | 4.2153628E-5 | 5.2153206E-5 | 1.2372175 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4201971E-4 | 1.8064668E-4 | 1.9064487E-4 | 1.0553467 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017277185 | 0.0021973245 | 0.0022172804 | 1.009082 | 2.0E-5 | 0.017143477 | 0.021772796 | 0.021811925 | 1.0017972 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.6658954E-5 | 3.344086E-5 | 4.344053E-5 | 1.2990253 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1424766E-4 | 1.4331094E-4 | 1.533095E-4 | 1.0697683 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013900776 | 0.0017435597 | 0.0017535422 | 1.0057254 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013814144 | 0.017312918 | 0.017332572 | 1.0011352 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.6634178E-5 | 3.341129E-5 | 4.3410953E-5 | 1.2992901 | 1.0E-5 | 1.14141476E-4 | 1.4318421E-4 | 1.5318277E-4 | 1.0698301 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013887866 | 0.0017420191 | 0.0017520017 | 1.0057305 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013801393 | 0.017297752 | 0.017317407 | 1.0011362 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.1948426E-5 | 2.723416E-5 | 3.7233887E-5 | 1.3671759 | 1.0E-5 | 9.4061295E-5 | 1.1671343E-4 | 1.2671226E-4 | 1.08567 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011445946 | 0.0014202025 | 0.0014301883 | 1.0070312 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011387171 | 0.014125288 | 0.0141450055 | 1.001396 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.9332554E-5 | 2.405822E-5 | 3.405798E-5 | 1.4156483 | 1.0E-5 | 8.285117E-5 | 1.03103426E-4 | 1.131024E-4 | 1.09698 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010082462 | 0.0012547075 | 0.001264695 | 1.00796 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010036839 | 0.012490511 | 0.012510261 | 1.0015812 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.434632E-6 | 9.999189E-6 | 9.999189E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.614792E-5 | 4.2852993E-5 | 4.2852993E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4001208E-4 | 5.216151E-4 | 5.216151E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0043914183 | 0.005204392 | 0.00521434 | 1.0019114 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.2304742E-6 | 8.560299E-6 | 8.560299E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.098738E-5 | 3.6686502E-5 | 3.6686502E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7720602E-4 | 4.4657092E-4 | 4.4657092E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037656638 | 0.004457165 | 0.0044671204 | 1.0022336 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.9774862E-6 | 5.899878E-6 | 5.899878E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.133191E-5 | 2.5284968E-5 | 2.5284968E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5968504E-4 | 3.0780444E-4 | 3.0780444E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002593818 | 0.0030741233 | 0.0030741233 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.9991749E-6 | 2.3752953E-6 | 2.3752953E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.567864E-6 | 1.0179807E-5 | 1.0179807E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0430875E-4 | 1.2393385E-4 | 1.2393385E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001042598 | 0.001238819 | 0.001238819 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Oceanic - West Huasna
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.9250989E-5 | 2.5717425E-5 | 6.57164E-5 | 2.5553257 | 4.0E-5 | 1.2535535E-4 | 1.10213085E-4 | 1.5020868E-4 | 1.3628933 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0015251329 | 0.001341055 | 0.0014209477 | 1.0595745 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0151470825 | 0.013333477 | 0.013422278 | 1.00666 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.0967032E-5 | 1.7698989E-5 | 5.7698282E-5 | 3.2599761 | 4.0E-5 | 8.985562E-5 | 7.5850665E-5 | 1.1584764E-4 | 1.527312 | 4.0E-5 | 0.001093443 | 9.231016E-4 | 9.93037E-4 | 1.0757613 | 7.0E-5 | 0.010880784 | 0.009193841 | 0.009273105 | 1.0086215 | 8.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6133132E-5 | 1.3463887E-5 | 5.3463347E-5 | 3.9708703 | 4.0E-5 | 6.9140166E-5 | 5.7701116E-5 | 9.769881E-5 | 1.6931875 | 4.0E-5 | 8.4145635E-4 | 7.022878E-4 | 7.622457E-4 | 1.0853751 | 6.0E-5 | 0.008382773 | 0.007001042 | 0.007070552 | 1.0099285 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3495679E-5 | 1.1217255E-5 | 4.1216917E-5 | 3.674421 | 3.0E-5 | 5.7837344E-5 | 4.807307E-5 | 7.807163E-5 | 1.62402 | 3.0E-5 | 7.0394215E-4 | 5.851336E-4 | 6.251102E-4 | 1.0683205 | 4.0E-5 | 0.007017164 | 0.00583607 | 0.0058857785 | 1.0085174 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.208063E-5 | 1.0030961E-5 | 4.003066E-5 | 3.9907103 | 3.0E-5 | 5.1773102E-5 | 4.298913E-5 | 7.298784E-5 | 1.6978209 | 3.0E-5 | 6.301552E-4 | 5.2326755E-4 | 5.532519E-4 | 1.057302 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0062837126 | 0.005220438 | 0.005260229 | 1.0076222 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.1213714E-5 | 9.323882E-6 | 3.9323604E-5 | 4.2175136 | 3.0E-5 | 4.805789E-5 | 3.9958886E-5 | 6.995769E-5 | 1.7507416 | 3.0E-5 | 5.849477E-4 | 4.863914E-4 | 5.163768E-4 | 1.0616487 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005834104 | 0.0048533394 | 0.0048931455 | 1.0082017 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.567589E-6 | 7.966568E-6 | 3.796633E-5 | 4.765707 | 3.0E-5 | 4.1003306E-5 | 3.4141987E-5 | 6.4140964E-5 | 1.8786534 | 3.0E-5 | 4.991009E-4 | 4.155997E-4 | 4.4558724E-4 | 1.0721549 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0049798144 | 0.004148266 | 0.0041881 | 1.0096025 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.453213E-6 | 7.037739E-6 | 3.7037527E-5 | 5.2627025 | 3.0E-5 | 3.6227553E-5 | 3.0161393E-5 | 6.0160488E-5 | 1.994619 | 3.0E-5 | 4.409812E-4 | 3.6715326E-4 | 3.9714226E-4 | 1.0816797 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0044010715 | 0.003665496 | 0.0037053493 | 1.0108726 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 7.136067E-6 | 5.966059E-6 | 3.596588E-5 | 6.028415 | 3.0E-5 | 3.0582785E-5 | 2.5568574E-5 | 5.5567805E-5 | 2.1732855 | 3.0E-5 | 3.722818E-4 | 3.1125304E-4 | 3.4124372E-4 | 1.0963546 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0037165873 | 0.0031081927 | 0.0031480684 | 1.0128292 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.0027714E-6 | 5.0089534E-6 | 3.5008805E-5 | 6.989245 | 3.0E-5 | 2.5725909E-5 | 2.1466767E-5 | 5.1466122E-5 | 2.397479 | 3.0E-5 | 3.1316793E-4 | 2.6132664E-4 | 2.913188E-4 | 1.1147689 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0031272697 | 0.0026102092 | 0.0026401307 | 1.0114633 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.0287063E-6 | 4.186575E-6 | 2.4186491E-5 | 5.777155 | 2.0E-5 | 2.1551421E-5 | 1.794234E-5 | 3.7941983E-5 | 2.1146617 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6235695E-4 | 2.1842617E-4 | 2.384218E-4 | 1.0915442 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0026204742 | 0.0021821274 | 0.0022020838 | 1.0091454 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.116017E-6 | 3.4455265E-6 | 1.3445492E-5 | 3.9023042 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7639954E-5 | 1.4766459E-5 | 2.476631E-5 | 1.6772004 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1474526E-4 | 1.7976685E-4 | 1.8976507E-4 | 1.0556176 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021453786 | 0.0017962254 | 0.0018062075 | 1.0055572 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.8786815E-6 | 2.4774135E-6 | 1.2477389E-5 | 5.0364575 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2337147E-5 | 1.0617444E-5 | 2.0617337E-5 | 1.9418364 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5019442E-4 | 1.2925972E-4 | 1.3925842E-4 | 1.0773536 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015009295 | 0.0012918512 | 0.0013018382 | 1.0077308 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.2536303E-6 | 1.9505503E-6 | 1.1950531E-5 | 6.1267486 | 1.0E-5 | 9.658381E-6 | 8.359474E-6 | 1.8359391E-5 | 2.1962376 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1758444E-4 | 1.0177185E-4 | 1.1177083E-4 | 1.098249 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011752223 | 0.0010172577 | 0.0010272475 | 1.0098203 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.8872217E-6 | 1.6210353E-6 | 1.1621019E-5 | 7.168887 | 1.0E-5 | 8.088068E-6 | 6.9472753E-6 | 1.6947206E-5 | 2.4394033 | 1.0E-5 | 9.846778E-5 | 8.45798E-5 | 9.457895E-5 | 1.1182215 | 1.0E-5 | 9.842416E-4 | 8.4548123E-4 | 8.5547275E-4 | 1.0118176 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.4985206E-6 | 1.2557466E-6 | 1.1255734E-5 | 8.96338 | 1.0E-5 | 6.4222154E-6 | 5.38176E-6 | 1.5381705E-5 | 2.8581183 | 1.0E-5 | 7.8187666E-5 | 6.552096E-5 | 7.552031E-5 | 1.1526129 | 1.0E-5 | 7.8160164E-4 | 6.5502146E-4 | 6.650149E-4 | 1.0152566 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.06243E-6 | 8.429902E-7 | 8.429902E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.553264E-6 | 3.61281E-6 | 3.61281E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5434575E-5 | 4.3985074E-5 | 4.3985074E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.542075E-4 | 4.3976866E-4 | 4.3976866E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.4479644E-7 | 4.4004997E-7 | 4.4004997E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7634103E-6 | 1.8859271E-6 | 1.8859271E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3644E-5 | 2.2960921E-5 | 2.2960921E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.363891E-4 | 2.2959037E-4 | 2.2959037E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.1651285E-7 | 1.7078109E-7 | 1.7078109E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3564829E-6 | 7.319187E-7 | 7.319187E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6515054E-5 | 8.911074E-6 | 8.911074E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6513828E-4 | 8.911201E-5 | 8.911201E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.197753E-7 | 4.7341437E-8 | 4.7341437E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.133226E-7 | 2.0289185E-7 | 2.0289185E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2496847E-6 | 2.4702056E-6 | 2.4702056E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.249509E-5 | 2.4706607E-5 | 2.4706607E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 4.893176E-9 | 1.3032316E-9 | 1.3032316E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0970754E-8 | 5.585279E-9 | 5.585279E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.553189E-7 | 6.8000766E-8 | 6.8000766E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.553186E-6 | 6.838066E-7 | 6.838066E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pleito
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5936967E-5 | 2.3471404E-5 | 2.3471404E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8299494E-5 | 1.005882E-4 | 1.005882E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.312291E-4 | 0.0012240356 | 0.0012839622 | 1.0489582 | 6.0E-5 | 0.008281267 | 0.012280742 | 0.012379514 | 1.0080428 | 1.0E-4 |
6.1 | 1.5936967E-5 | 2.3471404E-5 | 2.3471404E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8299494E-5 | 1.005882E-4 | 1.005882E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.312291E-4 | 0.0012240356 | 0.0012839622 | 1.0489582 | 6.0E-5 | 0.008281267 | 0.012280742 | 0.012379514 | 1.0080428 | 1.0E-4 |
6.2 | 1.5936967E-5 | 2.3471404E-5 | 2.3471404E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8299494E-5 | 1.005882E-4 | 1.005882E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.312291E-4 | 0.0012240356 | 0.0012839622 | 1.0489582 | 6.0E-5 | 0.008281267 | 0.012280742 | 0.012379514 | 1.0080428 | 1.0E-4 |
6.3 | 1.5936967E-5 | 2.3471404E-5 | 2.3471404E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8299494E-5 | 1.005882E-4 | 1.005882E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.312291E-4 | 0.0012240356 | 0.0012839622 | 1.0489582 | 6.0E-5 | 0.008281267 | 0.012280742 | 0.012379514 | 1.0080428 | 1.0E-4 |
6.4 | 1.5936967E-5 | 2.3471404E-5 | 2.3471404E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8299494E-5 | 1.005882E-4 | 1.005882E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.312291E-4 | 0.0012240356 | 0.0012839622 | 1.0489582 | 6.0E-5 | 0.008281267 | 0.012280742 | 0.012379514 | 1.0080428 | 1.0E-4 |
6.5 | 1.5936967E-5 | 2.3471404E-5 | 2.3471404E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8299494E-5 | 1.005882E-4 | 1.005882E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.312291E-4 | 0.0012240356 | 0.0012839622 | 1.0489582 | 6.0E-5 | 0.008281267 | 0.012280742 | 0.012379514 | 1.0080428 | 1.0E-4 |
6.6 | 9.537557E-6 | 1.64607E-5 | 1.64607E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0874602E-5 | 7.0543974E-5 | 7.0543974E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9753464E-4 | 8.5853785E-4 | 8.9850347E-4 | 1.0465509 | 4.0E-5 | 0.004964222 | 0.008654518 | 0.008704085 | 1.0057273 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.537557E-6 | 1.64607E-5 | 1.64607E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0874602E-5 | 7.0543974E-5 | 7.0543974E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9753464E-4 | 8.5853785E-4 | 8.9850347E-4 | 1.0465509 | 4.0E-5 | 0.004964222 | 0.008654518 | 0.008704085 | 1.0057273 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 7.962081E-6 | 1.4763427E-5 | 1.4763427E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4122757E-5 | 6.32703E-5 | 6.32703E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.153654E-4 | 7.700448E-4 | 7.900294E-4 | 1.0259525 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0041458984 | 0.007775922 | 0.007805689 | 1.003828 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.871367E-6 | 1.4663857E-5 | 1.4663857E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3733995E-5 | 6.2843596E-5 | 6.2843596E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.10634E-4 | 7.6485326E-4 | 7.84838E-4 | 1.0261288 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0040987604 | 0.0077243685 | 0.007754137 | 1.0038538 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.000318E-6 | 1.362657E-5 | 1.362657E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0001018E-5 | 5.839828E-5 | 5.839828E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6520115E-4 | 7.1076764E-4 | 7.307534E-4 | 1.0281186 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0036460157 | 0.007186688 | 0.007216472 | 1.0041444 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 6.9893176E-6 | 1.361327E-5 | 1.361327E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9953873E-5 | 5.8341288E-5 | 5.8341288E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6462737E-4 | 7.1007415E-4 | 7.3006E-4 | 1.028146 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0036402966 | 0.007179798 | 0.0072095827 | 1.0041484 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.859009E-6 | 1.3422562E-5 | 1.3422562E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9395422E-5 | 5.7523997E-5 | 5.7523997E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.578305E-4 | 7.0013007E-4 | 7.201161E-4 | 1.0285461 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0035725483 | 0.0070808227 | 0.007100681 | 1.0028045 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.799595E-6 | 1.3348728E-5 | 1.3348728E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9140798E-5 | 5.7207584E-5 | 5.7207584E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5473146E-4 | 6.962802E-4 | 7.162663E-4 | 1.028704 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0035416572 | 0.007042335 | 0.007062194 | 1.00282 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.778781E-6 | 1.3322514E-5 | 1.3322514E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9051596E-5 | 5.709524E-5 | 5.709524E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5364577E-4 | 6.9491327E-4 | 7.148994E-4 | 1.0287606 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003530835 | 0.0070286556 | 0.007048515 | 1.0028255 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.7517412E-6 | 1.3290808E-5 | 1.3290808E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8935714E-5 | 5.6959365E-5 | 5.6959365E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5223537E-4 | 6.9326005E-4 | 7.132462E-4 | 1.0288292 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0035167758 | 0.0070121833 | 0.0070320433 | 1.0028322 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.727488E-6 | 1.3246168E-5 | 1.3246168E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8831773E-5 | 5.6768058E-5 | 5.6768058E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.509703E-4 | 6.909324E-4 | 7.1091857E-4 | 1.0289264 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003504165 | 0.006988994 | 0.0070088543 | 1.0028416 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.227353E-6 | 1.2206757E-5 | 1.2206757E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6688382E-5 | 5.2313622E-5 | 5.2313622E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.248826E-4 | 6.3673255E-4 | 6.567198E-4 | 1.0313903 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0032440803 | 0.0064495723 | 0.006469443 | 1.003081 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.6713584E-6 | 1.1075642E-5 | 1.1075642E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4305595E-5 | 4.7466176E-5 | 4.7466176E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9588043E-4 | 5.7774765E-4 | 5.977361E-4 | 1.0345972 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002954868 | 0.0058550667 | 0.0058749495 | 1.0033958 | 2.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.5414275E-6 | 6.7048118E-6 | 6.7048118E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5177458E-5 | 2.873459E-5 | 2.873459E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8476989E-4 | 3.4978762E-4 | 3.4978762E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018461633 | 0.0035510433 | 0.0035510433 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.0083941E-6 | 1.1475757E-6 | 1.1475757E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.321682E-6 | 4.9181726E-6 | 4.9181726E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2615203E-5 | 5.987712E-5 | 5.987712E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2602746E-4 | 6.199632E-4 | 6.199632E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 2.4698755E-7 | 1.0602897E-7 | 1.0602897E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0585176E-6 | 4.544098E-7 | 4.544098E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2887375E-5 | 5.5324253E-6 | 5.5324253E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2886629E-4 | 6.15743E-5 | 6.15743E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 5.113086E-9 | 2.3568008E-9 | 2.3568008E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1913227E-8 | 1.0100574E-8 | 1.0100574E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.667935E-7 | 1.2297448E-7 | 1.2297448E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6679318E-6 | 1.3956076E-6 | 1.3956076E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Brawley (Seismic Zone) alt 2
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6829208E-4 | 4.2761076E-4 | 4.4760221E-4 | 1.0467515 | 2.0E-5 | 7.210524E-4 | 0.001831373 | 0.001861318 | 1.0163511 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008743531 | 0.022063835 | 0.02211273 | 1.0022161 | 5.0E-5 | 0.08407409 | 0.19139506 | 0.19146784 | 1.0003803 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6829208E-4 | 4.2761076E-4 | 4.4760221E-4 | 1.0467515 | 2.0E-5 | 7.210524E-4 | 0.001831373 | 0.001861318 | 1.0163511 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008743531 | 0.022063835 | 0.02211273 | 1.0022161 | 5.0E-5 | 0.08407409 | 0.19139506 | 0.19145975 | 1.000338 | 8.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6508595E-4 | 4.2160365E-4 | 4.415952E-4 | 1.0474179 | 2.0E-5 | 7.0731936E-4 | 0.0018056639 | 0.0018356097 | 1.0165844 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008577661 | 0.021757986 | 0.0218069 | 1.002248 | 5.0E-5 | 0.08254028 | 0.18907163 | 0.1891365 | 1.0003431 | 8.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.604895E-4 | 4.1229534E-4 | 4.3228708E-4 | 1.048489 | 2.0E-5 | 6.876308E-4 | 0.0017658257 | 0.0017957727 | 1.0169592 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008339814 | 0.02128386 | 0.021332797 | 1.0022992 | 5.0E-5 | 0.080336876 | 0.18551296 | 0.18557812 | 1.0003512 | 8.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1847129E-4 | 3.251071E-4 | 3.4510062E-4 | 1.0614982 | 2.0E-5 | 5.076353E-4 | 0.0013925778 | 0.001422536 | 1.0215127 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0061629596 | 0.01682351 | 0.016872669 | 1.002922 | 5.0E-5 | 0.05994819 | 0.15104496 | 0.15111288 | 1.0004497 | 8.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.1117118E-4 | 3.1137725E-4 | 3.31371E-4 | 1.0642108 | 2.0E-5 | 4.7636093E-4 | 0.0013337963 | 0.0013637564 | 1.0224621 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0057842825 | 0.016119173 | 0.016168367 | 1.0030519 | 5.0E-5 | 0.056360207 | 0.14534648 | 0.14541484 | 1.0004704 | 8.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0672738E-4 | 3.0346884E-4 | 3.2346277E-4 | 1.0658846 | 2.0E-5 | 4.5732284E-4 | 0.0012999373 | 0.0013298983 | 1.023048 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0055537 | 0.015713116 | 0.015762331 | 1.0031321 | 5.0E-5 | 0.054169398 | 0.14197305 | 0.14204168 | 1.0004835 | 8.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.0012411E-4 | 2.925873E-4 | 3.1258143E-4 | 1.0683357 | 2.0E-5 | 4.2903275E-4 | 0.0012533473 | 0.0012833097 | 1.0239059 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00521097 | 0.015153853 | 0.015203096 | 1.0032495 | 5.0E-5 | 0.050904587 | 0.13721545 | 0.13728447 | 1.0005031 | 8.0E-5 |
6.8 | 9.761971E-5 | 2.8909565E-4 | 3.0908987E-4 | 1.0691613 | 2.0E-5 | 4.183031E-4 | 0.0012383974 | 0.0012683603 | 1.0241948 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0050809537 | 0.014974353 | 0.015023604 | 1.003289 | 5.0E-5 | 0.049663413 | 0.13560078 | 0.13566993 | 1.00051 | 8.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.313406E-5 | 2.8056226E-4 | 3.0055665E-4 | 1.0712655 | 2.0E-5 | 3.990849E-4 | 0.0012018598 | 0.0012318237 | 1.0249313 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004848039 | 0.014535525 | 0.014584797 | 1.0033898 | 5.0E-5 | 0.04743629 | 0.1318495 | 0.13191895 | 1.0005268 | 8.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.7511104E-5 | 2.4262481E-4 | 2.6261996E-4 | 1.0824118 | 2.0E-5 | 3.3214813E-4 | 0.0010394097 | 0.0010693785 | 1.0288326 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004036407 | 0.012582184 | 0.012631555 | 1.0039239 | 5.0E-5 | 0.039638743 | 0.11527301 | 0.11534379 | 1.000614 | 8.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.52369E-5 | 2.3657402E-4 | 2.565693E-4 | 1.0845201 | 2.0E-5 | 3.2240403E-4 | 0.001013498 | 0.0010434677 | 1.0295705 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0039182054 | 0.0122703025 | 0.012319689 | 1.0040249 | 5.0E-5 | 0.038498368 | 0.11260115 | 0.11267215 | 1.0006305 | 8.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.839887E-5 | 2.1796631E-4 | 2.3796195E-4 | 1.0917373 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9310508E-4 | 9.3381014E-4 | 9.6378213E-4 | 1.0320964 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0035627158 | 0.01131058 | 0.011360015 | 1.0043707 | 5.0E-5 | 0.035061367 | 0.10439243 | 0.104464084 | 1.0006863 | 8.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.234534E-5 | 1.9514887E-4 | 2.1514496E-4 | 1.1024659 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6716694E-4 | 8.3608704E-4 | 8.6606195E-4 | 1.0358515 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0032479062 | 0.010132438 | 0.010181931 | 1.0048846 | 5.0E-5 | 0.03200845 | 0.094288856 | 0.09436131 | 1.0007684 | 8.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.486586E-5 | 1.3310299E-4 | 1.5310032E-4 | 1.1502396 | 2.0E-5 | 1.922681E-4 | 5.7031756E-4 | 6.003005E-4 | 1.0525723 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0023383508 | 0.006921696 | 0.00697135 | 1.0071737 | 5.0E-5 | 0.023138981 | 0.06592765 | 0.065993026 | 1.0009918 | 7.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.4260403E-5 | 9.9377176E-5 | 1.09376175E-4 | 1.1006167 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4682204E-4 | 4.25833E-4 | 4.4582447E-4 | 1.0469468 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017860925 | 0.005172262 | 0.005212055 | 1.0076935 | 4.0E-5 | 0.017718052 | 0.04985946 | 0.04991647 | 1.0011433 | 6.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.5372317E-5 | 7.3610194E-5 | 8.3609455E-5 | 1.1358408 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0873397E-4 | 3.1543427E-4 | 3.3542796E-4 | 1.0633847 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0013230321 | 0.0038336786 | 0.0038735252 | 1.0103939 | 4.0E-5 | 0.013151829 | 0.03726842 | 0.037326183 | 1.00155 | 6.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.560691E-5 | 4.9477636E-5 | 5.9477145E-5 | 1.2021015 | 1.0E-5 | 6.688505E-5 | 2.120298E-4 | 2.3202556E-4 | 1.0943063 | 2.0E-5 | 8.1402116E-4 | 0.0025784108 | 0.0026183077 | 1.0154735 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008110458 | 0.025234569 | 0.025293054 | 1.0023177 | 6.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.37135075E-5 | 4.2398744E-5 | 5.239832E-5 | 1.235846 | 1.0E-5 | 5.8770853E-5 | 1.8169628E-4 | 2.0169263E-4 | 1.1100538 | 2.0E-5 | 7.153002E-4 | 0.0022099107 | 0.0022498223 | 1.0180603 | 4.0E-5 | 0.007130021 | 0.021764148 | 0.021822844 | 1.0026969 | 6.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.0865399E-5 | 3.082096E-5 | 4.0820654E-5 | 1.3244445 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6565165E-5 | 1.3208315E-4 | 1.5208051E-4 | 1.1513997 | 2.0E-5 | 5.667834E-4 | 0.0016069275 | 0.0016468632 | 1.0248523 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0056534 | 0.01601926 | 0.016068459 | 1.0030712 | 5.0E-5 |
8.0 | 9.314509E-6 | 2.5144698E-5 | 3.5144447E-5 | 1.3976882 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9918716E-5 | 1.0775855E-4 | 1.2775639E-4 | 1.1855801 | 2.0E-5 | 4.8590195E-4 | 0.0013111718 | 0.0013511193 | 1.030467 | 4.0E-5 | 0.004848409 | 0.0131467 | 0.013196044 | 1.0037532 | 5.0E-5 |
8.1 | 4.2601296E-6 | 7.5916473E-6 | 7.5916473E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8257571E-5 | 3.2535227E-5 | 3.2535227E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2226326E-4 | 3.9604446E-4 | 3.9604446E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022204109 | 0.0041473876 | 0.0041473876 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 2.16243E-6 | 2.6440005E-6 | 2.6440005E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.267525E-6 | 1.1331382E-5 | 1.1331382E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1282627E-4 | 1.3795088E-4 | 1.3795088E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00112769 | 0.0015124396 | 0.0015124396 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.5844111E-7 | 9.57808E-8 | 9.57808E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.790332E-7 | 4.1048906E-7 | 4.1048906E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.267198E-6 | 4.9976934E-6 | 4.9976934E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.26689E-5 | 5.213019E-5 | 5.213019E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Oak Ridge (Onshore)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.303067E-5 | 3.266568E-5 | 7.266438E-5 | 2.2244866 | 4.0E-5 | 1.4155233E-4 | 1.3998851E-4 | 2.0997871E-4 | 1.499971 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0017220371 | 0.0017030693 | 0.001782933 | 1.0468941 | 8.0E-5 | 0.017087538 | 0.016906483 | 0.016985131 | 1.0046519 | 8.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.303067E-5 | 3.266568E-5 | 7.266438E-5 | 2.2244866 | 4.0E-5 | 1.4155233E-4 | 1.3998851E-4 | 2.0997871E-4 | 1.499971 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0017220371 | 0.0017030693 | 0.001782933 | 1.0468941 | 8.0E-5 | 0.017087538 | 0.016906483 | 0.016985131 | 1.0046519 | 8.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.303067E-5 | 3.266568E-5 | 7.266438E-5 | 2.2244866 | 4.0E-5 | 1.4155233E-4 | 1.3998851E-4 | 2.0997871E-4 | 1.499971 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0017220371 | 0.0017030693 | 0.001782933 | 1.0468941 | 8.0E-5 | 0.017087538 | 0.016906483 | 0.016985131 | 1.0046519 | 8.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.303067E-5 | 3.266568E-5 | 7.266438E-5 | 2.2244866 | 4.0E-5 | 1.4155233E-4 | 1.3998851E-4 | 2.0997871E-4 | 1.499971 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0017220371 | 0.0017030693 | 0.001782933 | 1.0468941 | 8.0E-5 | 0.017087538 | 0.016906483 | 0.016985131 | 1.0046519 | 8.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.303067E-5 | 3.266568E-5 | 7.266438E-5 | 2.2244866 | 4.0E-5 | 1.4155233E-4 | 1.3998851E-4 | 2.0997871E-4 | 1.499971 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0017220371 | 0.0017030693 | 0.001782933 | 1.0468941 | 8.0E-5 | 0.017087538 | 0.016906483 | 0.016985131 | 1.0046519 | 8.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.303067E-5 | 3.266568E-5 | 7.266438E-5 | 2.2244866 | 4.0E-5 | 1.4155233E-4 | 1.3998851E-4 | 2.0997871E-4 | 1.499971 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0017220371 | 0.0017030693 | 0.001782933 | 1.0468941 | 8.0E-5 | 0.017087538 | 0.016906483 | 0.016985131 | 1.0046519 | 8.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.303067E-5 | 3.266568E-5 | 7.266438E-5 | 2.2244866 | 4.0E-5 | 1.4155233E-4 | 1.3998851E-4 | 2.0997871E-4 | 1.499971 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0017220371 | 0.0017030693 | 0.001782933 | 1.0468941 | 8.0E-5 | 0.017087538 | 0.016906483 | 0.016985131 | 1.0046519 | 8.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.190748E-5 | 3.1336323E-5 | 6.1335384E-5 | 1.9573255 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3673917E-4 | 1.3429184E-4 | 1.9428378E-4 | 1.4467281 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0016635279 | 0.0016338169 | 0.0017037025 | 1.0427744 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0165113 | 0.01622413 | 0.016292993 | 1.0042446 | 7.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.12131E-5 | 3.053347E-5 | 6.053255E-5 | 1.9824984 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3376358E-4 | 1.3085137E-4 | 1.9084352E-4 | 1.4584755 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0016273549 | 0.0015919904 | 0.001661879 | 1.0439001 | 7.0E-5 | 0.01615489 | 0.015811821 | 0.015880715 | 1.0043571 | 7.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.791605E-5 | 2.6686988E-5 | 3.668672E-5 | 1.3747045 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1963473E-4 | 1.1436793E-4 | 1.5436336E-4 | 1.3497084 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0014555797 | 0.0013915646 | 0.001441495 | 1.0358808 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0144608235 | 0.013832899 | 0.013882207 | 1.0035646 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.527992E-5 | 2.3670078E-5 | 3.366984E-5 | 1.4224644 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0833802E-4 | 1.0143935E-4 | 1.4143529E-4 | 1.3942842 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0013182173 | 0.001234343 | 0.0012842814 | 1.0404574 | 5.0E-5 | 0.01310425 | 0.012278613 | 0.012327999 | 1.0040221 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.1592812E-5 | 1.942194E-5 | 2.9421744E-5 | 1.5148717 | 1.0E-5 | 9.253734E-5 | 8.323427E-5 | 1.2323094E-4 | 1.4805312 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0011260597 | 0.0010129149 | 0.0010628643 | 1.0493125 | 5.0E-5 | 0.011203708 | 0.010085669 | 0.010135165 | 1.0049075 | 5.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.0654974E-5 | 1.8339773E-5 | 2.8339591E-5 | 1.545253 | 1.0E-5 | 8.851831E-5 | 7.859671E-5 | 1.1859357E-4 | 1.5088872 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0010771776 | 9.565033E-4 | 0.0010064555 | 1.0522237 | 5.0E-5 | 0.010719712 | 0.00952648 | 0.009576004 | 1.0051985 | 5.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.7522105E-5 | 1.514483E-5 | 2.5144678E-5 | 1.6602813 | 1.0E-5 | 7.5092576E-5 | 6.490484E-5 | 9.490289E-5 | 1.4621851 | 3.0E-5 | 9.138686E-4 | 7.899362E-4 | 8.299046E-4 | 1.050597 | 4.0E-5 | 0.009101195 | 0.007873443 | 0.0079131285 | 1.0050404 | 4.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.4656553E-5 | 1.2121812E-5 | 2.212169E-5 | 1.8249493 | 1.0E-5 | 6.281228E-5 | 5.19496E-5 | 7.194856E-5 | 1.3849685 | 2.0E-5 | 7.644712E-4 | 6.32305E-4 | 6.62286E-4 | 1.0474155 | 3.0E-5 | 0.007618467 | 0.006306501 | 0.006336312 | 1.004727 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 9.665176E-6 | 7.868488E-6 | 1.786841E-5 | 2.2708821 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1421525E-5 | 3.372166E-5 | 5.372098E-5 | 1.5930706 | 2.0E-5 | 5.0419034E-4 | 4.1048444E-4 | 4.3047624E-4 | 1.048703 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0050304793 | 0.0040973765 | 0.0041172947 | 1.0048611 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 5.809651E-6 | 4.4467006E-6 | 1.4446657E-5 | 3.2488484 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4898269E-5 | 1.905715E-5 | 2.905696E-5 | 1.5247275 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0309425E-4 | 2.319963E-4 | 2.4199397E-4 | 1.0430942 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030268119 | 0.0023175604 | 0.0023275372 | 1.0043049 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.902288E-6 | 2.112221E-6 | 2.112221E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2438319E-5 | 9.0523445E-6 | 9.0523445E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5142601E-4 | 1.1020685E-4 | 1.1020685E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015132286 | 0.0011015346 | 0.0011015346 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.2687361E-7 | 1.4441441E-7 | 1.4441441E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.723151E-7 | 6.1891876E-7 | 6.1891876E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1837872E-5 | 7.5353105E-6 | 7.5353105E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1837241E-4 | 7.535062E-5 | 7.535062E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.10667024E-7 | 5.599613E-8 | 5.599613E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7428716E-7 | 2.399834E-7 | 2.399834E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.774431E-6 | 2.9217942E-6 | 2.9217942E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7742807E-5 | 2.9217603E-5 | 2.9217603E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 8.057798E-9 | 3.7058054E-9 | 3.7058054E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.453342E-8 | 1.5882023E-8 | 1.5882023E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.204443E-7 | 1.9336362E-7 | 1.9336362E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2044353E-6 | 1.9336353E-6 | 1.9336353E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Blue Cut
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.4176064E-5 | 2.6081825E-5 | 3.6081565E-5 | 1.3833988 | 1.0E-5 | 1.03607585E-4 | 1.11774854E-4 | 1.3177261E-4 | 1.1789111 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012606924 | 0.0013600785 | 0.0014199968 | 1.0440551 | 6.0E-5 | 0.012535643 | 0.013524555 | 0.013613338 | 1.0065646 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.4176064E-5 | 2.6081825E-5 | 3.6081565E-5 | 1.3833988 | 1.0E-5 | 1.03607585E-4 | 1.11774854E-4 | 1.3177261E-4 | 1.1789111 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012606924 | 0.0013600785 | 0.0014199968 | 1.0440551 | 6.0E-5 | 0.012535643 | 0.013524555 | 0.013613338 | 1.0065646 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.4176064E-5 | 2.6081825E-5 | 3.6081565E-5 | 1.3833988 | 1.0E-5 | 1.03607585E-4 | 1.11774854E-4 | 1.3177261E-4 | 1.1789111 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012606924 | 0.0013600785 | 0.0014199968 | 1.0440551 | 6.0E-5 | 0.012535643 | 0.013524555 | 0.013613338 | 1.0065646 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3700933E-5 | 1.4689222E-5 | 1.4689222E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.871696E-5 | 6.295237E-5 | 7.295174E-5 | 1.1588403 | 1.0E-5 | 7.146445E-4 | 7.661903E-4 | 7.961673E-4 | 1.0391247 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0071235066 | 0.007636972 | 0.0076766666 | 1.0051976 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.3700933E-5 | 1.4689222E-5 | 1.4689222E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.871696E-5 | 6.295237E-5 | 7.295174E-5 | 1.1588403 | 1.0E-5 | 7.146445E-4 | 7.661903E-4 | 7.961673E-4 | 1.0391247 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0071235066 | 0.007636972 | 0.0076766666 | 1.0051976 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.0571009E-5 | 1.1310083E-5 | 1.1310083E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.530354E-5 | 4.847094E-5 | 5.8470454E-5 | 1.2062992 | 1.0E-5 | 5.51431E-4 | 5.8998406E-4 | 6.1996636E-4 | 1.0508188 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0055006463 | 0.005885195 | 0.0059249597 | 1.0067567 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.432193E-6 | 9.010241E-6 | 9.010241E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.613747E-5 | 3.8614795E-5 | 4.861441E-5 | 1.2589581 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3988484E-4 | 4.7004173E-4 | 4.8003704E-4 | 1.0212647 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0043901512 | 0.004691275 | 0.004711181 | 1.0042433 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.0979586E-6 | 7.5808057E-6 | 7.5808057E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0419467E-5 | 3.2488802E-5 | 4.248848E-5 | 1.3077884 | 1.0E-5 | 3.702941E-4 | 3.9548666E-4 | 4.0548271E-4 | 1.0252753 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036967767 | 0.003948548 | 0.003968469 | 1.0050452 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.117205E-6 | 6.532318E-6 | 6.532318E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6216328E-5 | 2.7995387E-5 | 2.7995387E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1913706E-4 | 3.4079739E-4 | 3.4079739E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031867912 | 0.0034034234 | 0.0034133892 | 1.0029283 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.165005E-6 | 5.515969E-6 | 5.515969E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2135548E-5 | 2.363969E-5 | 2.363969E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6946695E-4 | 2.8778167E-4 | 2.8778167E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026914044 | 0.0028747257 | 0.002884697 | 1.0034686 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.9892893E-6 | 4.262613E-6 | 4.262613E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7096843E-5 | 1.8268249E-5 | 1.8268249E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0813418E-4 | 2.223994E-4 | 2.223994E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020793935 | 0.0022223745 | 0.0022323523 | 1.0044897 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.7477456E-6 | 2.9384635E-6 | 2.9384635E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1775999E-5 | 1.2593387E-5 | 1.2593387E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4336336E-4 | 1.5331943E-4 | 1.5331943E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001432709 | 0.0015326998 | 0.0015426844 | 1.0065144 | 1.0E-5 |
San Jacinto (Coyote Creek)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.8801875E-5 | 2.4141025E-5 | 4.4140543E-5 | 1.8284452 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2343077E-4 | 1.0345745E-4 | 1.2345538E-4 | 1.1932962 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015017337 | 0.0012588698 | 0.0013187942 | 1.0476018 | 6.0E-5 | 0.014916257 | 0.012926104 | 0.013014941 | 1.0068727 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.8801875E-5 | 2.4141025E-5 | 4.4140543E-5 | 1.8284452 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2343077E-4 | 1.0345745E-4 | 1.2345538E-4 | 1.1932962 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015017337 | 0.0012588698 | 0.0013187942 | 1.0476018 | 6.0E-5 | 0.014916257 | 0.012926104 | 0.013014941 | 1.0068727 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.8801875E-5 | 2.4141025E-5 | 4.4140543E-5 | 1.8284452 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2343077E-4 | 1.0345745E-4 | 1.2345538E-4 | 1.1932962 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015017337 | 0.0012588698 | 0.0013187942 | 1.0476018 | 6.0E-5 | 0.014916257 | 0.012926104 | 0.013014941 | 1.0068727 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.8801875E-5 | 2.4141025E-5 | 4.4140543E-5 | 1.8284452 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2343077E-4 | 1.0345745E-4 | 1.2345538E-4 | 1.1932962 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015017337 | 0.0012588698 | 0.0013187942 | 1.0476018 | 6.0E-5 | 0.014916257 | 0.012926104 | 0.013014941 | 1.0068727 | 9.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.8801875E-5 | 2.4141025E-5 | 4.4140543E-5 | 1.8284452 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2343077E-4 | 1.0345745E-4 | 1.2345538E-4 | 1.1932962 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015017337 | 0.0012588698 | 0.0013187942 | 1.0476018 | 6.0E-5 | 0.014916257 | 0.012926104 | 0.013014941 | 1.0068727 | 9.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.8686647E-5 | 2.3996516E-5 | 4.3996035E-5 | 1.8334343 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2293698E-4 | 1.0283817E-4 | 1.228361E-4 | 1.1944603 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00149573 | 0.0012513387 | 0.0013112638 | 1.0478886 | 6.0E-5 | 0.014857027 | 0.012851681 | 0.012940524 | 1.006913 | 9.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.8686647E-5 | 2.3996516E-5 | 4.3996035E-5 | 1.8334343 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2293698E-4 | 1.0283817E-4 | 1.228361E-4 | 1.1944603 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00149573 | 0.0012513387 | 0.0013112638 | 1.0478886 | 6.0E-5 | 0.014857027 | 0.012851681 | 0.012940524 | 1.006913 | 9.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.8614546E-5 | 2.3912404E-5 | 4.3911925E-5 | 1.836366 | 2.0E-5 | 1.22628E-4 | 1.0247772E-4 | 1.2247567E-4 | 1.1951444 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014919734 | 0.0012469555 | 0.0013068806 | 1.0480572 | 6.0E-5 | 0.014819962 | 0.01280834 | 0.012897187 | 1.0069367 | 9.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.8500443E-5 | 2.383652E-5 | 4.3836044E-5 | 1.8390287 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2213904E-4 | 1.0215253E-4 | 1.221505E-4 | 1.1957656 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014860283 | 0.0012430007 | 0.0013029261 | 1.0482103 | 6.0E-5 | 0.014761304 | 0.012769063 | 0.012857913 | 1.0069582 | 9.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.8398292E-5 | 2.3754485E-5 | 4.3754007E-5 | 1.8419263 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2170129E-4 | 1.0180098E-4 | 1.2179894E-4 | 1.1964418 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001480706 | 0.0012387255 | 0.0012986511 | 1.0483769 | 6.0E-5 | 0.014708786 | 0.012726529 | 0.012815383 | 1.0069818 | 9.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.7975118E-5 | 2.3326544E-5 | 4.332608E-5 | 1.8573723 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1988785E-4 | 9.996709E-5 | 1.19965094E-4 | 1.2000458 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014586572 | 0.0012164229 | 0.0012763499 | 1.0492649 | 6.0E-5 | 0.014491199 | 0.012505562 | 0.012594436 | 1.0071068 | 9.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.7603435E-5 | 2.2998502E-5 | 4.2998043E-5 | 1.8696018 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1829507E-4 | 9.85613E-5 | 1.1855933E-4 | 1.2028995 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014392909 | 0.0011993264 | 0.0012592544 | 1.0499681 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0143000465 | 0.012335196 | 0.012424086 | 1.0072062 | 9.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.6859294E-5 | 2.239374E-5 | 4.2393294E-5 | 1.8930867 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1510618E-4 | 9.596966E-5 | 1.1596774E-4 | 1.2083791 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014005168 | 0.0011678073 | 0.0012277373 | 1.0513183 | 6.0E-5 | 0.013917232 | 0.012020455 | 0.012109373 | 1.0073973 | 9.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.465702E-5 | 2.1025116E-5 | 4.1024698E-5 | 1.9512233 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0566866E-4 | 9.010455E-5 | 1.10102745E-4 | 1.2219443 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012857567 | 0.0010964733 | 0.0011564075 | 1.0546609 | 6.0E-5 | 0.012783429 | 0.011305695 | 0.011394678 | 1.0078706 | 9.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.4130479E-5 | 2.0697826E-5 | 4.069741E-5 | 1.9662651 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0341224E-4 | 8.870196E-5 | 1.0870019E-4 | 1.2254541 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012583168 | 0.0010794139 | 0.0011393492 | 1.0555257 | 6.0E-5 | 0.012512155 | 0.011134722 | 0.01122372 | 1.0079929 | 9.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.3086503E-5 | 2.00734E-5 | 4.0073E-5 | 1.9963235 | 2.0E-5 | 9.89384E-5 | 8.602603E-5 | 1.0602431E-4 | 1.2324678 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012039093 | 0.0010468662 | 0.0011068033 | 1.057254 | 6.0E-5 | 0.01197408 | 0.010806388 | 0.010895415 | 1.0082384 | 9.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.098327E-5 | 1.8756311E-5 | 3.8755934E-5 | 2.0662878 | 2.0E-5 | 8.99252E-5 | 8.0381724E-5 | 1.00380115E-4 | 1.2487928 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010942894 | 9.782104E-4 | 0.0010381517 | 1.0612766 | 6.0E-5 | 0.010889164 | 0.010113807 | 0.010202897 | 1.0088087 | 9.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.7271595E-5 | 1.5929718E-5 | 3.59294E-5 | 2.255495 | 2.0E-5 | 7.401902E-5 | 6.826843E-5 | 8.826707E-5 | 1.2929412 | 2.0E-5 | 9.0080895E-4 | 8.30852E-4 | 8.908022E-4 | 1.072155 | 6.0E-5 | 0.008971662 | 0.008632173 | 0.008721396 | 1.0103362 | 9.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.4148871E-5 | 1.4073852E-5 | 3.407357E-5 | 2.421055 | 2.0E-5 | 6.063661E-5 | 6.0315117E-5 | 8.031391E-5 | 1.3315718 | 2.0E-5 | 7.380007E-4 | 7.340897E-4 | 7.940456E-4 | 1.0816739 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0073555456 | 0.007654719 | 0.00774403 | 1.0116675 | 9.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.0722926E-5 | 1.0780711E-5 | 3.0780495E-5 | 2.8551452 | 2.0E-5 | 4.5954588E-5 | 4.6202233E-5 | 6.620131E-5 | 1.4328595 | 2.0E-5 | 5.5935344E-4 | 5.623675E-4 | 6.223337E-4 | 1.1066318 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0055794762 | 0.005918313 | 0.0060077803 | 1.015117 | 9.0E-5 |
8.0 | 8.799301E-6 | 9.02995E-6 | 2.902977E-5 | 3.2148316 | 2.0E-5 | 3.7710746E-5 | 3.8699214E-5 | 5.8698442E-5 | 1.5167863 | 2.0E-5 | 4.590316E-4 | 4.7106156E-4 | 5.3103326E-4 | 1.127312 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0045808456 | 0.0049861474 | 0.0050756987 | 1.01796 | 9.0E-5 |
8.1 | 6.8041386E-6 | 6.450185E-6 | 6.450185E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9160268E-5 | 2.764336E-5 | 2.764336E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5496842E-4 | 3.3650637E-4 | 3.6649627E-4 | 1.0891213 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0035440195 | 0.003586664 | 0.0036364847 | 1.0138905 | 5.0E-5 |
8.2 | 1.8495697E-6 | 8.009342E-7 | 8.009342E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.926703E-6 | 3.4325708E-6 | 3.4325708E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.650333E-5 | 4.1790765E-5 | 4.1790765E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.646144E-4 | 4.756681E-4 | 4.756681E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 2.0067954E-7 | 6.5707354E-8 | 6.5707354E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6005485E-7 | 2.816029E-7 | 2.816029E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0471118E-5 | 3.4285104E-6 | 3.4285104E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0470625E-4 | 4.006562E-5 | 4.006562E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Rosa Island
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.224527E-5 | 3.6182922E-5 | 6.618184E-5 | 1.8290904 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3818669E-4 | 1.5506103E-4 | 2.050533E-4 | 1.3224037 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0016811244 | 0.0018863371 | 0.001956205 | 1.0370389 | 7.0E-5 | 0.016684635 | 0.018714061 | 0.018802376 | 1.0047193 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.9804382E-5 | 2.2031198E-5 | 4.203076E-5 | 1.9077836 | 2.0E-5 | 8.487316E-5 | 9.441614E-5 | 1.14414244E-4 | 1.2118082 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010328408 | 0.0011489338 | 0.0011788993 | 1.0260812 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0102805365 | 0.011432401 | 0.011462058 | 1.0025941 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.9804382E-5 | 2.2031198E-5 | 4.203076E-5 | 1.9077836 | 2.0E-5 | 8.487316E-5 | 9.441614E-5 | 1.14414244E-4 | 1.2118082 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010328408 | 0.0011489338 | 0.0011788993 | 1.0260812 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0102805365 | 0.011432401 | 0.011462058 | 1.0025941 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.5242747E-5 | 1.6877399E-5 | 2.687723E-5 | 1.5924984 | 1.0E-5 | 6.532442E-5 | 7.232977E-5 | 8.232905E-5 | 1.1382457 | 1.0E-5 | 7.9503463E-4 | 8.802714E-4 | 9.0025377E-4 | 1.0227003 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007921963 | 0.0087691145 | 0.008788939 | 1.0022607 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2967521E-5 | 1.4321716E-5 | 2.4321573E-5 | 1.6982304 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5573906E-5 | 6.137739E-5 | 7.137677E-5 | 1.1629164 | 1.0E-5 | 6.7640224E-4 | 7.470231E-4 | 7.670081E-4 | 1.026753 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006743471 | 0.0074461005 | 0.0074659516 | 1.002666 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.47559E-6 | 1.0416679E-5 | 1.0416679E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.060904E-5 | 4.4642184E-5 | 4.4642184E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.943029E-4 | 5.4338924E-4 | 5.533838E-4 | 1.018393 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0049320483 | 0.0054212282 | 0.005431174 | 1.0018346 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.920824E-6 | 8.685284E-6 | 8.685284E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3945944E-5 | 3.722214E-5 | 3.722214E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.132135E-4 | 4.5309032E-4 | 4.6308577E-4 | 1.0220606 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00412446 | 0.0045221625 | 0.0045321174 | 1.0022013 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 5.933505E-6 | 6.4749574E-6 | 6.4749574E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5429059E-5 | 2.7749544E-5 | 2.7749544E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.095548E-4 | 3.378023E-4 | 3.378023E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030912396 | 0.0033732834 | 0.0033732834 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 3.99483E-6 | 4.315429E-6 | 4.315429E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7120587E-5 | 1.8494584E-5 | 1.8494584E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0842321E-4 | 2.251514E-4 | 2.251514E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020822783 | 0.002249539 | 0.002249539 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.5307572E-6 | 2.6816383E-6 | 2.6816383E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0846057E-5 | 1.1492685E-5 | 1.1492685E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3204275E-4 | 1.3991448E-4 | 1.3991448E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013196432 | 0.0013982673 | 0.0013982673 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.3520363E-6 | 2.4850274E-6 | 2.4850274E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0080117E-5 | 1.0650074E-5 | 1.0650074E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2271851E-4 | 1.2965695E-4 | 1.2965695E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012265076 | 0.0012958153 | 0.0012958153 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.232834E-6 | 2.3550722E-6 | 2.3550722E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.569254E-6 | 1.00931275E-5 | 1.00931275E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1649943E-4 | 1.2287693E-4 | 1.2287693E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011643837 | 0.0012280917 | 0.0012280917 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.1285375E-6 | 2.242905E-6 | 2.242905E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.122272E-6 | 9.612415E-6 | 9.612415E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.11058E-4 | 1.1702489E-4 | 1.1702489E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011100251 | 0.0011696344 | 0.0011696344 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.904573E-6 | 2.0025109E-6 | 2.0025109E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.16243E-6 | 8.582162E-6 | 8.582162E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.937306E-5 | 1.04482824E-4 | 1.04482824E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.932863E-4 | 0.0010443386 | 0.0010443386 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.6512805E-6 | 1.7325058E-6 | 1.7325058E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0768974E-6 | 7.425004E-6 | 7.425004E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.615782E-5 | 9.039568E-5 | 9.039568E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.612442E-4 | 9.035906E-4 | 9.035906E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.1151728E-6 | 1.162053E-6 | 1.162053E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7793033E-6 | 4.9802175E-6 | 4.9802175E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8186466E-5 | 6.0632472E-5 | 6.0632472E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8171235E-4 | 6.0616026E-4 | 6.0616026E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.313149E-7 | 3.2704745E-7 | 3.2704745E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4199203E-6 | 1.4016312E-6 | 1.4016312E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7287392E-5 | 1.7064725E-5 | 1.7064725E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7286047E-4 | 1.7063422E-4 | 1.7063422E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.4811222E-7 | 1.3524448E-7 | 1.3524448E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.347665E-7 | 5.7961904E-7 | 5.7961904E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.728255E-6 | 7.056839E-6 | 7.056839E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.727986E-5 | 7.0566166E-5 | 7.0566166E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.3355902E-8 | 1.32401325E-8 | 1.32401325E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0009671E-7 | 5.6743424E-8 | 5.6743424E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2186769E-6 | 6.90851E-7 | 6.90851E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.21867015E-5 | 6.9084895E-6 | 6.9084895E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Pedro Basin
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.175223E-5 | 4.7459227E-5 | 6.745828E-5 | 1.4213943 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7892585E-4 | 2.0338224E-4 | 2.2337817E-4 | 1.098317 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0021762457 | 0.0024736205 | 0.002493571 | 1.0080653 | 2.0E-5 | 0.021550568 | 0.024487054 | 0.02457485 | 1.0035855 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.175223E-5 | 4.7459227E-5 | 6.745828E-5 | 1.4213943 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7892585E-4 | 2.0338224E-4 | 2.2337817E-4 | 1.098317 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0021762457 | 0.0024736205 | 0.002493571 | 1.0080653 | 2.0E-5 | 0.021550568 | 0.024487054 | 0.02457485 | 1.0035855 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1914722E-5 | 2.4474126E-5 | 3.4473884E-5 | 1.4085847 | 1.0E-5 | 9.391686E-5 | 1.0488507E-4 | 1.1488402E-4 | 1.0953325 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011428379 | 0.0012762578 | 0.001286245 | 1.0078254 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011369784 | 0.012692454 | 0.012731946 | 1.0031115 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.1914722E-5 | 2.4474126E-5 | 3.4473884E-5 | 1.4085847 | 1.0E-5 | 9.391686E-5 | 1.0488507E-4 | 1.1488402E-4 | 1.0953325 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011428379 | 0.0012762578 | 0.001286245 | 1.0078254 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011369784 | 0.012692454 | 0.012731946 | 1.0031115 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.8341176E-5 | 2.0389949E-5 | 3.0389745E-5 | 1.4904277 | 1.0E-5 | 7.860267E-5 | 8.7382694E-5 | 9.7381824E-5 | 1.1144291 | 1.0E-5 | 9.5656735E-4 | 0.001063388 | 0.0010733773 | 1.0093939 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009524602 | 0.010585369 | 0.010624945 | 1.0037388 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.6269927E-5 | 1.8035462E-5 | 2.8035282E-5 | 1.5544533 | 1.0E-5 | 6.972639E-5 | 7.729266E-5 | 8.729189E-5 | 1.1293684 | 1.0E-5 | 8.485882E-4 | 9.40652E-4 | 9.5064257E-4 | 1.010621 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008453551 | 0.009368765 | 0.009398484 | 1.0031722 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.3451532E-5 | 1.48711815E-5 | 2.4871033E-5 | 1.6724316 | 1.0E-5 | 5.764815E-5 | 6.373217E-5 | 7.3731535E-5 | 1.1568966 | 1.0E-5 | 7.016402E-4 | 7.756794E-4 | 7.8567164E-4 | 1.0128819 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00699429 | 0.007731382 | 0.0077611497 | 1.0038503 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.1557235E-5 | 1.2758967E-5 | 2.2758839E-5 | 1.7837524 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9530063E-5 | 5.468023E-5 | 6.467968E-5 | 1.1828715 | 1.0E-5 | 6.028617E-4 | 6.655435E-4 | 6.755368E-4 | 1.0150154 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006012288 | 0.0066370084 | 0.0066668093 | 1.0044901 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 9.86404E-6 | 1.0891515E-5 | 2.0891406E-5 | 1.918136 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2273776E-5 | 4.6677163E-5 | 5.6676694E-5 | 1.2142276 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1456166E-4 | 5.6816026E-4 | 5.781546E-4 | 1.0175906 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051337183 | 0.0056684655 | 0.005688352 | 1.0035083 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.549739E-6 | 8.303569E-6 | 1.8303486E-5 | 2.2042913 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2355623E-5 | 3.558631E-5 | 4.558595E-5 | 1.2809969 | 1.0E-5 | 3.938585E-4 | 4.33189E-4 | 4.431847E-4 | 1.0230746 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003931612 | 0.0043246155 | 0.004344529 | 1.0046047 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.1136267E-6 | 5.5852706E-6 | 1.5585214E-5 | 2.7904136 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1915359E-5 | 2.393671E-5 | 3.393647E-5 | 1.4177583 | 1.0E-5 | 2.667868E-4 | 2.9140033E-4 | 3.013974E-4 | 1.034307 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0026646676 | 0.0029111502 | 0.002931092 | 1.0068501 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.442557E-6 | 2.5924624E-6 | 1.2592436E-5 | 4.8573265 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0468059E-5 | 1.1110506E-5 | 2.1110394E-5 | 1.900039 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2744116E-4 | 1.3526215E-4 | 1.4526078E-4 | 1.0739205 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012736811 | 0.0013518106 | 0.0013717837 | 1.0147749 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.9759852E-6 | 2.0915454E-6 | 1.2091525E-5 | 5.7811437 | 1.0E-5 | 8.468481E-6 | 8.963736E-6 | 1.8963647E-5 | 2.1155963 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0309887E-4 | 1.0912811E-4 | 1.1912701E-4 | 1.0916255 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010305105 | 0.0010907542 | 0.0011107323 | 1.0183159 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.464532E-6 | 1.54421E-6 | 1.1544194E-5 | 7.475793 | 1.0E-5 | 6.2765507E-6 | 6.6180264E-6 | 1.661796E-5 | 2.5110145 | 1.0E-5 | 7.6414326E-5 | 8.057152E-5 | 9.057071E-5 | 1.1241033 | 1.0E-5 | 7.6388055E-4 | 8.054256E-4 | 8.154175E-4 | 1.0124058 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.2959829E-6 | 1.3664231E-6 | 1.1366409E-5 | 8.318367 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5542005E-6 | 5.8560863E-6 | 1.5856027E-5 | 2.7076151 | 1.0E-5 | 6.762029E-5 | 7.129554E-5 | 8.129483E-5 | 1.1402513 | 1.0E-5 | 6.7599723E-4 | 7.1272894E-4 | 7.2272186E-4 | 1.0140206 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 9.476035E-7 | 9.978878E-7 | 9.978878E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0611512E-6 | 4.276655E-6 | 4.276655E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9443395E-5 | 5.206705E-5 | 5.206705E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9432396E-4 | 5.205505E-4 | 5.205505E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 5.087787E-7 | 5.393332E-7 | 5.393332E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1804783E-6 | 2.311426E-6 | 2.311426E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6547E-5 | 2.8141263E-5 | 2.8141263E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6543828E-4 | 2.8137842E-4 | 2.8137842E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.09097575E-8 | 1.0871492E-8 | 1.0871492E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6756103E-8 | 4.659211E-8 | 4.659211E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.692554E-7 | 5.672588E-7 | 5.672588E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6925396E-6 | 5.6725753E-6 | 5.6725753E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.505416E-10 | 2.623325E-10 | 2.623325E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9308923E-9 | 1.1242821E-9 | 1.1242821E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3508615E-8 | 1.3688135E-8 | 1.3688135E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3508613E-7 | 1.3688135E-7 | 1.3688135E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pisgah-Bullion Mtn-Mesquite Lk
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.9044857E-5 | 2.290399E-5 | 2.290399E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2447202E-4 | 9.8156735E-5 | 1.0815576E-4 | 1.1018679 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015143933 | 0.0011944869 | 0.0012544151 | 1.0501708 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0150411455 | 0.011889006 | 0.011977935 | 1.00748 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.9044857E-5 | 2.290399E-5 | 2.290399E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2447202E-4 | 9.8156735E-5 | 1.0815576E-4 | 1.1018679 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015143933 | 0.0011944869 | 0.0012544151 | 1.0501708 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0150411455 | 0.011889006 | 0.011977935 | 1.00748 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.9044857E-5 | 2.290399E-5 | 2.290399E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2447202E-4 | 9.8156735E-5 | 1.0815576E-4 | 1.1018679 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015143933 | 0.0011944869 | 0.0012544151 | 1.0501708 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0150411455 | 0.011889006 | 0.011977935 | 1.00748 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.0617801E-5 | 1.3843E-5 | 1.3843E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.835902E-5 | 5.9325885E-5 | 6.9325295E-5 | 1.1685505 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010752401 | 7.2207017E-4 | 7.520485E-4 | 1.0415173 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010700523 | 0.0071989284 | 0.0072386404 | 1.0055164 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0617801E-5 | 1.3843E-5 | 1.3843E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.835902E-5 | 5.9325885E-5 | 6.9325295E-5 | 1.1685505 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010752401 | 7.2207017E-4 | 7.520485E-4 | 1.0415173 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010700523 | 0.0071989284 | 0.0072386404 | 1.0055164 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.758017E-5 | 1.0797382E-5 | 1.0797382E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.534141E-5 | 4.6273733E-5 | 4.6273733E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.168957E-4 | 5.6324794E-4 | 5.832367E-4 | 1.0354884 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009131217 | 0.0056192838 | 0.005649115 | 1.0053087 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.5310006E-5 | 8.518029E-6 | 8.518029E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5612665E-5 | 3.6505367E-5 | 3.6505367E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.985414E-4 | 4.4436965E-4 | 4.6436078E-4 | 1.0449876 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00795678 | 0.0044355486 | 0.0044554602 | 1.0044891 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2880038E-5 | 6.3488296E-6 | 6.3488296E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5198994E-5 | 2.7209011E-5 | 2.7209011E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.718405E-4 | 3.3122383E-4 | 3.412205E-4 | 1.030181 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00669813 | 0.0033077418 | 0.0033177088 | 1.0030133 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0257794E-5 | 4.271145E-6 | 4.271145E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3961234E-5 | 1.8304783E-5 | 1.8304783E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3509657E-4 | 2.2283877E-4 | 2.3283654E-4 | 1.0448655 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0053380993 | 0.0022262353 | 0.0022362133 | 1.0044819 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.783108E-6 | 3.5464E-6 | 3.5464E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7641348E-5 | 1.51987715E-5 | 1.51987715E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5818702E-4 | 1.8502989E-4 | 1.9502803E-4 | 1.0540353 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004572435 | 0.001848813 | 0.0018587945 | 1.0053989 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 6.89427E-6 | 2.6046084E-6 | 2.6046084E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9546538E-5 | 1.1162561E-5 | 1.1162561E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.596697E-4 | 1.3589601E-4 | 1.4589466E-4 | 1.0735756 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0035908814 | 0.00135816 | 0.0013681465 | 1.007353 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.878841E-6 | 2.2652748E-6 | 2.2652748E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.519479E-5 | 9.708286E-6 | 9.708286E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0670338E-4 | 1.1819226E-4 | 1.2819108E-4 | 1.084598 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030628045 | 0.0011813231 | 0.0011913113 | 1.008455 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.3056375E-6 | 1.6506235E-6 | 1.6506235E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8452602E-5 | 7.074083E-6 | 7.074083E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2463726E-4 | 8.612379E-5 | 9.612293E-5 | 1.116102 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002244103 | 8.6092704E-4 | 8.7091845E-4 | 1.0116054 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.8276363E-6 | 8.173284E-7 | 8.173284E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.832704E-6 | 3.5028322E-6 | 3.5028322E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.535899E-5 | 4.2646287E-5 | 4.2646287E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.5318083E-4 | 4.2639492E-4 | 4.2639492E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Camp Rock 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6321868E-5 | 4.0844434E-6 | 2.4084362E-5 | 5.8966084 | 2.0E-5 | 6.994899E-5 | 1.7504643E-5 | 7.750359E-5 | 4.4276023 | 6.0E-5 | 8.512962E-4 | 2.1309862E-4 | 2.7308584E-4 | 1.2814997 | 6.0E-5 | 0.008480424 | 0.002128989 | 0.0022187973 | 1.0421836 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6321868E-5 | 4.0844434E-6 | 2.4084362E-5 | 5.8966084 | 2.0E-5 | 6.994899E-5 | 1.7504643E-5 | 7.750359E-5 | 4.4276023 | 6.0E-5 | 8.512962E-4 | 2.1309862E-4 | 2.7308584E-4 | 1.2814997 | 6.0E-5 | 0.008480424 | 0.002128989 | 0.0022187973 | 1.0421836 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6321868E-5 | 4.0844434E-6 | 2.4084362E-5 | 5.8966084 | 2.0E-5 | 6.994899E-5 | 1.7504643E-5 | 7.750359E-5 | 4.4276023 | 6.0E-5 | 8.512962E-4 | 2.1309862E-4 | 2.7308584E-4 | 1.2814997 | 6.0E-5 | 0.008480424 | 0.002128989 | 0.0022187973 | 1.0421836 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.6321868E-5 | 4.0844434E-6 | 2.4084362E-5 | 5.8966084 | 2.0E-5 | 6.994899E-5 | 1.7504643E-5 | 7.750359E-5 | 4.4276023 | 6.0E-5 | 8.512962E-4 | 2.1309862E-4 | 2.7308584E-4 | 1.2814997 | 6.0E-5 | 0.008480424 | 0.002128989 | 0.0022187973 | 1.0421836 | 9.0E-5 |
6.4 | 8.015038E-6 | 3.6538224E-6 | 2.3653749E-5 | 6.4736996 | 2.0E-5 | 3.434971E-5 | 1.5659147E-5 | 7.565821E-5 | 4.8315663 | 6.0E-5 | 4.1812743E-4 | 1.906338E-4 | 2.5062237E-4 | 1.3146796 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0041734157 | 0.001904739 | 0.0019945675 | 1.0471606 | 9.0E-5 |
6.5 | 8.015038E-6 | 3.6538224E-6 | 2.3653749E-5 | 6.4736996 | 2.0E-5 | 3.434971E-5 | 1.5659147E-5 | 7.565821E-5 | 4.8315663 | 6.0E-5 | 4.1812743E-4 | 1.906338E-4 | 2.5062237E-4 | 1.3146796 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0041734157 | 0.001904739 | 0.0019945675 | 1.0471606 | 9.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.9844696E-6 | 3.3734902E-6 | 2.3373423E-5 | 6.9285583 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9933099E-5 | 1.4457737E-5 | 7.445687E-5 | 5.149967 | 6.0E-5 | 3.6437451E-4 | 1.7600905E-4 | 2.359985E-4 | 1.3408315 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0036377765 | 0.001758729 | 0.0018485707 | 1.0510833 | 9.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.932096E-6 | 3.3213712E-6 | 2.3321305E-5 | 7.0215893 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9708644E-5 | 1.42343715E-5 | 7.423352E-5 | 5.2150893 | 6.0E-5 | 3.616427E-4 | 1.7329001E-4 | 2.3327961E-4 | 1.3461803 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0036105474 | 0.001731581 | 0.0018214252 | 1.0518856 | 9.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.3862894E-6 | 3.1251247E-6 | 2.3125061E-5 | 7.3997245 | 2.0E-5 | 2.7369526E-5 | 1.3393325E-5 | 6.3392654E-5 | 4.733153 | 5.0E-5 | 3.3317303E-4 | 1.6305184E-4 | 2.1304369E-4 | 1.3066009 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0033267394 | 0.0016293527 | 0.0017092224 | 1.0490192 | 8.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.158623E-6 | 2.9705036E-6 | 2.2970444E-5 | 7.7328453 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6393831E-5 | 1.2730669E-5 | 6.273003E-5 | 4.927473 | 5.0E-5 | 3.212975E-4 | 1.5498517E-4 | 2.0497742E-4 | 1.3225615 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0032083336 | 0.001548801 | 0.001628677 | 1.0515729 | 8.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.668964E-6 | 2.7216063E-6 | 2.2721551E-5 | 8.348581 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4295334E-5 | 1.1663977E-5 | 6.166339E-5 | 5.2866526 | 5.0E-5 | 2.9575554E-4 | 1.4199995E-4 | 1.9199285E-4 | 1.3520628 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0029536223 | 0.0014191205 | 0.001499007 | 1.0562929 | 8.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.025827E-6 | 2.2446138E-6 | 2.2244569E-5 | 9.910198 | 2.0E-5 | 2.153908E-5 | 9.61974E-6 | 5.961926E-5 | 6.1975956 | 5.0E-5 | 2.6220674E-4 | 1.17114294E-4 | 1.6710845E-4 | 1.4268833 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0026189757 | 0.001170551 | 0.0012404692 | 1.0597309 | 7.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.90736E-6 | 1.309366E-6 | 1.1309353E-5 | 8.637275 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6745722E-5 | 5.611557E-6 | 3.561139E-5 | 6.34608 | 3.0E-5 | 2.0386008E-4 | 6.8318644E-5 | 9.8316596E-5 | 1.4390888 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0020367317 | 6.829847E-4 | 7.129642E-4 | 1.0438949 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.8136153E-6 | 7.5604595E-7 | 1.0756038E-5 | 14.2267 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2058295E-5 | 3.240193E-6 | 3.3240096E-5 | 10.2586775 | 3.0E-5 | 1.4679985E-4 | 3.9448656E-5 | 6.944747E-5 | 1.7604522 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0014670292 | 3.944187E-4 | 4.2440687E-4 | 1.0760313 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.1845249E-6 | 5.7360586E-7 | 1.05736E-5 | 18.433563 | 1.0E-5 | 9.362217E-6 | 2.4583087E-6 | 2.245826E-5 | 9.135654 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1397902E-4 | 2.9929504E-5 | 4.9928905E-5 | 1.668217 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011392058 | 2.9925536E-4 | 3.192494E-4 | 1.0668125 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.2376645E-6 | 3.7787248E-7 | 1.0377868E-5 | 27.463945 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3042654E-6 | 1.6194525E-6 | 2.161942E-5 | 13.349833 | 2.0E-5 | 6.457752E-5 | 1.9716661E-5 | 3.9716266E-5 | 2.0143504 | 2.0E-5 | 6.4558757E-4 | 1.9714967E-4 | 2.1714573E-4 | 1.1014258 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.4118889E-7 | 7.687255E-8 | 7.687255E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.050951E-7 | 3.2945377E-7 | 3.2945377E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.367008E-6 | 4.011094E-6 | 4.011094E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.366764E-5 | 4.011041E-5 | 4.011041E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Big Pine (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.8008995E-6 | 1.2713326E-5 | 5.2712818E-5 | 4.146265 | 4.0E-5 | 4.200318E-5 | 5.448466E-5 | 1.0448194E-4 | 1.9176395 | 5.0E-5 | 5.112687E-4 | 6.6316896E-4 | 7.231292E-4 | 1.0904146 | 6.0E-5 | 0.00510094 | 0.0066174534 | 0.006696924 | 1.0120093 | 8.0E-5 |
6.1 | 9.8008995E-6 | 1.2713326E-5 | 5.2712818E-5 | 4.146265 | 4.0E-5 | 4.200318E-5 | 5.448466E-5 | 1.0448194E-4 | 1.9176395 | 5.0E-5 | 5.112687E-4 | 6.6316896E-4 | 7.231292E-4 | 1.0904146 | 6.0E-5 | 0.00510094 | 0.0066174534 | 0.006696924 | 1.0120093 | 8.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.8008995E-6 | 1.2713326E-5 | 5.2712818E-5 | 4.146265 | 4.0E-5 | 4.200318E-5 | 5.448466E-5 | 1.0448194E-4 | 1.9176395 | 5.0E-5 | 5.112687E-4 | 6.6316896E-4 | 7.231292E-4 | 1.0904146 | 6.0E-5 | 0.00510094 | 0.0066174534 | 0.006696924 | 1.0120093 | 8.0E-5 |
6.3 | 5.7497964E-6 | 8.414329E-6 | 2.841416E-5 | 3.3768778 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4641753E-5 | 3.606093E-5 | 6.605985E-5 | 1.8318952 | 3.0E-5 | 2.9997202E-4 | 4.389568E-4 | 4.7893924E-4 | 1.0910852 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0029956743 | 0.0043848017 | 0.0044345823 | 1.011353 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 5.731632E-6 | 8.3949335E-6 | 2.8394765E-5 | 3.3823693 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4563906E-5 | 3.597781E-5 | 6.597673E-5 | 1.8338174 | 3.0E-5 | 2.990245E-4 | 4.379452E-4 | 4.7792768E-4 | 1.0912956 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0029862246 | 0.0043747257 | 0.004424507 | 1.0113792 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.0605718E-6 | 7.685047E-6 | 2.7684893E-5 | 3.6024363 | 2.0E-5 | 2.1687983E-5 | 3.2935517E-5 | 6.293453E-5 | 1.9108407 | 3.0E-5 | 2.640192E-4 | 4.0091912E-4 | 4.4090307E-4 | 1.0997307 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0026370576 | 0.0040058177 | 0.0040556174 | 1.0124319 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.4132194E-6 | 7.0021524E-6 | 2.7002012E-5 | 3.8562446 | 2.0E-5 | 1.891366E-5 | 3.0008892E-5 | 6.000799E-5 | 1.9996737 | 3.0E-5 | 2.3024948E-4 | 3.6529946E-4 | 4.0528484E-4 | 1.1094592 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0023001106 | 0.0036507973 | 0.0037006147 | 1.0136456 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.7560496E-6 | 6.0718908E-6 | 2.607177E-5 | 4.293847 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6097256E-5 | 2.6022137E-5 | 5.6021356E-5 | 2.1528347 | 3.0E-5 | 1.9596648E-4 | 3.167749E-4 | 3.5676223E-4 | 1.1262326 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0019579376 | 0.003166945 | 0.0032068184 | 1.0125905 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.5159371E-6 | 5.7703633E-6 | 1.5770305E-5 | 2.732983 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5068214E-5 | 2.4729901E-5 | 4.4729408E-5 | 1.8087176 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8344008E-4 | 3.0104633E-4 | 3.310373E-4 | 1.0996225 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0018328872 | 0.0030100879 | 0.0030399975 | 1.0099365 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.8222737E-6 | 4.9092096E-6 | 4.9092096E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2095403E-5 | 2.1039303E-5 | 3.1039093E-5 | 1.4752909 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4725157E-4 | 2.5612413E-4 | 2.76119E-4 | 1.0780672 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014715404 | 0.00256193 | 0.0025818788 | 1.0077866 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.215881E-6 | 4.104374E-6 | 4.104374E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.496598E-6 | 1.7590059E-5 | 2.7589884E-5 | 1.5684929 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1561495E-4 | 2.1413846E-4 | 2.2413631E-4 | 1.0466888 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011555481 | 0.002142943 | 0.0021529214 | 1.0046564 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.720545E-6 | 3.3941278E-6 | 3.3941278E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3737438E-6 | 1.4546183E-5 | 2.4546038E-5 | 1.6874555 | 1.0E-5 | 8.977163E-5 | 1.7708569E-4 | 1.8708392E-4 | 1.0564598 | 1.0E-5 | 8.9735375E-4 | 0.0017730438 | 0.001783026 | 1.00563 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.295668E-6 | 2.8573054E-6 | 2.8573054E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.552851E-6 | 1.22455385E-5 | 1.22455385E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.760386E-5 | 1.4907945E-4 | 1.4907945E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7583297E-4 | 0.0014933742 | 0.0014933742 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.1518136E-6 | 2.674298E-6 | 2.674298E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.936335E-6 | 1.14612285E-5 | 1.14612285E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0098217E-5 | 1.3953174E-4 | 1.3953174E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0081965E-4 | 0.0013978267 | 0.0013978267 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.0497845E-6 | 2.5431295E-6 | 2.5431295E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.499069E-6 | 1.0899082E-5 | 1.0899082E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4774784E-5 | 1.3268845E-4 | 1.3268845E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4761284E-4 | 0.0013292353 | 0.0013292353 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 9.851914E-7 | 2.452362E-6 | 2.452362E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.222242E-6 | 1.0510082E-5 | 1.0510082E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1404582E-5 | 1.2795294E-4 | 1.2795294E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.139269E-4 | 0.0012817009 | 0.0012817009 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 7.929028E-7 | 2.040416E-6 | 2.040416E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3981505E-6 | 8.7446115E-6 | 8.7446115E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.13717E-5 | 1.064606E-4 | 1.064606E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1363997E-4 | 0.001066946 | 0.001066946 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.400834E-7 | 1.2159534E-6 | 1.2159534E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8860703E-6 | 5.2112186E-6 | 5.2112186E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2962664E-5 | 6.3444786E-5 | 6.3444786E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2960291E-4 | 6.380156E-4 | 6.380156E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 8.7668944E-8 | 1.8305552E-7 | 1.8305552E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.75724E-7 | 7.845234E-7 | 7.845234E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.57443E-6 | 9.5515325E-6 | 9.5515325E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5743356E-5 | 9.634477E-5 | 9.634477E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.4872758E-8 | 3.1759154E-8 | 3.1759154E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0659753E-7 | 1.3611064E-7 | 1.3611064E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2978242E-6 | 1.657146E-6 | 1.657146E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2978166E-5 | 1.686491E-5 | 1.686491E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pine Mtn
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.355272E-6 | 6.6023094E-6 | 2.6602178E-5 | 4.029223 | 2.0E-5 | 2.7236596E-5 | 2.8295339E-5 | 5.829449E-5 | 2.0602152 | 3.0E-5 | 3.315551E-4 | 3.4444736E-4 | 4.0442668E-4 | 1.1741321 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0033106084 | 0.0034397321 | 0.0035194568 | 1.0231776 | 8.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.355272E-6 | 6.6023094E-6 | 2.6602178E-5 | 4.029223 | 2.0E-5 | 2.7236596E-5 | 2.8295339E-5 | 5.829449E-5 | 2.0602152 | 3.0E-5 | 3.315551E-4 | 3.4444736E-4 | 4.0442668E-4 | 1.1741321 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0033106084 | 0.0034397321 | 0.0035194568 | 1.0231776 | 8.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.355272E-6 | 6.6023094E-6 | 2.6602178E-5 | 4.029223 | 2.0E-5 | 2.7236596E-5 | 2.8295339E-5 | 5.829449E-5 | 2.0602152 | 3.0E-5 | 3.315551E-4 | 3.4444736E-4 | 4.0442668E-4 | 1.1741321 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0033106084 | 0.0034397321 | 0.0035194568 | 1.0231776 | 8.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.355272E-6 | 6.6023094E-6 | 2.6602178E-5 | 4.029223 | 2.0E-5 | 2.7236596E-5 | 2.8295339E-5 | 5.829449E-5 | 2.0602152 | 3.0E-5 | 3.315551E-4 | 3.4444736E-4 | 4.0442668E-4 | 1.1741321 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0033106084 | 0.0034397321 | 0.0035194568 | 1.0231776 | 8.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.355272E-6 | 6.6023094E-6 | 2.6602178E-5 | 4.029223 | 2.0E-5 | 2.7236596E-5 | 2.8295339E-5 | 5.829449E-5 | 2.0602152 | 3.0E-5 | 3.315551E-4 | 3.4444736E-4 | 4.0442668E-4 | 1.1741321 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0033106084 | 0.0034397321 | 0.0035194568 | 1.0231776 | 8.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.355272E-6 | 6.6023094E-6 | 2.6602178E-5 | 4.029223 | 2.0E-5 | 2.7236596E-5 | 2.8295339E-5 | 5.829449E-5 | 2.0602152 | 3.0E-5 | 3.315551E-4 | 3.4444736E-4 | 4.0442668E-4 | 1.1741321 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0033106084 | 0.0034397321 | 0.0035194568 | 1.0231776 | 8.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.355272E-6 | 6.6023094E-6 | 2.6602178E-5 | 4.029223 | 2.0E-5 | 2.7236596E-5 | 2.8295339E-5 | 5.829449E-5 | 2.0602152 | 3.0E-5 | 3.315551E-4 | 3.4444736E-4 | 4.0442668E-4 | 1.1741321 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0033106084 | 0.0034397321 | 0.0035194568 | 1.0231776 | 8.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.0693135E-6 | 4.2623924E-6 | 1.4262349E-5 | 3.3460903 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7439797E-5 | 1.8267272E-5 | 3.8266906E-5 | 2.0948343 | 2.0E-5 | 2.1230885E-4 | 2.2238199E-4 | 2.5237532E-4 | 1.134873 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0021210613 | 0.0022216598 | 0.002261571 | 1.0179646 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.7492343E-6 | 3.93583E-6 | 1.3935791E-5 | 3.54075 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6068048E-5 | 1.6867738E-5 | 3.68674E-5 | 2.1856754 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9561092E-4 | 2.0534593E-4 | 2.3533977E-4 | 1.1460649 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0019543883 | 0.0020516203 | 0.0020915382 | 1.0194567 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.057504E-6 | 3.2290106E-6 | 1.3228978E-5 | 4.096914 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3103523E-5 | 1.3838546E-5 | 3.383827E-5 | 2.4452186 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5952371E-4 | 1.6847171E-4 | 1.9846666E-4 | 1.1780415 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0015940925 | 0.0016834836 | 0.0017234163 | 1.0237203 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.8852844E-6 | 3.0539552E-6 | 1.3053925E-5 | 4.274432 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2365445E-5 | 1.3088316E-5 | 3.3088054E-5 | 2.5280604 | 2.0E-5 | 1.505389E-4 | 1.5933903E-4 | 1.8933426E-4 | 1.1882478 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0015043695 | 0.0015922908 | 0.0016322272 | 1.025081 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.2029894E-6 | 2.3582113E-6 | 1.2358188E-5 | 5.2404923 | 1.0E-5 | 9.44135E-6 | 1.0106582E-5 | 2.0106481E-5 | 1.9894443 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1494237E-4 | 1.23041E-4 | 1.4303855E-4 | 1.1625274 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011488294 | 0.0012297595 | 0.001249735 | 1.0162433 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.6192422E-6 | 1.7491102E-6 | 1.7491102E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.939591E-6 | 7.4961667E-6 | 7.4961667E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.4486244E-5 | 9.126225E-5 | 1.01261336E-4 | 1.1095643 | 1.0E-5 | 8.445413E-4 | 9.1227185E-4 | 9.222627E-4 | 1.0109516 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.3188192E-6 | 1.4404238E-6 | 1.4404238E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.65207E-6 | 6.1732317E-6 | 6.1732317E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.881178E-5 | 7.5156735E-5 | 7.5156735E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.879047E-4 | 7.5133546E-4 | 7.5133546E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.158252E-6 | 1.2733329E-6 | 1.2733329E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9639275E-6 | 5.457131E-6 | 5.457131E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.043414E-5 | 6.643877E-5 | 6.643877E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0417707E-4 | 6.642111E-4 | 6.642111E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.0027939E-6 | 1.1118782E-6 | 1.1118782E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2976812E-6 | 4.7651847E-6 | 4.7651847E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2323012E-5 | 5.80148E-5 | 5.80148E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2310695E-4 | 5.800185E-4 | 5.800185E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 7.8252765E-7 | 8.803235E-7 | 8.803235E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3536855E-6 | 3.772811E-6 | 3.772811E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0830357E-5 | 4.5933222E-5 | 4.5933222E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0822854E-4 | 4.592588E-4 | 4.592588E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.6579446E-8 | 6.7286315E-8 | 6.7286315E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8534046E-7 | 2.8836988E-7 | 2.8836988E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4740146E-6 | 3.5108978E-6 | 3.5108978E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.47396E-5 | 3.5108445E-5 | 3.5108445E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 8.746529E-9 | 8.806883E-9 | 8.806883E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7485123E-8 | 3.7743785E-8 | 3.7743785E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.563813E-7 | 4.595305E-7 | 4.595305E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5638035E-6 | 4.595298E-6 | 4.595298E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Clemente
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.034143E-5 | 7.207291E-5 | 9.207147E-5 | 1.2774768 | 2.0E-5 | 2.585805E-4 | 3.0884927E-4 | 3.488369E-4 | 1.129473 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0031436728 | 0.003754079 | 0.0038038914 | 1.0132688 | 5.0E-5 | 0.030995715 | 0.036943104 | 0.037010517 | 1.0018249 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.034143E-5 | 7.207291E-5 | 8.207218E-5 | 1.1387384 | 1.0E-5 | 2.585805E-4 | 3.0884927E-4 | 3.3884E-4 | 1.0971048 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0031436728 | 0.003754079 | 0.0037839664 | 1.0079613 | 3.0E-5 | 0.030995715 | 0.036943104 | 0.036981624 | 1.0010427 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.9792965E-5 | 4.636772E-5 | 4.636772E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7053014E-4 | 1.98704E-4 | 2.0870201E-4 | 1.0503161 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020742272 | 0.002416593 | 0.002426569 | 1.0041281 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020549731 | 0.023910128 | 0.02392965 | 1.0008165 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.3245466E-5 | 3.8356677E-5 | 3.8356677E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4247278E-4 | 1.6437558E-4 | 1.6437558E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001733226 | 0.001999468 | 0.001999468 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017197698 | 0.019818831 | 0.019828634 | 1.0004946 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.9667559E-5 | 3.4050106E-5 | 3.4050106E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2714048E-4 | 1.45921E-4 | 1.45921E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015468362 | 0.0017751663 | 0.0017751663 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015361133 | 0.017613003 | 0.017622827 | 1.0005578 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.7897115E-5 | 3.1955307E-5 | 3.1955307E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1955358E-4 | 1.3694426E-4 | 1.3694426E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014545929 | 0.0016660459 | 0.0016660459 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014451085 | 0.016538471 | 0.016538471 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 2.2295419E-5 | 2.5335687E-5 | 2.5335687E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.55483E-5 | 1.08577064E-4 | 1.08577064E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011626796 | 0.0013211373 | 0.0013211373 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011566153 | 0.013134385 | 0.013134385 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.9590509E-5 | 2.2185315E-5 | 2.2185315E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.395662E-5 | 9.507651E-5 | 9.507651E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010216924 | 0.0011569514 | 0.0011569514 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010170079 | 0.011510396 | 0.011510396 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.6257263E-5 | 1.8337483E-5 | 1.8337483E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9672125E-5 | 7.858688E-5 | 7.858688E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.47928E-4 | 9.5638284E-4 | 9.5638284E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008446999 | 0.009523506 | 0.009523506 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.4725595E-5 | 1.6584168E-5 | 1.6584168E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3108164E-5 | 7.107311E-5 | 7.107311E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6807104E-4 | 8.6497853E-4 | 8.6497853E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007654218 | 0.008616871 | 0.008616871 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.1924664E-5 | 1.3402839E-5 | 1.3402839E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1104704E-5 | 5.7439505E-5 | 5.7439505E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2202214E-4 | 6.9910736E-4 | 6.9910736E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006202839 | 0.006969686 | 0.006969686 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.0478149E-5 | 1.1771301E-5 | 1.1771301E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.490558E-5 | 5.044749E-5 | 5.044749E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.465883E-4 | 6.1403064E-4 | 6.1403064E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0054524583 | 0.0061239093 | 0.0061239093 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 8.954729E-6 | 1.0062444E-5 | 1.0062444E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8376846E-5 | 4.3124077E-5 | 4.3124077E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6713793E-4 | 5.2491453E-4 | 5.2491453E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0046615717 | 0.005237292 | 0.005237292 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 7.2278913E-6 | 8.130091E-6 | 8.130091E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.097631E-5 | 3.4842815E-5 | 3.4842815E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.770713E-4 | 4.2413396E-4 | 4.2413396E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037643213 | 0.0042337677 | 0.0042337677 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.5419747E-6 | 2.8676761E-6 | 2.8676761E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0894132E-5 | 1.2290003E-5 | 1.2290003E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3262799E-4 | 1.4962416E-4 | 1.4962416E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013254886 | 0.0014955922 | 0.0014955922 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Calaveras (So) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6525469E-4 | 3.2211485E-4 | 3.4210843E-4 | 1.0620697 | 2.0E-5 | 7.080421E-4 | 0.0013794812 | 0.0014094398 | 1.0217173 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008586391 | 0.016621325 | 0.01666066 | 1.0023665 | 4.0E-5 | 0.08262107 | 0.15053348 | 0.15059294 | 1.000395 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.3798552E-4 | 2.668465E-4 | 2.8684118E-4 | 1.0749295 | 2.0E-5 | 5.912325E-4 | 0.0011429568 | 0.0011729224 | 1.0262177 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0071745235 | 0.013792503 | 0.013831951 | 1.0028601 | 4.0E-5 | 0.06947268 | 0.12670377 | 0.12676491 | 1.0004824 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.1575988E-4 | 2.2092002E-4 | 2.2092002E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9601943E-4 | 9.463035E-4 | 9.56294E-4 | 1.0105574 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0060223276 | 0.011437243 | 0.011457015 | 1.0017287 | 2.0E-5 | 0.058617134 | 0.10660625 | 0.10665092 | 1.000419 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 8.8842135E-5 | 1.6516905E-4 | 1.6516905E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.806964E-4 | 7.076295E-4 | 7.176224E-4 | 1.0141217 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0046251323 | 0.0085737435 | 0.008583657 | 1.0011563 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04530047 | 0.08172919 | 0.08176592 | 1.0004494 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 8.6804044E-5 | 1.6180574E-4 | 1.6180574E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7196427E-4 | 6.93223E-4 | 7.0321606E-4 | 1.0144154 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045192647 | 0.008399705 | 0.008409621 | 1.0011805 | 1.0E-5 | 0.044284567 | 0.08014141 | 0.08017821 | 1.0004591 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 8.5282685E-5 | 1.591255E-4 | 1.591255E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6544603E-4 | 6.817437E-4 | 6.9173693E-4 | 1.0146582 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0044402312 | 0.008261187 | 0.008271104 | 1.0012004 | 1.0E-5 | 0.043525536 | 0.078884274 | 0.07892112 | 1.0004671 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.225166E-5 | 1.5377763E-4 | 1.5377763E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.524595E-4 | 6.5883854E-4 | 6.68832E-4 | 1.0151682 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042827534 | 0.007984999 | 0.007994919 | 1.0012424 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0420115 | 0.076376475 | 0.076413415 | 1.0004838 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.041567E-5 | 1.5042946E-4 | 1.5042946E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4459308E-4 | 6.444981E-4 | 6.5449165E-4 | 1.0155059 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004187352 | 0.0078120967 | 0.007822018 | 1.00127 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04109324 | 0.0748079 | 0.074844904 | 1.0004947 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 7.114949E-5 | 1.2995249E-4 | 1.2995249E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0489074E-4 | 5.568007E-4 | 5.667951E-4 | 1.0179497 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037057274 | 0.0067544365 | 0.0067643686 | 1.0014706 | 1.0E-5 | 0.036445383 | 0.065176375 | 0.06521377 | 1.0005738 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.647474E-5 | 9.822974E-5 | 9.822974E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4201213E-4 | 4.2091703E-4 | 4.3091283E-4 | 1.0237477 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029425167 | 0.0051126955 | 0.0051226444 | 1.001946 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02903858 | 0.050022446 | 0.050050944 | 1.0005697 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.8474198E-5 | 8.291564E-5 | 8.291564E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0773002E-4 | 3.5530468E-4 | 3.6530112E-4 | 1.0281348 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0025261794 | 0.0043173167 | 0.0043272735 | 1.0023062 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02497655 | 0.04250828 | 0.042537004 | 1.0006758 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.2747037E-5 | 7.250189E-5 | 7.250189E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8318872E-4 | 3.106857E-4 | 3.206826E-4 | 1.0321769 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022280412 | 0.0037760932 | 0.0037860556 | 1.0026382 | 1.0E-5 | 0.022058345 | 0.037348 | 0.03737688 | 1.0007733 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.2276734E-5 | 5.4324988E-5 | 5.4324988E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3832153E-4 | 2.3280074E-4 | 2.4279841E-4 | 1.0429451 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016827637 | 0.00283069 | 0.002840662 | 1.0035228 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01670078 | 0.028246358 | 0.02827551 | 1.0010321 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.5260142E-5 | 4.1905452E-5 | 4.1905452E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0825326E-4 | 1.7958255E-4 | 1.8958075E-4 | 1.0556747 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013171865 | 0.0021842446 | 0.0021942228 | 1.0045682 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013094065 | 0.021898827 | 0.021928169 | 1.0013399 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.6515445E-5 | 2.803263E-5 | 2.803263E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0778566E-5 | 1.2013432E-4 | 1.3013312E-4 | 1.0832301 | 1.0E-5 | 8.613883E-4 | 0.0014616564 | 0.0014716418 | 1.0068315 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00858057 | 0.014740594 | 0.014770152 | 1.0020052 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.4177608E-5 | 2.529093E-5 | 2.529093E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.075976E-5 | 1.0838521E-4 | 1.1838413E-4 | 1.0922536 | 1.0E-5 | 7.39499E-4 | 0.0013187935 | 0.0013287803 | 1.0075727 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0073704296 | 0.013325663 | 0.0133552635 | 1.0022213 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 8.981956E-6 | 1.6586297E-5 | 1.6586297E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.849353E-5 | 7.10822E-5 | 8.108149E-5 | 1.1406722 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6855793E-4 | 8.6508354E-4 | 8.750749E-4 | 1.0115496 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004675712 | 0.008807267 | 0.008837003 | 1.0033762 | 3.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.0880122E-6 | 7.651152E-6 | 7.651152E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7519935E-5 | 3.279024E-5 | 4.2789914E-5 | 1.3049588 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1328434E-4 | 3.9914815E-4 | 4.0914415E-4 | 1.0250434 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021307974 | 0.0041417717 | 0.004171647 | 1.0072132 | 3.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.3825577E-6 | 6.622581E-6 | 6.622581E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4496595E-5 | 2.8382183E-5 | 3.83819E-5 | 1.3523238 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7648176E-4 | 3.4549835E-4 | 3.5549488E-4 | 1.0289336 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017634167 | 0.0035830191 | 0.0036129116 | 1.0083429 | 3.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.4417336E-6 | 5.1730476E-6 | 5.1730476E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.04645305E-5 | 2.2170016E-5 | 2.2170016E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2739822E-4 | 2.6988657E-4 | 2.6988657E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012732521 | 0.0027822983 | 0.0027922704 | 1.0035841 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.502616E-6 | 3.2203154E-6 | 3.2203154E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.439767E-6 | 1.3801279E-5 | 1.3801279E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.840134E-5 | 1.6801765E-4 | 1.6801765E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.837369E-4 | 0.001720481 | 0.001720481 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 9.91034E-7 | 2.0496327E-6 | 2.0496327E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2472816E-6 | 8.784111E-6 | 8.784111E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1709427E-5 | 1.0694132E-4 | 1.0694132E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1697396E-4 | 0.0010932586 | 0.0010932586 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hosgri
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.1638054E-5 | 3.211434E-5 | 5.21137E-5 | 1.6227547 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3558462E-4 | 1.3762579E-4 | 1.6762166E-4 | 1.2179524 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0016494928 | 0.0016743338 | 0.0017142668 | 1.0238501 | 4.0E-5 | 0.016373027 | 0.016621402 | 0.016680405 | 1.0035498 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.1638054E-5 | 3.211434E-5 | 5.21137E-5 | 1.6227547 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3558462E-4 | 1.3762579E-4 | 1.6762166E-4 | 1.2179524 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0016494928 | 0.0016743338 | 0.0017142668 | 1.0238501 | 4.0E-5 | 0.016373027 | 0.016621402 | 0.016680405 | 1.0035498 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.1638054E-5 | 3.211434E-5 | 5.21137E-5 | 1.6227547 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3558462E-4 | 1.3762579E-4 | 1.6762166E-4 | 1.2179524 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0016494928 | 0.0016743338 | 0.0017142668 | 1.0238501 | 4.0E-5 | 0.016373027 | 0.016621402 | 0.016680405 | 1.0035498 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.6084575E-5 | 2.599108E-5 | 4.599056E-5 | 1.7694747 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1178624E-4 | 1.11385634E-4 | 1.3138341E-4 | 1.1795363 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0013601477 | 0.0013552849 | 0.0013852443 | 1.0221056 | 3.0E-5 | 0.013518529 | 0.0134722935 | 0.01352162 | 1.0036613 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.2849106E-5 | 2.245034E-5 | 4.244989E-5 | 1.8908352 | 2.0E-5 | 9.792107E-5 | 9.6212214E-5 | 1.16210285E-4 | 1.2078538 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011915369 | 0.0011707578 | 0.0011907343 | 1.0170629 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011851682 | 0.011647418 | 0.011677069 | 1.0025457 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.2505961E-5 | 2.2092956E-5 | 4.2092513E-5 | 1.9052459 | 2.0E-5 | 9.645055E-5 | 9.4680676E-5 | 1.1467878E-4 | 1.2112163 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011736528 | 0.0011521311 | 0.0011721081 | 1.0173391 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011674736 | 0.011463085 | 0.011492741 | 1.0025871 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.0274381E-5 | 1.9692287E-5 | 3.969189E-5 | 2.0156062 | 2.0E-5 | 8.688731E-5 | 8.439279E-5 | 1.043911E-4 | 1.2369671 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010573396 | 0.0010270004 | 0.0010469799 | 1.0194542 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010523229 | 0.010223892 | 0.010253585 | 1.0029043 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.8711693E-5 | 1.802572E-5 | 2.8025539E-5 | 1.5547528 | 1.0E-5 | 8.0190504E-5 | 7.725081E-5 | 8.725004E-5 | 1.1294385 | 1.0E-5 | 9.7588205E-4 | 9.4012485E-4 | 9.501155E-4 | 1.0106269 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009716077 | 0.009362764 | 0.009382577 | 1.0021161 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.6960548E-5 | 1.6162976E-5 | 2.6162816E-5 | 1.6186879 | 1.0E-5 | 7.268604E-5 | 6.926807E-5 | 7.9267375E-5 | 1.1443566 | 1.0E-5 | 8.845932E-4 | 8.4301375E-4 | 8.5300533E-4 | 1.0118521 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008810802 | 0.008399342 | 0.008409258 | 1.0011805 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.4787156E-5 | 1.3865933E-5 | 2.3865796E-5 | 1.721182 | 1.0E-5 | 6.337199E-5 | 5.942408E-5 | 6.9423484E-5 | 1.1682719 | 1.0E-5 | 7.712808E-4 | 7.232486E-4 | 7.332413E-4 | 1.0138165 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007686094 | 0.0072100284 | 0.0072199563 | 1.001377 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.30673025E-5 | 1.2066674E-5 | 2.2066553E-5 | 1.8287188 | 1.0E-5 | 5.600152E-5 | 5.171329E-5 | 6.171277E-5 | 1.1933639 | 1.0E-5 | 6.8160525E-4 | 6.2942755E-4 | 6.394213E-4 | 1.0158775 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0067951838 | 0.0062774713 | 0.0062874085 | 1.001583 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.1889126E-5 | 1.0867746E-5 | 2.0867637E-5 | 1.920144 | 1.0E-5 | 5.09524E-5 | 4.6575224E-5 | 5.6574758E-5 | 1.2146964 | 1.0E-5 | 6.201689E-4 | 5.669059E-4 | 5.769002E-4 | 1.0176296 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0061844103 | 0.0056556095 | 0.0056655533 | 1.0017581 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.0774642E-5 | 9.76861E-6 | 1.9768511E-5 | 2.023677 | 1.0E-5 | 4.617622E-5 | 4.1864798E-5 | 5.186438E-5 | 1.2388542 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6205044E-4 | 5.095848E-4 | 5.195797E-4 | 1.0196139 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0056063104 | 0.0050851684 | 0.0050951173 | 1.0019565 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.415895E-6 | 8.457124E-6 | 1.845704E-5 | 2.182425 | 1.0E-5 | 4.035321E-5 | 3.6244313E-5 | 4.6243953E-5 | 1.2758954 | 1.0E-5 | 4.911896E-4 | 4.411852E-4 | 4.511808E-4 | 1.0226562 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004901053 | 0.0044040913 | 0.004414047 | 1.0022606 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 8.480416E-6 | 7.525307E-6 | 1.7525232E-5 | 2.3288395 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6344136E-5 | 3.2250915E-5 | 4.2250595E-5 | 1.3100587 | 1.0E-5 | 4.424E-4 | 3.925842E-4 | 4.0258025E-4 | 1.0254623 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004415203 | 0.0039199013 | 0.0039298623 | 1.0025411 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 7.4056197E-6 | 6.4316328E-6 | 1.6431568E-5 | 2.554805 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1737985E-5 | 2.756385E-5 | 3.7563575E-5 | 1.362784 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8634145E-4 | 3.355382E-4 | 3.4553485E-4 | 1.0297929 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0038567046 | 0.0033513084 | 0.0033612747 | 1.0029739 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.0101156E-6 | 5.0022154E-6 | 5.0022154E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5757383E-5 | 2.1437889E-5 | 2.1437889E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1355102E-4 | 2.6097507E-4 | 2.6097507E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031310897 | 0.002607676 | 0.002607676 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.0703303E-6 | 3.0034437E-6 | 3.0034437E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7444156E-5 | 1.28718375E-5 | 1.28718375E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.123619E-4 | 1.5670336E-4 | 1.5670336E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021215908 | 0.0015669168 | 0.0015669168 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.318548E-6 | 1.3738777E-6 | 1.3738777E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.936596E-6 | 5.8880337E-6 | 5.8880337E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.20971345E-4 | 7.168446E-5 | 7.168446E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012090551 | 7.175922E-4 | 7.175922E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.3165366E-6 | 6.083549E-7 | 6.083549E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6422873E-6 | 2.6072325E-6 | 2.6072325E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.869269E-5 | 3.1742595E-5 | 3.1742595E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8671454E-4 | 3.1828697E-4 | 3.1828697E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 7.5241275E-7 | 2.9471892E-7 | 2.9471892E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.224622E-6 | 1.2630804E-6 | 1.2630804E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9259066E-5 | 1.5377896E-5 | 1.5377896E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9252132E-4 | 1.5455259E-4 | 1.5455259E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.6670903E-7 | 7.269992E-8 | 7.269992E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1446703E-7 | 3.1157106E-7 | 3.1157106E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.698602E-6 | 3.793371E-6 | 3.793371E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.698261E-5 | 3.800388E-5 | 3.800388E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Channel Islands Thrust
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.539326E-5 | 1.6073596E-5 | 4.6073113E-5 | 2.866385 | 3.0E-5 | 6.596944E-5 | 6.888522E-5 | 1.0888247E-4 | 1.580636 | 4.0E-5 | 8.0288196E-4 | 8.383909E-4 | 8.783573E-4 | 1.0476705 | 4.0E-5 | 0.007999874 | 0.008355856 | 0.008425271 | 1.0083073 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.539326E-5 | 1.6073596E-5 | 4.6073113E-5 | 2.866385 | 3.0E-5 | 6.596944E-5 | 6.888522E-5 | 1.0888247E-4 | 1.580636 | 4.0E-5 | 8.0288196E-4 | 8.383909E-4 | 8.783573E-4 | 1.0476705 | 4.0E-5 | 0.007999874 | 0.008355856 | 0.008425271 | 1.0083073 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.539326E-5 | 1.6073596E-5 | 4.6073113E-5 | 2.866385 | 3.0E-5 | 6.596944E-5 | 6.888522E-5 | 1.0888247E-4 | 1.580636 | 4.0E-5 | 8.0288196E-4 | 8.383909E-4 | 8.783573E-4 | 1.0476705 | 4.0E-5 | 0.007999874 | 0.008355856 | 0.008425271 | 1.0083073 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.539326E-5 | 1.6073596E-5 | 4.6073113E-5 | 2.866385 | 3.0E-5 | 6.596944E-5 | 6.888522E-5 | 1.0888247E-4 | 1.580636 | 4.0E-5 | 8.0288196E-4 | 8.383909E-4 | 8.783573E-4 | 1.0476705 | 4.0E-5 | 0.007999874 | 0.008355856 | 0.008425271 | 1.0083073 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.539326E-5 | 1.6073596E-5 | 4.6073113E-5 | 2.866385 | 3.0E-5 | 6.596944E-5 | 6.888522E-5 | 1.0888247E-4 | 1.580636 | 4.0E-5 | 8.0288196E-4 | 8.383909E-4 | 8.783573E-4 | 1.0476705 | 4.0E-5 | 0.007999874 | 0.008355856 | 0.008425271 | 1.0083073 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.539326E-5 | 1.6073596E-5 | 4.6073113E-5 | 2.866385 | 3.0E-5 | 6.596944E-5 | 6.888522E-5 | 1.0888247E-4 | 1.580636 | 4.0E-5 | 8.0288196E-4 | 8.383909E-4 | 8.783573E-4 | 1.0476705 | 4.0E-5 | 0.007999874 | 0.008355856 | 0.008425271 | 1.0083073 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.539326E-5 | 1.6073596E-5 | 4.6073113E-5 | 2.866385 | 3.0E-5 | 6.596944E-5 | 6.888522E-5 | 1.0888247E-4 | 1.580636 | 4.0E-5 | 8.0288196E-4 | 8.383909E-4 | 8.783573E-4 | 1.0476705 | 4.0E-5 | 0.007999874 | 0.008355856 | 0.008425271 | 1.0083073 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.828265E-6 | 1.0074066E-5 | 3.0073865E-5 | 2.9852755 | 2.0E-5 | 4.2120457E-5 | 4.3173874E-5 | 6.317301E-5 | 1.4632231 | 2.0E-5 | 5.126959E-4 | 5.2551815E-4 | 5.4550765E-4 | 1.0380377 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0051151463 | 0.005243065 | 0.0052928026 | 1.0094864 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 9.818887E-6 | 1.0064142E-5 | 3.006394E-5 | 2.9872334 | 2.0E-5 | 4.2080264E-5 | 4.3131342E-5 | 6.313048E-5 | 1.4636799 | 2.0E-5 | 5.1220675E-4 | 5.2500056E-4 | 5.4499006E-4 | 1.0380752 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005110278 | 0.005237913 | 0.0052876514 | 1.0094957 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.293576E-6 | 8.4316E-6 | 1.8431516E-5 | 2.1860044 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5543413E-5 | 3.6134934E-5 | 4.6134573E-5 | 1.2767305 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3265513E-4 | 4.3985518E-4 | 4.4985078E-4 | 1.0227247 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004318137 | 0.0043899687 | 0.004429793 | 1.0090717 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.017998E-6 | 8.1406715E-6 | 1.814059E-5 | 2.22839 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4362398E-5 | 3.488813E-5 | 4.4887784E-5 | 1.2866204 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1828185E-4 | 4.2468132E-4 | 4.346771E-4 | 1.023537 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0041749543 | 0.0042388164 | 0.004278647 | 1.0093966 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.766459E-6 | 7.875936E-6 | 1.7875856E-5 | 2.2696805 | 1.0E-5 | 3.32844E-5 | 3.375358E-5 | 4.375324E-5 | 1.2962549 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0516222E-4 | 4.1087344E-4 | 4.2086933E-4 | 1.0243284 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004044243 | 0.004101255 | 0.004141091 | 1.009713 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.8868976E-6 | 6.9466864E-6 | 1.6946617E-5 | 2.4395254 | 1.0E-5 | 2.951494E-5 | 2.977118E-5 | 3.977088E-5 | 1.3358853 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5928516E-4 | 3.624048E-4 | 3.7240118E-4 | 1.0275835 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0035870483 | 0.0036182413 | 0.0036580965 | 1.011015 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 5.889687E-6 | 5.889101E-6 | 5.889101E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5241272E-5 | 2.5238764E-5 | 2.5238764E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0726913E-4 | 3.0723933E-4 | 3.0723933E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030684462 | 0.0030682196 | 0.0030981274 | 1.0097476 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 5.173477E-6 | 5.136931E-6 | 5.136931E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2171856E-5 | 2.2015236E-5 | 2.2015236E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.699089E-4 | 2.6800323E-4 | 2.6800323E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002695813 | 0.0026768716 | 0.002696818 | 1.0074514 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.7516095E-6 | 3.6572487E-6 | 3.6572487E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6078227E-5 | 1.5673833E-5 | 1.5673833E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9573483E-4 | 1.9081286E-4 | 1.9081286E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019556251 | 0.0019065557 | 0.0019265176 | 1.0104702 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.4342953E-6 | 1.3753537E-6 | 1.3753537E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.146965E-6 | 5.8943597E-6 | 5.8943597E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.483673E-5 | 7.17615E-5 | 7.17615E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4811536E-4 | 7.17386E-4 | 7.17386E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 7.7341116E-7 | 7.026811E-7 | 7.026811E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.314615E-6 | 3.0114873E-6 | 3.0114873E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.035469E-5 | 3.6664253E-5 | 3.6664253E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0347362E-4 | 3.6658352E-4 | 3.6658352E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.5716753E-7 | 2.220591E-7 | 2.220591E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.102146E-6 | 9.5168156E-7 | 9.5168156E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3418546E-5 | 1.15866715E-5 | 1.15866715E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3417735E-4 | 1.15861636E-4 | 1.15861636E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.2171326E-9 | 3.9836703E-9 | 3.9836703E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6644855E-8 | 1.7072871E-8 | 1.7072871E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2440104E-7 | 2.078622E-7 | 2.078622E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2440057E-6 | 2.078621E-6 | 2.078621E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Rose Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.02871E-5 | 4.226173E-5 | 5.2261308E-5 | 1.2366107 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7264757E-4 | 1.8110992E-4 | 2.1110447E-4 | 1.1656153 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0020999578 | 0.0022029052 | 0.002262773 | 1.0271767 | 6.0E-5 | 0.020802243 | 0.021843644 | 0.021912115 | 1.0031346 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.02871E-5 | 4.226173E-5 | 5.2261308E-5 | 1.2366107 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7264757E-4 | 1.8110992E-4 | 2.1110447E-4 | 1.1656153 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0020999578 | 0.0022029052 | 0.002252795 | 1.0226473 | 5.0E-5 | 0.020802243 | 0.021843644 | 0.021892553 | 1.002239 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.870627E-5 | 2.8787055E-5 | 2.8787055E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2302108E-4 | 1.2336744E-4 | 1.3336621E-4 | 1.0810486 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014967525 | 0.0015009922 | 0.0015309472 | 1.0199568 | 3.0E-5 | 0.014867114 | 0.014930922 | 0.014960473 | 1.0019792 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.4322904E-5 | 2.3757339E-5 | 2.3757339E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0423685E-4 | 1.0181328E-4 | 1.0181328E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012683448 | 0.001238887 | 0.0012588622 | 1.0161235 | 2.0E-5 | 0.012611301 | 0.012341932 | 0.012361686 | 1.0016005 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0855947E-5 | 1.9957291E-5 | 1.9957291E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9379566E-5 | 8.552851E-5 | 8.552851E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010876529 | 0.0010408233 | 0.0010608025 | 1.0191956 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010823448 | 0.010377891 | 0.010397684 | 1.0019072 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.8447192E-5 | 1.7348424E-5 | 1.7348424E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9057E-5 | 7.434831E-5 | 7.434831E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.620939E-4 | 9.048223E-4 | 9.248042E-4 | 1.0220838 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009579392 | 0.009022163 | 0.009041984 | 1.0021968 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.5681402E-5 | 1.4424236E-5 | 1.4424236E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.720427E-5 | 6.181672E-5 | 6.181672E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.179049E-4 | 7.5236417E-4 | 7.623567E-4 | 1.0132815 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008149011 | 0.0075056204 | 0.007515545 | 1.0013224 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2825906E-5 | 1.1514733E-5 | 1.1514733E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.496701E-5 | 4.9347946E-5 | 4.9347946E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.690179E-4 | 6.0065E-4 | 6.10644E-4 | 1.0166386 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006670073 | 0.0059897946 | 0.0059997346 | 1.0016595 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.1619176E-5 | 1.042883E-5 | 1.042883E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.979552E-5 | 4.4694243E-5 | 4.4694243E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0609175E-4 | 5.4402073E-4 | 5.540153E-4 | 1.0183717 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006044414 | 0.005426877 | 0.005436823 | 1.0018327 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.650105E-6 | 7.642634E-6 | 7.642634E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.707135E-5 | 3.2753753E-5 | 3.2753753E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5125023E-4 | 3.9870682E-4 | 3.9870682E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045033502 | 0.003978964 | 0.003978964 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 5.837778E-6 | 4.9201394E-6 | 4.9201394E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.501881E-5 | 2.1086142E-5 | 2.1086142E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0456143E-4 | 2.566937E-4 | 2.566937E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030414436 | 0.0025639886 | 0.0025639886 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 4.7008325E-6 | 3.7862812E-6 | 3.7862812E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.014627E-5 | 1.6226819E-5 | 1.6226819E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4525324E-4 | 1.9754372E-4 | 1.9754372E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024498273 | 0.001973692 | 0.001973692 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.5867215E-6 | 2.6804641E-6 | 2.6804641E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5371574E-5 | 1.1487653E-5 | 1.1487653E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8713283E-4 | 1.3985328E-4 | 1.3985328E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018697532 | 0.0013976597 | 0.0013976597 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.8182758E-6 | 2.0037774E-6 | 2.0037774E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2078269E-5 | 8.587589E-6 | 8.587589E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.47043E-4 | 1.04548926E-4 | 1.04548926E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014694574 | 0.0010450019 | 0.0010450019 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.2163404E-6 | 1.5507559E-6 | 1.5507559E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.498567E-6 | 6.64608E-6 | 6.64608E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1563892E-4 | 8.091306E-5 | 8.091306E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011557876 | 8.0884004E-4 | 8.0884004E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.2291069E-6 | 7.8619877E-7 | 7.8619877E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2675905E-6 | 3.369419E-6 | 3.369419E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4131025E-5 | 4.1021925E-5 | 4.1021925E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4112525E-4 | 4.1014582E-4 | 4.1014582E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 8.090151E-7 | 4.80122E-7 | 4.80122E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.467203E-6 | 2.0576642E-6 | 2.0576642E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2212378E-5 | 2.5051784E-5 | 2.5051784E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.220436E-4 | 2.5049056E-4 | 2.5049056E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.3161463E-7 | 7.115504E-8 | 7.115504E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6406253E-7 | 3.0495013E-7 | 3.0495013E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.86744E-6 | 3.7127618E-6 | 3.7127618E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.867228E-5 | 3.712701E-5 | 3.712701E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 5.8938565E-9 | 3.058509E-9 | 3.058509E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5259386E-8 | 1.3107895E-8 | 1.3107895E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0753299E-7 | 1.5958862E-7 | 1.5958862E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0753256E-6 | 1.5958855E-6 | 1.5958855E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Lost Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9937297E-5 | 2.222778E-5 | 5.2227115E-5 | 2.3496325 | 3.0E-5 | 8.5442756E-5 | 9.525923E-5 | 1.4525447E-4 | 1.5248336 | 5.0E-5 | 0.001039769 | 0.0011593044 | 0.0012292233 | 1.0603111 | 7.0E-5 | 0.010349175 | 0.011546411 | 0.011615602 | 1.0059925 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.9937297E-5 | 2.222778E-5 | 5.2227115E-5 | 2.3496325 | 3.0E-5 | 8.5442756E-5 | 9.525923E-5 | 1.4525447E-4 | 1.5248336 | 5.0E-5 | 0.001039769 | 0.0011593044 | 0.0012292233 | 1.0603111 | 7.0E-5 | 0.010349175 | 0.011546411 | 0.011615602 | 1.0059925 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.9937297E-5 | 2.222778E-5 | 5.2227115E-5 | 2.3496325 | 3.0E-5 | 8.5442756E-5 | 9.525923E-5 | 1.4525447E-4 | 1.5248336 | 5.0E-5 | 0.001039769 | 0.0011593044 | 0.0012292233 | 1.0603111 | 7.0E-5 | 0.010349175 | 0.011546411 | 0.011615602 | 1.0059925 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.9937297E-5 | 2.222778E-5 | 5.2227115E-5 | 2.3496325 | 3.0E-5 | 8.5442756E-5 | 9.525923E-5 | 1.4525447E-4 | 1.5248336 | 5.0E-5 | 0.001039769 | 0.0011593044 | 0.0012292233 | 1.0603111 | 7.0E-5 | 0.010349175 | 0.011546411 | 0.011615602 | 1.0059925 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.19061515E-5 | 1.3253613E-5 | 3.325335E-5 | 2.5090024 | 2.0E-5 | 5.1025367E-5 | 5.6800487E-5 | 8.6798784E-5 | 1.5281345 | 3.0E-5 | 6.2105677E-4 | 6.9141935E-4 | 7.313917E-4 | 1.057812 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0061932392 | 0.006901795 | 0.0069415187 | 1.0057555 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.19061515E-5 | 1.3253613E-5 | 3.325335E-5 | 2.5090024 | 2.0E-5 | 5.1025367E-5 | 5.6800487E-5 | 8.6798784E-5 | 1.5281345 | 3.0E-5 | 6.2105677E-4 | 6.9141935E-4 | 7.313917E-4 | 1.057812 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0061932392 | 0.006901795 | 0.0069415187 | 1.0057555 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.862005E-6 | 9.870419E-6 | 1.987032E-5 | 2.0131183 | 1.0E-5 | 3.797947E-5 | 4.230159E-5 | 6.230074E-5 | 1.4727755 | 2.0E-5 | 4.6230195E-4 | 5.1498605E-4 | 5.449706E-4 | 1.058224 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0046134135 | 0.0051463456 | 0.005176191 | 1.0057994 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.368126E-6 | 8.206504E-6 | 1.8206423E-5 | 2.2185357 | 1.0E-5 | 3.15773E-5 | 3.5170735E-5 | 5.517003E-5 | 1.5686346 | 2.0E-5 | 3.8438578E-4 | 4.2820367E-4 | 4.5819083E-4 | 1.0700301 | 3.0E-5 | 0.003837216 | 0.004282037 | 0.0043119085 | 1.006976 | 3.0E-5 |
Calaveras (So) - Paicines extension 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5447703E-4 | 3.1185852E-4 | 3.1185852E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6187646E-4 | 0.001335284 | 0.0013452705 | 1.0074791 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008028611 | 0.016036836 | 0.016056515 | 1.0012271 | 2.0E-5 | 0.07744671 | 0.14137226 | 0.14142379 | 1.0003644 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.5299358E-4 | 3.0897668E-4 | 3.0897668E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.55522E-4 | 0.0013229508 | 0.0013329375 | 1.0075488 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007951813 | 0.01588935 | 0.015909033 | 1.0012387 | 2.0E-5 | 0.076732226 | 0.14012517 | 0.14017676 | 1.0003682 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.2984498E-4 | 2.589088E-4 | 2.589088E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5635977E-4 | 0.0011087127 | 0.0011187016 | 1.0090095 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006752663 | 0.013344483 | 0.013364217 | 1.0014788 | 2.0E-5 | 0.06551121 | 0.11991847 | 0.11996248 | 1.0003669 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.18695454E-4 | 2.3418617E-4 | 2.3418617E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.085956E-4 | 0.0010029406 | 0.0010129305 | 1.0099607 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0061745853 | 0.01208844 | 0.012108199 | 1.0016345 | 2.0E-5 | 0.06005815 | 0.10998835 | 0.11003285 | 1.0004046 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.0864602E-4 | 2.1232021E-4 | 2.1232021E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.655427E-4 | 9.093832E-4 | 9.1937406E-4 | 1.0109864 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0056532617 | 0.01097542 | 0.0109952 | 1.0018022 | 2.0E-5 | 0.055115912 | 0.10104035 | 0.1010853 | 1.0004449 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.741868E-5 | 1.8938181E-4 | 1.8938181E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.174418E-4 | 8.1120874E-4 | 8.2120067E-4 | 1.0123173 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0050705164 | 0.009800343 | 0.0098201465 | 1.0020207 | 2.0E-5 | 0.049563713 | 0.0910393 | 0.09108474 | 1.0004992 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.061093E-5 | 1.5207964E-4 | 1.5207964E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4542967E-4 | 6.5156264E-4 | 6.6155614E-4 | 1.0153377 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0041974983 | 0.00789674 | 0.007906661 | 1.0012563 | 1.0E-5 | 0.041190937 | 0.07544075 | 0.075477734 | 1.0004902 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.810772E-5 | 1.4726249E-4 | 1.4726249E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.347044E-4 | 6.309317E-4 | 6.4092537E-4 | 1.0158396 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004067414 | 0.007648074 | 0.007657998 | 1.0012975 | 1.0E-5 | 0.039937682 | 0.073188685 | 0.07322576 | 1.0005065 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.9196314E-5 | 1.2721005E-4 | 1.2721005E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9652193E-4 | 5.450524E-4 | 5.55047E-4 | 1.0183369 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003604179 | 0.006612288 | 0.006622222 | 1.0015024 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03546282 | 0.0637558 | 0.06379325 | 1.0005873 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.6662087E-5 | 9.922866E-5 | 9.922866E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4281492E-4 | 4.251968E-4 | 4.3519255E-4 | 1.0235085 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002952264 | 0.0051645744 | 0.0051745228 | 1.0019263 | 1.0E-5 | 0.029133499 | 0.050424002 | 0.05045249 | 1.0005649 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.9156344E-5 | 8.45512E-5 | 8.45512E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1065303E-4 | 3.6231236E-4 | 3.7230874E-4 | 1.0275905 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002561684 | 0.004402312 | 0.004412268 | 1.0022615 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02532355 | 0.043235943 | 0.043264646 | 1.0006639 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.2463944E-5 | 7.0666516E-5 | 7.0666516E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8197563E-4 | 3.0282163E-4 | 3.128186E-4 | 1.0330127 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002213302 | 0.0036806725 | 0.0036906358 | 1.0027069 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021913873 | 0.03650869 | 0.036537595 | 1.0007917 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.452826E-5 | 5.598862E-5 | 5.598862E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4796985E-4 | 2.3992932E-4 | 2.499269E-4 | 1.0416689 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018000443 | 0.0029172527 | 0.0029272235 | 1.0034178 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017855333 | 0.029193472 | 0.029222596 | 1.0009977 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.716458E-5 | 4.2780925E-5 | 4.2780925E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.16414434E-4 | 1.8333405E-4 | 1.9333222E-4 | 1.0545353 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014164242 | 0.0022298265 | 0.0022398042 | 1.0044746 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0140743 | 0.022436604 | 0.022465931 | 1.0013071 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.847898E-5 | 2.894591E-5 | 2.894591E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9193225E-5 | 1.2404802E-4 | 1.3404677E-4 | 1.080604 | 1.0E-5 | 9.63751E-4 | 0.0015092406 | 0.0015192254 | 1.0066159 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009595821 | 0.015288629 | 0.01531817 | 1.0019323 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.5951407E-5 | 2.6126752E-5 | 2.6126752E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.836138E-5 | 1.11967E-4 | 1.2196588E-4 | 1.0893021 | 1.0E-5 | 8.31982E-4 | 0.001362348 | 0.0013723344 | 1.0073303 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00828874 | 0.013822329 | 0.013851915 | 1.0021404 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.13223205E-5 | 1.9309717E-5 | 1.9309717E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8523325E-5 | 8.275331E-5 | 9.275248E-5 | 1.1208311 | 1.0E-5 | 5.9061137E-4 | 0.0010070573 | 0.0010170471 | 1.0099199 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005890441 | 0.010260231 | 0.010289923 | 1.0028939 | 3.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.2892655E-6 | 1.0303555E-5 | 1.0303555E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6953716E-5 | 4.415735E-5 | 5.4156906E-5 | 1.2264528 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2811207E-4 | 5.374832E-4 | 5.474778E-4 | 1.0185952 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032762804 | 0.005559687 | 0.0055895206 | 1.005366 | 3.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.263994E-6 | 9.194669E-6 | 9.194669E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.255978E-5 | 3.9405128E-5 | 4.9404734E-5 | 1.253764 | 1.0E-5 | 2.746307E-4 | 4.7965194E-4 | 4.8964715E-4 | 1.0208385 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0027429154 | 0.0049558827 | 0.004985734 | 1.0060234 | 3.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.3676442E-6 | 7.312497E-6 | 7.312497E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4432681E-5 | 3.1338895E-5 | 3.1338895E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7570372E-4 | 3.8148437E-4 | 3.8148437E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017556486 | 0.0039165565 | 0.0039265174 | 1.0025432 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.0105401E-6 | 4.3340565E-6 | 4.3340565E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.616573E-6 | 1.8574396E-5 | 1.8574396E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0490172E-4 | 2.2611985E-4 | 2.2611985E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010485222 | 0.0023104197 | 0.0023104197 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.2019887E-6 | 2.361272E-6 | 2.361272E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.15137E-6 | 1.0119698E-5 | 1.0119698E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.271612E-5 | 1.2320039E-4 | 1.2320039E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.269842E-4 | 0.001261716 | 0.001261716 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Mono Lake 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.0554013E-5 | 2.4095898E-5 | 4.4095417E-5 | 1.8299968 | 2.0E-5 | 8.808565E-5 | 1.03267004E-4 | 1.2326494E-4 | 1.1936527 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010719151 | 0.0012570745 | 0.0012970242 | 1.0317799 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010667594 | 0.012551007 | 0.012610253 | 1.0047204 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.0554013E-5 | 2.4095898E-5 | 4.4095417E-5 | 1.8299968 | 2.0E-5 | 8.808565E-5 | 1.03267004E-4 | 1.2326494E-4 | 1.1936527 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010719151 | 0.0012570745 | 0.0012970242 | 1.0317799 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010667594 | 0.012551007 | 0.012610253 | 1.0047204 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.0554013E-5 | 2.4095898E-5 | 4.4095417E-5 | 1.8299968 | 2.0E-5 | 8.808565E-5 | 1.03267004E-4 | 1.2326494E-4 | 1.1936527 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010719151 | 0.0012570745 | 0.0012970242 | 1.0317799 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010667594 | 0.012551007 | 0.012610253 | 1.0047204 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.0554013E-5 | 2.4095898E-5 | 4.4095417E-5 | 1.8299968 | 2.0E-5 | 8.808565E-5 | 1.03267004E-4 | 1.2326494E-4 | 1.1936527 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010719151 | 0.0012570745 | 0.0012970242 | 1.0317799 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010667594 | 0.012551007 | 0.012610253 | 1.0047204 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.7333385E-5 | 2.0312427E-5 | 4.031202E-5 | 1.9845989 | 2.0E-5 | 7.428382E-5 | 8.705326E-5 | 1.0705152E-4 | 1.2297244 | 2.0E-5 | 9.0403017E-4 | 0.0010598731 | 0.0010998307 | 1.0377004 | 4.0E-5 | 0.009003613 | 0.0105986865 | 0.0106481565 | 1.0046675 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.7333385E-5 | 2.0312427E-5 | 4.031202E-5 | 1.9845989 | 2.0E-5 | 7.428382E-5 | 8.705326E-5 | 1.0705152E-4 | 1.2297244 | 2.0E-5 | 9.0403017E-4 | 0.0010598731 | 0.0010998307 | 1.0377004 | 4.0E-5 | 0.009003613 | 0.0105986865 | 0.0106481565 | 1.0046675 | 5.0E-5 |
Bullion Mountains
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.710495E-5 | 1.5472819E-5 | 4.5472356E-5 | 2.938854 | 3.0E-5 | 7.3304866E-5 | 6.631063E-5 | 9.630864E-5 | 1.4523861 | 3.0E-5 | 8.921213E-4 | 8.07075E-4 | 8.470427E-4 | 1.0495217 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008885483 | 0.008045603 | 0.008105121 | 1.0073975 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.710495E-5 | 1.5472819E-5 | 4.5472356E-5 | 2.938854 | 3.0E-5 | 7.3304866E-5 | 6.631063E-5 | 9.630864E-5 | 1.4523861 | 3.0E-5 | 8.921213E-4 | 8.07075E-4 | 8.470427E-4 | 1.0495217 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008885483 | 0.008045603 | 0.008105121 | 1.0073975 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.710495E-5 | 1.5472819E-5 | 4.5472356E-5 | 2.938854 | 3.0E-5 | 7.3304866E-5 | 6.631063E-5 | 9.630864E-5 | 1.4523861 | 3.0E-5 | 8.921213E-4 | 8.07075E-4 | 8.470427E-4 | 1.0495217 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008885483 | 0.008045603 | 0.008105121 | 1.0073975 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3475735E-5 | 1.1437937E-5 | 4.1437594E-5 | 3.6228206 | 3.0E-5 | 5.775187E-5 | 4.901899E-5 | 7.901752E-5 | 1.6119777 | 3.0E-5 | 7.0290215E-4 | 5.966746E-4 | 6.266567E-4 | 1.0502486 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00700683 | 0.00595386 | 0.005993622 | 1.0066783 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.3475735E-5 | 1.1437937E-5 | 4.1437594E-5 | 3.6228206 | 3.0E-5 | 5.775187E-5 | 4.901899E-5 | 7.901752E-5 | 1.6119777 | 3.0E-5 | 7.0290215E-4 | 5.966746E-4 | 6.266567E-4 | 1.0502486 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00700683 | 0.00595386 | 0.005993622 | 1.0066783 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.17226255E-5 | 9.493043E-6 | 3.949276E-5 | 4.160179 | 3.0E-5 | 5.0238854E-5 | 4.0684E-5 | 7.068278E-5 | 1.7373606 | 3.0E-5 | 6.114864E-4 | 4.952446E-4 | 5.252297E-4 | 1.0605462 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006098065 | 0.0049443007 | 0.004984103 | 1.0080501 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0689464E-5 | 8.34733E-6 | 1.8347246E-5 | 2.197978 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5811183E-5 | 3.5773937E-5 | 4.577358E-5 | 1.2795231 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5760844E-4 | 4.354891E-4 | 4.4548477E-4 | 1.0229527 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005562113 | 0.004349151 | 0.0043690642 | 1.0045786 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.44488E-6 | 7.029741E-6 | 1.702967E-5 | 2.4225175 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0477426E-5 | 3.0127265E-5 | 4.0126964E-5 | 1.3319153 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9270125E-4 | 3.6676487E-4 | 3.767612E-4 | 1.0272554 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0049161026 | 0.0036642582 | 0.0036841847 | 1.0054381 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.3499584E-6 | 2.6824146E-6 | 2.6824146E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2928192E-5 | 1.1496034E-5 | 1.1496034E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.79115E-4 | 1.3995916E-4 | 1.3995916E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027876466 | 0.0013990969 | 0.0014090829 | 1.0071374 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.6428836E-6 | 2.4490205E-6 | 2.4490205E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.989792E-5 | 1.0495782E-5 | 1.0495782E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4223025E-4 | 1.2778256E-4 | 1.2778256E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024196638 | 0.0012774754 | 0.0012874625 | 1.007818 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.2678545E-6 | 1.6271016E-6 | 1.6271016E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4005016E-5 | 6.9732923E-6 | 6.9732923E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7049772E-4 | 8.489983E-5 | 8.489983E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017036697 | 8.489984E-4 | 8.5898984E-4 | 1.0117686 | 1.0E-5 |
Ventura-Pitas Point
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.0922074E-5 | 1.9801384E-5 | 1.9801384E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.966295E-5 | 8.486039E-5 | 8.486039E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010910997 | 0.0010326983 | 0.0010526776 | 1.0193467 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01085758 | 0.010280377 | 0.01033976 | 1.0057764 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.0922074E-5 | 1.9801384E-5 | 1.9801384E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.966295E-5 | 8.486039E-5 | 8.486039E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010910997 | 0.0010326983 | 0.0010526776 | 1.0193467 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01085758 | 0.010280377 | 0.01033976 | 1.0057764 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.0922074E-5 | 1.9801384E-5 | 1.9801384E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.966295E-5 | 8.486039E-5 | 8.486039E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010910997 | 0.0010326983 | 0.0010526776 | 1.0193467 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01085758 | 0.010280377 | 0.01033976 | 1.0057764 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.0922074E-5 | 1.9801384E-5 | 1.9801384E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.966295E-5 | 8.486039E-5 | 8.486039E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010910997 | 0.0010326983 | 0.0010526776 | 1.0193467 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01085758 | 0.010280377 | 0.01033976 | 1.0057764 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.8176193E-5 | 1.6841124E-5 | 1.6841124E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7895646E-5 | 7.21743E-5 | 7.21743E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.479668E-4 | 8.783773E-4 | 8.8836846E-4 | 1.0113746 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0094393315 | 0.008750065 | 0.008799627 | 1.0056642 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.8176193E-5 | 1.6841124E-5 | 1.6841124E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7895646E-5 | 7.21743E-5 | 7.21743E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.479668E-4 | 8.783773E-4 | 8.8836846E-4 | 1.0113746 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0094393315 | 0.008750065 | 0.008799627 | 1.0056642 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.4981724E-5 | 1.3366757E-5 | 1.3366757E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.420581E-5 | 5.7284862E-5 | 5.7284862E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8142533E-4 | 6.972231E-4 | 7.072161E-4 | 1.0143327 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0077868323 | 0.0069507114 | 0.006990433 | 1.0057148 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.4920905E-5 | 1.3300614E-5 | 1.3300614E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.394517E-5 | 5.7001405E-5 | 5.7001405E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7825435E-4 | 6.937742E-4 | 7.037673E-4 | 1.0144039 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0077553443 | 0.0069164378 | 0.006956161 | 1.0057433 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.378433E-5 | 1.20743E-5 | 1.20743E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9074362E-5 | 5.1745985E-5 | 5.1745985E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.18993E-4 | 6.2982726E-4 | 6.3982094E-4 | 1.0158674 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0071667116 | 0.0062806588 | 0.0063204076 | 1.0063287 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.3488511E-5 | 1.1751054E-5 | 1.1751054E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7806625E-5 | 5.03607E-5 | 5.03607E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0356834E-4 | 6.12971E-4 | 6.229649E-4 | 1.016304 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00701345 | 0.006113036 | 0.0061527914 | 1.0065033 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.3170863E-5 | 1.1410261E-5 | 1.1410261E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6445333E-5 | 4.8900216E-5 | 4.8900216E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8700523E-4 | 5.9519947E-4 | 6.051935E-4 | 1.0167911 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006848852 | 0.005936283 | 0.005976046 | 1.0066983 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.26033765E-5 | 1.08215345E-5 | 1.08215345E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.401335E-5 | 4.637719E-5 | 4.637719E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.574141E-4 | 5.6449795E-4 | 5.744923E-4 | 1.0177048 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0065547265 | 0.0056308634 | 0.005670638 | 1.0070637 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.1915687E-5 | 1.012112E-5 | 1.012112E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.106623E-5 | 4.3375516E-5 | 4.3375516E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.21554E-4 | 5.2797084E-4 | 5.3796556E-4 | 1.0189304 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0061981836 | 0.0052673803 | 0.005297222 | 1.0056654 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.1250162E-5 | 9.495686E-6 | 9.495686E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8214086E-5 | 4.069517E-5 | 4.069517E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.868484E-4 | 4.9535296E-4 | 5.0534797E-4 | 1.0201776 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005853011 | 0.004942698 | 0.0049725496 | 1.0060395 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.0265625E-5 | 8.548247E-6 | 8.548247E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3994794E-5 | 3.6634843E-5 | 3.6634843E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3550495E-4 | 4.4593975E-4 | 4.5593528E-4 | 1.0224146 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0053421636 | 0.004450651 | 0.0044805175 | 1.0067105 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 7.580305E-6 | 6.2166732E-6 | 6.2166732E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2486616E-5 | 2.664262E-5 | 2.664262E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9545278E-4 | 3.2432668E-4 | 3.2432668E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003947498 | 0.0032386428 | 0.0032585782 | 1.0061554 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 4.271409E-6 | 3.16703E-6 | 3.16703E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8305911E-5 | 1.3572915E-5 | 1.3572915E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2285167E-4 | 1.6523787E-4 | 1.6523787E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022262833 | 0.0016511655 | 0.0016511655 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.9916663E-6 | 1.3354862E-6 | 1.3354862E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.535685E-6 | 5.7235E-6 | 5.7235E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0391701E-4 | 6.968146E-5 | 6.968146E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010386843 | 6.966038E-4 | 6.966038E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.3864351E-7 | 8.7878455E-8 | 8.7878455E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9418636E-7 | 3.766219E-7 | 3.766219E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.234195E-6 | 4.585362E-6 | 4.585362E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.233959E-5 | 4.5852685E-5 | 4.5852685E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.758942E-10 | 1.7720858E-10 | 1.7720858E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1824035E-9 | 7.594654E-10 | 7.594654E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4395763E-8 | 9.246492E-9 | 9.246492E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4395762E-7 | 9.2464916E-8 | 9.2464916E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Diego Trough north alt2
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.4437045E-5 | 7.801237E-5 | 9.801081E-5 | 1.2563496 | 2.0E-5 | 2.7612955E-4 | 3.342983E-4 | 3.6428828E-4 | 1.0897102 | 3.0E-5 | 0.003356695 | 0.004062858 | 0.004112655 | 1.0122566 | 5.0E-5 | 0.03306443 | 0.039928198 | 0.039985802 | 1.0014427 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.050833E-5 | 4.837276E-5 | 6.8371795E-5 | 1.4134358 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7359557E-4 | 2.07296E-4 | 2.3728979E-4 | 1.1446906 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0021114773 | 0.0025210157 | 0.0025708897 | 1.0197833 | 5.0E-5 | 0.020915272 | 0.024935786 | 0.024984539 | 1.0019552 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.0662315E-5 | 3.5909958E-5 | 4.5909597E-5 | 1.2784643 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3140331E-4 | 1.5389084E-4 | 1.7388776E-4 | 1.1299423 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015986612 | 0.0018720381 | 0.0019119632 | 1.0213271 | 4.0E-5 | 0.015872093 | 0.018566044 | 0.018605301 | 1.0021144 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.6879741E-5 | 3.121888E-5 | 3.121888E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.15193805E-4 | 1.3378843E-4 | 1.3378843E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014015823 | 0.0016276757 | 0.0016476432 | 1.0122675 | 2.0E-5 | 0.013927752 | 0.016159842 | 0.016179519 | 1.0012176 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.4086274E-5 | 2.7784494E-5 | 2.7784494E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.032228E-4 | 1.1907102E-4 | 1.1907102E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001256013 | 0.0014487389 | 0.0014687098 | 1.0137851 | 2.0E-5 | 0.012489377 | 0.01439455 | 0.014414261 | 1.0013694 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.2542843E-5 | 2.5924337E-5 | 2.5924337E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.66086E-5 | 1.1109961E-4 | 1.1109961E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011755751 | 0.0013518104 | 0.0013717833 | 1.0147749 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011693756 | 0.013437302 | 0.013457033 | 1.0014684 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.932415E-5 | 2.2071039E-5 | 2.2071039E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.281515E-5 | 9.458677E-5 | 9.458677E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010078081 | 0.001150992 | 0.0011609804 | 1.0086782 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010032498 | 0.0114511 | 0.011460985 | 1.0008633 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.7176244E-5 | 1.9534775E-5 | 1.9534775E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.361039E-5 | 8.37178E-5 | 8.37178E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.95838E-4 | 0.0010187915 | 0.0010287813 | 1.0098056 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008922352 | 0.010141713 | 0.010151612 | 1.0009761 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.4864051E-5 | 1.6862097E-5 | 1.6862097E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.370152E-5 | 7.226414E-5 | 7.226414E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7529E-4 | 8.7946345E-4 | 8.7946345E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0077259075 | 0.00876017 | 0.00876017 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.2928861E-5 | 1.4659578E-5 | 1.4659578E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5408225E-5 | 6.282526E-5 | 6.282526E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7438633E-4 | 7.64631E-4 | 7.64631E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006723434 | 0.007620242 | 0.007620242 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.145839E-5 | 1.2991455E-5 | 1.2991455E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.910646E-5 | 5.5676483E-5 | 5.5676483E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9770717E-4 | 6.776519E-4 | 6.776519E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0059610205 | 0.006756045 | 0.006756045 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.00636535E-5 | 1.141201E-5 | 1.141201E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3129232E-5 | 4.8907707E-5 | 4.8907707E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2497187E-4 | 5.9529E-4 | 5.9529E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052373344 | 0.005937111 | 0.005937111 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 8.6373375E-6 | 9.8008795E-6 | 9.8008795E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7016634E-5 | 4.20031E-5 | 4.20031E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5058434E-4 | 5.112686E-4 | 5.112686E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004496718 | 0.005101027 | 0.005101027 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 6.764623E-6 | 7.679779E-6 | 7.679779E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8990919E-5 | 3.2912925E-5 | 3.2912925E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5290726E-4 | 4.00642E-4 | 4.00642E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035234734 | 0.003999282 | 0.003999282 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.642763E-6 | 5.296736E-6 | 5.296736E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9897405E-5 | 2.2700106E-5 | 2.2700106E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4222398E-4 | 2.7633947E-4 | 2.7633947E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024196012 | 0.002760033 | 0.002760033 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.7597395E-8 | 2.945038E-8 | 2.945038E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1827454E-7 | 1.2621591E-7 | 1.2621591E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4399916E-6 | 1.5366787E-6 | 1.5366787E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4399822E-5 | 1.5366788E-5 | 1.5366788E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Chino alt 2
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9731848E-5 | 2.2333641E-5 | 3.2333417E-5 | 1.447745 | 1.0E-5 | 8.456232E-5 | 9.571271E-5 | 1.05711755E-4 | 1.1044693 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010290599 | 0.0011647883 | 0.0011847649 | 1.0171505 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010243076 | 0.011599115 | 0.01165842 | 1.0051128 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.9731848E-5 | 2.2333641E-5 | 3.2333417E-5 | 1.447745 | 1.0E-5 | 8.456232E-5 | 9.571271E-5 | 1.05711755E-4 | 1.1044693 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010290599 | 0.0011647883 | 0.0011847649 | 1.0171505 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010243076 | 0.011599115 | 0.01165842 | 1.0051128 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.9731848E-5 | 2.2333641E-5 | 3.2333417E-5 | 1.447745 | 1.0E-5 | 8.456232E-5 | 9.571271E-5 | 1.05711755E-4 | 1.1044693 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010290599 | 0.0011647883 | 0.0011847649 | 1.0171505 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010243076 | 0.011599115 | 0.01165842 | 1.0051128 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.9731848E-5 | 2.2333641E-5 | 3.2333417E-5 | 1.447745 | 1.0E-5 | 8.456232E-5 | 9.571271E-5 | 1.05711755E-4 | 1.1044693 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010290599 | 0.0011647883 | 0.0011847649 | 1.0171505 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010243076 | 0.011599115 | 0.01165842 | 1.0051128 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1759944E-5 | 1.3416706E-5 | 2.3416571E-5 | 1.7453295 | 1.0E-5 | 5.0398787E-5 | 5.749908E-5 | 6.7498506E-5 | 1.1739058 | 1.0E-5 | 6.1343244E-4 | 6.998588E-4 | 7.0985185E-4 | 1.0142787 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006117419 | 0.006981254 | 0.007011045 | 1.0042672 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.1759944E-5 | 1.3416706E-5 | 2.3416571E-5 | 1.7453295 | 1.0E-5 | 5.0398787E-5 | 5.749908E-5 | 6.7498506E-5 | 1.1739058 | 1.0E-5 | 6.1343244E-4 | 6.998588E-4 | 7.0985185E-4 | 1.0142787 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006117419 | 0.006981254 | 0.007011045 | 1.0042672 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0276421E-5 | 1.1761322E-5 | 2.1761203E-5 | 1.8502346 | 1.0E-5 | 4.4041062E-5 | 5.0404855E-5 | 6.040435E-5 | 1.1983836 | 1.0E-5 | 5.36068E-4 | 6.135355E-4 | 6.2352937E-4 | 1.016289 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005347767 | 0.0061228033 | 0.0061526196 | 1.0048697 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.72884E-6 | 8.863132E-6 | 8.863132E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.312318E-5 | 3.7984424E-5 | 3.7984424E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0320007E-4 | 4.6238423E-4 | 4.6238423E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004024693 | 0.0046178717 | 0.0046278257 | 1.0021555 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 4.0643645E-6 | 4.3199116E-6 | 4.3199116E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7418588E-5 | 1.85138E-5 | 1.85138E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1205067E-4 | 2.2538661E-4 | 2.2538661E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021184843 | 0.0022525943 | 0.0022625718 | 1.0044293 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.2989187E-6 | 3.410236E-6 | 3.410236E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4138147E-5 | 1.4615236E-5 | 1.4615236E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7211834E-4 | 1.7792959E-4 | 1.7792959E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017198509 | 0.001778754 | 0.001778754 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.6940855E-6 | 1.4836293E-6 | 1.4836293E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2603466E-6 | 6.3583966E-6 | 6.3583966E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8391134E-5 | 7.741093E-5 | 7.741093E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.835598E-4 | 7.7417307E-4 | 7.7417307E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.6710651E-6 | 1.4558008E-6 | 1.4558008E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.161688E-6 | 6.2391323E-6 | 6.2391323E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.719006E-5 | 7.595898E-5 | 7.595898E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.715586E-4 | 7.5966347E-4 | 7.5966347E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.6332971E-6 | 1.4108957E-6 | 1.4108957E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.999826E-6 | 6.0466828E-6 | 6.0466828E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5219544E-5 | 7.361607E-5 | 7.361607E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.518687E-4 | 7.3624676E-4 | 7.3624676E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.2458262E-6 | 1.0349114E-6 | 1.0349114E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.339244E-6 | 4.435328E-6 | 4.435328E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5003354E-5 | 5.3998927E-5 | 5.3998927E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.498435E-4 | 5.400189E-4 | 5.400189E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 9.168847E-7 | 7.351143E-7 | 7.351143E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9294996E-6 | 3.1504865E-6 | 3.1504865E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.784061E-5 | 3.835658E-5 | 3.835658E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7830312E-4 | 3.8350758E-4 | 3.8350758E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 7.1248166E-7 | 5.498139E-7 | 5.498139E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0534893E-6 | 2.3563434E-6 | 2.3563434E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.71756E-5 | 2.868817E-5 | 2.868817E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.716938E-4 | 2.86851E-4 | 2.86851E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 7.0076635E-7 | 5.3996337E-7 | 5.3996337E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0032809E-6 | 2.314127E-6 | 2.314127E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6564332E-5 | 2.8174196E-5 | 2.8174196E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6558317E-4 | 2.817126E-4 | 2.817126E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 3.4740066E-7 | 2.2849339E-7 | 2.2849339E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4888591E-6 | 9.792573E-7 | 9.792573E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.812671E-5 | 1.1922438E-5 | 1.1922438E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.812523E-4 | 1.1922248E-4 | 1.1922248E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Mission Creek
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.612233E-6 | 1.3759492E-5 | 4.375908E-5 | 3.180283 | 3.0E-5 | 4.1194635E-5 | 5.896797E-5 | 8.8966204E-5 | 1.5087208 | 3.0E-5 | 5.0142925E-4 | 7.177083E-4 | 7.576796E-4 | 1.0556929 | 4.0E-5 | 0.005002993 | 0.0071752705 | 0.0072249114 | 1.0069184 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 9.612233E-6 | 1.3759492E-5 | 4.375908E-5 | 3.180283 | 3.0E-5 | 4.1194635E-5 | 5.896797E-5 | 8.8966204E-5 | 1.5087208 | 3.0E-5 | 5.0142925E-4 | 7.177083E-4 | 7.576796E-4 | 1.0556929 | 4.0E-5 | 0.005002993 | 0.0071752705 | 0.0072249114 | 1.0069184 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.612233E-6 | 1.3759492E-5 | 4.375908E-5 | 3.180283 | 3.0E-5 | 4.1194635E-5 | 5.896797E-5 | 8.8966204E-5 | 1.5087208 | 3.0E-5 | 5.0142925E-4 | 7.177083E-4 | 7.576796E-4 | 1.0556929 | 4.0E-5 | 0.005002993 | 0.0071752705 | 0.0072249114 | 1.0069184 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 9.612233E-6 | 1.3759492E-5 | 4.375908E-5 | 3.180283 | 3.0E-5 | 4.1194635E-5 | 5.896797E-5 | 8.8966204E-5 | 1.5087208 | 3.0E-5 | 5.0142925E-4 | 7.177083E-4 | 7.576796E-4 | 1.0556929 | 4.0E-5 | 0.005002993 | 0.0071752705 | 0.0072249114 | 1.0069184 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 9.612233E-6 | 1.3759492E-5 | 4.375908E-5 | 3.180283 | 3.0E-5 | 4.1194635E-5 | 5.896797E-5 | 8.8966204E-5 | 1.5087208 | 3.0E-5 | 5.0142925E-4 | 7.177083E-4 | 7.576796E-4 | 1.0556929 | 4.0E-5 | 0.005002993 | 0.0071752705 | 0.0072249114 | 1.0069184 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.612233E-6 | 1.3759492E-5 | 4.375908E-5 | 3.180283 | 3.0E-5 | 4.1194635E-5 | 5.896797E-5 | 8.8966204E-5 | 1.5087208 | 3.0E-5 | 5.0142925E-4 | 7.177083E-4 | 7.576796E-4 | 1.0556929 | 4.0E-5 | 0.005002993 | 0.0071752705 | 0.0072249114 | 1.0069184 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.7857785E-6 | 1.1849802E-5 | 4.1849446E-5 | 3.5316577 | 3.0E-5 | 3.3367192E-5 | 5.0783918E-5 | 8.0782396E-5 | 1.5907083 | 3.0E-5 | 4.0616986E-4 | 6.181254E-4 | 6.581007E-4 | 1.0646718 | 4.0E-5 | 0.004054283 | 0.006185132 | 0.0062248847 | 1.0064272 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.6369E-6 | 1.1693673E-5 | 4.169332E-5 | 3.56546 | 3.0E-5 | 3.2729156E-5 | 5.0114813E-5 | 8.0113314E-5 | 1.5985954 | 3.0E-5 | 3.9840463E-4 | 6.099837E-4 | 6.499593E-4 | 1.0655355 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0039769113 | 0.0061041634 | 0.006143919 | 1.0065129 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 7.3792326E-6 | 1.1411005E-5 | 4.141066E-5 | 3.629011 | 3.0E-5 | 3.16249E-5 | 4.8903432E-5 | 7.890196E-5 | 1.613424 | 3.0E-5 | 3.8496513E-4 | 5.952432E-4 | 6.352194E-4 | 1.0671594 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0038429892 | 0.0059575504 | 0.0059973123 | 1.0066742 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.320771E-6 | 1.0282928E-5 | 4.028262E-5 | 3.9174268 | 3.0E-5 | 2.7088736E-5 | 4.406898E-5 | 7.406766E-5 | 1.6807209 | 3.0E-5 | 3.2975545E-4 | 5.364135E-4 | 5.763921E-4 | 1.0745293 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0032926656 | 0.005372179 | 0.0054119644 | 1.0074058 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.448338E-6 | 8.875518E-6 | 3.8875252E-5 | 4.3800545 | 3.0E-5 | 2.3349812E-5 | 3.80374E-5 | 6.803626E-5 | 1.7886674 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8424687E-4 | 4.630112E-4 | 5.029927E-4 | 1.086351 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0028388356 | 0.0046413173 | 0.0046811313 | 1.0085783 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.197154E-6 | 8.576169E-6 | 3.8575912E-5 | 4.4980354 | 3.0E-5 | 2.2273327E-5 | 3.6754518E-5 | 6.675341E-5 | 1.8161962 | 3.0E-5 | 2.71144E-4 | 4.4739858E-4 | 4.8738066E-4 | 1.0893657 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0027081342 | 0.004485826 | 0.0045256466 | 1.0088769 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.1353956E-6 | 7.0521924E-6 | 3.705198E-5 | 5.2539663 | 3.0E-5 | 1.7723003E-5 | 3.0223351E-5 | 6.0222446E-5 | 1.9925799 | 3.0E-5 | 2.157562E-4 | 3.6791066E-4 | 4.0789595E-4 | 1.108682 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0021554683 | 0.0036938058 | 0.003733658 | 1.0107889 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.4291004E-6 | 6.1274795E-6 | 3.6127294E-5 | 5.895947 | 3.0E-5 | 1.4696062E-5 | 2.626038E-5 | 5.6259592E-5 | 2.1423755 | 3.0E-5 | 1.7890986E-4 | 3.1967633E-4 | 3.5966354E-4 | 1.1250865 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0017876589 | 0.0032129239 | 0.0032527954 | 1.0124097 | 4.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.8702582E-6 | 4.271208E-6 | 3.427108E-5 | 8.023744 | 3.0E-5 | 8.015368E-6 | 1.830505E-5 | 4.83045E-5 | 2.638862 | 3.0E-5 | 9.758273E-5 | 2.2284135E-4 | 2.6283244E-4 | 1.1794599 | 4.0E-5 | 9.753989E-4 | 0.0022467016 | 0.0022866116 | 1.0177639 | 4.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.6879382E-6 | 3.7681077E-6 | 3.3767996E-5 | 8.961526 | 3.0E-5 | 7.2340003E-6 | 1.6148933E-5 | 4.614845E-5 | 2.8576777 | 3.0E-5 | 8.8070396E-5 | 1.9659563E-4 | 2.3658777E-4 | 1.2034233 | 4.0E-5 | 8.80355E-4 | 0.0019848705 | 0.002024791 | 1.0201124 | 4.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.5171546E-6 | 3.3062058E-6 | 3.3306107E-5 | 10.073815 | 3.0E-5 | 6.502075E-6 | 1.4169377E-5 | 4.416895E-5 | 3.117212 | 3.0E-5 | 7.915989E-5 | 1.7249856E-4 | 2.1249166E-4 | 1.231846 | 4.0E-5 | 7.9131697E-4 | 0.0017445516 | 0.0017844818 | 1.0228885 | 4.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.4861972E-6 | 3.22862E-6 | 3.3228524E-5 | 10.291865 | 3.0E-5 | 6.369401E-6 | 1.383687E-5 | 4.3836455E-5 | 3.1680903 | 3.0E-5 | 7.75447E-5 | 1.6845093E-4 | 2.084442E-4 | 1.2374179 | 4.0E-5 | 7.7517645E-4 | 0.0017042123 | 0.0017441441 | 1.0234313 | 4.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.3870366E-6 | 2.9614746E-6 | 3.2961387E-5 | 11.130058 | 3.0E-5 | 5.944429E-6 | 1.2691973E-5 | 4.269159E-5 | 3.3636687 | 3.0E-5 | 7.237102E-5 | 1.5451387E-4 | 1.945077E-4 | 1.2588364 | 4.0E-5 | 7.2347454E-4 | 0.0015645074 | 0.0016044448 | 1.0255271 | 4.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.171949E-6 | 2.479779E-6 | 3.2479704E-5 | 13.097822 | 3.0E-5 | 5.0226286E-6 | 1.0627581E-5 | 4.0627263E-5 | 3.8228137 | 3.0E-5 | 6.1148785E-5 | 1.2938317E-4 | 1.6937799E-4 | 1.3091192 | 4.0E-5 | 6.113196E-4 | 0.0013117534 | 0.0013517009 | 1.0304536 | 4.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.7064573E-7 | 3.6726163E-7 | 3.6726163E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1599097E-6 | 1.5739774E-6 | 1.5739774E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.412181E-5 | 1.916301E-5 | 1.916301E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4120912E-4 | 1.9779823E-4 | 1.9779823E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.0843693E-7 | 7.617217E-8 | 7.617217E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6472962E-7 | 3.2645212E-7 | 3.2645212E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6580684E-6 | 3.9745473E-6 | 3.9745473E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6579243E-5 | 4.32441E-5 | 4.32441E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 3.6574573E-8 | 1.8312637E-8 | 1.8312637E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5674816E-7 | 7.848273E-8 | 7.848273E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9084073E-6 | 9.555268E-7 | 9.555268E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.908391E-5 | 1.0634352E-5 | 1.0634352E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Ynez River
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6847243E-5 | 1.7790597E-5 | 2.7790418E-5 | 1.5620847 | 1.0E-5 | 7.220048E-5 | 7.6243385E-5 | 8.6242624E-5 | 1.1311489 | 1.0E-5 | 8.7868626E-4 | 9.2790346E-4 | 9.578756E-4 | 1.032301 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0087522 | 0.009243846 | 0.009293384 | 1.005359 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6847243E-5 | 1.7790597E-5 | 2.7790418E-5 | 1.5620847 | 1.0E-5 | 7.220048E-5 | 7.6243385E-5 | 8.6242624E-5 | 1.1311489 | 1.0E-5 | 8.7868626E-4 | 9.2790346E-4 | 9.578756E-4 | 1.032301 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0087522 | 0.009243846 | 0.009293384 | 1.005359 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6847243E-5 | 1.7790597E-5 | 2.7790418E-5 | 1.5620847 | 1.0E-5 | 7.220048E-5 | 7.6243385E-5 | 8.6242624E-5 | 1.1311489 | 1.0E-5 | 8.7868626E-4 | 9.2790346E-4 | 9.578756E-4 | 1.032301 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0087522 | 0.009243846 | 0.009293384 | 1.005359 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.0428216E-5 | 1.093591E-5 | 2.09358E-5 | 1.9144087 | 1.0E-5 | 4.4691587E-5 | 4.686738E-5 | 5.6866913E-5 | 1.213358 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4398424E-4 | 5.704672E-4 | 5.804615E-4 | 1.0175195 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005426545 | 0.005690662 | 0.0057105487 | 1.0034945 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.0428216E-5 | 1.093591E-5 | 2.09358E-5 | 1.9144087 | 1.0E-5 | 4.4691587E-5 | 4.686738E-5 | 5.6866913E-5 | 1.213358 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4398424E-4 | 5.704672E-4 | 5.804615E-4 | 1.0175195 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005426545 | 0.005690662 | 0.0057105487 | 1.0034945 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 7.5400562E-6 | 7.8873945E-6 | 7.8873945E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2314125E-5 | 3.380269E-5 | 3.380269E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9335346E-4 | 4.1147205E-4 | 4.1147205E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039265794 | 0.0041073035 | 0.0041073035 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 6.1556348E-6 | 6.428534E-6 | 6.428534E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6381025E-5 | 2.7550575E-5 | 2.7550575E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2114165E-4 | 3.3537767E-4 | 3.3537767E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032067795 | 0.0033488208 | 0.0033488208 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 5.1750317E-6 | 5.397095E-6 | 5.397095E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.217852E-5 | 2.3130204E-5 | 2.3130204E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6999E-4 | 2.815744E-4 | 2.815744E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026966222 | 0.0028122338 | 0.0028122338 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 4.6528958E-6 | 4.8483253E-6 | 4.8483253E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.994083E-5 | 2.0778374E-5 | 2.0778374E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4275255E-4 | 2.5294776E-4 | 2.5294776E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024248755 | 0.0025266442 | 0.0025266442 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 3.718516E-6 | 3.8701614E-6 | 3.8701614E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5936399E-5 | 1.6586302E-5 | 1.6586302E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9400839E-4 | 2.0191974E-4 | 2.0191974E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001938391 | 0.0020173853 | 0.0020173853 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 3.366951E-6 | 3.5026662E-6 | 3.5026662E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.442971E-5 | 1.5011341E-5 | 1.5011341E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7566756E-4 | 1.8274794E-4 | 1.8274794E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017552876 | 0.0018259966 | 0.0018259966 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.5741986E-6 | 2.6738203E-6 | 2.6738203E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10322335E-5 | 1.145918E-5 | 1.145918E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3430916E-4 | 1.3950668E-4 | 1.3950668E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013422801 | 0.0013941996 | 0.0013941996 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.9796923E-6 | 2.0482523E-6 | 2.0482523E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.484369E-6 | 8.7781955E-6 | 8.7781955E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0329229E-4 | 1.06869345E-4 | 1.06869345E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010324429 | 0.0010681854 | 0.0010681854 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.4077615E-6 | 1.4465244E-6 | 1.4465244E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0332495E-6 | 6.199376E-6 | 6.199376E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3452335E-5 | 7.547481E-5 | 7.547481E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.342806E-4 | 7.544942E-4 | 7.544942E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 9.68252E-7 | 9.794846E-7 | 9.794846E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.149645E-6 | 4.1977846E-6 | 4.1977846E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0520757E-5 | 5.1106843E-5 | 5.1106843E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.050927E-4 | 5.1095267E-4 | 5.1095267E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 5.440934E-7 | 5.3180526E-7 | 5.3180526E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3318269E-6 | 2.2791635E-6 | 2.2791635E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.838962E-5 | 2.7748474E-5 | 2.7748474E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8385993E-4 | 2.7745115E-4 | 2.7745115E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.5848151E-7 | 1.4846133E-7 | 1.4846133E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7920627E-7 | 6.3626266E-7 | 6.3626266E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.269305E-6 | 7.746475E-6 | 7.746475E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.268997E-5 | 7.746247E-5 | 7.746247E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Cruz Catalina Ridge alt2
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.32931E-5 | 3.708925E-5 | 4.7088877E-5 | 1.2696099 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4267692E-4 | 1.5894505E-4 | 1.6894346E-4 | 1.0629048 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017357073 | 0.0019335824 | 0.0019735051 | 1.020647 | 4.0E-5 | 0.017222127 | 0.019182352 | 0.019231394 | 1.0025566 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.32931E-5 | 3.708925E-5 | 4.7088877E-5 | 1.2696099 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4267692E-4 | 1.5894505E-4 | 1.6894346E-4 | 1.0629048 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017357073 | 0.0019335824 | 0.0019735051 | 1.020647 | 4.0E-5 | 0.017222127 | 0.019182352 | 0.019231394 | 1.0025566 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.2271399E-5 | 2.4403007E-5 | 2.4403007E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.544536E-5 | 1.0458035E-4 | 1.0458035E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011614277 | 0.0012725628 | 0.00128255 | 1.0078481 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011553764 | 0.012656951 | 0.012676698 | 1.0015602 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.739944E-5 | 1.8820723E-5 | 1.8820723E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4566895E-5 | 8.0657825E-5 | 8.0657825E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0747385E-4 | 9.815792E-4 | 9.815792E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00903777 | 0.009773781 | 0.009783682 | 1.0010132 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.739944E-5 | 1.8820723E-5 | 1.8820723E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4566895E-5 | 8.0657825E-5 | 8.0657825E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0747385E-4 | 9.815792E-4 | 9.815792E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00903777 | 0.009773781 | 0.009783682 | 1.0010132 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.4660171E-5 | 1.5740365E-5 | 1.5740365E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.282779E-5 | 6.745698E-5 | 6.745698E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.646599E-4 | 8.2098384E-4 | 8.2098384E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0076203407 | 0.008180015 | 0.008189933 | 1.0012125 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.2929104E-5 | 1.3841803E-5 | 1.3841803E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.540927E-5 | 5.932068E-5 | 5.932068E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.74399E-4 | 7.2199275E-4 | 7.2199275E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0067235604 | 0.0071967896 | 0.007206718 | 1.0013795 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.158484E-5 | 1.237705E-5 | 1.237705E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.964837E-5 | 5.304343E-5 | 5.304343E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.043012E-4 | 6.456142E-4 | 6.456142E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0060266056 | 0.006437592 | 0.006447528 | 1.0015434 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.005722E-5 | 1.0722098E-5 | 1.0722098E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3101656E-5 | 4.595104E-5 | 4.595104E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.246363E-4 | 5.5931136E-4 | 5.5931136E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005233994 | 0.0055791605 | 0.0055891047 | 1.0017824 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.904849E-6 | 9.483783E-6 | 9.483783E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8163078E-5 | 4.0644158E-5 | 4.0644158E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6453642E-4 | 4.9473095E-4 | 4.9473095E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0046356656 | 0.0049363794 | 0.00494633 | 1.0020158 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.89401E-6 | 8.401225E-6 | 8.401225E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3831035E-5 | 3.600476E-5 | 3.600476E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1181498E-4 | 4.3827022E-4 | 4.3827022E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041105268 | 0.0043741143 | 0.0043840706 | 1.0022762 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.0872798E-6 | 7.5393395E-6 | 7.5393395E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0373703E-5 | 3.2311058E-5 | 3.2311058E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6973707E-4 | 3.9331647E-4 | 3.9331647E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003691225 | 0.003926248 | 0.0039362083 | 1.002537 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.169431E-6 | 6.559833E-6 | 6.559833E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.644015E-5 | 2.8113267E-5 | 2.8113267E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2186127E-4 | 3.422256E-4 | 3.422256E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003213955 | 0.0034170223 | 0.0034269881 | 1.0029166 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.9913488E-6 | 5.3073363E-6 | 5.3073363E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1391319E-5 | 2.274553E-5 | 2.274553E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6040818E-4 | 2.7689186E-4 | 2.7689186E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026010324 | 0.002765495 | 0.0027754672 | 1.003606 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.349592E-6 | 3.5610847E-6 | 3.5610847E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4355315E-5 | 1.5261703E-5 | 1.5261703E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7476194E-4 | 1.8579552E-4 | 1.8579552E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017462457 | 0.0018564158 | 0.0018564158 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.7527058E-6 | 1.8630196E-6 | 1.8630196E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5115745E-6 | 7.984346E-6 | 7.984346E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.144958E-5 | 9.7205164E-5 | 9.7205164E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1411953E-4 | 9.716353E-4 | 9.716353E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 8.878861E-8 | 9.2756046E-8 | 9.2756046E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8052255E-7 | 3.9752584E-7 | 3.9752584E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6328523E-6 | 4.839868E-6 | 4.839868E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6327557E-5 | 4.8397764E-5 | 4.8397764E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Sheephole
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.768936E-6 | 3.917435E-6 | 1.3917396E-5 | 3.5526807 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6152484E-5 | 1.6788912E-5 | 3.6788577E-5 | 2.1912425 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9663874E-4 | 2.0438802E-4 | 2.4437986E-4 | 1.1956662 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0019646483 | 0.0020422167 | 0.0020921144 | 1.0244333 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.768936E-6 | 3.917435E-6 | 1.3917396E-5 | 3.5526807 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6152484E-5 | 1.6788912E-5 | 3.6788577E-5 | 2.1912425 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9663874E-4 | 2.0438802E-4 | 2.4437986E-4 | 1.1956662 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0019646483 | 0.0020422167 | 0.0020921144 | 1.0244333 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.0142862E-6 | 3.1418922E-6 | 3.1418922E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2918306E-5 | 1.3465191E-5 | 1.3465191E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5726902E-4 | 1.6392786E-4 | 1.839246E-4 | 1.1219848 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015715776 | 0.001638217 | 0.0016681679 | 1.0182827 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.0142862E-6 | 3.1418922E-6 | 3.1418922E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2918306E-5 | 1.3465191E-5 | 1.3465191E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5726902E-4 | 1.6392786E-4 | 1.839246E-4 | 1.1219848 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015715776 | 0.001638217 | 0.0016681679 | 1.0182827 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.36302E-6 | 2.4735853E-6 | 2.4735853E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.012719E-5 | 1.0601042E-5 | 1.0601042E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2329155E-4 | 1.29061E-4 | 1.390597E-4 | 1.0774728 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012322317 | 0.001289953 | 0.00129994 | 1.0077422 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.3419884E-6 | 2.45165E-6 | 2.45165E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0037055E-5 | 1.0507034E-5 | 1.0507034E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.221943E-4 | 1.2791657E-4 | 1.2791657E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012212712 | 0.0012785221 | 0.0012785221 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.6040266E-6 | 1.6853515E-6 | 1.6853515E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8743816E-6 | 7.2229163E-6 | 7.2229163E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.369238E-5 | 8.793567E-5 | 8.793567E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.3660864E-4 | 8.790293E-4 | 8.790293E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.3983845E-6 | 1.4707202E-6 | 1.4707202E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9930626E-6 | 6.3030725E-6 | 6.3030725E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.296309E-5 | 7.6737364E-5 | 7.6737364E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.293914E-4 | 7.671245E-4 | 7.671245E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.2918224E-6 | 1.3588254E-6 | 1.3588254E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.53637E-6 | 5.823525E-6 | 5.823525E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.740322E-5 | 7.089927E-5 | 7.089927E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.738278E-4 | 7.087816E-4 | 7.087816E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.2311391E-6 | 1.2950437E-6 | 1.2950437E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2763E-6 | 5.5501764E-6 | 5.5501764E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.423706E-5 | 6.7571455E-5 | 6.7571455E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.421849E-4 | 6.7552377E-4 | 6.7552377E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.0556842E-6 | 1.1103633E-6 | 1.1103633E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.524353E-6 | 4.758692E-6 | 4.758692E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.50826E-5 | 5.7935664E-5 | 5.7935664E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.506895E-4 | 5.7921815E-4 | 5.7921815E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 9.030923E-7 | 9.497859E-7 | 9.497859E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8703897E-6 | 4.0705054E-6 | 4.0705054E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.712098E-5 | 4.955739E-5 | 4.955739E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7110987E-4 | 4.954748E-4 | 4.954748E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.4758467E-7 | 6.8110114E-7 | 6.8110114E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.77536E-6 | 2.9190023E-6 | 2.9190023E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.378948E-5 | 3.5538364E-5 | 3.5538364E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3784343E-4 | 3.5533583E-4 | 3.5533583E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cleghorn
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.903754E-6 | 1.0014201E-5 | 3.0014E-5 | 2.9971437 | 2.0E-5 | 3.387279E-5 | 4.291735E-5 | 6.291649E-5 | 1.465992 | 2.0E-5 | 4.123232E-4 | 5.2240264E-4 | 5.423922E-4 | 1.0382646 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00411559 | 0.005230074 | 0.0052798125 | 1.00951 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 7.903754E-6 | 1.0014201E-5 | 3.0014E-5 | 2.9971437 | 2.0E-5 | 3.387279E-5 | 4.291735E-5 | 6.291649E-5 | 1.465992 | 2.0E-5 | 4.123232E-4 | 5.2240264E-4 | 5.423922E-4 | 1.0382646 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00411559 | 0.005230074 | 0.0052798125 | 1.00951 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 7.903754E-6 | 1.0014201E-5 | 3.0014E-5 | 2.9971437 | 2.0E-5 | 3.387279E-5 | 4.291735E-5 | 6.291649E-5 | 1.465992 | 2.0E-5 | 4.123232E-4 | 5.2240264E-4 | 5.423922E-4 | 1.0382646 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00411559 | 0.005230074 | 0.0052798125 | 1.00951 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 7.903754E-6 | 1.0014201E-5 | 3.0014E-5 | 2.9971437 | 2.0E-5 | 3.387279E-5 | 4.291735E-5 | 6.291649E-5 | 1.465992 | 2.0E-5 | 4.123232E-4 | 5.2240264E-4 | 5.423922E-4 | 1.0382646 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00411559 | 0.005230074 | 0.0052798125 | 1.00951 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.7096414E-6 | 6.675486E-6 | 6.675486E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0184021E-5 | 2.8608918E-5 | 2.8608918E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4571276E-4 | 3.482593E-4 | 3.482593E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024544124 | 0.003494716 | 0.003514646 | 1.005703 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.7096414E-6 | 6.675486E-6 | 6.675486E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0184021E-5 | 2.8608918E-5 | 2.8608918E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4571276E-4 | 3.482593E-4 | 3.482593E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024544124 | 0.003494716 | 0.003514646 | 1.005703 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.3584864E-6 | 6.308803E-6 | 6.308803E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8679095E-5 | 2.7037455E-5 | 2.7037455E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2739424E-4 | 3.2913254E-4 | 3.2913254E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022716168 | 0.0033040235 | 0.0033239576 | 1.0060332 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.5585072E-6 | 5.4733323E-6 | 5.4733323E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5250655E-5 | 2.345693E-5 | 2.345693E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8566092E-4 | 2.855511E-4 | 2.855511E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018550587 | 0.0028693362 | 0.0028892788 | 1.0069503 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.496631E-6 | 5.407021E-6 | 5.407021E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4985475E-5 | 2.3172743E-5 | 2.3172743E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8243288E-4 | 2.8209202E-4 | 2.8209202E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018228319 | 0.0028348337 | 0.002854777 | 1.0070351 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.199018E-6 | 5.060921E-6 | 5.060921E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3710005E-5 | 2.1689482E-5 | 2.1689482E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6690652E-4 | 2.6403778E-4 | 2.6403778E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016678122 | 0.0026547317 | 0.0026746788 | 1.0075138 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.981958E-6 | 4.726929E-6 | 4.726929E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.27797575E-5 | 2.025811E-5 | 2.025811E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5558244E-4 | 2.466149E-4 | 2.466149E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015547356 | 0.002480902 | 0.0025008523 | 1.0080416 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.7250474E-6 | 4.379054E-6 | 4.379054E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1678722E-5 | 1.8767241E-5 | 1.8767241E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4217917E-4 | 2.2846747E-4 | 2.2846747E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014208823 | 0.002299825 | 0.002299825 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.449613E-6 | 3.94905E-6 | 3.94905E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0498299E-5 | 1.6924392E-5 | 1.6924392E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.278093E-4 | 2.0603521E-4 | 2.0603521E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012773582 | 0.0020759732 | 0.0020759732 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.1171097E-6 | 3.3671627E-6 | 3.3671627E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.073296E-6 | 1.4430619E-5 | 1.4430619E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1046178E-4 | 1.7567878E-4 | 1.7567878E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011040688 | 0.0017729974 | 0.0017729974 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.8537027E-6 | 2.936332E-6 | 2.936332E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.944416E-6 | 1.258422E-5 | 1.258422E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.671897E-5 | 1.5320224E-4 | 1.5320224E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.667688E-4 | 0.001548693 | 0.001548693 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.507545E-6 | 2.5186696E-6 | 2.5186696E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.460891E-6 | 1.0794254E-5 | 1.0794254E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8658515E-5 | 1.314122E-4 | 1.314122E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8630674E-4 | 0.0013311437 | 0.0013311437 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.0962972E-6 | 2.077403E-6 | 2.077403E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6984082E-6 | 8.9031255E-6 | 8.9031255E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7201618E-5 | 1.0839021E-4 | 1.0839021E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7186896E-4 | 0.0011011964 | 0.0011011964 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 8.4726145E-7 | 1.7988724E-6 | 1.7988724E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6311155E-6 | 7.70943E-6 | 7.70943E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4207933E-5 | 9.38583E-5 | 9.38583E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.419914E-4 | 9.5604354E-4 | 9.5604354E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 7.228959E-7 | 1.6717659E-6 | 1.6717659E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0981216E-6 | 7.1646914E-6 | 7.1646914E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.771898E-5 | 8.7226654E-5 | 8.7226654E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7712578E-4 | 8.894839E-4 | 8.894839E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 3.9460394E-7 | 8.2243344E-7 | 8.2243344E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6911587E-6 | 3.52471E-6 | 3.52471E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0589661E-5 | 4.291251E-5 | 4.291251E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0587754E-4 | 4.3977328E-4 | 4.3977328E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 7.629066E-8 | 6.078421E-8 | 6.078421E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2695993E-7 | 2.6050373E-7 | 2.6050373E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.98073E-6 | 3.1716286E-6 | 3.1716286E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9806586E-5 | 3.443645E-5 | 3.443645E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 3.638453E-8 | 1.4699968E-8 | 1.4699968E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.559337E-7 | 6.299986E-8 | 6.299986E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8984912E-6 | 7.6702304E-7 | 7.6702304E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8984749E-5 | 8.818869E-6 | 8.818869E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.2886721E-8 | 3.7650976E-9 | 3.7650976E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5228803E-8 | 1.6136132E-8 | 1.6136132E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7241047E-7 | 1.9645739E-7 | 1.9645739E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7240844E-6 | 2.3282778E-6 | 2.3282778E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Borrego)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.54755E-5 | 2.8239445E-5 | 2.8239445E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.52029E-4 | 1.2102063E-4 | 1.2102063E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018493815 | 0.0014724398 | 0.0015023957 | 1.0203444 | 3.0E-5 | 0.018340662 | 0.015023705 | 0.015072953 | 1.003278 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.544998E-5 | 2.8239445E-5 | 2.8239445E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5191962E-4 | 1.2102063E-4 | 1.2102063E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018480523 | 0.0014724398 | 0.0015023957 | 1.0203444 | 3.0E-5 | 0.018327588 | 0.015023705 | 0.015072953 | 1.003278 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.4132765E-5 | 2.8239445E-5 | 2.8239445E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4627507E-4 | 1.2102063E-4 | 1.2102063E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017794442 | 0.0014724398 | 0.0015023956 | 1.0203444 | 3.0E-5 | 0.017652627 | 0.015023704 | 0.015072953 | 1.003278 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.3986922E-5 | 2.8049308E-5 | 2.8049308E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.456501E-4 | 1.20205834E-4 | 1.20205834E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017718476 | 0.001462533 | 0.0014924891 | 1.0204823 | 3.0E-5 | 0.017577868 | 0.014926364 | 0.014975618 | 1.0032998 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.349493E-5 | 2.7438138E-5 | 2.7438138E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.435418E-4 | 1.1758677E-4 | 1.1758677E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017462203 | 0.0014306877 | 0.0014606448 | 1.020939 | 3.0E-5 | 0.017325623 | 0.014617559 | 0.014666827 | 1.0033705 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.3171436E-5 | 2.7200591E-5 | 2.7200591E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4215555E-4 | 1.165688E-4 | 1.165688E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017293699 | 0.0014183101 | 0.0014482676 | 1.021122 | 3.0E-5 | 0.017159734 | 0.0144956885 | 0.014544964 | 1.0033993 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.2617063E-5 | 2.6352998E-5 | 2.6352998E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3977992E-4 | 1.1293658E-4 | 1.1293658E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001700492 | 0.0013741438 | 0.0014041025 | 1.0218018 | 3.0E-5 | 0.016875383 | 0.014062097 | 0.014111394 | 1.0035057 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.2307405E-5 | 2.5878528E-5 | 2.5878528E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3845296E-4 | 1.10903304E-4 | 1.10903304E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016843614 | 0.0013494194 | 0.001379379 | 1.0222018 | 3.0E-5 | 0.016716518 | 0.013818725 | 0.013868034 | 1.0035683 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.1874024E-5 | 2.5352014E-5 | 2.5352014E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.365958E-4 | 1.0864701E-4 | 1.0864701E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016617852 | 0.0013219826 | 0.0013519429 | 1.0226632 | 3.0E-5 | 0.016494133 | 0.013546323 | 0.013595646 | 1.003641 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.859247E-5 | 2.2373932E-5 | 2.2373932E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.225334E-4 | 9.588478E-5 | 9.588478E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014908232 | 0.0011667763 | 0.0011967412 | 1.0256819 | 3.0E-5 | 0.014808614 | 0.011986572 | 0.012035972 | 1.0041213 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.680119E-5 | 2.119438E-5 | 2.119438E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1485718E-4 | 9.082992E-5 | 9.082992E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013974891 | 0.0011052968 | 0.0011352637 | 1.027112 | 3.0E-5 | 0.013887334 | 0.011364506 | 0.011413937 | 1.0043497 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.5071866E-5 | 2.0280697E-5 | 2.0280697E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0744643E-4 | 8.691439E-5 | 8.691439E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013073753 | 0.0010576721 | 0.0010876404 | 1.0283341 | 3.0E-5 | 0.012997105 | 0.01088191 | 0.010931366 | 1.0045447 | 5.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.4382698E-5 | 1.9733056E-5 | 1.9733056E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0449309E-4 | 8.456752E-5 | 8.456752E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012714609 | 0.0010291261 | 0.0010590953 | 1.0291209 | 3.0E-5 | 0.012642108 | 0.010596432 | 0.010645902 | 1.0046686 | 5.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.2385331E-5 | 1.8493174E-5 | 1.8493174E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.59336E-5 | 7.925407E-5 | 7.925407E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011673658 | 9.6449367E-4 | 9.944647E-4 | 1.0310744 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011612525 | 0.009948452 | 0.009997955 | 1.0049759 | 5.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.1940952E-5 | 1.8225282E-5 | 1.8225282E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.402926E-5 | 7.810603E-5 | 7.810603E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001144205 | 9.5052854E-4 | 9.805E-4 | 1.0315313 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011383315 | 0.009808398 | 0.009857907 | 1.0050477 | 5.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.099601E-5 | 1.768523E-5 | 1.768523E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9979796E-5 | 7.579166E-5 | 7.579166E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010949534 | 9.223752E-4 | 9.5234753E-4 | 1.0324948 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01089574 | 0.00952372 | 0.009573244 | 1.0052 | 5.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.8987037E-5 | 1.645717E-5 | 1.645717E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.1370476E-5 | 7.052884E-5 | 7.052884E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.902352E-4 | 8.583525E-4 | 8.883268E-4 | 1.0349207 | 3.0E-5 | 0.009858344 | 0.00887668 | 0.008926236 | 1.0055827 | 5.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.5295123E-5 | 1.3652849E-5 | 1.3652849E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5548884E-5 | 5.85109E-5 | 5.85109E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.977654E-4 | 7.121382E-4 | 7.421168E-4 | 1.0420966 | 3.0E-5 | 0.007949076 | 0.007404785 | 0.007454415 | 1.0067024 | 5.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.2315895E-5 | 1.1977814E-5 | 1.1977814E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.278134E-5 | 5.1332485E-5 | 5.1332485E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4242334E-4 | 6.2479434E-4 | 6.547756E-4 | 1.0479858 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006405693 | 0.006521108 | 0.006570782 | 1.0076174 | 5.0E-5 |
7.9 | 9.285803E-6 | 9.114961E-6 | 9.114961E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.979569E-5 | 3.906354E-5 | 3.906354E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.844048E-4 | 4.754953E-4 | 5.0548103E-4 | 1.0630621 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0048335027 | 0.005009942 | 0.0050596916 | 1.0099301 | 5.0E-5 |
8.0 | 7.5996545E-6 | 7.639522E-6 | 7.639522E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2569544E-5 | 3.2740398E-5 | 3.2740398E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.96462E-4 | 3.9854192E-4 | 4.2852995E-4 | 1.0752444 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0039575547 | 0.00422424 | 0.004274029 | 1.0117865 | 5.0E-5 |
8.1 | 6.3341226E-6 | 6.1189667E-6 | 6.1189667E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7145958E-5 | 2.6223881E-5 | 2.6223881E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.304519E-4 | 3.1922944E-4 | 3.4921986E-4 | 1.0939463 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0032996095 | 0.0033978182 | 0.0034476481 | 1.0146654 | 5.0E-5 |
8.2 | 1.5940274E-6 | 6.9372777E-7 | 6.9372777E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.831528E-6 | 2.9731157E-6 | 2.9731157E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.317068E-5 | 3.61971E-5 | 3.61971E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.313956E-4 | 4.1114734E-4 | 4.1114734E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.3054681E-7 | 4.141254E-8 | 4.141254E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5948624E-7 | 1.7748232E-7 | 1.7748232E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8117233E-6 | 2.1608453E-6 | 2.1608453E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.811515E-5 | 2.5148249E-5 | 2.5148249E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Kern Canyon (South Kern) 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.0224363E-6 | 4.0304367E-6 | 2.4030356E-5 | 5.962221 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7238899E-5 | 1.7273189E-5 | 3.7272843E-5 | 2.1578438 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0986337E-4 | 2.1028136E-4 | 2.6027084E-4 | 1.2377267 | 5.0E-5 | 0.002096653 | 0.002100881 | 0.0021507759 | 1.0237496 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.0224363E-6 | 4.0304367E-6 | 2.4030356E-5 | 5.962221 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7238899E-5 | 1.7273189E-5 | 3.7272843E-5 | 2.1578438 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0986337E-4 | 2.1028136E-4 | 2.6027084E-4 | 1.2377267 | 5.0E-5 | 0.002096653 | 0.002100881 | 0.0021507759 | 1.0237496 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.0224363E-6 | 4.0304367E-6 | 2.4030356E-5 | 5.962221 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7238899E-5 | 1.7273189E-5 | 3.7272843E-5 | 2.1578438 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0986337E-4 | 2.1028136E-4 | 2.6027084E-4 | 1.2377267 | 5.0E-5 | 0.002096653 | 0.002100881 | 0.0021507759 | 1.0237496 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.0224363E-6 | 4.0304367E-6 | 2.4030356E-5 | 5.962221 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7238899E-5 | 1.7273189E-5 | 3.7272843E-5 | 2.1578438 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0986337E-4 | 2.1028136E-4 | 2.6027084E-4 | 1.2377267 | 5.0E-5 | 0.002096653 | 0.002100881 | 0.0021507759 | 1.0237496 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.0224363E-6 | 4.0304367E-6 | 2.4030356E-5 | 5.962221 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7238899E-5 | 1.7273189E-5 | 3.7272843E-5 | 2.1578438 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0986337E-4 | 2.1028136E-4 | 2.6027084E-4 | 1.2377267 | 5.0E-5 | 0.002096653 | 0.002100881 | 0.0021507759 | 1.0237496 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.9993323E-6 | 2.988767E-6 | 2.2988706E-5 | 7.691703 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2854218E-5 | 1.280894E-5 | 3.2808683E-5 | 2.5613894 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5648887E-4 | 1.5593783E-4 | 2.0593003E-4 | 1.3205906 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0015637871 | 0.0015582998 | 0.0016082218 | 1.0320363 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.9993323E-6 | 2.988767E-6 | 2.2988706E-5 | 7.691703 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2854218E-5 | 1.280894E-5 | 3.2808683E-5 | 2.5613894 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5648887E-4 | 1.5593783E-4 | 2.0593003E-4 | 1.3205906 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0015637871 | 0.0015582998 | 0.0016082218 | 1.0320363 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.6667883E-6 | 2.650218E-6 | 2.2650165E-5 | 8.54653 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1429042E-5 | 1.1358028E-5 | 3.1357802E-5 | 2.760849 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3913971E-4 | 1.3827533E-4 | 1.782698E-4 | 1.289238 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0013905262 | 0.0013819034 | 0.0014218482 | 1.0289056 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.3372E-6 | 2.314817E-6 | 2.231477E-5 | 9.639972 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0016533E-5 | 9.920607E-6 | 2.992041E-5 | 3.0159857 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2194447E-4 | 1.2077677E-4 | 1.6077195E-4 | 1.3311495 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0012187756 | 0.0012071189 | 0.0012470706 | 1.0330968 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.0894097E-6 | 2.062707E-6 | 2.2062666E-5 | 10.695977 | 2.0E-5 | 8.954582E-6 | 8.840143E-6 | 2.8839966E-5 | 3.262387 | 2.0E-5 | 1.09016575E-4 | 1.0762348E-4 | 1.4761917E-4 | 1.3716261 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0010896311 | 0.0010757194 | 0.0011156762 | 1.0371444 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.7214223E-6 | 1.6881581E-6 | 2.1688124E-5 | 12.847212 | 2.0E-5 | 7.377503E-6 | 7.2349435E-6 | 2.7234799E-5 | 3.7643416 | 2.0E-5 | 8.9817404E-5 | 8.808191E-5 | 1.2807839E-4 | 1.4540827 | 4.0E-5 | 8.978111E-4 | 8.8047393E-4 | 9.204387E-4 | 1.0453901 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.4264762E-6 | 1.3877691E-6 | 1.1387755E-5 | 8.205799 | 1.0E-5 | 6.113455E-6 | 5.9475688E-6 | 1.594751E-5 | 2.6813493 | 1.0E-5 | 7.4428775E-5 | 7.240927E-5 | 9.240782E-5 | 1.2761878 | 2.0E-5 | 7.440385E-4 | 7.2385947E-4 | 7.4384495E-4 | 1.0276097 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.397715E-7 | 8.921051E-7 | 1.0892096E-5 | 12.209432 | 1.0E-5 | 4.027586E-6 | 3.823302E-6 | 1.38232635E-5 | 3.61553 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9034756E-5 | 4.654772E-5 | 6.654679E-5 | 1.4296466 | 2.0E-5 | 4.9023936E-4 | 4.65381E-4 | 4.8537168E-4 | 1.0429555 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.2755765E-7 | 5.775023E-7 | 1.0577496E-5 | 18.315939 | 1.0E-5 | 2.68953E-6 | 2.4750075E-6 | 1.2474983E-5 | 5.040382 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2744534E-5 | 3.0132805E-5 | 5.0132203E-5 | 1.6637084 | 2.0E-5 | 3.273971E-4 | 3.0128774E-4 | 3.2128172E-4 | 1.0663617 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.052877E-7 | 3.617666E-7 | 1.0361763E-5 | 28.64212 | 1.0E-5 | 1.736946E-6 | 1.5504274E-6 | 1.1550412E-5 | 7.4498243 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1147114E-5 | 1.8876293E-5 | 3.8875914E-5 | 2.05951 | 2.0E-5 | 2.1145101E-4 | 1.8874717E-4 | 2.087434E-4 | 1.1059419 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.8504771E-7 | 1.4894027E-7 | 1.0148939E-5 | 68.141 | 1.0E-5 | 7.9306136E-7 | 6.383153E-7 | 1.0638309E-5 | 16.66623 | 1.0E-5 | 9.6554795E-6 | 7.771462E-6 | 1.7771385E-5 | 2.2867491 | 1.0E-5 | 9.65506E-5 | 7.771201E-5 | 8.771123E-5 | 1.1286702 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.9996215E-8 | 2.0812667E-8 | 2.0812667E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.285552E-7 | 8.919714E-8 | 8.919714E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5651584E-6 | 1.0859748E-6 | 1.0859748E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5651474E-5 | 1.0859703E-5 | 1.0859703E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Gabriel
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.133094E-6 | 9.9036115E-6 | 2.9903413E-5 | 3.0194454 | 2.0E-5 | 3.9141243E-5 | 4.2443367E-5 | 8.244167E-5 | 1.9423922 | 4.0E-5 | 4.7644044E-4 | 5.166271E-4 | 5.5660645E-4 | 1.0773853 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0047542024 | 0.005164417 | 0.0052141584 | 1.0096316 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 9.133094E-6 | 9.9036115E-6 | 2.9903413E-5 | 3.0194454 | 2.0E-5 | 3.9141243E-5 | 4.2443367E-5 | 8.244167E-5 | 1.9423922 | 4.0E-5 | 4.7644044E-4 | 5.166271E-4 | 5.5660645E-4 | 1.0773853 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0047542024 | 0.005164417 | 0.0052141584 | 1.0096316 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.133094E-6 | 9.9036115E-6 | 2.9903413E-5 | 3.0194454 | 2.0E-5 | 3.9141243E-5 | 4.2443367E-5 | 8.244167E-5 | 1.9423922 | 4.0E-5 | 4.7644044E-4 | 5.166271E-4 | 5.5660645E-4 | 1.0773853 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0047542024 | 0.005164417 | 0.0052141584 | 1.0096316 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 9.133094E-6 | 9.9036115E-6 | 2.9903413E-5 | 3.0194454 | 2.0E-5 | 3.9141243E-5 | 4.2443367E-5 | 8.244167E-5 | 1.9423922 | 4.0E-5 | 4.7644044E-4 | 5.166271E-4 | 5.5660645E-4 | 1.0773853 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0047542024 | 0.005164417 | 0.0052141584 | 1.0096316 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 9.133094E-6 | 9.9036115E-6 | 2.9903413E-5 | 3.0194454 | 2.0E-5 | 3.9141243E-5 | 4.2443367E-5 | 8.244167E-5 | 1.9423922 | 4.0E-5 | 4.7644044E-4 | 5.166271E-4 | 5.5660645E-4 | 1.0773853 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0047542024 | 0.005164417 | 0.0052141584 | 1.0096316 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 7.5898747E-6 | 8.31816E-6 | 2.8317994E-5 | 3.4043577 | 2.0E-5 | 3.2527627E-5 | 3.5648776E-5 | 7.564735E-5 | 2.122018 | 4.0E-5 | 3.959519E-4 | 4.3393843E-4 | 4.739211E-4 | 1.092139 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0039524715 | 0.00434101 | 0.004390793 | 1.011468 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.5898747E-6 | 8.31816E-6 | 2.8317994E-5 | 3.4043577 | 2.0E-5 | 3.2527627E-5 | 3.5648776E-5 | 7.564735E-5 | 2.122018 | 4.0E-5 | 3.959519E-4 | 4.3393843E-4 | 4.739211E-4 | 1.092139 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0039524715 | 0.00434101 | 0.004390793 | 1.011468 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.817426E-6 | 7.520004E-6 | 2.7519853E-5 | 3.659553 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9217212E-5 | 3.2228196E-5 | 7.22269E-5 | 2.2411091 | 4.0E-5 | 3.556615E-4 | 3.923085E-4 | 4.3229279E-4 | 1.1019206 | 4.0E-5 | 0.003550928 | 0.003926243 | 0.003976047 | 1.0126848 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.43071E-6 | 7.119321E-6 | 2.7119178E-5 | 3.8092368 | 2.0E-5 | 2.7559894E-5 | 3.0511022E-5 | 7.050981E-5 | 2.3109615 | 4.0E-5 | 3.3549004E-4 | 3.7140917E-4 | 4.1139434E-4 | 1.1076579 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0033498402 | 0.0037179647 | 0.0037677789 | 1.0133982 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.092461E-6 | 6.768089E-6 | 2.6767953E-5 | 3.955024 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6110285E-5 | 2.9005776E-5 | 6.9004614E-5 | 2.3789957 | 4.0E-5 | 3.1784637E-4 | 3.5308886E-4 | 3.9307473E-4 | 1.113246 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0031739213 | 0.0035353568 | 0.00358518 | 1.0140928 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.708752E-6 | 6.357859E-6 | 2.6357731E-5 | 4.1456933 | 2.0E-5 | 2.446585E-5 | 2.7247686E-5 | 6.72466E-5 | 2.4679747 | 4.0E-5 | 2.97831E-4 | 3.316908E-4 | 3.7167754E-4 | 1.1205542 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0029743216 | 0.0033220316 | 0.0033718655 | 1.015001 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.3475555E-6 | 6.0056614E-6 | 2.600554E-5 | 4.330171 | 2.0E-5 | 2.2917895E-5 | 2.5738298E-5 | 6.5737266E-5 | 2.5540643 | 4.0E-5 | 2.7898964E-4 | 3.1331938E-4 | 3.5330685E-4 | 1.1276252 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0027863965 | 0.0031388465 | 0.0031886895 | 1.0158794 | 5.0E-5 |
7.2 | 5.1555858E-6 | 5.823833E-6 | 2.5823716E-5 | 4.4341445 | 2.0E-5 | 2.209518E-5 | 2.4959048E-5 | 6.495805E-5 | 2.6025853 | 4.0E-5 | 2.6897562E-4 | 3.038347E-4 | 3.4382252E-4 | 1.1316105 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0026865029 | 0.0030442632 | 0.003094111 | 1.0163743 | 5.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.757207E-6 | 5.5018386E-6 | 2.550173E-5 | 4.6351285 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0387872E-5 | 2.35791E-5 | 6.3578154E-5 | 2.6963778 | 4.0E-5 | 2.4819406E-4 | 2.8703836E-4 | 3.2702688E-4 | 1.1393142 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0024791704 | 0.0028767472 | 0.0029266032 | 1.0173308 | 5.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.324435E-6 | 5.0900385E-6 | 2.5089937E-5 | 4.9292235 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8533161E-5 | 2.1814272E-5 | 6.18134E-5 | 2.833622 | 4.0E-5 | 2.2561787E-4 | 2.65557E-4 | 3.0554636E-4 | 1.1505868 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0022538896 | 0.0026624645 | 0.0027123312 | 1.0187296 | 5.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.092089E-6 | 4.8583483E-6 | 2.4858251E-5 | 5.1166058 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7537406E-5 | 2.082133E-5 | 6.0820497E-5 | 2.921067 | 4.0E-5 | 2.13497E-4 | 2.534708E-4 | 2.9346065E-4 | 1.1577691 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0021329198 | 0.0025418838 | 0.0025917569 | 1.0196204 | 5.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.8123899E-6 | 4.572219E-6 | 2.4572128E-5 | 5.3742237 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6338712E-5 | 1.959508E-5 | 4.959449E-5 | 2.5309665 | 3.0E-5 | 1.9890566E-4 | 2.3854458E-4 | 2.6853743E-4 | 1.1257327 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001987277 | 0.0023929414 | 0.0024328455 | 1.0166758 | 4.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.3524162E-6 | 2.1263916E-6 | 1.212637E-5 | 5.7027926 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0081745E-5 | 9.113075E-6 | 2.9112893E-5 | 3.194629 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2273833E-4 | 1.10946065E-4 | 1.3094385E-4 | 1.1802478 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012267056 | 0.0011159357 | 0.0011359134 | 1.0179021 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.1142665E-6 | 5.816183E-7 | 5.816183E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7754193E-6 | 2.4926474E-6 | 1.2492623E-5 | 5.011789 | 1.0E-5 | 5.8139176E-5 | 3.034756E-5 | 4.0347255E-5 | 1.3295058 | 1.0E-5 | 5.812397E-4 | 3.0755243E-4 | 3.1754933E-4 | 1.0325048 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 6.962363E-7 | 1.7049665E-7 | 1.7049665E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9838666E-6 | 7.3069964E-7 | 7.3069964E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.632797E-5 | 8.8962315E-6 | 8.8962315E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6322032E-4 | 9.1491755E-5 | 9.1491755E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 4.6661077E-7 | 6.425827E-8 | 6.425827E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.999759E-6 | 2.7539255E-7 | 2.7539255E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4346793E-5 | 3.352899E-6 | 3.352899E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4344125E-4 | 3.5219782E-5 | 3.5219782E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 2.8688657E-7 | 3.384622E-8 | 3.384622E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2295133E-6 | 1.4505522E-7 | 1.4505522E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4969221E-5 | 1.7660458E-6 | 1.7660458E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4968214E-4 | 1.8710854E-5 | 1.8710854E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 8.862517E-8 | 1.2048261E-8 | 1.2048261E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.798221E-7 | 5.1635404E-8 | 5.1635404E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6243244E-6 | 6.2866087E-7 | 6.2866087E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.624228E-5 | 6.741519E-6 | 6.741519E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Rinconada 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6018197E-5 | 1.6542925E-5 | 5.6542263E-5 | 3.417912 | 4.0E-5 | 6.864761E-5 | 7.089634E-5 | 1.1089351E-4 | 1.5641639 | 4.0E-5 | 8.3546416E-4 | 8.628251E-4 | 9.027906E-4 | 1.0463194 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008323302 | 0.00859521 | 0.008644779 | 1.0057672 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.1289476E-5 | 1.1645464E-5 | 4.1645115E-5 | 3.5760803 | 3.0E-5 | 4.8382568E-5 | 4.9908183E-5 | 7.9906684E-5 | 1.6010739 | 3.0E-5 | 5.8889855E-4 | 6.0746365E-4 | 6.374454E-4 | 1.0493556 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005873404 | 0.0060581476 | 0.0060979053 | 1.0065627 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.1289476E-5 | 1.1645464E-5 | 4.1645115E-5 | 3.5760803 | 3.0E-5 | 4.8382568E-5 | 4.9908183E-5 | 7.9906684E-5 | 1.6010739 | 3.0E-5 | 5.8889855E-4 | 6.0746365E-4 | 6.374454E-4 | 1.0493556 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005873404 | 0.0060581476 | 0.0060979053 | 1.0065627 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 9.190557E-6 | 9.472582E-6 | 3.94723E-5 | 4.167005 | 3.0E-5 | 3.9387505E-5 | 4.059615E-5 | 7.0594935E-5 | 1.7389563 | 3.0E-5 | 4.7943735E-4 | 4.941464E-4 | 5.2413164E-4 | 1.0606807 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004784043 | 0.004930531 | 0.004970334 | 1.0080727 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.89081E-6 | 8.1271255E-6 | 3.812688E-5 | 4.691312 | 3.0E-5 | 3.381732E-5 | 3.4830075E-5 | 6.482903E-5 | 1.8612946 | 3.0E-5 | 4.1164807E-4 | 4.2397386E-4 | 4.5396114E-4 | 1.0707291 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0041088634 | 0.004231681 | 0.004271512 | 1.0094125 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.2819627E-6 | 6.4631136E-6 | 3.646292E-5 | 5.6416955 | 3.0E-5 | 2.692242E-5 | 2.7698765E-5 | 5.7697933E-5 | 2.0830507 | 3.0E-5 | 3.2773116E-4 | 3.3718036E-4 | 3.6717026E-4 | 1.0889431 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0032724824 | 0.0033667013 | 0.0034065666 | 1.011841 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.644062E-6 | 5.8043943E-6 | 3.580422E-5 | 6.168468 | 3.0E-5 | 2.4188614E-5 | 2.4875737E-5 | 5.4874992E-5 | 2.2059643 | 3.0E-5 | 2.9445658E-4 | 3.028201E-4 | 3.32811E-4 | 1.0990387 | 3.0E-5 | 0.002940667 | 0.0030240843 | 0.0030639633 | 1.0131872 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.8385828E-6 | 4.9721993E-6 | 3.497205E-5 | 7.0335174 | 3.0E-5 | 2.073662E-5 | 2.1309252E-5 | 5.1308612E-5 | 2.4078093 | 3.0E-5 | 2.524391E-4 | 2.594093E-4 | 2.894015E-4 | 1.1156174 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0025215251 | 0.002591071 | 0.0026209934 | 1.0115483 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 4.0271148E-6 | 4.133599E-6 | 3.4133474E-5 | 8.257568 | 3.0E-5 | 1.7258948E-5 | 1.7715303E-5 | 4.7714773E-5 | 2.6934211 | 3.0E-5 | 2.1010744E-4 | 2.156625E-4 | 2.4565603E-4 | 1.1390762 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0020990889 | 0.0021545356 | 0.002184471 | 1.0138941 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.50027E-6 | 3.5895032E-6 | 3.3589396E-5 | 9.357673 | 3.0E-5 | 1.500107E-5 | 1.5383495E-5 | 4.5383033E-5 | 2.950112 | 3.0E-5 | 1.8262272E-4 | 1.8727797E-4 | 2.1727235E-4 | 1.1601597 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0018247272 | 0.0018712041 | 0.001901148 | 1.0160024 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.8711258E-6 | 2.9404794E-6 | 1.294045E-5 | 4.400796 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2304767E-5 | 1.2601994E-5 | 2.2601867E-5 | 1.7935152 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4980024E-4 | 1.5341848E-4 | 1.6341696E-4 | 1.0651712 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001496993 | 0.0015331274 | 0.0015431121 | 1.0065126 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.3565258E-6 | 2.4103394E-6 | 1.2410315E-5 | 5.148783 | 1.0E-5 | 1.00993575E-5 | 1.0329985E-5 | 2.0329882E-5 | 1.9680456 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2295274E-4 | 1.2576033E-4 | 1.3575907E-4 | 1.0795063 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012288473 | 0.0012568928 | 0.0012668802 | 1.0079461 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.8008103E-6 | 1.8392434E-6 | 1.1839225E-5 | 6.4370084 | 1.0E-5 | 7.717736E-6 | 7.882448E-6 | 1.7882368E-5 | 2.2686315 | 1.0E-5 | 9.3959374E-5 | 9.5964584E-5 | 1.0596363E-4 | 1.1041951 | 1.0E-5 | 9.391966E-4 | 9.592322E-4 | 9.6922263E-4 | 1.010415 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.2433001E-6 | 1.2679037E-6 | 1.2679037E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.328418E-6 | 5.4338616E-6 | 5.4338616E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.487156E-5 | 6.615526E-5 | 6.615526E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4852624E-4 | 6.6135597E-4 | 6.6135597E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 8.363252E-7 | 8.5196945E-7 | 8.5196945E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.584246E-6 | 3.6512924E-6 | 3.6512924E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3637323E-5 | 4.445358E-5 | 4.445358E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3628755E-4 | 4.44447E-4 | 4.44447E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.7180393E-7 | 4.7967455E-7 | 4.7967455E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0220152E-6 | 2.0557463E-6 | 2.0557463E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4617757E-5 | 2.5028425E-5 | 2.5028425E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.461503E-4 | 2.5025613E-4 | 2.5025613E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.7944092E-7 | 1.8112301E-7 | 1.8112301E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.690323E-7 | 7.762412E-7 | 7.762412E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.362928E-6 | 9.450696E-6 | 9.450696E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.362533E-5 | 9.450295E-5 | 9.450295E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 3.7728203E-8 | 3.8032997E-8 | 3.8032997E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6169228E-7 | 1.6299855E-7 | 1.6299855E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9686017E-6 | 1.9845056E-6 | 1.9845056E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9685844E-5 | 1.9844882E-5 | 1.9844882E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.012327E-10 | 3.0578995E-10 | 3.0578995E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2909972E-9 | 1.3105286E-9 | 1.3105286E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5717891E-8 | 1.5955688E-8 | 1.5955688E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5717889E-7 | 1.5955686E-7 | 1.5955686E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Northridge
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.775292E-5 | 8.395002E-6 | 2.8394834E-5 | 3.38235 | 2.0E-5 | 7.608173E-5 | 3.5978097E-5 | 6.597702E-5 | 1.8338106 | 3.0E-5 | 9.2590135E-4 | 4.379482E-4 | 4.779307E-4 | 1.091295 | 4.0E-5 | 0.00922053 | 0.0043711415 | 0.0044109668 | 1.0091109 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.775292E-5 | 8.395002E-6 | 2.8394834E-5 | 3.38235 | 2.0E-5 | 7.608173E-5 | 3.5978097E-5 | 6.597702E-5 | 1.8338106 | 3.0E-5 | 9.2590135E-4 | 4.379482E-4 | 4.779307E-4 | 1.091295 | 4.0E-5 | 0.00922053 | 0.0043711415 | 0.0044109668 | 1.0091109 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.775292E-5 | 8.395002E-6 | 2.8394834E-5 | 3.38235 | 2.0E-5 | 7.608173E-5 | 3.5978097E-5 | 6.597702E-5 | 1.8338106 | 3.0E-5 | 9.2590135E-4 | 4.379482E-4 | 4.779307E-4 | 1.091295 | 4.0E-5 | 0.00922053 | 0.0043711415 | 0.0044109668 | 1.0091109 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.775292E-5 | 8.395002E-6 | 2.8394834E-5 | 3.38235 | 2.0E-5 | 7.608173E-5 | 3.5978097E-5 | 6.597702E-5 | 1.8338106 | 3.0E-5 | 9.2590135E-4 | 4.379482E-4 | 4.779307E-4 | 1.091295 | 4.0E-5 | 0.00922053 | 0.0043711415 | 0.0044109668 | 1.0091109 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.574804E-5 | 8.395002E-6 | 2.8394834E-5 | 3.38235 | 2.0E-5 | 6.748986E-5 | 3.5978097E-5 | 6.597702E-5 | 1.8338106 | 3.0E-5 | 8.2137925E-4 | 4.379482E-4 | 4.779307E-4 | 1.091295 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008183499 | 0.0043711415 | 0.0044109668 | 1.0091109 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.574804E-5 | 8.395002E-6 | 2.8394834E-5 | 3.38235 | 2.0E-5 | 6.748986E-5 | 3.5978097E-5 | 6.597702E-5 | 1.8338106 | 3.0E-5 | 8.2137925E-4 | 4.379482E-4 | 4.779307E-4 | 1.091295 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008183499 | 0.0043711415 | 0.0044109668 | 1.0091109 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.54266E-5 | 8.395002E-6 | 2.8394834E-5 | 3.38235 | 2.0E-5 | 6.611232E-5 | 3.5978097E-5 | 6.597702E-5 | 1.8338106 | 3.0E-5 | 8.046202E-4 | 4.379482E-4 | 4.779307E-4 | 1.091295 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008017131 | 0.0043711415 | 0.0044109668 | 1.0091109 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.4377601E-5 | 7.924951E-6 | 2.7924792E-5 | 3.5236547 | 2.0E-5 | 6.161683E-5 | 3.396365E-5 | 6.396263E-5 | 1.8832673 | 3.0E-5 | 7.499267E-4 | 4.1343167E-4 | 4.5341515E-4 | 1.0967112 | 4.0E-5 | 0.00747401 | 0.004126892 | 0.004166727 | 1.0096525 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.39434605E-5 | 7.792987E-6 | 2.7792832E-5 | 3.5663898 | 2.0E-5 | 5.975632E-5 | 3.3398104E-5 | 6.339711E-5 | 1.8982246 | 3.0E-5 | 7.272903E-4 | 4.0654873E-4 | 4.4653247E-4 | 1.0983492 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0072491462 | 0.004058315 | 0.0040981527 | 1.0098163 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.3215156E-5 | 7.4563673E-6 | 2.7456219E-5 | 3.6822512 | 2.0E-5 | 5.6635155E-5 | 3.1955482E-5 | 6.1954524E-5 | 1.938776 | 3.0E-5 | 6.8931485E-4 | 3.8899117E-4 | 4.2897562E-4 | 1.1027901 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006871806 | 0.0038833632 | 0.003923208 | 1.0102603 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 9.018273E-6 | 5.0636004E-6 | 2.5063498E-5 | 4.949739 | 2.0E-5 | 3.8649167E-5 | 2.1700966E-5 | 5.1700314E-5 | 2.382397 | 3.0E-5 | 4.70452E-4 | 2.6417748E-4 | 3.041669E-4 | 1.1513734 | 4.0E-5 | 0.004694573 | 0.0026386566 | 0.002678551 | 1.0151192 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.492022E-6 | 4.8063557E-6 | 2.4806259E-5 | 5.161137 | 2.0E-5 | 3.639387E-5 | 2.0598505E-5 | 5.0597886E-5 | 2.4563863 | 3.0E-5 | 4.430053E-4 | 2.507582E-4 | 2.9074817E-4 | 1.1594763 | 4.0E-5 | 0.004421232 | 0.0025047755 | 0.0025446753 | 1.0159295 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.806354E-6 | 4.40144E-6 | 2.4401352E-5 | 5.543947 | 2.0E-5 | 3.3455373E-5 | 1.886318E-5 | 4.8862614E-5 | 2.59037 | 3.0E-5 | 4.0724306E-4 | 2.2963525E-4 | 2.5962834E-4 | 1.130612 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004064976 | 0.0022940014 | 0.0023239327 | 1.0130476 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.55405E-6 | 3.7132065E-6 | 1.3713169E-5 | 3.6930802 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8088481E-5 | 1.5913647E-5 | 2.5913487E-5 | 1.6283815 | 1.0E-5 | 3.419236E-4 | 1.9373155E-4 | 2.0372962E-4 | 1.0516078 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034139797 | 0.0019356374 | 0.0019456181 | 1.0051563 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 5.903922E-6 | 3.3147544E-6 | 1.3314721E-5 | 4.0168047 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5302277E-5 | 1.42060135E-5 | 2.4205872E-5 | 1.7039173 | 1.0E-5 | 3.080117E-4 | 1.7294461E-4 | 1.8294288E-4 | 1.057812 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030758511 | 0.001728108 | 0.0017380907 | 1.0057766 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.848178E-6 | 2.763946E-6 | 1.2763919E-5 | 4.6180058 | 1.0E-5 | 2.077774E-5 | 1.184543E-5 | 2.1845311E-5 | 1.8441974 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5293962E-4 | 1.4420867E-4 | 1.5420723E-4 | 1.0693339 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0025265191 | 0.0014411611 | 0.0014511468 | 1.0069288 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.1806076E-6 | 1.8691763E-6 | 1.1869158E-5 | 6.34994 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3631104E-5 | 8.010732E-6 | 1.801065E-5 | 2.2483153 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6594605E-4 | 9.752638E-5 | 1.0752541E-4 | 1.1025263 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016582218 | 9.7484485E-4 | 9.848351E-4 | 1.0102481 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.4410269E-6 | 7.8496714E-7 | 7.8496714E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.175815E-6 | 3.3641409E-6 | 3.3641409E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5187956E-5 | 4.0957704E-5 | 4.0957704E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.516252E-4 | 4.0950754E-4 | 4.0950754E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.1054904E-7 | 5.55933E-8 | 5.55933E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.737815E-7 | 2.3825699E-7 | 2.3825699E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7682746E-6 | 2.900775E-6 | 2.900775E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.768125E-5 | 2.900738E-5 | 2.900738E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 4.4305736E-8 | 1.755669E-8 | 1.755669E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8988172E-7 | 7.524296E-8 | 7.524296E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3118073E-6 | 9.160826E-7 | 9.160826E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3117833E-5 | 9.160791E-6 | 9.160791E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 5.0364406E-9 | 2.214253E-9 | 2.214253E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1584746E-8 | 9.489655E-9 | 9.489655E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6279426E-7 | 1.1553656E-7 | 1.1553656E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6279395E-6 | 1.1553656E-6 | 1.1553656E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Puente Hills (LA)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.9051043E-6 | 7.29697E-6 | 7.29697E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.959297E-5 | 3.1272426E-5 | 5.12718E-5 | 1.6395211 | 2.0E-5 | 3.6023482E-4 | 3.806877E-4 | 4.106763E-4 | 1.0787748 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0035965142 | 0.0038015812 | 0.003841429 | 1.010482 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.9051043E-6 | 7.29697E-6 | 7.29697E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.959297E-5 | 3.1272426E-5 | 5.12718E-5 | 1.6395211 | 2.0E-5 | 3.6023482E-4 | 3.806877E-4 | 4.106763E-4 | 1.0787748 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0035965142 | 0.0038015812 | 0.003841429 | 1.010482 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.9051043E-6 | 7.29697E-6 | 7.29697E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.959297E-5 | 3.1272426E-5 | 5.12718E-5 | 1.6395211 | 2.0E-5 | 3.6023482E-4 | 3.806877E-4 | 4.106763E-4 | 1.0787748 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0035965142 | 0.0038015812 | 0.003841429 | 1.010482 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.9051043E-6 | 7.29697E-6 | 7.29697E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.959297E-5 | 3.1272426E-5 | 5.12718E-5 | 1.6395211 | 2.0E-5 | 3.6023482E-4 | 3.806877E-4 | 4.106763E-4 | 1.0787748 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0035965142 | 0.0038015812 | 0.003841429 | 1.010482 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.9051043E-6 | 7.29697E-6 | 7.29697E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.959297E-5 | 3.1272426E-5 | 5.12718E-5 | 1.6395211 | 2.0E-5 | 3.6023482E-4 | 3.806877E-4 | 4.106763E-4 | 1.0787748 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0035965142 | 0.0038015812 | 0.003841429 | 1.010482 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.9051043E-6 | 7.29697E-6 | 7.29697E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.959297E-5 | 3.1272426E-5 | 5.12718E-5 | 1.6395211 | 2.0E-5 | 3.6023482E-4 | 3.806877E-4 | 4.106763E-4 | 1.0787748 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0035965142 | 0.0038015812 | 0.003841429 | 1.010482 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.9051043E-6 | 7.29697E-6 | 7.29697E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.959297E-5 | 3.1272426E-5 | 5.12718E-5 | 1.6395211 | 2.0E-5 | 3.6023482E-4 | 3.806877E-4 | 4.106763E-4 | 1.0787748 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0035965142 | 0.0038015812 | 0.003841429 | 1.010482 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.9051043E-6 | 7.29697E-6 | 7.29697E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.959297E-5 | 3.1272426E-5 | 5.12718E-5 | 1.6395211 | 2.0E-5 | 3.6023482E-4 | 3.806877E-4 | 4.106763E-4 | 1.0787748 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0035965142 | 0.0038015812 | 0.003841429 | 1.010482 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.9051043E-6 | 7.29697E-6 | 7.29697E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.959297E-5 | 3.1272426E-5 | 5.12718E-5 | 1.6395211 | 2.0E-5 | 3.6023482E-4 | 3.806877E-4 | 4.106763E-4 | 1.0787748 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0035965142 | 0.0038015812 | 0.003841429 | 1.010482 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.9435574E-6 | 6.282609E-6 | 6.282609E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.547214E-5 | 2.692525E-5 | 3.6924983E-5 | 1.3713886 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1007917E-4 | 3.277768E-4 | 3.4777023E-4 | 1.0609971 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0030964685 | 0.0032740314 | 0.003293966 | 1.0060887 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.0500426E-6 | 3.2026803E-6 | 3.2026803E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3071545E-5 | 1.37257075E-5 | 1.37257075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5913445E-4 | 1.6709897E-4 | 1.770973E-4 | 1.0598347 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015902054 | 0.0016698611 | 0.0016798443 | 1.0059785 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.2366087E-6 | 2.3349644E-6 | 2.3349644E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.58543E-6 | 1.0006956E-5 | 1.0006956E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1669636E-4 | 1.2182862E-4 | 1.318274E-4 | 1.0820725 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001166351 | 0.0012176917 | 0.0012276795 | 1.0082023 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.4126729E-6 | 1.4483653E-6 | 1.4483653E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.054298E-6 | 6.2072654E-6 | 6.2072654E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.370859E-5 | 7.5570875E-5 | 7.5570875E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.368414E-4 | 7.5545587E-4 | 7.5545587E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.3054571E-6 | 1.3385969E-6 | 1.3385969E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.594804E-6 | 5.7368316E-6 | 5.7368316E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.811461E-5 | 6.984372E-5 | 6.984372E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.809374E-4 | 6.982217E-4 | 6.982217E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.1311856E-6 | 1.1559802E-6 | 1.1559802E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.847929E-6 | 4.9541914E-6 | 4.9541914E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.902194E-5 | 6.0315644E-5 | 6.0315644E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9006264E-4 | 6.0299604E-4 | 6.0299604E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 8.5012414E-7 | 8.619525E-7 | 8.619525E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.643384E-6 | 3.6940771E-6 | 3.6940771E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4357297E-5 | 4.4974488E-5 | 4.4974488E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4348446E-4 | 4.4965657E-4 | 4.4965657E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 7.028022E-7 | 7.078997E-7 | 7.078997E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0120061E-6 | 3.0338524E-6 | 3.0338524E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6670557E-5 | 3.693655E-5 | 3.693655E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6664505E-4 | 3.6930677E-4 | 3.6930677E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 3.1437048E-7 | 3.206919E-7 | 3.206919E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3473015E-6 | 1.3743932E-6 | 1.3743932E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6403272E-5 | 1.673312E-5 | 1.673312E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.640206E-4 | 1.6731974E-4 | 1.6731974E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.1591451E-7 | 1.187214E-7 | 1.187214E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.967764E-7 | 5.0880595E-7 | 5.0880595E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0482357E-6 | 6.194704E-6 | 6.194704E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.048071E-5 | 6.1946186E-5 | 6.1946186E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Calaveras (Central) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.4989184E-4 | 2.4664088E-4 | 2.4664088E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4223545E-4 | 0.0010565394 | 0.0010665288 | 1.0094548 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0077912183 | 0.012781451 | 0.0127913235 | 1.0007724 | 1.0E-5 | 0.07523653 | 0.11990563 | 0.11993203 | 1.0002202 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.4382103E-4 | 2.3569497E-4 | 2.3569497E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1623025E-4 | 0.0010096678 | 0.0010196576 | 1.0098943 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0074768243 | 0.012218951 | 0.012228829 | 1.0008084 | 1.0E-5 | 0.07230212 | 0.115016066 | 0.11504261 | 1.0002308 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.4080507E-4 | 2.348173E-4 | 2.348173E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0331076E-4 | 0.0010059095 | 0.0010158995 | 1.0099312 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0073205982 | 0.012173755 | 0.012183634 | 1.0008115 | 1.0E-5 | 0.07084086 | 0.11456744 | 0.114594 | 1.0002319 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3181973E-4 | 2.263907E-4 | 2.263907E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.648194E-4 | 9.6983265E-4 | 9.79823E-4 | 1.0103011 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006855015 | 0.011740598 | 0.01175048 | 1.0008417 | 1.0E-5 | 0.06647374 | 0.11069062 | 0.110717304 | 1.000241 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2675441E-4 | 2.2055056E-4 | 2.2055056E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.431201E-4 | 9.4482204E-4 | 9.548126E-4 | 1.010574 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006592457 | 0.011439384 | 0.011449269 | 1.0008641 | 1.0E-5 | 0.064002834 | 0.1079442 | 0.10797096 | 1.000248 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.07906526E-4 | 1.8751078E-4 | 1.8751078E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6237456E-4 | 8.03369E-4 | 8.1336097E-4 | 1.0124376 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0056148893 | 0.009737069 | 0.009746972 | 1.001017 | 1.0E-5 | 0.054751217 | 0.09272926 | 0.09275648 | 1.0002935 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.04110804E-4 | 1.8183279E-4 | 1.8183279E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4611286E-4 | 7.790495E-4 | 7.890417E-4 | 1.0128262 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0054179057 | 0.0094436025 | 0.009453508 | 1.0010489 | 1.0E-5 | 0.052877046 | 0.09005564 | 0.090082936 | 1.0003031 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.896317E-5 | 1.7422331E-4 | 1.7422331E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2405893E-4 | 7.464565E-4 | 7.56449E-4 | 1.0133866 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005150702 | 0.009050176 | 0.009060085 | 1.0010949 | 1.0E-5 | 0.050329432 | 0.08645993 | 0.08648733 | 1.000317 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 9.3441544E-5 | 1.6338567E-4 | 1.6338567E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.004023E-4 | 7.000355E-4 | 7.100285E-4 | 1.014275 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0048640063 | 0.008489571 | 0.008499485 | 1.0011679 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04758912 | 0.081387036 | 0.08141459 | 1.0003386 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.323723E-5 | 1.2339445E-4 | 1.2339445E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.138361E-4 | 5.287267E-4 | 5.3872145E-4 | 1.0189034 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0038142612 | 0.0064183604 | 0.006428296 | 1.001548 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03749454 | 0.06238496 | 0.06241309 | 1.0004508 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.756587E-5 | 9.504736E-5 | 9.504736E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4668756E-4 | 4.0728258E-4 | 4.172785E-4 | 1.0245429 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029992845 | 0.0049474584 | 0.004957409 | 1.0020113 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02959126 | 0.04854912 | 0.048577666 | 1.0005879 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.8936774E-5 | 8.0258076E-5 | 8.0258076E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0971216E-4 | 3.4391813E-4 | 3.539147E-4 | 1.0290667 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002550256 | 0.0041792216 | 0.0041891797 | 1.0023828 | 1.0E-5 | 0.025211869 | 0.041238222 | 0.04126698 | 1.0006975 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.6578476E-5 | 5.9839236E-5 | 5.9839236E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5675547E-4 | 2.5642882E-4 | 2.6642624E-4 | 1.0389872 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019068272 | 0.0031175772 | 0.0031275458 | 1.0031977 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018905481 | 0.03103994 | 0.031069009 | 1.0009365 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.7765942E-5 | 4.5599816E-5 | 4.5599816E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1899146E-4 | 1.9541326E-4 | 2.054113E-4 | 1.0511636 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014477583 | 0.0023765804 | 0.0023865567 | 1.0041977 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014383625 | 0.023781829 | 0.023811115 | 1.0012314 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.8502888E-5 | 3.1161482E-5 | 3.1161482E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.929568E-5 | 1.3354239E-4 | 1.4354105E-4 | 1.0748726 | 1.0E-5 | 9.649973E-4 | 0.001624669 | 0.0016346526 | 1.0061451 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009608176 | 0.016346062 | 0.016375571 | 1.0018053 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.5345748E-5 | 2.7022215E-5 | 2.7022215E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.576583E-5 | 1.1580437E-4 | 1.2580321E-4 | 1.0863426 | 1.0E-5 | 8.004049E-4 | 0.0014090091 | 0.0014189951 | 1.0070872 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007975281 | 0.014210112 | 0.014239687 | 1.0020812 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 8.386176E-6 | 1.5291407E-5 | 1.5291407E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.594026E-5 | 6.5532964E-5 | 7.553231E-5 | 1.1525849 | 1.0E-5 | 4.374848E-4 | 7.975731E-4 | 8.075652E-4 | 1.0125281 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004366245 | 0.008115263 | 0.008145019 | 1.0036668 | 3.0E-5 |
7.7 | 3.4860175E-6 | 6.357661E-6 | 6.357661E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4939989E-5 | 2.7246833E-5 | 3.7246562E-5 | 1.3670051 | 1.0E-5 | 1.818792E-4 | 3.3167977E-4 | 3.4167644E-4 | 1.0301396 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001817304 | 0.003447139 | 0.0034770356 | 1.0086728 | 3.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.7986223E-6 | 5.3751082E-6 | 5.3751082E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.19940405E-5 | 2.3035975E-5 | 3.3035743E-5 | 1.4340936 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4601766E-4 | 2.8042696E-4 | 2.9042416E-4 | 1.0356499 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014592175 | 0.0029136352 | 0.002943548 | 1.0102664 | 3.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.9930783E-6 | 4.1785233E-6 | 4.1785233E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.541737E-6 | 1.7907834E-5 | 1.7907834E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0399068E-4 | 2.1800611E-4 | 2.1800611E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010394203 | 0.0022519764 | 0.0022619537 | 1.0044305 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.2089354E-6 | 2.6326268E-6 | 2.6326268E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1811417E-6 | 1.1282638E-5 | 1.1282638E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.307857E-5 | 1.3735748E-4 | 1.3735748E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.306067E-4 | 0.0014068756 | 0.0014068756 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 8.0059846E-7 | 1.7046787E-6 | 1.7046787E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4311317E-6 | 7.3057454E-6 | 7.3057454E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.177323E-5 | 8.894384E-5 | 8.894384E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1765376E-4 | 9.086613E-4 | 9.086613E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Juan
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.4981615E-6 | 9.624408E-6 | 9.624408E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.070577E-5 | 4.124684E-5 | 4.124684E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.954801E-4 | 5.0206954E-4 | 5.120645E-4 | 1.0199076 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0049437676 | 0.005009927 | 0.0050497265 | 1.0079441 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 9.4981615E-6 | 9.624408E-6 | 9.624408E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.070577E-5 | 4.124684E-5 | 4.124684E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.954801E-4 | 5.0206954E-4 | 5.120645E-4 | 1.0199076 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0049437676 | 0.005009927 | 0.0050497265 | 1.0079441 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.4981615E-6 | 9.624408E-6 | 9.624408E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.070577E-5 | 4.124684E-5 | 4.124684E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.954801E-4 | 5.0206954E-4 | 5.120645E-4 | 1.0199076 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0049437676 | 0.005009927 | 0.0050497265 | 1.0079441 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 7.3407414E-6 | 7.377563E-6 | 7.377563E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.145994E-5 | 3.1617754E-5 | 3.1617754E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8295746E-4 | 3.8488026E-4 | 3.948764E-4 | 1.0259721 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0038229816 | 0.0038424223 | 0.0038822684 | 1.0103701 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.255887E-6 | 7.2862244E-6 | 7.2862244E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.109629E-5 | 3.1226315E-5 | 3.1226315E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7853152E-4 | 3.801161E-4 | 3.901123E-4 | 1.0262978 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003778874 | 0.0037949437 | 0.0038347917 | 1.0105003 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.1742335E-6 | 6.1622027E-6 | 6.1622027E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6460733E-5 | 2.6409181E-5 | 2.6409181E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.221118E-4 | 3.214858E-4 | 3.314826E-4 | 1.0310956 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003216453 | 0.0032104305 | 0.003250302 | 1.0124193 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.1036386E-6 | 5.024547E-6 | 5.024547E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1872553E-5 | 2.15336E-5 | 2.15336E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.662658E-4 | 2.621411E-4 | 2.7213848E-4 | 1.0381374 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0026594698 | 0.0026185003 | 0.0026583953 | 1.0152359 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.3777836E-6 | 4.267913E-6 | 4.267913E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8761795E-5 | 1.8290932E-5 | 1.8290932E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2840092E-4 | 2.2267019E-4 | 2.2267019E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002281663 | 0.0022246316 | 0.002254565 | 1.0134554 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.805736E-6 | 3.6788124E-6 | 3.6788124E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6310196E-5 | 1.5766247E-5 | 1.5766247E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9855853E-4 | 1.9193791E-4 | 1.9193791E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001983812 | 0.0019178732 | 0.0019378348 | 1.0104082 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.3738422E-6 | 3.2336638E-6 | 3.2336638E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4459243E-5 | 1.385849E-5 | 1.385849E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7602707E-4 | 1.6871475E-4 | 1.6871475E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001758877 | 0.0016860123 | 0.0016959955 | 1.0059211 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.8968698E-6 | 2.7425867E-6 | 2.7425867E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2415097E-5 | 1.1753894E-5 | 1.1753894E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5114332E-4 | 1.4309493E-4 | 1.4309493E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015104057 | 0.0014301697 | 0.0014401553 | 1.0069822 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.2981242E-6 | 2.1244969E-6 | 2.1244969E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.849066E-6 | 9.104959E-6 | 9.104959E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1990578E-4 | 1.1084786E-4 | 1.1084786E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001198411 | 0.0011080634 | 0.0011080634 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.1131593E-6 | 9.0076617E-7 | 9.0076617E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.770674E-6 | 3.8604207E-6 | 3.8604207E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.808141E-5 | 4.6999627E-5 | 4.6999627E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8066234E-4 | 4.6997413E-4 | 4.6997413E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 6.602937E-7 | 4.4724635E-7 | 4.4724635E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.829827E-6 | 1.9167687E-6 | 1.9167687E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.44526E-5 | 2.3336408E-5 | 2.3336408E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.444726E-4 | 2.3338653E-4 | 2.3338653E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.117894E-7 | 2.9968592E-7 | 2.9968592E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1933813E-6 | 1.2843676E-6 | 1.2843676E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6704089E-5 | 1.5637064E-5 | 1.5637064E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.670088E-4 | 1.5640406E-4 | 1.5640406E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.5585242E-7 | 2.4714788E-7 | 2.4714788E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9536517E-6 | 1.0592048E-6 | 1.0592048E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3785451E-5 | 1.2895742E-5 | 1.2895742E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3782905E-4 | 1.2898914E-4 | 1.2898914E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.8045806E-7 | 1.8727171E-7 | 1.8727171E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6305336E-6 | 8.025928E-7 | 8.025928E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9851565E-5 | 9.771524E-6 | 9.771524E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9849792E-4 | 9.7742355E-5 | 9.7742355E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.884214E-7 | 3.5774498E-8 | 3.5774498E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0752E-7 | 1.5331929E-7 | 1.5331929E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.831511E-6 | 1.8666607E-6 | 1.8666607E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.831077E-5 | 1.8682504E-5 | 1.8682504E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.1464213E-7 | 6.939811E-9 | 6.939811E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.913233E-7 | 2.974206E-8 | 2.974206E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.981845E-6 | 3.6210952E-7 | 3.6210952E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9816837E-5 | 3.6322172E-6 | 3.6322172E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.138485E-8 | 3.370574E-9 | 3.370574E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0593503E-7 | 1.4445323E-8 | 1.4445323E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7247526E-6 | 1.7587178E-7 | 1.7587178E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.72469E-5 | 1.7686951E-6 | 1.7686951E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.2982139E-8 | 3.9141645E-10 | 3.9141645E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5637738E-8 | 1.6775032E-9 | 1.6775032E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7738927E-7 | 2.0423593E-8 | 2.0423593E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.773872E-6 | 2.119072E-7 | 2.119072E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 3.3089504E-9 | 2.103504E-10 | 2.103504E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4181216E-8 | 9.01503E-10 | 9.01503E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.726563E-7 | 1.0975798E-8 | 1.0975798E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7265615E-6 | 1.12983365E-7 | 1.12983365E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Gabriel (Extension)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.5385725E-6 | 6.696896E-6 | 1.669683E-5 | 2.4932191 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8022154E-5 | 2.8700682E-5 | 4.870011E-5 | 1.6968275 | 2.0E-5 | 3.411163E-4 | 3.4937754E-4 | 3.6937057E-4 | 1.0572246 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0034059316 | 0.003488565 | 0.0035284257 | 1.0114261 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.5385725E-6 | 6.696896E-6 | 1.669683E-5 | 2.4932191 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8022154E-5 | 2.8700682E-5 | 4.870011E-5 | 1.6968275 | 2.0E-5 | 3.411163E-4 | 3.4937754E-4 | 3.6937057E-4 | 1.0572246 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0034059316 | 0.003488565 | 0.0035284257 | 1.0114261 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.5385725E-6 | 6.696896E-6 | 1.669683E-5 | 2.4932191 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8022154E-5 | 2.8700682E-5 | 4.870011E-5 | 1.6968275 | 2.0E-5 | 3.411163E-4 | 3.4937754E-4 | 3.6937057E-4 | 1.0572246 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0034059316 | 0.003488565 | 0.0035284257 | 1.0114261 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.5385725E-6 | 6.696896E-6 | 1.669683E-5 | 2.4932191 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8022154E-5 | 2.8700682E-5 | 4.870011E-5 | 1.6968275 | 2.0E-5 | 3.411163E-4 | 3.4937754E-4 | 3.6937057E-4 | 1.0572246 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0034059316 | 0.003488565 | 0.0035284257 | 1.0114261 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.5385725E-6 | 6.696896E-6 | 1.669683E-5 | 2.4932191 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8022154E-5 | 2.8700682E-5 | 4.870011E-5 | 1.6968275 | 2.0E-5 | 3.411163E-4 | 3.4937754E-4 | 3.6937057E-4 | 1.0572246 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0034059316 | 0.003488565 | 0.0035284257 | 1.0114261 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.3576828E-6 | 5.476327E-6 | 1.5476273E-5 | 2.8260314 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2961294E-5 | 2.3469773E-5 | 4.3469303E-5 | 1.85214 | 2.0E-5 | 2.795179E-4 | 2.8570916E-4 | 3.0570343E-4 | 1.0699812 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0027916657 | 0.0028536362 | 0.0028835505 | 1.0104829 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.3576828E-6 | 5.476327E-6 | 1.5476273E-5 | 2.8260314 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2961294E-5 | 2.3469773E-5 | 4.3469303E-5 | 1.85214 | 2.0E-5 | 2.795179E-4 | 2.8570916E-4 | 3.0570343E-4 | 1.0699812 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0027916657 | 0.0028536362 | 0.0028835505 | 1.0104829 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.587821E-6 | 4.680667E-6 | 1.4680621E-5 | 3.1364377 | 1.0E-5 | 1.966194E-5 | 2.0059859E-5 | 4.0059458E-5 | 1.996996 | 2.0E-5 | 2.3935783E-4 | 2.442032E-4 | 2.6419832E-4 | 1.081879 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002391002 | 0.0024395315 | 0.0024594828 | 1.0081784 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 4.383861E-6 | 4.469941E-6 | 1.4469896E-5 | 3.2371562 | 1.0E-5 | 1.878784E-5 | 1.915676E-5 | 3.9156377E-5 | 2.043998 | 2.0E-5 | 2.2871794E-4 | 2.3321035E-4 | 2.5320568E-4 | 1.0857395 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0022848267 | 0.002329837 | 0.0023497904 | 1.0085642 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.0418536E-6 | 4.1165295E-6 | 4.1165295E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7322114E-5 | 1.7642158E-5 | 2.7641981E-5 | 1.5668141 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1087634E-4 | 2.1477381E-4 | 2.2477166E-4 | 1.0465506 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021067634 | 0.0021458361 | 0.0021558148 | 1.0046502 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.764101E-6 | 3.8296075E-6 | 3.8296075E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6131762E-5 | 1.641251E-5 | 2.6412346E-5 | 1.6092813 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9638649E-4 | 1.9980565E-4 | 2.0980365E-4 | 1.0500386 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019621304 | 0.00199643 | 0.0020064102 | 1.0049989 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.5754913E-6 | 3.6325903E-6 | 3.6325903E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5323443E-5 | 1.5568161E-5 | 2.5568004E-5 | 1.6423266 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8654695E-4 | 1.8952752E-4 | 1.9952562E-4 | 1.0527527 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018639044 | 0.0018938271 | 0.0019038082 | 1.0052704 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.4138994E-6 | 2.4265553E-6 | 2.4265553E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0345242E-5 | 1.0399482E-5 | 2.0399379E-5 | 1.9615763 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2594604E-4 | 1.2660648E-4 | 1.366052E-4 | 1.0789748 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012587468 | 0.0012653634 | 0.0012753508 | 1.0078928 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.1605392E-6 | 2.1589867E-6 | 2.1589867E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.259421E-6 | 9.252768E-6 | 1.9252675E-5 | 2.0807476 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1272762E-4 | 1.1264674E-4 | 1.2264561E-4 | 1.0887631 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011267045 | 0.0011259136 | 0.0011359024 | 1.0088717 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.990982E-6 | 1.9769157E-6 | 1.9769157E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.532752E-6 | 8.472469E-6 | 1.8472383E-5 | 2.1802835 | 1.0E-5 | 1.038813E-4 | 1.0314753E-4 | 1.131465E-4 | 1.0969385 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010383275 | 0.0010310136 | 0.0010410033 | 1.0096892 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.6108654E-6 | 1.5005282E-6 | 1.5005282E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9036905E-6 | 6.4308197E-6 | 1.6430755E-5 | 2.5550017 | 1.0E-5 | 8.404919E-5 | 7.829247E-5 | 8.829169E-5 | 1.1277162 | 1.0E-5 | 8.401741E-4 | 7.826602E-4 | 7.9265237E-4 | 1.012767 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.3520983E-6 | 1.1955772E-6 | 1.1955772E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7946936E-6 | 5.123892E-6 | 5.123892E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0548114E-5 | 6.238164E-5 | 6.238164E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.052572E-4 | 6.236511E-4 | 6.236511E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 9.4020527E-7 | 7.400914E-7 | 7.400914E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.029445E-6 | 3.1718164E-6 | 3.1718164E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9057388E-5 | 3.86162E-5 | 3.86162E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.904656E-4 | 3.8610486E-4 | 3.8610486E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 5.225058E-7 | 3.6252374E-7 | 3.6252374E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2393085E-6 | 1.5536722E-6 | 1.5536722E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7263239E-5 | 1.8915796E-5 | 1.8915796E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7259896E-4 | 1.891472E-4 | 1.891472E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 9.502823E-8 | 4.1841222E-8 | 4.1841222E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0726377E-7 | 1.7931951E-7 | 1.7931951E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.958425E-6 | 2.183213E-6 | 2.183213E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9583145E-5 | 2.1833204E-5 | 2.1833204E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 6.412336E-8 | 1.4830993E-8 | 1.4830993E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7481437E-7 | 6.3561394E-8 | 6.3561394E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3458598E-6 | 7.7385965E-7 | 7.7385965E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3458095E-5 | 7.739858E-6 | 7.739858E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 4.940922E-8 | 8.413586E-9 | 8.413586E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1175377E-7 | 3.6058225E-8 | 3.6058225E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5780992E-6 | 4.3900877E-7 | 4.3900877E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5780693E-5 | 4.3913674E-6 | 4.3913674E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 7.875882E-9 | 1.0275358E-9 | 1.0275358E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.375378E-8 | 4.4037236E-9 | 4.4037236E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.109522E-7 | 5.361533E-8 | 5.361533E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1095145E-6 | 5.3636273E-7 | 5.3636273E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Emerson-Copper Mtn 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.197286E-5 | 1.0591853E-5 | 3.059164E-5 | 2.8882236 | 2.0E-5 | 9.4166004E-5 | 4.539292E-5 | 7.539156E-5 | 1.660866 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011458681 | 5.525279E-4 | 5.825113E-4 | 1.0542659 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011399775 | 0.005512463 | 0.0055522425 | 1.0072163 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.197286E-5 | 1.0591853E-5 | 3.059164E-5 | 2.8882236 | 2.0E-5 | 9.4166004E-5 | 4.539292E-5 | 7.539156E-5 | 1.660866 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011458681 | 5.525279E-4 | 5.825113E-4 | 1.0542659 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011399775 | 0.005512463 | 0.0055522425 | 1.0072163 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.197286E-5 | 1.0591853E-5 | 3.059164E-5 | 2.8882236 | 2.0E-5 | 9.4166004E-5 | 4.539292E-5 | 7.539156E-5 | 1.660866 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011458681 | 5.525279E-4 | 5.825113E-4 | 1.0542659 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011399775 | 0.005512463 | 0.0055522425 | 1.0072163 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.8353327E-5 | 8.688691E-6 | 2.8688517E-5 | 3.3018227 | 2.0E-5 | 7.865474E-5 | 3.723675E-5 | 6.723563E-5 | 1.8056257 | 3.0E-5 | 9.572007E-4 | 4.532695E-4 | 4.832559E-4 | 1.0661558 | 3.0E-5 | 0.009530881 | 0.0045240815 | 0.0045639006 | 1.0088016 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.8353327E-5 | 8.688691E-6 | 2.8688517E-5 | 3.3018227 | 2.0E-5 | 7.865474E-5 | 3.723675E-5 | 6.723563E-5 | 1.8056257 | 3.0E-5 | 9.572007E-4 | 4.532695E-4 | 4.832559E-4 | 1.0661558 | 3.0E-5 | 0.009530881 | 0.0045240815 | 0.0045639006 | 1.0088016 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.6230064E-5 | 6.9604685E-6 | 2.696033E-5 | 3.8733497 | 2.0E-5 | 6.9555565E-5 | 2.9830262E-5 | 5.9829366E-5 | 2.00566 | 3.0E-5 | 8.4650994E-4 | 3.63127E-4 | 3.931161E-4 | 1.0825857 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008432927 | 0.0036257417 | 0.0036655965 | 1.0109922 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.6230064E-5 | 6.9604685E-6 | 2.696033E-5 | 3.8733497 | 2.0E-5 | 6.9555565E-5 | 2.9830262E-5 | 5.9829366E-5 | 2.00566 | 3.0E-5 | 8.4650994E-4 | 3.63127E-4 | 3.931161E-4 | 1.0825857 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008432927 | 0.0036257417 | 0.0036655965 | 1.0109922 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.4444222E-5 | 5.706856E-6 | 2.5706742E-5 | 4.5045366 | 2.0E-5 | 6.190234E-5 | 2.4457744E-5 | 5.445701E-5 | 2.2265754 | 3.0E-5 | 7.534004E-4 | 2.977355E-4 | 3.277266E-4 | 1.1007305 | 3.0E-5 | 0.007508512 | 0.0029736802 | 0.0030135612 | 1.0134114 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.3629452E-5 | 5.285716E-6 | 2.528561E-5 | 4.7837625 | 2.0E-5 | 5.841063E-5 | 2.265289E-5 | 5.265221E-5 | 2.3243043 | 3.0E-5 | 7.109174E-4 | 2.7576712E-4 | 3.0575885E-4 | 1.1087575 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0070864735 | 0.002754555 | 0.002794445 | 1.0144814 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.19010965E-5 | 4.211341E-6 | 1.4211299E-5 | 3.3745306 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1003703E-5 | 1.8048493E-5 | 3.8048132E-5 | 2.1081057 | 2.0E-5 | 6.2079314E-4 | 2.1972082E-4 | 2.3971642E-4 | 1.0910046 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006190618 | 0.0021952877 | 0.0022152439 | 1.0090904 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.065814E-5 | 3.6183171E-6 | 1.3618281E-5 | 3.7637057 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5676945E-5 | 1.5506994E-5 | 3.5506684E-5 | 2.2897205 | 2.0E-5 | 5.559749E-4 | 1.8878368E-4 | 2.0877991E-4 | 1.1059214 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0055458597 | 0.0018864665 | 0.0019064287 | 1.0105819 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 9.044577E-6 | 2.9651048E-6 | 1.2965075E-5 | 4.372552 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8761897E-5 | 1.2707544E-5 | 3.270729E-5 | 2.5738482 | 2.0E-5 | 4.718239E-4 | 1.5470562E-4 | 1.7470252E-4 | 1.1292578 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0047082338 | 0.0015462015 | 0.0015661706 | 1.0129149 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.0793743E-6 | 1.1786409E-6 | 1.1178629E-5 | 9.484338 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7482917E-5 | 5.051309E-6 | 2.5051208E-5 | 4.9593496 | 2.0E-5 | 2.1283372E-4 | 6.1498016E-5 | 8.1496786E-5 | 1.3251938 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0021263 | 6.148168E-4 | 6.348045E-4 | 1.03251 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.7348851E-6 | 6.979237E-7 | 1.0697917E-5 | 15.328203 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1720884E-5 | 2.9910982E-6 | 2.2991038E-5 | 7.686487 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4269241E-4 | 3.6416022E-5 | 5.6415294E-5 | 1.5491889 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014260082 | 3.6410155E-4 | 3.8409428E-4 | 1.0549097 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.1845249E-6 | 5.7360586E-7 | 1.05736E-5 | 18.433563 | 1.0E-5 | 9.362217E-6 | 2.4583087E-6 | 2.245826E-5 | 9.135654 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1397902E-4 | 2.9929504E-5 | 4.9928905E-5 | 1.668217 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011392058 | 2.9925536E-4 | 3.192494E-4 | 1.0668125 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.2376645E-6 | 3.7787248E-7 | 1.0377868E-5 | 27.463945 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3042654E-6 | 1.6194525E-6 | 2.161942E-5 | 13.349833 | 2.0E-5 | 6.457752E-5 | 1.9716661E-5 | 3.9716266E-5 | 2.0143504 | 2.0E-5 | 6.4558757E-4 | 1.9714967E-4 | 2.1714573E-4 | 1.1014258 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.4118889E-7 | 7.687255E-8 | 7.687255E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.050951E-7 | 3.2945377E-7 | 3.2945377E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.367008E-6 | 4.011094E-6 | 4.011094E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.366764E-5 | 4.011041E-5 | 4.011041E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pitas Point (Upper)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.161787E-6 | 8.896421E-6 | 2.8896244E-5 | 3.248075 | 2.0E-5 | 3.926421E-5 | 3.8126975E-5 | 5.812621E-5 | 1.524543 | 2.0E-5 | 4.779369E-4 | 4.640991E-4 | 4.8408983E-4 | 1.0430743 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004769103 | 0.004631515 | 0.00467133 | 1.0085965 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 9.161787E-6 | 8.896421E-6 | 2.8896244E-5 | 3.248075 | 2.0E-5 | 3.926421E-5 | 3.8126975E-5 | 5.812621E-5 | 1.524543 | 2.0E-5 | 4.779369E-4 | 4.640991E-4 | 4.8408983E-4 | 1.0430743 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004769103 | 0.004631515 | 0.00467133 | 1.0085965 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 8.134932E-6 | 7.816382E-6 | 2.7816226E-5 | 3.5587084 | 2.0E-5 | 3.486353E-5 | 3.349836E-5 | 5.3497686E-5 | 1.5970242 | 2.0E-5 | 4.2438076E-4 | 4.0776754E-4 | 4.2775937E-4 | 1.0490276 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0042357123 | 0.0040703327 | 0.00411017 | 1.0097872 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 8.134932E-6 | 7.816382E-6 | 2.7816226E-5 | 3.5587084 | 2.0E-5 | 3.486353E-5 | 3.349836E-5 | 5.3497686E-5 | 1.5970242 | 2.0E-5 | 4.2438076E-4 | 4.0776754E-4 | 4.2775937E-4 | 1.0490276 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0042357123 | 0.0040703327 | 0.00411017 | 1.0097872 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.600175E-6 | 7.253673E-6 | 2.7253529E-5 | 3.7572036 | 2.0E-5 | 3.2571774E-5 | 3.108681E-5 | 5.1086186E-5 | 1.6433398 | 2.0E-5 | 3.9648917E-4 | 3.7841726E-4 | 3.9840967E-4 | 1.0528318 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003957825 | 0.003777843 | 0.0038077298 | 1.0079111 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 7.58533E-6 | 7.2379066E-6 | 2.7237762E-5 | 3.76321 | 2.0E-5 | 3.2508153E-5 | 3.1019237E-5 | 5.1018615E-5 | 1.6447412 | 2.0E-5 | 3.9571486E-4 | 3.7759487E-4 | 3.975873E-4 | 1.0529468 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0039501097 | 0.003769647 | 0.003799534 | 1.0079283 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.872116E-6 | 6.487782E-6 | 1.6487716E-5 | 2.541349 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9451594E-5 | 2.7804484E-5 | 3.7804206E-5 | 1.3596442 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5851414E-4 | 3.384675E-4 | 3.4846415E-4 | 1.0295349 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003579363 | 0.0033795736 | 0.003399506 | 1.0058979 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.6613775E-6 | 6.2610634E-6 | 1.6261001E-5 | 2.5971627 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8548448E-5 | 2.6832855E-5 | 3.6832585E-5 | 1.3726674 | 1.0E-5 | 3.475219E-4 | 3.2664152E-4 | 3.3663824E-4 | 1.0306046 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034697894 | 0.0032616656 | 0.0032816003 | 1.0061119 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.2701297E-6 | 5.844306E-6 | 1.5844247E-5 | 2.7110572 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6871709E-5 | 2.504679E-5 | 3.5046538E-5 | 1.3992428 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2711393E-4 | 3.0490244E-4 | 3.148994E-4 | 1.0327873 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032663282 | 0.0030448898 | 0.003064829 | 1.0065484 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.6699564E-6 | 5.200024E-6 | 1.5199972E-5 | 2.923058 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4299587E-5 | 2.228563E-5 | 3.2285407E-5 | 1.4487096 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9580732E-4 | 2.7129418E-4 | 2.8129146E-4 | 1.0368503 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029541387 | 0.0027096712 | 0.0027296168 | 1.0073609 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.359012E-6 | 4.8632323E-6 | 1.4863183E-5 | 3.0562356 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2966991E-5 | 2.0842259E-5 | 3.0842053E-5 | 1.4797844 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7958723E-4 | 2.5372536E-4 | 2.6372282E-4 | 1.0394027 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0027923575 | 0.002534396 | 0.0025543454 | 1.0078714 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.1262573E-6 | 4.609354E-6 | 1.4609308E-5 | 3.1694913 | 1.0E-5 | 2.196949E-5 | 1.9754229E-5 | 2.975403E-5 | 1.5062107 | 1.0E-5 | 2.674457E-4 | 2.4048156E-4 | 2.5047915E-4 | 1.0415733 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0026712406 | 0.0024022514 | 0.0024222033 | 1.0083055 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.4176686E-6 | 3.8224716E-6 | 3.8224716E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8932727E-5 | 1.638192E-5 | 1.638192E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3048157E-4 | 1.994318E-4 | 1.994318E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023024266 | 0.0019925472 | 0.0019925472 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 4.080208E-6 | 3.4534605E-6 | 3.4534605E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7486489E-5 | 1.4800462E-5 | 1.4800462E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1287719E-4 | 1.8018088E-4 | 1.8018088E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021267338 | 0.0018003647 | 0.0018003647 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.7475234E-6 | 3.0920078E-6 | 3.0920078E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6060716E-5 | 1.3251396E-5 | 1.3251396E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9552166E-4 | 1.6132394E-4 | 1.6132394E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019534973 | 0.0016120833 | 0.0016120833 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 3.5524706E-6 | 2.888261E-6 | 2.888261E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5224785E-5 | 1.2378204E-5 | 1.2378204E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8534598E-4 | 1.5069435E-4 | 1.5069435E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018519148 | 0.0015059364 | 0.0015059364 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.8636132E-6 | 2.191489E-6 | 2.191489E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.22725705E-5 | 9.3920635E-6 | 9.3920635E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.494083E-4 | 1.1434249E-4 | 1.1434249E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014930789 | 0.0011428489 | 0.0011428489 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.5698622E-6 | 1.0589931E-6 | 1.0589931E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7279634E-6 | 4.5385345E-6 | 4.5385345E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.190988E-5 | 5.525533E-5 | 5.525533E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.187969E-4 | 5.524232E-4 | 5.524232E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.0294625E-7 | 6.580925E-8 | 6.580925E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4119815E-7 | 2.8203962E-7 | 2.8203962E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3715744E-6 | 3.4338273E-6 | 3.4338273E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3714444E-5 | 3.433775E-5 | 3.433775E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Susana East (connector)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.1239848E-5 | 5.2644307E-5 | 6.264378E-5 | 1.189944 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7673023E-4 | 2.2559705E-4 | 2.355948E-4 | 1.0443168 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002149567 | 0.002743913 | 0.002763858 | 1.0072689 | 2.0E-5 | 0.02128893 | 0.027168384 | 0.027207298 | 1.0014323 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.1239848E-5 | 5.2644307E-5 | 6.264378E-5 | 1.189944 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7673023E-4 | 2.2559705E-4 | 2.355948E-4 | 1.0443168 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002149567 | 0.002743913 | 0.002763858 | 1.0072689 | 2.0E-5 | 0.02128893 | 0.027168384 | 0.027207298 | 1.0014323 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.1239848E-5 | 5.2644307E-5 | 6.264378E-5 | 1.189944 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7673023E-4 | 2.2559705E-4 | 2.355948E-4 | 1.0443168 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002149567 | 0.002743913 | 0.002763858 | 1.0072689 | 2.0E-5 | 0.02128893 | 0.027168384 | 0.027207298 | 1.0014323 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.1251773E-5 | 2.39579E-5 | 2.39579E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.107585E-5 | 1.0267351E-4 | 1.0267351E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011082843 | 0.0012493322 | 0.0012593197 | 1.0079943 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011027734 | 0.012424733 | 0.012444484 | 1.0015897 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.1251773E-5 | 2.39579E-5 | 2.39579E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.107585E-5 | 1.0267351E-4 | 1.0267351E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011082843 | 0.0012493322 | 0.0012593197 | 1.0079943 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011027734 | 0.012424733 | 0.012444484 | 1.0015897 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.1251773E-5 | 2.39579E-5 | 2.39579E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.107585E-5 | 1.0267351E-4 | 1.0267351E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011082843 | 0.0012493322 | 0.0012593197 | 1.0079943 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011027734 | 0.012424733 | 0.012444484 | 1.0015897 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.528232E-5 | 1.5273727E-5 | 1.5273727E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.549401E-5 | 6.54575E-5 | 6.54575E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.970978E-4 | 7.9668476E-4 | 8.066768E-4 | 1.012542 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007942447 | 0.007943374 | 0.007963216 | 1.0024978 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.4362013E-5 | 1.4078626E-5 | 1.4078626E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.155003E-5 | 6.0335875E-5 | 6.0335875E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4911397E-4 | 7.3438475E-4 | 7.4437744E-4 | 1.0136068 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0074659376 | 0.007325852 | 0.0073457053 | 1.0027101 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.3187731E-5 | 1.2970782E-5 | 1.2970782E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6517623E-5 | 5.5588178E-5 | 5.5588178E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.878848E-4 | 6.766197E-4 | 6.8661297E-4 | 1.0147693 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0068575935 | 0.0067519452 | 0.0067718104 | 1.0029421 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.5955E-6 | 5.5856985E-6 | 5.5856985E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8266122E-5 | 2.3938514E-5 | 2.3938514E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4408568E-4 | 2.9141665E-4 | 3.0141373E-4 | 1.0343051 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003435534 | 0.0029121623 | 0.002922133 | 1.0034239 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 6.0390425E-6 | 5.297591E-6 | 5.297591E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5881354E-5 | 2.2703789E-5 | 2.2703789E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1505994E-4 | 2.763878E-4 | 2.86385E-4 | 1.0361711 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0031461362 | 0.002762221 | 0.0027721934 | 1.0036103 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.4238094E-6 | 3.1058485E-6 | 3.1058485E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4673386E-5 | 1.3310718E-5 | 1.3310718E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7863384E-4 | 1.6204701E-4 | 1.6204701E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017849031 | 0.0016195659 | 0.0016195659 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.6165528E-6 | 2.3115215E-6 | 2.3115215E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.12137495E-5 | 9.906488E-6 | 9.906488E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3651885E-4 | 1.20605684E-4 | 1.20605684E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013643501 | 0.0012056585 | 0.0012056585 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.2445802E-6 | 1.0841416E-6 | 1.0841416E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.333904E-6 | 4.646314E-6 | 4.646314E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4938344E-5 | 5.656765E-5 | 5.656765E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.491937E-4 | 5.655563E-4 | 5.655563E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.0212773E-6 | 9.3545077E-7 | 9.3545077E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3768955E-6 | 4.00907E-6 | 4.00907E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.32874E-5 | 4.8809572E-5 | 4.8809572E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3274626E-4 | 4.8801216E-4 | 4.8801216E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 7.268726E-7 | 6.990758E-7 | 6.990758E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1151646E-6 | 2.996037E-6 | 2.996037E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7926467E-5 | 3.6476376E-5 | 3.6476376E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7919998E-4 | 3.647271E-4 | 3.647271E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.1368812E-7 | 8.083886E-8 | 8.083886E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8723473E-7 | 3.4645223E-7 | 3.4645223E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9320664E-6 | 4.218048E-6 | 4.218048E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.931908E-5 | 4.2179752E-5 | 4.2179752E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 7.340634E-8 | 4.536007E-8 | 4.536007E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1459857E-7 | 1.9440029E-7 | 1.9440029E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8302305E-6 | 2.3668215E-6 | 2.3668215E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8301645E-5 | 2.3668023E-5 | 2.3668023E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.5434113E-8 | 1.5422383E-8 | 1.5422383E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5186048E-7 | 6.609593E-8 | 6.609593E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8488996E-6 | 8.047177E-7 | 8.047177E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8488843E-5 | 8.047151E-6 | 8.047151E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Greenville (No) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.2156745E-5 | 6.699098E-5 | 7.6990305E-5 | 1.1492639 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2350975E-4 | 2.8707433E-4 | 2.9707147E-4 | 1.0348241 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0027178354 | 0.003489767 | 0.0035196624 | 1.0085666 | 3.0E-5 | 0.026848353 | 0.034375545 | 0.03441417 | 1.0011237 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.2156745E-5 | 6.699098E-5 | 7.6990305E-5 | 1.1492639 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2350975E-4 | 2.8707433E-4 | 2.9707147E-4 | 1.0348241 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0027178354 | 0.003489767 | 0.0035196624 | 1.0085666 | 3.0E-5 | 0.026848353 | 0.034375545 | 0.03441417 | 1.0011237 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 5.2156745E-5 | 6.699098E-5 | 7.6990305E-5 | 1.1492639 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2350975E-4 | 2.8707433E-4 | 2.9707147E-4 | 1.0348241 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0027178354 | 0.003489767 | 0.0035196624 | 1.0085666 | 3.0E-5 | 0.026848353 | 0.034375545 | 0.03441417 | 1.0011237 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.936404E-5 | 4.957953E-5 | 5.9579033E-5 | 1.2016861 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6869212E-4 | 2.124667E-4 | 2.2246457E-4 | 1.0470562 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020518918 | 0.0025837827 | 0.0026037311 | 1.0077206 | 2.0E-5 | 0.020330489 | 0.02554555 | 0.025574785 | 1.0011444 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.601E-5 | 4.50921E-5 | 5.509165E-5 | 1.2217584 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5431944E-4 | 1.9323797E-4 | 2.0323604E-4 | 1.0517397 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00187722 | 0.0023502067 | 0.0023701596 | 1.0084898 | 2.0E-5 | 0.018614413 | 0.023261622 | 0.023290925 | 1.0012597 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.5960467E-5 | 4.502979E-5 | 5.5029337E-5 | 1.2220652 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5410718E-4 | 1.9297095E-4 | 2.0296904E-4 | 1.0518112 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018746402 | 0.002346963 | 0.0023669158 | 1.0085016 | 2.0E-5 | 0.018589048 | 0.023229867 | 0.02325917 | 1.0012615 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.525907E-5 | 4.411425E-5 | 5.411381E-5 | 1.2266741 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5110154E-4 | 1.8904783E-4 | 1.9904594E-4 | 1.0528867 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018381089 | 0.0022993023 | 0.0023192563 | 1.0086783 | 2.0E-5 | 0.018229794 | 0.02276334 | 0.022782885 | 1.0008587 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.3018805E-5 | 4.1325187E-5 | 5.1324776E-5 | 1.2419732 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4150148E-4 | 1.7709637E-4 | 1.870946E-4 | 1.0564564 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017214192 | 0.002154092 | 0.0021740492 | 1.0092647 | 2.0E-5 | 0.017081454 | 0.02134035 | 0.021359922 | 1.0009172 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.5731997E-5 | 3.1824435E-5 | 4.1824118E-5 | 1.314214 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1027533E-4 | 1.363835E-4 | 1.4638214E-4 | 1.0733126 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013417752 | 0.0016592405 | 0.0016792073 | 1.0120337 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0133370245 | 0.016472273 | 0.016491942 | 1.0011941 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.0148882E-5 | 2.4817436E-5 | 3.481719E-5 | 1.4029325 | 1.0E-5 | 8.634949E-5 | 1.06356245E-4 | 1.16355186E-4 | 1.0940136 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001050798 | 0.001294143 | 0.0013141171 | 1.0154343 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010458431 | 0.012868492 | 0.012888234 | 1.0015342 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.52499615E-5 | 1.8733921E-5 | 1.8733921E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.535534E-5 | 8.028587E-5 | 8.028587E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.954108E-4 | 9.770615E-4 | 9.770615E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007925698 | 0.009729606 | 0.009729606 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 9.693974E-6 | 1.16766905E-5 | 1.16766905E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1544943E-5 | 5.004201E-5 | 5.004201E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0569227E-4 | 6.0909294E-4 | 6.0909294E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0050454307 | 0.0060744137 | 0.0060744137 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.185964E-6 | 7.5018306E-6 | 7.5018306E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6511005E-5 | 3.215031E-5 | 3.215031E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2272367E-4 | 3.9136023E-4 | 3.9136023E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003222554 | 0.0039069103 | 0.0039069103 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.905068E-6 | 4.7140115E-6 | 4.7140115E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6735898E-5 | 2.0202751E-5 | 2.0202751E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.037405E-4 | 2.4594087E-4 | 2.4594087E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020355382 | 0.0024568134 | 0.0024568134 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.8243321E-6 | 3.4701586E-6 | 3.4701586E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2104225E-5 | 1.4872024E-5 | 1.4872024E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4735897E-4 | 1.810519E-4 | 1.810519E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014726128 | 0.0018091715 | 0.0018091715 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.4885821E-6 | 3.0706738E-6 | 3.0706738E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0665309E-5 | 1.31599645E-5 | 1.31599645E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.298424E-4 | 1.6021084E-4 | 1.6021084E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012976655 | 0.0016010657 | 0.0016010657 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.9102797E-6 | 2.3787868E-6 | 2.3787868E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.1868875E-6 | 1.0194761E-5 | 1.0194761E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.96708E-5 | 1.241142E-4 | 1.241142E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.96261E-4 | 0.0012405423 | 0.0012405423 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.3868803E-7 | 5.737738E-7 | 5.737738E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8800903E-6 | 2.4590283E-6 | 2.4590283E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2889859E-5 | 2.9938266E-5 | 2.9938266E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2887501E-4 | 2.9934658E-4 | 2.9934658E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
East Huasna 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.3724816E-6 | 5.4730695E-6 | 1.5473015E-5 | 2.8271184 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3024719E-5 | 2.3455825E-5 | 3.3455588E-5 | 1.4263233 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8028988E-4 | 2.8554152E-4 | 2.955387E-4 | 1.0350112 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0027993661 | 0.0028521693 | 0.0028920553 | 1.0139844 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.3724816E-6 | 5.4730695E-6 | 1.5473015E-5 | 2.8271184 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3024719E-5 | 2.3455825E-5 | 3.3455588E-5 | 1.4263233 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8028988E-4 | 2.8554152E-4 | 2.955387E-4 | 1.0350112 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0027993661 | 0.0028521693 | 0.0028920553 | 1.0139844 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 5.3724816E-6 | 5.4730695E-6 | 1.5473015E-5 | 2.8271184 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3024719E-5 | 2.3455825E-5 | 3.3455588E-5 | 1.4263233 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8028988E-4 | 2.8554152E-4 | 2.955387E-4 | 1.0350112 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0027993661 | 0.0028521693 | 0.0028920553 | 1.0139844 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 5.3724816E-6 | 5.4730695E-6 | 1.5473015E-5 | 2.8271184 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3024719E-5 | 2.3455825E-5 | 3.3455588E-5 | 1.4263233 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8028988E-4 | 2.8554152E-4 | 2.955387E-4 | 1.0350112 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0027993661 | 0.0028521693 | 0.0028920553 | 1.0139844 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.1041432E-6 | 3.154191E-6 | 3.154191E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3303403E-5 | 1.3517893E-5 | 1.3517893E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.619569E-4 | 1.6456835E-4 | 1.6456835E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001618389 | 0.0016445066 | 0.0016544901 | 1.0060709 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.1041432E-6 | 3.154191E-6 | 3.154191E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3303403E-5 | 1.3517893E-5 | 1.3517893E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.619569E-4 | 1.6456835E-4 | 1.6456835E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001618389 | 0.0016445066 | 0.0016544901 | 1.0060709 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.3388675E-6 | 2.3749615E-6 | 2.3749615E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0023679E-5 | 1.0178367E-5 | 1.0178367E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2203146E-4 | 1.2391471E-4 | 1.2391471E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012196447 | 0.0012384695 | 0.0012384695 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 2.3116197E-6 | 2.3472292E-6 | 2.3472292E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.906904E-6 | 1.0059515E-5 | 1.0059515E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2060988E-4 | 1.2246786E-4 | 1.2246786E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012054445 | 0.0012240169 | 0.0012240169 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 2.0203172E-6 | 2.051027E-6 | 2.051027E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.658473E-6 | 8.790087E-6 | 8.790087E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0541182E-4 | 1.0701415E-4 | 1.0701415E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010536183 | 0.0010696361 | 0.0010696361 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.6676634E-6 | 1.6926897E-6 | 1.6926897E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.147109E-6 | 7.2543644E-6 | 7.2543644E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.701258E-5 | 8.831836E-5 | 8.831836E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.697852E-4 | 8.8283763E-4 | 8.8283763E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.2786935E-6 | 1.2979492E-6 | 1.2979492E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4801035E-6 | 5.562628E-6 | 5.562628E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.671822E-5 | 6.772291E-5 | 6.772291E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6698185E-4 | 6.770252E-4 | 6.770252E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.1438449E-6 | 1.1609362E-6 | 1.1609362E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9021833E-6 | 4.9754317E-6 | 4.9754317E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9682447E-5 | 6.0574217E-5 | 6.0574217E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.966642E-4 | 6.0557923E-4 | 6.0557923E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 8.2663837E-7 | 8.386738E-7 | 8.386738E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.542731E-6 | 3.5943115E-6 | 3.5943115E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3131895E-5 | 4.375987E-5 | 4.375987E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3123527E-4 | 4.375131E-4 | 4.375131E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.3435645E-7 | 5.416945E-7 | 5.416945E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.290097E-6 | 2.3215455E-6 | 2.3215455E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7881573E-5 | 2.8264452E-5 | 2.8264452E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7878076E-4 | 2.8260867E-4 | 2.8260867E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.7156173E-7 | 3.768427E-7 | 3.768427E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5924064E-6 | 1.6150391E-6 | 1.6150391E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9387377E-5 | 1.9662924E-5 | 1.9662924E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9385685E-4 | 1.966119E-4 | 1.966119E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.402112E-7 | 2.4330706E-7 | 2.4330706E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0294762E-6 | 1.0427441E-6 | 1.0427441E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.25338E-5 | 1.26953355E-5 | 1.26953355E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2533093E-4 | 1.2694612E-4 | 1.2694612E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.3044595E-7 | 1.3205553E-7 | 1.3205553E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5905394E-7 | 5.659521E-7 | 5.659521E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8064605E-6 | 6.8904455E-6 | 6.8904455E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.806252E-5 | 6.890233E-5 | 6.890233E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 3.4731823E-8 | 3.509054E-8 | 3.509054E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4885066E-7 | 1.5038802E-7 | 1.5038802E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8122552E-6 | 1.8309726E-6 | 1.8309726E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8122404E-5 | 1.8309578E-5 | 1.8309578E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 6.1620986E-10 | 6.234224E-10 | 6.234224E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6408993E-9 | 2.6718108E-9 | 2.6718108E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2152947E-8 | 3.2529297E-8 | 3.2529297E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2152943E-7 | 3.2529294E-7 | 3.2529294E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elysian Park (Upper)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.0616073E-5 | 2.2394543E-5 | 2.2394543E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8351604E-5 | 9.597343E-5 | 1.1597151E-4 | 1.208371 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010751499 | 0.0011679126 | 0.0012078659 | 1.0342091 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010699631 | 0.011624001 | 0.011663537 | 1.0034012 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.0616073E-5 | 2.2394543E-5 | 2.2394543E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8351604E-5 | 9.597343E-5 | 1.1597151E-4 | 1.208371 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010751499 | 0.0011679126 | 0.0012078659 | 1.0342091 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010699631 | 0.011624001 | 0.011663537 | 1.0034012 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.0616073E-5 | 2.2394543E-5 | 2.2394543E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8351604E-5 | 9.597343E-5 | 1.1597151E-4 | 1.208371 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010751499 | 0.0011679126 | 0.0012078659 | 1.0342091 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010699631 | 0.011624001 | 0.011663537 | 1.0034012 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.0616073E-5 | 2.2394543E-5 | 2.2394543E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8351604E-5 | 9.597343E-5 | 1.1597151E-4 | 1.208371 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010751499 | 0.0011679126 | 0.0012078659 | 1.0342091 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010699631 | 0.011624001 | 0.011663537 | 1.0034012 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.9648705E-5 | 2.128045E-5 | 2.128045E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.420602E-5 | 9.119909E-5 | 1.1119726E-4 | 1.2192805 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010247261 | 0.0011098442 | 0.0011398109 | 1.0270008 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010200137 | 0.011049103 | 0.011078771 | 1.0026852 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.9648705E-5 | 2.128045E-5 | 2.128045E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.420602E-5 | 9.119909E-5 | 1.1119726E-4 | 1.2192805 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010247261 | 0.0011098442 | 0.0011398109 | 1.0270008 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010200137 | 0.011049103 | 0.011078771 | 1.0026852 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.6864484E-5 | 1.8097686E-5 | 1.8097686E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.227436E-5 | 7.7559474E-5 | 9.7557924E-5 | 1.2578466 | 2.0E-5 | 8.7958504E-4 | 9.439259E-4 | 9.738975E-4 | 1.0317521 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008761116 | 0.009403971 | 0.009433689 | 1.0031601 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.6851194E-5 | 1.808305E-5 | 1.808305E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.22174E-5 | 7.7496756E-5 | 9.7495205E-5 | 1.2580553 | 2.0E-5 | 8.7889214E-4 | 9.4316294E-4 | 9.7313465E-4 | 1.0317779 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008754243 | 0.009396406 | 0.009426124 | 1.0031627 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.627159E-5 | 1.7433007E-5 | 1.7433007E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.973352E-5 | 7.471102E-5 | 9.4709525E-5 | 1.2676781 | 2.0E-5 | 8.486749E-4 | 9.0927514E-4 | 9.392479E-4 | 1.0329633 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008454411 | 0.009060322 | 0.00909005 | 1.0032811 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.0252559E-5 | 1.0585729E-5 | 1.0585729E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.39388E-5 | 4.5366687E-5 | 5.5366236E-5 | 1.2204161 | 1.0E-5 | 5.348236E-4 | 5.522114E-4 | 5.722004E-4 | 1.036198 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005335382 | 0.0055095837 | 0.0055294735 | 1.00361 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 6.695525E-6 | 6.750638E-6 | 6.750638E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.869479E-5 | 2.8930996E-5 | 2.8930996E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4930307E-4 | 3.521798E-4 | 3.6217627E-4 | 1.0283846 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034875453 | 0.0035164033 | 0.0035263682 | 1.0028338 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.446539E-6 | 5.3760277E-6 | 5.3760277E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3342101E-5 | 2.303992E-5 | 2.303992E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.84153E-4 | 2.8047588E-4 | 2.9047308E-4 | 1.0356437 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028378996 | 0.0028013147 | 0.0028112868 | 1.0035597 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.138953E-6 | 3.9725032E-6 | 3.9725032E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.773825E-5 | 1.7024904E-5 | 1.7024904E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1594179E-4 | 2.0725868E-4 | 2.0725868E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021573207 | 0.0020706728 | 0.00207067 |