Parent Section Magnitude-Probability Distributions

Only fault sections with at least one triggered aftershock are plotted. Sections are sorted by total supraseismogenic trigger rate (decreasing)

Table Of Contents

Garlock (Central)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.5131142E-57.02476E-50.080164621141.17240.08012.3625491E-43.0102677E-40.09917126329.443330.09890.00287260950.0036589060.1359929337.167650.132820.0283575910.0361366570.193265665.3481890.16302
6.15.5131142E-57.02476E-50.080164621141.17240.08012.3625491E-43.0102677E-40.09917126329.443330.09890.00287260950.0036589060.1359929337.167650.132820.0283575910.0361366570.193265665.3481890.16302
6.24.216245E-55.1661802E-50.04828917934.71710.048241.806837E-42.213891E-40.060807973274.665620.06060.00219760460.0026921120.08433173631.3254930.081860.0217599890.0267013180.125442484.6979880.10145
6.34.216245E-55.1661802E-50.04828917934.71710.048241.806837E-42.213891E-40.060807973274.665620.06060.00219760460.0026921120.08433173631.3254930.081860.0217599890.0267013180.125442484.6979880.10145
6.43.6858168E-54.411026E-50.037082475840.67690.037041.5795401E-41.8903041E-40.046900198248.109270.046720.00192139370.00229904130.0656430728.5523680.063490.0190486550.0228660980.099844714.3664950.07878
6.53.39199E-54.0018425E-50.03327869831.584170.033241.453629E-41.7149639E-40.04218429245.977720.042020.00176835650.00208599070.05903694428.3016320.057070.0175435080.0207587830.0901576064.34310670.07087
6.63.3571985E-53.947258E-50.033228163841.803650.033191.4387199E-41.6915736E-40.04211206248.9520.041950.00175023420.00205756720.0588804128.6165180.056940.0173651330.0204800420.08974194.381920.07071
6.73.2580007E-53.808902E-50.031896874837.42970.031861.3962112E-41.6322857E-40.040436655247.730260.040280.00169856170.00198551780.05651702728.464630.054640.0168563720.0197708740.0861813954.35900830.06775
6.83.2185937E-53.7516216E-50.03111635829.41070.031081.3793244E-41.60774E-40.03955444246.025120.03940.00167803370.00195568750.0552013528.226060.053350.0166541920.0194778780.084417864.3340380.06623
6.93.165394E-53.672075E-50.030435605828.839360.03041.3565269E-41.5736527E-40.038601313245.297550.038450.00165032020.001914260.05389456528.1542570.052080.016381180.0190715180.0825768264.32985070.06474
7.03.0903822E-53.562591E-50.02968457833.22980.029651.3243823E-41.5267366E-40.03763695246.518950.037490.00161124280.00185723820.05239320528.2102780.050630.0159961040.0185134930.08031774.3383330.06297
7.13.0069863E-53.4392175E-50.02857341830.81140.028541.2886449E-41.4738683E-40.036132082245.151370.035990.00156779590.00179297870.05016609327.9791890.048460.015567810.017880990.077004554.30650420.0602
7.22.7957109E-53.128141E-50.023760539759.57370.023731.1981068E-41.3405642E-40.030190026225.203890.030060.00145771880.00163093450.04206488325.791890.04050.0144819370.0162843520.0657160654.03553440.05025
7.32.4519275E-52.6714602E-50.016696269624.986630.016671.0507837E-41.1448621E-40.021012094183.533840.02090.00127857830.0013929930.02980336221.3951990.028450.0127124690.013928610.0488848433.50967120.03545
7.42.3225532E-52.5199166E-50.014974822594.25860.014959.95342E-51.0799204E-40.018865965174.697750.018760.00121115510.00131402440.02679050320.388130.025510.0120457530.0131461960.0445577543.38940290.03183
7.52.097765E-52.2483406E-50.011622222516.924440.01168.9901114E-59.6353964E-50.014784939153.444020.014690.00109399650.001172490.0211490418.0377140.020.0108862640.01174065750.036447143.10435270.025
7.61.511254E-51.5990969E-50.0064158887401.21950.00646.476642E-56.8530964E-50.008237971120.208010.008177.882459E-48.34053E-40.01187483714.2375090.011050.0078545580.0083838670.0222069962.6487770.01394
7.79.934069E-61.0678523E-50.0019906573186.416920.001984.2573887E-54.5764296E-50.002465653553.8772280.002425.182138E-45.570383E-40.00377524466.77735230.003220.005170070.0056274190.0097242341.72800960.00412
7.86.7562896E-68.42837E-60.0012784177151.68030.001272.8955206E-53.6121084E-50.001646062945.5706940.001613.5247262E-44.3968562E-40.00260873165.9331740.002170.00351914060.0044464160.0071841891.61572560.00275
7.93.975453E-65.3710532E-66.653675E-4123.880276.6E-41.7037546E-52.3018596E-58.929986E-438.794668.7E-42.0741238E-42.8021546E-40.00139990164.99580430.001120.0020721890.00283356690.00425951461.50323430.00143
8.01.6729537E-62.0775192E-62.1207708E-4102.081892.1E-47.169782E-68.903624E-63.389007E-438.0632323.3E-48.7288594E-51.0839626E-44.483594E-44.13629963.4E-48.7254314E-40.0010968540.00152638241.39160034.3E-4
8.13.6733252E-73.1489736E-73.0314888E-596.2691043.0E-51.5742813E-61.3495595E-64.1349507E-530.639264.0E-51.9166706E-51.643078E-56.642996E-54.04301935.0E-51.9165053E-41.662928E-42.2628282E-41.36074946.0E-5

Tank Canyon

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.8284557E-55.796445E-50.040975593706.9090.040922.0691741E-42.4839927E-40.055374704222.92620.055140.00251630880.00302073360.0866074828.6710070.083840.024880060.0298636160.139430824.66891960.11294
6.11.7796336E-52.0873378E-50.014640568701.39910.014627.626778E-58.945448E-50.019947678222.99250.019869.281647E-40.00108860240.031645329.0696620.030590.0092429750.0108366420.0527672774.8693380.04239
6.21.7796336E-52.0873378E-50.014640568701.39910.014627.626778E-58.945448E-50.019947678222.99250.019869.281647E-40.00108860240.031645329.0696620.030590.0092429750.0108366420.0527672774.8693380.04239
6.31.3515912E-51.5759651E-50.010615593673.59310.01065.792405E-56.7539746E-50.014536562215.229740.014477.049971E-48.2200987E-40.02301375427.9969310.022210.0070276470.0081921570.0387200044.72647240.03078
6.41.0870146E-51.2618114E-50.007892518625.491150.007884.658551E-55.4076605E-50.010833493200.336040.010785.67031E-46.582015E-40.01745713726.522480.016810.0056558630.0065643820.02973134.52918530.02332
6.57.964826E-69.196184E-60.0047991523521.863460.004793.4134522E-53.941168E-50.0066891494169.725050.006654.1550855E-44.797421E-40.01094471922.8137550.010470.00414732470.0047882090.0191491153.99922280.01443
6.66.6317E-67.612378E-60.0035675853468.655820.003562.8421264E-53.262412E-50.0048524668148.738630.004823.4597394E-43.9713533E-40.00803410220.2301350.007640.00345435790.00396525160.0144933393.6550870.01057
6.74.793663E-65.4308593E-60.00203542374.78780.002032.0544108E-52.3274928E-50.0027532114118.290870.002732.500958E-42.833398E-40.00474207616.7363590.004460.00249814520.00283031890.00896291253.166750.00615
6.84.382823E-64.969325E-60.0018149604365.232760.001811.8783392E-52.1296957E-50.0024512452115.098370.002432.286638E-42.5926388E-40.00423823216.3471760.003980.00228428650.00259012330.0081157743.13335420.00554
6.92.729601E-63.0735862E-68.53071E-4277.549078.5E-41.1698237E-51.3172453E-50.001073158581.469910.001061.4241673E-41.6036403E-40.001860091511.5991810.00170.0014232550.00160248080.0039886512.48904750.00239
7.01.8987357E-62.126971E-63.5212623E-4165.55293.5E-48.137413E-69.115562E-64.1911184E-445.977624.1E-49.90685E-51.1097702E-48.108993E-47.30691247.0E-49.902435E-40.00110928460.00210817531.90048190.001
7.11.4928986E-61.6641525E-62.6166372E-4157.235412.6E-46.398121E-67.132066E-63.1712986E-444.4653553.1E-47.789434E-58.6830034E-55.2679185E-46.06693124.4E-47.786704E-48.6801895E-40.00147748951.70213966.1E-4
7.21.069082E-61.1828765E-68.1182785E-568.631668.0E-54.581772E-65.0694644E-61.0506896E-420.7258511.0E-45.5781646E-56.171951E-52.417084E-43.91623971.8E-45.576765E-46.1707594E-48.669217E-41.40488652.5E-4
7.38.776551E-79.770151E-75.0976967E-552.176235.0E-53.7613736E-64.187204E-67.418691E-517.717537.0E-54.579376E-55.0978535E-51.8097191E-43.54996281.3E-44.5784327E-45.097194E-46.8962766E-41.35295551.8E-4
7.47.55721E-78.5103835E-75.0850995E-559.7517055.0E-53.2388E-63.6473052E-66.364709E-517.4504416.0E-53.9431678E-54.4405555E-51.3440156E-43.02668369.0E-53.942468E-44.4401767E-45.539688E-41.24762791.1E-4
7.55.587665E-76.305732E-74.0630548E-564.434314.0E-52.3947114E-62.7024564E-64.2702348E-515.8013094.0E-52.915522E-53.2902408E-59.290043E-52.82351476.0E-52.9151395E-43.2902407E-43.9900106E-41.21268037.0E-5

Little Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.8424427E-53.1205716E-50.030840244988.28830.030811.2181328E-41.3373268E-40.03798867284.064240.037860.00148206770.00162711250.05208487832.010620.050540.0147222230.0161653980.078058444.82873540.06291
6.12.8424427E-53.1205716E-50.030840244988.28830.030811.2181328E-41.3373268E-40.03798867284.064240.037860.00148206770.00162711250.05208487832.010620.050540.0147222230.0161653980.078058444.82873540.06291
6.22.8424427E-53.1205716E-50.030840244988.28830.030811.2181328E-41.3373268E-40.03798867284.064240.037860.00148206770.00162711250.05208487832.010620.050540.0147222230.0161653980.078058444.82873540.06291
6.31.48860645E-51.6081383E-50.021215741319.27330.02126.379586E-56.8918554E-50.025827143374.748750.025767.7643775E-48.387886E-40.03452051441.15520.033710.0077373050.0083590450.049601395.9338590.04159
6.41.48860645E-51.6081383E-50.021215741319.27330.02126.379586E-56.8918554E-50.025827143374.748750.025767.7643775E-48.387886E-40.03452051441.15520.033710.0077373050.0083590450.049601395.9338590.04159
6.51.2797581E-51.376556E-50.0196634961428.45590.019655.4845623E-55.8994065E-50.023867588404.57610.023816.675408E-47.1804173E-40.0318656644.3785630.031170.0066553920.0071597670.0452749026.3235160.03839
6.69.661896E-61.0289033E-50.0169701151649.34020.016964.1407468E-54.40952E-50.020643188468.150450.02065.040193E-45.36743E-40.02763219251.4812280.027110.0050287770.00535607150.038487667.18580.03331
6.77.767871E-68.199681E-60.0148680781813.25070.014863.329045E-53.5141096E-50.018044509513.487370.018014.0523586E-44.2777258E-40.0242475856.6833420.023830.0040449770.0042708430.033435757.82884070.02929
6.86.4235196E-66.735739E-60.0121166541798.86040.012112.752908E-52.8867207E-50.014428452499.821530.01443.35115E-43.5141438E-40.01944470255.3326870.01910.0033461010.00350984720.0268476487.64923520.02342
6.93.1283696E-63.1121751E-60.00725308952330.55320.007251.3407229E-51.33378335E-50.008493225636.77690.008481.6322079E-41.6237753E-40.01144054670.456460.011280.00163100950.00162273720.0155700689.5949410.01397
7.02.290603E-62.2286763E-60.00453221842033.59230.004539.816834E-69.551441E-60.005319501556.931760.005311.19513395E-41.1628362E-40.00715546561.534590.007040.00119449140.00116232990.0098821838.5020470.00873
7.11.293693E-61.1776774E-60.00206117521750.20360.002065.5443866E-65.047183E-60.0024350348482.454250.002436.750081E-56.1448416E-50.003301249453.723910.003246.7480316E-46.1438273E-40.0044919997.31140140.00388
7.24.715842E-73.091732E-78.0309146E-5259.754558.0E-52.0210737E-61.3250274E-61.013249E-476.470041.0E-42.4606294E-51.6132095E-51.4613E-49.058341.3E-42.460357E-41.6130977E-43.2128397E-41.99172041.6E-4
7.33.9430947E-72.3096938E-75.023096E-5217.478855.0E-51.6898966E-69.898685E-77.09898E-571.71647.0E-52.0574296E-51.2051582E-51.1205038E-49.2975651.0E-42.0572392E-41.2050936E-42.504937E-42.07862451.3E-4
7.43.547123E-71.9678579E-74.0196777E-5204.266664.0E-51.5201948E-68.433674E-76.084332E-572.143316.0E-51.8508214E-51.02679505E-51.00267025E-49.7650489.0E-51.8506673E-41.0267482E-42.2266251E-42.16861821.2E-4
7.52.6354266E-71.4422719E-73.0144223E-5209.005143.0E-51.129468E-66.1811636E-74.061809E-565.712694.0E-51.3751187E-57.525541E-67.7525016E-510.3015867.0E-51.3750336E-47.5252916E-51.752454E-42.3287521.0E-4
7.61.269913E-77.572344E-81.00757225E-5133.05951.0E-55.4424834E-73.24529E-72.0324522E-562.6277542.0E-56.6262032E-63.9511337E-64.3950975E-511.1236364.0E-56.626006E-53.9510673E-57.950909E-52.01234484.0E-5

Owl Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.0320643E-56.6358676E-50.01855513279.618770.018492.1564208E-42.843643E-40.02521727288.679460.024940.00262228120.0034575470.04008048411.5921730.036750.025915530.0341412950.080560472.35961940.04806
6.15.0320643E-56.6358676E-50.01855513279.618770.018492.1564208E-42.843643E-40.02521727288.679460.024940.00262228120.0034575470.04008048411.5921730.036750.025915530.0341412950.080560472.35961940.04806
6.22.4125871E-53.0980515E-50.01458053470.635470.014551.0339249E-41.3276804E-40.019670174148.154430.019540.00125807660.00161542520.02988967718.5026680.028320.0125097810.0160707550.0525351733.26899220.03706
6.31.7433485E-52.2355545E-50.013122063586.971250.01317.471279E-59.580685E-50.01749414182.5980.01749.0924866E-40.0011659620.02595702222.2623230.024820.0090553730.01162914650.043405273.73245530.03215
6.41.7433485E-52.2355545E-50.013122063586.971250.01317.471279E-59.580685E-50.01749414182.5980.01749.0924866E-40.0011659620.02595702222.2623230.024820.0090553730.01162914650.043405273.73245530.03215
6.51.5182742E-51.9429277E-50.012679183652.581360.012666.506727E-58.3266525E-50.016881868202.744950.01687.919061E-40.00101343440.02477932524.4508440.023790.00789090.0101186780.040537734.0062280.03073
6.66.7271576E-68.547518E-60.0108684541271.53340.010862.8830356E-53.6631736E-50.01400612382.349330.013973.5095305E-44.4590578E-40.01914756442.9408260.018710.00350399320.00446801870.0278231996.2271890.02346
6.76.682835E-68.479961E-60.0108483881279.29690.010842.8640408E-53.6342215E-50.013975835384.5620.013943.4864116E-44.423823E-40.01909412843.1620520.018660.0034809470.00443293250.0277391586.2575190.02341
6.86.5774975E-68.326427E-60.0107982361296.86320.010792.8188972E-53.5684232E-50.013905189389.673220.013873.4314668E-44.3437455E-40.01900630443.7555660.018580.00342617280.00435310560.027571596.3337750.02332
6.96.363419E-67.999591E-60.0107479131343.5580.010742.727151E-53.428354E-50.013803812402.63670.013773.3198006E-44.1732774E-40.0188796245.239310.018470.00331484550.00418306470.0272661026.5182120.02318
7.06.1342453E-67.631779E-60.010697551401.71120.010692.6289357E-53.2707245E-50.01372226419.5480.013693.2002592E-43.9814346E-40.01874083847.0705640.018350.00319565440.0039917390.026949736.75137570.02305
7.15.842926E-67.142312E-60.0102070691429.09880.01022.504087E-53.060958E-50.01309021427.650760.013063.0482994E-43.7261334E-40.0177661347.6798020.01740.00304412140.00373715950.0255154656.82750230.02186
7.24.77173E-65.358478E-60.0066253231236.41870.006622.045011E-52.2964727E-50.008592768374.172420.008572.4895166E-42.7956374E-40.01167637741.766420.01140.00248672930.00280862120.0169886836.04876230.01422
7.33.0494948E-62.710356E-60.0018327053676.18620.001831.3069198E-51.1615762E-50.0022615895194.700070.002251.5910587E-41.4141288E-40.00323097622.847820.003090.00158991990.00142310890.0053175593.7365790.0039
7.42.7263884E-62.3055634E-60.0011723029508.4670.001171.1684469E-59.880949E-60.0014998663151.793750.001491.4224913E-41.2029401E-40.002160048617.956410.002040.00142158110.00121105780.00382788483.1607780.00262
7.52.6090431E-62.1655019E-69.821634E-4453.550029.8E-41.1181565E-59.2806895E-60.0012892688138.919510.001281.3612706E-41.1298663E-40.001862788916.4868090.001750.0013604370.00113781260.00343519573.01912240.0023
7.62.3008756E-61.8726826E-66.5187144E-4348.095036.5E-49.860858E-68.025758E-68.3801907E-4104.416198.3E-41.20049335E-49.770931E-50.00126759512.97312450.001170.0011998459.848307E-40.00256327472.60275670.00158
7.71.7184348E-61.341808E-64.0134127E-4299.104834.0E-47.3646997E-65.750593E-64.6574796E-480.991294.6E-48.966153E-57.0011265E-56.9996715E-49.9979226.3E-48.962536E-47.0769014E-40.00160705322.2708439.0E-4
7.88.4612907E-78.4054994E-71.908404E-4227.04231.9E-43.6262625E-63.602352E-62.2360156E-462.0709882.2E-44.4148852E-54.3857777E-53.6384375E-48.2959923.2E-44.414008E-44.4386165E-48.936619E-42.01337934.5E-4
7.92.716738E-73.7681625E-76.0376795E-5160.228746.0E-51.1643157E-61.6149258E-67.161481E-544.3455737.0E-51.4175452E-51.9661555E-51.1965959E-46.08596751.0E-41.4174548E-41.9829652E-43.182727E-41.60503441.2E-4
8.02.1995428E-83.3853325E-83.3853325E-81.00.09.426611E-81.4508568E-71.4508568E-71.00.01.1476893E-61.7664173E-61.7664173E-61.00.01.14768345E-51.7869768E-51.7869768E-51.00.0

Airport Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2387061E-51.3103157E-50.0265727552027.9660.026565.3086325E-55.615534E-50.03207436571.1720.032026.461343E-46.8350515E-40.04305452562.990780.04240.00644258880.00681683930.058273668.5484870.05181
6.11.2387061E-51.3103157E-50.0265727552027.9660.026565.3086325E-55.615534E-50.03207436571.1720.032026.461343E-46.8350515E-40.04305452562.990780.04240.00644258880.00681683930.058273668.5484870.05181
6.21.2387061E-51.3103157E-50.0265727552027.9660.026565.3086325E-55.615534E-50.03207436571.1720.032026.461343E-46.8350515E-40.04305452562.990780.04240.00644258880.00681683930.058273668.5484870.05181
6.31.2387061E-51.3103157E-50.0265727552027.9660.026565.3086325E-55.615534E-50.03207436571.1720.032026.461343E-46.8350515E-40.04305452562.990780.04240.00644258880.00681683930.058273668.5484870.05181
6.41.2387061E-51.3103157E-50.0265727552027.9660.026565.3086325E-55.615534E-50.03207436571.1720.032026.461343E-46.8350515E-40.04305452562.990780.04240.00644258880.00681683930.058273668.5484870.05181
6.56.9922594E-67.384925E-60.019697242667.22270.019692.996648E-53.1649324E-50.023800896752.01910.023773.6478083E-43.8526783E-40.0317231982.3406140.031350.0036418260.00384653660.04240763611.0248880.03871
6.66.9922594E-67.384925E-60.019697242667.22270.019692.996648E-53.1649324E-50.023800896752.01910.023773.6478083E-43.8526783E-40.0317231982.3406140.031350.0036418260.00384653660.04240763611.0248880.03871
6.75.477277E-65.7860684E-60.0168756882916.60720.016872.3473833E-52.4797222E-50.020384293822.039370.020362.8575645E-43.0186825E-40.0271537689.9523540.026860.00285389270.0030149660.0359952311.9388510.03308
6.83.9950432E-64.2190873E-60.0129541643070.37130.012951.7121502E-51.8081691E-50.0154078035852.121770.015392.0843433E-42.2012512E-40.0204556792.927470.020240.00208238930.00219934180.02709446812.3193530.02495
6.92.95695E-63.1230243E-60.0090630952902.02510.009061.2672582E-51.3384334E-50.010713241800.43140.01071.5427776E-41.6294434E-40.01432063787.886670.014160.0015417070.00162847120.01924972811.8207370.01765
7.01.456072E-61.540812E-60.00422153442739.81150.004226.2402937E-66.603469E-60.004926571746.058040.004927.597293E-58.039528E-50.0066098782.217150.006537.594696E-48.0376083E-40.00892722611.1068190.00813
7.16.995192E-77.4089746E-70.00193073952605.9470.001932.997936E-63.1752747E-60.002253168709.597840.002253.649926E-53.865897E-50.003028543478.339990.002993.6493264E-43.865897E-40.003965205510.2568840.00358

Panamint Valley

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0211835E-53.3984263E-50.015123472445.013980.015091.2947287E-41.4563887E-40.019692792135.216580.019550.00157519230.00177174060.0302412117.0686440.028520.0156407360.0175830030.0545317053.10138750.03761
6.13.0211835E-53.3984263E-50.015123472445.013980.015091.2947287E-41.4563887E-40.019692792135.216580.019550.00157519230.00177174060.0302412117.0686440.028520.0156407360.0175830030.0545317053.10138750.03761
6.23.0211835E-53.3984263E-50.015123472445.013980.015091.2947287E-41.4563887E-40.019692792135.216580.019550.00157519230.00177174060.0302412117.0686440.028520.0156407360.0175830030.0545317053.10138750.03761
6.32.8573924E-53.2102445E-50.0144316405449.54960.01441.2245393E-41.375748E-40.01878501136.543960.018650.0014898570.00167371410.02886812217.247940.027240.014799080.0166180380.0516854383.11020110.03566
6.42.8573924E-53.2102445E-50.0144316405449.54960.01441.2245393E-41.375748E-40.01878501136.543960.018650.0014898570.00167371410.02886812217.247940.027240.014799080.0166180380.0516854383.11020110.03566
6.52.7468774E-53.0828138E-50.014130393458.360230.01411.1771801E-41.3211406E-40.018259719138.211780.018130.00143227450.00160732920.028024817.435630.026460.0142307820.0159638820.049982013.13094330.03457
6.62.6135967E-52.9252153E-50.01376885470.695280.013741.1200648E-41.2536049E-40.017703157141.217990.017580.00136282570.00152522190.02709616217.7653880.025610.0135449820.0151543430.048028493.16928890.03338
6.72.4498746E-52.7341044E-50.013376976489.263520.013351.04990395E-41.17170785E-40.01718517146.667710.017070.00127750840.00142564590.02604050418.2657590.024650.0127018930.0141715930.045609663.21838640.03189
6.82.2244329E-52.4935374E-50.012564623503.887480.012549.532935E-51.0686163E-40.016055157150.242480.015950.00116001690.00130028570.02416052318.5809330.022890.0115398020.0129329550.0420711753.2530210.02952
6.91.9902658E-52.2290182E-50.011462036514.2190.011448.529431E-59.552596E-50.014524148152.043990.014430.00103796350.00116242650.02150874818.5033190.020370.0103312880.0115690210.037386843.23163370.02612
7.01.8353881E-52.056605E-50.0108103445525.640260.010797.865712E-58.813734E-50.0136769395155.177580.013599.5722964E-40.00107256160.02007216218.7142280.019020.0095311680.010679390.0346704163.2464790.02425
7.11.7667631E-51.9772435E-50.010529565532.53760.010517.571623E-58.4736355E-50.013303616157.00010.013229.2145515E-40.00103119450.0194122218.8249860.01840.0091764370.01026959250.0333204163.244570.02329
7.21.6381597E-51.8158042E-50.009297989512.0590.009287.020495E-57.781795E-50.011796906151.596190.011728.544101E-49.470391E-40.01725158318.2163370.016320.0085113250.0094352690.0300092983.1805450.02077
7.31.4520491E-51.596657E-50.0075158468470.72390.00756.222919E-56.842646E-50.009597775140.264080.009537.57377E-48.327899E-40.01413170516.9691120.013310.00754800950.0083003990.025198963.03587320.01704
7.41.2852287E-51.41454875E-50.0072940425515.64450.007285.5080065E-56.06222E-50.009270064152.915330.009216.7039346E-47.378411E-40.013538389518.348650.012810.00668374640.0073574290.023547433.2004970.01631
7.51.1637851E-51.2836868E-50.007182745559.54030.007174.987555E-55.5014076E-50.009144514166.221340.009096.070656E-46.696062E-40.01332112919.8939740.012660.0060540990.00667938450.0226420463.38984040.01607
7.63.0068115E-63.3330623E-60.00336332181009.07860.003361.2886271E-51.4284516E-50.0042742235299.220760.004261.5687906E-41.7390738E-40.00601289234.5752530.005840.00156768350.00173979730.0090470625.20006660.00732

Garlock (East)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5092507E-56.2904815E-50.011852163188.414230.011791.9323928E-42.6956675E-40.0161652859.967640.01590.00235014970.0032774820.02681018.1800910.023610.0232545040.032353770.063250711.95497190.03193
6.14.5092507E-56.2904815E-50.011852163188.414230.011791.9323928E-42.6956675E-40.0161652859.967640.01590.00235014970.0032774820.02681018.1800910.023610.0232545040.032353770.063250711.95497190.03193
6.22.6674514E-53.4511588E-50.009394188272.20390.009361.1431433E-41.4789861E-40.01228610383.071120.012140.00139088840.00179921140.01887842610.4926120.017110.013822150.0178727880.0395679772.21386720.02209
6.32.6674514E-53.4511588E-50.009394188272.20390.009361.1431433E-41.4789861E-40.01228610383.071120.012140.00139088840.00179921140.01887842610.4926120.017110.013822150.0178727880.0395679772.21386720.02209
6.42.5312667E-53.2340467E-50.009232043285.46410.00921.0847834E-41.3859481E-40.012106935587.35490.011970.00131992370.00168611520.01847775510.9587740.016820.0131211120.0167722870.0380198362.2668250.02161
6.52.5312667E-53.2340467E-50.009232043285.46410.00921.0847834E-41.3859481E-40.012106935587.35490.011970.00131992370.00168611520.01847775510.9587740.016820.0131211120.0167722870.0380198362.2668250.02161
6.62.246556E-52.8134691E-50.008867886315.1940.008849.627742E-51.2057181E-40.01153919595.703920.011420.00117154720.00146699690.01738361311.8497960.015940.0116539010.0146131690.0347249142.37627530.02041
6.72.2241198E-52.7804432E-50.008867559318.92610.008849.531594E-51.1915654E-40.011517798596.661070.01140.00115985380.00144978890.01733672211.9581010.015910.0115381870.0144428290.034518632.39001850.02037
6.81.9528685E-52.3898969E-50.008593694359.584320.008578.369167E-51.0242024E-40.011031301107.706260.010930.00101846980.00124627280.01633744113.1090410.015110.0101381470.0124367230.0314571932.52937940.01926
6.91.3318621E-51.5198818E-50.008035077528.66460.008025.7078556E-56.51362E-50.010164478156.04960.01016.9470983E-47.927504E-40.01450187318.2931160.013720.00692542040.0079407210.0250339023.15259840.01723
7.01.1760853E-51.3107653E-50.0078430055598.353150.007835.0402683E-55.6174475E-50.009915621176.514710.009866.134799E-46.8371464E-40.01402458720.512340.013350.00611789060.0068574010.0234826083.4244180.01674
7.11.0064758E-51.0902761E-50.007700819706.318240.007694.3133965E-54.67253E-50.009666276206.874560.009625.2502943E-45.6873553E-40.01342142223.5987030.012860.0052379070.00571334730.021611993.78271960.01599
7.29.768808E-61.0498628E-50.00752042716.3240.007514.186565E-54.499337E-50.009464569210.354770.009425.095951E-45.4766005E-40.0131207723.9578740.012580.00508428040.0055035840.0210475623.82433750.01563
7.39.344516E-69.9442705E-60.0069098757694.860.00694.004731E-54.2617627E-50.008682249203.724380.008644.8746695E-45.187495E-40.01206275823.253530.011550.00486399050.0052152690.0195103253.74100070.01437
7.49.023491E-69.490441E-60.0061194324644.799560.006113.867153E-54.0672705E-50.0077003613189.325030.007664.7072413E-44.95081E-40.01065005121.5117340.010160.0046972830.00497872660.0175955973.53415580.01268
7.57.081253E-67.0873994E-60.003037066428.516270.003033.0347876E-53.0374218E-50.003950255130.05290.003923.6942272E-43.697441E-40.005407880514.6260090.005040.0036880920.00372447450.0099412342.66916420.00624
7.66.116396E-65.9589424E-60.0018459479309.777770.001842.6212863E-52.5538076E-50.002445476495.758050.002423.1909486E-43.1088197E-40.003369930710.8399040.003060.00318637070.00313591260.00702368242.2397570.0039
7.74.797145E-64.7571157E-60.0011247518236.435670.001122.055903E-52.0387479E-50.001440358670.649170.001422.5027743E-42.481894E-40.00198775768.0090340.001740.00249995760.00250940650.00472383571.88245130.00222
7.83.4028885E-63.978375E-67.339755E-4184.491297.3E-41.4583726E-51.7050066E-59.770337E-457.3038069.6E-41.775424E-42.0756487E-40.0013673246.58745430.001160.00177400620.00210121410.00357810431.70287470.00148
7.92.5928412E-63.372436E-64.7337086E-4140.364674.7E-41.1112129E-51.4453217E-56.3444424E-443.8964046.2E-41.3528178E-41.7595377E-49.1582356E-45.20491037.4E-40.00135199450.00178124260.0027694791.55480189.9E-4
8.01.3743648E-61.6734741E-61.8167317E-4108.560491.8E-45.8901214E-67.1720124E-62.9716993E-441.4346662.9E-47.1709874E-58.731578E-53.872896E-44.4355053.0E-47.1686733E-48.837377E-40.0012733931.44091743.9E-4
8.13.6733252E-73.1489736E-73.0314888E-596.2691043.0E-51.5742813E-61.3495595E-64.1349507E-530.639264.0E-51.9166706E-51.643078E-56.642996E-54.04301935.0E-51.9165053E-41.662928E-42.2628282E-41.36074946.0E-5

Hunter Mountain-Saline Valley

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5103672E-55.456906E-50.0074841636137.150310.007431.9328714E-42.3384714E-40.00965164441.2733040.009420.0023507310.00284354620.0161156995.6674650.013310.0232601950.0280926250.0446636451.58987090.01705
6.14.5103672E-55.456906E-50.0074841636137.150310.007431.9328714E-42.3384714E-40.00965164441.2733040.009420.0023507310.00284354620.0161156995.6674650.013310.0232601950.0280926250.0446636451.58987090.01705
6.23.9363465E-54.706271E-50.007436715158.017140.007391.6868966E-42.016826E-40.00956979347.4497680.009370.0020518620.00245285340.0156603776.38455530.013240.0203301960.0242741870.040802981.68092060.01694
6.33.9363465E-54.706271E-50.007436715158.017140.007391.6868966E-42.016826E-40.00956979347.4497680.009370.0020518620.00245285340.0156603776.38455530.013240.0203301960.0242741870.040802981.68092060.01694
6.43.2311684E-53.795112E-50.0074076713195.18980.007371.384713E-41.6263791E-40.00951111758.480320.009350.00168458430.0019783870.0151522727.6589020.01320.0167187140.0196171180.036116961.84109410.01683
6.53.2311684E-53.795112E-50.0074076713195.18980.007371.384713E-41.6263791E-40.00951111758.480320.009350.00168458430.0019783870.0151522727.6589020.01320.0167187140.0196171180.036116961.84109410.01683
6.62.9305844E-53.418196E-50.0073939306216.310880.007361.2559042E-41.4648624E-40.00947511964.6826550.009330.00152799090.00178207270.0149086398.3658980.013150.0151752720.0176863240.0341400761.93030940.01675
6.72.7826512E-53.2344353E-50.007392106228.543950.007361.19251024E-41.3861163E-40.00946731968.301040.009330.00145091420.00168635060.0148141758.7847550.013150.0144147760.0167438180.033213361.98361920.01675
6.82.3389874E-52.6866792E-50.0073766694274.564580.007351.0023846E-41.1513857E-40.00942406681.849780.009310.001219720.0014009580.0144726210.3305160.013090.012130470.0139280670.0303461642.1787780.01665
6.92.069209E-52.357011E-50.0073433975311.55550.007328.867737E-51.0101105E-40.00935007692.5648960.009250.00107911230.00122915190.01423314911.579650.013020.0107388710.0122291580.0285866432.33758070.01656
7.01.7462342E-51.9633622E-50.0073194904372.803860.00737.483646E-58.414151E-50.0093133645110.686920.009239.1075303E-40.00102396410.01394072513.6144660.012930.0090702950.0101966880.0264987482.59876040.01647
7.11.4807709E-51.6441827E-50.007306322444.37410.007296.3460066E-57.046316E-50.009289813131.83930.009227.723524E-48.575678E-40.01372652216.006340.012880.0076967350.0085461680.0247960972.90142870.01639
7.21.4180048E-51.5698413E-50.0072955843464.733860.007286.077022E-56.727727E-50.009276657137.886950.009217.396263E-48.1880915E-40.01367827116.7050780.012870.00737169430.0081614690.0244077852.99061160.01638
7.31.3730402E-51.5172151E-50.007295062480.81920.007285.8843252E-56.502197E-50.009274423142.635220.009217.161811E-47.9137104E-40.01363120217.2247920.012850.0071387740.0078890580.0241199943.05739830.01636
7.41.2810095E-51.4109353E-50.007274007515.545040.007265.489925E-56.0467344E-50.009249912152.973680.009196.681934E-47.3595706E-40.01350655118.3523640.012780.0066618780.00733868960.0234892893.2007470.01627
7.51.1595659E-51.2800734E-50.0071627093559.554570.007154.9694736E-55.485922E-50.009124362166.323210.009076.0486543E-46.67722E-40.01328928919.9024280.012630.0060322170.0066606320.0225838633.39064860.01603
7.62.997694E-63.3251877E-60.0033633141011.465940.003361.28471975E-51.4250767E-50.00427419299.9270.004261.564034E-41.7349655E-40.006012483534.654770.005840.00156293370.00173569550.009042995.21000960.00732

Blackwater

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0708583E-53.3095846E-50.004342953131.223510.004311.3160157E-41.4183241E-40.006140981343.2974470.0060.00160107140.00172557840.0113988576.60581830.009690.0158958510.0171356330.0305124171.78064130.01361
6.13.0708583E-53.3095846E-50.004342953131.223510.004311.3160157E-41.4183241E-40.006140981343.2974470.0060.00160107140.00172557840.0113988576.60581830.009690.0158958510.0171356330.0305124171.78064130.01361
6.21.1707779E-51.2545122E-50.0013625282108.61020.001355.017523E-55.3763757E-50.001973660436.709870.001926.107122E-46.5438676E-40.0038123195.82578850.003160.0060903660.00652556960.01121476851.71858850.00472
6.31.1707779E-51.2545122E-50.0013625282108.61020.001355.017523E-55.3763757E-50.001973660436.709870.001926.107122E-46.5438676E-40.0038123195.82578850.003160.0060903660.00652556960.01121476851.71858850.00472
6.47.929244E-68.480098E-68.684728E-4102.413068.6E-43.3982033E-53.6342793E-50.00129629735.6686130.001264.136527E-44.423877E-40.00257144545.8126510.002130.00412883560.00441547580.00754161131.7079950.00314
6.55.8832115E-66.285991E-65.8628235E-493.268095.8E-42.521352E-52.6939697E-58.9691626E-433.293488.7E-43.0693135E-43.27944E-40.00181745545.5419690.001490.00306507780.00327485380.00540784561.65132430.00214
6.65.8832115E-66.285991E-65.8628235E-493.268095.8E-42.521352E-52.6939697E-58.9691626E-433.293488.7E-43.0693135E-43.27944E-40.00181745545.5419690.001490.00306507780.00327485380.00540784561.65132430.00214
6.73.0715053E-63.2814662E-62.7328057E-483.280022.7E-41.3163528E-51.4063357E-53.94058E-428.0201953.8E-41.6025416E-41.7120909E-48.310961E-44.85427576.6E-40.00160138650.00171088640.00268920981.57182259.8E-4
6.82.2722281E-62.4287538E-61.924283E-479.229231.9E-49.738084E-61.0408908E-52.704062E-425.9783462.6E-41.1855473E-41.26722E-45.76665E-44.550634.5E-40.0011849150.00126658760.00189578961.49676946.3E-4
6.99.952399E-71.0653489E-64.1065305E-538.5463454.0E-54.265307E-64.5657757E-66.45655E-514.141196.0E-55.1928873E-55.5587418E-51.9557963E-43.51841551.4E-45.191674E-45.557858E-48.056468E-41.44956362.5E-4
7.04.7385504E-75.0755597E-71.05075505E-520.7022511.0E-52.0308057E-62.1752398E-61.2175218E-55.5971841.0E-52.4724779E-52.6483543E-58.648195E-53.26549776.0E-52.4722028E-42.6483546E-43.7480632E-41.41524231.1E-4

Ash Hill

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.1545662E-52.3194447E-50.0039031045168.277540.003889.2335285E-59.940143E-50.005458868654.9174040.005360.00112360230.00120962060.0103086018.5221780.009110.0111793810.0120383480.024881852.06688240.013
6.12.1545662E-52.3194447E-50.0039031045168.277540.003889.2335285E-59.940143E-50.005458868654.9174040.005360.00112360230.00120962060.0103086018.5221780.009110.0111793810.0120383480.024881852.06688240.013
6.22.1545662E-52.3194447E-50.0039031045168.277540.003889.2335285E-59.940143E-50.005458868654.9174040.005360.00112360230.00120962060.0103086018.5221780.009110.0111793810.0120383480.024881852.06688240.013
6.31.0025529E-51.0746934E-50.0016407294152.669530.001634.2965847E-54.605755E-50.002325952550.5010030.002285.229836E-45.6061964E-40.00423855667.56048540.003680.0052175450.00559336650.011032771.97247420.00547
6.41.0025529E-51.0746934E-50.0016407294152.669530.001634.2965847E-54.605755E-50.002325952550.5010030.002285.229836E-45.6061964E-40.00423855667.56048540.003680.0052175450.00559336650.011032771.97247420.00547
6.56.9617327E-67.456634E-60.001037449139.1310.001032.9835655E-53.195666E-50.001511909447.3112450.001483.6318856E-43.8901155E-40.00283805847.29556370.002450.00362595570.00388416020.0075697891.94888690.0037
6.64.9919777E-65.3466883E-67.5534265E-4141.2737.5E-42.1394015E-52.2914215E-50.001042890845.5128330.001022.60441E-42.7895154E-40.00198847457.12838650.001710.00260135970.00278667270.00539937151.93756940.00262
6.73.6630722E-63.924624E-65.5392244E-4141.140275.5E-41.5698786E-51.681974E-57.9680665E-447.3733027.8E-41.9111596E-42.0476682E-40.00153449457.49386260.001330.00190951680.00204634460.00411210862.00948980.00207
6.82.5599613E-62.744925E-64.3274375E-4157.65234.3E-41.0971216E-51.1763939E-55.817572E-449.4525875.7E-41.3356637E-41.4322149E-40.00112308127.84156859.8E-40.00133486130.00143177690.00290965782.03220060.00148
6.91.7684905E-61.8968707E-62.8189633E-4148.611252.8E-47.579223E-68.129446E-63.8812635E-447.7432753.8E-49.2273134E-59.8976E-57.3891267E-47.4655746.4E-49.223483E-49.8976E-40.00197878011.99925249.9E-4

Garlock (West)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.5181727E-52.5197181E-50.0053750626213.319990.005351.0791722E-41.0798347E-40.006987240664.706570.006880.00131310020.00131390930.0105118088.0004060.009210.0130536830.0131417940.0243919791.85606150.0114
6.12.5077732E-52.5098223E-50.005374964214.157150.005351.0747157E-41.075594E-40.00698681964.957780.006880.0013076810.00130875250.0105066998.0280260.009210.0130001260.0130908350.02434161.85943830.0114
6.22.494612E-52.4979914E-50.005374846215.166720.005351.0690756E-41.070524E-40.00698631665.260710.006880.00130082240.00130258720.010500598.0613340.009210.0129323410.0130299060.0242813661.86351040.0114
6.32.4733758E-52.4799276E-50.005374667216.726750.005351.0599751E-41.06278305E-40.00698554765.728810.006880.00128975560.00129317360.0104912638.1128030.009210.0128229570.01293687150.0241893921.86980220.0114
6.42.3237335E-52.3178607E-50.0053730546231.810930.005359.958477E-59.933313E-50.006978649670.255010.006880.00121177020.00120871260.0103975938.6022040.00920.0120518380.0121017310.0233440141.92898130.01138
6.52.2732203E-52.2992977E-50.00536287233.239490.005349.742009E-59.8537625E-50.006967860770.712690.006870.00118544420.00119903810.01036803058.6469570.009180.0117914030.0120060350.0232296471.93483080.01136
6.62.1319436E-52.1773201E-50.005361657246.250270.005349.136581E-59.3310395E-50.006952670474.511210.006860.0011118110.00113546430.0102950529.0668210.009170.0110626490.0113769520.0225978231.9862810.01135
6.71.970802E-52.0393094E-50.0053602844262.8480.005348.446021E-58.739606E-50.006946796679.486380.006860.0010278180.00106352940.0102137889.6036720.009160.0102307710.01066468750.0218540712.04919930.01131
6.81.8744462E-51.9900775E-50.0053597945269.325930.005348.033094E-58.528626E-50.00694470181.428140.006869.775903E-40.00103786720.010178379.8070070.009150.0097330090.0104104950.0215928552.07414320.0113
6.91.7559682E-51.8953151E-50.005348852282.21440.005337.5253614E-58.122527E-50.006920669785.203410.006849.158276E-49.884704E-40.01010944610.2273630.009130.00912062450.0099210730.0210891632.12569380.01128
7.01.6794445E-51.8215967E-50.0053281193292.49720.005317.197421E-57.806611E-50.006887534688.226950.006818.759337E-49.5004175E-40.01001142510.5378790.009070.0087248910.0095399580.020652922.16488580.01122
7.11.6337795E-51.771677E-50.005307623299.581880.005297.0017246E-57.592681E-50.00684541390.158050.006778.521265E-49.2401815E-40.00994567410.7635050.009030.0084886640.0092817210.0203579522.1933380.01118
7.21.5780008E-51.71654E-50.0053070746309.172820.005296.762685E-57.3563926E-50.00684306693.022030.006778.2304585E-48.952741E-40.00989720811.0549470.009010.0082000420.0089965590.0200462472.22821260.01115
7.31.5058865E-51.6618484E-50.005276531317.50980.005266.45364E-57.122013E-50.00680074195.489020.006737.854473E-48.667614E-40.00982898711.3398990.008970.007826770.0087132630.0197165462.262820.0111
7.41.4887923E-51.6454453E-50.0051663695313.980040.005156.380382E-57.0517184E-50.00665005394.304010.006587.7653467E-48.5820974E-40.00964066611.2334610.008790.00773826750.0086281010.0194142272.25011590.01088
7.51.4509299E-51.6046468E-50.0047559706296.387360.004746.218123E-56.876877E-50.00614835189.406140.006087.567935E-48.369394E-40.00895014310.6938970.008120.00754221340.0084164110.0184115732.18758030.01008
7.61.2756717E-51.4050529E-50.0030640077218.070630.003055.4670498E-56.0215163E-50.003989978766.2620240.003936.6541E-47.328737E-40.00596903368.1446960.005240.0066342110.0073813740.0139822881.89426620.00665
7.71.0328985E-51.146033E-50.0020014376174.640470.001994.4266326E-54.9114777E-50.002478995450.4735150.002435.388092E-45.9780874E-40.00382587786.39983560.003230.00537504670.0060382860.0101433471.6798390.00413
7.87.0306583E-68.899537E-60.0012888882144.826430.001283.0131043E-53.8140315E-50.001658078543.473120.001623.667837E-44.6425956E-40.00264324745.6934690.002180.0036617890.00469506670.00744210841.58509110.00276
7.94.060633E-65.465412E-66.754618E-4123.588446.7E-41.7402595E-52.3422985E-59.034024E-438.5690548.8E-42.11856E-42.8513762E-40.00141481544.9618690.001130.00211654140.0028841430.004319991.49784170.00144
8.01.6729537E-62.0775192E-62.1207708E-4102.081892.1E-47.169782E-68.903624E-63.389007E-438.0632323.3E-48.7288594E-51.0839626E-44.483594E-44.13629963.4E-48.7254314E-40.0010968540.00152638241.39160034.3E-4
8.13.6733252E-73.1489736E-73.0314888E-596.2691043.0E-51.5742813E-61.3495595E-64.1349507E-530.639264.0E-51.9166706E-51.643078E-56.642996E-54.04301935.0E-51.9165053E-41.662928E-42.2628282E-41.36074946.0E-5

McLean Lake

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.7360222E-51.8501627E-50.0019884652107.475150.001977.439883E-57.9290556E-50.003249039240.976370.003179.0542925E-49.6498354E-40.00668945446.9321950.005730.0090174910.00961277450.018397511.91386040.00887
6.19.062689E-69.592193E-60.0011295815117.76050.001123.8839516E-54.1108804E-50.001661042240.4060.001624.727685E-45.003936E-40.00335896256.7126410.002860.00471763960.0049935520.0096203311.9265510.00465
6.29.062689E-69.592193E-60.0011295815117.76050.001123.8839516E-54.1108804E-50.001661042240.4060.001624.727685E-45.003936E-40.00335896256.7126410.002860.00471763960.0049935520.0096203311.9265510.00465
6.37.2575485E-67.66771E-68.376613E-4109.2453168.3E-43.110341E-53.2861237E-50.001262820838.4288860.001233.786182E-44.0001926E-40.00263912326.59749030.002240.00377973750.00399369650.0075593991.89283260.00358
6.47.2575485E-67.66771E-68.376613E-4109.2453168.3E-43.110341E-53.2861237E-50.001262820838.4288860.001233.786182E-44.0001926E-40.00263912326.59749030.002240.00377973750.00399369650.0075593991.89283260.00358
6.56.06582E-66.4038773E-66.863995E-4107.184996.8E-42.5996113E-52.7444936E-50.001027417537.4355960.0013.164567E-43.3409733E-40.00218347936.53545860.001850.00316006430.00333658930.00632657951.89612170.003
6.65.598744E-65.910262E-66.459065E-4109.285596.4E-42.3994397E-52.5329486E-59.5530594E-437.715179.3E-42.9209262E-43.0834923E-40.0020078256.5115290.00170.00291708970.0030798430.00581140441.88691570.00274
6.75.246996E-65.539162E-66.055358E-4109.319036.0E-42.2486933E-52.3739085E-58.9371845E-437.6475528.7E-42.73744E-42.8899137E-40.00190852336.60408350.001620.00273407040.00288677960.00546930261.89460350.00259
6.84.02324E-64.2469046E-64.3424507E-4102.249794.3E-41.7242342E-51.8200926E-56.281898E-434.5141686.1E-42.099053E-42.2157968E-40.00143131166.45957950.001210.00209707140.0022141720.0041698321.88324680.00196
6.96.835972E-77.1399285E-77.071394E-599.040137.0E-52.9296991E-63.0599674E-61.1305963E-436.9479871.1E-43.56685E-53.7254784E-52.4724696E-46.63664962.1E-43.5662777E-43.7251666E-46.5241236E-41.75136422.8E-4

Gravel Hills-Harper Lk

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0679566E-53.1464628E-50.00218139769.328550.002151.3147724E-41.3484266E-40.003114440723.0968510.002980.00159955990.001640690.0067223394.09726330.005090.0158809520.0163073370.02340961.43552540.00722
6.13.0679566E-53.1464628E-50.00218139769.328550.002151.3147724E-41.3484266E-40.003114440723.0968510.002980.00159955990.001640690.0067223394.09726330.005090.0158809520.0163073370.02340961.43552540.00722
6.21.514536E-51.36352E-56.6362636E-448.6700826.5E-46.490707E-55.843533E-59.6838217E-416.5718619.1E-47.8995706E-47.112298E-40.00226012733.17777370.001550.0078715480.0070907370.0092850661.30946420.00221
6.31.514536E-51.36352E-56.6362636E-448.6700826.5E-46.490707E-55.843533E-59.6838217E-416.5718619.1E-47.8995706E-47.112298E-40.00226012733.17777370.001550.0078715480.0070907370.0092850661.30946420.00221
6.41.2532521E-51.0689684E-54.7068475E-444.031684.6E-45.37097E-54.581216E-57.057819E-415.4059956.6E-46.537194E-45.5762613E-40.00167700163.0073940.001120.00651799650.0055628590.00709429241.27529610.00154
6.51.1094058E-59.083657E-62.890811E-431.8243122.8E-44.7545094E-53.89294E-54.4891343E-411.5314764.1E-45.787078E-44.7386638E-40.00123350622.60306767.6E-40.00577203040.0047289670.00574414341.2146720.00102
6.69.688328E-67.531688E-62.0753019E-427.5542722.0E-44.1520743E-53.227828E-53.1226923E-49.6742842.8E-45.053978E-43.9291973E-48.7273115E-42.22114354.8E-40.00504249940.00392250670.0045898791.17013916.7E-4
6.78.974824E-66.749406E-61.567484E-423.2240281.5E-43.8462964E-52.8925719E-52.1892022E-47.56835941.9E-44.6818596E-43.5211592E-47.119891E-42.02203063.6E-40.0046720080.0035158010.0040240081.14454945.1E-4
6.87.4780046E-65.1161865E-66.511588E-512.7274266.0E-53.20482E-52.1926337E-51.1192436E-45.10456289.0E-53.9011694E-42.6692182E-44.3687646E-41.63672051.7E-40.00389432810.00266615050.0029154841.09351812.5E-4
6.96.3409307E-63.907489E-64.3907334E-511.2367134.0E-52.7175134E-51.674628E-55.6745608E-53.38855034.0E-53.3080703E-42.0386786E-42.9384953E-41.44137249.0E-50.00330315020.00203690650.0021866011.07349111.5E-4
7.05.1239335E-62.6058492E-64.2605745E-516.3500424.0E-52.195953E-51.1167879E-55.1167433E-54.58166074.0E-52.6732447E-41.359607E-42.1594983E-41.58832548.0E-50.00267003130.00135880050.0014686511.08084381.1E-4
7.14.438899E-62.0984692E-64.2098385E-520.0614744.0E-51.9023713E-58.99341E-64.899305E-55.4476614.0E-52.315891E-41.0948948E-41.7948182E-41.63926087.0E-50.0023134790.00109437740.00119426791.09127621.0E-4
7.23.50367E-61.2615715E-62.1261547E-516.8532242.0E-51.5015643E-55.406724E-62.5406616E-54.69907762.0E-51.8280011E-46.5824956E-59.582299E-51.45572413.0E-50.00182649826.580628E-46.980365E-41.06074454.0E-5
7.32.561638E-67.118686E-72.0711854E-529.0950532.0E-51.0978401E-53.050862E-62.3050801E-57.55550432.0E-51.3365384E-43.7143633E-56.7142515E-51.80764543.0E-50.00133573493.7137623E-44.1136137E-41.10766744.0E-5
7.42.0368864E-65.304471E-72.0530437E-538.704022.0E-58.729483E-62.2733427E-62.2273298E-59.7975982.0E-51.06276275E-42.76776E-55.767677E-52.0838793.0E-50.00106225472.767421E-43.0673377E-41.10837423.0E-5
7.51.1681728E-63.6028484E-72.0360278E-556.5116122.0E-55.0064455E-61.544077E-62.1544047E-513.9527022.0E-56.0951766E-51.879898E-54.8798418E-52.59580143.0E-56.093505E-41.8797436E-42.1796873E-41.15956633.0E-5
7.61.3154387E-77.1196716E-81.0071196E-5141.45591.0E-55.6375933E-73.0512876E-71.0305126E-533.773041.0E-56.863748E-63.714938E-62.3714863E-56.383652.0E-56.863536E-53.7148915E-55.7148172E-51.53835372.0E-5

Goldstone Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.671352E-53.0376103E-50.001300337542.807910.001271.1448149E-41.3017791E-40.002199908516.8992440.002070.0013929210.00158396010.00577730733.6473820.00420.0138422220.0157462020.0223800731.42129970.00674
6.12.671352E-53.0376103E-50.001300337542.807910.001271.1448149E-41.3017791E-40.002199908516.8992440.002070.0013929210.00158396010.00577730733.6473820.00420.0138422220.0157462020.0223800731.42129970.00674
6.21.4197047E-51.6096254E-56.660858E-441.3814166.5E-46.0843064E-56.898268E-50.001148908216.6550240.001087.4051257E-48.3963916E-40.0030078173.58227370.002170.0073804980.0083743640.0118748021.41799450.00353
6.31.4197047E-51.6096254E-56.660858E-441.3814166.5E-46.0843064E-56.898268E-50.001148908216.6550240.001087.4051257E-48.3963916E-40.0030078173.58227370.002170.0073804980.0083743640.0118748021.41799450.00353
6.41.3238931E-51.500847E-56.349992E-442.3093876.2E-45.6737044E-56.432098E-50.001094254817.0124070.001036.9055456E-47.8292453E-40.0028513043.64186290.002070.0068841260.0078112890.0111648871.42932710.00338
6.51.3238931E-51.500847E-56.349992E-442.3093876.2E-45.6737044E-56.432098E-50.001094254817.0124070.001036.9055456E-47.8292453E-40.0028513043.64186290.002070.0068841260.0078112890.0111648871.42932710.00338
6.61.1328278E-51.2855176E-55.428484E-442.2285.3E-44.8548856E-55.5092984E-58.950467E-416.246118.4E-45.90922E-46.706464E-40.0023894933.562970.001720.00589353130.00669561370.0095563311.42725230.00288
6.78.651175E-69.824575E-64.3982035E-444.767374.3E-43.707594E-54.2105148E-56.7207863E-415.961916.3E-44.5130608E-45.126002E-40.00183192353.57378650.001320.00450390620.00512305650.0072620421.41752140.00215
6.81.0215377E-61.1754802E-61.1175468E-59.5071521.0E-54.378012E-65.037763E-62.5037662E-54.9699962.0E-55.3300988E-56.133315E-51.21329474E-41.97820386.0E-55.3288206E-46.131735E-47.131122E-41.16298591.0E-4
6.97.9360774E-79.283496E-71.092834E-511.7717941.0E-53.4011714E-63.9786355E-61.3978595E-53.51341461.0E-54.1408475E-54.843888E-56.843791E-51.41287152.0E-54.140076E-44.842902E-45.142757E-41.06191643.0E-5
7.07.4382757E-78.747428E-71.08747345E-512.4319221.0E-53.1878285E-63.7488926E-61.3748855E-53.66744421.0E-53.8811122E-54.564188E-56.564097E-51.4381742.0E-53.8804344E-44.563317E-44.8631802E-41.06571163.0E-5
7.16.4709513E-77.711399E-71.0771132E-513.9678051.0E-52.773262E-63.3048816E-61.3304849E-54.0258171.0E-53.376394E-54.023625E-55.023585E-51.24852221.0E-53.375881E-44.022956E-44.1229159E-41.02484741.0E-5
7.26.356704E-77.588459E-71.07588385E-514.17789651.0E-52.7242988E-63.252193E-61.325216E-54.0748381.0E-53.3167835E-53.959479E-54.9594393E-51.25254851.0E-53.3162883E-43.9588328E-44.0587934E-41.025251.0E-5
7.35.7695723E-76.896648E-71.0689658E-515.4997871.0E-52.4726714E-62.9557032E-61.2955674E-54.383281.0E-53.0104358E-53.598515E-54.598479E-51.27788251.0E-53.0100282E-43.5979896E-43.6979537E-41.02778331.0E-5
7.45.209647E-76.193583E-71.0619352E-517.1457331.0E-52.232704E-62.6543903E-61.2654364E-54.76733351.0E-52.718283E-53.2316777E-54.2316457E-51.30942681.0E-52.7179506E-43.2312635E-43.331231E-41.03093771.0E-5
7.54.512955E-75.3489487E-71.053489E-519.6952511.0E-51.934122E-62.2924048E-61.2292382E-55.36222121.0E-52.3547682E-52.7909726E-53.790945E-51.3582881.0E-52.3545188E-42.7906752E-42.8906474E-41.03582361.0E-5
7.62.21172E-72.6040198E-72.6040198E-71.00.09.478797E-71.1160082E-61.1160082E-61.00.01.1540374E-51.3587343E-51.3587343E-51.00.01.1539775E-41.3586794E-41.3586794E-41.00.0

So Sierra Nevada

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.15488665E-51.1079612E-50.0019110586172.484250.00194.9494203E-54.7483256E-50.002587362754.4899980.002546.024253E-45.779681E-40.00461563337.98596570.004040.0060079480.0057659180.0113733981.97252170.00564
6.11.15488665E-51.1079612E-50.0019110586172.484250.00194.9494203E-54.7483256E-50.002587362754.4899980.002546.024253E-45.779681E-40.00461563337.98596570.004040.0060079480.0057659180.0113733981.97252170.00564
6.21.15488665E-51.1079612E-50.0019110586172.484250.00194.9494203E-54.7483256E-50.002587362754.4899980.002546.024253E-45.779681E-40.00461563337.98596570.004040.0060079480.0057659180.0113733981.97252170.00564
6.31.15488665E-51.1079612E-50.0019110586172.484250.00194.9494203E-54.7483256E-50.002587362754.4899980.002546.024253E-45.779681E-40.00461563337.98596570.004040.0060079480.0057659180.0113733981.97252170.00564
6.41.15488665E-51.1079612E-50.0019110586172.484250.00194.9494203E-54.7483256E-50.002587362754.4899980.002546.024253E-45.779681E-40.00461563337.98596570.004040.0060079480.0057659180.0113733981.97252170.00564
6.51.15488665E-51.1079612E-50.0019110586172.484250.00194.9494203E-54.7483256E-50.002587362754.4899980.002546.024253E-45.779681E-40.00461563337.98596570.004040.0060079480.0057659180.0113733981.97252170.00564
6.67.587044E-66.9356042E-60.0011269278162.484450.001123.2515498E-52.9723697E-50.001479680649.7811780.001453.9580427E-43.6182883E-40.00265100027.3266690.002290.0039510.00361268870.00662177851.83292250.00302
6.77.587044E-66.9356042E-60.0011269278162.484450.001123.2515498E-52.9723697E-50.001479680649.7811780.001453.9580427E-43.6182883E-40.00265100027.3266690.002290.0039510.00361268870.00662177851.83292250.00302
6.85.9026956E-65.179362E-67.9517526E-4153.527657.9E-42.5297022E-52.2197082E-50.001032174746.5004650.001013.0794772E-42.7021713E-40.00174981726.4755970.001480.00307521320.0026990020.00455398161.68728360.00186
6.95.0118915E-64.2523943E-66.9424947E-4163.260836.9E-42.1479358E-51.8224424E-58.782087E-448.1885578.6E-42.614798E-42.2186051E-40.0014315926.4526670.001210.00261172350.00221646270.00376302731.69776250.00155
7.04.4924795E-63.7138868E-66.337115E-4170.632976.3E-41.925334E-51.5916565E-57.859043E-449.3765037.7E-42.3438422E-41.9376757E-40.00125356226.4694120.001060.00234137170.00193604910.00329341621.70110150.00136
7.13.9118436E-63.1119469E-64.1311068E-4132.749914.1E-41.6764936E-51.333685E-55.2333006E-439.2394035.1E-42.0409399E-41.6236462E-48.822477E-45.43374357.2E-40.00203906630.00162251610.00259094221.5968679.7E-4
7.23.4200818E-62.6054236E-63.0260463E-4116.144123.0E-41.4657411E-51.11660565E-53.6116215E-432.3446463.5E-41.7843937E-41.3593875E-46.2587217E-44.60407454.9E-40.00178296150.00135860580.00205765481.51453417.0E-4
7.32.6593618E-61.8283897E-61.7182808E-493.977821.7E-41.13972155E-57.8359335E-61.9783445E-425.247081.9E-41.3875226E-49.539862E-53.553738E-43.72514652.6E-40.00138665659.536055E-40.00134323361.40858413.9E-4
7.42.2577992E-61.4364078E-61.6143618E-4112.3888241.6E-49.676246E-66.1560204E-61.8615491E-430.239491.8E-41.1780193E-47.4947224E-53.1492923E-44.20201352.4E-40.0011773957.4924453E-40.00108898981.45345043.4E-4
7.51.489319E-67.353661E-71.0073529E-4136.986591.0E-46.3827797E-63.1515651E-61.1315122E-435.9031831.1E-47.770758E-53.8369635E-51.8836388E-44.90919161.5E-47.7680405E-43.8363054E-45.835538E-41.5211352.0E-4
7.61.0680322E-64.65941E-74.0465922E-586.847744.0E-54.577273E-61.9968884E-65.1996787E-526.0389045.0E-55.5726876E-52.4311848E-51.04309904E-44.29049638.0E-55.5712904E-42.4309216E-43.4306783E-41.41126671.0E-4
7.75.509146E-71.5578539E-71.01557835E-565.1908651.0E-52.3610605E-66.676515E-71.0667645E-515.9778641.0E-52.8745531E-58.128628E-61.8128547E-52.23020981.0E-52.8741814E-48.128342E-51.01281796E-41.24603262.0E-5

San Andreas (Mojave S)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.1064058E-46.7462435E-40.0028231744.18480870.002150.00133063760.0028881720.00555046041.92179020.002670.0160806050.0345655940.0380797761.1016670.003640.14965490.286545570.290048631.01222520.00491
6.13.1064058E-46.7462435E-40.0028231744.18480870.002150.00133063760.0028881720.00555046041.92179020.002670.0160806050.0345655940.0380797761.1016670.003640.14965490.286545570.290048631.01222520.00491
6.23.1064058E-46.7462435E-40.0028231744.18480870.002150.00133063760.0028881720.00555046041.92179020.002670.0160806050.0345655940.0380797761.1016670.003640.14965490.286545570.290048631.01222520.00491
6.33.1064058E-46.7462435E-40.0028231744.18480870.002150.00133063760.0028881720.00555046041.92179020.002670.0160806050.0345655940.0380797761.1016670.003640.14965490.286545570.290048631.01222520.00491
6.41.9872203E-44.3181062E-40.00236097725.4676220.001938.5138786E-40.00184933260.00425487572.3007630.002410.0103164780.022289310.025535311.14563040.003320.0985048560.196868390.200458391.01823560.00447
6.51.291105E-42.8754136E-40.00205703247.1538660.001775.5321335E-40.00123174090.00345899422.80821560.002230.0067145920.0148941550.017918431.20305110.003070.0651529650.138007920.1414991.02529610.00405
6.61.291105E-42.8754136E-40.00205703247.1538660.001775.5321335E-40.00123174090.00345899422.80821560.002230.0067145920.0148941550.017918431.20305110.003070.0651529650.138007920.1414991.02529610.00405
6.71.08001186E-42.4335351E-40.00200292518.2305170.001764.6278012E-40.00104252740.00325022343.11763860.002210.00561980160.01261920.0156109641.23708030.003030.0547979060.119184310.122663531.0291920.00395
6.81.0624356E-42.3853009E-40.00198811278.334850.001754.5525006E-40.00102187180.00321962383.1507120.00220.00552859250.0123705930.0153532341.24110730.003020.0539305660.117133080.120602751.02962160.00393
6.91.0393785E-42.3223337E-40.00197182928.4907230.001744.4537184E-49.949068E-40.00318272783.19902130.002190.00540892870.0120459630.0150197051.24686620.003010.052791560.1144334450.117896011.03025830.00391
7.01.0155622E-42.2592908E-40.00195553838.655540.001734.3516833E-49.6790853E-40.00314579863.2500990.002180.0052853110.0117208380.0146757931.25211120.002990.051613610.111697450.115152951.03093620.00389
7.19.885595E-52.188132E-40.00194843468.9045570.001734.2359953E-49.374342E-40.00311539073.32331660.002180.00514513530.0113537330.0143097851.26035950.002990.050276290.108576070.112043711.03193740.00389
7.29.6411415E-52.1244297E-40.00193207769.094570.001724.1312634E-49.101525E-40.00307817763.38204570.002170.0050182190.0110249870.0139622431.26641810.002970.0490640070.10576970.109230381.03271890.00387
7.39.1180635E-51.9472656E-40.00185440339.5231140.001663.907156E-48.342756E-40.0029225323.50307730.002090.0047465910.0101101120.0129708941.28296240.002890.0464647860.097961760.1013624441.03471450.00377
7.48.887388E-51.872126E-40.00184690189.8652640.001663.8083247E-48.020931E-40.00289041673.60359240.002090.00462678170.0097218550.0125738561.29335980.002880.0453162860.0945938450.097980071.03579750.00374
7.58.6750515E-51.80528E-40.001830230110.13820650.001653.7173493E-47.734621E-40.00285185343.68712740.002080.0045164840.0093763270.0122194161.303220.002870.044257870.091556060.094944551.03701010.00373
7.68.453092E-51.7440386E-40.001814117910.4018210.001643.6222505E-47.4723107E-40.00280569173.75478460.002060.00440117530.0090596640.0118838441.31173120.002850.043150240.088714470.092086231.03800680.0037
7.78.259102E-51.6962511E-40.00180934710.666740.001643.539135E-47.267622E-40.00278526523.83242940.002060.0043003860.00881250.0116274731.31942950.002840.0421811340.0864654260.0898363741.0389860.00369
7.87.444844E-51.528469E-40.00147264519.6347720.001323.1902574E-46.5489375E-40.00234378693.57888130.001690.00387722230.0079442310.0102755621.29346220.002350.038102690.0782938750.081114291.03602350.00306
7.95.2586525E-51.0007023E-48.099992E-48.0943077.1E-42.2535135E-44.2880196E-40.00136839893.19121439.4E-40.00274020060.0052081780.00646161571.24066720.001260.0270665740.0522015880.053784411.03032140.00167
8.03.379877E-55.4075565E-52.8406314E-45.25307752.3E-41.4484383E-42.3173184E-46.016461E-42.59630323.7E-40.00176204710.00281768660.00323650331.14863854.2E-40.0174814090.0288359170.0293797681.01886025.6E-4
8.11.8668277E-51.9308145E-54.9307564E-52.55371863.0E-58.000444E-58.274657E-51.2274327E-41.48336374.0E-59.736188E-40.00100697450.00105692411.04960375.0E-50.0096936420.0107986240.0108678681.00641237.0E-5
8.28.541571E-65.4596358E-65.4596358E-61.00.03.660622E-52.339823E-52.339823E-51.00.04.455896E-42.848363E-42.848363E-41.00.00.00444697170.0032402830.0032402831.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

Coyote Canyon

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.5090034E-54.0364317E-50.001080322326.7642920.001041.503772E-41.7297991E-40.00171271359.9012280.001540.00182930470.00210425330.00489836142.32783820.00280.0181431940.0208692050.0254613271.22004310.00469
6.13.5090034E-54.0364317E-50.001080322326.7642920.001041.503772E-41.7297991E-40.00171271359.9012280.001540.00182930470.00210425330.00489836142.32783820.00280.0181431940.0208692050.0254613271.22004310.00469
6.21.841879E-52.1059794E-55.2104925E-424.7414255.0E-47.8935285E-59.025371E-58.601842E-49.5307357.7E-49.606133E-40.00109838710.00263669552.40051580.001540.00956471450.0109396680.0134815531.23235490.00257
6.31.841879E-52.1059794E-55.2104925E-424.7414255.0E-47.8935285E-59.025371E-58.601842E-49.5307357.7E-49.606133E-40.00109838710.00263669552.40051580.001540.00956471450.0109396680.0134815531.23235490.00257
6.41.712201E-51.9565212E-54.9955584E-425.532864.8E-47.337798E-58.3848776E-58.1378757E-49.705427.3E-48.930107E-40.00102048130.00248898122.43902660.001470.0088943070.0101678710.0126028581.23947860.00246
6.51.4744935E-51.6836972E-54.1683024E-424.7568424.0E-46.3191044E-57.215698E-56.82113E-49.453186.1E-47.6907943E-48.782507E-40.00216711782.46753880.001290.0076642320.0087569940.0109674671.25242350.00223
6.61.2017839E-51.3724089E-52.8372038E-420.6731662.7E-45.150401E-55.88167E-54.887914E-48.3104194.3E-46.268809E-47.159466E-40.00174520922.43762470.001030.00625115450.00714509380.008952091.25290020.00182
6.71.00956095E-51.1533517E-52.6153063E-422.6757072.5E-44.326618E-54.942891E-54.3940963E-48.88972953.9E-45.266384E-46.017178E-40.00153115822.5446459.3E-40.0052539210.00600941250.0076196771.26795710.00162

San Andreas (Mojave N)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.877682E-51.9402112E-40.002453582612.6459570.002264.2326056E-48.312543E-40.00363891854.37762360.002810.00514102770.0100736840.0138057061.37047240.003770.050237080.098322450.102713621.04466090.00487
6.19.877682E-51.9402112E-40.002453582612.6459570.002264.2326056E-48.312543E-40.00363891854.37762360.002810.00514102770.0100736840.0138057061.37047240.003770.050237080.098322450.102713621.04466090.00487
6.29.877682E-51.9402112E-40.002453582612.6459570.002264.2326056E-48.312543E-40.00363891854.37762360.002810.00514102770.0100736840.0138057061.37047240.003770.050237080.098322450.102713621.04466090.00487
6.39.877682E-51.9402112E-40.002453582612.6459570.002264.2326056E-48.312543E-40.00363891854.37762360.002810.00514102770.0100736840.0138057061.37047240.003770.050237080.098322450.102713621.04466090.00487
6.49.877682E-51.9402112E-40.002453582612.6459570.002264.2326056E-48.312543E-40.00363891854.37762360.002810.00514102770.0100736840.0138057061.37047240.003770.050237080.098322450.102713621.04466090.00487
6.59.861474E-51.937588E-40.00245332112.6617260.002264.2256617E-48.3013077E-40.00363779814.3821990.002810.00513261320.01006013250.0137922061.37097660.003770.0501567460.098200350.102592111.04472240.00487
6.69.861474E-51.937588E-40.00245332112.6617260.002264.2256617E-48.3013077E-40.00363779814.3821990.002810.00513261320.01006013250.0137922061.37097660.003770.0501567460.098200350.102592111.04472240.00487
6.79.8552715E-51.9365833E-40.002453220512.6677780.002264.223004E-48.2970044E-40.0036373694.38395450.002810.00512939270.0100549410.0137870341.371170.003770.0501259980.098153560.102536531.04465430.00486
6.89.8464974E-51.9350994E-40.002453072712.6767260.002264.219245E-48.290649E-40.00363673534.38655040.002810.00512483760.0100472760.0137793971.37145610.003770.050082510.098083780.102467091.04468950.00486
6.99.825824E-51.9319002E-40.002452753512.6960670.002264.2103877E-48.276947E-40.00363536884.3921620.002810.00511410460.0100307460.013762931.37207440.003770.0499800220.0979329650.102317011.04476580.00486
7.09.781462E-51.9250368E-40.002452068712.7377760.002264.1913814E-48.247551E-40.00363243744.4042620.002810.0050910730.0099952850.01372760351.37340780.003770.049760070.097609120.1019857151.0448380.00485
7.19.7121134E-51.9152075E-40.002441089812.7458240.002254.1616702E-48.205452E-40.00361824764.40956540.00280.0050550680.00994449950.0136671081.37433850.003760.049416130.097145710.1015155241.04498210.00484
7.29.663819E-51.9082859E-40.002440399312.7884360.002254.1409794E-48.175807E-40.00361529164.42193840.00280.00502999360.0099087350.0136314781.37570320.003760.0491765370.096818830.1011902241.04515030.00484
7.39.6277574E-51.9035369E-40.002439925412.8178520.002254.125529E-48.1554666E-40.00361326314.430480.00280.00501126940.0098841950.0136070311.37664520.003760.048997590.096592280.100964771.04526760.00484
7.49.593308E-51.8975153E-40.002439324512.8553620.002254.1107697E-48.129676E-40.00361069134.4413720.00280.00499338240.0098530810.0135760331.37784660.003760.048826610.096309860.100683721.04541440.00484
7.59.561707E-51.8921228E-40.002428788512.8363150.002244.0972308E-48.106579E-40.00359839624.4388590.002790.00497697430.0098252150.013538371.37792110.003750.0486697440.0960562450.100422291.04545310.00483
7.69.418194E-51.8573487E-40.002415320613.0041310.002234.0357444E-47.95764E-40.00357355184.49071840.002780.0049024540.0096454990.0133494251.38400570.003740.0479570250.0944374650.098793221.04612310.00481
7.78.202141E-51.6022482E-40.00217990113.6052660.002023.51473E-46.8649714E-40.00317478794.6246190.002490.004270790.0083261280.0116680691.401380.003370.041896390.0822379140.086248531.04876850.00437
7.87.2859846E-51.4517571E-40.00146498410.091110.001323.1221908E-46.2203326E-40.0023109823.71520640.001690.0037946430.00754699860.0098594141.3064020.002330.0373049750.074727660.077531241.03751720.00303
7.95.3874453E-51.00462625E-48.103913E-48.0665957.1E-42.3087008E-44.3048308E-40.00137007843.18265349.4E-40.00280722020.00522854740.00648195951.23972480.001260.027720220.0524258840.054008331.03018450.00167
8.03.468538E-55.4261534E-52.8424905E-45.23852.3E-41.4864317E-42.3252872E-46.024427E-42.59083133.7E-40.00180822830.00282736360.0032461761.14812834.2E-40.0179358530.0289484620.029492251.01878485.6E-4
8.11.9152367E-51.9401303E-54.940072E-52.5462583.0E-58.207899E-58.3145795E-51.2314247E-41.48104264.0E-59.988535E-40.00101183050.00106177991.04936545.0E-50.0099437570.010855950.01092519051.0063787.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.473668E-65.473668E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3458366E-52.3458366E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.8556827E-42.8556827E-41.00.00.00450013950.00324817930.00324817931.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

Death Valley (So)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.0684236E-52.5618314E-50.001155589445.107940.001138.864371E-51.0978825E-40.00176960616.1183550.001660.00107870290.00133586920.00439178153.28758340.003060.0107348170.0132799850.0177892951.33955690.00457
6.12.0684236E-52.5618314E-50.001155589445.107940.001138.864371E-51.0978825E-40.00176960616.1183550.001660.00107870290.00133586920.00439178153.28758340.003060.0107348170.0132799850.0177892951.33955690.00457
6.22.0684236E-52.5618314E-50.001155589445.107940.001138.864371E-51.0978825E-40.00176960616.1183550.001660.00107870290.00133586920.00439178153.28758340.003060.0107348170.0132799850.0177892951.33955690.00457
6.32.0240292E-52.51184E-50.001105091343.9952930.001088.6741224E-51.0764593E-40.001697474715.7690560.001590.00105556260.0013098180.00421600653.21877260.002910.0105056280.0130225430.0173158941.32968620.00435
6.42.0240292E-52.51184E-50.001105091343.9952930.001088.6741224E-51.0764593E-40.001697474715.7690560.001590.00105556260.0013098180.00421600653.21877260.002910.0105056280.0130225430.0173158941.32968620.00435
6.51.9962767E-52.4807652E-50.001084781443.727690.001068.55519E-51.0631427E-40.001666148415.6719170.001560.00104109680.00129362440.00414992453.20798280.002860.0103623270.012862490.0170874371.32847050.00428
6.61.8937297E-52.3311462E-59.632895E-441.322579.4E-48.115732E-59.990252E-50.001509761715.1123480.001419.876423E-40.00121564910.0037825253.1115270.002570.0098326450.01209150350.0158949511.31455540.00385
6.71.8621096E-52.2912098E-59.128917E-439.843228.9E-47.980225E-59.8191085E-50.001448058514.7473520.001359.711593E-40.00119483540.00366188423.06476040.002470.0096692610.0118856250.015551531.30843170.00371
6.81.7830353E-52.1806083E-58.7178755E-439.9790958.5E-47.641356E-59.3451374E-50.001373331814.6956830.001289.29938E-40.00113719070.00344456383.02901170.002310.0092605610.011316090.0147468221.30317310.00347
6.91.3135183E-51.5304031E-56.1529485E-440.2047586.0E-45.6292425E-56.558709E-59.555287E-414.5688548.9E-46.8514474E-47.982367E-40.00239695963.00281790.00160.0068303620.0079551580.01026662251.29056170.00233
7.01.1507512E-51.3154237E-54.1314898E-431.4080524.0E-44.9316975E-55.637412E-56.96338E-412.3520876.4E-46.002687E-46.861445E-40.0018753282.73313860.001190.00598649870.00684149240.008579521.25404210.00175
7.19.715903E-61.0865287E-52.9086226E-426.7698632.8E-44.1638916E-54.6564706E-54.9654377E-410.6635224.5E-45.068359E-45.667821E-40.00130636272.30487637.4E-40.00505681480.0056538340.0066282931.17235379.8E-4
7.29.233269E-61.0286314E-52.0028435E-419.4709551.9E-43.9570554E-54.408348E-53.7406894E-48.4854673.3E-44.81665E-45.365884E-40.00111627722.0803235.8E-40.00480622330.00535335950.0061291841.14492297.8E-4
7.38.8041315E-69.808164E-61.5980669E-416.2932321.5E-43.7731446E-54.2034335E-53.2202256E-47.6609412.8E-44.592835E-45.1165203E-49.814115E-41.9181234.7E-40.00458335460.0051051670.00575184871.1266726.5E-4
7.48.708749E-69.707175E-61.5970571E-416.4523371.5E-43.7322676E-54.160154E-53.115903E-47.48987442.7E-44.5430884E-45.0638523E-49.5615734E-41.88820154.5E-40.0045338120.00505273980.0056696071.12208576.2E-4
7.58.612678E-69.604817E-61.5960338E-416.6170141.5E-43.6910955E-54.1162875E-52.911526E-47.07318352.5E-44.492982E-45.01047E-49.3083153E-41.8577734.3E-40.0044839090.00499959850.0055965991.11940976.0E-4
7.68.319024E-69.283916E-61.3928271E-415.0025821.3E-43.5652476E-53.978763E-52.6977848E-46.78046132.3E-44.3398244E-44.8431093E-48.841172E-41.82551574.0E-40.00433135870.00483297840.0053902721.11531055.6E-4
7.77.4718328E-68.34517E-61.3834408E-416.5777441.3E-43.2021748E-53.5764548E-52.357574E-46.59193042.0E-43.8979502E-44.353504E-47.652067E-41.757683.3E-40.003891120.00434538070.0048232951.10998214.8E-4
7.83.4586725E-73.6482615E-71.0364823E-528.4103071.0E-51.4822873E-61.5635396E-62.1563508E-513.7914692.0E-51.80467E-51.9035933E-54.9035363E-52.57593683.0E-51.8045233E-41.9034347E-42.2033777E-41.15757983.0E-5
7.92.5591178E-92.6696718E-92.6696718E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.14414505E-81.14414505E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3929966E-71.3929966E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3929966E-61.3929966E-61.00.0

Nelson Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.913453E-61.0192255E-58.701835E-485.376938.6E-44.2485535E-54.3680422E-50.001393621431.9049450.001355.1713863E-45.316897E-40.00300037655.6430970.002470.00515936830.0053052040.0093436651.76122630.00406
6.19.913453E-61.0192255E-58.701835E-485.376938.6E-44.2485535E-54.3680422E-50.001393621431.9049450.001355.1713863E-45.316897E-40.00300037655.6430970.002470.00515936830.0053052040.0093436651.76122630.00406
6.24.5596407E-64.696313E-63.8469452E-481.9141543.8E-41.954117E-52.0126909E-56.6011405E-432.797596.4E-42.3788778E-42.4501883E-40.00145472245.93718620.001210.00237633290.00244761280.00430306051.75806420.00186
6.34.5596407E-64.696313E-63.8469452E-481.9141543.8E-41.954117E-52.0126909E-56.6011405E-432.797596.4E-42.3788778E-42.4501883E-40.00145472245.93718620.001210.00237633290.00244761280.00430306051.75806420.00186
6.43.4025713E-63.5098972E-63.2350878E-492.170443.2E-41.4582367E-51.5042335E-55.4503436E-436.233365.3E-41.7752586E-41.8312587E-40.001142956.2413369.6E-40.0017738410.00182983270.0032871611.79642710.00146
6.52.8352947E-62.927856E-62.629271E-489.801922.6E-41.2151207E-51.2547898E-54.525424E-436.0651934.4E-41.479309E-41.5276071E-49.526385E-46.2361498.0E-40.00147832460.00152663080.00273478361.7913850.00121
6.62.251518E-62.3290677E-62.2232856E-495.458182.2E-49.649328E-69.981683E-63.7997798E-438.0675243.7E-41.1747423E-41.2152085E-48.2143577E-46.75962837.0E-40.00117412140.00121460580.00217343961.789429.6E-4
6.71.8911853E-61.9591396E-61.8195879E-492.8768841.8E-48.105055E-68.39629E-63.183937E-437.920763.1E-49.867457E-51.0222061E-46.7216234E-46.5756055.7E-49.863076E-40.00102179350.00184095561.80169068.2E-4
6.81.4874814E-61.5438305E-61.4154361E-491.683391.4E-46.374905E-66.6164025E-62.3661488E-435.7618642.3E-47.76117E-58.055224E-55.205168E-46.46185354.4E-47.75846E-48.0528157E-40.00140479841.7444816.0E-4
6.96.835972E-77.1399285E-77.071394E-599.040137.0E-52.9296991E-63.0599674E-61.1305963E-436.9479871.1E-43.56685E-53.7254784E-52.4724696E-46.63664962.1E-43.5662777E-43.7251666E-46.5241236E-41.75136422.8E-4

Towne Pass

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.849728E-63.894542E-69.0389105E-4232.091759.0E-41.649873E-51.6690812E-50.001446666986.674450.001432.0085352E-42.0319606E-40.002632702212.9564640.002430.00200672080.00203053190.0059026532.90694950.00388
6.13.849728E-63.894542E-69.0389105E-4232.091759.0E-41.649873E-51.6690812E-50.001446666986.674450.001432.0085352E-42.0319606E-40.002632702212.9564640.002430.00200672080.00203053190.0059026532.90694950.00388
6.23.849728E-63.894542E-69.0389105E-4232.091759.0E-41.649873E-51.6690812E-50.001446666986.674450.001432.0085352E-42.0319606E-40.002632702212.9564640.002430.00200672080.00203053190.0059026532.90694950.00388
6.33.849728E-63.894542E-69.0389105E-4232.091759.0E-41.649873E-51.6690812E-50.001446666986.674450.001432.0085352E-42.0319606E-40.002632702212.9564640.002430.00200672080.00203053190.0059026532.90694950.00388
6.43.849728E-63.894542E-69.0389105E-4232.091759.0E-41.649873E-51.6690812E-50.001446666986.674450.001432.0085352E-42.0319606E-40.002632702212.9564640.002430.00200672080.00203053190.0059026532.90694950.00388
6.51.1953545E-61.2030526E-61.3120289E-4109.058321.3E-45.1229376E-65.15593E-62.9515443E-457.2456252.9E-46.236998E-56.277176E-55.427416E-48.6462714.8E-46.235248E-46.2755204E-40.00134710012.14659527.2E-4
6.61.1953545E-61.2030526E-61.3120289E-4109.058321.3E-45.1229376E-65.15593E-62.9515443E-457.2456252.9E-46.236998E-56.277176E-55.427416E-48.6462714.8E-46.235248E-46.2755204E-40.00134710012.14659527.2E-4
6.78.375951E-78.410676E-76.0841016E-572.3378456.0E-53.5896885E-63.6045708E-61.5360404E-442.613681.5E-44.370358E-54.3884826E-53.338721E-47.6079172.9E-44.3694986E-44.3876728E-48.385918E-41.9112454.0E-4
6.86.38041E-76.3921624E-74.0639192E-563.5765954.0E-52.7344586E-62.7394954E-68.273928E-530.2023778.0E-53.3291526E-53.3352884E-52.3334622E-46.99628262.0E-43.3286537E-43.334826E-46.233859E-41.86932062.9E-4
6.95.3460053E-75.345339E-74.0534513E-575.831514.0E-52.2911431E-62.2908578E-67.22907E-531.5561717.0E-52.789431E-52.7890868E-51.9788613E-47.09501461.7E-42.789081E-42.78877E-45.288073E-41.89620262.5E-4
7.03.557783E-73.5324283E-72.0353236E-557.6182562.0E-51.5247632E-61.513897E-63.1513853E-520.8163783.0E-51.8563835E-51.8431549E-57.843044E-54.2552286.0E-51.8562283E-41.8430105E-42.9428076E-41.59673951.1E-4
7.13.037942E-73.0002275E-72.0300016E-567.661592.0E-51.3019744E-61.2858112E-63.1285774E-524.3315453.0E-51.5851423E-51.5654647E-57.5653705E-54.8326686.0E-51.5850292E-41.5653619E-42.465221E-41.57485699.0E-5
7.22.0808248E-72.0217735E-72.0202173E-599.9230352.0E-58.917818E-78.6647407E-73.086645E-535.623053.0E-51.0857389E-51.0549275E-56.0548748E-55.7396125.0E-51.0856859E-41.0548821E-41.7548082E-41.66351137.0E-5
7.31.1162073E-71.0636902E-71.0106368E-595.012321.0E-54.7837443E-74.5586717E-72.0455858E-544.872412.0E-55.8241935E-65.5501705E-64.554995E-58.2069454.0E-55.8240406E-55.550052E-51.1549719E-42.08101086.0E-5

Lenwood-Lockhart-Old Woman Springs

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.744542E-54.396349E-50.001313907729.8863370.001271.604705E-41.8840231E-40.00188808210.02154350.00170.00195197760.00229155710.004985372.1755380.00270.0193492060.0226972810.0263621661.1614680.00375
6.13.744542E-54.396349E-50.001313907729.8863370.001271.604705E-41.8840231E-40.00188808210.02154350.00170.00195197760.00229155710.004985372.1755380.00270.0193492060.0226972810.0263621661.1614680.00375
6.23.744542E-54.396349E-50.001313907729.8863370.001271.604705E-41.8840231E-40.00188808210.02154350.00170.00195197760.00229155710.004985372.1755380.00270.0193492060.0226972810.0263621661.1614680.00375
6.32.1079984E-52.5354384E-55.5534096E-421.9031525.3E-49.0339665E-51.0865723E-48.7857357E-48.0857347.7E-40.00109933040.00132211890.00244063811.8460050.001120.0109390790.0131447470.0147533211.12237390.00163
6.42.1079984E-52.5354384E-55.5534096E-421.9031525.3E-49.0339665E-51.0865723E-48.7857357E-48.0857347.7E-40.00109933040.00132211890.00244063811.8460050.001120.0109390790.0131447470.0147533211.12237390.00163
6.51.7397282E-52.0663285E-54.406546E-421.3254874.2E-47.455765E-58.8554E-56.485044E-47.3232655.6E-49.073613E-40.00107762350.00188675061.7508448.1E-40.0090366540.0107252730.0118728321.10699570.00116
6.61.52050325E-51.7680086E-53.776737E-421.3615323.6E-46.51628E-57.576964E-55.6573254E-47.46648034.9E-47.9306826E-49.221128E-40.0016314581.76926097.1E-40.0079024390.0091837290.0101844531.10896710.00101
6.71.332523E-51.5264379E-52.952601E-419.3430792.8E-45.7106878E-56.541716E-54.5539165E-46.9613483.9E-46.950544E-47.9616875E-40.00135572291.70280855.6E-40.0069288450.00793379450.0087572091.10378588.3E-4
6.81.1525329E-51.3031365E-51.9302902E-414.8126481.8E-44.9393333E-55.5847537E-53.1583302E-45.6552722.6E-46.011979E-46.7973585E-40.00108945721.60276544.1E-40.005995740.00677701920.00740274971.09233126.3E-4
6.91.0253909E-51.1514835E-51.5151322E-413.158091.4E-44.3944583E-54.934838E-52.6933753E-45.457882.2E-45.3489394E-46.006545E-49.404503E-41.56570923.4E-40.00533608250.00599068960.00652745461.08959985.4E-4
7.08.104563E-68.99143E-61.08990534E-412.1216011.0E-43.4733377E-53.853415E-52.1852722E-45.6710021.8E-44.2279682E-44.6905465E-47.289327E-41.55404642.6E-40.00421993340.00468089430.0051287881.09568554.5E-4
7.16.7986157E-67.5159796E-68.751538E-511.64390858.0E-52.91366E-53.2210955E-51.7220645E-45.3462071.4E-43.5468035E-43.9209996E-45.9202156E-41.5098742.0E-40.0035411480.0039142980.0042529671.0865213.4E-4
7.25.6893327E-66.280132E-66.6279754E-510.553886.0E-52.4382627E-52.6914584E-51.3691162E-45.08689361.1E-42.9681803E-43.276378E-44.7758865E-41.45767261.5E-40.0029642190.0032717460.00356079731.08834772.9E-4
7.34.253348E-64.707075E-64.4706885E-59.4978074.0E-51.8228506E-52.017303E-51.0017142E-44.96561058.0E-52.2190946E-42.455808E-43.6555133E-41.48851751.2E-40.002216880.00245327530.00267273561.08945612.2E-4
7.42.5448119E-62.8520594E-62.2852002E-58.0124572.0E-51.0906291E-51.2223064E-55.2222575E-54.2724624.0E-51.3277601E-41.4880729E-42.1879688E-41.4703377.0E-50.0013269670.00148723870.00161704541.08728031.3E-4
7.54.3706837E-84.562909E-84.562909E-81.00.01.8731501E-71.9555324E-71.9555324E-71.00.02.2805577E-62.3808586E-62.3808586E-61.00.02.2805343E-52.3808387E-52.3808387E-51.00.0

San Andreas (San Bernardino N)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.4273766E-43.160784E-40.00128577184.06788879.7E-46.115894E-40.00135392450.00263219141.94411980.001280.00742070840.0163609390.018101981.10641460.001770.071777480.150211630.152242621.01352080.00239
6.11.4273766E-43.160784E-40.00128577184.06788879.7E-46.115894E-40.00135392450.00263219141.94411980.001280.00742070840.0163609390.018101981.10641460.001770.071777480.150211630.152242621.01352080.00239
6.21.4273766E-43.160784E-40.00128577184.06788879.7E-46.115894E-40.00135392450.00263219141.94411980.001280.00742070840.0163609390.018101981.10641460.001770.071777480.150211630.152242621.01352080.00239
6.31.3730655E-43.0512668E-40.00127483074.17803769.7E-45.883239E-40.0013070360.0025853631.9780350.001280.00713934420.0157984550.0175404921.11026630.001770.069142910.14551350.147538651.01391710.00237
6.41.3730655E-43.0512668E-40.00127483074.17803769.7E-45.883239E-40.0013070360.0025853631.9780350.001280.00713934420.0157984550.0175404921.11026630.001770.069142910.14551350.147538651.01391710.00237
6.51.2942807E-42.8927144E-40.00125899084.3522829.7E-45.545738E-40.00123915090.00250757722.02362540.001270.00673105240.0149835480.0167171771.11570220.001760.065307880.138650880.140683671.01466120.00236
6.61.1125901E-42.5365927E-40.00122341324.82305779.7E-44.767372E-40.00108666050.00235528032.16744830.001270.0057888390.01315046850.0148774551.13132510.001750.0564034540.123004960.125048351.01661230.00233
6.71.02209575E-42.3500937E-40.00120478155.1265259.7E-44.3796748E-40.00100679570.0022555372.24031280.001250.00531922470.0121892670.0138784241.13857730.001710.0519369060.1147927640.1167933341.01742770.00226
6.89.610582E-52.2026796E-40.00117005875.3119799.5E-44.1181705E-49.436647E-40.0021725042.30219910.001230.00500235150.0114288590.0130995451.14618120.001690.0489123460.108204690.1101933941.01837910.00223
6.99.3877505E-52.1482339E-40.00115462155.37474739.4E-44.0227012E-49.203475E-40.00213922472.32436630.001220.00488664540.0111479070.0128091791.14902090.001680.047805770.1057982740.107774461.01867880.00221
7.09.1019785E-52.0809306E-40.00113789965.46822459.3E-43.900265E-48.915232E-40.00210044442.35601780.001210.00473823770.01080049950.0124524631.15295240.001670.0463847440.102768150.1047420651.01920740.0022
7.18.771155E-51.9983841E-40.00112965265.652839.3E-43.758525E-48.5616973E-40.00206513382.41206120.001210.00456640640.0103742430.0120269181.15930560.001670.0447370560.099076440.101058471.02000510.0022
7.28.0830236E-51.8389444E-40.00110372536.00195039.2E-43.4636928E-47.8788114E-40.00198693572.52187230.00120.00420889440.0095503680.011184611.17111830.001650.0413006580.091805180.093785051.02156590.00218
7.37.7668235E-51.7333007E-40.00108317246.24918849.1E-43.328214E-47.426318E-40.00192175552.58776350.001180.00404457330.0090041380.0106194621.17939780.001630.039717480.087067610.089030421.02254340.00215
7.47.520177E-51.655312E-40.00107538066.49654349.1E-43.2225347E-47.092266E-40.00188838972.66260430.001180.00391637950.0086007140.010206781.18673650.001620.0384807440.083521570.08546451.02326260.00212
7.57.274697E-51.584075E-40.00106826336.74376739.1E-43.1173544E-46.7871273E-40.00185791182.73740530.001180.0037887750.0082320760.009838741.19517120.001620.037248270.080236540.082186441.02430190.00212
7.67.1185845E-51.5410586E-40.00106396566.9041229.1E-43.0504653E-46.602866E-40.0018295142.7707880.001170.00370761780.00800940950.0096065141.19940350.001610.0364636670.078226610.0801715551.02486290.00211
7.76.709961E-51.4319421E-40.00105306397.35409559.1E-42.8753807E-46.135452E-40.00178282732.905780.001170.0034951570.00744436630.0090324551.21332760.00160.0344069380.073055580.075002161.02664520.0021
7.86.300812E-51.320343E-40.00104191417.8912389.1E-42.7000686E-45.657386E-40.00173507673.0669230.001170.00328237870.0068661430.0084551571.23142740.00160.0323431750.067713850.0696716461.02891290.0021
7.94.983037E-59.7241085E-58.0717204E-48.3007317.1E-42.1354125E-44.1668097E-40.00135628933.25498279.4E-40.00259676480.00506130050.00630497371.2457220.001250.0256662960.0506505070.0522169361.03092620.00165
8.03.2211527E-55.3306234E-52.8329398E-45.31446272.3E-41.380421E-42.2843528E-45.983508E-42.61934473.7E-40.00167936690.00277765420.00319648771.15078684.2E-40.0166673230.0283625680.0289066861.01918445.6E-4
8.11.743376E-51.8823403E-54.8822836E-52.59373073.0E-57.471398E-58.066923E-51.20666E-41.4958124.0E-59.0926304E-49.81706E-40.00103165691.05088175.0E-50.0090555170.0104839790.0105532451.00660687.0E-5
8.27.831616E-65.1540533E-65.1540533E-61.00.03.3563636E-52.2088612E-52.2088612E-51.00.04.0856065E-42.6889573E-42.6889573E-41.00.00.0040781030.00304136680.00304136681.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

Bicycle Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.9621975E-52.2097078E-54.5208758E-420.4591564.3E-48.4091465E-59.4699084E-57.646356E-48.0743726.7E-40.00102333270.00115248650.00261080382.2653660.001460.010186330.0114784080.0137618931.19893740.00231
6.11.9621975E-52.2097078E-54.5208758E-420.4591564.3E-48.4091465E-59.4699084E-57.646356E-48.0743726.7E-40.00102333270.00115248650.00261080382.2653660.001460.010186330.0114784080.0137618931.19893740.00231
6.29.9971285E-61.125564E-52.4125304E-421.4339712.3E-44.2844134E-54.8237856E-53.8822147E-48.0480663.4E-45.2150246E-45.871897E-40.00141670232.41268258.3E-40.00520280330.0058614870.0072135151.23066310.00136
6.39.589428E-61.0798346E-52.2079608E-420.4472122.1E-44.10969E-54.62781E-53.662633E-47.9143983.2E-45.002399E-45.6334207E-40.00137288582.43703758.1E-40.00499115330.00562422960.0069268621.23161080.00131
6.49.589428E-61.0798346E-52.2079608E-420.4472122.1E-44.10969E-54.62781E-53.662633E-47.9143983.2E-45.002399E-45.6334207E-40.00137288582.43703758.1E-40.00499115330.00562422960.0069268621.23161080.00131
6.55.557707E-66.2856016E-61.1628491E-418.5002041.1E-42.3818526E-52.6938165E-52.2693278E-48.4242112.0E-42.8995197E-43.279497E-48.3778246E-42.55460675.1E-40.00289573940.00327729340.00409460631.24938648.2E-4
6.64.8742945E-65.5132896E-69.551279E-517.3241029.0E-52.0889667E-52.3628318E-51.7362478E-47.34816461.5E-42.54302E-42.87663E-47.175393E-42.49437484.3E-40.0025401120.00287547520.003553521.23580276.8E-4
6.73.991108E-64.5159104E-68.451555E-518.7150638.0E-51.7104636E-51.9353902E-51.2935177E-46.68349841.1E-42.0822904E-42.3563375E-45.9554895E-42.52743483.6E-40.00208034040.00235633740.00294494721.24979855.9E-4

Paradise

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.4851273E-51.6694768E-54.6668726E-427.9541024.5E-46.364676E-57.154718E-57.315E-410.2240226.6E-47.7462377E-48.707624E-40.00219960422.5260670.001330.00771929140.0086758840.0108567981.25137650.0022
6.11.4851273E-51.6694768E-54.6668726E-427.9541024.5E-46.364676E-57.154718E-57.315E-410.2240226.6E-47.7462377E-48.707624E-40.00219960422.5260670.001330.00771929140.0086758840.0108567981.25137650.0022
6.21.4851273E-51.6694768E-54.6668726E-427.9541024.5E-46.364676E-57.154718E-57.315E-410.2240226.6E-47.7462377E-48.707624E-40.00219960422.5260670.001330.00771929140.0086758840.0108567981.25137650.0022
6.31.0426831E-51.1888697E-52.0188643E-416.9813751.9E-44.4685654E-55.09506E-53.3093634E-46.49523932.8E-45.43912E-46.201529E-40.00124976232.01524856.3E-40.00542582660.00618483170.0072482141.17193390.00107
6.41.0426831E-51.1888697E-52.0188643E-416.9813751.9E-44.4685654E-55.09506E-53.3093634E-46.49523932.8E-45.43912E-46.201529E-40.00124976232.01524856.3E-40.00542582660.00618483170.0072482141.17193390.00107
6.59.25027E-61.0620037E-51.7061834E-416.06571.6E-43.964341E-54.551368E-52.755032E-46.0531962.3E-44.8255164E-45.5399304E-40.00106371051.92007915.1E-40.00481505130.00552661950.0062923641.13855567.7E-4
6.67.904275E-69.159602E-61.3915841E-415.1926261.3E-43.3875025E-53.925487E-51.8924898E-44.8210321.5E-44.1235037E-44.7782718E-47.3770294E-41.54386972.6E-40.00411586040.0047683950.00520629671.09183424.4E-4
6.77.2061953E-68.407326E-61.2840632E-415.2731471.2E-43.088333E-53.603092E-51.7602587E-44.88541171.4E-43.7593965E-44.3859181E-46.5849535E-41.50138532.2E-40.0037530430.0043776310.0047360551.08187633.6E-4
6.86.6948724E-67.842242E-61.278413E-416.3016261.2E-42.8691995E-53.3609194E-51.736045E-45.16538671.4E-43.4926904E-44.091187E-46.1903277E-41.51308852.1E-40.0034872060.00408401250.0043927471.07559573.1E-4
6.96.0421025E-67.1306963E-61.07129985E-415.0237761.0E-42.5894467E-53.0559786E-51.4055643E-44.59939151.1E-43.1521954E-43.7200528E-45.219495E-41.40307011.5E-40.00314772780.00371416380.0039333471.05901282.2E-4
7.04.134091E-65.0803824E-64.5080178E-58.8733834.0E-51.7717413E-52.1772896E-57.177181E-53.29638315.0E-52.1568815E-42.650543E-43.450331E-41.30174498.0E-50.00215478920.00264753470.00276721691.04520521.2E-4
7.13.7674888E-64.631936E-64.463175E-59.6356584.0E-51.6146281E-51.9851012E-56.985002E-53.51871325.0E-51.9656324E-42.4166079E-43.1164387E-41.28959237.0E-50.00196389460.00241413060.00250391341.03719069.0E-5
7.23.4065345E-64.156782E-62.41567E-55.8113942.0E-51.4599351E-51.7814667E-54.7814134E-52.68397573.0E-51.777326E-42.168735E-42.6686265E-41.23049915.0E-50.00177590530.00216676670.00221665831.02302595.0E-5
7.32.9934936E-63.6293673E-62.3629294E-56.51058242.0E-51.2829195E-51.5554348E-54.555388E-52.92869143.0E-51.5618425E-41.8935918E-42.3934973E-41.26399845.0E-50.00156074530.00189212370.00194202911.02637535.0E-5
7.42.4049796E-62.8890186E-62.288896E-57.9227462.0E-51.0307015E-51.2381457E-54.2381085E-53.42294813.0E-51.2548068E-41.5073526E-42.0072772E-41.33165745.0E-50.00125409850.00150647150.00155639631.03314025.0E-5
7.51.2710091E-61.5134859E-61.1513471E-57.60725361.0E-55.44717E-66.4863593E-62.648623E-54.0833742.0E-56.631728E-57.896981E-51.1896665E-41.50648274.0E-56.6297496E-47.895401E-48.295085E-41.05062234.0E-5
7.62.21172E-72.6040198E-72.6040198E-71.00.09.478797E-71.1160082E-61.1160082E-61.00.01.1540374E-51.3587343E-51.3587343E-51.00.01.1539775E-41.3586794E-41.3586794E-41.00.0

Garlic Springs

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6760017E-51.8776833E-52.487725E-413.2489072.3E-47.182667E-58.0470316E-55.004365E-46.2188964.2E-48.7413884E-49.794032E-40.00206833572.11183260.001090.0087070830.0097624130.0116141571.1896810.00187
6.19.852767E-61.0973587E-51.2097238E-411.0239591.1E-44.222546E-54.702921E-52.770184E-45.89034752.3E-45.139737E-45.7250116E-40.00120214052.09980446.3E-40.0051278660.0057172210.0068407611.19651840.00113
6.29.852767E-61.0973587E-51.2097238E-411.0239591.1E-44.222546E-54.702921E-52.770184E-45.89034752.3E-45.139737E-45.7250116E-40.00120214052.09980446.3E-40.0051278660.0057172210.0068407611.19651840.00113
6.34.3167724E-64.7780286E-64.4777837E-59.37161354.0E-51.8500323E-52.0477235E-51.004756E-44.90669788.0E-52.2521814E-42.4930484E-44.6925E-41.88223372.2E-40.00224990030.002492510.00287156271.15207673.8E-4
6.44.3167724E-64.7780286E-64.4777837E-59.37161354.0E-51.8500323E-52.0477235E-51.004756E-44.90669788.0E-52.2521814E-42.4930484E-44.6925E-41.88223372.2E-40.00224990030.002492510.00287156271.15207673.8E-4
6.54.3167724E-64.7780286E-64.4777837E-59.37161354.0E-51.8500323E-52.0477235E-51.004756E-44.90669788.0E-52.2521814E-42.4930484E-44.6925E-41.88223372.2E-40.00224990030.002492510.00287156271.15207673.8E-4
6.64.301311E-64.760897E-64.4760705E-59.4017384.0E-51.8434059E-52.0403815E-51.0040218E-44.92075548.0E-52.2441156E-42.4841115E-44.683565E-41.88540852.2E-40.00224185060.0024835930.00286264931.15262413.8E-4
6.73.8599724E-64.27106E-64.4270888E-510.3653174.0E-51.6542634E-51.8304541E-59.830308E-55.370428.0E-52.0138794E-42.228578E-44.2281323E-41.89723322.0E-40.00201205540.0022285780.00255784251.14774643.3E-4

Death Valley (Black Mtns Frontal)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6707214E-51.867027E-54.0866298E-421.8884373.9E-47.160038E-58.001303E-57.099626E-48.8730886.3E-48.71386E-49.737309E-40.00196276672.0157189.9E-40.008679770.0096954960.0110621171.14095410.00138
6.11.6707214E-51.867027E-54.0866298E-421.8884373.9E-47.160038E-58.001303E-57.099626E-48.8730886.3E-48.71386E-49.737309E-40.00196276672.0157189.9E-40.008679770.0096954960.0110621171.14095410.00138
6.21.6707214E-51.867027E-54.0866298E-421.8884373.9E-47.160038E-58.001303E-57.099626E-48.8730886.3E-48.71386E-49.737309E-40.00196276672.0157189.9E-40.008679770.0096954960.0110621171.14095410.00138
6.31.6707214E-51.867027E-54.0866298E-421.8884373.9E-47.160038E-58.001303E-57.099626E-48.8730886.3E-48.71386E-49.737309E-40.00196276672.0157189.9E-40.008679770.0096954960.0110621171.14095410.00138
6.41.5515609E-51.7338214E-53.5733232E-420.6095243.4E-46.649377E-57.4304546E-56.142644E-48.2668495.4E-48.0926094E-49.042885E-40.00177350171.96121248.7E-40.0080632020.0090067730.0101860551.13093280.00119
6.51.5515609E-51.7338214E-53.5733232E-420.6095243.4E-46.649377E-57.4304546E-56.142644E-48.2668495.4E-48.0926094E-49.042885E-40.00177350171.96121248.7E-40.0080632020.0090067730.0101860551.13093280.00119
6.61.5041828E-51.6809145E-53.468036E-420.6318423.3E-46.4463384E-57.203723E-56.0199905E-48.3567765.3E-47.8455906E-48.767063E-40.00171596991.95729168.4E-40.007817950.0087331320.0098532641.12826230.00113
6.71.4634985E-51.6356016E-53.4635063E-421.1757323.3E-46.271985E-57.009536E-55.900589E-48.4179455.2E-47.6334673E-48.5308263E-40.00166239171.94868778.1E-40.0076072990.0084987150.0095794521.12716470.00109
6.81.4209158E-51.5882048E-53.158773E-419.8889523.0E-46.089497E-56.8064175E-55.380322E-47.9047784.7E-47.4114406E-48.2837185E-40.00156775891.89257867.4E-40.0073867710.0082534560.0092452031.12016140.001
6.91.3780098E-51.5404594E-52.9540027E-419.1761172.8E-45.9056227E-56.6018045E-55.1598833E-47.81586844.5E-47.1877235E-48.0347876E-40.00152290021.89538347.2E-40.00716451930.0080063320.0089685671.12018419.7E-4
7.01.3585064E-51.5188155E-52.951839E-419.4351392.8E-45.8220405E-56.50905E-55.050619E-47.7593794.4E-47.086029E-47.9219416E-40.00150163171.89553497.1E-40.0070634760.0078942930.0088268731.11813339.4E-4
7.11.3398601E-51.49813395E-52.849773E-419.022152.7E-45.742131E-56.420419E-54.941766E-47.69695234.3E-46.9888023E-47.8141113E-40.00148086411.89511537.0E-40.00696686380.0077872240.0086901371.11594819.1E-4
7.21.3126312E-51.4679561E-52.1467662E-414.6241862.0E-45.6254412E-56.291092E-54.0288953E-46.40412763.4E-46.846822E-47.6567667E-40.0013552251.76997025.9E-40.0068257650.007630970.0084248651.1040368.0E-4
7.31.2922429E-51.4453788E-52.0445105E-414.1451531.9E-45.5380664E-56.194336E-53.9192292E-46.3271173.3E-46.74051E-47.53905E-40.00130349031.7289855.5E-40.0067201010.0075140550.0082683441.10038387.6E-4
7.41.2768878E-51.4283772E-52.0428105E-414.301621.9E-45.4722615E-56.1214756E-53.9119457E-46.3905273.3E-46.660441E-47.4504025E-40.0012846381.7242535.4E-40.00664051440.00742600350.0081704341.10024647.5E-4
7.51.2521929E-51.40120155E-52.0400935E-414.5596011.9E-45.366431E-56.005014E-53.700315E-46.16204263.1E-46.531671E-47.3087064E-40.00125049051.71096015.2E-40.0065125060.00728524570.0080099271.09947257.3E-4
7.61.1301089E-51.2648149E-51.8264599E-414.4405321.7E-44.8432343E-55.4205255E-53.4418952E-46.3497452.9E-45.895042E-46.5975444E-40.00112944431.71191624.7E-40.00587942820.006578510.00723416821.09966676.6E-4
7.79.189108E-61.0283358E-51.6028182E-415.5865241.5E-43.93813E-54.407082E-52.7406067E-46.21864272.3E-44.7936183E-45.3643517E-48.9624204E-41.67073693.6E-40.0047832910.0053519140.00585918451.09478315.1E-4
7.83.4586725E-73.6482615E-71.0364823E-528.4103071.0E-51.4822873E-61.5635396E-62.1563508E-513.7914692.0E-51.80467E-51.9035933E-54.9035363E-52.57593683.0E-51.8045233E-41.9034347E-42.2033777E-41.15757983.0E-5
7.92.5591178E-92.6696718E-92.6696718E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.14414505E-81.14414505E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3929966E-71.3929966E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3929966E-61.3929966E-61.00.0

San Andreas (San Bernardino S)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2336002E-43.0005194E-46.9993193E-42.33270264.0E-45.2857865E-40.00128532920.00190453231.48174676.2E-40.0064164720.0155415540.0164669451.0595439.4E-40.062343370.142946990.144061161.00779430.0013
6.11.2336002E-43.0005194E-46.9993193E-42.33270264.0E-45.2857865E-40.00128532920.00190453231.48174676.2E-40.0064164720.0155415540.0164669451.0595439.4E-40.062343370.142946990.144061161.00779430.0013
6.21.2336002E-43.0005194E-46.9993193E-42.33270264.0E-45.2857865E-40.00128532920.00190453231.48174676.2E-40.0064164720.0155415540.0164669451.0595439.4E-40.062343370.142946990.144061161.00779430.0013
6.31.1712257E-42.8793467E-46.778224E-42.3540843.9E-45.018573E-40.00123344780.00184269541.49393876.1E-40.0060930080.0149186660.0158347921.0614089.3E-40.0592863220.137657790.138761581.00801840.00128
6.41.1712257E-42.8793467E-46.778224E-42.3540843.9E-45.018573E-40.00123344780.00184269541.49393876.1E-40.0060930080.0149186660.0158347921.0614089.3E-40.0592863220.137657790.138761581.00801840.00128
6.51.0689076E-42.6806415E-46.4796227E-42.4171913.8E-44.5802278E-40.00114836530.00174767631.52188186.0E-40.00556217830.0138963350.0148035511.06528459.2E-40.054250030.12889890.12999651.00851510.00126
6.69.7648895E-52.505129E-46.204202E-42.47659973.7E-44.1842813E-40.00107320860.00166257541.54916335.9E-40.0050824690.0129923990.0138807051.06837139.0E-40.0496778860.1210777460.122150031.00885620.00122
6.78.757013E-52.3122175E-45.911385E-42.5565873.6E-43.7524657E-49.905964E-40.00157002171.58492595.8E-40.004559060.0119979020.0128772241.07328968.9E-40.044666560.1123730240.1134470551.00955770.00121
6.88.562978E-52.2682057E-45.867389E-42.58679773.6E-43.6693315E-49.7174826E-40.00155118471.59628245.8E-40.0044582630.0117709210.0126504451.074728.9E-40.0436987580.110378630.1114550751.00975230.00121
6.96.124075E-51.7066885E-45.306074E-43.1089883.6E-42.6243398E-47.312337E-40.00125085341.71060695.2E-40.00319045270.0088666360.0096595431.08942598.0E-40.0314503460.084202620.085200841.0118550.00109
7.05.8598747E-51.6495936E-45.149016E-43.12138493.5E-42.5111332E-47.067779E-40.00121641741.72107455.1E-40.00305301860.0085712650.00935449451.09137857.9E-40.030114140.081515620.082507581.0121690.00108
7.15.613814E-51.5914452E-45.090888E-43.1989093.5E-42.4056983E-46.818704E-40.00119152271.74743275.1E-40.00292500390.0082703530.0090538191.09473197.9E-40.0288680210.078812680.0797983561.01250650.00107
7.24.991222E-51.4520933E-44.951585E-43.40996363.5E-42.1389198E-46.221777E-40.00113186031.81919165.1E-40.0026010250.00754880630.0083328431.10386237.9E-40.0257079120.072261910.073245311.01360880.00106
7.34.7410045E-51.371513E-44.7710468E-43.4786743.4E-42.0317009E-45.8765925E-40.00107737131.83332664.9E-40.00247078970.00713136560.0078958751.10720377.7E-40.0244349820.0685419440.069510661.01413320.00104
7.44.5556746E-51.3123035E-44.7118572E-43.59052423.4E-41.952286E-45.6229485E-40.00105201931.87093894.9E-40.0023743170.00682452930.0075793431.1106037.6E-40.0234910860.065791430.066734981.01434160.00101
7.54.3084514E-51.2358342E-44.635414E-43.7508383.4E-41.8463485E-45.2953605E-40.00101927661.92484834.9E-40.00224561150.00642811460.0071832291.11747067.6E-40.0222305450.0621902830.063137471.01523050.00101
7.63.408608E-59.836477E-54.283323E-44.354533.3E-41.4607502E-44.214953E-48.912972E-42.11460784.7E-40.00177701250.0051196560.00585586761.1438017.4E-40.0176286960.050022440.0509439151.01842139.7E-4
7.72.8315713E-58.2495724E-54.124685E-44.99987753.3E-41.2134742E-43.5350522E-48.233391E-42.32907184.7E-40.00147640340.0042954420.00503226281.17153567.4E-40.014666330.0422724150.0432014131.02197649.7E-4
7.82.6222975E-57.463898E-54.0461434E-45.42095233.3E-41.1237934E-43.1984213E-47.896918E-42.46900494.7E-40.00136735970.0038871310.00462425451.18963187.4E-40.0135897680.0384374750.039370191.02426589.7E-4
7.92.1469694E-55.7884805E-53.6786686E-46.3551543.1E-49.200973E-52.4805416E-46.979425E-42.813674.5E-40.00111964280.003015880.00369382931.22479326.8E-40.0111401840.0301532650.0310067311.02830428.8E-4
8.01.2420249E-53.1321662E-51.7131728E-45.46960971.4E-45.322855E-51.342288E-43.8419524E-42.86224152.5E-46.478649E-40.00163301160.0019225381.1772962.9E-40.00645979350.016523690.0168875771.02202213.7E-4
8.14.9197724E-67.822525E-67.822525E-61.00.02.1084568E-53.3524673E-53.3524673E-51.00.02.566744E-44.080866E-44.080866E-41.00.00.0025637810.0043845570.0043845571.00.0
8.22.5634774E-62.9065757E-62.9065757E-61.00.01.0986286E-51.2456694E-51.2456694E-51.00.01.3374983E-41.5164974E-41.5164974E-41.00.00.00133669340.0017049410.0017049411.00.0
8.35.2850464E-73.2080476E-73.2080476E-71.00.02.2650179E-61.3748769E-61.3748769E-61.00.02.7576245E-51.673901E-51.673901E-51.00.02.7572823E-41.986671E-41.986671E-41.00.0

Helendale-So Lockhart

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.7296055E-51.8103729E-53.3809795E-418.6755963.2E-47.412385E-57.7585224E-55.5754796E-47.18626554.8E-49.0208417E-49.4421144E-40.00173346551.8358877.9E-40.0089843110.0094041160.0106027381.1274570.00121
6.11.7296055E-51.8103729E-53.3809795E-418.6755963.2E-47.412385E-57.7585224E-55.5754796E-47.18626554.8E-49.0208417E-49.4421144E-40.00173346551.8358877.9E-40.0089843110.0094041160.0106027381.1274570.00121
6.21.7296055E-51.8103729E-53.3809795E-418.6755963.2E-47.412385E-57.7585224E-55.5754796E-47.18626554.8E-49.0208417E-49.4421144E-40.00173346551.8358877.9E-40.0089843110.0094041160.0106027381.1274570.00121
6.31.0669118E-51.1135425E-52.111332E-418.9604992.0E-44.5723988E-54.772239E-53.3770854E-47.07652242.9E-45.5654737E-45.80868E-40.00108057761.86028085.0E-40.00555155570.00579379360.00654939051.13041487.6E-4
6.41.0669118E-51.1135425E-52.111332E-418.9604992.0E-44.5723988E-54.772239E-53.3770854E-47.07652242.9E-45.5654737E-45.80868E-40.00108057761.86028085.0E-40.00555155570.00579379360.00654939051.13041487.6E-4
6.58.790038E-69.170197E-61.7916864E-419.5381451.7E-43.767105E-53.930026E-52.7929083E-47.106592.4E-44.585485E-44.7837716E-48.981762E-41.87754834.2E-40.00457603440.0047736380.00542053531.13551456.5E-4
6.67.396949E-67.715537E-61.5771438E-420.4411411.5E-43.1700827E-53.3066175E-52.530589E-47.65310532.2E-43.858892E-44.025073E-47.623624E-41.89403373.6E-40.0038521980.004017890.004575641.13881665.6E-4
6.76.4600285E-66.738031E-61.3673716E-420.293341.3E-42.7685543E-52.887696E-52.2887118E-47.9257372.0E-43.3701936E-43.5152107E-46.614121E-41.88157183.1E-40.00336508690.0035097320.00399801231.13912184.9E-4
6.85.600104E-65.836009E-67.5835604E-512.9944287.0E-52.4000226E-52.5011232E-51.4500823E-45.79772421.2E-42.9216358E-43.044698E-44.7441805E-41.55817771.7E-40.00291779750.0030405880.0033596151.10492283.2E-4
6.94.839122E-65.0395092E-66.503921E-512.9058616.0E-52.0738931E-52.159772E-51.2159556E-45.6300181.0E-42.5246723E-42.6292098E-44.0288418E-41.53233931.4E-40.0025218060.0026261470.00290541141.106342.8E-4
7.03.6937633E-63.845208E-66.384498E-516.6037776.0E-51.5830317E-51.647936E-51.0647788E-46.4612879.0E-51.9271708E-42.0061806E-43.3059198E-41.64786761.3E-40.00192550030.0020044010.00227385971.13443362.7E-4
7.12.7858857E-62.8978538E-65.289771E-518.2540995.0E-51.1939455E-51.2419316E-59.241832E-57.44149888.0E-51.4535317E-41.511949E-42.5117976E-41.6612981.0E-40.00145258140.00151094180.00172062451.13877622.1E-4
7.22.1672065E-62.2540128E-64.2253923E-518.7460884.0E-59.2879945E-69.66002E-67.9659345E-58.2462927.0E-51.1307546E-41.1760458E-41.9759517E-41.68016568.0E-50.00113017940.00117544170.00135523011.1529541.8E-4
7.31.4823496E-61.5422102E-62.1542179E-513.9683812.0E-56.3529114E-66.6094562E-64.660919E-57.05189474.0E-57.734395E-58.046731E-51.3046329E-41.62132045.0E-57.731704E-48.0439687E-49.0431643E-41.12421681.0E-4
7.44.2321457E-74.4108765E-71.0441083E-523.671221.0E-51.8137755E-61.8903745E-61.1890355E-56.2899471.0E-52.2082493E-52.3015113E-53.3014883E-51.43448711.0E-52.2080299E-42.3013182E-42.5012722E-41.08688682.0E-5
7.55.6942316E-85.9415648E-85.9415648E-81.00.02.440385E-72.5463845E-72.5463845E-71.00.02.9711643E-63.1002196E-63.1002196E-61.00.02.9711247E-53.1001844E-53.1001844E-51.00.0

Coyote Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.980352E-52.1706745E-51.7170349E-47.91014431.5E-48.486947E-59.302599E-53.4300273E-43.68717072.5E-40.00103279590.00113207510.00172140721.52057685.9E-40.0102800910.0112702580.0122095511.08334279.5E-4
6.11.980352E-52.1706745E-51.7170349E-47.91014431.5E-48.486947E-59.302599E-53.4300273E-43.68717072.5E-40.00103279590.00113207510.00172140721.52057685.9E-40.0102800910.0112702580.0122095511.08334279.5E-4
6.21.980352E-52.1706745E-51.7170349E-47.91014431.5E-48.486947E-59.302599E-53.4300273E-43.68717072.5E-40.00103279590.00113207510.00172140721.52057685.9E-40.0102800910.0112702580.0122095511.08334279.5E-4
6.31.5344787E-51.682067E-51.3681865E-48.133961.2E-46.576172E-57.2086936E-52.7207253E-43.77422792.0E-48.003548E-48.773662E-40.00132697151.51244874.5E-40.0079747840.008745070.009488511.08501267.5E-4
6.41.5344787E-51.682067E-51.3681865E-48.133961.2E-46.576172E-57.2086936E-52.7207253E-43.77422792.0E-48.003548E-48.773662E-40.00132697151.51244874.5E-40.0079747840.008745070.009488511.08501267.5E-4
6.51.4189697E-51.5557987E-51.3555613E-48.712961.2E-46.081157E-56.6675726E-52.5666304E-43.8494231.9E-47.401293E-48.115349E-40.00125117771.54174244.4E-40.00737669130.0080916560.0087859921.08580897.0E-4
6.61.3469301E-51.4771577E-51.347698E-49.12358951.2E-45.7724297E-56.330556E-52.5329355E-44.00112631.9E-47.025667E-47.7053264E-40.00121019361.57059364.4E-40.00700349640.00768451440.0083791351.09039227.0E-4
6.71.3027966E-51.4281745E-51.3428002E-49.4022151.2E-45.5832945E-56.120638E-52.5119475E-44.10406161.9E-46.7955407E-47.4499263E-40.00116467981.5633444.2E-40.0067747980.00743082860.0080759991.08682356.5E-4
6.85.695434E-66.2244176E-67.622398E-512.2459627.0E-52.4408775E-52.6675973E-51.16673575E-44.37373269.0E-52.971363E-43.2476155E-44.7471284E-41.46172741.5E-40.00296739330.00324581050.00345512881.06448882.1E-4
6.94.385688E-64.7930553E-65.4792818E-511.4317095.0E-51.879567E-52.0541665E-59.054023E-54.4076387.0E-52.2881327E-42.5009477E-43.6006726E-41.43972331.1E-40.0022857780.00250094780.00266054761.06381571.6E-4

Death Valley (No)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.0074807E-52.2500084E-52.624947E-411.6663872.4E-48.603206E-59.642541E-54.6638973E-44.8367933.7E-40.0010469370.00117335450.00177265051.51075456.0E-40.0104201830.0116725060.0125027021.0711248.4E-4
6.12.0074807E-52.2500084E-52.624947E-411.6663872.4E-48.603206E-59.642541E-54.6638973E-44.8367933.7E-40.0010469370.00117335450.00177265051.51075456.0E-40.0104201830.0116725060.0125027021.0711248.4E-4
6.22.0074807E-52.2500084E-52.624947E-411.6663872.4E-48.603206E-59.642541E-54.6638973E-44.8367933.7E-40.0010469370.00117335450.00177265051.51075456.0E-40.0104201830.0116725060.0125027021.0711248.4E-4
6.31.9050609E-52.1336948E-52.6133182E-412.2478542.4E-48.164292E-59.1440896E-54.6140706E-45.04595953.7E-49.935491E-40.0011127310.00171206341.53861396.0E-40.0098911880.0110724190.0119031181.07502418.4E-4
6.41.9050609E-52.1336948E-52.6133182E-412.2478542.4E-48.164292E-59.1440896E-54.6140706E-45.04595953.7E-49.935491E-40.0011127310.00171206341.53861396.0E-40.0098911880.0110724190.0119031181.07502418.4E-4
6.51.8367004E-52.0561009E-52.5055627E-412.1859922.3E-47.8713354E-58.811567E-54.4808394E-45.0851793.6E-49.5791375E-40.00107228690.00165166481.540325.8E-40.0095379510.01067191550.01148316451.07601718.2E-4
6.61.779439E-51.9910927E-52.4990636E-412.5512152.3E-47.625944E-58.53298E-54.4529908E-45.2185653.6E-49.280632E-40.00103840150.00160780961.54835065.7E-40.0092419690.0103362530.0111279831.07659758.0E-4
6.71.7025437E-51.9043426E-52.2903943E-412.0272182.1E-47.296412E-58.161216E-54.215844E-45.16570573.4E-48.87976E-49.931813E-40.0015426351.5532265.5E-40.0088443620.0098881450.0106604321.07810247.8E-4
6.81.6545107E-51.8512545E-52.2850865E-412.3434492.1E-47.090568E-57.93371E-54.1931012E-45.28517063.4E-48.629347E-49.655073E-40.00151497631.56909875.5E-40.0085959150.0096138290.0103764261.07932297.7E-4
6.91.615478E-51.8087594E-52.1808398E-412.0571022.0E-46.9232934E-57.751599E-53.9749118E-45.12786053.2E-48.4258494E-49.433546E-40.00147285461.56129485.3E-40.0083939730.0093941960.010137151.07908657.5E-4
7.01.5894311E-51.780555E-52.17802E-412.2322532.0E-46.81167E-57.6307304E-53.9628288E-45.19324973.2E-48.2900526E-49.286515E-40.00145815931.57019015.3E-40.0082591950.0092483970.0099914611.08034527.5E-4
7.11.5602263E-51.7483504E-52.0748017E-411.8671971.9E-46.6865134E-57.492718E-53.8490395E-45.137043.1E-48.137789E-49.118627E-40.00143138851.56974125.2E-40.0081080520.0090818940.0098151731.08074087.4E-4
7.21.5323829E-51.717063E-52.0716737E-412.0652161.9E-46.56719E-57.358637E-53.8356357E-45.21242673.1E-47.99262E-48.9555193E-40.00141508621.58012755.2E-40.0079639340.0089201070.0096435951.08110767.3E-4
7.31.4556212E-51.6302456E-51.9629952E-412.0411011.8E-46.238227E-56.9865826E-53.6984487E-45.2936453.0E-47.592395E-48.5029035E-40.00135985671.59928515.1E-40.00756650740.0084710140.0091849161.08427577.2E-4
7.41.411725E-51.580796E-51.9580511E-412.3864891.8E-46.0501097E-56.7746674E-53.6772634E-45.4279623.0E-47.363519E-48.245094E-40.0013340891.61803965.1E-40.00733916740.0082151380.0089292241.08692317.2E-4
7.51.3503312E-51.5126289E-51.9512356E-412.8996321.8E-45.7870053E-56.482538E-53.6480592E-45.6275173.0E-47.043401E-47.8896893E-40.00129856661.64590325.1E-40.0070211190.0078623040.0085667221.08959447.1E-4
7.61.1279839E-51.2626327E-51.8262418E-414.4637611.7E-44.834127E-55.4111737E-53.4409604E-46.3589912.9E-45.88396E-46.5861654E-40.0011283071.7131474.7E-40.0058684050.0065671990.00722286431.09983946.6E-4
7.79.189108E-61.0283358E-51.6028182E-415.5865241.5E-43.93813E-54.407082E-52.7406067E-46.21864272.3E-44.7936183E-45.3643517E-48.9624204E-41.67073693.6E-40.0047832910.0053519140.00585918451.09478315.1E-4
7.83.4586725E-73.6482615E-71.0364823E-528.4103071.0E-51.4822873E-61.5635396E-62.1563508E-513.7914692.0E-51.80467E-51.9035933E-54.9035363E-52.57593683.0E-51.8045233E-41.9034347E-42.2033777E-41.15757983.0E-5
7.92.5591178E-92.6696718E-92.6696718E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.14414505E-81.14414505E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3929966E-71.3929966E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3929966E-61.3929966E-61.00.0

San Andreas (Big Bend)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.0179969E-42.0073925E-43.7070512E-41.84669971.7E-44.362114E-48.6002843E-40.00112979631.31367312.7E-40.00529794860.0104208590.01085627451.0417834.4E-40.0517340970.1014559050.10213881.00673097.6E-4
6.11.0179969E-42.0073925E-43.7070512E-41.84669971.7E-44.362114E-48.6002843E-40.00112979631.31367312.7E-40.00529794860.0104208590.01085627451.0417834.4E-40.0517340970.1014559050.10213881.00673097.6E-4
6.21.0179969E-42.0073925E-43.7070512E-41.84669971.7E-44.362114E-48.6002843E-40.00112979631.31367312.7E-40.00529794860.0104208590.01085627451.0417834.4E-40.0517340970.1014559050.10213881.00673097.6E-4
6.31.0179969E-42.0073925E-43.7070512E-41.84669971.7E-44.362114E-48.6002843E-40.00112979631.31367312.7E-40.00529794860.0104208590.01085627451.0417834.4E-40.0517340970.1014559050.10213881.00673097.6E-4
6.49.1639464E-51.8430917E-43.0428707E-41.650961.2E-43.9268145E-47.896575E-49.795076E-41.24042061.9E-40.00477042050.0095718180.0099085631.03518093.4E-40.0466930640.093786950.094294431.0054115.6E-4
6.59.1639464E-51.8430917E-43.0428707E-41.650961.2E-43.9268145E-47.896575E-49.795076E-41.24042061.9E-40.00477042050.0095718180.0099085631.03518093.4E-40.0466930640.093786950.094294431.0054115.6E-4
6.69.042622E-51.8238011E-43.0235824E-41.65784651.2E-43.8748336E-47.813951E-49.4127015E-41.2046021.6E-40.00470740950.00947210.00975935351.03032622.9E-40.0460893250.092877210.093312631.00468814.8E-4
6.78.9836685E-51.8152347E-42.915035E-41.60587231.1E-43.8495753E-47.7772595E-49.2760933E-41.19271991.5E-40.004676790.0094278150.0096952691.02836872.7E-40.0457958170.092471480.0928889441.00451454.6E-4
6.88.9471854E-51.8099119E-42.9097128E-41.60765431.1E-43.8339442E-47.754462E-49.2532986E-41.1932871.5E-40.0046578410.0094002980.009667761.02845252.7E-40.045614140.09221920.092636791.00452824.6E-4
6.98.858234E-51.7981093E-42.7979293E-41.55603971.0E-43.7958333E-47.7039085E-49.10283E-41.18158591.4E-40.0046116380.0093392780.009596851.02757942.6E-40.045171030.091659110.092058781.00436044.4E-4
7.08.7433385E-51.7819891E-42.7818108E-41.56107071.0E-43.746607E-47.6348626E-49.033794E-41.18322931.4E-40.0045519570.0092559320.0095036181.02675972.5E-40.0445983860.090893230.091265961.00410084.1E-4
7.18.684964E-51.7731842E-42.6730247E-41.50747149.0E-53.7215967E-47.597149E-48.896162E-41.17098681.3E-40.00452163350.0092104050.0094481951.02581752.4E-40.044307310.090474750.090838561.00402124.0E-4
7.28.606521E-51.7622454E-42.6620866E-41.51062219.0E-53.6879873E-47.550296E-48.849314E-41.17204871.3E-40.00448088350.0091538420.0093916451.02597842.4E-40.0439160240.089955180.0903191941.00404674.0E-4
7.38.568266E-51.7564454E-42.6562874E-41.51230859.0E-53.6715972E-47.5254537E-48.824475E-41.17261711.3E-40.00446101050.009123850.009361661.02606462.4E-40.0437251480.089676230.090040361.00406054.0E-4
7.48.5432206E-51.752704E-42.652546E-41.51340239.0E-53.6608664E-47.509428E-48.808452E-41.17298571.3E-40.0044479990.0091045010.0093423171.02612052.4E-40.0436001570.089496420.089860621.00406944.0E-4
7.58.4791965E-51.7396381E-42.6394817E-41.5172599.0E-53.633435E-47.4534636E-48.7524945E-41.17428551.3E-40.00441473770.0090369320.0092747641.02631772.4E-40.0432805750.088872090.089236541.00410084.0E-4
7.68.241105E-51.6841735E-42.4840387E-41.47493058.0E-53.531424E-47.2158914E-48.415025E-41.16617971.2E-40.00429103520.0087500470.0089780341.02605562.3E-40.0420911760.086250320.086597551.00402583.8E-4
7.77.00432E-51.4205615E-41.8205047E-41.28153884.0E-53.001506E-46.0867006E-46.7862746E-41.11493487.0E-50.00364821120.00738541740.0075442361.02150431.6E-40.0358889770.073522990.073782411.00352842.8E-4
7.86.415362E-51.2969968E-41.696945E-41.30836474.0E-52.749151E-45.557374E-46.256985E-41.12588887.0E-50.00334195470.00674514150.006894131.02208821.5E-40.032921410.067255140.067506981.00374462.7E-4
7.94.939911E-59.341721E-51.3341347E-41.42814664.0E-52.116933E-44.0029807E-44.6027405E-41.14982836.0E-50.00257431950.0048627470.00499211531.02660381.3E-40.0254470130.0489158030.0491345521.00447192.3E-4
8.03.344983E-55.2228E-57.2226954E-51.38291632.0E-51.4334853E-42.2381509E-42.6380614E-41.1786794.0E-50.00174387110.00272154530.00280132771.02931518.0E-50.0173024960.0279231610.0280495321.00452571.3E-4
8.11.9104898E-51.9171663E-51.9171663E-51.00.08.1875565E-58.2161685E-58.2161685E-51.00.09.963791E-49.9986E-49.9986E-41.00.00.0099192350.0107495520.0107594451.00092031.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.473668E-65.473668E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3458366E-52.3458366E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.8556827E-42.8556827E-41.00.00.00450013950.00324817930.00324817931.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

Death Valley (Fish Lake Valley)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.872328E-54.7265705E-52.1725766E-44.5965181.7E-41.6594635E-42.0255324E-44.7249856E-42.3327132.7E-40.00201852460.00246356060.00287255061.16601574.1E-40.020002880.0243883380.0249639471.02360195.9E-4
6.13.872328E-54.7265705E-52.1725766E-44.5965181.7E-41.6594635E-42.0255324E-44.7249856E-42.3327132.7E-40.00201852460.00246356060.00287255061.16601574.1E-40.020002880.0243883380.0249639471.02360195.9E-4
6.23.872328E-54.7265705E-52.1725766E-44.5965181.7E-41.6594635E-42.0255324E-44.7249856E-42.3327132.7E-40.00201852460.00246356060.00287255061.16601574.1E-40.020002880.0243883380.0249639471.02360195.9E-4
6.32.8356371E-53.360979E-52.0360408E-46.057881.7E-41.2152165E-41.4403443E-44.03997E-42.8048642.6E-40.00147852190.00175227880.0021515781.22787424.0E-40.0146872350.0173918160.017961731.0327695.8E-4
6.42.8356371E-53.360979E-52.0360408E-46.057881.7E-41.2152165E-41.4403443E-44.03997E-42.8048642.6E-40.00147852190.00175227880.0021515781.22787424.0E-40.0146872350.0173918160.017961731.0327695.8E-4
6.52.4448687E-52.8607585E-51.9860272E-46.942311.7E-41.0477588E-41.2259845E-43.8256656E-43.12048462.6E-40.00127489980.00149166160.0018910651.26775734.0E-40.0126761050.0148213920.0153927951.03855265.8E-4
6.62.1298161E-52.4660083E-51.9465589E-47.8935621.7E-49.127464E-51.0568197E-43.656545E-43.45995162.6E-40.00111070220.00128595120.00168543691.31065384.0E-40.0110516720.012788530.0133512411.04400125.7E-4
6.71.8959729E-52.1781027E-51.9177732E-48.8047891.7E-48.125345E-59.334406E-53.533198E-43.78513432.6E-49.888117E-40.0011358970.00153544271.35174474.0E-40.0098442340.011303570.0118671271.04985655.7E-4
6.81.6691629E-51.9018351E-51.8901512E-49.9385641.7E-47.153359E-58.150477E-53.4148357E-44.18973732.6E-48.7057345E-49.918857E-40.0013914891.40287234.0E-40.0086717080.0098763430.0104407141.05714375.7E-4
6.91.450505E-51.638954E-51.8638675E-411.3722991.7E-46.216302E-57.0239046E-53.302208E-44.7013852.6E-47.5657194E-48.5483363E-40.00124450031.45583923.9E-40.0075400130.0085163860.0090716161.06519565.6E-4
7.01.2940855E-51.4537972E-51.845355E-412.6933461.7E-45.545963E-56.230414E-53.2228793E-45.17281772.6E-46.750118E-47.5829466E-40.0011479991.5139223.9E-40.0067296510.00755768970.0081134581.07353685.6E-4
7.11.2544658E-51.4078208E-51.8407582E-413.0752311.7E-45.3761712E-56.0333812E-53.2031813E-45.30909822.6E-46.5435225E-47.343222E-40.00112403581.5307123.9E-40.0065242880.0073195510.0078754521.07594745.6E-4
7.21.2489416E-51.4015674E-51.8401329E-413.1291071.7E-45.3524967E-56.0065824E-53.200502E-45.3283252.6E-46.514716E-47.310616E-40.00112077651.53308073.9E-40.0064956510.00728715960.0078430791.07628755.6E-4
7.31.2368307E-51.3879812E-51.8387745E-413.2478341.7E-45.3005948E-55.9483587E-53.1946812E-45.37069372.6E-46.451563E-47.2397763E-40.00111369521.53830063.9E-40.00643286530.0072167820.00777274041.07703695.6E-4
7.41.2161707E-51.36478675E-51.8364555E-413.4559881.7E-45.212056E-55.8489582E-53.1847437E-45.4449762.6E-46.3438306E-47.118836E-40.0011016061.54745233.9E-40.0063257510.00709662070.00765264641.07835085.6E-4
7.51.1707948E-51.3145515E-51.8314327E-413.9319971.7E-45.0175953E-55.6336736E-53.1632208E-45.61484582.6E-46.10721E-46.856895E-40.0010754221.56838063.9E-40.00609045340.0068363210.00738256151.07990265.5E-4
7.61.0319538E-51.1579622E-51.8157765E-415.6807931.7E-44.4225842E-54.9626036E-53.0961313E-46.2389252.6E-45.383166E-46.040347E-49.937991E-41.64526833.9E-40.00537014430.00602446030.0065711471.09074455.5E-4
7.78.937764E-61.0022779E-51.6002127E-415.9657591.5E-43.830414E-54.295409E-52.7294422E-46.35432432.3E-44.6625308E-45.228456E-48.726626E-41.66906373.5E-40.00465276050.0052166640.00569416021.09153284.8E-4
7.83.108007E-73.284654E-71.0328462E-531.4445971.0E-51.3320023E-61.407708E-62.140768E-515.2074712.0E-51.6217007E-51.7138715E-54.71382E-52.7503933.0E-51.6215823E-41.7137431E-42.0136917E-41.17502553.0E-5
7.92.5591178E-92.6696718E-92.6696718E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.14414505E-81.14414505E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3929966E-71.3929966E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3929966E-61.3929966E-61.00.0

San Andreas (San Gorgonio Pass-Garnet HIll)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.31567E-52.3384395E-44.337972E-41.85507122.0E-43.5633717E-40.00100180250.00134146191.33904833.4E-40.0043297780.0121286220.0125435281.03420884.2E-40.0424638280.112581870.113105451.00465065.9E-4
6.18.31567E-52.3384395E-44.337972E-41.85507122.0E-43.5633717E-40.00100180250.00134146191.33904833.4E-40.0043297780.0121286220.0125435281.03420884.2E-40.0424638280.112581870.113105451.00465065.9E-4
6.28.31567E-52.3384395E-44.337972E-41.85507122.0E-43.5633717E-40.00100180250.00134146191.33904833.4E-40.0043297780.0121286220.0125435281.03420884.2E-40.0424638280.112581870.113105451.00465065.9E-4
6.38.31567E-52.3384395E-44.337972E-41.85507122.0E-43.5633717E-40.00100180250.00134146191.33904833.4E-40.0043297780.0121286220.0125435281.03420884.2E-40.0424638280.112581870.113105451.00465065.9E-4
6.48.059055E-52.2941893E-44.1937534E-41.82798921.9E-43.4534236E-49.828559E-40.00131253161.33542623.3E-40.00419643940.0119008190.012305941.03404144.1E-40.0411807450.1105629650.1110788361.00466595.8E-4
6.58.059055E-52.2941893E-44.1937534E-41.82798921.9E-43.4534236E-49.828559E-40.00131253161.33542623.3E-40.00419643940.0119008190.012305941.03404144.1E-40.0411807450.1105629650.1110788361.00466595.8E-4
6.67.619237E-52.2186468E-44.1182252E-41.85618781.9E-43.2649786E-49.5050444E-40.00128019081.34685413.3E-40.00396786770.01151153350.0119168141.03520644.1E-40.038977640.107099540.107617421.00483555.8E-4
6.77.440636E-52.1862281E-44.0858128E-41.86888671.9E-43.188454E-49.3662075E-40.00126631161.35200053.3E-40.00387503460.0113442680.0117496171.03573164.1E-40.0380815640.10560810.106126851.0049125.8E-4
6.87.3735864E-52.1709445E-44.0705322E-41.87500511.9E-43.1597257E-49.300753E-40.00125976841.354483.3E-40.00384018150.0112654060.0116707881.03598464.1E-40.037744950.1049096960.1054288451.00494865.8E-4
6.97.27575E-52.1478413E-43.9474547E-41.83787071.8E-43.117806E-49.20181E-40.00123988651.34743773.2E-40.0037893230.0111461820.0115417231.03548674.0E-40.0372535620.103857530.104368331.00491835.7E-4
7.07.102591E-52.1062451E-43.905866E-41.85442141.8E-43.0436125E-49.023664E-40.00122207761.35430313.2E-40.0036993030.0109314840.0113271111.03619164.0E-40.036383250.1019595340.102471421.00502055.7E-4
7.17.028513E-52.0898094E-43.8894333E-41.86114261.8E-43.0118722E-48.953274E-40.00121504091.35709123.2E-40.00366078970.0108466410.0112423021.03647784.0E-40.0360106860.101202430.1017147451.00506225.7E-4
7.26.8498244E-52.050596E-43.850227E-41.87761351.8E-42.9353087E-48.7853306E-40.0011982521.36392353.2E-40.0035678830.01064418350.0110399261.03717924.0E-40.0351114050.099394490.099898831.00507415.6E-4
7.36.622592E-51.9733235E-43.672988E-41.86132071.7E-42.8379448E-48.4543816E-40.00115517611.36636383.1E-40.00344972430.0102451110.0106311151.03767693.9E-40.0339666120.0958912450.096388511.00518575.5E-4
7.45.1050705E-51.4690042E-43.1687543E-42.15707661.7E-42.1877038E-46.294222E-49.292334E-41.47632773.0E-40.0026602760.0076364820.0080036571.04808163.7E-40.026286540.072865540.073356921.00674375.3E-4
7.53.9302922E-51.11307076E-42.7128926E-42.43730471.6E-41.6843023E-44.7694342E-47.668051E-41.60774862.9E-40.00204870920.00579139540.006149311.06180123.6E-40.0202992470.056011510.0565023831.00876385.2E-4
7.62.9851626E-58.4956984E-52.3494424E-42.76544931.5E-41.2792926E-43.6405068E-46.4394873E-41.76884372.8E-40.00155642590.00442333470.00477178671.07877583.5E-40.01545569950.0431961450.043664981.01085364.9E-4
7.72.1135214E-56.353527E-52.1352574E-43.36074351.5E-49.0576345E-52.722656E-45.5218936E-42.02812742.8E-40.00110220910.00330980080.00365864231.10539653.5E-40.0109675820.032584560.0330585951.01454784.9E-4
7.81.883379E-55.564576E-52.056374E-43.69547321.5E-48.0713755E-52.3846005E-45.183933E-42.17392092.8E-49.822468E-40.0028993890.00324837421.12036513.5E-40.00977916550.0286969780.0291729181.0165854.9E-4
7.91.5156185E-54.1662403E-51.9165616E-44.60021831.5E-46.495346E-51.7854095E-44.5849095E-42.56798772.8E-47.9052144E-40.00217157040.0025108321.15622883.4E-40.0078771520.0217609460.0222207181.02112834.7E-4
8.01.1405907E-52.9976925E-51.3997364E-44.66937881.1E-44.8881542E-51.2846621E-43.3843925E-42.6344612.1E-45.9497025E-40.00156295510.001802581.15331532.4E-40.0059337980.0157740130.0160889641.01996653.2E-4
8.14.3511436E-67.369465E-67.369465E-61.00.01.8647626E-53.158304E-53.158304E-51.00.02.2701119E-43.844558E-43.844558E-41.00.00.00226779420.00411654450.00411654451.00.0
8.22.3042528E-62.7328301E-62.7328301E-61.00.09.875332E-61.1712076E-51.1712076E-51.00.01.2022553E-41.4258524E-41.4258524E-41.00.00.00120160510.00159796370.00159796371.00.0
8.35.202968E-73.1590292E-73.1590292E-71.00.02.2298414E-61.353869E-61.353869E-61.00.02.714798E-51.6483244E-51.6483244E-51.00.02.7144665E-41.955901E-41.955901E-41.00.0

San Andreas (Parkfield)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.556969E-47.778562E-49.077551E-41.1669961.3E-40.00237938480.00332995830.00353925881.06285382.1E-40.0285869630.0402350430.0405901561.0088263.7E-40.251762840.33719730.337535321.00100245.1E-4
6.11.925858E-43.0278185E-43.6276368E-41.19810256.0E-58.2510663E-40.0012970850.00138696821.06929649.0E-50.00999948850.015773930.0159707761.01247922.0E-40.0956132560.149758250.150004821.00164642.9E-4
6.29.4306815E-51.8243887E-42.4242792E-41.32881726.0E-54.0410945E-47.8164786E-48.715775E-41.11505149.0E-50.00490893840.0094752460.0096634461.01986231.9E-40.0480190630.09185650.092110781.00276832.8E-4
6.39.283051E-51.794041E-42.3939334E-41.33438056.0E-53.9778434E-47.686494E-48.5858017E-41.11699869.0E-50.00483227470.0093183550.0095065841.02019991.9E-40.0472853850.0905094740.090764131.00281362.8E-4
6.49.138826E-51.7702584E-42.370152E-41.33887366.0E-53.916052E-47.5846276E-48.4839447E-41.1185719.0E-50.00475737450.0091953870.009383641.02047251.9E-40.0465680920.08941360.0896685641.00285152.8E-4
6.59.000255E-51.746064E-42.3459591E-41.343576.0E-53.8566816E-47.4809964E-48.3803234E-41.12021489.0E-50.00468540470.0090702840.0092585611.02075761.9E-40.0458784030.088296080.088551351.00289122.8E-4
6.68.8109264E-51.7141816E-42.3140787E-41.34996136.0E-53.7755648E-47.3444354E-48.2437746E-41.12245189.0E-50.00458706540.0089054040.0090937121.02114531.9E-40.044935290.086827070.087082761.00294482.8E-4
6.78.738073E-51.7008898E-42.3007879E-41.35269656.0E-53.7443507E-47.287503E-48.1868476E-41.1234099.0E-50.00454922160.0088366950.0090250161.02131131.9E-40.044572130.08622680.086482651.00296722.8E-4
6.88.710195E-51.6954402E-42.2953385E-41.35383056.0E-53.7324068E-47.26416E-48.163506E-41.1238069.0E-50.00453474050.0088085130.008996841.02138011.9E-40.044433130.085974360.0862302851.00297682.8E-4
6.98.6801556E-51.6895356E-42.2894342E-41.35506716.0E-53.7195362E-47.238869E-48.1382174E-41.12423889.0E-50.00451913570.00877796950.0089663021.0214551.9E-40.0442833270.085700420.0859564241.00298712.8E-4
7.08.5571606E-51.664819E-42.2647191E-41.36033956.0E-53.6668387E-47.132999E-48.032357E-41.12608419.0E-50.0044552410.0086501030.008838461.0217751.9E-40.0436697270.084548360.084804691.00303172.8E-4
7.17.82589E-51.5128969E-42.112806E-41.39653026.0E-53.3535215E-46.4822397E-47.3816563E-41.13875099.0E-50.00407527060.0078637380.0080522441.02397161.9E-40.0400134180.0774604450.0777095261.00321572.7E-4
7.27.690929E-51.4866212E-42.0865319E-41.40353986.0E-53.2956956E-46.369685E-47.269112E-41.14120429.0E-50.0040051290.00772768260.0079162141.02439691.9E-40.03933710.076233410.0764828251.00327172.7E-4
7.37.5543794E-51.4562748E-41.9562019E-41.34329185.0E-53.2371894E-46.239692E-47.039193E-41.12813158.0E-50.0039341570.00757052560.0077491631.02359641.8E-40.0386523340.074797770.075038321.0032162.6E-4
7.47.4214564E-51.4263717E-41.9263005E-41.35048975.0E-53.1802364E-46.1115966E-46.911108E-41.13081878.0E-50.0038650650.00741564160.00759430651.0240931.8E-40.037985290.073371520.073612451.00328362.6E-4
7.56.149578E-51.1191443E-41.6190883E-41.44671995.0E-52.6352672E-44.795452E-45.595068E-41.16674478.0E-50.00320371780.0058228650.00598193331.02731791.6E-40.031579230.0585594620.0587759951.00369762.3E-4
7.66.0643448E-51.102009E-41.6019538E-41.45366685.0E-52.598746E-44.7220418E-45.521664E-41.16933828.0E-50.00315938280.0057339620.00589304461.02774391.6E-40.0311484170.057720420.057937141.00375472.3E-4
7.75.1652263E-59.175265E-51.11750815E-41.21795742.0E-52.2134806E-43.9316638E-44.3315065E-41.1016984.0E-50.0026915820.00477630460.00487582661.02083671.0E-40.0265921410.048536410.0486981571.00333251.7E-4
7.84.8090482E-58.560165E-51.0559994E-41.23362042.0E-52.060858E-43.6681266E-44.0679798E-41.10900754.0E-50.00250620720.0044568070.0045464061.02010389.0E-50.0247813050.0453022640.0454550161.00337181.6E-4
7.93.970278E-56.7507375E-58.750602E-51.29624392.0E-51.7014367E-42.8928524E-43.2927367E-41.13823194.0E-50.0020695310.00351636340.0036060471.02550469.0E-50.0205036360.035881760.0360263771.00403031.5E-4
8.02.8982335E-54.0698153E-55.069775E-51.24570141.0E-51.2420409E-41.7440901E-42.0440377E-41.17197943.0E-50.00151113570.00212136280.00218123551.02822386.0E-50.0150090120.022011180.0220991991.00399899.0E-5
8.11.8836186E-51.867974E-51.867974E-51.00.08.0724014E-58.005358E-58.005358E-51.00.09.823717E-49.742171E-49.742171E-41.00.00.0097804030.0104877110.0104976051.00094351.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.473668E-65.473668E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3458366E-52.3458366E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.8556827E-42.8556827E-41.00.00.00450013950.00324817930.00324817931.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

Red Pass

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.258278E-68.551265E-61.685499E-419.7105221.6E-43.539214E-53.6647863E-52.1664127E-45.91142941.8E-44.308141E-44.4611428E-47.5597595E-41.69457923.1E-40.00429979850.0044539450.0049716291.11623055.2E-4
6.13.649988E-63.7753161E-67.377505E-519.5414247.0E-51.5642712E-51.6179853E-59.6178555E-55.94434078.0E-51.9043336E-41.9697666E-43.1695302E-41.60908931.2E-40.00190270260.0019684880.00214813371.09126081.8E-4
6.23.649988E-63.7753161E-67.377505E-519.5414247.0E-51.5642712E-51.6179853E-59.6178555E-55.94434078.0E-51.9043336E-41.9697666E-43.1695302E-41.60908931.2E-40.00190270260.0019684880.00214813371.09126081.8E-4
6.31.3924937E-61.4411166E-63.144107E-521.8171623.0E-55.9678164E-66.1762075E-63.617602E-55.857323.0E-57.265574E-57.519415E-51.1519114E-41.53191634.0E-57.263199E-47.518258E-48.117807E-41.07974586.0E-5
6.41.3924937E-61.4411166E-63.144107E-521.8171623.0E-55.9678164E-66.1762075E-63.617602E-55.857323.0E-57.265574E-57.519415E-51.1519114E-41.53191634.0E-57.263199E-47.518258E-48.117807E-41.07974586.0E-5
6.59.876812E-71.0221912E-61.1022181E-510.7828951.0E-54.2329125E-64.3808195E-61.4380776E-53.28266791.0E-55.153449E-55.3336476E-56.3335945E-51.18747891.0E-55.1522546E-45.333648E-45.6334876E-41.05621673.0E-5

Elsinore (Glen Ivy) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6204086E-42.937271E-44.5368008E-41.54456331.6E-46.94276E-40.00125837780.00143815131.14286121.8E-40.0084200970.01523461750.0155694381.02197753.4E-40.0810811450.139624540.140011711.00277294.5E-4
6.11.6204086E-42.937271E-44.5368008E-41.54456331.6E-46.94276E-40.00125837780.00143815131.14286121.8E-40.0084200970.01523461750.0155694381.02197753.4E-40.0810811450.139624540.140011711.00277294.5E-4
6.21.6204086E-42.937271E-44.5368008E-41.54456331.6E-46.94276E-40.00125837780.00143815131.14286121.8E-40.0084200970.01523461750.0155694381.02197753.4E-40.0810811450.139624540.140011711.00277294.5E-4
6.31.0111737E-41.7703463E-42.4702222E-41.39533297.0E-54.332882E-47.5861585E-48.2856277E-41.09220337.0E-50.0052625310.00921772050.0093960611.01934751.8E-40.05139640.087073930.0873204251.00283092.7E-4
6.41.0111737E-41.7703463E-42.4702222E-41.39533297.0E-54.332882E-47.5861585E-48.2856277E-41.09220337.0E-50.0052625310.00921772050.0093960611.01934751.8E-40.05139640.087073930.0873204251.00283092.7E-4
6.53.6624708E-54.6391986E-55.639152E-51.21554451.0E-51.569536E-41.9880968E-42.0880769E-41.05028941.0E-50.0019092350.00241818140.0024381331.00825072.0E-50.018929150.0236970610.0237361141.0016484.0E-5
6.62.5051324E-52.6147465E-53.61472E-51.38243631.0E-51.073584E-41.12056E-41.2205488E-41.08923111.0E-50.00130630470.00136347250.00138344521.01464842.0E-50.0129865250.0135657590.01360521651.00290864.0E-5
6.72.2189772E-52.2072489E-53.207227E-51.45304261.0E-59.509556E-59.459316E-51.0459221E-41.10570591.0E-50.00115717340.00115109960.00116108811.00867741.0E-50.0115116630.01146632250.01148609351.00172422.0E-5
6.81.6654378E-51.44376E-52.4437455E-51.69262591.0E-57.137396E-56.187399E-57.187337E-51.16160881.0E-58.686314E-47.5306057E-47.630531E-41.01326921.0E-50.0086524390.00751007630.00752000141.00132161.0E-5
6.91.5042909E-51.2331886E-52.2331762E-51.8108961.0E-56.446802E-55.2849886E-56.284936E-51.18920521.0E-57.8461546E-46.4326054E-46.532541E-41.01553581.0E-50.0078185090.0064179250.0064278611.00154821.0E-5
7.01.4361385E-51.1451172E-52.1451058E-51.87326311.0E-56.154734E-54.9075545E-55.9075053E-51.20375751.0E-57.490812E-45.973339E-46.073279E-41.0167311.0E-50.0074656120.0059609820.00597092231.00166761.0E-5
7.11.3265571E-51.0244736E-52.0244634E-51.97610121.0E-55.6851208E-54.3905282E-55.3904845E-51.2277531.0E-56.919436E-45.344183E-45.4441293E-41.01870191.0E-50.0068979310.00533460030.0053445471.00186461.0E-5
7.21.1596403E-58.504847E-61.8504763E-52.175791.0E-54.9697923E-53.6448844E-54.644848E-51.27434711.0E-56.049042E-44.4367602E-44.536716E-41.0225291.0E-50.0060326030.0044293570.00443931251.00224771.0E-5
7.31.0150827E-57.238537E-61.7238464E-52.38148451.0E-54.3502816E-53.102194E-54.102163E-51.32234251.0E-55.2951806E-43.776281E-43.8762434E-41.02647111.0E-50.0052825810.0037702710.00378023341.00264231.0E-5
7.49.080705E-66.352307E-61.6352244E-52.57422111.0E-53.8916725E-52.7223898E-53.7223625E-51.36731431.0E-54.7370812E-43.314019E-43.4139858E-41.03016481.0E-50.0047269960.00330922570.00331919241.00301181.0E-5
7.57.671649E-65.225419E-61.5225367E-52.9137121.0E-53.287808E-52.2394468E-53.2394244E-51.44652891.0E-54.0021708E-42.7261977E-42.8261705E-41.03667121.0E-50.00399497060.00272297840.00273295121.00366251.0E-5
7.66.990086E-64.687336E-64.687336E-61.00.02.9957167E-52.0088435E-52.0088435E-51.00.03.6466747E-42.445504E-42.445504E-41.00.00.00364069640.00244292920.00244292921.00.0
7.74.163505E-62.329331E-62.329331E-61.00.01.7843471E-59.982813E-69.982813E-61.00.02.172226E-41.2153471E-41.2153471E-41.00.00.00217010380.00121475550.00121475551.00.0
7.82.2692414E-79.384417E-89.384417E-81.00.09.725317E-74.0218927E-74.0218927E-71.00.01.1840509E-54.8966467E-64.8966467E-61.00.01.1839878E-44.8965718E-54.8965718E-51.00.0
7.96.676829E-93.4397174E-93.4397174E-91.00.02.861498E-81.4741646E-81.4741646E-81.00.03.4838732E-71.7947953E-71.7947953E-71.00.03.4838679E-61.794794E-61.794794E-61.00.0

San Andreas (Cholame) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2302514E-42.5205986E-43.4203718E-41.3569689.0E-55.27144E-40.00107981090.00120967061.12026141.3E-40.00639910860.0130679580.0133442991.02114642.8E-40.062179490.124384120.1247869061.00323824.6E-4
6.11.2302514E-42.5205986E-43.4203718E-41.3569689.0E-55.27144E-40.00107981090.00120967061.12026141.3E-40.00639910860.0130679580.0133442991.02114642.8E-40.062179490.124384120.1247869061.00323824.6E-4
6.21.2203569E-42.502277E-43.4020518E-41.35958249.0E-55.2290526E-40.00107196530.00120182591.12114261.3E-40.0063478040.0129735780.0132400761.02054152.7E-40.0616951360.1235713140.12396571.00319164.5E-4
6.31.2142645E-42.4908737E-43.3906495E-41.3612299.0E-55.202953E-40.00106708230.00119694361.12169751.3E-40.0063162120.0129148340.01318134651.02063622.7E-40.061396770.123065320.123451171.00313534.4E-4
6.41.1865206E-42.4414246E-43.3412047E-41.36854729.0E-55.0840975E-40.00104590680.00117577091.12416411.3E-40.0061723350.0126600440.0129266261.02105692.7E-40.0600368680.120859040.121245861.00320074.4E-4
6.51.17443946E-42.4207575E-43.3205395E-41.37169449.0E-55.032341E-40.00103705660.00116692181.12522481.3E-40.0061096770.0125535360.0128201461.02123792.7E-40.0594440770.119930080.120317311.00322884.4E-4
6.61.13579066E-42.3516564E-43.2514447E-41.3826199.0E-54.866766E-40.0010074650.0011373341.12890671.3E-40.00590920170.0121973450.0124640511.0218662.7E-40.0575451850.11684920.1172377841.00332564.4E-4
6.71.1271412E-42.336088E-43.2358777E-41.38516959.0E-54.829711E-40.0010007980.00113066791.12976631.3E-40.0058643310.0121170790.0123838071.02201262.7E-40.0571196970.116152750.116541651.00334814.4E-4
6.81.1217975E-42.3249313E-43.224722E-41.38701829.0E-54.8068175E-49.960202E-40.00112589061.13038951.3E-40.0058366080.0120595550.0123262991.02211892.7E-40.0568567250.115650610.116039721.00336464.4E-4
6.91.1146753E-42.3098059E-43.209598E-41.38955329.0E-54.7763053E-49.895428E-40.00111941411.13124381.3E-40.00579965770.0119815640.0122483291.02226462.7E-40.0565061270.114970270.115359681.00338714.4E-4
7.01.0965793E-42.2721413E-43.1719368E-41.39601229.0E-54.698779E-49.734129E-40.00110328641.13342071.3E-40.0057057680.0117873240.0120442591.02179752.6E-40.0556147360.113270110.113651411.00336624.3E-4
7.19.927982E-52.0540332E-42.9538485E-41.43807239.0E-54.2541555E-48.8000396E-40.00100988951.14759661.3E-40.00516714060.0106617080.0109090431.02319842.5E-40.050486340.103365730.103724381.00346974.0E-4
7.29.696786E-52.0044584E-42.904278E-41.4489099.0E-54.1551032E-48.587718E-49.886601E-41.15124891.3E-40.005047110.0104057030.0106531021.02377532.5E-40.049340090.101102330.1014618951.00355644.0E-4
7.39.4727984E-51.9473763E-42.7472206E-41.41072928.0E-54.0591392E-48.343239E-49.5422374E-41.14370911.2E-40.00493080870.0101108510.0103484241.02349692.4E-40.0482282680.098474120.09881671.00347893.8E-4
7.49.220358E-51.8844259E-42.684275E-41.42445258.0E-53.9509835E-48.07362E-49.2726515E-41.14851221.2E-40.0047997170.0097855780.0100232291.02428592.4E-40.0469736530.095558310.0959019961.00359673.8E-4
7.57.71631E-51.5179155E-42.3177941E-41.52695868.0E-53.306571E-46.5037323E-47.7029516E-41.18438951.2E-40.00401832070.0078896170.0081078811.02766482.2E-40.039464330.0782891960.07861181.00412063.5E-4
7.67.5634416E-51.4838556E-42.2837368E-41.53905618.0E-53.241072E-46.357833E-47.55707E-41.18862351.2E-40.00393886720.0077132560.0079315581.02830232.2E-40.0386977940.0766548740.076978051.0042163.5E-4
7.76.3783E-51.2359623E-41.6359129E-41.32359454.0E-52.7332708E-45.2959064E-45.995536E-41.13210767.0E-50.00332267980.00642873070.0065777661.02318271.5E-40.0327343640.064544880.064778741.00362322.5E-4
7.85.863422E-51.14169685E-41.5416511E-41.35031574.0E-52.512653E-44.892069E-45.591727E-41.14301877.0E-50.0030548640.00593984970.0060790181.02342961.4E-40.0301320940.059661620.05988731.00378262.4E-4
7.94.595283E-58.426815E-51.2426478E-41.47463524.0E-51.9692584E-43.6109926E-44.2107757E-41.16609936.0E-50.00239493580.00438752770.00451695731.02949941.3E-40.0236928910.0443631370.0445638221.00452362.1E-4
8.03.2950178E-55.077396E-57.077295E-51.39388262.0E-51.412074E-42.1758456E-42.5757586E-41.18379654.0E-50.00171784440.00264587530.00272566381.03015588.0E-50.0170462560.0271810720.027307541.00465271.3E-4
8.11.9177472E-51.9183733E-51.9183733E-51.00.08.218658E-58.221342E-58.221342E-51.00.00.00100016220.00100048930.00100048931.00.00.0099567280.0107578870.0107677791.00091961.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.473668E-65.473668E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3458366E-52.3458366E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.8556827E-42.8556827E-41.00.00.00450013950.00324817930.00324817931.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

San Andreas (Carrizo) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1674632E-42.4324407E-43.4321973E-41.41100971.0E-45.002454E-40.00104205970.00118191381.13420931.4E-40.0060734930.0126137570.0129000991.02270082.9E-40.05910160.1206402260.121044731.0033534.6E-4
6.11.1674632E-42.4324407E-43.4321973E-41.41100971.0E-45.002454E-40.00104205970.00118191381.13420931.4E-40.0060734930.0126137570.0129000991.02270082.9E-40.05910160.1206402260.121044731.0033534.6E-4
6.21.1674632E-42.4324407E-43.4321973E-41.41100971.0E-45.002454E-40.00104205970.00118191381.13420931.4E-40.0060734930.0126137570.0129000991.02270082.9E-40.05910160.1206402260.121044731.0033534.6E-4
6.31.1674632E-42.4324407E-43.4321973E-41.41100971.0E-45.002454E-40.00104205970.00118191381.13420931.4E-40.0060734930.0126137570.0129000991.02270082.9E-40.05910160.1206402260.121044731.0033534.6E-4
6.41.1674632E-42.4324407E-43.4321973E-41.41100971.0E-45.002454E-40.00104205970.00118191381.13420931.4E-40.0060734930.0126137570.0129000991.02270082.9E-40.05910160.1206402260.121044731.0033534.6E-4
6.51.13136164E-42.3644442E-43.2642315E-41.38054929.0E-54.847792E-40.00101294120.00114280951.12820911.3E-40.00588622550.0122632710.01253983751.02255242.8E-40.0573273340.117610080.118007161.00337624.5E-4
6.61.13136164E-42.3644442E-43.2642315E-41.38054929.0E-54.847792E-40.00101294120.00114280951.12820911.3E-40.00588622550.0122632710.01253983751.02255242.8E-40.0573273340.117610080.118007161.00337624.5E-4
6.71.1149675E-42.3335687E-43.2333587E-41.38558549.0E-54.777557E-49.997191E-40.00112958921.12990651.3E-40.00580117340.0121040880.0123806991.02285272.8E-40.056520510.11622910.11662681.00342174.5E-4
6.81.1103589E-42.3237852E-43.223576E-41.38720929.0E-54.7578133E-49.955293E-40.00112539981.13045381.3E-40.0057772630.0120536430.01233026851.02294952.8E-40.0562935840.115788940.1161868351.00343634.5E-4
6.91.1053259E-42.3130233E-43.2128152E-41.38901119.0E-54.7362508E-49.909206E-40.00112079181.13106111.3E-40.00575114970.0119981520.0122747921.0230572.8E-40.056045690.115304450.115702561.00345274.5E-4
7.01.1005377E-42.3031076E-43.2029004E-41.39068649.0E-54.7157376E-49.866742E-40.0011165461.13162581.3E-40.00572630620.0119470210.0122137951.02232982.7E-40.0558097960.114856580.115246041.00339094.4E-4
7.11.0308142E-42.1540876E-43.0538937E-41.41772039.0E-54.417027E-49.228548E-40.00105273491.14073721.3E-40.00536447760.0111781880.011445171.02388422.7E-40.0523681380.108090420.108473951.00354814.3E-4
7.21.0027479E-42.094876E-42.9946875E-41.42952979.0E-54.296783E-48.9749607E-40.00102737941.14471751.3E-40.00521879220.0108725660.011129741.02365342.6E-40.0509792120.105390860.1057665941.00356524.2E-4
7.39.816942E-52.0423878E-42.8422245E-41.39161848.0E-54.2065824E-48.7501644E-49.949114E-41.13702021.2E-40.0051094930.0106015720.0108489221.02333142.5E-40.0499359850.102975460.103334261.00348444.0E-4
7.49.5634205E-51.9793298E-42.7791716E-41.40409728.0E-54.0979648E-48.4800937E-49.679076E-41.14138781.2E-40.00497786370.0102759010.0105233321.02407872.5E-40.0486782530.1000678840.100427861.00359734.0E-4
7.58.052417E-51.6113915E-42.4112627E-41.49638538.0E-53.4505792E-46.9041376E-48.103309E-41.17368881.2E-40.00419299030.0083734710.0086015451.02723772.3E-40.041147530.0828152450.0831546041.00409783.7E-4
7.67.897024E-51.5767086E-42.3765824E-41.50730618.0E-53.384E-46.755574E-47.954764E-41.17751111.2E-40.00411223850.008193970.0084220851.02783942.3E-40.0403696970.081158660.081498631.0041893.7E-4
7.76.707427E-51.3277122E-41.7276591E-41.30123014.0E-52.8742946E-45.688955E-46.388557E-41.12297557.0E-50.0034938390.00690433850.00706323381.02301381.6E-40.0343941640.069053390.069304751.003642.7E-4
7.86.147705E-51.2198445E-41.6197957E-41.32787064.0E-52.6344648E-45.226858E-45.926492E-41.13385377.0E-50.00320274360.0063451560.00649420451.02349011.5E-40.0315697640.06351720.063760681.00383342.6E-4
7.94.7636717E-58.8802946E-51.287994E-41.45039554.0E-52.0414138E-43.8052857E-44.4050574E-41.15761546.0E-50.00248258840.0046231010.00475250041.02798961.3E-40.0245503650.0466293660.0468391071.0044982.2E-4
8.03.3554235E-55.2138024E-57.213698E-51.38357722.0E-51.4379594E-42.2342955E-42.634206E-41.17898744.0E-50.00174930970.0027168630.00279664571.02936588.0E-50.0173560340.0278819050.028008281.00453261.3E-4
8.11.9175432E-51.9183564E-51.9183564E-51.00.08.217783E-58.221269E-58.221269E-51.00.00.00100005580.00100048050.00100048051.00.00.0099556730.0107577710.0107676641.00091961.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.473668E-65.473668E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3458366E-52.3458366E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.8556827E-42.8556827E-41.00.00.00450013950.00324817930.00324817931.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

Ludlow

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.2407607E-52.3657254E-51.6365394E-46.91770651.4E-49.602906E-51.0138454E-42.7136732E-42.67661431.7E-40.00116852670.0012337020.00152334421.23477482.9E-40.0116240130.0122730420.0127273971.03702064.6E-4
6.12.2407607E-52.3657254E-51.6365394E-46.91770651.4E-49.602906E-51.0138454E-42.7136732E-42.67661431.7E-40.00116852670.0012337020.00152334421.23477482.9E-40.0116240130.0122730420.0127273971.03702064.6E-4
6.21.0781252E-51.1365663E-57.136498E-56.27899846.0E-54.620455E-54.8709102E-51.287052E-42.64232358.0E-55.623952E-45.9287593E-47.2279887E-41.21914021.3E-40.005609740.00591336140.0061121791.03362172.0E-4
6.31.0781252E-51.1365663E-57.136498E-56.27899846.0E-54.620455E-54.8709102E-51.287052E-42.64232358.0E-55.623952E-45.9287593E-47.2279887E-41.21914021.3E-40.005609740.00591336140.0061121791.03362172.0E-4
6.47.814439E-68.237729E-62.8237564E-53.42783362.0E-53.3490025E-53.530408E-56.530302E-51.84973013.0E-54.0766477E-44.2974384E-45.0970947E-41.18607748.0E-50.00406917740.00428927460.00441871681.03017821.3E-4
6.56.4986366E-66.85092E-61.685085E-52.45964811.0E-52.7851002E-52.9360759E-54.9360173E-51.68116132.0E-53.390332E-43.5740953E-44.1738807E-41.16781466.0E-50.0033851640.00356844320.00366808641.02792351.0E-4
6.65.582177E-65.8860055E-61.5885948E-52.6989351.0E-52.3923398E-52.5225498E-54.5224995E-51.79282862.0E-52.9122844E-43.0707786E-43.6705946E-41.19533016.0E-50.00290847060.0030666090.00315633281.02925849.0E-5
6.74.6858763E-64.940427E-61.4940378E-53.02410651.0E-52.0082172E-52.1173091E-54.117267E-51.94457522.0E-52.4447302E-42.5775246E-43.0773957E-41.19393465.0E-50.00244204230.00257459120.0026444111.02711887.0E-5
6.83.5584908E-63.7520183E-61.3751981E-53.66522221.0E-51.5250586E-51.6079981E-53.607966E-52.24376252.0E-51.8566006E-41.957566E-42.3574877E-41.20429544.0E-50.00185505020.00195588260.00201576531.03061666.0E-5
6.92.532834E-62.6710034E-62.6710034E-61.00.01.0854958E-51.1447109E-52.1446995E-51.87357311.0E-51.3215111E-41.3935992E-41.6935574E-41.21523993.0E-50.00132072540.00139275290.00143269721.02868014.0E-5
7.01.7083285E-61.8019439E-61.8019439E-61.00.07.3213873E-67.722595E-61.7722517E-52.29489161.0E-58.913424E-59.40187E-51.1401682E-41.21270362.0E-58.9098496E-49.3980576E-49.697775E-41.03189153.0E-5
7.11.0905424E-61.1497619E-61.1497619E-61.00.04.6737446E-64.9275427E-61.4927493E-53.02939921.0E-55.6901354E-55.999128E-57.999008E-51.33336172.0E-55.6886784E-45.997606E-46.2974263E-41.04998993.0E-5
7.26.06668E-76.387277E-76.387277E-71.00.02.600003E-62.7374022E-61.2737375E-54.65308861.0E-53.1654577E-53.3327433E-55.3326767E-51.60008622.0E-53.1650066E-43.3323118E-43.5322452E-41.05999842.0E-5

Cady

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.9892565E-52.1858728E-51.9185501E-48.7770431.7E-48.525106E-59.3677416E-52.7366055E-42.92130761.8E-40.00103743740.00114001670.00138973171.2190452.5E-40.0103260750.0113507010.011775821.03745324.3E-4
6.11.9892565E-52.1858728E-51.9185501E-48.7770431.7E-48.525106E-59.3677416E-52.7366055E-42.92130761.8E-40.00103743740.00114001670.00138973171.2190452.5E-40.0103260750.0113507010.011775821.03745324.3E-4
6.21.9892565E-52.1858728E-51.9185501E-48.7770431.7E-48.525106E-59.3677416E-52.7366055E-42.92130761.8E-40.00103743740.00114001670.00138973171.2190452.5E-40.0103260750.0113507010.011775821.03745324.3E-4
6.31.1117327E-51.2176583E-59.217561E-57.5699078.0E-54.764482E-55.2184492E-51.421798E-42.72456039.0E-55.7992124E-46.351925E-47.751036E-41.22026561.4E-40.00578410220.00633687530.0066151011.04390592.8E-4
6.41.1117327E-51.2176583E-59.217561E-57.5699078.0E-54.764482E-55.2184492E-51.421798E-42.72456039.0E-55.7992124E-46.351925E-47.751036E-41.22026561.4E-40.00578410220.00633687530.0066151011.04390592.8E-4
6.56.103093E-66.672021E-63.667182E-55.4963593.0E-52.615585E-52.8594131E-56.8592984E-52.39884854.0E-53.1840094E-43.480905E-44.1806613E-41.20102727.0E-50.00317945120.00347668650.00360623471.0372621.3E-4
6.65.817237E-66.3656585E-63.636547E-55.7127583.0E-52.4930776E-52.728118E-56.728009E-52.46617224.0E-53.034899E-43.3211018E-44.020869E-41.21070347.0E-50.00303075770.00331736050.00344692941.03905771.3E-4
6.74.8846314E-65.3405684E-63.5340407E-56.61734963.0E-52.0933967E-52.2888014E-55.2887328E-52.31069973.0E-52.5484123E-42.7863772E-43.1862658E-41.14351564.0E-50.00254549180.00278403910.00286381651.02865528.0E-5
6.81.7788773E-61.9399079E-62.193987E-511.3097482.0E-57.6237375E-68.313874E-62.8313707E-53.40559742.0E-59.281505E-51.01218284E-41.3121525E-41.29635923.0E-59.2776294E-40.00101187650.0010518361.03949054.0E-5
6.97.5455404E-78.297092E-72.0829693E-525.104812.0E-53.233799E-63.5558937E-62.3555822E-56.6244452.0E-53.937079E-54.3292483E-57.329118E-51.69293093.0E-53.9363815E-44.3287344E-44.6286045E-41.06927433.0E-5
7.06.8578805E-77.541816E-72.0754167E-527.5187912.0E-52.9390883E-63.2322048E-62.323214E-57.1877072.0E-53.578281E-53.9351715E-56.9350535E-51.76232563.0E-53.577705E-43.9347992E-44.2346813E-41.07621283.0E-5

San Andreas (Coachella) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1925945E-43.273077E-44.772586E-41.45813431.5E-45.110118E-40.0014019980.00163167551.16382162.3E-40.00620383540.0169370680.0172123241.01625182.8E-40.0603347530.152676720.153032591.00233094.2E-4
6.11.1925945E-43.273077E-44.772586E-41.45813431.5E-45.110118E-40.0014019980.00163167551.16382162.3E-40.00620383540.0169370680.0172123241.01625182.8E-40.0603347530.152676720.153032591.00233094.2E-4
6.21.07432395E-43.0231563E-44.5227027E-41.49602021.5E-44.603433E-40.0012949990.00152470121.17737632.3E-40.0055902860.0156537310.0159293491.01760712.8E-40.054517310.141827840.142188271.00254134.2E-4
6.31.0718766E-43.0176868E-44.517234E-41.49691951.5E-44.592948E-40.00129265730.001522361.1776982.3E-40.0055775860.015625630.0159012541.01763932.8E-40.0543965550.141596050.141956581.00254624.2E-4
6.41.0355944E-42.9384956E-44.4380547E-41.51031531.5E-44.4375064E-40.00125875140.00148846191.18249072.3E-40.00538928850.0152186620.0154944011.01811852.8E-40.0526044960.138157950.138519931.002624.2E-4
6.51.0227914E-42.9104383E-44.410002E-41.51523631.5E-44.382655E-40.00124673850.00147645181.18425132.3E-40.00532283540.0150744390.0153403691.01764112.7E-40.0519713160.136942390.137296231.0025844.1E-4
6.61.0116757E-42.8870135E-44.3865805E-41.51941811.5E-44.3350324E-40.00123670870.00146642431.18574752.3E-40.00526513670.0149540080.0152199711.01778532.7E-40.0514212470.135919730.136274011.00260654.1E-4
6.71.0050676E-42.8728697E-44.3724387E-41.5219761.5E-44.3067214E-40.00123065280.00146036981.18666272.3E-40.0052308340.0148812880.015147271.01787362.7E-40.0510940850.135304640.135659171.00262024.1E-4
6.89.976819E-52.8532353E-44.3528073E-41.5255691.5E-44.2750788E-40.0012222460.00145196481.18794812.3E-40.00519249360.0147803280.0150463381.01799752.7E-40.0507282950.134456280.134811151.00263934.1E-4
6.99.77719E-52.802926E-44.2025335E-41.4993381.4E-44.1895514E-40.00120070480.00142044061.18300572.2E-40.00508885550.01452158950.0147778141.01764442.6E-40.0497388880.132284760.132631851.00262384.0E-4
7.08.500761E-52.4763815E-43.7760596E-41.52482951.3E-43.6426744E-40.00106087790.00127065511.19773922.1E-40.00442594060.012840470.0130872611.01921962.5E-40.043388230.118136160.1184712651.00283663.8E-4
7.18.319876E-52.4366553E-43.7363384E-41.53338831.3E-43.5651738E-40.00104386620.00125364691.20096522.1E-40.0043319630.0126357730.01288261451.01953512.5E-40.0424848460.116356320.11669211.00288583.8E-4
7.27.563917E-52.2414974E-43.541206E-41.57983951.3E-43.2412758E-49.602912E-40.00117008951.21847372.1E-40.00393911450.0116295590.0118766521.02124692.5E-40.038700180.107762020.108101061.00314633.8E-4
7.37.082985E-52.07311E-43.3728406E-41.62694721.3E-43.0352117E-48.881761E-40.00109798951.23622972.1E-40.00368910960.0107605530.0110078631.0229832.5E-40.036284650.100284030.1006259251.00340933.8E-4
7.45.146215E-51.4274761E-42.7272906E-41.91056821.3E-42.2053342E-46.1163295E-48.115106E-41.32679362.0E-40.00268168840.00742139430.0076596131.03209892.4E-40.026495570.070850490.0711849851.00472123.6E-4
7.54.0285166E-51.0942422E-42.2941109E-42.09652951.2E-41.7263928E-44.6887697E-46.587879E-41.40503361.9E-40.0020998570.00569370440.0059223951.04016552.3E-40.0208012540.0550130830.055343831.00601213.5E-4
7.63.1168736E-58.439599E-51.9438671E-42.30326941.1E-41.3357346E-43.616471E-45.41582E-41.49754271.8E-40.00162504370.0043941910.0046132241.0498462.2E-40.0161321160.0428124780.0431187751.00715453.2E-4
7.72.2100989E-56.239345E-51.7238659E-42.76289561.1E-49.4715084E-52.6737314E-44.47325E-41.67303651.8E-40.0011525460.00325041520.00346971.06746362.2E-40.0114658670.0319021680.032211961.00971073.2E-4
7.81.7484861E-55.180078E-51.6179508E-43.123411.1E-47.493296E-52.2198448E-44.019445E-41.81068751.8E-49.1192697E-40.00269931420.00291872051.08128212.2E-40.0090819380.0266417880.0269532611.01169123.2E-4
7.91.3967285E-53.8226146E-51.4822194E-43.87750151.1E-45.985842E-51.6381606E-43.4378658E-42.09861331.8E-47.2853256E-40.00199263730.00220221891.1051782.1E-40.00726148770.0199110020.020205031.0147673.0E-4
8.01.1887396E-53.106798E-51.4106456E-44.5405131.1E-45.094499E-51.331417E-43.1311772E-42.3517631.8E-46.200787E-40.00161979580.00182945571.1294362.1E-40.0061835130.0162805670.0165658441.01752272.9E-4
8.15.100864E-68.973766E-61.8973677E-52.11434941.0E-52.1860664E-53.845843E-54.8458045E-51.26001111.0E-52.6612106E-44.6813092E-44.7812623E-41.02135161.0E-50.0026580260.0049180920.00492804261.00202331.0E-5
8.22.3004484E-62.7863473E-62.7863473E-61.00.09.859027E-61.19414335E-51.19414335E-51.00.01.2002704E-41.4537729E-41.4537729E-41.00.00.00119962230.00159737820.00159737821.00.0
8.31.0424446E-75.814421E-85.814421E-81.00.04.4676187E-72.4918944E-72.4918944E-71.00.05.439312E-63.0338776E-63.0338776E-61.00.05.4391792E-53.189592E-53.189592E-51.00.0

Baker

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.695525E-65.8348373E-69.5834315E-516.4245059.0E-52.4409164E-52.5006228E-51.8500222E-47.39824631.6E-42.9714106E-43.044123E-45.343423E-41.75532422.3E-40.00296744050.00304034860.00344910221.13444294.1E-4
6.15.695525E-65.8348373E-69.5834315E-516.4245059.0E-52.4409164E-52.5006228E-51.8500222E-47.39824631.6E-42.9714106E-43.044123E-45.343423E-41.75532422.3E-40.00296744050.00304034860.00344910221.13444294.1E-4
6.25.695525E-65.8348373E-69.5834315E-516.4245059.0E-52.4409164E-52.5006228E-51.8500222E-47.39824631.6E-42.9714106E-43.044123E-45.343423E-41.75532422.3E-40.00296744050.00304034860.00344910221.13444294.1E-4
6.33.2995713E-63.383667E-66.3383464E-518.7321826.0E-51.4140943E-51.4501353E-51.3449961E-49.274971.2E-41.7215237E-41.7654014E-43.4651012E-41.96278381.7E-40.00172019070.0017640460.00206351681.16976363.0E-4
6.43.2995713E-63.383667E-66.3383464E-518.7321826.0E-51.4140943E-51.4501353E-51.3449961E-49.274971.2E-41.7215237E-41.7654014E-43.4651012E-41.96278381.7E-40.00172019070.0017640460.00206351681.16976363.0E-4
6.52.782202E-62.8558404E-65.28557E-518.507935.0E-51.1923668E-51.223926E-51.12238034E-49.1703281.0E-41.4516099E-41.4900314E-42.8898226E-41.93943751.4E-40.0014506620.00148906510.00174867791.17434622.6E-4
6.62.3163404E-62.38092E-65.23808E-522.0002375.0E-59.927136E-61.0203904E-51.10202884E-410.8000711.0E-41.20856166E-41.2422565E-42.6420827E-42.12684131.4E-40.00120790470.00124158230.00149127191.2011062.5E-4
6.72.037056E-62.0965003E-64.2096417E-520.0793744.0E-58.7302105E-68.984972E-69.8984165E-511.0166369.0E-51.0628513E-41.093867E-42.3937249E-42.18831421.3E-40.00106234310.00109334480.00130311521.19186122.1E-4
6.81.8356744E-61.8915287E-64.1891453E-522.1468774.0E-57.867153E-68.106527E-69.81058E-512.1020759.0E-59.577837E-59.869264E-52.2867981E-42.31709071.3E-49.57371E-49.86502E-40.00119629491.21266342.1E-4
6.91.6310546E-61.6832072E-63.1683157E-518.8230883.0E-56.9902153E-67.213726E-68.721315E-512.089898.0E-58.510255E-58.782368E-51.9781402E-42.25239941.1E-48.5069967E-48.7790104E-40.00106773421.21623531.9E-4
7.01.2058036E-61.2508665E-63.1250827E-524.9833433.0E-55.1677193E-65.3608455E-67.536047E-514.0575717.0E-56.291517E-56.5266366E-51.6525984E-42.53208281.0E-46.289736E-46.524743E-48.123699E-41.24506041.6E-4
7.11.052382E-61.0951609E-63.109513E-528.3932063.0E-54.5102006E-64.693538E-67.469321E-515.9140527.0E-55.491031E-55.7142337E-51.5713662E-42.74991581.0E-45.4896745E-45.7127734E-47.311859E-41.27991411.6E-4
7.21.0067454E-61.0487711E-63.104874E-529.6048773.0E-54.3146156E-64.4947255E-67.449441E-516.573747.0E-55.252918E-55.4721917E-51.4471699E-42.64458929.0E-55.251676E-45.470853E-46.8700867E-41.25576161.4E-4
7.39.3596316E-79.767723E-72.0976753E-521.475582.0E-54.0112645E-64.1861604E-66.418591E-515.3328836.0E-54.8836053E-55.096532E-51.3096124E-42.5696158.0E-54.8825322E-45.095371E-46.29476E-41.23538791.2E-4
7.48.8117395E-79.2076635E-72.0920748E-522.7210182.0E-53.7764542E-63.9461356E-65.394594E-513.6705745.0E-54.5977362E-54.8043148E-51.1803979E-42.45695357.0E-54.596785E-44.8032837E-45.802803E-41.20809091.0E-4
7.58.292386E-78.6745956E-72.0867443E-524.0558092.0E-53.5538749E-63.7176785E-65.3717493E-514.4492035.0E-54.326757E-54.5261804E-51.15258634E-42.54648787.0E-54.3259145E-44.5252658E-45.5248133E-41.22088151.0E-4
7.67.553842E-77.9144706E-71.0791439E-513.6350741.0E-53.2373566E-63.3919116E-64.3391778E-512.792724.0E-53.9414106E-54.129575E-51.0129327E-42.45287426.0E-53.9407116E-44.1288146E-44.928484E-41.19368028.0E-5
7.76.5285366E-76.852797E-71.0685273E-515.5925721.0E-52.797941E-62.9369096E-63.2936823E-511.2147893.0E-53.40644E-53.5756293E-58.575451E-52.39830525.0E-53.405918E-43.5750607E-44.2748105E-41.19573097.0E-5
7.83.4586725E-73.6482615E-71.0364823E-528.4103071.0E-51.4822873E-61.5635396E-62.1563508E-513.7914692.0E-51.80467E-51.9035933E-54.9035363E-52.57593683.0E-51.8045233E-41.9034347E-42.2033777E-41.15757983.0E-5
7.92.5591178E-92.6696718E-92.6696718E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.14414505E-81.14414505E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3929966E-71.3929966E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3929966E-61.3929966E-61.00.0

Calico-Hidalgo

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.0906612E-55.0704355E-52.0069676E-43.95817571.5E-41.7530227E-42.1728857E-44.0724728E-41.87422321.9E-40.00213221580.0026426780.00288204381.0905772.4E-40.021118730.0261528140.0265033991.01340523.6E-4
6.14.0906612E-55.0704355E-52.0069676E-43.95817571.5E-41.7530227E-42.1728857E-44.0724728E-41.87422321.9E-40.00213221580.0026426780.00288204381.0905772.4E-40.021118730.0261528140.0265033991.01340523.6E-4
6.24.0906612E-55.0704355E-52.0069676E-43.95817571.5E-41.7530227E-42.1728857E-44.0724728E-41.87422321.9E-40.00213221580.0026426780.00288204381.0905772.4E-40.021118730.0261528140.0265033991.01340523.6E-4
6.32.4242801E-53.0090967E-51.4008765E-44.65547231.1E-41.0389358E-41.289551E-42.489396E-41.93043641.2E-40.00126417040.00156893120.00173866451.1081841.7E-40.012570030.0155822290.0158381781.01642572.6E-4
6.42.4242801E-53.0090967E-51.4008765E-44.65547231.1E-41.0389358E-41.289551E-42.489396E-41.93043641.2E-40.00126417040.00156893120.00173866451.1081841.7E-40.012570030.0155822290.0158381781.01642572.6E-4
6.52.0286952E-52.5316054E-51.2531353E-44.94996261.0E-48.694118E-51.0849296E-42.1848103E-42.01378061.1E-40.00105799490.00132011860.00147990731.12104131.6E-40.0105297190.0131247010.0133516821.01729422.3E-4
6.62.0269223E-52.5297004E-51.2529448E-44.9529371.0E-48.6865206E-51.08411325E-42.183994E-42.01454421.1E-40.00105707070.00131912580.00147891481.12113251.6E-40.0105205650.013114890.0133418741.01730732.3E-4
6.71.799852E-52.2540933E-51.125389E-44.9926469.0E-57.713423E-59.660051E-51.9659085E-42.03509121.0E-49.3870464E-40.00117549110.00132531491.12745621.5E-40.0093474930.0116943460.011901891.01774742.1E-4
6.81.7458793E-52.184258E-51.11840614E-45.1203029.0E-57.4821255E-59.360778E-51.9359842E-42.06818721.0E-49.10568E-40.00113909330.00128892251.13153361.5E-40.0090684590.0113341310.0115318631.01744582.0E-4
6.91.542884E-51.9026285E-59.9024764E-55.20462948.0E-56.612192E-58.153875E-51.7153141E-42.10367979.0E-58.04737E-49.922953E-40.00113215641.1409471.4E-40.0080182910.0098800430.0100681661.01904071.9E-4
7.01.468253E-51.803109E-58.802983E-54.8821137.0E-56.292361E-57.727389E-51.5726771E-42.03519858.0E-57.658257E-49.4041653E-40.00107029431.13810661.3E-40.00763191840.0093657360.009544051.0190391.8E-4
7.11.3139281E-51.620139E-56.620058E-54.0861055.0E-55.6309986E-56.943275E-51.2942858E-41.86408566.0E-56.853584E-48.4502844E-49.449439E-41.11823921.0E-40.00683248560.0084194490.00855827051.01648821.4E-4
7.21.1127404E-51.3867038E-53.386676E-52.4422492.0E-54.7688E-55.9428872E-58.942709E-51.50477523.0E-55.8044674E-47.233172E-47.932666E-41.09670647.0E-50.00578932980.0072107370.0073000881.01239139.0E-5
7.39.808154E-61.2176586E-53.2176344E-52.64247662.0E-54.2034266E-55.2184383E-58.218282E-51.57485463.0E-55.11647E-46.351704E-47.051259E-41.11013667.0E-50.00510470570.0063346250.00642405541.01411769.0E-5
7.47.942452E-69.792348E-62.9792152E-53.0423912.0E-53.4038632E-54.1966585E-57.1965325E-51.71482443.0E-54.1434157E-45.108328E-45.608073E-41.09782935.0E-50.00413569850.0050975270.00516717041.01366217.0E-5
7.54.7121216E-65.7729717E-61.5772914E-52.73220011.0E-52.019465E-52.4741115E-54.474062E-51.8083512.0E-52.4584212E-43.011891E-43.4117704E-41.1327674.0E-50.00245570320.00300856140.00305841121.01656935.0E-5
7.62.21172E-72.6040198E-72.6040198E-71.00.09.478797E-71.1160082E-61.1160082E-61.00.01.1540374E-51.3587343E-51.3587343E-51.00.01.1539775E-41.3586794E-41.3586794E-41.00.0

Sierra Nevada (No Extension)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.7690465E-66.9762887E-61.6697517E-423.9346711.6E-43.329549E-52.989824E-52.0989285E-47.02024131.8E-44.0529718E-43.6398612E-46.238915E-41.71405292.6E-40.0040455880.00363741540.0039961061.09861143.6E-4
6.17.7690465E-66.9762887E-61.6697517E-423.9346711.6E-43.329549E-52.989824E-52.0989285E-47.02024131.8E-44.0529718E-43.6398612E-46.238915E-41.71405292.6E-40.0040455880.00363741540.0039961061.09861143.6E-4
6.27.7690465E-66.9762887E-61.6697517E-423.9346711.6E-43.329549E-52.989824E-52.0989285E-47.02024131.8E-44.0529718E-43.6398612E-46.238915E-41.71405292.6E-40.0040455880.00363741540.0039961061.09861143.6E-4
6.37.7690465E-66.9762887E-61.6697517E-423.9346711.6E-43.329549E-52.989824E-52.0989285E-47.02024131.8E-44.0529718E-43.6398612E-46.238915E-41.71405292.6E-40.0040455880.00363741540.0039961061.09861143.6E-4
6.47.7690465E-66.9762887E-61.6697517E-423.9346711.6E-43.329549E-52.989824E-52.0989285E-47.02024131.8E-44.0529718E-43.6398612E-46.238915E-41.71405292.6E-40.0040455880.00363741540.0039961061.09861143.6E-4
6.57.7690465E-66.9762887E-61.6697517E-423.9346711.6E-43.329549E-52.989824E-52.0989285E-47.02024131.8E-44.0529718E-43.6398612E-46.238915E-41.71405292.6E-40.0040455880.00363741540.0039961061.09861143.6E-4
6.62.653E-61.6148208E-61.3161461E-481.504161.3E-41.136995E-56.9206426E-61.569196E-422.6741371.5E-41.3842035E-48.42556E-52.8423875E-43.37352942.0E-40.00138334158.4224E-40.0011020211.30844062.6E-4
6.72.5902466E-61.5501544E-61.3154995E-484.862491.3E-41.11010095E-56.643502E-61.566425E-423.5783021.5E-41.351464E-48.088166E-52.708663E-43.34892081.9E-40.00135064248.0852525E-40.00105832311.3089552.5E-4
6.82.5853892E-61.5469546E-61.3154675E-485.035951.3E-41.1080193E-56.629789E-61.566288E-423.6250041.5E-41.34893E-48.071472E-52.7069938E-43.35377961.9E-40.00134811148.06857E-40.00105665531.30959432.5E-4
6.92.458257E-61.422029E-61.2142186E-485.386351.2E-41.0535345E-56.0943958E-61.4609355E-423.9717851.4E-41.2826028E-47.419676E-52.541834E-43.4258021.8E-40.00128186277.4172183E-49.815438E-41.32333152.4E-4
7.02.4341468E-61.3989927E-61.2139882E-486.775881.2E-41.0432016E-55.9956697E-61.4599483E-424.3500461.4E-41.270024E-47.299485E-52.529817E-43.46574741.8E-40.00126929847.297107E-49.6953555E-41.32865752.4E-4
7.12.3652476E-61.3339427E-61.2133378E-490.958771.2E-41.0136736E-55.716885E-61.4571608E-425.4887221.4E-41.2340778E-46.9600865E-52.4958834E-43.58599471.8E-40.00123339266.957924E-49.356254E-41.34469042.4E-4
7.22.272158E-61.2502497E-61.212501E-496.9807051.2E-49.737784E-65.358202E-61.4535745E-427.1280271.4E-41.1855107E-46.523417E-52.4522244E-43.759111.8E-40.00118487846.5215176E-48.919952E-41.36777252.4E-4
7.32.1382127E-61.1419382E-61.211418E-4106.084371.2E-49.163737E-64.894012E-61.4489333E-429.6062471.4E-41.1156279E-45.9582977E-52.3957225E-44.02081731.8E-40.0011150685.956712E-48.3552825E-41.40266682.4E-4
7.41.9048055E-69.574928E-71.10957386E-4115.8832551.1E-48.163426E-64.103534E-61.34103E-432.679881.3E-49.9385186E-54.995939E-52.199509E-44.40259361.7E-49.934074E-44.9948227E-47.293674E-41.46024682.3E-4
7.51.5373403E-67.559763E-71.00755904E-4133.279171.0E-46.5885843E-63.2398946E-61.1323954E-434.9516141.1E-48.021306E-53.9445007E-51.8943909E-44.8026131.5E-48.0184115E-43.9438053E-45.943017E-41.50692442.0E-4
7.61.0680322E-64.65941E-74.0465922E-586.847744.0E-54.577273E-61.9968884E-65.1996787E-526.0389045.0E-55.5726876E-52.4311848E-51.04309904E-44.29049638.0E-55.5712904E-42.4309216E-43.4306783E-41.41126671.0E-4
7.75.509146E-71.5578539E-71.01557835E-565.1908651.0E-52.3610605E-66.676515E-71.0667645E-515.9778641.0E-52.8745531E-58.128628E-61.8128547E-52.23020981.0E-52.8741814E-48.128342E-51.01281796E-41.24603262.0E-5

Lake Isabella (Seismicity)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.431637E-69.741651E-61.2974048E-413.318121.2E-44.0420677E-54.1749343E-52.0174266E-44.8322361.6E-44.920106E-45.0819275E-47.780555E-41.53102452.7E-40.0049092270.0050715990.0054297731.07062353.6E-4
6.19.431637E-69.741651E-61.2974048E-413.318121.2E-44.0420677E-54.1749343E-52.0174266E-44.8322361.6E-44.920106E-45.0819275E-47.780555E-41.53102452.7E-40.0049092270.0050715990.0054297731.07062353.6E-4
6.29.431637E-69.741651E-61.2974048E-413.318121.2E-44.0420677E-54.1749343E-52.0174266E-44.8322361.6E-44.920106E-45.0819275E-47.780555E-41.53102452.7E-40.0049092270.0050715990.0054297731.07062353.6E-4
6.39.431637E-69.741651E-61.2974048E-413.318121.2E-44.0420677E-54.1749343E-52.0174266E-44.8322361.6E-44.920106E-45.0819275E-47.780555E-41.53102452.7E-40.0049092270.0050715990.0054297731.07062353.6E-4
6.45.144063E-65.3000763E-67.529971E-514.2072887.0E-52.2045799E-52.2714434E-59.271284E-54.08167087.0E-52.6837454E-42.765166E-43.7648893E-41.3615421.0E-40.00268050660.00276206570.00292162391.05776761.6E-4
6.55.144063E-65.3000763E-67.529971E-514.2072887.0E-52.2045799E-52.2714434E-59.271284E-54.08167087.0E-52.6837454E-42.765166E-43.7648893E-41.3615421.0E-40.00268050660.00276206570.00292162391.05776761.6E-4
6.63.4009804E-63.498786E-67.3498544E-521.0068687.0E-51.4575549E-51.4994721E-58.499367E-55.66823967.0E-51.7744285E-41.8254704E-42.6253244E-41.43816338.0E-50.00177301230.00182412860.00194390971.06566491.2E-4
6.73.3880428E-63.4856528E-67.348541E-521.0822537.0E-51.4520103E-51.4938435E-58.493739E-55.6858297.0E-51.767679E-41.8186188E-42.6184734E-41.43981438.0E-50.00176627360.00181728820.00193707021.06591251.2E-4
6.82.6582E-62.7337003E-66.273354E-522.9482146.0E-51.1392236E-51.1715813E-57.171511E-56.12122346.0E-51.3869164E-41.4263204E-42.1262205E-41.49070337.0E-50.00138605120.00142553690.00151540861.06304419.0E-5
6.92.406011E-62.4743288E-65.2474206E-521.207455.0E-51.0311434E-51.0604231E-56.06037E-55.71504935.0E-51.2553448E-41.2910018E-41.8909243E-41.46469536.0E-50.00125463590.00129038140.00137027821.06191728.0E-5
7.01.6953097E-61.7429371E-63.1742886E-518.2122943.0E-57.265593E-67.469715E-63.746949E-55.0161873.0E-58.8455E-59.094104E-51.20938304E-41.32985413.0E-58.84198E-49.09141E-49.491046E-41.04395764.0E-5
7.13.5013824E-73.5714822E-71.0357145E-528.9995691.0E-51.5005916E-61.5306344E-61.1530619E-57.5332291.0E-51.826955E-51.8635317E-52.8635131E-51.53660551.0E-51.8268047E-41.863378E-41.9633592E-41.0536561.0E-5
7.22.2321095E-72.2750574E-72.2750574E-71.00.09.56618E-79.750242E-79.750242E-71.00.01.1646762E-51.1870856E-51.1870856E-51.00.01.1646151E-41.1870232E-41.1870232E-41.00.0
7.31.5760406E-71.6060922E-71.6060922E-71.00.06.7544585E-76.8832503E-76.8832503E-71.00.08.223522E-68.380326E-68.380326E-61.00.08.2232174E-58.3800165E-58.3800165E-51.00.0
7.41.1216497E-71.1431706E-71.1431706E-71.00.04.8070694E-74.899302E-74.899302E-71.00.05.852591E-65.964884E-65.964884E-61.00.05.8524372E-55.9647282E-55.9647282E-51.00.0
7.54.885185E-84.9787737E-84.9787737E-81.00.02.0936506E-72.13376E-72.13376E-71.00.02.5490165E-62.59785E-62.59785E-61.00.02.5489873E-52.5978214E-52.5978214E-51.00.0
7.61.504641E-91.5317903E-91.5317903E-91.00.06.4484613E-96.5648154E-96.5648154E-91.00.07.851001E-87.992663E-87.992663E-81.00.07.8509987E-77.992663E-77.992663E-71.00.0

San Jacinto (San Bernardino)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.409352E-53.598562E-51.7598057E-44.8903031.4E-41.461069E-41.5421498E-43.341872E-42.16702181.8E-40.00177740.00187595210.00208555811.11173322.1E-40.017632510.0193499920.0196736081.01672423.3E-4
6.13.409352E-53.598562E-51.7598057E-44.8903031.4E-41.461069E-41.5421498E-43.341872E-42.16702181.8E-40.00177740.00187595210.00208555811.11173322.1E-40.017632510.0193499920.0196736081.01672423.3E-4
6.23.409352E-53.598562E-51.7598057E-44.8903031.4E-41.461069E-41.5421498E-43.341872E-42.16702181.8E-40.00177740.00187595210.00208555811.11173322.1E-40.017632510.0193499920.0196736081.01672423.3E-4
6.33.409352E-53.598562E-51.7598057E-44.8903031.4E-41.461069E-41.5421498E-43.341872E-42.16702181.8E-40.00177740.00187595210.00208555811.11173322.1E-40.017632510.0193499920.0196736081.01672423.3E-4
6.43.400795E-53.5878285E-51.7587325E-44.9019421.4E-41.4574021E-41.5375503E-43.3372734E-42.17051341.8E-40.00177294280.00187036190.0020799691.11206772.1E-40.0175886450.0192950740.0196187071.01677293.3E-4
6.53.341482E-53.5138914E-51.75134E-44.9840471.4E-41.4319851E-41.5058667E-43.3055956E-42.1951451.8E-40.00174204770.00183185220.00204146751.1144282.1E-40.0172845460.0189166160.0192305631.01659633.2E-4
6.63.3364955E-53.5076133E-51.7507123E-44.9911781.4E-41.4298483E-41.5031763E-43.3029058E-42.19728421.8E-40.00173945010.00182858230.00203819831.11463312.1E-40.0172589760.018884480.0191984381.01662523.2E-4
6.73.335922E-53.5065907E-51.75061E-44.9923421.4E-41.4296026E-41.5027382E-43.3024675E-42.19763351.8E-40.00173915140.00182804970.00203766581.11466662.1E-40.0172560350.0188792720.019193231.01662983.2E-4
6.83.327683E-53.4959972E-51.7495507E-45.004441.4E-41.4260718E-41.4981985E-43.2979288E-42.2012631.8E-40.00173485970.0018225320.00203214941.11501432.1E-40.0172137840.0188250450.019139021.01667873.2E-4
6.93.3235785E-53.4900928E-51.7489603E-45.01121471.4E-41.4243131E-41.4956683E-43.295399E-42.20329551.8E-40.00173272170.00181945670.00202907461.11520912.1E-40.0171927340.0187949110.0191088971.01670593.2E-4
7.03.3197095E-53.4840854E-51.7483598E-45.0181311.4E-41.422655E-41.4930942E-43.2928254E-42.20537021.8E-40.00173070630.00181632780.00202594651.1154082.1E-40.0171728940.018764290.0190782851.01673363.2E-4
7.13.3129716E-53.4721066E-51.747162E-45.03199431.4E-41.4197677E-41.4879608E-43.287693E-42.20952921.8E-40.00172719660.00181008840.00201970831.11580652.1E-40.0171383380.0187033660.019017381.01678923.2E-4
7.23.3034008E-53.4588513E-51.7458366E-45.04744671.4E-41.4156665E-41.4822806E-43.282014E-42.2141651.8E-40.00172221110.00180318430.00201280551.11625062.1E-40.0170892530.018635750.0189497861.01685133.2E-4
7.33.2956614E-53.4456265E-51.7445144E-45.06298161.4E-41.4123498E-41.4766137E-43.2763477E-42.21882531.8E-40.00171817960.00179629610.00200591891.11669722.1E-40.0170495570.0185684950.0188825541.01691353.2E-4
7.43.2915937E-53.4377957E-51.7437314E-45.07223651.4E-41.4106068E-41.473258E-43.272993E-42.2216021.8E-40.00171606080.00179221730.00200184091.11696332.1E-40.0170286930.0185287690.018842841.01695053.2E-4
7.53.281791E-53.424287E-51.7423807E-45.0883021.4E-41.406406E-41.4674691E-43.267205E-42.22642161.8E-40.00171095420.00178518090.0019948061.11742512.1E-40.0169784110.0184596520.0187737461.01701513.2E-4
7.63.2521442E-53.396782E-51.7396307E-45.1214081.4E-41.3937015E-41.4556825E-43.2554206E-42.23635341.8E-40.00169551090.00177085420.00198048241.11837692.1E-40.0168263280.0183172950.0186314341.01714983.2E-4
7.73.0287873E-53.245191E-51.7244737E-45.31393581.4E-41.297987E-41.3907222E-43.0904857E-42.22221661.7E-40.00157915370.00169189030.00189155191.1180112.0E-40.015679790.0175281990.0178327651.01737583.1E-4
7.82.6316151E-52.9662837E-51.6965868E-45.71957061.4E-41.1277862E-41.2712025E-42.9709865E-42.33714651.7E-40.00137221490.00154659130.0017462821.12911672.0E-40.0136377240.0160698780.0163748951.01898073.1E-4
7.92.0761147E-52.3417291E-51.4341448E-46.12429861.2E-48.897331E-51.0035596E-42.503409E-42.49452951.5E-40.00108271170.00122114980.00139094231.13904311.7E-40.0107745170.0127932720.0130696891.02160642.8E-4
8.01.5738568E-51.6032505E-55.6031866E-53.49489144.0E-56.744926E-56.8708934E-51.18705495E-41.72765745.0E-58.2088535E-48.3621085E-48.961607E-41.07169226.0E-50.0081785960.0088657410.0089846771.01341521.2E-4
8.11.0105832E-58.329479E-62.8329312E-53.40109062.0E-54.3309992E-53.569728E-56.569621E-51.84037023.0E-55.2717153E-44.3452822E-44.7451083E-41.09201384.0E-50.0052592270.00467687940.00473659861.01276916.0E-5
8.24.189207E-61.577699E-61.577699E-61.00.01.7953622E-56.7615497E-66.7615497E-61.00.02.1856341E-48.231879E-58.231879E-51.00.00.00218348589.562628E-49.562628E-41.00.0
8.31.2758221E-63.612677E-73.612677E-71.00.05.4677976E-61.5482892E-61.5482892E-61.00.06.65684E-51.8850264E-51.8850264E-51.00.06.6548464E-42.2739546E-42.2739546E-41.00.0

Manix-Afton Hills

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.3783202E-51.47110895E-51.2470948E-48.4772421.1E-45.906953E-56.30461E-51.9303791E-43.06185321.3E-47.189342E-47.6733343E-49.871647E-41.28648722.2E-40.00716612770.0076485960.0079661491.04151773.2E-4
6.11.3783202E-51.47110895E-51.2470948E-48.4772421.1E-45.906953E-56.30461E-51.9303791E-43.06185321.3E-47.189342E-47.6733343E-49.871647E-41.28648722.2E-40.00716612770.0076485960.0079661491.04151773.2E-4
6.21.3783202E-51.47110895E-51.2470948E-48.4772421.1E-45.906953E-56.30461E-51.9303791E-43.06185321.3E-47.189342E-47.6733343E-49.871647E-41.28648722.2E-40.00716612770.0076485960.0079661491.04151773.2E-4
6.31.10494875E-51.1793136E-51.1179195E-49.4794091.0E-44.7354086E-55.054109E-51.6053554E-43.1763371.1E-45.763835E-46.151744E-47.8506983E-41.27617441.7E-40.0057489080.00613575570.00638422141.04049482.5E-4
6.41.10494875E-51.1793136E-51.1179195E-49.4794091.0E-44.7354086E-55.054109E-51.6053554E-43.1763371.1E-45.763835E-46.151744E-47.8506983E-41.27617441.7E-40.0057489080.00613575570.00638422141.04049482.5E-4
6.59.788949E-61.045432E-58.045359E-57.6957277.0E-54.1951964E-54.480351E-51.2479993E-42.78549438.0E-55.1064545E-45.453555E-46.752846E-41.23824671.3E-40.00509473630.00544109850.0056499561.03838522.1E-4
6.68.810006E-69.4136285E-67.941297E-58.4359587.0E-53.775662E-54.0343548E-51.2034032E-42.9828898.0E-54.5958988E-44.9108086E-46.1102194E-41.2442391.2E-40.00458640560.0049008390.0050799571.03654841.8E-4
6.78.80128E-69.404108E-67.940345E-58.4434857.0E-53.7719226E-54.0302748E-51.20299526E-42.98489648.0E-54.591348E-44.9058435E-46.105255E-41.24448621.2E-40.0045818740.00489589570.00507501471.03658551.8E-4
6.86.8994877E-67.380076E-66.737963E-59.1299376.0E-52.9568899E-53.162856E-59.1626665E-52.89695986.0E-53.5994186E-43.8501783E-44.8497933E-41.25962821.0E-40.0035935940.00384431290.00398377471.03627741.4E-4
6.94.9328037E-65.2709615E-65.52707E-510.4858865.0E-52.1140417E-52.2589675E-57.258855E-53.21335085.0E-52.5735417E-42.7500073E-43.5497872E-41.29082838.0E-50.00257056350.00274720950.00285690721.03993061.1E-4
7.03.347973E-63.59003E-65.358985E-514.927415.0E-51.4348378E-51.5385775E-56.538501E-54.2497055.0E-51.746775E-41.8730981E-42.572967E-41.37364247.0E-50.00174540250.00187192190.00196175351.04798899.0E-5
7.11.2073567E-61.293482E-61.12934695E-58.731061.0E-55.1743755E-65.543492E-61.5543437E-52.80390721.0E-56.29962E-56.749156E-57.7490884E-51.14815661.0E-56.297835E-46.7487074E-46.84864E-41.01480771.0E-5

White Wolf (Extension)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.222555E-66.066615E-68.606613E-514.1868468.0E-53.5239045E-52.5999556E-51.5599618E-45.9999551.3E-44.289509E-43.1650523E-45.1644194E-41.63170112.0E-40.00428123870.00316119660.00346024821.09460083.0E-4
6.18.222555E-66.066615E-68.606613E-514.1868468.0E-53.5239045E-52.5999556E-51.5599618E-45.9999551.3E-44.289509E-43.1650523E-45.1644194E-41.63170112.0E-40.00428123870.00316119660.00346024821.09460083.0E-4
6.28.222555E-66.066615E-68.606613E-514.1868468.0E-53.5239045E-52.5999556E-51.5599618E-45.9999551.3E-44.289509E-43.1650523E-45.1644194E-41.63170112.0E-40.00428123870.00316119660.00346024821.09460083.0E-4
6.38.222555E-66.066615E-68.606613E-514.1868468.0E-53.5239045E-52.5999556E-51.5599618E-45.9999551.3E-44.289509E-43.1650523E-45.1644194E-41.63170112.0E-40.00428123870.00316119660.00346024821.09460083.0E-4
6.45.821773E-63.5571256E-63.355702E-59.4337453.0E-52.4950215E-51.5244741E-59.524352E-56.2476318.0E-53.0372653E-41.8559002E-43.0556775E-41.64646651.2E-40.00303311760.00185445860.00202414321.0915011.7E-4
6.55.766023E-63.4990599E-63.3498956E-59.5737023.0E-52.4711293E-51.49958905E-59.499469E-56.3347158.0E-53.0081844E-41.8256076E-43.0253886E-41.65719531.2E-40.00300411580.00182421610.0019939061.09302071.7E-4
6.64.643576E-62.3325733E-62.2332526E-59.5742022.0E-51.9900888E-59.9967065E-66.999611E-57.0019176.0E-52.4226638E-41.2170354E-42.1169258E-41.7394129.0E-50.00242002420.00121641120.00134625311.10674181.3E-4
6.73.9529173E-61.6482975E-61.1648281E-57.0668561.0E-51.6940963E-57.064114E-65.706376E-58.0779785.0E-52.0623671E-48.600239E-51.5599636E-41.81386097.0E-50.0020604548.597095E-49.5962355E-41.11621831.0E-4
6.83.4377522E-61.2244764E-61.2244764E-61.00.01.473314E-55.247746E-63.5247587E-56.71671063.0E-51.7936122E-46.388952E-51.1388633E-41.78255095.0E-50.00179216526.3872064E-47.0867594E-41.10952417.0E-5
6.93.1367306E-61.0033316E-61.0033316E-61.00.01.3443062E-54.299986E-62.42999E-55.65115832.0E-51.63657E-45.2351144E-58.234957E-51.57302333.0E-50.00163536525.233958E-45.733696E-41.095485.0E-5
7.02.8298145E-67.4282326E-77.4282326E-71.00.01.2127721E-53.1835248E-61.3183493E-54.14116241.0E-51.47645E-43.8758775E-55.8758E-51.51599222.0E-50.00147546933.8752513E-44.2750963E-41.10317914.0E-5
7.12.4091064E-65.4223835E-75.4223835E-71.00.01.03247E-52.3238767E-61.2323853E-55.3031441.0E-51.2569598E-42.8292874E-54.829231E-51.70687172.0E-50.0012562492.8289677E-43.2288543E-41.14135434.0E-5
7.21.3875518E-61.0740268E-71.0740268E-71.00.05.9466374E-64.6029712E-74.6029712E-71.00.07.23979E-55.604104E-65.604104E-61.00.07.2374323E-45.6039742E-57.603862E-51.35686962.0E-5
7.37.056077E-75.0002956E-85.0002956E-81.00.03.0240296E-62.1429837E-72.1429837E-71.00.03.681694E-52.60908E-62.60908E-61.00.03.681084E-42.609054E-53.609028E-51.38327061.0E-5
7.45.9334678E-84.8638475E-94.8638475E-91.00.02.5429145E-72.084506E-82.084506E-81.00.03.095994E-62.5378858E-72.5378858E-71.00.03.095951E-52.5378843E-62.5378843E-61.00.0

San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.986481E-40.00122759290.00128751921.04881616.0E-50.00256311240.0052455470.0053350751.01706749.0E-50.0307628460.061204910.0613645051.00260761.7E-40.268354770.425934940.426089941.0003642.7E-4
6.15.015945E-40.00102179860.00107174751.04888335.0E-50.002147920.00436785960.004447511.01823568.0E-50.0258393510.051248370.051390681.0027771.5E-40.230327760.372856680.373013471.00042052.5E-4
6.24.073338E-48.1073755E-48.507051E-41.04929784.0E-50.00174454840.00346714770.0035369051.02011957.0E-50.0210340580.040933170.0410578471.00304591.3E-40.191507820.313033460.313191471.00050472.3E-4
6.33.464099E-46.7391695E-47.1389E-41.05931454.0E-50.00148376920.00288295930.00295275751.02421067.0E-50.0179158730.0341895820.0343151351.00367241.3E-40.165383590.27131660.271484171.00061772.3E-4
6.42.935057E-45.5442745E-45.944053E-41.07210654.0E-50.00125727510.00237253630.00244237021.02943437.0E-50.0152002480.028264510.0283908361.00446941.3E-40.142015770.232985290.23316171.00075722.3E-4
6.52.3409708E-44.2093755E-44.609207E-41.0949864.0E-50.00100288750.00180196840.00187184231.03877647.0E-50.0121419650.0215874610.0217146561.0058921.3E-40.114995730.186823680.18701071.00100112.3E-4
6.61.5842178E-42.506933E-42.9068327E-41.15951754.0E-56.7877385E-40.00107394970.00113388541.05580856.0E-50.00823280.0129955750.0131041451.00835441.1E-40.079343960.123146380.123321751.00142412.0E-4
6.71.5616413E-42.4605883E-42.8604898E-41.16252284.0E-56.691031E-40.00105410690.00111404361.05686026.0E-50.00811594350.012757440.0128660371.00851241.1E-40.07825860.121173510.1213492751.00145052.0E-4
6.81.5538467E-42.4429744E-42.8428767E-41.16369494.0E-56.6576427E-40.00104656450.00110650181.05727046.0E-50.0080755960.0126668380.0127754451.00857411.1E-40.077883580.1204043550.120580271.0014612.0E-4
6.91.5153569E-42.3539034E-42.753809E-41.16989054.0E-56.49277E-40.00100842760.00106836721.05943866.0E-50.0078763330.012209010.0123176681.00889971.1E-40.076029520.116474450.1166511551.0015172.0E-4
7.01.4588932E-42.2396253E-42.6395358E-41.17856134.0E-56.250901E-49.5948833E-40.00101943081.06247336.0E-50.00758394740.0116196970.0117284191.00935671.1E-40.0733028950.111320460.111498191.00159662.0E-4
7.11.1565079E-41.6281738E-42.0281087E-41.2456344.0E-54.955521E-46.9760304E-47.4756815E-41.0716245.0E-50.0060166690.00846044350.0085595971.01171971.0E-40.0585635380.083670460.08383541.00197121.8E-4
7.21.0393792E-41.4615769E-41.8615184E-41.2736374.0E-54.4537216E-46.2624045E-46.7620917E-41.07979155.0E-50.0054089330.00759799270.0076972331.01306141.0E-40.0527915950.075619690.075776841.0020781.7E-4
7.39.332884E-51.2780898E-41.6780387E-41.3129274.0E-53.999194E-45.4763845E-45.9761107E-41.09125115.0E-50.00485815340.0066472490.0067465841.01494381.0E-40.0475331020.066483260.066641961.0023871.7E-4
7.48.670252E-51.17032345E-41.5702767E-41.34174594.0E-53.715293E-45.0147134E-45.514463E-41.09965665.0E-50.0045139910.0060884430.00618783431.01632451.0E-40.0442339370.0611516420.061311251.002611.7E-4
7.57.3036405E-59.005856E-51.3005496E-41.44411544.0E-53.129756E-43.8590826E-44.3588897E-41.12951455.0E-50.00380382170.00468833230.00477791071.01910669.0E-50.037393670.0478777920.0480206121.0029831.5E-4
7.66.3935775E-58.280385E-51.2280053E-41.48302944.0E-52.7398168E-43.5482543E-44.0480768E-41.14086445.0E-50.00333062540.0043114610.00440107331.02078469.0E-50.0328114740.043992010.044135411.00325971.5E-4
7.75.5050095E-56.6618326E-58.6616994E-51.30019772.0E-52.3590765E-42.854759E-43.1546733E-41.10505773.0E-50.00286839270.0034701340.00352992561.01723046.0E-50.02831650.0357962140.0359119181.00323241.2E-4
7.85.027131E-56.162871E-58.162747E-51.32450412.0E-52.1543067E-42.640963E-42.940884E-41.1135653.0E-50.00261971350.0032106350.00326047441.01552325.0E-50.0258904530.033126660.0332330171.00321051.1E-4
7.93.7271806E-55.022507E-57.0224065E-51.39818752.0E-51.5972654E-42.1523255E-42.4522608E-41.13935413.0E-50.00194293590.0026173090.00266717841.01905365.0E-50.0192603620.0270674660.0271647571.00359451.0E-4
8.02.7310243E-53.1427757E-54.1427444E-51.31818011.0E-51.17038646E-41.3468343E-41.5468075E-41.14847642.0E-50.00142401410.00163853830.00166848921.0182793.0E-50.0141492350.017213860.0172629991.00285465.0E-5
8.11.7940547E-51.7399378E-51.7399378E-51.00.07.688579E-57.456663E-57.456663E-51.00.09.3568244E-49.074711E-49.074711E-41.00.00.0093175250.0097986360.0098085381.00101051.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.473668E-65.473668E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3458366E-52.3458366E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.8556827E-42.8556827E-41.00.00.00450013950.00324817930.00324817931.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

Mission Creek

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1549387E-51.6322783E-51.0632131E-46.51367579.0E-54.9496433E-56.995299E-51.69946E-42.42943141.0E-46.0245243E-48.5135986E-40.00103120671.21124651.8E-40.0060082180.0085101570.0087580291.02912662.5E-4
6.11.1549387E-51.6322783E-51.0632131E-46.51367579.0E-54.9496433E-56.995299E-51.69946E-42.42943141.0E-46.0245243E-48.5135986E-40.00103120671.21124651.8E-40.0060082180.0085101570.0087580291.02912662.5E-4
6.21.1549387E-51.6322783E-51.0632131E-46.51367579.0E-54.9496433E-56.995299E-51.69946E-42.42943141.0E-46.0245243E-48.5135986E-40.00103120671.21124651.8E-40.0060082180.0085101570.0087580291.02912662.5E-4
6.31.1549387E-51.6322783E-51.0632131E-46.51367579.0E-54.9496433E-56.995299E-51.69946E-42.42943141.0E-46.0245243E-48.5135986E-40.00103120671.21124651.8E-40.0060082180.0085101570.0087580291.02912662.5E-4
6.41.1549387E-51.6322783E-51.0632131E-46.51367579.0E-54.9496433E-56.995299E-51.69946E-42.42943141.0E-46.0245243E-48.5135986E-40.00103120671.21124651.8E-40.0060082180.0085101570.0087580291.02912662.5E-4
6.51.1549387E-51.6322783E-51.0632131E-46.51367579.0E-54.9496433E-56.995299E-51.69946E-42.42943141.0E-46.0245243E-48.5135986E-40.00103120671.21124651.8E-40.0060082180.0085101570.0087580291.02912662.5E-4
6.69.202681E-61.3846059E-51.0384481E-47.49995479.0E-53.9439463E-55.9338956E-51.5933302E-42.68513371.0E-44.800697E-47.2222133E-49.020913E-41.24905111.8E-40.0047903390.00722734020.00747553351.03434092.5E-4
6.79.019164E-61.3651728E-51.036505E-47.59248169.0E-53.8652986E-55.8506146E-51.5850029E-42.70912221.0E-44.7049852E-47.1208854E-48.9196034E-41.25259761.8E-40.0046950360.00712666470.00737488271.03482952.5E-4
6.88.673558E-61.3273839E-51.0327264E-47.78016429.0E-53.717186E-55.688669E-51.56881E-42.75778061.0E-44.524734E-46.923842E-48.7225955E-41.25979131.8E-40.00451553240.00693085230.00717911961.03582062.5E-4
6.97.002255E-61.1478069E-51.0147704E-48.8409519.0E-53.000932E-54.9190832E-51.4918591E-43.03279921.0E-43.653022E-45.9874065E-47.6863886E-41.28375921.7E-40.00364702290.0059996760.00621835561.03644862.2E-4
7.05.84644E-69.675359E-69.9674486E-510.301899.0E-52.5055931E-54.146519E-51.4146105E-43.41156131.0E-43.0501327E-45.047263E-46.746405E-41.33664621.7E-40.00304594960.0050639940.005282881.0432242.2E-4
7.15.54703E-69.329834E-69.9328994E-510.6463849.0E-52.377277E-53.9984414E-51.3998042E-43.50087451.0E-42.8939504E-44.8670598E-46.566232E-41.34911681.7E-40.00289018450.00488458760.00510351271.04481962.2E-4
7.24.384709E-67.681918E-69.768123E-512.71573459.0E-51.8791474E-53.292211E-51.3291882E-44.0373721.0E-42.2876218E-44.0075663E-45.706885E-41.42402761.7E-40.00228526820.0040285420.00424765561.05439032.2E-4
7.33.7888456E-66.915788E-69.6915166E-514.0136119.0E-51.623781E-52.9638775E-51.2963581E-44.37385851.0E-41.9767738E-43.6079568E-45.3073437E-41.47101081.7E-40.00197501620.003630270.00383950771.0576372.1E-4
7.42.1982462E-65.0241033E-69.502365E-518.9135559.0E-59.421021E-62.1531694E-51.2152954E-45.64421651.0E-41.1469489E-42.6211704E-44.3207247E-41.64839531.7E-40.00114635720.00264603270.0028554771.07915412.1E-4
7.52.051923E-64.6153277E-69.4614916E-520.500159.0E-58.793926E-61.9779825E-51.1977785E-46.05555631.0E-41.0706078E-42.4079291E-44.1075196E-41.70583081.7E-40.00107009220.00243359320.0026430821.08608212.1E-4
7.61.8733427E-64.1236603E-69.412329E-522.8251789.0E-58.028587E-61.7672712E-51.1767094E-46.65834141.0E-49.774366E-52.151441E-43.8510753E-41.7899981.7E-49.770069E-40.00217825130.00238779371.09619762.1E-4
7.71.8411953E-64.0433315E-69.404297E-523.2587819.0E-57.890813E-61.732845E-51.17326716E-46.77075671.0E-49.606641E-52.1095353E-43.8091766E-41.80569471.7E-49.6024893E-40.00213652920.00234608051.09808032.1E-4
7.81.7194251E-63.71068E-69.371035E-525.2542259.0E-57.368944E-61.5902819E-51.15901224E-47.28809361.0E-48.97132E-51.9359968E-43.6356677E-41.87793061.7E-48.967699E-40.00196247570.00217206361.10679772.1E-4
7.91.4035052E-62.9502596E-69.2949995E-531.50579.0E-56.0150082E-61.2643909E-51.1264264E-48.9088471.0E-47.3230265E-51.5392878E-43.239026E-42.10423681.7E-47.3206134E-40.00156311740.0017727891.13413692.1E-4
8.03.9318823E-75.528477E-73.055283E-555.2644583.0E-51.6850913E-62.3693453E-64.236925E-517.882264.0E-52.0515794E-52.8846403E-56.884525E-52.38661464.0E-52.0513899E-42.990952E-43.3908326E-41.13369674.0E-5
8.11.596793E-71.13775044E-71.13775044E-71.00.06.8433974E-74.876072E-74.876072E-71.00.08.331805E-65.936602E-65.936602E-61.00.08.331492E-56.5494125E-56.5494125E-51.00.0
8.24.9003038E-82.5435753E-82.5435753E-81.00.02.10013E-71.09010365E-71.09010365E-71.00.02.5569052E-61.3272004E-61.3272004E-61.00.02.556876E-51.4952613E-51.4952613E-51.00.0

Scodie Lineament

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.2919327E-63.0133303E-64.301321E-514.2743094.0E-51.4108206E-51.2914227E-51.02913065E-47.9689689.0E-51.7175387E-41.5722254E-43.3719424E-42.14469391.8E-40.00171621180.00157142480.00181104771.15248762.4E-4
6.11.8663811E-61.5490382E-61.1549023E-57.4556091.0E-57.998751E-66.6387206E-64.6638455E-57.0252174.0E-59.738045E-58.082393E-51.3081988E-41.61857875.0E-59.7337784E-48.079941E-48.7793753E-41.08656437.0E-5
6.21.8663811E-61.5490382E-61.1549023E-57.4556091.0E-57.998751E-66.6387206E-64.6638455E-57.0252174.0E-59.738045E-58.082393E-51.3081988E-41.61857875.0E-59.7337784E-48.079941E-48.7793753E-41.08656437.0E-5
6.31.8663811E-61.5490382E-61.1549023E-57.4556091.0E-57.998751E-66.6387206E-64.6638455E-57.0252174.0E-59.738045E-58.082393E-51.3081988E-41.61857875.0E-59.7337784E-48.079941E-48.7793753E-41.08656437.0E-5
6.41.8663811E-61.5490382E-61.1549023E-57.4556091.0E-57.998751E-66.6387206E-64.6638455E-57.0252174.0E-59.738045E-58.082393E-51.3081988E-41.61857875.0E-59.7337784E-48.079941E-48.7793753E-41.08656437.0E-5
6.51.8106311E-61.4909722E-61.1490957E-57.70702361.0E-57.759824E-66.389868E-64.6389614E-57.25987054.0E-59.447177E-57.779436E-51.2779047E-41.64267025.0E-59.4431615E-47.7771995E-48.476655E-41.08993677.0E-5
6.61.2414679E-68.9974395E-78.9974395E-71.00.05.320566E-63.85604E-62.3855962E-56.1866482.0E-56.477596E-54.6946367E-57.694496E-51.63899713.0E-56.475708E-44.6937316E-45.093544E-41.085184.0E-5
6.71.1062215E-67.594193E-77.594193E-71.00.04.7409408E-63.2546504E-62.3254586E-57.1450332.0E-55.7719422E-53.962472E-56.962353E-51.75707323.0E-55.770443E-43.9618355E-44.2617167E-41.07569253.0E-5
6.81.0006736E-66.5002786E-76.5002786E-71.00.04.288594E-62.7858312E-62.2785776E-58.1791662.0E-55.221238E-53.391703E-56.391601E-51.88448143.0E-55.220012E-43.3912458E-43.6911442E-41.0884333.0E-5
6.99.167364E-75.6315065E-75.6315065E-71.00.03.9288643E-62.413501E-62.2413453E-59.2866972.0E-54.7832873E-52.9384037E-55.9383154E-52.02093243.0E-54.782258E-42.9380718E-43.2379836E-41.10207783.0E-5
7.07.6987664E-74.113265E-74.113265E-71.00.03.2994672E-61.7628269E-61.176281E-56.67269661.0E-54.0170275E-52.1462245E-54.1461815E-51.9318492.0E-54.0163012E-42.1460558E-42.3460129E-41.09317422.0E-5
7.17.1038727E-73.5210306E-73.5210306E-71.00.03.0445133E-61.5090123E-61.1508997E-57.6268411.0E-53.706632E-51.8372106E-53.8371738E-52.08858682.0E-53.7060137E-41.8370937E-42.037057E-41.10884762.0E-5
7.22.0799602E-73.1178534E-83.1178534E-81.00.08.914113E-71.3362228E-71.3362228E-71.00.01.0852878E-51.6268501E-61.6268501E-61.00.01.08523476E-41.626839E-51.626839E-51.00.0
7.31.5048182E-71.5939106E-81.5939106E-81.00.06.449219E-76.8310456E-86.8310456E-81.00.07.851896E-68.316795E-78.316795E-71.00.07.851618E-58.316767E-68.316767E-61.00.0
7.45.9334678E-84.8638475E-94.8638475E-91.00.02.5429145E-72.084506E-82.084506E-81.00.03.095994E-62.5378858E-72.5378858E-71.00.03.095951E-52.5378843E-62.5378843E-61.00.0

Rose Canyon

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5923203E-54.9714607E-58.9712616E-51.80455264.0E-51.9679888E-42.1304654E-42.8303164E-41.32849677.0E-50.00239339330.00259094780.0027106371.04619511.2E-40.0236777980.0256185180.0257841631.00646581.7E-4
6.14.5923203E-54.9714607E-57.9713114E-51.60341443.0E-51.9679888E-42.1304654E-42.7303377E-41.28156866.0E-50.00239339330.00259094780.0027006631.04234551.1E-40.0236777980.0256185180.0257451871.00494441.3E-4
6.22.8844734E-52.9669678E-53.9669383E-51.33703451.0E-51.2361443E-41.2714976E-41.4714722E-41.15727482.0E-50.00150396650.0015469760.00160688321.03872546.0E-50.01493828650.0153648730.0154337981.00448587.0E-5
6.32.3171577E-52.3162425E-53.3162192E-51.43172371.0E-59.9302975E-59.926383E-51.19261844E-41.20146322.0E-50.00120834310.00120788040.0012678081.04961386.0E-50.0120179380.0120121520.0120714321.00493496.0E-5
6.42.0066604E-51.9668067E-52.966787E-51.50842831.0E-58.599689E-58.428905E-51.0428736E-41.23725882.0E-50.00104650920.0010257460.00107569481.0486955.0E-50.0104159460.0102114790.01026096851.00484655.0E-5
6.51.776989E-51.7115402E-52.7115231E-51.5842591.0E-57.615444E-57.33497E-59.334823E-51.27264642.0E-59.267859E-48.926737E-49.3263795E-41.04476924.0E-50.0092293030.0088746630.0089143091.00446724.0E-5
6.61.5227364E-51.4340872E-52.4340728E-51.69729761.0E-56.52585E-56.145947E-57.145885E-51.16269891.0E-57.942326E-47.480173E-47.7799486E-41.0400763.0E-50.0079140.00744103360.00747081031.00400173.0E-5
6.71.2703898E-51.1674277E-52.1674161E-51.8565741.0E-55.4444143E-55.0031682E-56.003118E-51.19986331.0E-56.626558E-46.089697E-46.289575E-41.03282242.0E-50.0066068330.00606230930.0060821881.00327912.0E-5
6.81.1554917E-51.0610384E-52.0610278E-51.94246291.0E-54.9520135E-54.547231E-55.5471854E-51.21990411.0E-56.0274085E-45.5348873E-45.734777E-41.03611452.0E-50.00601108650.0055044140.00552430381.00361352.0E-5
6.98.732078E-67.882285E-67.882285E-61.00.03.7422655E-53.37808E-53.37808E-51.00.04.5552556E-44.112066E-44.2120248E-41.02430871.0E-50.00454592940.0040895150.00409947431.00243531.0E-5
7.05.9337494E-65.107436E-65.107436E-61.00.02.5430107E-52.1888829E-52.1888829E-51.00.03.0956755E-42.6646405E-42.764614E-41.03751851.0E-50.00309136670.0026614610.00267143451.00374731.0E-5
7.15.013409E-64.17734E-64.17734E-61.00.02.1485863E-51.7902763E-51.7902763E-51.00.02.6155898E-42.1794444E-42.2794226E-41.04587331.0E-50.00261251330.00217731880.0021872971.00458281.0E-5
7.24.120763E-63.2820917E-63.2820917E-61.00.01.7660293E-51.4066032E-51.4066032E-51.00.02.1499286E-41.7124058E-41.8123887E-41.05838741.0E-50.00214784990.00171109580.00172107861.00583421.0E-5
7.33.2081239E-62.4404965E-62.4404965E-61.00.01.374903E-51.0459229E-51.0459229E-51.00.01.6738157E-41.2733374E-41.3733246E-41.07852381.0E-50.00167255560.00127261480.00128260211.00784781.0E-5
7.42.4194755E-61.7680321E-61.7680321E-61.00.01.0369139E-57.5772587E-67.5772587E-61.00.01.2623696E-49.224927E-51.0224835E-41.10839191.0E-50.00126165279.221151E-49.3210593E-41.01083461.0E-5
7.51.3842889E-69.3782967E-79.3782967E-71.00.05.9326535E-64.019264E-64.019264E-61.00.07.222766E-54.8933474E-55.8932987E-51.2043491.0E-57.220419E-44.8923056E-44.992256E-41.02043021.0E-5
7.61.0021575E-66.4113493E-76.4113493E-71.00.04.2949537E-62.7477186E-62.7477186E-61.00.05.2289808E-53.345298E-54.3452645E-51.2989171.0E-55.2277505E-43.344816E-43.4447823E-41.0298871.0E-5
7.78.7620116E-86.449304E-86.449304E-81.00.03.7551473E-72.763987E-72.763987E-71.00.04.5718825E-63.3651493E-63.3651493E-61.00.04.5717883E-53.3651013E-53.3651013E-51.00.0

Cleghorn Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5467183E-51.6794203E-58.679303E-55.16803467.0E-56.6286244E-57.197348E-51.6196701E-42.25037059.0E-58.067362E-48.759797E-40.00102584831.17108681.5E-40.0080381370.0087306960.0089289491.02270772.0E-4
6.11.5467183E-51.6794203E-58.679303E-55.16803467.0E-56.6286244E-57.197348E-51.6196701E-42.25037059.0E-58.067362E-48.759797E-40.00102584831.17108681.5E-40.0080381370.0087306960.0089289491.02270772.0E-4
6.21.2624631E-51.3681544E-58.3680585E-56.11631167.0E-55.410444E-55.863415E-51.4862887E-42.53485189.0E-56.585225E-47.1368564E-48.4359286E-41.1820231.3E-40.00656574450.00711873170.00728752141.02371061.7E-4
6.31.2624631E-51.3681544E-58.3680585E-56.11631167.0E-55.410444E-55.863415E-51.4862887E-42.53485189.0E-56.585225E-47.1368564E-48.4359286E-41.1820231.3E-40.00656574450.00711873170.00728752141.02371061.7E-4
6.49.417684E-61.0170118E-56.016961E-55.9163145.0E-54.036088E-54.3585722E-51.0358311E-42.37653766.0E-54.912829E-45.3056807E-46.30515E-41.18837731.0E-40.0049019820.0052970490.00542636031.02441191.3E-4
6.59.368219E-61.0117545E-56.011704E-55.94186075.0E-54.014889E-54.3360415E-51.03357816E-42.38369066.0E-54.8870314E-45.2782625E-46.2777346E-41.18935631.0E-40.0048762980.00526976170.00539907631.0245391.3E-4
6.67.803798E-68.441831E-63.8441576E-54.55370143.0E-53.3444423E-53.6179E-57.617755E-52.1055744.0E-54.0710976E-44.4043022E-45.20395E-41.18156068.0E-50.00406364720.00439949050.00450900661.02489291.1E-4
6.72.3108669E-62.4438336E-62.4438336E-61.00.09.903678E-61.0473532E-52.0473428E-51.95477771.0E-51.205706E-41.2750797E-41.5750415E-41.23524943.0E-50.0012050520.00127436670.00131431581.03134814.0E-5
6.82.0882828E-62.2062823E-62.2062823E-61.00.08.949753E-69.455462E-61.9455367E-52.05757981.0E-51.08957785E-41.1511434E-41.4511088E-41.26058043.0E-50.00108904380.00115056390.00119051791.03472554.0E-5
6.91.876935E-61.981051E-61.981051E-61.00.08.043982E-68.490192E-61.8490107E-52.17781971.0E-59.7931086E-51.03363345E-41.3336024E-41.29020833.0E-59.788794E-40.00103316860.00107312741.03867594.0E-5
7.01.5357559E-61.6202807E-61.6202807E-61.00.06.5817944E-66.9440425E-61.6943974E-52.44007331.0E-58.01304E-58.454057E-51.0453887E-41.23655282.0E-58.010151E-48.450965E-48.750711E-41.03546893.0E-5
7.11.0905424E-61.1497619E-61.1497619E-61.00.04.6737446E-64.9275427E-61.4927493E-53.02939921.0E-55.6901354E-55.999128E-57.999008E-51.33336172.0E-55.6886784E-45.997606E-46.2974263E-41.04998993.0E-5
7.26.06668E-76.387277E-76.387277E-71.00.02.600003E-62.7374022E-61.2737375E-54.65308861.0E-53.1654577E-53.3327433E-55.3326767E-51.60008622.0E-53.1650066E-43.3323118E-43.5322452E-41.05999842.0E-5

Pinto Mtn

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.4194956E-54.7853926E-58.785201E-51.83583714.0E-51.893932E-42.0507304E-42.8505662E-41.39002498.0E-50.00230342360.00249406880.00262374451.05199361.3E-40.0227969380.0246783050.0248636161.00750911.9E-4
6.14.4194956E-54.7853926E-58.785201E-51.83583714.0E-51.893932E-42.0507304E-42.8505662E-41.39002498.0E-50.00230342360.00249406880.00262374451.05199361.3E-40.0227969380.0246783050.0248636161.00750911.9E-4
6.24.4194956E-54.7853926E-58.785201E-51.83583714.0E-51.893932E-42.0507304E-42.8505662E-41.39002498.0E-50.00230342360.00249406880.00262374451.05199361.3E-40.0227969380.0246783050.0248636161.00750911.9E-4
6.34.4194956E-54.7853926E-58.785201E-51.83583714.0E-51.893932E-42.0507304E-42.8505662E-41.39002498.0E-50.00230342360.00249406880.00262374451.05199361.3E-40.0227969380.0246783050.0248636161.00750911.9E-4
6.43.729929E-53.960349E-57.960191E-52.0099724.0E-51.5984432E-41.6971873E-42.3970685E-41.41237717.0E-50.00194436730.00206446040.00217423331.05317271.1E-40.0192744270.0204628480.0206195751.00765911.6E-4
6.53.729929E-53.960349E-57.960191E-52.0099724.0E-51.5984432E-41.6971873E-42.3970685E-41.41237717.0E-50.00194436730.00206446040.00217423331.05317271.1E-40.0192744270.0204628480.0206195751.00765911.6E-4
6.63.0204548E-53.12056E-56.1204664E-51.96133593.0E-51.2944164E-41.3373162E-41.7372628E-41.29906654.0E-50.00157481270.00162700120.00169688731.0429547.0E-50.0156369920.0161547640.0162728261.00730811.2E-4
6.72.9857754E-53.0814987E-56.081406E-51.97352233.0E-51.2795553E-41.3205773E-41.7205245E-41.30285794.0E-50.00155674530.00160665170.00167653921.04349897.0E-50.0154588480.0159542040.016072291.00740161.2E-4
6.82.4819734E-52.5009665E-53.5009416E-51.39983551.0E-51.0636595E-41.0718E-41.2717786E-41.1865822.0E-50.00129423620.0013041570.00134410491.03063124.0E-50.0128672440.0129674030.0130562361.00685059.0E-5
6.92.331124E-52.3337945E-53.333771E-51.42847671.0E-59.990149E-51.0001605E-41.2001405E-41.1999482.0E-50.0012156220.00121703550.0012469991.024623.0E-50.0120899360.0121058970.0121651711.00489636.0E-5
7.02.1818534E-52.1761074E-53.1760857E-51.45952621.0E-59.3504656E-59.3258524E-51.13256654E-41.21443762.0E-50.00113782460.00113485090.00116481691.02640523.0E-50.0113201630.011292660.0113519811.00525326.0E-5
7.12.066081E-52.0540718E-53.0540512E-51.48682791.0E-58.854332E-58.8028784E-51.0802703E-41.22717852.0E-50.00107748180.00107124310.0011012111.02797483.0E-50.0107227240.01066284350.0107222031.00556716.0E-5
7.21.8990233E-51.9054001E-52.9053812E-51.52481411.0E-58.138417E-58.165756E-51.01655925E-41.24490522.0E-59.904018E-49.937467E-40.00102371691.03015883.0E-50.0098599950.0098950290.0099544351.00600366.0E-5
7.31.3335872E-51.4906713E-52.4906563E-51.67082871.0E-55.7152483E-56.388442E-57.388378E-51.15652281.0E-56.956093E-47.77528E-47.975124E-41.02570262.0E-50.0069343590.0077493760.00778906561.00512174.0E-5
7.49.414066E-61.186096E-52.1860842E-51.84309211.0E-54.0345374E-55.083175E-56.083124E-51.19671751.0E-54.910942E-46.1871024E-46.386979E-41.03230542.0E-50.00490010340.00617082560.00621057861.00644214.0E-5
7.57.2101157E-69.158192E-61.91581E-52.09190851.0E-53.090013E-53.9248847E-54.9248454E-51.25477461.0E-53.7614413E-44.7775774E-44.977482E-41.04184222.0E-50.00375508070.0047680820.00479793871.00626183.0E-5
7.63.296375E-64.5455017E-61.4545456E-53.19996711.0E-51.4127245E-51.9480583E-52.9480389E-51.51332161.0E-51.7198564E-42.3715167E-42.5714692E-41.08431422.0E-50.00171852590.00236912330.0023890761.00842192.0E-5
7.72.5741092E-63.5844084E-63.5844084E-61.00.01.103185E-51.5361667E-51.5361667E-51.00.01.3430449E-41.8701357E-41.8701357E-41.00.00.00134223350.00186869180.00186869181.00.0

San Andreas (North Branch Mill Creek)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.3461156E-52.3500992E-51.4349817E-46.10604761.2E-45.7689394E-51.00714664E-42.6069855E-42.58848641.6E-47.02142E-40.00122551460.00141528181.15484691.9E-40.00699927660.0122287440.0124262981.01615492.0E-4
6.11.3461156E-52.3500992E-51.4349817E-46.10604761.2E-45.7689394E-51.00714664E-42.6069855E-42.58848641.6E-47.02142E-40.00122551460.00141528181.15484691.9E-40.00699927660.0122287440.0124262981.01615492.0E-4
6.21.3461156E-52.3500992E-51.4349817E-46.10604761.2E-45.7689394E-51.00714664E-42.6069855E-42.58848641.6E-47.02142E-40.00122551460.00141528181.15484691.9E-40.00699927660.0122287440.0124262981.01615492.0E-4
6.31.3461156E-52.3500992E-51.4349817E-46.10604761.2E-45.7689394E-51.00714664E-42.6069855E-42.58848641.6E-47.02142E-40.00122551460.00141528181.15484691.9E-40.00699927660.0122287440.0124262981.01615492.0E-4
6.41.3461156E-52.3500992E-51.4349817E-46.10604761.2E-45.7689394E-51.00714664E-42.6069855E-42.58848641.6E-47.02142E-40.00122551460.00141528181.15484691.9E-40.00699927660.0122287440.0124262981.01615492.0E-4
6.51.3450706E-52.348995E-51.4348714E-46.10844761.2E-45.764461E-51.00667356E-42.6065126E-42.58923321.6E-47.0159714E-40.00122493920.00141470651.15491971.9E-40.0069938620.0122230540.012420611.01616252.0E-4
6.61.3074523E-52.3104236E-51.4310147E-46.19373271.2E-45.6032466E-59.901441E-52.5899857E-42.61576631.6E-46.8198174E-40.0012048370.00139460821.15750771.9E-40.0067989260.0120242190.0122218141.01643312.0E-4
6.71.3050216E-52.3079532E-51.4307676E-46.1992921.2E-45.59283E-59.890855E-52.5889272E-42.6174961.6E-46.8071426E-40.00120354960.0013933211.15767631.9E-40.00678632870.0120114840.0122090821.01645082.0E-4
6.81.29049395E-52.2927941E-51.4292519E-46.2336691.2E-45.530571E-59.825892E-52.582432E-42.6281911.6E-46.73139E-40.0011956490.00138542181.15871951.9E-40.00671103640.0119333290.0121309421.01655982.0E-4
6.91.2867369E-52.2887343E-51.428846E-46.24295231.2E-45.51447E-59.808494E-52.5806925E-42.63107921.6E-46.711799E-40.00119353320.00138330651.15900121.9E-40.0066915640.0119123970.0121100151.01658932.0E-4
7.01.2495996E-52.2287419E-51.4228474E-46.38408331.2E-45.3553173E-59.551403E-52.5549874E-42.67498661.6E-46.518148E-40.00116226580.0013520451.16328381.9E-40.00649906230.0116030.0118006791.01703692.0E-4
7.11.2452067E-52.2232492E-51.4222982E-46.39738561.2E-45.3364907E-59.527864E-52.552634E-42.6791251.6E-46.4952404E-40.0011594030.00134918271.16368751.9E-40.00647628870.0115746710.0117723561.01707912.0E-4
7.21.2002777E-52.1611015E-51.4160843E-46.5526041.2E-45.143946E-59.261536E-52.5260056E-42.72741531.6E-46.2609545E-40.00112701140.00131679721.16839741.9E-40.0062433440.0112540580.0114518071.01757132.0E-4
7.31.1923425E-52.1480853E-51.4147827E-46.586251.2E-45.109939E-59.205757E-52.5204284E-42.73788291.6E-46.219575E-40.00112022730.00131001441.16941851.9E-40.00620219620.0111869450.0113847081.0176782.0E-4
7.41.16105175E-52.0854808E-51.4085231E-46.75394871.2E-44.975841E-58.93747E-52.493604E-42.79005581.6E-46.0564023E-40.00108759630.00127738971.17450711.9E-40.0060399230.0108644090.01106223651.01820872.0E-4
7.51.1037265E-51.9554842E-51.3955249E-47.13646751.2E-44.7301706E-58.380379E-52.4379037E-42.90906171.6E-45.757461E-40.00101983570.00120964191.18611451.9E-40.0057425670.0101955270.0103934881.01941652.0E-4
7.61.0720915E-51.8996727E-51.3899445E-47.3167571.2E-44.5945973E-58.141202E-52.4139899E-42.96515181.6E-45.592486E-49.907428E-40.00118055451.19158531.9E-40.0055784330.0099072380.0101052571.01998722.0E-4
7.79.276279E-61.6442464E-51.3644049E-48.2980571.2E-43.9754876E-57.046581E-52.3045453E-43.27044491.6E-44.839081E-48.5758517E-40.00104742231.22136241.9E-40.00482855740.0085865760.00878485851.02309222.0E-4
7.85.8346777E-61.11555855E-51.3115424E-411.7568241.2E-42.5005522E-54.7808775E-52.0780113E-44.3465061.6E-43.043997E-45.819165E-47.7180594E-41.32631731.9E-40.00303983080.00584733350.0060461641.03400362.0E-4
7.94.690204E-68.509473E-61.18508535E-413.9266591.1E-42.0100719E-53.6468664E-51.8646319E-45.11297041.5E-42.4469878E-44.439156E-46.138401E-41.38278571.7E-40.0024442950.0044711650.004650361.04007791.8E-4
8.02.9570454E-64.8470656E-65.4846823E-511.315475.0E-51.267299E-52.0772974E-59.077152E-54.36969337.0E-51.5428272E-42.5288164E-43.2286393E-41.27673947.0E-50.00154175660.0025499320.00261975361.02738177.0E-5
8.11.6376824E-62.1968672E-61.2196845E-55.55192661.0E-57.01862E-69.415111E-61.9415018E-52.06211231.0E-58.544835E-51.1462297E-41.2462182E-41.08723261.0E-58.54155E-40.00116074450.00117073281.00860511.0E-5
8.26.9631557E-74.535001E-74.535001E-71.00.02.984206E-61.9435704E-61.9435704E-61.00.03.63321E-52.3662713E-52.3662713E-51.00.03.6326164E-42.4510184E-42.4510184E-41.00.0
8.31.7876137E-78.357368E-88.357368E-81.00.07.661199E-73.5817288E-73.5817288E-71.00.09.32747E-64.3607465E-64.3607465E-61.00.09.3270784E-54.5800018E-54.5800018E-51.00.0

Independence rev 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.422171E-64.3262253E-68.432588E-519.491798.0E-51.8952025E-51.8540852E-51.08539185E-45.85405649.0E-52.3071647E-42.2571447E-43.6568285E-41.62011271.4E-40.00230477080.00225514570.00245469461.08848612.0E-4
6.14.422171E-64.3262253E-68.432588E-519.491798.0E-51.8952025E-51.8540852E-51.08539185E-45.85405649.0E-52.3071647E-42.2571447E-43.6568285E-41.62011271.4E-40.00230477080.00225514570.00245469461.08848612.0E-4
6.24.422171E-64.3262253E-68.432588E-519.491798.0E-51.8952025E-51.8540852E-51.08539185E-45.85405649.0E-52.3071647E-42.2571447E-43.6568285E-41.62011271.4E-40.00230477080.00225514570.00245469461.08848612.0E-4
6.34.422171E-64.3262253E-68.432588E-519.491798.0E-51.8952025E-51.8540852E-51.08539185E-45.85405649.0E-52.3071647E-42.2571447E-43.6568285E-41.62011271.4E-40.00230477080.00225514570.00245469461.08848612.0E-4
6.44.422171E-64.3262253E-68.432588E-519.491798.0E-51.8952025E-51.8540852E-51.08539185E-45.85405649.0E-52.3071647E-42.2571447E-43.6568285E-41.62011271.4E-40.00230477080.00225514570.00245469461.08848612.0E-4
6.54.422171E-64.3262253E-68.432588E-519.491798.0E-51.8952025E-51.8540852E-51.08539185E-45.85405649.0E-52.3071647E-42.2571447E-43.6568285E-41.62011271.4E-40.00230477080.00225514570.00245469461.08848612.0E-4
6.62.663744E-62.5319846E-68.2531784E-532.5956888.0E-51.1415996E-51.08513195E-51.00850346E-49.2938329.0E-51.3898089E-41.321073E-42.6209012E-41.98391851.3E-40.00138893990.00132033590.00150009831.13614891.8E-4
6.72.663744E-62.5319846E-68.2531784E-532.5956888.0E-51.1415996E-51.08513195E-51.00850346E-49.2938329.0E-51.3898089E-41.321073E-42.6209012E-41.98391851.3E-40.00138893990.00132033590.00150009831.13614891.8E-4
6.81.9716529E-61.8322567E-67.183213E-539.2041857.0E-58.449913E-67.852505E-68.785188E-511.1877518.0E-51.0287284E-49.560019E-52.0558968E-42.15051531.1E-40.00102825239.5560355E-40.00111545061.16727341.6E-4
6.91.8788617E-61.7429976E-67.174288E-541.160637.0E-58.0522395E-67.4699688E-68.746937E-511.709478.0E-59.80316E-59.09432E-52.009332E-42.20943621.1E-49.798837E-49.090718E-40.00106892641.17584371.6E-4
7.01.5045488E-61.3849498E-67.138485E-551.543287.0E-56.44805E-65.9354857E-68.593501E-514.4781778.0E-57.8502184E-57.226219E-51.8225424E-42.52212451.1E-47.8474457E-47.223921E-48.822765E-41.22132641.6E-4
7.11.272341E-61.1625089E-67.116243E-561.2145237.0E-55.4528787E-64.9821715E-68.498177E-517.0571758.0E-56.6386776E-56.0656283E-51.7064961E-42.81338721.1E-46.636695E-46.064005E-47.6630345E-41.2636921.6E-4
7.21.0416892E-69.409871E-77.094092E-575.38997.0E-54.464375E-64.032796E-68.403247E-520.8372758.0E-55.4352407E-54.9098202E-51.590928E-43.2402981.1E-45.4339116E-44.908754E-46.5079686E-41.32578831.6E-4
7.37.9450155E-77.2350036E-77.072345E-597.7517857.0E-53.4050022E-63.1007123E-68.3100465E-526.8004448.0E-54.1455114E-53.7750528E-51.4774638E-43.91375661.1E-44.144738E-43.7744228E-45.273857E-41.39726171.5E-4
7.45.3893444E-75.0195166E-77.050192E-5140.45567.0E-52.309717E-62.1512196E-68.215105E-538.1881268.0E-52.8120441E-52.6190788E-51.3618791E-45.199841.1E-42.8116882E-42.6187746E-44.1183818E-41.5726371.5E-4
7.53.8852085E-73.6825622E-76.0368235E-5163.929986.0E-51.6650882E-61.57824E-67.157813E-545.353137.0E-52.027226E-51.9214905E-51.19212986E-46.2041931.0E-42.0270412E-41.9213265E-43.3210576E-41.72852331.4E-4
7.62.414929E-72.3457605E-72.0234571E-586.260182.0E-51.0349692E-61.0053255E-63.1005296E-530.841053.0E-51.2600677E-51.2239771E-56.223916E-55.0849945.0E-51.2599962E-41.223911E-41.8238375E-41.49017186.0E-5
7.76.8298014E-86.8589785E-81.0068589E-5146.79431.0E-52.9270575E-72.939562E-71.0293953E-535.0186651.0E-53.5636867E-63.5789112E-61.3578875E-53.79413581.0E-53.5636294E-53.5788584E-54.5788227E-51.27940871.0E-5

Imperial

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.7496446E-45.055345E-45.355194E-41.05931323.0E-50.00117788690.0021648170.0022246871.0276566.0E-50.01424676550.0260484090.0261555441.0041131.1E-40.133672490.228070290.228216961.00064311.9E-4
6.12.5356023E-44.8657708E-45.165625E-41.06162523.0E-50.0010862340.0020837020.00213359791.02394585.0E-50.0131449280.025070940.0251684321.00388871.0E-40.1239401550.219495610.21962831.00060451.7E-4
6.22.4820742E-44.775311E-45.075168E-41.06279313.0E-50.00106331240.00204499460.00209489231.02445.0E-50.012869190.0246106760.024698461.0035679.0E-50.121489270.216001360.216126811.00058081.6E-4
6.32.3205351E-44.5892023E-44.8890646E-41.06534093.0E-59.94136E-40.00196535540.0020152571.02539075.0E-50.0120365990.0236611870.0237490571.00371379.0E-50.114051330.207938270.2080651.00060951.6E-4
6.42.0304754E-43.9878016E-44.287682E-41.07519943.0E-58.6991355E-40.00170795290.00175786761.02922485.0E-50.0105398690.0205954180.020673771.00380438.0E-50.1005376350.185071130.185193361.00066051.5E-4
6.51.854992E-43.6990462E-43.9989353E-41.0810723.0E-57.9475436E-40.00158435480.00163427551.03150865.0E-50.0096332810.019114430.0191928991.00410538.0E-50.09226230.17330390.17342791.00071551.5E-4
6.61.6586106E-43.4036173E-43.7035154E-41.08811153.0E-57.106394E-40.00145788780.0015078151.03424625.0E-50.0086177630.0176076260.0176862161.00446348.0E-50.082911320.160780550.160906431.0007831.5E-4
6.71.4224656E-43.076812E-43.3767198E-41.09747353.0E-56.094856E-40.00131797560.00136790961.0378875.0E-50.00739526930.0159285220.0160072461.00494248.0E-50.071539550.146487980.146616011.00087391.5E-4
6.81.2317259E-42.779231E-43.0791477E-41.10791353.0E-55.2777573E-40.00119056150.00124050191.0419475.0E-50.00640675470.0144001310.0144789791.00547558.0E-50.062251660.132940890.133070951.00097841.5E-4
6.99.859898E-52.5015484E-42.8014733E-41.11989573.0E-54.2249862E-40.00107165590.00112160241.04660685.0E-50.00513179460.0129703190.0130492811.00608798.0E-50.050148930.1194088760.119540961.00110611.5E-4
7.07.3191884E-52.1267848E-42.426721E-41.1410283.0E-53.136418E-49.11164E-49.6111844E-41.05482485.0E-50.0038119040.0110376810.0111167981.00716798.0E-50.0374717640.102067560.102202251.00131961.5E-4
7.17.1760296E-52.0969207E-42.3968577E-41.1430373.0E-53.0750787E-48.9837395E-49.4832905E-41.05560615.0E-50.0037374820.0108835280.0109626581.00727068.0E-50.036752450.100704060.100838961.00133961.5E-4
7.26.46614E-51.9137723E-42.2137149E-41.15672853.0E-52.7709085E-48.199333E-48.6989236E-41.06093065.0E-50.00336836280.0099376170.0100168221.00797028.0E-50.0331776250.0925110060.092647131.00147141.5E-4
7.36.088115E-51.780939E-42.0808856E-41.16842043.0E-52.6089314E-47.6303916E-48.13001E-41.06547755.0E-50.00317174760.0092510060.0093302661.00856778.0E-50.0312685850.086561350.086698371.00158291.5E-4
7.44.199346E-51.1511097E-41.4510751E-41.2605883.0E-51.7995955E-44.932403E-45.332206E-41.08105644.0E-50.00218880570.0059888350.0060584161.01161847.0E-50.021673720.057440240.0575627721.00213331.3E-4
7.53.130448E-58.333871E-51.0333704E-41.23996452.0E-51.3415517E-43.5711733E-43.8710661E-41.0839763.0E-50.00163211530.00433929540.00439903471.01376716.0E-50.0162018030.0421335060.042248451.00272811.2E-4
7.62.3074248E-56.0849357E-57.084875E-51.16433021.0E-59.888588E-52.6075702E-42.8075182E-41.07667972.0E-50.00120327060.00317011820.00321995981.01572235.0E-50.0119677610.031028160.0311153681.00281069.0E-5
7.71.45864815E-54.0128452E-55.0128052E-51.24918971.0E-56.2511994E-51.7196777E-41.9196433E-41.11628092.0E-57.608177E-40.00209170250.0021415981.0238545.0E-50.0075821820.020629090.0207172331.00427289.0E-5
7.81.0352979E-53.096395E-54.096364E-51.32294621.0E-54.4369157E-51.326959E-41.5269325E-41.15070062.0E-55.400606E-40.00161437780.00166429711.03092175.0E-50.00538750.0160178930.016106451.00552879.0E-5
7.98.137906E-62.2151205E-53.2150983E-51.45143271.0E-53.4876273E-59.493029E-51.1492839E-41.21066092.0E-54.2453592E-40.00115516440.00119511821.03458714.0E-50.0042372580.0116188420.0116880291.00595477.0E-5
8.06.93792E-61.8010365E-52.8010185E-51.55522581.0E-52.9733603E-57.7185E-59.718346E-51.25909772.0E-53.6194647E-49.3932304E-49.792855E-41.04254394.0E-50.00361357510.0095024150.0095618451.00625426.0E-5
8.13.4286315E-66.380179E-66.380179E-61.00.01.4694053E-52.734334E-52.734334E-51.00.01.7888541E-43.3285443E-43.3285443E-41.00.00.00178741480.00348636740.00348636741.00.0
8.21.4906886E-61.936633E-61.936633E-61.00.06.3886496E-68.2998295E-68.2998295E-61.00.07.7779034E-51.0104576E-41.0104576E-41.00.07.775182E-40.00110754230.00110754231.00.0
8.32.5758007E-81.4495866E-81.4495866E-81.00.01.10391454E-76.212514E-86.212514E-81.00.01.3440151E-67.563736E-77.563736E-71.00.01.344007E-57.884359E-67.884359E-61.00.0

Santa Ynez (West)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.7352758E-55.497084E-58.496919E-51.54571393.0E-52.0292461E-42.3556968E-43.055532E-41.2970827.0E-50.00246780760.0028645580.0029742431.03829041.1E-40.0244058180.0283044560.0284599271.00549281.6E-4
6.14.7352758E-55.497084E-58.496919E-51.54571393.0E-52.0292461E-42.3556968E-42.9555554E-41.25464186.0E-50.00246780760.0028645580.00295431.03132849.0E-50.0244058180.0283044560.0284404921.00480621.4E-4
6.23.0415853E-53.3925004E-53.3925004E-51.00.01.3034715E-41.4538495E-41.753806E-41.20631873.0E-50.00158582120.00176865920.0018285531.0338646.0E-50.0157455220.017549780.0176480241.00559811.0E-4
6.33.0415853E-53.3925004E-53.3925004E-51.00.01.3034715E-41.4538495E-41.753806E-41.20631873.0E-50.00158582120.00176865920.0018285531.0338646.0E-50.0157455220.017549780.0176480241.00559811.0E-4
6.42.5452082E-52.7912318E-52.7912318E-51.00.01.09075794E-41.1961885E-41.4961527E-41.25076663.0E-50.00132718870.00145540560.00150533281.03430475.0E-50.0131929020.014460910.0145496081.00613379.0E-5
6.52.3143784E-52.5128133E-52.5128133E-51.00.09.9183875E-51.07687636E-41.376844E-41.27855353.0E-50.00120689480.0013103230.00136025751.03810865.0E-50.0120036110.0130276380.0131065961.00606088.0E-5
6.61.9118515E-52.0354244E-52.0354244E-51.00.08.193392E-58.722961E-51.1722699E-41.343893.0E-59.97089E-40.0010615110.00110146851.03764214.0E-50.009926270.0105653170.01062468251.00561896.0E-5
6.71.722807E-51.8146253E-51.8146253E-51.00.07.3832496E-57.776737E-59.776581E-51.25715732.0E-58.985399E-49.4641204E-49.763836E-41.03166873.0E-50.0089491540.0094244610.009473991.00525535.0E-5
6.81.5317364E-51.5926391E-51.5926391E-51.00.06.56442E-56.82542E-58.825283E-51.29300222.0E-57.98925E-48.3068234E-48.5066573E-41.02405662.0E-50.0079605890.0082762610.008315931.0047934.0E-5
6.91.3071226E-51.332953E-51.332953E-51.00.05.6018336E-55.712532E-56.712475E-51.17504371.0E-56.8180985E-46.952811E-47.052741E-41.01437271.0E-50.00679721730.00693131840.00696111051.00429823.0E-5
7.01.1836986E-51.1932688E-51.1932688E-51.00.05.0728955E-55.1139097E-56.1138584E-51.19553511.0E-56.1745E-46.2244234E-46.324361E-41.01605571.0E-50.0061573720.00620718250.0062369961.00480313.0E-5
7.11.0597169E-51.0542107E-51.0542107E-51.00.04.541565E-54.5179684E-55.5179233E-51.22132841.0E-55.5279525E-45.4992497E-45.5991946E-41.01817431.0E-50.00551422130.0054857720.00550566241.00362582.0E-5
7.29.59113E-69.45905E-69.45905E-61.00.04.11042E-54.053816E-55.0537757E-51.24667121.0E-55.0032866E-44.934414E-45.034365E-41.02025581.0E-50.0049920370.00492357650.0049335271.00202111.0E-5
7.38.586084E-68.379489E-68.379489E-61.00.03.679698E-53.591161E-54.591125E-51.27845141.0E-54.4791115E-44.3713715E-44.4713277E-41.02286611.0E-50.0044700940.0043628840.00437284031.0022821.0E-5
7.47.2622997E-66.9514485E-66.9514485E-61.00.03.112377E-52.9791589E-53.9791288E-51.33565521.0E-53.78866E-43.6265317E-43.7264955E-41.02756451.0E-50.00378220740.0036207140.00363067771.00275181.0E-5
7.55.627296E-65.2514984E-65.2514984E-61.00.02.411676E-52.2506232E-53.2506006E-51.44431141.0E-52.9358198E-42.7397962E-42.839769E-41.0364891.0E-50.00293194430.00273649050.0027464631.00364431.0E-5
7.62.265244E-62.0608632E-62.0608632E-61.00.09.708152E-68.832241E-68.832241E-61.00.01.18190335E-41.0752732E-41.0752732E-41.00.00.0011812750.00107476150.00107476151.00.0
7.71.3099874E-61.1016228E-61.1016228E-61.00.05.61422E-64.7212325E-64.7212325E-61.00.06.8350986E-55.7479516E-55.7479516E-51.00.06.832996E-45.7464885E-45.7464885E-41.00.0
7.87.903951E-76.0710704E-76.0710704E-71.00.03.3874032E-62.601885E-62.601885E-61.00.04.1240855E-53.16775E-53.16775E-51.00.04.12332E-43.167312E-43.167312E-41.00.0
7.97.0753297E-95.090092E-95.090092E-91.00.03.032284E-82.181468E-82.181468E-81.00.03.6918053E-72.655937E-72.655937E-71.00.03.691799E-62.6559348E-62.6559348E-61.00.0

San Jacinto (San Jacinto Valley) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.652694E-53.4401106E-51.1439835E-43.32542668.0E-51.5653463E-41.4742499E-42.4741024E-41.67821111.0E-40.00190414310.00179342330.00191320821.06679121.2E-40.0188790990.0185263030.0187127811.01006571.9E-4
6.13.652694E-53.4401106E-51.1439835E-43.32542668.0E-51.5653463E-41.4742499E-42.4741024E-41.67821111.0E-40.00190414310.00179342330.00191320821.06679121.2E-40.0188790990.0185263030.0187127811.01006571.9E-4
6.23.652694E-53.4401106E-51.1439835E-43.32542668.0E-51.5653463E-41.4742499E-42.4741024E-41.67821111.0E-40.00190414310.00179342330.00191320821.06679121.2E-40.0188790990.0185263030.0187127811.01006571.9E-4
6.33.652694E-53.4401106E-51.1439835E-43.32542668.0E-51.5653463E-41.4742499E-42.4741024E-41.67821111.0E-40.00190414310.00179342330.00191320821.06679121.2E-40.0188790990.0185263030.0187127811.01006571.9E-4
6.43.646941E-53.432268E-51.1431993E-43.33074058.0E-51.5628811E-41.4708891E-42.470742E-41.67976091.0E-40.00190114680.00178933890.00190912411.06694391.2E-40.0188496450.0184861810.018672671.0100881.9E-4
6.53.646941E-53.432268E-51.1431993E-43.33074058.0E-51.5628811E-41.4708891E-42.470742E-41.67976091.0E-40.00190114680.00178933890.00190912411.06694391.2E-40.0188496450.0184861810.018672671.0100881.9E-4
6.63.6442503E-53.4286066E-51.1428332E-43.33322938.0E-51.561728E-41.4693203E-42.4691733E-41.68048681.0E-40.00189974550.0017874320.00190721741.06701541.2E-40.0188358690.018467450.0186539421.01009831.9E-4
6.73.6432113E-53.427164E-51.142689E-43.33421138.0E-51.5612828E-41.4687021E-42.4685552E-41.68077331.0E-40.00189920440.00178668070.00190646631.06704371.2E-40.0188305490.0184600740.0186465661.01010251.9E-4
6.83.6409598E-53.4240697E-51.14237955E-43.33632098.0E-51.560318E-41.4673761E-42.4672292E-41.68138851.0E-40.00189803180.00178506890.00190485471.06710431.2E-40.0188190230.0184442290.0186307241.01011131.9E-4
6.93.638078E-53.4201123E-51.1419839E-43.33902458.0E-51.5590832E-41.4656801E-42.4655336E-41.68217711.0E-40.00189653110.00178300750.00190279351.06718211.2E-40.0188042690.0184239630.0186104631.01012271.9E-4
7.03.6294874E-53.408314E-51.14080416E-43.34712178.0E-51.5554018E-41.4606243E-42.4604783E-41.68453871.0E-40.00189205690.00177686230.0018966491.06741481.2E-40.0187602840.0183635450.0185500551.01015661.9E-4
7.13.6260717E-53.403942E-51.140367E-43.35013638.0E-51.5539382E-41.4587509E-42.4586052E-41.6854181.0E-40.0018902780.00177458510.00189437221.06750141.2E-40.0187427960.0183411390.0185276551.01016931.9E-4
7.23.6210204E-53.397364E-51.1397092E-43.35468678.0E-51.5517735E-41.455932E-42.4557865E-41.68674521.0E-40.0018876470.00177115880.00189094621.06763221.2E-40.018716930.0183074080.018493931.01018831.9E-4
7.33.6119454E-53.386193E-51.1385922E-43.36245548.0E-51.5478847E-41.4511449E-42.4509997E-41.68901111.0E-40.00188292060.00176533980.0018851281.06785561.2E-40.0186704620.018249960.0184364931.0102211.9E-4
7.43.607848E-53.380943E-51.13806724E-43.3661248.0E-51.5461289E-41.4488952E-42.4487503E-41.69008111.0E-40.00188078660.00176260520.00188239371.06796111.2E-40.0186494810.0182229560.0184094921.01023641.9E-4
7.53.5856774E-53.3619202E-51.13616516E-43.37951238.0E-51.5366284E-41.4407437E-42.4405995E-41.6939861.0E-40.00186923960.00175269670.00187248631.06834591.2E-40.0185359440.0181240570.0183106141.01029321.9E-4
7.63.286655E-53.2142278E-51.1213971E-43.48885378.0E-51.4084904E-41.3774536E-42.3773158E-41.72587731.0E-40.0017134880.00167576170.00179556061.07148921.2E-40.0170033610.0173438040.0175305081.0107651.9E-4
7.72.8882527E-52.9235205E-51.0923287E-43.7363478.0E-51.237764E-41.2528773E-42.1527645E-41.71825659.0E-50.00150593570.00152431180.00163414411.07205371.1E-40.0149577130.0158303380.0160074891.01119051.8E-4
7.82.4950225E-52.6526219E-51.06524094E-44.0158048.0E-51.0692515E-41.1367885E-42.0366862E-41.7916149.0E-50.00130103620.00138316210.001493011.0794181.1E-40.0129344550.014411760.0145891651.01230981.8E-4
7.91.9881603E-52.150649E-51.0150477E-44.71972758.0E-58.520408E-59.216742E-51.8215913E-41.97639389.0E-50.0010368660.00112156150.00122144931.08906141.0E-40.0103204150.0117769980.0119449961.0142651.7E-4
8.01.563292E-51.5936288E-55.593565E-53.5099554.0E-56.6996516E-56.829659E-51.18293174E-41.7320515.0E-58.153773E-48.3119445E-48.911446E-41.07212536.0E-50.008123920.0088103310.0089292741.01350031.2E-4
8.11.0045313E-58.300794E-62.8300628E-53.4093882.0E-54.305063E-53.557435E-56.557328E-51.84327423.0E-55.2401534E-44.3303217E-44.7301484E-41.09233194.0E-50.00522781440.00465876660.0047184871.01281896.0E-5
8.24.1554413E-61.5648296E-61.5648296E-61.00.01.7808914E-56.7063957E-66.7063957E-61.00.02.1680194E-48.164734E-58.164734E-51.00.00.00216590549.479703E-49.479703E-41.00.0
8.31.2758221E-63.612677E-73.612677E-71.00.05.4677976E-61.5482892E-61.5482892E-61.00.06.65684E-51.8850264E-51.8850264E-51.00.06.6548464E-42.2739546E-42.2739546E-41.00.0

Brawley (Seismic Zone) alt 1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.2521618E-44.763429E-45.063286E-41.06294993.0E-59.6485513E-40.00203990940.00209978711.0293536.0E-50.0116839880.0245445310.0246518311.00437161.1E-40.110884230.213499230.21364081.0006631.8E-4
6.12.2521618E-44.763429E-45.063286E-41.06294993.0E-59.6485513E-40.00203990940.00209978711.0293536.0E-50.0116839880.0245445310.0246518311.00437161.1E-40.110884230.213499230.21364081.0006631.8E-4
6.22.198148E-44.6718874E-44.9717474E-41.06418383.0E-59.417233E-40.00200073770.00206061781.02992896.0E-50.0114053430.0240785130.0241761061.00405311.0E-40.108374280.209935720.210070041.00063981.7E-4
6.32.1704129E-44.615455E-44.915317E-41.06496913.0E-59.298453E-40.00197658920.00203647071.03029546.0E-50.0112622340.0237920340.0238896551.00410311.0E-40.1070827250.207826840.20796151.0006481.7E-4
6.41.876142E-44.004663E-44.3045427E-41.07488263.0E-58.038131E-40.00171516950.00177506661.0349226.0E-50.009742590.0206786620.02076681.00426239.0E-50.0932636860.184577870.184708341.00070681.6E-4
6.51.7390939E-43.7478763E-44.047764E-41.08001533.0E-57.45113E-40.00160525610.00166515981.03731726.0E-50.0090340780.0193672930.019455551.0045579.0E-50.0867552160.174400150.174532251.00075751.6E-4
6.61.591791E-43.4893592E-43.7892544E-41.08594573.0E-56.8201777E-40.00149459260.0015545031.04008476.0E-50.0082719960.0180450080.0181333831.00489759.0E-50.079707740.163807870.163941651.00081671.6E-4
6.71.4268003E-43.2059717E-43.5058756E-41.09354533.0E-56.1134255E-40.00137327260.00143319021.04363126.0E-50.0074177230.016591710.0166802161.00533449.0E-50.071749560.151935940.152071621.00089311.6E-4
6.81.239713E-42.9055026E-43.2054156E-41.10322243.0E-55.3119735E-40.00124462740.00130455271.04814726.0E-50.00644816740.0150494820.0151381281.00589039.0E-50.062642430.138380510.138518361.00099621.6E-4
6.91.0180238E-42.6255674E-42.9254888E-41.1142313.0E-54.3622297E-40.00112476220.00118469481.05328466.0E-50.0052980890.0136089980.0136977721.00652339.0E-50.051735430.124964730.125104731.00112031.6E-4
7.07.6619996E-52.2400476E-42.5399803E-41.13389583.0E-53.283301E-49.596704E-40.00101961281.06246156.0E-50.00399009320.0116221030.0117110561.00765389.0E-50.0391920660.107269820.107412661.00133161.6E-4
7.17.5127435E-52.2083633E-42.508297E-41.13581723.0E-53.2193496E-49.461013E-40.00100604461.06335826.0E-50.00391251550.0114586480.0115476171.00776439.0E-50.0384434420.105833780.105976841.00135181.6E-4
7.26.788582E-52.0211334E-42.3210728E-41.14840163.0E-52.9090676E-48.6591556E-49.2586357E-41.06923086.0E-50.00353603860.01049220.0105812551.00848789.0E-50.0348030.0975036840.0976480841.00148091.6E-4
7.36.399602E-51.8842232E-42.1841667E-41.15918683.0E-52.7423984E-48.0727716E-48.672287E-41.07426396.0E-50.00333375860.0097848970.0098740161.00910789.0E-50.032841880.0913979860.091543361.00159061.6E-4
7.44.506759E-51.2530042E-41.5529666E-41.23939453.0E-51.9313251E-45.3689216E-45.868653E-41.09307865.0E-50.00234885260.0065172450.00659672361.01219518.0E-50.0232418050.0623645220.062495791.00210491.4E-4
7.53.43289E-59.336103E-51.13359165E-41.21420222.0E-51.4711556E-44.0005764E-44.4004165E-41.09994554.0E-50.00178966030.0048598860.00492954631.01433367.0E-50.017753160.0470570660.047180951.00263261.3E-4
7.62.5980507E-57.053672E-58.053602E-51.14176011.0E-51.1134028E-43.0226534E-43.3225628E-41.09922053.0E-50.0013547250.00367389480.00373367451.01627156.0E-50.0134649590.035842980.0359393951.002691.0E-4
7.71.7292105E-54.9412036E-55.9411544E-51.20236981.0E-57.4106916E-52.1174872E-42.4174237E-41.14164733.0E-59.018782E-40.00257499840.00263484381.0232416.0E-50.0089822670.0252920970.0253895671.00385381.0E-4
7.81.2927471E-53.9697254E-54.9696857E-51.25189661.0E-55.5402274E-51.7012001E-42.0011491E-41.17631613.0E-56.743139E-40.00206924630.00212912211.0289366.0E-50.00672271430.0204331450.0205311011.0047941.0E-4
7.91.0200774E-52.8748475E-53.874819E-51.34783461.0E-54.371687E-51.2320194E-41.5319824E-41.24347273.0E-55.321229E-40.00149895260.00154887771.03330665.0E-50.0053085050.0149928950.0150716951.00525588.0E-5
8.08.650396E-62.3279512E-53.3279277E-51.42955231.0E-53.70726E-59.976552E-51.2976253E-41.3006753.0E-54.5126543E-40.00121396930.00126390861.04113725.0E-50.00450350160.0122121640.0122813091.0056627.0E-5
8.13.9368224E-67.3283345E-67.3283345E-61.00.01.6871985E-53.1406773E-53.1406773E-51.00.02.0539707E-43.8231048E-43.8231048E-41.00.00.00205207310.00400153130.00400153131.00.0
8.21.7101195E-62.2178374E-62.2178374E-61.00.07.329063E-69.504983E-69.504983E-61.00.08.922769E-51.15717055E-41.15717055E-41.00.08.9191867E-40.001266690.001266691.00.0
8.33.0346666E-81.721086E-81.721086E-81.00.01.3005713E-77.376083E-87.376083E-81.00.01.5834444E-68.98038E-78.98038E-71.00.01.5834332E-59.36379E-69.36379E-61.00.0

San Jacinto (Stepovers Combined)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.0667746E-53.5271103E-51.05268635E-42.98455747.0E-51.742787E-41.5115313E-42.4113953E-41.59533269.0E-50.00211977820.00183873720.0019485351.05971371.1E-40.0209967140.0189864950.0191630781.00930051.8E-4
6.14.0667746E-53.5271103E-51.05268635E-42.98455747.0E-51.742787E-41.5115313E-42.4113953E-41.59533269.0E-50.00211977820.00183873720.0019485351.05971371.1E-40.0209967140.0189864950.0191630781.00930051.8E-4
6.24.0667746E-53.5271103E-51.05268635E-42.98455747.0E-51.742787E-41.5115313E-42.4113953E-41.59533269.0E-50.00211977820.00183873720.0019485351.05971371.1E-40.0209967140.0189864950.0191630781.00930051.8E-4
6.34.0667746E-53.5271103E-51.05268635E-42.98455747.0E-51.742787E-41.5115313E-42.4113953E-41.59533269.0E-50.00211977820.00183873720.0019485351.05971371.1E-40.0209967140.0189864950.0191630781.00930051.8E-4
6.44.0577226E-53.5143014E-51.05140556E-42.9917917.0E-51.738908E-41.5060425E-42.4059069E-41.59750279.0E-50.00211506480.00183206690.00194186541.05993151.1E-40.0209504720.0189210620.0190976561.00933331.8E-4
6.54.0577226E-53.5143014E-51.05140556E-42.9917917.0E-51.738908E-41.5060425E-42.4059069E-41.59750279.0E-50.00211506480.00183206690.00194186541.05993151.1E-40.0209504720.0189210620.0190976561.00933331.8E-4
6.64.053861E-53.5088357E-51.050859E-42.99489387.0E-51.7372532E-41.5037002E-42.4035649E-41.59843359.0E-50.00211305380.00182922060.00193901941.06002491.1E-40.0209307430.018893140.0190697391.00934731.8E-4
6.74.0516545E-53.505743E-51.05054976E-42.99665367.0E-51.7363077E-41.502375E-42.4022398E-41.59896159.0E-50.0021119050.00182761010.0019374091.06007791.1E-40.0209194680.0188773370.0190539381.00935521.8E-4
6.84.049434E-53.5028992E-51.0502654E-42.99827467.0E-51.7353562E-41.5011564E-42.4010213E-41.59944789.0E-50.00211074880.00182612890.0019359281.06012671.1E-40.0209081250.0188627490.0190393531.00936261.8E-4
6.94.046386E-53.4991554E-51.0498911E-43.00041277.0E-51.73405E-41.499552E-42.399417E-41.60008939.0E-50.00210916160.00182417880.00193397821.06019121.1E-40.0208925530.0188435220.019020131.00937241.8E-4
7.04.036382E-53.4872126E-51.0486969E-43.0072647.0E-51.7297632E-41.4944343E-42.3942997E-41.60214469.0E-50.00210395250.00181795840.00192775851.06039741.1E-40.020841440.0187821370.0189587551.00940361.8E-4
7.14.0343282E-53.485059E-51.0484815E-43.00850447.0E-51.7288832E-41.4935112E-42.3933769E-41.60251689.0E-50.0021028830.00181683680.00192663691.06043481.1E-40.0208309480.0187710080.018947631.00940931.8E-4
7.24.0257353E-53.475509E-51.0475265E-43.01402357.0E-51.725201E-41.489419E-42.3892848E-41.60417259.0E-50.00209840850.00181186260.00192166331.0606011.1E-40.0207870420.0187217460.0188983771.00943451.8E-4
7.33.9940667E-53.458276E-51.0458034E-43.024067.0E-51.7116306E-41.4820343E-42.3819008E-41.60718359.0E-50.00208191850.00180288660.00191268841.06090331.1E-40.0206252170.0186303870.0188070331.00948171.8E-4
7.43.9721202E-53.4468165E-51.04465755E-43.03078947.0E-51.7022261E-41.4771236E-42.3769907E-41.60920239.0E-50.00207049030.00179691790.00190672021.0611061.1E-40.0205130520.0185695220.0187461791.00951331.8E-4
7.53.7036873E-53.3535776E-51.0353343E-43.0872537.0E-51.5871979E-41.4371685E-42.3370392E-41.62614149.0E-50.00193070060.00174835130.0018581591.06280641.1E-40.0191401240.0180711280.0182478761.00978061.8E-4
7.63.2940967E-53.13167E-51.0131451E-43.2351597.0E-51.4116794E-41.3420754E-42.2419546E-41.67051329.0E-50.00171736450.00163275450.00174257491.06726091.1E-40.017041530.0169040910.0170810481.01046841.8E-4
7.72.8236149E-52.7882697E-59.7880744E-53.51044757.0E-51.2100645E-41.1949181E-41.9948225E-41.6694228.0E-50.00147225790.00145384290.00155369751.06868331.0E-40.0146254210.0151149120.01527249351.01042561.6E-4
7.82.4329287E-52.5206451E-59.520468E-53.77699697.0E-51.042642E-41.08023174E-41.8801453E-41.74050188.0E-50.00126867740.00131438950.00141425811.07598091.0E-40.0126145890.0137123410.0138701461.01150831.6E-4
7.91.9370926E-52.0420413E-59.041898E-54.42787277.0E-58.301561E-58.751312E-51.6750612E-41.91406868.0E-50.00101024650.00106495220.00115485641.08442089.0E-50.01005666050.0111994020.0113477211.01324361.5E-4
8.01.5583017E-51.5885415E-55.588478E-53.5179934.0E-56.6782646E-56.807858E-51.1807517E-41.73439545.0E-58.127754E-48.2854216E-48.8849245E-41.07235636.0E-50.0080980910.0087816360.0089005831.01354491.2E-4
8.11.0024873E-58.291399E-62.8291233E-53.4121182.0E-54.2963035E-53.553409E-56.553302E-51.84422973.0E-55.229494E-44.3254215E-44.7252484E-41.09243664.0E-50.00521720430.00465306550.00471278651.01283476.0E-5
8.24.142796E-61.5602761E-61.5602761E-61.00.01.775472E-56.6868806E-66.6868806E-61.00.02.1614227E-48.140976E-58.140976E-51.00.00.00215932179.4514614E-49.4514614E-41.00.0
8.31.2750878E-63.609817E-73.609817E-71.00.05.4646503E-61.5470634E-61.5470634E-61.00.06.653009E-51.8835339E-51.8835339E-51.00.06.6510175E-42.272251E-42.272251E-41.00.0

Santa Ynez (East)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.2269712E-53.6750775E-57.6749304E-52.08837254.0E-51.3829143E-41.5749714E-42.3748454E-41.50786588.0E-50.00168239790.00191642530.00202621451.05728851.1E-40.0166971780.0190564380.0192035791.00772131.5E-4
6.13.2269712E-53.6750775E-57.6749304E-52.08837254.0E-51.3829143E-41.5749714E-42.3748454E-41.50786588.0E-50.00168239790.00191642530.00202621451.05728851.1E-40.0166971780.0190564380.0192035791.00772131.5E-4
6.23.2269712E-53.6750775E-57.6749304E-52.08837254.0E-51.3829143E-41.5749714E-42.3748454E-41.50786588.0E-50.00168239790.00191642530.00202621451.05728851.1E-40.0166971780.0190564380.0192035791.00772131.5E-4
6.33.2269712E-53.6750775E-57.6749304E-52.08837254.0E-51.3829143E-41.5749714E-42.3748454E-41.50786588.0E-50.00168239790.00191642530.00202621451.05728851.1E-40.0166971780.0190564380.0192035791.00772131.5E-4
6.41.4404779E-51.48492945E-51.48492945E-51.00.06.1733306E-56.363831E-57.3637675E-51.15712811.0E-57.513438E-47.7452604E-47.945106E-41.02580232.0E-50.00748808540.0077188170.0077585081.00514214.0E-5
6.51.4404779E-51.48492945E-51.48492945E-51.00.06.1733306E-56.363831E-57.3637675E-51.15712811.0E-57.513438E-47.7452604E-47.945106E-41.02580232.0E-50.00748808540.0077188170.0077585081.00514214.0E-5
6.61.280208E-51.301186E-51.301186E-51.00.05.4864904E-55.5763932E-56.576337E-51.17931741.0E-56.6777546E-46.7871617E-46.987026E-41.02944742.0E-50.0066577240.00676664340.00680637271.00587134.0E-5
6.71.2457027E-51.262838E-51.262838E-51.00.05.3386164E-55.4120515E-56.411997E-51.18476281.0E-56.497827E-46.5871974E-46.7870656E-41.0303422.0E-50.006478860.006567870.0066076071.00605024.0E-5
6.81.2095134E-51.2230827E-51.2230827E-51.00.05.1835254E-55.2416784E-56.2416264E-51.19076861.0E-56.309115E-46.3798914E-46.579764E-41.03132842.0E-50.00629123250.0063617640.0064015091.00624754.0E-5
6.91.1104036E-51.115726E-51.115726E-51.00.04.758786E-54.781596E-55.781548E-51.20912521.0E-55.7922816E-45.82005E-46.019934E-41.0343442.0E-50.0057772070.00580495360.00583477971.0051383.0E-5
7.01.0577444E-51.05815925E-51.05815925E-51.00.04.5331115E-54.53489E-55.534845E-51.22050251.0E-55.5176654E-45.5198424E-45.7197316E-41.03621292.0E-50.00550398560.005506270.0055361051.00541833.0E-5
7.11.0021775E-59.9809E-69.9809E-61.00.04.294976E-54.277459E-55.2774165E-51.23377361.0E-55.2278786E-45.206574E-45.4064696E-41.0383932.0E-50.00521559640.0051945080.00522435221.00574533.0E-5
7.28.874109E-68.748706E-68.748706E-61.00.03.8031343E-53.7493923E-54.7493548E-51.26669991.0E-54.629332E-44.56394E-44.6638944E-41.02190091.0E-50.00461970.00455468470.0045646391.00218561.0E-5
7.37.5504267E-67.5050243E-67.5050243E-61.00.03.235857E-53.2164E-54.2163676E-51.31089661.0E-53.9389438E-43.9152734E-44.0152343E-41.0255311.0E-50.00393196940.00390848240.00391844331.00254861.0E-5
7.46.309394E-66.183062E-66.183062E-61.00.02.703998E-52.6498574E-53.649831E-51.37736881.0E-53.2916202E-43.2257332E-43.325701E-41.03099071.0E-50.0032867490.00322114840.0032311161.00309441.0E-5
7.54.6103073E-64.4408016E-64.4408016E-61.00.01.975831E-51.9031871E-52.9031682E-51.52542441.0E-52.4053088E-42.316891E-42.4168678E-41.04315131.0E-50.0024027070.0023145450.00232452181.00431051.0E-5
7.61.2858658E-61.3008196E-61.3008196E-61.00.05.5108417E-65.574929E-65.574929E-61.00.06.7092435E-56.787272E-56.787272E-51.00.06.707218E-46.7852676E-46.7852676E-41.00.0
7.75.3302307E-75.612138E-75.612138E-71.00.02.2843826E-62.4052001E-62.4052001E-61.00.02.7812002E-52.9282955E-52.9282955E-51.00.02.7808524E-42.9279455E-42.9279455E-41.00.0
7.84.613933E-84.80301E-84.80301E-81.00.01.9773998E-72.0584326E-72.0584326E-71.00.02.4074816E-62.5061388E-62.5061388E-61.00.02.4074554E-52.5061116E-52.5061116E-51.00.0

Deep Springs

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.9810619E-52.311252E-57.311136E-53.16327985.0E-58.489989E-59.9052755E-51.490478E-41.50473155.0E-50.0010331660.00120580780.00131567521.09111511.1E-40.0102837570.012042430.0122103831.01394681.7E-4
6.11.9810619E-52.311252E-57.311136E-53.16327985.0E-58.489989E-59.9052755E-51.490478E-41.50473155.0E-50.0010331660.00120580780.00131567521.09111511.1E-40.0102837570.012042430.0122103831.01394681.7E-4
6.21.9810619E-52.311252E-57.311136E-53.16327985.0E-58.489989E-59.9052755E-51.490478E-41.50473155.0E-50.0010331660.00120580780.00131567521.09111511.1E-40.0102837570.012042430.0122103831.01394681.7E-4
6.31.9810619E-52.311252E-57.311136E-53.16327985.0E-58.489989E-59.9052755E-51.490478E-41.50473155.0E-50.0010331660.00120580780.00131567521.09111511.1E-40.0102837570.012042430.0122103831.01394681.7E-4
6.41.9810619E-52.311252E-57.311136E-53.16327985.0E-58.489989E-59.9052755E-51.490478E-41.50473155.0E-50.0010331660.00120580780.00131567521.09111511.1E-40.0102837570.012042430.0122103831.01394681.7E-4
6.51.7190405E-52.0050558E-57.004956E-53.49364615.0E-57.367108E-58.593096E-51.3592666E-41.58181255.0E-58.9657627E-40.00104620920.00115609411.10503151.1E-40.0089296760.0104620610.0106203871.01513341.6E-4
6.61.7190405E-52.0050558E-57.004956E-53.49364615.0E-57.367108E-58.593096E-51.3592666E-41.58181255.0E-58.9657627E-40.00104620920.00115609411.10503151.1E-40.0089296760.0104620610.0106203871.01513341.6E-4

San Clemente

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.681379E-58.163834E-51.4163344E-41.73488886.0E-52.8631336E-43.4983488E-44.398034E-41.25717439.0E-50.0034802940.004251410.0043908151.03279031.4E-40.034262910.041756030.041918931.00390121.7E-4
6.16.681379E-58.163834E-51.3163425E-41.61240735.0E-52.8631336E-43.4983488E-44.198104E-41.20002447.0E-50.0034802940.004251410.00437091.0281061.2E-40.034262910.041756030.041890181.00321281.4E-4
6.23.9400576E-54.6452373E-56.6451445E-51.43052852.0E-51.6884868E-41.9906677E-42.1906279E-41.10044882.0E-50.00205379450.00242099840.00246090161.01648214.0E-50.0203491670.0239529030.0239919461.001634.0E-5
6.33.2590255E-53.792912E-53.792912E-51.00.01.3966505E-41.6254342E-41.6254342E-41.00.00.00169909560.00197720020.00199716051.01009542.0E-50.016861630.0195998830.0196194911.00100042.0E-5
6.42.9454652E-53.4097764E-53.4097764E-51.00.01.2622811E-41.4612524E-41.4612524E-41.00.00.00153574380.00177764930.00179761371.01123082.0E-50.0152517390.017637470.0176571181.00111392.0E-5
6.52.790836E-53.2247463E-53.2247463E-51.00.01.1960178E-41.3819624E-41.3819624E-41.00.00.0014551790.00168126620.00170123261.01187572.0E-50.0144568680.0166884850.016708151.00117842.0E-5
6.62.2492153E-52.5762702E-52.5762702E-51.00.09.639138E-51.1040699E-41.1040699E-41.00.00.00117293310.00134339090.0013633641.01486772.0E-50.0116676150.0133544170.013374151.00147762.0E-5
6.71.9862755E-52.2666423E-52.2666423E-51.00.08.512331E-59.713826E-59.713826E-51.00.00.00103588360.00118202790.00120200431.01690012.0E-50.0103106820.0117587010.01177846551.00168092.0E-5
6.81.6697575E-51.897771E-51.897771E-51.00.07.155907E-58.133056E-58.133056E-51.00.08.7088346E-49.897591E-49.997492E-41.01009351.0E-50.0086747840.00985453650.0098644381.00100481.0E-5
6.91.5218415E-51.72694E-51.72694E-51.00.06.522015E-57.4009666E-57.4009666E-51.00.07.93766E-49.00704E-49.10695E-41.01109241.0E-50.0079093670.0089714810.0089813911.00110461.0E-5
7.01.2392958E-51.4033016E-51.4033016E-51.00.05.3111595E-56.014015E-56.014015E-51.00.06.4644177E-47.319679E-47.419606E-41.01365181.0E-50.00644564540.00729635640.0073062841.00136051.0E-5
7.11.0934128E-51.2375138E-51.2375138E-51.00.04.6859706E-55.303527E-55.303527E-51.00.05.7036756E-46.455204E-46.455204E-41.00.00.00568905850.00643719970.00643719971.00.0
7.29.5798805E-61.0844935E-51.0844935E-51.00.04.1055984E-54.6477508E-54.6477508E-51.00.04.9974193E-45.657239E-45.657239E-41.00.00.00498619630.00564356150.00564356151.00.0
7.38.0167365E-69.083918E-69.083918E-61.00.03.4356988E-53.8930535E-53.8930535E-51.00.04.1821605E-44.7388324E-44.7388324E-41.00.00.00417429860.00472942970.00472942971.00.0
7.42.9581017E-63.3623792E-63.3623792E-61.00.01.2677518E-51.4410146E-51.4410146E-51.00.01.5433785E-41.7543444E-41.7543444E-41.00.00.0015423070.00175345460.00175345461.00.0

Pleito

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6763008E-52.4764735E-54.476424E-51.807582.0E-57.183948E-51.0613067E-41.2612855E-41.1884272.0E-58.742947E-40.0012914470.00138133081.06959939.0E-50.008708630.0129544120.0131123391.0121911.6E-4
6.11.6763008E-52.4764735E-54.476424E-51.807582.0E-57.183948E-51.0613067E-41.2612855E-41.1884272.0E-58.742947E-40.0012914470.00138133081.06959939.0E-50.008708630.0129544120.0131123391.0121911.6E-4
6.21.6763008E-52.4764735E-54.476424E-51.807582.0E-57.183948E-51.0613067E-41.2612855E-41.1884272.0E-58.742947E-40.0012914470.00138133081.06959939.0E-50.008708630.0129544120.0131123391.0121911.6E-4
6.31.6763008E-52.4764735E-54.476424E-51.807582.0E-57.183948E-51.0613067E-41.2612855E-41.1884272.0E-58.742947E-40.0012914470.00138133081.06959939.0E-50.008708630.0129544120.0131123391.0121911.6E-4
6.41.6763008E-52.4764735E-54.476424E-51.807582.0E-57.183948E-51.0613067E-41.2612855E-41.1884272.0E-58.742947E-40.0012914470.00138133081.06959939.0E-50.008708630.0129544120.0131123391.0121911.6E-4
6.51.6763008E-52.4764735E-54.476424E-51.807582.0E-57.183948E-51.0613067E-41.2612855E-41.1884272.0E-58.742947E-40.0012914470.00138133081.06959939.0E-50.008708630.0129544120.0131123391.0121911.6E-4
6.69.910213E-61.721552E-52.7215348E-51.58086121.0E-54.247165E-57.3778734E-58.3777995E-51.13553041.0E-55.169696E-48.9788967E-49.278627E-41.03338173.0E-50.00515768630.0090512260.0091205921.00766377.0E-5
6.79.910213E-61.721552E-52.7215348E-51.58086121.0E-54.247165E-57.3778734E-58.3777995E-51.13553041.0E-55.169696E-48.9788967E-49.278627E-41.03338173.0E-50.00515768630.0090512260.0091205921.00766377.0E-5
6.88.300162E-61.5475129E-52.5474974E-51.64618811.0E-53.557164E-56.63203E-57.6319644E-51.15077341.0E-54.3299864E-48.07152E-48.2713587E-41.02475852.0E-50.0043215590.0081506630.0081804191.00365073.0E-5
6.98.183114E-61.5346344E-52.5346191E-51.6516111.0E-53.5070017E-56.57684E-57.576774E-51.15203871.0E-54.2689382E-48.0043747E-48.204215E-41.02496642.0E-50.00426074680.0080840080.0081137651.00368113.0E-5
7.07.1748823E-61.4133306E-52.4133164E-51.70753861.0E-53.0749135E-56.0569906E-57.05693E-51.16508851.0E-53.743064E-47.3718966E-47.571749E-41.02711012.0E-50.00373676540.00745537550.00748515181.0039943.0E-5
7.17.1671807E-61.4123676E-52.4123534E-51.7080211.0E-53.0716128E-56.0528637E-57.052803E-51.16520111.0E-53.7390468E-47.366875E-47.5667276E-41.02712862.0E-50.00373276180.00745038830.00748016451.00399663.0E-5
7.27.0649667E-61.3970962E-52.3970822E-51.71576041.0E-53.0278077E-55.987418E-56.987358E-51.16700691.0E-53.6857324E-47.287248E-47.4871024E-41.02742522.0E-50.00367962550.00737113740.00740091641.00403993.0E-5
7.37.02082E-61.3914415E-52.3914276E-51.71866921.0E-53.008888E-55.9631846E-56.963125E-51.16768561.0E-53.6627054E-47.257764E-47.457619E-41.02753672.0E-50.00365667440.00734163730.00737141721.00405633.0E-5
7.46.987146E-61.3873975E-52.3873838E-51.72076391.0E-52.9944567E-55.9458544E-56.945795E-51.16817441.0E-53.6451413E-47.2366785E-47.4365333E-41.0276172.0E-50.00363916790.0073205710.00735035171.0040683.0E-5
7.56.9494554E-61.383088E-52.3830742E-51.72300981.0E-52.9783041E-55.9273858E-56.9273265E-51.16869841.0E-53.625482E-47.2142074E-47.4140634E-41.0277032.0E-50.00361957260.0072981990.007327981.00408073.0E-5
7.66.92694E-61.3789992E-52.3789855E-51.72515361.0E-52.9686547E-55.909863E-56.909804E-51.16919861.0E-53.6137376E-47.192888E-47.3927443E-41.02778532.0E-50.00360786660.0072769510.00730673271.00409263.0E-5
7.76.395867E-61.26690065E-52.266888E-51.78931781.0E-52.741057E-55.4294615E-56.429407E-51.18417041.0E-53.336726E-46.6083675E-46.808235E-41.03024472.0E-50.00333172010.00669554530.00672534431.00445063.0E-5
7.85.8664327E-61.1536581E-52.1536465E-51.86679791.0E-52.5141611E-54.9441554E-55.944106E-51.2022491.0E-53.060561E-46.0178485E-46.2177284E-41.03321442.0E-50.00305634950.00610101640.00613083361.00488723.0E-5
7.93.7167474E-67.1145205E-61.711445E-52.4055661.0E-51.592882E-53.0490448E-54.0490144E-51.32796161.0E-51.9391612E-43.7115812E-43.911507E-41.05386542.0E-50.00193746990.00376762430.00379751131.00793253.0E-5
8.01.0903841E-61.2879104E-61.1287898E-58.7645051.0E-54.6730665E-65.5196047E-61.551955E-52.8117141.0E-55.68931E-56.719913E-57.7198456E-51.14880141.0E-55.6878536E-46.942094E-47.0420245E-41.01439491.0E-5
8.12.6894583E-71.1056095E-71.1056095E-71.00.01.1526245E-64.7383253E-74.7383253E-71.00.01.4033113E-55.768896E-65.768896E-61.00.01.4032227E-46.454915E-56.454915E-51.00.0
8.25.2967013E-92.4567874E-92.4567874E-91.00.02.2700148E-81.0529089E-81.0529089E-81.00.02.7637427E-71.2819166E-71.2819166E-71.00.02.7637393E-61.4588004E-61.4588004E-61.00.0

Tin Mountain

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.083776E-64.1815365E-65.4181328E-512.9572765.0E-51.750178E-51.792077E-59.7919336E-55.4640148.0E-52.1306332E-42.1816725E-43.581367E-41.64156951.4E-40.00212859150.00217989650.00233954751.0732381.6E-4
6.14.083776E-64.1815365E-65.4181328E-512.9572765.0E-51.750178E-51.792077E-59.7919336E-55.4640148.0E-52.1306332E-42.1816725E-43.581367E-41.64156951.4E-40.00212859150.00217989650.00233954751.0732381.6E-4
6.24.083776E-64.1815365E-65.4181328E-512.9572765.0E-51.750178E-51.792077E-59.7919336E-55.4640148.0E-52.1306332E-42.1816725E-43.581367E-41.64156951.4E-40.00212859150.00217989650.00233954751.0732381.6E-4
6.34.083776E-64.1815365E-65.4181328E-512.9572765.0E-51.750178E-51.792077E-59.7919336E-55.4640148.0E-52.1306332E-42.1816725E-43.581367E-41.64156951.4E-40.00212859150.00217989650.00233954751.0732381.6E-4
6.44.083776E-64.1815365E-65.4181328E-512.9572765.0E-51.750178E-51.792077E-59.7919336E-55.4640148.0E-52.1306332E-42.1816725E-43.581367E-41.64156951.4E-40.00212859150.00217989650.00233954751.0732381.6E-4
6.52.3143427E-62.3731573E-65.2373038E-522.068935.0E-59.9185745E-61.0170638E-57.017003E-56.8992756.0E-51.2075195E-41.2382126E-42.3380763E-41.88826741.1E-40.00120686360.00123759860.00134746251.08877181.1E-4
6.62.3143427E-62.3731573E-65.2373038E-522.068935.0E-59.9185745E-61.0170638E-57.017003E-56.8992756.0E-51.2075195E-41.2382126E-42.3380763E-41.88826741.1E-40.00120686360.00123759860.00134746251.08877181.1E-4
6.71.7029532E-61.7497915E-63.174974E-518.144873.0E-57.2983503E-67.499088E-63.7498863E-55.00045633.0E-58.885379E-59.1298105E-51.6129171E-41.76664917.0E-58.881827E-49.1265864E-49.825947E-41.0766297.0E-5
6.81.2914646E-61.3299378E-63.13299E-523.5574153.0E-55.534837E-65.6997237E-63.569955E-56.2633833.0E-56.738455E-56.939237E-51.2938821E-41.86458846.0E-56.736412E-46.9375033E-47.537087E-41.08642656.0E-5
6.95.8708974E-76.1169936E-71.0611693E-517.3478891.0E-52.5160964E-62.6215664E-61.262154E-54.81450371.0E-53.0633044E-53.1917145E-54.1916825E-51.31330121.0E-53.0628822E-43.191297E-43.2912652E-41.03132521.0E-5
7.04.6248786E-74.832015E-71.0483197E-521.695291.0E-51.9820893E-62.0708624E-61.2070842E-55.82889651.0E-52.413167E-52.5212494E-53.521224E-51.39661871.0E-52.412905E-42.5210003E-42.620975E-41.03965681.0E-5
7.13.804606E-73.987147E-73.987147E-71.00.01.6305444E-61.7087764E-61.7087764E-61.00.01.9851697E-52.0804187E-52.0804187E-51.00.01.9849923E-42.0802575E-42.0802575E-41.00.0
7.23.5864858E-73.7616863E-73.7616863E-71.00.01.5370645E-61.6121504E-61.6121504E-61.00.01.87136E-51.9627789E-51.9627789E-51.00.01.8712023E-41.9626386E-41.9626386E-41.00.0
7.33.342063E-73.506347E-73.506347E-71.00.01.4323119E-61.5027196E-61.5027196E-61.00.01.7438259E-51.829549E-51.829549E-51.00.01.743689E-41.8294314E-41.8294314E-41.00.0
7.42.971242E-73.1165817E-73.1165817E-71.00.01.2733886E-61.3356774E-61.3356774E-61.00.01.5503398E-51.6261785E-51.6261785E-51.00.01.5502315E-41.6260923E-41.6260923E-41.00.0
7.51.4326713E-71.5012525E-71.5012525E-71.00.06.140018E-76.433939E-76.433939E-71.00.07.4754466E-67.8333205E-67.8333205E-61.00.07.475195E-57.833321E-57.833321E-51.00.0

Mission Ridge-Arroyo Parida-Santa Ana

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.169034E-54.7137048E-56.7136105E-51.42427472.0E-51.7866064E-42.0200513E-42.3199907E-41.14848113.0E-50.00217302330.00245746570.00253726911.03247388.0E-50.0215189680.024384830.0245214161.00560131.4E-4
6.11.73813E-51.6854203E-52.6854035E-51.59331381.0E-57.4489166E-57.223036E-58.2229635E-51.1384361.0E-59.065282E-48.790605E-49.090341E-41.03409733.0E-50.0090283910.0087571280.0088166041.00679166.0E-5
6.21.4622182E-51.3673262E-51.3673262E-51.00.06.2664985E-55.85984E-55.85984E-51.00.07.6267915E-47.132059E-47.331916E-41.02802242.0E-50.0076006690.0071097670.00715941141.00698265.0E-5
6.31.3552434E-51.2482174E-51.2482174E-51.00.05.8080568E-55.349395E-55.349395E-51.00.07.069015E-46.510974E-46.7108433E-41.03069732.0E-50.007046570.0064924150.00654209031.00765135.0E-5
6.41.30977305E-51.1979128E-51.1979128E-51.00.05.613192E-55.133813E-55.133813E-51.00.06.831918E-46.2486547E-46.44853E-41.03198682.0E-50.0068109530.0062315840.00628127251.00797375.0E-5
6.51.225205E-51.1048776E-51.1048776E-51.00.05.2507727E-54.735105E-54.735105E-51.00.06.3909404E-45.7634927E-45.863435E-41.01734051.0E-50.0063725920.0057490090.0057887791.00691774.0E-5
6.61.1352241E-51.0063508E-51.0063508E-51.00.04.8651553E-54.3128617E-54.3128617E-51.00.05.921717E-45.249665E-45.349613E-41.01903881.0E-50.00590596160.00523766460.0052774551.0075974.0E-5
6.71.0864116E-59.517E-69.517E-61.00.04.6559664E-54.0786515E-54.0786515E-51.00.05.667165E-44.964647E-45.0645974E-41.02013241.0E-50.0056527340.00495394370.00498379531.00602583.0E-5
6.81.0666365E-59.299752E-69.299752E-61.00.04.571219E-53.985548E-53.985548E-51.00.05.564038E-44.8513446E-44.951296E-41.02060281.0E-50.0055501270.004841140.0048709951.00616693.0E-5
6.91.0038665E-58.592018E-68.592018E-61.00.04.302214E-53.682243E-53.682243E-51.00.05.236687E-44.4822265E-44.5821816E-41.02230041.0E-50.0052243640.00447355070.0045034171.00667613.0E-5
7.09.5379955E-68.025047E-68.025047E-61.00.04.0876483E-53.439261E-53.439261E-51.00.04.975576E-44.1865133E-44.2864712E-41.02387621.0E-50.004964450.004178980.00420885441.00714873.0E-5
7.19.207389E-67.652347E-67.652347E-61.00.03.945964E-53.2795375E-53.2795375E-51.00.04.803152E-43.992122E-44.092082E-41.02503931.0E-50.0047927840.0039853010.00401518171.00749773.0E-5
7.27.638091E-65.9310923E-65.9310923E-61.00.03.2734264E-52.5418722E-52.5418722E-51.00.03.984668E-43.094293E-43.094293E-41.00.00.00397753060.00309019560.00310016471.0032261.0E-5
7.37.2500147E-65.596131E-65.596131E-61.00.03.1071122E-52.3983199E-52.3983199E-51.00.03.7822526E-42.9195662E-42.9195662E-41.00.00.00377582150.00291594020.00292591121.00341941.0E-5
7.46.3899715E-64.9184864E-64.9184864E-61.00.02.7385306E-52.1079059E-52.1079059E-51.00.03.3336508E-42.566075E-42.566075E-41.00.00.00332865420.0025633110.00257328531.00389121.0E-5
7.55.379025E-64.0838477E-64.0838477E-61.00.02.305276E-51.7502087E-51.7502087E-51.00.02.806312E-42.1306718E-42.1306718E-41.00.00.00280277080.00212864020.00212864021.00.0
7.64.1270696E-63.0883373E-63.0883373E-61.00.01.768732E-51.32356645E-51.32356645E-51.00.02.1532185E-41.6113237E-41.6113237E-41.00.00.00215113330.00161016350.00161016351.00.0
7.72.5406805E-61.8282044E-61.8282044E-61.00.01.0888585E-57.835139E-67.835139E-61.00.01.3256045E-49.53887E-59.53887E-51.00.00.00132481429.534837E-49.534837E-41.00.0
7.84.8608285E-73.509864E-73.509864E-71.00.02.0832106E-61.5042266E-61.5042266E-61.00.02.5362791E-51.8313805E-51.8313805E-51.00.02.5359896E-41.8312308E-41.8312308E-41.00.0
7.92.0472514E-81.2688718E-81.2688718E-81.00.08.7739345E-85.438022E-85.438022E-81.00.01.068226E-66.6207895E-76.6207895E-71.00.01.0682209E-56.620771E-66.620771E-61.00.0
8.04.443582E-92.032067E-92.032067E-91.00.01.9043922E-88.7088585E-98.7088585E-91.00.02.3185973E-71.0603035E-71.0603035E-71.00.02.3185949E-61.0603031E-61.0603031E-61.00.0

San Jacinto (Anza) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.3015636E-54.3298347E-59.3296185E-52.15472845.0E-52.7003905E-41.8555121E-42.5553824E-41.37718447.0E-50.00328276910.00225675730.00234655431.03979039.0E-50.0323469680.023293610.0234401171.00628951.5E-4
6.16.3015636E-54.3298347E-59.3296185E-52.15472845.0E-52.7003905E-41.8555121E-42.5553824E-41.37718447.0E-50.00328276910.00225675730.00234655431.03979039.0E-50.0323469680.023293610.0234401171.00628951.5E-4
6.26.3015636E-54.3298347E-59.3296185E-52.15472845.0E-52.7003905E-41.8555121E-42.5553824E-41.37718447.0E-50.00328276910.00225675730.00234655431.03979039.0E-50.0323469680.023293610.0234401171.00628951.5E-4
6.36.3015636E-54.3298347E-59.3296185E-52.15472845.0E-52.7003905E-41.8555121E-42.5553824E-41.37718447.0E-50.00328276910.00225675730.00234655431.03979039.0E-50.0323469680.023293610.0234401171.00628951.5E-4
6.46.3015636E-54.3298347E-59.3296185E-52.15472845.0E-52.7003905E-41.8555121E-42.5553824E-41.37718447.0E-50.00328276910.00225675730.00234655431.03979039.0E-50.0323469680.023293610.0234401171.00628951.5E-4
6.55.811017E-54.0080286E-59.007828E-52.2474465.0E-52.4901982E-41.7176138E-42.4174935E-41.40747217.0E-50.00302760140.00208919470.00217900661.04298889.0E-50.029866840.0215908330.0217375941.00679741.5E-4
6.65.811017E-54.0080286E-59.007828E-52.2474465.0E-52.4901982E-41.7176138E-42.4174935E-41.40747217.0E-50.00302760140.00208919470.00217900661.04298889.0E-50.029866840.0215908330.0217375941.00679741.5E-4
6.75.712442E-53.950301E-58.950104E-52.26567635.0E-52.4479596E-41.6928767E-42.3927582E-41.41342747.0E-50.00297631770.00205913440.00214894931.04361779.0E-50.0293676930.0212829190.0214297251.00689791.5E-4
6.85.6967532E-53.93593E-58.935733E-52.27029785.0E-52.4412372E-41.6867183E-42.3866002E-41.4149377.0E-50.00296815530.00205165080.00214146611.04377719.0E-50.0292882290.021208520.0213553381.00692261.5E-4
6.95.6211324E-53.9064216E-58.906226E-52.27989395.0E-52.4088343E-41.6740736E-42.3739564E-41.41807177.0E-50.00292881160.00203628470.00212610141.04410829.0E-50.0289051090.0210475270.021194371.00697671.5E-4
7.05.4383527E-53.7925012E-58.7923116E-52.31834135.0E-52.3305144E-41.6252567E-42.3251429E-41.43063127.0E-50.00283370940.0019769590.0020667811.04543459.0E-50.0279784650.020440950.0205878841.00718821.5E-4
7.15.1393665E-53.638787E-58.638605E-52.37403425.0E-52.2023996E-41.5593872E-42.259278E-41.44882437.0E-50.00267812420.00189690480.0019867341.04735589.0E-50.0264607820.0196160770.0197631341.00749681.5E-4
7.24.785222E-53.4738845E-58.4737105E-52.4392615.0E-52.0506482E-41.4887229E-42.1886187E-41.47013167.0E-50.00249380550.00181101670.00190085371.04960589.0E-50.0246600490.0187287830.0188759731.00785911.5E-4
7.34.2143256E-53.3834414E-58.383272E-52.47773535.0E-51.8060145E-41.449966E-42.1498643E-41.48277.0E-50.0021966050.00176390750.00185374871.05093319.0E-50.021750190.0182366950.018383961.00807511.5E-4
7.44.0264713E-53.3472694E-58.347102E-52.49370485.0E-51.7255165E-41.4344654E-42.1343649E-41.48791677.0E-50.0020987920.00174506590.00183490881.0514849.0E-50.0207908040.0180413890.0181886831.00816421.5E-4
7.53.694492E-53.2186905E-58.2185295E-52.55337675.0E-51.5832575E-41.379366E-42.0792695E-41.50740957.0E-50.00192591180.00167808760.00176793661.05354259.0E-50.019093060.0173578880.0175052841.00849161.5E-4
7.63.200565E-52.9502702E-57.950123E-52.694715.0E-51.3715986E-41.2643404E-41.9642519E-41.55357847.0E-50.0016686420.00153824970.00162811121.0584189.0E-50.016561680.0159460160.0160936251.00925671.5E-4
7.72.731642E-52.6091477E-57.6090175E-52.91628465.0E-51.1706512E-41.11815825E-41.7180911E-41.53653676.0E-50.0014243360.00136050850.00144039971.05872158.0E-50.0141524120.01416680.0142949581.00904641.3E-4
7.82.3466424E-52.3503619E-57.3502444E-53.1272825.0E-51.0056651E-41.0072591E-41.6071986E-41.59561596.0E-50.00122370940.00122564890.00130555081.06519158.0E-50.0121699280.0128087960.0129371311.01001931.3E-4
7.91.8611925E-51.890698E-56.890603E-53.6444765.0E-57.9762955E-58.10274E-51.4102254E-41.74043026.0E-59.7068126E-49.860628E-40.00105599381.07091947.0E-50.00966452250.0103937050.0105124581.01142551.2E-4
8.01.5460775E-51.5739915E-55.5739285E-53.54126984.0E-56.6258784E-56.745504E-51.17451666E-41.74118455.0E-58.0640207E-48.2095637E-48.809071E-41.07302556.0E-50.0080348210.0087027060.0088117491.01252971.1E-4
8.19.983884E-68.268954E-62.8268789E-53.41866542.0E-54.2787375E-53.5437897E-56.5436834E-51.84652143.0E-55.2081177E-44.313715E-44.7135423E-41.09268754.0E-50.00519592830.004639680.0046994021.0128726.0E-5
8.24.1226E-61.5522551E-61.5522551E-61.00.01.7668166E-56.6525045E-66.6525045E-61.00.02.1508869E-48.099126E-58.099126E-51.00.00.00214880649.401847E-49.401847E-41.00.0
8.31.2750878E-63.609817E-73.609817E-71.00.05.4646503E-61.5470634E-61.5470634E-61.00.06.653009E-51.8835339E-51.8835339E-51.00.06.6510175E-42.272251E-42.272251E-41.00.0

Kern Canyon (North Kern) 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.6264497E-66.75733E-63.6757127E-55.43959333.0E-52.8398761E-52.895971E-59.895768E-53.41708147.0E-53.4570007E-43.5253543E-44.7249312E-41.34027141.2E-40.00345162770.00352055020.00367002211.0424571.5E-4
6.16.6264497E-66.75733E-63.6757127E-55.43959333.0E-52.8398761E-52.895971E-59.895768E-53.41708147.0E-53.4570007E-43.5253543E-44.7249312E-41.34027141.2E-40.00345162770.00352055020.00367002211.0424571.5E-4
6.26.6264497E-66.75733E-63.6757127E-55.43959333.0E-52.8398761E-52.895971E-59.895768E-53.41708147.0E-53.4570007E-43.5253543E-44.7249312E-41.34027141.2E-40.00345162770.00352055020.00367002211.0424571.5E-4
6.36.6264497E-66.75733E-63.6757127E-55.43959333.0E-52.8398761E-52.895971E-59.895768E-53.41708147.0E-53.4570007E-43.5253543E-44.7249312E-41.34027141.2E-40.00345162770.00352055020.00367002211.0424571.5E-4
6.46.6264497E-66.75733E-63.6757127E-55.43959333.0E-52.8398761E-52.895971E-59.895768E-53.41708147.0E-53.4570007E-43.5253543E-44.7249312E-41.34027141.2E-40.00345162770.00352055020.00367002211.0424571.5E-4
6.53.2162225E-63.2570915E-63.2570915E-61.00.01.3783738E-51.3958894E-52.3958753E-51.71637921.0E-51.6780409E-41.6993708E-41.9993198E-41.17650593.0E-50.00167677440.0016981510.00173808311.0235154.0E-5
6.63.2162225E-63.2570915E-63.2570915E-61.00.01.3783738E-51.3958894E-52.3958753E-51.71637921.0E-51.6780409E-41.6993708E-41.9993198E-41.17650593.0E-50.00167677440.0016981510.00173808311.0235154.0E-5
6.72.1908265E-62.2071222E-62.2071222E-61.00.09.389223E-69.459062E-61.9458968E-52.05717731.0E-51.1430779E-41.1515819E-41.4515474E-41.26048123.0E-50.00114249010.00115100460.00119095851.03471224.0E-5
6.81.7303895E-61.736553E-61.736553E-61.00.07.415934E-67.442349E-61.7442275E-52.34365181.0E-59.028525E-59.060693E-51.20604214E-41.33107053.0E-59.024858E-49.0570963E-49.456734E-41.04412424.0E-5
6.91.3700314E-61.3688623E-61.3688623E-61.00.05.87155E-65.86654E-61.586648E-52.70457221.0E-57.148377E-57.142283E-51.0142069E-41.42000383.0E-57.146078E-47.140033E-47.4398186E-41.04198663.0E-5
7.01.1467797E-61.1413805E-61.1413805E-61.00.04.9147607E-64.8916218E-61.4891573E-53.04430171.0E-55.983557E-55.95539E-58.9552115E-51.50371543.0E-55.981946E-45.9538253E-46.253647E-41.05035783.0E-5
7.19.3952065E-79.3026915E-79.3026915E-71.00.04.026511E-63.986862E-61.3986822E-53.50822851.0E-54.9021666E-54.853898E-57.853752E-51.618033.0E-54.901085E-44.8528553E-45.15271E-41.06178933.0E-5
7.26.858055E-76.7193014E-76.7193014E-71.00.02.939163E-62.8796974E-61.2879668E-54.4725771.0E-53.5783723E-53.5059762E-55.505906E-51.57043462.0E-53.5777962E-43.5054318E-43.7053617E-41.05703432.0E-5
7.35.1101983E-74.939301E-74.939301E-71.00.02.1900833E-62.1168414E-61.21168205E-55.72400951.0E-52.6663936E-52.5772246E-54.577173E-51.77600862.0E-52.6660739E-42.5769303E-42.7768788E-41.07759182.0E-5
7.43.4999414E-73.2995916E-73.2995916E-71.00.01.499974E-61.4141099E-61.1414096E-58.0715761.0E-51.8262032E-51.7216655E-52.7216482E-51.5808231.0E-51.826053E-41.7215345E-41.8215172E-41.05807771.0E-5
7.51.7021522E-71.4750053E-71.4750053E-71.00.07.2949354E-76.32145E-76.32145E-71.00.08.881548E-67.696339E-67.696339E-61.00.08.8811925E-57.696081E-57.696081E-51.00.0
7.62.572245E-81.735264E-81.735264E-81.00.01.10239064E-77.436845E-87.436845E-81.00.01.3421597E-69.0543557E-79.0543557E-71.00.01.3421517E-59.054324E-69.054324E-61.00.0

Santa Cruz Island

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.9164563E-53.1599742E-54.159943E-51.31644821.0E-51.2498499E-41.3542121E-41.6541715E-41.2215013.0E-50.00152063010.00164764260.00174747781.06059281.0E-40.0151026670.0163680.0165057071.00841331.4E-4
6.12.9164563E-53.1599742E-54.159943E-51.31644821.0E-51.2498499E-41.3542121E-41.6541715E-41.2215013.0E-50.00152063010.00164764260.00174747781.06059281.0E-40.0151026670.0163680.0165057071.00841331.4E-4
6.22.9164563E-53.1599742E-54.159943E-51.31644821.0E-51.2498499E-41.3542121E-41.6541715E-41.2215013.0E-50.00152063010.00164764260.00174747781.06059281.0E-40.0151026670.0163680.0165057071.00841331.4E-4
6.31.6635553E-51.780436E-51.780436E-51.00.07.1293274E-57.630227E-59.630074E-51.26209552.0E-58.6765E-49.286024E-40.00100852821.0860718.0E-50.0086427010.0092490940.0093382621.00964079.0E-5
6.41.6635553E-51.780436E-51.780436E-51.00.07.1293274E-57.630227E-59.630074E-51.26209552.0E-58.6765E-49.286024E-40.00100852821.0860718.0E-50.0086427010.0092490940.0093382621.00964079.0E-5
6.51.2238748E-51.3042996E-51.3042996E-51.00.05.2450723E-55.5897377E-56.589682E-51.17888931.0E-56.3840044E-46.8034173E-47.403009E-41.0881316.0E-50.00636569550.0067829880.0068525131.010257.0E-5
6.61.0489767E-51.1156636E-51.1156636E-51.00.04.495537E-54.781329E-54.781329E-51.00.05.4719415E-45.819736E-46.119561E-41.05151873.0E-50.0054584870.0058047360.00584450361.0068514.0E-5
6.78.699222E-69.236783E-69.236783E-61.00.03.7281847E-53.958561E-53.958561E-51.00.04.5381195E-44.818488E-45.1183434E-41.06223023.0E-50.00452886340.0048081080.00483796371.00620953.0E-5
6.88.307732E-68.8169045E-68.8169045E-61.00.03.560408E-53.7786187E-53.7786187E-51.00.04.3339343E-44.5995016E-44.7994097E-41.0434632.0E-50.0043254920.00459003540.0046099441.00433732.0E-5
6.98.073121E-68.564939E-68.564939E-61.00.03.459863E-53.670637E-53.670637E-51.00.04.2115687E-44.4680882E-44.667999E-41.04474192.0E-50.0042035960.0044591560.0044790671.00446512.0E-5
7.07.617019E-68.074665E-68.074665E-61.00.03.264396E-53.4605247E-53.4605247E-51.00.03.9736772E-44.2123784E-44.412294E-41.04745912.0E-50.0039665790.00420444130.0042243571.00473692.0E-5
7.17.1224836E-67.5457883E-67.5457883E-61.00.03.052457E-53.2338692E-53.2338692E-51.00.03.715733E-43.9365282E-44.1364494E-41.05078612.0E-50.0037095260.00392959830.00394951921.00506962.0E-5
7.26.441115E-66.8273835E-66.8273835E-61.00.02.7604487E-52.9259889E-52.9259889E-51.00.03.360328E-43.5618115E-43.7617402E-41.05613122.0E-50.00335525120.00355613120.003576061.00560412.0E-5
7.35.494274E-65.8199944E-65.8199944E-61.00.02.3546674E-52.4942596E-52.4942596E-51.00.02.8664304E-43.03634E-43.2362793E-41.06584882.0E-50.0028627360.00303221450.00305215391.00657582.0E-5
7.44.0802624E-64.3122564E-64.3122564E-61.00.01.7486722E-51.8480969E-51.8480969E-51.00.02.1288003E-42.2498264E-42.3498038E-41.04443791.0E-50.00212676220.00224755770.00225753521.00443921.0E-5
7.52.3584746E-62.4753099E-62.4753099E-61.00.01.0107709E-51.0608428E-51.0608428E-51.00.01.2305441E-41.2915001E-41.2915001E-41.00.00.00122986290.00129075450.00129075451.00.0
7.69.4981914E-79.860934E-79.860934E-71.00.04.0706473E-64.2261076E-64.2261076E-61.00.04.9559E-55.1451658E-55.1451658E-51.00.04.954795E-45.1439874E-45.1439874E-41.00.0
7.72.6013532E-72.6416632E-72.6416632E-71.00.01.1148652E-61.1321408E-61.1321408E-61.00.01.3573399E-51.3783729E-51.3783729E-51.00.01.357257E-41.378288E-41.378288E-41.00.0
7.84.1522263E-83.965698E-83.965698E-81.00.01.7795254E-71.6995848E-71.6995848E-71.00.02.16657E-62.0692428E-62.0692428E-61.00.02.1665488E-52.0692256E-52.0692256E-51.00.0
7.97.7242046E-105.9475225E-105.9475225E-101.00.03.3103735E-92.5489382E-92.5489382E-91.00.04.0303796E-83.1033323E-83.1033323E-81.00.04.030379E-73.103332E-73.103332E-71.00.0

Cleghorn Pass

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.0522846E-51.1040642E-55.10402E-54.62293774.0E-54.509713E-54.7316473E-51.0731364E-42.26799736.0E-55.4891926E-45.759784E-46.7592086E-41.17351761.0E-40.00547565330.0057500220.0058792741.02247861.3E-4
6.11.0522846E-51.1040642E-55.10402E-54.62293774.0E-54.509713E-54.7316473E-51.0731364E-42.26799736.0E-55.4891926E-45.759784E-46.7592086E-41.17351761.0E-40.00547565330.0057500220.0058792741.02247861.3E-4
6.22.1045846E-62.2082024E-61.220818E-55.528561.0E-59.019617E-69.463714E-61.946362E-52.05665761.0E-51.098083E-41.1521882E-41.3521651E-41.17356282.0E-50.00109754060.00115200230.00118196771.02601163.0E-5
6.32.1045846E-62.2082024E-61.220818E-55.528561.0E-59.019617E-69.463714E-61.946362E-52.05665761.0E-51.098083E-41.1521882E-41.3521651E-41.17356282.0E-50.00109754060.00115200230.00118196771.02601163.0E-5
6.41.7259927E-61.810877E-61.1810859E-56.5221761.0E-57.3970905E-67.760902E-61.7760824E-52.28851.0E-59.005586E-59.4488976E-51.1448709E-41.21164492.0E-59.001937E-49.448898E-49.7486144E-41.03171973.0E-5

Chino alt 1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.939946E-54.894798E-55.894749E-51.20428851.0E-51.6884391E-42.0976314E-42.2975894E-41.09532562.0E-50.00205373620.0025513850.00264115541.0351859.0E-50.0203485950.0252801680.025416631.00539791.4E-4
6.12.1505624E-52.6878823E-53.6878555E-51.37203011.0E-59.2163704E-51.15190494E-41.2518934E-41.08680271.0E-50.00112151540.00140165170.00145158151.03562225.0E-50.0111587220.0139474250.0140263091.00565598.0E-5
6.22.1505624E-52.6878823E-53.6878555E-51.37203011.0E-59.2163704E-51.15190494E-41.2518934E-41.08680271.0E-50.00112151540.00140165170.00145158151.03562225.0E-50.0111587220.0139474250.0140263091.00565598.0E-5
6.31.4290785E-51.8164832E-51.8164832E-51.00.06.1244784E-57.784722E-57.784722E-51.00.07.454001E-49.4742293E-49.67404E-41.02108992.0E-50.0074290480.009446740.0094863621.00419434.0E-5
6.41.4290785E-51.8164832E-51.8164832E-51.00.06.1244784E-57.784722E-57.784722E-51.00.07.454001E-49.4742293E-49.67404E-41.02108992.0E-50.0074290480.009446740.0094863621.00419434.0E-5
6.51.3017944E-51.6651793E-51.6651793E-51.00.05.5789995E-57.1363116E-57.1363116E-51.00.06.790315E-48.6854334E-48.785347E-41.01150361.0E-50.00676960360.0086642330.0086939731.00343253.0E-5
6.69.470016E-61.2039209E-51.2039209E-51.00.04.058515E-55.159578E-55.159578E-51.00.04.940122E-46.280315E-46.3802523E-41.01591281.0E-50.0049291540.0062732480.00630305941.00475223.0E-5
6.78.314155E-61.040749E-51.040749E-51.00.03.5631605E-54.4602948E-54.4602948E-51.00.04.3372845E-45.4293784E-45.4293784E-41.00.00.0043288290.00542708070.00543702631.00183261.0E-5
6.83.4856364E-63.8134033E-63.8134033E-61.00.01.4938357E-51.6343065E-51.6343065E-51.00.01.8185932E-41.9896074E-41.9896074E-41.00.00.00181710560.00198945290.00198945291.00.0
6.92.2645952E-62.152909E-62.152909E-61.00.09.705372E-69.226722E-69.226722E-61.00.01.18156495E-41.12329755E-41.12329755E-41.00.00.00118093690.00112331380.00112331381.00.0
7.01.7864003E-61.5430741E-61.5430741E-61.00.07.655979E-66.613158E-66.613158E-61.00.09.3207556E-58.051228E-58.051228E-51.00.09.316847E-48.052856E-48.052856E-41.00.0
7.11.7315456E-61.4733466E-61.4733466E-61.00.07.420889E-66.314328E-66.314328E-61.00.09.034557E-57.687428E-57.687428E-51.00.09.0308854E-47.68921E-47.68921E-41.00.0
7.21.6008337E-61.3574178E-61.3574178E-61.00.06.860698E-65.817492E-65.817492E-61.00.08.352579E-57.082572E-57.082572E-51.00.08.34944E-47.0846075E-47.0846075E-41.00.0
7.31.3320939E-61.1217794E-61.1217794E-61.00.05.7089615E-64.8076176E-64.8076176E-61.00.06.9504385E-55.853122E-55.853122E-51.00.06.9482654E-45.8530655E-45.8530655E-41.00.0
7.41.114294E-69.237087E-79.237087E-71.00.04.775537E-63.9587458E-63.9587458E-61.00.05.8140613E-54.81967E-54.81967E-51.00.05.81254E-44.8187698E-44.8187698E-41.00.0
7.59.354081E-77.6233886E-77.6233886E-71.00.04.0088858E-63.2671626E-63.2671626E-61.00.04.8807087E-53.9777013E-53.9777013E-51.00.04.879637E-43.9770233E-43.9770233E-41.00.0
7.68.521771E-76.880688E-76.880688E-71.00.03.6521824E-62.948863E-62.948863E-61.00.04.4464414E-53.590185E-53.590185E-51.00.04.4455516E-43.5896365E-43.5896365E-41.00.0
7.72.1803626E-71.4186368E-71.4186368E-71.00.09.344408E-76.0798715E-76.0798715E-71.00.01.1376757E-57.4022278E-67.4022278E-61.00.01.13761744E-47.402077E-57.402077E-51.00.0

Big Pine (Central)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2706755E-51.4250602E-55.425003E-53.8068594.0E-55.4456385E-56.107279E-51.11069734E-41.81864525.0E-56.628048E-47.433441E-48.1329205E-41.0940997.0E-50.0066083140.0074136390.00755260141.01874411.4E-4
6.18.342579E-69.510835E-62.9510646E-53.10284472.0E-53.5753423E-54.076021E-57.0758986E-51.7359823.0E-54.3521097E-44.9616426E-45.361444E-41.08057844.0E-50.00434359630.0049541550.00505365941.02008511.0E-4
6.26.923899E-67.967221E-67.967221E-61.00.02.9673516E-53.4144894E-54.4144555E-51.29285961.0E-53.6121515E-44.1565404E-44.3564572E-41.04809692.0E-50.0036062860.00415210940.0042218191.0167897.0E-5
6.32.728396E-63.4243646E-63.4243646E-61.00.01.1693074E-51.4675771E-51.4675771E-51.00.01.4235388E-41.7866373E-41.8866194E-41.0559611.0E-50.00142262720.00178674330.00183665391.02793385.0E-5
6.42.7136944E-63.4086581E-63.4086581E-61.00.01.1630066E-51.4608458E-51.4608458E-51.00.01.4158686E-41.7784433E-41.8784255E-41.0562191.0E-50.00141496690.00177856230.00182847341.02806265.0E-5
6.52.6971882E-63.3910032E-63.3910032E-61.00.01.1559327E-51.4532795E-51.4532795E-51.00.01.4072572E-41.7692328E-41.869215E-41.05651161.0E-50.00140636640.00176936660.00181927811.02820875.0E-5
6.62.669092E-63.3610236E-63.3610236E-61.00.01.1438916E-51.4404312E-51.4404312E-51.00.01.3925991E-41.7535927E-41.8535751E-41.05701581.0E-50.00139172670.00175375110.00180366341.02846035.0E-5
6.72.6408059E-63.3310494E-63.3310494E-61.00.01.1317691E-51.4275853E-51.4275853E-51.00.01.3778417E-41.737955E-41.8379377E-41.05752891.0E-50.00137698770.00173813810.00178805121.02871645.0E-5
6.82.1786943E-62.8545066E-62.8545066E-61.00.09.337228E-61.2233547E-51.2233547E-51.00.01.1367482E-41.4893398E-41.5893248E-41.06713391.0E-50.00113616690.00148987040.00152981081.0268084.0E-5
6.91.4411696E-62.0685677E-62.0685677E-61.00.06.1764263E-68.865261E-68.865261E-61.00.07.51954E-51.0792949E-41.1792841E-41.09264311.0E-57.5169955E-40.00108025480.00111022241.02774123.0E-5
7.01.0073411E-61.5543274E-61.5543274E-61.00.04.317169E-66.661387E-66.661387E-61.00.05.2560266E-58.109952E-58.109952E-51.00.05.2547833E-48.1217213E-48.1217213E-41.00.0
7.18.947104E-71.430316E-61.430316E-61.00.03.834468E-66.1299124E-66.1299124E-61.00.04.6683643E-57.462928E-57.462928E-51.00.04.6673836E-47.4751483E-47.4751483E-41.00.0
7.25.215166E-71.0112277E-61.0112277E-61.00.02.2350691E-64.333826E-64.333826E-61.00.02.7211627E-55.27631E-55.27631E-51.00.02.7208295E-45.289683E-45.289683E-41.00.0
7.34.4024807E-79.220183E-79.220183E-71.00.01.8867761E-63.951501E-63.951501E-61.00.02.2971257E-54.8108504E-54.8108504E-51.00.02.2968883E-44.824433E-44.824433E-41.00.0
7.43.6130905E-78.359109E-78.359109E-71.00.01.5484665E-63.5824705E-63.5824705E-61.00.01.8852415E-54.3615746E-54.3615746E-51.00.01.8850817E-44.3752496E-44.3752496E-41.00.0
7.53.408184E-78.1087245E-78.1087245E-71.00.01.4606494E-63.475163E-63.475163E-61.00.01.7783263E-54.230933E-54.230933E-51.00.01.778184E-44.2444657E-44.2444657E-41.00.0
7.63.1428627E-77.732167E-77.732167E-71.00.01.3469405E-63.313782E-63.313782E-61.00.01.6398877E-54.0344585E-54.0344585E-51.00.01.6397667E-44.0477706E-44.0477706E-41.00.0
7.71.7972785E-75.0782415E-75.0782415E-71.00.07.70262E-72.1763874E-62.1763874E-61.00.09.377899E-62.6497206E-52.6497206E-51.00.09.377503E-52.6633305E-42.6633305E-41.00.0
7.84.9230927E-81.1981747E-71.1981747E-71.00.02.1098968E-75.135033E-75.135033E-71.00.02.5687964E-66.2518866E-66.2518866E-61.00.02.5687666E-56.2971965E-56.2971965E-51.00.0
7.93.6805972E-94.1051638E-94.1051638E-91.00.01.5773987E-81.7593557E-81.7593557E-81.00.01.9204828E-72.1420155E-72.1420155E-71.00.01.920481E-62.1898923E-62.1898923E-61.00.0

Channel Islands Thrust

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.2156251E-52.4092022E-55.40913E-52.24519543.0E-59.495191E-51.03248036E-41.5324287E-41.48422075.0E-50.00115542640.00125642660.0013363261.06359278.0E-50.0114943730.01250382050.0126124451.00868731.1E-4
6.12.2156251E-52.4092022E-55.40913E-52.24519543.0E-59.495191E-51.03248036E-41.5324287E-41.48422075.0E-50.00115542640.00125642660.0013363261.06359278.0E-50.0114943730.01250382050.0126124451.00868731.1E-4
6.22.2156251E-52.4092022E-55.40913E-52.24519543.0E-59.495191E-51.03248036E-41.5324287E-41.48422075.0E-50.00115542640.00125642660.0013363261.06359278.0E-50.0114943730.01250382050.0126124451.00868731.1E-4
6.32.2156251E-52.4092022E-55.40913E-52.24519543.0E-59.495191E-51.03248036E-41.5324287E-41.48422075.0E-50.00115542640.00125642660.0013363261.06359278.0E-50.0114943730.01250382050.0126124451.00868731.1E-4
6.42.2156251E-52.4092022E-55.40913E-52.24519543.0E-59.495191E-51.03248036E-41.5324287E-41.48422075.0E-50.00115542640.00125642660.0013363261.06359278.0E-50.0114943730.01250382050.0126124451.00868731.1E-4
6.52.2156251E-52.4092022E-55.40913E-52.24519543.0E-59.495191E-51.03248036E-41.5324287E-41.48422075.0E-50.00115542640.00125642660.0013363261.06359278.0E-50.0114943730.01250382050.0126124451.00868731.1E-4
6.62.2156251E-52.4092022E-55.40913E-52.24519543.0E-59.495191E-51.03248036E-41.5324287E-41.48422075.0E-50.00115542640.00125642660.0013363261.06359278.0E-50.0114943730.01250382050.0126124451.00868731.1E-4
6.71.0601296E-51.1379544E-52.137943E-51.87875991.0E-54.5433335E-54.876859E-57.876712E-51.615123.0E-55.5301044E-45.936007E-46.535651E-41.10101816.0E-50.0055163630.0059206530.00598029841.0100746.0E-5
6.81.0246747E-51.0996669E-52.0996558E-51.90935621.0E-54.391389E-54.7127756E-57.7126344E-51.63653763.0E-55.345204E-45.7363417E-46.3359976E-41.10453636.0E-50.00533236560.0057220250.00578168171.01042586.0E-5
6.99.049551E-69.699645E-61.9699548E-52.03095561.0E-53.878322E-54.1569267E-57.156802E-51.7216573.0E-54.7208337E-45.059924E-45.559671E-41.09876575.0E-50.00471081720.00504882030.0050985681.00985345.0E-5
7.08.6542195E-69.274603E-61.927451E-52.07820321.0E-53.7088983E-53.9747716E-56.974652E-51.75473033.0E-54.5146482E-44.8382508E-45.3380086E-41.10329325.0E-50.0045054870.00482812940.00487788771.0103065.0E-5
7.18.391028E-68.992925E-61.8992836E-52.11197521.0E-53.5961057E-53.8540562E-55.853979E-51.51891392.0E-54.3773788E-44.6913436E-45.0911563E-41.08522344.0E-50.0043687660.00468185030.0047216631.00850374.0E-5
7.25.965188E-66.3716957E-61.6371632E-52.5694311.0E-52.556484E-52.7306984E-53.7306712E-51.36619661.0E-53.1120746E-43.3241237E-43.524057E-41.06014622.0E-50.003107720.00331920940.0033391431.00600552.0E-5
7.34.877518E-65.206007E-61.5205955E-52.92084811.0E-52.0903482E-52.231127E-53.2311047E-51.4481941.0E-52.5447016E-42.716063E-42.9160085E-41.0736162.0E-50.00254178980.00271278970.00273273541.00735252.0E-5
7.43.8829853E-64.141863E-61.4141821E-53.41436241.0E-51.664126E-51.7750723E-52.7750546E-51.56334731.0E-52.0258849E-42.1609403E-42.3608972E-41.09253232.0E-50.0020240390.0021588810.00217883751.00924412.0E-5
7.51.3489616E-61.4277905E-61.4277905E-61.00.05.7812517E-66.119088E-66.119088E-61.00.07.038446E-57.449739E-57.449739E-51.00.07.036218E-47.4472814E-47.4472814E-41.00.0
7.66.058192E-76.35378E-76.35378E-71.00.02.5963652E-62.7230458E-62.7230458E-61.00.03.161029E-53.3152595E-53.3152595E-51.00.03.1605794E-43.314781E-43.314781E-41.00.0
7.72.2170494E-72.2607924E-72.2607924E-71.00.09.5016367E-79.689107E-79.689107E-71.00.01.1568181E-51.17964355E-51.17964355E-51.00.01.1567579E-41.179592E-41.179592E-41.00.0
7.82.1613102E-81.5466837E-81.5466837E-81.00.09.262757E-86.628645E-86.628645E-81.00.01.1277401E-68.070372E-78.070372E-71.00.01.1277344E-58.07035E-68.07035E-61.00.0

Ortigalita (North)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.711876E-51.0505308E-41.2505098E-41.190362.0E-53.3046713E-44.501601E-44.901421E-41.08881724.0E-50.0040160160.00546805470.00555756271.01636929.0E-50.0394421030.0534556140.0535691981.00212491.2E-4
6.14.607858E-56.0239887E-56.0239887E-51.00.01.9746469E-42.5814763E-42.6814506E-41.03872751.0E-50.00240148180.00313873660.00316864251.0095283.0E-50.0237569530.0309753120.0310140721.00125134.0E-5
6.24.607858E-56.0239887E-56.0239887E-51.00.01.9746469E-42.5814763E-42.6814506E-41.03872751.0E-50.00240148180.00313873660.00316864251.0095283.0E-50.0237569530.0309753120.0310140721.00125134.0E-5
6.33.327423E-54.2476124E-54.2476124E-51.00.01.4259605E-41.8202956E-41.9202773E-41.05492621.0E-50.00173472440.0022142060.00224413961.01351893.0E-50.0172124520.021945740.0219848621.00178274.0E-5
6.42.7732503E-53.4999008E-53.4999008E-51.00.01.1884817E-41.499886E-41.599871E-41.06666171.0E-50.0014460160.00182481580.00184477921.010942.0E-50.0143664280.0181212970.0181507541.00162553.0E-5
6.52.7689714E-53.4948822E-53.4948822E-51.00.01.186648E-41.4977354E-41.5977204E-41.06675741.0E-50.00144378640.00182220180.00184216541.01095572.0E-50.0143444210.0180955850.018125041.00162793.0E-5
6.62.2976905E-52.871829E-52.871829E-51.00.09.846873E-51.23074E-41.3307277E-41.0812421.0E-50.00119819750.00149763480.00151760491.01333442.0E-50.0119175740.0148987330.0149282871.00198363.0E-5
6.71.9871539E-52.4904637E-52.4904637E-51.00.08.516096E-51.067312E-41.1673012E-41.09368341.0E-50.00103634150.00129891990.0013188941.01537742.0E-50.0103152180.0129369380.012966551.00228893.0E-5
6.86.5640475E-67.6054926E-67.6054926E-61.00.02.813133E-53.2594577E-53.2594577E-51.00.03.424451E-43.9676955E-43.9676955E-41.00.00.00341917880.0039608990.0039608991.00.0
6.95.6219683E-66.5018376E-66.5018376E-61.00.02.4093928E-52.7864735E-52.7864735E-51.00.02.933041E-43.3920293E-43.3920293E-41.00.00.00292917270.0033871090.0033871091.00.0
7.03.875591E-64.4847548E-64.4847548E-61.00.01.6609569E-51.9220248E-51.9220248E-51.00.02.0220275E-42.339835E-42.339835E-41.00.00.00202018860.00233757980.00233757981.00.0
7.11.6017933E-61.8570418E-61.8570418E-61.00.06.8648105E-67.958732E-67.958732E-61.00.08.357586E-59.689432E-59.689432E-51.00.08.3544437E-49.686254E-49.686254E-41.00.0

Santa Rosa Island

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.1143165E-54.709113E-55.7090656E-51.21234421.0E-51.7631594E-42.0180462E-42.2180058E-41.09908582.0E-50.0021445330.00245439910.00251425171.02438596.0E-50.0212395530.0242935570.0244203971.00522121.3E-4
6.12.1061249E-52.3864959E-52.3864959E-51.00.09.0259375E-51.0227455E-41.0227455E-41.00.00.00109835390.00124451030.00125449791.00802531.0E-50.010929410.012378450.0124179541.00319154.0E-5
6.22.1061249E-52.3864959E-52.3864959E-51.00.09.0259375E-51.0227455E-41.0227455E-41.00.00.00109835390.00124451030.00125449791.00802531.0E-50.010929410.012378450.0124179541.00319154.0E-5
6.31.5158236E-51.7074419E-51.7074419E-51.00.06.496225E-57.3174095E-57.3174095E-51.00.07.906284E-48.9054246E-49.005336E-41.01121911.0E-50.0078782140.008870990.0088908121.00223462.0E-5
6.41.2341918E-51.3852917E-51.3852917E-51.00.05.2892858E-55.9368336E-55.9368336E-51.00.06.437803E-47.225779E-47.325707E-41.01382941.0E-50.0064191840.00720312170.00722297751.00275662.0E-5
6.59.061158E-61.0117032E-51.0117032E-51.00.03.883296E-54.3358017E-54.3358017E-51.00.04.726887E-45.277613E-45.37756E-41.0189381.0E-50.0047168450.00526561770.0052855121.00377822.0E-5
6.67.5461685E-68.400734E-68.400734E-61.00.03.2340322E-53.600267E-53.600267E-51.00.03.936723E-44.3824868E-44.4824427E-41.02280811.0E-50.0039297560.00437427360.0043941861.00455222.0E-5
6.75.5023775E-66.087381E-66.087381E-61.00.02.3581404E-52.6088532E-52.6088532E-51.00.02.8706578E-43.1758484E-43.2758166E-41.03147771.0E-50.00286695220.00317163160.00318159981.0031431.0E-5
6.83.7351679E-64.0831405E-64.0831405E-61.00.01.6007763E-51.7499071E-51.7499071E-51.00.01.948771E-42.1303285E-42.2303071E-41.04693111.0E-50.00194706290.00212853150.002138511.0046881.0E-5
6.92.456366E-62.6292707E-62.6292707E-61.00.01.0527241E-51.1268255E-51.1268255E-51.00.01.2816161E-41.3718239E-41.4718101E-41.07288561.0E-50.00128087730.00137097990.00138096631.0072841.0E-5
7.02.3245157E-62.4827784E-62.4827784E-61.00.09.962172E-61.0640436E-51.0640436E-51.00.01.2128269E-41.2953962E-41.3953833E-41.07718651.0E-50.00121216520.00129464340.00130463041.00771421.0E-5
7.12.2248344E-62.37325E-62.37325E-61.00.09.53497E-61.0171032E-51.0171032E-51.00.01.1608207E-41.238253E-41.3382405E-41.08074891.0E-50.00116021440.00123756510.00124755271.00807031.0E-5
7.22.1350402E-62.2761542E-62.2761542E-61.00.09.150141E-69.75491E-69.75491E-61.00.01.1139726E-41.1875957E-41.2875839E-41.08419371.0E-50.00111341440.00118696290.00119695111.00841491.0E-5
7.31.9793572E-62.1087192E-62.1087192E-61.00.08.482932E-69.037337E-69.037337E-61.00.01.032748E-41.1002403E-41.2002294E-41.09087921.0E-50.00103226820.00109969740.00110968641.00908341.0E-5
7.41.6951194E-61.8045735E-61.8045735E-61.00.07.264777E-67.733864E-67.733864E-61.00.08.844508E-59.415574E-51.04154795E-41.1061971.0E-58.840988E-49.411601E-49.5115067E-41.01061521.0E-5
7.58.987207E-79.512216E-79.512216E-71.00.03.8516546E-64.0766577E-64.0766577E-61.00.04.6892885E-54.9632188E-54.9632188E-51.00.04.688299E-44.962122E-44.962122E-41.00.0
7.63.8783037E-74.0529335E-74.0529335E-71.00.01.6621291E-61.7369704E-61.7369704E-61.00.02.0236233E-52.1147416E-52.1147416E-51.00.02.023439E-42.114547E-42.114547E-41.00.0
7.76.181804E-86.339047E-86.339047E-81.00.02.6493444E-72.7167343E-72.7167343E-71.00.03.225572E-63.307619E-63.307619E-61.00.03.225525E-53.3075703E-53.3075703E-51.00.0
7.81.3704449E-91.3964153E-91.3964153E-91.00.05.873335E-95.984637E-95.984637E-91.00.07.1507856E-87.286295E-87.286295E-81.00.07.1507833E-77.286294E-77.286294E-71.00.0

San Jacinto (Lytle Creek connector)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.693995E-66.660123E-65.665979E-58.50731855.0E-52.8688235E-52.8543072E-58.854136E-53.10202626.0E-53.492233E-43.4745657E-44.0743573E-41.17262346.0E-50.003486750.00354911670.00367865531.03649881.3E-4
6.16.693995E-66.660123E-65.665979E-58.50731855.0E-52.8688235E-52.8543072E-58.854136E-53.10202626.0E-53.492233E-43.4745657E-44.0743573E-41.17262346.0E-50.003486750.00354911670.00367865531.03649881.3E-4
6.26.693995E-66.660123E-65.665979E-58.50731855.0E-52.8688235E-52.8543072E-58.854136E-53.10202626.0E-53.492233E-43.4745657E-44.0743573E-41.17262346.0E-50.003486750.00354911670.00367865531.03649881.3E-4
6.36.693995E-66.660123E-65.665979E-58.50731855.0E-52.8688235E-52.8543072E-58.854136E-53.10202626.0E-53.492233E-43.4745657E-44.0743573E-41.17262346.0E-50.003486750.00354911670.00367865531.03649881.3E-4
6.46.693995E-66.660123E-65.665979E-58.50731855.0E-52.8688235E-52.8543072E-58.854136E-53.10202626.0E-53.492233E-43.4745657E-44.0743573E-41.17262346.0E-50.003486750.00354911670.00367865531.03649881.3E-4
6.56.6561875E-66.620341E-65.662001E-58.5524315.0E-52.8526205E-52.8372582E-58.837088E-53.11465766.0E-53.472512E-43.453815E-44.053608E-41.1736616.0E-50.00346709070.00352843220.00365797361.03671361.3E-4
6.66.6561875E-66.620341E-65.662001E-58.5524315.0E-52.8526205E-52.8372582E-58.837088E-53.11465766.0E-53.472512E-43.453815E-44.053608E-41.1736616.0E-50.00346709070.00352843220.00365797361.03671361.3E-4
6.76.5802237E-66.539518E-65.653919E-58.6457745.0E-52.8200653E-52.8026205E-58.802452E-53.14079366.0E-53.4328885E-43.4116567E-44.011452E-41.17580766.0E-50.00342759020.00348640650.00361595331.03715771.3E-4
6.86.575632E-66.5340073E-65.653368E-58.6522225.0E-52.8180975E-52.8002589E-58.800091E-53.1425996.0E-53.4304935E-43.4087826E-44.008578E-41.17595596.0E-50.00342520260.00348354130.00361308851.03718831.3E-4
6.96.570433E-66.525401E-65.6525074E-58.6623135.0E-52.8158694E-52.7965707E-58.796403E-53.14542486.0E-53.4277816E-43.4042934E-44.0040893E-41.1761886.0E-50.00342249920.00347906650.00360861421.03723631.3E-4
7.06.5643826E-66.5155223E-65.6515197E-58.6739325.0E-52.8132765E-52.7923368E-58.792169E-53.14867786.0E-53.424626E-43.3991406E-43.9989364E-41.17645536.0E-50.00341935320.00347392960.0036034781.03729161.3E-4
7.16.557402E-66.504234E-65.6503908E-58.687255.0E-52.8102848E-52.7874992E-58.787332E-53.1524076.0E-53.4209844E-43.3932526E-43.9930487E-41.17676156.0E-50.00341572290.00346806060.003597611.0373551.3E-4
7.26.546394E-66.4862006E-65.6485875E-58.7086235.0E-52.8055672E-52.7797707E-58.779604E-53.15839156.0E-53.4152428E-43.383846E-43.983643E-41.1772536.0E-50.00340999870.00345868830.00358823851.03745651.3E-4
7.36.5364216E-66.4669857E-65.6466662E-58.7315275.0E-52.8012933E-52.771536E-58.77137E-53.16480476.0E-53.4100408E-43.373823E-43.9736208E-41.17777986.0E-50.0034048130.00344871030.0035782621.03756521.3E-4
7.46.5269523E-66.4480723E-65.644775E-58.7542065.0E-52.7972354E-52.7634303E-58.7632645E-53.17115456.0E-53.4051016E-43.3639578E-43.9637557E-41.17830136.0E-50.00339988880.00343889230.0035684451.03767291.3E-4
7.56.5111835E-66.424346E-65.6424025E-58.7828445.0E-52.7904773E-52.753262E-58.753097E-53.17917326.0E-53.3968766E-43.3515817E-43.9513805E-41.178966.0E-50.00339168870.00342656440.00355611881.03780891.3E-4
7.66.4768806E-66.383454E-65.6383135E-58.83275.0E-52.7757764E-52.7357375E-58.735574E-53.19313296.0E-53.3789838E-43.330252E-43.9300523E-41.18010656.0E-50.00337385040.00340529720.00353485441.03804581.3E-4
7.76.1655364E-66.1759456E-65.6175635E-59.0958775.0E-52.642346E-52.646807E-58.646648E-53.26682236.0E-53.2165812E-43.2220117E-43.8218184E-41.1861596.0E-50.00321192950.00329693620.00342650761.03930061.3E-4
7.85.5043524E-65.7370175E-65.573673E-59.715285.0E-52.3589868E-52.4586987E-58.458551E-53.44025526.0E-52.871688E-42.993055E-43.5928754E-41.2004046.0E-50.00286797970.00306705850.00319665971.04225591.3E-4
7.93.889249E-64.0766436E-64.407648E-510.8119544.0E-51.6668104E-51.7471213E-56.747034E-53.86180045.0E-52.0291525E-42.126913E-42.6268067E-41.23503245.0E-50.00202730070.00219410730.0023038661.05002431.1E-4
8.02.668535E-62.5313454E-62.2531294E-58.9009172.0E-51.1436528E-51.0848577E-54.0848252E-53.76530933.0E-51.3923083E-41.3207346E-41.620695E-41.22711633.0E-50.00139143630.00137556650.00145545651.05807788.0E-5
8.11.5911459E-61.2185134E-61.1218501E-59.2067121.0E-56.8191785E-65.2221894E-62.5222085E-54.8297912.0E-58.3020335E-56.357832E-58.3577055E-51.31455272.0E-58.298933E-46.6911156E-47.090848E-41.05974084.0E-5
8.26.1294963E-72.1802066E-72.1802066E-71.00.02.6269242E-69.3437393E-79.3437393E-71.00.03.1982334E-51.1375943E-51.1375943E-51.00.03.1977732E-41.2778955E-41.2778955E-41.00.0
8.31.762871E-74.7516316E-84.7516316E-81.00.07.5551594E-72.0364133E-72.0364133E-71.00.09.1983675E-62.4793305E-62.4793305E-61.00.09.197987E-52.8671833E-52.8671833E-51.00.0

Blue Cut

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.1227985E-52.2719574E-56.271867E-52.76055654.0E-59.097391E-59.73663E-51.4736142E-41.51347475.0E-50.00110704450.00118484810.00126475331.06743928.0E-50.0110154580.0117911520.0119097361.01005711.2E-4
6.12.1227985E-52.2719574E-56.271867E-52.76055654.0E-59.097391E-59.73663E-51.4736142E-41.51347475.0E-50.00110704450.00118484810.00126475331.06743928.0E-50.0110154580.0117911520.0119097361.01005711.2E-4
6.22.1227985E-52.2719574E-56.271867E-52.76055654.0E-59.097391E-59.73663E-51.4736142E-41.51347475.0E-50.00110704450.00118484810.00126475331.06743928.0E-50.0110154580.0117911520.0119097361.01005711.2E-4
6.31.1613981E-51.2353542E-54.235317E-53.42842343.0E-54.9773254E-55.2942745E-58.294116E-51.56661993.0E-56.0582085E-46.443998E-46.9436757E-41.07754165.0E-50.00604171960.00642655930.0065060451.01236838.0E-5
6.41.1613981E-51.2353542E-54.235317E-53.42842343.0E-54.9773254E-55.2942745E-58.294116E-51.56661993.0E-56.0582085E-46.443998E-46.9436757E-41.07754165.0E-50.00604171960.00642655930.0065060451.01236838.0E-5
6.58.931326E-69.4816E-63.9481314E-54.1639933.0E-53.8276554E-54.0634844E-57.063363E-51.73825263.0E-54.6591737E-44.946261E-45.3460634E-41.08082914.0E-50.00464941750.0049361610.00500581551.0141117.0E-5
6.67.345353E-67.79028E-62.7790124E-53.56728222.0E-53.1479703E-53.338653E-55.3385862E-51.5990242.0E-53.83198E-44.064132E-44.36401E-41.07378653.0E-50.00382537880.00405749070.0041172471.01472756.0E-5
6.76.2775666E-66.655149E-62.6655016E-54.0051722.0E-52.690358E-52.8521798E-54.8521226E-51.70119812.0E-53.2750185E-43.472051E-43.7719466E-41.08637433.0E-50.00327019630.0034673670.0035271591.01724426.0E-5
6.85.5234095E-65.8551113E-62.5854994E-54.4157992.0E-52.367154E-52.5093133E-54.509263E-51.79701082.0E-52.8816288E-43.0547334E-43.2546723E-41.06545222.0E-50.0028778950.00305125050.0031010981.01633675.0E-5
6.94.7780054E-65.0654203E-62.506532E-54.94831942.0E-52.0477004E-52.1708804E-54.170837E-51.92126522.0E-52.4927902E-42.642797E-42.842744E-41.07565742.0E-50.00248999570.0026403460.00269021421.01888695.0E-5
7.03.883171E-64.118487E-61.41184455E-53.4280661.0E-51.6642054E-51.7650578E-52.7650402E-51.56654371.0E-52.0259817E-42.1488148E-42.2487935E-41.04652731.0E-50.00202413560.00214741290.00217734841.01394033.0E-5
7.12.8358215E-63.0097158E-63.0097158E-61.00.01.2153464E-51.2898756E-51.2898756E-51.00.01.4795837E-41.5703762E-41.5703762E-41.00.00.0014785990.00156991160.00158988021.01271952.0E-5

White Mountains

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.503579E-53.3784127E-57.378277E-52.1839484.0E-51.5014476E-41.4478175E-41.9477452E-41.34529735.0E-50.00182647960.00176141340.00186123721.05667261.0E-40.0181154030.0174868570.0176047591.00674221.2E-4
6.13.503579E-53.3784127E-57.378277E-52.1839484.0E-51.5014476E-41.4478175E-41.9477452E-41.34529735.0E-50.00182647960.00176141340.00186123721.05667261.0E-40.0181154030.0174868570.0176047591.00674221.2E-4
6.23.503579E-53.3784127E-57.378277E-52.1839484.0E-51.5014476E-41.4478175E-41.9477452E-41.34529735.0E-50.00182647960.00176141340.00186123721.05667261.0E-40.0181154030.0174868570.0176047591.00674221.2E-4
6.31.7818425E-51.591616E-53.591584E-52.25656462.0E-57.636245E-56.821041E-58.8209046E-51.29319042.0E-59.293162E-48.301596E-48.8011805E-41.06017945.0E-50.0092543950.00827204250.0083315471.00719336.0E-5
6.41.7818425E-51.591616E-53.591584E-52.25656462.0E-57.636245E-56.821041E-58.8209046E-51.29319042.0E-59.293162E-48.301596E-48.8011805E-41.06017945.0E-50.0092543950.00827204250.0083315471.00719336.0E-5
6.51.3397557E-51.1336374E-53.133615E-52.76421262.0E-55.741684E-54.8583595E-56.858262E-51.41164162.0E-56.988258E-45.913517E-46.3132803E-41.06760174.0E-50.0069663230.0058984870.00593825061.00674144.0E-5
6.61.0818695E-58.625434E-68.625434E-61.00.04.6365014E-53.6965648E-53.6965648E-51.00.05.6434784E-44.4996818E-44.6995917E-41.04442762.0E-50.0056291680.00449100740.00451091771.00443342.0E-5
6.79.067908E-66.802476E-66.802476E-61.00.03.8861883E-52.915316E-52.915316E-51.00.04.7304068E-43.548851E-43.6488156E-41.02816811.0E-50.004720350.0035435010.00355346551.0028121.0E-5
6.87.295947E-64.9364285E-64.9364285E-61.00.03.126797E-52.1155956E-52.1155956E-51.00.03.8062103E-42.5754445E-42.5754445E-41.00.00.00379969760.00257257280.00257257281.00.0
6.96.2243444E-63.8322546E-63.8322546E-61.00.02.6675489E-51.6423846E-51.6423846E-51.00.03.2472567E-41.9994251E-41.9994251E-41.00.00.00324251570.0019976790.0019976791.00.0
7.04.9878413E-62.679564E-62.679564E-61.00.02.1376287E-51.1483797E-51.1483797E-51.00.02.602252E-41.3980652E-41.3980652E-41.00.00.0025992070.00139721190.00139721191.00.0
7.14.0252844E-61.885702E-61.885702E-61.00.01.7251105E-58.081555E-68.081555E-61.00.02.1001195E-49.838863E-59.838863E-51.00.00.00209813599.834635E-49.834635E-41.00.0
7.23.3284066E-61.2818929E-61.2818929E-61.00.01.4264522E-55.4938155E-65.4938155E-61.00.01.736567E-46.688525E-56.688525E-51.00.00.00173521076.6866126E-46.6866126E-41.00.0
7.32.458226E-66.056684E-76.056684E-71.00.01.0535211E-52.5957193E-62.5957193E-61.00.01.2825865E-43.160246E-53.160246E-51.00.00.00128184643.1598343E-43.1598343E-41.00.0
7.41.965953E-63.1084684E-73.1084684E-71.00.08.425486E-61.3322001E-61.3322001E-61.00.01.0257547E-41.6219417E-51.6219417E-51.00.00.00102528131.6218246E-41.6218246E-41.00.0
7.51.2014192E-61.8241002E-71.8241002E-71.00.05.148929E-67.8175697E-77.8175697E-71.00.06.2686406E-59.51785E-69.51785E-61.00.06.266873E-49.517451E-59.517451E-51.00.0
7.62.5612175E-74.893784E-84.893784E-81.00.01.0976642E-62.0973359E-72.0973359E-71.00.01.3363979E-52.5535037E-62.5535037E-61.00.01.3363175E-42.553478E-52.553478E-51.00.0

Camp Rock 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6710783E-54.249999E-64.4249828E-510.4117264.0E-57.161568E-51.8214158E-55.821343E-53.19605374.0E-58.7157206E-42.2173533E-43.017176E-41.36071058.0E-50.0086816160.00221519380.0023349281.05405131.2E-4
6.11.6710783E-54.249999E-64.4249828E-510.4117264.0E-57.161568E-51.8214158E-55.821343E-53.19605374.0E-58.7157206E-42.2173533E-43.017176E-41.36071058.0E-50.0086816160.00221519380.0023349281.05405131.2E-4
6.21.6710783E-54.249999E-64.4249828E-510.4117264.0E-57.161568E-51.8214158E-55.821343E-53.19605374.0E-58.7157206E-42.2173533E-43.017176E-41.36071058.0E-50.0086816160.00221519380.0023349281.05405131.2E-4
6.31.6710783E-54.249999E-64.4249828E-510.4117264.0E-57.161568E-51.8214158E-55.821343E-53.19605374.0E-58.7157206E-42.2173533E-43.017176E-41.36071058.0E-50.0086816160.00221519380.0023349281.05405131.2E-4
6.47.982846E-63.6820359E-64.368189E-511.8635154.0E-53.421175E-51.578006E-55.577943E-53.53480464.0E-54.1644843E-41.9210564E-42.7209028E-41.41635758.0E-50.00415668870.00191943060.00202921941.05719861.1E-4
6.57.982846E-63.6820359E-64.368189E-511.8635154.0E-53.421175E-51.578006E-55.577943E-53.53480464.0E-54.1644843E-41.9210564E-42.7209028E-41.41635758.0E-50.00415668870.00191943060.00202921941.05719861.1E-4
6.67.048869E-63.4242998E-64.3424163E-512.681184.0E-53.0209088E-51.467549E-55.4674903E-53.7255934.0E-53.677336E-41.7865976E-42.5864548E-41.44769858.0E-50.00367125660.00178519290.00189499651.06150791.1E-4
6.76.987307E-63.3622775E-64.3362143E-512.8966584.0E-52.9945259E-51.4409683E-55.4409105E-53.77587134.0E-53.6452254E-41.7542407E-42.5541004E-41.45595788.0E-50.00363925170.00175288720.00186269431.06264361.1E-4
6.86.3737602E-63.1178672E-64.3117743E-513.8292434.0E-52.731583E-51.3362222E-55.3361688E-53.99347424.0E-53.3251947E-41.6267318E-42.4266017E-41.49170358.0E-50.00332022370.00162556980.00173539091.06755851.1E-4
6.96.112211E-62.933078E-64.293296E-514.637514.0E-52.6194928E-51.2570275E-55.2569772E-54.18207034.0E-53.1887658E-41.5303263E-42.3302039E-41.52268438.0E-50.0031841940.00152930020.0016391321.07181841.1E-4
7.05.5140117E-62.64191E-64.2641805E-516.1405224.0E-52.3631264E-51.1322423E-55.132197E-54.53277254.0E-52.8767265E-41.3784204E-42.1783101E-41.58029458.0E-50.00287300530.00137759070.00148743911.07973961.1E-4
7.14.8151105E-62.1342612E-64.2134176E-519.741814.0E-52.0636026E-59.146803E-64.9146438E-55.3730734.0E-52.5121463E-41.1135685E-41.8134905E-41.62853977.0E-50.00250930830.00111303250.00121292111.08974471.0E-4
7.23.818335E-61.2937372E-62.1293712E-516.459072.0E-51.6364189E-55.5445767E-62.5544467E-54.6071082.0E-51.9921579E-46.750321E-59.750119E-51.44439333.0E-50.00199037286.7483535E-47.1480835E-41.05923374.0E-5
7.32.7166698E-67.383078E-72.0738293E-528.0889532.0E-51.1642818E-53.1641725E-62.316411E-57.3207482.0E-51.4174209E-43.852314E-56.8521986E-51.77872283.0E-50.00141651723.8516664E-44.2515123E-41.10381114.0E-5
7.42.0893426E-65.4614605E-72.0546135E-537.620222.0E-58.954295E-62.340624E-62.2340577E-59.544712.0E-51.0901308E-42.8496728E-55.8495873E-52.05272253.0E-50.00108959622.849313E-43.1492274E-41.10525863.0E-5
7.51.1681728E-63.6028484E-72.0360278E-556.5116122.0E-55.0064455E-61.544077E-62.1544047E-513.9527022.0E-56.0951766E-51.879898E-54.8798418E-52.59580143.0E-56.093505E-41.8797436E-42.1796873E-41.15956633.0E-5
7.61.3154387E-77.1196716E-81.0071196E-5141.45591.0E-55.6375933E-73.0512876E-71.0305126E-533.773041.0E-56.863748E-63.714938E-62.3714863E-56.383652.0E-56.863536E-53.7148915E-55.7148172E-51.53835372.0E-5

Owens Valley

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.83821E-53.6210524E-65.362087E-514.808095.0E-52.0733538E-41.551871E-58.5517626E-55.51061447.0E-50.0025213861.889249E-42.789079E-41.47628979.0E-50.0249296910.00192971410.00204948271.06206541.2E-4
6.14.83821E-53.6210524E-65.362087E-514.808095.0E-52.0733538E-41.551871E-58.5517626E-55.51061447.0E-50.0025213861.889249E-42.789079E-41.47628979.0E-50.0249296910.00192971410.00204948271.06206541.2E-4
6.24.83821E-53.6210524E-65.362087E-514.808095.0E-52.0733538E-41.551871E-58.5517626E-55.51061447.0E-50.0025213861.889249E-42.789079E-41.47628979.0E-50.0249296910.00192971410.00204948271.06206541.2E-4
6.33.953008E-53.1530958E-64.315297E-513.68590454.0E-51.6940363E-41.3513202E-57.351239E-55.44004256.0E-50.0020605381.6451156E-42.444984E-41.48620818.0E-50.0204153640.00166216270.00177197981.06606891.1E-4
6.43.953008E-53.1530958E-64.315297E-513.68590454.0E-51.6940363E-41.3513202E-57.351239E-55.44004256.0E-50.0020605381.6451156E-42.444984E-41.48620818.0E-50.0204153640.00166216270.00177197981.06606891.1E-4
6.53.457342E-52.9707387E-64.297062E-514.4646244.0E-51.4816338E-41.273168E-57.2730916E-55.7125946.0E-50.00180239651.5499788E-42.2498702E-41.4515497.0E-50.0178784770.00155631190.00165615611.06415451.0E-4
6.63.1127765E-52.8737306E-64.2873617E-514.9191494.0E-51.3339789E-41.2315934E-56.231532E-55.05973155.0E-50.00162290921.4993687E-42.0992788E-41.40010856.0E-50.0161110810.00150134380.00159120861.05985639.0E-5
6.72.806885E-52.8101606E-64.2810047E-515.2340224.0E-51.2028952E-41.2043493E-56.204289E-55.15156945.0E-50.0014635411.4662035E-42.0661156E-41.40916016.0E-50.0145393970.00146560870.00154549151.05450498.0E-5
6.82.524524E-52.2351392E-64.223505E-518.8959374.0E-51.0818939E-49.579134E-65.9578655E-56.21962835.0E-50.00131640991.16620016E-41.7661302E-41.51443156.0E-50.013086390.0011658270.00124573381.06854088.0E-5
6.92.2704568E-51.6079711E-64.1607906E-525.876034.0E-59.730166E-56.8912864E-65.689094E-58.2554895.0E-50.00118400398.38982E-51.4389316E-41.71509246.0E-50.0117771538.38853E-49.187859E-41.09528838.0E-5
7.02.0871712E-51.5393621E-64.15393E-526.9847494.0E-58.944713E-56.5972495E-65.659692E-58.5788665.0E-50.00108847468.031857E-51.4031376E-41.74696536.0E-50.0108315868.030395E-48.829753E-41.09954158.0E-5
7.11.944928E-51.3862556E-64.13862E-529.854674.0E-58.335139E-55.941082E-65.5940785E-59.4159265.0E-50.00101433087.233028E-51.3232593E-41.82946816.0E-50.0100971337.2319806E-48.031402E-41.11053988.0E-5
7.21.7876306E-51.2487686E-64.1248717E-533.0315174.0E-57.6610486E-55.3518543E-65.5351586E-510.3425065.0E-59.3233347E-46.515689E-51.2515298E-41.92079426.0E-50.0092843166.5148395E-47.314318E-41.12271658.0E-5
7.31.2618672E-51.1113839E-64.111134E-536.9911234.0E-55.40789E-54.763065E-65.4762826E-511.4973925.0E-56.582117E-45.7988782E-51.17985306E-42.0346236.0E-50.00656265535.7983754E-46.5979117E-41.13788968.0E-5
7.47.4874442E-68.547518E-73.0854728E-536.0978783.0E-53.208865E-53.6632168E-64.366307E-511.9193254.0E-53.906093E-44.4598757E-59.459653E-52.12105755.0E-50.0038992344.459579E-45.159267E-41.15689557.0E-5
7.52.4734156E-66.0679935E-73.060678E-550.4397053.0E-51.060031E-52.6005662E-63.260049E-512.5359193.0E-51.2905113E-43.1661435E-57.166017E-52.26332664.0E-50.00128976213.1656958E-43.6655375E-41.15789325.0E-5
7.61.1328841E-63.1961991E-72.0319614E-563.5743032.0E-54.8552088E-61.369799E-62.1369771E-515.6006622.0E-55.9110564E-51.6677177E-54.6676676E-52.79883553.0E-55.9094845E-41.6675945E-42.0675277E-41.23982644.0E-5
7.74.8613185E-78.962742E-88.962742E-81.00.02.0834207E-63.8411747E-73.8411747E-71.00.02.536535E-54.676621E-64.676621E-61.00.02.5362454E-44.676529E-55.6764824E-51.21382381.0E-5

Ventura-Pitas Point

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.3179622E-53.373519E-55.373451E-51.59283282.0E-51.4219063E-41.4457281E-41.6456992E-41.13831852.0E-50.00172979620.00175900970.00178895691.0170253.0E-50.0171639320.0174764970.0175649241.00505979.0E-5
6.13.3179622E-53.373519E-55.373451E-51.59283282.0E-51.4219063E-41.4457281E-41.6456992E-41.13831852.0E-50.00172979620.00175900970.00178895691.0170253.0E-50.0171639320.0174764970.0175649241.00505979.0E-5
6.23.3179622E-53.373519E-55.373451E-51.59283282.0E-51.4219063E-41.4457281E-41.6456992E-41.13831852.0E-50.00172979620.00175900970.00178895691.0170253.0E-50.0171639320.0174764970.0175649241.00505979.0E-5
6.33.3179622E-53.373519E-55.373451E-51.59283282.0E-51.4219063E-41.4457281E-41.6456992E-41.13831852.0E-50.00172979620.00175900970.00178895691.0170253.0E-50.0171639320.0174764970.0175649241.00505979.0E-5
6.41.8754668E-51.7019594E-53.7019254E-52.17509632.0E-58.037467E-57.2939205E-59.293775E-51.2741812.0E-59.781223E-48.8769617E-49.076784E-41.02251032.0E-50.0097382820.0088439430.00889351.00560365.0E-5
6.51.8754668E-51.7019594E-53.7019254E-52.17509632.0E-58.037467E-57.2939205E-59.293775E-51.2741812.0E-59.781223E-48.8769617E-49.076784E-41.02251032.0E-50.0097382820.0088439430.00889351.00560365.0E-5
6.61.4361558E-51.2122258E-53.2122014E-52.64983772.0E-56.154808E-55.1951512E-57.1950475E-51.38495432.0E-57.490902E-46.323284E-46.5231574E-41.03160922.0E-50.00746570160.0063056520.0063553371.00787945.0E-5
6.71.4361558E-51.2122258E-53.2122014E-52.64983772.0E-56.154808E-55.1951512E-57.1950475E-51.38495432.0E-57.490902E-46.323284E-46.5231574E-41.03160922.0E-50.00746570160.0063056520.0063553371.00787945.0E-5
6.81.3663846E-51.1344401E-53.1344174E-52.76296422.0E-55.8558027E-54.8617967E-56.8616995E-51.41135062.0E-57.127108E-45.917649E-46.117531E-41.03377722.0E-50.0071042930.00590221070.0059519161.00842145.0E-5
6.91.3644157E-51.1322501E-53.1322274E-52.7663742.0E-55.8473648E-54.8524114E-56.852314E-51.41214622.0E-57.116841E-45.906229E-46.106111E-41.03384262.0E-50.0070940920.00589085140.0059405571.00843785.0E-5
7.01.3568845E-51.12420685E-53.1241845E-52.7790122.0E-55.8150898E-54.8179416E-56.817845E-51.41509512.0E-57.077572E-45.8642845E-46.064167E-41.03408482.0E-50.0070550730.0058491280.00589883561.00849835.0E-5
7.11.306572E-51.0720521E-53.0720308E-52.8655612.0E-55.599474E-54.594429E-56.594337E-51.43528992.0E-56.815227E-45.5923004E-45.7921885E-41.03574352.0E-50.00679436370.0055785360.0056282571.00891295.0E-5
7.21.232604E-59.995121E-62.999492E-53.00095632.0E-55.2824813E-54.283554E-56.283468E-51.4668822.0E-56.429523E-45.2139966E-45.413893E-41.03833832.0E-50.00641095270.0052020590.00525179921.00956155.0E-5
7.31.0917261E-58.843812E-62.8843635E-53.26144842.0E-54.678742E-53.7901507E-55.790075E-51.52766352.0E-55.69488E-44.6135474E-44.813455E-41.04333062.0E-50.00568030770.0046042390.00465400841.01080955.0E-5
7.41.039959E-58.42354E-68.42354E-61.00.04.456891E-53.6100395E-53.6100395E-51.00.05.424914E-44.394352E-44.394352E-41.00.00.00541168960.00438592770.0044157961.00681013.0E-5
7.59.015877E-67.29752E-67.29752E-61.00.03.86389E-53.1274718E-53.1274718E-51.00.04.7032707E-43.8070456E-43.8070456E-41.00.00.0046933290.0038007720.00383065781.00786323.0E-5
7.64.900162E-63.874119E-63.874119E-61.00.02.1000526E-51.6603262E-51.6603262E-51.00.02.556514E-42.0212609E-42.0212609E-41.00.00.00255357470.0020194360.00204937561.01482563.0E-5
7.73.8850626E-63.12676E-63.12676E-61.00.01.6650163E-51.3400332E-51.3400332E-51.00.02.0269687E-41.6313691E-41.6313691E-41.00.00.0020251210.00163018090.00165014831.01224862.0E-5
7.82.4654719E-62.029902E-62.029902E-61.00.01.0566265E-58.699551E-68.699551E-61.00.01.2863669E-41.0591193E-41.0591193E-41.00.00.00128562250.00105861920.00106860861.00943621.0E-5
7.94.095894E-73.2765078E-73.2765078E-71.00.01.7553821E-61.4042168E-61.4042168E-61.00.02.1371567E-51.709621E-51.709621E-51.00.02.1369511E-41.7094925E-41.7094925E-41.00.0
8.07.791402E-95.6836056E-95.6836056E-91.00.03.3391725E-82.4358311E-82.4358311E-81.00.04.0654416E-72.965624E-72.965624E-71.00.04.065434E-62.9656223E-62.9656223E-61.00.0

Pisgah-Bullion Mtn-Mesquite Lk

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0240792E-52.40909E-58.408946E-53.4905076.0E-51.2959696E-41.032432E-41.7323597E-41.67794077.0E-50.00157670080.00125636180.00135623621.0794951.0E-40.0156556090.0125026130.0126112371.00868821.1E-4
6.13.0240792E-52.40909E-58.408946E-53.4905076.0E-51.2959696E-41.032432E-41.7323597E-41.67794077.0E-50.00157670080.00125636180.00135623621.0794951.0E-40.0156556090.0125026130.0126112371.00868821.1E-4
6.23.0240792E-52.40909E-58.408946E-53.4905076.0E-51.2959696E-41.032432E-41.7323597E-41.67794077.0E-50.00157670080.00125636180.00135623621.0794951.0E-40.0156556090.0125026130.0126112371.00868821.1E-4
6.32.0498217E-51.3638054E-54.3637647E-53.19969733.0E-58.784654E-55.8447586E-59.844525E-51.68433394.0E-50.00106900697.1138324E-47.613477E-41.07023565.0E-50.010638790.00709268640.0071423321.00699955.0E-5
6.42.0498217E-51.3638054E-54.3637647E-53.19969733.0E-58.784654E-55.8447586E-59.844525E-51.68433394.0E-50.00106900697.1138324E-47.613477E-41.07023565.0E-50.010638790.00709268640.0071423321.00699955.0E-5
6.51.7316182E-51.04769715E-54.0476658E-53.86339283.0E-57.42101E-54.490059E-58.489879E-51.89081694.0E-59.0313336E-45.465376E-45.865157E-41.0731484.0E-50.0089947180.005452930.0054927121.00729554.0E-5
6.61.5251077E-58.414133E-63.841388E-54.56539963.0E-56.536012E-53.606011E-57.605867E-52.10921884.0E-57.9546886E-44.3895066E-44.789331E-41.09108644.0E-50.0079262740.00438155370.00442137851.00908924.0E-5
6.71.2997425E-56.4112146E-62.6411086E-54.11951352.0E-55.570206E-52.7476372E-55.7475547E-52.09181713.0E-56.7796157E-43.3447813E-43.6446808E-41.0896623.0E-50.00675896930.0033402070.0033701071.00895143.0E-5
6.81.035386E-54.333145E-64.333145E-61.00.04.437293E-51.8570496E-52.857031E-51.53847861.0E-55.401065E-42.260732E-42.3607093E-41.04422341.0E-50.00538795670.0022585190.00226849641.00441771.0E-5
6.98.816252E-63.5805879E-63.5805879E-61.00.03.778339E-51.534529E-52.5345136E-51.65165581.0E-54.5991567E-41.8681347E-41.9681161E-41.05351941.0E-50.004589650.00186662280.00187660421.00534731.0E-5
7.06.8232207E-62.5674399E-62.5674399E-61.00.02.9242048E-51.100327E-52.100316E-51.90881071.0E-53.5596377E-41.3395688E-41.4395555E-41.07464091.0E-50.00355394110.00133879250.00134877911.00745941.0E-5
7.15.837013E-62.2273143E-62.2273143E-61.00.02.501553E-59.5456E-69.5456E-61.00.03.045215E-41.1621177E-41.1621177E-41.00.00.00304104550.0011615390.0011615391.00.0
7.24.278052E-61.6275065E-61.6275065E-61.00.01.833438E-56.975011E-66.975011E-61.00.02.231982E-48.491768E-58.491768E-51.00.00.00222974188.4887556E-48.4887556E-41.00.0
7.31.8803692E-68.344788E-78.344788E-71.00.08.0587E-63.5763337E-63.5763337E-61.00.09.811026E-54.354114E-54.354114E-51.00.09.806695E-44.3534054E-44.3534054E-41.00.0

Bullion Mountains

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6420427E-51.4692009E-57.4691125E-55.08379276.0E-57.037136E-56.296445E-51.2296067E-41.95285876.0E-58.5643446E-47.6636096E-48.363073E-41.09127087.0E-50.0085314130.00764097460.00775013441.0142861.1E-4
6.11.6420427E-51.4692009E-57.4691125E-55.08379276.0E-57.037136E-56.296445E-51.2296067E-41.95285876.0E-58.5643446E-47.6636096E-48.363073E-41.09127087.0E-50.0085314130.00764097460.00775013441.0142861.1E-4
6.21.6420427E-51.4692009E-57.4691125E-55.08379276.0E-57.037136E-56.296445E-51.2296067E-41.95285876.0E-58.5643446E-47.6636096E-48.363073E-41.09127087.0E-50.0085314130.00764097460.00775013441.0142861.1E-4
6.31.2046778E-59.862255E-63.986196E-54.04187063.0E-55.1628023E-54.2266256E-57.2264986E-51.70975613.0E-56.283899E-45.144933E-45.5447273E-41.07770634.0E-50.00626615950.00513530340.00518504671.00968655.0E-5
6.41.2046778E-59.862255E-63.986196E-54.04187063.0E-55.1628023E-54.2266256E-57.2264986E-51.70975613.0E-56.283899E-45.144933E-45.5447273E-41.07770634.0E-50.00626615950.00513530340.00518504671.00968655.0E-5
6.51.0244343E-57.879378E-62.7879221E-53.53825122.0E-54.390359E-53.3768443E-55.376777E-51.59224892.0E-55.343951E-44.1107394E-44.410616E-41.07294953.0E-50.0053311180.00410516650.00414500251.00970394.0E-5
6.69.605408E-67.1774166E-62.7177273E-53.78649782.0E-54.1165385E-53.0760108E-55.0759492E-51.65017272.0E-55.010733E-43.7446033E-44.044491E-41.08008533.0E-50.004999450.00374029060.00377017841.00799073.0E-5
6.78.60418E-66.123926E-62.6123804E-54.26585872.0E-53.687454E-52.6245243E-54.624472E-51.76202292.0E-54.48855E-43.195085E-43.494989E-41.09386423.0E-50.0044794950.00319240310.00322230721.00936733.0E-5
6.85.187994E-62.563117E-61.2563091E-54.90148971.0E-52.223407E-51.0984763E-52.0984653E-51.91034191.0E-52.7066618E-41.3373529E-41.4373395E-41.07476461.0E-50.00270336750.00133693960.00134692621.00746981.0E-5
6.94.5302368E-62.3442778E-61.2344254E-55.2656961.0E-51.9415156E-51.0046889E-52.004679E-51.9953231.0E-52.3635388E-41.2231797E-41.3231675E-41.08174411.0E-50.00236102660.00122289560.00123288331.00816731.0E-5
7.03.431668E-61.6882177E-61.1688201E-56.92339661.0E-51.4707065E-57.2352186E-61.7235147E-52.38211821.0E-51.7904381E-48.808879E-59.8087905E-51.11351181.0E-50.00178899628.8088785E-48.908791E-41.01134221.0E-5

Lost Hills

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.233523E-52.5106583E-55.510583E-52.19487573.0E-59.571891E-51.0759615E-41.3759293E-41.27879043.0E-50.00116475460.0013093640.00139924621.06864579.0E-50.0115866860.0130330910.0131317881.00757281.0E-4
6.12.233523E-52.5106583E-55.510583E-52.19487573.0E-59.571891E-51.0759615E-41.3759293E-41.27879043.0E-50.00116475460.0013093640.00139924621.06864579.0E-50.0115866860.0130330910.0131317881.00757281.0E-4
6.22.233523E-52.5106583E-55.510583E-52.19487573.0E-59.571891E-51.0759615E-41.3759293E-41.27879043.0E-50.00116475460.0013093640.00139924621.06864579.0E-50.0115866860.0130330910.0131317881.00757281.0E-4
6.32.233523E-52.5106583E-55.510583E-52.19487573.0E-59.571891E-51.0759615E-41.3759293E-41.27879043.0E-50.00116475460.0013093640.00139924621.06864579.0E-50.0115866860.0130330910.0131317881.00757281.0E-4
6.41.2288092E-51.3781108E-53.378083E-52.45124222.0E-55.2662188E-55.906108E-57.90599E-51.33861242.0E-56.409735E-47.189252E-47.888749E-41.09729757.0E-50.0063912790.00717520060.00725462661.01106958.0E-5
6.51.2288092E-51.3781108E-53.378083E-52.45124222.0E-55.2662188E-55.906108E-57.90599E-51.33861242.0E-56.409735E-47.189252E-47.888749E-41.09729757.0E-50.0063912790.00717520060.00725462661.01106958.0E-5
6.68.58281E-69.63377E-61.9633673E-52.03800541.0E-53.6782953E-54.12874E-55.128699E-51.24219471.0E-54.4774043E-45.026414E-45.326263E-41.05965473.0E-50.00446839350.0050232050.00506300431.0079234.0E-5
6.77.205685E-68.088302E-61.8088222E-52.23634341.0E-53.088114E-53.466415E-54.4663804E-51.28847251.0E-53.7591302E-44.2203604E-44.5202338E-41.0710543.0E-50.00375277760.00422036040.00426019171.00943794.0E-5

Oak Ridge (Onshore)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.155064E-52.9526076E-54.9525486E-51.67734732.0E-51.3521002E-41.265344E-41.4653188E-41.15803982.0E-50.0016449390.00153950580.00158942891.03242795.0E-50.016328160.0152930540.0153915251.0064391.0E-4
6.13.155064E-52.9526076E-54.9525486E-51.67734732.0E-51.3521002E-41.265344E-41.4653188E-41.15803982.0E-50.0016449390.00153950580.00158942891.03242795.0E-50.016328160.0152930540.0153915251.0064391.0E-4
6.23.155064E-52.9526076E-54.9525486E-51.67734732.0E-51.3521002E-41.265344E-41.4653188E-41.15803982.0E-50.0016449390.00153950580.00158942891.03242795.0E-50.016328160.0152930540.0153915251.0064391.0E-4
6.33.155064E-52.9526076E-54.9525486E-51.67734732.0E-51.3521002E-41.265344E-41.4653188E-41.15803982.0E-50.0016449390.00153950580.00158942891.03242795.0E-50.016328160.0152930540.0153915251.0064391.0E-4
6.43.155064E-52.9526076E-54.9525486E-51.67734732.0E-51.3521002E-41.265344E-41.4653188E-41.15803982.0E-50.0016449390.00153950580.00158942891.03242795.0E-50.016328160.0152930540.0153915251.0064391.0E-4
6.53.155064E-52.9526076E-54.9525486E-51.67734732.0E-51.3521002E-41.265344E-41.4653188E-41.15803982.0E-50.0016449390.00153950580.00158942891.03242795.0E-50.016328160.0152930540.0153915251.0064391.0E-4
6.63.155064E-52.9526076E-54.9525486E-51.67734732.0E-51.3521002E-41.265344E-41.4653188E-41.15803982.0E-50.0016449390.00153950580.00158942891.03242795.0E-50.016328160.0152930540.0153915251.0064391.0E-4
6.73.098897E-52.8864279E-54.88637E-51.6928782.0E-51.328031E-41.236984E-41.4369593E-41.16166352.0E-50.00161567850.00150502530.001554951.0331725.0E-50.0160398220.0149529090.0150514141.00658761.0E-4
6.83.0449872E-52.8239476E-54.823891E-51.70820842.0E-51.3049292E-41.2102092E-41.410185E-41.16524062.0E-50.00158759350.0014724710.00152239741.03390665.0E-50.0157629920.0146316580.0147301951.00673451.0E-4
6.92.697928E-52.4219877E-54.4219392E-51.8257482.0E-51.15620365E-41.03795464E-41.2379339E-41.19266662.0E-50.00140676890.00126299880.00130294821.03163064.0E-50.01397896650.0125610660.0126499361.0070759.0E-5
7.02.4893961E-52.1862146E-54.186171E-51.91480332.0E-51.0668404E-49.369165E-51.1368978E-41.21344612.0E-50.00129810430.00114011660.00117008251.02628313.0E-50.0129054770.0113451020.0114143081.00617.0E-5
7.12.0945363E-51.7354592E-53.7354246E-52.15241272.0E-58.976275E-57.437473E-59.4373245E-51.26888852.0E-50.00109231369.0514094E-49.3511376E-41.0331143.0E-50.01086960.0090156210.0090849891.00769427.0E-5
7.22.0439404E-51.680953E-53.6809193E-52.18978122.0E-58.7594504E-57.203888E-59.203744E-51.27760792.0E-50.00106594138.767251E-49.066988E-41.03418833.0E-50.0106084270.0087337230.0088031121.0079457.0E-5
7.31.8463334E-51.5381947E-53.538164E-52.30020552.0E-57.912617E-56.592098E-58.5919666E-51.30337362.0E-59.6293533E-48.0229685E-48.3227275E-41.03736273.0E-50.0095877340.00799500850.0080644491.00868557.0E-5
7.41.763139E-51.4516977E-52.4516832E-51.68883861.0E-57.556091E-56.221415E-57.221353E-51.16072511.0E-59.1956573E-47.57198E-47.771829E-41.02639322.0E-50.0091576990.0075471260.0076066731.00789016.0E-5
7.51.3594944E-51.1163363E-52.116325E-51.89577751.0E-55.8262744E-54.7842117E-55.784164E-51.20901081.0E-57.0911803E-45.8232463E-46.0231297E-41.03432512.0E-50.0070685950.0058083620.00584812931.00684674.0E-5
7.66.9889534E-65.6367194E-65.6367194E-61.00.02.9952313E-52.4157147E-52.4157147E-51.00.03.646084E-42.94074E-42.94074E-41.00.00.00364010730.00293689240.00295683371.00678992.0E-5
7.74.0824193E-63.2832731E-63.2832731E-61.00.01.7495966E-51.4071096E-51.4071096E-51.00.02.1299256E-41.7130225E-41.7130225E-41.00.00.00212788510.00171171550.00172169841.00583211.0E-5
7.81.7023609E-61.43706E-61.43706E-61.00.07.295812E-66.158814E-66.158814E-61.00.08.882289E-57.4981006E-57.4981006E-51.00.08.8787393E-47.4955984E-47.4955984E-41.00.0
7.92.721225E-72.261692E-72.261692E-71.00.01.1662388E-69.692963E-79.692963E-71.00.01.4198865E-51.1801121E-51.1801121E-51.00.01.4197957E-41.1800523E-41.1800523E-41.00.0
8.09.364255E-95.1204916E-95.1204916E-91.00.04.0132523E-82.1944963E-82.1944963E-81.00.04.8861335E-72.671799E-72.671799E-71.00.04.8861225E-62.6717962E-62.6717962E-61.00.0

Pine Mtn

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.894797E-67.2254716E-62.7225327E-53.76796532.0E-52.9548795E-53.0965955E-55.0965336E-51.64585052.0E-53.596972E-43.7694827E-44.2692944E-41.13259425.0E-50.00359115540.00376338650.003863011.02647191.0E-4
6.16.894797E-67.2254716E-62.7225327E-53.76796532.0E-52.9548795E-53.0965955E-55.0965336E-51.64585052.0E-53.596972E-43.7694827E-44.2692944E-41.13259425.0E-50.00359115540.00376338650.003863011.02647191.0E-4
6.26.894797E-67.2254716E-62.7225327E-53.76796532.0E-52.9548795E-53.0965955E-55.0965336E-51.64585052.0E-53.596972E-43.7694827E-44.2692944E-41.13259425.0E-50.00359115540.00376338650.003863011.02647191.0E-4
6.36.894797E-67.2254716E-62.7225327E-53.76796532.0E-52.9548795E-53.0965955E-55.0965336E-51.64585052.0E-53.596972E-43.7694827E-44.2692944E-41.13259425.0E-50.00359115540.00376338650.003863011.02647191.0E-4
6.46.894797E-67.2254716E-62.7225327E-53.76796532.0E-52.9548795E-53.0965955E-55.0965336E-51.64585052.0E-53.596972E-43.7694827E-44.2692944E-41.13259425.0E-50.00359115540.00376338650.003863011.02647191.0E-4
6.56.894797E-67.2254716E-62.7225327E-53.76796532.0E-52.9548795E-53.0965955E-55.0965336E-51.64585052.0E-53.596972E-43.7694827E-44.2692944E-41.13259425.0E-50.00359115540.00376338650.003863011.02647191.0E-4
6.66.894797E-67.2254716E-62.7225327E-53.76796532.0E-52.9548795E-53.0965955E-55.0965336E-51.64585052.0E-53.596972E-43.7694827E-44.2692944E-41.13259425.0E-50.00359115540.00376338650.003863011.02647191.0E-4
6.76.0867933E-66.397124E-62.6396996E-54.1263852.0E-52.6085996E-52.7415968E-54.741542E-51.72948182.0E-53.1755073E-43.337405E-43.837238E-41.1497675.0E-50.00317097340.00333261190.00343227851.02990651.0E-4
6.85.6530425E-65.950606E-62.5950487E-54.36098242.0E-52.42271E-52.5502359E-54.550185E-51.78422122.0E-52.94925E-43.1044905E-43.6043354E-41.1610075.0E-50.0029453390.00310035820.00319007921.02893899.0E-5
6.94.6015225E-64.8638444E-61.48637955E-53.05597691.0E-51.9720663E-52.084489E-53.084468E-51.47972391.0E-52.4007261E-42.5375842E-42.9374828E-41.15759034.0E-50.00239813420.0025348310.00260465341.02754527.0E-5
7.04.4875965E-64.7474837E-61.4747436E-53.1063691.0E-51.9232413E-52.0346208E-53.0346004E-51.49148211.0E-52.3412947E-42.4768838E-42.8767847E-41.16145324.0E-50.00233882950.00247426680.00253411851.02418966.0E-5
7.13.203907E-63.42942E-61.3429386E-53.9159351.0E-51.3730958E-51.4697435E-52.4697289E-51.68038081.0E-51.6716159E-41.7892725E-41.9892366E-41.11175732.0E-50.00167035890.0017878980.00181784431.01674953.0E-5
7.22.2060601E-62.3784874E-61.2378464E-55.2043431.0E-59.4545085E-61.019348E-52.0193378E-51.98100921.0E-51.15102564E-41.2409901E-41.3409776E-41.08057081.0E-50.00115042960.00124034190.00126031721.01610462.0E-5
7.31.3765207E-61.5216535E-61.5216535E-61.00.05.899361E-66.5213567E-66.5213567E-61.00.07.182235E-57.939472E-57.939472E-51.00.07.1799144E-47.9367263E-47.9367263E-41.00.0
7.41.1245983E-61.2587126E-61.2587126E-61.00.04.819698E-65.394472E-65.394472E-61.00.05.8678244E-56.56758E-56.56758E-51.00.05.866275E-46.565722E-46.565722E-41.00.0
7.58.031682E-79.276999E-79.276999E-71.00.03.4421448E-63.975851E-63.975851E-61.00.04.1907308E-54.840498E-54.840498E-51.00.04.1899405E-44.8395112E-44.8395112E-41.00.0
7.64.8953444E-76.0030544E-76.0030544E-71.00.02.098003E-62.5727354E-62.5727354E-61.00.02.5542888E-53.1322652E-53.1322652E-51.00.02.5539953E-43.1318725E-43.1318725E-41.00.0
7.76.634529E-86.788826E-86.788826E-81.00.02.843369E-72.9094966E-72.9094966E-71.00.03.4617963E-63.5423066E-63.5423066E-61.00.03.4617424E-53.542255E-53.542255E-51.00.0
7.89.235578E-99.488566E-99.488566E-91.00.03.9581046E-84.0665284E-84.0665284E-81.00.04.818991E-74.950997E-74.950997E-71.00.04.8189804E-64.950988E-64.950988E-61.00.0

San Diego Trough south

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.279495E-51.0425541E-41.3425227E-41.28772493.0E-53.5478722E-44.4673498E-44.9671263E-41.11187315.0E-50.0043109820.00542591330.0054756421.0091655.0E-50.0422830540.052993030.053078261.00160849.0E-5
6.14.6961468E-55.773024E-57.7729084E-51.34641892.0E-52.0124791E-42.473905E-42.6738556E-41.08082392.0E-50.002447440.0030078860.00302782581.00662922.0E-50.0242066030.0296796360.0297087451.00098073.0E-5
6.23.5079658E-54.214258E-56.2141735E-51.47455942.0E-51.5033272E-41.8059829E-42.0059469E-41.1107232.0E-50.00182876420.0021965870.0022165431.0090852.0E-50.0181378760.0217511880.0217805361.00134923.0E-5
6.33.5079658E-54.214258E-56.2141735E-51.47455942.0E-51.5033272E-41.8059829E-42.0059469E-41.1107232.0E-50.00182876420.0021965870.0022165431.0090852.0E-50.0181378760.0217511880.0217805361.00134923.0E-5
6.42.7196904E-53.208715E-55.208651E-51.62328242.0E-51.16552954E-41.3750911E-41.5750635E-41.1454252.0E-50.00141810850.00167289950.0016928661.01193522.0E-50.0140909290.0166046660.0166341681.00177673.0E-5
6.52.5584688E-53.0101632E-55.010103E-51.66439582.0E-51.0964406E-41.2900059E-41.4899802E-41.15501812.0E-50.00133409890.00156946270.00158943131.01272322.0E-50.0132611810.0155853320.0156148641.00189483.0E-5
6.62.2034688E-52.574271E-53.5742454E-51.38844951.0E-59.443096E-51.1032127E-41.2032017E-41.09063431.0E-50.00114909050.00134234120.00135232781.00743961.0E-50.0114316680.0133433250.0133630581.00147892.0E-5
6.71.9394853E-52.254176E-53.2541535E-51.4436111.0E-58.311815E-59.6604E-51.0660303E-41.10350541.0E-50.00101149360.00117552430.00118551261.00849691.0E-50.010069020.0116937660.0117135331.00169032.0E-5
6.81.7615313E-52.0403182E-53.0402978E-51.49010961.0E-57.549201E-58.743931E-59.743843E-51.11435511.0E-59.1872766E-40.00106405790.00107404731.0093881.0E-50.0091493870.0105901980.0106099861.00186852.0E-5
6.91.5621423E-51.8026114E-52.8025934E-51.55474071.0E-56.6947236E-57.725251E-58.7251734E-51.12943571.0E-58.147778E-49.40147E-49.501376E-41.01062671.0E-50.0081179690.0093621420.0093720481.00105811.0E-5
7.01.3444376E-51.544809E-52.5447935E-51.64731931.0E-55.7617483E-56.620443E-57.620377E-51.15103731.0E-57.0126704E-48.057436E-48.1573555E-41.01240091.0E-50.0069905820.0080285550.0080384751.00123561.0E-5
7.11.2268361E-51.407303E-52.407289E-51.7105691.0E-55.2577634E-56.0311606E-57.0311005E-51.16579561.0E-56.399447E-47.3404907E-47.440417E-41.01361311.0E-50.00638104930.00731654930.0073264761.00135671.0E-5
7.21.0922655E-51.2513563E-52.2513437E-51.79912291.0E-54.681054E-55.3628468E-56.362793E-51.18645811.0E-55.697693E-46.5273355E-46.62727E-41.01531021.0E-50.00568310640.00650844350.0065183791.00152651.0E-5
7.36.1106753E-66.928925E-61.6928856E-52.44321541.0E-52.6188345E-52.9695057E-53.9694758E-51.33674631.0E-53.1879646E-43.6147775E-43.7147413E-41.02765421.0E-50.00318339510.0036089430.0036189071.00276091.0E-5
7.44.933187E-65.5895525E-61.5589496E-52.7890421.0E-52.114206E-52.3955008E-53.395477E-51.41743921.0E-52.5737417E-42.9161357E-43.0161065E-41.0342821.0E-50.0025707630.00291235050.00292232121.00342371.0E-5
7.51.7489613E-61.969678E-61.1969658E-56.0769621.0E-57.495527E-68.4414505E-61.8441366E-52.18462061.0E-59.125422E-51.02770035E-41.1276901E-41.09729461.0E-59.1216754E-40.00102724720.00103723691.00972471.0E-5
7.61.6988751E-71.7533823E-71.7533823E-71.00.07.2808916E-77.5144936E-77.5144936E-71.00.08.864449E-69.14886E-69.14886E-61.00.08.8640954E-59.1485024E-59.1485024E-51.00.0

Whittier alt 1

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.2554693E-54.7252182E-56.725124E-51.42324092.0E-51.8236451E-42.0249544E-42.5248533E-41.24686915.0E-50.0022180270.00246291630.00252276871.02430146.0E-50.021960190.0243902630.0244780691.00369.0E-5
6.14.2554693E-54.7252182E-56.725124E-51.42324092.0E-51.8236451E-42.0249544E-42.5248533E-41.24686915.0E-50.0022180270.00246291630.00252276871.02430146.0E-50.021960190.0243902630.0244780691.00369.0E-5
6.24.2554693E-54.7252182E-56.725124E-51.42324092.0E-51.8236451E-42.0249544E-42.5248533E-41.24686915.0E-50.0022180270.00246291630.00252276871.02430146.0E-50.021960190.0243902630.0244780691.00369.0E-5
6.31.9617712E-51.826841E-52.8268229E-51.5473831.0E-58.40732E-57.829095E-59.8289376E-51.25543742.0E-50.00102311059.527944E-49.7277533E-41.0209712.0E-50.010184130.00949040.0095201141.0031313.0E-5
6.41.5611336E-51.3604089E-52.3603954E-51.73506311.0E-56.690401E-55.8301972E-57.830081E-51.34302162.0E-58.142519E-47.096013E-47.295871E-41.02816492.0E-50.0081127480.00707533770.00709519631.00280672.0E-5
6.51.5150166E-51.3100744E-52.3100612E-51.76330541.0E-56.492767E-55.614487E-57.614375E-51.35620132.0E-57.9020765E-46.8335526E-47.033416E-41.02924742.0E-50.0078740360.0068145080.00683437151.00291492.0E-5
6.61.295588E-51.0380544E-52.0380441E-51.96333061.0E-55.552402E-54.44873E-55.4486853E-51.22477331.0E-56.7579525E-45.415002E-45.5149477E-41.01845721.0E-50.0067374380.0054033430.0054132891.00184071.0E-5
6.71.2542085E-59.899189E-61.989909E-52.01017381.0E-55.3750682E-54.2424414E-55.242399E-51.23570331.0E-56.542181E-45.163967E-45.2639155E-41.01935491.0E-50.0065229540.0051534640.00516341251.00193051.0E-5
6.81.2195878E-59.49523E-61.9495135E-52.05315041.0E-55.2267E-54.069322E-55.069281E-51.24573121.0E-56.36165E-44.9532915E-45.053242E-41.02017861.0E-50.00634346860.00494369630.0049536471.00201271.0E-5
6.91.1580298E-58.772739E-61.8772653E-52.13988471.0E-54.9628903E-53.759692E-54.7596546E-51.26596921.0E-56.040644E-44.5764804E-44.6764346E-41.02184081.0E-50.006024250.00456846460.00457841861.00217891.0E-5
7.01.0964795E-58.083794E-61.8083712E-52.2370331.0E-54.6991136E-53.4644378E-54.464403E-51.28863721.0E-55.7196687E-44.217152E-44.3171097E-41.02370271.0E-50.00570496960.0042104590.0042204171.0023651.0E-5
7.11.0230601E-57.32646E-61.7326387E-52.36490561.0E-54.3844695E-53.1398744E-54.139843E-51.3184741.0E-55.336784E-43.8221394E-43.9221012E-41.02615331.0E-50.0053239860.00381675920.0038267211.002611.0E-5
7.29.40865E-66.5430822E-61.6543017E-52.52832171.0E-54.032216E-52.8041486E-53.8041206E-51.35660451.0E-54.908117E-43.4135283E-43.5134942E-41.02928521.0E-50.00489729130.00340940240.00341936831.0029231.0E-5
7.38.237384E-65.5975433E-61.5597487E-52.7864881.0E-53.5302593E-52.3989258E-53.3989018E-51.41684331.0E-54.2972428E-42.920311E-43.020282E-41.0342331.0E-50.00428894260.00291679920.00292677011.00341841.0E-5
7.47.5316966E-65.0276153E-61.5027565E-52.98900461.0E-53.2278298E-52.154675E-53.1546533E-51.46409711.0E-53.9291743E-42.623011E-42.722985E-41.03811411.0E-50.00392223430.00262002670.00263000051.00380671.0E-5
7.56.149649E-63.9336355E-61.3933596E-53.54216741.0E-52.6355372E-51.6858336E-52.6858166E-51.59316841.0E-53.208294E-42.052318E-42.1522974E-41.04871541.0E-50.0032036660.00205051180.00206049141.00486681.0E-5
7.65.457711E-63.3951796E-63.3951796E-61.00.02.338998E-51.4550694E-51.4550694E-51.00.02.8473578E-41.771411E-41.771411E-41.00.00.00284371220.00177007980.00177007981.00.0
7.74.1676276E-62.3329922E-62.3329922E-61.00.01.7861139E-59.998504E-69.998504E-61.00.02.1743766E-41.2172572E-41.2172572E-41.00.00.00217225030.00121666350.00121666351.00.0
7.82.2692414E-79.384417E-89.384417E-81.00.09.725317E-74.0218927E-74.0218927E-71.00.01.1840509E-54.8966467E-64.8966467E-61.00.01.1839878E-44.8965718E-54.8965718E-51.00.0
7.96.676829E-93.4397174E-93.4397174E-91.00.02.861498E-81.4741646E-81.4741646E-81.00.03.4838732E-71.7947953E-71.7947953E-71.00.03.4838679E-61.794794E-61.794794E-61.00.0

San Jacinto (Borrego)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.543992E-52.7925962E-55.7925125E-52.07423933.0E-51.5187653E-41.1967727E-41.5967249E-41.33419224.0E-50.00184752840.00145610920.00151602181.04114576.0E-50.0183224360.014868150.0149568121.00596329.0E-5
6.13.542281E-52.7925962E-55.7925125E-52.07423933.0E-51.5180321E-41.1967727E-41.5967249E-41.33419224.0E-50.00184663720.00145610920.00151602181.04114576.0E-50.0183136720.014868150.0149568121.00596329.0E-5
6.23.4688688E-52.7925962E-55.7925125E-52.07423933.0E-51.4865733E-41.1967727E-41.5967249E-41.33419234.0E-50.00180840050.00145610910.00151602181.04114576.0E-50.0179375480.014868150.0149568121.00596329.0E-5
6.33.2087122E-52.7771312E-55.7770478E-52.08022143.0E-51.3750899E-41.1901455E-41.5900978E-41.33605344.0E-50.00167288620.00144805120.00150796431.0413756.0E-50.0166034880.0147893080.0148779771.00599559.0E-5
6.43.1828724E-52.773829E-55.7737456E-52.08150743.0E-51.364017E-41.1887303E-41.5886828E-41.33645344.0E-50.00165942540.00144633060.00150624371.04142436.0E-50.0164708850.0147725020.0148611721.00600249.0E-5
6.53.1563577E-52.7477974E-55.747715E-52.09175353.0E-51.3526545E-41.17757496E-41.5775279E-41.33964114.0E-50.00164561280.00143276680.00149268091.04181716.0E-50.01633480.014639910.0147285931.00605769.0E-5
6.63.1467625E-52.7322194E-55.7321373E-52.09797843.0E-51.3485427E-41.17089934E-41.5708525E-41.34157784.0E-50.00164061420.00142464980.00148456441.04205566.0E-50.0162855480.0145602280.0146489171.00609129.0E-5
6.73.1223695E-52.6940217E-55.693941E-52.11354683.0E-51.3380898E-41.1545303E-41.5544842E-41.34642124.0E-50.00162790680.00140474640.00146466211.04265246.0E-50.016160330.014364510.0144532161.00617549.0E-5
6.83.1015585E-52.6761221E-55.676042E-52.1209953.0E-51.3291716E-41.1468597E-41.5468139E-41.34873844.0E-50.0016170650.00139541950.00145533581.04293796.0E-50.0160534870.0142717720.0143604871.00621629.0E-5
6.92.6641965E-52.2183434E-55.2182768E-52.35233043.0E-51.1417485E-49.506842E-51.3506462E-41.42070964.0E-50.00138919240.00115684730.00120678951.04317095.0E-50.01380540150.0118821910.011961241.00665278.0E-5
7.02.3854353E-52.047825E-55.0477636E-52.46493893.0E-51.02228936E-48.776099E-51.2775748E-41.45574334.0E-50.00124392660.00106796890.00111791551.04676785.0E-50.0123698660.01098262050.0110617421.00720438.0E-5
7.12.3672901E-52.0314741E-55.031413E-52.476733.0E-51.0145135E-48.706028E-51.270568E-41.45941174.0E-50.00123447020.00105944610.00110939311.04714455.0E-50.01227635050.0108978580.0109769871.00726098.0E-5
7.22.2717244E-51.9542116E-54.954153E-52.5351163.0E-59.735599E-58.3749255E-51.2374591E-41.47757634.0E-50.00118466460.00101917250.00106912151.04900945.0E-50.011783690.0104953220.0105744821.00754258.0E-5
7.32.1016205E-51.8383771E-54.838322E-52.6318443.0E-59.006634E-57.878522E-51.1878207E-41.50766944.0E-50.0010960069.5879E-40.00100874211.05209915.0E-50.0109061630.0098909010.009970111.00800828.0E-5
7.42.0683625E-51.8186302E-54.8185757E-52.64956333.0E-58.86411E-57.7938974E-51.1793586E-41.5131824.0E-50.0010786719.48496E-49.984486E-41.0526655.0E-50.0107345010.00978762750.0098668451.00809368.0E-5
7.51.9993966E-51.7781347E-54.7780813E-52.68713123.0E-58.568561E-57.6203556E-51.16200514E-41.52486994.0E-50.0010427239.2738547E-49.773391E-41.0538655.0E-50.0103784380.0095745480.00965378251.00827558.0E-5
7.61.788966E-51.6434618E-54.6434125E-52.8253853.0E-57.666772E-57.043219E-51.1042937E-41.56788224.0E-59.3302975E-48.5717626E-49.071334E-41.05828115.0E-50.009291220.0088664150.0089457061.00894288.0E-5
7.71.5125781E-51.4236738E-54.4236313E-53.10719423.0E-56.4823165E-56.101317E-51.0101073E-41.65555624.0E-57.889362E-47.4258295E-47.9254585E-41.06728265.0E-50.0078614120.0077141610.0077836211.00900427.0E-5
7.81.250089E-51.262994E-54.2629563E-53.37527823.0E-55.3574146E-55.4127195E-59.412503E-51.738964.0E-56.5207E-46.588E-47.0876704E-41.07584565.0E-50.0065015990.0068677590.00693727841.01012257.0E-5
7.99.561E-69.754065E-63.9753773E-54.07561063.0E-54.0975072E-54.180247E-58.18008E-51.95684124.0E-54.987573E-45.0882675E-45.488064E-41.07857234.0E-50.00497639370.00535236070.00541203931.011156.0E-5
8.08.01699E-68.292994E-62.8292829E-53.41165422.0E-53.4358076E-53.554092E-56.5539854E-51.84406753.0E-54.1822926E-44.3262533E-44.6261234E-41.06931413.0E-50.00417443040.00457331860.00462309041.0108835.0E-5
8.16.541947E-66.461784E-62.6461654E-54.09510042.0E-52.8036617E-52.7693068E-55.769224E-52.08327363.0E-53.4129233E-43.3711144E-43.6710134E-41.08896143.0E-50.00340768650.00358057560.00363039641.01391425.0E-5
8.21.7968189E-67.9684827E-77.9684827E-71.00.07.70063E-63.4150596E-63.4150596E-61.00.09.3751136E-54.157758E-54.157758E-51.00.09.371159E-44.7107413E-44.7107413E-41.00.0
8.31.5167889E-74.8951257E-84.8951257E-81.00.06.500522E-72.0979108E-72.0979108E-71.00.07.9143565E-62.5542038E-62.5542038E-61.00.07.914075E-52.9679897E-52.9679897E-51.00.0

Big Pine (East)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.916913E-61.28172705E-54.2816886E-53.34056193.0E-54.250036E-55.493013E-58.492848E-51.54611843.0E-55.173191E-46.685912E-47.185578E-41.07473415.0E-50.00516116430.0066704490.00675984841.01340239.0E-5
6.19.916913E-61.28172705E-54.2816886E-53.34056193.0E-54.250036E-55.493013E-58.492848E-51.54611843.0E-55.173191E-46.685912E-47.185578E-41.07473415.0E-50.00516116430.0066704490.00675984841.01340239.0E-5
6.29.916913E-61.28172705E-54.2816886E-53.34056193.0E-54.250036E-55.493013E-58.492848E-51.54611843.0E-55.173191E-46.685912E-47.185578E-41.07473415.0E-50.00516116430.0066704490.00675984841.01340239.0E-5
6.35.479711E-68.1132375E-62.8113076E-53.46508722.0E-52.3484265E-53.4770575E-55.476988E-51.5751792.0E-52.858834E-44.232527E-44.6323577E-41.09446624.0E-50.00285515890.00422725130.0043069131.01884488.0E-5
6.45.465009E-68.0975315E-62.8097369E-53.46986872.0E-52.3421257E-53.4703262E-55.4702567E-51.57629472.0E-52.851165E-44.2243348E-44.624166E-41.09464944.0E-50.00284750970.004219090.00429875261.01888148.0E-5
6.54.826767E-67.4225877E-62.7422439E-53.69445822.0E-52.068598E-53.1810716E-55.1810082E-51.6286992.0E-52.518227E-43.8722943E-44.2721393E-41.10325794.0E-50.00251537510.00386829070.0039479811.02060098.0E-5
6.64.3146847E-66.8825234E-62.6882386E-53.9058912.0E-51.8491375E-52.949621E-54.949562E-51.67803322.0E-52.2510924E-43.5905963E-43.9904527E-41.11136214.0E-50.00224881340.00358750620.0036672191.02221978.0E-5
6.73.6968106E-65.9957474E-61.5995687E-52.66783881.0E-51.5843378E-52.5695816E-53.569556E-51.38915841.0E-51.9287605E-43.128032E-43.3279692E-41.0639182.0E-50.00192708730.00312624990.00318606241.01913246.0E-5
6.83.4671132E-65.7024477E-61.5702391E-52.7536231.0E-51.4858972E-52.4438841E-53.4438595E-51.40917471.0E-51.8089297E-42.9750372E-43.1749776E-41.0672062.0E-50.00180745790.00297366660.00303348831.02011726.0E-5
6.92.7686972E-64.8254797E-64.8254797E-61.00.01.1865792E-52.0680467E-52.0680467E-51.00.01.4445644E-42.5175634E-42.6175383E-41.0397111.0E-50.00144362570.0025172560.00255715521.01585034.0E-5
7.02.1472624E-63.985277E-63.985277E-61.00.09.20252E-61.707965E-51.707965E-51.00.01.12034926E-42.0792543E-42.0792543E-41.00.00.00111978450.00207982380.00207982381.00.0
7.11.7018335E-63.3450835E-63.3450835E-61.00.07.293552E-61.4335996E-51.4335996E-51.00.08.879537E-51.7452713E-41.7452713E-41.00.08.87599E-40.00174637920.00174637921.00.0
7.21.25603E-62.794679E-62.794679E-61.00.05.3829745E-61.1977142E-51.1977142E-51.00.06.553574E-51.4581217E-41.4581217E-41.00.06.551642E-40.00145961730.00145961731.00.0
7.31.112297E-62.610519E-62.610519E-61.00.04.7669787E-61.1187892E-51.1187892E-51.00.05.803642E-51.3620428E-41.3620428E-41.00.05.802127E-40.0013635020.0013635021.00.0
7.41.0137181E-62.4836752E-62.4836752E-61.00.04.3444993E-61.064428E-51.064428E-51.00.05.2892992E-51.2958662E-41.2958662E-41.00.05.288041E-40.00129719180.00129719181.00.0
7.59.598608E-72.407328E-62.407328E-61.00.04.1136827E-61.03170805E-51.03170805E-51.00.05.0082934E-51.2560343E-41.2560343E-41.00.05.007165E-40.00125721320.00125721321.00.0
7.67.929459E-72.0450152E-62.0450152E-61.00.03.3983351E-68.764322E-68.764322E-61.00.04.1373947E-51.0670057E-41.0670057E-41.00.04.1366243E-40.00106858250.00106858251.00.0
7.74.155788E-71.1606729E-61.1606729E-61.00.01.7810507E-64.974303E-64.974303E-61.00.02.1684076E-56.05605E-56.05605E-51.00.02.1681961E-46.085995E-46.085995E-41.00.0
7.81.14666925E-72.592197E-72.592197E-71.00.04.914296E-71.1109411E-61.1109411E-61.00.05.9831386E-61.3525627E-51.3525627E-51.00.05.9829777E-51.3636416E-41.3636416E-41.00.0
7.92.9231824E-84.1462318E-84.1462318E-81.00.01.2527924E-71.7769564E-71.7769564E-71.00.01.5252737E-62.1634426E-62.1634426E-61.00.01.5252632E-52.197062E-52.197062E-51.00.0

Kern Canyon (South Kern) 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.105075E-64.113726E-62.4113644E-55.86175252.0E-51.7593058E-51.7630138E-54.7629608E-52.70160153.0E-52.1417443E-42.1462643E-42.7461356E-41.27949556.0E-50.00213968130.00214425540.00223406241.04188269.0E-5
6.14.105075E-64.113726E-62.4113644E-55.86175252.0E-51.7593058E-51.7630138E-54.7629608E-52.70160153.0E-52.1417443E-42.1462643E-42.7461356E-41.27949556.0E-50.00213968130.00214425540.00223406241.04188269.0E-5
6.24.105075E-64.113726E-62.4113644E-55.86175252.0E-51.7593058E-51.7630138E-54.7629608E-52.70160153.0E-52.1417443E-42.1462643E-42.7461356E-41.27949556.0E-50.00213968130.00214425540.00223406241.04188269.0E-5
6.34.105075E-64.113726E-62.4113644E-55.86175252.0E-51.7593058E-51.7630138E-54.7629608E-52.70160153.0E-52.1417443E-42.1462643E-42.7461356E-41.27949556.0E-50.00213968130.00214425540.00223406241.04188269.0E-5
6.44.105075E-64.113726E-62.4113644E-55.86175252.0E-51.7593058E-51.7630138E-54.7629608E-52.70160153.0E-52.1417443E-42.1462643E-42.7461356E-41.27949556.0E-50.00213968130.00214425540.00223406241.04188269.0E-5
6.52.9849807E-62.973154E-61.2973124E-54.36342141.0E-51.2792712E-51.2742028E-53.2741773E-52.5695892.0E-51.5574014E-41.551233E-41.9511709E-41.25781944.0E-50.00155631030.00155016540.00161007231.03864556.0E-5
6.62.9849807E-62.973154E-61.2973124E-54.36342141.0E-51.2792712E-51.2742028E-53.2741773E-52.5695892.0E-51.5574014E-41.551233E-41.9511709E-41.25781944.0E-50.00155631030.00155016540.00161007231.03864556.0E-5
6.72.6756725E-62.6582202E-61.2658194E-54.76190571.0E-51.1467117E-51.1392323E-53.1392094E-52.75554822.0E-51.396032E-41.386928E-41.7868726E-41.28836724.0E-50.00139515530.00138607340.00144599031.04322786.0E-5
6.82.3283721E-62.3047783E-61.2304755E-55.33880231.0E-59.9787E-69.877584E-62.9877387E-53.02476672.0E-51.214839E-41.2025302E-41.6024821E-41.3325924.0E-50.0012141750.0012018870.00126181481.04986166.0E-5
6.92.0972677E-62.0696405E-61.20696195E-55.8317471.0E-58.988259E-68.869858E-62.8869681E-53.25480752.0E-51.0942656E-41.0798523E-41.4798091E-41.3703814.0E-50.00109372680.00107933340.00112927941.04627495.0E-5
7.01.7132242E-61.6787029E-61.1678686E-56.956971.0E-57.3423685E-67.1944214E-62.7194277E-53.77991152.0E-58.938967E-58.75886E-51.275851E-41.45664054.0E-58.935372E-48.755446E-49.255009E-41.05705735.0E-5
7.11.4215541E-61.3815746E-61.138156E-58.2381081.0E-56.0923603E-65.9210206E-62.5920903E-54.3777762.0E-57.417196E-57.208607E-51.1208319E-41.55485224.0E-57.414721E-47.206296E-47.606007E-41.0554674.0E-5
7.29.097853E-78.60377E-78.60377E-71.00.03.899074E-63.6873246E-61.3687288E-53.71198341.0E-54.7470192E-54.4892266E-56.489136E-51.44549112.0E-54.7460053E-44.4883305E-44.6882406E-41.044542.0E-5
7.36.144169E-75.628199E-75.628199E-71.00.02.6332125E-62.4120832E-61.2412059E-55.14578441.0E-53.205889E-52.9366722E-54.9366132E-51.6810232.0E-53.2054266E-42.9362892E-43.1362305E-41.06809322.0E-5
7.44.049844E-73.5728252E-73.5728252E-71.00.01.7356463E-61.5312098E-61.1531194E-57.53077361.0E-52.1131287E-51.8642324E-52.8642136E-51.53640381.0E-52.1129279E-41.8640784E-41.9640598E-41.05363581.0E-5
7.51.9871162E-71.5830383E-71.5830383E-71.00.08.5162094E-76.784448E-76.784448E-71.00.01.0368436E-58.260035E-68.260035E-61.00.01.0367952E-48.259736E-58.259736E-51.00.0
7.62.572245E-81.735264E-81.735264E-81.00.01.10239064E-77.436845E-87.436845E-81.00.01.3421597E-69.0543557E-79.0543557E-71.00.01.3421517E-59.054324E-69.054324E-61.00.0

San Jacinto (Coyote Creek)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.7374346E-52.41444E-56.414343E-52.6566594.0E-51.1731335E-41.034719E-41.5346672E-41.4831735.0E-50.00142735420.0012590450.00131896941.04759516.0E-50.014182210.0129281950.0130170311.00687169.0E-5
6.12.7374346E-52.41444E-56.414343E-52.6566594.0E-51.1731335E-41.034719E-41.5346672E-41.4831735.0E-50.00142735420.0012590450.00131896941.04759516.0E-50.014182210.0129281950.0130170311.00687169.0E-5
6.22.7374346E-52.41444E-56.414343E-52.6566594.0E-51.1731335E-41.034719E-41.5346672E-41.4831735.0E-50.00142735420.0012590450.00131896941.04759516.0E-50.014182210.0129281950.0130170311.00687169.0E-5
6.32.7374346E-52.41444E-56.414343E-52.6566594.0E-51.1731335E-41.034719E-41.5346672E-41.4831735.0E-50.00142735420.0012590450.00131896941.04759516.0E-50.014182210.0129281950.0130170311.00687169.0E-5
6.42.7374346E-52.41444E-56.414343E-52.6566594.0E-51.1731335E-41.034719E-41.5346672E-41.4831735.0E-50.00142735420.0012590450.00131896941.04759516.0E-50.014182210.0129281950.0130170311.00687169.0E-5
6.52.7282445E-52.4030476E-56.402952E-52.66451294.0E-51.16919524E-41.0298371E-41.5297855E-41.48546375.0E-50.00142256570.0012531080.00131303291.04782096.0E-50.0141349340.0128695220.0129583641.00690339.0E-5
6.62.7282445E-52.4030476E-56.402952E-52.66451294.0E-51.16919524E-41.0298371E-41.5297855E-41.48546375.0E-50.00142256570.0012531080.00131303291.04782096.0E-50.0141349340.0128695220.0129583641.00690339.0E-5
6.72.7216198E-52.3955597E-56.395464E-52.6697164.0E-51.1663563E-41.02662816E-41.5265768E-41.48698135.0E-50.00141911370.00124920580.00130913081.04797056.0E-50.0141008550.0128309340.0129197791.00692439.0E-5
6.82.7078617E-52.3872815E-56.387186E-52.67550594.0E-51.1604605E-41.0230807E-41.5230295E-41.488675.0E-50.0014119450.00124489170.00130481691.0481376.0E-50.0140300750.01278808250.0128769321.00694789.0E-5
6.92.6982952E-52.3792329E-56.3791376E-52.6811744.0E-51.15636096E-41.0196315E-41.5195805E-41.49032325.0E-50.00140696020.00124069710.00130062271.04829996.0E-50.0139808560.0127463780.0128352311.00697099.0E-5
7.02.6449972E-52.3369357E-56.3368425E-52.71160324.0E-51.1335209E-41.0015055E-41.5014554E-41.49919835.0E-50.0013791880.00121865350.00127858041.04917476.0E-50.01370659750.0125277330.01261660551.0070949.0E-5
7.12.6257849E-52.3195396E-56.319447E-52.724444.0E-51.1252879E-49.940507E-51.494001E-41.50294245.0E-50.00136917690.00120958730.00126951481.04954376.0E-50.0136077170.0124376610.0125265411.00714619.0E-5
7.22.5270041E-52.2390155E-56.238926E-52.78645944.0E-51.0829568E-49.5954296E-51.459495E-41.52103145.0E-50.00131770240.00116761980.00122754971.05132666.0E-50.0130991620.01201879050.01210770851.00739829.0E-5
7.32.339701E-52.1122027E-56.112118E-52.89371754.0E-51.0026905E-49.051985E-51.4051532E-41.55231515.0E-50.0012200920.0011015240.00116145791.054416.0E-50.0121341490.0113576420.0114466191.00783429.0E-5
7.42.296333E-52.0852396E-56.0851562E-52.91820484.0E-59.841056E-58.936436E-51.393599E-41.55945725.0E-50.00119748990.00108747010.00114740481.05511396.0E-50.0119105750.0112167540.0113057441.00793379.0E-5
7.52.2188895E-52.037534E-56.0374525E-52.96311744.0E-59.50918E-58.731998E-51.3731561E-41.57255665.0E-50.00115712770.00106260420.00112254061.05640516.0E-50.0115112090.0109663690.0110553821.0081179.0E-5
7.62.0013189E-51.8961666E-55.8960908E-53.10947944.0E-58.5767984E-58.126176E-51.312577E-41.61524565.0E-50.0010437259.889146E-40.00104885531.06061266.0E-50.0103883650.0102243710.0103134511.00871259.0E-5
7.71.7230794E-51.6743043E-55.6742374E-53.3890124.0E-57.384417E-57.175393E-51.2175034E-41.69677595.0E-58.986819E-48.732547E-49.3320233E-41.06864856.0E-50.0089505620.009062920.0091421951.00874728.0E-5
7.81.4478809E-51.499039E-55.498979E-53.66833624.0E-56.205057E-56.424295E-51.1423974E-41.77824565.0E-57.552038E-47.8187784E-48.41831E-41.07667836.0E-50.00752642420.0081413880.0082207371.00974638.0E-5
7.91.1114467E-51.1644517E-55.1644052E-54.43505334.0E-54.7632562E-54.990412E-59.990163E-52.00187135.0E-55.797721E-46.074139E-46.5738347E-41.08226625.0E-50.00578261870.00638035450.0064499081.01090127.0E-5
8.09.327402E-69.8986575E-63.989836E-54.0306843.0E-53.9973966E-54.2422133E-58.242043E-51.94286414.0E-54.8657437E-45.163676E-45.5634696E-41.07742424.0E-50.00485510330.005449940.0055096131.01094936.0E-5
8.17.0235833E-66.826985E-62.6826849E-53.92953092.0E-53.0100724E-52.9258183E-55.9257305E-52.0253243.0E-53.664147E-43.5616063E-43.8614997E-41.08420173.0E-50.0036581110.00378745720.00383726791.01315155.0E-5
8.22.0358202E-68.9912584E-78.9912584E-71.00.08.724915E-63.853391E-63.853391E-61.00.01.06220665E-44.6914047E-54.6914047E-51.00.00.0010616995.3239096E-45.3239096E-41.00.0
8.32.0051264E-76.61379E-86.61379E-81.00.08.5933965E-72.8344812E-72.8344812E-71.00.01.046241E-53.450976E-63.450976E-61.00.01.0461917E-44.0120205E-54.0120205E-51.00.0

Elysian Park (Upper)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.1876025E-53.7035275E-53.7035275E-51.00.01.3660437E-41.5871569E-41.7871251E-41.12599152.0E-50.00166188950.0019311220.00198102561.02584175.0E-50.0164951590.0191898630.0192683261.00408898.0E-5
6.13.1876025E-53.7035275E-53.7035275E-51.00.01.3660437E-41.5871569E-41.7871251E-41.12599152.0E-50.00166188950.0019311220.00198102561.02584175.0E-50.0164951590.0191898630.0192683261.00408898.0E-5
6.23.1876025E-53.7035275E-53.7035275E-51.00.01.3660437E-41.5871569E-41.7871251E-41.12599152.0E-50.00166188950.0019311220.00198102561.02584175.0E-50.0164951590.0191898630.0192683261.00408898.0E-5
6.33.1876025E-53.7035275E-53.7035275E-51.00.01.3660437E-41.5871569E-41.7871251E-41.12599152.0E-50.00166188950.0019311220.00198102561.02584175.0E-50.0164951590.0191898630.0192683261.00408898.0E-5
6.41.9273462E-52.120244E-52.120244E-51.00.08.259794E-59.086542E-51.0086451E-41.11004281.0E-50.0010051660.00110589670.00113586361.02709733.0E-50.0100063150.0110207440.0110603031.00358954.0E-5
6.51.9273462E-52.120244E-52.120244E-51.00.08.259794E-59.086542E-51.0086451E-41.11004281.0E-50.0010051660.00110589670.00113586361.02709733.0E-50.0100063150.0110207440.0110603031.00358954.0E-5
6.69.813258E-69.665589E-69.665589E-61.00.04.205614E-54.1423333E-54.1423333E-51.00.05.119132E-45.042196E-45.1421457E-41.01982261.0E-50.0051073560.00503147950.00504142931.00197741.0E-5
6.79.801478E-69.653158E-69.653158E-61.00.04.2005657E-54.137006E-54.137006E-51.00.05.112989E-45.0357135E-45.135663E-41.01984811.0E-50.00510124070.0050250260.00503497571.00198011.0E-5
6.88.102489E-67.772994E-67.772994E-61.00.03.4724493E-53.3312434E-53.3312434E-51.00.04.2268867E-44.0550836E-44.1550433E-41.02465051.0E-50.0042188560.00404817840.00405813751.00246021.0E-5
6.96.08275E-65.481441E-65.481441E-61.00.02.6068668E-52.3491682E-52.3491682E-51.00.03.173398E-42.8597447E-42.959716E-41.03495811.0E-50.00316887020.00285614240.00286611381.00349131.0E-5
7.05.5995934E-64.9827686E-64.9827686E-61.00.02.3998036E-52.1354552E-52.1354552E-51.00.02.9213692E-42.5996132E-42.6995872E-41.03845731.0E-50.00291753160.00259663960.00260661361.00384121.0E-5
7.14.709881E-64.0873906E-64.0873906E-61.00.02.0185047E-51.7517272E-51.7517272E-51.00.02.4572524E-42.1325232E-42.1325232E-41.00.00.0024545370.00213051840.00213051841.00.0
7.23.6063436E-62.9779412E-62.9779412E-61.00.01.5455667E-51.27625435E-51.27625435E-51.00.01.881565E-41.55373E-41.55373E-41.00.00.00187997260.00155265490.00155265491.00.0
7.32.471135E-62.0954562E-62.0954562E-61.00.01.0590536E-58.980496E-68.980496E-61.00.01.2893214E-41.0933213E-41.0933213E-41.00.00.00128857360.00109279060.00109279061.00.0
7.41.163943E-61.0275061E-61.0275061E-61.00.04.988318E-64.40359E-64.40359E-61.00.06.0731076E-55.361242E-55.361242E-51.00.06.071448E-45.3599785E-45.3599785E-41.00.0
7.54.99459E-74.917601E-74.917601E-71.00.02.140537E-62.1075416E-62.1075416E-61.00.02.6060725E-52.5659032E-52.5659032E-51.00.02.605767E-42.5656226E-42.5656226E-41.00.0
7.62.4667852E-72.4778313E-72.4778313E-71.00.01.0571932E-61.0619274E-61.0619274E-61.00.01.2871251E-51.2928893E-51.2928893E-51.00.01.2870505E-41.2928178E-41.2928178E-41.00.0
7.78.2312795E-87.3864214E-87.3864214E-81.00.03.527691E-73.165609E-73.165609E-71.00.04.294955E-63.854123E-63.854123E-61.00.04.2948723E-53.854068E-53.854068E-51.00.0
7.82.7819295E-81.7565618E-81.7565618E-81.00.01.1922555E-77.528122E-87.528122E-81.00.01.45157E-69.1654863E-79.1654863E-71.00.01.45156055E-59.165463E-69.165463E-61.00.0

San Cayetano

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.3476267E-51.8169216E-53.816885E-52.1007432.0E-51.0060869E-47.786576E-51.0786343E-41.38524843.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-49.875691E-41.04217164.0E-50.0121750020.009436750.0095159951.00839758.0E-5
6.12.3476267E-51.8169216E-53.816885E-52.1007432.0E-51.0060869E-47.786576E-51.0786343E-41.38524843.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-49.875691E-41.04217164.0E-50.0121750020.009436750.0095159951.00839758.0E-5
6.22.3476267E-51.8169216E-53.816885E-52.1007432.0E-51.0060869E-47.786576E-51.0786343E-41.38524843.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-49.875691E-41.04217164.0E-50.0121750020.009436750.0095159951.00839758.0E-5
6.32.3476267E-51.8169216E-53.816885E-52.1007432.0E-51.0060869E-47.786576E-51.0786343E-41.38524843.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-49.875691E-41.04217164.0E-50.0121750020.009436750.0095159951.00839758.0E-5
6.42.3476267E-51.8169216E-53.816885E-52.1007432.0E-51.0060869E-47.786576E-51.0786343E-41.38524843.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-49.875691E-41.04217164.0E-50.0121750020.009436750.0095159951.00839758.0E-5
6.52.3476267E-51.8169216E-53.816885E-52.1007432.0E-51.0060869E-47.786576E-51.0786343E-41.38524843.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-49.875691E-41.04217164.0E-50.0121750020.009436750.0095159951.00839758.0E-5
6.62.3476267E-51.8169216E-53.816885E-52.1007432.0E-51.0060869E-47.786576E-51.0786343E-41.38524843.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-49.875691E-41.04217164.0E-50.0121750020.009436750.0095159951.00839758.0E-5
6.72.3476267E-51.8169216E-53.816885E-52.1007432.0E-51.0060869E-47.786576E-51.0786343E-41.38524843.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-49.875691E-41.04217164.0E-50.0121750020.009436750.0095159951.00839758.0E-5
6.82.3241924E-51.7936945E-53.793659E-52.1149972.0E-59.960445E-57.687038E-51.0686807E-41.39023733.0E-50.00121200959.354987E-49.7546127E-41.04271794.0E-50.0120542040.00931661950.0093958741.00850688.0E-5
6.92.2761007E-51.7432383E-53.7432037E-52.147272.0E-59.7543525E-57.47081E-51.04705854E-41.40153293.0E-50.00118694549.09195E-49.491586E-41.0439554.0E-50.0118062560.0090557410.0091350161.00875418.0E-5
7.02.240283E-51.7066137E-53.7065794E-52.17189152.0E-59.600859E-57.313856E-51.03136364E-41.41015043.0E-50.00116827778.9010154E-49.30066E-41.04489874.0E-50.0116215490.0088663360.0089456271.00894288.0E-5
7.12.1871154E-51.658602E-53.6585687E-52.20581482.0E-59.373015E-57.108103E-51.0107889E-41.42202353.0E-50.00114056718.6507126E-49.0503664E-41.0461994.0E-50.0113473090.0086179960.0086973071.0092038.0E-5
7.22.0714133E-51.5564563E-53.556425E-52.28495032.0E-58.8771834E-56.670358E-59.670158E-51.4497213.0E-50.00108026118.118168E-48.417924E-41.03692413.0E-50.0107502490.0080894430.0081489571.00735716.0E-5
7.31.8408395E-51.3996829E-53.3996548E-52.42887522.0E-57.8890735E-55.9985046E-58.9983245E-51.50009473.0E-59.600714E-47.300762E-47.600543E-41.04106163.0E-50.0095593420.00727764470.0073372081.00818446.0E-5
7.41.6856795E-51.285006E-51.285006E-51.00.07.2241404E-55.5070537E-56.506999E-51.18157531.0E-58.7918417E-46.7028037E-46.802737E-41.01490911.0E-50.008757140.00668340870.00672314131.0059454.0E-5
7.51.2822778E-59.577415E-69.577415E-61.00.05.495361E-54.1045427E-55.1045015E-51.24362251.0E-56.688548E-44.9961504E-45.0961005E-41.02000551.0E-50.0066684520.00498519230.00500509241.00399182.0E-5
7.65.6272684E-63.854899E-63.854899E-61.00.02.4116642E-51.6520893E-51.6520893E-51.00.02.9358055E-42.0112342E-42.0112342E-41.00.00.00293193010.00200942480.00201940471.00496651.0E-5
7.73.5261346E-62.3407094E-62.3407094E-61.00.01.5111918E-51.0031574E-51.0031574E-51.00.01.8397206E-41.2212765E-41.2212765E-41.00.00.00183819840.00122061270.00123060041.00818261.0E-5
7.81.4826929E-61.0564395E-61.0564395E-61.00.06.354383E-64.52759E-64.52759E-61.00.07.736187E-55.5122033E-55.5122033E-51.00.07.733494E-45.510856E-45.610801E-41.0181361.0E-5
7.92.7568166E-71.6977887E-71.6977887E-71.00.01.1814923E-67.276235E-77.276235E-71.00.01.4384574E-58.85878E-68.85878E-61.00.01.4383643E-48.858431E-58.858431E-51.00.0
8.05.407832E-82.688677E-82.688677E-81.00.02.3176422E-71.15229014E-71.15229014E-71.00.02.8217257E-61.4029123E-61.4029123E-61.00.02.8216898E-51.40290385E-51.40290385E-51.00.0

Kern Canyon (Lake Isabella) 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.2387383E-64.0016344E-62.4001554E-55.9979382.0E-51.8165894E-51.7149758E-55.714907E-53.33235434.0E-52.2114732E-42.0878017E-42.6876765E-41.28732366.0E-50.00220927360.0020860240.00216585721.03827058.0E-5
6.14.2387383E-64.0016344E-62.4001554E-55.9979382.0E-51.8165894E-51.7149758E-55.714907E-53.33235434.0E-52.2114732E-42.0878017E-42.6876765E-41.28732366.0E-50.00220927360.0020860240.00216585721.03827058.0E-5
6.24.2387383E-64.0016344E-62.4001554E-55.9979382.0E-51.8165894E-51.7149758E-55.714907E-53.33235434.0E-52.2114732E-42.0878017E-42.6876765E-41.28732366.0E-50.00220927360.0020860240.00216585721.03827058.0E-5
6.34.2387383E-64.0016344E-62.4001554E-55.9979382.0E-51.8165894E-51.7149758E-55.714907E-53.33235434.0E-52.2114732E-42.0878017E-42.6876765E-41.28732366.0E-50.00220927360.0020860240.00216585721.03827058.0E-5
6.44.2387383E-64.0016344E-62.4001554E-55.9979382.0E-51.8165894E-51.7149758E-55.714907E-53.33235434.0E-52.2114732E-42.0878017E-42.6876765E-41.28732366.0E-50.00220927360.0020860240.00216585721.03827058.0E-5
6.52.7857532E-62.5178624E-61.2517838E-54.9716131.0E-51.1938888E-51.0790796E-53.079058E-52.85341142.0E-51.4534626E-41.3137035E-41.613664E-41.2283323.0E-50.00145251230.00131295960.00134292021.02281923.0E-5
6.62.2233348E-61.944119E-61.1944099E-56.14370781.0E-59.528543E-68.331913E-62.8331746E-53.40038922.0E-51.1600384E-41.014364E-41.3143336E-41.29572183.0E-50.0011594330.00101390960.00104387921.02955843.0E-5
6.72.1635126E-61.8834991E-61.18834805E-56.30925751.0E-59.272164E-68.072114E-62.8071952E-53.47764562.0E-51.1288274E-49.827364E-51.282707E-41.305243.0E-50.00112825429.8231E-40.00101228051.03051033.0E-5
6.81.8685711E-61.583138E-61.1583122E-57.3165591.0E-58.008137E-66.7848596E-62.6784724E-53.94771962.0E-59.74947E-58.2602586E-51.1260011E-41.36315483.0E-59.745194E-48.2572375E-48.5569895E-41.03630173.0E-5
6.91.5815071E-61.3064887E-61.1306475E-58.6540941.0E-56.77787E-65.5992255E-62.5599113E-54.57190282.0E-58.251744E-56.816846E-59.816642E-51.44005623.0E-58.248681E-46.8147824E-47.114578E-41.04399193.0E-5
7.01.3772564E-61.1210681E-61.1121057E-59.9200541.0E-55.9025137E-64.8045686E-62.4804473E-55.16268442.0E-57.186073E-55.8494075E-58.849232E-51.51284243.0E-57.18375E-45.8478885E-46.1477127E-41.05127063.0E-5
7.11.0916998E-68.7637505E-71.0876366E-512.410631.0E-54.678705E-63.7558877E-62.3755812E-56.32495262.0E-55.6961744E-54.5726985E-57.572561E-51.65603773.0E-55.6947145E-44.571771E-44.871634E-41.065593.0E-5
7.27.6277024E-75.901439E-75.901439E-71.00.03.2690114E-62.5291856E-61.252916E-54.95383171.0E-53.9799485E-53.0792406E-55.079179E-51.64949082.0E-53.9792358E-43.07882E-43.2787584E-41.064942.0E-5
7.35.3265916E-74.3824264E-74.3824264E-71.00.02.282823E-61.8781814E-61.1878163E-56.32428931.0E-52.7793016E-52.2866623E-54.2866166E-51.87461722.0E-52.778954E-42.2864307E-42.486385E-41.08745252.0E-5
7.43.4946007E-73.0065647E-73.0065647E-71.00.01.497685E-61.2885271E-61.12885145E-58.7607891.0E-51.8234163E-51.5687707E-52.568755E-51.63743191.0E-51.8232666E-41.5686621E-41.6686464E-41.06373861.0E-5
7.51.8317026E-71.4244755E-71.4244755E-71.00.07.850152E-76.1048934E-76.1048934E-71.00.09.557518E-67.432683E-67.432683E-61.00.09.5571064E-57.432442E-57.432442E-51.00.0
7.62.572245E-81.735264E-81.735264E-81.00.01.10239064E-77.436845E-87.436845E-81.00.01.3421597E-69.0543557E-79.0543557E-71.00.01.3421517E-59.054324E-69.054324E-61.00.0

Oceanic - West Huasna

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.195567E-52.7926368E-53.792609E-51.35807451.0E-51.3694567E-41.19679185E-41.3967679E-41.16709342.0E-50.00166603840.00145616340.00148611961.02057213.0E-50.0165360330.014470770.0145200461.00340525.0E-5
6.12.1156782E-51.7573117E-51.7573117E-51.00.09.066878E-57.531123E-58.531048E-51.13277231.0E-50.00110333339.1653795E-49.265288E-41.01090061.0E-50.0109787130.0091285870.0091484041.00217092.0E-5
6.21.6195117E-51.3327227E-51.3327227E-51.00.06.9405796E-55.7115452E-56.711488E-51.1750741.0E-58.44688E-46.9516135E-47.051544E-41.01437511.0E-50.0084148440.00693016170.0069500231.00286592.0E-5
6.31.3559345E-51.1179013E-51.1179013E-51.00.05.811018E-54.7909183E-55.7908703E-51.20871831.0E-57.072618E-45.8313913E-45.931333E-41.01713861.0E-50.00705015050.0058162080.00583609151.00341872.0E-5
6.41.2120619E-51.0000874E-51.0000874E-51.00.05.1944477E-54.2860185E-55.285976E-51.23330681.0E-56.322405E-45.216983E-45.316931E-41.01915811.0E-50.0063044470.0052048040.00522469961.00382262.0E-5
6.51.13511915E-59.367378E-69.367378E-61.00.04.8647056E-54.0145293E-55.0144892E-51.24908521.0E-55.9211696E-44.886598E-44.9865484E-41.02045421.0E-50.00590541730.00487591140.00489581381.00408182.0E-5
6.69.850605E-68.1353155E-68.1353155E-61.00.04.2216197E-53.4865174E-53.4865174E-51.00.05.1386096E-44.2440102E-44.2440102E-41.00.00.00512674360.00423593770.00424589541.00235081.0E-5
6.78.8558645E-67.318341E-67.318341E-61.00.03.7953152E-53.1363943E-53.1363943E-51.00.04.6198163E-43.8178926E-43.8178926E-41.00.00.0046102240.00381135920.0038213211.00261381.0E-5
6.87.67136E-66.39169E-66.39169E-61.00.03.2876844E-52.739267E-52.739267E-51.00.04.0020206E-43.3345487E-43.3345487E-41.00.00.0039948210.00332956640.00332956641.00.0
6.96.534529E-65.458261E-65.458261E-61.00.02.8004823E-52.3392338E-52.3392338E-51.00.03.4090536E-42.8476462E-42.8476462E-41.00.00.00340382870.0028440140.0028440141.00.0
7.05.460525E-64.5699203E-64.5699203E-61.00.02.3402039E-51.9585226E-51.9585226E-51.00.02.8488258E-42.3842414E-42.3842414E-41.00.00.00284517650.00238169730.00238169731.00.0
7.14.4825083E-63.7524153E-63.7524153E-61.00.01.9210609E-51.6081682E-51.6081682E-51.00.02.3386406E-41.9577699E-41.9577699E-41.00.00.0023361810.0019560570.0019560571.00.0
7.22.821708E-62.424941E-62.424941E-61.00.01.2092979E-51.0392562E-51.0392562E-51.00.01.4722206E-41.265221E-41.265221E-41.00.00.00147124570.00126450320.00126450321.00.0
7.32.0644757E-61.7687502E-61.7687502E-61.00.08.847723E-67.580336E-67.580336E-61.00.01.0771569E-49.228668E-59.228668E-51.00.00.0010766359.224854E-49.224854E-41.00.0
7.41.6980367E-61.4379966E-61.4379966E-61.00.07.27728E-66.1628284E-66.1628284E-61.00.08.8597284E-57.502986E-57.502986E-51.00.08.8561967E-47.5004686E-47.5004686E-41.00.0
7.51.3637683E-61.1302697E-61.1302697E-61.00.05.844708E-64.844004E-64.844004E-61.00.07.1156996E-55.897415E-55.897415E-51.00.07.1134215E-45.8958656E-45.8958656E-41.00.0
7.69.802994E-77.6772847E-77.6772847E-71.00.04.2012766E-63.2902608E-63.2902608E-61.00.05.1149345E-54.005819E-54.005819E-51.00.05.113757E-44.0051117E-44.0051117E-41.00.0
7.75.986191E-74.0050708E-74.0050708E-71.00.02.5655079E-61.7164577E-61.7164577E-61.00.03.1234613E-52.0897673E-52.0897673E-51.00.03.123022E-42.0895849E-42.0895849E-41.00.0
7.82.9189815E-71.5285202E-71.5285202E-71.00.01.2509914E-66.5507993E-76.5507993E-71.00.01.5230714E-57.975569E-67.975569E-61.00.01.522967E-47.97542E-57.97542E-51.00.0
7.91.2057845E-74.6208047E-84.6208047E-81.00.05.1676466E-71.9803447E-71.9803447E-71.00.06.2915915E-62.411067E-62.411067E-61.00.06.2914136E-52.4111772E-52.4111772E-51.00.0
8.03.3806387E-99.0093144E-109.0093144E-101.00.01.4488451E-83.8611354E-93.8611354E-91.00.01.7639688E-74.7009323E-84.7009323E-81.00.01.7639674E-64.712806E-74.712806E-71.00.0

Coronado Bank alt1

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.533492E-59.3951705E-51.2394889E-41.3192833.0E-53.22824E-44.025903E-44.4257418E-41.09931664.0E-50.00392330070.0048911210.00495082751.01220726.0E-50.038547550.0479040.047970651.00139137.0E-5
6.14.1807285E-55.0493105E-57.04921E-51.39607372.0E-51.7916178E-42.1638138E-42.463749E-41.1386143.0E-50.00217911230.00263133650.00266125751.0113713.0E-50.0215786770.0260111240.0260500831.00149774.0E-5
6.24.1807285E-55.0493105E-57.04921E-51.39607372.0E-51.7916178E-42.1638138E-42.463749E-41.1386143.0E-50.00217911230.00263133650.00266125751.0113713.0E-50.0215786770.0260111240.0260500831.00149774.0E-5
6.33.1793104E-53.7711125E-53.7711125E-51.00.01.3624904E-41.6160926E-41.7160765E-41.06186761.0E-50.00165756980.0019658490.00197582921.00507691.0E-50.0164526030.0194884950.0195081051.00100622.0E-5
6.42.9878007E-53.5335797E-53.5335797E-51.00.01.2804232E-41.5143053E-41.6142902E-41.06602691.0E-50.00155780030.00184213950.00185212111.00541841.0E-50.0154692530.0182724630.01829211.00107462.0E-5
6.52.4512565E-52.8764101E-52.8764101E-51.00.01.0504962E-41.2326906E-41.3326782E-41.08111331.0E-50.00127822870.00149979430.00150977941.00665761.0E-50.0127090120.01489969250.0149193951.00132232.0E-5
6.62.1317413E-52.490667E-52.490667E-51.00.09.135714E-51.0673863E-41.1673757E-41.09367681.0E-50.00111170560.00129879030.00130877741.00768951.0E-50.0110616050.0129144070.0129341491.00152862.0E-5
6.71.8585655E-52.1634882E-52.1634882E-51.00.07.9650374E-59.271774E-51.0271681E-41.10784421.0E-59.6931186E-40.00112827440.0011382631.00885311.0E-50.00965094750.0112276230.01123751051.00088071.0E-5
6.81.5862879E-51.8419476E-51.8419476E-51.00.06.798199E-57.8938334E-58.8937544E-51.12667121.0E-58.273665E-49.606697E-49.7066007E-41.01039951.0E-50.0082429280.0095671510.00957705451.00103521.0E-5
6.91.3021509E-51.5095266E-51.5095266E-51.00.05.5805274E-56.46925E-57.4691845E-51.15456751.0E-56.792174E-47.873646E-47.973567E-41.01269051.0E-50.0067714520.0078475730.0078574941.00126431.0E-5
7.01.0974371E-51.2720105E-51.2720105E-51.00.04.7032172E-55.4513697E-56.451315E-51.18343021.0E-55.7246623E-46.635197E-46.7351304E-41.01506111.0E-50.00570993730.00661713540.00662706931.00150121.0E-5
7.18.766221E-61.0163833E-51.0163833E-51.00.03.7568978E-54.3558655E-55.355822E-51.22956551.0E-54.573063E-45.302148E-45.4020947E-41.01885031.0E-50.00456366360.0052911970.00530114441.00187991.0E-5
7.28.026024E-78.331776E-78.331776E-71.00.03.43972E-63.5707562E-63.5707562E-61.00.04.1877785E-54.34731E-54.34731E-51.00.04.1869894E-44.3464705E-44.3464705E-41.00.0
7.33.7293114E-73.700106E-73.700106E-71.00.01.5982754E-61.5857588E-61.5857588E-61.00.01.9458828E-51.9306442E-51.9306442E-51.00.01.9457124E-41.9304773E-41.9304773E-41.00.0
7.42.0557036E-71.9674441E-71.9674441E-71.00.08.810155E-78.4319004E-78.4319004E-71.00.01.0726311E-51.02657905E-51.02657905E-51.00.01.0725793E-41.026532E-41.026532E-41.00.0
7.56.845446E-86.2794086E-86.2794086E-81.00.02.9337625E-72.6911746E-72.6911746E-71.00.03.5718497E-63.2765004E-63.2765004E-61.00.03.5717923E-53.276453E-53.276453E-51.00.0
7.66.0975145E-95.531901E-95.531901E-91.00.02.6132206E-82.3708148E-82.3708148E-81.00.03.1815955E-72.8864667E-72.8864667E-71.00.03.181591E-62.886464E-62.886464E-61.00.0

Great Valley 09 (Laguna Seca)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.4353277E-57.050019E-59.0498776E-51.28366722.0E-52.3292181E-43.0211007E-43.2210402E-41.06618112.0E-50.00283213520.00367200560.0037218221.01356655.0E-50.027963120.0361158440.0361833161.00186827.0E-5
6.14.5578287E-55.822054E-57.8219375E-51.34350132.0E-51.953209E-42.4949352E-42.6948852E-41.08014242.0E-50.00237543830.00303335490.0030632641.009863.0E-50.0235020630.0299198930.0299586951.00129694.0E-5
6.22.8536782E-53.4736422E-55.4735727E-51.57574452.0E-51.2229476E-41.4886161E-41.6885863E-41.1343332.0E-50.00148792170.00181085760.00183082141.01102452.0E-50.0147799860.0179582760.0179877371.00164063.0E-5
6.32.3698774E-52.8213344E-53.8213064E-51.35443221.0E-51.01562226E-41.2090833E-41.3090711E-41.08269731.0E-50.00123581860.0014710510.00148103631.00678791.0E-50.0122896860.0146114550.0146311621.00134872.0E-5
6.41.9191197E-52.212289E-53.212267E-51.45201051.0E-58.2245395E-59.4808805E-51.04807856E-41.10546541.0E-50.00100087770.00115369060.00116367911.00865781.0E-50.0099638180.0114770220.0114967931.00172262.0E-5
6.51.5203241E-51.6801298E-51.6801298E-51.00.06.5155116E-57.200338E-57.200338E-51.00.07.9297484E-48.76301E-48.76301E-41.00.00.0079015120.0087295810.0087295811.00.0
6.61.0984925E-51.12425605E-51.12425605E-51.00.04.70774E-54.8181533E-54.8181533E-51.00.05.730166E-45.8645604E-45.8645604E-41.00.00.0057154130.00584947550.00584947551.00.0
6.79.134616E-69.019868E-69.019868E-61.00.03.9147766E-53.865602E-53.865602E-51.00.04.7651984E-44.7053778E-44.7053778E-41.00.00.0047549930.004695660.004695661.00.0
6.87.785589E-67.4519185E-67.4519185E-61.00.03.3366385E-53.1936415E-53.1936415E-51.00.04.0616E-43.887585E-43.887585E-41.00.00.00405418450.0038809880.0038809881.00.0
6.95.579095E-64.8984666E-64.8984666E-61.00.02.3910188E-52.0993268E-52.0993268E-51.00.02.9106764E-42.5556443E-42.5556443E-41.00.00.0029068670.00255284270.00255284271.00.0
7.02.6816688E-61.521587E-61.521587E-61.00.01.1492816E-56.521071E-66.521071E-61.00.01.3991605E-47.939124E-57.939124E-51.00.00.00139827997.936375E-47.936375E-41.00.0
7.11.9951021E-67.45357E-77.45357E-71.00.08.55041E-63.1943835E-63.1943835E-61.00.01.0409627E-43.889097E-53.889097E-51.00.00.00104047523.8884574E-43.8884574E-41.00.0
7.21.9951021E-67.45357E-77.45357E-71.00.08.55041E-63.1943835E-63.1943835E-61.00.01.0409627E-43.889097E-53.889097E-51.00.00.00104047523.8884574E-43.8884574E-41.00.0
7.31.7087556E-66.578663E-76.578663E-71.00.07.3232177E-62.819424E-62.819424E-61.00.08.915652E-53.432599E-53.432599E-51.00.08.9120766E-43.432109E-43.432109E-41.00.0
7.41.3804846E-66.0737113E-76.0737113E-71.00.05.916349E-62.6030168E-62.6030168E-61.00.07.2029165E-53.169131E-53.169131E-51.00.07.200583E-43.168719E-43.168719E-41.00.0
7.51.3804846E-66.0737113E-76.0737113E-71.00.05.916349E-62.6030168E-62.6030168E-61.00.07.2029165E-53.169131E-53.169131E-51.00.07.200583E-43.168719E-43.168719E-41.00.0

San Diego Trough north alt1

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.329252E-58.821269E-51.18210046E-41.34005713.0E-53.14073E-43.7800326E-44.0799193E-41.07933443.0E-50.00381713550.00459304870.0046328651.00866884.0E-50.037522310.0450451370.0451119841.0014847.0E-5
6.13.7940346E-54.4884906E-56.488401E-51.4455642.0E-51.6259136E-41.9235026E-42.1234641E-41.10395692.0E-50.00197775240.0023394310.00235938421.00852912.0E-50.0196024310.0231567320.0231860371.00126553.0E-5
6.22.8645263E-53.329672E-55.3296055E-51.60063972.0E-51.2275964E-41.4269259E-41.6268973E-41.14014152.0E-50.00149357390.00173592060.00175588591.01150132.0E-50.01483575350.0172262680.0172459221.00114112.0E-5
6.32.8645263E-53.329672E-55.3296055E-51.60063972.0E-51.2275964E-41.4269259E-41.6268973E-41.14014152.0E-50.00149357390.00173592060.00175588591.01150132.0E-50.01483575350.0172262680.0172459221.00114112.0E-5
6.42.2204576E-52.544832E-54.544781E-51.78588652.0E-59.5159E-51.0905972E-41.2905755E-41.18336572.0E-50.0011579450.00132700280.00134697631.01505162.0E-50.0115192980.0131919590.0132116951.00149612.0E-5
6.52.1004838E-52.4024695E-54.4024215E-51.83245672.0E-59.0017624E-51.0295897E-41.2295692E-41.19423212.0E-50.00109541360.00125281350.00127278841.01594412.0E-50.0109002960.0124585920.0124783421.00158542.0E-5
6.61.820557E-52.070479E-54.0704377E-51.965942.0E-57.802154E-58.8731824E-51.08730055E-41.22537832.0E-59.4949827E-40.00107977990.00109975841.01850222.0E-50.0094545160.0107460050.0107657911.00184122.0E-5
6.71.5884485E-51.7983646E-53.7983285E-52.11210162.0E-56.807459E-57.707051E-59.7068965E-51.25948262.0E-58.284929E-49.3793223E-49.5791346E-41.02130352.0E-50.0082541090.0093401040.0093599171.00212132.0E-5
6.81.4331171E-51.6201066E-52.6200903E-51.61723341.0E-56.141786E-56.94313E-57.94306E-51.14401721.0E-57.4750587E-48.450002E-48.549917E-41.01182441.0E-50.00744996450.0084181390.0084280551.00117791.0E-5
6.91.2574203E-51.4205835E-52.4205692E-51.70392611.0E-55.3888325E-56.0880735E-57.088013E-51.16424561.0E-56.558929E-47.409723E-47.5096486E-41.01348581.0E-50.00653960370.0073852030.00739512971.00134411.0E-5
7.01.0883844E-51.2289262E-52.2289138E-51.81370851.0E-54.664421E-55.2667205E-56.266668E-51.18986141.0E-55.677453E-46.4103556E-46.510292E-41.01558971.0E-50.005662970.0063919930.00640192861.00155451.0E-5
7.19.393088E-61.060702E-52.0606914E-51.94276191.0E-54.025547E-54.545787E-55.5457414E-51.21997391.0E-54.900001E-45.533098E-45.6330423E-41.01806311.0E-50.00488921070.0055194180.00552936271.00180171.0E-5
7.28.190791E-69.258625E-61.9258532E-52.08006381.0E-53.510292E-53.9679224E-54.9678827E-51.25201111.0E-54.2729423E-44.8298817E-44.929833E-41.02069451.0E-50.00426473560.0048194650.00482941651.0020651.0E-5
7.36.268162E-67.089716E-61.7089646E-52.41048381.0E-52.6863276E-53.0384144E-54.038384E-51.32910911.0E-53.2701128E-43.6986457E-43.7986087E-41.02702691.0E-50.0032653050.0036925360.0037024991.00269821.0E-5
7.44.985186E-65.6426816E-61.5642625E-52.7721971.0E-52.1364907E-52.4182698E-53.4182456E-51.41350881.0E-52.600867E-42.9438498E-43.0438203E-41.03395921.0E-50.0025978250.00293999140.0029499621.00339141.0E-5
7.51.7489613E-61.969678E-61.1969658E-56.0769621.0E-57.495527E-68.4414505E-61.8441366E-52.18462061.0E-59.125422E-51.02770035E-41.1276901E-41.09729461.0E-59.1216754E-40.00102724720.00103723691.00972471.0E-5
7.61.6988751E-71.7533823E-71.7533823E-71.00.07.2808916E-77.5144936E-77.5144936E-71.00.08.864449E-69.14886E-69.14886E-61.00.08.8640954E-59.1485024E-59.1485024E-51.00.0

San Jacinto (Superstition Mtn)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.4193904E-59.599558E-51.15993666E-41.20832292.0E-52.7508775E-44.1135435E-44.3134612E-41.04859982.0E-50.00334405010.00499816940.0050479191.00995365.0E-50.032941740.0488200450.0488866271.00136397.0E-5
6.16.4193904E-59.599558E-51.15993666E-41.20832292.0E-52.7508775E-44.1135435E-44.3134612E-41.04859982.0E-50.00334405010.00499816940.0050479191.00995365.0E-50.032941740.0488200450.0488866271.00136397.0E-5
6.25.7023593E-58.3144616E-51.0314296E-41.24052482.0E-52.4436394E-43.5629462E-43.762875E-41.05611342.0E-50.0029710720.00433090470.00438068851.01149495.0E-50.0293166250.0425024480.0425694731.0015777.0E-5
6.35.6940098E-58.298998E-51.0298831E-41.2409732.0E-52.4400617E-43.5563204E-43.7562495E-41.05621792.0E-50.0029667280.004322870.0043726541.01151635.0E-50.0292743310.042425820.042492851.00157997.0E-5
6.45.4171585E-57.748391E-58.748314E-51.12904911.0E-52.3214328E-43.3204095E-43.4203762E-41.03010681.0E-50.00282268130.00403675340.00407659171.0098694.0E-50.027870960.0397150260.0397726451.00145086.0E-5
6.54.375144E-55.6421442E-56.642088E-51.17722761.0E-51.874927E-42.417904E-42.5178798E-41.04134811.0E-50.00228033380.0029410.00298088231.01356084.0E-50.0225707570.0292355920.0292938391.00199236.0E-5
6.62.772192E-52.5488029E-53.5487774E-51.3923311.0E-51.1880282E-41.0922994E-41.1922885E-41.091541.0E-50.00144546460.00132908260.00135904271.0225423.0E-50.0143609860.0135408910.0135902141.00364265.0E-5
6.72.7124124E-52.4699055E-53.469881E-51.40486381.0E-51.1624106E-41.0584891E-41.1584785E-41.09446431.0E-50.00141431610.00128796780.00131792911.02326253.0E-50.0140534870.0131342480.0131835911.00375695.0E-5
6.82.5475807E-52.2164071E-53.2163847E-51.45117071.0E-51.0917746E-49.498548E-51.0498453E-41.10526921.0E-50.0013284250.00115584680.0011858121.0259253.0E-50.01320511850.0118218180.0118712271.00417955.0E-5
6.92.1162023E-51.762564E-52.7625465E-51.56734531.0E-59.069123E-57.553629E-58.553554E-51.13237671.0E-50.00110360649.1927015E-49.3925174E-41.02173642.0E-50.0109814170.0094467620.0094863841.00419434.0E-5
7.01.8754288E-51.616099E-52.6160827E-51.61876391.0E-58.037304E-56.9259564E-57.925887E-51.14437441.0E-59.781026E-48.429114E-48.628945E-41.02370732.0E-50.0097380870.0086699950.0087096481.00457364.0E-5
7.11.8678527E-51.6086136E-52.6085974E-51.62164331.0E-58.0048376E-56.8938774E-57.893809E-51.14504621.0E-59.7415317E-48.3900883E-48.5899205E-41.02381772.0E-50.0096989390.0086310110.0086706651.00459444.0E-5
7.21.7804578E-51.5380709E-52.5380556E-51.65015511.0E-57.6303106E-56.591567E-57.591501E-51.1516991.0E-59.285943E-48.022301E-48.2221406E-41.02491042.0E-50.0092472360.0082624240.00830209351.00480124.0E-5
7.31.6583685E-51.4529837E-52.4529692E-51.6882291.0E-57.1070994E-56.226926E-57.226864E-51.16058291.0E-58.649459E-47.5786654E-47.778514E-41.02636992.0E-50.008615870.0078176460.0078573331.00507664.0E-5
7.41.6387552E-51.4394727E-52.4394583E-51.69468881.0E-57.023047E-56.169024E-57.1689625E-51.16209021.0E-58.5472054E-47.508219E-47.7080686E-41.02661752.0E-50.0085144050.00774701870.00778670841.00512334.0E-5
7.51.5790754E-51.40354305E-52.4035291E-51.71247261.0E-56.767291E-56.015047E-57.0149865E-51.16623971.0E-58.236062E-47.320879E-47.5207325E-41.02729922.0E-50.0082056040.0075575810.0075972791.00525274.0E-5
7.61.4248672E-51.3054444E-52.3054314E-51.76601271.0E-56.106431E-55.5946428E-56.594587E-51.17873241.0E-57.432043E-46.809366E-47.00923E-41.02935142.0E-50.0074072370.0070401750.00707989371.00564174.0E-5
7.71.15449975E-51.0903222E-52.0903113E-51.91715011.0E-54.947762E-54.672726E-55.6726793E-51.21399781.0E-56.022235E-45.6875666E-45.887453E-41.03514442.0E-50.0060059410.00591025640.00594007881.00504593.0E-5
7.89.1391985E-69.5139185E-61.9513824E-52.05108171.0E-53.9167408E-54.0773306E-55.07729E-51.24524861.0E-54.767588E-44.963025E-45.162926E-41.0402782.0E-50.00475737270.0051768090.0052066541.00576513.0E-5
7.96.973017E-67.3817937E-61.738172E-52.35467431.0E-52.9884017E-53.163588E-54.163556E-51.31608681.0E-53.6377716E-43.8509927E-43.950954E-41.02595731.0E-50.00363182250.0040519760.0040718951.00491582.0E-5
8.05.7638235E-66.259641E-66.259641E-61.00.02.4701867E-52.682676E-52.682676E-51.00.03.0070372E-43.2656736E-43.2656736E-41.00.00.00300297140.00345354130.00346350671.00288561.0E-5
8.15.1124434E-65.4953657E-65.4953657E-61.00.02.1910288E-52.3551356E-52.3551356E-51.00.02.6672508E-42.8670052E-42.8670052E-41.00.00.00266405170.00304038960.00305035921.00327911.0E-5
8.21.1075938E-65.3348367E-75.3348367E-71.00.04.7468216E-62.2863567E-62.2863567E-61.00.05.779102E-52.7836059E-52.7836059E-51.00.05.777599E-43.133962E-43.133962E-41.00.0
8.31.3584393E-84.4718784E-94.4718784E-91.00.05.8218827E-81.9165192E-81.9165192E-81.00.07.0881396E-72.3333622E-72.3333622E-71.00.07.0881174E-62.6140672E-62.6140672E-61.00.0

Red Mountain

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.1810763E-54.7590016E-55.758954E-51.2101181.0E-51.7917668E-42.039422E-42.1394016E-41.04902351.0E-50.00217929340.00248033340.0025102591.01206523.0E-50.0215804520.024544110.0246026391.00238456.0E-5
6.14.1810763E-54.7590016E-55.758954E-51.2101181.0E-51.7917668E-42.039422E-42.1394016E-41.04902351.0E-50.00217929340.00248033340.0025102591.01206523.0E-50.0215804520.024544110.0246026391.00238456.0E-5
6.24.1810763E-54.7590016E-55.758954E-51.2101181.0E-51.7917668E-42.039422E-42.1394016E-41.04902351.0E-50.00217929340.00248033340.0025102591.01206523.0E-50.0215804520.024544110.0246026391.00238456.0E-5
6.34.1810763E-54.7590016E-55.758954E-51.2101181.0E-51.7917668E-42.039422E-42.1394016E-41.04902351.0E-50.00217929340.00248033340.0025102591.01206523.0E-50.0215804520.024544110.0246026391.00238456.0E-5
6.44.1810763E-54.7590016E-55.758954E-51.2101181.0E-51.7917668E-42.039422E-42.1394016E-41.04902351.0E-50.00217929340.00248033340.0025102591.01206523.0E-50.0215804520.024544110.0246026391.00238456.0E-5
6.53.154503E-53.5359757E-54.5359404E-51.28279731.0E-51.3518598E-41.5153353E-41.6153202E-41.0659821.0E-50.00164464670.00184345180.00187339651.01624383.0E-50.016325280.0182912440.0183501471.00322026.0E-5
6.63.1535834E-53.5349138E-54.5348785E-51.28288231.0E-51.3514658E-41.5148803E-41.6148652E-41.06600181.0E-50.00164416760.00184289870.00187284341.01624873.0E-50.016320560.0182858050.0183447081.00322136.0E-5
6.72.8267326E-53.1469353E-54.146904E-51.31775951.0E-51.2114006E-41.3486217E-41.4486082E-41.07413981.0E-50.00147388240.00164079540.00167074611.01825383.0E-50.0146414520.016295570.0163545941.00362196.0E-5
6.82.8212884E-53.1407242E-54.1406925E-51.31838791.0E-51.20906756E-41.3459599E-41.4459465E-41.07428651.0E-50.00147104570.00163755950.00166751041.01828993.0E-50.0146134590.0162636880.0163227111.00362926.0E-5
6.92.4227871E-52.6706994E-53.6706726E-51.37442371.0E-51.03829596E-41.1445395E-41.2445281E-41.08736131.0E-50.00126339230.00139266210.00141263421.0143412.0E-50.0125623360.01384703350.0138963411.00356095.0E-5
7.02.348524E-52.5835778E-53.583552E-51.38705021.0E-51.0064714E-41.10720495E-41.20719385E-41.09030751.0E-50.00122469010.0013472640.00136723711.01482492.0E-50.0121796270.0133985980.0134479271.00368185.0E-5
7.12.2311642E-52.4462845E-52.4462845E-51.00.09.561782E-51.04836974E-41.04836974E-41.00.00.00116352520.00127571760.00128570481.00782871.0E-50.011574520.012691460.0127309511.00311174.0E-5
7.21.6533986E-51.7670362E-51.7670362E-51.00.07.085802E-57.572828E-57.572828E-51.00.08.623549E-49.2166534E-49.316561E-41.01083991.0E-50.0085901610.0091847070.0092144311.00323633.0E-5
7.31.4703092E-51.5559537E-51.5559537E-51.00.06.301173E-56.668237E-56.668237E-51.00.07.668978E-48.1161706E-48.2160893E-41.01231111.0E-50.00764256580.0080926040.0081223611.00367713.0E-5
7.46.1331984E-65.5288874E-65.5288874E-61.00.02.6284872E-52.3695018E-52.3695018E-51.00.03.199713E-42.884492E-42.884492E-41.00.00.00319510980.00288080240.00289077361.00346121.0E-5
7.55.954766E-65.338517E-65.338517E-61.00.02.5520176E-52.2879161E-52.2879161E-51.00.03.1066386E-42.785187E-42.785187E-41.00.00.0031022990.00278175040.00279172251.00358491.0E-5
7.64.9726646E-64.315309E-64.315309E-61.00.02.1311245E-51.8494053E-51.8494053E-51.00.02.5943352E-42.2514217E-42.2514217E-41.00.00.00259130840.00224917540.0022591531.0044361.0E-5
7.73.3613894E-62.8526886E-62.8526886E-61.00.01.4405875E-51.22257525E-51.22257525E-51.00.01.7537741E-41.4883863E-41.4883863E-41.00.00.00175239080.00148741570.00149740091.0067131.0E-5
7.81.1828961E-61.0122935E-61.0122935E-61.00.05.069545E-64.338394E-64.338394E-61.00.06.171996E-55.281869E-55.281869E-51.00.06.170282E-45.280643E-45.3805904E-41.01892711.0E-5
7.92.2967266E-71.861919E-71.861919E-71.00.09.843111E-77.97965E-77.97965E-71.00.01.19839215E-59.715184E-69.715184E-61.00.01.1983275E-49.714788E-59.714788E-51.00.0

Dry Mountain

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.222801E-66.439381E-62.6439253E-54.10586832.0E-52.6668875E-52.7597147E-54.7596594E-51.72469262.0E-53.2464517E-43.3595937E-43.8594258E-41.14877755.0E-50.00324171320.00335607680.0034258421.02078777.0E-5
6.16.222801E-66.439381E-62.6439253E-54.10586832.0E-52.6668875E-52.7597147E-54.7596594E-51.72469262.0E-53.2464517E-43.3595937E-43.8594258E-41.14877755.0E-50.00324171320.00335607680.0034258421.02078777.0E-5
6.26.222801E-66.439381E-62.6439253E-54.10586832.0E-52.6668875E-52.7597147E-54.7596594E-51.72469262.0E-53.2464517E-43.3595937E-43.8594258E-41.14877755.0E-50.00324171320.00335607680.0034258421.02078777.0E-5
6.36.222801E-66.439381E-62.6439253E-54.10586832.0E-52.6668875E-52.7597147E-54.7596594E-51.72469262.0E-53.2464517E-43.3595937E-43.8594258E-41.14877755.0E-50.00324171320.00335607680.0034258421.02078777.0E-5
6.46.222801E-66.439381E-62.6439253E-54.10586832.0E-52.6668875E-52.7597147E-54.7596594E-51.72469262.0E-53.2464517E-43.3595937E-43.8594258E-41.14877755.0E-50.00324171320.00335607680.0034258421.02078777.0E-5
6.52.8528623E-62.9521684E-61.2952139E-54.38733051.0E-51.22264955E-51.2652138E-52.2652011E-51.79037021.0E-51.4884741E-41.540376E-41.8403298E-41.19472773.0E-50.00148747740.00154016160.00158011.02593144.0E-5
6.62.8528623E-62.9521684E-61.2952139E-54.38733051.0E-51.22264955E-51.2652138E-52.2652011E-51.79037021.0E-51.4884741E-41.540376E-41.8403298E-41.19472773.0E-50.00148747740.00154016160.00158011.02593144.0E-5
6.72.541E-62.6293578E-61.2629332E-54.80321.0E-51.0889954E-51.1268677E-52.1268565E-51.88740561.0E-51.3257713E-41.3719614E-41.6719202E-41.21863513.0E-50.00132498060.00137196130.00141190641.02911534.0E-5

San Juan

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.682808E-68.74917E-68.74917E-61.00.03.72115E-53.749593E-53.749593E-51.00.04.5295584E-44.5642213E-44.76413E-41.0437992.0E-50.0045203370.0045553890.004625071.01529657.0E-5
6.18.682808E-68.74917E-68.74917E-61.00.03.72115E-53.749593E-53.749593E-51.00.04.5295584E-44.5642213E-44.76413E-41.0437992.0E-50.0045203370.0045553890.004625071.01529657.0E-5
6.28.682808E-68.74917E-68.74917E-61.00.03.72115E-53.749593E-53.749593E-51.00.04.5295584E-44.5642213E-44.76413E-41.0437992.0E-50.0045203370.0045553890.004625071.01529657.0E-5
6.36.3054235E-66.282591E-66.282591E-61.00.02.7022963E-52.692512E-52.692512E-51.00.03.2895492E-43.2776545E-43.4775888E-41.06099932.0E-50.0032846840.00327302050.00334279151.0213177.0E-5
6.46.1490473E-66.1144706E-66.1144706E-61.00.02.6352795E-52.6204618E-52.6204618E-51.00.03.2079802E-43.189959E-43.389895E-41.06267682.0E-50.00320335340.00318557680.00325535381.0219047.0E-5
6.55.204848E-65.137238E-65.137238E-61.00.02.23063E-52.2016555E-52.2016555E-51.00.02.7154534E-42.6801953E-42.7801684E-41.03730071.0E-50.00271213780.00267711720.00272698351.01862685.0E-5
6.64.5179986E-64.415036E-64.415036E-61.00.01.9362706E-51.892145E-51.892145E-51.00.02.3571544E-42.303451E-42.403428E-41.04340311.0E-50.00235465590.00230120080.00234110891.01734224.0E-5
6.73.9442616E-63.8198336E-63.8198336E-61.00.01.6903869E-51.6370615E-51.6370615E-51.00.02.0578515E-41.9929469E-41.9929469E-41.00.00.0020559470.0019912850.00202122521.01503563.0E-5
6.83.4536245E-63.3163408E-63.3163408E-61.00.01.4801163E-51.4212815E-51.4212815E-51.00.01.8018926E-41.7302789E-41.7302789E-41.00.00.00180043220.0017290510.00175899911.01732053.0E-5
6.93.059865E-62.9120363E-62.9120363E-61.00.01.3113641E-51.2480099E-51.2480099E-51.00.01.596469E-41.5193518E-41.5193518E-41.00.00.00159532240.00151842810.00154838261.01972723.0E-5
7.02.6504351E-62.492005E-62.492005E-61.00.01.1358958E-51.0679981E-51.0679981E-51.00.01.3828653E-41.3002155E-41.3002155E-41.00.00.00138200520.0012995670.0013295281.02305463.0E-5
7.12.2039317E-62.0338366E-62.0338366E-61.00.09.445387E-68.716416E-68.716416E-61.00.01.1499152E-41.0611773E-41.0611773E-41.00.00.00114932030.00106078110.00109074921.0282513.0E-5
7.21.0786707E-68.770239E-78.770239E-71.00.04.622866E-63.7586685E-63.7586685E-61.00.05.628194E-54.576084E-54.576084E-51.00.05.6267687E-44.5757365E-44.5757365E-41.00.0
7.36.846433E-74.868812E-74.868812E-71.00.02.9341822E-62.086632E-62.086632E-61.00.03.5723086E-52.5404452E-52.5404452E-51.00.03.571734E-42.5405022E-42.5405022E-41.00.0
7.45.23043E-73.2627884E-73.2627884E-71.00.02.2416111E-61.3983371E-61.3983371E-61.00.02.7291273E-51.7024622E-51.7024622E-51.00.02.7287923E-41.7026608E-41.7026608E-41.00.0
7.54.648444E-72.723464E-72.723464E-71.00.01.9921886E-61.1671983E-61.1671983E-61.00.02.4254627E-51.4210547E-51.4210547E-51.00.02.425198E-41.4212691E-41.4212691E-41.00.0
7.63.9906567E-72.2083036E-72.2083036E-71.00.01.7102802E-69.4641547E-79.4641547E-71.00.02.0822463E-51.1522548E-51.1522548E-51.00.02.0820512E-41.15244526E-41.15244526E-41.00.0
7.71.8784601E-75.366277E-85.366277E-81.00.08.0505407E-72.2998329E-72.2998329E-71.00.09.80149E-62.800043E-62.800043E-61.00.09.801057E-52.8008939E-52.8008939E-51.00.0
7.81.00154914E-71.2412917E-81.2412917E-81.00.04.2923529E-75.3198217E-85.3198217E-81.00.05.225927E-66.476881E-76.476881E-71.00.05.225804E-56.4827886E-66.4827886E-61.00.0
7.96.171429E-84.2946513E-94.2946513E-91.00.02.6448978E-71.8405647E-81.8405647E-81.00.03.2201583E-62.2408874E-72.2408874E-71.00.03.2201115E-52.2462114E-62.2462114E-61.00.0
8.01.3974572E-83.3737857E-103.3737857E-101.00.05.989102E-81.4459075E-91.4459075E-91.00.07.2917294E-71.760392E-81.760392E-81.00.07.2917055E-61.8038004E-71.8038004E-71.00.0
8.11.8403477E-91.1291601E-101.1291601E-101.00.07.887204E-94.839261E-104.839261E-101.00.09.602671E-85.8917977E-95.8917977E-91.00.09.602667E-76.0206084E-86.0206084E-81.00.0

Hayward (So) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.8091932E-43.570673E-43.570673E-41.00.07.751381E-40.00152940080.00153938551.00652851.0E-50.009396540.0184638850.0185031461.00212634.0E-50.0900900660.16670850.16675851.00029996.0E-5
6.11.8091932E-43.570673E-43.570673E-41.00.07.751381E-40.00152940080.00153938551.00652851.0E-50.009396540.0184638850.0185031461.00212634.0E-50.0900900660.16670850.16675851.00029996.0E-5
6.21.8091932E-43.570673E-43.570673E-41.00.07.751381E-40.00152940080.00153938551.00652851.0E-50.009396540.0184638850.0185031461.00212634.0E-50.0900900660.16670850.16675851.00029996.0E-5
6.31.7322872E-43.4263515E-43.4263515E-41.00.07.4219756E-40.00146761970.0014776051.00680381.0E-50.00899887550.0177241470.017763441.00221684.0E-50.086430750.160659540.16070991.00031346.0E-5
6.41.6334097E-43.2345165E-43.2345165E-41.00.06.998449E-40.00138549360.00139547981.00720761.0E-50.0084873720.0167399270.0167792571.00234954.0E-50.0817044150.152566060.15261691.00033336.0E-5
6.51.5600289E-43.101982E-43.101982E-41.00.06.684125E-40.00132875180.00133873851.00751591.0E-50.0081075980.0160594430.0160988011.00245074.0E-50.0781810360.146842910.14689411.00034866.0E-5
6.61.4046066E-42.8034003E-42.8034003E-41.00.06.018354E-40.00120091090.00121089891.0083171.0E-50.00730275550.0145245710.014563991.00271394.0E-50.070673840.133930440.133982421.0003886.0E-5
6.71.14696966E-42.3272466E-42.3272466E-41.00.04.914658E-49.970153E-40.00100700521.01001991.0E-50.00596719240.0120721630.0121116811.00327344.0E-50.0580948220.112741410.1127946451.00047226.0E-5
6.89.3874296E-51.8862431E-41.8862431E-41.00.04.0225635E-48.081431E-48.1813504E-41.0123641.0E-50.00488647870.0097954890.0098251951.00303273.0E-50.0478041730.0925929840.092629281.0003924.0E-5
6.95.551852E-51.0729875E-41.0729875E-41.00.02.3791482E-44.5977137E-44.6976676E-41.021741.0E-50.00289276540.0055834680.00559341161.0017811.0E-50.0285539810.0542460750.054255531.00017441.0E-5
7.04.2662363E-58.246792E-58.246792E-51.00.01.8282588E-43.5338648E-43.6338295E-41.02828761.0E-50.00222363280.00429406580.0043040231.00231871.0E-50.0220151380.042065090.042074671.00022771.0E-5
7.13.305886E-56.302183E-56.302183E-51.00.01.4167312E-42.7006568E-42.7006568E-41.00.00.00172350560.0032831110.0032831111.00.00.0171019980.0324539020.0324539021.00.0
7.22.9856887E-55.701622E-55.701622E-51.00.01.2795182E-42.4433242E-42.4433242E-41.00.00.00155670010.00297070620.00297070621.00.00.0154584030.0294548010.0294548011.00.0
7.32.4559737E-54.599286E-54.599286E-51.00.01.0525176E-41.9709744E-41.9709744E-41.00.00.00128068690.00239703340.00239703341.00.00.0127333130.0238585160.0238585161.00.0
7.41.9002231E-53.505084E-53.505084E-51.00.08.143559E-51.502093E-41.502093E-41.00.09.910273E-40.0018272740.0018272741.00.00.0098661940.0182588080.0182588081.00.0
7.51.2783333E-52.3331182E-52.3331182E-51.00.05.4784563E-59.998698E-59.998698E-51.00.06.667979E-40.00121666750.00121666751.00.00.0066480070.0122094430.0122094431.00.0
7.64.8149627E-68.888056E-68.888056E-61.00.02.063539E-53.8091122E-53.8091122E-51.00.02.5120692E-44.6366194E-44.6366194E-41.00.00.00250923140.00468050870.00468050871.00.0
7.76.0838227E-71.205754E-61.205754E-61.00.02.6073499E-65.1675065E-65.1675065E-61.00.03.174402E-56.291258E-56.291258E-51.00.03.1739488E-46.5296254E-46.5296254E-41.00.0
7.84.5542808E-79.792941E-79.792941E-71.00.01.9518332E-64.196968E-64.196968E-61.00.02.376331E-55.109689E-55.109689E-51.00.02.3760769E-45.321693E-45.321693E-41.00.0
7.93.3016747E-77.3869535E-77.3869535E-71.00.01.4150027E-63.1658333E-63.1658333E-61.00.01.7227521E-53.854334E-53.854334E-51.00.01.7226185E-43.9932923E-43.9932923E-41.00.0
8.02.347038E-75.471963E-75.471963E-71.00.01.0058731E-62.3451248E-62.3451248E-61.00.01.2246436E-52.8551523E-52.8551523E-51.00.01.2245761E-42.9357258E-42.9357258E-41.00.0
8.11.18822804E-72.6060948E-72.6060948E-71.00.05.092405E-71.1168972E-61.1168972E-61.00.06.1999854E-61.359814E-51.359814E-51.00.06.199812E-51.3918082E-41.3918082E-41.00.0

Rinconada 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5752368E-51.6274716E-54.627423E-52.84332013.0E-56.75084E-56.974694E-51.1974345E-41.71682745.0E-58.2160486E-48.488413E-48.987988E-41.05885395.0E-50.0081857390.008456370.0085158631.00703536.0E-5
6.11.0966133E-51.1323029E-52.1322916E-51.88314591.0E-54.6996865E-54.852637E-56.85254E-51.4121272.0E-55.720366E-45.9064914E-46.106373E-41.0338412.0E-50.00570566350.0058908890.00592071241.00506263.0E-5
6.21.0966133E-51.1323029E-52.1322916E-51.88314591.0E-54.6996865E-54.852637E-56.85254E-51.4121272.0E-55.720366E-45.9064914E-46.106373E-41.0338412.0E-50.00570566350.0058908890.00592071241.00506263.0E-5
6.38.926149E-69.212772E-61.9212679E-52.08543971.0E-53.8254362E-53.948271E-54.9482318E-51.25326541.0E-54.6564735E-44.8059633E-44.905915E-41.02079751.0E-50.00464672830.00479561460.0048155191.00415052.0E-5
6.47.676955E-67.920191E-61.7920112E-52.26258591.0E-53.290082E-53.3943234E-54.3942895E-51.29459951.0E-54.0049385E-44.131807E-44.2317656E-41.02419251.0E-50.00399772870.0041241510.0041440691.00482952.0E-5
6.56.1671026E-66.358955E-66.358955E-61.00.02.6430173E-52.725238E-52.725238E-51.00.03.2173982E-43.317473E-43.317473E-41.00.00.0032127440.00331253260.00332249961.00300881.0E-5
6.65.553456E-65.7248126E-65.7248126E-61.00.02.3800309E-52.4534682E-52.4534682E-51.00.02.897302E-42.9866886E-42.9866886E-41.00.00.00289352770.00298268320.00299265351.00334261.0E-5
6.74.787857E-64.93331E-64.93331E-61.00.02.0519226E-52.1142585E-52.1142585E-51.00.02.4979294E-42.573806E-42.573806E-41.00.00.00249512350.0025708310.00258080521.00387981.0E-5
6.83.9955166E-64.1134763E-64.1134763E-61.00.01.7123532E-51.7629065E-51.7629065E-51.00.02.0845905E-42.1461275E-42.1461275E-41.00.00.0020826360.00214405870.00214405871.00.0
6.93.4250072E-63.5224466E-63.5224466E-61.00.01.46785205E-51.5096112E-51.5096112E-51.00.01.7869633E-41.8377969E-41.8377969E-41.00.00.0017855270.00183627950.00183627951.00.0
7.02.7712713E-62.8467002E-62.8467002E-61.00.01.1876823E-51.22000865E-51.22000865E-51.00.01.4459073E-41.4852594E-41.4852594E-41.00.00.00144496680.00148426830.00148426831.00.0
7.12.227358E-62.2856987E-62.2856987E-61.00.09.545785E-69.795815E-69.795815E-61.00.01.16213734E-41.1925753E-41.1925753E-41.00.00.00116152980.00119193630.00119193631.00.0
7.21.581796E-61.6209015E-61.6209015E-61.00.06.779108E-66.946702E-66.946702E-61.00.08.253252E-58.4572814E-58.4572814E-51.00.08.250187E-48.4540684E-48.4540684E-41.00.0
7.31.0306567E-61.054648E-61.054648E-61.00.04.4170924E-64.519912E-64.519912E-61.00.05.3776774E-55.502854E-55.502854E-51.00.05.376376E-45.501494E-45.501494E-41.00.0
7.46.535541E-76.682744E-76.682744E-71.00.02.800943E-62.8640302E-62.8640302E-61.00.03.4100947E-53.4869012E-53.4869012E-51.00.03.4095717E-43.486355E-43.486355E-41.00.0
7.53.2656962E-73.3316712E-73.3316712E-71.00.01.3995833E-61.4278584E-61.4278584E-61.00.01.7039794E-51.7384036E-51.7384036E-51.00.01.7038487E-41.738268E-41.738268E-41.00.0
7.69.754343E-89.821017E-89.821017E-81.00.04.180432E-74.2090065E-74.2090065E-71.00.05.089664E-65.1244533E-65.1244533E-61.00.05.0895473E-55.124336E-55.124336E-51.00.0
7.76.0001453E-95.8491207E-95.8491207E-91.00.02.5714908E-82.506766E-82.506766E-81.00.03.1307894E-73.051987E-73.051987E-71.00.03.1307852E-63.0519832E-63.0519832E-61.00.0
7.87.400003E-117.4654505E-117.4654505E-111.00.03.171432E-103.1994773E-103.1994773E-101.00.03.861218E-93.895363E-93.895363E-91.00.03.861218E-83.895363E-83.895363E-81.00.0

Monterey Bay-Tularcitos

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0131365E-53.279877E-55.2798114E-51.6097592.0E-51.2912804E-41.4055918E-41.6055637E-41.14226882.0E-50.0015710.00171007030.00175998481.02918855.0E-50.0155994020.0169799160.0170388991.00347366.0E-5
6.13.0131365E-53.279877E-55.2798114E-51.6097592.0E-51.2912804E-41.4055918E-41.6055637E-41.14226882.0E-50.0015710.00171007030.00175998481.02918855.0E-50.0155994020.0169799160.0170388991.00347366.0E-5
6.23.0131365E-53.279877E-55.2798114E-51.6097592.0E-51.2912804E-41.4055918E-41.6055637E-41.14226882.0E-50.0015710.00171007030.00175998481.02918855.0E-50.0155994020.0169799160.0170388991.00347366.0E-5
6.31.6998249E-51.8330798E-53.8330432E-52.091042.0E-57.28476E-57.85583E-59.855673E-51.2545682.0E-58.865586E-49.5604634E-49.760272E-41.02089952.0E-50.00883030050.0095212580.0095410671.00208062.0E-5
6.41.6998249E-51.8330798E-53.8330432E-52.091042.0E-57.28476E-57.85583E-59.855673E-51.2545682.0E-58.865586E-49.5604634E-49.760272E-41.02089952.0E-50.00883030050.0095212580.0095410671.00208062.0E-5
6.51.27470785E-51.3693312E-52.3693176E-51.73027351.0E-55.4629192E-55.8684363E-56.8683774E-51.17039311.0E-56.649074E-47.1425823E-47.242511E-41.01399051.0E-50.00662921460.0071206780.0071306071.00139441.0E-5
6.61.2739422E-51.36854E-52.3685263E-51.73069571.0E-55.4596385E-55.8650454E-56.864987E-51.17049171.0E-56.645082E-47.1384566E-47.238385E-41.01399861.0E-50.00662524670.0071165790.0071265081.00139521.0E-5
6.71.0160109E-51.0885755E-52.0885645E-51.91862181.0E-54.35426E-54.665244E-55.6651974E-51.2143411.0E-55.300022E-45.6785246E-45.778468E-41.01760021.0E-50.0052873990.00566472630.00567466951.00175541.0E-5
6.88.349859E-68.932587E-61.8932498E-52.11948661.0E-53.578462E-53.8281985E-54.8281603E-51.26120951.0E-54.3559066E-44.6598914E-44.759845E-41.02144971.0E-50.0043473780.0046506850.00466063851.00214021.0E-5
6.95.193639E-65.53643E-65.53643E-61.00.02.2258262E-52.372736E-52.372736E-51.00.02.7096065E-42.8884556E-42.8884556E-41.00.00.00270630510.00288502240.00288502241.00.0
7.04.359381E-64.643366E-64.643366E-61.00.01.8682927E-51.9900004E-51.9900004E-51.00.02.274409E-42.422586E-42.422586E-41.00.00.00227208270.0024202380.0024202381.00.0
7.13.0398533E-63.2310427E-63.2310427E-61.00.01.3027877E-51.3847267E-51.3847267E-51.00.01.5860285E-41.6858005E-41.6858005E-41.00.00.0015848970.00168477930.00168477931.00.0
7.21.642335E-61.7333153E-61.7333153E-61.00.07.0385595E-67.428485E-67.428485E-61.00.08.569109E-59.044012E-59.044012E-51.00.08.5658056E-49.042358E-49.042358E-41.00.0
7.33.356842E-73.2952389E-73.2952389E-71.00.01.4386458E-61.4122445E-61.4122445E-61.00.01.7515373E-51.7193941E-51.7193941E-51.00.01.7513991E-41.719262E-41.719262E-41.00.0
7.42.1973483E-72.1006414E-72.1006414E-71.00.09.417204E-79.002746E-79.002746E-71.00.01.1465385E-51.0960788E-51.0960788E-51.00.01.1464794E-41.0960251E-41.0960251E-41.00.0
7.51.1944135E-71.0696035E-71.0696035E-71.00.05.118914E-74.5840142E-74.5840142E-71.00.06.23226E-65.581023E-65.581023E-61.00.06.2320854E-55.5808843E-55.5808843E-51.00.0
7.64.636058E-83.3364433E-83.3364433E-81.00.01.9868818E-71.4299042E-71.4299042E-71.00.02.419026E-61.740907E-61.740907E-61.00.02.4189996E-51.7408936E-51.7408936E-51.00.0
7.71.8588572E-88.003168E-98.003168E-91.00.07.9665305E-83.429929E-83.429929E-81.00.09.699246E-74.1759378E-74.1759378E-71.00.09.699204E-64.1759304E-64.1759304E-61.00.0
7.82.7960154E-97.608624E-107.608624E-101.00.01.1982923E-83.2608392E-93.2608392E-91.00.01.4589209E-73.9700716E-83.9700716E-81.00.01.4589199E-63.970071E-73.970071E-71.00.0

Sheephole

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5579695E-64.7412627E-62.4741168E-55.21826552.0E-51.9534009E-52.031957E-55.031896E-52.47637923.0E-52.3780059E-42.473682E-43.073534E-41.24249346.0E-50.00237546280.0024714730.00253132471.0242176.0E-5
6.14.5579695E-64.7412627E-62.4741168E-55.21826552.0E-51.9534009E-52.031957E-55.031896E-52.47637923.0E-52.3780059E-42.473682E-43.073534E-41.24249346.0E-50.00237546280.0024714730.00253132471.0242176.0E-5
6.22.6677674E-62.7873941E-62.2787339E-58.175142.0E-51.1433239E-51.1945926E-54.194557E-53.51128633.0E-51.3919079E-41.4543302E-41.9542576E-41.34375085.0E-50.00139103640.00145348440.00150341171.034355.0E-5
6.32.6677674E-62.7873941E-62.2787339E-58.175142.0E-51.1433239E-51.1945926E-54.194557E-53.51128633.0E-51.3919079E-41.4543302E-41.9542576E-41.34375085.0E-50.00139103640.00145348440.00150341171.034355.0E-5
6.42.2159759E-62.3228788E-62.2322833E-59.6099862.0E-59.497005E-69.955161E-63.9954863E-54.0134823.0E-51.156199E-41.2119815E-41.7119209E-41.41249755.0E-50.00115559760.00121139990.00126133931.04122465.0E-5
6.52.1986082E-62.304759E-62.2304714E-59.6776772.0E-59.4225725E-69.877506E-63.987721E-54.03717373.0E-51.1471378E-41.2025281E-41.702468E-41.41574075.0E-50.00114654580.00120195660.00125189661.04154885.0E-5
6.61.5232331E-61.6018919E-61.6018919E-61.00.06.5281256E-66.865234E-61.6865166E-52.45660471.0E-57.947703E-58.35812E-51.13578695E-41.35890233.0E-57.9448614E-48.3551643E-48.6549134E-41.03587593.0E-5
6.71.3137362E-61.382819E-61.382819E-61.00.05.6302856E-65.926355E-61.5926295E-52.6873681.0E-56.854657E-57.215112E-51.0214896E-41.4157643.0E-56.8525434E-47.212908E-47.512692E-41.04156213.0E-5
6.81.2275751E-61.2922847E-61.2922847E-61.00.05.2610258E-65.5383516E-61.5538297E-52.80558131.0E-56.4051106E-56.7427485E-59.742546E-51.44489243.0E-56.4032647E-46.740836E-47.040634E-41.04447483.0E-5
6.91.1837088E-61.246102E-61.246102E-61.00.05.0730278E-65.340427E-61.5340374E-52.87249951.0E-56.176237E-56.501789E-59.5015945E-51.46138143.0E-56.17452E-46.5000186E-46.7998236E-41.04612373.0E-5
7.09.849371E-71.0366288E-61.0366288E-61.00.04.2211523E-64.442688E-61.4442643E-53.25087951.0E-55.1391315E-55.4088487E-57.40874E-51.36974442.0E-55.137943E-45.407633E-45.6075247E-41.03696482.0E-5
7.18.1643645E-78.591669E-78.591669E-71.00.03.4990085E-63.682139E-61.3682103E-53.71580271.0E-54.2599597E-54.482921E-56.482832E-51.44611762.0E-54.259143E-44.4821028E-44.6820132E-41.04460192.0E-5
7.25.7295756E-76.029502E-76.029502E-71.00.02.45553E-62.58407E-61.2584044E-54.8698541.0E-52.9895667E-53.1460666E-55.1460036E-51.63569442.0E-52.9891645E-43.145688E-43.3456253E-41.0635592.0E-5

Santa Susana alt 1

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.674877E-52.7198214E-54.719767E-51.73532252.0E-51.1463255E-41.16559204E-41.3655688E-41.17156662.0E-50.00139475780.00141829810.00143826971.01408142.0E-50.0138603620.0141043880.0141635421.0041946.0E-5
6.12.674877E-52.7198214E-54.719767E-51.73532252.0E-51.1463255E-41.16559204E-41.3655688E-41.17156662.0E-50.00139475780.00141829810.00143826971.01408142.0E-50.0138603620.0141043880.0141635421.0041946.0E-5
6.22.674877E-52.7198214E-54.719767E-51.73532252.0E-51.1463255E-41.16559204E-41.3655688E-41.17156662.0E-50.00139475780.00141829810.00143826971.01408142.0E-50.0138603620.0141043880.0141635421.0041946.0E-5
6.32.674877E-52.7198214E-54.719767E-51.73532252.0E-51.1463255E-41.16559204E-41.3655688E-41.17156662.0E-50.00139475780.00141829810.00143826971.01408142.0E-50.0138603620.0141043880.0141635421.0041946.0E-5
6.42.674877E-52.7198214E-54.719767E-51.73532252.0E-51.1463255E-41.16559204E-41.3655688E-41.17156662.0E-50.00139475780.00141829810.00143826971.01408142.0E-50.0138603620.0141043880.0141635421.0041946.0E-5
6.52.674877E-52.7198214E-54.719767E-51.73532252.0E-51.1463255E-41.16559204E-41.3655688E-41.17156662.0E-50.00139475780.00141829810.00143826971.01408142.0E-50.0138603620.0141043880.0141635421.0041946.0E-5
6.62.6647976E-52.7074553E-54.7074012E-51.73868112.0E-51.14200615E-41.16029274E-41.3602695E-41.17235032.0E-50.00138950560.00141185460.00143182641.01414572.0E-50.0138084940.0140407730.014099931.00421326.0E-5
6.72.6647976E-52.7074553E-54.7074012E-51.73868112.0E-51.14200615E-41.16029274E-41.3602695E-41.17235032.0E-50.00138950560.00141185460.00143182641.01414572.0E-50.0138084940.0140407730.014099931.00421326.0E-5
6.81.9073179E-51.7637467E-53.7637114E-52.13392972.0E-58.1739636E-57.558706E-59.558554E-51.26457562.0E-59.947256E-49.19902E-49.398836E-41.02172152.0E-50.0099028480.0091633610.0092228111.00648786.0E-5
6.91.9041876E-51.7619597E-53.7619247E-52.13507962.0E-58.160549E-57.551048E-59.550897E-51.2648442.0E-59.930939E-49.189705E-49.389521E-41.02174352.0E-50.00988667550.0091541230.0092135741.00649446.0E-5
7.01.5917482E-51.3864049E-53.3863773E-52.442562.0E-56.8215995E-55.9416023E-57.941484E-51.33658962.0E-58.302132E-47.2315463E-47.431402E-41.02763662.0E-50.0082711850.00720906720.00726863461.00826296.0E-5
7.11.577788E-51.3744056E-53.374378E-52.45515472.0E-56.761774E-55.890179E-57.8900615E-51.33952822.0E-58.2293496E-47.16898E-47.3688367E-41.02787792.0E-50.0081989410.00714690420.0072064761.00833526.0E-5
7.21.5416446E-51.34701295E-53.346986E-52.48474672.0E-56.606882E-55.7727877E-57.772672E-51.3464332.0E-58.0409093E-47.026149E-47.2260085E-41.02844512.0E-50.0080118770.00700497630.00706455621.00850536.0E-5
7.31.4534083E-51.2718032E-53.2717777E-52.57255032.0E-56.228744E-55.4504737E-57.4503645E-51.36692062.0E-57.580857E-46.633976E-46.833843E-41.03012792.0E-50.0075550480.00661517170.0066747751.00901016.0E-5
7.41.2858995E-51.1229814E-52.1229702E-51.89047671.0E-55.5108816E-54.812691E-55.812643E-51.20777391.0E-56.7074323E-45.8579154E-45.957857E-41.01706091.0E-50.00668722340.00584339020.0058930981.00850675.0E-5
7.58.827668E-67.805494E-61.7805416E-52.2811391.0E-53.7832317E-53.3451703E-54.3451368E-51.29892851.0E-54.605111E-44.072008E-44.1719674E-41.02454791.0E-50.00459557960.00406489850.00409477671.00735023.0E-5
7.63.2533426E-62.8720106E-62.8720106E-61.00.01.3942822E-51.230856E-51.230856E-51.00.01.6974064E-41.4984679E-41.4984679E-41.00.00.00169611040.00149749430.00151746441.01333562.0E-5
7.71.2751709E-61.1491339E-61.1491339E-61.00.05.4650063E-64.9248506E-64.9248506E-61.00.06.653442E-55.99585E-55.99585E-51.00.06.6514505E-45.9943215E-46.094261E-41.01667251.0E-5
7.83.067544E-73.240052E-73.240052E-71.00.01.3146611E-61.3885931E-61.3885931E-61.00.01.600588E-51.6906E-51.6906E-51.00.01.6004729E-41.6904817E-41.6904817E-41.00.0
7.97.622999E-88.0879715E-88.0879715E-81.00.03.2669993E-73.4662733E-73.4662733E-71.00.03.977564E-64.220182E-64.220182E-61.00.03.977493E-54.2201224E-54.2201224E-51.00.0

Cleghorn

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.9267165E-69.831764E-61.9831667E-52.01710151.0E-53.39712E-54.2135514E-56.213467E-51.47463892.0E-54.1352084E-45.1288976E-45.4287433E-41.05846213.0E-50.0041275220.0051322140.00519190641.01163096.0E-5
6.17.9267165E-69.831764E-61.9831667E-52.01710151.0E-53.39712E-54.2135514E-56.213467E-51.47463892.0E-54.1352084E-45.1288976E-45.4287433E-41.05846213.0E-50.0041275220.0051322140.00519190641.01163096.0E-5
6.27.9267165E-69.831764E-61.9831667E-52.01710151.0E-53.39712E-54.2135514E-56.213467E-51.47463892.0E-54.1352084E-45.1288976E-45.4287433E-41.05846213.0E-50.0041275220.0051322140.00519190641.01163096.0E-5
6.37.9267165E-69.831764E-61.9831667E-52.01710151.0E-53.39712E-54.2135514E-56.213467E-51.47463892.0E-54.1352084E-45.1288976E-45.4287433E-41.05846213.0E-50.0041275220.0051322140.00519190641.01163096.0E-5
6.44.3445207E-66.0916254E-61.6091564E-52.6415881.0E-51.8619241E-52.6106709E-54.6106186E-51.76606662.0E-52.2666567E-43.1780385E-43.4779432E-41.09436793.0E-50.00226434620.00318772460.0032275971.01250824.0E-5
6.54.3445207E-66.0916254E-61.6091564E-52.6415881.0E-51.8619241E-52.6106709E-54.6106186E-51.76606662.0E-52.2666567E-43.1780385E-43.4779432E-41.09436793.0E-50.00226434620.00318772460.0032275971.01250824.0E-5
6.64.040109E-65.774033E-61.5773976E-52.73188161.0E-51.7314638E-52.4745626E-54.474513E-51.80820362.0E-52.1078532E-43.0123728E-43.3122825E-41.09955933.0E-50.0021058550.00302251430.00306239351.0131944.0E-5
6.73.3632055E-65.06753E-61.5067479E-52.97333811.0E-51.4413658E-52.1717806E-54.1717372E-51.92088332.0E-51.7547216E-42.643825E-42.943746E-41.1134423.0E-50.00175333660.00265484860.00269474231.01502684.0E-5
6.83.2902772E-64.9894375E-61.4989388E-53.0042241.0E-51.4101111E-52.138313E-54.1382704E-51.93529682.0E-51.716675E-42.6030882E-42.9030102E-41.11521773.0E-50.00171534950.00261420760.00265410291.0152614.0E-5
6.93.031547E-64.6911987E-61.4691152E-53.13164141.0E-51.299228E-52.0104984E-54.0104584E-51.99475822.0E-51.5816953E-42.4475096E-42.6474605E-41.08169572.0E-50.001580570.00245898050.00248890671.01217023.0E-5
7.02.8259715E-64.3707637E-61.437072E-53.28791951.0E-51.211125E-51.8731711E-53.8731338E-52.0676882.0E-51.4744449E-42.2803496E-42.480304E-41.08768582.0E-50.0014734670.00229217480.0023221061.01305813.0E-5
7.12.5962665E-64.065983E-61.4065942E-53.459421.0E-51.1126809E-51.7425526E-53.7425176E-52.14772152.0E-51.3546048E-42.1213535E-42.321311E-41.09425942.0E-50.00135377930.00213349590.00216343181.01403143.0E-5
7.22.3247253E-63.6765352E-61.3676498E-53.7199421.0E-59.96307E-61.5756486E-53.575617E-52.26929862.0E-51.21293626E-41.9181852E-42.1181468E-41.10424522.0E-50.00121227440.00193071660.00196065871.01550833.0E-5
7.32.056928E-63.235253E-61.3235221E-54.09093861.0E-58.815376E-61.3865297E-53.386502E-52.44243032.0E-51.0732192E-41.6879707E-41.887937E-41.11846542.0E-50.0010727010.00170094230.00173089131.01760733.0E-5
7.41.8055999E-62.8256538E-61.2825625E-54.5389941.0E-57.738263E-61.210989E-53.210965E-52.65152262.0E-59.4209274E-51.4742807E-41.6742513E-41.13563942.0E-59.4169343E-40.00148767050.00151762591.02013583.0E-5
7.51.4683443E-62.4248943E-61.242487E-55.1238811.0E-56.292889E-61.0392363E-53.0392155E-52.924472.0E-57.661323E-51.2651978E-41.4651724E-41.1580582.0E-57.658682E-40.00127888120.00130884291.0234283.0E-5
7.69.804088E-71.9004091E-61.190039E-56.2620151.0E-54.201745E-68.144585E-61.8144503E-52.22779971.0E-55.1155046E-59.915586E-51.0915487E-41.10084131.0E-55.114327E-40.00100555830.00102553821.01986942.0E-5
7.77.3434086E-71.6285549E-61.6285549E-61.00.03.1471714E-66.9795024E-66.9795024E-61.00.03.831614E-58.4972155E-58.4972155E-51.00.03.8309532E-48.6387293E-48.738643E-41.01156581.0E-5
7.86.434184E-71.5221389E-61.5221389E-61.00.02.7575045E-66.523436E-66.523436E-61.00.03.35721E-57.9419966E-57.9419966E-51.00.03.3567028E-48.080443E-48.180362E-41.01236561.0E-5
7.93.4943926E-77.5750586E-77.5750586E-71.00.01.497596E-63.2464498E-63.2464498E-61.00.01.8233079E-53.9524817E-53.9524817E-51.00.01.8231584E-44.0401975E-44.140157E-41.02474131.0E-5
8.06.717524E-85.837515E-85.837515E-81.00.02.8789387E-72.501792E-72.501792E-71.00.03.505102E-63.0459275E-63.0459275E-61.00.03.5050467E-53.2751934E-53.2751934E-51.00.0
8.13.1984914E-81.2949885E-81.2949885E-81.00.01.370782E-75.549951E-85.549951E-81.00.01.6689258E-66.757063E-76.757063E-71.00.01.6689133E-57.741151E-67.741151E-61.00.0
8.21.21887656E-83.6471115E-93.6471115E-91.00.05.2237567E-81.563048E-81.563048E-81.00.06.359922E-71.9030107E-71.9030107E-71.00.06.3599036E-62.245849E-62.245849E-61.00.0

Santa Ynez River

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6396456E-51.7209444E-51.7209444E-51.00.07.026863E-57.3752875E-58.375214E-51.13557791.0E-58.551848E-48.976069E-49.37571E-41.04452294.0E-50.00851901250.0089433630.0090028261.00664896.0E-5
6.11.6396456E-51.7209444E-51.7209444E-51.00.07.026863E-57.3752875E-58.375214E-51.13557791.0E-58.551848E-48.976069E-49.37571E-41.04452294.0E-50.00851901250.0089433630.0090028261.00664896.0E-5
6.21.6396456E-51.7209444E-51.7209444E-51.00.07.026863E-57.3752875E-58.375214E-51.13557791.0E-58.551848E-48.976069E-49.37571E-41.04452294.0E-50.00851901250.0089433630.0090028261.00664896.0E-5
6.39.736976E-61.01223395E-51.01223395E-51.00.04.172923E-54.338076E-55.3380325E-51.23050691.0E-55.0793495E-45.280378E-45.680166E-41.07571224.0E-50.0050677550.00526833670.00532802051.01132886.0E-5
6.49.736976E-61.01223395E-51.01223395E-51.00.04.172923E-54.338076E-55.3380325E-51.23050691.0E-55.0793495E-45.280378E-45.680166E-41.07571224.0E-50.0050677550.00526833670.00532802051.01132886.0E-5
6.57.081964E-67.329905E-67.329905E-61.00.03.035092E-53.141351E-54.1413197E-51.31832431.0E-53.694598E-43.8239395E-44.023863E-41.05228212.0E-50.00368846160.00381752150.0038474071.00782853.0E-5
6.65.873247E-66.0597517E-66.0597517E-61.00.02.5170815E-52.5970112E-53.5969853E-51.3850481.0E-53.064116E-43.161411E-43.3613478E-41.06324292.0E-50.00305989430.0031570010.00318690621.00947273.0E-5
6.74.973277E-65.11591E-65.11591E-61.00.02.1313872E-52.1925147E-52.1925147E-51.00.02.5946548E-42.6690646E-42.7690377E-41.03745631.0E-50.00259162740.00266590780.00268585441.00748222.0E-5
6.84.396492E-64.510987E-64.510987E-61.00.01.884197E-51.933266E-51.933266E-51.00.02.2937685E-42.3535005E-42.4534768E-41.04247991.0E-50.00229140230.00235104330.00237099641.00848692.0E-5
6.93.5255632E-63.6013423E-63.6013423E-61.00.01.5109469E-51.5434234E-51.5434234E-51.00.01.8394225E-41.8789574E-41.9789387E-41.0532111.0E-50.00183790070.0018773850.00189734741.01063312.0E-5
7.03.211603E-63.273663E-63.273663E-61.00.01.376394E-51.402991E-51.402991E-51.00.01.6756308E-41.708009E-41.807992E-41.05853771.0E-50.00167436790.00170671040.00172667621.01169852.0E-5
7.12.5094619E-62.5409295E-62.5409295E-61.00.01.0754793E-51.0889652E-51.0889652E-51.00.01.3093173E-41.325735E-41.325735E-41.00.00.00130854620.00132495030.00133493691.00753751.0E-5
7.22.0515774E-62.0619466E-62.0619466E-61.00.08.792445E-68.836884E-68.836884E-61.00.01.0704277E-41.0758379E-41.0758379E-41.00.00.00106991220.00107532150.00107532151.00.0
7.31.6845745E-61.6773996E-61.6773996E-61.00.07.219585E-67.1888358E-67.1888358E-61.00.08.78949E-58.752059E-58.752059E-51.00.08.7860145E-48.7486405E-48.7486405E-41.00.0
7.41.3600285E-61.3333447E-61.3333447E-61.00.05.82868E-65.714322E-65.714322E-61.00.07.096187E-56.956967E-56.956967E-51.00.07.0939213E-46.9548114E-46.9548114E-41.00.0
7.59.735342E-79.2901894E-79.2901894E-71.00.04.172283E-63.9815036E-63.9815036E-61.00.05.079636E-54.8473747E-54.8473747E-51.00.05.0784746E-44.8463346E-44.8463346E-41.00.0
7.65.067187E-74.778609E-74.778609E-71.00.02.1716498E-62.0479738E-62.0479738E-61.00.02.6439517E-52.4933803E-52.4933803E-51.00.02.643637E-42.493108E-42.493108E-41.00.0
7.72.769089E-72.5759346E-72.5759346E-71.00.01.1867519E-61.1039714E-61.1039714E-61.00.01.4448608E-51.344077E-51.344077E-51.00.01.444767E-41.343996E-41.343996E-41.00.0
7.81.7044663E-71.5449208E-71.5449208E-71.00.07.3048534E-76.6210873E-76.6210873E-71.00.08.893623E-68.061144E-68.061144E-61.00.08.893267E-58.060854E-58.060854E-51.00.0
7.94.8344287E-84.0911143E-84.0911143E-81.00.02.0718979E-71.7533345E-71.7533345E-71.00.02.5225327E-62.1346827E-62.1346827E-61.00.02.5225041E-52.1346626E-52.1346626E-51.00.0

Emerson-Copper Mtn 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.1364202E-59.967999E-62.99678E-53.00640082.0E-59.1557646E-54.2719344E-56.271849E-51.46815192.0E-50.00111414425.1999267E-45.4997706E-41.05766313.0E-50.0110857490.00518862860.0052383691.00958655.0E-5
6.12.1364202E-59.967999E-62.99678E-53.00640082.0E-59.1557646E-54.2719344E-56.271849E-51.46815192.0E-50.00111414425.1999267E-45.4997706E-41.05766313.0E-50.0110857490.00518862860.0052383691.00958655.0E-5
6.22.1364202E-59.967999E-62.99678E-53.00640082.0E-59.1557646E-54.2719344E-56.271849E-51.46815192.0E-50.00111414425.1999267E-45.4997706E-41.05766313.0E-50.0110857490.00518862860.0052383691.00958655.0E-5
6.31.7751237E-58.089109E-62.8088947E-53.47244022.0E-57.607452E-53.4667184E-55.466649E-51.57689452.0E-59.258136E-44.2199748E-44.5198482E-41.07106043.0E-50.009219660.0042125840.00426237331.01181925.0E-5
6.41.7751237E-58.089109E-62.8088947E-53.47244022.0E-57.607452E-53.4667184E-55.466649E-51.57689452.0E-59.258136E-44.2199748E-44.5198482E-41.07106043.0E-50.009219660.0042125840.00426237331.01181925.0E-5
6.51.5886664E-56.6037437E-62.6603611E-54.0285652.0E-56.808392E-52.830148E-54.8300913E-51.70665682.0E-58.286065E-43.4452073E-43.745104E-41.08704753.0E-50.0082552370.00344033030.00349015841.01448355.0E-5
6.61.5886664E-56.6037437E-62.6603611E-54.0285652.0E-56.808392E-52.830148E-54.8300913E-51.70665682.0E-58.286065E-43.4452073E-43.745104E-41.08704753.0E-50.0082552370.00344033030.00349015841.01448355.0E-5
6.71.428471E-55.4703055E-62.5470195E-54.6560832.0E-56.121875E-52.3443978E-54.344351E-51.85307752.0E-57.450834E-42.8539696E-43.153884E-41.10508673.0E-50.0074259020.00285069250.00289057851.01399174.0E-5
6.81.3490684E-55.0735894E-62.5073488E-54.94196222.0E-55.7815934E-52.1743796E-54.1743362E-51.91978262.0E-57.0368167E-42.6470242E-42.9469447E-41.11330493.0E-50.0070145760.0026442520.00268414641.01508714.0E-5
6.91.2235421E-54.289545E-62.4289458E-55.66247942.0E-55.2436466E-51.8383655E-53.8383285E-52.0879032.0E-56.38227E-42.238016E-42.537949E-41.13401733.0E-50.00636397070.00223611640.0022760271.01784814.0E-5
7.01.1009851E-53.7188345E-62.371876E-56.37800932.0E-54.7184225E-51.5937783E-53.5937464E-52.25485972.0E-55.743165E-41.9402867E-42.2402286E-41.15458633.0E-50.0057283450.00193893050.0019788531.020594.0E-5
7.19.726373E-63.2115693E-62.3211505E-57.2274652.0E-54.168379E-51.3763814E-53.376354E-52.45306562.0E-55.07382E-41.6756494E-41.975599E-41.1790053.0E-50.00506225040.00167471710.00171465011.02384464.0E-5
7.23.9335127E-61.1524114E-62.115239E-518.3548932.0E-51.6857803E-54.9388973E-62.4938798E-55.0494672.0E-52.0522442E-46.0129474E-59.012767E-51.49889343.0E-50.002050356.01138E-46.4111396E-41.06650044.0E-5
7.32.661632E-66.91098E-72.0691085E-529.9394362.0E-51.14069435E-52.9618452E-62.2961785E-57.7525272.0E-51.3887069E-43.605988E-56.60588E-51.83191963.0E-50.00138783933.6054134E-44.0052691E-41.11090434.0E-5
7.42.0893426E-65.4614605E-72.0546135E-537.620222.0E-58.954295E-62.340624E-62.2340577E-59.544712.0E-51.0901308E-42.8496728E-55.8495873E-52.05272253.0E-50.00108959622.849313E-43.1492274E-41.10525863.0E-5
7.51.1681728E-63.6028484E-72.0360278E-556.5116122.0E-55.0064455E-61.544077E-62.1544047E-513.9527022.0E-56.0951766E-51.879898E-54.8798418E-52.59580143.0E-56.093505E-41.8797436E-42.1796873E-41.15956633.0E-5
7.61.3154387E-77.1196716E-81.0071196E-5141.45591.0E-55.6375933E-73.0512876E-71.0305126E-533.773041.0E-56.863748E-63.714938E-62.3714863E-56.383652.0E-56.863536E-53.7148915E-55.7148172E-51.53835372.0E-5

Mono Lake 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.0341662E-52.3828192E-55.3827476E-52.2589833.0E-58.717564E-51.0211982E-41.4211574E-41.39165684.0E-50.00106084660.00124313080.0012830811.03213684.0E-50.0105579660.0124138420.012463221.00397785.0E-5
6.12.0341662E-52.3828192E-55.3827476E-52.2589833.0E-58.717564E-51.0211982E-41.4211574E-41.39165684.0E-50.00106084660.00124313080.0012830811.03213684.0E-50.0105579660.0124138420.012463221.00397785.0E-5
6.22.0341662E-52.3828192E-55.3827476E-52.2589833.0E-58.717564E-51.0211982E-41.4211574E-41.39165684.0E-50.00106084660.00124313080.0012830811.03213684.0E-50.0105579660.0124138420.012463221.00397785.0E-5
6.32.0341662E-52.3828192E-55.3827476E-52.2589833.0E-58.717564E-51.0211982E-41.4211574E-41.39165684.0E-50.00106084660.00124313080.0012830811.03213684.0E-50.0105579660.0124138420.012463221.00397785.0E-5
6.41.749821E-52.049101E-55.0490395E-52.46402673.0E-57.499018E-58.781861E-51.278151E-41.45544434.0E-59.1262296E-40.00106919140.00110914861.03737144.0E-50.0090888410.010691870.0107413351.00462645.0E-5
6.51.749821E-52.049101E-55.0490395E-52.46402673.0E-57.499018E-58.781861E-51.278151E-41.45544434.0E-59.1262296E-40.00106919140.00110914861.03737144.0E-50.0090888410.010691870.0107413351.00462645.0E-5

Great Valley 08 (Quinto)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.737697E-68.253038E-68.253038E-61.00.03.3161137E-53.536979E-54.5369437E-51.28271711.0E-54.0366207E-44.3056096E-44.6054804E-41.06964663.0E-50.0040292960.00429912050.00434890581.01158025.0E-5
6.17.737697E-68.253038E-68.253038E-61.00.03.3161137E-53.536979E-54.5369437E-51.28271711.0E-54.0366207E-44.3056096E-44.6054804E-41.06964663.0E-50.0040292960.00429912050.00434890581.01158025.0E-5
6.27.737697E-68.253038E-68.253038E-61.00.03.3161137E-53.536979E-54.5369437E-51.28271711.0E-54.0366207E-44.3056096E-44.6054804E-41.06964663.0E-50.0040292960.00429912050.00434890581.01158025.0E-5
6.35.374012E-65.7505736E-65.7505736E-61.00.02.3031276E-52.4645145E-53.4644898E-51.40574941.0E-52.803697E-43.0002446E-43.3001546E-41.09996193.0E-50.00280016240.00299728750.00303716751.01330544.0E-5
6.45.374012E-65.7505736E-65.7505736E-61.00.02.3031276E-52.4645145E-53.4644898E-51.40574941.0E-52.803697E-43.0002446E-43.3001546E-41.09996193.0E-50.00280016240.00299728750.00303716751.01330544.0E-5
6.53.65427E-63.941324E-63.941324E-61.00.01.5661062E-51.689132E-51.689132E-51.00.01.9065675E-42.0563944E-42.0563944E-41.00.00.00190493250.00205518330.00205518331.00.0
6.63.6143538E-63.8985104E-63.8985104E-61.00.01.5489995E-51.6707834E-51.6707834E-51.00.01.8857437E-42.0340596E-42.0340596E-41.00.00.00188414440.00203288930.00203288931.00.0
6.72.4821015E-62.6857067E-62.6857067E-61.00.01.0637535E-51.1510153E-51.1510153E-51.00.01.2950429E-41.4013276E-41.4013276E-41.00.00.00129428840.00140099890.00140099891.00.0
6.84.7110538E-75.193021E-75.193021E-71.00.02.0190216E-62.2255786E-62.2255786E-61.00.02.458131E-52.70961E-52.70961E-51.00.02.457859E-42.7092977E-42.7092977E-41.00.0
6.93.958685E-74.3703452E-74.3703452E-71.00.01.6965782E-61.8730038E-61.8730038E-61.00.02.0655643E-52.28036E-52.28036E-51.00.02.0653724E-42.2801422E-42.2801422E-41.00.0
7.02.70294E-72.9920008E-72.9920008E-71.00.01.1584025E-61.2822856E-61.2822856E-61.00.01.4103458E-51.5611728E-51.5611728E-51.00.01.4102564E-41.5610759E-41.5610759E-41.00.0
7.11.4828602E-71.6469107E-71.6469107E-71.00.06.3551136E-77.058187E-77.058187E-71.00.07.737323E-68.593317E-68.593317E-61.00.07.737054E-58.593065E-58.593065E-51.00.0

Ortigalita (South)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.72394E-54.32556E-55.3255168E-51.2311741.0E-51.5958765E-41.8536886E-42.0536516E-41.1078732.0E-50.00194124810.00225468630.00230457351.02212615.0E-50.0192437750.0223345010.0223833841.00218875.0E-5
6.12.7299884E-53.1492036E-54.149172E-51.31753061.0E-51.16994255E-41.349592E-41.549565E-41.1481732.0E-50.00142347430.00164194570.00169186361.03040175.0E-50.0141439060.0163040720.0163532571.00301675.0E-5
6.22.7299884E-53.1492036E-54.149172E-51.31753061.0E-51.16994255E-41.349592E-41.549565E-41.1481732.0E-50.00142347430.00164194570.00169186361.03040175.0E-50.0141439060.0163040720.0163532571.00301675.0E-5
6.32.0546433E-52.3631454E-53.3631215E-51.42315481.0E-58.805317E-51.0127383E-41.21271805E-41.19746432.0E-50.001071520.00123233050.00128226881.04052355.0E-50.0106636810.0122570310.0123064181.00402935.0E-5
6.42.0546433E-52.3631454E-53.3631215E-51.42315481.0E-58.805317E-51.0127383E-41.21271805E-41.19746432.0E-50.001071520.00123233050.00128226881.04052355.0E-50.0106636810.0122570310.0123064181.00402935.0E-5
6.51.7779594E-52.0446974E-52.0446974E-51.00.07.619603E-58.762703E-59.762615E-51.114111.0E-59.272918E-40.00106635050.00109631851.02810343.0E-50.0092343190.0106138040.0106434851.00279653.0E-5
6.61.6272212E-51.8714967E-51.8714967E-51.00.06.973618E-58.0204605E-59.020381E-51.12467111.0E-58.487073E-49.760659E-40.00100603651.03070563.0E-50.0084547330.0097190910.0097487991.00305683.0E-5
6.71.3051484E-51.5038758E-51.5038758E-51.00.05.593373E-56.445028E-56.445028E-51.00.06.807804E-47.844092E-48.043935E-41.02547692.0E-50.0067869860.0078173880.0078372311.00253842.0E-5
6.81.04277415E-51.1987235E-51.1987235E-51.00.04.4689557E-55.1372896E-55.1372896E-51.00.05.439595E-46.2529295E-46.352867E-41.01598251.0E-50.00542629930.006236090.00624602751.00159361.0E-5
6.97.639968E-68.791503E-68.791503E-61.00.03.274231E-53.767736E-53.767736E-51.00.03.9856473E-44.586312E-44.686266E-41.0217941.0E-50.0039785060.0045774330.0045873871.00217461.0E-5
7.03.919831E-64.5334014E-64.5334014E-61.00.01.679917E-51.942873E-51.942873E-51.00.02.045107E-42.3652123E-42.3652123E-41.00.00.00204322580.00236290340.00236290341.00.0
7.11.6017933E-61.8570418E-61.8570418E-61.00.06.8648105E-67.958732E-67.958732E-61.00.08.357586E-59.689432E-59.689432E-51.00.08.3544437E-49.686254E-49.686254E-41.00.0

San Pedro Basin

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.3449043E-56.337018E-57.336955E-51.15779291.0E-52.2904722E-42.7156167E-42.8155895E-41.03681411.0E-50.00278508360.00330185150.00334171931.01207454.0E-50.0275043660.032589480.0326378531.00148435.0E-5
6.15.3449043E-56.337018E-57.336955E-51.15779291.0E-52.2904722E-42.7156167E-42.8155895E-41.03681411.0E-50.00278508360.00330185150.00334171931.01207454.0E-50.0275043660.032589480.0326378531.00148435.0E-5
6.22.3189454E-52.6642829E-52.6642829E-51.00.09.9379584E-51.1417881E-41.1417881E-41.00.00.00120927490.00138928750.00139927361.0071881.0E-50.0120271550.013810890.0138306131.00142812.0E-5
6.32.3189454E-52.6642829E-52.6642829E-51.00.09.9379584E-51.1417881E-41.1417881E-41.00.00.00120927490.00138928750.00139927361.0071881.0E-50.0120271550.013810890.0138306131.00142812.0E-5
6.41.966056E-52.246342E-52.246342E-51.00.08.425682E-59.626848E-59.626848E-51.00.00.0010253440.00117147870.0011814671.00852621.0E-50.0102062590.0116571190.0116768861.00169562.0E-5
6.51.7342953E-51.9745152E-51.9745152E-51.00.07.4324824E-58.461954E-58.461954E-51.00.09.04529E-40.00102979290.00103978271.00970071.0E-50.0090085610.0102539320.010263831.00096521.0E-5
6.61.439804E-51.6322716E-51.6322716E-51.00.06.170443E-56.99528E-56.99528E-51.00.07.509924E-48.513747E-48.613662E-41.01173571.0E-50.00748459530.0084843330.0084942491.00116861.0E-5
6.71.2634884E-51.4285298E-51.4285298E-51.00.05.414838E-56.122144E-56.122144E-51.00.06.590571E-47.451466E-47.451466E-41.00.00.0065710590.0074295020.0074295021.00.0
6.81.146091E-51.2933193E-51.2933193E-51.00.04.911726E-55.542696E-55.542696E-51.00.05.9783855E-46.74644E-46.74644E-41.00.00.00596232760.00672889970.00672889971.00.0
6.99.109035E-61.0235013E-51.0235013E-51.00.03.9038136E-54.386376E-54.386376E-51.00.04.7518566E-45.339384E-45.339384E-41.00.00.00474170830.00532930950.00532930951.00.0
7.05.9351028E-66.583965E-66.583965E-61.00.02.5435906E-52.821682E-52.821682E-51.00.03.0963816E-43.4350925E-43.4350925E-41.00.00.00309207060.00343209970.00343209971.00.0
7.12.1557585E-62.2096492E-62.2096492E-61.00.09.238933E-69.469892E-69.469892E-61.00.01.1247819E-41.15289986E-41.15289986E-41.00.00.00112421280.00115231720.00115231721.00.0
7.22.1251979E-62.1779954E-62.1779954E-61.00.09.107958E-69.334234E-69.334234E-61.00.01.1088375E-41.13638525E-41.13638525E-41.00.00.00110828450.00113581950.00113581951.00.0
7.31.7145798E-61.7442885E-61.7442885E-61.00.07.3481783E-67.475501E-67.475501E-61.00.08.94604E-59.1010515E-59.1010515E-51.00.08.9424395E-49.0974156E-49.0974156E-41.00.0
7.41.4467993E-61.4641878E-61.4641878E-61.00.06.200554E-66.275076E-66.275076E-61.00.07.548913E-57.639644E-57.639644E-51.00.07.546349E-47.6370913E-47.6370913E-41.00.0
7.51.2803735E-61.2931506E-61.2931506E-61.00.05.487303E-65.5420624E-65.5420624E-61.00.06.680587E-56.747259E-56.747259E-51.00.06.678579E-46.745281E-46.745281E-41.00.0
7.66.755009E-76.76947E-76.76947E-71.00.02.8950008E-62.9011985E-62.9011985E-61.00.03.5246063E-53.532158E-53.532158E-51.00.03.5240475E-43.5316538E-43.5316538E-41.00.0
7.76.211885E-84.5699714E-84.5699714E-81.00.02.6622362E-71.9585592E-71.9585592E-71.00.03.2412677E-62.3845432E-62.3845432E-61.00.03.2412205E-52.3845198E-52.3845198E-51.00.0
7.82.6580573E-91.5138054E-91.5138054E-91.00.01.1391674E-86.4877375E-96.4877375E-91.00.01.3869362E-77.89882E-87.89882E-81.00.01.3869354E-67.89882E-77.89882E-71.00.0

Palos Verdes

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.126063E-57.622572E-51.16222676E-41.52471724.0E-52.6251914E-43.266441E-43.7662778E-41.15302185.0E-50.00319148650.00397017370.0040199751.01254395.0E-50.0314603930.039049090.0390971341.00123055.0E-5
6.16.126063E-57.622572E-51.16222676E-41.52471724.0E-52.6251914E-43.266441E-43.7662778E-41.15302185.0E-50.00319148650.00397017370.0040199751.01254395.0E-50.0314603930.039049090.0390971341.00123055.0E-5
6.26.126063E-57.622572E-51.16222676E-41.52471724.0E-52.6251914E-43.266441E-43.7662778E-41.15302185.0E-50.00319148650.00397017370.0040199751.01254395.0E-50.0314603930.039049090.0390971341.00123055.0E-5
6.34.0838047E-54.9749007E-55.974851E-51.2009991.0E-51.7500846E-42.1319388E-42.3318961E-41.09379142.0E-50.00212864580.0025927540.00261270231.00769382.0E-50.0210837090.0256467460.0256662331.00075982.0E-5
6.44.0838047E-54.9749007E-55.974851E-51.2009991.0E-51.7500846E-42.1319388E-42.3318961E-41.09379142.0E-50.00212864580.0025927540.00261270231.00769382.0E-50.0210837090.0256467460.0256662331.00075982.0E-5
6.53.0512005E-53.6561592E-54.656123E-51.2735011.0E-51.3075917E-41.566838E-41.6668225E-41.06381291.0E-50.00159083040.0019060720.0019160531.00523641.0E-50.0157949030.0189091730.0189189841.00051881.0E-5
6.62.9255087E-53.5154393E-54.515404E-51.28444951.0E-51.2537291E-41.5065364E-41.6065213E-41.06636741.0E-50.00152534640.00183277820.00184275991.00544621.0E-50.0151491890.0181882440.0181980621.00053981.0E-5
6.72.287198E-52.724828E-53.7248006E-51.36698571.0E-59.801909E-51.16773626E-41.2677246E-41.08562581.0E-50.0011927290.00142088330.00143086921.00702791.0E-50.0118634770.0141272170.0141370761.00069791.0E-5
6.82.1325764E-52.5431878E-53.5431625E-51.39319731.0E-59.139293E-51.0898972E-41.18988624E-41.09174181.0E-50.0011121410.00132623230.0013362191.00753021.0E-50.0110659150.0131922110.013202081.0007481.0E-5
6.91.9009392E-52.2613547E-53.2613323E-51.44220281.0E-58.1466285E-59.6912096E-51.0691113E-41.10317621.0E-59.914007E-40.00117935350.00118934171.00846921.0E-50.0098698940.0117396330.0117495151.00084191.0E-5
7.01.7098473E-52.0319356E-53.0319152E-51.49213161.0E-57.3277115E-58.708052E-59.7079654E-51.11482621.0E-58.917837E-40.0010597750.00106976441.0094261.0E-50.0088821340.0105556460.0105655411.00093731.0E-5
7.11.5982785E-51.899476E-52.8994571E-51.5264511.0E-56.849585E-58.1404054E-59.1403235E-51.1228341.0E-58.336179E-49.907284E-40.00100071841.01008361.0E-50.0083049770.0098714790.0098813811.0010031.0E-5
7.21.4468002E-51.7197237E-52.7197064E-51.58147881.0E-56.200425E-57.370083E-58.370009E-51.13567361.0E-57.546402E-48.970222E-49.0701325E-41.0111381.0E-50.0075208270.0089422840.0089521941.00110831.0E-5
7.35.288233E-66.2036747E-66.2036747E-61.00.02.2663658E-52.6587102E-52.6587102E-51.00.02.7589512E-43.236848E-43.236848E-41.00.00.00275552830.00323555620.00323555621.00.0
7.48.279556E-78.408347E-78.408347E-71.00.03.5483763E-63.6035726E-63.6035726E-61.00.04.3200624E-54.3872686E-54.3872686E-51.00.04.3192226E-44.3864746E-44.3864746E-41.00.0
7.56.559831E-76.667229E-76.667229E-71.00.02.8113532E-62.857381E-62.857381E-61.00.03.4227687E-53.4788125E-53.4788125E-51.00.03.4222414E-43.4783344E-43.4783344E-41.00.0
7.63.5018968E-73.5620027E-73.5620027E-71.00.01.500812E-61.526572E-61.526572E-61.00.01.8272232E-51.8585903E-51.8585903E-51.00.01.8270731E-41.8584808E-41.8584808E-41.00.0
7.71.1986104E-71.2198376E-71.2198376E-71.00.05.1369005E-75.2278745E-75.2278745E-71.00.06.2541585E-66.364919E-66.364919E-61.00.06.2539824E-56.364741E-56.364741E-51.00.0
7.83.0445005E-83.1027582E-83.1027582E-81.00.01.3047858E-71.3297536E-71.3297536E-71.00.01.5885756E-61.6189739E-61.6189739E-61.00.01.5885644E-51.6189642E-51.6189642E-51.00.0

Santa Cruz Catalina Ridge alt1

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.2833184E-53.6558402E-54.6558034E-51.2735251.0E-51.4070606E-41.5667039E-41.7666725E-41.12763662.0E-50.001711750.00190595940.00194588321.02094694.0E-50.0169862470.0189130320.0189620871.00259365.0E-5
6.11.9835548E-52.1659505E-53.165929E-51.4616811.0E-58.500672E-59.282326E-51.12821406E-41.21544332.0E-50.00103446550.00112955750.00116951231.03537214.0E-50.0102966320.0112402960.0112798461.00351864.0E-5
6.21.9835548E-52.1659505E-53.165929E-51.4616811.0E-58.500672E-59.282326E-51.12821406E-41.21544332.0E-50.00103446550.00112955750.00116951231.03537214.0E-50.0102966320.0112402960.0112798461.00351864.0E-5
6.31.5728183E-51.703395E-51.703395E-51.00.06.7404755E-57.300063E-58.29999E-51.13697521.0E-58.2034385E-48.884264E-49.183997E-41.03373753.0E-50.0081732220.0088494270.0088791611.003363.0E-5
6.41.5728183E-51.703395E-51.703395E-51.00.06.7404755E-57.300063E-58.29999E-51.13697521.0E-58.2034385E-48.884264E-49.183997E-41.03373753.0E-50.0081732220.0088494270.0088791611.003363.0E-5
6.51.3707734E-51.4794522E-51.4794522E-51.00.05.8746107E-56.3403575E-57.340294E-51.15770981.0E-57.1499916E-47.716686E-48.0164545E-41.03884693.0E-50.00712703030.00769028950.0077200591.0038713.0E-5
6.61.2539813E-51.3510219E-51.3510219E-51.00.05.3740947E-55.789967E-56.789909E-51.17270261.0E-56.540996E-47.0470315E-47.34682E-41.04254113.0E-50.00652177630.00702498850.0070547781.00424053.0E-5
6.71.1504083E-51.2377375E-51.2377375E-51.00.04.930228E-55.3044827E-56.3044296E-51.18850981.0E-56.0008996E-46.456314E-46.75612E-41.04643623.0E-50.0059847210.0064377860.0064675931.004633.0E-5
6.81.012739E-51.0877071E-51.0877071E-51.00.04.340238E-54.6615194E-55.661473E-51.21451231.0E-55.282958E-45.673937E-45.9737667E-41.05284333.0E-50.00527041640.00565961930.00568944961.00527073.0E-5
6.98.9607865E-69.609117E-69.609117E-61.00.03.8402806E-54.1181287E-55.1180876E-51.24281871.0E-54.6745385E-45.012679E-45.312529E-41.05981833.0E-50.00466471770.0050014920.00503134171.00596823.0E-5
7.08.046829E-68.619746E-68.619746E-61.00.03.4485955E-53.694125E-54.694088E-51.27069011.0E-54.1978562E-44.496677E-44.796542E-41.06668593.0E-50.0041899350.00448766860.00451753431.0066553.0E-5
7.17.136131E-67.637656E-67.637656E-61.00.03.0583058E-53.2732405E-53.2732405E-51.00.03.7228514E-43.9844486E-44.184369E-41.05017522.0E-50.00371662060.0039773810.00399730171.00500852.0E-5
7.26.362014E-66.8049585E-66.8049585E-61.00.02.726549E-52.9163786E-52.9163786E-51.00.03.3190678E-43.550119E-43.7500478E-41.05631612.0E-50.00331411490.0035445160.0035644451.00562252.0E-5
7.35.004101E-65.351715E-65.351715E-61.00.02.1445969E-52.2935723E-52.2935723E-51.00.02.6107338E-42.792072E-42.8920438E-41.03580571.0E-50.0026076690.00278861870.00279859081.0035761.0E-5
7.43.4901443E-63.7320526E-63.7320526E-61.00.01.4957676E-51.5994416E-51.5994416E-51.00.01.8209449E-41.9471499E-41.9471499E-41.00.00.00181945340.00194548230.00194548231.00.0
7.51.1215045E-61.189387E-61.189387E-61.00.04.806439E-65.097363E-65.097363E-61.00.05.851682E-56.205866E-56.205866E-51.00.05.850142E-46.2041637E-46.2041637E-41.00.0
7.62.8599047E-72.9951994E-72.9951994E-71.00.01.2256729E-61.2836562E-61.2836562E-61.00.01.4922465E-51.5628404E-51.5628404E-51.00.01.4921463E-41.5627318E-41.5627318E-41.00.0
7.72.0781519E-72.1744323E-72.1744323E-71.00.08.906362E-79.3189925E-79.3189925E-71.00.01.08434415E-51.13458145E-51.13458145E-51.00.01.0842913E-41.1345245E-41.1345245E-41.00.0
7.83.614776E-83.764102E-83.764102E-81.00.01.5491896E-71.6131864E-71.6131864E-71.00.01.8861368E-61.9640527E-61.9640527E-61.00.01.8861208E-51.9640367E-51.9640367E-51.00.0

Hayward (So) extension 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1721256E-42.3671088E-42.3671088E-41.00.05.022428E-40.00101388060.00101388061.00.00.00609767580.0122506090.0122703641.00161252.0E-50.05933050.112844370.112879861.00031454.0E-5
6.16.99169E-51.3808164E-41.3808164E-41.00.02.9960944E-45.9155683E-45.9155683E-41.00.00.00364164450.00717234750.00719220421.00276852.0E-50.0358254350.0678043440.0678323061.00041253.0E-5
6.26.99169E-51.3808164E-41.3808164E-41.00.02.9960944E-45.9155683E-45.9155683E-41.00.00.00364164450.00717234750.00719220421.00276852.0E-50.0358254350.0678043440.0678323061.00041253.0E-5
6.36.970908E-51.3776305E-41.3776305E-41.00.02.9871898E-45.9019245E-45.9019245E-41.00.00.00363083950.0071558840.00717574131.0027752.0E-50.0357208660.06765330.0676812751.00041343.0E-5
6.46.9517155E-51.3743227E-41.3743227E-41.00.02.9789665E-45.8877567E-45.8877567E-41.00.00.00362086090.00713879750.00715865471.00278162.0E-50.035624290.067497340.067525321.00041453.0E-5
6.54.786248E-59.415232E-59.415232E-51.00.02.0510878E-44.0344993E-44.0344993E-41.00.00.00249433940.00490137840.00492128031.00406052.0E-50.024665270.0469006970.046929291.00060963.0E-5
6.64.4662214E-58.8819244E-58.8819244E-51.00.01.9139545E-43.80601E-43.80601E-41.00.00.00232774930.00462443570.0046443431.00430492.0E-50.023035170.044292060.044320731.00064733.0E-5
6.73.884542E-57.8650686E-57.8650686E-51.00.01.6646975E-43.3703333E-43.3703333E-41.00.00.0020248850.00409610480.0041160231.00486272.0E-50.0200653360.0393320550.0393608731.00073283.0E-5
6.83.4221863E-56.855886E-56.855886E-51.00.01.4665688E-42.9379298E-42.9379298E-41.00.00.00178408510.00357148380.0035814481.002791.0E-50.0176982950.0344194620.0344291181.00028051.0E-5
6.91.6927712E-53.006262E-53.006262E-51.00.07.2545314E-51.2883375E-41.2883375E-41.00.08.828813E-40.00156747930.00156747931.00.00.0087938190.0154635440.0154635441.00.0
7.01.2509653E-52.246337E-52.246337E-51.00.05.3611697E-59.626828E-59.626828E-51.00.06.525269E-40.00117148020.00117148021.00.00.00650614170.0115831660.0115831661.00.0
7.18.751583E-61.4926157E-51.4926157E-51.00.03.750624E-56.396771E-56.396771E-51.00.04.5654282E-47.785344E-47.785344E-41.00.00.00455606030.0077644570.0077644571.00.0
7.26.354379E-61.1499087E-51.1499087E-51.00.02.7232769E-54.9280898E-54.9280898E-51.00.03.3150852E-45.9983454E-45.9983454E-41.00.00.00331014420.0060012430.0060012431.00.0
7.34.645554E-68.818441E-68.818441E-61.00.01.9909365E-53.7792794E-53.7792794E-51.00.02.4236954E-44.6003403E-44.6003403E-41.00.00.00242105360.0046114210.0046114211.00.0
7.44.23437E-67.992759E-67.992759E-61.00.01.8147173E-53.425425E-53.425425E-51.00.02.2091944E-44.1696956E-44.1696956E-41.00.00.00220699930.00418266140.00418266141.00.0
7.52.2187417E-63.952336E-63.952336E-61.00.09.508858E-61.6938488E-51.6938488E-51.00.01.157642E-42.0620918E-42.0620918E-41.00.00.00115703910.00207394970.00207394971.00.0
7.62.7952495E-83.8785874E-83.8785874E-81.00.01.1979641E-71.6622516E-71.6622516E-71.00.01.4585203E-62.0237894E-62.0237894E-61.00.01.4585107E-52.0317146E-52.0317146E-51.00.0
7.71.7192724E-82.3436652E-82.3436652E-81.00.07.36831E-81.0044278E-71.0044278E-71.00.08.9709135E-71.2228902E-61.2228902E-61.00.08.970877E-61.2285953E-51.2285953E-51.00.0

San Jacinto (Clark) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.482615E-52.1153059E-53.115285E-51.47273481.0E-51.9209793E-49.065287E-51.1065105E-41.22060182.0E-50.00233628340.00110314910.0011331161.02716483.0E-50.023118740.0114857090.0115351341.00430325.0E-5
6.14.482615E-52.1153059E-53.115285E-51.47273481.0E-51.9209793E-49.065287E-51.1065105E-41.22060182.0E-50.00233628340.00110314910.0011331161.02716483.0E-50.023118740.0114857090.0115351341.00430325.0E-5
6.24.482615E-52.1153059E-53.115285E-51.47273481.0E-51.9209793E-49.065287E-51.1065105E-41.22060182.0E-50.00233628340.00110314910.0011331161.02716483.0E-50.023118740.0114857090.0115351341.00430325.0E-5
6.34.482615E-52.1153059E-53.115285E-51.47273481.0E-51.9209793E-49.065287E-51.1065105E-41.22060182.0E-50.00233628340.00110314910.0011331161.02716483.0E-50.023118740.0114857090.0115351341.00430325.0E-5
6.44.482615E-52.1153059E-53.115285E-51.47273481.0E-51.9209793E-49.065287E-51.1065105E-41.22060182.0E-50.00233628340.00110314910.0011331161.02716483.0E-50.023118740.0114857090.0115351341.00430325.0E-5
6.53.7294863E-51.7354667E-52.7354492E-51.5762041.0E-51.5982533E-47.437504E-59.437356E-51.26888742.0E-50.00194413669.051445E-49.351173E-41.03311383.0E-50.019272160.0094859020.0095354281.0052215.0E-5
6.63.7294863E-51.7354667E-52.7354492E-51.5762041.0E-51.5982533E-47.437504E-59.437356E-51.26888742.0E-50.00194413669.051445E-49.351173E-41.03311383.0E-50.019272160.0094859020.0095354281.0052215.0E-5
6.73.6039248E-51.6602684E-52.6602518E-51.60230231.0E-51.5444479E-47.115244E-59.1151014E-51.28106672.0E-50.00187874348.659408E-48.9591485E-41.03461443.0E-50.018629390.0090881890.0091377351.00545175.0E-5
6.83.5031844E-51.6231123E-52.623096E-51.61609031.0E-51.5012783E-46.956012E-58.955873E-51.28750112.0E-50.00182627398.4656954E-48.765441E-41.03540723.0E-50.018113380.0088887880.0089383431.00557515.0E-5
6.93.435112E-51.6061658E-52.6061498E-51.62259071.0E-51.4721078E-46.8833884E-58.883251E-51.29053462.0E-50.00179081788.377344E-48.677093E-41.03578093.0E-50.0177645480.0087965120.00884607251.00563415.0E-5
7.02.8959772E-51.43355255E-52.4335382E-51.69755781.0E-51.241074E-46.1436534E-58.1435304E-51.32551922.0E-50.00150996037.477359E-47.7771343E-41.04009123.0E-50.0149974160.0078683310.0079179381.00630465.0E-5
7.12.6002877E-51.2827699E-52.2827571E-51.7795531.0E-51.11436144E-45.4974706E-57.497361E-51.36378372.0E-50.00135589076.6911365E-46.9909357E-41.04480543.0E-50.0134764750.00704834330.0070979911.00704385.0E-5
7.22.2544838E-51.1260331E-52.1260219E-51.88806331.0E-59.661716E-54.825768E-56.825671E-51.41442182.0E-50.0011756795.873803E-46.173627E-41.05104423.0E-50.0116947850.006192560.006242251.00802425.0E-5
7.31.75334E-51.0810585E-52.0810478E-51.92500941.0E-57.514098E-54.6330264E-56.632934E-51.43166332.0E-59.144575E-45.6392635E-45.9390947E-41.05316843.0E-50.0091070360.00593321960.0059829231.00837715.0E-5
7.41.5924552E-51.0610475E-52.0610369E-51.94245481.0E-56.82463E-54.547268E-56.547177E-51.43980462.0E-58.305819E-45.534906E-45.83474E-41.05417143.0E-50.0082748440.00582058630.0058702951.00854025.0E-5
7.51.3428931E-59.851045E-61.9850946E-52.01511071.0E-55.7551293E-54.221809E-56.2217245E-51.47371052.0E-57.004617E-45.1388505E-45.438697E-41.05834883.0E-50.0069825790.0054062090.00545593861.00919875.0E-5
7.61.0688787E-58.614091E-61.8614004E-52.16087871.0E-54.5808283E-53.6917012E-55.6916273E-51.54173562.0E-55.5757316E-44.4937237E-44.793589E-41.06672983.0E-50.0055617620.00474136140.00479112431.01049555.0E-5
7.78.81236E-67.4673385E-61.7467264E-52.33915521.0E-53.776671E-53.200249E-54.2002168E-51.31246571.0E-54.597127E-43.8956082E-44.0955303E-41.05131982.0E-50.00458762840.00413441940.0041742541.00963494.0E-5
7.87.780431E-66.695928E-61.669586E-52.49343511.0E-53.3344273E-52.8696519E-53.869623E-51.34846441.0E-54.0589093E-43.4932428E-43.693173E-41.05723332.0E-50.00405150370.00372262720.00376247821.01070514.0E-5
7.96.5437994E-65.7797783E-61.577972E-52.73016021.0E-52.8044553E-52.4770245E-53.4769997E-51.40370021.0E-53.4138895E-43.0153614E-43.2153013E-41.06630712.0E-50.00340864950.00323432940.00327421.01232734.0E-5
8.05.4488164E-64.812793E-61.4812745E-53.07778551.0E-52.3351862E-52.0626094E-53.0625888E-51.48481271.0E-52.8427184E-42.510939E-42.7108888E-41.07963142.0E-50.00283908450.00271070380.00275059531.01471634.0E-5
8.12.8397242E-61.3665673E-61.3665673E-61.00.01.217019E-55.856704E-65.856704E-61.00.01.4816198E-47.1303046E-58.1302336E-51.14023651.0E-50.00148063258.113543E-48.213462E-41.0123151.0E-5
8.22.030244E-66.3151083E-76.3151083E-71.00.08.701017E-62.7064723E-62.7064723E-61.00.01.05929736E-43.2950808E-53.2950808E-51.00.00.00105879253.9470522E-43.9470522E-41.00.0
8.31.0659804E-62.9230563E-72.9230563E-71.00.04.568479E-61.2527379E-61.2527379E-61.00.05.5619817E-51.5251981E-51.5251981E-51.00.05.5605895E-41.8556409E-41.8556409E-41.00.0

Sierra Madre

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.3379373E-51.1000776E-54.1000447E-53.72705033.0E-55.7338908E-54.714534E-57.714392E-51.63630013.0E-56.978776E-45.738448E-46.038276E-41.0522493.0E-50.00695690050.00572384470.00577355871.00868545.0E-5
6.11.3379373E-51.1000776E-54.1000447E-53.72705033.0E-55.7338908E-54.714534E-57.714392E-51.63630013.0E-56.978776E-45.738448E-46.038276E-41.0522493.0E-50.00695690050.00572384470.00577355871.00868545.0E-5
6.21.3379373E-51.1000776E-54.1000447E-53.72705033.0E-55.7338908E-54.714534E-57.714392E-51.63630013.0E-56.978776E-45.738448E-46.038276E-41.0522493.0E-50.00695690050.00572384470.00577355871.00868545.0E-5
6.31.3379373E-51.1000776E-54.1000447E-53.72705033.0E-55.7338908E-54.714534E-57.714392E-51.63630013.0E-56.978776E-45.738448E-46.038276E-41.0522493.0E-50.00695690050.00572384470.00577355871.00868545.0E-5
6.41.3379373E-51.1000776E-54.1000447E-53.72705033.0E-55.7338908E-54.714534E-57.714392E-51.63630013.0E-56.978776E-45.738448E-46.038276E-41.0522493.0E-50.00695690050.00572384470.00577355871.00868545.0E-5
6.51.26563245E-51.0230232E-54.0229927E-53.93245483.0E-55.4240263E-54.384312E-57.38418E-51.68422783.0E-56.601751E-45.3366035E-45.6364434E-41.05618553.0E-50.0065821730.00532396040.0053736941.00934155.0E-5
6.61.26563245E-51.0230232E-54.0229927E-53.93245483.0E-55.4240263E-54.384312E-57.38418E-51.68422783.0E-56.601751E-45.3366035E-45.6364434E-41.05618553.0E-50.0065821730.00532396040.0053736941.00934155.0E-5
6.71.2502474E-51.00663765E-54.0066076E-53.98018843.0E-55.3580934E-54.3140906E-57.3139614E-51.69536573.0E-56.521526E-45.25115E-45.550992E-41.05710033.0E-50.00650242060.00523891160.00528864941.0094945.0E-5
6.81.2454966E-51.0018662E-54.001836E-53.9943823.0E-55.3377335E-54.293642E-57.293513E-51.69867753.0E-56.4967526E-45.226266E-45.526109E-41.05737233.0E-50.0064777920.00521414450.00526388361.00953925.0E-5
6.91.2225574E-59.792639E-63.9792343E-54.06349563.0E-55.2394265E-54.196778E-57.1966526E-51.7148043.0E-56.3771347E-45.10839E-45.408237E-41.05869693.0E-50.0063588650.00509681370.0051465591.009765.0E-5
7.01.182946E-59.399179E-63.93989E-54.1917383.0E-55.06967E-54.0281582E-57.028037E-51.74472733.0E-56.1705755E-44.903189E-45.203042E-41.06115473.0E-50.0061534690.0048925330.00494228861.01016965.0E-5
7.11.14369095E-58.986194E-63.8985923E-54.3384243.0E-54.9014405E-53.85117E-56.851054E-51.7789543.0E-55.9658696E-44.6878002E-44.9876596E-41.06396593.0E-50.0059498790.00467806780.0047278341.01063815.0E-5
7.21.0836419E-58.39959E-62.8399421E-53.38104872.0E-54.644097E-53.599775E-55.599703E-51.55557022.0E-55.652721E-44.3818538E-44.5817663E-41.04562282.0E-50.00563836420.00437336140.00441318661.00910634.0E-5
7.31.0403439E-58.020854E-62.8020693E-53.493482.0E-54.4585406E-53.437464E-55.437395E-51.58180432.0E-55.426921E-44.184318E-44.3842342E-41.04777752.0E-50.0054136870.0041765850.00420645951.00715293.0E-5
7.49.768864E-67.4144855E-62.7414337E-53.69740252.0E-54.186589E-53.1775984E-55.1775347E-51.62938622.0E-55.09598E-43.868048E-44.0679707E-41.05168572.0E-50.00508430970.00386145760.00389134191.00773913.0E-5
7.58.687089E-66.450183E-62.6450054E-54.10066752.0E-53.722985E-52.7643353E-54.76428E-51.72348122.0E-54.5317915E-43.3650672E-43.5649998E-41.05941412.0E-50.0045225610.0033601090.00339000811.00889833.0E-5
7.66.3506063E-64.430329E-61.4430285E-53.25715851.0E-52.72166E-51.8986988E-52.8986798E-51.52666651.0E-53.3131172E-42.3114232E-42.4114E-41.04325341.0E-50.0033081820.00230909350.00231907051.00432071.0E-5
7.74.62223E-62.9329542E-62.9329542E-61.00.01.9809406E-51.2569743E-51.2569743E-51.00.02.4115283E-41.5302589E-41.5302589E-41.00.00.00240891290.00152925770.00152925771.00.0
7.83.2145008E-61.949411E-61.949411E-61.00.01.3776359E-58.354592E-68.354592E-61.00.01.6771426E-41.01712416E-41.01712416E-41.00.00.00167587740.00101667860.00101667861.00.0
7.91.0391769E-65.602482E-75.602482E-71.00.04.4536077E-62.4010617E-62.4010617E-61.00.05.4221324E-52.9232539E-52.9232539E-51.00.05.4208096E-42.9228735E-42.9228735E-41.00.0
8.01.210983E-76.613497E-86.613497E-81.00.05.1899264E-72.8343558E-72.8343558E-71.00.06.3187167E-63.4508228E-63.4508228E-61.00.06.318537E-53.450771E-53.450771E-51.00.0

Simi-Santa Rosa

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.198912E-52.2275388E-52.2275388E-51.00.09.4235686E-59.54627E-59.54627E-51.00.00.00114671560.00116168250.00118165931.01719642.0E-50.0114081630.0115605470.011609971.00427515.0E-5
6.12.198912E-52.2275388E-52.2275388E-51.00.09.4235686E-59.54627E-59.54627E-51.00.00.00114671560.00116168250.00118165931.01719642.0E-50.0114081630.0115605470.011609971.00427515.0E-5
6.21.69983E-51.6668506E-51.6668506E-51.00.07.284782E-57.143466E-57.143466E-51.00.08.865613E-48.6939917E-48.6939917E-41.00.00.0088303270.00866290.0086827271.00228872.0E-5
6.31.69983E-51.6668506E-51.6668506E-51.00.07.284782E-57.143466E-57.143466E-51.00.08.865613E-48.6939917E-48.6939917E-41.00.00.0088303270.00866290.0086827271.00228872.0E-5
6.41.4666188E-51.4052489E-51.4052489E-51.00.06.285358E-56.0223705E-56.0223705E-51.00.07.6497364E-47.330018E-47.330018E-41.00.00.00762345640.00730831640.00731824341.00135831.0E-5
6.51.4666188E-51.4052489E-51.4052489E-51.00.06.285358E-56.0223705E-56.0223705E-51.00.07.6497364E-47.330018E-47.330018E-41.00.00.00762345640.00730831640.00731824341.00135831.0E-5
6.61.4377586E-51.3729529E-51.3729529E-51.00.06.1616774E-55.883965E-55.883965E-51.00.07.4992597E-47.1616215E-47.1616215E-41.00.00.0074740030.00714101040.0071509391.00139031.0E-5
6.71.3881404E-51.3207497E-51.3207497E-51.00.05.9490372E-55.6602472E-55.6602472E-51.00.07.240546E-46.889419E-46.889419E-41.00.00.0072170.00687051050.0068804421.00144551.0E-5
6.81.0176516E-59.1541E-69.1541E-61.00.04.3612912E-53.923136E-53.923136E-51.00.05.308578E-44.775537E-44.775537E-41.00.00.00529591460.0047669080.004776861.00208781.0E-5
6.99.699797E-68.774672E-68.774672E-61.00.04.15699E-53.760529E-53.760529E-51.00.05.05996E-44.5776463E-44.5776463E-41.00.00.0050484540.00456983460.0045797891.00217831.0E-5
7.07.4049476E-66.559291E-66.559291E-61.00.03.1735104E-52.8111013E-52.8111013E-51.00.03.8630638E-43.422105E-43.422105E-41.00.00.00385635530.00341807750.00341807751.00.0
7.13.873439E-62.759473E-62.759473E-61.00.01.6600346E-51.1826261E-51.1826261E-51.00.02.0209046E-41.4397544E-41.4397544E-41.00.00.00201906780.00143884530.00143884531.00.0
7.23.417706E-62.367616E-62.367616E-61.00.01.4647229E-51.0146887E-51.0146887E-51.00.01.7831543E-41.2353157E-41.2353157E-41.00.00.00178172420.00123465130.00123465131.00.0
7.31.90225E-61.4073756E-61.4073756E-61.00.08.152474E-66.031596E-66.031596E-61.00.09.9251854E-57.343223E-57.343223E-51.00.09.920754E-47.340819E-47.340819E-41.00.0
7.41.5170556E-61.1024792E-61.1024792E-61.00.06.5016507E-64.7249023E-64.7249023E-61.00.07.915472E-55.752418E-55.752418E-51.00.07.9126534E-45.75094E-45.75094E-41.00.0
7.51.178732E-68.5351127E-78.5351127E-71.00.05.0516987E-63.6579004E-63.6579004E-61.00.06.1502695E-54.4534037E-54.4534037E-51.00.06.148568E-44.4525208E-44.4525208E-41.00.0
7.66.8722386E-74.793211E-74.793211E-71.00.02.9452417E-62.0542318E-62.0542318E-61.00.03.5857727E-52.5009986E-52.5009986E-51.00.03.5851944E-42.5007184E-42.5007184E-41.00.0
7.75.5126515E-73.6731117E-73.6731117E-71.00.02.3625628E-61.5741898E-61.5741898E-61.00.02.8763823E-51.9165593E-51.9165593E-51.00.02.87601E-41.9163951E-41.9163951E-41.00.0
7.83.3860243E-72.0075514E-72.0075514E-71.00.01.4511525E-68.6037886E-78.6037886E-71.00.01.7667637E-51.0475063E-51.0475063E-51.00.01.7666233E-41.0474575E-41.0474575E-41.00.0
7.92.7955386E-71.4648724E-71.4648724E-71.00.01.1980875E-66.278023E-76.278023E-71.00.01.4586617E-57.643467E-67.643467E-61.00.01.458566E-47.643208E-57.643208E-51.00.0
8.05.6259015E-83.335318E-83.335318E-81.00.02.4111003E-71.429422E-71.429422E-71.00.02.9355108E-61.7403199E-61.7403199E-61.00.02.935472E-51.7403077E-51.7403077E-51.00.0

Raymond

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5157413E-51.5810125E-52.5809968E-51.6324961.0E-56.4958724E-56.775606E-57.775539E-51.14757821.0E-57.905855E-48.246429E-48.3463464E-41.01211641.0E-50.0078777880.0082183550.0082679441.00603395.0E-5
6.11.5157413E-51.5810125E-52.5809968E-51.6324961.0E-56.4958724E-56.775606E-57.775539E-51.14757821.0E-57.905855E-48.246429E-48.3463464E-41.01211641.0E-50.0078777880.0082183550.0082679441.00603395.0E-5
6.21.5157413E-51.5810125E-52.5809968E-51.6324961.0E-56.4958724E-56.775606E-57.775539E-51.14757821.0E-57.905855E-48.246429E-48.3463464E-41.01211641.0E-50.0078777880.0082183550.0082679441.00603395.0E-5
6.31.5157413E-51.5810125E-52.5809968E-51.6324961.0E-56.4958724E-56.775606E-57.775539E-51.14757821.0E-57.905855E-48.246429E-48.3463464E-41.01211641.0E-50.0078777880.0082183550.0082679441.00603395.0E-5
6.41.3941944E-51.4454688E-52.4454543E-51.6918071.0E-55.9749822E-56.194732E-57.1946706E-51.16141751.0E-57.2721124E-47.53971E-47.6396344E-41.01325311.0E-50.0072483610.0075164710.00756609531.0066025.0E-5
6.51.3941944E-51.4454688E-52.4454543E-51.6918071.0E-55.9749822E-56.194732E-57.1946706E-51.16141751.0E-57.2721124E-47.53971E-47.6396344E-41.01325311.0E-50.0072483610.0075164710.00756609531.0066025.0E-5
6.61.0542609E-51.067111E-52.0671003E-51.93709961.0E-54.5181827E-54.573256E-55.57321E-51.21865261.0E-55.499499E-45.566571E-45.666515E-41.01795431.0E-50.0054859090.00555319660.00558302971.00537233.0E-5
6.71.0542609E-51.067111E-52.0671003E-51.93709961.0E-54.5181827E-54.573256E-55.57321E-51.21865261.0E-55.499499E-45.566571E-45.666515E-41.01795431.0E-50.0054859090.00555319660.00558302971.00537233.0E-5
6.81.0079132E-51.0176644E-52.0176542E-51.98263231.0E-54.3195567E-54.3613487E-55.361305E-51.22927691.0E-55.257791E-45.308702E-45.408649E-41.0188271.0E-50.00524536850.00529657770.00532641871.00563413.0E-5
6.97.721598E-67.548902E-61.7548826E-52.3246861.0E-53.3092143E-53.2352043E-54.235172E-51.30908951.0E-54.0282236E-43.9381615E-44.038122E-41.02538251.0E-50.00402092930.0039313240.0039612061.0076013.0E-5
7.07.137566E-66.911303E-61.6911234E-52.44689511.0E-53.058921E-52.961954E-53.9619244E-51.3376051.0E-53.7236E-43.605593E-43.705557E-41.02772471.0E-50.00371736680.0035998690.0036297611.00830363.0E-5
7.15.654976E-65.299538E-61.5299485E-52.88694721.0E-52.4235387E-52.2712107E-53.271188E-51.44028381.0E-52.9502588E-42.7648505E-42.8648227E-41.03615831.0E-50.00294634510.00276144920.00279136631.01083393.0E-5
7.24.9358455E-64.526655E-64.526655E-61.00.02.1153453E-51.9399806E-51.9399806E-51.00.02.5751285E-42.3616718E-42.3616718E-41.00.00.00257214650.0023591920.00237914451.00845742.0E-5
7.34.2368597E-63.8056128E-63.8056128E-61.00.01.8157843E-51.6309668E-51.6309668E-51.00.02.2104931E-41.9855222E-41.9855222E-41.00.00.00220829550.00198377460.00199375491.00503091.0E-5
7.43.4999923E-63.0437407E-63.0437407E-61.00.01.49998805E-51.3044538E-51.3044538E-51.00.01.8260824E-41.5880575E-41.5880575E-41.00.00.00182458260.00158694610.00159693021.00629141.0E-5
7.52.738017E-62.3020405E-62.3020405E-61.00.01.1734306E-59.865851E-69.865851E-61.00.01.428558E-41.20110184E-41.20110184E-41.00.00.00142764010.00120047470.00121046271.00832011.0E-5
7.61.8186392E-61.442302E-61.442302E-61.00.07.794145E-66.1812802E-66.1812802E-61.00.09.488958E-57.5254524E-57.5254524E-51.00.09.4849075E-47.5230957E-47.5230957E-41.00.0
7.71.0660348E-67.6437E-77.6437E-71.00.04.5687125E-63.2758674E-63.2758674E-61.00.05.5622655E-53.988297E-53.988297E-51.00.05.5608735E-43.9877492E-43.9877492E-41.00.0
7.86.913602E-74.3202903E-74.3202903E-71.00.02.962969E-61.8515517E-61.8515517E-61.00.03.607355E-52.2542416E-52.2542416E-51.00.03.6067693E-42.2541684E-42.2541684E-41.00.0
7.97.425201E-85.322267E-85.322267E-81.00.03.1822285E-72.2809714E-72.2809714E-71.00.03.874356E-62.7770805E-62.7770805E-61.00.03.8742884E-52.7770588E-52.7770588E-51.00.0

Verdugo

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.392987E-64.2164934E-64.2164934E-61.00.02.3112598E-51.8070563E-51.8070563E-51.00.02.8135953E-42.1998737E-42.2998518E-41.04544711.0E-50.00281003560.00219774390.0022376561.01816054.0E-5
6.15.392987E-64.2164934E-64.2164934E-61.00.02.3112598E-51.8070563E-51.8070563E-51.00.02.8135953E-42.1998737E-42.2998518E-41.04544711.0E-50.00281003560.00219774390.0022376561.01816054.0E-5
6.25.392987E-64.2164934E-64.2164934E-61.00.02.3112598E-51.8070563E-51.8070563E-51.00.02.8135953E-42.1998737E-42.2998518E-41.04544711.0E-50.00281003560.00219774390.0022376561.01816054.0E-5
6.35.392987E-64.2164934E-64.21