Parent Section Magnitude-Probability Distributions
Only fault sections with at least one triggered aftershock are plotted. Sections are sorted by total supraseismogenic trigger rate (decreasing)
Table Of Contents
Garlock (Central)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.5131142E-5 | 7.02476E-5 | 0.08016462 | 1141.1724 | 0.0801 | 2.3625491E-4 | 3.0102677E-4 | 0.09917126 | 329.44333 | 0.0989 | 0.0028726095 | 0.003658906 | 0.13599293 | 37.16765 | 0.13282 | 0.028357591 | 0.036136657 | 0.19326566 | 5.348189 | 0.16302 |
6.1 | 5.5131142E-5 | 7.02476E-5 | 0.08016462 | 1141.1724 | 0.0801 | 2.3625491E-4 | 3.0102677E-4 | 0.09917126 | 329.44333 | 0.0989 | 0.0028726095 | 0.003658906 | 0.13599293 | 37.16765 | 0.13282 | 0.028357591 | 0.036136657 | 0.19326566 | 5.348189 | 0.16302 |
6.2 | 4.216245E-5 | 5.1661802E-5 | 0.04828917 | 934.7171 | 0.04824 | 1.806837E-4 | 2.213891E-4 | 0.060807973 | 274.66562 | 0.0606 | 0.0021976046 | 0.002692112 | 0.084331736 | 31.325493 | 0.08186 | 0.021759989 | 0.026701318 | 0.12544248 | 4.697988 | 0.10145 |
6.3 | 4.216245E-5 | 5.1661802E-5 | 0.04828917 | 934.7171 | 0.04824 | 1.806837E-4 | 2.213891E-4 | 0.060807973 | 274.66562 | 0.0606 | 0.0021976046 | 0.002692112 | 0.084331736 | 31.325493 | 0.08186 | 0.021759989 | 0.026701318 | 0.12544248 | 4.697988 | 0.10145 |
6.4 | 3.6858168E-5 | 4.411026E-5 | 0.037082475 | 840.6769 | 0.03704 | 1.5795401E-4 | 1.8903041E-4 | 0.046900198 | 248.10927 | 0.04672 | 0.0019213937 | 0.0022990413 | 0.06564307 | 28.552368 | 0.06349 | 0.019048655 | 0.022866098 | 0.09984471 | 4.366495 | 0.07878 |
6.5 | 3.39199E-5 | 4.0018425E-5 | 0.03327869 | 831.58417 | 0.03324 | 1.453629E-4 | 1.7149639E-4 | 0.04218429 | 245.97772 | 0.04202 | 0.0017683565 | 0.0020859907 | 0.059036944 | 28.301632 | 0.05707 | 0.017543508 | 0.020758783 | 0.090157606 | 4.3431067 | 0.07087 |
6.6 | 3.3571985E-5 | 3.947258E-5 | 0.033228163 | 841.80365 | 0.03319 | 1.4387199E-4 | 1.6915736E-4 | 0.04211206 | 248.952 | 0.04195 | 0.0017502342 | 0.0020575672 | 0.05888041 | 28.616518 | 0.05694 | 0.017365133 | 0.020480042 | 0.0897419 | 4.38192 | 0.07071 |
6.7 | 3.2580007E-5 | 3.808902E-5 | 0.031896874 | 837.4297 | 0.03186 | 1.3962112E-4 | 1.6322857E-4 | 0.040436655 | 247.73026 | 0.04028 | 0.0016985617 | 0.0019855178 | 0.056517027 | 28.46463 | 0.05464 | 0.016856372 | 0.019770874 | 0.086181395 | 4.3590083 | 0.06775 |
6.8 | 3.2185937E-5 | 3.7516216E-5 | 0.03111635 | 829.4107 | 0.03108 | 1.3793244E-4 | 1.60774E-4 | 0.03955444 | 246.02512 | 0.0394 | 0.0016780337 | 0.0019556875 | 0.05520135 | 28.22606 | 0.05335 | 0.016654192 | 0.019477878 | 0.08441786 | 4.334038 | 0.06623 |
6.9 | 3.165394E-5 | 3.672075E-5 | 0.030435605 | 828.83936 | 0.0304 | 1.3565269E-4 | 1.5736527E-4 | 0.038601313 | 245.29755 | 0.03845 | 0.0016503202 | 0.00191426 | 0.053894565 | 28.154257 | 0.05208 | 0.01638118 | 0.019071518 | 0.082576826 | 4.3298507 | 0.06474 |
7.0 | 3.0903822E-5 | 3.562591E-5 | 0.02968457 | 833.2298 | 0.02965 | 1.3243823E-4 | 1.5267366E-4 | 0.03763695 | 246.51895 | 0.03749 | 0.0016112428 | 0.0018572382 | 0.052393205 | 28.210278 | 0.05063 | 0.015996104 | 0.018513493 | 0.0803177 | 4.338333 | 0.06297 |
7.1 | 3.0069863E-5 | 3.4392175E-5 | 0.02857341 | 830.8114 | 0.02854 | 1.2886449E-4 | 1.4738683E-4 | 0.036132082 | 245.15137 | 0.03599 | 0.0015677959 | 0.0017929787 | 0.050166093 | 27.979189 | 0.04846 | 0.01556781 | 0.01788099 | 0.07700455 | 4.3065042 | 0.0602 |
7.2 | 2.7957109E-5 | 3.128141E-5 | 0.023760539 | 759.5737 | 0.02373 | 1.1981068E-4 | 1.3405642E-4 | 0.030190026 | 225.20389 | 0.03006 | 0.0014577188 | 0.0016309345 | 0.042064883 | 25.79189 | 0.0405 | 0.014481937 | 0.016284352 | 0.065716065 | 4.0355344 | 0.05025 |
7.3 | 2.4519275E-5 | 2.6714602E-5 | 0.016696269 | 624.98663 | 0.01667 | 1.0507837E-4 | 1.1448621E-4 | 0.021012094 | 183.53384 | 0.0209 | 0.0012785783 | 0.001392993 | 0.029803362 | 21.395199 | 0.02845 | 0.012712469 | 0.01392861 | 0.048884843 | 3.5096712 | 0.03545 |
7.4 | 2.3225532E-5 | 2.5199166E-5 | 0.014974822 | 594.2586 | 0.01495 | 9.95342E-5 | 1.0799204E-4 | 0.018865965 | 174.69775 | 0.01876 | 0.0012111551 | 0.0013140244 | 0.026790503 | 20.38813 | 0.02551 | 0.012045753 | 0.013146196 | 0.044557754 | 3.3894029 | 0.03183 |
7.5 | 2.097765E-5 | 2.2483406E-5 | 0.011622222 | 516.92444 | 0.0116 | 8.9901114E-5 | 9.6353964E-5 | 0.014784939 | 153.44402 | 0.01469 | 0.0010939965 | 0.00117249 | 0.02114904 | 18.037714 | 0.02 | 0.010886264 | 0.0117406575 | 0.03644714 | 3.1043527 | 0.025 |
7.6 | 1.511254E-5 | 1.5990969E-5 | 0.0064158887 | 401.2195 | 0.0064 | 6.476642E-5 | 6.8530964E-5 | 0.008237971 | 120.20801 | 0.00817 | 7.882459E-4 | 8.34053E-4 | 0.011874837 | 14.237509 | 0.01105 | 0.007854558 | 0.008383867 | 0.022206996 | 2.648777 | 0.01394 |
7.7 | 9.934069E-6 | 1.0678523E-5 | 0.0019906573 | 186.41692 | 0.00198 | 4.2573887E-5 | 4.5764296E-5 | 0.0024656535 | 53.877228 | 0.00242 | 5.182138E-4 | 5.570383E-4 | 0.0037752446 | 6.7773523 | 0.00322 | 0.00517007 | 0.005627419 | 0.009724234 | 1.7280096 | 0.00412 |
7.8 | 6.7562896E-6 | 8.42837E-6 | 0.0012784177 | 151.6803 | 0.00127 | 2.8955206E-5 | 3.6121084E-5 | 0.0016460629 | 45.570694 | 0.00161 | 3.5247262E-4 | 4.3968562E-4 | 0.0026087316 | 5.933174 | 0.00217 | 0.0035191406 | 0.004446416 | 0.007184189 | 1.6157256 | 0.00275 |
7.9 | 3.975453E-6 | 5.3710532E-6 | 6.653675E-4 | 123.88027 | 6.6E-4 | 1.7037546E-5 | 2.3018596E-5 | 8.929986E-4 | 38.79466 | 8.7E-4 | 2.0741238E-4 | 2.8021546E-4 | 0.0013999016 | 4.9958043 | 0.00112 | 0.002072189 | 0.0028335669 | 0.0042595146 | 1.5032343 | 0.00143 |
8.0 | 1.6729537E-6 | 2.0775192E-6 | 2.1207708E-4 | 102.08189 | 2.1E-4 | 7.169782E-6 | 8.903624E-6 | 3.389007E-4 | 38.063232 | 3.3E-4 | 8.7288594E-5 | 1.0839626E-4 | 4.483594E-4 | 4.1362996 | 3.4E-4 | 8.7254314E-4 | 0.001096854 | 0.0015263824 | 1.3916003 | 4.3E-4 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 3.1489736E-7 | 3.0314888E-5 | 96.269104 | 3.0E-5 | 1.5742813E-6 | 1.3495595E-6 | 4.1349507E-5 | 30.63926 | 4.0E-5 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.643078E-5 | 6.642996E-5 | 4.0430193 | 5.0E-5 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.662928E-4 | 2.2628282E-4 | 1.3607494 | 6.0E-5 |
Tank Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.8284557E-5 | 5.796445E-5 | 0.040975593 | 706.909 | 0.04092 | 2.0691741E-4 | 2.4839927E-4 | 0.055374704 | 222.9262 | 0.05514 | 0.0025163088 | 0.0030207336 | 0.08660748 | 28.671007 | 0.08384 | 0.02488006 | 0.029863616 | 0.13943082 | 4.6689196 | 0.11294 |
6.1 | 1.7796336E-5 | 2.0873378E-5 | 0.014640568 | 701.3991 | 0.01462 | 7.626778E-5 | 8.945448E-5 | 0.019947678 | 222.9925 | 0.01986 | 9.281647E-4 | 0.0010886024 | 0.0316453 | 29.069662 | 0.03059 | 0.009242975 | 0.010836642 | 0.052767277 | 4.869338 | 0.04239 |
6.2 | 1.7796336E-5 | 2.0873378E-5 | 0.014640568 | 701.3991 | 0.01462 | 7.626778E-5 | 8.945448E-5 | 0.019947678 | 222.9925 | 0.01986 | 9.281647E-4 | 0.0010886024 | 0.0316453 | 29.069662 | 0.03059 | 0.009242975 | 0.010836642 | 0.052767277 | 4.869338 | 0.04239 |
6.3 | 1.3515912E-5 | 1.5759651E-5 | 0.010615593 | 673.5931 | 0.0106 | 5.792405E-5 | 6.7539746E-5 | 0.014536562 | 215.22974 | 0.01447 | 7.049971E-4 | 8.2200987E-4 | 0.023013754 | 27.996931 | 0.02221 | 0.007027647 | 0.008192157 | 0.038720004 | 4.7264724 | 0.03078 |
6.4 | 1.0870146E-5 | 1.2618114E-5 | 0.007892518 | 625.49115 | 0.00788 | 4.658551E-5 | 5.4076605E-5 | 0.010833493 | 200.33604 | 0.01078 | 5.67031E-4 | 6.582015E-4 | 0.017457137 | 26.52248 | 0.01681 | 0.005655863 | 0.006564382 | 0.0297313 | 4.5291853 | 0.02332 |
6.5 | 7.964826E-6 | 9.196184E-6 | 0.0047991523 | 521.86346 | 0.00479 | 3.4134522E-5 | 3.941168E-5 | 0.0066891494 | 169.72505 | 0.00665 | 4.1550855E-4 | 4.797421E-4 | 0.010944719 | 22.813755 | 0.01047 | 0.0041473247 | 0.004788209 | 0.019149115 | 3.9992228 | 0.01443 |
6.6 | 6.6317E-6 | 7.612378E-6 | 0.0035675853 | 468.65582 | 0.00356 | 2.8421264E-5 | 3.262412E-5 | 0.0048524668 | 148.73863 | 0.00482 | 3.4597394E-4 | 3.9713533E-4 | 0.008034102 | 20.230135 | 0.00764 | 0.0034543579 | 0.0039652516 | 0.014493339 | 3.655087 | 0.01057 |
6.7 | 4.793663E-6 | 5.4308593E-6 | 0.00203542 | 374.7878 | 0.00203 | 2.0544108E-5 | 2.3274928E-5 | 0.0027532114 | 118.29087 | 0.00273 | 2.500958E-4 | 2.833398E-4 | 0.004742076 | 16.736359 | 0.00446 | 0.0024981452 | 0.0028303189 | 0.0089629125 | 3.16675 | 0.00615 |
6.8 | 4.382823E-6 | 4.969325E-6 | 0.0018149604 | 365.23276 | 0.00181 | 1.8783392E-5 | 2.1296957E-5 | 0.0024512452 | 115.09837 | 0.00243 | 2.286638E-4 | 2.5926388E-4 | 0.004238232 | 16.347176 | 0.00398 | 0.0022842865 | 0.0025901233 | 0.008115774 | 3.1333542 | 0.00554 |
6.9 | 2.729601E-6 | 3.0735862E-6 | 8.53071E-4 | 277.54907 | 8.5E-4 | 1.1698237E-5 | 1.3172453E-5 | 0.0010731585 | 81.46991 | 0.00106 | 1.4241673E-4 | 1.6036403E-4 | 0.0018600915 | 11.599181 | 0.0017 | 0.001423255 | 0.0016024808 | 0.003988651 | 2.4890475 | 0.00239 |
7.0 | 1.8987357E-6 | 2.126971E-6 | 3.5212623E-4 | 165.5529 | 3.5E-4 | 8.137413E-6 | 9.115562E-6 | 4.1911184E-4 | 45.97762 | 4.1E-4 | 9.90685E-5 | 1.1097702E-4 | 8.108993E-4 | 7.3069124 | 7.0E-4 | 9.902435E-4 | 0.0011092846 | 0.0021081753 | 1.9004819 | 0.001 |
7.1 | 1.4928986E-6 | 1.6641525E-6 | 2.6166372E-4 | 157.23541 | 2.6E-4 | 6.398121E-6 | 7.132066E-6 | 3.1712986E-4 | 44.465355 | 3.1E-4 | 7.789434E-5 | 8.6830034E-5 | 5.2679185E-4 | 6.0669312 | 4.4E-4 | 7.786704E-4 | 8.6801895E-4 | 0.0014774895 | 1.7021396 | 6.1E-4 |
7.2 | 1.069082E-6 | 1.1828765E-6 | 8.1182785E-5 | 68.63166 | 8.0E-5 | 4.581772E-6 | 5.0694644E-6 | 1.0506896E-4 | 20.725851 | 1.0E-4 | 5.5781646E-5 | 6.171951E-5 | 2.417084E-4 | 3.9162397 | 1.8E-4 | 5.576765E-4 | 6.1707594E-4 | 8.669217E-4 | 1.4048865 | 2.5E-4 |
7.3 | 8.776551E-7 | 9.770151E-7 | 5.0976967E-5 | 52.17623 | 5.0E-5 | 3.7613736E-6 | 4.187204E-6 | 7.418691E-5 | 17.71753 | 7.0E-5 | 4.579376E-5 | 5.0978535E-5 | 1.8097191E-4 | 3.5499628 | 1.3E-4 | 4.5784327E-4 | 5.097194E-4 | 6.8962766E-4 | 1.3529555 | 1.8E-4 |
7.4 | 7.55721E-7 | 8.5103835E-7 | 5.0850995E-5 | 59.751705 | 5.0E-5 | 3.2388E-6 | 3.6473052E-6 | 6.364709E-5 | 17.450441 | 6.0E-5 | 3.9431678E-5 | 4.4405555E-5 | 1.3440156E-4 | 3.0266836 | 9.0E-5 | 3.942468E-4 | 4.4401767E-4 | 5.539688E-4 | 1.2476279 | 1.1E-4 |
7.5 | 5.587665E-7 | 6.305732E-7 | 4.0630548E-5 | 64.43431 | 4.0E-5 | 2.3947114E-6 | 2.7024564E-6 | 4.2702348E-5 | 15.801309 | 4.0E-5 | 2.915522E-5 | 3.2902408E-5 | 9.290043E-5 | 2.8235147 | 6.0E-5 | 2.9151395E-4 | 3.2902407E-4 | 3.9900106E-4 | 1.2126803 | 7.0E-5 |
Little Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.8424427E-5 | 3.1205716E-5 | 0.030840244 | 988.2883 | 0.03081 | 1.2181328E-4 | 1.3373268E-4 | 0.03798867 | 284.06424 | 0.03786 | 0.0014820677 | 0.0016271125 | 0.052084878 | 32.01062 | 0.05054 | 0.014722223 | 0.016165398 | 0.07805844 | 4.8287354 | 0.06291 |
6.1 | 2.8424427E-5 | 3.1205716E-5 | 0.030840244 | 988.2883 | 0.03081 | 1.2181328E-4 | 1.3373268E-4 | 0.03798867 | 284.06424 | 0.03786 | 0.0014820677 | 0.0016271125 | 0.052084878 | 32.01062 | 0.05054 | 0.014722223 | 0.016165398 | 0.07805844 | 4.8287354 | 0.06291 |
6.2 | 2.8424427E-5 | 3.1205716E-5 | 0.030840244 | 988.2883 | 0.03081 | 1.2181328E-4 | 1.3373268E-4 | 0.03798867 | 284.06424 | 0.03786 | 0.0014820677 | 0.0016271125 | 0.052084878 | 32.01062 | 0.05054 | 0.014722223 | 0.016165398 | 0.07805844 | 4.8287354 | 0.06291 |
6.3 | 1.48860645E-5 | 1.6081383E-5 | 0.02121574 | 1319.2733 | 0.0212 | 6.379586E-5 | 6.8918554E-5 | 0.025827143 | 374.74875 | 0.02576 | 7.7643775E-4 | 8.387886E-4 | 0.034520514 | 41.1552 | 0.03371 | 0.007737305 | 0.008359045 | 0.04960139 | 5.933859 | 0.04159 |
6.4 | 1.48860645E-5 | 1.6081383E-5 | 0.02121574 | 1319.2733 | 0.0212 | 6.379586E-5 | 6.8918554E-5 | 0.025827143 | 374.74875 | 0.02576 | 7.7643775E-4 | 8.387886E-4 | 0.034520514 | 41.1552 | 0.03371 | 0.007737305 | 0.008359045 | 0.04960139 | 5.933859 | 0.04159 |
6.5 | 1.2797581E-5 | 1.376556E-5 | 0.019663496 | 1428.4559 | 0.01965 | 5.4845623E-5 | 5.8994065E-5 | 0.023867588 | 404.5761 | 0.02381 | 6.675408E-4 | 7.1804173E-4 | 0.03186566 | 44.378563 | 0.03117 | 0.006655392 | 0.007159767 | 0.045274902 | 6.323516 | 0.03839 |
6.6 | 9.661896E-6 | 1.0289033E-5 | 0.016970115 | 1649.3402 | 0.01696 | 4.1407468E-5 | 4.40952E-5 | 0.020643188 | 468.15045 | 0.0206 | 5.040193E-4 | 5.36743E-4 | 0.027632192 | 51.481228 | 0.02711 | 0.005028777 | 0.0053560715 | 0.03848766 | 7.1858 | 0.03331 |
6.7 | 7.767871E-6 | 8.199681E-6 | 0.014868078 | 1813.2507 | 0.01486 | 3.329045E-5 | 3.5141096E-5 | 0.018044509 | 513.48737 | 0.01801 | 4.0523586E-4 | 4.2777258E-4 | 0.02424758 | 56.683342 | 0.02383 | 0.004044977 | 0.004270843 | 0.03343575 | 7.8288407 | 0.02929 |
6.8 | 6.4235196E-6 | 6.735739E-6 | 0.012116654 | 1798.8604 | 0.01211 | 2.752908E-5 | 2.8867207E-5 | 0.014428452 | 499.82153 | 0.0144 | 3.35115E-4 | 3.5141438E-4 | 0.019444702 | 55.332687 | 0.0191 | 0.003346101 | 0.0035098472 | 0.026847648 | 7.6492352 | 0.02342 |
6.9 | 3.1283696E-6 | 3.1121751E-6 | 0.0072530895 | 2330.5532 | 0.00725 | 1.3407229E-5 | 1.33378335E-5 | 0.008493225 | 636.7769 | 0.00848 | 1.6322079E-4 | 1.6237753E-4 | 0.011440546 | 70.45646 | 0.01128 | 0.0016310095 | 0.0016227372 | 0.015570068 | 9.594941 | 0.01397 |
7.0 | 2.290603E-6 | 2.2286763E-6 | 0.0045322184 | 2033.5923 | 0.00453 | 9.816834E-6 | 9.551441E-6 | 0.005319501 | 556.93176 | 0.00531 | 1.19513395E-4 | 1.1628362E-4 | 0.007155465 | 61.53459 | 0.00704 | 0.0011944914 | 0.0011623299 | 0.009882183 | 8.502047 | 0.00873 |
7.1 | 1.293693E-6 | 1.1776774E-6 | 0.0020611752 | 1750.2036 | 0.00206 | 5.5443866E-6 | 5.047183E-6 | 0.0024350348 | 482.45425 | 0.00243 | 6.750081E-5 | 6.1448416E-5 | 0.0033012494 | 53.72391 | 0.00324 | 6.7480316E-4 | 6.1438273E-4 | 0.004491999 | 7.3114014 | 0.00388 |
7.2 | 4.715842E-7 | 3.091732E-7 | 8.0309146E-5 | 259.75455 | 8.0E-5 | 2.0210737E-6 | 1.3250274E-6 | 1.013249E-4 | 76.47004 | 1.0E-4 | 2.4606294E-5 | 1.6132095E-5 | 1.4613E-4 | 9.05834 | 1.3E-4 | 2.460357E-4 | 1.6130977E-4 | 3.2128397E-4 | 1.9917204 | 1.6E-4 |
7.3 | 3.9430947E-7 | 2.3096938E-7 | 5.023096E-5 | 217.47885 | 5.0E-5 | 1.6898966E-6 | 9.898685E-7 | 7.09898E-5 | 71.7164 | 7.0E-5 | 2.0574296E-5 | 1.2051582E-5 | 1.1205038E-4 | 9.297565 | 1.0E-4 | 2.0572392E-4 | 1.2050936E-4 | 2.504937E-4 | 2.0786245 | 1.3E-4 |
7.4 | 3.547123E-7 | 1.9678579E-7 | 4.0196777E-5 | 204.26666 | 4.0E-5 | 1.5201948E-6 | 8.433674E-7 | 6.084332E-5 | 72.14331 | 6.0E-5 | 1.8508214E-5 | 1.02679505E-5 | 1.00267025E-4 | 9.765048 | 9.0E-5 | 1.8506673E-4 | 1.0267482E-4 | 2.2266251E-4 | 2.1686182 | 1.2E-4 |
7.5 | 2.6354266E-7 | 1.4422719E-7 | 3.0144223E-5 | 209.00514 | 3.0E-5 | 1.129468E-6 | 6.1811636E-7 | 4.061809E-5 | 65.71269 | 4.0E-5 | 1.3751187E-5 | 7.525541E-6 | 7.7525016E-5 | 10.301586 | 7.0E-5 | 1.3750336E-4 | 7.5252916E-5 | 1.752454E-4 | 2.328752 | 1.0E-4 |
7.6 | 1.269913E-7 | 7.572344E-8 | 1.00757225E-5 | 133.0595 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4424834E-7 | 3.24529E-7 | 2.0324522E-5 | 62.627754 | 2.0E-5 | 6.6262032E-6 | 3.9511337E-6 | 4.3950975E-5 | 11.123636 | 4.0E-5 | 6.626006E-5 | 3.9510673E-5 | 7.950909E-5 | 2.0123448 | 4.0E-5 |
Owl Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.0320643E-5 | 6.6358676E-5 | 0.01855513 | 279.61877 | 0.01849 | 2.1564208E-4 | 2.843643E-4 | 0.025217272 | 88.67946 | 0.02494 | 0.0026222812 | 0.003457547 | 0.040080484 | 11.592173 | 0.03675 | 0.02591553 | 0.034141295 | 0.08056047 | 2.3596194 | 0.04806 |
6.1 | 5.0320643E-5 | 6.6358676E-5 | 0.01855513 | 279.61877 | 0.01849 | 2.1564208E-4 | 2.843643E-4 | 0.025217272 | 88.67946 | 0.02494 | 0.0026222812 | 0.003457547 | 0.040080484 | 11.592173 | 0.03675 | 0.02591553 | 0.034141295 | 0.08056047 | 2.3596194 | 0.04806 |
6.2 | 2.4125871E-5 | 3.0980515E-5 | 0.01458053 | 470.63547 | 0.01455 | 1.0339249E-4 | 1.3276804E-4 | 0.019670174 | 148.15443 | 0.01954 | 0.0012580766 | 0.0016154252 | 0.029889677 | 18.502668 | 0.02832 | 0.012509781 | 0.016070755 | 0.052535173 | 3.2689922 | 0.03706 |
6.3 | 1.7433485E-5 | 2.2355545E-5 | 0.013122063 | 586.97125 | 0.0131 | 7.471279E-5 | 9.580685E-5 | 0.01749414 | 182.598 | 0.0174 | 9.0924866E-4 | 0.001165962 | 0.025957022 | 22.262323 | 0.02482 | 0.009055373 | 0.0116291465 | 0.04340527 | 3.7324553 | 0.03215 |
6.4 | 1.7433485E-5 | 2.2355545E-5 | 0.013122063 | 586.97125 | 0.0131 | 7.471279E-5 | 9.580685E-5 | 0.01749414 | 182.598 | 0.0174 | 9.0924866E-4 | 0.001165962 | 0.025957022 | 22.262323 | 0.02482 | 0.009055373 | 0.0116291465 | 0.04340527 | 3.7324553 | 0.03215 |
6.5 | 1.5182742E-5 | 1.9429277E-5 | 0.012679183 | 652.58136 | 0.01266 | 6.506727E-5 | 8.3266525E-5 | 0.016881868 | 202.74495 | 0.0168 | 7.919061E-4 | 0.0010134344 | 0.024779325 | 24.450844 | 0.02379 | 0.0078909 | 0.010118678 | 0.04053773 | 4.006228 | 0.03073 |
6.6 | 6.7271576E-6 | 8.547518E-6 | 0.010868454 | 1271.5334 | 0.01086 | 2.8830356E-5 | 3.6631736E-5 | 0.01400612 | 382.34933 | 0.01397 | 3.5095305E-4 | 4.4590578E-4 | 0.019147564 | 42.940826 | 0.01871 | 0.0035039932 | 0.0044680187 | 0.027823199 | 6.227189 | 0.02346 |
6.7 | 6.682835E-6 | 8.479961E-6 | 0.010848388 | 1279.2969 | 0.01084 | 2.8640408E-5 | 3.6342215E-5 | 0.013975835 | 384.562 | 0.01394 | 3.4864116E-4 | 4.423823E-4 | 0.019094128 | 43.162052 | 0.01866 | 0.003480947 | 0.0044329325 | 0.027739158 | 6.257519 | 0.02341 |
6.8 | 6.5774975E-6 | 8.326427E-6 | 0.010798236 | 1296.8632 | 0.01079 | 2.8188972E-5 | 3.5684232E-5 | 0.013905189 | 389.67322 | 0.01387 | 3.4314668E-4 | 4.3437455E-4 | 0.019006304 | 43.755566 | 0.01858 | 0.0034261728 | 0.0043531056 | 0.02757159 | 6.333775 | 0.02332 |
6.9 | 6.363419E-6 | 7.999591E-6 | 0.010747913 | 1343.558 | 0.01074 | 2.727151E-5 | 3.428354E-5 | 0.013803812 | 402.6367 | 0.01377 | 3.3198006E-4 | 4.1732774E-4 | 0.01887962 | 45.23931 | 0.01847 | 0.0033148455 | 0.0041830647 | 0.027266102 | 6.518212 | 0.02318 |
7.0 | 6.1342453E-6 | 7.631779E-6 | 0.01069755 | 1401.7112 | 0.01069 | 2.6289357E-5 | 3.2707245E-5 | 0.01372226 | 419.548 | 0.01369 | 3.2002592E-4 | 3.9814346E-4 | 0.018740838 | 47.070564 | 0.01835 | 0.0031956544 | 0.003991739 | 0.02694973 | 6.7513757 | 0.02305 |
7.1 | 5.842926E-6 | 7.142312E-6 | 0.010207069 | 1429.0988 | 0.0102 | 2.504087E-5 | 3.060958E-5 | 0.01309021 | 427.65076 | 0.01306 | 3.0482994E-4 | 3.7261334E-4 | 0.01776613 | 47.679802 | 0.0174 | 0.0030441214 | 0.0037371595 | 0.025515465 | 6.8275023 | 0.02186 |
7.2 | 4.77173E-6 | 5.358478E-6 | 0.006625323 | 1236.4187 | 0.00662 | 2.045011E-5 | 2.2964727E-5 | 0.008592768 | 374.17242 | 0.00857 | 2.4895166E-4 | 2.7956374E-4 | 0.011676377 | 41.76642 | 0.0114 | 0.0024867293 | 0.0028086212 | 0.016988683 | 6.0487623 | 0.01422 |
7.3 | 3.0494948E-6 | 2.710356E-6 | 0.0018327053 | 676.1862 | 0.00183 | 1.3069198E-5 | 1.1615762E-5 | 0.0022615895 | 194.70007 | 0.00225 | 1.5910587E-4 | 1.4141288E-4 | 0.003230976 | 22.84782 | 0.00309 | 0.0015899199 | 0.0014231089 | 0.005317559 | 3.736579 | 0.0039 |
7.4 | 2.7263884E-6 | 2.3055634E-6 | 0.0011723029 | 508.467 | 0.00117 | 1.1684469E-5 | 9.880949E-6 | 0.0014998663 | 151.79375 | 0.00149 | 1.4224913E-4 | 1.2029401E-4 | 0.0021600486 | 17.95641 | 0.00204 | 0.0014215811 | 0.0012110578 | 0.0038278848 | 3.160778 | 0.00262 |
7.5 | 2.6090431E-6 | 2.1655019E-6 | 9.821634E-4 | 453.55002 | 9.8E-4 | 1.1181565E-5 | 9.2806895E-6 | 0.0012892688 | 138.91951 | 0.00128 | 1.3612706E-4 | 1.1298663E-4 | 0.0018627889 | 16.486809 | 0.00175 | 0.001360437 | 0.0011378126 | 0.0034351957 | 3.0191224 | 0.0023 |
7.6 | 2.3008756E-6 | 1.8726826E-6 | 6.5187144E-4 | 348.09503 | 6.5E-4 | 9.860858E-6 | 8.025758E-6 | 8.3801907E-4 | 104.41619 | 8.3E-4 | 1.20049335E-4 | 9.770931E-5 | 0.001267595 | 12.9731245 | 0.00117 | 0.001199845 | 9.848307E-4 | 0.0025632747 | 2.6027567 | 0.00158 |
7.7 | 1.7184348E-6 | 1.341808E-6 | 4.0134127E-4 | 299.10483 | 4.0E-4 | 7.3646997E-6 | 5.750593E-6 | 4.6574796E-4 | 80.99129 | 4.6E-4 | 8.966153E-5 | 7.0011265E-5 | 6.9996715E-4 | 9.997922 | 6.3E-4 | 8.962536E-4 | 7.0769014E-4 | 0.0016070532 | 2.270843 | 9.0E-4 |
7.8 | 8.4612907E-7 | 8.4054994E-7 | 1.908404E-4 | 227.0423 | 1.9E-4 | 3.6262625E-6 | 3.602352E-6 | 2.2360156E-4 | 62.070988 | 2.2E-4 | 4.4148852E-5 | 4.3857777E-5 | 3.6384375E-4 | 8.295992 | 3.2E-4 | 4.414008E-4 | 4.4386165E-4 | 8.936619E-4 | 2.0133793 | 4.5E-4 |
7.9 | 2.716738E-7 | 3.7681625E-7 | 6.0376795E-5 | 160.22874 | 6.0E-5 | 1.1643157E-6 | 1.6149258E-6 | 7.161481E-5 | 44.345573 | 7.0E-5 | 1.4175452E-5 | 1.9661555E-5 | 1.1965959E-4 | 6.0859675 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4174548E-4 | 1.9829652E-4 | 3.182727E-4 | 1.6050344 | 1.2E-4 |
8.0 | 2.1995428E-8 | 3.3853325E-8 | 3.3853325E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.426611E-8 | 1.4508568E-7 | 1.4508568E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1476893E-6 | 1.7664173E-6 | 1.7664173E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.14768345E-5 | 1.7869768E-5 | 1.7869768E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Airport Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.3103157E-5 | 0.026572755 | 2027.966 | 0.02656 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.615534E-5 | 0.03207436 | 571.172 | 0.03202 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.8350515E-4 | 0.043054525 | 62.99078 | 0.0424 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0068168393 | 0.05827366 | 8.548487 | 0.05181 |
6.1 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.3103157E-5 | 0.026572755 | 2027.966 | 0.02656 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.615534E-5 | 0.03207436 | 571.172 | 0.03202 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.8350515E-4 | 0.043054525 | 62.99078 | 0.0424 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0068168393 | 0.05827366 | 8.548487 | 0.05181 |
6.2 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.3103157E-5 | 0.026572755 | 2027.966 | 0.02656 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.615534E-5 | 0.03207436 | 571.172 | 0.03202 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.8350515E-4 | 0.043054525 | 62.99078 | 0.0424 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0068168393 | 0.05827366 | 8.548487 | 0.05181 |
6.3 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.3103157E-5 | 0.026572755 | 2027.966 | 0.02656 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.615534E-5 | 0.03207436 | 571.172 | 0.03202 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.8350515E-4 | 0.043054525 | 62.99078 | 0.0424 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0068168393 | 0.05827366 | 8.548487 | 0.05181 |
6.4 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.3103157E-5 | 0.026572755 | 2027.966 | 0.02656 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.615534E-5 | 0.03207436 | 571.172 | 0.03202 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.8350515E-4 | 0.043054525 | 62.99078 | 0.0424 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0068168393 | 0.05827366 | 8.548487 | 0.05181 |
6.5 | 6.9922594E-6 | 7.384925E-6 | 0.01969724 | 2667.2227 | 0.01969 | 2.996648E-5 | 3.1649324E-5 | 0.023800896 | 752.0191 | 0.02377 | 3.6478083E-4 | 3.8526783E-4 | 0.03172319 | 82.340614 | 0.03135 | 0.003641826 | 0.0038465366 | 0.042407636 | 11.024888 | 0.03871 |
6.6 | 6.9922594E-6 | 7.384925E-6 | 0.01969724 | 2667.2227 | 0.01969 | 2.996648E-5 | 3.1649324E-5 | 0.023800896 | 752.0191 | 0.02377 | 3.6478083E-4 | 3.8526783E-4 | 0.03172319 | 82.340614 | 0.03135 | 0.003641826 | 0.0038465366 | 0.042407636 | 11.024888 | 0.03871 |
6.7 | 5.477277E-6 | 5.7860684E-6 | 0.016875688 | 2916.6072 | 0.01687 | 2.3473833E-5 | 2.4797222E-5 | 0.020384293 | 822.03937 | 0.02036 | 2.8575645E-4 | 3.0186825E-4 | 0.02715376 | 89.952354 | 0.02686 | 0.0028538927 | 0.003014966 | 0.03599523 | 11.938851 | 0.03308 |
6.8 | 3.9950432E-6 | 4.2190873E-6 | 0.012954164 | 3070.3713 | 0.01295 | 1.7121502E-5 | 1.8081691E-5 | 0.0154078035 | 852.12177 | 0.01539 | 2.0843433E-4 | 2.2012512E-4 | 0.02045567 | 92.92747 | 0.02024 | 0.0020823893 | 0.0021993418 | 0.027094468 | 12.319353 | 0.02495 |
6.9 | 2.95695E-6 | 3.1230243E-6 | 0.009063095 | 2902.0251 | 0.00906 | 1.2672582E-5 | 1.3384334E-5 | 0.010713241 | 800.4314 | 0.0107 | 1.5427776E-4 | 1.6294434E-4 | 0.014320637 | 87.88667 | 0.01416 | 0.001541707 | 0.0016284712 | 0.019249728 | 11.820737 | 0.01765 |
7.0 | 1.456072E-6 | 1.540812E-6 | 0.0042215344 | 2739.8115 | 0.00422 | 6.2402937E-6 | 6.603469E-6 | 0.004926571 | 746.05804 | 0.00492 | 7.597293E-5 | 8.039528E-5 | 0.00660987 | 82.21715 | 0.00653 | 7.594696E-4 | 8.0376083E-4 | 0.008927226 | 11.106819 | 0.00813 |
7.1 | 6.995192E-7 | 7.4089746E-7 | 0.0019307395 | 2605.947 | 0.00193 | 2.997936E-6 | 3.1752747E-6 | 0.002253168 | 709.59784 | 0.00225 | 3.649926E-5 | 3.865897E-5 | 0.0030285434 | 78.33999 | 0.00299 | 3.6493264E-4 | 3.865897E-4 | 0.0039652055 | 10.256884 | 0.00358 |
Panamint Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.3984263E-5 | 0.015123472 | 445.01398 | 0.01509 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.4563887E-4 | 0.019692792 | 135.21658 | 0.01955 | 0.0015751923 | 0.0017717406 | 0.03024121 | 17.068644 | 0.02852 | 0.015640736 | 0.017583003 | 0.054531705 | 3.1013875 | 0.03761 |
6.1 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.3984263E-5 | 0.015123472 | 445.01398 | 0.01509 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.4563887E-4 | 0.019692792 | 135.21658 | 0.01955 | 0.0015751923 | 0.0017717406 | 0.03024121 | 17.068644 | 0.02852 | 0.015640736 | 0.017583003 | 0.054531705 | 3.1013875 | 0.03761 |
6.2 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.3984263E-5 | 0.015123472 | 445.01398 | 0.01509 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.4563887E-4 | 0.019692792 | 135.21658 | 0.01955 | 0.0015751923 | 0.0017717406 | 0.03024121 | 17.068644 | 0.02852 | 0.015640736 | 0.017583003 | 0.054531705 | 3.1013875 | 0.03761 |
6.3 | 2.8573924E-5 | 3.2102445E-5 | 0.0144316405 | 449.5496 | 0.0144 | 1.2245393E-4 | 1.375748E-4 | 0.01878501 | 136.54396 | 0.01865 | 0.001489857 | 0.0016737141 | 0.028868122 | 17.24794 | 0.02724 | 0.01479908 | 0.016618038 | 0.051685438 | 3.1102011 | 0.03566 |
6.4 | 2.8573924E-5 | 3.2102445E-5 | 0.0144316405 | 449.5496 | 0.0144 | 1.2245393E-4 | 1.375748E-4 | 0.01878501 | 136.54396 | 0.01865 | 0.001489857 | 0.0016737141 | 0.028868122 | 17.24794 | 0.02724 | 0.01479908 | 0.016618038 | 0.051685438 | 3.1102011 | 0.03566 |
6.5 | 2.7468774E-5 | 3.0828138E-5 | 0.014130393 | 458.36023 | 0.0141 | 1.1771801E-4 | 1.3211406E-4 | 0.018259719 | 138.21178 | 0.01813 | 0.0014322745 | 0.0016073292 | 0.0280248 | 17.43563 | 0.02646 | 0.014230782 | 0.015963882 | 0.04998201 | 3.1309433 | 0.03457 |
6.6 | 2.6135967E-5 | 2.9252153E-5 | 0.01376885 | 470.69528 | 0.01374 | 1.1200648E-4 | 1.2536049E-4 | 0.017703157 | 141.21799 | 0.01758 | 0.0013628257 | 0.0015252219 | 0.027096162 | 17.765388 | 0.02561 | 0.013544982 | 0.015154343 | 0.04802849 | 3.1692889 | 0.03338 |
6.7 | 2.4498746E-5 | 2.7341044E-5 | 0.013376976 | 489.26352 | 0.01335 | 1.04990395E-4 | 1.17170785E-4 | 0.01718517 | 146.66771 | 0.01707 | 0.0012775084 | 0.0014256459 | 0.026040504 | 18.265759 | 0.02465 | 0.012701893 | 0.014171593 | 0.04560966 | 3.2183864 | 0.03189 |
6.8 | 2.2244329E-5 | 2.4935374E-5 | 0.012564623 | 503.88748 | 0.01254 | 9.532935E-5 | 1.0686163E-4 | 0.016055157 | 150.24248 | 0.01595 | 0.0011600169 | 0.0013002857 | 0.024160523 | 18.580933 | 0.02289 | 0.011539802 | 0.012932955 | 0.042071175 | 3.253021 | 0.02952 |
6.9 | 1.9902658E-5 | 2.2290182E-5 | 0.011462036 | 514.219 | 0.01144 | 8.529431E-5 | 9.552596E-5 | 0.014524148 | 152.04399 | 0.01443 | 0.0010379635 | 0.0011624265 | 0.021508748 | 18.503319 | 0.02037 | 0.010331288 | 0.011569021 | 0.03738684 | 3.2316337 | 0.02612 |
7.0 | 1.8353881E-5 | 2.056605E-5 | 0.0108103445 | 525.64026 | 0.01079 | 7.865712E-5 | 8.813734E-5 | 0.0136769395 | 155.17758 | 0.01359 | 9.5722964E-4 | 0.0010725616 | 0.020072162 | 18.714228 | 0.01902 | 0.009531168 | 0.01067939 | 0.034670416 | 3.246479 | 0.02425 |
7.1 | 1.7667631E-5 | 1.9772435E-5 | 0.010529565 | 532.5376 | 0.01051 | 7.571623E-5 | 8.4736355E-5 | 0.013303616 | 157.0001 | 0.01322 | 9.2145515E-4 | 0.0010311945 | 0.01941222 | 18.824986 | 0.0184 | 0.009176437 | 0.0102695925 | 0.033320416 | 3.24457 | 0.02329 |
7.2 | 1.6381597E-5 | 1.8158042E-5 | 0.009297989 | 512.059 | 0.00928 | 7.020495E-5 | 7.781795E-5 | 0.011796906 | 151.59619 | 0.01172 | 8.544101E-4 | 9.470391E-4 | 0.017251583 | 18.216337 | 0.01632 | 0.008511325 | 0.009435269 | 0.030009298 | 3.180545 | 0.02077 |
7.3 | 1.4520491E-5 | 1.596657E-5 | 0.0075158468 | 470.7239 | 0.0075 | 6.222919E-5 | 6.842646E-5 | 0.009597775 | 140.26408 | 0.00953 | 7.57377E-4 | 8.327899E-4 | 0.014131705 | 16.969112 | 0.01331 | 0.0075480095 | 0.008300399 | 0.02519896 | 3.0358732 | 0.01704 |
7.4 | 1.2852287E-5 | 1.41454875E-5 | 0.0072940425 | 515.6445 | 0.00728 | 5.5080065E-5 | 6.06222E-5 | 0.009270064 | 152.91533 | 0.00921 | 6.7039346E-4 | 7.378411E-4 | 0.0135383895 | 18.34865 | 0.01281 | 0.0066837464 | 0.007357429 | 0.02354743 | 3.200497 | 0.01631 |
7.5 | 1.1637851E-5 | 1.2836868E-5 | 0.007182745 | 559.5403 | 0.00717 | 4.987555E-5 | 5.5014076E-5 | 0.009144514 | 166.22134 | 0.00909 | 6.070656E-4 | 6.696062E-4 | 0.013321129 | 19.893974 | 0.01266 | 0.006054099 | 0.0066793845 | 0.022642046 | 3.3898404 | 0.01607 |
7.6 | 3.0068115E-6 | 3.3330623E-6 | 0.0033633218 | 1009.0786 | 0.00336 | 1.2886271E-5 | 1.4284516E-5 | 0.0042742235 | 299.22076 | 0.00426 | 1.5687906E-4 | 1.7390738E-4 | 0.006012892 | 34.575253 | 0.00584 | 0.0015676835 | 0.0017397973 | 0.009047062 | 5.2000666 | 0.00732 |
Garlock (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5092507E-5 | 6.2904815E-5 | 0.011852163 | 188.41423 | 0.01179 | 1.9323928E-4 | 2.6956675E-4 | 0.01616528 | 59.96764 | 0.0159 | 0.0023501497 | 0.003277482 | 0.0268101 | 8.180091 | 0.02361 | 0.023254504 | 0.03235377 | 0.06325071 | 1.9549719 | 0.03193 |
6.1 | 4.5092507E-5 | 6.2904815E-5 | 0.011852163 | 188.41423 | 0.01179 | 1.9323928E-4 | 2.6956675E-4 | 0.01616528 | 59.96764 | 0.0159 | 0.0023501497 | 0.003277482 | 0.0268101 | 8.180091 | 0.02361 | 0.023254504 | 0.03235377 | 0.06325071 | 1.9549719 | 0.03193 |
6.2 | 2.6674514E-5 | 3.4511588E-5 | 0.009394188 | 272.2039 | 0.00936 | 1.1431433E-4 | 1.4789861E-4 | 0.012286103 | 83.07112 | 0.01214 | 0.0013908884 | 0.0017992114 | 0.018878426 | 10.492612 | 0.01711 | 0.01382215 | 0.017872788 | 0.039567977 | 2.2138672 | 0.02209 |
6.3 | 2.6674514E-5 | 3.4511588E-5 | 0.009394188 | 272.2039 | 0.00936 | 1.1431433E-4 | 1.4789861E-4 | 0.012286103 | 83.07112 | 0.01214 | 0.0013908884 | 0.0017992114 | 0.018878426 | 10.492612 | 0.01711 | 0.01382215 | 0.017872788 | 0.039567977 | 2.2138672 | 0.02209 |
6.4 | 2.5312667E-5 | 3.2340467E-5 | 0.009232043 | 285.4641 | 0.0092 | 1.0847834E-4 | 1.3859481E-4 | 0.0121069355 | 87.3549 | 0.01197 | 0.0013199237 | 0.0016861152 | 0.018477755 | 10.958774 | 0.01682 | 0.013121112 | 0.016772287 | 0.038019836 | 2.266825 | 0.02161 |
6.5 | 2.5312667E-5 | 3.2340467E-5 | 0.009232043 | 285.4641 | 0.0092 | 1.0847834E-4 | 1.3859481E-4 | 0.0121069355 | 87.3549 | 0.01197 | 0.0013199237 | 0.0016861152 | 0.018477755 | 10.958774 | 0.01682 | 0.013121112 | 0.016772287 | 0.038019836 | 2.266825 | 0.02161 |
6.6 | 2.246556E-5 | 2.8134691E-5 | 0.008867886 | 315.194 | 0.00884 | 9.627742E-5 | 1.2057181E-4 | 0.011539195 | 95.70392 | 0.01142 | 0.0011715472 | 0.0014669969 | 0.017383613 | 11.849796 | 0.01594 | 0.011653901 | 0.014613169 | 0.034724914 | 2.3762753 | 0.02041 |
6.7 | 2.2241198E-5 | 2.7804432E-5 | 0.008867559 | 318.9261 | 0.00884 | 9.531594E-5 | 1.1915654E-4 | 0.0115177985 | 96.66107 | 0.0114 | 0.0011598538 | 0.0014497889 | 0.017336722 | 11.958101 | 0.01591 | 0.011538187 | 0.014442829 | 0.03451863 | 2.3900185 | 0.02037 |
6.8 | 1.9528685E-5 | 2.3898969E-5 | 0.008593694 | 359.58432 | 0.00857 | 8.369167E-5 | 1.0242024E-4 | 0.011031301 | 107.70626 | 0.01093 | 0.0010184698 | 0.0012462728 | 0.016337441 | 13.109041 | 0.01511 | 0.010138147 | 0.012436723 | 0.031457193 | 2.5293794 | 0.01926 |
6.9 | 1.3318621E-5 | 1.5198818E-5 | 0.008035077 | 528.6646 | 0.00802 | 5.7078556E-5 | 6.51362E-5 | 0.010164478 | 156.0496 | 0.0101 | 6.9470983E-4 | 7.927504E-4 | 0.014501873 | 18.293116 | 0.01372 | 0.0069254204 | 0.007940721 | 0.025033902 | 3.1525984 | 0.01723 |
7.0 | 1.1760853E-5 | 1.3107653E-5 | 0.0078430055 | 598.35315 | 0.00783 | 5.0402683E-5 | 5.6174475E-5 | 0.009915621 | 176.51471 | 0.00986 | 6.134799E-4 | 6.8371464E-4 | 0.014024587 | 20.51234 | 0.01335 | 0.0061178906 | 0.006857401 | 0.023482608 | 3.424418 | 0.01674 |
7.1 | 1.0064758E-5 | 1.0902761E-5 | 0.007700819 | 706.31824 | 0.00769 | 4.3133965E-5 | 4.67253E-5 | 0.009666276 | 206.87456 | 0.00962 | 5.2502943E-4 | 5.6873553E-4 | 0.013421422 | 23.598703 | 0.01286 | 0.005237907 | 0.0057133473 | 0.02161199 | 3.7827196 | 0.01599 |
7.2 | 9.768808E-6 | 1.0498628E-5 | 0.00752042 | 716.324 | 0.00751 | 4.186565E-5 | 4.499337E-5 | 0.009464569 | 210.35477 | 0.00942 | 5.095951E-4 | 5.4766005E-4 | 0.01312077 | 23.957874 | 0.01258 | 0.0050842804 | 0.005503584 | 0.021047562 | 3.8243375 | 0.01563 |
7.3 | 9.344516E-6 | 9.9442705E-6 | 0.0069098757 | 694.86 | 0.0069 | 4.004731E-5 | 4.2617627E-5 | 0.008682249 | 203.72438 | 0.00864 | 4.8746695E-4 | 5.187495E-4 | 0.012062758 | 23.25353 | 0.01155 | 0.0048639905 | 0.005215269 | 0.019510325 | 3.7410007 | 0.01437 |
7.4 | 9.023491E-6 | 9.490441E-6 | 0.0061194324 | 644.79956 | 0.00611 | 3.867153E-5 | 4.0672705E-5 | 0.0077003613 | 189.32503 | 0.00766 | 4.7072413E-4 | 4.95081E-4 | 0.010650051 | 21.511734 | 0.01016 | 0.004697283 | 0.0049787266 | 0.017595597 | 3.5341558 | 0.01268 |
7.5 | 7.081253E-6 | 7.0873994E-6 | 0.003037066 | 428.51627 | 0.00303 | 3.0347876E-5 | 3.0374218E-5 | 0.003950255 | 130.0529 | 0.00392 | 3.6942272E-4 | 3.697441E-4 | 0.0054078805 | 14.626009 | 0.00504 | 0.003688092 | 0.0037244745 | 0.009941234 | 2.6691642 | 0.00624 |
7.6 | 6.116396E-6 | 5.9589424E-6 | 0.0018459479 | 309.77777 | 0.00184 | 2.6212863E-5 | 2.5538076E-5 | 0.0024454764 | 95.75805 | 0.00242 | 3.1909486E-4 | 3.1088197E-4 | 0.0033699307 | 10.839904 | 0.00306 | 0.0031863707 | 0.0031359126 | 0.0070236824 | 2.239757 | 0.0039 |
7.7 | 4.797145E-6 | 4.7571157E-6 | 0.0011247518 | 236.43567 | 0.00112 | 2.055903E-5 | 2.0387479E-5 | 0.0014403586 | 70.64917 | 0.00142 | 2.5027743E-4 | 2.481894E-4 | 0.0019877576 | 8.009034 | 0.00174 | 0.0024999576 | 0.0025094065 | 0.0047238357 | 1.8824513 | 0.00222 |
7.8 | 3.4028885E-6 | 3.978375E-6 | 7.339755E-4 | 184.49129 | 7.3E-4 | 1.4583726E-5 | 1.7050066E-5 | 9.770337E-4 | 57.303806 | 9.6E-4 | 1.775424E-4 | 2.0756487E-4 | 0.001367324 | 6.5874543 | 0.00116 | 0.0017740062 | 0.0021012141 | 0.0035781043 | 1.7028747 | 0.00148 |
7.9 | 2.5928412E-6 | 3.372436E-6 | 4.7337086E-4 | 140.36467 | 4.7E-4 | 1.1112129E-5 | 1.4453217E-5 | 6.3444424E-4 | 43.896404 | 6.2E-4 | 1.3528178E-4 | 1.7595377E-4 | 9.1582356E-4 | 5.2049103 | 7.4E-4 | 0.0013519945 | 0.0017812426 | 0.002769479 | 1.5548018 | 9.9E-4 |
8.0 | 1.3743648E-6 | 1.6734741E-6 | 1.8167317E-4 | 108.56049 | 1.8E-4 | 5.8901214E-6 | 7.1720124E-6 | 2.9716993E-4 | 41.434666 | 2.9E-4 | 7.1709874E-5 | 8.731578E-5 | 3.872896E-4 | 4.435505 | 3.0E-4 | 7.1686733E-4 | 8.837377E-4 | 0.001273393 | 1.4409174 | 3.9E-4 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 3.1489736E-7 | 3.0314888E-5 | 96.269104 | 3.0E-5 | 1.5742813E-6 | 1.3495595E-6 | 4.1349507E-5 | 30.63926 | 4.0E-5 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.643078E-5 | 6.642996E-5 | 4.0430193 | 5.0E-5 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.662928E-4 | 2.2628282E-4 | 1.3607494 | 6.0E-5 |
Hunter Mountain-Saline Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5103672E-5 | 5.456906E-5 | 0.0074841636 | 137.15031 | 0.00743 | 1.9328714E-4 | 2.3384714E-4 | 0.009651644 | 41.273304 | 0.00942 | 0.002350731 | 0.0028435462 | 0.016115699 | 5.667465 | 0.01331 | 0.023260195 | 0.028092625 | 0.044663645 | 1.5898709 | 0.01705 |
6.1 | 4.5103672E-5 | 5.456906E-5 | 0.0074841636 | 137.15031 | 0.00743 | 1.9328714E-4 | 2.3384714E-4 | 0.009651644 | 41.273304 | 0.00942 | 0.002350731 | 0.0028435462 | 0.016115699 | 5.667465 | 0.01331 | 0.023260195 | 0.028092625 | 0.044663645 | 1.5898709 | 0.01705 |
6.2 | 3.9363465E-5 | 4.706271E-5 | 0.007436715 | 158.01714 | 0.00739 | 1.6868966E-4 | 2.016826E-4 | 0.009569793 | 47.449768 | 0.00937 | 0.002051862 | 0.0024528534 | 0.015660377 | 6.3845553 | 0.01324 | 0.020330196 | 0.024274187 | 0.04080298 | 1.6809206 | 0.01694 |
6.3 | 3.9363465E-5 | 4.706271E-5 | 0.007436715 | 158.01714 | 0.00739 | 1.6868966E-4 | 2.016826E-4 | 0.009569793 | 47.449768 | 0.00937 | 0.002051862 | 0.0024528534 | 0.015660377 | 6.3845553 | 0.01324 | 0.020330196 | 0.024274187 | 0.04080298 | 1.6809206 | 0.01694 |
6.4 | 3.2311684E-5 | 3.795112E-5 | 0.0074076713 | 195.1898 | 0.00737 | 1.384713E-4 | 1.6263791E-4 | 0.009511117 | 58.48032 | 0.00935 | 0.0016845843 | 0.001978387 | 0.015152272 | 7.658902 | 0.0132 | 0.016718714 | 0.019617118 | 0.03611696 | 1.8410941 | 0.01683 |
6.5 | 3.2311684E-5 | 3.795112E-5 | 0.0074076713 | 195.1898 | 0.00737 | 1.384713E-4 | 1.6263791E-4 | 0.009511117 | 58.48032 | 0.00935 | 0.0016845843 | 0.001978387 | 0.015152272 | 7.658902 | 0.0132 | 0.016718714 | 0.019617118 | 0.03611696 | 1.8410941 | 0.01683 |
6.6 | 2.9305844E-5 | 3.418196E-5 | 0.0073939306 | 216.31088 | 0.00736 | 1.2559042E-4 | 1.4648624E-4 | 0.009475119 | 64.682655 | 0.00933 | 0.0015279909 | 0.0017820727 | 0.014908639 | 8.365898 | 0.01315 | 0.015175272 | 0.017686324 | 0.034140076 | 1.9303094 | 0.01675 |
6.7 | 2.7826512E-5 | 3.2344353E-5 | 0.007392106 | 228.54395 | 0.00736 | 1.19251024E-4 | 1.3861163E-4 | 0.009467319 | 68.30104 | 0.00933 | 0.0014509142 | 0.0016863506 | 0.014814175 | 8.784755 | 0.01315 | 0.014414776 | 0.016743818 | 0.03321336 | 1.9836192 | 0.01675 |
6.8 | 2.3389874E-5 | 2.6866792E-5 | 0.0073766694 | 274.56458 | 0.00735 | 1.0023846E-4 | 1.1513857E-4 | 0.009424066 | 81.84978 | 0.00931 | 0.00121972 | 0.001400958 | 0.01447262 | 10.330516 | 0.01309 | 0.01213047 | 0.013928067 | 0.030346164 | 2.178778 | 0.01665 |
6.9 | 2.069209E-5 | 2.357011E-5 | 0.0073433975 | 311.5555 | 0.00732 | 8.867737E-5 | 1.0101105E-4 | 0.009350076 | 92.564896 | 0.00925 | 0.0010791123 | 0.0012291519 | 0.014233149 | 11.57965 | 0.01302 | 0.010738871 | 0.012229158 | 0.028586643 | 2.3375807 | 0.01656 |
7.0 | 1.7462342E-5 | 1.9633622E-5 | 0.0073194904 | 372.80386 | 0.0073 | 7.483646E-5 | 8.414151E-5 | 0.0093133645 | 110.68692 | 0.00923 | 9.1075303E-4 | 0.0010239641 | 0.013940725 | 13.614466 | 0.01293 | 0.009070295 | 0.010196688 | 0.026498748 | 2.5987604 | 0.01647 |
7.1 | 1.4807709E-5 | 1.6441827E-5 | 0.007306322 | 444.3741 | 0.00729 | 6.3460066E-5 | 7.046316E-5 | 0.009289813 | 131.8393 | 0.00922 | 7.723524E-4 | 8.575678E-4 | 0.013726522 | 16.00634 | 0.01288 | 0.007696735 | 0.008546168 | 0.024796097 | 2.9014287 | 0.01639 |
7.2 | 1.4180048E-5 | 1.5698413E-5 | 0.0072955843 | 464.73386 | 0.00728 | 6.077022E-5 | 6.727727E-5 | 0.009276657 | 137.88695 | 0.00921 | 7.396263E-4 | 8.1880915E-4 | 0.013678271 | 16.705078 | 0.01287 | 0.0073716943 | 0.008161469 | 0.024407785 | 2.9906116 | 0.01638 |
7.3 | 1.3730402E-5 | 1.5172151E-5 | 0.007295062 | 480.8192 | 0.00728 | 5.8843252E-5 | 6.502197E-5 | 0.009274423 | 142.63522 | 0.00921 | 7.161811E-4 | 7.9137104E-4 | 0.013631202 | 17.224792 | 0.01285 | 0.007138774 | 0.007889058 | 0.024119994 | 3.0573983 | 0.01636 |
7.4 | 1.2810095E-5 | 1.4109353E-5 | 0.007274007 | 515.54504 | 0.00726 | 5.489925E-5 | 6.0467344E-5 | 0.009249912 | 152.97368 | 0.00919 | 6.681934E-4 | 7.3595706E-4 | 0.013506551 | 18.352364 | 0.01278 | 0.006661878 | 0.0073386896 | 0.023489289 | 3.200747 | 0.01627 |
7.5 | 1.1595659E-5 | 1.2800734E-5 | 0.0071627093 | 559.55457 | 0.00715 | 4.9694736E-5 | 5.485922E-5 | 0.009124362 | 166.32321 | 0.00907 | 6.0486543E-4 | 6.67722E-4 | 0.013289289 | 19.902428 | 0.01263 | 0.006032217 | 0.006660632 | 0.022583863 | 3.3906486 | 0.01603 |
7.6 | 2.997694E-6 | 3.3251877E-6 | 0.003363314 | 1011.46594 | 0.00336 | 1.28471975E-5 | 1.4250767E-5 | 0.00427419 | 299.927 | 0.00426 | 1.564034E-4 | 1.7349655E-4 | 0.0060124835 | 34.65477 | 0.00584 | 0.0015629337 | 0.0017356955 | 0.00904299 | 5.2100096 | 0.00732 |
Blackwater
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0708583E-5 | 3.3095846E-5 | 0.004342953 | 131.22351 | 0.00431 | 1.3160157E-4 | 1.4183241E-4 | 0.0061409813 | 43.297447 | 0.006 | 0.0016010714 | 0.0017255784 | 0.011398857 | 6.6058183 | 0.00969 | 0.015895851 | 0.017135633 | 0.030512417 | 1.7806413 | 0.01361 |
6.1 | 3.0708583E-5 | 3.3095846E-5 | 0.004342953 | 131.22351 | 0.00431 | 1.3160157E-4 | 1.4183241E-4 | 0.0061409813 | 43.297447 | 0.006 | 0.0016010714 | 0.0017255784 | 0.011398857 | 6.6058183 | 0.00969 | 0.015895851 | 0.017135633 | 0.030512417 | 1.7806413 | 0.01361 |
6.2 | 1.1707779E-5 | 1.2545122E-5 | 0.0013625282 | 108.6102 | 0.00135 | 5.017523E-5 | 5.3763757E-5 | 0.0019736604 | 36.70987 | 0.00192 | 6.107122E-4 | 6.5438676E-4 | 0.003812319 | 5.8257885 | 0.00316 | 0.006090366 | 0.0065255696 | 0.0112147685 | 1.7185885 | 0.00472 |
6.3 | 1.1707779E-5 | 1.2545122E-5 | 0.0013625282 | 108.6102 | 0.00135 | 5.017523E-5 | 5.3763757E-5 | 0.0019736604 | 36.70987 | 0.00192 | 6.107122E-4 | 6.5438676E-4 | 0.003812319 | 5.8257885 | 0.00316 | 0.006090366 | 0.0065255696 | 0.0112147685 | 1.7185885 | 0.00472 |
6.4 | 7.929244E-6 | 8.480098E-6 | 8.684728E-4 | 102.41306 | 8.6E-4 | 3.3982033E-5 | 3.6342793E-5 | 0.001296297 | 35.668613 | 0.00126 | 4.136527E-4 | 4.423877E-4 | 0.0025714454 | 5.812651 | 0.00213 | 0.0041288356 | 0.0044154758 | 0.0075416113 | 1.707995 | 0.00314 |
6.5 | 5.8832115E-6 | 6.285991E-6 | 5.8628235E-4 | 93.26809 | 5.8E-4 | 2.521352E-5 | 2.6939697E-5 | 8.9691626E-4 | 33.29348 | 8.7E-4 | 3.0693135E-4 | 3.27944E-4 | 0.0018174554 | 5.541969 | 0.00149 | 0.0030650778 | 0.0032748538 | 0.0054078456 | 1.6513243 | 0.00214 |
6.6 | 5.8832115E-6 | 6.285991E-6 | 5.8628235E-4 | 93.26809 | 5.8E-4 | 2.521352E-5 | 2.6939697E-5 | 8.9691626E-4 | 33.29348 | 8.7E-4 | 3.0693135E-4 | 3.27944E-4 | 0.0018174554 | 5.541969 | 0.00149 | 0.0030650778 | 0.0032748538 | 0.0054078456 | 1.6513243 | 0.00214 |
6.7 | 3.0715053E-6 | 3.2814662E-6 | 2.7328057E-4 | 83.28002 | 2.7E-4 | 1.3163528E-5 | 1.4063357E-5 | 3.94058E-4 | 28.020195 | 3.8E-4 | 1.6025416E-4 | 1.7120909E-4 | 8.310961E-4 | 4.8542757 | 6.6E-4 | 0.0016013865 | 0.0017108864 | 0.0026892098 | 1.5718225 | 9.8E-4 |
6.8 | 2.2722281E-6 | 2.4287538E-6 | 1.924283E-4 | 79.22923 | 1.9E-4 | 9.738084E-6 | 1.0408908E-5 | 2.704062E-4 | 25.978346 | 2.6E-4 | 1.1855473E-4 | 1.26722E-4 | 5.76665E-4 | 4.55063 | 4.5E-4 | 0.001184915 | 0.0012665876 | 0.0018957896 | 1.4967694 | 6.3E-4 |
6.9 | 9.952399E-7 | 1.0653489E-6 | 4.1065305E-5 | 38.546345 | 4.0E-5 | 4.265307E-6 | 4.5657757E-6 | 6.45655E-5 | 14.14119 | 6.0E-5 | 5.1928873E-5 | 5.5587418E-5 | 1.9557963E-4 | 3.5184155 | 1.4E-4 | 5.191674E-4 | 5.557858E-4 | 8.056468E-4 | 1.4495636 | 2.5E-4 |
7.0 | 4.7385504E-7 | 5.0755597E-7 | 1.05075505E-5 | 20.702251 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0308057E-6 | 2.1752398E-6 | 1.2175218E-5 | 5.597184 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4724779E-5 | 2.6483543E-5 | 8.648195E-5 | 3.2654977 | 6.0E-5 | 2.4722028E-4 | 2.6483546E-4 | 3.7480632E-4 | 1.4152423 | 1.1E-4 |
Ash Hill
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.3194447E-5 | 0.0039031045 | 168.27754 | 0.00388 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.940143E-5 | 0.0054588686 | 54.917404 | 0.00536 | 0.0011236023 | 0.0012096206 | 0.010308601 | 8.522178 | 0.00911 | 0.011179381 | 0.012038348 | 0.02488185 | 2.0668824 | 0.013 |
6.1 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.3194447E-5 | 0.0039031045 | 168.27754 | 0.00388 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.940143E-5 | 0.0054588686 | 54.917404 | 0.00536 | 0.0011236023 | 0.0012096206 | 0.010308601 | 8.522178 | 0.00911 | 0.011179381 | 0.012038348 | 0.02488185 | 2.0668824 | 0.013 |
6.2 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.3194447E-5 | 0.0039031045 | 168.27754 | 0.00388 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.940143E-5 | 0.0054588686 | 54.917404 | 0.00536 | 0.0011236023 | 0.0012096206 | 0.010308601 | 8.522178 | 0.00911 | 0.011179381 | 0.012038348 | 0.02488185 | 2.0668824 | 0.013 |
6.3 | 1.0025529E-5 | 1.0746934E-5 | 0.0016407294 | 152.66953 | 0.00163 | 4.2965847E-5 | 4.605755E-5 | 0.0023259525 | 50.501003 | 0.00228 | 5.229836E-4 | 5.6061964E-4 | 0.0042385566 | 7.5604854 | 0.00368 | 0.005217545 | 0.0055933665 | 0.01103277 | 1.9724742 | 0.00547 |
6.4 | 1.0025529E-5 | 1.0746934E-5 | 0.0016407294 | 152.66953 | 0.00163 | 4.2965847E-5 | 4.605755E-5 | 0.0023259525 | 50.501003 | 0.00228 | 5.229836E-4 | 5.6061964E-4 | 0.0042385566 | 7.5604854 | 0.00368 | 0.005217545 | 0.0055933665 | 0.01103277 | 1.9724742 | 0.00547 |
6.5 | 6.9617327E-6 | 7.456634E-6 | 0.001037449 | 139.131 | 0.00103 | 2.9835655E-5 | 3.195666E-5 | 0.0015119094 | 47.311245 | 0.00148 | 3.6318856E-4 | 3.8901155E-4 | 0.0028380584 | 7.2955637 | 0.00245 | 0.0036259557 | 0.0038841602 | 0.007569789 | 1.9488869 | 0.0037 |
6.6 | 4.9919777E-6 | 5.3466883E-6 | 7.5534265E-4 | 141.273 | 7.5E-4 | 2.1394015E-5 | 2.2914215E-5 | 0.0010428908 | 45.512833 | 0.00102 | 2.60441E-4 | 2.7895154E-4 | 0.0019884745 | 7.1283865 | 0.00171 | 0.0026013597 | 0.0027866727 | 0.0053993715 | 1.9375694 | 0.00262 |
6.7 | 3.6630722E-6 | 3.924624E-6 | 5.5392244E-4 | 141.14027 | 5.5E-4 | 1.5698786E-5 | 1.681974E-5 | 7.9680665E-4 | 47.373302 | 7.8E-4 | 1.9111596E-4 | 2.0476682E-4 | 0.0015344945 | 7.4938626 | 0.00133 | 0.0019095168 | 0.0020463446 | 0.0041121086 | 2.0094898 | 0.00207 |
6.8 | 2.5599613E-6 | 2.744925E-6 | 4.3274375E-4 | 157.6523 | 4.3E-4 | 1.0971216E-5 | 1.1763939E-5 | 5.817572E-4 | 49.452587 | 5.7E-4 | 1.3356637E-4 | 1.4322149E-4 | 0.0011230812 | 7.8415685 | 9.8E-4 | 0.0013348613 | 0.0014317769 | 0.0029096578 | 2.0322006 | 0.00148 |
6.9 | 1.7684905E-6 | 1.8968707E-6 | 2.8189633E-4 | 148.61125 | 2.8E-4 | 7.579223E-6 | 8.129446E-6 | 3.8812635E-4 | 47.743275 | 3.8E-4 | 9.2273134E-5 | 9.8976E-5 | 7.3891267E-4 | 7.465574 | 6.4E-4 | 9.223483E-4 | 9.8976E-4 | 0.0019787801 | 1.9992524 | 9.9E-4 |
Garlock (West)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.5181727E-5 | 2.5197181E-5 | 0.0053750626 | 213.31999 | 0.00535 | 1.0791722E-4 | 1.0798347E-4 | 0.0069872406 | 64.70657 | 0.00688 | 0.0013131002 | 0.0013139093 | 0.010511808 | 8.000406 | 0.00921 | 0.013053683 | 0.013141794 | 0.024391979 | 1.8560615 | 0.0114 |
6.1 | 2.5077732E-5 | 2.5098223E-5 | 0.005374964 | 214.15715 | 0.00535 | 1.0747157E-4 | 1.075594E-4 | 0.006986819 | 64.95778 | 0.00688 | 0.001307681 | 0.0013087525 | 0.010506699 | 8.028026 | 0.00921 | 0.013000126 | 0.013090835 | 0.0243416 | 1.8594383 | 0.0114 |
6.2 | 2.494612E-5 | 2.4979914E-5 | 0.005374846 | 215.16672 | 0.00535 | 1.0690756E-4 | 1.070524E-4 | 0.006986316 | 65.26071 | 0.00688 | 0.0013008224 | 0.0013025872 | 0.01050059 | 8.061334 | 0.00921 | 0.012932341 | 0.013029906 | 0.024281366 | 1.8635104 | 0.0114 |
6.3 | 2.4733758E-5 | 2.4799276E-5 | 0.005374667 | 216.72675 | 0.00535 | 1.0599751E-4 | 1.06278305E-4 | 0.006985547 | 65.72881 | 0.00688 | 0.0012897556 | 0.0012931736 | 0.010491263 | 8.112803 | 0.00921 | 0.012822957 | 0.0129368715 | 0.024189392 | 1.8698022 | 0.0114 |
6.4 | 2.3237335E-5 | 2.3178607E-5 | 0.0053730546 | 231.81093 | 0.00535 | 9.958477E-5 | 9.933313E-5 | 0.0069786496 | 70.25501 | 0.00688 | 0.0012117702 | 0.0012087126 | 0.010397593 | 8.602204 | 0.0092 | 0.012051838 | 0.012101731 | 0.023344014 | 1.9289813 | 0.01138 |
6.5 | 2.2732203E-5 | 2.2992977E-5 | 0.00536287 | 233.23949 | 0.00534 | 9.742009E-5 | 9.8537625E-5 | 0.0069678607 | 70.71269 | 0.00687 | 0.0011854442 | 0.0011990381 | 0.0103680305 | 8.646957 | 0.00918 | 0.011791403 | 0.012006035 | 0.023229647 | 1.9348308 | 0.01136 |
6.6 | 2.1319436E-5 | 2.1773201E-5 | 0.005361657 | 246.25027 | 0.00534 | 9.136581E-5 | 9.3310395E-5 | 0.0069526704 | 74.51121 | 0.00686 | 0.001111811 | 0.0011354643 | 0.010295052 | 9.066821 | 0.00917 | 0.011062649 | 0.011376952 | 0.022597823 | 1.986281 | 0.01135 |
6.7 | 1.970802E-5 | 2.0393094E-5 | 0.0053602844 | 262.848 | 0.00534 | 8.446021E-5 | 8.739606E-5 | 0.0069467966 | 79.48638 | 0.00686 | 0.001027818 | 0.0010635294 | 0.010213788 | 9.603672 | 0.00916 | 0.010230771 | 0.0106646875 | 0.021854071 | 2.0491993 | 0.01131 |
6.8 | 1.8744462E-5 | 1.9900775E-5 | 0.0053597945 | 269.32593 | 0.00534 | 8.033094E-5 | 8.528626E-5 | 0.006944701 | 81.42814 | 0.00686 | 9.775903E-4 | 0.0010378672 | 0.01017837 | 9.807007 | 0.00915 | 0.009733009 | 0.010410495 | 0.021592855 | 2.0741432 | 0.0113 |
6.9 | 1.7559682E-5 | 1.8953151E-5 | 0.005348852 | 282.2144 | 0.00533 | 7.5253614E-5 | 8.122527E-5 | 0.0069206697 | 85.20341 | 0.00684 | 9.158276E-4 | 9.884704E-4 | 0.010109446 | 10.227363 | 0.00913 | 0.0091206245 | 0.009921073 | 0.021089163 | 2.1256938 | 0.01128 |
7.0 | 1.6794445E-5 | 1.8215967E-5 | 0.0053281193 | 292.4972 | 0.00531 | 7.197421E-5 | 7.806611E-5 | 0.0068875346 | 88.22695 | 0.00681 | 8.759337E-4 | 9.5004175E-4 | 0.010011425 | 10.537879 | 0.00907 | 0.008724891 | 0.009539958 | 0.02065292 | 2.1648858 | 0.01122 |
7.1 | 1.6337795E-5 | 1.771677E-5 | 0.005307623 | 299.58188 | 0.00529 | 7.0017246E-5 | 7.592681E-5 | 0.006845413 | 90.15805 | 0.00677 | 8.521265E-4 | 9.2401815E-4 | 0.009945674 | 10.763505 | 0.00903 | 0.008488664 | 0.009281721 | 0.020357952 | 2.193338 | 0.01118 |
7.2 | 1.5780008E-5 | 1.71654E-5 | 0.0053070746 | 309.17282 | 0.00529 | 6.762685E-5 | 7.3563926E-5 | 0.006843066 | 93.02203 | 0.00677 | 8.2304585E-4 | 8.952741E-4 | 0.009897208 | 11.054947 | 0.00901 | 0.008200042 | 0.008996559 | 0.020046247 | 2.2282126 | 0.01115 |
7.3 | 1.5058865E-5 | 1.6618484E-5 | 0.005276531 | 317.5098 | 0.00526 | 6.45364E-5 | 7.122013E-5 | 0.006800741 | 95.48902 | 0.00673 | 7.854473E-4 | 8.667614E-4 | 0.009828987 | 11.339899 | 0.00897 | 0.00782677 | 0.008713263 | 0.019716546 | 2.26282 | 0.0111 |
7.4 | 1.4887923E-5 | 1.6454453E-5 | 0.0051663695 | 313.98004 | 0.00515 | 6.380382E-5 | 7.0517184E-5 | 0.006650053 | 94.30401 | 0.00658 | 7.7653467E-4 | 8.5820974E-4 | 0.009640666 | 11.233461 | 0.00879 | 0.0077382675 | 0.008628101 | 0.019414227 | 2.2501159 | 0.01088 |
7.5 | 1.4509299E-5 | 1.6046468E-5 | 0.0047559706 | 296.38736 | 0.00474 | 6.218123E-5 | 6.876877E-5 | 0.006148351 | 89.40614 | 0.00608 | 7.567935E-4 | 8.369394E-4 | 0.008950143 | 10.693897 | 0.00812 | 0.0075422134 | 0.008416411 | 0.018411573 | 2.1875803 | 0.01008 |
7.6 | 1.2756717E-5 | 1.4050529E-5 | 0.0030640077 | 218.07063 | 0.00305 | 5.4670498E-5 | 6.0215163E-5 | 0.0039899787 | 66.262024 | 0.00393 | 6.6541E-4 | 7.328737E-4 | 0.0059690336 | 8.144696 | 0.00524 | 0.006634211 | 0.007381374 | 0.013982288 | 1.8942662 | 0.00665 |
7.7 | 1.0328985E-5 | 1.146033E-5 | 0.0020014376 | 174.64047 | 0.00199 | 4.4266326E-5 | 4.9114777E-5 | 0.0024789954 | 50.473515 | 0.00243 | 5.388092E-4 | 5.9780874E-4 | 0.0038258778 | 6.3998356 | 0.00323 | 0.0053750467 | 0.006038286 | 0.010143347 | 1.679839 | 0.00413 |
7.8 | 7.0306583E-6 | 8.899537E-6 | 0.0012888882 | 144.82643 | 0.00128 | 3.0131043E-5 | 3.8140315E-5 | 0.0016580785 | 43.47312 | 0.00162 | 3.667837E-4 | 4.6425956E-4 | 0.0026432474 | 5.693469 | 0.00218 | 0.003661789 | 0.0046950667 | 0.0074421084 | 1.5850911 | 0.00276 |
7.9 | 4.060633E-6 | 5.465412E-6 | 6.754618E-4 | 123.58844 | 6.7E-4 | 1.7402595E-5 | 2.3422985E-5 | 9.034024E-4 | 38.569054 | 8.8E-4 | 2.11856E-4 | 2.8513762E-4 | 0.0014148154 | 4.961869 | 0.00113 | 0.0021165414 | 0.002884143 | 0.00431999 | 1.4978417 | 0.00144 |
8.0 | 1.6729537E-6 | 2.0775192E-6 | 2.1207708E-4 | 102.08189 | 2.1E-4 | 7.169782E-6 | 8.903624E-6 | 3.389007E-4 | 38.063232 | 3.3E-4 | 8.7288594E-5 | 1.0839626E-4 | 4.483594E-4 | 4.1362996 | 3.4E-4 | 8.7254314E-4 | 0.001096854 | 0.0015263824 | 1.3916003 | 4.3E-4 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 3.1489736E-7 | 3.0314888E-5 | 96.269104 | 3.0E-5 | 1.5742813E-6 | 1.3495595E-6 | 4.1349507E-5 | 30.63926 | 4.0E-5 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.643078E-5 | 6.642996E-5 | 4.0430193 | 5.0E-5 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.662928E-4 | 2.2628282E-4 | 1.3607494 | 6.0E-5 |
McLean Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.7360222E-5 | 1.8501627E-5 | 0.0019884652 | 107.47515 | 0.00197 | 7.439883E-5 | 7.9290556E-5 | 0.0032490392 | 40.97637 | 0.00317 | 9.0542925E-4 | 9.6498354E-4 | 0.0066894544 | 6.932195 | 0.00573 | 0.009017491 | 0.0096127745 | 0.01839751 | 1.9138604 | 0.00887 |
6.1 | 9.062689E-6 | 9.592193E-6 | 0.0011295815 | 117.7605 | 0.00112 | 3.8839516E-5 | 4.1108804E-5 | 0.0016610422 | 40.406 | 0.00162 | 4.727685E-4 | 5.003936E-4 | 0.0033589625 | 6.712641 | 0.00286 | 0.0047176396 | 0.004993552 | 0.009620331 | 1.926551 | 0.00465 |
6.2 | 9.062689E-6 | 9.592193E-6 | 0.0011295815 | 117.7605 | 0.00112 | 3.8839516E-5 | 4.1108804E-5 | 0.0016610422 | 40.406 | 0.00162 | 4.727685E-4 | 5.003936E-4 | 0.0033589625 | 6.712641 | 0.00286 | 0.0047176396 | 0.004993552 | 0.009620331 | 1.926551 | 0.00465 |
6.3 | 7.2575485E-6 | 7.66771E-6 | 8.376613E-4 | 109.245316 | 8.3E-4 | 3.110341E-5 | 3.2861237E-5 | 0.0012628208 | 38.428886 | 0.00123 | 3.786182E-4 | 4.0001926E-4 | 0.0026391232 | 6.5974903 | 0.00224 | 0.0037797375 | 0.0039936965 | 0.007559399 | 1.8928326 | 0.00358 |
6.4 | 7.2575485E-6 | 7.66771E-6 | 8.376613E-4 | 109.245316 | 8.3E-4 | 3.110341E-5 | 3.2861237E-5 | 0.0012628208 | 38.428886 | 0.00123 | 3.786182E-4 | 4.0001926E-4 | 0.0026391232 | 6.5974903 | 0.00224 | 0.0037797375 | 0.0039936965 | 0.007559399 | 1.8928326 | 0.00358 |
6.5 | 6.06582E-6 | 6.4038773E-6 | 6.863995E-4 | 107.18499 | 6.8E-4 | 2.5996113E-5 | 2.7444936E-5 | 0.0010274175 | 37.435596 | 0.001 | 3.164567E-4 | 3.3409733E-4 | 0.0021834793 | 6.5354586 | 0.00185 | 0.0031600643 | 0.0033365893 | 0.0063265795 | 1.8961217 | 0.003 |
6.6 | 5.598744E-6 | 5.910262E-6 | 6.459065E-4 | 109.28559 | 6.4E-4 | 2.3994397E-5 | 2.5329486E-5 | 9.5530594E-4 | 37.71517 | 9.3E-4 | 2.9209262E-4 | 3.0834923E-4 | 0.002007825 | 6.511529 | 0.0017 | 0.0029170897 | 0.003079843 | 0.0058114044 | 1.8869157 | 0.00274 |
6.7 | 5.246996E-6 | 5.539162E-6 | 6.055358E-4 | 109.31903 | 6.0E-4 | 2.2486933E-5 | 2.3739085E-5 | 8.9371845E-4 | 37.647552 | 8.7E-4 | 2.73744E-4 | 2.8899137E-4 | 0.0019085233 | 6.6040835 | 0.00162 | 0.0027340704 | 0.0028867796 | 0.0054693026 | 1.8946035 | 0.00259 |
6.8 | 4.02324E-6 | 4.2469046E-6 | 4.3424507E-4 | 102.24979 | 4.3E-4 | 1.7242342E-5 | 1.8200926E-5 | 6.281898E-4 | 34.514168 | 6.1E-4 | 2.099053E-4 | 2.2157968E-4 | 0.0014313116 | 6.4595795 | 0.00121 | 0.0020970714 | 0.002214172 | 0.004169832 | 1.8832468 | 0.00196 |
6.9 | 6.835972E-7 | 7.1399285E-7 | 7.071394E-5 | 99.04013 | 7.0E-5 | 2.9296991E-6 | 3.0599674E-6 | 1.1305963E-4 | 36.947987 | 1.1E-4 | 3.56685E-5 | 3.7254784E-5 | 2.4724696E-4 | 6.6366496 | 2.1E-4 | 3.5662777E-4 | 3.7251666E-4 | 6.5241236E-4 | 1.7513642 | 2.8E-4 |
Gravel Hills-Harper Lk
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0679566E-5 | 3.1464628E-5 | 0.002181397 | 69.32855 | 0.00215 | 1.3147724E-4 | 1.3484266E-4 | 0.0031144407 | 23.096851 | 0.00298 | 0.0015995599 | 0.00164069 | 0.006722339 | 4.0972633 | 0.00509 | 0.015880952 | 0.016307337 | 0.0234096 | 1.4355254 | 0.00722 |
6.1 | 3.0679566E-5 | 3.1464628E-5 | 0.002181397 | 69.32855 | 0.00215 | 1.3147724E-4 | 1.3484266E-4 | 0.0031144407 | 23.096851 | 0.00298 | 0.0015995599 | 0.00164069 | 0.006722339 | 4.0972633 | 0.00509 | 0.015880952 | 0.016307337 | 0.0234096 | 1.4355254 | 0.00722 |
6.2 | 1.514536E-5 | 1.36352E-5 | 6.6362636E-4 | 48.670082 | 6.5E-4 | 6.490707E-5 | 5.843533E-5 | 9.6838217E-4 | 16.571861 | 9.1E-4 | 7.8995706E-4 | 7.112298E-4 | 0.0022601273 | 3.1777737 | 0.00155 | 0.007871548 | 0.007090737 | 0.009285066 | 1.3094642 | 0.00221 |
6.3 | 1.514536E-5 | 1.36352E-5 | 6.6362636E-4 | 48.670082 | 6.5E-4 | 6.490707E-5 | 5.843533E-5 | 9.6838217E-4 | 16.571861 | 9.1E-4 | 7.8995706E-4 | 7.112298E-4 | 0.0022601273 | 3.1777737 | 0.00155 | 0.007871548 | 0.007090737 | 0.009285066 | 1.3094642 | 0.00221 |
6.4 | 1.2532521E-5 | 1.0689684E-5 | 4.7068475E-4 | 44.03168 | 4.6E-4 | 5.37097E-5 | 4.581216E-5 | 7.057819E-4 | 15.405995 | 6.6E-4 | 6.537194E-4 | 5.5762613E-4 | 0.0016770016 | 3.007394 | 0.00112 | 0.0065179965 | 0.005562859 | 0.0070942924 | 1.2752961 | 0.00154 |
6.5 | 1.1094058E-5 | 9.083657E-6 | 2.890811E-4 | 31.824312 | 2.8E-4 | 4.7545094E-5 | 3.89294E-5 | 4.4891343E-4 | 11.531476 | 4.1E-4 | 5.787078E-4 | 4.7386638E-4 | 0.0012335062 | 2.6030676 | 7.6E-4 | 0.0057720304 | 0.004728967 | 0.0057441434 | 1.214672 | 0.00102 |
6.6 | 9.688328E-6 | 7.531688E-6 | 2.0753019E-4 | 27.554272 | 2.0E-4 | 4.1520743E-5 | 3.227828E-5 | 3.1226923E-4 | 9.674284 | 2.8E-4 | 5.053978E-4 | 3.9291973E-4 | 8.7273115E-4 | 2.2211435 | 4.8E-4 | 0.0050424994 | 0.0039225067 | 0.004589879 | 1.1701391 | 6.7E-4 |
6.7 | 8.974824E-6 | 6.749406E-6 | 1.567484E-4 | 23.224028 | 1.5E-4 | 3.8462964E-5 | 2.8925719E-5 | 2.1892022E-4 | 7.5683594 | 1.9E-4 | 4.6818596E-4 | 3.5211592E-4 | 7.119891E-4 | 2.0220306 | 3.6E-4 | 0.004672008 | 0.003515801 | 0.004024008 | 1.1445494 | 5.1E-4 |
6.8 | 7.4780046E-6 | 5.1161865E-6 | 6.511588E-5 | 12.727426 | 6.0E-5 | 3.20482E-5 | 2.1926337E-5 | 1.1192436E-4 | 5.1045628 | 9.0E-5 | 3.9011694E-4 | 2.6692182E-4 | 4.3687646E-4 | 1.6367205 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0038943281 | 0.0026661505 | 0.002915484 | 1.0935181 | 2.5E-4 |
6.9 | 6.3409307E-6 | 3.907489E-6 | 4.3907334E-5 | 11.236713 | 4.0E-5 | 2.7175134E-5 | 1.674628E-5 | 5.6745608E-5 | 3.3885503 | 4.0E-5 | 3.3080703E-4 | 2.0386786E-4 | 2.9384953E-4 | 1.4413724 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0033031502 | 0.0020369065 | 0.002186601 | 1.0734911 | 1.5E-4 |
7.0 | 5.1239335E-6 | 2.6058492E-6 | 4.2605745E-5 | 16.350042 | 4.0E-5 | 2.195953E-5 | 1.1167879E-5 | 5.1167433E-5 | 4.5816607 | 4.0E-5 | 2.6732447E-4 | 1.359607E-4 | 2.1594983E-4 | 1.5883254 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0026700313 | 0.0013588005 | 0.001468651 | 1.0808438 | 1.1E-4 |
7.1 | 4.438899E-6 | 2.0984692E-6 | 4.2098385E-5 | 20.061474 | 4.0E-5 | 1.9023713E-5 | 8.99341E-6 | 4.899305E-5 | 5.447661 | 4.0E-5 | 2.315891E-4 | 1.0948948E-4 | 1.7948182E-4 | 1.6392608 | 7.0E-5 | 0.002313479 | 0.0010943774 | 0.0011942679 | 1.0912762 | 1.0E-4 |
7.2 | 3.50367E-6 | 1.2615715E-6 | 2.1261547E-5 | 16.853224 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5015643E-5 | 5.406724E-6 | 2.5406616E-5 | 4.6990776 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8280011E-4 | 6.5824956E-5 | 9.582299E-5 | 1.4557241 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0018264982 | 6.580628E-4 | 6.980365E-4 | 1.0607445 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.561638E-6 | 7.118686E-7 | 2.0711854E-5 | 29.095053 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0978401E-5 | 3.050862E-6 | 2.3050801E-5 | 7.5555043 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3365384E-4 | 3.7143633E-5 | 6.7142515E-5 | 1.8076454 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0013357349 | 3.7137623E-4 | 4.1136137E-4 | 1.1076674 | 4.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.0368864E-6 | 5.304471E-7 | 2.0530437E-5 | 38.70402 | 2.0E-5 | 8.729483E-6 | 2.2733427E-6 | 2.2273298E-5 | 9.797598 | 2.0E-5 | 1.06276275E-4 | 2.76776E-5 | 5.767677E-5 | 2.083879 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010622547 | 2.767421E-4 | 3.0673377E-4 | 1.1083742 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.1681728E-6 | 3.6028484E-7 | 2.0360278E-5 | 56.511612 | 2.0E-5 | 5.0064455E-6 | 1.544077E-6 | 2.1544047E-5 | 13.952702 | 2.0E-5 | 6.0951766E-5 | 1.879898E-5 | 4.8798418E-5 | 2.5958014 | 3.0E-5 | 6.093505E-4 | 1.8797436E-4 | 2.1796873E-4 | 1.1595663 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.3154387E-7 | 7.1196716E-8 | 1.0071196E-5 | 141.4559 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6375933E-7 | 3.0512876E-7 | 1.0305126E-5 | 33.77304 | 1.0E-5 | 6.863748E-6 | 3.714938E-6 | 2.3714863E-5 | 6.38365 | 2.0E-5 | 6.863536E-5 | 3.7148915E-5 | 5.7148172E-5 | 1.5383537 | 2.0E-5 |
Goldstone Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.671352E-5 | 3.0376103E-5 | 0.0013003375 | 42.80791 | 0.00127 | 1.1448149E-4 | 1.3017791E-4 | 0.0021999085 | 16.899244 | 0.00207 | 0.001392921 | 0.0015839601 | 0.0057773073 | 3.647382 | 0.0042 | 0.013842222 | 0.015746202 | 0.022380073 | 1.4212997 | 0.00674 |
6.1 | 2.671352E-5 | 3.0376103E-5 | 0.0013003375 | 42.80791 | 0.00127 | 1.1448149E-4 | 1.3017791E-4 | 0.0021999085 | 16.899244 | 0.00207 | 0.001392921 | 0.0015839601 | 0.0057773073 | 3.647382 | 0.0042 | 0.013842222 | 0.015746202 | 0.022380073 | 1.4212997 | 0.00674 |
6.2 | 1.4197047E-5 | 1.6096254E-5 | 6.660858E-4 | 41.381416 | 6.5E-4 | 6.0843064E-5 | 6.898268E-5 | 0.0011489082 | 16.655024 | 0.00108 | 7.4051257E-4 | 8.3963916E-4 | 0.003007817 | 3.5822737 | 0.00217 | 0.007380498 | 0.008374364 | 0.011874802 | 1.4179945 | 0.00353 |
6.3 | 1.4197047E-5 | 1.6096254E-5 | 6.660858E-4 | 41.381416 | 6.5E-4 | 6.0843064E-5 | 6.898268E-5 | 0.0011489082 | 16.655024 | 0.00108 | 7.4051257E-4 | 8.3963916E-4 | 0.003007817 | 3.5822737 | 0.00217 | 0.007380498 | 0.008374364 | 0.011874802 | 1.4179945 | 0.00353 |
6.4 | 1.3238931E-5 | 1.500847E-5 | 6.349992E-4 | 42.309387 | 6.2E-4 | 5.6737044E-5 | 6.432098E-5 | 0.0010942548 | 17.012407 | 0.00103 | 6.9055456E-4 | 7.8292453E-4 | 0.002851304 | 3.6418629 | 0.00207 | 0.006884126 | 0.007811289 | 0.011164887 | 1.4293271 | 0.00338 |
6.5 | 1.3238931E-5 | 1.500847E-5 | 6.349992E-4 | 42.309387 | 6.2E-4 | 5.6737044E-5 | 6.432098E-5 | 0.0010942548 | 17.012407 | 0.00103 | 6.9055456E-4 | 7.8292453E-4 | 0.002851304 | 3.6418629 | 0.00207 | 0.006884126 | 0.007811289 | 0.011164887 | 1.4293271 | 0.00338 |
6.6 | 1.1328278E-5 | 1.2855176E-5 | 5.428484E-4 | 42.228 | 5.3E-4 | 4.8548856E-5 | 5.5092984E-5 | 8.950467E-4 | 16.24611 | 8.4E-4 | 5.90922E-4 | 6.706464E-4 | 0.002389493 | 3.56297 | 0.00172 | 0.0058935313 | 0.0066956137 | 0.009556331 | 1.4272523 | 0.00288 |
6.7 | 8.651175E-6 | 9.824575E-6 | 4.3982035E-4 | 44.76737 | 4.3E-4 | 3.707594E-5 | 4.2105148E-5 | 6.7207863E-4 | 15.96191 | 6.3E-4 | 4.5130608E-4 | 5.126002E-4 | 0.0018319235 | 3.5737865 | 0.00132 | 0.0045039062 | 0.0051230565 | 0.007262042 | 1.4175214 | 0.00215 |
6.8 | 1.0215377E-6 | 1.1754802E-6 | 1.1175468E-5 | 9.507152 | 1.0E-5 | 4.378012E-6 | 5.037763E-6 | 2.5037662E-5 | 4.969996 | 2.0E-5 | 5.3300988E-5 | 6.133315E-5 | 1.21329474E-4 | 1.9782038 | 6.0E-5 | 5.3288206E-4 | 6.131735E-4 | 7.131122E-4 | 1.1629859 | 1.0E-4 |
6.9 | 7.9360774E-7 | 9.283496E-7 | 1.092834E-5 | 11.771794 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4011714E-6 | 3.9786355E-6 | 1.3978595E-5 | 3.5134146 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1408475E-5 | 4.843888E-5 | 6.843791E-5 | 1.4128715 | 2.0E-5 | 4.140076E-4 | 4.842902E-4 | 5.142757E-4 | 1.0619164 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.4382757E-7 | 8.747428E-7 | 1.08747345E-5 | 12.431922 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1878285E-6 | 3.7488926E-6 | 1.3748855E-5 | 3.6674442 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8811122E-5 | 4.564188E-5 | 6.564097E-5 | 1.438174 | 2.0E-5 | 3.8804344E-4 | 4.563317E-4 | 4.8631802E-4 | 1.0657116 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 6.4709513E-7 | 7.711399E-7 | 1.0771132E-5 | 13.967805 | 1.0E-5 | 2.773262E-6 | 3.3048816E-6 | 1.3304849E-5 | 4.025817 | 1.0E-5 | 3.376394E-5 | 4.023625E-5 | 5.023585E-5 | 1.2485222 | 1.0E-5 | 3.375881E-4 | 4.022956E-4 | 4.1229159E-4 | 1.0248474 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.356704E-7 | 7.588459E-7 | 1.07588385E-5 | 14.1778965 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7242988E-6 | 3.252193E-6 | 1.325216E-5 | 4.074838 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3167835E-5 | 3.959479E-5 | 4.9594393E-5 | 1.2525485 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3162883E-4 | 3.9588328E-4 | 4.0587934E-4 | 1.02525 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 5.7695723E-7 | 6.896648E-7 | 1.0689658E-5 | 15.499787 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4726714E-6 | 2.9557032E-6 | 1.2955674E-5 | 4.38328 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0104358E-5 | 3.598515E-5 | 4.598479E-5 | 1.2778825 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0100282E-4 | 3.5979896E-4 | 3.6979537E-4 | 1.0277833 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 5.209647E-7 | 6.193583E-7 | 1.0619352E-5 | 17.145733 | 1.0E-5 | 2.232704E-6 | 2.6543903E-6 | 1.2654364E-5 | 4.7673335 | 1.0E-5 | 2.718283E-5 | 3.2316777E-5 | 4.2316457E-5 | 1.3094268 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7179506E-4 | 3.2312635E-4 | 3.331231E-4 | 1.0309377 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.512955E-7 | 5.3489487E-7 | 1.053489E-5 | 19.695251 | 1.0E-5 | 1.934122E-6 | 2.2924048E-6 | 1.2292382E-5 | 5.3622212 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3547682E-5 | 2.7909726E-5 | 3.790945E-5 | 1.358288 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3545188E-4 | 2.7906752E-4 | 2.8906474E-4 | 1.0358236 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.6040198E-7 | 2.6040198E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.1160082E-6 | 1.1160082E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.3587343E-5 | 1.3587343E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1539775E-4 | 1.3586794E-4 | 1.3586794E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
So Sierra Nevada
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1079612E-5 | 0.0019110586 | 172.48425 | 0.0019 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7483256E-5 | 0.0025873627 | 54.489998 | 0.00254 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.779681E-4 | 0.0046156333 | 7.9859657 | 0.00404 | 0.006007948 | 0.005765918 | 0.011373398 | 1.9725217 | 0.00564 |
6.1 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1079612E-5 | 0.0019110586 | 172.48425 | 0.0019 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7483256E-5 | 0.0025873627 | 54.489998 | 0.00254 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.779681E-4 | 0.0046156333 | 7.9859657 | 0.00404 | 0.006007948 | 0.005765918 | 0.011373398 | 1.9725217 | 0.00564 |
6.2 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1079612E-5 | 0.0019110586 | 172.48425 | 0.0019 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7483256E-5 | 0.0025873627 | 54.489998 | 0.00254 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.779681E-4 | 0.0046156333 | 7.9859657 | 0.00404 | 0.006007948 | 0.005765918 | 0.011373398 | 1.9725217 | 0.00564 |
6.3 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1079612E-5 | 0.0019110586 | 172.48425 | 0.0019 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7483256E-5 | 0.0025873627 | 54.489998 | 0.00254 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.779681E-4 | 0.0046156333 | 7.9859657 | 0.00404 | 0.006007948 | 0.005765918 | 0.011373398 | 1.9725217 | 0.00564 |
6.4 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1079612E-5 | 0.0019110586 | 172.48425 | 0.0019 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7483256E-5 | 0.0025873627 | 54.489998 | 0.00254 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.779681E-4 | 0.0046156333 | 7.9859657 | 0.00404 | 0.006007948 | 0.005765918 | 0.011373398 | 1.9725217 | 0.00564 |
6.5 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1079612E-5 | 0.0019110586 | 172.48425 | 0.0019 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7483256E-5 | 0.0025873627 | 54.489998 | 0.00254 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.779681E-4 | 0.0046156333 | 7.9859657 | 0.00404 | 0.006007948 | 0.005765918 | 0.011373398 | 1.9725217 | 0.00564 |
6.6 | 7.587044E-6 | 6.9356042E-6 | 0.0011269278 | 162.48445 | 0.00112 | 3.2515498E-5 | 2.9723697E-5 | 0.0014796806 | 49.781178 | 0.00145 | 3.9580427E-4 | 3.6182883E-4 | 0.0026510002 | 7.326669 | 0.00229 | 0.003951 | 0.0036126887 | 0.0066217785 | 1.8329225 | 0.00302 |
6.7 | 7.587044E-6 | 6.9356042E-6 | 0.0011269278 | 162.48445 | 0.00112 | 3.2515498E-5 | 2.9723697E-5 | 0.0014796806 | 49.781178 | 0.00145 | 3.9580427E-4 | 3.6182883E-4 | 0.0026510002 | 7.326669 | 0.00229 | 0.003951 | 0.0036126887 | 0.0066217785 | 1.8329225 | 0.00302 |
6.8 | 5.9026956E-6 | 5.179362E-6 | 7.9517526E-4 | 153.52765 | 7.9E-4 | 2.5297022E-5 | 2.2197082E-5 | 0.0010321747 | 46.500465 | 0.00101 | 3.0794772E-4 | 2.7021713E-4 | 0.0017498172 | 6.475597 | 0.00148 | 0.0030752132 | 0.002699002 | 0.0045539816 | 1.6872836 | 0.00186 |
6.9 | 5.0118915E-6 | 4.2523943E-6 | 6.9424947E-4 | 163.26083 | 6.9E-4 | 2.1479358E-5 | 1.8224424E-5 | 8.782087E-4 | 48.188557 | 8.6E-4 | 2.614798E-4 | 2.2186051E-4 | 0.001431592 | 6.452667 | 0.00121 | 0.0026117235 | 0.0022164627 | 0.0037630273 | 1.6977625 | 0.00155 |
7.0 | 4.4924795E-6 | 3.7138868E-6 | 6.337115E-4 | 170.63297 | 6.3E-4 | 1.925334E-5 | 1.5916565E-5 | 7.859043E-4 | 49.376503 | 7.7E-4 | 2.3438422E-4 | 1.9376757E-4 | 0.0012535622 | 6.469412 | 0.00106 | 0.0023413717 | 0.0019360491 | 0.0032934162 | 1.7011015 | 0.00136 |
7.1 | 3.9118436E-6 | 3.1119469E-6 | 4.1311068E-4 | 132.74991 | 4.1E-4 | 1.6764936E-5 | 1.333685E-5 | 5.2333006E-4 | 39.239403 | 5.1E-4 | 2.0409399E-4 | 1.6236462E-4 | 8.822477E-4 | 5.4337435 | 7.2E-4 | 0.0020390663 | 0.0016225161 | 0.0025909422 | 1.596867 | 9.7E-4 |
7.2 | 3.4200818E-6 | 2.6054236E-6 | 3.0260463E-4 | 116.14412 | 3.0E-4 | 1.4657411E-5 | 1.11660565E-5 | 3.6116215E-4 | 32.344646 | 3.5E-4 | 1.7843937E-4 | 1.3593875E-4 | 6.2587217E-4 | 4.6040745 | 4.9E-4 | 0.0017829615 | 0.0013586058 | 0.0020576548 | 1.5145341 | 7.0E-4 |
7.3 | 2.6593618E-6 | 1.8283897E-6 | 1.7182808E-4 | 93.97782 | 1.7E-4 | 1.13972155E-5 | 7.8359335E-6 | 1.9783445E-4 | 25.24708 | 1.9E-4 | 1.3875226E-4 | 9.539862E-5 | 3.553738E-4 | 3.7251465 | 2.6E-4 | 0.0013866565 | 9.536055E-4 | 0.0013432336 | 1.4085841 | 3.9E-4 |
7.4 | 2.2577992E-6 | 1.4364078E-6 | 1.6143618E-4 | 112.388824 | 1.6E-4 | 9.676246E-6 | 6.1560204E-6 | 1.8615491E-4 | 30.23949 | 1.8E-4 | 1.1780193E-4 | 7.4947224E-5 | 3.1492923E-4 | 4.2020135 | 2.4E-4 | 0.001177395 | 7.4924453E-4 | 0.0010889898 | 1.4534504 | 3.4E-4 |
7.5 | 1.489319E-6 | 7.353661E-7 | 1.0073529E-4 | 136.98659 | 1.0E-4 | 6.3827797E-6 | 3.1515651E-6 | 1.1315122E-4 | 35.903183 | 1.1E-4 | 7.770758E-5 | 3.8369635E-5 | 1.8836388E-4 | 4.9091916 | 1.5E-4 | 7.7680405E-4 | 3.8363054E-4 | 5.835538E-4 | 1.521135 | 2.0E-4 |
7.6 | 1.0680322E-6 | 4.65941E-7 | 4.0465922E-5 | 86.84774 | 4.0E-5 | 4.577273E-6 | 1.9968884E-6 | 5.1996787E-5 | 26.038904 | 5.0E-5 | 5.5726876E-5 | 2.4311848E-5 | 1.04309904E-4 | 4.2904963 | 8.0E-5 | 5.5712904E-4 | 2.4309216E-4 | 3.4306783E-4 | 1.4112667 | 1.0E-4 |
7.7 | 5.509146E-7 | 1.5578539E-7 | 1.01557835E-5 | 65.190865 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3610605E-6 | 6.676515E-7 | 1.0667645E-5 | 15.977864 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8745531E-5 | 8.128628E-6 | 1.8128547E-5 | 2.2302098 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8741814E-4 | 8.128342E-5 | 1.01281796E-4 | 1.2460326 | 2.0E-5 |
San Andreas (Mojave S)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.7462435E-4 | 0.002823174 | 4.1848087 | 0.00215 | 0.0013306376 | 0.002888172 | 0.0055504604 | 1.9217902 | 0.00267 | 0.016080605 | 0.034565594 | 0.038079776 | 1.101667 | 0.00364 | 0.1496549 | 0.28654557 | 0.29004863 | 1.0122252 | 0.00491 |
6.1 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.7462435E-4 | 0.002823174 | 4.1848087 | 0.00215 | 0.0013306376 | 0.002888172 | 0.0055504604 | 1.9217902 | 0.00267 | 0.016080605 | 0.034565594 | 0.038079776 | 1.101667 | 0.00364 | 0.1496549 | 0.28654557 | 0.29004863 | 1.0122252 | 0.00491 |
6.2 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.7462435E-4 | 0.002823174 | 4.1848087 | 0.00215 | 0.0013306376 | 0.002888172 | 0.0055504604 | 1.9217902 | 0.00267 | 0.016080605 | 0.034565594 | 0.038079776 | 1.101667 | 0.00364 | 0.1496549 | 0.28654557 | 0.29004863 | 1.0122252 | 0.00491 |
6.3 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.7462435E-4 | 0.002823174 | 4.1848087 | 0.00215 | 0.0013306376 | 0.002888172 | 0.0055504604 | 1.9217902 | 0.00267 | 0.016080605 | 0.034565594 | 0.038079776 | 1.101667 | 0.00364 | 0.1496549 | 0.28654557 | 0.29004863 | 1.0122252 | 0.00491 |
6.4 | 1.9872203E-4 | 4.3181062E-4 | 0.0023609772 | 5.467622 | 0.00193 | 8.5138786E-4 | 0.0018493326 | 0.0042548757 | 2.300763 | 0.00241 | 0.010316478 | 0.02228931 | 0.02553531 | 1.1456304 | 0.00332 | 0.098504856 | 0.19686839 | 0.20045839 | 1.0182356 | 0.00447 |
6.5 | 1.291105E-4 | 2.8754136E-4 | 0.0020570324 | 7.153866 | 0.00177 | 5.5321335E-4 | 0.0012317409 | 0.0034589942 | 2.8082156 | 0.00223 | 0.006714592 | 0.014894155 | 0.01791843 | 1.2030511 | 0.00307 | 0.065152965 | 0.13800792 | 0.141499 | 1.0252961 | 0.00405 |
6.6 | 1.291105E-4 | 2.8754136E-4 | 0.0020570324 | 7.153866 | 0.00177 | 5.5321335E-4 | 0.0012317409 | 0.0034589942 | 2.8082156 | 0.00223 | 0.006714592 | 0.014894155 | 0.01791843 | 1.2030511 | 0.00307 | 0.065152965 | 0.13800792 | 0.141499 | 1.0252961 | 0.00405 |
6.7 | 1.08001186E-4 | 2.4335351E-4 | 0.0020029251 | 8.230517 | 0.00176 | 4.6278012E-4 | 0.0010425274 | 0.0032502234 | 3.1176386 | 0.00221 | 0.0056198016 | 0.0126192 | 0.015610964 | 1.2370803 | 0.00303 | 0.054797906 | 0.11918431 | 0.12266353 | 1.029192 | 0.00395 |
6.8 | 1.0624356E-4 | 2.3853009E-4 | 0.0019881127 | 8.33485 | 0.00175 | 4.5525006E-4 | 0.0010218718 | 0.0032196238 | 3.150712 | 0.0022 | 0.0055285925 | 0.012370593 | 0.015353234 | 1.2411073 | 0.00302 | 0.053930566 | 0.11713308 | 0.12060275 | 1.0296216 | 0.00393 |
6.9 | 1.0393785E-4 | 2.3223337E-4 | 0.0019718292 | 8.490723 | 0.00174 | 4.4537184E-4 | 9.949068E-4 | 0.0031827278 | 3.1990213 | 0.00219 | 0.0054089287 | 0.012045963 | 0.015019705 | 1.2468662 | 0.00301 | 0.05279156 | 0.114433445 | 0.11789601 | 1.0302583 | 0.00391 |
7.0 | 1.0155622E-4 | 2.2592908E-4 | 0.0019555383 | 8.65554 | 0.00173 | 4.3516833E-4 | 9.6790853E-4 | 0.0031457986 | 3.250099 | 0.00218 | 0.005285311 | 0.011720838 | 0.014675793 | 1.2521112 | 0.00299 | 0.05161361 | 0.11169745 | 0.11515295 | 1.0309362 | 0.00389 |
7.1 | 9.885595E-5 | 2.188132E-4 | 0.0019484346 | 8.904557 | 0.00173 | 4.2359953E-4 | 9.374342E-4 | 0.0031153907 | 3.3233166 | 0.00218 | 0.0051451353 | 0.011353733 | 0.014309785 | 1.2603595 | 0.00299 | 0.05027629 | 0.10857607 | 0.11204371 | 1.0319374 | 0.00389 |
7.2 | 9.6411415E-5 | 2.1244297E-4 | 0.0019320776 | 9.09457 | 0.00172 | 4.1312634E-4 | 9.101525E-4 | 0.0030781776 | 3.3820457 | 0.00217 | 0.005018219 | 0.011024987 | 0.013962243 | 1.2664181 | 0.00297 | 0.049064007 | 0.1057697 | 0.10923038 | 1.0327189 | 0.00387 |
7.3 | 9.1180635E-5 | 1.9472656E-4 | 0.0018544033 | 9.523114 | 0.00166 | 3.907156E-4 | 8.342756E-4 | 0.002922532 | 3.5030773 | 0.00209 | 0.004746591 | 0.010110112 | 0.012970894 | 1.2829624 | 0.00289 | 0.046464786 | 0.09796176 | 0.101362444 | 1.0347145 | 0.00377 |
7.4 | 8.887388E-5 | 1.872126E-4 | 0.0018469018 | 9.865264 | 0.00166 | 3.8083247E-4 | 8.020931E-4 | 0.0028904167 | 3.6035924 | 0.00209 | 0.0046267817 | 0.009721855 | 0.012573856 | 1.2933598 | 0.00288 | 0.045316286 | 0.094593845 | 0.09798007 | 1.0357975 | 0.00374 |
7.5 | 8.6750515E-5 | 1.80528E-4 | 0.0018302301 | 10.1382065 | 0.00165 | 3.7173493E-4 | 7.734621E-4 | 0.0028518534 | 3.6871274 | 0.00208 | 0.004516484 | 0.009376327 | 0.012219416 | 1.30322 | 0.00287 | 0.04425787 | 0.09155606 | 0.09494455 | 1.0370101 | 0.00373 |
7.6 | 8.453092E-5 | 1.7440386E-4 | 0.0018141179 | 10.401821 | 0.00164 | 3.6222505E-4 | 7.4723107E-4 | 0.0028056917 | 3.7547846 | 0.00206 | 0.0044011753 | 0.009059664 | 0.011883844 | 1.3117312 | 0.00285 | 0.04315024 | 0.08871447 | 0.09208623 | 1.0380068 | 0.0037 |
7.7 | 8.259102E-5 | 1.6962511E-4 | 0.001809347 | 10.66674 | 0.00164 | 3.539135E-4 | 7.267622E-4 | 0.0027852652 | 3.8324294 | 0.00206 | 0.004300386 | 0.0088125 | 0.011627473 | 1.3194295 | 0.00284 | 0.042181134 | 0.086465426 | 0.089836374 | 1.038986 | 0.00369 |
7.8 | 7.444844E-5 | 1.528469E-4 | 0.0014726451 | 9.634772 | 0.00132 | 3.1902574E-4 | 6.5489375E-4 | 0.0023437869 | 3.5788813 | 0.00169 | 0.0038772223 | 0.007944231 | 0.010275562 | 1.2934622 | 0.00235 | 0.03810269 | 0.078293875 | 0.08111429 | 1.0360235 | 0.00306 |
7.9 | 5.2586525E-5 | 1.0007023E-4 | 8.099992E-4 | 8.094307 | 7.1E-4 | 2.2535135E-4 | 4.2880196E-4 | 0.0013683989 | 3.1912143 | 9.4E-4 | 0.0027402006 | 0.005208178 | 0.0064616157 | 1.2406672 | 0.00126 | 0.027066574 | 0.052201588 | 0.05378441 | 1.0303214 | 0.00167 |
8.0 | 3.379877E-5 | 5.4075565E-5 | 2.8406314E-4 | 5.2530775 | 2.3E-4 | 1.4484383E-4 | 2.3173184E-4 | 6.016461E-4 | 2.5963032 | 3.7E-4 | 0.0017620471 | 0.0028176866 | 0.0032365033 | 1.1486385 | 4.2E-4 | 0.017481409 | 0.028835917 | 0.029379768 | 1.0188602 | 5.6E-4 |
8.1 | 1.8668277E-5 | 1.9308145E-5 | 4.9307564E-5 | 2.5537186 | 3.0E-5 | 8.000444E-5 | 8.274657E-5 | 1.2274327E-4 | 1.4833637 | 4.0E-5 | 9.736188E-4 | 0.0010069745 | 0.0010569241 | 1.0496037 | 5.0E-5 | 0.009693642 | 0.010798624 | 0.010867868 | 1.0064123 | 7.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.541571E-6 | 5.4596358E-6 | 5.4596358E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.660622E-5 | 2.339823E-5 | 2.339823E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.455896E-4 | 2.848363E-4 | 2.848363E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044469717 | 0.003240283 | 0.003240283 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.6564595E-7 | 7.6564595E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.281336E-6 | 3.281336E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.9949547E-5 | 3.9949547E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.717979E-4 | 4.717979E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Coyote Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.5090034E-5 | 4.0364317E-5 | 0.0010803223 | 26.764292 | 0.00104 | 1.503772E-4 | 1.7297991E-4 | 0.0017127135 | 9.901228 | 0.00154 | 0.0018293047 | 0.0021042533 | 0.0048983614 | 2.3278382 | 0.0028 | 0.018143194 | 0.020869205 | 0.025461327 | 1.2200431 | 0.00469 |
6.1 | 3.5090034E-5 | 4.0364317E-5 | 0.0010803223 | 26.764292 | 0.00104 | 1.503772E-4 | 1.7297991E-4 | 0.0017127135 | 9.901228 | 0.00154 | 0.0018293047 | 0.0021042533 | 0.0048983614 | 2.3278382 | 0.0028 | 0.018143194 | 0.020869205 | 0.025461327 | 1.2200431 | 0.00469 |
6.2 | 1.841879E-5 | 2.1059794E-5 | 5.2104925E-4 | 24.741425 | 5.0E-4 | 7.8935285E-5 | 9.025371E-5 | 8.601842E-4 | 9.530735 | 7.7E-4 | 9.606133E-4 | 0.0010983871 | 0.0026366955 | 2.4005158 | 0.00154 | 0.0095647145 | 0.010939668 | 0.013481553 | 1.2323549 | 0.00257 |
6.3 | 1.841879E-5 | 2.1059794E-5 | 5.2104925E-4 | 24.741425 | 5.0E-4 | 7.8935285E-5 | 9.025371E-5 | 8.601842E-4 | 9.530735 | 7.7E-4 | 9.606133E-4 | 0.0010983871 | 0.0026366955 | 2.4005158 | 0.00154 | 0.0095647145 | 0.010939668 | 0.013481553 | 1.2323549 | 0.00257 |
6.4 | 1.712201E-5 | 1.9565212E-5 | 4.9955584E-4 | 25.53286 | 4.8E-4 | 7.337798E-5 | 8.3848776E-5 | 8.1378757E-4 | 9.70542 | 7.3E-4 | 8.930107E-4 | 0.0010204813 | 0.0024889812 | 2.4390266 | 0.00147 | 0.008894307 | 0.010167871 | 0.012602858 | 1.2394786 | 0.00246 |
6.5 | 1.4744935E-5 | 1.6836972E-5 | 4.1683024E-4 | 24.756842 | 4.0E-4 | 6.3191044E-5 | 7.215698E-5 | 6.82113E-4 | 9.45318 | 6.1E-4 | 7.6907943E-4 | 8.782507E-4 | 0.0021671178 | 2.4675388 | 0.00129 | 0.007664232 | 0.008756994 | 0.010967467 | 1.2524235 | 0.00223 |
6.6 | 1.2017839E-5 | 1.3724089E-5 | 2.8372038E-4 | 20.673166 | 2.7E-4 | 5.150401E-5 | 5.88167E-5 | 4.887914E-4 | 8.310419 | 4.3E-4 | 6.268809E-4 | 7.159466E-4 | 0.0017452092 | 2.4376247 | 0.00103 | 0.0062511545 | 0.0071450938 | 0.00895209 | 1.2529002 | 0.00182 |
6.7 | 1.00956095E-5 | 1.1533517E-5 | 2.6153063E-4 | 22.675707 | 2.5E-4 | 4.326618E-5 | 4.942891E-5 | 4.3940963E-4 | 8.8897295 | 3.9E-4 | 5.266384E-4 | 6.017178E-4 | 0.0015311582 | 2.544645 | 9.3E-4 | 0.005253921 | 0.0060094125 | 0.007619677 | 1.2679571 | 0.00162 |
San Andreas (Mojave N)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9402112E-4 | 0.0024535826 | 12.645957 | 0.00226 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.312543E-4 | 0.0036389185 | 4.3776236 | 0.00281 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010073684 | 0.013805706 | 1.3704724 | 0.00377 | 0.05023708 | 0.09832245 | 0.10271362 | 1.0446609 | 0.00487 |
6.1 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9402112E-4 | 0.0024535826 | 12.645957 | 0.00226 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.312543E-4 | 0.0036389185 | 4.3776236 | 0.00281 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010073684 | 0.013805706 | 1.3704724 | 0.00377 | 0.05023708 | 0.09832245 | 0.10271362 | 1.0446609 | 0.00487 |
6.2 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9402112E-4 | 0.0024535826 | 12.645957 | 0.00226 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.312543E-4 | 0.0036389185 | 4.3776236 | 0.00281 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010073684 | 0.013805706 | 1.3704724 | 0.00377 | 0.05023708 | 0.09832245 | 0.10271362 | 1.0446609 | 0.00487 |
6.3 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9402112E-4 | 0.0024535826 | 12.645957 | 0.00226 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.312543E-4 | 0.0036389185 | 4.3776236 | 0.00281 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010073684 | 0.013805706 | 1.3704724 | 0.00377 | 0.05023708 | 0.09832245 | 0.10271362 | 1.0446609 | 0.00487 |
6.4 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9402112E-4 | 0.0024535826 | 12.645957 | 0.00226 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.312543E-4 | 0.0036389185 | 4.3776236 | 0.00281 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010073684 | 0.013805706 | 1.3704724 | 0.00377 | 0.05023708 | 0.09832245 | 0.10271362 | 1.0446609 | 0.00487 |
6.5 | 9.861474E-5 | 1.937588E-4 | 0.002453321 | 12.661726 | 0.00226 | 4.2256617E-4 | 8.3013077E-4 | 0.0036377981 | 4.382199 | 0.00281 | 0.0051326132 | 0.0100601325 | 0.013792206 | 1.3709766 | 0.00377 | 0.050156746 | 0.09820035 | 0.10259211 | 1.0447224 | 0.00487 |
6.6 | 9.861474E-5 | 1.937588E-4 | 0.002453321 | 12.661726 | 0.00226 | 4.2256617E-4 | 8.3013077E-4 | 0.0036377981 | 4.382199 | 0.00281 | 0.0051326132 | 0.0100601325 | 0.013792206 | 1.3709766 | 0.00377 | 0.050156746 | 0.09820035 | 0.10259211 | 1.0447224 | 0.00487 |
6.7 | 9.8552715E-5 | 1.9365833E-4 | 0.0024532205 | 12.667778 | 0.00226 | 4.223004E-4 | 8.2970044E-4 | 0.003637369 | 4.3839545 | 0.00281 | 0.0051293927 | 0.010054941 | 0.013787034 | 1.37117 | 0.00377 | 0.050125998 | 0.09815356 | 0.10253653 | 1.0446543 | 0.00486 |
6.8 | 9.8464974E-5 | 1.9350994E-4 | 0.0024530727 | 12.676726 | 0.00226 | 4.219245E-4 | 8.290649E-4 | 0.0036367353 | 4.3865504 | 0.00281 | 0.0051248376 | 0.010047276 | 0.013779397 | 1.3714561 | 0.00377 | 0.05008251 | 0.09808378 | 0.10246709 | 1.0446895 | 0.00486 |
6.9 | 9.825824E-5 | 1.9319002E-4 | 0.0024527535 | 12.696067 | 0.00226 | 4.2103877E-4 | 8.276947E-4 | 0.0036353688 | 4.392162 | 0.00281 | 0.0051141046 | 0.010030746 | 0.01376293 | 1.3720744 | 0.00377 | 0.049980022 | 0.097932965 | 0.10231701 | 1.0447658 | 0.00486 |
7.0 | 9.781462E-5 | 1.9250368E-4 | 0.0024520687 | 12.737776 | 0.00226 | 4.1913814E-4 | 8.247551E-4 | 0.0036324374 | 4.404262 | 0.00281 | 0.005091073 | 0.009995285 | 0.0137276035 | 1.3734078 | 0.00377 | 0.04976007 | 0.09760912 | 0.101985715 | 1.044838 | 0.00485 |
7.1 | 9.7121134E-5 | 1.9152075E-4 | 0.0024410898 | 12.745824 | 0.00225 | 4.1616702E-4 | 8.205452E-4 | 0.0036182476 | 4.4095654 | 0.0028 | 0.005055068 | 0.0099444995 | 0.013667108 | 1.3743385 | 0.00376 | 0.04941613 | 0.09714571 | 0.101515524 | 1.0449821 | 0.00484 |
7.2 | 9.663819E-5 | 1.9082859E-4 | 0.0024403993 | 12.788436 | 0.00225 | 4.1409794E-4 | 8.175807E-4 | 0.0036152916 | 4.4219384 | 0.0028 | 0.0050299936 | 0.009908735 | 0.013631478 | 1.3757032 | 0.00376 | 0.049176537 | 0.09681883 | 0.101190224 | 1.0451503 | 0.00484 |
7.3 | 9.6277574E-5 | 1.9035369E-4 | 0.0024399254 | 12.817852 | 0.00225 | 4.125529E-4 | 8.1554666E-4 | 0.0036132631 | 4.43048 | 0.0028 | 0.0050112694 | 0.009884195 | 0.013607031 | 1.3766452 | 0.00376 | 0.04899759 | 0.09659228 | 0.10096477 | 1.0452676 | 0.00484 |
7.4 | 9.593308E-5 | 1.8975153E-4 | 0.0024393245 | 12.855362 | 0.00225 | 4.1107697E-4 | 8.129676E-4 | 0.0036106913 | 4.441372 | 0.0028 | 0.0049933824 | 0.009853081 | 0.013576033 | 1.3778466 | 0.00376 | 0.04882661 | 0.09630986 | 0.10068372 | 1.0454144 | 0.00484 |
7.5 | 9.561707E-5 | 1.8921228E-4 | 0.0024287885 | 12.836315 | 0.00224 | 4.0972308E-4 | 8.106579E-4 | 0.0035983962 | 4.438859 | 0.00279 | 0.0049769743 | 0.009825215 | 0.01353837 | 1.3779211 | 0.00375 | 0.048669744 | 0.096056245 | 0.10042229 | 1.0454531 | 0.00483 |
7.6 | 9.418194E-5 | 1.8573487E-4 | 0.0024153206 | 13.004131 | 0.00223 | 4.0357444E-4 | 7.95764E-4 | 0.0035735518 | 4.4907184 | 0.00278 | 0.004902454 | 0.009645499 | 0.013349425 | 1.3840057 | 0.00374 | 0.047957025 | 0.094437465 | 0.09879322 | 1.0461231 | 0.00481 |
7.7 | 8.202141E-5 | 1.6022482E-4 | 0.002179901 | 13.605266 | 0.00202 | 3.51473E-4 | 6.8649714E-4 | 0.0031747879 | 4.624619 | 0.00249 | 0.00427079 | 0.008326128 | 0.011668069 | 1.40138 | 0.00337 | 0.04189639 | 0.082237914 | 0.08624853 | 1.0487685 | 0.00437 |
7.8 | 7.2859846E-5 | 1.4517571E-4 | 0.001464984 | 10.09111 | 0.00132 | 3.1221908E-4 | 6.2203326E-4 | 0.002310982 | 3.7152064 | 0.00169 | 0.003794643 | 0.0075469986 | 0.009859414 | 1.306402 | 0.00233 | 0.037304975 | 0.07472766 | 0.07753124 | 1.0375172 | 0.00303 |
7.9 | 5.3874453E-5 | 1.00462625E-4 | 8.103913E-4 | 8.066595 | 7.1E-4 | 2.3087008E-4 | 4.3048308E-4 | 0.0013700784 | 3.1826534 | 9.4E-4 | 0.0028072202 | 0.0052285474 | 0.0064819595 | 1.2397248 | 0.00126 | 0.02772022 | 0.052425884 | 0.05400833 | 1.0301845 | 0.00167 |
8.0 | 3.468538E-5 | 5.4261534E-5 | 2.8424905E-4 | 5.2385 | 2.3E-4 | 1.4864317E-4 | 2.3252872E-4 | 6.024427E-4 | 2.5908313 | 3.7E-4 | 0.0018082283 | 0.0028273636 | 0.003246176 | 1.1481283 | 4.2E-4 | 0.017935853 | 0.028948462 | 0.02949225 | 1.0187848 | 5.6E-4 |
8.1 | 1.9152367E-5 | 1.9401303E-5 | 4.940072E-5 | 2.546258 | 3.0E-5 | 8.207899E-5 | 8.3145795E-5 | 1.2314247E-4 | 1.4810426 | 4.0E-5 | 9.988535E-4 | 0.0010118305 | 0.0010617799 | 1.0493654 | 5.0E-5 | 0.009943757 | 0.01085595 | 0.0109251905 | 1.006378 | 7.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.473668E-6 | 5.473668E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3458366E-5 | 2.3458366E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8556827E-4 | 2.8556827E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0032481793 | 0.0032481793 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.6564595E-7 | 7.6564595E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.281336E-6 | 3.281336E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.9949547E-5 | 3.9949547E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.717979E-4 | 4.717979E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Death Valley (So)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.5618314E-5 | 0.0011555894 | 45.10794 | 0.00113 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.0978825E-4 | 0.001769606 | 16.118355 | 0.00166 | 0.0010787029 | 0.0013358692 | 0.0043917815 | 3.2875834 | 0.00306 | 0.010734817 | 0.013279985 | 0.017789295 | 1.3395569 | 0.00457 |
6.1 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.5618314E-5 | 0.0011555894 | 45.10794 | 0.00113 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.0978825E-4 | 0.001769606 | 16.118355 | 0.00166 | 0.0010787029 | 0.0013358692 | 0.0043917815 | 3.2875834 | 0.00306 | 0.010734817 | 0.013279985 | 0.017789295 | 1.3395569 | 0.00457 |
6.2 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.5618314E-5 | 0.0011555894 | 45.10794 | 0.00113 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.0978825E-4 | 0.001769606 | 16.118355 | 0.00166 | 0.0010787029 | 0.0013358692 | 0.0043917815 | 3.2875834 | 0.00306 | 0.010734817 | 0.013279985 | 0.017789295 | 1.3395569 | 0.00457 |
6.3 | 2.0240292E-5 | 2.51184E-5 | 0.0011050913 | 43.995293 | 0.00108 | 8.6741224E-5 | 1.0764593E-4 | 0.0016974747 | 15.769056 | 0.00159 | 0.0010555626 | 0.001309818 | 0.0042160065 | 3.2187726 | 0.00291 | 0.010505628 | 0.013022543 | 0.017315894 | 1.3296862 | 0.00435 |
6.4 | 2.0240292E-5 | 2.51184E-5 | 0.0011050913 | 43.995293 | 0.00108 | 8.6741224E-5 | 1.0764593E-4 | 0.0016974747 | 15.769056 | 0.00159 | 0.0010555626 | 0.001309818 | 0.0042160065 | 3.2187726 | 0.00291 | 0.010505628 | 0.013022543 | 0.017315894 | 1.3296862 | 0.00435 |
6.5 | 1.9962767E-5 | 2.4807652E-5 | 0.0010847814 | 43.72769 | 0.00106 | 8.55519E-5 | 1.0631427E-4 | 0.0016661484 | 15.671917 | 0.00156 | 0.0010410968 | 0.0012936244 | 0.0041499245 | 3.2079828 | 0.00286 | 0.010362327 | 0.01286249 | 0.017087437 | 1.3284705 | 0.00428 |
6.6 | 1.8937297E-5 | 2.3311462E-5 | 9.632895E-4 | 41.32257 | 9.4E-4 | 8.115732E-5 | 9.990252E-5 | 0.0015097617 | 15.112348 | 0.00141 | 9.876423E-4 | 0.0012156491 | 0.003782525 | 3.111527 | 0.00257 | 0.009832645 | 0.0120915035 | 0.015894951 | 1.3145554 | 0.00385 |
6.7 | 1.8621096E-5 | 2.2912098E-5 | 9.128917E-4 | 39.84322 | 8.9E-4 | 7.980225E-5 | 9.8191085E-5 | 0.0014480585 | 14.747352 | 0.00135 | 9.711593E-4 | 0.0011948354 | 0.0036618842 | 3.0647604 | 0.00247 | 0.009669261 | 0.011885625 | 0.01555153 | 1.3084317 | 0.00371 |
6.8 | 1.7830353E-5 | 2.1806083E-5 | 8.7178755E-4 | 39.979095 | 8.5E-4 | 7.641356E-5 | 9.3451374E-5 | 0.0013733318 | 14.695683 | 0.00128 | 9.29938E-4 | 0.0011371907 | 0.0034445638 | 3.0290117 | 0.00231 | 0.009260561 | 0.01131609 | 0.014746822 | 1.3031731 | 0.00347 |
6.9 | 1.3135183E-5 | 1.5304031E-5 | 6.1529485E-4 | 40.204758 | 6.0E-4 | 5.6292425E-5 | 6.558709E-5 | 9.555287E-4 | 14.568854 | 8.9E-4 | 6.8514474E-4 | 7.982367E-4 | 0.0023969596 | 3.0028179 | 0.0016 | 0.006830362 | 0.007955158 | 0.0102666225 | 1.2905617 | 0.00233 |
7.0 | 1.1507512E-5 | 1.3154237E-5 | 4.1314898E-4 | 31.408052 | 4.0E-4 | 4.9316975E-5 | 5.637412E-5 | 6.96338E-4 | 12.352087 | 6.4E-4 | 6.002687E-4 | 6.861445E-4 | 0.001875328 | 2.7331386 | 0.00119 | 0.0059864987 | 0.0068414924 | 0.00857952 | 1.2540421 | 0.00175 |
7.1 | 9.715903E-6 | 1.0865287E-5 | 2.9086226E-4 | 26.769863 | 2.8E-4 | 4.1638916E-5 | 4.6564706E-5 | 4.9654377E-4 | 10.663522 | 4.5E-4 | 5.068359E-4 | 5.667821E-4 | 0.0013063627 | 2.3048763 | 7.4E-4 | 0.0050568148 | 0.005653834 | 0.006628293 | 1.1723537 | 9.8E-4 |
7.2 | 9.233269E-6 | 1.0286314E-5 | 2.0028435E-4 | 19.470955 | 1.9E-4 | 3.9570554E-5 | 4.408348E-5 | 3.7406894E-4 | 8.485467 | 3.3E-4 | 4.81665E-4 | 5.365884E-4 | 0.0011162772 | 2.080323 | 5.8E-4 | 0.0048062233 | 0.0053533595 | 0.006129184 | 1.1449229 | 7.8E-4 |
7.3 | 8.8041315E-6 | 9.808164E-6 | 1.5980669E-4 | 16.293232 | 1.5E-4 | 3.7731446E-5 | 4.2034335E-5 | 3.2202256E-4 | 7.660941 | 2.8E-4 | 4.592835E-4 | 5.1165203E-4 | 9.814115E-4 | 1.918123 | 4.7E-4 | 0.0045833546 | 0.005105167 | 0.0057518487 | 1.126672 | 6.5E-4 |
7.4 | 8.708749E-6 | 9.707175E-6 | 1.5970571E-4 | 16.452337 | 1.5E-4 | 3.7322676E-5 | 4.160154E-5 | 3.115903E-4 | 7.4898744 | 2.7E-4 | 4.5430884E-4 | 5.0638523E-4 | 9.5615734E-4 | 1.8882015 | 4.5E-4 | 0.004533812 | 0.0050527398 | 0.005669607 | 1.1220857 | 6.2E-4 |
7.5 | 8.612678E-6 | 9.604817E-6 | 1.5960338E-4 | 16.617014 | 1.5E-4 | 3.6910955E-5 | 4.1162875E-5 | 2.911526E-4 | 7.0731835 | 2.5E-4 | 4.492982E-4 | 5.01047E-4 | 9.3083153E-4 | 1.857773 | 4.3E-4 | 0.004483909 | 0.0049995985 | 0.005596599 | 1.1194097 | 6.0E-4 |
7.6 | 8.319024E-6 | 9.283916E-6 | 1.3928271E-4 | 15.002582 | 1.3E-4 | 3.5652476E-5 | 3.978763E-5 | 2.6977848E-4 | 6.7804613 | 2.3E-4 | 4.3398244E-4 | 4.8431093E-4 | 8.841172E-4 | 1.8255157 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0043313587 | 0.0048329784 | 0.005390272 | 1.1153105 | 5.6E-4 |
7.7 | 7.4718328E-6 | 8.34517E-6 | 1.3834408E-4 | 16.577744 | 1.3E-4 | 3.2021748E-5 | 3.5764548E-5 | 2.357574E-4 | 6.5919304 | 2.0E-4 | 3.8979502E-4 | 4.353504E-4 | 7.652067E-4 | 1.75768 | 3.3E-4 | 0.00389112 | 0.0043453807 | 0.004823295 | 1.1099821 | 4.8E-4 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.6482615E-7 | 1.0364823E-5 | 28.410307 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5635396E-6 | 2.1563508E-5 | 13.791469 | 2.0E-5 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.9035933E-5 | 4.9035363E-5 | 2.5759368 | 3.0E-5 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.9034347E-4 | 2.2033777E-4 | 1.1575798 | 3.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6696718E-9 | 2.6696718E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.14414505E-8 | 1.14414505E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3929966E-7 | 1.3929966E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3929966E-6 | 1.3929966E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Nelson Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.913453E-6 | 1.0192255E-5 | 8.701835E-4 | 85.37693 | 8.6E-4 | 4.2485535E-5 | 4.3680422E-5 | 0.0013936214 | 31.904945 | 0.00135 | 5.1713863E-4 | 5.316897E-4 | 0.0030003765 | 5.643097 | 0.00247 | 0.0051593683 | 0.005305204 | 0.009343665 | 1.7612263 | 0.00406 |
6.1 | 9.913453E-6 | 1.0192255E-5 | 8.701835E-4 | 85.37693 | 8.6E-4 | 4.2485535E-5 | 4.3680422E-5 | 0.0013936214 | 31.904945 | 0.00135 | 5.1713863E-4 | 5.316897E-4 | 0.0030003765 | 5.643097 | 0.00247 | 0.0051593683 | 0.005305204 | 0.009343665 | 1.7612263 | 0.00406 |
6.2 | 4.5596407E-6 | 4.696313E-6 | 3.8469452E-4 | 81.914154 | 3.8E-4 | 1.954117E-5 | 2.0126909E-5 | 6.6011405E-4 | 32.79759 | 6.4E-4 | 2.3788778E-4 | 2.4501883E-4 | 0.0014547224 | 5.9371862 | 0.00121 | 0.0023763329 | 0.0024476128 | 0.0043030605 | 1.7580642 | 0.00186 |
6.3 | 4.5596407E-6 | 4.696313E-6 | 3.8469452E-4 | 81.914154 | 3.8E-4 | 1.954117E-5 | 2.0126909E-5 | 6.6011405E-4 | 32.79759 | 6.4E-4 | 2.3788778E-4 | 2.4501883E-4 | 0.0014547224 | 5.9371862 | 0.00121 | 0.0023763329 | 0.0024476128 | 0.0043030605 | 1.7580642 | 0.00186 |
6.4 | 3.4025713E-6 | 3.5098972E-6 | 3.2350878E-4 | 92.17044 | 3.2E-4 | 1.4582367E-5 | 1.5042335E-5 | 5.4503436E-4 | 36.23336 | 5.3E-4 | 1.7752586E-4 | 1.8312587E-4 | 0.00114295 | 6.241336 | 9.6E-4 | 0.001773841 | 0.0018298327 | 0.003287161 | 1.7964271 | 0.00146 |
6.5 | 2.8352947E-6 | 2.927856E-6 | 2.629271E-4 | 89.80192 | 2.6E-4 | 1.2151207E-5 | 1.2547898E-5 | 4.525424E-4 | 36.065193 | 4.4E-4 | 1.479309E-4 | 1.5276071E-4 | 9.526385E-4 | 6.236149 | 8.0E-4 | 0.0014783246 | 0.0015266308 | 0.0027347836 | 1.791385 | 0.00121 |
6.6 | 2.251518E-6 | 2.3290677E-6 | 2.2232856E-4 | 95.45818 | 2.2E-4 | 9.649328E-6 | 9.981683E-6 | 3.7997798E-4 | 38.067524 | 3.7E-4 | 1.1747423E-4 | 1.2152085E-4 | 8.2143577E-4 | 6.7596283 | 7.0E-4 | 0.0011741214 | 0.0012146058 | 0.0021734396 | 1.78942 | 9.6E-4 |
6.7 | 1.8911853E-6 | 1.9591396E-6 | 1.8195879E-4 | 92.876884 | 1.8E-4 | 8.105055E-6 | 8.39629E-6 | 3.183937E-4 | 37.92076 | 3.1E-4 | 9.867457E-5 | 1.0222061E-4 | 6.7216234E-4 | 6.575605 | 5.7E-4 | 9.863076E-4 | 0.0010217935 | 0.0018409556 | 1.8016906 | 8.2E-4 |
6.8 | 1.4874814E-6 | 1.5438305E-6 | 1.4154361E-4 | 91.68339 | 1.4E-4 | 6.374905E-6 | 6.6164025E-6 | 2.3661488E-4 | 35.761864 | 2.3E-4 | 7.76117E-5 | 8.055224E-5 | 5.205168E-4 | 6.4618535 | 4.4E-4 | 7.75846E-4 | 8.0528157E-4 | 0.0014047984 | 1.744481 | 6.0E-4 |
6.9 | 6.835972E-7 | 7.1399285E-7 | 7.071394E-5 | 99.04013 | 7.0E-5 | 2.9296991E-6 | 3.0599674E-6 | 1.1305963E-4 | 36.947987 | 1.1E-4 | 3.56685E-5 | 3.7254784E-5 | 2.4724696E-4 | 6.6366496 | 2.1E-4 | 3.5662777E-4 | 3.7251666E-4 | 6.5241236E-4 | 1.7513642 | 2.8E-4 |
Towne Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.894542E-6 | 9.0389105E-4 | 232.09175 | 9.0E-4 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.6690812E-5 | 0.0014466669 | 86.67445 | 0.00143 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0319606E-4 | 0.0026327022 | 12.956464 | 0.00243 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020305319 | 0.005902653 | 2.9069495 | 0.00388 |
6.1 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.894542E-6 | 9.0389105E-4 | 232.09175 | 9.0E-4 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.6690812E-5 | 0.0014466669 | 86.67445 | 0.00143 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0319606E-4 | 0.0026327022 | 12.956464 | 0.00243 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020305319 | 0.005902653 | 2.9069495 | 0.00388 |
6.2 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.894542E-6 | 9.0389105E-4 | 232.09175 | 9.0E-4 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.6690812E-5 | 0.0014466669 | 86.67445 | 0.00143 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0319606E-4 | 0.0026327022 | 12.956464 | 0.00243 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020305319 | 0.005902653 | 2.9069495 | 0.00388 |
6.3 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.894542E-6 | 9.0389105E-4 | 232.09175 | 9.0E-4 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.6690812E-5 | 0.0014466669 | 86.67445 | 0.00143 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0319606E-4 | 0.0026327022 | 12.956464 | 0.00243 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020305319 | 0.005902653 | 2.9069495 | 0.00388 |
6.4 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.894542E-6 | 9.0389105E-4 | 232.09175 | 9.0E-4 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.6690812E-5 | 0.0014466669 | 86.67445 | 0.00143 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0319606E-4 | 0.0026327022 | 12.956464 | 0.00243 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020305319 | 0.005902653 | 2.9069495 | 0.00388 |
6.5 | 1.1953545E-6 | 1.2030526E-6 | 1.3120289E-4 | 109.05832 | 1.3E-4 | 5.1229376E-6 | 5.15593E-6 | 2.9515443E-4 | 57.245625 | 2.9E-4 | 6.236998E-5 | 6.277176E-5 | 5.427416E-4 | 8.646271 | 4.8E-4 | 6.235248E-4 | 6.2755204E-4 | 0.0013471001 | 2.1465952 | 7.2E-4 |
6.6 | 1.1953545E-6 | 1.2030526E-6 | 1.3120289E-4 | 109.05832 | 1.3E-4 | 5.1229376E-6 | 5.15593E-6 | 2.9515443E-4 | 57.245625 | 2.9E-4 | 6.236998E-5 | 6.277176E-5 | 5.427416E-4 | 8.646271 | 4.8E-4 | 6.235248E-4 | 6.2755204E-4 | 0.0013471001 | 2.1465952 | 7.2E-4 |
6.7 | 8.375951E-7 | 8.410676E-7 | 6.0841016E-5 | 72.337845 | 6.0E-5 | 3.5896885E-6 | 3.6045708E-6 | 1.5360404E-4 | 42.61368 | 1.5E-4 | 4.370358E-5 | 4.3884826E-5 | 3.338721E-4 | 7.607917 | 2.9E-4 | 4.3694986E-4 | 4.3876728E-4 | 8.385918E-4 | 1.911245 | 4.0E-4 |
6.8 | 6.38041E-7 | 6.3921624E-7 | 4.0639192E-5 | 63.576595 | 4.0E-5 | 2.7344586E-6 | 2.7394954E-6 | 8.273928E-5 | 30.202377 | 8.0E-5 | 3.3291526E-5 | 3.3352884E-5 | 2.3334622E-4 | 6.9962826 | 2.0E-4 | 3.3286537E-4 | 3.334826E-4 | 6.233859E-4 | 1.8693206 | 2.9E-4 |
6.9 | 5.3460053E-7 | 5.345339E-7 | 4.0534513E-5 | 75.83151 | 4.0E-5 | 2.2911431E-6 | 2.2908578E-6 | 7.22907E-5 | 31.556171 | 7.0E-5 | 2.789431E-5 | 2.7890868E-5 | 1.9788613E-4 | 7.0950146 | 1.7E-4 | 2.789081E-4 | 2.78877E-4 | 5.288073E-4 | 1.8962026 | 2.5E-4 |
7.0 | 3.557783E-7 | 3.5324283E-7 | 2.0353236E-5 | 57.618256 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5247632E-6 | 1.513897E-6 | 3.1513853E-5 | 20.816378 | 3.0E-5 | 1.8563835E-5 | 1.8431549E-5 | 7.843044E-5 | 4.255228 | 6.0E-5 | 1.8562283E-4 | 1.8430105E-4 | 2.9428076E-4 | 1.5967395 | 1.1E-4 |
7.1 | 3.037942E-7 | 3.0002275E-7 | 2.0300016E-5 | 67.66159 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3019744E-6 | 1.2858112E-6 | 3.1285774E-5 | 24.331545 | 3.0E-5 | 1.5851423E-5 | 1.5654647E-5 | 7.5653705E-5 | 4.832668 | 6.0E-5 | 1.5850292E-4 | 1.5653619E-4 | 2.465221E-4 | 1.5748569 | 9.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.0808248E-7 | 2.0217735E-7 | 2.0202173E-5 | 99.923035 | 2.0E-5 | 8.917818E-7 | 8.6647407E-7 | 3.086645E-5 | 35.62305 | 3.0E-5 | 1.0857389E-5 | 1.0549275E-5 | 6.0548748E-5 | 5.739612 | 5.0E-5 | 1.0856859E-4 | 1.0548821E-4 | 1.7548082E-4 | 1.6635113 | 7.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.1162073E-7 | 1.0636902E-7 | 1.0106368E-5 | 95.01232 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7837443E-7 | 4.5586717E-7 | 2.0455858E-5 | 44.87241 | 2.0E-5 | 5.8241935E-6 | 5.5501705E-6 | 4.554995E-5 | 8.206945 | 4.0E-5 | 5.8240406E-5 | 5.550052E-5 | 1.1549719E-4 | 2.0810108 | 6.0E-5 |
Lenwood-Lockhart-Old Woman Springs
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.396349E-5 | 0.0013139077 | 29.886337 | 0.00127 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8840231E-4 | 0.001888082 | 10.0215435 | 0.0017 | 0.0019519776 | 0.0022915571 | 0.00498537 | 2.175538 | 0.0027 | 0.019349206 | 0.022697281 | 0.026362166 | 1.161468 | 0.00375 |
6.1 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.396349E-5 | 0.0013139077 | 29.886337 | 0.00127 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8840231E-4 | 0.001888082 | 10.0215435 | 0.0017 | 0.0019519776 | 0.0022915571 | 0.00498537 | 2.175538 | 0.0027 | 0.019349206 | 0.022697281 | 0.026362166 | 1.161468 | 0.00375 |
6.2 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.396349E-5 | 0.0013139077 | 29.886337 | 0.00127 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8840231E-4 | 0.001888082 | 10.0215435 | 0.0017 | 0.0019519776 | 0.0022915571 | 0.00498537 | 2.175538 | 0.0027 | 0.019349206 | 0.022697281 | 0.026362166 | 1.161468 | 0.00375 |
6.3 | 2.1079984E-5 | 2.5354384E-5 | 5.5534096E-4 | 21.903152 | 5.3E-4 | 9.0339665E-5 | 1.0865723E-4 | 8.7857357E-4 | 8.085734 | 7.7E-4 | 0.0010993304 | 0.0013221189 | 0.0024406381 | 1.846005 | 0.00112 | 0.010939079 | 0.013144747 | 0.014753321 | 1.1223739 | 0.00163 |
6.4 | 2.1079984E-5 | 2.5354384E-5 | 5.5534096E-4 | 21.903152 | 5.3E-4 | 9.0339665E-5 | 1.0865723E-4 | 8.7857357E-4 | 8.085734 | 7.7E-4 | 0.0010993304 | 0.0013221189 | 0.0024406381 | 1.846005 | 0.00112 | 0.010939079 | 0.013144747 | 0.014753321 | 1.1223739 | 0.00163 |
6.5 | 1.7397282E-5 | 2.0663285E-5 | 4.406546E-4 | 21.325487 | 4.2E-4 | 7.455765E-5 | 8.8554E-5 | 6.485044E-4 | 7.323265 | 5.6E-4 | 9.073613E-4 | 0.0010776235 | 0.0018867506 | 1.750844 | 8.1E-4 | 0.009036654 | 0.010725273 | 0.011872832 | 1.1069957 | 0.00116 |
6.6 | 1.52050325E-5 | 1.7680086E-5 | 3.776737E-4 | 21.361532 | 3.6E-4 | 6.51628E-5 | 7.576964E-5 | 5.6573254E-4 | 7.4664803 | 4.9E-4 | 7.9306826E-4 | 9.221128E-4 | 0.001631458 | 1.7692609 | 7.1E-4 | 0.007902439 | 0.009183729 | 0.010184453 | 1.1089671 | 0.00101 |
6.7 | 1.332523E-5 | 1.5264379E-5 | 2.952601E-4 | 19.343079 | 2.8E-4 | 5.7106878E-5 | 6.541716E-5 | 4.5539165E-4 | 6.961348 | 3.9E-4 | 6.950544E-4 | 7.9616875E-4 | 0.0013557229 | 1.7028085 | 5.6E-4 | 0.006928845 | 0.0079337945 | 0.008757209 | 1.1037858 | 8.3E-4 |
6.8 | 1.1525329E-5 | 1.3031365E-5 | 1.9302902E-4 | 14.812648 | 1.8E-4 | 4.9393333E-5 | 5.5847537E-5 | 3.1583302E-4 | 5.655272 | 2.6E-4 | 6.011979E-4 | 6.7973585E-4 | 0.0010894572 | 1.6027654 | 4.1E-4 | 0.00599574 | 0.0067770192 | 0.0074027497 | 1.0923312 | 6.3E-4 |
6.9 | 1.0253909E-5 | 1.1514835E-5 | 1.5151322E-4 | 13.15809 | 1.4E-4 | 4.3944583E-5 | 4.934838E-5 | 2.6933753E-4 | 5.45788 | 2.2E-4 | 5.3489394E-4 | 6.006545E-4 | 9.404503E-4 | 1.5657092 | 3.4E-4 | 0.0053360825 | 0.0059906896 | 0.0065274546 | 1.0895998 | 5.4E-4 |
7.0 | 8.104563E-6 | 8.99143E-6 | 1.08990534E-4 | 12.121601 | 1.0E-4 | 3.4733377E-5 | 3.853415E-5 | 2.1852722E-4 | 5.671002 | 1.8E-4 | 4.2279682E-4 | 4.6905465E-4 | 7.289327E-4 | 1.5540464 | 2.6E-4 | 0.0042199334 | 0.0046808943 | 0.005128788 | 1.0956855 | 4.5E-4 |
7.1 | 6.7986157E-6 | 7.5159796E-6 | 8.751538E-5 | 11.6439085 | 8.0E-5 | 2.91366E-5 | 3.2210955E-5 | 1.7220645E-4 | 5.346207 | 1.4E-4 | 3.5468035E-4 | 3.9209996E-4 | 5.9202156E-4 | 1.509874 | 2.0E-4 | 0.003541148 | 0.003914298 | 0.004252967 | 1.086521 | 3.4E-4 |
7.2 | 5.6893327E-6 | 6.280132E-6 | 6.6279754E-5 | 10.55388 | 6.0E-5 | 2.4382627E-5 | 2.6914584E-5 | 1.3691162E-4 | 5.0868936 | 1.1E-4 | 2.9681803E-4 | 3.276378E-4 | 4.7758865E-4 | 1.4576726 | 1.5E-4 | 0.002964219 | 0.003271746 | 0.0035607973 | 1.0883477 | 2.9E-4 |
7.3 | 4.253348E-6 | 4.707075E-6 | 4.4706885E-5 | 9.497807 | 4.0E-5 | 1.8228506E-5 | 2.017303E-5 | 1.0017142E-4 | 4.9656105 | 8.0E-5 | 2.2190946E-4 | 2.455808E-4 | 3.6555133E-4 | 1.4885175 | 1.2E-4 | 0.00221688 | 0.0024532753 | 0.0026727356 | 1.0894561 | 2.2E-4 |
7.4 | 2.5448119E-6 | 2.8520594E-6 | 2.2852002E-5 | 8.012457 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0906291E-5 | 1.2223064E-5 | 5.2222575E-5 | 4.272462 | 4.0E-5 | 1.3277601E-4 | 1.4880729E-4 | 2.1879688E-4 | 1.470337 | 7.0E-5 | 0.001326967 | 0.0014872387 | 0.0016170454 | 1.0872803 | 1.3E-4 |
7.5 | 4.3706837E-8 | 4.562909E-8 | 4.562909E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8731501E-7 | 1.9555324E-7 | 1.9555324E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2805577E-6 | 2.3808586E-6 | 2.3808586E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2805343E-5 | 2.3808387E-5 | 2.3808387E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (San Bernardino N)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.4273766E-4 | 3.160784E-4 | 0.0012857718 | 4.0678887 | 9.7E-4 | 6.115894E-4 | 0.0013539245 | 0.0026321914 | 1.9441198 | 0.00128 | 0.0074207084 | 0.016360939 | 0.01810198 | 1.1064146 | 0.00177 | 0.07177748 | 0.15021163 | 0.15224262 | 1.0135208 | 0.00239 |
6.1 | 1.4273766E-4 | 3.160784E-4 | 0.0012857718 | 4.0678887 | 9.7E-4 | 6.115894E-4 | 0.0013539245 | 0.0026321914 | 1.9441198 | 0.00128 | 0.0074207084 | 0.016360939 | 0.01810198 | 1.1064146 | 0.00177 | 0.07177748 | 0.15021163 | 0.15224262 | 1.0135208 | 0.00239 |
6.2 | 1.4273766E-4 | 3.160784E-4 | 0.0012857718 | 4.0678887 | 9.7E-4 | 6.115894E-4 | 0.0013539245 | 0.0026321914 | 1.9441198 | 0.00128 | 0.0074207084 | 0.016360939 | 0.01810198 | 1.1064146 | 0.00177 | 0.07177748 | 0.15021163 | 0.15224262 | 1.0135208 | 0.00239 |
6.3 | 1.3730655E-4 | 3.0512668E-4 | 0.0012748307 | 4.1780376 | 9.7E-4 | 5.883239E-4 | 0.001307036 | 0.002585363 | 1.978035 | 0.00128 | 0.0071393442 | 0.015798455 | 0.017540492 | 1.1102663 | 0.00177 | 0.06914291 | 0.1455135 | 0.14753865 | 1.0139171 | 0.00237 |
6.4 | 1.3730655E-4 | 3.0512668E-4 | 0.0012748307 | 4.1780376 | 9.7E-4 | 5.883239E-4 | 0.001307036 | 0.002585363 | 1.978035 | 0.00128 | 0.0071393442 | 0.015798455 | 0.017540492 | 1.1102663 | 0.00177 | 0.06914291 | 0.1455135 | 0.14753865 | 1.0139171 | 0.00237 |
6.5 | 1.2942807E-4 | 2.8927144E-4 | 0.0012589908 | 4.352282 | 9.7E-4 | 5.545738E-4 | 0.0012391509 | 0.0025075772 | 2.0236254 | 0.00127 | 0.0067310524 | 0.014983548 | 0.016717177 | 1.1157022 | 0.00176 | 0.06530788 | 0.13865088 | 0.14068367 | 1.0146612 | 0.00236 |
6.6 | 1.1125901E-4 | 2.5365927E-4 | 0.0012234132 | 4.8230577 | 9.7E-4 | 4.767372E-4 | 0.0010866605 | 0.0023552803 | 2.1674483 | 0.00127 | 0.005788839 | 0.0131504685 | 0.014877455 | 1.1313251 | 0.00175 | 0.056403454 | 0.12300496 | 0.12504835 | 1.0166123 | 0.00233 |
6.7 | 1.02209575E-4 | 2.3500937E-4 | 0.0012047815 | 5.126525 | 9.7E-4 | 4.3796748E-4 | 0.0010067957 | 0.002255537 | 2.2403128 | 0.00125 | 0.0053192247 | 0.012189267 | 0.013878424 | 1.1385773 | 0.00171 | 0.051936906 | 0.114792764 | 0.116793334 | 1.0174277 | 0.00226 |
6.8 | 9.610582E-5 | 2.2026796E-4 | 0.0011700587 | 5.311979 | 9.5E-4 | 4.1181705E-4 | 9.436647E-4 | 0.002172504 | 2.3021991 | 0.00123 | 0.0050023515 | 0.011428859 | 0.013099545 | 1.1461812 | 0.00169 | 0.048912346 | 0.10820469 | 0.110193394 | 1.0183791 | 0.00223 |
6.9 | 9.3877505E-5 | 2.1482339E-4 | 0.0011546215 | 5.3747473 | 9.4E-4 | 4.0227012E-4 | 9.203475E-4 | 0.0021392247 | 2.3243663 | 0.00122 | 0.0048866454 | 0.011147907 | 0.012809179 | 1.1490209 | 0.00168 | 0.04780577 | 0.105798274 | 0.10777446 | 1.0186788 | 0.00221 |
7.0 | 9.1019785E-5 | 2.0809306E-4 | 0.0011378996 | 5.4682245 | 9.3E-4 | 3.900265E-4 | 8.915232E-4 | 0.0021004444 | 2.3560178 | 0.00121 | 0.0047382377 | 0.0108004995 | 0.012452463 | 1.1529524 | 0.00167 | 0.046384744 | 0.10276815 | 0.104742065 | 1.0192074 | 0.0022 |
7.1 | 8.771155E-5 | 1.9983841E-4 | 0.0011296526 | 5.65283 | 9.3E-4 | 3.758525E-4 | 8.5616973E-4 | 0.0020651338 | 2.4120612 | 0.00121 | 0.0045664064 | 0.010374243 | 0.012026918 | 1.1593056 | 0.00167 | 0.044737056 | 0.09907644 | 0.10105847 | 1.0200051 | 0.0022 |
7.2 | 8.0830236E-5 | 1.8389444E-4 | 0.0011037253 | 6.0019503 | 9.2E-4 | 3.4636928E-4 | 7.8788114E-4 | 0.0019869357 | 2.5218723 | 0.0012 | 0.0042088944 | 0.009550368 | 0.01118461 | 1.1711183 | 0.00165 | 0.041300658 | 0.09180518 | 0.09378505 | 1.0215659 | 0.00218 |
7.3 | 7.7668235E-5 | 1.7333007E-4 | 0.0010831724 | 6.2491884 | 9.1E-4 | 3.328214E-4 | 7.426318E-4 | 0.0019217555 | 2.5877635 | 0.00118 | 0.0040445733 | 0.009004138 | 0.010619462 | 1.1793978 | 0.00163 | 0.03971748 | 0.08706761 | 0.08903042 | 1.0225434 | 0.00215 |
7.4 | 7.520177E-5 | 1.655312E-4 | 0.0010753806 | 6.4965434 | 9.1E-4 | 3.2225347E-4 | 7.092266E-4 | 0.0018883897 | 2.6626043 | 0.00118 | 0.0039163795 | 0.008600714 | 0.01020678 | 1.1867365 | 0.00162 | 0.038480744 | 0.08352157 | 0.0854645 | 1.0232626 | 0.00212 |
7.5 | 7.274697E-5 | 1.584075E-4 | 0.0010682633 | 6.7437673 | 9.1E-4 | 3.1173544E-4 | 6.7871273E-4 | 0.0018579118 | 2.7374053 | 0.00118 | 0.003788775 | 0.008232076 | 0.00983874 | 1.1951712 | 0.00162 | 0.03724827 | 0.08023654 | 0.08218644 | 1.0243019 | 0.00212 |
7.6 | 7.1185845E-5 | 1.5410586E-4 | 0.0010639656 | 6.904122 | 9.1E-4 | 3.0504653E-4 | 6.602866E-4 | 0.001829514 | 2.770788 | 0.00117 | 0.0037076178 | 0.0080094095 | 0.009606514 | 1.1994035 | 0.00161 | 0.036463667 | 0.07822661 | 0.080171555 | 1.0248629 | 0.00211 |
7.7 | 6.709961E-5 | 1.4319421E-4 | 0.0010530639 | 7.3540955 | 9.1E-4 | 2.8753807E-4 | 6.135452E-4 | 0.0017828273 | 2.90578 | 0.00117 | 0.003495157 | 0.0074443663 | 0.009032455 | 1.2133276 | 0.0016 | 0.034406938 | 0.07305558 | 0.07500216 | 1.0266452 | 0.0021 |
7.8 | 6.300812E-5 | 1.320343E-4 | 0.0010419141 | 7.891238 | 9.1E-4 | 2.7000686E-4 | 5.657386E-4 | 0.0017350767 | 3.066923 | 0.00117 | 0.0032823787 | 0.006866143 | 0.008455157 | 1.2314274 | 0.0016 | 0.032343175 | 0.06771385 | 0.069671646 | 1.0289129 | 0.0021 |
7.9 | 4.983037E-5 | 9.7241085E-5 | 8.0717204E-4 | 8.300731 | 7.1E-4 | 2.1354125E-4 | 4.1668097E-4 | 0.0013562893 | 3.2549827 | 9.4E-4 | 0.0025967648 | 0.0050613005 | 0.0063049737 | 1.245722 | 0.00125 | 0.025666296 | 0.050650507 | 0.052216936 | 1.0309262 | 0.00165 |
8.0 | 3.2211527E-5 | 5.3306234E-5 | 2.8329398E-4 | 5.3144627 | 2.3E-4 | 1.380421E-4 | 2.2843528E-4 | 5.983508E-4 | 2.6193447 | 3.7E-4 | 0.0016793669 | 0.0027776542 | 0.0031964877 | 1.1507868 | 4.2E-4 | 0.016667323 | 0.028362568 | 0.028906686 | 1.0191844 | 5.6E-4 |
8.1 | 1.743376E-5 | 1.8823403E-5 | 4.8822836E-5 | 2.5937307 | 3.0E-5 | 7.471398E-5 | 8.066923E-5 | 1.20666E-4 | 1.495812 | 4.0E-5 | 9.0926304E-4 | 9.81706E-4 | 0.0010316569 | 1.0508817 | 5.0E-5 | 0.009055517 | 0.010483979 | 0.010553245 | 1.0066068 | 7.0E-5 |
8.2 | 7.831616E-6 | 5.1540533E-6 | 5.1540533E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3563636E-5 | 2.2088612E-5 | 2.2088612E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0856065E-4 | 2.6889573E-4 | 2.6889573E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004078103 | 0.0030413668 | 0.0030413668 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.6564595E-7 | 7.6564595E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.281336E-6 | 3.281336E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.9949547E-5 | 3.9949547E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.717979E-4 | 4.717979E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Bicycle Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9621975E-5 | 2.2097078E-5 | 4.5208758E-4 | 20.459156 | 4.3E-4 | 8.4091465E-5 | 9.4699084E-5 | 7.646356E-4 | 8.074372 | 6.7E-4 | 0.0010233327 | 0.0011524865 | 0.0026108038 | 2.265366 | 0.00146 | 0.01018633 | 0.011478408 | 0.013761893 | 1.1989374 | 0.00231 |
6.1 | 1.9621975E-5 | 2.2097078E-5 | 4.5208758E-4 | 20.459156 | 4.3E-4 | 8.4091465E-5 | 9.4699084E-5 | 7.646356E-4 | 8.074372 | 6.7E-4 | 0.0010233327 | 0.0011524865 | 0.0026108038 | 2.265366 | 0.00146 | 0.01018633 | 0.011478408 | 0.013761893 | 1.1989374 | 0.00231 |
6.2 | 9.9971285E-6 | 1.125564E-5 | 2.4125304E-4 | 21.433971 | 2.3E-4 | 4.2844134E-5 | 4.8237856E-5 | 3.8822147E-4 | 8.048066 | 3.4E-4 | 5.2150246E-4 | 5.871897E-4 | 0.0014167023 | 2.4126825 | 8.3E-4 | 0.0052028033 | 0.005861487 | 0.007213515 | 1.2306631 | 0.00136 |
6.3 | 9.589428E-6 | 1.0798346E-5 | 2.2079608E-4 | 20.447212 | 2.1E-4 | 4.10969E-5 | 4.62781E-5 | 3.662633E-4 | 7.914398 | 3.2E-4 | 5.002399E-4 | 5.6334207E-4 | 0.0013728858 | 2.4370375 | 8.1E-4 | 0.0049911533 | 0.0056242296 | 0.006926862 | 1.2316108 | 0.00131 |
6.4 | 9.589428E-6 | 1.0798346E-5 | 2.2079608E-4 | 20.447212 | 2.1E-4 | 4.10969E-5 | 4.62781E-5 | 3.662633E-4 | 7.914398 | 3.2E-4 | 5.002399E-4 | 5.6334207E-4 | 0.0013728858 | 2.4370375 | 8.1E-4 | 0.0049911533 | 0.0056242296 | 0.006926862 | 1.2316108 | 0.00131 |
6.5 | 5.557707E-6 | 6.2856016E-6 | 1.1628491E-4 | 18.500204 | 1.1E-4 | 2.3818526E-5 | 2.6938165E-5 | 2.2693278E-4 | 8.424211 | 2.0E-4 | 2.8995197E-4 | 3.279497E-4 | 8.3778246E-4 | 2.5546067 | 5.1E-4 | 0.0028957394 | 0.0032772934 | 0.0040946063 | 1.2493864 | 8.2E-4 |
6.6 | 4.8742945E-6 | 5.5132896E-6 | 9.551279E-5 | 17.324102 | 9.0E-5 | 2.0889667E-5 | 2.3628318E-5 | 1.7362478E-4 | 7.3481646 | 1.5E-4 | 2.54302E-4 | 2.87663E-4 | 7.175393E-4 | 2.4943748 | 4.3E-4 | 0.002540112 | 0.0028754752 | 0.00355352 | 1.2358027 | 6.8E-4 |
6.7 | 3.991108E-6 | 4.5159104E-6 | 8.451555E-5 | 18.715063 | 8.0E-5 | 1.7104636E-5 | 1.9353902E-5 | 1.2935177E-4 | 6.6834984 | 1.1E-4 | 2.0822904E-4 | 2.3563375E-4 | 5.9554895E-4 | 2.5274348 | 3.6E-4 | 0.0020803404 | 0.0023563374 | 0.0029449472 | 1.2497985 | 5.9E-4 |
Paradise
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.4851273E-5 | 1.6694768E-5 | 4.6668726E-4 | 27.954102 | 4.5E-4 | 6.364676E-5 | 7.154718E-5 | 7.315E-4 | 10.224022 | 6.6E-4 | 7.7462377E-4 | 8.707624E-4 | 0.0021996042 | 2.526067 | 0.00133 | 0.0077192914 | 0.008675884 | 0.010856798 | 1.2513765 | 0.0022 |
6.1 | 1.4851273E-5 | 1.6694768E-5 | 4.6668726E-4 | 27.954102 | 4.5E-4 | 6.364676E-5 | 7.154718E-5 | 7.315E-4 | 10.224022 | 6.6E-4 | 7.7462377E-4 | 8.707624E-4 | 0.0021996042 | 2.526067 | 0.00133 | 0.0077192914 | 0.008675884 | 0.010856798 | 1.2513765 | 0.0022 |
6.2 | 1.4851273E-5 | 1.6694768E-5 | 4.6668726E-4 | 27.954102 | 4.5E-4 | 6.364676E-5 | 7.154718E-5 | 7.315E-4 | 10.224022 | 6.6E-4 | 7.7462377E-4 | 8.707624E-4 | 0.0021996042 | 2.526067 | 0.00133 | 0.0077192914 | 0.008675884 | 0.010856798 | 1.2513765 | 0.0022 |
6.3 | 1.0426831E-5 | 1.1888697E-5 | 2.0188643E-4 | 16.981375 | 1.9E-4 | 4.4685654E-5 | 5.09506E-5 | 3.3093634E-4 | 6.4952393 | 2.8E-4 | 5.43912E-4 | 6.201529E-4 | 0.0012497623 | 2.0152485 | 6.3E-4 | 0.0054258266 | 0.0061848317 | 0.007248214 | 1.1719339 | 0.00107 |
6.4 | 1.0426831E-5 | 1.1888697E-5 | 2.0188643E-4 | 16.981375 | 1.9E-4 | 4.4685654E-5 | 5.09506E-5 | 3.3093634E-4 | 6.4952393 | 2.8E-4 | 5.43912E-4 | 6.201529E-4 | 0.0012497623 | 2.0152485 | 6.3E-4 | 0.0054258266 | 0.0061848317 | 0.007248214 | 1.1719339 | 0.00107 |
6.5 | 9.25027E-6 | 1.0620037E-5 | 1.7061834E-4 | 16.0657 | 1.6E-4 | 3.964341E-5 | 4.551368E-5 | 2.755032E-4 | 6.053196 | 2.3E-4 | 4.8255164E-4 | 5.5399304E-4 | 0.0010637105 | 1.9200791 | 5.1E-4 | 0.0048150513 | 0.0055266195 | 0.006292364 | 1.1385556 | 7.7E-4 |
6.6 | 7.904275E-6 | 9.159602E-6 | 1.3915841E-4 | 15.192626 | 1.3E-4 | 3.3875025E-5 | 3.925487E-5 | 1.8924898E-4 | 4.821032 | 1.5E-4 | 4.1235037E-4 | 4.7782718E-4 | 7.3770294E-4 | 1.5438697 | 2.6E-4 | 0.0041158604 | 0.004768395 | 0.0052062967 | 1.0918342 | 4.4E-4 |
6.7 | 7.2061953E-6 | 8.407326E-6 | 1.2840632E-4 | 15.273147 | 1.2E-4 | 3.088333E-5 | 3.603092E-5 | 1.7602587E-4 | 4.8854117 | 1.4E-4 | 3.7593965E-4 | 4.3859181E-4 | 6.5849535E-4 | 1.5013853 | 2.2E-4 | 0.003753043 | 0.004377631 | 0.004736055 | 1.0818763 | 3.6E-4 |
6.8 | 6.6948724E-6 | 7.842242E-6 | 1.278413E-4 | 16.301626 | 1.2E-4 | 2.8691995E-5 | 3.3609194E-5 | 1.736045E-4 | 5.1653867 | 1.4E-4 | 3.4926904E-4 | 4.091187E-4 | 6.1903277E-4 | 1.5130885 | 2.1E-4 | 0.003487206 | 0.0040840125 | 0.004392747 | 1.0755957 | 3.1E-4 |
6.9 | 6.0421025E-6 | 7.1306963E-6 | 1.07129985E-4 | 15.023776 | 1.0E-4 | 2.5894467E-5 | 3.0559786E-5 | 1.4055643E-4 | 4.5993915 | 1.1E-4 | 3.1521954E-4 | 3.7200528E-4 | 5.219495E-4 | 1.4030701 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0031477278 | 0.0037141638 | 0.003933347 | 1.0590128 | 2.2E-4 |
7.0 | 4.134091E-6 | 5.0803824E-6 | 4.5080178E-5 | 8.873383 | 4.0E-5 | 1.7717413E-5 | 2.1772896E-5 | 7.177181E-5 | 3.2963831 | 5.0E-5 | 2.1568815E-4 | 2.650543E-4 | 3.450331E-4 | 1.3017449 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0021547892 | 0.0026475347 | 0.0027672169 | 1.0452052 | 1.2E-4 |
7.1 | 3.7674888E-6 | 4.631936E-6 | 4.463175E-5 | 9.635658 | 4.0E-5 | 1.6146281E-5 | 1.9851012E-5 | 6.985002E-5 | 3.5187132 | 5.0E-5 | 1.9656324E-4 | 2.4166079E-4 | 3.1164387E-4 | 1.2895923 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0019638946 | 0.0024141306 | 0.0025039134 | 1.0371906 | 9.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.4065345E-6 | 4.156782E-6 | 2.41567E-5 | 5.811394 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4599351E-5 | 1.7814667E-5 | 4.7814134E-5 | 2.6839757 | 3.0E-5 | 1.777326E-4 | 2.168735E-4 | 2.6686265E-4 | 1.2304991 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0017759053 | 0.0021667667 | 0.0022166583 | 1.0230259 | 5.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.9934936E-6 | 3.6293673E-6 | 2.3629294E-5 | 6.5105824 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2829195E-5 | 1.5554348E-5 | 4.555388E-5 | 2.9286914 | 3.0E-5 | 1.5618425E-4 | 1.8935918E-4 | 2.3934973E-4 | 1.2639984 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0015607453 | 0.0018921237 | 0.0019420291 | 1.0263753 | 5.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.4049796E-6 | 2.8890186E-6 | 2.288896E-5 | 7.922746 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0307015E-5 | 1.2381457E-5 | 4.2381085E-5 | 3.4229481 | 3.0E-5 | 1.2548068E-4 | 1.5073526E-4 | 2.0072772E-4 | 1.3316574 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0012540985 | 0.0015064715 | 0.0015563963 | 1.0331402 | 5.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.2710091E-6 | 1.5134859E-6 | 1.1513471E-5 | 7.6072536 | 1.0E-5 | 5.44717E-6 | 6.4863593E-6 | 2.648623E-5 | 4.083374 | 2.0E-5 | 6.631728E-5 | 7.896981E-5 | 1.1896665E-4 | 1.5064827 | 4.0E-5 | 6.6297496E-4 | 7.895401E-4 | 8.295085E-4 | 1.0506223 | 4.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.6040198E-7 | 2.6040198E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.1160082E-6 | 1.1160082E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.3587343E-5 | 1.3587343E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1539775E-4 | 1.3586794E-4 | 1.3586794E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Garlic Springs
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6760017E-5 | 1.8776833E-5 | 2.487725E-4 | 13.248907 | 2.3E-4 | 7.182667E-5 | 8.0470316E-5 | 5.004365E-4 | 6.218896 | 4.2E-4 | 8.7413884E-4 | 9.794032E-4 | 0.0020683357 | 2.1118326 | 0.00109 | 0.008707083 | 0.009762413 | 0.011614157 | 1.189681 | 0.00187 |
6.1 | 9.852767E-6 | 1.0973587E-5 | 1.2097238E-4 | 11.023959 | 1.1E-4 | 4.222546E-5 | 4.702921E-5 | 2.770184E-4 | 5.8903475 | 2.3E-4 | 5.139737E-4 | 5.7250116E-4 | 0.0012021405 | 2.0998044 | 6.3E-4 | 0.005127866 | 0.005717221 | 0.006840761 | 1.1965184 | 0.00113 |
6.2 | 9.852767E-6 | 1.0973587E-5 | 1.2097238E-4 | 11.023959 | 1.1E-4 | 4.222546E-5 | 4.702921E-5 | 2.770184E-4 | 5.8903475 | 2.3E-4 | 5.139737E-4 | 5.7250116E-4 | 0.0012021405 | 2.0998044 | 6.3E-4 | 0.005127866 | 0.005717221 | 0.006840761 | 1.1965184 | 0.00113 |
6.3 | 4.3167724E-6 | 4.7780286E-6 | 4.4777837E-5 | 9.3716135 | 4.0E-5 | 1.8500323E-5 | 2.0477235E-5 | 1.004756E-4 | 4.9066978 | 8.0E-5 | 2.2521814E-4 | 2.4930484E-4 | 4.6925E-4 | 1.8822337 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0022499003 | 0.00249251 | 0.0028715627 | 1.1520767 | 3.8E-4 |
6.4 | 4.3167724E-6 | 4.7780286E-6 | 4.4777837E-5 | 9.3716135 | 4.0E-5 | 1.8500323E-5 | 2.0477235E-5 | 1.004756E-4 | 4.9066978 | 8.0E-5 | 2.2521814E-4 | 2.4930484E-4 | 4.6925E-4 | 1.8822337 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0022499003 | 0.00249251 | 0.0028715627 | 1.1520767 | 3.8E-4 |
6.5 | 4.3167724E-6 | 4.7780286E-6 | 4.4777837E-5 | 9.3716135 | 4.0E-5 | 1.8500323E-5 | 2.0477235E-5 | 1.004756E-4 | 4.9066978 | 8.0E-5 | 2.2521814E-4 | 2.4930484E-4 | 4.6925E-4 | 1.8822337 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0022499003 | 0.00249251 | 0.0028715627 | 1.1520767 | 3.8E-4 |
6.6 | 4.301311E-6 | 4.760897E-6 | 4.4760705E-5 | 9.401738 | 4.0E-5 | 1.8434059E-5 | 2.0403815E-5 | 1.0040218E-4 | 4.9207554 | 8.0E-5 | 2.2441156E-4 | 2.4841115E-4 | 4.683565E-4 | 1.8854085 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0022418506 | 0.002483593 | 0.0028626493 | 1.1526241 | 3.8E-4 |
6.7 | 3.8599724E-6 | 4.27106E-6 | 4.4270888E-5 | 10.365317 | 4.0E-5 | 1.6542634E-5 | 1.8304541E-5 | 9.830308E-5 | 5.37042 | 8.0E-5 | 2.0138794E-4 | 2.228578E-4 | 4.2281323E-4 | 1.8972332 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0020120554 | 0.002228578 | 0.0025578425 | 1.1477464 | 3.3E-4 |
Death Valley (Black Mtns Frontal)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.867027E-5 | 4.0866298E-4 | 21.888437 | 3.9E-4 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.001303E-5 | 7.099626E-4 | 8.873088 | 6.3E-4 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.737309E-4 | 0.0019627667 | 2.015718 | 9.9E-4 | 0.00867977 | 0.009695496 | 0.011062117 | 1.1409541 | 0.00138 |
6.1 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.867027E-5 | 4.0866298E-4 | 21.888437 | 3.9E-4 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.001303E-5 | 7.099626E-4 | 8.873088 | 6.3E-4 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.737309E-4 | 0.0019627667 | 2.015718 | 9.9E-4 | 0.00867977 | 0.009695496 | 0.011062117 | 1.1409541 | 0.00138 |
6.2 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.867027E-5 | 4.0866298E-4 | 21.888437 | 3.9E-4 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.001303E-5 | 7.099626E-4 | 8.873088 | 6.3E-4 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.737309E-4 | 0.0019627667 | 2.015718 | 9.9E-4 | 0.00867977 | 0.009695496 | 0.011062117 | 1.1409541 | 0.00138 |
6.3 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.867027E-5 | 4.0866298E-4 | 21.888437 | 3.9E-4 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.001303E-5 | 7.099626E-4 | 8.873088 | 6.3E-4 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.737309E-4 | 0.0019627667 | 2.015718 | 9.9E-4 | 0.00867977 | 0.009695496 | 0.011062117 | 1.1409541 | 0.00138 |
6.4 | 1.5515609E-5 | 1.7338214E-5 | 3.5733232E-4 | 20.609524 | 3.4E-4 | 6.649377E-5 | 7.4304546E-5 | 6.142644E-4 | 8.266849 | 5.4E-4 | 8.0926094E-4 | 9.042885E-4 | 0.0017735017 | 1.9612124 | 8.7E-4 | 0.008063202 | 0.009006773 | 0.010186055 | 1.1309328 | 0.00119 |
6.5 | 1.5515609E-5 | 1.7338214E-5 | 3.5733232E-4 | 20.609524 | 3.4E-4 | 6.649377E-5 | 7.4304546E-5 | 6.142644E-4 | 8.266849 | 5.4E-4 | 8.0926094E-4 | 9.042885E-4 | 0.0017735017 | 1.9612124 | 8.7E-4 | 0.008063202 | 0.009006773 | 0.010186055 | 1.1309328 | 0.00119 |
6.6 | 1.5041828E-5 | 1.6809145E-5 | 3.468036E-4 | 20.631842 | 3.3E-4 | 6.4463384E-5 | 7.203723E-5 | 6.0199905E-4 | 8.356776 | 5.3E-4 | 7.8455906E-4 | 8.767063E-4 | 0.0017159699 | 1.9572916 | 8.4E-4 | 0.00781795 | 0.008733132 | 0.009853264 | 1.1282623 | 0.00113 |
6.7 | 1.4634985E-5 | 1.6356016E-5 | 3.4635063E-4 | 21.175732 | 3.3E-4 | 6.271985E-5 | 7.009536E-5 | 5.900589E-4 | 8.417945 | 5.2E-4 | 7.6334673E-4 | 8.5308263E-4 | 0.0016623917 | 1.9486877 | 8.1E-4 | 0.007607299 | 0.008498715 | 0.009579452 | 1.1271647 | 0.00109 |
6.8 | 1.4209158E-5 | 1.5882048E-5 | 3.158773E-4 | 19.888952 | 3.0E-4 | 6.089497E-5 | 6.8064175E-5 | 5.380322E-4 | 7.904778 | 4.7E-4 | 7.4114406E-4 | 8.2837185E-4 | 0.0015677589 | 1.8925786 | 7.4E-4 | 0.007386771 | 0.008253456 | 0.009245203 | 1.1201614 | 0.001 |
6.9 | 1.3780098E-5 | 1.5404594E-5 | 2.9540027E-4 | 19.176117 | 2.8E-4 | 5.9056227E-5 | 6.6018045E-5 | 5.1598833E-4 | 7.8158684 | 4.5E-4 | 7.1877235E-4 | 8.0347876E-4 | 0.0015229002 | 1.8953834 | 7.2E-4 | 0.0071645193 | 0.008006332 | 0.008968567 | 1.1201841 | 9.7E-4 |
7.0 | 1.3585064E-5 | 1.5188155E-5 | 2.951839E-4 | 19.435139 | 2.8E-4 | 5.8220405E-5 | 6.50905E-5 | 5.050619E-4 | 7.759379 | 4.4E-4 | 7.086029E-4 | 7.9219416E-4 | 0.0015016317 | 1.8955349 | 7.1E-4 | 0.007063476 | 0.007894293 | 0.008826873 | 1.1181333 | 9.4E-4 |
7.1 | 1.3398601E-5 | 1.49813395E-5 | 2.849773E-4 | 19.02215 | 2.7E-4 | 5.742131E-5 | 6.420419E-5 | 4.941766E-4 | 7.6969523 | 4.3E-4 | 6.9888023E-4 | 7.8141113E-4 | 0.0014808641 | 1.8951153 | 7.0E-4 | 0.0069668638 | 0.007787224 | 0.008690137 | 1.1159481 | 9.1E-4 |
7.2 | 1.3126312E-5 | 1.4679561E-5 | 2.1467662E-4 | 14.624186 | 2.0E-4 | 5.6254412E-5 | 6.291092E-5 | 4.0288953E-4 | 6.4041276 | 3.4E-4 | 6.846822E-4 | 7.6567667E-4 | 0.001355225 | 1.7699702 | 5.9E-4 | 0.006825765 | 0.00763097 | 0.008424865 | 1.104036 | 8.0E-4 |
7.3 | 1.2922429E-5 | 1.4453788E-5 | 2.0445105E-4 | 14.145153 | 1.9E-4 | 5.5380664E-5 | 6.194336E-5 | 3.9192292E-4 | 6.327117 | 3.3E-4 | 6.74051E-4 | 7.53905E-4 | 0.0013034903 | 1.728985 | 5.5E-4 | 0.006720101 | 0.007514055 | 0.008268344 | 1.1003838 | 7.6E-4 |
7.4 | 1.2768878E-5 | 1.4283772E-5 | 2.0428105E-4 | 14.30162 | 1.9E-4 | 5.4722615E-5 | 6.1214756E-5 | 3.9119457E-4 | 6.390527 | 3.3E-4 | 6.660441E-4 | 7.4504025E-4 | 0.001284638 | 1.724253 | 5.4E-4 | 0.0066405144 | 0.0074260035 | 0.008170434 | 1.1002464 | 7.5E-4 |
7.5 | 1.2521929E-5 | 1.40120155E-5 | 2.0400935E-4 | 14.559601 | 1.9E-4 | 5.366431E-5 | 6.005014E-5 | 3.700315E-4 | 6.1620426 | 3.1E-4 | 6.531671E-4 | 7.3087064E-4 | 0.0012504905 | 1.7109601 | 5.2E-4 | 0.006512506 | 0.0072852457 | 0.008009927 | 1.0994725 | 7.3E-4 |
7.6 | 1.1301089E-5 | 1.2648149E-5 | 1.8264599E-4 | 14.440532 | 1.7E-4 | 4.8432343E-5 | 5.4205255E-5 | 3.4418952E-4 | 6.349745 | 2.9E-4 | 5.895042E-4 | 6.5975444E-4 | 0.0011294443 | 1.7119162 | 4.7E-4 | 0.0058794282 | 0.00657851 | 0.0072341682 | 1.0996667 | 6.6E-4 |
7.7 | 9.189108E-6 | 1.0283358E-5 | 1.6028182E-4 | 15.586524 | 1.5E-4 | 3.93813E-5 | 4.407082E-5 | 2.7406067E-4 | 6.2186427 | 2.3E-4 | 4.7936183E-4 | 5.3643517E-4 | 8.9624204E-4 | 1.6707369 | 3.6E-4 | 0.004783291 | 0.005351914 | 0.0058591845 | 1.0947831 | 5.1E-4 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.6482615E-7 | 1.0364823E-5 | 28.410307 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5635396E-6 | 2.1563508E-5 | 13.791469 | 2.0E-5 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.9035933E-5 | 4.9035363E-5 | 2.5759368 | 3.0E-5 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.9034347E-4 | 2.2033777E-4 | 1.1575798 | 3.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6696718E-9 | 2.6696718E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.14414505E-8 | 1.14414505E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3929966E-7 | 1.3929966E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3929966E-6 | 1.3929966E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (San Bernardino S)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2336002E-4 | 3.0005194E-4 | 6.9993193E-4 | 2.3327026 | 4.0E-4 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0012853292 | 0.0019045323 | 1.4817467 | 6.2E-4 | 0.006416472 | 0.015541554 | 0.016466945 | 1.059543 | 9.4E-4 | 0.06234337 | 0.14294699 | 0.14406116 | 1.0077943 | 0.0013 |
6.1 | 1.2336002E-4 | 3.0005194E-4 | 6.9993193E-4 | 2.3327026 | 4.0E-4 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0012853292 | 0.0019045323 | 1.4817467 | 6.2E-4 | 0.006416472 | 0.015541554 | 0.016466945 | 1.059543 | 9.4E-4 | 0.06234337 | 0.14294699 | 0.14406116 | 1.0077943 | 0.0013 |
6.2 | 1.2336002E-4 | 3.0005194E-4 | 6.9993193E-4 | 2.3327026 | 4.0E-4 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0012853292 | 0.0019045323 | 1.4817467 | 6.2E-4 | 0.006416472 | 0.015541554 | 0.016466945 | 1.059543 | 9.4E-4 | 0.06234337 | 0.14294699 | 0.14406116 | 1.0077943 | 0.0013 |
6.3 | 1.1712257E-4 | 2.8793467E-4 | 6.778224E-4 | 2.354084 | 3.9E-4 | 5.018573E-4 | 0.0012334478 | 0.0018426954 | 1.4939387 | 6.1E-4 | 0.006093008 | 0.014918666 | 0.015834792 | 1.061408 | 9.3E-4 | 0.059286322 | 0.13765779 | 0.13876158 | 1.0080184 | 0.00128 |
6.4 | 1.1712257E-4 | 2.8793467E-4 | 6.778224E-4 | 2.354084 | 3.9E-4 | 5.018573E-4 | 0.0012334478 | 0.0018426954 | 1.4939387 | 6.1E-4 | 0.006093008 | 0.014918666 | 0.015834792 | 1.061408 | 9.3E-4 | 0.059286322 | 0.13765779 | 0.13876158 | 1.0080184 | 0.00128 |
6.5 | 1.0689076E-4 | 2.6806415E-4 | 6.4796227E-4 | 2.417191 | 3.8E-4 | 4.5802278E-4 | 0.0011483653 | 0.0017476763 | 1.5218818 | 6.0E-4 | 0.0055621783 | 0.013896335 | 0.014803551 | 1.0652845 | 9.2E-4 | 0.05425003 | 0.1288989 | 0.1299965 | 1.0085151 | 0.00126 |
6.6 | 9.7648895E-5 | 2.505129E-4 | 6.204202E-4 | 2.4765997 | 3.7E-4 | 4.1842813E-4 | 0.0010732086 | 0.0016625754 | 1.5491633 | 5.9E-4 | 0.005082469 | 0.012992399 | 0.013880705 | 1.0683713 | 9.0E-4 | 0.049677886 | 0.121077746 | 0.12215003 | 1.0088562 | 0.00122 |
6.7 | 8.757013E-5 | 2.3122175E-4 | 5.911385E-4 | 2.556587 | 3.6E-4 | 3.7524657E-4 | 9.905964E-4 | 0.0015700217 | 1.5849259 | 5.8E-4 | 0.00455906 | 0.011997902 | 0.012877224 | 1.0732896 | 8.9E-4 | 0.04466656 | 0.112373024 | 0.113447055 | 1.0095577 | 0.00121 |
6.8 | 8.562978E-5 | 2.2682057E-4 | 5.867389E-4 | 2.5867977 | 3.6E-4 | 3.6693315E-4 | 9.7174826E-4 | 0.0015511847 | 1.5962824 | 5.8E-4 | 0.004458263 | 0.011770921 | 0.012650445 | 1.07472 | 8.9E-4 | 0.043698758 | 0.11037863 | 0.111455075 | 1.0097523 | 0.00121 |
6.9 | 6.124075E-5 | 1.7066885E-4 | 5.306074E-4 | 3.108988 | 3.6E-4 | 2.6243398E-4 | 7.312337E-4 | 0.0012508534 | 1.7106069 | 5.2E-4 | 0.0031904527 | 0.008866636 | 0.009659543 | 1.0894259 | 8.0E-4 | 0.031450346 | 0.08420262 | 0.08520084 | 1.011855 | 0.00109 |
7.0 | 5.8598747E-5 | 1.6495936E-4 | 5.149016E-4 | 3.1213849 | 3.5E-4 | 2.5111332E-4 | 7.067779E-4 | 0.0012164174 | 1.7210745 | 5.1E-4 | 0.0030530186 | 0.008571265 | 0.0093544945 | 1.0913785 | 7.9E-4 | 0.03011414 | 0.08151562 | 0.08250758 | 1.012169 | 0.00108 |
7.1 | 5.613814E-5 | 1.5914452E-4 | 5.090888E-4 | 3.198909 | 3.5E-4 | 2.4056983E-4 | 6.818704E-4 | 0.0011915227 | 1.7474327 | 5.1E-4 | 0.0029250039 | 0.008270353 | 0.009053819 | 1.0947319 | 7.9E-4 | 0.028868021 | 0.07881268 | 0.079798356 | 1.0125065 | 0.00107 |
7.2 | 4.991222E-5 | 1.4520933E-4 | 4.951585E-4 | 3.4099636 | 3.5E-4 | 2.1389198E-4 | 6.221777E-4 | 0.0011318603 | 1.8191916 | 5.1E-4 | 0.002601025 | 0.0075488063 | 0.008332843 | 1.1038623 | 7.9E-4 | 0.025707912 | 0.07226191 | 0.07324531 | 1.0136088 | 0.00106 |
7.3 | 4.7410045E-5 | 1.371513E-4 | 4.7710468E-4 | 3.478674 | 3.4E-4 | 2.0317009E-4 | 5.8765925E-4 | 0.0010773713 | 1.8333266 | 4.9E-4 | 0.0024707897 | 0.0071313656 | 0.007895875 | 1.1072037 | 7.7E-4 | 0.024434982 | 0.068541944 | 0.06951066 | 1.0141332 | 0.00104 |
7.4 | 4.5556746E-5 | 1.3123035E-4 | 4.7118572E-4 | 3.5905242 | 3.4E-4 | 1.952286E-4 | 5.6229485E-4 | 0.0010520193 | 1.8709389 | 4.9E-4 | 0.002374317 | 0.0068245293 | 0.007579343 | 1.110603 | 7.6E-4 | 0.023491086 | 0.06579143 | 0.06673498 | 1.0143416 | 0.00101 |
7.5 | 4.3084514E-5 | 1.2358342E-4 | 4.635414E-4 | 3.750838 | 3.4E-4 | 1.8463485E-4 | 5.2953605E-4 | 0.0010192766 | 1.9248483 | 4.9E-4 | 0.0022456115 | 0.0064281146 | 0.007183229 | 1.1174706 | 7.6E-4 | 0.022230545 | 0.062190283 | 0.06313747 | 1.0152305 | 0.00101 |
7.6 | 3.408608E-5 | 9.836477E-5 | 4.283323E-4 | 4.35453 | 3.3E-4 | 1.4607502E-4 | 4.214953E-4 | 8.912972E-4 | 2.1146078 | 4.7E-4 | 0.0017770125 | 0.005119656 | 0.0058558676 | 1.143801 | 7.4E-4 | 0.017628696 | 0.05002244 | 0.050943915 | 1.0184213 | 9.7E-4 |
7.7 | 2.8315713E-5 | 8.2495724E-5 | 4.124685E-4 | 4.9998775 | 3.3E-4 | 1.2134742E-4 | 3.5350522E-4 | 8.233391E-4 | 2.3290718 | 4.7E-4 | 0.0014764034 | 0.004295442 | 0.0050322628 | 1.1715356 | 7.4E-4 | 0.01466633 | 0.042272415 | 0.043201413 | 1.0219764 | 9.7E-4 |
7.8 | 2.6222975E-5 | 7.463898E-5 | 4.0461434E-4 | 5.4209523 | 3.3E-4 | 1.1237934E-4 | 3.1984213E-4 | 7.896918E-4 | 2.4690049 | 4.7E-4 | 0.0013673597 | 0.003887131 | 0.0046242545 | 1.1896318 | 7.4E-4 | 0.013589768 | 0.038437475 | 0.03937019 | 1.0242658 | 9.7E-4 |
7.9 | 2.1469694E-5 | 5.7884805E-5 | 3.6786686E-4 | 6.355154 | 3.1E-4 | 9.200973E-5 | 2.4805416E-4 | 6.979425E-4 | 2.81367 | 4.5E-4 | 0.0011196428 | 0.00301588 | 0.0036938293 | 1.2247932 | 6.8E-4 | 0.011140184 | 0.030153265 | 0.031006731 | 1.0283042 | 8.8E-4 |
8.0 | 1.2420249E-5 | 3.1321662E-5 | 1.7131728E-4 | 5.4696097 | 1.4E-4 | 5.322855E-5 | 1.342288E-4 | 3.8419524E-4 | 2.8622415 | 2.5E-4 | 6.478649E-4 | 0.0016330116 | 0.001922538 | 1.177296 | 2.9E-4 | 0.0064597935 | 0.01652369 | 0.016887577 | 1.0220221 | 3.7E-4 |
8.1 | 4.9197724E-6 | 7.822525E-6 | 7.822525E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1084568E-5 | 3.3524673E-5 | 3.3524673E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.566744E-4 | 4.080866E-4 | 4.080866E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002563781 | 0.004384557 | 0.004384557 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 2.5634774E-6 | 2.9065757E-6 | 2.9065757E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0986286E-5 | 1.2456694E-5 | 1.2456694E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3374983E-4 | 1.5164974E-4 | 1.5164974E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013366934 | 0.001704941 | 0.001704941 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 5.2850464E-7 | 3.2080476E-7 | 3.2080476E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2650179E-6 | 1.3748769E-6 | 1.3748769E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7576245E-5 | 1.673901E-5 | 1.673901E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7572823E-4 | 1.986671E-4 | 1.986671E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Helendale-So Lockhart
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.7296055E-5 | 1.8103729E-5 | 3.3809795E-4 | 18.675596 | 3.2E-4 | 7.412385E-5 | 7.7585224E-5 | 5.5754796E-4 | 7.1862655 | 4.8E-4 | 9.0208417E-4 | 9.4421144E-4 | 0.0017334655 | 1.835887 | 7.9E-4 | 0.008984311 | 0.009404116 | 0.010602738 | 1.127457 | 0.00121 |
6.1 | 1.7296055E-5 | 1.8103729E-5 | 3.3809795E-4 | 18.675596 | 3.2E-4 | 7.412385E-5 | 7.7585224E-5 | 5.5754796E-4 | 7.1862655 | 4.8E-4 | 9.0208417E-4 | 9.4421144E-4 | 0.0017334655 | 1.835887 | 7.9E-4 | 0.008984311 | 0.009404116 | 0.010602738 | 1.127457 | 0.00121 |
6.2 | 1.7296055E-5 | 1.8103729E-5 | 3.3809795E-4 | 18.675596 | 3.2E-4 | 7.412385E-5 | 7.7585224E-5 | 5.5754796E-4 | 7.1862655 | 4.8E-4 | 9.0208417E-4 | 9.4421144E-4 | 0.0017334655 | 1.835887 | 7.9E-4 | 0.008984311 | 0.009404116 | 0.010602738 | 1.127457 | 0.00121 |
6.3 | 1.0669118E-5 | 1.1135425E-5 | 2.111332E-4 | 18.960499 | 2.0E-4 | 4.5723988E-5 | 4.772239E-5 | 3.3770854E-4 | 7.0765224 | 2.9E-4 | 5.5654737E-4 | 5.80868E-4 | 0.0010805776 | 1.8602808 | 5.0E-4 | 0.0055515557 | 0.0057937936 | 0.0065493905 | 1.1304148 | 7.6E-4 |
6.4 | 1.0669118E-5 | 1.1135425E-5 | 2.111332E-4 | 18.960499 | 2.0E-4 | 4.5723988E-5 | 4.772239E-5 | 3.3770854E-4 | 7.0765224 | 2.9E-4 | 5.5654737E-4 | 5.80868E-4 | 0.0010805776 | 1.8602808 | 5.0E-4 | 0.0055515557 | 0.0057937936 | 0.0065493905 | 1.1304148 | 7.6E-4 |
6.5 | 8.790038E-6 | 9.170197E-6 | 1.7916864E-4 | 19.538145 | 1.7E-4 | 3.767105E-5 | 3.930026E-5 | 2.7929083E-4 | 7.10659 | 2.4E-4 | 4.585485E-4 | 4.7837716E-4 | 8.981762E-4 | 1.8775483 | 4.2E-4 | 0.0045760344 | 0.004773638 | 0.0054205353 | 1.1355145 | 6.5E-4 |
6.6 | 7.396949E-6 | 7.715537E-6 | 1.5771438E-4 | 20.441141 | 1.5E-4 | 3.1700827E-5 | 3.3066175E-5 | 2.530589E-4 | 7.6531053 | 2.2E-4 | 3.858892E-4 | 4.025073E-4 | 7.623624E-4 | 1.8940337 | 3.6E-4 | 0.003852198 | 0.00401789 | 0.00457564 | 1.1388166 | 5.6E-4 |
6.7 | 6.4600285E-6 | 6.738031E-6 | 1.3673716E-4 | 20.29334 | 1.3E-4 | 2.7685543E-5 | 2.887696E-5 | 2.2887118E-4 | 7.925737 | 2.0E-4 | 3.3701936E-4 | 3.5152107E-4 | 6.614121E-4 | 1.8815718 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0033650869 | 0.003509732 | 0.0039980123 | 1.1391218 | 4.9E-4 |
6.8 | 5.600104E-6 | 5.836009E-6 | 7.5835604E-5 | 12.994428 | 7.0E-5 | 2.4000226E-5 | 2.5011232E-5 | 1.4500823E-4 | 5.7977242 | 1.2E-4 | 2.9216358E-4 | 3.044698E-4 | 4.7441805E-4 | 1.5581777 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0029177975 | 0.003040588 | 0.003359615 | 1.1049228 | 3.2E-4 |
6.9 | 4.839122E-6 | 5.0395092E-6 | 6.503921E-5 | 12.905861 | 6.0E-5 | 2.0738931E-5 | 2.159772E-5 | 1.2159556E-4 | 5.630018 | 1.0E-4 | 2.5246723E-4 | 2.6292098E-4 | 4.0288418E-4 | 1.5323393 | 1.4E-4 | 0.002521806 | 0.002626147 | 0.0029054114 | 1.10634 | 2.8E-4 |
7.0 | 3.6937633E-6 | 3.845208E-6 | 6.384498E-5 | 16.603777 | 6.0E-5 | 1.5830317E-5 | 1.647936E-5 | 1.0647788E-4 | 6.461287 | 9.0E-5 | 1.9271708E-4 | 2.0061806E-4 | 3.3059198E-4 | 1.6478676 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0019255003 | 0.002004401 | 0.0022738597 | 1.1344336 | 2.7E-4 |
7.1 | 2.7858857E-6 | 2.8978538E-6 | 5.289771E-5 | 18.254099 | 5.0E-5 | 1.1939455E-5 | 1.2419316E-5 | 9.241832E-5 | 7.4414988 | 8.0E-5 | 1.4535317E-4 | 1.511949E-4 | 2.5117976E-4 | 1.661298 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0014525814 | 0.0015109418 | 0.0017206245 | 1.1387762 | 2.1E-4 |
7.2 | 2.1672065E-6 | 2.2540128E-6 | 4.2253923E-5 | 18.746088 | 4.0E-5 | 9.2879945E-6 | 9.66002E-6 | 7.9659345E-5 | 8.246292 | 7.0E-5 | 1.1307546E-4 | 1.1760458E-4 | 1.9759517E-4 | 1.6801656 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0011301794 | 0.0011754417 | 0.0013552301 | 1.152954 | 1.8E-4 |
7.3 | 1.4823496E-6 | 1.5422102E-6 | 2.1542179E-5 | 13.968381 | 2.0E-5 | 6.3529114E-6 | 6.6094562E-6 | 4.660919E-5 | 7.0518947 | 4.0E-5 | 7.734395E-5 | 8.046731E-5 | 1.3046329E-4 | 1.6213204 | 5.0E-5 | 7.731704E-4 | 8.0439687E-4 | 9.0431643E-4 | 1.1242168 | 1.0E-4 |
7.4 | 4.2321457E-7 | 4.4108765E-7 | 1.0441083E-5 | 23.67122 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8137755E-6 | 1.8903745E-6 | 1.1890355E-5 | 6.289947 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2082493E-5 | 2.3015113E-5 | 3.3014883E-5 | 1.4344871 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2080299E-4 | 2.3013182E-4 | 2.5012722E-4 | 1.0868868 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.6942316E-8 | 5.9415648E-8 | 5.9415648E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.440385E-7 | 2.5463845E-7 | 2.5463845E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9711643E-6 | 3.1002196E-6 | 3.1002196E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9711247E-5 | 3.1001844E-5 | 3.1001844E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Coyote Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.980352E-5 | 2.1706745E-5 | 1.7170349E-4 | 7.9101443 | 1.5E-4 | 8.486947E-5 | 9.302599E-5 | 3.4300273E-4 | 3.6871707 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0010327959 | 0.0011320751 | 0.0017214072 | 1.5205768 | 5.9E-4 | 0.010280091 | 0.011270258 | 0.012209551 | 1.0833427 | 9.5E-4 |
6.1 | 1.980352E-5 | 2.1706745E-5 | 1.7170349E-4 | 7.9101443 | 1.5E-4 | 8.486947E-5 | 9.302599E-5 | 3.4300273E-4 | 3.6871707 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0010327959 | 0.0011320751 | 0.0017214072 | 1.5205768 | 5.9E-4 | 0.010280091 | 0.011270258 | 0.012209551 | 1.0833427 | 9.5E-4 |
6.2 | 1.980352E-5 | 2.1706745E-5 | 1.7170349E-4 | 7.9101443 | 1.5E-4 | 8.486947E-5 | 9.302599E-5 | 3.4300273E-4 | 3.6871707 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0010327959 | 0.0011320751 | 0.0017214072 | 1.5205768 | 5.9E-4 | 0.010280091 | 0.011270258 | 0.012209551 | 1.0833427 | 9.5E-4 |
6.3 | 1.5344787E-5 | 1.682067E-5 | 1.3681865E-4 | 8.13396 | 1.2E-4 | 6.576172E-5 | 7.2086936E-5 | 2.7207253E-4 | 3.7742279 | 2.0E-4 | 8.003548E-4 | 8.773662E-4 | 0.0013269715 | 1.5124487 | 4.5E-4 | 0.007974784 | 0.00874507 | 0.00948851 | 1.0850126 | 7.5E-4 |
6.4 | 1.5344787E-5 | 1.682067E-5 | 1.3681865E-4 | 8.13396 | 1.2E-4 | 6.576172E-5 | 7.2086936E-5 | 2.7207253E-4 | 3.7742279 | 2.0E-4 | 8.003548E-4 | 8.773662E-4 | 0.0013269715 | 1.5124487 | 4.5E-4 | 0.007974784 | 0.00874507 | 0.00948851 | 1.0850126 | 7.5E-4 |
6.5 | 1.4189697E-5 | 1.5557987E-5 | 1.3555613E-4 | 8.71296 | 1.2E-4 | 6.081157E-5 | 6.6675726E-5 | 2.5666304E-4 | 3.849423 | 1.9E-4 | 7.401293E-4 | 8.115349E-4 | 0.0012511777 | 1.5417424 | 4.4E-4 | 0.0073766913 | 0.008091656 | 0.008785992 | 1.0858089 | 7.0E-4 |
6.6 | 1.3469301E-5 | 1.4771577E-5 | 1.347698E-4 | 9.1235895 | 1.2E-4 | 5.7724297E-5 | 6.330556E-5 | 2.5329355E-4 | 4.0011263 | 1.9E-4 | 7.025667E-4 | 7.7053264E-4 | 0.0012101936 | 1.5705936 | 4.4E-4 | 0.0070034964 | 0.0076845144 | 0.008379135 | 1.0903922 | 7.0E-4 |
6.7 | 1.3027966E-5 | 1.4281745E-5 | 1.3428002E-4 | 9.402215 | 1.2E-4 | 5.5832945E-5 | 6.120638E-5 | 2.5119475E-4 | 4.1040616 | 1.9E-4 | 6.7955407E-4 | 7.4499263E-4 | 0.0011646798 | 1.563344 | 4.2E-4 | 0.006774798 | 0.0074308286 | 0.008075999 | 1.0868235 | 6.5E-4 |
6.8 | 5.695434E-6 | 6.2244176E-6 | 7.622398E-5 | 12.245962 | 7.0E-5 | 2.4408775E-5 | 2.6675973E-5 | 1.16673575E-4 | 4.3737326 | 9.0E-5 | 2.971363E-4 | 3.2476155E-4 | 4.7471284E-4 | 1.4617274 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0029673933 | 0.0032458105 | 0.0034551288 | 1.0644888 | 2.1E-4 |
6.9 | 4.385688E-6 | 4.7930553E-6 | 5.4792818E-5 | 11.431709 | 5.0E-5 | 1.879567E-5 | 2.0541665E-5 | 9.054023E-5 | 4.407638 | 7.0E-5 | 2.2881327E-4 | 2.5009477E-4 | 3.6006726E-4 | 1.4397233 | 1.1E-4 | 0.002285778 | 0.0025009478 | 0.0026605476 | 1.0638157 | 1.6E-4 |
Death Valley (No)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.0074807E-5 | 2.2500084E-5 | 2.624947E-4 | 11.666387 | 2.4E-4 | 8.603206E-5 | 9.642541E-5 | 4.6638973E-4 | 4.836793 | 3.7E-4 | 0.001046937 | 0.0011733545 | 0.0017726505 | 1.5107545 | 6.0E-4 | 0.010420183 | 0.011672506 | 0.012502702 | 1.071124 | 8.4E-4 |
6.1 | 2.0074807E-5 | 2.2500084E-5 | 2.624947E-4 | 11.666387 | 2.4E-4 | 8.603206E-5 | 9.642541E-5 | 4.6638973E-4 | 4.836793 | 3.7E-4 | 0.001046937 | 0.0011733545 | 0.0017726505 | 1.5107545 | 6.0E-4 | 0.010420183 | 0.011672506 | 0.012502702 | 1.071124 | 8.4E-4 |
6.2 | 2.0074807E-5 | 2.2500084E-5 | 2.624947E-4 | 11.666387 | 2.4E-4 | 8.603206E-5 | 9.642541E-5 | 4.6638973E-4 | 4.836793 | 3.7E-4 | 0.001046937 | 0.0011733545 | 0.0017726505 | 1.5107545 | 6.0E-4 | 0.010420183 | 0.011672506 | 0.012502702 | 1.071124 | 8.4E-4 |
6.3 | 1.9050609E-5 | 2.1336948E-5 | 2.6133182E-4 | 12.247854 | 2.4E-4 | 8.164292E-5 | 9.1440896E-5 | 4.6140706E-4 | 5.0459595 | 3.7E-4 | 9.935491E-4 | 0.001112731 | 0.0017120634 | 1.5386139 | 6.0E-4 | 0.009891188 | 0.011072419 | 0.011903118 | 1.0750241 | 8.4E-4 |
6.4 | 1.9050609E-5 | 2.1336948E-5 | 2.6133182E-4 | 12.247854 | 2.4E-4 | 8.164292E-5 | 9.1440896E-5 | 4.6140706E-4 | 5.0459595 | 3.7E-4 | 9.935491E-4 | 0.001112731 | 0.0017120634 | 1.5386139 | 6.0E-4 | 0.009891188 | 0.011072419 | 0.011903118 | 1.0750241 | 8.4E-4 |
6.5 | 1.8367004E-5 | 2.0561009E-5 | 2.5055627E-4 | 12.185992 | 2.3E-4 | 7.8713354E-5 | 8.811567E-5 | 4.4808394E-4 | 5.085179 | 3.6E-4 | 9.5791375E-4 | 0.0010722869 | 0.0016516648 | 1.54032 | 5.8E-4 | 0.009537951 | 0.0106719155 | 0.0114831645 | 1.0760171 | 8.2E-4 |
6.6 | 1.779439E-5 | 1.9910927E-5 | 2.4990636E-4 | 12.551215 | 2.3E-4 | 7.625944E-5 | 8.53298E-5 | 4.4529908E-4 | 5.218565 | 3.6E-4 | 9.280632E-4 | 0.0010384015 | 0.0016078096 | 1.5483506 | 5.7E-4 | 0.009241969 | 0.010336253 | 0.011127983 | 1.0765975 | 8.0E-4 |
6.7 | 1.7025437E-5 | 1.9043426E-5 | 2.2903943E-4 | 12.027218 | 2.1E-4 | 7.296412E-5 | 8.161216E-5 | 4.215844E-4 | 5.1657057 | 3.4E-4 | 8.87976E-4 | 9.931813E-4 | 0.001542635 | 1.553226 | 5.5E-4 | 0.008844362 | 0.009888145 | 0.010660432 | 1.0781024 | 7.8E-4 |
6.8 | 1.6545107E-5 | 1.8512545E-5 | 2.2850865E-4 | 12.343449 | 2.1E-4 | 7.090568E-5 | 7.93371E-5 | 4.1931012E-4 | 5.2851706 | 3.4E-4 | 8.629347E-4 | 9.655073E-4 | 0.0015149763 | 1.5690987 | 5.5E-4 | 0.008595915 | 0.009613829 | 0.010376426 | 1.0793229 | 7.7E-4 |
6.9 | 1.615478E-5 | 1.8087594E-5 | 2.1808398E-4 | 12.057102 | 2.0E-4 | 6.9232934E-5 | 7.751599E-5 | 3.9749118E-4 | 5.1278605 | 3.2E-4 | 8.4258494E-4 | 9.433546E-4 | 0.0014728546 | 1.5612948 | 5.3E-4 | 0.008393973 | 0.009394196 | 0.01013715 | 1.0790865 | 7.5E-4 |
7.0 | 1.5894311E-5 | 1.780555E-5 | 2.17802E-4 | 12.232253 | 2.0E-4 | 6.81167E-5 | 7.6307304E-5 | 3.9628288E-4 | 5.1932497 | 3.2E-4 | 8.2900526E-4 | 9.286515E-4 | 0.0014581593 | 1.5701901 | 5.3E-4 | 0.008259195 | 0.009248397 | 0.009991461 | 1.0803452 | 7.5E-4 |
7.1 | 1.5602263E-5 | 1.7483504E-5 | 2.0748017E-4 | 11.867197 | 1.9E-4 | 6.6865134E-5 | 7.492718E-5 | 3.8490395E-4 | 5.13704 | 3.1E-4 | 8.137789E-4 | 9.118627E-4 | 0.0014313885 | 1.5697412 | 5.2E-4 | 0.008108052 | 0.009081894 | 0.009815173 | 1.0807408 | 7.4E-4 |
7.2 | 1.5323829E-5 | 1.717063E-5 | 2.0716737E-4 | 12.065216 | 1.9E-4 | 6.56719E-5 | 7.358637E-5 | 3.8356357E-4 | 5.2124267 | 3.1E-4 | 7.99262E-4 | 8.9555193E-4 | 0.0014150862 | 1.5801275 | 5.2E-4 | 0.007963934 | 0.008920107 | 0.009643595 | 1.0811076 | 7.3E-4 |
7.3 | 1.4556212E-5 | 1.6302456E-5 | 1.9629952E-4 | 12.041101 | 1.8E-4 | 6.238227E-5 | 6.9865826E-5 | 3.6984487E-4 | 5.293645 | 3.0E-4 | 7.592395E-4 | 8.5029035E-4 | 0.0013598567 | 1.5992851 | 5.1E-4 | 0.0075665074 | 0.008471014 | 0.009184916 | 1.0842757 | 7.2E-4 |
7.4 | 1.411725E-5 | 1.580796E-5 | 1.9580511E-4 | 12.386489 | 1.8E-4 | 6.0501097E-5 | 6.7746674E-5 | 3.6772634E-4 | 5.427962 | 3.0E-4 | 7.363519E-4 | 8.245094E-4 | 0.001334089 | 1.6180396 | 5.1E-4 | 0.0073391674 | 0.008215138 | 0.008929224 | 1.0869231 | 7.2E-4 |
7.5 | 1.3503312E-5 | 1.5126289E-5 | 1.9512356E-4 | 12.899632 | 1.8E-4 | 5.7870053E-5 | 6.482538E-5 | 3.6480592E-4 | 5.627517 | 3.0E-4 | 7.043401E-4 | 7.8896893E-4 | 0.0012985666 | 1.6459032 | 5.1E-4 | 0.007021119 | 0.007862304 | 0.008566722 | 1.0895944 | 7.1E-4 |
7.6 | 1.1279839E-5 | 1.2626327E-5 | 1.8262418E-4 | 14.463761 | 1.7E-4 | 4.834127E-5 | 5.4111737E-5 | 3.4409604E-4 | 6.358991 | 2.9E-4 | 5.88396E-4 | 6.5861654E-4 | 0.001128307 | 1.713147 | 4.7E-4 | 0.005868405 | 0.006567199 | 0.0072228643 | 1.0998394 | 6.6E-4 |
7.7 | 9.189108E-6 | 1.0283358E-5 | 1.6028182E-4 | 15.586524 | 1.5E-4 | 3.93813E-5 | 4.407082E-5 | 2.7406067E-4 | 6.2186427 | 2.3E-4 | 4.7936183E-4 | 5.3643517E-4 | 8.9624204E-4 | 1.6707369 | 3.6E-4 | 0.004783291 | 0.005351914 | 0.0058591845 | 1.0947831 | 5.1E-4 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.6482615E-7 | 1.0364823E-5 | 28.410307 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5635396E-6 | 2.1563508E-5 | 13.791469 | 2.0E-5 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.9035933E-5 | 4.9035363E-5 | 2.5759368 | 3.0E-5 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.9034347E-4 | 2.2033777E-4 | 1.1575798 | 3.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6696718E-9 | 2.6696718E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.14414505E-8 | 1.14414505E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3929966E-7 | 1.3929966E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3929966E-6 | 1.3929966E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Big Bend)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.0073925E-4 | 3.7070512E-4 | 1.8466997 | 1.7E-4 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.6002843E-4 | 0.0011297963 | 1.3136731 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0052979486 | 0.010420859 | 0.0108562745 | 1.041783 | 4.4E-4 | 0.051734097 | 0.101455905 | 0.1021388 | 1.0067309 | 7.6E-4 |
6.1 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.0073925E-4 | 3.7070512E-4 | 1.8466997 | 1.7E-4 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.6002843E-4 | 0.0011297963 | 1.3136731 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0052979486 | 0.010420859 | 0.0108562745 | 1.041783 | 4.4E-4 | 0.051734097 | 0.101455905 | 0.1021388 | 1.0067309 | 7.6E-4 |
6.2 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.0073925E-4 | 3.7070512E-4 | 1.8466997 | 1.7E-4 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.6002843E-4 | 0.0011297963 | 1.3136731 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0052979486 | 0.010420859 | 0.0108562745 | 1.041783 | 4.4E-4 | 0.051734097 | 0.101455905 | 0.1021388 | 1.0067309 | 7.6E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.0073925E-4 | 3.7070512E-4 | 1.8466997 | 1.7E-4 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.6002843E-4 | 0.0011297963 | 1.3136731 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0052979486 | 0.010420859 | 0.0108562745 | 1.041783 | 4.4E-4 | 0.051734097 | 0.101455905 | 0.1021388 | 1.0067309 | 7.6E-4 |
6.4 | 9.1639464E-5 | 1.8430917E-4 | 3.0428707E-4 | 1.65096 | 1.2E-4 | 3.9268145E-4 | 7.896575E-4 | 9.795076E-4 | 1.2404206 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0047704205 | 0.009571818 | 0.009908563 | 1.0351809 | 3.4E-4 | 0.046693064 | 0.09378695 | 0.09429443 | 1.005411 | 5.6E-4 |
6.5 | 9.1639464E-5 | 1.8430917E-4 | 3.0428707E-4 | 1.65096 | 1.2E-4 | 3.9268145E-4 | 7.896575E-4 | 9.795076E-4 | 1.2404206 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0047704205 | 0.009571818 | 0.009908563 | 1.0351809 | 3.4E-4 | 0.046693064 | 0.09378695 | 0.09429443 | 1.005411 | 5.6E-4 |
6.6 | 9.042622E-5 | 1.8238011E-4 | 3.0235824E-4 | 1.6578465 | 1.2E-4 | 3.8748336E-4 | 7.813951E-4 | 9.4127015E-4 | 1.204602 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0047074095 | 0.0094721 | 0.0097593535 | 1.0303262 | 2.9E-4 | 0.046089325 | 0.09287721 | 0.09331263 | 1.0046881 | 4.8E-4 |
6.7 | 8.9836685E-5 | 1.8152347E-4 | 2.915035E-4 | 1.6058723 | 1.1E-4 | 3.8495753E-4 | 7.7772595E-4 | 9.2760933E-4 | 1.1927199 | 1.5E-4 | 0.00467679 | 0.009427815 | 0.009695269 | 1.0283687 | 2.7E-4 | 0.045795817 | 0.09247148 | 0.092888944 | 1.0045145 | 4.6E-4 |
6.8 | 8.9471854E-5 | 1.8099119E-4 | 2.9097128E-4 | 1.6076543 | 1.1E-4 | 3.8339442E-4 | 7.754462E-4 | 9.2532986E-4 | 1.193287 | 1.5E-4 | 0.004657841 | 0.009400298 | 0.00966776 | 1.0284525 | 2.7E-4 | 0.04561414 | 0.0922192 | 0.09263679 | 1.0045282 | 4.6E-4 |
6.9 | 8.858234E-5 | 1.7981093E-4 | 2.7979293E-4 | 1.5560397 | 1.0E-4 | 3.7958333E-4 | 7.7039085E-4 | 9.10283E-4 | 1.1815859 | 1.4E-4 | 0.004611638 | 0.009339278 | 0.00959685 | 1.0275794 | 2.6E-4 | 0.04517103 | 0.09165911 | 0.09205878 | 1.0043604 | 4.4E-4 |
7.0 | 8.7433385E-5 | 1.7819891E-4 | 2.7818108E-4 | 1.5610707 | 1.0E-4 | 3.746607E-4 | 7.6348626E-4 | 9.033794E-4 | 1.1832293 | 1.4E-4 | 0.004551957 | 0.009255932 | 0.009503618 | 1.0267597 | 2.5E-4 | 0.044598386 | 0.09089323 | 0.09126596 | 1.0041008 | 4.1E-4 |
7.1 | 8.684964E-5 | 1.7731842E-4 | 2.6730247E-4 | 1.5074714 | 9.0E-5 | 3.7215967E-4 | 7.597149E-4 | 8.896162E-4 | 1.1709868 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0045216335 | 0.009210405 | 0.009448195 | 1.0258175 | 2.4E-4 | 0.04430731 | 0.09047475 | 0.09083856 | 1.0040212 | 4.0E-4 |
7.2 | 8.606521E-5 | 1.7622454E-4 | 2.6620866E-4 | 1.5106221 | 9.0E-5 | 3.6879873E-4 | 7.550296E-4 | 8.849314E-4 | 1.1720487 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0044808835 | 0.009153842 | 0.009391645 | 1.0259784 | 2.4E-4 | 0.043916024 | 0.08995518 | 0.090319194 | 1.0040467 | 4.0E-4 |
7.3 | 8.568266E-5 | 1.7564454E-4 | 2.6562874E-4 | 1.5123085 | 9.0E-5 | 3.6715972E-4 | 7.5254537E-4 | 8.824475E-4 | 1.1726171 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0044610105 | 0.00912385 | 0.00936166 | 1.0260646 | 2.4E-4 | 0.043725148 | 0.08967623 | 0.09004036 | 1.0040605 | 4.0E-4 |
7.4 | 8.5432206E-5 | 1.752704E-4 | 2.652546E-4 | 1.5134023 | 9.0E-5 | 3.6608664E-4 | 7.509428E-4 | 8.808452E-4 | 1.1729857 | 1.3E-4 | 0.004447999 | 0.009104501 | 0.009342317 | 1.0261205 | 2.4E-4 | 0.043600157 | 0.08949642 | 0.08986062 | 1.0040694 | 4.0E-4 |
7.5 | 8.4791965E-5 | 1.7396381E-4 | 2.6394817E-4 | 1.517259 | 9.0E-5 | 3.633435E-4 | 7.4534636E-4 | 8.7524945E-4 | 1.1742855 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0044147377 | 0.009036932 | 0.009274764 | 1.0263177 | 2.4E-4 | 0.043280575 | 0.08887209 | 0.08923654 | 1.0041008 | 4.0E-4 |
7.6 | 8.241105E-5 | 1.6841735E-4 | 2.4840387E-4 | 1.4749305 | 8.0E-5 | 3.531424E-4 | 7.2158914E-4 | 8.415025E-4 | 1.1661797 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0042910352 | 0.008750047 | 0.008978034 | 1.0260556 | 2.3E-4 | 0.042091176 | 0.08625032 | 0.08659755 | 1.0040258 | 3.8E-4 |
7.7 | 7.00432E-5 | 1.4205615E-4 | 1.8205047E-4 | 1.2815388 | 4.0E-5 | 3.001506E-4 | 6.0867006E-4 | 6.7862746E-4 | 1.1149348 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0036482112 | 0.0073854174 | 0.007544236 | 1.0215043 | 1.6E-4 | 0.035888977 | 0.07352299 | 0.07378241 | 1.0035284 | 2.8E-4 |
7.8 | 6.415362E-5 | 1.2969968E-4 | 1.696945E-4 | 1.3083647 | 4.0E-5 | 2.749151E-4 | 5.557374E-4 | 6.256985E-4 | 1.1258888 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0033419547 | 0.0067451415 | 0.00689413 | 1.0220882 | 1.5E-4 | 0.03292141 | 0.06725514 | 0.06750698 | 1.0037446 | 2.7E-4 |
7.9 | 4.939911E-5 | 9.341721E-5 | 1.3341347E-4 | 1.4281466 | 4.0E-5 | 2.116933E-4 | 4.0029807E-4 | 4.6027405E-4 | 1.1498283 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0025743195 | 0.004862747 | 0.0049921153 | 1.0266038 | 1.3E-4 | 0.025447013 | 0.048915803 | 0.049134552 | 1.0044719 | 2.3E-4 |
8.0 | 3.344983E-5 | 5.2228E-5 | 7.2226954E-5 | 1.3829163 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4334853E-4 | 2.2381509E-4 | 2.6380614E-4 | 1.178679 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0017438711 | 0.0027215453 | 0.0028013277 | 1.0293151 | 8.0E-5 | 0.017302496 | 0.027923161 | 0.028049532 | 1.0045257 | 1.3E-4 |
8.1 | 1.9104898E-5 | 1.9171663E-5 | 1.9171663E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.1875565E-5 | 8.2161685E-5 | 8.2161685E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.963791E-4 | 9.9986E-4 | 9.9986E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009919235 | 0.010749552 | 0.010759445 | 1.0009203 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.473668E-6 | 5.473668E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3458366E-5 | 2.3458366E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8556827E-4 | 2.8556827E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0032481793 | 0.0032481793 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.6564595E-7 | 7.6564595E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.281336E-6 | 3.281336E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.9949547E-5 | 3.9949547E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.717979E-4 | 4.717979E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Death Valley (Fish Lake Valley)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.872328E-5 | 4.7265705E-5 | 2.1725766E-4 | 4.596518 | 1.7E-4 | 1.6594635E-4 | 2.0255324E-4 | 4.7249856E-4 | 2.332713 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0020185246 | 0.0024635606 | 0.0028725506 | 1.1660157 | 4.1E-4 | 0.02000288 | 0.024388338 | 0.024963947 | 1.0236019 | 5.9E-4 |
6.1 | 3.872328E-5 | 4.7265705E-5 | 2.1725766E-4 | 4.596518 | 1.7E-4 | 1.6594635E-4 | 2.0255324E-4 | 4.7249856E-4 | 2.332713 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0020185246 | 0.0024635606 | 0.0028725506 | 1.1660157 | 4.1E-4 | 0.02000288 | 0.024388338 | 0.024963947 | 1.0236019 | 5.9E-4 |
6.2 | 3.872328E-5 | 4.7265705E-5 | 2.1725766E-4 | 4.596518 | 1.7E-4 | 1.6594635E-4 | 2.0255324E-4 | 4.7249856E-4 | 2.332713 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0020185246 | 0.0024635606 | 0.0028725506 | 1.1660157 | 4.1E-4 | 0.02000288 | 0.024388338 | 0.024963947 | 1.0236019 | 5.9E-4 |
6.3 | 2.8356371E-5 | 3.360979E-5 | 2.0360408E-4 | 6.05788 | 1.7E-4 | 1.2152165E-4 | 1.4403443E-4 | 4.03997E-4 | 2.804864 | 2.6E-4 | 0.0014785219 | 0.0017522788 | 0.002151578 | 1.2278742 | 4.0E-4 | 0.014687235 | 0.017391816 | 0.01796173 | 1.032769 | 5.8E-4 |
6.4 | 2.8356371E-5 | 3.360979E-5 | 2.0360408E-4 | 6.05788 | 1.7E-4 | 1.2152165E-4 | 1.4403443E-4 | 4.03997E-4 | 2.804864 | 2.6E-4 | 0.0014785219 | 0.0017522788 | 0.002151578 | 1.2278742 | 4.0E-4 | 0.014687235 | 0.017391816 | 0.01796173 | 1.032769 | 5.8E-4 |
6.5 | 2.4448687E-5 | 2.8607585E-5 | 1.9860272E-4 | 6.94231 | 1.7E-4 | 1.0477588E-4 | 1.2259845E-4 | 3.8256656E-4 | 3.1204846 | 2.6E-4 | 0.0012748998 | 0.0014916616 | 0.001891065 | 1.2677573 | 4.0E-4 | 0.012676105 | 0.014821392 | 0.015392795 | 1.0385526 | 5.8E-4 |
6.6 | 2.1298161E-5 | 2.4660083E-5 | 1.9465589E-4 | 7.893562 | 1.7E-4 | 9.127464E-5 | 1.0568197E-4 | 3.656545E-4 | 3.4599516 | 2.6E-4 | 0.0011107022 | 0.0012859512 | 0.0016854369 | 1.3106538 | 4.0E-4 | 0.011051672 | 0.01278853 | 0.013351241 | 1.0440012 | 5.7E-4 |
6.7 | 1.8959729E-5 | 2.1781027E-5 | 1.9177732E-4 | 8.804789 | 1.7E-4 | 8.125345E-5 | 9.334406E-5 | 3.533198E-4 | 3.7851343 | 2.6E-4 | 9.888117E-4 | 0.001135897 | 0.0015354427 | 1.3517447 | 4.0E-4 | 0.009844234 | 0.01130357 | 0.011867127 | 1.0498565 | 5.7E-4 |
6.8 | 1.6691629E-5 | 1.9018351E-5 | 1.8901512E-4 | 9.938564 | 1.7E-4 | 7.153359E-5 | 8.150477E-5 | 3.4148357E-4 | 4.1897373 | 2.6E-4 | 8.7057345E-4 | 9.918857E-4 | 0.001391489 | 1.4028723 | 4.0E-4 | 0.008671708 | 0.009876343 | 0.010440714 | 1.0571437 | 5.7E-4 |
6.9 | 1.450505E-5 | 1.638954E-5 | 1.8638675E-4 | 11.372299 | 1.7E-4 | 6.216302E-5 | 7.0239046E-5 | 3.302208E-4 | 4.701385 | 2.6E-4 | 7.5657194E-4 | 8.5483363E-4 | 0.0012445003 | 1.4558392 | 3.9E-4 | 0.007540013 | 0.008516386 | 0.009071616 | 1.0651956 | 5.6E-4 |
7.0 | 1.2940855E-5 | 1.4537972E-5 | 1.845355E-4 | 12.693346 | 1.7E-4 | 5.545963E-5 | 6.230414E-5 | 3.2228793E-4 | 5.1728177 | 2.6E-4 | 6.750118E-4 | 7.5829466E-4 | 0.001147999 | 1.513922 | 3.9E-4 | 0.006729651 | 0.0075576897 | 0.008113458 | 1.0735368 | 5.6E-4 |
7.1 | 1.2544658E-5 | 1.4078208E-5 | 1.8407582E-4 | 13.075231 | 1.7E-4 | 5.3761712E-5 | 6.0333812E-5 | 3.2031813E-4 | 5.3090982 | 2.6E-4 | 6.5435225E-4 | 7.343222E-4 | 0.0011240358 | 1.530712 | 3.9E-4 | 0.006524288 | 0.007319551 | 0.007875452 | 1.0759474 | 5.6E-4 |
7.2 | 1.2489416E-5 | 1.4015674E-5 | 1.8401329E-4 | 13.129107 | 1.7E-4 | 5.3524967E-5 | 6.0065824E-5 | 3.200502E-4 | 5.328325 | 2.6E-4 | 6.514716E-4 | 7.310616E-4 | 0.0011207765 | 1.5330807 | 3.9E-4 | 0.006495651 | 0.0072871596 | 0.007843079 | 1.0762875 | 5.6E-4 |
7.3 | 1.2368307E-5 | 1.3879812E-5 | 1.8387745E-4 | 13.247834 | 1.7E-4 | 5.3005948E-5 | 5.9483587E-5 | 3.1946812E-4 | 5.3706937 | 2.6E-4 | 6.451563E-4 | 7.2397763E-4 | 0.0011136952 | 1.5383006 | 3.9E-4 | 0.0064328653 | 0.007216782 | 0.0077727404 | 1.0770369 | 5.6E-4 |
7.4 | 1.2161707E-5 | 1.36478675E-5 | 1.8364555E-4 | 13.455988 | 1.7E-4 | 5.212056E-5 | 5.8489582E-5 | 3.1847437E-4 | 5.444976 | 2.6E-4 | 6.3438306E-4 | 7.118836E-4 | 0.001101606 | 1.5474523 | 3.9E-4 | 0.006325751 | 0.0070966207 | 0.0076526464 | 1.0783508 | 5.6E-4 |
7.5 | 1.1707948E-5 | 1.3145515E-5 | 1.8314327E-4 | 13.931997 | 1.7E-4 | 5.0175953E-5 | 5.6336736E-5 | 3.1632208E-4 | 5.6148458 | 2.6E-4 | 6.10721E-4 | 6.856895E-4 | 0.001075422 | 1.5683806 | 3.9E-4 | 0.0060904534 | 0.006836321 | 0.0073825615 | 1.0799026 | 5.5E-4 |
7.6 | 1.0319538E-5 | 1.1579622E-5 | 1.8157765E-4 | 15.680793 | 1.7E-4 | 4.4225842E-5 | 4.9626036E-5 | 3.0961313E-4 | 6.238925 | 2.6E-4 | 5.383166E-4 | 6.040347E-4 | 9.937991E-4 | 1.6452683 | 3.9E-4 | 0.0053701443 | 0.0060244603 | 0.006571147 | 1.0907445 | 5.5E-4 |
7.7 | 8.937764E-6 | 1.0022779E-5 | 1.6002127E-4 | 15.965759 | 1.5E-4 | 3.830414E-5 | 4.295409E-5 | 2.7294422E-4 | 6.3543243 | 2.3E-4 | 4.6625308E-4 | 5.228456E-4 | 8.726626E-4 | 1.6690637 | 3.5E-4 | 0.0046527605 | 0.005216664 | 0.0056941602 | 1.0915328 | 4.8E-4 |
7.8 | 3.108007E-7 | 3.284654E-7 | 1.0328462E-5 | 31.444597 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3320023E-6 | 1.407708E-6 | 2.140768E-5 | 15.207471 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6217007E-5 | 1.7138715E-5 | 4.71382E-5 | 2.750393 | 3.0E-5 | 1.6215823E-4 | 1.7137431E-4 | 2.0136917E-4 | 1.1750255 | 3.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6696718E-9 | 2.6696718E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.14414505E-8 | 1.14414505E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3929966E-7 | 1.3929966E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3929966E-6 | 1.3929966E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (San Gorgonio Pass-Garnet HIll)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.3384395E-4 | 4.337972E-4 | 1.8550712 | 2.0E-4 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010018025 | 0.0013414619 | 1.3390483 | 3.4E-4 | 0.004329778 | 0.012128622 | 0.012543528 | 1.0342088 | 4.2E-4 | 0.042463828 | 0.11258187 | 0.11310545 | 1.0046506 | 5.9E-4 |
6.1 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.3384395E-4 | 4.337972E-4 | 1.8550712 | 2.0E-4 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010018025 | 0.0013414619 | 1.3390483 | 3.4E-4 | 0.004329778 | 0.012128622 | 0.012543528 | 1.0342088 | 4.2E-4 | 0.042463828 | 0.11258187 | 0.11310545 | 1.0046506 | 5.9E-4 |
6.2 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.3384395E-4 | 4.337972E-4 | 1.8550712 | 2.0E-4 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010018025 | 0.0013414619 | 1.3390483 | 3.4E-4 | 0.004329778 | 0.012128622 | 0.012543528 | 1.0342088 | 4.2E-4 | 0.042463828 | 0.11258187 | 0.11310545 | 1.0046506 | 5.9E-4 |
6.3 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.3384395E-4 | 4.337972E-4 | 1.8550712 | 2.0E-4 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010018025 | 0.0013414619 | 1.3390483 | 3.4E-4 | 0.004329778 | 0.012128622 | 0.012543528 | 1.0342088 | 4.2E-4 | 0.042463828 | 0.11258187 | 0.11310545 | 1.0046506 | 5.9E-4 |
6.4 | 8.059055E-5 | 2.2941893E-4 | 4.1937534E-4 | 1.8279892 | 1.9E-4 | 3.4534236E-4 | 9.828559E-4 | 0.0013125316 | 1.3354262 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0041964394 | 0.011900819 | 0.01230594 | 1.0340414 | 4.1E-4 | 0.041180745 | 0.110562965 | 0.111078836 | 1.0046659 | 5.8E-4 |
6.5 | 8.059055E-5 | 2.2941893E-4 | 4.1937534E-4 | 1.8279892 | 1.9E-4 | 3.4534236E-4 | 9.828559E-4 | 0.0013125316 | 1.3354262 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0041964394 | 0.011900819 | 0.01230594 | 1.0340414 | 4.1E-4 | 0.041180745 | 0.110562965 | 0.111078836 | 1.0046659 | 5.8E-4 |
6.6 | 7.619237E-5 | 2.2186468E-4 | 4.1182252E-4 | 1.8561878 | 1.9E-4 | 3.2649786E-4 | 9.5050444E-4 | 0.0012801908 | 1.3468541 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0039678677 | 0.0115115335 | 0.011916814 | 1.0352064 | 4.1E-4 | 0.03897764 | 0.10709954 | 0.10761742 | 1.0048355 | 5.8E-4 |
6.7 | 7.440636E-5 | 2.1862281E-4 | 4.0858128E-4 | 1.8688867 | 1.9E-4 | 3.188454E-4 | 9.3662075E-4 | 0.0012663116 | 1.3520005 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0038750346 | 0.011344268 | 0.011749617 | 1.0357316 | 4.1E-4 | 0.038081564 | 0.1056081 | 0.10612685 | 1.004912 | 5.8E-4 |
6.8 | 7.3735864E-5 | 2.1709445E-4 | 4.0705322E-4 | 1.8750051 | 1.9E-4 | 3.1597257E-4 | 9.300753E-4 | 0.0012597684 | 1.35448 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0038401815 | 0.011265406 | 0.011670788 | 1.0359846 | 4.1E-4 | 0.03774495 | 0.104909696 | 0.105428845 | 1.0049486 | 5.8E-4 |
6.9 | 7.27575E-5 | 2.1478413E-4 | 3.9474547E-4 | 1.8378707 | 1.8E-4 | 3.117806E-4 | 9.20181E-4 | 0.0012398865 | 1.3474377 | 3.2E-4 | 0.003789323 | 0.011146182 | 0.011541723 | 1.0354867 | 4.0E-4 | 0.037253562 | 0.10385753 | 0.10436833 | 1.0049183 | 5.7E-4 |
7.0 | 7.102591E-5 | 2.1062451E-4 | 3.905866E-4 | 1.8544214 | 1.8E-4 | 3.0436125E-4 | 9.023664E-4 | 0.0012220776 | 1.3543031 | 3.2E-4 | 0.003699303 | 0.010931484 | 0.011327111 | 1.0361916 | 4.0E-4 | 0.03638325 | 0.101959534 | 0.10247142 | 1.0050205 | 5.7E-4 |
7.1 | 7.028513E-5 | 2.0898094E-4 | 3.8894333E-4 | 1.8611426 | 1.8E-4 | 3.0118722E-4 | 8.953274E-4 | 0.0012150409 | 1.3570912 | 3.2E-4 | 0.0036607897 | 0.010846641 | 0.011242302 | 1.0364778 | 4.0E-4 | 0.036010686 | 0.10120243 | 0.101714745 | 1.0050622 | 5.7E-4 |
7.2 | 6.8498244E-5 | 2.050596E-4 | 3.850227E-4 | 1.8776135 | 1.8E-4 | 2.9353087E-4 | 8.7853306E-4 | 0.001198252 | 1.3639235 | 3.2E-4 | 0.003567883 | 0.0106441835 | 0.011039926 | 1.0371792 | 4.0E-4 | 0.035111405 | 0.09939449 | 0.09989883 | 1.0050741 | 5.6E-4 |
7.3 | 6.622592E-5 | 1.9733235E-4 | 3.672988E-4 | 1.8613207 | 1.7E-4 | 2.8379448E-4 | 8.4543816E-4 | 0.0011551761 | 1.3663638 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0034497243 | 0.010245111 | 0.010631115 | 1.0376769 | 3.9E-4 | 0.033966612 | 0.095891245 | 0.09638851 | 1.0051857 | 5.5E-4 |
7.4 | 5.1050705E-5 | 1.4690042E-4 | 3.1687543E-4 | 2.1570766 | 1.7E-4 | 2.1877038E-4 | 6.294222E-4 | 9.292334E-4 | 1.4763277 | 3.0E-4 | 0.002660276 | 0.007636482 | 0.008003657 | 1.0480816 | 3.7E-4 | 0.02628654 | 0.07286554 | 0.07335692 | 1.0067437 | 5.3E-4 |
7.5 | 3.9302922E-5 | 1.11307076E-4 | 2.7128926E-4 | 2.4373047 | 1.6E-4 | 1.6843023E-4 | 4.7694342E-4 | 7.668051E-4 | 1.6077486 | 2.9E-4 | 0.0020487092 | 0.0057913954 | 0.00614931 | 1.0618012 | 3.6E-4 | 0.020299247 | 0.05601151 | 0.056502383 | 1.0087638 | 5.2E-4 |
7.6 | 2.9851626E-5 | 8.4956984E-5 | 2.3494424E-4 | 2.7654493 | 1.5E-4 | 1.2792926E-4 | 3.6405068E-4 | 6.4394873E-4 | 1.7688437 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0015564259 | 0.0044233347 | 0.0047717867 | 1.0787758 | 3.5E-4 | 0.0154556995 | 0.043196145 | 0.04366498 | 1.0108536 | 4.9E-4 |
7.7 | 2.1135214E-5 | 6.353527E-5 | 2.1352574E-4 | 3.3607435 | 1.5E-4 | 9.0576345E-5 | 2.722656E-4 | 5.5218936E-4 | 2.0281274 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0011022091 | 0.0033098008 | 0.0036586423 | 1.1053965 | 3.5E-4 | 0.010967582 | 0.03258456 | 0.033058595 | 1.0145478 | 4.9E-4 |
7.8 | 1.883379E-5 | 5.564576E-5 | 2.056374E-4 | 3.6954732 | 1.5E-4 | 8.0713755E-5 | 2.3846005E-4 | 5.183933E-4 | 2.1739209 | 2.8E-4 | 9.822468E-4 | 0.002899389 | 0.0032483742 | 1.1203651 | 3.5E-4 | 0.0097791655 | 0.028696978 | 0.029172918 | 1.016585 | 4.9E-4 |
7.9 | 1.5156185E-5 | 4.1662403E-5 | 1.9165616E-4 | 4.6002183 | 1.5E-4 | 6.495346E-5 | 1.7854095E-4 | 4.5849095E-4 | 2.5679877 | 2.8E-4 | 7.9052144E-4 | 0.0021715704 | 0.002510832 | 1.1562288 | 3.4E-4 | 0.007877152 | 0.021760946 | 0.022220718 | 1.0211283 | 4.7E-4 |
8.0 | 1.1405907E-5 | 2.9976925E-5 | 1.3997364E-4 | 4.6693788 | 1.1E-4 | 4.8881542E-5 | 1.2846621E-4 | 3.3843925E-4 | 2.634461 | 2.1E-4 | 5.9497025E-4 | 0.0015629551 | 0.00180258 | 1.1533153 | 2.4E-4 | 0.005933798 | 0.015774013 | 0.016088964 | 1.0199665 | 3.2E-4 |
8.1 | 4.3511436E-6 | 7.369465E-6 | 7.369465E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8647626E-5 | 3.158304E-5 | 3.158304E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2701119E-4 | 3.844558E-4 | 3.844558E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022677942 | 0.0041165445 | 0.0041165445 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 2.3042528E-6 | 2.7328301E-6 | 2.7328301E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.875332E-6 | 1.1712076E-5 | 1.1712076E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2022553E-4 | 1.4258524E-4 | 1.4258524E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012016051 | 0.0015979637 | 0.0015979637 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 5.202968E-7 | 3.1590292E-7 | 3.1590292E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2298414E-6 | 1.353869E-6 | 1.353869E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.714798E-5 | 1.6483244E-5 | 1.6483244E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7144665E-4 | 1.955901E-4 | 1.955901E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Parkfield)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.556969E-4 | 7.778562E-4 | 9.077551E-4 | 1.166996 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0023793848 | 0.0033299583 | 0.0035392588 | 1.0628538 | 2.1E-4 | 0.028586963 | 0.040235043 | 0.040590156 | 1.008826 | 3.7E-4 | 0.25176284 | 0.3371973 | 0.33753532 | 1.0010024 | 5.1E-4 |
6.1 | 1.925858E-4 | 3.0278185E-4 | 3.6276368E-4 | 1.1981025 | 6.0E-5 | 8.2510663E-4 | 0.001297085 | 0.0013869682 | 1.0692964 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0099994885 | 0.01577393 | 0.015970776 | 1.0124792 | 2.0E-4 | 0.095613256 | 0.14975825 | 0.15000482 | 1.0016464 | 2.9E-4 |
6.2 | 9.4306815E-5 | 1.8243887E-4 | 2.4242792E-4 | 1.3288172 | 6.0E-5 | 4.0410945E-4 | 7.8164786E-4 | 8.715775E-4 | 1.1150514 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0049089384 | 0.009475246 | 0.009663446 | 1.0198623 | 1.9E-4 | 0.048019063 | 0.0918565 | 0.09211078 | 1.0027683 | 2.8E-4 |
6.3 | 9.283051E-5 | 1.794041E-4 | 2.3939334E-4 | 1.3343805 | 6.0E-5 | 3.9778434E-4 | 7.686494E-4 | 8.5858017E-4 | 1.1169986 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0048322747 | 0.009318355 | 0.009506584 | 1.0201999 | 1.9E-4 | 0.047285385 | 0.090509474 | 0.09076413 | 1.0028136 | 2.8E-4 |
6.4 | 9.138826E-5 | 1.7702584E-4 | 2.370152E-4 | 1.3388736 | 6.0E-5 | 3.916052E-4 | 7.5846276E-4 | 8.4839447E-4 | 1.118571 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0047573745 | 0.009195387 | 0.00938364 | 1.0204725 | 1.9E-4 | 0.046568092 | 0.0894136 | 0.089668564 | 1.0028515 | 2.8E-4 |
6.5 | 9.000255E-5 | 1.746064E-4 | 2.3459591E-4 | 1.34357 | 6.0E-5 | 3.8566816E-4 | 7.4809964E-4 | 8.3803234E-4 | 1.1202148 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0046854047 | 0.009070284 | 0.009258561 | 1.0207576 | 1.9E-4 | 0.045878403 | 0.08829608 | 0.08855135 | 1.0028912 | 2.8E-4 |
6.6 | 8.8109264E-5 | 1.7141816E-4 | 2.3140787E-4 | 1.3499613 | 6.0E-5 | 3.7755648E-4 | 7.3444354E-4 | 8.2437746E-4 | 1.1224518 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0045870654 | 0.008905404 | 0.009093712 | 1.0211453 | 1.9E-4 | 0.04493529 | 0.08682707 | 0.08708276 | 1.0029448 | 2.8E-4 |
6.7 | 8.738073E-5 | 1.7008898E-4 | 2.3007879E-4 | 1.3526965 | 6.0E-5 | 3.7443507E-4 | 7.287503E-4 | 8.1868476E-4 | 1.123409 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0045492216 | 0.008836695 | 0.009025016 | 1.0213113 | 1.9E-4 | 0.04457213 | 0.0862268 | 0.08648265 | 1.0029672 | 2.8E-4 |
6.8 | 8.710195E-5 | 1.6954402E-4 | 2.2953385E-4 | 1.3538305 | 6.0E-5 | 3.7324068E-4 | 7.26416E-4 | 8.163506E-4 | 1.123806 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0045347405 | 0.008808513 | 0.00899684 | 1.0213801 | 1.9E-4 | 0.04443313 | 0.08597436 | 0.086230285 | 1.0029768 | 2.8E-4 |
6.9 | 8.6801556E-5 | 1.6895356E-4 | 2.2894342E-4 | 1.3550671 | 6.0E-5 | 3.7195362E-4 | 7.238869E-4 | 8.1382174E-4 | 1.1242388 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0045191357 | 0.0087779695 | 0.008966302 | 1.021455 | 1.9E-4 | 0.044283327 | 0.08570042 | 0.085956424 | 1.0029871 | 2.8E-4 |
7.0 | 8.5571606E-5 | 1.664819E-4 | 2.2647191E-4 | 1.3603395 | 6.0E-5 | 3.6668387E-4 | 7.132999E-4 | 8.032357E-4 | 1.1260841 | 9.0E-5 | 0.004455241 | 0.008650103 | 0.00883846 | 1.021775 | 1.9E-4 | 0.043669727 | 0.08454836 | 0.08480469 | 1.0030317 | 2.8E-4 |
7.1 | 7.82589E-5 | 1.5128969E-4 | 2.112806E-4 | 1.3965302 | 6.0E-5 | 3.3535215E-4 | 6.4822397E-4 | 7.3816563E-4 | 1.1387509 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0040752706 | 0.007863738 | 0.008052244 | 1.0239716 | 1.9E-4 | 0.040013418 | 0.077460445 | 0.077709526 | 1.0032157 | 2.7E-4 |
7.2 | 7.690929E-5 | 1.4866212E-4 | 2.0865319E-4 | 1.4035398 | 6.0E-5 | 3.2956956E-4 | 6.369685E-4 | 7.269112E-4 | 1.1412042 | 9.0E-5 | 0.004005129 | 0.0077276826 | 0.007916214 | 1.0243969 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0393371 | 0.07623341 | 0.076482825 | 1.0032717 | 2.7E-4 |
7.3 | 7.5543794E-5 | 1.4562748E-4 | 1.9562019E-4 | 1.3432918 | 5.0E-5 | 3.2371894E-4 | 6.239692E-4 | 7.039193E-4 | 1.1281315 | 8.0E-5 | 0.003934157 | 0.0075705256 | 0.007749163 | 1.0235964 | 1.8E-4 | 0.038652334 | 0.07479777 | 0.07503832 | 1.003216 | 2.6E-4 |
7.4 | 7.4214564E-5 | 1.4263717E-4 | 1.9263005E-4 | 1.3504897 | 5.0E-5 | 3.1802364E-4 | 6.1115966E-4 | 6.911108E-4 | 1.1308187 | 8.0E-5 | 0.003865065 | 0.0074156416 | 0.0075943065 | 1.024093 | 1.8E-4 | 0.03798529 | 0.07337152 | 0.07361245 | 1.0032836 | 2.6E-4 |
7.5 | 6.149578E-5 | 1.1191443E-4 | 1.6190883E-4 | 1.4467199 | 5.0E-5 | 2.6352672E-4 | 4.795452E-4 | 5.595068E-4 | 1.1667447 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0032037178 | 0.005822865 | 0.0059819333 | 1.0273179 | 1.6E-4 | 0.03157923 | 0.058559462 | 0.058775995 | 1.0036976 | 2.3E-4 |
7.6 | 6.0643448E-5 | 1.102009E-4 | 1.6019538E-4 | 1.4536668 | 5.0E-5 | 2.598746E-4 | 4.7220418E-4 | 5.521664E-4 | 1.1693382 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0031593828 | 0.005733962 | 0.0058930446 | 1.0277439 | 1.6E-4 | 0.031148417 | 0.05772042 | 0.05793714 | 1.0037547 | 2.3E-4 |
7.7 | 5.1652263E-5 | 9.175265E-5 | 1.11750815E-4 | 1.2179574 | 2.0E-5 | 2.2134806E-4 | 3.9316638E-4 | 4.3315065E-4 | 1.101698 | 4.0E-5 | 0.002691582 | 0.0047763046 | 0.0048758266 | 1.0208367 | 1.0E-4 | 0.026592141 | 0.04853641 | 0.048698157 | 1.0033325 | 1.7E-4 |
7.8 | 4.8090482E-5 | 8.560165E-5 | 1.0559994E-4 | 1.2336204 | 2.0E-5 | 2.060858E-4 | 3.6681266E-4 | 4.0679798E-4 | 1.1090075 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0025062072 | 0.004456807 | 0.004546406 | 1.0201038 | 9.0E-5 | 0.024781305 | 0.045302264 | 0.045455016 | 1.0033718 | 1.6E-4 |
7.9 | 3.970278E-5 | 6.7507375E-5 | 8.750602E-5 | 1.2962439 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7014367E-4 | 2.8928524E-4 | 3.2927367E-4 | 1.1382319 | 4.0E-5 | 0.002069531 | 0.0035163634 | 0.003606047 | 1.0255046 | 9.0E-5 | 0.020503636 | 0.03588176 | 0.036026377 | 1.0040303 | 1.5E-4 |
8.0 | 2.8982335E-5 | 4.0698153E-5 | 5.069775E-5 | 1.2457014 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2420409E-4 | 1.7440901E-4 | 2.0440377E-4 | 1.1719794 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0015111357 | 0.0021213628 | 0.0021812355 | 1.0282238 | 6.0E-5 | 0.015009012 | 0.02201118 | 0.022099199 | 1.0039989 | 9.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.8836186E-5 | 1.867974E-5 | 1.867974E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0724014E-5 | 8.005358E-5 | 8.005358E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.823717E-4 | 9.742171E-4 | 9.742171E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009780403 | 0.010487711 | 0.010497605 | 1.0009435 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.473668E-6 | 5.473668E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3458366E-5 | 2.3458366E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8556827E-4 | 2.8556827E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0032481793 | 0.0032481793 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.6564595E-7 | 7.6564595E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.281336E-6 | 3.281336E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.9949547E-5 | 3.9949547E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.717979E-4 | 4.717979E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Red Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.258278E-6 | 8.551265E-6 | 1.685499E-4 | 19.710522 | 1.6E-4 | 3.539214E-5 | 3.6647863E-5 | 2.1664127E-4 | 5.9114294 | 1.8E-4 | 4.308141E-4 | 4.4611428E-4 | 7.5597595E-4 | 1.6945792 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0042997985 | 0.004453945 | 0.004971629 | 1.1162305 | 5.2E-4 |
6.1 | 3.649988E-6 | 3.7753161E-6 | 7.377505E-5 | 19.541424 | 7.0E-5 | 1.5642712E-5 | 1.6179853E-5 | 9.6178555E-5 | 5.9443407 | 8.0E-5 | 1.9043336E-4 | 1.9697666E-4 | 3.1695302E-4 | 1.6090893 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0019027026 | 0.001968488 | 0.0021481337 | 1.0912608 | 1.8E-4 |
6.2 | 3.649988E-6 | 3.7753161E-6 | 7.377505E-5 | 19.541424 | 7.0E-5 | 1.5642712E-5 | 1.6179853E-5 | 9.6178555E-5 | 5.9443407 | 8.0E-5 | 1.9043336E-4 | 1.9697666E-4 | 3.1695302E-4 | 1.6090893 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0019027026 | 0.001968488 | 0.0021481337 | 1.0912608 | 1.8E-4 |
6.3 | 1.3924937E-6 | 1.4411166E-6 | 3.144107E-5 | 21.817162 | 3.0E-5 | 5.9678164E-6 | 6.1762075E-6 | 3.617602E-5 | 5.85732 | 3.0E-5 | 7.265574E-5 | 7.519415E-5 | 1.1519114E-4 | 1.5319163 | 4.0E-5 | 7.263199E-4 | 7.518258E-4 | 8.117807E-4 | 1.0797458 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.3924937E-6 | 1.4411166E-6 | 3.144107E-5 | 21.817162 | 3.0E-5 | 5.9678164E-6 | 6.1762075E-6 | 3.617602E-5 | 5.85732 | 3.0E-5 | 7.265574E-5 | 7.519415E-5 | 1.1519114E-4 | 1.5319163 | 4.0E-5 | 7.263199E-4 | 7.518258E-4 | 8.117807E-4 | 1.0797458 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.876812E-7 | 1.0221912E-6 | 1.1022181E-5 | 10.782895 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2329125E-6 | 4.3808195E-6 | 1.4380776E-5 | 3.2826679 | 1.0E-5 | 5.153449E-5 | 5.3336476E-5 | 6.3335945E-5 | 1.1874789 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1522546E-4 | 5.333648E-4 | 5.6334876E-4 | 1.0562167 | 3.0E-5 |
Elsinore (Glen Ivy) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.937271E-4 | 4.5368008E-4 | 1.5445633 | 1.6E-4 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0012583778 | 0.0014381513 | 1.1428612 | 1.8E-4 | 0.008420097 | 0.0152346175 | 0.015569438 | 1.0219775 | 3.4E-4 | 0.081081145 | 0.13962454 | 0.14001171 | 1.0027729 | 4.5E-4 |
6.1 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.937271E-4 | 4.5368008E-4 | 1.5445633 | 1.6E-4 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0012583778 | 0.0014381513 | 1.1428612 | 1.8E-4 | 0.008420097 | 0.0152346175 | 0.015569438 | 1.0219775 | 3.4E-4 | 0.081081145 | 0.13962454 | 0.14001171 | 1.0027729 | 4.5E-4 |
6.2 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.937271E-4 | 4.5368008E-4 | 1.5445633 | 1.6E-4 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0012583778 | 0.0014381513 | 1.1428612 | 1.8E-4 | 0.008420097 | 0.0152346175 | 0.015569438 | 1.0219775 | 3.4E-4 | 0.081081145 | 0.13962454 | 0.14001171 | 1.0027729 | 4.5E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0111737E-4 | 1.7703463E-4 | 2.4702222E-4 | 1.3953329 | 7.0E-5 | 4.332882E-4 | 7.5861585E-4 | 8.2856277E-4 | 1.0922033 | 7.0E-5 | 0.005262531 | 0.0092177205 | 0.009396061 | 1.0193475 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0513964 | 0.08707393 | 0.087320425 | 1.0028309 | 2.7E-4 |
6.4 | 1.0111737E-4 | 1.7703463E-4 | 2.4702222E-4 | 1.3953329 | 7.0E-5 | 4.332882E-4 | 7.5861585E-4 | 8.2856277E-4 | 1.0922033 | 7.0E-5 | 0.005262531 | 0.0092177205 | 0.009396061 | 1.0193475 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0513964 | 0.08707393 | 0.087320425 | 1.0028309 | 2.7E-4 |
6.5 | 3.6624708E-5 | 4.6391986E-5 | 5.639152E-5 | 1.2155445 | 1.0E-5 | 1.569536E-4 | 1.9880968E-4 | 2.0880769E-4 | 1.0502894 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001909235 | 0.0024181814 | 0.002438133 | 1.0082507 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01892915 | 0.023697061 | 0.023736114 | 1.001648 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.5051324E-5 | 2.6147465E-5 | 3.61472E-5 | 1.3824363 | 1.0E-5 | 1.073584E-4 | 1.12056E-4 | 1.2205488E-4 | 1.0892311 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013063047 | 0.0013634725 | 0.0013834452 | 1.0146484 | 2.0E-5 | 0.012986525 | 0.013565759 | 0.0136052165 | 1.0029086 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.2189772E-5 | 2.2072489E-5 | 3.207227E-5 | 1.4530426 | 1.0E-5 | 9.509556E-5 | 9.459316E-5 | 1.0459221E-4 | 1.1057059 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011571734 | 0.0011510996 | 0.0011610881 | 1.0086774 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011511663 | 0.0114663225 | 0.0114860935 | 1.0017242 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.6654378E-5 | 1.44376E-5 | 2.4437455E-5 | 1.6926259 | 1.0E-5 | 7.137396E-5 | 6.187399E-5 | 7.187337E-5 | 1.1616088 | 1.0E-5 | 8.686314E-4 | 7.5306057E-4 | 7.630531E-4 | 1.0132692 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008652439 | 0.0075100763 | 0.0075200014 | 1.0013216 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.5042909E-5 | 1.2331886E-5 | 2.2331762E-5 | 1.810896 | 1.0E-5 | 6.446802E-5 | 5.2849886E-5 | 6.284936E-5 | 1.1892052 | 1.0E-5 | 7.8461546E-4 | 6.4326054E-4 | 6.532541E-4 | 1.0155358 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007818509 | 0.006417925 | 0.006427861 | 1.0015482 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.4361385E-5 | 1.1451172E-5 | 2.1451058E-5 | 1.8732631 | 1.0E-5 | 6.154734E-5 | 4.9075545E-5 | 5.9075053E-5 | 1.2037575 | 1.0E-5 | 7.490812E-4 | 5.973339E-4 | 6.073279E-4 | 1.016731 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007465612 | 0.005960982 | 0.0059709223 | 1.0016676 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.3265571E-5 | 1.0244736E-5 | 2.0244634E-5 | 1.9761012 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6851208E-5 | 4.3905282E-5 | 5.3904845E-5 | 1.227753 | 1.0E-5 | 6.919436E-4 | 5.344183E-4 | 5.4441293E-4 | 1.0187019 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006897931 | 0.0053346003 | 0.005344547 | 1.0018646 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.1596403E-5 | 8.504847E-6 | 1.8504763E-5 | 2.17579 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9697923E-5 | 3.6448844E-5 | 4.644848E-5 | 1.2743471 | 1.0E-5 | 6.049042E-4 | 4.4367602E-4 | 4.536716E-4 | 1.022529 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006032603 | 0.004429357 | 0.0044393125 | 1.0022477 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.0150827E-5 | 7.238537E-6 | 1.7238464E-5 | 2.3814845 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3502816E-5 | 3.102194E-5 | 4.102163E-5 | 1.3223425 | 1.0E-5 | 5.2951806E-4 | 3.776281E-4 | 3.8762434E-4 | 1.0264711 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005282581 | 0.003770271 | 0.0037802334 | 1.0026423 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.080705E-6 | 6.352307E-6 | 1.6352244E-5 | 2.5742211 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8916725E-5 | 2.7223898E-5 | 3.7223625E-5 | 1.3673143 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7370812E-4 | 3.314019E-4 | 3.4139858E-4 | 1.0301648 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004726996 | 0.0033092257 | 0.0033191924 | 1.0030118 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 7.671649E-6 | 5.225419E-6 | 1.5225367E-5 | 2.913712 | 1.0E-5 | 3.287808E-5 | 2.2394468E-5 | 3.2394244E-5 | 1.4465289 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0021708E-4 | 2.7261977E-4 | 2.8261705E-4 | 1.0366712 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0039949706 | 0.0027229784 | 0.0027329512 | 1.0036625 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.990086E-6 | 4.687336E-6 | 4.687336E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9957167E-5 | 2.0088435E-5 | 2.0088435E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6466747E-4 | 2.445504E-4 | 2.445504E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036406964 | 0.0024429292 | 0.0024429292 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.163505E-6 | 2.329331E-6 | 2.329331E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7843471E-5 | 9.982813E-6 | 9.982813E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.172226E-4 | 1.2153471E-4 | 1.2153471E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021701038 | 0.0012147555 | 0.0012147555 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.2692414E-7 | 9.384417E-8 | 9.384417E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.725317E-7 | 4.0218927E-7 | 4.0218927E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1840509E-5 | 4.8966467E-6 | 4.8966467E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1839878E-4 | 4.8965718E-5 | 4.8965718E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.4397174E-9 | 3.4397174E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.4741646E-8 | 1.4741646E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.7947953E-7 | 1.7947953E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838679E-6 | 1.794794E-6 | 1.794794E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Cholame) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2302514E-4 | 2.5205986E-4 | 3.4203718E-4 | 1.356968 | 9.0E-5 | 5.27144E-4 | 0.0010798109 | 0.0012096706 | 1.1202614 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0063991086 | 0.013067958 | 0.013344299 | 1.0211464 | 2.8E-4 | 0.06217949 | 0.12438412 | 0.124786906 | 1.0032382 | 4.6E-4 |
6.1 | 1.2302514E-4 | 2.5205986E-4 | 3.4203718E-4 | 1.356968 | 9.0E-5 | 5.27144E-4 | 0.0010798109 | 0.0012096706 | 1.1202614 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0063991086 | 0.013067958 | 0.013344299 | 1.0211464 | 2.8E-4 | 0.06217949 | 0.12438412 | 0.124786906 | 1.0032382 | 4.6E-4 |
6.2 | 1.2203569E-4 | 2.502277E-4 | 3.4020518E-4 | 1.3595824 | 9.0E-5 | 5.2290526E-4 | 0.0010719653 | 0.0012018259 | 1.1211426 | 1.3E-4 | 0.006347804 | 0.012973578 | 0.013240076 | 1.0205415 | 2.7E-4 | 0.061695136 | 0.123571314 | 0.1239657 | 1.0031916 | 4.5E-4 |
6.3 | 1.2142645E-4 | 2.4908737E-4 | 3.3906495E-4 | 1.361229 | 9.0E-5 | 5.202953E-4 | 0.0010670823 | 0.0011969436 | 1.1216975 | 1.3E-4 | 0.006316212 | 0.012914834 | 0.0131813465 | 1.0206362 | 2.7E-4 | 0.06139677 | 0.12306532 | 0.12345117 | 1.0031353 | 4.4E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1865206E-4 | 2.4414246E-4 | 3.3412047E-4 | 1.3685472 | 9.0E-5 | 5.0840975E-4 | 0.0010459068 | 0.0011757709 | 1.1241641 | 1.3E-4 | 0.006172335 | 0.012660044 | 0.012926626 | 1.0210569 | 2.7E-4 | 0.060036868 | 0.12085904 | 0.12124586 | 1.0032007 | 4.4E-4 |
6.5 | 1.17443946E-4 | 2.4207575E-4 | 3.3205395E-4 | 1.3716944 | 9.0E-5 | 5.032341E-4 | 0.0010370566 | 0.0011669218 | 1.1252248 | 1.3E-4 | 0.006109677 | 0.012553536 | 0.012820146 | 1.0212379 | 2.7E-4 | 0.059444077 | 0.11993008 | 0.12031731 | 1.0032288 | 4.4E-4 |
6.6 | 1.13579066E-4 | 2.3516564E-4 | 3.2514447E-4 | 1.382619 | 9.0E-5 | 4.866766E-4 | 0.001007465 | 0.001137334 | 1.1289067 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0059092017 | 0.012197345 | 0.012464051 | 1.021866 | 2.7E-4 | 0.057545185 | 0.1168492 | 0.117237784 | 1.0033256 | 4.4E-4 |
6.7 | 1.1271412E-4 | 2.336088E-4 | 3.2358777E-4 | 1.3851695 | 9.0E-5 | 4.829711E-4 | 0.001000798 | 0.0011306679 | 1.1297663 | 1.3E-4 | 0.005864331 | 0.012117079 | 0.012383807 | 1.0220126 | 2.7E-4 | 0.057119697 | 0.11615275 | 0.11654165 | 1.0033481 | 4.4E-4 |
6.8 | 1.1217975E-4 | 2.3249313E-4 | 3.224722E-4 | 1.3870182 | 9.0E-5 | 4.8068175E-4 | 9.960202E-4 | 0.0011258906 | 1.1303895 | 1.3E-4 | 0.005836608 | 0.012059555 | 0.012326299 | 1.0221189 | 2.7E-4 | 0.056856725 | 0.11565061 | 0.11603972 | 1.0033646 | 4.4E-4 |
6.9 | 1.1146753E-4 | 2.3098059E-4 | 3.209598E-4 | 1.3895532 | 9.0E-5 | 4.7763053E-4 | 9.895428E-4 | 0.0011194141 | 1.1312438 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0057996577 | 0.011981564 | 0.012248329 | 1.0222646 | 2.7E-4 | 0.056506127 | 0.11497027 | 0.11535968 | 1.0033871 | 4.4E-4 |
7.0 | 1.0965793E-4 | 2.2721413E-4 | 3.1719368E-4 | 1.3960122 | 9.0E-5 | 4.698779E-4 | 9.734129E-4 | 0.0011032864 | 1.1334207 | 1.3E-4 | 0.005705768 | 0.011787324 | 0.012044259 | 1.0217975 | 2.6E-4 | 0.055614736 | 0.11327011 | 0.11365141 | 1.0033662 | 4.3E-4 |
7.1 | 9.927982E-5 | 2.0540332E-4 | 2.9538485E-4 | 1.4380723 | 9.0E-5 | 4.2541555E-4 | 8.8000396E-4 | 0.0010098895 | 1.1475966 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0051671406 | 0.010661708 | 0.010909043 | 1.0231984 | 2.5E-4 | 0.05048634 | 0.10336573 | 0.10372438 | 1.0034697 | 4.0E-4 |
7.2 | 9.696786E-5 | 2.0044584E-4 | 2.904278E-4 | 1.448909 | 9.0E-5 | 4.1551032E-4 | 8.587718E-4 | 9.886601E-4 | 1.1512489 | 1.3E-4 | 0.00504711 | 0.010405703 | 0.010653102 | 1.0237753 | 2.5E-4 | 0.04934009 | 0.10110233 | 0.101461895 | 1.0035564 | 4.0E-4 |
7.3 | 9.4727984E-5 | 1.9473763E-4 | 2.7472206E-4 | 1.4107292 | 8.0E-5 | 4.0591392E-4 | 8.343239E-4 | 9.5422374E-4 | 1.1437091 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0049308087 | 0.010110851 | 0.010348424 | 1.0234969 | 2.4E-4 | 0.048228268 | 0.09847412 | 0.0988167 | 1.0034789 | 3.8E-4 |
7.4 | 9.220358E-5 | 1.8844259E-4 | 2.684275E-4 | 1.4244525 | 8.0E-5 | 3.9509835E-4 | 8.07362E-4 | 9.2726515E-4 | 1.1485122 | 1.2E-4 | 0.004799717 | 0.009785578 | 0.010023229 | 1.0242859 | 2.4E-4 | 0.046973653 | 0.09555831 | 0.095901996 | 1.0035967 | 3.8E-4 |
7.5 | 7.71631E-5 | 1.5179155E-4 | 2.3177941E-4 | 1.5269586 | 8.0E-5 | 3.306571E-4 | 6.5037323E-4 | 7.7029516E-4 | 1.1843895 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0040183207 | 0.007889617 | 0.008107881 | 1.0276648 | 2.2E-4 | 0.03946433 | 0.078289196 | 0.0786118 | 1.0041206 | 3.5E-4 |
7.6 | 7.5634416E-5 | 1.4838556E-4 | 2.2837368E-4 | 1.5390561 | 8.0E-5 | 3.241072E-4 | 6.357833E-4 | 7.55707E-4 | 1.1886235 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0039388672 | 0.007713256 | 0.007931558 | 1.0283023 | 2.2E-4 | 0.038697794 | 0.076654874 | 0.07697805 | 1.004216 | 3.5E-4 |
7.7 | 6.3783E-5 | 1.2359623E-4 | 1.6359129E-4 | 1.3235945 | 4.0E-5 | 2.7332708E-4 | 5.2959064E-4 | 5.995536E-4 | 1.1321076 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0033226798 | 0.0064287307 | 0.006577766 | 1.0231827 | 1.5E-4 | 0.032734364 | 0.06454488 | 0.06477874 | 1.0036232 | 2.5E-4 |
7.8 | 5.863422E-5 | 1.14169685E-4 | 1.5416511E-4 | 1.3503157 | 4.0E-5 | 2.512653E-4 | 4.892069E-4 | 5.591727E-4 | 1.1430187 | 7.0E-5 | 0.003054864 | 0.0059398497 | 0.006079018 | 1.0234296 | 1.4E-4 | 0.030132094 | 0.05966162 | 0.0598873 | 1.0037826 | 2.4E-4 |
7.9 | 4.595283E-5 | 8.426815E-5 | 1.2426478E-4 | 1.4746352 | 4.0E-5 | 1.9692584E-4 | 3.6109926E-4 | 4.2107757E-4 | 1.1660993 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0023949358 | 0.0043875277 | 0.0045169573 | 1.0294994 | 1.3E-4 | 0.023692891 | 0.044363137 | 0.044563822 | 1.0045236 | 2.1E-4 |
8.0 | 3.2950178E-5 | 5.077396E-5 | 7.077295E-5 | 1.3938826 | 2.0E-5 | 1.412074E-4 | 2.1758456E-4 | 2.5757586E-4 | 1.1837965 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0017178444 | 0.0026458753 | 0.0027256638 | 1.0301558 | 8.0E-5 | 0.017046256 | 0.027181072 | 0.02730754 | 1.0046527 | 1.3E-4 |
8.1 | 1.9177472E-5 | 1.9183733E-5 | 1.9183733E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.218658E-5 | 8.221342E-5 | 8.221342E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010001622 | 0.0010004893 | 0.0010004893 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009956728 | 0.010757887 | 0.010767779 | 1.0009196 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.473668E-6 | 5.473668E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3458366E-5 | 2.3458366E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8556827E-4 | 2.8556827E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0032481793 | 0.0032481793 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.6564595E-7 | 7.6564595E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.281336E-6 | 3.281336E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.9949547E-5 | 3.9949547E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.717979E-4 | 4.717979E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Carrizo) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4324407E-4 | 3.4321973E-4 | 1.4110097 | 1.0E-4 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010420597 | 0.0011819138 | 1.1342093 | 1.4E-4 | 0.006073493 | 0.012613757 | 0.012900099 | 1.0227008 | 2.9E-4 | 0.0591016 | 0.120640226 | 0.12104473 | 1.003353 | 4.6E-4 |
6.1 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4324407E-4 | 3.4321973E-4 | 1.4110097 | 1.0E-4 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010420597 | 0.0011819138 | 1.1342093 | 1.4E-4 | 0.006073493 | 0.012613757 | 0.012900099 | 1.0227008 | 2.9E-4 | 0.0591016 | 0.120640226 | 0.12104473 | 1.003353 | 4.6E-4 |
6.2 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4324407E-4 | 3.4321973E-4 | 1.4110097 | 1.0E-4 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010420597 | 0.0011819138 | 1.1342093 | 1.4E-4 | 0.006073493 | 0.012613757 | 0.012900099 | 1.0227008 | 2.9E-4 | 0.0591016 | 0.120640226 | 0.12104473 | 1.003353 | 4.6E-4 |
6.3 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4324407E-4 | 3.4321973E-4 | 1.4110097 | 1.0E-4 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010420597 | 0.0011819138 | 1.1342093 | 1.4E-4 | 0.006073493 | 0.012613757 | 0.012900099 | 1.0227008 | 2.9E-4 | 0.0591016 | 0.120640226 | 0.12104473 | 1.003353 | 4.6E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4324407E-4 | 3.4321973E-4 | 1.4110097 | 1.0E-4 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010420597 | 0.0011819138 | 1.1342093 | 1.4E-4 | 0.006073493 | 0.012613757 | 0.012900099 | 1.0227008 | 2.9E-4 | 0.0591016 | 0.120640226 | 0.12104473 | 1.003353 | 4.6E-4 |
6.5 | 1.13136164E-4 | 2.3644442E-4 | 3.2642315E-4 | 1.3805492 | 9.0E-5 | 4.847792E-4 | 0.0010129412 | 0.0011428095 | 1.1282091 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0058862255 | 0.012263271 | 0.0125398375 | 1.0225524 | 2.8E-4 | 0.057327334 | 0.11761008 | 0.11800716 | 1.0033762 | 4.5E-4 |
6.6 | 1.13136164E-4 | 2.3644442E-4 | 3.2642315E-4 | 1.3805492 | 9.0E-5 | 4.847792E-4 | 0.0010129412 | 0.0011428095 | 1.1282091 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0058862255 | 0.012263271 | 0.0125398375 | 1.0225524 | 2.8E-4 | 0.057327334 | 0.11761008 | 0.11800716 | 1.0033762 | 4.5E-4 |
6.7 | 1.1149675E-4 | 2.3335687E-4 | 3.2333587E-4 | 1.3855854 | 9.0E-5 | 4.777557E-4 | 9.997191E-4 | 0.0011295892 | 1.1299065 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0058011734 | 0.012104088 | 0.012380699 | 1.0228527 | 2.8E-4 | 0.05652051 | 0.1162291 | 0.1166268 | 1.0034217 | 4.5E-4 |
6.8 | 1.1103589E-4 | 2.3237852E-4 | 3.223576E-4 | 1.3872092 | 9.0E-5 | 4.7578133E-4 | 9.955293E-4 | 0.0011253998 | 1.1304538 | 1.3E-4 | 0.005777263 | 0.012053643 | 0.0123302685 | 1.0229495 | 2.8E-4 | 0.056293584 | 0.11578894 | 0.116186835 | 1.0034363 | 4.5E-4 |
6.9 | 1.1053259E-4 | 2.3130233E-4 | 3.2128152E-4 | 1.3890111 | 9.0E-5 | 4.7362508E-4 | 9.909206E-4 | 0.0011207918 | 1.1310611 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0057511497 | 0.011998152 | 0.012274792 | 1.023057 | 2.8E-4 | 0.05604569 | 0.11530445 | 0.11570256 | 1.0034527 | 4.5E-4 |
7.0 | 1.1005377E-4 | 2.3031076E-4 | 3.2029004E-4 | 1.3906864 | 9.0E-5 | 4.7157376E-4 | 9.866742E-4 | 0.001116546 | 1.1316258 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0057263062 | 0.011947021 | 0.012213795 | 1.0223298 | 2.7E-4 | 0.055809796 | 0.11485658 | 0.11524604 | 1.0033909 | 4.4E-4 |
7.1 | 1.0308142E-4 | 2.1540876E-4 | 3.0538937E-4 | 1.4177203 | 9.0E-5 | 4.417027E-4 | 9.228548E-4 | 0.0010527349 | 1.1407372 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0053644776 | 0.011178188 | 0.01144517 | 1.0238842 | 2.7E-4 | 0.052368138 | 0.10809042 | 0.10847395 | 1.0035481 | 4.3E-4 |
7.2 | 1.0027479E-4 | 2.094876E-4 | 2.9946875E-4 | 1.4295297 | 9.0E-5 | 4.296783E-4 | 8.9749607E-4 | 0.0010273794 | 1.1447175 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0052187922 | 0.010872566 | 0.01112974 | 1.0236534 | 2.6E-4 | 0.050979212 | 0.10539086 | 0.105766594 | 1.0035652 | 4.2E-4 |
7.3 | 9.816942E-5 | 2.0423878E-4 | 2.8422245E-4 | 1.3916184 | 8.0E-5 | 4.2065824E-4 | 8.7501644E-4 | 9.949114E-4 | 1.1370202 | 1.2E-4 | 0.005109493 | 0.010601572 | 0.010848922 | 1.0233314 | 2.5E-4 | 0.049935985 | 0.10297546 | 0.10333426 | 1.0034844 | 4.0E-4 |
7.4 | 9.5634205E-5 | 1.9793298E-4 | 2.7791716E-4 | 1.4040972 | 8.0E-5 | 4.0979648E-4 | 8.4800937E-4 | 9.679076E-4 | 1.1413878 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0049778637 | 0.010275901 | 0.010523332 | 1.0240787 | 2.5E-4 | 0.048678253 | 0.100067884 | 0.10042786 | 1.0035973 | 4.0E-4 |
7.5 | 8.052417E-5 | 1.6113915E-4 | 2.4112627E-4 | 1.4963853 | 8.0E-5 | 3.4505792E-4 | 6.9041376E-4 | 8.103309E-4 | 1.1736888 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0041929903 | 0.008373471 | 0.008601545 | 1.0272377 | 2.3E-4 | 0.04114753 | 0.082815245 | 0.083154604 | 1.0040978 | 3.7E-4 |
7.6 | 7.897024E-5 | 1.5767086E-4 | 2.3765824E-4 | 1.5073061 | 8.0E-5 | 3.384E-4 | 6.755574E-4 | 7.954764E-4 | 1.1775111 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0041122385 | 0.00819397 | 0.008422085 | 1.0278394 | 2.3E-4 | 0.040369697 | 0.08115866 | 0.08149863 | 1.004189 | 3.7E-4 |
7.7 | 6.707427E-5 | 1.3277122E-4 | 1.7276591E-4 | 1.3012301 | 4.0E-5 | 2.8742946E-4 | 5.688955E-4 | 6.388557E-4 | 1.1229755 | 7.0E-5 | 0.003493839 | 0.0069043385 | 0.0070632338 | 1.0230138 | 1.6E-4 | 0.034394164 | 0.06905339 | 0.06930475 | 1.00364 | 2.7E-4 |
7.8 | 6.147705E-5 | 1.2198445E-4 | 1.6197957E-4 | 1.3278706 | 4.0E-5 | 2.6344648E-4 | 5.226858E-4 | 5.926492E-4 | 1.1338537 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0032027436 | 0.006345156 | 0.0064942045 | 1.0234901 | 1.5E-4 | 0.031569764 | 0.0635172 | 0.06376068 | 1.0038334 | 2.6E-4 |
7.9 | 4.7636717E-5 | 8.8802946E-5 | 1.287994E-4 | 1.4503955 | 4.0E-5 | 2.0414138E-4 | 3.8052857E-4 | 4.4050574E-4 | 1.1576154 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0024825884 | 0.004623101 | 0.0047525004 | 1.0279896 | 1.3E-4 | 0.024550365 | 0.046629366 | 0.046839107 | 1.004498 | 2.2E-4 |
8.0 | 3.3554235E-5 | 5.2138024E-5 | 7.213698E-5 | 1.3835772 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4379594E-4 | 2.2342955E-4 | 2.634206E-4 | 1.1789874 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0017493097 | 0.002716863 | 0.0027966457 | 1.0293658 | 8.0E-5 | 0.017356034 | 0.027881905 | 0.02800828 | 1.0045326 | 1.3E-4 |
8.1 | 1.9175432E-5 | 1.9183564E-5 | 1.9183564E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.217783E-5 | 8.221269E-5 | 8.221269E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010000558 | 0.0010004805 | 0.0010004805 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009955673 | 0.010757771 | 0.010767664 | 1.0009196 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.473668E-6 | 5.473668E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3458366E-5 | 2.3458366E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8556827E-4 | 2.8556827E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0032481793 | 0.0032481793 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.6564595E-7 | 7.6564595E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.281336E-6 | 3.281336E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.9949547E-5 | 3.9949547E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.717979E-4 | 4.717979E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Ludlow
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2407607E-5 | 2.3657254E-5 | 1.6365394E-4 | 6.9177065 | 1.4E-4 | 9.602906E-5 | 1.0138454E-4 | 2.7136732E-4 | 2.6766143 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0011685267 | 0.001233702 | 0.0015233442 | 1.2347748 | 2.9E-4 | 0.011624013 | 0.012273042 | 0.012727397 | 1.0370206 | 4.6E-4 |
6.1 | 2.2407607E-5 | 2.3657254E-5 | 1.6365394E-4 | 6.9177065 | 1.4E-4 | 9.602906E-5 | 1.0138454E-4 | 2.7136732E-4 | 2.6766143 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0011685267 | 0.001233702 | 0.0015233442 | 1.2347748 | 2.9E-4 | 0.011624013 | 0.012273042 | 0.012727397 | 1.0370206 | 4.6E-4 |
6.2 | 1.0781252E-5 | 1.1365663E-5 | 7.136498E-5 | 6.2789984 | 6.0E-5 | 4.620455E-5 | 4.8709102E-5 | 1.287052E-4 | 2.6423235 | 8.0E-5 | 5.623952E-4 | 5.9287593E-4 | 7.2279887E-4 | 1.2191402 | 1.3E-4 | 0.00560974 | 0.0059133614 | 0.006112179 | 1.0336217 | 2.0E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0781252E-5 | 1.1365663E-5 | 7.136498E-5 | 6.2789984 | 6.0E-5 | 4.620455E-5 | 4.8709102E-5 | 1.287052E-4 | 2.6423235 | 8.0E-5 | 5.623952E-4 | 5.9287593E-4 | 7.2279887E-4 | 1.2191402 | 1.3E-4 | 0.00560974 | 0.0059133614 | 0.006112179 | 1.0336217 | 2.0E-4 |
6.4 | 7.814439E-6 | 8.237729E-6 | 2.8237564E-5 | 3.4278336 | 2.0E-5 | 3.3490025E-5 | 3.530408E-5 | 6.530302E-5 | 1.8497301 | 3.0E-5 | 4.0766477E-4 | 4.2974384E-4 | 5.0970947E-4 | 1.1860774 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0040691774 | 0.0042892746 | 0.0044187168 | 1.0301782 | 1.3E-4 |
6.5 | 6.4986366E-6 | 6.85092E-6 | 1.685085E-5 | 2.4596481 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7851002E-5 | 2.9360759E-5 | 4.9360173E-5 | 1.6811613 | 2.0E-5 | 3.390332E-4 | 3.5740953E-4 | 4.1738807E-4 | 1.1678146 | 6.0E-5 | 0.003385164 | 0.0035684432 | 0.0036680864 | 1.0279235 | 1.0E-4 |
6.6 | 5.582177E-6 | 5.8860055E-6 | 1.5885948E-5 | 2.698935 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3923398E-5 | 2.5225498E-5 | 4.5224995E-5 | 1.7928286 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9122844E-4 | 3.0707786E-4 | 3.6705946E-4 | 1.1953301 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0029084706 | 0.003066609 | 0.0031563328 | 1.0292584 | 9.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.6858763E-6 | 4.940427E-6 | 1.4940378E-5 | 3.0241065 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0082172E-5 | 2.1173091E-5 | 4.117267E-5 | 1.9445752 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4447302E-4 | 2.5775246E-4 | 3.0773957E-4 | 1.1939346 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0024420423 | 0.0025745912 | 0.002644411 | 1.0271188 | 7.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.5584908E-6 | 3.7520183E-6 | 1.3751981E-5 | 3.6652222 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5250586E-5 | 1.6079981E-5 | 3.607966E-5 | 2.2437625 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8566006E-4 | 1.957566E-4 | 2.3574877E-4 | 1.2042954 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0018550502 | 0.0019558826 | 0.0020157653 | 1.0306166 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.532834E-6 | 2.6710034E-6 | 2.6710034E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0854958E-5 | 1.1447109E-5 | 2.1446995E-5 | 1.8735731 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3215111E-4 | 1.3935992E-4 | 1.6935574E-4 | 1.2152399 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0013207254 | 0.0013927529 | 0.0014326972 | 1.0286801 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.7083285E-6 | 1.8019439E-6 | 1.8019439E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3213873E-6 | 7.722595E-6 | 1.7722517E-5 | 2.2948916 | 1.0E-5 | 8.913424E-5 | 9.40187E-5 | 1.1401682E-4 | 1.2127036 | 2.0E-5 | 8.9098496E-4 | 9.3980576E-4 | 9.697775E-4 | 1.0318915 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0905424E-6 | 1.1497619E-6 | 1.1497619E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6737446E-6 | 4.9275427E-6 | 1.4927493E-5 | 3.0293992 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6901354E-5 | 5.999128E-5 | 7.999008E-5 | 1.3333617 | 2.0E-5 | 5.6886784E-4 | 5.997606E-4 | 6.2974263E-4 | 1.0499899 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.06668E-7 | 6.387277E-7 | 6.387277E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.600003E-6 | 2.7374022E-6 | 1.2737375E-5 | 4.6530886 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1654577E-5 | 3.3327433E-5 | 5.3326767E-5 | 1.6000862 | 2.0E-5 | 3.1650066E-4 | 3.3323118E-4 | 3.5322452E-4 | 1.0599984 | 2.0E-5 |
Cady
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9892565E-5 | 2.1858728E-5 | 1.9185501E-4 | 8.777043 | 1.7E-4 | 8.525106E-5 | 9.3677416E-5 | 2.7366055E-4 | 2.9213076 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0010374374 | 0.0011400167 | 0.0013897317 | 1.219045 | 2.5E-4 | 0.010326075 | 0.011350701 | 0.01177582 | 1.0374532 | 4.3E-4 |
6.1 | 1.9892565E-5 | 2.1858728E-5 | 1.9185501E-4 | 8.777043 | 1.7E-4 | 8.525106E-5 | 9.3677416E-5 | 2.7366055E-4 | 2.9213076 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0010374374 | 0.0011400167 | 0.0013897317 | 1.219045 | 2.5E-4 | 0.010326075 | 0.011350701 | 0.01177582 | 1.0374532 | 4.3E-4 |
6.2 | 1.9892565E-5 | 2.1858728E-5 | 1.9185501E-4 | 8.777043 | 1.7E-4 | 8.525106E-5 | 9.3677416E-5 | 2.7366055E-4 | 2.9213076 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0010374374 | 0.0011400167 | 0.0013897317 | 1.219045 | 2.5E-4 | 0.010326075 | 0.011350701 | 0.01177582 | 1.0374532 | 4.3E-4 |
6.3 | 1.1117327E-5 | 1.2176583E-5 | 9.217561E-5 | 7.569907 | 8.0E-5 | 4.764482E-5 | 5.2184492E-5 | 1.421798E-4 | 2.7245603 | 9.0E-5 | 5.7992124E-4 | 6.351925E-4 | 7.751036E-4 | 1.2202656 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0057841022 | 0.0063368753 | 0.006615101 | 1.0439059 | 2.8E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1117327E-5 | 1.2176583E-5 | 9.217561E-5 | 7.569907 | 8.0E-5 | 4.764482E-5 | 5.2184492E-5 | 1.421798E-4 | 2.7245603 | 9.0E-5 | 5.7992124E-4 | 6.351925E-4 | 7.751036E-4 | 1.2202656 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0057841022 | 0.0063368753 | 0.006615101 | 1.0439059 | 2.8E-4 |
6.5 | 6.103093E-6 | 6.672021E-6 | 3.667182E-5 | 5.496359 | 3.0E-5 | 2.615585E-5 | 2.8594131E-5 | 6.8592984E-5 | 2.3988485 | 4.0E-5 | 3.1840094E-4 | 3.480905E-4 | 4.1806613E-4 | 1.2010272 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0031794512 | 0.0034766865 | 0.0036062347 | 1.037262 | 1.3E-4 |
6.6 | 5.817237E-6 | 6.3656585E-6 | 3.636547E-5 | 5.712758 | 3.0E-5 | 2.4930776E-5 | 2.728118E-5 | 6.728009E-5 | 2.4661722 | 4.0E-5 | 3.034899E-4 | 3.3211018E-4 | 4.020869E-4 | 1.2107034 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0030307577 | 0.0033173605 | 0.0034469294 | 1.0390577 | 1.3E-4 |
6.7 | 4.8846314E-6 | 5.3405684E-6 | 3.5340407E-5 | 6.6173496 | 3.0E-5 | 2.0933967E-5 | 2.2888014E-5 | 5.2887328E-5 | 2.3106997 | 3.0E-5 | 2.5484123E-4 | 2.7863772E-4 | 3.1862658E-4 | 1.1435156 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0025454918 | 0.0027840391 | 0.0028638165 | 1.0286552 | 8.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.7788773E-6 | 1.9399079E-6 | 2.193987E-5 | 11.309748 | 2.0E-5 | 7.6237375E-6 | 8.313874E-6 | 2.8313707E-5 | 3.4055974 | 2.0E-5 | 9.281505E-5 | 1.01218284E-4 | 1.3121525E-4 | 1.2963592 | 3.0E-5 | 9.2776294E-4 | 0.0010118765 | 0.001051836 | 1.0394905 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.5455404E-7 | 8.297092E-7 | 2.0829693E-5 | 25.10481 | 2.0E-5 | 3.233799E-6 | 3.5558937E-6 | 2.3555822E-5 | 6.624445 | 2.0E-5 | 3.937079E-5 | 4.3292483E-5 | 7.329118E-5 | 1.6929309 | 3.0E-5 | 3.9363815E-4 | 4.3287344E-4 | 4.6286045E-4 | 1.0692743 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 6.8578805E-7 | 7.541816E-7 | 2.0754167E-5 | 27.518791 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9390883E-6 | 3.2322048E-6 | 2.323214E-5 | 7.187707 | 2.0E-5 | 3.578281E-5 | 3.9351715E-5 | 6.9350535E-5 | 1.7623256 | 3.0E-5 | 3.577705E-4 | 3.9347992E-4 | 4.2346813E-4 | 1.0762128 | 3.0E-5 |
San Andreas (Coachella) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1925945E-4 | 3.273077E-4 | 4.772586E-4 | 1.4581343 | 1.5E-4 | 5.110118E-4 | 0.001401998 | 0.0016316755 | 1.1638216 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0062038354 | 0.016937068 | 0.017212324 | 1.0162518 | 2.8E-4 | 0.060334753 | 0.15267672 | 0.15303259 | 1.0023309 | 4.2E-4 |
6.1 | 1.1925945E-4 | 3.273077E-4 | 4.772586E-4 | 1.4581343 | 1.5E-4 | 5.110118E-4 | 0.001401998 | 0.0016316755 | 1.1638216 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0062038354 | 0.016937068 | 0.017212324 | 1.0162518 | 2.8E-4 | 0.060334753 | 0.15267672 | 0.15303259 | 1.0023309 | 4.2E-4 |
6.2 | 1.07432395E-4 | 3.0231563E-4 | 4.5227027E-4 | 1.4960202 | 1.5E-4 | 4.603433E-4 | 0.001294999 | 0.0015247012 | 1.1773763 | 2.3E-4 | 0.005590286 | 0.015653731 | 0.015929349 | 1.0176071 | 2.8E-4 | 0.05451731 | 0.14182784 | 0.14218827 | 1.0025413 | 4.2E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0718766E-4 | 3.0176868E-4 | 4.517234E-4 | 1.4969195 | 1.5E-4 | 4.592948E-4 | 0.0012926573 | 0.00152236 | 1.177698 | 2.3E-4 | 0.005577586 | 0.01562563 | 0.015901254 | 1.0176393 | 2.8E-4 | 0.054396555 | 0.14159605 | 0.14195658 | 1.0025462 | 4.2E-4 |
6.4 | 1.0355944E-4 | 2.9384956E-4 | 4.4380547E-4 | 1.5103153 | 1.5E-4 | 4.4375064E-4 | 0.0012587514 | 0.0014884619 | 1.1824907 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0053892885 | 0.015218662 | 0.015494401 | 1.0181185 | 2.8E-4 | 0.052604496 | 0.13815795 | 0.13851993 | 1.00262 | 4.2E-4 |
6.5 | 1.0227914E-4 | 2.9104383E-4 | 4.410002E-4 | 1.5152363 | 1.5E-4 | 4.382655E-4 | 0.0012467385 | 0.0014764518 | 1.1842513 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0053228354 | 0.015074439 | 0.015340369 | 1.0176411 | 2.7E-4 | 0.051971316 | 0.13694239 | 0.13729623 | 1.002584 | 4.1E-4 |
6.6 | 1.0116757E-4 | 2.8870135E-4 | 4.3865805E-4 | 1.5194181 | 1.5E-4 | 4.3350324E-4 | 0.0012367087 | 0.0014664243 | 1.1857475 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0052651367 | 0.014954008 | 0.015219971 | 1.0177853 | 2.7E-4 | 0.051421247 | 0.13591973 | 0.13627401 | 1.0026065 | 4.1E-4 |
6.7 | 1.0050676E-4 | 2.8728697E-4 | 4.3724387E-4 | 1.521976 | 1.5E-4 | 4.3067214E-4 | 0.0012306528 | 0.0014603698 | 1.1866627 | 2.3E-4 | 0.005230834 | 0.014881288 | 0.01514727 | 1.0178736 | 2.7E-4 | 0.051094085 | 0.13530464 | 0.13565917 | 1.0026202 | 4.1E-4 |
6.8 | 9.976819E-5 | 2.8532353E-4 | 4.3528073E-4 | 1.525569 | 1.5E-4 | 4.2750788E-4 | 0.001222246 | 0.0014519648 | 1.1879481 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0051924936 | 0.014780328 | 0.015046338 | 1.0179975 | 2.7E-4 | 0.050728295 | 0.13445628 | 0.13481115 | 1.0026393 | 4.1E-4 |
6.9 | 9.77719E-5 | 2.802926E-4 | 4.2025335E-4 | 1.499338 | 1.4E-4 | 4.1895514E-4 | 0.0012007048 | 0.0014204406 | 1.1830057 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0050888555 | 0.0145215895 | 0.014777814 | 1.0176444 | 2.6E-4 | 0.049738888 | 0.13228476 | 0.13263185 | 1.0026238 | 4.0E-4 |
7.0 | 8.500761E-5 | 2.4763815E-4 | 3.7760596E-4 | 1.5248295 | 1.3E-4 | 3.6426744E-4 | 0.0010608779 | 0.0012706551 | 1.1977392 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0044259406 | 0.01284047 | 0.013087261 | 1.0192196 | 2.5E-4 | 0.04338823 | 0.11813616 | 0.118471265 | 1.0028366 | 3.8E-4 |
7.1 | 8.319876E-5 | 2.4366553E-4 | 3.7363384E-4 | 1.5333883 | 1.3E-4 | 3.5651738E-4 | 0.0010438662 | 0.0012536469 | 1.2009652 | 2.1E-4 | 0.004331963 | 0.012635773 | 0.0128826145 | 1.0195351 | 2.5E-4 | 0.042484846 | 0.11635632 | 0.1166921 | 1.0028858 | 3.8E-4 |
7.2 | 7.563917E-5 | 2.2414974E-4 | 3.541206E-4 | 1.5798395 | 1.3E-4 | 3.2412758E-4 | 9.602912E-4 | 0.0011700895 | 1.2184737 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0039391145 | 0.011629559 | 0.011876652 | 1.0212469 | 2.5E-4 | 0.03870018 | 0.10776202 | 0.10810106 | 1.0031463 | 3.8E-4 |
7.3 | 7.082985E-5 | 2.07311E-4 | 3.3728406E-4 | 1.6269472 | 1.3E-4 | 3.0352117E-4 | 8.881761E-4 | 0.0010979895 | 1.2362297 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0036891096 | 0.010760553 | 0.011007863 | 1.022983 | 2.5E-4 | 0.03628465 | 0.10028403 | 0.100625925 | 1.0034093 | 3.8E-4 |
7.4 | 5.146215E-5 | 1.4274761E-4 | 2.7272906E-4 | 1.9105682 | 1.3E-4 | 2.2053342E-4 | 6.1163295E-4 | 8.115106E-4 | 1.3267936 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0026816884 | 0.0074213943 | 0.007659613 | 1.0320989 | 2.4E-4 | 0.02649557 | 0.07085049 | 0.071184985 | 1.0047212 | 3.6E-4 |
7.5 | 4.0285166E-5 | 1.0942422E-4 | 2.2941109E-4 | 2.0965295 | 1.2E-4 | 1.7263928E-4 | 4.6887697E-4 | 6.587879E-4 | 1.4050336 | 1.9E-4 | 0.002099857 | 0.0056937044 | 0.005922395 | 1.0401655 | 2.3E-4 | 0.020801254 | 0.055013083 | 0.05534383 | 1.0060121 | 3.5E-4 |
7.6 | 3.1168736E-5 | 8.439599E-5 | 1.9438671E-4 | 2.3032694 | 1.1E-4 | 1.3357346E-4 | 3.616471E-4 | 5.41582E-4 | 1.4975427 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0016250437 | 0.004394191 | 0.004613224 | 1.049846 | 2.2E-4 | 0.016132116 | 0.042812478 | 0.043118775 | 1.0071545 | 3.2E-4 |
7.7 | 2.2100989E-5 | 6.239345E-5 | 1.7238659E-4 | 2.7628956 | 1.1E-4 | 9.4715084E-5 | 2.6737314E-4 | 4.47325E-4 | 1.6730365 | 1.8E-4 | 0.001152546 | 0.0032504152 | 0.0034697 | 1.0674636 | 2.2E-4 | 0.011465867 | 0.031902168 | 0.03221196 | 1.0097107 | 3.2E-4 |
7.8 | 1.7484861E-5 | 5.180078E-5 | 1.6179508E-4 | 3.12341 | 1.1E-4 | 7.493296E-5 | 2.2198448E-4 | 4.019445E-4 | 1.8106875 | 1.8E-4 | 9.1192697E-4 | 0.0026993142 | 0.0029187205 | 1.0812821 | 2.2E-4 | 0.009081938 | 0.026641788 | 0.026953261 | 1.0116912 | 3.2E-4 |
7.9 | 1.3967285E-5 | 3.8226146E-5 | 1.4822194E-4 | 3.8775015 | 1.1E-4 | 5.985842E-5 | 1.6381606E-4 | 3.4378658E-4 | 2.0986133 | 1.8E-4 | 7.2853256E-4 | 0.0019926373 | 0.0022022189 | 1.105178 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0072614877 | 0.019911002 | 0.02020503 | 1.014767 | 3.0E-4 |
8.0 | 1.1887396E-5 | 3.106798E-5 | 1.4106456E-4 | 4.540513 | 1.1E-4 | 5.094499E-5 | 1.331417E-4 | 3.1311772E-4 | 2.351763 | 1.8E-4 | 6.200787E-4 | 0.0016197958 | 0.0018294557 | 1.129436 | 2.1E-4 | 0.006183513 | 0.016280567 | 0.016565844 | 1.0175227 | 2.9E-4 |
8.1 | 5.100864E-6 | 8.973766E-6 | 1.8973677E-5 | 2.1143494 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1860664E-5 | 3.845843E-5 | 4.8458045E-5 | 1.2600111 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6612106E-4 | 4.6813092E-4 | 4.7812623E-4 | 1.0213516 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002658026 | 0.004918092 | 0.0049280426 | 1.0020233 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 2.3004484E-6 | 2.7863473E-6 | 2.7863473E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.859027E-6 | 1.19414335E-5 | 1.19414335E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2002704E-4 | 1.4537729E-4 | 1.4537729E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011996223 | 0.0015973782 | 0.0015973782 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.0424446E-7 | 5.814421E-8 | 5.814421E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4676187E-7 | 2.4918944E-7 | 2.4918944E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.439312E-6 | 3.0338776E-6 | 3.0338776E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4391792E-5 | 3.189592E-5 | 3.189592E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Baker
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.695525E-6 | 5.8348373E-6 | 9.5834315E-5 | 16.424505 | 9.0E-5 | 2.4409164E-5 | 2.5006228E-5 | 1.8500222E-4 | 7.3982463 | 1.6E-4 | 2.9714106E-4 | 3.044123E-4 | 5.343423E-4 | 1.7553242 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0029674405 | 0.0030403486 | 0.0034491022 | 1.1344429 | 4.1E-4 |
6.1 | 5.695525E-6 | 5.8348373E-6 | 9.5834315E-5 | 16.424505 | 9.0E-5 | 2.4409164E-5 | 2.5006228E-5 | 1.8500222E-4 | 7.3982463 | 1.6E-4 | 2.9714106E-4 | 3.044123E-4 | 5.343423E-4 | 1.7553242 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0029674405 | 0.0030403486 | 0.0034491022 | 1.1344429 | 4.1E-4 |
6.2 | 5.695525E-6 | 5.8348373E-6 | 9.5834315E-5 | 16.424505 | 9.0E-5 | 2.4409164E-5 | 2.5006228E-5 | 1.8500222E-4 | 7.3982463 | 1.6E-4 | 2.9714106E-4 | 3.044123E-4 | 5.343423E-4 | 1.7553242 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0029674405 | 0.0030403486 | 0.0034491022 | 1.1344429 | 4.1E-4 |
6.3 | 3.2995713E-6 | 3.383667E-6 | 6.3383464E-5 | 18.732182 | 6.0E-5 | 1.4140943E-5 | 1.4501353E-5 | 1.3449961E-4 | 9.27497 | 1.2E-4 | 1.7215237E-4 | 1.7654014E-4 | 3.4651012E-4 | 1.9627838 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0017201907 | 0.001764046 | 0.0020635168 | 1.1697636 | 3.0E-4 |
6.4 | 3.2995713E-6 | 3.383667E-6 | 6.3383464E-5 | 18.732182 | 6.0E-5 | 1.4140943E-5 | 1.4501353E-5 | 1.3449961E-4 | 9.27497 | 1.2E-4 | 1.7215237E-4 | 1.7654014E-4 | 3.4651012E-4 | 1.9627838 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0017201907 | 0.001764046 | 0.0020635168 | 1.1697636 | 3.0E-4 |
6.5 | 2.782202E-6 | 2.8558404E-6 | 5.28557E-5 | 18.50793 | 5.0E-5 | 1.1923668E-5 | 1.223926E-5 | 1.12238034E-4 | 9.170328 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4516099E-4 | 1.4900314E-4 | 2.8898226E-4 | 1.9394375 | 1.4E-4 | 0.001450662 | 0.0014890651 | 0.0017486779 | 1.1743462 | 2.6E-4 |
6.6 | 2.3163404E-6 | 2.38092E-6 | 5.23808E-5 | 22.000237 | 5.0E-5 | 9.927136E-6 | 1.0203904E-5 | 1.10202884E-4 | 10.800071 | 1.0E-4 | 1.20856166E-4 | 1.2422565E-4 | 2.6420827E-4 | 2.1268413 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0012079047 | 0.0012415823 | 0.0014912719 | 1.201106 | 2.5E-4 |
6.7 | 2.037056E-6 | 2.0965003E-6 | 4.2096417E-5 | 20.079374 | 4.0E-5 | 8.7302105E-6 | 8.984972E-6 | 9.8984165E-5 | 11.016636 | 9.0E-5 | 1.0628513E-4 | 1.093867E-4 | 2.3937249E-4 | 2.1883142 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0010623431 | 0.0010933448 | 0.0013031152 | 1.1918612 | 2.1E-4 |
6.8 | 1.8356744E-6 | 1.8915287E-6 | 4.1891453E-5 | 22.146877 | 4.0E-5 | 7.867153E-6 | 8.106527E-6 | 9.81058E-5 | 12.102075 | 9.0E-5 | 9.577837E-5 | 9.869264E-5 | 2.2867981E-4 | 2.3170907 | 1.3E-4 | 9.57371E-4 | 9.86502E-4 | 0.0011962949 | 1.2126634 | 2.1E-4 |
6.9 | 1.6310546E-6 | 1.6832072E-6 | 3.1683157E-5 | 18.823088 | 3.0E-5 | 6.9902153E-6 | 7.213726E-6 | 8.721315E-5 | 12.08989 | 8.0E-5 | 8.510255E-5 | 8.782368E-5 | 1.9781402E-4 | 2.2523994 | 1.1E-4 | 8.5069967E-4 | 8.7790104E-4 | 0.0010677342 | 1.2162353 | 1.9E-4 |
7.0 | 1.2058036E-6 | 1.2508665E-6 | 3.1250827E-5 | 24.983343 | 3.0E-5 | 5.1677193E-6 | 5.3608455E-6 | 7.536047E-5 | 14.057571 | 7.0E-5 | 6.291517E-5 | 6.5266366E-5 | 1.6525984E-4 | 2.5320828 | 1.0E-4 | 6.289736E-4 | 6.524743E-4 | 8.123699E-4 | 1.2450604 | 1.6E-4 |
7.1 | 1.052382E-6 | 1.0951609E-6 | 3.109513E-5 | 28.393206 | 3.0E-5 | 4.5102006E-6 | 4.693538E-6 | 7.469321E-5 | 15.914052 | 7.0E-5 | 5.491031E-5 | 5.7142337E-5 | 1.5713662E-4 | 2.7499158 | 1.0E-4 | 5.4896745E-4 | 5.7127734E-4 | 7.311859E-4 | 1.2799141 | 1.6E-4 |
7.2 | 1.0067454E-6 | 1.0487711E-6 | 3.104874E-5 | 29.604877 | 3.0E-5 | 4.3146156E-6 | 4.4947255E-6 | 7.449441E-5 | 16.57374 | 7.0E-5 | 5.252918E-5 | 5.4721917E-5 | 1.4471699E-4 | 2.6445892 | 9.0E-5 | 5.251676E-4 | 5.470853E-4 | 6.8700867E-4 | 1.2557616 | 1.4E-4 |
7.3 | 9.3596316E-7 | 9.767723E-7 | 2.0976753E-5 | 21.47558 | 2.0E-5 | 4.0112645E-6 | 4.1861604E-6 | 6.418591E-5 | 15.332883 | 6.0E-5 | 4.8836053E-5 | 5.096532E-5 | 1.3096124E-4 | 2.569615 | 8.0E-5 | 4.8825322E-4 | 5.095371E-4 | 6.29476E-4 | 1.2353879 | 1.2E-4 |
7.4 | 8.8117395E-7 | 9.2076635E-7 | 2.0920748E-5 | 22.721018 | 2.0E-5 | 3.7764542E-6 | 3.9461356E-6 | 5.394594E-5 | 13.670574 | 5.0E-5 | 4.5977362E-5 | 4.8043148E-5 | 1.1803979E-4 | 2.4569535 | 7.0E-5 | 4.596785E-4 | 4.8032837E-4 | 5.802803E-4 | 1.2080909 | 1.0E-4 |
7.5 | 8.292386E-7 | 8.6745956E-7 | 2.0867443E-5 | 24.055809 | 2.0E-5 | 3.5538749E-6 | 3.7176785E-6 | 5.3717493E-5 | 14.449203 | 5.0E-5 | 4.326757E-5 | 4.5261804E-5 | 1.15258634E-4 | 2.5464878 | 7.0E-5 | 4.3259145E-4 | 4.5252658E-4 | 5.5248133E-4 | 1.2208815 | 1.0E-4 |
7.6 | 7.553842E-7 | 7.9144706E-7 | 1.0791439E-5 | 13.635074 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2373566E-6 | 3.3919116E-6 | 4.3391778E-5 | 12.79272 | 4.0E-5 | 3.9414106E-5 | 4.129575E-5 | 1.0129327E-4 | 2.4528742 | 6.0E-5 | 3.9407116E-4 | 4.1288146E-4 | 4.928484E-4 | 1.1936802 | 8.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.5285366E-7 | 6.852797E-7 | 1.0685273E-5 | 15.592572 | 1.0E-5 | 2.797941E-6 | 2.9369096E-6 | 3.2936823E-5 | 11.214789 | 3.0E-5 | 3.40644E-5 | 3.5756293E-5 | 8.575451E-5 | 2.3983052 | 5.0E-5 | 3.405918E-4 | 3.5750607E-4 | 4.2748105E-4 | 1.1957309 | 7.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.6482615E-7 | 1.0364823E-5 | 28.410307 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5635396E-6 | 2.1563508E-5 | 13.791469 | 2.0E-5 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.9035933E-5 | 4.9035363E-5 | 2.5759368 | 3.0E-5 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.9034347E-4 | 2.2033777E-4 | 1.1575798 | 3.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6696718E-9 | 2.6696718E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.14414505E-8 | 1.14414505E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3929966E-7 | 1.3929966E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3929966E-6 | 1.3929966E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Calico-Hidalgo
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.0906612E-5 | 5.0704355E-5 | 2.0069676E-4 | 3.9581757 | 1.5E-4 | 1.7530227E-4 | 2.1728857E-4 | 4.0724728E-4 | 1.8742232 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0021322158 | 0.002642678 | 0.0028820438 | 1.090577 | 2.4E-4 | 0.02111873 | 0.026152814 | 0.026503399 | 1.0134052 | 3.6E-4 |
6.1 | 4.0906612E-5 | 5.0704355E-5 | 2.0069676E-4 | 3.9581757 | 1.5E-4 | 1.7530227E-4 | 2.1728857E-4 | 4.0724728E-4 | 1.8742232 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0021322158 | 0.002642678 | 0.0028820438 | 1.090577 | 2.4E-4 | 0.02111873 | 0.026152814 | 0.026503399 | 1.0134052 | 3.6E-4 |
6.2 | 4.0906612E-5 | 5.0704355E-5 | 2.0069676E-4 | 3.9581757 | 1.5E-4 | 1.7530227E-4 | 2.1728857E-4 | 4.0724728E-4 | 1.8742232 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0021322158 | 0.002642678 | 0.0028820438 | 1.090577 | 2.4E-4 | 0.02111873 | 0.026152814 | 0.026503399 | 1.0134052 | 3.6E-4 |
6.3 | 2.4242801E-5 | 3.0090967E-5 | 1.4008765E-4 | 4.6554723 | 1.1E-4 | 1.0389358E-4 | 1.289551E-4 | 2.489396E-4 | 1.9304364 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0012641704 | 0.0015689312 | 0.0017386645 | 1.108184 | 1.7E-4 | 0.01257003 | 0.015582229 | 0.015838178 | 1.0164257 | 2.6E-4 |
6.4 | 2.4242801E-5 | 3.0090967E-5 | 1.4008765E-4 | 4.6554723 | 1.1E-4 | 1.0389358E-4 | 1.289551E-4 | 2.489396E-4 | 1.9304364 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0012641704 | 0.0015689312 | 0.0017386645 | 1.108184 | 1.7E-4 | 0.01257003 | 0.015582229 | 0.015838178 | 1.0164257 | 2.6E-4 |
6.5 | 2.0286952E-5 | 2.5316054E-5 | 1.2531353E-4 | 4.9499626 | 1.0E-4 | 8.694118E-5 | 1.0849296E-4 | 2.1848103E-4 | 2.0137806 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0010579949 | 0.0013201186 | 0.0014799073 | 1.1210413 | 1.6E-4 | 0.010529719 | 0.013124701 | 0.013351682 | 1.0172942 | 2.3E-4 |
6.6 | 2.0269223E-5 | 2.5297004E-5 | 1.2529448E-4 | 4.952937 | 1.0E-4 | 8.6865206E-5 | 1.08411325E-4 | 2.183994E-4 | 2.0145442 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0010570707 | 0.0013191258 | 0.0014789148 | 1.1211325 | 1.6E-4 | 0.010520565 | 0.01311489 | 0.013341874 | 1.0173073 | 2.3E-4 |
6.7 | 1.799852E-5 | 2.2540933E-5 | 1.125389E-4 | 4.992646 | 9.0E-5 | 7.713423E-5 | 9.660051E-5 | 1.9659085E-4 | 2.0350912 | 1.0E-4 | 9.3870464E-4 | 0.0011754911 | 0.0013253149 | 1.1274562 | 1.5E-4 | 0.009347493 | 0.011694346 | 0.01190189 | 1.0177474 | 2.1E-4 |
6.8 | 1.7458793E-5 | 2.184258E-5 | 1.11840614E-4 | 5.120302 | 9.0E-5 | 7.4821255E-5 | 9.360778E-5 | 1.9359842E-4 | 2.0681872 | 1.0E-4 | 9.10568E-4 | 0.0011390933 | 0.0012889225 | 1.1315336 | 1.5E-4 | 0.009068459 | 0.011334131 | 0.011531863 | 1.0174458 | 2.0E-4 |
6.9 | 1.542884E-5 | 1.9026285E-5 | 9.9024764E-5 | 5.2046294 | 8.0E-5 | 6.612192E-5 | 8.153875E-5 | 1.7153141E-4 | 2.1036797 | 9.0E-5 | 8.04737E-4 | 9.922953E-4 | 0.0011321564 | 1.140947 | 1.4E-4 | 0.008018291 | 0.009880043 | 0.010068166 | 1.0190407 | 1.9E-4 |
7.0 | 1.468253E-5 | 1.803109E-5 | 8.802983E-5 | 4.882113 | 7.0E-5 | 6.292361E-5 | 7.727389E-5 | 1.5726771E-4 | 2.0351985 | 8.0E-5 | 7.658257E-4 | 9.4041653E-4 | 0.0010702943 | 1.1381066 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0076319184 | 0.009365736 | 0.00954405 | 1.019039 | 1.8E-4 |
7.1 | 1.3139281E-5 | 1.620139E-5 | 6.620058E-5 | 4.086105 | 5.0E-5 | 5.6309986E-5 | 6.943275E-5 | 1.2942858E-4 | 1.8640856 | 6.0E-5 | 6.853584E-4 | 8.4502844E-4 | 9.449439E-4 | 1.1182392 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0068324856 | 0.008419449 | 0.0085582705 | 1.0164882 | 1.4E-4 |
7.2 | 1.1127404E-5 | 1.3867038E-5 | 3.386676E-5 | 2.442249 | 2.0E-5 | 4.7688E-5 | 5.9428872E-5 | 8.942709E-5 | 1.5047752 | 3.0E-5 | 5.8044674E-4 | 7.233172E-4 | 7.932666E-4 | 1.0967064 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0057893298 | 0.007210737 | 0.007300088 | 1.0123913 | 9.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.808154E-6 | 1.2176586E-5 | 3.2176344E-5 | 2.6424766 | 2.0E-5 | 4.2034266E-5 | 5.2184383E-5 | 8.218282E-5 | 1.5748546 | 3.0E-5 | 5.11647E-4 | 6.351704E-4 | 7.051259E-4 | 1.1101366 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0051047057 | 0.006334625 | 0.0064240554 | 1.0141176 | 9.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.942452E-6 | 9.792348E-6 | 2.9792152E-5 | 3.042391 | 2.0E-5 | 3.4038632E-5 | 4.1966585E-5 | 7.1965325E-5 | 1.7148244 | 3.0E-5 | 4.1434157E-4 | 5.108328E-4 | 5.608073E-4 | 1.0978293 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0041356985 | 0.005097527 | 0.0051671704 | 1.0136621 | 7.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.7121216E-6 | 5.7729717E-6 | 1.5772914E-5 | 2.7322001 | 1.0E-5 | 2.019465E-5 | 2.4741115E-5 | 4.474062E-5 | 1.808351 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4584212E-4 | 3.011891E-4 | 3.4117704E-4 | 1.132767 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0024557032 | 0.0030085614 | 0.0030584112 | 1.0165693 | 5.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.6040198E-7 | 2.6040198E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.1160082E-6 | 1.1160082E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.3587343E-5 | 1.3587343E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1539775E-4 | 1.3586794E-4 | 1.3586794E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Sierra Nevada (No Extension)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.9762887E-6 | 1.6697517E-4 | 23.934671 | 1.6E-4 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.989824E-5 | 2.0989285E-4 | 7.0202413 | 1.8E-4 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6398612E-4 | 6.238915E-4 | 1.7140529 | 2.6E-4 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036374154 | 0.003996106 | 1.0986114 | 3.6E-4 |
6.1 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.9762887E-6 | 1.6697517E-4 | 23.934671 | 1.6E-4 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.989824E-5 | 2.0989285E-4 | 7.0202413 | 1.8E-4 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6398612E-4 | 6.238915E-4 | 1.7140529 | 2.6E-4 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036374154 | 0.003996106 | 1.0986114 | 3.6E-4 |
6.2 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.9762887E-6 | 1.6697517E-4 | 23.934671 | 1.6E-4 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.989824E-5 | 2.0989285E-4 | 7.0202413 | 1.8E-4 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6398612E-4 | 6.238915E-4 | 1.7140529 | 2.6E-4 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036374154 | 0.003996106 | 1.0986114 | 3.6E-4 |
6.3 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.9762887E-6 | 1.6697517E-4 | 23.934671 | 1.6E-4 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.989824E-5 | 2.0989285E-4 | 7.0202413 | 1.8E-4 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6398612E-4 | 6.238915E-4 | 1.7140529 | 2.6E-4 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036374154 | 0.003996106 | 1.0986114 | 3.6E-4 |
6.4 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.9762887E-6 | 1.6697517E-4 | 23.934671 | 1.6E-4 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.989824E-5 | 2.0989285E-4 | 7.0202413 | 1.8E-4 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6398612E-4 | 6.238915E-4 | 1.7140529 | 2.6E-4 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036374154 | 0.003996106 | 1.0986114 | 3.6E-4 |
6.5 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.9762887E-6 | 1.6697517E-4 | 23.934671 | 1.6E-4 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.989824E-5 | 2.0989285E-4 | 7.0202413 | 1.8E-4 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6398612E-4 | 6.238915E-4 | 1.7140529 | 2.6E-4 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036374154 | 0.003996106 | 1.0986114 | 3.6E-4 |
6.6 | 2.653E-6 | 1.6148208E-6 | 1.3161461E-4 | 81.50416 | 1.3E-4 | 1.136995E-5 | 6.9206426E-6 | 1.569196E-4 | 22.674137 | 1.5E-4 | 1.3842035E-4 | 8.42556E-5 | 2.8423875E-4 | 3.3735294 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0013833415 | 8.4224E-4 | 0.001102021 | 1.3084406 | 2.6E-4 |
6.7 | 2.5902466E-6 | 1.5501544E-6 | 1.3154995E-4 | 84.86249 | 1.3E-4 | 1.11010095E-5 | 6.643502E-6 | 1.566425E-4 | 23.578302 | 1.5E-4 | 1.351464E-4 | 8.088166E-5 | 2.708663E-4 | 3.3489208 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0013506424 | 8.0852525E-4 | 0.0010583231 | 1.308955 | 2.5E-4 |
6.8 | 2.5853892E-6 | 1.5469546E-6 | 1.3154675E-4 | 85.03595 | 1.3E-4 | 1.1080193E-5 | 6.629789E-6 | 1.566288E-4 | 23.625004 | 1.5E-4 | 1.34893E-4 | 8.071472E-5 | 2.7069938E-4 | 3.3537796 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0013481114 | 8.06857E-4 | 0.0010566553 | 1.3095943 | 2.5E-4 |
6.9 | 2.458257E-6 | 1.422029E-6 | 1.2142186E-4 | 85.38635 | 1.2E-4 | 1.0535345E-5 | 6.0943958E-6 | 1.4609355E-4 | 23.971785 | 1.4E-4 | 1.2826028E-4 | 7.419676E-5 | 2.541834E-4 | 3.425802 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0012818627 | 7.4172183E-4 | 9.815438E-4 | 1.3233315 | 2.4E-4 |
7.0 | 2.4341468E-6 | 1.3989927E-6 | 1.2139882E-4 | 86.77588 | 1.2E-4 | 1.0432016E-5 | 5.9956697E-6 | 1.4599483E-4 | 24.350046 | 1.4E-4 | 1.270024E-4 | 7.299485E-5 | 2.529817E-4 | 3.4657474 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0012692984 | 7.297107E-4 | 9.6953555E-4 | 1.3286575 | 2.4E-4 |
7.1 | 2.3652476E-6 | 1.3339427E-6 | 1.2133378E-4 | 90.95877 | 1.2E-4 | 1.0136736E-5 | 5.716885E-6 | 1.4571608E-4 | 25.488722 | 1.4E-4 | 1.2340778E-4 | 6.9600865E-5 | 2.4958834E-4 | 3.5859947 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0012333926 | 6.957924E-4 | 9.356254E-4 | 1.3446904 | 2.4E-4 |
7.2 | 2.272158E-6 | 1.2502497E-6 | 1.212501E-4 | 96.980705 | 1.2E-4 | 9.737784E-6 | 5.358202E-6 | 1.4535745E-4 | 27.128027 | 1.4E-4 | 1.1855107E-4 | 6.523417E-5 | 2.4522244E-4 | 3.75911 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0011848784 | 6.5215176E-4 | 8.919952E-4 | 1.3677725 | 2.4E-4 |
7.3 | 2.1382127E-6 | 1.1419382E-6 | 1.211418E-4 | 106.08437 | 1.2E-4 | 9.163737E-6 | 4.894012E-6 | 1.4489333E-4 | 29.606247 | 1.4E-4 | 1.1156279E-4 | 5.9582977E-5 | 2.3957225E-4 | 4.0208173 | 1.8E-4 | 0.001115068 | 5.956712E-4 | 8.3552825E-4 | 1.4026668 | 2.4E-4 |
7.4 | 1.9048055E-6 | 9.574928E-7 | 1.10957386E-4 | 115.883255 | 1.1E-4 | 8.163426E-6 | 4.103534E-6 | 1.34103E-4 | 32.67988 | 1.3E-4 | 9.9385186E-5 | 4.995939E-5 | 2.199509E-4 | 4.4025936 | 1.7E-4 | 9.934074E-4 | 4.9948227E-4 | 7.293674E-4 | 1.4602468 | 2.3E-4 |
7.5 | 1.5373403E-6 | 7.559763E-7 | 1.00755904E-4 | 133.27917 | 1.0E-4 | 6.5885843E-6 | 3.2398946E-6 | 1.1323954E-4 | 34.951614 | 1.1E-4 | 8.021306E-5 | 3.9445007E-5 | 1.8943909E-4 | 4.802613 | 1.5E-4 | 8.0184115E-4 | 3.9438053E-4 | 5.943017E-4 | 1.5069244 | 2.0E-4 |
7.6 | 1.0680322E-6 | 4.65941E-7 | 4.0465922E-5 | 86.84774 | 4.0E-5 | 4.577273E-6 | 1.9968884E-6 | 5.1996787E-5 | 26.038904 | 5.0E-5 | 5.5726876E-5 | 2.4311848E-5 | 1.04309904E-4 | 4.2904963 | 8.0E-5 | 5.5712904E-4 | 2.4309216E-4 | 3.4306783E-4 | 1.4112667 | 1.0E-4 |
7.7 | 5.509146E-7 | 1.5578539E-7 | 1.01557835E-5 | 65.190865 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3610605E-6 | 6.676515E-7 | 1.0667645E-5 | 15.977864 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8745531E-5 | 8.128628E-6 | 1.8128547E-5 | 2.2302098 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8741814E-4 | 8.128342E-5 | 1.01281796E-4 | 1.2460326 | 2.0E-5 |
Lake Isabella (Seismicity)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.741651E-6 | 1.2974048E-4 | 13.31812 | 1.2E-4 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.1749343E-5 | 2.0174266E-4 | 4.832236 | 1.6E-4 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.0819275E-4 | 7.780555E-4 | 1.5310245 | 2.7E-4 | 0.004909227 | 0.005071599 | 0.005429773 | 1.0706235 | 3.6E-4 |
6.1 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.741651E-6 | 1.2974048E-4 | 13.31812 | 1.2E-4 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.1749343E-5 | 2.0174266E-4 | 4.832236 | 1.6E-4 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.0819275E-4 | 7.780555E-4 | 1.5310245 | 2.7E-4 | 0.004909227 | 0.005071599 | 0.005429773 | 1.0706235 | 3.6E-4 |
6.2 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.741651E-6 | 1.2974048E-4 | 13.31812 | 1.2E-4 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.1749343E-5 | 2.0174266E-4 | 4.832236 | 1.6E-4 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.0819275E-4 | 7.780555E-4 | 1.5310245 | 2.7E-4 | 0.004909227 | 0.005071599 | 0.005429773 | 1.0706235 | 3.6E-4 |
6.3 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.741651E-6 | 1.2974048E-4 | 13.31812 | 1.2E-4 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.1749343E-5 | 2.0174266E-4 | 4.832236 | 1.6E-4 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.0819275E-4 | 7.780555E-4 | 1.5310245 | 2.7E-4 | 0.004909227 | 0.005071599 | 0.005429773 | 1.0706235 | 3.6E-4 |
6.4 | 5.144063E-6 | 5.3000763E-6 | 7.529971E-5 | 14.207288 | 7.0E-5 | 2.2045799E-5 | 2.2714434E-5 | 9.271284E-5 | 4.0816708 | 7.0E-5 | 2.6837454E-4 | 2.765166E-4 | 3.7648893E-4 | 1.361542 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0026805066 | 0.0027620657 | 0.0029216239 | 1.0577676 | 1.6E-4 |
6.5 | 5.144063E-6 | 5.3000763E-6 | 7.529971E-5 | 14.207288 | 7.0E-5 | 2.2045799E-5 | 2.2714434E-5 | 9.271284E-5 | 4.0816708 | 7.0E-5 | 2.6837454E-4 | 2.765166E-4 | 3.7648893E-4 | 1.361542 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0026805066 | 0.0027620657 | 0.0029216239 | 1.0577676 | 1.6E-4 |
6.6 | 3.4009804E-6 | 3.498786E-6 | 7.3498544E-5 | 21.006868 | 7.0E-5 | 1.4575549E-5 | 1.4994721E-5 | 8.499367E-5 | 5.6682396 | 7.0E-5 | 1.7744285E-4 | 1.8254704E-4 | 2.6253244E-4 | 1.4381633 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0017730123 | 0.0018241286 | 0.0019439097 | 1.0656649 | 1.2E-4 |
6.7 | 3.3880428E-6 | 3.4856528E-6 | 7.348541E-5 | 21.082253 | 7.0E-5 | 1.4520103E-5 | 1.4938435E-5 | 8.493739E-5 | 5.685829 | 7.0E-5 | 1.767679E-4 | 1.8186188E-4 | 2.6184734E-4 | 1.4398143 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0017662736 | 0.0018172882 | 0.0019370702 | 1.0659125 | 1.2E-4 |
6.8 | 2.6582E-6 | 2.7337003E-6 | 6.273354E-5 | 22.948214 | 6.0E-5 | 1.1392236E-5 | 1.1715813E-5 | 7.171511E-5 | 6.1212234 | 6.0E-5 | 1.3869164E-4 | 1.4263204E-4 | 2.1262205E-4 | 1.4907033 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0013860512 | 0.0014255369 | 0.0015154086 | 1.0630441 | 9.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.406011E-6 | 2.4743288E-6 | 5.2474206E-5 | 21.20745 | 5.0E-5 | 1.0311434E-5 | 1.0604231E-5 | 6.06037E-5 | 5.7150493 | 5.0E-5 | 1.2553448E-4 | 1.2910018E-4 | 1.8909243E-4 | 1.4646953 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0012546359 | 0.0012903814 | 0.0013702782 | 1.0619172 | 8.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.6953097E-6 | 1.7429371E-6 | 3.1742886E-5 | 18.212294 | 3.0E-5 | 7.265593E-6 | 7.469715E-6 | 3.746949E-5 | 5.016187 | 3.0E-5 | 8.8455E-5 | 9.094104E-5 | 1.20938304E-4 | 1.3298541 | 3.0E-5 | 8.84198E-4 | 9.09141E-4 | 9.491046E-4 | 1.0439576 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.5013824E-7 | 3.5714822E-7 | 1.0357145E-5 | 28.999569 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5005916E-6 | 1.5306344E-6 | 1.1530619E-5 | 7.533229 | 1.0E-5 | 1.826955E-5 | 1.8635317E-5 | 2.8635131E-5 | 1.5366055 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8268047E-4 | 1.863378E-4 | 1.9633592E-4 | 1.053656 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.2321095E-7 | 2.2750574E-7 | 2.2750574E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.56618E-7 | 9.750242E-7 | 9.750242E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1646762E-5 | 1.1870856E-5 | 1.1870856E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1646151E-4 | 1.1870232E-4 | 1.1870232E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.5760406E-7 | 1.6060922E-7 | 1.6060922E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7544585E-7 | 6.8832503E-7 | 6.8832503E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.223522E-6 | 8.380326E-6 | 8.380326E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2232174E-5 | 8.3800165E-5 | 8.3800165E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.1216497E-7 | 1.1431706E-7 | 1.1431706E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8070694E-7 | 4.899302E-7 | 4.899302E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.852591E-6 | 5.964884E-6 | 5.964884E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8524372E-5 | 5.9647282E-5 | 5.9647282E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.885185E-8 | 4.9787737E-8 | 4.9787737E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0936506E-7 | 2.13376E-7 | 2.13376E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5490165E-6 | 2.59785E-6 | 2.59785E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5489873E-5 | 2.5978214E-5 | 2.5978214E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.504641E-9 | 1.5317903E-9 | 1.5317903E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4484613E-9 | 6.5648154E-9 | 6.5648154E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.851001E-8 | 7.992663E-8 | 7.992663E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8509987E-7 | 7.992663E-7 | 7.992663E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (San Bernardino)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.598562E-5 | 1.7598057E-4 | 4.890303 | 1.4E-4 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.5421498E-4 | 3.341872E-4 | 2.1670218 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0017774 | 0.0018759521 | 0.0020855581 | 1.1117332 | 2.1E-4 | 0.01763251 | 0.019349992 | 0.019673608 | 1.0167242 | 3.3E-4 |
6.1 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.598562E-5 | 1.7598057E-4 | 4.890303 | 1.4E-4 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.5421498E-4 | 3.341872E-4 | 2.1670218 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0017774 | 0.0018759521 | 0.0020855581 | 1.1117332 | 2.1E-4 | 0.01763251 | 0.019349992 | 0.019673608 | 1.0167242 | 3.3E-4 |
6.2 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.598562E-5 | 1.7598057E-4 | 4.890303 | 1.4E-4 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.5421498E-4 | 3.341872E-4 | 2.1670218 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0017774 | 0.0018759521 | 0.0020855581 | 1.1117332 | 2.1E-4 | 0.01763251 | 0.019349992 | 0.019673608 | 1.0167242 | 3.3E-4 |
6.3 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.598562E-5 | 1.7598057E-4 | 4.890303 | 1.4E-4 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.5421498E-4 | 3.341872E-4 | 2.1670218 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0017774 | 0.0018759521 | 0.0020855581 | 1.1117332 | 2.1E-4 | 0.01763251 | 0.019349992 | 0.019673608 | 1.0167242 | 3.3E-4 |
6.4 | 3.400795E-5 | 3.5878285E-5 | 1.7587325E-4 | 4.901942 | 1.4E-4 | 1.4574021E-4 | 1.5375503E-4 | 3.3372734E-4 | 2.1705134 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0017729428 | 0.0018703619 | 0.002079969 | 1.1120677 | 2.1E-4 | 0.017588645 | 0.019295074 | 0.019618707 | 1.0167729 | 3.3E-4 |
6.5 | 3.341482E-5 | 3.5138914E-5 | 1.75134E-4 | 4.984047 | 1.4E-4 | 1.4319851E-4 | 1.5058667E-4 | 3.3055956E-4 | 2.195145 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0017420477 | 0.0018318522 | 0.0020414675 | 1.114428 | 2.1E-4 | 0.017284546 | 0.018916616 | 0.019230563 | 1.0165963 | 3.2E-4 |
6.6 | 3.3364955E-5 | 3.5076133E-5 | 1.7507123E-4 | 4.991178 | 1.4E-4 | 1.4298483E-4 | 1.5031763E-4 | 3.3029058E-4 | 2.1972842 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0017394501 | 0.0018285823 | 0.0020381983 | 1.1146331 | 2.1E-4 | 0.017258976 | 0.01888448 | 0.019198438 | 1.0166252 | 3.2E-4 |
6.7 | 3.335922E-5 | 3.5065907E-5 | 1.75061E-4 | 4.992342 | 1.4E-4 | 1.4296026E-4 | 1.5027382E-4 | 3.3024675E-4 | 2.1976335 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0017391514 | 0.0018280497 | 0.0020376658 | 1.1146666 | 2.1E-4 | 0.017256035 | 0.018879272 | 0.01919323 | 1.0166298 | 3.2E-4 |
6.8 | 3.327683E-5 | 3.4959972E-5 | 1.7495507E-4 | 5.00444 | 1.4E-4 | 1.4260718E-4 | 1.4981985E-4 | 3.2979288E-4 | 2.201263 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0017348597 | 0.001822532 | 0.0020321494 | 1.1150143 | 2.1E-4 | 0.017213784 | 0.018825045 | 0.01913902 | 1.0166787 | 3.2E-4 |
6.9 | 3.3235785E-5 | 3.4900928E-5 | 1.7489603E-4 | 5.0112147 | 1.4E-4 | 1.4243131E-4 | 1.4956683E-4 | 3.295399E-4 | 2.2032955 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0017327217 | 0.0018194567 | 0.0020290746 | 1.1152091 | 2.1E-4 | 0.017192734 | 0.018794911 | 0.019108897 | 1.0167059 | 3.2E-4 |
7.0 | 3.3197095E-5 | 3.4840854E-5 | 1.7483598E-4 | 5.018131 | 1.4E-4 | 1.422655E-4 | 1.4930942E-4 | 3.2928254E-4 | 2.2053702 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0017307063 | 0.0018163278 | 0.0020259465 | 1.115408 | 2.1E-4 | 0.017172894 | 0.01876429 | 0.019078285 | 1.0167336 | 3.2E-4 |
7.1 | 3.3129716E-5 | 3.4721066E-5 | 1.747162E-4 | 5.0319943 | 1.4E-4 | 1.4197677E-4 | 1.4879608E-4 | 3.287693E-4 | 2.2095292 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0017271966 | 0.0018100884 | 0.0020197083 | 1.1158065 | 2.1E-4 | 0.017138338 | 0.018703366 | 0.01901738 | 1.0167892 | 3.2E-4 |
7.2 | 3.3034008E-5 | 3.4588513E-5 | 1.7458366E-4 | 5.0474467 | 1.4E-4 | 1.4156665E-4 | 1.4822806E-4 | 3.282014E-4 | 2.214165 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0017222111 | 0.0018031843 | 0.0020128055 | 1.1162506 | 2.1E-4 | 0.017089253 | 0.01863575 | 0.018949786 | 1.0168513 | 3.2E-4 |
7.3 | 3.2956614E-5 | 3.4456265E-5 | 1.7445144E-4 | 5.0629816 | 1.4E-4 | 1.4123498E-4 | 1.4766137E-4 | 3.2763477E-4 | 2.2188253 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0017181796 | 0.0017962961 | 0.0020059189 | 1.1166972 | 2.1E-4 | 0.017049557 | 0.018568495 | 0.018882554 | 1.0169135 | 3.2E-4 |
7.4 | 3.2915937E-5 | 3.4377957E-5 | 1.7437314E-4 | 5.0722365 | 1.4E-4 | 1.4106068E-4 | 1.473258E-4 | 3.272993E-4 | 2.221602 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0017160608 | 0.0017922173 | 0.0020018409 | 1.1169633 | 2.1E-4 | 0.017028693 | 0.018528769 | 0.01884284 | 1.0169505 | 3.2E-4 |
7.5 | 3.281791E-5 | 3.424287E-5 | 1.7423807E-4 | 5.088302 | 1.4E-4 | 1.406406E-4 | 1.4674691E-4 | 3.267205E-4 | 2.2264216 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0017109542 | 0.0017851809 | 0.001994806 | 1.1174251 | 2.1E-4 | 0.016978411 | 0.018459652 | 0.018773746 | 1.0170151 | 3.2E-4 |
7.6 | 3.2521442E-5 | 3.396782E-5 | 1.7396307E-4 | 5.121408 | 1.4E-4 | 1.3937015E-4 | 1.4556825E-4 | 3.2554206E-4 | 2.2363534 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0016955109 | 0.0017708542 | 0.0019804824 | 1.1183769 | 2.1E-4 | 0.016826328 | 0.018317295 | 0.018631434 | 1.0171498 | 3.2E-4 |
7.7 | 3.0287873E-5 | 3.245191E-5 | 1.7244737E-4 | 5.3139358 | 1.4E-4 | 1.297987E-4 | 1.3907222E-4 | 3.0904857E-4 | 2.2222166 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0015791537 | 0.0016918903 | 0.0018915519 | 1.118011 | 2.0E-4 | 0.01567979 | 0.017528199 | 0.017832765 | 1.0173758 | 3.1E-4 |
7.8 | 2.6316151E-5 | 2.9662837E-5 | 1.6965868E-4 | 5.7195706 | 1.4E-4 | 1.1277862E-4 | 1.2712025E-4 | 2.9709865E-4 | 2.3371465 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0013722149 | 0.0015465913 | 0.001746282 | 1.1291167 | 2.0E-4 | 0.013637724 | 0.016069878 | 0.016374895 | 1.0189807 | 3.1E-4 |
7.9 | 2.0761147E-5 | 2.3417291E-5 | 1.4341448E-4 | 6.1242986 | 1.2E-4 | 8.897331E-5 | 1.0035596E-4 | 2.503409E-4 | 2.4945295 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0010827117 | 0.0012211498 | 0.0013909423 | 1.1390431 | 1.7E-4 | 0.010774517 | 0.012793272 | 0.013069689 | 1.0216064 | 2.8E-4 |
8.0 | 1.5738568E-5 | 1.6032505E-5 | 5.6031866E-5 | 3.4948914 | 4.0E-5 | 6.744926E-5 | 6.8708934E-5 | 1.18705495E-4 | 1.7276574 | 5.0E-5 | 8.2088535E-4 | 8.3621085E-4 | 8.961607E-4 | 1.0716922 | 6.0E-5 | 0.008178596 | 0.008865741 | 0.008984677 | 1.0134152 | 1.2E-4 |
8.1 | 1.0105832E-5 | 8.329479E-6 | 2.8329312E-5 | 3.4010906 | 2.0E-5 | 4.3309992E-5 | 3.569728E-5 | 6.569621E-5 | 1.8403702 | 3.0E-5 | 5.2717153E-4 | 4.3452822E-4 | 4.7451083E-4 | 1.0920138 | 4.0E-5 | 0.005259227 | 0.0046768794 | 0.0047365986 | 1.0127691 | 6.0E-5 |
8.2 | 4.189207E-6 | 1.577699E-6 | 1.577699E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7953622E-5 | 6.7615497E-6 | 6.7615497E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1856341E-4 | 8.231879E-5 | 8.231879E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021834858 | 9.562628E-4 | 9.562628E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2758221E-6 | 3.612677E-7 | 3.612677E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4677976E-6 | 1.5482892E-6 | 1.5482892E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.65684E-5 | 1.8850264E-5 | 1.8850264E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6548464E-4 | 2.2739546E-4 | 2.2739546E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Manix-Afton Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.3783202E-5 | 1.47110895E-5 | 1.2470948E-4 | 8.477242 | 1.1E-4 | 5.906953E-5 | 6.30461E-5 | 1.9303791E-4 | 3.0618532 | 1.3E-4 | 7.189342E-4 | 7.6733343E-4 | 9.871647E-4 | 1.2864872 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0071661277 | 0.007648596 | 0.007966149 | 1.0415177 | 3.2E-4 |
6.1 | 1.3783202E-5 | 1.47110895E-5 | 1.2470948E-4 | 8.477242 | 1.1E-4 | 5.906953E-5 | 6.30461E-5 | 1.9303791E-4 | 3.0618532 | 1.3E-4 | 7.189342E-4 | 7.6733343E-4 | 9.871647E-4 | 1.2864872 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0071661277 | 0.007648596 | 0.007966149 | 1.0415177 | 3.2E-4 |
6.2 | 1.3783202E-5 | 1.47110895E-5 | 1.2470948E-4 | 8.477242 | 1.1E-4 | 5.906953E-5 | 6.30461E-5 | 1.9303791E-4 | 3.0618532 | 1.3E-4 | 7.189342E-4 | 7.6733343E-4 | 9.871647E-4 | 1.2864872 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0071661277 | 0.007648596 | 0.007966149 | 1.0415177 | 3.2E-4 |
6.3 | 1.10494875E-5 | 1.1793136E-5 | 1.1179195E-4 | 9.479409 | 1.0E-4 | 4.7354086E-5 | 5.054109E-5 | 1.6053554E-4 | 3.176337 | 1.1E-4 | 5.763835E-4 | 6.151744E-4 | 7.8506983E-4 | 1.2761744 | 1.7E-4 | 0.005748908 | 0.0061357557 | 0.0063842214 | 1.0404948 | 2.5E-4 |
6.4 | 1.10494875E-5 | 1.1793136E-5 | 1.1179195E-4 | 9.479409 | 1.0E-4 | 4.7354086E-5 | 5.054109E-5 | 1.6053554E-4 | 3.176337 | 1.1E-4 | 5.763835E-4 | 6.151744E-4 | 7.8506983E-4 | 1.2761744 | 1.7E-4 | 0.005748908 | 0.0061357557 | 0.0063842214 | 1.0404948 | 2.5E-4 |
6.5 | 9.788949E-6 | 1.045432E-5 | 8.045359E-5 | 7.695727 | 7.0E-5 | 4.1951964E-5 | 4.480351E-5 | 1.2479993E-4 | 2.7854943 | 8.0E-5 | 5.1064545E-4 | 5.453555E-4 | 6.752846E-4 | 1.2382467 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0050947363 | 0.0054410985 | 0.005649956 | 1.0383852 | 2.1E-4 |
6.6 | 8.810006E-6 | 9.4136285E-6 | 7.941297E-5 | 8.435958 | 7.0E-5 | 3.775662E-5 | 4.0343548E-5 | 1.2034032E-4 | 2.982889 | 8.0E-5 | 4.5958988E-4 | 4.9108086E-4 | 6.1102194E-4 | 1.244239 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0045864056 | 0.004900839 | 0.005079957 | 1.0365484 | 1.8E-4 |
6.7 | 8.80128E-6 | 9.404108E-6 | 7.940345E-5 | 8.443485 | 7.0E-5 | 3.7719226E-5 | 4.0302748E-5 | 1.20299526E-4 | 2.9848964 | 8.0E-5 | 4.591348E-4 | 4.9058435E-4 | 6.105255E-4 | 1.2444862 | 1.2E-4 | 0.004581874 | 0.0048958957 | 0.0050750147 | 1.0365855 | 1.8E-4 |
6.8 | 6.8994877E-6 | 7.380076E-6 | 6.737963E-5 | 9.129937 | 6.0E-5 | 2.9568899E-5 | 3.162856E-5 | 9.1626665E-5 | 2.8969598 | 6.0E-5 | 3.5994186E-4 | 3.8501783E-4 | 4.8497933E-4 | 1.2596282 | 1.0E-4 | 0.003593594 | 0.0038443129 | 0.0039837747 | 1.0362774 | 1.4E-4 |
6.9 | 4.9328037E-6 | 5.2709615E-6 | 5.52707E-5 | 10.485886 | 5.0E-5 | 2.1140417E-5 | 2.2589675E-5 | 7.258855E-5 | 3.2133508 | 5.0E-5 | 2.5735417E-4 | 2.7500073E-4 | 3.5497872E-4 | 1.2908283 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0025705635 | 0.0027472095 | 0.0028569072 | 1.0399306 | 1.1E-4 |
7.0 | 3.347973E-6 | 3.59003E-6 | 5.358985E-5 | 14.92741 | 5.0E-5 | 1.4348378E-5 | 1.5385775E-5 | 6.538501E-5 | 4.249705 | 5.0E-5 | 1.746775E-4 | 1.8730981E-4 | 2.572967E-4 | 1.3736424 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0017454025 | 0.0018719219 | 0.0019617535 | 1.0479889 | 9.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.2073567E-6 | 1.293482E-6 | 1.12934695E-5 | 8.73106 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1743755E-6 | 5.543492E-6 | 1.5543437E-5 | 2.8039072 | 1.0E-5 | 6.29962E-5 | 6.749156E-5 | 7.7490884E-5 | 1.1481566 | 1.0E-5 | 6.297835E-4 | 6.7487074E-4 | 6.84864E-4 | 1.0148077 | 1.0E-5 |
White Wolf (Extension)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.222555E-6 | 6.066615E-6 | 8.606613E-5 | 14.186846 | 8.0E-5 | 3.5239045E-5 | 2.5999556E-5 | 1.5599618E-4 | 5.999955 | 1.3E-4 | 4.289509E-4 | 3.1650523E-4 | 5.1644194E-4 | 1.6317011 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0042812387 | 0.0031611966 | 0.0034602482 | 1.0946008 | 3.0E-4 |
6.1 | 8.222555E-6 | 6.066615E-6 | 8.606613E-5 | 14.186846 | 8.0E-5 | 3.5239045E-5 | 2.5999556E-5 | 1.5599618E-4 | 5.999955 | 1.3E-4 | 4.289509E-4 | 3.1650523E-4 | 5.1644194E-4 | 1.6317011 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0042812387 | 0.0031611966 | 0.0034602482 | 1.0946008 | 3.0E-4 |
6.2 | 8.222555E-6 | 6.066615E-6 | 8.606613E-5 | 14.186846 | 8.0E-5 | 3.5239045E-5 | 2.5999556E-5 | 1.5599618E-4 | 5.999955 | 1.3E-4 | 4.289509E-4 | 3.1650523E-4 | 5.1644194E-4 | 1.6317011 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0042812387 | 0.0031611966 | 0.0034602482 | 1.0946008 | 3.0E-4 |
6.3 | 8.222555E-6 | 6.066615E-6 | 8.606613E-5 | 14.186846 | 8.0E-5 | 3.5239045E-5 | 2.5999556E-5 | 1.5599618E-4 | 5.999955 | 1.3E-4 | 4.289509E-4 | 3.1650523E-4 | 5.1644194E-4 | 1.6317011 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0042812387 | 0.0031611966 | 0.0034602482 | 1.0946008 | 3.0E-4 |
6.4 | 5.821773E-6 | 3.5571256E-6 | 3.355702E-5 | 9.433745 | 3.0E-5 | 2.4950215E-5 | 1.5244741E-5 | 9.524352E-5 | 6.247631 | 8.0E-5 | 3.0372653E-4 | 1.8559002E-4 | 3.0556775E-4 | 1.6464665 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0030331176 | 0.0018544586 | 0.0020241432 | 1.091501 | 1.7E-4 |
6.5 | 5.766023E-6 | 3.4990599E-6 | 3.3498956E-5 | 9.573702 | 3.0E-5 | 2.4711293E-5 | 1.49958905E-5 | 9.499469E-5 | 6.334715 | 8.0E-5 | 3.0081844E-4 | 1.8256076E-4 | 3.0253886E-4 | 1.6571953 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0030041158 | 0.0018242161 | 0.001993906 | 1.0930207 | 1.7E-4 |
6.6 | 4.643576E-6 | 2.3325733E-6 | 2.2332526E-5 | 9.574202 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9900888E-5 | 9.9967065E-6 | 6.999611E-5 | 7.001917 | 6.0E-5 | 2.4226638E-4 | 1.2170354E-4 | 2.1169258E-4 | 1.739412 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0024200242 | 0.0012164112 | 0.0013462531 | 1.1067418 | 1.3E-4 |
6.7 | 3.9529173E-6 | 1.6482975E-6 | 1.1648281E-5 | 7.066856 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6940963E-5 | 7.064114E-6 | 5.706376E-5 | 8.077978 | 5.0E-5 | 2.0623671E-4 | 8.600239E-5 | 1.5599636E-4 | 1.8138609 | 7.0E-5 | 0.002060454 | 8.597095E-4 | 9.5962355E-4 | 1.1162183 | 1.0E-4 |
6.8 | 3.4377522E-6 | 1.2244764E-6 | 1.2244764E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.473314E-5 | 5.247746E-6 | 3.5247587E-5 | 6.7167106 | 3.0E-5 | 1.7936122E-4 | 6.388952E-5 | 1.1388633E-4 | 1.7825509 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0017921652 | 6.3872064E-4 | 7.0867594E-4 | 1.1095241 | 7.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.1367306E-6 | 1.0033316E-6 | 1.0033316E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3443062E-5 | 4.299986E-6 | 2.42999E-5 | 5.6511583 | 2.0E-5 | 1.63657E-4 | 5.2351144E-5 | 8.234957E-5 | 1.5730233 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0016353652 | 5.233958E-4 | 5.733696E-4 | 1.09548 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.8298145E-6 | 7.4282326E-7 | 7.4282326E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2127721E-5 | 3.1835248E-6 | 1.3183493E-5 | 4.1411624 | 1.0E-5 | 1.47645E-4 | 3.8758775E-5 | 5.8758E-5 | 1.5159922 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014754693 | 3.8752513E-4 | 4.2750963E-4 | 1.1031791 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.4091064E-6 | 5.4223835E-7 | 5.4223835E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.03247E-5 | 2.3238767E-6 | 1.2323853E-5 | 5.303144 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2569598E-4 | 2.8292874E-5 | 4.829231E-5 | 1.7068717 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001256249 | 2.8289677E-4 | 3.2288543E-4 | 1.1413543 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.3875518E-6 | 1.0740268E-7 | 1.0740268E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9466374E-6 | 4.6029712E-7 | 4.6029712E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.23979E-5 | 5.604104E-6 | 5.604104E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2374323E-4 | 5.6039742E-5 | 7.603862E-5 | 1.3568696 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.056077E-7 | 5.0002956E-8 | 5.0002956E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0240296E-6 | 2.1429837E-7 | 2.1429837E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.681694E-5 | 2.60908E-6 | 2.60908E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.681084E-4 | 2.609054E-5 | 3.609028E-5 | 1.3832706 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 5.9334678E-8 | 4.8638475E-9 | 4.8638475E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5429145E-7 | 2.084506E-8 | 2.084506E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.095994E-6 | 2.5378858E-7 | 2.5378858E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.095951E-5 | 2.5378843E-6 | 2.5378843E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.986481E-4 | 0.0012275929 | 0.0012875192 | 1.0488161 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0025631124 | 0.005245547 | 0.005335075 | 1.0170674 | 9.0E-5 | 0.030762846 | 0.06120491 | 0.061364505 | 1.0026076 | 1.7E-4 | 0.26835477 | 0.42593494 | 0.42608994 | 1.000364 | 2.7E-4 |
6.1 | 5.015945E-4 | 0.0010217986 | 0.0010717475 | 1.0488833 | 5.0E-5 | 0.00214792 | 0.0043678596 | 0.00444751 | 1.0182356 | 8.0E-5 | 0.025839351 | 0.05124837 | 0.05139068 | 1.002777 | 1.5E-4 | 0.23032776 | 0.37285668 | 0.37301347 | 1.0004205 | 2.5E-4 |
6.2 | 4.073338E-4 | 8.1073755E-4 | 8.507051E-4 | 1.0492978 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0017445484 | 0.0034671477 | 0.003536905 | 1.0201195 | 7.0E-5 | 0.021034058 | 0.04093317 | 0.041057847 | 1.0030459 | 1.3E-4 | 0.19150782 | 0.31303346 | 0.31319147 | 1.0005047 | 2.3E-4 |
6.3 | 3.464099E-4 | 6.7391695E-4 | 7.1389E-4 | 1.0593145 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0014837692 | 0.0028829593 | 0.0029527575 | 1.0242106 | 7.0E-5 | 0.017915873 | 0.034189582 | 0.034315135 | 1.0036724 | 1.3E-4 | 0.16538359 | 0.2713166 | 0.27148417 | 1.0006177 | 2.3E-4 |
6.4 | 2.935057E-4 | 5.5442745E-4 | 5.944053E-4 | 1.0721065 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0012572751 | 0.0023725363 | 0.0024423702 | 1.0294343 | 7.0E-5 | 0.015200248 | 0.02826451 | 0.028390836 | 1.0044694 | 1.3E-4 | 0.14201577 | 0.23298529 | 0.2331617 | 1.0007572 | 2.3E-4 |
6.5 | 2.3409708E-4 | 4.2093755E-4 | 4.609207E-4 | 1.094986 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0010028875 | 0.0018019684 | 0.0018718423 | 1.0387764 | 7.0E-5 | 0.012141965 | 0.021587461 | 0.021714656 | 1.005892 | 1.3E-4 | 0.11499573 | 0.18682368 | 0.1870107 | 1.0010011 | 2.3E-4 |
6.6 | 1.5842178E-4 | 2.506933E-4 | 2.9068327E-4 | 1.1595175 | 4.0E-5 | 6.7877385E-4 | 0.0010739497 | 0.0011338854 | 1.0558085 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0082328 | 0.012995575 | 0.013104145 | 1.0083544 | 1.1E-4 | 0.07934396 | 0.12314638 | 0.12332175 | 1.0014241 | 2.0E-4 |
6.7 | 1.5616413E-4 | 2.4605883E-4 | 2.8604898E-4 | 1.1625228 | 4.0E-5 | 6.691031E-4 | 0.0010541069 | 0.0011140436 | 1.0568602 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0081159435 | 0.01275744 | 0.012866037 | 1.0085124 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0782586 | 0.12117351 | 0.121349275 | 1.0014505 | 2.0E-4 |
6.8 | 1.5538467E-4 | 2.4429744E-4 | 2.8428767E-4 | 1.1636949 | 4.0E-5 | 6.6576427E-4 | 0.0010465645 | 0.0011065018 | 1.0572704 | 6.0E-5 | 0.008075596 | 0.012666838 | 0.012775445 | 1.0085741 | 1.1E-4 | 0.07788358 | 0.120404355 | 0.12058027 | 1.001461 | 2.0E-4 |
6.9 | 1.5153569E-4 | 2.3539034E-4 | 2.753809E-4 | 1.1698905 | 4.0E-5 | 6.49277E-4 | 0.0010084276 | 0.0010683672 | 1.0594386 | 6.0E-5 | 0.007876333 | 0.01220901 | 0.012317668 | 1.0088997 | 1.1E-4 | 0.07602952 | 0.11647445 | 0.116651155 | 1.001517 | 2.0E-4 |
7.0 | 1.4588932E-4 | 2.2396253E-4 | 2.6395358E-4 | 1.1785613 | 4.0E-5 | 6.250901E-4 | 9.5948833E-4 | 0.0010194308 | 1.0624733 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0075839474 | 0.011619697 | 0.011728419 | 1.0093567 | 1.1E-4 | 0.073302895 | 0.11132046 | 0.11149819 | 1.0015966 | 2.0E-4 |
7.1 | 1.1565079E-4 | 1.6281738E-4 | 2.0281087E-4 | 1.245634 | 4.0E-5 | 4.955521E-4 | 6.9760304E-4 | 7.4756815E-4 | 1.071624 | 5.0E-5 | 0.006016669 | 0.0084604435 | 0.008559597 | 1.0117197 | 1.0E-4 | 0.058563538 | 0.08367046 | 0.0838354 | 1.0019712 | 1.8E-4 |
7.2 | 1.0393792E-4 | 1.4615769E-4 | 1.8615184E-4 | 1.273637 | 4.0E-5 | 4.4537216E-4 | 6.2624045E-4 | 6.7620917E-4 | 1.0797915 | 5.0E-5 | 0.005408933 | 0.0075979927 | 0.007697233 | 1.0130614 | 1.0E-4 | 0.052791595 | 0.07561969 | 0.07577684 | 1.002078 | 1.7E-4 |
7.3 | 9.332884E-5 | 1.2780898E-4 | 1.6780387E-4 | 1.312927 | 4.0E-5 | 3.999194E-4 | 5.4763845E-4 | 5.9761107E-4 | 1.0912511 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0048581534 | 0.006647249 | 0.006746584 | 1.0149438 | 1.0E-4 | 0.047533102 | 0.06648326 | 0.06664196 | 1.002387 | 1.7E-4 |
7.4 | 8.670252E-5 | 1.17032345E-4 | 1.5702767E-4 | 1.3417459 | 4.0E-5 | 3.715293E-4 | 5.0147134E-4 | 5.514463E-4 | 1.0996566 | 5.0E-5 | 0.004513991 | 0.006088443 | 0.0061878343 | 1.0163245 | 1.0E-4 | 0.044233937 | 0.061151642 | 0.06131125 | 1.00261 | 1.7E-4 |
7.5 | 7.3036405E-5 | 9.005856E-5 | 1.3005496E-4 | 1.4441154 | 4.0E-5 | 3.129756E-4 | 3.8590826E-4 | 4.3588897E-4 | 1.1295145 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0038038217 | 0.0046883323 | 0.0047779107 | 1.0191066 | 9.0E-5 | 0.03739367 | 0.047877792 | 0.048020612 | 1.002983 | 1.5E-4 |
7.6 | 6.3935775E-5 | 8.280385E-5 | 1.2280053E-4 | 1.4830294 | 4.0E-5 | 2.7398168E-4 | 3.5482543E-4 | 4.0480768E-4 | 1.1408644 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0033306254 | 0.004311461 | 0.0044010733 | 1.0207846 | 9.0E-5 | 0.032811474 | 0.04399201 | 0.04413541 | 1.0032597 | 1.5E-4 |
7.7 | 5.5050095E-5 | 6.6618326E-5 | 8.6616994E-5 | 1.3001977 | 2.0E-5 | 2.3590765E-4 | 2.854759E-4 | 3.1546733E-4 | 1.1050577 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0028683927 | 0.003470134 | 0.0035299256 | 1.0172304 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0283165 | 0.035796214 | 0.035911918 | 1.0032324 | 1.2E-4 |
7.8 | 5.027131E-5 | 6.162871E-5 | 8.162747E-5 | 1.3245041 | 2.0E-5 | 2.1543067E-4 | 2.640963E-4 | 2.940884E-4 | 1.113565 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0026197135 | 0.003210635 | 0.0032604744 | 1.0155232 | 5.0E-5 | 0.025890453 | 0.03312666 | 0.033233017 | 1.0032105 | 1.1E-4 |
7.9 | 3.7271806E-5 | 5.022507E-5 | 7.0224065E-5 | 1.3981875 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5972654E-4 | 2.1523255E-4 | 2.4522608E-4 | 1.1393541 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0019429359 | 0.002617309 | 0.0026671784 | 1.0190536 | 5.0E-5 | 0.019260362 | 0.027067466 | 0.027164757 | 1.0035945 | 1.0E-4 |
8.0 | 2.7310243E-5 | 3.1427757E-5 | 4.1427444E-5 | 1.3181801 | 1.0E-5 | 1.17038646E-4 | 1.3468343E-4 | 1.5468075E-4 | 1.1484764 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014240141 | 0.0016385383 | 0.0016684892 | 1.018279 | 3.0E-5 | 0.014149235 | 0.01721386 | 0.017262999 | 1.0028546 | 5.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.7940547E-5 | 1.7399378E-5 | 1.7399378E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.688579E-5 | 7.456663E-5 | 7.456663E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3568244E-4 | 9.074711E-4 | 9.074711E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009317525 | 0.009798636 | 0.009808538 | 1.0010105 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.473668E-6 | 5.473668E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3458366E-5 | 2.3458366E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8556827E-4 | 2.8556827E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0032481793 | 0.0032481793 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.6564595E-7 | 7.6564595E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.281336E-6 | 3.281336E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.9949547E-5 | 3.9949547E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.717979E-4 | 4.717979E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Mission Creek
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6322783E-5 | 1.0632131E-4 | 6.5136757 | 9.0E-5 | 4.9496433E-5 | 6.995299E-5 | 1.69946E-4 | 2.4294314 | 1.0E-4 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.5135986E-4 | 0.0010312067 | 1.2112465 | 1.8E-4 | 0.006008218 | 0.008510157 | 0.008758029 | 1.0291266 | 2.5E-4 |
6.1 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6322783E-5 | 1.0632131E-4 | 6.5136757 | 9.0E-5 | 4.9496433E-5 | 6.995299E-5 | 1.69946E-4 | 2.4294314 | 1.0E-4 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.5135986E-4 | 0.0010312067 | 1.2112465 | 1.8E-4 | 0.006008218 | 0.008510157 | 0.008758029 | 1.0291266 | 2.5E-4 |
6.2 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6322783E-5 | 1.0632131E-4 | 6.5136757 | 9.0E-5 | 4.9496433E-5 | 6.995299E-5 | 1.69946E-4 | 2.4294314 | 1.0E-4 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.5135986E-4 | 0.0010312067 | 1.2112465 | 1.8E-4 | 0.006008218 | 0.008510157 | 0.008758029 | 1.0291266 | 2.5E-4 |
6.3 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6322783E-5 | 1.0632131E-4 | 6.5136757 | 9.0E-5 | 4.9496433E-5 | 6.995299E-5 | 1.69946E-4 | 2.4294314 | 1.0E-4 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.5135986E-4 | 0.0010312067 | 1.2112465 | 1.8E-4 | 0.006008218 | 0.008510157 | 0.008758029 | 1.0291266 | 2.5E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6322783E-5 | 1.0632131E-4 | 6.5136757 | 9.0E-5 | 4.9496433E-5 | 6.995299E-5 | 1.69946E-4 | 2.4294314 | 1.0E-4 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.5135986E-4 | 0.0010312067 | 1.2112465 | 1.8E-4 | 0.006008218 | 0.008510157 | 0.008758029 | 1.0291266 | 2.5E-4 |
6.5 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6322783E-5 | 1.0632131E-4 | 6.5136757 | 9.0E-5 | 4.9496433E-5 | 6.995299E-5 | 1.69946E-4 | 2.4294314 | 1.0E-4 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.5135986E-4 | 0.0010312067 | 1.2112465 | 1.8E-4 | 0.006008218 | 0.008510157 | 0.008758029 | 1.0291266 | 2.5E-4 |
6.6 | 9.202681E-6 | 1.3846059E-5 | 1.0384481E-4 | 7.4999547 | 9.0E-5 | 3.9439463E-5 | 5.9338956E-5 | 1.5933302E-4 | 2.6851337 | 1.0E-4 | 4.800697E-4 | 7.2222133E-4 | 9.020913E-4 | 1.2490511 | 1.8E-4 | 0.004790339 | 0.0072273402 | 0.0074755335 | 1.0343409 | 2.5E-4 |
6.7 | 9.019164E-6 | 1.3651728E-5 | 1.036505E-4 | 7.5924816 | 9.0E-5 | 3.8652986E-5 | 5.8506146E-5 | 1.5850029E-4 | 2.7091222 | 1.0E-4 | 4.7049852E-4 | 7.1208854E-4 | 8.9196034E-4 | 1.2525976 | 1.8E-4 | 0.004695036 | 0.0071266647 | 0.0073748827 | 1.0348295 | 2.5E-4 |
6.8 | 8.673558E-6 | 1.3273839E-5 | 1.0327264E-4 | 7.7801642 | 9.0E-5 | 3.717186E-5 | 5.688669E-5 | 1.56881E-4 | 2.7577806 | 1.0E-4 | 4.524734E-4 | 6.923842E-4 | 8.7225955E-4 | 1.2597913 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0045155324 | 0.0069308523 | 0.0071791196 | 1.0358206 | 2.5E-4 |
6.9 | 7.002255E-6 | 1.1478069E-5 | 1.0147704E-4 | 8.840951 | 9.0E-5 | 3.000932E-5 | 4.9190832E-5 | 1.4918591E-4 | 3.0327992 | 1.0E-4 | 3.653022E-4 | 5.9874065E-4 | 7.6863886E-4 | 1.2837592 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0036470229 | 0.005999676 | 0.0062183556 | 1.0364486 | 2.2E-4 |
7.0 | 5.84644E-6 | 9.675359E-6 | 9.9674486E-5 | 10.30189 | 9.0E-5 | 2.5055931E-5 | 4.146519E-5 | 1.4146105E-4 | 3.4115613 | 1.0E-4 | 3.0501327E-4 | 5.047263E-4 | 6.746405E-4 | 1.3366462 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0030459496 | 0.005063994 | 0.00528288 | 1.043224 | 2.2E-4 |
7.1 | 5.54703E-6 | 9.329834E-6 | 9.9328994E-5 | 10.646384 | 9.0E-5 | 2.377277E-5 | 3.9984414E-5 | 1.3998042E-4 | 3.5008745 | 1.0E-4 | 2.8939504E-4 | 4.8670598E-4 | 6.566232E-4 | 1.3491168 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0028901845 | 0.0048845876 | 0.0051035127 | 1.0448196 | 2.2E-4 |
7.2 | 4.384709E-6 | 7.681918E-6 | 9.768123E-5 | 12.7157345 | 9.0E-5 | 1.8791474E-5 | 3.292211E-5 | 1.3291882E-4 | 4.037372 | 1.0E-4 | 2.2876218E-4 | 4.0075663E-4 | 5.706885E-4 | 1.4240276 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0022852682 | 0.004028542 | 0.0042476556 | 1.0543903 | 2.2E-4 |
7.3 | 3.7888456E-6 | 6.915788E-6 | 9.6915166E-5 | 14.013611 | 9.0E-5 | 1.623781E-5 | 2.9638775E-5 | 1.2963581E-4 | 4.3738585 | 1.0E-4 | 1.9767738E-4 | 3.6079568E-4 | 5.3073437E-4 | 1.4710108 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0019750162 | 0.00363027 | 0.0038395077 | 1.057637 | 2.1E-4 |
7.4 | 2.1982462E-6 | 5.0241033E-6 | 9.502365E-5 | 18.913555 | 9.0E-5 | 9.421021E-6 | 2.1531694E-5 | 1.2152954E-4 | 5.6442165 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1469489E-4 | 2.6211704E-4 | 4.3207247E-4 | 1.6483953 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0011463572 | 0.0026460327 | 0.002855477 | 1.0791541 | 2.1E-4 |
7.5 | 2.051923E-6 | 4.6153277E-6 | 9.4614916E-5 | 20.50015 | 9.0E-5 | 8.793926E-6 | 1.9779825E-5 | 1.1977785E-4 | 6.0555563 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0706078E-4 | 2.4079291E-4 | 4.1075196E-4 | 1.7058308 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0010700922 | 0.0024335932 | 0.002643082 | 1.0860821 | 2.1E-4 |
7.6 | 1.8733427E-6 | 4.1236603E-6 | 9.412329E-5 | 22.825178 | 9.0E-5 | 8.028587E-6 | 1.7672712E-5 | 1.1767094E-4 | 6.6583414 | 1.0E-4 | 9.774366E-5 | 2.151441E-4 | 3.8510753E-4 | 1.789998 | 1.7E-4 | 9.770069E-4 | 0.0021782513 | 0.0023877937 | 1.0961976 | 2.1E-4 |
7.7 | 1.8411953E-6 | 4.0433315E-6 | 9.404297E-5 | 23.258781 | 9.0E-5 | 7.890813E-6 | 1.732845E-5 | 1.17326716E-4 | 6.7707567 | 1.0E-4 | 9.606641E-5 | 2.1095353E-4 | 3.8091766E-4 | 1.8056947 | 1.7E-4 | 9.6024893E-4 | 0.0021365292 | 0.0023460805 | 1.0980803 | 2.1E-4 |
7.8 | 1.7194251E-6 | 3.71068E-6 | 9.371035E-5 | 25.254225 | 9.0E-5 | 7.368944E-6 | 1.5902819E-5 | 1.15901224E-4 | 7.2880936 | 1.0E-4 | 8.97132E-5 | 1.9359968E-4 | 3.6356677E-4 | 1.8779306 | 1.7E-4 | 8.967699E-4 | 0.0019624757 | 0.0021720636 | 1.1067977 | 2.1E-4 |
7.9 | 1.4035052E-6 | 2.9502596E-6 | 9.2949995E-5 | 31.5057 | 9.0E-5 | 6.0150082E-6 | 1.2643909E-5 | 1.1264264E-4 | 8.908847 | 1.0E-4 | 7.3230265E-5 | 1.5392878E-4 | 3.239026E-4 | 2.1042368 | 1.7E-4 | 7.3206134E-4 | 0.0015631174 | 0.001772789 | 1.1341369 | 2.1E-4 |
8.0 | 3.9318823E-7 | 5.528477E-7 | 3.055283E-5 | 55.264458 | 3.0E-5 | 1.6850913E-6 | 2.3693453E-6 | 4.236925E-5 | 17.88226 | 4.0E-5 | 2.0515794E-5 | 2.8846403E-5 | 6.884525E-5 | 2.3866146 | 4.0E-5 | 2.0513899E-4 | 2.990952E-4 | 3.3908326E-4 | 1.1336967 | 4.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.596793E-7 | 1.13775044E-7 | 1.13775044E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8433974E-7 | 4.876072E-7 | 4.876072E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.331805E-6 | 5.936602E-6 | 5.936602E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.331492E-5 | 6.5494125E-5 | 6.5494125E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 4.9003038E-8 | 2.5435753E-8 | 2.5435753E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.10013E-7 | 1.09010365E-7 | 1.09010365E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5569052E-6 | 1.3272004E-6 | 1.3272004E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.556876E-5 | 1.4952613E-5 | 1.4952613E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Scodie Lineament
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.2919327E-6 | 3.0133303E-6 | 4.301321E-5 | 14.274309 | 4.0E-5 | 1.4108206E-5 | 1.2914227E-5 | 1.02913065E-4 | 7.968968 | 9.0E-5 | 1.7175387E-4 | 1.5722254E-4 | 3.3719424E-4 | 2.1446939 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0017162118 | 0.0015714248 | 0.0018110477 | 1.1524876 | 2.4E-4 |
6.1 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.5490382E-6 | 1.1549023E-5 | 7.455609 | 1.0E-5 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.6387206E-6 | 4.6638455E-5 | 7.025217 | 4.0E-5 | 9.738045E-5 | 8.082393E-5 | 1.3081988E-4 | 1.6185787 | 5.0E-5 | 9.7337784E-4 | 8.079941E-4 | 8.7793753E-4 | 1.0865643 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.5490382E-6 | 1.1549023E-5 | 7.455609 | 1.0E-5 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.6387206E-6 | 4.6638455E-5 | 7.025217 | 4.0E-5 | 9.738045E-5 | 8.082393E-5 | 1.3081988E-4 | 1.6185787 | 5.0E-5 | 9.7337784E-4 | 8.079941E-4 | 8.7793753E-4 | 1.0865643 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.5490382E-6 | 1.1549023E-5 | 7.455609 | 1.0E-5 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.6387206E-6 | 4.6638455E-5 | 7.025217 | 4.0E-5 | 9.738045E-5 | 8.082393E-5 | 1.3081988E-4 | 1.6185787 | 5.0E-5 | 9.7337784E-4 | 8.079941E-4 | 8.7793753E-4 | 1.0865643 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.5490382E-6 | 1.1549023E-5 | 7.455609 | 1.0E-5 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.6387206E-6 | 4.6638455E-5 | 7.025217 | 4.0E-5 | 9.738045E-5 | 8.082393E-5 | 1.3081988E-4 | 1.6185787 | 5.0E-5 | 9.7337784E-4 | 8.079941E-4 | 8.7793753E-4 | 1.0865643 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.8106311E-6 | 1.4909722E-6 | 1.1490957E-5 | 7.7070236 | 1.0E-5 | 7.759824E-6 | 6.389868E-6 | 4.6389614E-5 | 7.2598705 | 4.0E-5 | 9.447177E-5 | 7.779436E-5 | 1.2779047E-4 | 1.6426702 | 5.0E-5 | 9.4431615E-4 | 7.7771995E-4 | 8.476655E-4 | 1.0899367 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.2414679E-6 | 8.9974395E-7 | 8.9974395E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.320566E-6 | 3.85604E-6 | 2.3855962E-5 | 6.186648 | 2.0E-5 | 6.477596E-5 | 4.6946367E-5 | 7.694496E-5 | 1.6389971 | 3.0E-5 | 6.475708E-4 | 4.6937316E-4 | 5.093544E-4 | 1.08518 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.1062215E-6 | 7.594193E-7 | 7.594193E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7409408E-6 | 3.2546504E-6 | 2.3254586E-5 | 7.145033 | 2.0E-5 | 5.7719422E-5 | 3.962472E-5 | 6.962353E-5 | 1.7570732 | 3.0E-5 | 5.770443E-4 | 3.9618355E-4 | 4.2617167E-4 | 1.0756925 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0006736E-6 | 6.5002786E-7 | 6.5002786E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.288594E-6 | 2.7858312E-6 | 2.2785776E-5 | 8.179166 | 2.0E-5 | 5.221238E-5 | 3.391703E-5 | 6.391601E-5 | 1.8844814 | 3.0E-5 | 5.220012E-4 | 3.3912458E-4 | 3.6911442E-4 | 1.088433 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.167364E-7 | 5.6315065E-7 | 5.6315065E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9288643E-6 | 2.413501E-6 | 2.2413453E-5 | 9.286697 | 2.0E-5 | 4.7832873E-5 | 2.9384037E-5 | 5.9383154E-5 | 2.0209324 | 3.0E-5 | 4.782258E-4 | 2.9380718E-4 | 3.2379836E-4 | 1.1020778 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.6987664E-7 | 4.113265E-7 | 4.113265E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2994672E-6 | 1.7628269E-6 | 1.176281E-5 | 6.6726966 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0170275E-5 | 2.1462245E-5 | 4.1461815E-5 | 1.931849 | 2.0E-5 | 4.0163012E-4 | 2.1460558E-4 | 2.3460129E-4 | 1.0931742 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.1038727E-7 | 3.5210306E-7 | 3.5210306E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0445133E-6 | 1.5090123E-6 | 1.1508997E-5 | 7.626841 | 1.0E-5 | 3.706632E-5 | 1.8372106E-5 | 3.8371738E-5 | 2.0885868 | 2.0E-5 | 3.7060137E-4 | 1.8370937E-4 | 2.037057E-4 | 1.1088476 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.0799602E-7 | 3.1178534E-8 | 3.1178534E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.914113E-7 | 1.3362228E-7 | 1.3362228E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0852878E-5 | 1.6268501E-6 | 1.6268501E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.08523476E-4 | 1.626839E-5 | 1.626839E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.5048182E-7 | 1.5939106E-8 | 1.5939106E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.449219E-7 | 6.8310456E-8 | 6.8310456E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.851896E-6 | 8.316795E-7 | 8.316795E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.851618E-5 | 8.316767E-6 | 8.316767E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.9334678E-8 | 4.8638475E-9 | 4.8638475E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5429145E-7 | 2.084506E-8 | 2.084506E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.095994E-6 | 2.5378858E-7 | 2.5378858E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.095951E-5 | 2.5378843E-6 | 2.5378843E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Rose Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5923203E-5 | 4.9714607E-5 | 8.9712616E-5 | 1.8045526 | 4.0E-5 | 1.9679888E-4 | 2.1304654E-4 | 2.8303164E-4 | 1.3284967 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0023933933 | 0.0025909478 | 0.002710637 | 1.0461951 | 1.2E-4 | 0.023677798 | 0.025618518 | 0.025784163 | 1.0064658 | 1.7E-4 |
6.1 | 4.5923203E-5 | 4.9714607E-5 | 7.9713114E-5 | 1.6034144 | 3.0E-5 | 1.9679888E-4 | 2.1304654E-4 | 2.7303377E-4 | 1.2815686 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0023933933 | 0.0025909478 | 0.002700663 | 1.0423455 | 1.1E-4 | 0.023677798 | 0.025618518 | 0.025745187 | 1.0049444 | 1.3E-4 |
6.2 | 2.8844734E-5 | 2.9669678E-5 | 3.9669383E-5 | 1.3370345 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2361443E-4 | 1.2714976E-4 | 1.4714722E-4 | 1.1572748 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015039665 | 0.001546976 | 0.0016068832 | 1.0387254 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0149382865 | 0.015364873 | 0.015433798 | 1.0044858 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3171577E-5 | 2.3162425E-5 | 3.3162192E-5 | 1.4317237 | 1.0E-5 | 9.9302975E-5 | 9.926383E-5 | 1.19261844E-4 | 1.2014632 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012083431 | 0.0012078804 | 0.001267808 | 1.0496138 | 6.0E-5 | 0.012017938 | 0.012012152 | 0.012071432 | 1.0049349 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0066604E-5 | 1.9668067E-5 | 2.966787E-5 | 1.5084283 | 1.0E-5 | 8.599689E-5 | 8.428905E-5 | 1.0428736E-4 | 1.2372588 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010465092 | 0.001025746 | 0.0010756948 | 1.048695 | 5.0E-5 | 0.010415946 | 0.010211479 | 0.0102609685 | 1.0048465 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.776989E-5 | 1.7115402E-5 | 2.7115231E-5 | 1.584259 | 1.0E-5 | 7.615444E-5 | 7.33497E-5 | 9.334823E-5 | 1.2726464 | 2.0E-5 | 9.267859E-4 | 8.926737E-4 | 9.3263795E-4 | 1.0447692 | 4.0E-5 | 0.009229303 | 0.008874663 | 0.008914309 | 1.0044672 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.5227364E-5 | 1.4340872E-5 | 2.4340728E-5 | 1.6972976 | 1.0E-5 | 6.52585E-5 | 6.145947E-5 | 7.145885E-5 | 1.1626989 | 1.0E-5 | 7.942326E-4 | 7.480173E-4 | 7.7799486E-4 | 1.040076 | 3.0E-5 | 0.007914 | 0.0074410336 | 0.0074708103 | 1.0040017 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2703898E-5 | 1.1674277E-5 | 2.1674161E-5 | 1.856574 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4444143E-5 | 5.0031682E-5 | 6.003118E-5 | 1.1998633 | 1.0E-5 | 6.626558E-4 | 6.089697E-4 | 6.289575E-4 | 1.0328224 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006606833 | 0.0060623093 | 0.006082188 | 1.0032791 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.1554917E-5 | 1.0610384E-5 | 2.0610278E-5 | 1.9424629 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9520135E-5 | 4.547231E-5 | 5.5471854E-5 | 1.2199041 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0274085E-4 | 5.5348873E-4 | 5.734777E-4 | 1.0361145 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0060110865 | 0.005504414 | 0.0055243038 | 1.0036135 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.732078E-6 | 7.882285E-6 | 7.882285E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7422655E-5 | 3.37808E-5 | 3.37808E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5552556E-4 | 4.112066E-4 | 4.2120248E-4 | 1.0243087 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045459294 | 0.004089515 | 0.0040994743 | 1.0024353 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.9337494E-6 | 5.107436E-6 | 5.107436E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5430107E-5 | 2.1888829E-5 | 2.1888829E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0956755E-4 | 2.6646405E-4 | 2.764614E-4 | 1.0375185 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030913667 | 0.002661461 | 0.0026714345 | 1.0037473 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.013409E-6 | 4.17734E-6 | 4.17734E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1485863E-5 | 1.7902763E-5 | 1.7902763E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6155898E-4 | 2.1794444E-4 | 2.2794226E-4 | 1.0458733 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0026125133 | 0.0021773188 | 0.002187297 | 1.0045828 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.120763E-6 | 3.2820917E-6 | 3.2820917E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7660293E-5 | 1.4066032E-5 | 1.4066032E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1499286E-4 | 1.7124058E-4 | 1.8123887E-4 | 1.0583874 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021478499 | 0.0017110958 | 0.0017210786 | 1.0058342 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.2081239E-6 | 2.4404965E-6 | 2.4404965E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.374903E-5 | 1.0459229E-5 | 1.0459229E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6738157E-4 | 1.2733374E-4 | 1.3733246E-4 | 1.0785238 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016725556 | 0.0012726148 | 0.0012826021 | 1.0078478 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.4194755E-6 | 1.7680321E-6 | 1.7680321E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0369139E-5 | 7.5772587E-6 | 7.5772587E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2623696E-4 | 9.224927E-5 | 1.0224835E-4 | 1.1083919 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012616527 | 9.221151E-4 | 9.3210593E-4 | 1.0108346 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.3842889E-6 | 9.3782967E-7 | 9.3782967E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9326535E-6 | 4.019264E-6 | 4.019264E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.222766E-5 | 4.8933474E-5 | 5.8932987E-5 | 1.204349 | 1.0E-5 | 7.220419E-4 | 4.8923056E-4 | 4.992256E-4 | 1.0204302 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.0021575E-6 | 6.4113493E-7 | 6.4113493E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2949537E-6 | 2.7477186E-6 | 2.7477186E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2289808E-5 | 3.345298E-5 | 4.3452645E-5 | 1.298917 | 1.0E-5 | 5.2277505E-4 | 3.344816E-4 | 3.4447823E-4 | 1.029887 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 8.7620116E-8 | 6.449304E-8 | 6.449304E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7551473E-7 | 2.763987E-7 | 2.763987E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5718825E-6 | 3.3651493E-6 | 3.3651493E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5717883E-5 | 3.3651013E-5 | 3.3651013E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cleghorn Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5467183E-5 | 1.6794203E-5 | 8.679303E-5 | 5.1680346 | 7.0E-5 | 6.6286244E-5 | 7.197348E-5 | 1.6196701E-4 | 2.2503705 | 9.0E-5 | 8.067362E-4 | 8.759797E-4 | 0.0010258483 | 1.1710868 | 1.5E-4 | 0.008038137 | 0.008730696 | 0.008928949 | 1.0227077 | 2.0E-4 |
6.1 | 1.5467183E-5 | 1.6794203E-5 | 8.679303E-5 | 5.1680346 | 7.0E-5 | 6.6286244E-5 | 7.197348E-5 | 1.6196701E-4 | 2.2503705 | 9.0E-5 | 8.067362E-4 | 8.759797E-4 | 0.0010258483 | 1.1710868 | 1.5E-4 | 0.008038137 | 0.008730696 | 0.008928949 | 1.0227077 | 2.0E-4 |
6.2 | 1.2624631E-5 | 1.3681544E-5 | 8.3680585E-5 | 6.1163116 | 7.0E-5 | 5.410444E-5 | 5.863415E-5 | 1.4862887E-4 | 2.5348518 | 9.0E-5 | 6.585225E-4 | 7.1368564E-4 | 8.4359286E-4 | 1.182023 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0065657445 | 0.0071187317 | 0.0072875214 | 1.0237106 | 1.7E-4 |
6.3 | 1.2624631E-5 | 1.3681544E-5 | 8.3680585E-5 | 6.1163116 | 7.0E-5 | 5.410444E-5 | 5.863415E-5 | 1.4862887E-4 | 2.5348518 | 9.0E-5 | 6.585225E-4 | 7.1368564E-4 | 8.4359286E-4 | 1.182023 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0065657445 | 0.0071187317 | 0.0072875214 | 1.0237106 | 1.7E-4 |
6.4 | 9.417684E-6 | 1.0170118E-5 | 6.016961E-5 | 5.916314 | 5.0E-5 | 4.036088E-5 | 4.3585722E-5 | 1.0358311E-4 | 2.3765376 | 6.0E-5 | 4.912829E-4 | 5.3056807E-4 | 6.30515E-4 | 1.1883773 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004901982 | 0.005297049 | 0.0054263603 | 1.0244119 | 1.3E-4 |
6.5 | 9.368219E-6 | 1.0117545E-5 | 6.011704E-5 | 5.9418607 | 5.0E-5 | 4.014889E-5 | 4.3360415E-5 | 1.03357816E-4 | 2.3836906 | 6.0E-5 | 4.8870314E-4 | 5.2782625E-4 | 6.2777346E-4 | 1.1893563 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004876298 | 0.0052697617 | 0.0053990763 | 1.024539 | 1.3E-4 |
6.6 | 7.803798E-6 | 8.441831E-6 | 3.8441576E-5 | 4.5537014 | 3.0E-5 | 3.3444423E-5 | 3.6179E-5 | 7.617755E-5 | 2.105574 | 4.0E-5 | 4.0710976E-4 | 4.4043022E-4 | 5.20395E-4 | 1.1815606 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0040636472 | 0.0043994905 | 0.0045090066 | 1.0248929 | 1.1E-4 |
6.7 | 2.3108669E-6 | 2.4438336E-6 | 2.4438336E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.903678E-6 | 1.0473532E-5 | 2.0473428E-5 | 1.9547777 | 1.0E-5 | 1.205706E-4 | 1.2750797E-4 | 1.5750415E-4 | 1.2352494 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001205052 | 0.0012743667 | 0.0013143158 | 1.0313481 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.0882828E-6 | 2.2062823E-6 | 2.2062823E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.949753E-6 | 9.455462E-6 | 1.9455367E-5 | 2.0575798 | 1.0E-5 | 1.08957785E-4 | 1.1511434E-4 | 1.4511088E-4 | 1.2605804 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010890438 | 0.0011505639 | 0.0011905179 | 1.0347255 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.876935E-6 | 1.981051E-6 | 1.981051E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.043982E-6 | 8.490192E-6 | 1.8490107E-5 | 2.1778197 | 1.0E-5 | 9.7931086E-5 | 1.03363345E-4 | 1.3336024E-4 | 1.2902083 | 3.0E-5 | 9.788794E-4 | 0.0010331686 | 0.0010731274 | 1.0386759 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.5357559E-6 | 1.6202807E-6 | 1.6202807E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5817944E-6 | 6.9440425E-6 | 1.6943974E-5 | 2.4400733 | 1.0E-5 | 8.01304E-5 | 8.454057E-5 | 1.0453887E-4 | 1.2365528 | 2.0E-5 | 8.010151E-4 | 8.450965E-4 | 8.750711E-4 | 1.0354689 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0905424E-6 | 1.1497619E-6 | 1.1497619E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6737446E-6 | 4.9275427E-6 | 1.4927493E-5 | 3.0293992 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6901354E-5 | 5.999128E-5 | 7.999008E-5 | 1.3333617 | 2.0E-5 | 5.6886784E-4 | 5.997606E-4 | 6.2974263E-4 | 1.0499899 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.06668E-7 | 6.387277E-7 | 6.387277E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.600003E-6 | 2.7374022E-6 | 1.2737375E-5 | 4.6530886 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1654577E-5 | 3.3327433E-5 | 5.3326767E-5 | 1.6000862 | 2.0E-5 | 3.1650066E-4 | 3.3323118E-4 | 3.5322452E-4 | 1.0599984 | 2.0E-5 |
Pinto Mtn
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.7853926E-5 | 8.785201E-5 | 1.8358371 | 4.0E-5 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0507304E-4 | 2.8505662E-4 | 1.3900249 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0024940688 | 0.0026237445 | 1.0519936 | 1.3E-4 | 0.022796938 | 0.024678305 | 0.024863616 | 1.0075091 | 1.9E-4 |
6.1 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.7853926E-5 | 8.785201E-5 | 1.8358371 | 4.0E-5 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0507304E-4 | 2.8505662E-4 | 1.3900249 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0024940688 | 0.0026237445 | 1.0519936 | 1.3E-4 | 0.022796938 | 0.024678305 | 0.024863616 | 1.0075091 | 1.9E-4 |
6.2 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.7853926E-5 | 8.785201E-5 | 1.8358371 | 4.0E-5 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0507304E-4 | 2.8505662E-4 | 1.3900249 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0024940688 | 0.0026237445 | 1.0519936 | 1.3E-4 | 0.022796938 | 0.024678305 | 0.024863616 | 1.0075091 | 1.9E-4 |
6.3 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.7853926E-5 | 8.785201E-5 | 1.8358371 | 4.0E-5 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0507304E-4 | 2.8505662E-4 | 1.3900249 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0024940688 | 0.0026237445 | 1.0519936 | 1.3E-4 | 0.022796938 | 0.024678305 | 0.024863616 | 1.0075091 | 1.9E-4 |
6.4 | 3.729929E-5 | 3.960349E-5 | 7.960191E-5 | 2.009972 | 4.0E-5 | 1.5984432E-4 | 1.6971873E-4 | 2.3970685E-4 | 1.4123771 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0019443673 | 0.0020644604 | 0.0021742333 | 1.0531727 | 1.1E-4 | 0.019274427 | 0.020462848 | 0.020619575 | 1.0076591 | 1.6E-4 |
6.5 | 3.729929E-5 | 3.960349E-5 | 7.960191E-5 | 2.009972 | 4.0E-5 | 1.5984432E-4 | 1.6971873E-4 | 2.3970685E-4 | 1.4123771 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0019443673 | 0.0020644604 | 0.0021742333 | 1.0531727 | 1.1E-4 | 0.019274427 | 0.020462848 | 0.020619575 | 1.0076591 | 1.6E-4 |
6.6 | 3.0204548E-5 | 3.12056E-5 | 6.1204664E-5 | 1.9613359 | 3.0E-5 | 1.2944164E-4 | 1.3373162E-4 | 1.7372628E-4 | 1.2990665 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0015748127 | 0.0016270012 | 0.0016968873 | 1.042954 | 7.0E-5 | 0.015636992 | 0.016154764 | 0.016272826 | 1.0073081 | 1.2E-4 |
6.7 | 2.9857754E-5 | 3.0814987E-5 | 6.081406E-5 | 1.9735223 | 3.0E-5 | 1.2795553E-4 | 1.3205773E-4 | 1.7205245E-4 | 1.3028579 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0015567453 | 0.0016066517 | 0.0016765392 | 1.0434989 | 7.0E-5 | 0.015458848 | 0.015954204 | 0.01607229 | 1.0074016 | 1.2E-4 |
6.8 | 2.4819734E-5 | 2.5009665E-5 | 3.5009416E-5 | 1.3998355 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0636595E-4 | 1.0718E-4 | 1.2717786E-4 | 1.186582 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012942362 | 0.001304157 | 0.0013441049 | 1.0306312 | 4.0E-5 | 0.012867244 | 0.012967403 | 0.013056236 | 1.0068505 | 9.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.331124E-5 | 2.3337945E-5 | 3.333771E-5 | 1.4284767 | 1.0E-5 | 9.990149E-5 | 1.0001605E-4 | 1.2001405E-4 | 1.199948 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001215622 | 0.0012170355 | 0.001246999 | 1.02462 | 3.0E-5 | 0.012089936 | 0.012105897 | 0.012165171 | 1.0048963 | 6.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.1818534E-5 | 2.1761074E-5 | 3.1760857E-5 | 1.4595262 | 1.0E-5 | 9.3504656E-5 | 9.3258524E-5 | 1.13256654E-4 | 1.2144376 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011378246 | 0.0011348509 | 0.0011648169 | 1.0264052 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011320163 | 0.01129266 | 0.011351981 | 1.0052532 | 6.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.066081E-5 | 2.0540718E-5 | 3.0540512E-5 | 1.4868279 | 1.0E-5 | 8.854332E-5 | 8.8028784E-5 | 1.0802703E-4 | 1.2271785 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010774818 | 0.0010712431 | 0.001101211 | 1.0279748 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010722724 | 0.0106628435 | 0.010722203 | 1.0055671 | 6.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.8990233E-5 | 1.9054001E-5 | 2.9053812E-5 | 1.5248141 | 1.0E-5 | 8.138417E-5 | 8.165756E-5 | 1.01655925E-4 | 1.2449052 | 2.0E-5 | 9.904018E-4 | 9.937467E-4 | 0.0010237169 | 1.0301588 | 3.0E-5 | 0.009859995 | 0.009895029 | 0.009954435 | 1.0060036 | 6.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.3335872E-5 | 1.4906713E-5 | 2.4906563E-5 | 1.6708287 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7152483E-5 | 6.388442E-5 | 7.388378E-5 | 1.1565228 | 1.0E-5 | 6.956093E-4 | 7.77528E-4 | 7.975124E-4 | 1.0257026 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006934359 | 0.007749376 | 0.0077890656 | 1.0051217 | 4.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.414066E-6 | 1.186096E-5 | 2.1860842E-5 | 1.8430921 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0345374E-5 | 5.083175E-5 | 6.083124E-5 | 1.1967175 | 1.0E-5 | 4.910942E-4 | 6.1871024E-4 | 6.386979E-4 | 1.0323054 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0049001034 | 0.0061708256 | 0.0062105786 | 1.0064421 | 4.0E-5 |
7.5 | 7.2101157E-6 | 9.158192E-6 | 1.91581E-5 | 2.0919085 | 1.0E-5 | 3.090013E-5 | 3.9248847E-5 | 4.9248454E-5 | 1.2547746 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7614413E-4 | 4.7775774E-4 | 4.977482E-4 | 1.0418422 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0037550807 | 0.004768082 | 0.0047979387 | 1.0062618 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.296375E-6 | 4.5455017E-6 | 1.4545456E-5 | 3.1999671 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4127245E-5 | 1.9480583E-5 | 2.9480389E-5 | 1.5133216 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7198564E-4 | 2.3715167E-4 | 2.5714692E-4 | 1.0843142 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017185259 | 0.0023691233 | 0.002389076 | 1.0084219 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.5741092E-6 | 3.5844084E-6 | 3.5844084E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.103185E-5 | 1.5361667E-5 | 1.5361667E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3430449E-4 | 1.8701357E-4 | 1.8701357E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013422335 | 0.0018686918 | 0.0018686918 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (North Branch Mill Creek)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3500992E-5 | 1.4349817E-4 | 6.1060476 | 1.2E-4 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.00714664E-4 | 2.6069855E-4 | 2.5884864 | 1.6E-4 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.0012255146 | 0.0014152818 | 1.1548469 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012228744 | 0.012426298 | 1.0161549 | 2.0E-4 |
6.1 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3500992E-5 | 1.4349817E-4 | 6.1060476 | 1.2E-4 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.00714664E-4 | 2.6069855E-4 | 2.5884864 | 1.6E-4 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.0012255146 | 0.0014152818 | 1.1548469 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012228744 | 0.012426298 | 1.0161549 | 2.0E-4 |
6.2 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3500992E-5 | 1.4349817E-4 | 6.1060476 | 1.2E-4 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.00714664E-4 | 2.6069855E-4 | 2.5884864 | 1.6E-4 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.0012255146 | 0.0014152818 | 1.1548469 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012228744 | 0.012426298 | 1.0161549 | 2.0E-4 |
6.3 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3500992E-5 | 1.4349817E-4 | 6.1060476 | 1.2E-4 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.00714664E-4 | 2.6069855E-4 | 2.5884864 | 1.6E-4 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.0012255146 | 0.0014152818 | 1.1548469 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012228744 | 0.012426298 | 1.0161549 | 2.0E-4 |
6.4 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3500992E-5 | 1.4349817E-4 | 6.1060476 | 1.2E-4 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.00714664E-4 | 2.6069855E-4 | 2.5884864 | 1.6E-4 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.0012255146 | 0.0014152818 | 1.1548469 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012228744 | 0.012426298 | 1.0161549 | 2.0E-4 |
6.5 | 1.3450706E-5 | 2.348995E-5 | 1.4348714E-4 | 6.1084476 | 1.2E-4 | 5.764461E-5 | 1.00667356E-4 | 2.6065126E-4 | 2.5892332 | 1.6E-4 | 7.0159714E-4 | 0.0012249392 | 0.0014147065 | 1.1549197 | 1.9E-4 | 0.006993862 | 0.012223054 | 0.01242061 | 1.0161625 | 2.0E-4 |
6.6 | 1.3074523E-5 | 2.3104236E-5 | 1.4310147E-4 | 6.1937327 | 1.2E-4 | 5.6032466E-5 | 9.901441E-5 | 2.5899857E-4 | 2.6157663 | 1.6E-4 | 6.8198174E-4 | 0.001204837 | 0.0013946082 | 1.1575077 | 1.9E-4 | 0.006798926 | 0.012024219 | 0.012221814 | 1.0164331 | 2.0E-4 |
6.7 | 1.3050216E-5 | 2.3079532E-5 | 1.4307676E-4 | 6.199292 | 1.2E-4 | 5.59283E-5 | 9.890855E-5 | 2.5889272E-4 | 2.617496 | 1.6E-4 | 6.8071426E-4 | 0.0012035496 | 0.001393321 | 1.1576763 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0067863287 | 0.012011484 | 0.012209082 | 1.0164508 | 2.0E-4 |
6.8 | 1.29049395E-5 | 2.2927941E-5 | 1.4292519E-4 | 6.233669 | 1.2E-4 | 5.530571E-5 | 9.825892E-5 | 2.582432E-4 | 2.628191 | 1.6E-4 | 6.73139E-4 | 0.001195649 | 0.0013854218 | 1.1587195 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0067110364 | 0.011933329 | 0.012130942 | 1.0165598 | 2.0E-4 |
6.9 | 1.2867369E-5 | 2.2887343E-5 | 1.428846E-4 | 6.2429523 | 1.2E-4 | 5.51447E-5 | 9.808494E-5 | 2.5806925E-4 | 2.6310792 | 1.6E-4 | 6.711799E-4 | 0.0011935332 | 0.0013833065 | 1.1590012 | 1.9E-4 | 0.006691564 | 0.011912397 | 0.012110015 | 1.0165893 | 2.0E-4 |
7.0 | 1.2495996E-5 | 2.2287419E-5 | 1.4228474E-4 | 6.3840833 | 1.2E-4 | 5.3553173E-5 | 9.551403E-5 | 2.5549874E-4 | 2.6749866 | 1.6E-4 | 6.518148E-4 | 0.0011622658 | 0.001352045 | 1.1632838 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0064990623 | 0.011603 | 0.011800679 | 1.0170369 | 2.0E-4 |
7.1 | 1.2452067E-5 | 2.2232492E-5 | 1.4222982E-4 | 6.3973856 | 1.2E-4 | 5.3364907E-5 | 9.527864E-5 | 2.552634E-4 | 2.679125 | 1.6E-4 | 6.4952404E-4 | 0.001159403 | 0.0013491827 | 1.1636875 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0064762887 | 0.011574671 | 0.011772356 | 1.0170791 | 2.0E-4 |
7.2 | 1.2002777E-5 | 2.1611015E-5 | 1.4160843E-4 | 6.552604 | 1.2E-4 | 5.143946E-5 | 9.261536E-5 | 2.5260056E-4 | 2.7274153 | 1.6E-4 | 6.2609545E-4 | 0.0011270114 | 0.0013167972 | 1.1683974 | 1.9E-4 | 0.006243344 | 0.011254058 | 0.011451807 | 1.0175713 | 2.0E-4 |
7.3 | 1.1923425E-5 | 2.1480853E-5 | 1.4147827E-4 | 6.58625 | 1.2E-4 | 5.109939E-5 | 9.205757E-5 | 2.5204284E-4 | 2.7378829 | 1.6E-4 | 6.219575E-4 | 0.0011202273 | 0.0013100144 | 1.1694185 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0062021962 | 0.011186945 | 0.011384708 | 1.017678 | 2.0E-4 |
7.4 | 1.16105175E-5 | 2.0854808E-5 | 1.4085231E-4 | 6.7539487 | 1.2E-4 | 4.975841E-5 | 8.93747E-5 | 2.493604E-4 | 2.7900558 | 1.6E-4 | 6.0564023E-4 | 0.0010875963 | 0.0012773897 | 1.1745071 | 1.9E-4 | 0.006039923 | 0.010864409 | 0.0110622365 | 1.0182087 | 2.0E-4 |
7.5 | 1.1037265E-5 | 1.9554842E-5 | 1.3955249E-4 | 7.1364675 | 1.2E-4 | 4.7301706E-5 | 8.380379E-5 | 2.4379037E-4 | 2.9090617 | 1.6E-4 | 5.757461E-4 | 0.0010198357 | 0.0012096419 | 1.1861145 | 1.9E-4 | 0.005742567 | 0.010195527 | 0.010393488 | 1.0194165 | 2.0E-4 |
7.6 | 1.0720915E-5 | 1.8996727E-5 | 1.3899445E-4 | 7.316757 | 1.2E-4 | 4.5945973E-5 | 8.141202E-5 | 2.4139899E-4 | 2.9651518 | 1.6E-4 | 5.592486E-4 | 9.907428E-4 | 0.0011805545 | 1.1915853 | 1.9E-4 | 0.005578433 | 0.009907238 | 0.010105257 | 1.0199872 | 2.0E-4 |
7.7 | 9.276279E-6 | 1.6442464E-5 | 1.3644049E-4 | 8.298057 | 1.2E-4 | 3.9754876E-5 | 7.046581E-5 | 2.3045453E-4 | 3.2704449 | 1.6E-4 | 4.839081E-4 | 8.5758517E-4 | 0.0010474223 | 1.2213624 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0048285574 | 0.008586576 | 0.0087848585 | 1.0230922 | 2.0E-4 |
7.8 | 5.8346777E-6 | 1.11555855E-5 | 1.3115424E-4 | 11.756824 | 1.2E-4 | 2.5005522E-5 | 4.7808775E-5 | 2.0780113E-4 | 4.346506 | 1.6E-4 | 3.043997E-4 | 5.819165E-4 | 7.7180594E-4 | 1.3263173 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0030398308 | 0.0058473335 | 0.006046164 | 1.0340036 | 2.0E-4 |
7.9 | 4.690204E-6 | 8.509473E-6 | 1.18508535E-4 | 13.926659 | 1.1E-4 | 2.0100719E-5 | 3.6468664E-5 | 1.8646319E-4 | 5.1129704 | 1.5E-4 | 2.4469878E-4 | 4.439156E-4 | 6.138401E-4 | 1.3827857 | 1.7E-4 | 0.002444295 | 0.004471165 | 0.00465036 | 1.0400779 | 1.8E-4 |
8.0 | 2.9570454E-6 | 4.8470656E-6 | 5.4846823E-5 | 11.31547 | 5.0E-5 | 1.267299E-5 | 2.0772974E-5 | 9.077152E-5 | 4.3696933 | 7.0E-5 | 1.5428272E-4 | 2.5288164E-4 | 3.2286393E-4 | 1.2767394 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0015417566 | 0.002549932 | 0.0026197536 | 1.0273817 | 7.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.6376824E-6 | 2.1968672E-6 | 1.2196845E-5 | 5.5519266 | 1.0E-5 | 7.01862E-6 | 9.415111E-6 | 1.9415018E-5 | 2.0621123 | 1.0E-5 | 8.544835E-5 | 1.1462297E-4 | 1.2462182E-4 | 1.0872326 | 1.0E-5 | 8.54155E-4 | 0.0011607445 | 0.0011707328 | 1.0086051 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 6.9631557E-7 | 4.535001E-7 | 4.535001E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.984206E-6 | 1.9435704E-6 | 1.9435704E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.63321E-5 | 2.3662713E-5 | 2.3662713E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6326164E-4 | 2.4510184E-4 | 2.4510184E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.7876137E-7 | 8.357368E-8 | 8.357368E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.661199E-7 | 3.5817288E-7 | 3.5817288E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.32747E-6 | 4.3607465E-6 | 4.3607465E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3270784E-5 | 4.5800018E-5 | 4.5800018E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Independence rev 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.3262253E-6 | 8.432588E-5 | 19.49179 | 8.0E-5 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8540852E-5 | 1.08539185E-4 | 5.8540564 | 9.0E-5 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2571447E-4 | 3.6568285E-4 | 1.6201127 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022551457 | 0.0024546946 | 1.0884861 | 2.0E-4 |
6.1 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.3262253E-6 | 8.432588E-5 | 19.49179 | 8.0E-5 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8540852E-5 | 1.08539185E-4 | 5.8540564 | 9.0E-5 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2571447E-4 | 3.6568285E-4 | 1.6201127 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022551457 | 0.0024546946 | 1.0884861 | 2.0E-4 |
6.2 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.3262253E-6 | 8.432588E-5 | 19.49179 | 8.0E-5 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8540852E-5 | 1.08539185E-4 | 5.8540564 | 9.0E-5 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2571447E-4 | 3.6568285E-4 | 1.6201127 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022551457 | 0.0024546946 | 1.0884861 | 2.0E-4 |
6.3 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.3262253E-6 | 8.432588E-5 | 19.49179 | 8.0E-5 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8540852E-5 | 1.08539185E-4 | 5.8540564 | 9.0E-5 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2571447E-4 | 3.6568285E-4 | 1.6201127 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022551457 | 0.0024546946 | 1.0884861 | 2.0E-4 |
6.4 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.3262253E-6 | 8.432588E-5 | 19.49179 | 8.0E-5 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8540852E-5 | 1.08539185E-4 | 5.8540564 | 9.0E-5 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2571447E-4 | 3.6568285E-4 | 1.6201127 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022551457 | 0.0024546946 | 1.0884861 | 2.0E-4 |
6.5 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.3262253E-6 | 8.432588E-5 | 19.49179 | 8.0E-5 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8540852E-5 | 1.08539185E-4 | 5.8540564 | 9.0E-5 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2571447E-4 | 3.6568285E-4 | 1.6201127 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022551457 | 0.0024546946 | 1.0884861 | 2.0E-4 |
6.6 | 2.663744E-6 | 2.5319846E-6 | 8.2531784E-5 | 32.595688 | 8.0E-5 | 1.1415996E-5 | 1.08513195E-5 | 1.00850346E-4 | 9.293832 | 9.0E-5 | 1.3898089E-4 | 1.321073E-4 | 2.6209012E-4 | 1.9839185 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0013889399 | 0.0013203359 | 0.0015000983 | 1.1361489 | 1.8E-4 |
6.7 | 2.663744E-6 | 2.5319846E-6 | 8.2531784E-5 | 32.595688 | 8.0E-5 | 1.1415996E-5 | 1.08513195E-5 | 1.00850346E-4 | 9.293832 | 9.0E-5 | 1.3898089E-4 | 1.321073E-4 | 2.6209012E-4 | 1.9839185 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0013889399 | 0.0013203359 | 0.0015000983 | 1.1361489 | 1.8E-4 |
6.8 | 1.9716529E-6 | 1.8322567E-6 | 7.183213E-5 | 39.204185 | 7.0E-5 | 8.449913E-6 | 7.852505E-6 | 8.785188E-5 | 11.187751 | 8.0E-5 | 1.0287284E-4 | 9.560019E-5 | 2.0558968E-4 | 2.1505153 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0010282523 | 9.5560355E-4 | 0.0011154506 | 1.1672734 | 1.6E-4 |
6.9 | 1.8788617E-6 | 1.7429976E-6 | 7.174288E-5 | 41.16063 | 7.0E-5 | 8.0522395E-6 | 7.4699688E-6 | 8.746937E-5 | 11.70947 | 8.0E-5 | 9.80316E-5 | 9.09432E-5 | 2.009332E-4 | 2.2094362 | 1.1E-4 | 9.798837E-4 | 9.090718E-4 | 0.0010689264 | 1.1758437 | 1.6E-4 |
7.0 | 1.5045488E-6 | 1.3849498E-6 | 7.138485E-5 | 51.54328 | 7.0E-5 | 6.44805E-6 | 5.9354857E-6 | 8.593501E-5 | 14.478177 | 8.0E-5 | 7.8502184E-5 | 7.226219E-5 | 1.8225424E-4 | 2.5221245 | 1.1E-4 | 7.8474457E-4 | 7.223921E-4 | 8.822765E-4 | 1.2213264 | 1.6E-4 |
7.1 | 1.272341E-6 | 1.1625089E-6 | 7.116243E-5 | 61.214523 | 7.0E-5 | 5.4528787E-6 | 4.9821715E-6 | 8.498177E-5 | 17.057175 | 8.0E-5 | 6.6386776E-5 | 6.0656283E-5 | 1.7064961E-4 | 2.8133872 | 1.1E-4 | 6.636695E-4 | 6.064005E-4 | 7.6630345E-4 | 1.263692 | 1.6E-4 |
7.2 | 1.0416892E-6 | 9.409871E-7 | 7.094092E-5 | 75.3899 | 7.0E-5 | 4.464375E-6 | 4.032796E-6 | 8.403247E-5 | 20.837275 | 8.0E-5 | 5.4352407E-5 | 4.9098202E-5 | 1.590928E-4 | 3.240298 | 1.1E-4 | 5.4339116E-4 | 4.908754E-4 | 6.5079686E-4 | 1.3257883 | 1.6E-4 |
7.3 | 7.9450155E-7 | 7.2350036E-7 | 7.072345E-5 | 97.751785 | 7.0E-5 | 3.4050022E-6 | 3.1007123E-6 | 8.3100465E-5 | 26.800444 | 8.0E-5 | 4.1455114E-5 | 3.7750528E-5 | 1.4774638E-4 | 3.9137566 | 1.1E-4 | 4.144738E-4 | 3.7744228E-4 | 5.273857E-4 | 1.3972617 | 1.5E-4 |
7.4 | 5.3893444E-7 | 5.0195166E-7 | 7.050192E-5 | 140.4556 | 7.0E-5 | 2.309717E-6 | 2.1512196E-6 | 8.215105E-5 | 38.188126 | 8.0E-5 | 2.8120441E-5 | 2.6190788E-5 | 1.3618791E-4 | 5.19984 | 1.1E-4 | 2.8116882E-4 | 2.6187746E-4 | 4.1183818E-4 | 1.572637 | 1.5E-4 |
7.5 | 3.8852085E-7 | 3.6825622E-7 | 6.0368235E-5 | 163.92998 | 6.0E-5 | 1.6650882E-6 | 1.57824E-6 | 7.157813E-5 | 45.35313 | 7.0E-5 | 2.027226E-5 | 1.9214905E-5 | 1.19212986E-4 | 6.204193 | 1.0E-4 | 2.0270412E-4 | 1.9213265E-4 | 3.3210576E-4 | 1.7285233 | 1.4E-4 |
7.6 | 2.414929E-7 | 2.3457605E-7 | 2.0234571E-5 | 86.26018 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0349692E-6 | 1.0053255E-6 | 3.1005296E-5 | 30.84105 | 3.0E-5 | 1.2600677E-5 | 1.2239771E-5 | 6.223916E-5 | 5.084994 | 5.0E-5 | 1.2599962E-4 | 1.223911E-4 | 1.8238375E-4 | 1.4901718 | 6.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.8298014E-8 | 6.8589785E-8 | 1.0068589E-5 | 146.7943 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9270575E-7 | 2.939562E-7 | 1.0293953E-5 | 35.018665 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5636867E-6 | 3.5789112E-6 | 1.3578875E-5 | 3.7941358 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5636294E-5 | 3.5788584E-5 | 4.5788227E-5 | 1.2794087 | 1.0E-5 |
Imperial
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.7496446E-4 | 5.055345E-4 | 5.355194E-4 | 1.0593132 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011778869 | 0.002164817 | 0.002224687 | 1.027656 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0142467655 | 0.026048409 | 0.026155544 | 1.004113 | 1.1E-4 | 0.13367249 | 0.22807029 | 0.22821696 | 1.0006431 | 1.9E-4 |
6.1 | 2.5356023E-4 | 4.8657708E-4 | 5.165625E-4 | 1.0616252 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001086234 | 0.002083702 | 0.0021335979 | 1.0239458 | 5.0E-5 | 0.013144928 | 0.02507094 | 0.025168432 | 1.0038887 | 1.0E-4 | 0.123940155 | 0.21949561 | 0.2196283 | 1.0006045 | 1.7E-4 |
6.2 | 2.4820742E-4 | 4.775311E-4 | 5.075168E-4 | 1.0627931 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010633124 | 0.0020449946 | 0.0020948923 | 1.0244 | 5.0E-5 | 0.01286919 | 0.024610676 | 0.02469846 | 1.003567 | 9.0E-5 | 0.12148927 | 0.21600136 | 0.21612681 | 1.0005808 | 1.6E-4 |
6.3 | 2.3205351E-4 | 4.5892023E-4 | 4.8890646E-4 | 1.0653409 | 3.0E-5 | 9.94136E-4 | 0.0019653554 | 0.002015257 | 1.0253907 | 5.0E-5 | 0.012036599 | 0.023661187 | 0.023749057 | 1.0037137 | 9.0E-5 | 0.11405133 | 0.20793827 | 0.208065 | 1.0006095 | 1.6E-4 |
6.4 | 2.0304754E-4 | 3.9878016E-4 | 4.287682E-4 | 1.0751994 | 3.0E-5 | 8.6991355E-4 | 0.0017079529 | 0.0017578676 | 1.0292248 | 5.0E-5 | 0.010539869 | 0.020595418 | 0.02067377 | 1.0038043 | 8.0E-5 | 0.100537635 | 0.18507113 | 0.18519336 | 1.0006605 | 1.5E-4 |
6.5 | 1.854992E-4 | 3.6990462E-4 | 3.9989353E-4 | 1.081072 | 3.0E-5 | 7.9475436E-4 | 0.0015843548 | 0.0016342755 | 1.0315086 | 5.0E-5 | 0.009633281 | 0.01911443 | 0.019192899 | 1.0041053 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0922623 | 0.1733039 | 0.1734279 | 1.0007155 | 1.5E-4 |
6.6 | 1.6586106E-4 | 3.4036173E-4 | 3.7035154E-4 | 1.0881115 | 3.0E-5 | 7.106394E-4 | 0.0014578878 | 0.001507815 | 1.0342462 | 5.0E-5 | 0.008617763 | 0.017607626 | 0.017686216 | 1.0044634 | 8.0E-5 | 0.08291132 | 0.16078055 | 0.16090643 | 1.000783 | 1.5E-4 |
6.7 | 1.4224656E-4 | 3.076812E-4 | 3.3767198E-4 | 1.0974735 | 3.0E-5 | 6.094856E-4 | 0.0013179756 | 0.0013679096 | 1.037887 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0073952693 | 0.015928522 | 0.016007246 | 1.0049424 | 8.0E-5 | 0.07153955 | 0.14648798 | 0.14661601 | 1.0008739 | 1.5E-4 |
6.8 | 1.2317259E-4 | 2.779231E-4 | 3.0791477E-4 | 1.1079135 | 3.0E-5 | 5.2777573E-4 | 0.0011905615 | 0.0012405019 | 1.041947 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0064067547 | 0.014400131 | 0.014478979 | 1.0054755 | 8.0E-5 | 0.06225166 | 0.13294089 | 0.13307095 | 1.0009784 | 1.5E-4 |
6.9 | 9.859898E-5 | 2.5015484E-4 | 2.8014733E-4 | 1.1198957 | 3.0E-5 | 4.2249862E-4 | 0.0010716559 | 0.0011216024 | 1.0466068 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0051317946 | 0.012970319 | 0.013049281 | 1.0060879 | 8.0E-5 | 0.05014893 | 0.119408876 | 0.11954096 | 1.0011061 | 1.5E-4 |
7.0 | 7.3191884E-5 | 2.1267848E-4 | 2.426721E-4 | 1.141028 | 3.0E-5 | 3.136418E-4 | 9.11164E-4 | 9.6111844E-4 | 1.0548248 | 5.0E-5 | 0.003811904 | 0.011037681 | 0.011116798 | 1.0071679 | 8.0E-5 | 0.037471764 | 0.10206756 | 0.10220225 | 1.0013196 | 1.5E-4 |
7.1 | 7.1760296E-5 | 2.0969207E-4 | 2.3968577E-4 | 1.143037 | 3.0E-5 | 3.0750787E-4 | 8.9837395E-4 | 9.4832905E-4 | 1.0556061 | 5.0E-5 | 0.003737482 | 0.010883528 | 0.010962658 | 1.0072706 | 8.0E-5 | 0.03675245 | 0.10070406 | 0.10083896 | 1.0013396 | 1.5E-4 |
7.2 | 6.46614E-5 | 1.9137723E-4 | 2.2137149E-4 | 1.1567285 | 3.0E-5 | 2.7709085E-4 | 8.199333E-4 | 8.6989236E-4 | 1.0609306 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0033683628 | 0.009937617 | 0.010016822 | 1.0079702 | 8.0E-5 | 0.033177625 | 0.092511006 | 0.09264713 | 1.0014714 | 1.5E-4 |
7.3 | 6.088115E-5 | 1.780939E-4 | 2.0808856E-4 | 1.1684204 | 3.0E-5 | 2.6089314E-4 | 7.6303916E-4 | 8.13001E-4 | 1.0654775 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0031717476 | 0.009251006 | 0.009330266 | 1.0085677 | 8.0E-5 | 0.031268585 | 0.08656135 | 0.08669837 | 1.0015829 | 1.5E-4 |
7.4 | 4.199346E-5 | 1.1511097E-4 | 1.4510751E-4 | 1.260588 | 3.0E-5 | 1.7995955E-4 | 4.932403E-4 | 5.332206E-4 | 1.0810564 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0021888057 | 0.005988835 | 0.006058416 | 1.0116184 | 7.0E-5 | 0.02167372 | 0.05744024 | 0.057562772 | 1.0021333 | 1.3E-4 |
7.5 | 3.130448E-5 | 8.333871E-5 | 1.0333704E-4 | 1.2399645 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3415517E-4 | 3.5711733E-4 | 3.8710661E-4 | 1.083976 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0016321153 | 0.0043392954 | 0.0043990347 | 1.0137671 | 6.0E-5 | 0.016201803 | 0.042133506 | 0.04224845 | 1.0027281 | 1.2E-4 |
7.6 | 2.3074248E-5 | 6.0849357E-5 | 7.084875E-5 | 1.1643302 | 1.0E-5 | 9.888588E-5 | 2.6075702E-4 | 2.8075182E-4 | 1.0766797 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012032706 | 0.0031701182 | 0.0032199598 | 1.0157223 | 5.0E-5 | 0.011967761 | 0.03102816 | 0.031115368 | 1.0028106 | 9.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.45864815E-5 | 4.0128452E-5 | 5.0128052E-5 | 1.2491897 | 1.0E-5 | 6.2511994E-5 | 1.7196777E-4 | 1.9196433E-4 | 1.1162809 | 2.0E-5 | 7.608177E-4 | 0.0020917025 | 0.002141598 | 1.023854 | 5.0E-5 | 0.007582182 | 0.02062909 | 0.020717233 | 1.0042728 | 9.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.0352979E-5 | 3.096395E-5 | 4.096364E-5 | 1.3229462 | 1.0E-5 | 4.4369157E-5 | 1.326959E-4 | 1.5269325E-4 | 1.1507006 | 2.0E-5 | 5.400606E-4 | 0.0016143778 | 0.0016642971 | 1.0309217 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0053875 | 0.016017893 | 0.01610645 | 1.0055287 | 9.0E-5 |
7.9 | 8.137906E-6 | 2.2151205E-5 | 3.2150983E-5 | 1.4514327 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4876273E-5 | 9.493029E-5 | 1.1492839E-4 | 1.2106609 | 2.0E-5 | 4.2453592E-4 | 0.0011551644 | 0.0011951182 | 1.0345871 | 4.0E-5 | 0.004237258 | 0.011618842 | 0.011688029 | 1.0059547 | 7.0E-5 |
8.0 | 6.93792E-6 | 1.8010365E-5 | 2.8010185E-5 | 1.5552258 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9733603E-5 | 7.7185E-5 | 9.718346E-5 | 1.2590977 | 2.0E-5 | 3.6194647E-4 | 9.3932304E-4 | 9.792855E-4 | 1.0425439 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0036135751 | 0.009502415 | 0.009561845 | 1.0062542 | 6.0E-5 |
8.1 | 3.4286315E-6 | 6.380179E-6 | 6.380179E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4694053E-5 | 2.734334E-5 | 2.734334E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7888541E-4 | 3.3285443E-4 | 3.3285443E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017874148 | 0.0034863674 | 0.0034863674 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.4906886E-6 | 1.936633E-6 | 1.936633E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3886496E-6 | 8.2998295E-6 | 8.2998295E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7779034E-5 | 1.0104576E-4 | 1.0104576E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.775182E-4 | 0.0011075423 | 0.0011075423 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 2.5758007E-8 | 1.4495866E-8 | 1.4495866E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10391454E-7 | 6.212514E-8 | 6.212514E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3440151E-6 | 7.563736E-7 | 7.563736E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.344007E-5 | 7.884359E-6 | 7.884359E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Ynez (West)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.7352758E-5 | 5.497084E-5 | 8.496919E-5 | 1.5457139 | 3.0E-5 | 2.0292461E-4 | 2.3556968E-4 | 3.055532E-4 | 1.297082 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0024678076 | 0.002864558 | 0.002974243 | 1.0382904 | 1.1E-4 | 0.024405818 | 0.028304456 | 0.028459927 | 1.0054928 | 1.6E-4 |
6.1 | 4.7352758E-5 | 5.497084E-5 | 8.496919E-5 | 1.5457139 | 3.0E-5 | 2.0292461E-4 | 2.3556968E-4 | 2.9555554E-4 | 1.2546418 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0024678076 | 0.002864558 | 0.0029543 | 1.0313284 | 9.0E-5 | 0.024405818 | 0.028304456 | 0.028440492 | 1.0048062 | 1.4E-4 |
6.2 | 3.0415853E-5 | 3.3925004E-5 | 3.3925004E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3034715E-4 | 1.4538495E-4 | 1.753806E-4 | 1.2063187 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0015858212 | 0.0017686592 | 0.001828553 | 1.033864 | 6.0E-5 | 0.015745522 | 0.01754978 | 0.017648024 | 1.0055981 | 1.0E-4 |
6.3 | 3.0415853E-5 | 3.3925004E-5 | 3.3925004E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3034715E-4 | 1.4538495E-4 | 1.753806E-4 | 1.2063187 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0015858212 | 0.0017686592 | 0.001828553 | 1.033864 | 6.0E-5 | 0.015745522 | 0.01754978 | 0.017648024 | 1.0055981 | 1.0E-4 |
6.4 | 2.5452082E-5 | 2.7912318E-5 | 2.7912318E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.09075794E-4 | 1.1961885E-4 | 1.4961527E-4 | 1.2507666 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0013271887 | 0.0014554056 | 0.0015053328 | 1.0343047 | 5.0E-5 | 0.013192902 | 0.01446091 | 0.014549608 | 1.0061337 | 9.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.3143784E-5 | 2.5128133E-5 | 2.5128133E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9183875E-5 | 1.07687636E-4 | 1.376844E-4 | 1.2785535 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0012068948 | 0.001310323 | 0.0013602575 | 1.0381086 | 5.0E-5 | 0.012003611 | 0.013027638 | 0.013106596 | 1.0060608 | 8.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.9118515E-5 | 2.0354244E-5 | 2.0354244E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.193392E-5 | 8.722961E-5 | 1.1722699E-4 | 1.34389 | 3.0E-5 | 9.97089E-4 | 0.001061511 | 0.0011014685 | 1.0376421 | 4.0E-5 | 0.00992627 | 0.010565317 | 0.0106246825 | 1.0056189 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.722807E-5 | 1.8146253E-5 | 1.8146253E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3832496E-5 | 7.776737E-5 | 9.776581E-5 | 1.2571573 | 2.0E-5 | 8.985399E-4 | 9.4641204E-4 | 9.763836E-4 | 1.0316687 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008949154 | 0.009424461 | 0.00947399 | 1.0052553 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.5317364E-5 | 1.5926391E-5 | 1.5926391E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.56442E-5 | 6.82542E-5 | 8.825283E-5 | 1.2930022 | 2.0E-5 | 7.98925E-4 | 8.3068234E-4 | 8.5066573E-4 | 1.0240566 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007960589 | 0.008276261 | 0.00831593 | 1.004793 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.3071226E-5 | 1.332953E-5 | 1.332953E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6018336E-5 | 5.712532E-5 | 6.712475E-5 | 1.1750437 | 1.0E-5 | 6.8180985E-4 | 6.952811E-4 | 7.052741E-4 | 1.0143727 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0067972173 | 0.0069313184 | 0.0069611105 | 1.0042982 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.1836986E-5 | 1.1932688E-5 | 1.1932688E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0728955E-5 | 5.1139097E-5 | 6.1138584E-5 | 1.1955351 | 1.0E-5 | 6.1745E-4 | 6.2244234E-4 | 6.324361E-4 | 1.0160557 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006157372 | 0.0062071825 | 0.006236996 | 1.0048031 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0597169E-5 | 1.0542107E-5 | 1.0542107E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.541565E-5 | 4.5179684E-5 | 5.5179233E-5 | 1.2213284 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5279525E-4 | 5.4992497E-4 | 5.5991946E-4 | 1.0181743 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0055142213 | 0.005485772 | 0.0055056624 | 1.0036258 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.59113E-6 | 9.45905E-6 | 9.45905E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.11042E-5 | 4.053816E-5 | 5.0537757E-5 | 1.2466712 | 1.0E-5 | 5.0032866E-4 | 4.934414E-4 | 5.034365E-4 | 1.0202558 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004992037 | 0.0049235765 | 0.004933527 | 1.0020211 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 8.586084E-6 | 8.379489E-6 | 8.379489E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.679698E-5 | 3.591161E-5 | 4.591125E-5 | 1.2784514 | 1.0E-5 | 4.4791115E-4 | 4.3713715E-4 | 4.4713277E-4 | 1.0228661 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004470094 | 0.004362884 | 0.0043728403 | 1.002282 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.2622997E-6 | 6.9514485E-6 | 6.9514485E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.112377E-5 | 2.9791589E-5 | 3.9791288E-5 | 1.3356552 | 1.0E-5 | 3.78866E-4 | 3.6265317E-4 | 3.7264955E-4 | 1.0275645 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037822074 | 0.003620714 | 0.0036306777 | 1.0027518 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.627296E-6 | 5.2514984E-6 | 5.2514984E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.411676E-5 | 2.2506232E-5 | 3.2506006E-5 | 1.4443114 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9358198E-4 | 2.7397962E-4 | 2.839769E-4 | 1.036489 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029319443 | 0.0027364905 | 0.002746463 | 1.0036443 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.265244E-6 | 2.0608632E-6 | 2.0608632E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.708152E-6 | 8.832241E-6 | 8.832241E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.18190335E-4 | 1.0752732E-4 | 1.0752732E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001181275 | 0.0010747615 | 0.0010747615 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.3099874E-6 | 1.1016228E-6 | 1.1016228E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.61422E-6 | 4.7212325E-6 | 4.7212325E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8350986E-5 | 5.7479516E-5 | 5.7479516E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.832996E-4 | 5.7464885E-4 | 5.7464885E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 7.903951E-7 | 6.0710704E-7 | 6.0710704E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3874032E-6 | 2.601885E-6 | 2.601885E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1240855E-5 | 3.16775E-5 | 3.16775E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.12332E-4 | 3.167312E-4 | 3.167312E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.0753297E-9 | 5.090092E-9 | 5.090092E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.032284E-8 | 2.181468E-8 | 2.181468E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6918053E-7 | 2.655937E-7 | 2.655937E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.691799E-6 | 2.6559348E-6 | 2.6559348E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (San Jacinto Valley) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.652694E-5 | 3.4401106E-5 | 1.1439835E-4 | 3.3254266 | 8.0E-5 | 1.5653463E-4 | 1.4742499E-4 | 2.4741024E-4 | 1.6782111 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0019041431 | 0.0017934233 | 0.0019132082 | 1.0667912 | 1.2E-4 | 0.018879099 | 0.018526303 | 0.018712781 | 1.0100657 | 1.9E-4 |
6.1 | 3.652694E-5 | 3.4401106E-5 | 1.1439835E-4 | 3.3254266 | 8.0E-5 | 1.5653463E-4 | 1.4742499E-4 | 2.4741024E-4 | 1.6782111 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0019041431 | 0.0017934233 | 0.0019132082 | 1.0667912 | 1.2E-4 | 0.018879099 | 0.018526303 | 0.018712781 | 1.0100657 | 1.9E-4 |
6.2 | 3.652694E-5 | 3.4401106E-5 | 1.1439835E-4 | 3.3254266 | 8.0E-5 | 1.5653463E-4 | 1.4742499E-4 | 2.4741024E-4 | 1.6782111 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0019041431 | 0.0017934233 | 0.0019132082 | 1.0667912 | 1.2E-4 | 0.018879099 | 0.018526303 | 0.018712781 | 1.0100657 | 1.9E-4 |
6.3 | 3.652694E-5 | 3.4401106E-5 | 1.1439835E-4 | 3.3254266 | 8.0E-5 | 1.5653463E-4 | 1.4742499E-4 | 2.4741024E-4 | 1.6782111 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0019041431 | 0.0017934233 | 0.0019132082 | 1.0667912 | 1.2E-4 | 0.018879099 | 0.018526303 | 0.018712781 | 1.0100657 | 1.9E-4 |
6.4 | 3.646941E-5 | 3.432268E-5 | 1.1431993E-4 | 3.3307405 | 8.0E-5 | 1.5628811E-4 | 1.4708891E-4 | 2.470742E-4 | 1.6797609 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0019011468 | 0.0017893389 | 0.0019091241 | 1.0669439 | 1.2E-4 | 0.018849645 | 0.018486181 | 0.01867267 | 1.010088 | 1.9E-4 |
6.5 | 3.646941E-5 | 3.432268E-5 | 1.1431993E-4 | 3.3307405 | 8.0E-5 | 1.5628811E-4 | 1.4708891E-4 | 2.470742E-4 | 1.6797609 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0019011468 | 0.0017893389 | 0.0019091241 | 1.0669439 | 1.2E-4 | 0.018849645 | 0.018486181 | 0.01867267 | 1.010088 | 1.9E-4 |
6.6 | 3.6442503E-5 | 3.4286066E-5 | 1.1428332E-4 | 3.3332293 | 8.0E-5 | 1.561728E-4 | 1.4693203E-4 | 2.4691733E-4 | 1.6804868 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0018997455 | 0.001787432 | 0.0019072174 | 1.0670154 | 1.2E-4 | 0.018835869 | 0.01846745 | 0.018653942 | 1.0100983 | 1.9E-4 |
6.7 | 3.6432113E-5 | 3.427164E-5 | 1.142689E-4 | 3.3342113 | 8.0E-5 | 1.5612828E-4 | 1.4687021E-4 | 2.4685552E-4 | 1.6807733 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0018992044 | 0.0017866807 | 0.0019064663 | 1.0670437 | 1.2E-4 | 0.018830549 | 0.018460074 | 0.018646566 | 1.0101025 | 1.9E-4 |
6.8 | 3.6409598E-5 | 3.4240697E-5 | 1.14237955E-4 | 3.3363209 | 8.0E-5 | 1.560318E-4 | 1.4673761E-4 | 2.4672292E-4 | 1.6813885 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0018980318 | 0.0017850689 | 0.0019048547 | 1.0671043 | 1.2E-4 | 0.018819023 | 0.018444229 | 0.018630724 | 1.0101113 | 1.9E-4 |
6.9 | 3.638078E-5 | 3.4201123E-5 | 1.1419839E-4 | 3.3390245 | 8.0E-5 | 1.5590832E-4 | 1.4656801E-4 | 2.4655336E-4 | 1.6821771 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0018965311 | 0.0017830075 | 0.0019027935 | 1.0671821 | 1.2E-4 | 0.018804269 | 0.018423963 | 0.018610463 | 1.0101227 | 1.9E-4 |
7.0 | 3.6294874E-5 | 3.408314E-5 | 1.14080416E-4 | 3.3471217 | 8.0E-5 | 1.5554018E-4 | 1.4606243E-4 | 2.4604783E-4 | 1.6845387 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0018920569 | 0.0017768623 | 0.001896649 | 1.0674148 | 1.2E-4 | 0.018760284 | 0.018363545 | 0.018550055 | 1.0101566 | 1.9E-4 |
7.1 | 3.6260717E-5 | 3.403942E-5 | 1.140367E-4 | 3.3501363 | 8.0E-5 | 1.5539382E-4 | 1.4587509E-4 | 2.4586052E-4 | 1.685418 | 1.0E-4 | 0.001890278 | 0.0017745851 | 0.0018943722 | 1.0675014 | 1.2E-4 | 0.018742796 | 0.018341139 | 0.018527655 | 1.0101693 | 1.9E-4 |
7.2 | 3.6210204E-5 | 3.397364E-5 | 1.1397092E-4 | 3.3546867 | 8.0E-5 | 1.5517735E-4 | 1.455932E-4 | 2.4557865E-4 | 1.6867452 | 1.0E-4 | 0.001887647 | 0.0017711588 | 0.0018909462 | 1.0676322 | 1.2E-4 | 0.01871693 | 0.018307408 | 0.01849393 | 1.0101883 | 1.9E-4 |
7.3 | 3.6119454E-5 | 3.386193E-5 | 1.1385922E-4 | 3.3624554 | 8.0E-5 | 1.5478847E-4 | 1.4511449E-4 | 2.4509997E-4 | 1.6890111 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0018829206 | 0.0017653398 | 0.001885128 | 1.0678556 | 1.2E-4 | 0.018670462 | 0.01824996 | 0.018436493 | 1.010221 | 1.9E-4 |
7.4 | 3.607848E-5 | 3.380943E-5 | 1.13806724E-4 | 3.366124 | 8.0E-5 | 1.5461289E-4 | 1.4488952E-4 | 2.4487503E-4 | 1.6900811 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0018807866 | 0.0017626052 | 0.0018823937 | 1.0679611 | 1.2E-4 | 0.018649481 | 0.018222956 | 0.018409492 | 1.0102364 | 1.9E-4 |
7.5 | 3.5856774E-5 | 3.3619202E-5 | 1.13616516E-4 | 3.3795123 | 8.0E-5 | 1.5366284E-4 | 1.4407437E-4 | 2.4405995E-4 | 1.693986 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0018692396 | 0.0017526967 | 0.0018724863 | 1.0683459 | 1.2E-4 | 0.018535944 | 0.018124057 | 0.018310614 | 1.0102932 | 1.9E-4 |
7.6 | 3.286655E-5 | 3.2142278E-5 | 1.1213971E-4 | 3.4888537 | 8.0E-5 | 1.4084904E-4 | 1.3774536E-4 | 2.3773158E-4 | 1.7258773 | 1.0E-4 | 0.001713488 | 0.0016757617 | 0.0017955606 | 1.0714892 | 1.2E-4 | 0.017003361 | 0.017343804 | 0.017530508 | 1.010765 | 1.9E-4 |
7.7 | 2.8882527E-5 | 2.9235205E-5 | 1.0923287E-4 | 3.736347 | 8.0E-5 | 1.237764E-4 | 1.2528773E-4 | 2.1527645E-4 | 1.7182565 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0015059357 | 0.0015243118 | 0.0016341441 | 1.0720537 | 1.1E-4 | 0.014957713 | 0.015830338 | 0.016007489 | 1.0111905 | 1.8E-4 |
7.8 | 2.4950225E-5 | 2.6526219E-5 | 1.06524094E-4 | 4.015804 | 8.0E-5 | 1.0692515E-4 | 1.1367885E-4 | 2.0366862E-4 | 1.791614 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0013010362 | 0.0013831621 | 0.00149301 | 1.079418 | 1.1E-4 | 0.012934455 | 0.01441176 | 0.014589165 | 1.0123098 | 1.8E-4 |
7.9 | 1.9881603E-5 | 2.150649E-5 | 1.0150477E-4 | 4.7197275 | 8.0E-5 | 8.520408E-5 | 9.216742E-5 | 1.8215913E-4 | 1.9763938 | 9.0E-5 | 0.001036866 | 0.0011215615 | 0.0012214493 | 1.0890614 | 1.0E-4 | 0.010320415 | 0.011776998 | 0.011944996 | 1.014265 | 1.7E-4 |
8.0 | 1.563292E-5 | 1.5936288E-5 | 5.593565E-5 | 3.509955 | 4.0E-5 | 6.6996516E-5 | 6.829659E-5 | 1.18293174E-4 | 1.732051 | 5.0E-5 | 8.153773E-4 | 8.3119445E-4 | 8.911446E-4 | 1.0721253 | 6.0E-5 | 0.00812392 | 0.008810331 | 0.008929274 | 1.0135003 | 1.2E-4 |
8.1 | 1.0045313E-5 | 8.300794E-6 | 2.8300628E-5 | 3.409388 | 2.0E-5 | 4.305063E-5 | 3.557435E-5 | 6.557328E-5 | 1.8432742 | 3.0E-5 | 5.2401534E-4 | 4.3303217E-4 | 4.7301484E-4 | 1.0923319 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0052278144 | 0.0046587666 | 0.004718487 | 1.0128189 | 6.0E-5 |
8.2 | 4.1554413E-6 | 1.5648296E-6 | 1.5648296E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7808914E-5 | 6.7063957E-6 | 6.7063957E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1680194E-4 | 8.164734E-5 | 8.164734E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021659054 | 9.479703E-4 | 9.479703E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2758221E-6 | 3.612677E-7 | 3.612677E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4677976E-6 | 1.5482892E-6 | 1.5482892E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.65684E-5 | 1.8850264E-5 | 1.8850264E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6548464E-4 | 2.2739546E-4 | 2.2739546E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Brawley (Seismic Zone) alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2521618E-4 | 4.763429E-4 | 5.063286E-4 | 1.0629499 | 3.0E-5 | 9.6485513E-4 | 0.0020399094 | 0.0020997871 | 1.029353 | 6.0E-5 | 0.011683988 | 0.024544531 | 0.024651831 | 1.0043716 | 1.1E-4 | 0.11088423 | 0.21349923 | 0.2136408 | 1.000663 | 1.8E-4 |
6.1 | 2.2521618E-4 | 4.763429E-4 | 5.063286E-4 | 1.0629499 | 3.0E-5 | 9.6485513E-4 | 0.0020399094 | 0.0020997871 | 1.029353 | 6.0E-5 | 0.011683988 | 0.024544531 | 0.024651831 | 1.0043716 | 1.1E-4 | 0.11088423 | 0.21349923 | 0.2136408 | 1.000663 | 1.8E-4 |
6.2 | 2.198148E-4 | 4.6718874E-4 | 4.9717474E-4 | 1.0641838 | 3.0E-5 | 9.417233E-4 | 0.0020007377 | 0.0020606178 | 1.0299289 | 6.0E-5 | 0.011405343 | 0.024078513 | 0.024176106 | 1.0040531 | 1.0E-4 | 0.10837428 | 0.20993572 | 0.21007004 | 1.0006398 | 1.7E-4 |
6.3 | 2.1704129E-4 | 4.615455E-4 | 4.915317E-4 | 1.0649691 | 3.0E-5 | 9.298453E-4 | 0.0019765892 | 0.0020364707 | 1.0302954 | 6.0E-5 | 0.011262234 | 0.023792034 | 0.023889655 | 1.0041031 | 1.0E-4 | 0.107082725 | 0.20782684 | 0.2079615 | 1.000648 | 1.7E-4 |
6.4 | 1.876142E-4 | 4.004663E-4 | 4.3045427E-4 | 1.0748826 | 3.0E-5 | 8.038131E-4 | 0.0017151695 | 0.0017750666 | 1.034922 | 6.0E-5 | 0.00974259 | 0.020678662 | 0.0207668 | 1.0042623 | 9.0E-5 | 0.093263686 | 0.18457787 | 0.18470834 | 1.0007068 | 1.6E-4 |
6.5 | 1.7390939E-4 | 3.7478763E-4 | 4.047764E-4 | 1.0800153 | 3.0E-5 | 7.45113E-4 | 0.0016052561 | 0.0016651598 | 1.0373172 | 6.0E-5 | 0.009034078 | 0.019367293 | 0.01945555 | 1.004557 | 9.0E-5 | 0.086755216 | 0.17440015 | 0.17453225 | 1.0007575 | 1.6E-4 |
6.6 | 1.591791E-4 | 3.4893592E-4 | 3.7892544E-4 | 1.0859457 | 3.0E-5 | 6.8201777E-4 | 0.0014945926 | 0.001554503 | 1.0400847 | 6.0E-5 | 0.008271996 | 0.018045008 | 0.018133383 | 1.0048975 | 9.0E-5 | 0.07970774 | 0.16380787 | 0.16394165 | 1.0008167 | 1.6E-4 |
6.7 | 1.4268003E-4 | 3.2059717E-4 | 3.5058756E-4 | 1.0935453 | 3.0E-5 | 6.1134255E-4 | 0.0013732726 | 0.0014331902 | 1.0436312 | 6.0E-5 | 0.007417723 | 0.01659171 | 0.016680216 | 1.0053344 | 9.0E-5 | 0.07174956 | 0.15193594 | 0.15207162 | 1.0008931 | 1.6E-4 |
6.8 | 1.239713E-4 | 2.9055026E-4 | 3.2054156E-4 | 1.1032224 | 3.0E-5 | 5.3119735E-4 | 0.0012446274 | 0.0013045527 | 1.0481472 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0064481674 | 0.015049482 | 0.015138128 | 1.0058903 | 9.0E-5 | 0.06264243 | 0.13838051 | 0.13851836 | 1.0009962 | 1.6E-4 |
6.9 | 1.0180238E-4 | 2.6255674E-4 | 2.9254888E-4 | 1.114231 | 3.0E-5 | 4.3622297E-4 | 0.0011247622 | 0.0011846948 | 1.0532846 | 6.0E-5 | 0.005298089 | 0.013608998 | 0.013697772 | 1.0065233 | 9.0E-5 | 0.05173543 | 0.12496473 | 0.12510473 | 1.0011203 | 1.6E-4 |
7.0 | 7.6619996E-5 | 2.2400476E-4 | 2.5399803E-4 | 1.1338958 | 3.0E-5 | 3.283301E-4 | 9.596704E-4 | 0.0010196128 | 1.0624615 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0039900932 | 0.011622103 | 0.011711056 | 1.0076538 | 9.0E-5 | 0.039192066 | 0.10726982 | 0.10741266 | 1.0013316 | 1.6E-4 |
7.1 | 7.5127435E-5 | 2.2083633E-4 | 2.508297E-4 | 1.1358172 | 3.0E-5 | 3.2193496E-4 | 9.461013E-4 | 0.0010060446 | 1.0633582 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0039125155 | 0.011458648 | 0.011547617 | 1.0077643 | 9.0E-5 | 0.038443442 | 0.10583378 | 0.10597684 | 1.0013518 | 1.6E-4 |
7.2 | 6.788582E-5 | 2.0211334E-4 | 2.3210728E-4 | 1.1484016 | 3.0E-5 | 2.9090676E-4 | 8.6591556E-4 | 9.2586357E-4 | 1.0692308 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0035360386 | 0.0104922 | 0.010581255 | 1.0084878 | 9.0E-5 | 0.034803 | 0.097503684 | 0.097648084 | 1.0014809 | 1.6E-4 |
7.3 | 6.399602E-5 | 1.8842232E-4 | 2.1841667E-4 | 1.1591868 | 3.0E-5 | 2.7423984E-4 | 8.0727716E-4 | 8.672287E-4 | 1.0742639 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0033337586 | 0.009784897 | 0.009874016 | 1.0091078 | 9.0E-5 | 0.03284188 | 0.091397986 | 0.09154336 | 1.0015906 | 1.6E-4 |
7.4 | 4.506759E-5 | 1.2530042E-4 | 1.5529666E-4 | 1.2393945 | 3.0E-5 | 1.9313251E-4 | 5.3689216E-4 | 5.868653E-4 | 1.0930786 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0023488526 | 0.006517245 | 0.0065967236 | 1.0121951 | 8.0E-5 | 0.023241805 | 0.062364522 | 0.06249579 | 1.0021049 | 1.4E-4 |
7.5 | 3.43289E-5 | 9.336103E-5 | 1.13359165E-4 | 1.2142022 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4711556E-4 | 4.0005764E-4 | 4.4004165E-4 | 1.0999455 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0017896603 | 0.004859886 | 0.0049295463 | 1.0143336 | 7.0E-5 | 0.01775316 | 0.047057066 | 0.04718095 | 1.0026326 | 1.3E-4 |
7.6 | 2.5980507E-5 | 7.053672E-5 | 8.053602E-5 | 1.1417601 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1134028E-4 | 3.0226534E-4 | 3.3225628E-4 | 1.0992205 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001354725 | 0.0036738948 | 0.0037336745 | 1.0162715 | 6.0E-5 | 0.013464959 | 0.03584298 | 0.035939395 | 1.00269 | 1.0E-4 |
7.7 | 1.7292105E-5 | 4.9412036E-5 | 5.9411544E-5 | 1.2023698 | 1.0E-5 | 7.4106916E-5 | 2.1174872E-4 | 2.4174237E-4 | 1.1416473 | 3.0E-5 | 9.018782E-4 | 0.0025749984 | 0.0026348438 | 1.023241 | 6.0E-5 | 0.008982267 | 0.025292097 | 0.025389567 | 1.0038538 | 1.0E-4 |
7.8 | 1.2927471E-5 | 3.9697254E-5 | 4.9696857E-5 | 1.2518966 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5402274E-5 | 1.7012001E-4 | 2.0011491E-4 | 1.1763161 | 3.0E-5 | 6.743139E-4 | 0.0020692463 | 0.0021291221 | 1.028936 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0067227143 | 0.020433145 | 0.020531101 | 1.004794 | 1.0E-4 |
7.9 | 1.0200774E-5 | 2.8748475E-5 | 3.874819E-5 | 1.3478346 | 1.0E-5 | 4.371687E-5 | 1.2320194E-4 | 1.5319824E-4 | 1.2434727 | 3.0E-5 | 5.321229E-4 | 0.0014989526 | 0.0015488777 | 1.0333066 | 5.0E-5 | 0.005308505 | 0.014992895 | 0.015071695 | 1.0052558 | 8.0E-5 |
8.0 | 8.650396E-6 | 2.3279512E-5 | 3.3279277E-5 | 1.4295523 | 1.0E-5 | 3.70726E-5 | 9.976552E-5 | 1.2976253E-4 | 1.300675 | 3.0E-5 | 4.5126543E-4 | 0.0012139693 | 0.0012639086 | 1.0411372 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0045035016 | 0.012212164 | 0.012281309 | 1.005662 | 7.0E-5 |
8.1 | 3.9368224E-6 | 7.3283345E-6 | 7.3283345E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6871985E-5 | 3.1406773E-5 | 3.1406773E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0539707E-4 | 3.8231048E-4 | 3.8231048E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020520731 | 0.0040015313 | 0.0040015313 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.7101195E-6 | 2.2178374E-6 | 2.2178374E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.329063E-6 | 9.504983E-6 | 9.504983E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.922769E-5 | 1.15717055E-4 | 1.15717055E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9191867E-4 | 0.00126669 | 0.00126669 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 3.0346666E-8 | 1.721086E-8 | 1.721086E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3005713E-7 | 7.376083E-8 | 7.376083E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5834444E-6 | 8.98038E-7 | 8.98038E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5834332E-5 | 9.36379E-6 | 9.36379E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Stepovers Combined)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.0667746E-5 | 3.5271103E-5 | 1.05268635E-4 | 2.9845574 | 7.0E-5 | 1.742787E-4 | 1.5115313E-4 | 2.4113953E-4 | 1.5953326 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0021197782 | 0.0018387372 | 0.001948535 | 1.0597137 | 1.1E-4 | 0.020996714 | 0.018986495 | 0.019163078 | 1.0093005 | 1.8E-4 |
6.1 | 4.0667746E-5 | 3.5271103E-5 | 1.05268635E-4 | 2.9845574 | 7.0E-5 | 1.742787E-4 | 1.5115313E-4 | 2.4113953E-4 | 1.5953326 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0021197782 | 0.0018387372 | 0.001948535 | 1.0597137 | 1.1E-4 | 0.020996714 | 0.018986495 | 0.019163078 | 1.0093005 | 1.8E-4 |
6.2 | 4.0667746E-5 | 3.5271103E-5 | 1.05268635E-4 | 2.9845574 | 7.0E-5 | 1.742787E-4 | 1.5115313E-4 | 2.4113953E-4 | 1.5953326 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0021197782 | 0.0018387372 | 0.001948535 | 1.0597137 | 1.1E-4 | 0.020996714 | 0.018986495 | 0.019163078 | 1.0093005 | 1.8E-4 |
6.3 | 4.0667746E-5 | 3.5271103E-5 | 1.05268635E-4 | 2.9845574 | 7.0E-5 | 1.742787E-4 | 1.5115313E-4 | 2.4113953E-4 | 1.5953326 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0021197782 | 0.0018387372 | 0.001948535 | 1.0597137 | 1.1E-4 | 0.020996714 | 0.018986495 | 0.019163078 | 1.0093005 | 1.8E-4 |
6.4 | 4.0577226E-5 | 3.5143014E-5 | 1.05140556E-4 | 2.991791 | 7.0E-5 | 1.738908E-4 | 1.5060425E-4 | 2.4059069E-4 | 1.5975027 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0021150648 | 0.0018320669 | 0.0019418654 | 1.0599315 | 1.1E-4 | 0.020950472 | 0.018921062 | 0.019097656 | 1.0093333 | 1.8E-4 |
6.5 | 4.0577226E-5 | 3.5143014E-5 | 1.05140556E-4 | 2.991791 | 7.0E-5 | 1.738908E-4 | 1.5060425E-4 | 2.4059069E-4 | 1.5975027 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0021150648 | 0.0018320669 | 0.0019418654 | 1.0599315 | 1.1E-4 | 0.020950472 | 0.018921062 | 0.019097656 | 1.0093333 | 1.8E-4 |
6.6 | 4.053861E-5 | 3.5088357E-5 | 1.050859E-4 | 2.9948938 | 7.0E-5 | 1.7372532E-4 | 1.5037002E-4 | 2.4035649E-4 | 1.5984335 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0021130538 | 0.0018292206 | 0.0019390194 | 1.0600249 | 1.1E-4 | 0.020930743 | 0.01889314 | 0.019069739 | 1.0093473 | 1.8E-4 |
6.7 | 4.0516545E-5 | 3.505743E-5 | 1.05054976E-4 | 2.9966536 | 7.0E-5 | 1.7363077E-4 | 1.502375E-4 | 2.4022398E-4 | 1.5989615 | 9.0E-5 | 0.002111905 | 0.0018276101 | 0.001937409 | 1.0600779 | 1.1E-4 | 0.020919468 | 0.018877337 | 0.019053938 | 1.0093552 | 1.8E-4 |
6.8 | 4.049434E-5 | 3.5028992E-5 | 1.0502654E-4 | 2.9982746 | 7.0E-5 | 1.7353562E-4 | 1.5011564E-4 | 2.4010213E-4 | 1.5994478 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0021107488 | 0.0018261289 | 0.001935928 | 1.0601267 | 1.1E-4 | 0.020908125 | 0.018862749 | 0.019039353 | 1.0093626 | 1.8E-4 |
6.9 | 4.046386E-5 | 3.4991554E-5 | 1.0498911E-4 | 3.0004127 | 7.0E-5 | 1.73405E-4 | 1.499552E-4 | 2.399417E-4 | 1.6000893 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0021091616 | 0.0018241788 | 0.0019339782 | 1.0601912 | 1.1E-4 | 0.020892553 | 0.018843522 | 0.01902013 | 1.0093724 | 1.8E-4 |
7.0 | 4.036382E-5 | 3.4872126E-5 | 1.0486969E-4 | 3.007264 | 7.0E-5 | 1.7297632E-4 | 1.4944343E-4 | 2.3942997E-4 | 1.6021446 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0021039525 | 0.0018179584 | 0.0019277585 | 1.0603974 | 1.1E-4 | 0.02084144 | 0.018782137 | 0.018958755 | 1.0094036 | 1.8E-4 |
7.1 | 4.0343282E-5 | 3.485059E-5 | 1.0484815E-4 | 3.0085044 | 7.0E-5 | 1.7288832E-4 | 1.4935112E-4 | 2.3933769E-4 | 1.6025168 | 9.0E-5 | 0.002102883 | 0.0018168368 | 0.0019266369 | 1.0604348 | 1.1E-4 | 0.020830948 | 0.018771008 | 0.01894763 | 1.0094093 | 1.8E-4 |
7.2 | 4.0257353E-5 | 3.475509E-5 | 1.0475265E-4 | 3.0140235 | 7.0E-5 | 1.725201E-4 | 1.489419E-4 | 2.3892848E-4 | 1.6041725 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0020984085 | 0.0018118626 | 0.0019216633 | 1.060601 | 1.1E-4 | 0.020787042 | 0.018721746 | 0.018898377 | 1.0094345 | 1.8E-4 |
7.3 | 3.9940667E-5 | 3.458276E-5 | 1.0458034E-4 | 3.02406 | 7.0E-5 | 1.7116306E-4 | 1.4820343E-4 | 2.3819008E-4 | 1.6071835 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0020819185 | 0.0018028866 | 0.0019126884 | 1.0609033 | 1.1E-4 | 0.020625217 | 0.018630387 | 0.018807033 | 1.0094817 | 1.8E-4 |
7.4 | 3.9721202E-5 | 3.4468165E-5 | 1.04465755E-4 | 3.0307894 | 7.0E-5 | 1.7022261E-4 | 1.4771236E-4 | 2.3769907E-4 | 1.6092023 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0020704903 | 0.0017969179 | 0.0019067202 | 1.061106 | 1.1E-4 | 0.020513052 | 0.018569522 | 0.018746179 | 1.0095133 | 1.8E-4 |
7.5 | 3.7036873E-5 | 3.3535776E-5 | 1.0353343E-4 | 3.087253 | 7.0E-5 | 1.5871979E-4 | 1.4371685E-4 | 2.3370392E-4 | 1.6261414 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0019307006 | 0.0017483513 | 0.001858159 | 1.0628064 | 1.1E-4 | 0.019140124 | 0.018071128 | 0.018247876 | 1.0097806 | 1.8E-4 |
7.6 | 3.2940967E-5 | 3.13167E-5 | 1.0131451E-4 | 3.235159 | 7.0E-5 | 1.4116794E-4 | 1.3420754E-4 | 2.2419546E-4 | 1.6705132 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0017173645 | 0.0016327545 | 0.0017425749 | 1.0672609 | 1.1E-4 | 0.01704153 | 0.016904091 | 0.017081048 | 1.0104684 | 1.8E-4 |
7.7 | 2.8236149E-5 | 2.7882697E-5 | 9.7880744E-5 | 3.5104475 | 7.0E-5 | 1.2100645E-4 | 1.1949181E-4 | 1.9948225E-4 | 1.669422 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0014722579 | 0.0014538429 | 0.0015536975 | 1.0686833 | 1.0E-4 | 0.014625421 | 0.015114912 | 0.0152724935 | 1.0104256 | 1.6E-4 |
7.8 | 2.4329287E-5 | 2.5206451E-5 | 9.520468E-5 | 3.7769969 | 7.0E-5 | 1.042642E-4 | 1.08023174E-4 | 1.8801453E-4 | 1.7405018 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0012686774 | 0.0013143895 | 0.0014142581 | 1.0759809 | 1.0E-4 | 0.012614589 | 0.013712341 | 0.013870146 | 1.0115083 | 1.6E-4 |
7.9 | 1.9370926E-5 | 2.0420413E-5 | 9.041898E-5 | 4.4278727 | 7.0E-5 | 8.301561E-5 | 8.751312E-5 | 1.6750612E-4 | 1.9140686 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0010102465 | 0.0010649522 | 0.0011548564 | 1.0844208 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0100566605 | 0.011199402 | 0.011347721 | 1.0132436 | 1.5E-4 |
8.0 | 1.5583017E-5 | 1.5885415E-5 | 5.588478E-5 | 3.517993 | 4.0E-5 | 6.6782646E-5 | 6.807858E-5 | 1.1807517E-4 | 1.7343954 | 5.0E-5 | 8.127754E-4 | 8.2854216E-4 | 8.8849245E-4 | 1.0723563 | 6.0E-5 | 0.008098091 | 0.008781636 | 0.008900583 | 1.0135449 | 1.2E-4 |
8.1 | 1.0024873E-5 | 8.291399E-6 | 2.8291233E-5 | 3.412118 | 2.0E-5 | 4.2963035E-5 | 3.553409E-5 | 6.553302E-5 | 1.8442297 | 3.0E-5 | 5.229494E-4 | 4.3254215E-4 | 4.7252484E-4 | 1.0924366 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0052172043 | 0.0046530655 | 0.0047127865 | 1.0128347 | 6.0E-5 |
8.2 | 4.142796E-6 | 1.5602761E-6 | 1.5602761E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.775472E-5 | 6.6868806E-6 | 6.6868806E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1614227E-4 | 8.140976E-5 | 8.140976E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021593217 | 9.4514614E-4 | 9.4514614E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2750878E-6 | 3.609817E-7 | 3.609817E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4646503E-6 | 1.5470634E-6 | 1.5470634E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.653009E-5 | 1.8835339E-5 | 1.8835339E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6510175E-4 | 2.272251E-4 | 2.272251E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Ynez (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.6750775E-5 | 7.6749304E-5 | 2.0883725 | 4.0E-5 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5749714E-4 | 2.3748454E-4 | 1.5078658 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0019164253 | 0.0020262145 | 1.0572885 | 1.1E-4 | 0.016697178 | 0.019056438 | 0.019203579 | 1.0077213 | 1.5E-4 |
6.1 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.6750775E-5 | 7.6749304E-5 | 2.0883725 | 4.0E-5 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5749714E-4 | 2.3748454E-4 | 1.5078658 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0019164253 | 0.0020262145 | 1.0572885 | 1.1E-4 | 0.016697178 | 0.019056438 | 0.019203579 | 1.0077213 | 1.5E-4 |
6.2 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.6750775E-5 | 7.6749304E-5 | 2.0883725 | 4.0E-5 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5749714E-4 | 2.3748454E-4 | 1.5078658 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0019164253 | 0.0020262145 | 1.0572885 | 1.1E-4 | 0.016697178 | 0.019056438 | 0.019203579 | 1.0077213 | 1.5E-4 |
6.3 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.6750775E-5 | 7.6749304E-5 | 2.0883725 | 4.0E-5 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5749714E-4 | 2.3748454E-4 | 1.5078658 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0019164253 | 0.0020262145 | 1.0572885 | 1.1E-4 | 0.016697178 | 0.019056438 | 0.019203579 | 1.0077213 | 1.5E-4 |
6.4 | 1.4404779E-5 | 1.48492945E-5 | 1.48492945E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1733306E-5 | 6.363831E-5 | 7.3637675E-5 | 1.1571281 | 1.0E-5 | 7.513438E-4 | 7.7452604E-4 | 7.945106E-4 | 1.0258023 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0074880854 | 0.007718817 | 0.007758508 | 1.0051421 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.4404779E-5 | 1.48492945E-5 | 1.48492945E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1733306E-5 | 6.363831E-5 | 7.3637675E-5 | 1.1571281 | 1.0E-5 | 7.513438E-4 | 7.7452604E-4 | 7.945106E-4 | 1.0258023 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0074880854 | 0.007718817 | 0.007758508 | 1.0051421 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.280208E-5 | 1.301186E-5 | 1.301186E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4864904E-5 | 5.5763932E-5 | 6.576337E-5 | 1.1793174 | 1.0E-5 | 6.6777546E-4 | 6.7871617E-4 | 6.987026E-4 | 1.0294474 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006657724 | 0.0067666434 | 0.0068063727 | 1.0058713 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2457027E-5 | 1.262838E-5 | 1.262838E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3386164E-5 | 5.4120515E-5 | 6.411997E-5 | 1.1847628 | 1.0E-5 | 6.497827E-4 | 6.5871974E-4 | 6.7870656E-4 | 1.030342 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00647886 | 0.00656787 | 0.006607607 | 1.0060502 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2095134E-5 | 1.2230827E-5 | 1.2230827E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1835254E-5 | 5.2416784E-5 | 6.2416264E-5 | 1.1907686 | 1.0E-5 | 6.309115E-4 | 6.3798914E-4 | 6.579764E-4 | 1.0313284 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0062912325 | 0.006361764 | 0.006401509 | 1.0062475 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.1104036E-5 | 1.115726E-5 | 1.115726E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.758786E-5 | 4.781596E-5 | 5.781548E-5 | 1.2091252 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7922816E-4 | 5.82005E-4 | 6.019934E-4 | 1.034344 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005777207 | 0.0058049536 | 0.0058347797 | 1.005138 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0577444E-5 | 1.05815925E-5 | 1.05815925E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5331115E-5 | 4.53489E-5 | 5.534845E-5 | 1.2205025 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5176654E-4 | 5.5198424E-4 | 5.7197316E-4 | 1.0362129 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0055039856 | 0.00550627 | 0.005536105 | 1.0054183 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0021775E-5 | 9.9809E-6 | 9.9809E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.294976E-5 | 4.277459E-5 | 5.2774165E-5 | 1.2337736 | 1.0E-5 | 5.2278786E-4 | 5.206574E-4 | 5.4064696E-4 | 1.038393 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0052155964 | 0.005194508 | 0.0052243522 | 1.0057453 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 8.874109E-6 | 8.748706E-6 | 8.748706E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8031343E-5 | 3.7493923E-5 | 4.7493548E-5 | 1.2666999 | 1.0E-5 | 4.629332E-4 | 4.56394E-4 | 4.6638944E-4 | 1.0219009 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0046197 | 0.0045546847 | 0.004564639 | 1.0021856 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.5504267E-6 | 7.5050243E-6 | 7.5050243E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.235857E-5 | 3.2164E-5 | 4.2163676E-5 | 1.3108966 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9389438E-4 | 3.9152734E-4 | 4.0152343E-4 | 1.025531 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0039319694 | 0.0039084824 | 0.0039184433 | 1.0025486 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.309394E-6 | 6.183062E-6 | 6.183062E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.703998E-5 | 2.6498574E-5 | 3.649831E-5 | 1.3773688 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2916202E-4 | 3.2257332E-4 | 3.325701E-4 | 1.0309907 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003286749 | 0.0032211484 | 0.003231116 | 1.0030944 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.6103073E-6 | 4.4408016E-6 | 4.4408016E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.975831E-5 | 1.9031871E-5 | 2.9031682E-5 | 1.5254244 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4053088E-4 | 2.316891E-4 | 2.4168678E-4 | 1.0431513 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002402707 | 0.002314545 | 0.0023245218 | 1.0043105 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.2858658E-6 | 1.3008196E-6 | 1.3008196E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5108417E-6 | 5.574929E-6 | 5.574929E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7092435E-5 | 6.787272E-5 | 6.787272E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.707218E-4 | 6.7852676E-4 | 6.7852676E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.3302307E-7 | 5.612138E-7 | 5.612138E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2843826E-6 | 2.4052001E-6 | 2.4052001E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7812002E-5 | 2.9282955E-5 | 2.9282955E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7808524E-4 | 2.9279455E-4 | 2.9279455E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.613933E-8 | 4.80301E-8 | 4.80301E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9773998E-7 | 2.0584326E-7 | 2.0584326E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4074816E-6 | 2.5061388E-6 | 2.5061388E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4074554E-5 | 2.5061116E-5 | 2.5061116E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Deep Springs
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.311252E-5 | 7.311136E-5 | 3.1632798 | 5.0E-5 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.9052755E-5 | 1.490478E-4 | 1.5047315 | 5.0E-5 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012058078 | 0.0013156752 | 1.0911151 | 1.1E-4 | 0.010283757 | 0.01204243 | 0.012210383 | 1.0139468 | 1.7E-4 |
6.1 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.311252E-5 | 7.311136E-5 | 3.1632798 | 5.0E-5 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.9052755E-5 | 1.490478E-4 | 1.5047315 | 5.0E-5 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012058078 | 0.0013156752 | 1.0911151 | 1.1E-4 | 0.010283757 | 0.01204243 | 0.012210383 | 1.0139468 | 1.7E-4 |
6.2 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.311252E-5 | 7.311136E-5 | 3.1632798 | 5.0E-5 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.9052755E-5 | 1.490478E-4 | 1.5047315 | 5.0E-5 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012058078 | 0.0013156752 | 1.0911151 | 1.1E-4 | 0.010283757 | 0.01204243 | 0.012210383 | 1.0139468 | 1.7E-4 |
6.3 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.311252E-5 | 7.311136E-5 | 3.1632798 | 5.0E-5 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.9052755E-5 | 1.490478E-4 | 1.5047315 | 5.0E-5 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012058078 | 0.0013156752 | 1.0911151 | 1.1E-4 | 0.010283757 | 0.01204243 | 0.012210383 | 1.0139468 | 1.7E-4 |
6.4 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.311252E-5 | 7.311136E-5 | 3.1632798 | 5.0E-5 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.9052755E-5 | 1.490478E-4 | 1.5047315 | 5.0E-5 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012058078 | 0.0013156752 | 1.0911151 | 1.1E-4 | 0.010283757 | 0.01204243 | 0.012210383 | 1.0139468 | 1.7E-4 |
6.5 | 1.7190405E-5 | 2.0050558E-5 | 7.004956E-5 | 3.4936461 | 5.0E-5 | 7.367108E-5 | 8.593096E-5 | 1.3592666E-4 | 1.5818125 | 5.0E-5 | 8.9657627E-4 | 0.0010462092 | 0.0011560941 | 1.1050315 | 1.1E-4 | 0.008929676 | 0.010462061 | 0.010620387 | 1.0151334 | 1.6E-4 |
6.6 | 1.7190405E-5 | 2.0050558E-5 | 7.004956E-5 | 3.4936461 | 5.0E-5 | 7.367108E-5 | 8.593096E-5 | 1.3592666E-4 | 1.5818125 | 5.0E-5 | 8.9657627E-4 | 0.0010462092 | 0.0011560941 | 1.1050315 | 1.1E-4 | 0.008929676 | 0.010462061 | 0.010620387 | 1.0151334 | 1.6E-4 |
San Clemente
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.681379E-5 | 8.163834E-5 | 1.4163344E-4 | 1.7348888 | 6.0E-5 | 2.8631336E-4 | 3.4983488E-4 | 4.398034E-4 | 1.2571743 | 9.0E-5 | 0.003480294 | 0.00425141 | 0.004390815 | 1.0327903 | 1.4E-4 | 0.03426291 | 0.04175603 | 0.04191893 | 1.0039012 | 1.7E-4 |
6.1 | 6.681379E-5 | 8.163834E-5 | 1.3163425E-4 | 1.6124073 | 5.0E-5 | 2.8631336E-4 | 3.4983488E-4 | 4.198104E-4 | 1.2000244 | 7.0E-5 | 0.003480294 | 0.00425141 | 0.0043709 | 1.028106 | 1.2E-4 | 0.03426291 | 0.04175603 | 0.04189018 | 1.0032128 | 1.4E-4 |
6.2 | 3.9400576E-5 | 4.6452373E-5 | 6.6451445E-5 | 1.4305285 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6884868E-4 | 1.9906677E-4 | 2.1906279E-4 | 1.1004488 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0020537945 | 0.0024209984 | 0.0024609016 | 1.0164821 | 4.0E-5 | 0.020349167 | 0.023952903 | 0.023991946 | 1.00163 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.2590255E-5 | 3.792912E-5 | 3.792912E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3966505E-4 | 1.6254342E-4 | 1.6254342E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016990956 | 0.0019772002 | 0.0019971605 | 1.0100954 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01686163 | 0.019599883 | 0.019619491 | 1.0010004 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.9454652E-5 | 3.4097764E-5 | 3.4097764E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2622811E-4 | 1.4612524E-4 | 1.4612524E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015357438 | 0.0017776493 | 0.0017976137 | 1.0112308 | 2.0E-5 | 0.015251739 | 0.01763747 | 0.017657118 | 1.0011139 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.790836E-5 | 3.2247463E-5 | 3.2247463E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1960178E-4 | 1.3819624E-4 | 1.3819624E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001455179 | 0.0016812662 | 0.0017012326 | 1.0118757 | 2.0E-5 | 0.014456868 | 0.016688485 | 0.01670815 | 1.0011784 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.2492153E-5 | 2.5762702E-5 | 2.5762702E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.639138E-5 | 1.1040699E-4 | 1.1040699E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011729331 | 0.0013433909 | 0.001363364 | 1.0148677 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011667615 | 0.013354417 | 0.01337415 | 1.0014776 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.9862755E-5 | 2.2666423E-5 | 2.2666423E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.512331E-5 | 9.713826E-5 | 9.713826E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010358836 | 0.0011820279 | 0.0012020043 | 1.0169001 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010310682 | 0.011758701 | 0.0117784655 | 1.0016809 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.6697575E-5 | 1.897771E-5 | 1.897771E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.155907E-5 | 8.133056E-5 | 8.133056E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7088346E-4 | 9.897591E-4 | 9.997492E-4 | 1.0100935 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008674784 | 0.0098545365 | 0.009864438 | 1.0010048 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.5218415E-5 | 1.72694E-5 | 1.72694E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.522015E-5 | 7.4009666E-5 | 7.4009666E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.93766E-4 | 9.00704E-4 | 9.10695E-4 | 1.0110924 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007909367 | 0.008971481 | 0.008981391 | 1.0011046 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.2392958E-5 | 1.4033016E-5 | 1.4033016E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3111595E-5 | 6.014015E-5 | 6.014015E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4644177E-4 | 7.319679E-4 | 7.419606E-4 | 1.0136518 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0064456454 | 0.0072963564 | 0.007306284 | 1.0013605 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0934128E-5 | 1.2375138E-5 | 1.2375138E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6859706E-5 | 5.303527E-5 | 5.303527E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7036756E-4 | 6.455204E-4 | 6.455204E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0056890585 | 0.0064371997 | 0.0064371997 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 9.5798805E-6 | 1.0844935E-5 | 1.0844935E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1055984E-5 | 4.6477508E-5 | 4.6477508E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9974193E-4 | 5.657239E-4 | 5.657239E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0049861963 | 0.0056435615 | 0.0056435615 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 8.0167365E-6 | 9.083918E-6 | 9.083918E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4356988E-5 | 3.8930535E-5 | 3.8930535E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1821605E-4 | 4.7388324E-4 | 4.7388324E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041742986 | 0.0047294297 | 0.0047294297 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.9581017E-6 | 3.3623792E-6 | 3.3623792E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2677518E-5 | 1.4410146E-5 | 1.4410146E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5433785E-4 | 1.7543444E-4 | 1.7543444E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001542307 | 0.0017534546 | 0.0017534546 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pleito
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.4764735E-5 | 4.476424E-5 | 1.80758 | 2.0E-5 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0613067E-4 | 1.2612855E-4 | 1.188427 | 2.0E-5 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.001291447 | 0.0013813308 | 1.0695993 | 9.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.012954412 | 0.013112339 | 1.012191 | 1.6E-4 |
6.1 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.4764735E-5 | 4.476424E-5 | 1.80758 | 2.0E-5 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0613067E-4 | 1.2612855E-4 | 1.188427 | 2.0E-5 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.001291447 | 0.0013813308 | 1.0695993 | 9.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.012954412 | 0.013112339 | 1.012191 | 1.6E-4 |
6.2 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.4764735E-5 | 4.476424E-5 | 1.80758 | 2.0E-5 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0613067E-4 | 1.2612855E-4 | 1.188427 | 2.0E-5 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.001291447 | 0.0013813308 | 1.0695993 | 9.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.012954412 | 0.013112339 | 1.012191 | 1.6E-4 |
6.3 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.4764735E-5 | 4.476424E-5 | 1.80758 | 2.0E-5 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0613067E-4 | 1.2612855E-4 | 1.188427 | 2.0E-5 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.001291447 | 0.0013813308 | 1.0695993 | 9.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.012954412 | 0.013112339 | 1.012191 | 1.6E-4 |
6.4 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.4764735E-5 | 4.476424E-5 | 1.80758 | 2.0E-5 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0613067E-4 | 1.2612855E-4 | 1.188427 | 2.0E-5 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.001291447 | 0.0013813308 | 1.0695993 | 9.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.012954412 | 0.013112339 | 1.012191 | 1.6E-4 |
6.5 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.4764735E-5 | 4.476424E-5 | 1.80758 | 2.0E-5 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0613067E-4 | 1.2612855E-4 | 1.188427 | 2.0E-5 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.001291447 | 0.0013813308 | 1.0695993 | 9.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.012954412 | 0.013112339 | 1.012191 | 1.6E-4 |
6.6 | 9.910213E-6 | 1.721552E-5 | 2.7215348E-5 | 1.5808612 | 1.0E-5 | 4.247165E-5 | 7.3778734E-5 | 8.3777995E-5 | 1.1355304 | 1.0E-5 | 5.169696E-4 | 8.9788967E-4 | 9.278627E-4 | 1.0333817 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0051576863 | 0.009051226 | 0.009120592 | 1.0076637 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.910213E-6 | 1.721552E-5 | 2.7215348E-5 | 1.5808612 | 1.0E-5 | 4.247165E-5 | 7.3778734E-5 | 8.3777995E-5 | 1.1355304 | 1.0E-5 | 5.169696E-4 | 8.9788967E-4 | 9.278627E-4 | 1.0333817 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0051576863 | 0.009051226 | 0.009120592 | 1.0076637 | 7.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.300162E-6 | 1.5475129E-5 | 2.5474974E-5 | 1.6461881 | 1.0E-5 | 3.557164E-5 | 6.63203E-5 | 7.6319644E-5 | 1.1507734 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3299864E-4 | 8.07152E-4 | 8.2713587E-4 | 1.0247585 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004321559 | 0.008150663 | 0.008180419 | 1.0036507 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.183114E-6 | 1.5346344E-5 | 2.5346191E-5 | 1.651611 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5070017E-5 | 6.57684E-5 | 7.576774E-5 | 1.1520387 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2689382E-4 | 8.0043747E-4 | 8.204215E-4 | 1.0249664 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0042607468 | 0.008084008 | 0.008113765 | 1.0036811 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.1748823E-6 | 1.4133306E-5 | 2.4133164E-5 | 1.7075386 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0749135E-5 | 6.0569906E-5 | 7.05693E-5 | 1.1650885 | 1.0E-5 | 3.743064E-4 | 7.3718966E-4 | 7.571749E-4 | 1.0271101 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0037367654 | 0.0074553755 | 0.0074851518 | 1.003994 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.1671807E-6 | 1.4123676E-5 | 2.4123534E-5 | 1.708021 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0716128E-5 | 6.0528637E-5 | 7.052803E-5 | 1.1652011 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7390468E-4 | 7.366875E-4 | 7.5667276E-4 | 1.0271286 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0037327618 | 0.0074503883 | 0.0074801645 | 1.0039966 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.0649667E-6 | 1.3970962E-5 | 2.3970822E-5 | 1.7157604 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0278077E-5 | 5.987418E-5 | 6.987358E-5 | 1.1670069 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6857324E-4 | 7.287248E-4 | 7.4871024E-4 | 1.0274252 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0036796255 | 0.0073711374 | 0.0074009164 | 1.0040399 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.02082E-6 | 1.3914415E-5 | 2.3914276E-5 | 1.7186692 | 1.0E-5 | 3.008888E-5 | 5.9631846E-5 | 6.963125E-5 | 1.1676856 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6627054E-4 | 7.257764E-4 | 7.457619E-4 | 1.0275367 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0036566744 | 0.0073416373 | 0.0073714172 | 1.0040563 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.987146E-6 | 1.3873975E-5 | 2.3873838E-5 | 1.7207639 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9944567E-5 | 5.9458544E-5 | 6.945795E-5 | 1.1681744 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6451413E-4 | 7.2366785E-4 | 7.4365333E-4 | 1.027617 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0036391679 | 0.007320571 | 0.0073503517 | 1.004068 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.9494554E-6 | 1.383088E-5 | 2.3830742E-5 | 1.7230098 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9783041E-5 | 5.9273858E-5 | 6.9273265E-5 | 1.1686984 | 1.0E-5 | 3.625482E-4 | 7.2142074E-4 | 7.4140634E-4 | 1.027703 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0036195726 | 0.007298199 | 0.00732798 | 1.0040807 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.92694E-6 | 1.3789992E-5 | 2.3789855E-5 | 1.7251536 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9686547E-5 | 5.909863E-5 | 6.909804E-5 | 1.1691986 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6137376E-4 | 7.192888E-4 | 7.3927443E-4 | 1.0277853 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0036078666 | 0.007276951 | 0.0073067327 | 1.0040926 | 3.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.395867E-6 | 1.26690065E-5 | 2.266888E-5 | 1.7893178 | 1.0E-5 | 2.741057E-5 | 5.4294615E-5 | 6.429407E-5 | 1.1841704 | 1.0E-5 | 3.336726E-4 | 6.6083675E-4 | 6.808235E-4 | 1.0302447 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0033317201 | 0.0066955453 | 0.0067253443 | 1.0044506 | 3.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.8664327E-6 | 1.1536581E-5 | 2.1536465E-5 | 1.8667979 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5141611E-5 | 4.9441554E-5 | 5.944106E-5 | 1.202249 | 1.0E-5 | 3.060561E-4 | 6.0178485E-4 | 6.2177284E-4 | 1.0332144 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0030563495 | 0.0061010164 | 0.0061308336 | 1.0048872 | 3.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.7167474E-6 | 7.1145205E-6 | 1.711445E-5 | 2.405566 | 1.0E-5 | 1.592882E-5 | 3.0490448E-5 | 4.0490144E-5 | 1.3279616 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9391612E-4 | 3.7115812E-4 | 3.911507E-4 | 1.0538654 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0019374699 | 0.0037676243 | 0.0037975113 | 1.0079325 | 3.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.0903841E-6 | 1.2879104E-6 | 1.1287898E-5 | 8.764505 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6730665E-6 | 5.5196047E-6 | 1.551955E-5 | 2.811714 | 1.0E-5 | 5.68931E-5 | 6.719913E-5 | 7.7198456E-5 | 1.1488014 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6878536E-4 | 6.942094E-4 | 7.0420245E-4 | 1.0143949 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 2.6894583E-7 | 1.1056095E-7 | 1.1056095E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1526245E-6 | 4.7383253E-7 | 4.7383253E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4033113E-5 | 5.768896E-6 | 5.768896E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4032227E-4 | 6.454915E-5 | 6.454915E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 5.2967013E-9 | 2.4567874E-9 | 2.4567874E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2700148E-8 | 1.0529089E-8 | 1.0529089E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7637427E-7 | 1.2819166E-7 | 1.2819166E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7637393E-6 | 1.4588004E-6 | 1.4588004E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Tin Mountain
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.1815365E-6 | 5.4181328E-5 | 12.957276 | 5.0E-5 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.792077E-5 | 9.7919336E-5 | 5.464014 | 8.0E-5 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.1816725E-4 | 3.581367E-4 | 1.6415695 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0021285915 | 0.0021798965 | 0.0023395475 | 1.073238 | 1.6E-4 |
6.1 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.1815365E-6 | 5.4181328E-5 | 12.957276 | 5.0E-5 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.792077E-5 | 9.7919336E-5 | 5.464014 | 8.0E-5 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.1816725E-4 | 3.581367E-4 | 1.6415695 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0021285915 | 0.0021798965 | 0.0023395475 | 1.073238 | 1.6E-4 |
6.2 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.1815365E-6 | 5.4181328E-5 | 12.957276 | 5.0E-5 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.792077E-5 | 9.7919336E-5 | 5.464014 | 8.0E-5 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.1816725E-4 | 3.581367E-4 | 1.6415695 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0021285915 | 0.0021798965 | 0.0023395475 | 1.073238 | 1.6E-4 |
6.3 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.1815365E-6 | 5.4181328E-5 | 12.957276 | 5.0E-5 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.792077E-5 | 9.7919336E-5 | 5.464014 | 8.0E-5 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.1816725E-4 | 3.581367E-4 | 1.6415695 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0021285915 | 0.0021798965 | 0.0023395475 | 1.073238 | 1.6E-4 |
6.4 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.1815365E-6 | 5.4181328E-5 | 12.957276 | 5.0E-5 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.792077E-5 | 9.7919336E-5 | 5.464014 | 8.0E-5 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.1816725E-4 | 3.581367E-4 | 1.6415695 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0021285915 | 0.0021798965 | 0.0023395475 | 1.073238 | 1.6E-4 |
6.5 | 2.3143427E-6 | 2.3731573E-6 | 5.2373038E-5 | 22.06893 | 5.0E-5 | 9.9185745E-6 | 1.0170638E-5 | 7.017003E-5 | 6.899275 | 6.0E-5 | 1.2075195E-4 | 1.2382126E-4 | 2.3380763E-4 | 1.8882674 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0012068636 | 0.0012375986 | 0.0013474625 | 1.0887718 | 1.1E-4 |
6.6 | 2.3143427E-6 | 2.3731573E-6 | 5.2373038E-5 | 22.06893 | 5.0E-5 | 9.9185745E-6 | 1.0170638E-5 | 7.017003E-5 | 6.899275 | 6.0E-5 | 1.2075195E-4 | 1.2382126E-4 | 2.3380763E-4 | 1.8882674 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0012068636 | 0.0012375986 | 0.0013474625 | 1.0887718 | 1.1E-4 |
6.7 | 1.7029532E-6 | 1.7497915E-6 | 3.174974E-5 | 18.14487 | 3.0E-5 | 7.2983503E-6 | 7.499088E-6 | 3.7498863E-5 | 5.0004563 | 3.0E-5 | 8.885379E-5 | 9.1298105E-5 | 1.6129171E-4 | 1.7666491 | 7.0E-5 | 8.881827E-4 | 9.1265864E-4 | 9.825947E-4 | 1.076629 | 7.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2914646E-6 | 1.3299378E-6 | 3.13299E-5 | 23.557415 | 3.0E-5 | 5.534837E-6 | 5.6997237E-6 | 3.569955E-5 | 6.263383 | 3.0E-5 | 6.738455E-5 | 6.939237E-5 | 1.2938821E-4 | 1.8645884 | 6.0E-5 | 6.736412E-4 | 6.9375033E-4 | 7.537087E-4 | 1.0864265 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.8708974E-7 | 6.1169936E-7 | 1.0611693E-5 | 17.347889 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5160964E-6 | 2.6215664E-6 | 1.262154E-5 | 4.8145037 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0633044E-5 | 3.1917145E-5 | 4.1916825E-5 | 1.3133012 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0628822E-4 | 3.191297E-4 | 3.2912652E-4 | 1.0313252 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.6248786E-7 | 4.832015E-7 | 1.0483197E-5 | 21.69529 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9820893E-6 | 2.0708624E-6 | 1.2070842E-5 | 5.8288965 | 1.0E-5 | 2.413167E-5 | 2.5212494E-5 | 3.521224E-5 | 1.3966187 | 1.0E-5 | 2.412905E-4 | 2.5210003E-4 | 2.620975E-4 | 1.0396568 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.804606E-7 | 3.987147E-7 | 3.987147E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6305444E-6 | 1.7087764E-6 | 1.7087764E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9851697E-5 | 2.0804187E-5 | 2.0804187E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9849923E-4 | 2.0802575E-4 | 2.0802575E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.5864858E-7 | 3.7616863E-7 | 3.7616863E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5370645E-6 | 1.6121504E-6 | 1.6121504E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.87136E-5 | 1.9627789E-5 | 1.9627789E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8712023E-4 | 1.9626386E-4 | 1.9626386E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.342063E-7 | 3.506347E-7 | 3.506347E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4323119E-6 | 1.5027196E-6 | 1.5027196E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7438259E-5 | 1.829549E-5 | 1.829549E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.743689E-4 | 1.8294314E-4 | 1.8294314E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.971242E-7 | 3.1165817E-7 | 3.1165817E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2733886E-6 | 1.3356774E-6 | 1.3356774E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5503398E-5 | 1.6261785E-5 | 1.6261785E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5502315E-4 | 1.6260923E-4 | 1.6260923E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.4326713E-7 | 1.5012525E-7 | 1.5012525E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.140018E-7 | 6.433939E-7 | 6.433939E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4754466E-6 | 7.8333205E-6 | 7.8333205E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.475195E-5 | 7.833321E-5 | 7.833321E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Mission Ridge-Arroyo Parida-Santa Ana
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.169034E-5 | 4.7137048E-5 | 6.7136105E-5 | 1.4242747 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7866064E-4 | 2.0200513E-4 | 2.3199907E-4 | 1.1484811 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0021730233 | 0.0024574657 | 0.0025372691 | 1.0324738 | 8.0E-5 | 0.021518968 | 0.02438483 | 0.024521416 | 1.0056013 | 1.4E-4 |
6.1 | 1.73813E-5 | 1.6854203E-5 | 2.6854035E-5 | 1.5933138 | 1.0E-5 | 7.4489166E-5 | 7.223036E-5 | 8.2229635E-5 | 1.138436 | 1.0E-5 | 9.065282E-4 | 8.790605E-4 | 9.090341E-4 | 1.0340973 | 3.0E-5 | 0.009028391 | 0.008757128 | 0.008816604 | 1.0067916 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.4622182E-5 | 1.3673262E-5 | 1.3673262E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2664985E-5 | 5.85984E-5 | 5.85984E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6267915E-4 | 7.132059E-4 | 7.331916E-4 | 1.0280224 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007600669 | 0.007109767 | 0.0071594114 | 1.0069826 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3552434E-5 | 1.2482174E-5 | 1.2482174E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8080568E-5 | 5.349395E-5 | 5.349395E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.069015E-4 | 6.510974E-4 | 6.7108433E-4 | 1.0306973 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00704657 | 0.006492415 | 0.0065420903 | 1.0076513 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.30977305E-5 | 1.1979128E-5 | 1.1979128E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.613192E-5 | 5.133813E-5 | 5.133813E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.831918E-4 | 6.2486547E-4 | 6.44853E-4 | 1.0319868 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006810953 | 0.006231584 | 0.0062812725 | 1.0079737 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.225205E-5 | 1.1048776E-5 | 1.1048776E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2507727E-5 | 4.735105E-5 | 4.735105E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3909404E-4 | 5.7634927E-4 | 5.863435E-4 | 1.0173405 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006372592 | 0.005749009 | 0.005788779 | 1.0069177 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.1352241E-5 | 1.0063508E-5 | 1.0063508E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8651553E-5 | 4.3128617E-5 | 4.3128617E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.921717E-4 | 5.249665E-4 | 5.349613E-4 | 1.0190388 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0059059616 | 0.0052376646 | 0.005277455 | 1.007597 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.0864116E-5 | 9.517E-6 | 9.517E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6559664E-5 | 4.0786515E-5 | 4.0786515E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.667165E-4 | 4.964647E-4 | 5.0645974E-4 | 1.0201324 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005652734 | 0.0049539437 | 0.0049837953 | 1.0060258 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0666365E-5 | 9.299752E-6 | 9.299752E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.571219E-5 | 3.985548E-5 | 3.985548E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.564038E-4 | 4.8513446E-4 | 4.951296E-4 | 1.0206028 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005550127 | 0.00484114 | 0.004870995 | 1.0061669 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.0038665E-5 | 8.592018E-6 | 8.592018E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.302214E-5 | 3.682243E-5 | 3.682243E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.236687E-4 | 4.4822265E-4 | 4.5821816E-4 | 1.0223004 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005224364 | 0.0044735507 | 0.004503417 | 1.0066761 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 9.5379955E-6 | 8.025047E-6 | 8.025047E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0876483E-5 | 3.439261E-5 | 3.439261E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.975576E-4 | 4.1865133E-4 | 4.2864712E-4 | 1.0238762 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00496445 | 0.00417898 | 0.0042088544 | 1.0071487 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 9.207389E-6 | 7.652347E-6 | 7.652347E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.945964E-5 | 3.2795375E-5 | 3.2795375E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.803152E-4 | 3.992122E-4 | 4.092082E-4 | 1.0250393 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004792784 | 0.003985301 | 0.0040151817 | 1.0074977 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.638091E-6 | 5.9310923E-6 | 5.9310923E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2734264E-5 | 2.5418722E-5 | 2.5418722E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.984668E-4 | 3.094293E-4 | 3.094293E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039775306 | 0.0030901956 | 0.0031001647 | 1.003226 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.2500147E-6 | 5.596131E-6 | 5.596131E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1071122E-5 | 2.3983199E-5 | 2.3983199E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7822526E-4 | 2.9195662E-4 | 2.9195662E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037758215 | 0.0029159402 | 0.0029259112 | 1.0034194 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.3899715E-6 | 4.9184864E-6 | 4.9184864E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7385306E-5 | 2.1079059E-5 | 2.1079059E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3336508E-4 | 2.566075E-4 | 2.566075E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033286542 | 0.002563311 | 0.0025732853 | 1.0038912 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.379025E-6 | 4.0838477E-6 | 4.0838477E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.305276E-5 | 1.7502087E-5 | 1.7502087E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.806312E-4 | 2.1306718E-4 | 2.1306718E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028027708 | 0.0021286402 | 0.0021286402 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.1270696E-6 | 3.0883373E-6 | 3.0883373E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.768732E-5 | 1.32356645E-5 | 1.32356645E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1532185E-4 | 1.6113237E-4 | 1.6113237E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021511333 | 0.0016101635 | 0.0016101635 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.5406805E-6 | 1.8282044E-6 | 1.8282044E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0888585E-5 | 7.835139E-6 | 7.835139E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3256045E-4 | 9.53887E-5 | 9.53887E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013248142 | 9.534837E-4 | 9.534837E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.8608285E-7 | 3.509864E-7 | 3.509864E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0832106E-6 | 1.5042266E-6 | 1.5042266E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5362791E-5 | 1.8313805E-5 | 1.8313805E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5359896E-4 | 1.8312308E-4 | 1.8312308E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.0472514E-8 | 1.2688718E-8 | 1.2688718E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7739345E-8 | 5.438022E-8 | 5.438022E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.068226E-6 | 6.6207895E-7 | 6.6207895E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0682209E-5 | 6.620771E-6 | 6.620771E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 4.443582E-9 | 2.032067E-9 | 2.032067E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9043922E-8 | 8.7088585E-9 | 8.7088585E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3185973E-7 | 1.0603035E-7 | 1.0603035E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3185949E-6 | 1.0603031E-6 | 1.0603031E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Anza) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.3298347E-5 | 9.3296185E-5 | 2.1547284 | 5.0E-5 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8555121E-4 | 2.5553824E-4 | 1.3771844 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0022567573 | 0.0023465543 | 1.0397903 | 9.0E-5 | 0.032346968 | 0.02329361 | 0.023440117 | 1.0062895 | 1.5E-4 |
6.1 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.3298347E-5 | 9.3296185E-5 | 2.1547284 | 5.0E-5 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8555121E-4 | 2.5553824E-4 | 1.3771844 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0022567573 | 0.0023465543 | 1.0397903 | 9.0E-5 | 0.032346968 | 0.02329361 | 0.023440117 | 1.0062895 | 1.5E-4 |
6.2 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.3298347E-5 | 9.3296185E-5 | 2.1547284 | 5.0E-5 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8555121E-4 | 2.5553824E-4 | 1.3771844 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0022567573 | 0.0023465543 | 1.0397903 | 9.0E-5 | 0.032346968 | 0.02329361 | 0.023440117 | 1.0062895 | 1.5E-4 |
6.3 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.3298347E-5 | 9.3296185E-5 | 2.1547284 | 5.0E-5 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8555121E-4 | 2.5553824E-4 | 1.3771844 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0022567573 | 0.0023465543 | 1.0397903 | 9.0E-5 | 0.032346968 | 0.02329361 | 0.023440117 | 1.0062895 | 1.5E-4 |
6.4 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.3298347E-5 | 9.3296185E-5 | 2.1547284 | 5.0E-5 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8555121E-4 | 2.5553824E-4 | 1.3771844 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0022567573 | 0.0023465543 | 1.0397903 | 9.0E-5 | 0.032346968 | 0.02329361 | 0.023440117 | 1.0062895 | 1.5E-4 |
6.5 | 5.811017E-5 | 4.0080286E-5 | 9.007828E-5 | 2.247446 | 5.0E-5 | 2.4901982E-4 | 1.7176138E-4 | 2.4174935E-4 | 1.4074721 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0030276014 | 0.0020891947 | 0.0021790066 | 1.0429888 | 9.0E-5 | 0.02986684 | 0.021590833 | 0.021737594 | 1.0067974 | 1.5E-4 |
6.6 | 5.811017E-5 | 4.0080286E-5 | 9.007828E-5 | 2.247446 | 5.0E-5 | 2.4901982E-4 | 1.7176138E-4 | 2.4174935E-4 | 1.4074721 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0030276014 | 0.0020891947 | 0.0021790066 | 1.0429888 | 9.0E-5 | 0.02986684 | 0.021590833 | 0.021737594 | 1.0067974 | 1.5E-4 |
6.7 | 5.712442E-5 | 3.950301E-5 | 8.950104E-5 | 2.2656763 | 5.0E-5 | 2.4479596E-4 | 1.6928767E-4 | 2.3927582E-4 | 1.4134274 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0029763177 | 0.0020591344 | 0.0021489493 | 1.0436177 | 9.0E-5 | 0.029367693 | 0.021282919 | 0.021429725 | 1.0068979 | 1.5E-4 |
6.8 | 5.6967532E-5 | 3.93593E-5 | 8.935733E-5 | 2.2702978 | 5.0E-5 | 2.4412372E-4 | 1.6867183E-4 | 2.3866002E-4 | 1.414937 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0029681553 | 0.0020516508 | 0.0021414661 | 1.0437771 | 9.0E-5 | 0.029288229 | 0.02120852 | 0.021355338 | 1.0069226 | 1.5E-4 |
6.9 | 5.6211324E-5 | 3.9064216E-5 | 8.906226E-5 | 2.2798939 | 5.0E-5 | 2.4088343E-4 | 1.6740736E-4 | 2.3739564E-4 | 1.4180717 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0029288116 | 0.0020362847 | 0.0021261014 | 1.0441082 | 9.0E-5 | 0.028905109 | 0.021047527 | 0.02119437 | 1.0069767 | 1.5E-4 |
7.0 | 5.4383527E-5 | 3.7925012E-5 | 8.7923116E-5 | 2.3183413 | 5.0E-5 | 2.3305144E-4 | 1.6252567E-4 | 2.3251429E-4 | 1.4306312 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0028337094 | 0.001976959 | 0.002066781 | 1.0454345 | 9.0E-5 | 0.027978465 | 0.02044095 | 0.020587884 | 1.0071882 | 1.5E-4 |
7.1 | 5.1393665E-5 | 3.638787E-5 | 8.638605E-5 | 2.3740342 | 5.0E-5 | 2.2023996E-4 | 1.5593872E-4 | 2.259278E-4 | 1.4488243 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0026781242 | 0.0018969048 | 0.001986734 | 1.0473558 | 9.0E-5 | 0.026460782 | 0.019616077 | 0.019763134 | 1.0074968 | 1.5E-4 |
7.2 | 4.785222E-5 | 3.4738845E-5 | 8.4737105E-5 | 2.439261 | 5.0E-5 | 2.0506482E-4 | 1.4887229E-4 | 2.1886187E-4 | 1.4701316 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0024938055 | 0.0018110167 | 0.0019008537 | 1.0496058 | 9.0E-5 | 0.024660049 | 0.018728783 | 0.018875973 | 1.0078591 | 1.5E-4 |
7.3 | 4.2143256E-5 | 3.3834414E-5 | 8.383272E-5 | 2.4777353 | 5.0E-5 | 1.8060145E-4 | 1.449966E-4 | 2.1498643E-4 | 1.4827 | 7.0E-5 | 0.002196605 | 0.0017639075 | 0.0018537487 | 1.0509331 | 9.0E-5 | 0.02175019 | 0.018236695 | 0.01838396 | 1.0080751 | 1.5E-4 |
7.4 | 4.0264713E-5 | 3.3472694E-5 | 8.347102E-5 | 2.4937048 | 5.0E-5 | 1.7255165E-4 | 1.4344654E-4 | 2.1343649E-4 | 1.4879167 | 7.0E-5 | 0.002098792 | 0.0017450659 | 0.0018349088 | 1.051484 | 9.0E-5 | 0.020790804 | 0.018041389 | 0.018188683 | 1.0081642 | 1.5E-4 |
7.5 | 3.694492E-5 | 3.2186905E-5 | 8.2185295E-5 | 2.5533767 | 5.0E-5 | 1.5832575E-4 | 1.379366E-4 | 2.0792695E-4 | 1.5074095 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0019259118 | 0.0016780876 | 0.0017679366 | 1.0535425 | 9.0E-5 | 0.01909306 | 0.017357888 | 0.017505284 | 1.0084916 | 1.5E-4 |
7.6 | 3.200565E-5 | 2.9502702E-5 | 7.950123E-5 | 2.69471 | 5.0E-5 | 1.3715986E-4 | 1.2643404E-4 | 1.9642519E-4 | 1.5535784 | 7.0E-5 | 0.001668642 | 0.0015382497 | 0.0016281112 | 1.058418 | 9.0E-5 | 0.01656168 | 0.015946016 | 0.016093625 | 1.0092567 | 1.5E-4 |
7.7 | 2.731642E-5 | 2.6091477E-5 | 7.6090175E-5 | 2.9162846 | 5.0E-5 | 1.1706512E-4 | 1.11815825E-4 | 1.7180911E-4 | 1.5365367 | 6.0E-5 | 0.001424336 | 0.0013605085 | 0.0014403997 | 1.0587215 | 8.0E-5 | 0.014152412 | 0.0141668 | 0.014294958 | 1.0090464 | 1.3E-4 |
7.8 | 2.3466424E-5 | 2.3503619E-5 | 7.3502444E-5 | 3.127282 | 5.0E-5 | 1.0056651E-4 | 1.0072591E-4 | 1.6071986E-4 | 1.5956159 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0012237094 | 0.0012256489 | 0.0013055508 | 1.0651915 | 8.0E-5 | 0.012169928 | 0.012808796 | 0.012937131 | 1.0100193 | 1.3E-4 |
7.9 | 1.8611925E-5 | 1.890698E-5 | 6.890603E-5 | 3.644476 | 5.0E-5 | 7.9762955E-5 | 8.10274E-5 | 1.4102254E-4 | 1.7404302 | 6.0E-5 | 9.7068126E-4 | 9.860628E-4 | 0.0010559938 | 1.0709194 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0096645225 | 0.010393705 | 0.010512458 | 1.0114255 | 1.2E-4 |
8.0 | 1.5460775E-5 | 1.5739915E-5 | 5.5739285E-5 | 3.5412698 | 4.0E-5 | 6.6258784E-5 | 6.745504E-5 | 1.17451666E-4 | 1.7411845 | 5.0E-5 | 8.0640207E-4 | 8.2095637E-4 | 8.809071E-4 | 1.0730255 | 6.0E-5 | 0.008034821 | 0.008702706 | 0.008811749 | 1.0125297 | 1.1E-4 |
8.1 | 9.983884E-6 | 8.268954E-6 | 2.8268789E-5 | 3.4186654 | 2.0E-5 | 4.2787375E-5 | 3.5437897E-5 | 6.5436834E-5 | 1.8465214 | 3.0E-5 | 5.2081177E-4 | 4.313715E-4 | 4.7135423E-4 | 1.0926875 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0051959283 | 0.00463968 | 0.004699402 | 1.012872 | 6.0E-5 |
8.2 | 4.1226E-6 | 1.5522551E-6 | 1.5522551E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7668166E-5 | 6.6525045E-6 | 6.6525045E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1508869E-4 | 8.099126E-5 | 8.099126E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021488064 | 9.401847E-4 | 9.401847E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2750878E-6 | 3.609817E-7 | 3.609817E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4646503E-6 | 1.5470634E-6 | 1.5470634E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.653009E-5 | 1.8835339E-5 | 1.8835339E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6510175E-4 | 2.272251E-4 | 2.272251E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Kern Canyon (North Kern) 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.75733E-6 | 3.6757127E-5 | 5.4395933 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.895971E-5 | 9.895768E-5 | 3.4170814 | 7.0E-5 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.5253543E-4 | 4.7249312E-4 | 1.3402714 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0034516277 | 0.0035205502 | 0.0036700221 | 1.042457 | 1.5E-4 |
6.1 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.75733E-6 | 3.6757127E-5 | 5.4395933 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.895971E-5 | 9.895768E-5 | 3.4170814 | 7.0E-5 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.5253543E-4 | 4.7249312E-4 | 1.3402714 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0034516277 | 0.0035205502 | 0.0036700221 | 1.042457 | 1.5E-4 |
6.2 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.75733E-6 | 3.6757127E-5 | 5.4395933 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.895971E-5 | 9.895768E-5 | 3.4170814 | 7.0E-5 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.5253543E-4 | 4.7249312E-4 | 1.3402714 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0034516277 | 0.0035205502 | 0.0036700221 | 1.042457 | 1.5E-4 |
6.3 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.75733E-6 | 3.6757127E-5 | 5.4395933 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.895971E-5 | 9.895768E-5 | 3.4170814 | 7.0E-5 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.5253543E-4 | 4.7249312E-4 | 1.3402714 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0034516277 | 0.0035205502 | 0.0036700221 | 1.042457 | 1.5E-4 |
6.4 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.75733E-6 | 3.6757127E-5 | 5.4395933 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.895971E-5 | 9.895768E-5 | 3.4170814 | 7.0E-5 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.5253543E-4 | 4.7249312E-4 | 1.3402714 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0034516277 | 0.0035205502 | 0.0036700221 | 1.042457 | 1.5E-4 |
6.5 | 3.2162225E-6 | 3.2570915E-6 | 3.2570915E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3783738E-5 | 1.3958894E-5 | 2.3958753E-5 | 1.7163792 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6780409E-4 | 1.6993708E-4 | 1.9993198E-4 | 1.1765059 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0016767744 | 0.001698151 | 0.0017380831 | 1.023515 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.2162225E-6 | 3.2570915E-6 | 3.2570915E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3783738E-5 | 1.3958894E-5 | 2.3958753E-5 | 1.7163792 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6780409E-4 | 1.6993708E-4 | 1.9993198E-4 | 1.1765059 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0016767744 | 0.001698151 | 0.0017380831 | 1.023515 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.1908265E-6 | 2.2071222E-6 | 2.2071222E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.389223E-6 | 9.459062E-6 | 1.9458968E-5 | 2.0571773 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1430779E-4 | 1.1515819E-4 | 1.4515474E-4 | 1.2604812 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011424901 | 0.0011510046 | 0.0011909585 | 1.0347122 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.7303895E-6 | 1.736553E-6 | 1.736553E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.415934E-6 | 7.442349E-6 | 1.7442275E-5 | 2.3436518 | 1.0E-5 | 9.028525E-5 | 9.060693E-5 | 1.20604214E-4 | 1.3310705 | 3.0E-5 | 9.024858E-4 | 9.0570963E-4 | 9.456734E-4 | 1.0441242 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.3700314E-6 | 1.3688623E-6 | 1.3688623E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.87155E-6 | 5.86654E-6 | 1.586648E-5 | 2.7045722 | 1.0E-5 | 7.148377E-5 | 7.142283E-5 | 1.0142069E-4 | 1.4200038 | 3.0E-5 | 7.146078E-4 | 7.140033E-4 | 7.4398186E-4 | 1.0419866 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.1467797E-6 | 1.1413805E-6 | 1.1413805E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9147607E-6 | 4.8916218E-6 | 1.4891573E-5 | 3.0443017 | 1.0E-5 | 5.983557E-5 | 5.95539E-5 | 8.9552115E-5 | 1.5037154 | 3.0E-5 | 5.981946E-4 | 5.9538253E-4 | 6.253647E-4 | 1.0503578 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 9.3952065E-7 | 9.3026915E-7 | 9.3026915E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.026511E-6 | 3.986862E-6 | 1.3986822E-5 | 3.5082285 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9021666E-5 | 4.853898E-5 | 7.853752E-5 | 1.61803 | 3.0E-5 | 4.901085E-4 | 4.8528553E-4 | 5.15271E-4 | 1.0617893 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.858055E-7 | 6.7193014E-7 | 6.7193014E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.939163E-6 | 2.8796974E-6 | 1.2879668E-5 | 4.472577 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5783723E-5 | 3.5059762E-5 | 5.505906E-5 | 1.5704346 | 2.0E-5 | 3.5777962E-4 | 3.5054318E-4 | 3.7053617E-4 | 1.0570343 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 5.1101983E-7 | 4.939301E-7 | 4.939301E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1900833E-6 | 2.1168414E-6 | 1.21168205E-5 | 5.7240095 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6663936E-5 | 2.5772246E-5 | 4.577173E-5 | 1.7760086 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6660739E-4 | 2.5769303E-4 | 2.7768788E-4 | 1.0775918 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.4999414E-7 | 3.2995916E-7 | 3.2995916E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.499974E-6 | 1.4141099E-6 | 1.1414096E-5 | 8.071576 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8262032E-5 | 1.7216655E-5 | 2.7216482E-5 | 1.580823 | 1.0E-5 | 1.826053E-4 | 1.7215345E-4 | 1.8215172E-4 | 1.0580777 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.7021522E-7 | 1.4750053E-7 | 1.4750053E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2949354E-7 | 6.32145E-7 | 6.32145E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.881548E-6 | 7.696339E-6 | 7.696339E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8811925E-5 | 7.696081E-5 | 7.696081E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.572245E-8 | 1.735264E-8 | 1.735264E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10239064E-7 | 7.436845E-8 | 7.436845E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421597E-6 | 9.0543557E-7 | 9.0543557E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421517E-5 | 9.054324E-6 | 9.054324E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Cruz Island
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.9164563E-5 | 3.1599742E-5 | 4.159943E-5 | 1.3164482 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2498499E-4 | 1.3542121E-4 | 1.6541715E-4 | 1.221501 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0015206301 | 0.0016476426 | 0.0017474778 | 1.0605928 | 1.0E-4 | 0.015102667 | 0.016368 | 0.016505707 | 1.0084133 | 1.4E-4 |
6.1 | 2.9164563E-5 | 3.1599742E-5 | 4.159943E-5 | 1.3164482 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2498499E-4 | 1.3542121E-4 | 1.6541715E-4 | 1.221501 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0015206301 | 0.0016476426 | 0.0017474778 | 1.0605928 | 1.0E-4 | 0.015102667 | 0.016368 | 0.016505707 | 1.0084133 | 1.4E-4 |
6.2 | 2.9164563E-5 | 3.1599742E-5 | 4.159943E-5 | 1.3164482 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2498499E-4 | 1.3542121E-4 | 1.6541715E-4 | 1.221501 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0015206301 | 0.0016476426 | 0.0017474778 | 1.0605928 | 1.0E-4 | 0.015102667 | 0.016368 | 0.016505707 | 1.0084133 | 1.4E-4 |
6.3 | 1.6635553E-5 | 1.780436E-5 | 1.780436E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1293274E-5 | 7.630227E-5 | 9.630074E-5 | 1.2620955 | 2.0E-5 | 8.6765E-4 | 9.286024E-4 | 0.0010085282 | 1.086071 | 8.0E-5 | 0.008642701 | 0.009249094 | 0.009338262 | 1.0096407 | 9.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6635553E-5 | 1.780436E-5 | 1.780436E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1293274E-5 | 7.630227E-5 | 9.630074E-5 | 1.2620955 | 2.0E-5 | 8.6765E-4 | 9.286024E-4 | 0.0010085282 | 1.086071 | 8.0E-5 | 0.008642701 | 0.009249094 | 0.009338262 | 1.0096407 | 9.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.2238748E-5 | 1.3042996E-5 | 1.3042996E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2450723E-5 | 5.5897377E-5 | 6.589682E-5 | 1.1788893 | 1.0E-5 | 6.3840044E-4 | 6.8034173E-4 | 7.403009E-4 | 1.088131 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0063656955 | 0.006782988 | 0.006852513 | 1.01025 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0489767E-5 | 1.1156636E-5 | 1.1156636E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.495537E-5 | 4.781329E-5 | 4.781329E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4719415E-4 | 5.819736E-4 | 6.119561E-4 | 1.0515187 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005458487 | 0.005804736 | 0.0058445036 | 1.006851 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.699222E-6 | 9.236783E-6 | 9.236783E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7281847E-5 | 3.958561E-5 | 3.958561E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5381195E-4 | 4.818488E-4 | 5.1183434E-4 | 1.0622302 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0045288634 | 0.004808108 | 0.0048379637 | 1.0062095 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.307732E-6 | 8.8169045E-6 | 8.8169045E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.560408E-5 | 3.7786187E-5 | 3.7786187E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3339343E-4 | 4.5995016E-4 | 4.7994097E-4 | 1.043463 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004325492 | 0.0045900354 | 0.004609944 | 1.0043373 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.073121E-6 | 8.564939E-6 | 8.564939E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.459863E-5 | 3.670637E-5 | 3.670637E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2115687E-4 | 4.4680882E-4 | 4.667999E-4 | 1.0447419 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004203596 | 0.004459156 | 0.004479067 | 1.0044651 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.617019E-6 | 8.074665E-6 | 8.074665E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.264396E-5 | 3.4605247E-5 | 3.4605247E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9736772E-4 | 4.2123784E-4 | 4.412294E-4 | 1.0474591 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003966579 | 0.0042044413 | 0.004224357 | 1.0047369 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.1224836E-6 | 7.5457883E-6 | 7.5457883E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.052457E-5 | 3.2338692E-5 | 3.2338692E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.715733E-4 | 3.9365282E-4 | 4.1364494E-4 | 1.0507861 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003709526 | 0.0039295983 | 0.0039495192 | 1.0050696 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.441115E-6 | 6.8273835E-6 | 6.8273835E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7604487E-5 | 2.9259889E-5 | 2.9259889E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.360328E-4 | 3.5618115E-4 | 3.7617402E-4 | 1.0561312 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0033552512 | 0.0035561312 | 0.00357606 | 1.0056041 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 5.494274E-6 | 5.8199944E-6 | 5.8199944E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3546674E-5 | 2.4942596E-5 | 2.4942596E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8664304E-4 | 3.03634E-4 | 3.2362793E-4 | 1.0658488 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002862736 | 0.0030322145 | 0.0030521539 | 1.0065758 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.0802624E-6 | 4.3122564E-6 | 4.3122564E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7486722E-5 | 1.8480969E-5 | 1.8480969E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1288003E-4 | 2.2498264E-4 | 2.3498038E-4 | 1.0444379 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021267622 | 0.0022475577 | 0.0022575352 | 1.0044392 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.3584746E-6 | 2.4753099E-6 | 2.4753099E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0107709E-5 | 1.0608428E-5 | 1.0608428E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2305441E-4 | 1.2915001E-4 | 1.2915001E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012298629 | 0.0012907545 | 0.0012907545 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 9.4981914E-7 | 9.860934E-7 | 9.860934E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0706473E-6 | 4.2261076E-6 | 4.2261076E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9559E-5 | 5.1451658E-5 | 5.1451658E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.954795E-4 | 5.1439874E-4 | 5.1439874E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.6013532E-7 | 2.6416632E-7 | 2.6416632E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1148652E-6 | 1.1321408E-6 | 1.1321408E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3573399E-5 | 1.3783729E-5 | 1.3783729E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.357257E-4 | 1.378288E-4 | 1.378288E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.1522263E-8 | 3.965698E-8 | 3.965698E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7795254E-7 | 1.6995848E-7 | 1.6995848E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.16657E-6 | 2.0692428E-6 | 2.0692428E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1665488E-5 | 2.0692256E-5 | 2.0692256E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.7242046E-10 | 5.9475225E-10 | 5.9475225E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3103735E-9 | 2.5489382E-9 | 2.5489382E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0303796E-8 | 3.1033323E-8 | 3.1033323E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.030379E-7 | 3.103332E-7 | 3.103332E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cleghorn Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.0522846E-5 | 1.1040642E-5 | 5.10402E-5 | 4.6229377 | 4.0E-5 | 4.509713E-5 | 4.7316473E-5 | 1.0731364E-4 | 2.2679973 | 6.0E-5 | 5.4891926E-4 | 5.759784E-4 | 6.7592086E-4 | 1.1735176 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0054756533 | 0.005750022 | 0.005879274 | 1.0224786 | 1.3E-4 |
6.1 | 1.0522846E-5 | 1.1040642E-5 | 5.10402E-5 | 4.6229377 | 4.0E-5 | 4.509713E-5 | 4.7316473E-5 | 1.0731364E-4 | 2.2679973 | 6.0E-5 | 5.4891926E-4 | 5.759784E-4 | 6.7592086E-4 | 1.1735176 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0054756533 | 0.005750022 | 0.005879274 | 1.0224786 | 1.3E-4 |
6.2 | 2.1045846E-6 | 2.2082024E-6 | 1.220818E-5 | 5.52856 | 1.0E-5 | 9.019617E-6 | 9.463714E-6 | 1.946362E-5 | 2.0566576 | 1.0E-5 | 1.098083E-4 | 1.1521882E-4 | 1.3521651E-4 | 1.1735628 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010975406 | 0.0011520023 | 0.0011819677 | 1.0260116 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.1045846E-6 | 2.2082024E-6 | 1.220818E-5 | 5.52856 | 1.0E-5 | 9.019617E-6 | 9.463714E-6 | 1.946362E-5 | 2.0566576 | 1.0E-5 | 1.098083E-4 | 1.1521882E-4 | 1.3521651E-4 | 1.1735628 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010975406 | 0.0011520023 | 0.0011819677 | 1.0260116 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.7259927E-6 | 1.810877E-6 | 1.1810859E-5 | 6.522176 | 1.0E-5 | 7.3970905E-6 | 7.760902E-6 | 1.7760824E-5 | 2.2885 | 1.0E-5 | 9.005586E-5 | 9.4488976E-5 | 1.1448709E-4 | 1.2116449 | 2.0E-5 | 9.001937E-4 | 9.448898E-4 | 9.7486144E-4 | 1.0317197 | 3.0E-5 |
Chino alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.939946E-5 | 4.894798E-5 | 5.894749E-5 | 1.2042885 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6884391E-4 | 2.0976314E-4 | 2.2975894E-4 | 1.0953256 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0020537362 | 0.002551385 | 0.0026411554 | 1.035185 | 9.0E-5 | 0.020348595 | 0.025280168 | 0.02541663 | 1.0053979 | 1.4E-4 |
6.1 | 2.1505624E-5 | 2.6878823E-5 | 3.6878555E-5 | 1.3720301 | 1.0E-5 | 9.2163704E-5 | 1.15190494E-4 | 1.2518934E-4 | 1.0868027 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011215154 | 0.0014016517 | 0.0014515815 | 1.0356222 | 5.0E-5 | 0.011158722 | 0.013947425 | 0.014026309 | 1.0056559 | 8.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1505624E-5 | 2.6878823E-5 | 3.6878555E-5 | 1.3720301 | 1.0E-5 | 9.2163704E-5 | 1.15190494E-4 | 1.2518934E-4 | 1.0868027 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011215154 | 0.0014016517 | 0.0014515815 | 1.0356222 | 5.0E-5 | 0.011158722 | 0.013947425 | 0.014026309 | 1.0056559 | 8.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.4290785E-5 | 1.8164832E-5 | 1.8164832E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1244784E-5 | 7.784722E-5 | 7.784722E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.454001E-4 | 9.4742293E-4 | 9.67404E-4 | 1.0210899 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007429048 | 0.00944674 | 0.009486362 | 1.0041943 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.4290785E-5 | 1.8164832E-5 | 1.8164832E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1244784E-5 | 7.784722E-5 | 7.784722E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.454001E-4 | 9.4742293E-4 | 9.67404E-4 | 1.0210899 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007429048 | 0.00944674 | 0.009486362 | 1.0041943 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3017944E-5 | 1.6651793E-5 | 1.6651793E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5789995E-5 | 7.1363116E-5 | 7.1363116E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.790315E-4 | 8.6854334E-4 | 8.785347E-4 | 1.0115036 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0067696036 | 0.008664233 | 0.008693973 | 1.0034325 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.470016E-6 | 1.2039209E-5 | 1.2039209E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.058515E-5 | 5.159578E-5 | 5.159578E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.940122E-4 | 6.280315E-4 | 6.3802523E-4 | 1.0159128 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004929154 | 0.006273248 | 0.0063030594 | 1.0047522 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.314155E-6 | 1.040749E-5 | 1.040749E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5631605E-5 | 4.4602948E-5 | 4.4602948E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3372845E-4 | 5.4293784E-4 | 5.4293784E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004328829 | 0.0054270807 | 0.0054370263 | 1.0018326 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.4856364E-6 | 3.8134033E-6 | 3.8134033E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4938357E-5 | 1.6343065E-5 | 1.6343065E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8185932E-4 | 1.9896074E-4 | 1.9896074E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018171056 | 0.0019894529 | 0.0019894529 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.2645952E-6 | 2.152909E-6 | 2.152909E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.705372E-6 | 9.226722E-6 | 9.226722E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.18156495E-4 | 1.12329755E-4 | 1.12329755E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011809369 | 0.0011233138 | 0.0011233138 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.7864003E-6 | 1.5430741E-6 | 1.5430741E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.655979E-6 | 6.613158E-6 | 6.613158E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3207556E-5 | 8.051228E-5 | 8.051228E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.316847E-4 | 8.052856E-4 | 8.052856E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.7315456E-6 | 1.4733466E-6 | 1.4733466E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.420889E-6 | 6.314328E-6 | 6.314328E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.034557E-5 | 7.687428E-5 | 7.687428E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0308854E-4 | 7.68921E-4 | 7.68921E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.6008337E-6 | 1.3574178E-6 | 1.3574178E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.860698E-6 | 5.817492E-6 | 5.817492E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.352579E-5 | 7.082572E-5 | 7.082572E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.34944E-4 | 7.0846075E-4 | 7.0846075E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.3320939E-6 | 1.1217794E-6 | 1.1217794E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7089615E-6 | 4.8076176E-6 | 4.8076176E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9504385E-5 | 5.853122E-5 | 5.853122E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9482654E-4 | 5.8530655E-4 | 5.8530655E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.114294E-6 | 9.237087E-7 | 9.237087E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.775537E-6 | 3.9587458E-6 | 3.9587458E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8140613E-5 | 4.81967E-5 | 4.81967E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.81254E-4 | 4.8187698E-4 | 4.8187698E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 9.354081E-7 | 7.6233886E-7 | 7.6233886E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0088858E-6 | 3.2671626E-6 | 3.2671626E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8807087E-5 | 3.9777013E-5 | 3.9777013E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.879637E-4 | 3.9770233E-4 | 3.9770233E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 8.521771E-7 | 6.880688E-7 | 6.880688E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6521824E-6 | 2.948863E-6 | 2.948863E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4464414E-5 | 3.590185E-5 | 3.590185E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4455516E-4 | 3.5896365E-4 | 3.5896365E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.1803626E-7 | 1.4186368E-7 | 1.4186368E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.344408E-7 | 6.0798715E-7 | 6.0798715E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1376757E-5 | 7.4022278E-6 | 7.4022278E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.13761744E-4 | 7.402077E-5 | 7.402077E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Big Pine (Central)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2706755E-5 | 1.4250602E-5 | 5.425003E-5 | 3.806859 | 4.0E-5 | 5.4456385E-5 | 6.107279E-5 | 1.11069734E-4 | 1.8186452 | 5.0E-5 | 6.628048E-4 | 7.433441E-4 | 8.1329205E-4 | 1.094099 | 7.0E-5 | 0.006608314 | 0.007413639 | 0.0075526014 | 1.0187441 | 1.4E-4 |
6.1 | 8.342579E-6 | 9.510835E-6 | 2.9510646E-5 | 3.1028447 | 2.0E-5 | 3.5753423E-5 | 4.076021E-5 | 7.0758986E-5 | 1.735982 | 3.0E-5 | 4.3521097E-4 | 4.9616426E-4 | 5.361444E-4 | 1.0805784 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0043435963 | 0.004954155 | 0.0050536594 | 1.0200851 | 1.0E-4 |
6.2 | 6.923899E-6 | 7.967221E-6 | 7.967221E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9673516E-5 | 3.4144894E-5 | 4.4144555E-5 | 1.2928596 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6121515E-4 | 4.1565404E-4 | 4.3564572E-4 | 1.0480969 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003606286 | 0.0041521094 | 0.004221819 | 1.016789 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.728396E-6 | 3.4243646E-6 | 3.4243646E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1693074E-5 | 1.4675771E-5 | 1.4675771E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4235388E-4 | 1.7866373E-4 | 1.8866194E-4 | 1.055961 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014226272 | 0.0017867433 | 0.0018366539 | 1.0279338 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.7136944E-6 | 3.4086581E-6 | 3.4086581E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1630066E-5 | 1.4608458E-5 | 1.4608458E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4158686E-4 | 1.7784433E-4 | 1.8784255E-4 | 1.056219 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014149669 | 0.0017785623 | 0.0018284734 | 1.0280626 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.6971882E-6 | 3.3910032E-6 | 3.3910032E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1559327E-5 | 1.4532795E-5 | 1.4532795E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4072572E-4 | 1.7692328E-4 | 1.869215E-4 | 1.0565116 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014063664 | 0.0017693666 | 0.0018192781 | 1.0282087 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.669092E-6 | 3.3610236E-6 | 3.3610236E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1438916E-5 | 1.4404312E-5 | 1.4404312E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3925991E-4 | 1.7535927E-4 | 1.8535751E-4 | 1.0570158 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013917267 | 0.0017537511 | 0.0018036634 | 1.0284603 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.6408059E-6 | 3.3310494E-6 | 3.3310494E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1317691E-5 | 1.4275853E-5 | 1.4275853E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3778417E-4 | 1.737955E-4 | 1.8379377E-4 | 1.0575289 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013769877 | 0.0017381381 | 0.0017880512 | 1.0287164 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.1786943E-6 | 2.8545066E-6 | 2.8545066E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.337228E-6 | 1.2233547E-5 | 1.2233547E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1367482E-4 | 1.4893398E-4 | 1.5893248E-4 | 1.0671339 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011361669 | 0.0014898704 | 0.0015298108 | 1.026808 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.4411696E-6 | 2.0685677E-6 | 2.0685677E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1764263E-6 | 8.865261E-6 | 8.865261E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.51954E-5 | 1.0792949E-4 | 1.1792841E-4 | 1.0926431 | 1.0E-5 | 7.5169955E-4 | 0.0010802548 | 0.0011102224 | 1.0277412 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0073411E-6 | 1.5543274E-6 | 1.5543274E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.317169E-6 | 6.661387E-6 | 6.661387E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2560266E-5 | 8.109952E-5 | 8.109952E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2547833E-4 | 8.1217213E-4 | 8.1217213E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 8.947104E-7 | 1.430316E-6 | 1.430316E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.834468E-6 | 6.1299124E-6 | 6.1299124E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6683643E-5 | 7.462928E-5 | 7.462928E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6673836E-4 | 7.4751483E-4 | 7.4751483E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 5.215166E-7 | 1.0112277E-6 | 1.0112277E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2350691E-6 | 4.333826E-6 | 4.333826E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7211627E-5 | 5.27631E-5 | 5.27631E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7208295E-4 | 5.289683E-4 | 5.289683E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 4.4024807E-7 | 9.220183E-7 | 9.220183E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8867761E-6 | 3.951501E-6 | 3.951501E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2971257E-5 | 4.8108504E-5 | 4.8108504E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2968883E-4 | 4.824433E-4 | 4.824433E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.6130905E-7 | 8.359109E-7 | 8.359109E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5484665E-6 | 3.5824705E-6 | 3.5824705E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8852415E-5 | 4.3615746E-5 | 4.3615746E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8850817E-4 | 4.3752496E-4 | 4.3752496E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 3.408184E-7 | 8.1087245E-7 | 8.1087245E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4606494E-6 | 3.475163E-6 | 3.475163E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7783263E-5 | 4.230933E-5 | 4.230933E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.778184E-4 | 4.2444657E-4 | 4.2444657E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.1428627E-7 | 7.732167E-7 | 7.732167E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3469405E-6 | 3.313782E-6 | 3.313782E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6398877E-5 | 4.0344585E-5 | 4.0344585E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6397667E-4 | 4.0477706E-4 | 4.0477706E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.7972785E-7 | 5.0782415E-7 | 5.0782415E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.70262E-7 | 2.1763874E-6 | 2.1763874E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.377899E-6 | 2.6497206E-5 | 2.6497206E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.377503E-5 | 2.6633305E-4 | 2.6633305E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.9230927E-8 | 1.1981747E-7 | 1.1981747E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1098968E-7 | 5.135033E-7 | 5.135033E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5687964E-6 | 6.2518866E-6 | 6.2518866E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5687666E-5 | 6.2971965E-5 | 6.2971965E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 3.6805972E-9 | 4.1051638E-9 | 4.1051638E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5773987E-8 | 1.7593557E-8 | 1.7593557E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9204828E-7 | 2.1420155E-7 | 2.1420155E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.920481E-6 | 2.1898923E-6 | 2.1898923E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Channel Islands Thrust
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4092022E-5 | 5.40913E-5 | 2.2451954 | 3.0E-5 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.03248036E-4 | 1.5324287E-4 | 1.4842207 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012564266 | 0.001336326 | 1.0635927 | 8.0E-5 | 0.011494373 | 0.0125038205 | 0.012612445 | 1.0086873 | 1.1E-4 |
6.1 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4092022E-5 | 5.40913E-5 | 2.2451954 | 3.0E-5 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.03248036E-4 | 1.5324287E-4 | 1.4842207 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012564266 | 0.001336326 | 1.0635927 | 8.0E-5 | 0.011494373 | 0.0125038205 | 0.012612445 | 1.0086873 | 1.1E-4 |
6.2 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4092022E-5 | 5.40913E-5 | 2.2451954 | 3.0E-5 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.03248036E-4 | 1.5324287E-4 | 1.4842207 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012564266 | 0.001336326 | 1.0635927 | 8.0E-5 | 0.011494373 | 0.0125038205 | 0.012612445 | 1.0086873 | 1.1E-4 |
6.3 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4092022E-5 | 5.40913E-5 | 2.2451954 | 3.0E-5 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.03248036E-4 | 1.5324287E-4 | 1.4842207 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012564266 | 0.001336326 | 1.0635927 | 8.0E-5 | 0.011494373 | 0.0125038205 | 0.012612445 | 1.0086873 | 1.1E-4 |
6.4 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4092022E-5 | 5.40913E-5 | 2.2451954 | 3.0E-5 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.03248036E-4 | 1.5324287E-4 | 1.4842207 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012564266 | 0.001336326 | 1.0635927 | 8.0E-5 | 0.011494373 | 0.0125038205 | 0.012612445 | 1.0086873 | 1.1E-4 |
6.5 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4092022E-5 | 5.40913E-5 | 2.2451954 | 3.0E-5 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.03248036E-4 | 1.5324287E-4 | 1.4842207 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012564266 | 0.001336326 | 1.0635927 | 8.0E-5 | 0.011494373 | 0.0125038205 | 0.012612445 | 1.0086873 | 1.1E-4 |
6.6 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4092022E-5 | 5.40913E-5 | 2.2451954 | 3.0E-5 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.03248036E-4 | 1.5324287E-4 | 1.4842207 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012564266 | 0.001336326 | 1.0635927 | 8.0E-5 | 0.011494373 | 0.0125038205 | 0.012612445 | 1.0086873 | 1.1E-4 |
6.7 | 1.0601296E-5 | 1.1379544E-5 | 2.137943E-5 | 1.8787599 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5433335E-5 | 4.876859E-5 | 7.876712E-5 | 1.61512 | 3.0E-5 | 5.5301044E-4 | 5.936007E-4 | 6.535651E-4 | 1.1010181 | 6.0E-5 | 0.005516363 | 0.005920653 | 0.0059802984 | 1.010074 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0246747E-5 | 1.0996669E-5 | 2.0996558E-5 | 1.9093562 | 1.0E-5 | 4.391389E-5 | 4.7127756E-5 | 7.7126344E-5 | 1.6365376 | 3.0E-5 | 5.345204E-4 | 5.7363417E-4 | 6.3359976E-4 | 1.1045363 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0053323656 | 0.005722025 | 0.0057816817 | 1.0104258 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.049551E-6 | 9.699645E-6 | 1.9699548E-5 | 2.0309556 | 1.0E-5 | 3.878322E-5 | 4.1569267E-5 | 7.156802E-5 | 1.721657 | 3.0E-5 | 4.7208337E-4 | 5.059924E-4 | 5.559671E-4 | 1.0987657 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0047108172 | 0.0050488203 | 0.005098568 | 1.0098534 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.6542195E-6 | 9.274603E-6 | 1.927451E-5 | 2.0782032 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7088983E-5 | 3.9747716E-5 | 6.974652E-5 | 1.7547303 | 3.0E-5 | 4.5146482E-4 | 4.8382508E-4 | 5.3380086E-4 | 1.1032932 | 5.0E-5 | 0.004505487 | 0.0048281294 | 0.0048778877 | 1.010306 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.391028E-6 | 8.992925E-6 | 1.8992836E-5 | 2.1119752 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5961057E-5 | 3.8540562E-5 | 5.853979E-5 | 1.5189139 | 2.0E-5 | 4.3773788E-4 | 4.6913436E-4 | 5.0911563E-4 | 1.0852234 | 4.0E-5 | 0.004368766 | 0.0046818503 | 0.004721663 | 1.0085037 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 5.965188E-6 | 6.3716957E-6 | 1.6371632E-5 | 2.569431 | 1.0E-5 | 2.556484E-5 | 2.7306984E-5 | 3.7306712E-5 | 1.3661966 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1120746E-4 | 3.3241237E-4 | 3.524057E-4 | 1.0601462 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00310772 | 0.0033192094 | 0.003339143 | 1.0060055 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.877518E-6 | 5.206007E-6 | 1.5205955E-5 | 2.9208481 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0903482E-5 | 2.231127E-5 | 3.2311047E-5 | 1.448194 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5447016E-4 | 2.716063E-4 | 2.9160085E-4 | 1.073616 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0025417898 | 0.0027127897 | 0.0027327354 | 1.0073525 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.8829853E-6 | 4.141863E-6 | 1.4141821E-5 | 3.4143624 | 1.0E-5 | 1.664126E-5 | 1.7750723E-5 | 2.7750546E-5 | 1.5633473 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0258849E-4 | 2.1609403E-4 | 2.3608972E-4 | 1.0925323 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002024039 | 0.002158881 | 0.0021788375 | 1.0092441 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.3489616E-6 | 1.4277905E-6 | 1.4277905E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7812517E-6 | 6.119088E-6 | 6.119088E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.038446E-5 | 7.449739E-5 | 7.449739E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.036218E-4 | 7.4472814E-4 | 7.4472814E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.058192E-7 | 6.35378E-7 | 6.35378E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5963652E-6 | 2.7230458E-6 | 2.7230458E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.161029E-5 | 3.3152595E-5 | 3.3152595E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1605794E-4 | 3.314781E-4 | 3.314781E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.2170494E-7 | 2.2607924E-7 | 2.2607924E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.5016367E-7 | 9.689107E-7 | 9.689107E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1568181E-5 | 1.17964355E-5 | 1.17964355E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1567579E-4 | 1.179592E-4 | 1.179592E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.1613102E-8 | 1.5466837E-8 | 1.5466837E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.262757E-8 | 6.628645E-8 | 6.628645E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1277401E-6 | 8.070372E-7 | 8.070372E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1277344E-5 | 8.07035E-6 | 8.07035E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Ortigalita (North)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.711876E-5 | 1.0505308E-4 | 1.2505098E-4 | 1.19036 | 2.0E-5 | 3.3046713E-4 | 4.501601E-4 | 4.901421E-4 | 1.0888172 | 4.0E-5 | 0.004016016 | 0.0054680547 | 0.0055575627 | 1.0163692 | 9.0E-5 | 0.039442103 | 0.053455614 | 0.053569198 | 1.0021249 | 1.2E-4 |
6.1 | 4.607858E-5 | 6.0239887E-5 | 6.0239887E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9746469E-4 | 2.5814763E-4 | 2.6814506E-4 | 1.0387275 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024014818 | 0.0031387366 | 0.0031686425 | 1.009528 | 3.0E-5 | 0.023756953 | 0.030975312 | 0.031014072 | 1.0012513 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.607858E-5 | 6.0239887E-5 | 6.0239887E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9746469E-4 | 2.5814763E-4 | 2.6814506E-4 | 1.0387275 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024014818 | 0.0031387366 | 0.0031686425 | 1.009528 | 3.0E-5 | 0.023756953 | 0.030975312 | 0.031014072 | 1.0012513 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.327423E-5 | 4.2476124E-5 | 4.2476124E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4259605E-4 | 1.8202956E-4 | 1.9202773E-4 | 1.0549262 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017347244 | 0.002214206 | 0.0022441396 | 1.0135189 | 3.0E-5 | 0.017212452 | 0.02194574 | 0.021984862 | 1.0017827 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.7732503E-5 | 3.4999008E-5 | 3.4999008E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1884817E-4 | 1.499886E-4 | 1.599871E-4 | 1.0666617 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001446016 | 0.0018248158 | 0.0018447792 | 1.01094 | 2.0E-5 | 0.014366428 | 0.018121297 | 0.018150754 | 1.0016255 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.7689714E-5 | 3.4948822E-5 | 3.4948822E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.186648E-4 | 1.4977354E-4 | 1.5977204E-4 | 1.0667574 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014437864 | 0.0018222018 | 0.0018421654 | 1.0109557 | 2.0E-5 | 0.014344421 | 0.018095585 | 0.01812504 | 1.0016279 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.2976905E-5 | 2.871829E-5 | 2.871829E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.846873E-5 | 1.23074E-4 | 1.3307277E-4 | 1.081242 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011981975 | 0.0014976348 | 0.0015176049 | 1.0133344 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011917574 | 0.014898733 | 0.014928287 | 1.0019836 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.9871539E-5 | 2.4904637E-5 | 2.4904637E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.516096E-5 | 1.067312E-4 | 1.1673012E-4 | 1.0936834 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010363415 | 0.0012989199 | 0.001318894 | 1.0153774 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010315218 | 0.012936938 | 0.01296655 | 1.0022889 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.5640475E-6 | 7.6054926E-6 | 7.6054926E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.813133E-5 | 3.2594577E-5 | 3.2594577E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.424451E-4 | 3.9676955E-4 | 3.9676955E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034191788 | 0.003960899 | 0.003960899 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 5.6219683E-6 | 6.5018376E-6 | 6.5018376E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4093928E-5 | 2.7864735E-5 | 2.7864735E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.933041E-4 | 3.3920293E-4 | 3.3920293E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029291727 | 0.003387109 | 0.003387109 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 3.875591E-6 | 4.4847548E-6 | 4.4847548E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6609569E-5 | 1.9220248E-5 | 1.9220248E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0220275E-4 | 2.339835E-4 | 2.339835E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020201886 | 0.0023375798 | 0.0023375798 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.6017933E-6 | 1.8570418E-6 | 1.8570418E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8648105E-6 | 7.958732E-6 | 7.958732E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.357586E-5 | 9.689432E-5 | 9.689432E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.3544437E-4 | 9.686254E-4 | 9.686254E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Rosa Island
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.1143165E-5 | 4.709113E-5 | 5.7090656E-5 | 1.2123442 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7631594E-4 | 2.0180462E-4 | 2.2180058E-4 | 1.0990858 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002144533 | 0.0024543991 | 0.0025142517 | 1.0243859 | 6.0E-5 | 0.021239553 | 0.024293557 | 0.024420397 | 1.0052212 | 1.3E-4 |
6.1 | 2.1061249E-5 | 2.3864959E-5 | 2.3864959E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0259375E-5 | 1.0227455E-4 | 1.0227455E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010983539 | 0.0012445103 | 0.0012544979 | 1.0080253 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01092941 | 0.01237845 | 0.012417954 | 1.0031915 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1061249E-5 | 2.3864959E-5 | 2.3864959E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0259375E-5 | 1.0227455E-4 | 1.0227455E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010983539 | 0.0012445103 | 0.0012544979 | 1.0080253 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01092941 | 0.01237845 | 0.012417954 | 1.0031915 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.5158236E-5 | 1.7074419E-5 | 1.7074419E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.496225E-5 | 7.3174095E-5 | 7.3174095E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.906284E-4 | 8.9054246E-4 | 9.005336E-4 | 1.0112191 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007878214 | 0.00887099 | 0.008890812 | 1.0022346 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2341918E-5 | 1.3852917E-5 | 1.3852917E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2892858E-5 | 5.9368336E-5 | 5.9368336E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.437803E-4 | 7.225779E-4 | 7.325707E-4 | 1.0138294 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006419184 | 0.0072031217 | 0.0072229775 | 1.0027566 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.061158E-6 | 1.0117032E-5 | 1.0117032E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.883296E-5 | 4.3358017E-5 | 4.3358017E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.726887E-4 | 5.277613E-4 | 5.37756E-4 | 1.018938 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004716845 | 0.0052656177 | 0.005285512 | 1.0037782 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.5461685E-6 | 8.400734E-6 | 8.400734E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2340322E-5 | 3.600267E-5 | 3.600267E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.936723E-4 | 4.3824868E-4 | 4.4824427E-4 | 1.0228081 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003929756 | 0.0043742736 | 0.004394186 | 1.0045522 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 5.5023775E-6 | 6.087381E-6 | 6.087381E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3581404E-5 | 2.6088532E-5 | 2.6088532E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8706578E-4 | 3.1758484E-4 | 3.2758166E-4 | 1.0314777 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028669522 | 0.0031716316 | 0.0031815998 | 1.003143 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.7351679E-6 | 4.0831405E-6 | 4.0831405E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6007763E-5 | 1.7499071E-5 | 1.7499071E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.948771E-4 | 2.1303285E-4 | 2.2303071E-4 | 1.0469311 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019470629 | 0.0021285315 | 0.00213851 | 1.004688 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.456366E-6 | 2.6292707E-6 | 2.6292707E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0527241E-5 | 1.1268255E-5 | 1.1268255E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2816161E-4 | 1.3718239E-4 | 1.4718101E-4 | 1.0728856 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012808773 | 0.0013709799 | 0.0013809663 | 1.007284 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.3245157E-6 | 2.4827784E-6 | 2.4827784E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.962172E-6 | 1.0640436E-5 | 1.0640436E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2128269E-4 | 1.2953962E-4 | 1.3953833E-4 | 1.0771865 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012121652 | 0.0012946434 | 0.0013046304 | 1.0077142 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.2248344E-6 | 2.37325E-6 | 2.37325E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.53497E-6 | 1.0171032E-5 | 1.0171032E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1608207E-4 | 1.238253E-4 | 1.3382405E-4 | 1.0807489 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011602144 | 0.0012375651 | 0.0012475527 | 1.0080703 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.1350402E-6 | 2.2761542E-6 | 2.2761542E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.150141E-6 | 9.75491E-6 | 9.75491E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1139726E-4 | 1.1875957E-4 | 1.2875839E-4 | 1.0841937 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011134144 | 0.0011869629 | 0.0011969511 | 1.0084149 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.9793572E-6 | 2.1087192E-6 | 2.1087192E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.482932E-6 | 9.037337E-6 | 9.037337E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.032748E-4 | 1.1002403E-4 | 1.2002294E-4 | 1.0908792 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010322682 | 0.0010996974 | 0.0011096864 | 1.0090834 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.6951194E-6 | 1.8045735E-6 | 1.8045735E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.264777E-6 | 7.733864E-6 | 7.733864E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.844508E-5 | 9.415574E-5 | 1.04154795E-4 | 1.106197 | 1.0E-5 | 8.840988E-4 | 9.411601E-4 | 9.5115067E-4 | 1.0106152 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 8.987207E-7 | 9.512216E-7 | 9.512216E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8516546E-6 | 4.0766577E-6 | 4.0766577E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6892885E-5 | 4.9632188E-5 | 4.9632188E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.688299E-4 | 4.962122E-4 | 4.962122E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.8783037E-7 | 4.0529335E-7 | 4.0529335E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6621291E-6 | 1.7369704E-6 | 1.7369704E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0236233E-5 | 2.1147416E-5 | 2.1147416E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.023439E-4 | 2.114547E-4 | 2.114547E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.181804E-8 | 6.339047E-8 | 6.339047E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6493444E-7 | 2.7167343E-7 | 2.7167343E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.225572E-6 | 3.307619E-6 | 3.307619E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.225525E-5 | 3.3075703E-5 | 3.3075703E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.3704449E-9 | 1.3964153E-9 | 1.3964153E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.873335E-9 | 5.984637E-9 | 5.984637E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1507856E-8 | 7.286295E-8 | 7.286295E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1507833E-7 | 7.286294E-7 | 7.286294E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Lytle Creek connector)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.660123E-6 | 5.665979E-5 | 8.5073185 | 5.0E-5 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.8543072E-5 | 8.854136E-5 | 3.1020262 | 6.0E-5 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.4745657E-4 | 4.0743573E-4 | 1.1726234 | 6.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.0035491167 | 0.0036786553 | 1.0364988 | 1.3E-4 |
6.1 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.660123E-6 | 5.665979E-5 | 8.5073185 | 5.0E-5 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.8543072E-5 | 8.854136E-5 | 3.1020262 | 6.0E-5 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.4745657E-4 | 4.0743573E-4 | 1.1726234 | 6.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.0035491167 | 0.0036786553 | 1.0364988 | 1.3E-4 |
6.2 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.660123E-6 | 5.665979E-5 | 8.5073185 | 5.0E-5 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.8543072E-5 | 8.854136E-5 | 3.1020262 | 6.0E-5 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.4745657E-4 | 4.0743573E-4 | 1.1726234 | 6.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.0035491167 | 0.0036786553 | 1.0364988 | 1.3E-4 |
6.3 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.660123E-6 | 5.665979E-5 | 8.5073185 | 5.0E-5 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.8543072E-5 | 8.854136E-5 | 3.1020262 | 6.0E-5 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.4745657E-4 | 4.0743573E-4 | 1.1726234 | 6.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.0035491167 | 0.0036786553 | 1.0364988 | 1.3E-4 |
6.4 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.660123E-6 | 5.665979E-5 | 8.5073185 | 5.0E-5 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.8543072E-5 | 8.854136E-5 | 3.1020262 | 6.0E-5 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.4745657E-4 | 4.0743573E-4 | 1.1726234 | 6.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.0035491167 | 0.0036786553 | 1.0364988 | 1.3E-4 |
6.5 | 6.6561875E-6 | 6.620341E-6 | 5.662001E-5 | 8.552431 | 5.0E-5 | 2.8526205E-5 | 2.8372582E-5 | 8.837088E-5 | 3.1146576 | 6.0E-5 | 3.472512E-4 | 3.453815E-4 | 4.053608E-4 | 1.173661 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0034670907 | 0.0035284322 | 0.0036579736 | 1.0367136 | 1.3E-4 |
6.6 | 6.6561875E-6 | 6.620341E-6 | 5.662001E-5 | 8.552431 | 5.0E-5 | 2.8526205E-5 | 2.8372582E-5 | 8.837088E-5 | 3.1146576 | 6.0E-5 | 3.472512E-4 | 3.453815E-4 | 4.053608E-4 | 1.173661 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0034670907 | 0.0035284322 | 0.0036579736 | 1.0367136 | 1.3E-4 |
6.7 | 6.5802237E-6 | 6.539518E-6 | 5.653919E-5 | 8.645774 | 5.0E-5 | 2.8200653E-5 | 2.8026205E-5 | 8.802452E-5 | 3.1407936 | 6.0E-5 | 3.4328885E-4 | 3.4116567E-4 | 4.011452E-4 | 1.1758076 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0034275902 | 0.0034864065 | 0.0036159533 | 1.0371577 | 1.3E-4 |
6.8 | 6.575632E-6 | 6.5340073E-6 | 5.653368E-5 | 8.652222 | 5.0E-5 | 2.8180975E-5 | 2.8002589E-5 | 8.800091E-5 | 3.142599 | 6.0E-5 | 3.4304935E-4 | 3.4087826E-4 | 4.008578E-4 | 1.1759559 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0034252026 | 0.0034835413 | 0.0036130885 | 1.0371883 | 1.3E-4 |
6.9 | 6.570433E-6 | 6.525401E-6 | 5.6525074E-5 | 8.662313 | 5.0E-5 | 2.8158694E-5 | 2.7965707E-5 | 8.796403E-5 | 3.1454248 | 6.0E-5 | 3.4277816E-4 | 3.4042934E-4 | 4.0040893E-4 | 1.176188 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0034224992 | 0.0034790665 | 0.0036086142 | 1.0372363 | 1.3E-4 |
7.0 | 6.5643826E-6 | 6.5155223E-6 | 5.6515197E-5 | 8.673932 | 5.0E-5 | 2.8132765E-5 | 2.7923368E-5 | 8.792169E-5 | 3.1486778 | 6.0E-5 | 3.424626E-4 | 3.3991406E-4 | 3.9989364E-4 | 1.1764553 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0034193532 | 0.0034739296 | 0.003603478 | 1.0372916 | 1.3E-4 |
7.1 | 6.557402E-6 | 6.504234E-6 | 5.6503908E-5 | 8.68725 | 5.0E-5 | 2.8102848E-5 | 2.7874992E-5 | 8.787332E-5 | 3.152407 | 6.0E-5 | 3.4209844E-4 | 3.3932526E-4 | 3.9930487E-4 | 1.1767615 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0034157229 | 0.0034680606 | 0.00359761 | 1.037355 | 1.3E-4 |
7.2 | 6.546394E-6 | 6.4862006E-6 | 5.6485875E-5 | 8.708623 | 5.0E-5 | 2.8055672E-5 | 2.7797707E-5 | 8.779604E-5 | 3.1583915 | 6.0E-5 | 3.4152428E-4 | 3.383846E-4 | 3.983643E-4 | 1.177253 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0034099987 | 0.0034586883 | 0.0035882385 | 1.0374565 | 1.3E-4 |
7.3 | 6.5364216E-6 | 6.4669857E-6 | 5.6466662E-5 | 8.731527 | 5.0E-5 | 2.8012933E-5 | 2.771536E-5 | 8.77137E-5 | 3.1648047 | 6.0E-5 | 3.4100408E-4 | 3.373823E-4 | 3.9736208E-4 | 1.1777798 | 6.0E-5 | 0.003404813 | 0.0034487103 | 0.003578262 | 1.0375652 | 1.3E-4 |
7.4 | 6.5269523E-6 | 6.4480723E-6 | 5.644775E-5 | 8.754206 | 5.0E-5 | 2.7972354E-5 | 2.7634303E-5 | 8.7632645E-5 | 3.1711545 | 6.0E-5 | 3.4051016E-4 | 3.3639578E-4 | 3.9637557E-4 | 1.1783013 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0033998888 | 0.0034388923 | 0.003568445 | 1.0376729 | 1.3E-4 |
7.5 | 6.5111835E-6 | 6.424346E-6 | 5.6424025E-5 | 8.782844 | 5.0E-5 | 2.7904773E-5 | 2.753262E-5 | 8.753097E-5 | 3.1791732 | 6.0E-5 | 3.3968766E-4 | 3.3515817E-4 | 3.9513805E-4 | 1.17896 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0033916887 | 0.0034265644 | 0.0035561188 | 1.0378089 | 1.3E-4 |
7.6 | 6.4768806E-6 | 6.383454E-6 | 5.6383135E-5 | 8.8327 | 5.0E-5 | 2.7757764E-5 | 2.7357375E-5 | 8.735574E-5 | 3.1931329 | 6.0E-5 | 3.3789838E-4 | 3.330252E-4 | 3.9300523E-4 | 1.1801065 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0033738504 | 0.0034052972 | 0.0035348544 | 1.0380458 | 1.3E-4 |
7.7 | 6.1655364E-6 | 6.1759456E-6 | 5.6175635E-5 | 9.095877 | 5.0E-5 | 2.642346E-5 | 2.646807E-5 | 8.646648E-5 | 3.2668223 | 6.0E-5 | 3.2165812E-4 | 3.2220117E-4 | 3.8218184E-4 | 1.186159 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0032119295 | 0.0032969362 | 0.0034265076 | 1.0393006 | 1.3E-4 |
7.8 | 5.5043524E-6 | 5.7370175E-6 | 5.573673E-5 | 9.71528 | 5.0E-5 | 2.3589868E-5 | 2.4586987E-5 | 8.458551E-5 | 3.4402552 | 6.0E-5 | 2.871688E-4 | 2.993055E-4 | 3.5928754E-4 | 1.200404 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0028679797 | 0.0030670585 | 0.0031966597 | 1.0422559 | 1.3E-4 |
7.9 | 3.889249E-6 | 4.0766436E-6 | 4.407648E-5 | 10.811954 | 4.0E-5 | 1.6668104E-5 | 1.7471213E-5 | 6.747034E-5 | 3.8618004 | 5.0E-5 | 2.0291525E-4 | 2.126913E-4 | 2.6268067E-4 | 1.2350324 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0020273007 | 0.0021941073 | 0.002303866 | 1.0500243 | 1.1E-4 |
8.0 | 2.668535E-6 | 2.5313454E-6 | 2.2531294E-5 | 8.900917 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1436528E-5 | 1.0848577E-5 | 4.0848252E-5 | 3.7653093 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3923083E-4 | 1.3207346E-4 | 1.620695E-4 | 1.2271163 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0013914363 | 0.0013755665 | 0.0014554565 | 1.0580778 | 8.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.5911459E-6 | 1.2185134E-6 | 1.1218501E-5 | 9.206712 | 1.0E-5 | 6.8191785E-6 | 5.2221894E-6 | 2.5222085E-5 | 4.829791 | 2.0E-5 | 8.3020335E-5 | 6.357832E-5 | 8.3577055E-5 | 1.3145527 | 2.0E-5 | 8.298933E-4 | 6.6911156E-4 | 7.090848E-4 | 1.0597408 | 4.0E-5 |
8.2 | 6.1294963E-7 | 2.1802066E-7 | 2.1802066E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6269242E-6 | 9.3437393E-7 | 9.3437393E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1982334E-5 | 1.1375943E-5 | 1.1375943E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1977732E-4 | 1.2778955E-4 | 1.2778955E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.762871E-7 | 4.7516316E-8 | 4.7516316E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5551594E-7 | 2.0364133E-7 | 2.0364133E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1983675E-6 | 2.4793305E-6 | 2.4793305E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.197987E-5 | 2.8671833E-5 | 2.8671833E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Blue Cut
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.1227985E-5 | 2.2719574E-5 | 6.271867E-5 | 2.7605565 | 4.0E-5 | 9.097391E-5 | 9.73663E-5 | 1.4736142E-4 | 1.5134747 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0011070445 | 0.0011848481 | 0.0012647533 | 1.0674392 | 8.0E-5 | 0.011015458 | 0.011791152 | 0.011909736 | 1.0100571 | 1.2E-4 |
6.1 | 2.1227985E-5 | 2.2719574E-5 | 6.271867E-5 | 2.7605565 | 4.0E-5 | 9.097391E-5 | 9.73663E-5 | 1.4736142E-4 | 1.5134747 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0011070445 | 0.0011848481 | 0.0012647533 | 1.0674392 | 8.0E-5 | 0.011015458 | 0.011791152 | 0.011909736 | 1.0100571 | 1.2E-4 |
6.2 | 2.1227985E-5 | 2.2719574E-5 | 6.271867E-5 | 2.7605565 | 4.0E-5 | 9.097391E-5 | 9.73663E-5 | 1.4736142E-4 | 1.5134747 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0011070445 | 0.0011848481 | 0.0012647533 | 1.0674392 | 8.0E-5 | 0.011015458 | 0.011791152 | 0.011909736 | 1.0100571 | 1.2E-4 |
6.3 | 1.1613981E-5 | 1.2353542E-5 | 4.235317E-5 | 3.4284234 | 3.0E-5 | 4.9773254E-5 | 5.2942745E-5 | 8.294116E-5 | 1.5666199 | 3.0E-5 | 6.0582085E-4 | 6.443998E-4 | 6.9436757E-4 | 1.0775416 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0060417196 | 0.0064265593 | 0.006506045 | 1.0123683 | 8.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1613981E-5 | 1.2353542E-5 | 4.235317E-5 | 3.4284234 | 3.0E-5 | 4.9773254E-5 | 5.2942745E-5 | 8.294116E-5 | 1.5666199 | 3.0E-5 | 6.0582085E-4 | 6.443998E-4 | 6.9436757E-4 | 1.0775416 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0060417196 | 0.0064265593 | 0.006506045 | 1.0123683 | 8.0E-5 |
6.5 | 8.931326E-6 | 9.4816E-6 | 3.9481314E-5 | 4.163993 | 3.0E-5 | 3.8276554E-5 | 4.0634844E-5 | 7.063363E-5 | 1.7382526 | 3.0E-5 | 4.6591737E-4 | 4.946261E-4 | 5.3460634E-4 | 1.0808291 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0046494175 | 0.004936161 | 0.0050058155 | 1.014111 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.345353E-6 | 7.79028E-6 | 2.7790124E-5 | 3.5672822 | 2.0E-5 | 3.1479703E-5 | 3.338653E-5 | 5.3385862E-5 | 1.599024 | 2.0E-5 | 3.83198E-4 | 4.064132E-4 | 4.36401E-4 | 1.0737865 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0038253788 | 0.0040574907 | 0.004117247 | 1.0147275 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.2775666E-6 | 6.655149E-6 | 2.6655016E-5 | 4.005172 | 2.0E-5 | 2.690358E-5 | 2.8521798E-5 | 4.8521226E-5 | 1.7011981 | 2.0E-5 | 3.2750185E-4 | 3.472051E-4 | 3.7719466E-4 | 1.0863743 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0032701963 | 0.003467367 | 0.003527159 | 1.0172442 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.5234095E-6 | 5.8551113E-6 | 2.5854994E-5 | 4.415799 | 2.0E-5 | 2.367154E-5 | 2.5093133E-5 | 4.509263E-5 | 1.7970108 | 2.0E-5 | 2.8816288E-4 | 3.0547334E-4 | 3.2546723E-4 | 1.0654522 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002877895 | 0.0030512505 | 0.003101098 | 1.0163367 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.7780054E-6 | 5.0654203E-6 | 2.506532E-5 | 4.9483194 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0477004E-5 | 2.1708804E-5 | 4.170837E-5 | 1.9212652 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4927902E-4 | 2.642797E-4 | 2.842744E-4 | 1.0756574 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0024899957 | 0.002640346 | 0.0026902142 | 1.0188869 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.883171E-6 | 4.118487E-6 | 1.41184455E-5 | 3.428066 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6642054E-5 | 1.7650578E-5 | 2.7650402E-5 | 1.5665437 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0259817E-4 | 2.1488148E-4 | 2.2487935E-4 | 1.0465273 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020241356 | 0.0021474129 | 0.0021773484 | 1.0139403 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.8358215E-6 | 3.0097158E-6 | 3.0097158E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2153464E-5 | 1.2898756E-5 | 1.2898756E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4795837E-4 | 1.5703762E-4 | 1.5703762E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001478599 | 0.0015699116 | 0.0015898802 | 1.0127195 | 2.0E-5 |
White Mountains
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.503579E-5 | 3.3784127E-5 | 7.378277E-5 | 2.183948 | 4.0E-5 | 1.5014476E-4 | 1.4478175E-4 | 1.9477452E-4 | 1.3452973 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0018264796 | 0.0017614134 | 0.0018612372 | 1.0566726 | 1.0E-4 | 0.018115403 | 0.017486857 | 0.017604759 | 1.0067422 | 1.2E-4 |
6.1 | 3.503579E-5 | 3.3784127E-5 | 7.378277E-5 | 2.183948 | 4.0E-5 | 1.5014476E-4 | 1.4478175E-4 | 1.9477452E-4 | 1.3452973 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0018264796 | 0.0017614134 | 0.0018612372 | 1.0566726 | 1.0E-4 | 0.018115403 | 0.017486857 | 0.017604759 | 1.0067422 | 1.2E-4 |
6.2 | 3.503579E-5 | 3.3784127E-5 | 7.378277E-5 | 2.183948 | 4.0E-5 | 1.5014476E-4 | 1.4478175E-4 | 1.9477452E-4 | 1.3452973 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0018264796 | 0.0017614134 | 0.0018612372 | 1.0566726 | 1.0E-4 | 0.018115403 | 0.017486857 | 0.017604759 | 1.0067422 | 1.2E-4 |
6.3 | 1.7818425E-5 | 1.591616E-5 | 3.591584E-5 | 2.2565646 | 2.0E-5 | 7.636245E-5 | 6.821041E-5 | 8.8209046E-5 | 1.2931904 | 2.0E-5 | 9.293162E-4 | 8.301596E-4 | 8.8011805E-4 | 1.0601794 | 5.0E-5 | 0.009254395 | 0.0082720425 | 0.008331547 | 1.0071933 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.7818425E-5 | 1.591616E-5 | 3.591584E-5 | 2.2565646 | 2.0E-5 | 7.636245E-5 | 6.821041E-5 | 8.8209046E-5 | 1.2931904 | 2.0E-5 | 9.293162E-4 | 8.301596E-4 | 8.8011805E-4 | 1.0601794 | 5.0E-5 | 0.009254395 | 0.0082720425 | 0.008331547 | 1.0071933 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3397557E-5 | 1.1336374E-5 | 3.133615E-5 | 2.7642126 | 2.0E-5 | 5.741684E-5 | 4.8583595E-5 | 6.858262E-5 | 1.4116416 | 2.0E-5 | 6.988258E-4 | 5.913517E-4 | 6.3132803E-4 | 1.0676017 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006966323 | 0.005898487 | 0.0059382506 | 1.0067414 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0818695E-5 | 8.625434E-6 | 8.625434E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6365014E-5 | 3.6965648E-5 | 3.6965648E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6434784E-4 | 4.4996818E-4 | 4.6995917E-4 | 1.0444276 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005629168 | 0.0044910074 | 0.0045109177 | 1.0044334 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.067908E-6 | 6.802476E-6 | 6.802476E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8861883E-5 | 2.915316E-5 | 2.915316E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7304068E-4 | 3.548851E-4 | 3.6488156E-4 | 1.0281681 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00472035 | 0.003543501 | 0.0035534655 | 1.002812 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 7.295947E-6 | 4.9364285E-6 | 4.9364285E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.126797E-5 | 2.1155956E-5 | 2.1155956E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8062103E-4 | 2.5754445E-4 | 2.5754445E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037996976 | 0.0025725728 | 0.0025725728 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 6.2243444E-6 | 3.8322546E-6 | 3.8322546E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6675489E-5 | 1.6423846E-5 | 1.6423846E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2472567E-4 | 1.9994251E-4 | 1.9994251E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032425157 | 0.001997679 | 0.001997679 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 4.9878413E-6 | 2.679564E-6 | 2.679564E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1376287E-5 | 1.1483797E-5 | 1.1483797E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.602252E-4 | 1.3980652E-4 | 1.3980652E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002599207 | 0.0013972119 | 0.0013972119 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 4.0252844E-6 | 1.885702E-6 | 1.885702E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7251105E-5 | 8.081555E-6 | 8.081555E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1001195E-4 | 9.838863E-5 | 9.838863E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020981359 | 9.834635E-4 | 9.834635E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.3284066E-6 | 1.2818929E-6 | 1.2818929E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4264522E-5 | 5.4938155E-6 | 5.4938155E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.736567E-4 | 6.688525E-5 | 6.688525E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017352107 | 6.6866126E-4 | 6.6866126E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.458226E-6 | 6.056684E-7 | 6.056684E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0535211E-5 | 2.5957193E-6 | 2.5957193E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2825865E-4 | 3.160246E-5 | 3.160246E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012818464 | 3.1598343E-4 | 3.1598343E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.965953E-6 | 3.1084684E-7 | 3.1084684E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.425486E-6 | 1.3322001E-6 | 1.3322001E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0257547E-4 | 1.6219417E-5 | 1.6219417E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010252813 | 1.6218246E-4 | 1.6218246E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.2014192E-6 | 1.8241002E-7 | 1.8241002E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.148929E-6 | 7.8175697E-7 | 7.8175697E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2686406E-5 | 9.51785E-6 | 9.51785E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.266873E-4 | 9.517451E-5 | 9.517451E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.5612175E-7 | 4.893784E-8 | 4.893784E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0976642E-6 | 2.0973359E-7 | 2.0973359E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3363979E-5 | 2.5535037E-6 | 2.5535037E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3363175E-4 | 2.553478E-5 | 2.553478E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Camp Rock 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6710783E-5 | 4.249999E-6 | 4.4249828E-5 | 10.411726 | 4.0E-5 | 7.161568E-5 | 1.8214158E-5 | 5.821343E-5 | 3.1960537 | 4.0E-5 | 8.7157206E-4 | 2.2173533E-4 | 3.017176E-4 | 1.3607105 | 8.0E-5 | 0.008681616 | 0.0022151938 | 0.002334928 | 1.0540513 | 1.2E-4 |
6.1 | 1.6710783E-5 | 4.249999E-6 | 4.4249828E-5 | 10.411726 | 4.0E-5 | 7.161568E-5 | 1.8214158E-5 | 5.821343E-5 | 3.1960537 | 4.0E-5 | 8.7157206E-4 | 2.2173533E-4 | 3.017176E-4 | 1.3607105 | 8.0E-5 | 0.008681616 | 0.0022151938 | 0.002334928 | 1.0540513 | 1.2E-4 |
6.2 | 1.6710783E-5 | 4.249999E-6 | 4.4249828E-5 | 10.411726 | 4.0E-5 | 7.161568E-5 | 1.8214158E-5 | 5.821343E-5 | 3.1960537 | 4.0E-5 | 8.7157206E-4 | 2.2173533E-4 | 3.017176E-4 | 1.3607105 | 8.0E-5 | 0.008681616 | 0.0022151938 | 0.002334928 | 1.0540513 | 1.2E-4 |
6.3 | 1.6710783E-5 | 4.249999E-6 | 4.4249828E-5 | 10.411726 | 4.0E-5 | 7.161568E-5 | 1.8214158E-5 | 5.821343E-5 | 3.1960537 | 4.0E-5 | 8.7157206E-4 | 2.2173533E-4 | 3.017176E-4 | 1.3607105 | 8.0E-5 | 0.008681616 | 0.0022151938 | 0.002334928 | 1.0540513 | 1.2E-4 |
6.4 | 7.982846E-6 | 3.6820359E-6 | 4.368189E-5 | 11.863515 | 4.0E-5 | 3.421175E-5 | 1.578006E-5 | 5.577943E-5 | 3.5348046 | 4.0E-5 | 4.1644843E-4 | 1.9210564E-4 | 2.7209028E-4 | 1.4163575 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0041566887 | 0.0019194306 | 0.0020292194 | 1.0571986 | 1.1E-4 |
6.5 | 7.982846E-6 | 3.6820359E-6 | 4.368189E-5 | 11.863515 | 4.0E-5 | 3.421175E-5 | 1.578006E-5 | 5.577943E-5 | 3.5348046 | 4.0E-5 | 4.1644843E-4 | 1.9210564E-4 | 2.7209028E-4 | 1.4163575 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0041566887 | 0.0019194306 | 0.0020292194 | 1.0571986 | 1.1E-4 |
6.6 | 7.048869E-6 | 3.4242998E-6 | 4.3424163E-5 | 12.68118 | 4.0E-5 | 3.0209088E-5 | 1.467549E-5 | 5.4674903E-5 | 3.725593 | 4.0E-5 | 3.677336E-4 | 1.7865976E-4 | 2.5864548E-4 | 1.4476985 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0036712566 | 0.0017851929 | 0.0018949965 | 1.0615079 | 1.1E-4 |
6.7 | 6.987307E-6 | 3.3622775E-6 | 4.3362143E-5 | 12.896658 | 4.0E-5 | 2.9945259E-5 | 1.4409683E-5 | 5.4409105E-5 | 3.7758713 | 4.0E-5 | 3.6452254E-4 | 1.7542407E-4 | 2.5541004E-4 | 1.4559578 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0036392517 | 0.0017528872 | 0.0018626943 | 1.0626436 | 1.1E-4 |
6.8 | 6.3737602E-6 | 3.1178672E-6 | 4.3117743E-5 | 13.829243 | 4.0E-5 | 2.731583E-5 | 1.3362222E-5 | 5.3361688E-5 | 3.9934742 | 4.0E-5 | 3.3251947E-4 | 1.6267318E-4 | 2.4266017E-4 | 1.4917035 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0033202237 | 0.0016255698 | 0.0017353909 | 1.0675585 | 1.1E-4 |
6.9 | 6.112211E-6 | 2.933078E-6 | 4.293296E-5 | 14.63751 | 4.0E-5 | 2.6194928E-5 | 1.2570275E-5 | 5.2569772E-5 | 4.1820703 | 4.0E-5 | 3.1887658E-4 | 1.5303263E-4 | 2.3302039E-4 | 1.5226843 | 8.0E-5 | 0.003184194 | 0.0015293002 | 0.001639132 | 1.0718184 | 1.1E-4 |
7.0 | 5.5140117E-6 | 2.64191E-6 | 4.2641805E-5 | 16.140522 | 4.0E-5 | 2.3631264E-5 | 1.1322423E-5 | 5.132197E-5 | 4.5327725 | 4.0E-5 | 2.8767265E-4 | 1.3784204E-4 | 2.1783101E-4 | 1.5802945 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0028730053 | 0.0013775907 | 0.0014874391 | 1.0797396 | 1.1E-4 |
7.1 | 4.8151105E-6 | 2.1342612E-6 | 4.2134176E-5 | 19.74181 | 4.0E-5 | 2.0636026E-5 | 9.146803E-6 | 4.9146438E-5 | 5.373073 | 4.0E-5 | 2.5121463E-4 | 1.1135685E-4 | 1.8134905E-4 | 1.6285397 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0025093083 | 0.0011130325 | 0.0012129211 | 1.0897447 | 1.0E-4 |
7.2 | 3.818335E-6 | 1.2937372E-6 | 2.1293712E-5 | 16.45907 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6364189E-5 | 5.5445767E-6 | 2.5544467E-5 | 4.607108 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9921579E-4 | 6.750321E-5 | 9.750119E-5 | 1.4443933 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0019903728 | 6.7483535E-4 | 7.1480835E-4 | 1.0592337 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.7166698E-6 | 7.383078E-7 | 2.0738293E-5 | 28.088953 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1642818E-5 | 3.1641725E-6 | 2.316411E-5 | 7.320748 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4174209E-4 | 3.852314E-5 | 6.8521986E-5 | 1.7787228 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0014165172 | 3.8516664E-4 | 4.2515123E-4 | 1.1038111 | 4.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.0893426E-6 | 5.4614605E-7 | 2.0546135E-5 | 37.62022 | 2.0E-5 | 8.954295E-6 | 2.340624E-6 | 2.2340577E-5 | 9.54471 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0901308E-4 | 2.8496728E-5 | 5.8495873E-5 | 2.0527225 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010895962 | 2.849313E-4 | 3.1492274E-4 | 1.1052586 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.1681728E-6 | 3.6028484E-7 | 2.0360278E-5 | 56.511612 | 2.0E-5 | 5.0064455E-6 | 1.544077E-6 | 2.1544047E-5 | 13.952702 | 2.0E-5 | 6.0951766E-5 | 1.879898E-5 | 4.8798418E-5 | 2.5958014 | 3.0E-5 | 6.093505E-4 | 1.8797436E-4 | 2.1796873E-4 | 1.1595663 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.3154387E-7 | 7.1196716E-8 | 1.0071196E-5 | 141.4559 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6375933E-7 | 3.0512876E-7 | 1.0305126E-5 | 33.77304 | 1.0E-5 | 6.863748E-6 | 3.714938E-6 | 2.3714863E-5 | 6.38365 | 2.0E-5 | 6.863536E-5 | 3.7148915E-5 | 5.7148172E-5 | 1.5383537 | 2.0E-5 |
Owens Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.83821E-5 | 3.6210524E-6 | 5.362087E-5 | 14.80809 | 5.0E-5 | 2.0733538E-4 | 1.551871E-5 | 8.5517626E-5 | 5.5106144 | 7.0E-5 | 0.002521386 | 1.889249E-4 | 2.789079E-4 | 1.4762897 | 9.0E-5 | 0.024929691 | 0.0019297141 | 0.0020494827 | 1.0620654 | 1.2E-4 |
6.1 | 4.83821E-5 | 3.6210524E-6 | 5.362087E-5 | 14.80809 | 5.0E-5 | 2.0733538E-4 | 1.551871E-5 | 8.5517626E-5 | 5.5106144 | 7.0E-5 | 0.002521386 | 1.889249E-4 | 2.789079E-4 | 1.4762897 | 9.0E-5 | 0.024929691 | 0.0019297141 | 0.0020494827 | 1.0620654 | 1.2E-4 |
6.2 | 4.83821E-5 | 3.6210524E-6 | 5.362087E-5 | 14.80809 | 5.0E-5 | 2.0733538E-4 | 1.551871E-5 | 8.5517626E-5 | 5.5106144 | 7.0E-5 | 0.002521386 | 1.889249E-4 | 2.789079E-4 | 1.4762897 | 9.0E-5 | 0.024929691 | 0.0019297141 | 0.0020494827 | 1.0620654 | 1.2E-4 |
6.3 | 3.953008E-5 | 3.1530958E-6 | 4.315297E-5 | 13.6859045 | 4.0E-5 | 1.6940363E-4 | 1.3513202E-5 | 7.351239E-5 | 5.4400425 | 6.0E-5 | 0.002060538 | 1.6451156E-4 | 2.444984E-4 | 1.4862081 | 8.0E-5 | 0.020415364 | 0.0016621627 | 0.0017719798 | 1.0660689 | 1.1E-4 |
6.4 | 3.953008E-5 | 3.1530958E-6 | 4.315297E-5 | 13.6859045 | 4.0E-5 | 1.6940363E-4 | 1.3513202E-5 | 7.351239E-5 | 5.4400425 | 6.0E-5 | 0.002060538 | 1.6451156E-4 | 2.444984E-4 | 1.4862081 | 8.0E-5 | 0.020415364 | 0.0016621627 | 0.0017719798 | 1.0660689 | 1.1E-4 |
6.5 | 3.457342E-5 | 2.9707387E-6 | 4.297062E-5 | 14.464624 | 4.0E-5 | 1.4816338E-4 | 1.273168E-5 | 7.2730916E-5 | 5.712594 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0018023965 | 1.5499788E-4 | 2.2498702E-4 | 1.451549 | 7.0E-5 | 0.017878477 | 0.0015563119 | 0.0016561561 | 1.0641545 | 1.0E-4 |
6.6 | 3.1127765E-5 | 2.8737306E-6 | 4.2873617E-5 | 14.919149 | 4.0E-5 | 1.3339789E-4 | 1.2315934E-5 | 6.231532E-5 | 5.0597315 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0016229092 | 1.4993687E-4 | 2.0992788E-4 | 1.4001085 | 6.0E-5 | 0.016111081 | 0.0015013438 | 0.0015912086 | 1.0598563 | 9.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.806885E-5 | 2.8101606E-6 | 4.2810047E-5 | 15.234022 | 4.0E-5 | 1.2028952E-4 | 1.2043493E-5 | 6.204289E-5 | 5.1515694 | 5.0E-5 | 0.001463541 | 1.4662035E-4 | 2.0661156E-4 | 1.4091601 | 6.0E-5 | 0.014539397 | 0.0014656087 | 0.0015454915 | 1.0545049 | 8.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.524524E-5 | 2.2351392E-6 | 4.223505E-5 | 18.895937 | 4.0E-5 | 1.0818939E-4 | 9.579134E-6 | 5.9578655E-5 | 6.2196283 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0013164099 | 1.16620016E-4 | 1.7661302E-4 | 1.5144315 | 6.0E-5 | 0.01308639 | 0.001165827 | 0.0012457338 | 1.0685408 | 8.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.2704568E-5 | 1.6079711E-6 | 4.1607906E-5 | 25.87603 | 4.0E-5 | 9.730166E-5 | 6.8912864E-6 | 5.689094E-5 | 8.255489 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0011840039 | 8.38982E-5 | 1.4389316E-4 | 1.7150924 | 6.0E-5 | 0.011777153 | 8.38853E-4 | 9.187859E-4 | 1.0952883 | 8.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.0871712E-5 | 1.5393621E-6 | 4.15393E-5 | 26.984749 | 4.0E-5 | 8.944713E-5 | 6.5972495E-6 | 5.659692E-5 | 8.578866 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0010884746 | 8.031857E-5 | 1.4031376E-4 | 1.7469653 | 6.0E-5 | 0.010831586 | 8.030395E-4 | 8.829753E-4 | 1.0995415 | 8.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.944928E-5 | 1.3862556E-6 | 4.13862E-5 | 29.85467 | 4.0E-5 | 8.335139E-5 | 5.941082E-6 | 5.5940785E-5 | 9.415926 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0010143308 | 7.233028E-5 | 1.3232593E-4 | 1.8294681 | 6.0E-5 | 0.010097133 | 7.2319806E-4 | 8.031402E-4 | 1.1105398 | 8.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.7876306E-5 | 1.2487686E-6 | 4.1248717E-5 | 33.031517 | 4.0E-5 | 7.6610486E-5 | 5.3518543E-6 | 5.5351586E-5 | 10.342506 | 5.0E-5 | 9.3233347E-4 | 6.515689E-5 | 1.2515298E-4 | 1.9207942 | 6.0E-5 | 0.009284316 | 6.5148395E-4 | 7.314318E-4 | 1.1227165 | 8.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.2618672E-5 | 1.1113839E-6 | 4.111134E-5 | 36.991123 | 4.0E-5 | 5.40789E-5 | 4.763065E-6 | 5.4762826E-5 | 11.497392 | 5.0E-5 | 6.582117E-4 | 5.7988782E-5 | 1.17985306E-4 | 2.034623 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0065626553 | 5.7983754E-4 | 6.5979117E-4 | 1.1378896 | 8.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.4874442E-6 | 8.547518E-7 | 3.0854728E-5 | 36.097878 | 3.0E-5 | 3.208865E-5 | 3.6632168E-6 | 4.366307E-5 | 11.919325 | 4.0E-5 | 3.906093E-4 | 4.4598757E-5 | 9.459653E-5 | 2.1210575 | 5.0E-5 | 0.003899234 | 4.459579E-4 | 5.159267E-4 | 1.1568955 | 7.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.4734156E-6 | 6.0679935E-7 | 3.060678E-5 | 50.439705 | 3.0E-5 | 1.060031E-5 | 2.6005662E-6 | 3.260049E-5 | 12.535919 | 3.0E-5 | 1.2905113E-4 | 3.1661435E-5 | 7.166017E-5 | 2.2633266 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0012897621 | 3.1656958E-4 | 3.6655375E-4 | 1.1578932 | 5.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.1328841E-6 | 3.1961991E-7 | 2.0319614E-5 | 63.574303 | 2.0E-5 | 4.8552088E-6 | 1.369799E-6 | 2.1369771E-5 | 15.600662 | 2.0E-5 | 5.9110564E-5 | 1.6677177E-5 | 4.6676676E-5 | 2.7988355 | 3.0E-5 | 5.9094845E-4 | 1.6675945E-4 | 2.0675277E-4 | 1.2398264 | 4.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.8613185E-7 | 8.962742E-8 | 8.962742E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0834207E-6 | 3.8411747E-7 | 3.8411747E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.536535E-5 | 4.676621E-6 | 4.676621E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5362454E-4 | 4.676529E-5 | 5.6764824E-5 | 1.2138238 | 1.0E-5 |
Ventura-Pitas Point
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.373519E-5 | 5.373451E-5 | 1.5928328 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4457281E-4 | 1.6456992E-4 | 1.1383185 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017590097 | 0.0017889569 | 1.017025 | 3.0E-5 | 0.017163932 | 0.017476497 | 0.017564924 | 1.0050597 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.373519E-5 | 5.373451E-5 | 1.5928328 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4457281E-4 | 1.6456992E-4 | 1.1383185 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017590097 | 0.0017889569 | 1.017025 | 3.0E-5 | 0.017163932 | 0.017476497 | 0.017564924 | 1.0050597 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.373519E-5 | 5.373451E-5 | 1.5928328 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4457281E-4 | 1.6456992E-4 | 1.1383185 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017590097 | 0.0017889569 | 1.017025 | 3.0E-5 | 0.017163932 | 0.017476497 | 0.017564924 | 1.0050597 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.373519E-5 | 5.373451E-5 | 1.5928328 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4457281E-4 | 1.6456992E-4 | 1.1383185 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017590097 | 0.0017889569 | 1.017025 | 3.0E-5 | 0.017163932 | 0.017476497 | 0.017564924 | 1.0050597 | 9.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.8754668E-5 | 1.7019594E-5 | 3.7019254E-5 | 2.1750963 | 2.0E-5 | 8.037467E-5 | 7.2939205E-5 | 9.293775E-5 | 1.274181 | 2.0E-5 | 9.781223E-4 | 8.8769617E-4 | 9.076784E-4 | 1.0225103 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009738282 | 0.008843943 | 0.0088935 | 1.0056036 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.8754668E-5 | 1.7019594E-5 | 3.7019254E-5 | 2.1750963 | 2.0E-5 | 8.037467E-5 | 7.2939205E-5 | 9.293775E-5 | 1.274181 | 2.0E-5 | 9.781223E-4 | 8.8769617E-4 | 9.076784E-4 | 1.0225103 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009738282 | 0.008843943 | 0.0088935 | 1.0056036 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.4361558E-5 | 1.2122258E-5 | 3.2122014E-5 | 2.6498377 | 2.0E-5 | 6.154808E-5 | 5.1951512E-5 | 7.1950475E-5 | 1.3849543 | 2.0E-5 | 7.490902E-4 | 6.323284E-4 | 6.5231574E-4 | 1.0316092 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0074657016 | 0.006305652 | 0.006355337 | 1.0078794 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.4361558E-5 | 1.2122258E-5 | 3.2122014E-5 | 2.6498377 | 2.0E-5 | 6.154808E-5 | 5.1951512E-5 | 7.1950475E-5 | 1.3849543 | 2.0E-5 | 7.490902E-4 | 6.323284E-4 | 6.5231574E-4 | 1.0316092 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0074657016 | 0.006305652 | 0.006355337 | 1.0078794 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.3663846E-5 | 1.1344401E-5 | 3.1344174E-5 | 2.7629642 | 2.0E-5 | 5.8558027E-5 | 4.8617967E-5 | 6.8616995E-5 | 1.4113506 | 2.0E-5 | 7.127108E-4 | 5.917649E-4 | 6.117531E-4 | 1.0337772 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007104293 | 0.0059022107 | 0.005951916 | 1.0084214 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.3644157E-5 | 1.1322501E-5 | 3.1322274E-5 | 2.766374 | 2.0E-5 | 5.8473648E-5 | 4.8524114E-5 | 6.852314E-5 | 1.4121462 | 2.0E-5 | 7.116841E-4 | 5.906229E-4 | 6.106111E-4 | 1.0338426 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007094092 | 0.0058908514 | 0.005940557 | 1.0084378 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.3568845E-5 | 1.12420685E-5 | 3.1241845E-5 | 2.779012 | 2.0E-5 | 5.8150898E-5 | 4.8179416E-5 | 6.817845E-5 | 1.4150951 | 2.0E-5 | 7.077572E-4 | 5.8642845E-4 | 6.064167E-4 | 1.0340848 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007055073 | 0.005849128 | 0.0058988356 | 1.0084983 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.306572E-5 | 1.0720521E-5 | 3.0720308E-5 | 2.865561 | 2.0E-5 | 5.599474E-5 | 4.594429E-5 | 6.594337E-5 | 1.4352899 | 2.0E-5 | 6.815227E-4 | 5.5923004E-4 | 5.7921885E-4 | 1.0357435 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0067943637 | 0.005578536 | 0.005628257 | 1.0089129 | 5.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.232604E-5 | 9.995121E-6 | 2.999492E-5 | 3.0009563 | 2.0E-5 | 5.2824813E-5 | 4.283554E-5 | 6.283468E-5 | 1.466882 | 2.0E-5 | 6.429523E-4 | 5.2139966E-4 | 5.413893E-4 | 1.0383383 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0064109527 | 0.005202059 | 0.0052517992 | 1.0095615 | 5.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.0917261E-5 | 8.843812E-6 | 2.8843635E-5 | 3.2614484 | 2.0E-5 | 4.678742E-5 | 3.7901507E-5 | 5.790075E-5 | 1.5276635 | 2.0E-5 | 5.69488E-4 | 4.6135474E-4 | 4.813455E-4 | 1.0433306 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0056803077 | 0.004604239 | 0.0046540084 | 1.0108095 | 5.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.039959E-5 | 8.42354E-6 | 8.42354E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.456891E-5 | 3.6100395E-5 | 3.6100395E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.424914E-4 | 4.394352E-4 | 4.394352E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0054116896 | 0.0043859277 | 0.004415796 | 1.0068101 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 9.015877E-6 | 7.29752E-6 | 7.29752E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.86389E-5 | 3.1274718E-5 | 3.1274718E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7032707E-4 | 3.8070456E-4 | 3.8070456E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004693329 | 0.003800772 | 0.0038306578 | 1.0078632 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 4.900162E-6 | 3.874119E-6 | 3.874119E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1000526E-5 | 1.6603262E-5 | 1.6603262E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.556514E-4 | 2.0212609E-4 | 2.0212609E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025535747 | 0.002019436 | 0.0020493756 | 1.0148256 | 3.0E-5 |
7.7 | 3.8850626E-6 | 3.12676E-6 | 3.12676E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6650163E-5 | 1.3400332E-5 | 1.3400332E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0269687E-4 | 1.6313691E-4 | 1.6313691E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002025121 | 0.0016301809 | 0.0016501483 | 1.0122486 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.4654719E-6 | 2.029902E-6 | 2.029902E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0566265E-5 | 8.699551E-6 | 8.699551E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2863669E-4 | 1.0591193E-4 | 1.0591193E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012856225 | 0.0010586192 | 0.0010686086 | 1.0094362 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 4.095894E-7 | 3.2765078E-7 | 3.2765078E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7553821E-6 | 1.4042168E-6 | 1.4042168E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1371567E-5 | 1.709621E-5 | 1.709621E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1369511E-4 | 1.7094925E-4 | 1.7094925E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 7.791402E-9 | 5.6836056E-9 | 5.6836056E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3391725E-8 | 2.4358311E-8 | 2.4358311E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0654416E-7 | 2.965624E-7 | 2.965624E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.065434E-6 | 2.9656223E-6 | 2.9656223E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pisgah-Bullion Mtn-Mesquite Lk
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0240792E-5 | 2.40909E-5 | 8.408946E-5 | 3.490507 | 6.0E-5 | 1.2959696E-4 | 1.032432E-4 | 1.7323597E-4 | 1.6779407 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0015767008 | 0.0012563618 | 0.0013562362 | 1.079495 | 1.0E-4 | 0.015655609 | 0.012502613 | 0.012611237 | 1.0086882 | 1.1E-4 |
6.1 | 3.0240792E-5 | 2.40909E-5 | 8.408946E-5 | 3.490507 | 6.0E-5 | 1.2959696E-4 | 1.032432E-4 | 1.7323597E-4 | 1.6779407 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0015767008 | 0.0012563618 | 0.0013562362 | 1.079495 | 1.0E-4 | 0.015655609 | 0.012502613 | 0.012611237 | 1.0086882 | 1.1E-4 |
6.2 | 3.0240792E-5 | 2.40909E-5 | 8.408946E-5 | 3.490507 | 6.0E-5 | 1.2959696E-4 | 1.032432E-4 | 1.7323597E-4 | 1.6779407 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0015767008 | 0.0012563618 | 0.0013562362 | 1.079495 | 1.0E-4 | 0.015655609 | 0.012502613 | 0.012611237 | 1.0086882 | 1.1E-4 |
6.3 | 2.0498217E-5 | 1.3638054E-5 | 4.3637647E-5 | 3.1996973 | 3.0E-5 | 8.784654E-5 | 5.8447586E-5 | 9.844525E-5 | 1.6843339 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0010690069 | 7.1138324E-4 | 7.613477E-4 | 1.0702356 | 5.0E-5 | 0.01063879 | 0.0070926864 | 0.007142332 | 1.0069995 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0498217E-5 | 1.3638054E-5 | 4.3637647E-5 | 3.1996973 | 3.0E-5 | 8.784654E-5 | 5.8447586E-5 | 9.844525E-5 | 1.6843339 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0010690069 | 7.1138324E-4 | 7.613477E-4 | 1.0702356 | 5.0E-5 | 0.01063879 | 0.0070926864 | 0.007142332 | 1.0069995 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.7316182E-5 | 1.04769715E-5 | 4.0476658E-5 | 3.8633928 | 3.0E-5 | 7.42101E-5 | 4.490059E-5 | 8.489879E-5 | 1.8908169 | 4.0E-5 | 9.0313336E-4 | 5.465376E-4 | 5.865157E-4 | 1.073148 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008994718 | 0.00545293 | 0.005492712 | 1.0072955 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.5251077E-5 | 8.414133E-6 | 3.841388E-5 | 4.5653996 | 3.0E-5 | 6.536012E-5 | 3.606011E-5 | 7.605867E-5 | 2.1092188 | 4.0E-5 | 7.9546886E-4 | 4.3895066E-4 | 4.789331E-4 | 1.0910864 | 4.0E-5 | 0.007926274 | 0.0043815537 | 0.0044213785 | 1.0090892 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2997425E-5 | 6.4112146E-6 | 2.6411086E-5 | 4.1195135 | 2.0E-5 | 5.570206E-5 | 2.7476372E-5 | 5.7475547E-5 | 2.0918171 | 3.0E-5 | 6.7796157E-4 | 3.3447813E-4 | 3.6446808E-4 | 1.089662 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0067589693 | 0.003340207 | 0.003370107 | 1.0089514 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.035386E-5 | 4.333145E-6 | 4.333145E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.437293E-5 | 1.8570496E-5 | 2.857031E-5 | 1.5384786 | 1.0E-5 | 5.401065E-4 | 2.260732E-4 | 2.3607093E-4 | 1.0442234 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0053879567 | 0.002258519 | 0.0022684964 | 1.0044177 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.816252E-6 | 3.5805879E-6 | 3.5805879E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.778339E-5 | 1.534529E-5 | 2.5345136E-5 | 1.6516558 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5991567E-4 | 1.8681347E-4 | 1.9681161E-4 | 1.0535194 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00458965 | 0.0018666228 | 0.0018766042 | 1.0053473 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 6.8232207E-6 | 2.5674399E-6 | 2.5674399E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9242048E-5 | 1.100327E-5 | 2.100316E-5 | 1.9088107 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5596377E-4 | 1.3395688E-4 | 1.4395555E-4 | 1.0746409 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0035539411 | 0.0013387925 | 0.0013487791 | 1.0074594 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.837013E-6 | 2.2273143E-6 | 2.2273143E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.501553E-5 | 9.5456E-6 | 9.5456E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.045215E-4 | 1.1621177E-4 | 1.1621177E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030410455 | 0.001161539 | 0.001161539 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 4.278052E-6 | 1.6275065E-6 | 1.6275065E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.833438E-5 | 6.975011E-6 | 6.975011E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.231982E-4 | 8.491768E-5 | 8.491768E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022297418 | 8.4887556E-4 | 8.4887556E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.8803692E-6 | 8.344788E-7 | 8.344788E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0587E-6 | 3.5763337E-6 | 3.5763337E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.811026E-5 | 4.354114E-5 | 4.354114E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.806695E-4 | 4.3534054E-4 | 4.3534054E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Bullion Mountains
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6420427E-5 | 1.4692009E-5 | 7.4691125E-5 | 5.0837927 | 6.0E-5 | 7.037136E-5 | 6.296445E-5 | 1.2296067E-4 | 1.9528587 | 6.0E-5 | 8.5643446E-4 | 7.6636096E-4 | 8.363073E-4 | 1.0912708 | 7.0E-5 | 0.008531413 | 0.0076409746 | 0.0077501344 | 1.014286 | 1.1E-4 |
6.1 | 1.6420427E-5 | 1.4692009E-5 | 7.4691125E-5 | 5.0837927 | 6.0E-5 | 7.037136E-5 | 6.296445E-5 | 1.2296067E-4 | 1.9528587 | 6.0E-5 | 8.5643446E-4 | 7.6636096E-4 | 8.363073E-4 | 1.0912708 | 7.0E-5 | 0.008531413 | 0.0076409746 | 0.0077501344 | 1.014286 | 1.1E-4 |
6.2 | 1.6420427E-5 | 1.4692009E-5 | 7.4691125E-5 | 5.0837927 | 6.0E-5 | 7.037136E-5 | 6.296445E-5 | 1.2296067E-4 | 1.9528587 | 6.0E-5 | 8.5643446E-4 | 7.6636096E-4 | 8.363073E-4 | 1.0912708 | 7.0E-5 | 0.008531413 | 0.0076409746 | 0.0077501344 | 1.014286 | 1.1E-4 |
6.3 | 1.2046778E-5 | 9.862255E-6 | 3.986196E-5 | 4.0418706 | 3.0E-5 | 5.1628023E-5 | 4.2266256E-5 | 7.2264986E-5 | 1.7097561 | 3.0E-5 | 6.283899E-4 | 5.144933E-4 | 5.5447273E-4 | 1.0777063 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0062661595 | 0.0051353034 | 0.0051850467 | 1.0096865 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2046778E-5 | 9.862255E-6 | 3.986196E-5 | 4.0418706 | 3.0E-5 | 5.1628023E-5 | 4.2266256E-5 | 7.2264986E-5 | 1.7097561 | 3.0E-5 | 6.283899E-4 | 5.144933E-4 | 5.5447273E-4 | 1.0777063 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0062661595 | 0.0051353034 | 0.0051850467 | 1.0096865 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.0244343E-5 | 7.879378E-6 | 2.7879221E-5 | 3.5382512 | 2.0E-5 | 4.390359E-5 | 3.3768443E-5 | 5.376777E-5 | 1.5922489 | 2.0E-5 | 5.343951E-4 | 4.1107394E-4 | 4.410616E-4 | 1.0729495 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005331118 | 0.0041051665 | 0.0041450025 | 1.0097039 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.605408E-6 | 7.1774166E-6 | 2.7177273E-5 | 3.7864978 | 2.0E-5 | 4.1165385E-5 | 3.0760108E-5 | 5.0759492E-5 | 1.6501727 | 2.0E-5 | 5.010733E-4 | 3.7446033E-4 | 4.044491E-4 | 1.0800853 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00499945 | 0.0037402906 | 0.0037701784 | 1.0079907 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.60418E-6 | 6.123926E-6 | 2.6123804E-5 | 4.2658587 | 2.0E-5 | 3.687454E-5 | 2.6245243E-5 | 4.624472E-5 | 1.7620229 | 2.0E-5 | 4.48855E-4 | 3.195085E-4 | 3.494989E-4 | 1.0938642 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004479495 | 0.0031924031 | 0.0032223072 | 1.0093673 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.187994E-6 | 2.563117E-6 | 1.2563091E-5 | 4.9014897 | 1.0E-5 | 2.223407E-5 | 1.0984763E-5 | 2.0984653E-5 | 1.9103419 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7066618E-4 | 1.3373529E-4 | 1.4373395E-4 | 1.0747646 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0027033675 | 0.0013369396 | 0.0013469262 | 1.0074698 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.5302368E-6 | 2.3442778E-6 | 1.2344254E-5 | 5.265696 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9415156E-5 | 1.0046889E-5 | 2.004679E-5 | 1.995323 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3635388E-4 | 1.2231797E-4 | 1.3231675E-4 | 1.0817441 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023610266 | 0.0012228956 | 0.0012328833 | 1.0081673 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.431668E-6 | 1.6882177E-6 | 1.1688201E-5 | 6.9233966 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4707065E-5 | 7.2352186E-6 | 1.7235147E-5 | 2.3821182 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7904381E-4 | 8.808879E-5 | 9.8087905E-5 | 1.1135118 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017889962 | 8.8088785E-4 | 8.908791E-4 | 1.0113422 | 1.0E-5 |
Lost Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.5106583E-5 | 5.510583E-5 | 2.1948757 | 3.0E-5 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0759615E-4 | 1.3759293E-4 | 1.2787904 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011647546 | 0.001309364 | 0.0013992462 | 1.0686457 | 9.0E-5 | 0.011586686 | 0.013033091 | 0.013131788 | 1.0075728 | 1.0E-4 |
6.1 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.5106583E-5 | 5.510583E-5 | 2.1948757 | 3.0E-5 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0759615E-4 | 1.3759293E-4 | 1.2787904 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011647546 | 0.001309364 | 0.0013992462 | 1.0686457 | 9.0E-5 | 0.011586686 | 0.013033091 | 0.013131788 | 1.0075728 | 1.0E-4 |
6.2 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.5106583E-5 | 5.510583E-5 | 2.1948757 | 3.0E-5 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0759615E-4 | 1.3759293E-4 | 1.2787904 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011647546 | 0.001309364 | 0.0013992462 | 1.0686457 | 9.0E-5 | 0.011586686 | 0.013033091 | 0.013131788 | 1.0075728 | 1.0E-4 |
6.3 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.5106583E-5 | 5.510583E-5 | 2.1948757 | 3.0E-5 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0759615E-4 | 1.3759293E-4 | 1.2787904 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011647546 | 0.001309364 | 0.0013992462 | 1.0686457 | 9.0E-5 | 0.011586686 | 0.013033091 | 0.013131788 | 1.0075728 | 1.0E-4 |
6.4 | 1.2288092E-5 | 1.3781108E-5 | 3.378083E-5 | 2.4512422 | 2.0E-5 | 5.2662188E-5 | 5.906108E-5 | 7.90599E-5 | 1.3386124 | 2.0E-5 | 6.409735E-4 | 7.189252E-4 | 7.888749E-4 | 1.0972975 | 7.0E-5 | 0.006391279 | 0.0071752006 | 0.0072546266 | 1.0110695 | 8.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.2288092E-5 | 1.3781108E-5 | 3.378083E-5 | 2.4512422 | 2.0E-5 | 5.2662188E-5 | 5.906108E-5 | 7.90599E-5 | 1.3386124 | 2.0E-5 | 6.409735E-4 | 7.189252E-4 | 7.888749E-4 | 1.0972975 | 7.0E-5 | 0.006391279 | 0.0071752006 | 0.0072546266 | 1.0110695 | 8.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.58281E-6 | 9.63377E-6 | 1.9633673E-5 | 2.0380054 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6782953E-5 | 4.12874E-5 | 5.128699E-5 | 1.2421947 | 1.0E-5 | 4.4774043E-4 | 5.026414E-4 | 5.326263E-4 | 1.0596547 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0044683935 | 0.005023205 | 0.0050630043 | 1.007923 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.205685E-6 | 8.088302E-6 | 1.8088222E-5 | 2.2363434 | 1.0E-5 | 3.088114E-5 | 3.466415E-5 | 4.4663804E-5 | 1.2884725 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7591302E-4 | 4.2203604E-4 | 4.5202338E-4 | 1.071054 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0037527776 | 0.0042203604 | 0.0042601917 | 1.0094379 | 4.0E-5 |
Oak Ridge (Onshore)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9526076E-5 | 4.9525486E-5 | 1.6773473 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.265344E-4 | 1.4653188E-4 | 1.1580398 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015395058 | 0.0015894289 | 1.0324279 | 5.0E-5 | 0.01632816 | 0.015293054 | 0.015391525 | 1.006439 | 1.0E-4 |
6.1 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9526076E-5 | 4.9525486E-5 | 1.6773473 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.265344E-4 | 1.4653188E-4 | 1.1580398 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015395058 | 0.0015894289 | 1.0324279 | 5.0E-5 | 0.01632816 | 0.015293054 | 0.015391525 | 1.006439 | 1.0E-4 |
6.2 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9526076E-5 | 4.9525486E-5 | 1.6773473 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.265344E-4 | 1.4653188E-4 | 1.1580398 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015395058 | 0.0015894289 | 1.0324279 | 5.0E-5 | 0.01632816 | 0.015293054 | 0.015391525 | 1.006439 | 1.0E-4 |
6.3 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9526076E-5 | 4.9525486E-5 | 1.6773473 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.265344E-4 | 1.4653188E-4 | 1.1580398 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015395058 | 0.0015894289 | 1.0324279 | 5.0E-5 | 0.01632816 | 0.015293054 | 0.015391525 | 1.006439 | 1.0E-4 |
6.4 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9526076E-5 | 4.9525486E-5 | 1.6773473 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.265344E-4 | 1.4653188E-4 | 1.1580398 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015395058 | 0.0015894289 | 1.0324279 | 5.0E-5 | 0.01632816 | 0.015293054 | 0.015391525 | 1.006439 | 1.0E-4 |
6.5 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9526076E-5 | 4.9525486E-5 | 1.6773473 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.265344E-4 | 1.4653188E-4 | 1.1580398 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015395058 | 0.0015894289 | 1.0324279 | 5.0E-5 | 0.01632816 | 0.015293054 | 0.015391525 | 1.006439 | 1.0E-4 |
6.6 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9526076E-5 | 4.9525486E-5 | 1.6773473 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.265344E-4 | 1.4653188E-4 | 1.1580398 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015395058 | 0.0015894289 | 1.0324279 | 5.0E-5 | 0.01632816 | 0.015293054 | 0.015391525 | 1.006439 | 1.0E-4 |
6.7 | 3.098897E-5 | 2.8864279E-5 | 4.88637E-5 | 1.692878 | 2.0E-5 | 1.328031E-4 | 1.236984E-4 | 1.4369593E-4 | 1.1616635 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0016156785 | 0.0015050253 | 0.00155495 | 1.033172 | 5.0E-5 | 0.016039822 | 0.014952909 | 0.015051414 | 1.0065876 | 1.0E-4 |
6.8 | 3.0449872E-5 | 2.8239476E-5 | 4.823891E-5 | 1.7082084 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3049292E-4 | 1.2102092E-4 | 1.410185E-4 | 1.1652406 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015875935 | 0.001472471 | 0.0015223974 | 1.0339066 | 5.0E-5 | 0.015762992 | 0.014631658 | 0.014730195 | 1.0067345 | 1.0E-4 |
6.9 | 2.697928E-5 | 2.4219877E-5 | 4.4219392E-5 | 1.825748 | 2.0E-5 | 1.15620365E-4 | 1.03795464E-4 | 1.2379339E-4 | 1.1926666 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014067689 | 0.0012629988 | 0.0013029482 | 1.0316306 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0139789665 | 0.012561066 | 0.012649936 | 1.007075 | 9.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.4893961E-5 | 2.1862146E-5 | 4.186171E-5 | 1.9148033 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0668404E-4 | 9.369165E-5 | 1.1368978E-4 | 1.2134461 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012981043 | 0.0011401166 | 0.0011700825 | 1.0262831 | 3.0E-5 | 0.012905477 | 0.011345102 | 0.011414308 | 1.0061 | 7.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.0945363E-5 | 1.7354592E-5 | 3.7354246E-5 | 2.1524127 | 2.0E-5 | 8.976275E-5 | 7.437473E-5 | 9.4373245E-5 | 1.2688885 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010923136 | 9.0514094E-4 | 9.3511376E-4 | 1.033114 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0108696 | 0.009015621 | 0.009084989 | 1.0076942 | 7.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.0439404E-5 | 1.680953E-5 | 3.6809193E-5 | 2.1897812 | 2.0E-5 | 8.7594504E-5 | 7.203888E-5 | 9.203744E-5 | 1.2776079 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010659413 | 8.767251E-4 | 9.066988E-4 | 1.0341883 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010608427 | 0.008733723 | 0.008803112 | 1.007945 | 7.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.8463334E-5 | 1.5381947E-5 | 3.538164E-5 | 2.3002055 | 2.0E-5 | 7.912617E-5 | 6.592098E-5 | 8.5919666E-5 | 1.3033736 | 2.0E-5 | 9.6293533E-4 | 8.0229685E-4 | 8.3227275E-4 | 1.0373627 | 3.0E-5 | 0.009587734 | 0.0079950085 | 0.008064449 | 1.0086855 | 7.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.763139E-5 | 1.4516977E-5 | 2.4516832E-5 | 1.6888386 | 1.0E-5 | 7.556091E-5 | 6.221415E-5 | 7.221353E-5 | 1.1607251 | 1.0E-5 | 9.1956573E-4 | 7.57198E-4 | 7.771829E-4 | 1.0263932 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009157699 | 0.007547126 | 0.007606673 | 1.0078901 | 6.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.3594944E-5 | 1.1163363E-5 | 2.116325E-5 | 1.8957775 | 1.0E-5 | 5.8262744E-5 | 4.7842117E-5 | 5.784164E-5 | 1.2090108 | 1.0E-5 | 7.0911803E-4 | 5.8232463E-4 | 6.0231297E-4 | 1.0343251 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007068595 | 0.005808362 | 0.0058481293 | 1.0068467 | 4.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.9889534E-6 | 5.6367194E-6 | 5.6367194E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9952313E-5 | 2.4157147E-5 | 2.4157147E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.646084E-4 | 2.94074E-4 | 2.94074E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036401073 | 0.0029368924 | 0.0029568337 | 1.0067899 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.0824193E-6 | 3.2832731E-6 | 3.2832731E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7495966E-5 | 1.4071096E-5 | 1.4071096E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1299256E-4 | 1.7130225E-4 | 1.7130225E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021278851 | 0.0017117155 | 0.0017216984 | 1.0058321 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.7023609E-6 | 1.43706E-6 | 1.43706E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.295812E-6 | 6.158814E-6 | 6.158814E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.882289E-5 | 7.4981006E-5 | 7.4981006E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8787393E-4 | 7.4955984E-4 | 7.4955984E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.721225E-7 | 2.261692E-7 | 2.261692E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1662388E-6 | 9.692963E-7 | 9.692963E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4198865E-5 | 1.1801121E-5 | 1.1801121E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4197957E-4 | 1.1800523E-4 | 1.1800523E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 9.364255E-9 | 5.1204916E-9 | 5.1204916E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0132523E-8 | 2.1944963E-8 | 2.1944963E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8861335E-7 | 2.671799E-7 | 2.671799E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8861225E-6 | 2.6717962E-6 | 2.6717962E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pine Mtn
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.2254716E-6 | 2.7225327E-5 | 3.7679653 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0965955E-5 | 5.0965336E-5 | 1.6458505 | 2.0E-5 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.7694827E-4 | 4.2692944E-4 | 1.1325942 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0037633865 | 0.00386301 | 1.0264719 | 1.0E-4 |
6.1 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.2254716E-6 | 2.7225327E-5 | 3.7679653 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0965955E-5 | 5.0965336E-5 | 1.6458505 | 2.0E-5 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.7694827E-4 | 4.2692944E-4 | 1.1325942 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0037633865 | 0.00386301 | 1.0264719 | 1.0E-4 |
6.2 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.2254716E-6 | 2.7225327E-5 | 3.7679653 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0965955E-5 | 5.0965336E-5 | 1.6458505 | 2.0E-5 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.7694827E-4 | 4.2692944E-4 | 1.1325942 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0037633865 | 0.00386301 | 1.0264719 | 1.0E-4 |
6.3 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.2254716E-6 | 2.7225327E-5 | 3.7679653 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0965955E-5 | 5.0965336E-5 | 1.6458505 | 2.0E-5 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.7694827E-4 | 4.2692944E-4 | 1.1325942 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0037633865 | 0.00386301 | 1.0264719 | 1.0E-4 |
6.4 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.2254716E-6 | 2.7225327E-5 | 3.7679653 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0965955E-5 | 5.0965336E-5 | 1.6458505 | 2.0E-5 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.7694827E-4 | 4.2692944E-4 | 1.1325942 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0037633865 | 0.00386301 | 1.0264719 | 1.0E-4 |
6.5 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.2254716E-6 | 2.7225327E-5 | 3.7679653 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0965955E-5 | 5.0965336E-5 | 1.6458505 | 2.0E-5 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.7694827E-4 | 4.2692944E-4 | 1.1325942 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0037633865 | 0.00386301 | 1.0264719 | 1.0E-4 |
6.6 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.2254716E-6 | 2.7225327E-5 | 3.7679653 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0965955E-5 | 5.0965336E-5 | 1.6458505 | 2.0E-5 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.7694827E-4 | 4.2692944E-4 | 1.1325942 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0037633865 | 0.00386301 | 1.0264719 | 1.0E-4 |
6.7 | 6.0867933E-6 | 6.397124E-6 | 2.6396996E-5 | 4.126385 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6085996E-5 | 2.7415968E-5 | 4.741542E-5 | 1.7294818 | 2.0E-5 | 3.1755073E-4 | 3.337405E-4 | 3.837238E-4 | 1.149767 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0031709734 | 0.0033326119 | 0.0034322785 | 1.0299065 | 1.0E-4 |
6.8 | 5.6530425E-6 | 5.950606E-6 | 2.5950487E-5 | 4.3609824 | 2.0E-5 | 2.42271E-5 | 2.5502359E-5 | 4.550185E-5 | 1.7842212 | 2.0E-5 | 2.94925E-4 | 3.1044905E-4 | 3.6043354E-4 | 1.161007 | 5.0E-5 | 0.002945339 | 0.0031003582 | 0.0031900792 | 1.0289389 | 9.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.6015225E-6 | 4.8638444E-6 | 1.48637955E-5 | 3.0559769 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9720663E-5 | 2.084489E-5 | 3.084468E-5 | 1.4797239 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4007261E-4 | 2.5375842E-4 | 2.9374828E-4 | 1.1575903 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0023981342 | 0.002534831 | 0.0026046534 | 1.0275452 | 7.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.4875965E-6 | 4.7474837E-6 | 1.4747436E-5 | 3.106369 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9232413E-5 | 2.0346208E-5 | 3.0346004E-5 | 1.4914821 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3412947E-4 | 2.4768838E-4 | 2.8767847E-4 | 1.1614532 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0023388295 | 0.0024742668 | 0.0025341185 | 1.0241896 | 6.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.203907E-6 | 3.42942E-6 | 1.3429386E-5 | 3.915935 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3730958E-5 | 1.4697435E-5 | 2.4697289E-5 | 1.6803808 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6716159E-4 | 1.7892725E-4 | 1.9892366E-4 | 1.1117573 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0016703589 | 0.001787898 | 0.0018178443 | 1.0167495 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.2060601E-6 | 2.3784874E-6 | 1.2378464E-5 | 5.204343 | 1.0E-5 | 9.4545085E-6 | 1.019348E-5 | 2.0193378E-5 | 1.9810092 | 1.0E-5 | 1.15102564E-4 | 1.2409901E-4 | 1.3409776E-4 | 1.0805708 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011504296 | 0.0012403419 | 0.0012603172 | 1.0161046 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.3765207E-6 | 1.5216535E-6 | 1.5216535E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.899361E-6 | 6.5213567E-6 | 6.5213567E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.182235E-5 | 7.939472E-5 | 7.939472E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1799144E-4 | 7.9367263E-4 | 7.9367263E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.1245983E-6 | 1.2587126E-6 | 1.2587126E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.819698E-6 | 5.394472E-6 | 5.394472E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8678244E-5 | 6.56758E-5 | 6.56758E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.866275E-4 | 6.565722E-4 | 6.565722E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 8.031682E-7 | 9.276999E-7 | 9.276999E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4421448E-6 | 3.975851E-6 | 3.975851E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1907308E-5 | 4.840498E-5 | 4.840498E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1899405E-4 | 4.8395112E-4 | 4.8395112E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.8953444E-7 | 6.0030544E-7 | 6.0030544E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.098003E-6 | 2.5727354E-6 | 2.5727354E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5542888E-5 | 3.1322652E-5 | 3.1322652E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5539953E-4 | 3.1318725E-4 | 3.1318725E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.634529E-8 | 6.788826E-8 | 6.788826E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.843369E-7 | 2.9094966E-7 | 2.9094966E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4617963E-6 | 3.5423066E-6 | 3.5423066E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4617424E-5 | 3.542255E-5 | 3.542255E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 9.235578E-9 | 9.488566E-9 | 9.488566E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9581046E-8 | 4.0665284E-8 | 4.0665284E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.818991E-7 | 4.950997E-7 | 4.950997E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8189804E-6 | 4.950988E-6 | 4.950988E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Diego Trough south
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.279495E-5 | 1.0425541E-4 | 1.3425227E-4 | 1.2877249 | 3.0E-5 | 3.5478722E-4 | 4.4673498E-4 | 4.9671263E-4 | 1.1118731 | 5.0E-5 | 0.004310982 | 0.0054259133 | 0.005475642 | 1.009165 | 5.0E-5 | 0.042283054 | 0.05299303 | 0.05307826 | 1.0016084 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.6961468E-5 | 5.773024E-5 | 7.7729084E-5 | 1.3464189 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0124791E-4 | 2.473905E-4 | 2.6738556E-4 | 1.0808239 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00244744 | 0.003007886 | 0.0030278258 | 1.0066292 | 2.0E-5 | 0.024206603 | 0.029679636 | 0.029708745 | 1.0009807 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.5079658E-5 | 4.214258E-5 | 6.2141735E-5 | 1.4745594 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5033272E-4 | 1.8059829E-4 | 2.0059469E-4 | 1.110723 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0018287642 | 0.002196587 | 0.002216543 | 1.009085 | 2.0E-5 | 0.018137876 | 0.021751188 | 0.021780536 | 1.0013492 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.5079658E-5 | 4.214258E-5 | 6.2141735E-5 | 1.4745594 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5033272E-4 | 1.8059829E-4 | 2.0059469E-4 | 1.110723 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0018287642 | 0.002196587 | 0.002216543 | 1.009085 | 2.0E-5 | 0.018137876 | 0.021751188 | 0.021780536 | 1.0013492 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.7196904E-5 | 3.208715E-5 | 5.208651E-5 | 1.6232824 | 2.0E-5 | 1.16552954E-4 | 1.3750911E-4 | 1.5750635E-4 | 1.145425 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014181085 | 0.0016728995 | 0.001692866 | 1.0119352 | 2.0E-5 | 0.014090929 | 0.016604666 | 0.016634168 | 1.0017767 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.5584688E-5 | 3.0101632E-5 | 5.010103E-5 | 1.6643958 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0964406E-4 | 1.2900059E-4 | 1.4899802E-4 | 1.1550181 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0013340989 | 0.0015694627 | 0.0015894313 | 1.0127232 | 2.0E-5 | 0.013261181 | 0.015585332 | 0.015614864 | 1.0018948 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.2034688E-5 | 2.574271E-5 | 3.5742454E-5 | 1.3884495 | 1.0E-5 | 9.443096E-5 | 1.1032127E-4 | 1.2032017E-4 | 1.0906343 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011490905 | 0.0013423412 | 0.0013523278 | 1.0074396 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011431668 | 0.013343325 | 0.013363058 | 1.0014789 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.9394853E-5 | 2.254176E-5 | 3.2541535E-5 | 1.443611 | 1.0E-5 | 8.311815E-5 | 9.6604E-5 | 1.0660303E-4 | 1.1035054 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010114936 | 0.0011755243 | 0.0011855126 | 1.0084969 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01006902 | 0.011693766 | 0.011713533 | 1.0016903 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.7615313E-5 | 2.0403182E-5 | 3.0402978E-5 | 1.4901096 | 1.0E-5 | 7.549201E-5 | 8.743931E-5 | 9.743843E-5 | 1.1143551 | 1.0E-5 | 9.1872766E-4 | 0.0010640579 | 0.0010740473 | 1.009388 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009149387 | 0.010590198 | 0.010609986 | 1.0018685 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.5621423E-5 | 1.8026114E-5 | 2.8025934E-5 | 1.5547407 | 1.0E-5 | 6.6947236E-5 | 7.725251E-5 | 8.7251734E-5 | 1.1294357 | 1.0E-5 | 8.147778E-4 | 9.40147E-4 | 9.501376E-4 | 1.0106267 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008117969 | 0.009362142 | 0.009372048 | 1.0010581 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.3444376E-5 | 1.544809E-5 | 2.5447935E-5 | 1.6473193 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7617483E-5 | 6.620443E-5 | 7.620377E-5 | 1.1510373 | 1.0E-5 | 7.0126704E-4 | 8.057436E-4 | 8.1573555E-4 | 1.0124009 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006990582 | 0.008028555 | 0.008038475 | 1.0012356 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.2268361E-5 | 1.407303E-5 | 2.407289E-5 | 1.710569 | 1.0E-5 | 5.2577634E-5 | 6.0311606E-5 | 7.0311005E-5 | 1.1657956 | 1.0E-5 | 6.399447E-4 | 7.3404907E-4 | 7.440417E-4 | 1.0136131 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0063810493 | 0.0073165493 | 0.007326476 | 1.0013567 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.0922655E-5 | 1.2513563E-5 | 2.2513437E-5 | 1.7991229 | 1.0E-5 | 4.681054E-5 | 5.3628468E-5 | 6.362793E-5 | 1.1864581 | 1.0E-5 | 5.697693E-4 | 6.5273355E-4 | 6.62727E-4 | 1.0153102 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0056831064 | 0.0065084435 | 0.006518379 | 1.0015265 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.1106753E-6 | 6.928925E-6 | 1.6928856E-5 | 2.4432154 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6188345E-5 | 2.9695057E-5 | 3.9694758E-5 | 1.3367463 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1879646E-4 | 3.6147775E-4 | 3.7147413E-4 | 1.0276542 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0031833951 | 0.003608943 | 0.003618907 | 1.0027609 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.933187E-6 | 5.5895525E-6 | 1.5589496E-5 | 2.789042 | 1.0E-5 | 2.114206E-5 | 2.3955008E-5 | 3.395477E-5 | 1.4174392 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5737417E-4 | 2.9161357E-4 | 3.0161065E-4 | 1.034282 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002570763 | 0.0029123505 | 0.0029223212 | 1.0034237 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.7489613E-6 | 1.969678E-6 | 1.1969658E-5 | 6.076962 | 1.0E-5 | 7.495527E-6 | 8.4414505E-6 | 1.8441366E-5 | 2.1846206 | 1.0E-5 | 9.125422E-5 | 1.02770035E-4 | 1.1276901E-4 | 1.0972946 | 1.0E-5 | 9.1216754E-4 | 0.0010272472 | 0.0010372369 | 1.0097247 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.6988751E-7 | 1.7533823E-7 | 1.7533823E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2808916E-7 | 7.5144936E-7 | 7.5144936E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.864449E-6 | 9.14886E-6 | 9.14886E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8640954E-5 | 9.1485024E-5 | 9.1485024E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Whittier alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.2554693E-5 | 4.7252182E-5 | 6.725124E-5 | 1.4232409 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8236451E-4 | 2.0249544E-4 | 2.5248533E-4 | 1.2468691 | 5.0E-5 | 0.002218027 | 0.0024629163 | 0.0025227687 | 1.0243014 | 6.0E-5 | 0.02196019 | 0.024390263 | 0.024478069 | 1.0036 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.2554693E-5 | 4.7252182E-5 | 6.725124E-5 | 1.4232409 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8236451E-4 | 2.0249544E-4 | 2.5248533E-4 | 1.2468691 | 5.0E-5 | 0.002218027 | 0.0024629163 | 0.0025227687 | 1.0243014 | 6.0E-5 | 0.02196019 | 0.024390263 | 0.024478069 | 1.0036 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.2554693E-5 | 4.7252182E-5 | 6.725124E-5 | 1.4232409 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8236451E-4 | 2.0249544E-4 | 2.5248533E-4 | 1.2468691 | 5.0E-5 | 0.002218027 | 0.0024629163 | 0.0025227687 | 1.0243014 | 6.0E-5 | 0.02196019 | 0.024390263 | 0.024478069 | 1.0036 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.9617712E-5 | 1.826841E-5 | 2.8268229E-5 | 1.547383 | 1.0E-5 | 8.40732E-5 | 7.829095E-5 | 9.8289376E-5 | 1.2554374 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010231105 | 9.527944E-4 | 9.7277533E-4 | 1.020971 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01018413 | 0.0094904 | 0.009520114 | 1.003131 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.5611336E-5 | 1.3604089E-5 | 2.3603954E-5 | 1.7350631 | 1.0E-5 | 6.690401E-5 | 5.8301972E-5 | 7.830081E-5 | 1.3430216 | 2.0E-5 | 8.142519E-4 | 7.096013E-4 | 7.295871E-4 | 1.0281649 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008112748 | 0.0070753377 | 0.0070951963 | 1.0028067 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5150166E-5 | 1.3100744E-5 | 2.3100612E-5 | 1.7633054 | 1.0E-5 | 6.492767E-5 | 5.614487E-5 | 7.614375E-5 | 1.3562013 | 2.0E-5 | 7.9020765E-4 | 6.8335526E-4 | 7.033416E-4 | 1.0292474 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007874036 | 0.006814508 | 0.0068343715 | 1.0029149 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.295588E-5 | 1.0380544E-5 | 2.0380441E-5 | 1.9633306 | 1.0E-5 | 5.552402E-5 | 4.44873E-5 | 5.4486853E-5 | 1.2247733 | 1.0E-5 | 6.7579525E-4 | 5.415002E-4 | 5.5149477E-4 | 1.0184572 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006737438 | 0.005403343 | 0.005413289 | 1.0018407 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2542085E-5 | 9.899189E-6 | 1.989909E-5 | 2.0101738 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3750682E-5 | 4.2424414E-5 | 5.242399E-5 | 1.2357033 | 1.0E-5 | 6.542181E-4 | 5.163967E-4 | 5.2639155E-4 | 1.0193549 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006522954 | 0.005153464 | 0.0051634125 | 1.0019305 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2195878E-5 | 9.49523E-6 | 1.9495135E-5 | 2.0531504 | 1.0E-5 | 5.2267E-5 | 4.069322E-5 | 5.069281E-5 | 1.2457312 | 1.0E-5 | 6.36165E-4 | 4.9532915E-4 | 5.053242E-4 | 1.0201786 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0063434686 | 0.0049436963 | 0.004953647 | 1.0020127 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.1580298E-5 | 8.772739E-6 | 1.8772653E-5 | 2.1398847 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9628903E-5 | 3.759692E-5 | 4.7596546E-5 | 1.2659692 | 1.0E-5 | 6.040644E-4 | 4.5764804E-4 | 4.6764346E-4 | 1.0218408 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00602425 | 0.0045684646 | 0.0045784186 | 1.0021789 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0964795E-5 | 8.083794E-6 | 1.8083712E-5 | 2.237033 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6991136E-5 | 3.4644378E-5 | 4.464403E-5 | 1.2886372 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7196687E-4 | 4.217152E-4 | 4.3171097E-4 | 1.0237027 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0057049696 | 0.004210459 | 0.004220417 | 1.002365 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0230601E-5 | 7.32646E-6 | 1.7326387E-5 | 2.3649056 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3844695E-5 | 3.1398744E-5 | 4.139843E-5 | 1.318474 | 1.0E-5 | 5.336784E-4 | 3.8221394E-4 | 3.9221012E-4 | 1.0261533 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005323986 | 0.0038167592 | 0.003826721 | 1.00261 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.40865E-6 | 6.5430822E-6 | 1.6543017E-5 | 2.5283217 | 1.0E-5 | 4.032216E-5 | 2.8041486E-5 | 3.8041206E-5 | 1.3566045 | 1.0E-5 | 4.908117E-4 | 3.4135283E-4 | 3.5134942E-4 | 1.0292852 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0048972913 | 0.0034094024 | 0.0034193683 | 1.002923 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 8.237384E-6 | 5.5975433E-6 | 1.5597487E-5 | 2.786488 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5302593E-5 | 2.3989258E-5 | 3.3989018E-5 | 1.4168433 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2972428E-4 | 2.920311E-4 | 3.020282E-4 | 1.034233 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042889426 | 0.0029167992 | 0.0029267701 | 1.0034184 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.5316966E-6 | 5.0276153E-6 | 1.5027565E-5 | 2.9890046 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2278298E-5 | 2.154675E-5 | 3.1546533E-5 | 1.4640971 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9291743E-4 | 2.623011E-4 | 2.722985E-4 | 1.0381141 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0039222343 | 0.0026200267 | 0.0026300005 | 1.0038067 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.149649E-6 | 3.9336355E-6 | 1.3933596E-5 | 3.5421674 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6355372E-5 | 1.6858336E-5 | 2.6858166E-5 | 1.5931684 | 1.0E-5 | 3.208294E-4 | 2.052318E-4 | 2.1522974E-4 | 1.0487154 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003203666 | 0.0020505118 | 0.0020604914 | 1.0048668 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 5.457711E-6 | 3.3951796E-6 | 3.3951796E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.338998E-5 | 1.4550694E-5 | 1.4550694E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8473578E-4 | 1.771411E-4 | 1.771411E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028437122 | 0.0017700798 | 0.0017700798 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.1676276E-6 | 2.3329922E-6 | 2.3329922E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7861139E-5 | 9.998504E-6 | 9.998504E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1743766E-4 | 1.2172572E-4 | 1.2172572E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021722503 | 0.0012166635 | 0.0012166635 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.2692414E-7 | 9.384417E-8 | 9.384417E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.725317E-7 | 4.0218927E-7 | 4.0218927E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1840509E-5 | 4.8966467E-6 | 4.8966467E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1839878E-4 | 4.8965718E-5 | 4.8965718E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.4397174E-9 | 3.4397174E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.4741646E-8 | 1.4741646E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.7947953E-7 | 1.7947953E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838679E-6 | 1.794794E-6 | 1.794794E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Borrego)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.543992E-5 | 2.7925962E-5 | 5.7925125E-5 | 2.0742393 | 3.0E-5 | 1.5187653E-4 | 1.1967727E-4 | 1.5967249E-4 | 1.3341922 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0018475284 | 0.0014561092 | 0.0015160218 | 1.0411457 | 6.0E-5 | 0.018322436 | 0.01486815 | 0.014956812 | 1.0059632 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.542281E-5 | 2.7925962E-5 | 5.7925125E-5 | 2.0742393 | 3.0E-5 | 1.5180321E-4 | 1.1967727E-4 | 1.5967249E-4 | 1.3341922 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0018466372 | 0.0014561092 | 0.0015160218 | 1.0411457 | 6.0E-5 | 0.018313672 | 0.01486815 | 0.014956812 | 1.0059632 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.4688688E-5 | 2.7925962E-5 | 5.7925125E-5 | 2.0742393 | 3.0E-5 | 1.4865733E-4 | 1.1967727E-4 | 1.5967249E-4 | 1.3341923 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0018084005 | 0.0014561091 | 0.0015160218 | 1.0411457 | 6.0E-5 | 0.017937548 | 0.01486815 | 0.014956812 | 1.0059632 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.2087122E-5 | 2.7771312E-5 | 5.7770478E-5 | 2.0802214 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3750899E-4 | 1.1901455E-4 | 1.5900978E-4 | 1.3360534 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0016728862 | 0.0014480512 | 0.0015079643 | 1.041375 | 6.0E-5 | 0.016603488 | 0.014789308 | 0.014877977 | 1.0059955 | 9.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.1828724E-5 | 2.773829E-5 | 5.7737456E-5 | 2.0815074 | 3.0E-5 | 1.364017E-4 | 1.1887303E-4 | 1.5886828E-4 | 1.3364534 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0016594254 | 0.0014463306 | 0.0015062437 | 1.0414243 | 6.0E-5 | 0.016470885 | 0.014772502 | 0.014861172 | 1.0060024 | 9.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.1563577E-5 | 2.7477974E-5 | 5.747715E-5 | 2.0917535 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3526545E-4 | 1.17757496E-4 | 1.5775279E-4 | 1.3396411 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0016456128 | 0.0014327668 | 0.0014926809 | 1.0418171 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0163348 | 0.01463991 | 0.014728593 | 1.0060576 | 9.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.1467625E-5 | 2.7322194E-5 | 5.7321373E-5 | 2.0979784 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3485427E-4 | 1.17089934E-4 | 1.5708525E-4 | 1.3415778 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0016406142 | 0.0014246498 | 0.0014845644 | 1.0420556 | 6.0E-5 | 0.016285548 | 0.014560228 | 0.014648917 | 1.0060912 | 9.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.1223695E-5 | 2.6940217E-5 | 5.693941E-5 | 2.1135468 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3380898E-4 | 1.1545303E-4 | 1.5544842E-4 | 1.3464212 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0016279068 | 0.0014047464 | 0.0014646621 | 1.0426524 | 6.0E-5 | 0.01616033 | 0.01436451 | 0.014453216 | 1.0061754 | 9.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.1015585E-5 | 2.6761221E-5 | 5.676042E-5 | 2.120995 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3291716E-4 | 1.1468597E-4 | 1.5468139E-4 | 1.3487384 | 4.0E-5 | 0.001617065 | 0.0013954195 | 0.0014553358 | 1.0429379 | 6.0E-5 | 0.016053487 | 0.014271772 | 0.014360487 | 1.0062162 | 9.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.6641965E-5 | 2.2183434E-5 | 5.2182768E-5 | 2.3523304 | 3.0E-5 | 1.1417485E-4 | 9.506842E-5 | 1.3506462E-4 | 1.4207096 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0013891924 | 0.0011568473 | 0.0012067895 | 1.0431709 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0138054015 | 0.011882191 | 0.01196124 | 1.0066527 | 8.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.3854353E-5 | 2.047825E-5 | 5.0477636E-5 | 2.4649389 | 3.0E-5 | 1.02228936E-4 | 8.776099E-5 | 1.2775748E-4 | 1.4557433 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0012439266 | 0.0010679689 | 0.0011179155 | 1.0467678 | 5.0E-5 | 0.012369866 | 0.0109826205 | 0.011061742 | 1.0072043 | 8.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.3672901E-5 | 2.0314741E-5 | 5.031413E-5 | 2.47673 | 3.0E-5 | 1.0145135E-4 | 8.706028E-5 | 1.270568E-4 | 1.4594117 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0012344702 | 0.0010594461 | 0.0011093931 | 1.0471445 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0122763505 | 0.010897858 | 0.010976987 | 1.0072609 | 8.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.2717244E-5 | 1.9542116E-5 | 4.954153E-5 | 2.535116 | 3.0E-5 | 9.735599E-5 | 8.3749255E-5 | 1.2374591E-4 | 1.4775763 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0011846646 | 0.0010191725 | 0.0010691215 | 1.0490094 | 5.0E-5 | 0.01178369 | 0.010495322 | 0.010574482 | 1.0075425 | 8.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.1016205E-5 | 1.8383771E-5 | 4.838322E-5 | 2.631844 | 3.0E-5 | 9.006634E-5 | 7.878522E-5 | 1.1878207E-4 | 1.5076694 | 4.0E-5 | 0.001096006 | 9.5879E-4 | 0.0010087421 | 1.0520991 | 5.0E-5 | 0.010906163 | 0.009890901 | 0.00997011 | 1.0080082 | 8.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.0683625E-5 | 1.8186302E-5 | 4.8185757E-5 | 2.6495633 | 3.0E-5 | 8.86411E-5 | 7.7938974E-5 | 1.1793586E-4 | 1.513182 | 4.0E-5 | 0.001078671 | 9.48496E-4 | 9.984486E-4 | 1.052665 | 5.0E-5 | 0.010734501 | 0.0097876275 | 0.009866845 | 1.0080936 | 8.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.9993966E-5 | 1.7781347E-5 | 4.7780813E-5 | 2.6871312 | 3.0E-5 | 8.568561E-5 | 7.6203556E-5 | 1.16200514E-4 | 1.5248699 | 4.0E-5 | 0.001042723 | 9.2738547E-4 | 9.773391E-4 | 1.053865 | 5.0E-5 | 0.010378438 | 0.009574548 | 0.0096537825 | 1.0082755 | 8.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.788966E-5 | 1.6434618E-5 | 4.6434125E-5 | 2.825385 | 3.0E-5 | 7.666772E-5 | 7.043219E-5 | 1.1042937E-4 | 1.5678822 | 4.0E-5 | 9.3302975E-4 | 8.5717626E-4 | 9.071334E-4 | 1.0582811 | 5.0E-5 | 0.00929122 | 0.008866415 | 0.008945706 | 1.0089428 | 8.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.5125781E-5 | 1.4236738E-5 | 4.4236313E-5 | 3.1071942 | 3.0E-5 | 6.4823165E-5 | 6.101317E-5 | 1.0101073E-4 | 1.6555562 | 4.0E-5 | 7.889362E-4 | 7.4258295E-4 | 7.9254585E-4 | 1.0672826 | 5.0E-5 | 0.007861412 | 0.007714161 | 0.007783621 | 1.0090042 | 7.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.250089E-5 | 1.262994E-5 | 4.2629563E-5 | 3.3752782 | 3.0E-5 | 5.3574146E-5 | 5.4127195E-5 | 9.412503E-5 | 1.73896 | 4.0E-5 | 6.5207E-4 | 6.588E-4 | 7.0876704E-4 | 1.0758456 | 5.0E-5 | 0.006501599 | 0.006867759 | 0.0069372784 | 1.0101225 | 7.0E-5 |
7.9 | 9.561E-6 | 9.754065E-6 | 3.9753773E-5 | 4.0756106 | 3.0E-5 | 4.0975072E-5 | 4.180247E-5 | 8.18008E-5 | 1.9568412 | 4.0E-5 | 4.987573E-4 | 5.0882675E-4 | 5.488064E-4 | 1.0785723 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0049763937 | 0.0053523607 | 0.0054120393 | 1.01115 | 6.0E-5 |
8.0 | 8.01699E-6 | 8.292994E-6 | 2.8292829E-5 | 3.4116542 | 2.0E-5 | 3.4358076E-5 | 3.554092E-5 | 6.5539854E-5 | 1.8440675 | 3.0E-5 | 4.1822926E-4 | 4.3262533E-4 | 4.6261234E-4 | 1.0693141 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0041744304 | 0.0045733186 | 0.0046230904 | 1.010883 | 5.0E-5 |
8.1 | 6.541947E-6 | 6.461784E-6 | 2.6461654E-5 | 4.0951004 | 2.0E-5 | 2.8036617E-5 | 2.7693068E-5 | 5.769224E-5 | 2.0832736 | 3.0E-5 | 3.4129233E-4 | 3.3711144E-4 | 3.6710134E-4 | 1.0889614 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0034076865 | 0.0035805756 | 0.0036303964 | 1.0139142 | 5.0E-5 |
8.2 | 1.7968189E-6 | 7.9684827E-7 | 7.9684827E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.70063E-6 | 3.4150596E-6 | 3.4150596E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3751136E-5 | 4.157758E-5 | 4.157758E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.371159E-4 | 4.7107413E-4 | 4.7107413E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.5167889E-7 | 4.8951257E-8 | 4.8951257E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.500522E-7 | 2.0979108E-7 | 2.0979108E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9143565E-6 | 2.5542038E-6 | 2.5542038E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.914075E-5 | 2.9679897E-5 | 2.9679897E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Big Pine (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.916913E-6 | 1.28172705E-5 | 4.2816886E-5 | 3.3405619 | 3.0E-5 | 4.250036E-5 | 5.493013E-5 | 8.492848E-5 | 1.5461184 | 3.0E-5 | 5.173191E-4 | 6.685912E-4 | 7.185578E-4 | 1.0747341 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0051611643 | 0.006670449 | 0.0067598484 | 1.0134023 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 9.916913E-6 | 1.28172705E-5 | 4.2816886E-5 | 3.3405619 | 3.0E-5 | 4.250036E-5 | 5.493013E-5 | 8.492848E-5 | 1.5461184 | 3.0E-5 | 5.173191E-4 | 6.685912E-4 | 7.185578E-4 | 1.0747341 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0051611643 | 0.006670449 | 0.0067598484 | 1.0134023 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.916913E-6 | 1.28172705E-5 | 4.2816886E-5 | 3.3405619 | 3.0E-5 | 4.250036E-5 | 5.493013E-5 | 8.492848E-5 | 1.5461184 | 3.0E-5 | 5.173191E-4 | 6.685912E-4 | 7.185578E-4 | 1.0747341 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0051611643 | 0.006670449 | 0.0067598484 | 1.0134023 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 5.479711E-6 | 8.1132375E-6 | 2.8113076E-5 | 3.4650872 | 2.0E-5 | 2.3484265E-5 | 3.4770575E-5 | 5.476988E-5 | 1.575179 | 2.0E-5 | 2.858834E-4 | 4.232527E-4 | 4.6323577E-4 | 1.0944662 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0028551589 | 0.0042272513 | 0.004306913 | 1.0188448 | 8.0E-5 |
6.4 | 5.465009E-6 | 8.0975315E-6 | 2.8097369E-5 | 3.4698687 | 2.0E-5 | 2.3421257E-5 | 3.4703262E-5 | 5.4702567E-5 | 1.5762947 | 2.0E-5 | 2.851165E-4 | 4.2243348E-4 | 4.624166E-4 | 1.0946494 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0028475097 | 0.00421909 | 0.0042987526 | 1.0188814 | 8.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.826767E-6 | 7.4225877E-6 | 2.7422439E-5 | 3.6944582 | 2.0E-5 | 2.068598E-5 | 3.1810716E-5 | 5.1810082E-5 | 1.628699 | 2.0E-5 | 2.518227E-4 | 3.8722943E-4 | 4.2721393E-4 | 1.1032579 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0025153751 | 0.0038682907 | 0.003947981 | 1.0206009 | 8.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.3146847E-6 | 6.8825234E-6 | 2.6882386E-5 | 3.905891 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8491375E-5 | 2.949621E-5 | 4.949562E-5 | 1.6780332 | 2.0E-5 | 2.2510924E-4 | 3.5905963E-4 | 3.9904527E-4 | 1.1113621 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0022488134 | 0.0035875062 | 0.003667219 | 1.0222197 | 8.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.6968106E-6 | 5.9957474E-6 | 1.5995687E-5 | 2.6678388 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5843378E-5 | 2.5695816E-5 | 3.569556E-5 | 1.3891584 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9287605E-4 | 3.128032E-4 | 3.3279692E-4 | 1.063918 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0019270873 | 0.0031262499 | 0.0031860624 | 1.0191324 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.4671132E-6 | 5.7024477E-6 | 1.5702391E-5 | 2.753623 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4858972E-5 | 2.4438841E-5 | 3.4438595E-5 | 1.4091747 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8089297E-4 | 2.9750372E-4 | 3.1749776E-4 | 1.067206 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0018074579 | 0.0029736666 | 0.0030334883 | 1.0201172 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.7686972E-6 | 4.8254797E-6 | 4.8254797E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1865792E-5 | 2.0680467E-5 | 2.0680467E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4445644E-4 | 2.5175634E-4 | 2.6175383E-4 | 1.039711 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014436257 | 0.002517256 | 0.0025571552 | 1.0158503 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.1472624E-6 | 3.985277E-6 | 3.985277E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.20252E-6 | 1.707965E-5 | 1.707965E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.12034926E-4 | 2.0792543E-4 | 2.0792543E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011197845 | 0.0020798238 | 0.0020798238 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.7018335E-6 | 3.3450835E-6 | 3.3450835E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.293552E-6 | 1.4335996E-5 | 1.4335996E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.879537E-5 | 1.7452713E-4 | 1.7452713E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.87599E-4 | 0.0017463792 | 0.0017463792 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.25603E-6 | 2.794679E-6 | 2.794679E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3829745E-6 | 1.1977142E-5 | 1.1977142E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.553574E-5 | 1.4581217E-4 | 1.4581217E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.551642E-4 | 0.0014596173 | 0.0014596173 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.112297E-6 | 2.610519E-6 | 2.610519E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7669787E-6 | 1.1187892E-5 | 1.1187892E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.803642E-5 | 1.3620428E-4 | 1.3620428E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.802127E-4 | 0.001363502 | 0.001363502 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.0137181E-6 | 2.4836752E-6 | 2.4836752E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3444993E-6 | 1.064428E-5 | 1.064428E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2892992E-5 | 1.2958662E-4 | 1.2958662E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.288041E-4 | 0.0012971918 | 0.0012971918 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 9.598608E-7 | 2.407328E-6 | 2.407328E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1136827E-6 | 1.03170805E-5 | 1.03170805E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0082934E-5 | 1.2560343E-4 | 1.2560343E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.007165E-4 | 0.0012572132 | 0.0012572132 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 7.929459E-7 | 2.0450152E-6 | 2.0450152E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3983351E-6 | 8.764322E-6 | 8.764322E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1373947E-5 | 1.0670057E-4 | 1.0670057E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1366243E-4 | 0.0010685825 | 0.0010685825 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.155788E-7 | 1.1606729E-6 | 1.1606729E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7810507E-6 | 4.974303E-6 | 4.974303E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1684076E-5 | 6.05605E-5 | 6.05605E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1681961E-4 | 6.085995E-4 | 6.085995E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.14666925E-7 | 2.592197E-7 | 2.592197E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.914296E-7 | 1.1109411E-6 | 1.1109411E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9831386E-6 | 1.3525627E-5 | 1.3525627E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9829777E-5 | 1.3636416E-4 | 1.3636416E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.9231824E-8 | 4.1462318E-8 | 4.1462318E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2527924E-7 | 1.7769564E-7 | 1.7769564E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5252737E-6 | 2.1634426E-6 | 2.1634426E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5252632E-5 | 2.197062E-5 | 2.197062E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Kern Canyon (South Kern) 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.113726E-6 | 2.4113644E-5 | 5.8617525 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.7630138E-5 | 4.7629608E-5 | 2.7016015 | 3.0E-5 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.1462643E-4 | 2.7461356E-4 | 1.2794955 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021442554 | 0.0022340624 | 1.0418826 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.113726E-6 | 2.4113644E-5 | 5.8617525 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.7630138E-5 | 4.7629608E-5 | 2.7016015 | 3.0E-5 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.1462643E-4 | 2.7461356E-4 | 1.2794955 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021442554 | 0.0022340624 | 1.0418826 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.113726E-6 | 2.4113644E-5 | 5.8617525 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.7630138E-5 | 4.7629608E-5 | 2.7016015 | 3.0E-5 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.1462643E-4 | 2.7461356E-4 | 1.2794955 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021442554 | 0.0022340624 | 1.0418826 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.113726E-6 | 2.4113644E-5 | 5.8617525 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.7630138E-5 | 4.7629608E-5 | 2.7016015 | 3.0E-5 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.1462643E-4 | 2.7461356E-4 | 1.2794955 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021442554 | 0.0022340624 | 1.0418826 | 9.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.113726E-6 | 2.4113644E-5 | 5.8617525 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.7630138E-5 | 4.7629608E-5 | 2.7016015 | 3.0E-5 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.1462643E-4 | 2.7461356E-4 | 1.2794955 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021442554 | 0.0022340624 | 1.0418826 | 9.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.9849807E-6 | 2.973154E-6 | 1.2973124E-5 | 4.3634214 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2792712E-5 | 1.2742028E-5 | 3.2741773E-5 | 2.569589 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5574014E-4 | 1.551233E-4 | 1.9511709E-4 | 1.2578194 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0015563103 | 0.0015501654 | 0.0016100723 | 1.0386455 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.9849807E-6 | 2.973154E-6 | 1.2973124E-5 | 4.3634214 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2792712E-5 | 1.2742028E-5 | 3.2741773E-5 | 2.569589 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5574014E-4 | 1.551233E-4 | 1.9511709E-4 | 1.2578194 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0015563103 | 0.0015501654 | 0.0016100723 | 1.0386455 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.6756725E-6 | 2.6582202E-6 | 1.2658194E-5 | 4.7619057 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1467117E-5 | 1.1392323E-5 | 3.1392094E-5 | 2.7555482 | 2.0E-5 | 1.396032E-4 | 1.386928E-4 | 1.7868726E-4 | 1.2883672 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0013951553 | 0.0013860734 | 0.0014459903 | 1.0432278 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.3283721E-6 | 2.3047783E-6 | 1.2304755E-5 | 5.3388023 | 1.0E-5 | 9.9787E-6 | 9.877584E-6 | 2.9877387E-5 | 3.0247667 | 2.0E-5 | 1.214839E-4 | 1.2025302E-4 | 1.6024821E-4 | 1.332592 | 4.0E-5 | 0.001214175 | 0.001201887 | 0.0012618148 | 1.0498616 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.0972677E-6 | 2.0696405E-6 | 1.20696195E-5 | 5.831747 | 1.0E-5 | 8.988259E-6 | 8.869858E-6 | 2.8869681E-5 | 3.2548075 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0942656E-4 | 1.0798523E-4 | 1.4798091E-4 | 1.370381 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0010937268 | 0.0010793334 | 0.0011292794 | 1.0462749 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.7132242E-6 | 1.6787029E-6 | 1.1678686E-5 | 6.95697 | 1.0E-5 | 7.3423685E-6 | 7.1944214E-6 | 2.7194277E-5 | 3.7799115 | 2.0E-5 | 8.938967E-5 | 8.75886E-5 | 1.275851E-4 | 1.4566405 | 4.0E-5 | 8.935372E-4 | 8.755446E-4 | 9.255009E-4 | 1.0570573 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.4215541E-6 | 1.3815746E-6 | 1.138156E-5 | 8.238108 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0923603E-6 | 5.9210206E-6 | 2.5920903E-5 | 4.377776 | 2.0E-5 | 7.417196E-5 | 7.208607E-5 | 1.1208319E-4 | 1.5548522 | 4.0E-5 | 7.414721E-4 | 7.206296E-4 | 7.606007E-4 | 1.055467 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.097853E-7 | 8.60377E-7 | 8.60377E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.899074E-6 | 3.6873246E-6 | 1.3687288E-5 | 3.7119834 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7470192E-5 | 4.4892266E-5 | 6.489136E-5 | 1.4454911 | 2.0E-5 | 4.7460053E-4 | 4.4883305E-4 | 4.6882406E-4 | 1.04454 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.144169E-7 | 5.628199E-7 | 5.628199E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6332125E-6 | 2.4120832E-6 | 1.2412059E-5 | 5.1457844 | 1.0E-5 | 3.205889E-5 | 2.9366722E-5 | 4.9366132E-5 | 1.681023 | 2.0E-5 | 3.2054266E-4 | 2.9362892E-4 | 3.1362305E-4 | 1.0680932 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.049844E-7 | 3.5728252E-7 | 3.5728252E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7356463E-6 | 1.5312098E-6 | 1.1531194E-5 | 7.5307736 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1131287E-5 | 1.8642324E-5 | 2.8642136E-5 | 1.5364038 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1129279E-4 | 1.8640784E-4 | 1.9640598E-4 | 1.0536358 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.9871162E-7 | 1.5830383E-7 | 1.5830383E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5162094E-7 | 6.784448E-7 | 6.784448E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0368436E-5 | 8.260035E-6 | 8.260035E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0367952E-4 | 8.259736E-5 | 8.259736E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.572245E-8 | 1.735264E-8 | 1.735264E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10239064E-7 | 7.436845E-8 | 7.436845E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421597E-6 | 9.0543557E-7 | 9.0543557E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421517E-5 | 9.054324E-6 | 9.054324E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Coyote Creek)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.41444E-5 | 6.414343E-5 | 2.656659 | 4.0E-5 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.034719E-4 | 1.5346672E-4 | 1.483173 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0014273542 | 0.001259045 | 0.0013189694 | 1.0475951 | 6.0E-5 | 0.01418221 | 0.012928195 | 0.013017031 | 1.0068716 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.41444E-5 | 6.414343E-5 | 2.656659 | 4.0E-5 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.034719E-4 | 1.5346672E-4 | 1.483173 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0014273542 | 0.001259045 | 0.0013189694 | 1.0475951 | 6.0E-5 | 0.01418221 | 0.012928195 | 0.013017031 | 1.0068716 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.41444E-5 | 6.414343E-5 | 2.656659 | 4.0E-5 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.034719E-4 | 1.5346672E-4 | 1.483173 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0014273542 | 0.001259045 | 0.0013189694 | 1.0475951 | 6.0E-5 | 0.01418221 | 0.012928195 | 0.013017031 | 1.0068716 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.41444E-5 | 6.414343E-5 | 2.656659 | 4.0E-5 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.034719E-4 | 1.5346672E-4 | 1.483173 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0014273542 | 0.001259045 | 0.0013189694 | 1.0475951 | 6.0E-5 | 0.01418221 | 0.012928195 | 0.013017031 | 1.0068716 | 9.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.41444E-5 | 6.414343E-5 | 2.656659 | 4.0E-5 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.034719E-4 | 1.5346672E-4 | 1.483173 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0014273542 | 0.001259045 | 0.0013189694 | 1.0475951 | 6.0E-5 | 0.01418221 | 0.012928195 | 0.013017031 | 1.0068716 | 9.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.7282445E-5 | 2.4030476E-5 | 6.402952E-5 | 2.6645129 | 4.0E-5 | 1.16919524E-4 | 1.0298371E-4 | 1.5297855E-4 | 1.4854637 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0014225657 | 0.001253108 | 0.0013130329 | 1.0478209 | 6.0E-5 | 0.014134934 | 0.012869522 | 0.012958364 | 1.0069033 | 9.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.7282445E-5 | 2.4030476E-5 | 6.402952E-5 | 2.6645129 | 4.0E-5 | 1.16919524E-4 | 1.0298371E-4 | 1.5297855E-4 | 1.4854637 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0014225657 | 0.001253108 | 0.0013130329 | 1.0478209 | 6.0E-5 | 0.014134934 | 0.012869522 | 0.012958364 | 1.0069033 | 9.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.7216198E-5 | 2.3955597E-5 | 6.395464E-5 | 2.669716 | 4.0E-5 | 1.1663563E-4 | 1.02662816E-4 | 1.5265768E-4 | 1.4869813 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0014191137 | 0.0012492058 | 0.0013091308 | 1.0479705 | 6.0E-5 | 0.014100855 | 0.012830934 | 0.012919779 | 1.0069243 | 9.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.7078617E-5 | 2.3872815E-5 | 6.387186E-5 | 2.6755059 | 4.0E-5 | 1.1604605E-4 | 1.0230807E-4 | 1.5230295E-4 | 1.48867 | 5.0E-5 | 0.001411945 | 0.0012448917 | 0.0013048169 | 1.048137 | 6.0E-5 | 0.014030075 | 0.0127880825 | 0.012876932 | 1.0069478 | 9.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.6982952E-5 | 2.3792329E-5 | 6.3791376E-5 | 2.681174 | 4.0E-5 | 1.15636096E-4 | 1.0196315E-4 | 1.5195805E-4 | 1.4903232 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0014069602 | 0.0012406971 | 0.0013006227 | 1.0482999 | 6.0E-5 | 0.013980856 | 0.012746378 | 0.012835231 | 1.0069709 | 9.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.6449972E-5 | 2.3369357E-5 | 6.3368425E-5 | 2.7116032 | 4.0E-5 | 1.1335209E-4 | 1.0015055E-4 | 1.5014554E-4 | 1.4991983 | 5.0E-5 | 0.001379188 | 0.0012186535 | 0.0012785804 | 1.0491747 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0137065975 | 0.012527733 | 0.0126166055 | 1.007094 | 9.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.6257849E-5 | 2.3195396E-5 | 6.319447E-5 | 2.72444 | 4.0E-5 | 1.1252879E-4 | 9.940507E-5 | 1.494001E-4 | 1.5029424 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0013691769 | 0.0012095873 | 0.0012695148 | 1.0495437 | 6.0E-5 | 0.013607717 | 0.012437661 | 0.012526541 | 1.0071461 | 9.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.5270041E-5 | 2.2390155E-5 | 6.238926E-5 | 2.7864594 | 4.0E-5 | 1.0829568E-4 | 9.5954296E-5 | 1.459495E-4 | 1.5210314 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0013177024 | 0.0011676198 | 0.0012275497 | 1.0513266 | 6.0E-5 | 0.013099162 | 0.0120187905 | 0.0121077085 | 1.0073982 | 9.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.339701E-5 | 2.1122027E-5 | 6.112118E-5 | 2.8937175 | 4.0E-5 | 1.0026905E-4 | 9.051985E-5 | 1.4051532E-4 | 1.5523151 | 5.0E-5 | 0.001220092 | 0.001101524 | 0.0011614579 | 1.05441 | 6.0E-5 | 0.012134149 | 0.011357642 | 0.011446619 | 1.0078342 | 9.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.296333E-5 | 2.0852396E-5 | 6.0851562E-5 | 2.9182048 | 4.0E-5 | 9.841056E-5 | 8.936436E-5 | 1.393599E-4 | 1.5594572 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0011974899 | 0.0010874701 | 0.0011474048 | 1.0551139 | 6.0E-5 | 0.011910575 | 0.011216754 | 0.011305744 | 1.0079337 | 9.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.2188895E-5 | 2.037534E-5 | 6.0374525E-5 | 2.9631174 | 4.0E-5 | 9.50918E-5 | 8.731998E-5 | 1.3731561E-4 | 1.5725566 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0011571277 | 0.0010626042 | 0.0011225406 | 1.0564051 | 6.0E-5 | 0.011511209 | 0.010966369 | 0.011055382 | 1.008117 | 9.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.0013189E-5 | 1.8961666E-5 | 5.8960908E-5 | 3.1094794 | 4.0E-5 | 8.5767984E-5 | 8.126176E-5 | 1.312577E-4 | 1.6152456 | 5.0E-5 | 0.001043725 | 9.889146E-4 | 0.0010488553 | 1.0606126 | 6.0E-5 | 0.010388365 | 0.010224371 | 0.010313451 | 1.0087125 | 9.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.7230794E-5 | 1.6743043E-5 | 5.6742374E-5 | 3.389012 | 4.0E-5 | 7.384417E-5 | 7.175393E-5 | 1.2175034E-4 | 1.6967759 | 5.0E-5 | 8.986819E-4 | 8.732547E-4 | 9.3320233E-4 | 1.0686485 | 6.0E-5 | 0.008950562 | 0.00906292 | 0.009142195 | 1.0087472 | 8.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.4478809E-5 | 1.499039E-5 | 5.498979E-5 | 3.6683362 | 4.0E-5 | 6.205057E-5 | 6.424295E-5 | 1.1423974E-4 | 1.7782456 | 5.0E-5 | 7.552038E-4 | 7.8187784E-4 | 8.41831E-4 | 1.0766783 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0075264242 | 0.008141388 | 0.008220737 | 1.0097463 | 8.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.1114467E-5 | 1.1644517E-5 | 5.1644052E-5 | 4.4350533 | 4.0E-5 | 4.7632562E-5 | 4.990412E-5 | 9.990163E-5 | 2.0018713 | 5.0E-5 | 5.797721E-4 | 6.074139E-4 | 6.5738347E-4 | 1.0822662 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0057826187 | 0.0063803545 | 0.006449908 | 1.0109012 | 7.0E-5 |
8.0 | 9.327402E-6 | 9.8986575E-6 | 3.989836E-5 | 4.030684 | 3.0E-5 | 3.9973966E-5 | 4.2422133E-5 | 8.242043E-5 | 1.9428641 | 4.0E-5 | 4.8657437E-4 | 5.163676E-4 | 5.5634696E-4 | 1.0774242 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0048551033 | 0.00544994 | 0.005509613 | 1.0109493 | 6.0E-5 |
8.1 | 7.0235833E-6 | 6.826985E-6 | 2.6826849E-5 | 3.9295309 | 2.0E-5 | 3.0100724E-5 | 2.9258183E-5 | 5.9257305E-5 | 2.025324 | 3.0E-5 | 3.664147E-4 | 3.5616063E-4 | 3.8614997E-4 | 1.0842017 | 3.0E-5 | 0.003658111 | 0.0037874572 | 0.0038372679 | 1.0131515 | 5.0E-5 |
8.2 | 2.0358202E-6 | 8.9912584E-7 | 8.9912584E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.724915E-6 | 3.853391E-6 | 3.853391E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.06220665E-4 | 4.6914047E-5 | 4.6914047E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001061699 | 5.3239096E-4 | 5.3239096E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 2.0051264E-7 | 6.61379E-8 | 6.61379E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5933965E-7 | 2.8344812E-7 | 2.8344812E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.046241E-5 | 3.450976E-6 | 3.450976E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0461917E-4 | 4.0120205E-5 | 4.0120205E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elysian Park (Upper)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.7035275E-5 | 3.7035275E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5871569E-4 | 1.7871251E-4 | 1.1259915 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0016618895 | 0.001931122 | 0.0019810256 | 1.0258417 | 5.0E-5 | 0.016495159 | 0.019189863 | 0.019268326 | 1.0040889 | 8.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.7035275E-5 | 3.7035275E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5871569E-4 | 1.7871251E-4 | 1.1259915 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0016618895 | 0.001931122 | 0.0019810256 | 1.0258417 | 5.0E-5 | 0.016495159 | 0.019189863 | 0.019268326 | 1.0040889 | 8.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.7035275E-5 | 3.7035275E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5871569E-4 | 1.7871251E-4 | 1.1259915 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0016618895 | 0.001931122 | 0.0019810256 | 1.0258417 | 5.0E-5 | 0.016495159 | 0.019189863 | 0.019268326 | 1.0040889 | 8.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.7035275E-5 | 3.7035275E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5871569E-4 | 1.7871251E-4 | 1.1259915 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0016618895 | 0.001931122 | 0.0019810256 | 1.0258417 | 5.0E-5 | 0.016495159 | 0.019189863 | 0.019268326 | 1.0040889 | 8.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.9273462E-5 | 2.120244E-5 | 2.120244E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.259794E-5 | 9.086542E-5 | 1.0086451E-4 | 1.1100428 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001005166 | 0.0011058967 | 0.0011358636 | 1.0270973 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010006315 | 0.011020744 | 0.011060303 | 1.0035895 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.9273462E-5 | 2.120244E-5 | 2.120244E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.259794E-5 | 9.086542E-5 | 1.0086451E-4 | 1.1100428 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001005166 | 0.0011058967 | 0.0011358636 | 1.0270973 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010006315 | 0.011020744 | 0.011060303 | 1.0035895 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.813258E-6 | 9.665589E-6 | 9.665589E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.205614E-5 | 4.1423333E-5 | 4.1423333E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.119132E-4 | 5.042196E-4 | 5.1421457E-4 | 1.0198226 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005107356 | 0.0050314795 | 0.0050414293 | 1.0019774 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.801478E-6 | 9.653158E-6 | 9.653158E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2005657E-5 | 4.137006E-5 | 4.137006E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.112989E-4 | 5.0357135E-4 | 5.135663E-4 | 1.0198481 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051012407 | 0.005025026 | 0.0050349757 | 1.0019801 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.102489E-6 | 7.772994E-6 | 7.772994E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4724493E-5 | 3.3312434E-5 | 3.3312434E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2268867E-4 | 4.0550836E-4 | 4.1550433E-4 | 1.0246505 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004218856 | 0.0040481784 | 0.0040581375 | 1.0024602 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.08275E-6 | 5.481441E-6 | 5.481441E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6068668E-5 | 2.3491682E-5 | 2.3491682E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.173398E-4 | 2.8597447E-4 | 2.959716E-4 | 1.0349581 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0031688702 | 0.0028561424 | 0.0028661138 | 1.0034913 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.5995934E-6 | 4.9827686E-6 | 4.9827686E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3998036E-5 | 2.1354552E-5 | 2.1354552E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9213692E-4 | 2.5996132E-4 | 2.6995872E-4 | 1.0384573 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029175316 | 0.0025966396 | 0.0026066136 | 1.0038412 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.709881E-6 | 4.0873906E-6 | 4.0873906E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0185047E-5 | 1.7517272E-5 | 1.7517272E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4572524E-4 | 2.1325232E-4 | 2.1325232E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002454537 | 0.0021305184 | 0.0021305184 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.6063436E-6 | 2.9779412E-6 | 2.9779412E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5455667E-5 | 1.27625435E-5 | 1.27625435E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.881565E-4 | 1.55373E-4 | 1.55373E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018799726 | 0.0015526549 | 0.0015526549 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.471135E-6 | 2.0954562E-6 | 2.0954562E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0590536E-5 | 8.980496E-6 | 8.980496E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2893214E-4 | 1.0933213E-4 | 1.0933213E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012885736 | 0.0010927906 | 0.0010927906 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.163943E-6 | 1.0275061E-6 | 1.0275061E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.988318E-6 | 4.40359E-6 | 4.40359E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0731076E-5 | 5.361242E-5 | 5.361242E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.071448E-4 | 5.3599785E-4 | 5.3599785E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.99459E-7 | 4.917601E-7 | 4.917601E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.140537E-6 | 2.1075416E-6 | 2.1075416E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6060725E-5 | 2.5659032E-5 | 2.5659032E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.605767E-4 | 2.5656226E-4 | 2.5656226E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.4667852E-7 | 2.4778313E-7 | 2.4778313E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0571932E-6 | 1.0619274E-6 | 1.0619274E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2871251E-5 | 1.2928893E-5 | 1.2928893E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2870505E-4 | 1.2928178E-4 | 1.2928178E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 8.2312795E-8 | 7.3864214E-8 | 7.3864214E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.527691E-7 | 3.165609E-7 | 3.165609E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.294955E-6 | 3.854123E-6 | 3.854123E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2948723E-5 | 3.854068E-5 | 3.854068E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.7819295E-8 | 1.7565618E-8 | 1.7565618E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1922555E-7 | 7.528122E-8 | 7.528122E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.45157E-6 | 9.1654863E-7 | 9.1654863E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.45156055E-5 | 9.165463E-6 | 9.165463E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Cayetano
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8169216E-5 | 3.816885E-5 | 2.100743 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.786576E-5 | 1.0786343E-4 | 1.3852484 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4760704E-4 | 9.875691E-4 | 1.0421716 | 4.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.00943675 | 0.009515995 | 1.0083975 | 8.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8169216E-5 | 3.816885E-5 | 2.100743 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.786576E-5 | 1.0786343E-4 | 1.3852484 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4760704E-4 | 9.875691E-4 | 1.0421716 | 4.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.00943675 | 0.009515995 | 1.0083975 | 8.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8169216E-5 | 3.816885E-5 | 2.100743 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.786576E-5 | 1.0786343E-4 | 1.3852484 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4760704E-4 | 9.875691E-4 | 1.0421716 | 4.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.00943675 | 0.009515995 | 1.0083975 | 8.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8169216E-5 | 3.816885E-5 | 2.100743 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.786576E-5 | 1.0786343E-4 | 1.3852484 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4760704E-4 | 9.875691E-4 | 1.0421716 | 4.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.00943675 | 0.009515995 | 1.0083975 | 8.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8169216E-5 | 3.816885E-5 | 2.100743 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.786576E-5 | 1.0786343E-4 | 1.3852484 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4760704E-4 | 9.875691E-4 | 1.0421716 | 4.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.00943675 | 0.009515995 | 1.0083975 | 8.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8169216E-5 | 3.816885E-5 | 2.100743 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.786576E-5 | 1.0786343E-4 | 1.3852484 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4760704E-4 | 9.875691E-4 | 1.0421716 | 4.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.00943675 | 0.009515995 | 1.0083975 | 8.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8169216E-5 | 3.816885E-5 | 2.100743 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.786576E-5 | 1.0786343E-4 | 1.3852484 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4760704E-4 | 9.875691E-4 | 1.0421716 | 4.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.00943675 | 0.009515995 | 1.0083975 | 8.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8169216E-5 | 3.816885E-5 | 2.100743 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.786576E-5 | 1.0786343E-4 | 1.3852484 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4760704E-4 | 9.875691E-4 | 1.0421716 | 4.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.00943675 | 0.009515995 | 1.0083975 | 8.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.3241924E-5 | 1.7936945E-5 | 3.793659E-5 | 2.114997 | 2.0E-5 | 9.960445E-5 | 7.687038E-5 | 1.0686807E-4 | 1.3902373 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0012120095 | 9.354987E-4 | 9.7546127E-4 | 1.0427179 | 4.0E-5 | 0.012054204 | 0.0093166195 | 0.009395874 | 1.0085068 | 8.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.2761007E-5 | 1.7432383E-5 | 3.7432037E-5 | 2.14727 | 2.0E-5 | 9.7543525E-5 | 7.47081E-5 | 1.04705854E-4 | 1.4015329 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011869454 | 9.09195E-4 | 9.491586E-4 | 1.043955 | 4.0E-5 | 0.011806256 | 0.009055741 | 0.009135016 | 1.0087541 | 8.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.240283E-5 | 1.7066137E-5 | 3.7065794E-5 | 2.1718915 | 2.0E-5 | 9.600859E-5 | 7.313856E-5 | 1.03136364E-4 | 1.4101504 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011682777 | 8.9010154E-4 | 9.30066E-4 | 1.0448987 | 4.0E-5 | 0.011621549 | 0.008866336 | 0.008945627 | 1.0089428 | 8.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.1871154E-5 | 1.658602E-5 | 3.6585687E-5 | 2.2058148 | 2.0E-5 | 9.373015E-5 | 7.108103E-5 | 1.0107889E-4 | 1.4220235 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011405671 | 8.6507126E-4 | 9.0503664E-4 | 1.046199 | 4.0E-5 | 0.011347309 | 0.008617996 | 0.008697307 | 1.009203 | 8.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.0714133E-5 | 1.5564563E-5 | 3.556425E-5 | 2.2849503 | 2.0E-5 | 8.8771834E-5 | 6.670358E-5 | 9.670158E-5 | 1.449721 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010802611 | 8.118168E-4 | 8.417924E-4 | 1.0369241 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010750249 | 0.008089443 | 0.008148957 | 1.0073571 | 6.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.8408395E-5 | 1.3996829E-5 | 3.3996548E-5 | 2.4288752 | 2.0E-5 | 7.8890735E-5 | 5.9985046E-5 | 8.9983245E-5 | 1.5000947 | 3.0E-5 | 9.600714E-4 | 7.300762E-4 | 7.600543E-4 | 1.0410616 | 3.0E-5 | 0.009559342 | 0.0072776447 | 0.007337208 | 1.0081844 | 6.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.6856795E-5 | 1.285006E-5 | 1.285006E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2241404E-5 | 5.5070537E-5 | 6.506999E-5 | 1.1815753 | 1.0E-5 | 8.7918417E-4 | 6.7028037E-4 | 6.802737E-4 | 1.0149091 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00875714 | 0.0066834087 | 0.0067231413 | 1.005945 | 4.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.2822778E-5 | 9.577415E-6 | 9.577415E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.495361E-5 | 4.1045427E-5 | 5.1045015E-5 | 1.2436225 | 1.0E-5 | 6.688548E-4 | 4.9961504E-4 | 5.0961005E-4 | 1.0200055 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006668452 | 0.0049851923 | 0.0050050924 | 1.0039918 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 5.6272684E-6 | 3.854899E-6 | 3.854899E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4116642E-5 | 1.6520893E-5 | 1.6520893E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9358055E-4 | 2.0112342E-4 | 2.0112342E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029319301 | 0.0020094248 | 0.0020194047 | 1.0049665 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 3.5261346E-6 | 2.3407094E-6 | 2.3407094E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5111918E-5 | 1.0031574E-5 | 1.0031574E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8397206E-4 | 1.2212765E-4 | 1.2212765E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018381984 | 0.0012206127 | 0.0012306004 | 1.0081826 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.4826929E-6 | 1.0564395E-6 | 1.0564395E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.354383E-6 | 4.52759E-6 | 4.52759E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.736187E-5 | 5.5122033E-5 | 5.5122033E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.733494E-4 | 5.510856E-4 | 5.610801E-4 | 1.018136 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.7568166E-7 | 1.6977887E-7 | 1.6977887E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1814923E-6 | 7.276235E-7 | 7.276235E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4384574E-5 | 8.85878E-6 | 8.85878E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4383643E-4 | 8.858431E-5 | 8.858431E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 5.407832E-8 | 2.688677E-8 | 2.688677E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3176422E-7 | 1.15229014E-7 | 1.15229014E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8217257E-6 | 1.4029123E-6 | 1.4029123E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8216898E-5 | 1.40290385E-5 | 1.40290385E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Kern Canyon (Lake Isabella) 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.2387383E-6 | 4.0016344E-6 | 2.4001554E-5 | 5.997938 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.7149758E-5 | 5.714907E-5 | 3.3323543 | 4.0E-5 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.0878017E-4 | 2.6876765E-4 | 1.2873236 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0022092736 | 0.002086024 | 0.0021658572 | 1.0382705 | 8.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.2387383E-6 | 4.0016344E-6 | 2.4001554E-5 | 5.997938 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.7149758E-5 | 5.714907E-5 | 3.3323543 | 4.0E-5 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.0878017E-4 | 2.6876765E-4 | 1.2873236 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0022092736 | 0.002086024 | 0.0021658572 | 1.0382705 | 8.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.2387383E-6 | 4.0016344E-6 | 2.4001554E-5 | 5.997938 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.7149758E-5 | 5.714907E-5 | 3.3323543 | 4.0E-5 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.0878017E-4 | 2.6876765E-4 | 1.2873236 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0022092736 | 0.002086024 | 0.0021658572 | 1.0382705 | 8.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.2387383E-6 | 4.0016344E-6 | 2.4001554E-5 | 5.997938 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.7149758E-5 | 5.714907E-5 | 3.3323543 | 4.0E-5 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.0878017E-4 | 2.6876765E-4 | 1.2873236 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0022092736 | 0.002086024 | 0.0021658572 | 1.0382705 | 8.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.2387383E-6 | 4.0016344E-6 | 2.4001554E-5 | 5.997938 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.7149758E-5 | 5.714907E-5 | 3.3323543 | 4.0E-5 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.0878017E-4 | 2.6876765E-4 | 1.2873236 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0022092736 | 0.002086024 | 0.0021658572 | 1.0382705 | 8.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.7857532E-6 | 2.5178624E-6 | 1.2517838E-5 | 4.971613 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1938888E-5 | 1.0790796E-5 | 3.079058E-5 | 2.8534114 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4534626E-4 | 1.3137035E-4 | 1.613664E-4 | 1.228332 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0014525123 | 0.0013129596 | 0.0013429202 | 1.0228192 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.2233348E-6 | 1.944119E-6 | 1.1944099E-5 | 6.1437078 | 1.0E-5 | 9.528543E-6 | 8.331913E-6 | 2.8331746E-5 | 3.4003892 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1600384E-4 | 1.014364E-4 | 1.3143336E-4 | 1.2957218 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001159433 | 0.0010139096 | 0.0010438792 | 1.0295584 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.1635126E-6 | 1.8834991E-6 | 1.18834805E-5 | 6.3092575 | 1.0E-5 | 9.272164E-6 | 8.072114E-6 | 2.8071952E-5 | 3.4776456 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1288274E-4 | 9.827364E-5 | 1.282707E-4 | 1.30524 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011282542 | 9.8231E-4 | 0.0010122805 | 1.0305103 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.8685711E-6 | 1.583138E-6 | 1.1583122E-5 | 7.316559 | 1.0E-5 | 8.008137E-6 | 6.7848596E-6 | 2.6784724E-5 | 3.9477196 | 2.0E-5 | 9.74947E-5 | 8.2602586E-5 | 1.1260011E-4 | 1.3631548 | 3.0E-5 | 9.745194E-4 | 8.2572375E-4 | 8.5569895E-4 | 1.0363017 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.5815071E-6 | 1.3064887E-6 | 1.1306475E-5 | 8.654094 | 1.0E-5 | 6.77787E-6 | 5.5992255E-6 | 2.5599113E-5 | 4.5719028 | 2.0E-5 | 8.251744E-5 | 6.816846E-5 | 9.816642E-5 | 1.4400562 | 3.0E-5 | 8.248681E-4 | 6.8147824E-4 | 7.114578E-4 | 1.0439919 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.3772564E-6 | 1.1210681E-6 | 1.1121057E-5 | 9.920054 | 1.0E-5 | 5.9025137E-6 | 4.8045686E-6 | 2.4804473E-5 | 5.1626844 | 2.0E-5 | 7.186073E-5 | 5.8494075E-5 | 8.849232E-5 | 1.5128424 | 3.0E-5 | 7.18375E-4 | 5.8478885E-4 | 6.1477127E-4 | 1.0512706 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0916998E-6 | 8.7637505E-7 | 1.0876366E-5 | 12.41063 | 1.0E-5 | 4.678705E-6 | 3.7558877E-6 | 2.3755812E-5 | 6.3249526 | 2.0E-5 | 5.6961744E-5 | 4.5726985E-5 | 7.572561E-5 | 1.6560377 | 3.0E-5 | 5.6947145E-4 | 4.571771E-4 | 4.871634E-4 | 1.06559 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.6277024E-7 | 5.901439E-7 | 5.901439E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2690114E-6 | 2.5291856E-6 | 1.252916E-5 | 4.9538317 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9799485E-5 | 3.0792406E-5 | 5.079179E-5 | 1.6494908 | 2.0E-5 | 3.9792358E-4 | 3.07882E-4 | 3.2787584E-4 | 1.06494 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 5.3265916E-7 | 4.3824264E-7 | 4.3824264E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.282823E-6 | 1.8781814E-6 | 1.1878163E-5 | 6.3242893 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7793016E-5 | 2.2866623E-5 | 4.2866166E-5 | 1.8746172 | 2.0E-5 | 2.778954E-4 | 2.2864307E-4 | 2.486385E-4 | 1.0874525 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.4946007E-7 | 3.0065647E-7 | 3.0065647E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.497685E-6 | 1.2885271E-6 | 1.12885145E-5 | 8.760789 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8234163E-5 | 1.5687707E-5 | 2.568755E-5 | 1.6374319 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8232666E-4 | 1.5686621E-4 | 1.6686464E-4 | 1.0637386 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.8317026E-7 | 1.4244755E-7 | 1.4244755E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.850152E-7 | 6.1048934E-7 | 6.1048934E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.557518E-6 | 7.432683E-6 | 7.432683E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.5571064E-5 | 7.432442E-5 | 7.432442E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.572245E-8 | 1.735264E-8 | 1.735264E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10239064E-7 | 7.436845E-8 | 7.436845E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421597E-6 | 9.0543557E-7 | 9.0543557E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421517E-5 | 9.054324E-6 | 9.054324E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Oceanic - West Huasna
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.195567E-5 | 2.7926368E-5 | 3.792609E-5 | 1.3580745 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3694567E-4 | 1.19679185E-4 | 1.3967679E-4 | 1.1670934 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0016660384 | 0.0014561634 | 0.0014861196 | 1.0205721 | 3.0E-5 | 0.016536033 | 0.01447077 | 0.014520046 | 1.0034052 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1156782E-5 | 1.7573117E-5 | 1.7573117E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.066878E-5 | 7.531123E-5 | 8.531048E-5 | 1.1327723 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011033333 | 9.1653795E-4 | 9.265288E-4 | 1.0109006 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010978713 | 0.009128587 | 0.009148404 | 1.0021709 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6195117E-5 | 1.3327227E-5 | 1.3327227E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9405796E-5 | 5.7115452E-5 | 6.711488E-5 | 1.175074 | 1.0E-5 | 8.44688E-4 | 6.9516135E-4 | 7.051544E-4 | 1.0143751 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008414844 | 0.0069301617 | 0.006950023 | 1.0028659 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3559345E-5 | 1.1179013E-5 | 1.1179013E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.811018E-5 | 4.7909183E-5 | 5.7908703E-5 | 1.2087183 | 1.0E-5 | 7.072618E-4 | 5.8313913E-4 | 5.931333E-4 | 1.0171386 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0070501505 | 0.005816208 | 0.0058360915 | 1.0034187 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2120619E-5 | 1.0000874E-5 | 1.0000874E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1944477E-5 | 4.2860185E-5 | 5.285976E-5 | 1.2333068 | 1.0E-5 | 6.322405E-4 | 5.216983E-4 | 5.316931E-4 | 1.0191581 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006304447 | 0.005204804 | 0.0052246996 | 1.0038226 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.13511915E-5 | 9.367378E-6 | 9.367378E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8647056E-5 | 4.0145293E-5 | 5.0144892E-5 | 1.2490852 | 1.0E-5 | 5.9211696E-4 | 4.886598E-4 | 4.9865484E-4 | 1.0204542 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0059054173 | 0.0048759114 | 0.0048958138 | 1.0040818 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.850605E-6 | 8.1353155E-6 | 8.1353155E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2216197E-5 | 3.4865174E-5 | 3.4865174E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1386096E-4 | 4.2440102E-4 | 4.2440102E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051267436 | 0.0042359377 | 0.0042458954 | 1.0023508 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.8558645E-6 | 7.318341E-6 | 7.318341E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7953152E-5 | 3.1363943E-5 | 3.1363943E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6198163E-4 | 3.8178926E-4 | 3.8178926E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004610224 | 0.0038113592 | 0.003821321 | 1.0026138 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 7.67136E-6 | 6.39169E-6 | 6.39169E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2876844E-5 | 2.739267E-5 | 2.739267E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0020206E-4 | 3.3345487E-4 | 3.3345487E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003994821 | 0.0033295664 | 0.0033295664 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 6.534529E-6 | 5.458261E-6 | 5.458261E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8004823E-5 | 2.3392338E-5 | 2.3392338E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4090536E-4 | 2.8476462E-4 | 2.8476462E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034038287 | 0.002844014 | 0.002844014 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 5.460525E-6 | 4.5699203E-6 | 4.5699203E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3402039E-5 | 1.9585226E-5 | 1.9585226E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8488258E-4 | 2.3842414E-4 | 2.3842414E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028451765 | 0.0023816973 | 0.0023816973 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 4.4825083E-6 | 3.7524153E-6 | 3.7524153E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9210609E-5 | 1.6081682E-5 | 1.6081682E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3386406E-4 | 1.9577699E-4 | 1.9577699E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002336181 | 0.001956057 | 0.001956057 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.821708E-6 | 2.424941E-6 | 2.424941E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2092979E-5 | 1.0392562E-5 | 1.0392562E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4722206E-4 | 1.265221E-4 | 1.265221E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014712457 | 0.0012645032 | 0.0012645032 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.0644757E-6 | 1.7687502E-6 | 1.7687502E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.847723E-6 | 7.580336E-6 | 7.580336E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0771569E-4 | 9.228668E-5 | 9.228668E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001076635 | 9.224854E-4 | 9.224854E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.6980367E-6 | 1.4379966E-6 | 1.4379966E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.27728E-6 | 6.1628284E-6 | 6.1628284E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8597284E-5 | 7.502986E-5 | 7.502986E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8561967E-4 | 7.5004686E-4 | 7.5004686E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3637683E-6 | 1.1302697E-6 | 1.1302697E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.844708E-6 | 4.844004E-6 | 4.844004E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1156996E-5 | 5.897415E-5 | 5.897415E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1134215E-4 | 5.8958656E-4 | 5.8958656E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 9.802994E-7 | 7.6772847E-7 | 7.6772847E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2012766E-6 | 3.2902608E-6 | 3.2902608E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1149345E-5 | 4.005819E-5 | 4.005819E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.113757E-4 | 4.0051117E-4 | 4.0051117E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.986191E-7 | 4.0050708E-7 | 4.0050708E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5655079E-6 | 1.7164577E-6 | 1.7164577E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1234613E-5 | 2.0897673E-5 | 2.0897673E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.123022E-4 | 2.0895849E-4 | 2.0895849E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.9189815E-7 | 1.5285202E-7 | 1.5285202E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2509914E-6 | 6.5507993E-7 | 6.5507993E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5230714E-5 | 7.975569E-6 | 7.975569E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.522967E-4 | 7.97542E-5 | 7.97542E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.2057845E-7 | 4.6208047E-8 | 4.6208047E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1676466E-7 | 1.9803447E-7 | 1.9803447E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2915915E-6 | 2.411067E-6 | 2.411067E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2914136E-5 | 2.4111772E-5 | 2.4111772E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 3.3806387E-9 | 9.0093144E-10 | 9.0093144E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4488451E-8 | 3.8611354E-9 | 3.8611354E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7639688E-7 | 4.7009323E-8 | 4.7009323E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7639674E-6 | 4.712806E-7 | 4.712806E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Coronado Bank alt1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.533492E-5 | 9.3951705E-5 | 1.2394889E-4 | 1.319283 | 3.0E-5 | 3.22824E-4 | 4.025903E-4 | 4.4257418E-4 | 1.0993166 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0039233007 | 0.004891121 | 0.0049508275 | 1.0122072 | 6.0E-5 | 0.03854755 | 0.047904 | 0.04797065 | 1.0013913 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.1807285E-5 | 5.0493105E-5 | 7.04921E-5 | 1.3960737 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7916178E-4 | 2.1638138E-4 | 2.463749E-4 | 1.138614 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0021791123 | 0.0026313365 | 0.0026612575 | 1.011371 | 3.0E-5 | 0.021578677 | 0.026011124 | 0.026050083 | 1.0014977 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.1807285E-5 | 5.0493105E-5 | 7.04921E-5 | 1.3960737 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7916178E-4 | 2.1638138E-4 | 2.463749E-4 | 1.138614 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0021791123 | 0.0026313365 | 0.0026612575 | 1.011371 | 3.0E-5 | 0.021578677 | 0.026011124 | 0.026050083 | 1.0014977 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.1793104E-5 | 3.7711125E-5 | 3.7711125E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3624904E-4 | 1.6160926E-4 | 1.7160765E-4 | 1.0618676 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016575698 | 0.001965849 | 0.0019758292 | 1.0050769 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016452603 | 0.019488495 | 0.019508105 | 1.0010062 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.9878007E-5 | 3.5335797E-5 | 3.5335797E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2804232E-4 | 1.5143053E-4 | 1.6142902E-4 | 1.0660269 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015578003 | 0.0018421395 | 0.0018521211 | 1.0054184 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015469253 | 0.018272463 | 0.0182921 | 1.0010746 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.4512565E-5 | 2.8764101E-5 | 2.8764101E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0504962E-4 | 1.2326906E-4 | 1.3326782E-4 | 1.0811133 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012782287 | 0.0014997943 | 0.0015097794 | 1.0066576 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012709012 | 0.0148996925 | 0.014919395 | 1.0013223 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.1317413E-5 | 2.490667E-5 | 2.490667E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.135714E-5 | 1.0673863E-4 | 1.1673757E-4 | 1.0936768 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011117056 | 0.0012987903 | 0.0013087774 | 1.0076895 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011061605 | 0.012914407 | 0.012934149 | 1.0015286 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.8585655E-5 | 2.1634882E-5 | 2.1634882E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9650374E-5 | 9.271774E-5 | 1.0271681E-4 | 1.1078442 | 1.0E-5 | 9.6931186E-4 | 0.0011282744 | 0.001138263 | 1.0088531 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0096509475 | 0.011227623 | 0.0112375105 | 1.0008807 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.5862879E-5 | 1.8419476E-5 | 1.8419476E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.798199E-5 | 7.8938334E-5 | 8.8937544E-5 | 1.1266712 | 1.0E-5 | 8.273665E-4 | 9.606697E-4 | 9.7066007E-4 | 1.0103995 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008242928 | 0.009567151 | 0.0095770545 | 1.0010352 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.3021509E-5 | 1.5095266E-5 | 1.5095266E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5805274E-5 | 6.46925E-5 | 7.4691845E-5 | 1.1545675 | 1.0E-5 | 6.792174E-4 | 7.873646E-4 | 7.973567E-4 | 1.0126905 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006771452 | 0.007847573 | 0.007857494 | 1.0012643 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0974371E-5 | 1.2720105E-5 | 1.2720105E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7032172E-5 | 5.4513697E-5 | 6.451315E-5 | 1.1834302 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7246623E-4 | 6.635197E-4 | 6.7351304E-4 | 1.0150611 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0057099373 | 0.0066171354 | 0.0066270693 | 1.0015012 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.766221E-6 | 1.0163833E-5 | 1.0163833E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7568978E-5 | 4.3558655E-5 | 5.355822E-5 | 1.2295655 | 1.0E-5 | 4.573063E-4 | 5.302148E-4 | 5.4020947E-4 | 1.0188503 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045636636 | 0.005291197 | 0.0053011444 | 1.0018799 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 8.026024E-7 | 8.331776E-7 | 8.331776E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.43972E-6 | 3.5707562E-6 | 3.5707562E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1877785E-5 | 4.34731E-5 | 4.34731E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1869894E-4 | 4.3464705E-4 | 4.3464705E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.7293114E-7 | 3.700106E-7 | 3.700106E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5982754E-6 | 1.5857588E-6 | 1.5857588E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9458828E-5 | 1.9306442E-5 | 1.9306442E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9457124E-4 | 1.9304773E-4 | 1.9304773E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.0557036E-7 | 1.9674441E-7 | 1.9674441E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.810155E-7 | 8.4319004E-7 | 8.4319004E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0726311E-5 | 1.02657905E-5 | 1.02657905E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0725793E-4 | 1.026532E-4 | 1.026532E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.845446E-8 | 6.2794086E-8 | 6.2794086E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9337625E-7 | 2.6911746E-7 | 2.6911746E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5718497E-6 | 3.2765004E-6 | 3.2765004E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5717923E-5 | 3.276453E-5 | 3.276453E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.0975145E-9 | 5.531901E-9 | 5.531901E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6132206E-8 | 2.3708148E-8 | 2.3708148E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1815955E-7 | 2.8864667E-7 | 2.8864667E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.181591E-6 | 2.886464E-6 | 2.886464E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 09 (Laguna Seca)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.4353277E-5 | 7.050019E-5 | 9.0498776E-5 | 1.2836672 | 2.0E-5 | 2.3292181E-4 | 3.0211007E-4 | 3.2210402E-4 | 1.0661811 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0028321352 | 0.0036720056 | 0.003721822 | 1.0135665 | 5.0E-5 | 0.02796312 | 0.036115844 | 0.036183316 | 1.0018682 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.5578287E-5 | 5.822054E-5 | 7.8219375E-5 | 1.3435013 | 2.0E-5 | 1.953209E-4 | 2.4949352E-4 | 2.6948852E-4 | 1.0801424 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0023754383 | 0.0030333549 | 0.003063264 | 1.00986 | 3.0E-5 | 0.023502063 | 0.029919893 | 0.029958695 | 1.0012969 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.8536782E-5 | 3.4736422E-5 | 5.4735727E-5 | 1.5757445 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2229476E-4 | 1.4886161E-4 | 1.6885863E-4 | 1.134333 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014879217 | 0.0018108576 | 0.0018308214 | 1.0110245 | 2.0E-5 | 0.014779986 | 0.017958276 | 0.017987737 | 1.0016406 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3698774E-5 | 2.8213344E-5 | 3.8213064E-5 | 1.3544322 | 1.0E-5 | 1.01562226E-4 | 1.2090833E-4 | 1.3090711E-4 | 1.0826973 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012358186 | 0.001471051 | 0.0014810363 | 1.0067879 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012289686 | 0.014611455 | 0.014631162 | 1.0013487 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.9191197E-5 | 2.212289E-5 | 3.212267E-5 | 1.4520105 | 1.0E-5 | 8.2245395E-5 | 9.4808805E-5 | 1.04807856E-4 | 1.1054654 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010008777 | 0.0011536906 | 0.0011636791 | 1.0086578 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009963818 | 0.011477022 | 0.011496793 | 1.0017226 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5203241E-5 | 1.6801298E-5 | 1.6801298E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5155116E-5 | 7.200338E-5 | 7.200338E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9297484E-4 | 8.76301E-4 | 8.76301E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007901512 | 0.008729581 | 0.008729581 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.0984925E-5 | 1.12425605E-5 | 1.12425605E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.70774E-5 | 4.8181533E-5 | 4.8181533E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.730166E-4 | 5.8645604E-4 | 5.8645604E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005715413 | 0.0058494755 | 0.0058494755 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 9.134616E-6 | 9.019868E-6 | 9.019868E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9147766E-5 | 3.865602E-5 | 3.865602E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7651984E-4 | 4.7053778E-4 | 4.7053778E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004754993 | 0.00469566 | 0.00469566 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 7.785589E-6 | 7.4519185E-6 | 7.4519185E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3366385E-5 | 3.1936415E-5 | 3.1936415E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0616E-4 | 3.887585E-4 | 3.887585E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040541845 | 0.003880988 | 0.003880988 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 5.579095E-6 | 4.8984666E-6 | 4.8984666E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3910188E-5 | 2.0993268E-5 | 2.0993268E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9106764E-4 | 2.5556443E-4 | 2.5556443E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002906867 | 0.0025528427 | 0.0025528427 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.6816688E-6 | 1.521587E-6 | 1.521587E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1492816E-5 | 6.521071E-6 | 6.521071E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3991605E-4 | 7.939124E-5 | 7.939124E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013982799 | 7.936375E-4 | 7.936375E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.9951021E-6 | 7.45357E-7 | 7.45357E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.55041E-6 | 3.1943835E-6 | 3.1943835E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0409627E-4 | 3.889097E-5 | 3.889097E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010404752 | 3.8884574E-4 | 3.8884574E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.9951021E-6 | 7.45357E-7 | 7.45357E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.55041E-6 | 3.1943835E-6 | 3.1943835E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0409627E-4 | 3.889097E-5 | 3.889097E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010404752 | 3.8884574E-4 | 3.8884574E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.7087556E-6 | 6.578663E-7 | 6.578663E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3232177E-6 | 2.819424E-6 | 2.819424E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.915652E-5 | 3.432599E-5 | 3.432599E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9120766E-4 | 3.432109E-4 | 3.432109E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.3804846E-6 | 6.0737113E-7 | 6.0737113E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.916349E-6 | 2.6030168E-6 | 2.6030168E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2029165E-5 | 3.169131E-5 | 3.169131E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.200583E-4 | 3.168719E-4 | 3.168719E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3804846E-6 | 6.0737113E-7 | 6.0737113E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.916349E-6 | 2.6030168E-6 | 2.6030168E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2029165E-5 | 3.169131E-5 | 3.169131E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.200583E-4 | 3.168719E-4 | 3.168719E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Diego Trough north alt1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.329252E-5 | 8.821269E-5 | 1.18210046E-4 | 1.3400571 | 3.0E-5 | 3.14073E-4 | 3.7800326E-4 | 4.0799193E-4 | 1.0793344 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0038171355 | 0.0045930487 | 0.004632865 | 1.0086688 | 4.0E-5 | 0.03752231 | 0.045045137 | 0.045111984 | 1.001484 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.7940346E-5 | 4.4884906E-5 | 6.488401E-5 | 1.445564 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6259136E-4 | 1.9235026E-4 | 2.1234641E-4 | 1.1039569 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0019777524 | 0.002339431 | 0.0023593842 | 1.0085291 | 2.0E-5 | 0.019602431 | 0.023156732 | 0.023186037 | 1.0012655 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.8645263E-5 | 3.329672E-5 | 5.3296055E-5 | 1.6006397 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2275964E-4 | 1.4269259E-4 | 1.6268973E-4 | 1.1401415 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014935739 | 0.0017359206 | 0.0017558859 | 1.0115013 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0148357535 | 0.017226268 | 0.017245922 | 1.0011411 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.8645263E-5 | 3.329672E-5 | 5.3296055E-5 | 1.6006397 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2275964E-4 | 1.4269259E-4 | 1.6268973E-4 | 1.1401415 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014935739 | 0.0017359206 | 0.0017558859 | 1.0115013 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0148357535 | 0.017226268 | 0.017245922 | 1.0011411 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.2204576E-5 | 2.544832E-5 | 4.544781E-5 | 1.7858865 | 2.0E-5 | 9.5159E-5 | 1.0905972E-4 | 1.2905755E-4 | 1.1833657 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001157945 | 0.0013270028 | 0.0013469763 | 1.0150516 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011519298 | 0.013191959 | 0.013211695 | 1.0014961 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.1004838E-5 | 2.4024695E-5 | 4.4024215E-5 | 1.8324567 | 2.0E-5 | 9.0017624E-5 | 1.0295897E-4 | 1.2295692E-4 | 1.1942321 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010954136 | 0.0012528135 | 0.0012727884 | 1.0159441 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010900296 | 0.012458592 | 0.012478342 | 1.0015854 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.820557E-5 | 2.070479E-5 | 4.0704377E-5 | 1.96594 | 2.0E-5 | 7.802154E-5 | 8.8731824E-5 | 1.08730055E-4 | 1.2253783 | 2.0E-5 | 9.4949827E-4 | 0.0010797799 | 0.0010997584 | 1.0185022 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009454516 | 0.010746005 | 0.010765791 | 1.0018412 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.5884485E-5 | 1.7983646E-5 | 3.7983285E-5 | 2.1121016 | 2.0E-5 | 6.807459E-5 | 7.707051E-5 | 9.7068965E-5 | 1.2594826 | 2.0E-5 | 8.284929E-4 | 9.3793223E-4 | 9.5791346E-4 | 1.0213035 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008254109 | 0.009340104 | 0.009359917 | 1.0021213 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.4331171E-5 | 1.6201066E-5 | 2.6200903E-5 | 1.6172334 | 1.0E-5 | 6.141786E-5 | 6.94313E-5 | 7.94306E-5 | 1.1440172 | 1.0E-5 | 7.4750587E-4 | 8.450002E-4 | 8.549917E-4 | 1.0118244 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0074499645 | 0.008418139 | 0.008428055 | 1.0011779 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.2574203E-5 | 1.4205835E-5 | 2.4205692E-5 | 1.7039261 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3888325E-5 | 6.0880735E-5 | 7.088013E-5 | 1.1642456 | 1.0E-5 | 6.558929E-4 | 7.409723E-4 | 7.5096486E-4 | 1.0134858 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0065396037 | 0.007385203 | 0.0073951297 | 1.0013441 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0883844E-5 | 1.2289262E-5 | 2.2289138E-5 | 1.8137085 | 1.0E-5 | 4.664421E-5 | 5.2667205E-5 | 6.266668E-5 | 1.1898614 | 1.0E-5 | 5.677453E-4 | 6.4103556E-4 | 6.510292E-4 | 1.0155897 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00566297 | 0.006391993 | 0.0064019286 | 1.0015545 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 9.393088E-6 | 1.060702E-5 | 2.0606914E-5 | 1.9427619 | 1.0E-5 | 4.025547E-5 | 4.545787E-5 | 5.5457414E-5 | 1.2199739 | 1.0E-5 | 4.900001E-4 | 5.533098E-4 | 5.6330423E-4 | 1.0180631 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0048892107 | 0.005519418 | 0.0055293627 | 1.0018017 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 8.190791E-6 | 9.258625E-6 | 1.9258532E-5 | 2.0800638 | 1.0E-5 | 3.510292E-5 | 3.9679224E-5 | 4.9678827E-5 | 1.2520111 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2729423E-4 | 4.8298817E-4 | 4.929833E-4 | 1.0206945 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042647356 | 0.004819465 | 0.0048294165 | 1.002065 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.268162E-6 | 7.089716E-6 | 1.7089646E-5 | 2.4104838 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6863276E-5 | 3.0384144E-5 | 4.038384E-5 | 1.3291091 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2701128E-4 | 3.6986457E-4 | 3.7986087E-4 | 1.0270269 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003265305 | 0.003692536 | 0.003702499 | 1.0026982 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.985186E-6 | 5.6426816E-6 | 1.5642625E-5 | 2.772197 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1364907E-5 | 2.4182698E-5 | 3.4182456E-5 | 1.4135088 | 1.0E-5 | 2.600867E-4 | 2.9438498E-4 | 3.0438203E-4 | 1.0339592 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002597825 | 0.0029399914 | 0.002949962 | 1.0033914 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.7489613E-6 | 1.969678E-6 | 1.1969658E-5 | 6.076962 | 1.0E-5 | 7.495527E-6 | 8.4414505E-6 | 1.8441366E-5 | 2.1846206 | 1.0E-5 | 9.125422E-5 | 1.02770035E-4 | 1.1276901E-4 | 1.0972946 | 1.0E-5 | 9.1216754E-4 | 0.0010272472 | 0.0010372369 | 1.0097247 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.6988751E-7 | 1.7533823E-7 | 1.7533823E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2808916E-7 | 7.5144936E-7 | 7.5144936E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.864449E-6 | 9.14886E-6 | 9.14886E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8640954E-5 | 9.1485024E-5 | 9.1485024E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Superstition Mtn)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.4193904E-5 | 9.599558E-5 | 1.15993666E-4 | 1.2083229 | 2.0E-5 | 2.7508775E-4 | 4.1135435E-4 | 4.3134612E-4 | 1.0485998 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0033440501 | 0.0049981694 | 0.005047919 | 1.0099536 | 5.0E-5 | 0.03294174 | 0.048820045 | 0.048886627 | 1.0013639 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.4193904E-5 | 9.599558E-5 | 1.15993666E-4 | 1.2083229 | 2.0E-5 | 2.7508775E-4 | 4.1135435E-4 | 4.3134612E-4 | 1.0485998 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0033440501 | 0.0049981694 | 0.005047919 | 1.0099536 | 5.0E-5 | 0.03294174 | 0.048820045 | 0.048886627 | 1.0013639 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 5.7023593E-5 | 8.3144616E-5 | 1.0314296E-4 | 1.2405248 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4436394E-4 | 3.5629462E-4 | 3.762875E-4 | 1.0561134 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002971072 | 0.0043309047 | 0.0043806885 | 1.0114949 | 5.0E-5 | 0.029316625 | 0.042502448 | 0.042569473 | 1.001577 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 5.6940098E-5 | 8.298998E-5 | 1.0298831E-4 | 1.240973 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4400617E-4 | 3.5563204E-4 | 3.7562495E-4 | 1.0562179 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002966728 | 0.00432287 | 0.004372654 | 1.0115163 | 5.0E-5 | 0.029274331 | 0.04242582 | 0.04249285 | 1.0015799 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 5.4171585E-5 | 7.748391E-5 | 8.748314E-5 | 1.1290491 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3214328E-4 | 3.3204095E-4 | 3.4203762E-4 | 1.0301068 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028226813 | 0.0040367534 | 0.0040765917 | 1.009869 | 4.0E-5 | 0.02787096 | 0.039715026 | 0.039772645 | 1.0014508 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.375144E-5 | 5.6421442E-5 | 6.642088E-5 | 1.1772276 | 1.0E-5 | 1.874927E-4 | 2.417904E-4 | 2.5178798E-4 | 1.0413481 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022803338 | 0.002941 | 0.0029808823 | 1.0135608 | 4.0E-5 | 0.022570757 | 0.029235592 | 0.029293839 | 1.0019923 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.772192E-5 | 2.5488029E-5 | 3.5487774E-5 | 1.392331 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1880282E-4 | 1.0922994E-4 | 1.1922885E-4 | 1.09154 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014454646 | 0.0013290826 | 0.0013590427 | 1.022542 | 3.0E-5 | 0.014360986 | 0.013540891 | 0.013590214 | 1.0036426 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.7124124E-5 | 2.4699055E-5 | 3.469881E-5 | 1.4048638 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1624106E-4 | 1.0584891E-4 | 1.1584785E-4 | 1.0944643 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014143161 | 0.0012879678 | 0.0013179291 | 1.0232625 | 3.0E-5 | 0.014053487 | 0.013134248 | 0.013183591 | 1.0037569 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.5475807E-5 | 2.2164071E-5 | 3.2163847E-5 | 1.4511707 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0917746E-4 | 9.498548E-5 | 1.0498453E-4 | 1.1052692 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001328425 | 0.0011558468 | 0.001185812 | 1.025925 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0132051185 | 0.011821818 | 0.011871227 | 1.0041795 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.1162023E-5 | 1.762564E-5 | 2.7625465E-5 | 1.5673453 | 1.0E-5 | 9.069123E-5 | 7.553629E-5 | 8.553554E-5 | 1.1323767 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011036064 | 9.1927015E-4 | 9.3925174E-4 | 1.0217364 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010981417 | 0.009446762 | 0.009486384 | 1.0041943 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.8754288E-5 | 1.616099E-5 | 2.6160827E-5 | 1.6187639 | 1.0E-5 | 8.037304E-5 | 6.9259564E-5 | 7.925887E-5 | 1.1443744 | 1.0E-5 | 9.781026E-4 | 8.429114E-4 | 8.628945E-4 | 1.0237073 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009738087 | 0.008669995 | 0.008709648 | 1.0045736 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.8678527E-5 | 1.6086136E-5 | 2.6085974E-5 | 1.6216433 | 1.0E-5 | 8.0048376E-5 | 6.8938774E-5 | 7.893809E-5 | 1.1450462 | 1.0E-5 | 9.7415317E-4 | 8.3900883E-4 | 8.5899205E-4 | 1.0238177 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009698939 | 0.008631011 | 0.008670665 | 1.0045944 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.7804578E-5 | 1.5380709E-5 | 2.5380556E-5 | 1.6501551 | 1.0E-5 | 7.6303106E-5 | 6.591567E-5 | 7.591501E-5 | 1.151699 | 1.0E-5 | 9.285943E-4 | 8.022301E-4 | 8.2221406E-4 | 1.0249104 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009247236 | 0.008262424 | 0.0083020935 | 1.0048012 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.6583685E-5 | 1.4529837E-5 | 2.4529692E-5 | 1.688229 | 1.0E-5 | 7.1070994E-5 | 6.226926E-5 | 7.226864E-5 | 1.1605829 | 1.0E-5 | 8.649459E-4 | 7.5786654E-4 | 7.778514E-4 | 1.0263699 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00861587 | 0.007817646 | 0.007857333 | 1.0050766 | 4.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.6387552E-5 | 1.4394727E-5 | 2.4394583E-5 | 1.6946888 | 1.0E-5 | 7.023047E-5 | 6.169024E-5 | 7.1689625E-5 | 1.1620902 | 1.0E-5 | 8.5472054E-4 | 7.508219E-4 | 7.7080686E-4 | 1.0266175 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008514405 | 0.0077470187 | 0.0077867084 | 1.0051233 | 4.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.5790754E-5 | 1.40354305E-5 | 2.4035291E-5 | 1.7124726 | 1.0E-5 | 6.767291E-5 | 6.015047E-5 | 7.0149865E-5 | 1.1662397 | 1.0E-5 | 8.236062E-4 | 7.320879E-4 | 7.5207325E-4 | 1.0272992 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008205604 | 0.007557581 | 0.007597279 | 1.0052527 | 4.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.4248672E-5 | 1.3054444E-5 | 2.3054314E-5 | 1.7660127 | 1.0E-5 | 6.106431E-5 | 5.5946428E-5 | 6.594587E-5 | 1.1787324 | 1.0E-5 | 7.432043E-4 | 6.809366E-4 | 7.00923E-4 | 1.0293514 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007407237 | 0.007040175 | 0.0070798937 | 1.0056417 | 4.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.15449975E-5 | 1.0903222E-5 | 2.0903113E-5 | 1.9171501 | 1.0E-5 | 4.947762E-5 | 4.672726E-5 | 5.6726793E-5 | 1.2139978 | 1.0E-5 | 6.022235E-4 | 5.6875666E-4 | 5.887453E-4 | 1.0351444 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006005941 | 0.0059102564 | 0.0059400788 | 1.0050459 | 3.0E-5 |
7.8 | 9.1391985E-6 | 9.5139185E-6 | 1.9513824E-5 | 2.0510817 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9167408E-5 | 4.0773306E-5 | 5.07729E-5 | 1.2452486 | 1.0E-5 | 4.767588E-4 | 4.963025E-4 | 5.162926E-4 | 1.040278 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0047573727 | 0.005176809 | 0.005206654 | 1.0057651 | 3.0E-5 |
7.9 | 6.973017E-6 | 7.3817937E-6 | 1.738172E-5 | 2.3546743 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9884017E-5 | 3.163588E-5 | 4.163556E-5 | 1.3160868 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6377716E-4 | 3.8509927E-4 | 3.950954E-4 | 1.0259573 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036318225 | 0.004051976 | 0.004071895 | 1.0049158 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 5.7638235E-6 | 6.259641E-6 | 6.259641E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4701867E-5 | 2.682676E-5 | 2.682676E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0070372E-4 | 3.2656736E-4 | 3.2656736E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030029714 | 0.0034535413 | 0.0034635067 | 1.0028856 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 5.1124434E-6 | 5.4953657E-6 | 5.4953657E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1910288E-5 | 2.3551356E-5 | 2.3551356E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6672508E-4 | 2.8670052E-4 | 2.8670052E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026640517 | 0.0030403896 | 0.0030503592 | 1.0032791 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 1.1075938E-6 | 5.3348367E-7 | 5.3348367E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7468216E-6 | 2.2863567E-6 | 2.2863567E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.779102E-5 | 2.7836059E-5 | 2.7836059E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.777599E-4 | 3.133962E-4 | 3.133962E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.3584393E-8 | 4.4718784E-9 | 4.4718784E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8218827E-8 | 1.9165192E-8 | 1.9165192E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0881396E-7 | 2.3333622E-7 | 2.3333622E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0881174E-6 | 2.6140672E-6 | 2.6140672E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Red Mountain
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7590016E-5 | 5.758954E-5 | 1.210118 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.039422E-4 | 2.1394016E-4 | 1.0490235 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024803334 | 0.002510259 | 1.0120652 | 3.0E-5 | 0.021580452 | 0.02454411 | 0.024602639 | 1.0023845 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7590016E-5 | 5.758954E-5 | 1.210118 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.039422E-4 | 2.1394016E-4 | 1.0490235 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024803334 | 0.002510259 | 1.0120652 | 3.0E-5 | 0.021580452 | 0.02454411 | 0.024602639 | 1.0023845 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7590016E-5 | 5.758954E-5 | 1.210118 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.039422E-4 | 2.1394016E-4 | 1.0490235 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024803334 | 0.002510259 | 1.0120652 | 3.0E-5 | 0.021580452 | 0.02454411 | 0.024602639 | 1.0023845 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7590016E-5 | 5.758954E-5 | 1.210118 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.039422E-4 | 2.1394016E-4 | 1.0490235 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024803334 | 0.002510259 | 1.0120652 | 3.0E-5 | 0.021580452 | 0.02454411 | 0.024602639 | 1.0023845 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7590016E-5 | 5.758954E-5 | 1.210118 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.039422E-4 | 2.1394016E-4 | 1.0490235 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024803334 | 0.002510259 | 1.0120652 | 3.0E-5 | 0.021580452 | 0.02454411 | 0.024602639 | 1.0023845 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.154503E-5 | 3.5359757E-5 | 4.5359404E-5 | 1.2827973 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3518598E-4 | 1.5153353E-4 | 1.6153202E-4 | 1.065982 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016446467 | 0.0018434518 | 0.0018733965 | 1.0162438 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01632528 | 0.018291244 | 0.018350147 | 1.0032202 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.1535834E-5 | 3.5349138E-5 | 4.5348785E-5 | 1.2828823 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3514658E-4 | 1.5148803E-4 | 1.6148652E-4 | 1.0660018 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016441676 | 0.0018428987 | 0.0018728434 | 1.0162487 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01632056 | 0.018285805 | 0.018344708 | 1.0032213 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.8267326E-5 | 3.1469353E-5 | 4.146904E-5 | 1.3177595 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2114006E-4 | 1.3486217E-4 | 1.4486082E-4 | 1.0741398 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014738824 | 0.0016407954 | 0.0016707461 | 1.0182538 | 3.0E-5 | 0.014641452 | 0.01629557 | 0.016354594 | 1.0036219 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.8212884E-5 | 3.1407242E-5 | 4.1406925E-5 | 1.3183879 | 1.0E-5 | 1.20906756E-4 | 1.3459599E-4 | 1.4459465E-4 | 1.0742865 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014710457 | 0.0016375595 | 0.0016675104 | 1.0182899 | 3.0E-5 | 0.014613459 | 0.016263688 | 0.016322711 | 1.0036292 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.4227871E-5 | 2.6706994E-5 | 3.6706726E-5 | 1.3744237 | 1.0E-5 | 1.03829596E-4 | 1.1445395E-4 | 1.2445281E-4 | 1.0873613 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012633923 | 0.0013926621 | 0.0014126342 | 1.014341 | 2.0E-5 | 0.012562336 | 0.0138470335 | 0.013896341 | 1.0035609 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.348524E-5 | 2.5835778E-5 | 3.583552E-5 | 1.3870502 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0064714E-4 | 1.10720495E-4 | 1.20719385E-4 | 1.0903075 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012246901 | 0.001347264 | 0.0013672371 | 1.0148249 | 2.0E-5 | 0.012179627 | 0.013398598 | 0.013447927 | 1.0036818 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.2311642E-5 | 2.4462845E-5 | 2.4462845E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.561782E-5 | 1.04836974E-4 | 1.04836974E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011635252 | 0.0012757176 | 0.0012857048 | 1.0078287 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01157452 | 0.01269146 | 0.012730951 | 1.0031117 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.6533986E-5 | 1.7670362E-5 | 1.7670362E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.085802E-5 | 7.572828E-5 | 7.572828E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.623549E-4 | 9.2166534E-4 | 9.316561E-4 | 1.0108399 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008590161 | 0.009184707 | 0.009214431 | 1.0032363 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.4703092E-5 | 1.5559537E-5 | 1.5559537E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.301173E-5 | 6.668237E-5 | 6.668237E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.668978E-4 | 8.1161706E-4 | 8.2160893E-4 | 1.0123111 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0076425658 | 0.008092604 | 0.008122361 | 1.0036771 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.1331984E-6 | 5.5288874E-6 | 5.5288874E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6284872E-5 | 2.3695018E-5 | 2.3695018E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.199713E-4 | 2.884492E-4 | 2.884492E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031951098 | 0.0028808024 | 0.0028907736 | 1.0034612 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.954766E-6 | 5.338517E-6 | 5.338517E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5520176E-5 | 2.2879161E-5 | 2.2879161E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1066386E-4 | 2.785187E-4 | 2.785187E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003102299 | 0.0027817504 | 0.0027917225 | 1.0035849 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 4.9726646E-6 | 4.315309E-6 | 4.315309E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1311245E-5 | 1.8494053E-5 | 1.8494053E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5943352E-4 | 2.2514217E-4 | 2.2514217E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025913084 | 0.0022491754 | 0.002259153 | 1.004436 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 3.3613894E-6 | 2.8526886E-6 | 2.8526886E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4405875E-5 | 1.22257525E-5 | 1.22257525E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7537741E-4 | 1.4883863E-4 | 1.4883863E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017523908 | 0.0014874157 | 0.0014974009 | 1.006713 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.1828961E-6 | 1.0122935E-6 | 1.0122935E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.069545E-6 | 4.338394E-6 | 4.338394E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.171996E-5 | 5.281869E-5 | 5.281869E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.170282E-4 | 5.280643E-4 | 5.3805904E-4 | 1.0189271 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.2967266E-7 | 1.861919E-7 | 1.861919E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.843111E-7 | 7.97965E-7 | 7.97965E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.19839215E-5 | 9.715184E-6 | 9.715184E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1983275E-4 | 9.714788E-5 | 9.714788E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Dry Mountain
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.439381E-6 | 2.6439253E-5 | 4.1058683 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.7597147E-5 | 4.7596594E-5 | 1.7246926 | 2.0E-5 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.3595937E-4 | 3.8594258E-4 | 1.1487775 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0032417132 | 0.0033560768 | 0.003425842 | 1.0207877 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.439381E-6 | 2.6439253E-5 | 4.1058683 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.7597147E-5 | 4.7596594E-5 | 1.7246926 | 2.0E-5 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.3595937E-4 | 3.8594258E-4 | 1.1487775 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0032417132 | 0.0033560768 | 0.003425842 | 1.0207877 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.439381E-6 | 2.6439253E-5 | 4.1058683 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.7597147E-5 | 4.7596594E-5 | 1.7246926 | 2.0E-5 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.3595937E-4 | 3.8594258E-4 | 1.1487775 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0032417132 | 0.0033560768 | 0.003425842 | 1.0207877 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.439381E-6 | 2.6439253E-5 | 4.1058683 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.7597147E-5 | 4.7596594E-5 | 1.7246926 | 2.0E-5 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.3595937E-4 | 3.8594258E-4 | 1.1487775 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0032417132 | 0.0033560768 | 0.003425842 | 1.0207877 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.439381E-6 | 2.6439253E-5 | 4.1058683 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.7597147E-5 | 4.7596594E-5 | 1.7246926 | 2.0E-5 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.3595937E-4 | 3.8594258E-4 | 1.1487775 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0032417132 | 0.0033560768 | 0.003425842 | 1.0207877 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.8528623E-6 | 2.9521684E-6 | 1.2952139E-5 | 4.3873305 | 1.0E-5 | 1.22264955E-5 | 1.2652138E-5 | 2.2652011E-5 | 1.7903702 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4884741E-4 | 1.540376E-4 | 1.8403298E-4 | 1.1947277 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0014874774 | 0.0015401616 | 0.0015801 | 1.0259314 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.8528623E-6 | 2.9521684E-6 | 1.2952139E-5 | 4.3873305 | 1.0E-5 | 1.22264955E-5 | 1.2652138E-5 | 2.2652011E-5 | 1.7903702 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4884741E-4 | 1.540376E-4 | 1.8403298E-4 | 1.1947277 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0014874774 | 0.0015401616 | 0.0015801 | 1.0259314 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.541E-6 | 2.6293578E-6 | 1.2629332E-5 | 4.8032 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0889954E-5 | 1.1268677E-5 | 2.1268565E-5 | 1.8874056 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3257713E-4 | 1.3719614E-4 | 1.6719202E-4 | 1.2186351 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0013249806 | 0.0013719613 | 0.0014119064 | 1.0291153 | 4.0E-5 |
San Juan
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.682808E-6 | 8.74917E-6 | 8.74917E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.72115E-5 | 3.749593E-5 | 3.749593E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5295584E-4 | 4.5642213E-4 | 4.76413E-4 | 1.043799 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004520337 | 0.004555389 | 0.00462507 | 1.0152965 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 8.682808E-6 | 8.74917E-6 | 8.74917E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.72115E-5 | 3.749593E-5 | 3.749593E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5295584E-4 | 4.5642213E-4 | 4.76413E-4 | 1.043799 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004520337 | 0.004555389 | 0.00462507 | 1.0152965 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 8.682808E-6 | 8.74917E-6 | 8.74917E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.72115E-5 | 3.749593E-5 | 3.749593E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5295584E-4 | 4.5642213E-4 | 4.76413E-4 | 1.043799 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004520337 | 0.004555389 | 0.00462507 | 1.0152965 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.3054235E-6 | 6.282591E-6 | 6.282591E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7022963E-5 | 2.692512E-5 | 2.692512E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2895492E-4 | 3.2776545E-4 | 3.4775888E-4 | 1.0609993 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003284684 | 0.0032730205 | 0.0033427915 | 1.021317 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.1490473E-6 | 6.1144706E-6 | 6.1144706E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6352795E-5 | 2.6204618E-5 | 2.6204618E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2079802E-4 | 3.189959E-4 | 3.389895E-4 | 1.0626768 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0032033534 | 0.0031855768 | 0.0032553538 | 1.021904 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.204848E-6 | 5.137238E-6 | 5.137238E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.23063E-5 | 2.2016555E-5 | 2.2016555E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7154534E-4 | 2.6801953E-4 | 2.7801684E-4 | 1.0373007 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0027121378 | 0.0026771172 | 0.0027269835 | 1.0186268 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.5179986E-6 | 4.415036E-6 | 4.415036E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9362706E-5 | 1.892145E-5 | 1.892145E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3571544E-4 | 2.303451E-4 | 2.403428E-4 | 1.0434031 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023546559 | 0.0023012008 | 0.0023411089 | 1.0173422 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.9442616E-6 | 3.8198336E-6 | 3.8198336E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6903869E-5 | 1.6370615E-5 | 1.6370615E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0578515E-4 | 1.9929469E-4 | 1.9929469E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002055947 | 0.001991285 | 0.0020212252 | 1.0150356 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.4536245E-6 | 3.3163408E-6 | 3.3163408E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4801163E-5 | 1.4212815E-5 | 1.4212815E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8018926E-4 | 1.7302789E-4 | 1.7302789E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018004322 | 0.001729051 | 0.0017589991 | 1.0173205 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.059865E-6 | 2.9120363E-6 | 2.9120363E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3113641E-5 | 1.2480099E-5 | 1.2480099E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.596469E-4 | 1.5193518E-4 | 1.5193518E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015953224 | 0.0015184281 | 0.0015483826 | 1.0197272 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.6504351E-6 | 2.492005E-6 | 2.492005E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1358958E-5 | 1.0679981E-5 | 1.0679981E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3828653E-4 | 1.3002155E-4 | 1.3002155E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013820052 | 0.001299567 | 0.001329528 | 1.0230546 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.2039317E-6 | 2.0338366E-6 | 2.0338366E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.445387E-6 | 8.716416E-6 | 8.716416E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1499152E-4 | 1.0611773E-4 | 1.0611773E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011493203 | 0.0010607811 | 0.0010907492 | 1.028251 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.0786707E-6 | 8.770239E-7 | 8.770239E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.622866E-6 | 3.7586685E-6 | 3.7586685E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.628194E-5 | 4.576084E-5 | 4.576084E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6267687E-4 | 4.5757365E-4 | 4.5757365E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 6.846433E-7 | 4.868812E-7 | 4.868812E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9341822E-6 | 2.086632E-6 | 2.086632E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5723086E-5 | 2.5404452E-5 | 2.5404452E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.571734E-4 | 2.5405022E-4 | 2.5405022E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.23043E-7 | 3.2627884E-7 | 3.2627884E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2416111E-6 | 1.3983371E-6 | 1.3983371E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7291273E-5 | 1.7024622E-5 | 1.7024622E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7287923E-4 | 1.7026608E-4 | 1.7026608E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.648444E-7 | 2.723464E-7 | 2.723464E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9921886E-6 | 1.1671983E-6 | 1.1671983E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4254627E-5 | 1.4210547E-5 | 1.4210547E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.425198E-4 | 1.4212691E-4 | 1.4212691E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.9906567E-7 | 2.2083036E-7 | 2.2083036E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7102802E-6 | 9.4641547E-7 | 9.4641547E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0822463E-5 | 1.1522548E-5 | 1.1522548E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0820512E-4 | 1.15244526E-4 | 1.15244526E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.8784601E-7 | 5.366277E-8 | 5.366277E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0505407E-7 | 2.2998329E-7 | 2.2998329E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.80149E-6 | 2.800043E-6 | 2.800043E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.801057E-5 | 2.8008939E-5 | 2.8008939E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.00154914E-7 | 1.2412917E-8 | 1.2412917E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2923529E-7 | 5.3198217E-8 | 5.3198217E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.225927E-6 | 6.476881E-7 | 6.476881E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.225804E-5 | 6.4827886E-6 | 6.4827886E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.171429E-8 | 4.2946513E-9 | 4.2946513E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6448978E-7 | 1.8405647E-8 | 1.8405647E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2201583E-6 | 2.2408874E-7 | 2.2408874E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2201115E-5 | 2.2462114E-6 | 2.2462114E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.3974572E-8 | 3.3737857E-10 | 3.3737857E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.989102E-8 | 1.4459075E-9 | 1.4459075E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2917294E-7 | 1.760392E-8 | 1.760392E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2917055E-6 | 1.8038004E-7 | 1.8038004E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.8403477E-9 | 1.1291601E-10 | 1.1291601E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.887204E-9 | 4.839261E-10 | 4.839261E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.602671E-8 | 5.8917977E-9 | 5.8917977E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.602667E-7 | 6.0206084E-8 | 6.0206084E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hayward (So) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.8091932E-4 | 3.570673E-4 | 3.570673E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.751381E-4 | 0.0015294008 | 0.0015393855 | 1.0065285 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00939654 | 0.018463885 | 0.018503146 | 1.0021263 | 4.0E-5 | 0.090090066 | 0.1667085 | 0.1667585 | 1.0002999 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.8091932E-4 | 3.570673E-4 | 3.570673E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.751381E-4 | 0.0015294008 | 0.0015393855 | 1.0065285 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00939654 | 0.018463885 | 0.018503146 | 1.0021263 | 4.0E-5 | 0.090090066 | 0.1667085 | 0.1667585 | 1.0002999 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.8091932E-4 | 3.570673E-4 | 3.570673E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.751381E-4 | 0.0015294008 | 0.0015393855 | 1.0065285 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00939654 | 0.018463885 | 0.018503146 | 1.0021263 | 4.0E-5 | 0.090090066 | 0.1667085 | 0.1667585 | 1.0002999 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.7322872E-4 | 3.4263515E-4 | 3.4263515E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4219756E-4 | 0.0014676197 | 0.001477605 | 1.0068038 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0089988755 | 0.017724147 | 0.01776344 | 1.0022168 | 4.0E-5 | 0.08643075 | 0.16065954 | 0.1607099 | 1.0003134 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6334097E-4 | 3.2345165E-4 | 3.2345165E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.998449E-4 | 0.0013854936 | 0.0013954798 | 1.0072076 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008487372 | 0.016739927 | 0.016779257 | 1.0023495 | 4.0E-5 | 0.081704415 | 0.15256606 | 0.1526169 | 1.0003333 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5600289E-4 | 3.101982E-4 | 3.101982E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.684125E-4 | 0.0013287518 | 0.0013387385 | 1.0075159 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008107598 | 0.016059443 | 0.016098801 | 1.0024507 | 4.0E-5 | 0.078181036 | 0.14684291 | 0.1468941 | 1.0003486 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.4046066E-4 | 2.8034003E-4 | 2.8034003E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.018354E-4 | 0.0012009109 | 0.0012108989 | 1.008317 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0073027555 | 0.014524571 | 0.01456399 | 1.0027139 | 4.0E-5 | 0.07067384 | 0.13393044 | 0.13398242 | 1.000388 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.14696966E-4 | 2.3272466E-4 | 2.3272466E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.914658E-4 | 9.970153E-4 | 0.0010070052 | 1.0100199 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0059671924 | 0.012072163 | 0.012111681 | 1.0032734 | 4.0E-5 | 0.058094822 | 0.11274141 | 0.112794645 | 1.0004722 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 9.3874296E-5 | 1.8862431E-4 | 1.8862431E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0225635E-4 | 8.081431E-4 | 8.1813504E-4 | 1.012364 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0048864787 | 0.009795489 | 0.009825195 | 1.0030327 | 3.0E-5 | 0.047804173 | 0.092592984 | 0.09262928 | 1.000392 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.551852E-5 | 1.0729875E-4 | 1.0729875E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3791482E-4 | 4.5977137E-4 | 4.6976676E-4 | 1.02174 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028927654 | 0.005583468 | 0.0055934116 | 1.001781 | 1.0E-5 | 0.028553981 | 0.054246075 | 0.05425553 | 1.0001744 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.2662363E-5 | 8.246792E-5 | 8.246792E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8282588E-4 | 3.5338648E-4 | 3.6338295E-4 | 1.0282876 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022236328 | 0.0042940658 | 0.004304023 | 1.0023187 | 1.0E-5 | 0.022015138 | 0.04206509 | 0.04207467 | 1.0002277 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.305886E-5 | 6.302183E-5 | 6.302183E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4167312E-4 | 2.7006568E-4 | 2.7006568E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017235056 | 0.003283111 | 0.003283111 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017101998 | 0.032453902 | 0.032453902 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.9856887E-5 | 5.701622E-5 | 5.701622E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2795182E-4 | 2.4433242E-4 | 2.4433242E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015567001 | 0.0029707062 | 0.0029707062 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015458403 | 0.029454801 | 0.029454801 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.4559737E-5 | 4.599286E-5 | 4.599286E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0525176E-4 | 1.9709744E-4 | 1.9709744E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012806869 | 0.0023970334 | 0.0023970334 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012733313 | 0.023858516 | 0.023858516 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.9002231E-5 | 3.505084E-5 | 3.505084E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.143559E-5 | 1.502093E-4 | 1.502093E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.910273E-4 | 0.001827274 | 0.001827274 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009866194 | 0.018258808 | 0.018258808 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.2783333E-5 | 2.3331182E-5 | 2.3331182E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4784563E-5 | 9.998698E-5 | 9.998698E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.667979E-4 | 0.0012166675 | 0.0012166675 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006648007 | 0.012209443 | 0.012209443 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.8149627E-6 | 8.888056E-6 | 8.888056E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.063539E-5 | 3.8091122E-5 | 3.8091122E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5120692E-4 | 4.6366194E-4 | 4.6366194E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025092314 | 0.0046805087 | 0.0046805087 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.0838227E-7 | 1.205754E-6 | 1.205754E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6073499E-6 | 5.1675065E-6 | 5.1675065E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.174402E-5 | 6.291258E-5 | 6.291258E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1739488E-4 | 6.5296254E-4 | 6.5296254E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.5542808E-7 | 9.792941E-7 | 9.792941E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9518332E-6 | 4.196968E-6 | 4.196968E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.376331E-5 | 5.109689E-5 | 5.109689E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3760769E-4 | 5.321693E-4 | 5.321693E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 3.3016747E-7 | 7.3869535E-7 | 7.3869535E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4150027E-6 | 3.1658333E-6 | 3.1658333E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7227521E-5 | 3.854334E-5 | 3.854334E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7226185E-4 | 3.9932923E-4 | 3.9932923E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 2.347038E-7 | 5.471963E-7 | 5.471963E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0058731E-6 | 2.3451248E-6 | 2.3451248E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2246436E-5 | 2.8551523E-5 | 2.8551523E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2245761E-4 | 2.9357258E-4 | 2.9357258E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.18822804E-7 | 2.6060948E-7 | 2.6060948E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.092405E-7 | 1.1168972E-6 | 1.1168972E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1999854E-6 | 1.359814E-5 | 1.359814E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.199812E-5 | 1.3918082E-4 | 1.3918082E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Rinconada 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5752368E-5 | 1.6274716E-5 | 4.627423E-5 | 2.8433201 | 3.0E-5 | 6.75084E-5 | 6.974694E-5 | 1.1974345E-4 | 1.7168274 | 5.0E-5 | 8.2160486E-4 | 8.488413E-4 | 8.987988E-4 | 1.0588539 | 5.0E-5 | 0.008185739 | 0.00845637 | 0.008515863 | 1.0070353 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.0966133E-5 | 1.1323029E-5 | 2.1322916E-5 | 1.8831459 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6996865E-5 | 4.852637E-5 | 6.85254E-5 | 1.412127 | 2.0E-5 | 5.720366E-4 | 5.9064914E-4 | 6.106373E-4 | 1.033841 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0057056635 | 0.005890889 | 0.0059207124 | 1.0050626 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.0966133E-5 | 1.1323029E-5 | 2.1322916E-5 | 1.8831459 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6996865E-5 | 4.852637E-5 | 6.85254E-5 | 1.412127 | 2.0E-5 | 5.720366E-4 | 5.9064914E-4 | 6.106373E-4 | 1.033841 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0057056635 | 0.005890889 | 0.0059207124 | 1.0050626 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 8.926149E-6 | 9.212772E-6 | 1.9212679E-5 | 2.0854397 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8254362E-5 | 3.948271E-5 | 4.9482318E-5 | 1.2532654 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6564735E-4 | 4.8059633E-4 | 4.905915E-4 | 1.0207975 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0046467283 | 0.0047956146 | 0.004815519 | 1.0041505 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.676955E-6 | 7.920191E-6 | 1.7920112E-5 | 2.2625859 | 1.0E-5 | 3.290082E-5 | 3.3943234E-5 | 4.3942895E-5 | 1.2945995 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0049385E-4 | 4.131807E-4 | 4.2317656E-4 | 1.0241925 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0039977287 | 0.004124151 | 0.004144069 | 1.0048295 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.1671026E-6 | 6.358955E-6 | 6.358955E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6430173E-5 | 2.725238E-5 | 2.725238E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2173982E-4 | 3.317473E-4 | 3.317473E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003212744 | 0.0033125326 | 0.0033224996 | 1.0030088 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.553456E-6 | 5.7248126E-6 | 5.7248126E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3800309E-5 | 2.4534682E-5 | 2.4534682E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.897302E-4 | 2.9866886E-4 | 2.9866886E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028935277 | 0.0029826832 | 0.0029926535 | 1.0033426 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.787857E-6 | 4.93331E-6 | 4.93331E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0519226E-5 | 2.1142585E-5 | 2.1142585E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4979294E-4 | 2.573806E-4 | 2.573806E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024951235 | 0.002570831 | 0.0025808052 | 1.0038798 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.9955166E-6 | 4.1134763E-6 | 4.1134763E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7123532E-5 | 1.7629065E-5 | 1.7629065E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0845905E-4 | 2.1461275E-4 | 2.1461275E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002082636 | 0.0021440587 | 0.0021440587 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 3.4250072E-6 | 3.5224466E-6 | 3.5224466E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.46785205E-5 | 1.5096112E-5 | 1.5096112E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7869633E-4 | 1.8377969E-4 | 1.8377969E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001785527 | 0.0018362795 | 0.0018362795 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.7712713E-6 | 2.8467002E-6 | 2.8467002E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1876823E-5 | 1.22000865E-5 | 1.22000865E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4459073E-4 | 1.4852594E-4 | 1.4852594E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014449668 | 0.0014842683 | 0.0014842683 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.227358E-6 | 2.2856987E-6 | 2.2856987E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.545785E-6 | 9.795815E-6 | 9.795815E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.16213734E-4 | 1.1925753E-4 | 1.1925753E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011615298 | 0.0011919363 | 0.0011919363 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.581796E-6 | 1.6209015E-6 | 1.6209015E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.779108E-6 | 6.946702E-6 | 6.946702E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.253252E-5 | 8.4572814E-5 | 8.4572814E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.250187E-4 | 8.4540684E-4 | 8.4540684E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.0306567E-6 | 1.054648E-6 | 1.054648E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4170924E-6 | 4.519912E-6 | 4.519912E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3776774E-5 | 5.502854E-5 | 5.502854E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.376376E-4 | 5.501494E-4 | 5.501494E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 6.535541E-7 | 6.682744E-7 | 6.682744E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.800943E-6 | 2.8640302E-6 | 2.8640302E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4100947E-5 | 3.4869012E-5 | 3.4869012E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4095717E-4 | 3.486355E-4 | 3.486355E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 3.2656962E-7 | 3.3316712E-7 | 3.3316712E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3995833E-6 | 1.4278584E-6 | 1.4278584E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7039794E-5 | 1.7384036E-5 | 1.7384036E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7038487E-4 | 1.738268E-4 | 1.738268E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 9.754343E-8 | 9.821017E-8 | 9.821017E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.180432E-7 | 4.2090065E-7 | 4.2090065E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.089664E-6 | 5.1244533E-6 | 5.1244533E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0895473E-5 | 5.124336E-5 | 5.124336E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.0001453E-9 | 5.8491207E-9 | 5.8491207E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5714908E-8 | 2.506766E-8 | 2.506766E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1307894E-7 | 3.051987E-7 | 3.051987E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1307852E-6 | 3.0519832E-6 | 3.0519832E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 7.400003E-11 | 7.4654505E-11 | 7.4654505E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.171432E-10 | 3.1994773E-10 | 3.1994773E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.861218E-9 | 3.895363E-9 | 3.895363E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.861218E-8 | 3.895363E-8 | 3.895363E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Monterey Bay-Tularcitos
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0131365E-5 | 3.279877E-5 | 5.2798114E-5 | 1.609759 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2912804E-4 | 1.4055918E-4 | 1.6055637E-4 | 1.1422688 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001571 | 0.0017100703 | 0.0017599848 | 1.0291885 | 5.0E-5 | 0.015599402 | 0.016979916 | 0.017038899 | 1.0034736 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.0131365E-5 | 3.279877E-5 | 5.2798114E-5 | 1.609759 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2912804E-4 | 1.4055918E-4 | 1.6055637E-4 | 1.1422688 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001571 | 0.0017100703 | 0.0017599848 | 1.0291885 | 5.0E-5 | 0.015599402 | 0.016979916 | 0.017038899 | 1.0034736 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.0131365E-5 | 3.279877E-5 | 5.2798114E-5 | 1.609759 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2912804E-4 | 1.4055918E-4 | 1.6055637E-4 | 1.1422688 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001571 | 0.0017100703 | 0.0017599848 | 1.0291885 | 5.0E-5 | 0.015599402 | 0.016979916 | 0.017038899 | 1.0034736 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.6998249E-5 | 1.8330798E-5 | 3.8330432E-5 | 2.09104 | 2.0E-5 | 7.28476E-5 | 7.85583E-5 | 9.855673E-5 | 1.254568 | 2.0E-5 | 8.865586E-4 | 9.5604634E-4 | 9.760272E-4 | 1.0208995 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0088303005 | 0.009521258 | 0.009541067 | 1.0020806 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6998249E-5 | 1.8330798E-5 | 3.8330432E-5 | 2.09104 | 2.0E-5 | 7.28476E-5 | 7.85583E-5 | 9.855673E-5 | 1.254568 | 2.0E-5 | 8.865586E-4 | 9.5604634E-4 | 9.760272E-4 | 1.0208995 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0088303005 | 0.009521258 | 0.009541067 | 1.0020806 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.27470785E-5 | 1.3693312E-5 | 2.3693176E-5 | 1.7302735 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4629192E-5 | 5.8684363E-5 | 6.8683774E-5 | 1.1703931 | 1.0E-5 | 6.649074E-4 | 7.1425823E-4 | 7.242511E-4 | 1.0139905 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0066292146 | 0.007120678 | 0.007130607 | 1.0013944 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.2739422E-5 | 1.36854E-5 | 2.3685263E-5 | 1.7306957 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4596385E-5 | 5.8650454E-5 | 6.864987E-5 | 1.1704917 | 1.0E-5 | 6.645082E-4 | 7.1384566E-4 | 7.238385E-4 | 1.0139986 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0066252467 | 0.007116579 | 0.007126508 | 1.0013952 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.0160109E-5 | 1.0885755E-5 | 2.0885645E-5 | 1.9186218 | 1.0E-5 | 4.35426E-5 | 4.665244E-5 | 5.6651974E-5 | 1.214341 | 1.0E-5 | 5.300022E-4 | 5.6785246E-4 | 5.778468E-4 | 1.0176002 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005287399 | 0.0056647263 | 0.0056746695 | 1.0017554 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.349859E-6 | 8.932587E-6 | 1.8932498E-5 | 2.1194866 | 1.0E-5 | 3.578462E-5 | 3.8281985E-5 | 4.8281603E-5 | 1.2612095 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3559066E-4 | 4.6598914E-4 | 4.759845E-4 | 1.0214497 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004347378 | 0.004650685 | 0.0046606385 | 1.0021402 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.193639E-6 | 5.53643E-6 | 5.53643E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2258262E-5 | 2.372736E-5 | 2.372736E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7096065E-4 | 2.8884556E-4 | 2.8884556E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027063051 | 0.0028850224 | 0.0028850224 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 4.359381E-6 | 4.643366E-6 | 4.643366E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8682927E-5 | 1.9900004E-5 | 1.9900004E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.274409E-4 | 2.422586E-4 | 2.422586E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022720827 | 0.002420238 | 0.002420238 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 3.0398533E-6 | 3.2310427E-6 | 3.2310427E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3027877E-5 | 1.3847267E-5 | 1.3847267E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5860285E-4 | 1.6858005E-4 | 1.6858005E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001584897 | 0.0016847793 | 0.0016847793 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.642335E-6 | 1.7333153E-6 | 1.7333153E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0385595E-6 | 7.428485E-6 | 7.428485E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.569109E-5 | 9.044012E-5 | 9.044012E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5658056E-4 | 9.042358E-4 | 9.042358E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.356842E-7 | 3.2952389E-7 | 3.2952389E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4386458E-6 | 1.4122445E-6 | 1.4122445E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7515373E-5 | 1.7193941E-5 | 1.7193941E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7513991E-4 | 1.719262E-4 | 1.719262E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.1973483E-7 | 2.1006414E-7 | 2.1006414E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.417204E-7 | 9.002746E-7 | 9.002746E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1465385E-5 | 1.0960788E-5 | 1.0960788E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1464794E-4 | 1.0960251E-4 | 1.0960251E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.1944135E-7 | 1.0696035E-7 | 1.0696035E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.118914E-7 | 4.5840142E-7 | 4.5840142E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.23226E-6 | 5.581023E-6 | 5.581023E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2320854E-5 | 5.5808843E-5 | 5.5808843E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.636058E-8 | 3.3364433E-8 | 3.3364433E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9868818E-7 | 1.4299042E-7 | 1.4299042E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.419026E-6 | 1.740907E-6 | 1.740907E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4189996E-5 | 1.7408936E-5 | 1.7408936E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.8588572E-8 | 8.003168E-9 | 8.003168E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9665305E-8 | 3.429929E-8 | 3.429929E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.699246E-7 | 4.1759378E-7 | 4.1759378E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.699204E-6 | 4.1759304E-6 | 4.1759304E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.7960154E-9 | 7.608624E-10 | 7.608624E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1982923E-8 | 3.2608392E-9 | 3.2608392E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4589209E-7 | 3.9700716E-8 | 3.9700716E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4589199E-6 | 3.970071E-7 | 3.970071E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Sheephole
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5579695E-6 | 4.7412627E-6 | 2.4741168E-5 | 5.2182655 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9534009E-5 | 2.031957E-5 | 5.031896E-5 | 2.4763792 | 3.0E-5 | 2.3780059E-4 | 2.473682E-4 | 3.073534E-4 | 1.2424934 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0023754628 | 0.002471473 | 0.0025313247 | 1.024217 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.5579695E-6 | 4.7412627E-6 | 2.4741168E-5 | 5.2182655 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9534009E-5 | 2.031957E-5 | 5.031896E-5 | 2.4763792 | 3.0E-5 | 2.3780059E-4 | 2.473682E-4 | 3.073534E-4 | 1.2424934 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0023754628 | 0.002471473 | 0.0025313247 | 1.024217 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.6677674E-6 | 2.7873941E-6 | 2.2787339E-5 | 8.17514 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1433239E-5 | 1.1945926E-5 | 4.194557E-5 | 3.5112863 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3919079E-4 | 1.4543302E-4 | 1.9542576E-4 | 1.3437508 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0013910364 | 0.0014534844 | 0.0015034117 | 1.03435 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.6677674E-6 | 2.7873941E-6 | 2.2787339E-5 | 8.17514 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1433239E-5 | 1.1945926E-5 | 4.194557E-5 | 3.5112863 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3919079E-4 | 1.4543302E-4 | 1.9542576E-4 | 1.3437508 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0013910364 | 0.0014534844 | 0.0015034117 | 1.03435 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.2159759E-6 | 2.3228788E-6 | 2.2322833E-5 | 9.609986 | 2.0E-5 | 9.497005E-6 | 9.955161E-6 | 3.9954863E-5 | 4.013482 | 3.0E-5 | 1.156199E-4 | 1.2119815E-4 | 1.7119209E-4 | 1.4124975 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0011555976 | 0.0012113999 | 0.0012613393 | 1.0412246 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.1986082E-6 | 2.304759E-6 | 2.2304714E-5 | 9.677677 | 2.0E-5 | 9.4225725E-6 | 9.877506E-6 | 3.987721E-5 | 4.0371737 | 3.0E-5 | 1.1471378E-4 | 1.2025281E-4 | 1.702468E-4 | 1.4157407 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0011465458 | 0.0012019566 | 0.0012518966 | 1.0415488 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.5232331E-6 | 1.6018919E-6 | 1.6018919E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5281256E-6 | 6.865234E-6 | 1.6865166E-5 | 2.4566047 | 1.0E-5 | 7.947703E-5 | 8.35812E-5 | 1.13578695E-4 | 1.3589023 | 3.0E-5 | 7.9448614E-4 | 8.3551643E-4 | 8.6549134E-4 | 1.0358759 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.3137362E-6 | 1.382819E-6 | 1.382819E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6302856E-6 | 5.926355E-6 | 1.5926295E-5 | 2.687368 | 1.0E-5 | 6.854657E-5 | 7.215112E-5 | 1.0214896E-4 | 1.415764 | 3.0E-5 | 6.8525434E-4 | 7.212908E-4 | 7.512692E-4 | 1.0415621 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2275751E-6 | 1.2922847E-6 | 1.2922847E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2610258E-6 | 5.5383516E-6 | 1.5538297E-5 | 2.8055813 | 1.0E-5 | 6.4051106E-5 | 6.7427485E-5 | 9.742546E-5 | 1.4448924 | 3.0E-5 | 6.4032647E-4 | 6.740836E-4 | 7.040634E-4 | 1.0444748 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.1837088E-6 | 1.246102E-6 | 1.246102E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0730278E-6 | 5.340427E-6 | 1.5340374E-5 | 2.8724995 | 1.0E-5 | 6.176237E-5 | 6.501789E-5 | 9.5015945E-5 | 1.4613814 | 3.0E-5 | 6.17452E-4 | 6.5000186E-4 | 6.7998236E-4 | 1.0461237 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 9.849371E-7 | 1.0366288E-6 | 1.0366288E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2211523E-6 | 4.442688E-6 | 1.4442643E-5 | 3.2508795 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1391315E-5 | 5.4088487E-5 | 7.40874E-5 | 1.3697444 | 2.0E-5 | 5.137943E-4 | 5.407633E-4 | 5.6075247E-4 | 1.0369648 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.1643645E-7 | 8.591669E-7 | 8.591669E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4990085E-6 | 3.682139E-6 | 1.3682103E-5 | 3.7158027 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2599597E-5 | 4.482921E-5 | 6.482832E-5 | 1.4461176 | 2.0E-5 | 4.259143E-4 | 4.4821028E-4 | 4.6820132E-4 | 1.0446019 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 5.7295756E-7 | 6.029502E-7 | 6.029502E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.45553E-6 | 2.58407E-6 | 1.2584044E-5 | 4.869854 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9895667E-5 | 3.1460666E-5 | 5.1460036E-5 | 1.6356944 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9891645E-4 | 3.145688E-4 | 3.3456253E-4 | 1.063559 | 2.0E-5 |
Santa Susana alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.674877E-5 | 2.7198214E-5 | 4.719767E-5 | 1.7353225 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1463255E-4 | 1.16559204E-4 | 1.3655688E-4 | 1.1715666 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0013947578 | 0.0014182981 | 0.0014382697 | 1.0140814 | 2.0E-5 | 0.013860362 | 0.014104388 | 0.014163542 | 1.004194 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.674877E-5 | 2.7198214E-5 | 4.719767E-5 | 1.7353225 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1463255E-4 | 1.16559204E-4 | 1.3655688E-4 | 1.1715666 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0013947578 | 0.0014182981 | 0.0014382697 | 1.0140814 | 2.0E-5 | 0.013860362 | 0.014104388 | 0.014163542 | 1.004194 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.674877E-5 | 2.7198214E-5 | 4.719767E-5 | 1.7353225 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1463255E-4 | 1.16559204E-4 | 1.3655688E-4 | 1.1715666 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0013947578 | 0.0014182981 | 0.0014382697 | 1.0140814 | 2.0E-5 | 0.013860362 | 0.014104388 | 0.014163542 | 1.004194 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.674877E-5 | 2.7198214E-5 | 4.719767E-5 | 1.7353225 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1463255E-4 | 1.16559204E-4 | 1.3655688E-4 | 1.1715666 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0013947578 | 0.0014182981 | 0.0014382697 | 1.0140814 | 2.0E-5 | 0.013860362 | 0.014104388 | 0.014163542 | 1.004194 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.674877E-5 | 2.7198214E-5 | 4.719767E-5 | 1.7353225 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1463255E-4 | 1.16559204E-4 | 1.3655688E-4 | 1.1715666 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0013947578 | 0.0014182981 | 0.0014382697 | 1.0140814 | 2.0E-5 | 0.013860362 | 0.014104388 | 0.014163542 | 1.004194 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.674877E-5 | 2.7198214E-5 | 4.719767E-5 | 1.7353225 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1463255E-4 | 1.16559204E-4 | 1.3655688E-4 | 1.1715666 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0013947578 | 0.0014182981 | 0.0014382697 | 1.0140814 | 2.0E-5 | 0.013860362 | 0.014104388 | 0.014163542 | 1.004194 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.6647976E-5 | 2.7074553E-5 | 4.7074012E-5 | 1.7386811 | 2.0E-5 | 1.14200615E-4 | 1.16029274E-4 | 1.3602695E-4 | 1.1723503 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0013895056 | 0.0014118546 | 0.0014318264 | 1.0141457 | 2.0E-5 | 0.013808494 | 0.014040773 | 0.01409993 | 1.0042132 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.6647976E-5 | 2.7074553E-5 | 4.7074012E-5 | 1.7386811 | 2.0E-5 | 1.14200615E-4 | 1.16029274E-4 | 1.3602695E-4 | 1.1723503 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0013895056 | 0.0014118546 | 0.0014318264 | 1.0141457 | 2.0E-5 | 0.013808494 | 0.014040773 | 0.01409993 | 1.0042132 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.9073179E-5 | 1.7637467E-5 | 3.7637114E-5 | 2.1339297 | 2.0E-5 | 8.1739636E-5 | 7.558706E-5 | 9.558554E-5 | 1.2645756 | 2.0E-5 | 9.947256E-4 | 9.19902E-4 | 9.398836E-4 | 1.0217215 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009902848 | 0.009163361 | 0.009222811 | 1.0064878 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.9041876E-5 | 1.7619597E-5 | 3.7619247E-5 | 2.1350796 | 2.0E-5 | 8.160549E-5 | 7.551048E-5 | 9.550897E-5 | 1.264844 | 2.0E-5 | 9.930939E-4 | 9.189705E-4 | 9.389521E-4 | 1.0217435 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0098866755 | 0.009154123 | 0.009213574 | 1.0064944 | 6.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.5917482E-5 | 1.3864049E-5 | 3.3863773E-5 | 2.44256 | 2.0E-5 | 6.8215995E-5 | 5.9416023E-5 | 7.941484E-5 | 1.3365896 | 2.0E-5 | 8.302132E-4 | 7.2315463E-4 | 7.431402E-4 | 1.0276366 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008271185 | 0.0072090672 | 0.0072686346 | 1.0082629 | 6.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.577788E-5 | 1.3744056E-5 | 3.374378E-5 | 2.4551547 | 2.0E-5 | 6.761774E-5 | 5.890179E-5 | 7.8900615E-5 | 1.3395282 | 2.0E-5 | 8.2293496E-4 | 7.16898E-4 | 7.3688367E-4 | 1.0278779 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008198941 | 0.0071469042 | 0.007206476 | 1.0083352 | 6.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.5416446E-5 | 1.34701295E-5 | 3.346986E-5 | 2.4847467 | 2.0E-5 | 6.606882E-5 | 5.7727877E-5 | 7.772672E-5 | 1.346433 | 2.0E-5 | 8.0409093E-4 | 7.026149E-4 | 7.2260085E-4 | 1.0284451 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008011877 | 0.0070049763 | 0.0070645562 | 1.0085053 | 6.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.4534083E-5 | 1.2718032E-5 | 3.2717777E-5 | 2.5725503 | 2.0E-5 | 6.228744E-5 | 5.4504737E-5 | 7.4503645E-5 | 1.3669206 | 2.0E-5 | 7.580857E-4 | 6.633976E-4 | 6.833843E-4 | 1.0301279 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007555048 | 0.0066151717 | 0.006674775 | 1.0090101 | 6.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.2858995E-5 | 1.1229814E-5 | 2.1229702E-5 | 1.8904767 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5108816E-5 | 4.812691E-5 | 5.812643E-5 | 1.2077739 | 1.0E-5 | 6.7074323E-4 | 5.8579154E-4 | 5.957857E-4 | 1.0170609 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0066872234 | 0.0058433902 | 0.005893098 | 1.0085067 | 5.0E-5 |
7.5 | 8.827668E-6 | 7.805494E-6 | 1.7805416E-5 | 2.281139 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7832317E-5 | 3.3451703E-5 | 4.3451368E-5 | 1.2989285 | 1.0E-5 | 4.605111E-4 | 4.072008E-4 | 4.1719674E-4 | 1.0245479 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045955796 | 0.0040648985 | 0.0040947767 | 1.0073502 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.2533426E-6 | 2.8720106E-6 | 2.8720106E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3942822E-5 | 1.230856E-5 | 1.230856E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6974064E-4 | 1.4984679E-4 | 1.4984679E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016961104 | 0.0014974943 | 0.0015174644 | 1.0133356 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.2751709E-6 | 1.1491339E-6 | 1.1491339E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4650063E-6 | 4.9248506E-6 | 4.9248506E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.653442E-5 | 5.99585E-5 | 5.99585E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6514505E-4 | 5.9943215E-4 | 6.094261E-4 | 1.0166725 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.067544E-7 | 3.240052E-7 | 3.240052E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3146611E-6 | 1.3885931E-6 | 1.3885931E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.600588E-5 | 1.6906E-5 | 1.6906E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6004729E-4 | 1.6904817E-4 | 1.6904817E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.622999E-8 | 8.0879715E-8 | 8.0879715E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2669993E-7 | 3.4662733E-7 | 3.4662733E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.977564E-6 | 4.220182E-6 | 4.220182E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.977493E-5 | 4.2201224E-5 | 4.2201224E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cleghorn
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.9267165E-6 | 9.831764E-6 | 1.9831667E-5 | 2.0171015 | 1.0E-5 | 3.39712E-5 | 4.2135514E-5 | 6.213467E-5 | 1.4746389 | 2.0E-5 | 4.1352084E-4 | 5.1288976E-4 | 5.4287433E-4 | 1.0584621 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004127522 | 0.005132214 | 0.0051919064 | 1.0116309 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 7.9267165E-6 | 9.831764E-6 | 1.9831667E-5 | 2.0171015 | 1.0E-5 | 3.39712E-5 | 4.2135514E-5 | 6.213467E-5 | 1.4746389 | 2.0E-5 | 4.1352084E-4 | 5.1288976E-4 | 5.4287433E-4 | 1.0584621 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004127522 | 0.005132214 | 0.0051919064 | 1.0116309 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 7.9267165E-6 | 9.831764E-6 | 1.9831667E-5 | 2.0171015 | 1.0E-5 | 3.39712E-5 | 4.2135514E-5 | 6.213467E-5 | 1.4746389 | 2.0E-5 | 4.1352084E-4 | 5.1288976E-4 | 5.4287433E-4 | 1.0584621 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004127522 | 0.005132214 | 0.0051919064 | 1.0116309 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 7.9267165E-6 | 9.831764E-6 | 1.9831667E-5 | 2.0171015 | 1.0E-5 | 3.39712E-5 | 4.2135514E-5 | 6.213467E-5 | 1.4746389 | 2.0E-5 | 4.1352084E-4 | 5.1288976E-4 | 5.4287433E-4 | 1.0584621 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004127522 | 0.005132214 | 0.0051919064 | 1.0116309 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.3445207E-6 | 6.0916254E-6 | 1.6091564E-5 | 2.641588 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8619241E-5 | 2.6106709E-5 | 4.6106186E-5 | 1.7660666 | 2.0E-5 | 2.2666567E-4 | 3.1780385E-4 | 3.4779432E-4 | 1.0943679 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0022643462 | 0.0031877246 | 0.003227597 | 1.0125082 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.3445207E-6 | 6.0916254E-6 | 1.6091564E-5 | 2.641588 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8619241E-5 | 2.6106709E-5 | 4.6106186E-5 | 1.7660666 | 2.0E-5 | 2.2666567E-4 | 3.1780385E-4 | 3.4779432E-4 | 1.0943679 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0022643462 | 0.0031877246 | 0.003227597 | 1.0125082 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.040109E-6 | 5.774033E-6 | 1.5773976E-5 | 2.7318816 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7314638E-5 | 2.4745626E-5 | 4.474513E-5 | 1.8082036 | 2.0E-5 | 2.1078532E-4 | 3.0123728E-4 | 3.3122825E-4 | 1.0995593 | 3.0E-5 | 0.002105855 | 0.0030225143 | 0.0030623935 | 1.013194 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.3632055E-6 | 5.06753E-6 | 1.5067479E-5 | 2.9733381 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4413658E-5 | 2.1717806E-5 | 4.1717372E-5 | 1.9208833 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7547216E-4 | 2.643825E-4 | 2.943746E-4 | 1.113442 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0017533366 | 0.0026548486 | 0.0026947423 | 1.0150268 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.2902772E-6 | 4.9894375E-6 | 1.4989388E-5 | 3.004224 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4101111E-5 | 2.138313E-5 | 4.1382704E-5 | 1.9352968 | 2.0E-5 | 1.716675E-4 | 2.6030882E-4 | 2.9030102E-4 | 1.1152177 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0017153495 | 0.0026142076 | 0.0026541029 | 1.015261 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.031547E-6 | 4.6911987E-6 | 1.4691152E-5 | 3.1316414 | 1.0E-5 | 1.299228E-5 | 2.0104984E-5 | 4.0104584E-5 | 1.9947582 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5816953E-4 | 2.4475096E-4 | 2.6474605E-4 | 1.0816957 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00158057 | 0.0024589805 | 0.0024889067 | 1.0121702 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.8259715E-6 | 4.3707637E-6 | 1.437072E-5 | 3.2879195 | 1.0E-5 | 1.211125E-5 | 1.8731711E-5 | 3.8731338E-5 | 2.067688 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4744449E-4 | 2.2803496E-4 | 2.480304E-4 | 1.0876858 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001473467 | 0.0022921748 | 0.002322106 | 1.0130581 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.5962665E-6 | 4.065983E-6 | 1.4065942E-5 | 3.45942 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1126809E-5 | 1.7425526E-5 | 3.7425176E-5 | 2.1477215 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3546048E-4 | 2.1213535E-4 | 2.321311E-4 | 1.0942594 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0013537793 | 0.0021334959 | 0.0021634318 | 1.0140314 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.3247253E-6 | 3.6765352E-6 | 1.3676498E-5 | 3.719942 | 1.0E-5 | 9.96307E-6 | 1.5756486E-5 | 3.575617E-5 | 2.2692986 | 2.0E-5 | 1.21293626E-4 | 1.9181852E-4 | 2.1181468E-4 | 1.1042452 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012122744 | 0.0019307166 | 0.0019606587 | 1.0155083 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.056928E-6 | 3.235253E-6 | 1.3235221E-5 | 4.0909386 | 1.0E-5 | 8.815376E-6 | 1.3865297E-5 | 3.386502E-5 | 2.4424303 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0732192E-4 | 1.6879707E-4 | 1.887937E-4 | 1.1184654 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001072701 | 0.0017009423 | 0.0017308913 | 1.0176073 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.8055999E-6 | 2.8256538E-6 | 1.2825625E-5 | 4.538994 | 1.0E-5 | 7.738263E-6 | 1.210989E-5 | 3.210965E-5 | 2.6515226 | 2.0E-5 | 9.4209274E-5 | 1.4742807E-4 | 1.6742513E-4 | 1.1356394 | 2.0E-5 | 9.4169343E-4 | 0.0014876705 | 0.0015176259 | 1.0201358 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.4683443E-6 | 2.4248943E-6 | 1.242487E-5 | 5.123881 | 1.0E-5 | 6.292889E-6 | 1.0392363E-5 | 3.0392155E-5 | 2.92447 | 2.0E-5 | 7.661323E-5 | 1.2651978E-4 | 1.4651724E-4 | 1.158058 | 2.0E-5 | 7.658682E-4 | 0.0012788812 | 0.0013088429 | 1.023428 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 9.804088E-7 | 1.9004091E-6 | 1.190039E-5 | 6.262015 | 1.0E-5 | 4.201745E-6 | 8.144585E-6 | 1.8144503E-5 | 2.2277997 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1155046E-5 | 9.915586E-5 | 1.0915487E-4 | 1.1008413 | 1.0E-5 | 5.114327E-4 | 0.0010055583 | 0.0010255382 | 1.0198694 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 7.3434086E-7 | 1.6285549E-6 | 1.6285549E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1471714E-6 | 6.9795024E-6 | 6.9795024E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.831614E-5 | 8.4972155E-5 | 8.4972155E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8309532E-4 | 8.6387293E-4 | 8.738643E-4 | 1.0115658 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 6.434184E-7 | 1.5221389E-6 | 1.5221389E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7575045E-6 | 6.523436E-6 | 6.523436E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.35721E-5 | 7.9419966E-5 | 7.9419966E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3567028E-4 | 8.080443E-4 | 8.180362E-4 | 1.0123656 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.4943926E-7 | 7.5750586E-7 | 7.5750586E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.497596E-6 | 3.2464498E-6 | 3.2464498E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8233079E-5 | 3.9524817E-5 | 3.9524817E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8231584E-4 | 4.0401975E-4 | 4.140157E-4 | 1.0247413 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 6.717524E-8 | 5.837515E-8 | 5.837515E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8789387E-7 | 2.501792E-7 | 2.501792E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.505102E-6 | 3.0459275E-6 | 3.0459275E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5050467E-5 | 3.2751934E-5 | 3.2751934E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 3.1984914E-8 | 1.2949885E-8 | 1.2949885E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.370782E-7 | 5.549951E-8 | 5.549951E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6689258E-6 | 6.757063E-7 | 6.757063E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6689133E-5 | 7.741151E-6 | 7.741151E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.21887656E-8 | 3.6471115E-9 | 3.6471115E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2237567E-8 | 1.563048E-8 | 1.563048E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.359922E-7 | 1.9030107E-7 | 1.9030107E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3599036E-6 | 2.245849E-6 | 2.245849E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Ynez River
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6396456E-5 | 1.7209444E-5 | 1.7209444E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.026863E-5 | 7.3752875E-5 | 8.375214E-5 | 1.1355779 | 1.0E-5 | 8.551848E-4 | 8.976069E-4 | 9.37571E-4 | 1.0445229 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0085190125 | 0.008943363 | 0.009002826 | 1.0066489 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6396456E-5 | 1.7209444E-5 | 1.7209444E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.026863E-5 | 7.3752875E-5 | 8.375214E-5 | 1.1355779 | 1.0E-5 | 8.551848E-4 | 8.976069E-4 | 9.37571E-4 | 1.0445229 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0085190125 | 0.008943363 | 0.009002826 | 1.0066489 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6396456E-5 | 1.7209444E-5 | 1.7209444E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.026863E-5 | 7.3752875E-5 | 8.375214E-5 | 1.1355779 | 1.0E-5 | 8.551848E-4 | 8.976069E-4 | 9.37571E-4 | 1.0445229 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0085190125 | 0.008943363 | 0.009002826 | 1.0066489 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 9.736976E-6 | 1.01223395E-5 | 1.01223395E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.172923E-5 | 4.338076E-5 | 5.3380325E-5 | 1.2305069 | 1.0E-5 | 5.0793495E-4 | 5.280378E-4 | 5.680166E-4 | 1.0757122 | 4.0E-5 | 0.005067755 | 0.0052683367 | 0.0053280205 | 1.0113288 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 9.736976E-6 | 1.01223395E-5 | 1.01223395E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.172923E-5 | 4.338076E-5 | 5.3380325E-5 | 1.2305069 | 1.0E-5 | 5.0793495E-4 | 5.280378E-4 | 5.680166E-4 | 1.0757122 | 4.0E-5 | 0.005067755 | 0.0052683367 | 0.0053280205 | 1.0113288 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 7.081964E-6 | 7.329905E-6 | 7.329905E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.035092E-5 | 3.141351E-5 | 4.1413197E-5 | 1.3183243 | 1.0E-5 | 3.694598E-4 | 3.8239395E-4 | 4.023863E-4 | 1.0522821 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0036884616 | 0.0038175215 | 0.003847407 | 1.0078285 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.873247E-6 | 6.0597517E-6 | 6.0597517E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5170815E-5 | 2.5970112E-5 | 3.5969853E-5 | 1.385048 | 1.0E-5 | 3.064116E-4 | 3.161411E-4 | 3.3613478E-4 | 1.0632429 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0030598943 | 0.003157001 | 0.0031869062 | 1.0094727 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.973277E-6 | 5.11591E-6 | 5.11591E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1313872E-5 | 2.1925147E-5 | 2.1925147E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5946548E-4 | 2.6690646E-4 | 2.7690377E-4 | 1.0374563 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0025916274 | 0.0026659078 | 0.0026858544 | 1.0074822 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 4.396492E-6 | 4.510987E-6 | 4.510987E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.884197E-5 | 1.933266E-5 | 1.933266E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2937685E-4 | 2.3535005E-4 | 2.4534768E-4 | 1.0424799 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022914023 | 0.0023510433 | 0.0023709964 | 1.0084869 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.5255632E-6 | 3.6013423E-6 | 3.6013423E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5109469E-5 | 1.5434234E-5 | 1.5434234E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8394225E-4 | 1.8789574E-4 | 1.9789387E-4 | 1.053211 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018379007 | 0.001877385 | 0.0018973474 | 1.0106331 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.211603E-6 | 3.273663E-6 | 3.273663E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.376394E-5 | 1.402991E-5 | 1.402991E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6756308E-4 | 1.708009E-4 | 1.807992E-4 | 1.0585377 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016743679 | 0.0017067104 | 0.0017266762 | 1.0116985 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.5094619E-6 | 2.5409295E-6 | 2.5409295E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0754793E-5 | 1.0889652E-5 | 1.0889652E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3093173E-4 | 1.325735E-4 | 1.325735E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013085462 | 0.0013249503 | 0.0013349369 | 1.0075375 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.0515774E-6 | 2.0619466E-6 | 2.0619466E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.792445E-6 | 8.836884E-6 | 8.836884E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0704277E-4 | 1.0758379E-4 | 1.0758379E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010699122 | 0.0010753215 | 0.0010753215 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.6845745E-6 | 1.6773996E-6 | 1.6773996E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.219585E-6 | 7.1888358E-6 | 7.1888358E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.78949E-5 | 8.752059E-5 | 8.752059E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7860145E-4 | 8.7486405E-4 | 8.7486405E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.3600285E-6 | 1.3333447E-6 | 1.3333447E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.82868E-6 | 5.714322E-6 | 5.714322E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.096187E-5 | 6.956967E-5 | 6.956967E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0939213E-4 | 6.9548114E-4 | 6.9548114E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 9.735342E-7 | 9.2901894E-7 | 9.2901894E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.172283E-6 | 3.9815036E-6 | 3.9815036E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.079636E-5 | 4.8473747E-5 | 4.8473747E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0784746E-4 | 4.8463346E-4 | 4.8463346E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 5.067187E-7 | 4.778609E-7 | 4.778609E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1716498E-6 | 2.0479738E-6 | 2.0479738E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6439517E-5 | 2.4933803E-5 | 2.4933803E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.643637E-4 | 2.493108E-4 | 2.493108E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.769089E-7 | 2.5759346E-7 | 2.5759346E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1867519E-6 | 1.1039714E-6 | 1.1039714E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4448608E-5 | 1.344077E-5 | 1.344077E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.444767E-4 | 1.343996E-4 | 1.343996E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.7044663E-7 | 1.5449208E-7 | 1.5449208E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3048534E-7 | 6.6210873E-7 | 6.6210873E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.893623E-6 | 8.061144E-6 | 8.061144E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.893267E-5 | 8.060854E-5 | 8.060854E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 4.8344287E-8 | 4.0911143E-8 | 4.0911143E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0718979E-7 | 1.7533345E-7 | 1.7533345E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5225327E-6 | 2.1346827E-6 | 2.1346827E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5225041E-5 | 2.1346626E-5 | 2.1346626E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Emerson-Copper Mtn 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.1364202E-5 | 9.967999E-6 | 2.99678E-5 | 3.0064008 | 2.0E-5 | 9.1557646E-5 | 4.2719344E-5 | 6.271849E-5 | 1.4681519 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011141442 | 5.1999267E-4 | 5.4997706E-4 | 1.0576631 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011085749 | 0.0051886286 | 0.005238369 | 1.0095865 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1364202E-5 | 9.967999E-6 | 2.99678E-5 | 3.0064008 | 2.0E-5 | 9.1557646E-5 | 4.2719344E-5 | 6.271849E-5 | 1.4681519 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011141442 | 5.1999267E-4 | 5.4997706E-4 | 1.0576631 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011085749 | 0.0051886286 | 0.005238369 | 1.0095865 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1364202E-5 | 9.967999E-6 | 2.99678E-5 | 3.0064008 | 2.0E-5 | 9.1557646E-5 | 4.2719344E-5 | 6.271849E-5 | 1.4681519 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011141442 | 5.1999267E-4 | 5.4997706E-4 | 1.0576631 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011085749 | 0.0051886286 | 0.005238369 | 1.0095865 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.7751237E-5 | 8.089109E-6 | 2.8088947E-5 | 3.4724402 | 2.0E-5 | 7.607452E-5 | 3.4667184E-5 | 5.466649E-5 | 1.5768945 | 2.0E-5 | 9.258136E-4 | 4.2199748E-4 | 4.5198482E-4 | 1.0710604 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00921966 | 0.004212584 | 0.0042623733 | 1.0118192 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.7751237E-5 | 8.089109E-6 | 2.8088947E-5 | 3.4724402 | 2.0E-5 | 7.607452E-5 | 3.4667184E-5 | 5.466649E-5 | 1.5768945 | 2.0E-5 | 9.258136E-4 | 4.2199748E-4 | 4.5198482E-4 | 1.0710604 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00921966 | 0.004212584 | 0.0042623733 | 1.0118192 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5886664E-5 | 6.6037437E-6 | 2.6603611E-5 | 4.028565 | 2.0E-5 | 6.808392E-5 | 2.830148E-5 | 4.8300913E-5 | 1.7066568 | 2.0E-5 | 8.286065E-4 | 3.4452073E-4 | 3.745104E-4 | 1.0870475 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008255237 | 0.0034403303 | 0.0034901584 | 1.0144835 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.5886664E-5 | 6.6037437E-6 | 2.6603611E-5 | 4.028565 | 2.0E-5 | 6.808392E-5 | 2.830148E-5 | 4.8300913E-5 | 1.7066568 | 2.0E-5 | 8.286065E-4 | 3.4452073E-4 | 3.745104E-4 | 1.0870475 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008255237 | 0.0034403303 | 0.0034901584 | 1.0144835 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.428471E-5 | 5.4703055E-6 | 2.5470195E-5 | 4.656083 | 2.0E-5 | 6.121875E-5 | 2.3443978E-5 | 4.344351E-5 | 1.8530775 | 2.0E-5 | 7.450834E-4 | 2.8539696E-4 | 3.153884E-4 | 1.1050867 | 3.0E-5 | 0.007425902 | 0.0028506925 | 0.0028905785 | 1.0139917 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.3490684E-5 | 5.0735894E-6 | 2.5073488E-5 | 4.9419622 | 2.0E-5 | 5.7815934E-5 | 2.1743796E-5 | 4.1743362E-5 | 1.9197826 | 2.0E-5 | 7.0368167E-4 | 2.6470242E-4 | 2.9469447E-4 | 1.1133049 | 3.0E-5 | 0.007014576 | 0.002644252 | 0.0026841464 | 1.0150871 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.2235421E-5 | 4.289545E-6 | 2.4289458E-5 | 5.6624794 | 2.0E-5 | 5.2436466E-5 | 1.8383655E-5 | 3.8383285E-5 | 2.087903 | 2.0E-5 | 6.38227E-4 | 2.238016E-4 | 2.537949E-4 | 1.1340173 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0063639707 | 0.0022361164 | 0.002276027 | 1.0178481 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.1009851E-5 | 3.7188345E-6 | 2.371876E-5 | 6.3780093 | 2.0E-5 | 4.7184225E-5 | 1.5937783E-5 | 3.5937464E-5 | 2.2548597 | 2.0E-5 | 5.743165E-4 | 1.9402867E-4 | 2.2402286E-4 | 1.1545863 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005728345 | 0.0019389305 | 0.001978853 | 1.02059 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 9.726373E-6 | 3.2115693E-6 | 2.3211505E-5 | 7.227465 | 2.0E-5 | 4.168379E-5 | 1.3763814E-5 | 3.376354E-5 | 2.4530656 | 2.0E-5 | 5.07382E-4 | 1.6756494E-4 | 1.975599E-4 | 1.179005 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0050622504 | 0.0016747171 | 0.0017146501 | 1.0238446 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.9335127E-6 | 1.1524114E-6 | 2.115239E-5 | 18.354893 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6857803E-5 | 4.9388973E-6 | 2.4938798E-5 | 5.049467 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0522442E-4 | 6.0129474E-5 | 9.012767E-5 | 1.4988934 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00205035 | 6.01138E-4 | 6.4111396E-4 | 1.0665004 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.661632E-6 | 6.91098E-7 | 2.0691085E-5 | 29.939436 | 2.0E-5 | 1.14069435E-5 | 2.9618452E-6 | 2.2961785E-5 | 7.752527 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3887069E-4 | 3.605988E-5 | 6.60588E-5 | 1.8319196 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0013878393 | 3.6054134E-4 | 4.0052691E-4 | 1.1109043 | 4.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.0893426E-6 | 5.4614605E-7 | 2.0546135E-5 | 37.62022 | 2.0E-5 | 8.954295E-6 | 2.340624E-6 | 2.2340577E-5 | 9.54471 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0901308E-4 | 2.8496728E-5 | 5.8495873E-5 | 2.0527225 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010895962 | 2.849313E-4 | 3.1492274E-4 | 1.1052586 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.1681728E-6 | 3.6028484E-7 | 2.0360278E-5 | 56.511612 | 2.0E-5 | 5.0064455E-6 | 1.544077E-6 | 2.1544047E-5 | 13.952702 | 2.0E-5 | 6.0951766E-5 | 1.879898E-5 | 4.8798418E-5 | 2.5958014 | 3.0E-5 | 6.093505E-4 | 1.8797436E-4 | 2.1796873E-4 | 1.1595663 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.3154387E-7 | 7.1196716E-8 | 1.0071196E-5 | 141.4559 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6375933E-7 | 3.0512876E-7 | 1.0305126E-5 | 33.77304 | 1.0E-5 | 6.863748E-6 | 3.714938E-6 | 2.3714863E-5 | 6.38365 | 2.0E-5 | 6.863536E-5 | 3.7148915E-5 | 5.7148172E-5 | 1.5383537 | 2.0E-5 |
Mono Lake 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.0341662E-5 | 2.3828192E-5 | 5.3827476E-5 | 2.258983 | 3.0E-5 | 8.717564E-5 | 1.0211982E-4 | 1.4211574E-4 | 1.3916568 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0010608466 | 0.0012431308 | 0.001283081 | 1.0321368 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010557966 | 0.012413842 | 0.01246322 | 1.0039778 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.0341662E-5 | 2.3828192E-5 | 5.3827476E-5 | 2.258983 | 3.0E-5 | 8.717564E-5 | 1.0211982E-4 | 1.4211574E-4 | 1.3916568 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0010608466 | 0.0012431308 | 0.001283081 | 1.0321368 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010557966 | 0.012413842 | 0.01246322 | 1.0039778 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.0341662E-5 | 2.3828192E-5 | 5.3827476E-5 | 2.258983 | 3.0E-5 | 8.717564E-5 | 1.0211982E-4 | 1.4211574E-4 | 1.3916568 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0010608466 | 0.0012431308 | 0.001283081 | 1.0321368 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010557966 | 0.012413842 | 0.01246322 | 1.0039778 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.0341662E-5 | 2.3828192E-5 | 5.3827476E-5 | 2.258983 | 3.0E-5 | 8.717564E-5 | 1.0211982E-4 | 1.4211574E-4 | 1.3916568 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0010608466 | 0.0012431308 | 0.001283081 | 1.0321368 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010557966 | 0.012413842 | 0.01246322 | 1.0039778 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.749821E-5 | 2.049101E-5 | 5.0490395E-5 | 2.4640267 | 3.0E-5 | 7.499018E-5 | 8.781861E-5 | 1.278151E-4 | 1.4554443 | 4.0E-5 | 9.1262296E-4 | 0.0010691914 | 0.0011091486 | 1.0373714 | 4.0E-5 | 0.009088841 | 0.01069187 | 0.010741335 | 1.0046264 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.749821E-5 | 2.049101E-5 | 5.0490395E-5 | 2.4640267 | 3.0E-5 | 7.499018E-5 | 8.781861E-5 | 1.278151E-4 | 1.4554443 | 4.0E-5 | 9.1262296E-4 | 0.0010691914 | 0.0011091486 | 1.0373714 | 4.0E-5 | 0.009088841 | 0.01069187 | 0.010741335 | 1.0046264 | 5.0E-5 |
Great Valley 08 (Quinto)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.737697E-6 | 8.253038E-6 | 8.253038E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3161137E-5 | 3.536979E-5 | 4.5369437E-5 | 1.2827171 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0366207E-4 | 4.3056096E-4 | 4.6054804E-4 | 1.0696466 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004029296 | 0.0042991205 | 0.0043489058 | 1.0115802 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 7.737697E-6 | 8.253038E-6 | 8.253038E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3161137E-5 | 3.536979E-5 | 4.5369437E-5 | 1.2827171 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0366207E-4 | 4.3056096E-4 | 4.6054804E-4 | 1.0696466 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004029296 | 0.0042991205 | 0.0043489058 | 1.0115802 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 7.737697E-6 | 8.253038E-6 | 8.253038E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3161137E-5 | 3.536979E-5 | 4.5369437E-5 | 1.2827171 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0366207E-4 | 4.3056096E-4 | 4.6054804E-4 | 1.0696466 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004029296 | 0.0042991205 | 0.0043489058 | 1.0115802 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 5.374012E-6 | 5.7505736E-6 | 5.7505736E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3031276E-5 | 2.4645145E-5 | 3.4644898E-5 | 1.4057494 | 1.0E-5 | 2.803697E-4 | 3.0002446E-4 | 3.3001546E-4 | 1.0999619 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0028001624 | 0.0029972875 | 0.0030371675 | 1.0133054 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 5.374012E-6 | 5.7505736E-6 | 5.7505736E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3031276E-5 | 2.4645145E-5 | 3.4644898E-5 | 1.4057494 | 1.0E-5 | 2.803697E-4 | 3.0002446E-4 | 3.3001546E-4 | 1.0999619 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0028001624 | 0.0029972875 | 0.0030371675 | 1.0133054 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.65427E-6 | 3.941324E-6 | 3.941324E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5661062E-5 | 1.689132E-5 | 1.689132E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9065675E-4 | 2.0563944E-4 | 2.0563944E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019049325 | 0.0020551833 | 0.0020551833 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 3.6143538E-6 | 3.8985104E-6 | 3.8985104E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5489995E-5 | 1.6707834E-5 | 1.6707834E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8857437E-4 | 2.0340596E-4 | 2.0340596E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018841444 | 0.0020328893 | 0.0020328893 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 2.4821015E-6 | 2.6857067E-6 | 2.6857067E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0637535E-5 | 1.1510153E-5 | 1.1510153E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2950429E-4 | 1.4013276E-4 | 1.4013276E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012942884 | 0.0014009989 | 0.0014009989 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 4.7110538E-7 | 5.193021E-7 | 5.193021E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0190216E-6 | 2.2255786E-6 | 2.2255786E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.458131E-5 | 2.70961E-5 | 2.70961E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.457859E-4 | 2.7092977E-4 | 2.7092977E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 3.958685E-7 | 4.3703452E-7 | 4.3703452E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6965782E-6 | 1.8730038E-6 | 1.8730038E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0655643E-5 | 2.28036E-5 | 2.28036E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0653724E-4 | 2.2801422E-4 | 2.2801422E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.70294E-7 | 2.9920008E-7 | 2.9920008E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1584025E-6 | 1.2822856E-6 | 1.2822856E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4103458E-5 | 1.5611728E-5 | 1.5611728E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4102564E-4 | 1.5610759E-4 | 1.5610759E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.4828602E-7 | 1.6469107E-7 | 1.6469107E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3551136E-7 | 7.058187E-7 | 7.058187E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.737323E-6 | 8.593317E-6 | 8.593317E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.737054E-5 | 8.593065E-5 | 8.593065E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Ortigalita (South)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.72394E-5 | 4.32556E-5 | 5.3255168E-5 | 1.231174 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5958765E-4 | 1.8536886E-4 | 2.0536516E-4 | 1.107873 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0019412481 | 0.0022546863 | 0.0023045735 | 1.0221261 | 5.0E-5 | 0.019243775 | 0.022334501 | 0.022383384 | 1.0021887 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.7299884E-5 | 3.1492036E-5 | 4.149172E-5 | 1.3175306 | 1.0E-5 | 1.16994255E-4 | 1.349592E-4 | 1.549565E-4 | 1.148173 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014234743 | 0.0016419457 | 0.0016918636 | 1.0304017 | 5.0E-5 | 0.014143906 | 0.016304072 | 0.016353257 | 1.0030167 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.7299884E-5 | 3.1492036E-5 | 4.149172E-5 | 1.3175306 | 1.0E-5 | 1.16994255E-4 | 1.349592E-4 | 1.549565E-4 | 1.148173 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014234743 | 0.0016419457 | 0.0016918636 | 1.0304017 | 5.0E-5 | 0.014143906 | 0.016304072 | 0.016353257 | 1.0030167 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.0546433E-5 | 2.3631454E-5 | 3.3631215E-5 | 1.4231548 | 1.0E-5 | 8.805317E-5 | 1.0127383E-4 | 1.21271805E-4 | 1.1974643 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00107152 | 0.0012323305 | 0.0012822688 | 1.0405235 | 5.0E-5 | 0.010663681 | 0.012257031 | 0.012306418 | 1.0040293 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0546433E-5 | 2.3631454E-5 | 3.3631215E-5 | 1.4231548 | 1.0E-5 | 8.805317E-5 | 1.0127383E-4 | 1.21271805E-4 | 1.1974643 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00107152 | 0.0012323305 | 0.0012822688 | 1.0405235 | 5.0E-5 | 0.010663681 | 0.012257031 | 0.012306418 | 1.0040293 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.7779594E-5 | 2.0446974E-5 | 2.0446974E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.619603E-5 | 8.762703E-5 | 9.762615E-5 | 1.11411 | 1.0E-5 | 9.272918E-4 | 0.0010663505 | 0.0010963185 | 1.0281034 | 3.0E-5 | 0.009234319 | 0.010613804 | 0.010643485 | 1.0027965 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.6272212E-5 | 1.8714967E-5 | 1.8714967E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.973618E-5 | 8.0204605E-5 | 9.020381E-5 | 1.1246711 | 1.0E-5 | 8.487073E-4 | 9.760659E-4 | 0.0010060365 | 1.0307056 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008454733 | 0.009719091 | 0.009748799 | 1.0030568 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.3051484E-5 | 1.5038758E-5 | 1.5038758E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.593373E-5 | 6.445028E-5 | 6.445028E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.807804E-4 | 7.844092E-4 | 8.043935E-4 | 1.0254769 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006786986 | 0.007817388 | 0.007837231 | 1.0025384 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.04277415E-5 | 1.1987235E-5 | 1.1987235E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4689557E-5 | 5.1372896E-5 | 5.1372896E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.439595E-4 | 6.2529295E-4 | 6.352867E-4 | 1.0159825 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0054262993 | 0.00623609 | 0.0062460275 | 1.0015936 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.639968E-6 | 8.791503E-6 | 8.791503E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.274231E-5 | 3.767736E-5 | 3.767736E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9856473E-4 | 4.586312E-4 | 4.686266E-4 | 1.021794 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003978506 | 0.004577433 | 0.004587387 | 1.0021746 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.919831E-6 | 4.5334014E-6 | 4.5334014E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.679917E-5 | 1.942873E-5 | 1.942873E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.045107E-4 | 2.3652123E-4 | 2.3652123E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020432258 | 0.0023629034 | 0.0023629034 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.6017933E-6 | 1.8570418E-6 | 1.8570418E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8648105E-6 | 7.958732E-6 | 7.958732E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.357586E-5 | 9.689432E-5 | 9.689432E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.3544437E-4 | 9.686254E-4 | 9.686254E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Pedro Basin
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.3449043E-5 | 6.337018E-5 | 7.336955E-5 | 1.1577929 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2904722E-4 | 2.7156167E-4 | 2.8155895E-4 | 1.0368141 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0027850836 | 0.0033018515 | 0.0033417193 | 1.0120745 | 4.0E-5 | 0.027504366 | 0.03258948 | 0.032637853 | 1.0014843 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.3449043E-5 | 6.337018E-5 | 7.336955E-5 | 1.1577929 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2904722E-4 | 2.7156167E-4 | 2.8155895E-4 | 1.0368141 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0027850836 | 0.0033018515 | 0.0033417193 | 1.0120745 | 4.0E-5 | 0.027504366 | 0.03258948 | 0.032637853 | 1.0014843 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.3189454E-5 | 2.6642829E-5 | 2.6642829E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9379584E-5 | 1.1417881E-4 | 1.1417881E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012092749 | 0.0013892875 | 0.0013992736 | 1.007188 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012027155 | 0.01381089 | 0.013830613 | 1.0014281 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3189454E-5 | 2.6642829E-5 | 2.6642829E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9379584E-5 | 1.1417881E-4 | 1.1417881E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012092749 | 0.0013892875 | 0.0013992736 | 1.007188 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012027155 | 0.01381089 | 0.013830613 | 1.0014281 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.966056E-5 | 2.246342E-5 | 2.246342E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.425682E-5 | 9.626848E-5 | 9.626848E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001025344 | 0.0011714787 | 0.001181467 | 1.0085262 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010206259 | 0.011657119 | 0.011676886 | 1.0016956 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.7342953E-5 | 1.9745152E-5 | 1.9745152E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4324824E-5 | 8.461954E-5 | 8.461954E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.04529E-4 | 0.0010297929 | 0.0010397827 | 1.0097007 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009008561 | 0.010253932 | 0.01026383 | 1.0009652 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.439804E-5 | 1.6322716E-5 | 1.6322716E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.170443E-5 | 6.99528E-5 | 6.99528E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.509924E-4 | 8.513747E-4 | 8.613662E-4 | 1.0117357 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0074845953 | 0.008484333 | 0.008494249 | 1.0011686 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2634884E-5 | 1.4285298E-5 | 1.4285298E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.414838E-5 | 6.122144E-5 | 6.122144E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.590571E-4 | 7.451466E-4 | 7.451466E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006571059 | 0.007429502 | 0.007429502 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.146091E-5 | 1.2933193E-5 | 1.2933193E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.911726E-5 | 5.542696E-5 | 5.542696E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9783855E-4 | 6.74644E-4 | 6.74644E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0059623276 | 0.0067288997 | 0.0067288997 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 9.109035E-6 | 1.0235013E-5 | 1.0235013E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9038136E-5 | 4.386376E-5 | 4.386376E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7518566E-4 | 5.339384E-4 | 5.339384E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0047417083 | 0.0053293095 | 0.0053293095 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 5.9351028E-6 | 6.583965E-6 | 6.583965E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5435906E-5 | 2.821682E-5 | 2.821682E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0963816E-4 | 3.4350925E-4 | 3.4350925E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030920706 | 0.0034320997 | 0.0034320997 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.1557585E-6 | 2.2096492E-6 | 2.2096492E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.238933E-6 | 9.469892E-6 | 9.469892E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1247819E-4 | 1.15289986E-4 | 1.15289986E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011242128 | 0.0011523172 | 0.0011523172 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.1251979E-6 | 2.1779954E-6 | 2.1779954E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.107958E-6 | 9.334234E-6 | 9.334234E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1088375E-4 | 1.13638525E-4 | 1.13638525E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011082845 | 0.0011358195 | 0.0011358195 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.7145798E-6 | 1.7442885E-6 | 1.7442885E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3481783E-6 | 7.475501E-6 | 7.475501E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.94604E-5 | 9.1010515E-5 | 9.1010515E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9424395E-4 | 9.0974156E-4 | 9.0974156E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.4467993E-6 | 1.4641878E-6 | 1.4641878E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.200554E-6 | 6.275076E-6 | 6.275076E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.548913E-5 | 7.639644E-5 | 7.639644E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.546349E-4 | 7.6370913E-4 | 7.6370913E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.2803735E-6 | 1.2931506E-6 | 1.2931506E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.487303E-6 | 5.5420624E-6 | 5.5420624E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.680587E-5 | 6.747259E-5 | 6.747259E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.678579E-4 | 6.745281E-4 | 6.745281E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.755009E-7 | 6.76947E-7 | 6.76947E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8950008E-6 | 2.9011985E-6 | 2.9011985E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5246063E-5 | 3.532158E-5 | 3.532158E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5240475E-4 | 3.5316538E-4 | 3.5316538E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.211885E-8 | 4.5699714E-8 | 4.5699714E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6622362E-7 | 1.9585592E-7 | 1.9585592E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2412677E-6 | 2.3845432E-6 | 2.3845432E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2412205E-5 | 2.3845198E-5 | 2.3845198E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.6580573E-9 | 1.5138054E-9 | 1.5138054E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1391674E-8 | 6.4877375E-9 | 6.4877375E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3869362E-7 | 7.89882E-8 | 7.89882E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3869354E-6 | 7.89882E-7 | 7.89882E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Palos Verdes
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.126063E-5 | 7.622572E-5 | 1.16222676E-4 | 1.5247172 | 4.0E-5 | 2.6251914E-4 | 3.266441E-4 | 3.7662778E-4 | 1.1530218 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0031914865 | 0.0039701737 | 0.004019975 | 1.0125439 | 5.0E-5 | 0.031460393 | 0.03904909 | 0.039097134 | 1.0012305 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.126063E-5 | 7.622572E-5 | 1.16222676E-4 | 1.5247172 | 4.0E-5 | 2.6251914E-4 | 3.266441E-4 | 3.7662778E-4 | 1.1530218 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0031914865 | 0.0039701737 | 0.004019975 | 1.0125439 | 5.0E-5 | 0.031460393 | 0.03904909 | 0.039097134 | 1.0012305 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.126063E-5 | 7.622572E-5 | 1.16222676E-4 | 1.5247172 | 4.0E-5 | 2.6251914E-4 | 3.266441E-4 | 3.7662778E-4 | 1.1530218 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0031914865 | 0.0039701737 | 0.004019975 | 1.0125439 | 5.0E-5 | 0.031460393 | 0.03904909 | 0.039097134 | 1.0012305 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.0838047E-5 | 4.9749007E-5 | 5.974851E-5 | 1.200999 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7500846E-4 | 2.1319388E-4 | 2.3318961E-4 | 1.0937914 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0021286458 | 0.002592754 | 0.0026127023 | 1.0076938 | 2.0E-5 | 0.021083709 | 0.025646746 | 0.025666233 | 1.0007598 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.0838047E-5 | 4.9749007E-5 | 5.974851E-5 | 1.200999 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7500846E-4 | 2.1319388E-4 | 2.3318961E-4 | 1.0937914 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0021286458 | 0.002592754 | 0.0026127023 | 1.0076938 | 2.0E-5 | 0.021083709 | 0.025646746 | 0.025666233 | 1.0007598 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.0512005E-5 | 3.6561592E-5 | 4.656123E-5 | 1.273501 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3075917E-4 | 1.566838E-4 | 1.6668225E-4 | 1.0638129 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015908304 | 0.001906072 | 0.001916053 | 1.0052364 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015794903 | 0.018909173 | 0.018918984 | 1.0005188 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.9255087E-5 | 3.5154393E-5 | 4.515404E-5 | 1.2844495 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2537291E-4 | 1.5065364E-4 | 1.6065213E-4 | 1.0663674 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015253464 | 0.0018327782 | 0.0018427599 | 1.0054462 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015149189 | 0.018188244 | 0.018198062 | 1.0005398 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.287198E-5 | 2.724828E-5 | 3.7248006E-5 | 1.3669857 | 1.0E-5 | 9.801909E-5 | 1.16773626E-4 | 1.2677246E-4 | 1.0856258 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001192729 | 0.0014208833 | 0.0014308692 | 1.0070279 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011863477 | 0.014127217 | 0.014137076 | 1.0006979 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.1325764E-5 | 2.5431878E-5 | 3.5431625E-5 | 1.3931973 | 1.0E-5 | 9.139293E-5 | 1.0898972E-4 | 1.18988624E-4 | 1.0917418 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001112141 | 0.0013262323 | 0.001336219 | 1.0075302 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011065915 | 0.013192211 | 0.01320208 | 1.000748 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.9009392E-5 | 2.2613547E-5 | 3.2613323E-5 | 1.4422028 | 1.0E-5 | 8.1466285E-5 | 9.6912096E-5 | 1.0691113E-4 | 1.1031762 | 1.0E-5 | 9.914007E-4 | 0.0011793535 | 0.0011893417 | 1.0084692 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009869894 | 0.011739633 | 0.011749515 | 1.0008419 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.7098473E-5 | 2.0319356E-5 | 3.0319152E-5 | 1.4921316 | 1.0E-5 | 7.3277115E-5 | 8.708052E-5 | 9.7079654E-5 | 1.1148262 | 1.0E-5 | 8.917837E-4 | 0.001059775 | 0.0010697644 | 1.009426 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008882134 | 0.010555646 | 0.010565541 | 1.0009373 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.5982785E-5 | 1.899476E-5 | 2.8994571E-5 | 1.526451 | 1.0E-5 | 6.849585E-5 | 8.1404054E-5 | 9.1403235E-5 | 1.122834 | 1.0E-5 | 8.336179E-4 | 9.907284E-4 | 0.0010007184 | 1.0100836 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008304977 | 0.009871479 | 0.009881381 | 1.001003 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.4468002E-5 | 1.7197237E-5 | 2.7197064E-5 | 1.5814788 | 1.0E-5 | 6.200425E-5 | 7.370083E-5 | 8.370009E-5 | 1.1356736 | 1.0E-5 | 7.546402E-4 | 8.970222E-4 | 9.0701325E-4 | 1.011138 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007520827 | 0.008942284 | 0.008952194 | 1.0011083 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 5.288233E-6 | 6.2036747E-6 | 6.2036747E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2663658E-5 | 2.6587102E-5 | 2.6587102E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7589512E-4 | 3.236848E-4 | 3.236848E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027555283 | 0.0032355562 | 0.0032355562 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 8.279556E-7 | 8.408347E-7 | 8.408347E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5483763E-6 | 3.6035726E-6 | 3.6035726E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3200624E-5 | 4.3872686E-5 | 4.3872686E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3192226E-4 | 4.3864746E-4 | 4.3864746E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.559831E-7 | 6.667229E-7 | 6.667229E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8113532E-6 | 2.857381E-6 | 2.857381E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4227687E-5 | 3.4788125E-5 | 3.4788125E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4222414E-4 | 3.4783344E-4 | 3.4783344E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.5018968E-7 | 3.5620027E-7 | 3.5620027E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.500812E-6 | 1.526572E-6 | 1.526572E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8272232E-5 | 1.8585903E-5 | 1.8585903E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8270731E-4 | 1.8584808E-4 | 1.8584808E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.1986104E-7 | 1.2198376E-7 | 1.2198376E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1369005E-7 | 5.2278745E-7 | 5.2278745E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2541585E-6 | 6.364919E-6 | 6.364919E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2539824E-5 | 6.364741E-5 | 6.364741E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.0445005E-8 | 3.1027582E-8 | 3.1027582E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3047858E-7 | 1.3297536E-7 | 1.3297536E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5885756E-6 | 1.6189739E-6 | 1.6189739E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5885644E-5 | 1.6189642E-5 | 1.6189642E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Cruz Catalina Ridge alt1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.2833184E-5 | 3.6558402E-5 | 4.6558034E-5 | 1.273525 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4070606E-4 | 1.5667039E-4 | 1.7666725E-4 | 1.1276366 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00171175 | 0.0019059594 | 0.0019458832 | 1.0209469 | 4.0E-5 | 0.016986247 | 0.018913032 | 0.018962087 | 1.0025936 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.9835548E-5 | 2.1659505E-5 | 3.165929E-5 | 1.461681 | 1.0E-5 | 8.500672E-5 | 9.282326E-5 | 1.12821406E-4 | 1.2154433 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010344655 | 0.0011295575 | 0.0011695123 | 1.0353721 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010296632 | 0.011240296 | 0.011279846 | 1.0035186 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.9835548E-5 | 2.1659505E-5 | 3.165929E-5 | 1.461681 | 1.0E-5 | 8.500672E-5 | 9.282326E-5 | 1.12821406E-4 | 1.2154433 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010344655 | 0.0011295575 | 0.0011695123 | 1.0353721 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010296632 | 0.011240296 | 0.011279846 | 1.0035186 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.5728183E-5 | 1.703395E-5 | 1.703395E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7404755E-5 | 7.300063E-5 | 8.29999E-5 | 1.1369752 | 1.0E-5 | 8.2034385E-4 | 8.884264E-4 | 9.183997E-4 | 1.0337375 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008173222 | 0.008849427 | 0.008879161 | 1.00336 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.5728183E-5 | 1.703395E-5 | 1.703395E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7404755E-5 | 7.300063E-5 | 8.29999E-5 | 1.1369752 | 1.0E-5 | 8.2034385E-4 | 8.884264E-4 | 9.183997E-4 | 1.0337375 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008173222 | 0.008849427 | 0.008879161 | 1.00336 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3707734E-5 | 1.4794522E-5 | 1.4794522E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8746107E-5 | 6.3403575E-5 | 7.340294E-5 | 1.1577098 | 1.0E-5 | 7.1499916E-4 | 7.716686E-4 | 8.0164545E-4 | 1.0388469 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0071270303 | 0.0076902895 | 0.007720059 | 1.003871 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.2539813E-5 | 1.3510219E-5 | 1.3510219E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3740947E-5 | 5.789967E-5 | 6.789909E-5 | 1.1727026 | 1.0E-5 | 6.540996E-4 | 7.0470315E-4 | 7.34682E-4 | 1.0425411 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0065217763 | 0.0070249885 | 0.007054778 | 1.0042405 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.1504083E-5 | 1.2377375E-5 | 1.2377375E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.930228E-5 | 5.3044827E-5 | 6.3044296E-5 | 1.1885098 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0008996E-4 | 6.456314E-4 | 6.75612E-4 | 1.0464362 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005984721 | 0.006437786 | 0.006467593 | 1.00463 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.012739E-5 | 1.0877071E-5 | 1.0877071E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.340238E-5 | 4.6615194E-5 | 5.661473E-5 | 1.2145123 | 1.0E-5 | 5.282958E-4 | 5.673937E-4 | 5.9737667E-4 | 1.0528433 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0052704164 | 0.0056596193 | 0.0056894496 | 1.0052707 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.9607865E-6 | 9.609117E-6 | 9.609117E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8402806E-5 | 4.1181287E-5 | 5.1180876E-5 | 1.2428187 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6745385E-4 | 5.012679E-4 | 5.312529E-4 | 1.0598183 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0046647177 | 0.005001492 | 0.0050313417 | 1.0059682 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.046829E-6 | 8.619746E-6 | 8.619746E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4485955E-5 | 3.694125E-5 | 4.694088E-5 | 1.2706901 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1978562E-4 | 4.496677E-4 | 4.796542E-4 | 1.0666859 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004189935 | 0.0044876686 | 0.0045175343 | 1.006655 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.136131E-6 | 7.637656E-6 | 7.637656E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0583058E-5 | 3.2732405E-5 | 3.2732405E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7228514E-4 | 3.9844486E-4 | 4.184369E-4 | 1.0501752 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0037166206 | 0.003977381 | 0.0039973017 | 1.0050085 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.362014E-6 | 6.8049585E-6 | 6.8049585E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.726549E-5 | 2.9163786E-5 | 2.9163786E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3190678E-4 | 3.550119E-4 | 3.7500478E-4 | 1.0563161 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0033141149 | 0.003544516 | 0.003564445 | 1.0056225 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 5.004101E-6 | 5.351715E-6 | 5.351715E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1445969E-5 | 2.2935723E-5 | 2.2935723E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6107338E-4 | 2.792072E-4 | 2.8920438E-4 | 1.0358057 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002607669 | 0.0027886187 | 0.0027985908 | 1.003576 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.4901443E-6 | 3.7320526E-6 | 3.7320526E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4957676E-5 | 1.5994416E-5 | 1.5994416E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8209449E-4 | 1.9471499E-4 | 1.9471499E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018194534 | 0.0019454823 | 0.0019454823 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.1215045E-6 | 1.189387E-6 | 1.189387E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.806439E-6 | 5.097363E-6 | 5.097363E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.851682E-5 | 6.205866E-5 | 6.205866E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.850142E-4 | 6.2041637E-4 | 6.2041637E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.8599047E-7 | 2.9951994E-7 | 2.9951994E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2256729E-6 | 1.2836562E-6 | 1.2836562E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4922465E-5 | 1.5628404E-5 | 1.5628404E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4921463E-4 | 1.5627318E-4 | 1.5627318E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.0781519E-7 | 2.1744323E-7 | 2.1744323E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.906362E-7 | 9.3189925E-7 | 9.3189925E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.08434415E-5 | 1.13458145E-5 | 1.13458145E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0842913E-4 | 1.1345245E-4 | 1.1345245E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.614776E-8 | 3.764102E-8 | 3.764102E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5491896E-7 | 1.6131864E-7 | 1.6131864E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8861368E-6 | 1.9640527E-6 | 1.9640527E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8861208E-5 | 1.9640367E-5 | 1.9640367E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hayward (So) extension 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1721256E-4 | 2.3671088E-4 | 2.3671088E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.022428E-4 | 0.0010138806 | 0.0010138806 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0060976758 | 0.012250609 | 0.012270364 | 1.0016125 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0593305 | 0.11284437 | 0.11287986 | 1.0003145 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.99169E-5 | 1.3808164E-4 | 1.3808164E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9960944E-4 | 5.9155683E-4 | 5.9155683E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036416445 | 0.0071723475 | 0.0071922042 | 1.0027685 | 2.0E-5 | 0.035825435 | 0.067804344 | 0.067832306 | 1.0004125 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.99169E-5 | 1.3808164E-4 | 1.3808164E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9960944E-4 | 5.9155683E-4 | 5.9155683E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036416445 | 0.0071723475 | 0.0071922042 | 1.0027685 | 2.0E-5 | 0.035825435 | 0.067804344 | 0.067832306 | 1.0004125 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.970908E-5 | 1.3776305E-4 | 1.3776305E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9871898E-4 | 5.9019245E-4 | 5.9019245E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036308395 | 0.007155884 | 0.0071757413 | 1.002775 | 2.0E-5 | 0.035720866 | 0.0676533 | 0.067681275 | 1.0004134 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.9517155E-5 | 1.3743227E-4 | 1.3743227E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9789665E-4 | 5.8877567E-4 | 5.8877567E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036208609 | 0.0071387975 | 0.0071586547 | 1.0027816 | 2.0E-5 | 0.03562429 | 0.06749734 | 0.06752532 | 1.0004145 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.786248E-5 | 9.415232E-5 | 9.415232E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0510878E-4 | 4.0344993E-4 | 4.0344993E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024943394 | 0.0049013784 | 0.0049212803 | 1.0040605 | 2.0E-5 | 0.02466527 | 0.046900697 | 0.04692929 | 1.0006096 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.4662214E-5 | 8.8819244E-5 | 8.8819244E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9139545E-4 | 3.80601E-4 | 3.80601E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023277493 | 0.0046244357 | 0.004644343 | 1.0043049 | 2.0E-5 | 0.02303517 | 0.04429206 | 0.04432073 | 1.0006473 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.884542E-5 | 7.8650686E-5 | 7.8650686E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6646975E-4 | 3.3703333E-4 | 3.3703333E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002024885 | 0.0040961048 | 0.004116023 | 1.0048627 | 2.0E-5 | 0.020065336 | 0.039332055 | 0.039360873 | 1.0007328 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.4221863E-5 | 6.855886E-5 | 6.855886E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4665688E-4 | 2.9379298E-4 | 2.9379298E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017840851 | 0.0035714838 | 0.003581448 | 1.00279 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017698295 | 0.034419462 | 0.034429118 | 1.0002805 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.6927712E-5 | 3.006262E-5 | 3.006262E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2545314E-5 | 1.2883375E-4 | 1.2883375E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.828813E-4 | 0.0015674793 | 0.0015674793 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008793819 | 0.015463544 | 0.015463544 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.2509653E-5 | 2.246337E-5 | 2.246337E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3611697E-5 | 9.626828E-5 | 9.626828E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.525269E-4 | 0.0011714802 | 0.0011714802 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0065061417 | 0.011583166 | 0.011583166 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 8.751583E-6 | 1.4926157E-5 | 1.4926157E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.750624E-5 | 6.396771E-5 | 6.396771E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5654282E-4 | 7.785344E-4 | 7.785344E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045560603 | 0.007764457 | 0.007764457 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.354379E-6 | 1.1499087E-5 | 1.1499087E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7232769E-5 | 4.9280898E-5 | 4.9280898E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3150852E-4 | 5.9983454E-4 | 5.9983454E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033101442 | 0.006001243 | 0.006001243 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 4.645554E-6 | 8.818441E-6 | 8.818441E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9909365E-5 | 3.7792794E-5 | 3.7792794E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4236954E-4 | 4.6003403E-4 | 4.6003403E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024210536 | 0.004611421 | 0.004611421 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.23437E-6 | 7.992759E-6 | 7.992759E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8147173E-5 | 3.425425E-5 | 3.425425E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2091944E-4 | 4.1696956E-4 | 4.1696956E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022069993 | 0.0041826614 | 0.0041826614 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.2187417E-6 | 3.952336E-6 | 3.952336E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.508858E-6 | 1.6938488E-5 | 1.6938488E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.157642E-4 | 2.0620918E-4 | 2.0620918E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011570391 | 0.0020739497 | 0.0020739497 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.7952495E-8 | 3.8785874E-8 | 3.8785874E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1979641E-7 | 1.6622516E-7 | 1.6622516E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4585203E-6 | 2.0237894E-6 | 2.0237894E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4585107E-5 | 2.0317146E-5 | 2.0317146E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.7192724E-8 | 2.3436652E-8 | 2.3436652E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.36831E-8 | 1.0044278E-7 | 1.0044278E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9709135E-7 | 1.2228902E-6 | 1.2228902E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.970877E-6 | 1.2285953E-5 | 1.2285953E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Clark) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.482615E-5 | 2.1153059E-5 | 3.115285E-5 | 1.4727348 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9209793E-4 | 9.065287E-5 | 1.1065105E-4 | 1.2206018 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0023362834 | 0.0011031491 | 0.001133116 | 1.0271648 | 3.0E-5 | 0.02311874 | 0.011485709 | 0.011535134 | 1.0043032 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.482615E-5 | 2.1153059E-5 | 3.115285E-5 | 1.4727348 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9209793E-4 | 9.065287E-5 | 1.1065105E-4 | 1.2206018 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0023362834 | 0.0011031491 | 0.001133116 | 1.0271648 | 3.0E-5 | 0.02311874 | 0.011485709 | 0.011535134 | 1.0043032 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.482615E-5 | 2.1153059E-5 | 3.115285E-5 | 1.4727348 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9209793E-4 | 9.065287E-5 | 1.1065105E-4 | 1.2206018 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0023362834 | 0.0011031491 | 0.001133116 | 1.0271648 | 3.0E-5 | 0.02311874 | 0.011485709 | 0.011535134 | 1.0043032 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.482615E-5 | 2.1153059E-5 | 3.115285E-5 | 1.4727348 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9209793E-4 | 9.065287E-5 | 1.1065105E-4 | 1.2206018 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0023362834 | 0.0011031491 | 0.001133116 | 1.0271648 | 3.0E-5 | 0.02311874 | 0.011485709 | 0.011535134 | 1.0043032 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.482615E-5 | 2.1153059E-5 | 3.115285E-5 | 1.4727348 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9209793E-4 | 9.065287E-5 | 1.1065105E-4 | 1.2206018 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0023362834 | 0.0011031491 | 0.001133116 | 1.0271648 | 3.0E-5 | 0.02311874 | 0.011485709 | 0.011535134 | 1.0043032 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.7294863E-5 | 1.7354667E-5 | 2.7354492E-5 | 1.576204 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5982533E-4 | 7.437504E-5 | 9.437356E-5 | 1.2688874 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0019441366 | 9.051445E-4 | 9.351173E-4 | 1.0331138 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01927216 | 0.009485902 | 0.009535428 | 1.005221 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.7294863E-5 | 1.7354667E-5 | 2.7354492E-5 | 1.576204 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5982533E-4 | 7.437504E-5 | 9.437356E-5 | 1.2688874 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0019441366 | 9.051445E-4 | 9.351173E-4 | 1.0331138 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01927216 | 0.009485902 | 0.009535428 | 1.005221 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.6039248E-5 | 1.6602684E-5 | 2.6602518E-5 | 1.6023023 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5444479E-4 | 7.115244E-5 | 9.1151014E-5 | 1.2810667 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0018787434 | 8.659408E-4 | 8.9591485E-4 | 1.0346144 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01862939 | 0.009088189 | 0.009137735 | 1.0054517 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.5031844E-5 | 1.6231123E-5 | 2.623096E-5 | 1.6160903 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5012783E-4 | 6.956012E-5 | 8.955873E-5 | 1.2875011 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0018262739 | 8.4656954E-4 | 8.765441E-4 | 1.0354072 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01811338 | 0.008888788 | 0.008938343 | 1.0055751 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.435112E-5 | 1.6061658E-5 | 2.6061498E-5 | 1.6225907 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4721078E-4 | 6.8833884E-5 | 8.883251E-5 | 1.2905346 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017908178 | 8.377344E-4 | 8.677093E-4 | 1.0357809 | 3.0E-5 | 0.017764548 | 0.008796512 | 0.0088460725 | 1.0056341 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.8959772E-5 | 1.43355255E-5 | 2.4335382E-5 | 1.6975578 | 1.0E-5 | 1.241074E-4 | 6.1436534E-5 | 8.1435304E-5 | 1.3255192 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015099603 | 7.477359E-4 | 7.7771343E-4 | 1.0400912 | 3.0E-5 | 0.014997416 | 0.007868331 | 0.007917938 | 1.0063046 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.6002877E-5 | 1.2827699E-5 | 2.2827571E-5 | 1.779553 | 1.0E-5 | 1.11436144E-4 | 5.4974706E-5 | 7.497361E-5 | 1.3637837 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0013558907 | 6.6911365E-4 | 6.9909357E-4 | 1.0448054 | 3.0E-5 | 0.013476475 | 0.0070483433 | 0.007097991 | 1.0070438 | 5.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.2544838E-5 | 1.1260331E-5 | 2.1260219E-5 | 1.8880633 | 1.0E-5 | 9.661716E-5 | 4.825768E-5 | 6.825671E-5 | 1.4144218 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001175679 | 5.873803E-4 | 6.173627E-4 | 1.0510442 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011694785 | 0.00619256 | 0.00624225 | 1.0080242 | 5.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.75334E-5 | 1.0810585E-5 | 2.0810478E-5 | 1.9250094 | 1.0E-5 | 7.514098E-5 | 4.6330264E-5 | 6.632934E-5 | 1.4316633 | 2.0E-5 | 9.144575E-4 | 5.6392635E-4 | 5.9390947E-4 | 1.0531684 | 3.0E-5 | 0.009107036 | 0.0059332196 | 0.005982923 | 1.0083771 | 5.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.5924552E-5 | 1.0610475E-5 | 2.0610369E-5 | 1.9424548 | 1.0E-5 | 6.82463E-5 | 4.547268E-5 | 6.547177E-5 | 1.4398046 | 2.0E-5 | 8.305819E-4 | 5.534906E-4 | 5.83474E-4 | 1.0541714 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008274844 | 0.0058205863 | 0.005870295 | 1.0085402 | 5.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.3428931E-5 | 9.851045E-6 | 1.9850946E-5 | 2.0151107 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7551293E-5 | 4.221809E-5 | 6.2217245E-5 | 1.4737105 | 2.0E-5 | 7.004617E-4 | 5.1388505E-4 | 5.438697E-4 | 1.0583488 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006982579 | 0.005406209 | 0.0054559386 | 1.0091987 | 5.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.0688787E-5 | 8.614091E-6 | 1.8614004E-5 | 2.1608787 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5808283E-5 | 3.6917012E-5 | 5.6916273E-5 | 1.5417356 | 2.0E-5 | 5.5757316E-4 | 4.4937237E-4 | 4.793589E-4 | 1.0667298 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005561762 | 0.0047413614 | 0.0047911243 | 1.0104955 | 5.0E-5 |
7.7 | 8.81236E-6 | 7.4673385E-6 | 1.7467264E-5 | 2.3391552 | 1.0E-5 | 3.776671E-5 | 3.200249E-5 | 4.2002168E-5 | 1.3124657 | 1.0E-5 | 4.597127E-4 | 3.8956082E-4 | 4.0955303E-4 | 1.0513198 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0045876284 | 0.0041344194 | 0.004174254 | 1.0096349 | 4.0E-5 |
7.8 | 7.780431E-6 | 6.695928E-6 | 1.669586E-5 | 2.4934351 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3344273E-5 | 2.8696519E-5 | 3.869623E-5 | 1.3484644 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0589093E-4 | 3.4932428E-4 | 3.693173E-4 | 1.0572333 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0040515037 | 0.0037226272 | 0.0037624782 | 1.0107051 | 4.0E-5 |
7.9 | 6.5437994E-6 | 5.7797783E-6 | 1.577972E-5 | 2.7301602 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8044553E-5 | 2.4770245E-5 | 3.4769997E-5 | 1.4037002 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4138895E-4 | 3.0153614E-4 | 3.2153013E-4 | 1.0663071 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0034086495 | 0.0032343294 | 0.0032742 | 1.0123273 | 4.0E-5 |
8.0 | 5.4488164E-6 | 4.812793E-6 | 1.4812745E-5 | 3.0777855 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3351862E-5 | 2.0626094E-5 | 3.0625888E-5 | 1.4848127 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8427184E-4 | 2.510939E-4 | 2.7108888E-4 | 1.0796314 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0028390845 | 0.0027107038 | 0.0027505953 | 1.0147163 | 4.0E-5 |
8.1 | 2.8397242E-6 | 1.3665673E-6 | 1.3665673E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.217019E-5 | 5.856704E-6 | 5.856704E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4816198E-4 | 7.1303046E-5 | 8.1302336E-5 | 1.1402365 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014806325 | 8.113543E-4 | 8.213462E-4 | 1.012315 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 2.030244E-6 | 6.3151083E-7 | 6.3151083E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.701017E-6 | 2.7064723E-6 | 2.7064723E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.05929736E-4 | 3.2950808E-5 | 3.2950808E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010587925 | 3.9470522E-4 | 3.9470522E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.0659804E-6 | 2.9230563E-7 | 2.9230563E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.568479E-6 | 1.2527379E-6 | 1.2527379E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5619817E-5 | 1.5251981E-5 | 1.5251981E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5605895E-4 | 1.8556409E-4 | 1.8556409E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Sierra Madre
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.3379373E-5 | 1.1000776E-5 | 4.1000447E-5 | 3.7270503 | 3.0E-5 | 5.7338908E-5 | 4.714534E-5 | 7.714392E-5 | 1.6363001 | 3.0E-5 | 6.978776E-4 | 5.738448E-4 | 6.038276E-4 | 1.052249 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0069569005 | 0.0057238447 | 0.0057735587 | 1.0086854 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.3379373E-5 | 1.1000776E-5 | 4.1000447E-5 | 3.7270503 | 3.0E-5 | 5.7338908E-5 | 4.714534E-5 | 7.714392E-5 | 1.6363001 | 3.0E-5 | 6.978776E-4 | 5.738448E-4 | 6.038276E-4 | 1.052249 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0069569005 | 0.0057238447 | 0.0057735587 | 1.0086854 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.3379373E-5 | 1.1000776E-5 | 4.1000447E-5 | 3.7270503 | 3.0E-5 | 5.7338908E-5 | 4.714534E-5 | 7.714392E-5 | 1.6363001 | 3.0E-5 | 6.978776E-4 | 5.738448E-4 | 6.038276E-4 | 1.052249 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0069569005 | 0.0057238447 | 0.0057735587 | 1.0086854 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3379373E-5 | 1.1000776E-5 | 4.1000447E-5 | 3.7270503 | 3.0E-5 | 5.7338908E-5 | 4.714534E-5 | 7.714392E-5 | 1.6363001 | 3.0E-5 | 6.978776E-4 | 5.738448E-4 | 6.038276E-4 | 1.052249 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0069569005 | 0.0057238447 | 0.0057735587 | 1.0086854 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.3379373E-5 | 1.1000776E-5 | 4.1000447E-5 | 3.7270503 | 3.0E-5 | 5.7338908E-5 | 4.714534E-5 | 7.714392E-5 | 1.6363001 | 3.0E-5 | 6.978776E-4 | 5.738448E-4 | 6.038276E-4 | 1.052249 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0069569005 | 0.0057238447 | 0.0057735587 | 1.0086854 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.26563245E-5 | 1.0230232E-5 | 4.0229927E-5 | 3.9324548 | 3.0E-5 | 5.4240263E-5 | 4.384312E-5 | 7.38418E-5 | 1.6842278 | 3.0E-5 | 6.601751E-4 | 5.3366035E-4 | 5.6364434E-4 | 1.0561855 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006582173 | 0.0053239604 | 0.005373694 | 1.0093415 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.26563245E-5 | 1.0230232E-5 | 4.0229927E-5 | 3.9324548 | 3.0E-5 | 5.4240263E-5 | 4.384312E-5 | 7.38418E-5 | 1.6842278 | 3.0E-5 | 6.601751E-4 | 5.3366035E-4 | 5.6364434E-4 | 1.0561855 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006582173 | 0.0053239604 | 0.005373694 | 1.0093415 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2502474E-5 | 1.00663765E-5 | 4.0066076E-5 | 3.9801884 | 3.0E-5 | 5.3580934E-5 | 4.3140906E-5 | 7.3139614E-5 | 1.6953657 | 3.0E-5 | 6.521526E-4 | 5.25115E-4 | 5.550992E-4 | 1.0571003 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0065024206 | 0.0052389116 | 0.0052886494 | 1.009494 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2454966E-5 | 1.0018662E-5 | 4.001836E-5 | 3.994382 | 3.0E-5 | 5.3377335E-5 | 4.293642E-5 | 7.293513E-5 | 1.6986775 | 3.0E-5 | 6.4967526E-4 | 5.226266E-4 | 5.526109E-4 | 1.0573723 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006477792 | 0.0052141445 | 0.0052638836 | 1.0095392 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.2225574E-5 | 9.792639E-6 | 3.9792343E-5 | 4.0634956 | 3.0E-5 | 5.2394265E-5 | 4.196778E-5 | 7.1966526E-5 | 1.714804 | 3.0E-5 | 6.3771347E-4 | 5.10839E-4 | 5.408237E-4 | 1.0586969 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006358865 | 0.0050968137 | 0.005146559 | 1.00976 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.182946E-5 | 9.399179E-6 | 3.93989E-5 | 4.191738 | 3.0E-5 | 5.06967E-5 | 4.0281582E-5 | 7.028037E-5 | 1.7447273 | 3.0E-5 | 6.1705755E-4 | 4.903189E-4 | 5.203042E-4 | 1.0611547 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006153469 | 0.004892533 | 0.0049422886 | 1.0101696 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.14369095E-5 | 8.986194E-6 | 3.8985923E-5 | 4.338424 | 3.0E-5 | 4.9014405E-5 | 3.85117E-5 | 6.851054E-5 | 1.778954 | 3.0E-5 | 5.9658696E-4 | 4.6878002E-4 | 4.9876596E-4 | 1.0639659 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005949879 | 0.0046780678 | 0.004727834 | 1.0106381 | 5.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.0836419E-5 | 8.39959E-6 | 2.8399421E-5 | 3.3810487 | 2.0E-5 | 4.644097E-5 | 3.599775E-5 | 5.599703E-5 | 1.5555702 | 2.0E-5 | 5.652721E-4 | 4.3818538E-4 | 4.5817663E-4 | 1.0456228 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0056383642 | 0.0043733614 | 0.0044131866 | 1.0091063 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.0403439E-5 | 8.020854E-6 | 2.8020693E-5 | 3.49348 | 2.0E-5 | 4.4585406E-5 | 3.437464E-5 | 5.437395E-5 | 1.5818043 | 2.0E-5 | 5.426921E-4 | 4.184318E-4 | 4.3842342E-4 | 1.0477775 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005413687 | 0.004176585 | 0.0042064595 | 1.0071529 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.768864E-6 | 7.4144855E-6 | 2.7414337E-5 | 3.6974025 | 2.0E-5 | 4.186589E-5 | 3.1775984E-5 | 5.1775347E-5 | 1.6293862 | 2.0E-5 | 5.09598E-4 | 3.868048E-4 | 4.0679707E-4 | 1.0516857 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0050843097 | 0.0038614576 | 0.0038913419 | 1.0077391 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 8.687089E-6 | 6.450183E-6 | 2.6450054E-5 | 4.1006675 | 2.0E-5 | 3.722985E-5 | 2.7643353E-5 | 4.76428E-5 | 1.7234812 | 2.0E-5 | 4.5317915E-4 | 3.3650672E-4 | 3.5649998E-4 | 1.0594141 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004522561 | 0.003360109 | 0.0033900081 | 1.0088983 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.3506063E-6 | 4.430329E-6 | 1.4430285E-5 | 3.2571585 | 1.0E-5 | 2.72166E-5 | 1.8986988E-5 | 2.8986798E-5 | 1.5266665 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3131172E-4 | 2.3114232E-4 | 2.4114E-4 | 1.0432534 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003308182 | 0.0023090935 | 0.0023190705 | 1.0043207 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.62223E-6 | 2.9329542E-6 | 2.9329542E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9809406E-5 | 1.2569743E-5 | 1.2569743E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4115283E-4 | 1.5302589E-4 | 1.5302589E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024089129 | 0.0015292577 | 0.0015292577 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.2145008E-6 | 1.949411E-6 | 1.949411E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3776359E-5 | 8.354592E-6 | 8.354592E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6771426E-4 | 1.01712416E-4 | 1.01712416E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016758774 | 0.0010166786 | 0.0010166786 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.0391769E-6 | 5.602482E-7 | 5.602482E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4536077E-6 | 2.4010617E-6 | 2.4010617E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4221324E-5 | 2.9232539E-5 | 2.9232539E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4208096E-4 | 2.9228735E-4 | 2.9228735E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.210983E-7 | 6.613497E-8 | 6.613497E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1899264E-7 | 2.8343558E-7 | 2.8343558E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3187167E-6 | 3.4508228E-6 | 3.4508228E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.318537E-5 | 3.450771E-5 | 3.450771E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Simi-Santa Rosa
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.198912E-5 | 2.2275388E-5 | 2.2275388E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4235686E-5 | 9.54627E-5 | 9.54627E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011467156 | 0.0011616825 | 0.0011816593 | 1.0171964 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011408163 | 0.011560547 | 0.01160997 | 1.0042751 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.198912E-5 | 2.2275388E-5 | 2.2275388E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4235686E-5 | 9.54627E-5 | 9.54627E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011467156 | 0.0011616825 | 0.0011816593 | 1.0171964 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011408163 | 0.011560547 | 0.01160997 | 1.0042751 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.69983E-5 | 1.6668506E-5 | 1.6668506E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.284782E-5 | 7.143466E-5 | 7.143466E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.865613E-4 | 8.6939917E-4 | 8.6939917E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008830327 | 0.0086629 | 0.008682727 | 1.0022887 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.69983E-5 | 1.6668506E-5 | 1.6668506E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.284782E-5 | 7.143466E-5 | 7.143466E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.865613E-4 | 8.6939917E-4 | 8.6939917E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008830327 | 0.0086629 | 0.008682727 | 1.0022887 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.4666188E-5 | 1.4052489E-5 | 1.4052489E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.285358E-5 | 6.0223705E-5 | 6.0223705E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6497364E-4 | 7.330018E-4 | 7.330018E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0076234564 | 0.0073083164 | 0.0073182434 | 1.0013583 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.4666188E-5 | 1.4052489E-5 | 1.4052489E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.285358E-5 | 6.0223705E-5 | 6.0223705E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6497364E-4 | 7.330018E-4 | 7.330018E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0076234564 | 0.0073083164 | 0.0073182434 | 1.0013583 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.4377586E-5 | 1.3729529E-5 | 1.3729529E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1616774E-5 | 5.883965E-5 | 5.883965E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4992597E-4 | 7.1616215E-4 | 7.1616215E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007474003 | 0.0071410104 | 0.007150939 | 1.0013903 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.3881404E-5 | 1.3207497E-5 | 1.3207497E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9490372E-5 | 5.6602472E-5 | 5.6602472E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.240546E-4 | 6.889419E-4 | 6.889419E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007217 | 0.0068705105 | 0.006880442 | 1.0014455 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0176516E-5 | 9.1541E-6 | 9.1541E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3612912E-5 | 3.923136E-5 | 3.923136E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.308578E-4 | 4.775537E-4 | 4.775537E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052959146 | 0.004766908 | 0.00477686 | 1.0020878 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.699797E-6 | 8.774672E-6 | 8.774672E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.15699E-5 | 3.760529E-5 | 3.760529E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.05996E-4 | 4.5776463E-4 | 4.5776463E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005048454 | 0.0045698346 | 0.004579789 | 1.0021783 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.4049476E-6 | 6.559291E-6 | 6.559291E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1735104E-5 | 2.8111013E-5 | 2.8111013E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8630638E-4 | 3.422105E-4 | 3.422105E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038563553 | 0.0034180775 | 0.0034180775 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 3.873439E-6 | 2.759473E-6 | 2.759473E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6600346E-5 | 1.1826261E-5 | 1.1826261E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0209046E-4 | 1.4397544E-4 | 1.4397544E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020190678 | 0.0014388453 | 0.0014388453 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.417706E-6 | 2.367616E-6 | 2.367616E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4647229E-5 | 1.0146887E-5 | 1.0146887E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7831543E-4 | 1.2353157E-4 | 1.2353157E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017817242 | 0.0012346513 | 0.0012346513 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.90225E-6 | 1.4073756E-6 | 1.4073756E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.152474E-6 | 6.031596E-6 | 6.031596E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9251854E-5 | 7.343223E-5 | 7.343223E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.920754E-4 | 7.340819E-4 | 7.340819E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.5170556E-6 | 1.1024792E-6 | 1.1024792E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5016507E-6 | 4.7249023E-6 | 4.7249023E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.915472E-5 | 5.752418E-5 | 5.752418E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9126534E-4 | 5.75094E-4 | 5.75094E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.178732E-6 | 8.5351127E-7 | 8.5351127E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0516987E-6 | 3.6579004E-6 | 3.6579004E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1502695E-5 | 4.4534037E-5 | 4.4534037E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.148568E-4 | 4.4525208E-4 | 4.4525208E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.8722386E-7 | 4.793211E-7 | 4.793211E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9452417E-6 | 2.0542318E-6 | 2.0542318E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5857727E-5 | 2.5009986E-5 | 2.5009986E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5851944E-4 | 2.5007184E-4 | 2.5007184E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.5126515E-7 | 3.6731117E-7 | 3.6731117E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3625628E-6 | 1.5741898E-6 | 1.5741898E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8763823E-5 | 1.9165593E-5 | 1.9165593E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.87601E-4 | 1.9163951E-4 | 1.9163951E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.3860243E-7 | 2.0075514E-7 | 2.0075514E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4511525E-6 | 8.6037886E-7 | 8.6037886E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7667637E-5 | 1.0475063E-5 | 1.0475063E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7666233E-4 | 1.0474575E-4 | 1.0474575E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.7955386E-7 | 1.4648724E-7 | 1.4648724E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1980875E-6 | 6.278023E-7 | 6.278023E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4586617E-5 | 7.643467E-6 | 7.643467E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.458566E-4 | 7.643208E-5 | 7.643208E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 5.6259015E-8 | 3.335318E-8 | 3.335318E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4111003E-7 | 1.429422E-7 | 1.429422E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9355108E-6 | 1.7403199E-6 | 1.7403199E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.935472E-5 | 1.7403077E-5 | 1.7403077E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Raymond
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5157413E-5 | 1.5810125E-5 | 2.5809968E-5 | 1.632496 | 1.0E-5 | 6.4958724E-5 | 6.775606E-5 | 7.775539E-5 | 1.1475782 | 1.0E-5 | 7.905855E-4 | 8.246429E-4 | 8.3463464E-4 | 1.0121164 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007877788 | 0.008218355 | 0.008267944 | 1.0060339 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.5157413E-5 | 1.5810125E-5 | 2.5809968E-5 | 1.632496 | 1.0E-5 | 6.4958724E-5 | 6.775606E-5 | 7.775539E-5 | 1.1475782 | 1.0E-5 | 7.905855E-4 | 8.246429E-4 | 8.3463464E-4 | 1.0121164 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007877788 | 0.008218355 | 0.008267944 | 1.0060339 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.5157413E-5 | 1.5810125E-5 | 2.5809968E-5 | 1.632496 | 1.0E-5 | 6.4958724E-5 | 6.775606E-5 | 7.775539E-5 | 1.1475782 | 1.0E-5 | 7.905855E-4 | 8.246429E-4 | 8.3463464E-4 | 1.0121164 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007877788 | 0.008218355 | 0.008267944 | 1.0060339 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.5157413E-5 | 1.5810125E-5 | 2.5809968E-5 | 1.632496 | 1.0E-5 | 6.4958724E-5 | 6.775606E-5 | 7.775539E-5 | 1.1475782 | 1.0E-5 | 7.905855E-4 | 8.246429E-4 | 8.3463464E-4 | 1.0121164 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007877788 | 0.008218355 | 0.008267944 | 1.0060339 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.3941944E-5 | 1.4454688E-5 | 2.4454543E-5 | 1.691807 | 1.0E-5 | 5.9749822E-5 | 6.194732E-5 | 7.1946706E-5 | 1.1614175 | 1.0E-5 | 7.2721124E-4 | 7.53971E-4 | 7.6396344E-4 | 1.0132531 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007248361 | 0.007516471 | 0.0075660953 | 1.006602 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3941944E-5 | 1.4454688E-5 | 2.4454543E-5 | 1.691807 | 1.0E-5 | 5.9749822E-5 | 6.194732E-5 | 7.1946706E-5 | 1.1614175 | 1.0E-5 | 7.2721124E-4 | 7.53971E-4 | 7.6396344E-4 | 1.0132531 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007248361 | 0.007516471 | 0.0075660953 | 1.006602 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0542609E-5 | 1.067111E-5 | 2.0671003E-5 | 1.9370996 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5181827E-5 | 4.573256E-5 | 5.57321E-5 | 1.2186526 | 1.0E-5 | 5.499499E-4 | 5.566571E-4 | 5.666515E-4 | 1.0179543 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005485909 | 0.0055531966 | 0.0055830297 | 1.0053723 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.0542609E-5 | 1.067111E-5 | 2.0671003E-5 | 1.9370996 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5181827E-5 | 4.573256E-5 | 5.57321E-5 | 1.2186526 | 1.0E-5 | 5.499499E-4 | 5.566571E-4 | 5.666515E-4 | 1.0179543 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005485909 | 0.0055531966 | 0.0055830297 | 1.0053723 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0079132E-5 | 1.0176644E-5 | 2.0176542E-5 | 1.9826323 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3195567E-5 | 4.3613487E-5 | 5.361305E-5 | 1.2292769 | 1.0E-5 | 5.257791E-4 | 5.308702E-4 | 5.408649E-4 | 1.018827 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0052453685 | 0.0052965777 | 0.0053264187 | 1.0056341 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.721598E-6 | 7.548902E-6 | 1.7548826E-5 | 2.324686 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3092143E-5 | 3.2352043E-5 | 4.235172E-5 | 1.3090895 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0282236E-4 | 3.9381615E-4 | 4.038122E-4 | 1.0253825 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0040209293 | 0.003931324 | 0.003961206 | 1.007601 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.137566E-6 | 6.911303E-6 | 1.6911234E-5 | 2.4468951 | 1.0E-5 | 3.058921E-5 | 2.961954E-5 | 3.9619244E-5 | 1.337605 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7236E-4 | 3.605593E-4 | 3.705557E-4 | 1.0277247 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037173668 | 0.003599869 | 0.003629761 | 1.0083036 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.654976E-6 | 5.299538E-6 | 1.5299485E-5 | 2.8869472 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4235387E-5 | 2.2712107E-5 | 3.271188E-5 | 1.4402838 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9502588E-4 | 2.7648505E-4 | 2.8648227E-4 | 1.0361583 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029463451 | 0.0027614492 | 0.0027913663 | 1.0108339 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.9358455E-6 | 4.526655E-6 | 4.526655E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1153453E-5 | 1.9399806E-5 | 1.9399806E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5751285E-4 | 2.3616718E-4 | 2.3616718E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025721465 | 0.002359192 | 0.0023791445 | 1.0084574 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.2368597E-6 | 3.8056128E-6 | 3.8056128E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8157843E-5 | 1.6309668E-5 | 1.6309668E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2104931E-4 | 1.9855222E-4 | 1.9855222E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022082955 | 0.0019837746 | 0.0019937549 | 1.0050309 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.4999923E-6 | 3.0437407E-6 | 3.0437407E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.49998805E-5 | 1.3044538E-5 | 1.3044538E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8260824E-4 | 1.5880575E-4 | 1.5880575E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018245826 | 0.0015869461 | 0.0015969302 | 1.0062914 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.738017E-6 | 2.3020405E-6 | 2.3020405E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1734306E-5 | 9.865851E-6 | 9.865851E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.428558E-4 | 1.20110184E-4 | 1.20110184E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014276401 | 0.0012004747 | 0.0012104627 | 1.0083201 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.8186392E-6 | 1.442302E-6 | 1.442302E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.794145E-6 | 6.1812802E-6 | 6.1812802E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.488958E-5 | 7.5254524E-5 | 7.5254524E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4849075E-4 | 7.5230957E-4 | 7.5230957E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.0660348E-6 | 7.6437E-7 | 7.6437E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5687125E-6 | 3.2758674E-6 | 3.2758674E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5622655E-5 | 3.988297E-5 | 3.988297E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5608735E-4 | 3.9877492E-4 | 3.9877492E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 6.913602E-7 | 4.3202903E-7 | 4.3202903E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.962969E-6 | 1.8515517E-6 | 1.8515517E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.607355E-5 | 2.2542416E-5 | 2.2542416E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6067693E-4 | 2.2541684E-4 | 2.2541684E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.425201E-8 | 5.322267E-8 | 5.322267E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1822285E-7 | 2.2809714E-7 | 2.2809714E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.874356E-6 | 2.7770805E-6 | 2.7770805E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8742884E-5 | 2.7770588E-5 | 2.7770588E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Verdugo
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.392987E-6 | 4.2164934E-6 | 4.2164934E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3112598E-5 | 1.8070563E-5 | 1.8070563E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8135953E-4 | 2.1998737E-4 | 2.2998518E-4 | 1.0454471 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028100356 | 0.0021977439 | 0.002237656 | 1.0181605 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.392987E-6 | 4.2164934E-6 | 4.2164934E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3112598E-5 | 1.8070563E-5 | 1.8070563E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8135953E-4 | 2.1998737E-4 | 2.2998518E-4 | 1.0454471 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028100356 | 0.0021977439 | 0.002237656 | 1.0181605 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 5.392987E-6 | 4.2164934E-6 | 4.2164934E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3112598E-5 | 1.8070563E-5 | 1.8070563E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8135953E-4 | 2.1998737E-4 | 2.2998518E-4 | 1.0454471 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028100356 | 0.0021977439 | 0.002237656 | 1.0181605 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 5.392987E-6 | 4.2164934E-6 | 4.21 |