Parent Section Magnitude-Probability Distributions

Only fault sections with at least one triggered aftershock are plotted. Sections are sorted by total supraseismogenic trigger rate (decreasing)

Table Of Contents

Garlock (Central)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.5131142E-57.02476E-50.06820546970.92940.068142.3625491E-43.0102677E-40.084265746279.927730.083990.00287260950.0036589060.11581702531.6534580.112570.0283575910.0361366570.16962214.6939070.13849
6.15.5131142E-57.02476E-50.06820546970.92940.068142.3625491E-43.0102677E-40.084265746279.927730.083990.00287260950.0036589060.11581702531.6534580.112570.0283575910.0361366570.16962214.6939070.13849
6.24.216245E-55.1661802E-50.040969547793.03370.040921.806837E-42.213891E-40.0512001231.267490.050990.00219760460.0026921120.07176565426.6577530.069260.0217599890.0267013180.1104342044.1359080.08603
6.34.216245E-55.1661802E-50.040969547793.03370.040921.806837E-42.213891E-40.0512001231.267490.050990.00219760460.0026921120.07176565426.6577530.069260.0217599890.0267013180.1104342044.1359080.08603
6.43.6858168E-54.411026E-50.032072697727.10290.032031.5795401E-41.8903041E-40.04014148212.354580.039960.00192139370.00229904130.05664381424.6380140.054470.0190486550.0228660980.088881263.88703230.06756
6.53.39199E-54.0018425E-50.028648874715.89210.028611.453629E-41.7149639E-40.035815384208.840450.035650.00176835650.00208599070.0504748424.1970580.048490.0175435080.0207587830.079895163.848740.06039
6.63.3571985E-53.947258E-50.028568346723.75170.028531.4387199E-41.6915736E-40.03573314211.242020.035570.00175023420.00205756720.05033802224.4648270.048380.0173651330.0204800420.0794863253.88116030.06024
6.73.2580007E-53.808902E-50.027407046719.55240.027371.3962112E-41.6322857E-40.034227666209.691650.034070.00169856170.00198551780.0482135524.2826060.046320.0168563720.0197708740.07636933.86271790.05774
6.83.2185937E-53.7516216E-50.026716515712.13250.026681.3793244E-41.60774E-40.033355437207.467860.03320.00167803370.00195568750.0470573124.0617750.045190.0166541920.0194778780.0747989343.84019950.05642
6.93.165394E-53.672075E-50.026095765710.65440.026061.3565269E-41.5736527E-40.032602258207.175690.032450.00165032020.001914260.0459398223.9987370.044110.016381180.0190715180.073022583.82888150.055
7.03.0903822E-53.562591E-50.025434721713.938840.02541.3243823E-41.5267366E-40.03173785207.880340.031590.00161124280.00185723820.04470750724.0720370.042930.0159961040.0185134930.071023023.83628440.0535
7.13.0069863E-53.4392175E-50.024173561702.87970.024141.2886449E-41.4738683E-40.03018296204.787370.030040.00156779590.00179297870.04265957323.7925720.040940.015567810.017880990.0679101353.79789570.05094
7.22.7957109E-53.128141E-50.02016065644.4930.020131.1981068E-41.3405642E-40.025130706187.463640.0250.00145771880.00163093450.0358949622.008830.034320.0144819370.0162843520.0583677073.5842820.04278
7.32.4519275E-52.6714602E-50.013986342523.54670.013961.0507837E-41.1448621E-40.01754249153.227980.017430.00127857830.0013929930.02544943618.2696080.024090.0127124690.013928610.043905183.1521580.0304
7.42.3225532E-52.5199166E-50.012624881501.003940.01269.95342E-51.0799204E-40.015836293146.643160.015730.00121115510.00131402440.02304543217.5380540.021760.0120457530.0131461960.040185993.0568530.0274
7.52.097765E-52.2483406E-50.009742265433.30910.009728.9901114E-59.6353964E-50.012185189126.462770.012090.00109399650.001172490.01798275715.3372370.016830.0108862640.01174065750.032662112.78196570.02117
7.61.511254E-51.5990969E-50.0053559057334.933170.005346.476642E-56.8530964E-50.0066480897.008410.006587.882459E-48.34053E-40.00988649711.85355950.009060.0078545580.0083838670.0198271182.3649130.01154
7.79.934069E-61.0678523E-50.0016806606157.3870.001674.2573887E-54.5764296E-50.002065671845.137190.002025.182138E-45.570383E-40.00321555655.77259540.002660.005170070.0056274190.0089187921.58488150.00331
7.86.7562896E-68.42837E-60.0010584195125.57820.001052.8955206E-53.6121084E-50.001356073437.542430.001323.5247262E-44.3968562E-40.00215892944.9101660.001720.00351914060.0044464160.00658685671.48138550.00215
7.93.975453E-65.3710532E-66.5536756E-4122.018456.5E-41.7037546E-52.3018596E-58.429997E-436.622558.2E-42.0741238E-42.8021546E-40.00133991854.78174350.001060.0020721890.00283356690.0041398551.46100490.00131
8.01.6729537E-62.0775192E-61.8207714E-487.641621.8E-47.169782E-68.903624E-62.2890167E-425.708822.2E-48.7288594E-51.0839626E-44.2836159E-43.95181133.2E-48.7254314E-40.0010968540.00148642621.35517243.9E-4
8.13.6733252E-73.1489736E-72.031489E-564.512732.0E-51.5742813E-61.3495595E-63.134952E-523.2294453.0E-51.9166706E-51.643078E-55.6430123E-53.43441534.0E-51.9165053E-41.662928E-42.1628448E-41.30062455.0E-5

Tank Canyon

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.8284557E-55.796445E-50.036595847631.349850.036542.0691741E-42.4839927E-40.049936052201.031420.04970.00251630880.00302073360.0791002226.1857660.076310.024880060.0298636160.13003024.35413460.10325
6.11.7796336E-52.0873378E-50.012260618587.38070.012247.626778E-58.945448E-50.017197924192.253360.017119.281647E-40.00108860240.02824900325.9497910.027190.0092429750.0108366420.0484050664.46679540.03798
6.21.7796336E-52.0873378E-50.012260618587.38070.012247.626778E-58.945448E-50.017197924192.253360.017119.281647E-40.00108860240.02824900325.9497910.027190.0092429750.0108366420.0484050664.46679540.03798
6.31.3515912E-51.5759651E-50.008815621559.379150.00885.792405E-56.7539746E-50.0124167055183.842940.012357.049971E-48.2200987E-40.02041589124.8365520.019610.0070276470.0081921570.035437124.3257370.02747
6.41.0870146E-51.2618114E-50.0063525382503.445920.006344.658551E-55.4076605E-50.009143585169.085780.009095.67031E-46.582015E-40.01494878922.7115690.01430.0056558630.0065643820.0266218464.05549960.02019
6.57.964826E-69.196184E-60.0040091593435.959050.0043.4134522E-53.941168E-50.0058291834147.904970.005794.1550855E-44.797421E-40.00960536220.0219290.009130.00414732470.0047882090.0176363943.68329640.01291
6.66.6317E-67.612378E-60.002807591368.819180.00282.8421264E-53.262412E-50.0042224876129.428390.004193.4597394E-43.9713533E-40.007094474517.8641220.00670.00345435790.00396525160.0134176213.3838010.00949
6.74.793663E-65.4308593E-60.0016554219304.81770.001652.0544108E-52.3274928E-50.0024332188104.542490.002412.500958E-42.833398E-40.003922308313.8431260.003640.00249814520.00283031890.0079956582.82500240.00518
6.84.382823E-64.969325E-60.0015449617310.899720.001541.8783392E-52.1296957E-50.0022112504103.82940.002192.286638E-42.5926388E-40.00354841113.6864840.003290.00228428650.00259012330.0073078722.82143780.00473
6.92.729601E-63.0735862E-67.530713E-4245.013897.5E-41.1698237E-51.3172453E-50.001093158382.9882050.001081.4241673E-41.6036403E-40.00185009311.5368330.001690.0014232550.00160248080.00391876332.44543530.00232
7.01.8987357E-62.126971E-63.7212617E-4174.955933.7E-48.137413E-69.115562E-65.1911094E-456.947775.1E-49.90685E-51.1097702E-49.0088934E-48.1178027.9E-49.902435E-40.00110928460.00216810871.95451080.00106
7.11.4928986E-61.6641525E-61.9166384E-4115.1720351.9E-46.398121E-67.132066E-62.671302E-437.4548152.6E-47.789434E-58.6830034E-54.867953E-45.6063014.0E-47.786704E-48.6801895E-40.00141754151.63307675.5E-4
7.21.069082E-61.1828765E-66.118281E-551.7237436.0E-54.581772E-65.0694644E-69.506901E-518.7532659.0E-55.5781646E-56.171951E-52.0171086E-43.26818661.4E-45.576765E-46.1707594E-48.369402E-41.35630012.2E-4
7.38.776551E-79.770151E-73.0976986E-531.7057383.0E-53.7613736E-64.187204E-66.4186956E-515.3293116.0E-54.579376E-55.0978535E-51.5097344E-42.961511.0E-44.5784327E-45.097194E-46.59643E-41.29412951.5E-4
7.47.55721E-78.5103835E-73.0851013E-536.2510223.0E-53.2388E-63.6473052E-66.364709E-517.4504416.0E-53.9431678E-54.4405555E-51.4440111E-43.25187061.0E-43.942468E-44.4401767E-45.7395996E-41.29265121.3E-4
7.55.587665E-76.305732E-72.0630561E-532.7171552.0E-52.3947114E-62.7024564E-64.2702348E-515.8013094.0E-52.915522E-53.2902408E-59.290043E-52.82351476.0E-52.9151395E-43.2902407E-44.1899446E-41.27344629.0E-5

Little Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.8424427E-53.1205716E-50.030590253980.27720.030561.2181328E-41.3373268E-40.038538598288.176360.038410.00148206770.00162711250.05352253532.8941840.051980.0147222230.0161653980.079514514.9188090.06439
6.12.8424427E-53.1205716E-50.030590253980.27720.030561.2181328E-41.3373268E-40.038538598288.176360.038410.00148206770.00162711250.05352253532.8941840.051980.0147222230.0161653980.079514514.9188090.06439
6.22.8424427E-53.1205716E-50.030590253980.27720.030561.2181328E-41.3373268E-40.038538598288.176360.038410.00148206770.00162711250.05352253532.8941840.051980.0147222230.0161653980.079514514.9188090.06439
6.31.48860645E-51.6081383E-50.0207657481291.2910.020756.379586E-56.8918554E-50.025937136376.344730.025877.7643775E-48.387886E-40.03531984242.108160.034510.0077373050.0083590450.0501963766.00503730.04219
6.41.48860645E-51.6081383E-50.0207657481291.2910.020756.379586E-56.8918554E-50.025937136376.344730.025877.7643775E-48.387886E-40.03531984242.108160.034510.0077373050.0083590450.0501963766.00503730.04219
6.51.2797581E-51.376556E-50.0194034991409.56850.019395.4845623E-55.8994065E-50.02418757410.000060.024136.675408E-47.1804173E-40.03278545.6589050.032090.0066553920.0071597670.0458904656.4094910.03901
6.69.661896E-61.0289033E-50.0171201141663.91870.017114.1407468E-54.40952E-50.021323157483.570950.021285.040193E-45.36743E-40.02870161853.4736630.028180.0050287770.00535607150.039362957.349220.03419
6.77.767871E-68.199681E-60.0150580761836.42210.015053.329045E-53.5141096E-50.018764483533.975460.018734.0523586E-44.2777258E-40.02518717658.879830.024770.0040449770.0042708430.0342323338.0153570.03009
6.86.4235196E-66.735739E-60.0116766571733.53760.011672.752908E-52.8867207E-50.0145084495502.592770.014483.35115E-43.5141438E-40.01963463655.873170.019290.0033461010.00350984720.0267579637.6236830.02333
6.93.1283696E-63.1121751E-60.0073830892372.32450.007381.3407229E-51.33378335E-50.009163216687.009340.009151.6322079E-41.6237753E-40.01215043174.828280.011990.00163100950.00162273720.0159794029.8471910.01438
7.02.290603E-62.2286763E-60.0048022182154.740.00489.816834E-69.551441E-60.005909495618.701970.00591.19513395E-41.1628362E-40.007795390767.0377350.007680.00119449140.00116232990.0103616258.914530.00921
7.11.293693E-61.1776774E-60.00202117531716.23850.002025.5443866E-65.047183E-60.0025150345498.30460.002516.750081E-56.1448416E-50.003401243155.3511920.003346.7480316E-46.1438273E-40.00471186367.66926430.0041
7.24.715842E-73.091732E-76.0309154E-5195.065926.0E-52.0210737E-61.3250274E-68.132492E-561.376038.0E-52.4606294E-51.6132095E-51.2613033E-47.81859541.1E-42.460357E-41.6130977E-43.3128235E-42.05370281.7E-4
7.33.9430947E-72.3096938E-72.0230964E-587.5915452.0E-51.6898966E-69.898685E-73.098984E-531.3070283.0E-52.0574296E-51.2051582E-57.205086E-55.97853956.0E-52.0572392E-41.2050936E-42.0049972E-41.66376898.0E-5
7.43.547123E-71.9678579E-72.0196781E-5102.633332.0E-51.5201948E-68.433674E-73.084334E-536.5716553.0E-51.8508214E-51.02679505E-55.026754E-54.8955774.0E-51.8506673E-41.0267482E-41.6266866E-41.58430916.0E-5
7.52.6354266E-71.4422719E-71.0144226E-570.3350451.0E-51.129468E-66.1811636E-72.0618105E-533.3563462.0E-51.3751187E-57.525541E-62.7525391E-53.6575962.0E-51.3750336E-47.5252916E-51.1524991E-41.53150084.0E-5
7.61.269913E-77.572344E-87.572344E-81.00.05.4424834E-73.24529E-73.24529E-71.00.06.6262032E-63.9511337E-63.9511337E-61.00.06.626006E-53.9510673E-55.950988E-51.50617242.0E-5

Airport Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2387061E-51.3103157E-50.0284427312170.67770.028435.3086325E-55.615534E-50.03453422614.97660.034486.461343E-46.8350515E-40.04539292766.411970.044740.00644258880.00681683930.0601408448.8223940.05369
6.11.2387061E-51.3103157E-50.0284427312170.67770.028435.3086325E-55.615534E-50.03453422614.97660.034486.461343E-46.8350515E-40.04539292766.411970.044740.00644258880.00681683930.0601408448.8223940.05369
6.21.2387061E-51.3103157E-50.0284427312170.67770.028435.3086325E-55.615534E-50.03453422614.97660.034486.461343E-46.8350515E-40.04539292766.411970.044740.00644258880.00681683930.0601408448.8223940.05369
6.31.2387061E-51.3103157E-50.0284427312170.67770.028435.3086325E-55.615534E-50.03453422614.97660.034486.461343E-46.8350515E-40.04539292766.411970.044740.00644258880.00681683930.0601408448.8223940.05369
6.41.2387061E-51.3103157E-50.0284427312170.67770.028435.3086325E-55.615534E-50.03453422614.97660.034486.461343E-46.8350515E-40.04539292766.411970.044740.00644258880.00681683930.0601408448.8223940.05369
6.56.9922594E-67.384925E-60.021087232855.44260.021082.996648E-53.1649324E-50.025560841807.62670.025533.6478083E-43.8526783E-40.03363245487.2962950.033260.0036418260.00384653660.04368271311.3563760.03999
6.66.9922594E-67.384925E-60.021087232855.44260.021082.996648E-53.1649324E-50.025560841807.62670.025533.6478083E-43.8526783E-40.03363245487.2962950.033260.0036418260.00384653660.04368271311.3563760.03999
6.75.477277E-65.7860684E-60.0177656843070.4240.017762.3473833E-52.4797222E-50.02172426876.07630.02172.8575645E-43.0186825E-40.02856333494.621860.028270.00285389270.0030149660.03696230812.259610.03405
6.83.9950432E-64.2190873E-60.0134041633177.0290.01341.7121502E-51.8081691E-50.016327787903.001040.016312.0843433E-42.2012512E-40.02159541898.10520.021380.00208238930.00219934180.02776299412.623320.02562
6.92.95695E-63.1230243E-60.00967309253097.3480.009671.2672582E-51.3384334E-50.011943225892.32870.011931.5427776E-41.6294434E-40.01575040496.661250.015590.0015417070.00162847120.02030800312.4705940.01871
7.01.456072E-61.540812E-60.00463153383005.90450.004636.2402937E-66.603469E-60.005656566856.60520.005657.597293E-58.039528E-50.007399806892.042810.007327.594696E-48.0376083E-40.00951675211.8402790.00872
7.16.995192E-77.4089746E-70.00194073952619.4440.001942.997936E-63.1752747E-60.0024131676759.9870.002413.649926E-53.865897E-50.003208536482.995910.003173.6493264E-43.865897E-40.00420511310.8774580.00382

Owl Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.0320643E-56.6358676E-50.015975302240.741740.015912.1564208E-42.843643E-40.02130838574.9333950.021030.00262228120.0034575470.0344500179.96371650.03110.025915530.0341412950.074292042.1760170.04157
6.15.0320643E-56.6358676E-50.015975302240.741740.015912.1564208E-42.843643E-40.02130838574.9333950.021030.00262228120.0034575470.0344500179.96371650.03110.025915530.0341412950.074292042.1760170.04157
6.22.4125871E-53.0980515E-50.013010578419.960050.012981.0339249E-41.3276804E-40.016920539127.444370.016790.00125807660.00161542520.02554670315.8142280.023970.0125097810.0160707550.0469464552.9212350.03138
6.31.7433485E-52.2355545E-50.011782093527.03220.011767.471279E-59.580685E-50.015224357158.906780.015139.0924866E-40.0011659620.02229130319.118380.021150.0090553730.01162914650.0387599243.33299850.02745
6.41.7433485E-52.2355545E-50.011782093527.03220.011767.471279E-59.580685E-50.015224357158.906780.015139.0924866E-40.0011659620.02229130319.118380.021150.0090553730.01162914650.0387599243.33299850.02745
6.51.5182742E-51.9429277E-50.011419208587.7320.01146.506727E-58.3266525E-50.014612056175.485370.014537.919061E-40.00101343440.02122293220.9415950.020230.00789090.0101186780.035954583.55328850.0261
6.66.7271576E-68.547518E-60.0093684671096.04540.009362.8830356E-53.6631736E-50.011616208317.107760.011583.5095305E-44.4590578E-40.01600896435.902120.015570.00350399320.00446801870.0236917425.3025160.01931
6.76.682835E-68.479961E-60.0093684011104.76930.009362.8640408E-53.6342215E-50.011605922319.350980.011573.4864116E-44.423823E-40.01598550436.1350440.015550.0034809470.00443293250.0236274665.32998560.01928
6.86.5774975E-68.326427E-60.00933824851121.51930.009332.8188972E-53.5684232E-50.011575272324.38060.011543.4314668E-44.3437455E-40.01594763236.7140120.015520.00342617280.00435310560.0235093525.40059330.01924
6.96.363419E-67.999591E-60.0093079261163.55020.00932.727151E-53.428354E-50.011533889336.426450.01153.3198006E-44.1732774E-40.01587087738.0297660.015460.00331484550.00418306470.0232529585.5588330.01915
7.06.1342453E-67.631779E-60.0092275621209.0970.009222.6289357E-53.2707245E-50.011432335349.535220.01143.2002592E-43.9814346E-40.01571204339.4632720.015320.00319565440.0039917390.0228660965.72835450.01895
7.15.842926E-67.142312E-60.008697081217.68420.008692.504087E-53.060958E-50.010750282351.206420.010723.0482994E-43.7261334E-40.01482722539.7925260.014460.00304412140.00373715950.021510495.7558390.01784
7.24.77173E-65.358478E-60.0057353281070.32780.005732.045011E-52.2964727E-50.0069828047304.066530.006962.4895166E-42.7956374E-40.00969693134.6859360.009420.00248672930.00280862120.014316215.09723760.01154
7.33.0494948E-62.710356E-60.0014727063543.36270.001471.3069198E-51.1615762E-50.0017415957149.933840.001731.5910587E-41.4141288E-40.00250107917.6863610.002360.00158991990.00142310890.00433895363.04892590.00292
7.42.7263884E-62.3055634E-69.3230343E-4404.371229.3E-41.1684469E-59.880949E-60.00111987113.336280.001111.4224913E-41.2029401E-40.001690105214.0497870.001570.00142158110.00121105780.00311874462.57522370.00191
7.52.6090431E-62.1655019E-68.021638E-4370.42868.0E-41.1181565E-59.2806895E-69.792717E-4105.517139.7E-41.3612706E-41.1298663E-40.001522827313.4779420.001410.0013604370.00113781260.00280591242.46605850.00167
7.62.3008756E-61.8726826E-66.018716E-4321.395426.0E-49.860858E-68.025758E-67.180201E-489.4644557.1E-41.20049335E-49.770931E-50.001117609711.4381080.001020.0011998459.848307E-40.00222360952.25785970.00124
7.71.7184348E-61.341808E-62.8134143E-4209.673392.8E-47.3646997E-65.750593E-63.7574847E-465.340823.7E-48.966153E-57.0011265E-56.0997345E-48.7125045.4E-48.962536E-47.0769014E-40.00134723731.90371066.4E-4
7.88.4612907E-78.4054994E-71.3084045E-4155.660521.3E-43.6262625E-63.602352E-62.0360164E-456.519082.0E-44.4148852E-54.3857777E-53.4384461E-47.8399923.0E-44.414008E-44.4386165E-47.8371074E-41.76566453.4E-4
7.92.716738E-73.7681625E-77.037679E-5186.766867.0E-51.1643157E-61.6149258E-61.2161473E-475.30671.2E-41.4175452E-51.9661555E-51.9965801E-410.1547411.8E-41.4174548E-41.9829652E-43.8825884E-41.95797111.9E-4
8.02.1995428E-83.3853325E-83.3853325E-81.00.09.426611E-81.4508568E-71.4508568E-71.00.01.1476893E-61.7664173E-61.7664173E-61.00.01.14768345E-51.7869768E-51.7869768E-51.00.0

Panamint Valley

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0211835E-53.3984263E-50.012893547379.397580.012861.2947287E-41.4563887E-40.016973188116.542980.016830.00157519230.00177174060.0262582814.8206120.024530.0156407360.0175830030.0494329632.81140610.03242
6.13.0211835E-53.3984263E-50.012893547379.397580.012861.2947287E-41.4563887E-40.016973188116.542980.016830.00157519230.00177174060.0262582814.8206120.024530.0156407360.0175830030.0494329632.81140610.03242
6.23.0211835E-53.3984263E-50.012893547379.397580.012861.2947287E-41.4563887E-40.016973188116.542980.016830.00157519230.00177174060.0262582814.8206120.024530.0156407360.0175830030.0494329632.81140610.03242
6.32.8573924E-53.2102445E-50.012431704387.251040.01241.2245393E-41.375748E-40.016355343118.883280.016220.0014898570.00167371410.02515434815.0290580.023520.014799080.0166180380.047004542.82852530.0309
6.42.8573924E-53.2102445E-50.012431704387.251040.01241.2245393E-41.375748E-40.016355343118.883280.016220.0014898570.00167371410.02515434815.0290580.023520.014799080.0166180380.047004542.82852530.0309
6.52.7468774E-53.0828138E-50.012230452396.730130.01221.1771801E-41.3211406E-40.01605001121.4860150.015920.00143227450.00160732920.02449048915.2367590.022920.0142307820.0159638820.045583372.85540630.0301
6.62.6135967E-52.9252153E-50.011838906404.719180.011811.1200648E-41.2536049E-40.01544344123.1922450.015320.00136282570.00152522190.0235216215.421770.022030.0135449820.0151543430.0435966852.87684420.02888
6.72.4498746E-52.7341044E-50.011417029417.57840.011391.04990395E-41.17170785E-40.014815449126.44320.01470.00127750840.00142564590.0225055515.7862140.021110.0127018930.0141715930.0412917322.91369750.02751
6.82.2244329E-52.4935374E-50.010844666434.91090.010829.532935E-51.0686163E-40.013925385130.312290.013820.00116001690.00130028570.020874816.054010.01960.0115398020.0129329550.038014332.93933820.02541
6.91.9902658E-52.2290182E-50.009852071441.991520.009838.529431E-59.552596E-50.012624329132.1560.012530.00103796350.00116242650.01888180516.243440.017740.0103312880.0115690210.0339372162.9334560.02263
7.01.8353881E-52.056605E-50.009320375453.192230.00937.865712E-58.813734E-50.011817103134.076020.011739.5722964E-40.00107256160.01749492816.3113520.016440.0095311680.010679390.0312473662.92595050.02079
7.11.7667631E-51.9772435E-50.008969596453.641420.008957.571623E-58.4736355E-50.011333783133.75350.011259.2145515E-40.00103119450.01673498416.2287390.015720.0091764370.01026959250.0299652272.91785930.0199
7.21.6381597E-51.8158042E-50.007918014436.061040.00797.020495E-57.781795E-50.009997046128.467090.009928.544101E-49.470391E-40.01494377115.7794660.014010.0085113250.0094352690.0270970392.87188820.01783
7.31.4520491E-51.596657E-50.0064458637403.709960.006436.222919E-56.842646E-50.008157873119.221030.008097.57377E-48.327899E-40.0123631814.8454960.011540.00754800950.0083003990.022927972.76227280.01475
7.41.2852287E-51.41454875E-50.0062240576440.003050.006215.5080065E-56.06222E-50.007900147130.317720.007846.7039346E-47.378411E-40.01184963616.0598750.011120.00668374640.0073574290.0214132482.91042540.01416
7.51.1637851E-51.2836868E-50.006162758480.082670.006154.987555E-55.5014076E-50.007814587142.047040.007766.070656E-46.696062E-40.01161227417.3419440.010950.0060540990.00667938450.0205262733.07307860.01394
7.63.0068115E-63.3330623E-60.002703324811.06320.00271.2886271E-51.4284516E-50.0033642366235.516330.003351.5687906E-41.7390738E-40.00476310927.388770.004590.00156768350.00173979730.0076994114.4254640.00597

Garlock (East)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5092507E-56.2904815E-50.010132272161.073060.010071.9323928E-42.6956675E-40.01392588551.6602480.013660.00235014970.0032774820.0238598037.27991870.020650.0232545040.032353770.0598058961.84849850.02837
6.14.5092507E-56.2904815E-50.010132272161.073060.010071.9323928E-42.6956675E-40.01392588551.6602480.013660.00235014970.0032774820.0238598037.27991870.020650.0232545040.032353770.0598058961.84849850.02837
6.22.6674514E-53.4511588E-50.007964238230.769970.007931.1431433E-41.4789861E-40.0106163571.781270.010470.00139088840.00179921140.0168820259.3830140.015110.013822150.0178727880.0377215782.11055920.02021
6.32.6674514E-53.4511588E-50.007964238230.769970.007931.1431433E-41.4789861E-40.0106163571.781270.010470.00139088840.00179921140.0168820259.3830140.015110.013822150.0178727880.0377215782.11055920.02021
6.42.5312667E-53.2340467E-50.007902086244.340480.007871.0847834E-41.3859481E-40.01051715675.88420.010380.00131992370.00168611520.0165909429.8397440.014930.0131211120.0167722870.036348352.16716720.01991
6.52.5312667E-53.2340467E-50.007902086244.340480.007871.0847834E-41.3859481E-40.01051715675.88420.010380.00131992370.00168611520.0165909429.8397440.014930.0131211120.0167722870.036348352.16716720.01991
6.62.246556E-52.8134691E-50.0076679196272.543240.007649.627742E-51.2057181E-40.01009936883.762270.009980.00117154720.00146699690.01567612210.6858590.014230.0116539010.0146131690.033158152.26905940.01882
6.72.2241198E-52.7804432E-50.007657592275.409060.007639.531594E-51.1915654E-40.01008796984.6614760.009970.00115985380.00144978890.01563918810.7872170.014210.0115381870.0144428290.0329515932.28151920.01878
6.81.9528685E-52.3898969E-50.007263726303.934720.007248.369167E-51.0242024E-40.00950145792.769330.00940.00101846980.00124627280.01456964811.6905770.013340.0101381470.0124367230.0296697022.38565280.01745
6.91.3318621E-51.5198818E-50.0067250966442.474980.006715.7078556E-56.51362E-50.008694574133.482990.008636.9470983E-47.927504E-40.01277324616.112570.011990.00692542040.0079407210.0230795442.90647980.01526
7.01.1760853E-51.3107653E-50.006623021505.278960.006615.0402683E-55.6174475E-50.008555697152.305790.00856.134799E-46.8371464E-40.01245566118.217630.011780.00611789060.0068574010.0215956383.1492450.01484
7.11.0064758E-51.0902761E-50.006420833588.91810.006414.3133965E-54.67253E-50.008196345175.415560.008155.2502943E-45.6873553E-40.01183232620.8046190.011270.0052379070.00571334730.0196930173.4468440.01406
7.29.768808E-61.0498628E-50.006280433598.21460.006274.186565E-54.499337E-50.008024634178.35150.007985.095951E-45.4766005E-40.0115716221.1292020.011030.00508428040.0055035840.019177913.4846220.01375
7.39.344516E-69.9442705E-60.0057498873578.211060.005744.004731E-54.2617627E-50.0073723053172.987230.007334.8746695E-45.187495E-40.01062350520.4790650.010110.00486399050.0052152690.0178291393.41864230.01268
7.49.023491E-69.490441E-60.0051794415545.75350.005173.867153E-54.0672705E-50.006580407161.789260.006544.7072413E-44.95081E-40.00952061119.230410.009030.0046972830.00497872660.0162622693.26635070.01134
7.57.081253E-67.0873994E-60.00244707345.270540.002443.0347876E-53.0374218E-50.0030802817101.411060.003053.6942272E-43.697441E-40.00465815812.598330.004290.0036880920.00372447450.0090744742.4364440.00537
7.66.116396E-65.9589424E-60.0015359499257.755430.001532.6212863E-52.5538076E-50.001955488776.57150.001933.1909486E-43.1088197E-40.00300004579.6501110.002690.00318637070.00313591260.006455472.05856180.00333
7.74.797145E-64.7571157E-69.547526E-4200.699899.5E-42.055903E-52.0387479E-50.001180363857.8965070.001162.5027743E-42.481894E-40.00176781227.12283470.001520.00249995760.00250940650.0043846891.74730110.00188
7.83.4028885E-63.978375E-65.239763E-4131.706125.2E-41.4583726E-51.7050066E-56.8703864E-440.2953646.7E-41.775424E-42.0756487E-40.00107738425.1905918.7E-40.00177400620.00210121410.00317894481.51290860.00108
7.92.5928412E-63.372436E-64.033711E-4119.608234.0E-41.1112129E-51.4453217E-55.2444584E-436.285755.1E-41.3528178E-41.7595377E-48.358376E-44.7503256.6E-40.00135199450.00178124260.00260976421.46513698.3E-4
8.01.3743648E-61.6734741E-61.4167324E-484.6581651.4E-45.8901214E-67.1720124E-61.8717072E-426.097381.8E-47.1709874E-58.731578E-53.6729133E-44.20647142.8E-47.1686733E-48.837377E-40.00122343731.38438953.4E-4
8.13.6733252E-73.1489736E-72.031489E-564.512732.0E-51.5742813E-61.3495595E-63.134952E-523.2294453.0E-51.9166706E-51.643078E-55.6430123E-53.43441534.0E-51.9165053E-41.662928E-42.1628448E-41.30062455.0E-5

Hunter Mountain-Saline Valley

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5103672E-55.456906E-50.006464219118.459420.006411.9328714E-42.3384714E-40.00836194635.758170.008130.0023507310.00284354620.0144305045.07482670.011620.0232601950.0280926250.042632361.51756420.01496
6.14.5103672E-55.456906E-50.006464219118.459420.006411.9328714E-42.3384714E-40.00836194635.758170.008130.0023507310.00284354620.0144305045.07482670.011620.0232601950.0280926250.042632361.51756420.01496
6.23.9363465E-54.706271E-50.0064267623136.557420.006381.6868966E-42.016826E-40.00829005141.1044430.008090.0020518620.00245285340.0139944745.70538570.011570.0203301960.0242741870.0388027431.59851880.01489
6.33.9363465E-54.706271E-50.0064267623136.557420.006381.6868966E-42.016826E-40.00829005141.1044430.008090.0020518620.00245285340.0139944745.70538570.011570.0203301960.0242741870.0388027431.59851880.01489
6.43.2311684E-53.795112E-50.006367711167.787170.006331.384713E-41.6263791E-40.00818133450.3039740.008020.00168458430.0019783870.0133857746.7660040.011430.0167187140.0196171180.034009141.7336460.01468
6.53.2311684E-53.795112E-50.006367711167.787170.006331.384713E-41.6263791E-40.00818133450.3039740.008020.00168458430.0019783870.0133857746.7660040.011430.0167187140.0196171180.034009141.7336460.01468
6.62.9305844E-53.418196E-50.006353966185.886520.006321.2559042E-41.4648624E-40.00813531655.536380.007990.00152799090.00178207270.0131417927.37444260.011380.0151752720.0176863240.032037931.8114520.01461
6.72.7826512E-53.2344353E-50.0063321404195.772670.00631.19251024E-41.3861163E-40.00809750858.418680.007960.00145091420.00168635060.01299724457.70732070.011330.0144147760.0167438180.0310501961.85442750.01455
6.82.3389874E-52.6866792E-50.0062866984233.995150.006261.0023846E-41.1513857E-40.008034226569.7787550.007920.001219720.0014009580.0126451839.0260970.011260.012130470.0139280670.0281768072.02302340.01445
6.92.069209E-52.357011E-50.0062834225266.584350.006268.867737E-51.0101105E-40.00801021279.3003540.007910.00107911230.00122915190.01246532410.1414030.011250.0107388710.0122291580.0264530572.16311360.0144
7.01.7462342E-51.9633622E-50.006259511318.81590.006247.483646E-58.414151E-50.00797347794.762710.007899.1075303E-40.00102396410.01222248611.93643950.011210.0090702950.0101966880.0243805682.39102840.01433
7.11.4807709E-51.6441827E-50.0062363395379.297240.006226.3460066E-57.046316E-50.00791991112.397880.007857.723524E-48.575678E-40.01198801513.9790860.011140.0076967350.0085461680.022664472.6520040.01424
7.21.4180048E-51.5698413E-50.006225601396.575160.006216.077022E-56.727727E-50.00790675117.524830.007847.396263E-48.1880915E-40.01193969614.5817810.011130.00737169430.0081614690.0222654142.72811340.01422
7.31.3730402E-51.5172151E-50.006205078408.978150.006195.8843252E-56.502197E-50.007884514121.259220.007827.161811E-47.9137104E-40.01189257915.0278160.011110.0071387740.0078890580.021957192.78324630.01418
7.41.2810095E-51.4109353E-50.006194022439.001130.006185.489925E-56.0467344E-50.007869995130.152820.007816.681934E-47.3595706E-40.01180780316.0441460.011080.0066618780.00733868960.021345142.90857670.01411
7.51.1595659E-51.2800734E-50.0061327224479.091460.006124.9694736E-55.485922E-50.007784435141.898390.007736.0486543E-46.67722E-40.01157043717.3282240.010910.0060322170.0066606320.0204581153.07149770.01389
7.62.997694E-63.3251877E-60.0027033163812.981570.00271.28471975E-51.4250767E-50.003364203236.071720.003351.564034E-41.7349655E-40.004762700327.4512670.004590.00156293370.00173569550.00768535074.4278220.00596

Ash Hill

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.1545662E-52.3194447E-50.004143099178.62460.004129.2335285E-59.940143E-50.00579883558.3375360.00570.00112360230.00120962060.0104184688.6130050.009220.0111793810.0120383480.0249806462.07508920.0131
6.12.1545662E-52.3194447E-50.004143099178.62460.004129.2335285E-59.940143E-50.00579883558.3375360.00570.00112360230.00120962060.0104184688.6130050.009220.0111793810.0120383480.0249806462.07508920.0131
6.22.1545662E-52.3194447E-50.004143099178.62460.004129.2335285E-59.940143E-50.00579883558.3375360.00570.00112360230.00120962060.0104184688.6130050.009220.0111793810.0120383480.0249806462.07508920.0131
6.31.0025529E-51.0746934E-50.0016107297149.878070.00164.2965847E-54.605755E-50.002265955349.1983450.002225.229836E-45.6061964E-40.00431851167.70310450.003760.0052175450.00559336650.0111719871.99736380.00561
6.41.0025529E-51.0746934E-50.0016107297149.878070.00164.2965847E-54.605755E-50.002265955349.1983450.002225.229836E-45.6061964E-40.00431851167.70310450.003760.0052175450.00559336650.0111719871.99736380.00561
6.56.9617327E-67.456634E-60.0011474481153.882860.001142.9835655E-53.195666E-50.001581907249.501640.001553.6318856E-43.8901155E-40.00286804687.3726520.002480.00362595570.00388416020.007579751.95145140.00371
6.64.9919777E-65.3466883E-68.653421E-4161.846378.6E-42.1394015E-52.2914215E-50.00112288949.0040360.00112.60441E-42.7895154E-40.00204845777.34341760.001770.00260135970.00278667270.00538939941.93399080.00261
6.73.6630722E-63.924624E-66.339222E-4161.524326.3E-41.5698786E-51.681974E-58.468058E-450.345958.3E-41.9111596E-42.0476682E-40.00155449047.59151460.001350.00190951680.00204634460.0040422521.97535250.002
6.82.5599613E-62.744925E-64.3274375E-4157.65234.3E-41.0971216E-51.1763939E-55.817572E-449.4525875.7E-41.3356637E-41.4322149E-40.00108308687.56232079.4E-40.00133486130.00143177690.0028397581.98338030.00141
6.91.7684905E-61.8968707E-63.118963E-4164.426743.1E-47.579223E-68.129446E-64.3812595E-453.8937034.3E-49.2273134E-59.8976E-58.189047E-48.273777.2E-49.223483E-49.8976E-40.00199876032.01943950.00101

Blackwater

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0708583E-53.3095846E-50.0038829683117.324940.003851.3160157E-41.4183241E-40.005541066639.0677030.00540.00160107140.00172557840.0105603076.1198650.008850.0158958510.0171356330.0294804091.72041560.01256
6.13.0708583E-53.3095846E-50.0038829683117.324940.003851.3160157E-41.4183241E-40.005541066639.0677030.00540.00160107140.00172557840.0105603076.1198650.008850.0158958510.0171356330.0294804091.72041560.01256
6.21.1707779E-51.2545122E-50.0014825267118.1755450.001475.017523E-55.3763757E-50.002023657837.6398160.001976.107122E-46.5438676E-40.00417208356.3755620.003520.0060903660.00652556960.0113439211.73838020.00485
6.31.1707779E-51.2545122E-50.0014825267118.1755450.001475.017523E-55.3763757E-50.002023657837.6398160.001976.107122E-46.5438676E-40.00417208356.3755620.003520.0060903660.00652556960.0113439211.73838020.00485
6.47.929244E-68.480098E-68.9847256E-4105.950738.9E-43.3982033E-53.6342793E-50.001206300233.1922840.001174.136527E-44.423877E-40.00262142325.9256240.002180.00412883560.00441547580.00742214131.6809380.00302
6.55.8832115E-66.285991E-66.562819E-4104.403896.5E-42.521352E-52.6939697E-58.8691653E-432.922298.6E-43.0693135E-43.27944E-40.00194741275.93824770.001620.00306507780.00327485380.00548758361.67567290.00222
6.65.8832115E-66.285991E-66.562819E-4104.403896.5E-42.521352E-52.6939697E-58.8691653E-432.922298.6E-43.0693135E-43.27944E-40.00194741275.93824770.001620.00306507780.00327485380.00548758361.67567290.00222
6.73.0715053E-63.2814662E-63.2328043E-498.517073.2E-41.3163528E-51.4063357E-54.0405788E-428.7312533.9E-41.6025416E-41.7120909E-49.110824E-45.32146077.4E-40.00160138650.00171088640.00277905591.62433680.00107
6.82.2722281E-62.4287538E-62.1242825E-487.463892.1E-49.738084E-61.0408908E-52.804061E-426.939052.7E-41.1855473E-41.26722E-46.466561E-45.10295065.2E-40.0011849150.00126658760.0020256251.59927757.6E-4
6.99.952399E-71.0653489E-67.1065275E-566.706117.0E-54.265307E-64.5657757E-61.0456532E-422.9019831.0E-45.1928873E-55.5587418E-52.1557852E-43.8781891.6E-45.191674E-45.557858E-47.6566904E-41.37763352.1E-4
7.04.7385504E-75.0755597E-73.0507541E-560.1067543.0E-52.0308057E-62.1752398E-64.2175154E-519.3887374.0E-52.4724779E-52.6483543E-57.648222E-52.8879155.0E-52.4722028E-42.6483546E-43.348169E-41.2642457.0E-5

Garlock (West)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.5181727E-52.5197181E-50.004515084179.190050.004491.0791722E-41.0798347E-40.005607389451.9282230.00550.00131310020.00131390930.0090237666.8678760.007720.0130536830.0131417940.0226551071.72389760.00964
6.12.5077732E-52.5098223E-50.0045149857179.892640.004491.0747157E-41.075594E-40.00560696852.1290360.00550.0013076810.00130875250.0090186496.89102750.007720.0130001260.0130908350.0226046391.7267530.00964
6.22.494612E-52.4979914E-50.004514868180.739910.004491.0690756E-41.070524E-40.005606463652.371210.00550.00130082240.00130258720.00901253156.91894670.007720.0129323410.0130299060.0225442981.73019650.00964
6.32.4733758E-52.4799276E-50.004514688182.049180.004491.0599751E-41.06278305E-40.00560569452.7454220.00550.00128975560.00129317360.009003196.9620890.007720.0128229570.01293687150.022452161.73551690.00964
6.42.3237335E-52.3178607E-50.0044730753192.982930.004459.958477E-59.933313E-50.005558790655.9610980.005460.00121177020.00120871260.0088694427.33792450.007670.0120518380.0121017310.0215559171.78122590.00957
6.52.2732203E-52.2992977E-50.004472891194.532910.004459.742009E-59.8537625E-50.005557999556.404850.005460.00118544420.00119903810.0088598417.38912440.007670.0117914030.0120060350.0214611391.78752910.00957
6.62.1319436E-52.1773201E-50.0044716764205.375230.004459.136581E-59.3310395E-50.00555280159.508920.005460.0011118110.00113546430.0087867677.73847870.007660.0110626490.0113769520.0208281871.83073530.00956
6.71.970802E-52.0393094E-50.0044703023219.206670.004458.446021E-58.739606E-50.00554691963.4687540.005460.0010278180.00106352940.0087053938.1853820.007650.0102307710.01066468750.0200930541.88407330.00953
6.81.8744462E-51.9900775E-50.0044598123224.102450.004448.033094E-58.528626E-50.005524822564.779750.005449.775903E-40.00103786720.0086599498.3439850.007630.0097330090.0104104950.0198214911.90399120.00951
6.91.7559682E-51.8953151E-50.0044488693234.72980.004437.5253614E-58.122527E-50.00550078567.722580.005429.158276E-49.884704E-40.0085909488.6911540.007610.00912062450.0099210730.0193169231.94705980.00949
7.01.6794445E-51.8215967E-50.0044181356242.541920.00447.197421E-57.806611E-50.005467645470.038660.005398.759337E-49.5004175E-40.008502868.9499850.007560.0087248910.0095399580.0188700911.97800580.00942
7.11.6337795E-51.771677E-50.004407639248.783450.004397.0017246E-57.592681E-50.00545551871.852330.005388.521265E-49.2401815E-40.0084670429.1632850.007550.0084886640.0092817210.0185845662.0022760.00939
7.21.5780008E-51.71654E-50.0043870904255.577550.004376.762685E-57.3563926E-50.005433169773.856440.005368.2304585E-48.952741E-40.0083985519.3809820.007510.0082000420.0089965590.0182624422.02993630.00935
7.31.5058865E-51.6618484E-50.004376546263.354130.004366.45364E-57.122013E-50.005400840775.833060.005337.854473E-48.667614E-40.0083402789.6223470.007480.007826770.0087132630.017932232.05803850.0093
7.41.4887923E-51.6454453E-50.004276384259.892240.004266.380382E-57.0517184E-50.005290149275.0192950.005227.7653467E-48.5820974E-40.0081519459.4987790.00730.00773826750.0086281010.0175901042.03869920.00904
7.51.4509299E-51.6046468E-50.0038959843242.793870.003886.218123E-56.876877E-50.004858439370.648920.004797.567935E-48.369394E-40.0076112659.0941650.006780.00754221340.0084164110.0167357961.9884720.00839
7.61.2756717E-51.4050529E-50.0026540135188.890640.002645.4670498E-56.0215163E-50.003290020654.637740.003236.6541E-47.328737E-40.0052195837.12207750.004490.0066342110.0073813740.0129400381.75306630.0056
7.71.0328985E-51.146033E-50.0016814412146.71840.001674.4266326E-54.9114777E-50.002069015542.126130.002025.388092E-45.9780874E-40.00325621855.44692370.002660.00537504670.0060382860.0093282991.54485880.00331
7.87.0306583E-68.899537E-60.0010588901118.982620.001053.0131043E-53.8140315E-50.0013580935.6077270.001323.667837E-44.6425956E-40.0021834614.7031040.001720.0036617890.00469506670.0068349721.45577750.00215
7.94.060633E-65.465412E-66.5546186E-4119.9290856.5E-41.7402595E-52.3422985E-58.434038E-436.0075268.2E-42.11856E-42.8513762E-40.00134483544.7164430.001060.00211654140.0028841430.0041903651.45289770.00131
8.01.6729537E-62.0775192E-61.8207714E-487.641621.8E-47.169782E-68.903624E-62.2890167E-425.708822.2E-48.7288594E-51.0839626E-44.2836159E-43.95181133.2E-48.7254314E-40.0010968540.00148642621.35517243.9E-4
8.13.6733252E-73.1489736E-72.031489E-564.512732.0E-51.5742813E-61.3495595E-63.134952E-523.2294453.0E-51.9166706E-51.643078E-55.6430123E-53.43441534.0E-51.9165053E-41.662928E-42.1628448E-41.30062455.0E-5

McLean Lake

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.7360222E-51.8501627E-50.0018784673101.529840.001867.439883E-57.9290556E-50.002859070236.0581440.002789.0542925E-49.6498354E-40.00607005236.2903170.005110.0090174910.00961277450.0179518351.86749780.00842
6.19.062689E-69.592193E-69.295834E-496.910419.2E-43.8839516E-54.1108804E-50.001391053333.8383330.001354.727685E-45.003936E-40.00306910776.13338660.002570.00471763960.0049935520.009381531.8787290.00441
6.29.062689E-69.592193E-69.295834E-496.910419.2E-43.8839516E-54.1108804E-50.001391053333.8383330.001354.727685E-45.003936E-40.00306910776.13338660.002570.00471763960.0049935520.009381531.8787290.00441
6.37.2575485E-67.66771E-67.4766204E-497.507877.4E-43.110341E-53.2861237E-50.00107282732.647190.001043.786182E-44.0001926E-40.00244919936.12270360.002050.00377973750.00399369650.0074498391.86539910.00347
6.47.2575485E-67.66771E-67.4766204E-497.507877.4E-43.110341E-53.2861237E-50.00107282732.647190.001043.786182E-44.0001926E-40.00244919936.12270360.002050.00377973750.00399369650.0074498391.86539910.00347
6.56.06582E-66.4038773E-66.7639956E-4105.623456.7E-42.5996113E-52.7444936E-59.174205E-433.427688.9E-43.164567E-43.3409733E-40.00208351276.23624470.001750.00316006430.00333658930.0062568131.87521230.00293
6.65.598744E-65.910262E-65.8590685E-499.133815.8E-42.3994397E-52.5329486E-58.1530947E-432.1881567.9E-42.9209262E-43.0834923E-40.00189785896.15490060.001590.00291708970.0030798430.0057814971.8772050.00271
6.75.246996E-65.539162E-65.555361E-4100.292455.5E-42.2486933E-52.3739085E-57.8372104E-433.0139547.6E-42.73744E-42.8899137E-40.00180855216.25815250.001520.00273407040.00288677960.00544936071.88769540.00257
6.84.02324E-64.2469046E-64.3424507E-4102.249794.3E-41.7242342E-51.8200926E-55.581911E-430.6682825.4E-42.099053E-42.2157968E-40.00131133825.91813330.001090.00209707140.0022141720.00412992061.86522140.00192
6.96.835972E-77.1399285E-73.071397E-543.01723.0E-52.9296991E-63.0599674E-63.3059874E-510.8039963.0E-53.56685E-53.7254784E-51.4725068E-43.95253091.1E-43.5662777E-43.7251666E-46.1242725E-41.64402652.4E-4

Goldstone Lake

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.671352E-53.0376103E-50.001440333347.4166560.001411.1448149E-41.3017791E-40.002459874618.8962520.002330.0013929210.00158396010.005567643.51501270.003990.0138422220.0157462020.0226359781.43755160.007
6.12.671352E-53.0376103E-50.001440333347.4166560.001411.1448149E-41.3017791E-40.002459874618.8962520.002330.0013929210.00158396010.005567643.51501270.003990.0138422220.0157462020.0226359781.43755160.007
6.21.4197047E-51.6096254E-57.5608434E-446.9726877.4E-46.0843064E-56.898268E-50.001268899918.394470.00127.4051257E-48.3963916E-40.00286793483.41567540.002030.0073804980.0083743640.011854971.41562630.00351
6.31.4197047E-51.6096254E-57.5608434E-446.9726877.4E-46.0843064E-56.898268E-50.001268899918.394470.00127.4051257E-48.3963916E-40.00286793483.41567540.002030.0073804980.0083743640.011854971.41562630.00351
6.41.3238931E-51.500847E-57.2499784E-448.3059127.1E-45.6737044E-56.432098E-50.001164250218.100630.00116.9055456E-47.8292453E-40.00266145263.3993730.001880.0068841260.0078112890.011025981.41154430.00324
6.51.3238931E-51.500847E-57.2499784E-448.3059127.1E-45.6737044E-56.432098E-50.001164250218.100630.00116.9055456E-47.8292453E-40.00266145263.3993730.001880.0068841260.0078112890.011025981.41154430.00324
6.61.1328278E-51.2855176E-56.428471E-450.006876.3E-44.8548856E-55.5092984E-50.001025039618.6056279.7E-45.90922E-46.706464E-40.00230954663.4437620.001640.00589353130.00669561370.0094768661.41538420.0028
6.78.651175E-69.824575E-65.2981946E-453.9279825.2E-43.707594E-54.2105148E-58.120727E-419.286787.7E-44.5130608E-45.126002E-40.00178194923.47629450.001270.00450390620.00512305650.00718245141.40198560.00207
6.81.0215377E-61.1754802E-62.1175456E-518.0143032.0E-54.378012E-65.037763E-62.5037662E-54.9699962.0E-55.3300988E-56.133315E-51.1133009E-41.81516985.0E-55.3288206E-46.131735E-46.831306E-41.11409027.0E-5
6.97.9360774E-79.283496E-79.283496E-71.00.03.4011714E-63.9786355E-63.9786355E-61.00.04.1408475E-54.843888E-56.843791E-51.41287152.0E-54.140076E-44.842902E-45.142757E-41.06191643.0E-5
7.07.4382757E-78.747428E-78.747428E-71.00.03.1878285E-63.7488926E-63.7488926E-61.00.03.8811122E-54.564188E-55.5641423E-51.2190871.0E-53.8804344E-44.563317E-44.7632257E-41.04380772.0E-5
7.16.4709513E-77.711399E-77.711399E-71.00.02.773262E-63.3048816E-63.3048816E-61.00.03.376394E-54.023625E-55.023585E-51.24852221.0E-53.375881E-44.022956E-44.2228756E-41.04969472.0E-5
7.26.356704E-77.588459E-77.588459E-71.00.02.7242988E-63.252193E-63.252193E-61.00.03.3167835E-53.959479E-54.9594393E-51.25254851.0E-53.3162883E-43.9588328E-44.1587537E-41.05049992.0E-5
7.35.7695723E-76.896648E-76.896648E-71.00.02.4726714E-62.9557032E-62.9557032E-61.00.03.0104358E-53.598515E-54.598479E-51.27788251.0E-53.0100282E-43.5979896E-43.7979177E-41.05556652.0E-5
7.45.209647E-76.193583E-76.193583E-71.00.02.232704E-62.6543903E-62.6543903E-61.00.02.718283E-53.2316777E-54.2316457E-51.30942681.0E-52.7179506E-43.2312635E-43.4311987E-41.06187532.0E-5
7.54.512955E-75.3489487E-75.3489487E-71.00.01.934122E-62.2924048E-62.2924048E-61.00.02.3547682E-52.7909726E-53.790945E-51.3582881.0E-52.3545188E-42.7906752E-42.9906194E-41.07164732.0E-5
7.62.21172E-72.6040198E-72.6040198E-71.00.09.478797E-71.1160082E-61.1160082E-61.00.01.1540374E-51.3587343E-52.3587207E-51.73596911.0E-51.1539775E-41.3586794E-41.4586658E-41.07359091.0E-5

Gravel Hills-Harper Lk

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0679566E-53.1464628E-50.002131398567.739520.00211.3147724E-41.3484266E-40.00308444522.8744010.002950.00159955990.001640690.00649271633.95730830.004860.0158809520.0163073370.0233407411.43130290.00715
6.13.0679566E-53.1464628E-50.002131398567.739520.00211.3147724E-41.3484266E-40.00308444522.8744010.002950.00159955990.001640690.00649271633.95730830.004860.0158809520.0163073370.0233407411.43130290.00715
6.21.514536E-51.36352E-56.5362646E-447.93676.4E-46.490707E-55.843533E-59.6838217E-416.5718619.1E-47.8995706E-47.112298E-40.00225013453.16372370.001540.0078715480.0070907370.0092850661.30946420.00221
6.31.514536E-51.36352E-56.5362646E-447.93676.4E-46.490707E-55.843533E-59.6838217E-416.5718619.1E-47.8995706E-47.112298E-40.00225013453.16372370.001540.0078715480.0070907370.0092850661.30946420.00221
6.41.2532521E-51.0689684E-54.7068475E-444.031684.6E-45.37097E-54.581216E-56.6578377E-414.5329056.2E-46.537194E-45.5762613E-40.00160704062.8819320.001050.00651799650.0055628590.00700479331.25920740.00145
6.51.1094058E-59.083657E-63.3908067E-437.328653.3E-44.7545094E-53.89294E-54.6891265E-412.0452074.3E-45.787078E-44.7386638E-40.00120352052.53978877.3E-40.00577203040.0047289670.00574414341.2146720.00102
6.69.688328E-67.531688E-62.575298E-434.192842.5E-44.1520743E-53.227828E-53.2226893E-49.984082.9E-45.053978E-43.9291973E-49.0271933E-42.2974655.1E-40.00504249940.00392250670.0045799181.16759986.6E-4
6.78.974824E-66.749406E-61.8674819E-427.6688331.8E-43.8462964E-52.8925719E-52.4891936E-48.6054692.2E-44.6818596E-43.5211592E-47.7196804E-42.1923694.2E-40.0046720080.0035158010.00404393771.1502185.3E-4
6.87.4780046E-65.1161865E-69.511573E-518.5911399.0E-53.20482E-52.1926337E-51.3192392E-46.0166881.1E-43.9011694E-42.6692182E-44.968604E-41.86144542.3E-40.00389432810.00266615050.00293543071.10099962.7E-4
6.96.3409307E-63.907489E-66.390725E-516.355076.0E-52.7175134E-51.674628E-59.674494E-55.77710068.0E-53.3080703E-42.0386786E-43.738332E-41.83370341.7E-40.00330315020.00203690650.002216541.08818921.8E-4
7.05.1239335E-62.6058492E-65.260572E-520.1875515.0E-52.195953E-51.1167879E-57.116721E-56.3724916.0E-52.6732447E-41.359607E-42.4594573E-41.80894731.1E-40.00267003130.00135880050.00147863731.08819321.2E-4
7.14.438899E-62.0984692E-65.2098363E-524.8268415.0E-51.9023713E-58.99341E-66.899287E-57.67149166.0E-52.315891E-41.0948948E-42.1947744E-42.00455261.1E-40.0023134790.00109437740.0012142461.10953141.2E-4
7.23.50367E-61.2615715E-63.1261534E-524.7798373.0E-51.5015643E-55.406724E-63.5406563E-56.54861643.0E-51.8280011E-46.5824956E-51.2582101E-41.91144846.0E-50.00182649826.580628E-47.1802334E-41.09111676.0E-5
7.32.561638E-67.118686E-77.118686E-71.00.01.0978401E-53.050862E-63.050862E-61.00.01.3365384E-43.7143633E-54.714326E-51.26921511.0E-50.00133573493.7137623E-43.8137252E-41.02691691.0E-5
7.42.0368864E-65.304471E-75.304471E-71.00.08.729483E-62.2733427E-62.2733427E-61.00.01.06276275E-42.76776E-52.76776E-51.00.00.00106225472.767421E-42.767421E-41.00.0
7.51.1681728E-63.6028484E-73.6028484E-71.00.05.0064455E-61.544077E-61.544077E-61.00.06.0951766E-51.879898E-51.879898E-51.00.06.093505E-41.8797436E-41.8797436E-41.00.0
7.61.3154387E-77.1196716E-87.1196716E-81.00.05.6375933E-73.0512876E-73.0512876E-71.00.06.863748E-63.714938E-63.714938E-61.00.06.863536E-53.7148915E-53.7148915E-51.00.0

Coyote Canyon

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.5090034E-54.0364317E-50.001020324825.2778919.8E-41.503772E-41.7297991E-40.001762704910.1902280.001590.00182930470.00210425330.00489836142.32783820.00280.0181431940.0208692050.0255200751.22285810.00475
6.13.5090034E-54.0364317E-50.001020324825.2778919.8E-41.503772E-41.7297991E-40.001762704910.1902280.001590.00182930470.00210425330.00489836142.32783820.00280.0181431940.0208692050.0255200751.22285810.00475
6.21.841879E-52.1059794E-55.7104824E-427.1155665.5E-47.8935285E-59.025371E-59.501761E-410.5278348.6E-49.606133E-40.00109838710.00267665162.4368930.001580.00956471450.0109396680.01360023951.24320410.00269
6.31.841879E-52.1059794E-55.7104824E-427.1155665.5E-47.8935285E-59.025371E-59.501761E-410.5278348.6E-49.606133E-40.00109838710.00267665162.4368930.001580.00956471450.0109396680.01360023951.24320410.00269
6.41.712201E-51.9565212E-55.095556E-426.0439624.9E-47.337798E-58.3848776E-58.837817E-410.5401868.0E-48.930107E-40.00102048130.00248898122.43902660.001470.0088943070.0101678710.0126424521.24337260.0025
6.51.4744935E-51.6836972E-54.668294E-427.7264464.5E-46.3191044E-57.215698E-57.7210646E-410.7003717.0E-47.6907943E-48.782507E-40.0021771092.47891520.00130.0076642320.0087569940.0109773791.25355550.00224
6.61.2017839E-51.3724089E-53.9371886E-428.688163.8E-45.150401E-55.88167E-56.287832E-410.6905565.7E-46.268809E-47.159466E-40.00176519482.465540.001050.00625115450.00714509380.0089620181.25428970.00183
6.71.00956095E-51.1533517E-53.415297E-429.6119333.3E-44.326618E-54.942891E-54.7940767E-49.6989334.3E-45.266384E-46.017178E-40.00142122432.36194528.2E-40.0052539210.00600941250.00748051841.24480030.00148

So Sierra Nevada

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.15488665E-51.1079612E-50.001421064128.259370.001414.9494203E-54.7483256E-50.002017389842.486340.001976.024253E-45.779681E-40.0040659517.0349060.003490.0060079480.0057659180.010826571.87768350.00509
6.11.15488665E-51.1079612E-50.001421064128.259370.001414.9494203E-54.7483256E-50.002017389842.486340.001976.024253E-45.779681E-40.0040659517.0349060.003490.0060079480.0057659180.010826571.87768350.00509
6.21.15488665E-51.1079612E-50.001421064128.259370.001414.9494203E-54.7483256E-50.002017389842.486340.001976.024253E-45.779681E-40.0040659517.0349060.003490.0060079480.0057659180.010826571.87768350.00509
6.31.15488665E-51.1079612E-50.001421064128.259370.001414.9494203E-54.7483256E-50.002017389842.486340.001976.024253E-45.779681E-40.0040659517.0349060.003490.0060079480.0057659180.010826571.87768350.00509
6.41.15488665E-51.1079612E-50.001421064128.259370.001414.9494203E-54.7483256E-50.002017389842.486340.001976.024253E-45.779681E-40.0040659517.0349060.003490.0060079480.0057659180.010826571.87768350.00509
6.51.15488665E-51.1079612E-50.001421064128.259370.001414.9494203E-54.7483256E-50.002017389842.486340.001976.024253E-45.779681E-40.0040659517.0349060.003490.0060079480.0057659180.010826571.87768350.00509
6.67.587044E-66.9356042E-67.1693066E-4103.3696067.1E-43.2515498E-52.9723697E-50.001049693335.3150370.001023.9580427E-43.6182883E-40.00207121025.7242820.001710.0039510.00361268870.0061734041.70881150.00257
6.77.587044E-66.9356042E-67.1693066E-4103.3696067.1E-43.2515498E-52.9723697E-50.001049693335.3150370.001023.9580427E-43.6182883E-40.00207121025.7242820.001710.0039510.00361268870.0061734041.70881150.00257
6.85.9026956E-65.179362E-65.4517656E-4105.259415.4E-42.5297022E-52.2197082E-57.821802E-435.2379727.6E-43.0794772E-42.7021713E-40.00148988755.51366760.001220.00307521320.0026990020.00449414361.66511320.0018
6.95.0118915E-64.2523943E-64.3425057E-4102.119074.3E-42.1479358E-51.8224424E-56.382131E-435.0196576.2E-42.614798E-42.2186051E-40.00118164755.3260839.6E-40.00261172350.00221646270.00364329321.64374220.00143
7.04.4924795E-63.7138868E-63.3371267E-489.855373.3E-41.925334E-51.5916565E-54.959089E-431.1567824.8E-42.3438422E-41.9376757E-49.636184E-44.9730637.7E-40.00234137170.00193604910.00311376461.60830870.00118
7.13.9118436E-63.1119469E-62.2311126E-471.6950762.2E-41.6764936E-51.333685E-53.0333298E-422.7439752.9E-42.0409399E-41.6236462E-46.5228506E-44.0174094.9E-40.00203906630.00162251610.00248112061.5291818.6E-4
7.23.4200818E-62.6054236E-61.7260498E-466.248341.7E-41.4657411E-51.11660565E-52.5116338E-422.4934712.4E-41.7843937E-41.3593875E-44.958898E-43.64789133.6E-40.00178296150.00135860580.00200772261.47778176.5E-4
7.32.6593618E-61.8283897E-61.01828206E-455.6928371.0E-41.13972155E-57.8359335E-61.5783476E-420.1424311.5E-41.3875226E-49.539862E-53.3537572E-43.51551992.4E-40.00138665659.536055E-40.00136321461.42953724.1E-4
7.42.2577992E-61.4364078E-66.143632E-542.770816.0E-59.676246E-66.1560204E-61.16155345E-418.8685781.1E-41.1780193E-47.4947224E-52.3493523E-43.13467551.6E-40.0011773957.4924453E-49.890647E-41.32008272.4E-4
7.51.489319E-67.353661E-75.073533E-568.993295.0E-56.3827797E-63.1515651E-66.3151376E-520.03816.0E-57.770758E-53.8369635E-51.2836618E-43.34551489.0E-57.7680405E-43.8363054E-45.235768E-41.36479451.4E-4
7.61.0680322E-64.65941E-74.0465922E-586.847744.0E-54.577273E-61.9968884E-64.199681E-521.0311244.0E-55.5726876E-52.4311848E-58.431039E-53.46787246.0E-55.5712904E-42.4309216E-43.330703E-41.370149.0E-5
7.75.509146E-71.5578539E-71.01557835E-565.1908651.0E-52.3610605E-66.676515E-71.0667645E-515.9778641.0E-52.8745531E-58.128628E-61.8128547E-52.23020981.0E-52.8741814E-48.128342E-51.01281796E-41.24603262.0E-5

Death Valley (So)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.0684236E-52.5618314E-50.001035592440.4239120.001018.864371E-51.0978825E-40.001739609315.8451320.001630.00107870290.00133586920.0041021693.07078620.002770.0107348170.0132799850.0176610221.32989780.00444
6.12.0684236E-52.5618314E-50.001035592440.4239120.001018.864371E-51.0978825E-40.001739609315.8451320.001630.00107870290.00133586920.0041021693.07078620.002770.0107348170.0132799850.0176610221.32989780.00444
6.22.0684236E-52.5618314E-50.001035592440.4239120.001018.864371E-51.0978825E-40.001739609315.8451320.001630.00107870290.00133586920.0041021693.07078620.002770.0107348170.0132799850.0176610221.32989780.00444
6.32.0240292E-52.51184E-59.650948E-438.421839.4E-48.6741224E-51.0764593E-40.001637481315.2117340.001530.00105556260.0013098180.00386646482.951910.002560.0105056280.0130225430.01711851.31452810.00415
6.42.0240292E-52.51184E-59.650948E-438.421839.4E-48.6741224E-51.0764593E-40.001637481315.2117340.001530.00105556260.0013098180.00386646482.951910.002560.0105056280.0130225430.01711851.31452810.00415
6.51.9962767E-52.4807652E-59.6478435E-438.8905949.4E-48.55519E-51.0631427E-40.001606154815.1076130.00150.00104109680.00129362440.00377041612.91461440.002480.0103623270.012862490.016811041.30698180.004
6.61.8937297E-52.3311462E-58.332926E-435.7460448.1E-48.115732E-59.990252E-50.001399772714.0113840.00139.876423E-40.00121564910.0033929992.79110070.002180.0098326450.01209150350.0156282171.29249570.00358
6.71.8621096E-52.2912098E-58.3289354E-436.3516928.1E-47.980225E-59.8191085E-50.001398063514.2381910.00139.711593E-40.00119483540.00333227852.78890180.002140.0096692610.0118856250.0153539071.29180470.00351
6.81.7830353E-52.1806083E-57.9178927E-436.310487.7E-47.641356E-59.3451374E-50.001333335514.2676930.001249.29938E-40.00113719070.0031449052.76550360.002010.0092605610.011316090.0146380671.29356240.00336
6.91.3135183E-51.5304031E-55.3529604E-434.977465.2E-45.6292425E-56.558709E-58.7553397E-413.3491828.1E-46.8514474E-47.982367E-40.00202725482.53966640.001230.0068303620.0079551580.009998771.25689150.00206
7.01.1507512E-51.3154237E-54.1314898E-431.4080524.0E-44.9316975E-55.637412E-56.96338E-412.3520876.4E-46.002687E-46.861445E-40.0015855272.3107779.0E-40.00598649870.00684149240.0083212981.21629870.00149
7.19.715903E-61.0865287E-52.1086312E-419.4070452.0E-44.1638916E-54.6564706E-53.1655215E-46.7981132.7E-45.068359E-45.667821E-49.2657807E-41.63480473.6E-40.00505681480.0056538340.0063200461.11783366.7E-4
7.29.233269E-61.0286314E-51.3028507E-412.6658671.2E-43.9570554E-54.408348E-52.1407599E-44.85614971.7E-44.81665E-45.365884E-47.6646503E-41.4284042.3E-40.00480622330.00535335950.0058108971.08546734.6E-4
7.38.8041315E-69.808164E-61.2980698E-413.2345861.2E-43.7731446E-54.2034335E-51.9202803E-44.56836131.5E-44.592835E-45.1165203E-47.015548E-41.37115611.9E-40.00458335460.0051051670.00547327851.07210563.7E-4
7.48.708749E-69.707175E-61.09706205E-411.30155851.0E-43.7322676E-54.160154E-51.6159654E-43.88438871.2E-44.5430884E-45.0638523E-46.663042E-41.3158051.6E-40.0045338120.00505273980.00539102171.06695023.4E-4
7.58.612678E-69.604817E-69.960395E-510.3702089.0E-53.6910955E-54.1162875E-51.5115835E-43.67220071.1E-44.492982E-45.01047E-46.5097184E-41.29922311.5E-40.0044839090.00499959850.0053279491.06567533.3E-4
7.68.319024E-69.283916E-69.928308E-510.6940959.0E-53.5652476E-53.978763E-51.3978365E-43.5132441.0E-44.3398244E-44.8431093E-46.14248E-41.26829271.3E-40.00433135870.00483297840.00513152821.06177353.0E-4
7.77.4718328E-68.34517E-67.834459E-59.3880167.0E-53.2021748E-53.5764548E-51.15761686E-43.2367728.0E-53.8979502E-44.353504E-45.453025E-41.252561.1E-40.003891120.00434538070.00460425071.05957372.6E-4
7.83.4586725E-73.6482615E-73.6482615E-71.00.01.4822873E-61.5635396E-61.5635396E-61.00.01.80467E-51.9035933E-51.9035933E-51.00.01.8045233E-41.9034347E-42.0034157E-41.05252661.0E-5
7.92.5591178E-92.6696718E-92.6696718E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.14414505E-81.14414505E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3929966E-71.3929966E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3929966E-61.3929966E-61.00.0

San Andreas (Mojave S)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.1064058E-46.7462435E-40.00234349773.47378160.001670.00133063760.0028881720.00505190441.74917030.002170.0160806050.0345655940.0375874041.08742250.003130.14965490.286545570.28939941.00995930.004
6.13.1064058E-46.7462435E-40.00234349773.47378160.001670.00133063760.0028881720.00505190441.74917030.002170.0160806050.0345655940.0375874041.08742250.003130.14965490.286545570.28939941.00995930.004
6.23.1064058E-46.7462435E-40.00234349773.47378160.001670.00133063760.0028881720.00505190441.74917030.002170.0160806050.0345655940.0375874041.08742250.003130.14965490.286545570.28939941.00995930.004
6.33.1064058E-46.7462435E-40.00234349773.47378160.001670.00133063760.0028881720.00505190441.74917030.002170.0160806050.0345655940.0375874041.08742250.003130.14965490.286545570.28939941.00995930.004
6.41.9872203E-44.3181062E-40.001961154.541690.001538.5138786E-40.00184933260.00381568942.06327920.001970.0103164780.022289310.0249682391.12018880.002740.0985048560.196868390.19966331.01419680.00348
6.51.291105E-42.8754136E-40.00172712746.0065350.001445.5321335E-40.00123174090.00307946232.50008920.001850.0067145920.0148941550.0174160261.16931950.002560.0651529650.138007920.140766311.01998710.0032
6.61.291105E-42.8754136E-40.00172712746.0065350.001445.5321335E-40.00123174090.00307946232.50008920.001850.0067145920.0148941550.0174160261.16931950.002560.0651529650.138007920.140766311.01998710.0032
6.71.08001186E-42.4335351E-40.00162301776.66938260.001384.6278012E-40.00104252740.00282067152.70560930.001780.00561980160.01261920.0150284091.19091620.002440.0547979060.119184310.121879611.02261450.00306
6.81.0624356E-42.3853009E-40.00161820096.7840540.001384.5525006E-40.00102187180.00279006322.73034550.001770.00552859250.0123705930.0147705321.19400360.002430.0539305660.117133080.1198258251.02298880.00305
6.91.0393785E-42.3223337E-40.00160191526.8978680.001374.4537184E-49.949068E-40.00275315582.767250.001760.00540892870.0120459630.0144368121.19847710.002420.052791560.1144334450.117116711.02344820.00303
7.01.0155622E-42.2592908E-40.00159561967.062480.001374.3516833E-49.6790853E-40.0027262052.81659360.001760.0052853110.0117208380.0141025911.20320670.002410.051613610.111697450.114371241.02393780.00301
7.19.885595E-52.188132E-40.00157851567.2139870.001364.2359953E-49.374342E-40.00266581242.84373280.001730.00514513530.0113537330.0136968251.20637190.002370.050276290.108576070.111214681.0243020.00296
7.29.6411415E-52.1244297E-40.0015721547.4003580.001364.1312634E-49.101525E-40.0026385782.89905050.001730.0050182190.0110249870.0133688581.21259630.002370.0490640070.10576970.1084166241.02502540.00296
7.39.1180635E-51.9472656E-40.00155446187.98279240.001363.907156E-48.342756E-40.00256283233.07192540.001730.0047465910.0101101120.0124462531.23106970.002360.0464647860.097961760.100613751.02707170.00294
7.48.887388E-51.872126E-40.0015469588.2631080.001363.8083247E-48.020931E-40.00253070543.15512680.001730.00462678170.0097218550.0120490081.23937340.002350.0453162860.0945938450.097237631.02794890.00292
7.58.6750515E-51.80528E-40.00153028438.4767140.001353.7173493E-47.734621E-40.00249213173.22204760.001720.0045164840.0093763270.0116943861.24722470.002340.044257870.091556060.094199631.02887380.00291
7.68.453092E-51.7440386E-40.00151417028.6819760.001343.6222505E-47.4723107E-40.00244596093.2733660.00170.00440117530.0090596640.01134873651.25266640.002310.043150240.088714470.091338981.02958370.00288
7.78.259102E-51.6962511E-40.00149939958.8394910.001333.539135E-47.267622E-40.00240554133.30994250.001680.0043003860.00881250.0110724081.25644340.002280.0421811340.0864654260.0890691.03011120.00285
7.87.444844E-51.528469E-40.00129267278.4573040.001143.1902574E-46.5489375E-40.00211393763.22790930.001460.00387722230.0079442310.0098489781.23976480.001920.038102690.0782938750.080552061.02884230.00245
7.95.2586525E-51.0007023E-48.299972E-48.2941477.3E-42.2535135E-44.2880196E-40.00135840313.16790349.3E-40.00274020060.0052081780.006391981.22729680.001190.0270665740.0522015880.0536138081.02705320.00149
8.03.379877E-55.4075565E-52.9406257E-45.4379942.4E-41.4484383E-42.3173184E-45.1166693E-42.20801332.8E-40.00176204710.00281768660.00320658791.13802153.9E-40.0174814090.0288359170.029331211.01717635.1E-4
8.11.8668277E-51.9308145E-56.930718E-53.58953075.0E-58.000444E-58.274657E-51.427416E-41.72504566.0E-59.736188E-40.00100697450.0010769041.06944517.0E-50.0096936420.0107986240.0108777591.00732848.0E-5
8.28.541571E-65.4596358E-61.5459582E-52.8316141.0E-53.660622E-52.339823E-53.3397995E-51.42737281.0E-54.455896E-42.848363E-42.9483344E-41.03509781.0E-50.00444697170.0032402830.00325025081.00307621.0E-5
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

Nelson Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.913453E-61.0192255E-56.4018584E-462.811016.3E-44.2485535E-54.3680422E-50.001053636324.1214770.001015.1713863E-45.316897E-40.00269054135.060360.002160.00515936830.0053052040.0090552041.7068530.00377
6.19.913453E-61.0192255E-56.4018584E-462.811016.3E-44.2485535E-54.3680422E-50.001053636324.1214770.001015.1713863E-45.316897E-40.00269054135.060360.002160.00515936830.0053052040.0090552041.7068530.00377
6.24.5596407E-64.696313E-63.446947E-473.396883.4E-41.954117E-52.0126909E-54.6011806E-422.8608424.4E-42.3788778E-42.4501883E-40.00117479094.7946979.3E-40.00237633290.00244761280.0041434521.69285430.0017
6.34.5596407E-64.696313E-63.446947E-473.396883.4E-41.954117E-52.0126909E-54.6011806E-422.8608424.4E-42.3788778E-42.4501883E-40.00117479094.7946979.3E-40.00237633290.00244761280.0041434521.69285430.0017
6.43.4025713E-63.5098972E-62.9350887E-483.6232152.9E-41.4582367E-51.5042335E-53.5503722E-423.6025333.4E-41.7752586E-41.8312587E-48.9299586E-44.8764057.1E-40.0017738410.00182983270.00310749051.69823750.00128
6.52.8352947E-62.927856E-62.5292713E-486.386462.5E-41.2151207E-51.2547898E-53.2254402E-425.7050233.1E-41.479309E-41.5276071E-47.72666E-45.05801536.2E-40.00147832460.00152663080.00259499741.69981980.00107
6.62.251518E-62.3290677E-61.623287E-469.696861.6E-49.649328E-69.981683E-62.0997968E-421.03652.0E-41.1747423E-41.2152085E-45.414698E-44.4557774.2E-40.00117412140.00121460580.0020136341.65784998.0E-4
6.71.8911853E-61.9591396E-61.3195889E-467.355531.3E-48.105055E-68.39629E-61.6839495E-420.0558781.6E-49.867457E-51.0222061E-44.221879E-44.1301643.2E-49.863076E-40.00102179350.00165114971.6159336.3E-4
6.81.4874814E-61.5438305E-69.154369E-559.2964679.0E-56.374905E-66.6164025E-61.266156E-419.1366231.2E-47.76117E-58.055224E-53.3053212E-44.1033262.5E-47.75846E-48.0528157E-40.00130487891.62040095.0E-4
6.96.835972E-77.1399285E-73.071397E-543.01723.0E-52.9296991E-63.0599674E-63.3059874E-510.8039963.0E-53.56685E-53.7254784E-51.4725068E-43.95253091.1E-43.5662777E-43.7251666E-46.1242725E-41.64402652.4E-4

San Andreas (Mojave N)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.877682E-51.9402112E-40.002063658310.6362560.001874.2326056E-48.312543E-40.00315931743.8006630.002330.00514102770.0100736840.013221651.31249390.003180.050237080.098322450.101974251.0371410.00405
6.19.877682E-51.9402112E-40.002063658310.6362560.001874.2326056E-48.312543E-40.00315931743.8006630.002330.00514102770.0100736840.013221651.31249390.003180.050237080.098322450.101974251.0371410.00405
6.29.877682E-51.9402112E-40.002063658310.6362560.001874.2326056E-48.312543E-40.00315931743.8006630.002330.00514102770.0100736840.013221651.31249390.003180.050237080.098322450.101974251.0371410.00405
6.39.877682E-51.9402112E-40.002063658310.6362560.001874.2326056E-48.312543E-40.00315931743.8006630.002330.00514102770.0100736840.013221651.31249390.003180.050237080.098322450.101974251.0371410.00405
6.49.877682E-51.9402112E-40.002063658310.6362560.001874.2326056E-48.312543E-40.00315931743.8006630.002330.00514102770.0100736840.013221651.31249390.003180.050237080.098322450.101974251.0371410.00405
6.59.861474E-51.937588E-40.002063396410.6493040.001874.2256617E-48.3013077E-40.00315819663.80445670.002330.00513261320.01006013250.0132081411.31291930.003180.0501567460.098200350.101852631.03719220.00405
6.69.861474E-51.937588E-40.002063396410.6493040.001874.2256617E-48.3013077E-40.00315819663.80445670.002330.00513261320.01006013250.0132081411.31291930.003180.0501567460.098200350.101852631.03719220.00405
6.79.8552715E-51.9365833E-40.002063296310.6543120.001874.223004E-48.2970044E-40.00315776723.80591250.002330.00512939270.0100549410.0132029661.31308250.003180.0501259980.098153560.101806041.03721190.00405
6.89.8464974E-51.9350994E-40.002063148210.6617160.001874.219245E-48.290649E-40.00315713323.80806520.002330.00512483760.0100472760.0131953251.31332370.003180.050082510.098083780.101736541.03724120.00405
6.99.825824E-51.9319002E-40.002062828710.6777190.001874.2103877E-48.276947E-40.0031557663.81271770.002330.00511410460.0100307460.0131788491.31384530.003180.0499800220.0979329650.1015863341.03730490.00405
7.09.781462E-51.9250368E-40.002062143810.7122310.001874.1913814E-48.247551E-40.00315283333.8227510.002330.0050910730.0099952850.01314351.314970.003180.049760070.097609120.1012638061.0374420.00405
7.19.7121134E-51.9152075E-40.002061162610.7620850.001874.1616702E-48.205452E-40.00314863333.83724550.002330.0050550680.00994449950.01309287551.31659470.003180.049416130.097145710.1008022651.037640.00405
7.29.663819E-51.9082859E-40.002060471810.7975010.001874.1409794E-48.175807E-40.00314567563.84754180.002330.00502999360.0099087350.0130572251.31774890.003180.0491765370.096818830.100476711.03778080.00405
7.39.6277574E-51.9035369E-40.002059997810.8219480.001874.125529E-48.1554666E-40.00314364653.85464950.002330.00501126940.0098841950.0130327641.31854570.003180.048997590.096592280.100251081.03787890.00405
7.49.593308E-51.8975153E-40.002059396610.8531230.001874.1107697E-48.129676E-40.00314107333.86371280.002330.00499338240.0098530810.0130017471.31956170.003180.048826610.096309860.099960771.0379080.00404
7.59.561707E-51.8921228E-40.002058858510.8812090.001874.0972308E-48.106579E-40.00313876923.87187860.002330.00497697430.0098252150.012973971.3204770.003180.0486697440.0960562450.099708181.03801870.00404
7.69.418194E-51.8573487E-40.002045389511.0124140.001864.0357444E-47.95764E-40.00310392583.90056090.002310.0049024540.0096454990.0127750191.3244540.003160.0479570250.0944374650.0980778261.03854790.00402
7.78.202141E-51.6022482E-40.001909944511.92040350.001753.51473E-46.8649714E-40.00283502114.1296910.002150.004270790.0083261280.0111523991.3394460.002850.041896390.0822379140.085532681.04006390.00359
7.87.2859846E-51.4517571E-40.00128501038.8514140.001143.1221908E-46.2203326E-40.0020811253.34568120.001460.0037946430.00754699860.0094525091.25248580.001920.0373049750.074727660.076994581.03033570.00245
7.95.3874453E-51.00462625E-48.3038927E-48.2656547.3E-42.3087008E-44.3048308E-40.00136008283.15943369.3E-40.00280722020.00522854740.00641232541.22640670.001190.027720220.0524258840.053837771.0269310.00149
8.03.468538E-55.4261534E-52.9424852E-45.42278242.4E-41.4864317E-42.3252872E-45.124636E-42.20387242.8E-40.00180822830.00282736360.0032162611.13754773.9E-40.0179358530.0289484620.0294436981.01710755.1E-4
8.11.9152367E-51.9401303E-56.940033E-53.57709655.0E-58.207899E-58.3145795E-51.431408E-41.7215646.0E-59.988535E-40.00101183050.00108175971.06911167.0E-50.0099437570.010855950.0109350821.00728928.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.473668E-61.5473614E-52.82691841.0E-53.704486E-52.3458366E-53.345813E-51.42627721.0E-54.5092785E-42.8556827E-42.955654E-41.0350081.0E-50.00450013950.00324817930.0032581471.00306871.0E-5
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

Lenwood-Lockhart-Old Woman Springs

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.744542E-54.396349E-50.001153914726.2471140.001111.604705E-41.8840231E-40.00183809149.7562050.001650.00195197760.00229155710.0049953472.1798920.002710.0193492060.0226972810.0263230741.15974570.00371
6.13.744542E-54.396349E-50.001153914726.2471140.001111.604705E-41.8840231E-40.00183809149.7562050.001650.00195197760.00229155710.0049953472.1798920.002710.0193492060.0226972810.0263230741.15974570.00371
6.23.744542E-54.396349E-50.001153914726.2471140.001111.604705E-41.8840231E-40.00183809149.7562050.001650.00195197760.00229155710.0049953472.1798920.002710.0193492060.0226972810.0263230741.15974570.00371
6.32.1079984E-52.5354384E-55.053422E-419.9311564.8E-49.0339665E-51.0865723E-48.085812E-47.4415777.0E-40.00109933040.00132211890.00249057221.88377310.001170.0109390790.0131447470.014694111.11786940.00157
6.42.1079984E-52.5354384E-55.053422E-419.9311564.8E-49.0339665E-51.0865723E-48.085812E-47.4415777.0E-40.00109933040.00132211890.00249057221.88377310.001170.0109390790.0131447470.014694111.11786940.00157
6.51.7397282E-52.0663285E-53.6065627E-417.4539663.4E-47.455765E-58.8554E-55.585124E-46.30702644.7E-49.073613E-40.00107762350.00187676131.74157448.0E-40.0090366540.0107252730.0117837971.09869430.00107
6.61.52050325E-51.7680086E-53.276746E-418.5335433.1E-46.51628E-57.576964E-55.05737E-46.67466644.3E-47.9306826E-49.221128E-40.00165143971.79093027.3E-40.0079024390.0091837290.0101547291.10573049.8E-4
6.71.332523E-51.5264379E-52.952601E-419.3430792.8E-45.7106878E-56.541716E-54.453923E-46.8084933.8E-46.950544E-47.9616875E-40.00144565131.81575986.5E-40.0069288450.00793379450.0087968921.10878758.7E-4
6.81.1525329E-51.3031365E-52.630281E-420.1842332.5E-44.9393333E-55.5847537E-53.858291E-46.90861463.3E-46.011979E-46.7973585E-40.00120937561.77918465.3E-40.005995740.00677701920.00748220741.10405597.1E-4
6.91.0253909E-51.1514835E-52.1151252E-418.36872.0E-44.3944583E-54.934838E-53.2933455E-46.67366552.8E-45.3489394E-46.006545E-40.00104039021.73209434.4E-40.00533608250.00599068960.0065870951.09955546.0E-4
7.08.104563E-68.99143E-61.6899E-418.7945611.6E-43.4733377E-53.853415E-52.6852527E-46.9685022.3E-44.2279682E-44.6905465E-48.388811E-41.78845073.7E-40.00421993340.00468089430.0051686011.10419084.9E-4
7.16.7986157E-67.5159796E-61.37515E-418.296351.3E-42.91366E-53.2210955E-51.922058E-45.9670941.6E-43.5468035E-43.9209996E-46.619941E-41.68832992.7E-40.0035411480.0039142980.00429281031.09673.8E-4
7.25.6893327E-66.280132E-61.1627944E-418.5154461.1E-42.4382627E-52.6914584E-51.4691135E-45.45842931.2E-42.9681803E-43.276378E-45.5756245E-41.70176472.3E-40.0029642190.0032717460.00356079731.08834772.9E-4
7.34.253348E-64.707075E-69.470665E-520.1200669.0E-51.8228506E-52.017303E-51.1017122E-45.4613129.0E-52.2190946E-42.455808E-44.055415E-41.65135671.6E-40.002216880.00245327530.002662761.08538992.1E-4
7.42.5448119E-62.8520594E-67.285186E-525.5435987.0E-51.0906291E-51.2223064E-58.222221E-56.7268087.0E-51.3277601E-41.4880729E-42.587909E-41.7391011.1E-40.0013269670.00148723870.00163701561.1007081.5E-4
7.54.3706837E-84.562909E-84.562909E-81.00.01.8731501E-71.9555324E-71.9555324E-71.00.02.2805577E-62.3808586E-62.3808586E-61.00.02.2805343E-52.3808387E-52.3808387E-51.00.0

Towne Pass

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.849728E-63.894542E-68.3389133E-4214.117948.3E-41.649873E-51.6690812E-50.001376668182.48060.001362.0085352E-42.0319606E-40.002532722712.4644280.002330.00200672080.00203053190.0055533642.73493080.00353
6.13.849728E-63.894542E-68.3389133E-4214.117948.3E-41.649873E-51.6690812E-50.001376668182.48060.001362.0085352E-42.0319606E-40.002532722712.4644280.002330.00200672080.00203053190.0055533642.73493080.00353
6.23.849728E-63.894542E-68.3389133E-4214.117948.3E-41.649873E-51.6690812E-50.001376668182.48060.001362.0085352E-42.0319606E-40.002532722712.4644280.002330.00200672080.00203053190.0055533642.73493080.00353
6.33.849728E-63.894542E-68.3389133E-4214.117948.3E-41.649873E-51.6690812E-50.001376668182.48060.001362.0085352E-42.0319606E-40.002532722712.4644280.002330.00200672080.00203053190.0055533642.73493080.00353
6.43.849728E-63.894542E-68.3389133E-4214.117948.3E-41.649873E-51.6690812E-50.001376668182.48060.001362.0085352E-42.0319606E-40.002532722712.4644280.002330.00200672080.00203053190.0055533642.73493080.00353
6.51.1953545E-61.2030526E-61.2120291E-4100.746141.2E-45.1229376E-65.15593E-62.3515474E-445.6085972.3E-46.236998E-56.277176E-54.6274666E-47.3718924.0E-46.235248E-46.2755204E-40.00124716291.98734596.2E-4
6.61.1953545E-61.2030526E-61.2120291E-4100.746141.2E-45.1229376E-65.15593E-62.3515474E-445.6085972.3E-46.236998E-56.277176E-54.6274666E-47.3718924.0E-46.235248E-46.2755204E-40.00124716291.98734596.2E-4
6.78.375951E-78.410676E-78.0841E-596.117138.0E-53.5896885E-63.6045708E-61.4360406E-439.8394361.4E-44.370358E-54.3884826E-53.038734E-46.92433932.6E-44.3694986E-44.3876728E-48.285962E-41.88846393.9E-4
6.86.38041E-76.3921624E-76.0639177E-594.864896.0E-52.7344586E-62.7394954E-61.0273922E-437.502971.0E-43.3291526E-53.3352884E-52.3334622E-46.99628262.0E-43.3286537E-43.334826E-46.333826E-41.89929713.0E-4
6.95.3460053E-75.345339E-76.05345E-5113.247276.0E-52.2911431E-62.2908578E-69.2290655E-540.2865079.0E-52.789431E-52.7890868E-52.0788585E-47.4535451.8E-42.789081E-42.78877E-45.388045E-41.93205062.6E-4
7.03.557783E-73.5324283E-74.035323E-5114.236514.0E-51.5247632E-61.513897E-65.151382E-534.0272945.0E-51.8563835E-51.8431549E-59.843007E-55.3403048.0E-51.8562283E-41.8430105E-42.842826E-41.54249051.0E-4
7.13.037942E-73.0002275E-73.0300014E-5100.9923863.0E-51.3019744E-61.2858112E-64.128576E-532.1087274.0E-51.5851423E-51.5654647E-57.5653705E-54.8326686.0E-51.5850292E-41.5653619E-42.3652367E-41.5109848.0E-5
7.22.0808248E-72.0217735E-72.0202173E-599.9230352.0E-58.917818E-78.6647407E-73.086645E-535.623053.0E-51.0857389E-51.0549275E-54.054896E-53.84376723.0E-51.0856859E-41.0548821E-41.5548294E-41.47393675.0E-5
7.31.1162073E-71.0636902E-71.0106368E-595.012321.0E-54.7837443E-74.5586717E-72.0455858E-544.872412.0E-55.8241935E-65.5501705E-62.555006E-54.60347272.0E-55.8240406E-55.550052E-59.5498304E-51.72067394.0E-5

Bicycle Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.9621975E-52.2097078E-54.7208712E-421.3642334.5E-48.4091465E-59.4699084E-57.646356E-48.0743726.7E-40.00102333270.00115248650.0025308962.19603090.001380.010186330.0114784080.0139694831.21702270.00252
6.11.9621975E-52.2097078E-54.7208712E-421.3642334.5E-48.4091465E-59.4699084E-57.646356E-48.0743726.7E-40.00102333270.00115248650.0025308962.19603090.001380.010186330.0114784080.0139694831.21702270.00252
6.29.9971285E-61.125564E-52.2125327E-419.6571042.1E-44.2844134E-54.8237856E-53.7822194E-47.840773.3E-45.2150246E-45.871897E-40.00136673162.32758127.8E-40.00520280330.0058614870.0073129291.24762360.00146
6.39.589428E-61.0798346E-52.0079629E-418.5950971.9E-44.10969E-54.62781E-53.5626374E-47.69832323.1E-45.002399E-45.6334207E-40.00129293082.29510787.3E-40.00499115330.00562422960.0070064121.2457550.00139
6.49.589428E-61.0798346E-52.0079629E-418.5950971.9E-44.10969E-54.62781E-53.5626374E-47.69832323.1E-45.002399E-45.6334207E-40.00129293082.29510787.3E-40.00499115330.00562422960.0070064121.2457550.00139
6.55.557707E-66.2856016E-61.0628497E-416.9092771.0E-42.3818526E-52.6938165E-52.0693331E-47.68178941.8E-42.8995197E-43.279497E-47.8779884E-42.40219434.6E-40.00289573940.00327729340.00422418021.28892349.5E-4
6.64.8742945E-65.5132896E-69.551279E-517.3241029.0E-52.0889667E-52.3628318E-51.8362454E-47.77137571.6E-42.54302E-42.87663E-47.075422E-42.4596224.2E-40.0025401120.00287547520.003713061.29128568.4E-4
6.73.991108E-64.5159104E-68.451555E-518.7150638.0E-51.7104636E-51.9353902E-51.2935177E-46.68349841.1E-42.0822904E-42.3563375E-45.3556304E-42.27286223.0E-40.00208034040.00235633740.00300480591.27520186.5E-4

San Andreas (San Bernardino N)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.4273766E-43.160784E-40.0013357564.22602750.001026.115894E-40.00135392450.00267213721.97362360.001320.00742070840.0163609390.0180429631.10280730.001710.071777480.150211630.152055671.01227630.00217
6.11.4273766E-43.160784E-40.0013357564.22602750.001026.115894E-40.00135392450.00267213721.97362360.001320.00742070840.0163609390.0180429631.10280730.001710.071777480.150211630.152055671.01227630.00217
6.21.4273766E-43.160784E-40.0013357564.22602750.001026.115894E-40.00135392450.00267213721.97362360.001320.00742070840.0163609390.0180429631.10280730.001710.071777480.150211630.152055671.01227630.00217
6.31.3730655E-43.0512668E-40.00132481544.3418540.001025.883239E-40.0013070360.00262531082.00859860.001320.00713934420.0157984550.017481441.10652840.001710.069142910.14551350.147367751.01274280.00217
6.41.3730655E-43.0512668E-40.00132481544.3418540.001025.883239E-40.0013070360.00262531082.00859860.001320.00713934420.0157984550.017481441.10652840.001710.069142910.14551350.147367751.01274280.00217
6.51.2942807E-42.8927144E-40.00127898514.4214019.9E-45.545738E-40.00123915090.00251756472.03168540.001280.00673105240.0149835480.0166285241.10978560.001670.065307880.138650880.140485551.01323240.00213
6.61.1125901E-42.5365927E-40.00122341324.82305779.7E-44.767372E-40.00108666050.0023353022.14906330.001250.0057888390.01315046850.0147689011.12307040.001640.0564034540.123004960.1248466451.01497240.0021
6.71.02209575E-42.3500937E-40.00119478375.08398349.6E-44.3796748E-40.00100679570.00224554722.23039030.001240.00531922470.0121892670.0137895211.13128380.001620.0519369060.1147927640.1166251451.01596250.00207
6.89.610582E-52.2026796E-40.00118005655.3573689.6E-44.1181705E-49.436647E-40.00218249462.3127860.001240.00500235150.0114288590.0130303451.14012650.001620.0489123460.108204690.110050711.01706040.00207
6.99.3877505E-52.1482339E-40.00117461725.4678279.6E-44.0227012E-49.203475E-40.00214921542.33522180.001230.00488664540.0111479070.0127399591.14281180.001610.047805770.1057982740.1076313851.01732650.00205
7.09.1019785E-52.0809306E-40.00116789335.61236059.6E-43.900265E-48.915232E-40.00212042662.37843130.001230.00473823770.01080049950.012393111.14745710.001610.0463847440.102768150.104607481.01789780.00205
7.18.771155E-51.9983841E-40.00114964865.7528919.5E-43.758525E-48.5616973E-40.00205514232.40039130.00120.00456640640.0103742430.0119378521.15072020.001580.0447370560.099076440.100896311.01836820.00202
7.28.0830236E-51.8389444E-40.00113371976.1650579.5E-43.4636928E-47.8788114E-40.00198693572.52187230.00120.00420889440.0095503680.0111152791.16385870.001580.0413006580.091805180.093639741.01998320.00202
7.37.7668235E-51.7333007E-40.00112316546.47992239.5E-43.328214E-47.426318E-40.00194174062.61467480.00120.00404457330.0090041380.0105600021.17279420.001570.039717480.087067610.088902611.02107550.00201
7.47.520177E-51.655312E-40.00111537396.73814969.5E-43.2225347E-47.092266E-40.00190837552.6907840.00120.00391637950.0086007140.0101472961.17982030.001560.0384807440.083521570.085345361.02183620.00199
7.57.274697E-51.584075E-40.00109825876.9331229.4E-43.1173544E-46.7871273E-40.0018679052.7521290.001190.0037887750.0082320760.0097693161.18673790.001550.037248270.080236540.082057671.02269710.00198
7.67.1185845E-51.5410586E-40.0010939617.09876359.4E-43.0504653E-46.602866E-40.00184950082.80105780.001190.00370761780.00800940950.0095370751.19073390.001540.0364636670.078226610.0800425041.02321330.00197
7.76.709961E-51.4319421E-40.0010730617.4937469.3E-42.8753807E-46.135452E-40.00179282122.92206880.001180.0034951570.00744436630.0089530511.20266130.001520.0344069380.073055580.074863121.0247420.00195
7.86.300812E-51.320343E-40.00106191158.0426949.3E-42.7000686E-45.657386E-40.00173507673.0669230.001170.00328237870.0068661430.0083657751.21840970.001510.0323431750.067713850.0695224851.026710.00194
7.94.983037E-59.7241085E-58.271701E-48.5063857.3E-42.1354125E-44.1668097E-40.00134629353.23099359.3E-40.00259676480.00506130050.00624527741.23392750.001190.0256662960.0506505070.052065041.02792730.00149
8.03.2211527E-55.3306234E-52.9329344E-45.5020482.4E-41.380421E-42.2843528E-45.0837133E-42.225452.8E-40.00167936690.00277765420.0031665711.14001623.9E-40.0166673230.0283625680.0288581031.01747145.1E-4
8.11.743376E-51.8823403E-56.882246E-53.6562185.0E-57.471398E-58.066923E-51.4066439E-41.7437186.0E-59.0926304E-49.81706E-40.00105163721.07123457.0E-50.0090555170.0104839790.0105631411.00755078.0E-5
8.27.831616E-65.1540533E-61.5154002E-52.94021061.0E-53.3563636E-52.2088612E-53.2088392E-51.45271191.0E-54.0856065E-42.6889573E-42.7889304E-41.03717911.0E-50.0040781030.00304136680.00305133641.0032781.0E-5
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

Paradise

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.4851273E-51.6694768E-54.566874E-427.3551224.4E-46.364676E-57.154718E-57.514985E-410.5035386.8E-47.7462377E-48.707624E-40.00216963052.49164460.00130.00771929140.0086758840.0107774911.24223550.00212
6.11.4851273E-51.6694768E-54.566874E-427.3551224.4E-46.364676E-57.154718E-57.514985E-410.5035386.8E-47.7462377E-48.707624E-40.00216963052.49164460.00130.00771929140.0086758840.0107774911.24223550.00212
6.21.4851273E-51.6694768E-54.566874E-427.3551224.4E-46.364676E-57.154718E-57.514985E-410.5035386.8E-47.7462377E-48.707624E-40.00216963052.49164460.00130.00771929140.0086758840.0107774911.24223550.00212
6.31.0426831E-51.1888697E-51.718868E-414.4581.6E-44.4685654E-55.09506E-53.4093583E-46.6914982.9E-45.43912E-46.201529E-40.00117980561.9024435.6E-40.00542582660.00618483170.00705938931.14140368.8E-4
6.41.0426831E-51.1888697E-51.718868E-414.4581.6E-44.4685654E-55.09506E-53.4093583E-46.6914982.9E-45.43912E-46.201529E-40.00117980561.9024435.6E-40.00542582660.00618483170.00705938931.14140368.8E-4
6.59.25027E-61.0620037E-51.4061866E-413.2408821.3E-43.964341E-54.551368E-52.8550276E-46.27292.4E-44.8255164E-45.5399304E-40.00100374371.81183464.5E-40.00481505130.00552661950.00619291651.12056156.7E-4
6.67.904275E-69.159602E-61.191586E-413.0091451.1E-43.3875025E-53.925487E-51.7924937E-44.56629661.4E-44.1235037E-44.7782718E-47.3770294E-41.54386972.6E-40.00411586040.0047683950.0051565351.08139853.9E-4
6.77.2061953E-68.407326E-68.8406654E-510.515438.0E-53.088333E-53.603092E-51.3602732E-43.7752941.0E-43.7593965E-44.3859181E-46.484997E-41.47859512.1E-40.0037530430.0043776310.0046862741.07050453.1E-4
6.86.6948724E-67.842242E-66.784177E-58.6508136.0E-52.8691995E-53.3609194E-51.13606504E-43.3802218.0E-53.4926904E-44.091187E-45.7904917E-41.41535741.7E-40.0034872060.00408401250.00431307361.05608712.3E-4
6.96.0421025E-67.1306963E-63.713048E-55.2071333.0E-52.5894467E-53.0559786E-58.055826E-52.6360875.0E-53.1521954E-43.7200528E-44.8196438E-41.29558471.1E-40.00314772780.00371416380.00386360681.0402361.5E-4
7.04.134091E-65.0803824E-61.5080332E-52.96834561.0E-51.7717413E-52.1772896E-54.177246E-51.91855342.0E-52.1568815E-42.650543E-43.250384E-41.22630876.0E-50.00215478920.00264753470.0027273231.03013688.0E-5
7.13.7674888E-64.631936E-61.463189E-53.15891461.0E-51.6146281E-51.9851012E-53.9850616E-52.00748542.0E-51.9656324E-42.4166079E-43.016463E-41.24822196.0E-50.00196389460.00241413060.00249393751.03305828.0E-5
7.23.4065345E-64.156782E-61.4156741E-53.4056971.0E-51.4599351E-51.7814667E-52.7814489E-51.56132521.0E-51.777326E-42.168735E-42.6686265E-41.23049915.0E-50.00177590530.00216676670.0022366151.03223627.0E-5
7.32.9934936E-63.6293673E-61.3629331E-53.75529121.0E-51.2829195E-51.5554348E-52.555419E-51.64289711.0E-51.5618425E-41.8935918E-42.3934973E-41.26399845.0E-50.00156074530.00189212370.00196199121.03692547.0E-5
7.42.4049796E-62.8890186E-61.288899E-54.46137331.0E-51.0307015E-51.2381457E-52.2381333E-51.80764941.0E-51.2548068E-41.5073526E-41.9072923E-41.26532594.0E-50.00125409850.00150647150.00155639631.03314025.0E-5
7.51.2710091E-61.5134859E-61.5134859E-61.00.05.44717E-66.4863593E-66.4863593E-61.00.06.631728E-57.896981E-59.896823E-51.25324132.0E-56.6297496E-47.895401E-48.195164E-41.03796683.0E-5
7.62.21172E-72.6040198E-72.6040198E-71.00.09.478797E-71.1160082E-61.1160082E-61.00.01.1540374E-51.3587343E-52.3587207E-51.73596911.0E-51.1539775E-41.3586794E-41.4586658E-41.07359091.0E-5

Garlic Springs

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6760017E-51.8776833E-52.9877157E-415.9117142.8E-47.182667E-58.0470316E-55.404333E-46.71593334.6E-48.7413884E-49.794032E-40.00190849231.9486289.3E-40.0087070830.0097624130.0114656221.17446590.00172
6.19.852767E-61.0973587E-52.109714E-419.2253822.0E-44.222546E-54.702921E-53.0701698E-46.52821872.6E-45.139737E-45.7250116E-40.00105222641.83794624.8E-40.0051278660.0057172210.0066021331.154788.9E-4
6.29.852767E-61.0973587E-52.109714E-419.2253822.0E-44.222546E-54.702921E-53.0701698E-46.52821872.6E-45.139737E-45.7250116E-40.00105222641.83794624.8E-40.0051278660.0057172210.0066021331.154788.9E-4
6.34.3167724E-64.7780286E-69.47776E-519.836139.0E-51.8500323E-52.0477235E-51.5047457E-47.34838341.3E-42.2521814E-42.4930484E-44.792475E-41.92233542.3E-40.00224990030.002492510.00284163751.14007073.5E-4
6.44.3167724E-64.7780286E-69.47776E-519.836139.0E-51.8500323E-52.0477235E-51.5047457E-47.34838341.3E-42.2521814E-42.4930484E-44.792475E-41.92233542.3E-40.00224990030.002492510.00284163751.14007073.5E-4
6.54.3167724E-64.7780286E-69.47776E-519.836139.0E-51.8500323E-52.0477235E-51.5047457E-47.34838341.3E-42.2521814E-42.4930484E-44.792475E-41.92233542.3E-40.00224990030.002492510.00284163751.14007073.5E-4
6.64.301311E-64.760897E-69.476047E-519.903919.0E-51.8434059E-52.0403815E-51.5040116E-47.37122771.3E-42.2441156E-42.4841115E-44.7835402E-41.92565432.3E-40.00224185060.0024835930.00283272381.14057483.5E-4
6.73.8599724E-64.27106E-69.4270676E-522.0719629.0E-51.6542634E-51.8304541E-51.4830216E-48.1019331.3E-42.0138794E-42.228578E-44.4280879E-41.98695662.2E-40.00201205540.0022285780.00255784251.14774643.3E-4

San Andreas (San Bernardino S)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2336002E-43.0005194E-48.398899E-42.79914865.4E-45.2857865E-40.00128532920.00199441661.55167777.1E-40.0064164720.0155415540.0164374111.05764279.1E-40.062343370.142946990.143924031.0068350.00114
6.11.2336002E-43.0005194E-48.398899E-42.79914865.4E-45.2857865E-40.00128532920.00199441661.55167777.1E-40.0064164720.0155415540.0164374111.05764279.1E-40.062343370.142946990.143924031.0068350.00114
6.21.2336002E-43.0005194E-48.398899E-42.79914865.4E-45.2857865E-40.00128532920.00199441661.55167777.1E-40.0064164720.0155415540.0164374111.05764279.1E-40.062343370.142946990.143924031.0068350.00114
6.31.1712257E-42.8793467E-48.277792E-42.87488565.4E-45.018573E-40.00123344780.00194257211.57491237.1E-40.0060930080.0149186660.015815091.06008749.1E-40.0592863220.137657790.138640851.00714140.00114
6.41.1712257E-42.8793467E-48.277792E-42.87488565.4E-45.018573E-40.00123344780.00194257211.57491237.1E-40.0060930080.0149186660.015815091.06008749.1E-40.0592863220.137657790.138640851.00714140.00114
6.51.0689076E-42.6806415E-48.079194E-43.01390315.4E-44.5802278E-40.00114836530.00184756141.60886227.0E-40.00556217830.0138963350.0147739681.06315578.9E-40.054250030.12889890.129874541.0075690.00112
6.69.7648895E-52.505129E-47.903776E-43.15503745.4E-44.1842813E-40.00107320860.00176246811.64224186.9E-40.0050824690.0129923990.0138510951.06609238.7E-40.0496778860.1210777460.122044561.00798510.0011
6.78.757013E-52.3122175E-47.610992E-43.2916425.3E-43.7524657E-49.905964E-40.00166992271.68577526.8E-40.004559060.0119979020.0128377031.06999588.5E-40.044666560.1123730240.113331661.00853090.00108
6.88.562978E-52.2682057E-47.5670035E-43.33611875.3E-43.6693315E-49.7174826E-40.00164109711.6888096.7E-40.0044582630.0117709210.0126010341.07052238.4E-40.0436987580.110378630.111321631.00854330.00106
6.96.124075E-51.7066885E-46.505869E-43.8119844.8E-42.6243398E-47.312337E-40.00134078761.83359666.1E-40.00319045270.0088666360.009639721.08719037.8E-40.0314503460.084202620.085072621.01033239.5E-4
7.05.8598747E-51.6495936E-46.3488184E-43.84871674.7E-42.5111332E-47.067779E-40.00130635381.8483236.0E-40.00305301860.0085712650.0093346661.08906517.7E-40.030114140.081515620.082378991.01059159.4E-4
7.15.613814E-51.5914452E-46.190713E-43.88999464.6E-42.4056983E-46.818704E-40.00127146811.86467715.9E-40.00292500390.0082703530.0090240681.09113457.6E-40.0288680210.078812680.0796693861.01087019.3E-4
7.24.991222E-51.4520933E-46.0514256E-44.1673814.6E-42.1389198E-46.221777E-40.00121181051.94769235.9E-40.0026010250.00754880630.0083030691.09991817.6E-40.0257079120.072261910.07312471.01193999.3E-4
7.34.7410045E-51.371513E-45.9708825E-44.35354.6E-42.0317009E-45.8765925E-40.00117731262.00339325.9E-40.00247078970.00713136560.0078760171.10441927.5E-40.0244349820.0685419440.069398891.01250249.2E-4
7.44.5556746E-51.3123035E-45.9117E-44.5048274.6E-41.952286E-45.6229485E-40.00115196312.04868155.9E-40.0023743170.00682452930.0075594791.10769247.4E-40.0234910860.065791430.066632221.01277969.0E-4
7.54.3084514E-51.2358342E-45.735278E-44.64081534.5E-41.8463485E-45.2953605E-40.00110922892.09471855.8E-40.00224561150.00642811460.0071534221.11283367.3E-40.0222305450.0621902830.063024941.01342098.9E-4
7.63.408608E-59.836477E-55.383215E-45.47270634.4E-41.4607502E-44.214953E-49.812593E-42.32804325.6E-40.00177701250.0051196560.0058160721.13602797.0E-40.0176286960.050022440.0508394171.01633238.6E-4
7.72.8315713E-58.2495724E-55.2245945E-46.333174.4E-41.2134742E-43.5350522E-49.1330725E-42.5835755.6E-40.00147640340.0042954420.00499243481.16226357.0E-40.014666330.0422724150.043096061.01948438.6E-4
7.82.6222975E-57.463898E-55.1460613E-46.89460334.4E-41.1237934E-43.1984213E-48.696662E-42.71904835.5E-40.00136735970.0038871310.0045744491.17681886.9E-40.0135897680.0384374750.0392548031.02126388.5E-4
7.92.1469694E-55.7884805E-54.4786223E-47.73712973.9E-49.200973E-52.4805416E-47.279351E-42.93458134.8E-40.00111964280.003015880.00361407061.19834696.0E-40.0111401840.0301532650.0308515541.0231587.2E-4
8.01.2420249E-53.1321662E-51.9131665E-46.10812571.6E-45.322855E-51.342288E-43.0420598E-42.26632431.7E-46.478649E-40.00163301160.0018626361.1406142.3E-40.00645979350.016523690.016789231.01607012.7E-4
8.14.9197724E-67.822525E-61.7822445E-52.27834961.0E-52.1084568E-53.3524673E-54.352434E-51.29827771.0E-52.566744E-44.080866E-44.1808252E-41.02449461.0E-50.0025637810.0043845570.0043945131.00227071.0E-5
8.22.5634774E-62.9065757E-61.29065465E-54.44046451.0E-51.0986286E-51.2456694E-52.245657E-51.80277121.0E-51.3374983E-41.5164974E-41.6164822E-41.06593141.0E-50.00133669340.0017049410.0017149241.00585531.0E-5
8.35.2850464E-73.2080476E-73.2080476E-71.00.02.2650179E-61.3748769E-61.3748769E-61.00.02.7576245E-51.673901E-51.673901E-51.00.02.7572823E-41.986671E-41.986671E-41.00.0

Helendale-So Lockhart

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.7296055E-51.8103729E-53.280981E-418.1232343.1E-47.412385E-57.7585224E-55.3754955E-46.9285044.6E-49.0208417E-49.4421144E-40.00172347491.82530627.8E-40.0089843110.0094041160.010523491.11903010.00113
6.11.7296055E-51.8103729E-53.280981E-418.1232343.1E-47.412385E-57.7585224E-55.3754955E-46.9285044.6E-49.0208417E-49.4421144E-40.00172347491.82530627.8E-40.0089843110.0094041160.010523491.11903010.00113
6.21.7296055E-51.8103729E-53.280981E-418.1232343.1E-47.412385E-57.7585224E-55.3754955E-46.9285044.6E-49.0208417E-49.4421144E-40.00172347491.82530627.8E-40.0089843110.0094041160.010523491.11903010.00113
6.31.0669118E-51.1135425E-52.3113297E-420.7565482.2E-44.5723988E-54.772239E-53.5770758E-47.49559263.1E-45.5654737E-45.80868E-40.00109057171.87748635.1E-40.00555155570.00579379360.00649967981.12183497.1E-4
6.41.0669118E-51.1135425E-52.3113297E-420.7565482.2E-44.5723988E-54.772239E-53.5770758E-47.49559263.1E-45.5654737E-45.80868E-40.00109057171.87748635.1E-40.00555155570.00579379360.00649967981.12183497.1E-4
6.58.790038E-69.170197E-62.1916827E-423.9000632.1E-43.767105E-53.930026E-53.2928886E-48.3787962.9E-44.585485E-44.7837716E-49.6814276E-42.02380634.9E-40.00457603440.0047736380.005440441.13968426.7E-4
6.67.396949E-67.715537E-61.677143E-421.7372171.6E-43.1700827E-53.3066175E-52.6305858E-47.95551872.3E-43.858892E-44.025073E-48.0234633E-41.99337084.0E-40.0038521980.004017890.004575641.13881665.6E-4
6.76.4600285E-66.738031E-61.5673702E-423.2615471.5E-42.7685543E-52.887696E-52.488706E-48.618312.2E-43.3701936E-43.5152107E-47.21391E-42.05219843.7E-40.00336508690.0035097320.0040378721.15047875.3E-4
6.85.600104E-65.836009E-61.3583525E-423.2753661.3E-42.4000226E-52.5011232E-52.2500622E-48.9962072.0E-42.9216358E-43.044698E-46.343693E-42.08352143.3E-40.00291779750.0030405880.00349918941.15082664.6E-4
6.94.839122E-65.0395092E-61.250389E-424.8117221.2E-42.0738931E-52.159772E-52.1159362E-49.7970341.9E-42.5246723E-42.6292098E-45.528447E-42.1027032.9E-40.0025218060.0026261470.00302509641.15191444.0E-4
7.03.6937633E-63.845208E-69.3844865E-524.4056669.0E-51.5830317E-51.647936E-51.7647672E-410.7089551.6E-41.9271708E-42.0061806E-44.605659E-42.29573512.6E-40.00192550030.0020044010.00233373951.16430773.3E-4
7.12.7858857E-62.8978538E-68.289762E-528.6065588.0E-51.1939455E-51.2419316E-51.3241783E-410.6622491.2E-41.4535317E-41.511949E-43.5116466E-42.3225962.0E-40.00145258140.00151094180.0017605641.16520982.5E-4
7.22.1672065E-62.2540128E-66.225388E-527.6191336.0E-59.2879945E-69.66002E-68.965925E-59.2814768.0E-51.1307546E-41.1760458E-42.6758693E-42.27531051.5E-40.00113017940.00117544170.00135523011.1529541.8E-4
7.31.4823496E-61.5422102E-64.154215E-526.9367624.0E-56.3529114E-66.6094562E-64.660919E-57.05189474.0E-57.734395E-58.046731E-51.7046007E-42.11837659.0E-57.731704E-48.0439687E-49.143084E-41.13663841.1E-4
7.44.2321457E-74.4108765E-74.044107E-591.684884.0E-51.8137755E-61.8903745E-64.18903E-522.1597884.0E-52.2082493E-52.3015113E-59.30135E-54.04140957.0E-52.2080299E-42.3013182E-43.1011342E-41.34754688.0E-5
7.55.6942316E-85.9415648E-85.9415648E-81.00.02.440385E-72.5463845E-72.5463845E-71.00.02.9711643E-63.1002196E-63.1002196E-61.00.02.9711247E-53.1001844E-53.1001844E-51.00.0

Death Valley (Black Mtns Frontal)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6707214E-51.867027E-53.4866412E-418.6748313.3E-47.160038E-58.001303E-55.29977E-46.62363434.5E-48.71386E-49.737309E-40.00163308821.67714546.6E-40.008679770.0096954960.0107947351.11337610.00111
6.11.6707214E-51.867027E-53.4866412E-418.6748313.3E-47.160038E-58.001303E-55.29977E-46.62363434.5E-48.71386E-49.737309E-40.00163308821.67714546.6E-40.008679770.0096954960.0107947351.11337610.00111
6.21.6707214E-51.867027E-53.4866412E-418.6748313.3E-47.160038E-58.001303E-55.29977E-46.62363434.5E-48.71386E-49.737309E-40.00163308821.67714546.6E-40.008679770.0096954960.0107947351.11337610.00111
6.31.6707214E-51.867027E-53.4866412E-418.6748313.3E-47.160038E-58.001303E-55.29977E-46.62363434.5E-48.71386E-49.737309E-40.00163308821.67714546.6E-40.008679770.0096954960.0107947351.11337610.00111
6.41.5515609E-51.7338214E-52.8733353E-416.572272.7E-46.649377E-57.4304546E-54.2427855E-45.70999433.5E-48.0926094E-49.042885E-40.00141382731.56346935.1E-40.0080632020.0090067730.0098887571.09792458.9E-4
6.51.5515609E-51.7338214E-52.8733353E-416.572272.7E-46.649377E-57.4304546E-54.2427855E-45.70999433.5E-48.0926094E-49.042885E-40.00141382731.56346935.1E-40.0080632020.0090067730.0098887571.09792458.9E-4
6.61.5041828E-51.6809145E-52.4680528E-414.6827982.3E-46.4463384E-57.203723E-53.5201706E-44.88659862.8E-47.8455906E-48.767063E-40.00130632941.49004214.3E-40.007817950.0087331320.0095261461.09080528.0E-4
6.71.4634985E-51.6356016E-52.1635274E-413.2277162.0E-46.271985E-57.009536E-53.2007784E-44.566322.5E-47.6334673E-48.5308263E-40.00125274141.46848774.0E-40.0076072990.0084987150.0092423421.08749877.5E-4
6.81.4209158E-51.5882048E-52.1587887E-413.5926352.0E-46.089497E-56.8064175E-53.1804715E-44.67275432.5E-47.4114406E-48.2837185E-40.00119806541.44628933.7E-40.0073867710.0082534560.0089476791.0841137.0E-4
6.91.3780098E-51.5404594E-51.9540182E-412.6846471.8E-45.9056227E-56.6018045E-52.8600352E-44.33220242.2E-47.1877235E-48.0347876E-40.00112322161.39794813.2E-40.00716451930.0080063320.008561851.06938465.6E-4
7.01.3585064E-51.5188155E-51.8518558E-412.1927621.7E-45.8220405E-56.50905E-52.7507683E-44.2260672.1E-47.086029E-47.9219416E-40.00109195651.37839513.0E-40.0070634760.0078942930.008420111.06660715.3E-4
7.11.3398601E-51.49813395E-51.649791E-411.0123061.5E-45.742131E-56.420419E-52.5419198E-43.95911841.9E-46.9888023E-47.8141113E-40.00105120021.34525872.7E-40.00696686380.0077872240.008283331.06370775.0E-4
7.21.3126312E-51.4679561E-51.4467766E-49.85572051.3E-45.6254412E-56.291092E-52.3290022E-43.70206381.7E-46.846822E-47.6567667E-40.00100549291.31320822.4E-40.0068257650.007630970.0080775361.05852024.5E-4
7.31.2922429E-51.4453788E-51.3445206E-49.3022021.2E-45.5380664E-56.194336E-52.2193346E-43.58284471.6E-46.74051E-47.53905E-49.837316E-41.30484822.3E-40.0067201010.0075140550.0079308991.05547524.2E-4
7.41.2768878E-51.4283772E-51.242822E-48.7009371.1E-45.4722615E-56.1214756E-52.1120558E-43.45023941.5E-46.660441E-47.4504025E-49.648763E-41.29506612.2E-40.00664051440.00742600350.0078329591.05480134.1E-4
7.51.2521929E-51.40120155E-51.1401061E-48.1366321.0E-45.366431E-56.005014E-52.0004173E-43.3312451.4E-46.531671E-47.3087064E-49.407172E-41.28711862.1E-40.0065125060.00728524570.0076823321.05450554.0E-4
7.61.1301089E-51.2648149E-51.0264701E-48.1155769.0E-54.8432343E-55.4205255E-51.641993E-43.02921341.1E-45.895042E-46.5975444E-48.196489E-41.24235451.6E-40.00587942820.006578510.00691627341.05134343.4E-4
7.79.189108E-61.0283358E-58.028264E-57.80704457.0E-53.93813E-54.407082E-51.3406685E-43.04207759.0E-54.7936183E-45.3643517E-46.763601E-41.26084211.4E-40.0047832910.0053519140.00565030841.05575473.0E-4
7.83.4586725E-73.6482615E-73.6482615E-71.00.01.4822873E-61.5635396E-61.5635396E-61.00.01.80467E-51.9035933E-51.9035933E-51.00.01.8045233E-41.9034347E-42.0034157E-41.05252661.0E-5
7.92.5591178E-92.6696718E-92.6696718E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.14414505E-81.14414505E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3929966E-71.3929966E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3929966E-61.3929966E-61.00.0

Coyote Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.980352E-52.1706745E-53.2170024E-414.8202893.0E-48.486947E-59.302599E-54.7299065E-45.08453.8E-40.00103279590.00113207510.00179132781.58234026.6E-40.0102800910.0112702580.0122293261.08509729.7E-4
6.11.980352E-52.1706745E-53.2170024E-414.8202893.0E-48.486947E-59.302599E-54.7299065E-45.08453.8E-40.00103279590.00113207510.00179132781.58234026.6E-40.0102800910.0112702580.0122293261.08509729.7E-4
6.21.980352E-52.1706745E-53.2170024E-414.8202893.0E-48.486947E-59.302599E-54.7299065E-45.08453.8E-40.00103279590.00113207510.00179132781.58234026.6E-40.0102800910.0112702580.0122293261.08509729.7E-4
6.31.5344787E-51.682067E-52.3681697E-414.0789272.2E-46.576172E-57.2086936E-53.6206603E-45.022632.9E-48.003548E-48.773662E-40.00137692761.56938745.0E-40.0079747840.008745070.0094984231.08614617.6E-4
6.41.5344787E-51.682067E-52.3681697E-414.0789272.2E-46.576172E-57.2086936E-53.6206603E-45.022632.9E-48.003548E-48.773662E-40.00137692761.56938745.0E-40.0079747840.008745070.0094984231.08614617.6E-4
6.51.4189697E-51.5557987E-52.3555456E-415.1404272.2E-46.081157E-56.6675726E-53.5665638E-45.3491192.9E-47.401293E-48.115349E-40.00131112911.61561645.0E-40.00737669130.0080916560.0088355881.0919387.5E-4
6.61.3469301E-51.4771577E-52.2476848E-415.2162812.1E-45.7724297E-56.330556E-53.4328783E-45.42271232.8E-47.025667E-47.7053264E-40.00122018591.58356154.5E-40.00700349640.00768451440.0083592891.08780976.8E-4
6.71.3027966E-51.4281745E-52.2427875E-415.7038762.1E-45.5832945E-56.120638E-53.4118924E-45.57440662.8E-46.7955407E-47.4499263E-40.00118466481.59016994.4E-40.0067747980.00743082860.0080859241.08815926.6E-4
6.85.695434E-66.2244176E-67.622398E-512.2459627.0E-52.4408775E-52.6675973E-51.16673575E-44.37373269.0E-52.971363E-43.2476155E-44.6471608E-41.43094551.4E-40.00296739330.00324581050.0034750641.07063062.3E-4
6.94.385688E-64.7930553E-62.479296E-55.17268372.0E-51.879567E-52.0541665E-55.054105E-52.46041633.0E-52.2881327E-42.5009477E-43.1007978E-41.23984916.0E-50.0022857780.00250094780.00264059781.05583881.4E-4

San Andreas (Big Bend)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.0179969E-42.0073925E-44.306931E-42.1455352.3E-44.362114E-48.6002843E-40.00123970161.44146593.8E-40.00529794860.0104208590.0109255441.04843035.1E-40.0517340970.1014559050.1021118461.00646527.3E-4
6.11.0179969E-42.0073925E-44.306931E-42.1455352.3E-44.362114E-48.6002843E-40.00123970161.44146593.8E-40.00529794860.0104208590.0109255441.04843035.1E-40.0517340970.1014559050.1021118461.00646527.3E-4
6.21.0179969E-42.0073925E-44.306931E-42.1455352.3E-44.362114E-48.6002843E-40.00123970161.44146593.8E-40.00529794860.0104208590.0109255441.04843035.1E-40.0517340970.1014559050.1021118461.00646527.3E-4
6.31.0179969E-42.0073925E-44.306931E-42.1455352.3E-44.362114E-48.6002843E-40.00123970161.44146593.8E-40.00529794860.0104208590.0109255441.04843035.1E-40.0517340970.1014559050.1021118461.00646527.3E-4
6.49.1639464E-51.8430917E-43.2428338E-41.75945331.4E-43.9268145E-47.896575E-40.00103946021.3163432.5E-40.00477042050.0095718180.0099283721.03725043.6E-40.0466930640.093786950.0942309951.00473464.9E-4
6.59.1639464E-51.8430917E-43.2428338E-41.75945331.4E-43.9268145E-47.896575E-40.00103946021.3163432.5E-40.00477042050.0095718180.0099283721.03725043.6E-40.0466930640.093786950.0942309951.00473464.9E-4
6.69.042622E-51.8238011E-43.123564E-41.7126671.3E-43.8748336E-47.813951E-40.00101121541.29411532.3E-40.00470740950.00947210.0097989741.03450923.3E-40.0460893250.092877210.0932763441.00429754.4E-4
6.78.9836685E-51.8152347E-43.1149987E-41.71603081.3E-43.8495753E-47.7772595E-40.00100754711.2955042.3E-40.004676790.0094278150.0097547031.03467293.3E-40.0457958170.092471480.0928707941.00431824.4E-4
6.88.9471854E-51.8099119E-43.0096946E-41.66289571.2E-43.8339442E-47.754462E-49.952756E-41.28348772.2E-40.0046578410.0094002980.0097172891.03372143.2E-40.045614140.09221920.0926095551.00423284.3E-4
6.98.858234E-51.7981093E-42.8979115E-41.61164371.1E-43.7958333E-47.7039085E-49.702368E-41.25940852.0E-40.0046116380.0093392780.0096364771.03182243.0E-40.045171030.091659110.092031521.00406314.1E-4
7.08.7433385E-51.7819891E-42.8817932E-41.61717771.1E-43.746607E-47.6348626E-49.633336E-41.26175632.0E-40.0045519570.0092559320.00954324751.03104132.9E-40.0445983860.090893230.091256871.00400084.0E-4
7.18.684964E-51.7731842E-42.872989E-41.6202431.1E-43.7215967E-47.597149E-49.59563E-41.26305662.0E-40.00452163350.0092104050.0094977341.03119612.9E-40.044307310.090474750.090838561.00402124.0E-4
7.28.606521E-51.7622454E-42.8620515E-41.62409371.1E-43.6879873E-47.550296E-49.448861E-41.25145581.9E-40.00448088350.0091538420.0094312781.03030822.8E-40.0439160240.089955180.09031011.00394553.9E-4
7.38.568266E-51.7564454E-42.8562522E-41.62615481.1E-43.6715972E-47.5254537E-49.424024E-41.25228641.9E-40.00446101050.009123850.0094012951.03040872.8E-40.0437251480.089676230.090031261.0039593.9E-4
7.48.5432206E-51.752704E-42.8525112E-41.62749171.1E-43.6608664E-47.509428E-49.408001E-41.25282531.9E-40.0044479990.0091045010.0093819531.03047412.8E-40.0436001570.089496420.089851511.00396783.9E-4
7.58.4791965E-51.7396381E-42.8394468E-41.63220541.1E-43.633435E-47.4534636E-49.3520473E-41.25472511.9E-40.00441473770.0090369320.0093044931.02960742.7E-40.0432805750.088872090.089218321.00389583.8E-4
7.68.241105E-51.6841735E-42.684005E-41.59366311.0E-43.531424E-47.2158914E-48.9146645E-41.23542121.7E-40.00429103520.0087500470.0089978591.02832132.5E-40.0420911760.086250320.086579271.00381393.6E-4
7.77.00432E-51.4205615E-42.3204336E-41.63346239.0E-53.001506E-46.0867006E-47.5857877E-41.24628891.5E-40.00364821120.00738541740.00758394041.02688042.0E-40.0358889770.073522990.073800941.00378043.0E-4
7.86.415362E-51.2969968E-42.1968801E-41.69382079.0E-52.749151E-45.557374E-46.956596E-41.25177751.4E-40.00334195470.00674514150.006933861.02797841.9E-40.032921410.067255140.067525631.00402192.9E-4
7.94.939911E-59.341721E-51.7340975E-41.85629328.0E-52.116933E-44.0029807E-45.1025406E-41.27468531.1E-40.00257431950.0048627470.00499211531.02660381.3E-40.0254470130.0489158030.0490871.00349971.8E-4
8.03.344983E-55.2228E-51.12224865E-42.1487496.0E-51.4334853E-42.2381509E-42.8380167E-41.26801856.0E-50.00174387110.00272154530.0027913551.02565077.0E-50.0173024960.0279231610.0280398111.00417751.2E-4
8.11.9104898E-51.9171663E-54.9171085E-52.56477953.0E-58.1875565E-58.2161685E-51.12159214E-41.36510373.0E-59.963791E-49.9986E-40.00102983011.02997423.0E-50.0099192350.0107495520.010779231.00276083.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.473668E-61.5473614E-52.82691841.0E-53.704486E-52.3458366E-53.345813E-51.42627721.0E-54.5092785E-42.8556827E-42.955654E-41.0350081.0E-50.00450013950.00324817930.0032581471.00306871.0E-5
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

San Andreas (Parkfield)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.556969E-47.778562E-49.2773954E-41.19268771.5E-40.00237938480.00332995830.00355919241.06883992.3E-40.0285869630.0402350430.0405901561.0088263.7E-40.251762840.33719730.33755521.00106145.4E-4
6.11.925858E-43.0278185E-43.7276064E-41.23111957.0E-58.2510663E-40.0012970850.00142691631.10009481.3E-40.00999948850.015773930.0159707761.01247922.0E-40.0956132560.149758250.149987821.00153292.7E-4
6.29.4306815E-51.8243887E-42.4242792E-41.32881726.0E-54.0410945E-47.8164786E-49.01554E-41.15340191.2E-40.00490893840.0094752460.0096436361.01777151.7E-40.0480190630.09185650.092074461.00237272.4E-4
6.39.283051E-51.794041E-42.3939334E-41.33438056.0E-53.9778434E-47.686494E-48.885571E-41.1559981.2E-40.00483227470.0093183550.009486771.01807361.7E-40.0472853850.0905094740.090727751.00241162.4E-4
6.49.138826E-51.7702584E-42.370152E-41.33887366.0E-53.916052E-47.5846276E-48.783717E-41.15809481.2E-40.00475737450.0091953870.00936382451.01831761.7E-40.0465680920.08941360.089632141.00244412.4E-4
6.59.000255E-51.746064E-42.3459591E-41.343576.0E-53.8566816E-47.4809964E-48.6800987E-41.16028641.2E-40.00468540470.0090702840.0092387421.01857261.7E-40.0458784030.088296080.088514891.00247812.4E-4
6.68.8109264E-51.7141816E-42.3140787E-41.34996136.0E-53.7755648E-47.3444354E-48.543554E-41.1632691.2E-40.00458706540.0089054040.0090738911.01891961.7E-40.044935290.086827070.08703711.0024192.3E-4
6.78.738073E-51.7008898E-42.3007879E-41.35269656.0E-53.7443507E-47.287503E-48.4866286E-41.16454541.2E-40.00454922160.0088366950.0090051931.0190681.7E-40.044572130.08622680.0864369651.00243742.3E-4
6.88.710195E-51.6954402E-42.2953385E-41.35383056.0E-53.7324068E-47.26416E-48.4632885E-41.16507461.2E-40.00453474050.0088085130.00897701551.01912951.7E-40.044433130.085974360.086184581.00244522.3E-4
6.98.6801556E-51.6895356E-42.2894342E-41.35506716.0E-53.7195362E-47.238869E-48.438E-41.16565181.2E-40.00451913570.00877796950.0089464771.01919661.7E-40.0442833270.085700420.085910711.00245382.3E-4
7.08.5571606E-51.664819E-42.2647191E-41.36033956.0E-53.6668387E-47.132999E-48.332143E-41.16811221.2E-40.0044552410.0086501030.0088186321.0194831.7E-40.0436697270.084548360.0847589151.00249032.3E-4
7.17.82589E-51.5128969E-42.112806E-41.39653026.0E-53.3535215E-46.4822397E-47.681462E-41.18500131.2E-40.00407527060.0078637380.008022481.02018651.6E-40.0400134180.0774604450.0776541751.0025012.1E-4
7.27.690929E-51.4866212E-42.0865319E-41.40353986.0E-53.2956956E-46.369685E-47.568921E-41.18827241.2E-40.0040051290.00772768260.0078864461.02054481.6E-40.03933710.076233410.07642741.00254462.1E-4
7.37.5543794E-51.4562748E-42.0561874E-41.41195016.0E-53.2371894E-46.239692E-47.438943E-41.19219721.2E-40.0039341570.00757052560.00772931471.02097461.6E-40.0386523340.074797770.074992061.00259762.1E-4
7.47.4214564E-51.4263717E-42.0262861E-41.42058776.0E-53.1802364E-46.1115966E-47.3108636E-41.1962281.2E-40.0038650650.00741564160.0075744551.02141611.6E-40.037985290.073371520.073566121.00265222.1E-4
7.56.149578E-51.1191443E-41.7190771E-41.53606396.0E-52.6352672E-44.795452E-45.994877E-41.25011711.2E-40.00320371780.0058228650.00598193331.02731791.6E-40.031579230.0585594620.058747751.00321532.0E-4
7.66.0643448E-51.102009E-41.7019428E-41.54440026.0E-52.598746E-44.7220418E-45.921475E-41.25400731.2E-40.00315938280.0057339620.00589304461.02774391.6E-40.0311484170.057720420.0579088741.0032652.0E-4
7.75.1652263E-59.175265E-51.5174714E-41.65387216.0E-52.2134806E-43.9316638E-45.0312316E-41.27966981.1E-40.0026915820.00477630460.00490568351.02708771.3E-40.0265921410.048536410.0486981571.00333251.7E-4
7.84.8090482E-58.560165E-51.4559651E-41.70086116.0E-52.060858E-43.6681266E-44.7677231E-41.29977061.1E-40.00250620720.0044568070.00458622771.02903891.3E-40.0247813050.0453022640.0454645641.00358261.7E-4
7.93.970278E-56.7507375E-51.17504E-41.74060995.0E-51.7014367E-42.8928524E-43.692621E-41.27646368.0E-50.0020695310.00351636340.0036060471.02550469.0E-50.0205036360.035881760.0360070951.0034931.3E-4
8.02.8982335E-54.0698153E-58.0696525E-51.98280564.0E-51.2420409E-41.7440901E-42.1440203E-41.2293064.0E-50.00151113570.00212136280.0021612781.01881584.0E-50.0150090120.022011180.022089421.00355458.0E-5
8.11.8836186E-51.867974E-54.867918E-52.6059883.0E-58.0724014E-58.005358E-51.1005117E-41.3747193.0E-59.823717E-49.742171E-40.00100418791.0307643.0E-50.0097804030.0104877110.0105173961.00283053.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.473668E-61.5473614E-52.82691841.0E-53.704486E-52.3458366E-53.345813E-51.42627721.0E-54.5092785E-42.8556827E-42.955654E-41.0350081.0E-50.00450013950.00324817930.0032581471.00306871.0E-5
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

Red Pass

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.258278E-68.551265E-61.685499E-419.7105221.6E-43.539214E-53.6647863E-52.3664054E-46.4571442.0E-44.308141E-44.4611428E-47.859626E-41.76179663.4E-40.00429979850.0044539450.0049517181.111765.0E-4
6.13.649988E-63.7753161E-67.377505E-519.5414247.0E-51.5642712E-51.6179853E-51.16178235E-47.1804261.0E-41.9043336E-41.9697666E-43.5694515E-41.8121191.6E-40.00190270260.0019684880.00216809431.10140092.0E-4
6.23.649988E-63.7753161E-67.377505E-519.5414247.0E-51.5642712E-51.6179853E-51.16178235E-47.1804261.0E-41.9043336E-41.9697666E-43.5694515E-41.8121191.6E-40.00190270260.0019684880.00216809431.10140092.0E-4
6.31.3924937E-61.4411166E-63.144107E-521.8171623.0E-55.9678164E-66.1762075E-64.617596E-57.4764264.0E-57.265574E-57.519415E-51.4518888E-41.93085357.0E-57.263199E-47.518258E-48.4175816E-41.11961859.0E-5
6.41.3924937E-61.4411166E-63.144107E-521.8171623.0E-55.9678164E-66.1762075E-64.617596E-57.4764264.0E-57.265574E-57.519415E-51.4518888E-41.93085357.0E-57.263199E-47.518258E-48.4175816E-41.11961859.0E-5
6.59.876812E-71.0221912E-62.1022171E-520.565792.0E-54.2329125E-64.3808195E-63.438069E-57.8480043.0E-55.153449E-55.3336476E-51.1333328E-42.12487366.0E-55.1522546E-45.333648E-46.133221E-41.14991128.0E-5

Death Valley (No)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.0074807E-52.2500084E-51.6249693E-47.22205921.4E-48.603206E-59.642541E-52.9640613E-43.07394222.0E-40.0010469370.00117335450.00144303761.22983942.7E-40.0104201830.0116725060.01216667051.04233575.0E-4
6.12.0074807E-52.2500084E-51.6249693E-47.22205921.4E-48.603206E-59.642541E-52.9640613E-43.07394222.0E-40.0010469370.00117335450.00144303761.22983942.7E-40.0104201830.0116725060.01216667051.04233575.0E-4
6.22.0074807E-52.2500084E-51.6249693E-47.22205921.4E-48.603206E-59.642541E-52.9640613E-43.07394222.0E-40.0010469370.00117335450.00144303761.22983942.7E-40.0104201830.0116725060.01216667051.04233575.0E-4
6.31.9050609E-52.1336948E-51.6133396E-47.56124831.4E-48.164292E-59.1440896E-52.814235E-43.0776551.9E-49.935491E-40.0011127310.00137244181.23339942.6E-40.0098911880.0110724190.0115569931.04376414.9E-4
6.41.9050609E-52.1336948E-51.6133396E-47.56124831.4E-48.164292E-59.1440896E-52.814235E-43.0776551.9E-49.935491E-40.0011127310.00137244181.23339942.6E-40.0098911880.0110724190.0115569931.04376414.9E-4
6.51.8367004E-52.0561009E-51.6055813E-47.80886461.4E-47.8713354E-58.811567E-52.7809892E-43.15606671.9E-49.5791375E-40.00107228690.0013320081.24221242.6E-40.0095379510.01067191550.0111566871.04542494.9E-4
6.61.779439E-51.9910927E-51.5990814E-48.0311751.4E-47.625944E-58.53298E-52.753136E-43.22646471.9E-49.280632E-40.00103840150.00129813151.25012482.6E-40.0092419690.0103362530.0108211881.0469164.9E-4
6.71.7025437E-51.9043426E-51.5904076E-48.3514791.4E-47.296412E-58.161216E-52.6159748E-43.20537351.8E-48.87976E-49.931813E-40.0012429331.25146642.5E-40.0088443620.0098881450.0103534981.04706174.7E-4
6.81.6545107E-51.8512545E-51.3851032E-47.4819711.2E-47.090568E-57.93371E-52.393244E-43.0165511.6E-48.629347E-49.655073E-40.00119528521.23798672.3E-40.0085959150.0096138290.0100595031.04635764.5E-4
6.91.615478E-51.8087594E-51.3808542E-47.63426161.2E-46.9232934E-57.751599E-52.3750358E-43.06393031.6E-48.4258494E-49.433546E-40.00117313771.24358072.3E-40.0083939730.0093941960.0098399681.0474524.5E-4
7.01.5894311E-51.780555E-51.2780359E-47.1777391.1E-46.81167E-57.6307304E-52.2629586E-42.9655861.5E-48.2900526E-49.286515E-40.00114844721.23668272.2E-40.0082591950.0092483970.0096843281.04713584.4E-4
7.11.5602263E-51.7483504E-51.2748157E-47.29153541.1E-46.6865134E-57.492718E-52.2491594E-43.00179361.5E-48.137789E-49.118627E-40.0011316621.24104442.2E-40.0081080520.0090818940.0095178981.04800814.4E-4
7.21.5323829E-51.717063E-51.2716874E-47.4061781.1E-46.56719E-57.358637E-52.2357533E-43.0382711.5E-47.99262E-48.9555193E-40.0011153551.24543862.2E-40.0079639340.0089201070.0093462711.04777574.3E-4
7.31.4556212E-51.6302456E-51.1630083E-47.13394551.0E-46.238227E-56.9865826E-52.0985605E-43.0037011.4E-47.592395E-48.5029035E-40.00106011181.24676442.1E-40.00756650740.0084710140.0088874571.04916084.2E-4
7.41.411725E-51.580796E-51.1580638E-47.3258271.0E-46.0501097E-56.7746674E-52.0773719E-43.06638221.4E-47.363519E-48.245094E-40.00103433631.25448692.1E-40.00733916740.0082151380.008621771.04949784.1E-4
7.51.3503312E-51.5126289E-51.1512478E-47.61090661.0E-45.7870053E-56.482538E-52.048163E-43.15950821.4E-47.043401E-47.8896893E-49.988033E-41.26596022.1E-40.0070211190.0078623040.00825915951.05047574.0E-4
7.61.1279839E-51.2626327E-51.0262519E-48.1278739.0E-54.834127E-55.4111737E-51.6410579E-43.03272081.1E-45.88396E-46.5861654E-48.185112E-41.24277341.6E-40.0058684050.0065671990.00690496571.05143253.4E-4
7.79.189108E-61.0283358E-58.028264E-57.80704457.0E-53.93813E-54.407082E-51.3406685E-43.04207759.0E-54.7936183E-45.3643517E-46.763601E-41.26084211.4E-40.0047832910.0053519140.00565030841.05575473.0E-4
7.83.4586725E-73.6482615E-73.6482615E-71.00.01.4822873E-61.5635396E-61.5635396E-61.00.01.80467E-51.9035933E-51.9035933E-51.00.01.8045233E-41.9034347E-42.0034157E-41.05252661.0E-5
7.92.5591178E-92.6696718E-92.6696718E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.14414505E-81.14414505E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3929966E-71.3929966E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3929966E-61.3929966E-61.00.0

Cady

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.9892565E-52.1858728E-51.3185633E-46.03220461.1E-48.525106E-59.3677416E-52.636615E-42.81456831.7E-40.00103743740.00114001670.00142968611.25409222.9E-40.0103260750.0113507010.0118054791.04006614.6E-4
6.11.9892565E-52.1858728E-51.3185633E-46.03220461.1E-48.525106E-59.3677416E-52.636615E-42.81456831.7E-40.00103743740.00114001670.00142968611.25409222.9E-40.0103260750.0113507010.0118054791.04006614.6E-4
6.21.9892565E-52.1858728E-51.3185633E-46.03220461.1E-48.525106E-59.3677416E-52.636615E-42.81456831.7E-40.00103743740.00114001670.00142968611.25409222.9E-40.0103260750.0113507010.0118054791.04006614.6E-4
6.31.1117327E-51.2176583E-55.2176096E-54.28495364.0E-54.764482E-55.2184492E-51.2218083E-42.34132467.0E-55.7992124E-46.351925E-48.0508454E-41.26746541.7E-40.00578410220.00633687530.0066151011.04390592.8E-4
6.41.1117327E-51.2176583E-55.2176096E-54.28495364.0E-54.764482E-55.2184492E-51.2218083E-42.34132467.0E-55.7992124E-46.351925E-48.0508454E-41.26746541.7E-40.00578410220.00633687530.0066151011.04390592.8E-4
6.56.103093E-66.672021E-62.6671887E-53.99757272.0E-52.615585E-52.8594131E-56.8592984E-52.39884854.0E-53.1840094E-43.480905E-44.2806266E-41.22974538.0E-50.00317945120.00347668650.00360623471.0372621.3E-4
6.65.817237E-66.3656585E-62.6365531E-54.14183862.0E-52.4930776E-52.728118E-56.728009E-52.46617224.0E-53.034899E-43.3211018E-44.120836E-41.2408048.0E-50.00303075770.00331736050.00343696241.03605331.2E-4
6.74.8846314E-65.3405684E-62.5340461E-54.74489972.0E-52.0933967E-52.2888014E-56.28871E-52.74759964.0E-52.5484123E-42.7863772E-43.5861545E-41.28703128.0E-50.00254549180.00278403910.00289373291.03940091.1E-4
6.81.7788773E-61.9399079E-61.9399079E-61.00.07.6237375E-68.313874E-68.313874E-61.00.09.281505E-51.01218284E-41.01218284E-41.00.09.2776294E-40.00101187650.00101187651.00.0
6.97.5455404E-78.297092E-78.297092E-71.00.03.233799E-63.5558937E-63.5558937E-61.00.03.937079E-54.3292483E-54.3292483E-51.00.03.9363815E-44.3287344E-44.3287344E-41.00.0
7.06.8578805E-77.541816E-77.541816E-71.00.02.9390883E-63.2322048E-63.2322048E-61.00.03.578281E-53.9351715E-53.9351715E-51.00.03.577705E-43.9347992E-43.9347992E-41.00.0

San Andreas (San Gorgonio Pass-Garnet HIll)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.31567E-52.3384395E-44.6379017E-41.98333192.3E-43.5633717E-40.00100180250.0012715321.26924422.7E-40.0043297780.0121286220.0124941351.03013633.7E-40.0424638280.112581870.112990091.00362594.6E-4
6.18.31567E-52.3384395E-44.6379017E-41.98333192.3E-43.5633717E-40.00100180250.0012715321.26924422.7E-40.0043297780.0121286220.0124941351.03013633.7E-40.0424638280.112581870.112990091.00362594.6E-4
6.28.31567E-52.3384395E-44.6379017E-41.98333192.3E-43.5633717E-40.00100180250.0012715321.26924422.7E-40.0043297780.0121286220.0124941351.03013633.7E-40.0424638280.112581870.112990091.00362594.6E-4
6.38.31567E-52.3384395E-44.6379017E-41.98333192.3E-43.5633717E-40.00100180250.0012715321.26924422.7E-40.0043297780.0121286220.0124941351.03013633.7E-40.0424638280.112581870.112990091.00362594.6E-4
6.48.059055E-52.2941893E-44.5936616E-42.0023032.3E-43.4534236E-49.828559E-40.00125259061.27443962.7E-40.00419643940.0119008190.0122664161.03072043.7E-40.0411807450.1105629650.110972111.00370054.6E-4
6.58.059055E-52.2941893E-44.5936616E-42.0023032.3E-43.4534236E-49.828559E-40.00125259061.27443962.7E-40.00419643940.0119008190.0122664161.03072043.7E-40.0411807450.1105629650.110972111.00370054.6E-4
6.67.619237E-52.2186468E-44.5181366E-42.0364382.3E-43.2649786E-49.5050444E-40.00122024781.28378982.7E-40.00396786770.01151153350.0118772741.03177173.7E-40.038977640.107099540.1075102761.00383514.6E-4
6.77.440636E-52.1862281E-44.385747E-42.00607942.2E-43.188454E-49.3662075E-40.00118638661.2666672.5E-40.00387503460.0113442680.0116902971.03050263.5E-40.0380815640.10560810.106001631.00372644.4E-4
6.87.3735864E-52.1709445E-44.370467E-42.01316382.2E-43.1597257E-49.300753E-40.00117984271.26854542.5E-40.00384018150.0112654060.01161146351.03071863.5E-40.037744950.1049096960.105303531.00375414.4E-4
6.97.27575E-52.1478413E-44.347369E-42.02406432.2E-43.117806E-49.20181E-40.00116995091.27143572.5E-40.0037893230.0111461820.0114922811.03105093.5E-40.0372535620.103857530.104251831.00379664.4E-4
7.07.102591E-52.1062451E-44.2058027E-41.9968252.1E-43.0436125E-49.023664E-40.00114214991.26572732.4E-40.0036993030.0109314840.0112677671.03076283.4E-40.036383250.1019595340.102345691.00378744.3E-4
7.17.028513E-52.0898094E-44.1893704E-42.00466632.1E-43.0118722E-48.953274E-40.00113511251.26781832.4E-40.00366078970.0108466410.0111829531.03100613.4E-40.0360106860.101202430.101588911.00381894.3E-4
7.26.8498244E-52.050596E-44.1501655E-42.02388262.1E-42.9353087E-48.7853306E-40.00111832231.27294272.4E-40.0035678830.01064418350.0109805641.03160243.4E-40.0351114050.099394490.099781751.00389624.3E-4
7.36.622592E-51.9733235E-44.072909E-42.06398442.1E-42.8379448E-48.4543816E-40.00108523531.28363652.4E-40.00344972430.0102451110.01058162751.03284663.4E-40.0339666120.0958912450.0962800161.00405424.3E-4
7.45.1050705E-51.4690042E-43.5686957E-42.42932992.1E-42.1877038E-46.294222E-48.6927117E-41.3810622.4E-40.0026602760.0076364820.0079738861.04418313.4E-40.026286540.072865540.0732642041.00547124.3E-4
7.53.9302922E-51.11307076E-43.1128482E-42.7966312.0E-41.6843023E-44.7694342E-47.068337E-41.48200752.3E-40.00204870920.00579139540.0061194841.05665113.3E-40.0202992470.056011510.0564079841.00707844.2E-4
7.62.9851626E-58.4956984E-52.7494086E-43.23623591.9E-41.2792926E-43.6405068E-45.739742E-41.57663272.1E-40.00155642590.00442333470.00473196341.06977283.1E-40.01545569950.0431961450.0435788671.00886014.0E-4
7.72.1135214E-56.353527E-52.535232E-43.99027511.9E-49.0576345E-52.722656E-44.8220844E-41.77109562.1E-40.00110220910.00330980080.00361877471.09335123.1E-40.0109675820.032584560.0329715271.01187574.0E-4
7.81.883379E-55.564576E-52.456352E-44.4142661.9E-48.0713755E-52.3846005E-44.4840996E-41.88044072.1E-49.822468E-40.0028993890.00320849031.10660913.1E-40.00977916550.0286969780.02908551.01353874.0E-4
7.91.5156185E-54.1662403E-52.3165449E-45.56027651.9E-46.495346E-51.7854095E-43.8850345E-42.17599082.1E-47.9052144E-40.00217157040.00246094051.13325392.9E-40.0078771520.0217609460.0221228931.01663293.7E-4
8.01.1405907E-52.9976925E-51.7997243E-46.0036991.5E-44.8881542E-51.2846621E-42.8844568E-42.24530361.6E-45.9497025E-40.00156295510.00178261121.1405392.2E-40.0059337980.0157740130.0160299111.01622282.6E-4
8.14.3511436E-67.369465E-61.7369392E-52.35694051.0E-51.8647626E-53.158304E-54.1582723E-51.31661561.0E-52.2701119E-43.844558E-43.9445196E-41.02600071.0E-50.00226779420.00411654450.0041265031.00241921.0E-5
8.22.3042528E-62.7328301E-61.2732803E-54.65921.0E-59.875332E-61.1712076E-52.171196E-51.85380961.0E-51.2022553E-41.4258524E-41.5258382E-41.07012341.0E-50.00120160510.00159796370.00160794781.0062481.0E-5
8.35.202968E-73.1590292E-73.1590292E-71.00.02.2298414E-61.353869E-61.353869E-61.00.02.714798E-51.6483244E-51.6483244E-51.00.02.7144665E-41.955901E-41.955901E-41.00.0

Sierra Nevada (No Extension)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.7690465E-66.9762887E-61.1697552E-416.7675861.1E-43.329549E-52.989824E-51.9989315E-46.68578341.7E-44.0529718E-43.6398612E-46.3388783E-41.74151662.7E-40.0040455880.00363741540.00402599671.10682893.9E-4
6.17.7690465E-66.9762887E-61.1697552E-416.7675861.1E-43.329549E-52.989824E-51.9989315E-46.68578341.7E-44.0529718E-43.6398612E-46.3388783E-41.74151662.7E-40.0040455880.00363741540.00402599671.10682893.9E-4
6.27.7690465E-66.9762887E-61.1697552E-416.7675861.1E-43.329549E-52.989824E-51.9989315E-46.68578341.7E-44.0529718E-43.6398612E-46.3388783E-41.74151662.7E-40.0040455880.00363741540.00402599671.10682893.9E-4
6.37.7690465E-66.9762887E-61.1697552E-416.7675861.1E-43.329549E-52.989824E-51.9989315E-46.68578341.7E-44.0529718E-43.6398612E-46.3388783E-41.74151662.7E-40.0040455880.00363741540.00402599671.10682893.9E-4
6.47.7690465E-66.9762887E-61.1697552E-416.7675861.1E-43.329549E-52.989824E-51.9989315E-46.68578341.7E-44.0529718E-43.6398612E-46.3388783E-41.74151662.7E-40.0040455880.00363741540.00402599671.10682893.9E-4
6.57.7690465E-66.9762887E-61.1697552E-416.7675861.1E-43.329549E-52.989824E-51.9989315E-46.68578341.7E-44.0529718E-43.6398612E-46.3388783E-41.74151662.7E-40.0040455880.00363741540.00402599671.10682893.9E-4
6.62.653E-61.6148208E-66.161472E-538.1557666.0E-51.136995E-56.9206426E-67.692016E-511.1145977.0E-51.3842035E-48.42556E-52.242438E-42.66147071.4E-40.00138334158.4224E-40.00103207991.22539891.9E-4
6.72.5902466E-61.5501544E-66.155006E-539.705766.0E-51.11010095E-56.643502E-67.664304E-511.5365427.0E-51.351464E-48.088166E-52.2087034E-42.73078371.4E-40.00135064248.0852525E-49.983716E-41.23480571.9E-4
6.82.5853892E-61.5469546E-66.154686E-539.785826.0E-51.1080193E-56.629789E-67.662932E-511.5583357.0E-51.34893E-48.071472E-52.2070343E-42.7343641.4E-40.00134811148.06857E-49.967037E-41.23529161.9E-4
6.92.458257E-61.422029E-66.1421946E-543.1931766.0E-51.0535345E-56.0943958E-67.6093966E-512.4858927.0E-51.2826028E-47.419676E-52.1418637E-42.8867351.4E-40.00128186277.4172183E-49.315809E-41.25597071.9E-4
7.02.4341468E-61.3989927E-66.139891E-543.887946.0E-51.0432016E-55.9956697E-67.599525E-512.6750237.0E-51.270024E-47.299485E-52.1298463E-42.91780351.4E-40.00126929847.297107E-49.19572E-41.26018711.9E-4
7.12.3652476E-61.3339427E-66.133386E-545.9793856.0E-51.0136736E-55.716885E-67.571648E-513.2443617.0E-51.2340778E-46.9600865E-52.0959112E-43.01132921.4E-40.00123339266.957924E-48.856602E-41.272881.9E-4
7.22.272158E-61.2502497E-66.1250175E-548.9903536.0E-59.737784E-65.358202E-67.535783E-514.06401357.0E-51.1855107E-46.523417E-52.0522503E-43.14597441.4E-40.00118487846.5215176E-48.4202783E-41.29115321.9E-4
7.32.1382127E-61.1419382E-66.114187E-553.5421876.0E-59.163737E-64.894012E-67.489367E-515.3031237.0E-51.1156279E-45.9582977E-51.9957464E-43.34952451.4E-40.0011150685.956712E-47.85558E-41.31877791.9E-4
7.41.9048055E-69.574928E-76.0957434E-563.6635936.0E-58.163426E-64.103534E-67.410325E-518.0583957.0E-59.9385186E-54.995939E-51.599539E-43.20167831.1E-49.934074E-44.9948227E-46.594024E-41.32017171.6E-4
7.51.5373403E-67.559763E-75.0755938E-567.139595.0E-56.5885843E-63.2398946E-66.32397E-519.5190626.0E-58.021306E-53.9445007E-51.2944145E-43.28156769.0E-58.0184115E-43.9438053E-45.343253E-41.35484711.4E-4
7.61.0680322E-64.65941E-74.0465922E-586.847744.0E-54.577273E-61.9968884E-64.199681E-521.0311244.0E-55.5726876E-52.4311848E-58.431039E-53.46787246.0E-55.5712904E-42.4309216E-43.330703E-41.370149.0E-5
7.75.509146E-71.5578539E-71.01557835E-565.1908651.0E-52.3610605E-66.676515E-71.0667645E-515.9778641.0E-52.8745531E-58.128628E-61.8128547E-52.23020981.0E-52.8741814E-48.128342E-51.01281796E-41.24603262.0E-5

Calico-Hidalgo

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.0906612E-55.0704355E-51.4069979E-42.77490549.0E-51.7530227E-42.1728857E-43.372625E-41.5521411.2E-40.00213221580.0026426780.00288204381.0905772.4E-40.021118730.0261528140.0265326151.01452233.9E-4
6.14.0906612E-55.0704355E-51.4069979E-42.77490549.0E-51.7530227E-42.1728857E-43.372625E-41.5521411.2E-40.00213221580.0026426780.00288204381.0905772.4E-40.021118730.0261528140.0265326151.01452233.9E-4
6.24.0906612E-55.0704355E-51.4069979E-42.77490549.0E-51.7530227E-42.1728857E-43.372625E-41.5521411.2E-40.00213221580.0026426780.00288204381.0905772.4E-40.021118730.0261528140.0265326151.01452233.9E-4
6.32.4242801E-53.0090967E-57.0089765E-52.32926254.0E-51.0389358E-41.289551E-41.8894736E-41.46521826.0E-50.00126417040.00156893120.00172868011.10182021.6E-40.012570030.0155822290.0158381781.01642572.6E-4
6.42.4242801E-53.0090967E-57.0089765E-52.32926254.0E-51.0389358E-41.289551E-41.8894736E-41.46521826.0E-50.00126417040.00156893120.00172868011.10182021.6E-40.012570030.0155822290.0158381781.01642572.6E-4
6.52.0286952E-52.5316054E-56.531504E-52.5799854.0E-58.694118E-51.0849296E-41.6848645E-41.55297126.0E-50.00105799490.00132011860.00147990731.12104131.6E-40.0105297190.0131247010.0133418131.01654232.2E-4
6.62.0269223E-52.5297004E-56.529599E-52.58117494.0E-58.6865206E-51.08411325E-41.6840482E-41.55338786.0E-50.00105707070.00131912580.00147891481.12113251.6E-40.0105205650.013114890.0133320051.01655482.2E-4
6.71.799852E-52.2540933E-56.2540035E-52.77450944.0E-57.713423E-59.660051E-51.5659472E-41.62105486.0E-59.3870464E-40.00117549110.00133530311.13595331.6E-40.0093474930.0116943460.0119117731.01859252.2E-4
6.81.7458793E-52.184258E-56.18417E-52.83124544.0E-57.4821255E-59.360778E-51.5360216E-41.64091246.0E-59.10568E-40.00113909330.0012989111.14030251.6E-40.0090684590.0113341310.0115516371.01919042.2E-4
6.91.542884E-51.9026285E-54.9025715E-52.5767363.0E-56.612192E-58.153875E-51.3153467E-41.61315545.0E-58.04737E-49.922953E-40.00114214641.15101471.5E-40.0080182910.0098800430.0100780671.02004282.0E-4
7.01.468253E-51.803109E-54.803055E-52.66376283.0E-56.292361E-57.727389E-51.2727003E-41.64699915.0E-57.658257E-49.4041653E-40.00109027551.15935371.5E-40.00763191840.0093657360.0095638631.02115442.0E-4
7.11.3139281E-51.620139E-54.6200905E-52.8516633.0E-55.6309986E-56.943275E-51.1942928E-41.72007135.0E-56.853584E-48.4502844E-49.949016E-41.17735891.5E-40.00683248560.0084194490.008607851.02237681.9E-4
7.21.1127404E-51.3867038E-53.386676E-52.4422492.0E-54.7688E-55.9428872E-57.9427686E-51.33651672.0E-55.8044674E-47.233172E-48.232449E-41.13815191.0E-40.00578932980.0072107370.00733981.01789871.3E-4
7.39.808154E-61.2176586E-53.2176344E-52.64247662.0E-54.2034266E-55.2184383E-57.218334E-51.38323642.0E-55.11647E-46.351704E-47.351069E-41.1573381.0E-40.00510470570.0063346250.0064638021.02039221.3E-4
7.47.942452E-69.792348E-62.9792152E-53.0423912.0E-53.4038632E-54.1966585E-56.1965744E-51.47654962.0E-54.1434157E-45.108328E-46.007869E-41.17609299.0E-50.00413569850.0050975270.0052069671.02146911.1E-4
7.54.7121216E-65.7729717E-61.5772914E-52.73220011.0E-52.019465E-52.4741115E-53.4740868E-51.40417551.0E-52.4584212E-43.011891E-43.6117103E-41.19915046.0E-50.00245570320.00300856140.00307835081.02319697.0E-5
7.62.21172E-72.6040198E-72.6040198E-71.00.09.478797E-71.1160082E-61.1160082E-61.00.01.1540374E-51.3587343E-52.3587207E-51.73596911.0E-51.1539775E-41.3586794E-41.4586658E-41.07359091.0E-5

San Andreas (Carrizo) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1674632E-42.4324407E-43.6321487E-41.49321161.2E-45.002454E-40.00104205970.00124185121.19172762.0E-40.0060734930.0126137570.0129099731.02348353.0E-40.05910160.1206402260.121000761.00298864.1E-4
6.11.1674632E-42.4324407E-43.6321487E-41.49321161.2E-45.002454E-40.00104205970.00124185121.19172762.0E-40.0060734930.0126137570.0129099731.02348353.0E-40.05910160.1206402260.121000761.00298864.1E-4
6.21.1674632E-42.4324407E-43.6321487E-41.49321161.2E-45.002454E-40.00104205970.00124185121.19172762.0E-40.0060734930.0126137570.0129099731.02348353.0E-40.05910160.1206402260.121000761.00298864.1E-4
6.31.1674632E-42.4324407E-43.6321487E-41.49321161.2E-45.002454E-40.00104205970.00124185121.19172762.0E-40.0060734930.0126137570.0129099731.02348353.0E-40.05910160.1206402260.121000761.00298864.1E-4
6.41.1674632E-42.4324407E-43.6321487E-41.49321161.2E-45.002454E-40.00104205970.00124185121.19172762.0E-40.0060734930.0126137570.0129099731.02348353.0E-40.05910160.1206402260.121000761.00298864.1E-4
6.51.13136164E-42.3644442E-43.464184E-41.46511571.1E-44.847792E-40.00101294120.00120274871.18738261.9E-40.00588622550.0122632710.0125497141.02335792.9E-40.0573273340.117610080.117963041.00300114.0E-4
6.61.13136164E-42.3644442E-43.464184E-41.46511571.1E-44.847792E-40.00101294120.00120274871.18738261.9E-40.00588622550.0122632710.0125497141.02335792.9E-40.0573273340.117610080.117963041.00300114.0E-4
6.71.1149675E-42.3335687E-43.433312E-41.4712711.1E-44.777557E-49.997191E-40.00118952911.18986341.9E-40.00580117340.0121040880.0123905781.02366892.9E-40.056520510.11622910.116582611.00304154.0E-4
6.81.1103589E-42.3237852E-43.4235296E-41.47325561.1E-44.7578133E-49.955293E-40.00118534011.19066321.9E-40.0057772630.0120536430.0123401481.02376912.9E-40.0562935840.115788940.116142621.00305464.0E-4
6.91.1053259E-42.3130233E-43.412769E-41.4754581.1E-44.7362508E-49.909206E-40.00118073241.19155091.9E-40.00575114970.0119981520.0122846731.02388042.9E-40.056045690.115304450.115658331.0030694.0E-4
7.01.1005377E-42.3031076E-43.4028542E-41.47750561.1E-44.7157376E-49.866742E-40.00117648681.19237611.9E-40.00572630620.0119470210.0122335561.02398382.9E-40.0558097960.114856580.115210641.00308264.0E-4
7.11.0308142E-42.1540876E-43.153872E-41.46413361.0E-44.417027E-49.228548E-40.0010926981.1840411.7E-40.00536447760.0111781880.0114352821.02299952.6E-40.0523681380.108090420.108420431.00305313.7E-4
7.21.0027479E-42.094876E-43.0946665E-41.47725521.0E-44.296783E-48.9749607E-40.00106734351.18924581.7E-40.00521879220.0108725660.011129741.02365342.6E-40.0509792120.105390860.105721871.00314073.7E-4
7.39.816942E-52.0423878E-43.0421835E-41.48952291.0E-44.2065824E-48.7501644E-40.00104486771.19411211.7E-40.0051094930.0106015720.0108588151.02426472.6E-40.0499359850.102975460.103307361.00322313.7E-4
7.49.5634205E-51.9793298E-42.9791318E-41.50512151.0E-44.0979648E-48.4800937E-40.00100787371.18851721.6E-40.00497786370.0102759010.0105233321.02407872.5E-40.0486782530.1000678840.100391861.00323763.6E-4
7.58.052417E-51.6113915E-42.5112464E-41.55843349.0E-53.4505792E-46.9041376E-48.4031024E-41.2171111.5E-40.00419299030.0083734710.008591631.02605342.2E-40.041147530.0828152450.0831087461.0035443.2E-4
7.67.897024E-51.5767086E-42.4765666E-41.57071949.0E-53.384E-46.755574E-48.254561E-41.22188891.5E-40.00411223850.008193970.0084121671.0266292.2E-40.0403696970.081158660.081452691.00362293.2E-4
7.76.707427E-51.3277122E-42.2275928E-41.67776789.0E-52.8742946E-45.688955E-47.088158E-41.24595091.4E-40.0034938390.00690433850.00708309561.02589061.8E-40.0343941640.069053390.069304751.003642.7E-4
7.86.147705E-51.2198445E-42.1197347E-41.73770899.0E-52.6344648E-45.226858E-46.626126E-41.26770731.4E-40.00320274360.0063451560.00652401431.02818811.8E-40.0315697640.06351720.063770051.00398092.7E-4
7.94.7636717E-58.8802946E-51.6879584E-41.90079098.0E-52.0414138E-43.8052857E-44.904867E-41.28896161.1E-40.00248258840.0046231010.00475250041.02798961.3E-40.0245503650.0466293660.046800971.00368021.8E-4
8.03.3554235E-55.2138024E-51.121349E-42.15073166.0E-51.4379594E-42.2342955E-42.8341616E-41.2684816.0E-50.00174930970.0027168630.0027866731.0256957.0E-50.0173560340.0278819050.027998561.00418391.2E-4
8.11.9175432E-51.9183564E-54.918299E-52.56380873.0E-58.217783E-58.221269E-51.1221022E-41.36487723.0E-50.00100005580.00100048050.00103045051.02995563.0E-50.0099556730.0107577710.0107874481.00275863.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.473668E-61.5473614E-52.82691841.0E-53.704486E-52.3458366E-53.345813E-51.42627721.0E-54.5092785E-42.8556827E-42.955654E-41.0350081.0E-50.00450013950.00324817930.0032581471.00306871.0E-5
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

Ludlow

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.2407607E-52.3657254E-51.5365418E-46.4950131.3E-49.602906E-51.0138454E-42.813663E-42.77523881.8E-40.00116852670.0012337020.00154331941.25096633.1E-40.0116240130.0122730420.012678011.03299654.1E-4
6.12.2407607E-52.3657254E-51.5365418E-46.4950131.3E-49.602906E-51.0138454E-42.813663E-42.77523881.8E-40.00116852670.0012337020.00154331941.25096633.1E-40.0116240130.0122730420.012678011.03299654.1E-4
6.21.0781252E-51.1365663E-55.136521E-54.5193324.0E-54.620455E-54.8709102E-58.870715E-51.82116174.0E-55.623952E-45.9287593E-46.828226E-41.15171249.0E-50.005609740.00591336140.00604259271.02185421.3E-4
6.31.0781252E-51.1365663E-55.136521E-54.5193324.0E-54.620455E-54.8709102E-58.870715E-51.82116174.0E-55.623952E-45.9287593E-46.828226E-41.15171249.0E-50.005609740.00591336140.00604259271.02185421.3E-4
6.47.814439E-68.237729E-64.8237398E-55.8556674.0E-53.3490025E-53.530408E-57.530267E-52.13297344.0E-54.0766477E-44.2974384E-45.197052E-41.20933719.0E-50.00406917740.00428927460.004408761.02785671.2E-4
6.56.4986366E-66.85092E-63.6850714E-55.37894443.0E-52.7851002E-52.9360759E-55.9359878E-52.02174193.0E-53.390332E-43.5740953E-43.9739523E-41.11187654.0E-50.0033851640.00356844320.00363819351.01954647.0E-5
6.65.582177E-65.8860055E-62.5885887E-54.397872.0E-52.3923398E-52.5225498E-54.5224995E-51.79282862.0E-52.9122844E-43.0707786E-43.3706866E-41.09766513.0E-50.00290847060.0030666090.00311645561.01625475.0E-5
6.74.6858763E-64.940427E-62.494033E-55.0482132.0E-52.0082172E-52.1173091E-54.117267E-51.94457522.0E-52.4447302E-42.5775246E-42.7774728E-41.07757382.0E-50.00244204230.00257459120.00260451411.01162233.0E-5
6.83.5584908E-63.7520183E-62.3751943E-56.33044432.0E-51.5250586E-51.6079981E-53.607966E-52.24376252.0E-51.8566006E-41.957566E-42.1575269E-41.10214772.0E-50.00185505020.00195588260.0019858241.01530843.0E-5
6.92.532834E-62.6710034E-62.267095E-58.48780252.0E-51.0854958E-51.1447109E-53.144688E-52.74714612.0E-51.3215111E-41.3935992E-41.5935714E-41.14349332.0E-50.00132072540.00139275290.00142271111.02151013.0E-5
7.01.7083285E-61.8019439E-61.1801926E-56.54955241.0E-57.3213873E-67.722595E-61.7722517E-52.29489161.0E-58.913424E-59.40187E-51.0401776E-41.10635191.0E-58.9098496E-49.3980576E-49.5978694E-41.0212612.0E-5
7.11.0905424E-61.1497619E-61.1497619E-61.00.04.6737446E-64.9275427E-64.9275427E-61.00.05.6901354E-55.999128E-55.999128E-51.00.05.6886784E-45.997606E-46.0975464E-41.01666331.0E-5
7.26.06668E-76.387277E-76.387277E-71.00.02.600003E-62.7374022E-62.7374022E-61.00.03.1654577E-53.3327433E-53.3327433E-51.00.03.1650066E-43.3323118E-43.3323118E-41.00.0

San Andreas (Cholame) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2302514E-42.5205986E-43.6203212E-41.43629431.1E-45.27144E-40.00107981090.00125961661.16651581.8E-40.00639910860.0130679580.0133442991.02114642.8E-40.062179490.124384120.1247343641.00281584.0E-4
6.11.2302514E-42.5205986E-43.6203212E-41.43629431.1E-45.27144E-40.00107981090.00125961661.16651581.8E-40.00639910860.0130679580.0133442991.02114642.8E-40.062179490.124384120.1247343641.00281584.0E-4
6.21.2203569E-42.502277E-43.6020018E-41.43948961.1E-45.2290526E-40.00107196530.00125177231.16773591.8E-40.0063478040.0129735780.0132400761.02054152.7E-40.0616951360.1235713140.123913121.0027663.9E-4
6.31.2142645E-42.4908737E-43.5905998E-41.44150211.1E-45.202953E-40.00106708230.00124689021.16850421.8E-40.0063162120.0129148340.01318134651.02063622.7E-40.061396770.123065320.123407331.0027793.9E-4
6.41.1865206E-42.4414246E-43.541156E-41.45044661.1E-45.0840975E-40.00104590680.00122571851.17191951.8E-40.0061723350.0126600440.0129266261.02105692.7E-40.0600368680.120859040.121201911.0028373.9E-4
6.51.17443946E-42.4207575E-43.5204913E-41.45429331.1E-45.032341E-40.00103705660.00121686991.17338811.8E-40.0061096770.0125535360.0128201461.02123792.7E-40.0594440770.119930080.120273311.00286193.9E-4
6.61.13579066E-42.3516564E-43.4513976E-41.46764541.1E-44.866766E-40.0010074650.00118728371.17848621.8E-40.00590920170.0121973450.0124640511.0218662.7E-40.0575451850.11684920.1171847951.00287213.8E-4
6.71.1271412E-42.336088E-43.4358312E-41.47076271.1E-44.829711E-40.0010007980.00118061781.17967651.8E-40.0058643310.0121170790.0123838071.02201262.7E-40.0571196970.116152750.116488611.00289153.8E-4
6.81.1217975E-42.3249313E-43.4246754E-41.47302221.1E-44.8068175E-49.960202E-40.00117584091.18053931.8E-40.0058366080.0120595550.0123262991.02211892.7E-40.0568567250.115650610.115986661.00290573.8E-4
6.91.1146753E-42.3098059E-43.409552E-41.47612051.1E-44.7763053E-49.895428E-40.00116936471.18172221.8E-40.00579965770.0119815640.0122483291.02226462.7E-40.0565061270.114970270.115306581.00292523.8E-4
7.01.0965793E-42.2721413E-43.3718912E-41.48401491.1E-44.698779E-49.734129E-40.00115323771.18473641.8E-40.0057057680.0117873240.0120541421.02263592.7E-40.0556147360.113270110.113607071.00297493.8E-4
7.19.927982E-52.0540332E-43.0538277E-41.4867471.0E-44.2541555E-48.8000396E-40.00104985441.19301091.7E-40.00516714060.0106617080.0109090431.02319842.5E-40.050486340.103365730.1036885161.00312283.6E-4
7.29.696786E-52.0044584E-43.004258E-41.49878791.0E-44.1551032E-48.587718E-40.00102862581.19778721.7E-40.005047110.0104057030.0106531021.02377532.5E-40.049340090.101102330.101425941.00320083.6E-4
7.39.4727984E-51.9473763E-42.9471816E-41.51341141.0E-44.0591392E-48.343239E-40.0010041821.20358781.7E-40.00493080870.0101108510.0103583231.02447592.5E-40.0482282680.098474120.098798671.00329583.6E-4
7.49.220358E-51.8844259E-42.8842373E-41.53056561.0E-43.9509835E-48.07362E-49.6723286E-41.19801631.6E-40.0047997170.0097855780.0100232291.02428592.4E-40.0469736530.095558310.095874861.00331273.5E-4
7.57.71631E-51.5179155E-42.4177789E-41.59282849.0E-53.306571E-46.5037323E-48.0027565E-41.23048681.5E-40.00401832070.0078896170.0081078811.02766482.2E-40.039464330.0782891960.078584141.00376743.2E-4
7.67.5634416E-51.4838556E-42.383722E-41.6064389.0E-53.241072E-46.357833E-47.8568794E-41.23577941.5E-40.00393886720.0077132560.0079315581.02830232.2E-40.0386977940.0766548740.076950351.00385453.2E-4
7.76.3783E-51.2359623E-42.1358511E-41.72808759.0E-52.7332708E-45.2959064E-46.695165E-41.26421511.4E-40.00332267980.00642873070.00660757351.02781931.8E-40.0327343640.064544880.064797451.00391322.7E-4
7.85.863422E-51.14169685E-42.0415941E-41.78821039.0E-52.512653E-44.892069E-46.2913843E-41.28603741.4E-40.0030548640.00593984970.00611878051.03012381.8E-40.0301320940.059661620.0599155131.00425552.7E-4
7.94.595283E-58.426815E-51.6426141E-41.94927048.0E-51.9692584E-43.6109926E-44.7105952E-41.30451541.1E-40.00239493580.00438752770.00451695731.02949941.3E-40.0236928910.0443631370.0445351531.00387741.8E-4
8.03.2950178E-55.077396E-51.1077092E-42.1816486.0E-51.412074E-42.1758456E-42.775715E-41.27569486.0E-50.00171784440.00264587530.00271569031.02638637.0E-50.0170462560.0271810720.0272978121.00429491.2E-4
8.11.9177472E-51.9183733E-54.918316E-52.56379493.0E-58.218658E-58.221342E-51.12210946E-41.3648743.0E-50.00100016220.00100048930.00103045931.02995533.0E-50.0099567280.0107578870.0107875631.00275863.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.473668E-61.5473614E-52.82691841.0E-53.704486E-52.3458366E-53.345813E-51.42627721.0E-54.5092785E-42.8556827E-42.955654E-41.0350081.0E-50.00450013950.00324817930.0032581471.00306871.0E-5
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

Elsinore (Glen Ivy) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6204086E-42.937271E-43.9369773E-41.3403521.0E-46.94276E-40.00125837780.00145812611.15873482.0E-40.0084200970.01523461750.0154906571.01680642.6E-40.0810811450.139624540.139917061.00209513.4E-4
6.11.6204086E-42.937271E-43.9369773E-41.3403521.0E-46.94276E-40.00125837780.00145812611.15873482.0E-40.0084200970.01523461750.0154906571.01680642.6E-40.0810811450.139624540.139917061.00209513.4E-4
6.21.6204086E-42.937271E-43.9369773E-41.3403521.0E-46.94276E-40.00125837780.00145812611.15873482.0E-40.0084200970.01523461750.0154906571.01680642.6E-40.0810811450.139624540.139917061.00209513.4E-4
6.31.0111737E-41.7703463E-42.37024E-41.33885686.0E-54.332882E-47.5861585E-48.9850964E-41.18440661.4E-40.0052625310.00921772050.009405971.02042251.9E-40.05139640.087073930.08728391.00241152.3E-4
6.41.0111737E-41.7703463E-42.37024E-41.33885686.0E-54.332882E-47.5861585E-48.9850964E-41.18440661.4E-40.0052625310.00921772050.009405971.02042251.9E-40.05139640.087073930.08728391.00241152.3E-4
6.53.6624708E-54.6391986E-55.639152E-51.21554451.0E-51.569536E-41.9880968E-42.4879974E-41.25144685.0E-50.0019092350.00241818140.00246806051.02062675.0E-50.018929150.0236970610.0237654021.00288397.0E-5
6.62.5051324E-52.6147465E-52.6147465E-51.00.01.073584E-41.12056E-41.12056E-41.00.00.00130630470.00136347250.00136347251.00.00.0129865250.0135657590.0135756241.00072721.0E-5
6.72.2189772E-52.2072489E-52.2072489E-51.00.09.509556E-59.459316E-59.459316E-51.00.00.00115717340.00115109960.00115109961.00.00.0115116630.01146632250.0114762081.00086211.0E-5
6.81.6654378E-51.44376E-51.44376E-51.00.07.137396E-56.187399E-56.187399E-51.00.08.686314E-47.5306057E-47.5306057E-41.00.00.0086524390.00751007630.00752000141.00132161.0E-5
6.91.5042909E-51.2331886E-51.2331886E-51.00.06.446802E-55.2849886E-55.2849886E-51.00.07.8461546E-46.4326054E-46.4326054E-41.00.00.0078185090.0064179250.0064278611.00154821.0E-5
7.01.4361385E-51.1451172E-51.1451172E-51.00.06.154734E-54.9075545E-54.9075545E-51.00.07.490812E-45.973339E-45.973339E-41.00.00.0074656120.0059609820.00597092231.00166761.0E-5
7.11.3265571E-51.0244736E-51.0244736E-51.00.05.6851208E-54.3905282E-54.3905282E-51.00.06.919436E-45.344183E-45.344183E-41.00.00.0068979310.00533460030.0053445471.00186461.0E-5
7.21.1596403E-58.504847E-68.504847E-61.00.04.9697923E-53.6448844E-53.6448844E-51.00.06.049042E-44.4367602E-44.4367602E-41.00.00.0060326030.0044293570.00443931251.00224771.0E-5
7.31.0150827E-57.238537E-67.238537E-61.00.04.3502816E-53.102194E-53.102194E-51.00.05.2951806E-43.776281E-43.776281E-41.00.00.0052825810.0037702710.00378023341.00264231.0E-5
7.49.080705E-66.352307E-66.352307E-61.00.03.8916725E-52.7223898E-52.7223898E-51.00.04.7370812E-43.314019E-43.314019E-41.00.00.0047269960.00330922570.00331919241.00301181.0E-5
7.57.671649E-65.225419E-65.225419E-61.00.03.287808E-52.2394468E-52.2394468E-51.00.04.0021708E-42.7261977E-42.7261977E-41.00.00.00399497060.00272297840.00273295121.00366251.0E-5
7.66.990086E-64.687336E-64.687336E-61.00.02.9957167E-52.0088435E-52.0088435E-51.00.03.6466747E-42.445504E-42.445504E-41.00.00.00364069640.00244292920.00245290481.00408341.0E-5
7.74.163505E-62.329331E-62.329331E-61.00.01.7843471E-59.982813E-69.982813E-61.00.02.172226E-41.2153471E-41.2153471E-41.00.00.00217010380.00121475550.00122474331.00822211.0E-5
7.82.2692414E-79.384417E-89.384417E-81.00.09.725317E-74.0218927E-74.0218927E-71.00.01.1840509E-54.8966467E-64.8966467E-61.00.01.1839878E-44.8965718E-54.8965718E-51.00.0
7.96.676829E-93.4397174E-93.4397174E-91.00.02.861498E-81.4741646E-81.4741646E-81.00.03.4838732E-71.7947953E-71.7947953E-71.00.03.4838679E-61.794794E-61.794794E-61.00.0

Death Valley (Fish Lake Valley)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.872328E-54.7265705E-51.2726193E-42.69247918.0E-51.6594635E-42.0255324E-43.0253298E-41.49359741.0E-40.00201852460.00246356060.00262316641.06478671.6E-40.020002880.0243883380.0247395581.01440123.6E-4
6.13.872328E-54.7265705E-51.2726193E-42.69247918.0E-51.6594635E-42.0255324E-43.0253298E-41.49359741.0E-40.00201852460.00246356060.00262316641.06478671.6E-40.020002880.0243883380.0247395581.01440123.6E-4
6.23.872328E-54.7265705E-51.2726193E-42.69247918.0E-51.6594635E-42.0255324E-43.0253298E-41.49359741.0E-40.00201852460.00246356060.00262316641.06478671.6E-40.020002880.0243883380.0247395581.01440123.6E-4
6.32.8356371E-53.360979E-51.136071E-43.3801798.0E-51.2152165E-41.4403443E-42.4402003E-41.69417851.0E-40.00147852190.00175227880.00191199841.09114971.6E-40.0146872350.0173918160.0177455541.02033943.6E-4
6.42.8356371E-53.360979E-51.136071E-43.3801798.0E-51.2152165E-41.4403443E-42.4402003E-41.69417851.0E-40.00147852190.00175227880.00191199841.09114971.6E-40.0146872350.0173918160.0177455541.02033943.6E-4
6.52.4448687E-52.8607585E-51.08605294E-43.79638128.0E-51.0477588E-41.2259845E-42.2258618E-41.81557111.0E-40.00127489980.00149166160.0016514231.10710291.6E-40.0126761050.0148213920.0151760561.02392923.6E-4
6.62.1298161E-52.4660083E-51.0465811E-44.2440298.0E-59.127464E-51.0568197E-42.056714E-41.94613531.0E-40.00111070220.00128595120.00144574551.12426151.6E-40.0110516720.012788530.0131340541.02701833.5E-4
6.71.8959729E-52.1781027E-51.0177928E-44.67284158.0E-58.125345E-59.334406E-51.9333472E-42.07120541.0E-49.888117E-40.0011358970.00129571521.14069781.6E-40.0098442340.011303570.0116496141.03061373.5E-4
6.81.6691629E-51.9018351E-59.9016834E-55.2063838.0E-57.153359E-58.150477E-51.8149662E-42.22682211.0E-48.7057345E-49.918857E-40.0011517271.16114891.6E-40.0086717080.0098763430.0102228871.03508823.5E-4
6.91.450505E-51.638954E-59.638823E-55.8810828.0E-56.216302E-57.0239046E-51.7023202E-42.42360951.0E-47.5657194E-48.5483363E-40.00101469691.18701091.6E-40.0075400130.0085163860.0088634051.04074733.5E-4
7.01.2940855E-51.4537972E-58.453696E-55.8149077.0E-55.545963E-56.230414E-51.5229853E-42.44443689.0E-56.750118E-47.5829466E-48.981885E-41.18448481.4E-40.0067296510.00755768970.0078653471.04070783.1E-4
7.11.2544658E-51.4078208E-58.407722E-55.97215377.0E-55.3761712E-56.0333812E-51.5032839E-42.49161089.0E-56.5435225E-47.343222E-48.742194E-41.19051211.4E-40.0065242880.0073195510.0076272821.04204243.1E-4
7.21.2489416E-51.4015674E-58.40147E-55.99433857.0E-55.3524967E-56.0065824E-51.5006041E-42.49826629.0E-56.514716E-47.310616E-48.709593E-41.19136241.4E-40.0064956510.00728715960.00759490071.04223063.1E-4
7.31.2368307E-51.3879812E-58.387884E-56.0432267.0E-55.3005948E-55.9483587E-51.4947823E-42.51293259.0E-56.451563E-47.2397763E-48.6387625E-41.19323611.4E-40.00643286530.0072167820.0075245451.04264553.1E-4
7.41.2161707E-51.36478675E-58.364691E-56.12893637.0E-55.212056E-55.8489582E-51.4848432E-42.53864559.0E-56.3438306E-47.118836E-48.5178396E-41.19652141.4E-40.0063257510.00709662070.00740442051.04337283.1E-4
7.51.1707948E-51.3145515E-58.3144594E-56.324947.0E-55.0175953E-55.6336736E-51.4633167E-42.59744679.0E-56.10721E-46.856895E-48.255935E-41.20403411.4E-40.00609045340.0068363210.00713427041.04358333.0E-4
7.61.0319538E-51.1579622E-58.1578815E-57.0450327.0E-54.4225842E-54.9626036E-51.2962207E-42.61197698.0E-55.383166E-46.040347E-47.3395617E-41.21508941.3E-40.00537014430.00602446030.00631271351.0478472.9E-4
7.78.937764E-61.0022779E-58.002208E-57.98402077.0E-53.830414E-54.295409E-51.2295066E-42.86237368.0E-54.6625308E-45.228456E-46.527776E-41.24850941.3E-40.00465276050.0052166640.00550515161.05530112.9E-4
7.83.108007E-73.284654E-73.284654E-71.00.01.3320023E-61.407708E-61.407708E-61.00.01.6217007E-51.7138715E-51.7138715E-51.00.01.6215823E-41.7137431E-41.813726E-41.05834191.0E-5
7.92.5591178E-92.6696718E-92.6696718E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.14414505E-81.14414505E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3929966E-71.3929966E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3929966E-61.3929966E-61.00.0

Lake Isabella (Seismicity)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.431637E-69.741651E-61.6974009E-417.424161.6E-44.0420677E-54.1749343E-52.317414E-45.550781.9E-44.920106E-45.0819275E-47.8805047E-41.55069212.8E-40.0049092270.0050715990.0054198241.06866183.5E-4
6.19.431637E-69.741651E-61.6974009E-417.424161.6E-44.0420677E-54.1749343E-52.317414E-45.550781.9E-44.920106E-45.0819275E-47.8805047E-41.55069212.8E-40.0049092270.0050715990.0054198241.06866183.5E-4
6.29.431637E-69.741651E-61.6974009E-417.424161.6E-44.0420677E-54.1749343E-52.317414E-45.550781.9E-44.920106E-45.0819275E-47.8805047E-41.55069212.8E-40.0049092270.0050715990.0054198241.06866183.5E-4
6.39.431637E-69.741651E-61.6974009E-417.424161.6E-44.0420677E-54.1749343E-52.317414E-45.550781.9E-44.920106E-45.0819275E-47.8805047E-41.55069212.8E-40.0049092270.0050715990.0054198241.06866183.5E-4
6.45.144063E-65.3000763E-69.52996E-517.9807999.0E-52.2045799E-52.2714434E-51.3271194E-45.84262561.1E-42.6837454E-42.765166E-44.4646958E-41.61462131.7E-40.00268050660.00276206570.00296151341.07220962.0E-4
6.55.144063E-65.3000763E-69.52996E-517.9807999.0E-52.2045799E-52.2714434E-51.3271194E-45.84262561.1E-42.6837454E-42.765166E-44.4646958E-41.61462131.7E-40.00268050660.00276206570.00296151341.07220962.0E-4
6.63.4009804E-63.498786E-62.3498716E-56.7162482.0E-51.4575549E-51.4994721E-55.499412E-53.66756564.0E-51.7744285E-41.8254704E-42.725306E-41.49293369.0E-50.00177301230.00182412860.00194390971.06566491.2E-4
6.73.3880428E-63.4856528E-62.3485583E-56.73778632.0E-51.4520103E-51.4938435E-55.493784E-53.67761664.0E-51.767679E-41.8186188E-42.7184552E-41.4947919.0E-50.00176627360.00181728820.00193707021.06591251.2E-4
6.82.6582E-62.7337003E-62.2733646E-58.31607152.0E-51.1392236E-51.1715813E-55.1715346E-54.4141494.0E-51.3869164E-41.4263204E-42.3261919E-41.63090439.0E-50.00138605120.00142553690.00153538011.07705391.1E-4
6.92.406011E-62.4743288E-62.247428E-59.082982.0E-51.0311434E-51.0604231E-54.0603914E-53.82902963.0E-51.2553448E-41.2910018E-42.0908985E-41.61959398.0E-50.00125463590.00129038140.00139025241.07739651.0E-4
7.01.6953097E-61.7429371E-61.174292E-56.73743151.0E-57.265593E-67.469715E-62.7469567E-53.67745832.0E-58.8455E-59.094104E-51.5093558E-41.65970816.0E-58.84198E-49.09141E-49.890682E-41.08791528.0E-5
7.13.5013824E-73.5714822E-73.5714822E-71.00.01.5005916E-61.5306344E-61.5306344E-61.00.01.826955E-51.8635317E-52.8635131E-51.53660551.0E-51.8268047E-41.863378E-42.0633407E-41.1073122.0E-5
7.22.2321095E-72.2750574E-72.2750574E-71.00.09.56618E-79.750242E-79.750242E-71.00.01.1646762E-51.1870856E-52.1870737E-51.84238921.0E-51.1646151E-41.1870232E-41.2870114E-41.08423441.0E-5
7.31.5760406E-71.6060922E-71.6060922E-71.00.06.7544585E-76.8832503E-76.8832503E-71.00.08.223522E-68.380326E-68.380326E-61.00.08.2232174E-58.3800165E-58.3800165E-51.00.0
7.41.1216497E-71.1431706E-71.1431706E-71.00.04.8070694E-74.899302E-74.899302E-71.00.05.852591E-65.964884E-65.964884E-61.00.05.8524372E-55.9647282E-55.9647282E-51.00.0
7.54.885185E-84.9787737E-84.9787737E-81.00.02.0936506E-72.13376E-72.13376E-71.00.02.5490165E-62.59785E-62.59785E-61.00.02.5489873E-52.5978214E-52.5978214E-51.00.0
7.61.504641E-91.5317903E-91.5317903E-91.00.06.4484613E-96.5648154E-96.5648154E-91.00.07.851001E-87.992663E-87.992663E-81.00.07.8509987E-77.992663E-77.992663E-71.00.0

San Andreas (Coachella) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1925945E-43.273077E-44.8725534E-41.48867671.6E-45.110118E-40.0014019980.00160171761.14245362.0E-40.00620383540.0169370680.0171926641.0150912.6E-40.0603347530.152676720.15296481.0018873.4E-4
6.11.1925945E-43.273077E-44.8725534E-41.48867671.6E-45.110118E-40.0014019980.00160171761.14245362.0E-40.00620383540.0169370680.0171926641.0150912.6E-40.0603347530.152676720.15296481.0018873.4E-4
6.21.07432395E-43.0231563E-44.6226726E-41.52908831.6E-44.603433E-40.0012949990.001494741.15424032.0E-40.0055902860.0156537310.015909661.01634942.6E-40.054517310.141827840.142102451.00193623.2E-4
6.31.0718766E-43.0176868E-44.617204E-41.53004741.6E-44.592948E-40.00129265730.00149239881.154522.0E-40.0055775860.015625630.0158815661.01637942.6E-40.0543965550.141596050.141870751.00193993.2E-4
6.41.0355944E-42.9384956E-44.4380547E-41.51031531.5E-44.4375064E-40.00125875140.00144851221.15075331.9E-40.00538928850.0152186620.0154648571.01617722.5E-40.0526044960.138157950.138425131.00193383.1E-4
6.51.0227914E-42.9104383E-44.410002E-41.51523631.5E-44.382655E-40.00124673850.00143650161.15220761.9E-40.00532283540.0150744390.015320671.01633442.5E-40.0519713160.136942390.137209941.00195373.1E-4
6.61.0116757E-42.8870135E-44.3865805E-41.51941811.5E-44.3350324E-40.00123670870.00142647371.15344361.9E-40.00526513670.0149540080.015200271.01646792.5E-40.0514212470.135919730.136187611.00197083.1E-4
6.71.0050676E-42.8728697E-44.3724387E-41.5219761.5E-44.3067214E-40.00123065280.00141043131.14608381.8E-40.0052308340.0148812880.0151177161.01588762.4E-40.0510940850.135304640.135564061.00191723.0E-4
6.89.976819E-52.8532353E-44.3528073E-41.5255691.5E-44.2750788E-40.0012222460.00140202591.14708981.8E-40.00519249360.0147803280.015016781.01599782.4E-40.0507282950.134456280.134715941.00193123.0E-4
6.99.77719E-52.802926E-44.3025054E-41.53500511.5E-44.1895514E-40.00120070480.00138048871.1497321.8E-40.00508885550.01452158950.0147581041.01628712.4E-40.0497388880.132284760.132545071.00196783.0E-4
7.08.500761E-52.4763815E-43.97601E-41.60557251.5E-43.6426744E-40.00106087790.0012406871.16949081.8E-40.00442594060.012840470.01307738851.01845092.4E-40.043388230.118136160.1184007151.00223953.0E-4
7.18.319876E-52.4366553E-43.93629E-41.6154481.5E-43.5651738E-40.00104386620.00122367821.17225591.8E-40.0043319630.0126357730.0128727411.01875362.4E-40.0424848460.116356320.116621411.00227833.0E-4
7.27.563917E-52.2414974E-43.7411612E-41.66904541.5E-43.2412758E-49.602912E-40.00114011831.18726311.8E-40.00393911450.0116295590.0118667681.02039712.4E-40.038700180.107762020.1080296861.0024843.0E-4
7.37.082985E-52.07311E-43.572799E-41.72340061.5E-43.0352117E-48.881761E-40.00106801621.20248251.8E-40.00368910960.0107605530.01099797151.02206372.4E-40.036284650.100284030.1005539451.00269153.0E-4
7.45.146215E-51.4274761E-42.927262E-42.05065561.5E-42.2053342E-46.1163295E-47.9152285E-41.29411411.8E-40.00268168840.00742139430.0076596131.03209892.4E-40.026495570.070850490.071129231.00393433.0E-4
7.54.0285166E-51.0942422E-42.4940888E-42.27928421.4E-41.7263928E-44.6887697E-46.3879724E-41.36239851.7E-40.0020998570.00569370440.0059223951.04016552.3E-40.0208012540.0550130830.0552871261.00498152.9E-4
7.63.1168736E-58.439599E-52.1438503E-42.54022741.3E-41.3357346E-43.616471E-45.1159284E-41.4146191.5E-40.00162504370.0043941910.0046032681.04758042.1E-40.0161321160.0428124780.0430709161.00603652.7E-4
7.72.2100989E-56.239345E-51.9238534E-43.0834221.3E-49.4715084E-52.6737314E-44.17333E-41.56086371.5E-40.0011525460.00325041520.00345973251.06439712.1E-40.0114658670.0319021680.0321635571.00819342.7E-4
7.81.7484861E-55.180078E-51.8179405E-43.50948451.3E-47.493296E-52.2198448E-43.7195117E-41.6755731.5E-49.1192697E-40.00269931420.00290874741.07758752.1E-40.0090819380.0266417880.0269045941.00986442.7E-4
7.91.3967285E-53.8226146E-51.6822117E-44.40068341.3E-45.985842E-51.6381606E-43.137915E-41.91551111.5E-47.2853256E-40.00199263730.00219223881.10016952.0E-40.00726148770.0199110020.0201658251.01279812.6E-4
8.01.1887396E-53.106798E-51.6106394E-45.18424221.3E-45.094499E-51.331417E-42.831217E-42.12646941.5E-46.200787E-40.00161979580.00181947181.12327232.0E-40.0061835130.0162805670.0165363351.015712.6E-4
8.15.100864E-68.973766E-61.8973677E-52.11434941.0E-52.1860664E-53.845843E-54.8458045E-51.26001111.0E-52.6612106E-44.6813092E-44.7812623E-41.02135161.0E-50.0026580260.0049180920.00492804261.00202331.0E-5
8.22.3004484E-62.7863473E-61.27863195E-54.5889181.0E-59.859027E-61.19414335E-52.1941314E-51.83741041.0E-51.2002704E-41.4537729E-41.5537583E-41.06877651.0E-50.00119962230.00159737820.00160736221.00625031.0E-5
8.31.0424446E-75.814421E-85.814421E-81.00.04.4676187E-72.4918944E-72.4918944E-71.00.05.439312E-63.0338776E-63.0338776E-61.00.05.4391792E-53.189592E-53.189592E-51.00.0

White Wolf (Extension)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.222555E-66.066615E-61.2606589E-420.780271.2E-43.5239045E-52.5999556E-51.9599513E-47.5384031.7E-44.289509E-43.1650523E-45.5642927E-41.75804132.4E-40.00428123870.00316119660.003510091.11036753.5E-4
6.18.222555E-66.066615E-61.2606589E-420.780271.2E-43.5239045E-52.5999556E-51.9599513E-47.5384031.7E-44.289509E-43.1650523E-45.5642927E-41.75804132.4E-40.00428123870.00316119660.003510091.11036753.5E-4
6.28.222555E-66.066615E-61.2606589E-420.780271.2E-43.5239045E-52.5999556E-51.9599513E-47.5384031.7E-44.289509E-43.1650523E-45.5642927E-41.75804132.4E-40.00428123870.00316119660.003510091.11036753.5E-4
6.38.222555E-66.066615E-61.2606589E-420.780271.2E-43.5239045E-52.5999556E-51.9599513E-47.5384031.7E-44.289509E-43.1650523E-45.5642927E-41.75804132.4E-40.00428123870.00316119660.003510091.11036753.5E-4
6.45.821773E-63.5571256E-65.355695E-515.0562435.0E-52.4950215E-51.5244741E-51.0524337E-46.9035859.0E-53.0372653E-41.8559002E-43.0556775E-41.64646651.2E-40.00303311760.00185445860.00204410641.10226581.9E-4
6.55.766023E-63.4990599E-65.3498883E-515.2895035.0E-52.4711293E-51.49958905E-51.0499454E-47.00155459.0E-53.0081844E-41.8256076E-43.0253886E-41.65719531.2E-40.00300411580.00182421610.00201386961.10396431.9E-4
6.64.643576E-62.3325733E-61.233255E-55.2871011.0E-51.9900888E-59.9967065E-62.9996507E-53.0006392.0E-52.4226638E-41.2170354E-41.6169867E-41.32862754.0E-50.00242002420.00121641120.00130630181.07389819.0E-5
6.73.9529173E-61.6482975E-61.1648281E-57.0668561.0E-51.6940963E-57.064114E-62.7063972E-53.83119132.0E-52.0623671E-48.600239E-51.2599894E-41.46506334.0E-50.0020604548.597095E-49.2964934E-41.08135287.0E-5
6.83.4377522E-61.2244764E-61.1224464E-59.1667461.0E-51.473314E-55.247746E-61.5247693E-52.905571.0E-51.7936122E-46.388952E-59.3887604E-51.46953063.0E-50.00179216526.3872064E-46.986823E-41.09387786.0E-5
6.93.1367306E-61.0033316E-61.1003322E-510.9667851.0E-51.3443062E-54.299986E-61.4299942E-53.32557921.0E-51.63657E-45.2351144E-58.234957E-51.57302333.0E-50.00163536525.233958E-45.833644E-41.1145766.0E-5
7.02.8298145E-67.4282326E-71.0742816E-514.4621421.0E-51.2127721E-53.1835248E-61.3183493E-54.14116241.0E-51.47645E-43.8758775E-55.8758E-51.51599222.0E-50.00147546933.8752513E-44.3750578E-41.12897385.0E-5
7.12.4091064E-65.4223835E-71.0542233E-519.4420641.0E-51.03247E-52.3238767E-61.2323853E-55.3031441.0E-51.2569598E-42.8292874E-53.829259E-51.35343591.0E-50.0012562492.8289677E-43.2288543E-41.14135434.0E-5
7.21.3875518E-61.0740268E-71.0740268E-71.00.05.9466374E-64.6029712E-74.6029712E-71.00.07.23979E-55.604104E-65.604104E-61.00.07.2374323E-45.6039742E-55.6039742E-51.00.0
7.37.056077E-75.0002956E-85.0002956E-81.00.03.0240296E-62.1429837E-72.1429837E-71.00.03.681694E-52.60908E-62.60908E-61.00.03.681084E-42.609054E-52.609054E-51.00.0
7.45.9334678E-84.8638475E-94.8638475E-91.00.02.5429145E-72.084506E-82.084506E-81.00.03.095994E-62.5378858E-72.5378858E-71.00.03.095951E-52.5378843E-62.5378843E-61.00.0

Manix-Afton Hills

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.3783202E-51.47110895E-56.471035E-54.39874655.0E-55.906953E-56.30461E-51.4304106E-42.26883278.0E-57.189342E-47.6733343E-49.6718E-41.26044292.0E-40.00716612770.0076485960.0079661491.04151773.2E-4
6.11.3783202E-51.47110895E-56.471035E-54.39874655.0E-55.906953E-56.30461E-51.4304106E-42.26883278.0E-57.189342E-47.6733343E-49.6718E-41.26044292.0E-40.00716612770.0076485960.0079661491.04151773.2E-4
6.21.3783202E-51.47110895E-56.471035E-54.39874655.0E-55.906953E-56.30461E-51.4304106E-42.26883278.0E-57.189342E-47.6733343E-49.6718E-41.26044292.0E-40.00716612770.0076485960.0079661491.04151773.2E-4
6.31.10494875E-51.1793136E-56.179255E-55.23970465.0E-54.7354086E-55.054109E-51.3053704E-42.58279068.0E-55.763835E-46.151744E-48.150514E-41.3249112.0E-40.0057489080.00613575570.00644385351.05021363.1E-4
6.41.10494875E-51.1793136E-56.179255E-55.23970465.0E-54.7354086E-55.054109E-51.3053704E-42.58279068.0E-55.763835E-46.151744E-48.150514E-41.3249112.0E-40.0057489080.00613575570.00644385351.05021363.1E-4
6.59.788949E-61.045432E-55.0453902E-54.82612944.0E-54.1951964E-54.480351E-51.1480037E-42.56230767.0E-55.1064545E-45.453555E-47.0526823E-41.29322661.6E-40.00509473630.00544109850.00568973831.04569662.5E-4
6.68.810006E-69.4136285E-64.941325E-55.2491194.0E-53.775662E-54.0343548E-51.1034072E-42.73502787.0E-54.5958988E-44.9108086E-46.510023E-41.32565191.6E-40.00458640560.0049008390.0051297121.04670072.3E-4
6.78.80128E-69.404108E-64.940373E-55.25342044.0E-53.7719226E-54.0302748E-51.1029992E-42.73678427.0E-54.591348E-44.9058435E-46.505059E-41.32598161.6E-40.0045818740.00489589570.00512476961.04674822.3E-4
6.86.8994877E-67.380076E-62.7379929E-53.70997932.0E-52.9568899E-53.162856E-57.162729E-52.26463994.0E-53.5994186E-43.8501783E-44.949755E-41.2855911.1E-40.0035935940.00384431290.00401365941.04405121.7E-4
6.94.9328037E-65.2709615E-62.5270856E-54.7943542.0E-52.1140417E-52.2589675E-55.2588995E-52.32801033.0E-52.5735417E-42.7500073E-43.6497597E-41.32718189.0E-50.00257056350.00274720950.00287685241.04719081.3E-4
7.03.347973E-63.59003E-62.3589959E-56.57096432.0E-51.4348378E-51.5385775E-54.5385314E-52.9498233.0E-51.746775E-41.8730981E-42.4729857E-41.32026496.0E-50.00174540250.00187192190.00196175351.04798899.0E-5
7.11.2073567E-61.293482E-61.12934695E-58.731061.0E-55.1743755E-65.543492E-62.554338E-54.60781432.0E-56.29962E-56.749156E-51.0748886E-41.59262674.0E-56.297835E-46.7487074E-47.24837E-41.07403835.0E-5

Baker

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.695525E-65.8348373E-61.158342E-419.8521731.1E-42.4409164E-52.5006228E-51.9500198E-47.79813671.7E-42.9714106E-43.044123E-45.143484E-41.68964392.1E-40.00296744050.00304034860.00336934531.10821023.3E-4
6.15.695525E-65.8348373E-61.158342E-419.8521731.1E-42.4409164E-52.5006228E-51.9500198E-47.79813671.7E-42.9714106E-43.044123E-45.143484E-41.68964392.1E-40.00296744050.00304034860.00336934531.10821023.3E-4
6.25.695525E-65.8348373E-61.158342E-419.8521731.1E-42.4409164E-52.5006228E-51.9500198E-47.79813671.7E-42.9714106E-43.044123E-45.143484E-41.68964392.1E-40.00296744050.00304034860.00336934531.10821023.3E-4
6.33.2995713E-63.383667E-66.3383464E-518.7321826.0E-51.4140943E-51.4501353E-51.2449975E-48.5853891.1E-41.7215237E-41.7654014E-42.9651896E-41.67961221.2E-40.00172019070.0017640460.0019836581.12449322.2E-4
6.43.2995713E-63.383667E-66.3383464E-518.7321826.0E-51.4140943E-51.4501353E-51.2449975E-48.5853891.1E-41.7215237E-41.7654014E-42.9651896E-41.67961221.2E-40.00172019070.0017640460.0019836581.12449322.2E-4
6.52.782202E-62.8558404E-65.28557E-518.507935.0E-51.1923668E-51.223926E-51.12238034E-49.1703281.0E-41.4516099E-41.4900314E-42.4898825E-41.67102681.0E-40.0014506620.00148906510.00168876721.13411252.0E-4
6.62.3163404E-62.38092E-64.2380823E-517.8001884.0E-59.927136E-61.0203904E-59.020309E-58.8400568.0E-51.20856166E-41.2422565E-42.0421571E-41.64390938.0E-50.00120790470.00124158230.00141137131.1367521.7E-4
6.72.037056E-62.0965003E-64.2096417E-520.0793744.0E-58.7302105E-68.984972E-68.8984256E-59.9036768.0E-51.0628513E-41.093867E-41.8937796E-41.73127038.0E-50.00106234310.00109334480.00124318071.13704371.5E-4
6.81.8356744E-61.8915287E-63.189147E-516.8601573.0E-57.867153E-68.106527E-66.810604E-58.4013836.0E-59.577837E-59.869264E-51.5868671E-41.60788816.0E-59.57371E-49.86502E-40.00111637381.13164881.3E-4
6.91.6310546E-61.6832072E-63.1683157E-518.8230883.0E-56.9902153E-67.213726E-65.7213365E-57.9311815.0E-58.510255E-58.782368E-51.378193E-41.56927255.0E-58.5069967E-48.7790104E-49.878045E-41.12518881.1E-4
7.01.2058036E-61.2508665E-62.1250842E-516.9888952.0E-55.1677193E-65.3608455E-64.536063E-58.461474.0E-56.291517E-56.5266366E-51.0526375E-41.61283314.0E-56.289736E-46.524743E-47.5240905E-41.15316271.0E-4
7.11.052382E-61.0951609E-62.1095138E-519.2621382.0E-54.5102006E-64.693538E-64.469335E-59.5223154.0E-55.491031E-55.7142337E-59.714005E-51.69996644.0E-55.4896745E-45.7127734E-46.6122593E-41.15745179.0E-5
7.21.0067454E-61.0487711E-62.104875E-520.069922.0E-54.3146156E-64.4947255E-64.4494547E-59.899284.0E-55.252918E-55.4721917E-59.4719726E-51.73092854.0E-55.251676E-45.470853E-46.0705247E-41.10961216.0E-5
7.39.3596316E-79.767723E-72.0976753E-521.475582.0E-54.0112645E-64.1861604E-64.4185992E-510.5552554.0E-54.8836053E-55.096532E-59.096328E-51.78480744.0E-54.8825322E-45.095371E-45.5951165E-41.09807835.0E-5
7.48.8117395E-79.2076635E-71.0920757E-511.8605091.0E-53.7764542E-63.9461356E-62.3946057E-56.06822972.0E-54.5977362E-54.8043148E-56.804219E-51.41627242.0E-54.596785E-44.8032837E-45.1031396E-41.06242733.0E-5
7.58.292386E-78.6745956E-78.6745956E-71.00.03.5538749E-63.7176785E-61.3717641E-53.68984061.0E-54.326757E-54.5261804E-55.5261353E-51.22092691.0E-54.3259145E-44.5252658E-44.7251754E-41.04417632.0E-5
7.67.553842E-77.9144706E-77.9144706E-71.00.03.2373566E-63.3919116E-61.33918775E-53.948181.0E-53.9414106E-54.129575E-55.1295334E-51.24214571.0E-53.9407116E-44.1288146E-44.328732E-41.04842012.0E-5
7.76.5285366E-76.852797E-76.852797E-71.00.02.797941E-62.9369096E-61.293688E-54.40492961.0E-53.40644E-53.5756293E-54.5755936E-51.2796611.0E-53.405918E-43.5750607E-43.7749892E-41.05592312.0E-5
7.83.4586725E-73.6482615E-73.6482615E-71.00.01.4822873E-61.5635396E-61.5635396E-61.00.01.80467E-51.9035933E-51.9035933E-51.00.01.8045233E-41.9034347E-42.0034157E-41.05252661.0E-5
7.92.5591178E-92.6696718E-92.6696718E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.14414505E-81.14414505E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3929966E-71.3929966E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3929966E-61.3929966E-61.00.0

San Jacinto (San Bernardino)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.409352E-53.598562E-51.7598057E-44.8903031.4E-41.461069E-41.5421498E-43.341872E-42.16702181.8E-40.00177740.00187595210.00211550181.12769512.4E-40.017632510.0193499920.0196638011.01621753.2E-4
6.13.409352E-53.598562E-51.7598057E-44.8903031.4E-41.461069E-41.5421498E-43.341872E-42.16702181.8E-40.00177740.00187595210.00211550181.12769512.4E-40.017632510.0193499920.0196638011.01621753.2E-4
6.23.409352E-53.598562E-51.7598057E-44.8903031.4E-41.461069E-41.5421498E-43.341872E-42.16702181.8E-40.00177740.00187595210.00211550181.12769512.4E-40.017632510.0193499920.0196638011.01621753.2E-4
6.33.409352E-53.598562E-51.7598057E-44.8903031.4E-41.461069E-41.5421498E-43.341872E-42.16702181.8E-40.00177740.00187595210.00211550181.12769512.4E-40.017632510.0193499920.0196638011.01621753.2E-4
6.43.400795E-53.5878285E-51.7587325E-44.9019421.4E-41.4574021E-41.5375503E-43.3372734E-42.17051341.8E-40.00177294280.00187036190.0021099131.12807742.4E-40.0175886450.0192950740.01960891.01626463.2E-4
6.53.341482E-53.5138914E-51.75134E-44.9840471.4E-41.4319851E-41.5058667E-43.3055956E-42.1951451.8E-40.00174204770.00183185220.00207141251.1307752.4E-40.0172845460.0189166160.0192305631.01659633.2E-4
6.63.3364955E-53.5076133E-51.7507123E-44.9911781.4E-41.4298483E-41.5031763E-43.3029058E-42.19728421.8E-40.00173945010.00182858230.00206814331.13100922.4E-40.0172589760.018884480.0191984381.01662523.2E-4
6.73.335922E-53.5065907E-51.75061E-44.9923421.4E-41.4296026E-41.5027382E-43.3024675E-42.19763351.8E-40.00173915140.00182804970.00206761091.13104752.4E-40.0172560350.0188792720.019193231.01662983.2E-4
6.83.327683E-53.4959972E-51.7495507E-45.004441.4E-41.4260718E-41.4981985E-43.2979288E-42.2012631.8E-40.00173485970.0018225320.00206209461.13144492.4E-40.0172137840.0188250450.019139021.01667873.2E-4
6.93.3235785E-53.4900928E-51.7489603E-45.01121471.4E-41.4243131E-41.4956683E-43.295399E-42.20329551.8E-40.00173272170.00181945670.00205901991.13166752.4E-40.0171927340.0187949110.0191088971.01670593.2E-4
7.03.3197095E-53.4840854E-51.7483598E-45.0181311.4E-41.422655E-41.4930942E-43.2928254E-42.20537021.8E-40.00173070630.00181632780.0020558921.13189472.4E-40.0171728940.018764290.0190782851.01673363.2E-4
7.13.3129716E-53.4721066E-51.747162E-45.03199431.4E-41.4197677E-41.4879608E-43.287693E-42.20952921.8E-40.00172719660.00181008840.0020496541.13235022.4E-40.0171383380.0187033660.019017381.01678923.2E-4
7.23.3034008E-53.4588513E-51.7458366E-45.04744671.4E-41.4156665E-41.4822806E-43.282014E-42.2141651.8E-40.00172221110.00180318430.00204275151.13285792.4E-40.0170892530.018635750.0189497861.01685133.2E-4
7.33.2956614E-53.4456265E-51.7445144E-45.06298161.4E-41.4123498E-41.4766137E-43.2763477E-42.21882531.8E-40.00171817960.00179629610.0020358651.13336832.4E-40.0170495570.0185684950.0188825541.01691353.2E-4
7.43.2915937E-53.4377957E-51.7437314E-45.07223651.4E-41.4106068E-41.473258E-43.272993E-42.2216021.8E-40.00171606080.00179221730.0020317871.13367242.4E-40.0170286930.0185287690.018842841.01695053.2E-4
7.53.281791E-53.424287E-51.7423807E-45.0883021.4E-41.406406E-41.4674691E-43.267205E-42.22642161.8E-40.00171095420.00178518090.00202475261.13420012.4E-40.0169784110.0184596520.0187737461.01701513.2E-4
7.63.2521442E-53.396782E-51.7396307E-45.1214081.4E-41.3937015E-41.4556825E-43.2554206E-42.23635341.8E-40.00169551090.00177085420.00201042931.13528782.4E-40.0168263280.0183172950.0186314341.01714983.2E-4
7.73.0287873E-53.245191E-51.7244737E-45.31393581.4E-41.297987E-41.3907222E-43.190472E-42.29411171.8E-40.00157915370.00169189030.00193148421.14161312.4E-40.015679790.0175281990.017842591.01793633.2E-4
7.82.6316151E-52.9662837E-51.6965868E-45.71957061.4E-41.1277862E-41.2712025E-43.0709736E-42.4158021.8E-40.00137221490.00154659130.00178622011.154942.4E-40.0136377240.0160698780.0163847361.0195933.2E-4
7.92.0761147E-52.3417291E-51.4341448E-46.12429861.2E-48.897331E-51.0035596E-42.603399E-42.59416481.6E-40.00108271170.00122114980.00143089341.17175912.1E-40.0107745170.0127932720.0130696891.02160642.8E-4
8.01.5738568E-51.6032505E-58.603138E-55.366067.0E-56.744926E-56.8708934E-51.5870275E-42.30978359.0E-58.2088535E-48.3621085E-49.661022E-41.15533321.3E-40.0081785960.0088657410.0090441451.02012291.8E-4
8.11.0105832E-58.329479E-64.8329144E-55.80218124.0E-54.3309992E-53.569728E-58.5695494E-52.4006175.0E-55.2717153E-44.3452822E-44.9450214E-41.13802086.0E-50.0052592270.00467687940.00474655161.01489727.0E-5
8.24.189207E-61.577699E-61.577699E-61.00.01.7953622E-56.7615497E-66.7615497E-61.00.02.1856341E-48.231879E-58.231879E-51.00.00.00218348589.562628E-49.562628E-41.00.0
8.31.2758221E-63.612677E-73.612677E-71.00.05.4677976E-61.5482892E-61.5482892E-61.00.06.65684E-51.8850264E-51.8850264E-51.00.06.6548464E-42.2739546E-42.2739546E-41.00.0

San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.986481E-40.00122759290.00132747021.08136021.0E-40.00256311240.0052455470.00535496981.02086021.1E-40.0307628460.061204910.0614020561.00322122.1E-40.268354770.425934940.426107141.00040443.0E-4
6.15.015945E-40.00102179860.00112169631.09776661.0E-40.002147920.00436785960.0044773791.0250741.1E-40.0258393510.051248370.0514191461.00333231.8E-40.230327760.372856680.373013471.00042052.5E-4
6.24.073338E-48.1073755E-48.706889E-41.07394676.0E-50.00174454840.00346714770.0035369051.02011957.0E-50.0210340580.040933170.0410578471.00304591.3E-40.191507820.313033460.313170851.00043892.0E-4
6.33.464099E-46.7391695E-47.338765E-41.08897176.0E-50.00148376920.00288295930.00295275751.02421067.0E-50.0179158730.0341895820.0343151351.00367241.3E-40.165383590.27131660.271455021.00051031.9E-4
6.42.935057E-45.5442745E-46.1439414E-41.10815986.0E-50.00125727510.00237253630.00244237021.02943437.0E-50.0152002480.028264510.0283908361.00446941.3E-40.142015770.232985290.233123351.00059261.8E-4
6.52.3409708E-44.2093755E-44.809123E-41.1424796.0E-50.00100288750.00180196840.00187184231.03877647.0E-50.0121419650.0215874610.0217146561.0058921.3E-40.114995730.186823680.186970061.00078341.8E-4
6.61.5842178E-42.506933E-43.1067827E-41.23927636.0E-56.7877385E-40.00107394970.00114387461.065117.0E-50.00823280.0129955750.0130942751.0075951.0E-40.079343960.123146380.123269141.00099681.4E-4
6.71.5616413E-42.4605883E-43.0604406E-41.24378426.0E-56.691031E-40.00105410690.0011240331.0663377.0E-50.00811594350.012757440.0128561641.00773861.0E-40.07825860.121173510.121296551.00101541.4E-4
6.81.5538467E-42.4429744E-43.042828E-41.24554236.0E-56.6576427E-40.00104656450.00111649131.06681557.0E-50.0080755960.0126668380.0127655721.00779461.0E-40.077883580.1204043550.12052751.00102271.4E-4
6.91.5153569E-42.3539034E-42.953762E-41.25483576.0E-56.49277E-40.00100842760.0010783571.0693457.0E-50.0078763330.012209010.012307791.00809061.0E-40.076029520.116474450.1165981441.0010621.4E-4
7.01.4588932E-42.2396253E-42.839491E-41.26784196.0E-56.250901E-49.5948833E-40.00102942121.07288557.0E-50.00758394740.0116196970.0117185351.00850611.0E-40.0733028950.111320460.111444871.00111761.4E-4
7.11.1565079E-41.6281738E-42.2280762E-41.3684516.0E-54.955521E-46.9760304E-47.675542E-41.10027367.0E-50.0060166690.00846044350.0085595971.01171971.0E-40.0585635380.083670460.083789591.00142371.3E-4
7.21.0393792E-41.4615769E-42.0614892E-41.41045566.0E-54.4537216E-46.2624045E-46.961966E-41.11170827.0E-50.0054089330.00759799270.0076972331.01306141.0E-40.0527915950.075619690.075739861.00158921.3E-4
7.39.332884E-51.2780898E-41.8780131E-41.46939066.0E-53.999194E-45.4763845E-46.176001E-41.12775167.0E-50.00485815340.0066472490.0067465841.01494381.0E-40.0475331020.066483260.0666046141.00182531.3E-4
7.48.670252E-51.17032345E-41.7702531E-41.51261886.0E-53.715293E-45.0147134E-45.7143625E-41.13951927.0E-50.0045139910.0060884430.00618783431.01632451.0E-40.0442339370.0611516420.0612736941.00199591.3E-4
7.57.3036405E-59.005856E-51.5005315E-41.66617326.0E-53.129756E-43.8590826E-44.5588124E-41.18132037.0E-50.00380382170.00468833230.00478786371.02122951.0E-40.037393670.0478777920.0479920471.00238631.2E-4
7.66.3935775E-58.280385E-51.4279888E-41.7245446.0E-52.7398168E-43.5482543E-44.248006E-41.19721017.0E-50.00333062540.0043114610.004411031.02309391.0E-40.0328114740.043992010.044106731.00260781.2E-4
7.75.5050095E-56.6618326E-51.2661434E-41.9005936.0E-52.3590765E-42.854759E-43.554559E-41.24513467.0E-50.00286839270.0034701340.00354985641.02297398.0E-50.02831650.0357962140.035892631.00269351.0E-4
7.85.027131E-56.162871E-51.2162501E-41.97351236.0E-52.1543067E-42.640963E-43.340778E-41.26498487.0E-50.00261971350.0032106350.00329037831.02483718.0E-50.0258904530.033126660.0332233461.00291871.0E-4
7.93.7271806E-55.022507E-51.00222554E-41.99546895.0E-51.5972654E-42.1523255E-42.7521962E-41.27870826.0E-50.00194293590.0026173090.0026871261.0266757.0E-50.0192603620.0270674660.0271550291.0032359.0E-5
8.02.7310243E-53.1427757E-57.14265E-52.27272034.0E-51.17038646E-41.3468343E-41.7467805E-41.29695274.0E-50.00142401410.00163853830.00167847291.0243724.0E-50.0141492350.017213860.0172728281.00342566.0E-5
8.11.7940547E-51.7399378E-54.7398855E-52.72416973.0E-57.688579E-57.456663E-51.04564395E-41.40229483.0E-59.3568244E-49.074711E-49.374439E-41.0330293.0E-50.0093175250.0097986360.0098283411.00303163.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.473668E-61.5473614E-52.82691841.0E-53.704486E-52.3458366E-53.345813E-51.42627721.0E-54.5092785E-42.8556827E-42.955654E-41.0350081.0E-50.00450013950.00324817930.0032581471.00306871.0E-5
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

San Andreas (North Branch Mill Creek)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.3461156E-52.3500992E-51.03499115E-44.40403188.0E-55.7689394E-51.00714664E-42.4070057E-42.38992571.4E-47.02142E-40.00122551460.00142526951.16299682.0E-40.00699927660.0122287440.0124756871.02019372.5E-4
6.11.3461156E-52.3500992E-51.03499115E-44.40403188.0E-55.7689394E-51.00714664E-42.4070057E-42.38992571.4E-47.02142E-40.00122551460.00142526951.16299682.0E-40.00699927660.0122287440.0124756871.02019372.5E-4
6.21.3461156E-52.3500992E-51.03499115E-44.40403188.0E-55.7689394E-51.00714664E-42.4070057E-42.38992571.4E-47.02142E-40.00122551460.00142526951.16299682.0E-40.00699927660.0122287440.0124756871.02019372.5E-4
6.31.3461156E-52.3500992E-51.03499115E-44.40403188.0E-55.7689394E-51.00714664E-42.4070057E-42.38992571.4E-47.02142E-40.00122551460.00142526951.16299682.0E-40.00699927660.0122287440.0124756871.02019372.5E-4
6.41.3461156E-52.3500992E-51.03499115E-44.40403188.0E-55.7689394E-51.00714664E-42.4070057E-42.38992571.4E-47.02142E-40.00122551460.00142526951.16299682.0E-40.00699927660.0122287440.0124756871.02019372.5E-4
6.51.3450706E-52.348995E-51.0348807E-44.40563158.0E-55.764461E-51.00667356E-42.4065326E-42.3905791.4E-47.0159714E-40.00122493920.00142469431.16307342.0E-40.0069938620.0122230540.0124699981.02020312.5E-4
6.61.3074523E-52.3104236E-51.03102386E-44.46248878.0E-55.6032466E-59.901441E-52.3900055E-42.41379551.4E-46.8198174E-40.0012048370.0014045961.16579762.0E-40.0067989260.0120242190.0122712131.02054142.5E-4
6.71.3050216E-52.3079532E-51.03077684E-44.46619468.0E-55.59283E-59.890855E-52.388947E-42.4153091.4E-46.8071426E-40.00120354960.00140330891.16597512.0E-40.00678632870.0120114840.0122584811.02056342.5E-4
6.81.29049395E-52.2927941E-51.02926104E-44.48911248.0E-55.530571E-59.825892E-52.3824516E-42.42466711.4E-46.73139E-40.0011956490.00139540991.16707312.0E-40.00671103640.0119333290.0121803451.02069972.5E-4
6.91.2867369E-52.2887343E-51.0288551E-44.49530178.0E-55.51447E-59.808494E-52.3807121E-42.42719441.4E-46.711799E-40.00119353320.00139329451.16736972.0E-40.0066915640.0119123970.0121594191.02073662.5E-4
7.01.2495996E-52.2287419E-51.0228564E-44.5893898.0E-55.3553173E-59.551403E-52.3550066E-42.46561311.4E-46.518148E-40.00116226580.00136203331.17187762.0E-40.00649906230.0116030.0118500991.02129612.5E-4
7.11.2452067E-52.2232492E-51.0223071E-44.5982578.0E-55.3364907E-59.527864E-52.3526531E-42.46923451.4E-46.4952404E-40.0011594030.00135917111.17230262.0E-40.00647628870.0115746710.0118217781.02134882.5E-4
7.21.2002777E-52.1611015E-51.0160929E-44.7017368.0E-55.143946E-59.261536E-52.326024E-42.51148821.4E-46.2609545E-40.00112701140.0013267861.17726052.0E-40.0062433440.0112540580.0115012441.02196422.5E-4
7.31.1923425E-52.1480853E-51.01479134E-44.7241678.0E-55.109939E-59.205757E-52.3204468E-42.52064751.4E-46.219575E-40.00112022730.00132000321.17833522.0E-40.00620219620.0111869450.0114341481.02209752.5E-4
7.41.16105175E-52.0854808E-51.0085314E-44.8359668.0E-54.975841E-58.93747E-52.2936218E-42.56629871.4E-46.0564023E-40.00108759630.00128737881.18369172.0E-40.0060399230.0108644090.0111116931.02276092.5E-4
7.51.1037265E-51.9554842E-59.9553276E-55.0909788.0E-54.7301706E-58.380379E-52.2379206E-42.6704291.4E-45.757461E-40.00101983570.00121963181.195912.0E-40.0057425670.0101955270.0104429791.02427052.5E-4
7.61.0720915E-51.8996727E-59.899521E-55.21117168.0E-54.5945973E-58.141202E-52.2140062E-42.7195081.4E-45.592486E-49.907428E-40.00119054471.20166872.0E-40.0055784330.0099072380.0101547611.02498412.5E-4
7.79.276279E-61.6442464E-59.644115E-55.86537088.0E-53.9754876E-57.046581E-52.1045594E-42.98663931.4E-44.839081E-48.5758517E-40.00105741361.2330132.0E-40.00482855740.0085865760.0088344291.02886522.5E-4
7.85.8346777E-61.11555855E-59.1154696E-58.1712168.0E-52.5005522E-54.7808775E-51.8780208E-43.92819261.4E-43.043997E-45.819165E-47.8180013E-41.34349192.0E-40.00303983080.00584733350.00609587131.04250452.5E-4
7.94.690204E-68.509473E-68.8508794E-510.4012068.0E-52.0100719E-53.6468664E-51.7646355E-44.83877231.4E-42.4469878E-44.439156E-46.4382685E-41.45033612.0E-40.0024442950.0044711650.0047200471.05566382.5E-4
8.02.9570454E-64.8470656E-61.4847017E-53.0630941.0E-51.267299E-52.0772974E-54.0772557E-51.96276952.0E-51.5428272E-42.5288164E-42.8287404E-41.11860263.0E-50.00154175660.0025499320.00260977911.023476.0E-5
8.11.6376824E-62.1968672E-62.1968672E-61.00.07.01862E-69.415111E-69.415111E-61.00.08.544835E-51.1462297E-41.1462297E-41.00.08.54155E-40.00116074450.00116074451.00.0
8.26.9631557E-74.535001E-74.535001E-71.00.02.984206E-61.9435704E-61.9435704E-61.00.03.63321E-52.3662713E-52.3662713E-51.00.03.6326164E-42.4510184E-42.4510184E-41.00.0
8.31.7876137E-78.357368E-88.357368E-81.00.07.661199E-73.5817288E-73.5817288E-71.00.09.32747E-64.3607465E-64.3607465E-61.00.09.3270784E-54.5800018E-54.5800018E-51.00.0

Scodie Lineament

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.2919327E-63.0133303E-61.0301303E-434.1857721.0E-41.4108206E-51.2914227E-51.4291256E-411.0662871.3E-41.7175387E-41.5722254E-43.3719424E-42.14469391.8E-40.00171621180.00157142480.00181104771.15248762.4E-4
6.11.8663811E-61.5490382E-63.1548992E-520.3668273.0E-57.998751E-66.6387206E-64.6638455E-57.0252174.0E-59.738045E-58.082393E-51.4081907E-41.74229446.0E-59.7337784E-48.079941E-48.8792946E-41.09893068.0E-5
6.21.8663811E-61.5490382E-63.1548992E-520.3668273.0E-57.998751E-66.6387206E-64.6638455E-57.0252174.0E-59.738045E-58.082393E-51.4081907E-41.74229446.0E-59.7337784E-48.079941E-48.8792946E-41.09893068.0E-5
6.31.8663811E-61.5490382E-63.1548992E-520.3668273.0E-57.998751E-66.6387206E-64.6638455E-57.0252174.0E-59.738045E-58.082393E-51.4081907E-41.74229446.0E-59.7337784E-48.079941E-48.8792946E-41.09893068.0E-5
6.41.8663811E-61.5490382E-63.1548992E-520.3668273.0E-57.998751E-66.6387206E-64.6638455E-57.0252174.0E-59.738045E-58.082393E-51.4081907E-41.74229446.0E-59.7337784E-48.079941E-48.8792946E-41.09893068.0E-5
6.51.8106311E-61.4909722E-63.1490927E-521.121073.0E-57.759824E-66.389868E-64.6389614E-57.25987054.0E-59.447177E-57.779436E-51.3778968E-41.77120416.0E-59.4431615E-47.7771995E-48.576577E-41.10278488.0E-5
6.61.2414679E-68.9974395E-71.0899735E-512.1142631.0E-55.320566E-63.85604E-61.3856002E-53.5933241.0E-56.477596E-54.6946367E-56.694543E-51.42599812.0E-56.475708E-44.6937316E-45.093544E-41.085184.0E-5
6.71.1062215E-67.594193E-71.0759411E-514.1679461.0E-54.7409408E-63.2546504E-61.3254618E-54.07251641.0E-55.7719422E-53.962472E-55.962393E-51.50471542.0E-55.770443E-43.9618355E-44.361677E-41.10092334.0E-5
6.81.0006736E-66.5002786E-71.0650021E-516.3839451.0E-54.288594E-62.7858312E-61.2785803E-54.5895831.0E-55.221238E-53.391703E-55.391635E-51.58965432.0E-55.220012E-43.3912458E-43.7911104E-41.11791074.0E-5
6.99.167364E-75.6315065E-71.0563145E-518.7572271.0E-53.9288643E-62.413501E-61.2413477E-55.14334871.0E-54.7832873E-52.9384037E-54.938345E-51.68062172.0E-54.782258E-42.9380718E-43.3379544E-41.13610374.0E-5
7.07.6987664E-74.113265E-71.0411322E-525.3115771.0E-53.2994672E-61.7628269E-61.176281E-56.67269661.0E-54.0170275E-52.1462245E-53.146203E-51.46592451.0E-54.0163012E-42.1460558E-42.4459916E-41.13976133.0E-5
7.17.1038727E-73.5210306E-71.03521E-529.4007661.0E-53.0445133E-61.5090123E-61.1508997E-57.6268411.0E-53.706632E-51.8372106E-52.8371922E-51.54429341.0E-53.7060137E-41.8370937E-42.1370385E-41.16327143.0E-5
7.22.0799602E-73.1178534E-83.1178534E-81.00.08.914113E-71.3362228E-71.3362228E-71.00.01.0852878E-51.6268501E-61.6268501E-61.00.01.08523476E-41.626839E-51.626839E-51.00.0
7.31.5048182E-71.5939106E-81.5939106E-81.00.06.449219E-76.8310456E-86.8310456E-81.00.07.851896E-68.316795E-78.316795E-71.00.07.851618E-58.316767E-68.316767E-61.00.0
7.45.9334678E-84.8638475E-94.8638475E-91.00.02.5429145E-72.084506E-82.084506E-81.00.03.095994E-62.5378858E-72.5378858E-71.00.03.095951E-52.5378843E-62.5378843E-61.00.0

Santa Ynez (East)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.2269712E-53.6750775E-51.1674783E-43.1767458.0E-51.3829143E-41.5749714E-42.674798E-41.69831541.1E-40.00168239790.00191642530.00207611871.08332871.6E-40.0166971780.0190564380.0192820561.01183942.3E-4
6.13.2269712E-53.6750775E-51.1674783E-43.1767458.0E-51.3829143E-41.5749714E-42.674798E-41.69831541.1E-40.00168239790.00191642530.00207611871.08332871.6E-40.0166971780.0190564380.0192820561.01183942.3E-4
6.23.2269712E-53.6750775E-51.1674783E-43.1767458.0E-51.3829143E-41.5749714E-42.674798E-41.69831541.1E-40.00168239790.00191642530.00207611871.08332871.6E-40.0166971780.0190564380.0192820561.01183942.3E-4
6.33.2269712E-53.6750775E-51.1674783E-43.1767458.0E-51.3829143E-41.5749714E-42.674798E-41.69831541.1E-40.00168239790.00191642530.00207611871.08332871.6E-40.0166971780.0190564380.0192820561.01183942.3E-4
6.41.4404779E-51.48492945E-54.484885E-53.0202683.0E-56.1733306E-56.363831E-59.36364E-51.47138423.0E-57.513438E-47.7452604E-48.2448736E-41.06450565.0E-50.00748808540.0077188170.00780812231.01156999.0E-5
6.51.4404779E-51.48492945E-54.484885E-53.0202683.0E-56.1733306E-56.363831E-59.36364E-51.47138423.0E-57.513438E-47.7452604E-48.2448736E-41.06450565.0E-50.00748808540.0077188170.00780812231.01156999.0E-5
6.61.280208E-51.301186E-54.301147E-53.3055593.0E-55.4864904E-55.5763932E-58.576226E-51.53795223.0E-56.6777546E-46.7871617E-47.286822E-41.07361855.0E-50.0066577240.00676664340.0068560341.01321059.0E-5
6.71.2457027E-51.262838E-54.2628002E-53.37557153.0E-55.3386164E-55.4120515E-58.4118896E-51.55428843.0E-56.497827E-46.5871974E-47.086868E-41.07585485.0E-50.006478860.006567870.00665727861.01361319.0E-5
6.81.2095134E-51.2230827E-54.223046E-53.45278863.0E-55.1835254E-55.2416784E-58.2415216E-51.57230573.0E-56.309115E-46.3798914E-46.879572E-41.07832125.0E-50.00629123250.0063617640.00645119141.0140579.0E-5
6.91.1104036E-51.115726E-54.1156924E-53.68880223.0E-54.758786E-54.781596E-57.7814526E-51.62737563.0E-55.7922816E-45.82005E-46.3197594E-41.08585995.0E-50.0057772070.00580495360.00587454761.01198867.0E-5
7.01.0577444E-51.05815925E-54.0581275E-53.83508183.0E-54.5331115E-54.53489E-57.534754E-51.66150753.0E-55.5176654E-45.5198424E-46.019566E-41.09053235.0E-50.00550398560.005506270.00557588461.01264277.0E-5
7.11.0021775E-59.9809E-63.99806E-54.0057113.0E-54.294976E-54.277459E-57.2773306E-51.70132093.0E-55.2278786E-45.206574E-45.7063135E-41.09598245.0E-50.00521559640.0051945080.00526414441.01340587.0E-5
7.28.874109E-68.748706E-62.874853E-53.28603222.0E-53.8031343E-53.7493923E-55.7493173E-51.53339982.0E-54.629332E-44.56394E-44.963757E-41.08760364.0E-50.00461970.00455468470.0045945031.00874224.0E-5
7.37.5504267E-67.5050243E-62.7504873E-53.66486142.0E-53.235857E-53.2164E-55.2163356E-51.62179332.0E-53.9389438E-43.9152734E-44.3151167E-41.1021244.0E-50.00393196940.00390848240.0039483261.01019424.0E-5
7.46.309394E-66.183062E-62.618294E-54.23462342.0E-52.703998E-52.6498574E-54.6498044E-51.75473762.0E-53.2916202E-43.2257332E-43.5256366E-41.09297223.0E-50.0032867490.00322114840.00325105181.00928343.0E-5
7.54.6103073E-64.4408016E-61.4440757E-53.25183561.0E-51.975831E-51.9031871E-52.9031682E-51.52542441.0E-52.4053088E-42.316891E-42.5168445E-41.08630252.0E-50.0024027070.0023145450.00233449861.0086212.0E-5
7.61.2858658E-61.3008196E-61.1300806E-58.6874511.0E-55.5108417E-65.574929E-61.5574873E-52.79373481.0E-56.7092435E-56.787272E-57.787204E-51.14732461.0E-56.707218E-46.7852676E-46.8852E-41.01472781.0E-5
7.75.3302307E-75.612138E-71.0561208E-518.818511.0E-52.2843826E-62.4052001E-61.2405176E-55.1576481.0E-52.7812002E-52.9282955E-53.9282662E-51.34148561.0E-52.7808524E-42.9279455E-43.0279162E-41.03414371.0E-5
7.84.613933E-84.80301E-84.80301E-81.00.01.9773998E-72.0584326E-72.0584326E-71.00.02.4074816E-62.5061388E-62.5061388E-61.00.02.4074554E-52.5061116E-52.5061116E-51.00.0

San Jacinto (San Jacinto Valley) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.652694E-53.4401106E-51.2439801E-43.6161059.0E-51.5653463E-41.4742499E-42.5740877E-41.74603211.1E-40.00190414310.00179342330.00194315441.0834891.5E-40.0188790990.0185263030.0187422261.0116552.2E-4
6.13.652694E-53.4401106E-51.2439801E-43.6161059.0E-51.5653463E-41.4742499E-42.5740877E-41.74603211.1E-40.00190414310.00179342330.00194315441.0834891.5E-40.0188790990.0185263030.0187422261.0116552.2E-4
6.23.652694E-53.4401106E-51.2439801E-43.6161059.0E-51.5653463E-41.4742499E-42.5740877E-41.74603211.1E-40.00190414310.00179342330.00194315441.0834891.5E-40.0188790990.0185263030.0187422261.0116552.2E-4
6.33.652694E-53.4401106E-51.2439801E-43.6161059.0E-51.5653463E-41.4742499E-42.5740877E-41.74603211.1E-40.00190414310.00179342330.00194315441.0834891.5E-40.0188790990.0185263030.0187422261.0116552.2E-4
6.43.646941E-53.432268E-51.2431959E-43.6220839.0E-51.5628811E-41.4708891E-42.5707274E-41.74773691.1E-40.00190114680.00178933890.00193907041.08367981.5E-40.0188496450.0184861810.0187021161.01168072.2E-4
6.53.646941E-53.432268E-51.2431959E-43.6220839.0E-51.5628811E-41.4708891E-42.5707274E-41.74773691.1E-40.00190114680.00178933890.00193907041.08367981.5E-40.0188496450.0184861810.0187021161.01168072.2E-4
6.63.6442503E-53.4286066E-51.2428297E-43.6248839.0E-51.561728E-41.4693203E-42.5691587E-41.74853551.1E-40.00189974550.0017874320.00193716391.08376931.5E-40.0188358690.018467450.0186833891.01169292.2E-4
6.73.6432113E-53.427164E-51.2426855E-43.62598789.0E-51.5612828E-41.4687021E-42.5685405E-41.74885061.1E-40.00189920440.00178668070.00193641261.08380461.5E-40.0188305490.0184600740.0186760131.01169762.2E-4
6.83.6409598E-53.4240697E-51.2423762E-43.6283619.0E-51.560318E-41.4673761E-42.5672145E-41.74952751.1E-40.00189803180.00178506890.00193480111.08388041.5E-40.0188190230.0184442290.0186601711.01170792.2E-4
6.93.638078E-53.4201123E-51.2419805E-43.63140279.0E-51.5590832E-41.4656801E-42.565519E-41.75039481.1E-40.00189653110.00178300750.00193274011.08397751.5E-40.0188042690.0184239630.018639911.0117212.2E-4
7.03.6294874E-53.408314E-51.2408008E-43.64051189.0E-51.5554018E-41.4606243E-42.5604636E-41.75299261.1E-40.00189205690.00177686230.00192659571.08426851.5E-40.0187602840.0183635450.0185795051.01176022.2E-4
7.13.6260717E-53.403942E-51.2403636E-43.64390339.0E-51.5539382E-41.4587509E-42.5585905E-41.75395981.1E-40.0018902780.00177458510.0019243191.08437681.5E-40.0187427960.0183411390.0185571031.01177492.2E-4
7.23.6210204E-53.397364E-51.2397059E-43.64902269.0E-51.5517735E-41.455932E-42.555772E-41.75541971.1E-40.0018876470.00177115880.00192089311.08454041.5E-40.018716930.0183074080.018523381.0117972.2E-4
7.33.6119454E-53.386193E-51.2385887E-43.65776239.0E-51.5478847E-41.4511449E-42.5509854E-41.75791221.1E-40.00188292060.00176533980.0019150751.08481941.5E-40.0186704620.018249960.0184659451.01183492.2E-4
7.43.607848E-53.380943E-51.2380639E-43.66188939.0E-51.5461289E-41.4488952E-42.5487356E-41.75908921.1E-40.00188078660.00176260520.00191234081.08495131.5E-40.0186494810.0182229560.0184389461.01185272.2E-4
7.53.5856774E-53.3619202E-51.2361618E-43.67695149.0E-51.5366284E-41.4407437E-42.540585E-41.76338461.1E-40.00186923960.00175269670.00190243381.08543241.5E-40.0185359440.0181240570.018340071.01191852.2E-4
7.63.286655E-53.2142278E-51.2213939E-43.79996069.0E-51.4084904E-41.3774536E-42.477302E-41.7984651.1E-40.0017134880.00167576170.00182551031.08936151.5E-40.0170033610.0173438040.0175599881.01246462.2E-4
7.72.8882527E-52.9235205E-51.1923257E-44.078399.0E-51.237764E-41.2528773E-42.3527394E-41.87786911.1E-40.00150593570.00152431180.00167408321.0982551.5E-40.0149577130.0158303380.0160468561.01367742.2E-4
7.82.4950225E-52.6526219E-51.16523835E-44.39277949.0E-51.0692515E-41.1367885E-42.2366634E-41.96752821.1E-40.00130103620.00138316210.00153295461.10829711.5E-40.0129344550.014411760.0146285891.01504532.2E-4
7.91.9881603E-52.150649E-51.1150455E-45.18469339.0E-58.520408E-59.216742E-52.0215729E-42.19337031.1E-40.0010368660.00112156150.00127139331.13359211.5E-40.0103204150.0117769980.0119944071.01846052.2E-4
8.01.563292E-51.5936288E-58.593517E-55.3924217.0E-56.6996516E-56.829659E-51.5829045E-42.31769189.0E-58.153773E-48.3119445E-49.610864E-41.15627151.3E-40.008123920.0088103310.00898874551.02025061.8E-4
8.11.0045313E-58.300794E-64.8300462E-55.8187764.0E-54.305063E-53.557435E-58.5572574E-52.4054575.0E-55.2401534E-44.3303217E-44.930062E-41.13849786.0E-50.00522781440.00465876660.00472844071.01495547.0E-5
8.24.1554413E-61.5648296E-61.5648296E-61.00.01.7808914E-56.7063957E-66.7063957E-61.00.02.1680194E-48.164734E-58.164734E-51.00.00.00216590549.479703E-49.479703E-41.00.0
8.31.2758221E-63.612677E-73.612677E-71.00.05.4677976E-61.5482892E-61.5482892E-61.00.06.65684E-51.8850264E-51.8850264E-51.00.06.6548464E-42.2739546E-42.2739546E-41.00.0

Mission Ridge-Arroyo Parida-Santa Ana

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.169034E-54.7137048E-59.713469E-52.06068685.0E-51.7866064E-42.0200513E-42.5199502E-41.24746855.0E-50.00217302330.00245746570.00254724451.03653319.0E-50.0215189680.024384830.0245506841.00680161.7E-4
6.11.73813E-51.6854203E-53.6853868E-52.18662762.0E-57.4489166E-57.223036E-59.222892E-51.27687192.0E-59.065282E-48.790605E-49.1902533E-41.04546314.0E-50.0090283910.0087571280.0088364291.00905548.0E-5
6.21.4622182E-51.3673262E-53.367299E-52.46268872.0E-56.2664985E-55.85984E-57.859723E-51.34128622.0E-57.6267915E-47.132059E-47.431845E-41.04203363.0E-50.0076006690.0071097670.00716934031.00837916.0E-5
6.31.3552434E-51.2482174E-53.2481923E-52.60226512.0E-55.8080568E-55.349395E-57.349288E-51.3738542.0E-57.069015E-46.510974E-46.810778E-41.0460463.0E-50.007046570.0064924150.0065520251.00918156.0E-5
6.41.30977305E-51.1979128E-53.197889E-52.66955042.0E-55.613192E-55.133813E-57.1337105E-51.3895542.0E-56.831918E-46.2486547E-46.548467E-41.04798033.0E-50.0068109530.0062315840.006291211.00956836.0E-5
6.51.225205E-51.1048776E-53.1048556E-52.81013542.0E-55.2507727E-54.735105E-56.7350105E-51.42235712.0E-56.3909404E-45.7634927E-45.963377E-41.03468122.0E-50.0063725920.0057490090.00579872171.00864725.0E-5
6.61.1352241E-51.0063508E-52.0063408E-51.99367931.0E-54.8651553E-54.3128617E-55.3128188E-51.23185461.0E-55.921717E-45.249665E-45.349613E-41.01903881.0E-50.00590596160.00523766460.0052774551.0075974.0E-5
6.71.0864116E-59.517E-61.9516905E-52.05074121.0E-54.6559664E-54.0786515E-55.0786108E-51.2451691.0E-55.667165E-44.964647E-45.0645974E-41.02013241.0E-50.0056527340.00495394370.00499374561.00803434.0E-5
6.81.0666365E-59.299752E-61.929966E-52.07528761.0E-54.571219E-53.985548E-54.9855083E-51.25089661.0E-55.564038E-44.8513446E-44.951296E-41.02060281.0E-50.0055501270.004841140.00488094661.00822254.0E-5
6.91.0038665E-58.592018E-61.8591933E-52.16386081.0E-54.302214E-53.682243E-54.6822057E-51.27156361.0E-55.236687E-44.4822265E-44.5821816E-41.02230041.0E-50.0052243640.00447355070.00451337171.00890154.0E-5
7.09.5379955E-68.025047E-61.8024966E-52.24608871.0E-54.0876483E-53.439261E-54.439227E-51.29075011.0E-54.975576E-44.1865133E-44.2864712E-41.02387621.0E-50.004964450.004178980.00421881261.00953174.0E-5
7.19.207389E-67.652347E-61.7652272E-52.30677841.0E-53.945964E-53.2795375E-54.2795047E-51.3049111.0E-54.803152E-43.992122E-44.092082E-41.02503931.0E-50.0047927840.0039853010.00402514171.00999694.0E-5
7.27.638091E-65.9310923E-61.5931033E-52.68602011.0E-53.2734264E-52.5418722E-53.5418467E-51.39340081.0E-53.984668E-43.094293E-43.194262E-41.03230751.0E-50.00397753060.00309019560.0031300721.01290424.0E-5
7.37.2500147E-65.596131E-61.5596075E-52.7869391.0E-53.1071122E-52.3983199E-53.398296E-51.41694861.0E-53.7822526E-42.9195662E-43.019537E-41.03424171.0E-50.00377582150.00291594020.00294585271.01025833.0E-5
7.46.3899715E-64.9184864E-61.4918437E-53.0331361.0E-52.7385306E-52.1079059E-53.107885E-51.47439441.0E-53.3336508E-42.566075E-42.6660494E-41.038961.0E-50.00332865420.0025633110.0025932341.01167363.0E-5
7.55.379025E-64.0838477E-61.40838065E-53.44866131.0E-52.305276E-51.7502087E-52.7501912E-51.57135051.0E-52.806312E-42.1306718E-42.2306504E-41.04692351.0E-50.00280277080.00212864020.00215857641.01406353.0E-5
7.64.1270696E-63.0883373E-61.3088306E-54.23797851.0E-51.768732E-51.32356645E-52.3235532E-51.75552441.0E-52.1532185E-41.6113237E-41.7113076E-41.06205081.0E-50.00215113330.00161016350.00162014741.00620061.0E-5
7.72.5406805E-61.8282044E-61.8282044E-61.00.01.0888585E-57.835139E-67.835139E-61.00.01.3256045E-49.53887E-59.53887E-51.00.00.00132481429.534837E-49.534837E-41.00.0
7.84.8608285E-73.509864E-73.509864E-71.00.02.0832106E-61.5042266E-61.5042266E-61.00.02.5362791E-51.8313805E-51.8313805E-51.00.02.5359896E-41.8312308E-41.8312308E-41.00.0
7.92.0472514E-81.2688718E-81.2688718E-81.00.08.7739345E-85.438022E-85.438022E-81.00.01.068226E-66.6207895E-76.6207895E-71.00.01.0682209E-56.620771E-66.620771E-61.00.0
8.04.443582E-92.032067E-92.032067E-91.00.01.9043922E-88.7088585E-98.7088585E-91.00.02.3185973E-71.0603035E-71.0603035E-71.00.02.3185949E-61.0603031E-61.0603031E-61.00.0

Santa Ynez (West)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.7352758E-55.497084E-58.496919E-51.54571393.0E-52.0292461E-42.3556968E-42.7556025E-41.16976124.0E-50.00246780760.0028645580.00296427151.03480941.0E-40.0244058180.0283044560.028450211.00514951.5E-4
6.14.7352758E-55.497084E-58.496919E-51.54571393.0E-52.0292461E-42.3556968E-42.7556025E-41.16976124.0E-50.00246780760.0028645580.00295431.03132849.0E-50.0244058180.0283044560.0284404921.00480621.4E-4
6.23.0415853E-53.3925004E-56.392399E-51.88427353.0E-51.3034715E-41.4538495E-41.8537915E-41.27509164.0E-50.00158582120.00176865920.00184851771.0451528.0E-50.0157455220.017549780.0176676741.00671771.2E-4
6.33.0415853E-53.3925004E-56.392399E-51.88427353.0E-51.3034715E-41.4538495E-41.8537915E-41.27509164.0E-50.00158582120.00176865920.00184851771.0451528.0E-50.0157455220.017549780.0176676741.00671771.2E-4
6.42.5452082E-52.7912318E-55.7911482E-52.07476433.0E-51.09075794E-41.1961885E-41.5961406E-41.33435554.0E-50.00132718870.00145540560.00153528911.05488758.0E-50.0131929020.014460910.014569321.00749671.1E-4
6.52.3143784E-52.5128133E-54.512763E-51.79590072.0E-59.9183875E-51.07687636E-41.376844E-41.27855353.0E-50.00120689480.0013103230.00138023121.0533527.0E-50.0120036110.0130276380.0131263351.0075761.0E-4
6.61.9118515E-52.0354244E-54.0353836E-51.9825762.0E-58.193392E-58.722961E-51.1722699E-41.343893.0E-59.97089E-40.0010615110.00112144731.05646326.0E-50.009926270.0105653170.0106543661.00842859.0E-5
6.71.722807E-51.8146253E-52.8146073E-51.5510681.0E-57.3832496E-57.776737E-59.776581E-51.25715732.0E-58.985399E-49.4641204E-49.963647E-41.05278115.0E-50.0089491540.0094244610.0095037071.00840858.0E-5
6.81.5317364E-51.5926391E-52.5926232E-51.62787871.0E-56.56442E-56.82542E-58.825283E-51.29300222.0E-57.98925E-48.3068234E-48.806408E-41.06014145.0E-50.0079605890.0082762610.0083456811.00838797.0E-5
6.91.3071226E-51.332953E-52.3329396E-51.7502041.0E-55.6018336E-55.712532E-57.7124176E-51.35008742.0E-56.8180985E-46.952811E-47.452463E-41.07186345.0E-50.00679721730.00693131840.00699090261.00859646.0E-5
7.01.1836986E-51.1932688E-52.1932568E-51.83802411.0E-55.0728955E-55.1139097E-57.113807E-51.39107022.0E-56.1745E-46.2244234E-46.724112E-41.08027885.0E-50.0061573720.00620718250.006266811.00960626.0E-5
7.11.0597169E-51.0542107E-52.0542002E-51.94856691.0E-54.541565E-54.5179684E-55.5179233E-51.22132841.0E-55.5279525E-45.4992497E-45.899029E-41.07269724.0E-50.00551422130.0054857720.0055354981.00906445.0E-5
7.29.59113E-69.45905E-61.9458956E-52.05717871.0E-54.11042E-54.053816E-55.0537757E-51.24667121.0E-55.0032866E-44.934414E-45.234266E-41.06076753.0E-50.0049920370.00492357650.00495342861.00606313.0E-5
7.38.586084E-68.379489E-61.8379405E-52.193381.0E-53.679698E-53.591161E-54.591125E-51.27845141.0E-54.4791115E-44.3713715E-44.6712405E-41.06859843.0E-50.0044700940.0043628840.00439275341.00684623.0E-5
7.47.2622997E-66.9514485E-61.6951379E-52.4385391.0E-53.112377E-52.9791589E-53.9791288E-51.33565521.0E-53.78866E-43.6265317E-43.8264593E-41.0551292.0E-50.00378220740.0036207140.00364064171.00550382.0E-5
7.55.627296E-65.2514984E-65.2514984E-61.00.02.411676E-52.2506232E-52.2506232E-51.00.02.9358198E-42.7397962E-42.839769E-41.0364891.0E-50.00293194430.00273649050.0027464631.00364431.0E-5
7.62.265244E-62.0608632E-62.0608632E-61.00.09.708152E-68.832241E-68.832241E-61.00.01.18190335E-41.0752732E-41.0752732E-41.00.00.0011812750.00107476150.00107476151.00.0
7.71.3099874E-61.1016228E-61.1016228E-61.00.05.61422E-64.7212325E-64.7212325E-61.00.06.8350986E-55.7479516E-55.7479516E-51.00.06.832996E-45.7464885E-45.7464885E-41.00.0
7.87.903951E-76.0710704E-76.0710704E-71.00.03.3874032E-62.601885E-62.601885E-61.00.04.1240855E-53.16775E-53.16775E-51.00.04.12332E-43.167312E-43.167312E-41.00.0
7.97.0753297E-95.090092E-95.090092E-91.00.03.032284E-82.181468E-82.181468E-81.00.03.6918053E-72.655937E-72.655937E-71.00.03.691799E-62.6559348E-62.6559348E-61.00.0

Cleghorn Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5467183E-51.6794203E-57.67932E-54.57260136.0E-56.6286244E-57.197348E-51.6196701E-42.25037059.0E-58.067362E-48.759797E-40.00101585711.15968111.4E-40.0080381370.0087306960.0089190371.02157241.9E-4
6.11.5467183E-51.6794203E-57.67932E-54.57260136.0E-56.6286244E-57.197348E-51.6196701E-42.25037059.0E-58.067362E-48.759797E-40.00101585711.15968111.4E-40.0080381370.0087306960.0089190371.02157241.9E-4
6.21.2624631E-51.3681544E-56.368086E-54.6545085.0E-55.410444E-55.863415E-51.3862946E-42.36431268.0E-56.585225E-47.1368564E-48.336E-41.16802121.2E-40.00656574450.00711873170.00728752141.02371061.7E-4
6.31.2624631E-51.3681544E-56.368086E-54.6545085.0E-55.410444E-55.863415E-51.3862946E-42.36431268.0E-56.585225E-47.1368564E-48.336E-41.16802121.2E-40.00656574450.00711873170.00728752141.02371061.7E-4
6.49.417684E-61.0170118E-55.016971E-54.9330514.0E-54.036088E-54.3585722E-51.0358311E-42.37653766.0E-54.912829E-45.3056807E-46.2052027E-41.16953969.0E-50.0049019820.0052970490.00542636031.02441191.3E-4
6.59.368219E-61.0117545E-55.0117138E-54.95348834.0E-54.014889E-54.3360415E-51.03357816E-42.38369066.0E-54.8870314E-45.2782625E-46.07784E-41.1514858.0E-50.0048762980.00526976170.00538912931.02265141.2E-4
6.67.803798E-68.441831E-63.8441576E-54.55370143.0E-53.3444423E-53.6179E-58.617719E-52.38196735.0E-54.0710976E-44.4043022E-45.103994E-41.15886557.0E-50.00406364720.00439949050.00450900661.02489291.1E-4
6.72.3108669E-62.4438336E-61.2443809E-55.09192131.0E-59.903678E-61.0473532E-52.0473428E-51.95477771.0E-51.205706E-41.2750797E-41.375067E-41.07841651.0E-50.0012050520.00127436670.00129434131.01567412.0E-5
6.82.0882828E-62.2062823E-61.220626E-55.53250171.0E-58.949753E-69.455462E-61.9455367E-52.05757981.0E-51.08957785E-41.1511434E-41.2511319E-41.08686021.0E-50.00108904380.00115056390.00117054091.01736282.0E-5
6.91.876935E-61.981051E-61.981051E-61.00.08.043982E-68.490192E-68.490192E-61.00.09.7931086E-51.03363345E-41.03363345E-41.00.09.788794E-40.00103316860.00104315841.0096691.0E-5
7.01.5357559E-61.6202807E-61.6202807E-61.00.06.5817944E-66.9440425E-66.9440425E-61.00.08.01304E-58.454057E-58.454057E-51.00.08.010151E-48.450965E-48.55088E-41.01182291.0E-5
7.11.0905424E-61.1497619E-61.1497619E-61.00.04.6737446E-64.9275427E-64.9275427E-61.00.05.6901354E-55.999128E-55.999128E-51.00.05.6886784E-45.997606E-46.0975464E-41.01666331.0E-5
7.26.06668E-76.387277E-76.387277E-71.00.02.600003E-62.7374022E-62.7374022E-61.00.03.1654577E-53.3327433E-53.3327433E-51.00.03.1650066E-43.3323118E-43.3323118E-41.00.0

Deep Springs

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.9810619E-52.311252E-56.31116E-52.73062374.0E-58.489989E-59.9052755E-51.6904583E-41.70662427.0E-50.0010331660.00120580780.0013356511.10768151.3E-40.0102837570.012042430.01224002151.0164082.0E-4
6.11.9810619E-52.311252E-56.31116E-52.73062374.0E-58.489989E-59.9052755E-51.6904583E-41.70662427.0E-50.0010331660.00120580780.0013356511.10768151.3E-40.0102837570.012042430.01224002151.0164082.0E-4
6.21.9810619E-52.311252E-56.31116E-52.73062374.0E-58.489989E-59.9052755E-51.6904583E-41.70662427.0E-50.0010331660.00120580780.0013356511.10768151.3E-40.0102837570.012042430.01224002151.0164082.0E-4
6.31.9810619E-52.311252E-56.31116E-52.73062374.0E-58.489989E-59.9052755E-51.6904583E-41.70662427.0E-50.0010331660.00120580780.0013356511.10768151.3E-40.0102837570.012042430.01224002151.0164082.0E-4
6.41.9810619E-52.311252E-56.31116E-52.73062374.0E-58.489989E-59.9052755E-51.6904583E-41.70662427.0E-50.0010331660.00120580780.0013356511.10768151.3E-40.0102837570.012042430.01224002151.0164082.0E-4
6.51.7190405E-52.0050558E-56.0049755E-52.9949174.0E-57.367108E-58.593096E-51.5592495E-41.81453747.0E-58.9657627E-40.00104620920.00117607321.12412811.3E-40.0089296760.0104620610.0106401781.0170251.8E-4
6.61.7190405E-52.0050558E-56.0049755E-52.9949174.0E-57.367108E-58.593096E-51.5592495E-41.81453747.0E-58.9657627E-40.00104620920.00117607321.12412811.3E-40.0089296760.0104620610.0106401781.0170251.8E-4

San Jacinto (Stepovers Combined)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.0667746E-53.5271103E-51.05268635E-42.98455747.0E-51.742787E-41.5115313E-42.4113953E-41.59533269.0E-50.00211977820.00183873720.0019684981.07057071.3E-40.0209967140.0189864950.0191728881.00981711.9E-4
6.14.0667746E-53.5271103E-51.05268635E-42.98455747.0E-51.742787E-41.5115313E-42.4113953E-41.59533269.0E-50.00211977820.00183873720.0019684981.07057071.3E-40.0209967140.0189864950.0191728881.00981711.9E-4
6.24.0667746E-53.5271103E-51.05268635E-42.98455747.0E-51.742787E-41.5115313E-42.4113953E-41.59533269.0E-50.00211977820.00183873720.0019684981.07057071.3E-40.0209967140.0189864950.0191728881.00981711.9E-4
6.34.0667746E-53.5271103E-51.05268635E-42.98455747.0E-51.742787E-41.5115313E-42.4113953E-41.59533269.0E-50.00211977820.00183873720.0019684981.07057071.3E-40.0209967140.0189864950.0191728881.00981711.9E-4
6.44.0577226E-53.5143014E-51.05140556E-42.9917917.0E-51.738908E-41.5060425E-42.4059069E-41.59750279.0E-50.00211506480.00183206690.00196182871.07082811.3E-40.0209504720.0189210620.0191074681.00985171.9E-4
6.54.0577226E-53.5143014E-51.05140556E-42.9917917.0E-51.738908E-41.5060425E-42.4059069E-41.59750279.0E-50.00211506480.00183206690.00196182871.07082811.3E-40.0209504720.0189210620.0191074681.00985171.9E-4
6.64.053861E-53.5088357E-51.050859E-42.99489387.0E-51.7372532E-41.5037002E-42.4035649E-41.59843359.0E-50.00211305380.00182922060.00195898281.07093851.3E-40.0209307430.018893140.0190795511.00986661.9E-4
6.74.0516545E-53.505743E-51.05054976E-42.99665367.0E-51.7363077E-41.502375E-42.4022398E-41.59896159.0E-50.0021119050.00182761010.00195737251.07100121.3E-40.0209194680.0188773370.019063751.00987491.9E-4
6.84.049434E-53.5028992E-51.0502654E-42.99827467.0E-51.7353562E-41.5011564E-42.4010213E-41.59944789.0E-50.00211074880.00182612890.00195589151.07105891.3E-40.0209081250.0188627490.0190491641.00988281.9E-4
6.94.046386E-53.4991554E-51.0498911E-43.00041277.0E-51.73405E-41.499552E-42.399417E-41.60008939.0E-50.00210916160.00182417880.00195394181.07113491.3E-40.0208925530.0188435220.0190299411.00989311.9E-4
7.04.036382E-53.4872126E-51.0486969E-43.0072647.0E-51.7297632E-41.4944343E-42.3942997E-41.60214469.0E-50.00210395250.00181795840.00194772221.07137881.3E-40.020841440.0187821370.0189685671.0099261.9E-4
7.14.0343282E-53.485059E-51.0484815E-43.00850447.0E-51.7288832E-41.4935112E-42.3933769E-41.60251689.0E-50.0021028830.00181683680.00194660051.07142291.3E-40.0208309480.0187710080.018957441.0099321.9E-4
7.24.0257353E-53.475509E-51.0475265E-43.01402357.0E-51.725201E-41.489419E-42.3892848E-41.60417259.0E-50.00209840850.00181186260.0019416271.07161941.3E-40.0207870420.0187217460.018908191.00995861.9E-4
7.33.9940667E-53.458276E-51.0458034E-43.024067.0E-51.7116306E-41.4820343E-42.3819008E-41.60718359.0E-50.00208191850.00180288660.00193265231.07197651.3E-40.0206252170.0186303870.0188168471.01000831.9E-4
7.43.9721202E-53.4468165E-51.04465755E-43.03078947.0E-51.7022261E-41.4771236E-42.3769907E-41.60920239.0E-50.00207049030.00179691790.00192668431.07221621.3E-40.0205130520.0185695220.0187559931.01004181.9E-4
7.53.7036873E-53.3535776E-51.0353343E-43.0872537.0E-51.5871979E-41.4371685E-42.3370392E-41.62614149.0E-50.00193070060.00174835130.0018781241.07422581.3E-40.0191401240.0180711280.0182576941.0103241.9E-4
7.63.2940967E-53.13167E-51.0131451E-43.2351597.0E-51.4116794E-41.3420754E-42.2419546E-41.67051329.0E-50.00171736450.00163275450.00176254221.07949011.3E-40.017041530.0169040910.017090881.01104991.9E-4
7.72.8236149E-52.7882697E-59.7880744E-53.51044757.0E-51.2100645E-41.1949181E-42.0948105E-41.75309979.0E-50.00147225790.00145384290.00158365391.08928821.3E-40.0146254210.0151149120.015302041.01238041.9E-4
7.82.4329287E-52.5206451E-59.520468E-53.77699697.0E-51.042642E-41.08023174E-41.9801345E-41.83306469.0E-50.00126867740.00131438950.00144421871.09877531.3E-40.0126145890.0137123410.0138997351.01366621.9E-4
7.91.9370926E-52.0420413E-59.041898E-54.42787277.0E-58.301561E-58.751312E-51.7750525E-42.02832729.0E-50.00101024650.00106495220.00119481381.12194121.3E-40.01005666050.0111994020.0113872741.01677531.9E-4
8.01.5583017E-51.5885415E-58.5884305E-55.4064887.0E-56.6782646E-56.807858E-51.5807245E-42.32191189.0E-58.127754E-48.2854216E-49.584345E-41.15677211.3E-40.0080980910.0087816360.0089600551.02031731.8E-4
8.11.0024873E-58.291399E-64.829107E-55.8242364.0E-54.2963035E-53.553409E-58.553231E-52.40704975.0E-55.229494E-44.3254215E-44.925162E-41.13865486.0E-50.00521720430.00465306550.004722741.01497397.0E-5
8.24.142796E-61.5602761E-61.5602761E-61.00.01.775472E-56.6868806E-66.6868806E-61.00.02.1614227E-48.140976E-58.140976E-51.00.00.00215932179.4514614E-49.4514614E-41.00.0
8.31.2750878E-63.609817E-73.609817E-71.00.05.4646503E-61.5470634E-61.5470634E-61.00.06.653009E-51.8835339E-51.8835339E-51.00.06.6510175E-42.272251E-42.272251E-41.00.0

Pinto Mtn

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.4194956E-54.7853926E-57.785249E-51.62687783.0E-51.893932E-42.0507304E-42.350669E-41.14625933.0E-50.00230342360.00249406880.00264369461.05999271.5E-40.0227969380.0246783050.0248538631.00711381.8E-4
6.14.4194956E-54.7853926E-57.785249E-51.62687783.0E-51.893932E-42.0507304E-42.350669E-41.14625933.0E-50.00230342360.00249406880.00264369461.05999271.5E-40.0227969380.0246783050.0248538631.00711381.8E-4
6.24.4194956E-54.7853926E-57.785249E-51.62687783.0E-51.893932E-42.0507304E-42.350669E-41.14625933.0E-50.00230342360.00249406880.00264369461.05999271.5E-40.0227969380.0246783050.0248538631.00711381.8E-4
6.34.4194956E-54.7853926E-57.785249E-51.62687783.0E-51.893932E-42.0507304E-42.350669E-41.14625933.0E-50.00230342360.00249406880.00264369461.05999271.5E-40.0227969380.0246783050.0248538631.00711381.8E-4
6.43.729929E-53.960349E-54.9603095E-51.2524931.0E-51.5984432E-41.6971873E-41.7971703E-41.0589111.0E-50.00194436730.00206446040.0021642541.04833881.0E-40.0192744270.0204628480.0205901881.0062231.3E-4
6.53.729929E-53.960349E-54.9603095E-51.2524931.0E-51.5984432E-41.6971873E-41.7971703E-41.0589111.0E-50.00194436730.00206446040.0021642541.04833881.0E-40.0192744270.0204628480.0205901881.0062231.3E-4
6.63.0204548E-53.12056E-54.1205287E-51.32044531.0E-51.2944164E-41.3373162E-41.4373029E-41.07476661.0E-50.00157481270.00162700120.00172683851.06136271.0E-40.0156369920.0161547640.0162826651.00791721.3E-4
6.72.9857754E-53.0814987E-54.0814677E-51.32450751.0E-51.2795553E-41.3205773E-41.4205641E-41.07571451.0E-50.00155674530.00160665170.0017064911.06214131.0E-40.0154588480.0159542040.016082131.00801841.3E-4
6.82.4819734E-52.5009665E-53.5009416E-51.39983551.0E-51.0636595E-41.0718E-41.17178926E-41.0932911.0E-50.00129423620.0013041570.00138405271.06126228.0E-50.0128672440.0129674030.0130562361.00685059.0E-5
6.92.331124E-52.3337945E-53.333771E-51.42847671.0E-59.990149E-51.0001605E-41.1001505E-41.09997391.0E-50.0012156220.00121703550.00128695031.05744687.0E-50.0120899360.0121058970.0121849291.00652848.0E-5
7.02.1818534E-52.1761074E-53.1760857E-51.45952621.0E-59.3504656E-59.3258524E-51.0325759E-41.10721891.0E-50.00113782460.00113485090.00120477151.06161217.0E-50.0113201630.011292660.0113717561.00700438.0E-5
7.12.066081E-52.0540718E-53.0540512E-51.48682791.0E-58.854332E-58.8028784E-59.802791E-51.11358921.0E-50.00107748180.00107124310.00114116811.06527467.0E-50.0107227240.01066284350.010741991.00742278.0E-5
7.21.8990233E-51.9054001E-52.9053812E-51.52481411.0E-58.138417E-58.165756E-59.1656744E-51.12245261.0E-59.904018E-49.937467E-40.00106367711.07037047.0E-50.0098599950.0098950290.00997423751.00800498.0E-5
7.31.3335872E-51.4906713E-52.4906563E-51.67082871.0E-55.7152483E-56.388442E-57.388378E-51.15652281.0E-56.956093E-47.77528E-48.3748135E-41.07710776.0E-50.0069343590.0077493760.0078188331.0089637.0E-5
7.49.414066E-61.186096E-52.1860842E-51.84309211.0E-54.0345374E-55.083175E-56.083124E-51.19671751.0E-54.910942E-46.1871024E-46.786731E-41.0969166.0E-50.00490010340.00617082560.00624039351.01127377.0E-5
7.57.2101157E-69.158192E-61.91581E-52.09190851.0E-53.090013E-53.9248847E-54.9248454E-51.25477461.0E-53.7614413E-44.7775774E-45.277339E-41.10460565.0E-50.00375508070.0047680820.00481784341.01043645.0E-5
7.63.296375E-64.5455017E-64.5455017E-61.00.01.4127245E-51.9480583E-51.9480583E-51.00.01.7198564E-42.3715167E-42.4714932E-41.0421571.0E-50.00171852590.00236912330.00237909961.0042111.0E-5
7.72.5741092E-63.5844084E-63.5844084E-61.00.01.103185E-51.5361667E-51.5361667E-51.00.01.3430449E-41.8701357E-41.8701357E-41.00.00.00134223350.00186869180.00186869181.00.0

Coronado Bank alt1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.533492E-59.3951705E-52.0394137E-42.17070441.1E-43.22824E-44.025903E-45.12546E-41.27312061.1E-40.00392330070.0048911210.0050005831.02237981.1E-40.038547550.0479040.0480658561.00337871.7E-4
6.14.1807285E-55.0493105E-51.2048957E-42.3862587.0E-51.7916178E-42.1638138E-42.8636624E-41.32343297.0E-50.00217911230.00263133650.00270115231.02653247.0E-50.0215786770.0260111240.0260890421.00299568.0E-5
6.24.1807285E-55.0493105E-51.2048957E-42.3862587.0E-51.7916178E-42.1638138E-42.8636624E-41.32343297.0E-50.00217911230.00263133650.00270115231.02653247.0E-50.0215786770.0260111240.0260890421.00299568.0E-5
6.33.1793104E-53.7711125E-56.7709996E-51.79549123.0E-51.3624904E-41.6160926E-41.9160441E-41.18560293.0E-50.00165756980.0019658490.001995791.01523053.0E-50.0164526030.0194884950.0195277151.00201254.0E-5
6.42.9878007E-53.5335797E-56.533474E-51.84896743.0E-51.2804232E-41.5143053E-41.8142599E-41.19808073.0E-50.00155780030.00184213950.00187208421.01625543.0E-50.0154692530.0182724630.0183117331.00214914.0E-5
6.52.4512565E-52.8764101E-54.8763526E-51.69529122.0E-51.0504962E-41.2326906E-41.4326659E-41.16222672.0E-50.00127822870.00149979430.00151976431.01331522.0E-50.0127090120.01489969250.0149292461.00198353.0E-5
6.62.1317413E-52.490667E-54.490617E-51.80297782.0E-59.135714E-51.0673863E-41.267365E-41.18735362.0E-50.00111170560.00129879030.00131876441.0153792.0E-50.0110616050.0129144070.012944021.0022933.0E-5
6.71.8585655E-52.1634882E-53.1634663E-51.46220661.0E-57.9650374E-59.271774E-51.0271681E-41.10784421.0E-59.6931186E-40.00112827440.0011382631.00885311.0E-50.00965094750.0112276230.0112473981.00176132.0E-5
6.81.5862879E-51.8419476E-51.8419476E-51.00.06.798199E-57.8938334E-57.8938334E-51.00.08.273665E-49.606697E-49.606697E-41.00.00.0082429280.0095671510.00957705451.00103521.0E-5
6.91.3021509E-51.5095266E-51.5095266E-51.00.05.5805274E-56.46925E-56.46925E-51.00.06.792174E-47.873646E-47.873646E-41.00.00.0067714520.0078475730.0078574941.00126431.0E-5
7.01.0974371E-51.2720105E-51.2720105E-51.00.04.7032172E-55.4513697E-55.4513697E-51.00.05.7246623E-46.635197E-46.635197E-41.00.00.00570993730.00661713540.00662706931.00150121.0E-5
7.18.766221E-61.0163833E-51.0163833E-51.00.03.7568978E-54.3558655E-54.3558655E-51.00.04.573063E-45.302148E-45.302148E-41.00.00.00456366360.0052911970.0052911971.00.0
7.28.026024E-78.331776E-78.331776E-71.00.03.43972E-63.5707562E-63.5707562E-61.00.04.1877785E-54.34731E-54.34731E-51.00.04.1869894E-44.3464705E-44.3464705E-41.00.0
7.33.7293114E-73.700106E-73.700106E-71.00.01.5982754E-61.5857588E-61.5857588E-61.00.01.9458828E-51.9306442E-51.9306442E-51.00.01.9457124E-41.9304773E-41.9304773E-41.00.0
7.42.0557036E-71.9674441E-71.9674441E-71.00.08.810155E-78.4319004E-78.4319004E-71.00.01.0726311E-51.02657905E-51.02657905E-51.00.01.0725793E-41.026532E-41.026532E-41.00.0
7.56.845446E-86.2794086E-86.2794086E-81.00.02.9337625E-72.6911746E-72.6911746E-71.00.03.5718497E-63.2765004E-63.2765004E-61.00.03.5717923E-53.276453E-53.276453E-51.00.0
7.66.0975145E-95.531901E-95.531901E-91.00.02.6132206E-82.3708148E-82.3708148E-81.00.03.1815955E-72.8864667E-72.8864667E-71.00.03.181591E-62.886464E-62.886464E-61.00.0

Santa Rosa Island

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.1143165E-54.709113E-51.070883E-42.27406536.0E-51.7631594E-42.0180462E-42.8178847E-41.3963438.0E-50.0021445330.00245439910.00256412921.04470751.1E-40.0212395530.0242935570.0244496691.00642611.6E-4
6.12.1061249E-52.3864959E-56.3864005E-52.67605764.0E-59.0259375E-51.0227455E-41.4227047E-41.39106424.0E-50.00109835390.00124451030.00130443571.04815176.0E-50.010929410.012378450.0124574591.00638288.0E-5
6.22.1061249E-52.3864959E-56.3864005E-52.67605764.0E-59.0259375E-51.0227455E-41.4227047E-41.39106424.0E-50.00109835390.00124451030.00130443571.04815176.0E-50.010929410.012378450.0124574591.00638288.0E-5
6.31.5158236E-51.7074419E-55.7073736E-53.3426464.0E-56.496225E-57.3174095E-51.1317117E-41.54660154.0E-57.906284E-48.9054246E-49.4049796E-41.05609565.0E-50.0078782140.008870990.0089304581.00670366.0E-5
6.41.2341918E-51.3852917E-54.3852502E-53.16557883.0E-55.2892858E-55.9368336E-58.936656E-51.50528993.0E-56.437803E-47.225779E-47.5255625E-41.0414883.0E-50.0064191840.00720312170.00724283371.00551324.0E-5
6.59.061158E-61.0117032E-54.0116727E-53.96526673.0E-53.883296E-54.3358017E-57.3356714E-51.69188363.0E-54.726887E-45.277613E-45.5774546E-41.05681383.0E-50.0047168450.00526561770.0053054071.00755644.0E-5
6.67.5461685E-68.400734E-63.840048E-54.57108643.0E-53.2340322E-53.600267E-56.6001594E-51.83324153.0E-53.936723E-44.3824868E-44.6823552E-41.06842433.0E-50.0039297560.00437427360.0044140991.00910444.0E-5
6.75.5023775E-66.087381E-62.6087258E-54.28546522.0E-52.3581404E-52.6088532E-54.608801E-51.76660042.0E-52.8706578E-43.1758484E-43.3757847E-41.06295532.0E-50.00286695220.00317163160.00320153641.00942893.0E-5
6.83.7351679E-64.0831405E-62.408306E-55.89817052.0E-51.6007763E-51.7499071E-53.749872E-52.14289782.0E-51.948771E-42.1303285E-42.3302858E-41.09386232.0E-50.00194706290.00212853150.00215846771.01406423.0E-5
6.92.456366E-62.6292707E-61.2629244E-54.8033261.0E-51.0527241E-51.1268255E-52.1268143E-51.88743891.0E-51.2816161E-41.3718239E-41.4718101E-41.07288561.0E-50.00128087730.00137097990.00139095261.01456812.0E-5
7.02.3245157E-62.4827784E-61.2482754E-55.02773571.0E-59.962172E-61.0640436E-52.064033E-51.93980111.0E-51.2128269E-41.2953962E-41.3953833E-41.07718651.0E-50.00121216520.00129464340.00131461751.01542832.0E-5
7.12.2248344E-62.37325E-61.2373226E-55.2136211.0E-59.53497E-61.0171032E-52.017093E-51.98317431.0E-51.1608207E-41.238253E-41.3382405E-41.08074891.0E-50.00116021440.00123756510.00124755271.00807031.0E-5
7.22.1350402E-62.2761542E-61.2276131E-55.3933661.0E-59.150141E-69.75491E-61.9754812E-52.02511481.0E-51.1139726E-41.1875957E-41.2875839E-41.08419371.0E-50.00111341440.00118696290.00119695111.00841491.0E-5
7.31.9793572E-62.1087192E-61.2108698E-55.7422051.0E-58.482932E-69.037337E-61.9037247E-52.10651061.0E-51.032748E-41.1002403E-41.2002294E-41.09087921.0E-50.00103226820.00109969740.00110968641.00908341.0E-5
7.41.6951194E-61.8045735E-61.18045555E-56.54146581.0E-57.264777E-67.733864E-61.7733786E-52.29300481.0E-58.844508E-59.415574E-51.04154795E-41.1061971.0E-58.840988E-49.411601E-49.5115067E-41.01061521.0E-5
7.58.987207E-79.512216E-71.0951212E-511.5127881.0E-53.8516546E-64.0766577E-61.4076617E-53.45297981.0E-54.6892885E-54.9632188E-55.9631693E-51.20147221.0E-54.688299E-44.962122E-45.0620723E-41.02014271.0E-5
7.63.8783037E-74.0529335E-74.0529335E-71.00.01.6621291E-61.7369704E-61.7369704E-61.00.02.0236233E-52.1147416E-52.1147416E-51.00.02.023439E-42.114547E-42.114547E-41.00.0
7.76.181804E-86.339047E-86.339047E-81.00.02.6493444E-72.7167343E-72.7167343E-71.00.03.225572E-63.307619E-63.307619E-61.00.03.225525E-53.3075703E-53.3075703E-51.00.0
7.81.3704449E-91.3964153E-91.3964153E-91.00.05.873335E-95.984637E-95.984637E-91.00.07.1507856E-87.286295E-87.286295E-81.00.07.1507833E-77.286294E-77.286294E-71.00.0

San Jacinto (Anza) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.3015636E-54.3298347E-51.1329532E-42.61661987.0E-52.7003905E-41.8555121E-42.7553452E-41.48495139.0E-50.00328276910.00225675730.00239644151.0618961.4E-40.0323469680.023293610.0234694181.00754751.8E-4
6.16.3015636E-54.3298347E-51.1329532E-42.61661987.0E-52.7003905E-41.8555121E-42.7553452E-41.48495139.0E-50.00328276910.00225675730.00239644151.0618961.4E-40.0323469680.023293610.0234694181.00754751.8E-4
6.26.3015636E-54.3298347E-51.1329532E-42.61661987.0E-52.7003905E-41.8555121E-42.7553452E-41.48495139.0E-50.00328276910.00225675730.00239644151.0618961.4E-40.0323469680.023293610.0234694181.00754751.8E-4
6.36.3015636E-54.3298347E-51.1329532E-42.61661987.0E-52.7003905E-41.8555121E-42.7553452E-41.48495139.0E-50.00328276910.00225675730.00239644151.0618961.4E-40.0323469680.023293610.0234694181.00754751.8E-4
6.46.3015636E-54.3298347E-51.1329532E-42.61661987.0E-52.7003905E-41.8555121E-42.7553452E-41.48495139.0E-50.00328276910.00225675730.00239644151.0618961.4E-40.0323469680.023293610.0234694181.00754751.8E-4
6.55.811017E-54.0080286E-51.1007748E-42.74642477.0E-52.4901982E-41.7176138E-42.617459E-41.52389289.0E-50.00302760140.00208919470.00222890221.06687151.4E-40.029866840.0215908330.0217669481.00815691.8E-4
6.65.811017E-54.0080286E-51.1007748E-42.74642477.0E-52.4901982E-41.7176138E-42.617459E-41.52389289.0E-50.00302760140.00208919470.00222890221.06687151.4E-40.029866840.0215908330.0217669481.00815691.8E-4
6.75.712442E-53.950301E-51.09500244E-42.77194677.0E-52.4479596E-41.6928767E-42.5927243E-41.53154959.0E-50.00297631770.00205913440.00219884631.06784981.4E-40.0293676930.0212829190.0214590881.00827751.8E-4
6.85.6967532E-53.93593E-51.09356544E-42.77841697.0E-52.4412372E-41.6867183E-42.5865666E-41.53349059.0E-50.00296815530.00205165080.00219136361.06809771.4E-40.0292882290.021208520.0213847011.00830711.8E-4
6.95.6211324E-53.9064216E-51.0906148E-42.79185137.0E-52.4088343E-41.6740736E-42.573923E-41.53752089.0E-50.00292881160.00203628470.00217599961.06861271.4E-40.0289051090.0210475270.0212237391.00837211.8E-4
7.05.4383527E-53.7925012E-51.0792236E-42.84567767.0E-52.3305144E-41.6252567E-42.5251103E-41.55366879.0E-50.00283370940.0019769590.00211668221.07067581.4E-40.0279784650.020440950.020617271.00862591.8E-4
7.15.1393665E-53.638787E-51.0638532E-42.92364797.0E-52.2023996E-41.5593872E-42.459247E-41.57705979.0E-50.00267812420.00189690480.00202665831.06840261.3E-40.0264607820.0196160770.0197827421.00849641.7E-4
7.24.785222E-53.4738845E-51.0473641E-43.01496537.0E-52.0506482E-41.4887229E-42.3885889E-41.6044559.0E-50.00249380550.00181101670.00194078141.07165291.3E-40.0246600490.0187287830.01889561.0089071.7E-4
7.34.2143256E-53.3834414E-51.0383205E-43.06882957.0E-51.8060145E-41.449966E-42.3498354E-41.62061439.0E-50.0021966050.00176390750.00189367811.073571.3E-40.021750190.0182366950.0184035951.00915181.7E-4
7.44.0264713E-53.3472694E-51.0347035E-43.09118687.0E-51.7255165E-41.4344654E-42.3343362E-41.62732159.0E-50.0020987920.00174506590.00187483911.07436571.3E-40.0207908040.0180413890.0182083231.00925281.7E-4
7.53.694492E-53.2186905E-51.02184655E-43.17472747.0E-51.5832575E-41.379366E-42.2792419E-41.65238379.0E-50.00192591180.00167808760.00180786941.07733921.3E-40.019093060.0173578880.0175249371.00962381.7E-4
7.63.200565E-52.9502702E-59.9500634E-53.37259397.0E-51.3715986E-41.2643404E-42.1642266E-41.71174369.0E-50.0016686420.00153824970.00166804971.08438161.3E-40.016561680.0159460160.0161133051.0104911.7E-4
7.72.731642E-52.6091477E-59.608965E-53.68279867.0E-51.1706512E-41.11815825E-42.0180576E-41.8048059.0E-50.0014243360.00136050850.00149033161.09542251.3E-40.0141524120.01416680.0143343921.01182991.7E-4
7.82.3466424E-52.3503619E-59.350197E-53.97819477.0E-51.0056651E-41.0072591E-41.9071685E-41.89342399.0E-50.00122370940.00122564890.00135548961.10593631.3E-40.0121699280.0128087960.01297661851.01310221.7E-4
7.91.8611925E-51.890698E-58.8905654E-54.7022667.0E-57.9762955E-58.10274E-51.710201E-42.11064539.0E-59.7068126E-49.860628E-40.00111593471.13170741.3E-40.00966452250.0103937050.0105619381.0161861.7E-4
8.01.5460775E-51.5739915E-58.5738815E-55.44722187.0E-56.6258784E-56.745504E-51.5744897E-42.3341329.0E-58.0640207E-48.2095637E-49.508496E-41.1582221.3E-40.0080348210.0087027060.0088712271.01936411.7E-4
8.19.983884E-68.268954E-64.8268623E-55.8373314.0E-54.2787375E-53.5437897E-58.543613E-52.4108695.0E-55.2081177E-44.313715E-44.913456E-41.13903136.0E-50.00519592830.004639680.00470935551.01501737.0E-5
8.24.1226E-61.5522551E-61.5522551E-61.00.01.7668166E-56.6525045E-66.6525045E-61.00.02.1508869E-48.099126E-58.099126E-51.00.00.00214880649.401847E-49.401847E-41.00.0
8.31.2750878E-63.609817E-73.609817E-71.00.05.4646503E-61.5470634E-61.5470634E-61.00.06.653009E-51.8835339E-51.8835339E-51.00.06.6510175E-42.272251E-42.272251E-41.00.0

Camp Rock 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6710783E-54.249999E-67.42497E-517.4705227.0E-57.161568E-51.8214158E-59.82127E-55.39210758.0E-58.7157206E-42.2173533E-43.7170207E-41.67633211.5E-40.0086816160.00221519380.00238481721.07657281.7E-4
6.11.6710783E-54.249999E-67.42497E-517.4705227.0E-57.161568E-51.8214158E-59.82127E-55.39210758.0E-58.7157206E-42.2173533E-43.7170207E-41.67633211.5E-40.0086816160.00221519380.00238481721.07657281.7E-4
6.21.6710783E-54.249999E-67.42497E-517.4705227.0E-57.161568E-51.8214158E-59.82127E-55.39210758.0E-58.7157206E-42.2173533E-43.7170207E-41.67633211.5E-40.0086816160.00221519380.00238481721.07657281.7E-4
6.31.6710783E-54.249999E-67.42497E-517.4705227.0E-57.161568E-51.8214158E-59.82127E-55.39210758.0E-58.7157206E-42.2173533E-43.7170207E-41.67633211.5E-40.0086816160.00221519380.00238481721.07657281.7E-4
6.47.982846E-63.6820359E-67.3681775E-520.0111527.0E-53.421175E-51.578006E-59.57788E-56.0696098.0E-54.1644843E-41.9210564E-43.3207875E-41.72862571.4E-40.00415668870.00191943060.00206914261.07799821.5E-4
6.57.982846E-63.6820359E-67.3681775E-520.0111527.0E-53.421175E-51.578006E-59.57788E-56.0696098.0E-54.1644843E-41.9210564E-43.3207875E-41.72862571.4E-40.00415668870.00191943060.00206914261.07799821.5E-4
6.67.048869E-63.4242998E-65.342413E-515.6014755.0E-53.0209088E-51.467549E-57.467461E-55.08838946.0E-53.677336E-41.7865976E-42.9863833E-41.67154781.2E-40.00367125660.00178519290.00191496081.07269121.3E-4
6.76.987307E-63.3622775E-65.336211E-515.8708235.0E-52.9945259E-51.4409683E-57.440882E-55.1638076.0E-53.6452254E-41.7542407E-42.9540304E-41.68393661.2E-40.00363925170.00175288720.00188265931.07403341.3E-4
6.86.3737602E-63.1178672E-65.311771E-517.0365525.0E-52.731583E-51.3362222E-57.336142E-55.49021156.0E-53.3251947E-41.6267318E-42.8265367E-41.73755541.2E-40.00332022370.00162556980.00175535841.0798421.3E-4
6.96.112211E-62.933078E-65.293293E-518.0468885.0E-52.6194928E-51.2570275E-57.256952E-55.7731056.0E-53.1887658E-41.5303263E-42.630158E-41.7186911.1E-40.0031841940.00152930020.00164911671.07834721.2E-4
7.05.5140117E-62.64191E-65.264178E-519.9256525.0E-52.3631264E-51.1322423E-57.1321745E-56.2991596.0E-52.8767265E-41.3784204E-42.478269E-41.79790481.1E-40.00287300530.00137759070.00149742541.08698861.2E-4
7.14.8151105E-62.1342612E-65.2134154E-524.4272615.0E-52.0636026E-59.146803E-66.9146256E-57.55960946.0E-52.5121463E-41.1135685E-42.213446E-41.98770521.1E-40.00250930830.00111303250.00123289891.10769361.2E-4
7.23.818335E-61.2937372E-63.1293697E-524.1886043.0E-51.6364189E-55.5445767E-63.554441E-56.41066273.0E-51.9921579E-46.750321E-51.2749917E-41.88878666.0E-50.00199037286.7483535E-47.347948E-41.08885066.0E-5
7.32.7166698E-67.383078E-77.383078E-71.00.01.1642818E-53.1641725E-63.1641725E-61.00.01.4174209E-43.852314E-54.8522754E-51.25957431.0E-50.00141651723.8516664E-43.951628E-41.02595281.0E-5
7.42.0893426E-65.4614605E-75.4614605E-71.00.08.954295E-62.340624E-62.340624E-61.00.01.0901308E-42.8496728E-52.8496728E-51.00.00.00108959622.849313E-42.849313E-41.00.0
7.51.1681728E-63.6028484E-73.6028484E-71.00.05.0064455E-61.544077E-61.544077E-61.00.06.0951766E-51.879898E-51.879898E-51.00.06.093505E-41.8797436E-41.8797436E-41.00.0
7.61.3154387E-77.1196716E-87.1196716E-81.00.05.6375933E-73.0512876E-73.0512876E-71.00.06.863748E-63.714938E-63.714938E-61.00.06.863536E-53.7148915E-53.7148915E-51.00.0

Cleghorn Pass

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.0522846E-51.1040642E-53.104042E-52.81146882.0E-54.509713E-54.7316473E-58.7314584E-51.84533154.0E-55.4891926E-45.759784E-46.7592086E-41.17351761.0E-40.00547565330.0057500220.00589915921.02593681.5E-4
6.11.0522846E-51.1040642E-53.104042E-52.81146882.0E-54.509713E-54.7316473E-58.7314584E-51.84533154.0E-55.4891926E-45.759784E-46.7592086E-41.17351761.0E-40.00547565330.0057500220.00589915921.02593681.5E-4
6.22.1045846E-62.2082024E-61.220818E-55.528561.0E-59.019617E-69.463714E-61.946362E-52.05665761.0E-51.098083E-41.1521882E-41.5521422E-41.34712554.0E-50.00109754060.00115200230.00120194471.04335275.0E-5
6.32.1045846E-62.2082024E-61.220818E-55.528561.0E-59.019617E-69.463714E-61.946362E-52.05665761.0E-51.098083E-41.1521882E-41.5521422E-41.34712554.0E-50.00109754060.00115200230.00120194471.04335275.0E-5
6.41.7259927E-61.810877E-61.1810859E-56.5221761.0E-57.3970905E-67.760902E-61.7760824E-52.28851.0E-59.005586E-59.4488976E-51.2448615E-41.31746733.0E-59.001937E-49.448898E-49.7486144E-41.03171973.0E-5

Red Mountain

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.1810763E-54.7590016E-59.758764E-52.05059055.0E-51.7917668E-42.039422E-42.6392995E-41.2941416.0E-50.00217929340.00248033340.0025601351.03217388.0E-50.0215804520.024544110.0246611651.00476921.2E-4
6.14.1810763E-54.7590016E-59.758764E-52.05059055.0E-51.7917668E-42.039422E-42.6392995E-41.2941416.0E-50.00217929340.00248033340.0025601351.03217388.0E-50.0215804520.024544110.0246611651.00476921.2E-4
6.24.1810763E-54.7590016E-59.758764E-52.05059055.0E-51.7917668E-42.039422E-42.6392995E-41.2941416.0E-50.00217929340.00248033340.0025601351.03217388.0E-50.0215804520.024544110.0246611651.00476921.2E-4
6.34.1810763E-54.7590016E-59.758764E-52.05059055.0E-51.7917668E-42.039422E-42.6392995E-41.2941416.0E-50.00217929340.00248033340.0025601351.03217388.0E-50.0215804520.024544110.0246611651.00476921.2E-4
6.44.1810763E-54.7590016E-59.758764E-52.05059055.0E-51.7917668E-42.039422E-42.6392995E-41.2941416.0E-50.00217929340.00248033340.0025601351.03217388.0E-50.0215804520.024544110.0246611651.00476921.2E-4
6.53.154503E-53.5359757E-56.53587E-51.84839213.0E-51.3518598E-41.5153353E-41.9152748E-41.26392794.0E-50.00164464670.00184345180.00190334121.03248766.0E-50.016325280.0182912440.0183894151.0053671.0E-4
6.63.1535834E-53.5349138E-56.534808E-51.8486473.0E-51.3514658E-41.5148803E-41.9148197E-41.26400724.0E-50.00164416760.00184289870.00190278821.03249746.0E-50.016320560.0182858050.0183839761.00536871.0E-4
6.72.8267326E-53.1469353E-56.146841E-51.95327843.0E-51.2114006E-41.3486217E-41.7485677E-41.29655914.0E-50.00147388240.00164079540.00169071331.0304235.0E-50.0146414520.016295570.0163841041.0054339.0E-5
6.82.8212884E-53.1407242E-56.1406296E-51.95516373.0E-51.20906756E-41.3459599E-41.745906E-41.29714564.0E-50.00147104570.00163755950.00168747771.03048325.0E-50.0146134590.0162636880.0163522231.00544389.0E-5
6.92.4227871E-52.6706994E-54.670646E-51.74884752.0E-51.03829596E-41.1445395E-41.4445052E-41.26208413.0E-50.00126339230.00139266210.00143260641.0286824.0E-50.0125623360.01384703350.0139259261.00569748.0E-5
7.02.348524E-52.5835778E-54.5835262E-51.77410032.0E-51.0064714E-41.10720495E-41.4071717E-41.27092253.0E-50.00122469010.0013472640.00138721011.02964994.0E-50.0121796270.0133985980.0134775261.00589078.0E-5
7.12.2311642E-52.4462845E-54.4462355E-51.81754642.0E-59.561782E-51.04836974E-41.3483383E-41.28612863.0E-50.00116352520.00127571760.00131566661.03131484.0E-50.011574520.012691460.0127704441.00622348.0E-5
7.21.6533986E-51.7670362E-53.7670008E-52.13181882.0E-57.085802E-57.572828E-59.572677E-51.26408212.0E-58.623549E-49.2166534E-49.516377E-41.03251983.0E-50.0085901610.0091847070.0092441561.00647266.0E-5
7.31.4703092E-51.5559537E-53.5559224E-52.28536532.0E-56.301173E-56.668237E-58.668104E-51.29990942.0E-57.668978E-48.1161706E-48.4159273E-41.03693333.0E-50.00764256580.0080926040.0081521181.00735416.0E-5
7.46.1331984E-65.5288874E-61.5528833E-52.80867221.0E-52.6284872E-52.3695018E-53.369478E-51.42201961.0E-53.199713E-42.884492E-42.984463E-41.03465821.0E-50.00319510980.00288080240.0029107161.01038373.0E-5
7.55.954766E-65.338517E-61.5338464E-52.87316941.0E-52.5520176E-52.2879161E-53.2878932E-51.43706891.0E-53.1066386E-42.785187E-42.885159E-41.03589431.0E-50.0031022990.00278175040.00281166681.01075463.0E-5
7.64.9726646E-64.315309E-61.4315266E-53.3173211.0E-52.1311245E-51.8494053E-52.8493867E-51.54070441.0E-52.5943352E-42.2514217E-42.3513992E-41.04440641.0E-50.00259130840.00224917540.0022791081.01330823.0E-5
7.73.3613894E-62.8526886E-62.8526886E-61.00.01.4405875E-51.22257525E-51.22257525E-51.00.01.7537741E-41.4883863E-41.4883863E-41.00.00.00175239080.00148741570.00149740091.0067131.0E-5
7.81.1828961E-61.0122935E-61.0122935E-61.00.05.069545E-64.338394E-64.338394E-61.00.06.171996E-55.281869E-55.281869E-51.00.06.170282E-45.280643E-45.280643E-41.00.0
7.92.2967266E-71.861919E-71.861919E-71.00.09.843111E-77.97965E-77.97965E-71.00.01.19839215E-59.715184E-69.715184E-61.00.01.1983275E-49.714788E-59.714788E-51.00.0

Brawley (Seismic Zone) alt 1

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.2521618E-44.763429E-45.463095E-41.1468837.0E-59.6485513E-40.00203990940.00213970551.04892181.0E-40.0116839880.0245445310.0246615861.00476911.2E-40.110884230.213499230.21361721.00055251.5E-4
6.12.2521618E-44.763429E-45.363143E-41.12589976.0E-59.6485513E-40.00203990940.00212972591.04402969.0E-50.0116839880.0245445310.0246518311.00437161.1E-40.110884230.213499230.213609341.00051571.4E-4
6.22.198148E-44.6718874E-45.271607E-41.12836786.0E-59.417233E-40.00200073770.00209055771.04489349.0E-50.0114053430.0240785130.0241858641.00445841.1E-40.108374280.209935720.210046341.00052691.4E-4
6.32.1704129E-44.615455E-45.215178E-41.1299386.0E-59.298453E-40.00197658920.00206641131.04544299.0E-50.0112622340.0237920340.0238994171.00451341.1E-40.1070827250.207826840.207937731.00053361.4E-4
6.41.876142E-44.004663E-44.6044227E-41.14976546.0E-58.038131E-40.00171516950.00179503231.04656278.0E-50.009742590.0206786620.0207765941.0047361.0E-40.0932636860.184577870.184683871.00057441.3E-4
6.51.7390939E-43.7478763E-44.3476516E-41.16003066.0E-57.45113E-40.00160525610.00168512771.04975638.0E-50.0090340780.0193672930.0194653571.00506331.0E-40.0867552160.174400150.174507481.00061541.3E-4
6.61.591791E-43.4893592E-44.08915E-41.17189136.0E-56.8201777E-40.00149459260.00157447311.05344638.0E-50.0082719960.0180450080.0181432031.00544171.0E-40.079707740.163807870.163916571.00066361.3E-4
6.71.4268003E-43.2059717E-43.8057796E-41.18709086.0E-56.1134255E-40.00137327260.00145316281.0581758.0E-50.0074177230.016591710.0166802161.00533449.0E-50.071749560.151935940.15203771.00066981.2E-4
6.81.239713E-42.9055026E-43.5053285E-41.20644476.0E-55.3119735E-40.00124462740.00131454031.05617187.0E-50.00644816740.0150494820.0151282781.00523588.0E-50.062642430.138380510.138475281.00068491.1E-4
6.91.0180238E-42.6255674E-43.22541E-41.2284626.0E-54.3622297E-40.00112476220.00119468351.06216547.0E-50.0052980890.0136089980.0136879091.00579858.0E-50.051735430.124964730.125060981.00077021.1E-4
7.07.6619996E-52.2400476E-42.8399134E-41.26779146.0E-53.283301E-49.596704E-40.00102960321.07287177.0E-50.00399009320.0116221030.0117011731.00680348.0E-50.0391920660.107269820.107368021.00091541.1E-4
7.17.5127435E-52.2083633E-42.808231E-41.27163456.0E-53.2193496E-49.461013E-40.00101603511.07391797.0E-50.00391251550.0114586480.0115377321.00690168.0E-50.0384434420.105833780.105932141.00092941.1E-4
7.26.788582E-52.0211334E-42.621012E-41.29680316.0E-52.9090676E-48.6591556E-49.358549E-41.08076937.0E-50.00353603860.01049220.0105713611.00754488.0E-50.0348030.0975036840.0976029561.00101821.1E-4
7.36.399602E-51.8842232E-42.48411E-41.31837376.0E-52.7423984E-48.0727716E-48.7722065E-41.08664127.0E-50.00333375860.0097848970.0098641131.00809598.0E-50.032841880.0913979860.0914979351.00109351.1E-4
7.44.506759E-51.2530042E-41.852929E-41.47878926.0E-51.9313251E-45.3689216E-46.0685456E-41.130317.0E-50.00234885260.0065172450.00659672361.01219518.0E-50.0232418050.0623645220.062467661.00165381.1E-4
7.53.43289E-59.336103E-51.4335636E-41.53550545.0E-51.4711556E-44.0005764E-44.6003365E-41.14991846.0E-50.00178966030.0048598860.00492954631.01433367.0E-50.017753160.0470570660.0471523631.00202511.0E-4
7.62.5980507E-57.053672E-51.105339E-41.56704044.0E-51.1134028E-43.0226534E-43.4225325E-41.1322944.0E-50.0013547250.00367389480.00372371121.01355965.0E-50.0134649590.035842980.0359201131.0021528.0E-5
7.71.7292105E-54.9412036E-58.941006E-51.80947944.0E-57.4106916E-52.1174872E-42.5174025E-41.18886324.0E-59.018782E-40.00257499840.00262486961.01936755.0E-50.0089822670.0252920970.0253700731.0030838.0E-5
7.81.2927471E-53.9697254E-57.969567E-52.00758624.0E-55.5402274E-51.7012001E-42.1011321E-41.23508814.0E-56.743139E-40.00206924630.00211914281.02411345.0E-50.00672271430.0204331450.020511511.00383528.0E-5
7.91.0200774E-52.8748475E-56.874732E-52.3913384.0E-54.371687E-51.2320194E-41.6319701E-41.32463034.0E-55.321229E-40.00149895260.00154887771.03330665.0E-50.0053085050.0149928950.0150716951.00525588.0E-5
8.08.650396E-62.3279512E-56.327858E-52.7182094.0E-53.70726E-59.976552E-51.3976153E-41.40090014.0E-54.5126543E-40.00121396930.00126390861.04113725.0E-50.00450350160.0122121640.01229118651.00647088.0E-5
8.13.9368224E-67.3283345E-61.732826E-52.36455661.0E-51.6871985E-53.1406773E-54.1406456E-51.31839261.0E-52.0539707E-43.8231048E-43.9230665E-41.02614681.0E-50.00205207310.00400153130.00401149131.00248911.0E-5
8.21.7101195E-62.2178374E-61.2217815E-55.5088871.0E-57.329063E-69.504983E-61.9504889E-52.05206971.0E-58.922769E-51.15717055E-41.257159E-41.08640771.0E-58.9191867E-40.001266690.00127667741.00788461.0E-5
8.33.0346666E-81.721086E-81.721086E-81.00.01.3005713E-77.376083E-87.376083E-81.00.01.5834444E-68.98038E-78.98038E-71.00.01.5834332E-59.36379E-69.36379E-61.00.0

San Clemente

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.681379E-58.163834E-51.4163344E-41.73488886.0E-52.8631336E-43.4983488E-44.198104E-41.20002447.0E-50.0034802940.004251410.0043509851.02342161.0E-40.034262910.041756030.041890181.00321281.4E-4
6.16.681379E-58.163834E-51.1163589E-41.36744443.0E-52.8631336E-43.4983488E-43.798244E-41.08572473.0E-50.0034802940.004251410.0043111551.0140536.0E-50.034262910.041756030.041842271.00206549.0E-5
6.23.9400576E-54.6452373E-55.6451907E-51.21526421.0E-51.6884868E-41.9906677E-42.0906478E-41.05022441.0E-50.00205379450.00242099840.00246090161.01648214.0E-50.0203491670.0239529030.0240114671.00244496.0E-5
6.33.2590255E-53.792912E-54.7928737E-51.26363971.0E-51.3966505E-41.6254342E-41.725418E-41.0615121.0E-50.00169909560.00197720020.0020171211.02019064.0E-50.016861630.0195998830.0196489021.0025015.0E-5
6.42.9454652E-53.4097764E-54.409742E-51.29326441.0E-51.2622811E-41.4612524E-41.5612377E-41.06842451.0E-50.00153574380.00177764930.00181757821.02246174.0E-50.0152517390.017637470.0176865891.00278485.0E-5
6.52.790836E-53.2247463E-54.224714E-51.3100921.0E-51.1960178E-41.3819624E-41.4819486E-41.07235091.0E-50.0014551790.00168126620.00171121581.01781373.0E-50.0144568680.0166884850.0167278161.00235694.0E-5
6.62.2492153E-52.5762702E-52.5762702E-51.00.09.639138E-51.1040699E-41.1040699E-41.00.00.00117293310.00134339090.0013633641.01486772.0E-50.0116676150.0133544170.013374151.00147762.0E-5
6.71.9862755E-52.2666423E-52.2666423E-51.00.08.512331E-59.713826E-59.713826E-51.00.00.00103588360.00118202790.00118202791.00.00.0103106820.0117587010.0117587011.00.0
6.81.6697575E-51.897771E-51.897771E-51.00.07.155907E-58.133056E-58.133056E-51.00.08.7088346E-49.897591E-49.897591E-41.00.00.0086747840.00985453650.00985453651.00.0
6.91.5218415E-51.72694E-51.72694E-51.00.06.522015E-57.4009666E-57.4009666E-51.00.07.93766E-49.00704E-49.00704E-41.00.00.0079093670.0089714810.0089714811.00.0
7.01.2392958E-51.4033016E-51.4033016E-51.00.05.3111595E-56.014015E-56.014015E-51.00.06.4644177E-47.319679E-47.319679E-41.00.00.00644564540.00729635640.00729635641.00.0
7.11.0934128E-51.2375138E-51.2375138E-51.00.04.6859706E-55.303527E-55.303527E-51.00.05.7036756E-46.455204E-46.455204E-41.00.00.00568905850.00643719970.00643719971.00.0
7.29.5798805E-61.0844935E-51.0844935E-51.00.04.1055984E-54.6477508E-54.6477508E-51.00.04.9974193E-45.657239E-45.657239E-41.00.00.00498619630.00564356150.00564356151.00.0
7.38.0167365E-69.083918E-69.083918E-61.00.03.4356988E-53.8930535E-53.8930535E-51.00.04.1821605E-44.7388324E-44.7388324E-41.00.00.00417429860.00472942970.00472942971.00.0
7.42.9581017E-63.3623792E-63.3623792E-61.00.01.2677518E-51.4410146E-51.4410146E-51.00.01.5433785E-41.7543444E-41.7543444E-41.00.00.0015423070.00175345460.00175345461.00.0

Rose Canyon

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5923203E-54.9714607E-59.9712124E-52.00569065.0E-51.9679888E-42.1304654E-42.7303377E-41.28156866.0E-50.00239339330.00259094780.00267074051.03079688.0E-50.0236777980.0256185180.025754931.00532481.4E-4
6.14.5923203E-54.9714607E-56.971361E-51.40227632.0E-51.9679888E-42.1304654E-42.3304229E-41.09385622.0E-50.00239339330.00259094780.002620871.01154883.0E-50.0236777980.0256185180.0256867241.00266247.0E-5
6.22.8844734E-52.9669678E-54.9669085E-51.67406892.0E-51.2361443E-41.2714976E-41.4714722E-41.15727482.0E-50.00150396650.0015469760.00156694511.01290852.0E-50.01493828650.0153648730.0154239521.0038456.0E-5
6.32.3171577E-52.3162425E-54.3161963E-51.86344742.0E-59.9302975E-59.926383E-51.19261844E-41.20146322.0E-50.00120834310.00120788040.00122785631.01653792.0E-50.0120179380.0120121520.0120615511.00411255.0E-5
6.42.0066604E-51.9668067E-53.9667673E-52.01685672.0E-58.599689E-58.428905E-51.0428736E-41.23725882.0E-50.00104650920.0010257460.00104572551.0194782.0E-50.0104159460.0102114790.010251071.00387724.0E-5
6.51.776989E-51.7115402E-52.7115231E-51.5842591.0E-57.615444E-57.33497E-58.334896E-51.13632321.0E-59.267859E-48.926737E-49.0266473E-41.01119231.0E-50.0092293030.0088746630.00890439751.00335043.0E-5
6.61.5227364E-51.4340872E-51.4340872E-51.00.06.52585E-56.145947E-56.145947E-51.00.07.942326E-47.480173E-47.480173E-41.00.00.0079140.00744103360.00746088471.00266782.0E-5
6.71.2703898E-51.1674277E-51.1674277E-51.00.05.4444143E-55.0031682E-55.0031682E-51.00.06.626558E-46.089697E-46.089697E-41.00.00.0066068330.00606230930.0060821881.00327912.0E-5
6.81.1554917E-51.0610384E-51.0610384E-51.00.04.9520135E-54.547231E-54.547231E-51.00.06.0274085E-45.5348873E-45.5348873E-41.00.00.00601108650.0055044140.00552430381.00361352.0E-5
6.98.732078E-67.882285E-67.882285E-61.00.03.7422655E-53.37808E-53.37808E-51.00.04.5552556E-44.112066E-44.112066E-41.00.00.00454592940.0040895150.00410943341.00487052.0E-5
7.05.9337494E-65.107436E-65.107436E-61.00.02.5430107E-52.1888829E-52.1888829E-51.00.03.0956755E-42.6646405E-42.6646405E-41.00.00.00309136670.0026614610.00268140781.00749472.0E-5
7.15.013409E-64.17734E-64.17734E-61.00.02.1485863E-51.7902763E-51.7902763E-51.00.02.6155898E-42.1794444E-42.1794444E-41.00.00.00261251330.00217731880.00219727521.00916562.0E-5
7.24.120763E-63.2820917E-63.2820917E-61.00.01.7660293E-51.4066032E-51.4066032E-51.00.02.1499286E-41.7124058E-41.7124058E-41.00.00.00214784990.00171109580.00171109581.00.0
7.33.2081239E-62.4404965E-62.4404965E-61.00.01.374903E-51.0459229E-51.0459229E-51.00.01.6738157E-41.2733374E-41.2733374E-41.00.00.00167255560.00127261480.00127261481.00.0
7.42.4194755E-61.7680321E-61.7680321E-61.00.01.0369139E-57.5772587E-67.5772587E-61.00.01.2623696E-49.224927E-59.224927E-51.00.00.00126165279.221151E-49.221151E-41.00.0
7.51.3842889E-69.3782967E-79.3782967E-71.00.05.9326535E-64.019264E-64.019264E-61.00.07.222766E-54.8933474E-54.8933474E-51.00.07.220419E-44.8923056E-44.8923056E-41.00.0
7.61.0021575E-66.4113493E-76.4113493E-71.00.04.2949537E-62.7477186E-62.7477186E-61.00.05.2289808E-53.345298E-53.345298E-51.00.05.2277505E-43.344816E-43.344816E-41.00.0
7.78.7620116E-86.449304E-86.449304E-81.00.03.7551473E-72.763987E-72.763987E-71.00.04.5718825E-63.3651493E-63.3651493E-61.00.04.5717883E-53.3651013E-53.3651013E-51.00.0

White Mountains

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.503579E-53.3784127E-55.378345E-51.5919742.0E-51.5014476E-41.4478175E-41.8477596E-41.2762384.0E-50.00182647960.00176141340.00187121961.06233991.1E-40.0181154030.0174868570.0176047591.00674221.2E-4
6.13.503579E-53.3784127E-55.378345E-51.5919742.0E-51.5014476E-41.4478175E-41.8477596E-41.2762384.0E-50.00182647960.00176141340.00187121961.06233991.1E-40.0181154030.0174868570.0176047591.00674221.2E-4
6.23.503579E-53.3784127E-55.378345E-51.5919742.0E-51.5014476E-41.4478175E-41.8477596E-41.2762384.0E-50.00182647960.00176141340.00187121961.06233991.1E-40.0181154030.0174868570.0176047591.00674221.2E-4
6.31.7818425E-51.591616E-52.5916E-51.62828231.0E-57.636245E-56.821041E-57.820973E-51.14659521.0E-59.293162E-48.301596E-48.8011805E-41.06017945.0E-50.0092543950.00827204250.0083216291.00599445.0E-5
6.41.7818425E-51.591616E-52.5916E-51.62828231.0E-57.636245E-56.821041E-57.820973E-51.14659521.0E-59.293162E-48.301596E-48.8011805E-41.06017945.0E-50.0092543950.00827204250.0083216291.00599445.0E-5
6.51.3397557E-51.1336374E-52.133626E-51.88210631.0E-55.741684E-54.8583595E-55.8583108E-51.20582081.0E-56.988258E-45.913517E-46.2133395E-41.05070133.0E-50.0069663230.0058984870.00592830961.0050563.0E-5
6.61.0818695E-58.625434E-68.625434E-61.00.04.6365014E-53.6965648E-53.6965648E-51.00.05.6434784E-44.4996818E-44.6995917E-41.04442762.0E-50.0056291680.00449100740.00452087261.006653.0E-5
6.79.067908E-66.802476E-66.802476E-61.00.03.8861883E-52.915316E-52.915316E-51.00.04.7304068E-43.548851E-43.6488156E-41.02816811.0E-50.004720350.0035435010.00355346551.0028121.0E-5
6.87.295947E-64.9364285E-64.9364285E-61.00.03.126797E-52.1155956E-52.1155956E-51.00.03.8062103E-42.5754445E-42.6754188E-41.03881821.0E-50.00379969760.00257257280.0025825471.00387721.0E-5
6.96.2243444E-63.8322546E-63.8322546E-61.00.02.6675489E-51.6423846E-51.6423846E-51.00.03.2472567E-41.9994251E-41.9994251E-41.00.00.00324251570.0019976790.0019976791.00.0
7.04.9878413E-62.679564E-62.679564E-61.00.02.1376287E-51.1483797E-51.1483797E-51.00.02.602252E-41.3980652E-41.3980652E-41.00.00.0025992070.00139721190.00139721191.00.0
7.14.0252844E-61.885702E-61.885702E-61.00.01.7251105E-58.081555E-68.081555E-61.00.02.1001195E-49.838863E-59.838863E-51.00.00.00209813599.834635E-49.834635E-41.00.0
7.23.3284066E-61.2818929E-61.2818929E-61.00.01.4264522E-55.4938155E-65.4938155E-61.00.01.736567E-46.688525E-56.688525E-51.00.00.00173521076.6866126E-46.6866126E-41.00.0
7.32.458226E-66.056684E-76.056684E-71.00.01.0535211E-52.5957193E-62.5957193E-61.00.01.2825865E-43.160246E-53.160246E-51.00.00.00128184643.1598343E-43.1598343E-41.00.0
7.41.965953E-63.1084684E-73.1084684E-71.00.08.425486E-61.3322001E-61.3322001E-61.00.01.0257547E-41.6219417E-51.6219417E-51.00.00.00102528131.6218246E-41.6218246E-41.00.0
7.51.2014192E-61.8241002E-71.8241002E-71.00.05.148929E-67.8175697E-77.8175697E-71.00.06.2686406E-59.51785E-69.51785E-61.00.06.266873E-49.517451E-59.517451E-51.00.0
7.62.5612175E-74.893784E-84.893784E-81.00.01.0976642E-62.0973359E-72.0973359E-71.00.01.3363979E-52.5535037E-62.5535037E-61.00.01.3363175E-42.553478E-52.553478E-51.00.0

Owens Valley

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.83821E-53.6210524E-64.362091E-512.0464734.0E-52.0733538E-41.551871E-57.5517775E-54.8662416.0E-50.0025213861.889249E-42.88906E-41.52921091.0E-40.0249296910.00192971410.0020694441.07240961.4E-4
6.14.83821E-53.6210524E-64.362091E-512.0464734.0E-52.0733538E-41.551871E-57.5517775E-54.8662416.0E-50.0025213861.889249E-42.88906E-41.52921091.0E-40.0249296910.00192971410.0020694441.07240961.4E-4
6.24.83821E-53.6210524E-64.362091E-512.0464734.0E-52.0733538E-41.551871E-57.5517775E-54.8662416.0E-50.0025213861.889249E-42.88906E-41.52921091.0E-40.0249296910.00192971410.0020694441.07240961.4E-4
6.33.953008E-53.1530958E-64.315297E-513.68590454.0E-51.6940363E-41.3513202E-56.3512525E-54.7000355.0E-50.0020605381.6451156E-42.5449676E-41.54698419.0E-50.0204153640.00166216270.00178196331.07207511.2E-4
6.43.953008E-53.1530958E-64.315297E-513.68590454.0E-51.6940363E-41.3513202E-56.3512525E-54.7000355.0E-50.0020605381.6451156E-42.5449676E-41.54698419.0E-50.0204153640.00166216270.00178196331.07207511.2E-4
6.53.457342E-52.9707387E-64.297062E-514.4646244.0E-51.4816338E-41.273168E-56.2731044E-54.92716175.0E-50.00180239651.5499788E-42.449839E-41.58056329.0E-50.0178784770.00155631190.00167612511.07698541.2E-4
6.63.1127765E-52.8737306E-64.2873617E-514.9191494.0E-51.3339789E-41.2315934E-56.231532E-55.05973155.0E-50.00162290921.4993687E-42.3992338E-41.60016269.0E-50.0161110810.00150134380.00162116361.07980841.2E-4
6.72.806885E-52.8101606E-64.2810047E-515.2340224.0E-51.2028952E-41.2043493E-56.204289E-55.15156945.0E-50.0014635411.4662035E-42.3660716E-41.61374029.0E-50.0145393970.00146560870.00158543281.08175721.2E-4
6.82.524524E-52.2351392E-64.223505E-518.8959374.0E-51.0818939E-49.579134E-65.9578655E-56.21962835.0E-50.00131640991.16620016E-42.0660952E-41.77164719.0E-50.013086390.0011658270.00128568721.10281121.2E-4
6.92.2704568E-51.6079711E-64.1607906E-525.876034.0E-59.730166E-56.8912864E-65.689094E-58.2554895.0E-50.00118400398.38982E-51.7389064E-42.07263859.0E-50.0117771538.38853E-49.5875235E-41.14293241.2E-4
7.02.0871712E-51.5393621E-64.15393E-526.9847494.0E-58.944713E-56.5972495E-65.659692E-58.5788665.0E-50.00108847468.031857E-51.7031134E-42.12044799.0E-50.0108315868.030395E-49.229432E-41.14931231.2E-4
7.11.944928E-51.3862556E-64.13862E-529.854674.0E-58.335139E-55.941082E-65.5940785E-59.4159265.0E-50.00101433087.233028E-51.6232378E-42.24420219.0E-50.0100971337.2319806E-48.4311125E-41.16580961.2E-4
7.21.7876306E-51.2487686E-64.1248717E-533.0315174.0E-57.6610486E-55.3518543E-65.5351586E-510.3425065.0E-59.3233347E-46.515689E-51.5515102E-42.38119159.0E-50.0092843166.5148395E-47.7140576E-41.18407491.2E-4
7.31.2618672E-51.1113839E-64.111134E-536.9911234.0E-55.40789E-54.763065E-65.4762826E-511.4973925.0E-56.582117E-45.7988782E-51.4798356E-42.55193429.0E-50.00656265535.7983754E-46.8977376E-41.18959831.1E-4
7.47.4874442E-68.547518E-74.0854717E-547.7971734.0E-53.208865E-53.6632168E-65.3663032E-514.6491565.0E-53.906093E-44.4598757E-51.2459519E-42.79369198.0E-50.0038992344.459579E-45.459133E-41.22413641.0E-4
7.52.4734156E-66.0679935E-74.0606774E-566.919614.0E-51.060031E-52.6005662E-65.2600437E-520.2265325.0E-51.2905113E-43.1661435E-51.11658905E-43.5266538.0E-50.00128976213.1656958E-44.1653792E-41.31578641.0E-4
7.61.1328841E-63.1961991E-74.0319606E-5126.1486054.0E-54.8552088E-61.369799E-64.1369745E-530.2013244.0E-55.9110564E-51.6677177E-57.667617E-54.5976716.0E-55.9094845E-41.6675945E-42.467461E-41.4796538.0E-5
7.74.8613185E-78.962742E-81.0089627E-5112.572991.0E-52.0834207E-63.8411747E-71.0384114E-527.0336931.0E-52.536535E-54.676621E-61.4676574E-53.1382861.0E-52.5362454E-44.676529E-56.6764354E-51.42764762.0E-5

Big Pine (Central)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2706755E-51.4250602E-53.425032E-52.40342952.0E-55.4456385E-56.107279E-51.11069734E-41.81864525.0E-56.628048E-47.433441E-48.232846E-41.10754188.0E-50.0066083140.0074136390.00752282381.01472751.1E-4
6.18.342579E-69.510835E-62.9510646E-53.10284472.0E-53.5753423E-54.076021E-59.075817E-52.22663645.0E-54.3521097E-44.9616426E-45.661296E-41.14101237.0E-50.00434359630.0049541550.00505365941.02008511.0E-4
6.26.923899E-67.967221E-62.7967062E-53.51026562.0E-52.9673516E-53.4144894E-58.414319E-52.46429785.0E-53.6121515E-44.1565404E-44.8562494E-41.16833937.0E-50.0036062860.00415210940.00425169431.02398421.0E-4
6.32.728396E-63.4243646E-61.342433E-53.92023971.0E-51.1693074E-51.4675771E-53.467548E-52.36277032.0E-51.4235388E-41.7866373E-42.0865837E-41.16788323.0E-50.00142262720.00178674330.00181668971.01676033.0E-5
6.42.7136944E-63.4086581E-61.3408624E-53.93369581.0E-51.1630066E-51.4608458E-53.4608165E-52.36904982.0E-51.4158686E-41.7784433E-42.07839E-41.16865683.0E-50.00141496690.00177856230.0018085091.01683763.0E-5
6.52.6971882E-63.3910032E-61.3390969E-53.94896981.0E-51.1559327E-51.4532795E-53.4532502E-52.37617782.0E-51.4072572E-41.7692328E-42.0691798E-41.1695353.0E-50.00140636640.00176936660.00179931351.01692523.0E-5
6.62.669092E-63.3610236E-61.336099E-53.9752741.0E-51.1438916E-51.4404312E-53.4404024E-52.3884532.0E-51.3925991E-41.7535927E-42.05354E-41.17104733.0E-50.00139172670.00175375110.00178369841.01707613.0E-5
6.72.6408059E-63.3310494E-61.3331016E-54.0020471.0E-51.1317691E-51.4275853E-53.4275567E-52.4009472.0E-51.3778417E-41.737955E-42.0379029E-41.17258673.0E-50.00137698770.00173813810.0017680861.01722983.0E-5
6.82.1786943E-62.8545066E-61.2854478E-54.50322251.0E-59.337228E-61.2233547E-53.2233304E-52.63482882.0E-51.1367482E-41.4893398E-41.789295E-41.20140163.0E-50.00113616690.00148987040.00151982571.0201063.0E-5
6.91.4411696E-62.0685677E-62.0685677E-61.00.06.1764263E-68.865261E-61.8865174E-52.12798831.0E-57.51954E-51.0792949E-41.2792733E-41.18528622.0E-57.5169955E-40.00108025480.00110023321.01849412.0E-5
7.01.0073411E-61.5543274E-61.5543274E-61.00.04.317169E-66.661387E-61.666132E-52.5011791.0E-55.2560266E-58.109952E-59.109871E-51.12329531.0E-55.2547833E-48.1217213E-48.2216406E-41.01230261.0E-5
7.18.947104E-71.430316E-61.430316E-61.00.03.834468E-66.1299124E-61.612985E-52.63133481.0E-54.6683643E-57.462928E-58.462853E-51.13398561.0E-54.6673836E-47.4751483E-47.5750734E-41.01336771.0E-5
7.25.215166E-71.0112277E-61.0112277E-61.00.02.2350691E-64.333826E-64.333826E-61.00.02.7211627E-55.27631E-55.27631E-51.00.02.7208295E-45.289683E-45.289683E-41.00.0
7.34.4024807E-79.220183E-79.220183E-71.00.01.8867761E-63.951501E-63.951501E-61.00.02.2971257E-54.8108504E-54.8108504E-51.00.02.2968883E-44.824433E-44.824433E-41.00.0
7.43.6130905E-78.359109E-78.359109E-71.00.01.5484665E-63.5824705E-63.5824705E-61.00.01.8852415E-54.3615746E-54.3615746E-51.00.01.8850817E-44.3752496E-44.3752496E-41.00.0
7.53.408184E-78.1087245E-78.1087245E-71.00.01.4606494E-63.475163E-63.475163E-61.00.01.7783263E-54.230933E-54.230933E-51.00.01.778184E-44.2444657E-44.2444657E-41.00.0
7.63.1428627E-77.732167E-77.732167E-71.00.01.3469405E-63.313782E-63.313782E-61.00.01.6398877E-54.0344585E-54.0344585E-51.00.01.6397667E-44.0477706E-44.0477706E-41.00.0
7.71.7972785E-75.0782415E-75.0782415E-71.00.07.70262E-72.1763874E-62.1763874E-61.00.09.377899E-62.6497206E-52.6497206E-51.00.09.377503E-52.6633305E-42.6633305E-41.00.0
7.84.9230927E-81.1981747E-71.1981747E-71.00.02.1098968E-75.135033E-75.135033E-71.00.02.5687964E-66.2518866E-66.2518866E-61.00.02.5687666E-56.2971965E-56.2971965E-51.00.0
7.93.6805972E-94.1051638E-94.1051638E-91.00.01.5773987E-81.7593557E-81.7593557E-81.00.01.9204828E-72.1420155E-72.1420155E-71.00.01.920481E-62.1898923E-62.1898923E-61.00.0

Palos Verdes

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.126063E-57.622572E-59.62242E-51.26235872.0E-52.6251914E-43.266441E-43.5663432E-41.09181313.0E-50.00319148650.00397017370.0040199751.01254395.0E-50.0314603930.039049090.0391740131.00319911.3E-4
6.16.126063E-57.622572E-59.62242E-51.26235872.0E-52.6251914E-43.266441E-43.5663432E-41.09181313.0E-50.00319148650.00397017370.0040199751.01254395.0E-50.0314603930.039049090.0391740131.00319911.3E-4
6.26.126063E-57.622572E-59.62242E-51.26235872.0E-52.6251914E-43.266441E-43.5663432E-41.09181313.0E-50.00319148650.00397017370.0040199751.01254395.0E-50.0314603930.039049090.0391740131.00319911.3E-4
6.34.0838047E-54.9749007E-54.9749007E-51.00.01.7500846E-42.1319388E-42.1319388E-41.00.00.00212864580.0025927540.00261270231.00769382.0E-50.0210837090.0256467460.025734441.00341929.0E-5
6.44.0838047E-54.9749007E-54.9749007E-51.00.01.7500846E-42.1319388E-42.1319388E-41.00.00.00212864580.0025927540.00261270231.00769382.0E-50.0210837090.0256467460.025734441.00341929.0E-5
6.53.0512005E-53.6561592E-53.6561592E-51.00.01.3075917E-41.566838E-41.566838E-41.00.00.00159083040.0019060720.00192603391.01047282.0E-50.0157949030.0189091730.018997471.00466959.0E-5
6.62.9255087E-53.5154393E-53.5154393E-51.00.01.2537291E-41.5065364E-41.5065364E-41.00.00.00152534640.00183277820.00185274161.01089242.0E-50.0151491890.0181882440.0182766081.00485839.0E-5
6.72.287198E-52.724828E-52.724828E-51.00.09.801909E-51.16773626E-41.16773626E-41.00.00.0011927290.00142088330.00143086921.00702791.0E-50.0118634770.0141272170.0142060871.00558288.0E-5
6.82.1325764E-52.5431878E-52.5431878E-51.00.09.139293E-51.0898972E-41.0898972E-41.00.00.0011121410.00132623230.0013362191.00753021.0E-50.0110659150.0131922110.0132711561.00598428.0E-5
6.91.9009392E-52.2613547E-52.2613547E-51.00.08.1466285E-59.6912096E-59.6912096E-51.00.09.914007E-40.00117935350.00118934171.00846921.0E-50.0098698940.0117396330.0118186931.00673458.0E-5
7.01.7098473E-52.0319356E-52.0319356E-51.00.07.3277115E-58.708052E-58.708052E-51.00.08.917837E-40.0010597750.00106976441.0094261.0E-50.0088821340.0105556460.0106249081.00656157.0E-5
7.11.5982785E-51.899476E-51.899476E-51.00.06.849585E-58.1404054E-58.1404054E-51.00.08.336179E-49.907284E-40.00100071841.01008361.0E-50.0083049770.0098714790.0099308871.00601826.0E-5
7.21.4468002E-51.7197237E-51.7197237E-51.00.06.200425E-57.370083E-57.370083E-51.00.07.546402E-48.970222E-49.0701325E-41.0111381.0E-50.0075208270.0089422840.0090017471.00664976.0E-5
7.35.288233E-66.2036747E-66.2036747E-61.00.02.2663658E-52.6587102E-52.6587102E-51.00.02.7589512E-43.236848E-43.3368156E-41.03088431.0E-50.00275552830.00323555620.0032654591.00924193.0E-5
7.48.279556E-78.408347E-78.408347E-71.00.03.5483763E-63.6035726E-63.6035726E-61.00.04.3200624E-54.3872686E-54.3872686E-51.00.04.3192226E-44.3864746E-44.3864746E-41.00.0
7.56.559831E-76.667229E-76.667229E-71.00.02.8113532E-62.857381E-62.857381E-61.00.03.4227687E-53.4788125E-53.4788125E-51.00.03.4222414E-43.4783344E-43.4783344E-41.00.0
7.63.5018968E-73.5620027E-73.5620027E-71.00.01.500812E-61.526572E-61.526572E-61.00.01.8272232E-51.8585903E-51.8585903E-51.00.01.8270731E-41.8584808E-41.8584808E-41.00.0
7.71.1986104E-71.2198376E-71.2198376E-71.00.05.1369005E-75.2278745E-75.2278745E-71.00.06.2541585E-66.364919E-66.364919E-61.00.06.2539824E-56.364741E-56.364741E-51.00.0
7.83.0445005E-83.1027582E-83.1027582E-81.00.01.3047858E-71.3297536E-71.3297536E-71.00.01.5885756E-61.6189739E-61.6189739E-61.00.01.5885644E-51.6189642E-51.6189642E-51.00.0

Bullion Mountains

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6420427E-51.4692009E-52.4691863E-51.68063211.0E-57.037136E-56.296445E-59.296256E-51.47642933.0E-58.5643446E-47.6636096E-48.2631496E-41.0782326.0E-50.0085314130.00764097460.00776998141.01688351.3E-4
6.11.6420427E-51.4692009E-52.4691863E-51.68063211.0E-57.037136E-56.296445E-59.296256E-51.47642933.0E-58.5643446E-47.6636096E-48.2631496E-41.0782326.0E-50.0085314130.00764097460.00776998141.01688351.3E-4
6.21.6420427E-51.4692009E-52.4691863E-51.68063211.0E-57.037136E-56.296445E-59.296256E-51.47642933.0E-58.5643446E-47.6636096E-48.2631496E-41.0782326.0E-50.0085314130.00764097460.00776998141.01688351.3E-4
6.31.2046778E-59.862255E-61.9862156E-52.01395681.0E-55.1628023E-54.2266256E-56.226541E-51.47317082.0E-56.283899E-45.144933E-45.444779E-41.05827983.0E-50.00626615950.00513530340.00517509831.00774924.0E-5
6.41.2046778E-59.862255E-61.9862156E-52.01395681.0E-55.1628023E-54.2266256E-56.226541E-51.47317082.0E-56.283899E-45.144933E-45.444779E-41.05827983.0E-50.00626615950.00513530340.00517509831.00774924.0E-5
6.51.0244343E-57.879378E-61.78793E-52.26912571.0E-54.390359E-53.3768443E-55.376777E-51.59224892.0E-55.343951E-44.1107394E-44.410616E-41.07294953.0E-50.0053311180.00410516650.00413504341.00727783.0E-5
6.69.605408E-67.1774166E-67.1774166E-61.00.04.1165385E-53.0760108E-54.07598E-51.32508641.0E-55.010733E-43.7446033E-43.9445283E-41.05339012.0E-50.004999450.00374029060.00376021581.00532722.0E-5
6.78.60418E-66.123926E-66.123926E-61.00.03.687454E-52.6245243E-53.6244983E-51.38101141.0E-54.48855E-43.195085E-43.395021E-41.06257622.0E-50.0044794950.00319240310.00321233921.00624492.0E-5
6.85.187994E-62.563117E-62.563117E-61.00.02.223407E-51.0984763E-52.0984653E-51.91034191.0E-52.7066618E-41.3373529E-41.537326E-41.14952922.0E-50.00270336750.00133693960.00135691291.01493952.0E-5
6.94.5302368E-62.3442778E-62.3442778E-61.00.01.9415156E-51.0046889E-52.004679E-51.9953231.0E-52.3635388E-41.2231797E-41.4231553E-41.16348832.0E-50.00236102660.00122289560.00124287121.01633472.0E-5
7.03.431668E-61.6882177E-61.6882177E-61.00.01.4707065E-57.2352186E-67.2352186E-61.00.01.7904381E-48.808879E-58.808879E-51.00.00.00178899628.8088785E-48.8088785E-41.00.0

Ventura-Pitas Point

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.3179622E-53.373519E-56.373417E-51.88924923.0E-51.4219063E-41.4457281E-41.9456558E-41.34579655.0E-50.00172979620.00175900970.00180892171.0283755.0E-50.0171639320.0174764970.01759441.00674641.2E-4
6.13.3179622E-53.373519E-56.373417E-51.88924923.0E-51.4219063E-41.4457281E-41.9456558E-41.34579655.0E-50.00172979620.00175900970.00180892171.0283755.0E-50.0171639320.0174764970.01759441.00674641.2E-4
6.23.3179622E-53.373519E-56.373417E-51.88924923.0E-51.4219063E-41.4457281E-41.9456558E-41.34579655.0E-50.00172979620.00175900970.00180892171.0283755.0E-50.0171639320.0174764970.01759441.00674641.2E-4
6.33.3179622E-53.373519E-56.373417E-51.88924923.0E-51.4219063E-41.4457281E-41.9456558E-41.34579655.0E-50.00172979620.00175900970.00180892171.0283755.0E-50.0171639320.0174764970.01759441.00674641.2E-4
6.41.8754668E-51.7019594E-52.7019423E-51.58754811.0E-58.037467E-57.2939205E-58.293848E-51.13709041.0E-59.781223E-48.8769617E-48.976873E-41.01125511.0E-50.0097382820.0088439430.00889351.00560365.0E-5
6.51.8754668E-51.7019594E-52.7019423E-51.58754811.0E-58.037467E-57.2939205E-58.293848E-51.13709041.0E-59.781223E-48.8769617E-48.976873E-41.01125511.0E-50.0097382820.0088439430.00889351.00560365.0E-5
6.61.4361558E-51.2122258E-51.2122258E-51.00.06.154808E-55.1951512E-55.1951512E-51.00.07.490902E-46.323284E-46.323284E-41.00.00.00746570160.0063056520.0063255261.00315182.0E-5
6.71.4361558E-51.2122258E-51.2122258E-51.00.06.154808E-55.1951512E-55.1951512E-51.00.07.490902E-46.323284E-46.323284E-41.00.00.00746570160.0063056520.0063255261.00315182.0E-5
6.81.3663846E-51.1344401E-51.1344401E-51.00.05.8558027E-54.8617967E-54.8617967E-51.00.07.127108E-45.917649E-45.917649E-41.00.00.0071042930.00590221070.00591215171.00168431.0E-5
6.91.3644157E-51.1322501E-51.1322501E-51.00.05.8473648E-54.8524114E-54.8524114E-51.00.07.116841E-45.906229E-45.906229E-41.00.00.0070940920.00589085140.00590079231.00168751.0E-5
7.01.3568845E-51.12420685E-51.12420685E-51.00.05.8150898E-54.8179416E-54.8179416E-51.00.07.077572E-45.8642845E-45.8642845E-41.00.00.0070550730.0058491280.00585906951.00169971.0E-5
7.11.306572E-51.0720521E-51.0720521E-51.00.05.599474E-54.594429E-54.594429E-51.00.06.815227E-45.5923004E-45.5923004E-41.00.00.00679436370.0055785360.00558848031.00178251.0E-5
7.21.232604E-59.995121E-69.995121E-61.00.05.2824813E-54.283554E-54.283554E-51.00.06.429523E-45.2139966E-45.2139966E-41.00.00.00641095270.0052020590.0052120071.00191241.0E-5
7.31.0917261E-58.843812E-68.843812E-61.00.04.678742E-53.7901507E-53.7901507E-51.00.05.69488E-44.6135474E-44.6135474E-41.00.00.00568030770.0046042390.0046141931.00216191.0E-5
7.41.039959E-58.42354E-68.42354E-61.00.04.456891E-53.6100395E-53.6100395E-51.00.05.424914E-44.394352E-44.394352E-41.00.00.00541168960.00438592770.0043958841.002271.0E-5
7.59.015877E-67.29752E-67.29752E-61.00.03.86389E-53.1274718E-53.1274718E-51.00.04.7032707E-43.8070456E-43.8070456E-41.00.00.0046933290.0038007720.0038107341.0026211.0E-5
7.64.900162E-63.874119E-63.874119E-61.00.02.1000526E-51.6603262E-51.6603262E-51.00.02.556514E-42.0212609E-42.0212609E-41.00.00.00255357470.0020194360.0020294161.00494181.0E-5
7.73.8850626E-63.12676E-63.12676E-61.00.01.6650163E-51.3400332E-51.3400332E-51.00.02.0269687E-41.6313691E-41.6313691E-41.00.00.0020251210.00163018090.00164016451.00612431.0E-5
7.82.4654719E-62.029902E-62.029902E-61.00.01.0566265E-58.699551E-68.699551E-61.00.01.2863669E-41.0591193E-41.0591193E-41.00.00.00128562250.00105861920.00105861921.00.0
7.94.095894E-73.2765078E-73.2765078E-71.00.01.7553821E-61.4042168E-61.4042168E-61.00.02.1371567E-51.709621E-51.709621E-51.00.02.1369511E-41.7094925E-41.7094925E-41.00.0
8.07.791402E-95.6836056E-95.6836056E-91.00.03.3391725E-82.4358311E-82.4358311E-81.00.04.0654416E-72.965624E-72.965624E-71.00.04.065434E-62.9656223E-62.9656223E-61.00.0

Pleito

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6763008E-52.4764735E-53.476449E-51.403791.0E-57.183948E-51.0613067E-41.2612855E-41.1884272.0E-58.742947E-40.0012914470.00135136951.04639956.0E-50.008708630.0129544120.0130728581.00914321.2E-4
6.11.6763008E-52.4764735E-53.476449E-51.403791.0E-57.183948E-51.0613067E-41.2612855E-41.1884272.0E-58.742947E-40.0012914470.00135136951.04639956.0E-50.008708630.0129544120.0130728581.00914321.2E-4
6.21.6763008E-52.4764735E-53.476449E-51.403791.0E-57.183948E-51.0613067E-41.2612855E-41.1884272.0E-58.742947E-40.0012914470.00135136951.04639956.0E-50.008708630.0129544120.0130728581.00914321.2E-4
6.31.6763008E-52.4764735E-53.476449E-51.403791.0E-57.183948E-51.0613067E-41.2612855E-41.1884272.0E-58.742947E-40.0012914470.00135136951.04639956.0E-50.008708630.0129544120.0130728581.00914321.2E-4
6.41.6763008E-52.4764735E-53.476449E-51.403791.0E-57.183948E-51.0613067E-41.2612855E-41.1884272.0E-58.742947E-40.0012914470.00135136951.04639956.0E-50.008708630.0129544120.0130728581.00914321.2E-4
6.51.6763008E-52.4764735E-53.476449E-51.403791.0E-57.183948E-51.0613067E-41.2612855E-41.1884272.0E-58.742947E-40.0012914470.00135136951.04639956.0E-50.008708630.0129544120.0130728581.00914321.2E-4
6.69.910213E-61.721552E-51.721552E-51.00.04.247165E-57.3778734E-57.3778734E-51.00.05.169696E-48.9788967E-49.1787166E-41.02225452.0E-50.00515768630.0090512260.0091007731.00547415.0E-5
6.79.910213E-61.721552E-51.721552E-51.00.04.247165E-57.3778734E-57.3778734E-51.00.05.169696E-48.9788967E-49.1787166E-41.02225452.0E-50.00515768630.0090512260.0091007731.00547415.0E-5
6.88.300162E-61.5475129E-51.5475129E-51.00.03.557164E-56.63203E-56.63203E-51.00.04.3299864E-48.07152E-48.2713587E-41.02475852.0E-50.0043215590.0081506630.0082002551.00608445.0E-5
6.98.183114E-61.5346344E-51.5346344E-51.00.03.5070017E-56.57684E-56.57684E-51.00.04.2689382E-48.0043747E-48.204215E-41.02496642.0E-50.00426074680.0080840080.0081336031.00613515.0E-5
7.07.1748823E-61.4133306E-51.4133306E-51.00.03.0749135E-56.0569906E-56.0569906E-51.00.03.743064E-47.3718966E-47.571749E-41.02711012.0E-50.00373676540.00745537550.0075050031.00665655.0E-5
7.17.1671807E-61.4123676E-51.4123676E-51.00.03.0716128E-56.0528637E-56.0528637E-51.00.03.7390468E-47.366875E-47.5667276E-41.02712862.0E-50.00373276180.00745038830.00750001571.0066615.0E-5
7.27.0649667E-61.3970962E-51.3970962E-51.00.03.0278077E-55.987418E-55.987418E-51.00.03.6857324E-47.287248E-47.4871024E-41.02742522.0E-50.00367962550.00737113740.0074207691.00673325.0E-5
7.37.02082E-61.3914415E-51.3914415E-51.00.03.008888E-55.9631846E-55.9631846E-51.00.03.6627054E-47.257764E-47.457619E-41.02753672.0E-50.00365667440.00734163730.00739127031.00676055.0E-5
7.46.987146E-61.3873975E-51.3873975E-51.00.02.9944567E-55.9458544E-55.9458544E-51.00.03.6451413E-47.2366785E-47.4365333E-41.0276172.0E-50.00363916790.0073205710.00736027861.0054244.0E-5
7.56.9494554E-61.383088E-51.383088E-51.00.02.9783041E-55.9273858E-55.9273858E-51.00.03.625482E-47.2142074E-47.4140634E-41.0277032.0E-50.00361957260.0072981990.0073379071.00544084.0E-5
7.66.92694E-61.3789992E-51.3789992E-51.00.02.9686547E-55.909863E-55.909863E-51.00.03.6137376E-47.192888E-47.3927443E-41.02778532.0E-50.00360786660.0072769510.00731665971.00545684.0E-5
7.76.395867E-61.26690065E-51.26690065E-51.00.02.741057E-55.4294615E-55.4294615E-51.00.03.336726E-46.6083675E-46.808235E-41.03024472.0E-50.00333172010.00669554530.00673527741.00593414.0E-5
7.85.8664327E-61.1536581E-51.1536581E-51.00.02.5141611E-54.9441554E-54.9441554E-51.00.03.060561E-46.0178485E-46.2177284E-41.03321442.0E-50.00305634950.00610101640.00614077231.00651634.0E-5
7.93.7167474E-67.1145205E-67.1145205E-61.00.01.592882E-53.0490448E-53.0490448E-51.00.01.9391612E-43.7115812E-43.7115812E-41.00.00.00193746990.00376762430.00376762431.00.0
8.01.0903841E-61.2879104E-61.2879104E-61.00.04.6730665E-65.5196047E-65.5196047E-61.00.05.68931E-56.719913E-56.719913E-51.00.05.6878536E-46.942094E-46.942094E-41.00.0
8.12.6894583E-71.1056095E-71.1056095E-71.00.01.1526245E-64.7383253E-74.7383253E-71.00.01.4033113E-55.768896E-65.768896E-61.00.01.4032227E-46.454915E-56.454915E-51.00.0
8.25.2967013E-92.4567874E-92.4567874E-91.00.02.2700148E-81.0529089E-81.0529089E-81.00.02.7637427E-71.2819166E-71.2819166E-71.00.02.7637393E-61.4588004E-61.4588004E-61.00.0

Blue Cut

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.1227985E-52.2719574E-56.271867E-52.76055654.0E-59.097391E-59.73663E-51.4736142E-41.51347475.0E-50.00110704450.00118484810.00128472961.0842991.0E-40.0110154580.0117911520.0119097361.01005711.2E-4
6.12.1227985E-52.2719574E-56.271867E-52.76055654.0E-59.097391E-59.73663E-51.4736142E-41.51347475.0E-50.00110704450.00118484810.00128472961.0842991.0E-40.0110154580.0117911520.0119097361.01005711.2E-4
6.22.1227985E-52.2719574E-56.271867E-52.76055654.0E-59.097391E-59.73663E-51.4736142E-41.51347475.0E-50.00110704450.00118484810.00128472961.0842991.0E-40.0110154580.0117911520.0119097361.01005711.2E-4
6.31.1613981E-51.2353542E-52.2353419E-51.80947451.0E-54.9773254E-55.2942745E-56.2942214E-51.18887331.0E-56.0582085E-46.443998E-46.84374E-41.06203334.0E-50.00604171960.00642655930.0064663021.00618424.0E-5
6.41.1613981E-51.2353542E-52.2353419E-51.80947451.0E-54.9773254E-55.2942745E-56.2942214E-51.18887331.0E-56.0582085E-46.443998E-46.84374E-41.06203334.0E-50.00604171960.00642655930.0064663021.00618424.0E-5
6.58.931326E-69.4816E-69.4816E-61.00.03.8276554E-54.0634844E-54.0634844E-51.00.04.6591737E-44.946261E-45.2461127E-41.06062193.0E-50.00464941750.0049361610.0049660131.00604763.0E-5
6.67.345353E-67.79028E-67.79028E-61.00.03.1479703E-53.338653E-53.338653E-51.00.03.83198E-44.064132E-44.36401E-41.07378653.0E-50.00382537880.00405749070.0040873691.00736373.0E-5
6.76.2775666E-66.655149E-66.655149E-61.00.02.690358E-52.8521798E-52.8521798E-51.00.03.2750185E-43.472051E-43.7719466E-41.08637433.0E-50.00327019630.0034673670.00349726321.0086223.0E-5
6.85.5234095E-65.8551113E-65.8551113E-61.00.02.367154E-52.5093133E-52.5093133E-51.00.02.8816288E-43.0547334E-43.354642E-41.09817833.0E-50.0028778950.00305125050.0030811591.0098023.0E-5
6.94.7780054E-65.0654203E-65.0654203E-61.00.02.0477004E-52.1708804E-52.1708804E-51.00.02.4927902E-42.642797E-42.842744E-41.07565742.0E-50.00248999570.0026403460.00266029341.00755482.0E-5
7.03.883171E-64.118487E-64.118487E-61.00.01.6642054E-51.7650578E-51.7650578E-51.00.02.0259817E-42.1488148E-42.2487935E-41.04652731.0E-50.00202413560.00214741290.00215739131.00464681.0E-5
7.12.8358215E-63.0097158E-63.0097158E-61.00.01.2153464E-51.2898756E-51.2898756E-51.00.01.4795837E-41.5703762E-41.6703604E-41.0636691.0E-50.0014785990.00156991160.0015798961.00635981.0E-5

Imperial

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.7496446E-45.055345E-45.555093E-41.09885535.0E-50.00117788690.0021648170.00224464391.03687478.0E-50.01424676550.0260484090.0261555441.0041131.1E-40.133672490.228070290.228162911.00040611.2E-4
6.12.5356023E-44.8657708E-45.3655275E-41.10270875.0E-50.0010862340.0020837020.00216353541.03831328.0E-50.0131449280.025070940.0251781811.00427761.1E-40.1239401550.219495610.219589281.00042671.2E-4
6.22.4820742E-44.775311E-45.275072E-41.10465535.0E-50.00106331240.00204499460.0021248311.03903998.0E-50.012869190.0246106760.0247179681.00435961.1E-40.121489270.216001360.216095451.00043561.2E-4
6.32.3205351E-44.5892023E-45.088973E-41.10890145.0E-59.94136E-40.00196535540.0020451981.04062518.0E-50.0120365990.0236611870.023758821.00412631.0E-40.114051330.207938270.20802541.0004191.1E-4
6.42.0304754E-43.9878016E-44.487602E-41.12533245.0E-58.6991355E-40.00170795290.00177783341.04091487.0E-50.0105398690.0205954180.0206835641.00427999.0E-50.1005376350.185071130.185152621.00044041.0E-4
6.51.854992E-43.6990462E-44.1988614E-41.135125.0E-57.9475436E-40.00158435480.00165424381.0441127.0E-50.0096332810.019114430.019202711.00461859.0E-50.09226230.17330390.173386561.00047711.0E-4
6.61.6586106E-43.4036173E-43.9034474E-41.14685255.0E-57.106394E-40.00145788780.00152778581.04794477.0E-50.0086177630.0176076260.017696041.00502159.0E-50.082911320.160780550.160864471.0005221.0E-4
6.71.4224656E-43.076812E-43.5766582E-41.16245595.0E-56.094856E-40.00131797560.00138788331.05304187.0E-50.00739526930.0159285220.0160072461.00494248.0E-50.071539550.146487980.14656481.00052449.0E-5
6.81.2317259E-42.779231E-43.279092E-41.17985585.0E-55.2777573E-40.00119056150.001250491.05033646.0E-50.00640675470.0144001310.01446912251.0047917.0E-50.062251660.132940890.133010251.00052188.0E-5
6.99.859898E-52.5015484E-43.0014233E-41.19982625.0E-54.2249862E-40.00107165590.00113159161.05592816.0E-50.00513179460.0129703190.0130394111.0053277.0E-50.050148930.1194088760.119479321.000598.0E-5
7.07.3191884E-52.1267848E-42.6266786E-41.23504665.0E-53.136418E-49.11164E-49.711093E-41.06578986.0E-50.0038119040.0110376810.0111069081.0062727.0E-50.0374717640.102067560.10213941.00070388.0E-5
7.17.1760296E-52.0969207E-42.5968158E-41.23839495.0E-53.0750787E-48.9837395E-49.5832004E-41.06672736.0E-50.0037374820.0108835280.0109527661.00636177.0E-50.036752450.100704060.100776011.00071448.0E-5
7.26.46614E-51.9137723E-42.4136766E-41.26121415.0E-52.7709085E-48.199333E-48.798841E-41.07311676.0E-50.00336836280.0099376170.0100069211.0069747.0E-50.0331776250.0925110060.0925836041.00078488.0E-5
7.36.088115E-51.780939E-42.28085E-41.28070085.0E-52.6089314E-47.6303916E-48.229934E-41.07857296.0E-50.00317174760.0092510060.0093203591.00749677.0E-50.0312685850.086561350.086634431.00084428.0E-5
7.44.199346E-51.1511097E-41.6510522E-41.43431345.0E-51.7995955E-44.932403E-45.5321073E-41.12158456.0E-50.00218880570.0059888350.0060584161.01161847.0E-50.021673720.057440240.0575156441.00131278.0E-5
7.53.130448E-58.333871E-51.2333538E-41.4799294.0E-51.3415517E-43.5711733E-44.070995E-41.139965.0E-50.00163211530.00433929540.00439903471.01376716.0E-50.0162018030.0421335060.0422005581.00159147.0E-5
7.62.3074248E-56.0849357E-59.0847534E-51.49299093.0E-59.888588E-52.6075702E-42.907492E-41.11501973.0E-50.00120327060.00317011820.00320999161.01257784.0E-50.0119677610.031028160.031076611.00156145.0E-5
7.71.45864815E-54.0128452E-57.012725E-51.74756923.0E-56.2511994E-51.7196777E-42.0196261E-41.17442133.0E-57.608177E-40.00209170250.00213161881.01908314.0E-50.0075821820.020629090.0206780581.00237385.0E-5
7.81.0352979E-53.096395E-56.0963022E-51.96883873.0E-54.4369157E-51.326959E-41.6269193E-41.22605093.0E-55.400606E-40.00161437780.00165431321.02473744.0E-50.00538750.0160178930.0160670911.00307155.0E-5
7.98.137906E-62.2151205E-55.2150543E-52.3542983.0E-53.4876273E-59.493029E-51.2492744E-41.31599143.0E-54.2453592E-40.00115516440.00119511821.03458714.0E-50.0042372580.0116188420.0116682611.00425345.0E-5
8.06.93792E-61.8010365E-54.8009824E-52.66567733.0E-52.9733603E-57.7185E-51.07182685E-41.38864653.0E-53.6194647E-49.3932304E-49.792855E-41.04254394.0E-50.00361357510.0095024150.009551941.00521185.0E-5
8.13.4286315E-66.380179E-61.6380116E-52.56734421.0E-51.4694053E-52.734334E-53.7343067E-51.36570981.0E-51.7888541E-43.3285443E-43.428511E-41.03003311.0E-50.00178741480.00348636740.00349633261.00285831.0E-5
8.21.4906886E-61.936633E-61.1936613E-56.1635911.0E-56.3886496E-68.2998295E-61.8299746E-52.2048341.0E-57.7779034E-51.0104576E-41.11044756E-41.0989551.0E-57.775182E-40.00110754230.00111753121.0090191.0E-5
8.32.5758007E-81.4495866E-81.4495866E-81.00.01.10391454E-76.212514E-86.212514E-81.00.01.3440151E-67.563736E-77.563736E-71.00.01.344007E-57.884359E-67.884359E-61.00.0

Pisgah-Bullion Mtn-Mesquite Lk

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0240792E-52.40909E-57.4089694E-53.07542255.0E-51.2959696E-41.032432E-41.5323803E-41.48424345.0E-50.00157670080.00125636180.00136622361.08744441.1E-40.0156556090.0125026130.0126211121.0094781.2E-4
6.13.0240792E-52.40909E-57.4089694E-53.07542255.0E-51.2959696E-41.032432E-41.5323803E-41.48424345.0E-50.00157670080.00125636180.00136622361.08744441.1E-40.0156556090.0125026130.0126211121.0094781.2E-4
6.23.0240792E-52.40909E-57.4089694E-53.07542255.0E-51.2959696E-41.032432E-41.5323803E-41.48424345.0E-50.00157670080.00125636180.00136622361.08744441.1E-40.0156556090.0125026130.0126211121.0094781.2E-4
6.32.0498217E-51.3638054E-53.363778E-52.46646482.0E-58.784654E-55.8447586E-57.8446414E-51.34216692.0E-50.00106900697.1138324E-47.4136193E-41.04214133.0E-50.010638790.00709268640.0071324031.00559964.0E-5
6.42.0498217E-51.3638054E-53.363778E-52.46646482.0E-58.784654E-55.8447586E-57.8446414E-51.34216692.0E-50.00106900697.1138324E-47.4136193E-41.04214133.0E-50.010638790.00709268640.0071324031.00559964.0E-5
6.51.7316182E-51.04769715E-53.0476762E-52.90892862.0E-57.42101E-54.490059E-56.4899694E-51.44540852.0E-59.0313336E-45.465376E-45.665266E-41.0365742.0E-50.0089947180.005452930.0054728211.00364782.0E-5
6.61.5251077E-58.414133E-62.8413964E-53.3769332.0E-56.536012E-53.606011E-55.605939E-51.55460942.0E-57.9546886E-44.3895066E-44.5894188E-41.04554322.0E-50.0079262740.00438155370.0044014661.00454462.0E-5
6.71.2997425E-56.4112146E-62.6411086E-54.11951352.0E-55.570206E-52.7476372E-54.747582E-51.72787822.0E-56.7796157E-43.3447813E-43.5447144E-41.05977462.0E-50.00675896930.0033402070.00336014041.00596762.0E-5
6.81.035386E-54.333145E-62.4333058E-55.6155652.0E-54.437293E-51.8570496E-53.8570124E-52.07695722.0E-55.401065E-42.260732E-42.4606867E-41.0884472.0E-50.00538795670.0022585190.00227847371.00883532.0E-5
6.98.816252E-63.5805879E-62.3580516E-56.58565472.0E-53.778339E-51.534529E-53.5344983E-52.30331162.0E-54.5991567E-41.8681347E-42.0680974E-41.10703862.0E-50.004589650.00186662280.00188658551.01069452.0E-5
7.06.8232207E-62.5674399E-61.2567414E-54.89492031.0E-52.9242048E-51.100327E-52.100316E-51.90881071.0E-53.5596377E-41.3395688E-41.4395555E-41.07464091.0E-50.00355394110.00133879250.00134877911.00745941.0E-5
7.15.837013E-62.2273143E-61.2227292E-55.4897021.0E-52.501553E-59.5456E-61.9545503E-52.0475931.0E-53.045215E-41.1621177E-41.2621061E-41.08603981.0E-50.00304104550.0011615390.00117152741.00859931.0E-5
7.24.278052E-61.6275065E-61.6275065E-61.00.01.833438E-56.975011E-66.975011E-61.00.02.231982E-48.491768E-58.491768E-51.00.00.00222974188.4887556E-48.4887556E-41.00.0
7.31.8803692E-68.344788E-78.344788E-71.00.08.0587E-63.5763337E-63.5763337E-61.00.09.811026E-54.354114E-54.354114E-51.00.09.806695E-44.3534054E-44.3534054E-41.00.0

Chino alt 1

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.939946E-54.894798E-56.8947E-51.40857712.0E-51.6884391E-42.0976314E-42.2975894E-41.09532562.0E-50.00205373620.0025513850.00260125751.01954725.0E-50.0203485950.0252801680.0253971351.00462681.2E-4
6.12.1505624E-52.6878823E-54.6878286E-51.74406022.0E-59.2163704E-51.15190494E-41.351882E-41.17360542.0E-50.00112151540.00140165170.00142162361.01424882.0E-50.0111587220.0139474250.0139671461.0014142.0E-5
6.22.1505624E-52.6878823E-54.6878286E-51.74406022.0E-59.2163704E-51.15190494E-41.351882E-41.17360542.0E-50.00112151540.00140165170.00142162361.01424882.0E-50.0111587220.0139474250.0139671461.0014142.0E-5
6.31.4290785E-51.8164832E-51.8164832E-51.00.06.1244784E-57.784722E-57.784722E-51.00.07.454001E-49.4742293E-49.4742293E-41.00.00.0074290480.009446740.009446741.00.0
6.41.4290785E-51.8164832E-51.8164832E-51.00.06.1244784E-57.784722E-57.784722E-51.00.07.454001E-49.4742293E-49.4742293E-41.00.00.0074290480.009446740.009446741.00.0
6.51.3017944E-51.6651793E-51.6651793E-51.00.05.5789995E-57.1363116E-57.1363116E-51.00.06.790315E-48.6854334E-48.6854334E-41.00.00.00676960360.0086642330.0086642331.00.0
6.69.470016E-61.2039209E-51.2039209E-51.00.04.058515E-55.159578E-55.159578E-51.00.04.940122E-46.280315E-46.280315E-41.00.00.0049291540.0062732480.0062732481.00.0
6.78.314155E-61.040749E-51.040749E-51.00.03.5631605E-54.4602948E-54.4602948E-51.00.04.3372845E-45.4293784E-45.4293784E-41.00.00.0043288290.00542708070.00542708071.00.0
6.83.4856364E-63.8134033E-63.8134033E-61.00.01.4938357E-51.6343065E-51.6343065E-51.00.01.8185932E-41.9896074E-41.9896074E-41.00.00.00181710560.00198945290.00198945291.00.0
6.92.2645952E-62.152909E-62.152909E-61.00.09.705372E-69.226722E-69.226722E-61.00.01.18156495E-41.12329755E-41.12329755E-41.00.00.00118093690.00112331380.00112331381.00.0
7.01.7864003E-61.5430741E-61.5430741E-61.00.07.655979E-66.613158E-66.613158E-61.00.09.3207556E-58.051228E-58.051228E-51.00.09.316847E-48.052856E-48.052856E-41.00.0
7.11.7315456E-61.4733466E-61.4733466E-61.00.07.420889E-66.314328E-66.314328E-61.00.09.034557E-57.687428E-57.687428E-51.00.09.0308854E-47.68921E-47.68921E-41.00.0
7.21.6008337E-61.3574178E-61.3574178E-61.00.06.860698E-65.817492E-65.817492E-61.00.08.352579E-57.082572E-57.082572E-51.00.08.34944E-47.0846075E-47.0846075E-41.00.0
7.31.3320939E-61.1217794E-61.1217794E-61.00.05.7089615E-64.8076176E-64.8076176E-61.00.06.9504385E-55.853122E-55.853122E-51.00.06.9482654E-45.8530655E-45.8530655E-41.00.0
7.41.114294E-69.237087E-79.237087E-71.00.04.775537E-63.9587458E-63.9587458E-61.00.05.8140613E-54.81967E-54.81967E-51.00.05.81254E-44.8187698E-44.8187698E-41.00.0
7.59.354081E-77.6233886E-77.6233886E-71.00.04.0088858E-63.2671626E-63.2671626E-61.00.04.8807087E-53.9777013E-53.9777013E-51.00.04.879637E-43.9770233E-43.9770233E-41.00.0
7.68.521771E-76.880688E-76.880688E-71.00.03.6521824E-62.948863E-62.948863E-61.00.04.4464414E-53.590185E-53.590185E-51.00.04.4455516E-43.5896365E-43.5896365E-41.00.0
7.72.1803626E-71.4186368E-71.4186368E-71.00.09.344408E-76.0798715E-76.0798715E-71.00.01.1376757E-57.4022278E-67.4022278E-61.00.01.13761744E-47.402077E-57.402077E-51.00.0

Whittier alt 1

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.2554693E-54.7252182E-56.725124E-51.42324092.0E-51.8236451E-42.0249544E-42.5248533E-41.24686915.0E-50.0022180270.00246291630.00252276871.02430146.0E-50.021960190.0243902630.0245073361.00481.2E-4
6.14.2554693E-54.7252182E-56.725124E-51.42324092.0E-51.8236451E-42.0249544E-42.5248533E-41.24686915.0E-50.0022180270.00246291630.00252276871.02430146.0E-50.021960190.0243902630.0245073361.00481.2E-4
6.24.2554693E-54.7252182E-56.725124E-51.42324092.0E-51.8236451E-42.0249544E-42.5248533E-41.24686915.0E-50.0022180270.00246291630.00252276871.02430146.0E-50.021960190.0243902630.0245073361.00481.2E-4
6.31.9617712E-51.826841E-52.8268229E-51.5473831.0E-58.40732E-57.829095E-59.8289376E-51.25543742.0E-50.00102311059.527944E-49.827658E-41.03145643.0E-50.010184130.00949040.0095399251.00521855.0E-5
6.41.5611336E-51.3604089E-51.3604089E-51.00.06.690401E-55.8301972E-56.8301386E-51.17151081.0E-58.142519E-47.096013E-47.295871E-41.02816492.0E-50.0081127480.00707533770.00710512561.00421013.0E-5
6.51.5150166E-51.3100744E-51.3100744E-51.00.06.492767E-55.614487E-56.6144305E-51.17810071.0E-57.9020765E-46.8335526E-47.033416E-41.02924742.0E-50.0078740360.0068145080.0068443031.00437243.0E-5
6.61.295588E-51.0380544E-51.0380544E-51.00.05.552402E-54.44873E-54.44873E-51.00.06.7579525E-45.415002E-45.5149477E-41.01845721.0E-50.0067374380.0054033430.00542323521.00368142.0E-5
6.71.2542085E-59.899189E-69.899189E-61.00.05.3750682E-54.2424414E-54.2424414E-51.00.06.542181E-45.163967E-45.2639155E-41.01935491.0E-50.0065229540.0051534640.00517336141.00386082.0E-5
6.81.2195878E-59.49523E-69.49523E-61.00.05.2267E-54.069322E-54.069322E-51.00.06.36165E-44.9532915E-45.053242E-41.02017861.0E-50.00634346860.00494369630.00496359771.00402562.0E-5
6.91.1580298E-58.772739E-68.772739E-61.00.04.9628903E-53.759692E-53.759692E-51.00.06.040644E-44.5764804E-44.6764346E-41.02184081.0E-50.006024250.00456846460.0045883731.00435782.0E-5
7.01.0964795E-58.083794E-68.083794E-61.00.04.6991136E-53.4644378E-53.4644378E-51.00.05.7196687E-44.217152E-44.217152E-41.00.00.00570496960.0042104590.0042204171.0023651.0E-5
7.11.0230601E-57.32646E-67.32646E-61.00.04.3844695E-53.1398744E-53.1398744E-51.00.05.336784E-43.8221394E-43.8221394E-41.00.00.0053239860.00381675920.0038267211.002611.0E-5
7.29.40865E-66.5430822E-66.5430822E-61.00.04.032216E-52.8041486E-52.8041486E-51.00.04.908117E-43.4135283E-43.4135283E-41.00.00.00489729130.00340940240.00341936831.0029231.0E-5
7.38.237384E-65.5975433E-65.5975433E-61.00.03.5302593E-52.3989258E-52.3989258E-51.00.04.2972428E-42.920311E-42.920311E-41.00.00.00428894260.00291679920.00292677011.00341841.0E-5
7.47.5316966E-65.0276153E-65.0276153E-61.00.03.2278298E-52.154675E-52.154675E-51.00.03.9291743E-42.623011E-42.623011E-41.00.00.00392223430.00262002670.00263000051.00380671.0E-5
7.56.149649E-63.9336355E-63.9336355E-61.00.02.6355372E-51.6858336E-51.6858336E-51.00.03.208294E-42.052318E-42.052318E-41.00.00.0032036660.00205051180.00206049141.00486681.0E-5
7.65.457711E-63.3951796E-63.3951796E-61.00.02.338998E-51.4550694E-51.4550694E-51.00.02.8473578E-41.771411E-41.771411E-41.00.00.00284371220.00177007980.00178006211.00563941.0E-5
7.74.1676276E-62.3329922E-62.3329922E-61.00.01.7861139E-59.998504E-69.998504E-61.00.02.1743766E-41.2172572E-41.2172572E-41.00.00.00217225030.00121666350.00122665141.00820921.0E-5
7.82.2692414E-79.384417E-89.384417E-81.00.09.725317E-74.0218927E-74.0218927E-71.00.01.1840509E-54.8966467E-64.8966467E-61.00.01.1839878E-44.8965718E-54.8965718E-51.00.0
7.96.676829E-93.4397174E-93.4397174E-91.00.02.861498E-81.4741646E-81.4741646E-81.00.03.4838732E-71.7947953E-71.7947953E-71.00.03.4838679E-61.794794E-61.794794E-61.00.0

Kern Canyon (North Kern) 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.6264497E-66.75733E-64.675706E-56.91945744.0E-52.8398761E-52.895971E-57.895826E-52.72648675.0E-53.4570007E-43.5253543E-44.525002E-41.28355941.0E-40.00345162770.00352055020.00364012781.03396561.2E-4
6.16.6264497E-66.75733E-64.675706E-56.91945744.0E-52.8398761E-52.895971E-57.895826E-52.72648675.0E-53.4570007E-43.5253543E-44.525002E-41.28355941.0E-40.00345162770.00352055020.00364012781.03396561.2E-4
6.26.6264497E-66.75733E-64.675706E-56.91945744.0E-52.8398761E-52.895971E-57.895826E-52.72648675.0E-53.4570007E-43.5253543E-44.525002E-41.28355941.0E-40.00345162770.00352055020.00364012781.03396561.2E-4
6.36.6264497E-66.75733E-64.675706E-56.91945744.0E-52.8398761E-52.895971E-57.895826E-52.72648675.0E-53.4570007E-43.5253543E-44.525002E-41.28355941.0E-40.00345162770.00352055020.00364012781.03396561.2E-4
6.46.6264497E-66.75733E-64.675706E-56.91945744.0E-52.8398761E-52.895971E-57.895826E-52.72648675.0E-53.4570007E-43.5253543E-44.525002E-41.28355941.0E-40.00345162770.00352055020.00364012781.03396561.2E-4
6.53.2162225E-63.2570915E-61.32570585E-54.0702141.0E-51.3783738E-51.3958894E-53.3958615E-52.43275832.0E-51.6780409E-41.6993708E-42.2992688E-41.35301186.0E-50.00167677440.0016981510.00175804911.03527266.0E-5
6.63.2162225E-63.2570915E-61.32570585E-54.0702141.0E-51.3783738E-51.3958894E-53.3958615E-52.43275832.0E-51.6780409E-41.6993708E-42.2992688E-41.35301186.0E-50.00167677440.0016981510.00175804911.03527266.0E-5
6.72.1908265E-62.2071222E-61.2207101E-55.53077651.0E-59.389223E-69.459062E-61.9458968E-52.05717731.0E-51.1430779E-41.1515819E-41.6515244E-41.43413535.0E-50.00114249010.00115100460.0012009471.04339035.0E-5
6.81.7303895E-61.736553E-61.736553E-61.00.07.415934E-67.442349E-67.442349E-61.00.09.028525E-59.060693E-51.3060331E-41.44142744.0E-59.024858E-49.0570963E-49.456734E-41.04412424.0E-5
6.91.3700314E-61.3688623E-61.3688623E-61.00.05.87155E-65.86654E-65.86654E-61.00.07.148377E-57.142283E-51.1141997E-41.56000514.0E-57.146078E-47.140033E-47.539747E-41.05598214.0E-5
7.01.1467797E-61.1413805E-61.1413805E-61.00.04.9147607E-64.8916218E-64.8916218E-61.00.05.983557E-55.95539E-58.9552115E-51.50371543.0E-55.981946E-45.9538253E-46.253647E-41.05035783.0E-5
7.19.3952065E-79.3026915E-79.3026915E-71.00.04.026511E-63.986862E-63.986862E-61.00.04.9021666E-54.853898E-57.853752E-51.618033.0E-54.901085E-44.8528553E-45.15271E-41.06178933.0E-5
7.26.858055E-76.7193014E-76.7193014E-71.00.02.939163E-62.8796974E-62.8796974E-61.00.03.5783723E-53.5059762E-55.505906E-51.57043462.0E-53.5777962E-43.5054318E-43.7053617E-41.05703432.0E-5
7.35.1101983E-74.939301E-74.939301E-71.00.02.1900833E-62.1168414E-62.1168414E-61.00.02.6663936E-52.5772246E-54.577173E-51.77600862.0E-52.6660739E-42.5769303E-42.7768788E-41.07759182.0E-5
7.43.4999414E-73.2995916E-73.2995916E-71.00.01.499974E-61.4141099E-61.4141099E-61.00.01.8262032E-51.7216655E-53.721631E-52.1616462.0E-51.826053E-41.7215345E-41.9215001E-41.11615542.0E-5
7.51.7021522E-71.4750053E-71.4750053E-71.00.07.2949354E-76.32145E-76.32145E-71.00.08.881548E-67.696339E-61.7696262E-52.2993091.0E-58.8811925E-57.696081E-58.696003E-51.12992631.0E-5
7.62.572245E-81.735264E-81.735264E-81.00.01.10239064E-77.436845E-87.436845E-81.00.01.3421597E-69.0543557E-79.0543557E-71.00.01.3421517E-59.054324E-69.054324E-61.00.0

Independence rev 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.422171E-64.3262253E-64.432605E-510.2458954.0E-51.8952025E-51.8540852E-56.853992E-53.6966985.0E-52.3071647E-42.2571447E-43.056964E-41.35435018.0E-50.00230477080.00225514570.00237487511.05309161.2E-4
6.14.422171E-64.3262253E-64.432605E-510.2458954.0E-51.8952025E-51.8540852E-56.853992E-53.6966985.0E-52.3071647E-42.2571447E-43.056964E-41.35435018.0E-50.00230477080.00225514570.00237487511.05309161.2E-4
6.24.422171E-64.3262253E-64.432605E-510.2458954.0E-51.8952025E-51.8540852E-56.853992E-53.6966985.0E-52.3071647E-42.2571447E-43.056964E-41.35435018.0E-50.00230477080.00225514570.00237487511.05309161.2E-4
6.34.422171E-64.3262253E-64.432605E-510.2458954.0E-51.8952025E-51.8540852E-56.853992E-53.6966985.0E-52.3071647E-42.2571447E-43.056964E-41.35435018.0E-50.00230477080.00225514570.00237487511.05309161.2E-4
6.44.422171E-64.3262253E-64.432605E-510.2458954.0E-51.8952025E-51.8540852E-56.853992E-53.6966985.0E-52.3071647E-42.2571447E-43.056964E-41.35435018.0E-50.00230477080.00225514570.00237487511.05309161.2E-4
6.54.422171E-64.3262253E-64.432605E-510.2458954.0E-51.8952025E-51.8540852E-56.853992E-53.6966985.0E-52.3071647E-42.2571447E-43.056964E-41.35435018.0E-50.00230477080.00225514570.00237487511.05309161.2E-4
6.62.663744E-62.5319846E-64.2531883E-516.7978444.0E-51.1415996E-51.08513195E-55.0850886E-54.68614774.0E-51.3898089E-41.321073E-41.8210069E-41.37843025.0E-50.00138893990.00132033590.00141021711.06807459.0E-5
6.72.663744E-62.5319846E-64.2531883E-516.7978444.0E-51.1415996E-51.08513195E-55.0850886E-54.68614774.0E-51.3898089E-41.321073E-41.8210069E-41.37843025.0E-50.00138893990.00132033590.00141021711.06807459.0E-5
6.81.9716529E-61.8322567E-64.1832183E-522.8309634.0E-58.449913E-67.852505E-64.785219E-56.09387544.0E-51.0287284E-49.560019E-51.455954E-41.52296155.0E-50.00102825239.5560355E-40.00104551751.09409139.0E-5
6.91.8788617E-61.7429976E-64.174293E-523.948934.0E-58.0522395E-67.4699688E-64.746967E-56.3547354.0E-59.80316E-59.09432E-51.4093865E-41.54974385.0E-59.798837E-49.090718E-49.9899E-41.09891219.0E-5
7.01.5045488E-61.3849498E-64.1384894E-529.8818744.0E-56.44805E-65.9354857E-64.593525E-57.73908854.0E-57.8502184E-57.226219E-51.2225859E-41.69187475.0E-57.8474457E-47.223921E-48.123271E-41.12449619.0E-5
7.11.272341E-61.1625089E-64.1162464E-535.40834.0E-55.4528787E-64.9821715E-64.498197E-59.0285874.0E-56.6386776E-56.0656283E-51.1065325E-41.82426695.0E-56.636695E-46.064005E-46.8635197E-41.13184618.0E-5
7.21.0416892E-69.409871E-73.094096E-532.8813863.0E-54.464375E-64.032796E-63.4032673E-58.4389783.0E-55.4352407E-54.9098202E-58.909624E-51.81465384.0E-55.4339116E-44.908754E-45.6084106E-41.14253237.0E-5
7.37.9450155E-77.2350036E-73.072348E-542.465053.0E-53.4050022E-63.1007123E-63.310062E-510.6751663.0E-54.1455114E-53.7750528E-57.774902E-52.0595484.0E-54.144738E-43.7744228E-44.3741963E-41.15890476.0E-5
7.45.3893444E-75.0195166E-73.0501937E-560.766683.0E-52.309717E-62.1512196E-63.2151154E-514.9455483.0E-52.8120441E-52.6190788E-55.619E-52.14541083.0E-52.8116882E-42.6187746E-43.1186437E-41.1908795.0E-5
7.53.8852085E-73.6825622E-72.0368248E-555.309992.0E-51.6650882E-61.57824E-62.157821E-513.6723232.0E-52.027226E-51.9214905E-53.921452E-52.04083872.0E-52.0270412E-41.9213265E-42.3212496E-41.20814964.0E-5
7.62.414929E-72.3457605E-71.0234574E-543.630091.0E-51.0349692E-61.0053255E-61.1005315E-510.9470171.0E-51.2600677E-51.2239771E-52.2239648E-51.81699871.0E-51.2599962E-41.223911E-41.4238864E-41.16339062.0E-5
7.76.8298014E-86.8589785E-86.8589785E-81.00.02.9270575E-72.939562E-72.939562E-71.00.03.5636867E-63.5789112E-63.5789112E-61.00.03.5636294E-53.5788584E-53.5788584E-51.00.0

Lost Hills

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.233523E-52.5106583E-55.510583E-52.19487573.0E-59.571891E-51.0759615E-41.5759077E-41.46465065.0E-50.00116475460.0013093640.00137927231.05339117.0E-50.0115866860.0130330910.0131515271.00908731.2E-4
6.12.233523E-52.5106583E-55.510583E-52.19487573.0E-59.571891E-51.0759615E-41.5759077E-41.46465065.0E-50.00116475460.0013093640.00137927231.05339117.0E-50.0115866860.0130330910.0131515271.00908731.2E-4
6.22.233523E-52.5106583E-55.510583E-52.19487573.0E-59.571891E-51.0759615E-41.5759077E-41.46465065.0E-50.00116475460.0013093640.00137927231.05339117.0E-50.0115866860.0130330910.0131515271.00908731.2E-4
6.32.233523E-52.5106583E-55.510583E-52.19487573.0E-59.571891E-51.0759615E-41.5759077E-41.46465065.0E-50.00116475460.0013093640.00137927231.05339117.0E-50.0115866860.0130330910.0131515271.00908731.2E-4
6.41.2288092E-51.3781108E-52.3780969E-51.72562111.0E-55.2662188E-55.906108E-58.905931E-51.50791873.0E-56.409735E-47.189252E-47.4890367E-41.04169893.0E-50.0063912790.00717520060.00723477031.00830216.0E-5
6.51.2288092E-51.3781108E-52.3780969E-51.72562111.0E-55.2662188E-55.906108E-58.905931E-51.50791873.0E-56.409735E-47.189252E-47.4890367E-41.04169893.0E-50.0063912790.00717520060.00723477031.00830216.0E-5
6.68.58281E-69.63377E-69.63377E-61.00.03.6782953E-54.12874E-55.128699E-51.24219471.0E-54.4774043E-45.026414E-45.126363E-41.0198851.0E-50.00446839350.0050232050.00506300431.0079234.0E-5
6.77.205685E-68.088302E-68.088302E-61.00.03.088114E-53.466415E-54.4663804E-51.28847251.0E-53.7591302E-44.2203604E-44.320318E-41.02368461.0E-50.00375277760.00422036040.0042303181.00235951.0E-5

Mission Creek

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1549387E-51.6322783E-57.6321805E-54.6757846.0E-54.9496433E-56.995299E-51.2994879E-41.85765896.0E-56.0245243E-48.5135986E-49.5127476E-41.11735921.0E-40.0060082180.0085101570.008619221.01281571.1E-4
6.11.1549387E-51.6322783E-57.6321805E-54.6757846.0E-54.9496433E-56.995299E-51.2994879E-41.85765896.0E-56.0245243E-48.5135986E-49.5127476E-41.11735921.0E-40.0060082180.0085101570.008619221.01281571.1E-4
6.21.1549387E-51.6322783E-57.6321805E-54.6757846.0E-54.9496433E-56.995299E-51.2994879E-41.85765896.0E-56.0245243E-48.5135986E-49.5127476E-41.11735921.0E-40.0060082180.0085101570.008619221.01281571.1E-4
6.31.1549387E-51.6322783E-57.6321805E-54.6757846.0E-54.9496433E-56.995299E-51.2994879E-41.85765896.0E-56.0245243E-48.5135986E-49.5127476E-41.11735921.0E-40.0060082180.0085101570.008619221.01281571.1E-4
6.41.1549387E-51.6322783E-57.6321805E-54.6757846.0E-54.9496433E-56.995299E-51.2994879E-41.85765896.0E-56.0245243E-48.5135986E-49.5127476E-41.11735921.0E-40.0060082180.0085101570.008619221.01281571.1E-4
6.51.1549387E-51.6322783E-57.6321805E-54.6757846.0E-54.9496433E-56.995299E-51.2994879E-41.85765896.0E-56.0245243E-48.5135986E-49.5127476E-41.11735921.0E-40.0060082180.0085101570.008619221.01281571.1E-4
6.69.202681E-61.3846059E-57.384523E-55.3333036.0E-53.9439463E-55.9338956E-51.193354E-42.01108036.0E-54.800697E-47.2222133E-48.221491E-41.13836171.0E-40.0047903390.00722734020.00733654531.015111.1E-4
6.79.019164E-61.3651728E-57.365091E-55.3949886.0E-53.8652986E-55.8506146E-51.18502634E-42.02547346.0E-54.7049852E-47.1208854E-48.120173E-41.1403321.0E-40.0046950360.00712666470.00723588051.0153251.1E-4
6.88.673558E-61.3273839E-57.327304E-55.5201096.0E-53.717186E-55.688669E-51.16883275E-42.05466826.0E-54.524734E-46.923842E-47.9231494E-41.14432851.0E-40.00451553240.00693085230.007040091.0157611.1E-4
6.97.002255E-61.1478069E-57.147738E-56.22730066.0E-53.000932E-54.9190832E-51.0918788E-42.21967966.0E-53.653022E-45.9874065E-46.886868E-41.15022559.0E-50.00364702290.0059996760.00609907551.01656761.0E-4
7.05.84644E-69.675359E-66.967478E-57.201266.0E-52.5055931E-54.146519E-51.01462705E-42.44693686.0E-53.0501327E-45.047263E-45.946809E-41.17822449.0E-50.00304594960.0050639940.00516348751.01964721.0E-4
7.15.54703E-69.329834E-66.9329275E-57.43092256.0E-52.377277E-53.9984414E-59.998202E-52.50052486.0E-52.8939504E-44.8670598E-45.766622E-41.18482669.0E-50.00289018450.00488458760.0049840991.02037251.0E-4
7.24.384709E-67.681918E-66.768146E-58.810496.0E-51.8791474E-53.292211E-59.2920134E-52.82242356.0E-52.2876218E-44.0075663E-44.8072456E-41.19954248.0E-50.00228526820.0040285420.00411817941.02225059.0E-5
7.33.7888456E-66.915788E-66.6915374E-59.675746.0E-51.623781E-52.9638775E-58.9637E-53.0243156.0E-51.9767738E-43.6079568E-44.4076683E-41.22165228.0E-50.00197501620.003630270.00371994331.02470169.0E-5
7.42.1982462E-65.0241033E-66.50238E-512.9423696.0E-59.421021E-62.1531694E-58.15304E-53.78652986.0E-51.1469489E-42.6211704E-43.4209606E-41.30512718.0E-50.00114635720.00264603270.00273579451.03392319.0E-5
7.52.051923E-64.6153277E-66.461505E-514.0001016.0E-58.793926E-61.9779825E-57.977864E-54.0333346.0E-51.0706078E-42.4079291E-43.2077366E-41.33215578.0E-50.00107009220.00243359320.0025233741.03689239.0E-5
7.61.8733427E-64.1236603E-66.4123415E-515.5501196.0E-58.028587E-61.7672712E-57.767165E-54.39500476.0E-59.774366E-52.151441E-42.8512903E-41.32529337.0E-59.770069E-40.00217825130.0022580771.03664678.0E-5
7.71.8411953E-64.0433315E-66.404309E-515.8391886.0E-57.890813E-61.732845E-57.732741E-54.4624546.0E-59.606641E-52.1095353E-42.8093875E-41.33175667.0E-59.6024893E-40.00213652920.00221635821.03736398.0E-5
7.81.7194251E-63.71068E-66.371046E-517.1694836.0E-57.368944E-61.5902819E-57.5901866E-54.7728566.0E-58.97132E-51.9359968E-42.6358612E-41.36150097.0E-58.967699E-40.00196247570.00204231871.04068488.0E-5
7.91.4035052E-62.9502596E-66.295008E-521.3371336.0E-56.0150082E-61.2643909E-57.264315E-55.7453086.0E-57.3230265E-51.5392878E-42.23918E-41.45468587.0E-57.3206134E-40.00156311740.00164299231.05109988.0E-5
8.03.9318823E-75.528477E-71.05528425E-519.0881521.0E-51.6850913E-62.3693453E-61.2369322E-55.2205651.0E-52.0515794E-52.8846403E-53.8846116E-51.34665371.0E-52.0513899E-42.990952E-43.0909223E-41.03342411.0E-5
8.11.596793E-71.13775044E-71.13775044E-71.00.06.8433974E-74.876072E-74.876072E-71.00.08.331805E-65.936602E-65.936602E-61.00.08.331492E-56.5494125E-56.5494125E-51.00.0
8.24.9003038E-82.5435753E-82.5435753E-81.00.02.10013E-71.09010365E-71.09010365E-71.00.02.5569052E-61.3272004E-61.3272004E-61.00.02.556876E-51.4952613E-51.4952613E-51.00.0

Elysian Park (Upper)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.1876025E-53.7035275E-55.7034536E-51.54000572.0E-51.3660437E-41.5871569E-41.7871251E-41.12599152.0E-50.00166188950.0019311220.00195108341.01033662.0E-50.0164951590.0191898630.0192683261.00408898.0E-5
6.13.1876025E-53.7035275E-55.7034536E-51.54000572.0E-51.3660437E-41.5871569E-41.7871251E-41.12599152.0E-50.00166188950.0019311220.00195108341.01033662.0E-50.0164951590.0191898630.0192683261.00408898.0E-5
6.23.1876025E-53.7035275E-55.7034536E-51.54000572.0E-51.3660437E-41.5871569E-41.7871251E-41.12599152.0E-50.00166188950.0019311220.00195108341.01033662.0E-50.0164951590.0191898630.0192683261.00408898.0E-5
6.33.1876025E-53.7035275E-55.7034536E-51.54000572.0E-51.3660437E-41.5871569E-41.7871251E-41.12599152.0E-50.00166188950.0019311220.00195108341.01033662.0E-50.0164951590.0191898630.0192683261.00408898.0E-5
6.41.9273462E-52.120244E-54.1202016E-51.94326762.0E-58.259794E-59.086542E-51.108636E-41.22008572.0E-50.0010051660.00110589670.00112587461.01806492.0E-50.0100063150.0110207440.0110899721.00628167.0E-5
6.51.9273462E-52.120244E-54.1202016E-51.94326762.0E-58.259794E-59.086542E-51.108636E-41.22008572.0E-50.0010051660.00110589670.00112587461.01806492.0E-50.0100063150.0110207440.0110899721.00628167.0E-5
6.69.813258E-69.665589E-61.9665491E-52.0345881.0E-54.205614E-54.1423333E-55.1422918E-51.24139991.0E-55.119132E-45.042196E-45.1421457E-41.01982261.0E-50.0051073560.00503147950.00506132841.00593253.0E-5
6.79.801478E-69.653158E-61.9653062E-52.03592041.0E-54.2005657E-54.137006E-55.1369647E-51.24171071.0E-55.112989E-45.0357135E-45.135663E-41.01984811.0E-50.00510124070.0050250260.00505487531.00594013.0E-5
6.88.102489E-67.772994E-61.7772916E-52.28649571.0E-53.4724493E-53.3312434E-54.3312102E-51.30017821.0E-54.2268867E-44.0550836E-44.1550433E-41.02465051.0E-50.0042188560.00404817840.00407805671.00738073.0E-5
6.96.08275E-65.481441E-61.5481386E-52.82432771.0E-52.6068668E-52.3491682E-53.3491448E-51.42567251.0E-53.173398E-42.8597447E-42.959716E-41.03495811.0E-50.00316887020.00285614240.00286611381.00349131.0E-5
7.05.5995934E-64.9827686E-61.4982719E-53.00690631.0E-52.3998036E-52.1354552E-53.135434E-51.46827421.0E-52.9213692E-42.5996132E-42.6995872E-41.03845731.0E-50.00291753160.00259663960.00260661361.00384121.0E-5
7.14.709881E-64.0873906E-61.408735E-53.44653871.0E-52.0185047E-51.7517272E-52.7517097E-51.57085511.0E-52.4572524E-42.1325232E-42.232502E-41.04688271.0E-50.0024545370.00213051840.0021404971.00468371.0E-5
7.23.6063436E-62.9779412E-61.2977912E-54.35801461.0E-51.5455667E-51.27625435E-52.2762415E-51.78353291.0E-51.881565E-41.55373E-41.6537144E-41.06435121.0E-50.00187997260.00155265490.00156263941.00643061.0E-5
7.32.471135E-62.0954562E-61.20954355E-55.772221.0E-51.0590536E-58.980496E-61.8980407E-52.11351421.0E-51.2893214E-41.0933213E-41.1933104E-41.09145441.0E-50.00128857360.00109279060.00110277981.00914081.0E-5
7.41.163943E-61.0275061E-61.0275061E-61.00.04.988318E-64.40359E-64.40359E-61.00.06.0731076E-55.361242E-55.361242E-51.00.06.071448E-45.3599785E-45.3599785E-41.00.0
7.54.99459E-74.917601E-74.917601E-71.00.02.140537E-62.1075416E-62.1075416E-61.00.02.6060725E-52.5659032E-52.5659032E-51.00.02.605767E-42.5656226E-42.5656226E-41.00.0
7.62.4667852E-72.4778313E-72.4778313E-71.00.01.0571932E-61.0619274E-61.0619274E-61.00.01.2871251E-51.2928893E-51.2928893E-51.00.01.2870505E-41.2928178E-41.2928178E-41.00.0
7.78.2312795E-87.3864214E-87.3864214E-81.00.03.527691E-73.165609E-73.165609E-71.00.04.294955E-63.854123E-63.854123E-61.00.04.2948723E-53.854068E-53.854068E-51.00.0
7.82.7819295E-81.7565618E-81.7565618E-81.00.01.1922555E-77.528122E-87.528122E-81.00.01.45157E-69.1654863E-79.1654863E-71.00.01.45156055E-59.165463E-69.165463E-61.00.0

Kern Canyon (South Kern) 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.105075E-64.113726E-64.113726E-61.00.01.7593058E-51.7630138E-53.7629787E-52.1344012.0E-52.1417443E-42.1462643E-42.9460926E-41.37266068.0E-50.00213968130.00214425540.00224404081.04653621.0E-4
6.14.105075E-64.113726E-64.113726E-61.00.01.7593058E-51.7630138E-53.7629787E-52.1344012.0E-52.1417443E-42.1462643E-42.9460926E-41.37266068.0E-50.00213968130.00214425540.00224404081.04653621.0E-4
6.24.105075E-64.113726E-64.113726E-61.00.01.7593058E-51.7630138E-53.7629787E-52.1344012.0E-52.1417443E-42.1462643E-42.9460926E-41.37266068.0E-50.00213968130.00214425540.00224404081.04653621.0E-4
6.34.105075E-64.113726E-64.113726E-61.00.01.7593058E-51.7630138E-53.7629787E-52.1344012.0E-52.1417443E-42.1462643E-42.9460926E-41.37266068.0E-50.00213968130.00214425540.00224404081.04653621.0E-4
6.44.105075E-64.113726E-64.113726E-61.00.01.7593058E-51.7630138E-53.7629787E-52.1344012.0E-52.1417443E-42.1462643E-42.9460926E-41.37266068.0E-50.00213968130.00214425540.00224404081.04653621.0E-4
6.52.9849807E-62.973154E-62.973154E-61.00.01.2792712E-51.2742028E-51.2742028E-51.00.01.5574014E-41.551233E-42.1511399E-41.38672916.0E-50.00155631030.00155016540.00161007231.03864556.0E-5
6.62.9849807E-62.973154E-62.973154E-61.00.01.2792712E-51.2742028E-51.2742028E-51.00.01.5574014E-41.551233E-42.1511399E-41.38672916.0E-50.00155631030.00155016540.00161007231.03864556.0E-5
6.72.6756725E-62.6582202E-62.6582202E-61.00.01.1467117E-51.1392323E-51.1392323E-51.00.01.396032E-41.386928E-41.9868449E-41.43255086.0E-50.00139515530.00138607340.00144599031.04322786.0E-5
6.82.3283721E-62.3047783E-62.3047783E-61.00.09.9787E-69.877584E-69.877584E-61.00.01.214839E-41.2025302E-41.8024581E-41.4988886.0E-50.0012141750.0012018870.00126181481.04986166.0E-5
6.92.0972677E-62.0696405E-62.0696405E-61.00.08.988259E-68.869858E-68.869858E-61.00.01.0942656E-41.0798523E-41.6797875E-41.55557166.0E-50.00109372680.00107933340.00113926861.05552986.0E-5
7.01.7132242E-61.6787029E-61.6787029E-61.00.07.3423685E-67.1944214E-67.1944214E-61.00.08.938967E-58.75886E-51.3758423E-41.57080055.0E-58.935372E-48.755446E-49.255009E-41.05705735.0E-5
7.11.4215541E-61.3815746E-61.3815746E-61.00.06.0923603E-65.9210206E-65.9210206E-61.00.07.417196E-57.208607E-51.1208319E-41.55485224.0E-57.414721E-47.206296E-47.606007E-41.0554674.0E-5
7.29.097853E-78.60377E-78.60377E-71.00.03.899074E-63.6873246E-63.6873246E-61.00.04.7470192E-54.4892266E-57.4890915E-51.66823663.0E-54.7460053E-44.4883305E-44.7881957E-41.066813.0E-5
7.36.144169E-75.628199E-75.628199E-71.00.02.6332125E-62.4120832E-62.4120832E-61.00.03.205889E-52.9366722E-54.9366132E-51.6810232.0E-53.2054266E-42.9362892E-43.1362305E-41.06809322.0E-5
7.44.049844E-73.5728252E-73.5728252E-71.00.01.7356463E-61.5312098E-61.5312098E-61.00.02.1131287E-51.8642324E-53.864195E-52.07280762.0E-52.1129279E-41.8640784E-42.0640412E-41.10727172.0E-5
7.51.9871162E-71.5830383E-71.5830383E-71.00.08.5162094E-76.784448E-76.784448E-71.00.01.0368436E-58.260035E-61.8259952E-52.21063851.0E-51.0367952E-48.259736E-59.2596536E-51.12105921.0E-5
7.62.572245E-81.735264E-81.735264E-81.00.01.10239064E-77.436845E-87.436845E-81.00.01.3421597E-69.0543557E-79.0543557E-71.00.01.3421517E-59.054324E-69.054324E-61.00.0

Santa Cruz Island

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.9164563E-53.1599742E-59.1597845E-52.89868956.0E-51.2498499E-41.3542121E-41.9541309E-41.44300216.0E-50.00152063010.00164764260.00170754371.03635566.0E-50.0151026670.0163680.0164565261.00540859.0E-5
6.12.9164563E-53.1599742E-59.1597845E-52.89868956.0E-51.2498499E-41.3542121E-41.9541309E-41.44300216.0E-50.00152063010.00164764260.00170754371.03635566.0E-50.0151026670.0163680.0164565261.00540859.0E-5
6.22.9164563E-53.1599742E-59.1597845E-52.89868956.0E-51.2498499E-41.3542121E-41.9541309E-41.44300216.0E-50.00152063010.00164764260.00170754371.03635566.0E-50.0151026670.0163680.0164565261.00540859.0E-5
6.31.6635553E-51.780436E-52.780418E-51.56165021.0E-57.1293274E-57.630227E-58.63015E-51.13104771.0E-58.6765E-49.286024E-49.385931E-41.01075891.0E-50.0086427010.0092490940.0092788161.00321353.0E-5
6.41.6635553E-51.780436E-52.780418E-51.56165021.0E-57.1293274E-57.630227E-58.63015E-51.13104771.0E-58.6765E-49.286024E-49.385931E-41.01075891.0E-50.0086427010.0092490940.0092788161.00321353.0E-5
6.51.2238748E-51.3042996E-52.3042865E-51.7666851.0E-55.2450723E-55.5897377E-56.589682E-51.17888931.0E-56.3840044E-46.8034173E-46.9033494E-41.01468851.0E-50.00636569550.0067829880.00681278441.00439293.0E-5
6.61.0489767E-51.1156636E-52.1156524E-51.89631751.0E-54.495537E-54.781329E-55.7812813E-51.20913681.0E-55.4719415E-45.819736E-45.919677E-41.01717291.0E-50.0054584870.0058047360.005824621.00342552.0E-5
6.78.699222E-69.236783E-61.923669E-52.0826181.0E-53.7281847E-53.958561E-54.958522E-51.2526071.0E-54.5381195E-44.818488E-44.9184397E-41.02074341.0E-50.00452886340.0048081080.0048280121.00413972.0E-5
6.88.307732E-68.8169045E-61.8816816E-52.13417481.0E-53.560408E-53.7786187E-54.7785812E-51.2646371.0E-54.3339343E-44.5995016E-44.6994555E-41.02173151.0E-50.0043254920.00459003540.0046099441.00433732.0E-5
6.98.073121E-68.564939E-61.8564853E-52.16754061.0E-53.459863E-53.670637E-54.6706E-51.27242231.0E-54.2115687E-44.4680882E-44.5680435E-41.02237091.0E-50.0042035960.0044591560.0044790671.00446512.0E-5
7.07.617019E-68.074665E-61.8074585E-52.23843151.0E-53.264396E-53.4605247E-54.46049E-51.28896361.0E-53.9736772E-44.2123784E-44.3123364E-41.02372961.0E-50.0039665790.00420444130.0042243571.00473692.0E-5
7.17.1224836E-67.5457883E-61.7545713E-52.32523251.0E-53.052457E-53.2338692E-54.2338368E-51.30921711.0E-53.715733E-43.9365282E-44.0364888E-41.02539311.0E-50.0037095260.00392959830.00393955881.00253471.0E-5
7.26.441115E-66.8273835E-61.6827315E-52.464681.0E-52.7604487E-52.9259889E-53.9259598E-51.34175481.0E-53.360328E-43.5618115E-43.6617758E-41.02806561.0E-50.00335525120.00355613120.00356609561.0028021.0E-5
7.35.494274E-65.8199944E-61.5819936E-52.71820471.0E-52.3546674E-52.4942596E-53.4942346E-51.40091061.0E-52.8664304E-43.03634E-43.1363097E-41.03292441.0E-50.0028627360.00303221450.00304218431.00328791.0E-5
7.44.0802624E-64.3122564E-61.4312213E-53.31896161.0E-51.7486722E-51.8480969E-52.8480783E-51.54108721.0E-52.1288003E-42.2498264E-42.3498038E-41.04443791.0E-50.00212676220.00224755770.00225753521.00443921.0E-5
7.52.3584746E-62.4753099E-61.2475285E-55.03988841.0E-51.0107709E-51.0608428E-52.0608322E-51.94263671.0E-51.2305441E-41.2915001E-41.3914872E-41.07741941.0E-50.00122986290.00129075450.00130074161.00773741.0E-5
7.69.4981914E-79.860934E-79.860934E-71.00.04.0706473E-64.2261076E-64.2261076E-61.00.04.9559E-55.1451658E-55.1451658E-51.00.04.954795E-45.1439874E-45.1439874E-41.00.0
7.72.6013532E-72.6416632E-72.6416632E-71.00.01.1148652E-61.1321408E-61.1321408E-61.00.01.3573399E-51.3783729E-51.3783729E-51.00.01.357257E-41.378288E-41.378288E-41.00.0
7.84.1522263E-83.965698E-83.965698E-81.00.01.7795254E-71.6995848E-71.6995848E-71.00.02.16657E-62.0692428E-62.0692428E-61.00.02.1665488E-52.0692256E-52.0692256E-51.00.0
7.97.7242046E-105.9475225E-105.9475225E-101.00.03.3103735E-92.5489382E-92.5489382E-91.00.04.0303796E-83.1033323E-83.1033323E-81.00.04.030379E-73.103332E-73.103332E-71.00.0

San Pedro Basin

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.3449043E-56.337018E-59.336828E-51.47337883.0E-52.2904722E-42.7156167E-43.215481E-41.18407025.0E-50.00278508360.00330185150.00338158731.02414888.0E-50.0275043660.032589480.0326862221.00296841.0E-4
6.15.3449043E-56.337018E-59.336828E-51.47337883.0E-52.2904722E-42.7156167E-43.215481E-41.18407025.0E-50.00278508360.00330185150.00338158731.02414888.0E-50.0275043660.032589480.0326862221.00296841.0E-4
6.22.3189454E-52.6642829E-53.6642563E-51.37532561.0E-59.9379584E-51.1417881E-41.3417653E-41.17514382.0E-50.00120927490.00138928750.0014292321.02875174.0E-50.0120271550.013810890.01386021.00357035.0E-5
6.32.3189454E-52.6642829E-53.6642563E-51.37532561.0E-59.9379584E-51.1417881E-41.3417653E-41.17514382.0E-50.00120927490.00138928750.0014292321.02875174.0E-50.0120271550.013810890.01386021.00357035.0E-5
6.41.966056E-52.246342E-53.2463195E-51.44515811.0E-58.425682E-59.626848E-51.1626655E-41.20773232.0E-50.0010253440.00117147870.00121143181.03410484.0E-50.0102062590.0116571190.01169665251.00339144.0E-5
6.51.7342953E-51.9745152E-52.9744955E-51.50644341.0E-57.4324824E-58.461954E-51.0461785E-41.2363322.0E-59.04529E-40.00102979290.00106975181.03880274.0E-50.0090085610.0102539320.0102935231.0038614.0E-5
6.61.439804E-51.6322716E-52.6322554E-51.61263311.0E-56.170443E-56.99528E-57.995211E-51.14294351.0E-57.509924E-48.513747E-48.713577E-41.02347152.0E-50.00748459530.0084843330.00850416351.00233732.0E-5
6.71.2634884E-51.4285298E-52.4285155E-51.70001041.0E-55.414838E-56.122144E-57.122083E-51.16333151.0E-56.590571E-47.451466E-47.651317E-41.02682032.0E-50.0065710590.0074295020.0074493531.0026722.0E-5
6.81.146091E-51.2933193E-52.2933064E-51.77319431.0E-54.911726E-55.542696E-56.542641E-51.18040761.0E-55.9783855E-46.74644E-46.9463055E-41.02962532.0E-50.00596232760.00672889970.00674876521.00295222.0E-5
6.99.109035E-61.0235013E-52.0234911E-51.97702841.0E-53.9038136E-54.386376E-55.386332E-51.22796861.0E-54.7518566E-45.339384E-45.5392773E-41.03743762.0E-50.00474170830.00532930950.0053492031.00373282.0E-5
7.05.9351028E-66.583965E-66.583965E-61.00.02.5435906E-52.821682E-52.821682E-51.00.03.0963816E-43.4350925E-43.4350925E-41.00.00.00309207060.00343209970.00343209971.00.0
7.12.1557585E-62.2096492E-62.2096492E-61.00.09.238933E-69.469892E-69.469892E-61.00.01.1247819E-41.15289986E-41.15289986E-41.00.00.00112421280.00115231720.00115231721.00.0
7.22.1251979E-62.1779954E-62.1779954E-61.00.09.107958E-69.334234E-69.334234E-61.00.01.1088375E-41.13638525E-41.13638525E-41.00.00.00110828450.00113581950.00113581951.00.0
7.31.7145798E-61.7442885E-61.7442885E-61.00.07.3481783E-67.475501E-67.475501E-61.00.08.94604E-59.1010515E-59.1010515E-51.00.08.9424395E-49.0974156E-49.0974156E-41.00.0
7.41.4467993E-61.4641878E-61.4641878E-61.00.06.200554E-66.275076E-66.275076E-61.00.07.548913E-57.639644E-57.639644E-51.00.07.546349E-47.6370913E-47.6370913E-41.00.0
7.51.2803735E-61.2931506E-61.2931506E-61.00.05.487303E-65.5420624E-65.5420624E-61.00.06.680587E-56.747259E-56.747259E-51.00.06.678579E-46.745281E-46.745281E-41.00.0
7.66.755009E-76.76947E-76.76947E-71.00.02.8950008E-62.9011985E-62.9011985E-61.00.03.5246063E-53.532158E-53.532158E-51.00.03.5240475E-43.5316538E-43.5316538E-41.00.0
7.76.211885E-84.5699714E-84.5699714E-81.00.02.6622362E-71.9585592E-71.9585592E-71.00.03.2412677E-62.3845432E-62.3845432E-61.00.03.2412205E-52.3845198E-52.3845198E-51.00.0
7.82.6580573E-91.5138054E-91.5138054E-91.00.01.1391674E-86.4877375E-96.4877375E-91.00.01.3869362E-77.89882E-87.89882E-81.00.01.3869354E-67.89882E-77.89882E-71.00.0

San Jacinto (Coyote Creek)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.7374346E-52.41444E-58.414295E-53.48498856.0E-51.1731335E-41.034719E-41.7346466E-41.67644217.0E-50.00142735420.0012590450.00133894431.06346028.0E-50.014182210.0129281950.0130269021.0076351.0E-4
6.12.7374346E-52.41444E-58.414295E-53.48498856.0E-51.1731335E-41.034719E-41.7346466E-41.67644217.0E-50.00142735420.0012590450.00133894431.06346028.0E-50.014182210.0129281950.0130269021.0076351.0E-4
6.22.7374346E-52.41444E-58.414295E-53.48498856.0E-51.1731335E-41.034719E-41.7346466E-41.67644217.0E-50.00142735420.0012590450.00133894431.06346028.0E-50.014182210.0129281950.0130269021.0076351.0E-4
6.32.7374346E-52.41444E-58.414295E-53.48498856.0E-51.1731335E-41.034719E-41.7346466E-41.67644217.0E-50.00142735420.0012590450.00133894431.06346028.0E-50.014182210.0129281950.0130269021.0076351.0E-4
6.42.7374346E-52.41444E-58.414295E-53.48498856.0E-51.1731335E-41.034719E-41.7346466E-41.67644217.0E-50.00142735420.0012590450.00133894431.06346028.0E-50.014182210.0129281950.0130269021.0076351.0E-4
6.52.7282445E-52.4030476E-58.402904E-53.49676946.0E-51.16919524E-41.0298371E-41.7297649E-41.67964927.0E-50.00142256570.0012531080.00133300781.06376128.0E-50.0141349340.0128695220.0129682361.00767031.0E-4
6.62.7282445E-52.4030476E-58.402904E-53.49676946.0E-51.16919524E-41.0298371E-41.7297649E-41.67964927.0E-50.00142256570.0012531080.00133300781.06376128.0E-50.0141349340.0128695220.0129682361.00767031.0E-4
6.72.7216198E-52.3955597E-58.395416E-53.50457386.0E-51.1663563E-41.02662816E-41.7265564E-41.68177387.0E-50.00141911370.00124920580.00132910581.06396078.0E-50.0141008550.0128309340.0129296511.00769361.0E-4
6.82.7078617E-52.3872815E-58.387138E-53.5132596.0E-51.1604605E-41.0230807E-41.723009E-41.68413817.0E-50.0014119450.00124489170.0013247921.06418268.0E-50.0140300750.01278808250.0128868041.00771981.0E-4
6.92.6982952E-52.3792329E-58.37909E-53.52176126.0E-51.15636096E-41.0196315E-41.7195602E-41.68645257.0E-50.00140696020.00124069710.00132059781.06439988.0E-50.0139808560.0127463780.0128451041.00774541.0E-4
7.02.6449972E-52.3369357E-58.336795E-53.56740476.0E-51.1335209E-41.0015055E-41.7014354E-41.69887777.0E-50.0013791880.00121865350.00129855611.06556628.0E-50.01370659750.0125277330.012626481.00788221.0E-4
7.12.6257849E-52.3195396E-58.3194005E-53.58666016.0E-51.1252879E-49.940507E-51.693981E-41.70411947.0E-50.00136917690.00120958730.00128949061.06605838.0E-50.0136077170.0124376610.0125364171.007941.0E-4
7.22.5270041E-52.2390155E-58.238881E-53.67968926.0E-51.0829568E-49.5954296E-51.6594758E-41.7294447.0E-50.00131770240.00116761980.00124752641.06843548.0E-50.0130991620.01201879050.0121175891.00822031.0E-4
7.32.339701E-52.1122027E-58.112076E-53.84057646.0E-51.0026905E-49.051985E-51.605135E-41.77324127.0E-50.0012200920.0011015240.00118143591.07254668.0E-50.0121341490.0113576420.0114565061.00870471.0E-4
7.42.296333E-52.0852396E-58.085115E-53.87730726.0E-59.841056E-58.936436E-51.593581E-41.78324017.0E-50.00119748990.00108747010.0011673831.07348538.0E-50.0119105750.0112167540.0113156321.00881531.0E-4
7.52.2188895E-52.037534E-58.037412E-53.9446766.0E-59.50918E-58.731998E-51.5731387E-41.80157927.0E-50.00115712770.00106260420.00114251931.07520688.0E-50.0115112090.0109663690.0110652731.00901881.0E-4
7.62.0013189E-51.8961666E-57.8960526E-54.1642196.0E-58.5767984E-58.126176E-51.5125607E-41.86134377.0E-50.0010437259.889146E-40.00106883551.08081678.0E-50.0103883650.0102243710.0103233491.00968051.0E-4
7.71.7230794E-51.6743043E-57.6742035E-54.5835186.0E-57.384417E-57.175393E-51.4174891E-41.97548647.0E-58.986819E-48.732547E-49.531849E-41.09153138.0E-50.0089505620.009062920.0091620141.0109341.0E-4
7.81.4478809E-51.499039E-57.498949E-55.00250436.0E-56.205057E-56.424295E-51.3423845E-42.08954387.0E-57.552038E-47.8187784E-48.618153E-41.10223788.0E-50.00752642420.0081413880.0082405741.0121831.0E-4
7.91.1114467E-51.1644517E-57.1643815E-56.152586.0E-54.7632562E-54.990412E-51.1990063E-42.40261987.0E-55.797721E-46.074139E-46.8736525E-41.13162598.0E-50.00578261870.00638035450.0064797171.01557311.0E-4
8.09.327402E-69.8986575E-66.9898066E-57.0613686.0E-53.9973966E-54.2422133E-51.1241916E-42.6500127.0E-54.8657437E-45.163676E-45.963263E-41.15484838.0E-50.00485510330.005449940.0055493951.01824881.0E-4
8.17.0235833E-66.826985E-64.6826714E-56.85906174.0E-53.0100724E-52.9258183E-57.925672E-52.70887375.0E-53.664147E-43.5616063E-44.0614285E-41.1403365.0E-50.0036581110.00378745720.003847231.01578186.0E-5
8.22.0358202E-68.9912584E-78.9912584E-71.00.08.724915E-63.853391E-63.853391E-61.00.01.06220665E-44.6914047E-54.6914047E-51.00.00.0010616995.3239096E-45.3239096E-41.00.0
8.32.0051264E-76.61379E-86.61379E-81.00.08.5933965E-72.8344812E-72.8344812E-71.00.01.046241E-53.450976E-63.450976E-61.00.01.0461917E-44.0120205E-54.0120205E-51.00.0

Dry Mountain

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.222801E-66.439381E-63.643919E-55.65880253.0E-52.6668875E-52.7597147E-55.7596317E-52.0870393.0E-53.2464517E-43.3595937E-43.8594258E-41.14877755.0E-50.00324171320.00335607680.00345574131.02969671.0E-4
6.16.222801E-66.439381E-63.643919E-55.65880253.0E-52.6668875E-52.7597147E-55.7596317E-52.0870393.0E-53.2464517E-43.3595937E-43.8594258E-41.14877755.0E-50.00324171320.00335607680.00345574131.02969671.0E-4
6.26.222801E-66.439381E-63.643919E-55.65880253.0E-52.6668875E-52.7597147E-55.7596317E-52.0870393.0E-53.2464517E-43.3595937E-43.8594258E-41.14877755.0E-50.00324171320.00335607680.00345574131.02969671.0E-4
6.36.222801E-66.439381E-63.643919E-55.65880253.0E-52.6668875E-52.7597147E-55.7596317E-52.0870393.0E-53.2464517E-43.3595937E-43.8594258E-41.14877755.0E-50.00324171320.00335607680.00345574131.02969671.0E-4
6.46.222801E-66.439381E-63.643919E-55.65880253.0E-52.6668875E-52.7597147E-55.7596317E-52.0870393.0E-53.2464517E-43.3595937E-43.8594258E-41.14877755.0E-50.00324171320.00335607680.00345574131.02969671.0E-4
6.52.8528623E-62.9521684E-62.9521684E-61.00.01.22264955E-51.2652138E-51.2652138E-51.00.01.4884741E-41.540376E-41.6403606E-41.06490921.0E-50.00148747740.00154016160.00158011.02593144.0E-5
6.62.8528623E-62.9521684E-62.9521684E-61.00.01.22264955E-51.2652138E-51.2652138E-51.00.01.4884741E-41.540376E-41.6403606E-41.06490921.0E-50.00148747740.00154016160.00158011.02593144.0E-5
6.72.541E-62.6293578E-62.6293578E-61.00.01.0889954E-51.1268677E-51.1268677E-51.00.01.3257713E-41.3719614E-41.4719476E-41.07287841.0E-50.00132498060.00137196130.00141190641.02911534.0E-5

Big Pine (East)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.916913E-61.28172705E-54.2816886E-53.34056193.0E-54.250036E-55.493013E-51.2492629E-42.27427637.0E-55.173191E-46.685912E-47.485377E-41.11957458.0E-50.00516116430.0066704490.0067697821.01489151.0E-4
6.19.916913E-61.28172705E-54.2816886E-53.34056193.0E-54.250036E-55.493013E-51.2492629E-42.27427637.0E-55.173191E-46.685912E-47.485377E-41.11957458.0E-50.00516116430.0066704490.0067697821.01489151.0E-4
6.29.916913E-61.28172705E-54.2816886E-53.34056193.0E-54.250036E-55.493013E-51.2492629E-42.27427637.0E-55.173191E-46.685912E-47.485377E-41.11957458.0E-50.00516116430.0066704490.0067697821.01489151.0E-4
6.35.479711E-68.1132375E-62.8113076E-53.46508722.0E-52.3484265E-53.4770575E-58.4768835E-52.43794755.0E-52.858834E-44.232527E-44.832273E-41.14169936.0E-50.00285515890.00422725130.0043069131.01884488.0E-5
6.45.465009E-68.0975315E-62.8097369E-53.46986872.0E-52.3421257E-53.4703262E-58.4701525E-52.44073685.0E-52.851165E-44.2243348E-44.8240816E-41.14197426.0E-50.00284750970.004219090.00429875261.01888148.0E-5
6.54.826767E-67.4225877E-62.7422439E-53.69445822.0E-52.068598E-53.1810716E-58.180913E-52.57174735.0E-52.518227E-43.8722943E-44.472062E-41.15488686.0E-50.00251537510.00386829070.00392805831.01545076.0E-5
6.64.3146847E-66.8825234E-62.6882386E-53.9058912.0E-51.8491375E-52.949621E-57.9494734E-52.69508315.0E-52.2510924E-43.5905963E-44.190381E-41.16704326.0E-50.00224881340.00358750620.00364729091.01666476.0E-5
6.73.6968106E-65.9957474E-62.5995627E-54.33567762.0E-51.5843378E-52.5695816E-57.569453E-52.9457925.0E-51.9287605E-43.128032E-43.7278442E-41.19175396.0E-50.00192708730.00312624990.00318606241.01913246.0E-5
6.83.4671132E-65.7024477E-61.5702391E-52.7536231.0E-51.4858972E-52.4438841E-56.443786E-52.6366994.0E-51.8089297E-42.9750372E-43.4748882E-41.16801515.0E-50.00180745790.00297366660.0030235181.01676435.0E-5
6.92.7686972E-64.8254797E-64.8254797E-61.00.01.1865792E-52.0680467E-54.0680054E-51.96707622.0E-51.4445644E-42.5175634E-42.817488E-41.11913293.0E-50.00144362570.0025172560.00254718031.01188783.0E-5
7.02.1472624E-63.985277E-63.985277E-61.00.09.20252E-61.707965E-53.707931E-52.17096422.0E-51.12034926E-42.0792543E-42.2792126E-41.09616832.0E-50.00111978450.00207982380.00209978221.00959622.0E-5
7.11.7018335E-63.3450835E-63.3450835E-61.00.07.293552E-61.4335996E-53.433571E-52.39506962.0E-58.879537E-51.7452713E-41.9452363E-41.11457542.0E-58.87599E-40.00174637920.00176634431.01143232.0E-5
7.21.25603E-62.794679E-62.794679E-61.00.05.3829745E-61.1977142E-52.1977023E-51.83491371.0E-56.553574E-51.4581217E-41.5581072E-41.06857131.0E-56.551642E-40.00145961730.00146960271.00684111.0E-5
7.31.112297E-62.610519E-62.610519E-61.00.04.7669787E-61.1187892E-52.118778E-51.89381351.0E-55.803642E-51.3620428E-41.4620292E-41.07340911.0E-55.802127E-40.0013635020.00137348831.00732411.0E-5
7.41.0137181E-62.4836752E-62.4836752E-61.00.04.3444993E-61.064428E-52.0644173E-51.93946171.0E-55.2892992E-51.2958662E-41.3958532E-41.07715851.0E-55.288041E-40.00129719180.00130717891.0076991.0E-5
7.59.598608E-72.407328E-62.407328E-61.00.04.1136827E-61.03170805E-52.0316978E-51.96925641.0E-55.0082934E-51.2560343E-41.3560218E-41.07960571.0E-55.007165E-40.00125721320.00126720071.00794411.0E-5
7.67.929459E-72.0450152E-62.0450152E-61.00.03.3983351E-68.764322E-61.8764234E-52.14097951.0E-54.1373947E-51.0670057E-41.16699506E-41.09371021.0E-54.1366243E-40.00106858250.00107857191.00934821.0E-5
7.74.155788E-71.1606729E-61.1606729E-61.00.01.7810507E-64.974303E-61.4974254E-53.01032191.0E-52.1684076E-56.05605E-57.0559894E-51.16511421.0E-52.1681961E-46.085995E-46.185935E-41.01642121.0E-5
7.81.14666925E-72.592197E-72.592197E-71.00.04.914296E-71.1109411E-61.1109411E-61.00.05.9831386E-61.3525627E-51.3525627E-51.00.05.9829777E-51.3636416E-41.3636416E-41.00.0
7.92.9231824E-84.1462318E-84.1462318E-81.00.01.2527924E-71.7769564E-71.7769564E-71.00.01.5252737E-62.1634426E-62.1634426E-61.00.01.5252632E-52.197062E-52.197062E-51.00.0

Santa Cruz Catalina Ridge alt1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.2833184E-53.6558402E-58.6556574E-52.36762485.0E-51.4070606E-41.5667039E-42.1666099E-41.38290976.0E-50.001711750.00190595940.0019957881.04713039.0E-50.0169862470.0189130320.0190013311.00466869.0E-5
6.11.9835548E-52.1659505E-55.1658855E-52.38504313.0E-58.500672E-59.282326E-51.2282048E-41.32316483.0E-50.00103446550.00112955750.00116951231.03537214.0E-50.0102966320.0112402960.0112798461.00351864.0E-5
6.21.9835548E-52.1659505E-55.1658855E-52.38504313.0E-58.500672E-59.282326E-51.2282048E-41.32316483.0E-50.00103446550.00112955750.00116951231.03537214.0E-50.0102966320.0112402960.0112798461.00351864.0E-5
6.31.5728183E-51.703395E-53.703361E-52.1741062.0E-56.7404755E-57.300063E-59.299917E-51.27395022.0E-58.2034385E-48.884264E-49.183997E-41.03373753.0E-50.0081732220.0088494270.0088791611.003363.0E-5
6.41.5728183E-51.703395E-53.703361E-52.1741062.0E-56.7404755E-57.300063E-59.299917E-51.27395022.0E-58.2034385E-48.884264E-49.183997E-41.03373753.0E-50.0081732220.0088494270.0088791611.003363.0E-5
6.51.3707734E-51.4794522E-53.4794226E-52.35183172.0E-55.8746107E-56.3403575E-58.34023E-51.31541972.0E-57.1499916E-47.716686E-48.0164545E-41.03884693.0E-50.00712703030.00769028950.0077200591.0038713.0E-5
6.61.2539813E-51.3510219E-53.350995E-52.4803412.0E-55.3740947E-55.789967E-57.789851E-51.34540512.0E-56.540996E-47.0470315E-47.2468905E-41.02836072.0E-50.00652177630.00702498850.0070448481.00282692.0E-5
6.71.1504083E-51.2377375E-53.2377127E-52.61583162.0E-54.930228E-55.3044827E-57.304377E-51.37701962.0E-56.0008996E-46.456314E-46.6561846E-41.03095752.0E-50.0059847210.0064377860.0064576571.00308672.0E-5
6.81.012739E-51.0877071E-53.0876854E-52.83871032.0E-54.340238E-54.6615194E-56.6614266E-51.42902472.0E-55.282958E-45.673937E-45.8738235E-41.03522882.0E-50.00527041640.00565961930.00567950631.00351382.0E-5
6.98.9607865E-69.609117E-62.9608926E-53.08133672.0E-53.8402806E-54.1181287E-56.1180464E-51.48563742.0E-54.6745385E-45.012679E-45.2125787E-41.03987882.0E-50.00466471770.0050014920.0050213921.00397882.0E-5
7.08.046829E-68.619746E-61.861966E-52.1601171.0E-53.4485955E-53.694125E-54.694088E-51.27069011.0E-54.1978562E-44.496677E-44.5966322E-41.02222861.0E-50.0041899350.00448766860.0044976241.00221841.0E-5
7.17.136131E-67.637656E-61.763758E-52.30929231.0E-53.0583058E-53.2732405E-54.2732077E-51.30549761.0E-53.7228514E-43.9844486E-44.084409E-41.02508761.0E-50.00371662060.0039773810.00398734171.00250421.0E-5
7.26.362014E-66.8049585E-61.680489E-52.46950671.0E-52.726549E-52.9163786E-53.9163493E-51.3428811.0E-53.3190678E-43.550119E-43.6500834E-41.02815811.0E-50.00331411490.0035445160.00355448061.00281131.0E-5
7.35.004101E-65.351715E-61.5351661E-52.86854981.0E-52.1445969E-52.2935723E-53.293549E-51.4359911.0E-52.6107338E-42.792072E-42.8920438E-41.03580571.0E-50.0026076690.00278861870.00279859081.0035761.0E-5
7.43.4901443E-63.7320526E-61.3732015E-53.67948081.0E-51.4957676E-51.5994416E-52.5994255E-51.62520831.0E-51.8209449E-41.9471499E-42.0471304E-41.05134711.0E-50.00181945340.00194548230.00195546291.00513021.0E-5
7.51.1215045E-61.189387E-61.1189375E-59.4076821.0E-54.806439E-65.097363E-61.5097312E-52.96178871.0E-55.851682E-56.205866E-57.205804E-51.16112781.0E-55.850142E-46.2041637E-46.3041016E-41.01610821.0E-5
7.62.8599047E-72.9951994E-72.9951994E-71.00.01.2256729E-61.2836562E-61.2836562E-61.00.01.4922465E-51.5628404E-51.5628404E-51.00.01.4921463E-41.5627318E-41.5627318E-41.00.0
7.72.0781519E-72.1744323E-72.1744323E-71.00.08.906362E-79.3189925E-79.3189925E-71.00.01.08434415E-51.13458145E-51.13458145E-51.00.01.0842913E-41.1345245E-41.1345245E-41.00.0
7.83.614776E-83.764102E-83.764102E-81.00.01.5491896E-71.6131864E-71.6131864E-71.00.01.8861368E-61.9640527E-61.9640527E-61.00.01.8861208E-51.9640367E-51.9640367E-51.00.0

Sheephole

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5579695E-64.7412627E-62.4741168E-55.21826552.0E-51.9534009E-52.031957E-55.031896E-52.47637923.0E-52.3780059E-42.473682E-42.7736078E-41.12124673.0E-50.00237546280.0024714730.00255127551.03228948.0E-5
6.14.5579695E-64.7412627E-62.4741168E-55.21826552.0E-51.9534009E-52.031957E-55.031896E-52.47637923.0E-52.3780059E-42.473682E-42.7736078E-41.12124673.0E-50.00237546280.0024714730.00255127551.03228948.0E-5
6.22.6677674E-62.7873941E-61.2787366E-54.587571.0E-51.1433239E-51.1945926E-52.1945807E-51.83709541.0E-51.3919079E-41.4543302E-41.5543157E-41.06875011.0E-50.00139103640.00145348440.00149342631.02748014.0E-5
6.32.6677674E-62.7873941E-61.2787366E-54.587571.0E-51.1433239E-51.1945926E-52.1945807E-51.83709541.0E-51.3919079E-41.4543302E-41.5543157E-41.06875011.0E-50.00139103640.00145348440.00149342631.02748014.0E-5
6.42.2159759E-62.3228788E-61.2322856E-55.3049931.0E-59.497005E-69.955161E-61.9955061E-52.00449421.0E-51.156199E-41.2119815E-41.3119694E-41.08249951.0E-50.00115559760.00121139990.00123137561.01648992.0E-5
6.52.1986082E-62.304759E-61.2304736E-55.33883861.0E-59.4225725E-69.877506E-61.9877407E-52.01239131.0E-51.1471378E-41.2025281E-41.302516E-41.08314811.0E-50.00114654580.00120195660.00122193261.01661962.0E-5
6.61.5232331E-61.6018919E-61.16018755E-57.24260851.0E-56.5281256E-66.865234E-61.6865166E-52.45660471.0E-57.947703E-58.35812E-59.358037E-51.11963421.0E-57.9448614E-48.3551643E-48.554997E-41.02391732.0E-5
6.71.3137362E-61.382819E-61.13828055E-58.2315941.0E-55.6302856E-65.926355E-61.5926295E-52.6873681.0E-56.854657E-57.215112E-58.21504E-51.1385881.0E-56.8525434E-47.212908E-47.412764E-41.0277082.0E-5
6.81.2275751E-61.2922847E-61.1292272E-58.7382231.0E-55.2610258E-65.5383516E-61.5538297E-52.80558131.0E-56.4051106E-56.7427485E-57.7426805E-51.14829741.0E-56.4032647E-46.740836E-46.940701E-41.02964992.0E-5
6.91.1837088E-61.246102E-61.246102E-61.00.05.0730278E-65.340427E-65.340427E-61.00.06.176237E-56.501789E-56.501789E-51.00.06.17452E-46.5000186E-46.5999536E-41.01537451.0E-5
7.09.849371E-71.0366288E-61.0366288E-61.00.04.2211523E-64.442688E-64.442688E-61.00.05.1391315E-55.4088487E-55.4088487E-51.00.05.137943E-45.407633E-45.5075786E-41.01848231.0E-5
7.18.1643645E-78.591669E-78.591669E-71.00.03.4990085E-63.682139E-63.682139E-61.00.04.2599597E-54.482921E-54.482921E-51.00.04.259143E-44.4821028E-44.5820582E-41.0223011.0E-5
7.25.7295756E-76.029502E-76.029502E-71.00.02.45553E-62.58407E-62.58407E-61.00.02.9895667E-53.1460666E-53.1460666E-51.00.02.9891645E-43.145688E-43.145688E-41.00.0

Oak Ridge (Onshore)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.155064E-52.9526076E-54.9525486E-51.67734732.0E-51.3521002E-41.265344E-41.4653188E-41.15803982.0E-50.0016449390.00153950580.00156945961.01945673.0E-50.016328160.0152930540.0153718311.00515128.0E-5
6.13.155064E-52.9526076E-54.9525486E-51.67734732.0E-51.3521002E-41.265344E-41.4653188E-41.15803982.0E-50.0016449390.00153950580.00156945961.01945673.0E-50.016328160.0152930540.0153718311.00515128.0E-5
6.23.155064E-52.9526076E-54.9525486E-51.67734732.0E-51.3521002E-41.265344E-41.4653188E-41.15803982.0E-50.0016449390.00153950580.00156945961.01945673.0E-50.016328160.0152930540.0153718311.00515128.0E-5
6.33.155064E-52.9526076E-54.9525486E-51.67734732.0E-51.3521002E-41.265344E-41.4653188E-41.15803982.0E-50.0016449390.00153950580.00156945961.01945673.0E-50.016328160.0152930540.0153718311.00515128.0E-5
6.43.155064E-52.9526076E-54.9525486E-51.67734732.0E-51.3521002E-41.265344E-41.4653188E-41.15803982.0E-50.0016449390.00153950580.00156945961.01945673.0E-50.016328160.0152930540.0153718311.00515128.0E-5
6.53.155064E-52.9526076E-54.9525486E-51.67734732.0E-51.3521002E-41.265344E-41.4653188E-41.15803982.0E-50.0016449390.00153950580.00156945961.01945673.0E-50.016328160.0152930540.0153718311.00515128.0E-5
6.63.155064E-52.9526076E-54.9525486E-51.67734732.0E-51.3521002E-41.265344E-41.4653188E-41.15803982.0E-50.0016449390.00153950580.00156945961.01945673.0E-50.016328160.0152930540.0153718311.00515128.0E-5
6.73.098897E-52.8864279E-54.88637E-51.6928782.0E-51.328031E-41.236984E-41.4369593E-41.16166352.0E-50.00161567850.00150502530.00153498011.01990323.0E-50.0160398220.0149529090.0150317131.00527018.0E-5
6.83.0449872E-52.8239476E-54.823891E-51.70820842.0E-51.3049292E-41.2102092E-41.410185E-41.16524062.0E-50.00158759350.0014724710.00150242691.02034393.0E-50.0157629920.0146316580.0147104871.00538758.0E-5
6.92.697928E-52.4219877E-54.4219392E-51.8257482.0E-51.15620365E-41.03795464E-41.2379339E-41.19266662.0E-50.00140676890.00126299880.00129296081.0237233.0E-50.01397896650.0125610660.0126400611.00628898.0E-5
7.02.4893961E-52.1862146E-54.186171E-51.91480332.0E-51.0668404E-49.369165E-51.1368978E-41.21344612.0E-50.00129810430.00114011660.00116009381.01752212.0E-50.0129054770.0113451020.0114143081.00617.0E-5
7.12.0945363E-51.7354592E-53.7354246E-52.15241272.0E-58.976275E-57.437473E-59.4373245E-51.26888852.0E-50.00109231369.0514094E-49.251228E-41.0220762.0E-50.01086960.0090156210.0090750791.00659516.0E-5
7.22.0439404E-51.680953E-53.6809193E-52.18978122.0E-58.7594504E-57.203888E-59.203744E-51.27760792.0E-50.00106594138.767251E-48.967076E-41.02279222.0E-50.0106084270.0087337230.0087931991.006816.0E-5
7.31.8463334E-51.5381947E-53.538164E-52.30020552.0E-57.912617E-56.592098E-58.5919666E-51.30337362.0E-59.6293533E-48.0229685E-48.2228077E-41.02490842.0E-50.0095877340.00799500850.0080446091.00620395.0E-5
7.41.763139E-51.4516977E-53.4516688E-52.37767722.0E-57.556091E-56.221415E-58.221291E-51.32145022.0E-59.1956573E-47.57198E-47.771829E-41.02639322.0E-50.0091576990.0075471260.00759674841.0065755.0E-5
7.51.3594944E-51.1163363E-53.1163137E-52.7915552.0E-55.8262744E-54.7842117E-56.784116E-51.41802172.0E-57.0911803E-45.8232463E-46.0231297E-41.03432512.0E-50.0070685950.0058083620.0058580711.00855835.0E-5
7.66.9889534E-65.6367194E-61.5636662E-52.77407151.0E-52.9952313E-52.4157147E-53.4156907E-51.41394621.0E-53.646084E-42.94074E-43.0407106E-41.0339951.0E-50.00364010730.00293689240.00296680441.01018493.0E-5
7.74.0824193E-63.2832731E-63.2832731E-61.00.01.7495966E-51.4071096E-51.4071096E-51.00.02.1299256E-41.7130225E-41.7130225E-41.00.00.00212788510.00171171550.00172169841.00583211.0E-5
7.81.7023609E-61.43706E-61.43706E-61.00.07.295812E-66.158814E-66.158814E-61.00.08.882289E-57.4981006E-57.4981006E-51.00.08.8787393E-47.4955984E-47.4955984E-41.00.0
7.92.721225E-72.261692E-72.261692E-71.00.01.1662388E-69.692963E-79.692963E-71.00.01.4198865E-51.1801121E-51.1801121E-51.00.01.4197957E-41.1800523E-41.1800523E-41.00.0
8.09.364255E-95.1204916E-95.1204916E-91.00.04.0132523E-82.1944963E-82.1944963E-81.00.04.8861335E-72.671799E-72.671799E-71.00.04.8861225E-62.6717962E-62.6717962E-61.00.0

Santa Ynez River

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6396456E-51.7209444E-54.7208927E-52.74319893.0E-57.026863E-57.3752875E-51.237492E-41.67788975.0E-58.551848E-48.976069E-49.5755304E-41.06678446.0E-50.00851901250.0089433630.00902264751.00886528.0E-5
6.11.6396456E-51.7209444E-54.7208927E-52.74319893.0E-57.026863E-57.3752875E-51.237492E-41.67788975.0E-58.551848E-48.976069E-49.5755304E-41.06678446.0E-50.00851901250.0089433630.00902264751.00886528.0E-5
6.21.6396456E-51.7209444E-54.7208927E-52.74319893.0E-57.026863E-57.3752875E-51.237492E-41.67788975.0E-58.551848E-48.976069E-49.5755304E-41.06678446.0E-50.00851901250.0089433630.00902264751.00886528.0E-5
6.39.736976E-61.01223395E-51.01223395E-51.00.04.172923E-54.338076E-56.337989E-51.46101392.0E-55.0793495E-45.280378E-45.5802194E-41.05678423.0E-50.0050677550.00526833670.0053081261.00755254.0E-5
6.49.736976E-61.01223395E-51.01223395E-51.00.04.172923E-54.338076E-56.337989E-51.46101392.0E-55.0793495E-45.280378E-45.5802194E-41.05678423.0E-50.0050677550.00526833670.0053081261.00755254.0E-5
6.57.081964E-67.329905E-67.329905E-61.00.03.035092E-53.141351E-55.141288E-51.63664882.0E-53.694598E-43.8239395E-44.023863E-41.05228212.0E-50.00368846160.00381752150.0038474071.00782853.0E-5
6.65.873247E-66.0597517E-66.0597517E-61.00.02.5170815E-52.5970112E-54.596959E-51.77009612.0E-53.064116E-43.161411E-43.3613478E-41.06324292.0E-50.00305989430.0031570010.00318690621.00947273.0E-5
6.74.973277E-65.11591E-65.11591E-61.00.02.1313872E-52.1925147E-54.1924708E-51.91217462.0E-52.5946548E-42.6690646E-42.869011E-41.07491272.0E-50.00259162740.00266590780.00269582771.01122323.0E-5
6.84.396492E-64.510987E-64.510987E-61.00.01.884197E-51.933266E-53.9332273E-52.0344992.0E-52.2937685E-42.3535005E-42.5534534E-41.08495972.0E-50.00229140230.00235104330.00237099641.00848692.0E-5
6.93.5255632E-63.6013423E-63.6013423E-61.00.01.5109469E-51.5434234E-52.543408E-51.64790031.0E-51.8394225E-41.8789574E-41.9789387E-41.0532111.0E-50.00183790070.0018773850.00188736621.00531661.0E-5
7.03.211603E-63.273663E-63.273663E-61.00.01.376394E-51.402991E-52.4029769E-51.71275291.0E-51.6756308E-41.708009E-41.807992E-41.05853771.0E-50.00167436790.00170671040.00171669341.00584921.0E-5
7.12.5094619E-62.5409295E-62.5409295E-61.00.01.0754793E-51.0889652E-51.0889652E-51.00.01.3093173E-41.325735E-41.325735E-41.00.00.00130854620.00132495030.00132495031.00.0
7.22.0515774E-62.0619466E-62.0619466E-61.00.08.792445E-68.836884E-68.836884E-61.00.01.0704277E-41.0758379E-41.0758379E-41.00.00.00106991220.00107532150.00107532151.00.0
7.31.6845745E-61.6773996E-61.6773996E-61.00.07.219585E-67.1888358E-67.1888358E-61.00.08.78949E-58.752059E-58.752059E-51.00.08.7860145E-48.7486405E-48.7486405E-41.00.0
7.41.3600285E-61.3333447E-61.3333447E-61.00.05.82868E-65.714322E-65.714322E-61.00.07.096187E-56.956967E-56.956967E-51.00.07.0939213E-46.9548114E-46.9548114E-41.00.0
7.59.735342E-79.2901894E-79.2901894E-71.00.04.172283E-63.9815036E-63.9815036E-61.00.05.079636E-54.8473747E-54.8473747E-51.00.05.0784746E-44.8463346E-44.8463346E-41.00.0
7.65.067187E-74.778609E-74.778609E-71.00.02.1716498E-62.0479738E-62.0479738E-61.00.02.6439517E-52.4933803E-52.4933803E-51.00.02.643637E-42.493108E-42.493108E-41.00.0
7.72.769089E-72.5759346E-72.5759346E-71.00.01.1867519E-61.1039714E-61.1039714E-61.00.01.4448608E-51.344077E-51.344077E-51.00.01.444767E-41.343996E-41.343996E-41.00.0
7.81.7044663E-71.5449208E-71.5449208E-71.00.07.3048534E-76.6210873E-76.6210873E-71.00.08.893623E-68.061144E-68.061144E-61.00.08.893267E-58.060854E-58.060854E-51.00.0
7.94.8344287E-84.0911143E-84.0911143E-81.00.02.0718979E-71.7533345E-71.7533345E-71.00.02.5225327E-62.1346827E-62.1346827E-61.00.02.5225041E-52.1346626E-52.1346626E-51.00.0

San Jacinto (Lytle Creek connector)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.693995E-66.660123E-65.665979E-58.50731855.0E-52.8688235E-52.8543072E-59.854107E-53.4523647.0E-53.492233E-43.4745657E-44.2742878E-41.23016468.0E-50.003486750.00354911670.00362883281.02246088.0E-5
6.16.693995E-66.660123E-65.665979E-58.50731855.0E-52.8688235E-52.8543072E-59.854107E-53.4523647.0E-53.492233E-43.4745657E-44.2742878E-41.23016468.0E-50.003486750.00354911670.00362883281.02246088.0E-5
6.26.693995E-66.660123E-65.665979E-58.50731855.0E-52.8688235E-52.8543072E-59.854107E-53.4523647.0E-53.492233E-43.4745657E-44.2742878E-41.23016468.0E-50.003486750.00354911670.00362883281.02246088.0E-5
6.36.693995E-66.660123E-65.665979E-58.50731855.0E-52.8688235E-52.8543072E-59.854107E-53.4523647.0E-53.492233E-43.4745657E-44.2742878E-41.23016468.0E-50.003486750.00354911670.00362883281.02246088.0E-5
6.46.693995E-66.660123E-65.665979E-58.50731855.0E-52.8688235E-52.8543072E-59.854107E-53.4523647.0E-53.492233E-43.4745657E-44.2742878E-41.23016468.0E-50.003486750.00354911670.00362883281.02246088.0E-5
6.56.6561875E-66.620341E-65.662001E-58.5524315.0E-52.8526205E-52.8372582E-59.83706E-53.46710067.0E-53.472512E-43.453815E-44.2535388E-41.2315488.0E-50.00346709070.00352843220.003608151.02259298.0E-5
6.66.6561875E-66.620341E-65.662001E-58.5524315.0E-52.8526205E-52.8372582E-59.83706E-53.46710067.0E-53.472512E-43.453815E-44.2535388E-41.2315488.0E-50.00346709070.00352843220.003608151.02259298.0E-5
6.76.5802237E-66.539518E-65.653919E-58.6457745.0E-52.8200653E-52.8026205E-59.802424E-53.49759247.0E-53.4328885E-43.4116567E-44.211384E-41.23441028.0E-50.00342759020.00348640650.00356612771.02286628.0E-5
6.86.575632E-66.5340073E-65.653368E-58.6522225.0E-52.8180975E-52.8002589E-59.800063E-53.49969897.0E-53.4304935E-43.4087826E-44.20851E-41.23460798.0E-50.00342520260.00348354130.00356326281.02288518.0E-5
6.96.570433E-66.525401E-65.6525074E-58.6623135.0E-52.8158694E-52.7965707E-59.796375E-53.50299577.0E-53.4277816E-43.4042934E-44.2040212E-41.23491748.0E-50.00342249920.00347906650.00355878821.02291468.0E-5
7.06.5643826E-66.5155223E-65.6515197E-58.6739325.0E-52.8132765E-52.7923368E-59.792142E-53.50679097.0E-53.424626E-43.3991406E-44.1988687E-41.23527368.0E-50.00341935320.00347392960.00355365171.02294868.0E-5
7.16.557402E-66.504234E-65.6503908E-58.687255.0E-52.8102848E-52.7874992E-59.787304E-53.51114157.0E-53.4209844E-43.3932526E-44.192981E-41.2356828.0E-50.00341572290.00346806060.00354778321.02298768.0E-5
7.26.546394E-66.4862006E-65.6485875E-58.7086235.0E-52.8055672E-52.7797707E-59.779576E-53.51812347.0E-53.4152428E-43.383846E-44.1835752E-41.23633748.0E-50.00340999870.00345868830.00353841161.02305028.0E-5
7.36.5364216E-66.4669857E-65.6466662E-58.7315275.0E-52.8012933E-52.771536E-59.771342E-53.52560547.0E-53.4100408E-43.373823E-44.1735533E-41.23703978.0E-50.0034048130.00344871030.00352843431.02311718.0E-5
7.46.5269523E-66.4480723E-65.644775E-58.7542065.0E-52.7972354E-52.7634303E-59.763237E-53.53301367.0E-53.4051016E-43.3639578E-44.1636886E-41.23773528.0E-50.00339988880.00343889230.0035186171.02318338.0E-5
7.56.5111835E-66.424346E-65.6424025E-58.7828445.0E-52.7904773E-52.753262E-59.753069E-53.54236877.0E-53.3968766E-43.3515817E-44.1513136E-41.23861328.0E-50.00339168870.00342656440.00350629031.0232678.0E-5
7.66.4768806E-66.383454E-65.6383135E-58.83275.0E-52.7757764E-52.7357375E-59.7355456E-53.5586557.0E-53.3789838E-43.330252E-44.1299855E-41.24014218.0E-50.00337385040.00340529720.00348502471.02341288.0E-5
7.76.1655364E-66.1759456E-65.6175635E-59.0958775.0E-52.642346E-52.646807E-59.646622E-53.64462617.0E-53.2165812E-43.2220117E-44.0217538E-41.24821218.0E-50.00321192950.00329693620.00337667251.0241858.0E-5
7.85.5043524E-65.7370175E-65.573673E-59.715285.0E-52.3589868E-52.4586987E-59.4585266E-53.84696467.0E-52.871688E-42.993055E-43.7928156E-41.26720558.0E-50.00286797970.00306705850.00314681331.02600368.0E-5
7.93.889249E-64.0766436E-65.407644E-513.2649415.0E-51.6668104E-51.7471213E-58.746999E-55.00652077.0E-52.0291525E-42.126913E-42.926743E-41.3760528.0E-50.00202730070.00219410730.00227393191.03638128.0E-5
8.02.668535E-62.5313454E-64.2531243E-516.8018344.0E-51.1436528E-51.0848577E-56.0848037E-55.6088495.0E-51.3923083E-41.3207346E-41.8206685E-41.37852725.0E-50.00139143630.00137556650.00142549771.03629865.0E-5
8.11.5911459E-61.2185134E-62.121849E-517.4134242.0E-56.8191785E-65.2221894E-63.5222034E-56.74468663.0E-58.3020335E-56.357832E-59.357642E-51.47182893.0E-58.298933E-46.6911156E-46.9909147E-41.04480553.0E-5
8.26.1294963E-72.1802066E-72.1802066E-71.00.02.6269242E-69.3437393E-79.3437393E-71.00.03.1982334E-51.1375943E-51.1375943E-51.00.03.1977732E-41.2778955E-41.2778955E-41.00.0
8.31.762871E-74.7516316E-84.7516316E-81.00.07.5551594E-72.0364133E-72.0364133E-71.00.09.1983675E-62.4793305E-62.4793305E-61.00.09.197987E-52.8671833E-52.8671833E-51.00.0

Raymond

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5157413E-51.5810125E-52.5809968E-51.6324961.0E-56.4958724E-56.775606E-57.775539E-51.14757821.0E-57.905855E-48.246429E-48.5461815E-41.03634943.0E-50.0078777880.0082183550.0082976971.00965438.0E-5
6.11.5157413E-51.5810125E-52.5809968E-51.6324961.0E-56.4958724E-56.775606E-57.775539E-51.14757821.0E-57.905855E-48.246429E-48.5461815E-41.03634943.0E-50.0078777880.0082183550.0082976971.00965438.0E-5
6.21.5157413E-51.5810125E-52.5809968E-51.6324961.0E-56.4958724E-56.775606E-57.775539E-51.14757821.0E-57.905855E-48.246429E-48.5461815E-41.03634943.0E-50.0078777880.0082183550.0082976971.00965438.0E-5
6.31.5157413E-51.5810125E-52.5809968E-51.6324961.0E-56.4958724E-56.775606E-57.775539E-51.14757821.0E-57.905855E-48.246429E-48.5461815E-41.03634943.0E-50.0078777880.0082183550.0082976971.00965438.0E-5
6.41.3941944E-51.4454688E-52.4454543E-51.6918071.0E-55.9749822E-56.194732E-57.1946706E-51.16141751.0E-57.2721124E-47.53971E-47.839484E-41.03975933.0E-50.0072483610.0075164710.00759586971.01056338.0E-5
6.51.3941944E-51.4454688E-52.4454543E-51.6918071.0E-55.9749822E-56.194732E-57.1946706E-51.16141751.0E-57.2721124E-47.53971E-47.839484E-41.03975933.0E-50.0072483610.0075164710.00759586971.01056338.0E-5
6.61.0542609E-51.067111E-51.067111E-51.00.04.5181827E-54.573256E-54.573256E-51.00.05.499499E-45.566571E-45.76646E-41.03590882.0E-50.0054859090.00555319660.0056228081.01253537.0E-5
6.71.0542609E-51.067111E-51.067111E-51.00.04.5181827E-54.573256E-54.573256E-51.00.05.499499E-45.566571E-45.76646E-41.03590882.0E-50.0054859090.00555319660.0056228081.01253537.0E-5
6.81.0079132E-51.0176644E-51.0176644E-51.00.04.3195567E-54.3613487E-54.3613487E-51.00.05.257791E-45.308702E-45.408649E-41.0188271.0E-50.00524536850.00529657770.00534631271.00939015.0E-5
6.97.721598E-67.548902E-67.548902E-61.00.03.3092143E-53.2352043E-53.2352043E-51.00.04.0282236E-43.9381615E-44.038122E-41.02538251.0E-50.00402092930.0039313240.00395124551.00506732.0E-5
7.07.137566E-66.911303E-66.911303E-61.00.03.058921E-52.961954E-52.961954E-51.00.03.7236E-43.605593E-43.705557E-41.02772471.0E-50.00371736680.0035998690.0036197971.00553572.0E-5
7.15.654976E-65.299538E-65.299538E-61.00.02.4235387E-52.2712107E-52.2712107E-51.00.02.9502588E-42.7648505E-42.7648505E-41.00.00.00294634510.00276144920.00277142161.00361131.0E-5
7.24.9358455E-64.526655E-64.526655E-61.00.02.1153453E-51.9399806E-51.9399806E-51.00.02.5751285E-42.3616718E-42.3616718E-41.00.00.00257214650.0023591920.00236916821.00422871.0E-5
7.34.2368597E-63.8056128E-63.8056128E-61.00.01.8157843E-51.6309668E-51.6309668E-51.00.02.2104931E-41.9855222E-41.9855222E-41.00.00.00220829550.00198377460.00198377461.00.0
7.43.4999923E-63.0437407E-63.0437407E-61.00.01.49998805E-51.3044538E-51.3044538E-51.00.01.8260824E-41.5880575E-41.5880575E-41.00.00.00182458260.00158694610.00158694611.00.0
7.52.738017E-62.3020405E-62.3020405E-61.00.01.1734306E-59.865851E-69.865851E-61.00.01.428558E-41.20110184E-41.20110184E-41.00.00.00142764010.00120047470.00120047471.00.0
7.61.8186392E-61.442302E-61.442302E-61.00.07.794145E-66.1812802E-66.1812802E-61.00.09.488958E-57.5254524E-57.5254524E-51.00.09.4849075E-47.5230957E-47.5230957E-41.00.0
7.71.0660348E-67.6437E-77.6437E-71.00.04.5687125E-63.2758674E-63.2758674E-61.00.05.5622655E-53.988297E-53.988297E-51.00.05.5608735E-43.9877492E-43.9877492E-41.00.0
7.86.913602E-74.3202903E-74.3202903E-71.00.02.962969E-61.8515517E-61.8515517E-61.00.03.607355E-52.2542416E-52.2542416E-51.00.03.6067693E-42.2541684E-42.2541684E-41.00.0
7.97.425201E-85.322267E-85.322267E-81.00.03.1822285E-72.2809714E-72.2809714E-71.00.03.874356E-62.7770805E-62.7770805E-61.00.03.8742884E-52.7770588E-52.7770588E-51.00.0

Hosgri (Extension)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1369135E-51.2083073E-53.2082833E-52.6551882.0E-54.8723956E-55.17837E-58.178214E-51.57930293.0E-55.9305265E-46.303069E-46.7028165E-41.06342114.0E-50.0059147250.006287440.0063571.01106337.0E-5
6.16.934979E-67.324556E-61.7324483E-52.36526041.0E-52.9721E-53.13906E-55.1389972E-51.63711352.0E-53.617931E-43.821177E-44.0211005E-41.05231992.0E-50.00361204640.0038150190.00384490471.00783363.0E-5
6.26.934979E-67.324556E-61.7324483E-52.36526041.0E-52.9721E-53.13906E-55.1389972E-51.63711352.0E-53.617931E-43.821177E-44.0211005E-41.05231992.0E-50.00361204640.0038150190.00384490471.00783363.0E-5
6.34.5484676E-64.769331E-64.769331E-61.00.01.9493287E-52.0439833E-53.0439629E-51.48923081.0E-52.3730492E-42.4882698E-42.588245E-41.04017851.0E-50.00237051680.00248552630.00250547661.00802662.0E-5
6.44.218095E-64.416863E-64.416863E-61.00.01.8077424E-51.8929275E-52.8929086E-51.52827231.0E-52.2007042E-42.3043988E-42.4043758E-41.04338531.0E-50.0021985260.0023020430.00232199671.0086682.0E-5
6.53.717374E-63.883879E-63.883879E-61.00.01.5931506E-51.664509E-52.6644922E-51.60076791.0E-51.9394881E-42.026353E-42.1263327E-41.04933981.0E-50.00193779620.00202452410.00204448361.00985882.0E-5
6.63.4605036E-63.6083072E-63.6083072E-61.00.01.4830645E-51.5464082E-52.5463927E-51.64664971.0E-51.8054814E-41.8825909E-41.982572E-41.05310831.0E-50.00180401520.00188101070.0019009731.01061262.0E-5
6.73.123439E-63.2465698E-63.2465698E-61.00.01.33860985E-51.39137965E-52.3913657E-51.71870111.0E-51.6296357E-41.6938741E-41.7938572E-41.05902621.0E-50.0016284410.0016925940.00171256011.01179622.0E-5
6.82.8290783E-62.9305413E-62.9305413E-61.00.01.2124565E-51.2559403E-51.2559403E-51.00.01.4760658E-41.5290009E-41.5290009E-41.00.00.00147508570.00152795760.00153794231.00653471.0E-5
6.92.454112E-62.5283207E-62.5283207E-61.00.01.0517581E-51.0835615E-51.0835615E-51.00.01.2804402E-41.3191569E-41.3191569E-41.00.00.00127970280.00131837990.00132836671.0075751.0E-5
7.02.1008145E-62.1498715E-62.1498715E-61.00.09.003459E-69.2137025E-69.2137025E-61.00.01.096116E-41.1217109E-41.1217109E-41.00.00.00109557550.00112114850.00113113731.00890951.0E-5
7.11.744384E-61.7686364E-61.7686364E-61.00.07.47591E-67.579848E-67.579848E-61.00.09.1015405E-59.228076E-59.228076E-51.00.09.097813E-49.224261E-49.324169E-41.0108311.0E-5
7.21.5456587E-61.5562894E-61.5562894E-61.00.06.6242346E-66.6697944E-66.6697944E-61.00.08.064707E-58.120173E-58.120173E-51.00.08.0617814E-48.117219E-48.2171377E-41.01230941.0E-5
7.31.3775123E-61.3766092E-61.3766092E-61.00.05.9036106E-65.8997407E-65.8997407E-61.00.07.187409E-57.182699E-57.182699E-51.00.07.185085E-47.180387E-47.2803156E-41.01391691.0E-5
7.41.214491E-61.2023471E-61.2023471E-61.00.05.2049513E-65.152906E-65.152906E-61.00.06.336844E-56.2734835E-56.2734835E-51.00.06.335037E-46.2717206E-46.371658E-41.01593461.0E-5
7.51.0101123E-69.842256E-79.842256E-71.00.04.3290456E-64.218103E-64.218103E-61.00.05.2704854E-55.13542E-55.13542E-51.00.05.2692357E-45.1342393E-45.1342393E-41.00.0
7.68.1558215E-77.765977E-77.765977E-71.00.03.4953473E-63.3282718E-63.3282718E-61.00.04.255502E-54.0520958E-54.0520958E-51.00.04.2546875E-44.0513615E-44.0513615E-41.00.0
7.74.757816E-74.1308996E-74.1308996E-71.00.02.0390623E-61.7703843E-61.7703843E-61.00.02.4825302E-52.1554217E-52.1554217E-51.00.02.482253E-42.1552139E-42.1552139E-41.00.0
7.82.782787E-72.004783E-72.004783E-71.00.01.1926223E-68.591924E-78.591924E-71.00.01.452008E-51.0460618E-51.0460618E-51.00.01.4519131E-41.04601284E-41.04601284E-41.00.0
7.91.6948086E-79.243938E-89.243938E-81.00.07.2634634E-73.961687E-73.961687E-71.00.08.843231E-64.8233433E-64.8233433E-61.00.08.842879E-54.8232392E-54.8232392E-51.00.0
8.01.0225492E-74.473497E-84.473497E-81.00.04.382353E-71.917213E-71.917213E-71.00.05.335502E-62.3342043E-62.3342043E-61.00.05.335374E-52.33418E-52.33418E-51.00.0
8.11.43711345E-85.78716E-95.78716E-91.00.06.1590576E-82.4802116E-82.4802116E-81.00.07.4986497E-73.019657E-73.019657E-71.00.07.4986247E-63.0196536E-63.0196536E-61.00.0

Oceanic - West Huasna

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.195567E-52.7926368E-54.792581E-51.71614912.0E-51.3694567E-41.19679185E-41.3967679E-41.16709342.0E-50.00166603840.00145616340.00148611961.02057213.0E-50.0165360330.014470770.01452990251.00408636.0E-5
6.12.1156782E-51.7573117E-51.7573117E-51.00.09.066878E-57.531123E-57.531123E-51.00.00.00110333339.1653795E-49.1653795E-41.00.00.0109787130.0091285870.0091384961.00108541.0E-5
6.21.6195117E-51.3327227E-51.3327227E-51.00.06.9405796E-55.7115452E-55.7115452E-51.00.08.44688E-46.9516135E-46.9516135E-41.00.00.0084148440.00693016170.00694009241.0014331.0E-5
6.31.3559345E-51.1179013E-51.1179013E-51.00.05.811018E-54.7909183E-54.7909183E-51.00.07.072618E-45.8313913E-45.8313913E-41.00.00.00705015050.0058162080.00582614961.00170931.0E-5
6.41.2120619E-51.0000874E-51.0000874E-51.00.05.1944477E-54.2860185E-54.2860185E-51.00.06.322405E-45.216983E-45.216983E-41.00.00.0063044470.0052048040.00521475171.00191131.0E-5
6.51.13511915E-59.367378E-69.367378E-61.00.04.8647056E-54.0145293E-54.0145293E-51.00.05.9211696E-44.886598E-44.886598E-41.00.00.00590541730.00487591140.00488586261.00204091.0E-5
6.69.850605E-68.1353155E-68.1353155E-61.00.04.2216197E-53.4865174E-53.4865174E-51.00.05.1386096E-44.2440102E-44.2440102E-41.00.00.00512674360.00423593770.00423593771.00.0
6.78.8558645E-67.318341E-67.318341E-61.00.03.7953152E-53.1363943E-53.1363943E-51.00.04.6198163E-43.8178926E-43.8178926E-41.00.00.0046102240.00381135920.00381135921.00.0
6.87.67136E-66.39169E-66.39169E-61.00.03.2876844E-52.739267E-52.739267E-51.00.04.0020206E-43.3345487E-43.3345487E-41.00.00.0039948210.00332956640.00332956641.00.0
6.96.534529E-65.458261E-65.458261E-61.00.02.8004823E-52.3392338E-52.3392338E-51.00.03.4090536E-42.8476462E-42.8476462E-41.00.00.00340382870.0028440140.0028440141.00.0
7.05.460525E-64.5699203E-64.5699203E-61.00.02.3402039E-51.9585226E-51.9585226E-51.00.02.8488258E-42.3842414E-42.3842414E-41.00.00.00284517650.00238169730.00238169731.00.0
7.14.4825083E-63.7524153E-63.7524153E-61.00.01.9210609E-51.6081682E-51.6081682E-51.00.02.3386406E-41.9577699E-41.9577699E-41.00.00.0023361810.0019560570.0019560571.00.0
7.22.821708E-62.424941E-62.424941E-61.00.01.2092979E-51.0392562E-51.0392562E-51.00.01.4722206E-41.265221E-41.265221E-41.00.00.00147124570.00126450320.00126450321.00.0
7.32.0644757E-61.7687502E-61.7687502E-61.00.08.847723E-67.580336E-67.580336E-61.00.01.0771569E-49.228668E-59.228668E-51.00.00.0010766359.224854E-49.224854E-41.00.0
7.41.6980367E-61.4379966E-61.4379966E-61.00.07.27728E-66.1628284E-66.1628284E-61.00.08.8597284E-57.502986E-57.502986E-51.00.08.8561967E-47.5004686E-47.5004686E-41.00.0
7.51.3637683E-61.1302697E-61.1302697E-61.00.05.844708E-64.844004E-64.844004E-61.00.07.1156996E-55.897415E-55.897415E-51.00.07.1134215E-45.8958656E-45.8958656E-41.00.0
7.69.802994E-77.6772847E-77.6772847E-71.00.04.2012766E-63.2902608E-63.2902608E-61.00.05.1149345E-54.005819E-54.005819E-51.00.05.113757E-44.0051117E-44.0051117E-41.00.0
7.75.986191E-74.0050708E-74.0050708E-71.00.02.5655079E-61.7164577E-61.7164577E-61.00.03.1234613E-52.0897673E-52.0897673E-51.00.03.123022E-42.0895849E-42.0895849E-41.00.0
7.82.9189815E-71.5285202E-71.5285202E-71.00.01.2509914E-66.5507993E-76.5507993E-71.00.01.5230714E-57.975569E-67.975569E-61.00.01.522967E-47.97542E-57.97542E-51.00.0
7.91.2057845E-74.6208047E-84.6208047E-81.00.05.1676466E-71.9803447E-71.9803447E-71.00.06.2915915E-62.411067E-62.411067E-61.00.06.2914136E-52.4111772E-52.4111772E-51.00.0
8.03.3806387E-99.0093144E-109.0093144E-101.00.01.4488451E-83.8611354E-93.8611354E-91.00.01.7639688E-74.7009323E-84.7009323E-81.00.01.7639674E-64.712806E-74.712806E-71.00.0

Ortigalita (North)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.711876E-51.0505308E-41.2505098E-41.190362.0E-53.3046713E-44.501601E-44.901421E-41.08881724.0E-50.0040160160.00546805470.0055376721.01273177.0E-50.0394421030.0534556140.053521871.00123957.0E-5
6.14.607858E-56.0239887E-57.0239286E-51.1659931.0E-51.9746469E-42.5814763E-42.6814506E-41.03872751.0E-50.00240148180.00313873660.00315867391.0063522.0E-50.0237569530.0309753120.0309946931.00062572.0E-5
6.24.607858E-56.0239887E-57.0239286E-51.1659931.0E-51.9746469E-42.5814763E-42.6814506E-41.03872751.0E-50.00240148180.00313873660.00315867391.0063522.0E-50.0237569530.0309753120.0309946931.00062572.0E-5
6.33.327423E-54.2476124E-55.2475698E-51.23541641.0E-51.4259605E-41.8202956E-41.9202773E-41.05492621.0E-50.00173472440.0022142060.00223416161.00901262.0E-50.0172124520.021945740.02196531.00089132.0E-5
6.42.7732503E-53.4999008E-54.4998655E-51.28571241.0E-51.1884817E-41.499886E-41.599871E-41.06666171.0E-50.0014460160.00182481580.00184477921.010942.0E-50.0143664280.0181212970.0181409341.00108372.0E-5
6.52.7689714E-53.4948822E-54.4948472E-51.28612271.0E-51.186648E-41.4977354E-41.5977204E-41.06675741.0E-50.00144378640.00182220180.00184216541.01095572.0E-50.0143444210.0180955850.0181152221.00108532.0E-5
6.62.2976905E-52.871829E-53.8718004E-51.34820011.0E-59.846873E-51.23074E-41.3307277E-41.0812421.0E-50.00119819750.00149763480.00151760491.01333442.0E-50.0119175740.0148987330.0149184351.00132242.0E-5
6.71.9871539E-52.4904637E-53.4904388E-51.40152171.0E-58.516096E-51.067312E-41.1673012E-41.09368341.0E-50.00103634150.00129891990.0013188941.01537742.0E-50.0103152180.0129369380.0129566791.0015262.0E-5
6.86.5640475E-67.6054926E-67.6054926E-61.00.02.813133E-53.2594577E-53.2594577E-51.00.03.424451E-43.9676955E-43.9676955E-41.00.00.00341917880.0039608990.0039608991.00.0
6.95.6219683E-66.5018376E-66.5018376E-61.00.02.4093928E-52.7864735E-52.7864735E-51.00.02.933041E-43.3920293E-43.3920293E-41.00.00.00292917270.0033871090.0033871091.00.0
7.03.875591E-64.4847548E-64.4847548E-61.00.01.6609569E-51.9220248E-51.9220248E-51.00.02.0220275E-42.339835E-42.339835E-41.00.00.00202018860.00233757980.00233757981.00.0
7.11.6017933E-61.8570418E-61.8570418E-61.00.06.8648105E-67.958732E-67.958732E-61.00.08.357586E-59.689432E-59.689432E-51.00.08.3544437E-49.686254E-49.686254E-41.00.0

Kern Canyon (Lake Isabella) 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.2387383E-64.0016344E-61.40015945E-53.4989691.0E-51.8165894E-51.7149758E-52.7149586E-51.58308861.0E-52.2114732E-42.0878017E-42.6876765E-41.28732366.0E-50.00220927360.0020860240.0021558781.03348667.0E-5
6.14.2387383E-64.0016344E-61.40015945E-53.4989691.0E-51.8165894E-51.7149758E-52.7149586E-51.58308861.0E-52.2114732E-42.0878017E-42.6876765E-41.28732366.0E-50.00220927360.0020860240.0021558781.03348667.0E-5
6.24.2387383E-64.0016344E-61.40015945E-53.4989691.0E-51.8165894E-51.7149758E-52.7149586E-51.58308861.0E-52.2114732E-42.0878017E-42.6876765E-41.28732366.0E-50.00220927360.0020860240.0021558781.03348667.0E-5
6.34.2387383E-64.0016344E-61.40015945E-53.4989691.0E-51.8165894E-51.7149758E-52.7149586E-51.58308861.0E-52.2114732E-42.0878017E-42.6876765E-41.28732366.0E-50.00220927360.0020860240.0021558781.03348667.0E-5
6.44.2387383E-64.0016344E-61.40015945E-53.4989691.0E-51.8165894E-51.7149758E-52.7149586E-51.58308861.0E-52.2114732E-42.0878017E-42.6876765E-41.28732366.0E-50.00220927360.0020860240.0021558781.03348667.0E-5
6.52.7857532E-62.5178624E-62.5178624E-61.00.01.1938888E-51.0790796E-51.0790796E-51.00.01.4534626E-41.3137035E-41.8136378E-41.38055345.0E-50.00145251230.00131295960.0013628941.03803195.0E-5
6.62.2233348E-61.944119E-61.944119E-61.00.09.528543E-68.331913E-68.331913E-61.00.01.1600384E-41.014364E-41.3143336E-41.29572183.0E-50.0011594330.00101390960.00104387921.02955843.0E-5
6.72.1635126E-61.8834991E-61.8834991E-61.00.09.272164E-68.072114E-68.072114E-61.00.01.1288274E-49.827364E-51.282707E-41.305243.0E-50.00112825429.8231E-40.00101228051.03051033.0E-5
6.81.8685711E-61.583138E-61.583138E-61.00.08.008137E-66.7848596E-66.7848596E-61.00.09.74947E-58.2602586E-51.1260011E-41.36315483.0E-59.745194E-48.2572375E-48.5569895E-41.03630173.0E-5
6.91.5815071E-61.3064887E-61.3064887E-61.00.06.77787E-65.5992255E-65.5992255E-61.00.08.251744E-56.816846E-59.816642E-51.44005623.0E-58.248681E-46.8147824E-47.114578E-41.04399193.0E-5
7.01.3772564E-61.1210681E-61.1210681E-61.00.05.9025137E-64.8045686E-64.8045686E-61.00.07.186073E-55.8494075E-58.849232E-51.51284243.0E-57.18375E-45.8478885E-46.1477127E-41.05127063.0E-5
7.11.0916998E-68.7637505E-78.7637505E-71.00.04.678705E-63.7558877E-63.7558877E-61.00.05.6961744E-54.5726985E-56.5726075E-51.43735852.0E-55.6947145E-44.571771E-44.7716798E-41.04372672.0E-5
7.27.6277024E-75.901439E-75.901439E-71.00.03.2690114E-62.5291856E-62.5291856E-61.00.03.9799485E-53.0792406E-55.079179E-51.64949082.0E-53.9792358E-43.07882E-43.2787584E-41.064942.0E-5
7.35.3265916E-74.3824264E-74.3824264E-71.00.02.282823E-61.8781814E-61.8781814E-61.00.02.7793016E-52.2866623E-54.2866166E-51.87461722.0E-52.778954E-42.2864307E-42.486385E-41.08745252.0E-5
7.43.4946007E-73.0065647E-73.0065647E-71.00.01.497685E-61.2885271E-61.2885271E-61.00.01.8234163E-51.5687707E-53.5687393E-52.27486372.0E-51.8232666E-41.5686621E-41.7686308E-41.12747722.0E-5
7.51.8317026E-71.4244755E-71.4244755E-71.00.07.850152E-76.1048934E-76.1048934E-71.00.09.557518E-67.432683E-61.7432609E-52.34539911.0E-59.5571064E-57.432442E-58.4323685E-51.13453531.0E-5
7.62.572245E-81.735264E-81.735264E-81.00.01.10239064E-77.436845E-87.436845E-81.00.01.3421597E-69.0543557E-79.0543557E-71.00.01.3421517E-59.054324E-69.054324E-61.00.0

San Diego Trough south

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.279495E-51.0425541E-41.1425436E-41.09590831.0E-53.5478722E-44.4673498E-44.5673051E-41.02237461.0E-50.0043109820.00542591330.00545575051.0054993.0E-50.0422830540.052993030.053049851.00107226.0E-5
6.14.6961468E-55.773024E-56.772966E-51.17320941.0E-52.0124791E-42.473905E-42.5738802E-41.0404121.0E-50.002447440.0030078860.00302782581.00662922.0E-50.0242066030.0296796360.0297281521.00163465.0E-5
6.23.5079658E-54.214258E-55.2142157E-51.23727971.0E-51.5033272E-41.8059829E-41.9059649E-41.05536151.0E-50.00182876420.0021965870.0022165431.0090852.0E-50.0181378760.0217511880.0217903161.0017994.0E-5
6.33.5079658E-54.214258E-55.2142157E-51.23727971.0E-51.5033272E-41.8059829E-41.9059649E-41.05536151.0E-50.00182876420.0021965870.0022165431.0090852.0E-50.0181378760.0217511880.0217903161.0017994.0E-5
6.42.7196904E-53.208715E-54.208683E-51.31164121.0E-51.16552954E-41.3750911E-41.4750773E-41.07271241.0E-50.00141810850.00167289950.00168288281.00596761.0E-50.0140909290.0166046660.0166243331.00118452.0E-5
6.52.5584688E-53.0101632E-54.010133E-51.33219791.0E-51.0964406E-41.2900059E-41.3899931E-41.0775091.0E-50.00133409890.00156946270.0015794471.00636161.0E-50.0132611810.0155853320.015605021.00126332.0E-5
6.62.2034688E-52.574271E-53.5742454E-51.38844951.0E-59.443096E-51.1032127E-41.2032017E-41.09063431.0E-50.00114909050.00134234120.00135232781.00743961.0E-50.0114316680.0133433250.0133630581.00147892.0E-5
6.71.9394853E-52.254176E-53.2541535E-51.4436111.0E-58.311815E-59.6604E-51.0660303E-41.10350541.0E-50.00101149360.00117552430.00118551261.00849691.0E-50.010069020.0116937660.0117135331.00169032.0E-5
6.81.7615313E-52.0403182E-53.0402978E-51.49010961.0E-57.549201E-58.743931E-59.743843E-51.11435511.0E-59.1872766E-40.00106405790.00107404731.0093881.0E-50.0091493870.0105901980.0106099861.00186852.0E-5
6.91.5621423E-51.8026114E-52.8025934E-51.55474071.0E-56.6947236E-57.725251E-58.7251734E-51.12943571.0E-58.147778E-49.40147E-49.501376E-41.01062671.0E-50.0081179690.0093621420.0093819551.00211632.0E-5
7.01.3444376E-51.544809E-51.544809E-51.00.05.7617483E-56.620443E-56.620443E-51.00.07.0126704E-48.057436E-48.057436E-41.00.00.0069905820.0080285550.0080384751.00123561.0E-5
7.11.2268361E-51.407303E-51.407303E-51.00.05.2577634E-56.0311606E-56.0311606E-51.00.06.399447E-47.3404907E-47.3404907E-41.00.00.00638104930.00731654930.0073264761.00135671.0E-5
7.21.0922655E-51.2513563E-51.2513563E-51.00.04.681054E-55.3628468E-55.3628468E-51.00.05.697693E-46.5273355E-46.5273355E-41.00.00.00568310640.00650844350.0065183791.00152651.0E-5
7.36.1106753E-66.928925E-66.928925E-61.00.02.6188345E-52.9695057E-52.9695057E-51.00.03.1879646E-43.6147775E-43.6147775E-41.00.00.00318339510.0036089430.0036089431.00.0
7.44.933187E-65.5895525E-65.5895525E-61.00.02.114206E-52.3955008E-52.3955008E-51.00.02.5737417E-42.9161357E-42.9161357E-41.00.00.0025707630.00291235050.00291235051.00.0
7.51.7489613E-61.969678E-61.969678E-61.00.07.495527E-68.4414505E-68.4414505E-61.00.09.125422E-51.02770035E-41.02770035E-41.00.09.1216754E-40.00102724720.00102724721.00.0
7.61.6988751E-71.7533823E-71.7533823E-71.00.07.2808916E-77.5144936E-77.5144936E-71.00.08.864449E-69.14886E-69.14886E-61.00.08.8640954E-59.1485024E-59.1485024E-51.00.0

Pine Mtn

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.894797E-67.2254716E-61.72254E-52.38398271.0E-52.9548795E-53.0965955E-56.0965027E-51.96877593.0E-53.596972E-43.7694827E-44.169332E-41.10607544.0E-50.00359115540.00376338650.00382316071.01588316.0E-5
6.16.894797E-67.2254716E-61.72254E-52.38398271.0E-52.9548795E-53.0965955E-56.0965027E-51.96877593.0E-53.596972E-43.7694827E-44.169332E-41.10607544.0E-50.00359115540.00376338650.00382316071.01588316.0E-5
6.26.894797E-67.2254716E-61.72254E-52.38398271.0E-52.9548795E-53.0965955E-56.0965027E-51.96877593.0E-53.596972E-43.7694827E-44.169332E-41.10607544.0E-50.00359115540.00376338650.00382316071.01588316.0E-5
6.36.894797E-67.2254716E-61.72254E-52.38398271.0E-52.9548795E-53.0965955E-56.0965027E-51.96877593.0E-53.596972E-43.7694827E-44.169332E-41.10607544.0E-50.00359115540.00376338650.00382316071.01588316.0E-5
6.46.894797E-67.2254716E-61.72254E-52.38398271.0E-52.9548795E-53.0965955E-56.0965027E-51.96877593.0E-53.596972E-43.7694827E-44.169332E-41.10607544.0E-50.00359115540.00376338650.00382316071.01588316.0E-5
6.56.894797E-67.2254716E-61.72254E-52.38398271.0E-52.9548795E-53.0965955E-56.0965027E-51.96877593.0E-53.596972E-43.7694827E-44.169332E-41.10607544.0E-50.00359115540.00376338650.00382316071.01588316.0E-5
6.66.894797E-67.2254716E-61.72254E-52.38398271.0E-52.9548795E-53.0965955E-56.0965027E-51.96877593.0E-53.596972E-43.7694827E-44.169332E-41.10607544.0E-50.00359115540.00376338650.00382316071.01588316.0E-5
6.76.0867933E-66.397124E-61.639706E-52.56319261.0E-52.6085996E-52.7415968E-55.7415145E-52.09422283.0E-53.1755073E-43.337405E-43.7372715E-41.11981364.0E-50.00317097340.00333261190.00338244531.01495335.0E-5
6.85.6530425E-65.950606E-61.5950547E-52.68049121.0E-52.42271E-52.5502359E-55.5501594E-52.17633183.0E-52.94925E-43.1044905E-43.5043663E-41.12880564.0E-50.0029453390.00310035820.00315020331.01607725.0E-5
6.94.6015225E-64.8638444E-61.48637955E-53.05597691.0E-51.9720663E-52.084489E-55.0844264E-52.43917183.0E-52.4007261E-42.5375842E-42.9374828E-41.15759034.0E-50.00239813420.0025348310.00257472951.01574024.0E-5
7.04.4875965E-64.7474837E-61.4747436E-53.1063691.0E-51.9232413E-52.0346208E-55.0345596E-52.47444633.0E-52.3412947E-42.4768838E-42.8767847E-41.16145324.0E-50.00233882950.00247426680.0025141681.01612644.0E-5
7.13.203907E-63.42942E-61.3429386E-53.9159351.0E-51.3730958E-51.4697435E-54.4696993E-53.04114253.0E-51.6716159E-41.7892725E-42.0892188E-41.16763593.0E-50.00167035890.0017878980.00181784431.01674953.0E-5
7.22.2060601E-62.3784874E-62.3784874E-61.00.09.4545085E-61.019348E-51.019348E-51.00.01.15102564E-41.2409901E-41.2409901E-41.00.00.00115042960.00124034190.00124034191.00.0
7.31.3765207E-61.5216535E-61.5216535E-61.00.05.899361E-66.5213567E-66.5213567E-61.00.07.182235E-57.939472E-57.939472E-51.00.07.1799144E-47.9367263E-47.9367263E-41.00.0
7.41.1245983E-61.2587126E-61.2587126E-61.00.04.819698E-65.394472E-65.394472E-61.00.05.8678244E-56.56758E-56.56758E-51.00.05.866275E-46.565722E-46.565722E-41.00.0
7.58.031682E-79.276999E-79.276999E-71.00.03.4421448E-63.975851E-63.975851E-61.00.04.1907308E-54.840498E-54.840498E-51.00.04.1899405E-44.8395112E-44.8395112E-41.00.0
7.64.8953444E-76.0030544E-76.0030544E-71.00.02.098003E-62.5727354E-62.5727354E-61.00.02.5542888E-53.1322652E-53.1322652E-51.00.02.5539953E-43.1318725E-43.1318725E-41.00.0
7.76.634529E-86.788826E-86.788826E-81.00.02.843369E-72.9094966E-72.9094966E-71.00.03.4617963E-63.5423066E-63.5423066E-61.00.03.4617424E-53.542255E-53.542255E-51.00.0
7.89.235578E-99.488566E-99.488566E-91.00.03.9581046E-84.0665284E-84.0665284E-81.00.04.818991E-74.950997E-74.950997E-71.00.04.8189804E-64.950988E-64.950988E-61.00.0

White Wolf

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.0037822E-51.0468583E-61.1046848E-510.55238151.0E-58.587355E-54.4865283E-61.4486483E-53.2288851.0E-50.0010450095.4622164E-58.462052E-51.54919763.0E-50.0104010855.4609246E-46.060597E-41.10981156.0E-5
6.12.0037822E-51.0468583E-61.1046848E-510.55238151.0E-58.587355E-54.4865283E-61.4486483E-53.2288851.0E-50.0010450095.4622164E-58.462052E-51.54919763.0E-50.0104010855.4609246E-46.060597E-41.10981156.0E-5
6.22.0037822E-51.0468583E-61.1046848E-510.55238151.0E-58.587355E-54.4865283E-61.4486483E-53.2288851.0E-50.0010450095.4622164E-58.462052E-51.54919763.0E-50.0104010855.4609246E-46.060597E-41.10981156.0E-5
6.32.0037822E-51.0468583E-61.1046848E-510.55238151.0E-58.587355E-54.4865283E-61.4486483E-53.2288851.0E-50.0010450095.4622164E-58.462052E-51.54919763.0E-50.0104010855.4609246E-46.060597E-41.10981156.0E-5
6.41.132487E-51.0468583E-61.1046848E-510.55238151.0E-54.8534253E-54.4865283E-61.4486483E-53.2288851.0E-55.907443E-45.4622164E-58.462052E-51.54919763.0E-50.0058917645.4609246E-46.060597E-41.10981156.0E-5
6.51.132487E-51.0468583E-61.1046848E-510.55238151.0E-54.8534253E-54.4865283E-61.4486483E-53.2288851.0E-55.907443E-45.4622164E-58.462052E-51.54919763.0E-50.0058917645.4609246E-46.060597E-41.10981156.0E-5
6.69.347473E-61.0468583E-61.1046848E-510.55238151.0E-54.0059982E-54.4865283E-61.4486483E-53.2288851.0E-54.8762115E-45.4622164E-58.462052E-51.54919763.0E-50.00486552535.4609246E-46.060597E-41.10981156.0E-5
6.77.842647E-61.0047773E-61.1004768E-510.9524441.0E-53.361091E-54.306182E-61.4306139E-53.3222331.0E-54.0913603E-45.2426552E-58.242498E-51.57219913.0E-50.0040838365.241468E-45.8411533E-41.11441176.0E-5
6.86.26597E-69.734289E-71.0973419E-511.2729551.0E-52.685388E-54.1718313E-61.417179E-53.39701871.0E-53.2689696E-45.0790914E-58.078939E-51.59062683.0E-50.0032641655.07798E-45.677675E-41.11809726.0E-5
6.95.258436E-69.1827343E-71.0918264E-511.8899931.0E-52.2535958E-53.935452E-61.3935412E-53.54099421.0E-52.7434074E-44.7913123E-57.791168E-51.62610333.0E-50.00274002324.7903272E-45.39004E-41.12519246.0E-5
7.04.675028E-68.660704E-71.08660615E-512.5463951.0E-52.003568E-53.7117254E-61.3711689E-53.6941551.0E-52.4390711E-44.518937E-57.5188014E-51.6638433.0E-50.00243639574.518065E-45.117794E-41.13274036.0E-5
7.12.8270078E-66.8737717E-71.068737E-515.5480441.0E-51.2115692E-52.945899E-61.29458695E-54.39453941.0E-51.4749856E-43.586577E-55.5865054E-51.55761472.0E-50.0014740073.5860392E-44.08586E-41.13937965.0E-5
7.21.6881406E-62.2703432E-72.2703432E-71.00.07.2348685E-69.730038E-79.730038E-71.00.08.808096E-51.1846259E-52.1846141E-51.84413841.0E-58.8046055E-41.1845643E-41.2845524E-41.08440921.0E-5
7.39.086107E-71.5264496E-71.5264496E-71.00.03.8940398E-66.5419255E-76.5419255E-71.00.04.7408903E-57.964766E-61.7964687E-52.25551961.0E-54.739879E-47.964489E-58.964409E-51.12554731.0E-5
7.41.9717383E-79.003399E-89.003399E-81.00.08.450304E-73.8585992E-73.8585992E-71.00.01.0288197E-54.697835E-61.4697788E-53.12863021.0E-51.028772E-44.6977384E-55.6976914E-51.21285841.0E-5
7.51.086975E-76.659662E-86.659662E-81.00.04.6584634E-72.8541407E-72.8541407E-71.00.05.6716644E-63.474911E-61.3474876E-53.87776161.0E-55.6715195E-53.474859E-54.474824E-51.28777151.0E-5
7.62.4217808E-81.5820849E-81.5820849E-81.00.01.03790605E-76.780364E-86.780364E-81.00.01.2636499E-68.25509E-78.25509E-71.00.01.2636427E-58.255064E-68.255064E-61.00.0

San Luis Range 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.8368415E-68.965455E-65.8965008E-56.5769125.0E-53.787163E-53.8422855E-58.842094E-52.30125885.0E-54.609895E-44.6770574E-45.1768235E-41.10685485.0E-50.00460034380.0046679970.00472771661.01279346.0E-5
6.18.8368415E-68.965455E-65.8965008E-56.5769125.0E-53.787163E-53.8422855E-58.842094E-52.30125885.0E-54.609895E-44.6770574E-45.1768235E-41.10685485.0E-50.00460034380.0046679970.00472771661.01279346.0E-5
6.28.8368415E-68.965455E-65.8965008E-56.5769125.0E-53.787163E-53.8422855E-58.842094E-52.30125885.0E-54.609895E-44.6770574E-45.1768235E-41.10685485.0E-50.00460034380.0046679970.00472771661.01279346.0E-5
6.38.8368415E-68.965455E-65.8965008E-56.5769125.0E-53.787163E-53.8422855E-58.842094E-52.30125885.0E-54.609895E-44.6770574E-45.1768235E-41.10685485.0E-50.00460034380.0046679970.00472771661.01279346.0E-5
6.43.9094193E-63.941204E-62.3941126E-56.07457162.0E-51.6754546E-51.6890766E-53.689043E-52.1840592.0E-52.039675E-42.0562594E-42.2562183E-41.0972442.0E-50.00203780390.00205438560.00207434451.00971532.0E-5
6.53.9094193E-63.941204E-62.3941126E-56.07457162.0E-51.6754546E-51.6890766E-53.689043E-52.1840592.0E-52.039675E-42.0562594E-42.2562183E-41.0972442.0E-50.00203780390.00205438560.00207434451.00971532.0E-5
6.63.0587726E-63.0753893E-62.3075328E-57.50322152.0E-51.3108959E-51.3180174E-53.317991E-52.51741082.0E-51.595899E-41.6045693E-41.8045372E-41.1246242.0E-50.00159475340.00160342270.00162339061.01245332.0E-5
6.72.6160574E-62.6251284E-61.26251025E-54.80932761.0E-51.1211626E-51.1250502E-52.125039E-51.88883921.0E-51.3649299E-41.3696631E-41.4696494E-41.07300071.0E-50.00136409190.00136882510.00137881141.00729551.0E-5
6.82.5110312E-62.5181412E-61.2518116E-54.97117331.0E-51.0761518E-51.079199E-52.0791882E-51.92660321.0E-51.310136E-41.313846E-41.413833E-41.07610241.0E-50.00130936390.00131307520.00132306211.00760571.0E-5
6.91.8564405E-61.852488E-61.852488E-61.00.07.95615E-67.93921E-67.93921E-61.00.09.686181E-59.665562E-59.665562E-51.00.09.68196E-49.6613786E-49.6613786E-41.00.0
7.01.546127E-61.5369549E-61.5369549E-61.00.06.626242E-66.5869326E-66.5869326E-61.00.08.06715E-58.019296E-58.019296E-51.00.08.0642226E-48.016409E-48.016409E-41.00.0
7.11.3368208E-61.3235336E-61.3235336E-61.00.05.7292195E-65.6722747E-65.6722747E-61.00.06.975101E-56.905776E-56.905776E-51.00.06.972912E-46.903635E-46.903635E-41.00.0
7.21.0623363E-61.0454378E-61.0454378E-61.00.04.5528623E-64.4804397E-64.4804397E-61.00.05.5429686E-55.4547992E-55.4547992E-51.00.05.5415864E-45.453463E-45.453463E-41.00.0
7.37.831679E-77.727399E-77.727399E-71.00.03.3564295E-63.3117383E-63.3117383E-61.00.04.086376E-54.031967E-54.031967E-51.00.04.0856248E-44.0312367E-44.0312367E-41.00.0
7.45.9558846E-75.910646E-75.910646E-71.00.02.5525194E-62.5331315E-62.5331315E-61.00.03.107648E-53.084044E-53.084044E-51.00.03.1072134E-43.083617E-43.083617E-41.00.0
7.54.1616502E-74.1196404E-74.1196404E-71.00.01.7835631E-61.765559E-61.765559E-61.00.02.1714664E-52.1495469E-52.1495469E-51.00.02.1712543E-42.1493394E-42.1493394E-41.00.0
7.62.3816014E-72.3376614E-72.3376614E-71.00.01.0206859E-61.0018545E-61.0018545E-61.00.01.242678E-51.219751E-51.219751E-51.00.01.2426086E-41.2196843E-41.2196843E-41.00.0
7.79.918777E-89.3868096E-89.3868096E-81.00.04.2509038E-74.022918E-74.022918E-71.00.05.1754632E-64.8978914E-64.8978914E-61.00.05.1753424E-54.897784E-54.897784E-51.00.0
7.83.4982556E-82.968672E-82.968672E-81.00.01.4992524E-71.272288E-71.272288E-71.00.01.8253382E-61.5490094E-61.5490094E-61.00.01.8253233E-51.5489988E-51.5489988E-51.00.0
7.91.6624908E-81.1476994E-81.1476994E-81.00.07.12496E-84.9187115E-84.9187115E-81.00.08.6746354E-75.988529E-75.988529E-71.00.08.674601E-65.9885133E-65.9885133E-61.00.0
8.06.3352315E-93.0886564E-93.0886564E-91.00.02.715099E-81.32370985E-81.32370985E-81.00.03.3056327E-71.6116167E-71.6116167E-71.00.03.3056278E-61.6116155E-61.6116155E-61.00.0

San Jacinto (Borrego)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.543992E-52.7925962E-56.792485E-52.4323194.0E-51.5187653E-41.1967727E-41.6967129E-41.41774025.0E-50.00184752840.00145610920.00150603641.0342885.0E-50.0183224360.014868150.0149272591.00397556.0E-5
6.13.542281E-52.7925962E-56.792485E-52.4323194.0E-51.5180321E-41.1967727E-41.6967129E-41.41774025.0E-50.00184663720.00145610920.00150603641.0342885.0E-50.0183136720.014868150.0149272591.00397556.0E-5
6.23.4688688E-52.7925962E-56.792485E-52.4323194.0E-51.4865733E-41.1967727E-41.6967129E-41.41774025.0E-50.00180840050.00145610910.00150603641.0342885.0E-50.0179375480.014868150.0149272591.00397556.0E-5
6.33.2087122E-52.7771312E-56.77702E-52.44029524.0E-51.3750899E-41.1901455E-41.6900859E-41.42006675.0E-50.00167288620.00144805120.00149797881.03447915.0E-50.0166034880.0147893080.014848421.0039976.0E-5
6.43.1828724E-52.773829E-56.773718E-52.442014.0E-51.364017E-41.1887303E-41.6886709E-41.42056685.0E-50.00165942540.00144633060.00149625821.03452035.0E-50.0164708850.0147725020.0148316151.00400166.0E-5
6.53.1563577E-52.7477974E-56.7476874E-52.45567134.0E-51.3526545E-41.17757496E-41.6775161E-41.42455145.0E-50.00164561280.00143276680.00148269521.03484755.0E-50.01633480.014639910.0146990321.00403836.0E-5
6.63.1467625E-52.7322194E-56.73211E-52.46397144.0E-51.3485427E-41.17089934E-41.6708407E-41.42697225.0E-50.00164061420.00142464980.00147457861.03504635.0E-50.0162855480.0145602280.0146193541.00406096.0E-5
6.73.1223695E-52.6940217E-56.693914E-52.4847294.0E-51.3380898E-41.1545303E-41.6544726E-41.43302665.0E-50.00162790680.00140474640.00145467631.03554365.0E-50.016160330.014364510.0144236481.0041176.0E-5
6.83.1015585E-52.6761221E-56.676015E-52.49466014.0E-51.3291716E-41.1468597E-41.6468024E-41.43592315.0E-50.0016170650.00139541950.00144534971.03578155.0E-50.0160534870.0142717720.0143309151.00414416.0E-5
6.92.6641965E-52.2183434E-56.2182546E-52.80310734.0E-51.1417485E-49.506842E-51.4506366E-41.5258875.0E-50.00138919240.00115684730.00120678951.04317095.0E-50.01380540150.0118821910.0119414781.00498966.0E-5
7.02.3854353E-52.047825E-56.0477432E-52.95325184.0E-51.02228936E-48.776099E-51.3775661E-41.56967915.0E-50.00124392660.00106796890.00111791551.04676785.0E-50.0123698660.01098262050.0110419621.00540326.0E-5
7.12.3672901E-52.0314741E-56.0313927E-52.96897364.0E-51.0145135E-48.706028E-51.3705593E-41.57426465.0E-50.00123447020.00105944610.00110939311.04714455.0E-50.01227635050.0108978580.0109572051.00544576.0E-5
7.22.2717244E-51.9542116E-55.9541333E-53.0468214.0E-59.735599E-58.3749255E-51.3374507E-41.59697025.0E-50.00118466460.00101917250.00106912151.04900945.0E-50.011783690.0104953220.0105546921.00565686.0E-5
7.32.1016205E-51.8383771E-55.8383037E-53.17579224.0E-59.006634E-57.878522E-51.2878128E-41.63458685.0E-50.0010960069.5879E-40.00100874211.05209915.0E-50.0109061630.0098909010.0099503071.00600626.0E-5
7.42.0683625E-51.8186302E-55.8185575E-53.19941764.0E-58.86411E-57.7938974E-51.2793508E-41.64147765.0E-50.0010786719.48496E-49.984486E-41.0526655.0E-50.0107345010.00978762750.009847041.00607016.0E-5
7.51.9993966E-51.7781347E-55.7780635E-53.24950844.0E-58.568561E-57.6203556E-51.2619975E-41.65608735.0E-50.0010427239.2738547E-49.773391E-41.0538655.0E-50.0103784380.0095745480.0096339741.00620666.0E-5
7.61.788966E-51.6434618E-55.643396E-53.43384674.0E-57.666772E-57.043219E-51.2042866E-41.70985275.0E-59.3302975E-48.5717626E-49.071334E-41.05828115.0E-50.009291220.0088664150.0089258831.00670716.0E-5
7.71.5125781E-51.4236738E-55.4236167E-53.80959254.0E-56.4823165E-56.101317E-51.11010115E-41.81944535.0E-57.889362E-47.4258295E-47.9254585E-41.06728265.0E-50.0078614120.0077141610.00777369831.00771786.0E-5
7.81.250089E-51.262994E-55.2629435E-54.16703754.0E-55.3574146E-55.4127195E-51.0412449E-41.92370015.0E-56.5207E-46.588E-47.0876704E-41.07584565.0E-50.0065015990.0068677590.0069273471.00867656.0E-5
7.99.561E-69.754065E-64.9753675E-55.10081434.0E-54.0975072E-54.180247E-59.180038E-52.19605165.0E-54.987573E-45.0882675E-45.5880134E-41.09821525.0E-50.00497639370.00535236070.00541203931.011156.0E-5
8.08.01699E-68.292994E-64.8292663E-55.82330854.0E-53.4358076E-53.554092E-58.553914E-52.4067795.0E-54.1822926E-44.3262533E-44.8260367E-41.11552355.0E-50.00417443040.00457331860.00463304441.01305966.0E-5
8.16.541947E-66.461784E-64.6461526E-57.19020134.0E-52.8036617E-52.7693068E-57.7691686E-52.8054565.0E-53.4129233E-43.3711144E-43.870946E-41.14826895.0E-50.00340768650.00358057560.00364036071.0166976.0E-5
8.21.7968189E-67.9684827E-77.9684827E-71.00.07.70063E-63.4150596E-63.4150596E-61.00.09.3751136E-54.157758E-54.157758E-51.00.09.371159E-44.7107413E-44.7107413E-41.00.0
8.31.5167889E-74.8951257E-84.8951257E-81.00.06.500522E-72.0979108E-72.0979108E-71.00.07.9143565E-62.5542038E-62.5542038E-61.00.07.914075E-52.9679897E-52.9679897E-51.00.0

San Cayetano

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.3476267E-51.8169216E-53.816885E-52.1007432.0E-51.0060869E-47.786576E-59.7864206E-51.25683222.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-49.6758804E-41.02108572.0E-50.0121750020.009436750.0094961841.00629816.0E-5
6.12.3476267E-51.8169216E-53.816885E-52.1007432.0E-51.0060869E-47.786576E-59.7864206E-51.25683222.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-49.6758804E-41.02108572.0E-50.0121750020.009436750.0094961841.00629816.0E-5
6.22.3476267E-51.8169216E-53.816885E-52.1007432.0E-51.0060869E-47.786576E-59.7864206E-51.25683222.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-49.6758804E-41.02108572.0E-50.0121750020.009436750.0094961841.00629816.0E-5
6.32.3476267E-51.8169216E-53.816885E-52.1007432.0E-51.0060869E-47.786576E-59.7864206E-51.25683222.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-49.6758804E-41.02108572.0E-50.0121750020.009436750.0094961841.00629816.0E-5
6.42.3476267E-51.8169216E-53.816885E-52.1007432.0E-51.0060869E-47.786576E-59.7864206E-51.25683222.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-49.6758804E-41.02108572.0E-50.0121750020.009436750.0094961841.00629816.0E-5
6.52.3476267E-51.8169216E-53.816885E-52.1007432.0E-51.0060869E-47.786576E-59.7864206E-51.25683222.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-49.6758804E-41.02108572.0E-50.0121750020.009436750.0094961841.00629816.0E-5
6.62.3476267E-51.8169216E-53.816885E-52.1007432.0E-51.0060869E-47.786576E-59.7864206E-51.25683222.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-49.6758804E-41.02108572.0E-50.0121750020.009436750.0094961841.00629816.0E-5
6.72.3476267E-51.8169216E-53.816885E-52.1007432.0E-51.0060869E-47.786576E-59.7864206E-51.25683222.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-49.6758804E-41.02108572.0E-50.0121750020.009436750.0094961841.00629816.0E-5
6.82.3241924E-51.7936945E-53.793659E-52.1149972.0E-59.960445E-57.687038E-59.686885E-51.26015822.0E-50.00121200959.354987E-49.5548E-41.0213592.0E-50.0120542040.00931661950.009376061.00638016.0E-5
6.92.2761007E-51.7432383E-53.7432037E-52.147272.0E-59.7543525E-57.47081E-59.47066E-51.26768862.0E-50.00118694549.09195E-49.291768E-41.02197742.0E-50.0118062560.0090557410.0091151981.00656576.0E-5
7.02.240283E-51.7066137E-53.7065794E-52.17189152.0E-59.600859E-57.313856E-59.3137096E-51.27343362.0E-50.00116827778.9010154E-49.1008376E-41.02244942.0E-50.0116215490.0088663360.0089258041.00670726.0E-5
7.12.1871154E-51.658602E-53.6585687E-52.20581482.0E-59.373015E-57.108103E-59.10796E-51.28134912.0E-50.00114056718.6507126E-48.8505395E-41.02309952.0E-50.0113473090.0086179960.008677481.00690226.0E-5
7.22.0714133E-51.5564563E-53.556425E-52.28495032.0E-58.8771834E-56.670358E-58.6702246E-51.2998142.0E-50.00108026118.118168E-48.318005E-41.02461612.0E-50.0107502490.0080894430.0081390381.00613095.0E-5
7.31.8408395E-51.3996829E-53.3996548E-52.42887522.0E-57.8890735E-55.9985046E-57.9983845E-51.33339642.0E-59.600714E-47.300762E-47.500616E-41.02737442.0E-50.0095593420.00727764470.0073272811.00682035.0E-5
7.41.6856795E-51.285006E-53.2849803E-52.55639312.0E-57.2241404E-55.5070537E-57.506944E-51.36315062.0E-58.7918417E-46.7028037E-46.9026696E-41.02981832.0E-50.008757140.00668340870.00673307431.00743135.0E-5
7.51.2822778E-59.577415E-62.9577222E-53.08822632.0E-55.495361E-54.1045427E-56.104461E-51.4872452.0E-56.688548E-44.9961504E-45.1960506E-41.04001082.0E-50.0066684520.00498519230.0050249931.00798384.0E-5
7.65.6272684E-63.854899E-61.3854861E-53.59409141.0E-52.4116642E-51.6520893E-52.6520727E-51.60528411.0E-52.9358055E-42.0112342E-42.111214E-41.04971081.0E-50.00293193010.00200942480.00201940471.00496651.0E-5
7.73.5261346E-62.3407094E-62.3407094E-61.00.01.5111918E-51.0031574E-51.0031574E-51.00.01.8397206E-41.2212765E-41.2212765E-41.00.00.00183819840.00122061270.00122061271.00.0
7.81.4826929E-61.0564395E-61.0564395E-61.00.06.354383E-64.52759E-64.52759E-61.00.07.736187E-55.5122033E-55.5122033E-51.00.07.733494E-45.510856E-45.510856E-41.00.0
7.92.7568166E-71.6977887E-71.6977887E-71.00.01.1814923E-67.276235E-77.276235E-71.00.01.4384574E-58.85878E-68.85878E-61.00.01.4383643E-48.858431E-58.858431E-51.00.0
8.05.407832E-82.688677E-82.688677E-81.00.02.3176422E-71.15229014E-71.15229014E-71.00.02.8217257E-61.4029123E-61.4029123E-61.00.02.8216898E-51.40290385E-51.40290385E-51.00.0

Calaveras (So) - Paicines extension 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5183659E-43.0520977E-43.1520674E-41.03275431.0E-56.5056595E-40.00130681880.00132679261.01528432.0E-50.0078919120.0156962030.0157257341.00188123.0E-50.0761745940.138489050.138540741.00037326.0E-5
6.11.5024997E-43.021517E-43.1214865E-41.0330861.0E-56.437695E-40.00129372780.0013137021.01543922.0E-50.00780976140.0155395960.015569131.00190063.0E-50.0754093450.137158630.137210411.00037746.0E-5
6.21.2743923E-42.5313982E-42.5313982E-41.00.05.460538E-40.00108399990.0010939891.00921511.0E-50.00662795830.0130468810.0130666211.00151292.0E-50.0643372760.1172560750.117300211.00037655.0E-5
6.31.1525114E-42.2599236E-42.2599236E-41.00.04.9383997E-49.678718E-49.77862E-41.0103221.0E-50.00599593860.0116680790.0116878451.00169412.0E-50.0583671740.1063721250.106416811.00042015.0E-5
6.41.07200925E-42.0840544E-42.0840544E-41.00.04.5935164E-48.926123E-49.026034E-41.0111931.0E-50.00557827440.0107729590.0107927431.00183652.0E-50.05440310.0991947650.099239811.00045415.0E-5
6.59.69631E-51.8734725E-41.8734725E-41.00.04.1548995E-48.024631E-48.124551E-41.01245161.0E-50.00504686260.0096948420.0097146471.0020432.0E-50.049337730.0900865640.0901320651.0005055.0E-5
6.68.0552316E-51.507068E-41.507068E-41.00.03.4517853E-46.4569083E-46.556844E-41.01547731.0E-50.00419445240.0078265080.007836431.00126771.0E-50.041161610.07485630.074884061.00037073.0E-5
6.77.815757E-51.4611272E-41.4611272E-41.00.03.34918E-46.26014E-46.360078E-41.0159641.0E-50.0040700050.0075893120.00759923551.00130761.0E-50.0399626570.072705820.072733641.00038273.0E-5
6.86.965264E-51.2722758E-41.2722758E-41.00.02.9847719E-45.4513285E-45.551274E-41.01833421.0E-50.00362790520.00661359450.00662352841.0015021.0E-50.035692470.0638010650.0638291541.00044023.0E-5
6.95.8000453E-51.01439E-41.01439E-41.00.02.4854968E-44.346666E-44.4466226E-41.02299621.0E-50.00302189330.0052793220.00528926961.00188421.0E-50.0298112950.0515029650.051531421.00055253.0E-5
7.04.9865852E-58.568029E-58.568029E-51.00.02.1369329E-43.6715003E-43.7714635E-41.02722681.0E-50.00259861140.0044609790.0044709341.00223171.0E-50.0256843360.0437820180.0438107031.00065523.0E-5
7.14.283875E-57.1124625E-57.1124625E-51.00.01.8358172E-43.0478454E-43.1478147E-41.03280011.0E-50.00223281630.0037044940.00371445721.00268951.0E-50.0221051460.036735820.0367647221.00078673.0E-5
7.23.450115E-55.5778568E-55.5778568E-51.00.01.478537E-42.3902925E-42.3902925E-41.00.00.00179863230.00290632640.00290632641.00.00.0178414420.0290790420.029098461.00066782.0E-5
7.32.5709045E-54.059001E-54.059001E-51.00.01.1017697E-41.7394568E-41.7394568E-41.00.00.00134057910.00211574860.00211574861.00.00.0133252080.021296860.0213164351.00091912.0E-5
7.41.8003093E-52.8511378E-52.8511378E-51.00.07.715383E-51.2218591E-41.2218591E-41.00.09.3894306E-40.00148660060.00148660061.00.00.0093498570.0150515890.0150614391.00065431.0E-5
7.51.5595824E-52.5823752E-52.5823752E-51.00.06.683753E-51.10668545E-41.10668545E-41.00.08.134431E-40.00134655890.00134655891.00.00.0081047190.0136515710.0136614351.00072251.0E-5
7.61.1110309E-51.9223195E-51.9223195E-51.00.04.761474E-58.2382525E-58.2382525E-51.00.05.795553E-40.00100254710.00100254711.00.00.00578046120.010203440.0102133381.000971.0E-5
7.76.2140443E-61.04376995E-51.04376995E-51.00.02.6631347E-54.4732235E-54.4732235E-51.00.03.241884E-45.4447894E-45.4447894E-41.00.00.00323715880.0056201020.0056300461.00176931.0E-5
7.85.305533E-69.433651E-69.433651E-61.00.02.27378E-54.0429306E-54.0429306E-51.00.02.7679754E-44.9211574E-44.9211574E-41.00.00.00276453020.0050746220.00508457141.00196061.0E-5
7.93.363505E-67.3854467E-67.3854467E-61.00.01.4414942E-53.1651532E-53.1651532E-51.00.01.7548777E-43.8528934E-43.8528934E-41.00.00.00175349260.0039487840.00395874451.00252251.0E-5
8.02.0271132E-64.4134235E-64.4134235E-61.00.08.687599E-61.8914534E-51.8914534E-51.00.01.05766376E-42.3026018E-42.3026018E-41.00.00.00105716060.0023511940.00236117051.00424311.0E-5
8.11.2206116E-62.3752666E-62.3752666E-61.00.05.2311816E-61.0179674E-51.0179674E-51.00.06.3687774E-51.2393051E-41.2393051E-41.00.06.366953E-40.00127056180.00127056181.00.0

Tin Mountain

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.083776E-64.1815365E-61.4181494E-53.39145541.0E-51.750178E-51.792077E-53.792041E-52.11600352.0E-52.1306332E-42.1816725E-42.581585E-41.18330564.0E-50.00212859150.00217989650.00223976561.02746436.0E-5
6.14.083776E-64.1815365E-61.4181494E-53.39145541.0E-51.750178E-51.792077E-53.792041E-52.11600352.0E-52.1306332E-42.1816725E-42.581585E-41.18330564.0E-50.00212859150.00217989650.00223976561.02746436.0E-5
6.24.083776E-64.1815365E-61.4181494E-53.39145541.0E-51.750178E-51.792077E-53.792041E-52.11600352.0E-52.1306332E-42.1816725E-42.581585E-41.18330564.0E-50.00212859150.00217989650.00223976561.02746436.0E-5
6.34.083776E-64.1815365E-61.4181494E-53.39145541.0E-51.750178E-51.792077E-53.792041E-52.11600352.0E-52.1306332E-42.1816725E-42.581585E-41.18330564.0E-50.00212859150.00217989650.00223976561.02746436.0E-5
6.44.083776E-64.1815365E-61.4181494E-53.39145541.0E-51.750178E-51.792077E-53.792041E-52.11600352.0E-52.1306332E-42.1816725E-42.581585E-41.18330564.0E-50.00212859150.00217989650.00223976561.02746436.0E-5
6.52.3143427E-62.3731573E-62.3731573E-61.00.09.9185745E-61.0170638E-51.0170638E-51.00.01.2075195E-41.2382126E-41.3382002E-41.08075151.0E-50.00120686360.00123759860.00125757381.01614032.0E-5
6.62.3143427E-62.3731573E-62.3731573E-61.00.09.9185745E-61.0170638E-51.0170638E-51.00.01.2075195E-41.2382126E-41.3382002E-41.08075151.0E-50.00120686360.00123759860.00125757381.01614032.0E-5
6.71.7029532E-61.7497915E-61.7497915E-61.00.07.2983503E-67.499088E-67.499088E-61.00.08.885379E-59.1298105E-51.0129719E-41.10952131.0E-58.881827E-49.1265864E-49.226495E-41.0109471.0E-5
6.81.2914646E-61.3299378E-61.3299378E-61.00.05.534837E-65.6997237E-65.6997237E-61.00.06.738455E-56.939237E-56.939237E-51.00.06.736412E-46.9375033E-46.9375033E-41.00.0
6.95.8708974E-76.1169936E-76.1169936E-71.00.02.5160964E-62.6215664E-62.6215664E-61.00.03.0633044E-53.1917145E-53.1917145E-51.00.03.0628822E-43.191297E-43.191297E-41.00.0
7.04.6248786E-74.832015E-74.832015E-71.00.01.9820893E-62.0708624E-62.0708624E-61.00.02.413167E-52.5212494E-52.5212494E-51.00.02.412905E-42.5210003E-42.5210003E-41.00.0
7.13.804606E-73.987147E-73.987147E-71.00.01.6305444E-61.7087764E-61.7087764E-61.00.01.9851697E-52.0804187E-52.0804187E-51.00.01.9849923E-42.0802575E-42.0802575E-41.00.0
7.23.5864858E-73.7616863E-73.7616863E-71.00.01.5370645E-61.6121504E-61.6121504E-61.00.01.87136E-51.9627789E-51.9627789E-51.00.01.8712023E-41.9626386E-41.9626386E-41.00.0
7.33.342063E-73.506347E-73.506347E-71.00.01.4323119E-61.5027196E-61.5027196E-61.00.01.7438259E-51.829549E-51.829549E-51.00.01.743689E-41.8294314E-41.8294314E-41.00.0
7.42.971242E-73.1165817E-73.1165817E-71.00.01.2733886E-61.3356774E-61.3356774E-61.00.01.5503398E-51.6261785E-51.6261785E-51.00.01.5502315E-41.6260923E-41.6260923E-41.00.0
7.51.4326713E-71.5012525E-71.5012525E-71.00.06.140018E-76.433939E-76.433939E-71.00.07.4754466E-67.8333205E-67.8333205E-61.00.07.475195E-57.833321E-57.833321E-51.00.0

Newport-Inglewood alt 1

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.9668912E-53.0404828E-53.0404828E-51.00.01.2714628E-41.3030265E-41.3030265E-41.00.00.00154690680.00158576540.00160573381.01259222.0E-50.0153618290.015792110.0158314781.00249294.0E-5
6.12.9668912E-53.0404828E-53.0404828E-51.00.01.2714628E-41.3030265E-41.3030265E-41.00.00.00154690680.00158576540.00160573381.01259222.0E-50.0153618290.015792110.0158314781.00249294.0E-5
6.22.9668912E-53.0404828E-53.0404828E-51.00.01.2714628E-41.3030265E-41.3030265E-41.00.00.00154690680.00158576540.00160573381.01259222.0E-50.0153618290.015792110.0158314781.00249294.0E-5
6.32.9668912E-53.0404828E-53.0404828E-51.00.01.2714628E-41.3030265E-41.3030265E-41.00.00.00154690680.00158576540.00160573381.01259222.0E-50.0153618290.015792110.0158314781.00249294.0E-5
6.41.275942E-51.02725335E-51.02725335E-51.00.05.4682085E-54.4024422E-54.4024422E-51.00.06.65551E-45.358697E-45.55859E-41.03730252.0E-50.00663561230.00534620.00537603951.00558153.0E-5
6.51.275942E-51.02725335E-51.02725335E-51.00.05.4682085E-54.4024422E-54.4024422E-51.00.06.65551E-45.358697E-45.55859E-41.03730252.0E-50.00663561230.00534620.00537603951.00558153.0E-5
6.61.1255358E-58.661911E-68.661911E-61.00.04.8236358E-53.7121958E-53.7121958E-51.00.05.871194E-44.5186782E-44.618633E-41.02212041.0E-50.0058557060.00450966740.0045295771.00441492.0E-5
6.71.0504745E-57.8998455E-67.8998455E-61.00.04.5019555E-53.385605E-53.385605E-51.00.05.4797524E-44.121207E-44.2211654E-41.02425471.0E-50.00546625960.0041136940.0041236531.00242091.0E-5
6.81.0476007E-57.881227E-67.881227E-61.00.04.4896402E-53.3776258E-53.3776258E-51.00.05.464766E-44.1114958E-44.2114547E-41.0243121.0E-50.0054513470.0041040190.0041139781.00242661.0E-5
6.99.076797E-66.4896567E-66.4896567E-61.00.03.889998E-52.7812519E-52.7812519E-51.00.04.7350433E-43.3856515E-43.4856176E-41.02952651.0E-50.0047249670.0033805310.0033904971.00294821.0E-5
7.08.73795E-66.2120503E-66.2120503E-61.00.03.7447822E-52.6622802E-52.6622802E-51.00.04.5583185E-43.2408469E-43.3408144E-41.03084611.0E-50.00454897950.00323615220.003246121.00308011.0E-5
7.18.391299E-65.9557533E-65.9557533E-61.00.03.5962214E-52.5524409E-52.5524409E-51.00.04.37752E-43.1071564E-43.207125E-41.03217381.0E-50.0043689070.00310284160.00311281041.00321281.0E-5
7.27.796882E-65.4964826E-65.4964826E-61.00.03.341478E-52.3556144E-52.3556144E-51.00.04.06749E-42.867585E-42.9675564E-41.03486251.0E-50.00406005330.0028639090.00287388031.00348171.0E-5
7.36.4738833E-64.6477753E-64.6477753E-61.00.02.774492E-51.9918885E-51.9918885E-51.00.03.3774204E-42.424856E-42.5248318E-41.04122961.0E-50.00337229180.00242222680.00243220271.00411841.0E-5
7.45.382145E-63.8857215E-63.8857215E-61.00.02.3066134E-51.6652988E-51.6652988E-51.00.02.8079396E-42.0273139E-42.1272937E-41.04931641.0E-50.00280439430.0020254790.00203545881.00492721.0E-5
7.53.648244E-62.5737634E-62.5737634E-61.00.01.5635238E-51.1030369E-51.1030369E-51.00.01.9034238E-41.3428657E-41.3428657E-41.00.00.00190179430.00134206460.00134206461.00.0
7.62.2906888E-61.547986E-61.547986E-61.00.09.817201E-66.634209E-66.634209E-61.00.01.1951787E-48.076857E-58.076857E-51.00.00.00119453618.073989E-48.073989E-41.00.0
7.76.0479874E-73.397468E-73.397468E-71.00.02.5919921E-61.456057E-61.456057E-61.00.03.1557047E-51.7727363E-51.7727363E-51.00.03.1552566E-41.7726087E-41.7726087E-41.00.0
7.81.16056995E-89.782997E-99.782997E-91.00.04.9738713E-84.1927127E-84.1927127E-81.00.06.0556863E-75.1046277E-75.1046277E-71.00.06.05567E-65.1046277E-65.1046277E-61.00.0

Hosgri

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.883978E-52.9128403E-54.912782E-51.68659512.0E-51.235932E-41.248302E-41.5482646E-41.24029653.0E-50.00150370850.00151877520.00154872971.01972273.0E-50.014935740.015087730.0151369761.0032645.0E-5
6.12.883978E-52.9128403E-54.912782E-51.68659512.0E-51.235932E-41.248302E-41.5482646E-41.24029653.0E-50.00150370850.00151877520.00154872971.01972273.0E-50.014935740.015087730.0151369761.0032645.0E-5
6.22.883978E-52.9128403E-54.912782E-51.68659512.0E-51.235932E-41.248302E-41.5482646E-41.24029653.0E-50.00150370850.00151877520.00154872971.01972273.0E-50.014935740.015087730.0151369761.0032645.0E-5
6.32.2914428E-52.2641956E-53.264173E-51.4416481.0E-59.8200995E-59.703337E-51.17031435E-41.20609462.0E-50.00119494130.0011807460.00120072241.01691842.0E-50.0118853630.0117461230.0117856531.00336544.0E-5
6.42.0195741E-51.9696547E-51.9696547E-51.00.08.65503E-58.4411055E-59.441021E-51.11845791.0E-50.00105324050.0010272220.00103721171.0097251.0E-50.0104826260.0102257830.0102455781.00193582.0E-5
6.51.9924333E-51.9408968E-51.9408968E-51.00.08.53872E-58.317865E-59.317782E-51.12021321.0E-50.00103909340.00101223150.00102222141.00986921.0E-50.0103424810.0100772440.0100970421.00196472.0E-5
6.61.809694E-51.7458287E-51.7458287E-51.00.07.7556004E-57.4819094E-58.481834E-51.13364581.0E-59.438353E-49.105431E-49.2053396E-41.01097251.0E-50.0093983660.0090690630.0090888811.00218532.0E-5
6.71.675989E-51.6042752E-51.6042752E-51.00.07.182612E-56.8752845E-57.875216E-51.14543861.0E-58.7413215E-48.3674554E-48.467372E-41.01194111.0E-50.0087070170.0083368530.0083566871.0023792.0E-5
6.81.5401129E-51.4614069E-51.4614069E-51.00.06.6003166E-56.263023E-56.263023E-51.00.08.032922E-47.6225714E-47.6225714E-41.00.00.0080039470.00759728630.00760721041.00130631.0E-5
6.91.356559E-51.2689955E-51.2689955E-51.00.05.8136946E-55.438439E-55.438439E-51.00.07.0758746E-46.6192925E-46.6192925E-41.00.00.0070533860.0066003780.0066103121.0015051.0E-5
7.01.2030819E-51.1095949E-51.1095949E-51.00.05.155963E-54.75532E-54.75532E-51.00.06.275577E-45.788065E-45.788065E-41.00.00.0062578840.00577374730.00578368971.0017221.0E-5
7.11.0972698E-51.0022167E-51.0022167E-51.00.04.7025E-54.2951437E-54.2951437E-51.00.05.72379E-45.2280835E-45.2280835E-41.00.00.00570906930.0052165330.0052264811.0019071.0E-5
7.29.961926E-69.034732E-69.034732E-61.00.04.2693267E-53.8719707E-53.8719707E-51.00.05.1966653E-44.7131052E-44.7131052E-41.00.00.005184530.00470385230.00471380541.0021161.0E-5
7.38.700929E-67.828089E-67.828089E-61.00.03.7289166E-53.354852E-53.354852E-51.00.04.53901E-44.083767E-44.083767E-41.00.00.004529750.0040769990.00408695821.00244281.0E-5
7.47.866285E-66.9987263E-66.9987263E-61.00.03.3712215E-52.9994197E-52.9994197E-51.00.04.103689E-43.6511818E-43.6511818E-41.00.00.0040961190.00364591670.00365588051.00273281.0E-5
7.56.8381305E-65.9596814E-65.9596814E-61.00.02.9305946E-52.5541241E-52.5541241E-51.00.03.5674145E-43.1092027E-43.1092027E-41.00.00.00356169320.0031055840.0031055841.00.0
7.65.503376E-64.595227E-64.595227E-61.00.02.3585684E-51.9693682E-51.9693682E-51.00.02.8711787E-42.397442E-42.397442E-41.00.00.0028674720.00239558520.00239558521.00.0
7.73.6144982E-62.6521896E-62.6521896E-61.00.01.5490614E-51.1366477E-51.1366477E-51.00.01.8858191E-41.3837808E-41.3837808E-41.00.00.00188421960.0013836470.0013836471.00.0
7.81.9853494E-61.1360784E-61.1360784E-61.00.08.508612E-64.8688985E-64.8688985E-61.00.01.0358743E-45.9277223E-55.9277223E-51.00.00.00103539165.933389E-45.933389E-41.00.0
7.91.1818757E-65.29477E-75.29477E-71.00.05.0651715E-62.269185E-62.269185E-61.00.06.1666724E-52.7626977E-52.7626977E-51.00.06.1649614E-42.7691363E-42.7691363E-41.00.0
8.06.962958E-72.71365E-72.71365E-71.00.02.9841215E-61.1629924E-61.1629924E-61.00.03.6331072E-51.415934E-51.415934E-51.00.03.6325134E-41.4215276E-41.4215276E-41.00.0
8.11.5033264E-76.52693E-86.52693E-81.00.06.442826E-72.7972553E-72.7972553E-71.00.07.844113E-63.4056532E-63.4056532E-61.00.07.843835E-53.4072833E-53.4072833E-51.00.0

San Jacinto (Clark) rev

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.482615E-52.1153059E-52.1153059E-51.00.01.9209793E-49.065287E-51.0065197E-41.11030091.0E-50.00233628340.00110314910.0011530941.04527475.0E-50.023118740.0114857090.0115351341.00430325.0E-5
6.14.482615E-52.1153059E-52.1153059E-51.00.01.9209793E-49.065287E-51.0065197E-41.11030091.0E-50.00233628340.00110314910.0011530941.04527475.0E-50.023118740.0114857090.0115351341.00430325.0E-5
6.24.482615E-52.1153059E-52.1153059E-51.00.01.9209793E-49.065287E-51.0065197E-41.11030091.0E-50.00233628340.00110314910.0011530941.04527475.0E-50.023118740.0114857090.0115351341.00430325.0E-5
6.34.482615E-52.1153059E-52.1153059E-51.00.01.9209793E-49.065287E-51.0065197E-41.11030091.0E-50.00233628340.00110314910.0011530941.04527475.0E-50.023118740.0114857090.0115351341.00430325.0E-5
6.44.482615E-52.1153059E-52.1153059E-51.00.01.9209793E-49.065287E-51.0065197E-41.11030091.0E-50.00233628340.00110314910.0011530941.04527475.0E-50.023118740.0114857090.0115351341.00430325.0E-5
6.53.7294863E-51.7354667E-51.7354667E-51.00.01.5982533E-47.437504E-58.4374304E-51.13444361.0E-50.00194413669.051445E-49.5509924E-41.05518985.0E-50.019272160.0094859020.0095354281.0052215.0E-5
6.63.7294863E-51.7354667E-51.7354667E-51.00.01.5982533E-47.437504E-58.4374304E-51.13444361.0E-50.00194413669.051445E-49.5509924E-41.05518985.0E-50.019272160.0094859020.0095354281.0052215.0E-5
6.73.6039248E-51.6602684E-51.6602684E-51.00.01.5444479E-47.115244E-58.115173E-51.14053331.0E-50.00187874348.659408E-49.158975E-41.05769065.0E-50.018629390.0090881890.0091377351.00545175.0E-5
6.83.5031844E-51.6231123E-51.6231123E-51.00.01.5012783E-46.956012E-57.9559424E-51.14375051.0E-50.00182627398.4656954E-48.965272E-41.05901195.0E-50.018113380.0088887880.0089383431.00557515.0E-5
6.93.435112E-51.6061658E-51.6061658E-51.00.01.4721078E-46.8833884E-57.8833196E-51.14526721.0E-50.00179081788.377344E-48.876925E-41.05963485.0E-50.0177645480.0087965120.00884607251.00563415.0E-5
7.02.8959772E-51.43355255E-51.43355255E-51.00.01.241074E-46.1436534E-57.143592E-51.16275951.0E-50.00150996037.477359E-47.976985E-41.06681855.0E-50.0149974160.0078683310.0079179381.00630465.0E-5
7.12.6002877E-51.2827699E-51.2827699E-51.00.01.11436144E-45.4974706E-56.4974156E-51.18189181.0E-50.00135589076.6911365E-47.0908683E-41.05974054.0E-50.0134764750.00704834330.00708806141.00563514.0E-5
7.22.2544838E-51.1260331E-51.1260331E-51.00.09.661716E-54.825768E-55.8257196E-51.20721091.0E-50.0011756795.873803E-46.273568E-41.0680594.0E-50.0116947850.006192560.00623231241.00641944.0E-5
7.31.75334E-51.0810585E-51.0810585E-51.00.07.514098E-54.6330264E-55.63298E-51.21583161.0E-59.144575E-45.6392635E-46.039038E-41.07089134.0E-50.0091070360.00593321960.0059729821.00670174.0E-5
7.41.5924552E-51.0610475E-51.0610475E-51.00.06.82463E-54.547268E-55.5472225E-51.21990231.0E-58.305819E-45.534906E-45.934685E-41.07222874.0E-50.0082748440.00582058630.00586035341.00683214.0E-5
7.51.3428931E-59.851045E-69.851045E-61.00.05.7551293E-54.221809E-55.2217667E-51.23685531.0E-57.004617E-45.1388505E-45.538645E-41.07779844.0E-50.0069825790.0054062090.00544599261.00735894.0E-5
7.61.0688787E-58.614091E-68.614091E-61.00.04.5808283E-53.6917012E-54.691664E-51.27086781.0E-55.5757316E-44.4937237E-44.893544E-41.0889734.0E-50.0055617620.00474136140.00478117171.00839644.0E-5
7.78.81236E-67.4673385E-67.4673385E-61.00.03.776671E-53.200249E-54.2002168E-51.31246571.0E-54.597127E-43.8956082E-44.2954527E-41.10263974.0E-50.00458762840.00413441940.0041742541.00963494.0E-5
7.87.780431E-66.695928E-66.695928E-61.00.03.3344273E-52.8696519E-53.869623E-51.34846441.0E-54.0589093E-43.4932428E-43.893103E-41.11446684.0E-50.00405150370.00372262720.00376247821.01070514.0E-5
7.96.5437994E-65.7797783E-65.7797783E-61.00.02.8044553E-52.4770245E-53.4769997E-51.40370021.0E-53.4138895E-43.0153614E-43.415241E-41.1326144.0E-50.00340864950.00323432940.00327421.01232734.0E-5
8.05.4488164E-64.812793E-64.812793E-61.00.02.3351862E-52.0626094E-53.0625888E-51.48481271.0E-52.8427184E-42.510939E-42.9108385E-41.1592634.0E-50.00283908450.00271070380.00275059531.01471634.0E-5
8.12.8397242E-61.3665673E-61.3665673E-61.00.01.217019E-55.856704E-65.856704E-61.00.01.4816198E-47.1303046E-58.1302336E-51.14023651.0E-50.00148063258.113543E-48.213462E-41.0123151.0E-5
8.22.030244E-66.3151083E-76.3151083E-71.00.08.701017E-62.7064723E-62.7064723E-61.00.01.05929736E-43.2950808E-53.2950808E-51.00.00.00105879253.9470522E-43.9470522E-41.00.0
8.31.0659804E-62.9230563E-72.9230563E-71.00.04.568479E-61.2527379E-61.2527379E-61.00.05.5619817E-51.5251981E-51.5251981E-51.00.05.5605895E-41.8556409E-41.8556409E-41.00.0

Great Valley 09 (Laguna Seca)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.4353277E-57.050019E-51.0049807E-41.42550083.0E-52.3292181E-43.0211007E-43.3210102E-41.09927153.0E-50.00283213520.00367200560.0037218221.01356655.0E-50.027963120.0361158440.0361640381.00133445.0E-5
6.14.5578287E-55.822054E-56.821996E-51.17175071.0E-51.953209E-42.4949352E-42.5949103E-41.04007121.0E-50.00237543830.00303335490.0030632641.009863.0E-50.0235020630.0299198930.0299489951.00097263.0E-5
6.22.8536782E-53.4736422E-54.4736073E-51.28787231.0E-51.2229476E-41.4886161E-41.5886012E-41.06716641.0E-50.00148792170.00181085760.00182083951.00551221.0E-50.0147799860.0179582760.0179680981.00054681.0E-5
6.32.3698774E-52.8213344E-53.8213064E-51.35443221.0E-51.01562226E-41.2090833E-41.3090711E-41.08269731.0E-50.00123581860.0014710510.00148103631.00678791.0E-50.0122896860.0146114550.0146213081.00067441.0E-5
6.41.9191197E-52.212289E-53.212267E-51.45201051.0E-58.2245395E-59.4808805E-51.04807856E-41.10546541.0E-50.00100087770.00115369060.00116367911.00865781.0E-50.0099638180.0114770220.01148690751.00086131.0E-5
6.51.5203241E-51.6801298E-52.680113E-51.59518211.0E-56.5155116E-57.200338E-58.200266E-51.13887241.0E-57.9297484E-48.76301E-48.8629226E-41.01140171.0E-50.0079015120.0087295810.0087394941.00113561.0E-5
6.61.0984925E-51.12425605E-52.1242447E-51.88946711.0E-54.70774E-54.8181533E-55.8181053E-51.20753841.0E-55.730166E-45.8645604E-45.964502E-41.01704161.0E-50.0057154130.00584947550.0058594171.00169961.0E-5
6.79.134616E-69.019868E-61.9019779E-52.10865351.0E-53.9147766E-53.865602E-54.8655635E-51.25868191.0E-54.7651984E-44.7053778E-44.8053308E-41.02124231.0E-50.0047549930.004695660.0047056131.00211971.0E-5
6.87.785589E-67.4519185E-61.7451845E-52.34192631.0E-53.3366385E-53.1936415E-54.1936095E-51.31311211.0E-54.0616E-43.887585E-43.987546E-41.0257131.0E-50.00405418450.0038809880.00389094931.00256671.0E-5
6.95.579095E-64.8984666E-61.4898417E-53.04144531.0E-52.3910188E-52.0993268E-53.099306E-51.47633311.0E-52.9106764E-42.5556443E-42.655619E-41.03911911.0E-50.0029068670.00255284270.00256281721.00390721.0E-5
7.02.6816688E-61.521587E-61.521587E-61.00.01.1492816E-56.521071E-66.521071E-61.00.01.3991605E-47.939124E-57.939124E-51.00.00.00139827997.936375E-47.936375E-41.00.0
7.11.9951021E-67.45357E-77.45357E-71.00.08.55041E-63.1943835E-63.1943835E-61.00.01.0409627E-43.889097E-53.889097E-51.00.00.00104047523.8884574E-43.8884574E-41.00.0
7.21.9951021E-67.45357E-77.45357E-71.00.08.55041E-63.1943835E-63.1943835E-61.00.01.0409627E-43.889097E-53.889097E-51.00.00.00104047523.8884574E-43.8884574E-41.00.0
7.31.7087556E-66.578663E-76.578663E-71.00.07.3232177E-62.819424E-62.819424E-61.00.08.915652E-53.432599E-53.432599E-51.00.08.9120766E-43.432109E-43.432109E-41.00.0
7.41.3804846E-66.0737113E-76.0737113E-71.00.05.916349E-62.6030168E-62.6030168E-61.00.07.2029165E-53.169131E-53.169131E-51.00.07.200583E-43.168719E-43.168719E-41.00.0
7.51.3804846E-66.0737113E-76.0737113E-71.00.05.916349E-62.6030168E-62.6030168E-61.00.07.2029165E-53.169131E-53.169131E-51.00.07.200583E-43.168719E-43.168719E-41.00.0

Hollywood

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.24487615E-51.2593229E-52.2593103E-51.79406751.0E-55.3350745E-55.3969892E-56.396935E-51.18527851.0E-56.4935174E-46.5689E-46.7687687E-41.03042652.0E-50.00647457550.00654997070.00659964331.00758365.0E-5
6.11.24487615E-51.2593229E-52.2593103E-51.79406751.0E-55.3350745E-55.3969892E-56.396935E-51.18527851.0E-56.4935174E-46.5689E-46.7687687E-41.03042652.0E-50.00647457550.00654997070.00659964331.00758365.0E-5
6.21.24487615E-51.2593229E-52.2593103E-51.79406751.0E-55.3350745E-55.3969892E-56.396935E-51.18527851.0E-56.4935174E-46.5689E-46.7687687E-41.03042652.0E-50.00647457550.00654997070.00659964331.00758365.0E-5
6.31.24487615E-51.2593229E-52.2593103E-51.79406751.0E-55.3350745E-55.3969892E-56.396935E-51.18527851.0E-56.4935174E-46.5689E-46.7687687E-41.03042652.0E-50.00647457550.00654997070.00659964331.00758365.0E-5
6.41.2431024E-51.25738425E-52.2573717E-51.79529181.0E-55.327473E-55.388681E-56.388627E-51.18556421.0E-56.4842677E-46.558791E-46.75866E-41.03047352.0E-50.00646537960.00653992130.00658959431.00759535.0E-5
6.51.1242222E-51.1317804E-52.131769E-51.88355361.0E-54.8180063E-54.8503985E-55.85035E-51.20615861.0E-55.864344E-45.903787E-46.1036693E-41.03385652.0E-50.00584889250.005888390.00593809551.00844135.0E-5
6.61.1234066E-51.1308918E-52.1308804E-51.88424791.0E-54.8145106E-54.8465907E-55.846542E-51.20632061.0E-55.86009E-45.899153E-46.0990354E-41.03388322.0E-50.0058446610.00588378030.00593348641.00844795.0E-5
6.71.12294E-51.1303661E-52.1303547E-51.88465921.0E-54.812511E-54.8443377E-55.8442893E-51.20641661.0E-55.857657E-45.896412E-46.096294E-41.0338992.0E-50.00584224050.0058810540.00593075951.00845185.0E-5
6.81.0252819E-51.0218449E-52.0218346E-51.97861221.0E-54.3939912E-54.3792625E-55.3792188E-51.2283391.0E-55.3483713E-45.330469E-45.530362E-41.03750012.0E-50.0053355170.00531790960.00536764371.00935225.0E-5
6.99.252289E-69.110309E-61.9110219E-52.09764741.0E-53.9652066E-53.9043607E-54.9043218E-51.25611391.0E-54.8265693E-44.752539E-44.952444E-41.04206282.0E-50.00481610.0047425490.0047823591.00839424.0E-5
7.08.474604E-68.25826E-61.8258177E-52.21089891.0E-53.6319227E-53.5392073E-54.539172E-51.28253911.0E-54.4209688E-44.3081472E-44.508061E-41.04640362.0E-50.0044121840.00429994570.00433977371.00926244.0E-5
7.16.643643E-66.2683707E-61.6268308E-52.5953011.0E-52.8472443E-52.686417E-53.68639E-51.3722331.0E-53.4659685E-43.2702263E-43.3701936E-41.0305691.0E-50.00346056770.00326545980.0032953621.00915713.0E-5
7.25.549002E-65.1087086E-61.5108657E-52.95743181.0E-52.378122E-52.1894282E-53.1894062E-51.45673021.0E-52.8949787E-42.665304E-42.7652775E-41.03750921.0E-50.00289121040.0026621240.00269204421.01123923.0E-5
7.34.3059727E-63.9598913E-61.39598515E-53.52531171.0E-51.8454039E-51.6970853E-52.6970683E-51.58923551.0E-52.2465475E-42.0660064E-42.1659858E-41.04839251.0E-50.00224427790.00206409580.00208405451.00966942.0E-5
7.42.8550733E-62.7013002E-62.7013002E-61.00.01.2235971E-51.1576949E-51.1576949E-51.00.01.4896276E-41.4094029E-41.4094029E-41.00.00.00148862940.00140851410.00141850011.00708971.0E-5
7.51.9927045E-61.8976393E-61.8976393E-61.00.08.540134E-68.132714E-68.132714E-61.00.01.0397117E-49.901134E-59.901134E-51.00.00.00103922549.896759E-49.996659E-41.01009431.0E-5
7.61.345084E-61.2216018E-61.2216018E-61.00.05.764633E-65.2354258E-65.2354258E-61.00.07.018215E-56.373946E-56.373946E-51.00.07.0159987E-46.372138E-46.4720743E-41.01568331.0E-5
7.77.6835164E-76.2777013E-76.2777013E-71.00.03.2929315E-62.6904406E-62.6904406E-61.00.04.00907E-53.2755637E-53.2755637E-51.00.04.0083472E-43.2750957E-43.2750957E-41.00.0
7.83.6562128E-72.4534745E-72.4534745E-71.00.01.5669474E-61.0514887E-61.0514887E-61.00.01.9077417E-51.2801803E-51.2801803E-51.00.01.907578E-41.2801103E-41.2801103E-41.00.0
7.97.5024424E-85.381742E-85.381742E-81.00.03.215332E-72.3064608E-72.3064608E-71.00.03.91466E-62.8081138E-62.8081138E-61.00.03.9145907E-52.8080913E-52.8080913E-51.00.0

San Diego Trough north alt1

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.329252E-58.821269E-59.8211814E-51.11335241.0E-53.14073E-43.7800326E-43.979957E-41.05288962.0E-50.00381713550.00459304870.00462291061.00650163.0E-50.037522310.0450451370.0450928841.001065.0E-5
6.13.7940346E-54.4884906E-55.488446E-51.2227821.0E-51.6259136E-41.9235026E-42.1234641E-41.10395692.0E-50.00197775240.0023394310.00235938421.00852912.0E-50.0196024310.0231567320.0231860371.00126553.0E-5
6.22.8645263E-53.329672E-53.329672E-51.00.01.2275964E-41.4269259E-41.5269115E-41.07007071.0E-50.00149357390.00173592060.00174590321.00575071.0E-50.01483575350.0172262680.0172459221.00114112.0E-5
6.32.8645263E-53.329672E-53.329672E-51.00.01.2275964E-41.4269259E-41.5269115E-41.07007071.0E-50.00149357390.00173592060.00174590321.00575071.0E-50.01483575350.0172262680.0172459221.00114112.0E-5
6.42.2204576E-52.544832E-52.544832E-51.00.09.5159E-51.0905972E-41.1905863E-41.09168291.0E-50.0011579450.00132700280.00133698951.00752581.0E-50.0115192980.0131919590.0132116951.00149612.0E-5
6.52.1004838E-52.4024695E-52.4024695E-51.00.09.0017624E-51.0295897E-41.1295794E-41.09711611.0E-50.00109541360.00125281350.0012628011.0079721.0E-50.0109002960.0124585920.0124783421.00158542.0E-5
6.61.820557E-52.070479E-52.070479E-51.00.07.802154E-58.8731824E-59.873094E-51.11268911.0E-59.4949827E-40.00107977990.00108976921.00925111.0E-50.0094545160.0107460050.0107657911.00184122.0E-5
6.71.5884485E-51.7983646E-51.7983646E-51.00.06.807459E-57.707051E-57.707051E-51.00.08.284929E-49.3793223E-49.3793223E-41.00.00.0082541090.0093401040.009350011.00106061.0E-5
6.81.4331171E-51.6201066E-51.6201066E-51.00.06.141786E-56.94313E-56.94313E-51.00.07.4750587E-48.450002E-48.450002E-41.00.00.00744996450.0084181390.0084280551.00117791.0E-5
6.91.2574203E-51.4205835E-51.4205835E-51.00.05.3888325E-56.0880735E-56.0880735E-51.00.06.558929E-47.409723E-47.409723E-41.00.00.00653960370.0073852030.00739512971.00134411.0E-5
7.01.0883844E-51.2289262E-51.2289262E-51.00.04.664421E-55.2667205E-55.2667205E-51.00.05.677453E-46.4103556E-46.4103556E-41.00.00.005662970.0063919930.00640192861.00155451.0E-5
7.19.393088E-61.060702E-51.060702E-51.00.04.025547E-54.545787E-54.545787E-51.00.04.900001E-45.533098E-45.533098E-41.00.00.00488921070.0055194180.00552936271.00180171.0E-5
7.28.190791E-69.258625E-69.258625E-61.00.03.510292E-53.9679224E-53.9679224E-51.00.04.2729423E-44.8298817E-44.8298817E-41.00.00.00426473560.0048194650.00482941651.0020651.0E-5
7.36.268162E-67.089716E-67.089716E-61.00.02.6863276E-53.0384144E-53.0384144E-51.00.03.2701128E-43.6986457E-43.6986457E-41.00.00.0032653050.0036925360.0036925361.00.0
7.44.985186E-65.6426816E-65.6426816E-61.00.02.1364907E-52.4182698E-52.4182698E-51.00.02.600867E-42.9438498E-42.9438498E-41.00.00.0025978250.00293999140.00293999141.00.0
7.51.7489613E-61.969678E-61.969678E-61.00.07.495527E-68.4414505E-68.4414505E-61.00.09.125422E-51.02770035E-41.02770035E-41.00.09.1216754E-40.00102724720.00102724721.00.0
7.61.6988751E-71.7533823E-71.7533823E-71.00.07.2808916E-77.5144936E-77.5144936E-71.00.08.864449E-69.14886E-69.14886E-61.00.08.8640954E-59.1485024E-59.1485024E-51.00.0

Calaveras (So) 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5950744E-43.0713255E-43.1712948E-41.03254931.0E-56.834242E-40.0013154090.00133538261.01518442.0E-50.008288990.0158583260.0158780091.00124122.0E-50.0798654260.144401850.144436081.0002374.0E-5
6.11.3584697E-42.603514E-42.603514E-41.00.05.8207137E-40.00111517540.00112516431.00895711.0E-50.0070637160.0134613850.013471251.00073291.0E-50.068433610.1240299940.124056271.00021183.0E-5
6.21.14676266E-42.1714384E-42.1714384E-41.00.04.9137714E-49.30223E-49.402137E-41.01074021.0E-50.00596611850.0112450580.0112549461.00087931.0E-50.0580846480.105020570.105047411.00025573.0E-5
6.38.691518E-51.5987935E-41.5987935E-41.00.03.7244044E-46.849807E-46.9497386E-41.0145891.0E-50.0045250380.0083011220.0083110391.00119471.0E-50.0443399920.07933650.079364121.00034813.0E-5
6.48.50982E-51.5694331E-41.5694331E-41.00.03.646556E-46.724042E-46.823975E-41.01486211.0E-50.00443064750.0081491550.0081590741.00121711.0E-50.043433450.077942680.077970331.00035493.0E-5
6.58.4062965E-51.5518743E-41.5518743E-41.00.03.602201E-46.6488347E-46.748768E-41.01503031.0E-50.0043768630.0080583650.0080682851.0012311.0E-50.0429165550.077113880.077141571.0003593.0E-5
6.68.194716E-51.5154552E-41.5154552E-41.00.03.5115483E-46.492843E-46.592778E-41.01539161.0E-50.00426693170.0078702090.0078801311.00126061.0E-50.041859270.075399190.075426931.00036793.0E-5
6.78.012326E-51.4822475E-41.4822475E-41.00.03.433402E-46.350612E-46.4505485E-41.01573651.0E-50.0041721570.0076987010.0077086241.00128891.0E-50.0409469120.073841320.07386911.00037623.0E-5
6.87.119773E-51.2881879E-41.2881879E-41.00.03.0509746E-45.519494E-45.619438E-41.01810771.0E-50.00370823570.0066960660.0067059991.00148341.0E-50.0364696420.064685750.0647138061.00043383.0E-5
6.95.7343088E-59.919277E-59.919277E-51.00.02.4573295E-44.25043E-44.3503873E-41.0235171.0E-50.00298769420.0051626940.00517264241.0019271.0E-50.029478440.050510360.0505388451.0005643.0E-5
7.04.8746577E-58.2850725E-58.2850725E-51.00.02.0889717E-43.5502657E-43.65023E-41.02815691.0E-50.00254035650.0043139480.0043239051.0023081.0E-50.0251151210.0424852450.042513971.00067623.0E-5
7.14.2998014E-57.265203E-57.265203E-51.00.01.8426418E-43.1132903E-43.213259E-41.03211031.0E-50.0022411080.0037839030.00379386521.00263271.0E-50.0221864120.0374235620.037452441.00077163.0E-5
7.23.221292E-55.390791E-55.390791E-51.00.01.3804805E-42.3101359E-42.3101359E-41.00.00.00167943930.00280899070.00280899071.00.00.0166680370.028036020.0280554611.00069332.0E-5
7.32.3756531E-53.9473416E-53.9473416E-51.00.01.0180973E-41.6916092E-41.6916092E-41.00.00.00123882860.00205760570.00205760571.00.00.0123194520.0206431450.0206627321.00094882.0E-5
7.41.5997684E-52.7342163E-52.7342163E-51.00.06.8559704E-51.1717545E-41.1717545E-41.00.08.343947E-40.001425680.001425681.00.00.0083126870.0143760110.0143858671.00068561.0E-5
7.51.3814293E-52.4783874E-52.4783874E-51.00.05.9202768E-51.062123E-41.062123E-41.00.07.205553E-40.001292370.001292371.00.00.0071822340.0130550850.0130649541.0007561.0E-5
7.68.817309E-61.6430757E-51.6430757E-51.00.03.7787922E-57.0415634E-57.0415634E-51.00.04.5997082E-48.569745E-48.569745E-41.00.00.0045901990.0087192840.0087291971.00113691.0E-5
7.74.0352206E-67.707318E-67.707318E-61.00.01.7293689E-53.3030945E-53.3030945E-51.00.02.1053031E-44.0207763E-44.0207763E-41.00.00.00210330960.0041651720.00417513071.00239091.0E-5
7.83.413169E-66.787282E-66.787282E-61.00.01.4627784E-52.9088029E-52.9088029E-51.00.01.7807873E-43.5408925E-43.5408925E-41.00.00.00177936090.00366651660.003676481.00271741.0E-5
7.92.4740732E-65.2791843E-65.2791843E-61.00.01.06031275E-52.262488E-52.262488E-51.00.01.2908543E-42.7542314E-42.7542314E-41.00.00.00129010470.00283479550.00284476721.00351761.0E-5
8.01.5231818E-63.2889548E-63.2889548E-61.00.06.527906E-61.40954435E-51.40954435E-51.00.07.9474354E-51.7159856E-41.7159856E-41.00.07.944594E-40.00175643030.00176641281.00568341.0E-5
8.11.0104524E-62.045782E-62.045782E-61.00.04.330503E-68.767608E-68.767608E-61.00.05.2722597E-51.0674043E-41.0674043E-41.00.05.271009E-40.0010929340.0010929341.00.0

Newport-Inglewood (Offshore)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.9626508E-51.8965342E-52.8965153E-51.52726761.0E-58.411089E-58.1277576E-59.1276765E-51.12302521.0E-50.0010235699.891179E-49.99108E-41.01011.0E-50.0101886720.0098484970.0098881021.00402154.0E-5
6.11.331886E-51.2218078E-52.2217957E-51.81844931.0E-55.707958E-55.2362153E-56.236163E-51.19096771.0E-56.947222E-46.3732424E-46.4731785E-41.01568061.0E-50.0069255440.0063551420.00638495151.00469053.0E-5
6.21.2250852E-51.1076016E-52.1075904E-51.90284171.0E-55.2502597E-54.746778E-55.7467307E-51.21065931.0E-56.3903164E-45.7776796E-45.877622E-41.0172981.0E-50.0063719710.00576277960.00579260661.00517583.0E-5
6.31.2106258E-51.0918878E-52.091877E-51.9158351.0E-55.1882926E-54.6794354E-55.6793888E-51.2136911.0E-56.3149154E-45.695733E-45.795676E-41.0175471.0E-50.00629700070.0056812520.0057110821.00525063.0E-5
6.41.1348758E-51.0109348E-52.0109248E-51.98917341.0E-54.8636626E-54.3325064E-55.332463E-51.23080331.0E-55.919901E-45.2735576E-45.3735054E-41.01895251.0E-50.0059041550.00526113950.00529098141.00567223.0E-5
6.51.100837E-59.743376E-69.743376E-61.00.04.7177873E-54.175666E-54.175666E-51.00.05.7423924E-45.082695E-45.082695E-41.00.00.0057275760.0050711620.00509106041.00392392.0E-5
6.61.0634696E-59.34553E-69.34553E-61.00.04.557647E-54.0051662E-54.0051662E-51.00.05.5475225E-44.875206E-44.875206E-41.00.00.00553369430.00486459770.00488450051.00409142.0E-5
6.79.9780855E-68.667898E-68.667898E-61.00.04.276252E-53.7147613E-53.7147613E-51.00.05.205093E-44.5217903E-44.5217903E-41.00.00.00519291820.00451266860.00453257841.00441192.0E-5
6.89.59546E-68.272933E-68.272933E-61.00.04.1122752E-53.545495E-53.545495E-51.00.05.0055445E-44.3157916E-44.3157916E-41.00.00.0049942850.0043074860.00432739971.0046232.0E-5
6.99.000614E-67.706823E-67.706823E-61.00.03.857349E-53.3028828E-53.3028828E-51.00.04.6953102E-44.0205245E-44.0205245E-41.00.00.0046854020.00401332230.0040332421.00496342.0E-5
7.07.4070194E-66.148865E-66.148865E-61.00.03.1743984E-52.6352012E-52.6352012E-51.00.03.8641447E-43.2078868E-43.2078868E-41.00.00.00385743220.00320327580.00322321171.00622362.0E-5
7.16.299615E-65.0565613E-65.0565613E-61.00.02.699807E-52.1670798E-52.1670798E-51.00.03.2865192E-42.6381016E-42.6381016E-41.00.00.0032816630.00263498470.0026549321.00757012.0E-5
7.25.096653E-63.892733E-63.892733E-61.00.02.1842614E-51.6683034E-51.6683034E-51.00.02.6590136E-42.0309711E-42.0309711E-41.00.00.00265583420.00202912630.00202912631.00.0
7.33.9753018E-62.9098787E-62.9098787E-61.00.01.7036897E-51.24708495E-51.24708495E-51.00.02.0740448E-41.518221E-41.518221E-41.00.00.002072110.00151719190.00151719191.00.0
7.43.0568392E-62.1449732E-62.1449732E-61.00.01.3100675E-59.19271E-69.19271E-61.00.01.5948903E-41.11915564E-41.11915564E-41.00.00.00159374610.00111859830.00111859831.00.0
7.51.7279019E-61.1469651E-61.1469651E-61.00.07.405273E-64.9155556E-64.9155556E-61.00.09.015547E-55.9845286E-55.9845286E-51.00.09.01189E-45.982956E-45.982956E-41.00.0
7.61.1156416E-67.222962E-77.222962E-71.00.04.7813123E-63.0955514E-63.0955514E-61.00.05.821092E-53.768771E-53.768771E-51.00.05.8195676E-43.7681553E-43.7681553E-41.00.0
7.79.117973E-86.7342256E-86.7342256E-81.00.03.907702E-72.8860964E-72.8860964E-71.00.04.757617E-63.5138169E-63.5138169E-61.00.04.7575148E-53.5137644E-53.5137644E-51.00.0

Northridge

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.8340852E-57.5878907E-67.5878907E-61.00.07.860128E-53.251914E-53.251914E-51.00.09.565505E-43.9585077E-44.0584683E-41.02525211.0E-50.0095244350.00395168740.00399152931.01008224.0E-5
6.11.8340852E-57.5878907E-67.5878907E-61.00.07.860128E-53.251914E-53.251914E-51.00.09.565505E-43.9585077E-44.0584683E-41.02525211.0E-50.0095244350.00395168740.00399152931.01008224.0E-5
6.21.8340852E-57.5878907E-67.5878907E-61.00.07.860128E-53.251914E-53.251914E-51.00.09.565505E-43.9585077E-44.0584683E-41.02525211.0E-50.0095244350.00395168740.00399152931.01008224.0E-5
6.31.8340852E-57.5878907E-67.5878907E-61.00.07.860128E-53.251914E-53.251914E-51.00.09.565505E-43.9585077E-44.0584683E-41.02525211.0E-50.0095244350.00395168740.00399152931.01008224.0E-5
6.41.7361892E-57.5878907E-67.5878907E-61.00.07.440598E-53.251914E-53.251914E-51.00.09.055163E-43.9585077E-44.0584683E-41.02525211.0E-50.0090183540.00395168740.00399152931.01008224.0E-5
6.51.7361892E-57.5878907E-67.5878907E-61.00.07.440598E-53.251914E-53.251914E-51.00.09.055163E-43.9585077E-44.0584683E-41.02525211.0E-50.0090183540.00395168740.00399152931.01008224.0E-5
6.61.5458201E-57.5878907E-67.5878907E-61.00.06.624775E-53.251914E-53.251914E-51.00.08.0626784E-43.9585077E-44.0584683E-41.02525211.0E-50.0080334880.00395168740.00399152931.01008224.0E-5
6.71.2538368E-56.381497E-66.381497E-61.00.05.3734755E-52.7348988E-52.7348988E-51.00.06.5402425E-43.329235E-43.4292016E-41.03002691.0E-50.00652102750.00332430350.00336417071.01199264.0E-5
6.81.1438097E-56.350156E-66.350156E-61.00.04.9019498E-52.7214674E-52.7214674E-51.00.05.9664896E-43.3128873E-43.412854E-41.03017521.0E-50.0059504950.00330800470.00334787231.01205194.0E-5
6.91.1204891E-56.2866116E-66.2866116E-61.00.04.8020076E-52.6942345E-52.6942345E-51.00.05.8448757E-43.2797412E-43.3797082E-41.03048031.0E-50.00582952660.00327495670.00331482571.01217394.0E-5
7.01.061046E-56.1152687E-66.1152687E-61.00.04.5472607E-52.6208034E-52.6208034E-51.00.05.534883E-43.190365E-43.190365E-41.00.00.00552111770.00318583150.00321573581.00938673.0E-5
7.11.0266979E-56.0041907E-66.0041907E-61.00.04.40006E-52.5731995E-52.5731995E-51.00.05.355756E-43.1324243E-43.1324243E-41.00.00.00534286680.00312805480.0031579611.00956063.0E-5
7.29.91273E-65.819906E-65.819906E-61.00.04.248244E-52.4942217E-52.4942217E-51.00.05.171009E-43.036296E-43.036296E-41.00.00.00515899340.00303219240.00306210151.00986393.0E-5
7.38.4959265E-65.1930183E-65.1930183E-61.00.03.6410605E-52.2255605E-52.2255605E-51.00.04.4320893E-42.7092852E-42.7092852E-41.00.00.004423260.00270600850.00273592721.01105643.0E-5
7.48.0847185E-64.9818977E-64.9818977E-61.00.03.4648332E-52.1350817E-52.1350817E-51.00.04.2176177E-42.5991542E-42.5991542E-41.00.00.00420962230.00259614010.00262606211.01152563.0E-5
7.56.8220684E-64.2532647E-64.2532647E-61.00.02.9237108E-51.8228153E-51.8228153E-51.00.03.5590364E-42.2190536E-42.2190536E-41.00.00.00355334180.00221685860.00223681421.00900172.0E-5
7.64.4224143E-62.8999295E-62.8999295E-61.00.01.8953066E-51.24282105E-51.24282105E-51.00.02.3072914E-41.5130307E-41.5130307E-41.00.00.00230489740.00151201220.0015219971.00660371.0E-5
7.72.5297056E-61.6045943E-61.6045943E-61.00.01.0841551E-56.876815E-66.876815E-61.00.01.319879E-48.372205E-58.372205E-51.00.00.00131909538.369098E-48.369098E-41.00.0
7.81.2508156E-68.780148E-78.780148E-71.00.05.3606273E-63.7629154E-63.7629154E-61.00.06.526368E-54.5812543E-54.5812543E-51.00.06.524452E-44.580323E-44.580323E-41.00.0
7.92.262199E-71.466491E-71.466491E-71.00.09.695135E-76.2849597E-76.2849597E-71.00.01.1803763E-57.651913E-67.651913E-61.00.01.1803136E-47.651657E-57.651657E-51.00.0
8.02.865362E-91.27525E-91.27525E-91.00.01.2280123E-85.465357E-95.465357E-91.00.01.4951048E-76.654073E-86.654073E-81.00.01.4951038E-66.6540724E-76.6540724E-71.00.0

Santa Monica alt 1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1066008E-51.1480312E-52.1480198E-51.87104641.0E-54.742488E-54.920049E-55.92E-51.203241.0E-55.7724497E-45.9886527E-46.188533E-41.03337652.0E-50.0057574780.00597390160.00601366261.00665584.0E-5
6.11.1066008E-51.1480312E-52.1480198E-51.87104641.0E-54.742488E-54.920049E-55.92E-51.203241.0E-55.7724497E-45.9886527E-46.188533E-41.03337652.0E-50.0057574780.00597390160.00601366261.00665584.0E-5
6.21.1066008E-51.1480312E-52.1480198E-51.87104641.0E-54.742488E-54.920049E-55.92E-51.203241.0E-55.7724497E-45.9886527E-46.188533E-41.03337652.0E-50.0057574780.00597390160.00601366261.00665584.0E-5
6.31.1066008E-51.1480312E-52.1480198E-51.87104641.0E-54.742488E-54.920049E-55.92E-51.203241.0E-55.7724497E-45.9886527E-46.188533E-41.03337652.0E-50.0057574780.00597390160.00601366261.00665584.0E-5
6.41.1066008E-51.1480312E-52.1480198E-51.87104641.0E-54.742488E-54.920049E-55.92E-51.203241.0E-55.7724497E-45.9886527E-46.188533E-41.03337652.0E-50.0057574780.00597390160.00601366261.00665584.0E-5
6.58.183544E-68.335434E-61.8335351E-52.19968751.0E-53.5071862E-53.572281E-54.5722452E-51.27992321.0E-54.2691626E-44.3483998E-44.548313E-41.04597392.0E-50.00426097030.0043400570.00437988341.00917654.0E-5
6.68.1543285E-68.303648E-61.8303565E-52.204281.0E-53.4946657E-53.558659E-54.5586232E-51.28099481.0E-54.2539247E-44.3318217E-44.531735E-41.046152.0E-50.00424579070.0043235430.004363371.00921174.0E-5
6.78.110878E-68.257045E-61.8256962E-52.2110771.0E-53.4760444E-53.5386864E-54.538651E-51.28258071.0E-54.231262E-44.3075148E-44.5074287E-41.04641042.0E-50.00422321450.0042993310.0043391591.00926384.0E-5
6.87.644036E-67.751063E-61.7750985E-52.29013561.0E-53.275974E-53.3218425E-54.3218093E-51.30102781.0E-53.9877684E-44.043607E-44.2435262E-41.04944072.0E-50.003980620.0040363960.0040762341.00986984.0E-5
6.97.3698293E-67.4557215E-61.7455646E-52.34124181.0E-53.15846E-53.195271E-54.195239E-51.31295251.0E-53.8447464E-43.889562E-44.089484E-41.05139972.0E-50.00383810140.00388289780.00392274231.01026154.0E-5
7.07.209872E-67.2856283E-61.7285556E-52.37255531.0E-53.0899086E-53.1223753E-54.1223444E-51.3202591.0E-53.7613141E-43.800843E-44.0007668E-41.05259992.0E-50.00375495430.0037944850.00383433331.01050164.0E-5
7.15.603456E-65.5238947E-61.552384E-52.81030681.0E-52.4014591E-52.3673623E-53.3673386E-51.42240111.0E-52.923384E-42.8818863E-42.9818574E-41.03468951.0E-50.00291954120.0028781910.00290810461.01039333.0E-5
7.24.7483613E-64.591135E-61.4591089E-53.17810061.0E-52.0349962E-51.9676147E-52.967595E-51.50821961.0E-52.4773262E-42.3953087E-42.4952847E-41.04173831.0E-50.00247456620.00239274120.00242266921.01250793.0E-5
7.33.829015E-63.6342271E-61.36341905E-53.75160671.0E-51.6409962E-51.5575166E-52.5575011E-51.64203771.0E-51.9977297E-41.8961124E-41.9960933E-41.05272951.0E-50.00199593460.00189450340.00191446561.01053692.0E-5
7.42.610755E-62.4995722E-62.4995722E-61.00.01.1188902E-51.0712408E-51.0712408E-51.00.01.3621636E-41.304158E-41.304158E-41.00.00.0013613290.00130339710.00131338421.00766231.0E-5
7.51.792146E-61.7584194E-61.7584194E-61.00.07.680603E-67.5360617E-67.5360617E-61.00.09.3507326E-59.174772E-59.174772E-51.00.09.3467993E-49.1710157E-49.270924E-41.0108941.0E-5
7.61.1473018E-61.102916E-61.102916E-61.00.04.9169985E-64.7267745E-64.7267745E-61.00.05.986281E-55.7546975E-55.7546975E-51.00.05.984669E-45.753224E-45.853166E-41.01737151.0E-5
7.75.330919E-74.7452562E-74.7452562E-71.00.02.2846775E-62.0336797E-62.0336797E-61.00.02.7815593E-52.4759782E-52.4759782E-51.00.02.7812112E-42.4757136E-42.4757136E-41.00.0
7.81.1668574E-78.296564E-88.296564E-81.00.05.000816E-73.5556698E-73.5556698E-71.00.06.0884768E-64.3290197E-64.3290197E-61.00.06.08831E-54.3289383E-54.3289383E-51.00.0
7.98.007447E-106.161581E-106.161581E-101.00.03.4317629E-92.640678E-92.640678E-91.00.04.1781714E-83.2150254E-83.2150254E-81.00.04.1781706E-73.2150248E-73.2150248E-71.00.0

Rinconada 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5752368E-51.6274716E-52.6274553E-51.61444011.0E-56.75084E-56.974694E-58.974554E-51.2867312.0E-58.2160486E-48.488413E-48.6882425E-41.02354162.0E-50.0081857390.008456370.0084960321.00469024.0E-5
6.11.0966133E-51.1323029E-52.1322916E-51.88314591.0E-54.6996865E-54.852637E-55.8525886E-51.20606351.0E-55.720366E-45.9064914E-46.006432E-41.01692061.0E-50.00570566350.0058908890.00592071241.00506263.0E-5
6.21.0966133E-51.1323029E-52.1322916E-51.88314591.0E-54.6996865E-54.852637E-55.8525886E-51.20606351.0E-55.720366E-45.9064914E-46.006432E-41.01692061.0E-50.00570566350.0058908890.00592071241.00506263.0E-5
6.38.926149E-69.212772E-61.9212679E-52.08543971.0E-53.8254362E-53.948271E-54.9482318E-51.25326541.0E-54.6564735E-44.8059633E-44.905915E-41.02079751.0E-50.00464672830.00479561460.00482547051.00622573.0E-5
6.47.676955E-67.920191E-61.7920112E-52.26258591.0E-53.290082E-53.3943234E-54.3942895E-51.29459951.0E-54.0049385E-44.131807E-44.2317656E-41.02419251.0E-50.00399772870.0041241510.00415402741.00724423.0E-5
6.56.1671026E-66.358955E-61.6358892E-52.57257531.0E-52.6430173E-52.725238E-53.7252106E-51.36693051.0E-53.2173982E-43.317473E-43.4174396E-41.03013351.0E-50.0032127440.00331253260.00333246641.00601772.0E-5
6.65.553456E-65.7248126E-61.5724756E-52.7467721.0E-52.3800309E-52.4534682E-53.4534438E-51.40757631.0E-52.897302E-42.9866886E-43.0866588E-41.0334721.0E-50.00289352770.00298268320.00300262361.00668542.0E-5
6.74.787857E-64.93331E-61.493326E-53.02702671.0E-52.0519226E-52.1142585E-53.1142372E-51.4729691.0E-52.4979294E-42.573806E-42.6737803E-41.03884291.0E-50.00249512350.0025708310.00259077941.00775962.0E-5
6.83.9955166E-64.1134763E-61.4113435E-53.43102381.0E-51.7123532E-51.7629065E-52.7628888E-51.5672351.0E-52.0845905E-42.1461275E-42.2461062E-41.04658561.0E-50.0020826360.00214405870.00215403711.0046541.0E-5
6.93.4250072E-63.5224466E-61.3522412E-53.83892581.0E-51.46785205E-51.5096112E-52.5095962E-51.66241221.0E-51.7869633E-41.8377969E-41.9377784E-41.0544031.0E-50.0017855270.00183627950.00184626111.00543581.0E-5
7.02.7712713E-62.8467002E-62.8467002E-61.00.01.1876823E-51.22000865E-51.22000865E-51.00.01.4459073E-41.4852594E-41.4852594E-41.00.00.00144496680.00148426830.00148426831.00.0
7.12.227358E-62.2856987E-62.2856987E-61.00.09.545785E-69.795815E-69.795815E-61.00.01.16213734E-41.1925753E-41.1925753E-41.00.00.00116152980.00119193630.00119193631.00.0
7.21.581796E-61.6209015E-61.6209015E-61.00.06.779108E-66.946702E-66.946702E-61.00.08.253252E-58.4572814E-58.4572814E-51.00.08.250187E-48.4540684E-48.4540684E-41.00.0
7.31.0306567E-61.054648E-61.054648E-61.00.04.4170924E-64.519912E-64.519912E-61.00.05.3776774E-55.502854E-55.502854E-51.00.05.376376E-45.501494E-45.501494E-41.00.0
7.46.535541E-76.682744E-76.682744E-71.00.02.800943E-62.8640302E-62.8640302E-61.00.03.4100947E-53.4869012E-53.4869012E-51.00.03.4095717E-43.486355E-43.486355E-41.00.0
7.53.2656962E-73.3316712E-73.3316712E-71.00.01.3995833E-61.4278584E-61.4278584E-61.00.01.7039794E-51.7384036E-51.7384036E-51.00.01.7038487E-41.738268E-41.738268E-41.00.0
7.69.754343E-89.821017E-89.821017E-81.00.04.180432E-74.2090065E-74.2090065E-71.00.05.089664E-65.1244533E-65.1244533E-61.00.05.0895473E-55.124336E-55.124336E-51.00.0
7.76.0001453E-95.8491207E-95.8491207E-91.00.02.5714908E-82.506766E-82.506766E-81.00.03.1307894E-73.051987E-73.051987E-71.00.03.1307852E-63.0519832E-63.0519832E-61.00.0
7.87.400003E-117.4654505E-117.4654505E-111.00.03.171432E-103.1994773E-103.1994773E-101.00.03.861218E-93.895363E-93.895363E-91.00.03.861218E-83.895363E-83.895363E-81.00.0

Channel Islands Thrust

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.2156251E-52.4092022E-55.40913E-52.24519543.0E-59.495191E-51.03248036E-41.3324495E-41.29053253.0E-50.00115542640.00125642660.00128638881.02384723.0E-50.0114943730.01250382050.0125433211.0031594.0E-5
6.12.2156251E-52.4092022E-55.40913E-52.24519543.0E-59.495191E-51.03248036E-41.3324495E-41.29053253.0E-50.00115542640.00125642660.00128638881.02384723.0E-50.0114943730.01250382050.0125433211.0031594.0E-5
6.22.2156251E-52.4092022E-55.40913E-52.24519543.0E-59.495191E-51.03248036E-41.3324495E-41.29053253.0E-50.00115542640.00125642660.00128638881.02384723.0E-50.0114943730.01250382050.0125433211.0031594.0E-5
6.32.2156251E-52.4092022E-55.40913E-52.24519543.0E-59.495191E-51.03248036E-41.3324495E-41.29053253.0E-50.00115542640.00125642660.00128638881.02384723.0E-50.0114943730.01250382050.0125433211.0031594.0E-5
6.42.2156251E-52.4092022E-55.40913E-52.24519543.0E-59.495191E-51.03248036E-41.3324495E-41.29053253.0E-50.00115542640.00125642660.00128638881.02384723.0E-50.0114943730.01250382050.0125433211.0031594.0E-5
6.52.2156251E-52.4092022E-55.40913E-52.24519543.0E-59.495191E-51.03248036E-41.3324495E-41.29053253.0E-50.00115542640.00125642660.00128638881.02384723.0E-50.0114943730.01250382050.0125433211.0031594.0E-5
6.62.2156251E-52.4092022E-55.40913E-52.24519543.0E-59.495191E-51.03248036E-41.3324495E-41.29053253.0E-50.00115542640.00125642660.00128638881.02384723.0E-50.0114943730.01250382050.0125433211.0031594.0E-5
6.71.0601296E-51.1379544E-52.137943E-51.87875991.0E-54.5433335E-54.876859E-55.8768102E-51.205041.0E-55.5301044E-45.936007E-46.0359476E-41.01683631.0E-50.0055163630.0059206530.0059305941.0016791.0E-5
6.81.0246747E-51.0996669E-52.0996558E-51.90935621.0E-54.391389E-54.7127756E-55.7127287E-51.21217921.0E-55.345204E-45.7363417E-45.836284E-41.01742271.0E-50.00533236560.0057220250.00573196771.00173761.0E-5
6.99.049551E-69.699645E-61.9699548E-52.03095561.0E-53.878322E-54.1569267E-55.156885E-51.24055231.0E-54.7208337E-45.059924E-45.1598734E-41.01975311.0E-50.00471081720.00504882030.005058771.00197061.0E-5
7.08.6542195E-69.274603E-61.927451E-52.07820321.0E-53.7088983E-53.9747716E-54.974732E-51.25157681.0E-54.5146482E-44.8382508E-44.9382023E-41.02065861.0E-50.0045054870.00482812940.0048380811.00206121.0E-5
7.18.391028E-68.992925E-61.8992836E-52.11197521.0E-53.5961057E-53.8540562E-54.8540176E-51.25945691.0E-54.3773788E-44.6913436E-44.791297E-41.02130581.0E-50.0043687660.00468185030.00469180341.00212591.0E-5
7.25.965188E-66.3716957E-61.6371632E-52.5694311.0E-52.556484E-52.7306984E-53.7306712E-51.36619661.0E-53.1120746E-43.3241237E-43.4240904E-41.03007321.0E-50.003107720.00331920940.00332917621.00300281.0E-5
7.34.877518E-65.206007E-61.5205955E-52.92084811.0E-52.0903482E-52.231127E-53.2311047E-51.4481941.0E-52.5447016E-42.716063E-42.8160357E-41.0368081.0E-50.00254178980.00271278970.00272276251.00367631.0E-5
7.43.8829853E-64.141863E-61.4141821E-53.41436241.0E-51.664126E-51.7750723E-52.7750546E-51.56334731.0E-52.0258849E-42.1609403E-42.2609187E-41.04626621.0E-50.0020240390.0021588810.00216885911.0046221.0E-5
7.51.3489616E-61.4277905E-61.1427776E-58.00381851.0E-55.7812517E-66.119088E-61.6119027E-52.63422041.0E-57.038446E-57.449739E-58.449665E-51.13422291.0E-57.036218E-47.4472814E-47.547207E-41.01341771.0E-5
7.66.058192E-76.35378E-76.35378E-71.00.02.5963652E-62.7230458E-62.7230458E-61.00.03.161029E-53.3152595E-53.3152595E-51.00.03.1605794E-43.314781E-43.314781E-41.00.0
7.72.2170494E-72.2607924E-72.2607924E-71.00.09.5016367E-79.689107E-79.689107E-71.00.01.1568181E-51.17964355E-51.17964355E-51.00.01.1567579E-41.179592E-41.179592E-41.00.0
7.82.1613102E-81.5466837E-81.5466837E-81.00.09.262757E-86.628645E-86.628645E-81.00.01.1277401E-68.070372E-78.070372E-71.00.01.1277344E-58.07035E-68.07035E-61.00.0

Cerro Prieto

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.9101528E-45.9654453E-46.0653855E-41.01675321.0E-50.00124661220.00255435660.0025643311.00390491.0E-50.0150722310.0308029280.030812621.00031461.0E-50.140899790.253862560.253892421.00011754.0E-5
6.12.9101528E-45.9654453E-46.0653855E-41.01675321.0E-50.00124661220.00255435660.0025643311.00390491.0E-50.0150722310.0308029280.030812621.00031461.0E-50.140899790.253862560.253892421.00011754.0E-5
6.22.9101528E-45.9654453E-46.0653855E-41.01675321.0E-50.00124661220.00255435660.0025643311.00390491.0E-50.0150722310.0308029280.030812621.00031461.0E-50.140899790.253862560.253892421.00011754.0E-5
6.32.9101528E-45.9654453E-46.0653855E-41.01675321.0E-50.00124661220.00255435660.0025643311.00390491.0E-50.0150722310.0308029280.030812621.00031461.0E-50.140899790.253862560.253892421.00011754.0E-5
6.42.508648E-45.140412E-45.240361E-41.01944381.0E-50.00107469180.00220137250.00221135051.00453261.0E-50.0130060880.0266294160.026639151.00036551.0E-50.122706850.22422220.224253221.00013844.0E-5
6.52.508648E-45.140412E-45.240361E-41.01944381.0E-50.00107469180.00220137250.00221135051.00453261.0E-50.0130060880.0266294160.026639151.00036551.0E-50.122706850.22422220.224253221.00013844.0E-5
6.62.294914E-44.7123645E-44.8123175E-41.02121081.0E-59.831638E-40.00201820930.00202818911.00494491.0E-50.0119044820.0243941940.024403951.00041.0E-50.112865860.208375630.20840731.0001524.0E-5
6.71.9621674E-44.0426268E-44.1425863E-41.02472641.0E-58.4065786E-40.00173156240.0017415451.00576511.0E-50.0101870710.0208889620.0208987541.00046871.0E-50.097325390.182647320.182663661.00008952.0E-5
6.81.5476145E-43.0572579E-43.1572272E-41.03269911.0E-56.6309475E-40.00130969770.00131968471.00762531.0E-50.0080433350.0158268250.0158366671.00062181.0E-50.077583630.143100570.143117731.00011982.0E-5
6.91.20509176E-42.2588465E-42.358824E-41.04426041.0E-55.1636563E-49.6778123E-49.777716E-41.01032291.0E-50.0062686450.0117340250.0117439071.00084221.0E-50.0609473740.109179580.109197391.00016322.0E-5
7.09.3269155E-51.6721459E-41.7721292E-41.05979341.0E-53.9966372E-47.1648025E-47.264731E-41.01394711.0E-50.00485505440.0086959140.0087058271.001141.0E-50.047503440.0829432160.082961561.00022112.0E-5
7.15.029709E-58.174011E-58.174011E-51.00.02.1554115E-43.50287E-43.50287E-41.00.00.00262105530.0042598210.0042598211.00.00.0259035560.042268130.042268131.00.0
7.26.5445185E-86.824737E-86.824737E-81.00.02.8047933E-72.9248872E-72.9248872E-71.00.03.4148304E-63.56105E-63.56105E-61.00.03.414778E-53.56105E-53.56105E-51.00.0

Pitas Point (Lower West)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.151497E-67.855796E-61.7855718E-52.27293541.0E-53.493452E-53.3667267E-54.3666932E-51.29701441.0E-54.252448E-44.0982262E-44.2981442E-41.04878162.0E-50.00424431960.0040907490.00413058561.00973824.0E-5
6.18.151497E-67.855796E-61.7855718E-52.27293541.0E-53.493452E-53.3667267E-54.3666932E-51.29701441.0E-54.252448E-44.0982262E-44.2981442E-41.04878162.0E-50.00424431960.0040907490.00413058561.00973824.0E-5
6.28.151497E-67.855796E-61.7855718E-52.27293541.0E-53.493452E-53.3667267E-54.3666932E-51.29701441.0E-54.252448E-44.0982262E-44.2981442E-41.04878162.0E-50.00424431960.0040907490.00413058561.00973824.0E-5
6.38.151497E-67.855796E-61.7855718E-52.27293541.0E-53.493452E-53.3667267E-54.3666932E-51.29701441.0E-54.252448E-44.0982262E-44.2981442E-41.04878162.0E-50.00424431960.0040907490.00413058561.00973824.0E-5
6.48.151497E-67.855796E-61.7855718E-52.27293541.0E-53.493452E-53.3667267E-54.3666932E-51.29701441.0E-54.252448E-44.0982262E-44.2981442E-41.04878162.0E-50.00424431960.0040907490.00413058561.00973824.0E-5
6.58.151497E-67.855796E-61.7855718E-52.27293541.0E-53.493452E-53.3667267E-54.3666932E-51.29701441.0E-54.252448E-44.0982262E-44.2981442E-41.04878162.0E-50.00424431960.0040907490.00413058561.00973824.0E-5
6.68.151497E-67.855796E-6