Start 2012, 500 yr, Scale Factor 1.0, Spontaneous, Historical Catalog Results

Start 2012, 500 yr, Scale Factor 1.0, Spontaneous, Historical Catalog
Num Simulations1000
Start Time2012/01/01 00:00:00 UTC
Start Time Epoch Milliseconds1325376000000
Duration500 Years
Includes Spontaneous?true
Trigger Ruptures(none)
Historical Ruptures60366 Trigger Ruptures
First: M7.3 at 1852/01/05 04:40:39 UTC
Last: M3.2 at 2011/12/31 19:14:44 UTC
Largest: M7.9 at 1857/01/09 16:25:39 UTC
Config Generated Withu3etas_config_builder.sh --start-year 2012 --num-simulations 1000 --duration-years 500 --include-spontaneous --historical-catalog --scale-factor 1.0 --hpc-site USC_HPC --nodes 36 --hours 24 --queue scec

Table Of Contents

Magnitude Frequency Distribution

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Legend

MFD Plot

MagMean2.5 %ile97.5 %ileMedianModeLong-Term Fault System Solution500 yr Probability500 yr Prob 95% Conf500 yr Supra-Seis Prob
M≥57.0706.4447.7647.0587.0488.6091.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥5.15.5945.0746.1565.5885.6066.8301.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥5.24.4184.0024.8664.4124.4565.4171.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥5.33.4853.1443.8443.4783.5484.2951.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥5.42.7462.4603.0382.7442.6943.4041.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥5.52.1601.9262.4002.1582.1142.6961.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥5.61.6941.5001.8921.6901.7162.1331.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥5.71.3231.1681.4881.3201.3401.6861.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥5.81.0280.9041.1641.0261.0061.3311.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥5.90.7840.6840.8960.7820.7741.0361.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥60.6210.5360.7140.6180.6280.8361.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥6.10.4790.4060.5560.4760.4840.6601.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥6.20.3780.3220.4400.3760.3820.5291.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥6.30.2980.2460.3520.2980.2900.4201.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥6.40.2340.1900.2820.2340.2400.3321.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥6.50.1810.1440.2200.1820.1860.2601.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥6.60.1420.1100.1740.1420.1480.2051.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥6.70.1090.0840.1380.1100.1100.1601.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥6.80.0860.0640.1100.0860.0880.1271.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥6.90.0670.0480.0880.0680.0720.1001.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥70.0530.0360.0700.0520.0500.0781.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥7.10.0410.0260.0560.0400.0380.0601.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥7.20.0310.0200.0440.0300.0300.0451.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥7.30.0250.0140.0360.0240.0240.0351.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥7.40.0190.0100.0300.0180.0180.0271.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥7.50.0148.00E-30.0220.0140.0140.0191.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥7.60.0116.00E-30.0180.0100.0100.0141.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥7.77.62E-34.00E-30.0128.00E-38.00E-39.58E-30.999 (99.90%)[99.35% 99.99%]0.999 (99.90%)
M≥7.85.39E-32.00E-30.0106.00E-36.00E-36.19E-30.990 (99.00%)[98.10% 99.49%]0.990 (99.00%)
M≥7.93.01E-30.0006.00E-32.00E-32.00E-33.51E-30.876 (87.60%)[85.36% 89.55%]0.876 (87.60%)
M≥81.60E-30.0004.00E-32.00E-32.00E-32.03E-30.618 (61.80%)[58.70% 64.81%]0.618 (61.80%)
M≥8.17.68E-40.0004.00E-30.0000.0001.02E-30.340 (34.00%)[31.08% 37.04%]0.340 (34.00%)
M≥8.23.58E-40.0002.00E-30.0000.0004.48E-40.171 (17.10%)[14.85% 19.61%]0.171 (17.10%)
M≥8.37.40E-50.0002.00E-30.0000.0001.02E-40.037 (3.70%)[2.65% 5.12%]0.037 (3.70%)
M≥8.40.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.48%]0.000 (0.00%)
M≥8.50.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.48%]0.000 (0.00%)
M≥8.60.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.48%]0.000 (0.00%)
M≥8.70.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.48%]0.000 (0.00%)
M≥8.80.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.48%]0.000 (0.00%)
M≥8.90.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.48%]0.000 (0.00%)
M≥90.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.48%]0.000 (0.00%)

Long Term Rate Variability

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162 Year Variability

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Fixed Time Plot

Download CSV Here

MagnitudeMeanMedianModeStd. Dev.2.5 %-ile16 %-ile84 %-ile97.5 %-ile
5.07.0686757.06172857.14197540.673790165.82098776.39506157.72222238.493827
5.15.59323025.5802475.50617270.541851944.59259275.06172856.1172846.7469134
5.24.41732934.40740734.41358040.434477483.61111123.98765424.8395065.3209877
5.33.48439313.46913583.45679020.351145952.82716063.13580253.82716064.2098765
5.42.7459652.73456792.6913580.28258232.21604942.46913583.01851843.3209877
5.52.16040732.1543212.11111120.230208351.72222221.93209872.38888882.6358025
5.61.69426331.68518521.67901230.186916951.33333341.50617291.87654322.074074
5.71.32370781.32098771.3456790.150449951.0370371.16666661.46913581.6296296
5.81.02836841.02469131.02469130.1220060440.79629630.90740741.14814821.2777778
5.90.78427160.77777780.771604960.099546550.598765430.68518520.882716060.9876543
6.00.62152260.617283940.598765430.0818289150.46913580.543209850.70370370.79012346
6.10.47867490.475308660.462962960.068033850.351851850.413580240.543209850.6234568
6.20.378111120.376543220.35802470.057745360.271604930.320987640.43827160.5
6.30.298473240.29629630.290123460.0497215430.209876540.253086420.345679010.40123457
6.40.234440330.23456790.228395060.0421795770.154320990.191358030.27777780.32098764
6.50.181314810.179012340.166666670.036029450.117283950.148148150.216049390.25925925
6.60.141467080.141975310.135802460.0303217340.0864197540.111111110.172839510.2037037
6.70.10936420.111111110.098765430.0257770980.0617283960.0864197540.135802460.16049382
6.80.0862469150.0864197540.080246910.022066910.0432098770.0617283960.104938270.13580246
6.90.067193420.067901230.0617283960.0192985010.0308641980.0493827160.0864197540.10493827
7.00.0528847720.0555555560.0555555560.0166444260.0246913580.0370370370.067901230.086419754
7.10.040518520.0370370370.0370370370.0143120660.0123456790.0246913580.0555555560.06790123
7.20.0307633750.0308641980.0308641980.0120161730.0123456790.0185185190.0432098770.055555556
7.30.0244773660.0246913580.0246913580.0104497140.00617283960.0123456790.0370370370.049382716
7.40.0190555550.0185185190.0185185190.0091686230.00617283960.0123456790.0308641980.037037037
7.50.0138539090.0123456790.0123456790.00766977670.00.00617283960.0185185190.030864198
7.60.0105596710.0123456790.00617283960.0064799730.00.00617283960.0185185190.024691358
7.70.00757613170.00617283960.00617283960.0052905390.00.00.0123456790.018518519
7.80.00535802450.00617283960.00617283960.00448577060.00.00.0123456790.012345679
7.90.00299176950.00.00.00355608880.00.00.00617283960.012345679
8.00.0016008230.00.00.00281625570.00.00.00617283960.0061728396
8.17.592593E-40.00.00.00204022160.00.00.00.0061728396
8.23.4979425E-40.00.00.00142742670.00.00.00.0061728396
8.37.407407E-50.00.06.722433E-40.00.00.00.0
8.40.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.50.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.60.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.70.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.80.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.90.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
9.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

80 Year Variability

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Fixed Time Plot

Download CSV Here

MagnitudeMeanMedianModeStd. Dev.2.5 %-ile16 %-ile84 %-ile97.5 %-ile
5.07.07119376.98757.3751.03612985.3256.03758.19.3625
5.15.5951355.53755.0750.83122394.1754.7756.4257.4
5.24.418714.3753.950.66285933.28753.76255.0755.8625
5.33.4854793.453.31250.5325812.56252.954.01254.6375
5.42.74682712.7252.63750.428442032.02.3253.16253.675
5.52.16101672.13752.20.345657891.551.81252.52.8875
5.61.69482711.6751.550.27870771.21.41251.96252.2875
5.71.32422911.31251.2250.223710390.9251.11.53751.8
5.81.02866881.0251.0250.17985230.71250.851.21.4
5.90.784454170.7750.750.144937680.5250.63750.9251.0875
6.00.6216750.61250.6250.1202865540.40.50.73750.875
6.10.478791650.4750.50.099882190.30.3750.5750.6875
6.20.378227080.3750.350.0844789150.2250.30.46250.5625
6.30.298656260.30.28750.0722840.16250.2250.36250.45
6.40.234631260.23750.250.06183510.1250.1750.30.3625
6.50.181479170.1750.16250.0529223870.08750.1250.23750.2875
6.60.141643750.13750.13750.0450828670.06250.10.18750.2375
6.70.109491670.11250.10.03845450.03750.0750.150.1875
6.80.08636250.08750.08750.0333242530.0250.050.1250.15
6.90.0672958340.06250.06250.0289522610.01250.03750.10.125
7.00.0529416650.050.050.025327960.01250.0250.0750.1125
7.10.0405708330.03750.03750.0219332350.00.0250.06250.0875
7.20.0307979170.0250.0250.0188099160.00.01250.050.075
7.30.0245104170.0250.0250.0164677170.00.01250.03750.0625
7.40.0190750.01250.01250.0143698040.00.00.03750.05
7.50.0138645830.01250.01250.0120830790.00.00.0250.0375
7.60.010568750.01250.01250.0103512080.00.00.0250.0375
7.70.0075750.00.00.008571170.00.00.01250.025
7.80.0053520830.00.00.00727327170.00.00.01250.025
7.90.00299583330.00.00.0056170340.00.00.01250.0125
8.00.00160208330.00.00.0042467980.00.00.00.0125
8.17.625E-40.00.00.00299187820.00.00.00.0125
8.23.5208333E-40.00.00.00206828230.00.00.00.0125
8.37.2916664E-50.00.09.51994E-40.00.00.00.0
8.40.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.50.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.60.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.70.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.80.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.90.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
9.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

28 Year Variability

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Fixed Time Plot

Download CSV Here

MagnitudeMeanMedianModeStd. Dev.2.5 %-ile16 %-ile84 %-ile97.5 %-ile
5.07.0719546.7142866.1785711.81854344.5357145.4285718.7511.642858
5.15.5959985.3214294.9285711.45679573.53571444.2857146.9285719.25
5.24.4193264.2142863.8571431.16311822.71428563.3571435.57.321429
5.33.48578143.32142853.1071430.932456552.1071432.6428574.3571435.785714
5.42.74701052.6428572.53571440.74763321.64285722.03571443.42857154.535714
5.52.16117642.07142851.92857150.60149881.251.60714282.71428563.5714285
5.61.6949391.64285721.57142850.482886220.92857141.252.1428572.8214285
5.71.32423531.28571431.28571430.38766980.714285730.964285731.67857152.2142856
5.81.02865121.00.92857140.31166610.535714270.714285731.32142851.75
5.90.78445380.750.750.25032180.357142870.535714271.03571431.3571428
6.00.62177310.607142870.57142860.208216070.28571430.428571430.82142861.0714285
6.10.478899150.46428570.428571430.173608650.178571430.321428570.642857130.85714287
6.20.378313030.357142870.357142870.147149460.142857150.250.535714270.71428573
6.30.298714280.28571430.28571430.126599650.0714285750.178571430.428571430.5714286
6.40.234674360.214285720.214285720.108315630.0714285750.142857150.357142870.4642857
6.50.181535720.178571430.142857150.092925260.0357142870.107142860.28571430.39285713
6.60.141668070.142857150.107142860.079585750.00.0714285750.214285720.32142857
6.70.10950840.107142860.0714285750.068061970.00.0357142870.178571430.25
6.80.086401260.0714285750.0714285750.0590997930.00.0357142870.142857150.21428572
6.90.067321430.0714285750.0357142870.051484750.00.00.107142860.17857143
7.00.0529600830.0357142870.0357142870.0454722460.00.00.107142860.14285715
7.10.040573530.0357142870.0357142870.039428230.00.00.0714285750.14285715
7.20.0307773110.0357142870.00.0338195340.00.00.0714285750.10714286
7.30.0244936980.00.00.0297570150.00.00.0357142870.10714286
7.40.0190672260.00.00.0258600670.00.00.0357142870.071428575
7.50.0138571430.00.00.0219083690.00.00.0357142870.071428575
7.60.0105651260.00.00.0189805960.00.00.0357142870.071428575
7.70.0075882350.00.00.0158510880.00.00.0357142870.035714287
7.80.0053571430.00.00.0133564350.00.00.00.035714287
7.90.00299579840.00.00.0100734970.00.00.00.035714287
8.00.00160084040.00.00.00743058980.00.00.00.035714287
8.17.584034E-40.00.00.00514900170.00.00.00.0
8.23.5294116E-40.00.00.00353287530.00.00.00.0
8.37.352941E-50.00.00.00161888790.00.00.00.0
8.40.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.50.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.60.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.70.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.80.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.90.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
9.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Variability Duration Dependence

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Duration Dependence Plot

Download CSV Here

Duration (years)MeanMedianModeStd. Dev.2.5 %-ile16 %-ile84 %-ile97.5 %-ile
1.07.06975.04.07.71985441.03.010.023.0
4.07.06976.05.254.35343072.754.09.2519.0
8.07.06892166.255.53.22954253.54.6259.2516.0
12.07.06960776.41666655.83333352.70734953.83333334.91666659.08333314.416667
16.07.06892166.55.752.37225844.1255.06259.013.375
20.07.06976.66.252.14455944.255.28.9512.65
24.07.07119376.66666656.16666651.96243834.45833355.33333358.83333312.041667
28.07.0719546.7142866.1785711.81854344.5357145.4285718.7511.642858
32.07.07119376.756.56251.70445674.656255.58.6562511.34375
36.07.07322456.77777776.05555531.61924124.72222235.58333358.58333311.0
40.07.07119376.8256.41.5237494.8255.6258.52510.725
44.07.070016.8409096.11363651.44850954.88636355.6818188.43181810.522727
48.07.07119376.8756.54166651.39128514.93755.758.39583310.354167
52.07.07322456.88461546.53846171.32585865.0192315.80769258.36538510.192307
56.07.08033476.9107146.4821431.27517315.0714295.8571438.28571410.017858
60.07.07119376.93333347.0166671.22630145.1166675.858.2666669.85
64.07.08033476.9531257.31251.18416015.1718755.906258.2343759.78125
68.07.0719546.95588256.76470571.14599455.20588255.92647088.2058829.617647
72.07.0835516.9861117.1251.12215975.2361115.95833358.1944459.597222
76.07.0765686.96052657.1447371.07284395.30263146.0131588.1447379.473684
80.07.07119376.98757.3751.03612985.3256.03758.19.3625
84.07.08655457.02380946.76190471.00827385.3214296.08333358.0833339.297619
88.07.0802167.02272756.6590910.98487575.3756.0909098.0340919.215909
92.07.07437377.06.5760870.961367965.4239136.0978268.0217399.152174
96.07.07119377.07.07291650.940129465.47916656.11458358.0104179.104167
100.07.06977.016.940.91744785.486.147.979.03
200.07.09059767.0757.2450.590842256.06.4957.678.285
300.07.10958347.097.18333340.466408226.27666666.6333337.56666668.096666
400.07.09059767.05756.8950.383385246.38756.7357.4757.8975
500.07.06977.0587.0480.34061136.4446.7347.4047.764

Simulation Stationarity

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Stationarity Plot

Moment Rate Plot

Section Participation

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Section Participation Plots

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Min MagComplete Catalog (including spontaneous)Ratio WRT Long-Term Model
All Supra. Seis.Participation PlotParticipation Plot
M≥6.5Participation PlotParticipation Plot
M≥7Participation PlotParticipation Plot
M≥7.5Participation PlotParticipation Plot
M≥8Participation PlotParticipation Plot

Supra-Seismogenic Parent Sections Table

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First 10 of 313 with matching ruptures shown

Parent NameTotal Mean Annual RateTotal 500 Year ProbTotal 500 Year 95% ConfLong-Term Fault System Solution Rate
San Andreas (Parkfield)0.041261.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.047238618
San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM0.0272641.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.03419009
San Andreas (Mojave S)0.0184361.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.016211301
Mendocino0.0169561.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.028919645
Cerro Prieto0.012681.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.015186971
Imperial0.0109061.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.014349225
Brawley (Seismic Zone) alt 10.0102381.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.013392845
Hayward (So) 2011 CFM0.0092421.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.009440966
San Andreas (Offshore) 2011 CFM0.0082060.999 (99.90%)[99.35% 99.99%]0.008909097
Elsinore (Glen Ivy) rev0.0077560.995 (99.50%)[98.77% 99.82%]0.008455746

M≥6.5 Parent Sections Table

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First 10 of 306 with matching ruptures shown

Parent NameTotal Mean Annual RateTotal 500 Year ProbTotal 500 Year 95% ConfLong-Term Fault System Solution Rate
Cerro Prieto0.0110181.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.013091409
San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM0.0104440.999 (99.90%)[99.35% 99.99%]0.012216282
Mendocino0.008580.999 (99.90%)[99.35% 99.99%]0.012516479
Hayward (So) 2011 CFM0.007851.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.008140643
Imperial0.0076541.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.0096799815
Brawley (Seismic Zone) alt 10.0072740.999 (99.90%)[99.35% 99.99%]0.009075132
San Andreas (Mojave S)0.0070281.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.0067372364
San Andreas (Santa Cruz Mts) 2011 CFM0.0065780.998 (99.80%)[99.20% 99.97%]0.00821497
San Andreas (San Bernardino N)0.0065480.996 (99.60%)[98.90% 99.87%]0.0067538084
San Andreas (Offshore) 2011 CFM0.0059420.999 (99.90%)[99.35% 99.99%]0.006658823

M≥7 Parent Sections Table

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First 10 of 273 with matching ruptures shown

Parent NameTotal Mean Annual RateTotal 500 Year ProbTotal 500 Year 95% ConfLong-Term Fault System Solution Rate
San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM0.0066380.994 (99.40%)[98.63% 99.76%]0.007612852
San Andreas (Carrizo) rev0.0055361.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.0057427646
San Andreas (Cholame) rev0.0055361.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.005722108
San Andreas (Mojave S)0.0052320.999 (99.90%)[99.35% 99.99%]0.0052993274
San Andreas (Santa Cruz Mts) 2011 CFM0.0052320.992 (99.20%)[98.36% 99.63%]0.0062776324
San Andreas (Mojave N)0.0047860.999 (99.90%)[99.35% 99.99%]0.0051040766
San Andreas (North Coast) 2011 CFM0.0045780.996 (99.60%)[98.90% 99.87%]0.005556243
San Andreas (San Bernardino N)0.0045620.981 (98.10%)[96.99% 98.82%]0.004749499
San Andreas (Big Bend)0.0044340.996 (99.60%)[98.90% 99.87%]0.0045623486
San Andreas (Parkfield)0.004240.971 (97.10%)[95.81% 98.01%]0.004465195

M≥7.5 Parent Sections Table

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First 10 of 212 with matching ruptures shown

Parent NameTotal Mean Annual RateTotal 500 Year ProbTotal 500 Year 95% ConfLong-Term Fault System Solution Rate
San Andreas (Mojave N)0.0047140.999 (99.90%)[99.35% 99.99%]0.0049894005
San Andreas (Big Bend)0.0043220.996 (99.60%)[98.90% 99.87%]0.0044245115
San Andreas (Mojave S)0.0043160.994 (99.40%)[98.63% 99.76%]0.0045267143
San Andreas (Carrizo) rev0.0040960.991 (99.10%)[98.23% 99.56%]0.004201805
San Andreas (Cholame) rev0.0039240.984 (98.40%)[97.36% 99.05%]0.0040264158
San Andreas (North Coast) 2011 CFM0.0036960.989 (98.90%)[97.98% 99.42%]0.0045710644
San Andreas (San Bernardino N)0.0035220.945 (94.50%)[92.85% 95.79%]0.0037959707
San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM0.0034520.904 (90.40%)[88.36% 92.12%]0.0038110747
San Andreas (Peninsula) 2011 CFM0.0030420.943 (94.30%)[92.63% 95.62%]0.0035515025
San Andreas (Parkfield)0.003040.910 (91.00%)[89.01% 92.67%]0.0032088608

M≥8 Parent Sections Table

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First 10 of 63 with matching ruptures shown

Parent NameTotal Mean Annual RateTotal 500 Year ProbTotal 500 Year 95% ConfLong-Term Fault System Solution Rate
San Andreas (Mojave N)0.0014320.573 (57.30%)[54.16% 60.38%]0.0018098651
San Andreas (Carrizo) rev0.0014160.572 (57.20%)[54.06% 60.28%]0.0017508415
San Andreas (Big Bend)0.001410.572 (57.20%)[54.06% 60.28%]0.0017453934
San Andreas (Mojave S)0.0014080.566 (56.60%)[53.46% 59.69%]0.0017636013
San Andreas (Cholame) rev0.0013960.567 (56.70%)[53.56% 59.79%]0.0017193216
San Andreas (San Bernardino N)0.0013420.547 (54.70%)[51.55% 57.81%]0.0016807786
San Andreas (Parkfield)0.001220.511 (51.10%)[47.95% 54.24%]0.0015122787
San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM0.0010960.463 (46.30%)[43.18% 49.45%]0.0014250289
San Andreas (Santa Cruz Mts) 2011 CFM7.84E-40.357 (35.70%)[32.74% 38.77%]0.0010319632
San Andreas (Peninsula) 2011 CFM7.16E-40.327 (32.70%)[29.81% 35.72%]9.2652056E-4

Gridded Nucleation

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Min MagComplete Catalog (including spontaneous)Ratio WRT Long-Term Model
M≥5Nucleation PlotNucleation Plot
M≥6Nucleation PlotNucleation Plot
M≥7Nucleation PlotNucleation Plot

JSON Input File

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{
  "numSimulations": 1000,
  "duration": 500.0,
  "startYear": 2012,
  "includeSpontaneous": true,
  "randomSeed": 1567442579879,
  "binaryOutput": true,
  "binaryOutputFilters": [
    {
      "prefix": "results_complete",
      "descendantsOnly": false
    },
    {
      "prefix": "results_m5_preserve_chain",
      "minMag": 5.0,
      "preserveChainBelowMag": true,
      "descendantsOnly": false
    }
  ],
  "forceRecalc": false,
  "simulationName": "Start 2012, 500 yr, Scale Factor 1.0, Spontaneous, Historical Catalog",
  "numRetries": 3,
  "outputDir": "${ETAS_SIM_DIR}/2019_09_02-Start2012_500yr_ScaleFactor1p0_Spontaneous_HistoricalCatalog",
  "triggerCatalog": "${ETAS_LAUNCHER}/inputs/u3_historical_catalog.txt",
  "triggerCatalogSurfaceMappings": "${ETAS_LAUNCHER}/inputs/u3_historical_catalog_finite_fault_mappings.xml",
  "treatTriggerCatalogAsSpontaneous": true,
  "cacheDir": "${ETAS_LAUNCHER}/inputs/cache_fm3p1_ba",
  "fssFile": "${ETAS_LAUNCHER}/inputs/2013_05_10-ucerf3p3-production-10runs_COMPOUND_SOL_FM3_1_SpatSeisU3_MEAN_BRANCH_AVG_SOL.zip",
  "probModel": "FULL_TD",
  "applySubSeisForSupraNucl": true,
  "totRateScaleFactor": 1.0,
  "gridSeisCorr": true,
  "timeIndependentERF": false,
  "griddedOnly": false,
  "imposeGR": false,
  "includeIndirectTriggering": true,
  "gridSeisDiscr": 0.1,
  "catalogCompletenessModel": "RELAXED",
  "configCommand": "u3etas_config_builder.sh --start-year 2012 --num-simulations 1000 --duration-years 500 --include-spontaneous --historical-catalog --scale-factor 1.0 --hpc-site USC_HPC --nodes 36 --hours 24 --queue scec",
  "configTime": 1567442579879
}