Start 2012, 500 yr, NoERT, Spontaneous, Historical Catalog Results

Start 2012, 500 yr, NoERT, Spontaneous, Historical Catalog
Num Simulations1000
Start Time2012/01/01 00:00:00 UTC
Start Time Epoch Milliseconds1325376000000
Duration500 Years
Includes Spontaneous?true
Trigger Ruptures(none)
Historical Ruptures60366 Trigger Ruptures
First: M7.3 at 1852/01/05 04:40:39 UTC
Last: M3.2 at 2011/12/31 19:14:44 UTC
Largest: M7.9 at 1857/01/09 16:25:39 UTC
Config Generated Withu3etas_config_builder.sh --start-year 2012 --num-simulations 1000 --duration-years 500 --prob-model NO_ERT --include-spontaneous --historical-catalog --scale-factor 1.0 --hpc-site USC_HPC --nodes 36 --hours 24 --queue scec

Table Of Contents

Magnitude Frequency Distribution

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Legend

MFD Plot

MagMean2.5 %ile97.5 %ileMedianModeLong-Term Fault System Solution500 yr Probability500 yr Prob 95% Conf500 yr Supra-Seis Prob
M≥57.9307.2048.7107.9188.2608.6091.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥5.16.2815.6866.9146.2686.1206.8301.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥5.24.9734.4885.4924.9604.9605.4171.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥5.33.9353.5284.3683.9283.8724.2951.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥5.43.1102.7843.4323.1103.0423.4041.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥5.52.4552.1922.7222.4542.4902.6961.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥5.61.9361.7242.1501.9361.8802.1331.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥5.71.5221.3421.6981.5181.5021.6861.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥5.81.1921.0561.3361.1921.2181.3311.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥5.90.9180.8081.0400.9160.9561.0361.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥60.7360.6420.8340.7360.7240.8361.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥6.10.5740.4960.6540.5740.5940.6601.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥6.20.4600.3940.5320.4600.4660.5291.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥6.30.3690.3120.4320.3680.3420.4201.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥6.40.2940.2460.3480.2920.2900.3321.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥6.50.2300.1900.2700.2300.2340.2601.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥6.60.1820.1480.2160.1820.1780.2051.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥6.70.1410.1120.1720.1420.1440.1601.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥6.80.1120.0860.1380.1120.1100.1271.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥6.90.0890.0660.1100.0880.0880.1001.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥70.0710.0520.0900.0700.0680.0781.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥7.10.0540.0380.0720.0540.0500.0601.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥7.20.0410.0280.0560.0400.0400.0451.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥7.30.0330.0220.0460.0320.0320.0351.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥7.40.0250.0160.0360.0260.0240.0271.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥7.50.0180.0100.0260.0180.0180.0191.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥7.60.0138.00E-30.0200.0140.0120.0141.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥7.79.18E-34.00E-30.0148.00E-38.00E-39.58E-31.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥7.86.42E-32.00E-30.0126.00E-36.00E-36.19E-30.998 (99.80%)[99.20% 99.97%]0.998 (99.80%)
M≥7.93.51E-30.0008.00E-34.00E-34.00E-33.51E-30.905 (90.50%)[88.47% 92.21%]0.905 (90.50%)
M≥81.87E-30.0006.00E-32.00E-32.00E-32.03E-30.663 (66.30%)[63.26% 69.21%]0.663 (66.30%)
M≥8.18.66E-40.0004.00E-30.0000.0001.02E-30.376 (37.60%)[34.60% 40.69%]0.376 (37.60%)
M≥8.23.58E-40.0002.00E-30.0000.0004.48E-40.172 (17.20%)[14.94% 19.72%]0.172 (17.20%)
M≥8.36.60E-50.0002.00E-30.0000.0001.02E-40.033 (3.30%)[2.32% 4.66%]0.033 (3.30%)
M≥8.40.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.48%]0.000 (0.00%)
M≥8.50.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.48%]0.000 (0.00%)
M≥8.60.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.48%]0.000 (0.00%)
M≥8.70.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.48%]0.000 (0.00%)
M≥8.80.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.48%]0.000 (0.00%)
M≥8.90.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.48%]0.000 (0.00%)
M≥90.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.48%]0.000 (0.00%)

Long Term Rate Variability

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162 Year Variability

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Fixed Time Plot

Download CSV Here

MagnitudeMeanMedianModeStd. Dev.2.5 %-ile16 %-ile84 %-ile97.5 %-ile
5.07.93641577.89506158.0246920.77986736.543217.17283968.7160499.524692
5.16.2863816.25308665.82098770.627374535.17901235.66666656.90123467.5864196
5.24.9770064.956794.96913580.507204354.0802474.47530845.47530846.012346
5.33.9388583.9197534.00617270.408773273.20370363.53703714.3395064.783951
5.43.11290743.09259253.09259250.33001932.51851842.78395063.43827153.7901235
5.52.457282.44444442.48148160.268460331.96913582.1913582.72222233.0185184
5.61.93812971.9259261.89506170.217297421.56172841.72222222.1481482.3888888
5.71.52377161.51851861.5370370.176898461.20370381.3456791.69753091.8827161
5.81.19348141.18518521.1913580.144735680.93827161.04938271.33950611.4938271
5.90.91946090.913580240.882716060.1166581960.71604940.802469131.0370371.1666666
6.00.737176950.728395040.70370370.098202040.55555560.64197530.83333330.9444444
6.10.57500410.567901250.58024690.082292050.425925940.493827160.660493850.74691355
6.20.460765420.456790120.46913580.0699086040.333333340.38888890.53086420.60493827
6.30.369672830.364197520.364197520.0594015460.26543210.308641970.432098780.49382716
6.40.294423880.290123460.302469130.0504182430.20370370.246913580.345679010.40123457
6.50.230074080.228395060.222222220.043044170.154320990.185185180.271604930.32098764
6.60.181956780.179012340.185185180.0365766180.117283950.148148150.216049390.25925925
6.70.141294240.141975310.135802460.0312876660.0864197540.111111110.172839510.2037037
6.80.112438270.111111110.117283950.0266809050.0617283960.0864197540.135802460.16666667
6.90.089228390.0864197540.0864197540.0230740640.0493827160.067901230.111111110.13580246
7.00.0708065850.067901230.067901230.0198556260.0370370370.0493827160.092592590.11111111
7.10.0543786030.0555555560.0555555560.0170466380.0246913580.0370370370.0740740750.09259259
7.20.0411172840.0432098770.0432098770.0143043070.0185185190.0246913580.0555555560.074074075
7.30.0326358040.0308641980.0308641980.012252650.0123456790.0185185190.0432098770.061728396
7.40.0253724290.0246913580.0246913580.0106996780.00617283960.0123456790.0370370370.049382716
7.50.0178374480.0185185190.0185185190.0086892160.00617283960.0123456790.0246913580.037037037
7.60.0133209880.0123456790.0123456790.0071228250.00.00617283960.0185185190.030864198
7.70.0092078190.00617283960.00617283960.00567390680.00.00617283960.0123456790.018518519
7.80.0064362140.00617283960.00617283960.0046863670.00.00.0123456790.018518519
7.90.00350205760.00617283960.00.0037015740.00.00.00617283960.012345679
8.00.00184979430.00.00.00297714420.00.00.00617283960.0061728396
8.18.5390947E-40.00.00.00216699460.00.00.00.0061728396
8.23.559671E-40.00.00.0014392030.00.00.00.0061728396
8.36.378601E-50.00.06.243413E-40.00.00.00.0
8.40.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.50.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.60.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.70.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.80.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.90.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
9.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

80 Year Variability

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Fixed Time Plot

Download CSV Here

MagnitudeMeanMedianModeStd. Dev.2.5 %-ile16 %-ile84 %-ile97.5 %-ile
5.07.9389967.857.46251.2251515.8256.71259.1510.5625
5.16.28881656.21256.38750.98092334.58755.31257.26258.4125
5.24.9791754.93755.0250.790163343.61254.18755.76256.6625
5.33.94072913.93.93750.635038442.8253.31254.56255.3
5.43.11436253.0753.0750.50997722.2252.63.61254.2125
5.52.45849162.4252.26250.410752771.73752.06252.853.35
5.61.93922911.91251.83750.331265541.36251.61252.26252.6375
5.71.52462911.51.450.266893921.051.26251.7752.1
5.81.19410621.1751.20.215879710.81250.98751.41.675
5.90.91992290.91250.90.173720790.61250.751.08751.2875
6.00.737441660.7250.70.144952070.4750.60.8751.05
6.10.57522080.56250.56250.121032440.36250.46250.68750.8375
6.20.460943760.450.4250.10258880.28750.36250.56250.6875
6.30.369820830.36250.3750.087788110.21250.28750.46250.5625
6.40.29460.28750.2750.0754415240.16250.2250.36250.4625
6.50.230206250.2250.21250.0647215550.11250.16250.30.3625
6.60.182079170.1750.16250.055544970.08750.1250.23750.3
6.70.141377080.13750.13750.0471842660.06250.10.18750.25
6.80.112491670.11250.10.0404977170.03750.0750.150.2
6.90.089283330.08750.08750.0350727480.0250.050.1250.1625
7.00.070850.06250.06250.0303514790.01250.03750.10.1375
7.10.0544229150.050.050.0260118880.01250.0250.0750.1125
7.20.0411479180.03750.03750.0223275740.00.0250.06250.0875
7.30.0326645820.0250.0250.0195400250.00.01250.050.075
7.40.0253916660.0250.0250.0169003960.00.01250.03750.0625
7.50.017868750.01250.01250.0139842080.00.00.03750.05
7.60.01336041650.01250.01250.01164295150.00.00.0250.0375
7.70.0092416670.01250.00.0095017750.00.00.01250.025
7.80.006456250.00.00.0078241710.00.00.01250.025
7.90.00351250.00.00.00593027850.00.00.01250.0125
8.00.00185416660.00.00.00449569430.00.00.00.0125
8.18.625E-40.00.00.00319300690.00.00.00.0125
8.23.5833335E-40.00.00.00208602240.00.00.00.0125
8.36.25E-50.00.08.817445E-40.00.00.00.0
8.40.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.50.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.60.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.70.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.80.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.90.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
9.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

28 Year Variability

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Fixed Time Plot

Download CSV Here

MagnitudeMeanMedianModeStd. Dev.2.5 %-ile16 %-ile84 %-ile97.5 %-ile
5.07.9402297.56.6428572.1425594.9285715.9642869.96428613.178572
5.16.28962375.9642865.4285711.71566623.82142854.7142867.92857110.428572
5.24.9796494.7142864.251.37401772.96428563.71428566.2857148.285714
5.33.94103363.753.57142851.10279382.32142852.8928575.06.607143
5.43.11471632.96428562.82142850.88598921.78571432.28571443.96428565.214286
5.52.45884252.3571432.21428560.71417151.35714281.78571433.1428574.142857
5.61.93943071.85714281.67857150.575521.03571431.39285722.53.2857144
5.71.52483191.46428571.35714280.463426650.785714271.07142851.96428572.607143
5.81.19420171.14285721.10714280.37497240.607142870.82142861.57142852.0714285
5.90.92009030.892857130.82142860.302158360.428571430.642857131.21428571.6071428
6.00.737596630.714285730.642857130.251640950.321428570.50.964285731.2857143
6.10.575443270.57142860.57142860.210934770.214285720.357142870.785714271.0357143
6.20.461111340.428571430.392857130.179059390.178571430.28571430.642857130.85714287
6.30.36997060.357142870.28571430.153992850.107142860.214285720.535714270.71428573
6.40.294699580.28571430.250.132474810.0714285750.178571430.428571430.60714287
6.50.23025840.214285720.178571430.113566140.0357142870.107142860.357142870.5
6.60.182151260.178571430.142857150.097849290.0357142870.0714285750.28571430.39285713
6.70.141455890.142857150.107142860.0838041450.00.0714285750.214285720.32142857
6.80.1125378160.107142860.0714285750.0724621640.00.0357142870.178571430.2857143
6.90.089344540.0714285750.0714285750.062946520.00.0357142870.142857150.25
7.00.070878150.0714285750.0357142870.055047140.00.00.107142860.21428572
7.10.054422270.0357142870.0357142870.0472758040.00.00.107142860.17857143
7.20.0411470570.0357142870.0357142870.040133970.00.00.0714285750.14285715
7.30.032678570.0357142870.00.0350539130.00.00.0714285750.10714286
7.40.0254159660.0357142870.00.0305943860.00.00.0714285750.10714286
7.50.0178865550.00.00.0254705080.00.00.0357142870.071428575
7.60.0133697470.00.00.0215333250.00.00.0357142870.071428575
7.70.0092268910.00.00.017636360.00.00.0357142870.035714287
7.80.0064579830.00.00.0147108950.00.00.0357142870.035714287
7.90.00351050430.00.00.010828670.00.00.00.035714287
8.00.00185294120.00.00.0079873190.00.00.00.035714287
8.18.6554623E-40.00.00.00553309820.00.00.00.0
8.23.5924368E-40.00.00.00356396170.00.00.00.0
8.36.302521E-50.00.00.00149901980.00.00.00.0
8.40.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.50.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.60.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.70.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.80.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.90.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
9.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Variability Duration Dependence

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Duration Dependence Plot

Download CSV Here

Duration (years)MeanMedianModeStd. Dev.2.5 %-ile16 %-ile84 %-ile97.5 %-ile
1.07.9302946.04.08.9796911.03.011.029.0
4.07.9302946.55.55.1102083.04.510.7522.25
8.07.9311317.05.8753.80726273.755.010.62518.625
12.07.9327627.08333356.03.17900324.16666655.333333510.516.666666
16.07.9311317.256.68752.7898144.43755.562510.312515.375
20.07.9302947.356.82.51622154.65.710.214.4
24.07.9389967.45833356.752.31059124.755.833333510.12513.708333
28.07.9402297.56.6428572.1425594.9285715.9642869.96428613.178572
32.07.9389967.56256.93752.00752885.031256.06259.9062512.71875
36.07.94354067.6111116.97222231.89057865.1111116.1388899.80555512.444445
40.07.9389967.657.21.7780995.256.2259.712.125
44.07.93772947.70454557.3181821.70012085.3181826.29545459.61363611.886364
48.07.9389967.756.77083351.60951835.41666656.35416659.52083311.604167
52.07.94354067.757.38461541.54922885.5192316.40384639.511.423077
56.07.94936377.7857147.6964291.50741625.5357146.4464299.44642811.375
60.07.9389967.78333336.8833331.42377915.6166676.559.33333311.116667
64.07.94936377.81257.1406251.38432995.6718756.5781259.32812511.0
68.07.9402297.82352927.95588251.33806475.70588256.6029419.29411810.867647
72.07.95193057.83333357.8888891.28332325.77777776.68055539.23611110.75
76.07.94670157.82894758.3421051.25399335.80263146.71052659.18421110.710526
80.07.9389967.857.46251.2251515.8256.71259.1510.5625
84.07.95717147.8571437.8452381.18800355.8571436.7857149.14285810.440476
88.07.9495347.86363657.1931821.15160085.89772756.8068189.10227310.352273
92.07.9456467.8695658.4239131.11326535.96739156.83695659.04347810.282609
96.07.9389967.8757.781251.07353286.06.8758.97916710.229167
100.07.9302947.878.011.04419226.096.888.9710.18
200.07.97400767.9157.8850.67849216.747.318.649.36
300.08.01485357.99333338.18666650.52359497.06666667.49666648.5333349.133333
400.07.97400767.95257.79250.431588027.1357.578.48.8675
500.07.9302947.9188.260.390134167.2047.5468.3088.71

Simulation Stationarity

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Stationarity Plot

Moment Rate Plot

Section Participation

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Section Participation Plots

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Min MagComplete Catalog (including spontaneous)Ratio WRT Long-Term Model
All Supra. Seis.Participation PlotParticipation Plot
M≥6.5Participation PlotParticipation Plot
M≥7Participation PlotParticipation Plot
M≥7.5Participation PlotParticipation Plot
M≥8Participation PlotParticipation Plot

Supra-Seismogenic Parent Sections Table

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First 10 of 313 with matching ruptures shown

Parent NameTotal Mean Annual RateTotal 500 Year ProbTotal 500 Year 95% ConfLong-Term Fault System Solution Rate
San Andreas (Parkfield)0.049861.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.047238618
San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM0.0328241.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.03419009
San Andreas (Mojave S)0.0260681.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.016211301
Mendocino0.019771.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.028919645
Cerro Prieto0.0158721.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.015186971
Imperial0.012881.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.014349225
Hayward (So) 2011 CFM0.0121741.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.009440966
Brawley (Seismic Zone) alt 10.0119781.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.013392845
San Andreas (Offshore) 2011 CFM0.0109181.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.008909097
Elsinore (Glen Ivy) rev0.0107820.990 (99.00%)[98.10% 99.49%]0.008455746

M≥6.5 Parent Sections Table

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First 10 of 306 with matching ruptures shown

Parent NameTotal Mean Annual RateTotal 500 Year ProbTotal 500 Year 95% ConfLong-Term Fault System Solution Rate
Cerro Prieto0.013571.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.013091409
San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM0.0131661.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.012216282
Mendocino0.0107021.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.012516479
Hayward (So) 2011 CFM0.0102260.999 (99.90%)[99.35% 99.99%]0.008140643
San Andreas (Mojave S)0.0100961.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.0067372364
Imperial0.0089561.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.0096799815
San Andreas (San Bernardino N)0.0088941.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.0067538084
Brawley (Seismic Zone) alt 10.0085760.999 (99.90%)[99.35% 99.99%]0.009075132
San Andreas (Offshore) 2011 CFM0.0079821.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.006658823
San Andreas (Santa Cruz Mts) 2011 CFM0.0079381.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.00821497

M≥7 Parent Sections Table

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First 10 of 273 with matching ruptures shown

Parent NameTotal Mean Annual RateTotal 500 Year ProbTotal 500 Year 95% ConfLong-Term Fault System Solution Rate
San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM0.008370.997 (99.70%)[99.05% 99.92%]0.007612852
San Andreas (Cholame) rev0.0070141.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.005722108
San Andreas (Mojave S)0.0069581.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.0052993274
San Andreas (Carrizo) rev0.006931.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.0057427646
San Andreas (Santa Cruz Mts) 2011 CFM0.0062780.996 (99.60%)[98.90% 99.87%]0.0062776324
San Andreas (Mojave N)0.005981.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.0051040766
San Andreas (San Bernardino N)0.0059720.996 (99.60%)[98.90% 99.87%]0.004749499
San Andreas (North Coast) 2011 CFM0.0056621.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.005556243
San Andreas (Parkfield)0.005620.991 (99.10%)[98.23% 99.56%]0.004465195
San Andreas (Offshore) 2011 CFM0.0055941.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.0049385377

M≥7.5 Parent Sections Table

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First 10 of 215 with matching ruptures shown

Parent NameTotal Mean Annual RateTotal 500 Year ProbTotal 500 Year 95% ConfLong-Term Fault System Solution Rate
San Andreas (Mojave N)0.0058020.999 (99.90%)[99.35% 99.99%]0.0049894005
San Andreas (Big Bend)0.0053261.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.0044245115
San Andreas (Mojave S)0.0052740.999 (99.90%)[99.35% 99.99%]0.0045267143
San Andreas (Carrizo) rev0.0049681.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.004201805
San Andreas (Cholame) rev0.0047480.996 (99.60%)[98.90% 99.87%]0.0040264158
San Andreas (North Coast) 2011 CFM0.0044660.999 (99.90%)[99.35% 99.99%]0.0045710644
San Andreas (San Bernardino N)0.00430.981 (98.10%)[96.99% 98.82%]0.0037959707
San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM0.0040980.935 (93.50%)[91.74% 94.91%]0.0038110747
San Andreas (Parkfield)0.0037560.941 (94.10%)[92.41% 95.44%]0.0032088608
San Andreas (Peninsula) 2011 CFM0.003570.977 (97.70%)[96.51% 98.50%]0.0035515025

M≥8 Parent Sections Table

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First 10 of 62 with matching ruptures shown

Parent NameTotal Mean Annual RateTotal 500 Year ProbTotal 500 Year 95% ConfLong-Term Fault System Solution Rate
San Andreas (Mojave N)0.0016820.628 (62.80%)[59.71% 65.79%]0.0018098651
San Andreas (Mojave S)0.0016380.618 (61.80%)[58.70% 64.81%]0.0017636013
San Andreas (Carrizo) rev0.0016360.616 (61.60%)[58.50% 64.61%]0.0017508415
San Andreas (Big Bend)0.0016340.616 (61.60%)[58.50% 64.61%]0.0017453934
San Andreas (Cholame) rev0.0015960.605 (60.50%)[57.38% 63.53%]0.0017193216
San Andreas (San Bernardino N)0.0015760.603 (60.30%)[57.18% 63.34%]0.0016807786
San Andreas (Parkfield)0.0014040.541 (54.10%)[50.95% 57.22%]0.0015122787
San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM0.0012840.515 (51.50%)[48.35% 54.64%]0.0014250289
San Andreas (Santa Cruz Mts) 2011 CFM8.68E-40.379 (37.90%)[34.90% 41.00%]0.0010319632
San Andreas (Peninsula) 2011 CFM7.76E-40.348 (34.80%)[31.86% 37.86%]9.2652056E-4

Gridded Nucleation

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Min MagComplete Catalog (including spontaneous)Ratio WRT Long-Term Model
M≥5Nucleation PlotNucleation Plot
M≥6Nucleation PlotNucleation Plot
M≥7Nucleation PlotNucleation Plot

JSON Input File

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{
  "numSimulations": 1000,
  "duration": 500.0,
  "startYear": 2012,
  "includeSpontaneous": true,
  "randomSeed": 1567442589085,
  "binaryOutput": true,
  "binaryOutputFilters": [
    {
      "prefix": "results_complete",
      "descendantsOnly": false
    },
    {
      "prefix": "results_m5_preserve_chain",
      "minMag": 5.0,
      "preserveChainBelowMag": true,
      "descendantsOnly": false
    }
  ],
  "forceRecalc": false,
  "simulationName": "Start 2012, 500 yr, NoERT, Spontaneous, Historical Catalog",
  "numRetries": 3,
  "outputDir": "${ETAS_SIM_DIR}/2019_09_02-Start2012_500yr_NoERT_Spontaneous_HistoricalCatalog",
  "triggerCatalog": "${ETAS_LAUNCHER}/inputs/u3_historical_catalog.txt",
  "triggerCatalogSurfaceMappings": "${ETAS_LAUNCHER}/inputs/u3_historical_catalog_finite_fault_mappings.xml",
  "treatTriggerCatalogAsSpontaneous": true,
  "cacheDir": "${ETAS_LAUNCHER}/inputs/cache_fm3p1_ba",
  "fssFile": "${ETAS_LAUNCHER}/inputs/2013_05_10-ucerf3p3-production-10runs_COMPOUND_SOL_FM3_1_SpatSeisU3_MEAN_BRANCH_AVG_SOL.zip",
  "probModel": "NO_ERT",
  "applySubSeisForSupraNucl": true,
  "totRateScaleFactor": 1.0,
  "gridSeisCorr": true,
  "timeIndependentERF": false,
  "griddedOnly": false,
  "imposeGR": false,
  "includeIndirectTriggering": true,
  "gridSeisDiscr": 0.1,
  "catalogCompletenessModel": "RELAXED",
  "configCommand": "u3etas_config_builder.sh --start-year 2012 --num-simulations 1000 --duration-years 500 --prob-model NO_ERT --include-spontaneous --historical-catalog --scale-factor 1.0 --hpc-site USC_HPC --nodes 36 --hours 24 --queue scec",
  "configTime": 1567442589085
}