Parent Section Magnitude-Probability Distributions

Only fault sections with at least one triggered aftershock are plotted. Sections are sorted by total supraseismogenic trigger rate (decreasing)

Table Of Contents

Garlock (Central)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.5131142E-57.02476E-50.06786548966.08970.06782.3625491E-43.0102677E-40.08437571280.293060.08410.00287260950.0036589060.11486053531.3920440.111610.0283575910.0361366570.168802814.6712350.13764
6.15.5131142E-57.02476E-50.06786548966.08970.06782.3625491E-43.0102677E-40.08437571280.293060.08410.00287260950.0036589060.11486053531.3920440.111610.0283575910.0361366570.168802814.6712350.13764
6.24.216245E-55.1661802E-50.041249532798.453250.04121.806837E-42.213891E-40.051719986233.615770.051510.00219760460.0026921120.07117724426.4391840.068670.0217599890.0267013180.110025424.1205990.08561
6.34.216245E-55.1661802E-50.041249532798.453250.04121.806837E-42.213891E-40.051719986233.615770.051510.00219760460.0026921120.07117724426.4391840.068670.0217599890.0267013180.110025424.1205990.08561
6.43.6858168E-54.411026E-50.031902704723.24910.031861.5795401E-41.8903041E-40.040061492211.931460.039880.00192139370.00229904130.0553168724.0608430.053140.0190486550.0228660980.08791393.84472680.06657
6.53.39199E-54.0018425E-50.028678872716.64170.028641.453629E-41.7149639E-40.035925362209.481750.035760.00176835650.00208599070.04986611423.9052410.047880.0175435080.0207587830.0795915953.83411650.06008
6.63.3571985E-53.947258E-50.028648343725.77830.028611.4387199E-41.6915736E-40.035893112212.187710.035730.00175023420.00205756720.04979913324.202920.047840.0173651330.0204800420.079251243.86968160.06
6.73.2580007E-53.808902E-50.027507043722.177730.027471.3962112E-41.6322857E-40.03452762211.529270.034370.00169856170.00198551780.04795406424.1519180.046060.0168563720.0197708740.076388913.86370940.05776
6.83.2185937E-53.7516216E-50.02683651715.3310.02681.3793244E-41.60774E-40.033745375209.893230.033590.00167803370.00195568750.04689762423.9801220.045030.0166541920.0194778780.074936213.84724710.05656
6.93.165394E-53.672075E-50.026105763710.926760.026071.3565269E-41.5736527E-40.032822225208.573490.032670.00165032020.001914260.045690323.868390.043860.016381180.0190715180.0731206763.8340250.0551
7.03.0903822E-53.562591E-50.025294727710.00930.025261.3243823E-41.5267366E-40.03179784208.273270.031650.00161124280.00185723820.0442982723.8516880.042520.0159961040.0185134930.071003393.8352240.05348
7.13.0069863E-53.4392175E-50.024293559706.36880.024261.2886449E-41.4738683E-40.03051291207.026030.030370.00156779590.00179297870.04255975423.7368980.040840.015567810.017880990.0682636953.8176690.0513
7.22.7957109E-53.128141E-50.019920658636.82090.019891.1981068E-41.3405642E-40.025000723186.494030.024870.00145771880.00163093450.0352659921.6231780.033690.0144819370.0162843520.0581709633.57220.04258
7.32.4519275E-52.6714602E-50.014226335532.530330.01421.0507837E-41.1448621E-40.018132424158.380840.018020.00127857830.0013929930.02584887918.5563580.024490.0127124690.013928610.0445165453.1960510.03102
7.42.3225532E-52.5199166E-50.013164868522.43270.013149.95342E-51.0799204E-40.016676202154.420670.016570.00121115510.00131402440.02377447318.0928690.022490.0120457530.0131461960.041182713.13267140.02841
7.52.097765E-52.2483406E-50.010272253456.881530.010258.9901114E-59.6353964E-50.012965114134.557140.012870.00109399650.001172490.01864198215.8994820.017490.0108862640.01174065750.033768962.87624070.02229
7.61.511254E-51.5990969E-50.005525903345.5640.005516.476642E-56.8530964E-50.0071380464104.157970.007077.882459E-48.34053E-40.01029615512.3447250.009470.0078545580.0083838670.0201741832.40630980.01189
7.79.934069E-61.0678523E-50.0016306612152.704760.001624.2573887E-54.5764296E-50.002035673244.481690.001995.182138E-45.570383E-40.00324553975.82642170.002690.005170070.0056274190.0088790171.57781340.00327
7.86.7562896E-68.42837E-60.0010884192129.137570.001082.8955206E-53.6121084E-50.001346073837.2655940.001313.5247262E-44.3968562E-40.0022189035.0465670.001780.00351914060.0044464160.0065968121.48362450.00216
7.93.975453E-65.3710532E-66.153678E-4114.571166.1E-41.7037546E-52.3018596E-57.7300135E-433.58167.5E-42.0741238E-42.8021546E-40.00128993244.6033590.001010.0020721890.00283356690.00407005331.4363710.00124
8.01.6729537E-62.0775192E-61.9207712E-492.455041.9E-47.169782E-68.903624E-62.6890132E-430.2013342.6E-48.7288594E-51.0839626E-44.6835723E-44.3207883.6E-48.7254314E-40.0010968540.00150640431.37338644.1E-4
8.13.6733252E-73.1489736E-71.0314894E-532.7563671.0E-51.5742813E-61.3495595E-63.134952E-523.2294453.0E-51.9166706E-51.643078E-55.6430123E-53.43441534.0E-51.9165053E-41.662928E-42.0628615E-41.24049964.0E-5

Tank Canyon

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.8284557E-55.796445E-50.037315805643.77050.037262.0691741E-42.4839927E-40.050096013201.675380.049860.00251630880.00302073360.0787512826.070250.075960.024880060.0298636160.13005934.3551090.10328
6.11.7796336E-52.0873378E-50.013030602624.2690.013017.626778E-58.945448E-50.017517895195.830280.017439.281647E-40.00108860240.02898819726.6288220.027930.0092429750.0108366420.049503044.56811570.03909
6.21.7796336E-52.0873378E-50.013030602624.2690.013017.626778E-58.945448E-50.017517895195.830280.017439.281647E-40.00108860240.02898819726.6288220.027930.0092429750.0108366420.049503044.56811570.03909
6.31.3515912E-51.5759651E-50.009485611601.892150.009475.792405E-56.7539746E-50.012756683188.876660.012697.049971E-48.2200987E-40.0209754325.5172480.020170.0070276470.0081921570.0363694174.4395410.02841
6.41.0870146E-51.2618114E-50.007082529561.29850.007074.658551E-55.4076605E-50.009463567175.002990.009415.67031E-46.582015E-40.01576824923.9565680.015120.0056558630.0065643820.0277543654.2280240.02133
6.57.964826E-69.196184E-60.004369156475.105350.004363.4134522E-53.941168E-50.0059491787150.949630.005914.1550855E-44.797421E-40.01007513721.0011520.00960.00414732470.0047882090.0180742873.77474880.01335
6.66.6317E-67.612378E-60.0033775868443.696660.003372.8421264E-53.262412E-50.0046124747141.382340.004583.4597394E-43.9713533E-40.00765425219.273660.007260.00345435790.00396525160.0138459163.4918130.00992
6.74.793663E-65.4308593E-60.0019154205352.6920.001912.0544108E-52.3274928E-50.0025732156110.55740.002552.500958E-42.833398E-40.004342189515.3250260.004060.00249814520.00283031890.0083845542.96240620.00557
6.84.382823E-64.969325E-60.0017349607349.13410.001731.8783392E-52.1296957E-50.0023412476109.9334260.002322.286638E-42.5926388E-40.003928312615.1517930.003670.00228428650.00259012330.00756719852.9215590.00499
6.92.729601E-63.0735862E-68.6307095E-4280.802588.6E-41.1698237E-51.3172453E-50.001213156692.098010.00121.4241673E-41.6036403E-40.001920081811.9732690.001760.0014232550.00160248080.0039287472.45166560.00233
7.01.8987357E-62.126971E-63.221263E-4151.448383.2E-48.137413E-69.115562E-65.4911064E-460.2388155.4E-49.90685E-51.1097702E-49.30886E-48.3880988.2E-49.902435E-40.00110928460.00218808651.97252050.00108
7.11.4928986E-61.6641525E-62.116638E-4127.190152.1E-46.398121E-67.132066E-63.9712928E-455.682223.9E-47.789434E-58.6830034E-56.667797E-47.67913635.8E-47.786704E-48.6801895E-40.0016173681.86328657.5E-4
7.21.069082E-61.1828765E-61.01182755E-485.539571.0E-44.581772E-65.0694644E-62.3506829E-446.3694572.3E-45.5781646E-56.171951E-53.8169976E-46.18442633.2E-45.576765E-46.1707594E-40.00101682921.64781844.0E-4
7.38.776551E-79.770151E-78.097693E-582.8819668.0E-53.7613736E-64.187204E-61.941864E-446.3761521.9E-44.579376E-55.0978535E-53.109653E-46.09992552.6E-44.5784327E-45.097194E-48.195614E-41.60786773.1E-4
7.47.55721E-78.5103835E-76.0850987E-571.5020456.0E-53.2388E-63.6473052E-61.5364676E-442.1261061.5E-43.9431678E-54.4405555E-52.5439623E-45.7289282.1E-43.942468E-44.4401767E-46.839111E-41.5402792.4E-4
7.55.587665E-76.305732E-73.0630556E-548.5757333.0E-52.3947114E-62.7024564E-61.1270216E-441.7035981.1E-42.915522E-53.2902408E-51.728978E-45.25486761.4E-42.9151395E-43.2902407E-44.989681E-41.51650951.7E-4

Little Lake

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.8424427E-53.1205716E-50.03098024992.774540.030951.2181328E-41.3373268E-40.03879856290.120270.038670.00148206770.00162711250.0532330132.7162440.051690.0147222230.0161653980.079484994.9169830.06436
6.12.8424427E-53.1205716E-50.03098024992.774540.030951.2181328E-41.3373268E-40.03879856290.120270.038670.00148206770.00162711250.0532330132.7162440.051690.0147222230.0161653980.079484994.9169830.06436
6.22.8424427E-53.1205716E-50.03098024992.774540.030951.2181328E-41.3373268E-40.03879856290.120270.038670.00148206770.00162711250.0532330132.7162440.051690.0147222230.0161653980.079484994.9169830.06436
6.31.48860645E-51.6081383E-50.0209057461299.99670.020896.379586E-56.8918554E-50.026037129377.795620.025977.7643775E-48.387886E-40.03515997541.9175640.034350.0077373050.0083590450.0507021146.0655390.0427
6.41.48860645E-51.6081383E-50.0209057461299.99670.020896.379586E-56.8918554E-50.026037129377.795620.025977.7643775E-48.387886E-40.03515997541.9175640.034350.0077373050.0083590450.0507021146.0655390.0427
6.51.2797581E-51.376556E-50.0194434991412.47420.019435.4845623E-55.8994065E-50.024217568410.508540.024166.675408E-47.1804173E-40.03258514445.380570.031890.0066553920.0071597670.0464365266.48575930.03956
6.69.661896E-61.0289033E-50.0170701131659.05920.017064.1407468E-54.40952E-50.021173164480.169370.021135.040193E-45.36743E-40.02842176752.952280.02790.0050287770.00535607150.0397409137.41978740.03457
6.77.767871E-68.199681E-60.0153380741870.56960.015333.329045E-53.5141096E-50.01887448537.10560.018844.0523586E-44.2777258E-40.02498726258.4124950.024570.0040449770.0042708430.0344713078.0713120.03033
6.86.4235196E-66.735739E-60.0122266531815.1910.012222.752908E-52.8867207E-50.014878439515.40970.014853.35115E-43.5141438E-40.01955466355.64560.019210.0033461010.00350984720.0273458927.79119160.02392
6.93.1283696E-63.1121751E-60.00757308862433.37480.007571.3407229E-51.33378335E-50.009253215693.756960.009241.6322079E-41.6237753E-40.01194046473.53520.011780.00163100950.00162273720.0160592729.896410.01446
7.02.290603E-62.2286763E-60.00457221832051.540.004579.816834E-69.551441E-60.005609498587.29340.00561.19513395E-41.1628362E-40.00717546361.7065620.007060.00119449140.00116232990.0098422298.4676720.00869
7.11.293693E-61.1776774E-60.00203117521724.72970.002035.5443866E-65.047183E-60.0025050347496.32330.00256.750081E-56.1448416E-50.003191256251.93390.003136.7480316E-46.1438273E-40.0045019937.32766770.00389
7.24.715842E-73.091732E-71.00309146E-4324.44321.0E-42.0210737E-61.3250274E-61.2132487E-491.564051.2E-42.4606294E-51.6132095E-51.4613E-49.058341.3E-42.460357E-41.6130977E-43.6127752E-42.23965052.0E-4
7.33.9430947E-72.3096938E-78.023095E-5347.366188.0E-51.6898966E-69.898685E-78.098979E-581.818748.0E-52.0574296E-51.2051582E-59.205062E-57.63805258.0E-52.0572392E-41.2050936E-42.604925E-42.16159561.4E-4
7.43.547123E-71.9678579E-78.019677E-5407.533338.0E-51.5201948E-68.433674E-78.08433E-595.857758.0E-51.8508214E-51.02679505E-59.026713E-58.7911548.0E-51.8506673E-41.0267482E-42.2266251E-42.16861821.2E-4
7.52.6354266E-71.4422719E-75.014422E-5347.675235.0E-51.129468E-66.1811636E-75.0618084E-581.890875.0E-51.3751187E-57.525541E-65.7525165E-57.64399055.0E-51.3750336E-47.5252916E-51.552469E-42.06300168.0E-5
7.61.269913E-77.572344E-84.007572E-5529.2384.0E-55.4424834E-73.24529E-74.0324518E-5124.255514.0E-56.6262032E-63.9511337E-64.3950975E-511.1236364.0E-56.626006E-53.9510673E-58.950869E-52.2654315.0E-5

Airport Lake

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2387061E-51.3103157E-50.0285927282182.12520.028585.3086325E-55.615534E-50.035144184625.838750.035096.461343E-46.8350515E-40.0461723967.552370.045520.00644258880.00681683930.0611439578.9695460.0547
6.11.2387061E-51.3103157E-50.0285927282182.12520.028585.3086325E-55.615534E-50.035144184625.838750.035096.461343E-46.8350515E-40.0461723967.552370.045520.00644258880.00681683930.0611439578.9695460.0547
6.21.2387061E-51.3103157E-50.0285927282182.12520.028585.3086325E-55.615534E-50.035144184625.838750.035096.461343E-46.8350515E-40.0461723967.552370.045520.00644258880.00681683930.0611439578.9695460.0547
6.31.2387061E-51.3103157E-50.0285927282182.12520.028585.3086325E-55.615534E-50.035144184625.838750.035096.461343E-46.8350515E-40.0461723967.552370.045520.00644258880.00681683930.0611439578.9695460.0547
6.41.2387061E-51.3103157E-50.0285927282182.12520.028585.3086325E-55.615534E-50.035144184625.838750.035096.461343E-46.8350515E-40.0461723967.552370.045520.00644258880.00681683930.0611439578.9695460.0547
6.56.9922594E-67.384925E-60.0210772292854.08840.021072.996648E-53.1649324E-50.026060825823.42430.026033.6478083E-43.8526783E-40.0342122388.8011550.033840.0036418260.00384653660.04441986611.5480170.04073
6.66.9922594E-67.384925E-60.0210772292854.08840.021072.996648E-53.1649324E-50.026060825823.42430.026033.6478083E-43.8526783E-40.0342122388.8011550.033840.0036418260.00384653660.04441986611.5480170.04073
6.75.477277E-65.7860684E-60.018085683125.7290.018082.3473833E-52.4797222E-50.022374243902.288270.022352.8575645E-43.0186825E-40.02925312796.906940.028960.00285389270.0030149660.03775989312.5241530.03485
6.83.9950432E-64.2190873E-60.0137141623250.50440.013711.7121502E-51.8081691E-50.016857777932.311950.016842.0843433E-42.2012512E-40.02184536399.240670.021630.00208238930.00219934180.02840158712.9136760.02626
6.92.95695E-63.1230243E-60.0097830933132.570.009781.2672582E-51.3384334E-50.012073223902.04140.012061.5427776E-41.6294434E-40.01549044695.065870.015330.0015417070.00162847120.02027805112.4522020.01868
7.01.456072E-61.540812E-60.0043615342830.67240.004366.2402937E-66.603469E-60.005356568811.174870.005357.597293E-58.039528E-50.006819853684.829030.006747.594696E-48.0376083E-40.00905712111.2684290.00826
7.16.995192E-77.4089746E-70.00191073952578.95260.001912.997936E-63.1752747E-60.0023431678737.94180.002343.649926E-53.865897E-50.002968545876.788020.002933.6493264E-43.865897E-40.003985197710.30859850.0036

Owl Lake

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.0320643E-56.6358676E-50.016135292243.152710.016072.1564208E-42.843643E-40.02163829176.093550.021360.00262228120.0034575470.0343902269.9464230.031040.025915530.0341412950.074156822.17205640.04143
6.15.0320643E-56.6358676E-50.016135292243.152710.016072.1564208E-42.843643E-40.02163829176.093550.021360.00262228120.0034575470.0343902269.9464230.031040.025915530.0341412950.074156822.17205640.04143
6.22.4125871E-53.0980515E-50.012880582415.763980.012851.0339249E-41.3276804E-40.016800554126.540660.016670.00125807660.00161542520.02533704215.6844420.023760.0125097810.0160707550.0467890282.91143920.03122
6.31.7433485E-52.2355545E-50.0114621512.718440.011447.471279E-59.580685E-50.014804398154.523380.014719.0924866E-40.0011659620.0219317218.809980.020790.0090553730.01162914650.038325043.29560260.02701
6.41.7433485E-52.2355545E-50.0114621512.718440.011447.471279E-59.580685E-50.014804398154.523380.014719.0924866E-40.0011659620.0219317218.809980.020790.0090553730.01162914650.038325043.29560260.02701
6.51.5182742E-51.9429277E-50.010999216566.115540.010986.506727E-58.3266525E-50.0140921169.240880.014017.919061E-40.00101343440.0207234420.4487250.019730.00789090.0101186780.035370553.49557040.02551
6.66.7271576E-68.547518E-60.009158471071.4770.009152.8830356E-53.6631736E-50.011456213312.74010.011423.5095305E-44.4590578E-40.01568910535.18480.015250.00350399320.00446801870.0234229475.24235630.01904
6.76.682835E-68.479961E-60.0091484021078.8260.009142.8640408E-53.6342215E-50.011435928314.673370.01143.4864116E-44.423823E-40.01564565335.3668170.015210.0034809470.00443293250.0233287965.262610.01898
6.86.5774975E-68.326427E-60.0091382511097.49960.009132.8188972E-53.5684232E-50.011405279319.616760.011373.4314668E-44.3437455E-40.01557779435.8625830.015150.00342617280.00435310560.0231807885.3251150.01891
6.96.363419E-67.999591E-60.00911792651139.79920.009112.727151E-53.428354E-50.011373895331.759640.011343.3198006E-44.1732774E-40.01548103937.095640.015070.00331484550.00418306470.0228944645.47313170.01879
7.06.1342453E-67.631779E-60.0090275631182.8910.009022.6289357E-53.2707245E-50.0112123415342.809080.011183.2002592E-43.9814346E-40.01525222738.308370.014860.00319565440.0039917390.0224378135.6210620.01852
7.15.842926E-67.142312E-60.0086370811209.28360.008632.504087E-53.060958E-50.010680283348.919650.010653.0482994E-43.7261334E-40.01451734138.9608730.014150.00304412140.00373715950.0212813495.6945250.01761
7.24.77173E-65.358478E-60.0053453296997.546260.005342.045011E-52.2964727E-50.006502816283.165370.006482.4895166E-42.7956374E-40.00902711832.2900160.008750.00248672930.00280862120.0138375584.9268150.01106
7.33.0494948E-62.710356E-60.0015527061572.8790.001551.3069198E-51.1615762E-50.001971593169.734280.001961.5910587E-41.4141288E-40.002781039619.6660980.002640.00158991990.00142310890.00471841263.31556680.0033
7.42.7263884E-62.3055634E-60.0010223032443.407140.001021.1684469E-59.880949E-60.0012598686127.504820.001251.4224913E-41.2029401E-40.001780094314.7978630.001660.00142158110.00121105780.00333847832.7566630.00213
7.52.6090431E-62.1655019E-69.0216356E-4416.607159.0E-41.1181565E-59.2806895E-60.0010892707117.369580.001081.3612706E-41.1298663E-40.001552823913.743430.001440.0013604370.00113781260.00299569642.63285540.00186
7.62.3008756E-61.8726826E-66.918714E-4369.45476.9E-49.860858E-68.025758E-68.1801927E-4101.924238.1E-41.20049335E-49.770931E-50.001137607711.6427770.001040.0011998459.848307E-40.00229354042.3288680.00131
7.71.7184348E-61.341808E-64.613412E-4343.820564.6E-47.3646997E-65.750593E-65.3574756E-493.163875.3E-48.966153E-57.0011265E-57.3996437E-410.5692196.7E-48.962536E-47.0769014E-40.00148713822.10139737.8E-4
7.88.4612907E-78.4054994E-72.1084037E-4250.836212.1E-43.6262625E-63.602352E-62.5360147E-470.398852.5E-44.4148852E-54.3857777E-53.738433E-48.5239923.3E-44.414008E-44.4386165E-48.436841E-41.90078184.0E-4
7.92.716738E-73.7681625E-77.037679E-5186.766867.0E-51.1643157E-61.6149258E-68.1614795E-550.53788.0E-51.4175452E-51.9661555E-59.9659985E-55.0687748.0E-51.4174548E-41.9829652E-42.982767E-41.50419531.0E-4
8.02.1995428E-83.3853325E-83.3853325E-81.00.09.426611E-81.4508568E-71.0145084E-569.924781.0E-51.1476893E-61.7664173E-61.1766399E-56.6611661.0E-51.14768345E-51.7869768E-52.786959E-51.55959431.0E-5

Panamint Valley

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0211835E-53.3984263E-50.013183537387.930660.013151.2947287E-41.4563887E-40.01743312119.701010.017290.00157519230.00177174060.0268272715.1417590.02510.0156407360.0175830030.0507101042.8840410.03372
6.13.0211835E-53.3984263E-50.013183537387.930660.013151.2947287E-41.4563887E-40.01743312119.701010.017290.00157519230.00177174060.0268272715.1417590.02510.0156407360.0175830030.0507101042.8840410.03372
6.23.0211835E-53.3984263E-50.013183537387.930660.013151.2947287E-41.4563887E-40.01743312119.701010.017290.00157519230.00177174060.0268272715.1417590.02510.0156407360.0175830030.0507101042.8840410.03372
6.32.8573924E-53.2102445E-50.012621698393.16940.012591.2245393E-41.375748E-40.016615307120.7728960.016480.0014898570.00167371410.02538396415.1662470.023750.014799080.0166180380.0478600822.88000820.03177
6.42.8573924E-53.2102445E-50.012621698393.16940.012591.2245393E-41.375748E-40.016615307120.7728960.016480.0014898570.00167371410.02538396415.1662470.023750.014799080.0166180380.0478600822.88000820.03177
6.52.7468774E-53.0828138E-50.012440446403.54190.012411.1771801E-41.3211406E-40.016299978123.378070.016170.00143227450.00160732920.02481995915.4417390.023250.0142307820.0159638820.046429642.9084180.03096
6.62.6135967E-52.9252153E-50.0120789412.923460.012051.1200648E-41.2536049E-40.015803395126.06360.015680.00136282570.00152522190.02400088915.7359980.022510.0135449820.0151543430.0445519872.93988230.02985
6.72.4498746E-52.7341044E-50.011587025423.7960.011561.04990395E-41.17170785E-40.0150654195128.576580.014950.00127750840.00142564590.0228550516.0313660.021460.0127018930.0141715930.042159262.97491340.02839
6.82.2244329E-52.4935374E-50.011004661441.32730.010989.532935E-51.0686163E-40.01416536132.557950.014060.00116001690.00130028570.02126429216.3535540.019990.0115398020.0129329550.038912563.0087910.02632
6.91.9902658E-52.2290182E-50.0099720685447.37490.009958.529431E-59.552596E-50.01282431134.249480.012730.00103796350.00116242650.01889179316.2520330.017750.0103312880.0115690210.0345302752.98471860.02323
7.01.8353881E-52.056605E-50.009290376451.733550.009277.865712E-58.813734E-50.01197709135.89120.011899.5722964E-40.00107256160.01760481116.41380.016550.0095311680.010679390.0320190342.99820830.02157
7.11.7667631E-51.9772435E-50.009019595456.170140.0097.571623E-58.4736355E-50.011613759137.057570.011539.2145515E-40.00103119450.01707463316.5581130.016060.0091764370.01026959250.0309648553.0151980.02091
7.21.6381597E-51.8158042E-50.007938014437.162450.007927.020495E-57.781795E-50.01020703131.165480.010138.544101E-49.470391E-40.01507364815.9166060.014140.0085113250.0094352690.0277409052.94012880.01848
7.31.4520491E-51.596657E-50.0064058644401.204770.006396.222919E-56.842646E-50.0083778575122.435940.008317.57377E-48.327899E-40.01253303815.0494590.011710.00754800950.0083003990.0236221592.8459060.01545
7.41.2852287E-51.41454875E-50.0063040564445.658480.006295.5080065E-56.06222E-50.008220128135.5960.008166.7039346E-47.378411E-40.01213942316.4526230.011410.00668374640.0073574290.0222470673.02375560.015
7.51.1637851E-51.2836868E-50.006232757485.535640.006224.987555E-55.5014076E-50.008114571147.49990.008066.070656E-46.696062E-40.01186210717.7150480.01120.0060540990.00667938450.0212911313.18758870.01471
7.63.0068115E-63.3330623E-60.0028133236844.065730.002811.2886271E-51.4284516E-50.0037142318260.018040.00371.5687906E-41.7390738E-40.005173037829.7459370.0050.00156768350.00173979730.0080488024.6262870.00632

Garlock (East)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5092507E-56.2904815E-50.010062275159.960340.011.9323928E-42.6956675E-40.01372593850.9185180.013460.00235014970.0032774820.0233714087.13090370.020160.0232545040.032353770.0590898361.82636630.02763
6.14.5092507E-56.2904815E-50.010062275159.960340.011.9323928E-42.6956675E-40.01372593850.9185180.013460.00235014970.0032774820.0233714087.13090370.020160.0232545040.032353770.0590898361.82636630.02763
6.22.6674514E-53.4511588E-50.007854242227.582750.007821.1431433E-41.4789861E-40.01037638570.158780.010230.00139088840.00179921140.0166125119.2332180.014840.013822150.0178727880.037112662.07648970.01959
6.32.6674514E-53.4511588E-50.007854242227.582750.007821.1431433E-41.4789861E-40.01037638570.158780.010230.00139088840.00179921140.0166125119.2332180.014840.013822150.0178727880.037112662.07648970.01959
6.42.5312667E-53.2340467E-50.007802089241.248490.007771.0847834E-41.3859481E-40.01028718874.2249150.010150.00131992370.00168611520.016361339.7035660.01470.0131211120.0167722870.035797742.13433890.01935
6.52.5312667E-53.2340467E-50.007802089241.248490.007771.0847834E-41.3859481E-40.01028718874.2249150.010150.00131992370.00168611520.016361339.7035660.01470.0131211120.0167722870.035797742.13433890.01935
6.62.246556E-52.8134691E-50.0074979244266.501040.007479.627742E-51.2057181E-40.00985939781.7719960.009740.00117154720.00146699690.01537656110.481660.013930.0116539010.0146131690.0326457472.23399520.0183
6.72.2241198E-52.7804432E-50.007487597269.29510.007469.531594E-51.1915654E-40.00984799782.647560.009730.00115985380.00144978890.01533962210.580590.013910.0115381870.0144428290.032448962.24671770.01827
6.81.9528685E-52.3898969E-50.007163728299.750520.007148.369167E-51.0242024E-40.00940146891.793070.00930.00101846980.00124627280.01444979711.594410.013220.0101381470.0124367230.0294425642.3673890.01722
6.91.3318621E-51.5198818E-50.006705097441.159120.006695.7078556E-56.51362E-50.008694574133.482990.008636.9470983E-47.927504E-40.01276325316.0999640.011980.00692542040.0079407210.0230200222.8989840.0152
7.01.1760853E-51.3107653E-50.0065830215502.227330.006575.0402683E-55.6174475E-50.008495701151.237730.008446.134799E-46.8371464E-40.01231575718.0130060.011640.00611789060.0068574010.0214665293.13041760.01471
7.11.0064758E-51.0902761E-50.006410833588.00090.00644.3133965E-54.67253E-50.008226343176.057570.008185.2502943E-45.6873553E-40.01173238320.628890.011170.0052379070.00571334730.0195836463.4277010.01395
7.29.768808E-61.0498628E-50.0062904325599.167050.006284.186565E-54.499337E-50.008064632179.240480.008025.095951E-45.4766005E-40.01148166920.9649560.010940.00508428040.0055035840.019058573.4629380.01363
7.39.344516E-69.9442705E-60.0058298865586.25580.005824.004731E-54.2617627E-50.007442302174.629680.00744.8746695E-45.187495E-40.0106135120.4597970.01010.00486399050.0052152690.0176500793.38430830.0125
7.49.023491E-69.490441E-60.0053594396564.71980.005353.867153E-54.0672705E-50.006820397167.689790.006784.7072413E-44.95081E-40.00973050719.6543710.009240.0046972830.00497872660.0162622693.26635070.01134
7.57.081253E-67.0873994E-60.0026170688369.25660.002613.0347876E-53.0374218E-50.003300275108.653820.003273.6942272E-43.697441E-40.004838091313.0849720.004470.0036880920.00372447450.0091840642.46586850.00548
7.66.116396E-65.9589424E-60.00151595254.399150.001512.6212863E-52.5538076E-50.001975488477.354620.001953.1909486E-43.1088197E-40.00295006139.4893280.002640.00318637070.00313591260.0064056272.04266760.00328
7.74.797145E-64.7571157E-67.447536E-4156.555717.4E-42.055903E-52.0387479E-59.703681E-447.5962759.5E-42.5027743E-42.481894E-40.00158785686.39776230.001340.00249995760.00250940650.00413531621.6479260.00163
7.83.4028885E-63.978375E-65.239763E-4131.706125.2E-41.4583726E-51.7050066E-56.5703917E-438.535876.4E-41.775424E-42.0756487E-40.0011073785.3350949.0E-40.00177400620.00210121410.00315898681.50341020.00106
7.92.5928412E-63.372436E-63.433713E-4101.816993.4E-41.1112129E-51.4453217E-54.3444714E-430.0588554.2E-41.3528178E-41.7595377E-47.9584465E-44.52303276.2E-40.00135199450.00178124260.00252990661.42030447.5E-4
8.01.3743648E-61.6734741E-61.4167324E-484.6581651.4E-45.8901214E-67.1720124E-61.8717072E-426.097381.8E-47.1709874E-58.731578E-53.572922E-44.09195472.7E-47.1686733E-48.837377E-40.00119346381.35047283.1E-4
8.13.6733252E-73.1489736E-71.0314894E-532.7563671.0E-51.5742813E-61.3495595E-63.134952E-523.2294453.0E-51.9166706E-51.643078E-55.6430123E-53.43441534.0E-51.9165053E-41.662928E-42.0628615E-41.24049964.0E-5

Hunter Mountain-Saline Valley

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5103672E-55.456906E-50.0066842074122.490780.006631.9328714E-42.3384714E-40.00882183937.7248080.008590.0023507310.00284354620.01482936655.21509650.012020.0232601950.0280926250.043487641.5480090.01584
6.14.5103672E-55.456906E-50.0066842074122.490780.006631.9328714E-42.3384714E-40.00882183937.7248080.008590.0023507310.00284354620.01482936655.21509650.012020.0232601950.0280926250.043487641.5480090.01584
6.23.9363465E-54.706271E-50.0066367527141.019350.006591.6868966E-42.016826E-40.00874995843.3847920.008550.0020518620.00245285340.0143835175.8639940.011960.0203301960.0242741870.039641871.63308740.01575
6.33.9363465E-54.706271E-50.0066367527141.019350.006591.6868966E-42.016826E-40.00874995843.3847920.008550.0020518620.00245285340.0143835175.8639940.011960.0203301960.0242741870.039641871.63308740.01575
6.43.2311684E-53.795112E-50.0065277047172.002960.006491.384713E-41.6263791E-40.00859126752.82450.008430.00168458430.0019783870.0138049436.9778780.011850.0167187140.0196171180.0349110921.77962390.0156
6.53.2311684E-53.795112E-50.0065277047172.002960.006491.384713E-41.6263791E-40.00859126752.82450.008430.00168458430.0019783870.0138049436.9778780.011850.0167187140.0196171180.0349110921.77962390.0156
6.62.9305844E-53.418196E-50.0065139607190.567180.006481.2559042E-41.4648624E-40.00853525858.266610.008390.00152799090.00178207270.013541087.59850030.011780.0151752720.0176863240.032931831.86199410.01552
6.72.7826512E-53.2344353E-50.006512135201.33760.006481.19251024E-41.3861163E-40.00852744861.520440.008390.00145091420.00168635060.0134365027.9677990.011770.0144147760.0167438180.031984291.91021480.0155
6.82.3389874E-52.6866792E-50.0064466945239.950290.006421.0023846E-41.1513857E-40.008424181573.165590.008310.001219720.0014009580.0130446239.3112160.011660.012130470.0139280670.0290741322.0874490.01536
6.92.069209E-52.357011E-50.0063834204270.826930.006368.867737E-51.0101105E-40.00834017982.566990.008240.00107911230.00122915190.01276495510.3851740.011550.0107388710.0122291580.0272827862.2309620.01524
7.01.7462342E-51.9633622E-50.006369509324.418430.006357.483646E-58.414151E-50.00831344998.803180.008239.1075303E-40.00102396410.01254215712.2486310.011530.0090702950.0101966880.0252614932.47742150.01522
7.11.4807709E-51.6441827E-50.0063263383384.7710.006316.3460066E-57.046316E-50.008259886117.222760.008197.723524E-48.575678E-40.01232772314.37521650.011480.0076967350.0085461680.0235766082.75873450.01516
7.21.4180048E-51.5698413E-50.0063255993402.945130.006316.077022E-56.727727E-50.008256726122.726830.008197.396263E-48.1880915E-40.012289409515.0088810.011480.00737169430.0081614690.0231679862.8387030.01513
7.31.3730402E-51.5172151E-50.0063250763416.887270.006315.8843252E-56.502197E-50.00824449126.795450.008187.161811E-47.9137104E-40.01224230215.4697370.011460.0071387740.0078890580.0228600132.89768580.01509
7.41.2810095E-51.4109353E-50.006294021446.088530.006285.489925E-56.0467344E-50.0082099745135.775340.008156.681934E-47.3595706E-40.01212756716.4786340.01140.0066618780.00733868960.0222186823.0276090.01499
7.51.1595659E-51.2800734E-50.006222721486.122220.006214.9694736E-55.485922E-50.0081044175147.731190.008056.0486543E-46.67722E-40.0118502517.747280.011190.0060322170.0066606320.021262723.19229770.0147
7.62.997694E-63.3251877E-60.002813316846.06230.002811.28471975E-51.4250767E-50.003714198260.631440.00371.564034E-41.7349655E-40.00517262929.8140160.0050.00156293370.00173569550.0080447264.63487150.00632

Ash Hill

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.1545662E-52.3194447E-50.004013102173.019940.003999.2335285E-59.940143E-50.00560885456.4262850.005510.00112360230.00120962060.0100389278.2992360.008840.0111793810.0120383480.024644742.04718610.01276
6.12.1545662E-52.3194447E-50.004013102173.019940.003999.2335285E-59.940143E-50.00560885456.4262850.005510.00112360230.00120962060.0100389278.2992360.008840.0111793810.0120383480.024644742.04718610.01276
6.22.1545662E-52.3194447E-50.004013102173.019940.003999.2335285E-59.940143E-50.00560885456.4262850.005510.00112360230.00120962060.0100389278.2992360.008840.0111793810.0120383480.024644742.04718610.01276
6.31.0025529E-51.0746934E-50.0017807279165.696370.001774.2965847E-54.605755E-50.002485945153.974760.002445.229836E-45.6061964E-40.0044584337.9526880.00390.0052175450.00559336650.0111123231.98669680.00555
6.41.0025529E-51.0746934E-50.0017807279165.696370.001774.2965847E-54.605755E-50.002485945153.974760.002445.229836E-45.6061964E-40.0044584337.9526880.00390.0052175450.00559336650.0111123231.98669680.00555
6.56.9617327E-67.456634E-60.0012374475165.952550.001232.9835655E-53.195666E-50.001731902454.1953470.00173.6318856E-43.8901155E-40.00303798087.8094870.002650.00362595570.00388416020.0076494781.96940330.00378
6.64.9919777E-65.3466883E-69.4534166E-4176.808829.4E-42.1394015E-52.2914215E-50.001302884956.859240.001282.60441E-42.7895154E-40.00227839368.1677040.0020.00260135970.00278667270.00561875852.01629660.00284
6.73.6630722E-63.924624E-67.039219E-4179.360357.0E-41.5698786E-51.681974E-59.568039E-456.8857779.4E-41.9111596E-42.0476682E-40.00160448027.8356450.00140.00190951680.00204634460.0040222931.96559910.00198
6.82.5599613E-62.744925E-65.427434E-4197.726145.4E-41.0971216E-51.1763939E-57.217556E-461.353227.1E-41.3356637E-41.4322149E-40.00118307268.260440.001040.00133486130.00143177690.00281978681.96943160.00139
6.91.7684905E-61.8968707E-64.018961E-4211.873214.0E-47.579223E-68.129446E-65.081254E-462.5043075.0E-49.2273134E-59.8976E-57.889077E-47.9706976.9E-49.223483E-49.8976E-40.00191883951.93869179.3E-4

Blackwater

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0708583E-53.3095846E-50.004042963122.1592250.004011.3160157E-41.4183241E-40.005561063539.2086940.005420.00160107140.00172557840.0102009285.9115990.008490.0158958510.0171356330.0292346941.7060760.01231
6.13.0708583E-53.3095846E-50.004042963122.1592250.004011.3160157E-41.4183241E-40.005561063539.2086940.005420.00160107140.00172557840.0102009285.9115990.008490.0158958510.0171356330.0292346941.7060760.01231
6.21.1707779E-51.2545122E-50.0016125251128.538010.00165.017523E-55.3763757E-50.002143651539.871680.002096.107122E-46.5438676E-40.0038822735.9326890.003230.0060903660.00652556960.0112743771.72772310.00478
6.31.1707779E-51.2545122E-50.0016125251128.538010.00165.017523E-55.3763757E-50.002143651539.871680.002096.107122E-46.5438676E-40.0038822735.9326890.003230.0060903660.00652556960.0112743771.72772310.00478
6.47.929244E-68.480098E-60.0010884709128.355940.001083.3982033E-53.6342793E-50.001486290140.896420.001454.136527E-44.423877E-40.00259143655.857840.002150.00412883560.00441547580.00752169961.70348560.00312
6.55.8832115E-66.285991E-67.662812E-4121.903017.6E-42.521352E-52.6939697E-50.001036912438.490130.001013.0693135E-43.27944E-40.00181745545.5419690.001490.00306507780.00327485380.0053879111.64523720.00212
6.65.8832115E-66.285991E-67.662812E-4121.903017.6E-42.521352E-52.6939697E-50.001036912438.490130.001013.0693135E-43.27944E-40.00181745545.5419690.001490.00306507780.00327485380.0053879111.64523720.00212
6.73.0715053E-63.2814662E-64.1328013E-4125.943744.1E-41.3163528E-51.4063357E-55.3405605E-437.9750025.2E-41.6025416E-41.7120909E-49.31079E-45.43825677.6E-40.00160138650.00171088640.00279902151.63600670.00109
6.82.2722281E-62.4287538E-63.12428E-4128.637183.1E-49.738084E-61.0408908E-53.8040505E-436.546113.7E-41.1855473E-41.26722E-46.1665993E-44.8662424.9E-40.0011849150.00126658760.00200565021.58350717.4E-4
6.99.952399E-71.0653489E-67.1065275E-566.706117.0E-54.265307E-64.5657757E-61.1456527E-425.0921821.1E-45.1928873E-55.5587418E-52.355774E-44.23796271.8E-45.191674E-45.557858E-48.6561346E-41.55745893.1E-4
7.04.7385504E-75.0755597E-73.0507541E-560.1067543.0E-52.0308057E-62.1752398E-63.2175176E-514.79155353.0E-52.4724779E-52.6483543E-59.648169E-53.64308077.0E-52.4722028E-42.6483546E-44.0479837E-41.52849021.4E-4

Garlock (West)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.5181727E-52.5197181E-50.004755078188.714680.004731.0791722E-41.0798347E-40.00602734455.8172870.005920.00131310020.00131390930.009263457.0502970.007960.0130536830.0131417940.0229412971.74567460.00993
6.12.5077732E-52.5098223E-50.0047549796189.454820.004731.0747157E-41.075594E-40.006026922756.0334360.005920.0013076810.00130875250.00925833457.0741680.007960.0130001260.0130908350.0228908431.7486160.00993
6.22.494612E-52.4979914E-50.004754862190.34740.004731.0690756E-41.070524E-40.00602641956.2940980.005920.00130082240.00130258720.00925221857.10295530.007960.0129323410.0130299060.022830521.75216290.00993
6.32.4733758E-52.4799276E-50.004754682191.726640.004731.0599751E-41.06278305E-40.00602564956.6968880.005920.00128975560.00129317360.009242887.1474390.007960.0128229570.01293687150.0227384081.75764350.00993
6.42.3237335E-52.3178607E-50.0047430694204.631320.004729.958477E-59.933313E-50.00600874660.490860.005910.00121177020.00120871260.0091391157.56103230.007940.0120518380.0121017310.0218621661.80653210.00988
6.52.2732203E-52.2992977E-50.0047428845206.275360.004729.742009E-59.8537625E-50.006007955460.9711840.005910.00118544420.00119903810.0091295187.61403470.007940.0117914030.0120060350.0217674151.81303940.00988
6.62.1319436E-52.1773201E-50.0047316705217.316250.004719.136581E-59.3310395E-50.00598276164.116770.005890.0011118110.00113546430.0090364837.9584030.007910.0110626490.0113769520.021114891.85593560.00985
6.71.970802E-52.0393094E-50.004720297231.465470.00478.446021E-58.739606E-50.00595688368.159630.005870.0010278180.00106352940.0089451388.4108050.007890.0102307710.01066468750.0203700681.91004810.00981
6.81.8744462E-51.9900775E-50.0047198073237.1670.00478.033094E-58.528626E-50.005944786669.703920.005869.775903E-40.00103786720.0088996998.5749880.007870.0097330090.0104104950.0200985761.93060720.00979
6.91.7559682E-51.8953151E-50.004718864248.975170.00477.5253614E-58.122527E-50.005940749373.1391750.005869.158276E-49.884704E-40.0088407018.9438190.007860.00912062450.0099210730.0196040461.97600040.00978
7.01.6794445E-51.8215967E-50.004698131257.912780.004687.197421E-57.806611E-50.00590761175.674470.005838.759337E-49.5004175E-40.0087626129.2233970.007820.0087248910.0095399580.0191870392.01122880.00974
7.11.6337795E-51.771677E-50.0046676346263.458560.004657.0017246E-57.592681E-50.00585548877.120160.005788.521265E-49.2401815E-40.0086868399.4011550.007770.0084886640.0092817210.0188520592.03109530.00966
7.21.5780008E-51.71654E-50.0046570855271.306580.004646.762685E-57.3563926E-50.005843139379.429410.005778.2304585E-48.952741E-40.0086483279.6599770.007760.0082000420.0089965590.0185498322.06188080.00964
7.31.5058865E-51.6618484E-50.004626542278.397370.004616.45364E-57.122013E-50.00581081181.589450.005747.854473E-48.667614E-40.0085700799.8874720.007710.007826770.0087132630.0182197042.09103080.00959
7.41.4887923E-51.6454453E-50.004586379278.73180.004576.380382E-57.0517184E-50.00573011881.258470.005667.7653467E-48.5820974E-40.0084816629.8829710.007630.00773826750.0086281010.0179965662.08580830.00945
7.51.4509299E-51.6046468E-50.0042359787263.9820.004226.218123E-56.876877E-50.005268411276.610520.00527.567935E-48.369394E-40.0078410729.3687460.007010.00754221340.0084164110.017013442.02146030.00867
7.61.2756717E-51.4050529E-50.0027140125193.160890.00275.4670498E-56.0215163E-50.003430012156.9625970.003376.6541E-47.328737E-40.0052195837.12207750.004490.0066342110.0073813740.0129400381.75306630.0056
7.71.0328985E-51.146033E-50.0016314418142.355560.001624.4266326E-54.9114777E-50.002039017241.5153470.001995.388092E-45.9780874E-40.00328620065.4970770.002690.00537504670.0060382860.009288541.53827440.00327
7.87.0306583E-68.899537E-60.0010888899122.353550.001083.0131043E-53.8140315E-50.001348090435.345550.001313.667837E-44.6425956E-40.00224343314.8322820.001780.0036617890.00469506670.0068449251.45789740.00216
7.94.060633E-65.465412E-66.154621E-4112.610376.1E-41.7402595E-52.3422985E-57.734054E-433.019087.5E-42.11856E-42.8513762E-40.00129484974.5411390.001010.00211654140.0028841430.0041205671.42869710.00124
8.01.6729537E-62.0775192E-61.9207712E-492.455041.9E-47.169782E-68.903624E-62.6890132E-430.2013342.6E-48.7288594E-51.0839626E-44.6835723E-44.3207883.6E-48.7254314E-40.0010968540.00150640431.37338644.1E-4
8.13.6733252E-73.1489736E-71.0314894E-532.7563671.0E-51.5742813E-61.3495595E-63.134952E-523.2294453.0E-51.9166706E-51.643078E-55.6430123E-53.43441534.0E-51.9165053E-41.662928E-42.0628615E-41.24049964.0E-5

McLean Lake

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.7360222E-51.8501627E-50.001528473782.612930.001517.439883E-57.9290556E-50.002449102730.8876970.002379.0542925E-49.6498354E-40.0058902266.10396530.004930.0090174910.00961277450.0178726041.85925560.00834
6.19.062689E-69.592193E-67.395852E-477.102827.3E-43.8839516E-54.1108804E-50.001191061628.9733940.001154.727685E-45.003936E-40.00304911756.0934380.002550.00471763960.0049935520.009331781.86876610.00436
6.29.062689E-69.592193E-67.395852E-477.102827.3E-43.8839516E-54.1108804E-50.001191061628.9733940.001154.727685E-45.003936E-40.00304911756.0934380.002550.00471763960.0049935520.009331781.86876610.00436
6.37.2575485E-67.66771E-65.4766354E-471.424675.4E-43.110341E-53.2861237E-59.128323E-427.778398.8E-43.786182E-44.0001926E-40.00241921126.0477370.002020.00377973750.00399369650.0074099981.85542350.00343
6.47.2575485E-67.66771E-65.4766354E-471.424675.4E-43.110341E-53.2861237E-59.128323E-427.778398.8E-43.786182E-44.0001926E-40.00241921126.0477370.002020.00377973750.00399369650.0074099981.85542350.00343
6.56.06582E-66.4038773E-64.56401E-471.269484.5E-42.5996113E-52.7444936E-57.3742546E-426.8692727.1E-43.164567E-43.3409733E-40.00203352936.08663750.00170.00316006430.00333658930.006177081.85131570.00285
6.65.598744E-65.910262E-64.059079E-468.678494.0E-42.3994397E-52.5329486E-56.5531355E-425.8715696.3E-42.9209262E-43.0834923E-40.00190785596.18732170.00160.00291708970.0030798430.00571171241.85454650.00264
6.75.246996E-65.539162E-63.8553705E-469.602053.8E-42.2486933E-52.3739085E-56.137251E-425.8529365.9E-42.73744E-42.8899137E-40.00176856366.119780.001480.00273407040.00288677960.0053297071.84624660.00245
6.84.02324E-64.2469046E-63.0424562E-471.639393.0E-41.7242342E-51.8200926E-54.7819255E-426.272984.6E-42.099053E-42.2157968E-40.00133133386.0083740.001110.00209707140.0022141720.00406007561.83367680.00185
6.96.835972E-77.1399285E-77.071394E-599.040137.0E-52.9296991E-63.0599674E-68.305972E-527.143998.0E-53.56685E-53.7254784E-52.4724696E-46.63664962.1E-43.5662777E-43.7251666E-47.323825E-41.96603983.6E-4

Goldstone Lake

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.671352E-53.0376103E-50.001300337542.807910.001271.1448149E-41.3017791E-40.002309894217.7441330.002180.0013929210.00158396010.00571740233.60956220.004140.0138422220.0157462020.0223997571.42254980.00676
6.12.671352E-53.0376103E-50.001300337542.807910.001271.1448149E-41.3017791E-40.002309894217.7441330.002180.0013929210.00158396010.00571740233.60956220.004140.0138422220.0157462020.0223997571.42254980.00676
6.21.4197047E-51.6096254E-56.460861E-440.1389126.3E-46.0843064E-56.898268E-50.001138908916.510070.001077.4051257E-48.3963916E-40.00297784223.54657390.002140.0073804980.0083743640.0119442171.42628340.0036
6.31.4197047E-51.6096254E-56.460861E-440.1389126.3E-46.0843064E-56.898268E-50.001138908916.510070.001077.4051257E-48.3963916E-40.00297784223.54657390.002140.0073804980.0083743640.0119442171.42628340.0036
6.41.3238931E-51.500847E-56.049996E-440.3105475.9E-45.6737044E-56.432098E-50.001064256616.5460280.0016.9055456E-47.8292453E-40.002741393.50147410.001960.0068841260.0078112890.0110855111.41916550.0033
6.51.3238931E-51.500847E-56.049996E-440.3105475.9E-45.6737044E-56.432098E-50.001064256616.5460280.0016.9055456E-47.8292453E-40.002741393.50147410.001960.0068841260.0078112890.0110855111.41916550.0033
6.61.1328278E-51.2855176E-55.028489E-439.1164554.9E-44.8548856E-55.5092984E-58.950467E-416.246118.4E-45.90922E-46.706464E-40.002319543.4586630.001650.00589353130.00669561370.0094272011.40796660.00275
6.78.651175E-69.824575E-63.7982094E-438.6602943.7E-43.707594E-54.2105148E-56.820782E-416.1994026.4E-44.5130608E-45.126002E-40.00177195423.45679620.001260.00450390620.00512305650.0072122981.40781150.0021
6.81.0215377E-61.1754802E-62.1175456E-518.0143032.0E-54.378012E-65.037763E-62.5037662E-54.9699962.0E-55.3300988E-56.133315E-51.21329474E-41.97820386.0E-55.3288206E-46.131735E-47.131122E-41.16298591.0E-4
6.97.9360774E-79.283496E-72.0928332E-522.5435892.0E-53.4011714E-63.9786355E-62.3978555E-56.02682922.0E-54.1408475E-54.843888E-58.8436944E-51.8257434.0E-54.140076E-44.842902E-45.542563E-41.14447147.0E-5
7.07.4382757E-78.747428E-71.08747345E-512.4319221.0E-53.1878285E-63.7488926E-61.3748855E-53.66744421.0E-53.8811122E-54.564188E-57.564051E-51.6572613.0E-53.8804344E-44.563317E-45.0630886E-41.10951945.0E-5
7.16.4709513E-77.711399E-71.0771132E-513.9678051.0E-52.773262E-63.3048816E-61.3304849E-54.0258171.0E-53.376394E-54.023625E-57.0235044E-51.74556643.0E-53.375881E-44.022956E-44.522755E-41.12423675.0E-5
7.26.356704E-77.588459E-71.07588385E-514.17789651.0E-52.7242988E-63.252193E-61.325216E-54.0748381.0E-53.3167835E-53.959479E-56.95936E-51.75764553.0E-53.3162883E-43.9588328E-44.458635E-41.12624985.0E-5
7.35.7695723E-76.896648E-71.0689658E-515.4997871.0E-52.4726714E-62.9557032E-61.2955674E-54.383281.0E-53.0104358E-53.598515E-56.598407E-51.83364733.0E-53.0100282E-43.5979896E-43.9978456E-41.11113324.0E-5
7.45.209647E-76.193583E-71.0619352E-517.1457331.0E-52.232704E-62.6543903E-61.2654364E-54.76733351.0E-52.718283E-53.2316777E-56.231581E-51.92828043.0E-52.7179506E-43.2312635E-43.6311342E-41.12375064.0E-5
7.54.512955E-75.3489487E-71.053489E-519.6952511.0E-51.934122E-62.2924048E-61.2292382E-55.36222121.0E-52.3547682E-52.7909726E-55.790889E-52.07486413.0E-52.3545188E-42.7906752E-43.1905636E-41.14329454.0E-5
7.62.21172E-72.6040198E-72.6040198E-71.00.09.478797E-71.1160082E-61.1160082E-61.00.01.1540374E-51.3587343E-52.3587207E-51.73596911.0E-51.1539775E-41.3586794E-41.4586658E-41.07359091.0E-5

Gravel Hills-Harper Lk

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0679566E-53.1464628E-50.00218139769.328550.002151.3147724E-41.3484266E-40.00322442623.9125080.003090.00159955990.001640690.00656260133.99990340.004930.0158809520.0163073370.0232423711.42527070.00705
6.13.0679566E-53.1464628E-50.00218139769.328550.002151.3147724E-41.3484266E-40.00322442623.9125080.003090.00159955990.001640690.00656260133.99990340.004930.0158809520.0163073370.0232423711.42527070.00705
6.21.514536E-51.36352E-56.5362646E-447.93676.4E-46.490707E-55.843533E-59.6838217E-416.5718619.1E-47.8995706E-47.112298E-40.00223014883.13562320.001520.0078715480.0070907370.0091559891.29126050.00208
6.31.514536E-51.36352E-56.5362646E-447.93676.4E-46.490707E-55.843533E-59.6838217E-416.5718619.1E-47.8995706E-47.112298E-40.00223014883.13562320.001520.0078715480.0070907370.0091559891.29126050.00208
6.41.2532521E-51.0689684E-54.206853E-439.3543244.1E-45.37097E-54.581216E-56.257856E-413.6598145.8E-46.537194E-45.5762613E-40.00156706292.81023930.001010.00651799650.0055628590.00694512671.24848150.00139
6.51.1094058E-59.083657E-63.0908093E-434.0260473.0E-44.7545094E-53.89294E-54.7891226E-412.3020734.4E-45.787078E-44.7386638E-40.00120352052.53978877.3E-40.00577203040.0047289670.0057142851.2083589.9E-4
6.69.688328E-67.531688E-61.7753041E-423.571131.7E-44.1520743E-53.227828E-52.922699E-49.0546922.6E-45.053978E-43.9291973E-48.6273503E-42.1957034.7E-40.00504249940.00392250670.00459983941.17267856.8E-4
6.78.974824E-66.749406E-69.67488E-514.3344169.0E-53.8462964E-52.8925719E-51.8892108E-46.531251.6E-44.6818596E-43.5211592E-47.0199266E-41.99364093.5E-40.0046720080.0035158010.0040240081.14454945.1E-4
6.87.4780046E-65.1161865E-67.511583E-514.6819967.0E-53.20482E-52.1926337E-51.1192436E-45.10456289.0E-53.9011694E-42.6692182E-44.2687912E-41.59926641.6E-40.00389432810.00266615050.00289553731.08603672.3E-4
6.96.3409307E-63.907489E-63.390737E-58.6775353.0E-52.7175134E-51.674628E-55.6745608E-53.38855034.0E-53.3080703E-42.0386786E-43.0384748E-41.49041381.0E-40.00330315020.00203690650.00216664191.06369221.3E-4
7.05.1239335E-62.6058492E-61.2605823E-54.83751061.0E-52.195953E-51.1167879E-53.1167656E-52.79083042.0E-52.6732447E-41.359607E-41.9595254E-41.4412446.0E-50.00267003130.00135880050.00144867811.0661459.0E-5
7.14.438899E-62.0984692E-61.2098449E-55.76536851.0E-51.9023713E-58.99341E-62.899323E-53.22383052.0E-52.315891E-41.0948948E-41.6948291E-41.54793796.0E-50.0023134790.00109437740.00118427891.08214869.0E-5
7.23.50367E-61.2615715E-61.1261559E-58.9266121.0E-51.5015643E-55.406724E-62.5406616E-54.69907762.0E-51.8280011E-46.5824956E-51.0582233E-41.60763234.0E-50.00182649826.580628E-47.1802334E-41.09111676.0E-5
7.32.561638E-67.118686E-77.118686E-71.00.01.0978401E-53.050862E-61.30508315E-54.27775241.0E-51.3365384E-43.7143633E-56.7142515E-51.80764543.0E-50.00133573493.7137623E-44.0136508E-41.08075063.0E-5
7.42.0368864E-65.304471E-75.304471E-71.00.08.729483E-62.2733427E-61.227332E-55.3987991.0E-51.06276275E-42.76776E-53.7677324E-51.3612931.0E-50.00106225472.767421E-42.8673932E-41.03612471.0E-5
7.51.1681728E-63.6028484E-73.6028484E-71.00.05.0064455E-61.544077E-61.1544062E-57.4763511.0E-56.0951766E-51.879898E-52.8798791E-51.53193381.0E-56.093505E-41.8797436E-41.9797249E-41.05318881.0E-5
7.61.3154387E-77.1196716E-87.1196716E-81.00.05.6375933E-73.0512876E-73.0512876E-71.00.06.863748E-63.714938E-63.714938E-61.00.06.863536E-53.7148915E-53.7148915E-51.00.0

So Sierra Nevada

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.15488665E-51.1079612E-50.0014110641127.356820.00144.9494203E-54.7483256E-50.002107385544.3816530.002066.024253E-45.779681E-40.00389604926.7409420.003320.0060079480.0057659180.0105780111.83457530.00484
6.11.15488665E-51.1079612E-50.0014110641127.356820.00144.9494203E-54.7483256E-50.002107385544.3816530.002066.024253E-45.779681E-40.00389604926.7409420.003320.0060079480.0057659180.0105780111.83457530.00484
6.21.15488665E-51.1079612E-50.0014110641127.356820.00144.9494203E-54.7483256E-50.002107385544.3816530.002066.024253E-45.779681E-40.00389604926.7409420.003320.0060079480.0057659180.0105780111.83457530.00484
6.31.15488665E-51.1079612E-50.0014110641127.356820.00144.9494203E-54.7483256E-50.002107385544.3816530.002066.024253E-45.779681E-40.00389604926.7409420.003320.0060079480.0057659180.0105780111.83457530.00484
6.41.15488665E-51.1079612E-50.0014110641127.356820.00144.9494203E-54.7483256E-50.002107385544.3816530.002066.024253E-45.779681E-40.00389604926.7409420.003320.0060079480.0057659180.0105780111.83457530.00484
6.51.15488665E-51.1079612E-50.0014110641127.356820.00144.9494203E-54.7483256E-50.002107385544.3816530.002066.024253E-45.779681E-40.00389604926.7409420.003320.0060079480.0057659180.0105780111.83457530.00484
6.67.587044E-66.9356042E-68.6692965E-4124.996998.6E-43.2515498E-52.9723697E-50.001259687142.3798940.001233.9580427E-43.6182883E-40.0022211566.13869240.001860.0039510.00361268870.0061833681.71156950.00258
6.77.587044E-66.9356042E-68.6692965E-4124.996998.6E-43.2515498E-52.9723697E-50.001259687142.3798940.001233.9580427E-43.6182883E-40.0022211566.13869240.001860.0039510.00361268870.0061833681.71156950.00258
6.85.9026956E-65.179362E-66.4517604E-4124.56676.4E-42.5297022E-52.2197082E-59.121773E-441.0944678.9E-43.0794772E-42.7021713E-40.00158986045.88364030.001320.00307521320.0026990020.0045340361.67989350.00184
6.95.0118915E-64.2523943E-65.842499E-4137.393165.8E-42.1479358E-51.8224424E-57.982102E-443.7989237.8E-42.614798E-42.2186051E-40.00135160986.09216070.001130.00261172350.00221646270.00375304931.69326080.00154
7.04.4924795E-63.7138868E-64.937121E-4132.936754.9E-41.925334E-51.5916565E-56.759061E-442.4655766.6E-42.3438422E-41.9376757E-40.00116357966.0050289.7E-40.00234137170.00193604910.00323353221.67017050.0013
7.13.9118436E-63.1119469E-63.6311083E-4116.6828463.6E-41.6764936E-51.333685E-55.333299E-439.9891975.2E-42.0409399E-41.6236462E-49.5223635E-45.8648027.9E-40.00203906630.00162251610.00268079621.65224640.00106
7.23.4200818E-62.6054236E-62.7260472E-4104.629712.7E-41.4657411E-51.11660565E-53.8116192E-434.135773.7E-41.7843937E-41.3593875E-46.9586263E-45.11894235.6E-40.00178296150.00135860580.00211757331.5586377.6E-4
7.32.6593618E-61.8283897E-61.7182808E-493.977821.7E-41.13972155E-57.8359335E-62.1783428E-427.7994042.1E-41.3875226E-49.539862E-53.6537286E-43.82995992.7E-40.00138665659.536055E-40.00133324321.39810763.8E-4
7.42.2577992E-61.4364078E-61.3143622E-491.503421.3E-49.676246E-66.1560204E-61.4615516E-423.7418251.4E-41.1780193E-47.4947224E-52.7493224E-43.66834452.0E-40.0011773957.4924453E-40.00100904971.34675622.6E-4
7.51.489319E-67.353661E-78.0735306E-5109.7892768.0E-56.3827797E-63.1515651E-69.3151284E-529.557159.0E-57.770758E-53.8369635E-51.5836503E-44.1273531.2E-47.7680405E-43.8363054E-45.5356533E-41.44296471.7E-4
7.61.0680322E-64.65941E-77.046591E-5151.233547.0E-54.577273E-61.9968884E-68.199673E-541.062258.0E-55.5726876E-52.4311848E-51.3430917E-45.52443271.1E-45.5712904E-42.4309216E-43.8305813E-41.57577321.4E-4
7.75.509146E-71.5578539E-71.01557835E-565.1908651.0E-52.3610605E-66.676515E-72.0667638E-530.9557292.0E-52.8745531E-58.128628E-63.8128383E-54.690633.0E-52.8741814E-48.128342E-51.2128017E-41.49206534.0E-5

Coyote Canyon

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.5090034E-54.0364317E-58.7033084E-421.5618868.3E-41.503772E-41.7297991E-40.00150274998.6874240.001330.00182930470.00210425330.00473869822.25196170.002640.0181431940.0208692050.0251382141.20456030.00436
6.13.5090034E-54.0364317E-58.7033084E-421.5618868.3E-41.503772E-41.7297991E-40.00150274998.6874240.001330.00182930470.00210425330.00473869822.25196170.002640.0181431940.0208692050.0251382141.20456030.00436
6.21.841879E-52.1059794E-53.1105368E-414.7700262.9E-47.8935285E-59.025371E-56.5020315E-47.2041715.6E-49.606133E-40.00109838710.00241693712.20044230.001320.00956471450.0109396680.0132243971.20884810.00231
6.31.841879E-52.1059794E-53.1105368E-414.7700262.9E-47.8935285E-59.025371E-56.5020315E-47.2041715.6E-49.606133E-40.00109838710.00241693712.20044230.001320.00956471450.0109396680.0132243971.20884810.00231
6.41.712201E-51.9565212E-52.9955973E-415.3108352.8E-47.337798E-58.3848776E-56.238035E-47.43962535.4E-48.930107E-40.00102048130.00226920562.22366210.001250.0088943070.0101678710.0123158071.21124730.00217
6.51.4744935E-51.6836972E-52.5683292E-415.2541052.4E-46.3191044E-57.215698E-55.5212236E-47.6516834.8E-47.6907943E-48.782507E-40.00197728472.25138970.00110.0076642320.0087569940.0106304441.21393750.00189
6.61.2017839E-51.3724089E-52.1372135E-415.5727162.0E-45.150401E-55.88167E-54.3879435E-47.46037053.8E-46.268809E-47.159466E-40.00161530232.2561779.0E-40.00625115450.00714509380.0086542331.21121340.00152
6.71.00956095E-51.1533517E-51.8153156E-415.739481.7E-44.326618E-54.942891E-53.894121E-47.87822533.4E-45.266384E-46.017178E-40.00140123642.3287278.0E-40.0052539210.00600941250.00734135971.22164360.00134

San Andreas (Mojave S)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.1064058E-46.7462435E-40.00241345053.57747320.001740.00133063760.0028881720.00506187561.75262270.002180.0160806050.0345655940.0376356771.0888190.003180.14965490.286545570.28950641.01033280.00415
6.13.1064058E-46.7462435E-40.00241345053.57747320.001740.00133063760.0028881720.00506187561.75262270.002180.0160806050.0345655940.0376356771.0888190.003180.14965490.286545570.28950641.01033280.00415
6.23.1064058E-46.7462435E-40.00241345053.57747320.001740.00133063760.0028881720.00506187561.75262270.002180.0160806050.0345655940.0376356771.0888190.003180.14965490.286545570.28950641.01033280.00415
6.33.1064058E-46.7462435E-40.00241345053.57747320.001740.00133063760.0028881720.00506187561.75262270.002180.0160806050.0345655940.0376356771.0888190.003180.14965490.286545570.28950641.01033280.00415
6.41.9872203E-44.3181062E-40.00201112854.65743160.001588.5138786E-40.00184933260.0038057082.05788180.001960.0103164780.022289310.025095341.12589130.002870.0985048560.196868390.199823921.01501270.00368
6.51.291105E-42.8754136E-40.00178711016.2151410.00155.5321335E-40.00123174090.00307946232.50008920.001850.0067145920.0148941550.0175046851.17527210.002650.0651529650.138007920.140904221.02098640.00336
6.61.291105E-42.8754136E-40.00178711016.2151410.00155.5321335E-40.00123174090.00307946232.50008920.001850.0067145920.0148941550.0175046851.17527210.002650.0651529650.138007920.140904221.02098640.00336
6.71.08001186E-42.4335351E-40.00171299587.0391250.001474.6278012E-40.00104252740.00284065072.72477340.00180.00561980160.01261920.0151468941.20030550.002560.0547979060.119184310.1220205351.0237970.00322
6.81.0624356E-42.3853009E-40.00170817957.16127440.001474.5525006E-40.00102187180.00282003242.75967340.00180.00552859250.0123705930.01488904751.20358410.002550.0539305660.117133080.119967081.02419470.00321
6.91.0393785E-42.3223337E-40.00168189667.2422690.001454.4537184E-49.949068E-40.00276314582.77729130.001770.00540892870.0120459630.0145356081.20667870.002520.052791560.1144334450.117249551.02460910.00318
7.01.0155622E-42.2592908E-40.00167560157.41649340.001454.3516833E-49.6790853E-40.00273619552.82691530.001770.0052853110.0117208380.01420141851.21163850.002510.051613610.111697450.1145133751.02521030.00317
7.19.885595E-52.188132E-40.00166849597.62520650.001454.2359953E-49.374342E-40.0027057752.88636260.001770.00514513530.0113537330.0138253491.21769190.00250.050276290.108576070.111392971.0259440.00316
7.29.6411415E-52.1244297E-40.00166213497.8239110.001454.1312634E-49.101525E-40.00267854152.9429590.001770.0050182190.0110249870.0134875351.22336070.002490.0490640070.10576970.108577591.02654720.00314
7.39.1180635E-51.9472656E-40.00162444818.3422010.001433.907156E-48.342756E-40.00258281573.09587810.001750.0047465910.0101101120.0125452411.24086070.002460.0464647860.097961760.100749061.02845290.00309
7.48.887388E-51.872126E-40.00161694498.6369450.001433.8083247E-48.020931E-40.00255068953.18004160.001750.00462678170.0097218550.0121480371.24955950.002450.0453162860.0945938450.097382491.02948020.00308
7.58.6750515E-51.80528E-40.00161026998.9197790.001433.7173493E-47.734621E-40.00252210863.26080440.001750.0045164840.0093763270.0118033541.25884640.002450.044257870.091556060.094354061.03056060.00308
7.68.453092E-51.7440386E-40.00160415459.1979290.001433.6222505E-47.4723107E-40.00249592333.34022970.001750.00440117530.0090596640.0114874681.26797950.002450.043150240.088714470.091512121.03153540.00307
7.78.259102E-51.6962511E-40.00158938439.3699830.001423.539135E-47.267622E-40.00246549773.39244060.001740.0043003860.00881250.0112309981.27443950.002440.0421811340.0864654260.089260851.03232990.00306
7.87.444844E-51.528469E-40.00133266658.7189640.001183.1902574E-46.5489375E-40.00211393763.22790930.001460.00387722230.0079442310.0099481841.25225260.002020.038102690.0782938750.080625791.02978420.00253
7.95.2586525E-51.0007023E-48.000002E-47.9943877.0E-42.2535135E-44.2880196E-40.00130842463.05134948.8E-40.00274020060.0052081780.0064019281.22920690.00120.0270665740.0522015880.0536327661.02741630.00151
8.03.379877E-55.4075565E-52.4406529E-44.5134121.9E-41.4484383E-42.3173184E-45.216646E-42.25115662.9E-40.00176204710.00281768660.0032564471.15571644.4E-40.0174814090.0288359170.0293409211.0175135.2E-4
8.11.8668277E-51.9308145E-52.9307952E-51.51790621.0E-58.000444E-58.274657E-51.3274243E-41.60420475.0E-59.736188E-40.00100697450.00110687391.09920741.0E-40.0096936420.0107986240.0108975431.00916041.0E-4
8.28.541571E-65.4596358E-65.4596358E-61.00.03.660622E-52.339823E-52.339823E-51.00.04.455896E-42.848363E-43.1482775E-41.10529363.0E-50.00444697170.0032402830.0032701861.00922853.0E-5
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

Death Valley (So)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.0684236E-52.5618314E-58.355976E-432.6171958.1E-48.864371E-51.0978825E-40.001419644512.930750.001310.00107870290.00133586920.00389244942.91379520.002560.0107348170.0132799850.0175031461.31800950.00428
6.12.0684236E-52.5618314E-58.355976E-432.6171958.1E-48.864371E-51.0978825E-40.001419644512.930750.001310.00107870290.00133586920.00389244942.91379520.002560.0107348170.0132799850.0175031461.31800950.00428
6.22.0684236E-52.5618314E-58.355976E-432.6171958.1E-48.864371E-51.0978825E-40.001419644512.930750.001310.00107870290.00133586920.00389244942.91379520.002560.0107348170.0132799850.0175031461.31800950.00428
6.32.0240292E-52.51184E-58.050988E-432.0521557.8E-48.6741224E-51.0764593E-40.001347512512.5180060.001240.00105556260.0013098180.00371666142.83754010.002410.0105056280.0130225430.0170592811.30998080.00409
6.42.0240292E-52.51184E-58.050988E-432.0521557.8E-48.6741224E-51.0764593E-40.001347512512.5180060.001240.00105556260.0013098180.00371666142.83754010.002410.0105056280.0130225430.0170592811.30998080.00409
6.51.9962767E-52.4807652E-57.9478853E-432.038047.7E-48.55519E-51.0631427E-40.001326184612.4741920.001220.00104109680.00129362440.00366055852.8296920.002370.0103623270.012862490.0168307811.30851670.00402
6.61.8937297E-52.3311462E-57.3329493E-431.456417.1E-48.115732E-59.990252E-50.001189793611.9095450.001099.876423E-40.00121564910.00331309622.7253720.00210.0098326450.01209150350.0156578531.29494680.00361
6.71.8621096E-52.2912098E-57.328958E-431.9872887.1E-47.980225E-59.8191085E-50.001168086111.89604950.001079.711593E-40.00119483540.00322240992.69694880.002030.0096692610.0118856250.0153440261.29097330.0035
6.81.7830353E-52.1806083E-56.4179255E-429.4318126.2E-47.641356E-59.3451374E-50.001053361711.2717629.6E-49.29938E-40.00113719070.00304501852.67766760.001910.0092605610.011316090.0145787471.28832020.0033
6.91.3135183E-51.5304031E-54.0529805E-426.4830933.9E-45.6292425E-56.558709E-56.7554705E-410.3000016.1E-46.8514474E-47.982367E-40.0020372472.55218390.001240.0068303620.0079551580.0100682141.26562080.00213
7.01.1507512E-51.3154237E-52.6315096E-420.0050322.5E-44.9316975E-55.637412E-54.4635215E-47.91767843.9E-46.002687E-46.861445E-40.00153556132.2379568.5E-40.00598649870.00684149240.0083709561.22355710.00154
7.19.715903E-61.0865287E-51.4086388E-412.964581.3E-44.1638916E-54.6564706E-52.1655679E-44.6506641.7E-45.068359E-45.667821E-49.465667E-41.67007173.8E-40.00505681480.0056538340.00637970631.12838597.3E-4
7.29.233269E-61.0286314E-51.10285284E-410.7215561.0E-43.9570554E-54.408348E-51.6407818E-43.72198821.2E-44.81665E-45.365884E-48.2643284E-41.54016152.9E-40.00480622330.00535335950.0059203081.10590525.7E-4
7.38.8041315E-69.808164E-66.9807575E-57.1172936.0E-53.7731446E-54.2034335E-51.2203097E-42.9031268.0E-54.592835E-45.1165203E-47.215446E-41.41022522.1E-40.00458335460.0051051670.0055130741.07990074.1E-4
7.48.708749E-69.707175E-65.970669E-56.15077925.0E-53.7322676E-54.160154E-51.1159862E-42.682567.0E-54.5430884E-45.0638523E-46.96289E-41.37501851.9E-40.0045338120.00505273980.005420871.07285763.7E-4
7.58.612678E-69.604817E-65.9604336E-56.20567135.0E-53.6910955E-54.1162875E-51.1115999E-42.70049147.0E-54.492982E-45.01047E-46.809568E-41.35906781.8E-40.0044839090.00499959850.00533789861.06766553.4E-4
7.68.319024E-69.283916E-64.9283546E-55.30848654.0E-53.5652476E-53.978763E-59.978524E-52.50794656.0E-54.3398244E-44.8431093E-46.442334E-41.33020631.6E-40.00433135870.00483297840.00513152821.06177353.0E-4
7.77.4718328E-68.34517E-63.834492E-54.5948643.0E-53.2021748E-53.5764548E-57.576311E-52.1183864.0E-53.8979502E-44.353504E-45.552982E-41.27552011.2E-40.003891120.00434538070.00457438131.05269982.3E-4
7.83.4586725E-73.6482615E-73.6482615E-71.00.01.4822873E-61.5635396E-61.5635396E-61.00.01.80467E-51.9035933E-53.9035553E-52.05062462.0E-51.8045233E-41.9034347E-42.2033777E-41.15757983.0E-5
7.92.5591178E-92.6696718E-92.6696718E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.14414505E-81.14414505E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3929966E-71.3929966E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3929966E-61.3929966E-61.00.0

Nelson Lake

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.913453E-61.0192255E-55.601866E-454.961995.5E-44.2485535E-54.3680422E-59.836394E-422.5199.4E-45.1713863E-45.316897E-40.00263057324.9475720.00210.00515936830.0053052040.0090552041.7068530.00377
6.19.913453E-61.0192255E-55.601866E-454.961995.5E-44.2485535E-54.3680422E-59.836394E-422.5199.4E-45.1713863E-45.316897E-40.00263057324.9475720.00210.00515936830.0053052040.0090552041.7068530.00377
6.24.5596407E-64.696313E-62.2469528E-447.845042.2E-41.954117E-52.0126909E-54.1011907E-420.3766563.9E-42.3788778E-42.4501883E-40.00121478124.95790969.7E-40.00237633290.00244761280.0042033051.71730790.00176
6.34.5596407E-64.696313E-62.2469528E-447.845042.2E-41.954117E-52.0126909E-54.1011907E-420.3766563.9E-42.3788778E-42.4501883E-40.00121478124.95790969.7E-40.00237633290.00244761280.0042033051.71730790.00176
6.43.4025713E-63.5098972E-61.6350934E-446.585221.6E-41.4582367E-51.5042335E-53.1503782E-420.9434133.0E-41.7752586E-41.8312587E-49.02994E-44.93100177.2E-40.0017738410.00182983270.00311747221.70369260.00129
6.52.8352947E-62.927856E-61.4292744E-448.8164181.4E-41.2151207E-51.2547898E-52.6254475E-420.9234052.5E-41.479309E-41.5276071E-47.9266296E-45.1889196.4E-40.00147832460.00152663080.00261496681.71290050.00109
6.62.251518E-62.3290677E-61.2232878E-452.5226441.2E-49.649328E-69.981683E-62.1997959E-422.0383242.1E-41.1747423E-41.2152085E-46.614552E-45.4431425.4E-40.00117412140.00121460580.00209353681.7236358.8E-4
6.71.8911853E-61.9591396E-69.1958966E-546.9384429.0E-58.105055E-68.39629E-61.5839504E-418.8648851.5E-49.867457E-51.0222061E-45.421756E-45.30397564.4E-49.863076E-40.00102179350.00174105771.70392357.2E-4
6.81.4874814E-61.5438305E-69.154369E-559.2964679.0E-56.374905E-66.6164025E-61.3661555E-420.648011.3E-47.76117E-58.055224E-54.6052164E-45.71705533.8E-47.75846E-48.0528157E-40.00141479031.7568896.1E-4
6.96.835972E-77.1399285E-77.071394E-599.040137.0E-52.9296991E-63.0599674E-68.305972E-527.143998.0E-53.56685E-53.7254784E-52.4724696E-46.63664962.1E-43.5662777E-43.7251666E-47.323825E-41.96603983.6E-4

San Andreas (Mojave N)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.877682E-51.9402112E-40.002123646710.9454410.001934.2326056E-48.312543E-40.00322925933.88480330.00240.00514102770.0100736840.01332064251.32232080.003280.050237080.098322450.101965231.03704930.00404
6.19.877682E-51.9402112E-40.002123646710.9454410.001934.2326056E-48.312543E-40.00322925933.88480330.00240.00514102770.0100736840.01332064251.32232080.003280.050237080.098322450.101965231.03704930.00404
6.29.877682E-51.9402112E-40.002123646710.9454410.001934.2326056E-48.312543E-40.00322925933.88480330.00240.00514102770.0100736840.01332064251.32232080.003280.050237080.098322450.101965231.03704930.00404
6.39.877682E-51.9402112E-40.002123646710.9454410.001934.2326056E-48.312543E-40.00322925933.88480330.00240.00514102770.0100736840.01332064251.32232080.003280.050237080.098322450.101965231.03704930.00404
6.49.877682E-51.9402112E-40.002123646710.9454410.001934.2326056E-48.312543E-40.00322925933.88480330.00240.00514102770.0100736840.01332064251.32232080.003280.050237080.098322450.101965231.03704930.00404
6.59.861474E-51.937588E-40.002123384710.9589080.001934.2256617E-48.3013077E-40.00322813843.88871070.00240.00513261320.01006013250.0133071351.32275950.003280.0501567460.098200350.101843621.03710040.00404
6.69.861474E-51.937588E-40.002123384710.9589080.001934.2256617E-48.3013077E-40.00322813843.88871070.00240.00513261320.01006013250.0133071351.32275950.003280.0501567460.098200350.101843621.03710040.00404
6.79.8552715E-51.9365833E-40.002123284610.9640760.001934.223004E-48.2970044E-40.0032277093.89021020.00240.00512939270.0100549410.0133019611.32292770.003280.0501259980.098153560.101797021.037120.00404
6.89.8464974E-51.9350994E-40.002123136510.9717180.001934.219245E-48.290649E-40.0032270753.89242770.00240.00512483760.0100472760.013294321.32317660.003280.050082510.098083780.101727521.03714930.00404
6.99.825824E-51.9319002E-40.00212281710.98823450.001934.2103877E-48.276947E-40.00322570813.897220.00240.00511410460.0100307460.0132778451.32371460.003280.0499800220.0979329650.101577311.03721270.00404
7.09.781462E-51.9250368E-40.00212213211.0238520.001934.1913814E-48.247551E-40.00322277563.90755490.00240.0050910730.0099952850.0132425011.32487480.003280.049760070.097609120.101254781.03734960.00404
7.19.7121134E-51.9152075E-40.002121151211.0753070.001934.1616702E-48.205452E-40.00321857583.92248460.00240.0050550680.00994449950.0131918821.32655060.003280.049416130.097145710.100793241.0375470.00404
7.29.663819E-51.9082859E-40.002120460411.1118580.001934.1409794E-48.175807E-40.00321561843.93309020.00240.00502999360.0099087350.0131562341.3277410.003280.0491765370.096818830.100467681.03768740.00404
7.39.6277574E-51.9035369E-40.002119986311.1370910.001934.125529E-48.1554666E-40.00321358933.94041160.00240.00501126940.0098841950.0131317761.32856290.003280.048997590.096592280.100242041.03778530.00404
7.49.593308E-51.8975153E-40.002119385411.1692660.001934.1107697E-48.129676E-40.00321101653.9497470.00240.00499338240.0098530810.0131007621.32961080.003280.048826610.096309860.099960771.0379080.00404
7.59.561707E-51.8921228E-40.00211884711.1982540.001934.0972308E-48.106579E-40.00320871243.95815830.00240.00497697430.0098252150.0130729881.3305550.003280.0486697440.0960562450.099708181.03801870.00404
7.69.418194E-51.8573487E-40.002115376311.3892260.001934.0357444E-47.95764E-40.0031838624.00101330.002390.0049024540.0096454990.0128740551.33472140.003260.0479570250.0944374650.098068771.03845190.00401
7.78.202141E-51.6022482E-40.001889947711.7955980.001733.51473E-46.8649714E-40.00283502114.1296910.002150.004270790.0083261280.0112416491.35016520.002940.041896390.0822379140.085578571.04062190.00364
7.87.2859846E-51.4517571E-40.00132500449.1269020.001183.1221908E-46.2203326E-40.0020811253.34568120.001460.0037946430.00754699860.0095517541.26563610.002020.0373049750.074727660.077059351.03120240.00252
7.95.3874453E-51.00462625E-48.003923E-47.96706537.0E-42.3087008E-44.3048308E-40.00131010433.0433358.8E-40.00280722020.00522854740.00642227331.22830930.00120.027720220.0524258840.053856721.02729260.00151
8.03.468538E-55.4261534E-52.4425122E-44.50136951.9E-41.4864317E-42.3252872E-45.224613E-42.24686772.9E-40.00180822830.00282736360.00326611961.1551824.4E-40.0179358530.0289484620.0294534081.0174435.2E-4
8.11.9152367E-51.9401303E-52.9401108E-51.51541941.0E-58.207899E-58.3145795E-51.3314163E-41.60130335.0E-59.988535E-40.00101183050.00111172941.09873081.0E-40.0099437570.010855950.0109548651.00911151.0E-4
8.28.643924E-65.473668E-65.473668E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3458366E-52.3458366E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.8556827E-43.155597E-41.10502373.0E-50.00450013950.00324817930.0032780821.00920593.0E-5
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

Towne Pass

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.849728E-63.894542E-69.0389105E-4232.091759.0E-41.649873E-51.6690812E-50.001406667684.277960.001392.0085352E-42.0319606E-40.00270268813.3008880.00250.00200672080.00203053190.00566314072.78899380.00364
6.13.849728E-63.894542E-69.0389105E-4232.091759.0E-41.649873E-51.6690812E-50.001406667684.277960.001392.0085352E-42.0319606E-40.00270268813.3008880.00250.00200672080.00203053190.00566314072.78899380.00364
6.23.849728E-63.894542E-69.0389105E-4232.091759.0E-41.649873E-51.6690812E-50.001406667684.277960.001392.0085352E-42.0319606E-40.00270268813.3008880.00250.00200672080.00203053190.00566314072.78899380.00364
6.33.849728E-63.894542E-69.0389105E-4232.091759.0E-41.649873E-51.6690812E-50.001406667684.277960.001392.0085352E-42.0319606E-40.00270268813.3008880.00250.00200672080.00203053190.00566314072.78899380.00364
6.43.849728E-63.894542E-69.0389105E-4232.091759.0E-41.649873E-51.6690812E-50.001406667684.277960.001392.0085352E-42.0319606E-40.00270268813.3008880.00250.00200672080.00203053190.00566314072.78899380.00364
6.51.1953545E-61.2030526E-61.2120291E-4100.746141.2E-45.1229376E-65.15593E-62.051549E-439.7900852.0E-46.236998E-56.277176E-54.3274852E-46.8943.7E-46.235248E-46.2755204E-40.00117720691.87587145.5E-4
6.61.1953545E-61.2030526E-61.2120291E-4100.746141.2E-45.1229376E-65.15593E-62.051549E-439.7900852.0E-46.236998E-56.277176E-54.3274852E-46.8943.7E-46.235248E-46.2755204E-40.00117720691.87587145.5E-4
6.78.375951E-78.410676E-78.0841E-596.117138.0E-53.5896885E-63.6045708E-61.4360406E-439.8394361.4E-44.370358E-54.3884826E-52.9387386E-46.69648032.5E-44.3694986E-44.3876728E-47.686225E-41.7517773.3E-4
6.86.38041E-76.3921624E-77.063917E-5110.509047.0E-52.7344586E-62.7394954E-61.2273916E-444.8035661.2E-43.3291526E-53.3352884E-52.2334655E-46.6964691.9E-43.3286537E-43.334826E-45.8339926E-41.74941432.5E-4
6.95.3460053E-75.345339E-75.053451E-594.539395.0E-52.2911431E-62.2908578E-68.229067E-535.9213378.0E-52.789431E-52.7890868E-51.3788781E-44.9438331.1E-42.789081E-42.78877E-44.2883516E-41.53772151.5E-4
7.03.557783E-73.5324283E-73.0353232E-585.927383.0E-51.5247632E-61.513897E-66.1513805E-540.6327556.0E-51.8563835E-51.8431549E-58.843026E-54.79776577.0E-51.8562283E-41.8430105E-42.7428445E-41.48824149.0E-5
7.13.037942E-73.0002275E-73.0300014E-5100.9923863.0E-51.3019744E-61.2858112E-66.128573E-547.663096.0E-51.5851423E-51.5654647E-58.565355E-55.47144567.0E-51.5850292E-41.5653619E-42.465221E-41.57485699.0E-5
7.22.0808248E-72.0217735E-72.0202173E-599.9230352.0E-58.917818E-78.6647407E-75.086643E-558.7050825.0E-51.0857389E-51.0549275E-57.0548645E-56.68753436.0E-51.0856859E-41.0548821E-41.7548082E-41.66351137.0E-5
7.31.1162073E-71.0636902E-72.0106367E-5189.024642.0E-54.7837443E-74.5586717E-75.0455845E-5110.681025.0E-55.8241935E-65.5501705E-66.554984E-511.8104186.0E-55.8240406E-55.550052E-51.2549663E-42.26117947.0E-5

Lenwood-Lockhart-Old Woman Springs

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.744542E-54.396349E-50.001023920423.2902459.8E-41.604705E-41.8840231E-40.00151815178.0580310.001330.00195197760.00229155710.0044765391.9534920.002190.0193492060.0226972810.0259907921.1451060.00337
6.13.744542E-54.396349E-50.001023920423.2902459.8E-41.604705E-41.8840231E-40.00151815178.0580310.001330.00195197760.00229155710.0044765391.9534920.002190.0193492060.0226972810.0259907921.1451060.00337
6.23.744542E-54.396349E-50.001023920423.2902459.8E-41.604705E-41.8840231E-40.00151815178.0580310.001330.00195197760.00229155710.0044765391.9534920.002190.0193492060.0226972810.0259907921.1451060.00337
6.32.1079984E-52.5354384E-55.753404E-422.6919525.5E-49.0339665E-51.0865723E-47.6858554E-47.0734876.6E-40.00109933040.00132211890.00233078351.76291530.001010.0109390790.0131447470.0146447671.11411560.00152
6.42.1079984E-52.5354384E-55.753404E-422.6919525.5E-49.0339665E-51.0865723E-47.6858554E-47.0734876.6E-40.00109933040.00132211890.00233078351.76291530.001010.0109390790.0131447470.0146447671.11411560.00152
6.51.7397282E-52.0663285E-53.6065627E-417.4539663.4E-47.455765E-58.8554E-54.7851945E-45.40370273.9E-49.073613E-40.00107762350.00169695531.57472016.2E-40.0090366540.0107252730.011724441.09316020.00101
6.61.52050325E-51.7680086E-52.876753E-416.2711492.7E-46.51628E-57.576964E-53.957454E-45.22300773.2E-47.9306826E-49.221128E-40.00143164261.55256775.1E-40.0079024390.0091837290.0100556471.09494168.8E-4
6.71.332523E-51.5264379E-52.4526086E-416.067532.3E-45.7106878E-56.541716E-53.4539885E-45.27994252.8E-46.950544E-47.9616875E-40.00124581051.56475684.5E-40.0069288450.00793379450.00866792351.09253197.4E-4
6.81.1525329E-51.3031365E-51.8302914E-414.0452791.7E-44.9393333E-55.5847537E-52.658358E-44.76002742.1E-46.011979E-46.7973585E-40.00103949121.52925753.6E-40.005995740.00677701920.0073729531.08793456.0E-4
6.91.0253909E-51.1514835E-51.5151322E-413.158091.4E-44.3944583E-54.934838E-52.1933999E-44.44472551.7E-45.3489394E-46.006545E-48.904803E-41.48251662.9E-40.00533608250.00599068960.0064678141.07964434.8E-4
7.08.104563E-68.99143E-69.899062E-511.009449.0E-53.4733377E-53.853415E-51.4852991E-43.8545011.1E-44.2279682E-44.6905465E-46.5896555E-41.404881.9E-40.00421993340.00468089430.00497949031.06379033.0E-4
7.16.7986157E-67.5159796E-68.751538E-511.64390858.0E-52.91366E-53.2210955E-51.3220773E-44.10443351.0E-43.5468035E-43.9209996E-45.4204115E-41.38240551.5E-40.0035411480.0039142980.00414339731.05852892.3E-4
7.25.6893327E-66.280132E-67.627969E-512.1461937.0E-52.4382627E-52.6914584E-51.06912434E-43.97228628.0E-52.9681803E-43.276378E-44.2760503E-41.30511511.0E-40.0029642190.0032717460.00343122261.04874361.6E-4
7.34.253348E-64.707075E-64.4706885E-59.4978074.0E-51.8228506E-52.017303E-57.017202E-53.47850665.0E-52.2190946E-42.455808E-42.9556852E-41.2035495.0E-50.002216880.00245327530.0025330791.03252958.0E-5
7.42.5448119E-62.8520594E-61.28520305E-54.50622841.0E-51.0906291E-51.2223064E-52.2222941E-51.81811551.0E-51.3277601E-41.4880729E-41.5880581E-41.0671911.0E-50.0013269670.00148723870.00151719411.02014163.0E-5
7.54.3706837E-84.562909E-84.562909E-81.00.01.8731501E-71.9555324E-71.9555324E-71.00.02.2805577E-62.3808586E-62.3808586E-61.00.02.2805343E-52.3808387E-52.3808387E-51.00.0

Paradise

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.4851273E-51.6694768E-54.966867E-429.7510414.8E-46.364676E-57.154718E-58.5149135E-411.9011177.8E-47.7462377E-48.707624E-40.00227953472.61786060.001410.00771929140.0086758840.010926191.25937470.00227
6.11.4851273E-51.6694768E-54.966867E-429.7510414.8E-46.364676E-57.154718E-58.5149135E-411.9011177.8E-47.7462377E-48.707624E-40.00227953472.61786060.001410.00771929140.0086758840.010926191.25937470.00227
6.21.4851273E-51.6694768E-54.966867E-429.7510414.8E-46.364676E-57.154718E-58.5149135E-411.9011177.8E-47.7462377E-48.707624E-40.00227953472.61786060.001410.00771929140.0086758840.010926191.25937470.00227
6.31.0426831E-51.1888697E-52.4188597E-420.3458752.3E-44.4685654E-55.09506E-53.709343E-47.28027343.2E-45.43912E-46.201529E-40.00128973742.07970866.7E-40.00542582660.00618483170.00722833771.16872010.00105
6.41.0426831E-51.1888697E-52.4188597E-420.3458752.3E-44.4685654E-55.09506E-53.709343E-47.28027343.2E-45.43912E-46.201529E-40.00128973742.07970866.7E-40.00542582660.00618483170.00722833771.16872010.00105
6.59.25027E-61.0620037E-52.206178E-420.7737312.1E-43.964341E-54.551368E-53.2550094E-47.15171672.8E-44.8255164E-45.5399304E-40.00113367172.04636455.8E-40.00481505130.00552661950.0063719221.15295118.5E-4
6.67.904275E-69.159602E-61.291585E-414.1008851.2E-43.3875025E-53.925487E-51.7924937E-44.56629661.4E-44.1235037E-44.7782718E-48.076695E-41.69029633.3E-40.00411586040.0047683950.0052759631.10644425.1E-4
6.77.2061953E-68.407326E-61.08406486E-412.8942881.0E-43.088333E-53.603092E-51.4602696E-44.05282351.1E-43.7593965E-44.3859181E-46.884822E-41.5697562.5E-40.0037530430.0043776310.0047858361.0932484.1E-4
6.86.6948724E-67.842242E-67.7841694E-59.9259497.0E-52.8691995E-53.3609194E-51.0360684E-43.08269337.0E-53.4926904E-44.091187E-45.9904094E-41.46422291.9E-40.0034872060.00408401250.0044226241.08291153.4E-4
6.96.0421025E-67.1306963E-66.713027E-59.4142666.0E-52.5894467E-53.0559786E-59.055795E-52.96330456.0E-53.1521954E-43.7200528E-45.219495E-41.40307011.5E-40.00314772780.00371416380.0039931241.07510712.8E-4
7.04.134091E-65.0803824E-64.5080178E-58.8733834.0E-51.7717413E-52.1772896E-56.177202E-52.83710674.0E-52.1568815E-42.650543E-43.450331E-41.30174498.0E-50.00215478920.00264753470.00279713751.05650651.5E-4
7.13.7674888E-64.631936E-64.463175E-59.6356584.0E-51.6146281E-51.9851012E-55.985022E-53.01497054.0E-51.9656324E-42.4166079E-43.2164145E-41.33096258.0E-50.00196389460.00241413060.00255379271.05785191.4E-4
7.23.4065345E-64.156782E-64.4156615E-510.6227884.0E-51.4599351E-51.7814667E-55.7813955E-53.24530084.0E-51.777326E-42.168735E-42.9685613E-41.36879868.0E-50.00177590530.00216676670.00228650661.05526211.2E-4
7.32.9934936E-63.6293673E-63.3629258E-59.2658743.0E-51.2829195E-51.5554348E-54.555388E-52.92869143.0E-51.5618425E-41.8935918E-42.4934782E-41.31679816.0E-50.00156074530.00189212370.00198195341.04747569.0E-5
7.42.4049796E-62.8890186E-63.2888933E-511.3841193.0E-51.0307015E-51.2381457E-54.2381085E-53.42294813.0E-51.2548068E-41.5073526E-42.0072772E-41.33165745.0E-50.00125409850.00150647150.00158635111.05302428.0E-5
7.51.2710091E-61.5134859E-61.1513471E-57.60725361.0E-55.44717E-66.4863593E-61.6486294E-52.5416871.0E-56.631728E-57.896981E-51.0896744E-41.3798623.0E-56.6297496E-47.895401E-48.4949273E-41.07593366.0E-5
7.62.21172E-72.6040198E-72.6040198E-71.00.09.478797E-71.1160082E-61.1160082E-61.00.01.1540374E-51.3587343E-52.3587207E-51.73596911.0E-51.1539775E-41.3586794E-41.4586658E-41.07359091.0E-5

Bicycle Lake

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.9621975E-52.2097078E-53.7208936E-416.8388483.5E-48.4091465E-59.4699084E-56.846432E-47.22967055.9E-40.00102333270.00115248650.00246097682.13536260.001310.010186330.0114784080.0135938441.1842970.00214
6.11.9621975E-52.2097078E-53.7208936E-416.8388483.5E-48.4091465E-59.4699084E-56.846432E-47.22967055.9E-40.00102333270.00115248650.00246097682.13536260.001310.010186330.0114784080.0135938441.1842970.00214
6.29.9971285E-61.125564E-52.5125293E-422.3224052.4E-44.2844134E-54.8237856E-54.1822E-48.6699543.7E-45.2150246E-45.871897E-40.00138671992.36162198.0E-40.00520280330.0058614870.00712404261.21539860.00127
6.39.589428E-61.0798346E-52.4079587E-422.2993282.3E-44.10969E-54.62781E-53.962619E-48.5626233.5E-45.002399E-45.6334207E-40.00133290832.36607277.7E-40.00499115330.00562422960.00682742431.21393060.00121
6.49.589428E-61.0798346E-52.4079587E-422.2993282.3E-44.10969E-54.62781E-53.962619E-48.5626233.5E-45.002399E-45.6334207E-40.00133290832.36607277.7E-40.00499115330.00562422960.00682742431.21393060.00121
6.55.557707E-66.2856016E-61.1628491E-418.5002041.1E-42.3818526E-52.6938165E-52.1693305E-48.05299951.9E-42.8995197E-43.279497E-47.678054E-42.34122924.4E-40.00289573940.00327729340.0039450981.2037676.7E-4
6.64.8742945E-65.5132896E-69.551279E-517.3241029.0E-52.0889667E-52.3628318E-51.8362454E-47.77137571.6E-42.54302E-42.87663E-46.775508E-42.35536313.9E-40.0025401120.00287547520.00346377861.20459345.9E-4
6.73.991108E-64.5159104E-67.451559E-516.500687.0E-51.7104636E-51.9353902E-51.4935138E-47.7168621.3E-42.0822904E-42.3563375E-45.755536E-42.44257743.4E-40.00208034040.00235633740.00286513571.21592765.1E-4

San Andreas (San Bernardino N)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.4273766E-43.160784E-40.00118580343.75161158.7E-46.115894E-40.00135392450.00244244861.8039770.001090.00742070840.0163609390.0178954151.09378910.001560.071777480.150211630.15193671.01148430.00203
6.11.4273766E-43.160784E-40.00118580343.75161158.7E-46.115894E-40.00135392450.00244244861.8039770.001090.00742070840.0163609390.0178954151.09378910.001560.071777480.150211630.15193671.01148430.00203
6.21.4273766E-43.160784E-40.00118580343.75161158.7E-46.115894E-40.00135392450.00244244861.8039770.001090.00742070840.0163609390.0178954151.09378910.001560.071777480.150211630.15193671.01148430.00203
6.31.3730655E-43.0512668E-40.00117486123.85040478.7E-45.883239E-40.0013070360.00239561151.8328580.001090.00713934420.0157984550.017333811.09718380.001560.069142910.14551350.147239571.01186190.00202
6.41.3730655E-43.0512668E-40.00117486123.85040478.7E-45.883239E-40.0013070360.00239561151.8328580.001090.00713934420.0157984550.017333811.09718380.001560.069142910.14551350.147239571.01186190.00202
6.51.2942807E-42.8927144E-40.00114902273.97212628.6E-45.545738E-40.00123915090.00231781251.87048460.001080.00673105240.0149835480.0164906231.1005820.001530.065307880.138650880.140356351.01230050.00198
6.61.1125901E-42.5365927E-40.00111344114.3895158.6E-44.767372E-40.00108666050.00215549771.98359810.001070.0057888390.01315046850.014650481.11406530.001520.0564034540.123004960.12471511.0139030.00195
6.71.02209575E-42.3500937E-40.00108480974.6160278.5E-44.3796748E-40.00100679570.00206572842.05178520.001060.00531922470.0121892670.0136709831.1215590.00150.0519369060.1147927640.116474661.01465150.0019
6.89.610582E-52.2026796E-40.00107008074.8580868.5E-44.1181705E-49.436647E-40.00200266442.12222030.001060.00500235150.0114288590.0129117161.12974670.00150.0489123460.108204690.10989911.01565930.0019
6.99.3877505E-52.1482339E-40.0010546434.90934858.4E-44.0227012E-49.203475E-40.00196938122.13982340.001050.00488664540.0111479070.0126212971.13216730.001490.047805770.1057982740.107479371.01588960.00188
7.09.1019785E-52.0809306E-40.00104791825.03581578.4E-43.900265E-48.915232E-40.00194058712.17670970.001050.00473823770.01080049950.0122645151.13555070.001480.0463847440.102768150.104445981.01632630.00187
7.18.771155E-51.9983841E-40.00102967265.1525268.3E-43.758525E-48.5616973E-40.00189527932.21367240.001040.00456640640.0103742430.01182899251.14022710.001470.0447370560.099076440.100752161.01691340.00186
7.28.0830236E-51.8389444E-40.00101374185.5126298.3E-43.4636928E-47.8788114E-40.00182706182.31895610.001040.00420889440.0095503680.0109964251.15141370.001460.0413006580.091805180.093485351.01830140.00185
7.37.7668235E-51.7333007E-49.931879E-45.7300388.2E-43.328214E-47.426318E-40.00177186692.3859290.001030.00404457330.0090041380.0104311721.15848650.001440.039717480.087067610.088738281.01918820.00183
7.47.520177E-51.655312E-49.853954E-45.9529298.2E-43.2225347E-47.092266E-40.0017384962.45125630.001030.00391637950.0086007140.0100184141.16483530.001430.0384807440.083521570.085189561.01997080.00182
7.57.274697E-51.584075E-49.782776E-46.17570268.2E-43.1173544E-46.7871273E-40.00170801372.51654860.001030.0037887750.0082320760.0096503041.17228080.001430.037248270.080236540.081901311.02074830.00181
7.67.1185845E-51.5410586E-49.739795E-46.32019768.2E-43.0504653E-46.602866E-40.00168960652.55889870.001030.00370761780.00800940950.0094279561.177110.001430.0364636670.078226610.07988581.02121010.0018
7.76.709961E-51.4319421E-49.630768E-46.72566848.2E-42.8753807E-46.135452E-40.00164291322.6777380.001030.0034951570.00744436630.0088637211.19066150.001430.0344069380.073055580.074724081.02283880.0018
7.86.300812E-51.320343E-49.4192737E-47.13395938.1E-42.7000686E-45.657386E-40.00157516722.78426670.001010.00328237870.0068661430.0082664621.20394550.001410.0323431750.067713850.069373321.0245070.00178
7.94.983037E-59.7241085E-57.7717495E-47.9922496.8E-42.1354125E-44.1668097E-40.00127632263.06306938.6E-40.00259676480.00506130050.0062353281.23196170.001180.0256662960.0506505070.052065041.02792730.00149
8.03.2211527E-55.3306234E-52.432961E-44.56412121.9E-41.380421E-42.2843528E-45.18369E-42.2692162.9E-40.00167936690.00277765420.00321643221.15796714.4E-40.0166673230.0283625680.028867821.0178145.2E-4
8.11.743376E-51.8823403E-52.8823213E-51.53124361.0E-57.471398E-58.066923E-51.306652E-41.6197655.0E-59.0926304E-49.81706E-40.00108160781.10176351.0E-40.0090555170.0104839790.0105829311.00943841.0E-4
8.27.831616E-65.1540533E-65.1540533E-61.00.03.3563636E-52.2088612E-52.2088612E-51.00.04.0856065E-42.6889573E-42.9888767E-41.11153753.0E-50.0040781030.00304136680.00307127551.00983393.0E-5
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

Garlic Springs

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6760017E-51.8776833E-53.0877138E-416.4442752.9E-47.182667E-58.0470316E-55.704309E-47.08871174.9E-48.7413884E-49.794032E-40.00206833572.11183260.001090.0087070830.0097624130.01149532851.1775090.00175
6.19.852767E-61.0973587E-51.7097183E-415.5803051.6E-44.222546E-54.702921E-53.5701462E-47.5913383.1E-45.139737E-45.7250116E-40.00120214052.09980446.3E-40.0051278660.0057172210.006731391.17738830.00102
6.29.852767E-61.0973587E-51.7097183E-415.5803051.6E-44.222546E-54.702921E-53.5701462E-47.5913383.1E-45.139737E-45.7250116E-40.00120214052.09980446.3E-40.0051278660.0057172210.006731391.17738830.00102
6.34.3167724E-64.7780286E-61.14777504E-424.0219361.1E-41.8500323E-52.0477235E-52.1047334E-410.2784071.9E-42.2521814E-42.4930484E-45.3923257E-42.16294462.9E-40.00224990030.002492510.00295136331.18409294.6E-4
6.44.3167724E-64.7780286E-61.14777504E-424.0219361.1E-41.8500323E-52.0477235E-52.1047334E-410.2784071.9E-42.2521814E-42.4930484E-45.3923257E-42.16294462.9E-40.00224990030.002492510.00295136331.18409294.6E-4
6.54.3167724E-64.7780286E-61.14777504E-424.0219361.1E-41.8500323E-52.0477235E-52.1047334E-410.2784071.9E-42.2521814E-42.4930484E-45.3923257E-42.16294462.9E-40.00224990030.002492510.00295136331.18409294.6E-4
6.64.301311E-64.760897E-61.14760376E-424.104781.1E-41.8434059E-52.0403815E-52.1039994E-410.3117941.9E-42.2441156E-42.4841115E-45.3833914E-42.16712932.9E-40.00224185060.0024835930.00294245061.18475564.6E-4
6.73.8599724E-64.27106E-61.04270635E-424.4132921.0E-41.6542634E-51.8304541E-51.9830125E-410.8334451.8E-42.0138794E-42.228578E-45.027954E-42.25612662.8E-40.00201205540.0022285780.00266759751.19699534.4E-4

San Andreas (San Bernardino S)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2336002E-43.0005194E-47.499169E-42.49929054.5E-45.2857865E-40.00128532920.00186458371.45066635.8E-40.0064164720.0155415540.0163783451.05384218.5E-40.062343370.142946990.143941181.00695490.00116
6.11.2336002E-43.0005194E-47.499169E-42.49929054.5E-45.2857865E-40.00128532920.00186458371.45066635.8E-40.0064164720.0155415540.0163783451.05384218.5E-40.062343370.142946990.143941181.00695490.00116
6.21.2336002E-43.0005194E-47.499169E-42.49929054.5E-45.2857865E-40.00128532920.00186458371.45066635.8E-40.0064164720.0155415540.0163783451.05384218.5E-40.062343370.142946990.143941181.00695490.00116
6.31.1712257E-42.8793467E-47.27808E-42.52768454.4E-45.018573E-40.00123344780.00180274471.46154935.7E-40.0060930080.0149186660.0157362841.0548058.3E-40.0592863220.137657790.138632241.00707880.00113
6.41.1712257E-42.8793467E-47.27808E-42.52768454.4E-45.018573E-40.00123344780.00180274471.46154935.7E-40.0060930080.0149186660.0157362841.0548058.3E-40.0592863220.137657790.138632241.00707880.00113
6.51.0689076E-42.6806415E-47.079462E-42.6409584.4E-44.5802278E-40.00114836530.00171771081.49578775.7E-40.00556217830.0138963350.0146852181.05676918.0E-40.054250030.12889890.12984841.00736620.00109
6.69.7648895E-52.505129E-46.904027E-42.75595644.4E-44.1842813E-40.00107320860.00164259691.53054765.7E-40.0050824690.0129923990.0137721351.06001487.9E-40.0496778860.1210777460.1220094041.00769470.00106
6.78.757013E-52.3122175E-46.7112E-42.90249514.4E-43.7524657E-49.905964E-40.00156003171.5748415.7E-40.004559060.0119979020.0127784241.06505497.9E-40.044666560.1123730240.1133139061.00837290.00106
6.88.562978E-52.2682057E-46.667208E-42.93941934.4E-43.6693315E-49.7174826E-40.00154119441.58600165.7E-40.0044582630.0117709210.012541741.0654857.8E-40.0436987580.110378630.111312731.00846270.00105
6.96.124075E-51.7066885E-46.1059376E-43.5776524.4E-42.6243398E-47.312337E-40.00130081691.77893465.7E-40.00319045270.0088666360.0096198981.08495467.6E-40.0314503460.084202620.085127571.01098490.00101
7.05.8598747E-51.6495936E-46.048868E-43.66688374.4E-42.5111332E-47.067779E-40.0012763751.80590685.7E-40.00305301860.0085712650.0093247511.08790847.6E-40.030114140.081515620.082443281.01138030.00101
7.15.613814E-51.5914452E-45.890761E-43.70151664.3E-42.4056983E-46.818704E-40.00124148861.82071045.6E-40.00292500390.0082703530.009014151.08993547.5E-40.0288680210.078812680.079724661.01157149.9E-4
7.24.991222E-51.4520933E-45.7514687E-43.96081234.3E-42.1389198E-46.221777E-40.00118182931.89950445.6E-40.0026010250.00754880630.008283221.09728877.4E-40.0257079120.072261910.0731525351.0123259.6E-4
7.34.7410045E-51.371513E-45.670923E-44.13479334.3E-42.0317009E-45.8765925E-40.00114733021.95237315.6E-40.00247078970.00713136560.00785615951.10163477.3E-40.0244349820.0685419440.069426831.01291019.5E-4
7.44.5556746E-51.3123035E-45.611739E-44.27625134.3E-41.952286E-45.6229485E-40.00112197991.99535885.6E-40.0023743170.00682452930.0075396161.10478177.2E-40.0234910860.065791430.066669581.01334769.4E-4
7.54.3084514E-51.2358342E-45.535303E-44.4790014.3E-41.8463485E-45.2953605E-40.00108923952.05696965.6E-40.00224561150.00642811460.00714348631.1112887.2E-40.0222305450.0621902830.0630624441.01402419.3E-4
7.63.408608E-59.836477E-55.283225E-45.37105374.3E-41.4607502E-44.214953E-49.812593E-42.32804325.6E-40.00177701250.0051196560.005835971.13991447.2E-40.0176286960.050022440.0508964171.01747189.2E-4
7.72.8315713E-58.2495724E-55.1246025E-46.21196134.3E-41.2134742E-43.5350522E-49.033108E-42.5552975.5E-40.00147640340.0042954420.0050023921.16458157.1E-40.014666330.0422724150.043134371.02039059.0E-4
7.82.6222975E-57.463898E-54.946076E-46.62666654.2E-41.1237934E-43.1984213E-48.596694E-42.68779285.4E-40.00136735970.0038871310.004584411.17938147.0E-40.0135897680.0384374750.0392932671.02226458.9E-4
7.92.1469694E-55.7884805E-54.5786166E-47.90987634.0E-49.200973E-52.4805416E-47.5792766E-43.05549265.1E-40.00111964280.003015880.00368385951.22148746.7E-40.0111401840.0301532650.0309582371.02669618.3E-4
8.01.2420249E-53.1321662E-52.0131633E-46.42738341.7E-45.322855E-51.342288E-43.641979E-42.7132622.3E-46.478649E-40.00163301160.00196247271.20175063.3E-40.00645979350.016523690.0168974121.02261733.8E-4
8.14.9197724E-67.822525E-67.822525E-61.00.02.1084568E-53.3524673E-54.352434E-51.29827771.0E-52.566744E-44.080866E-44.480703E-41.09797844.0E-50.0025637810.0043845570.00442438151.00908294.0E-5
8.22.5634774E-62.9065757E-62.9065757E-61.00.01.0986286E-51.2456694E-51.2456694E-51.00.01.3374983E-41.5164974E-41.7164671E-41.13186292.0E-50.00133669340.0017049410.0017249071.01171062.0E-5
8.35.2850464E-73.2080476E-73.2080476E-71.00.02.2650179E-61.3748769E-61.3748769E-61.00.02.7576245E-51.673901E-51.673901E-51.00.02.7572823E-41.986671E-41.986671E-41.00.0

Death Valley (Black Mtns Frontal)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6707214E-51.867027E-53.286645E-417.6036283.1E-47.160038E-58.001303E-54.79981E-45.9987864.0E-48.71386E-49.737309E-40.00170302011.74896387.3E-40.008679770.0096954960.0108046381.11439750.00112
6.11.6707214E-51.867027E-53.286645E-417.6036283.1E-47.160038E-58.001303E-54.79981E-45.9987864.0E-48.71386E-49.737309E-40.00170302011.74896387.3E-40.008679770.0096954960.0108046381.11439750.00112
6.21.6707214E-51.867027E-53.286645E-417.6036283.1E-47.160038E-58.001303E-54.79981E-45.9987864.0E-48.71386E-49.737309E-40.00170302011.74896387.3E-40.008679770.0096954960.0108046381.11439750.00112
6.31.6707214E-51.867027E-53.286645E-417.6036283.1E-47.160038E-58.001303E-54.79981E-45.9987864.0E-48.71386E-49.737309E-40.00170302011.74896387.3E-40.008679770.0096954960.0108046381.11439750.00112
6.41.5515609E-51.7338214E-52.5733406E-414.8420172.4E-46.649377E-57.4304546E-53.7428224E-45.0371383.0E-48.0926094E-49.042885E-40.0014637821.61871145.6E-40.0080632020.0090067730.00990857651.10012519.1E-4
6.51.5515609E-51.7338214E-52.5733406E-414.8420172.4E-46.649377E-57.4304546E-53.7428224E-45.0371383.0E-48.0926094E-49.042885E-40.0014637821.61871145.6E-40.0080632020.0090067730.00990857651.10012519.1E-4
6.61.5041828E-51.6809145E-52.3680544E-414.08789352.2E-46.4463384E-57.203723E-53.420178E-44.7477922.7E-47.8455906E-48.767063E-40.00138625921.58121285.1E-40.007817950.0087331320.0095360591.09194038.1E-4
6.71.4634985E-51.6356016E-52.1635274E-413.2277162.0E-46.271985E-57.009536E-53.2007784E-44.566322.5E-47.6334673E-48.5308263E-40.00134266461.57389754.9E-40.0076072990.0084987150.0092820011.09216527.9E-4
6.81.4209158E-51.5882048E-51.9587918E-412.3333711.8E-46.089497E-56.8064175E-52.9804852E-44.3789342.3E-47.4114406E-48.2837185E-40.00129798251.5669084.7E-40.0073867710.0082534560.0089972661.0901217.5E-4
6.91.3780098E-51.5404594E-51.8540198E-412.03551.7E-45.9056227E-56.6018045E-52.8600352E-44.33220242.2E-47.1877235E-48.0347876E-40.00125311721.55961454.5E-40.00716451930.0080063320.0087205681.08920887.2E-4
7.01.3585064E-51.5188155E-51.5518603E-410.2175691.4E-45.8220405E-56.50905E-52.5507814E-43.91882281.9E-47.086029E-47.9219416E-40.00119187731.50452674.0E-40.0070634760.0078942930.0085590041.08420156.7E-4
7.11.3398601E-51.49813395E-51.4497939E-49.6773321.3E-45.742131E-56.420419E-52.4419263E-43.80337521.8E-46.9888023E-47.8141113E-40.00117110641.4987073.9E-40.00696686380.0077872240.0084222411.0815466.4E-4
7.21.3126312E-51.4679561E-51.4467766E-49.85572051.3E-45.6254412E-56.291092E-52.3290022E-43.70206381.7E-46.846822E-47.6567667E-40.0011254011.46981243.6E-40.0068257650.007630970.0082065441.07542615.8E-4
7.31.2922429E-51.4453788E-51.1445234E-47.91850141.0E-45.5380664E-56.194336E-52.0193469E-43.2599891.4E-46.74051E-47.53905E-40.00106367121.41088253.1E-40.0067201010.0075140550.0080301471.06868365.2E-4
7.41.2768878E-51.4283772E-51.0428249E-47.3007679.0E-55.4722615E-56.1214756E-51.912068E-43.12354091.3E-46.660441E-47.4504025E-40.00102483171.37553862.8E-40.00664051440.00742600350.0078925141.06282114.7E-4
7.51.2521929E-51.40120155E-51.0401075E-47.4229699.0E-55.366431E-56.005014E-51.9004234E-43.16472741.3E-46.531671E-47.3087064E-40.00100067331.36915242.7E-40.0065125060.00728524570.007722041.05995614.4E-4
7.61.1301089E-51.2648149E-59.264714E-57.32495648.0E-54.8432343E-55.4205255E-51.7419875E-43.21368741.2E-45.895042E-46.5975444E-48.896027E-41.34838452.3E-40.00587942820.006578510.00695601061.05738393.8E-4
7.79.189108E-61.0283358E-56.0282844E-55.8621755.0E-53.93813E-54.407082E-51.240673E-42.815188.0E-54.7936183E-45.3643517E-47.0634397E-41.31673691.7E-40.0047832910.0053519140.0056403621.05389622.9E-4
7.83.4586725E-73.6482615E-73.6482615E-71.00.01.4822873E-61.5635396E-61.5635396E-61.00.01.80467E-51.9035933E-53.9035553E-52.05062462.0E-51.8045233E-41.9034347E-42.2033777E-41.15757983.0E-5
7.92.5591178E-92.6696718E-92.6696718E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.14414505E-81.14414505E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3929966E-71.3929966E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3929966E-61.3929966E-61.00.0

Coyote Lake

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.980352E-52.1706745E-52.6170153E-412.05623152.4E-48.486947E-59.302599E-54.829897E-45.19198663.9E-40.00103279590.00113207510.00181130531.59998696.8E-40.0102800910.0112702580.0123677481.09737930.00111
6.11.980352E-52.1706745E-52.6170153E-412.05623152.4E-48.486947E-59.302599E-54.829897E-45.19198663.9E-40.00103279590.00113207510.00181130531.59998696.8E-40.0102800910.0112702580.0123677481.09737930.00111
6.21.980352E-52.1706745E-52.6170153E-412.05623152.4E-48.486947E-59.302599E-54.829897E-45.19198663.9E-40.00103279590.00113207510.00181130531.59998696.8E-40.0102800910.0112702580.0123677481.09737930.00111
6.31.5344787E-51.682067E-51.9681764E-411.700941.8E-46.576172E-57.2086936E-53.6206603E-45.022632.9E-48.003548E-48.773662E-40.00142688371.62632625.5E-40.0079747840.008745070.0096371981.10201519.0E-4
6.41.5344787E-51.682067E-51.9681764E-411.700941.8E-46.576172E-57.2086936E-53.6206603E-45.022632.9E-48.003548E-48.773662E-40.00142688371.62632625.5E-40.0079747840.008745070.0096371981.10201519.0E-4
6.51.4189697E-51.5557987E-51.9555519E-412.569441.8E-46.081157E-56.6675726E-53.4665706E-45.19914962.8E-47.401293E-48.115349E-40.00131112911.61561645.0E-40.00737669130.0080916560.0089248591.10297068.4E-4
6.61.3469301E-51.4771577E-51.8476907E-412.5084181.7E-45.7724297E-56.330556E-53.3328848E-45.2647582.7E-47.025667E-47.7053264E-40.00125016281.62246574.8E-40.00700349640.00768451440.0084783671.10330558.0E-4
6.71.3027966E-51.4281745E-51.7427946E-412.2029521.6E-45.5832945E-56.120638E-53.2119045E-45.2476632.6E-46.7955407E-47.4499263E-40.00121464251.63040884.7E-40.0067747980.00743082860.0082050331.10418817.8E-4
6.85.695434E-66.2244176E-65.6224108E-59.032835.0E-52.4408775E-52.6675973E-58.667437E-53.2491556.0E-52.971363E-43.2476155E-44.7471284E-41.46172741.5E-40.00296739330.00324581050.00350496661.07984332.6E-4
6.94.385688E-64.7930553E-63.4792913E-57.25902563.0E-51.879567E-52.0541665E-56.0540846E-52.94722184.0E-52.2881327E-42.5009477E-43.4007226E-41.35977359.0E-50.0022857780.00250094780.00269047261.07578121.9E-4

Helendale-So Lockhart

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.7296055E-51.8103729E-52.680992E-414.8090592.5E-47.412385E-57.7585224E-54.4755652E-45.76857953.7E-49.0208417E-49.4421144E-40.00159359771.68775516.5E-40.0089843110.0094041160.0103550881.1011239.6E-4
6.11.7296055E-51.8103729E-52.680992E-414.8090592.5E-47.412385E-57.7585224E-54.4755652E-45.76857953.7E-49.0208417E-49.4421144E-40.00159359771.68775516.5E-40.0089843110.0094041160.0103550881.1011239.6E-4
6.21.7296055E-51.8103729E-52.680992E-414.8090592.5E-47.412385E-57.7585224E-54.4755652E-45.76857953.7E-49.0208417E-49.4421144E-40.00159359771.68775516.5E-40.0089843110.0094041160.0103550881.1011239.6E-4
6.31.0669118E-51.1135425E-51.7113364E-415.3683991.6E-44.5723988E-54.772239E-52.677119E-45.60977552.2E-45.5654737E-45.80868E-49.7064144E-41.6710193.9E-40.00555155570.00579379360.0063803751.10124315.9E-4
6.41.0669118E-51.1135425E-51.7113364E-415.3683991.6E-44.5723988E-54.772239E-52.677119E-45.60977552.2E-45.5654737E-45.80868E-49.7064144E-41.6710193.9E-40.00555155570.00579379360.0063803751.10124315.9E-4
6.58.790038E-69.170197E-61.4916892E-416.2667081.4E-43.767105E-53.930026E-52.392924E-46.08882472.0E-44.585485E-44.7837716E-48.482002E-41.77307833.7E-40.00457603440.0047736380.0053309651.1167515.6E-4
6.67.396949E-67.715537E-61.2771461E-416.5529141.2E-43.1700827E-53.3066175E-51.9306089E-45.83862161.6E-43.858892E-44.025073E-46.923906E-41.72019392.9E-40.0038521980.004017890.00448600161.11650684.7E-4
6.76.4600285E-66.738031E-61.0673736E-415.8410311.0E-42.7685543E-52.887696E-51.5887321E-45.5017291.3E-43.3701936E-43.5152107E-45.914367E-41.68250722.4E-40.00336508690.0035097320.00390832821.11356884.0E-4
6.85.600104E-65.836009E-68.583554E-514.7079178.0E-52.4000226E-52.5011232E-51.3500848E-45.3979141.1E-42.9216358E-43.044698E-45.1440584E-41.68951362.1E-40.00291779750.0030405880.00338952381.11475933.5E-4
6.94.839122E-65.0395092E-67.5039155E-514.8901717.0E-52.0738931E-52.159772E-51.1159578E-45.16701659.0E-52.5246723E-42.6292098E-44.2287892E-41.60838781.6E-40.0025218060.0026261470.00288546391.09874442.6E-4
7.03.6937633E-63.845208E-63.3845092E-58.8018883.0E-51.5830317E-51.647936E-55.64787E-53.42723874.0E-51.9271708E-42.0061806E-42.906E-41.44852369.0E-50.00192550030.0020044010.00215410021.07468531.5E-4
7.12.7858857E-62.8978538E-63.2897766E-511.3524593.0E-51.1939455E-51.2419316E-55.2418818E-54.22074944.0E-51.4535317E-41.511949E-42.311828E-41.52903848.0E-50.00145258140.00151094180.00163076051.07930061.2E-4
7.22.1672065E-62.2540128E-62.2253967E-59.8730442.0E-59.2879945E-69.66002E-63.965973E-54.10555363.0E-51.1307546E-41.1760458E-41.675987E-41.42510355.0E-50.00113017940.00117544170.00125534761.06797968.0E-5
7.31.4823496E-61.5422102E-61.1542194E-57.48419051.0E-56.3529114E-66.6094562E-62.6609325E-54.02594762.0E-57.734395E-58.046731E-51.004657E-41.24852812.0E-57.731704E-48.0439687E-48.443647E-41.04968674.0E-5
7.44.2321457E-74.4108765E-74.4108765E-71.00.01.8137755E-61.8903745E-61.8903745E-61.00.02.2082493E-52.3015113E-52.3015113E-51.00.02.2080299E-42.3013182E-42.3013182E-41.00.0
7.55.6942316E-85.9415648E-85.9415648E-81.00.02.440385E-72.5463845E-72.5463845E-71.00.02.9711643E-63.1002196E-63.1002196E-61.00.02.9711247E-53.1001844E-53.1001844E-51.00.0

San Andreas (Big Bend)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.0179969E-42.0073925E-44.6068706E-42.29495262.6E-44.362114E-48.6002843E-40.0011997361.39499583.4E-40.00529794860.0104208590.0110146071.05697686.0E-40.0517340970.1014559050.1021927151.00726238.2E-4
6.11.0179969E-42.0073925E-44.6068706E-42.29495262.6E-44.362114E-48.6002843E-40.0011997361.39499583.4E-40.00529794860.0104208590.0110146071.05697686.0E-40.0517340970.1014559050.1021927151.00726238.2E-4
6.21.0179969E-42.0073925E-44.6068706E-42.29495262.6E-44.362114E-48.6002843E-40.0011997361.39499583.4E-40.00529794860.0104208590.0110146071.05697686.0E-40.0517340970.1014559050.1021927151.00726238.2E-4
6.31.0179969E-42.0073925E-44.6068706E-42.29495262.6E-44.362114E-48.6002843E-40.0011997361.39499583.4E-40.00529794860.0104208590.0110146071.05697686.0E-40.0517340970.1014559050.1021927151.00726238.2E-4
6.49.1639464E-51.8430917E-43.64276E-41.97643981.8E-43.9268145E-47.896575E-40.0010294681.30368922.4E-40.00477042050.0095718180.0099580851.04035463.9E-40.0466930640.093786950.094285371.00531445.5E-4
6.59.1639464E-51.8430917E-43.64276E-41.97643981.8E-43.9268145E-47.896575E-40.0010294681.30368922.4E-40.00477042050.0095718180.0099580851.04035463.9E-40.0466930640.093786950.094285371.00531445.5E-4
6.69.042622E-51.8238011E-43.4235095E-41.87712861.6E-43.8748336E-47.813951E-40.00100122321.28132772.2E-40.00470740950.00947210.0098385951.03869213.7E-40.0460893250.092877210.093357991.00517645.3E-4
6.78.9836685E-51.8152347E-43.3149624E-41.82618941.5E-43.8495753E-47.7772595E-49.775704E-41.256962.0E-40.004676790.0094278150.00977451451.03677423.5E-40.0457958170.092471480.0929343251.00500525.1E-4
6.88.9471854E-51.8099119E-43.3096405E-41.82861961.5E-43.8339442E-47.754462E-49.7529107E-41.25771612.0E-40.0046578410.0094002980.0097470081.03688293.5E-40.045614140.09221920.0926821751.00502035.1E-4
6.98.858234E-51.7981093E-43.2978394E-41.83405961.5E-43.7958333E-47.7039085E-49.702368E-41.25940852.0E-40.0046116380.0093392780.0096761031.03606533.4E-40.045171030.091659110.092113281.0049555.0E-4
7.08.7433385E-51.7819891E-43.1817396E-41.7854991.4E-43.746607E-47.6348626E-49.533412E-41.24866841.9E-40.0045519570.0092559320.0095828771.03532283.3E-40.0445983860.090893230.091338691.00490094.9E-4
7.18.684964E-51.7731842E-43.172936E-41.78940011.4E-43.7215967E-47.597149E-49.495706E-41.24990381.9E-40.00452163350.0092104050.0095373651.03549913.3E-40.044307310.090474750.090920421.00492584.9E-4
7.28.606521E-51.7622454E-43.1619988E-41.7943011.4E-43.6879873E-47.550296E-49.448861E-41.25145581.9E-40.00448088350.0091538420.0094808211.03572053.3E-40.0439160240.089955180.09040111.00495724.9E-4
7.38.568266E-51.7564454E-43.1561995E-41.79692441.4E-43.6715972E-47.5254537E-49.424024E-41.25228641.9E-40.00446101050.009123850.0094508391.0358393.3E-40.0437251480.089676230.090122291.00497414.9E-4
7.48.5432206E-51.752704E-43.1524585E-41.79862581.4E-43.6608664E-47.509428E-49.408001E-41.25282531.9E-40.0044479990.0091045010.0094314971.03591593.3E-40.0436001570.089496420.089942571.00498514.9E-4
7.58.4791965E-51.7396381E-43.1393947E-41.8046251.4E-43.633435E-47.4534636E-49.3520473E-41.25472511.9E-40.00441473770.0090369320.009363951.03618683.3E-40.0432805750.088872090.089318541.00502364.9E-4
7.68.241105E-51.6841735E-43.0839376E-41.83112841.4E-43.531424E-47.2158914E-49.11452E-41.26311781.9E-40.00429103520.0087500470.0090672471.03625123.2E-40.0420911760.086250320.086679791.00497934.7E-4
7.77.00432E-51.4205615E-42.520405E-41.77423171.1E-43.001506E-46.0867006E-47.685727E-41.26270821.6E-40.00364821120.00738541740.0076434971.03494452.6E-40.0358889770.073522990.0738750551.00478843.8E-4
7.86.415362E-51.2969968E-42.1968801E-41.69382079.0E-52.749151E-45.557374E-46.956596E-41.25177751.4E-40.00334195470.00674514150.00697359021.03386872.3E-40.032921410.067255140.06758161.00485413.5E-4
7.94.939911E-59.341721E-51.834088E-41.96332989.0E-52.116933E-44.0029807E-45.3024606E-41.3246281.3E-40.00257431950.0048627470.00505182331.03888261.9E-40.0254470130.0489158030.0491725951.00524972.7E-4
8.03.344983E-55.2228E-55.2228E-51.00.01.4334853E-42.2381509E-42.5380836E-41.13400923.0E-50.00174387110.00272154530.00280132771.02931518.0E-50.0173024960.0279231610.028030091.00382941.1E-4
8.11.9104898E-51.9171663E-51.9171663E-51.00.08.1875565E-58.2161685E-51.0216004E-41.24340252.0E-59.963791E-49.9986E-40.00105981.05994846.0E-50.0099192350.0107495520.0108089071.00552176.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.473668E-65.473668E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3458366E-52.3458366E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.8556827E-43.155597E-41.10502373.0E-50.00450013950.00324817930.0032780821.00920593.0E-5
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

San Andreas (Parkfield)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.556969E-47.778562E-49.876929E-41.26976282.1E-40.00237938480.00332995830.00361899261.08679822.9E-40.0285869630.0402350430.0407629121.01311975.5E-40.251762840.33719730.337667881.00139567.1E-4
6.11.925858E-43.0278185E-43.8275763E-41.26413678.0E-58.2510663E-40.0012970850.00140694231.08469561.1E-40.00999948850.015773930.015990461.01372712.2E-40.0956132560.149758250.150038821.00187353.3E-4
6.29.4306815E-51.8243887E-42.624243E-41.4384238.0E-54.0410945E-47.8164786E-48.9156185E-41.14061831.1E-40.00490893840.0094752460.0096931621.02299852.2E-40.0480190630.09185650.0921561941.00326253.3E-4
6.39.283051E-51.794041E-42.5938975E-41.44584078.0E-53.9778434E-47.686494E-48.7856484E-41.14299821.1E-40.00483227470.0093183550.00953630451.02338932.2E-40.0472853850.0905094740.0908096061.0033163.3E-4
6.49.138826E-51.7702584E-42.5701168E-41.45183158.0E-53.916052E-47.5846276E-48.683793E-41.14492021.1E-40.00475737450.0091953870.0094133641.0237052.2E-40.0465680920.08941360.089714091.00336073.3E-4
6.59.000255E-51.746064E-42.5459242E-41.45809348.0E-53.8566816E-47.4809964E-48.5801736E-41.14692931.1E-40.00468540470.0090702840.0092882891.0240352.2E-40.0458784030.088296080.088596941.00340753.3E-4
6.68.8109264E-51.7141816E-42.5140445E-41.46661518.0E-53.7755648E-47.3444354E-48.443628E-41.14966321.1E-40.00458706540.0089054040.00912344551.02448422.2E-40.044935290.086827070.0871284161.00347073.3E-4
6.78.738073E-51.7008898E-42.500754E-41.4702628.0E-53.7443507E-47.287503E-48.386702E-41.15083341.1E-40.00454922160.0088366950.009054751.02467622.2E-40.044572130.08622680.0865283461.00349713.3E-4
6.88.710195E-51.6954402E-42.4953045E-41.47177398.0E-53.7324068E-47.26416E-48.363361E-41.15131841.1E-40.00453474050.0088085130.0090265751.02475582.2E-40.044433130.085974360.086275991.00350833.3E-4
6.98.6801556E-51.6895356E-42.4894005E-41.47342298.0E-53.7195362E-47.238869E-48.338073E-41.15184751.1E-40.00451913570.00877796950.0089960391.02484272.2E-40.0442833270.085700420.086002141.00352063.3E-4
7.08.5571606E-51.664819E-42.4646858E-41.48045288.0E-53.6668387E-47.132999E-48.2322146E-41.15410281.1E-40.0044552410.0086501030.00886821.02521322.2E-40.0436697270.084548360.084850461.00357313.3E-4
7.17.82589E-51.5128969E-42.3127758E-41.52870698.0E-53.3535215E-46.4822397E-47.5815263E-41.16958441.1E-40.00407527060.0078637380.0080820081.02775662.2E-40.0400134180.0774604450.077755661.00381113.2E-4
7.27.690929E-51.4866212E-42.2865023E-41.5380538.0E-53.2956956E-46.369685E-47.4689847E-41.1725831.1E-40.0040051290.00772768260.0079459831.0282492.2E-40.03933710.076233410.076529021.00387763.2E-4
7.37.5543794E-51.4562748E-42.2561583E-41.54926698.0E-53.2371894E-46.239692E-47.339006E-41.17618071.1E-40.0039341570.00757052560.00778886021.02884012.2E-40.0386523340.074797770.075084581.00383453.1E-4
7.47.4214564E-51.4263717E-42.2262576E-41.56078368.0E-53.1802364E-46.1115966E-47.2109245E-41.17987571.1E-40.0038650650.00741564160.007634011.02944712.2E-40.037985290.073371520.073658781.00391513.1E-4
7.56.149578E-51.1191443E-41.819066E-41.62540797.0E-52.6352672E-44.795452E-45.7949725E-41.20843091.0E-40.00320371780.0058228650.0060316421.03585472.1E-40.031579230.0585594620.0588418951.0048233.0E-4
7.66.0643448E-51.102009E-41.8019318E-41.63513357.0E-52.598746E-44.7220418E-45.72157E-41.21167281.0E-40.00315938280.0057339620.00594275771.03641392.1E-40.0311484170.057720420.05800311.00489753.0E-4
7.75.1652263E-59.175265E-51.5174714E-41.65387216.0E-52.2134806E-43.9316638E-44.83131E-41.22882079.0E-50.0026915820.00477630460.0049554451.0375061.8E-40.0265921410.048536410.0487742721.00490082.5E-4
7.84.8090482E-58.560165E-51.4559651E-41.70086116.0E-52.060858E-43.6681266E-44.5677964E-41.24526689.0E-50.00250620720.0044568070.00462604971.03797391.7E-40.0247813050.0453022640.0455313921.00505772.4E-4
7.93.970278E-56.7507375E-51.2750333E-41.88873186.0E-51.7014367E-42.8928524E-43.692621E-41.27646368.0E-50.0020695310.00351636340.00364590651.036841.3E-40.0205036360.035881760.03605531.00483641.8E-4
8.02.8982335E-54.0698153E-54.0698153E-51.00.01.2420409E-41.7440901E-41.9440551E-41.1146532.0E-50.00151113570.00212136280.00218123551.02822386.0E-50.0150090120.022011180.022089421.00355458.0E-5
8.11.8836186E-51.867974E-51.867974E-51.00.08.0724014E-58.005358E-51.0005198E-41.24981272.0E-59.823717E-49.742171E-40.00103415861.0615286.0E-50.0097804030.0104877110.0105470811.0056616.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.473668E-65.473668E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3458366E-52.3458366E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.8556827E-43.155597E-41.10502373.0E-50.00450013950.00324817930.0032780821.00920593.0E-5
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

San Andreas (San Gorgonio Pass-Garnet HIll)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.31567E-52.3384395E-44.9378315E-42.11159252.6E-43.5633717E-40.00100180250.00136144191.35899223.6E-40.0043297780.0121286220.0126521941.04316835.3E-40.0424638280.112581870.113185321.005366.8E-4
6.18.31567E-52.3384395E-44.9378315E-42.11159252.6E-43.5633717E-40.00100180250.00136144191.35899223.6E-40.0043297780.0121286220.0126521941.04316835.3E-40.0424638280.112581870.113185321.005366.8E-4
6.28.31567E-52.3384395E-44.9378315E-42.11159252.6E-43.5633717E-40.00100180250.00136144191.35899223.6E-40.0043297780.0121286220.0126521941.04316835.3E-40.0424638280.112581870.113185321.005366.8E-4
6.38.31567E-52.3384395E-44.9378315E-42.11159252.6E-43.5633717E-40.00100180250.00136144191.35899223.6E-40.0043297780.0121286220.0126521941.04316835.3E-40.0424638280.112581870.113185321.005366.8E-4
6.48.059055E-52.2941893E-44.8935926E-42.1330382.6E-43.4534236E-49.828559E-40.00134250221.36591953.6E-40.00419643940.0119008190.0124245121.04400485.3E-40.0411807450.1105629650.111167781.00547046.8E-4
6.58.059055E-52.2941893E-44.8935926E-42.1330382.6E-43.4534236E-49.828559E-40.00134250221.36591953.6E-40.00419643940.0119008190.0124245121.04400485.3E-40.0411807450.1105629650.111167781.00547046.8E-4
6.67.619237E-52.2186468E-44.81807E-42.17162562.6E-43.2649786E-49.5050444E-40.00131016221.37838633.6E-40.00396786770.01151153350.0120354321.04551085.3E-40.038977640.107099540.1076977851.00558596.7E-4
6.77.440636E-52.1862281E-44.7856598E-42.1890032.6E-43.188454E-49.3662075E-40.00129628361.38400053.6E-40.00387503460.0113442680.0118682551.04618975.3E-40.0380815640.10560810.106207341.00567426.7E-4
6.87.3735864E-52.1709445E-44.77038E-42.19737532.6E-43.1597257E-49.300753E-40.00128974041.38670543.6E-40.00384018150.0112654060.01178943551.04651675.3E-40.037744950.1049096960.105509411.00571646.7E-4
6.97.27575E-52.1478413E-44.747283E-42.21025782.6E-43.117806E-49.20181E-40.00127984971.39086743.6E-40.0037893230.0111461820.0116702751.047025.3E-40.0372535620.103857530.1044579451.00578126.7E-4
7.07.102591E-52.1062451E-44.7056974E-42.23416422.6E-43.0436125E-49.023664E-40.00126204161.3985913.6E-40.0036993030.0109314840.01145569051.04795385.3E-40.036383250.1019595340.102561221.00590126.7E-4
7.17.028513E-52.0898094E-44.689266E-42.24387262.6E-43.0118722E-48.953274E-40.00125500511.40172763.6E-40.00366078970.0108466410.0113708931.0483335.3E-40.0360106860.101202430.1017956361.00586166.6E-4
7.26.8498244E-52.050596E-44.6500628E-42.2676642.6E-42.9353087E-48.7853306E-40.00123821681.40941393.6E-40.0035678830.01064418350.0111685421.04926245.3E-40.0351114050.099394490.0999798851.00588976.5E-4
7.36.622592E-51.9733235E-44.5728104E-42.31731412.6E-42.8379448E-48.4543816E-40.00120513391.42545473.6E-40.00344972430.0102451110.0107498861.04926985.1E-40.0339666120.0958912450.0964608341.005946.3E-4
7.45.1050705E-51.4690042E-44.0686224E-42.76964642.6E-42.1877038E-46.294222E-49.891957E-41.57159323.6E-40.0026602760.0076364820.0081326641.06497515.0E-40.026286540.072865540.073440361.00788886.2E-4
7.53.9302922E-51.11307076E-43.6127924E-43.24578882.5E-41.6843023E-44.7694342E-48.1678125E-41.71253283.4E-40.00204870920.00579139540.00626861541.08240164.8E-40.0202992470.056011510.0565684621.00994365.9E-4
7.62.9851626E-58.4956984E-53.3493576E-43.94241552.5E-41.2792926E-43.6405068E-47.039269E-41.93359593.4E-40.00155642590.00442333470.00490121171.10803544.8E-40.01545569950.0431961450.0437510941.01284715.8E-4
7.72.1135214E-56.353527E-53.1351938E-44.9345722.5E-49.0576345E-52.722656E-46.021758E-42.21172173.3E-40.00110220910.00330980080.0037782451.14153254.7E-40.0109675820.032584560.0331263131.0166265.6E-4
7.81.883379E-55.564576E-52.956324E-45.3127572.4E-48.0713755E-52.3846005E-45.5838376E-42.34162383.2E-49.822468E-40.0028993890.00335805541.15819414.6E-40.00977916550.0286969780.0292311941.01861575.5E-4
7.91.5156185E-54.1662403E-52.7165283E-46.52033472.3E-46.495346E-51.7854095E-44.7848737E-42.67998673.0E-47.9052144E-40.00217157040.00261061481.20217844.4E-40.0078771520.0217609460.0222696291.0233765.2E-4
8.01.1405907E-52.9976925E-51.7997243E-46.0036991.5E-44.8881542E-51.2846621E-43.2844054E-42.55662942.0E-45.9497025E-40.00156295510.00187247061.19803233.1E-40.0059337980.0157740130.0161283351.02246243.6E-4
8.14.3511436E-67.369465E-67.369465E-61.00.01.8647626E-53.158304E-54.1582723E-51.31661561.0E-52.2701119E-43.844558E-44.2444043E-41.10400324.0E-50.00226779420.00411654450.00415637951.00967694.0E-5
8.22.3042528E-62.7328301E-62.7328301E-61.00.09.875332E-61.1712076E-51.1712076E-51.00.01.2022553E-41.4258524E-41.625824E-41.1402472.0E-50.00120160510.00159796370.00161793181.01249592.0E-5
8.35.202968E-73.1590292E-73.1590292E-71.00.02.2298414E-61.353869E-61.353869E-61.00.02.714798E-51.6483244E-51.6483244E-51.00.02.7144665E-41.955901E-41.955901E-41.00.0

Death Valley (No)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.0074807E-52.2500084E-51.7249672E-47.6664921.5E-48.603206E-59.642541E-52.9640613E-43.07394222.0E-40.0010469370.00117335450.00154292041.31496523.7E-40.0104201830.0116725060.012255621.04995615.9E-4
6.12.0074807E-52.2500084E-51.7249672E-47.6664921.5E-48.603206E-59.642541E-52.9640613E-43.07394222.0E-40.0010469370.00117335450.00154292041.31496523.7E-40.0104201830.0116725060.012255621.04995615.9E-4
6.22.0074807E-52.2500084E-51.7249672E-47.6664921.5E-48.603206E-59.642541E-52.9640613E-43.07394222.0E-40.0010469370.00117335450.00154292041.31496523.7E-40.0104201830.0116725060.012255621.04995615.9E-4
6.31.9050609E-52.1336948E-51.6133396E-47.56124831.4E-48.164292E-59.1440896E-52.814235E-43.0776551.9E-49.935491E-40.0011127310.00145235271.30521453.4E-40.0098911880.0110724190.0116163291.04912295.5E-4
6.41.9050609E-52.1336948E-51.6133396E-47.56124831.4E-48.164292E-59.1440896E-52.814235E-43.0776551.9E-49.935491E-40.0011127310.00145235271.30521453.4E-40.0098911880.0110724190.0116163291.04912295.5E-4
6.51.8367004E-52.0561009E-51.5055834E-47.3225171.3E-47.8713354E-58.811567E-52.680998E-43.04258941.8E-49.5791375E-40.00107228690.00140193291.30742353.3E-40.0095379510.01067191550.0112061531.05006025.4E-4
6.61.779439E-51.9910927E-51.4990834E-47.5289481.3E-47.625944E-58.53298E-52.6531445E-43.10928251.8E-49.280632E-40.00103840150.00136805881.31746613.3E-40.0092419690.0103362530.0108706711.05170335.4E-4
6.71.7025437E-51.9043426E-51.2904133E-46.77616171.1E-47.296412E-58.161216E-52.415991E-42.96033221.6E-48.87976E-49.931813E-40.00130287341.31181843.1E-40.0088443620.0098881450.0103832011.05006565.0E-4
6.81.6545107E-51.8512545E-51.2851051E-46.94180631.1E-47.090568E-57.93371E-52.393244E-43.0165511.6E-48.629347E-49.655073E-40.0012752081.32076483.1E-40.0085959150.0096138290.0100991181.05047824.9E-4
6.91.615478E-51.8087594E-51.1808579E-46.5285511.0E-46.9232934E-57.751599E-52.2750437E-42.93493461.5E-48.4258494E-49.433546E-40.00124307161.3177143.0E-40.0083939730.0093941960.009859781.04956094.7E-4
7.01.5894311E-51.780555E-51.1780377E-46.61612651.0E-46.81167E-57.6307304E-52.1629661E-42.83454681.4E-48.2900526E-49.286515E-40.00121838221.31199072.9E-40.0082591950.0092483970.0097041431.04927844.6E-4
7.11.5602263E-51.7483504E-51.0748193E-46.14761979.0E-56.6865134E-57.492718E-52.0491744E-42.73488781.3E-48.137789E-49.118627E-40.00119160741.30678382.8E-40.0081080520.0090818940.0095278071.04909914.5E-4
7.21.5323829E-51.717063E-51.07169086E-46.24141849.0E-56.56719E-57.358637E-52.0357681E-42.76650141.3E-47.99262E-48.9555193E-40.00117530111.31237642.8E-40.0079639340.0089201070.0093660921.04999784.5E-4
7.31.4556212E-51.6302456E-51.0630099E-46.52055079.0E-56.238227E-56.9865826E-51.9985675E-42.86057951.3E-47.592395E-48.5029035E-40.00113005231.32901932.8E-40.00756650740.0084710140.0089172021.05267244.5E-4
7.41.411725E-51.580796E-51.0580654E-46.69324459.0E-56.0501097E-56.7746674E-51.9773787E-42.91878341.3E-47.363519E-48.245094E-40.00109428681.32719742.7E-40.00733916740.0082151380.0086515241.05311974.4E-4
7.51.3503312E-51.5126289E-51.0512493E-46.9498169.0E-55.7870053E-56.482538E-51.9481695E-43.00525761.3E-47.043401E-47.8896893E-40.00105875591.34194872.7E-40.0070211190.0078623040.0082988451.05552334.4E-4
7.61.1279839E-51.2626327E-59.262532E-57.3358888.0E-54.834127E-55.4111737E-51.7410524E-43.21751361.2E-45.88396E-46.5861654E-48.884651E-41.34898692.3E-40.0058684050.0065671990.0069447031.05748333.8E-4
7.79.189108E-61.0283358E-56.0282844E-55.8621755.0E-53.93813E-54.407082E-51.240673E-42.815188.0E-54.7936183E-45.3643517E-47.0634397E-41.31673691.7E-40.0047832910.0053519140.0056403621.05389622.9E-4
7.83.4586725E-73.6482615E-73.6482615E-71.00.01.4822873E-61.5635396E-61.5635396E-61.00.01.80467E-51.9035933E-53.9035553E-52.05062462.0E-51.8045233E-41.9034347E-42.2033777E-41.15757983.0E-5
7.92.5591178E-92.6696718E-92.6696718E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.14414505E-81.14414505E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3929966E-71.3929966E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3929966E-61.3929966E-61.00.0

Elsinore (Glen Ivy) rev

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6204086E-42.937271E-44.236889E-41.44245771.3E-46.94276E-40.00125837780.00144813871.15079811.9E-40.0084200970.01523461750.0155300481.0193923.0E-40.0810811450.139624540.13998591.0025884.2E-4
6.11.6204086E-42.937271E-44.236889E-41.44245771.3E-46.94276E-40.00125837780.00144813871.15079811.9E-40.0084200970.01523461750.0155300481.0193923.0E-40.0810811450.139624540.13998591.0025884.2E-4
6.21.6204086E-42.937271E-44.236889E-41.44245771.3E-46.94276E-40.00125837780.00144813871.15079811.9E-40.0084200970.01523461750.0155300481.0193923.0E-40.0810811450.139624540.13998591.0025884.2E-4
6.31.0111737E-41.7703463E-42.4702222E-41.39533297.0E-54.332882E-47.5861585E-48.5854E-41.1317191.0E-40.0052625310.00921772050.009405971.02042251.9E-40.05139640.087073930.087329551.00293562.8E-4
6.41.0111737E-41.7703463E-42.4702222E-41.39533297.0E-54.332882E-47.5861585E-48.5854E-41.1317191.0E-40.0052625310.00921772050.009405971.02042251.9E-40.05139640.087073930.087329551.00293562.8E-4
6.53.6624708E-54.6391986E-57.639059E-51.64663343.0E-51.569536E-41.9880968E-42.4879974E-41.25144685.0E-50.0019092350.00241818140.00247803631.0247526.0E-50.018929150.0236970610.0237751661.00329598.0E-5
6.62.5051324E-52.6147465E-53.61472E-51.38243631.0E-51.073584E-41.12056E-41.3205376E-41.17846212.0E-50.00130630470.00136347250.00139343161.02197273.0E-50.0129865250.0135657590.01360521651.00290864.0E-5
6.72.2189772E-52.2072489E-53.207227E-51.45304261.0E-59.509556E-59.459316E-51.1459127E-41.21141182.0E-50.00115717340.00115109960.00118106511.02603213.0E-50.0115116630.01146632250.0114959791.00258643.0E-5
6.81.6654378E-51.44376E-52.4437455E-51.69262591.0E-57.137396E-56.187399E-58.187275E-51.32321762.0E-58.686314E-47.5306057E-47.83038E-41.03980743.0E-50.0086524390.00751007630.0075398511.00396473.0E-5
6.91.5042909E-51.2331886E-52.2331762E-51.8108961.0E-56.446802E-55.2849886E-57.284883E-51.37841032.0E-57.8461546E-46.4326054E-46.732412E-41.04660743.0E-50.0078185090.0064179250.00644773241.00464443.0E-5
7.01.4361385E-51.1451172E-52.1451058E-51.87326311.0E-56.154734E-54.9075545E-56.9074566E-51.40751492.0E-57.490812E-45.973339E-46.2731595E-41.05019323.0E-50.0074656120.0059609820.0059908031.00500273.0E-5
7.11.3265571E-51.0244736E-52.0244634E-51.97610121.0E-55.6851208E-54.3905282E-55.3904845E-51.2277531.0E-56.919436E-45.344183E-45.544076E-41.03740382.0E-50.0068979310.00533460030.0053544941.00372912.0E-5
7.21.1596403E-58.504847E-68.504847E-61.00.04.9697923E-53.6448844E-53.6448844E-51.00.06.049042E-44.4367602E-44.536716E-41.0225291.0E-50.0060326030.0044293570.00443931251.00224771.0E-5
7.31.0150827E-57.238537E-67.238537E-61.00.04.3502816E-53.102194E-53.102194E-51.00.05.2951806E-43.776281E-43.8762434E-41.02647111.0E-50.0052825810.0037702710.00378023341.00264231.0E-5
7.49.080705E-66.352307E-66.352307E-61.00.03.8916725E-52.7223898E-52.7223898E-51.00.04.7370812E-43.314019E-43.4139858E-41.03016481.0E-50.0047269960.00330922570.00331919241.00301181.0E-5
7.57.671649E-65.225419E-65.225419E-61.00.03.287808E-52.2394468E-52.2394468E-51.00.04.0021708E-42.7261977E-42.7261977E-41.00.00.00399497060.00272297840.00272297841.00.0
7.66.990086E-64.687336E-64.687336E-61.00.02.9957167E-52.0088435E-52.0088435E-51.00.03.6466747E-42.445504E-42.445504E-41.00.00.00364069640.00244292920.00244292921.00.0
7.74.163505E-62.329331E-62.329331E-61.00.01.7843471E-59.982813E-69.982813E-61.00.02.172226E-41.2153471E-41.2153471E-41.00.00.00217010380.00121475550.00121475551.00.0
7.82.2692414E-79.384417E-89.384417E-81.00.09.725317E-74.0218927E-74.0218927E-71.00.01.1840509E-54.8966467E-64.8966467E-61.00.01.1839878E-44.8965718E-54.8965718E-51.00.0
7.96.676829E-93.4397174E-93.4397174E-91.00.02.861498E-81.4741646E-81.4741646E-81.00.03.4838732E-71.7947953E-71.7947953E-71.00.03.4838679E-61.794794E-61.794794E-61.00.0

Sierra Nevada (No Extension)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.7690465E-66.9762887E-62.469746E-435.4020082.4E-43.329549E-52.989824E-52.8989048E-49.6959052.6E-44.0529718E-43.6398612E-47.0386234E-41.93376163.4E-40.0040455880.00363741540.0041057061.12874264.7E-4
6.17.7690465E-66.9762887E-62.469746E-435.4020082.4E-43.329549E-52.989824E-52.8989048E-49.6959052.6E-44.0529718E-43.6398612E-47.0386234E-41.93376163.4E-40.0040455880.00363741540.0041057061.12874264.7E-4
6.27.7690465E-66.9762887E-62.469746E-435.4020082.4E-43.329549E-52.989824E-52.8989048E-49.6959052.6E-44.0529718E-43.6398612E-47.0386234E-41.93376163.4E-40.0040455880.00363741540.0041057061.12874264.7E-4
6.37.7690465E-66.9762887E-62.469746E-435.4020082.4E-43.329549E-52.989824E-52.8989048E-49.6959052.6E-44.0529718E-43.6398612E-47.0386234E-41.93376163.4E-40.0040455880.00363741540.0041057061.12874264.7E-4
6.47.7690465E-66.9762887E-62.469746E-435.4020082.4E-43.329549E-52.989824E-52.8989048E-49.6959052.6E-44.0529718E-43.6398612E-47.0386234E-41.93376163.4E-40.0040455880.00363741540.0041057061.12874264.7E-4
6.57.7690465E-66.9762887E-62.469746E-435.4020082.4E-43.329549E-52.989824E-52.8989048E-49.6959052.6E-44.0529718E-43.6398612E-47.0386234E-41.93376163.4E-40.0040455880.00363741540.0041057061.12874264.7E-4
6.62.653E-61.6148208E-61.3161461E-481.504161.3E-41.136995E-56.9206426E-61.4691967E-421.2291951.4E-41.3842035E-48.42556E-52.6424043E-43.13617661.8E-40.00138334158.4224E-40.00111201251.32030372.7E-4
6.72.5902466E-61.5501544E-61.3154995E-484.862491.3E-41.11010095E-56.643502E-61.4664257E-422.0730841.4E-41.351464E-48.088166E-52.6086712E-43.22529341.8E-40.00135064248.0852525E-40.00107830691.33367132.7E-4
6.82.5853892E-61.5469546E-61.3154675E-485.035951.3E-41.1080193E-56.629789E-61.4662887E-422.116671.4E-41.34893E-48.071472E-52.6070018E-43.22989651.8E-40.00134811148.06857E-40.00107663921.33436182.7E-4
6.92.458257E-61.422029E-61.3142184E-492.418551.3E-41.0535345E-56.0943958E-61.4609355E-423.9717851.4E-41.2826028E-47.419676E-52.541834E-43.4258021.8E-40.00128186277.4172183E-40.00101152161.36374782.7E-4
7.02.4341468E-61.3989927E-61.3139882E-493.923871.3E-41.0432016E-55.9956697E-61.4599483E-424.3500461.4E-41.270024E-47.299485E-52.529817E-43.46574741.8E-40.00126929847.297107E-49.995137E-41.36973972.7E-4
7.12.3652476E-61.3339427E-61.3133377E-498.455331.3E-41.0136736E-55.716885E-61.4571608E-425.4887221.4E-41.2340778E-46.9600865E-52.4958834E-43.58599471.8E-40.00123339266.957924E-49.5561147E-41.37341462.6E-4
7.22.272158E-61.2502497E-61.3125008E-4104.97911.3E-49.737784E-65.358202E-61.4535745E-427.1280271.4E-41.1855107E-46.523417E-52.4522244E-43.759111.8E-40.00118487846.5215176E-49.1198215E-41.39842022.6E-4
7.32.1382127E-61.1419382E-61.3114179E-4114.84141.3E-49.163737E-64.894012E-61.4489333E-429.6062471.4E-41.1156279E-45.9582977E-52.3957225E-44.02081731.8E-40.0011150685.956712E-48.5551635E-41.43622242.6E-4
7.41.9048055E-69.574928E-71.20957375E-4126.327191.2E-48.163426E-64.103534E-61.34103E-432.679881.3E-49.9385186E-54.995939E-52.199509E-44.40259361.7E-49.934074E-44.9948227E-47.293674E-41.46024682.3E-4
7.51.5373403E-67.559763E-78.075592E-5106.823348.0E-56.5885843E-63.2398946E-69.32396E-528.7785939.0E-58.021306E-53.9445007E-51.5944027E-44.04209041.2E-48.0184115E-43.9438053E-45.643135E-41.43088581.7E-4
7.61.0680322E-64.65941E-77.046591E-5151.233547.0E-54.577273E-61.9968884E-68.199673E-541.062258.0E-55.5726876E-52.4311848E-51.3430917E-45.52443271.1E-45.5712904E-42.4309216E-43.8305813E-41.57577321.4E-4
7.75.509146E-71.5578539E-71.01557835E-565.1908651.0E-52.3610605E-66.676515E-72.0667638E-530.9557292.0E-52.8745531E-58.128628E-63.8128383E-54.690633.0E-52.8741814E-48.128342E-51.2128017E-41.49206534.0E-5

San Andreas (Coachella) rev

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1925945E-43.273077E-44.772586E-41.45813431.5E-45.110118E-40.0014019980.00164166151.17094422.4E-40.00620383540.0169370680.017310631.0220563.8E-40.0603347530.152676720.153083431.00266394.8E-4
6.11.1925945E-43.273077E-44.772586E-41.45813431.5E-45.110118E-40.0014019980.00164166151.17094422.4E-40.00620383540.0169370680.017310631.0220563.8E-40.0603347530.152676720.153083431.00266394.8E-4
6.21.07432395E-43.0231563E-44.5227027E-41.49602021.5E-44.603433E-40.0012949990.00152470121.17737632.3E-40.0055902860.0156537310.016017941.02326663.7E-40.054517310.141827840.142231171.00284394.7E-4
6.31.0718766E-43.0176868E-44.517234E-41.49691951.5E-44.592948E-40.00129265730.001522361.1776982.3E-40.0055775860.015625630.015989851.0233093.7E-40.0543965550.141596050.14199951.00284934.7E-4
6.41.0355944E-42.9384956E-44.4380547E-41.51031531.5E-44.4375064E-40.00125875140.00148846191.18249072.3E-40.00538928850.0152186620.0155830321.02394223.7E-40.0526044960.138157950.138563021.0029324.7E-4
6.51.0227914E-42.9104383E-44.410002E-41.51523631.5E-44.382655E-40.00124673850.00147645181.18425132.3E-40.00532283540.0150744390.0154388611.02417483.7E-40.0519713160.136942390.137348031.00296214.7E-4
6.61.0116757E-42.8870135E-44.3865805E-41.51941811.5E-44.3350324E-40.00123670870.00146642431.18574752.3E-40.00526513670.0149540080.0153184761.02437263.7E-40.0514212470.135919730.136325871.0029884.7E-4
6.71.0050676E-42.8728697E-44.3724387E-41.5219761.5E-44.3067214E-40.00123065280.00146036981.18666272.3E-40.0052308340.0148812880.0152457821.02449353.7E-40.0510940850.135304640.135711061.00300364.7E-4
6.89.976819E-52.8532353E-44.3528073E-41.5255691.5E-44.2750788E-40.0012222460.00145196481.18794812.3E-40.00519249360.0147803280.0151448591.02466333.7E-40.0507282950.134456280.134863081.00302554.7E-4
6.99.77719E-52.802926E-44.3025054E-41.53500511.5E-44.1895514E-40.00120070480.00143042871.19132412.3E-40.00508885550.01452158950.0148862171.02510933.7E-40.0497388880.132284760.132692591.0030834.7E-4
7.08.500761E-52.4763815E-43.97601E-41.60557251.5E-43.6426744E-40.00106087790.00129063391.21657162.3E-40.00442594060.012840470.0131958481.02767633.6E-40.043388230.118136160.1185418141.00343384.6E-4
7.18.319876E-52.4366553E-43.93629E-41.6154481.5E-43.5651738E-40.00104386620.0012736261.22010482.3E-40.0043319630.0126357730.0129912241.02813053.6E-40.0424848460.116356320.1167627951.00349344.6E-4
7.27.563917E-52.2414974E-43.7411612E-41.66904541.5E-43.2412758E-49.602912E-40.00119007031.23928072.3E-40.00393911450.0116295590.0119853731.03059573.6E-40.038700180.107762020.108172451.00380864.6E-4
7.37.082985E-52.07311E-43.572799E-41.72340061.5E-43.0352117E-48.881761E-40.00111797181.25872772.3E-40.00368910960.0107605530.0110968951.03125693.4E-40.036284650.100284030.100661911.00376814.2E-4
7.45.146215E-51.4274761E-42.927262E-42.05065561.5E-42.2053342E-46.1163295E-48.4149226E-41.37581252.3E-40.00268168840.00742139430.00775887071.04547353.4E-40.026495570.070850490.071240731.0055084.2E-4
7.54.0285166E-51.0942422E-42.4940888E-42.27928421.4E-41.7263928E-44.6887697E-46.787785E-41.44766872.1E-40.0020998570.00569370440.00601188231.05588253.2E-40.0208012540.0550130830.0553910771.0068714.0E-4
7.63.1168736E-58.439599E-52.2438417E-42.65870641.4E-41.3357346E-43.616471E-45.715712E-41.58046652.1E-40.00162504370.0043941910.00471278471.07250343.2E-40.0161321160.0428124780.0431857781.00871943.9E-4
7.72.2100989E-56.239345E-52.0238472E-43.24368521.4E-49.4715084E-52.6737314E-44.6731965E-41.74781842.0E-40.0011525460.00325041520.00355940751.09506243.1E-40.0114658670.0319021680.0322603661.0112283.7E-4
7.81.7484861E-55.180078E-51.9179353E-43.70252181.4E-47.493296E-52.2198448E-44.219401E-41.90076392.0E-49.1192697E-40.00269931420.00299850431.11083943.0E-40.0090819380.0266417880.0269921961.01315263.6E-4
7.91.3967285E-53.8226146E-51.6822117E-44.40068341.3E-45.985842E-51.6381606E-43.4378658E-42.09861331.8E-47.2853256E-40.00199263730.00227207951.14023732.8E-40.00726148770.0199110020.0202344321.01624373.3E-4
8.01.1887396E-53.106798E-51.4106456E-44.5405131.1E-45.094499E-51.331417E-42.831217E-42.12646941.5E-46.200787E-40.00161979580.0018693911.15409042.5E-40.0061835130.0162805670.0165756831.01812683.0E-4
8.15.100864E-68.973766E-68.973766E-61.00.02.1860664E-53.845843E-54.8458045E-51.26001111.0E-52.6612106E-44.6813092E-45.081122E-41.08540624.0E-50.0026580260.0049180920.00495789531.00809324.0E-5
8.22.3004484E-62.7863473E-62.7863473E-61.00.09.859027E-61.19414335E-51.19414335E-51.00.01.2002704E-41.4537729E-41.6537438E-41.13755312.0E-50.00119962230.00159737820.00161734621.01250052.0E-5
8.31.0424446E-75.814421E-85.814421E-81.00.04.4676187E-72.4918944E-72.4918944E-71.00.05.439312E-63.0338776E-63.0338776E-61.00.05.4391792E-53.189592E-53.189592E-51.00.0

San Andreas (Carrizo) rev

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1674632E-42.4324407E-43.6321487E-41.49321161.2E-45.002454E-40.00104205970.0012018931.15338211.6E-40.0060734930.0126137570.0129000991.02270082.9E-40.05910160.1206402260.1210535241.00342584.7E-4
6.11.1674632E-42.4324407E-43.6321487E-41.49321161.2E-45.002454E-40.00104205970.0012018931.15338211.6E-40.0060734930.0126137570.0129000991.02270082.9E-40.05910160.1206402260.1210535241.00342584.7E-4
6.21.1674632E-42.4324407E-43.6321487E-41.49321161.2E-45.002454E-40.00104205970.0012018931.15338211.6E-40.0060734930.0126137570.0129000991.02270082.9E-40.05910160.1206402260.1210535241.00342584.7E-4
6.31.1674632E-42.4324407E-43.6321487E-41.49321161.2E-45.002454E-40.00104205970.0012018931.15338211.6E-40.0060734930.0126137570.0129000991.02270082.9E-40.05910160.1206402260.1210535241.00342584.7E-4
6.41.1674632E-42.4324407E-43.6321487E-41.49321161.2E-45.002454E-40.00104205970.0012018931.15338211.6E-40.0060734930.0126137570.0129000991.02270082.9E-40.05910160.1206402260.1210535241.00342584.7E-4
6.51.13136164E-42.3644442E-43.5641604E-41.50739881.2E-44.847792E-40.00101294120.00117277911.15779591.6E-40.00588622550.0122632710.0125497141.02335792.9E-40.0573273340.117610080.118015981.00345124.6E-4
6.61.13136164E-42.3644442E-43.5641604E-41.50739881.2E-44.847792E-40.00101294120.00117277911.15779591.6E-40.00588622550.0122632710.0125497141.02335792.9E-40.0573273340.117610080.118015981.00345124.6E-4
6.71.1149675E-42.3335687E-43.5332888E-41.51411381.2E-44.777557E-49.997191E-40.00115955911.15988491.6E-40.00580117340.0121040880.0123905781.02366892.9E-40.056520510.11622910.1166356351.00349774.6E-4
6.81.1103589E-42.3237852E-43.5235062E-41.51627891.2E-44.7578133E-49.955293E-40.001155371.16055861.6E-40.0057772630.0120536430.0123401481.02376912.9E-40.0562935840.115788940.116195681.00351274.6E-4
6.91.1053259E-42.3130233E-43.512746E-41.51868151.2E-44.7362508E-49.909206E-40.00115076211.1613061.6E-40.00575114970.0119981520.0122846731.02388042.9E-40.056045690.115304450.1157114061.00352944.6E-4
7.01.1005377E-42.3031076E-43.5028314E-41.52091521.2E-44.7157376E-49.866742E-40.00114651641.16200091.6E-40.00572630620.0119470210.0122335561.02398382.9E-40.0558097960.114856580.1152637451.0035454.6E-4
7.11.0308142E-42.1540876E-43.353829E-41.55696031.2E-44.417027E-49.228548E-40.00108270721.1732151.6E-40.00536447760.0111781880.0114649471.02565342.9E-40.0523681380.108090420.1084917861.00371314.5E-4
7.21.0027479E-42.094876E-43.2946246E-41.57270621.2E-44.296783E-48.9749607E-40.00105735251.17811371.6E-40.00521879220.0108725660.01115941351.02638272.9E-40.0509792120.105390860.105793441.00381984.5E-4
7.39.816942E-52.0423878E-43.2421426E-41.58742761.2E-44.2065824E-48.7501644E-40.00103487641.18269371.6E-40.0051094930.0106015720.0108884971.02706442.9E-40.0499359850.102975460.1033701451.00383284.4E-4
7.49.5634205E-51.9793298E-43.0791122E-41.55563371.1E-44.0979648E-48.4800937E-49.978822E-41.17673481.5E-40.00497786370.0102759010.0105530241.02696822.8E-40.0486782530.1000678840.100454851.0038674.3E-4
7.58.052417E-51.6113915E-42.6112303E-41.62048161.0E-43.4505792E-46.9041376E-48.303171E-41.2026371.4E-40.00419299030.0083734710.008641211.03197472.7E-40.041147530.0828152450.083200461.00465154.2E-4
7.67.897024E-51.5767086E-42.576551E-41.63413261.0E-43.384E-46.755574E-48.1546284E-41.20709621.4E-40.00411223850.008193970.0084617581.03268112.7E-40.0403696970.081158660.081544581.0047554.2E-4
7.76.707427E-51.3277122E-42.127606E-41.60246018.0E-52.8742946E-45.688955E-46.8882725E-41.21081511.2E-40.0034938390.00690433850.00712281931.0316442.2E-40.0343941640.069053390.069369911.00458373.4E-4
7.86.147705E-51.2198445E-41.9197591E-41.57377367.0E-52.6344648E-45.226858E-46.326283E-41.21034151.1E-40.00320274360.0063451560.00654388731.03132012.0E-40.0315697640.06351720.063816871.00471813.2E-4
7.94.7636717E-58.8802946E-51.5879673E-41.78819227.0E-52.0414138E-43.8052857E-44.804905E-41.26269231.0E-40.00248258840.0046231010.00478236141.03444891.6E-40.0245503650.0466293660.0468581731.0049072.4E-4
8.03.3554235E-55.2138024E-55.2138024E-51.00.01.4379594E-42.2342955E-42.5342286E-41.13424053.0E-50.00174930970.0027168630.00279664571.02936588.0E-50.0173560340.0278819050.0279888381.00383521.1E-4
8.11.9175432E-51.9183564E-51.9183564E-51.00.08.217783E-58.221269E-51.02211045E-41.24325142.0E-50.00100005580.00100048050.00106042041.05991116.0E-50.0099556730.0107577710.0108171251.00551746.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.473668E-65.473668E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3458366E-52.3458366E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.8556827E-43.155597E-41.10502373.0E-50.00450013950.00324817930.0032780821.00920593.0E-5
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

San Andreas (Cholame) rev

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2302514E-42.5205986E-43.820271E-41.51562051.3E-45.27144E-40.00107981090.00124962741.1572651.7E-40.00639910860.0130679580.01336403751.02265693.0E-40.062179490.124384120.124795661.00330874.7E-4
6.11.2302514E-42.5205986E-43.820271E-41.51562051.3E-45.27144E-40.00107981090.00124962741.1572651.7E-40.00639910860.0130679580.01336403751.02265693.0E-40.062179490.124384120.124795661.00330874.7E-4
6.21.2203569E-42.502277E-43.8019515E-41.51939681.3E-45.2290526E-40.00107196530.0012417831.15841721.7E-40.0063478040.0129735780.0132696861.02282393.0E-40.0616951360.1235713140.1239832341.00333344.7E-4
6.31.2142645E-42.4908737E-43.79055E-41.52177521.3E-45.202953E-40.00106708230.00123690081.1591431.7E-40.0063162120.0129148340.0132109591.02292913.0E-40.061396770.123065320.123477481.00334914.7E-4
6.41.1865206E-42.4414246E-43.6411316E-41.49139631.2E-45.0840975E-40.00104590680.00120573941.15281721.6E-40.0061723350.0126600440.0129463731.02261672.9E-40.0600368680.120859040.1212634441.00334614.6E-4
6.51.17443946E-42.4207575E-43.620467E-41.49559261.2E-45.032341E-40.00103705660.00119689061.15412281.6E-40.0061096770.0125535360.0128398961.0228112.9E-40.0594440770.119930080.1203349161.00337554.6E-4
6.61.13579066E-42.3516564E-43.5513742E-41.51015871.2E-44.866766E-40.0010074650.00116730381.15865451.6E-40.00590920170.0121973450.0124838071.02348572.9E-40.0575451850.11684920.117255451.00347674.6E-4
6.71.1271412E-42.336088E-43.5358078E-41.51355921.2E-44.829711E-40.0010007980.00116063781.15971241.6E-40.0058643310.0121170790.0124035651.02364312.9E-40.0571196970.116152750.116559321.00350034.6E-4
6.81.1217975E-42.3249313E-43.5246523E-41.51602441.2E-44.8068175E-49.960202E-40.00115586071.16047931.6E-40.0058366080.0120595550.0123460581.02375732.9E-40.0568567250.115650610.116057411.00351754.6E-4
6.91.1146753E-42.3098059E-43.5095288E-41.51940421.2E-44.7763053E-49.895428E-40.00114938441.16153091.6E-40.00579965770.0119815640.0122680891.02391392.9E-40.0565061270.114970270.115377381.0035414.6E-4
7.01.0965793E-42.2721413E-43.4718687E-41.52801621.2E-44.698779E-49.734129E-40.00113325721.16421011.6E-40.0057057680.0117873240.0120739061.02431272.9E-40.0556147360.113270110.113678011.00360114.6E-4
7.19.927982E-52.0540332E-43.2537867E-41.58409641.2E-44.2541555E-48.8000396E-40.00103986321.18165731.6E-40.00516714060.0106617080.0109486171.02691022.9E-40.050486340.103365730.103769211.00390354.5E-4
7.29.696786E-52.0044584E-43.204218E-41.59854541.2E-44.1551032E-48.587718E-40.00101863441.18615261.6E-40.005047110.0104057030.0106926861.02757932.9E-40.049340090.101102330.101506841.00400094.5E-4
7.39.4727984E-51.9473763E-43.1471427E-41.61609381.2E-44.0591392E-48.343239E-49.941903E-41.1916121.6E-40.00493080870.0101108510.01039791851.02839212.9E-40.0482282680.098474120.098870791.00402824.4E-4
7.49.220358E-51.8844259E-42.9842186E-41.58362221.1E-43.9509835E-48.07362E-49.5724093E-41.18564021.5E-40.0047997170.0097855780.0100628381.02833352.8E-40.0469736530.095558310.095947221.00406994.3E-4
7.57.71631E-51.5179155E-42.5177636E-41.65869821.0E-43.306571E-46.5037323E-47.9028215E-41.2151211.4E-40.00401832070.0078896170.0081574871.03395222.7E-40.039464330.0782891960.078676311.00494474.2E-4
7.67.5634416E-51.4838556E-42.4837072E-41.673821.0E-43.241072E-46.357833E-47.7569427E-41.22006081.4E-40.00393886720.0077132560.0079811731.03473472.7E-40.0386977940.0766548740.0770426841.00505914.2E-4
7.76.3783E-51.2359623E-42.0358634E-41.64718898.0E-52.7332708E-45.2959064E-46.4952706E-41.22647011.2E-40.00332267980.00642873070.00664731631.03400142.2E-40.0327343640.064544880.064862931.00492763.4E-4
7.85.863422E-51.14169685E-41.8416169E-41.61305257.0E-52.512653E-44.892069E-45.991531E-41.22474371.1E-40.0030548640.00593984970.00613866141.03347092.0E-40.0301320940.059661620.059962531.00504363.2E-4
7.94.595283E-58.426815E-51.5426225E-41.83061167.0E-51.9692584E-43.6109926E-44.6106314E-41.27683221.0E-40.00239493580.00438752770.0045468261.0363071.6E-40.0236928910.0443631370.0445924921.00516992.4E-4
8.03.2950178E-55.077396E-55.077396E-51.00.01.412074E-42.1758456E-42.4757802E-41.13784743.0E-50.00171784440.00264587530.00272566381.03015588.0E-50.0170462560.0271810720.0272880831.00393691.1E-4
8.11.9177472E-51.9183733E-51.9183733E-51.00.08.218658E-58.221342E-51.0221177E-41.24324932.0E-50.00100016220.00100048930.00106042931.05991076.0E-50.0099567280.0107578870.0108172411.00551726.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.473668E-65.473668E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3458366E-52.3458366E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.8556827E-43.155597E-41.10502373.0E-50.00450013950.00324817930.0032780821.00920593.0E-5
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

Red Pass

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.258278E-68.551265E-61.4855007E-417.3717061.4E-43.539214E-53.6647863E-52.0664163E-45.6385721.7E-44.308141E-44.4611428E-47.159938E-41.60495622.7E-40.00429979850.0044539450.00487207441.09387844.2E-4
6.13.649988E-63.7753161E-68.377501E-522.1901998.0E-51.5642712E-51.6179853E-51.061784E-46.56238379.0E-51.9043336E-41.9697666E-43.1695302E-41.60908931.2E-40.00190270260.0019684880.00216809431.10140092.0E-4
6.23.649988E-63.7753161E-68.377501E-522.1901998.0E-51.5642712E-51.6179853E-51.061784E-46.56238379.0E-51.9043336E-41.9697666E-43.1695302E-41.60908931.2E-40.00190270260.0019684880.00216809431.10140092.0E-4
6.31.3924937E-61.4411166E-62.1441088E-514.8781072.0E-55.9678164E-66.1762075E-63.617602E-55.857323.0E-57.265574E-57.519415E-51.2519039E-41.66489545.0E-57.263199E-47.518258E-48.217732E-41.09303677.0E-5
6.41.3924937E-61.4411166E-62.1441088E-514.8781072.0E-55.9678164E-66.1762075E-63.617602E-55.857323.0E-57.265574E-57.519415E-51.2519039E-41.66489545.0E-57.263199E-47.518258E-48.217732E-41.09303677.0E-5
6.59.876812E-71.0221912E-61.0221912E-61.00.04.2329125E-64.3808195E-61.4380776E-53.28266791.0E-55.153449E-55.3336476E-57.333541E-51.37495792.0E-55.1522546E-45.333648E-45.733434E-41.07495564.0E-5

Cady

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.9892565E-52.1858728E-51.0185698E-44.65978538.0E-58.525106E-59.3677416E-51.9366805E-42.0673931.0E-40.00103743740.00114001670.00138973171.2190452.5E-40.0103260750.0113507010.0117263871.03309813.8E-4
6.11.9892565E-52.1858728E-51.0185698E-44.65978538.0E-58.525106E-59.3677416E-51.9366805E-42.0673931.0E-40.00103743740.00114001670.00138973171.2190452.5E-40.0103260750.0113507010.0117263871.03309813.8E-4
6.21.9892565E-52.1858728E-51.0185698E-44.65978538.0E-58.525106E-59.3677416E-51.9366805E-42.0673931.0E-40.00103743740.00114001670.00138973171.2190452.5E-40.0103260750.0113507010.0117263871.03309813.8E-4
6.31.1117327E-51.2176583E-55.2176096E-54.28495364.0E-54.764482E-55.2184492E-51.1218136E-42.14970686.0E-55.7992124E-46.351925E-47.9509086E-41.25173211.6E-40.00578410220.00633687530.00657535441.03763352.4E-4
6.41.1117327E-51.2176583E-55.2176096E-54.28495364.0E-54.764482E-55.2184492E-51.1218136E-42.14970686.0E-55.7992124E-46.351925E-47.9509086E-41.25173211.6E-40.00578410220.00633687530.00657535441.03763352.4E-4
6.56.103093E-66.672021E-61.6671955E-52.49878621.0E-52.615585E-52.8594131E-54.859356E-51.69942432.0E-53.1840094E-43.480905E-44.2806266E-41.22974538.0E-50.00317945120.00347668650.00359626951.03439561.2E-4
6.65.817237E-66.3656585E-61.6365595E-52.57091931.0E-52.4930776E-52.728118E-54.728063E-51.73308612.0E-53.034899E-43.3211018E-44.120836E-41.2408048.0E-50.00303075770.00331736050.00343696241.03605331.2E-4
6.74.8846314E-65.3405684E-61.5340514E-52.87244991.0E-52.0933967E-52.2888014E-54.2887557E-51.87379982.0E-52.5484123E-42.7863772E-43.286238E-41.17939455.0E-50.00254549180.00278403910.00286381651.02865528.0E-5
6.81.7788773E-61.9399079E-61.1939888E-56.1548741.0E-57.6237375E-68.313874E-61.831379E-52.20279881.0E-59.281505E-51.01218284E-41.2121626E-41.19757272.0E-59.2776294E-40.00101187650.00104184611.02961793.0E-5
6.97.5455404E-78.297092E-78.297092E-71.00.03.233799E-63.5558937E-63.5558937E-61.00.03.937079E-54.3292483E-54.3292483E-51.00.03.9363815E-44.3287344E-44.3287344E-41.00.0
7.06.8578805E-77.541816E-77.541816E-71.00.02.9390883E-63.2322048E-63.2322048E-61.00.03.578281E-53.9351715E-53.9351715E-51.00.03.577705E-43.9347992E-43.9347992E-41.00.0

Scodie Lineament

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.2919327E-63.0133303E-61.3301295E-444.1415021.3E-41.4108206E-51.2914227E-51.6291229E-412.6149461.5E-41.7175387E-41.5722254E-44.571754E-42.90782333.0E-40.00171621180.00157142480.00198078041.26049974.1E-4
6.11.8663811E-61.5490382E-63.1548992E-520.3668273.0E-57.998751E-66.6387206E-64.6638455E-57.0252174.0E-59.738045E-58.082393E-51.7081665E-42.11344179.0E-59.7337784E-48.079941E-49.4788097E-41.17312861.4E-4
6.21.8663811E-61.5490382E-63.1548992E-520.3668273.0E-57.998751E-66.6387206E-64.6638455E-57.0252174.0E-59.738045E-58.082393E-51.7081665E-42.11344179.0E-59.7337784E-48.079941E-49.4788097E-41.17312861.4E-4
6.31.8663811E-61.5490382E-63.1548992E-520.3668273.0E-57.998751E-66.6387206E-64.6638455E-57.0252174.0E-59.738045E-58.082393E-51.7081665E-42.11344179.0E-59.7337784E-48.079941E-49.4788097E-41.17312861.4E-4
6.41.8663811E-61.5490382E-63.1548992E-520.3668273.0E-57.998751E-66.6387206E-64.6638455E-57.0252174.0E-59.738045E-58.082393E-51.7081665E-42.11344179.0E-59.7337784E-48.079941E-49.4788097E-41.17312861.4E-4
6.51.8106311E-61.4909722E-63.1490927E-521.121073.0E-57.759824E-66.389868E-64.6389614E-57.25987054.0E-59.447177E-57.779436E-51.6778735E-42.15680629.0E-59.4431615E-47.7771995E-49.0761884E-41.16702531.3E-4
6.61.2414679E-68.9974395E-71.0899735E-512.1142631.0E-55.320566E-63.85604E-62.3855962E-56.1866482.0E-56.477596E-54.6946367E-57.694496E-51.63899713.0E-56.475708E-44.6937316E-45.193497E-41.1064755.0E-5
6.71.1062215E-67.594193E-71.0759411E-514.1679461.0E-54.7409408E-63.2546504E-61.3254618E-54.07251641.0E-55.7719422E-53.962472E-55.962393E-51.50471542.0E-55.770443E-43.9618355E-44.361677E-41.10092334.0E-5
6.81.0006736E-66.5002786E-71.0650021E-516.3839451.0E-54.288594E-62.7858312E-61.2785803E-54.5895831.0E-55.221238E-53.391703E-55.391635E-51.58965432.0E-55.220012E-43.3912458E-43.7911104E-41.11791074.0E-5
6.99.167364E-75.6315065E-75.6315065E-71.00.03.9288643E-62.413501E-62.413501E-61.00.04.7832873E-52.9384037E-53.9383744E-51.34031081.0E-54.782258E-42.9380718E-43.2379836E-41.10207783.0E-5
7.07.6987664E-74.113265E-74.113265E-71.00.03.2994672E-61.7628269E-61.7628269E-61.00.04.0170275E-52.1462245E-52.1462245E-51.00.04.0163012E-42.1460558E-42.2460344E-41.04658711.0E-5
7.17.1038727E-73.5210306E-73.5210306E-71.00.03.0445133E-61.5090123E-61.5090123E-61.00.03.706632E-51.8372106E-51.8372106E-51.00.03.7060137E-41.8370937E-41.8370937E-41.00.0
7.22.0799602E-73.1178534E-83.1178534E-81.00.08.914113E-71.3362228E-71.3362228E-71.00.01.0852878E-51.6268501E-61.6268501E-61.00.01.08523476E-41.626839E-51.626839E-51.00.0
7.31.5048182E-71.5939106E-81.5939106E-81.00.06.449219E-76.8310456E-86.8310456E-81.00.07.851896E-68.316795E-78.316795E-71.00.07.851618E-58.316767E-68.316767E-61.00.0
7.45.9334678E-84.8638475E-94.8638475E-91.00.02.5429145E-72.084506E-82.084506E-81.00.03.095994E-62.5378858E-72.5378858E-71.00.03.095951E-52.5378843E-62.5378843E-61.00.0

Calico-Hidalgo

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.0906612E-55.0704355E-51.6069878E-43.1693291.1E-41.7530227E-42.1728857E-43.372625E-41.5521411.2E-40.00213221580.0026426780.00285212321.07925492.1E-40.021118730.0261528140.0265033991.01340523.6E-4
6.14.0906612E-55.0704355E-51.6069878E-43.1693291.1E-41.7530227E-42.1728857E-43.372625E-41.5521411.2E-40.00213221580.0026426780.00285212321.07925492.1E-40.021118730.0261528140.0265033991.01340523.6E-4
6.24.0906612E-55.0704355E-51.6069878E-43.1693291.1E-41.7530227E-42.1728857E-43.372625E-41.5521411.2E-40.00213221580.0026426780.00285212321.07925492.1E-40.021118730.0261528140.0265033991.01340523.6E-4
6.32.4242801E-53.0090967E-59.008916E-52.99389396.0E-51.0389358E-41.289551E-41.8894736E-41.46521826.0E-50.00126417040.00156893120.00169872731.0827291.3E-40.012570030.0155822290.0157889561.01326692.1E-4
6.42.4242801E-53.0090967E-59.008916E-52.99389396.0E-51.0389358E-41.289551E-41.8894736E-41.46521826.0E-50.00126417040.00156893120.00169872731.0827291.3E-40.012570030.0155822290.0157889561.01326692.1E-4
6.52.0286952E-52.5316054E-57.531479E-52.97498135.0E-58.694118E-51.0849296E-41.5848754E-41.46080945.0E-50.00105799490.00132011860.00141998651.07565081.0E-40.0105297190.0131247010.0133023381.01353451.8E-4
6.62.0269223E-52.5297004E-57.529574E-52.97646865.0E-58.6865206E-51.08411325E-41.584059E-41.46115655.0E-50.00105707070.00131912580.00141899381.07570781.0E-40.0105205650.013114890.013292531.01354491.8E-4
6.71.799852E-52.2540933E-57.2539806E-53.21813685.0E-57.713423E-59.660051E-51.4659567E-41.51754565.0E-59.3870464E-40.00117549110.00127537361.08497081.0E-40.0093474930.0116943460.0118623571.0143671.7E-4
6.81.7458793E-52.184258E-57.184149E-53.28905685.0E-57.4821255E-59.360778E-51.436031E-41.53409365.0E-59.10568E-40.00113909330.00123897941.08768921.0E-40.0090684590.0113341310.01150220351.01482891.7E-4
6.91.542884E-51.9026285E-56.902534E-53.62789345.0E-56.612192E-58.153875E-51.3153467E-41.61315545.0E-58.04737E-49.922953E-40.0010822061.09060889.0E-50.0080182910.0098800430.01003846251.01603421.6E-4
7.01.468253E-51.803109E-56.803019E-53.7729385.0E-56.292361E-57.727389E-51.2727003E-41.64699915.0E-57.658257E-49.4041653E-40.0010303321.09561239.0E-50.00763191840.0093657360.0095242371.01692351.6E-4
7.11.3139281E-51.620139E-56.620058E-54.0861055.0E-55.6309986E-56.943275E-51.1942928E-41.72007135.0E-56.853584E-48.4502844E-49.349524E-41.10641539.0E-50.00683248560.0084194490.0085681861.01766591.5E-4
7.21.1127404E-51.3867038E-56.386635E-54.60562235.0E-54.7688E-55.9428872E-51.094259E-41.84129195.0E-55.8044674E-47.233172E-48.132521E-41.12433679.0E-50.00578932980.0072107370.00733981.01789871.3E-4
7.39.808154E-61.2176586E-56.2175975E-55.1061915.0E-54.2034266E-55.2184383E-51.0218177E-41.9580915.0E-55.11647E-46.351704E-47.151196E-41.12587058.0E-50.00510470570.0063346250.00644392851.01725481.1E-4
7.47.942452E-69.792348E-65.979186E-56.10597755.0E-53.4038632E-54.1966585E-59.196449E-52.1913745.0E-54.1434157E-45.108328E-45.807971E-41.13696117.0E-50.00413569850.0050975270.00519701751.01951731.0E-4
7.54.7121216E-65.7729717E-62.5772857E-54.46440032.0E-52.019465E-52.4741115E-54.474062E-51.8083512.0E-52.4584212E-43.011891E-43.4117704E-41.1327674.0E-50.00245570320.00300856140.00307835081.02319697.0E-5
7.62.21172E-72.6040198E-72.6040198E-71.00.09.478797E-71.1160082E-61.1160082E-61.00.01.1540374E-51.3587343E-52.3587207E-51.73596911.0E-51.1539775E-41.3586794E-41.4586658E-41.07359091.0E-5

Manix-Afton Hills

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.3783202E-51.47110895E-51.2470948E-48.4772421.1E-45.906953E-56.30461E-52.1303665E-43.37906121.5E-47.189342E-47.6733343E-40.00103712631.35159792.7E-40.00716612770.0076485960.0080157661.04800493.7E-4
6.11.3783202E-51.47110895E-51.2470948E-48.4772421.1E-45.906953E-56.30461E-52.1303665E-43.37906121.5E-47.189342E-47.6733343E-40.00103712631.35159792.7E-40.00716612770.0076485960.0080157661.04800493.7E-4
6.21.3783202E-51.47110895E-51.2470948E-48.4772421.1E-45.906953E-56.30461E-52.1303665E-43.37906121.5E-47.189342E-47.6733343E-40.00103712631.35159792.7E-40.00716612770.0076485960.0080157661.04800493.7E-4
6.31.10494875E-51.1793136E-51.0179207E-48.6314689.0E-54.7354086E-55.054109E-51.6053554E-43.1763371.1E-45.763835E-46.151744E-48.250452E-41.34115662.1E-40.0057489080.00613575570.0064339151.04859383.0E-4
6.41.10494875E-51.1793136E-51.0179207E-48.6314689.0E-54.7354086E-55.054109E-51.6053554E-43.1763371.1E-45.763835E-46.151744E-48.250452E-41.34115662.1E-40.0057489080.00613575570.0064339151.04859383.0E-4
6.59.788949E-61.045432E-57.0453694E-56.73919446.0E-54.1951964E-54.480351E-51.2479993E-42.78549438.0E-55.1064545E-45.453555E-47.152628E-41.31155321.7E-40.00509473630.00544109850.00568973831.04569662.5E-4
6.68.810006E-69.4136285E-66.9413065E-57.3736786.0E-53.775662E-54.0343548E-51.2034032E-42.9828898.0E-54.5958988E-44.9108086E-46.3101214E-41.28494551.4E-40.00458640560.0049008390.0050998591.04060942.0E-4
6.78.80128E-69.404108E-66.940354E-57.38013036.0E-53.7719226E-54.0302748E-51.20299526E-42.98489648.0E-54.591348E-44.9058435E-46.305157E-41.2852341.4E-40.0045818740.00489589570.00509491661.04065052.0E-4
6.86.8994877E-67.380076E-64.737978E-56.41995864.0E-52.9568899E-53.162856E-57.162729E-52.26463994.0E-53.5994186E-43.8501783E-44.749832E-41.23366539.0E-50.0035935940.00384431290.00396385141.03109491.2E-4
6.94.9328037E-65.2709615E-63.5270805E-56.6915313.0E-52.1140417E-52.2589675E-55.2588995E-52.32801033.0E-52.5735417E-42.7500073E-43.3498422E-41.21812136.0E-50.00257056350.00274720950.00281701731.02541047.0E-5
7.03.347973E-63.59003E-61.35899945E-53.78548221.0E-51.4348378E-51.5385775E-52.5385621E-51.6499411.0E-51.746775E-41.8730981E-42.173042E-41.16013243.0E-50.00174540250.00187192190.00190186581.01599633.0E-5
7.11.2073567E-61.293482E-61.12934695E-58.731061.0E-55.1743755E-65.543492E-61.5543437E-52.80390721.0E-56.29962E-56.749156E-57.7490884E-51.14815661.0E-56.297835E-46.7487074E-46.84864E-41.01480771.0E-5

Baker

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.695525E-65.8348373E-65.5834545E-59.5691695.0E-52.4409164E-52.5006228E-51.0500423E-44.1991238.0E-52.9714106E-43.044123E-44.9435446E-41.62396351.9E-40.00296744050.00304034860.00339925431.11804753.6E-4
6.15.695525E-65.8348373E-65.5834545E-59.5691695.0E-52.4409164E-52.5006228E-51.0500423E-44.1991238.0E-52.9714106E-43.044123E-44.9435446E-41.62396351.9E-40.00296744050.00304034860.00339925431.11804753.6E-4
6.25.695525E-65.8348373E-65.5834545E-59.5691695.0E-52.4409164E-52.5006228E-51.0500423E-44.1991238.0E-52.9714106E-43.044123E-44.9435446E-41.62396351.9E-40.00296744050.00304034860.00339925431.11804753.6E-4
6.33.2995713E-63.383667E-65.3383497E-515.7768175.0E-51.4140943E-51.4501353E-57.450048E-55.1374856.0E-51.7215237E-41.7654014E-43.0651718E-41.73624651.3E-40.00172019070.0017640460.00203356961.15278722.7E-4
6.43.2995713E-63.383667E-65.3383497E-515.7768175.0E-51.4140943E-51.4501353E-57.450048E-55.1374856.0E-51.7215237E-41.7654014E-43.0651718E-41.73624651.3E-40.00172019070.0017640460.00203356961.15278722.7E-4
6.52.782202E-62.8558404E-65.28557E-518.507935.0E-51.1923668E-51.223926E-57.223852E-55.9021976.0E-51.4516099E-41.4900314E-42.7898376E-41.87233481.3E-40.0014506620.00148906510.0017586631.18105192.7E-4
6.62.3163404E-62.38092E-64.2380823E-517.8001884.0E-59.927136E-61.0203904E-56.0203394E-55.90003545.0E-51.20856166E-41.2422565E-42.4421074E-41.96586411.2E-40.00120790470.00124158230.00149127191.2011062.5E-4
6.72.037056E-62.0965003E-64.2096417E-520.0793744.0E-58.7302105E-68.984972E-65.8984522E-56.5647985.0E-51.0628513E-41.093867E-41.9937685E-41.8226799.0E-50.00106234310.00109334480.00130311521.19186122.1E-4
6.81.8356744E-61.8915287E-63.189147E-516.8601573.0E-57.867153E-68.106527E-64.81062E-55.93425564.0E-59.577837E-59.869264E-51.7868474E-41.81051748.0E-59.57371E-49.86502E-40.00116632451.18228291.8E-4
6.91.6310546E-61.6832072E-62.1683174E-512.8820582.0E-56.9902153E-67.213726E-63.721351E-55.15870863.0E-58.510255E-58.782368E-51.5781754E-41.79698157.0E-58.5069967E-48.7790104E-40.00104775191.19347371.7E-4
7.01.2058036E-61.2508665E-62.1250842E-516.9888952.0E-55.1677193E-65.3608455E-62.5360738E-54.7307352.0E-56.291517E-56.5266366E-51.2526245E-41.91924976.0E-56.289736E-46.524743E-48.123699E-41.24506041.6E-4
7.11.052382E-61.0951609E-62.1095138E-519.2621382.0E-54.5102006E-64.693538E-62.4693445E-55.26115752.0E-55.491031E-55.7142337E-51.1713891E-42.04994966.0E-55.4896745E-45.7127734E-47.2119164E-41.26241951.5E-4
7.21.0067454E-61.0487711E-61.1048761E-510.534961.0E-54.3146156E-64.4947255E-61.4494681E-53.224821.0E-55.252918E-55.4721917E-51.0471918E-41.91366065.0E-55.251676E-45.470853E-46.8700867E-41.25576161.4E-4
7.39.3596316E-79.767723E-71.09767625E-511.237791.0E-54.0112645E-64.1861604E-61.4186118E-53.38881371.0E-54.8836053E-55.096532E-51.00962774E-41.98100925.0E-54.8825322E-45.095371E-46.394709E-41.25500361.3E-4
7.48.8117395E-79.2076635E-79.2076635E-71.00.03.7764542E-63.9461356E-63.9461356E-61.00.04.5977362E-54.8043148E-58.8041226E-51.83254494.0E-54.596785E-44.8032837E-45.802803E-41.20809091.0E-4
7.58.292386E-78.6745956E-78.6745956E-71.00.03.5538749E-63.7176785E-63.7176785E-61.00.04.326757E-54.5261804E-57.526045E-51.66278053.0E-54.3259145E-44.5252658E-45.224949E-41.15461717.0E-5
7.67.553842E-77.9144706E-77.9144706E-71.00.03.2373566E-63.3919116E-63.3919116E-61.00.03.9414106E-54.129575E-57.129451E-51.72643713.0E-53.9407116E-44.1288146E-44.8285254E-41.16947027.0E-5
7.76.5285366E-76.852797E-76.852797E-71.00.02.797941E-62.9369096E-62.9369096E-61.00.03.40644E-53.5756293E-56.575522E-51.8389833.0E-53.405918E-43.5750607E-44.1748464E-41.16776936.0E-5
7.83.4586725E-73.6482615E-73.6482615E-71.00.01.4822873E-61.5635396E-61.5635396E-61.00.01.80467E-51.9035933E-53.9035553E-52.05062462.0E-51.8045233E-41.9034347E-42.2033777E-41.15757983.0E-5
7.92.5591178E-92.6696718E-92.6696718E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.14414505E-81.14414505E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3929966E-71.3929966E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3929966E-61.3929966E-61.00.0

Ludlow

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.2407607E-52.3657254E-51.1365512E-44.804249.0E-59.602906E-51.0138454E-42.4137035E-42.38074111.4E-40.00116852670.0012337020.00146341811.18620072.3E-40.0116240130.0122730420.0125891151.02575343.2E-4
6.12.2407607E-52.3657254E-51.1365512E-44.804249.0E-59.602906E-51.0138454E-42.4137035E-42.38074111.4E-40.00116852670.0012337020.00146341811.18620072.3E-40.0116240130.0122730420.0125891151.02575343.2E-4
6.21.0781252E-51.1365663E-57.136498E-56.27899846.0E-54.620455E-54.8709102E-51.3870472E-42.8476149.0E-55.623952E-45.9287593E-47.4278703E-41.2528541.5E-40.005609740.00591336140.0060823561.02857841.7E-4
6.31.0781252E-51.1365663E-57.136498E-56.27899846.0E-54.620455E-54.8709102E-51.3870472E-42.8476149.0E-55.623952E-45.9287593E-47.4278703E-41.2528541.5E-40.005609740.00591336140.0060823561.02857841.7E-4
6.47.814439E-68.237729E-65.8237318E-57.06958445.0E-53.3490025E-53.530408E-51.0530161E-42.98270347.0E-54.0766477E-44.2974384E-45.5968796E-41.30237581.3E-40.00406917740.00428927460.00443863121.03482091.5E-4
6.56.4986366E-66.85092E-64.6850644E-56.8385924.0E-52.7851002E-52.9360759E-57.935929E-52.70290335.0E-53.390332E-43.5740953E-44.573738E-41.27969111.0E-40.0033851640.00356844320.0036880151.03350811.2E-4
6.65.582177E-65.8860055E-64.588577E-57.795744.0E-52.3923398E-52.5225498E-57.5224234E-52.98207145.0E-52.9122844E-43.0707786E-44.0704716E-41.32555031.0E-40.00290847060.0030666090.00318624081.03901111.2E-4
6.74.6858763E-64.940427E-63.494028E-57.07231953.0E-52.0082172E-52.1173091E-56.117224E-52.88915044.0E-52.4447302E-42.5775246E-43.277344E-41.27150857.0E-50.00244204230.00257459120.00266435951.0348679.0E-5
6.83.5584908E-63.7520183E-63.3751905E-58.99566653.0E-51.5250586E-51.6079981E-55.6079338E-53.4875254.0E-51.8566006E-41.957566E-42.6574288E-41.35751697.0E-50.00185505020.00195588260.00204570661.0459259.0E-5
6.92.532834E-62.6710034E-62.267095E-58.48780252.0E-51.0854958E-51.1447109E-53.144688E-52.74714612.0E-51.3215111E-41.3935992E-41.8935296E-41.35873325.0E-50.00132072540.00139275290.00145266931.04302016.0E-5
7.01.7083285E-61.8019439E-61.1801926E-56.54955241.0E-57.3213873E-67.722595E-61.7722517E-52.29489161.0E-58.913424E-59.40187E-51.2401587E-41.31905543.0E-58.9098496E-49.3980576E-49.797681E-41.0425224.0E-5
7.11.0905424E-61.1497619E-61.114975E-59.6974421.0E-54.6737446E-64.9275427E-61.4927493E-53.02939921.0E-55.6901354E-55.999128E-57.999008E-51.33336172.0E-55.6886784E-45.997606E-46.2974263E-41.04998993.0E-5
7.26.06668E-76.387277E-71.06387215E-516.6561131.0E-52.600003E-62.7374022E-61.2737375E-54.65308861.0E-53.1654577E-53.3327433E-55.3326767E-51.60008622.0E-53.1650066E-43.3323118E-43.5322452E-41.05999842.0E-5

White Wolf (Extension)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.222555E-66.066615E-69.606607E-515.8352019.0E-53.5239045E-52.5999556E-51.4599644E-45.61534361.2E-44.289509E-43.1650523E-45.4643245E-41.72645632.3E-40.00428123870.00316119660.0034801851.10090743.2E-4
6.18.222555E-66.066615E-69.606607E-515.8352019.0E-53.5239045E-52.5999556E-51.4599644E-45.61534361.2E-44.289509E-43.1650523E-45.4643245E-41.72645632.3E-40.00428123870.00316119660.0034801851.10090743.2E-4
6.28.222555E-66.066615E-69.606607E-515.8352019.0E-53.5239045E-52.5999556E-51.4599644E-45.61534361.2E-44.289509E-43.1650523E-45.4643245E-41.72645632.3E-40.00428123870.00316119660.0034801851.10090743.2E-4
6.38.222555E-66.066615E-69.606607E-515.8352019.0E-53.5239045E-52.5999556E-51.4599644E-45.61534361.2E-44.289509E-43.1650523E-45.4643245E-41.72645632.3E-40.00428123870.00316119660.0034801851.10090743.2E-4
6.45.821773E-63.5571256E-66.3556916E-517.867496.0E-52.4950215E-51.5244741E-58.524367E-55.5916777.0E-53.0372653E-41.8559002E-43.0556775E-41.64646651.2E-40.00303311760.00185445860.00202414321.0915011.7E-4
6.55.766023E-63.4990599E-66.349885E-518.1474046.0E-52.4711293E-51.49958905E-58.499484E-55.6678767.0E-53.0081844E-41.8256076E-43.0253886E-41.65719531.2E-40.00300411580.00182421610.00198392431.08754891.6E-4
6.64.643576E-62.3325733E-63.2332504E-513.8613023.0E-51.9900888E-59.9967065E-64.9996306E-55.0012784.0E-52.4226638E-41.2170354E-41.7169745E-41.41078445.0E-50.00242002420.00121641120.00128632611.05747637.0E-5
6.73.9529173E-61.6482975E-62.1648264E-513.1337122.0E-51.6940963E-57.064114E-62.7063972E-53.83119132.0E-52.0623671E-48.600239E-51.1599981E-41.34879763.0E-50.0020604548.597095E-49.0966653E-41.05810925.0E-5
6.83.4377522E-61.2244764E-62.1224452E-517.3334922.0E-51.473314E-55.247746E-62.524764E-54.811142.0E-51.7936122E-46.388952E-59.3887604E-51.46953063.0E-50.00179216526.3872064E-46.886887E-41.07823155.0E-5
6.93.1367306E-61.0033316E-61.0033316E-61.00.01.3443062E-54.299986E-64.299986E-61.00.01.63657E-45.2351144E-56.235062E-51.19100771.0E-50.00163536525.233958E-45.5338006E-41.0572883.0E-5
7.02.8298145E-67.4282326E-77.4282326E-71.00.01.2127721E-53.1835248E-63.1835248E-61.00.01.47645E-43.8758775E-53.8758775E-51.00.00.00147546933.8752513E-43.9752127E-41.02579471.0E-5
7.12.4091064E-65.4223835E-75.4223835E-71.00.01.03247E-52.3238767E-62.3238767E-61.00.01.2569598E-42.8292874E-52.8292874E-51.00.00.0012562492.8289677E-42.8289677E-41.00.0
7.21.3875518E-61.0740268E-71.0740268E-71.00.05.9466374E-64.6029712E-74.6029712E-71.00.07.23979E-55.604104E-65.604104E-61.00.07.2374323E-45.6039742E-55.6039742E-51.00.0
7.37.056077E-75.0002956E-85.0002956E-81.00.03.0240296E-62.1429837E-72.1429837E-71.00.03.681694E-52.60908E-62.60908E-61.00.03.681084E-42.609054E-52.609054E-51.00.0
7.45.9334678E-84.8638475E-94.8638475E-91.00.02.5429145E-72.084506E-82.084506E-81.00.03.095994E-62.5378858E-72.5378858E-71.00.03.095951E-52.5378843E-62.5378843E-61.00.0

Santa Ynez (West)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.7352758E-55.497084E-51.4496589E-42.63714179.0E-52.0292461E-42.3556968E-43.3554612E-41.42440281.0E-40.00246780760.0028645580.00299418551.04525221.3E-40.0244058180.0283044560.0284890771.00652281.9E-4
6.14.7352758E-55.497084E-51.3496644E-42.45523728.0E-52.0292461E-42.3556968E-43.2554846E-41.38196259.0E-50.00246780760.0028645580.0029842141.04177131.2E-40.0244058180.0283044560.0284696441.00583611.7E-4
6.23.0415853E-53.3925004E-57.392364E-52.17903144.0E-51.3034715E-41.4538495E-41.953777E-41.34386465.0E-50.00158582120.00176865920.00183853541.0395087.0E-50.0157455220.017549780.0176480241.00559811.0E-4
6.33.0415853E-53.3925004E-57.392364E-52.17903144.0E-51.3034715E-41.4538495E-41.953777E-41.34386465.0E-50.00158582120.00176865920.00183853541.0395087.0E-50.0157455220.017549780.0176480241.00559811.0E-4
6.42.5452082E-52.7912318E-56.7911205E-52.4330194.0E-51.09075794E-41.1961885E-41.6961287E-41.41794435.0E-50.00132718870.00145540560.00152530371.04802667.0E-50.0131929020.014460910.0145594641.00681521.0E-4
6.52.3143784E-52.5128133E-55.5127377E-52.1938513.0E-59.9183875E-51.07687636E-41.4768333E-41.37140464.0E-50.00120689480.0013103230.00137024431.04573026.0E-50.0120036110.0130276380.0131164661.00681849.0E-5
6.61.9118515E-52.0354244E-55.0353636E-52.4738643.0E-58.193392E-58.722961E-51.2722611E-41.45851994.0E-59.97089E-40.0010615110.00112144731.05646326.0E-50.009926270.0105653170.0106543661.00842859.0E-5
6.71.722807E-51.8146253E-53.814589E-52.1021362.0E-57.3832496E-57.776737E-51.0776504E-41.38573593.0E-58.985399E-49.4641204E-49.963647E-41.05278115.0E-50.0089491540.0094244610.0095037071.00840858.0E-5
6.81.5317364E-51.5926391E-53.5926074E-52.25575732.0E-56.56442E-56.82542E-59.825215E-51.43950343.0E-57.98925E-48.3068234E-48.806408E-41.06014145.0E-50.0079605890.0082762610.0083555991.00958628.0E-5
6.91.3071226E-51.332953E-53.3329263E-52.5004082.0E-55.6018336E-55.712532E-58.7123604E-51.52513123.0E-56.8180985E-46.952811E-47.452463E-41.07186345.0E-50.00679721730.00693131840.00700083331.01002917.0E-5
7.01.1836986E-51.1932688E-53.193245E-52.67604832.0E-55.0728955E-55.1139097E-58.1137565E-51.58660533.0E-56.1745E-46.2244234E-46.6241744E-41.06422294.0E-50.0061573720.00620718250.006266811.00960626.0E-5
7.11.0597169E-51.0542107E-53.0541898E-52.89713382.0E-54.541565E-54.5179684E-57.517833E-51.66398533.0E-55.5279525E-45.4992497E-45.899029E-41.07269724.0E-50.00551422130.0054857720.0055354981.00906445.0E-5
7.29.59113E-69.45905E-62.945886E-53.11435722.0E-54.11042E-54.053816E-57.0536946E-51.74001353.0E-55.0032866E-44.934414E-45.334217E-41.08102334.0E-50.0049920370.00492357650.004973331.01010535.0E-5
7.38.586084E-68.379489E-62.8379322E-53.38676022.0E-53.679698E-53.591161E-56.591053E-51.83535443.0E-54.4791115E-44.3713715E-44.7711967E-41.09146454.0E-50.0044700940.0043628840.0044126661.01141045.0E-5
7.47.2622997E-66.9514485E-62.695131E-53.8770782.0E-53.112377E-52.9791589E-55.9790695E-52.00696563.0E-53.78866E-43.6265317E-44.026387E-41.11025824.0E-50.00378220740.0036207140.0036705331.01375945.0E-5
7.55.627296E-65.2514984E-62.5251393E-54.8084172.0E-52.411676E-52.2506232E-55.2505555E-52.33293413.0E-52.9358198E-42.7397962E-43.039714E-41.10946713.0E-50.00293194430.00273649050.0027763811.01457734.0E-5
7.62.265244E-62.0608632E-62.0608632E-61.00.09.708152E-68.832241E-68.832241E-61.00.01.18190335E-41.0752732E-41.0752732E-41.00.00.0011812750.00107476150.00107476151.00.0
7.71.3099874E-61.1016228E-61.1016228E-61.00.05.61422E-64.7212325E-64.7212325E-61.00.06.8350986E-55.7479516E-55.7479516E-51.00.06.832996E-45.7464885E-45.7464885E-41.00.0
7.87.903951E-76.0710704E-76.0710704E-71.00.03.3874032E-62.601885E-62.601885E-61.00.04.1240855E-53.16775E-53.16775E-51.00.04.12332E-43.167312E-43.167312E-41.00.0
7.97.0753297E-95.090092E-95.090092E-91.00.03.032284E-82.181468E-82.181468E-81.00.03.6918053E-72.655937E-72.655937E-71.00.03.691799E-62.6559348E-62.6559348E-61.00.0

Death Valley (Fish Lake Valley)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.872328E-54.7265705E-51.17262396E-42.48091947.0E-51.6594635E-42.0255324E-43.0253298E-41.49359741.0E-40.00201852460.00246356060.00264311721.07288491.8E-40.020002880.0243883380.0246712641.0116012.9E-4
6.13.872328E-54.7265705E-51.17262396E-42.48091947.0E-51.6594635E-42.0255324E-43.0253298E-41.49359741.0E-40.00201852460.00246356060.00264311721.07288491.8E-40.020002880.0243883380.0246712641.0116012.9E-4
6.23.872328E-54.7265705E-51.17262396E-42.48091947.0E-51.6594635E-42.0255324E-43.0253298E-41.49359741.0E-40.00201852460.00246356060.00264311721.07288491.8E-40.020002880.0243883380.0246712641.0116012.9E-4
6.32.8356371E-53.360979E-51.0360744E-43.08265647.0E-51.2152165E-41.4403443E-42.4402003E-41.69417851.0E-40.00147852190.00175227880.00193196341.10254341.8E-40.0146872350.0173918160.0176767731.01638452.9E-4
6.42.8356371E-53.360979E-51.0360744E-43.08265647.0E-51.2152165E-41.4403443E-42.4402003E-41.69417851.0E-40.00147852190.00175227880.00193196341.10254341.8E-40.0146872350.0173918160.0176767731.01638452.9E-4
6.52.4448687E-52.8607585E-59.860558E-53.44683367.0E-51.0477588E-41.2259845E-42.2258618E-41.81557111.0E-40.00127489980.00149166160.00167139321.12049081.8E-40.0126761050.0148213920.0150972421.01861172.8E-4
6.62.1298161E-52.4660083E-59.465836E-53.83852537.0E-59.127464E-51.0568197E-42.056714E-41.94613531.0E-40.00111070220.00128595120.00146571981.13979421.8E-40.0110516720.012788530.013064951.02161472.8E-4
6.71.8959729E-52.1781027E-59.1779504E-54.21373657.0E-58.125345E-59.334406E-51.9333472E-42.07120541.0E-49.888117E-40.0011358970.00131569261.1582851.8E-40.0098442340.011303570.0115804051.0244912.8E-4
6.81.6691629E-51.9018351E-58.901702E-54.68058547.0E-57.153359E-58.150477E-51.8149662E-42.22682211.0E-48.7057345E-49.918857E-40.00117170721.18129251.8E-40.0086717080.0098763430.0101535791.02807062.8E-4
6.91.450505E-51.638954E-58.638839E-55.2709477.0E-56.216302E-57.0239046E-51.7023202E-42.42360951.0E-47.5657194E-48.5483363E-40.00103467971.21038731.8E-40.0075400130.0085163860.0087940011.03259782.8E-4
7.01.2940855E-51.4537972E-58.453696E-55.8149077.0E-55.545963E-56.230414E-51.622979E-42.604931.0E-46.750118E-47.5829466E-49.381582E-41.23719481.8E-40.0067296510.00755768970.00783557351.03676832.8E-4
7.11.2544658E-51.4078208E-58.407722E-55.97215377.0E-55.3761712E-56.0333812E-51.6032778E-42.65734551.0E-46.5435225E-47.343222E-49.1419E-41.2449441.8E-40.0065242880.0073195510.00759750141.03797382.8E-4
7.21.2489416E-51.4015674E-58.40147E-55.99433857.0E-55.3524967E-56.0065824E-51.6005982E-42.66474031.0E-46.514716E-47.310616E-49.1093004E-41.24603721.8E-40.0064956510.00728715960.00756511931.03814382.8E-4
7.31.2368307E-51.3879812E-58.387884E-56.0432267.0E-55.3005948E-55.9483587E-51.5947764E-42.6810361.0E-46.451563E-47.2397763E-49.038473E-41.24844651.8E-40.00643286530.0072167820.0074947611.03851842.8E-4
7.41.2161707E-51.36478675E-58.364691E-56.12893637.0E-55.212056E-55.8489582E-51.5848373E-42.70960621.0E-46.3438306E-47.118836E-48.9175545E-41.25267031.8E-40.0063257510.00709662070.00737463361.03917542.8E-4
7.51.1707948E-51.3145515E-58.3144594E-56.324947.0E-55.0175953E-55.6336736E-51.5633111E-42.77494071.0E-46.10721E-46.856895E-48.655661E-41.26232951.8E-40.00609045340.0068363210.0071144071.04067772.8E-4
7.61.0319538E-51.1579622E-58.1578815E-57.0450327.0E-54.4225842E-54.9626036E-51.4962108E-43.01497131.0E-45.383166E-46.040347E-47.8392593E-41.29781621.8E-40.00537014430.00602446030.00630277351.04619722.8E-4
7.78.937764E-61.0022779E-56.0022277E-55.98858645.0E-53.830414E-54.295409E-51.2295066E-42.86237368.0E-54.6625308E-45.228456E-46.8276195E-41.30585771.6E-40.00465276050.0052166640.0054753081.04958032.6E-4
7.83.108007E-73.284654E-73.284654E-71.00.01.3320023E-61.407708E-61.407708E-61.00.01.6217007E-51.7138715E-53.7138372E-52.16692852.0E-51.6215823E-41.7137431E-42.0136917E-41.17502553.0E-5
7.92.5591178E-92.6696718E-92.6696718E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.14414505E-81.14414505E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3929966E-71.3929966E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3929966E-61.3929966E-61.00.0

San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.986481E-40.00122759290.00131748241.07322429.0E-50.00256311240.0052455470.00535496981.02086021.1E-40.0307628460.061204910.0614114441.00337452.2E-40.268354770.425934940.426101421.00039092.9E-4
6.15.015945E-40.00102179860.00110171681.07821338.0E-50.002147920.00436785960.00446742261.02279451.0E-40.0258393510.051248370.0514476081.00388772.1E-40.230327760.372856680.373032271.0004712.8E-4
6.24.073338E-48.1073755E-48.8068075E-41.08627127.0E-50.00174454840.00346714770.00355683571.02586799.0E-50.0210340580.040933170.041124981.0046862.0E-40.191507820.313033460.313212071.00057052.6E-4
6.33.464099E-46.7391695E-47.4386975E-41.10380047.0E-50.00148376920.00288295930.00297271.03112799.0E-50.0179158730.0341895820.0343730861.00536731.9E-40.165383590.27131660.271498741.00067142.5E-4
6.42.935057E-45.5442745E-46.2438863E-41.12618647.0E-50.00125727510.00237253630.00246232281.03784419.0E-50.0152002480.028264510.0284491391.00653221.9E-40.142015770.232985290.233177041.0008232.5E-4
6.52.3409708E-44.2093755E-44.909081E-41.16622547.0E-50.00100288750.00180196840.00189180631.04985549.0E-50.0121419650.0215874610.0217635761.00815821.8E-40.114995730.186823680.187018841.00104462.4E-4
6.61.5842178E-42.506933E-43.2067575E-41.27915567.0E-56.7877385E-40.00107394970.00116385311.08371289.0E-50.00823280.0129955750.0131633651.01291131.7E-40.079343960.123146380.123348061.00163772.3E-4
6.71.5616413E-42.4605883E-43.160416E-41.28441487.0E-56.691031E-40.00105410690.0011440121.08529039.0E-50.00811594350.012757440.0129252711.01315561.7E-40.07825860.121173510.121375641.00166812.3E-4
6.81.5538467E-42.4429744E-43.1428036E-41.2864667.0E-56.6576427E-40.00104656450.00113647041.08590579.0E-50.0080755960.0126668380.0128346851.01325081.7E-40.077883580.1204043550.120606661.00168032.3E-4
6.91.5153569E-42.3539034E-43.0537386E-41.29730847.0E-56.49277E-40.00100842760.00109833691.08915789.0E-50.0078763330.012209010.0123769351.01375411.7E-40.076029520.116474450.116677661.00174462.3E-4
7.01.4588932E-42.2396253E-42.9394685E-41.31248227.0E-56.250901E-49.5948833E-40.00104940191.093719.0E-50.00758394740.0116196970.0117877221.01446031.7E-40.0733028950.111320460.111524851.00183612.3E-4
7.11.1565079E-41.6281738E-42.3280598E-41.42985957.0E-54.955521E-46.9760304E-47.875402E-41.12892329.0E-50.0060166690.00846044350.00862900451.01992361.7E-40.0585635380.083670460.083872051.00240932.2E-4
7.21.0393792E-41.4615769E-42.1614745E-41.47886487.0E-54.4537216E-46.2624045E-47.161841E-41.14362489.0E-50.0054089330.00759799270.0077667011.02220431.7E-40.0527915950.075619690.075823051.00268922.2E-4
7.39.332884E-51.2780898E-41.9780004E-41.54762237.0E-53.999194E-45.4763845E-46.3758914E-41.1642529.0E-50.00485815340.0066472490.0068161191.02540451.7E-40.0475331020.066483260.066688631.00308912.2E-4
7.48.670252E-51.17032345E-41.8702415E-41.59805527.0E-53.715293E-45.0147134E-45.914262E-41.17938189.0E-50.0045139910.0060884430.0062574081.02775181.7E-40.0442339370.0611516420.061358191.00337762.2E-4
7.57.3036405E-59.005856E-51.5005315E-41.66617326.0E-53.129756E-43.8590826E-44.6587738E-41.20722328.0E-50.00380382170.00468833230.00484758241.03396731.6E-40.037393670.0478777920.048077741.00417612.1E-4
7.66.3935775E-58.280385E-51.4279888E-41.7245446.0E-52.7398168E-43.5482543E-44.3479705E-41.22538298.0E-50.00333062540.0043114610.0044707711.03695031.6E-40.0328114740.043992010.044192771.00456362.1E-4
7.75.5050095E-56.6618326E-51.16614996E-41.75049425.0E-52.3590765E-42.854759E-43.554559E-41.24513467.0E-50.00286839270.0034701340.00359968281.03733251.3E-40.02831650.0357962140.0359601271.00457911.7E-4
7.85.027131E-56.162871E-51.11625624E-41.81126025.0E-52.1543067E-42.640963E-43.340778E-41.26498487.0E-50.00261971350.0032106350.00333024981.03725581.2E-40.0258904530.033126660.033281361.00466991.6E-4
7.93.7271806E-55.022507E-51.00222554E-41.99546895.0E-51.5972654E-42.1523255E-42.8521748E-41.32515977.0E-50.00194293590.0026173090.00272702121.04191791.1E-40.0192603620.0270674660.0272134041.00539171.5E-4
8.02.7310243E-53.1427757E-53.1427757E-51.00.01.17038646E-41.3468343E-41.5468075E-41.14847642.0E-50.00142401410.00163853830.001698441.0365586.0E-50.0141492350.017213860.0172826551.00399657.0E-5
8.11.7940547E-51.7399378E-51.7399378E-51.00.07.688579E-57.456663E-59.456514E-51.26819652.0E-59.3568244E-49.074711E-49.674167E-41.06605786.0E-50.0093175250.0097986360.0098580481.00606336.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.473668E-65.473668E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3458366E-52.3458366E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.8556827E-43.155597E-41.10502373.0E-50.00450013950.00324817930.0032780821.00920593.0E-5
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

Cleghorn Lake

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5467183E-51.6794203E-59.679286E-55.76346838.0E-56.6286244E-57.197348E-51.9196485E-42.66716071.2E-48.067362E-48.759797E-40.00108579581.23952162.1E-40.0080381370.0087306960.0089884251.029522.6E-4
6.11.5467183E-51.6794203E-59.679286E-55.76346838.0E-56.6286244E-57.197348E-51.9196485E-42.66716071.2E-48.067362E-48.759797E-40.00108579581.23952162.1E-40.0080381370.0087306960.0089884251.029522.6E-4
6.21.2624631E-51.3681544E-58.3680585E-56.11631167.0E-55.410444E-55.863415E-51.5862829E-42.7053911.0E-46.585225E-47.1368564E-48.835643E-41.23803011.7E-40.00656574450.00711873170.0073173081.02789492.0E-4
6.31.2624631E-51.3681544E-58.3680585E-56.11631167.0E-55.410444E-55.863415E-51.5862829E-42.7053911.0E-46.585225E-47.1368564E-48.835643E-41.23803011.7E-40.00656574450.00711873170.0073173081.02789492.0E-4
6.49.417684E-61.0170118E-57.016951E-56.89957676.0E-54.036088E-54.3585722E-51.1358267E-42.60596067.0E-54.912829E-45.3056807E-46.604991E-41.24489051.3E-40.0049019820.0052970490.00544625431.02816761.5E-4
6.59.368219E-61.0117545E-57.0116934E-56.9302336.0E-54.014889E-54.3360415E-51.1335738E-42.61430577.0E-54.8870314E-45.2782625E-46.577576E-41.24616311.3E-40.0048762980.00526976170.0054189711.02831421.5E-4
6.67.803798E-68.441831E-66.8441324E-58.1074036.0E-53.3444423E-53.6179E-59.617683E-52.65836076.0E-54.0710976E-44.4043022E-45.503818E-41.24964581.1E-40.00406364720.00439949050.00452891831.02941881.3E-4
6.72.3108669E-62.4438336E-63.244376E-513.2757643.0E-59.903678E-61.0473532E-54.0473216E-53.86433343.0E-51.205706E-41.2750797E-41.8750032E-41.47049886.0E-50.0012050520.00127436670.00134427761.05485937.0E-5
6.82.0882828E-62.2062823E-62.2206237E-510.0650032.0E-58.949753E-69.455462E-62.9455272E-53.11515952.0E-51.08957785E-41.1511434E-41.6510858E-41.43430085.0E-50.00108904380.00115056390.00121049491.05208846.0E-5
6.91.876935E-61.981051E-62.1981012E-511.0956322.0E-58.043982E-68.490192E-62.8490022E-53.35563952.0E-59.7931086E-51.03363345E-41.5335818E-41.48368055.0E-59.788794E-40.00103316860.00109310671.05801386.0E-5
7.01.5357559E-61.6202807E-61.1620265E-57.171761.0E-56.5817944E-66.9440425E-61.6943974E-52.44007331.0E-58.01304E-58.454057E-51.1453803E-41.35482923.0E-58.010151E-48.450965E-48.850627E-41.04729194.0E-5
7.11.0905424E-61.1497619E-61.114975E-59.6974421.0E-54.6737446E-64.9275427E-61.4927493E-53.02939921.0E-55.6901354E-55.999128E-57.999008E-51.33336172.0E-55.6886784E-45.997606E-46.2974263E-41.04998993.0E-5
7.26.06668E-76.387277E-71.06387215E-516.6561131.0E-52.600003E-62.7374022E-61.2737375E-54.65308861.0E-53.1654577E-53.3327433E-55.3326767E-51.60008622.0E-53.1650066E-43.3323118E-43.5322452E-41.05999842.0E-5

San Jacinto (San Bernardino)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.409352E-53.598562E-51.1598274E-43.22303038.0E-51.461069E-41.5421498E-42.8419492E-41.84284911.3E-40.00177740.00187595210.00210552061.12237442.3E-40.017632510.0193499920.019614771.01368342.7E-4
6.13.409352E-53.598562E-51.1598274E-43.22303038.0E-51.461069E-41.5421498E-42.8419492E-41.84284911.3E-40.00177740.00187595210.00210552061.12237442.3E-40.017632510.0193499920.019614771.01368342.7E-4
6.23.409352E-53.598562E-51.1598274E-43.22303038.0E-51.461069E-41.5421498E-42.8419492E-41.84284911.3E-40.00177740.00187595210.00210552061.12237442.3E-40.017632510.0193499920.019614771.01368342.7E-4
6.33.409352E-53.598562E-51.1598274E-43.22303038.0E-51.461069E-41.5421498E-42.8419492E-41.84284911.3E-40.00177740.00187595210.00210552061.12237442.3E-40.017632510.0193499920.019614771.01368342.7E-4
6.43.400795E-53.5878285E-51.1587542E-43.2296818.0E-51.4574021E-41.5375503E-42.8373505E-41.84537081.3E-40.00177294280.00187036190.00209993171.12274092.3E-40.0175886450.0192950740.0195598641.01372332.7E-4
6.53.341482E-53.5138914E-51.1513611E-43.27659828.0E-51.4319851E-41.5058667E-42.805671E-41.86316031.3E-40.00174204770.00183185220.00206143081.12532592.3E-40.0172845460.0189166160.0191815091.01400322.7E-4
6.63.3364955E-53.5076133E-51.1507333E-43.2806738.0E-51.4298483E-41.5031763E-42.802981E-41.86470531.3E-40.00173945010.00182858230.00205816171.12555052.3E-40.0172589760.018884480.0191493821.01402752.7E-4
6.73.335922E-53.5065907E-51.150631E-43.28133828.0E-51.4296026E-41.5027382E-42.802543E-41.86495761.3E-40.00173915140.00182804970.00205762921.12558712.3E-40.0172560350.0188792720.0191441741.01403142.7E-4
6.83.327683E-53.4959972E-51.14957176E-43.28825148.0E-51.4260718E-41.4981985E-42.7980038E-41.86757871.3E-40.00173485970.0018225320.0020521131.12596812.3E-40.0172137840.0188250450.0190899611.01407252.7E-4
6.93.3235785E-53.4900928E-51.1489813E-43.29212288.0E-51.4243131E-41.4956683E-42.7954738E-41.86904671.3E-40.00173272170.00181945670.00204903821.12618142.3E-40.0171927340.0187949110.0190598371.01409552.7E-4
7.03.3197095E-53.4840854E-51.1483807E-43.29607498.0E-51.422655E-41.4930942E-42.7929E-41.87054511.3E-40.00173070630.00181632780.002045911.12639922.3E-40.0171728940.018764290.0190292221.0141192.7E-4
7.13.3129716E-53.4721066E-51.14718285E-43.30399688.0E-51.4197677E-41.4879608E-42.7877674E-41.87354891.3E-40.00172719660.00181008840.0020396721.12683562.3E-40.0171383380.0187033660.0189683161.01416592.7E-4
7.23.3034008E-53.4588513E-51.14585746E-43.31282668.0E-51.4156665E-41.4822806E-42.7820878E-41.87689691.3E-40.00172221110.00180318430.00203276961.12732212.3E-40.0170892530.018635750.0189007191.01421832.7E-4
7.33.2956614E-53.4456265E-51.1445351E-43.32170378.0E-51.4123498E-41.4766137E-42.7764216E-41.88026291.3E-40.00171817960.00179629610.0020258831.12781122.3E-40.0170495570.0185684950.0188334831.01427082.7E-4
7.43.2915937E-53.4377957E-51.1437521E-43.32699258.0E-51.4106068E-41.473258E-42.7730665E-41.88226811.3E-40.00171606080.00179221730.00202180521.12810272.3E-40.0170286930.0185287690.0187937651.01430192.7E-4
7.53.281791E-53.424287E-51.1424013E-43.33617288.0E-51.406406E-41.4674691E-42.7672783E-41.8857491.3E-40.00171095420.00178518090.00201477041.12860852.3E-40.0169784110.0184596520.0187246691.01435652.7E-4
7.63.2521442E-53.396782E-51.139651E-43.35509048.0E-51.3937015E-41.4556825E-42.7554933E-41.89292191.3E-40.00169551090.00177085420.0020004471.12965082.3E-40.0168263280.0183172950.018582351.01447022.7E-4
7.73.0287873E-53.245191E-51.12449314E-43.4651068.0E-51.297987E-41.3907222E-42.6905414E-41.93463621.3E-40.00157915370.00169189030.00192150111.13571262.3E-40.015679790.0175281990.0177934671.01513372.7E-4
7.82.6316151E-52.9662837E-51.0966046E-43.69689758.0E-51.1277862E-41.2712025E-42.5710373E-42.02252361.3E-40.00137221490.00154659130.00177623551.14848412.3E-40.0136377240.0160698780.016335541.01653162.7E-4
7.92.0761147E-52.3417291E-59.341565E-53.98917417.0E-58.897331E-51.0035596E-42.2034392E-42.19562361.2E-40.00108271170.00122114980.00142090561.16358012.0E-40.0107745170.0127932720.0130302011.01851992.4E-4
8.01.5738568E-51.6032505E-53.6032186E-52.24744562.0E-56.744926E-56.8708934E-51.287048E-41.87318896.0E-58.2088535E-48.3621085E-49.3612727E-41.1194871.0E-40.0081785960.0088657410.0089846771.01341521.2E-4
8.11.0105832E-58.329479E-61.8329396E-52.20054531.0E-54.3309992E-53.569728E-57.5695854E-52.12049374.0E-55.2717153E-44.3452822E-44.9450214E-41.13802086.0E-50.0052592270.00467687940.00473659861.01276916.0E-5
8.24.189207E-61.577699E-61.577699E-61.00.01.7953622E-56.7615497E-66.7615497E-61.00.02.1856341E-48.231879E-59.231796E-51.12146891.0E-50.00218348589.562628E-49.662532E-41.01044741.0E-5
8.31.2758221E-63.612677E-73.612677E-71.00.05.4677976E-61.5482892E-61.5482892E-61.00.06.65684E-51.8850264E-51.8850264E-51.00.06.6548464E-42.2739546E-42.2739546E-41.00.0

Lake Isabella (Seismicity)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.431637E-69.741651E-65.9741164E-56.132555.0E-54.0420677E-54.1749343E-51.3174559E-43.15563279.0E-54.920106E-45.0819275E-46.5811654E-41.29501351.5E-40.0049092270.0050715990.0053203311.04904412.5E-4
6.19.431637E-69.741651E-65.9741164E-56.132555.0E-54.0420677E-54.1749343E-51.3174559E-43.15563279.0E-54.920106E-45.0819275E-46.5811654E-41.29501351.5E-40.0049092270.0050715990.0053203311.04904412.5E-4
6.29.431637E-69.741651E-65.9741164E-56.132555.0E-54.0420677E-54.1749343E-51.3174559E-43.15563279.0E-54.920106E-45.0819275E-46.5811654E-41.29501351.5E-40.0049092270.0050715990.0053203311.04904412.5E-4
6.39.431637E-69.741651E-65.9741164E-56.132555.0E-54.0420677E-54.1749343E-51.3174559E-43.15563279.0E-54.920106E-45.0819275E-46.5811654E-41.29501351.5E-40.0049092270.0050715990.0053203311.04904412.5E-4
6.45.144063E-65.3000763E-62.529997E-54.7735112.0E-52.2045799E-52.2714434E-55.2713753E-52.32071613.0E-52.6837454E-42.765166E-43.365E-41.21692516.0E-50.00268050660.00276206570.00284184471.02888388.0E-5
6.55.144063E-65.3000763E-62.529997E-54.7735112.0E-52.2045799E-52.2714434E-55.2713753E-52.32071613.0E-52.6837454E-42.765166E-43.365E-41.21692516.0E-50.00268050660.00276206570.00284184471.02888388.0E-5
6.63.4009804E-63.498786E-62.3498716E-56.7162482.0E-51.4575549E-51.4994721E-54.499427E-53.00067423.0E-51.7744285E-41.8254704E-42.4253609E-41.32862256.0E-50.00177301230.00182412860.00190398261.04377658.0E-5
6.73.3880428E-63.4856528E-62.3485583E-56.73778632.0E-51.4520103E-51.4938435E-54.4937988E-53.00821233.0E-51.767679E-41.8186188E-42.4185097E-41.32986076.0E-50.00176627360.00181728820.00189714291.04394168.0E-5
6.82.6582E-62.7337003E-62.2733646E-58.31607152.0E-51.1392236E-51.1715813E-54.1715462E-53.56061173.0E-51.3869164E-41.4263204E-41.8262633E-41.2804024.0E-50.00138605120.00142553690.00147546561.03502455.0E-5
6.92.406011E-62.4743288E-62.247428E-59.082982.0E-51.0311434E-51.0604231E-54.0603914E-53.82902963.0E-51.2553448E-41.2910018E-41.6909502E-41.30979694.0E-50.00125463590.00129038140.0013403171.03869825.0E-5
7.01.6953097E-61.7429371E-61.174292E-56.73743151.0E-57.265593E-67.469715E-62.7469567E-53.67745832.0E-58.8455E-59.094104E-51.20938304E-41.32985413.0E-58.84198E-49.09141E-49.491046E-41.04395764.0E-5
7.13.5013824E-73.5714822E-73.5714822E-71.00.01.5005916E-61.5306344E-61.5306344E-61.00.01.826955E-51.8635317E-51.8635317E-51.00.01.8268047E-41.863378E-41.863378E-41.00.0
7.22.2321095E-72.2750574E-72.2750574E-71.00.09.56618E-79.750242E-79.750242E-71.00.01.1646762E-51.1870856E-51.1870856E-51.00.01.1646151E-41.1870232E-41.1870232E-41.00.0
7.31.5760406E-71.6060922E-71.6060922E-71.00.06.7544585E-76.8832503E-76.8832503E-71.00.08.223522E-68.380326E-68.380326E-61.00.08.2232174E-58.3800165E-58.3800165E-51.00.0
7.41.1216497E-71.1431706E-71.1431706E-71.00.04.8070694E-74.899302E-74.899302E-71.00.05.852591E-65.964884E-65.964884E-61.00.05.8524372E-55.9647282E-55.9647282E-51.00.0
7.54.885185E-84.9787737E-84.9787737E-81.00.02.0936506E-72.13376E-72.13376E-71.00.02.5490165E-62.59785E-62.59785E-61.00.02.5489873E-52.5978214E-52.5978214E-51.00.0
7.61.504641E-91.5317903E-91.5317903E-91.00.06.4484613E-96.5648154E-96.5648154E-91.00.07.851001E-87.992663E-87.992663E-81.00.07.8509987E-77.992663E-77.992663E-71.00.0

San Andreas (North Branch Mill Creek)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.3461156E-52.3500992E-51.03499115E-44.40403188.0E-55.7689394E-51.00714664E-42.1070358E-42.09208441.1E-47.02142E-40.00122551460.00139530631.13854721.7E-40.00699927660.0122287440.0124559321.01857822.3E-4
6.11.3461156E-52.3500992E-51.03499115E-44.40403188.0E-55.7689394E-51.00714664E-42.1070358E-42.09208441.1E-47.02142E-40.00122551460.00139530631.13854721.7E-40.00699927660.0122287440.0124559321.01857822.3E-4
6.21.3461156E-52.3500992E-51.03499115E-44.40403188.0E-55.7689394E-51.00714664E-42.1070358E-42.09208441.1E-47.02142E-40.00122551460.00139530631.13854721.7E-40.00699927660.0122287440.0124559321.01857822.3E-4
6.31.3461156E-52.3500992E-51.03499115E-44.40403188.0E-55.7689394E-51.00714664E-42.1070358E-42.09208441.1E-47.02142E-40.00122551460.00139530631.13854721.7E-40.00699927660.0122287440.0124559321.01857822.3E-4
6.41.3461156E-52.3500992E-51.03499115E-44.40403188.0E-55.7689394E-51.00714664E-42.1070358E-42.09208441.1E-47.02142E-40.00122551460.00139530631.13854721.7E-40.00699927660.0122287440.0124559321.01857822.3E-4
6.51.3450706E-52.348995E-51.0348807E-44.40563158.0E-55.764461E-51.00667356E-42.1065628E-42.09259771.1E-47.0159714E-40.00122493920.0013947311.13861241.7E-40.0069938620.0122230540.0124502421.01858692.3E-4
6.61.3074523E-52.3104236E-51.03102386E-44.46248878.0E-55.6032466E-59.901441E-52.0900353E-42.11083941.1E-46.8198174E-40.0012048370.00137463221.14092791.7E-40.0067989260.0120242190.01225145351.0188982.3E-4
6.71.3050216E-52.3079532E-51.03077684E-44.46619468.0E-55.59283E-59.890855E-52.0889768E-42.11202841.1E-46.8071426E-40.00120354960.0013733451.14107881.7E-40.00678632870.0120114840.0122387211.01891842.3E-4
6.81.29049395E-52.2927941E-51.02926104E-44.48911248.0E-55.530571E-59.825892E-52.0824811E-42.11938121.1E-46.73139E-40.0011956490.00136544581.14201221.7E-40.00671103640.0119333290.0121605831.01904382.3E-4
6.91.2867369E-52.2887343E-51.0288551E-44.49530178.0E-55.51447E-59.808494E-52.0807415E-42.1213671.1E-46.711799E-40.00119353320.00136333031.14226421.7E-40.0066915640.0119123970.01213965751.01907772.3E-4
7.01.2495996E-52.2287419E-51.0228564E-44.5893898.0E-55.3553173E-59.551403E-51.9550449E-42.04686671.0E-46.518148E-40.00116226580.00131209151.12890831.5E-40.00649906230.0116030.01181056351.01788882.1E-4
7.11.2452067E-52.2232492E-51.0223071E-44.5982578.0E-55.3364907E-59.527864E-51.9526911E-42.04945331.0E-46.4952404E-40.0011594030.00130922911.12922691.5E-40.00647628870.0115746710.011782241.0179332.1E-4
7.21.2002777E-52.1611015E-51.0160929E-44.7017368.0E-55.143946E-59.261536E-51.926061E-42.07963441.0E-46.2609545E-40.00112701140.00127684231.13294541.5E-40.0062433440.0112540580.0114616951.01844992.1E-4
7.31.1923425E-52.1480853E-51.01479134E-44.7241678.0E-55.109939E-59.205757E-51.9204836E-42.08617691.0E-46.219575E-40.00112022730.00127005931.13375141.5E-40.00620219620.0111869450.0113945961.01856182.1E-4
7.41.16105175E-52.0854808E-51.0085314E-44.8359668.0E-54.975841E-58.93747E-51.8936576E-42.1187851.0E-46.0564023E-40.00108759630.00123743321.13776891.5E-40.0060399230.0108644090.0110721281.01911912.1E-4
7.51.1037265E-51.9554842E-59.9553276E-55.0909788.0E-54.7301706E-58.380379E-51.837954E-42.19316341.0E-45.757461E-40.00101983570.00116968271.14693251.5E-40.0057425670.0101955270.0104033861.02038732.1E-4
7.61.0720915E-51.8996727E-59.899521E-55.21117168.0E-54.5945973E-58.141202E-51.8140388E-42.228221.0E-45.592486E-49.907428E-40.00114059411.15125161.5E-40.0055784330.0099072380.0101151581.02098672.1E-4
7.79.276279E-61.6442464E-59.644115E-55.86537088.0E-53.9754876E-57.046581E-51.7045876E-42.4190281.0E-44.839081E-48.5758517E-40.00100745661.17475971.5E-40.00482855740.0085865760.0087947721.02424682.1E-4
7.85.8346777E-61.11555855E-59.1154696E-58.1712168.0E-52.5005522E-54.7808775E-51.4780399E-43.0915661.0E-43.043997E-45.819165E-47.2183507E-41.24044431.4E-40.00303983080.00584733350.0060461641.03400362.0E-4
7.94.690204E-68.509473E-68.8508794E-510.4012068.0E-52.0100719E-53.6468664E-51.3646502E-43.74198031.0E-42.4469878E-44.439156E-45.8385346E-41.31523531.4E-40.0024442950.0044711650.00466031531.04230451.9E-4
8.02.9570454E-64.8470656E-64.8470656E-61.00.01.267299E-52.0772974E-52.0772974E-51.00.01.5428272E-42.5288164E-42.628791E-41.03953421.0E-50.00154175660.0025499320.00255990661.00391161.0E-5
8.11.6376824E-62.1968672E-62.1968672E-61.00.07.01862E-69.415111E-69.415111E-61.00.08.544835E-51.1462297E-41.1462297E-41.00.08.54155E-40.00116074450.00116074451.00.0
8.26.9631557E-74.535001E-74.535001E-71.00.02.984206E-61.9435704E-61.9435704E-61.00.03.63321E-52.3662713E-52.3662713E-51.00.03.6326164E-42.4510184E-42.4510184E-41.00.0
8.31.7876137E-78.357368E-88.357368E-81.00.07.661199E-73.5817288E-73.5817288E-71.00.09.32747E-64.3607465E-64.3607465E-61.00.09.3270784E-54.5800018E-54.5800018E-51.00.0

Brawley (Seismic Zone) alt 1

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.2521618E-44.763429E-45.1632384E-41.08393314.0E-59.6485513E-40.00203990940.00213970551.04892181.0E-40.0116839880.0245445310.0247103591.00675621.7E-40.110884230.213499230.213672271.00081052.2E-4
6.12.2521618E-44.763429E-45.1632384E-41.08393314.0E-59.6485513E-40.00203990940.00213970551.04892181.0E-40.0116839880.0245445310.0247103591.00675621.7E-40.110884230.213499230.213672271.00081052.2E-4
6.22.198148E-44.6718874E-45.0717004E-41.08557864.0E-59.417233E-40.00200073770.00210053751.04988161.0E-40.0114053430.0240785130.024244421.00689021.7E-40.108374280.209935720.210109551.00082792.2E-4
6.32.1704129E-44.615455E-45.0152704E-41.08662534.0E-59.298453E-40.00197658920.00207639161.05049221.0E-40.0112622340.0237920340.0239579881.00697531.7E-40.1070827250.207826840.20800111.00083852.2E-4
6.41.876142E-44.004663E-44.4045027E-41.09984364.0E-58.038131E-40.00171516950.0018149981.05820321.0E-40.009742590.0206786620.0208451451.0080511.7E-40.0932636860.184577870.184757261.00097192.2E-4
6.51.7390939E-43.7478763E-44.1477266E-41.10668714.0E-57.45113E-40.00160525610.00170509561.06219531.0E-40.0090340780.0193672930.0195340011.00860761.7E-40.0867552160.174400150.174573531.00099412.1E-4
6.61.591791E-43.4893592E-43.8892197E-41.11459424.0E-56.8201777E-40.00149459260.00159444321.06680791.0E-40.0082719960.0180450080.018211941.00925091.7E-40.079707740.163807870.163983461.0010722.1E-4
6.71.4268003E-43.2059717E-43.6058435E-41.12472714.0E-56.1134255E-40.00137327260.00147313531.07271871.0E-40.0074177230.016591710.0167588891.0100761.7E-40.071749560.151935940.152114021.00117222.1E-4
6.81.239713E-42.9055026E-43.3053863E-41.13762994.0E-55.3119735E-40.00124462740.00134450291.08024541.0E-40.00644816740.0150494820.0152169231.0111261.7E-40.062642430.138380510.138561441.00130762.1E-4
6.91.0180238E-42.6255674E-43.0254625E-41.1523084.0E-54.3622297E-40.00112476220.00122464971.08880771.0E-40.0052980890.0136089980.0137766841.01232171.7E-40.051735430.124964730.125148491.00147042.1E-4
7.07.6619996E-52.2400476E-42.639958E-41.17852764.0E-53.283301E-49.596704E-40.00105957441.10410251.0E-40.00399009320.0116221030.0117802431.01360691.6E-40.0391920660.107269820.107448371.00166442.0E-4
7.17.5127435E-52.2083633E-42.608275E-41.18108964.0E-53.2193496E-49.461013E-40.00104600671.10559691.0E-40.00391251550.0114586480.0116168151.01380321.6E-40.0384434420.105833780.106012611.00168982.0E-4
7.26.788582E-52.0211334E-42.4210526E-41.19786874.0E-52.9090676E-48.6591556E-49.6582895E-41.11538471.0E-40.00353603860.01049220.0106505211.01508941.6E-40.0348030.0975036840.097684181.00185122.0E-4
7.36.399602E-51.8842232E-42.2841478E-41.2122494.0E-52.7423984E-48.0727716E-49.0719643E-41.12377321.0E-40.00333375860.0097848970.0099334291.01517981.5E-40.032841880.0913979860.091552451.001691.7E-4
7.44.506759E-51.2530042E-41.6529541E-41.31919284.0E-51.9313251E-45.3689216E-46.3683843E-41.18615711.0E-40.00234885260.0065172450.0066563331.02134141.4E-40.0232418050.0623645220.062514541.00240551.6E-4
7.53.43289E-59.336103E-51.2335823E-41.32130323.0E-51.4711556E-44.0005764E-44.8002566E-41.19989128.0E-50.00178966030.0048598860.0049793031.02457191.2E-40.017753160.0470570660.047190481.00283521.4E-4
7.62.5980507E-57.053672E-51.00534606E-41.42528033.0E-51.1134028E-43.0226534E-43.8224115E-41.26458818.0E-50.0013547250.00367389480.0037934541.03254281.2E-40.0134649590.035842980.0359779631.0037661.4E-4
7.71.7292105E-54.9412036E-57.941056E-51.60710953.0E-57.4106916E-52.1174872E-42.817339E-41.33051057.0E-59.018782E-40.00257499840.00268471521.04260851.1E-40.0089822670.0252920970.0254090611.00462461.2E-4
7.81.2927471E-53.9697254E-56.969606E-51.75568973.0E-55.5402274E-51.7012001E-42.401081E-41.41140437.0E-56.743139E-40.00206924630.00216903931.04822681.0E-40.00672271430.0204331450.0205408971.00527351.1E-4
7.91.0200774E-52.8748475E-54.87479E-51.6956692.0E-54.371687E-51.2320194E-41.7319577E-41.40578785.0E-55.321229E-40.00149895260.00157883271.05329068.0E-50.0053085050.0149928950.0150716951.00525588.0E-5
8.08.650396E-62.3279512E-52.3279512E-51.00.03.70726E-59.976552E-51.1976353E-41.20045012.0E-54.5126543E-40.00121396930.00126390861.04113725.0E-50.00450350160.0122121640.0122615541.00404435.0E-5
8.13.9368224E-67.3283345E-67.3283345E-61.00.01.6871985E-53.1406773E-54.1406456E-51.31839261.0E-52.0539707E-43.8231048E-44.2229518E-41.1045874.0E-50.00205207310.00400153130.00404137141.00995614.0E-5
8.21.7101195E-62.2178374E-62.2178374E-61.00.07.329063E-69.504983E-69.504983E-61.00.08.922769E-51.15717055E-41.3571474E-41.17281532.0E-58.9191867E-40.001266690.00128666461.01576912.0E-5
8.33.0346666E-81.721086E-81.721086E-81.00.01.3005713E-77.376083E-87.376083E-81.00.01.5834444E-68.98038E-78.98038E-71.00.01.5834332E-59.36379E-69.36379E-61.00.0

Cleghorn Pass

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.0522846E-51.1040642E-55.10402E-54.62293774.0E-54.509713E-54.7316473E-51.0731364E-42.26799736.0E-55.4891926E-45.759784E-46.8591506E-41.19086931.1E-40.00547565330.0057500220.00592898671.03112421.8E-4
6.11.0522846E-51.1040642E-55.10402E-54.62293774.0E-54.509713E-54.7316473E-51.0731364E-42.26799736.0E-55.4891926E-45.759784E-46.8591506E-41.19086931.1E-40.00547565330.0057500220.00592898671.03112421.8E-4
6.22.1045846E-62.2082024E-62.2082024E-61.00.09.019617E-69.463714E-69.463714E-61.00.01.098083E-41.1521882E-41.1521882E-41.00.00.00109754060.00115200230.00116199071.00867061.0E-5
6.32.1045846E-62.2082024E-62.2082024E-61.00.09.019617E-69.463714E-69.463714E-61.00.01.098083E-41.1521882E-41.1521882E-41.00.00.00109754060.00115200230.00116199071.00867061.0E-5
6.41.7259927E-61.810877E-61.810877E-61.00.07.3970905E-67.760902E-67.760902E-61.00.09.005586E-59.4488976E-59.4488976E-51.00.09.001937E-49.448898E-49.548803E-41.01057331.0E-5

Pleito

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6763008E-52.4764735E-56.476374E-52.615164.0E-57.183948E-51.0613067E-41.661243E-41.56528086.0E-58.742947E-40.0012914470.0014013051.08506571.1E-40.008708630.0129544120.0131518211.01523882.0E-4
6.11.6763008E-52.4764735E-56.476374E-52.615164.0E-57.183948E-51.0613067E-41.661243E-41.56528086.0E-58.742947E-40.0012914470.0014013051.08506571.1E-40.008708630.0129544120.0131518211.01523882.0E-4
6.21.6763008E-52.4764735E-56.476374E-52.615164.0E-57.183948E-51.0613067E-41.661243E-41.56528086.0E-58.742947E-40.0012914470.0014013051.08506571.1E-40.008708630.0129544120.0131518211.01523882.0E-4
6.31.6763008E-52.4764735E-56.476374E-52.615164.0E-57.183948E-51.0613067E-41.661243E-41.56528086.0E-58.742947E-40.0012914470.0014013051.08506571.1E-40.008708630.0129544120.0131518211.01523882.0E-4
6.41.6763008E-52.4764735E-56.476374E-52.615164.0E-57.183948E-51.0613067E-41.661243E-41.56528086.0E-58.742947E-40.0012914470.0014013051.08506571.1E-40.008708630.0129544120.0131518211.01523882.0E-4
6.51.6763008E-52.4764735E-56.476374E-52.615164.0E-57.183948E-51.0613067E-41.661243E-41.56528086.0E-58.742947E-40.0012914470.0014013051.08506571.1E-40.008708630.0129544120.0131518211.01523882.0E-4
6.69.910213E-61.721552E-55.721483E-53.32344484.0E-54.247165E-57.3778734E-51.13775786E-41.54212164.0E-55.169696E-48.9788967E-49.5783576E-41.06676346.0E-50.00515768630.0090512260.0091503211.01094821.0E-4
6.79.910213E-61.721552E-55.721483E-53.32344484.0E-54.247165E-57.3778734E-51.13775786E-41.54212164.0E-55.169696E-48.9788967E-49.5783576E-41.06676346.0E-50.00515768630.0090512260.0091503211.01094821.0E-4
6.88.300162E-61.5475129E-53.547482E-52.29237632.0E-53.557164E-56.63203E-58.631898E-51.30154682.0E-54.3299864E-48.07152E-48.2713587E-41.02475852.0E-50.0043215590.0081506630.0082002551.00608445.0E-5
6.98.183114E-61.5346344E-53.534604E-52.3032222.0E-53.5070017E-56.57684E-58.576708E-51.30407742.0E-54.2689382E-48.0043747E-48.204215E-41.02496642.0E-50.00426074680.0080840080.0081336031.00613515.0E-5
7.07.1748823E-61.4133306E-52.4133164E-51.70753861.0E-53.0749135E-56.0569906E-57.05693E-51.16508851.0E-53.743064E-47.3718966E-47.471823E-41.0135551.0E-50.00373676540.00745537550.00749507731.00532524.0E-5
7.17.1671807E-61.4123676E-52.4123534E-51.7080211.0E-53.0716128E-56.0528637E-57.052803E-51.16520111.0E-53.7390468E-47.366875E-47.4668013E-41.01356421.0E-50.00373276180.00745038830.007490091.00532894.0E-5
7.27.0649667E-61.3970962E-52.3970822E-51.71576041.0E-53.0278077E-55.987418E-56.987358E-51.16700691.0E-53.6857324E-47.287248E-47.3871756E-41.01371261.0E-50.00367962550.00737113740.0074108431.00538664.0E-5
7.37.02082E-61.3914415E-52.3914276E-51.71866921.0E-53.008888E-55.9631846E-56.963125E-51.16768561.0E-53.6627054E-47.257764E-47.3576916E-41.01376831.0E-50.00365667440.00734163730.00738134371.00540844.0E-5
7.46.987146E-61.3873975E-52.3873838E-51.72076391.0E-52.9944567E-55.9458544E-56.945795E-51.16817441.0E-53.6451413E-47.2366785E-47.336606E-41.01380851.0E-50.00363916790.0073205710.00736027861.0054244.0E-5
7.56.9494554E-61.383088E-52.3830742E-51.72300981.0E-52.9783041E-55.9273858E-56.9273265E-51.16869841.0E-53.625482E-47.2142074E-47.3141354E-41.01385151.0E-50.00361957260.0072981990.0073379071.00544084.0E-5
7.66.92694E-61.3789992E-52.3789855E-51.72515361.0E-52.9686547E-55.909863E-56.909804E-51.16919861.0E-53.6137376E-47.192888E-47.292816E-41.01389271.0E-50.00360786660.0072769510.00731665971.00545684.0E-5
7.76.395867E-61.26690065E-51.26690065E-51.00.02.741057E-55.4294615E-55.4294615E-51.00.03.336726E-46.6083675E-46.6083675E-41.00.00.00333172010.00669554530.00672534431.00445063.0E-5
7.85.8664327E-61.1536581E-51.1536581E-51.00.02.5141611E-54.9441554E-54.9441554E-51.00.03.060561E-46.0178485E-46.0178485E-41.00.00.00305634950.00610101640.00613083361.00488723.0E-5
7.93.7167474E-67.1145205E-67.1145205E-61.00.01.592882E-53.0490448E-53.0490448E-51.00.01.9391612E-43.7115812E-43.7115812E-41.00.00.00193746990.00376762430.0037875491.00528842.0E-5
8.01.0903841E-61.2879104E-61.2879104E-61.00.04.6730665E-65.5196047E-65.5196047E-61.00.05.68931E-56.719913E-56.719913E-51.00.05.6878536E-46.942094E-46.942094E-41.00.0
8.12.6894583E-71.1056095E-71.1056095E-71.00.01.1526245E-64.7383253E-74.7383253E-71.00.01.4033113E-55.768896E-65.768896E-61.00.01.4032227E-46.454915E-56.454915E-51.00.0
8.25.2967013E-92.4567874E-92.4567874E-91.00.02.2700148E-81.0529089E-81.0529089E-81.00.02.7637427E-71.2819166E-71.2819166E-71.00.02.7637393E-61.4588004E-61.4588004E-61.00.0

Imperial

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.7496446E-45.055345E-45.355194E-41.05931323.0E-50.00117788690.0021648170.00224464391.03687478.0E-50.01424676550.0260484090.0261945021.00560861.5E-40.133672490.228070290.228224681.00067692.0E-4
6.12.5356023E-44.8657708E-45.165625E-41.06162523.0E-50.0010862340.0020837020.00216353541.03831328.0E-50.0131449280.025070940.0252171771.0058331.5E-40.1239401550.219495610.219651711.00071122.0E-4
6.22.4820742E-44.775311E-45.075168E-41.06279313.0E-50.00106331240.00204499460.0021248311.03903998.0E-50.012869190.0246106760.0247569851.0059451.5E-40.121489270.216001360.216158171.00072592.0E-4
6.32.3205351E-44.5892023E-44.8890646E-41.06534093.0E-59.94136E-40.00196535540.0020451981.04062518.0E-50.0120365990.0236611870.0238076371.00618951.5E-40.114051330.207938270.208096681.00076192.0E-4
6.42.0304754E-43.9878016E-44.287682E-41.07519943.0E-58.6991355E-40.00170795290.00178781631.04675978.0E-50.0105398690.0205954180.0207423291.00713311.5E-40.1005376350.185071130.18523411.00088072.0E-4
6.51.854992E-43.6990462E-43.8989724E-41.0540482.0E-57.9475436E-40.00158435480.00165424381.0441127.0E-50.0096332810.019114430.0192517531.00718431.4E-40.09226230.17330390.17345271.00085871.8E-4
6.61.6586106E-43.4036173E-43.6035493E-41.0587412.0E-57.106394E-40.00145788780.00152778581.04794477.0E-50.0086177630.0176076260.017745161.00781111.4E-40.082911320.160780550.16093161.00093951.8E-4
6.71.4224656E-43.076812E-43.2767505E-41.06498232.0E-56.094856E-40.00131797560.00138788331.05304187.0E-50.00739526930.0159285220.016066291.00864921.4E-40.071539550.146487980.146641611.00104881.8E-4
6.81.2317259E-42.779231E-42.9791755E-41.07194232.0E-55.2777573E-40.00119056150.0012604781.05872587.0E-50.00640675470.0144001310.0145381151.00958221.4E-40.062251660.132940890.133096951.0011741.8E-4
6.99.859898E-52.5015484E-42.7014982E-41.07993052.0E-54.2249862E-40.00107165590.00114158091.06524947.0E-50.00513179460.0129703190.0131085031.01065391.4E-40.050148930.1194088760.119567381.00132741.8E-4
7.07.3191884E-52.1267848E-42.3267423E-41.09401872.0E-53.136418E-49.11164E-49.811003E-41.07675487.0E-50.0038119040.0110376810.0111662471.01164781.3E-40.0374717640.102067560.102220211.00149561.7E-4
7.17.1760296E-52.0969207E-42.2968788E-41.09535792.0E-53.0750787E-48.9837395E-49.683111E-41.07784867.0E-50.0037374820.0108835280.0110121131.01181471.3E-40.036752450.100704060.1008569451.00151811.7E-4
7.26.46614E-51.9137723E-42.113734E-41.10448562.0E-52.7709085E-48.199333E-48.898759E-41.08530287.0E-50.00336836280.0099376170.0100663261.01295161.3E-40.0331776250.0925110060.092665281.00166761.7E-4
7.36.088115E-51.780939E-41.9809033E-41.11228022.0E-52.6089314E-47.6303916E-48.3298574E-41.09166847.0E-50.00317174760.0092510060.0093698961.01285161.2E-40.0312685850.086561350.0866892341.00147741.4E-4
7.44.199346E-51.1511097E-41.3510867E-41.17372542.0E-51.7995955E-44.932403E-45.632058E-41.14184877.0E-50.00218880570.0059888350.00609817641.01825751.1E-40.021673720.057440240.0575627721.00213331.3E-4
7.53.130448E-58.333871E-59.3337876E-51.11998221.0E-51.3415517E-43.5711733E-44.070995E-41.139965.0E-50.00163211530.00433929540.00442890451.02065079.0E-50.0162018030.0421335060.0422388721.00250081.1E-4
7.62.3074248E-56.0849357E-57.084875E-51.16433021.0E-59.888588E-52.6075702E-43.1074398E-41.19169945.0E-50.00120327060.00317011820.0032598331.02830029.0E-50.0119677610.031028160.0311347491.00343511.1E-4
7.71.45864815E-54.0128452E-55.0128052E-51.24918971.0E-56.2511994E-51.7196777E-42.119609E-41.23256174.0E-57.608177E-40.00209170250.00217153531.03816648.0E-50.0075821820.020629090.0207172331.00427289.0E-5
7.81.0352979E-53.096395E-54.096364E-51.32294621.0E-54.4369157E-51.326959E-41.7269059E-41.30140114.0E-55.400606E-40.00161437780.00168426471.04329047.0E-50.00538750.0160178930.016096611.00491448.0E-5
7.98.137906E-62.2151205E-53.2150983E-51.45143271.0E-53.4876273E-59.493029E-51.349265E-41.42132194.0E-54.2453592E-40.00115516440.00122508361.06052747.0E-50.0042372580.0116188420.0116880291.00595477.0E-5
8.06.93792E-61.8010365E-51.8010365E-51.00.02.9733603E-57.7185E-59.718346E-51.25909772.0E-53.6194647E-49.3932304E-49.892761E-41.05317995.0E-50.00361357510.0095024150.009551941.00521185.0E-5
8.13.4286315E-66.380179E-66.380179E-61.00.01.4694053E-52.734334E-53.7343067E-51.36570981.0E-51.7888541E-43.3285443E-43.728411E-41.12013274.0E-50.00178741480.00348636740.0035262281.01143324.0E-5
8.21.4906886E-61.936633E-61.936633E-61.00.06.3886496E-68.2998295E-68.2998295E-61.00.07.7779034E-51.0104576E-41.2104375E-41.19791012.0E-57.775182E-40.00110754230.00112752011.0180382.0E-5
8.32.5758007E-81.4495866E-81.4495866E-81.00.01.10391454E-76.212514E-86.212514E-81.00.01.3440151E-67.563736E-77.563736E-71.00.01.344007E-57.884359E-67.884359E-61.00.0

Santa Ynez (East)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.2269712E-53.6750775E-58.6748936E-52.36046555.0E-51.3829143E-41.5749714E-42.274861E-41.44438257.0E-50.00168239790.00191642530.00203619521.06249651.2E-40.0166971780.0190564380.0192330091.00926571.8E-4
6.13.2269712E-53.6750775E-58.6748936E-52.36046555.0E-51.3829143E-41.5749714E-42.274861E-41.44438257.0E-50.00168239790.00191642530.00203619521.06249651.2E-40.0166971780.0190564380.0192330091.00926571.8E-4
6.23.2269712E-53.6750775E-58.6748936E-52.36046555.0E-51.3829143E-41.5749714E-42.274861E-41.44438257.0E-50.00168239790.00191642530.00203619521.06249651.2E-40.0166971780.0190564380.0192330091.00926571.8E-4
6.33.2269712E-53.6750775E-58.6748936E-52.36046555.0E-51.3829143E-41.5749714E-42.274861E-41.44438257.0E-50.00168239790.00191642530.00203619521.06249651.2E-40.0166971780.0190564380.0192330091.00926571.8E-4
6.41.4404779E-51.48492945E-54.484885E-53.0202683.0E-56.1733306E-56.363831E-51.1363513E-41.78564025.0E-57.513438E-47.7452604E-48.344796E-41.07740686.0E-50.00748808540.0077188170.00778827631.00899887.0E-5
6.51.4404779E-51.48492945E-54.484885E-53.0202683.0E-56.1733306E-56.363831E-51.1363513E-41.78564025.0E-57.513438E-47.7452604E-48.344796E-41.07740686.0E-50.00748808540.0077188170.00778827631.00899887.0E-5
6.61.280208E-51.301186E-54.301147E-53.3055593.0E-55.4864904E-55.5763932E-51.05761144E-41.89658695.0E-56.6777546E-46.7871617E-47.386754E-41.08834226.0E-50.0066577240.00676664340.00683616941.01027497.0E-5
6.71.2457027E-51.262838E-54.2628002E-53.37557153.0E-55.3386164E-55.4120515E-51.0411781E-41.9238145.0E-56.497827E-46.5871974E-47.186802E-41.09102586.0E-50.006478860.006567870.006637411.01058797.0E-5
6.81.2095134E-51.2230827E-54.223046E-53.45278863.0E-55.1835254E-55.2416784E-51.0241417E-41.95384295.0E-56.309115E-46.3798914E-46.9795083E-41.09398546.0E-50.00629123250.0063617640.00643131841.01093337.0E-5
6.91.1104036E-51.115726E-53.1157037E-52.79253482.0E-54.758786E-54.781596E-58.781405E-51.83650084.0E-55.7922816E-45.82005E-46.3197594E-41.08585995.0E-50.0057772070.00580495360.00586460531.0102766.0E-5
7.01.0577444E-51.05815925E-53.058138E-52.89005472.0E-54.5331115E-54.53489E-58.5347085E-51.882014.0E-55.5176654E-45.5198424E-46.019566E-41.09053235.0E-50.00550398560.005506270.005565941.01083676.0E-5
7.11.0021775E-59.9809E-62.99807E-53.00380732.0E-54.294976E-54.277459E-58.277288E-51.93509464.0E-55.2278786E-45.206574E-45.7063135E-41.09598245.0E-50.00521559640.0051945080.00525419651.01149076.0E-5
7.28.874109E-68.748706E-62.874853E-53.28603222.0E-53.8031343E-53.7493923E-57.749243E-52.06679964.0E-54.629332E-44.56394E-45.0637114E-41.10950455.0E-50.00461970.00455468470.0046144121.01311336.0E-5
7.37.5504267E-67.5050243E-62.7504873E-53.66486142.0E-53.235857E-53.2164E-57.2162715E-52.24358654.0E-53.9389438E-43.9152734E-44.4150776E-41.1276555.0E-50.00393196940.00390848240.0039682481.01529126.0E-5
7.46.309394E-66.183062E-62.618294E-54.23462342.0E-52.703998E-52.6498574E-55.6497778E-52.13210633.0E-53.2916202E-43.2257332E-43.6256041E-41.12396284.0E-50.0032867490.00322114840.00327098721.01547245.0E-5
7.54.6103073E-64.4408016E-62.4440713E-55.5036712.0E-51.975831E-51.9031871E-54.90313E-52.57627323.0E-52.4053088E-42.316891E-42.6168214E-41.12945393.0E-50.0024027070.0023145450.00235445241.01724214.0E-5
7.61.2858658E-61.3008196E-61.3008196E-61.00.05.5108417E-65.574929E-65.574929E-61.00.06.7092435E-56.787272E-56.787272E-51.00.06.707218E-46.7852676E-46.7852676E-41.00.0
7.75.3302307E-75.612138E-75.612138E-71.00.02.2843826E-62.4052001E-62.4052001E-61.00.02.7812002E-52.9282955E-52.9282955E-51.00.02.7808524E-42.9279455E-42.9279455E-41.00.0
7.84.613933E-84.80301E-84.80301E-81.00.01.9773998E-72.0584326E-72.0584326E-71.00.02.4074816E-62.5061388E-62.5061388E-61.00.02.4074554E-52.5061116E-52.5061116E-51.00.0

San Jacinto (San Jacinto Valley) rev

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.652694E-53.4401106E-59.4399045E-52.744076.0E-51.5653463E-41.4742499E-42.4741024E-41.67821111.0E-40.00190414310.00179342330.00195313641.08905481.6E-40.0188790990.0185263030.0187127811.01006571.9E-4
6.13.652694E-53.4401106E-59.4399045E-52.744076.0E-51.5653463E-41.4742499E-42.4741024E-41.67821111.0E-40.00190414310.00179342330.00195313641.08905481.6E-40.0188790990.0185263030.0187127811.01006571.9E-4
6.23.652694E-53.4401106E-59.4399045E-52.744076.0E-51.5653463E-41.4742499E-42.4741024E-41.67821111.0E-40.00190414310.00179342330.00195313641.08905481.6E-40.0188790990.0185263030.0187127811.01006571.9E-4
6.33.652694E-53.4401106E-59.4399045E-52.744076.0E-51.5653463E-41.4742499E-42.4741024E-41.67821111.0E-40.00190414310.00179342330.00195313641.08905481.6E-40.0188790990.0185263030.0187127811.01006571.9E-4
6.43.646941E-53.432268E-59.432062E-52.74805526.0E-51.5628811E-41.4708891E-42.470742E-41.67976091.0E-40.00190114680.00178933890.00194905261.08925861.6E-40.0188496450.0184861810.018672671.0100881.9E-4
6.53.646941E-53.432268E-59.432062E-52.74805526.0E-51.5628811E-41.4708891E-42.470742E-41.67976091.0E-40.00190114680.00178933890.00194905261.08925861.6E-40.0188496450.0184861810.018672671.0100881.9E-4
6.63.6442503E-53.4286066E-59.428401E-52.7499226.0E-51.561728E-41.4693203E-42.4691733E-41.68048681.0E-40.00189974550.0017874320.00194714591.08935391.6E-40.0188358690.018467450.0186539421.01009831.9E-4
6.73.6432113E-53.427164E-59.4269584E-52.75065856.0E-51.5612828E-41.4687021E-42.4685552E-41.68077331.0E-40.00189920440.00178668070.00194639481.08939161.6E-40.0188305490.0184600740.0186465661.01010251.9E-4
6.83.6409598E-53.4240697E-59.423865E-52.75224076.0E-51.560318E-41.4673761E-42.4672292E-41.68138851.0E-40.00189803180.00178506890.00194478331.08947241.6E-40.0188190230.0184442290.0186307241.01011131.9E-4
6.93.638078E-53.4201123E-59.4199066E-52.75426846.0E-51.5590832E-41.4656801E-42.4655336E-41.68217711.0E-40.00189653110.00178300750.00194272221.0895761.6E-40.0188042690.0184239630.0186104631.01012271.9E-4
7.03.6294874E-53.408314E-59.408109E-52.76034126.0E-51.5554018E-41.4606243E-42.4604783E-41.68453871.0E-40.00189205690.00177686230.0019365781.08988641.6E-40.0187602840.0183635450.0185500551.01015661.9E-4
7.13.6260717E-53.403942E-59.403738E-52.7626026.0E-51.5539382E-41.4587509E-42.4586052E-41.6854181.0E-40.0018902780.00177458510.00193430121.0900021.6E-40.0187427960.0183411390.0185276551.01016931.9E-4
7.23.6210204E-53.397364E-59.3971605E-52.7660156.0E-51.5517735E-41.455932E-42.4557865E-41.68674521.0E-40.0018876470.00177115880.00193087541.09017631.6E-40.018716930.0183074080.018493931.01018831.9E-4
7.33.6119454E-53.386193E-59.38599E-52.77184156.0E-51.5478847E-41.4511449E-42.4509997E-41.68901111.0E-40.00188292060.00176533980.00192505741.09047411.6E-40.0186704620.018249960.0184364931.0102211.9E-4
7.43.607848E-53.380943E-59.38074E-52.77459296.0E-51.5461289E-41.4488952E-42.4487503E-41.69008111.0E-40.00188078660.00176260520.00192232311.09061471.6E-40.0186494810.0182229560.0184094921.01023641.9E-4
7.53.5856774E-53.3619202E-59.3617185E-52.78463446.0E-51.5366284E-41.4407437E-42.4405995E-41.6939861.0E-40.00186923960.00175269670.00191241631.09112791.6E-40.0185359440.0181240570.0183106141.01029321.9E-4
7.63.286655E-53.2142278E-59.214035E-52.86664036.0E-51.4084904E-41.3774536E-42.3773158E-41.72587731.0E-40.0017134880.00167576170.00183549361.09531891.6E-40.0170033610.0173438040.0175305081.0107651.9E-4
7.72.8882527E-52.9235205E-58.923345E-53.05226026.0E-51.237764E-41.2528773E-42.252752E-41.79806281.0E-40.00150593570.00152431180.00168406791.10480541.6E-40.0149577130.0158303380.016017331.01181231.9E-4
7.82.4950225E-52.6526219E-58.6524626E-53.2618536.0E-51.0692515E-41.1367885E-42.1366749E-41.87957111.0E-40.00130103620.00138316210.00154294091.1155171.6E-40.0129344550.014411760.01459902151.01299371.9E-4
7.91.9881603E-52.150649E-58.15052E-53.78979546.0E-58.520408E-59.216742E-51.921582E-42.0848821.0E-40.0010368660.00112156150.0012813821.14249831.6E-40.0103204150.0117769980.011964761.01594321.9E-4
8.01.563292E-51.5936288E-53.593597E-52.25497752.0E-56.6996516E-56.829659E-51.282925E-41.87846116.0E-58.153773E-48.3119445E-49.3111134E-41.12020871.0E-40.008123920.0088103310.0089292741.01350031.2E-4
8.11.0045313E-58.300794E-61.830071E-52.2046941.0E-54.305063E-53.557435E-57.557293E-52.12436564.0E-55.2401534E-44.3303217E-44.930062E-41.13849786.0E-50.00522781440.00465876660.0047184871.01281896.0E-5
8.24.1554413E-61.5648296E-61.5648296E-61.00.01.7808914E-56.7063957E-66.7063957E-61.00.02.1680194E-48.164734E-59.164652E-51.1224681.0E-50.00216590549.479703E-49.5796084E-41.01053881.0E-5
8.31.2758221E-63.612677E-73.612677E-71.00.05.4677976E-61.5482892E-61.5482892E-61.00.06.65684E-51.8850264E-51.8850264E-51.00.06.6548464E-42.2739546E-42.2739546E-41.00.0

Pinto Mtn

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.4194956E-54.7853926E-51.07851054E-42.25375566.0E-51.893932E-42.0507304E-42.8505662E-41.39002498.0E-50.00230342360.00249406880.00263371951.05599321.4E-40.0227969380.0246783050.0248636161.00750911.9E-4
6.14.4194956E-54.7853926E-51.07851054E-42.25375566.0E-51.893932E-42.0507304E-42.8505662E-41.39002498.0E-50.00230342360.00249406880.00263371951.05599321.4E-40.0227969380.0246783050.0248636161.00750911.9E-4
6.24.4194956E-54.7853926E-51.07851054E-42.25375566.0E-51.893932E-42.0507304E-42.8505662E-41.39002498.0E-50.00230342360.00249406880.00263371951.05599321.4E-40.0227969380.0246783050.0248636161.00750911.9E-4
6.34.4194956E-54.7853926E-51.07851054E-42.25375566.0E-51.893932E-42.0507304E-42.8505662E-41.39002498.0E-50.00230342360.00249406880.00263371951.05599321.4E-40.0227969380.0246783050.0248636161.00750911.9E-4
6.43.729929E-53.960349E-59.9601115E-52.5149586.0E-51.5984432E-41.6971873E-42.4970516E-41.47128818.0E-50.00194436730.00206446040.00220417141.06767431.4E-40.0192744270.0204628480.0206391641.00861641.8E-4
6.53.729929E-53.960349E-59.9601115E-52.5149586.0E-51.5984432E-41.6971873E-42.4970516E-41.47128818.0E-50.00194436730.00206446040.00220417141.06767431.4E-40.0192744270.0204628480.0206391641.00861641.8E-4
6.63.0204548E-53.12056E-57.1204355E-52.28178124.0E-51.2944164E-41.3373162E-41.9372361E-41.44859986.0E-50.00157481270.00162700120.00173682231.0674991.1E-40.0156369920.0161547640.0163023421.00913511.5E-4
6.72.9857754E-53.0814987E-57.081375E-52.29802974.0E-51.2795553E-41.3205773E-41.920498E-41.45428676.0E-50.00155674530.00160665170.0017164751.06835531.1E-40.0154588480.0159542040.0161018111.0092521.5E-4
6.82.4819734E-52.5009665E-55.5008917E-52.19950633.0E-51.0636595E-41.0718E-41.5717464E-41.4664555.0E-50.00129423620.0013041570.00139403961.06892019.0E-50.0128672440.0129674030.0130858471.00913391.2E-4
6.92.331124E-52.3337945E-54.3337477E-51.85695352.0E-59.990149E-51.0001605E-41.4001204E-41.39989584.0E-50.0012156220.00121703550.00129693821.06565348.0E-50.0120899360.0121058970.0122046861.00816051.0E-4
7.02.1818534E-52.1761074E-54.176064E-51.91905222.0E-59.3504656E-59.3258524E-51.332548E-41.42887524.0E-50.00113782460.00113485090.00120477151.06161217.0E-50.0113201630.011292660.0113816431.00787979.0E-5
7.12.066081E-52.0540718E-54.0540308E-51.97365582.0E-58.854332E-58.8028784E-51.2802526E-41.45435684.0E-50.00107748180.00107124310.00114116811.06527467.0E-50.0107227240.01066284350.01075188351.00835059.0E-5
7.21.8990233E-51.9054001E-53.9053622E-52.04962832.0E-58.138417E-58.165756E-51.21654295E-41.48981064.0E-59.904018E-49.937467E-40.00106367711.07037047.0E-50.0098599950.0098950290.0099841381.00900549.0E-5
7.31.3335872E-51.4906713E-53.4906414E-52.34165742.0E-55.7152483E-56.388442E-59.38825E-51.46956813.0E-56.956093E-47.77528E-48.3748135E-41.07710776.0E-50.0069343590.0077493760.0078287561.01024348.0E-5
7.49.414066E-61.186096E-53.1860724E-52.68618422.0E-54.0345374E-55.083175E-58.083022E-51.59015243.0E-54.910942E-46.1871024E-46.686793E-41.08076325.0E-50.00490010340.00617082560.00622051671.00805265.0E-5
7.57.2101157E-69.158192E-61.91581E-52.09190851.0E-53.090013E-53.9248847E-55.9248065E-51.50954912.0E-53.7614413E-44.7775774E-45.1773863E-41.08368444.0E-50.00375508070.0047680820.00480789131.00834914.0E-5
7.63.296375E-64.5455017E-64.5455017E-61.00.01.4127245E-51.9480583E-51.9480583E-51.00.01.7198564E-42.3715167E-42.5714692E-41.08431422.0E-50.00171852590.00236912330.0023890761.00842192.0E-5
7.72.5741092E-63.5844084E-63.5844084E-61.00.01.103185E-51.5361667E-51.5361667E-51.00.01.3430449E-41.8701357E-41.970117E-41.0534621.0E-50.00134223350.00186869180.00187867311.00534131.0E-5

Mission Ridge-Arroyo Parida-Santa Ana

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.169034E-54.7137048E-58.713516E-51.84854954.0E-51.7866064E-42.0200513E-42.61993E-41.29696216.0E-50.00217302330.00245746570.00258714641.052771.3E-40.0215189680.024384830.0245311731.00600141.5E-4
6.11.73813E-51.6854203E-54.6853696E-52.77994133.0E-57.4489166E-57.223036E-51.1222747E-41.55374374.0E-59.065282E-48.790605E-49.2901656E-41.05682895.0E-50.0090283910.0087571280.0088166041.00679166.0E-5
6.21.4622182E-51.3673262E-54.367285E-53.1940333.0E-56.2664985E-55.85984E-59.859606E-51.68257254.0E-57.6267915E-47.132059E-47.6317025E-41.0700565.0E-50.0076006690.0071097670.00715941141.00698265.0E-5
6.31.3552434E-51.2482174E-54.24818E-53.40339763.0E-55.8080568E-55.349395E-59.349181E-51.74770814.0E-57.069015E-46.510974E-46.910713E-41.06139474.0E-50.007046570.0064924150.0065321551.0061214.0E-5
6.41.30977305E-51.1979128E-53.197889E-52.66955042.0E-55.613192E-55.133813E-58.133659E-51.5843313.0E-56.831918E-46.2486547E-46.548467E-41.04798033.0E-50.0068109530.0062315840.0062613971.00478423.0E-5
6.51.225205E-51.1048776E-53.1048556E-52.81013542.0E-55.2507727E-54.735105E-57.734963E-51.63353563.0E-56.3909404E-45.7634927E-46.06332E-41.05202173.0E-50.0063725920.0057490090.00577883661.00518833.0E-5
6.61.1352241E-51.0063508E-53.0063307E-52.98735862.0E-54.8651553E-54.3128617E-57.3127325E-51.69556383.0E-55.921717E-45.249665E-45.549508E-41.05711653.0E-50.00590596160.00523766460.00526750741.00569773.0E-5
6.71.0864116E-59.517E-61.9516905E-52.05074121.0E-54.6559664E-54.0786515E-56.07857E-51.49033812.0E-55.667165E-44.964647E-45.164548E-41.04026482.0E-50.0056527340.00495394370.00497384461.00401722.0E-5
6.81.0666365E-59.299752E-61.929966E-52.07528761.0E-54.571219E-53.985548E-55.9854683E-51.5017932.0E-55.564038E-44.8513446E-45.0512474E-41.04120562.0E-50.0055501270.004841140.00486104331.00411132.0E-5
6.91.0038665E-58.592018E-61.8591933E-52.16386081.0E-54.302214E-53.682243E-55.682169E-51.54312732.0E-55.236687E-44.4822265E-44.6821366E-41.04460072.0E-50.0052243640.00447355070.00449346151.00445072.0E-5
7.09.5379955E-68.025047E-61.8024966E-52.24608871.0E-54.0876483E-53.439261E-55.4391923E-51.58150032.0E-54.975576E-44.1865133E-44.3864295E-41.04775252.0E-50.004964450.004178980.00419889621.00476592.0E-5
7.19.207389E-67.652347E-61.7652272E-52.30677841.0E-53.945964E-53.2795375E-55.2794716E-51.60982222.0E-54.803152E-43.992122E-44.1920424E-41.05007862.0E-50.0047927840.0039853010.0040052211.00499842.0E-5
7.27.638091E-65.9310923E-61.5931033E-52.68602011.0E-53.2734264E-52.5418722E-54.541821E-51.78680162.0E-53.984668E-43.094293E-43.294231E-41.06461512.0E-50.00397753060.00309019560.00311013381.00645212.0E-5
7.37.2500147E-65.596131E-61.5596075E-52.7869391.0E-53.1071122E-52.3983199E-54.398272E-51.83389712.0E-53.7822526E-42.9195662E-43.1195077E-41.06848342.0E-50.00377582150.00291594020.0029358821.00683882.0E-5
7.46.3899715E-64.9184864E-61.4918437E-53.0331361.0E-52.7385306E-52.1079059E-53.107885E-51.47439441.0E-53.3336508E-42.566075E-42.6660494E-41.038961.0E-50.00332865420.0025633110.00257328531.00389121.0E-5
7.55.379025E-64.0838477E-61.40838065E-53.44866131.0E-52.305276E-51.7502087E-52.7501912E-51.57135051.0E-52.806312E-42.1306718E-42.2306504E-41.04692351.0E-50.00280277080.00212864020.00213861881.00468781.0E-5
7.64.1270696E-63.0883373E-61.3088306E-54.23797851.0E-51.768732E-51.32356645E-52.3235532E-51.75552441.0E-52.1532185E-41.6113237E-41.7113076E-41.06205081.0E-50.00215113330.00161016350.00162014741.00620061.0E-5
7.72.5406805E-61.8282044E-61.1828186E-56.4698381.0E-51.0888585E-57.835139E-61.783506E-52.27629161.0E-51.3256045E-49.53887E-51.0538774E-41.10482421.0E-50.00132481429.534837E-49.6347416E-41.01047791.0E-5
7.84.8608285E-73.509864E-73.509864E-71.00.02.0832106E-61.5042266E-61.5042266E-61.00.02.5362791E-51.8313805E-51.8313805E-51.00.02.5359896E-41.8312308E-41.8312308E-41.00.0
7.92.0472514E-81.2688718E-81.2688718E-81.00.08.7739345E-85.438022E-85.438022E-81.00.01.068226E-66.6207895E-76.6207895E-71.00.01.0682209E-56.620771E-66.620771E-61.00.0
8.04.443582E-92.032067E-92.032067E-91.00.01.9043922E-88.7088585E-98.7088585E-91.00.02.3185973E-71.0603035E-71.0603035E-71.00.02.3185949E-61.0603031E-61.0603031E-61.00.0

Owens Valley

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.83821E-53.6210524E-67.36208E-520.3313277.0E-52.0733538E-41.551871E-58.5517626E-55.51061447.0E-50.0025213861.889249E-42.989041E-41.5821321.1E-40.0249296910.00192971410.00209938621.08792591.7E-4
6.14.83821E-53.6210524E-67.36208E-520.3313277.0E-52.0733538E-41.551871E-58.5517626E-55.51061447.0E-50.0025213861.889249E-42.989041E-41.5821321.1E-40.0249296910.00192971410.00209938621.08792591.7E-4
6.24.83821E-53.6210524E-67.36208E-520.3313277.0E-52.0733538E-41.551871E-58.5517626E-55.51061447.0E-50.0025213861.889249E-42.989041E-41.5821321.1E-40.0249296910.00192971410.00209938621.08792591.7E-4
6.33.953008E-53.1530958E-65.3152937E-516.857385.0E-51.6940363E-41.3513202E-56.3512525E-54.7000355.0E-50.0020605381.6451156E-42.444984E-41.48620818.0E-50.0204153640.00166216270.001801931.08408761.4E-4
6.43.953008E-53.1530958E-65.3152937E-516.857385.0E-51.6940363E-41.3513202E-56.3512525E-54.7000355.0E-50.0020605381.6451156E-42.444984E-41.48620818.0E-50.0204153640.00166216270.001801931.08408761.4E-4
6.53.457342E-52.9707387E-65.297059E-517.830785.0E-51.4816338E-41.273168E-56.2731044E-54.92716175.0E-50.00180239651.5499788E-42.3498548E-41.51605628.0E-50.0178784770.00155631190.00168610951.08340081.3E-4
6.63.1127765E-52.8737306E-65.2873587E-518.3989355.0E-51.3339789E-41.2315934E-56.231532E-55.05973155.0E-50.00162290921.4993687E-42.2992487E-41.53347798.0E-50.0161110810.00150134380.00162116361.07980841.2E-4
6.72.806885E-52.8101606E-65.281002E-518.7925285.0E-51.2028952E-41.2043493E-56.204289E-55.15156945.0E-50.0014635411.4662035E-42.2660862E-41.54554698.0E-50.0145393970.00146560870.00158543281.08175721.2E-4
6.82.524524E-52.2351392E-65.2235027E-523.3699235.0E-51.0818939E-49.579134E-65.9578655E-56.21962835.0E-50.00131640991.16620016E-41.966107E-41.68590868.0E-50.013086390.0011658270.00128568721.10281121.2E-4
6.92.2704568E-51.6079711E-65.160789E-532.0950365.0E-59.730166E-56.8912864E-65.689094E-58.2554895.0E-50.00118400398.38982E-51.6389148E-41.95345658.0E-50.0117771538.38853E-49.487608E-41.13102141.1E-4
7.02.0871712E-51.5393621E-65.1539286E-533.4809385.0E-58.944713E-56.5972495E-65.659692E-58.5788665.0E-50.00108847468.031857E-51.6031215E-41.99595378.0E-50.0108315868.030395E-49.129512E-41.13686951.1E-4
7.11.944928E-51.3862556E-65.1386185E-537.0683365.0E-58.335139E-55.941082E-65.5940785E-59.4159265.0E-50.00101433087.233028E-51.5232449E-42.10595758.0E-50.0100971337.2319806E-48.331185E-41.15199221.1E-4
7.21.7876306E-51.2487686E-65.1248706E-541.0393945.0E-57.6610486E-55.3518543E-65.5351586E-510.3425065.0E-59.3233347E-46.515689E-51.4515167E-42.22772578.0E-50.0092843166.5148395E-47.6141226E-41.16873531.1E-4
7.31.2618672E-51.1113839E-65.111133E-545.9889035.0E-55.40789E-54.763065E-65.4762826E-511.4973925.0E-56.582117E-45.7988782E-51.3798414E-42.3794978.0E-50.00656265535.7983754E-46.8977376E-41.18959831.1E-4
7.47.4874442E-68.547518E-74.0854717E-547.7971734.0E-53.208865E-53.6632168E-64.366307E-511.9193254.0E-53.906093E-44.4598757E-51.14595634E-42.56948047.0E-50.0038992344.459579E-45.459133E-41.22413641.0E-4
7.52.4734156E-66.0679935E-72.0606787E-533.9598052.0E-51.060031E-52.6005662E-62.2600514E-58.6906132.0E-51.2905113E-43.1661435E-58.1659855E-52.57915835.0E-50.00128976213.1656958E-43.865474E-41.22105047.0E-5
7.61.1328841E-63.1961991E-72.0319614E-563.5743032.0E-54.8552088E-61.369799E-62.1369771E-515.6006622.0E-55.9110564E-51.6677177E-56.6676344E-53.99805935.0E-55.9094845E-41.6675945E-42.3674777E-41.41969637.0E-5
7.74.8613185E-78.962742E-81.0089627E-5112.572991.0E-52.0834207E-63.8411747E-71.0384114E-527.0336931.0E-52.536535E-54.676621E-62.4676527E-55.2765722.0E-52.5362454E-44.676529E-57.6763885E-51.64147143.0E-5

Red Mountain

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.1810763E-54.7590016E-58.758811E-51.84047254.0E-51.7917668E-42.039422E-42.7392793E-41.34316467.0E-50.00217929340.00248033340.00260003561.04826061.2E-40.0215804520.024544110.0246904291.00596141.5E-4
6.14.1810763E-54.7590016E-58.758811E-51.84047254.0E-51.7917668E-42.039422E-42.7392793E-41.34316467.0E-50.00217929340.00248033340.00260003561.04826061.2E-40.0215804520.024544110.0246904291.00596141.5E-4
6.24.1810763E-54.7590016E-58.758811E-51.84047254.0E-51.7917668E-42.039422E-42.7392793E-41.34316467.0E-50.00217929340.00248033340.00260003561.04826061.2E-40.0215804520.024544110.0246904291.00596141.5E-4
6.34.1810763E-54.7590016E-58.758811E-51.84047254.0E-51.7917668E-42.039422E-42.7392793E-41.34316467.0E-50.00217929340.00248033340.00260003561.04826061.2E-40.0215804520.024544110.0246904291.00596141.5E-4
6.44.1810763E-54.7590016E-58.758811E-51.84047254.0E-51.7917668E-42.039422E-42.7392793E-41.34316467.0E-50.00217929340.00248033340.00260003561.04826061.2E-40.0215804520.024544110.0246904291.00596141.5E-4
6.53.154503E-53.5359757E-57.5358344E-52.13118964.0E-51.3518598E-41.5153353E-42.2152293E-41.4618747.0E-50.00164464670.00184345180.00195324891.05956071.1E-40.016325280.0182912440.018409051.00644051.2E-4
6.63.1535834E-53.5349138E-57.534772E-52.13152934.0E-51.3514658E-41.5148803E-42.2147743E-41.46201267.0E-50.00164416760.00184289870.0019526961.05957851.1E-40.016320560.0182858050.018403611.00644241.2E-4
6.72.8267326E-53.1469353E-56.146841E-51.95327843.0E-51.2114006E-41.3486217E-41.9485407E-41.44483866.0E-50.00147388240.00164079540.00173064781.05476149.0E-50.0146414520.016295570.0163939431.00603661.0E-4
6.82.8212884E-53.1407242E-56.1406296E-51.95516373.0E-51.20906756E-41.3459599E-41.9458792E-41.44571856.0E-50.00147104570.00163755950.00172741211.05486999.0E-50.0146134590.0162636880.0163620621.00604871.0E-4
6.92.4227871E-52.6706994E-54.670646E-51.74884752.0E-51.03829596E-41.1445395E-41.6444823E-41.43680695.0E-50.00126339230.00139266210.00147255061.0573648.0E-50.0125623360.01384703350.0139357881.00640969.0E-5
7.02.348524E-52.5835778E-54.5835262E-51.77410032.0E-51.0064714E-41.10720495E-41.6071496E-41.45153765.0E-50.00122469010.0013472640.00142715631.05929968.0E-50.0121796270.0133985980.0134873921.00662719.0E-5
7.12.2311642E-52.4462845E-54.4462355E-51.81754642.0E-59.561782E-51.04836974E-41.5483172E-41.4768815.0E-50.00116352520.00127571760.00135561561.06262988.0E-50.011574520.012691460.0127803171.00700149.0E-5
7.21.6533986E-51.7670362E-53.7670008E-52.13181882.0E-57.085802E-57.572828E-51.257245E-41.66020525.0E-58.623549E-49.2166534E-49.8161E-41.06503956.0E-50.0085901610.0091847070.00925406351.00755137.0E-5
7.31.4703092E-51.5559537E-53.5559224E-52.28536532.0E-56.301173E-56.668237E-51.06679705E-41.59981874.0E-57.668978E-48.1161706E-48.515846E-41.04924434.0E-50.00764256580.0080926040.0081421991.00612845.0E-5
7.46.1331984E-65.5288874E-61.5528833E-52.80867221.0E-52.6284872E-52.3695018E-53.369478E-51.42201961.0E-53.199713E-42.884492E-42.984463E-41.03465821.0E-50.00319510980.00288080240.00290074481.00692252.0E-5
7.55.954766E-65.338517E-61.5338464E-52.87316941.0E-52.5520176E-52.2879161E-53.2878932E-51.43706891.0E-53.1066386E-42.785187E-42.885159E-41.03589431.0E-50.0031022990.00278175040.00280169471.00716972.0E-5
7.64.9726646E-64.315309E-61.4315266E-53.3173211.0E-52.1311245E-51.8494053E-52.8493867E-51.54070441.0E-52.5943352E-42.2514217E-42.3513992E-41.04440641.0E-50.00259130840.00224917540.00226913041.00887222.0E-5
7.73.3613894E-62.8526886E-61.285266E-54.5054551.0E-51.4405875E-51.22257525E-52.2225631E-51.81793561.0E-51.7537741E-41.4883863E-41.5883715E-41.06717681.0E-50.00175239080.00148741570.00150738611.01342622.0E-5
7.81.1828961E-61.0122935E-61.0122935E-61.00.05.069545E-64.338394E-64.338394E-61.00.06.171996E-55.281869E-55.281869E-51.00.06.170282E-45.280643E-45.3805904E-41.01892711.0E-5
7.92.2967266E-71.861919E-71.861919E-71.00.09.843111E-77.97965E-77.97965E-71.00.01.19839215E-59.715184E-69.715184E-61.00.01.1983275E-49.714788E-59.714788E-51.00.0

Independence rev 2011

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.422171E-64.3262253E-68.432588E-519.491798.0E-51.8952025E-51.8540852E-51.08539185E-45.85405649.0E-52.3071647E-42.2571447E-43.256919E-41.44293761.0E-40.00230477080.00225514570.00241478491.07078891.6E-4
6.14.422171E-64.3262253E-68.432588E-519.491798.0E-51.8952025E-51.8540852E-51.08539185E-45.85405649.0E-52.3071647E-42.2571447E-43.256919E-41.44293761.0E-40.00230477080.00225514570.00241478491.07078891.6E-4
6.24.422171E-64.3262253E-68.432588E-519.491798.0E-51.8952025E-51.8540852E-51.08539185E-45.85405649.0E-52.3071647E-42.2571447E-43.256919E-41.44293761.0E-40.00230477080.00225514570.00241478491.07078891.6E-4
6.34.422171E-64.3262253E-68.432588E-519.491798.0E-51.8952025E-51.8540852E-51.08539185E-45.85405649.0E-52.3071647E-42.2571447E-43.256919E-41.44293761.0E-40.00230477080.00225514570.00241478491.07078891.6E-4
6.44.422171E-64.3262253E-68.432588E-519.491798.0E-51.8952025E-51.8540852E-51.08539185E-45.85405649.0E-52.3071647E-42.2571447E-43.256919E-41.44293761.0E-40.00230477080.00225514570.00241478491.07078891.6E-4
6.54.422171E-64.3262253E-68.432588E-519.491798.0E-51.8952025E-51.8540852E-51.08539185E-45.85405649.0E-52.3071647E-42.2571447E-43.256919E-41.44293761.0E-40.00230477080.00225514570.00241478491.07078891.6E-4
6.62.663744E-62.5319846E-68.2531784E-532.5956888.0E-51.1415996E-51.08513195E-51.00850346E-49.2938329.0E-51.3898089E-41.321073E-42.3209408E-41.75686051.0E-40.00138893990.00132033590.00148012471.12102131.6E-4
6.72.663744E-62.5319846E-68.2531784E-532.5956888.0E-51.1415996E-51.08513195E-51.00850346E-49.2938329.0E-51.3898089E-41.321073E-42.3209408E-41.75686051.0E-40.00138893990.00132033590.00148012471.12102131.6E-4
6.81.9716529E-61.8322567E-68.183211E-544.6619268.0E-58.449913E-67.852505E-69.78518E-512.461229.0E-51.0287284E-49.560019E-51.9559063E-42.0459231.0E-40.00102825239.5560355E-40.00111545061.16727341.6E-4
6.91.8788617E-61.7429976E-68.174286E-546.897868.0E-58.0522395E-67.4699688E-69.7469296E-513.0481539.0E-59.80316E-59.09432E-51.9093411E-42.09948751.0E-49.798837E-49.090718E-40.00106892641.17584371.6E-4
7.01.5045488E-61.3849498E-68.138484E-558.763758.0E-56.44805E-65.9354857E-69.593495E-516.1629499.0E-57.8502184E-57.226219E-51.7225496E-42.38374951.0E-47.8474457E-47.223921E-48.6229097E-41.19366061.4E-4
7.11.272341E-61.1625089E-68.116241E-569.81668.0E-55.4528787E-64.9821715E-69.4981726E-519.0643229.0E-56.6386776E-56.0656283E-51.6065022E-42.64853381.0E-46.636695E-46.064005E-47.363216E-41.21424971.3E-4
7.21.0416892E-69.409871E-78.094091E-586.017038.0E-54.464375E-64.032796E-69.403243E-523.3169359.0E-55.4352407E-54.9098202E-51.4909329E-43.03663441.0E-45.4339116E-44.908754E-46.208116E-41.2647031.3E-4
7.37.9450155E-77.2350036E-78.072344E-5111.573468.0E-53.4050022E-63.1007123E-69.310043E-530.02559.0E-54.1455114E-53.7750528E-51.3774676E-43.64886951.0E-44.144738E-43.7744228E-45.073932E-41.34429351.3E-4
7.45.3893444E-75.0195166E-78.050191E-5160.377828.0E-52.309717E-62.1512196E-69.215103E-542.8366439.0E-52.8120441E-52.6190788E-51.2618817E-44.8180361.0E-42.8116882E-42.6187746E-43.9184344E-41.49628531.3E-4
7.53.8852085E-73.6825622E-76.0368235E-5163.929986.0E-51.6650882E-61.57824E-67.157813E-545.353137.0E-52.027226E-51.9214905E-59.9213365E-55.16335448.0E-52.0270412E-41.9213265E-43.0211153E-41.57241111.1E-4
7.62.414929E-72.3457605E-75.0234565E-5214.150445.0E-51.0349692E-61.0053255E-66.1005267E-560.68216.0E-51.2600677E-51.2239771E-58.223891E-56.71899137.0E-51.2599962E-41.223911E-42.023813E-41.65356238.0E-5
7.76.8298014E-86.8589785E-86.8589785E-81.00.02.9270575E-72.939562E-71.0293953E-535.0186651.0E-53.5636867E-63.5789112E-61.3578875E-53.79413581.0E-53.5636294E-53.5788584E-54.5788227E-51.27940871.0E-5

San Jacinto (Stepovers Combined)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.0667746E-53.5271103E-58.526934E-52.4175415.0E-51.742787E-41.5115313E-42.4113953E-41.59533269.0E-50.00211977820.00183873720.00197847981.07599931.4E-40.0209967140.0189864950.0191434571.0082671.6E-4
6.14.0667746E-53.5271103E-58.526934E-52.4175415.0E-51.742787E-41.5115313E-42.4113953E-41.59533269.0E-50.00211977820.00183873720.00197847981.07599931.4E-40.0209967140.0189864950.0191434571.0082671.6E-4
6.24.0667746E-53.5271103E-58.526934E-52.4175415.0E-51.742787E-41.5115313E-42.4113953E-41.59533269.0E-50.00211977820.00183873720.00197847981.07599931.4E-40.0209967140.0189864950.0191434571.0082671.6E-4
6.34.0667746E-53.5271103E-58.526934E-52.4175415.0E-51.742787E-41.5115313E-42.4113953E-41.59533269.0E-50.00211977820.00183873720.00197847981.07599931.4E-40.0209967140.0189864950.0191434571.0082671.6E-4
6.44.0577226E-53.5143014E-58.5141255E-52.42270785.0E-51.738908E-41.5060425E-42.4059069E-41.59750279.0E-50.00211506480.00183206690.00197181041.07627641.4E-40.0209504720.0189210620.0190780351.00829611.6E-4
6.54.0577226E-53.5143014E-58.5141255E-52.42270785.0E-51.738908E-41.5060425E-42.4059069E-41.59750279.0E-50.00211506480.00183206690.00197181041.07627641.4E-40.0209504720.0189210620.0190780351.00829611.6E-4
6.64.053861E-53.5088357E-58.5086605E-52.42492415.0E-51.7372532E-41.5037002E-42.4035649E-41.59843359.0E-50.00211305380.00182922060.00196896451.07639531.4E-40.0209307430.018893140.0190501181.00830861.6E-4
6.74.0516545E-53.505743E-58.5055675E-52.4261815.0E-51.7363077E-41.502375E-42.4022398E-41.59896159.0E-50.0021119050.00182761010.00196735421.07646271.4E-40.0209194680.0188773370.0190343171.00831581.6E-4
6.84.049434E-53.5028992E-58.502724E-52.4273395.0E-51.7353562E-41.5011564E-42.4010213E-41.59944789.0E-50.00211074880.00182612890.00196587321.07652491.4E-40.0209081250.0188627490.019019731.00832241.6E-4
6.94.046386E-53.4991554E-58.4989806E-52.42886645.0E-51.73405E-41.499552E-42.399417E-41.60008939.0E-50.00210916160.00182417880.00196392351.07660691.4E-40.0208925530.0188435220.0190005081.0083311.6E-4
7.04.036382E-53.4872126E-58.487038E-52.433765.0E-51.7297632E-41.4944343E-42.3942997E-41.60214469.0E-50.00210395250.00181795840.00195770381.07686951.4E-40.020841440.0187821370.0189391321.00835871.6E-4
7.14.0343282E-53.485059E-58.484884E-52.43464615.0E-51.7288832E-41.4935112E-42.3933769E-41.60251689.0E-50.0021028830.00181683680.00195658231.0769171.4E-40.0208309480.0187710080.0189280041.00836381.6E-4
7.24.0257353E-53.475509E-58.475335E-52.43858845.0E-51.725201E-41.489419E-42.3892848E-41.60417259.0E-50.00209840850.00181186260.00195160891.07712851.4E-40.0207870420.0187217460.018878751.00838631.6E-4
7.33.9940667E-53.458276E-58.458103E-52.44575725.0E-51.7116306E-41.4820343E-42.3819008E-41.60718359.0E-50.00208191850.00180288660.00194263421.07751321.4E-40.0206252170.0186303870.0187874061.00842811.6E-4
7.43.9721202E-53.4468165E-58.446644E-52.4505645.0E-51.7022261E-41.4771236E-42.3769907E-41.60920239.0E-50.00207049030.00179691790.00193666631.07777121.4E-40.0205130520.0185695220.018726551.00845621.6E-4
7.53.7036873E-53.3535776E-58.35341E-52.4908955.0E-51.5871979E-41.4371685E-42.3370392E-41.62614149.0E-50.00193070060.00174835130.00188810661.07993541.4E-40.0191401240.0180711280.0182282371.00869391.6E-4
7.63.2940967E-53.13167E-58.1315135E-52.59654215.0E-51.4116794E-41.3420754E-42.2419546E-41.67051329.0E-50.00171736450.00163275450.00177252581.08560471.4E-40.017041530.0169040910.0170613861.00930511.6E-4
7.72.8236149E-52.7882697E-57.7881305E-52.7931775.0E-51.2100645E-41.1949181E-42.0948105E-41.75309979.0E-50.00147225790.00145384290.00159363941.09615651.4E-40.0146254210.0151149120.01527249351.01042561.6E-4
7.82.4329287E-52.5206451E-57.520519E-52.98356915.0E-51.042642E-41.08023174E-41.9801345E-41.83306469.0E-50.00126867740.00131438950.00145420561.10637331.4E-40.0126145890.0137123410.0138701461.01150831.6E-4
7.91.9370926E-52.0420413E-57.0419395E-53.44848045.0E-58.301561E-58.751312E-51.7750525E-42.02832729.0E-50.00101024650.00106495220.00120480311.13132131.4E-40.01005666050.0111994020.0113576091.01412641.6E-4
8.01.5583017E-51.5885415E-53.58851E-52.25899652.0E-56.6782646E-56.807858E-51.2807449E-41.88127456.0E-58.127754E-48.2854216E-49.2845934E-41.12059391.0E-40.0080980910.0087816360.0089005831.01354491.2E-4
8.11.0024873E-58.291399E-61.8291317E-52.2060591.0E-54.2963035E-53.553409E-57.553267E-52.12563974.0E-55.229494E-44.3254215E-44.925162E-41.13865486.0E-50.00521720430.00465306550.00471278651.01283476.0E-5
8.24.142796E-61.5602761E-61.5602761E-61.00.01.775472E-56.6868806E-66.6868806E-61.00.02.1614227E-48.140976E-59.140895E-51.12282541.0E-50.00215932179.4514614E-49.5513667E-41.01057041.0E-5
8.31.2750878E-63.609817E-73.609817E-71.00.05.4646503E-61.5470634E-61.5470634E-61.00.06.653009E-51.8835339E-51.8835339E-51.00.06.6510175E-42.272251E-42.272251E-41.00.0

Santa Rosa Island

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.1143165E-54.709113E-55.7090656E-51.21234421.0E-51.7631594E-42.0180462E-42.118026E-41.04954291.0E-50.0021445330.00245439910.00253420281.03251468.0E-50.0212395530.0242935570.0244301561.00562291.4E-4
6.12.1061249E-52.3864959E-53.3864722E-51.41901431.0E-59.0259375E-51.0227455E-41.1227353E-41.0977661.0E-50.00109835390.00124451030.00129444821.04012645.0E-50.010929410.012378450.0124574591.00638288.0E-5
6.22.1061249E-52.3864959E-53.3864722E-51.41901431.0E-59.0259375E-51.0227455E-41.1227353E-41.0977661.0E-50.00109835390.00124451030.00129444821.04012645.0E-50.010929410.012378450.0124574591.00638288.0E-5
6.31.5158236E-51.7074419E-52.7074248E-51.58566151.0E-56.496225E-57.3174095E-58.317336E-51.13665041.0E-57.906284E-48.9054246E-49.3050685E-41.04487654.0E-50.0078782140.008870990.0089304581.00670366.0E-5
6.41.2341918E-51.3852917E-52.3852777E-51.72185971.0E-55.2892858E-55.9368336E-56.936774E-51.168431.0E-56.437803E-47.225779E-47.62549E-41.05531744.0E-50.0064191840.00720312170.00726268951.00826976.0E-5
6.59.061158E-61.0117032E-52.011693E-51.98842231.0E-53.883296E-54.3358017E-55.335758E-51.23062791.0E-54.726887E-45.277613E-45.5774546E-41.05681383.0E-50.0047168450.00526561770.0053153541.00944555.0E-5
6.67.5461685E-68.400734E-68.400734E-61.00.03.2340322E-53.600267E-53.600267E-51.00.03.936723E-44.3824868E-44.4824427E-41.02280811.0E-50.0039297560.00437427360.00440414251.00682833.0E-5
6.75.5023775E-66.087381E-66.087381E-61.00.02.3581404E-52.6088532E-52.6088532E-51.00.02.8706578E-43.1758484E-43.2758166E-41.03147771.0E-50.00286695220.00317163160.00320153641.00942893.0E-5
6.83.7351679E-64.0831405E-64.0831405E-61.00.01.6007763E-51.7499071E-51.7499071E-51.00.01.948771E-42.1303285E-42.1303285E-41.00.00.00194706290.00212853150.002138511.0046881.0E-5
6.92.456366E-62.6292707E-62.6292707E-61.00.01.0527241E-51.1268255E-51.1268255E-51.00.01.2816161E-41.3718239E-41.3718239E-41.00.00.00128087730.00137097990.00138096631.0072841.0E-5
7.02.3245157E-62.4827784E-62.4827784E-61.00.09.962172E-61.0640436E-51.0640436E-51.00.01.2128269E-41.2953962E-41.2953962E-41.00.00.00121216520.00129464340.00130463041.00771421.0E-5
7.12.2248344E-62.37325E-62.37325E-61.00.09.53497E-61.0171032E-51.0171032E-51.00.01.1608207E-41.238253E-41.238253E-41.00.00.00116021440.00123756510.00124755271.00807031.0E-5
7.22.1350402E-62.2761542E-62.2761542E-61.00.09.150141E-69.75491E-69.75491E-61.00.01.1139726E-41.1875957E-41.1875957E-41.00.00.00111341440.00118696290.00119695111.00841491.0E-5
7.31.9793572E-62.1087192E-62.1087192E-61.00.08.482932E-69.037337E-69.037337E-61.00.01.032748E-41.1002403E-41.1002403E-41.00.00.00103226820.00109969740.00109969741.00.0
7.41.6951194E-61.8045735E-61.8045735E-61.00.07.264777E-67.733864E-67.733864E-61.00.08.844508E-59.415574E-59.415574E-51.00.08.840988E-49.411601E-49.411601E-41.00.0
7.58.987207E-79.512216E-79.512216E-71.00.03.8516546E-64.0766577E-64.0766577E-61.00.04.6892885E-54.9632188E-54.9632188E-51.00.04.688299E-44.962122E-44.962122E-41.00.0
7.63.8783037E-74.0529335E-74.0529335E-71.00.01.6621291E-61.7369704E-61.7369704E-61.00.02.0236233E-52.1147416E-52.1147416E-51.00.02.023439E-42.114547E-42.114547E-41.00.0
7.76.181804E-86.339047E-86.339047E-81.00.02.6493444E-72.7167343E-72.7167343E-71.00.03.225572E-63.307619E-63.307619E-61.00.03.225525E-53.3075703E-53.3075703E-51.00.0
7.81.3704449E-91.3964153E-91.3964153E-91.00.05.873335E-95.984637E-95.984637E-91.00.07.1507856E-87.286295E-87.286295E-81.00.07.1507833E-77.286294E-77.286294E-71.00.0

Deep Springs

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.9810619E-52.311252E-56.31116E-52.73062374.0E-58.489989E-59.9052755E-51.490478E-41.50473155.0E-50.0010331660.00120580780.00130568721.0828321.0E-40.0102837570.012042430.0121807441.01148561.4E-4
6.11.9810619E-52.311252E-56.31116E-52.73062374.0E-58.489989E-59.9052755E-51.490478E-41.50473155.0E-50.0010331660.00120580780.00130568721.0828321.0E-40.0102837570.012042430.0121807441.01148561.4E-4
6.21.9810619E-52.311252E-56.31116E-52.73062374.0E-58.489989E-59.9052755E-51.490478E-41.50473155.0E-50.0010331660.00120580780.00130568721.0828321.0E-40.0102837570.012042430.0121807441.01148561.4E-4
6.31.9810619E-52.311252E-56.31116E-52.73062374.0E-58.489989E-59.9052755E-51.490478E-41.50473155.0E-50.0010331660.00120580780.00130568721.0828321.0E-40.0102837570.012042430.0121807441.01148561.4E-4
6.41.9810619E-52.311252E-56.31116E-52.73062374.0E-58.489989E-59.9052755E-51.490478E-41.50473155.0E-50.0010331660.00120580780.00130568721.0828321.0E-40.0102837570.012042430.0121807441.01148561.4E-4
6.51.7190405E-52.0050558E-56.0049755E-52.9949174.0E-57.367108E-58.593096E-51.3592666E-41.58181255.0E-58.9657627E-40.00104620920.0011361151.08593499.0E-50.0089296760.0104620610.0105808051.011351.2E-4
6.61.7190405E-52.0050558E-56.0049755E-52.9949174.0E-57.367108E-58.593096E-51.3592666E-41.58181255.0E-58.9657627E-40.00104620920.0011361151.08593499.0E-50.0089296760.0104620610.0105808051.011351.2E-4

Pisgah-Bullion Mtn-Mesquite Lk

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0240792E-52.40909E-55.409018E-52.24525363.0E-51.2959696E-41.032432E-41.63237E-41.58109216.0E-50.00157670080.00125636180.00133626131.06359598.0E-50.0156556090.0125026130.0126309881.01026791.3E-4
6.13.0240792E-52.40909E-55.409018E-52.24525363.0E-51.2959696E-41.032432E-41.63237E-41.58109216.0E-50.00157670080.00125636180.00133626131.06359598.0E-50.0156556090.0125026130.0126309881.01026791.3E-4
6.23.0240792E-52.40909E-55.409018E-52.24525363.0E-51.2959696E-41.032432E-41.63237E-41.58109216.0E-50.00157670080.00125636180.00133626131.06359598.0E-50.0156556090.0125026130.0126309881.01026791.3E-4
6.32.0498217E-51.3638054E-52.3637918E-51.73323241.0E-58.784654E-55.8447586E-57.8446414E-51.34216692.0E-50.00106900697.1138324E-47.513548E-41.05618854.0E-50.010638790.00709268640.007162191.00979947.0E-5
6.42.0498217E-51.3638054E-52.3637918E-51.73323241.0E-58.784654E-55.8447586E-57.8446414E-51.34216692.0E-50.00106900697.1138324E-47.513548E-41.05618854.0E-50.010638790.00709268640.007162191.00979947.0E-5
6.51.7316182E-51.04769715E-52.0476868E-51.95446431.0E-57.42101E-54.490059E-56.4899694E-51.44540852.0E-59.0313336E-45.465376E-45.865157E-41.0731484.0E-50.0089947180.005452930.0055126031.01094336.0E-5
6.61.5251077E-58.414133E-61.8414048E-52.18846651.0E-56.536012E-53.606011E-55.605939E-51.55460942.0E-57.9546886E-44.3895066E-44.789331E-41.09108644.0E-50.0079262740.00438155370.00444129061.01363376.0E-5
6.71.2997425E-56.4112146E-61.641115E-52.55975681.0E-55.570206E-52.7476372E-54.747582E-51.72787822.0E-56.7796157E-43.3447813E-43.6446808E-41.0896623.0E-50.00675896930.0033402070.003390041.01491925.0E-5
6.81.035386E-54.333145E-61.4333102E-53.30778241.0E-54.437293E-51.8570496E-53.8570124E-52.07695722.0E-55.401065E-42.260732E-42.4606867E-41.0884472.0E-50.00538795670.0022585190.00229842871.01767084.0E-5
6.98.816252E-63.5805879E-63.5805879E-61.00.03.778339E-51.534529E-52.5345136E-51.65165581.0E-54.5991567E-41.8681347E-41.9681161E-41.05351941.0E-50.004589650.00186662280.00189656681.01604183.0E-5
7.06.8232207E-62.5674399E-62.5674399E-61.00.02.9242048E-51.100327E-52.100316E-51.90881071.0E-53.5596377E-41.3395688E-41.4395555E-41.07464091.0E-50.00355394110.00133879250.00136875231.02237823.0E-5
7.15.837013E-62.2273143E-62.2273143E-61.00.02.501553E-59.5456E-61.9545503E-52.0475931.0E-53.045215E-41.1621177E-41.2621061E-41.08603981.0E-50.00304104550.0011615390.00119150421.02579783.0E-5
7.24.278052E-61.6275065E-61.6275065E-61.00.01.833438E-56.975011E-61.697494E-52.43367961.0E-52.231982E-48.491768E-59.491683E-51.11775111.0E-50.00222974188.4887556E-48.7885006E-41.03531093.0E-5
7.31.8803692E-68.344788E-78.344788E-71.00.08.0587E-63.5763337E-63.5763337E-61.00.09.811026E-54.354114E-54.354114E-51.00.09.806695E-44.3534054E-44.5533184E-41.04592112.0E-5

Sheephole

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5579695E-64.7412627E-66.4740976E-513.6547976.0E-51.9534009E-52.031957E-59.031815E-54.4448857.0E-52.3780059E-42.473682E-43.4734348E-41.40415561.0E-40.00237546280.0024714730.00261112721.05650641.4E-4
6.14.5579695E-64.7412627E-66.4740976E-513.6547976.0E-51.9534009E-52.031957E-59.031815E-54.4448857.0E-52.3780059E-42.473682E-43.4734348E-41.40415561.0E-40.00237546280.0024714730.00261112721.05650641.4E-4
6.22.6677674E-62.7873941E-63.278731E-511.7627113.0E-51.1433239E-51.1945926E-55.1945448E-54.34838154.0E-51.3919079E-41.4543302E-42.1542284E-41.48125127.0E-50.00139103640.00145348440.00155333911.06870021.0E-4
6.32.6677674E-62.7873941E-63.278731E-511.7627113.0E-51.1433239E-51.1945926E-55.1945448E-54.34838154.0E-51.3919079E-41.4543302E-42.1542284E-41.48125127.0E-50.00139103640.00145348440.00155333911.06870021.0E-4
6.42.2159759E-62.3228788E-62.2322833E-59.6099862.0E-59.497005E-69.955161E-63.9954863E-54.0134823.0E-51.156199E-41.2119815E-41.8119087E-41.4949976.0E-50.00115559760.00121139990.00128131511.05771437.0E-5
6.52.1986082E-62.304759E-62.2304714E-59.6776772.0E-59.4225725E-69.877506E-63.987721E-54.03717373.0E-51.1471378E-41.2025281E-41.802456E-41.49888896.0E-50.00114654580.00120195660.00127187251.05816847.0E-5
6.61.5232331E-61.6018919E-62.160186E-513.4852172.0E-56.5281256E-66.865234E-62.6865097E-53.91320922.0E-57.947703E-58.35812E-51.2357786E-41.47853654.0E-57.9448614E-48.3551643E-48.854746E-41.05979325.0E-5
6.71.3137362E-61.382819E-62.1382792E-515.4631882.0E-55.6302856E-65.926355E-62.5926236E-54.3747362.0E-56.854657E-57.215112E-51.12148235E-41.55435194.0E-56.8525434E-47.212908E-47.7125477E-41.06927015.0E-5
6.81.2275751E-61.2922847E-61.1292272E-58.7382231.0E-55.2610258E-65.5383516E-61.5538297E-52.80558131.0E-56.4051106E-56.7427485E-59.742546E-51.44489243.0E-56.4032647E-46.740836E-47.140566E-41.05929984.0E-5
6.91.1837088E-61.246102E-61.1246089E-59.0250151.0E-55.0730278E-65.340427E-61.5340374E-52.87249951.0E-56.176237E-56.501789E-59.5015945E-51.46138143.0E-56.17452E-46.5000186E-46.8997586E-41.06149834.0E-5
7.09.849371E-71.0366288E-61.1036618E-510.6466451.0E-54.2211523E-64.442688E-61.4442643E-53.25087951.0E-55.1391315E-55.4088487E-57.40874E-51.36974442.0E-55.137943E-45.407633E-45.7074707E-41.05544713.0E-5
7.18.1643645E-78.591669E-71.08591585E-512.6391731.0E-53.4990085E-63.682139E-61.3682103E-53.71580271.0E-54.2599597E-54.482921E-56.482832E-51.44611762.0E-54.259143E-44.4821028E-44.7819686E-41.06690293.0E-5
7.25.7295756E-76.029502E-71.0602944E-517.5851081.0E-52.45553E-62.58407E-61.2584044E-54.8698541.0E-52.9895667E-53.1460666E-55.1460036E-51.63569442.0E-52.9891645E-43.145688E-43.3456253E-41.0635592.0E-5

Whittier alt 1

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.2554693E-54.7252182E-56.725124E-51.42324092.0E-51.8236451E-42.0249544E-42.6248329E-41.2962436.0E-50.0022180270.00246291630.00255269461.0364529.0E-50.021960190.0243902630.0244975821.00441.1E-4
6.14.2554693E-54.7252182E-56.725124E-51.42324092.0E-51.8236451E-42.0249544E-42.6248329E-41.2962436.0E-50.0022180270.00246291630.00255269461.0364529.0E-50.021960190.0243902630.0244975821.00441.1E-4
6.24.2554693E-54.7252182E-56.725124E-51.42324092.0E-51.8236451E-42.0249544E-42.6248329E-41.2962436.0E-50.0022180270.00246291630.00255269461.0364529.0E-50.021960190.0243902630.0244975821.00441.1E-4
6.31.9617712E-51.826841E-51.826841E-51.00.08.40732E-57.829095E-59.8289376E-51.25543742.0E-50.00102311059.527944E-49.927563E-41.04194184.0E-50.010184130.00949040.009549831.00626226.0E-5
6.41.5611336E-51.3604089E-51.3604089E-51.00.06.690401E-55.8301972E-57.830081E-51.34302162.0E-58.142519E-47.096013E-47.4957294E-41.05632974.0E-50.0081127480.00707533770.00712498371.00701685.0E-5
6.51.5150166E-51.3100744E-51.3100744E-51.00.06.492767E-55.614487E-57.614375E-51.35620132.0E-57.9020765E-46.8335526E-47.23328E-41.05849474.0E-50.0078740360.0068145080.0068641671.00728735.0E-5
6.61.295588E-51.0380544E-51.0380544E-51.00.05.552402E-54.44873E-55.4486853E-51.22477331.0E-56.7579525E-45.415002E-45.614894E-41.03691452.0E-50.0067374380.0054033430.00543318131.00552213.0E-5
6.71.2542085E-59.899189E-69.899189E-61.00.05.3750682E-54.2424414E-55.242399E-51.23570331.0E-56.542181E-45.163967E-45.363864E-41.03870992.0E-50.0065229540.0051534640.00517336141.00386082.0E-5
6.81.2195878E-59.49523E-69.49523E-61.00.05.2267E-54.069322E-55.069281E-51.24573121.0E-56.36165E-44.9532915E-45.153193E-41.04035722.0E-50.00634346860.00494369630.00496359771.00402562.0E-5
6.91.1580298E-58.772739E-68.772739E-61.00.04.9628903E-53.759692E-54.7596546E-51.26596921.0E-56.040644E-44.5764804E-44.7763888E-41.04368172.0E-50.006024250.00456846460.0045883731.00435782.0E-5
7.01.0964795E-58.083794E-68.083794E-61.00.04.6991136E-53.4644378E-54.464403E-51.28863721.0E-55.7196687E-44.217152E-44.4170677E-41.04740542.0E-50.00570496960.0042104590.00423037451.00473012.0E-5
7.11.0230601E-57.32646E-67.32646E-61.00.04.3844695E-53.1398744E-53.1398744E-51.00.05.336784E-43.8221394E-43.9221012E-41.02615331.0E-50.0053239860.00381675920.0038267211.002611.0E-5
7.29.40865E-66.5430822E-66.5430822E-61.00.04.032216E-52.8041486E-52.8041486E-51.00.04.908117E-43.4135283E-43.5134942E-41.02928521.0E-50.00489729130.00340940240.00341936831.0029231.0E-5
7.38.237384E-65.5975433E-65.5975433E-61.00.03.5302593E-52.3989258E-52.3989258E-51.00.04.2972428E-42.920311E-43.020282E-41.0342331.0E-50.00428894260.00291679920.00292677011.00341841.0E-5
7.47.5316966E-65.0276153E-65.0276153E-61.00.03.2278298E-52.154675E-52.154675E-51.00.03.9291743E-42.623011E-42.722985E-41.03811411.0E-50.00392223430.00262002670.00263000051.00380671.0E-5
7.56.149649E-63.9336355E-63.9336355E-61.00.02.6355372E-51.6858336E-51.6858336E-51.00.03.208294E-42.052318E-42.052318E-41.00.00.0032036660.00205051180.00205051181.00.0
7.65.457711E-63.3951796E-63.3951796E-61.00.02.338998E-51.4550694E-51.4550694E-51.00.02.8473578E-41.771411E-41.771411E-41.00.00.00284371220.00177007980.00177007981.00.0
7.74.1676276E-62.3329922E-62.3329922E-61.00.01.7861139E-59.998504E-69.998504E-61.00.02.1743766E-41.2172572E-41.2172572E-41.00.00.00217225030.00121666350.00121666351.00.0
7.82.2692414E-79.384417E-89.384417E-81.00.09.725317E-74.0218927E-74.0218927E-71.00.01.1840509E-54.8966467E-64.8966467E-61.00.01.1839878E-44.8965718E-54.8965718E-51.00.0
7.96.676829E-93.4397174E-93.4397174E-91.00.02.861498E-81.4741646E-81.4741646E-81.00.03.4838732E-71.7947953E-71.7947953E-71.00.03.4838679E-61.794794E-61.794794E-61.00.0

Mission Creek

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1549387E-51.6322783E-56.632197E-54.06315335.0E-54.9496433E-56.995299E-51.2994879E-41.85765896.0E-56.0245243E-48.5135986E-49.312918E-41.09388738.0E-50.0060082180.0085101570.0086291351.01398071.2E-4
6.11.1549387E-51.6322783E-56.632197E-54.06315335.0E-54.9496433E-56.995299E-51.2994879E-41.85765896.0E-56.0245243E-48.5135986E-49.312918E-41.09388738.0E-50.0060082180.0085101570.0086291351.01398071.2E-4
6.21.1549387E-51.6322783E-56.632197E-54.06315335.0E-54.9496433E-56.995299E-51.2994879E-41.85765896.0E-56.0245243E-48.5135986E-49.312918E-41.09388738.0E-50.0060082180.0085101570.0086291351.01398071.2E-4
6.31.1549387E-51.6322783E-56.632197E-54.06315335.0E-54.9496433E-56.995299E-51.2994879E-41.85765896.0E-56.0245243E-48.5135986E-49.312918E-41.09388738.0E-50.0060082180.0085101570.0086291351.01398071.2E-4
6.41.1549387E-51.6322783E-56.632197E-54.06315335.0E-54.9496433E-56.995299E-51.2994879E-41.85765896.0E-56.0245243E-48.5135986E-49.312918E-41.09388738.0E-50.0060082180.0085101570.0086291351.01398071.2E-4
6.51.1549387E-51.6322783E-56.632197E-54.06315335.0E-54.9496433E-56.995299E-51.2994879E-41.85765896.0E-56.0245243E-48.5135986E-49.312918E-41.09388738.0E-50.0060082180.0085101570.0086291351.01398071.2E-4
6.69.202681E-61.3846059E-56.3845364E-54.6110865.0E-53.9439463E-55.9338956E-51.193354E-42.01108036.0E-54.800697E-47.2222133E-48.0216356E-41.11068948.0E-50.0047903390.00722734020.00734647271.01648371.2E-4
6.79.019164E-61.3651728E-56.3651045E-54.662495.0E-53.8652986E-55.8506146E-51.18502634E-42.02547346.0E-54.7049852E-47.1208854E-47.920316E-41.11226568.0E-50.0046950360.00712666470.00724580931.01671811.2E-4
6.88.673558E-61.3273839E-56.3273175E-54.7667585.0E-53.717186E-55.688669E-51.16883275E-42.05466826.0E-54.524734E-46.923842E-47.723288E-41.11546288.0E-50.00451553240.00693085230.00705002061.01719391.2E-4
6.97.002255E-61.1478069E-56.147749E-55.3560845.0E-53.000932E-54.9190832E-51.0918788E-42.21967966.0E-53.653022E-45.9874065E-46.6869875E-41.1168427.0E-50.00364702290.0059996760.00609907551.01656761.0E-4
7.05.84644E-69.675359E-65.9674876E-56.1677175.0E-52.5055931E-54.146519E-51.01462705E-42.44693686.0E-53.0501327E-45.047263E-45.74691E-41.13861917.0E-50.00304594960.0050639940.00516348751.01964721.0E-4
7.15.54703E-69.329834E-65.9329366E-56.35910225.0E-52.377277E-53.9984414E-59.998202E-52.50052486.0E-52.8939504E-44.8670598E-45.566719E-41.1437547.0E-50.00289018450.00488458760.0049840991.02037251.0E-4
7.24.384709E-67.681918E-65.7681533E-57.50874145.0E-51.8791474E-53.292211E-59.2920134E-52.82242356.0E-52.2876218E-44.0075663E-44.7072858E-41.17459967.0E-50.00228526820.0040285420.0041281391.02472291.0E-4
7.33.7888456E-66.915788E-65.6915444E-58.2297845.0E-51.623781E-52.9638775E-58.9637E-53.0243156.0E-51.9767738E-43.6079568E-44.3077042E-41.19394567.0E-50.00197501620.003630270.00372990691.02744621.0E-4
7.42.1982462E-65.0241033E-65.502385E-510.9519755.0E-59.421021E-62.1531694E-58.15304E-53.78652986.0E-51.1469489E-42.6211704E-43.221013E-41.22884546.0E-50.00114635720.00264603270.00273579451.03392319.0E-5
7.52.051923E-64.6153277E-65.4615095E-511.8334175.0E-58.793926E-61.9779825E-57.977864E-54.0333346.0E-51.0706078E-42.4079291E-43.0077845E-41.24911686.0E-50.00107009220.00243359320.0025233741.03689239.0E-5
7.61.8733427E-64.1236603E-65.4123455E-513.1250995.0E-58.028587E-61.7672712E-57.767165E-54.39500476.0E-59.774366E-52.151441E-42.751312E-41.27882296.0E-59.770069E-40.00217825130.00226805521.04122769.0E-5
7.71.8411953E-64.0433315E-65.404313E-513.365995.0E-57.890813E-61.732845E-57.732741E-54.4624546.0E-59.606641E-52.1095353E-42.7094086E-41.28436286.0E-59.6024893E-40.00213652920.00222633691.04203449.0E-5
7.81.7194251E-63.71068E-65.3710493E-514.4745695.0E-57.368944E-61.5902819E-57.5901866E-54.7728566.0E-58.97132E-51.9359968E-42.5358808E-41.30985786.0E-58.967699E-40.00196247570.0020522991.04577049.0E-5
7.91.4035052E-62.9502596E-65.2950112E-517.947615.0E-56.0150082E-61.2643909E-57.264315E-55.7453086.0E-57.3230265E-51.5392878E-42.1391954E-41.38973076.0E-57.3206134E-40.00156311740.00165297671.05748729.0E-5
8.03.9318823E-75.528477E-72.0552836E-537.1763042.0E-51.6850913E-62.3693453E-63.2369273E-513.66169553.0E-52.0515794E-52.8846403E-55.8845537E-52.0399613.0E-52.0513899E-42.990952E-43.2908624E-41.10027253.0E-5
8.11.596793E-71.13775044E-71.13775044E-71.00.06.8433974E-74.876072E-74.876072E-71.00.08.331805E-65.936602E-65.936602E-61.00.08.331492E-56.5494125E-56.5494125E-51.00.0
8.24.9003038E-82.5435753E-82.5435753E-81.00.02.10013E-71.09010365E-71.09010365E-71.00.02.5569052E-61.3272004E-61.3272004E-61.00.02.556876E-51.4952613E-51.4952613E-51.00.0

Rose Canyon

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5923203E-54.9714607E-59.9712124E-52.00569065.0E-51.9679888E-42.1304654E-42.930295E-41.37542478.0E-50.00239339330.00259094780.00269068871.03849591.0E-40.0236777980.0256185180.0257354431.00456421.2E-4
6.14.5923203E-54.9714607E-57.9713114E-51.60341443.0E-51.9679888E-42.1304654E-42.7303377E-41.28156866.0E-50.00239339330.00259094780.00265079251.02309756.0E-50.0236777980.0256185180.025676981.0022826.0E-5
6.22.8844734E-52.9669678E-53.9669383E-51.33703451.0E-51.2361443E-41.2714976E-41.6714468E-41.31454974.0E-50.00150396650.0015469760.00158691421.02581694.0E-50.01493828650.0153648730.0154042591.00256344.0E-5
6.32.3171577E-52.3162425E-52.3162425E-51.00.09.9302975E-59.926383E-51.2926085E-41.30219483.0E-50.00120834310.00120788040.00123784421.02480693.0E-50.0120179380.0120121520.0120417921.00246753.0E-5
6.42.0066604E-51.9668067E-51.9668067E-51.00.08.599689E-58.428905E-58.428905E-51.00.00.00104650920.0010257460.0010257461.00.00.0104159460.0102114790.0102114791.00.0
6.51.776989E-51.7115402E-51.7115402E-51.00.07.615444E-57.33497E-57.33497E-51.00.09.267859E-48.926737E-48.926737E-41.00.00.0092293030.0088746630.0088746631.00.0
6.61.5227364E-51.4340872E-51.4340872E-51.00.06.52585E-56.145947E-56.145947E-51.00.07.942326E-47.480173E-47.480173E-41.00.00.0079140.00744103360.00744103361.00.0
6.71.2703898E-51.1674277E-51.1674277E-51.00.05.4444143E-55.0031682E-55.0031682E-51.00.06.626558E-46.089697E-46.089697E-41.00.00.0066068330.00606230930.00606230931.00.0
6.81.1554917E-51.0610384E-51.0610384E-51.00.04.9520135E-54.547231E-54.547231E-51.00.06.0274085E-45.5348873E-45.5348873E-41.00.00.00601108650.0055044140.0055044141.00.0
6.98.732078E-67.882285E-67.882285E-61.00.03.7422655E-53.37808E-53.37808E-51.00.04.5552556E-44.112066E-44.112066E-41.00.00.00454592940.0040895150.0040895151.00.0
7.05.9337494E-65.107436E-65.107436E-61.00.02.5430107E-52.1888829E-52.1888829E-51.00.03.0956755E-42.6646405E-42.6646405E-41.00.00.00309136670.0026614610.0026614611.00.0
7.15.013409E-64.17734E-64.17734E-61.00.02.1485863E-51.7902763E-51.7902763E-51.00.02.6155898E-42.1794444E-42.1794444E-41.00.00.00261251330.00217731880.00217731881.00.0
7.24.120763E-63.2820917E-63.2820917E-61.00.01.7660293E-51.4066032E-51.4066032E-51.00.02.1499286E-41.7124058E-41.7124058E-41.00.00.00214784990.00171109580.00171109581.00.0
7.33.2081239E-62.4404965E-62.4404965E-61.00.01.374903E-51.0459229E-51.0459229E-51.00.01.6738157E-41.2733374E-41.2733374E-41.00.00.00167255560.00127261480.00127261481.00.0
7.42.4194755E-61.7680321E-61.7680321E-61.00.01.0369139E-57.5772587E-67.5772587E-61.00.01.2623696E-49.224927E-59.224927E-51.00.00.00126165279.221151E-49.221151E-41.00.0
7.51.3842889E-69.3782967E-79.3782967E-71.00.05.9326535E-64.019264E-64.019264E-61.00.07.222766E-54.8933474E-54.8933474E-51.00.07.220419E-44.8923056E-44.8923056E-41.00.0
7.61.0021575E-66.4113493E-76.4113493E-71.00.04.2949537E-62.7477186E-62.7477186E-61.00.05.2289808E-53.345298E-53.345298E-51.00.05.2277505E-43.344816E-43.344816E-41.00.0
7.78.7620116E-86.449304E-86.449304E-81.00.03.7551473E-72.763987E-72.763987E-71.00.04.5718825E-63.3651493E-63.3651493E-61.00.04.5717883E-53.3651013E-53.3651013E-51.00.0

San Jacinto (Anza) rev

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.3015636E-54.3298347E-56.3297484E-51.46189142.0E-52.7003905E-41.8555121E-42.4554008E-41.32330086.0E-50.00328276910.00225675730.00235653181.04421141.0E-40.0323469680.023293610.0234108161.00503161.2E-4
6.16.3015636E-54.3298347E-56.3297484E-51.46189142.0E-52.7003905E-41.8555121E-42.4554008E-41.32330086.0E-50.00328276910.00225675730.00235653181.04421141.0E-40.0323469680.023293610.0234108161.00503161.2E-4
6.26.3015636E-54.3298347E-56.3297484E-51.46189142.0E-52.7003905E-41.8555121E-42.4554008E-41.32330086.0E-50.00328276910.00225675730.00235653181.04421141.0E-40.0323469680.023293610.0234108161.00503161.2E-4
6.36.3015636E-54.3298347E-56.3297484E-51.46189142.0E-52.7003905E-41.8555121E-42.4554008E-41.32330086.0E-50.00328276910.00225675730.00235653181.04421141.0E-40.0323469680.023293610.0234108161.00503161.2E-4
6.46.3015636E-54.3298347E-56.3297484E-51.46189142.0E-52.7003905E-41.8555121E-42.4554008E-41.32330086.0E-50.00328276910.00225675730.00235653181.04421141.0E-40.0323469680.023293610.0234108161.00503161.2E-4
6.55.811017E-54.0080286E-56.0079485E-51.49897852.0E-52.4901982E-41.7176138E-42.3175107E-41.34926196.0E-50.00302760140.00208919470.00218898571.04776541.0E-40.029866840.0215908330.0217082431.0054381.2E-4
6.65.811017E-54.0080286E-56.0079485E-51.49897852.0E-52.4901982E-41.7176138E-42.3175107E-41.34926196.0E-50.00302760140.00208919470.00218898571.04776541.0E-40.029866840.0215908330.0217082431.0054381.2E-4
6.75.712442E-53.950301E-55.950222E-51.50627052.0E-52.4479596E-41.6928767E-42.2927752E-41.35436636.0E-50.00297631770.00205913440.00215892871.04846411.0E-40.0293676930.0212829190.0214003641.00551831.2E-4
6.85.6967532E-53.93593E-55.9358514E-51.50811912.0E-52.4412372E-41.6867183E-42.2866171E-41.35566036.0E-50.00296815530.00205165080.00215144571.04864121.0E-40.0292882290.021208520.0213259741.00553811.2E-4
6.95.6211324E-53.9064216E-55.9063434E-51.51195752.0E-52.4088343E-41.6740736E-42.2739731E-41.35834726.0E-50.00292881160.00203628470.0021360811.04900911.0E-40.0289051090.0210475270.0211650021.00558141.2E-4
7.05.4383527E-53.7925012E-55.792425E-51.52733652.0E-52.3305144E-41.6252567E-42.2251591E-41.36911256.0E-50.00283370940.0019769590.00207676131.05048271.0E-40.0279784650.020440950.0205584971.00575051.2E-4
7.15.1393665E-53.638787E-55.6387144E-51.54961372.0E-52.2023996E-41.5593872E-42.1592937E-41.38470656.0E-50.00267812420.00189690480.0019967151.05261741.0E-40.0264607820.0196160770.0197337231.00599741.2E-4
7.24.785222E-53.4738845E-55.473815E-51.57570432.0E-52.0506482E-41.4887229E-42.0886335E-41.40297016.0E-50.00249380550.00181101670.00191083561.05511761.0E-40.0246600490.0187287830.0188465361.00628721.2E-4
7.34.2143256E-53.3834414E-55.3833737E-51.59109412.0E-51.8060145E-41.449966E-42.0498788E-41.41374296.0E-50.0021966050.00176390750.00186373111.05659231.0E-40.021750190.0182366950.0183545071.00646021.2E-4
7.44.0264713E-53.3472694E-55.3472024E-51.5974822.0E-51.7255165E-41.4344654E-42.0343793E-41.41821436.0E-50.0020987920.00174506590.00184489151.05720441.0E-40.0207908040.0180413890.0181592241.00653141.2E-4
7.53.694492E-53.2186905E-55.218626E-51.62135062.0E-51.5832575E-41.379366E-41.9792833E-41.43492256.0E-50.00192591180.00167808760.00177791981.05949161.0E-40.019093060.0173578880.0174758041.00679331.2E-4
7.63.200565E-52.9502702E-54.9502112E-51.6778842.0E-51.3715986E-41.2643404E-41.8642645E-41.47449586.0E-50.0016686420.00153824970.0016380961.0649091.0E-40.016561680.0159460160.0160641041.00740541.2E-4
7.72.731642E-52.6091477E-54.6090954E-51.76651382.0E-51.1706512E-41.11815825E-41.7180911E-41.53653676.0E-50.0014243360.00136050850.00146037251.07340191.0E-40.0141524120.01416680.01428511.00835051.2E-4
7.82.3466424E-52.3503619E-54.350315E-51.85091282.0E-51.0056651E-41.0072591E-41.6071986E-41.59561596.0E-50.00122370940.00122564890.00132552631.08148941.0E-40.0121699280.0128087960.0129272591.00924861.2E-4
7.91.8611925E-51.890698E-53.89066E-52.05779052.0E-57.9762955E-58.10274E-51.4102254E-41.74043026.0E-59.7068126E-49.860628E-40.00108596431.10131351.0E-40.00966452250.0103937050.0105124581.01142551.2E-4
8.01.5460775E-51.5739915E-53.5739602E-52.2706352.0E-56.6258784E-56.745504E-51.27451E-41.88942136.0E-58.0640207E-48.2095637E-49.2087424E-41.12170911.0E-40.0080348210.0087027060.0088216621.01366881.2E-4
8.19.983884E-68.268954E-61.8268871E-52.20933271.0E-54.2787375E-53.5437897E-57.543648E-52.12869524.0E-55.2081177E-44.313715E-44.913456E-41.13903136.0E-50.00519592830.004639680.0046994021.0128726.0E-5
8.24.1226E-61.5522551E-61.5522551E-61.00.01.7668166E-56.6525045E-66.6525045E-61.00.02.1508869E-48.099126E-59.099045E-51.123461.0E-50.00214880649.401847E-49.501753E-41.01062621.0E-5
8.31.2750878E-63.609817E-73.609817E-71.00.05.4646503E-61.5470634E-61.5470634E-61.00.06.653009E-51.8835339E-51.8835339E-51.00.06.6510175E-42.272251E-42.272251E-41.00.0

San Clemente

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.681379E-58.163834E-51.016367E-41.24496292.0E-52.8631336E-43.4983488E-43.898209E-41.11429974.0E-50.0034802940.004251410.00434102721.02107949.0E-50.034262910.041756030.041871021.00275391.2E-4
6.16.681379E-58.163834E-51.016367E-41.24496292.0E-52.8631336E-43.4983488E-43.898209E-41.11429974.0E-50.0034802940.004251410.004331071.01873738.0E-50.034262910.041756030.0418614371.00252441.1E-4
6.23.9400576E-54.6452373E-55.6451907E-51.21526421.0E-51.6884868E-41.9906677E-42.1906279E-41.10044882.0E-50.00205379450.00242099840.00246090161.01648214.0E-50.0203491670.0239529030.0239919461.001634.0E-5
6.33.2590255E-53.792912E-54.7928737E-51.26363971.0E-51.3966505E-41.6254342E-41.8254017E-41.12302412.0E-50.00169909560.00197720020.0020171211.02019064.0E-50.016861630.0195998830.0196390971.00200084.0E-5
6.42.9454652E-53.4097764E-54.409742E-51.29326441.0E-51.2622811E-41.4612524E-41.661223E-41.13684892.0E-50.00153574380.00177764930.0018075961.01684623.0E-50.0152517390.017637470.0176669421.0016713.0E-5
6.52.790836E-53.2247463E-54.224714E-51.3100921.0E-51.1960178E-41.3819624E-41.5819346E-41.14470172.0E-50.0014551790.00168126620.00171121581.01781373.0E-50.0144568680.0166884850.0167179831.00176763.0E-5
6.62.2492153E-52.5762702E-53.5762445E-51.38814811.0E-59.639138E-51.1040699E-41.3040478E-41.18112792.0E-50.00117293310.00134339090.0013633641.01486772.0E-50.0116676150.0133544170.013374151.00147762.0E-5
6.71.9862755E-52.2666423E-53.2666198E-51.44117121.0E-58.512331E-59.713826E-51.1713632E-41.2058722.0E-50.00103588360.00118202790.00120200431.01690012.0E-50.0103106820.0117587010.01177846551.00168092.0E-5
6.81.6697575E-51.897771E-51.897771E-51.00.07.155907E-58.133056E-59.132974E-51.12294511.0E-58.7088346E-49.897591E-49.997492E-41.01009351.0E-50.0086747840.00985453650.0098644381.00100481.0E-5
6.91.5218415E-51.72694E-51.72694E-51.00.06.522015E-57.4009666E-58.400893E-51.13510751.0E-57.93766E-49.00704E-49.10695E-41.01109241.0E-50.0079093670.0089714810.0089813911.00110461.0E-5
7.01.2392958E-51.4033016E-51.4033016E-51.00.05.3111595E-56.014015E-57.013955E-51.16626821.0E-56.4644177E-47.319679E-47.419606E-41.01365181.0E-50.00644564540.00729635640.0073062841.00136051.0E-5
7.11.0934128E-51.2375138E-51.2375138E-51.00.04.6859706E-55.303527E-56.3034735E-51.18854381.0E-55.7036756E-46.455204E-46.5551396E-41.01548141.0E-50.00568905850.00643719970.00644713551.00154351.0E-5
7.29.5798805E-61.0844935E-51.0844935E-51.00.04.1055984E-54.6477508E-55.647704E-51.21514791.0E-54.9974193E-45.657239E-45.7571824E-41.01766651.0E-50.00498619630.00564356150.0056535051.00176191.0E-5
7.38.0167365E-69.083918E-69.083918E-61.00.03.4356988E-53.8930535E-54.8930146E-51.25685781.0E-54.1821605E-44.7388324E-44.8387848E-41.02109231.0E-50.00417429860.00472942970.0047393831.00210441.0E-5
7.42.9581017E-63.3623792E-63.3623792E-61.00.01.2677518E-51.4410146E-52.4410001E-51.69394551.0E-51.5433785E-41.7543444E-41.8543268E-41.05699131.0E-50.0015423070.00175345460.00176343711.00569311.0E-5

Santa Cruz Island

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.9164563E-53.1599742E-56.1598796E-51.94934483.0E-51.2498499E-41.3542121E-41.6541715E-41.2215013.0E-50.00152063010.00164764260.00169756021.03029645.0E-50.0151026670.0163680.0164761991.00661041.1E-4
6.12.9164563E-53.1599742E-56.1598796E-51.94934483.0E-51.2498499E-41.3542121E-41.6541715E-41.2215013.0E-50.00152063010.00164764260.00169756021.03029645.0E-50.0151026670.0163680.0164761991.00661041.1E-4
6.22.9164563E-53.1599742E-56.1598796E-51.94934483.0E-51.2498499E-41.3542121E-41.6541715E-41.2215013.0E-50.00152063010.00164764260.00169756021.03029645.0E-50.0151026670.0163680.0164761991.00661041.1E-4
6.31.6635553E-51.780436E-52.780418E-51.56165021.0E-57.1293274E-57.630227E-58.63015E-51.13104771.0E-58.6765E-49.286024E-49.385931E-41.01075891.0E-50.0086427010.0092490940.0092689091.00214242.0E-5
6.41.6635553E-51.780436E-52.780418E-51.56165021.0E-57.1293274E-57.630227E-58.63015E-51.13104771.0E-58.6765E-49.286024E-49.385931E-41.01075891.0E-50.0086427010.0092490940.0092689091.00214242.0E-5
6.51.2238748E-51.3042996E-52.3042865E-51.7666851.0E-55.2450723E-55.5897377E-56.589682E-51.17888931.0E-56.3840044E-46.8034173E-46.9033494E-41.01468851.0E-50.00636569550.0067829880.00680285231.00292852.0E-5
6.61.0489767E-51.1156636E-51.1156636E-51.00.04.495537E-54.781329E-54.781329E-51.00.05.4719415E-45.819736E-45.819736E-41.00.00.0054584870.0058047360.0058146781.00171271.0E-5
6.78.699222E-69.236783E-69.236783E-61.00.03.7281847E-53.958561E-53.958561E-51.00.04.5381195E-44.818488E-44.818488E-41.00.00.00452886340.0048081080.004818061.00206981.0E-5
6.88.307732E-68.8169045E-68.8169045E-61.00.03.560408E-53.7786187E-53.7786187E-51.00.04.3339343E-44.5995016E-44.5995016E-41.00.00.0043254920.00459003540.00459998941.00216871.0E-5
6.98.073121E-68.564939E-68.564939E-61.00.03.459863E-53.670637E-53.670637E-51.00.04.2115687E-44.4680882E-44.4680882E-41.00.00.0042035960.0044591560.00446911161.00223261.0E-5
7.07.617019E-68.074665E-68.074665E-61.00.03.264396E-53.4605247E-53.4605247E-51.00.03.9736772E-44.2123784E-44.2123784E-41.00.00.0039665790.00420444130.00421439951.00236851.0E-5
7.17.1224836E-67.5457883E-67.5457883E-61.00.03.052457E-53.2338692E-53.2338692E-51.00.03.715733E-43.9365282E-43.9365282E-41.00.00.0037095260.00392959830.00393955881.00253471.0E-5
7.26.441115E-66.8273835E-66.8273835E-61.00.02.7604487E-52.9259889E-52.9259889E-51.00.03.360328E-43.5618115E-43.5618115E-41.00.00.00335525120.00355613120.00356609561.0028021.0E-5
7.35.494274E-65.8199944E-65.8199944E-61.00.02.3546674E-52.4942596E-52.4942596E-51.00.02.8664304E-43.03634E-43.03634E-41.00.00.0028627360.00303221450.00303221451.00.0
7.44.0802624E-64.3122564E-64.3122564E-61.00.01.7486722E-51.8480969E-51.8480969E-51.00.02.1288003E-42.2498264E-42.2498264E-41.00.00.00212676220.00224755770.00224755771.00.0
7.52.3584746E-62.4753099E-62.4753099E-61.00.01.0107709E-51.0608428E-51.0608428E-51.00.01.2305441E-41.2915001E-41.2915001E-41.00.00.00122986290.00129075450.00129075451.00.0
7.69.4981914E-79.860934E-79.860934E-71.00.04.0706473E-64.2261076E-64.2261076E-61.00.04.9559E-55.1451658E-55.1451658E-51.00.04.954795E-45.1439874E-45.1439874E-41.00.0
7.72.6013532E-72.6416632E-72.6416632E-71.00.01.1148652E-61.1321408E-61.1321408E-61.00.01.3573399E-51.3783729E-51.3783729E-51.00.01.357257E-41.378288E-41.378288E-41.00.0
7.84.1522263E-83.965698E-83.965698E-81.00.01.7795254E-71.6995848E-71.6995848E-71.00.02.16657E-62.0692428E-62.0692428E-61.00.02.1665488E-52.0692256E-52.0692256E-51.00.0
7.97.7242046E-105.9475225E-105.9475225E-101.00.03.3103735E-92.5489382E-92.5489382E-91.00.04.0303796E-83.1033323E-83.1033323E-81.00.04.030379E-73.103332E-73.103332E-71.00.0

Lost Hills

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.233523E-52.5106583E-54.510608E-51.79658392.0E-59.571891E-51.0759615E-41.3759293E-41.27879043.0E-50.00116475460.0013093640.00135929861.03813655.0E-50.0115866860.0130330910.0131317881.00757281.0E-4
6.12.233523E-52.5106583E-54.510608E-51.79658392.0E-59.571891E-51.0759615E-41.3759293E-41.27879043.0E-50.00116475460.0013093640.00135929861.03813655.0E-50.0115866860.0130330910.0131317881.00757281.0E-4
6.22.233523E-52.5106583E-54.510608E-51.79658392.0E-59.571891E-51.0759615E-41.3759293E-41.27879043.0E-50.00116475460.0013093640.00135929861.03813655.0E-50.0115866860.0130330910.0131317881.00757281.0E-4
6.32.233523E-52.5106583E-54.510608E-51.79658392.0E-59.571891E-51.0759615E-41.3759293E-41.27879043.0E-50.00116475460.0013093640.00135929861.03813655.0E-50.0115866860.0130330910.0131317881.00757281.0E-4
6.41.2288092E-51.3781108E-52.3780969E-51.72562111.0E-55.2662188E-55.906108E-57.90599E-51.33861242.0E-56.409735E-47.189252E-47.5889647E-41.05559864.0E-50.0063912790.00717520060.00724469871.00968597.0E-5
6.51.2288092E-51.3781108E-52.3780969E-51.72562111.0E-55.2662188E-55.906108E-57.90599E-51.33861242.0E-56.409735E-47.189252E-47.5889647E-41.05559864.0E-50.0063912790.00717520060.00724469871.00968597.0E-5
6.68.58281E-69.63377E-69.63377E-61.00.03.6782953E-54.12874E-55.128699E-51.24219471.0E-54.4774043E-45.026414E-45.326263E-41.05965473.0E-50.00446839350.0050232050.0050829041.01188466.0E-5
6.77.205685E-68.088302E-68.088302E-61.00.03.088114E-53.466415E-54.4663804E-51.28847251.0E-53.7591302E-44.2203604E-44.5202338E-41.0710543.0E-50.00375277760.00422036040.0042801071.01415686.0E-5

White Mountains

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.503579E-53.3784127E-55.378345E-51.5919742.0E-51.5014476E-41.4478175E-41.6477886E-41.1381192.0E-50.00182647960.00176141340.00184127251.0453388.0E-50.0181154030.0174868570.0175949341.00618041.1E-4
6.13.503579E-53.3784127E-55.378345E-51.5919742.0E-51.5014476E-41.4478175E-41.6477886E-41.1381192.0E-50.00182647960.00176141340.00184127251.0453388.0E-50.0181154030.0174868570.0175949341.00618041.1E-4
6.23.503579E-53.3784127E-55.378345E-51.5919742.0E-51.5014476E-41.4478175E-41.6477886E-41.1381192.0E-50.00182647960.00176141340.00184127251.0453388.0E-50.0181154030.0174868570.0175949341.00618041.1E-4
6.31.7818425E-51.591616E-52.5916E-51.62828231.0E-57.636245E-56.821041E-57.820973E-51.14659521.0E-59.293162E-48.301596E-48.8011805E-41.06017945.0E-50.0092543950.00827204250.0083216291.00599445.0E-5
6.41.7818425E-51.591616E-52.5916E-51.62828231.0E-57.636245E-56.821041E-57.820973E-51.14659521.0E-59.293162E-48.301596E-48.8011805E-41.06017945.0E-50.0092543950.00827204250.0083216291.00599445.0E-5
6.51.3397557E-51.1336374E-52.133626E-51.88210631.0E-55.741684E-54.8583595E-55.8583108E-51.20582081.0E-56.988258E-45.913517E-46.3132803E-41.06760174.0E-50.0069663230.0058984870.00593825061.00674144.0E-5
6.61.0818695E-58.625434E-61.8625347E-52.15935181.0E-54.6365014E-53.6965648E-54.6965277E-51.27051141.0E-55.6434784E-44.4996818E-44.6995917E-41.04442762.0E-50.0056291680.00449100740.00451091771.00443342.0E-5
6.79.067908E-66.802476E-61.6802407E-52.4700431.0E-53.8861883E-52.915316E-53.915287E-51.3430061.0E-54.7304068E-43.548851E-43.74878E-41.05633632.0E-50.004720350.0035435010.00356343021.00562422.0E-5
6.87.295947E-64.9364285E-61.4936379E-53.0257461.0E-53.126797E-52.1155956E-53.1155745E-51.47267011.0E-53.8062103E-42.5754445E-42.775393E-41.07763652.0E-50.00379969760.00257257280.00259252131.00775432.0E-5
6.96.2243444E-63.8322546E-63.8322546E-61.00.02.6675489E-51.6423846E-51.6423846E-51.00.03.2472567E-41.9994251E-42.0994052E-41.05000441.0E-50.00324251570.0019976790.0020076591.00499581.0E-5
7.04.9878413E-62.679564E-62.679564E-61.00.02.1376287E-51.1483797E-51.1483797E-51.00.02.602252E-41.3980652E-41.4980511E-41.07151751.0E-50.0025992070.00139721190.00140719791.00714711.0E-5
7.14.0252844E-61.885702E-61.885702E-61.00.01.7251105E-58.081555E-68.081555E-61.00.02.1001195E-49.838863E-59.838863E-51.00.00.00209813599.834635E-49.834635E-41.00.0
7.23.3284066E-61.2818929E-61.2818929E-61.00.01.4264522E-55.4938155E-65.4938155E-61.00.01.736567E-46.688525E-56.688525E-51.00.00.00173521076.6866126E-46.6866126E-41.00.0
7.32.458226E-66.056684E-76.056684E-71.00.01.0535211E-52.5957193E-62.5957193E-61.00.01.2825865E-43.160246E-53.160246E-51.00.00.00128184643.1598343E-43.1598343E-41.00.0
7.41.965953E-63.1084684E-73.1084684E-71.00.08.425486E-61.3322001E-61.3322001E-61.00.01.0257547E-41.6219417E-51.6219417E-51.00.00.00102528131.6218246E-41.6218246E-41.00.0
7.51.2014192E-61.8241002E-71.8241002E-71.00.05.148929E-67.8175697E-77.8175697E-71.00.06.2686406E-59.51785E-69.51785E-61.00.06.266873E-49.517451E-59.517451E-51.00.0
7.62.5612175E-74.893784E-84.893784E-81.00.01.0976642E-62.0973359E-72.0973359E-71.00.01.3363979E-52.5535037E-62.5535037E-61.00.01.3363175E-42.553478E-52.553478E-51.00.0

San Diego Trough north alt1

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.329252E-58.821269E-51.0821093E-41.22670472.0E-53.14073E-43.7800326E-43.979957E-41.05288962.0E-50.00381713550.00459304870.0046428191.0108365.0E-50.037522310.0450451370.0451310841.0019089.0E-5
6.13.7940346E-54.4884906E-54.4884906E-51.00.01.6259136E-41.9235026E-41.9235026E-41.00.00.00197775240.0023394310.00234940761.00426461.0E-50.0196024310.0231567320.0231958071.00168744.0E-5
6.22.8645263E-53.329672E-53.329672E-51.00.01.2275964E-41.4269259E-41.4269259E-41.00.00.00149357390.00173592060.00174590321.00575071.0E-50.01483575350.0172262680.0172655791.0022824.0E-5
6.32.8645263E-53.329672E-53.329672E-51.00.01.2275964E-41.4269259E-41.4269259E-41.00.00.00149357390.00173592060.00174590321.00575071.0E-50.01483575350.0172262680.0172655791.0022824.0E-5
6.42.2204576E-52.544832E-52.544832E-51.00.09.5159E-51.0905972E-41.0905972E-41.00.00.0011579450.00132700280.00133698951.00752581.0E-50.0115192980.0131919590.0132116951.00149612.0E-5
6.52.1004838E-52.4024695E-52.4024695E-51.00.09.0017624E-51.0295897E-41.0295897E-41.00.00.00109541360.00125281350.0012628011.0079721.0E-50.0109002960.0124585920.0124783421.00158542.0E-5
6.61.820557E-52.070479E-52.070479E-51.00.07.802154E-58.8731824E-58.8731824E-51.00.09.4949827E-40.00107977990.00108976921.00925111.0E-50.0094545160.0107460050.0107657911.00184122.0E-5
6.71.5884485E-51.7983646E-51.7983646E-51.00.06.807459E-57.707051E-57.707051E-51.00.08.284929E-49.3793223E-49.479229E-41.01065171.0E-50.0082541090.0093401040.0093599171.00212132.0E-5
6.81.4331171E-51.6201066E-51.6201066E-51.00.06.141786E-56.94313E-56.94313E-51.00.07.4750587E-48.450002E-48.549917E-41.01182441.0E-50.00744996450.0084181390.0084379711.00235582.0E-5
6.91.2574203E-51.4205835E-51.4205835E-51.00.05.3888325E-56.0880735E-56.0880735E-51.00.06.558929E-47.409723E-47.409723E-41.00.00.00653960370.0073852030.00739512971.00134411.0E-5
7.01.0883844E-51.2289262E-51.2289262E-51.00.04.664421E-55.2667205E-55.2667205E-51.00.05.677453E-46.4103556E-46.4103556E-41.00.00.005662970.0063919930.00640192861.00155451.0E-5
7.19.393088E-61.060702E-51.060702E-51.00.04.025547E-54.545787E-54.545787E-51.00.04.900001E-45.533098E-45.533098E-41.00.00.00488921070.0055194180.00552936271.00180171.0E-5
7.28.190791E-69.258625E-69.258625E-61.00.03.510292E-53.9679224E-53.9679224E-51.00.04.2729423E-44.8298817E-44.8298817E-41.00.00.00426473560.0048194650.00482941651.0020651.0E-5
7.36.268162E-67.089716E-67.089716E-61.00.02.6863276E-53.0384144E-53.0384144E-51.00.03.2701128E-43.6986457E-43.6986457E-41.00.00.0032653050.0036925360.0036925361.00.0
7.44.985186E-65.6426816E-65.6426816E-61.00.02.1364907E-52.4182698E-52.4182698E-51.00.02.600867E-42.9438498E-42.9438498E-41.00.00.0025978250.00293999140.00293999141.00.0
7.51.7489613E-61.969678E-61.969678E-61.00.07.495527E-68.4414505E-68.4414505E-61.00.09.125422E-51.02770035E-41.02770035E-41.00.09.1216754E-40.00102724720.00102724721.00.0
7.61.6988751E-71.7533823E-71.7533823E-71.00.07.2808916E-77.5144936E-77.5144936E-71.00.08.864449E-69.14886E-69.14886E-61.00.08.8640954E-59.1485024E-59.1485024E-51.00.0

San Pedro Basin

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.3449043E-56.337018E-51.13367016E-41.78896465.0E-52.2904722E-42.7156167E-43.215481E-41.18407025.0E-50.00278508360.00330185150.00336165331.01811166.0E-50.0275043660.032589480.0326862221.00296841.0E-4
6.15.3449043E-56.337018E-51.13367016E-41.78896465.0E-52.2904722E-42.7156167E-43.215481E-41.18407025.0E-50.00278508360.00330185150.00336165331.01811166.0E-50.0275043660.032589480.0326862221.00296841.0E-4
6.22.3189454E-52.6642829E-53.6642563E-51.37532561.0E-59.9379584E-51.1417881E-41.2417766E-41.0875721.0E-50.00120927490.00138928750.00140925971.01437592.0E-50.0120271550.013810890.0138404761.00214223.0E-5
6.32.3189454E-52.6642829E-53.6642563E-51.37532561.0E-59.9379584E-51.1417881E-41.2417766E-41.0875721.0E-50.00120927490.00138928750.00140925971.01437592.0E-50.0120271550.013810890.0138404761.00214223.0E-5
6.41.966056E-52.246342E-53.2463195E-51.44515811.0E-58.425682E-59.626848E-51.06267515E-41.10386621.0E-50.0010253440.00117147870.0011814671.00852621.0E-50.0102062590.0116571190.0116768861.00169562.0E-5
6.51.7342953E-51.9745152E-52.9744955E-51.50644341.0E-57.4324824E-58.461954E-59.46187E-51.1181661.0E-59.04529E-40.00102979290.00103978271.00970071.0E-50.0090085610.0102539320.0102737281.00193052.0E-5
6.61.439804E-51.6322716E-52.6322554E-51.61263311.0E-56.170443E-56.99528E-57.995211E-51.14294351.0E-57.509924E-48.513747E-48.613662E-41.01173571.0E-50.00748459530.0084843330.00850416351.00233732.0E-5
6.71.2634884E-51.4285298E-52.4285155E-51.70001041.0E-55.414838E-56.122144E-57.122083E-51.16333151.0E-56.590571E-47.451466E-47.5513916E-41.01341021.0E-50.0065710590.0074295020.00743942751.0013361.0E-5
6.81.146091E-51.2933193E-52.2933064E-51.77319431.0E-54.911726E-55.542696E-56.542641E-51.18040761.0E-55.9783855E-46.74644E-46.846373E-41.01481261.0E-50.00596232760.00672889970.0067388321.00147621.0E-5
6.99.109035E-61.0235013E-52.0234911E-51.97702841.0E-53.9038136E-54.386376E-55.386332E-51.22796861.0E-54.7518566E-45.339384E-45.4393307E-41.01871871.0E-50.00474170830.00532930950.0053392561.00186651.0E-5
7.05.9351028E-66.583965E-66.583965E-61.00.02.5435906E-52.821682E-52.821682E-51.00.03.0963816E-43.4350925E-43.4350925E-41.00.00.00309207060.00343209970.00343209971.00.0
7.12.1557585E-62.2096492E-62.2096492E-61.00.09.238933E-69.469892E-69.469892E-61.00.01.1247819E-41.15289986E-41.15289986E-41.00.00.00112421280.00115231720.00115231721.00.0
7.22.1251979E-62.1779954E-62.1779954E-61.00.09.107958E-69.334234E-69.334234E-61.00.01.1088375E-41.13638525E-41.13638525E-41.00.00.00110828450.00113581950.00113581951.00.0
7.31.7145798E-61.7442885E-61.7442885E-61.00.07.3481783E-67.475501E-67.475501E-61.00.08.94604E-59.1010515E-59.1010515E-51.00.08.9424395E-49.0974156E-49.0974156E-41.00.0
7.41.4467993E-61.4641878E-61.4641878E-61.00.06.200554E-66.275076E-66.275076E-61.00.07.548913E-57.639644E-57.639644E-51.00.07.546349E-47.6370913E-47.6370913E-41.00.0
7.51.2803735E-61.2931506E-61.2931506E-61.00.05.487303E-65.5420624E-65.5420624E-61.00.06.680587E-56.747259E-56.747259E-51.00.06.678579E-46.745281E-46.745281E-41.00.0
7.66.755009E-76.76947E-76.76947E-71.00.02.8950008E-62.9011985E-62.9011985E-61.00.03.5246063E-53.532158E-53.532158E-51.00.03.5240475E-43.5316538E-43.5316538E-41.00.0
7.76.211885E-84.5699714E-84.5699714E-81.00.02.6622362E-71.9585592E-71.9585592E-71.00.03.2412677E-62.3845432E-62.3845432E-61.00.03.2412205E-52.3845198E-52.3845198E-51.00.0
7.82.6580573E-91.5138054E-91.5138054E-91.00.01.1391674E-86.4877375E-96.4877375E-91.00.01.3869362E-77.89882E-87.89882E-81.00.01.3869354E-67.89882E-77.89882E-71.00.0

Ventura-Pitas Point

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.3179622E-53.373519E-55.373451E-51.59283282.0E-51.4219063E-41.4457281E-41.7456847E-41.20747793.0E-50.00172979620.00175900970.00180892171.0283755.0E-50.0171639320.0174764970.0175649241.00505979.0E-5
6.13.3179622E-53.373519E-55.373451E-51.59283282.0E-51.4219063E-41.4457281E-41.7456847E-41.20747793.0E-50.00172979620.00175900970.00180892171.0283755.0E-50.0171639320.0174764970.0175649241.00505979.0E-5
6.23.3179622E-53.373519E-55.373451E-51.59283282.0E-51.4219063E-41.4457281E-41.7456847E-41.20747793.0E-50.00172979620.00175900970.00180892171.0283755.0E-50.0171639320.0174764970.0175649241.00505979.0E-5
6.33.3179622E-53.373519E-55.373451E-51.59283282.0E-51.4219063E-41.4457281E-41.7456847E-41.20747793.0E-50.00172979620.00175900970.00180892171.0283755.0E-50.0171639320.0174764970.0175649241.00505979.0E-5
6.41.8754668E-51.7019594E-52.7019423E-51.58754811.0E-58.037467E-57.2939205E-58.293848E-51.13709041.0E-59.781223E-48.8769617E-49.076784E-41.02251032.0E-50.0097382820.0088439430.00889351.00560365.0E-5
6.51.8754668E-51.7019594E-52.7019423E-51.58754811.0E-58.037467E-57.2939205E-58.293848E-51.13709041.0E-59.781223E-48.8769617E-49.076784E-41.02251032.0E-50.0097382820.0088439430.00889351.00560365.0E-5
6.61.4361558E-51.2122258E-51.2122258E-51.00.06.154808E-55.1951512E-55.1951512E-51.00.07.490902E-46.323284E-46.4232206E-41.01580451.0E-50.00746570160.0063056520.0063354631.00472763.0E-5
6.71.4361558E-51.2122258E-51.2122258E-51.00.06.154808E-55.1951512E-55.1951512E-51.00.07.490902E-46.323284E-46.4232206E-41.01580451.0E-50.00746570160.0063056520.0063354631.00472763.0E-5
6.81.3663846E-51.1344401E-51.1344401E-51.00.05.8558027E-54.8617967E-54.8617967E-51.00.07.127108E-45.917649E-45.917649E-41.00.00.0071042930.00590221070.0059220931.00336862.0E-5
6.91.3644157E-51.1322501E-51.1322501E-51.00.05.8473648E-54.8524114E-54.8524114E-51.00.07.116841E-45.906229E-45.906229E-41.00.00.0070940920.00589085140.00591073371.0033752.0E-5
7.01.3568845E-51.12420685E-51.12420685E-51.00.05.8150898E-54.8179416E-54.8179416E-51.00.07.077572E-45.8642845E-45.8642845E-41.00.00.0070550730.0058491280.00586901141.00339942.0E-5
7.11.306572E-51.0720521E-51.0720521E-51.00.05.599474E-54.594429E-54.594429E-51.00.06.815227E-45.5923004E-45.5923004E-41.00.00.00679436370.0055785360.00559842451.00356522.0E-5
7.21.232604E-59.995121E-69.995121E-61.00.05.2824813E-54.283554E-54.283554E-51.00.06.429523E-45.2139966E-45.2139966E-41.00.00.00641095270.0052020590.0052219551.00382462.0E-5
7.31.0917261E-58.843812E-68.843812E-61.00.04.678742E-53.7901507E-53.7901507E-51.00.05.69488E-44.6135474E-44.6135474E-41.00.00.00568030770.0046042390.0046241471.00432382.0E-5
7.41.039959E-58.42354E-68.42354E-61.00.04.456891E-53.6100395E-53.6100395E-51.00.05.424914E-44.394352E-44.394352E-41.00.00.00541168960.00438592770.00440584031.00454012.0E-5
7.59.015877E-67.29752E-67.29752E-61.00.03.86389E-53.1274718E-53.1274718E-51.00.04.7032707E-43.8070456E-43.8070456E-41.00.00.0046933290.0038007720.0038206961.00524212.0E-5
7.64.900162E-63.874119E-63.874119E-61.00.02.1000526E-51.6603262E-51.6603262E-51.00.02.556514E-42.0212609E-42.0212609E-41.00.00.00255357470.0020194360.0020294161.00494181.0E-5
7.73.8850626E-63.12676E-63.12676E-61.00.01.6650163E-51.3400332E-51.3400332E-51.00.02.0269687E-41.6313691E-41.6313691E-41.00.00.0020251210.00163018090.00164016451.00612431.0E-5
7.82.4654719E-62.029902E-62.029902E-61.00.01.0566265E-58.699551E-68.699551E-61.00.01.2863669E-41.0591193E-41.0591193E-41.00.00.00128562250.00105861920.00106860861.00943621.0E-5
7.94.095894E-73.2765078E-73.2765078E-71.00.01.7553821E-61.4042168E-61.4042168E-61.00.02.1371567E-51.709621E-51.709621E-51.00.02.1369511E-41.7094925E-41.7094925E-41.00.0
8.07.791402E-95.6836056E-95.6836056E-91.00.03.3391725E-82.4358311E-82.4358311E-81.00.04.0654416E-72.965624E-72.965624E-71.00.04.065434E-62.9656223E-62.9656223E-61.00.0

San Andreas (Santa Cruz Mts) 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.7221631E-41.3792426E-41.579215E-41.14498712.0E-57.378611E-45.9097214E-46.209544E-41.05073383.0E-50.0089465150.00717172350.00724122161.00969057.0E-50.085947940.070547960.070640911.00131751.0E-4
6.11.7221631E-41.3792426E-41.579215E-41.14498712.0E-57.378611E-45.9097214E-46.209544E-41.05073383.0E-50.0089465150.00717172350.00724122161.00969057.0E-50.085947940.070547960.070640911.00131751.0E-4
6.21.7221631E-41.3792426E-41.579215E-41.14498712.0E-57.378611E-45.9097214E-46.209544E-41.05073383.0E-50.0089465150.00717172350.00724122161.00969057.0E-50.085947940.070547960.070640911.00131751.0E-4
6.31.716926E-41.3711878E-41.5711605E-41.1458392.0E-57.3561794E-45.8752164E-46.17504E-41.0510323.0E-50.0089194280.0071299890.00719949041.00974777.0E-50.085698090.070159930.070252911.00132541.0E-4
6.41.6392978E-41.3587909E-41.5587638E-41.14716972.0E-57.02367E-45.82211E-46.1219354E-41.05149773.0E-50.0085178390.00706575250.0071352581.00983697.0E-50.081986540.0693949760.069488031.0013411.0E-4
6.51.5742714E-41.2647794E-41.4647542E-41.15811042.0E-56.745133E-45.419374E-45.719212E-41.05532693.0E-50.008181320.00657843750.0066479771.01057097.0E-50.0788659450.064860930.0649544451.00144171.0E-4
6.61.3038084E-41.1587992E-41.358776E-41.17257252.0E-55.5865536E-44.96535E-45.265201E-41.06038873.0E-50.0067804380.0060287840.0060983621.0115417.0E-50.06577250.0593305380.05941521.00142699.0E-5
6.71.2867592E-41.1314491E-41.3314265E-41.17674452.0E-55.5135164E-44.8481792E-45.148034E-41.06184893.0E-50.00669206540.0058869070.0059564951.01182087.0E-50.064940930.0580414160.0581261931.00146079.0E-5
6.81.2801298E-41.12520516E-41.3251827E-41.17772532.0E-55.485117E-44.8214293E-45.1212846E-41.06219223.0E-50.00665770050.00585452930.00592411961.01188667.0E-50.064617380.057755240.057840041.00146839.0E-5
6.91.269149E-41.1094256E-41.3094033E-41.18025352.0E-55.4380763E-44.7538272E-45.0536846E-41.06307713.0E-50.0066007770.0057726630.00584225871.01205617.0E-50.064081220.0570271160.0571119861.00148829.0E-5
7.01.2030331E-41.0824356E-41.282414E-41.18474852.0E-55.154837E-44.638198E-44.9380586E-41.06465033.0E-50.0062579690.00563262030.0057022261.01235767.0E-50.060846480.0556999220.055784911.00152589.0E-5
7.18.049617E-55.392429E-57.392321E-51.37087042.0E-53.4493793E-42.3108382E-42.610769E-41.1297933.0E-50.00419153460.00280985050.00287965381.02484247.0E-50.0411335160.0296188330.0296964631.00262098.0E-5
7.27.093979E-54.2935415E-56.293456E-51.46579592.0E-53.0399222E-41.8399608E-42.1399056E-41.16301693.0E-50.00369482530.00223787360.0023077171.03120977.0E-50.036339940.0239411260.0240192121.00326168.0E-5
7.36.193693E-52.8891074E-54.8890495E-51.69223542.0E-52.6541698E-41.2381302E-41.538093E-41.24227083.0E-50.00322666370.0015063830.00157627741.04639897.0E-50.0318021330.0164976770.0165763571.00476928.0E-5
7.45.906492E-52.7020369E-54.701983E-51.74016242.0E-52.5311083E-41.1579645E-41.4579298E-41.25904543.0E-50.00307726980.00140891140.00147881281.04961377.0E-50.0303500440.01546950450.0155482671.00509148.0E-5
7.55.424296E-52.4675093E-54.46746E-51.81051392.0E-52.324491E-41.0574612E-41.3574294E-41.28366843.0E-50.0028263950.00128669980.00135660971.05433277.0E-50.0279071650.0141618540.0142407211.0055698.0E-5
7.64.43084E-51.990151E-53.990111E-52.00492882.0E-51.8987931E-48.528939E-51.15286835E-41.35171373.0E-50.00230932960.0010379040.00110783141.06737367.0E-50.0228547830.0114111230.011490211.00693078.0E-5
7.74.118098E-51.8933848E-53.8933467E-52.05628942.0E-51.7647797E-48.1142534E-51.111401E-41.36968983.0E-50.0021465029.874629E-40.00105739371.07081887.0E-50.0212588660.0108689950.0109481261.00728038.0E-5
7.83.5408906E-51.856201E-53.856164E-52.07744962.0E-51.5174363E-47.954905E-51.0954666E-41.37709583.0E-50.00184591319.6807955E-40.00103801171.07223817.0E-50.0183065520.01065066550.0107298141.00743138.0E-5
7.92.5860836E-51.7313954E-53.7313606E-52.15511752.0E-51.10827445E-47.420055E-51.0419833E-41.40427973.0E-50.0013484899.030175E-49.729543E-41.07744797.0E-50.0134033540.0099066010.0099858081.00799548.0E-5
8.01.9777332E-51.4837888E-51.4837888E-51.00.08.4757245E-56.3589396E-57.358876E-51.1572491.0E-50.00103143097.739261E-48.238874E-41.06455565.0E-50.0102665670.0085080870.0085675761.00699216.0E-5
8.11.468494E-51.2105831E-51.2105831E-51.00.06.293394E-55.1881103E-56.1880586E-51.19273841.0E-57.6595135E-46.3146953E-46.8143796E-41.07913045.0E-50.00763316640.00696849540.0070181471.00712515.0E-5
8.28.63836E-65.4678667E-65.4678667E-61.00.03.7021015E-52.3433504E-52.3433504E-51.00.04.5063766E-42.8526565E-43.152571E-41.10513513.0E-50.0044972490.0032451620.00327506481.00921453.0E-5
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

Palos Verdes

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.126063E-57.622572E-51.4622038E-41.91825527.0E-52.6251914E-43.266441E-43.9662124E-41.21423057.0E-50.00319148650.00397017370.0040498561.02007028.0E-50.0314603930.039049090.0391451831.00246081.0E-4
6.16.126063E-57.622572E-51.4622038E-41.91825527.0E-52.6251914E-43.266441E-43.9662124E-41.21423057.0E-50.00319148650.00397017370.0040498561.02007028.0E-50.0314603930.039049090.0391451831.00246081.0E-4
6.26.126063E-57.622572E-51.4622038E-41.91825527.0E-52.6251914E-43.266441E-43.9662124E-41.21423057.0E-50.00319148650.00397017370.0040498561.02007028.0E-50.0314603930.039049090.0391451831.00246081.0E-4
6.34.0838047E-54.9749007E-58.9747016E-51.80399624.0E-51.7500846E-42.1319388E-42.5318534E-41.18758264.0E-50.00212864580.0025927540.00264262451.01923455.0E-50.0210837090.0256467460.0257052091.00227956.0E-5
6.44.0838047E-54.9749007E-58.9747016E-51.80399624.0E-51.7500846E-42.1319388E-42.5318534E-41.18758264.0E-50.00212864580.0025927540.00264262451.01923455.0E-50.0210837090.0256467460.0257052091.00227956.0E-5
6.53.0512005E-53.6561592E-56.65605E-51.82050313.0E-51.3075917E-41.566838E-41.8667911E-41.19143843.0E-50.00159083040.0019060720.00194599571.02094554.0E-50.0157949030.0189091730.0189582281.00259425.0E-5
6.62.9255087E-53.5154393E-56.5153334E-51.85334853.0E-51.2537291E-41.5065364E-41.8064912E-41.19910233.0E-50.00152534640.00183277820.0018727051.02178484.0E-50.0151491890.0181882440.0182373341.0026995.0E-5
6.72.287198E-52.724828E-55.724746E-52.1009573.0E-59.801909E-51.16773626E-41.4677012E-41.25687733.0E-50.0011927290.00142088330.00146082651.02811154.0E-50.0118634770.0141272170.0141765111.00348935.0E-5
6.82.1325764E-52.5431878E-54.543137E-51.78639462.0E-59.139293E-51.0898972E-41.2898754E-41.18348362.0E-50.0011121410.00132623230.00135619251.02259053.0E-50.0110659150.0131922110.01323168351.0029924.0E-5
6.91.9009392E-52.2613547E-53.2613323E-51.44220281.0E-58.1466285E-59.6912096E-51.0691113E-41.10317621.0E-59.914007E-40.00117935350.00119932991.01693842.0E-50.0098698940.0117396330.0117692811.00252543.0E-5
7.01.7098473E-52.0319356E-53.0319152E-51.49213161.0E-57.3277115E-58.708052E-59.7079654E-51.11482621.0E-58.917837E-40.0010597750.00107975371.01885192.0E-50.0088821340.0105556460.01058532951.0028123.0E-5
7.11.5982785E-51.899476E-52.8994571E-51.5264511.0E-56.849585E-58.1404054E-59.1403235E-51.1228341.0E-58.336179E-49.907284E-40.00101070861.02016712.0E-50.0083049770.0098714790.0099011841.00300913.0E-5
7.21.4468002E-51.7197237E-52.7197064E-51.58147881.0E-56.200425E-57.370083E-58.370009E-51.13567361.0E-57.546402E-48.970222E-49.1700425E-41.0222762.0E-50.0075208270.0089422840.0089621051.00221662.0E-5
7.35.288233E-66.2036747E-61.6203612E-52.61193781.0E-52.2663658E-52.6587102E-53.6586836E-51.37611221.0E-52.7589512E-43.236848E-43.3368156E-41.03088431.0E-50.00275552830.00323555620.0032455241.00308061.0E-5
7.48.279556E-78.408347E-78.408347E-71.00.03.5483763E-63.6035726E-63.6035726E-61.00.04.3200624E-54.3872686E-54.3872686E-51.00.04.3192226E-44.3864746E-44.3864746E-41.00.0
7.56.559831E-76.667229E-76.667229E-71.00.02.8113532E-62.857381E-62.857381E-61.00.03.4227687E-53.4788125E-53.4788125E-51.00.03.4222414E-43.4783344E-43.4783344E-41.00.0
7.63.5018968E-73.5620027E-73.5620027E-71.00.01.500812E-61.526572E-61.526572E-61.00.01.8272232E-51.8585903E-51.8585903E-51.00.01.8270731E-41.8584808E-41.8584808E-41.00.0
7.71.1986104E-71.2198376E-71.2198376E-71.00.05.1369005E-75.2278745E-75.2278745E-71.00.06.2541585E-66.364919E-66.364919E-61.00.06.2539824E-56.364741E-56.364741E-51.00.0
7.83.0445005E-83.1027582E-83.1027582E-81.00.01.3047858E-71.3297536E-71.3297536E-71.00.01.5885756E-61.6189739E-61.6189739E-61.00.01.5885644E-51.6189642E-51.6189642E-51.00.0

Blue Cut

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.1227985E-52.2719574E-59.2717986E-54.08097367.0E-59.097391E-59.73663E-51.6735948E-41.71886467.0E-50.00110704450.00118484810.00127474151.07586919.0E-50.0110154580.0117911520.011880091.00754289.0E-5
6.12.1227985E-52.2719574E-59.2717986E-54.08097367.0E-59.097391E-59.73663E-51.6735948E-41.71886467.0E-50.00110704450.00118484810.00127474151.07586919.0E-50.0110154580.0117911520.011880091.00754289.0E-5
6.22.1227985E-52.2719574E-59.2717986E-54.08097367.0E-59.097391E-59.73663E-51.6735948E-41.71886467.0E-50.00110704450.00118484810.00127474151.07586919.0E-50.0110154580.0117911520.011880091.00754289.0E-5
6.31.1613981E-51.2353542E-54.235317E-53.42842343.0E-54.9773254E-55.2942745E-58.294116E-51.56661993.0E-56.0582085E-46.443998E-46.84374E-41.06203334.0E-50.00604171960.00642655930.0064663021.00618424.0E-5
6.41.1613981E-51.2353542E-54.235317E-53.42842343.0E-54.9773254E-55.2942745E-58.294116E-51.56661993.0E-56.0582085E-46.443998E-46.84374E-41.06203334.0E-50.00604171960.00642655930.0064663021.00618424.0E-5
6.58.931326E-69.4816E-63.9481314E-54.1639933.0E-53.8276554E-54.0634844E-57.063363E-51.73825263.0E-54.6591737E-44.946261E-45.3460634E-41.08082914.0E-50.00464941750.0049361610.0049759641.00806344.0E-5
6.67.345353E-67.79028E-63.7790047E-54.8509233.0E-53.1479703E-53.338653E-56.338553E-51.8985363.0E-53.83198E-44.064132E-44.36401E-41.07378653.0E-50.00382537880.00405749070.0040873691.00736373.0E-5
6.76.2775666E-66.655149E-63.665495E-55.50775773.0E-52.690358E-52.8521798E-55.8520942E-52.05179723.0E-53.2750185E-43.472051E-43.7719466E-41.08637433.0E-50.00327019630.0034673670.00349726321.0086223.0E-5
6.85.5234095E-65.8551113E-63.5854937E-56.1236983.0E-52.367154E-52.5093133E-55.509238E-52.1955163.0E-52.8816288E-43.0547334E-43.354642E-41.09817833.0E-50.0028778950.00305125050.0030811591.0098023.0E-5
6.94.7780054E-65.0654203E-63.506527E-56.9224793.0E-52.0477004E-52.1708804E-55.1708153E-52.38189773.0E-52.4927902E-42.642797E-42.9427174E-41.1134863.0E-50.00248999570.0026403460.0026702671.01133223.0E-5
7.03.883171E-64.118487E-63.4118362E-58.2841983.0E-51.6642054E-51.7650578E-54.765005E-52.6996313.0E-52.0259817E-42.1488148E-42.4487503E-41.13958183.0E-50.00202413560.00214741290.00217734841.01394033.0E-5
7.12.8358215E-63.0097158E-61.3009686E-54.32256271.0E-51.2153464E-51.2898756E-52.2898626E-51.77525851.0E-51.4795837E-41.5703762E-41.6703604E-41.0636691.0E-50.0014785990.00156991160.0015798961.00635981.0E-5

Camp Rock 2011

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6710783E-54.249999E-62.4249914E-55.7058632.0E-57.161568E-51.8214158E-54.8213613E-52.64704043.0E-58.7157206E-42.2173533E-42.9171983E-41.31562177.0E-50.0086816160.00221519380.00231497221.04504281.0E-4
6.11.6710783E-54.249999E-62.4249914E-55.7058632.0E-57.161568E-51.8214158E-54.8213613E-52.64704043.0E-58.7157206E-42.2173533E-42.9171983E-41.31562177.0E-50.0086816160.00221519380.00231497221.04504281.0E-4
6.21.6710783E-54.249999E-62.4249914E-55.7058632.0E-57.161568E-51.8214158E-54.8213613E-52.64704043.0E-58.7157206E-42.2173533E-42.9171983E-41.31562177.0E-50.0086816160.00221519380.00231497221.04504281.0E-4
6.31.6710783E-54.249999E-62.4249914E-55.7058632.0E-57.161568E-51.8214158E-54.8213613E-52.64704043.0E-58.7157206E-42.2173533E-42.9171983E-41.31562177.0E-50.0086816160.00221519380.00231497221.04504281.0E-4
6.47.982846E-63.6820359E-62.3681961E-56.43175752.0E-53.421175E-51.578006E-54.5779587E-52.90110353.0E-54.1644843E-41.9210564E-42.620922E-41.36431297.0E-50.00415668870.00191943060.00201923871.05199871.0E-4
6.57.982846E-63.6820359E-62.3681961E-56.43175752.0E-53.421175E-51.578006E-54.5779587E-52.90110353.0E-54.1644843E-41.9210564E-42.620922E-41.36431297.0E-50.00415668870.00191943060.00201923871.05199871.0E-4
6.67.048869E-63.4242998E-61.34242655E-53.9202951.0E-53.0209088E-51.467549E-53.4675195E-52.36279652.0E-53.677336E-41.7865976E-42.3864904E-41.33577386.0E-50.00367125660.00178519290.00187503221.05032479.0E-5
6.76.987307E-63.3622775E-61.3362243E-53.97416451.0E-52.9945259E-51.4409683E-53.4409393E-52.38793562.0E-53.6452254E-41.7542407E-42.3541355E-41.34196836.0E-50.00363925170.00175288720.00184272941.05125399.0E-5
6.86.3737602E-63.1178672E-61.3117836E-54.20731071.0E-52.731583E-51.3362222E-53.3361954E-52.4967372.0E-53.3251947E-41.6267318E-42.2266342E-41.36877766.0E-50.00332022370.00162556980.00171542341.05527529.0E-5
6.96.112211E-62.933078E-61.2933048E-54.40937761.0E-52.6194928E-51.2570275E-53.2570024E-52.59103512.0E-53.1887658E-41.5303263E-42.1302345E-41.39201326.0E-50.0031841940.00152930020.00161916261.05876049.0E-5
7.05.5140117E-62.64191E-61.2641884E-54.78513051.0E-52.3631264E-51.1322423E-53.1322197E-52.76638632.0E-52.8767265E-41.3784204E-41.9783377E-41.43522086.0E-50.00287300530.00137759070.00146746671.06524159.0E-5
7.14.8151105E-62.1342612E-61.213424E-55.68545251.0E-52.0636026E-59.146803E-62.914662E-53.18653662.0E-52.5121463E-41.1135685E-41.7135017E-41.53874846.0E-50.00250930830.00111303250.00120293221.08077019.0E-5
7.23.818335E-61.2937372E-61.1293724E-58.7295351.0E-51.6364189E-55.5445767E-62.5544467E-54.6071082.0E-51.9921579E-46.750321E-51.0750051E-41.59252444.0E-50.00199037286.7483535E-47.347948E-41.08885066.0E-5
7.32.7166698E-67.383078E-77.383078E-71.00.01.1642818E-53.1641725E-61.3164141E-54.16037371.0E-51.4174209E-43.852314E-56.8521986E-51.77872283.0E-50.00141651723.8516664E-44.1515508E-41.07785833.0E-5
7.42.0893426E-65.4614605E-75.4614605E-71.00.08.954295E-62.340624E-61.2340601E-55.2723551.0E-51.0901308E-42.8496728E-53.8496444E-51.35090741.0E-50.00108959622.849313E-42.9492844E-41.03508621.0E-5
7.51.1681728E-63.6028484E-73.6028484E-71.00.05.0064455E-61.544077E-61.1544062E-57.4763511.0E-56.0951766E-51.879898E-52.8798791E-51.53193381.0E-56.093505E-41.8797436E-41.9797249E-41.05318881.0E-5
7.61.3154387E-77.1196716E-87.1196716E-81.00.05.6375933E-73.0512876E-73.0512876E-71.00.06.863748E-63.714938E-63.714938E-61.00.06.863536E-53.7148915E-53.7148915E-51.00.0

Coronado Bank alt1

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.533492E-59.3951705E-51.1394983E-41.21285532.0E-53.22824E-44.025903E-44.325782E-41.07448743.0E-50.00392330070.0048911210.00496077861.01424177.0E-50.038547550.0479040.047989691.00178879.0E-5
6.14.1807285E-55.0493105E-55.0493105E-51.00.01.7916178E-42.1638138E-42.2637921E-41.04620471.0E-50.00217911230.00263133650.00267123131.01516144.0E-50.0215786770.0260111240.0260598231.00187235.0E-5
6.24.1807285E-55.0493105E-55.0493105E-51.00.01.7916178E-42.1638138E-42.2637921E-41.04620471.0E-50.00217911230.00263133650.00267123131.01516144.0E-50.0215786770.0260111240.0260598231.00187235.0E-5
6.33.1793104E-53.7711125E-53.7711125E-51.00.01.3624904E-41.6160926E-41.6160926E-41.00.00.00165756980.0019658490.001995791.01523053.0E-50.0164526030.0194884950.0195277151.00201254.0E-5
6.42.9878007E-53.5335797E-53.5335797E-51.00.01.2804232E-41.5143053E-41.5143053E-41.00.00.00155780030.00184213950.00187208421.01625543.0E-50.0154692530.0182724630.0183117331.00214914.0E-5
6.52.4512565E-52.8764101E-52.8764101E-51.00.01.0504962E-41.2326906E-41.2326906E-41.00.00.00127822870.00149979430.00152974941.01997283.0E-50.0127090120.01489969250.0149390971.00264474.0E-5
6.62.1317413E-52.490667E-52.490667E-51.00.09.135714E-51.0673863E-41.0673863E-41.00.00.00111170560.00129879030.00130877741.00768951.0E-50.0110616050.0129144070.0129341491.00152862.0E-5
6.71.8585655E-52.1634882E-52.1634882E-51.00.07.9650374E-59.271774E-59.271774E-51.00.09.6931186E-40.00112827440.0011382631.00885311.0E-50.00965094750.0112276230.01123751051.00088071.0E-5
6.81.5862879E-51.8419476E-51.8419476E-51.00.06.798199E-57.8938334E-57.8938334E-51.00.08.273665E-49.606697E-49.7066007E-41.01039951.0E-50.0082429280.0095671510.00957705451.00103521.0E-5
6.91.3021509E-51.5095266E-51.5095266E-51.00.05.5805274E-56.46925E-56.46925E-51.00.06.792174E-47.873646E-47.973567E-41.01269051.0E-50.0067714520.0078475730.0078574941.00126431.0E-5
7.01.0974371E-51.2720105E-51.2720105E-51.00.04.7032172E-55.4513697E-55.4513697E-51.00.05.7246623E-46.635197E-46.635197E-41.00.00.00570993730.00661713540.00661713541.00.0
7.18.766221E-61.0163833E-51.0163833E-51.00.03.7568978E-54.3558655E-54.3558655E-51.00.04.573063E-45.302148E-45.302148E-41.00.00.00456366360.0052911970.0052911971.00.0
7.28.026024E-78.331776E-78.331776E-71.00.03.43972E-63.5707562E-63.5707562E-61.00.04.1877785E-54.34731E-54.34731E-51.00.04.1869894E-44.3464705E-44.3464705E-41.00.0
7.33.7293114E-73.700106E-73.700106E-71.00.01.5982754E-61.5857588E-61.5857588E-61.00.01.9458828E-51.9306442E-51.9306442E-51.00.01.9457124E-41.9304773E-41.9304773E-41.00.0
7.42.0557036E-71.9674441E-71.9674441E-71.00.08.810155E-78.4319004E-78.4319004E-71.00.01.0726311E-51.02657905E-51.02657905E-51.00.01.0725793E-41.026532E-41.026532E-41.00.0
7.56.845446E-86.2794086E-86.2794086E-81.00.02.9337625E-72.6911746E-72.6911746E-71.00.03.5718497E-63.2765004E-63.2765004E-61.00.03.5717923E-53.276453E-53.276453E-51.00.0
7.66.0975145E-95.531901E-95.531901E-91.00.02.6132206E-82.3708148E-82.3708148E-81.00.03.1815955E-72.8864667E-72.8864667E-71.00.03.181591E-62.886464E-62.886464E-61.00.0

Tin Mountain

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.083776E-64.1815365E-64.1815365E-61.00.01.750178E-51.792077E-52.792059E-51.55800181.0E-52.1306332E-42.1816725E-42.481607E-41.13747923.0E-50.00212859150.00217989650.00226970021.04119639.0E-5
6.14.083776E-64.1815365E-64.1815365E-61.00.01.750178E-51.792077E-52.792059E-51.55800181.0E-52.1306332E-42.1816725E-42.481607E-41.13747923.0E-50.00212859150.00217989650.00226970021.04119639.0E-5
6.24.083776E-64.1815365E-64.1815365E-61.00.01.750178E-51.792077E-52.792059E-51.55800181.0E-52.1306332E-42.1816725E-42.481607E-41.13747923.0E-50.00212859150.00217989650.00226970021.04119639.0E-5
6.34.083776E-64.1815365E-64.1815365E-61.00.01.750178E-51.792077E-52.792059E-51.55800181.0E-52.1306332E-42.1816725E-42.481607E-41.13747923.0E-50.00212859150.00217989650.00226970021.04119639.0E-5
6.44.083776E-64.1815365E-64.1815365E-61.00.01.750178E-51.792077E-52.792059E-51.55800181.0E-52.1306332E-42.1816725E-42.481607E-41.13747923.0E-50.00212859150.00217989650.00226970021.04119639.0E-5
6.52.3143427E-62.3731573E-62.3731573E-61.00.09.9185745E-61.0170638E-52.0170537E-51.98321251.0E-51.2075195E-41.2382126E-41.4381878E-41.16150322.0E-50.00120686360.00123759860.00128753671.04035085.0E-5
6.62.3143427E-62.3731573E-62.3731573E-61.00.09.9185745E-61.0170638E-52.0170537E-51.98321251.0E-51.2075195E-41.2382126E-41.4381878E-41.16150322.0E-50.00120686360.00123759860.00128753671.04035085.0E-5
6.71.7029532E-61.7497915E-61.7497915E-61.00.07.2983503E-67.499088E-61.7499013E-52.33348561.0E-58.885379E-59.1298105E-51.0129719E-41.10952131.0E-58.881827E-49.1265864E-49.426312E-41.0328413.0E-5
6.81.2914646E-61.3299378E-61.3299378E-61.00.05.534837E-65.6997237E-61.5699667E-52.7544611.0E-56.738455E-56.939237E-57.939168E-51.1440981.0E-56.736412E-46.9375033E-47.037434E-41.01440441.0E-5
6.95.8708974E-76.1169936E-76.1169936E-71.00.02.5160964E-62.6215664E-62.6215664E-61.00.03.0633044E-53.1917145E-53.1917145E-51.00.03.0628822E-43.191297E-43.191297E-41.00.0
7.04.6248786E-74.832015E-74.832015E-71.00.01.9820893E-62.0708624E-62.0708624E-61.00.02.413167E-52.5212494E-52.5212494E-51.00.02.412905E-42.5210003E-42.5210003E-41.00.0
7.13.804606E-73.987147E-73.987147E-71.00.01.6305444E-61.7087764E-61.7087764E-61.00.01.9851697E-52.0804187E-52.0804187E-51.00.01.9849923E-42.0802575E-42.0802575E-41.00.0
7.23.5864858E-73.7616863E-73.7616863E-71.00.01.5370645E-61.6121504E-61.6121504E-61.00.01.87136E-51.9627789E-51.9627789E-51.00.01.8712023E-41.9626386E-41.9626386E-41.00.0
7.33.342063E-73.506347E-73.506347E-71.00.01.4323119E-61.5027196E-61.5027196E-61.00.01.7438259E-51.829549E-51.829549E-51.00.01.743689E-41.8294314E-41.8294314E-41.00.0
7.42.971242E-73.1165817E-73.1165817E-71.00.01.2733886E-61.3356774E-61.3356774E-61.00.01.5503398E-51.6261785E-51.6261785E-51.00.01.5502315E-41.6260923E-41.6260923E-41.00.0
7.51.4326713E-71.5012525E-71.5012525E-71.00.06.140018E-76.433939E-76.433939E-71.00.07.4754466E-67.8333205E-67.8333205E-61.00.07.475195E-57.833321E-57.833321E-51.00.0

Chino alt 1

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.939946E-54.894798E-55.894749E-51.20428851.0E-51.6884391E-42.0976314E-42.3975683E-41.14298843.0E-50.00205373620.0025513850.0026112321.02345676.0E-50.0203485950.0252801680.0253483991.0026997.0E-5
6.12.1505624E-52.6878823E-52.6878823E-51.00.09.2163704E-51.15190494E-41.2518934E-41.08680271.0E-50.00112151540.00140165170.00142162361.01424882.0E-50.0111587220.0139474250.0139671461.0014142.0E-5
6.22.1505624E-52.6878823E-52.6878823E-51.00.09.2163704E-51.15190494E-41.2518934E-41.08680271.0E-50.00112151540.00140165170.00142162361.01424882.0E-50.0111587220.0139474250.0139671461.0014142.0E-5
6.31.4290785E-51.8164832E-51.8164832E-51.00.06.1244784E-57.784722E-57.784722E-51.00.07.454001E-49.4742293E-49.5741346E-41.01054491.0E-50.0074290480.009446740.0094566461.00104861.0E-5
6.41.4290785E-51.8164832E-51.8164832E-51.00.06.1244784E-57.784722E-57.784722E-51.00.07.454001E-49.4742293E-49.5741346E-41.01054491.0E-50.0074290480.009446740.0094566461.00104861.0E-5
6.51.3017944E-51.6651793E-51.6651793E-51.00.05.5789995E-57.1363116E-57.1363116E-51.00.06.790315E-48.6854334E-48.785347E-41.01150361.0E-50.00676960360.0086642330.0086741461.00114421.0E-5
6.69.470016E-61.2039209E-51.2039209E-51.00.04.058515E-55.159578E-55.159578E-51.00.04.940122E-46.280315E-46.3802523E-41.01591281.0E-50.0049291540.0062732480.0062831851.0015841.0E-5
6.78.314155E-61.040749E-51.040749E-51.00.03.5631605E-54.4602948E-54.4602948E-51.00.04.3372845E-45.4293784E-45.529324E-41.01840831.0E-50.0043288290.00542708070.00543702631.00183261.0E-5
6.83.4856364E-63.8134033E-63.8134033E-61.00.01.4938357E-51.6343065E-51.6343065E-51.00.01.8185932E-41.9896074E-42.0895875E-41.05025111.0E-50.00181710560.00198945290.0019994331.00501661.0E-5
6.92.2645952E-62.152909E-62.152909E-61.00.09.705372E-69.226722E-69.226722E-61.00.01.18156495E-41.12329755E-41.2232864E-41.08901361.0E-50.00118093690.00112331380.00113330261.00889221.0E-5
7.01.7864003E-61.5430741E-61.5430741E-61.00.07.655979E-66.613158E-66.613158E-61.00.09.3207556E-58.051228E-59.051148E-51.12419461.0E-59.316847E-48.052856E-48.1527757E-41.01240791.0E-5
7.11.7315456E-61.4733466E-61.4733466E-61.00.07.420889E-66.314328E-66.314328E-61.00.09.034557E-57.687428E-58.6873515E-51.13007251.0E-59.0308854E-47.68921E-47.7891327E-41.01299521.0E-5
7.21.6008337E-61.3574178E-61.3574178E-61.00.06.860698E-65.817492E-65.817492E-61.00.08.352579E-57.082572E-58.082501E-51.14118171.0E-58.34944E-47.0846075E-47.1845367E-41.01410511.0E-5
7.31.3320939E-61.1217794E-61.1217794E-61.00.05.7089615E-64.8076176E-64.8076176E-61.00.06.9504385E-55.853122E-56.853064E-51.1708391.0E-56.9482654E-45.8530655E-45.953007E-41.01707511.0E-5
7.41.114294E-69.237087E-79.237087E-71.00.04.775537E-63.9587458E-63.9587458E-61.00.05.8140613E-54.81967E-55.8196216E-51.2074731.0E-55.81254E-44.8187698E-44.9187214E-41.02074221.0E-5
7.59.354081E-77.6233886E-77.6233886E-71.00.04.0088858E-63.2671626E-63.2671626E-61.00.04.8807087E-53.9777013E-53.9777013E-51.00.04.879637E-43.9770233E-43.9770233E-41.00.0
7.68.521771E-76.880688E-76.880688E-71.00.03.6521824E-62.948863E-62.948863E-61.00.04.4464414E-53.590185E-53.590185E-51.00.04.4455516E-43.5896365E-43.5896365E-41.00.0
7.72.1803626E-71.4186368E-71.4186368E-71.00.09.344408E-76.0798715E-76.0798715E-71.00.01.1376757E-57.4022278E-67.4022278E-61.00.01.13761744E-47.402077E-57.402077E-51.00.0

San Jacinto (Coyote Creek)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.7374346E-52.41444E-53.4144156E-51.41416481.0E-51.1731335E-41.034719E-41.4346777E-41.38653844.0E-50.00142735420.0012590450.00133894431.06346028.0E-50.014182210.0129281950.013007161.0061088.0E-5
6.12.7374346E-52.41444E-53.4144156E-51.41416481.0E-51.1731335E-41.034719E-41.4346777E-41.38653844.0E-50.00142735420.0012590450.00133894431.06346028.0E-50.014182210.0129281950.013007161.0061088.0E-5
6.22.7374346E-52.41444E-53.4144156E-51.41416481.0E-51.1731335E-41.034719E-41.4346777E-41.38653844.0E-50.00142735420.0012590450.00133894431.06346028.0E-50.014182210.0129281950.013007161.0061088.0E-5
6.32.7374346E-52.41444E-53.4144156E-51.41416481.0E-51.1731335E-41.034719E-41.4346777E-41.38653844.0E-50.00142735420.0012590450.00133894431.06346028.0E-50.014182210.0129281950.013007161.0061088.0E-5
6.42.7374346E-52.41444E-53.4144156E-51.41416481.0E-51.1731335E-41.034719E-41.4346777E-41.38653844.0E-50.00142735420.0012590450.00133894431.06346028.0E-50.014182210.0129281950.013007161.0061088.0E-5
6.52.7282445E-52.4030476E-53.4030236E-51.41612831.0E-51.16919524E-41.0298371E-41.4297958E-41.3883714.0E-50.00142256570.0012531080.00133300781.06376128.0E-50.0141349340.0128695220.0129484931.00613628.0E-5
6.62.7282445E-52.4030476E-53.4030236E-51.41612831.0E-51.16919524E-41.0298371E-41.4297958E-41.3883714.0E-50.00142256570.0012531080.00133300781.06376128.0E-50.0141349340.0128695220.0129484931.00613628.0E-5
6.72.7216198E-52.3955597E-53.395536E-51.4174291.0E-51.1663563E-41.02662816E-41.4265871E-41.3895854.0E-50.00141911370.00124920580.00132910581.06396078.0E-50.0141008550.0128309340.0129099081.00615498.0E-5
6.82.7078617E-52.3872815E-53.3872577E-51.41887651.0E-51.1604605E-41.0230807E-41.4230398E-41.3909364.0E-50.0014119450.00124489170.0013247921.06418268.0E-50.0140300750.01278808250.012867061.00617598.0E-5
6.92.6982952E-52.3792329E-53.379209E-51.42029361.0E-51.15636096E-41.0196315E-41.4195907E-41.39225854.0E-50.00140696020.00124069710.00132059781.06439988.0E-50.0139808560.0127463780.0128253591.00619638.0E-5
7.02.6449972E-52.3369357E-53.3369124E-51.42790081.0E-51.1335209E-41.0015055E-41.4014654E-41.39935864.0E-50.0013791880.00121865350.00129855611.06556628.0E-50.01370659750.0125277330.0126067311.00630588.0E-5
7.12.6257849E-52.3195396E-53.3195163E-51.431111.0E-51.1252879E-49.940507E-51.3940109E-41.4023544.0E-50.00136917690.00120958730.00128949061.06605838.0E-50.0136077170.0124376610.0125166651.00635218.0E-5
7.22.5270041E-52.2390155E-53.2389933E-51.44661491.0E-51.0829568E-49.5954296E-51.3595045E-41.41682524.0E-50.00131770240.00116761980.00124752641.06843548.0E-50.0130991620.01201879050.0120978291.00657638.0E-5
7.32.339701E-52.1122027E-53.1121817E-51.47342941.0E-51.0026905E-49.051985E-51.3051623E-41.44185214.0E-50.0012200920.0011015240.00118143591.07254668.0E-50.0121341490.0113576420.0114367331.00696378.0E-5
7.42.296333E-52.0852396E-53.085219E-51.47955121.0E-59.841056E-58.936436E-51.2936078E-41.44756584.0E-50.00119748990.00108747010.0011673831.07348538.0E-50.0119105750.0112167540.0112958561.00705228.0E-5
7.52.2188895E-52.037534E-53.0375139E-51.49077931.0E-59.50918E-58.731998E-51.2731648E-41.45804544.0E-50.00115712770.00106260420.00114251931.07520688.0E-50.0115112090.0109663690.0110454921.0072158.0E-5
7.62.0013189E-51.8961666E-52.8961476E-51.52736991.0E-58.5767984E-58.126176E-51.21258505E-41.49219644.0E-50.0010437259.889146E-40.00106883551.08081678.0E-50.0103883650.0102243710.0103035531.00774448.0E-5
7.71.7230794E-51.6743043E-52.6742875E-51.5972531.0E-57.384417E-57.175393E-51.1175106E-41.55742074.0E-58.986819E-48.732547E-49.531849E-41.09153138.0E-50.0089505620.009062920.0091421951.00874728.0E-5
7.81.4478809E-51.499039E-52.499024E-51.66708411.0E-56.205057E-56.424295E-51.0424038E-41.62259644.0E-57.552038E-47.8187784E-48.618153E-41.10223788.0E-50.00752642420.0081413880.0082207371.00974638.0E-5
7.91.1114467E-51.1644517E-52.16444E-51.85876331.0E-54.7632562E-54.990412E-58.9902125E-51.8014974.0E-55.797721E-46.074139E-46.8736525E-41.13162598.0E-50.00578261870.00638035450.00645984431.01245848.0E-5
8.09.327402E-69.8986575E-61.9898558E-52.0102281.0E-53.9973966E-54.2422133E-58.242043E-51.94286414.0E-54.8657437E-45.163676E-45.963263E-41.15484838.0E-50.00485510330.005449940.00552950431.01459918.0E-5
8.17.0235833E-66.826985E-61.6826916E-52.46476551.0E-53.0100724E-52.9258183E-55.9257305E-52.0253243.0E-53.664147E-43.5616063E-44.0614285E-41.1403365.0E-50.0036581110.00378745720.00383726791.01315155.0E-5
8.22.0358202E-68.9912584E-78.9912584E-71.00.08.724915E-63.853391E-63.853391E-61.00.01.06220665E-44.6914047E-55.6913577E-51.21314571.0E-50.0010616995.3239096E-45.423856E-41.01877321.0E-5
8.32.0051264E-76.61379E-86.61379E-81.00.08.5933965E-72.8344812E-72.8344812E-71.00.01.046241E-53.450976E-63.450976E-61.00.01.0461917E-44.0120205E-54.0120205E-51.00.0

San Jacinto (Superstition Mtn)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.4193904E-59.599558E-51.0599462E-41.10416151.0E-52.7508775E-44.1135435E-44.3134612E-41.04859982.0E-50.00334405010.00499816940.0050479191.00995365.0E-50.032941740.0488200450.0488961381.00155878.0E-5
6.16.4193904E-59.599558E-51.0599462E-41.10416151.0E-52.7508775E-44.1135435E-44.3134612E-41.04859982.0E-50.00334405010.00499816940.0050479191.00995365.0E-50.032941740.0488200450.0488961381.00155878.0E-5
6.25.7023593E-58.3144616E-58.3144616E-51.00.02.4436394E-43.5629462E-43.6629106E-41.02805661.0E-50.0029710720.00433090470.0043607751.0068973.0E-50.0293166250.0425024480.04255991.00135176.0E-5
6.35.6940098E-58.298998E-58.298998E-51.00.02.4400617E-43.5563204E-43.656285E-41.0281091.0E-50.0029667280.004322870.00435274051.00690983.0E-50.0292743310.042425820.0424832741.00135426.0E-5
6.45.4171585E-57.748391E-57.748391E-51.00.02.3214328E-43.3204095E-43.4203762E-41.03010681.0E-50.00282268130.00403675340.0040666321.00740173.0E-50.027870960.0397150260.0397726451.00145086.0E-5
6.54.375144E-55.6421442E-55.6421442E-51.00.01.874927E-42.417904E-42.5178798E-41.04134811.0E-50.00228033380.0029410.00297091181.01017063.0E-50.0225707570.0292355920.0292647151.00099613.0E-5
6.62.772192E-52.5488029E-52.5488029E-51.00.01.1880282E-41.0922994E-41.1922885E-41.091541.0E-50.00144546460.00132908260.00135904271.0225423.0E-50.0143609860.0135408910.0135704851.00218553.0E-5
6.72.7124124E-52.4699055E-52.4699055E-51.00.01.1624106E-41.0584891E-41.1584785E-41.09446431.0E-50.00141431610.00128796780.00131792911.02326253.0E-50.0140534870.0131342480.0131638541.00225413.0E-5
6.82.5475807E-52.2164071E-52.2164071E-51.00.01.0917746E-49.498548E-51.0498453E-41.10526921.0E-50.0013284250.00115584680.0011858121.0259253.0E-50.01320511850.0118218180.01185146351.00250773.0E-5
6.92.1162023E-51.762564E-51.762564E-51.00.09.069123E-57.553629E-58.553554E-51.13237671.0E-50.00110360649.1927015E-49.4924256E-41.03260463.0E-50.0109814170.0094467620.0094764781.00314573.0E-5
7.01.8754288E-51.616099E-51.616099E-51.00.08.037304E-56.9259564E-57.925887E-51.14437441.0E-59.781026E-48.429114E-48.628945E-41.02370732.0E-50.0097380870.0086699950.0086898211.00228682.0E-5
7.11.8678527E-51.6086136E-51.6086136E-51.00.08.0048376E-56.8938774E-57.893809E-51.14504621.0E-59.7415317E-48.3900883E-48.5899205E-41.02381772.0E-50.0096989390.0086310110.00865083751.00229732.0E-5
7.21.7804578E-51.5380709E-51.5380709E-51.00.07.6303106E-56.591567E-57.591501E-51.1516991.0E-59.285943E-48.022301E-48.2221406E-41.02491042.0E-50.0092472360.0082624240.0082822581.00240062.0E-5
7.31.6583685E-51.4529837E-51.4529837E-51.00.07.1070994E-56.226926E-57.226864E-51.16058291.0E-58.649459E-47.5786654E-47.778514E-41.02636992.0E-50.008615870.0078176460.0078374891.00253832.0E-5
7.41.6387552E-51.4394727E-51.4394727E-51.00.07.023047E-56.169024E-57.1689625E-51.16209021.0E-58.5472054E-47.508219E-47.7080686E-41.02661752.0E-50.0085144050.00774701870.0077668641.00256172.0E-5
7.51.5790754E-51.40354305E-51.40354305E-51.00.06.767291E-56.015047E-57.0149865E-51.16623971.0E-58.236062E-47.320879E-47.5207325E-41.02729922.0E-50.0082056040.0075575810.007577431.00262632.0E-5
7.61.4248672E-51.3054444E-51.3054444E-51.00.06.106431E-55.5946428E-56.594587E-51.17873241.0E-57.432043E-46.809366E-47.00923E-41.02935142.0E-50.0074072370.0070401750.0070600341.00282082.0E-5
7.71.15449975E-51.0903222E-51.0903222E-51.00.04.947762E-54.672726E-55.6726793E-51.21399781.0E-56.022235E-45.6875666E-45.887453E-41.03514442.0E-50.0060059410.00591025640.00593013831.0033642.0E-5
7.89.1391985E-69.5139185E-69.5139185E-61.00.03.9167408E-54.0773306E-55.07729E-51.24524861.0E-54.767588E-44.963025E-45.162926E-41.0402782.0E-50.00475737270.0051768090.00519670551.00384342.0E-5
7.96.973017E-67.3817937E-67.3817937E-61.00.02.9884017E-53.163588E-54.163556E-51.31608681.0E-53.6377716E-43.8509927E-44.050916E-41.05191472.0E-50.00363182250.0040519760.0040718951.00491582.0E-5
8.05.7638235E-66.259641E-66.259641E-61.00.02.4701867E-52.682676E-53.6826492E-51.37275211.0E-53.0070372E-43.2656736E-43.4656082E-41.06122312.0E-50.00300297140.00345354130.00347347231.00577122.0E-5
8.15.1124434E-65.4953657E-65.4953657E-61.00.02.1910288E-52.3551356E-53.355112E-51.4245941.0E-52.6672508E-42.8670052E-43.066948E-41.06973922.0E-50.00266405170.00304038960.00306032881.00655812.0E-5
8.21.1075938E-65.3348367E-75.3348367E-71.00.04.7468216E-62.2863567E-62.2863567E-61.00.05.779102E-52.7836059E-53.783578E-51.35923621.0E-55.777599E-43.133962E-43.2339303E-41.03189851.0E-5
8.31.3584393E-84.4718784E-94.4718784E-91.00.05.8218827E-81.9165192E-81.9165192E-81.00.07.0881396E-72.3333622E-72.3333622E-71.00.07.0881174E-62.6140672E-62.6140672E-61.00.0

Elysian Park (Upper)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.1876025E-53.7035275E-55.7034536E-51.54000572.0E-51.3660437E-41.5871569E-41.8871092E-41.18898733.0E-50.00166188950.0019311220.00198102561.02584175.0E-50.0164951590.0191898630.0192683261.00408898.0E-5
6.13.1876025E-53.7035275E-55.7034536E-51.54000572.0E-51.3660437E-41.5871569E-41.8871092E-41.18898733.0E-50.00166188950.0019311220.00198102561.02584175.0E-50.0164951590.0191898630.0192683261.00408898.0E-5
6.23.1876025E-53.7035275E-55.7034536E-51.54000572.0E-51.3660437E-41.5871569E-41.8871092E-41.18898733.0E-50.00166188950.0019311220.00198102561.02584175.0E-50.0164951590.0191898630.0192683261.00408898.0E-5
6.33.1876025E-53.7035275E-55.7034536E-51.54000572.0E-51.3660437E-41.5871569E-41.8871092E-41.18898733.0E-50.00166188950.0019311220.00198102561.02584175.0E-50.0164951590.0191898630.0192683261.00408898.0E-5
6.41.9273462E-52.120244E-52.120244E-51.00.08.259794E-59.086542E-59.086542E-51.00.00.0010051660.00110589670.00112587461.01806492.0E-50.0100063150.0110207440.0110405241.00179482.0E-5
6.51.9273462E-52.120244E-52.120244E-51.00.08.259794E-59.086542E-59.086542E-51.00.00.0010051660.00110589670.00112587461.01806492.0E-50.0100063150.0110207440.0110405241.00179482.0E-5
6.69.813258E-69.665589E-69.665589E-61.00.04.205614E-54.1423333E-54.1423333E-51.00.05.119132E-45.042196E-45.242095E-41.03964532.0E-50.0051073560.00503147950.0050513791.0039552.0E-5
6.79.801478E-69.653158E-69.653158E-61.00.04.2005657E-54.137006E-54.137006E-51.00.05.112989E-45.0357135E-45.2356126E-41.03969632.0E-50.00510124070.0050250260.00504492551.00396012.0E-5
6.88.102489E-67.772994E-67.772994E-61.00.03.4724493E-53.3312434E-53.3312434E-51.00.04.2268867E-44.0550836E-44.2550027E-41.04930082.0E-50.0042188560.00404817840.0040680971.00492052.0E-5
6.96.08275E-65.481441E-65.481441E-61.00.02.6068668E-52.3491682E-52.3491682E-51.00.03.173398E-42.8597447E-42.959716E-41.03495811.0E-50.00316887020.00285614240.00286611381.00349131.0E-5
7.05.5995934E-64.9827686E-64.9827686E-61.00.02.3998036E-52.1354552E-52.1354552E-51.00.02.9213692E-42.5996132E-42.6995872E-41.03845731.0E-50.00291753160.00259663960.00260661361.00384121.0E-5
7.14.709881E-64.0873906E-64.0873906E-61.00.02.0185047E-51.7517272E-51.7517272E-51.00.02.4572524E-42.1325232E-42.232502E-41.04688271.0E-50.0024545370.00213051840.0021404971.00468371.0E-5
7.23.6063436E-62.9779412E-62.9779412E-61.00.01.5455667E-51.27625435E-51.27625435E-51.00.01.881565E-41.55373E-41.6537144E-41.06435121.0E-50.00187997260.00155265490.00156263941.00643061.0E-5
7.32.471135E-62.0954562E-62.0954562E-61.00.01.0590536E-58.980496E-68.980496E-61.00.01.2893214E-41.0933213E-41.1933104E-41.09145441.0E-50.00128857360.00109279060.00110277981.00914081.0E-5
7.41.163943E-61.0275061E-61.0275061E-61.00.04.988318E-64.40359E-64.40359E-61.00.06.0731076E-55.361242E-56.3611886E-51.18651391.0E-56.071448E-45.3599785E-45.459925E-41.01864681.0E-5
7.54.99459E-74.917601E-74.917601E-71.00.02.140537E-62.1075416E-62.1075416E-61.00.02.6060725E-52.5659032E-52.5659032E-51.00.02.605767E-42.5656226E-42.5656226E-41.00.0
7.62.4667852E-72.4778313E-72.4778313E-71.00.01.0571932E-61.0619274E-61.0619274E-61.00.01.2871251E-51.2928893E-51.2928893E-51.00.01.2870505E-41.2928178E-41.2928178E-41.00.0
7.78.2312795E-87.3864214E-87.3864214E-81.00.03.527691E-73.165609E-73.165609E-71.00.04.294955E-63.854123E-63.854123E-61.00.04.2948723E-53.854068E-53.854068E-51.00.0
7.82.7819295E-81.7565618E-81.7565618E-81.00.01.1922555E-77.528122E-87.528122E-81.00.01.45157E-69.1654863E-79.1654863E-71.00.01.45156055E-59.165463E-69.165463E-61.00.0

Big Pine (Central)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2706755E-51.4250602E-52.425046E-51.70171481.0E-55.4456385E-56.107279E-57.107217E-51.16372911.0E-56.628048E-47.433441E-48.1329205E-41.0940997.0E-50.0066083140.0074136390.0074930461.0107118.0E-5
6.18.342579E-69.510835E-61.951074E-52.05142241.0E-53.5753423E-54.076021E-55.07598E-51.24532741.0E-54.3521097E-44.9616426E-45.561345E-41.12086776.0E-50.00434359630.0049541550.0050238081.01405957.0E-5
6.26.923899E-67.967221E-61.7967142E-52.25513271.0E-52.9673516E-53.4144894E-54.4144555E-51.29285961.0E-53.6121515E-44.1565404E-44.5563743E-41.09619394.0E-50.0036062860.00415210940.00420190161.01199215.0E-5
6.32.728396E-63.4243646E-61.342433E-53.92023971.0E-51.1693074E-51.4675771E-52.4675624E-51.68138521.0E-51.4235388E-41.7866373E-41.9866016E-41.11192212.0E-50.00142262720.00178674330.00180670761.01117362.0E-5
6.42.7136944E-63.4086581E-61.3408624E-53.93369581.0E-51.1630066E-51.4608458E-52.4608311E-51.68452491.0E-51.4158686E-41.7784433E-41.9784077E-41.11243782.0E-50.00141496690.00177856230.00179852671.0112252.0E-5
6.52.6971882E-63.3910032E-61.3390969E-53.94896981.0E-51.1559327E-51.4532795E-52.453265E-51.68808891.0E-51.4072572E-41.7692328E-41.9691975E-41.11302342.0E-50.00140636640.00176936660.00178933121.01128352.0E-5
6.62.669092E-63.3610236E-61.336099E-53.9752741.0E-51.1438916E-51.4404312E-52.4404168E-51.69422651.0E-51.3925991E-41.7535927E-41.9535575E-41.11403162.0E-50.00139172670.00175375110.00177371611.01138412.0E-5
6.72.6408059E-63.3310494E-61.3331016E-54.0020471.0E-51.1317691E-51.4275853E-52.4275709E-51.70047351.0E-51.3778417E-41.737955E-41.9379203E-41.11505782.0E-50.00137698770.00173813810.00175810341.01148652.0E-5
6.82.1786943E-62.8545066E-61.2854478E-54.50322251.0E-59.337228E-61.2233547E-52.2233424E-51.81741441.0E-51.1367482E-41.4893398E-41.5893248E-41.06713391.0E-50.00113616690.00148987040.00149985551.0067021.0E-5
6.91.4411696E-62.0685677E-61.2068547E-55.8342531.0E-56.1764263E-68.865261E-61.8865174E-52.12798831.0E-57.51954E-51.0792949E-41.1792841E-41.09264311.0E-57.5169955E-40.00108025480.0010902441.00924711.0E-5
7.01.0073411E-61.5543274E-61.1554312E-57.4336411.0E-54.317169E-66.661387E-61.666132E-52.5011791.0E-55.2560266E-58.109952E-59.109871E-51.12329531.0E-55.2547833E-48.1217213E-48.2216406E-41.01230261.0E-5
7.18.947104E-71.430316E-61.1430302E-57.99145171.0E-53.834468E-66.1299124E-61.612985E-52.63133481.0E-54.6683643E-57.462928E-58.462853E-51.13398561.0E-54.6673836E-47.4751483E-47.5750734E-41.01336771.0E-5
7.25.215166E-71.0112277E-61.1011218E-510.888961.0E-52.2350691E-64.333826E-61.4333783E-53.307421.0E-52.7211627E-55.27631E-56.276257E-51.18951641.0E-52.7208295E-45.289683E-45.3896295E-41.01889471.0E-5
7.34.4024807E-79.220183E-71.0922009E-511.8457621.0E-51.8867761E-63.951501E-61.3951461E-53.5306741.0E-52.2971257E-54.8108504E-55.8108024E-51.20785341.0E-52.2968883E-44.824433E-44.924385E-41.02071791.0E-5
7.43.6130905E-78.359109E-71.0835903E-512.9629881.0E-51.5484665E-63.5824705E-61.3582435E-53.79135971.0E-51.8852415E-54.3615746E-55.361531E-51.2292651.0E-51.8850817E-44.3752496E-44.4752058E-41.02284591.0E-5
7.53.408184E-78.1087245E-71.0810864E-513.3323861.0E-51.4606494E-63.475163E-61.3475128E-53.87755271.0E-51.7783263E-54.230933E-55.2308907E-51.23634451.0E-51.778184E-44.2444657E-44.344423E-41.023551.0E-5
7.63.1428627E-77.732167E-71.0773209E-513.9329751.0E-51.3469405E-63.313782E-61.3313748E-54.017691.0E-51.6398877E-54.0344585E-55.034418E-51.24785471.0E-51.6397667E-44.0477706E-44.14773E-41.02469491.0E-5
7.71.7972785E-75.0782415E-71.0507819E-520.6918451.0E-57.70262E-72.1763874E-61.2176366E-55.594761.0E-59.377899E-62.6497206E-53.6496942E-51.37738821.0E-59.377503E-52.6633305E-42.7633036E-41.0375371.0E-5
7.84.9230927E-81.1981747E-71.1981747E-71.00.02.1098968E-75.135033E-75.135033E-71.00.02.5687964E-66.2518866E-66.2518866E-61.00.02.5687666E-56.2971965E-56.2971965E-51.00.0
7.93.6805972E-94.1051638E-94.1051638E-91.00.01.5773987E-81.7593557E-81.7593557E-81.00.01.9204828E-72.1420155E-72.1420155E-71.00.01.920481E-62.1898923E-62.1898923E-61.00.0

San Cayetano

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.3476267E-51.8169216E-53.816885E-52.1007432.0E-51.0060869E-47.786576E-51.2786187E-41.64208085.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-49.975596E-41.05271455.0E-50.0121750020.009436750.009506091.00734787.0E-5
6.12.3476267E-51.8169216E-53.816885E-52.1007432.0E-51.0060869E-47.786576E-51.2786187E-41.64208085.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-49.975596E-41.05271455.0E-50.0121750020.009436750.009506091.00734787.0E-5
6.22.3476267E-51.8169216E-53.816885E-52.1007432.0E-51.0060869E-47.786576E-51.2786187E-41.64208085.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-49.975596E-41.05271455.0E-50.0121750020.009436750.009506091.00734787.0E-5
6.32.3476267E-51.8169216E-53.816885E-52.1007432.0E-51.0060869E-47.786576E-51.2786187E-41.64208085.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-49.975596E-41.05271455.0E-50.0121750020.009436750.009506091.00734787.0E-5
6.42.3476267E-51.8169216E-53.816885E-52.1007432.0E-51.0060869E-47.786576E-51.2786187E-41.64208085.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-49.975596E-41.05271455.0E-50.0121750020.009436750.009506091.00734787.0E-5
6.52.3476267E-51.8169216E-53.816885E-52.1007432.0E-51.0060869E-47.786576E-51.2786187E-41.64208085.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-49.975596E-41.05271455.0E-50.0121750020.009436750.009506091.00734787.0E-5
6.62.3476267E-51.8169216E-53.816885E-52.1007432.0E-51.0060869E-47.786576E-51.2786187E-41.64208085.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-49.975596E-41.05271455.0E-50.0121750020.009436750.009506091.00734787.0E-5
6.72.3476267E-51.8169216E-53.816885E-52.1007432.0E-51.0060869E-47.786576E-51.2786187E-41.64208085.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-49.975596E-41.05271455.0E-50.0121750020.009436750.009506091.00734787.0E-5
6.82.3241924E-51.7936945E-52.7936767E-51.55749851.0E-59.960445E-57.687038E-51.0686807E-41.39023733.0E-50.00121200959.354987E-49.654706E-41.03203853.0E-50.0120542040.00931661950.0093661541.00531675.0E-5
6.92.2761007E-51.7432383E-52.743221E-51.5736351.0E-59.7543525E-57.47081E-51.04705854E-41.40153293.0E-50.00118694549.09195E-49.391677E-41.03296633.0E-50.0118062560.0090557410.0091052881.00547135.0E-5
7.02.240283E-51.7066137E-52.7065966E-51.58594571.0E-59.600859E-57.313856E-51.03136364E-41.41015043.0E-50.00116827778.9010154E-49.200749E-41.0336743.0E-50.0116215490.0088663360.0089158931.00558945.0E-5
7.12.1871154E-51.658602E-52.6585854E-51.60290741.0E-59.373015E-57.108103E-51.0107889E-41.42202353.0E-50.00114056718.6507126E-48.950453E-41.03464933.0E-50.0113473090.0086179960.0086675661.00575185.0E-5
7.22.0714133E-51.5564563E-52.5564406E-51.64247511.0E-58.8771834E-56.670358E-59.670158E-51.4497213.0E-50.00108026118.118168E-48.417924E-41.03692413.0E-50.0107502490.0080894430.0081390381.00613095.0E-5
7.31.8408395E-51.3996829E-52.3996688E-51.71443761.0E-57.8890735E-55.9985046E-58.9983245E-51.50009473.0E-59.600714E-47.300762E-47.600543E-41.04106163.0E-50.0095593420.00727764470.0073272811.00682035.0E-5
7.41.6856795E-51.285006E-52.284993E-51.77819661.0E-57.2241404E-55.5070537E-57.506944E-51.36315062.0E-58.7918417E-46.7028037E-46.9026696E-41.02981832.0E-50.008757140.00668340870.00672314131.0059454.0E-5
7.51.2822778E-59.577415E-61.957732E-52.04411321.0E-55.495361E-54.1045427E-56.104461E-51.4872452.0E-56.688548E-44.9961504E-45.1960506E-41.04001082.0E-50.0066684520.00498519230.0050249931.00798384.0E-5
7.65.6272684E-63.854899E-61.3854861E-53.59409141.0E-52.4116642E-51.6520893E-52.6520727E-51.60528411.0E-52.9358055E-42.0112342E-42.111214E-41.04971081.0E-50.00293193010.00200942480.00201940471.00496651.0E-5
7.73.5261346E-62.3407094E-61.2340686E-55.27219871.0E-51.5111918E-51.0031574E-52.0031473E-51.99684251.0E-51.8397206E-41.2212765E-41.3212643E-41.08187151.0E-50.00183819840.00122061270.00123060041.00818261.0E-5
7.81.4826929E-61.0564395E-61.0564395E-61.00.06.354383E-64.52759E-64.52759E-61.00.07.736187E-55.5122033E-55.5122033E-51.00.07.733494E-45.510856E-45.510856E-41.00.0
7.92.7568166E-71.6977887E-71.6977887E-71.00.01.1814923E-67.276235E-77.276235E-71.00.01.4384574E-58.85878E-68.85878E-61.00.01.4383643E-48.858431E-58.858431E-51.00.0
8.05.407832E-82.688677E-82.688677E-81.00.02.3176422E-71.15229014E-71.15229014E-71.00.02.8217257E-61.4029123E-61.4029123E-61.00.02.8216898E-51.40290385E-51.40290385E-51.00.0

Oceanic - West Huasna

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.195567E-52.7926368E-54.792581E-51.71614912.0E-51.3694567E-41.19679185E-41.496756E-41.25064023.0E-50.00166603840.00145616340.00151607591.04114416.0E-50.0165360330.014470770.0145397581.00476737.0E-5
6.12.1156782E-51.7573117E-52.7572942E-51.5690411.0E-59.066878E-57.531123E-59.530973E-51.26554472.0E-50.00110333339.1653795E-49.3651965E-41.02180122.0E-50.0109787130.0091285870.0091484041.00217092.0E-5
6.21.6195117E-51.3327227E-52.3327093E-51.75033371.0E-56.9405796E-55.7115452E-57.711431E-51.3501482.0E-58.44688E-46.9516135E-47.151475E-41.02875032.0E-50.0084148440.00693016170.0069500231.00286592.0E-5
6.31.3559345E-51.1179013E-52.1178901E-51.89452341.0E-55.811018E-54.7909183E-55.7908703E-51.20871831.0E-57.072618E-45.8313913E-45.931333E-41.01713861.0E-50.00705015050.0058162080.00582614961.00170931.0E-5
6.41.2120619E-51.0000874E-52.0000774E-51.99990261.0E-55.1944477E-54.2860185E-55.285976E-51.23330681.0E-56.322405E-45.216983E-45.316931E-41.01915811.0E-50.0063044470.0052048040.00521475171.00191131.0E-5
6.51.13511915E-59.367378E-61.9367284E-52.06752441.0E-54.8647056E-54.0145293E-55.0144892E-51.24908521.0E-55.9211696E-44.886598E-44.9865484E-41.02045421.0E-50.00590541730.00487591140.00488586261.00204091.0E-5
6.69.850605E-68.1353155E-61.8135233E-52.22919871.0E-54.2216197E-53.4865174E-54.4864824E-51.28680921.0E-55.1386096E-44.2440102E-44.343968E-41.02355271.0E-50.00512674360.00423593770.00424589541.00235081.0E-5
6.78.8558645E-67.318341E-67.318341E-61.00.03.7953152E-53.1363943E-53.1363943E-51.00.04.6198163E-43.8178926E-43.8178926E-41.00.00.0046102240.00381135920.00381135921.00.0
6.87.67136E-66.39169E-66.39169E-61.00.03.2876844E-52.739267E-52.739267E-51.00.04.0020206E-43.3345487E-43.3345487E-41.00.00.0039948210.00332956640.00332956641.00.0
6.96.534529E-65.458261E-65.458261E-61.00.02.8004823E-52.3392338E-52.3392338E-51.00.03.4090536E-42.8476462E-42.8476462E-41.00.00.00340382870.0028440140.0028440141.00.0
7.05.460525E-64.5699203E-64.5699203E-61.00.02.3402039E-51.9585226E-51.9585226E-51.00.02.8488258E-42.3842414E-42.3842414E-41.00.00.00284517650.00238169730.00238169731.00.0
7.14.4825083E-63.7524153E-63.7524153E-61.00.01.9210609E-51.6081682E-51.6081682E-51.00.02.3386406E-41.9577699E-41.9577699E-41.00.00.0023361810.0019560570.0019560571.00.0
7.22.821708E-62.424941E-62.424941E-61.00.01.2092979E-51.0392562E-51.0392562E-51.00.01.4722206E-41.265221E-41.265221E-41.00.00.00147124570.00126450320.00126450321.00.0
7.32.0644757E-61.7687502E-61.7687502E-61.00.08.847723E-67.580336E-67.580336E-61.00.01.0771569E-49.228668E-59.228668E-51.00.00.0010766359.224854E-49.224854E-41.00.0
7.41.6980367E-61.4379966E-61.4379966E-61.00.07.27728E-66.1628284E-66.1628284E-61.00.08.8597284E-57.502986E-57.502986E-51.00.08.8561967E-47.5004686E-47.5004686E-41.00.0
7.51.3637683E-61.1302697E-61.1302697E-61.00.05.844708E-64.844004E-64.844004E-61.00.07.1156996E-55.897415E-55.897415E-51.00.07.1134215E-45.8958656E-45.8958656E-41.00.0
7.69.802994E-77.6772847E-77.6772847E-71.00.04.2012766E-63.2902608E-63.2902608E-61.00.05.1149345E-54.005819E-54.005819E-51.00.05.113757E-44.0051117E-44.0051117E-41.00.0
7.75.986191E-74.0050708E-74.0050708E-71.00.02.5655079E-61.7164577E-61.7164577E-61.00.03.1234613E-52.0897673E-52.0897673E-51.00.03.123022E-42.0895849E-42.0895849E-41.00.0
7.82.9189815E-71.5285202E-71.5285202E-71.00.01.2509914E-66.5507993E-76.5507993E-71.00.01.5230714E-57.975569E-67.975569E-61.00.01.522967E-47.97542E-57.97542E-51.00.0
7.91.2057845E-74.6208047E-84.6208047E-81.00.05.1676466E-71.9803447E-71.9803447E-71.00.06.2915915E-62.411067E-62.411067E-61.00.06.2914136E-52.4111772E-52.4111772E-51.00.0
8.03.3806387E-99.0093144E-109.0093144E-101.00.01.4488451E-83.8611354E-93.8611354E-91.00.01.7639688E-74.7009323E-84.7009323E-81.00.01.7639674E-64.712806E-74.712806E-71.00.0

San Jacinto (Lytle Creek connector)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.693995E-66.660123E-62.6659989E-54.0029282.0E-52.8688235E-52.8543072E-55.8542217E-52.05101323.0E-53.492233E-43.4745657E-44.0743573E-41.17262346.0E-50.003486750.00354911670.00361886831.01965327.0E-5
6.16.693995E-66.660123E-62.6659989E-54.0029282.0E-52.8688235E-52.8543072E-55.8542217E-52.05101323.0E-53.492233E-43.4745657E-44.0743573E-41.17262346.0E-50.003486750.00354911670.00361886831.01965327.0E-5
6.26.693995E-66.660123E-62.6659989E-54.0029282.0E-52.8688235E-52.8543072E-55.8542217E-52.05101323.0E-53.492233E-43.4745657E-44.0743573E-41.17262346.0E-50.003486750.00354911670.00361886831.01965327.0E-5
6.36.693995E-66.660123E-62.6659989E-54.0029282.0E-52.8688235E-52.8543072E-55.8542217E-52.05101323.0E-53.492233E-43.4745657E-44.0743573E-41.17262346.0E-50.003486750.00354911670.00361886831.01965327.0E-5
6.46.693995E-66.660123E-62.6659989E-54.0029282.0E-52.8688235E-52.8543072E-55.8542217E-52.05101323.0E-53.492233E-43.4745657E-44.0743573E-41.17262346.0E-50.003486750.00354911670.00361886831.01965327.0E-5
6.56.6561875E-66.620341E-62.6620208E-54.02097232.0E-52.8526205E-52.8372582E-55.837173E-52.0573293.0E-53.472512E-43.453815E-44.053608E-41.1736616.0E-50.00346709070.00352843220.00359818531.01976887.0E-5
6.66.6561875E-66.620341E-62.6620208E-54.02097232.0E-52.8526205E-52.8372582E-55.837173E-52.0573293.0E-53.472512E-43.453815E-44.053608E-41.1736616.0E-50.00346709070.00352843220.00359818531.01976887.0E-5
6.76.5802237E-66.539518E-62.6539386E-54.05830962.0E-52.8200653E-52.8026205E-55.802536E-52.0703973.0E-53.4328885E-43.4116567E-44.011452E-41.17580766.0E-50.00342759020.00348640650.00355616261.0200087.0E-5
6.86.575632E-66.5340073E-62.6533877E-54.0608892.0E-52.8180975E-52.8002589E-55.8001748E-52.07129963.0E-53.4304935E-43.4087826E-44.008578E-41.17595596.0E-50.00342520260.00348354130.00355329761.02002457.0E-5
6.96.570433E-66.525401E-62.6525271E-54.06492572.0E-52.8158694E-52.7965707E-55.7964866E-52.07271243.0E-53.4277816E-43.4042934E-44.0040893E-41.1761886.0E-50.00342249920.00347906650.0035488231.02005037.0E-5
7.06.5643826E-66.5155223E-62.6515392E-54.0695732.0E-52.8132765E-52.7923368E-55.792253E-52.0743393.0E-53.424626E-43.3991406E-43.9989364E-41.17645536.0E-50.00341935320.00347392960.00354368641.02008017.0E-5
7.16.557402E-66.504234E-62.6504104E-54.07492.0E-52.8102848E-52.7874992E-55.7874156E-52.07620363.0E-53.4209844E-43.3932526E-43.9930487E-41.17676156.0E-50.00341572290.00346806060.00353781791.02011427.0E-5
7.26.546394E-66.4862006E-62.648607E-54.08344942.0E-52.8055672E-52.7797707E-55.779687E-52.07919573.0E-53.4152428E-43.383846E-43.983643E-41.1772536.0E-50.00340999870.00345868830.0035284461.02016897.0E-5
7.36.5364216E-66.4669857E-62.6466856E-54.0926112.0E-52.8012933E-52.771536E-55.771453E-52.08240223.0E-53.4100408E-43.373823E-43.9736208E-41.17777986.0E-50.0034048130.00344871030.0035184691.02022747.0E-5
7.46.5269523E-66.4480723E-62.6447944E-54.1016822.0E-52.7972354E-52.7634303E-55.7633475E-52.08557723.0E-53.4051016E-43.3639578E-43.9637557E-41.17830136.0E-50.00339988880.00343889230.00350865141.02028547.0E-5
7.56.5111835E-66.424346E-62.6424217E-54.11313722.0E-52.7904773E-52.753262E-55.7531794E-52.08958653.0E-53.3968766E-43.3515817E-43.9513805E-41.178966.0E-50.00339168870.00342656440.00349632441.02035877.0E-5
7.66.4768806E-66.383454E-62.6383326E-54.133082.0E-52.7757764E-52.7357375E-55.7356552E-52.09656643.0E-53.3789838E-43.330252E-43.9300523E-41.18010656.0E-50.00337385040.00340529720.00347505881.02048627.0E-5
7.76.1655364E-66.1759456E-62.6175821E-54.23835042.0E-52.642346E-52.646807E-55.6467277E-52.13341123.0E-53.2165812E-43.2220117E-43.8218184E-41.1861596.0E-50.00321192950.00329693620.00336670551.02116187.0E-5
7.85.5043524E-65.7370175E-62.5736903E-54.48611162.0E-52.3589868E-52.4586987E-55.458625E-52.22012763.0E-52.871688E-42.993055E-43.5928754E-41.2004046.0E-50.00286797970.00306705850.0031368441.02275317.0E-5
7.93.889249E-64.0766436E-62.4076562E-55.9059772.0E-51.6668104E-51.7471213E-54.747069E-52.71708043.0E-52.0291525E-42.126913E-42.7267853E-41.28203896.0E-50.00202730070.00219410730.00226395371.03183367.0E-5
8.02.668535E-62.5313454E-62.2531294E-58.9009172.0E-51.1436528E-51.0848577E-54.0848252E-53.76530933.0E-51.3923083E-41.3207346E-41.8206685E-41.37852725.0E-50.00139143630.00137556650.00142549771.03629865.0E-5
8.11.5911459E-61.2185134E-61.1218501E-59.2067121.0E-56.8191785E-65.2221894E-62.5222085E-54.8297912.0E-58.3020335E-56.357832E-51.0357578E-41.62910524.0E-58.298933E-46.6911156E-47.090848E-41.05974084.0E-5
8.26.1294963E-72.1802066E-72.1802066E-71.00.02.6269242E-69.3437393E-79.3437393E-71.00.03.1982334E-51.1375943E-52.137583E-51.8790381.0E-53.1977732E-41.2778955E-41.3778827E-41.07824361.0E-5
8.31.762871E-74.7516316E-84.7516316E-81.00.07.5551594E-72.0364133E-72.0364133E-71.00.09.1983675E-62.4793305E-62.4793305E-61.00.09.197987E-52.8671833E-52.8671833E-51.00.0

Big Pine (East)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.916913E-61.28172705E-53.2817014E-52.56037452.0E-54.250036E-55.493013E-58.492848E-51.54611843.0E-55.173191E-46.685912E-47.185578E-41.07473415.0E-50.00516116430.0066704490.0067399821.0104247.0E-5
6.19.916913E-61.28172705E-53.2817014E-52.56037452.0E-54.250036E-55.493013E-58.492848E-51.54611843.0E-55.173191E-46.685912E-47.185578E-41.07473415.0E-50.00516116430.0066704490.0067399821.0104247.0E-5
6.29.916913E-61.28172705E-53.2817014E-52.56037452.0E-54.250036E-55.493013E-58.492848E-51.54611843.0E-55.173191E-46.685912E-47.185578E-41.07473415.0E-50.00516116430.0066704490.0067399821.0104247.0E-5
6.35.479711E-68.1132375E-62.8113076E-53.46508722.0E-52.3484265E-53.4770575E-56.4769534E-51.86276853.0E-52.858834E-44.232527E-44.6323577E-41.09446624.0E-50.00285515890.00422725130.0042670821.00942244.0E-5
6.45.465009E-68.0975315E-62.8097369E-53.46986872.0E-52.3421257E-53.4703262E-56.470222E-51.86444213.0E-52.851165E-44.2243348E-44.624166E-41.09464944.0E-50.00284750970.004219090.00425892141.00944074.0E-5
6.54.826767E-67.4225877E-62.7422439E-53.69445822.0E-52.068598E-53.1810716E-56.180976E-51.94304843.0E-52.518227E-43.8722943E-44.2721393E-41.10325794.0E-50.00251537510.00386829070.0039081361.01030054.0E-5
6.64.3146847E-66.8825234E-62.6882386E-53.9058912.0E-51.8491375E-52.949621E-55.9495324E-52.01704983.0E-52.2510924E-43.5905963E-43.9904527E-41.11136214.0E-50.00224881340.00358750620.00362736271.01110984.0E-5
6.73.6968106E-65.9957474E-61.5995687E-52.66783881.0E-51.5843378E-52.5695816E-53.569556E-51.38915841.0E-51.9287605E-43.128032E-43.3279692E-41.0639182.0E-50.00192708730.00312624990.00314618741.00637752.0E-5
6.83.4671132E-65.7024477E-61.5702391E-52.7536231.0E-51.4858972E-52.4438841E-53.4438595E-51.40917471.0E-51.8089297E-42.9750372E-43.1749776E-41.0672062.0E-50.00180745790.00297366660.00299360721.00670582.0E-5
6.92.7686972E-64.8254797E-61.4825431E-53.07232281.0E-51.1865792E-52.0680467E-53.068026E-51.4835381.0E-51.4445644E-42.5175634E-42.6175383E-41.0397111.0E-50.00144362570.0025172560.00252723071.00396261.0E-5
7.02.1472624E-63.985277E-61.3985237E-53.50922581.0E-59.20252E-61.707965E-52.7079479E-51.58548211.0E-51.12034926E-42.0792543E-42.1792336E-41.04808411.0E-50.00111978450.00207982380.0020898031.0047981.0E-5
7.11.7018335E-63.3450835E-61.334505E-53.9894521.0E-57.293552E-61.4335996E-52.4335852E-51.69753481.0E-58.879537E-51.7452713E-41.8452539E-41.05728771.0E-58.87599E-40.00174637920.00175636171.00571611.0E-5
7.21.25603E-62.794679E-61.2794651E-54.57821851.0E-55.3829745E-61.1977142E-52.1977023E-51.83491371.0E-56.553574E-51.4581217E-41.5581072E-41.06857131.0E-56.551642E-40.00145961730.00146960271.00684111.0E-5
7.31.112297E-62.610519E-61.2610492E-54.8306461.0E-54.7669787E-61.1187892E-52.118778E-51.89381351.0E-55.803642E-51.3620428E-41.4620292E-41.07340911.0E-55.802127E-40.0013635020.00137348831.00732411.0E-5
7.41.0137181E-62.4836752E-61.2483651E-55.02628141.0E-54.3444993E-61.064428E-52.0644173E-51.93946171.0E-55.2892992E-51.2958662E-41.3958532E-41.07715851.0E-55.288041E-40.00129719180.00130717891.0076991.0E-5
7.59.598608E-72.407328E-61.2407304E-55.1539731.0E-54.1136827E-61.03170805E-52.0316978E-51.96925641.0E-55.0082934E-51.2560343E-41.3560218E-41.07960571.0E-55.007165E-40.00125721320.00126720071.00794411.0E-5
7.67.929459E-72.0450152E-61.2044995E-55.88992931.0E-53.3983351E-68.764322E-61.8764234E-52.14097951.0E-54.1373947E-51.0670057E-41.16699506E-41.09371021.0E-54.1366243E-40.00106858250.00107857191.00934821.0E-5
7.74.155788E-71.1606729E-61.1160661E-59.6156821.0E-51.7810507E-64.974303E-61.4974254E-53.01032191.0E-52.1684076E-56.05605E-57.0559894E-51.16511421.0E-52.1681961E-46.085995E-46.185935E-41.01642121.0E-5
7.81.14666925E-72.592197E-72.592197E-71.00.04.914296E-71.1109411E-61.1109411E-61.00.05.9831386E-61.3525627E-51.3525627E-51.00.05.9829777E-51.3636416E-41.3636416E-41.00.0
7.92.9231824E-84.1462318E-84.1462318E-81.00.01.2527924E-71.7769564E-71.7769564E-71.00.01.5252737E-62.1634426E-62.1634426E-61.00.01.5252632E-52.197062E-52.197062E-51.00.0

Pine Mtn

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.894797E-67.2254716E-61.72254E-52.38398271.0E-52.9548795E-53.0965955E-54.0965646E-51.32292531.0E-53.596972E-43.7694827E-44.169332E-41.10607544.0E-50.00359115540.00376338650.00382316071.01588316.0E-5
6.16.894797E-67.2254716E-61.72254E-52.38398271.0E-52.9548795E-53.0965955E-54.0965646E-51.32292531.0E-53.596972E-43.7694827E-44.169332E-41.10607544.0E-50.00359115540.00376338650.00382316071.01588316.0E-5
6.26.894797E-67.2254716E-61.72254E-52.38398271.0E-52.9548795E-53.0965955E-54.0965646E-51.32292531.0E-53.596972E-43.7694827E-44.169332E-41.10607544.0E-50.00359115540.00376338650.00382316071.01588316.0E-5
6.36.894797E-67.2254716E-61.72254E-52.38398271.0E-52.9548795E-53.0965955E-54.0965646E-51.32292531.0E-53.596972E-43.7694827E-44.169332E-41.10607544.0E-50.00359115540.00376338650.00382316071.01588316.0E-5
6.46.894797E-67.2254716E-61.72254E-52.38398271.0E-52.9548795E-53.0965955E-54.0965646E-51.32292531.0E-53.596972E-43.7694827E-44.169332E-41.10607544.0E-50.00359115540.00376338650.00382316071.01588316.0E-5
6.56.894797E-67.2254716E-61.72254E-52.38398271.0E-52.9548795E-53.0965955E-54.0965646E-51.32292531.0E-53.596972E-43.7694827E-44.169332E-41.10607544.0E-50.00359115540.00376338650.00382316071.01588316.0E-5
6.66.894797E-67.2254716E-61.72254E-52.38398271.0E-52.9548795E-53.0965955E-54.0965646E-51.32292531.0E-53.596972E-43.7694827E-44.169332E-41.10607544.0E-50.00359115540.00376338650.00382316071.01588316.0E-5
6.76.0867933E-66.397124E-61.639706E-52.56319261.0E-52.6085996E-52.7415968E-53.7415695E-51.3647411.0E-53.1755073E-43.337405E-43.7372715E-41.11981364.0E-50.00317097340.00333261190.00338244531.01495335.0E-5
6.85.6530425E-65.950606E-61.5950547E-52.68049121.0E-52.42271E-52.5502359E-53.5502104E-51.39211061.0E-52.94925E-43.1044905E-43.4043973E-41.09660423.0E-50.0029453390.00310035820.00314023421.01286174.0E-5
6.94.6015225E-64.8638444E-64.8638444E-61.00.01.9720663E-52.084489E-52.084489E-51.00.02.4007261E-42.5375842E-42.7375337E-41.07879512.0E-50.00239813420.0025348310.00256475481.0118053.0E-5
7.04.4875965E-64.7474837E-64.7474837E-61.00.01.9232413E-52.0346208E-52.0346208E-51.00.02.3412947E-42.4768838E-42.676834E-41.08072662.0E-50.00233882950.00247426680.00250419251.01209493.0E-5
7.13.203907E-63.42942E-63.42942E-61.00.01.3730958E-51.4697435E-51.4697435E-51.00.01.6716159E-41.7892725E-41.7892725E-41.00.00.00167035890.0017878980.00179788021.00558321.0E-5
7.22.2060601E-62.3784874E-62.3784874E-61.00.09.4545085E-61.019348E-51.019348E-51.00.01.15102564E-41.2409901E-41.2409901E-41.00.00.00115042960.00124034190.00125032951.00805231.0E-5
7.31.3765207E-61.5216535E-61.5216535E-61.00.05.899361E-66.5213567E-66.5213567E-61.00.07.182235E-57.939472E-57.939472E-51.00.07.1799144E-47.9367263E-47.9367263E-41.00.0
7.41.1245983E-61.2587126E-61.2587126E-61.00.04.819698E-65.394472E-65.394472E-61.00.05.8678244E-56.56758E-56.56758E-51.00.05.866275E-46.565722E-46.565722E-41.00.0
7.58.031682E-79.276999E-79.276999E-71.00.03.4421448E-63.975851E-63.975851E-61.00.04.1907308E-54.840498E-54.840498E-51.00.04.1899405E-44.8395112E-44.8395112E-41.00.0
7.64.8953444E-76.0030544E-76.0030544E-71.00.02.098003E-62.5727354E-62.5727354E-61.00.02.5542888E-53.1322652E-53.1322652E-51.00.02.5539953E-43.1318725E-43.1318725E-41.00.0
7.76.634529E-86.788826E-86.788826E-81.00.02.843369E-72.9094966E-72.9094966E-71.00.03.4617963E-63.5423066E-63.5423066E-61.00.03.4617424E-53.542255E-53.542255E-51.00.0
7.89.235578E-99.488566E-99.488566E-91.00.03.9581046E-84.0665284E-84.0665284E-81.00.04.818991E-74.950997E-74.950997E-71.00.04.8189804E-64.950988E-64.950988E-61.00.0

Elmore Ranch

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.102099E-58.953848E-51.0953669E-41.22334772.0E-53.9003167E-43.836898E-44.2367444E-41.10421094.0E-50.00473830.0046621320.0047118991.01067475.0E-50.0463853480.045837870.0458951221.0012496.0E-5
6.13.8306698E-54.14921E-56.149127E-51.48199942.0E-51.6416123E-41.7781362E-42.178065E-41.22491474.0E-50.00199683060.00216321860.0022031321.0184514.0E-50.0197898280.0215950070.0216341431.00181234.0E-5
6.23.8306698E-54.14921E-56.149127E-51.48199942.0E-51.6416123E-41.7781362E-42.178065E-41.22491474.0E-50.00199683060.00216321860.0022031321.0184514.0E-50.0197898280.0215950070.0216341431.00181234.0E-5
6.33.3197924E-53.6550366E-55.6549638E-51.54717022.0E-51.4226905E-41.56639E-41.866343E-41.19149323.0E-50.00173074950.00190597710.001935921.015713.0E-50.0171733180.0190573860.0190868141.00154423.0E-5
6.42.5148964E-52.7420736E-52.7420736E-51.00.01.0777682E-41.17515796E-41.17515796E-41.00.00.00131139290.00143046370.00143046371.00.00.013036810.0143653380.0143653381.00.0
6.52.5148964E-52.7420736E-52.7420736E-51.00.01.0777682E-41.17515796E-41.17515796E-41.00.00.00131139290.00143046370.00143046371.00.00.013036810.0143653380.0143653381.00.0

San Juan

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.682808E-68.74917E-61.8749082E-52.14295551.0E-53.72115E-53.749593E-55.749518E-51.53337122.0E-54.5295584E-44.5642213E-44.8640845E-41.06569863.0E-50.0045203370.0045553890.004625071.01529657.0E-5
6.18.682808E-68.74917E-61.8749082E-52.14295551.0E-53.72115E-53.749593E-55.749518E-51.53337122.0E-54.5295584E-44.5642213E-44.8640845E-41.06569863.0E-50.0045203370.0045553890.004625071.01529657.0E-5
6.28.682808E-68.74917E-61.8749082E-52.14295551.0E-53.72115E-53.749593E-55.749518E-51.53337122.0E-54.5295584E-44.5642213E-44.8640845E-41.06569863.0E-50.0045203370.0045553890.004625071.01529657.0E-5
6.36.3054235E-66.282591E-61.6282529E-52.591691.0E-52.7022963E-52.692512E-53.6924852E-51.37139031.0E-53.2895492E-43.2776545E-43.3776215E-41.03049961.0E-50.0032846840.00327302050.00331288971.01218124.0E-5
6.46.1490473E-66.1144706E-61.6114409E-52.63545471.0E-52.6352795E-52.6204618E-53.6204357E-51.38160221.0E-53.2079802E-43.189959E-43.289927E-41.03133831.0E-50.00320335340.00318557680.00322544921.01251664.0E-5
6.55.204848E-65.137238E-61.5137187E-52.94656131.0E-52.23063E-52.2016555E-53.2016334E-51.45419371.0E-52.7154534E-42.6801953E-42.7801684E-41.03730071.0E-50.00271213780.00267711720.0027070371.01117613.0E-5
6.64.5179986E-64.415036E-61.4414992E-53.26497721.0E-51.9362706E-51.892145E-52.8921262E-51.52849071.0E-52.3571544E-42.303451E-42.403428E-41.04340311.0E-50.00235465590.00230120080.00232115481.00867122.0E-5
6.73.9442616E-63.8198336E-61.3819796E-53.61790511.0E-51.6903869E-51.6370615E-52.6370451E-51.61084061.0E-52.0578515E-41.9929469E-42.092927E-41.0501671.0E-50.0020559470.0019912850.00201124511.01002372.0E-5
6.83.4536245E-63.3163408E-61.3316308E-54.0153621.0E-51.4801163E-51.4212815E-52.4212673E-51.70358041.0E-51.8018926E-41.7302789E-41.8302616E-41.05778421.0E-50.00180043220.0017290510.00174901631.01154712.0E-5
6.93.059865E-62.9120363E-61.2912007E-54.4340131.0E-51.3113641E-51.2480099E-52.2479975E-51.80126571.0E-51.596469E-41.5193518E-41.6193367E-41.06580761.0E-50.00159532240.00151842810.00153839771.01315152.0E-5
7.02.6504351E-62.492005E-62.492005E-61.00.01.1358958E-51.0679981E-51.0679981E-51.00.01.3828653E-41.3002155E-41.3002155E-41.00.00.00138200520.0012995670.00130955411.00768481.0E-5
7.12.2039317E-62.0338366E-62.0338366E-61.00.09.445387E-68.716416E-68.716416E-61.00.01.1499152E-41.0611773E-41.0611773E-41.00.00.00114932030.00106078110.00107077041.0094171.0E-5
7.21.0786707E-68.770239E-78.770239E-71.00.04.622866E-63.7586685E-63.7586685E-61.00.05.628194E-54.576084E-54.576084E-51.00.05.6267687E-44.5757365E-44.5757365E-41.00.0
7.36.846433E-74.868812E-74.868812E-71.00.02.9341822E-62.086632E-62.086632E-61.00.03.5723086E-52.5404452E-52.5404452E-51.00.03.571734E-42.5405022E-42.5405022E-41.00.0
7.45.23043E-73.2627884E-73.2627884E-71.00.02.2416111E-61.3983371E-61.3983371E-61.00.02.7291273E-51.7024622E-51.7024622E-51.00.02.7287923E-41.7026608E-41.7026608E-41.00.0
7.54.648444E-72.723464E-72.723464E-71.00.01.9921886E-61.1671983E-61.1671983E-61.00.02.4254627E-51.4210547E-51.4210547E-51.00.02.425198E-41.4212691E-41.4212691E-41.00.0
7.63.9906567E-72.2083036E-72.2083036E-71.00.01.7102802E-69.4641547E-79.4641547E-71.00.02.0822463E-51.1522548E-51.1522548E-51.00.02.0820512E-41.15244526E-41.15244526E-41.00.0
7.71.8784601E-75.366277E-85.366277E-81.00.08.0505407E-72.2998329E-72.2998329E-71.00.09.80149E-62.800043E-62.800043E-61.00.09.801057E-52.8008939E-52.8008939E-51.00.0
7.81.00154914E-71.2412917E-81.2412917E-81.00.04.2923529E-75.3198217E-85.3198217E-81.00.05.225927E-66.476881E-76.476881E-71.00.05.225804E-56.4827886E-66.4827886E-61.00.0
7.96.171429E-84.2946513E-94.2946513E-91.00.02.6448978E-71.8405647E-81.8405647E-81.00.03.2201583E-62.2408874E-72.2408874E-71.00.03.2201115E-52.2462114E-62.2462114E-61.00.0
8.01.3974572E-83.3737857E-103.3737857E-101.00.05.989102E-81.4459075E-91.4459075E-91.00.07.2917294E-71.760392E-81.760392E-81.00.07.2917055E-61.8038004E-71.8038004E-71.00.0
8.11.8403477E-91.1291601E-101.1291601E-101.00.07.887204E-94.839261E-104.839261E-101.00.09.602671E-85.8917977E-95.8917977E-91.00.09.602667E-76.0206084E-86.0206084E-81.00.0

San Jacinto (Borrego)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.543992E-52.7925962E-53.792568E-51.35807971.0E-51.5187653E-41.1967727E-41.4967368E-41.25064423.0E-50.00184752840.00145610920.00152600721.04800337.0E-50.0183224360.014868150.014937111.00463817.0E-5
6.13.542281E-52.7925962E-53.792568E-51.35807971.0E-51.5180321E-41.1967727E-41.4967368E-41.25064423.0E-50.00184663720.00145610920.00152600721.04800337.0E-50.0183136720.014868150.014937111.00463817.0E-5
6.23.4688688E-52.7925962E-53.792568E-51.35807971.0E-51.4865733E-41.1967727E-41.4967368E-41.25064423.0E-50.00180840050.00145610910.00152600721.04800337.0E-50.0179375480.014868150.0149371091.00463817.0E-5
6.33.2087122E-52.7771312E-53.7771035E-51.36007381.0E-51.3750899E-41.1901455E-41.4901097E-41.252043.0E-50.00167288620.00144805120.00151794991.04827087.0E-50.0166034880.0147893080.0148582731.00466317.0E-5
6.43.1828724E-52.773829E-53.7738013E-51.36050251.0E-51.364017E-41.1887303E-41.4886947E-41.25234013.0E-50.00165942540.00144633060.00151622941.04832847.0E-50.0164708850.0147725020.0148414671.00466867.0E-5
6.53.1563577E-52.7477974E-53.7477697E-51.36391781.0E-51.3526545E-41.17757496E-41.4775396E-41.25473083.0E-50.00164561280.00143276680.00150266651.04878657.0E-50.01633480.014639910.0147088851.00471157.0E-5
6.63.1467625E-52.7322194E-53.7321923E-51.36599281.0E-51.3485427E-41.17089934E-41.4708642E-41.25618333.0E-50.00164061420.00142464980.00149455011.04906497.0E-50.0162855480.0145602280.01462920851.00473767.0E-5
6.73.1223695E-52.6940217E-53.693995E-51.37118221.0E-51.3380898E-41.1545303E-41.4544957E-41.25981593.0E-50.00162790680.00140474640.00147464811.0497617.0E-50.016160330.014364510.0144335041.00480327.0E-5
6.83.1015585E-52.6761221E-53.6760954E-51.3736651.0E-51.3291716E-41.1468597E-41.4468253E-41.26155393.0E-50.0016170650.00139541950.00146532181.05009417.0E-50.0160534870.0142717720.0143407721.00483487.0E-5
6.92.6641965E-52.2183434E-53.2183212E-51.45077681.0E-51.1417485E-49.506842E-51.2506556E-41.31553223.0E-50.00138919240.00115684730.00122676641.06043927.0E-50.01380540150.0118821910.0119513591.00582127.0E-5
7.02.3854353E-52.047825E-53.0478046E-51.4883131.0E-51.02228936E-48.776099E-51.1775836E-41.34180753.0E-50.00124392660.00106796890.00112790491.05612156.0E-50.0123698660.01098262050.0110419621.00540326.0E-5
7.12.3672901E-52.0314741E-53.0314537E-51.49224341.0E-51.0145135E-48.706028E-51.1705767E-41.34455883.0E-50.00123447020.00105944610.00111938261.05657346.0E-50.01227635050.0108978580.0109572051.00544576.0E-5
7.22.2717244E-51.9542116E-52.9541921E-51.51170531.0E-59.735599E-58.3749255E-51.1374674E-41.35818223.0E-50.00118466460.00101917250.00107911141.05881136.0E-50.011783690.0104953220.0105546921.00565686.0E-5
7.32.1016205E-51.8383771E-52.8383587E-51.5439481.0E-59.006634E-57.878522E-51.0878286E-41.38075213.0E-50.0010960069.5879E-40.00101873261.06251886.0E-50.0109061630.0098909010.0099503071.00600626.0E-5
7.42.0683625E-51.8186302E-52.818612E-51.54985441.0E-58.86411E-57.7938974E-51.07936634E-41.38488653.0E-50.0010786719.48496E-40.00100843911.06319816.0E-50.0107345010.00978762750.009847041.00607016.0E-5
7.51.9993966E-51.7781347E-52.7781169E-51.56237711.0E-58.568561E-57.6203556E-51.06201274E-41.39365243.0E-50.0010427239.2738547E-49.873298E-41.0646386.0E-50.0103784380.0095745480.0096339741.00620666.0E-5
7.61.788966E-51.6434618E-52.6434454E-51.60846171.0E-57.666772E-57.043219E-51.0043007E-41.42591173.0E-59.3302975E-48.5717626E-49.171248E-41.06993726.0E-50.009291220.0088664150.0089258831.00670716.0E-5
7.71.5125781E-51.4236738E-52.4236595E-51.70239811.0E-56.4823165E-56.101317E-59.101134E-51.49166723.0E-57.889362E-47.4258295E-48.025384E-41.0807396.0E-50.0078614120.0077141610.00777369831.00771786.0E-5
7.81.250089E-51.262994E-52.2629814E-51.79175941.0E-55.3574146E-55.4127195E-58.4125575E-51.55422013.0E-56.5207E-46.588E-47.187605E-41.09101476.0E-50.0065015990.0068677590.0069273471.00867656.0E-5
7.99.561E-69.754065E-61.9753967E-52.02520371.0E-54.0975072E-54.180247E-57.1801216E-51.7176313.0E-54.987573E-45.0882675E-45.6879624E-41.11785836.0E-50.00497639370.00535236070.00541203931.011156.0E-5
8.08.01699E-68.292994E-61.829291E-52.20582721.0E-53.4358076E-53.554092E-56.5539854E-51.84406753.0E-54.1822926E-44.3262533E-44.925994E-41.13862816.0E-50.00417443040.00457331860.00463304441.01305966.0E-5
8.16.541947E-66.461784E-61.646172E-52.54755021.0E-52.8036617E-52.7693068E-55.769224E-52.08327363.0E-53.4129233E-43.3711144E-43.870946E-41.14826895.0E-50.00340768650.00358057560.00363039641.01391425.0E-5
8.21.7968189E-67.9684827E-77.9684827E-71.00.07.70063E-63.4150596E-63.4150596E-61.00.09.3751136E-54.157758E-55.1577164E-51.24050431.0E-59.371159E-44.7107413E-44.8106944E-41.02121811.0E-5
8.31.5167889E-74.8951257E-84.8951257E-81.00.06.500522E-72.0979108E-72.0979108E-71.00.07.9143565E-62.5542038E-62.5542038E-61.00.07.914075E-52.9679897E-52.9679897E-51.00.0

Hosgri (Extension)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1369135E-51.2083073E-52.2082952E-51.8275941.0E-54.8723956E-55.17837E-56.178318E-51.19310091.0E-55.9305265E-46.303069E-46.60288E-41.04756583.0E-50.0059147250.006287440.0063470631.00948296.0E-5
6.16.934979E-67.324556E-61.7324483E-52.36526041.0E-52.9721E-53.13906E-54.1390285E-51.31855671.0E-53.617931E-43.821177E-44.0211005E-41.05231992.0E-50.00361204640.0038150190.00385486661.01044494.0E-5
6.26.934979E-67.324556E-61.7324483E-52.36526041.0E-52.9721E-53.13906E-54.1390285E-51.31855671.0E-53.617931E-43.821177E-44.0211005E-41.05231992.0E-50.00361204640.0038150190.00385486661.01044494.0E-5
6.34.5484676E-64.769331E-61.4769284E-53.096721.0E-51.9493287E-52.0439833E-53.0439629E-51.48923081.0E-52.3730492E-42.4882698E-42.6882198E-41.08035722.0E-50.00237051680.00248552630.0025254271.01605324.0E-5
6.44.218095E-64.416863E-61.4416819E-53.26404051.0E-51.8077424E-51.8929275E-52.8929086E-51.52827231.0E-52.2007042E-42.3043988E-42.504353E-41.08677052.0E-50.0021985260.0023020430.00234195081.01733594.0E-5
6.53.717374E-63.883879E-61.38838395E-53.57473561.0E-51.5931506E-51.664509E-52.6644922E-51.60076791.0E-51.9394881E-42.026353E-42.1263327E-41.04933981.0E-50.00193779620.00202452410.00205446341.01478833.0E-5
6.63.4605036E-63.6083072E-61.3608271E-53.77137281.0E-51.4830645E-51.5464082E-52.5463927E-51.64664971.0E-51.8054814E-41.8825909E-41.982572E-41.05310831.0E-50.00180401520.00188101070.0019009731.01061262.0E-5
6.73.123439E-63.2465698E-61.32465375E-54.0801641.0E-51.33860985E-51.39137965E-52.3913657E-51.71870111.0E-51.6296357E-41.6938741E-41.7938572E-41.05902621.0E-50.0016284410.0016925940.00170257711.00589811.0E-5
6.82.8290783E-62.9305413E-61.2930512E-54.41232871.0E-51.2124565E-51.2559403E-52.2559278E-51.79620611.0E-51.4760658E-41.5290009E-41.6289856E-41.06539211.0E-50.00147508570.00152795760.00153794231.00653471.0E-5
6.92.454112E-62.5283207E-61.2528295E-54.95518451.0E-51.0517581E-51.0835615E-52.0835507E-51.92287251.0E-51.2804402E-41.3191569E-41.4191437E-41.0757961.0E-50.00127970280.00131837990.00132836671.0075751.0E-5
7.02.1008145E-62.1498715E-61.214985E-55.6514311.0E-59.003459E-69.2137025E-61.921361E-52.085331.0E-51.096116E-41.1217109E-41.2216996E-41.08913961.0E-50.00109557550.00112114850.00113113731.00890951.0E-5
7.11.744384E-61.7686364E-61.7686364E-61.00.07.47591E-67.579848E-67.579848E-61.00.09.1015405E-59.228076E-59.228076E-51.00.09.097813E-49.224261E-49.224261E-41.00.0
7.21.5456587E-61.5562894E-61.5562894E-61.00.06.6242346E-66.6697944E-66.6697944E-61.00.08.064707E-58.120173E-58.120173E-51.00.08.0617814E-48.117219E-48.117219E-41.00.0
7.31.3775123E-61.3766092E-61.3766092E-61.00.05.9036106E-65.8997407E-65.8997407E-61.00.07.187409E-57.182699E-57.182699E-51.00.07.185085E-47.180387E-47.180387E-41.00.0
7.41.214491E-61.2023471E-61.2023471E-61.00.05.2049513E-65.152906E-65.152906E-61.00.06.336844E-56.2734835E-56.2734835E-51.00.06.335037E-46.2717206E-46.2717206E-41.00.0
7.51.0101123E-69.842256E-79.842256E-71.00.04.3290456E-64.218103E-64.218103E-61.00.05.2704854E-55.13542E-55.13542E-51.00.05.2692357E-45.1342393E-45.1342393E-41.00.0
7.68.1558215E-77.765977E-77.765977E-71.00.03.4953473E-63.3282718E-63.3282718E-61.00.04.255502E-54.0520958E-54.0520958E-51.00.04.2546875E-44.0513615E-44.0513615E-41.00.0
7.74.757816E-74.1308996E-74.1308996E-71.00.02.0390623E-61.7703843E-61.7703843E-61.00.02.4825302E-52.1554217E-52.1554217E-51.00.02.482253E-42.1552139E-42.1552139E-41.00.0
7.82.782787E-72.004783E-72.004783E-71.00.01.1926223E-68.591924E-78.591924E-71.00.01.452008E-51.0460618E-51.0460618E-51.00.01.4519131E-41.04601284E-41.04601284E-41.00.0
7.91.6948086E-79.243938E-89.243938E-81.00.07.2634634E-73.961687E-73.961687E-71.00.08.843231E-64.8233433E-64.8233433E-61.00.08.842879E-54.8232392E-54.8232392E-51.00.0
8.01.0225492E-74.473497E-84.473497E-81.00.04.382353E-71.917213E-71.917213E-71.00.05.335502E-62.3342043E-62.3342043E-61.00.05.335374E-52.33418E-52.33418E-51.00.0
8.11.43711345E-85.78716E-95.78716E-91.00.06.1590576E-82.4802116E-82.4802116E-81.00.07.4986497E-73.019657E-73.019657E-71.00.07.4986247E-63.0196536E-63.0196536E-61.00.0

Kern Canyon (North Kern) 2011

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.6264497E-66.75733E-64.675706E-56.91945744.0E-52.8398761E-52.895971E-56.895855E-52.38118934.0E-53.4570007E-43.5253543E-44.025178E-41.14177975.0E-50.00345162770.00352055020.0035903041.01981337.0E-5
6.16.6264497E-66.75733E-64.675706E-56.91945744.0E-52.8398761E-52.895971E-56.895855E-52.38118934.0E-53.4570007E-43.5253543E-44.025178E-41.14177975.0E-50.00345162770.00352055020.0035903041.01981337.0E-5
6.26.6264497E-66.75733E-64.675706E-56.91945744.0E-52.8398761E-52.895971E-56.895855E-52.38118934.0E-53.4570007E-43.5253543E-44.025178E-41.14177975.0E-50.00345162770.00352055020.0035903041.01981337.0E-5
6.36.6264497E-66.75733E-64.675706E-56.91945744.0E-52.8398761E-52.895971E-56.895855E-52.38118934.0E-53.4570007E-43.5253543E-44.025178E-41.14177975.0E-50.00345162770.00352055020.0035903041.01981337.0E-5
6.46.6264497E-66.75733E-64.675706E-56.91945744.0E-52.8398761E-52.895971E-56.895855E-52.38118934.0E-53.4570007E-43.5253543E-44.025178E-41.14177975.0E-50.00345162770.00352055020.0035903041.01981337.0E-5
6.53.2162225E-63.2570915E-63.3256994E-510.2106423.0E-51.3783738E-51.3958894E-54.3958476E-53.14913753.0E-51.6780409E-41.6993708E-41.9993198E-41.17650593.0E-50.00167677440.0016981510.00174806621.02939385.0E-5
6.63.2162225E-63.2570915E-63.3256994E-510.2106423.0E-51.3783738E-51.3958894E-54.3958476E-53.14913753.0E-51.6780409E-41.6993708E-41.9993198E-41.17650593.0E-50.00167677440.0016981510.00174806621.02939385.0E-5
6.72.1908265E-62.2071222E-62.2207078E-510.0615532.0E-59.389223E-69.459062E-62.9458874E-53.11435462.0E-51.1430779E-41.1515819E-41.3515589E-41.17365422.0E-50.00114249010.00115100460.00118097011.02603423.0E-5
6.81.7303895E-61.736553E-61.1736535E-56.75852441.0E-57.415934E-67.442349E-61.7442275E-52.34365181.0E-59.028525E-59.060693E-51.0060603E-41.11035681.0E-59.024858E-49.0570963E-49.1570057E-41.0110311.0E-5
6.91.3700314E-61.3688623E-61.1368848E-58.3053261.0E-55.87155E-65.86654E-61.586648E-52.70457221.0E-57.148377E-57.142283E-58.142211E-51.14000131.0E-57.146078E-47.140033E-47.2399614E-41.01399551.0E-5
7.01.1467797E-61.1413805E-61.1141369E-59.761311.0E-54.9147607E-64.8916218E-61.4891573E-53.04430171.0E-55.983557E-55.95539E-56.95533E-51.16790511.0E-55.981946E-45.9538253E-46.053766E-41.0167861.0E-5
7.19.3952065E-79.3026915E-71.093026E-511.7495671.0E-54.026511E-63.986862E-61.3986822E-53.50822851.0E-54.9021666E-54.853898E-55.853849E-51.206011.0E-54.901085E-44.8528553E-44.9528066E-41.02059641.0E-5
7.26.858055E-76.7193014E-71.06719235E-515.8824891.0E-52.939163E-62.8796974E-61.2879668E-54.4725771.0E-53.5783723E-53.5059762E-54.5059413E-51.28521731.0E-53.5777962E-43.5054318E-43.6053968E-41.02851711.0E-5
7.35.1101983E-74.939301E-71.0493925E-521.2457711.0E-52.1900833E-62.1168414E-61.21168205E-55.72400951.0E-52.6663936E-52.5772246E-53.5771987E-51.38800431.0E-52.6660739E-42.5769303E-42.6769046E-41.03879581.0E-5
7.43.4999414E-73.2995916E-73.2995916E-71.00.01.499974E-61.4141099E-61.4141099E-61.00.01.8262032E-51.7216655E-51.7216655E-51.00.01.826053E-41.7215345E-41.7215345E-41.00.0
7.51.7021522E-71.4750053E-71.4750053E-71.00.07.2949354E-76.32145E-76.32145E-71.00.08.881548E-67.696339E-67.696339E-61.00.08.8811925E-57.696081E-57.696081E-51.00.0
7.62.572245E-81.735264E-81.735264E-81.00.01.10239064E-77.436845E-87.436845E-81.00.01.3421597E-69.0543557E-79.0543557E-71.00.01.3421517E-59.054324E-69.054324E-61.00.0

Channel Islands Thrust

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.2156251E-52.4092022E-52.4092022E-51.00.09.495191E-51.03248036E-41.03248036E-41.00.00.00115542640.00125642660.00128638881.02384723.0E-50.0114943730.01250382050.012563071.00473866.0E-5
6.12.2156251E-52.4092022E-52.4092022E-51.00.09.495191E-51.03248036E-41.03248036E-41.00.00.00115542640.00125642660.00128638881.02384723.0E-50.0114943730.01250382050.012563071.00473866.0E-5
6.22.2156251E-52.4092022E-52.4092022E-51.00.09.495191E-51.03248036E-41.03248036E-41.00.00.00115542640.00125642660.00128638881.02384723.0E-50.0114943730.01250382050.012563071.00473866.0E-5
6.32.2156251E-52.4092022E-52.4092022E-51.00.09.495191E-51.03248036E-41.03248036E-41.00.00.00115542640.00125642660.00128638881.02384723.0E-50.0114943730.01250382050.012563071.00473866.0E-5
6.42.2156251E-52.4092022E-52.4092022E-51.00.09.495191E-51.03248036E-41.03248036E-41.00.00.00115542640.00125642660.00128638881.02384723.0E-50.0114943730.01250382050.012563071.00473866.0E-5
6.52.2156251E-52.4092022E-52.4092022E-51.00.09.495191E-51.03248036E-41.03248036E-41.00.00.00115542640.00125642660.00128638881.02384723.0E-50.0114943730.01250382050.012563071.00473866.0E-5
6.62.2156251E-52.4092022E-52.4092022E-51.00.09.495191E-51.03248036E-41.03248036E-41.00.00.00115542640.00125642660.00128638881.02384723.0E-50.0114943730.01250382050.012563071.00473866.0E-5
6.71.0601296E-51.1379544E-51.1379544E-51.00.04.5433335E-54.876859E-54.876859E-51.00.05.5301044E-45.936007E-46.0359476E-41.01683631.0E-50.0055163630.0059206530.0059405351.0033582.0E-5
6.81.0246747E-51.0996669E-51.0996669E-51.00.04.391389E-54.7127756E-54.7127756E-51.00.05.345204E-45.7363417E-45.836284E-41.01742271.0E-50.00533236560.0057220250.00574191051.00347532.0E-5
6.99.049551E-69.699645E-69.699645E-61.00.03.878322E-54.1569267E-54.1569267E-51.00.04.7208337E-45.059924E-45.1598734E-41.01975311.0E-50.00471081720.00504882030.00506871941.00394132.0E-5
7.08.6542195E-69.274603E-69.274603E-61.00.03.7088983E-53.9747716E-53.9747716E-51.00.04.5146482E-44.8382508E-44.9382023E-41.02065861.0E-50.0045054870.00482812940.00484803271.00412242.0E-5
7.18.391028E-68.992925E-68.992925E-61.00.03.5961057E-53.8540562E-53.8540562E-51.00.04.3773788E-44.6913436E-44.791297E-41.02130581.0E-50.0043687660.00468185030.0047017571.00425182.0E-5
7.25.965188E-66.3716957E-66.3716957E-61.00.02.556484E-52.7306984E-52.7306984E-51.00.03.1120746E-43.3241237E-43.3241237E-41.00.00.003107720.00331920940.00331920941.00.0
7.34.877518E-65.206007E-65.206007E-61.00.02.0903482E-52.231127E-52.231127E-51.00.02.5447016E-42.716063E-42.716063E-41.00.00.00254178980.00271278970.00271278971.00.0
7.43.8829853E-64.141863E-64.141863E-61.00.01.664126E-51.7750723E-51.7750723E-51.00.02.0258849E-42.1609403E-42.1609403E-41.00.00.0020240390.0021588810.0021588811.00.0
7.51.3489616E-61.4277905E-61.4277905E-61.00.05.7812517E-66.119088E-66.119088E-61.00.07.038446E-57.449739E-57.449739E-51.00.07.036218E-47.4472814E-47.4472814E-41.00.0
7.66.058192E-76.35378E-76.35378E-71.00.02.5963652E-62.7230458E-62.7230458E-61.00.03.161029E-53.3152595E-53.3152595E-51.00.03.1605794E-43.314781E-43.314781E-41.00.0
7.72.2170494E-72.2607924E-72.2607924E-71.00.09.5016367E-79.689107E-79.689107E-71.00.01.1568181E-51.17964355E-51.17964355E-51.00.01.1567579E-41.179592E-41.179592E-41.00.0
7.82.1613102E-81.5466837E-81.5466837E-81.00.09.262757E-86.628645E-86.628645E-81.00.01.1277401E-68.070372E-78.070372E-71.00.01.1277344E-58.07035E-68.07035E-61.00.0

San Andreas (Peninsula) 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.6200685E-52.5207937E-52.5207937E-51.00.03.6937918E-41.0802955E-41.1802847E-41.09255731.0E-50.00448792150.00131446790.00136440211.03798825.0E-50.0439836120.014772180.0148312921.00400176.0E-5
6.18.6200685E-52.5207937E-52.5207937E-51.00.03.6937918E-41.0802955E-41.1802847E-41.09255731.0E-50.00448792150.00131446790.00136440211.03798825.0E-50.0439836120.014772180.0148312921.00400176.0E-5
6.28.6200685E-52.5207937E-52.5207937E-51.00.03.6937918E-41.0802955E-41.1802847E-41.09255731.0E-50.00448792150.00131446790.00136440211.03798825.0E-50.0439836120.014772180.0148312921.00400176.0E-5
6.38.551163E-52.4899866E-52.4899866E-51.00.03.6642692E-41.06709354E-41.1670828E-41.09370261.0E-50.0044521250.00129841370.00134834881.03845865.0E-50.0436397940.014598920.0146580441.00404996.0E-5
6.48.551163E-52.4899866E-52.4899866E-51.00.03.6642692E-41.06709354E-41.1670828E-41.09370261.0E-50.0044521250.00129841370.00134834881.03845865.0E-50.0436397940.014598920.0146580441.00404996.0E-5
6.58.511146E-52.4721267E-52.4721267E-51.00.03.647124E-41.0594399E-41.1594293E-41.09437951.0E-50.0044313360.00128910640.0013390421.03873665.0E-50.043440070.0144989630.0145580941.00407836.0E-5
6.68.4985084E-52.4651948E-52.4651948E-51.00.03.6417096E-41.0564694E-41.1564588E-41.09464491.0E-50.00442477040.00128549420.00133542981.03884555.0E-50.0433769860.01446093150.0145200641.00408916.0E-5
6.78.462618E-52.4480485E-52.4480485E-51.00.03.6263323E-41.0491216E-41.14911105E-41.09530781.0E-50.0044061250.00127655860.00132649491.03911785.0E-50.0431978070.0143657270.0144248651.00411676.0E-5
6.88.42337E-52.4376272E-52.4376272E-51.00.03.6095164E-41.04465566E-41.14464514E-41.09571531.0E-50.0043857340.00127112770.00132106421.03928525.0E-50.0430018230.0143063630.01436550451.00413396.0E-5
6.98.365989E-52.4180892E-52.4180892E-51.00.03.5849313E-41.0362829E-41.13627255E-41.09648871.0E-50.0043559220.00126094580.00131088271.03960285.0E-50.042715230.0141989110.0142580591.00416566.0E-5
7.08.30936E-52.3942457E-52.3942457E-51.00.03.560668E-41.026065E-41.1260548E-41.09744971.0E-50.0043264990.00124851990.00129845741.03999755.0E-50.0424322970.0140699020.01412905751.00420446.0E-5
7.18.041264E-52.3628894E-52.3628894E-51.00.03.4458007E-41.0126277E-41.1126176E-41.0987431.0E-50.00418719460.00123217850.0012821171.04052855.0E-50.0410917250.0138929050.0139520721.00425886.0E-5
7.27.8427016E-52.3052688E-52.3052688E-51.00.03.3607247E-49.87935E-51.08792505E-41.10121121.0E-50.0040840080.00120214870.00125208861.04154225.0E-50.0400976350.0135767450.0136359311.00435946.0E-5
7.37.721087E-52.2837554E-52.2837554E-51.00.03.3086175E-49.787157E-51.0787059E-41.10216471.0E-50.0040208030.00119093650.00124087711.04193385.0E-50.039488270.0134604640.0135196561.00439756.0E-5
7.47.3536525E-52.095521E-52.095521E-51.00.03.1511846E-48.980496E-59.980406E-51.11134241.0E-50.00382981940.00109282820.00114277351.04570285.0E-50.0376448520.01241727450.0124765291.0047726.0E-5
7.56.806207E-51.876151E-51.876151E-51.00.02.9166197E-48.0404E-59.04032E-51.12436191.0E-50.00354520359.784801E-40.00102843121.05104975.0E-50.0348917660.0111704780.01122980751.00531136.0E-5
7.65.6731416E-51.4173155E-51.4173155E-51.00.02.43112E-46.074068E-57.0740076E-51.16462431.0E-50.00295587127.3926704E-47.8923005E-41.06758455.0E-50.029168620.008483320.008542811.00701276.0E-5
7.74.946994E-51.3242368E-51.3242368E-51.00.02.1199681E-45.675177E-56.675121E-51.1761961.0E-50.0025780066.907339E-47.4069935E-41.07233685.0E-50.025483030.0079057420.0079652681.00752946.0E-5
7.83.9718198E-51.2979126E-51.2979126E-51.00.01.7020974E-45.562364E-56.5623084E-51.17976961.0E-50.00207033386.7700754E-47.269737E-41.07380445.0E-50.0205115150.0077165470.00777608441.00771556.0E-5
7.92.4115114E-51.2183215E-51.2183215E-51.00.01.0334639E-45.2212738E-56.221222E-51.19151411.0E-50.0012575166.355048E-46.8547303E-41.07862765.0E-50.0125042380.00715784870.0072174191.00832246.0E-5
8.01.7756569E-51.1408184E-51.1408184E-51.00.07.6097356E-54.8891303E-55.8890815E-51.20452541.0E-59.260915E-45.9508916E-46.450594E-41.0839715.0E-50.0092224160.0066585350.00671813541.0089516.0E-5
8.11.3159258E-59.744603E-69.744603E-61.00.05.6395602E-54.1761916E-55.1761497E-51.23944261.0E-56.864001E-45.083328E-45.583074E-41.09831075.0E-50.00684283860.0056888650.0057385811.00873915.0E-5
8.28.635426E-65.465718E-65.465718E-61.00.03.700844E-52.3424296E-52.3424296E-51.00.04.5048463E-42.8515357E-43.15145E-41.10517643.0E-50.0044957250.00324397490.00327387751.00921793.0E-5
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

Cleghorn

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.9267165E-69.831764E-69.831764E-61.00.03.39712E-54.2135514E-54.2135514E-51.00.04.1352084E-45.1288976E-45.1288976E-41.00.00.0041275220.0051322140.00519190641.01163096.0E-5
6.17.9267165E-69.831764E-69.831764E-61.00.03.39712E-54.2135514E-54.2135514E-51.00.04.1352084E-45.1288976E-45.1288976E-41.00.00.0041275220.0051322140.00519190641.01163096.0E-5
6.27.9267165E-69.831764E-69.831764E-61.00.03.39712E-54.2135514E-54.2135514E-51.00.04.1352084E-45.1288976E-45.1288976E-41.00.00.0041275220.0051322140.00519190641.01163096.0E-5
6.37.9267165E-69.831764E-69.831764E-61.00.03.39712E-54.2135514E-54.2135514E-51.00.04.1352084E-45.1288976E-45.1288976E-41.00.00.0041275220.0051322140.00519190641.01163096.0E-5
6.44.3445207E-66.0916254E-66.0916254E-61.00.01.8619241E-52.6106709E-52.6106709E-51.00.02.2666567E-43.1780385E-43.1780385E-41.00.00.00226434620.00318772460.0032275971.01250824.0E-5
6.54.3445207E-66.0916254E-66.0916254E-61.00.01.8619241E-52.6106709E-52.6106709E-51.00.02.2666567E-43.1780385E-43.1780385E-41.00.00.00226434620.00318772460.0032275971.01250824.0E-5
6.64.040109E-65.774033E-65.774033E-61.00.01.7314638E-52.4745626E-52.4745626E-51.00.02.1078532E-43.0123728E-43.0123728E-41.00.00.0021058550.00302251430.00306239351.0131944.0E-5
6.73.3632055E-65.06753E-65.06753E-61.00.01.4413658E-52.1717806E-52.1717806E-51.00.01.7547216E-42.643825E-42.643825E-41.00.00.00175333660.00265484860.0026648221.00375661.0E-5
6.83.2902772E-64.9894375E-64.9894375E-61.00.01.4101111E-52.138313E-52.138313E-51.00.01.716675E-42.6030882E-42.6030882E-41.00.00.00171534950.00261420760.00262418131.00381531.0E-5
6.93.031547E-64.6911987E-64.6911987E-61.00.01.299228E-52.0104984E-52.0104984E-51.00.01.5816953E-42.4475096E-42.4475096E-41.00.00.001580570.00245898050.00245898051.00.0
7.02.8259715E-64.3707637E-64.3707637E-61.00.01.211125E-51.8731711E-51.8731711E-51.00.01.4744449E-42.2803496E-42.2803496E-41.00.00.0014734670.00229217480.00229217481.00.0
7.12.5962665E-64.065983E-64.065983E-61.00.01.1126809E-51.7425526E-51.7425526E-51.00.01.3546048E-42.1213535E-42.1213535E-41.00.00.00135377930.00213349590.00213349591.00.0
7.22.3247253E-63.6765352E-63.6765352E-61.00.09.96307E-61.5756486E-51.5756486E-51.00.01.21293626E-41.9181852E-41.9181852E-41.00.00.00121227440.00193071660.00193071661.00.0
7.32.056928E-63.235253E-63.235253E-61.00.08.815376E-61.3865297E-51.3865297E-51.00.01.0732192E-41.6879707E-41.6879707E-41.00.00.0010727010.00170094230.00170094231.00.0
7.41.8055999E-62.8256538E-62.8256538E-61.00.07.738263E-61.210989E-51.210989E-51.00.09.4209274E-51.4742807E-41.4742807E-41.00.09.4169343E-40.00148767050.00148767051.00.0
7.51.4683443E-62.4248943E-62.4248943E-61.00.06.292889E-61.0392363E-51.0392363E-51.00.07.661323E-51.2651978E-41.2651978E-41.00.07.658682E-40.00127888120.00127888121.00.0
7.69.804088E-71.9004091E-61.9004091E-61.00.04.201745E-68.144585E-68.144585E-61.00.05.1155046E-59.915586E-59.915586E-51.00.05.114327E-40.00100555830.00100555831.00.0
7.77.3434086E-71.6285549E-61.6285549E-61.00.03.1471714E-66.9795024E-66.9795024E-61.00.03.831614E-58.4972155E-58.4972155E-51.00.03.8309532E-48.6387293E-48.6387293E-41.00.0
7.86.434184E-71.5221389E-61.5221389E-61.00.02.7575045E-66.523436E-66.523436E-61.00.03.35721E-57.9419966E-57.9419966E-51.00.03.3567028E-48.080443E-48.080443E-41.00.0
7.93.4943926E-77.5750586E-77.5750586E-71.00.01.497596E-63.2464498E-63.2464498E-61.00.01.8233079E-53.9524817E-53.9524817E-51.00.01.8231584E-44.0401975E-44.0401975E-41.00.0
8.06.717524E-85.837515E-85.837515E-81.00.02.8789387E-72.501792E-72.501792E-71.00.03.505102E-63.0459275E-63.0459275E-61.00.03.5050467E-53.2751934E-53.2751934E-51.00.0
8.13.1984914E-81.2949885E-81.2949885E-81.00.01.370782E-75.549951E-85.549951E-81.00.01.6689258E-66.757063E-76.757063E-71.00.01.6689133E-57.741151E-67.741151E-61.00.0
8.21.21887656E-83.6471115E-93.6471115E-91.00.05.2237567E-81.563048E-81.563048E-81.00.06.359922E-71.9030107E-71.9030107E-71.00.06.3599036E-62.245849E-62.245849E-61.00.0

Bullion Mountains

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6420427E-51.4692009E-52.4691863E-51.68063211.0E-57.037136E-56.296445E-57.296382E-51.15880981.0E-58.5643446E-47.6636096E-47.9633796E-41.0391163.0E-50.0085314130.00764097460.00770051641.00779246.0E-5
6.11.6420427E-51.4692009E-52.4691863E-51.68063211.0E-57.037136E-56.296445E-57.296382E-51.15880981.0E-58.5643446E-47.6636096E-47.9633796E-41.0391163.0E-50.0085314130.00764097460.00770051641.00779246.0E-5
6.21.6420427E-51.4692009E-52.4691863E-51.68063211.0E-57.037136E-56.296445E-57.296382E-51.15880981.0E-58.5643446E-47.6636096E-47.9633796E-41.0391163.0E-50.0085314130.00764097460.00770051641.00779246.0E-5
6.31.2046778E-59.862255E-69.862255E-61.00.05.1628023E-54.2266256E-54.2266256E-51.00.06.283899E-45.144933E-45.3448306E-41.03885322.0E-50.00626615950.00513530340.00516514951.00581193.0E-5
6.41.2046778E-59.862255E-69.862255E-61.00.05.1628023E-54.2266256E-54.2266256E-51.00.06.283899E-45.144933E-45.3448306E-41.03885322.0E-50.00626615950.00513530340.00516514951.00581193.0E-5
6.51.0244343E-57.879378E-67.879378E-61.00.04.390359E-53.3768443E-53.3768443E-51.00.05.343951E-44.1107394E-44.310657E-41.04863312.0E-50.0053311180.00410516650.00413504341.00727783.0E-5
6.69.605408E-67.1774166E-67.1774166E-61.00.04.1165385E-53.0760108E-53.0760108E-51.00.05.010733E-43.7446033E-43.9445283E-41.05339012.0E-50.004999450.00374029060.00377017841.00799073.0E-5
6.78.60418E-66.123926E-66.123926E-61.00.03.687454E-52.6245243E-52.6245243E-51.00.04.48855E-43.195085E-43.195085E-41.00.00.0044794950.00319240310.0032023711.00312241.0E-5
6.85.187994E-62.563117E-62.563117E-61.00.02.223407E-51.0984763E-51.0984763E-51.00.02.7066618E-41.3373529E-41.3373529E-41.00.00.00270336750.00133693960.00134692621.00746981.0E-5
6.94.5302368E-62.3442778E-62.3442778E-61.00.01.9415156E-51.0046889E-51.0046889E-51.00.02.3635388E-41.2231797E-41.2231797E-41.00.00.00236102660.00122289560.00123288331.00816731.0E-5
7.03.431668E-61.6882177E-61.6882177E-61.00.01.4707065E-57.2352186E-67.2352186E-61.00.01.7904381E-48.808879E-58.808879E-51.00.00.00178899628.8088785E-48.8088785E-41.00.0

Santa Ynez River

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6396456E-51.7209444E-54.7208927E-52.74319893.0E-57.026863E-57.3752875E-51.03750666E-41.40673383.0E-58.551848E-48.976069E-49.37571E-41.04452294.0E-50.00851901250.0089433630.0089830051.00443264.0E-5
6.11.6396456E-51.7209444E-54.7208927E-52.74319893.0E-57.026863E-57.3752875E-51.03750666E-41.40673383.0E-58.551848E-48.976069E-49.37571E-41.04452294.0E-50.00851901250.0089433630.0089830051.00443264.0E-5
6.21.6396456E-51.7209444E-54.7208927E-52.74319893.0E-57.026863E-57.3752875E-51.03750666E-41.40673383.0E-58.551848E-48.976069E-49.37571E-41.04452294.0E-50.00851901250.0089433630.0089830051.00443264.0E-5
6.39.736976E-61.01223395E-54.0122035E-53.96371173.0E-54.172923E-54.338076E-57.337946E-51.69152083.0E-55.0793495E-45.280378E-45.680166E-41.07571224.0E-50.0050677550.00526833670.0053081261.00755254.0E-5
6.49.736976E-61.01223395E-54.0122035E-53.96371173.0E-54.172923E-54.338076E-57.337946E-51.69152083.0E-55.0793495E-45.280378E-45.680166E-41.07571224.0E-50.0050677550.00526833670.0053081261.00755254.0E-5
6.57.081964E-67.329905E-63.7329686E-55.09279253.0E-53.035092E-53.141351E-56.141257E-51.95497313.0E-53.694598E-43.8239395E-44.2237865E-41.10456424.0E-50.00368846160.00381752150.00385736881.0104384.0E-5
6.65.873247E-66.0597517E-62.6059632E-54.3004452.0E-52.5170815E-52.5970112E-54.596959E-51.77009612.0E-53.064116E-43.161411E-43.461316E-41.09486443.0E-50.00305989430.0031570010.00318690621.00947273.0E-5
6.74.973277E-65.11591E-62.5115807E-54.9093532.0E-52.1313872E-52.1925147E-54.1924708E-51.91217462.0E-52.5946548E-42.6690646E-42.9689845E-41.1123693.0E-50.00259162740.00266590780.00269582771.01122323.0E-5
6.84.396492E-64.510987E-62.4510897E-55.43362.0E-51.884197E-51.933266E-53.9332273E-52.0344992.0E-52.2937685E-42.3535005E-42.6534297E-41.12743973.0E-50.00229140230.00235104330.00238097271.01273023.0E-5
6.93.5255632E-63.6013423E-62.3601271E-56.5534652.0E-51.5109469E-51.5434234E-53.5433924E-52.29580072.0E-51.8394225E-41.8789574E-42.178901E-41.1596333.0E-50.00183790070.0018773850.00190732861.01594973.0E-5
7.03.211603E-63.273663E-62.3273598E-57.10934452.0E-51.376394E-51.402991E-53.402963E-52.42550592.0E-51.6756308E-41.708009E-42.0079578E-41.1756133.0E-50.00167436790.00170671040.00173665921.01754773.0E-5
7.12.5094619E-62.5409295E-62.2540878E-58.8711162.0E-51.0754793E-51.0889652E-53.0889434E-52.8365862.0E-51.3093173E-41.325735E-41.6256953E-41.22625963.0E-50.00130854620.00132495030.00135491041.02261233.0E-5
7.22.0515774E-62.0619466E-61.2061926E-55.84977631.0E-58.792445E-68.836884E-61.8836796E-52.13161061.0E-51.0704277E-41.0758379E-41.2758165E-41.18588162.0E-50.00106991220.00107532150.00109529981.01857912.0E-5
7.31.6845745E-61.6773996E-61.1677383E-56.96159841.0E-57.219585E-67.1888358E-61.7188764E-52.39103581.0E-58.78949E-58.752059E-51.0751884E-41.22849762.0E-58.7860145E-48.7486405E-48.9484657E-41.02284072.0E-5
7.41.3600285E-61.3333447E-61.1333332E-58.4999271.0E-55.82868E-65.714322E-61.5714264E-52.74997881.0E-57.096187E-56.956967E-58.956828E-51.28746162.0E-57.0939213E-46.9548114E-47.1546726E-41.02873712.0E-5
7.59.735342E-79.2901894E-71.09290095E-511.7640331.0E-54.172283E-63.9815036E-61.3981464E-53.51160381.0E-55.079636E-54.8473747E-55.8473262E-51.20628731.0E-55.0784746E-44.8463346E-44.946286E-41.02062421.0E-5
7.65.067187E-74.778609E-74.778609E-71.00.02.1716498E-62.0479738E-62.0479738E-61.00.02.6439517E-52.4933803E-52.4933803E-51.00.02.643637E-42.493108E-42.493108E-41.00.0
7.72.769089E-72.5759346E-72.5759346E-71.00.01.1867519E-61.1039714E-61.1039714E-61.00.01.4448608E-51.344077E-51.344077E-51.00.01.444767E-41.343996E-41.343996E-41.00.0
7.81.7044663E-71.5449208E-71.5449208E-71.00.07.3048534E-76.6210873E-76.6210873E-71.00.08.893623E-68.061144E-68.061144E-61.00.08.893267E-58.060854E-58.060854E-51.00.0
7.94.8344287E-84.0911143E-84.0911143E-81.00.02.0718979E-71.7533345E-71.7533345E-71.00.02.5225327E-62.1346827E-62.1346827E-61.00.02.5225041E-52.1346626E-52.1346626E-51.00.0

Great Valley 07 (Orestimba)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.9687902E-53.27575E-55.2756845E-51.61052732.0E-51.2722766E-41.4038214E-41.7037793E-41.21367243.0E-50.00154789610.00170788440.00174781611.02338084.0E-50.0153715850.0169551350.0170042891.00289895.0E-5
6.12.9687902E-53.27575E-55.2756845E-51.61052732.0E-51.2722766E-41.4038214E-41.7037793E-41.21367243.0E-50.00154789610.00170788440.00174781611.02338084.0E-50.0153715850.0169551350.0170042891.00289895.0E-5
6.21.9231524E-52.1159167E-53.1158954E-51.47259841.0E-58.2418206E-59.067912E-51.10677305E-41.22053792.0E-50.00100297970.00110348220.00113344911.02715673.0E-50.009984650.0109824410.0110220011.00360214.0E-5
6.31.324766E-51.4548534E-52.4548388E-51.68734461.0E-55.6774446E-56.234942E-57.23488E-51.16037641.0E-56.910097E-47.5884897E-47.788338E-41.02633572.0E-50.0068886490.00756352350.0075932971.00393643.0E-5
6.47.818645E-68.57284E-61.8572755E-52.16646461.0E-53.3508048E-53.6740246E-54.673988E-51.27217111.0E-54.078841E-44.4722404E-44.6721508E-41.04470032.0E-50.0040713630.00446358040.00449344661.00669113.0E-5
6.55.3076565E-65.8178007E-61.5817743E-52.71885251.0E-52.27469E-52.4933206E-53.4932957E-51.40106151.0E-52.7690834E-43.035216E-43.1351857E-41.03293661.0E-50.00276563530.003031280.00304124971.0032891.0E-5
6.63.6003578E-63.9484953E-61.39484555E-53.53260021.0E-51.5430012E-51.6922022E-52.6921853E-51.5909361.0E-51.8784421E-42.0600771E-42.1600565E-41.04853191.0E-50.00187685520.00205832140.00206830071.00484841.0E-5
6.72.5361826E-62.7834678E-61.278344E-54.5926311.0E-51.0869308E-51.1929101E-52.1928981E-51.83827611.0E-51.3232579E-41.4522845E-41.55227E-41.06884711.0E-50.00132247030.00145146530.00146145081.00687961.0E-5
6.81.2115831E-61.3313797E-61.3313797E-61.00.05.1924885E-65.7059065E-65.7059065E-61.00.06.3216714E-56.9468166E-56.9468166E-51.00.06.3198735E-46.945596E-46.945596E-41.00.0

Los Osos 2011

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.8871775E-64.9814826E-63.4981334E-57.02227353.0E-52.0944879E-52.1349053E-56.13482E-52.87357954.0E-52.5497406E-42.598965E-42.998861E-41.15386744.0E-50.0025468170.00259620.00264607021.01920895.0E-5
6.14.8871775E-64.9814826E-63.4981334E-57.02227353.0E-52.0944879E-52.1349053E-56.13482E-52.87357954.0E-52.5497406E-42.598965E-42.998861E-41.15386744.0E-50.0025468170.00259620.00264607021.01920895.0E-5
6.24.8871775E-64.9814826E-63.4981334E-57.02227353.0E-52.0944879E-52.1349053E-56.13482E-52.87357954.0E-52.5497406E-42.598965E-42.998861E-41.15386744.0E-50.0025468170.00259620.00264607021.01920895.0E-5
6.34.8871775E-64.9814826E-63.4981334E-57.02227353.0E-52.0944879E-52.1349053E-56.13482E-52.87357954.0E-52.5497406E-42.598965E-42.998861E-41.15386744.0E-50.0025468170.00259620.00264607021.01920895.0E-5
6.44.8871775E-64.9814826E-63.4981334E-57.02227353.0E-52.0944879E-52.1349053E-56.13482E-52.87357954.0E-52.5497406E-42.598965E-42.998861E-41.15386744.0E-50.0025468170.00259620.00264607021.01920895.0E-5
6.53.1724062E-63.2233943E-62.322333E-57.20461942.0E-51.3595956E-51.3814474E-54.381406E-53.17160533.0E-51.6551818E-41.6817838E-41.9817334E-41.1783523.0E-50.00165394960.00168052460.00172045731.02376214.0E-5
6.63.1022591E-63.1511038E-62.315104E-57.34696252.0E-51.3295328E-51.3504661E-54.3504257E-53.22142533.0E-51.618586E-41.6440697E-41.9440203E-41.1824443.0E-50.00161740770.00164286620.00168280051.02430774.0E-5
6.72.611518E-62.6491825E-62.6491825E-61.00.01.1192172E-51.1353591E-52.1353477E-51.88076871.0E-51.3625617E-41.3822124E-41.4821986E-41.07233771.0E-50.00136172660.00138135720.00139134341.00722921.0E-5
6.82.4780884E-62.5121587E-62.5121587E-61.00.01.0620336E-51.076635E-52.0766242E-51.92880991.0E-51.2929492E-41.3107246E-41.4107116E-41.07628371.0E-50.00129219720.00130995560.00131994251.00762381.0E-5
6.92.1376322E-62.1635049E-62.1635049E-61.00.09.161248E-69.272131E-61.9272038E-52.07849071.0E-51.1153249E-41.1288237E-41.2288123E-41.08857771.0E-50.00111476530.00112825210.00113824091.00885331.0E-5
7.01.9282882E-61.949458E-61.949458E-61.00.08.264066E-68.354793E-61.8354709E-52.19690781.0E-51.0061036E-41.0171487E-41.1171385E-41.0983041.0E-50.00100564820.00101668450.00102667431.0098261.0E-5
7.11.6353226E-61.6501111E-61.6501111E-61.00.07.0085066E-67.0718856E-61.7071816E-52.414041.0E-58.532523E-58.6096814E-59.609595E-51.11613831.0E-58.529247E-48.6063537E-48.7062677E-41.01160931.0E-5
7.21.4446276E-61.4553335E-61.4553335E-61.00.06.191247E-66.2371287E-61.6237067E-52.6032921.0E-57.537582E-57.59344E-58.5933636E-51.13168261.0E-57.535026E-47.590851E-47.690775E-41.01316381.0E-5
7.31.2014582E-61.2069066E-61.2069066E-61.00.05.149096E-65.172447E-61.5172395E-52.9333111.0E-56.268844E-56.297272E-57.297209E-51.15878891.0E-56.267076E-46.295492E-46.395429E-41.01587441.0E-5
7.49.707733E-79.709767E-79.709767E-71.00.04.16045E-64.161322E-64.161322E-61.00.05.0652303E-55.066292E-55.066292E-51.00.05.064076E-45.065139E-45.065139E-41.00.0
7.57.174908E-77.114907E-77.114907E-71.00.03.074957E-63.0492424E-63.0492424E-61.00.03.743696E-53.7123897E-53.7123897E-51.00.03.7430652E-43.7117713E-43.7117713E-41.00.0
7.64.5535776E-74.4207857E-74.4207857E-71.00.01.9515319E-61.8946212E-61.8946212E-61.00.02.3759641E-52.3066768E-52.3066768E-51.00.02.37571E-42.3064384E-42.3064384E-41.00.0
7.72.1173553E-71.9060734E-71.9060734E-71.00.09.0743765E-78.1688836E-78.1688836E-71.00.01.1047998E-59.94557E-69.94557E-61.00.01.1047449E-49.945128E-59.945128E-51.00.0
7.89.873608E-87.367457E-87.367457E-81.00.04.2315455E-73.1574814E-73.1574814E-71.00.05.1518946E-63.8442267E-63.8442267E-61.00.05.1517753E-53.844161E-53.844161E-51.00.0
7.95.4399106E-83.187941E-83.187941E-81.00.02.33139E-71.3662603E-71.3662603E-71.00.02.8384638E-61.6634207E-61.6634207E-61.00.02.8384275E-51.6634083E-51.6634083E-51.00.0
8.01.817203E-88.420079E-98.420079E-91.00.07.7880124E-83.6086053E-83.6086053E-81.00.09.481901E-74.393476E-74.393476E-71.00.09.481861E-64.393468E-64.393468E-61.00.0

Hosgri

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.883978E-52.9128403E-53.912811E-51.34329751.0E-51.235932E-41.248302E-41.448277E-41.16019762.0E-50.00150370850.00151877520.00153874491.01314852.0E-50.014935740.015087730.0151369761.0032645.0E-5
6.12.883978E-52.9128403E-53.912811E-51.34329751.0E-51.235932E-41.248302E-41.448277E-41.16019762.0E-50.00150370850.00151877520.00153874491.01314852.0E-50.014935740.015087730.0151369761.0032645.0E-5
6.22.883978E-52.9128403E-53.912811E-51.34329751.0E-51.235932E-41.248302E-41.448277E-41.16019762.0E-50.00150370850.00151877520.00153874491.01314852.0E-50.014935740.015087730.0151369761.0032645.0E-5
6.32.2914428E-52.2641956E-53.264173E-51.4416481.0E-59.8200995E-59.703337E-51.17031435E-41.20609462.0E-50.00119494130.0011807460.00120072241.01691842.0E-50.0118853630.0117461230.0117955361.00420685.0E-5
6.42.0195741E-51.9696547E-52.969635E-51.50769321.0E-58.65503E-58.4411055E-51.04409366E-41.23691582.0E-50.00105324050.0010272220.00104720151.019452.0E-50.0104826260.0102257830.0102653741.00387174.0E-5
6.51.9924333E-51.9408968E-52.9408775E-51.51521581.0E-58.53872E-58.317865E-51.03176986E-41.24042632.0E-50.00103909340.00101223150.00103221121.01973832.0E-50.0103424810.0100772440.010116841.00392944.0E-5
6.61.809694E-51.7458287E-52.7458113E-51.57278381.0E-57.7556004E-57.4819094E-59.4817595E-51.26729142.0E-59.438353E-49.105431E-49.3052484E-41.02194492.0E-50.0093983660.0090690630.0090987911.00327793.0E-5
6.71.675989E-51.6042752E-52.6042591E-51.62332451.0E-57.182612E-56.8752845E-58.875147E-51.29087712.0E-58.7413215E-48.3674554E-48.567288E-41.02388222.0E-50.0087070170.0083368530.0083566871.0023792.0E-5
6.81.5401129E-51.4614069E-52.4613923E-51.68426221.0E-56.6003166E-56.263023E-58.2628976E-51.31931462.0E-58.032922E-47.6225714E-47.8224187E-41.02621782.0E-50.0080039470.00759728630.00761713461.00261252.0E-5
6.91.356559E-51.2689955E-52.2689828E-51.78801491.0E-55.8136946E-55.438439E-57.43833E-51.36773262.0E-57.0758746E-46.6192925E-46.8191596E-41.03019482.0E-50.0070533860.0066003780.0066202461.00301022.0E-5
7.01.2030819E-51.1095949E-52.1095839E-51.90121981.0E-55.155963E-54.75532E-56.755225E-51.42056162.0E-56.275577E-45.788065E-45.9879496E-41.03453392.0E-50.0062578840.00577374730.0057936321.0034442.0E-5
7.11.0972698E-51.0022167E-51.0022167E-51.00.04.7025E-54.2951437E-55.2951007E-51.23281111.0E-55.72379E-45.2280835E-45.328031E-41.01911751.0E-50.00570906930.0052165330.0052264811.0019071.0E-5
7.29.961926E-69.034732E-69.034732E-61.00.04.2693267E-53.8719707E-54.871932E-51.25825641.0E-55.1966653E-44.7131052E-44.8130582E-41.02120751.0E-50.005184530.00470385230.00471380541.0021161.0E-5
7.38.700929E-67.828089E-67.828089E-61.00.03.7289166E-53.354852E-54.3548185E-51.29806581.0E-54.53901E-44.083767E-44.1837263E-41.02447721.0E-50.004529750.0040769990.00408695821.00244281.0E-5
7.47.866285E-66.9987263E-66.9987263E-61.00.03.3712215E-52.9994197E-52.9994197E-51.00.04.103689E-43.6511818E-43.6511818E-41.00.00.0040961190.00364591670.00364591671.00.0
7.56.8381305E-65.9596814E-65.9596814E-61.00.02.9305946E-52.5541241E-52.5541241E-51.00.03.5674145E-43.1092027E-43.1092027E-41.00.00.00356169320.0031055840.0031055841.00.0
7.65.503376E-64.595227E-64.595227E-61.00.02.3585684E-51.9693682E-51.9693682E-51.00.02.8711787E-42.397442E-42.397442E-41.00.00.0028674720.00239558520.00239558521.00.0
7.73.6144982E-62.6521896E-62.6521896E-61.00.01.5490614E-51.1366477E-51.1366477E-51.00.01.8858191E-41.3837808E-41.3837808E-41.00.00.00188421960.0013836470.0013836471.00.0
7.81.9853494E-61.1360784E-61.1360784E-61.00.08.508612E-64.8688985E-64.8688985E-61.00.01.0358743E-45.9277223E-55.9277223E-51.00.00.00103539165.933389E-45.933389E-41.00.0
7.91.1818757E-65.29477E-75.29477E-71.00.05.0651715E-62.269185E-62.269185E-61.00.06.1666724E-52.7626977E-52.7626977E-51.00.06.1649614E-42.7691363E-42.7691363E-41.00.0
8.06.962958E-72.71365E-72.71365E-71.00.02.9841215E-61.1629924E-61.1629924E-61.00.03.6331072E-51.415934E-51.415934E-51.00.03.6325134E-41.4215276E-41.4215276E-41.00.0
8.11.5033264E-76.52693E-86.52693E-81.00.06.442826E-72.7972553E-72.7972553E-71.00.07.844113E-63.4056532E-63.4056532E-61.00.07.843835E-53.4072833E-53.4072833E-51.00.0

Rinconada 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5752368E-51.6274716E-51.6274716E-51.00.06.75084E-56.974694E-56.974694E-51.00.08.2160486E-48.488413E-48.5883273E-41.01177071.0E-50.0081857390.008456370.0085059471.00586275.0E-5
6.11.0966133E-51.1323029E-51.1323029E-51.00.04.6996865E-54.852637E-54.852637E-51.00.05.720366E-45.9064914E-45.9064914E-41.00.00.00570566350.0058908890.0059107711.0033752.0E-5
6.21.0966133E-51.1323029E-51.1323029E-51.00.04.6996865E-54.852637E-54.852637E-51.00.05.720366E-45.9064914E-45.9064914E-41.00.00.00570566350.0058908890.0059107711.0033752.0E-5
6.38.926149E-69.212772E-69.212772E-61.00.03.8254362E-53.948271E-53.948271E-51.00.04.6564735E-44.8059633E-44.8059633E-41.00.00.00464672830.00479561460.0048155191.00415052.0E-5
6.47.676955E-67.920191E-67.920191E-61.00.03.290082E-53.3943234E-53.3943234E-51.00.04.0049385E-44.131807E-44.131807E-41.00.00.00399772870.0041241510.0041440691.00482952.0E-5
6.56.1671026E-66.358955E-66.358955E-61.00.02.6430173E-52.725238E-52.725238E-51.00.03.2173982E-43.317473E-43.317473E-41.00.00.0032127440.00331253260.00333246641.00601772.0E-5
6.65.553456E-65.7248126E-65.7248126E-61.00.02.3800309E-52.4534682E-52.4534682E-51.00.02.897302E-42.9866886E-42.9866886E-41.00.00.00289352770.00298268320.00300262361.00668542.0E-5
6.74.787857E-64.93331E-64.93331E-61.00.02.0519226E-52.1142585E-52.1142585E-51.00.02.4979294E-42.573806E-42.573806E-41.00.00.00249512350.0025708310.00259077941.00775962.0E-5
6.83.9955166E-64.1134763E-64.1134763E-61.00.01.7123532E-51.7629065E-51.7629065E-51.00.02.0845905E-42.1461275E-42.1461275E-41.00.00.0020826360.00214405870.00215403711.0046541.0E-5
6.93.4250072E-63.5224466E-63.5224466E-61.00.01.46785205E-51.5096112E-51.5096112E-51.00.01.7869633E-41.8377969E-41.8377969E-41.00.00.0017855270.00183627950.00184626111.00543581.0E-5
7.02.7712713E-62.8467002E-62.8467002E-61.00.01.1876823E-51.22000865E-51.22000865E-51.00.01.4459073E-41.4852594E-41.4852594E-41.00.00.00144496680.00148426830.00149425351.00672731.0E-5
7.12.227358E-62.2856987E-62.2856987E-61.00.09.545785E-69.795815E-69.795815E-61.00.01.16213734E-41.1925753E-41.1925753E-41.00.00.00116152980.00119193630.00120192441.00837971.0E-5
7.21.581796E-61.6209015E-61.6209015E-61.00.06.779108E-66.946702E-66.946702E-61.00.08.253252E-58.4572814E-58.4572814E-51.00.08.250187E-48.4540684E-48.4540684E-41.00.0
7.31.0306567E-61.054648E-61.054648E-61.00.04.4170924E-64.519912E-64.519912E-61.00.05.3776774E-55.502854E-55.502854E-51.00.05.376376E-45.501494E-45.501494E-41.00.0
7.46.535541E-76.682744E-76.682744E-71.00.02.800943E-62.8640302E-62.8640302E-61.00.03.4100947E-53.4869012E-53.4869012E-51.00.03.4095717E-43.486355E-43.486355E-41.00.0
7.53.2656962E-73.3316712E-73.3316712E-71.00.01.3995833E-61.4278584E-61.4278584E-61.00.01.7039794E-51.7384036E-51.7384036E-51.00.01.7038487E-41.738268E-41.738268E-41.00.0
7.69.754343E-89.821017E-89.821017E-81.00.04.180432E-74.2090065E-74.2090065E-71.00.05.089664E-65.1244533E-65.1244533E-61.00.05.0895473E-55.124336E-55.124336E-51.00.0
7.76.0001453E-95.8491207E-95.8491207E-91.00.02.5714908E-82.506766E-82.506766E-81.00.03.1307894E-73.051987E-73.051987E-71.00.03.1307852E-63.0519832E-63.0519832E-61.00.0
7.87.400003E-117.4654505E-117.4654505E-111.00.03.171432E-103.1994773E-103.1994773E-101.00.03.861218E-93.895363E-93.895363E-91.00.03.861218E-83.895363E-83.895363E-81.00.0

Great Valley 03a Dunnigan Hills

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6591328E-51.8107954E-52.8107774E-51.55223351.0E-57.110376E-57.7603596E-58.760282E-51.128851.0E-58.6534437E-49.444834E-49.7445503E-41.03173343.0E-50.0086198240.0094115250.0094610551.00526265.0E-5
6.18.041125E-68.769726E-61.8769639E-52.14027641.0E-53.4461507E-53.7584115E-54.758374E-51.26605991.0E-54.194881E-44.5751085E-44.6750627E-41.02184741.0E-50.0041869710.0045676870.00457764141.00217931.0E-5
6.23.2807004E-63.5795688E-61.3579533E-53.79362251.0E-51.4060069E-51.5340942E-52.5340789E-51.65184041.0E-51.7116789E-41.8676413E-41.9676225E-41.05353341.0E-50.00171036110.00186647960.0018764611.00534771.0E-5
6.31.9339366E-62.1103806E-61.2110359E-55.73847151.0E-58.288273E-69.044474E-61.9044382E-52.10563761.0E-51.00905054E-41.1011375E-41.2011265E-41.09080521.0E-50.00100859250.00110087180.00111086081.00907371.0E-5
6.41.3142635E-61.4339867E-61.4339867E-61.00.05.6325457E-66.145657E-66.145657E-61.00.06.857408E-57.482337E-57.482337E-51.00.06.8552926E-47.4823375E-47.4823375E-41.00.0

Ortigalita (North)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.711876E-51.0505308E-41.15052026E-41.095181.0E-53.3046713E-44.501601E-44.601556E-41.02220431.0E-50.0040160160.00546805470.00551778121.0090945.0E-50.0394421030.0534556140.053502941.00088545.0E-5
6.14.607858E-56.0239887E-56.0239887E-51.00.01.9746469E-42.5814763E-42.5814763E-41.00.00.00240148180.00313873660.00314870521.0031761.0E-50.0237569530.0309753120.0309850011.00031281.0E-5
6.24.607858E-56.0239887E-56.0239887E-51.00.01.9746469E-42.5814763E-42.5814763E-41.00.00.00240148180.00313873660.00314870521.0031761.0E-50.0237569530.0309753120.0309850011.00031281.0E-5
6.33.327423E-54.2476124E-54.2476124E-51.00.01.4259605E-41.8202956E-41.8202956E-41.00.00.00173472440.0022142060.00222418391.00450631.0E-50.0172124520.021945740.021955521.00044571.0E-5
6.42.7732503E-53.4999008E-53.4999008E-51.00.01.1884817E-41.499886E-41.499886E-41.00.00.0014460160.00182481580.00183479761.005471.0E-50.0143664280.0181212970.0181311161.00054181.0E-5
6.52.7689714E-53.4948822E-53.4948822E-51.00.01.186648E-41.4977354E-41.4977354E-41.00.00.00144378640.00182220180.00183218361.00547791.0E-50.0143444210.0180955850.0181054031.00054261.0E-5
6.62.2976905E-52.871829E-52.871829E-51.00.09.846873E-51.23074E-41.23074E-41.00.00.00119819750.00149763480.00150761991.00666711.0E-50.0119175740.0148987330.0149085851.00066131.0E-5
6.71.9871539E-52.4904637E-52.4904637E-51.00.08.516096E-51.067312E-41.067312E-41.00.00.00103634150.00129891990.00130890691.00768881.0E-50.0103152180.0129369380.0129468091.00076291.0E-5
6.86.5640475E-67.6054926E-67.6054926E-61.00.02.813133E-53.2594577E-53.2594577E-51.00.03.424451E-43.9676955E-43.9676955E-41.00.00.00341917880.0039608990.0039608991.00.0
6.95.6219683E-66.5018376E-66.5018376E-61.00.02.4093928E-52.7864735E-52.7864735E-51.00.02.933041E-43.3920293E-43.3920293E-41.00.00.00292917270.0033871090.0033871091.00.0
7.03.875591E-64.4847548E-64.4847548E-61.00.01.6609569E-51.9220248E-51.9220248E-51.00.02.0220275E-42.339835E-42.339835E-41.00.00.00202018860.00233757980.00233757981.00.0
7.11.6017933E-61.8570418E-61.8570418E-61.00.06.8648105E-67.958732E-67.958732E-61.00.08.357586E-59.689432E-59.689432E-51.00.08.3544437E-49.686254E-49.686254E-41.00.0

Hunting Creek - Berryessa 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1270982E-42.0028367E-42.1028167E-41.04991911.0E-54.8295266E-48.579912E-48.779741E-41.02329032.0E-50.00586410750.0103861730.010415861.00285843.0E-50.0571175780.098040480.098076561.0003684.0E-5
6.11.1239393E-41.9976508E-42.097631E-41.05004881.0E-54.8159933E-48.557703E-48.757532E-41.02335072.0E-50.00584771950.0103594170.0103891051.00286593.0E-50.0569621320.097798950.0978350341.0003694.0E-5
6.27.596265E-51.2933646E-41.3933517E-41.07730771.0E-53.2551357E-45.5415573E-45.7414465E-41.0360712.0E-50.00395592770.00672135870.00674122431.00295562.0E-50.0388624330.064592290.0646109951.00028972.0E-5
6.36.78794E-51.1448377E-41.1448377E-41.00.02.9087928E-44.9052597E-45.0052104E-41.02037631.0E-50.0035357050.0059526610.00596260141.00166991.0E-50.0347997660.0574662130.0574756381.0001641.0E-5
6.46.2165134E-51.0434825E-41.0434825E-41.00.02.6639478E-44.4711027E-44.5710578E-41.02235581.0E-50.00323853320.00542741830.0054373641.00183251.0E-50.031917420.052551380.0525608551.00018021.0E-5
6.55.4368087E-59.070258E-59.070258E-51.00.02.3298527E-43.886537E-43.986498E-41.02571991.0E-50.00283290590.00471970160.00472965461.00210881.0E-50.0279706330.0458811820.0458907221.00020791.0E-5
6.64.729947E-57.847101E-57.847101E-51.00.02.0269625E-43.3624718E-43.3624718E-41.00.00.0024650340.0040847460.0040947051.00243821.0E-50.024378690.039852690.039862291.00024091.0E-5
6.73.6875328E-56.0443555E-56.0443555E-51.00.01.5802756E-42.5900968E-42.5900968E-41.00.00.00192228750.00314827240.00315824081.00316631.0E-50.0190574420.030893710.03090341.00031361.0E-5
6.82.0292036E-52.8976721E-52.8976721E-51.00.08.6962966E-51.2417998E-41.2417998E-41.00.00.00105825990.00151083020.00152081511.00660881.0E-50.0105323440.01497907750.0149889271.00065761.0E-5
6.91.7871042E-52.4472653E-52.4472653E-51.00.07.658793E-51.04878585E-41.04878585E-41.00.09.320591E-40.00127614860.00128613581.00782611.0E-50.0092815950.0126803950.01269026751.00077871.0E-5
7.01.6415532E-52.1906566E-52.1906566E-51.00.07.035038E-59.388191E-59.388191E-51.00.08.561793E-40.00114241440.0011524031.00874341.0E-50.0085288820.0113650170.0113749031.00086991.0E-5
7.11.5409885E-52.0346588E-52.0346588E-51.00.06.6040695E-58.719676E-58.719676E-51.00.08.0374884E-40.00106110620.00107109561.00941411.0E-50.008008480.0105609240.0105708191.00093691.0E-5
7.21.4497423E-51.905519E-51.905519E-51.00.06.213033E-58.166256E-58.166256E-51.00.07.5617427E-49.937913E-40.00100378131.01005241.0E-50.00753606340.009894250.0099041521.00100061.0E-5
7.31.3615175E-51.7826347E-51.7826347E-51.00.05.8349444E-57.6396405E-57.6396405E-51.00.07.101729E-49.297323E-49.39723E-41.01074581.0E-50.00707907650.0092591240.0092690321.001071.0E-5
7.41.2252825E-51.6026455E-51.6026455E-51.00.05.251105E-56.868302E-56.868302E-51.00.06.391345E-48.3589775E-48.458894E-41.01195321.0E-50.00637299430.0083281720.0083380891.00119081.0E-5
7.51.0913301E-51.4241286E-51.4241286E-51.00.04.6770452E-56.103267E-56.103267E-51.00.05.6928146E-47.428222E-47.5281475E-41.01345221.0E-50.00567825320.00740398650.00741391261.00134061.0E-5
7.68.623192E-61.12347825E-51.12347825E-51.00.03.6956015E-54.8148195E-54.8148195E-51.00.04.4984656E-45.8604917E-45.960433E-41.01705341.0E-50.004489370.0058455040.00585544531.00170081.0E-5
7.72.0993634E-62.66264E-62.66264E-61.00.08.997241E-61.1411265E-51.1411265E-51.00.01.09535904E-41.3892337E-41.4892197E-41.07197211.0E-50.00109481930.00138839940.00139838551.00719251.0E-5
7.81.8428308E-72.1674624E-72.1674624E-71.00.07.897844E-79.289122E-79.289122E-71.00.09.615583E-61.130945E-51.130945E-51.00.09.615166E-51.1308173E-41.1308173E-41.00.0

San Luis Range 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.8368415E-68.965455E-68.965455E-61.00.03.787163E-53.8422855E-53.8422855E-51.00.04.609895E-44.6770574E-44.7770108E-41.0213711.0E-50.00460034380.0046679970.00471776351.01066125.0E-5
6.18.8368415E-68.965455E-68.965455E-61.00.03.787163E-53.8422855E-53.8422855E-51.00.04.609895E-44.6770574E-44.7770108E-41.0213711.0E-50.00460034380.0046679970.00471776351.01066125.0E-5
6.28.8368415E-68.965455E-68.965455E-61.00.03.787163E-53.8422855E-53.8422855E-51.00.04.609895E-44.6770574E-44.7770108E-41.0213711.0E-50.00460034380.0046679970.00471776351.01066125.0E-5
6.38.8368415E-68.965455E-68.965455E-61.00.03.787163E-53.8422855E-53.8422855E-51.00.04.609895E-44.6770574E-44.7770108E-41.0213711.0E-50.00460034380.0046679970.00471776351.01066125.0E-5
6.43.9094193E-63.941204E-63.941204E-61.00.01.6754546E-51.6890766E-51.6890766E-51.00.02.039675E-42.0562594E-42.1562389E-41.0486221.0E-50.00203780390.00205438560.00207434451.00971532.0E-5
6.53.9094193E-63.941204E-63.941204E-61.00.01.6754546E-51.6890766E-51.6890766E-51.00.02.039675E-42.0562594E-42.1562389E-41.0486221.0E-50.00203780390.00205438560.00207434451.00971532.0E-5
6.63.0587726E-63.0753893E-63.0753893E-61.00.01.3108959E-51.3180174E-51.3180174E-51.00.01.595899E-41.6045693E-41.7045531E-41.0623121.0E-50.00159475340.00160342270.00162339061.01245332.0E-5
6.72.6160574E-62.6251284E-62.6251284E-61.00.01.1211626E-51.1250502E-51.1250502E-51.00.01.3649299E-41.3696631E-41.4696494E-41.07300071.0E-50.00136409190.00136882510.00138879781.01459112.0E-5
6.82.5110312E-62.5181412E-62.5181412E-61.00.01.0761518E-51.079199E-51.079199E-51.00.01.310136E-41.313846E-41.413833E-41.07610241.0E-50.00130936390.00131307520.00133304891.01521152.0E-5
6.91.8564405E-61.852488E-61.852488E-61.00.07.95615E-67.93921E-67.93921E-61.00.09.686181E-59.665562E-59.665562E-51.00.09.68196E-49.6613786E-49.7612815E-41.01034051.0E-5
7.01.546127E-61.5369549E-61.5369549E-61.00.06.626242E-66.5869326E-66.5869326E-61.00.08.06715E-58.019296E-58.019296E-51.00.08.0642226E-48.016409E-48.016409E-41.00.0
7.11.3368208E-61.3235336E-61.3235336E-61.00.05.7292195E-65.6722747E-65.6722747E-61.00.06.975101E-56.905776E-56.905776E-51.00.06.972912E-46.903635E-46.903635E-41.00.0
7.21.0623363E-61.0454378E-61.0454378E-61.00.04.5528623E-64.4804397E-64.4804397E-61.00.05.5429686E-55.4547992E-55.4547992E-51.00.05.5415864E-45.453463E-45.453463E-41.00.0
7.37.831679E-77.727399E-77.727399E-71.00.03.3564295E-63.3117383E-63.3117383E-61.00.04.086376E-54.031967E-54.031967E-51.00.04.0856248E-44.0312367E-44.0312367E-41.00.0
7.45.9558846E-75.910646E-75.910646E-71.00.02.5525194E-62.5331315E-62.5331315E-61.00.03.107648E-53.084044E-53.084044E-51.00.03.1072134E-43.083617E-43.083617E-41.00.0
7.54.1616502E-74.1196404E-74.1196404E-71.00.01.7835631E-61.765559E-61.765559E-61.00.02.1714664E-52.1495469E-52.1495469E-51.00.02.1712543E-42.1493394E-42.1493394E-41.00.0
7.62.3816014E-72.3376614E-72.3376614E-71.00.01.0206859E-61.0018545E-61.0018545E-61.00.01.242678E-51.219751E-51.219751E-51.00.01.2426086E-41.2196843E-41.2196843E-41.00.0
7.79.918777E-89.3868096E-89.3868096E-81.00.04.2509038E-74.022918E-74.022918E-71.00.05.1754632E-64.8978914E-64.8978914E-61.00.05.1753424E-54.897784E-54.897784E-51.00.0
7.83.4982556E-82.968672E-82.968672E-81.00.01.4992524E-71.272288E-71.272288E-71.00.01.8253382E-61.5490094E-61.5490094E-61.00.01.8253233E-51.5489988E-51.5489988E-51.00.0
7.91.6624908E-81.1476994E-81.1476994E-81.00.07.12496E-84.9187115E-84.9187115E-81.00.08.6746354E-75.988529E-75.988529E-71.00.08.674601E-65.9885133E-65.9885133E-61.00.0
8.06.3352315E-93.0886564E-93.0886564E-91.00.02.715099E-81.32370985E-81.32370985E-81.00.03.3056327E-71.6116167E-71.6116167E-71.00.03.3056278E-61.6116155E-61.6116155E-61.00.0

Los Alamos 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.6284417E-64.7517333E-62.4751638E-55.20897052.0E-51.9836029E-52.0364423E-54.0364015E-51.9820852.0E-52.4147688E-42.479104E-42.7790296E-41.12098153.0E-50.00241214670.00247651250.00251641361.01611174.0E-5
6.14.6284417E-64.7517333E-62.4751638E-55.20897052.0E-51.9836029E-52.0364423E-54.0364015E-51.9820852.0E-52.4147688E-42.479104E-42.7790296E-41.12098153.0E-50.00241214670.00247651250.00251641361.01611174.0E-5
6.24.6284417E-64.7517333E-62.4751638E-55.20897052.0E-51.9836029E-52.0364423E-54.0364015E-51.9820852.0E-52.4147688E-42.479104E-42.7790296E-41.12098153.0E-50.00241214670.00247651250.00251641361.01611174.0E-5
6.34.6284417E-64.7517333E-62.4751638E-55.20897052.0E-51.9836029E-52.0364423E-54.0364015E-51.9820852.0E-52.4147688E-42.479104E-42.7790296E-41.12098153.0E-50.00241214670.00247651250.00251641361.01611174.0E-5
6.44.6284417E-64.7517333E-62.4751638E-55.20897052.0E-51.9836029E-52.0364423E-54.0364015E-51.9820852.0E-52.4147688E-42.479104E-42.7790296E-41.12098153.0E-50.00241214670.00247651250.00251641361.01611174.0E-5
6.54.6284417E-64.7517333E-62.4751638E-55.20897052.0E-51.9836029E-52.0364423E-54.0364015E-51.9820852.0E-52.4147688E-42.479104E-42.7790296E-41.12098153.0E-50.00241214670.00247651250.00251641361.01611174.0E-5
6.64.6284417E-64.7517333E-62.4751638E-55.20897052.0E-51.9836029E-52.0364423E-54.0364015E-51.9820852.0E-52.4147688E-42.479104E-42.7790296E-41.12098153.0E-50.00241214670.00247651250.00251641361.01611174.0E-5
6.74.062321E-64.166351E-62.4166267E-55.80034352.0E-51.7409831E-51.7855677E-53.785532E-52.1200722.0E-52.1194408E-42.1737268E-42.3736834E-41.09198782.0E-50.00211742050.00217175040.00220168521.01378373.0E-5
6.84.062321E-64.166351E-62.4166267E-55.80034352.0E-51.7409831E-51.7855677E-53.785532E-52.1200722.0E-52.1194408E-42.1737268E-42.3736834E-41.09198782.0E-50.00211742050.00217175040.00220168521.01378373.0E-5
6.93.2936077E-63.37296E-62.3372893E-56.929492.0E-51.4115385E-51.4455468E-53.445518E-52.38353942.0E-51.7184127E-41.7598206E-41.9597853E-41.11362792.0E-50.00171708440.00175851960.00178846681.01702983.0E-5
7.03.1687898E-63.2448177E-62.3244753E-57.16365432.0E-51.3580457E-51.3906293E-53.3906013E-52.43817782.0E-51.6532952E-41.692969E-41.892935E-41.11811572.0E-50.00165206570.00169177070.001721721.01770293.0E-5
7.12.9379228E-63.007328E-62.3007267E-57.6504022.0E-51.25910365E-51.288849E-53.288823E-52.5517522.0E-51.5328509E-41.5690697E-41.7690384E-41.1274442.0E-50.0015317940.0015680510.0015980041.0191023.0E-5
7.22.0020686E-62.041632E-62.2041591E-510.7960642.0E-58.580266E-68.749822E-62.8749648E-53.28574062.0E-51.0445973E-41.0652392E-41.2652179E-41.18773132.0E-50.00104410640.0010647330.00108471181.0187642.0E-5
7.31.7364243E-61.7678824E-61.1767865E-56.65647461.0E-57.441797E-67.576617E-61.7576542E-52.31984021.0E-59.0600115E-59.224144E-51.0224052E-41.10840121.0E-59.0563187E-49.2203467E-49.3202543E-41.01083551.0E-5
7.41.5718434E-61.5983198E-61.1598304E-57.256561.0E-56.7364545E-66.8499244E-61.6849855E-52.459861.0E-58.201325E-58.339467E-59.3393835E-51.11990181.0E-58.198299E-48.3363673E-48.4362837E-41.01198571.0E-5
7.51.3841119E-61.4042814E-61.1404268E-58.121071.0E-55.9318945E-66.018335E-61.6018275E-52.66157911.0E-57.221842E-57.327079E-58.327006E-51.13647011.0E-57.2194956E-47.3246926E-47.4246194E-41.01364241.0E-5
7.61.0843726E-61.0934443E-61.0934443E-61.00.04.647303E-64.6861815E-64.6861815E-61.00.05.6579443E-55.705279E-55.705279E-51.00.05.656504E-45.70384E-45.70384E-41.00.0
7.75.544814E-75.501884E-75.501884E-71.00.02.3763469E-62.3579482E-62.3579482E-61.00.02.8931638E-52.8707644E-52.8707644E-51.00.02.8927872E-42.870395E-42.870395E-41.00.0
7.82.0707465E-71.9778598E-71.9778598E-71.00.08.874625E-78.476539E-78.476539E-71.00.01.08048025E-51.0320137E-51.0320137E-51.00.01.0804277E-41.0319663E-41.0319663E-41.00.0
7.93.9821284E-83.4331528E-83.4331528E-81.00.01.7066264E-71.4713511E-71.4713511E-71.00.02.0778157E-61.7913685E-61.7913685E-61.00.02.0777963E-51.7913546E-51.7913546E-51.00.0
8.07.880441E-118.2353124E-118.2353124E-111.00.03.3773329E-103.52942E-103.52942E-101.00.04.1119033E-94.2970694E-94.2970694E-91.00.04.1119034E-84.2970694E-84.2970694E-81.00.0

Puente Hills

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2101656E-58.098448E-68.098448E-61.00.05.1863204E-53.4707205E-54.4706856E-51.28811471.0E-56.312516E-44.2248392E-44.324797E-41.02365961.0E-50.00629461460.00421736760.0042571991.00944464.0E-5
6.11.2101656E-58.098448E-68.098448E-61.00.05.1863204E-53.4707205E-54.4706856E-51.28811471.0E-56.312516E-44.2248392E-44.324797E-41.02365961.0E-50.00629461460.00421736760.0042571991.00944464.0E-5
6.21.2101656E-58.098448E-68.098448E-61.00.05.1863204E-53.4707205E-54.4706856E-51.28811471.0E-56.312516E-44.2248392E-44.324797E-41.02365961.0E-50.00629461460.00421736760.0042571991.00944464.0E-5
6.31.2101656E-58.098448E-68.098448E-61.00.05.1863204E-53.4707205E-54.4706856E-51.28811471.0E-56.312516E-44.2248392E-44.324797E-41.02365961.0E-50.00629461460.00421736760.0042571991.00944464.0E-5
6.41.2101656E-58.098448E-68.098448E-61.00.05.1863204E-53.4707205E-54.4706856E-51.28811471.0E-56.312516E-44.2248392E-44.324797E-41.02365961.0E-50.00629461460.00421736760.0042571991.00944464.0E-5
6.51.2101656E-58.098448E-68.098448E-61.00.05.1863204E-53.4707205E-54.4706856E-51.28811471.0E-56.312516E-44.2248392E-44.324797E-41.02365961.0E-50.00629461460.00421736760.0042571991.00944464.0E-5
6.61.0222488E-56.399079E-66.399079E-61.00.04.3809923E-52.742435E-53.7424077E-51.36462941.0E-55.332553E-43.3384276E-43.4383943E-41.02994421.0E-50.00531977460.00333365770.0033535911.00597942.0E-5
6.71.0222488E-56.399079E-66.399079E-61.00.04.3809923E-52.742435E-53.7424077E-51.36462941.0E-55.332553E-43.3384276E-43.4383943E-41.02994421.0E-50.00531977460.00333365770.0033535911.00597942.0E-5
6.88.6367845E-65.028129E-65.028129E-61.00.03.7014266E-52.1548949E-53.1548734E-51.46404971.0E-54.505555E-42.6232743E-42.723248E-41.03811031.0E-50.0044964310.0026202340.00264018151.0076132.0E-5
6.98.066481E-64.8360116E-64.8360116E-61.00.03.4570177E-52.0725602E-53.0725394E-51.4824851.0E-54.2081063E-42.523055E-42.62303E-41.03962451.0E-50.00420014650.00252024430.00253021931.00395791.0E-5
7.07.393828E-64.4172275E-64.4172275E-61.00.03.168745E-51.8930841E-52.8930652E-51.52822851.0E-53.857264E-42.3045906E-42.4045675E-41.04338171.0E-50.00385057550.00230224620.00231222321.00433361.0E-5
7.16.4660953E-63.8043859E-63.8043859E-61.00.02.7711543E-51.630441E-51.630441E-51.00.03.373358E-41.9848847E-41.9848847E-41.00.00.00336824170.00198314780.00198314781.00.0
7.25.143232E-62.7864896E-62.7864896E-61.00.02.2042237E-51.1942045E-51.1942045E-51.00.02.6833118E-41.453848E-41.453848E-41.00.00.0026800740.00145290650.00145290651.00.0
7.33.928255E-62.091338E-62.091338E-61.00.01.683527E-58.962847E-68.962847E-61.00.02.0495013E-41.0911726E-41.0911726E-41.00.00.0020476120.00109064350.00109064351.00.0
7.42.7894434E-61.3546429E-61.3546429E-61.00.01.1954703E-55.8056E-65.8056E-61.00.01.4553878E-47.068093E-57.068093E-51.00.00.0014544357.0658885E-47.0658885E-41.00.0
7.52.041735E-68.786996E-78.786996E-71.00.08.750263E-63.7658504E-63.7658504E-61.00.01.06529245E-44.5848297E-54.5848297E-51.00.00.00106478194.5839173E-44.5839173E-41.00.0
7.61.6959062E-66.698339E-76.698339E-71.00.07.268149E-62.8707138E-62.8707138E-61.00.08.848612E-53.4950408E-53.4950408E-51.00.08.84509E-43.4945202E-43.4945202E-41.00.0
7.71.4767965E-65.407146E-75.407146E-71.00.06.3291122E-62.3173466E-62.3173466E-61.00.07.705422E-52.8213353E-52.8213353E-51.00.07.702751E-42.8210029E-42.8210029E-41.00.0
7.81.8432911E-77.2811105E-87.2811105E-81.00.07.8998164E-73.1204758E-73.1204758E-71.00.09.617985E-63.799176E-63.799176E-61.00.09.617568E-53.7991435E-53.7991435E-51.00.0

San Gabriel (Extension)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.6486106E-65.7168368E-65.7168368E-61.00.02.4208108E-52.4500505E-52.4500505E-51.00.02.9469383E-42.9825408E-43.1824812E-41.06703692.0E-50.00294303360.00297866460.00301854551.01338894.0E-5
6.15.6486106E-65.7168368E-65.7168368E-61.00.02.4208108E-52.4500505E-52.4500505E-51.00.02.9469383E-42.9825408E-43.1824812E-41.06703692.0E-50.00294303360.00297866460.00301854551.01338894.0E-5
6.25.6486106E-65.7168368E-65.7168368E-61.00.02.4208108E-52.4500505E-52.4500505E-51.00.02.9469383E-42.9825408E-43.1824812E-41.06703692.0E-50.00294303360.00297866460.00301854551.01338894.0E-5
6.35.6486106E-65.7168368E-65.7168368E-61.00.02.4208108E-52.4500505E-52.4500505E-51.00.02.9469383E-42.9825408E-43.1824812E-41.06703692.0E-50.00294303360.00297866460.00301854551.01338894.0E-5
6.45.6486106E-65.7168368E-65.7168368E-61.00.02.4208108E-52.4500505E-52.4500505E-51.00.02.9469383E-42.9825408E-43.1824812E-41.06703692.0E-50.00294303360.00297866460.00301854551.01338894.0E-5
6.54.7134554E-64.7542608E-64.7542608E-61.00.02.0200367E-52.0375248E-52.0375248E-51.00.02.459117E-42.4804127E-42.680363E-41.08061172.0E-50.00245639750.00247772850.00251762941.01610394.0E-5
6.64.7134554E-64.7542608E-64.7542608E-61.00.02.0200367E-52.0375248E-52.0375248E-51.00.02.459117E-42.4804127E-42.680363E-41.08061172.0E-50.00245639750.00247772850.00251762941.01610394.0E-5
6.74.2468837E-64.274078E-64.274078E-61.00.01.8200803E-51.8317352E-51.8317352E-51.00.02.2157225E-42.2299167E-42.3298943E-41.04483471.0E-50.00221351440.00222775130.00225768451.01343643.0E-5
6.84.1180615E-64.1414673E-64.1414673E-61.00.01.7648716E-51.774903E-51.774903E-51.00.02.1485193E-42.1607373E-42.2607157E-41.04627051.0E-50.00214644310.00215870770.0021886431.01386733.0E-5
6.93.863861E-63.879783E-63.879783E-61.00.01.65593E-51.6627539E-51.6627539E-51.00.02.0159081E-42.0242216E-42.1242014E-41.04939171.0E-50.00201408030.00202244540.0020523851.01480353.0E-5
7.03.6947372E-63.705682E-63.705682E-61.00.01.5834492E-51.5881402E-51.5881402E-51.00.01.9276788E-41.9333958E-42.0333765E-41.05171251.0E-50.00192600740.00193178030.00196172231.01549973.0E-5
7.13.5686835E-63.5729024E-63.5729024E-61.00.01.5294268E-51.5312353E-51.5312353E-51.00.01.861918E-41.8641262E-41.9641075E-41.05363441.0E-50.00186035880.00186262840.00189257251.01607633.0E-5
7.22.8023446E-62.776794E-62.776794E-61.00.01.2009994E-51.1900492E-51.1900492E-51.00.01.4621185E-41.4487897E-41.5487752E-41.06901311.0E-50.0014611570.0014478560.0014678271.01379362.0E-5
7.32.5843012E-62.5459692E-62.5459692E-61.00.01.1075529E-51.0911252E-51.0911252E-51.00.01.3483623E-41.3283649E-41.4283515E-41.07527051.0E-50.00134754440.00132758050.0013475541.0150452.0E-5
7.42.4464468E-62.396669E-62.396669E-61.00.01.04847295E-51.0271398E-51.0271398E-51.00.01.276441E-41.250472E-41.3504595E-41.07995981.0E-50.00127570820.0012497780.0012697531.01598292.0E-5
7.52.0420266E-61.8910376E-61.8910376E-61.00.08.751514E-68.104422E-68.104422E-61.00.01.0654447E-49.866691E-51.08665925E-41.10134111.0E-50.0010649349.862344E-49.962246E-41.01012961.0E-5
7.61.8326596E-61.6398233E-61.6398233E-61.00.07.854232E-67.027795E-67.027795E-61.00.09.562107E-58.556007E-58.556007E-51.00.09.5579936E-48.552735E-48.552735E-41.00.0
7.71.4786998E-61.2523672E-61.2523672E-61.00.06.3372695E-65.3672766E-65.3672766E-61.00.07.715353E-56.534465E-56.534465E-51.00.07.7126746E-46.5325975E-46.5325975E-41.00.0
7.87.6975533E-76.069207E-76.069207E-71.00.03.2989474E-62.6010862E-62.6010862E-61.00.04.0163945E-53.1667765E-53.1667765E-51.00.04.0156685E-43.166365E-43.166365E-41.00.0
7.91.7645915E-79.211899E-89.211899E-81.00.07.562533E-73.947956E-73.947956E-71.00.09.207345E-64.806626E-64.806626E-61.00.09.206964E-54.8069025E-54.8069025E-51.00.0
8.01.0463461E-72.4937416E-82.4937416E-81.00.04.4843398E-71.0687464E-71.0687464E-71.00.05.45967E-61.3011979E-61.3011979E-61.00.05.459536E-51.3015701E-51.3015701E-51.00.0
8.17.875717E-81.3857542E-81.3857542E-81.00.03.3753068E-75.9389468E-85.9389468E-81.00.04.109428E-67.2306653E-77.2306653E-71.00.04.109352E-57.234439E-67.234439E-61.00.0
8.21.33163E-81.7720816E-91.7720816E-91.00.05.7069855E-87.594638E-97.594638E-91.00.06.9482525E-79.246471E-89.246471E-81.00.06.9482307E-69.2664203E-79.2664203E-71.00.0

Hayward (So) 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.8091932E-43.570673E-43.8705659E-41.08398783.0E-57.751381E-40.00152940080.0015593551.01958553.0E-50.009396540.0184638850.018493331.00159483.0E-50.0900900660.16670850.166741821.00019994.0E-5
6.11.8091932E-43.570673E-43.8705659E-41.08398783.0E-57.751381E-40.00152940080.0015593551.01958553.0E-50.009396540.0184638850.018493331.00159483.0E-50.0900900660.16670850.166741821.00019994.0E-5
6.21.8091932E-43.570673E-43.8705659E-41.08398783.0E-57.751381E-40.00152940080.0015593551.01958553.0E-50.009396540.0184638850.018493331.00159483.0E-50.0900900660.16670850.166741821.00019994.0E-5
6.31.7322872E-43.4263515E-43.7262487E-41.08752673.0E-57.4219756E-40.00146761970.00149757551.02041133.0E-50.00899887550.0177241470.0177536161.00166263.0E-50.086430750.160659540.160693111.0002094.0E-5
6.41.6334097E-43.2345165E-43.5344195E-41.09271963.0E-56.998449E-40.00138549360.0014154521.02162293.0E-50.0084873720.0167399270.0167694241.00176223.0E-50.0817044150.152566060.152599951.00022224.0E-5
6.51.5600289E-43.101982E-43.4018888E-41.09668233.0E-56.684125E-40.00132875180.0013587121.02254763.0E-50.0081075980.0160594430.0160889631.00183813.0E-50.0781810360.146842910.14686851.00017433.0E-5
6.61.4046066E-42.8034003E-43.0033445E-41.0713222.0E-56.018354E-40.00120091090.00122088681.0166342.0E-50.00730275550.0145245710.014544281.0013572.0E-50.070673840.133930440.133947771.00012932.0E-5
6.71.14696966E-42.3272466E-42.5272E-41.08591842.0E-54.914658E-49.970153E-40.00101699531.02003992.0E-50.00596719240.0120721630.0120919221.00163672.0E-50.0580948220.112741410.112759161.00015742.0E-5
6.89.3874296E-51.8862431E-42.0862053E-41.10601092.0E-54.0225635E-48.081431E-48.2812697E-41.02472812.0E-50.00488647870.0097954890.0098152931.00202182.0E-50.0478041730.0925929840.0926111341.0001962.0E-5
6.95.551852E-51.0729875E-41.0729875E-41.00.02.3791482E-44.5977137E-44.5977137E-41.00.00.00289276540.0055834680.0055834681.00.00.0285539810.0542460750.0542460751.00.0
7.04.2662363E-58.246792E-58.246792E-51.00.01.8282588E-43.5338648E-43.5338648E-41.00.00.00222363280.00429406580.00429406581.00.00.0220151380.042065090.042065091.00.0
7.13.305886E-56.302183E-56.302183E-51.00.01.4167312E-42.7006568E-42.7006568E-41.00.00.00172350560.0032831110.0032831111.00.00.0171019980.0324539020.0324539021.00.0
7.22.9856887E-55.701622E-55.701622E-51.00.01.2795182E-42.4433242E-42.4433242E-41.00.00.00155670010.00297070620.00297070621.00.00.0154584030.0294548010.0294548011.00.0
7.32.4559737E-54.599286E-54.599286E-51.00.01.0525176E-41.9709744E-41.9709744E-41.00.00.00128068690.00239703340.00239703341.00.00.0127333130.0238585160.0238585161.00.0
7.41.9002231E-53.505084E-53.505084E-51.00.08.143559E-51.502093E-41.502093E-41.00.09.910273E-40.0018272740.0018272741.00.00.0098661940.0182588080.0182588081.00.0
7.51.2783333E-52.3331182E-52.3331182E-51.00.05.4784563E-59.998698E-59.998698E-51.00.06.667979E-40.00121666750.00121666751.00.00.0066480070.0122094430.0122094431.00.0
7.64.8149627E-68.888056E-68.888056E-61.00.02.063539E-53.8091122E-53.8091122E-51.00.02.5120692E-44.6366194E-44.6366194E-41.00.00.00250923140.00468050870.00468050871.00.0
7.76.0838227E-71.205754E-61.205754E-61.00.02.6073499E-65.1675065E-65.1675065E-61.00.03.174402E-56.291258E-56.291258E-51.00.03.1739488E-46.5296254E-46.5296254E-41.00.0
7.84.5542808E-79.792941E-79.792941E-71.00.01.9518332E-64.196968E-64.196968E-61.00.02.376331E-55.109689E-55.109689E-51.00.02.3760769E-45.321693E-45.321693E-41.00.0
7.93.3016747E-77.3869535E-77.3869535E-71.00.01.4150027E-63.1658333E-63.1658333E-61.00.01.7227521E-53.854334E-53.854334E-51.00.01.7226185E-43.9932923E-43.9932923E-41.00.0
8.02.347038E-75.471963E-75.471963E-71.00.01.0058731E-62.3451248E-62.3451248E-61.00.01.2246436E-52.8551523E-52.8551523E-51.00.01.2245761E-42.9357258E-42.9357258E-41.00.0
8.11.18822804E-72.6060948E-72.6060948E-71.00.05.092405E-71.1168972E-61.1168972E-61.00.06.1999854E-61.359814E-51.359814E-51.00.06.199812E-51.3918082E-41.3918082E-41.00.0

Oak Ridge (Onshore)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.155064E-52.9526076E-52.9526076E-51.00.01.3521002E-41.265344E-41.265344E-41.00.00.0016449390.00153950580.00153950581.00.00.016328160.0152930540.0153324431.00257554.0E-5
6.13.155064E-52.9526076E-52.9526076E-51.00.01.3521002E-41.265344E-41.265344E-41.00.00.0016449390.00153950580.00153950581.00.00.016328160.0152930540.0153324431.00257554.0E-5
6.23.155064E-52.9526076E-52.9526076E-51.00.01.3521002E-41.265344E-41.265344E-41.00.00.0016449390.00153950580.00153950581.00.00.016328160.0152930540.0153324431.00257554.0E-5
6.33.155064E-52.9526076E-52.9526076E-51.00.01.3521002E-41.265344E-41.265344E-41.00.00.0016449390.00153950580.00153950581.00.00.016328160.0152930540.0153324431.00257554.0E-5
6.43.155064E-52.9526076E-52.9526076E-51.00.01.3521002E-41.265344E-41.265344E-41.00.00.0016449390.00153950580.00153950581.00.00.016328160.0152930540.0153324431.00257554.0E-5
6.53.155064E-52.9526076E-52.9526076E-51.00.01.3521002E-41.265344E-41.265344E-41.00.00.0016449390.00153950580.00153950581.00.00.016328160.0152930540.0153324431.00257554.0E-5
6.63.155064E-52.9526076E-52.9526076E-51.00.01.3521002E-41.265344E-41.265344E-41.00.00.0016449390.00153950580.00153950581.00.00.016328160.0152930540.0153324431.00257554.0E-5
6.73.098897E-52.8864279E-52.8864279E-51.00.01.328031E-41.236984E-41.236984E-41.00.00.00161567850.00150502530.00150502531.00.00.0160398220.0149529090.0149923121.00263514.0E-5
6.83.0449872E-52.8239476E-52.8239476E-51.00.01.3049292E-41.2102092E-41.2102092E-41.00.00.00158759350.0014724710.0014724711.00.00.0157629920.0146316580.0146710721.00269384.0E-5
6.92.697928E-52.4219877E-52.4219877E-51.00.01.15620365E-41.03795464E-41.03795464E-41.00.00.00140676890.00126299880.00126299881.00.00.01397896650.0125610660.012590691.00235833.0E-5
7.02.4893961E-52.1862146E-52.1862146E-51.00.01.0668404E-49.369165E-59.369165E-51.00.00.00129810430.00114011660.00114011661.00.00.0129054770.0113451020.0113747621.00261433.0E-5
7.12.0945363E-51.7354592E-51.7354592E-51.00.08.976275E-57.437473E-57.437473E-51.00.00.00109231369.0514094E-49.0514094E-41.00.00.01086960.0090156210.009045351.00329763.0E-5
7.22.0439404E-51.680953E-51.680953E-51.00.08.7594504E-57.203888E-57.203888E-51.00.00.00106594138.767251E-48.767251E-41.00.00.0106084270.0087337230.0087634611.0034053.0E-5
7.31.8463334E-51.5381947E-51.5381947E-51.00.07.912617E-56.592098E-56.592098E-51.00.09.6293533E-48.0229685E-48.0229685E-41.00.00.0095877340.00799500850.0080247691.00372233.0E-5
7.41.763139E-51.4516977E-51.4516977E-51.00.07.556091E-56.221415E-56.221415E-51.00.09.1956573E-47.57198E-47.57198E-41.00.00.0091576990.0075471260.00757689961.0039453.0E-5
7.51.3594944E-51.1163363E-51.1163363E-51.00.05.8262744E-54.7842117E-54.7842117E-51.00.07.0911803E-45.8232463E-45.8232463E-41.00.00.0070685950.0058083620.00583818741.00513493.0E-5
7.66.9889534E-65.6367194E-65.6367194E-61.00.02.9952313E-52.4157147E-52.4157147E-51.00.03.646084E-42.94074E-42.94074E-41.00.00.00364010730.00293689240.00294686321.0033951.0E-5
7.74.0824193E-63.2832731E-63.2832731E-61.00.01.7495966E-51.4071096E-51.4071096E-51.00.02.1299256E-41.7130225E-41.7130225E-41.00.00.00212788510.00171171550.00172169841.00583211.0E-5
7.81.7023609E-61.43706E-61.43706E-61.00.07.295812E-66.158814E-66.158814E-61.00.08.882289E-57.4981006E-57.4981006E-51.00.08.8787393E-47.4955984E-47.5955235E-41.01333121.0E-5
7.92.721225E-72.261692E-72.261692E-71.00.01.1662388E-69.692963E-79.692963E-71.00.01.4198865E-51.1801121E-51.1801121E-51.00.01.4197957E-41.1800523E-41.1800523E-41.00.0
8.09.364255E-95.1204916E-95.1204916E-91.00.04.0132523E-82.1944963E-82.1944963E-81.00.04.8861335E-72.671799E-72.671799E-71.00.04.8861225E-62.6717962E-62.6717962E-61.00.0

Kern Canyon (Lake Isabella) 2011

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.2387383E-64.0016344E-61.40015945E-53.4989691.0E-51.8165894E-51.7149758E-52.7149586E-51.58308861.0E-52.2114732E-42.0878017E-42.3877391E-41.14366193.0E-50.00220927360.0020860240.00212594081.01913524.0E-5
6.14.2387383E-64.0016344E-61.40015945E-53.4989691.0E-51.8165894E-51.7149758E-52.7149586E-51.58308861.0E-52.2114732E-42.0878017E-42.3877391E-41.14366193.0E-50.00220927360.0020860240.00212594081.01913524.0E-5
6.24.2387383E-64.0016344E-61.40015945E-53.4989691.0E-51.8165894E-51.7149758E-52.7149586E-51.58308861.0E-52.2114732E-42.0878017E-42.3877391E-41.14366193.0E-50.00220927360.0020860240.00212594081.01913524.0E-5
6.34.2387383E-64.0016344E-61.40015945E-53.4989691.0E-51.8165894E-51.7149758E-52.7149586E-51.58308861.0E-52.2114732E-42.0878017E-42.3877391E-41.14366193.0E-50.00220927360.0020860240.00212594081.01913524.0E-5
6.44.2387383E-64.0016344E-61.40015945E-53.4989691.0E-51.8165894E-51.7149758E-52.7149586E-51.58308861.0E-52.2114732E-42.0878017E-42.3877391E-41.14366193.0E-50.00220927360.0020860240.00212594081.01913524.0E-5
6.52.7857532E-62.5178624E-61.2517838E-54.9716131.0E-51.1938888E-51.0790796E-52.0790689E-51.92670571.0E-51.4534626E-41.3137035E-41.5136773E-41.15222132.0E-50.00145251230.00131295960.00134292021.02281923.0E-5
6.62.2233348E-61.944119E-61.1944099E-56.14370781.0E-59.528543E-68.331913E-61.833183E-52.20019461.0E-51.1600384E-41.014364E-41.1143539E-41.09857391.0E-50.0011594330.00101390960.00102389951.00985281.0E-5
6.72.1635126E-61.8834991E-61.18834805E-56.30925751.0E-59.272164E-68.072114E-61.8072033E-52.2388231.0E-51.1288274E-49.827364E-51.0827266E-41.10174671.0E-50.00112825429.8231E-49.923001E-41.01017011.0E-5
6.81.8685711E-61.583138E-61.1583122E-57.3165591.0E-58.008137E-66.7848596E-61.6784792E-52.47385981.0E-59.74947E-58.2602586E-59.260176E-51.12105151.0E-59.745194E-48.2572375E-48.357155E-41.01210061.0E-5
6.91.5815071E-61.3064887E-61.3064887E-61.00.06.77787E-65.5992255E-65.5992255E-61.00.08.251744E-56.816846E-56.816846E-51.00.08.248681E-46.8147824E-46.8147824E-41.00.0
7.01.3772564E-61.1210681E-61.1210681E-61.00.05.9025137E-64.8045686E-64.8045686E-61.00.07.186073E-55.8494075E-55.8494075E-51.00.07.18375E-45.8478885E-45.8478885E-41.00.0
7.11.0916998E-68.7637505E-78.7637505E-71.00.04.678705E-63.7558877E-63.7558877E-61.00.05.6961744E-54.5726985E-54.5726985E-51.00.05.6947145E-44.571771E-44.571771E-41.00.0
7.27.6277024E-75.901439E-75.901439E-71.00.03.2690114E-62.5291856E-62.5291856E-61.00.03.9799485E-53.0792406E-53.0792406E-51.00.03.9792358E-43.07882E-43.07882E-41.00.0
7.35.3265916E-74.3824264E-74.3824264E-71.00.02.282823E-61.8781814E-61.8781814E-61.00.02.7793016E-52.2866623E-52.2866623E-51.00.02.778954E-42.2864307E-42.2864307E-41.00.0
7.43.4946007E-73.0065647E-73.0065647E-71.00.01.497685E-61.2885271E-61.2885271E-61.00.01.8234163E-51.5687707E-51.5687707E-51.00.01.8232666E-41.5686621E-41.5686621E-41.00.0
7.51.8317026E-71.4244755E-71.4244755E-71.00.07.850152E-76.1048934E-76.1048934E-71.00.09.557518E-67.432683E-67.432683E-61.00.09.5571064E-57.432442E-57.432442E-51.00.0
7.62.572245E-81.735264E-81.735264E-81.00.01.10239064E-77.436845E-87.436845E-81.00.01.3421597E-69.0543557E-79.0543557E-71.00.01.3421517E-59.054324E-69.054324E-61.00.0

Raymond

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5157413E-51.5810125E-51.5810125E-51.00.06.4958724E-56.775606E-56.775606E-51.00.07.905855E-48.246429E-48.446264E-41.02423292.0E-50.0078777880.0082183550.0082580261.00482714.0E-5
6.11.5157413E-51.5810125E-51.5810125E-51.00.06.4958724E-56.775606E-56.775606E-51.00.07.905855E-48.246429E-48.446264E-41.02423292.0E-50.0078777880.0082183550.0082580261.00482714.0E-5
6.21.5157413E-51.5810125E-51.5810125E-51.00.06.4958724E-56.775606E-56.775606E-51.00.07.905855E-48.246429E-48.446264E-41.02423292.0E-50.0078777880.0082183550.0082580261.00482714.0E-5
6.31.5157413E-51.5810125E-51.5810125E-51.00.06.4958724E-56.775606E-56.775606E-51.00.07.905855E-48.246429E-48.446264E-41.02423292.0E-50.0078777880.0082183550.0082580261.00482714.0E-5
6.41.3941944E-51.4454688E-51.4454688E-51.00.05.9749822E-56.194732E-56.194732E-51.00.07.2721124E-47.53971E-47.6396344E-41.01325311.0E-50.0072483610.0075164710.00754624561.00396123.0E-5
6.51.3941944E-51.4454688E-51.4454688E-51.00.05.9749822E-56.194732E-56.194732E-51.00.07.2721124E-47.53971E-47.6396344E-41.01325311.0E-50.0072483610.0075164710.00754624561.00396123.0E-5
6.61.0542609E-51.067111E-51.067111E-51.00.04.5181827E-54.573256E-54.573256E-51.00.05.499499E-45.566571E-45.666515E-41.01795431.0E-50.0054859090.00555319660.00557308551.00358152.0E-5
6.71.0542609E-51.067111E-51.067111E-51.00.04.5181827E-54.573256E-54.573256E-51.00.05.499499E-45.566571E-45.666515E-41.01795431.0E-50.0054859090.00555319660.00557308551.00358152.0E-5
6.81.0079132E-51.0176644E-51.0176644E-51.00.04.3195567E-54.3613487E-54.3613487E-51.00.05.257791E-45.308702E-45.408649E-41.0188271.0E-50.00524536850.00529657770.00531647171.0037562.0E-5
6.97.721598E-67.548902E-67.548902E-61.00.03.3092143E-53.2352043E-53.2352043E-51.00.04.0282236E-43.9381615E-44.038122E-41.02538251.0E-50.00402092930.0039313240.00395124551.00506732.0E-5
7.07.137566E-66.911303E-66.911303E-61.00.03.058921E-52.961954E-52.961954E-51.00.03.7236E-43.605593E-43.705557E-41.02772471.0E-50.00371736680.0035998690.0036197971.00553572.0E-5
7.15.654976E-65.299538E-65.299538E-61.00.02.4235387E-52.2712107E-52.2712107E-51.00.02.9502588E-42.7648505E-42.8648227E-41.03615831.0E-50.00294634510.00276144920.0027813941.00722252.0E-5
7.24.9358455E-64.526655E-64.526655E-61.00.02.1153453E-51.9399806E-51.9399806E-51.00.02.5751285E-42.3616718E-42.4616483E-41.04233291.0E-50.00257214650.0023591920.00237914451.00845742.0E-5
7.34.2368597E-63.8056128E-63.8056128E-61.00.01.8157843E-51.6309668E-51.6309668E-51.00.02.2104931E-41.9855222E-42.0855023E-41.05035461.0E-50.00220829550.00198377460.0020037351.01006172.0E-5
7.43.4999923E-63.0437407E-63.0437407E-61.00.01.49998805E-51.3044538E-51.3044538E-51.00.01.8260824E-41.5880575E-41.6880417E-41.062961.0E-50.00182458260.00158694610.00160691431.01258282.0E-5
7.52.738017E-62.3020405E-62.3020405E-61.00.01.1734306E-59.865851E-69.865851E-61.00.01.428558E-41.20110184E-41.20110184E-41.00.00.00142764010.00120047470.00121046271.00832011.0E-5
7.61.8186392E-61.442302E-61.442302E-61.00.07.794145E-66.1812802E-66.1812802E-61.00.09.488958E-57.5254524E-57.5254524E-51.00.09.4849075E-47.5230957E-47.5230957E-41.00.0
7.71.0660348E-67.6437E-77.6437E-71.00.04.5687125E-63.2758674E-63.2758674E-61.00.05.5622655E-53.988297E-53.988297E-51.00.05.5608735E-43.9877492E-43.9877492E-41.00.0
7.86.913602E-74.3202903E-74.3202903E-71.00.02.962969E-61.8515517E-61.8515517E-61.00.03.607355E-52.2542416E-52.2542416E-51.00.03.6067693E-42.2541684E-42.2541684E-41.00.0
7.97.425201E-85.322267E-85.322267E-81.00.03.1822285E-72.2809714E-72.2809714E-71.00.03.874356E-62.7770805E-62.7770805E-61.00.03.8742884E-52.7770588E-52.7770588E-51.00.0

Elsinore (Temecula) rev

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.9514995E-52.251887E-55.2518197E-52.3321863.0E-51.264867E-49.6505995E-51.265031E-41.31083153.0E-50.00153888760.00117434920.00121430231.03402144.0E-50.0152827450.0116881350.0117276671.00338234.0E-5
6.12.9514995E-52.251887E-55.2518197E-52.3321863.0E-51.264867E-49.6505995E-51.265031E-41.31083153.0E-50.00153888760.00117434920.00121430231.03402144.0E-50.0152827450.0116881350.0117276671.00338234.0E-5
6.22.9514995E-52.251887E-55.2518197E-52.3321863.0E-51.264867E-49.6505995E-51.265031E-41.31083153.0E-50.00153888760.00117434920.00121430231.03402144.0E-50.0152827450.0116881350.0117276671.00338234.0E-5
6.32.3223649E-51.840822E-52.8408034E-51.54322561.0E-59.952613E-57.889008E-58.888929E-51.12674871.0E-50.0012110579.600807E-49.800615E-41.02081162.0E-50.0120447830.0095512840.0095710921.0020742.0E-5
6.42.3223649E-51.840822E-52.8408034E-51.54322561.0E-59.952613E-57.889008E-58.888929E-51.12674871.0E-50.0012110579.600807E-49.800615E-41.02081162.0E-50.0120447830.0095512840.0095710921.0020742.0E-5
6.51.8338875E-51.4750074E-52.4749927E-51.67795261.0E-57.8592806E-56.321312E-57.321249E-51.1581851.0E-59.5644733E-47.6935673E-47.8934134E-41.02597572.0E-50.0095234120.00766996760.0076898141.00258762.0E-5
6.61.8223333E-51.461263E-52.4612484E-51.68432951.0E-57.809766E-56.26241E-57.262348E-51.1596731.0E-59.504242E-47.621905E-47.821753E-41.02622022.0E-50.0094636960.0075987960.00761864431.0026122.0E-5
6.71.7512752E-51.4026963E-52.4026822E-51.71290271.0E-57.505249E-56.0114216E-57.0113616E-51.166341.0E-59.13381E-47.316534E-47.516388E-41.02731542.0E-50.009096360.00729833170.00731818561.00272042.0E-5
6.81.7417142E-51.395093E-52.395079E-51.7167881.0E-57.4642754E-55.978838E-56.9787784E-51.16724661.0E-59.083966E-47.27689E-47.4767444E-41.02746432.0E-50.0090469220.0072593590.0072792141.0027352.0E-5
6.91.6402591E-51.29883665E-52.2988237E-51.76990971.0E-57.0294926E-55.5663284E-56.566273E-51.17964161.0E-58.5550465E-46.774974E-46.974839E-41.02950042.0E-50.0085221860.00675986470.00677972941.00293862.0E-5
7.01.3912486E-51.0878067E-52.0877958E-51.9192711.0E-55.9623577E-54.661947E-55.6619003E-51.21449271.0E-57.2567526E-45.674469E-45.874356E-41.03522562.0E-50.00723310140.00566353140.00568341841.00351132.0E-5
7.11.3405147E-51.0327192E-52.0327088E-51.96830741.0E-55.7449364E-54.4258657E-55.4258217E-51.22593451.0E-56.9922156E-45.3871854E-45.5870775E-41.03710512.0E-50.00697025560.0053773660.0053972591.00369932.0E-5
7.21.21402E-58.996479E-68.996479E-61.00.05.202839E-53.8555776E-53.8555776E-51.00.06.332616E-44.6931725E-44.7931256E-41.02129761.0E-50.00631460.00468472620.00469467931.00212451.0E-5
7.31.05047775E-57.571515E-67.571515E-61.00.04.5019697E-53.2448956E-53.2448956E-51.00.05.4797693E-43.9499588E-44.0499194E-41.02530671.0E-50.0054662770.0039433480.00395330831.00252591.0E-5
7.49.624483E-66.786621E-66.786621E-61.00.04.124713E-52.90852E-52.90852E-51.00.05.0206814E-43.5405616E-43.6405263E-41.02823411.0E-50.0050093530.00353507260.00354503721.00281881.0E-5
7.58.215151E-65.6353133E-65.6353133E-61.00.03.5207315E-52.4151126E-52.4151126E-51.00.04.2856473E-42.9400157E-42.9400157E-41.00.00.0042773920.0029362540.0029362541.00.0
7.66.975058E-64.675836E-64.675836E-61.00.02.9892764E-52.003915E-52.003915E-51.00.03.6388362E-42.439505E-42.439505E-41.00.00.00363288350.00243694340.00243694341.00.0
7.74.159604E-62.326789E-62.326789E-61.00.01.7826753E-59.971919E-69.971919E-61.00.02.1701909E-41.2140209E-41.2140209E-41.00.00.00216807260.00121343080.00121343081.00.0
7.82.2692414E-79.384417E-89.384417E-81.00.09.725317E-74.0218927E-74.0218927E-71.00.01.1840509E-54.8966467E-64.8966467E-61.00.01.1839878E-44.8965718E-54.8965718E-51.00.0
7.96.676829E-93.4397174E-93.4397174E-91.00.02.861498E-81.4741646E-81.4741646E-81.00.03.4838732E-71.7947953E-71.7947953E-71.00.03.4838679E-61.794794E-61.794794E-61.00.0

North Frontal (West)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob