Start 1919, 500 yr, Scale Factor 1.0, Spontaneous, Historical Catalog Results

Start 1919, 500 yr, Scale Factor 1.0, Spontaneous, Historical Catalog
Num Simulations1000
Start Time1919/01/01 00:00:00 UTC
Start Time Epoch Milliseconds-1609459200000
Duration500 Years
Includes Spontaneous?true
Trigger Ruptures(none)
Historical Ruptures165 Trigger Ruptures
First: M7.3 at 1852/01/05 04:40:39 UTC
Last: M6.5 at 1918/07/15 00:24:39 UTC
Largest: M7.9 at 1857/01/09 16:25:39 UTC
Config Generated Withu3etas_config_builder.sh --start-year 1919 --num-simulations 1000 --duration-years 500 --include-spontaneous --historical-catalog --scale-factor 1.0 --hpc-site USC_HPC --nodes 36 --hours 24 --queue scec

Table Of Contents

Magnitude Frequency Distribution

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Legend

MFD Plot

MagMean2.5 %ile97.5 %ileMedianModeLong-Term Fault System Solution500 yr Probability500 yr Prob 95% Conf500 yr Supra-Seis Prob
M≥56.8186.2107.5326.8146.9428.6091.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥5.15.3944.8945.9585.3885.4826.8301.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥5.24.2613.8384.7284.2564.3025.4171.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥5.33.3613.0103.7483.3663.1904.2951.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥5.42.6462.3662.9522.6422.5623.4041.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥5.52.0781.8522.3262.0722.0662.6961.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥5.61.6271.4341.8301.6241.6302.1331.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥5.71.2691.1161.4261.2641.2281.6861.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥5.80.9840.8661.1140.9800.9981.3311.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥5.90.7490.6500.8540.7460.7421.0361.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥60.5920.5060.6840.5900.5840.8361.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥6.10.4550.3860.5320.4520.4520.6601.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥6.20.3580.3020.4220.3560.3600.5291.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥6.30.2820.2360.3360.2800.2880.4201.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥6.40.2190.1800.2640.2180.2180.3321.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥6.50.1690.1340.2080.1680.1700.2601.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥6.60.1310.1000.1640.1300.1300.2051.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥6.70.1000.0760.1280.1000.1000.1601.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥6.80.0790.0580.1020.0800.0840.1271.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥6.90.0610.0420.0800.0620.0640.1001.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥70.0470.0320.0660.0480.0480.0781.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥7.10.0360.0220.0520.0360.0360.0601.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥7.20.0270.0160.0400.0260.0240.0451.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥7.30.0210.0120.0320.0220.0200.0351.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥7.40.0168.00E-30.0260.0160.0140.0271.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥7.50.0126.00E-30.0200.0120.0100.0191.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥7.68.80E-34.00E-30.0168.00E-38.00E-30.0141.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]1.000 (100.00%)
M≥7.76.18E-32.00E-30.0106.00E-36.00E-39.58E-30.997 (99.70%)[99.05% 99.92%]0.997 (99.70%)
M≥7.84.28E-32.00E-38.00E-34.00E-34.00E-36.19E-30.977 (97.70%)[96.51% 98.50%]0.977 (97.70%)
M≥7.92.34E-30.0006.00E-32.00E-32.00E-33.51E-30.788 (78.80%)[76.11% 81.27%]0.788 (78.80%)
M≥81.26E-30.0004.00E-32.00E-30.0002.03E-30.525 (52.50%)[49.35% 55.63%]0.525 (52.50%)
M≥8.15.98E-40.0002.00E-30.0000.0001.02E-30.281 (28.10%)[25.35% 31.02%]0.281 (28.10%)
M≥8.22.62E-40.0002.00E-30.0000.0004.48E-40.130 (13.00%)[11.01% 15.28%]0.130 (13.00%)
M≥8.36.80E-50.0002.00E-30.0000.0001.02E-40.034 (3.40%)[2.40% 4.77%]0.034 (3.40%)
M≥8.40.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.48%]0.000 (0.00%)
M≥8.50.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.48%]0.000 (0.00%)
M≥8.60.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.48%]0.000 (0.00%)
M≥8.70.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.48%]0.000 (0.00%)
M≥8.80.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.48%]0.000 (0.00%)
M≥8.90.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.48%]0.000 (0.00%)
M≥90.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000 (0.00%)[0.00% 0.48%]0.000 (0.00%)

Long Term Rate Variability

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162 Year Variability

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Fixed Time Plot

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MagnitudeMeanMedianModeStd. Dev.2.5 %-ile16 %-ile84 %-ile97.5 %-ile
5.06.81515036.7716056.75308660.658798645.63580236.1543217.45061738.209877
5.15.3916445.36419775.4320990.5303314.44444474.85802465.90740736.512346
5.24.25948954.2345684.1481480.42623453.48148163.83950614.67901235.1790123
5.33.35981273.3456793.27777770.34483332.73456793.01851843.69753074.1049385
5.42.64480452.62962962.59876540.2784652.14197542.37037042.91358023.2407408
5.52.07759052.06790112.02469130.22491181.67283951.85802472.30246932.5555556
5.61.62652271.61728391.55555560.183165061.29629621.44444441.8086422.006173
5.71.26901031.25925921.23456790.147981811.01.12345681.41975311.574074
5.80.98376750.98148150.98765430.11925370.771604960.864197551.09876541.2345679
5.90.74854320.746913550.728395040.096444110.57407410.6543210.839506150.9506173
6.00.59207820.586419760.59259260.080332850.444444450.51234570.67283950.7592593
6.10.45482510.450617280.444444450.0667197850.333333340.38888890.51851850.59876543
6.20.357738670.351851850.345679010.0559545270.253086420.302469130.413580240.47530866
6.30.281629620.27777780.271604930.0477494450.197530870.23456790.32716050.38271606
6.40.219203710.216049390.209876540.040507610.141975310.179012340.259259250.30246913
6.50.168602880.166666670.172839510.034515890.104938270.135802460.20370370.24074075
6.60.130598770.129629630.123456790.0295145050.0740740750.098765430.160493820.19135803
6.70.1001152250.098765430.092592590.024760870.0555555560.0740740750.123456790.15432099
6.80.0787880640.080246910.080246910.0217437760.0370370370.0555555560.098765430.12345679
6.90.0609711930.0617283960.0617283960.0189142380.0246913580.0432098770.080246910.09876543
7.00.0473930050.0432098770.0432098770.0166836550.0185185190.0308641980.0617283960.086419754
7.10.0359423870.0370370370.0370370370.0143590160.0123456790.0246913580.0493827160.06790123
7.20.027102880.0246913580.0246913580.012214350.00617283960.0123456790.0370370370.055555556
7.30.0212798360.0185185190.0185185190.010568970.00617283960.0123456790.0308641980.043209877
7.40.0162860080.0185185190.0123456790.0091424630.00.00617283960.0246913580.037037037
7.50.011681070.0123456790.0123456790.00761851670.00.00617283960.0185185190.030864198
7.60.0087777780.00617283960.00617283960.0064494010.00.00.0123456790.024691358
7.70.0061316870.00617283960.00617283960.0053012250.00.00.0123456790.018518519
7.80.00423868330.00617283960.00617283960.0043032450.00.00.00617283960.012345679
7.90.00232098760.00.00.0032860450.00.00.00617283960.0061728396
8.00.00124897120.00.00.00254600960.00.00.00617283960.0061728396
8.15.9876544E-40.00.00.00182720440.00.00.00.0061728396
8.22.5925925E-40.00.00.0012384110.00.00.00.0061728396
8.36.584362E-50.00.06.3422456E-40.00.00.00.0
8.40.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.50.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.60.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.70.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.80.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.90.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
9.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

80 Year Variability

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Fixed Time Plot

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MagnitudeMeanMedianModeStd. Dev.2.5 %-ile16 %-ile84 %-ile97.5 %-ile
5.06.8143216.7256.51250.98230855.1755.857.7758.9875
5.15.3908155.31254.9250.78856654.0754.61256.16257.1625
5.24.2588754.23.93750.633027433.18753.63754.88755.6375
5.33.3594733.31253.13750.51103462.48752.86253.8754.475
5.42.64455412.61252.650.412015861.93752.23753.06253.55
5.52.07729172.052.01250.332964661.51.752.41252.8
5.61.62631.61251.58750.269677881.151.36251.88752.2
5.71.26885211.251.28750.217355430.88751.06251.4751.725
5.80.98358750.9750.91250.174567860.6750.81251.151.35
5.90.74852920.73750.750.141012360.50.61250.88751.0625
6.00.591906250.58750.56250.116905510.38750.4750.70.85
6.10.454693760.450.4250.09664270.2750.36250.550.6625
6.20.357643750.350.33750.0817497750.21250.2750.43750.5375
6.30.28148750.2750.26250.0698240.16250.21250.350.425
6.40.219114590.21250.21250.0593851880.11250.16250.2750.35
6.50.16856250.16250.150.0505828080.0750.11250.21250.275
6.60.1305250.1250.1250.0432374070.06250.08750.1750.225
6.70.1000854150.10.08750.0366548230.03750.06250.13750.175
6.80.078779170.0750.0750.032175540.0250.050.11250.15
6.90.0609666670.06250.06250.02772570.01250.03750.08750.125
7.00.047368750.050.03750.0244773350.01250.0250.0750.1
7.10.0359208320.03750.0250.0212261640.00.01250.06250.0875
7.20.0270750.0250.0250.0181320160.00.01250.050.0625
7.30.0212479160.0250.01250.015760240.00.00.03750.0625
7.40.0162541660.01250.01250.0135746190.00.00.0250.05
7.50.0116583330.01250.01250.0114446530.00.00.0250.0375
7.60.00875833350.01250.00.0096649540.00.00.01250.025
7.70.0061250.00.00.0080490270.00.00.01250.025
7.80.00423541670.00.00.00664273230.00.00.01250.025
7.90.002318750.00.00.00501222260.00.00.01250.0125
8.00.00124791670.00.00.00377523130.00.00.00.0125
8.15.9791666E-40.00.00.00266789060.00.00.00.0125
8.22.6041668E-40.00.00.00178547550.00.00.00.0
8.36.666667E-50.00.09.105092E-40.00.00.00.0
8.40.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.50.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.60.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.70.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.80.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.90.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
9.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

28 Year Variability

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Fixed Time Plot

Download CSV Here

MagnitudeMeanMedianModeStd. Dev.2.5 %-ile16 %-ile84 %-ile97.5 %-ile
5.06.8133196.4642865.9642861.69117374.4642865.3214298.28571411.107142
5.15.3896895.1428574.9642861.35572283.46428564.1785716.5714298.785714
5.24.2580594.0714293.6428571.08778292.67857153.28571445.2142866.928571
5.33.35885293.21428563.03571440.875414552.07142852.57142854.1428575.5
5.42.64409882.53571442.53571440.702243751.57142852.03.28571444.321429
5.52.0770422.01.92857150.566993061.17857151.53571432.6071433.4285715
5.61.62611771.57142851.50.457259330.892857131.21428572.07142852.7142856
5.71.26876891.21428571.17857150.36862910.67857140.92857141.60714282.142857
5.80.9835210.964285730.892857130.298389850.50.714285731.251.6428572
5.90.74845170.714285730.67857140.239395110.357142870.535714270.964285731.2857143
6.00.591880260.57142860.535714270.199892610.250.392857130.785714271.0357143
6.10.454668070.428571430.392857130.166870650.178571430.28571430.607142870.8214286
6.20.357651260.357142870.28571430.141628190.107142860.214285720.50.6785714
6.30.28151050.28571430.250.121045790.0714285750.178571430.392857130.53571427
6.40.219113440.214285720.214285720.103422720.0357142870.107142860.321428570.4642857
6.50.168600840.142857150.142857150.088558880.0357142870.0714285750.250.35714287
6.60.130539910.107142860.107142860.076181920.00.0714285750.214285720.2857143
6.70.100107140.107142860.0714285750.065135930.00.0357142870.178571430.25
6.80.078804620.0714285750.0714285750.0568825570.00.0357142870.142857150.21428572
6.90.0609894950.0357142870.0357142870.049244360.00.00.107142860.17857143
7.00.0473781530.0357142870.0357142870.043235590.00.00.0714285750.14285715
7.10.0359369740.0357142870.00.037475920.00.00.0714285750.14285715
7.20.027077730.0357142870.00.032149480.00.00.0714285750.10714286
7.30.0212436970.00.00.0281077980.00.00.0357142870.10714286
7.40.0162268910.00.00.0241994220.00.00.0357142870.071428575
7.50.011623950.00.00.02029290.00.00.0357142870.071428575
7.60.0087352940.00.00.017356940.00.00.0357142870.035714287
7.70.0061050420.00.00.0144304860.00.00.0357142870.035714287
7.80.00421638650.00.00.0119339660.00.00.00.035714287
7.90.00229831920.00.00.008857530.00.00.00.035714287
8.00.00123529420.00.00.006537910.00.00.00.035714287
8.15.9033616E-40.00.00.0045536970.00.00.00.0
8.22.5840336E-40.00.00.00302695530.00.00.00.0
8.36.302521E-50.00.00.00149901980.00.00.00.0
8.40.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.50.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.60.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.70.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.80.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
8.90.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
9.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Variability Duration Dependence

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Duration Dependence Plot

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Duration (years)MeanMedianModeStd. Dev.2.5 %-ile16 %-ile84 %-ile97.5 %-ile
1.06.8177665.04.07.1689061.03.010.022.0
4.06.8177666.05.04.02653652.754.09.017.5
8.06.81655266.1255.6252.98689373.3754.58.7515.0
12.06.81473356.255.33333352.49113583.83333334.83333358.66666713.583333
16.06.81655266.31255.6252.18942954.06255.08.562512.6875
20.06.8177666.45.81.98147654.25.18.512.0
24.06.8143216.41666656.04166651.82468594.33333355.20833358.37511.541667
28.06.8133196.4642865.9642861.69117374.4642865.3214298.28571411.107142
32.06.8143216.531255.968751.5864854.531255.3758.2510.75
36.06.81294446.52777776.251.50205214.6388895.44444478.16666710.527778
40.06.8143216.5755.91.42210294.75.4758.1510.3
44.06.815566.5909096.13636351.36967184.77272755.54545458.09090910.136364
48.06.8143216.60416655.79166651.29999344.83333355.60416658.0416679.916667
52.06.81294446.61538466.19230751.2526454.88461545.63461548.0192319.846154
56.06.8077396.6256.3751.19647034.9285715.6785717.9642869.607142
60.06.8143216.66666656.71666671.15580875.0166675.77.93333349.466666
64.06.8077396.6718756.0781251.11566915.0468755.7343757.8906259.375
68.06.8133196.67647086.95588251.08103925.07352925.76470577.8676479.279411
72.06.80421546.66666656.31944471.05768825.1255.77777777.83333359.208333
76.06.8108976.68421036.6447371.01889695.15789465.81578977.82894759.157895
80.06.8143216.7256.51250.98230855.1755.857.7758.9875
84.06.80385736.69047646.3452380.96675255.23809535.86904767.73809539.0
88.06.80691586.70454556.8068180.94764655.27272755.88636357.73863658.897727
92.06.81120636.70652156.53260850.92333965.28260855.91304357.7282618.815217
96.06.8143216.72916656.61458350.896258655.31255.91666657.69791658.739583
100.06.8177666.756.870.87557235.325.947.678.74
200.06.79586276.756.640.58832575.7456.237.3858.045
300.06.7606276.72666656.69666670.454847545.956.31333357.20666657.7766666
400.06.79586276.77756.53250.39111666.1056.38757.187.66
500.06.8177666.8146.9420.339578636.216.4727.1667.532

Simulation Stationarity

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Stationarity Plot

Moment Rate Plot

Section Participation

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Section Participation Plots

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Min MagComplete Catalog (including spontaneous)Ratio WRT Long-Term Model
All Supra. Seis.Participation PlotParticipation Plot
M≥6.5Participation PlotParticipation Plot
M≥7Participation PlotParticipation Plot
M≥7.5Participation PlotParticipation Plot
M≥8Participation PlotParticipation Plot

Supra-Seismogenic Parent Sections Table

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First 10 of 313 with matching ruptures shown

Parent NameTotal Mean Annual RateTotal 500 Year ProbTotal 500 Year 95% ConfLong-Term Fault System Solution Rate
San Andreas (Parkfield)0.0409021.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.047238618
San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM0.0252621.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.03419009
San Andreas (Mojave S)0.017971.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.016211301
Mendocino0.0143061.000 (100.00%)[99.52% 100.00%]0.028919645
Cerro Prieto0.0118340.999 (99.90%)[99.35% 99.99%]0.015186971
Imperial0.010420.999 (99.90%)[99.35% 99.99%]0.014349225
Brawley (Seismic Zone) alt 10.0095520.999 (99.90%)[99.35% 99.99%]0.013392845
Hayward (So) 2011 CFM0.008010.997 (99.70%)[99.05% 99.92%]0.009440966
Elsinore (Glen Ivy) rev0.0066820.967 (96.70%)[95.34% 97.68%]0.008455746
San Andreas (Offshore) 2011 CFM0.006670.992 (99.20%)[98.36% 99.63%]0.008909097

M≥6.5 Parent Sections Table

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First 10 of 306 with matching ruptures shown

Parent NameTotal Mean Annual RateTotal 500 Year ProbTotal 500 Year 95% ConfLong-Term Fault System Solution Rate
Cerro Prieto0.0101820.999 (99.90%)[99.35% 99.99%]0.013091409
San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM0.009080.998 (99.80%)[99.20% 99.97%]0.012216282
Mendocino0.0071040.976 (97.60%)[96.39% 98.42%]0.012516479
Imperial0.0070820.992 (99.20%)[98.36% 99.63%]0.0096799815
Hayward (So) 2011 CFM0.0067640.994 (99.40%)[98.63% 99.76%]0.008140643
Brawley (Seismic Zone) alt 10.0067260.991 (99.10%)[98.23% 99.56%]0.009075132
San Andreas (Mojave S)0.006060.999 (99.90%)[99.35% 99.99%]0.0067372364
San Andreas (Santa Cruz Mts) 2011 CFM0.0057720.989 (98.90%)[97.98% 99.42%]0.00821497
San Andreas (San Bernardino N)0.0055680.990 (99.00%)[98.10% 99.49%]0.0067538084
San Andreas (Cholame) rev0.0050680.998 (99.80%)[99.20% 99.97%]0.006128417

M≥7 Parent Sections Table

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First 10 of 273 with matching ruptures shown

Parent NameTotal Mean Annual RateTotal 500 Year ProbTotal 500 Year 95% ConfLong-Term Fault System Solution Rate
San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM0.0055640.974 (97.40%)[96.16% 98.26%]0.007612852
San Andreas (Carrizo) rev0.0046920.999 (99.90%)[99.35% 99.99%]0.0057427646
San Andreas (Cholame) rev0.0046820.997 (99.70%)[99.05% 99.92%]0.005722108
San Andreas (Santa Cruz Mts) 2011 CFM0.0044740.973 (97.30%)[96.04% 98.18%]0.0062776324
San Andreas (Mojave S)0.0042740.995 (99.50%)[98.77% 99.82%]0.0052993274
San Andreas (Mojave N)0.003970.996 (99.60%)[98.90% 99.87%]0.0051040766
San Andreas (Coachella) rev0.0037540.964 (96.40%)[95.00% 97.43%]0.004435764
San Andreas (Big Bend)0.0037020.989 (98.90%)[97.98% 99.42%]0.0045623486
San Andreas (San Bernardino N)0.003670.952 (95.20%)[93.64% 96.40%]0.004749499
San Andreas (Parkfield)0.003640.947 (94.70%)[93.08% 95.97%]0.004465195

M≥7.5 Parent Sections Table

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First 10 of 206 with matching ruptures shown

Parent NameTotal Mean Annual RateTotal 500 Year ProbTotal 500 Year 95% ConfLong-Term Fault System Solution Rate
San Andreas (Mojave N)0.0038720.995 (99.50%)[98.77% 99.82%]0.0049894005
San Andreas (Big Bend)0.0035680.987 (98.70%)[97.73% 99.28%]0.0044245115
San Andreas (Mojave S)0.00340.971 (97.10%)[95.81% 98.01%]0.0045267143
San Andreas (Carrizo) rev0.0033440.974 (97.40%)[96.16% 98.26%]0.004201805
San Andreas (Cholame) rev0.0032060.961 (96.10%)[94.66% 97.18%]0.0040264158
San Andreas (North Coast) 2011 CFM0.0029160.932 (93.20%)[91.41% 94.65%]0.0045710644
San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM0.0027660.834 (83.40%)[80.91% 85.62%]0.0038110747
San Andreas (San Bernardino N)0.0027480.881 (88.10%)[85.89% 90.01%]0.0037959707
San Andreas (Parkfield)0.0025260.864 (86.40%)[84.08% 88.43%]0.0032088608
San Andreas (Peninsula) 2011 CFM0.0024040.864 (86.40%)[84.08% 88.43%]0.0035515025

M≥8 Parent Sections Table

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First 10 of 65 with matching ruptures shown

Parent NameTotal Mean Annual RateTotal 500 Year ProbTotal 500 Year 95% ConfLong-Term Fault System Solution Rate
San Andreas (Mojave N)0.001150.495 (49.50%)[46.36% 52.64%]0.0018098651
San Andreas (Carrizo) rev0.0011240.492 (49.20%)[46.06% 52.35%]0.0017508415
San Andreas (Big Bend)0.001120.490 (49.00%)[45.86% 52.15%]0.0017453934
San Andreas (Mojave S)0.001120.485 (48.50%)[45.36% 51.65%]0.0017636013
San Andreas (Cholame) rev0.0011140.488 (48.80%)[45.66% 51.95%]0.0017193216
San Andreas (San Bernardino N)0.0010720.464 (46.40%)[43.28% 49.55%]0.0016807786
San Andreas (Parkfield)9.68E-40.436 (43.60%)[40.51% 46.74%]0.0015122787
San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM8.82E-40.395 (39.50%)[36.47% 42.62%]0.0014250289
San Andreas (Santa Cruz Mts) 2011 CFM6.28E-40.288 (28.80%)[26.03% 31.73%]0.0010319632
San Andreas (Peninsula) 2011 CFM5.5E-40.260 (26.00%)[23.33% 28.86%]9.2652056E-4

Gridded Nucleation

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Min MagComplete Catalog (including spontaneous)Ratio WRT Long-Term Model
M≥5Nucleation PlotNucleation Plot
M≥6Nucleation PlotNucleation Plot
M≥7Nucleation PlotNucleation Plot

JSON Input File

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{
  "numSimulations": 1000,
  "duration": 500.0,
  "startYear": 1919,
  "includeSpontaneous": true,
  "randomSeed": 1567314526350,
  "binaryOutput": true,
  "binaryOutputFilters": [
    {
      "prefix": "results_complete",
      "descendantsOnly": false
    },
    {
      "prefix": "results_m5_preserve_chain",
      "minMag": 5.0,
      "preserveChainBelowMag": true,
      "descendantsOnly": false
    }
  ],
  "forceRecalc": false,
  "simulationName": "Start 1919, 500 yr, Scale Factor 1.0, Spontaneous, Historical Catalog",
  "numRetries": 3,
  "outputDir": "${ETAS_SIM_DIR}/2019_08_31-Start1919_500yr_ScaleFactor1p0_Spontaneous_HistoricalCatalog",
  "triggerCatalog": "${ETAS_LAUNCHER}/inputs/u3_historical_catalog.txt",
  "triggerCatalogSurfaceMappings": "${ETAS_LAUNCHER}/inputs/u3_historical_catalog_finite_fault_mappings.xml",
  "treatTriggerCatalogAsSpontaneous": true,
  "cacheDir": "${ETAS_LAUNCHER}/inputs/cache_fm3p1_ba",
  "fssFile": "${ETAS_LAUNCHER}/inputs/2013_05_10-ucerf3p3-production-10runs_COMPOUND_SOL_FM3_1_SpatSeisU3_MEAN_BRANCH_AVG_SOL.zip",
  "probModel": "FULL_TD",
  "applySubSeisForSupraNucl": true,
  "totRateScaleFactor": 1.0,
  "gridSeisCorr": true,
  "timeIndependentERF": false,
  "griddedOnly": false,
  "imposeGR": false,
  "includeIndirectTriggering": true,
  "gridSeisDiscr": 0.1,
  "catalogCompletenessModel": "RELAXED",
  "configCommand": "u3etas_config_builder.sh --start-year 1919 --num-simulations 1000 --duration-years 500 --include-spontaneous --historical-catalog --scale-factor 1.0 --hpc-site USC_HPC --nodes 36 --hours 24 --queue scec",
  "configTime": 1567314526350
}